[BRARY THE UNIVERSITY OF CAL [FORNIA GIFT OF Dr. Cordon WatkLns FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. AN INQUIRY INTO THE CAUSES WHICH HAVE RETARDED THE GENERAL ADOPTION OF FREE TRADE SINCE ITS INTRODUCTION INTO ENGLAND. BY HENRY FAWCETT, M.P., FELLOW OF TRINITY HALL, AND PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL ECONOMY IN THE UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE. Jtonbon : MACMILLAN AND CO. 1878. [The Right of Translation and Rtproduction is Jtesen-ed.} n r * Fjif LONDON : R. CLAY, SONS, AND TAYLOR, PRINTKRS, BRF.AD STREET HILL. PREFACE. IN the autumn of last year I delivered at Cambridge a course of Lectures on Free Trade and Protection. One of the chief objects I had in view was to endeavour to explain the causes which have retarded the progress of Free Trade, and which have enabled Protectionists still to occupy so strong a position on the Continent, in America, and in many of our Colonies. I first thought of publishing these Lectures almost in the form in which they were delivered; but I afterwards came to the conclusion that it would be better, for many reasons, to adopt a different arrangement, and I have consequently divided the book into six chapters. I have had occasion frequently to refer to Mr. Frederick Martin's Statesman's Year Book, and I have also derived great assistance from the admirably-arranged Statistical Abstracts which are published annually by the Board of Trade. Whenever I have required additional information bearing on the subjects to which these Abstracts refer, it has always been most readily supplied to me by two vi PREFACE. gentlemen holding official positions at the Board of Trade Mr. Edwin J. Pearson, and Mr. Robert GifTen, the well-known economist and statist. I desire here to ac- knowledge their kindness, and to offer them my sincere thanks. I also wish to say how much I appreciate the assistance I have derived from my wife, who has revised the book as it was passing through the press, and from my Secretary, Mr. F. J. Dryhurst, who has not only acted as my amanuensis, but who has constantly aided me in various ways, and has prepared a summary of contents, which I believe will prove useful for purposes of reference. May 1878. SUMMARY OF CONTENTS. CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTORY REMARKS. THE expectations, formerly entertained in this country, that the example of England in adopting a free-trade policy would be followed by other nations, have not been realized. Nothing is more likely to retard the cause of free trade than to under- rate the strength of the opposition to it, and to ignore the arguments of its opponents. The adoption of free trade in England was hastened by the fact that protection was most strictly carried out with regard to agriculture, and conse- quently its most obvious result was the rise in the price of food ; while, in other countries, protection is almost entirely confined to manufactured products. The abolition of pro- tection may cause much suffering and loss to those employed in the industries which have been brought into existence through protection. This loss corresponds to that which is caused to workmen who possess special manual skill in any handicraft, if the necessity for their labour is superseded by the invention of a machine. The motives which have prompted the opposition to the introduction of free trade in America and other countries are analogous to those which have led workmen employed in certain trades to resist the introduction of machinery. The adoption of protectionist principles in the Colonies has been encouraged by the opinion expressed by Mr. Mill, that the imposition of a protective duty, with the view of promoting a new industry in a recently- settled country, may be justified as a temporary expedient. Protection in the Colonies has also been promoted by the fact SUMMARY OF CONTENTS. that the gold discoveries in Australia attracted thither large numbers of operatives and artizans from England, who, finding gold-digging to be less remunerative than they had anticipated, welcomed any proposal to establish, by the aid of protective duties, those industries to which they had been accustomed. The industrial prosperity of England not entirely due to her adoption of a free-trade policy. Among other causes, the development of our railway system and fiscal reform have contributed to bring about this prosperity. Other arguments are necessary to advance the cause of free trade besides the appeals which are continually made to the growth of trade and accumulation of wealth in England. The benefits con- ferred by free trade are apparently still imperfectly understood in England. Some of the strongest supporters of free trade not unfrequently display a tendency to favour some form of industrial restriction. This tendency has been recently illus- trated by the disposition shown by English workmen to resist the introduction of foreign labourers into this country. Pages I 1 6 CHAPTER II. PROTECTION. PART I. Bounties on Exports. Protection has been in recent times supported with the object of giving assistance to home industry, and has been chiefly carried out by giving bounties on exports and imposing re- straints on imports. The system of encouraging exports and discouraging imports was a product of the mercantile system, and was originally adopted with the object of securing a "favourable balance of trade." Protection is now chiefly carried out by imposing import duties ; bounties on exports are, however, occasionally granted at the present time. Formerly, bounties on exports were as general in England as protective duties on imports. The effect of the bounties on the export, and restraints on the import, of corn which formerly prevailed in England. Examination of the effects produced by the bounty given on the export of sugar from France. This bounty simply enables the English people, and SUMMARY OF CONTENTS. others who use French sugar, to purchase it at considerably below cost price ; the reduction in price approximating to the amount of the bounty. The only class who can permanently profit from any particular produce being made artificially dear are the owners of the land on which the produce is grown. Reasons against the proposal of the English sugar refiners that they should be protected against French competition by the imposition of an import duty equivalent to the amount of the bounty. PART II. Restraints on Imports. The difference between an import duty imposed for purposes of revenue, and one imposed to protect home industry against foreign competition. The import duties levied in England have no protective influence. The home trader enjoys a kind of natural protection in his own market as the cost of carriage is less in the case of home than in that of foreign produce. It is important to distinguish between the effect exerted by a pro- tective duty in the country in which it is imposed, and its effect on the countries from which produce subject to the duties is imported. The consequences of the protection formerly given to agriculture in England. It was generally supposed that the continuance of high prices secured industrial prosperity, and it was consequently thought that the profits of all concerned in the cultivation of the land increased with the growing deamess of agricultural produce. Protective duties were not simply imposed on corn ; live stock, fresh meat, and various other articles were excluded altogether from our markets. Attempts were made to encourage the growth of British wool and flax by placing difficulties in the way of the manufacture of cotton in England. The enactment of the Corn Laws after the fall in prices con- sequent on the peace of 1815. The evils associated with the sliding-scale. The influence exerted by protection in England upon the classes concerned in agriculture. The farmers derived no benefit from the high prices of agricultural produce, as each rise in prices immediately led to an increase in rents. Between 1815 and 1845, when the Corn Laws were in operation, agri- culture was in a state of exceptional depression. Meeting at Colchester, July, 1843. Speech of Mr. Cobden, by which many tenant farmers were convinced they had been injured by the Corn Laws. Deterioration in the condition of the agricultural labourers. Although protection led to an increase in the price SUMMARY OF CONTENTS. of agricultural produce, the competition of capital seeking in- vestment prevented the farmers gaining more than the normal rate of profit. The depression in agriculture, though to a con- siderable degree brought about by the undue extent to which rents were raised after the passing of the Corn Laws, and also by the operation of the old Poor Law, was mainly owing to the fact that the dearness of food consequent on protection dimi- nished the productiveness both of labour and capital, and led to a decline in profits and wages in all industries, including agri- culture. The stagnation of English trade during the existence of protection. The general distress at the time of Sir Robert Peel's accession to office in 1841. The competition of the general labour market renders it impossible for the labourers employed in protected industries to secure higher wages than those employed in industries which are not pro- tected. The only class that can derive benefit from protection are the owners of the land from which the products, such as wheat, coal, iron, *^:7> '-'/'-', ^vv A? ^* v^tv, wv The exports (if any) of the last four commodities from America are too insignificant to be given in the " Table of 128 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. the Principal Articles Exported from the United States." ' The figures just enumerated show with striking distinctness that the present depression in English trade cannot be in the slightest degree attributed to American competition. The export trade of the United States may, on the contrary, be regarded as conferring on England unmixed benefit. From the United States, we obtain not only the raw material of many of our most important branches of manufacturing industry, but we also derive supplies of food, which are essential to the comfort and well-being of the country. Reference has already been made to the circumstance that during the continuance of the present industrial inac- tivity, there has been no decline either in the value or the quantity of the goods imported into England. It therefore appears that the English people are as large purchasers and consumers of foreign products as they were before this de- pression in trade commenced. From this and other facts, to which reference will presently be made, I think the conclusion may be fairly drawn that the effect of this de- pression on the general prosperity of the country has been very considerably exaggerated; and that although those engaged, whether as employers or employed, in certain special trades, have been very seriously affected, yet there is nothing in the general condition of the country to excite apprehension. In the meantime, however, it may be desir- able to direct attention to the fear which has lately been expressed, that the maintenance of our import trade at its present high point, now that there is a certain diminution in exports, is a subject for grave misgiving, and shows that the seeds of future mischief are being sown which are certain hereafter to bring disaster upon our national industry. These fears have their origin in the large excess which there is at the present time in the value of the goods which are imported by England, compared with the value of goods exported. Taking the figures of the latest year 1 See Statistical Abstract for Principal Foreign Countries, 1877, p. 82. v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 129 (1876), for which they are given in the Statistical Abstract, issued by the Board of Trade, it will be seen that this excess amounts to no less a sum than 118,000,0007. Re- calling the language, and possibly also reviving some of the fallacies of the mercantile system, it is apparently by some supposed that the balance of trade, being, as it is termed, so unfavourable to England, is an indication that at the present time the nation is living beyond its means ; that the English people are annually spending more than they earn, and that, in order to make good the deficit, we are gradually using up our savings and devoting capital to income. The maintenance of our imports at a time oi industrial depression, instead of being regarded with satis- faction, should rather, it is argued, be considered as a measure of the prodigality with which the people are living, and with which the nation is exhausting its re- sources. Those by whom these opinions are entertained seem to find additional cause for alarm in the fact that in no other country is there any considerable excess of imports as compared with exports, while in some countries the exports considerably exceed the imports in value. Thus, in the United States, this excess of exports over imports is i6,6oo,ooo/. In India it is about i3,5oo,ooo/. I think, however, it can be shown that the maintenance of the present large import trade of England, far from indicating that there is anything unsound in her national economy, may be fairly regarded as one of the most satisfactory features in her present condition. In the first place, it is to be remarked, that in pre- paring a statistical table of exports and imports, the value at which any article which is imported is estimated includes the cost of carriage, and the profits of the merchant who imports it : whereas, in estimating the value of exports, both the cost of carriage and the profits of the exporting merchant are excluded. Thus, if a quarter of wheat is bought at New York at 405., and the cost of shipping this K i 3 o FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. wheat from New York to Liverpool is 4s., and the profit of the importing merchant is 2s., its value when imported is reckoned at 46*. In order, however, to show the different manner in which the value of exports is estimated, let it be assumed that a merchant buys a thousand pounds worth of machinery for shipment to Australia ; the value of this machinery in forming a table of exports would be stated at i,ooo/. But in estimating the amount which Australia has to transmit to England for this machinery, account has to be taken not only of the freight, but also of the exporting merchant's profits. Suppose that the freight is ioo/., and that the profit is iso/., Australia will pay i,25o/., and England will receive an amount exceeding by 25 per cent, the amount stated to be the value of the machinery exported. As by far the greater part of the foreign trade of England is carried on in her own ships, and by her own merchants, it follows that England receives for her exports an amount considerably larger than is repre- sented by the value of these exports, because, in addition to their value as given in at the port from which they are shipped, there is to be added the cost of carrying them to the various countries to which they are exported, and the profits of the merchants who export them. On the other hand, from the amount which England has to- pay for her imports, there is to be deducted the cost of bringing them from the countries from which they are imported. Thus, for the quarter of wheat which is imported into Liverpool from New York, and which is entered as worth 46^., England has to pay America only 40^. ; the remaining 6s. is received by the English shipowner and the importing merchant. England therefore has to pay to foreign countries, for the goods she imports from them, an amount very considerably less than is represented as the declared value of these imports. On the other hand, she receives from foreign countries, for the goods she exports, an amount which is much greater than that which is represented as the declared v.J COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 131 value of these exports. It would therefore follow that even if the amount which she has thus to pay for her imports were exactly equal to the amount which she receives for her exports, there would in the Board of Trade returns still appear to be a considerable excess in the value of the imports when compared with the value of the exports. Far, however, from the existence of such an excess being an indication that England was living beyond her means, and was being drained of her resources, it would simply show that our foreign trade