LIBRARY UNIV6»S«TY OF CALIFORNIA SAN OIE&O 0^^ 10 1. THE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY OF ENGLAND VOLUME 1. THE REFORMER'S BOOKSHELF. Large Crown 8vo, cloth, 3s. 6d. each. 1. The English Peasant: His Past and Present. By Kichard Heath. 2. The Labour Movement. By L. T. Hobhocse, M.A. Preface by R. 15. H.AI.D.ANE, M.P. 3 & 4. Sixty Years of an Agitator's Life : The TliiicI and Cheaper Editiwn of (>KO. Jacob Holyoake's Autobiography 2 vols. With Portrait by Waltef* Sickert. 5&6. Bamford's Passages in the Life of a Radical. Edited, and with an Introduction, by Hexky Dixckley (" Verax";. 2 vols. 7. The House ■ of Lords : A Retrospect and a Forecast. By T. A. Sl'ALDlXt;. 8. Titled Corruption : The Sordid Origin of some Irish Peerages. By J. G. SuiiT .MacNeill, M.P. 9 & 10. The Economic Interpretation of History : Lectures on Politic.^l Economy and its History, delivered at O.xtord, 1887-1888. By Prof. Thoroi.D Rogers. Third Edition. 2 vols. n & 12. The Industrial and Commercial History of England: Lectures delivered to the University of Oxford. By Prof. Thorold ROGERS. Second Edition. Edited by his Son, Arthur G. L. Rogers. 2 vols. 13. Nihilism as it Is. Being Stepxiak's Pamphlet Translated by E. L. VovxiCH. .-md Kei.ix Volkhovsky's " Claims of the Russian Liberals." With an Introduction by Dr. Spexce W.vrsox. 14 & 15. Charles Bradlaugh: A Record of His Life and Work. Bv His Dauj.ihter. Hyi-athia liRADLAfGH BOXXER. With an Account of His Parli.iinentary Struggle, His Politics, and His Attitude to Religion, by John- M. Roi'sEinsox. 2 vols. Third and Cheaper Edition. 16 & 17. The Inner Life of the House of Commons. By Wn.LiAM White. Edited by W. Hale WiiiTE. With an Introduction bv Justin McCarthy, M.P. 2 vols. The Industrial and Commercial History of England {LECTURES DELIVERED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD) \ BY JAMES E. THOROLD ROGERS PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL ECONOMY IN THE UNIVEKSITY OF OXFORD AND OF ECONOMIC SCIENCE AND STATISTICS, KING'S COLLEGE, LONDON EDITED BY HIS SON, ARTHUR G. L. ROGERS VOLUME I THIRD IMPRESSION Xon&on T. FISHER UN WIN PATERNOSTER SQUARE MDCCCXCVIII [All rights reserved.] PREFACE. The discourses in the present volume, which contains almost all the hitherto unpublished comments on the Economic History of England delivered in public by my father, were originally given in the form of lectures in the University of Oxford. They were given in the hall of Worcester College in the autumn of 1888, and the spring of 1889. Although it had been his intention to publish these lectures some day in the form of a book, they were found at his death in the same form as they were composed originally, with the addition of a few pencil notes alone. For, in accordance with a very common practice, he considered it advisable to repeat these two courses before they were finally committed to print. There is always a certain weighty sense of responsibility attached to the work of editing the writings of another. But this feeling is accentuated when the text is not in the condition which the author would have considered final. It would have impaired the value of the book had it been given to the world exactly as it stood, because it was so full of those local and personal allusions, with which my father used to illustrate his arguments, that though the interest might have been increased for a certain class of readers, the point would often have been missed by others. There are passages in the MS. which I am sure my father would not have kept in his proofs. But, on the other hand, it is out of place in an editor to alter the text of his author, if there is any possibility of the reader thereby misinterpreting the meaning, or getting any false impres- sion. And yet I am conscious that there are instances where the progress of economic research, or the march of history, has dis- vi PREFACE. proved theories which three years ago were accepted by my father in common with nearly every other man and woman in England. The theory of the causes and methods of the immigration of agricul- tural labourers to London, as held by everybody in 1889, is recog- nized nowto be incorrect, though soquiet has been the progress of the new theory that few people quite realize how diametrically opposed their ideas on the subject were some years ago to what they are now. I should like to be able to omit the antiquated theory from its place in the chapter on immigration, but it is so woven into the rest of the chapter that it was difficult to pick out one thread without unraveling the whole piece. For the same reason the lectures are printed exactly in the order in which they were delivered, although it is obvious that there is no special connec- tion between some of them, and though from a mere perusal of the titles a different order might appear at first more suitable. But this, after all, is the less important, as these lectures, like those published under the title of " The Economic Interpretation of History," aimed rather at expounding the methods used by my father in his studies than at announcing new facts, or enunciating new theories. The six volumes on the " History of Prices " contain the extracts from the original authorities he had con- sulted, and his deductions from them on the economic and social condition of the English people during the greater part of their history. The " Six Centuries of Work and Wages " contain the epitome of his longer work, not only in a more popular form, but also with some direct reference to more political aspect of events. But though I have heard my father say that he believed that by a careful study of the facts published in his " History of Prices," future students would be able to contribute more information to the economic history of the Middle Ages than even he had done, he confined his original research during the last years of his life to the Completion of his great work. For I believe he considered it more important to impress his method on students of history and economics than to add more to our fund of information. At the present time by far the greater number of persons interested in economics have no part in either of the two great Universities. Those members of the University who care for the subject have little time to spare from other studies, while little more than PREFACE. vii an acquaintance with the main theories of the older economists is sufficient for the schools. Let the Professor of Political Economy teach what he will, even the undergraduates who seek honours in the history school, soon drop away. In this way it came about that the5e lectures were attended by an extremely small audience. Had the Professor of Political Economy given these lectures in some industrial centre, hundreds of workmen would, I believe, have paid to listen to them. But in the home of learning, some dozen men of educarion attended lectures thrown open, free, to every member of the University. If any apology were needed for the publication of this book, this alone would sufHce. A. G. L. R. CONTENTS. I. THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL IN ENGLAND I II. THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS . . .22 III. THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION AND THE CAUSES THEREOF. . . . . . -44 IV. THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES . . ' 5^ V. THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT . . . .89 VI. THF. ECONOMIC HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES . II3 X CONTENTS. vir. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL . . . I38 VIII. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR . . . 162 SECOND COURSE. I. THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE .... 184 II. THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT .... 205 III. CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND . . , .226 IV. LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS .... 248 V. MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. — I. EMIGRATION . . , 270 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY OF ENGLAND. THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL IN ENGLAND. Chauvinism in History — Blunders of economists and amateurs — Back- wardness of industry in Mediceval England— Exclusiveness of the I English — Foreign influence — Fallacy of the sole market — Arkwright \ — American and Continental Wars gave increased opportunities to English trade — Effect of Protection abroad on international trade. It is a common-place with many recent writers to indulge in what I may be allowed to call industrial Chauvinism. The habit, however, of uttering in the treatment of economical questions what is called in the political relations subsisting between different communities, " our country, right or wrong," is not patriotism, except in that sordid aspect of it which Johnson defined, but is constantly a pestilent, economical heresy, in which private advan- tage is affirmed to be a public benefit. I know no danger which 2 2 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. economical progress runs, which is more persistent and more menacing, than the maintenance or even the insinuation of this doctrine is. It is the key to those protectionist fallacies under which the sustentation of particular interests is made a national policy, and the mass of mankind is constrained to suffer in order that a few may be enriched. It is the ground on which the worst vices of our land system are defended, and British agri- culture is in ruins. It has not a little to do in this country with the clamour of the unemployed, and the wild schemes which are promulgated about the reconstruction of society. Nor is this vice confined to selfish agitators, like the Fair Trade people, or to in- terested sycophants, who try to gain popularity by defending abuses, or to the numerous adventurers who seek to get a hearing by flattering social and economical vices. Some of you may remember how vigorously Bentham dealt with the optimism of Blackstone, and his defence of the mass of chicanery to which law pleading had been degraded. In political economy much of this mischievous nonsense was written by MacCulloch, whose general arrogance was in curious and instinctive contrast with his habitual servility towards certain persons and certain interests. But the maintenance of economic truth is a very serious and urgent duty. As time goes on practical politics become increas- ingly the solution of economic problems, and they who wilfully or ignorantly mislead nations, or pander to the inherent vices of administrations, are among the worst enemies of mankind ; just as, on the other hand, the wise economist, who does not allow himself to be swayed by prejudice, or mere partisanship, or authority, is a true benefactor. Now the present position of Great Britain — I wish I could say the United Kingdom — is set out very clearly in a work which I have more than once commended to you, the second volume of Mr. Giffen's essays. It is true that this very able analyst of economical facts was engaged when he wrote this work in contro- verting some unfounded and invidious statements, which had been promulgated by ignorance or selfishness. It was not, it appears, his immediate business to point out what are the weak parts of our social or industrial system, but to show that certain allegations were baseless or false. Nor do I intend in the present THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 3 lecture to deal with that part of this important subject, for I purpose to reserve what has to be said on this topic to my next lecture. It is sufficient on this occasion to say that an analysis of the existing facts, which Mr. Giffen has, in my judgment, successfully carried out, is the best preparation which the student of political economy, in the best sense of the terms, can get for grappling with the solution of those most important problems which Adam Smith happily grouped, under the phrase " The Wealth of Nations." This great writer does not speak of classes, nor of our country. He intends to be comprehensive as regards the whole community, and cosmopolitan as regards other civilized nations, which have entered into the reciprocal relations of trade. The purpose which is before me in my present lecture is one which is almost entirely historical. I shall try to show you, beginning with the earliest times of which we have industrial evidence, what were the relations in which England, and at a subsequent period Great Britain, stood to other communities. I shall show to the best of my power what were the causes which induced the remarkable backwardness of this country in the industrial arts, and what were the causes which quite recently brought about this extraordinary development in this country and in Southern Scotland — in which, by the way, the progress was even more recent, but has been proportionately more rapid In this account of the country, I shall deal with agricultural as well as manufacturing progress, but shall not enter in detail into the development of the carrying trade, since I have reserved this for a special lecture. And perhaps there is hardly any part of political economy which is more indebted to the study of historical and social facts than that which traces the progress of a nation in the arts of life. Much, indeed, which the writers of the principal text-books have said about the production of wealth, with which part of economical analysis you will see that I am at present concerned, is accurate, though even here some of the gravest errors have been committed, partly because the analysis has been incomplete, partly because facts have been disre garded. Thus, for example, the theory of the " distribution of employments" — a phrase very properly substituted by Mr. Gibbon 4 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Wakefield in place of Adam Smith's "division of labour" — has been very fully stated, though even here, nothing is said of the employments in which the distribution is best efTected, of those in which it is not efTected at all, and, most important of all, the consequences of the process on the respective wages which work- men and employers earn, the latter as superintending the manual dexterity of the former. Nothing is more marked in the economical history of Western Europe than the mischief which the pirates of Scandinavia did to England, Ireland, and the northern coast of France from the beginning of the ninth to the end of the eleventh centuries. At the conclusion of this period these raids completely cease, and the very district from which these ravages originated becomes shortly afterwards the seat of a powerful commercial association, under the name of the Hanseatic League. It is plain that the impulse which led to this union was one of mutual defence against vio- lence, especially that of sea robbers, and that the trading towns which entered into the alliance collected a common fund for the purpose of securing a common safety. But it is constantly the case, especially during the period in which nearly all our informa- tion is derived from monastic chronicles, that no notice is taken of institutions till they are in their full vigour, and then very uncritical accounts are given as to the origin of such established facts. Thus it has been suggested that this famous League was derived from a confederation of the Rhenish towns, against the robber barons, the ruins of whose strongholds top nearly every hill on the banks of the Lower Rhine. But the traffic of the Rhine was eminently of Italian and Eastern produce, while that which the Ilanse towns defended was particularly that of the southern and eastern shores of the Baltic, and of Scandinavia, especially its eastern coasts, from which most important produce was derived in mediaeval trade. I have little doubt that the league of the Hanse towns had an earlier origin, that its first business was to root out the relics of those habits of piracy, which had been the scourge of Western Europe for nearly three centuries, and that the first notices of the League were made after it had long been active. Now with th-^ exception of Domesday Book, there is no trust- THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 5 worthy and continuous economical evidence in England till after the middle of the thirteenth century, when this League was cer- tainly in full vigour. After this period, indeed, the evidence is exact and copious, and the student of social life in England has abundant materials for the discovery of what that social life was. Many of you are aware that I have given many years and much labour to the collection of this evidence. I have fondly hoped that the students of these materials would ere this have made some profitable use of them. But just as the righteous souls of Mr. Skeat and Dr. Murray are perpetually vexed by the absurdi- ties of many who attempt philology, so in my poor way I have been astonished and amazed at the ignorance, presumption, and conceit of many, perhaps most, of those who have written on social England, who mistake that to which they refer, and draw grotesque inferences from their inner consciousness. Sometimes they think they have made a discovery, when the find is a common-place to an economic historian, and cackle through a volume or two of print, as a hen does, who, seeming to think that laying an egg is an occurrence of the rarest importance, takes care it should be duly advertised, and carefully reviewed. The reign of Henry III. is one of great social importance in English life. I will not say that society was organized during the long and, on the whole, peaceful life of this king, for I am persuaded that habits and practices long precede their discovery by constitutional antiquaries. But after the first half of the thirteenth century we get the evidence. I am sure that the dis- cipline of the manor court and the parish meeting long preceded the engrossing of the rolls on which the proceedings of the former assembly are recited. I am confident that formal gatherings, convened by the authority of the crown, which bargained grants for rights, and criticized the administration, are historically older than the records of the Rolls of Parliament, and the notices which antiquaries have collected. But, in the nature of things, conscientious collectors of facts inevitably give a principal value to the date of that which they have discovered. Most properly the editor of the Ncav English Dictionary takes chronological note of the earliest usage of a word. But he would never Venture on asserting that the word was not used, was not even 6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. familiar before his date, unless he could define the circumstances under which it was borrowed or loaned. Now let us look at the condition of England just at the time of that famous Parliament which Simon de Montfort collected in this city, 630 years ago, not a hundred yards from the place in which I am speaking. At that time there was only one corporation in Oxford, the University. Not a college was founded, though the University was trustee for some small funds which it distributed among masters, and finally relinquished to University College, a corporation whose real existence is 150 years later than the original gift was. For just as there are people who pretend that their family came over with William the Norman, and just as there are, as there were in the days of St. Paul, lying genealogists who encourage similar delusions, so there have been people who have alleged that the University and a respectable society in High Street were founded by King Alfred. Cambridge, nothing daunted, affirmed that it dated its origin from Edward the Elder. There were two elementary soriil units, the parish and the manor. Generally they were conterminous, but it was not infre- quently the case that one parish contained two or more manors, with different owners and with separate jurisdictions. The head of the parish was the parson ; of the manor, the seneschal or steward. It seems clear that the parish gathering had certain powers of taxation, the two bodies who always existed in the manor, the court baron, which dealt with rights of property, and the court leet which convicted of offences, being the prototypes of the Courts of Common Pleas and the King's Bench. Offenders were presented by one jury and tried by another, just as the grand and petty juries act now. The principal feature of the parish and manor was their com- plete isolation. There w6re hundred courts, probably rape and riding courts, and shire courts. But their action fell early into decay, probably because they had little business to do. Long after they had ceased to be active agents the manor courts sur- vived. But within parish or manor no strangers were permitted to reside. The harbouring them was an offence, and was punished by fine. The people in these primitive and isolated , THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 7 settlements took no thought of what lay beyond their borders. Within the boundary the peace was kept, and this by a very effective police. Outside it, on the no man's law, or in the King's forest, such a phenomenon was by no means universal. Jew, Lombard, foreign merchant, nay, even a travelling abbot, was not at all safe beyond the boundary. There is a curious account in the Rolls of Parliament, and in the petition of Isabel Tresham, widow of the great Speaker of 1450, of the manner in which a gentleman of estate travelled in those days on the king's highway, of the escort which he took, the road he drove, and the perils which he ran. But I am sure that in the troubled times which followed on Tresham's murder, property was not insecure within the boundaries of a parish or manor. It was a large parish which had over fifty inhabitants, a large town which had over 5,000. Now exactly the same facts which characterized a parish characterized a town. The town, to be sure, generally bought the privilege of electing its own magistrates. It created its own guilds or companies, the charters of these institutions being long subsequent to