was chiefly carried on by our own merchants and by our own shipowners, and that they were enjoying the profits resulting from this trade. As previously explained, the foreign commerce of the United States, with regard to the relative amount of imports and exports, is exactly in the opposite position to that of England. The value of goods exported from the United States largely exceeds the value of those imported ; this is to some extent due to the fact that a great part of the foreign trade of the United States is carried on by English merchants and English shipowners ; a considerable portion of the profits resulting from this trade has thus to be trans- mitted to England, and this makes an important addition to her aggregate imports. " The international commerce of the United States is at present mainly carried on in foreign bottoms, which took over 70 per cent, of the aggregate imports and exports of the fiscal year 1874-75. Previous to the year 1860, from 75 to 80 per cent, of the total com- merce was carried on in vessels belonging to the United States." l In striking contrast with these figures it appears that in 1876 of the aggregate tonnage entering English ports, 67 per cent, belonged to British owners, and only 33 per cent, belonged to foreign owners. When, therefore, apprehension is expressed that England is in an unsatis- factory position compared with the United States, because her imports are so largely in excess of her exports, it should 1 See Statesman's Year-Book, 1878, p. 602. K 2 132 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. be remembered that a considerable part of this excess is due to the fact that her mercantile marine is so extensive that not only the greater part of her own foreign trade, but of the foreign trade of other countries, is carried on in Eng- lish ships. This, far from giving any just cause for alarm, should make us feel renewed confidence in the principles on which our present commercial system is based. There is also another circumstance which causes the aggregate of England's imports to be considerably in excess - of her exports. No other country has so large an amount of capital embarked in various foreign investments. Although it is impossible to form an exact estimate of the amount of English capital which is invested, not only in foreign loans, but also in Various industrial undertakings, such as foreign mines, railways, banks, shipping companies, etc., yet it cannot be doubted that the interest which has to be annually remitted to England on the capital thus embarked represents a very considerable portion of the amount by which her imports exceed her exports. It has been calcu- lated by competent authorities that the balance annually due to England as interest on capital invested in India and in America alone, is about 3o,ooo,ooo/., 1 and this debt has to be liquidated by these countries sending to England either goods or bullion. Hence the amount of the exports sent to England from America and India must not only be sufficient to pay for the goods imported from Eng- land, but must also be sufficient to pay the interest on the large sums of English capital invested in America and India. Those countries, therefore, which are largely in debt to foreign nations, must export more than they import ; and in those countries which possess surplus capital and lend it abroad, the imports will exceed the exports. Con- sequently, the comparisons unfavourable to England which are often made by American protectionists between the industrial position of their own country and that of Eng- 1 See Economist, December 15, 1877. v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 133 land, because of the large excess of English imports over exports, have so little foundation, that this excess may be regarded as affording evidence of the great extent to which they and other countries have been assisted by English capital Nothing can be more erroneous than to conclude that the foreign commerce of a country is in an unsatisfactory posi- tion, and that she is being drained of her resources, if it is observed that imports are largely in excess of exports, when, as in the case of England, the foreign trade of a country is chiefly carried on by her own merchants and in her own ships, and when the amount of wealth accumulated by her people is so great that it not only suffices to supply capital for her own industry, but a large surplus annually remains to be lent to foreign governments! and to be employed in various foreign undertakings. The dread and alarm about imports exceeding exports, and about the balance of trade being unfavourable to a country, may no doubt be con- sidered as a survival from the time when the principles of the mercantile system obtained almost universal acceptance. Thus from the remarks that are frequently made about an excess of imports, it seems to be by many supposed that when imports are in excess of exports a nation must be pursuing just the same career of extravagance as an indi- vidual who is living beyond his means, buying more than he sells, and thus steadily getting into debt. American protectionists have lately been expressing great satisfaction because the exports from their country exceed in value the imports ; they apparently consider that in this respect the industrial condition of their country compares most favour- ably with that of free trade England. In the opinion of the French protectionists there seems to be no weapon with which the renewal of the Commercial Treaty with England can be so effectually assailed, as to point out that under the operation of that treaty the trade of France has been so entirely changed, that whereas her exports were formerly in 134 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. excess of her imports, and she was thus enriched by foreign commerce, now her imports exceed her exports, and she is consequently being drained of her resources. It can how- ever be readily shown, after the explanation which has been given of the circumstances which cause the imports of a country to exceed her exports, that the present position of the foreign commerce of the United States and France, far from affording any justification for a protectionist policy, may be regarded as greatly strengthening the case in favour of free trade. If the goods which America sends to Eng- land exceed in value those which she receives from England, it is evident that America is in debt to England ; and that this indebtedness is due to the fact that she has borrowed capital from England, and that, in carrying on her foreign trade, she is largely employing English ships and English merchants. Such indebtedness cannot be an advantage, but must be a disadvantage to a country, and therefore, so far as it is due to protection, it may be considered as evidence of the injury inflicted on America by a policy of commercial restriction. There is also no circumstance connected with the present commercial position of the United States which should be regarded by the people of that country with more apprehension than the decline in her shipping trade which is shown by the large extent to which her foreign commerce is carried on in English ships and by English merchants. The protective duties which are imposed by the tariff of the United States on iron, copper, wood, and almost all the other materials which are employed in shipbuilding add so much to the cost of con- structing a ship, that the shipping interest in the United States has declined to a most serious extent with the increase in recent years of her protective duties. It has already been stated that 70 per cent of the entire commerce of the United States is now carried on in foreign bottoms ; whereas previous to 1860 between 75 and 80 per cent, of that commerce was carried in her own ships. Again, with v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 135 regard to the change which has lately taken" place in the foreign commerce of France, it appears that whereas the French people used to send abroad more than was received back in return, they now receive more than they send to foreign countries : in other words, while France used to be in debt to foreign countries foreign countries are now in debt to her. So far as this alteration in her position is due to her Commercial Treaty with England, it will be scarcely denied that the existence of that Treaty ought to be a subject for congratulation rather than regret. The statistics of the English exports and imports of bullion and specie during the last few years show in a very striking manner that a great excess of imports over exports may be entirely due to the circumstances before explained. Instead of there being any drain of money from England to adjust a so-called unfavourable balance of trade, the amount of bullion and specie which has been imported into England during the ten years from 1867 to 1876 has exceeded by no less than 53,800,0007. the amount which has been exported ; although during this period the aggre- gate value of her imports exceeded by no less than 8o4,ooo,ooo/. the value of her exports. It therefore appears that so large an excess of imports over exports, as that which characterises the foreign trade of England, need not necessarily be accompanied by any drain of bullion or of specie ; for during the period when this excess of imports has been most marked, England has on the average of years been adding about 5,ooo,ooo/. to her stock of bullion and specie, and this is supposed to be the amount which is annually required for fresh coinage and for various manufacturing purposes. 1 In attempting to draw a favourable instead of an un- favourable conclusion as to the commercial position of England, from the fact that while there has been a con- siderable decline in her export trade, her imports have 1 See Statistical Abstract. 136 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. rather increased than diminished, nothing is farther from my intention than to deny the existence of very severe depression in many important branches of industry. As this industrial depression is not unfrequently attributed to the policy of free trade which has been adopted by England, it is important to prove that far from protection being an antidote to industrial depression, protectionist countries such as the United States are at the present time in a far more unsatisfactory position than England. It sometimes however seems to be supposed that much darker days are in store for England, and that she has hitherto been able to ward off the worst consequences of bad trade by a series of artificial expedients, which can only be looked upon as temporary shifts. How, it is asked, can a nation, without burdening herself with debt, and laying up for herself a store of future embarrassment, continue to spend as much at a time when trade is bad, as when it was in a state of exceptional prosperity? The amount of goods imported into England shows no falling off; the people continue to purchase, even more largely than they did before, all the foreign products which minister either to their wants or to their enjoyments. It is generally admitted that the quantity of tea which is annually consumed by the English people affords a very correct index of the prosperity of the country. When there is a bad harvest at home there is naturally a large increase in the importation of wheat. When however it is found that there is a great addition to the quantity of tea which is imported and retained for home consumption, the conclusion is irresistible that the people can afford to spend a larger sum on an article which may be regarded to some extent as a luxury. The quantity of tea, which has been imported into England and retained for home con- sumption, has increased in a very striking manner since 1862. In that year the quantity so imported was 78,793,977 Ibs. ; in 1876, a year that is constantly spoken of as one of exceptional depression, the quantity was 149,104,194 Ibs., v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 137 or an increase of nearly 100 per cent. A part of this increase may no doubt be attributed to the fact that the duty on tea had been reduced between 1862 and 1876 from is. $d. to 6d. a Ib. It is however worthy of special remark, as bearing on the subject we are now considering, that the consumption of tea during the present period of commercial depression has continued steadily to increase, and that this consump- tion is now much larger than it was during the time when the trade of the country was in a state of the greatest activity. The years 1872-3-4 are frequently referred to as a time when English trade was at the zenith of its prosperity. The quantity of tea imported and retained for home con- sumption in these three years respectively was : 1872. 1873. 1874. 127,661, 360 Ibs. 131,881, 476 Ibs. 137,279,891 Ibs. The present industrial depression is generally thought to have commenced in the closing months of 1874, and it increased in intensity throughout 1875 and 1876. Yet in these years, the annual increase in the consumption of tea was fully maintained ; the quantity retained for home con- sumption being : 1875. 1876. 145,327,432 Ibs. 149, 104, 194 Ibs. No part of the increased consumption of tea which has taken place in these later years is due to a reduction of duty, for the duty has remained unchanged since 1866. It may be thought that such a state of things as that just described cannot continue, and that if in a period of industrial depression a nation purchases more largely articles of general consumption, savings are either being used up or future liabilities are being incurred. The benefit which is conferred on a nation as a whole in a period of such exceptional industrial activity as that of a few years since is, I believe, by no means so great or so widely diffused as is 138 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. commonly supposed. It can, I think, be shown that such prosperity is accompanied by some very serious drawbacks ; that the advantages which result from it are by no means diffused over the entire nation ; and that although at such a time many are enriched, yet the additional wealth which they secure cannot be regarded as so much pure gain ; a portion of it at least represents a forced contribution from some of their less fortunate fellow-countrymen. Those who suppose that great industrial activity neces- sarily implies an increase of well-being to the entire com- munity, may be asked to consider what was the effect on the nation generally of the extraordinary prosperity which was recently enjoyed by the coal and iron trades. A sudden increase in the demand for coal, consequent to a large extent on an increased demand for iron, produced an unprecedented rise in the price of coal, the rise being no less than 13^. 6d. a ton. It has been frequently asserted that this rise was chiefly brought about by the action of trades unionists, who, taking advantage of the increased demand for labour at a time when trade was exceptionally active, forced up wages to such a point that their employers were obliged to advance the price of coal in order to compen- sate themselves for the higher wages which they were compelled to pay. It has, however, been conclusively established that so small a portion of the increase in the price of coal was due to the cause just mentioned that a rise of zs. 6d. a ton would have been amply sufficient to com- pensate the employer for the extra wages which he paid. 1 1 See Report of the Select Committee of the House of Commons appointed in 1873, to inquire into the causes which had produced the recent rise in the price of coal. From some evidence given before this Committee it appears that the rise in the price of coal was greater and the advance in the wages of the workmen less than above estimated. Thus, in a table given in the Evidence at page 191, it is stated that in the West Yorkshire district, between October 1871 and March 1873, there was an advance in the price of coal at the pit's mouth of 15*. $d, a ton, v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 139 By far the greater part of the increased value which coal suddenly acquired must therefore be regarded as affording a source from which an enormous addition was made to the income obtained by the fortunate owners or lessees of coal mines. On every ton of coal raised there was at least an additional us. to be given either to the owner or to the lessee of the mine. Profits in this industry consequently advanced with unprecedented rapidity. The annual output of coal at the time was about 120,000,000 tons. Conse- quently the rise in the price of coal caused no less a sum than 66,ooo,ooo/. in a single year to be distributed among the owners and lessees of mines, whereas the amount dis- tributed in the form of extra wages was not more than i5,ooo,ooo/. As the aggregate production and consumption of English coal is about 120,000,000 tons, it follows that the rise in price of 13*. 