their foundation. The rule of these corporations was exclusiveness. But I imagine that London was more ready lo admit strangers, chiefly through apprenticeship, than the other towns were. Thus the two Chicheles, brothers of the archbishop who founded All Souls, were the sons of a tailor at Higham Ferrers. It is curious that with such an ancestry this college should have a generation ago affected aristocratic exclusiveness. The two Cannyngs, one of them Mayor of London in 1456, the other a rich merchant who built St. Mary, Redcliffe, were Bristol men by birth. But for every reason the cities and towns did not encourage the migration of country folk to within their liberties. And I believe the settlements of strangers in London, as the Italian merchants or money dealers of Lombard Street, and the merchants of the Hanse near the Tower, were there rather by royal grace than by city favour. On the whole, about four-fifths of the English people were country or upland folk, and the residue dwelt for the most part in towns. There is reason to believe that England exported a considerable 8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. quantity of corn, especially from the eastern counties to the Flemish towns, and it is certain that the whole of England largely exported wool. It was perfectly well known, if the manufacture of woollen cloths could only be established in England, that great advantages would follow, and the English kings were eager enough to encourage this development, though with very indifferent success. They strove to get weavers from Flanders, even after they were infected with those heresies, z>., dissent from established churches, which in some mysterious way always seem to have been rife among a manufacturing population. They exercised a police, immediate or delegated, over such manufactures as existed, and even tried the effects of prohibition, under the only effectual form of those days, a sumptuary law. It was in vain. There was indeed a woollen and linen manufacture in Norfolk, owing, I conclude, to its commercial intercourse with Flanders, though the county has the worst climate in England for woven fabrics, for which a moist atmosphere is all important. On the south of the German Ocean were the thriving cities of Flanders, any one of which produced more and better cloth than all England did, having indeed the monopoly of these fabrics. Now the estimable people who have studied commercial geography will tell you a great deal about the present condition of great commercial depots ; but they seldom, perhaps never, know why these places have become trading centres, and as rarely why they have, in some cases, ceased to be. And yet, to the historical economist, the circumstances which brought about the rise and fall of Ghent and Bruges are plain and instructive. The trade in Eastern produce, especially after the caravan routes over Central Asia were blocked by the savages which are still encamped in Asia Minor, Syria, and Northern Greece, centred at Venice and Genoa. The wants of Western Europe were supplied by the carriage of these goods, with the produce of Italy herself, over the passes of the Alps to the upper stream of the Danube and the Rhine. Thence they were conveyed to the Flemish cities, especially to Bruges, and distributed over the west, par- ticularly to France and England. Now trade, just as happened in Holland two or three centuries later, developed manufacturing skill. The cities grew under trade, the population increased, and THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 9 those who could be spared from trade produced merchandize. The downfall of this trade was due to two causes, almost con- current. The one was the conquest of Egypt in 1517, and the consequent block of the only remaining overland route from the East ; the other was the Spanish Inquisition, begun by Charles V., and carried out by Philip and Alva. Now it will be plain that this remarkable isolation of English life was a great obstacle to the development of manufacturing enterprise. In early days all the industries were of the villages in the eastern counties. One can see this, at the end of the thirteenth century, in the bailiff's accounts of Bigod's Norfolk estates. The principal seats of the woollen and linen industries were in villages, which grew indeed, but were never gifted with municipal rights, or even with parliamentary representation, and that at times when trumpery hamlets were made freely into boroughs, frequently it appears for political reasons. To be sure, Avhen the greatest manufacture of these boroughs commenced, at or near the middle of the fifteenth century, the eastern counties were firmly attached to the policy of the House of York, and by consequence to its pretensions. It is highly probable that the remarkable monopoly which England possessed, from the thirteenth century till the sixteenth, may have had a discouraging effect on English manufactures. England, as I have said, was emphatically a rural nation, generally occupied in husbandry. It produced an article of universal demand, and could control its supply. So completely was it the master of this market, that it could, though Parliament imposed a duty of from 100 to 150 per cent, and even more, on wool, without depressing the price at home, or calling another producer into existence. But so great a margin rendered the business of wool producing an exceedingly lucrative one. The landowner or yeoman could win a greater profit from his sheep than from any other agricultural operation. People were quite alive to the fact that a given quantity of wool spun and woven into cloth was worth weight for weight, many times more than the raw material. But you will find that communities which derive great profit from certain callings are slow to enter on new paths, and, if they do enter on them, are slow to improve them. Poverty, not want, lo INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. as the advocate of this abstraction argues in the Plutus, is the stimulant to the discovery or adaptation of the arts of life, and during the period on which I am dwelling, from 1260 to 1540, poverty was a distant risk in England. Something, too, must be ascribed to the singular backwardness of the English people, on which, indeed, I have already com- mented, curiously varied by extraordinary and unexpected out- bursts of political anger. Poor as the progress was, which was made in the textile industries of the eastern counties, for the best cloth always came from Flanders, I am persuaded that even this progress would not have been made but for the constant immigration of Flemings into Eastern England. I have frequently seen lists of inhabitants, tenants or owners in villages, which were within the eastern counties, half of whose names were Teutonic. I am sure, had I been at the pains of examining the taxing rolls of the eastern counties, still preserved abundantly in the Record Office, that I should have been able to supply cumulative evidence of the fact to which I call attention. But the organization which in the Flemish towns rendered it possible to produce the most finished fabrics was wanting to England. The guild of the Englishman was narrow, exclusive, local, and was not fitted to bring about results which had become habitual in Flanders. Besides, it is by no means easy to develop a new manufacture, even when the national conditions are present. Of course in those early times, the effectual discouragement of foreign imports was out of the question, and the government wisely imposed only very moderate customs duties. There are two national products of England the supply of which was inexhaustible as far as the raw material went, the one of which was in the highest degree significant. These are iron and salt. But the domestic produce of iron in England was scanty and of inferior quality, the country depending for what it wanted on Northern Spain and Sweden. The price, too, was prodigiously high. During the fourteenth century iron in mass was worth in money of the time £^ a ton. Now twelve is a very reasonable multiplier on the whole of the fourteenth-century prices. It needs no great acuteness to see what would be the effect on" agriculture, and for the matter of that on any industry, if at the THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. n present time iron were ;^io8 the ton. So again the national deposits of salt in Worcestershire and Cheshire are enormous. The Romans had certainly made use of the Worcestershire beds. But the art had been lost, and the English were so completely dependent on French supply, that the unrestrained export of salt from France was over and over again stipulated for in diplomatic instruments, and was supposed to be so essential to England, that the restraint of its export was suggested as a military tactic. Its use was essential to the fisheries, and if England could have supplied the Dutch and Flemings with a manufactured product, its monopoly would have been nearly as important as that of wool was. It was not till the end of the seventeenth century that the process of refining rock salt was rediscovered. Again the art of making brick was lost. There was plenty of Roman brick to be seen in Southern England, and the English did make tiles from an early period ; but they did not make brick till the latter part of the fifteenth century, and then they borrowed the revived art from the Flemings, as usual. A few years ago, in one of the Kensington exhibitions, visitors were shown a mediaeval London house. It was built of brick. But I am sure that at the time which that house was supposed to represent brick-making was unknown in England, and no bricks were used for house-building in London. The ordinary English house was a timber frame, on which, within and without, oaken laths were nailed, and covered with a strong plaster of lime, small sifted stones, and hair. After the rediscovery of brick- making, this material was, and for a long time remained, exceedingly dear. There is, however, evidence that England possessed early, and long continued to possess, a considerable mercantile marine. The fact is referred to by Frederic Barbarossa in the twelfth, and is allowed by the French herald-at-arms in the fifteenth, century. It appears that it v/as chiefly employed in the Baltic trade, and with that of Western France and Spain. But it made none of those discoveries which opened up two new worlds at the latter end of the fifteenth century. These were the outcome of Portuguese and Spanish enterprise. Very likely the timid and penurious habits of the first Tudor king may have been a discouragement, but we 12 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. are expressly told that English ships did not venture into the Mediterranean, when they might easily have chastised the Barbary and Algerine pirates, and have done great service to Christendom. Not indeed that there was lack of enterprise in their own seas. Early in the fifteenth century the Bristol fishermen, by the aid of the mariners' compass, reached the fishing grounds of Iceland, by the Hebrides and the western coast of Scotland. After the miserable and ruinous reigns of Henry VIH., Edward and Mary Tudor, even the mercantile marine of England shrank into insignificance. An attempt partially successful was made to reach Russia by the north, and Chaloner discovered the White Sea and Archangel, as the port is now called, in the reign of Edward. But for practical purposes the discovery was premature and abortive. There is no period in English history in which the English were poorer and more unenterprising than during the last fifty years of the sixteenth and the first forty of the seventeenth centuries. I am not forgetting the exploits of Drake and Frobisher, Raleigh and Hawkins. But these worthies were no better than pirates, and, a century later, would have been hanged at Execution Dock, as Captain Kidd was most righteously. Of course public approbation went with these old sea dogs, whom Plymouth has recently been eulogizing. It did long afterwards. Blackburn, sometime Archbishop of York (1724-43), is said to have been a buccaneer in his youth, and this long after the days of Kidd. It may not have been true, but it was freely stated during the lifetime of the archbishop, and I have never found out, though I have read a great deal of eighteenth-century literature, that the archbi.shop resented the charge. It was not, in point of fact, easy in those days, to draw the line between the missionary and the pirate. The beginnings of English progress were those of the East India trade, on which I hope to comment hereafter. These beginnings were very small and precarious. The Dutch East India Company had eight times the capital of the English. The Dutch were more enterprizing, more intelligent, and being bent, like the English, on securing a sole market, were more successful. There is a famous passage in Clarendon's History, which is highly THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 13 characteristic of that writer's mendacity. He says, speaking of the dissolution of 1629 : "There quickly followed it, so excellent a composure throughout the whole kingdom, that the like peace and plenty and universal tranquillity for ten years were never enjoyed by any nation," and " from the dissolution of the Parlia- ment in the fourth year to the beginning of this Parliament [i 640], which was above twelve years, this kingdom and all his Majesty's dominions enjoyed the greatest calm and the fullest measure of felicity, that any people in any age, for so long time together have ever been blessed with, to the wonder and envy of all other parts of Christendom." ' Now Clarendon may have had in his memory the condition of Germany during the worst period of the Thirty Years' War. I am ready to admit that England was better off than that unhappy country was, of which despotism and bigotry had made havoc. But it has been my business to study the social condition of England during those eleven or twelve )'ears, and I am sure, that with the exception of the long Continental war, at the end of the last and the beginning of the present century, there was no period of recorded history in which the lot of the mass of Englishmen was more degraded, more miserable, and more hopeless. The price of food was generally above the average of the century, and in one year, 1630, was that of an appalling famine. The wages of labour, stinted by the quarter sessions' regulations of the magi- strates, were miserably insufficient. The first necessaries of life, food and clothing, were dearer than they now are, and the wages of the labourer were not more than a third of that paid in the poorest agricultural districts. Of course. Clarendon thought that he could utter the false generalities without the risk of detection, and alleges that the despotism which he resisted in his better and earlier days was the golden age of England. You will remember that his famous work was unpublished till the accession of Anne, when it was deemed to have a high political value. The first movement of English industrial and trade activity was made during the Protectorate of Cromwell. The commercial policy of this remarkable man, undertaken according to the reputed wisdom of the time, was to cripple all possible rivals and to secure a sole market for England, or rather Great Britain. It ' Page 122, vol. i. Oxford University Press edition of 1839. 14 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. was at this time that the American plantations made great progress, that the East India Company began to obtain enormous dividends, and that generally the mercantile marine of England was revived, strengthened, and extended. *' The base mechanic fellow," as the exiled Stuart called him, developed a system, again I say in accordance with the wisdom of the age, which even the restored Stuart could not wholly destroy. From the Protectorate too dates the opulence of London, which even plague and fire could not subvert. The heirs of the Puritans gained that wealth which. gave stability to the second Revolution, because it found the new Constitution the necessary supplies. The most marked features in the industry of the later part of the seventeenth century were the discovery of the processes by which iron, cast and wrought, could be reduced, and the revival of the art by which rock salt could be refined. Iron and glass of the best quality for the time were largely manufactured in Sussex ; cast iron, with many of the uses to which this cheap material could be put, became a considerable industry at Dudley. Still wrought iron was more than twice as dear as rolled lead, ;^36 6s. 8d. a ton ; while lead was only £i(> 7s., and the multiplier at this time being two, in modern money ^^72 13s. 4d. and £-^2 14s. It was only when great improvements were made in reducing iron ores, and puddling the best produce, that machinery such as Arkwright, Watt, and Crompton invented would become possible. Now simultaneously with the improvement in these processes, perhaps in consequence of them, came the new agriculture, and with it a great development of British industry and prosperity, for cheap iron is a prodigious boon to husbandry, and successful agri- culture is the healthiest stimulant to manufacturing enterprize. The lamentable condition of British agriculture at the present time has its effects, and those serious enough, on all the other industries of the kingdom, effects so serious that, if private wisdom is not early enough to the rescue, legislation must obviate the efforts of stupid obstinacy. The new agriculture became a universal pursuit, and in some quarters remained a passion till about forty years ago. For nearly a century England was a great corn exporting country. In course of time English agriculture became the object of foreign imitation ; for Arthur Young bear^ THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 15 witness to the enthusiasm with which he, the student and annalist of the new system, was v/elcomed in France and else- where. I say English, for no such rapid progress marked the agriculture of the northern part of the island. The fact is, the Scottish lease, which the Duke of Argyll lauds as the quintessence of wisdom and justice, was imder its old conditions a very effectual bar to agricultural progress. Greatly as I respect the Duke's abilities, for I value them almost as highly as he does himself, T am constrained to accept the evidence of Sir John Sinclair as to what that most able and useful man saw, in preference to the Duke's ideal. But perhaps you may have read that there were very respectable persons, a couple of generations ago, who thought the imreformed parliament a perfect, almost a heavenly, instrument of government and administration. But one must go out of the world of action if one is to be frightened by paradoxes. There are times in which they sprout as plentifully as weeds do in wet summers, or pictures do for Burlington House, or patents do under the recent law. I have on a previous occasion set down not a little of the progress made in Great Britain (that of Ireland was rigidly re- pressed by prohibitive laws) to the peace of Paris in 1763. Nor do I swerve from the position which I laid down, that the effects of that most important political event were a prodigious stimulant to every kind of British enterprize. Chatham had at last succeeded in procuring for Great Britain that which every one taught and believed to be the Eldorado of commerce and manufactures — a sole market. In support of this, Spain and Portugal had alleged that the bulls of Borgia were an integral part of international law. In despite of them, to some extent under their colour, Holland had striven for a sole market, and England had been her rival. Even the Emperor of Germany had imagined that he could, by the Ostend Company, claim, if not the whole, at least a solid share of this great market. But the true rival of England was France. Yet on the conclusion of peace, England rose, according to the theory of the age, the sole winner in the game. France was expelled from India, and practically from North America, while England became, as she has remained, the sole colonizing nation. In these later days, we may know that the sole-market theory, i6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. whatever may be said of Greater Britain, is an illusion, that it was rent to pieces within a dozen years after it was affirmed and engrossed, and that the whole of Western Europe, though unable to procure it for themselves, strove successfully against the monopoly which the Seven Years' War aimed at, gained, and seemed to have secured. There are occasions in the history of nations, especially in their economical history, when delusions are as stimulating as realities. Now here was more than was hoped for. I do not wonder that the English rose to the occasion. The prospect of profit seemed to be instant and prodigious. At the time, however, Great Britain had only one or two successful manufactures. She had at last distanced every rival in the woollen trade, and had held this position for more than half a century ; for I have noticed that towards the close of the seventeenth century, the fine cloths of Spain had given place in the market to those of Holland, and at the beginning of the eighteenth the Dutch goods had been super- seded by English. North of the Humber and the Mersey, textile manufactures went apace. They had the better part of the New World to supply, and under the colonial system they were alone entitled to supply it. Now no one doubts the benefit rf a sole market, if it comes spontaneously, and as a result of the superior excellence of the article manufactured. If we could undersell, or much better, appropriate by the goodness of our products, foreign markets, in a fair and free competition, no rational person would doubt that we had satisfied the highest conditions of production and trade. It was, of course, different when the market was the result of military successes. It was artificial, and therefore precarious. The pioneers of this new development were our own country- men. Like the philosophy of Tarsus in the days of Strabo, and the youth of St. Paul, it was entirely of home growth. For the first, or nearly the first, time in our economical history, we were not indebted to foreigners for our improvements, to immigrants from other countries for our new departure. There is an instructive, and I believe accurate, story told about Arkwright. This successful manufacturer was originally a barber and wig- maker at Bolton in Lancashire. Some twenty years ago I came THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 17 across some of his business cards, printed while he plied this craft, and I gave them to the Bodleian Library, for you know that we ought to carefully preserve all the earliest records we can find of our merchant princes, and while Sir Bernard Banke traces them to Battle Abbey Rolls, we, whose business it is to find how intelli- gence and industry rise to eminence and opulence, should point our economical moral with the record of this early career. In his later days, Arkwright offered the British Government to incur a lai:;ge share of the expenses incurred in the Continental War, on condition that his patents were confirmed to him, ?