6d. a ton caused no less a sum than 8i,ooo,ooo/. sterling to be taken in a single year from the consumers of this coal. As the export of coal from England at that time was not more than 12,000,000 tons, nine-tenths of this enormous sum, or about 72,ooo,ooo/., had in this single year to be contributed by the consumers of coal in England. A portion of this amount was no doubt repaid to England by foreign countries. A rise in the price ot coal increases the cost of all those articles in the manu- facture of which coal is used. The price of such articles will consequently have to be advanced in order to com- pensate those who produce them. When therefore an article, the price of which is thus advanced, is exported, the burden of the extra price falls, not upon the English pro- ducer or merchant, but upon the foreign consumer. A part therefore of the loss which was caused to the consumers of English coal, no doubt fell not only upon those foreign while wages in this period were advanced only is. ifyf. a ton. During this time the price of coal was raised on eight different occasions, while on only five occasions was there any rise in wages. In every single instance the rise in wages was subsequent to the rise in the price of coal. HO FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. countries which used English coal, but also upon the foreign consumers of various English products. When, however, the most ample allowance has been made for this circum- stance, the fact still remains that so great a rise in the price of coal must have inflicted a most serious loss on the general body of the English people ; the nature and extent of this loss have, I believe, not yet received adequate consideration. Unprecedented as were the gains of the owners and lessees of coal mines, and important as was the addition made to the wages, of those who were employed in these mines, yet it should not be forgotten that the advantage thus secured was to a great extent purchased at the expense of the general community. A rise in the price of coal must be just as severely felt by the people as if a first necessary of life were subjected to a heavy tax. It is an impost from which the humblest cannot escape. An income-tax may be so adjusted that the poor do not contribute to it, but in such a climate as that of England fuel is scarcely less essential than food ; and no small portion of the enormous fortunes which were realised when the coal famine was at its height may be regarded as made up from the forced contributions of the very poorest in the land. The annual consumption of coal for household purposes, in England, is estimated at 20,000,000 tons. Consequently when coal rises iy. 6d. a ton the English people have annually to pay i3,5oo,ooo/. more for the coal which is used for household purposes. An extra tax is thus imposed upon them not less in amount than half the interest on the National Debt. Such a tax, onerous though it is, represents only a portion of the heavy impost which is levied upon them by a rise in the price of coal. Such a rise must directly lead to the price of all those articles being advanced in the manufacture of which coal is employed. It has been calculated that it requires about 2\ tons of coal to smelt one ton of iron; con- sequently if the cost of the coal with which a ton of iron is v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 141 smelted is increased by i/. I3J. <)d. there must be a corre- sponding addition to the price of iron. Every one therefore who wants to purchase any article of hardware will have to pay considerably more for it. Manufacturers and farmers will find machinery and implements materially increased in price ; every steam-engine will also have to be worked at a much greater cost ; and in order that the manufacturers may be compensated for these increased charges it will be necessary that the price of the articles which they produce shall be advanced. One result of the present industrial inactivity has been that the price of coal has been reduced to its former level ; the country has consequently been relieved of a most serious burden. The advantage which has thus been gained by the general body of the people ought to be regarded as a not inconsiderable compensation for the losses which have undoubtedly been brought on certain special classes by the present depression of trade. It is well that the subject should be looked at from this point of view, in order that the fears of those may be allayed, who appear to be alarmed because the industrial depression from which the country is now suffering has not been more widespread in its effects, and has not exerted a more marked influence on the general condition of the country. During the continuance of this depression, which has now lasted for four years, not only has there been no falling off in the demand for articles of general consumption, but there are other and more positive indications that the real pros- perity of the country cannot have been to any serious extent undermined. If there were widespread popular distress, it would certainly be shown by an increase ot pauperism. It is, however, a remarkable fact that through- out the continuance of the present industrial depression, the amount of pauperism has steadily declined. This is shown by the following table, which gives the number of persons, exclusive of vagrants, who were in receipt of 1 42 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. parochial relief in England and Wales on the ist of January in each year : 1871 . . . 1,081,926 1872 . . . . 977,664 1873 .... 890,372 1874 .... 829,281 1875 .... 815,587 1876 . . . . 749,593 1877 .... 728,350 There has also been a similar decline during the same years in the pauperism of Scotland and Ireland. The remarkable diminution of pauperism which is shown by the above figures, is no doubt partly due to an improved administration of the poor-law. Within the last few years there has been an increasing tendency to restrict out-door relief; and the decline in pauperism has taken place almost entirely through a reduction in the number of out-door paupers. But making the fullest allowance for this cir- cumstance, the significance of the fact still remains, that throughout a period of great industrial depression, there has been a steady decline in pauperism. It thus appears to be conclusively shown, that although this industrial depression has undoubtedly been severely felt by certain special trades, it cannot have produced any very serious effect upon the nation as a whole. Other facts may be adduced which clearly indicate that the industrial depression, from which the trade of England has been recently suffering, has not produced any very marked effect upon the general condition of the country. In a period of wide-spread national distress there would inevitably be a marked diminution in the amount of Savings Banks deposits, accompanied by a considerable increase in the sums withdrawn. Taking 1873 as a year of maximum trade activity, and comparing it with 1876, a year of severe depression, it is found that in 1876 the amount deposited in the Savings Banks was 18,895,5607., and this amount v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 143 exceeds by no less a sum than i, 673,5897. the amount de- posited in 1873. The amount withdrawn in 1876 exceeded the amount withdrawn in 1873 by a sum almost exactly equivalent to the increase in the amount deposited. So far, therefore, as the Savings Banks deposits may be regarded as affording a test of the general condition of the country, the figures just quoted are strongly confirmatory of the opinion, which has been already expressed, that the present industrial depression has not produced any marked effect upon the general condition of the nation. The consider- able increase in the withdrawals from Savings Banks un- doubtedly shows that there has been severe distress in certain localities ; but the counterbalancing increase in the deposits proves that the capacity to save of the general body of the people has not been affected, and that the loss suffered by the working classes in certain localities has been accompanied by an improvement in their condition in other localities. The traffic returns of the railways may be referred to as affording another proof that the inactivity in some special branches of trade has produced much less effect on the general condition of the country than is usually supposed. From the complaints that are constantly made about the stagnation of business it might be fairly concluded that there would be a serious falling off in the traffic returns of the railways. There has, however, been no such falling off. On the contrary, again comparing the years 1873 and 1876, it will be found that in the latter year the number of miles of railway open in England had increased, and that the gross receipts per mile had also increased from 4,1397. in 1873 to 4,212!. in 1876. The facts which have just been quoted have not been brought forward with the intention of showing that de- pressed trade is no disadvantage to a country : the object I have had in view, is to point out that an exaggerated estimate is habitually made of the benefit which the nation 144 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. derives from special branches of industry enjoying excep- tional prosperity. A large portion of the additional wealth which appears to be created when certain trades are un- usually active, really represents no increase whatever in the aggregate wealth of the nation. It is simply a transfer of wealth from the general public to a special class : the few are enriched by the contributions of the many. When, for instance, it is now said that the coal trade is in a deplorable condition, it would be altogether erroneous to conclude that the production of coal has greatly diminished, and that less coal is being used than formerly. On the contrary, the production of coal has increased. In 1873, the year of maximum prices, 127,016,747 tons of coal were produced; in 1875^ a year of extreme depression, 131,867,105 tons of coal were produced. Within these two years there had been no doubt a great decline in the profits of the coal-owners, and a very considerable falling off in the wages of the colliers ; but, on the other hand, the consumers of coal, representing the entire nation, enjoyed the great advantage of having to pay 13$. or 14^. less for every ton of coal they purchased. The community has been in fact relieved of a most onerous burden of many millions a year. Although, therefore, the coal-owners and those whom they employ are much less well-off than they were before, and must consequently reduce their expendi- ture, yet as what has been lost by them has been to a great extent gained by the rest of the nation, there is no reason why the amount which the nation can expend on articles of general consumption should diminish. This no doubt indi- cates one reason why, as previously shown, the consumption of articles in general use has not decreased ; and why, throughout the continuance of the present depression, there has been no falling off in the import trade of the country. The remarks which have been made in reference to the coal trade apply to many other industries. The fall in 1 1875 is the latest year given in the Statistical Abstract for 1877. v ] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 145 prices has widely extended, and in every instance in which it has occurred it is equally true, as pointed out in regard to the price of coal, that a considerable portion of that which is lost by the producer is gained by the consumer. It is no doubt a serious disadvantage to mill-owners and operatives that cotton and woollen goods should not sell for as much as they did formerly ; but, at the same time, the fact should not be lost sight of, that it is a great advantage to all the people who wish to purchase these goods, that they are able to buy them more cheaply than formerly. In discussions with regard to the effect on the country of a particular state of trade, attention is generally entirely con- centrated on the interest of the producer ; and the interest of the consumer is passed over almost unnoticed. The inflation of prices which occurs in a period of great activity inflicts a severe injury upon all that numerous class whose incomes are fixed in pecuniary amount. The annuitant, the fundholder, the person in receipt of a fixed salary, the numerous class whose wages do not vary with the state of trade, all these suffer severely when prices are forced up in a period of exceptionally active trade ; their income or their earnings remaining the same, while almost everything they have to purchase is becoming dearer, they do not receive any compensation for the loss which is thus inflicted upon them. As they find that their incomes possess less and less purchasing power, it is no advantage for them to hear that certain persons, possibly the fortunate owners of a mineral monopoly, are becoming rich with unprecedented rapidity. If a comparison is made between the prices of articles of general consumption, in England, in 1873, and their prices at the present time (April, 1878), it will be at once seen that there has been a fall sufficient to produce a not inconsider- able reduction in the cost of living. It is estimated that the cost of maintaining the household of an artizan is, on the average, from seven to eight per cent, less than it was I, 146 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. five years ago. 1 It therefore appears that all those who are in the receipt of fixed pecuniary incomes, whether these incomes are derived from investments, salaries, or wages, are decidedly better off than they were when the trade of the country was in a state of maximum activity, and when the nation was said to be enjoying unusual prosperity. The persons, who are in the position just described, con- stitute a numerous and important section of the community, and the addition which has thus been virtually made to their incomes enables them to become larger purchasers of articles of general consumption. An extra demand for these articles is thus created, which may counter-balance the falling-off in the demand of those who are employed in the trades which are specially depressed, and whose wages have consequently been considerably reduced. It is also to be borne in mind, that this fall in the prices of articles of general consumption, makes a reduction in wages less serious than it otherwise would be. It would be scarcely appropriate, in discussing the subject of protection and free trade, to attempt to inves- tigate all the economic phenomena associated with a period of commercial depression. I have, however, thought it desirable to consider those aspects of the subject to which attention has been here directed, because it is important to show whether, in periods of industrial de- pression, the effects which are produced by such depres- sion, are more serious to a country which has adopted a policy of free trade, than they are to a country which maintains a system of protection. In view of the disap- pointment which is sometimes expressed, that after England has adopted free trade for thirty years, severe depression should have fallen on some branches of her industry, it becomes important to show that although the effects of this depression are more severely felt in protectionist than in free-trade countries, yet if the commerce of every country 1 See Economist, 2oth April, 1878. v"] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 147 were as entirely freed from protective restrictions, as is the commerce of England, periods of depressed trade would inevitably occur. The depression from which various branches of industry are suffering at the present time, may be regarded as the natural outcome of the prosperity which these same industries were enjoying a few years since. It is not more certain that night will follow day, or that winter will follow summer, than that a time of exceptional pro- sperity in trade will be succeeded by a period of corre- sponding depression. The extremely high profits which were realised by coal-owners and iron-masters five years since, have undoubtedly produced the low rate of profit which is returned to capital invested in these industries at the present time. Whenever any particular trade becomes exceptionally remunerative, people eagerly strive to share the advantages which that trade offers ; a largely increased amount of capital is pressed into it ; new mines are opened, or new works or manufactories are built, and the means of production are greatly extended. If the demand which originally created the exceptional activity is not perma- nently maintained, those engaged in the trade are in the position of possessing appliances for a great increase in the supply, at a time when there is either a diminution of the demand, or when there is no increase corresponding to the larger supply. The inevitable consequence is a rapid fall in prices, and a diminution in profits and wages, such as that which has taken place in all those industries which were most prosperous a few years since. It has already been shown that the quantity of coal which is raised, and also the quantity at the present time used, in England, is greater than it was five years since, when the price of coal was exceptionally high. The high prices which then prevailed, and the large profits which were then realised, caused many new mines to be opened, and the works in existing mines to be greatly extended. This -particular branch of industry being thus L 2 148 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. much enlarged, an increased quantity of coal is annually raised ; but as the circumstances which caused an excep- tionally active demand for coal in 1873 are no longer in operation, the additional coal which is now raised cannot be sold except at a considerable reduction in price. Unless an industry becomes depressed in consequence of a per- manent falling off in the demand, or in consequence of the demand being satisfied from some cheaper source, it is perfectly certain that the depression cannot permanently continue. When profits are exceptionally low, there is just the same inducement to contract a business as there is to extend it when profits are exceptionally high. In the pre- sent state of the coal trade, few new mines will be opened to take the place of those which are gradually being ex- hausted ; the supply will thus become restricted, there will be a tendency for prices to rise, and a sudden increase in the demand may again produce a rise in prices as marked as that which occurred five years since, and thus excep- tional prosperity and exceptional depression succeed each other in regular cycles. As an example, it may be men tioned that within the last fifty years there have been in the English cotton trade five periods of great prosperity, succeeded in each instance by periods of corresponding depression. The large returns which are yielded both to capital and labour in periods of prosperity should be regarded as exceptional. The employers and the employed in any trade should never fail to remember that the equal- ising force of competition is ever present to prevent an abnormally high rate of profits and wages being perma- nently secured by those engaged in any particular branch of industry. Consequently a portion of the remuneration which is secured both by capital and labour in a time of exceptional activity, should be regarded as a reserve, to com- pensate the employers and the employed, for the reduction in profits and wages which will inevitably ensue. There is therefore nothing connected with the present v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 149 industrial depression in England, which can lead to the conclusion that it will permanently continue, and there is certainly no reason to suppose that its effects could be mitigated in the slightest degree by the adoption of a policy of commercial restriction. It has in fact been shown from the statistics of pauperism, and other facts which have been adduced, that this depression has exerted very much less effect on the general condition of the country than is usually supposed. No circumstance has probably so much contributed to enable the country thus to tide over a period of bad trade as the reduction in the cost of living, which has resulted from the fall in the price of many articles of general consumption. When an article of general consumption is cheapened, the loss to the producer may be compensated by a gain to the consumer. Under a system of protection, however, there is no chance of bringing into operation such an influence to neutralise the consequences of depressed trade. An exactly opposite course is pursued, for by increasing the price of various commodities, through the imposition of protective duties, the cost of living is increased, and the general consumer is taxed in order to benefit the producer. In the United States, import duties are imposed on no less than 2,000 different articles. In England every article that is im- ported, except seven or eight, is admitted to her ports duty free. It has consequently happened that at a time when there has been a reduction in the cost of living in England, it has been so much increased in the United States, by the imposition of protective duties, that the American labourer with higher wages is scarcely so well off as is the English labourer with lower wages, and workmen are in large numbers leaving the United States in order to return to England. From all the facts which can be most relied upon as showing the general condition of a country, it may be concluded that the present industrial depression has been far more severely felt in the United ISO FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. States, than it has been in England. Throughout the continuance of this depression there has been a steady decline of pauperism in England. Her people purchase an increased quantity of articles of general consumption ; the traffic returns of her railways are maintained ; and the amount deposited in the Savings Banks has increased. In the United States, on the contrary, there has been, during the same period, a steady increase in pauperism and desti- tution. Thus, in the State of Massachusetts, the number of vagrants has so largely increased, that whereas 43,000 were relieved in 1873, the number in 1876 was not less than 148,000. Whilst the traffic returns of the English railways have been maintained, the American railways have had to bear such disastrous losses, that in 1876 and 1877 no fewer than eighty-four railways, covering 1 7,721 miles, were sold under foreclosure. The industrial depression, which has been shown to have scarcely affected the condition of the general body of the English people, has produced such widespread distress in the United States, that labour dis- putes have induced the workmen to make socialistic demands, such as, for many years, have scarcely been heard of in England. The people of America, having been long accustomed by the system of protection to look to the State for aid in their industry, not unnaturally seek State assistance in a time of trade depression; and demands which may assume a serious communistic development are now made by unemployed American workmen, that the municipal authorities should find work for all applicants. In a petition which has been signed by some of the leading merchants and manufacturers in the United States, and which is about to be presented to the Senate and the House of Representatives, in favour of unrestricted trade, it is stated that at the present time there is "unspeakable distress" among the working classes in America. It is 1 See Paper read by A. J. Mundella, Esq., M.P., before the Statistical Society of London on February igth, 1878. v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION.' 151 also said, " Pauperism and crime increase daily within our borders; skilled mechanics tramp the country over in vain search for the means of living; and instances are not lacking where some of our best artizans have been induced to leave our shores to accept the so-called ' pauper wages ' of other countries. ... A day's labour in England will purchase from twenty-five to thirty per cent, more than a day's labour in the United States." The accuracy of this description of the present condition of the United States will not be, I believe, disputed. When it is remembered that the unequalled natural resources possessed by that country ought to make her the most pro- sperous in the world, it becomes abundantly clear that the maintenance of a system of protection to a great extent paralyses the efforts, of a people to meet the difficulties which have to be encountered in those periods of depres- sion, which are apparently inseparably associated with the industrial system of every country, in which capital and labour actively compete for remunerative employment In attempting to show the effects produced on a free trade, and a protectionist country, respectively, in a time of industrial depression, a comparison might be made, not simply between England and the United States, but between England, Germany, Russia, and other countries, where a policy of commercial restriction is still maintained. I have, however, been induced to contrast the present con- dition of England and the United States, because in Russia and Germany, for instance, other circumstances are in operation which are independent of tariffs, and which materially affect the industrial condition of those countries at the present time. Russia has now to bear the strain of a costly war ; and there can be no doubt that the military system which is maintained in Germany, and in other Con- tinental countries, exerts a most important influence on their industrial economy. Not only are the resources of these countries severely taxed by their enormous armies, but even 152 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. a more serious loss is inflicted on them by the conscription, which draws away from industrial pursuits a large proportion of their population at the very period of life when they could render to the nation the most valuable services as productive labourers. Men have to devote themselves to military training, and to learning military manreuvres, at the time when they are best fitted to acquire skill in some handi- craft. It is scarcely possible to over-estimate the direct and indirect loss which is thus inflicted on a community. Taking the last figures accessible, 1 it appears that the following is the strength, on a peace footing, of the armies of the five chief European Powers : Germany 419,000 Austria 267,000 Russia 768,000 France 430,000 Italy 199,000 TOTAL 2,083,000 These five Powers consequently have to bear, even in a time of peace, the enormous burden of maintaining more than 2,000,000 men in arms. Not only has the direct cost of their maintenance to be borne, but this vast number of men, in the prime of life, are drawn away from industrial pursuits. In order, however, to form an adequate idea of the loss caused to these countries by this rivalry in military armaments, which was inaugurated with the advent of the Second Empire in France, it is necessary to bear in mind that so large a proportion of the entire population have to spend some of the best years of life in military training, that these armies, immense though they are in time of peace, can be immediately trebled and quadrupled if it is decided to place them on a war footing. In face of such facts as these, I feel that it would be unfair to make a comparison between the present industrial condition of Germany and 1 See Statesman's Year-Book, 1878. v.] COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION. 153 England, and attribute the greater industrial depression which prevails at the present time in the former country to the policy of protection which she so zealously maintains. It could be easily shown that the depression in her trade, and the widespread distress which prevails amongst her workmen, are most materially aggravated, as is the case in the United States, by the system of commercial restriction which she so tenaciously supports ; but it cannot be denied that this depression and this distress are at least as much due to the perpetual incubus which is imposed upon in- dustrial development by such a military system as that which is, at the present time, maintained in Germany and other Continental countries. CHAPTER VI. COMMERCIAL TREATIES. THE opposition which is at the present time offered to the negotiation of commercial treaties, has undoubtedly caused great surprise and disappointment to the advocates of free trade. When the commercial treaty, between France and England, was negotiated, it was confidently anticipated that through the agency of such treaties a very powerful stimulus would be given to the progress of free trade. Although the Anglo-French Treaty has benefited the trade of the two countries to a far greater extent than was expected, yet the opposition to the treaty has so much increased in France that its renewal now appears to be extremely doubtful. A similar hostility to commercial treaties is shown in other countries ; and it cannot be denied that the negotiation of these treaties will now meet with much more formidable difficulties than had to be encountered a few years since. It therefore becomes important to inquire how this change of opinion has been produced, and whether it is due to causes which should in the slightest degree make England waver from the policy of complete free trade which she has adopted. In a period of industrial depression any circumstance which is prominently connected with the commerce of a country, is sure to be singled out as one of the chief causes by which this depression has been produced. In the United States bad trade is making many, who once placed implicit CHAP, vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 155 faith in protection, doubt its efficacy ; and in England, where in prosperous times there was an unanimous approval of free trade, the opinion is now not unfrequently expressed that we have carried out a policy of commercial freedom almost too thoroughly and too precipitately. France has not escaped the industrial depression which at the present time exists in other countries; and wherever a trade, which has been affected by the treaty, happens to be suffering from this depression, those who are engaged in it fasten on the treaty for special denunciation. The opposition therefore which is now shown to the renewal and negotiation of com- mercial treaties, is no doubt partly due to the prevailing industrial depression. It is also to be borne in mind that a commercial change, however great may be the advantage which it confers upon the community as a whole, can rarely be introduced without causing some loss to certain special classes. The benefit which is diffused over the rest of the nation is little spoken of. The million may gain by finding some article of general consumption cheapened. They accept the boon without either recognising, or taking the trouble to ascertain, the source from which it comes. The many who are benefited are silent ; the few who are injured are ceaseless and clamorous in their complaints. Between 1858, just before the negotiation of the Anglo- French Treaty, and 1876, the imports from France to England have increased from 13,271,0007. to 41,200,0007., and the exports from England to France from 9,242,0007. to 26,ooo,ooo/. This great increase in the trade between the two countries shows that the French and the English obtain rom each other, respectively, a larger quantity of commodi- ties which could not be obtained at all unless they were imported, or which can be imported at a cheaper rate than they can be produced at home. In thus opening the French market more freely to the English, and the English market more freely to the French, it may no doubt have happened that the demand for some particular article may 156 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. have been reduced in consequence of the home demand for it being diminished. Thus in 1858 the amount of silk manufactures, and silk imported from France into England was only 2,3oo,ooo/. ; it was 9,800, ooo/. in 1875. Although it appears from these figures that the English purchase a greater quantity of French silk than they did before, it does not necessarily follow that less silk is in the aggregate