>.,his spinning made his own monopoly indefinitely. I do not know why his offer was rejected. Pitt, who committed enormous financial crimes, was at his wit's end for money ; but I presume that the other spinners would not support him any longer if he excluded them from the prospect, just as the landowners refused to condone his foreign policy if he inflicted legacy duties on them. They bore with equanimity the taxes levied on labour and profits, and you may conclude why. But a tax on rents was not to be thought of. Now my informant was my late friend Sir Thomas Bazley, himself a Bolton cotton spinner. When Arkwright had almost perfected his first power loom, which you probably know meant a process by which the process of the old hand loom could be almost indefinitely multiplied, he found that the yarn as it was delivered through the rollers had an awkward, a fatal trick of curling back. He puzzled over this serious obstacle. At last he took the local blacksmith, who made his early machines, into counsel, and the man, one Strutt, told him that he thought he could cure it. Arkwright asked him his terms. Ten years' partnership and equal profits, was the reply. This was too much for Arkwright, who, like Naaman of old, turned and went away in a rage. But still the yarn curled, and dashed his hopes. At last he reluctantly yielded to the blacksmith. Then occurred another scene. The blacksmith insisted that the deed of partnership should be executed and enrolled. Arkwright stormed, and I regret to say, swore violently. But the local Vulcan was firm. When the deed was signed, the blacksmith went behind the rollers, and apparently rubbed one of them with his hand. 3 i8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Instantly the yarn was delivered as was wished, and the astonished and enraged Arkwright found that his new partner had only rubbed one of the rollers with a piece of chalk, in other words, proved that one of them should have a different surface from the other. The execrations of the enraged manufacturer were unspeak- able. But the compact held, and in the end the blacksmith became Lord Belper. I tell you this story, in which I trust I have anticipated the excellent Mr. Smiles, in order to illustrate how active the minds of English inventors in the north were during the period which followed on the peace of Paris, when a new world was opened to the energy of the British shopkeeper and merchant. All the invention, to be sure, was centred in the district which lies between the Trent and the Tay, and progressed very unequally in that region ; for the hand-loom weavers were by no means friendly to these discoveries, and took energetic means in order to wreck the new system. The manufacturers were even with them, and by help of Parliament hanged the frame-breakers by the score. I regret to say that the progress of British manufacture and trade was as destructive of human life as many battles have been. Before twelve years had well passed, the doctrine of the sole market received a fatal shock, a cotip de grace, in the war of American Independence. Most people dwell on the successful struggle of a principle which that war is said to have represented, that taxation without representation is tyranny. The English Parliament never so understood it, for they taxed abundantly, while they were in no sense representative. To the economist, it is, as it surely was, a struggle against the claim of a sole market, in which not America only, but United Europe, forced the British hand. Of course I am willing to admit that the economical con- sequences of this war are far less striking than the political. But they are more real and enduring, and in the end, as I shall show you, played the English game. Out of the American struggle came the French Revolution and the Continental war. But out of it also came the total impoverishment of Europe, and the indirect concession of a sole market to Great Britain. Had the United Kingdom kept out of the struggle, the indirect sole THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL. 19 market could have come with no 600 millions of debt at the back of it, no beggared and demoralized people among us, and perhaps a few less heroes. The reverses of the American war were a terrible disappointment. All seemed to be lost. But when great progress has been made in the industrial arts — and unprecedented progress had been made between 1763 and 1775 — the occupants of a threatened position do not relinquish their advantages without a struggle. For as soon as great capitals are invested in callings, and the profit of these investments is threatened, the most vigorous efforts are made to avert the disaster. Not to go on, to stand still, is more ruinous than working for a diminished gain, or shrunken profits. The stimulus to invention, that is to economy, grows keener and keener, as the risk of loss is anticipated, and the latter end of the eighteenth century was one of singular activity. Unhappily there was one direction which it took, I mean the enforced labour of the young. Wages were always low in the north, and Arthur Young is an unconscious witness of how inadequate they were in the district from which this new wealth was coming. As years went on, matters became worse ; legislation on behalf of children, under the name of Factory Acts, was urgently demanded, and owing to the unfortunate party patronage which it received was as vehemently resisted. Much good came out of the struggle, disfigured as it was by rancour and mendacity. The Factory Acts were passed, and the manufacturers retaliated, by enforcing the repeal of the Corn Laws, and by insisting on the concession of Free Trade. So great good came out of passions which were of ignoble origin. But before these results were arrived at, British manufacture was established on a firm basis, by the misfortune or folly of the other European States. None of us, in this day, can realize the horror and rage with which the events of 1792 and 1793 were witnessed by the European courts. Philosophers had welcomed the French Revolution, statesmen had applauded it, and it was believed at first that the propaganda of the Rights of Man, would obtain a patient and probably a favourable hearing. But the welcome was speedily followed by execration. Western Europe threw itself in anger on France, and after a short season 20 INDUSIRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. of doubt, was beaten back, overrun, trampled on. England was the only country which was not invaded, defeated, and held to ransom, and there was a time when it was within this risk. Now war means waste, and when nations have not only to bear their own waste, but to submit to an enemy's waste, and pay ransom in money and men to the conqueror, that community which has only its own waste to pay for is at a prodigious advantage. The Berlin and Milan decrees, prohibiting the importation of British goods into any country under French control, and denouncing the penalties of piracy against shippers who infringed the order, were entirely nugatory. It was proved that, during the time which it might be supposed that they would be effective, Napoleon's soldiers marched to Moscow in clothing purchased from English manufacturers. The exhaustion of Europe after the peace of 1815, left the British people — I seek to avoid offending Scottish sensitiveness, by using English, and am obliged to use a far absurder ethnic name — as completely the masters of a sole market, as if they had conquered it for themselves. The Continental war had absolutely arrested all continental progress. All the while England was making fresh way in the newer sciences, such as chemistry was, and her rivals were of the future. Of course English trade was crippled by an absurd tariff", and an abominable fiscal system, the first due to the imbecility of such men as Vansittart and Stan- hope, the second to the insatiable greed of the landed interest. The relaxation of the tariff" system in England, cautiously undertaken by Huskisson and others, suspended or blundered about by the Whigs and finally eff"ected by Peel, showed what British industry could do when it was freed from these trammels. For instance, very speedily after the abolition of the duty on printed calicos, the price of the finished article fell to less than the duty per yard previously imposed on it. Had not other European nations been more irretrievably depressed by the Continental war, the United Kingdom would have suflTered grievously by the foolish pranks of those who handled the finances. I should think that if any single thing would cure the innocent and simple from trusting in administrations, and prove to such persons that they should be severely criticized, the history of the revenue and THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIAL SKILL, i\ fiscal expedients during the deplorable epoch from 1790 to 1825 would, if wisely studied, be effectual. Events which have occurred in the course of the last fifty years in Europe and the United States, during which the former had to some extent recovered from its losses, and the latter had made great progress, but its career was interrupted by the Civil War, made for the British producer. The European wars have been rarely prolonged, but they have been sufficiently destructive, and this country was invited to repair the waste. The development of the United States led to the extensive loan of British capital, and the loans as usual were satisfied by British produce. The enormous waste of the four years' civil war was made up, despite a foolish and mischievous tariff, by British products, for the repair of the losses created so enormous a demand, that the barrier of the tariff, intended to be prohibitive was easily overleaped, and for ten or fifteen years after that war, British manufacture and trade proceeded, as was said at the time, by leaps and bounds. Even though Europe has profited by peace during two-thirds of a generation, I see no reason to think that British industry and invention are losing their hold on the world's progress, or that, as was the case some centuries ago, our people have to be taught by foreigners. On the contrary, the German has not got beyond the position of an imitator, and not an over honest one either. The United States have made no great discoveries. And so with the rest of the nations. Nor is the cause far to seek. These political communities had deliberately adopted protection. Governments have been too weak or too dishonest to be sensible, and are con- sequently crippling the intelligence of those whose affairs they administer, by pandering to the foolish, dangerous, and wholly unjust dictum, that private interests are public benefits. II. THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. Faults of early economists — Importance of study of distribution of wealth — Shortsif^htedness of some economists as to inventions and value of labour — Division of employ7nents — Skill of agricultural labourers — Agricultural inventions — Babbage on Adam Stnith — Effect of divi- sion of employments on continuity of labour — Causes of tlu growth and decay of nations chiefly econo7nic. I SHALL be engaged this morning in discussing some of the earliest common-places of political economy, positions which though constantly found to be far from exhaustive, are as far as they go accurate. For the conditions of economic progress are very much the same as the analysis of the production of wealth. I have on previous occasions pointed out how grave an error I think it is, to make this part of the analysis precede that of the distribution of wealth, for this latter is the true centre of all economic inquiry. But tradition goes a great distance with most people, and there was an honest reason for this confusion of order. I am not, indeed, quite clear that the excellent people who were responsible for the confusion, as I deem it, either foresaw the consequence, or imagined that the process which they adopted would give force to the very mischief which they strove to ex- pound and condemn. But when people begin to discuss and enlarge upon the processes by which wealth is produced, they are THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 23 apt to confuse the people who get wealth, a very unimportant, and occasionally a very noxious social element, with those who make wealth, that class on whose exertions not only the progress, but the very existence of society depends. And here, again, I must protest, that the better and more estimable a man is, the more incumbent is it on the honest inquirer to search into and expose such economical errors as he may be led into. You may forgive a man who makes a false estimate of another man. But a writer who gives a false view of a social problem must be dealt with on Aristotle's principle — Plato and I, he implies rather than says, are friends, but it is righteous to set truth above Plato and his theories. Now the authors of the method of political economy, in which the production of wealth is dealt with antecedently to the distri- bution of products, were the French economists or physiocrats. These excellent men were struck with the stupid hindrances which the French Government put on important industries, and the preposterous favour which it showed to others which were, at least comparatively, trivial. The habits of the time were unfavourable to any criticism as to the way in which France was plundered by a licentious court, and by the vile aristocracy and clergy which were dominant and rapacious. As is the case with many men in many ages, it was necessary to be silent on some scandals, if they were to have any hope of remedying others. In France, as you know, the inevitable temporizing of the econo- mists on the burning question of the distribution of wealth, led to the cataclysm in which the good and the evil were swept into a common destruction. Du Barry with Lavoisier ; the harlots with the philosophers. Let us hope that our history may not be dis- figured by any similar catastrophe. We cannot predict, least of all about the English nation, which has not infrequently in its history, exhibited a stubborn ferocity which has startled those complacent people who have been the objects of it. Nature, says Mr. Mill, gives human beings materials and powers. Both these terms are of enormously wide signification. Of course man cannot make matter. All that he can do is to induce utility in it — utility being employed in the very wide sense of that which is agreeable as well as that which is necessary. But 24 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. man has first to discover the properties of the different kinds of matter, and next the way in which he can appropriate those pro- perties most rapidly and most efficiently to his service. The properties of matter and the forces, powers, laws of nature, are as nothing till they are distinguished and utilized. There have been ages, it appears, when those qualities of certain kinds of matter which are now familiar to all of us, were utterly unknown. There will be, I do not doubt, discoveries made in the near or remote future, to which our present mastery over nature will seem to be the very infancy of discovery. Now there is nothing on which economists have been so apt to err, as in the limits which they have confidently put on man's powers over nature. Had they known how slowly, even with every apparent stimulus before them, nations which had extraordinary natural advantages, as for example our own people, have utilized them, and had they also known how other nations,with apparently every natural disadvantage to grapple with, have from time to time distanced those who had apparently far greater opportunities ; they would, I think, have spoken a little less confidently on the limits of industrial develop- ment in mankind. Speculative economists are apt to confound present impossibilities with permanent impossibilities. They who know ever so slightly what has been the course of human invention are aware of how often the impossibility of one age has been the easy process of another. We have no reason to doubt that the same expe- rience will be vouchsafed to future generations. We do not, in short, know all the materials ; we are still farther from knowing all the powers. We do know that the materials are utilized, and the powers discovered by labour, and that to such results the idlers contribute nothing. We also know that any given society can maintain only a limited number of idlers, and that these idlers constitute the redundancy of population, the true growth of numbers beyond the means of subsistence — the difficulty of the present, and the danger of the future. The appropriation, then, of materials, and the discovery and adaptation of powers, natural laws, qualities or properties of matter to human utility is the result of labour. The labour, even when exercised on what seems to be the most ordinary routine, must be intelligent. There is infinitely more distance between a savage THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 25 and the least skilled labourer — I am using a common-place term — than there is between that least skilled labourer and the most competent and active manager, inventor, and employer. You cannot extemporize labour, that is, you cannot call effective industry into existence by mere demand. It is quite possible to lose what cannot be recalled or recovered, and when people talk glibly of the emigration of the working classes, it is difficult to be patient with them. There are thousands whom we could far better spare than competent agricultural hands and skilful artizans. I do not accept Mr. George's position, that there cannot be a redundancy of genuine workers, but I can so far go with him as to recognize that there may be, and is, a redundancy of people who think themselves very ornamental and very superior. I defer to a later part of this lecture the exposition of what efficient labour is, and how it can be secured, maintained, and continued. I know no economic problem which is more impor- tant than this, none in which more serious practical blunders have been made by shallow metaphysicians. The education of workmen, the instruction of such persons in the conditions of their calling, and in particular in those conditions under which they can get the best possible remuneration for good work, are topics of the highest public interest. I am often amused, till I get irritated, at the self-satisfied way in which certain persons, whose very live- lihood, and all that they enjoy, depends on the continuity and efficiency of labour, lecture those whose industry is so all impor- tant, threaten them, seek to cajole and frighten them alternately, and imagine that their chatter is not detested and resented. For one cannot get out of this situation, that all wealth is the product of labour, and that the livelihood of all depends on the efficiency of labour. Nay more, the part which capital plays, important as it is in securing the continuity of labour, and comparative uniformity in the value of its products, is small indeed by the service which labour does to mankind. Many of the most familiar functions of capital have been dispensed with in the past history of races, which have made no small figure in the arts of life, and could, perhaps with little inconvenience, be dispensed with again. One of the earliest phenomena in progress of human societies is that which Adam Smith called the "division of labour." It appears 26 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. that this great writer was the first person who called attention to the importance of this fact of social life. At least I have not found that the French economists gave prominence to it. But, as Gibbon Wakefield long ago pointed out, the expression is very ambiguous, for the most complete division of labour is exhi- bited by those persons and classes who least of all come under Smith's principle and his illustrations, and for the sake of clearness, the phrase should be altered into the "division of employ- ments." Nor are the details of Smith's illustrations, and indeed of those who have followed him, exhaustive. Nor has it been pointed out with sufficient clearness how this division of employ- ments has been developed ; what are the industries of which it is specially characteristic, and what are the consequences of its development. For in some branches of human industry it is hardly developed at all. In some, at least in Smith's sense, it cannot be. But the analysis of human industry is very imper- fect, unless we first discuss the origin and limits of the division of employments. Even the rudest agriculture produces, as I have more than once stated, more than is sufficient for the wants of the husband- man, unless indeed, as is the case in some parts of Ireland, the narrowness of the holding is the result of certain well-defined causes. Some of you are perhaps aware that these small tenancies were originally