manu- factured in England. The home and foreign demand for an article may both be so much increased that a larger impor- tation may be accompanied by a considerable augmentation in the home production. Thus the value of woollen cloth and yarn imported into France just before the Treaty in 1859 was 100,000!. ; the value exported in the same year was 7,ooo,ooo/. Thus the value of these goods exported exceeded that imported by 6,900,000/1 After the Treaty had been in operation for sixteen years, the value of the woollen cloth and yarns imported into France, had increased to no less an amount than 3,7oo,ooo/. But in the same time, the value of these goods exported from France had increased to i4,ooo,ooo/. It therefore appears that although the French woollen manufacturers complain more than any other class of traders of the injury that has been inflicted upon them by the increased importation into France of woollen goods from England, yet at the very time when this increased importation has been taking place the French woollen manufacture has been developed to a remarkable extent ; for the figures just quoted show that during the time the Treaty has been in operation, an increase of the import of woollen goods of 3,6oo,ooo/. has been accom- panied by an increase in the export of no less than 7,ooo,ooo/. The amount, therefore, by which the export of woollen goods has increased, exceeded by nearly 100 per cent., the amount by which the imports have in- creased. Such facts as these are persistently ignored by the French protectionists who oppose the renewal of the Treaty. They constantly refer to the additional quantity of manu- vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 157 factured articles imported from England, as if each bale of woollen or cotton goods sent from England to France necessarily caused a corresponding decrease in the quantity of these goods manufactured in France. The depression in the woollen trade in France cannot be produced by foreign importation, when there has been so great an in- crease in her export of woollen manufactures. This depression has undoubtedly been brought about by causes analogous to those which have produced depression in England and other countries; it simply represents one of those vicissitudes or reactions to which every trade is liable. The opposition which is being offered in France to the renewal of the Commercial Treaty with England, has been assisted by another circumstance to which it is desirable to direct attention, because it affords an instructive example of the influence which economic fallacies, which are gener- ally supposed to have been long since exploded, can still exercise on public opinion. There is no single point on which greater stress is laid, by various chambers of commerce in France, that have been most prominent in opposing the Treaty, than the change which has lately taken place in the relative amount of French exports and imports. For some years previous to 1876 the exports from France exceeded her imports. The average annual amount of this excess was about 9,ooo,ooo/. In 1876 the balance was turned in the opposite direction ; for, in that year, the value of the produce imported into France exceeded the value of that exported by i6,ooo,ooo/. This change in the condition of her trade seems to have created great alarm ; the fear is widely expressed that France is being drained of her resources, and the Commercial Treaty is consequently the more strongly denounced because it is considered to have been instrumental in producing this " unfavourable balance of trade." No trustworthy conclusions with regard to the industrial position of a country can be drawn from the 158 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. trade statistics of a single year. This excess of French imports over exports may be due to accidental and tem- porary circumstances; but if it should continue to be a permanent feature of the trade of France in the same way as it is of that of England, it would follow, as was shown in the last chapter, that there had been a marked improve- ment in the condition of France: that whereas formerly she was so much in debt to foreign countries that each year she had to send a considerable amount of produce abroad in order to liquidate this indebtedness, these countries have become so much indebted to her, her wealth has in fact so much increased, that, besides receiving payment for the goods she exports, there is annually due to her a surplus amounting to many millions. When it is thus seen that the renewal of the Treaty is opposed on so many different grounds, it may not impro- bably happen that an attempt to negotiate another treaty between France and England will fail. If this should be the case there are many of our own countrymen who will no doubt think that England should depart from the policy which she has been pursuing, that she should take some steps to defend her own interests, and that she should no longer continue, as is so often said, " to give everything to foreigners and get back nothing from them in return." If France, refusing to renew the Treaty, should increase the duties on English products which were reduced at the time the Treaty was first negotiated, there are those who maintain that England should in turn impose heavier duties on the articles which she imports from France. Such a policy of retaliation has already been recommended by many English chambers of commerce. Although the undoubted right of England, under such circumstances, to increase the duties levied on French products, may be fully admitted, yet the important question to be determined is, not whether it would be justifiable, but whether it would be expedient for England to pursue such a course. It cannot be denied that vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 159 a country which has carried out a free-trade policy with thorough completeness is not in a favourable position to bring pressure to bear upon another country to accept a commercial treaty. If in England it were believed that an dvantage would be derived from the imposition of a pro- tective duty, we should then be able to propose to com- pensate ourselves by the imposition of such a duty, for any injury that France might inflict on our trade by increasing the duties on English goods imported into France. A protectionist country is obviously in a much better position to negotiate a commercial treaty than one that has adopted a complete free-trade policy. France knows that she might, for instance, raise all her import duties to the point at which they stood before they were reduced by the Treaty, without incurring any real risk that England would, in order to retaliate upon her, depart from the principles of free trade and impose protective duties on French products. The import duties which are imposed by the tariff of the United States are far higher than those which were levied in France before the Treaty ; and yet, as previously explained, we are absolutely powerless to retaliate upon the United States for the very serious injury which her tariff inflicts on English trade, without such a policy recoiling with disastrous effect upon ourselves. It would be possible by the imposi- tion of a high protective duty, on some article which is largely imported into England from the United States, to make the people of that country suffer a loss, similar to that which is inflicted on England by the maintenance of their protective tariff. More than three-fifths of all the produce which is exported from the United States is sent to England ; and the trade of America might be very seriously crippled if she were excluded from the English market by a system of protection similar to that with which she prevents other countries obtaining free access to her own markets. But serious as is the harm which might thus be done to the United States, it is trifling compared with the disastrous 160 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. consequences which would be brought upon England, if we imposed protective duties with the object of impeding the importation of American produce. It has been clearly shown, by the statistics of American trade, that in order to retaliate upon her with any effect it would be necessary to levy protective duties either on articles of general con- sumption, or on products which represent the raw material of our most important branches of manufacturing industry. By thus making the food of the people dearer, we should cause ourselves, as a nation, an amount of loss and incon- venience compared with which the disadvantage to America which would result from the diminution of her export trade would be trifling. Again, by artificially raising the price of cotton and other products, which form the raw material of some of our leading industries, their very existence might be imperilled. It may, however, be thought that the position of American trade is exceptional, and that our imports from no other country consist to so large an extent of food and raw material. Such articles of manufacture as silks, cottons, and woollens are imported to a very considerable amount into England from France, and as many of these articles come into direct competition with the products of English industry, it may be supposed that although we are precluded by the nature of our trade with the United States from pursuing a policy of retaliation towards her, yet we might with advantage impose duties on French manufactures, if France, refusing to renew the Commercial Treaty, subjects English trade to new restrictions. Such a proposal has already met with considerable support from several English chambers of commerce ; and it has been suggested that if the treaty is not renewed, the English Government should be asked to impose duties on silks and other articles of French manufacture. It therefore becomes important to consider what would be the result of carrying out the policy thus indicated. vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 161 The value of the manufactured silk annually imported into England from France is about 6,ooo,ooo/. ; and this importation would no doubt be considerably reduced if an import duty of 10 per cent, were imposed. Let it be assumed that this duty is a general one, and is levied on all manufactured silk from whatever country imported. The only effect of attempting to confine such a duty to French silks would be that the purpose of the duty would be almost entirely defeated. Nothing would be more easy than for the French manufacturer to send his silks, in the first place, to another country, prior to their exportation to England, and thus secure their entrance into the English mafket duty free. If the duty were imposed on all foreign silks, the price of these would be increased in the English market by somewhat more than the amount of the duty. The foreign manufacturer would thus be placed at a disad- vantage in the English market, compared with the home manufacturer; and the English people would purchase a larger quantity of English silks and a less quantity of foreign silks. The price of silks in the English market, whether of foreign or of home manufacture, would be increased. The advance in the price of the former must be sufficient to compensate the foreign manufacturer for the duty which he now has to pay. The rise in the price of English silk could not permanently be of any advantage to silk manufacturers or their operatives, because, as has been so frequently shown, the competition of capital and labour, seeking remunerative employment, prevents the continuance of an abnormally high rate of profit and wages in any special industry. An increased amount of capital and a greater proportion of the labour of the country would be employed in the silk trade ; but after the trade had settled down to its regular condition, a larger return could not be yielded to this capital and labour than is yielded in other industries. With regard to the interests of the consumer, as distinguished from u 162 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. those of the producer, it is evident that every one who had to purchase silk, would have to pay a higher price for it. This extra price would, however, only represent a part of the loss to the general consumer. French silks are not always purchased in England on account of their greater cheapness ; they are often preferred because they are considered to be superior in colour, and are more attractive in other respects. Without desiring to express any opinion as to whether this preference is well-founded, it is obvious that if a protective duty were imposed, those who wished to buy French silks, would be fined, because they preferred them to silks of English manufacture. It therefore follows, as is the case with all taxation imposed with the object of protecting home industry, that the amount which the taxation yields to the revenue of the State, very inadequately represents the loss and incon- venience which are caused to the general community. A more serious objection, however, against imposing a duty on some article of French manufacture, with the view of punishing the French for refusing to renew the Com- mercial Treaty, arises from the fact that if such a policy were once commenced it is impossible to foresee the extent to which it might not be developed. It may, for instance, be said that silk is a luxury; and that there could be no very great hardship if those who purchased such a luxury had to pay a somewhat higher price for it. If we could impose a duty on French silk, and then stand still, little harm might possibly result. But every trade in England which is injured, or which supposes itself injured, by foreign com- petition, would immediately set up a claim for legislative protection. The very first bale of cotton goods that might be sent from America to England, after the silk manufacturer had obtained protection, would inevitably unite the whole cotton interest in Lancashire to demand that their trade should enjoy a similar security against foreign competition. Parliament would be petitioned, deputations would wait vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 163 upon the Government, and an amount of political influence would be brought into activity which there would be no chance of successfully resisting. It is almost impossible for a country to depart, however slightly, from the prin- ciples of free trade, without rendering a further departure inevitable. From each step that is taken in the paths of protection, increasing momentum is acquired, which will hurry a country on still farther in a policy of commercial restriction. As it appears therefore to be impracticable for a country to resort to retaliatory import duties, unless it is prepared to sanction an indefinite extension of protection, it may be desirable to consider whether greater success would attend the imposition, as has been often proposed, of an export duty on some article for which there is a demand in those countries to whose markets free access for English goods is denied. There are many, for instance, who consider that it would be highly advantageous for England to impose an export duty on coal. It is supposed that through such a duty we might obtain a considerable revenue from foreign countries ; and it is also thought that the possible increase of the duty might be kept as a weapon in reserve, which might be used to threaten foreign countries, if they sub- jected our commerce to increased restrictions. It is thus said that nothing would probably exert a more powerful influence in preventing the French increasing their duties on English goods, than if they could be told that from the very moment they increased these duties we should compel them to pay a higher price for every ton of English coal they purchased. It can, however, be easily shown that it is rarely, if ever, possible to impose an export duty without producing consequences, and incurring risks, which, at the time the duty is imposed, are not foreseen. As an example, it may be mentioned that when the Anglo-French Treaty was discussed in the English Parliament, a considerable amount of support was given to a proposal to levy. an M 2 164 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. export duty on coal. It was then very generally thought that England possessed such advantages in the production of coal, that the imposition of a moderate export duty would scarcely affect the foreign demand for English coal. In thus compelling foreigners to contribute to our revenue, whilst no injury was done to any branch of our own trade, it was argued that we should be partly compensating our- selves for the loss inflicted upon us by the commercial restrictions of other countries. From events which are now happening, it appears that if such an export duly had been sanctioned, foreign countries would gradually have ceased to purchase coal from us, and would have obtained it from other sources. Thus, a certain quantity of American coal is at the present time being sent to Europe ; and it is confi- dently anticipated by the people of the United States that they will be able in future greatly to extend this trade. It may, therefore, with certainty be concluded that if the export of coal from England had been burdened with a duty, we should soon have entirely lost the foreign market for our coal. In a period of depressed trade like the present, the maintenance of such a duty would be im- possible. There has been a great diminution in the profits of the proprietors of coal-mines ; their workmen are suffer- ing great distress in consequence of the reduction of wages to which they are obliged to submit ; and it would be felt that there could be no justification whatever for adding to the difficulties which have thus to be encountered, by con- tinuing to maintain a duty which, though it might yield nothing to the state, would have the effect of destroying the foreign demand for English coal. Equally serious objections apply to every proposal which has been made for the imposition of a retaliatory export duty. Thus it has been suggested by some economists of authority, that with the object of benefiting our manufac- turers, it would be desirable to impose an export duty on English machinery. Various foreign countries, it is said, VI.