manufactured freeholds for life, the motive for which came to an end at the time of Catholic Emancipation, when the Irish freehold franchise was abolished by law, and the life tenancies, having served their purpose, were not renewed. Now unless the landowner contrives to appropriate all but the bare maintenance of the occupier and his family, the excess of produce over necessary wants gives the producer the opportunity of transferring part of the labour which he previously had to give to another who is willing to undertake it, in exchange for a portion of the agricultural produce. In the early days of Eng- lish agriculture, the husbandman is bidden by those who write about his condition to supply himself as far as possible with the necessary tools and impltments of his calling. But very early he must have needed the labour of others in order to carry on his own calling. We may be sure that the smith, the carpenter, and THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 27 probably the wheelwright had their callings separate from but related to that of the husbandman. It is indeed almost certain that the art of smelting and working metals preceded that of the agriculturist. Now this is the first and the earliest form of the division of employments, and in more recent times it has been quite as phenomenally developed as that which Adam Smith described, and that which he illustrated. There are in our time many occupations, the products of which are in demand, which are in no other sense divided, and in which no progressive partner- ship, the characteristic of Smith's phenomena, can be developed. This is obviously the case with the higher works of art, in which the conception and execution are entirely the work of one person. But it would be absurd to deny that the prosecution of such callings illustrates the division of employments. There is indeed no surer mark of progressive civilization than the multipli- cation of such agents. It may indeed be unfortunate that the services of some such persons as obviously come under the defini- tion should be in demand at all ; but they exist and do that which they are engaged upon, because the labour of those who procure food can and does maintain them, and persons can be found who will pay them for their services. It is noteworthy that when these employments were few they were carried to remarkable perfection. Now in England and France the art of architecture was carried to perfection, at a comparatively rude age ; in Flanders, architecture and pictorial illumination. We know of English architecture that it was not, except rarely, the work of persons who were specially trained to plan buildings, but of artisans, of masons and carpenters. I know nothing so good as their work in modern times, so faultless in its proportions, so solid, so workmanlike. These workmen are im- measurably superior to modern architects, and the custom went on late. Wadham College was entirely designed by a mason, who had twenty shillings a week for his services, who worked with trowel as well as planned. And so with regard to the miniatures. We have many of these illustrated MSS. Other great libraries have as many or more. But only a fragment of these works has survived to our time. Books of devotion are inevitably worn out as a rule. And it is no use to say that the design and execution 28 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. of these works were entrusted to men with whom time was no object. One may well doubt the statement. The illuminator was hired to do the work, and no man works longer for his reward than he thinks necessary. Besides, no wealth of time will make up for defects of artistic skill, and it is the artistic skill which characterizes these remarkable products of a bygone time. And one knows how extraordinary was the fertility of some among the earlier artists. I stated above that the division of employments belongs to only some industries, and to others scarcely at all, except in that broader sense, which belongs to the origines of civilized and settled society. The most marked illustration, to take a common and familiar industry, is that of what is known as a first-class farm hand. Such a person has indeed a distinct occupation, and there- fore comes under that elementary division of employments which is characteristic of the earliest social condition, and is increasingly exhibited as human societies become more complex and thereupon more civilized. But his vocation once chosen, or forced upon him, as was the practice when he was made the residuum of all other kinds of labour, his value depends on the number of those operations which he can perform well. Let us consider these functions separately. I will assume that his work is not super- seded by machinery, as it cannot be entirely in several important avocations. He must be a good ploughman, ?>., he must not only draw a straight furrow, a work which requires an extra- ordinary education of the eye, but he must be well acquainted with, and be alive to, the powers of the team which draws his plough. In this latter capacity he is a good deal of a farrier, for however negligent employers may be, careless of the human beings who work for them, it is a plain loss to ill-use or over- strain a horse. He must then know how to drain superfluous moisture off arable land, and give a long ditch that decline which is essential to its efficiency. This has always struck me, who was in my youth familiar with agricultural operations, as a work of no little art. The other preliminary operations of husbandry are less difficult. But in old days, before drilling seed came into fashion, the operation of hand-sowing, with the object it had before it, that of giving exactly the amount of seed which the I THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 29 soil would bear, required a good deal of skill, and in those times was generally carried out by the farmer himself, or by his most trusty hind. On a well-tilled farm the plough is hardly ever laid aside. It was not six hundred years ago, and it is not. now. The earliest writer on English husbandry defines a carucate — and I suppose he knew more about the quantity than the wiseacres do who guess at it periodically in " Notes and Queries " — as the amount of land which a team of horses or oxen with their proper appliances could work on three hundred days in the year. But especially in small farming, say of from fifty to one hundred acres, a distribution of land which has been most unhappily too generally superseded, the good farm hand has to betake himself to other avocations. He will in due course mow, make, carry, and stack hay, and thatch the rick when he has built it. There is some difficulty in building a quadrangular rick, the base of which is less than the super- structure, so that it should be regular in shape, not top-heavy, and so fashioned as to take the minimum amount of thatch consistent with its being water-tight. Similar operations are, or were, carried out in the corn harvest, and in constructing corn- ricks. One of the operations which he did with great success in which machinery has almost superseded him was that of threshing, so as to get out the whole corn and bruise the straw as little as possible. Then there is no little art in plashing and trimming hedges, so as to make the growth even and to obviate gaps. And though in large farming the tending of sheep was always entrusted to separate hands, you will find that a first-class farm hand can undertake this part of the husbandman's business, if necessary. Of course there is beside the work of the farmyard, the poultry, the piggeries, and some of the rough work of the dairy. These accomplishments the farm hand has to acquire, and to acquire efficiently. You will see, then, that his industry is a marked exception to that division of employments on which Smith insisted as a dominant factor in the progress of human societies. The division belongs, however, to only a limited, and in point of importance, subordinate class of labour. The earliest, most necessary, and most interesting of the industries is little beholden to it. 30 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Now I have pointed out and illustrated this fact at length, partly because it is important to accurately analyse what is said about labour and its incidents, partly because I do not remember to have seen that the particulars on which I have dwelt have been accurately expounded by popular writers, partly, and much more, in order to point out to you how valuable is the industrial element which I have described. I do not here dwell on the political consequences which follow on the forced and ungracious expatriation of those who possess or have inherited this cumulative skill ; but it is within my right and my duty to enlarge on the economical consequences of the loss, and the probable sub- stitution for these persons of a less enterprizing or more supple class, who will most inadequately fill their places. The economic progress of society is assuredly not aided by the exit, voluntary or involuntary, of those who are economically the most valuable agents in it. Swift, no doubt, exaggerated when he makes his patriot being of Brobdingnag allege that the person who made two blades of grass grow where one grew before was worth all the politicians in existence. But a little less sweeping assertion is true. And when I say this I am far from endorsing what some economists have alleged about what they are pleased to call certain forms of unproductive consumption. I hold, and I have taught here, that any kind of labour which aids in relieving the strain of life and work is productive, and that that only is unproductive which is selfish and mischievous, and in no sense aids the general energies of society. And here I may add that, in my opinion, it is difficult to account for the rapidity and completeness with which these processes have been learned, except on the principle of hereditary aptitude, an expression which I conceive is more accurate than Galton's hereditary genius, of which, indeed, no evidence has yet been forthcoming. In manufacture, on the other hand, the principle of the division of employments has been very manifest, and much has been assigned to it by all who have written on it. Here, however, I must make a caution. It is generally imagined that infinitely more progress has been made in manufacturing industry than in agricultural. In some cases this is no doubt the case. But im- provements in manufacture are constantly made per salticm^ and 1 THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 31 attract attention by their suddenness. Those in agriculture are insensible, partly because the process itself is slow and gradual, partly because it is more gradually adopted. It took a hundred years to naturalize turnip culture in England, nearly as long to diffuse the principle of artificial selection in cattle, sheep, pigs, and poultry. It will, perhaps, take nearly as long to make the practice of ensilage common ; but I think I could show you, did occasion permit, abundant illustrations of the manner in which agriculture has progressed. It has been suggested that there would be an advantage in illustrating the division of employments or labour by speaking of it as co-operation, and Mr. Gibbon Wakefield, an ingenious com- mentator on the earlier part of Smith's work, has recommended the word co-operation, a term which, in his day, had not been so entirely appropriated as it has in ours. For, says Mr. Gibbon Wakefield, co-operation is of two kinds, simple and compound, both of importance in an economical analysis, the latter sense being that especially which illustrates the division of employ- ments, and he further observes that there is a notable economy in simple co-operation. Two horses, he says in illustration, will draw more than double what one will, as will two sailors working at a windlass, and the like. In compound co-operation each agent is employed on one function only, in the satisfaction of which he acquires extraordinary aptitude and skill. Now Adam Smith, in discussing his own position, discovers certain advantages in the process. First, " it occasions," he says, " a proportionate increase of the productive powers of labour," or, in other words, " it increases the dexterity of every particular workman ; " in the next, " it saves time which is commonly lost in passing from one species of work to another ; " and in the third place, it suggests the " iiivention of labour-saving and labour- easing machines." Two additions were made to Smith's theory by my late friend Mr. Babbage, and communicated to me a good many years ago. The one is, that in any operation which leads to a manufactured utility there are, however skilful persons may become, different degrees of skill in the operation. Let us take those of the processes of pinmaking in Smith's day. Let one be setting on 32 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the head, another grinding the point, a third sorting them into papers or boxes. The first requires more skill than the second, the second much more than the third. But if one person did all three, the commonest labour would be paid at the rate of the most skilful. Now the division of employments renders a graduated scale of pay possible, such a scale being proportioned to the difficulty or easiness of the operation. Now all economies in production are real improvements analogous to labour-saving machines. Mr. Babbage told me that though he had originated as far as he knew this criticism, he subsequently found something very like it in the writings of an Italian economist, who had also examined Smith's theory. The other addition which my friend claimed to have made to the exposition made by Smith was that the subdivision of employ- ments and the consequent efficiency of labour depended on the width of the market. If, therefore, economists are right in assigning so important a function in manufacture to the division of employments, it is plain that everything which widens the market is an advantage, everything which cripples or curtails it is an evil. Of course the width of the market must be ascer- tained, and with it the power which the producer has to supply the market. But this knowledge can only be acquired when ti-ade is free, for any attempt to impede the knowledge as to whether a community can compete against any other community precludes the possibility of learning whether we can employ our oppor- tunities to the best advantage. The principle of the division oi employments then, taken with the conditions by which it is surrounded, is an unanswerable argument in favour of free trade for ourselves, whatever other nations may do, for in this Avay we get the best and most solid information as to how we may supply the market, and how we may thereupon make it increasingly wide. Now what is the effect of the division of employments on the workman, and his power of earning wages ? At first sight it would seem that to tie him down to a single operation must be not only to make him ineffective for all other, but to make his calling eminently precarious. Thus we are told that fifty different artisans are engaged in making the different parts of a watch, and THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 33 all perform operations entirely different from the final act of putting all the parts together. Is not then each of these fifty men rendered useless for any other operation whatever, and is not therefore his special efficiency an injury to him ? But in ;point of fact, his position is not unlike that of the instrument in the pro- duction of which he is co-operating with forty-nine others. If watches are to be made, you can no more leave him out of the collective process than you can leave the part which he makes out of the watch. If it be absent the instrument is useless. If he be absent, by parity of reasoning, the whole process is arrested. His apparent weakness is therefore his real strength. To produce, you cannot do without him. It is very probable that in the days of the earlier watchmakers, when the same person finished the watch from wheels and spring to case, the occupation of a skilled workman was more precarious and more capricious than it now is, when he is the master only of the fiftieth part of the collective craft. I do not doubt, then, that the division of employments has strengthened the position of the workman by making his calling more necessary, and his occupation more steady. Nor are facts wanting to confirm what I have said. There has been in recent years an undoubted depression of manufacturing and agricultural profit. But the loss to the workman has been far greatest in those operations where the division of employments is least dominant, in agricultural as opposed to manufacturing callings. I do not doubt indeed, that the stint of labour in husbandry is a mischief, perhaps a folly. In old days it used to be thought that a farm hand to every twenty acres was good husbandry. If I am rightly informed, the employment is now one in thirty or forty. The Irish are wiser. Irish farmers who cultivate what in that country would be called large farms, z>., from 200 to 300 acres, have told me, when I have asked them, that they can do nothing on their system except with a man to every ten acres, and this though they are extensive purchasers of modern machinery. The manufacturer, however, has given far more serious, or at any rate, far more obvious pledges to fortune. Nine cases out of ten it is a less evil to go on than to stop. If he curtails his output he loses on his machinery which lies partly idle, on his .4 34 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. plant and buildings. As the husbandman who is slovenly or stingy in cultivating his fields soon finds them become like the garden of the sluggard, though he has the knack of blaming every one but himself for the catastrophe ; so the manufacturer sees that to diminish the effective use of his machinery is to invite some- thing worse than loss of profit. But the workmen in a factory where the division of employments is fully carried out — and where is it not ? — are an organization which cannot be allowed to be idle or to be dispersed any more than the machinery itself can be permitted the suspension of its activity. On the whole, it seems to me, that the division of employments has had a decidedly beneficial effect on the status of the workman. I have dealt at some length with this elementary part of the production of wealth, and by implication with one of the conditions of economic progress, in order to show to you that in handling these theories we must pursue them, in the light of facts, to their ultimate consequences, as well as see whether the initial analysis is complete. Nothing is more puzzling to the analyst of economical facts than the question as to how certain sites, famous for progress and opulence, secured this position for themselves. What site, for example, would have seemed more unpromising than that of Venice, built as it is on a heap of barren islets in a lagoon of the Adriatic ? But for centuries it was a prosperous city, for a long time it filled a very conspicuous place in the annals of Europe. It is easy to say that it contrived to appropriate all that came from that remarkable movement known as the Crusades, and that till the beginning of the sixteenth century it was the principal entrepot of Eastern commerce. But how was it that other Italian cities, to all appearance equally well situated, failed in the com- petition ? It certainly kept out of the factions which divided Italy, and treated Pope and Emperor with equal indifference. It certainly kept out of European complications, as Genoa did not. The only explanation which I can give here is, that at a very early part of its commercial career, and long before any of its possible rivals did, it developed to a singular extent the machinery of trade. And again, is anything more remarkable in history, than the unrivalled progress of Holland under what seen^ THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 35 to have been the greatest disadvantages ? Beyond its fisheries, when the War of Independence broke out, it had no manufactures to speak of and Httle trade. At the end of that war, and at the date of the twelve years' truce in 1609, it was, and remained for near a century and a half, the foremost trading manufacturing and agricultural country in Europe, the teacher of nearly everything to other communities. Again, it is not easy to assign its place to national character, or the prevalence of courageous opinion. Perhaps after Holland, there is no country which made such rapid progress as those parts of France did where the Calvinists or Huguenots were in the ascendency. These men were the principal cause why, in despite of an execrable government, France became populous and wealthy in the seventeenth century. The men whom Louis XIV. tried to destroy and at last expelled were the true founders of that wealth, and that discipline which gave him so marked an ascend- ency during the last quarter of that century. But the speculative opinions of the Huguenots did not differ materially from those which were prevalent in the eastern counties of England ; and these men certainly, whatever their general merits were, did not produce such an effect on English life and English industry as the French Huguenots did in France. It is very likely that national character depends on circumstances for its development, but it is by no means easy to determine what these circumstances are. The obvious reason in the case of the Dutch is that the very odds against which they struggled, and their almost constant success on sea, as soon as they ventured beyond Europe, gave their daring a promise, and that the position which the Huguenots occupied by the treaty or edict of Nantes made them a garrison within France itself, always circumspect and always enterprising. No doubt the government of the country, and in particular the relations of that government to economic conditions have to be taken into account in analysing the causes which lead to progress. Governments are almost invariably arbitrary as far as they dare, conceited as to their abilities and their acts, until they are criticized and exposed, and always ready to prolong their existence by base and mischievous alliances. In a well-ordered ^md progressive community it is wisdom to limit the functions of an administration 36 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. to the narrowest powers, to be perpetually vigilant over them, and in particular to watch narrowly and critically the conduct of what are called permanent officials, who are apt to do great mischief by mere love of ease and impatience at all intelligent labour. The government or administration of a country is a necessity, for anarchy is nearly as great an evil as a thoroughly bad government, but all authority should be put under the perpetual obligation of proving, as Aristotle said the public speaker should prove, its patriotism, its intelligence, and its devotion to public duty. It is too much to expect these conditions of perfection from any ad- ministration, but it is right always to demand them, it is wise to exact as much evidence of them as one can, and it is, or it may be, vital to depose an administration which violates them perpetually and fatally. Let me illustrate what I mean by the history of that ancient civilization which prevailed in Mediterranean Europe from the age of Pericles till the establishment of the Roman Empire, and thenceforward to the fall of the western part of it. The vices Avhich created the empire and destroyed it were all economical. I am not sure that we in modern times can decently charge the Roman people with the lust of conquest, for till a very recent date, most of the European monarchies would be throwing stones from glass houses. But unless the whole of the early history of the Roman Empire is a romance, the warriors of republican Rome were a militia of hardy and frugal husbandmen, whose first energies were turned to the defence of their own holdings. From this the transition to a conquering race, and by a slowly developed wisdom, in which law appears to have been the most powerful factor, an assimilating race, was natural and easy. It is a common-place to say, that the ties which bound them to their subjects must have been strong, even after merciless wars, for Hannibal to have made the very natural mistake, that if they were defeated in the open field, their unwilling subjects would revolt. It is true that they learned the lesson of political assimilation slowly, and after the committal of many errors. But they learnt it. From the earliest annals or hints of the condition of Rome facts appear, which nothing but the stupid credulity of scepticism could doubt. It may be that there is no solid history of Rome THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 37 till late in its annals. But no one could have invented the statement, that the peasant farmers bore the brunt of these early wars, and that the aristocracy of Rome appropriated the spoils. For my part I no more doubt the reality of the grievance aimed at by the Licinian rogations, than I do the subsequent efforts of the Gracchi. The aristocracy of Rome, as aristocracies always have done, used their fellow countrymen for battle and divided the spoils among themselves. The ruinous and debasing custom of slavery aided the Roman chivalry in appropriating and securing the plunder, and the constant admission of new men through the channels of office into the existing aristocracy, enabled those who had used the forms of the constitution to appropriate the conquests of the State, to keep a firm grip on what they had seized. For you shoiild remember that the estates of the great nobles of Rome were in theory the property of the State, of which they were in law the precarious tenants, as the early fiefs of Western Europe were. But the people who talk of making the State a universal landlord, have I suspect very little information as to what that means and has been. Evil however as the age was in which Rome was dispossessing the native Italians, it was as nothing to what happened when the same aristocracy entered upon and administered the prodigious empires of Alexander's generals and successors. Northern Greece, Asia Minor, Syria, Egypt, were crowded with rich and populous cities which, many of them, held the accumulations of ages, the sacred and venerated treasures of uncounted generations. Even those conquests which were made over races with whom Alexander never came in contact, supplied enormous plunder. The gold which Ccesar collected in Gaul is said to have suddenly and permanently doubled prices. Now on this enormous and helpless wealth the Roman aristocracy, once hardy, thrifty, and temperate, was let loose. They became in a generation monsters of licen- tiousness, extravagance, and greed. The whole machinery of the Roman government played into their hands, and the well-meant restraints on their actions were entirely ineffectual. I can conceive notliing more horrible than the riot and cruelty which prc\'ailed during the last half century of the Republic. The virtuous Brutus, as Adam Smith says, expected Cicero to secure him 48 38 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. per cent for his advances to the provincials, and was highly indignant that his friend the great orator should have fixed it at twelve. Had it not been for the empire, enormous and disastrous evil as a military despotism is, the Roman aristocracy would have made a desert of ancient civilization four centuries before it actually happened. The empire delayed it. It was something that there was only one and not fifty tyrants at work at once. Of course the Roman aristocracy never forgave the empire, and most of the writers of the time, even Tacitus, seem to have had a sentimental feeling that the world was the worse for the change, talked of Brutus and Cassius as the last of the Romans, and dreamed that some pious and liberal emperor would in the end restore the republic. But the ruin though postponed was inevitable. All industry and progress was devoured by the gigantic armies which the empire made a necessity. And the singular fact strikes one that during this long domination, this incessant watchfulness against the savages which were surging on the frontier, Rome made no progress in the art of war. But industry and invention were stifled by slavery. The educated classes were discouraged from labours, which were degraded. Even agriculture, the universal art of the Roman in early times, ceased to be prosecuted by free men, and Virgil's Corycian old man was a pious myth. We do not know very much of the fiscal system of the Roman Empire, but we can learn enough to see that the provinces were slowly drained of all their resources in order^that the military system of the empire might be maintained. At last the cataclysm came, and we get the narrative of the barbarism which overspread Western Europe in the earliest chroniclers. What I have just said, are, I fear you will think, the mere common-places of ancient history. I told the story briefly in order to point out that the primary causes of the catastrophe were economic. Let me take other cases from the history of our own country. I have pointed out how the evil government of our Henry VHI. inflicted injuries on English progress, from which it did not recover for more than a century, and how the brief pros- perity of the Commonwealth time was followed by a scandalous and ruinous reaction. Out of that reaction two new forces were THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 39 developed, the aristocracy and the restored Church. It became an article of religious and political faith to denounce the reign of Cromwell, and the wrangle of the sects ; and from the Restoration to the second Revolution, the Dissenters were in evil case. When the Revolution of 1688 arrived, however, these persecuted men were very rich, very strong, and very safe in London, for in old days, English kings who desired to be absolute were very shy of provoking the city. English Nonconformity founded the Bank, lent money to Parliament, and discounted the income from the new taxes. They became indispensable, entirely while the War of the Spanish Succession was being waged, and, as was gradually discovered, while the country was at peace. The war was no doubt unpopular, the general who gained glory and wealth in it more unpopular, and the administration at home was discredited. At last in 17 10 the opportunity came. The reactionary party declared that the Church was in danger, and the people, ?>., the electors believed them. The real motive of St. John, the most restless of the party, was to restore the Stuarts. In this he was aided by Atterbury, probably by Ormonde. There was, I believe, hardly any epoch in English history in which the constitution as settled at the Revolution was in more peril than in the autumn of 17 10, when the elections were practically over, and Swift coming to London, on what was an ecclesiastical errand to all appearance, turned over to Harley and St. John — ratted is the later word — and savagely attacked his former friends. Bank stock fell from 130 to 95 in a few weeks, and the stock of the East India Company to nearly the same amount, though the dividend on the former was regularly 7, on the latter 10 per cent. The reason for this panic was, the general belief that the restoration of the Stuarts would be followed by the repudiation of the whole public debt. But the destruction of public credit at this crisis would have been the instant arrest of all manufacture and trade, of the new agriculture which was being commenced, and of that promise from which so much was developed in the eighteenth century. To my mind the history of the price of Bank stock during the three months from October i, 17 10, to January i, 171 1, is more significant than those speculations on the character of public men during the negotiations which led to the Peace of 40 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Utrecht, on which some philosophers of history have been so vohiminous. There are two directions of economic progress, on which much stress has been laid in recent years, and in which much has been done. I allude to the development of sanitary measures, using the expression in the broadest sense, and including in it the restraint of children's labour ; the other is the system, slowly and in some directions inadequately carried out, of national, or primary education. The latter of these processes purposes to increase the efficiency of labour, the former to prolong it. By the latter, if the methods are rightly taken, the natural and acquired capacities of the workman are widened and strengthened ; by the former, much of the waste of human life, a far more formidable fact than some persons are apt to recognize, is obviated, and what is perhaps in some degree an advantage to the w^ell off, and a motive for action, their risks are also diminished, for no exclusiveness will be an effectual barrier against infection. Dives may neglect Lazarus, but Lazarus has a way of unintentionally avenging himself. Now in both these directions of social reform, my old friend Edwin Chudwick — you can guess how old he must be Avhen I tell you that Cobbett railed at him more than half a century ago — has been energetic and unwearied. I owe him a good deal, for he pointed out to me, many years ago, what was the economic basis of his doctrine. At the time when Mr. Chadwick commenced his labours some little improvements had been made in London, but hardly any- thing elsewhere. A few generations before his time a river rushed down the space between Fleet Street and Ludgate Hill, swollen with indescribable abominations. Two similar streams, less in volume, but equally filthy, crossed the Strand. The Thames was nearly as bad as the Fleet Ditch, and remained so till comparatively recent times. The whole of London, especially the City, was polluted by the dead and the living. Small-pox and typhus were perpetual epidemics. The deaths in London were greatly in excess of the births. It took a great deal of trouble to clear away these evils, for it was asserted that some of them were vested interests. Now the only genuine vested interest is that due to a man or class of men who have distinctly done the public a service, under 1 THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 41 an intelligible contract, the payment for which cannot in justice or equity be decently refused. Compensation for a vested interest is equivalent to the payment of a contract debt, when the creditor's property has been used or consumed by the debtor. A false vested interest is a demand that a nuisance, a social crime, or a wrong, shall not be extinguished without paying the wrong-doer. It is astonishing how confidently nuisance and mischief-makers allege that they have a vested interest. During the last fifty years London has been turned from one of the unhealthiest to one of the healthiest cities in the world. The progress by which country towns and villages have been purified is more recent, and the machinery by which sanitary reform is enforced is far from satisfactory or complete. The development of sanitary regulations, though perhaps an invasion of laissez faire^ has greatly prolonged the eflficiency of labour, though much remains to be done, especially in regard to the dwellings of the poor in towns and villages. Now one of the remedies, I strongly believe, is the restriction of the Act of Elizabeth of 1589, under which four acres of land were to be annexed to the cottages of labourers in husbandry, and over- crowding was prohibited under severe penalties. The education of the children of the poor is insisted on, in order to ensure the greater efficiency of labour. It does not necessarily improve the morals, or mcrease the prudence of those who receive it. It does not necessarily better their fortunes, for it does not follow that men will earn higher wages because they have gone through the work of a primary school and have passed a particular standard. The knowledge which improves wages is not learned in a school. I doubt whether it will be imparted under any system of technical education which has yet been formulated. It is learned from workmen as it was learned in the best days of the old apprenticeship. No smattering of physics, no study of elementary scientific manuals will give that which, for want of a better word, I call productive knack or handiness. Nor do I believe that effective technical training will be a characteristic of artizans and husbandmen until they themselves insist on acquiring it. I know nothing which should prevent a shrewd, thrifty, and observant mechanic or peasant from being entirely equal, as he 42 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. was in the Middle Ages, to the abilities of his employer. But he will never achieve the arts of life in a primary school. These he must gather by actual contact with materials. There is reason also to believe that workmen are not particularly ready to embrace the offer of that technical education which is made them. They are, not a few, under the impression that the expedient is intended to secure the employer better work, but with no improvement in the workmen's wages. The struggle between employers and workmen has been so prolonged, and the lan- guage which some of the former use about their hands is so bitter and unfair, that there is good cause for distrust on the part of the latter, however unfortunate distrust may be in its consequences. Now it seems clear to me that a system which constrains a workman to pay for what is not, and is not intended to be, for his personal benefit, is as irrational and unjust as it would be to compel a man at his proper cost to improve another man's property. National education is similar in nature to national defence. Suppose, as is the theory of the law, we were to call on all adult males to undergo military drill, and be enrolled in the militia. With what justice could the State call upon them to do this at their own expense, or rather, not only to find the time for their military instruction, but to pay their drill-sergeants and other officers for teaching them their exercises. To increase the efficiency of the national defences is plainly more in the interests of those who have much property than it is to those who have little, and to a great extent are discouraged from having any. To increase the efficiency of labour is for the benefit of employers, certainly in the first instance, probably in continuity. It surely is the duty of those who own property, and especially capital, to find the means for defraying primary education. And if the efficiency of labour is increased every consumer derives a benefit from the result. I have only dealt with a few of the conditions of economic j progress. Rut they are by far the most important. They are, in so far as I have discovered them at present, industrial skill or | aptitude, in connection with which I have given you a full, and I could fain hope, an exhaustive account of the division of employ- THE CONDITIONS OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. 43 merits, wise and just government, in order to secure which perpetual vigilance and active criticism are necessary, together with those processes which, as I have said, have for their object the prolonged efficiency of labour and its increased efficiency. III. THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION AND THE CAUSES THEREOF. Population of En<^land in the fourteenth^ fifteenth, and sixteenth centuries — The coal supply— The poll-tax of 1377 — Population of chief to7ijns — Population of Kentish Hundreds — Survey of Gamlingay and Romney — Growth of trade in the seventeenth century — Sole tnarket — Godwin and Malthus — Theories of Malthus and George examined — Redundancy of certain classes of society. Ok recent years, there has been, I must admit, some disposition exhibited on the part of certain writers of what a generous critic calls history, to make some use of facts other than those which are customary or traditional, in what they write and publish, and I presume, sell. In the same way there is some inclination on the part of certain economists to blind evidence with their metaphysics, and to inquire hesitatingly and tentatively with the high priest, Are these things so ? I cannot say, however, that as yet the results have been satisfactory. Men are exceedingly un- willing, after they have grown up in an atmosphere of theory, to surrender themselves, their conclusions, their prejudices, their preconceived opinions to the guidance of facts, and patiently sub- mit to the result towards which the facts lead them. Nor is it easy for persons who think that they ought to speak and to write books, to interpret related figures, or even to understand the terms THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULA TION. 45 which they use ; and thereupon they boldly commit themselves to inferences for which there is no shadow of proof. And in this process they are constantly assisted and encouraged by kindly critics, to the mass of whom, beyond the invaluable assistance accorded by Haydn's " Dictionary of Dates," all facts of more than ten years' old are in the dark ages, and sometimes, I fear, facts of ten days' old. Now in what frame of mind do many such people treat the economical side of history ? They sit down to a writing table with a preconceived notion, to which they cling desperately, as, for example, that the fifteenth century was a period of unparalleled suffering for the mass of the English people. Where they got the notion they cannot tell you, and do not tell you. It may have been gathered in the first place from Mrs. Markham or Mr. Collier, or, as is more probable, it is a bodiless expansion of their own minds. In its inception, there is nothing to support it, nothing even to excuse it. But it is a con- dition in speculative history, that you must get something which seems like evidence. Sheer dogmatism will not do, except when bimetallism or fair trade are talked about. Authorities must be had, and will be interpreted in a non-natural or transcendental sense. It is sometimes possible to get a seeming proof from an earlier time, and in that self-forgetfulness of those who passion- ately adhere to a theory, to transfer them to the time of which the author is writing, and the opinion which he wishes to expound. There are some authorities which cannot be so easily got over. There the author misreads, misunderstands, or misquotes. Some- times he boldly denies their relevance, frequently he ignores them. The writer finds no intention too rash to deter him. I have known such persons quote authorities in what I trust is an un- known tongue to them ; the true meaning of whose language is a flat contradiction to the inferences which they draw. So misled are such people by the habit of preconceived opinion, that by some strange fatuity they constantly find proofs where there is nothing but refutation. And it is curious that men, otherwise honourable, diligent, and well-informed, will distort the plainest facts in order to defend their hypothesis. There are writers of history who are like '* scientific witnesses," advocates and partisans when they should be searchers after truth. 