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 165 which restrict the importation of our goods by protective duties, employ English machinery, to a large extent, to manufacture articles which compete with the products of our own industry ; and in this way we supply the weapons of our own discomfiture. But if such a duty had been sanctioned it would, like an export duty on coal, have led to consequences which at the time of its imposition were not anticipated. Although at one time the machinery which foreign countries imported was chiefly obtained from Eng- land, yet there was nothing to warrant the conclusion that these countries must always necessarily look to England for the mechanical appliances which their own industry did not supply. We possess neither a monopoly of inventive skill, nor a monopoly of the iron, copper, and other materials from which machinery is constructed. The American people are at least as inventive as ourselves, and with their inexhaustible mineral resources, there is no reason why machinery of American manufacture should not be as cheap and as good as machinery made in England. It would therefore be impossible to impose an export duty on English machinery without greatly diminishing the foreign demand for it, and we should thus inflict a very serious injury on an important branch of English trade with no other result than compelling the French, the German, and the American manufacturers either to purchase their machinery from their own countrymen, or instead of buying it from England, to import it from some other country. This falling-off in the foreign demand may, however, be regarded as representing only a part of the harm which might be done by such a duty. With the gradual diminution of the foreign demand for English machinery, an important stimulus to enterprise and invention would cease to operate. Nothing is so likely to secure constant watchfulness to introduce every possible improvement into machinery, as the knowledge that in foreign markets we shall have to contend with the keen and active competition of other countries. It might also 166 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. happen that if there were any discouragement to mechanical invention in England, foreign machinery might be more largely employed in our own industry, and thus a double disadvantage would result : for there would be a decline not only in the foreign, but also in the home demand for English machinery. As therefore it appears to be impossible for England, without inflicting upon herself very serious injury, to impose either import or export duties with the object of bringing pressure to bear on those countries which refuse to arrange commercial treaties with her, the question will no doubt be asked : " Can nothing be done ? " It is, for instance, often said that it cannot be right for England to pursue a policy of passive indifference, and to continue to adhere strictly to the principles of free trade, when on all sides her proposals for commercial treaties are rejected, and when her access to foreign markets is being barred by more onerous restrictions. To the inquiry : " What ought under these circumstances to be done ? " it seems that we are irresistibly led to the conclusion, that, however much we may be prompted by a natural feeling of annoyance and disappointment to adopt retaliatory measures, we cannot by any possibility enter upon such a course of retaliation, without greatly aggra- vating instead of mitigating the mischief which is done to our trade by the protectionist tariffs of other countries. It has been shown that whether it be by the imposition of protective duties on the goods which we import from these countries, or by the levying of an export duty on the products which they purchase from us, England cannot carry out a policy of retaliation without very seriously imperilling her own industrial interests. Nothing would give more en- couragement to foreign protectionists than the slightest departure on our part from the principles of free trade. Such a departure would be welcomed as an omen that we had at last found it necessary to secure our industry against the evils of foreign competition. If, however, we are firmly vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 167 resolved not to be drawn by any provocations, great though they may be, from a policy of commercial freedom, events will again and again occur which we may confidently an- ticipate will gradually bring conviction even to the staunchest supporters of protection, that the policy we thus maintain is not less just to others than beneficial to ourselves. Circum- stances connected with the present industrial depression are undoubtedly giving a powerful assistance to the cause of free trade. So long as prosperous times continued, wealth was so rapidly accumulated in the United States, that the American people could hardly be expected to take much heed- when they were told that if protection were abolished their country would become even still richer. Now, how- ever, when this prosperity has temporarily passed away, and wide-spread distress prevails, every cause that may have heightened this industrial depression, is inquired into with anxious solicitude, and the wisdom of maintaining restricted tariffs is now doubted by many who, until recently, were their most unhesitating supporters. Two or three years ago, protection seemed to occupy a far more unassailable position in the United States than in any other country. The com- parative ease with which a period of industrial depression has been tided over in England, contrasted with the serious consequences which it has brought upon the United States, has caused so important a section of the American people to look with favour upon free trade, that it seems not im- probable that the principles of unrestricted commerce will gain ground most rapidly in the country where protection has hitherto held its strongest position. As affording some compensation for the loss and incon- venience that may be caused if the French refuse to renew the Commercial Treaty with England, it should be re- membered that great as are the advantages which result from such a Treaty, they are accompanied by at least one important disadvantage. When certain fiscal arrangements are entered into between two countries which are to remain 168 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. in operation during a fixed number of years, it is evident that throughout the continuance of this period, the freedom of each country to introduce changes in its tariff is some- what curtailed. Thus by the Anglo-French Treaty, it was stipulated that only certain denned duties should be levied upon French wines imported into England. Some event might have occurred, such, for instance, as a prolonged and costly war, which might have made it necessary for England to have raised additional revenue by indirect taxation. It this had been the case, the Treaty stipulations into which she had entered would have virtually prevented her obtain- ing any portion of this additional revenue by increased taxation on alcoholic drinks. Although it appears from the interpretation usually given to the terms of the Treaty, that if the duty on home-made spirits were increased, it would be possible to levy an equivalent increase of duty on spirits imported from France and other foreign countries, yet we should have been precluded from imposing an additional duty on French wines, because the Treaty only permits the duty on French products to be increased when this additional duty can be counterbalanced by a corresponding addition to the excise duty which is imposed on the same article when produced in England. The French have com- plained that their wines, even under the Treaty, are more heavily taxed than English beer, and we have met these complaints by affirming that French wine does not come into direct competition with beer. The same argument would have been used against us, if we had attempted, in apparent contradiction to the provisions of the Treaty, to increase the duty on French wines. If, however, an addi- tion had been made to the duty on malt and spirits, while the duty on French wines remained unaltered, it would have been at once objected that malt and spirits were unfairly taxed : not only the consumers of these articles, but English farmers, brewers, and distillers would have been able with justice to urge, that they would be placed VI.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 169 at a disadvantage, and that the growers of French wines would enjoy protection at the expense of English traders, if no addition were made to the duties levied on French wines. Again, if the duties were increased on all foreign wines except those which were imported from France, all the other wine-producing countries would have felt that they were unfairly treated, and they would not improbably have retaliated by subjecting English commerce to special restrictions. It seems that at the present time, we incur some risk of bringing such a spirit of retaliation into activity, in consequence of the agreement which we made with France, as to the particular amount of duty which should be levied on her wines. It is alleged by Spain that our duties are so adjusted as to place many wines which she produces at a disadvantage in the English market. The feeling that she has thus been unjustly treated, has prompted her to impose higher duties upon various products imported from England, than upon the same products imported from other countries. By the Anglo-French Treaty it was arranged that the duty imposed on foreign wines imported into Eng- land should vary with their alcoholic strength. The duty on wine of less than twenty-six degrees of alcoholic strength is is. per gallon ; on wines possessing an alcoholic strength between twenty-six to forty-two degrees the duty is zs. td. ; and on wines of greater alcoholic strength still higher duties are imposed. It is alleged by Spain that the sudden leap in the duty from is. to zs. 6d. subjects her to a special injustice ; for it is maintained that the majority of the light wines of France possess less than twenty-six degrees of alcoholic strength ; and therefore they can be imported at the minimum duty of is. ; whereas a great many of the light wines of Spain possessing an alcoholic strength slightly exceeding twenty-six degrees, are compelled to pay the comparatively high duty of 2s. 6d. per gallon, and are thus virtually excluded from the English market. Without expressing a positive opinion as to the justice of these 170 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. complaints, belief in them is so general in Spain, that the Government of that country was induced last year so to frame its budget as to place English commerce at a special disadvantage. Such an occurrence shows how important it is that a country which desires, in accordance with the principles of free trade, to place the goods of all other countries on an equality in its own markets, should not, in order to facilitate the negotiation of a commercial treaty with any particular country, admit its goods on exceptionally favourable terms. A consideration of the causes which at the present time retard the negotiation of commercial treaties, may be con- cluded by referring to one circumstance, which is supposed by some not only to impede the acceptance of these treaties, but also to give encouragement to the supporters of pro- tection in foreign countries. It has lately been frequently asserted by many who are engaged in one of the most im- portant of English industries, that it is vain for us to expect other countries to adopt the principles of free trade while we sanction the continuance of a protective duty in a dependency whose financial arrangements are directly under our con- trol. It has been urged with much persistency that the 5 per cent, duty which is imposed upon cotton goods imported into India, being a protective tax, ought at once to be repealed by the authority of the English Parliament, and that as long as the duty is permitted to remain, a national sanction is given on the part of England to protection. The subject has lately excited an unusual amount of attention ; because within the last few years many large cotton-mills have been erected in Bombay, and as some of the cotton goods which are imported into India, are of the same kind as the goods which are manufactured in these mills, it is evident that the Bombay manufacturers enjoy a protection of 5 per cent, on all the products they make which are similar in character to those imported. All the economic objections which can be urged against any protective duty vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 171 of course apply to this particular tax. The price not simply of those cotton goods which pay the duty is raised, but the duty causes the price of those goods which are made in India to be also raised ; consequently the tax takes from the people of India an amount far exceeding that which it yields to the State. The tax therefore, like every other tax which is protective in character, must be, on economic grounds, unhesitatingly condemned. The subject, however, cannot be regarded as one involving simply economic con- siderations. It would scarcely be appropriate here to dis- cuss the question in its political bearings, but it is perfectly obvious that the control which it is just and wise for the English Parliament to exercise over the taxation of any of its dependencies, involves political considerations of the first importance. A more serious error can scarcely be committed than to impose taxation on a people regardless of their feelings and their sentiments. The most equitable system of taxation which it is possible to devise for one country, may be altogether unsuited to other countries. Many financiers of authority who consider that the income- tax ought to be permanently maintained in England, are of opinion that in consequence of the many abuses which are inseparably associated with the collection of the in- come-tax in India, nothing but extreme necessity could justify its re-imposition in that country. In deciding whether the duties now imposed on cotton goods im- ported into India, ought at once to be repealed, it is of the first importance to bear in mind the peculiar and critical position of Indian finance. The great mass of the people of that country are so poor, and live with such extreme frugality, that with the exception of salt there is no article of general consumption which it is possible to tax ; and the duty on salt has been strained to its utmost point, being one of the heaviest duties ever imposed on a first necessary of life. As therefore there remains no article of general consumption which can be taxed, it is obvious that 172 FREE TRADE AND PROTECTION. [CHAP. the resources of taxation are extremely small in India ; for it is scarcely necessary to remark that the taxation which is most productive is that which is levied on some article in universal use, to which therefore the whole nation has to contribute. In recent years the expenditure in India has steadily and surely increased ; her revenue has advanced far more slowly; frequently-recurring deficits have had to be met by borrowing ; and her debt has been constantly augmented. Her financial position has been still further embarrassed by the recurrence within the last eleven years of no less than four famines, the cost of the last two of these famines reaching the sum of i6,ooo,ooo/. Under these circumstances no existing source of revenue can with prudence be surrendered ; and therefore the proposal to abolish the existing import duties on cotton goods cannot be dissociated from the question : What new taxation is to be imposed to fill the void in the revenue which the repeal of these import duties would create ? Hitherto those repre- sentatives of the English manufacturing interest who so strongly condemn these duties, have not recommended any other taxation to take their place, and no new tax has been suggested which would not be either far more burden- some, or far more disliked by the people of India them- selves. If by greater economy or by better administration, the expenditure of India were reduced, a sufficient surplus might be provided to enable these import duties to be repealed. But this greater economy and better administra- tion ought to be ensured before the revenue which these duties yield is relinquished. Many of those who have taken a prominent part in advocating the repeal of these cotton duties, have un- doubtedly been prompted by a sincere dislike to England being either directly or indirectly concerned with the maintenance of any form of protection. In urging, how- ever, the immediate repeal of this protective duty, it should be remembered that many English colonies maintain a vi.] COMMERCIAL TREATIES. 