46 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISIORY. Now as long as the writer confines his own speculations, and what he calls his proofs, to his own consciousness, and his study table, no person whatever has a right to take offence. If he printed his opinions for private circulation only, as some men do their genealogies, he has not taken the public into his confidence, and cannot be accused of deceiving them by personal fictions. But he ought to pause before he publishes. He could be at once wise and merciful if he committed his MS. to the flames. Better things to be sure have perished in this way, when authors have been rightly fastidious. There is a serious responsibility in the utterance of economic opinion. Now I am principally led to these observations by what has happened to the subject which I am treating to-day. The wildest guesses have been confidently made about the population of England say in the fourteenth century, about the size of the towns, about the losses from famine, pestilence, and war. Now my contention is that during the fourteenth, fifteenth, and sixteenth centuries the population of England and Wales was almost stationary, and amounted to between two and a quarter and two and a half millions. I have three grounds for my state- ment. The first is derived from the average product of agri- culture ; the second from a return made in 1377, of the number of persons liable to a poll-tax then imposed, a document printed and analysed some century ago in the " Archaeologia " ; the third from an actual census taken from certain hundreds in Kent in the reign of Henry VHI. I shall be able to add a fourth, from the houses contained in the various surveys taken of the All Souls estate in Warden Hoveden's time, i.e.^ towards the end of the sixteenth century. Some of you may remember that I showed you a survey made of Gamlingay parish in Cambridgeshire by one Langdon. The same surveyor and another, named Gierke, were employed by All Souls, and both did their work for All Souls, as well as Langdon did for the single Merton estate, which he mapped and planned. Now I conclude, from most unquestionable data, that five hundred years ago, the average rate of production from seed sown, in wheat, which was then, even more than recently, the staple food of the people, was only four times. I have seen returns of THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 47 what was actually reaped from a measured quantity of seed sown, in cheap, i.e.^ abundant, years, and have verified my inference a thousand times. At present the average return from two bushels of seed to the acre, the quantity allowed five centuries ago, is fifteen times. But a greater ratio of seed was consumed then, and it is doubtful whether as much land was vmder cultivation then as is now. Now a few years since it was reckoned that the present English produce would feed fifteen millions. But five centuries ago, the land under wheat cultivation and bearing a crop, could not have fed more than two and a half millions. From this must be deducted seed, and this may perhaps be compensated by the small admixture of rye or some other grain, which, under the name of maslin or meslyn, was the food of farm servants. I say small, for the breadth of rye sown was very narrow. It must be remembered, too, that in giving a quarter of wheat per head of population, I am very moderate. There were no winter roots, potatoes, turnips, parsnips, carrots, five hundred years ago in England. The monks who dined on parsnips and similar roots, existed in the imagination of figurative historians and novelists only. Historians, you know, will be picturesque. When Macaulay talks of the Irishman of 1692 longing to go back to his potato patch, he speaks of a thing which was not, just as he does when he talks of the oaks of Magdalene, and a host of other details which make up a picture, in which nothing is wanting but facts. Now Macaulay was accurate in a thousand particulars, but this habit of disregarding little facts in detail has made some people doubt his accuracy in greater matters. If I had no other proof than that of the average production of wheat in favourable years, on which I happen to be specially well informed, when I write or speak about the facts of five centuries ago, I should be convinced, that England and Wales did not and could not maintain more than two and a half million souls at that time. Now in 1377 Parliament gave the old king, Edward III., in the last year of his reign, a poll-tax of fourpence a head, on all lay persons over fourteen years of age, none but known, ?>., registered beggars, being exempted. Beneficed clergymen paid a shilling, all other ecclesiastics, except the mendicant friars, fourpence. Durham and Chester, Wales and Monmouth, not being repre- 48 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. sented in Parliament, were not taxed by Parliament. The account of the proceeds gives the number of those liable to the tax in forty-two towns. Now if we add a third to the number of those assessed, in order to include the children under fourteen, a very liberal calculation for childhood in the Middle Ages, when the risks of life were far greater, we get 168,720 for the population of the forty-two towns, and 1,207,722 for the other thirty-eight English counties. Durham and Chester may be taken at S^jO^Sj Wales with Monmouth at 131,040. Now add one-third to the country population and you get 1,853,127, or with the town popu- lation 2,021,847. There still remain the ecclesiastics and the mendicants. Take them at 162,153, and the population comes out at 2,184,000, or less than two and a quarter millions. But I cannot yet relieve you of the figures in this instructive return. The largest town of course is London. Perhaps it was healthier than it was in the seventeenth century, when the deaths greatly exceeded the births. With a third added to its taxable population, it had 35,000 inhabitants. The next city is York, with near 11,000. Bristol has about 9,500, Coventry a little above 7,000, Norwich near 6,000, Lincoln about 5,000. No other English town had over 5,000 inhabitants, though thirty-six more are separately assessed, and returned. In Bedford, Surrey, Dorset, Westmoreland, Rutland, Cornwall, Berks, Hunts, Bucks, and Lancashire, no town whatever was thought worthy of a separate return, though they sent many members to the Parliament which granted the tax. England at this time, and for many a year after this date, was essentially rural, and not a little of its economical history is bound up and derived from the country life, which its inhabitants lived for centuries. Besides, though England possessed fortresses and walled towns up to the civil war of the seventeenth century, these were not constructed on scientific lines. There was not an English town which had been protected by such engineer- ing defences as were erected in plenty in Holland, Flanders, and the eastern frontier of France. It would seem from several Acts of Parliament that many towns were falling into decay during the reign of Henry VIII. , a fact which has elicited some very grotesque reasoning from Mr. Froude, in his sketch of his patriot king. THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 49 Now a good many years ago, I found in the Public Record ( JlFice among a mass of miscellaneous papers of Henry VIII.'s icign, an enumeration of the population contained in nine Kentish hundreds, on the eastern side of the county, and an account of the stock of grain possessed by the inhabitants. Kent was, in the first half of the sixteenth century, a decidedly prosperous part of England, and these hundreds are in the most fertile agricultural district of the county. They contained no large town at that time, and contain none now. They are excellent specimens of what was the richest and most settled part of agri- cultural England at the time. Now the population of the hundreds is 14,813. In 1861 the population was 88,080, or almost exactly six times as much as it was more than three centuries before. Now this proportion almost precisely corresponds with that which I just now stated was derived from the rate of agri- cultural production and the poll-tax of 1377. I conclude therefore that for upwards of two centuries, just as there had been no improvement in the art of agriculture, so there was no increase in the population. Now I have long been convinced, for what I may call analytical reasons, that no material increase of the English population took place during the last half of the sixteenth century. I use the expression material increase advisedly. I make no doubt that there was during Elizabeth's reign a considerable immigration of Flemings, chiefly traders, occasionally manufacturers, and that these generally settled in the towns, where alone foreigners could act in concert, perhaps to be safe from hostility and wrong, for the country folk in England had in those days, and to much more recent times, no love for strangers, and they were not even cordially welcomed in the towns. But we know that the woollen manufactures, localized in Norwich and Colchester respectively, that of say and that of baize were brought hither from Flanders. So important was the baize manufacture of Colchester, as a coarse cloth especially fitted for the clothing of working men, tliat the price of baize is constantly quoted through the early part of the eighteenth century as typical of woollen goods. But I am per- suaded that these manufactures of foreign origin did not often spread into the country places. 5 50 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Recently, however, and from a wholly unexpected source, I have been able to arrive at the same conclusion synthetically, aiul for reasons very similar to those which enabled me to determine on the population during the first half of the sixteenth centur\ . Some of you may remember that I showed you a survey of the parish of Gamlingay, in Cambridgeshire, chiefly with the object of illustrating the system of cultivation in common fields. This survey was drawn for the purpose of assisting the college in a law- suit which it had with a family named St. George, between which family and the college, as I know from the Merton archives, there had been litigation for centuries. Now in this survey every house is marked and can be counted, though one has to take care that one does not include outhouses in the number of habitations. At the same time All Souls College entered upon a much more extensive system of surveys. There was a domestic reason for the action. The College, in which one Hoveden, a man of considerable energy and character, was Warden, was very per- sistently importuned by Elizabeth to grant certain highly beneficial leases to one or more of her courtiers. Elizabeth, like many other excellent and energetic persons, was exceedingly prone to provide if possible for her dependents at other people's expense. She endowed her treasurer Cecil, whom we know as Burleigh, at the cost of the See of Peterborough ; her Chancellor, Hatton, at the charge of the Bishop, ?>., the See of Ely ; and similarly impoverished the endowments of Exeter and Chichester by the same process and with the same ends. The Colleges at Oxford and Cambridge did not escape, and partly for policy, occasionally on compulsion, granted highly beneficial leases to the Cecils and other people, who no doubt did much public service, but were to a great extent rewarded at the cost of private corporations. Hoveden appears to have been firm, and to have saved All Souls from temporary, perhaps from permanent, spoliation. In order that the College too might have on record a careful and accurate description of its estates, he employed Langdon and another surveyor named Clerke to map out the College estates to scale, generally sixteen feet to the mile. Now. as before, the houses in the several parishes are marked, and the collection, in five folio volumes, still preserved in the Library, is of great interest • THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULA TION. 51 and value. Now taking seven of these parishes or properties, and including Gamlingay as an eighth in the list, and assigning four and a half persons to each house— in these days of overcrowding the census gives only five and a half to a house — the population of the eight parishes (all of which were rural twenty-seven years ago, for I still take the census of 1 861) there were 280 houses in all, and therefore 1,250 inhabitants. At the census of 1861 there were 8,281 inhabitants, that is more than six and a half times as many people as there were at the close of the sixteenth century, for the survey takes about a dozen years to finish. Now this you will see is a rather less ratio than that of the Kentish hundreds in the reign of Elizabeth's father. One of the surveys, I regret to say, baffled me. It is that of Romney Marsh and its parishes and towns. But the scale was too small. Still, I counted only four houses in Old Romney and thirty-seven in the new town. The population was therefore 186. But in 1861 the population of Old Romney was 151, in place of 18 ; of New Romney 1,062, in place of 168. Here, then, the increase is over seven times. This kind of evidence, I submit, is overwhelming, and satisfies every condition of proof. Now it is certain that at the end of the seventeenth century the population is more than double that which I have calculated was in England at the conclusion of the sixteenth. Here, again, we have several proofs. Macaulay has referred to three of them. First, that based on the hearth-tax returns of 1690. The second is an estimate made for William III. of the religious sects in England. The third is a recent estimate by Mr, Finlaison, derived from examining the old registers of baptisms, marriages, and burials. To these then we may add that derived from the produce of grain. In average years, taking into account the enclosures which had been made, I have no doubt that double the amount of corn was reaped that had been a century before, though I am pretty sure that, especially in the north, the people had been forced to subsist on inferior grain. So naturally does this increase of production seem to have been the dominant cause, that at first I concluded that the growth of agriculture was the sole reason why the population increased. But I became convinced as I extended my researches, that though something has to be assigned 52 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. to this cause, it was far from being the sole origin of the increase. The frequcMit comments made on the unsatisfactory character of English husbandry are proofs that the growth of agricultural skill had been local and spasmodic. The most dominant cause, I do not doubt, was the general pacification of the Border and the settlement of the northern counties by weavers. I discovered when I examined the returns of the hearth ta.\ which were given for the several English counties, that, Middlesex and Surrey excepted, the population of the north was as dense as that of the south, and that several of these northern counties had a more numerous population to the square mile than those of the southern counties had. It is true the contribution to taxation which the northern counties made was a good deal less than that exacted from the south. But this inequality was a subject of frequent complaint. And again the charge for maintaining the northern poor was far less to the acreage than that incurred in the south. This was, however, I believe, due to the fact that during the civil war the population pressed into the associated counties. The poor law, too, as we see from the magistrates' assessments, was more severely administered in the north. But, above all, it was during the seventeenth cen- tury that weaving, especially woollen weaving, generally migrated to the north, or grew there rapidly. The anonymous author of "The Interest of Scotland," writing in 1732, speaks of the great growth of woollen manufactures in Yorkshire, and of linen and of similar fabrics in Lancashire. During the eighteenth century population was again nearly doubled. The cause was threefold — the growth of the towns, in many cases owing to the immigration of the banished Huguenots, a body of settlers who were, and continued to be, of the greatest value to the English nation ; the extension of the new agri- culture, and, I must add, however unjust was the distribution, the numerous enclosures made ; and the rapid growth of invention of mechanical skill and of trade. On an earlier occasion I have described to my audience, how this progress was aided by the singular success of British warfare during the Seven Years' War, and the sole market which we obtained as a result of that struggle. It was indeed a brief ascendency, and the sole market was shattered THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 53 by the War of American Independence. But we got a great start ; the attitude taken by France during that war was speedily turned against itself, and the success of British manufacture was, at any rate, if not permanently assured, greatly aided. At first sight, the acquisition of a sole market seems like that limited protection in young countries which Mill has incautiously, and, as I think, for wholly insufficient reasons, commended. But the difference between the two is fundamental. The acquisition of a sole market gives the possessor of it the opportunity, with entire competition among his fellows, and therefore with every stimulant to invention and thereby labour-saving and profit-making expe- dients, to hinder foreign rivals from entering on the market which has been won for the trader. The adoption of protection does not, and by the very terms of its existence cannot, aid in procuring a foreign market, but, on the contrary, excludes the protected indvistry from that foreign market, unless the protected manufacturer sells at a loss on production, that is, at the expense of the consumers in his own protected market. It is possible that American calicoes and German iron occasionally compete against our products in neutral markets. But I am certain that, in the very nature of things, the trade could not be carried on, unless the American and German consumer paid the expenses of the trial. It is also clear that the power of competition by dealers who work under protection is very narrow ; for if the trade grew to any dimensions, the burden on the domestic market would be at once intolerable, and traced to its true causes. Of course, I hold that the sole market was a blunder, and that Chatham in seeking to obtain it was chasing an ignis fatuus. But like many unwise economical acts, it had a defence and a plausible one. English statesmen saw that Spain had clung pas- sionately to the monopolies which the Bull of Borgia, pontiff and profligate, had conferred on her, and had done all in her power to exclude the British trader from the New World. They had seen that the Dutch, the teachers of Europe in maritime enter- prise and successful trade, had with De Witt believed that the " true interest of Holland was to maintain her trade monopolies." Now statesmen are rarely wiser than the times in which they live. They are apt to say that what they do not foresee and are not 54 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. ready for does not come within the range of practical politics. I do not find fault with them for their hesitation. They have to consider what they can do, and they know that what they can do will be certainly criticized adversely, even by those who if they were in office would imitate them exactly, and claim originality for the imitation. And then the market was won. It seemed the height of Quixotry to vindicate the freedom of the seas and the freedom of the market for those who had taken no part in the struggle. And then sliding inevitably into the pernicious doctrine that private advantage is a public benefit, they complacently put the cost of acquisition on one set of shoulders, extracting the charge from other people's pockets, and coolly, and almost with conscious virtue, shovelled the gains of the acquisition into their own. As population grew towards the close of the eighteenth century so it sank deeper and deeper into misery. In Gregory King's time the workmen who, even in these remote times, were seen to be in some shadowy way the sole creators of wealth, were, notwith- standing, declared by that acute reasoner to be a burden on the wealth of the country, because without assistance from the poor rate, the wages paid them were insufficient for their support. Their lot was lightened greatly during the first sixty or seventy years of the eighteenth century, for the new agriculture procured abundance, and, as is always the case, wages rose during those cheap times. But at the end of the century their misery was as marked as their earlier and temporary affluence. It became necessary, so insufficient was the pittance which was paid them, to quarter them permanently on the rates under the allowance system. But no one seems to have dreamed of the machinery which had beggared them. Sir Frederic Eden, with the most appalling facts before him, wrote the history of ' the poor, collected the justices' assessments as far as he could, and calmly surveyed the surface, not giving the slightest heed to the manifest causes of the situation. I have done my best to make people better informed. The misery of the poor was the deliberate act of the legislature, of the justices' assessments, of the enclosures, the appropriation of commons, and the determination, as Mr. Mill has said, on the THE PROGRESS Ov ENGLISH POPULATION. 