173 system of protection far more extended and far more onerous in its character. If no attempt is made to inter- fere with the colonies, while it is insisted on the part of England, regardless of the wishes of the Indian people, that a particular duty which is imposed in that country shall be repealed, the impression will not unnaturally be produced that India is unfairly treated, and that she is sacrificed to the interests of English manufacturers. Such a feeling no doubt already exists in India ; and it has been much intensified by the manner in which the question of the repeal of these duties has been advocated in England. The subject is habitually treated from the English rather than from the Indian point of view. The injury which is done to English trade by a restrictive duty is brought prominently to the foreground, and comparatively little notice is taken of the most cogent objection to be urged against this and every protective tax, that it takes from the people on whom it is imposed an amount which far exceeds that which it yields to the revenue of the State. In the appeals that are so often made that the Indian cotton duties should be abolished, in order that England may consistently maintain her adherence to the principles of free trade, the mistake which may be regarded as the cardinal error of the protective system, is not unfrequently committed : The interest of the manufacturers, as pro- ducers, is considered; the interest of the people, as consumers, is ignored. LONDON : R. CLAY, SONS, AND TAYLOR, PRINTERS, BREAD STREBT HILL, WORKS BY HENRY FAWCETT, M.P., Professor of Political Economy in the University of Cambridge. MANUAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. 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By W. T. BLANFORD. 8vo. 2is. Brimley. ESSAYS BY THE LATE GEORGE BRIMLEY, M.A. Edited by the Rev. W. G. CLARK, M.A. With Portrait. Cheaper Edition. Fcap. 8vo. zs. 6d, Bronte. CHARLOTTE BRONTE. A Monograph. By T. WEMYSS REID. With Illustrations. Second Edition. Crown Svo. 6s. Mr. Reid's little volume, which is based largely on letters, hitherto unpublished, from Charlotte Bronte to her school-fellow and lift-long friend, Miss Ellen Nussey, is meant to be a companion, and not a rival, to Mrs. GaskMs well-known "Life? To speak of the advantage of making biography autobiographical by the liberal use of correspondence has A 2 4 MAC Ml LLANOS CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN she was by nature (as Mr. Reid puts it) "a hatpy and high-spirited girl, and that even to the -very last she had the faculty of overcoming her sorrows by means of that steadfast courage which wis her most precious possession, and to which she was indebted for her successive victories over trials and disappointments of no ordinary character." The book is illustrated by a Portrait of the Rev. Patrick Bronte, several Views of Haworth and its neighbourhood, and a facsimile of one of the most characteristic of Charlotte's letters. Brooke. THE RAJA OF SARAWAK : an Account of Sir James Brooke, K.C.B., LL.D.. Given chiefly through Letters or Journals. By GERTRUDE L. JACOB. With Portrait and Maps. Two Vols. 8vo. 25*. " They who read Miss Jacob's book and all should read it: all ivho are under the delusion that in our time there is no scope for heroism, aitti no place for romantic adventure, and noplace for enterprise and ambition will see how incident is crowded upon incident, and struggle upon struggle, till in the very abundance of materials that come to her hand the authoress can scarcely stop to give sufficient distinctness to her wonderful narrative." ACADEMY. Brooke. RECOLLECTIONS OF THE IRISH CHURCH. By RICHARD S. BROOKE, D.D., late Rector of Wyton, Hunts. Crown 8vo. 4?. 6d. Bryce. Works by JAMES BRYCE, D.C.L., Regius Professor of Civil Law, Oxford : THE HOLY ROMAN EMPIRE. Sixth Edition, Revised and Enlarged. Crown 8vo. "js. 6d. "It exactly supplies a want : it affords a key to much which men read of in their books as isolated facts, but of which they have hitherto had no connected exposition set before them.'" SATURDAY REVIEW. TRANSCAUCASIA AND ARARAT : being Notes of a Vacation Tour in the Autumn of 1876. With an Illustration and Map. Third Edition. Crown 8vo. gs. "Mr. Bryce has written a lively and at the same time an instructive description of the tour he made last year in and about the Caucasus. When so well-informed a jurist travels into regions seldom visited, and even walks up a mountain so rarely scaled as Ararat, he is justified in think- ing that the impressions he brings home are worthy of being communicated to the world at large, especially when a terrible war is casting a lurid glow over the countries he has lately surveyed." ATHENAEUM. Burgoyne. POLITICAL AND MILITARY EPISODES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE REIGN OF GEORGE III. Derived from the Life and Correspondence of HISTORY, BIOGRAPHY, TRAVELS, ETC. 5 the Right Hon. J. Burgoyne, Lieut. -General in his Majesty's Army, and M.P. for Preston. By E. B. DE FONBLANQUE. With Portrait, Heliotype Plate, and Maps. 8vo. i6j. Burke. EDMUND BURKE, a Historical Study. By JOHN MORLEY, B.A., Oxon. Crown 8vo. "js. &/. " The style is terse and incisive, and brilliant with epigram and point. Its sustained power of reasoning, its wide sweep of observation and reflection, its elevated ethical and social tone, stamp it as a work of high excellence." SATURDAY REVIEW. Burrows. WORTHIES OF ALL SOULS : Four Centuries of English History. Illustrated from the College Archives. By MONTAGU BURROWS, Chichele Professor of Modern History at Oxford, Fellow of All Souls. 8vo. 14*. " A most amusing as well as a most instructive book. GUARDIAN. Campbell. LOG-LETTERS FROM THE "CHALLENGER." By LORD GEORGE CAMPBELL. With Map. Fifth and cheaper Edition. Crown 8vo. 6s. "A delightful book, -which we heartily commend to the general reader." SATURDAY REVIEW. " We do not hesitate to say that anything so fresh, so picturesque, so generally delightful, as thtse log-letters has not appeared among books of traz>el for a long time.' 1 EXAMINER. ' ' A more lively and amusing record of travel we have not had the fortune to read for some time. The whole book is pervaded by a spirit of life, animation, and fun" STANDARD. Campbell. MY CIRCULAR NOTES : Extracts from Journals ; Letters sent Home ; Geological and other Notes, written while Travelling Westwards round the World, from July 6th, 1874, to July 6th, 1875. B 7 J- F - CAMPBELL, Author of "Frost and Fire." 2 vols. Crown 8vo. 25-r. " We have read numbers of books of travel, but we can call to mind few that have given us more genuine pleasure than this. A more agree- able style of narrative than his it is hardly possible to conceive. We seem to be accompanying him in his trip round the world, so life-like is his description of the countries he visited." LAND AND WATER. Campbell. TURKS AND GREEKS. Notes of a recent Ex- cursion. By the Hon. DUDLEY CAMPBELL, M.A. With Coloured Map. Crown 8vo. 3^. 6d. Carstares. WILLIAM CARSTARES: a Character and Career of the Revolutionary Epoch (16491715). By ROBERT STORY, Minister of Rosneath. 8vo. I2J. 6 MACMILLAN'S CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN Chatterton : A BIOGRAPHICAL STUDY. By DANIEL WILSON, LL.D., Professor of History and English Literature in University College, Toronto. Crown 8vo. 6s. 6d. The EXAMINER thinks this "the most complete and the purest bio- graphy of the poet which has yet appeared, " Chatterton : A STORY OF THE YEAR 1770. By Professor MASSON, LL.D. Crown 8vo. 5.?. Cooper. ATHENE CANTABRIGIENSES. By CHARLES HENRY COOPER, F.S.A., and THOMPSON COOPER, F.S.A. Vol. I. 8vo., 150085, i&. ; Vol. II., 15861609, i8j. Correggio. ANTONIO ALLEGRI DA CORREGGIO. From the German of Dr. JULIUS MEYER, Director of the Royal Gallery, Berlin. Edited, with an Introduction, by Mrs. HEATON. Con- taining Twenty Woodbury-type Illustrations. Royal 8vo. Cloth elegant. 3U. 6d. " The best and most readable biography of the master at present to be found in the English language." ACADEMY. "By its pictures alone the book forms a worthy tribute to the painter s genius." PALL MALL GAZETTE. COX (G. V.) RECOLLECTIONS OF OXFORD. By G. V. Cox, M.A., New College, late Esquire Bedel and Coroner in the University of Oxford. Cheaper Edition. Crown 8vo. 6s. "An amusing farrago of anecdote, and will pleasantly recall in many a country parsonage the memory of youthful days." TIMES. " Daily News." THE DAILY NEWS' CORRESPOND- ENCE of the War between Germany and France, 1870 i. Edited with Notes and Comments. New Edition. Complete in One Volume. With Maps and Plans. Crown 8vo. 6j. THE DAILY NEWS' CORRESPONDENCE of the War between Russia and Turkey, to the fall of Kars. Including the letters of Mr. Archibald Forbes, Mr. J. E. McGahan, and other Special Correspondents in Europe and Asia. Second Edition, enlarged. Crown 8vo. ioj. 6d. Davidson. THE LIFE OF A SCOTTISH PROBATIONER ; being a Memoir of Thomas Davidson, with his Poems and Letters. By JAMES BROWN, Minister of St. James's Street Church, Paisley. Second Edition, revised and enlarged, with Portrait. Crown 8vo. fs. 6d. . THE RIVER CLYDE. An Historical Description of the Rise and Progress of the Harbour of Glasgow, and of the Im- provement of the River from Glasgow to Port Glasgow. By J. DEAS, M. Inst. C.E. 8vo. los. 6d. HISTORY, BIOGRAPHY, TRAVELS, ETC. ^ Denison. A HISTORY OF CAVALRY FROM THE EAR- LIEST TIMES. With Lessons for the Future. By Lieut. -Col. GEORGE DENISON, Commanding the Governor-General's Body Guard, Canada, Author of " Modern Cavalry." With Maps and Plans. 8vo. l8j. Dilke. GREATER BRITAIN. A Record of Travel in English- speaking Countries during 1866-7. (America, Australia, India.) By Sir CHARLES WENTWORTH DILKE, M.P. Sixth Edition. Crown 8vo. dr. " Many of the subjects discussed in these pages" savs the DAILY NEWS, " are of the -widest interest, and stick as no man who cares for the \ future of his race and of the -world can afford to treat with indifference. " Doyle. HISTORY OF AMERICA. By J. A. DOYLE. With Maps. i8mo. 4?. 6d. "Mr. Doyle's style is clear and simple, his facts are accurately stated, and his book is meritoriously free from prejudice on questions where partisanship runs high amongst us." SATURDAY REVIEW. Drummond of Hawthornden : THE STORY OF HIS LIFE AND WRITINGS. By PROFESSOR MASSON. With Por- trait and Vignette engraved by C. H. JEENS. Crown 8vo. IOJ. 6d. "Mr. Freeman may here be said to give us a series oj 'notes on the spot ' in illustration oj the intimate relations of History and Architecture, and this is done in so masterly a manner there is so much freshness, so much knowledge so admirably condensed, that -we are almost tempted to say that we prefer these sketches to his more elaborate studies." NONCON- FORMIST. HISTORY OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT, from the Foun- dation of the Achaian League to the Disruption of the United States. Vol. I. General Introduction, History of the Greek Federations. 8vo. 2is. OLD ENGLISH HISTORY. With Five Coloured Maps. Fourth Edition. Extra fcap. 8vo., half-bound. 6s. " The book indeed is full of instruction and interest to students of all ages, and he must be a well-informed man indeed who will not rise from'jts perusal -with clearer and more accurate ideas of a too much neglected portion of English history." SPECTATOR. HISTORY OF THE CATHEDRAL CHURCH OF WELLS, as illustrating the History of the Cathedral Churches of the Old Foundation. Crown 8vo. 3J. 6d. " The history assumes in Mr. Freeman's hands a significance, and, we may add, a practical value as suggestive of what a cathedral ought to be, which make it well worthy of mention." SPECTATOR. io MAC MILLARS CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN Fr e e m a n continued. THE GROWTH OF THE ENGLISH CONSTITUTION FROM THE EARLIEST TIMES. Crown 8vo. 5*. Third Edition, revised. GENERAL SKETCH OF EUROPEAN HISTORY. Being Vol. I. of a Historical Course for Schools edited by E. A. FREEMAN. Fifth Edition, enlarged. With Maps, Chronological Table, Index, &c. i8mo. 3^. f>d. "ft supplies the great want of a good foundation for historical teach- ing. The scheme is an excellent one, and this instalment has been accepted in a way that promises much for the volumes that are yet to appear." EDUCATIONAL TIMES. THE OTTOMAN POWER IN EUROPE : its Nature, its Growth, and its Decline. With Three Coloured Maps. Crown 8vo. ^s. 6d. Galileo. THE PRIVATE LIFE OF GALILEO. Compiled principally from his Correspondence and that of his eldest daughter, Sister Maria Celeste, Nun in the Franciscan Convent of S. Matthew in Arcetri. With Portrait. Crown 8vt>. 7^. 6J. Gladstone Works by the Right Hon. W. E. GLADSTONE, M.P. : JU VENT US MUNDI. The Gods and Men of the Heroic Age. Crown 8vo. cloth. With Map. los. 6d. Second Edition. "Seldom," says the ATHENAEUM, "out of the great poems themselves, have these Divinities looked so majestic and respectable. To read these brilliant details is like standing on the Olympian threshold and gazing at the ineffable brightness within." HOMERIC SYNCHRONISM. An inquiry into the Time and Place of Homer. Crown 8vo. 6s. "It is impossible not to admire the immense range of thought and inquiry -which the author has displayed." BRITISH QUARTERLY RF.VIEW. Goethe and Mendelssohn (18211831). Translated from the German of Dr. KARL MENDELSSOHN, Son of the Composer, by M. E. VON GLEHN. From the Private Diaries and Home Letters of Mendelssohn, with Poems and Letters of Goethe never before printed. Also with two New and Original Portraits, Fac- similes, and Appendix of Twenty Letters hitherto unpublished. Crown 8vo. 5*. Second Edition, enlarged. " . . . Every page is full of interest, not merely to the musi- cian, but to the general reader. The book is a very charming one, on a topic of deep and lasting interest" STANDARD. HISTORY, BIOGRAPHY, TRAVELS, ETC, n Goldsmid. TELEGRAPH AND TRAVEL. A Narrative of the Formation and Development of Telegraphic Communication between England and India, under the orders of Her Majesty's Government, with incidental Notices of the Countries traversed by the Lines. By Colonel Sir FREDERIC GOLDSMID, C.B., K. C.S.I., late Director of the Government Indo-European Telegraph. With numerous Illustrations and Maps. 8vo. 2U. " The merit of the work is a total absence of exaggeration, -which does not, however, preclude a vividness and vigour of style not always character' istic of similar narratives." STANDARD. Gordon. LAST LETTERS FROM EGYPT, to which are added Letters from the Cape. By LADY DUFF GORDON. With a Memoir by her Daughter, Mrs. Ross, and Portrait engraved by JEENS. Second Edition. Crown 8vo. gs. " The intending tourist who wishes to acquaint himself with the country he is about to visit, stands embarrassed amidst the riches presented for his choice, and in the end probably rests contented with the sober usefulness of Murray. He will not, however, if he is well advised, grudge a place in his portmanteau to this book." TIMES. Gray. CHINA. A History of the Laws, Manners, and Customs of the People. By the VENERABLE JOHN HENRY GRAY. LL.D., Archdeacon of Hong Kong, formerly H. B. M. Consular Chaplain at Canton. Edited by W. Gow Gregor. With 150 Full-page Illustra- tions, being Facsimiles of Drawings by a Chinese Artist. 2 Vols. Demy 8vo. 32^. Green. Works by JOHN RICHARD GREEN: HISTORY OF THE ENGLISH PEOPLE. Vol. I. Early England Foreign Kings The Charter The Parliament. With 8 Coloured Maps. 8vo. i6s. Vol. II. To the end of Elizabeth's Reign. 8vo. l6s. [To be completed in 5 Vols. "Mr. Green has done a work -which probably no one but himself could have done. He has read and assimilated the results of all the labours of students during the last half century in the field of English history, and has given them a fresh meaning by his own independent study. He has fused together by the force of sympathetic imagination all that he has so collected, and has %iven us a viviil and forcible sketch of the march of English histoty. His book, both ,in its aims and its accomplishments, rises far beyond any of a similar kind, and it will give the colouring to the popular view to English history for some time to come." EXAMINER. A SHORT HISTORY OF THE ENGLISH PEOPLE. With Coloured Maps, Genealogical Tables, and Chronological Annals. Crown 8vo. 8s. 6d. Fifty-second Thousand. " To say that Mr. Green's book is better than those which have prt' ceded it, would be to convey a very inadequate impression of its merits. It 12 MACMILLAWS CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN stands alone as the one general history of the country, for the sake of which all others, if young and old are wise, will be speedily and surely set aside." STRAY STUDIES FROM ENGLAND AND ITALY. Crown 8vo. 8s. 6d. Containing : Lambeth and the Archbishops The Florence of Dante Venice and Rome Early History of Oxford The District Visitor Capri Hotels in the Clouds Sketches in Sunshine, &c. " One and all of the papers are eminently readable." ATHEN/EUM. Hamerton. Works by P. G. HAMERTON : THE INTELLECTUAL LIFE. With a Portrait of Leonardo da Vinci, etched by LEOPOLD^ FLAMENG. Second Edition. Crown IOJ. f>d. 8vo. " We have read the whole book with great pleasure, and we can re- commend it strongly to all who can appreciate grave reflections on a very important subject, excellently illustrated from the resources of a mind stored with much reading and much keen observation of real life" SATURDAY REVIEW. THOUGHTS ABOUT ART. New Edition, revised, with an Introduction. Crown 8vo. Ss. 6d. "A manual of sound and thorough criticism on art." STANDARD. " The book is full of thought, and worthy of attentive consideration" DAILY NEWS. Hill. WHAT WE SAW IN AUSTRALIA. By ROSAMOND and FLORENCE HILL. Crown 8vo. IQJ. 6d. " May be recommended as an interesting and truthful picture cf the condition of those lands which are so distant and yet so much like home." SATURDAY REVIEW. Hole. A GENEALOGICAL STEMMA OF THE KINGS OF ENGLAND AND FRANCE. By the Rev. C. HOLE, M.A., Trinity College, Cambridge. On Sheet, is. A BRIEF BIOGRAPHICAL DICTIONARY. Compiled and Arranged by the Rev. CHARLES HOLE, M.A. Second Edition. i8mo. 4J. 6d. Hozier (H. M.) Works by CAPTAIN HENRY M. HOZIER, late Assistant Military Secretary to Lord Napier of Magdala : THE SEVEN WEEKS' WAR ; Its Antecedents and Incidents. New and Cheaper Edition. With New Preface, Maps, and Plans. Crown 8vo. 6s. "All that Mr. Hozier saw oj the great events of the war and he saw a large share of them he describes in clear and vivid language.'" SATURDAY REVIEW. HISTORY, BIOGRAPHY, TRAVELS, ETC. 13 (H. M.) continued. THE BRITISH EXPEDITION TO ABYSSINIA. Compiled from Authentic Documents. 8vo. gs. " This" says the SPECTATOR, " will be the account of the Abys- sinian Expedition for professional reference, if not for professional reading. Its literary merits are really very great." THE INVASIONS OF ENGLAND : a History of the Past; with Lessons for the Future. Two Vols. 8vo. 28^. The PALL MALL GAZETTE says : "As to all invasions executed, or deliberately projected but not carried ouf, from the landing of yulius Casar to the raising of the Boulogne camp, Captain Hozier furnishes copious and most interesting particulars. Nor is his manner inferior to his matter. He writes with admirable lucidity. His narrative, too, in addition to its clearness and animation, is flavoured with much delicate humour, often of a verv significant kind." Hiibner. A RAMBLE ROUND THE WORLD IN 1871. By M. LE BARON HUBNER, formerly Ambassador and Minister. Translated by LADY HERBERT. 2 vols. 8vo. 25*. " It is difficult to do ample justice to this pleasant narrative of travel . ... it does not contain a single dull paragraph" MORNING POST. Hughes. Works by THOMAS HUGHES, Q.C., Author of "Tom Brown's School Days." MEMOIR OF A BROTHER. With Portrait of GEORGE HUGHES, after WATTS. Engraved by JEENS. Crown 8vo. $s. Sixth Edition. " The boy who can read this book without deriving from it some addi- tional impulse towards honourable, manly, and independent conduct, has no good stuff in him." DAILY NEWS. ALFRED THE GREAT. New Edition. Crown 8vo. 6s. Hunt. HISTORY OF ITALY. By the Rev. W. HUNT, M.A. Being the Fourth Volume of the Historical Course for Schools. Edited by EDWARD A. FREEMAN, D.C.L. i8mo. 3^. " Mr. Hunt gives us a most compact but very readable little book, con- taining in small compass a very complete outline of a complicated and perplexing subject. It is a book which may be safely recommended to others besides schoolboys." JOHN BULL. Irving. THE ANNALS OF OUR TIME. A Diurnal of Events, Social and Political, Home and Foreign, from the Accession of Queen Victoria to the Peace of Versailles. By JOSEPH IRVING. Fourth Edition. 8vo. half-bound. i6j. ANNALS OF OUR TIME. Supplement. From Feb. 28, 1871, to March 19, 1874. 8vo. 4;. 6 Fra Angelica, and Savonarola. They are picturesque, full of Ufa and rich in detail, and they are charmingly illustrated by tht art of the engraver " SPECTATOR. Oliphant THE DUKE AND THE SCHOLAR; and othe Essays. By T. L. KINGTON OLTPHANT. 8vo. "js. 6d. " This Z'olii 'tie contains one of the most beautiful biographical essays we have seen since Macaulay's diys." STANDARD. Otte. SCANDINAVIAN HISTORY. By E. C. OTTE. With Maps. Extra fcap. 8vo. 6s. " We have peculiar pleasure in recommending this intelligent resume of Northern history as a book essential to every Englishman who interests himself in Scandinavia." SPECTATOR. Owens College Essays and Addresses. By PRO- FESSORS AND LECTURERS OF OWENS COLLEGE, MANCHESTER. Published in Commemoration of the Opening of the New College Buildings, October 7th, 1873. 8vo. i^s. Palgrave (Sir F.) HISTORY OF NORMANDY AND OF ENGLAND. By Sir FRANCIS PALGRAVE, Deputy Keeper of Her Majesty's Public Records. Completing the History to the Death of William Rufus. Vols. II. IV. 2U. each. Palgrave (W. G.) A NARRATIVE OF A YEAR'S JOURNEY THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARABIA, 1862-3. By WILLIAM GIFFORD PALGRAVE, late of the Eighth Regiment Bombay N. I. Sixth Edition. With Maps, Plans, and Portrait of Author, engraved on steel by Jeens. Crown 8vo. 6s. " He has not only -written one of the best books on the Arabs and one of the best books on Arabia, but he has done so in a manner that must command the respect no less than the admiration of his fellow-country" men." FORTNIGHTLY REVIEW. ESSAYS ON EASTERN QUESTIONS. By W. GIFFORD PALGRAVE. 8vo. icw. 6d. " These essays are full of anecdote and interest. The book is decidedly a valuable addition to the stock of literature on which men must base their opinion of the difficult social and political problems sug- gested by the designs of Russia, the capacity of Mahometans for sovereignty, and the good government and retention of India" SATURDAY REVIEW. DUTCH GUIANA. With Maps and Plans. Svo. 9*. ' ' His pages are nearly exhaustive as far as facts and statistics go, while they are lightened by graphic social sketches 'as well as sparkling descriptions of scenery." SATURDAY REVIEW. HISTORY, BIOGRAPHY, TRAVELS, ETC. 21 PattCSOn. LIFE AND LETTERS OF JOHN COLERIDGE PATTESON, D.D., Missionary Bishop of the Melanesian Islands. By CHARLOTTE M. YONGE, Author of " The Heir of Redclyffe.' With Portraits after RICHMOND and from Photograph, engraved by JEENS. With Map. Fifth Edition. Two Vols. Crown 8vo. 12s. ' ' Miss Yongfs -work is in one respect a model biography. It is made up almost entirt!y of Pattesotts own letters. Aware that he had left his home once and for all, his correspondence took t 'he form of a diary, ana' as we read on we come to know the man, and to love him almost as if wt had seen him." ATHEN/EUM. "Such a life, with its grand lessons oj unselfishness, is a blessing and an honour to the age in which it is lived ; the biography cannot be studied without pleasure and profit, and indeed we should think little of the man who did not rise from the study of it better and wiser. Neither the Church nor th. nation which produces such sons need ever despair of its future." SATURDAY REVIEW. Pauli. PICTURES OF OLD ENGLAND. By Dr. REINHOLD PAULI. Translated, with the approval of the Author, by E. C. OTTE. Cheaper Edition. Crown 8vo. 6s. Payne. A HISTORY OF EUROPEAN COLONIES. By E. J. PAYNE, M.A. With Maps. i8mo. 4.?. 6d. The TIMES says : " We have seldom met with a historian capabk oj forming a more comprehensive, far-seeing, and unprejudiced estimate of events and peoples, and we can commend this little work as one certain to proi'e of the highest interest to all thoughtful readers.'" Persia. EASTERN PERSIA. An Account of the Journeys of the Persian Boundary Commission, 1870-1-2. Vol. I. The Geo- graphy, with Narratives by Majors ST. JOHN, LOVETT, and EUAN SMITH, and an Introduction by Major-General Sir FREDERIC GOLDSMID, C.B., K. C.S.I., British Commissioner and Arbitrator. With Maps and Illustrations. Vol. II. The Zoology and Geology. By W. T. BLANFORD, A.R.S.M., F.R.S. With Coloured Illus- trations. Two Vols. 8vo. 42^. " The volumes largely increase our store of information about countries with which Englishmen ought to be familiar. .... They throw into the shade all that hitherto has appeared in our tongue respecting the local features of Persia, its scenery, its resources, even its social condition. Thev contain also abundant evidence of English endurance, daring, and spirit" TIMES. Prichard. THE ADMINISTRATION OF INDIA. From 1859 to 1868. The First Ten Years of Administration under the Crown. By I. T. PRICHARD, Barrister-at-Law. Two Vols. Demy 8vo. With Map. 2is. 22 MACMILLAN'S CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN Raphael. RAPHAEL OF URBINO AND HIS FATHER GIOVANNI SANTI. By J. D. PASSAVANT, formerly Director of the Museum at Frankfort. With Twenty Permanent Photo- graphs. Royal 8vo. Handsomely bound. 31.?. 6d. The SATURDAY REVIEW says of them, " We have seen not a few elegant specimens of Mr. Woodbury's new process, but we have seen none that equal these. " Reynolds. SIR JOSHUA REYNOLDS AS A PORTRAIT PAINTER. AN ESSAY. By J. CHURTON COLLINS, E.A. Balliol College, Oxford. Illustrated by a Series of Portraits of distinguished Beauties of the Court of George III. ; reproduced in Autotype from Proof Impressions of the celebrated Engravings by VALENTINE GREEN, THOMAS WATSON, F. R. SMITH, K. FISHER, and others. Folio half-morocco. $ 5.?. Robinson (H. Crabb). THE DIARY, REMINISCENCES, AND CORRESPONDENCE, OF HENRY CRABB ROBIN- SON, Barrister-at-Law. Selected and Edited by THOMAS SADLER, Ph.D. With Portrait. Third and Cheaper Edition. Two Vols. Crown 8vo. 12s. The DAILY NEWS says : " The two books which are most likely to survive change of literary taste, and to charm while instructing generation after generation, are the 'Diary' of Pepys and Boswell's l .Life of Johnson. ' The day will come when to these many will add the ' Diary of Henry Crabb Robinson' Excellences like those which render the personal revelations of Pepys and the observations of Bonvell such pleasant reading abound in this work." Rogers (James E. Thorold). HISTORICAL GLEAN- INGS : A Series of Sketches. Montague, Walpole, Adam Smith, Cobbett. By Prof. ROGERS. Crown 8vo. 4*. 6d. Second Series. Wiklif, Laud, Wilkes, and Home Tooke. Crown 8vo. 6s. Routledge. CHAPTERS IN THE HISTORY OF POPULAR PROGRESS IN ENGLAND, chiefly in Relation to the Freedom of the Press and Trial by Jury, 16601820. With application to later years. By J. ROUTLEDGE. 8vo. i6.r. " The volume abounds in facts and information, almost always useful and often curious" TIMES. Rumford. COUNT RUMFORD'S COMPLETE WORKS, with Memoir, and Notices of his Daughter. By GEORGE ELLIS. Five Vols. 8vo. 4/. 14?. 6d. Seeley (Professor). LECTURES AND ESSAYS. By J. R. SEELEY, M.A. Professor of Modern History in the University of Cambridge. 8vo. los. 6d. CONTENTS: Roman Imperialism: I. The Great Roman Revolu- tion; 2. The Proximate Cause of the Fall of the Roman Empire; HIS TOR Y, Bl OGRA PH Y, 7 RA VELS, ETC. 23 The Later Empire. Milton's Political Opinions Milton's Poetry Elementary Principles in Art Liberal Education in Universities English in Schools The Church as a Teacher of Morality The Teaching of Politics : an Inaugural Lecture delivered at Cambridge. Shelburne. LIFE OF WILLIAM, EARL OF SHELBURNE, AFTERWARDS FIRST MARQUIS OF LANSDOWNE. With Extracts from his Papers and Correspondence. By Lord EIXMOND FITZMAURICE. In Three Vols. evo. Vol. I. 1737 1766, I2J. ; Vol. II. 17661776, I2J. ; Vol. III. 1776 1805. l6j. " Lord Edmond Fitzmaurice has succeeded in placing before us a wealth of new matter, -which, while casting valuable and much-needed light on several obscure passages in tlit political history of a hundred years ago, has enabled us for the first time to form a clear and consistent idea of his ancestor." SPECTATOR. Sime. HISTORY OF GERMANY. By JAMES SIME, M.A. i8mo. y. Being VoL V. of the Historical Course for Schools, Edited by EDWARD A. FREEMAN, D.C.L. " This is a remarkably clear and impressive History of Germany. Its great ei'ents are wisely kept as central figures, and the smaller events are carefully kept not only subordinate and subservient, but most skilfully woven into the texture of the historical tapestry presented to the eye." STANDARD. Squier. PERU : INCIDENTS OF TRAVEL AND EX- PLORATION IN THE LAND OF THE INCAS. By E. G. SQUIER, M.A., F.S.A., late U.S. Commissioner to Peru. 8vo. With 300 Illustrations. z\s. The TIMES says: " No more solid and trustworthy contribution has been made to an accurate knowledge of what are among the most wonderful ruins in the world. .... The work is really what its title implies. While of the greatest importance as a contribution to Peruvian archceology, it is also a thoroughly entertaining and instructive narrative of travel. .... Not the least important feature must be considered the numerous well execuled illustrations" Strangford. EGYPTIAN SHRINES AND SYRIAN SEPUL- CHRES, including a Visit to Palmyra. By EMILY A. BEAUFORT (Viscountess Strangford), Author of " The Eastern Shores of the Adriatic." New Edition. Crown 8vo. 7^. 6d. Thomas. THE LIFE OF JOHN THOMAS, Surgeon of the "Earl of Oxford" East Indiaman, and First Baptist Missionary to Bengal. By C. B. LEWIS, Baptist Missionary. 8vo. los. 6d. 24 MACMILLAWS CATALOGUE OF WORKS IN Thompson. HISTORY OF ENGLAND. By EDITH THOMP- SON. Being Vol. II. of the Historical Course for Schools, Edited by EDWARD A. FREEMAN, D.C.L. New Edition. i8mo. 2s. 6d. " Freedom from prejudice, simplicity of style, and accuracy of state- ment, are the characteristics of this volume. It is a trustworthy text-book, and likely to be generally serviceable in schools." PALL MALL GAZETTE. " In its great accuracy and correctness of detail it stands far ahead of the general run of school manuals. Its arrangement, too, is clear, and its style simple and straighljonvard." SATURDAY REVIEW. 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