55 part of the landowners to appropriate everything, even the air we breathe, if it could only be brought about. Nor is it wonderful that population increased under this misery. Misery is a far more powerful incentive to population than a check to it, as Adam Smith saw, and Malthus did not. In the interest, as they fondly believed, of rent, the English legislature, composed of landowners, by statute, had utterly impoverished and pauperized the British labourer. Now, the eighteenth century was an eminently sceptical age, and had become entirely unheroic. It was, among other things, blindly and blunderingly, I must admit, with the great exception of Adam Smith, groping after economical verities, and men often mistook their own just indignation for the discovery of remedial measures. Of this school was Godwin, and an illustration of it is his " Political Justice." Godwin, like many other persons of his age, was struck by the miserable condition to which labour was reduced, and the un- deserved hardships which it underwent. He had witnessed with keen interest, as nearly every honest man had, notably Arthur Young, the uprising of the workers against the shameful oppression of the old French regime. Great things were hoped from the events of 1789, and there was but little sympathy with the old noblesse when in the autumn of that year, the uprising of the peasants took place. The well-wishers to human progress were terribly disappointed, when the September massacres came, the Directory and the Terror. But the brutalities of the French Revolution were the outcome, the inevitable outcome of long centuries of evil doing. They were exasperated by the conscious- ness that the rest of Europe was either conspiring against France, or being leagued for the purpose of armed intervention. Recent discoveries among French archives have proved that Pitt, while he still professed amity to France, was secretly supplying her domestic enemies with funds. Perhaps we shall at some future time learn how it was that the splendid services of Burke were rewarded, and how it was that that eminent personage suddenly became a considerable landowner, for the history of Burke's fortunes is one of the mysteries of that epoch. Now Godwin erred in treating the subject which he undertook in the way in which all persons at that time erred. He discussed 56 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the situation on the lines of abstract principles, on lines which the House of Commons calls academical, and I have been accustomed to describe as metaphysical. This method of handling social questions is, I venture on asserting, always nugatory. I will not say that noth- ing besides talk came out of the reasonings of Rousseau, for I am pretty clear that a great deal of mischievous and in the end dis- astrous action came from it. And the reason is plain. Such a line of argument as Rousseau brought into fashion, and Paine with Godwin introduced to Englishmen, has no result but one, against which every habit and every interest is always, and I believe rightly, arrayed. It aims at nothing short of the reconstruction of society, of an entire social revolution. Unless all history is studied in vain, attempts after this ideal involve discomfiture and discredit, or ruin. The worst enemy of human progress, often I allow the unconscious enemy, is the man who works for a social revolution, to be accomplished by violent or even Parliamentary means. But you cannot, to use the schoolmen's phrase, discover a materia prima in social life. You cannot arrest its action, while you submit to a remodling. The only thing which wise men will attempt to do is to remove manifest and provable wrongs, which under the guise of law have crept into the social state, and have distorted it. Had Godwin betaken himself to a discovery of the causes which had brought about the deplorable condition of the English workman, at the time in which he and Eden were simultaneously writing, he would have given a very different com- plexion to the controversy between him and Malthus. As it was, he saved Malthus the trouble of inquiring into the sufficiency of the causes, and gave him the opportunity of bringing forward a theory which was utterly irrelevant to the subject, but was, for sufficient reasons, entirely acceptable to those who wished to find a satisfactory solution of the situation. Now the explanation which Malthus gave was highly satisfactory. It has been accepted by most economists with some slight modifications. It is the backbone of the political economy of Ricardo, of the elder and of the younger Mill. It has seemed to prove that the misery of the poor is inevitable, not to say providential, and has blinded people to the true laws of population, and the occasional or permanent phenomena of its redimdancy. I cannot say that on the present occasion I can give THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 57 an exhaustive examination of the principles which Malthus enunciated, and economists have generally accepted, any more than I can give within the limits imposed on me, a similar examination of Mr. George's counter-hypothesis; but I trust that I shall be able to make a few general principles clear to you. Ricardo and Mill or Malthus are the parents of German socialism, in the pages of Marx and Lassalle. Malthus was an estimable and excellent man. He was really struck as profoundly as Godwin and others were with the deplor- able spectacle of many people starving and all workmen miserable, in a population of less than ten million persons, for so the unions revealed the facts in 1801. But he did not grapple with the social causes of the phenomena. He tried to find their origin in certain natural laws. So much exception must be taken to his theory that a careful analysis shows it to be well-nigh worthless, so numerous are the objections even from his own point of view which might be taken to his theory. I may add that Malthus was professor of Political Economy at Haileybury, and apart from controversy, there was some reason in his attempt to grapple with a question which is always of interest in Hindostan, even at the time when he wrote, when the popvilation was hardly a third of what it now is. Malthus began by assuming from the analogy of other forms of animal, and he might have added of vegetable, life, that there is a struggle for existence, and thus he was the indirect author of the familiar doctrine known to economists as the margin of cultivation theory. Up to this line of the means of existence population always tends to press, increasing till it becomes perilously near it. He did not say the means of comfortable existence, and perhaps the state of things which he lived in, and witnessed, would scarcely have suggested the gloss. The boundary would be inevitably and incessantly overpassed were it not for those correctives which he called vice, misery, and voluntary restraint, the last factor being subsequently altered into moral restraint, perhaps out of deference to his professional position, for Malthus was a clergyman. Now here appeared to be an explanation sufficient, perhaps exhaustive, of the situation. It was inexpressibly soothing to those 58 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. who had brought about the situation, for it seemed to show that nature not man was the cause of it, that it was the result of an inexorable natural law, and in no sense the result of positive and partial legislation. It gave, I grant, great annoyance to some ardent philanthropists, who coupled the name of Malthus witli those of some other unpleasant entities. But none of the good man's critics took the pains to study the statute book, and discuss the origin of what have been called rights, and I am constrained to de- scribe as wrongs. The doctrine that in countries which are fully settled, a phrase which by the way has no meaning, population is always pressing on the means of subsistence, was accepted as indis- putable, and that consequently the misery of labour is of its own creation. So satisfied was Malthus of his teaching, and so satisfied were his disciples, I am bound to say, with it, that the economist went so far as to recommend, in order to assist his positive checks, as he called the first two, distinguishing them from the preventive check as he called the last, that all legal relief to destitution should be at once and peremptorily put an end to. I do not think that he came to the conclusion that the processes which he described resulted in the survival of the fittest. That would have been too ironical. He only took into account simple numbers, and a hypothetical limit to the means of existence. Now it must I think be admitted that there are such marked differences between the human race and the inferior animals as we call them, that it is unphilosophical and unnatural to consider them parallel or even analogous, when we consider social facts. In the first place, the nonage of the human offspring is remark- ably extended. Other animals equal in bulk to him come to maturity and independence at an early age. Man often needs a period of from fifteen to twenty times as long. The increase cannot then be as rapid, is foreseen and felt. Whether it precedes or follows on the increased means of subsistence, is a matter we shall see further on. Again the very nature of his life and its conditions enforces a prescience of the circumstances which surround it. Such a forethought is manifest in the customs of the lowest savages. It is greatly intensified among races, for we can only speak generally, in which the standard of subsistence is a high one. So far is it from being the case, as Malthus thought, THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 59 entirely on abstract grounds, that misery checks population, that it is perhaps the most powerful stimulant to it, quite apart from the provision on which Malthus laid so much stress, the legal relief from destitution. The fact is abundantly illustrated by the social history of Ireland. Up to 1845-6 Ireland had no poor law. But the misery of Ireland was excessive, and is witnessed to by writers like Swift and Arthur Young. At the outbreak of the potato disease in the autumn of 1845 the population of the island was over eight millions, most of them dependent on a single means of subsistence, and that the cheapest, lowest, and most perishable. Now though nothing so terrible as the famine of 1845 had ever occurred in Irish social history, famine was endemic in Ireland. The people were miserably oppressed and therefore reckless. It is very difficult to get at any information about fertile and infertile families. We know something about noble families, and how they die out in the male line. We know a little about the singular fecundity of the criminal classes, for inquirers have been startled at the numerous descendants of thieves. We know, too, that hardly any persons of great literary acquirements, es- pecially those who have been distinguished for imaginative gifts, have left descendants in the fourth generation. Perhaps in time to come, a law will be discovered on this phenomenon, and the fact that a poet has left a long line of descendants will be more fatal to his reputation than any assaults of any number of critics. Now let us turn to the facts of English social history. From the earliest times the staple food of the English people has been wheaten bread. Wheat is the costliest, and on the whole the most precarious of our corn crops. Now I consider a famine to be a scarcity in which the price of wheat rises to more than twice its average price, a dearth when the additional price is from one half the ordinary price to double. I should add to this that the contingency is increased when the law tampers with wages, as it did successfully in 1563 and onwards. Now I have in my possession a record of every harvest in England since 1259, i.e.^ for 628 years. The resultant inferences are, to be sure, affected by the free-trade measure of 1846, though it took a much longer time than people foresaw, or even now understand, to create a corn trade. Now in the last forty-two years of the thirteenth century 6o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. there was no famine. There was in the fourteenth, in 1315, 131(1, 1 32 1, and 1369, for in these years wheat was more than double tlic average price, and once was five times above it. Then people as we are expressly told perished from hunger. In the fifteenth century there was only one year of famine, 1438, and only one year of dearth, 1482. In the sixteenth there was a year of famine in 1527, and after Henry had committed the enormous crime of issuing base money, famine was endemic. But the most dismal record is that of the seventeenth century, when severe dearths, consequent on deficient harvests were endured by the English, Hartlib, an excellent observer, saying that people in numbers died of starvation. Among these evil years, too numerous to burden you with, the worst was 1661. I don't know whether in those days, the newspapers, such as they were, had adopted the phrase of the king's Aveather, though there is plenty of adulation in them. For the first sixty or seventy years of the eighteenth century, there were on the whole abundant crops, a result greatly to be attributed to the new agriculture. But the famine of 1709 in France — we suffered seriously in England — did more to break down the French arms than the victories of Marlborough did, and you may perhaps remember that the last of his great fights, Mal- plaquet, was not much of a victory, and this occurred in that disastrous year 1709, after the hope of the harvest was well-nigh destroyed in Western Europe. People who write about history and dilate on the philosophy of prominent characters, are ex- ceedingly apt to neglect that which is, after all, true history, the indisputable facts of social life. I am willing to admit the judgment of the first Napoleon, that Marlborough was about the greatest military genius which the world has produced, the more willingly because I do not pretend to be a judge. His greatness has cost us dear. But I always feel myself on safer ground, when I find that opinion is fortified by facts, and philosophy gives a place to intelligible statistics. Of course people may handle statistics foolishly. But you will find as you live that many persons arrive at conclusions and judgments for which they would be incompetent to discover premises. The habit however gives a kind of variety to human life. The most disastrous period however through which population THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 6i passed was that which intervened between the close of the eighteenth century and the first twenty years of the nineteenth. Then, as Malthus was writing, famine raged. But it was artificial. The harvests were bad, but the laws forbad the importation of food. It seems to me, that almost the only human trait in Pitt's career, the heaven-born minister you will remember with his admirers, was his forcing, by rather questionable means in 1800, grain ships which might be driven into English harbours, to discharge their cargoes there. In those days we exercised the right of search, and we did it with a witness. But, unluckily, expedients of this kind are temporary, and the experience of them acts as a deterrent. Vice and misery, then, the preventive checks of the theory which Malthus announced, are not found to be preventive of all. Thieves are inconveniently prolific ; so are the miserable. Nor is it likely that moral restraint is likely to operate on such people. The former class entirely repudiate it by the very circumstances of their calling. The latter do not entertain it, for despair knows no control. And the curious thing about the whole business was this, that while Malthus with the best intentions was consoling the oppressors of the poor, with the assertion that the poor, though the sole workers of wealth, were the sole cause also of their own calamities, he did not take the smallest pains to investigate eco- nomical causes. But the fact is, that Malthus was a metaphysical economist, and the only prediction which you can make about the conclusions of a metaphysical economist, is that he is almost certain to be in the wrong. Mr. George in his attack on Malthus, and by implication on Mr. Mill's endorsement of this famous theory, points to the fact that densely- peopled countries are always, absolutely and relatively, the most opulent. And he further points to the fact that in early and scantily settled countries, such as some among the Western States of the Union, while all can secure abundance, there are few that can live at leisure. And he adds, truly enough, that this result is not due to the mere accumulation of wealth, understanding by this those forms of it which assist in the continuity of present labour, for that these are very destructible, and have on the whole a very brief existence. And he concludes rather incautiously that 62 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. mere numbers make wealth, without examining sufficiently what are the conditions on which numbers make wealth. The result depends on the efficiency of labour, the astonishing growth of skill in manipulating materials which progressive societies exhibit. One form of this is no doubt the division of employments to which I have already adverted in an earlier lecture. But the dexterity which makes wealth rapidly is ex- hibited in all labour, in that which does not admit of division as well as that which does. But it is exceedingly difficult to estimate industry and its efficiency at different epochs of economical history. Closely as I have followed and studied it, I got a very scanty conception of it, and need in order to get any conception of it at all, to constantly refer myself to related prices. Now in modern estimates over a necessarily narrow range, the results of researches such as those of Dawson, Newmarch, and Jevons, very capable persons indeed, are by no means satisfactory, after they have been at great pains to develop and accentuate what they call index numbers, that is, money values of the principal necessaries and conveniences of life. I am perpetually asked to interpret for inquirers what is the value of money five, four, three, two, one centuries ago, and after I have been at great pains to explain the facts, I have generally found that I had sown my seed on the highway. Two conditions, the efficiency of labour being postulated, make the risks of general over-population among the industrial classes remote. The one is the establishment of a high standard of living, the other is perfect freedom on the part of the workmen to interpret the terms under which they will accept employment. There is no risk that they will destroy the contingencies of their industry. No combination of English working men has ever attempted to improve the capitalist employer out of existence, and I see no likelihood that they will ever fall under so gross and suicidal a delusion. Of course they have never attained to the conditions which I have referred to. There are still laws in existence which permit certain persons to take excessive toll on industry, even to imperil its efficiency, and these are frequently tailed rights. The combination or association of workmen is still partial and imperfect, and when the union men meet they are apt, THE PROGRESS OF ENGLISH POPULATION. 63 like all the rest of us, to run after the red herrings of logomachy. I wish that people would not, following an evil example, talk so much about the rights of men. They would find ample room for their energies, if they grappled with the wrongs. Law, I repeat, can do little positive good. Its highest and best efforts are those in which it puts a stop to evil. I cannot agree, then, with the reasoning by which Mr. George attacks the Malthusian theory. He alleges that it contravenes the facts, but he does not analyze the facts, any more than Malthus does, when he commented upon what people sometimes call good old England. That it was old I have no inclination to deny. But to call it good is an abuse of language. It is surprising, however, to note how soon practices, exceedingly bad and inju- rious, become poetical, and the property of the romancer. The epoch of Malthus's theory is the very worst, the most cruel, heartless, and discreditable in the annals of England. It is wonderful enough that the British race ever recovered from it. But every day which makes us more remote in spirit and character from it, and much remains to be done, removes further back the risks of over-population. But though I do not think that we need be much alarmed at Mr. Malthus and his theory, yet it must be conceded that partial or local or special over-population is a recurrent risk, and some- times a very serious one. Human societies cannot without danger maintain more than a certain quantity of idlers, or in the language of economists, unproductive consumers. Nor should it, I think, allow these people to consider and vaunt themselves, to use Mr. Disraeli's phrase, as superior persons. They always will if they can, for this is the best defence which they can allege for their existence. I seem to remember having read that the Jewish rabbis invariably insisted that every member of the race, from prince to peasant, should have a calling, and that to leave a man without a calling is to make him a thief, that is to incur the risk of his becoming a Bedaween or a brigand. I have heard the same thing said of the Turks. I may be wrong, but it appears that the wholesome rule has become obsolete, regrettably so. The redundant population of the fifteenth century, otherwise so prosperous, was that of the younger sons. They joined the 64 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. forces in that horrible vendetta which raged from the year 1455 to 1485, and as they extinguished themselves for a time, they extin- guished or suspended with their own existence, no loss, all but the forms of the English constitution. The place-hunters of the Restoration and the second Revolution were exceedingly redun- dant. For there is no service which should be rewarded except that which deserves to be rewarded, just as there is no true vested interest but that the public benefit and profit of which can be conclusively demonstrated. The people who prey on society are always redundant. Most people admit this of the criminal classes. They who, by mis- fortune and incapacity, are a burden on the public charity, are redundant, superfluous, but should be gently and kindly dealt with. I wish I could find out about the unemployed. I have never arrived at more than the fringe of information, and that had been in unexpected quarters. It is a little suspicious that the phenomenon reappears very speedily after the sporting season is over. It would be, I am sure, well if inquiries were made about the status and origin of these unfortunates. They seem to present the phenomena of over-population, and if I can believe Mr. Peek, who has had exceptional opportunities for learning the facts, " the workless, the thriftless, and the worthless," are a sorry lot, for whom there is little hope, a mere army of utterly unproductive consumers. I cannot, indeed, pretend to particularize classes here. I can only refer to them historically, as Juvenal advises, those who are buried by the Latin and Flaminian Ways. But so far I agree with Mr. George. I could witness, I will say no more, with extreme complacency, the emigration of many superior persons. For the risk of over-population does not reside in skill and industry, but in the proportion which those bear to skill and industry who do nothing. They have been described with appalling frankness, as they who toil not, neither do they spin. In the abstract I suppose one may class these as redundant. But I am fortunately exempt in this place, from designating them in the concrete. I do not pretend to indicate where we should search for the residuum, but I am sure that we are none the stronger for keeping that, and losing the most useful of our people. IV. THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. Antiquity of Credit Agencies and Commercial Law — Effect of credit on wealth and prices — The career of the South Sea Scheme — The South American craze of 1825 — The railway mania of 1847 — The rise in agrictdtural rents, 1860-70 — Causes and duration of inflations and panics. When I addressed an audience last year in this hall, I dealt among other subjects with paper currencies, and I strove to give a general and exact account of the process by which banking was carried on in remote and in recent times. Now a banker is a credit agent, the most important and significant of agents in transactions involving credit. His calling requires him to exhibit two qualities, caution and integrity. The development of the former is a very long and arduous business, though time and attention have enabled the banker to guide his method by a few principles. They were stated, I believe, for the first time, with frank, and almost amusing simplicity, by the late Mr. Gilbert. Bankers are exceedingly tolerant of theory. Some of them have been con- spicuous and influential theorists, and the disputes among them about the principles of their craft have been prolonged, acute, and highly controversial. The school of Lord Overstone, Mr. Norman, and Col, Torrens is entirely opposed to that of Mr. Tooke and 6 66 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Mr. Ncwmarch. The reasonings of the former satisfied Sir Robert Peel, and were accepted in the Act of 1844. But there are economists, and I enrol myself in the number, who accept, like Cato, the opinions of the vanquished party. I know nothing in the whole range of monetary science so acute and so conclusive as the arguments of Mr. Tooke are, none which were more speedily confirmed by facts. But Mr. Tooke was a careful student of evidence, and though a study of evidence will not always keep a man right, if he happens to be a dolt, it is a miracle if the shrewdest man, who has no evidence, does not go wrong. But the theories which the banker listens to patiently never come within the range of his practice. The most voluminous and the most confident writer will not make him turn aside from his traditions. I remember hearing the late Lord Overstone say, that genius was a dangerous gift to a banker. He ought, the noble lord continued, to be emphatically common-place, to be Avedded to a beaten track. There were, he continued, occasional anxieties in a banker's career, when he must needs — the metaphor was his — oil the machine. But ordinarily it should be automatic. But it would be an error to conceive that pains and care, even a foresight akin to genius, were not needed in order to perfect the machine. If the Bank of England of to-day were to do what the Bank did in 1697, in 1710, and in 1720, not to trouble you at present with more instances, it would rapidly lose the confidence which it so justly possesses. The mechanism which the directors preside over in Threadneedle Street is the perfection of trained and traditional skill, and the managers are almost as automatic an engine as the Mint is, or as some tell us the pork factories of Chicago are, where a live pig enters at one door, and emerges through various machines from another as pickled and packed pork. So I heard at Chicago, though I had not the curiosity to inspect the process. Credit agencies existed in countries, all the annals of which have been lost, even in countries which did not possess a coinage. The succession of Babylonian monarchs is at best a list of obscure and disputable names, but antiquaries have discovered the strong rooms of bankers whose business was probably arrested in that capture of the city which Herodotus describes with such vigour, THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 67 and I must add, imagination. There must have been credit agencies between countries, all of whose memorials have perished. It is certain that such agencies existed between Tyre, Carthage, and Cadiz. Polybius has preserved in one of his ancient treaties between early Rome, royal or republican is not clear, not only the evidence of credit agencies, but a provision for enforcing con- tracts. So entirely were these agencies familiar to the Greek mind, that Aristotle employs the name of the instrument to signify a moral process. In that strange country, where it seems every Teutonic or Aryan settlement (I do not quite know what word is in fashion now) was early hardened into an autonomous and pugna- cious municipality, which could hardly conceive, and very rarely develope a collective sentiment, trade, and with it credit, which always comes with trade, were exceedingly active. To exclude a neighbour from trade in any market was an act of war resented as an international offence. But though we know that it must have existed, we know but little of Greek mercantile law. I have designed indeed to make it, if I can collect materials enough, the subject of a special lecture hereafter. I do not doubt, to quote a similar instance, that many wise Greeks deplored the disunion of Hellas, and foresaw that in time some monarchy would consume it in detail. But I never read but one practical suggestion in favour of a common Greek purpose, and that, oddly enough, is in the Lysistrate of Aristophanes. When the Romans gave them freedom it was too late, for the freedom of Greece was really intended to be an act of literary gratitude, and the failure was expressed, in one case at least, by a proverb too coarse for translation. All-important as it is, to civilization and international comity, credit is a matter of slow growth, and needs for its development the powerful protection of municipal law. I am not an adept or, in the least degree a judge, of the sufficiency which is said to reside in Mr. Darwin's speculations or proofs as to the origin of species. I can only admire the patience and integrity— a matter needed to men of science — with which he worked out his theories. But there is yet a field open for investigation in analyzing the origin of what I may perhaps call social morality. For many wrong things may be done by they're Quirituim, which cannot be 68 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. permitted by the/w^ gentium. The autocrat, whose power seems boundless, is a stranger out of his own country. He is like his own money, which is mere bullion when it leaves his borders. There is no sovereign who seems to be more absolute than the Tzar of Russia. But in matters of international business he has to conform as absolutely to the rules and regulations, to the caprices and suspicions of the Stock Exchange, as the pettiest state has. I do not pretend to have a great admiration for Stock Exchange people, but their action, and the rules by which they bind themselves and others, are the best illustrations, which I know of international morality. The machinery by which contracts are enforced, and credit is sustained, is exhibited in the old law of debt. In any country, it has been exceedingly, and, I presume, necessarily severe during the earlier days of credit. Lawgivers, like Draco and the Decemvirs, the authorities of the Pandects, and our Edward I. and Henry VUI., were, I am sure, convinced that the strict main- tenance of commercial contracts was a condition precedent to all trade. The ancient Roman was probably, when he dared, a stubborn cheat. I have little doubt that there were many Athenian gentlemen, like Strepsiades in the " Clouds," who had an invincible repugnance to refunding what they had borrowed. The vigorous law of statute merchant and statute staple was Edward's remedy against commercial fraud. The legislation of Henry VHI., under which entails were forfeited for bankruptcy, was no doubt deemed necessary. Compare our own old law on contract debts with the far milder process under which distraint was the very precarious and only remedy for default in paying the landlord's rent, and one will see how differently the two were viewed. There is a striking passage in Fitzherbert, where he compares the remedies against breach of contract with failure to meet the landlord's dues. In course of time these severe laws have been mitigated, only, I conclude, because in the general growth of commercial morality they had become superfluous. Their modern analogue is a bankruptcy law, and curiously enough, the least protected creditor of ancient times, the landlord, is the most protected now. Commercial law, that is, the law which protects, and intends tq THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 69 preserve credit if possible, is of most ancient origin. It was coexistent with the municipal or local law of Rome and Greece. As you are probably aware, the civil law had an historical begin- ning, was gradually consolidated, and at last codified under the authority of Justinian. Our own common law, though its origines are lost in barbarism, was, by the peculiarities of its details, the simple work of a half-savage race. These early codes were collected by Balue and the Grimms, and are a rugged but interesting study. But commercial law transcends them all in antiquity. Its beginnings are lost in the unrecorded past. But it has had an unbroken continuity, for it could not be dispensed with. The intercourse of civilized man, even of imperfectly civilized man, has been continuous, and the obligatory usages of such an intercourse are necessarily continuous too. The code of Carthage and Rhodes has been transferred from the civil law into our common law. I have promised myself, at some future time, to read you a lecture on the Italian trading towns of the early Middle Ages. No country has ever been so overrun by savages as Italy has. No country has ever so humanized its victors. Goth and Lombard, Saracen, German, Frenchman, Spaniard, have occupied and ravaged it. But the invaders have never destroyed its muni- cipalities. Some, like Venice, maintained themselves against all comers. And the annals of Genoa, Pisa, and Florence, are nearly as distinct and brilliant. At last Italy became divided as Greece was, and remained till recently, as Napoleon called it, a geogra- phical expression. I know no writer who is more laborious and more copious than Muratori. He puts to shame our puny collections. He is even more industrious than our Prynne was. His materials for Italian history can never be exhausted. Their amount is appalling. I am mainly concerned for the present with one, his " Antiquitates Medii Oevi." I owe a good many facts to it in connection with my researches into ancient currencies, and the relative value of the two precious metals. But to those who read it carefully, there comes out the commercial life and the commercial law, i.e.^ the protection of credit in those dark times, and from these volumes I have gathered my proof as to the continuity of commercial law. ^o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. I learned from Muratori what I concluded must be the meaning of the commercial treaty between Rome and Carthage, which is preserved by Polybius. The great work of this writer contains many thousands of treaties, conceding, defining, and guaranteeing the rights of merchants as creditors between the numerous trading cities of Italy. For as soon as ever trade ceases to be mere barter, the function of credit commences, the employment of money as a means of exchange, when the money is not intended to take the place of mere merchandise or bullion, a limited and elementary form of credit arises, for the money currency of a foreign state may be accepted in exchange on the faith that the issuing country will duly honour that which it has put into circulation. The fact that in the modern bullion trade, the currency of a country when it leaves the country of its origin, becomes bullion, may obscure certain primitive understandings as to the pledge implied in a currency. Now credit is the power which a person, or a state, has of attract- ing to him or itself wealth, either in the passive or active form from other persons or other communities, under the condition that the loan or advance will be liquidated by the virtual borrower. In fact, the loans or credits obtained by mercantile persons precede historically those procured by non-traders, and both kinds of advances precede the credits obtained by nations or governments. Let us take as an instance of the first class commercial bills, of the second bank-notes, of the third government loans. The origin of commercial bills is lost in the darkness of antiquity. The begin- nings of bank-notes, either in the form with which we are familiar, commences with the origin of the Bank of Genoa, or of England ; or in the form of warrants pledging the recipient or his assignee to the restoration of the actual moneys deposited, with the foundation of the Banks at Venice, Amsterdam, and Hamburgh. But the development of national or government credit is of far more recent growth, and is hardly two centuries old. That govern- ments issued and discounted their own acceptances and acknow- ledgments of indebtedness, and so anticipated their own resources or revenues, from very early times, is true enough. Philip of Spain did so with Genoa. Earlier still our third Edward did so with the Florentine bankers, the guardians of Edward VI. with THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 71 the Antwerp bankers, and most of the sovereigns made default. As late as the War of the Spanish Succession, as we learn from Peterborough's despatches, English government bills were nego- tiated at Genoa for the Spanish campaigns ; and the commercial notes of newspapers and other similar publications, quote notes of exchange between Great Britian and divers foreign countries. Then, again, credit is internal as well as external, is inevitably developed between the members of a community as well as between members of different communities from very early times. In our own experience, the liquidation of what are called ready- money transactions is constantly based on credit. If we buy goods and pay for them over the counter with notes, the trader accepts the exchange, because he is confident of the solvency of the issuing banker ; if we pay for them by our cheques, the transaction is theoretically completed, because he can rely on the solvency of the drawer, though, of course, it is not practically completed as far as purchasers are concerned till the cheque is honoured. Even then, nine cases out of ten, or ninety-nine out of a hundred, the recipient of the cheque makes it the means of developing another form of credit, in the form of a balance at his own bankers. As human societies have been educated in functions of credit, and see daily how all-pervading and significant they are, it has been natural to assign to credit qualities and powers which it is far from universally possessing, to say nothing of others which it does not possess at all. It is really part of the mechanism by which wealth is mobilized, even in its most stationary forms. Take, for example, the old forms of obligation conveyed under a statute merchant or a statute staple, and the recognition of such pledges as exceptional, by the law of Edward I. A landowner sought to procure funds for the prosecution of a commercial venture. The law allowed him for this end to pledge his land and his personal liberty, before the chief officer of a trading or a staple town. He raised a loan on this security and traded. It is plain that he was transmuting during the period of the loan, the passive wealth which he possessed in his estate into the active wealth of another person. He was creating no new wealth, though the fact that he was about to do so lies at the bottom of his transaction. 72 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. He was simply displacing it, mobilizing it, giving it a new effi- ciency. He might, indeed, have lost by the transaction, and forfeited his estate. The security which he offered is ex hypo- thesis unimpaired, but the wealth which he secured by the pledge is lost. Some people allege that credit creates new wealth. It does so no more than bank-notes make more money. What it does is to utilize, to mobilize wealth, and make it more efficient. I remem- ber to have heard that, when an enthusiastic advocate of the functions of credit was dwelling on its creative powers in the House of Commons, the late Sir Robert Peel congratulated him on his eloquence and his mastery over one theory of the currency, but added, not perhaps without some tinge of personal sarcasm, that he would sooner have the orator's money than his credit. And Peel had done the country an infinite service by insisting on the restoration of genuine credit, on the resumption of cash pay- ments, in opposition to those who wish to develope the currency. When by proper exercise and diet, to use an illustration, you bring human strength to its fullest efficiency in an individual body, you do not make two bodies. And so, when by judicious substitutes, in the form of commercial obligations, the fullest effi- ciency is given to the monetary resources of a country, you do not make another mass of money. If you did, the more instruments of credit you made, the more you pile up indebtedness, the more property do you create. You might as well allege, as a very active and enthusiastic, not to say positive, writer appears to assert, that if you had a thousand pounds, and owed a thousand pounds, you were worth two thousand pounds. To my mind you are worth just nothing under such circumstances. There is an obvious question which it is not easy or accurate to answer with a yes or no, which is, does credit affect prices ? Now no doubt price is due to demand. Articles rise in price, because the demand appears to fall short of the supply, and fall in price, because the supply seems immediately or prospectively to exceed the demand. How the possession of credit may enable one person who determines on producing an article an opportunity of com- peting against another, who will go without it if the other gets it. But here the credit does not raise the price which the purchaser THE DEVELOPMENT Ot CREDIT AGENCIES. 73 gives, it simply, and for the time, enables the purchaser to satisfy his demand. Sooner or later, generally very soon, it will be found that the purchaser has used his credit temporarily, and that he must give value for his acquisition. He has merely anticipated for a brief space what the article was worth. Take, again, a commercial speculation. Persons will strain their powers and their credit among their powers, in purchasing a commodity, cotton, copper, tin, the supply of which they think that they can estimate, the demand for which they assume that they can interpret. They are simply engaged, if their calculations are sound, in anticipating that which is sure to arise, and in appropriating that exaltation of price which others have not been acute enough to foresee. In such a case, credit is not raising prices, it is merely enabling an individual to take early advantage of an inevitable rise. Hence, speculations of this kind are looked on with much leniency. They are supposed, and with much show of reason, to stimulate supply. It is also alleged that if they are mistaken they bring their Nemesis with them, and that no trader, or combination of traders, is strong enough to exercise more than a very temporary control over the market. Whether, indeed, the law or the custom of mercantile transactions is not over lenient to speculative failures, is a question of considerable gravity. Whether it is possible for combination to produce a monopoly, for a mono- poly to defy competition, and for monopoly to exact an over-heavy charge, not for intelligent apprehension, but by the sheer force of what may be called a commercial conspiracy, is a question which is by no means easily answered. The law does contemplate such possibilities, as, for example, in the costs of railway transit, and take precautions against them, in the just interests of consumers. It has done so in the case of certain labourers, whose demands, with the alternative of the cessation of work, might paralyze society at a crisis, and therefore insists on the continuity of contracts made by such persons. It seems easy to conclude that such action is just. Under a voluntary system of enlistment, men may refuse or accept the pay and prospects of the public service. But for an army to strike for higher pay, at the commencement of a cam- paign or an engagement, would be fatal, and could not be enter- tained. But the sudden abandonment of a calling where 74 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. continuity was essential to the well-being of society, as, for example, some years since of the gas stokers in London, was treated as an offence. Of course if a government deliberately permits or creates a monopoly in any necessary article, it enables — nay stimulates — the producer to create an artificial price. Such is the case with the English land system, which, in towns at least, affords an artificial price to the owner of extensive areas, by creating what is virtually, to use commercial slang, a land ring. I do not affirm that the particulars of our land system which produce this result were designed to bring it about. It is sufficient that they do, and that they are directly responsible for some of the worst conditions, at any rate in past time, which have affected the housing of the poor in large towns. Nor is it just that unoccupied houses and areas should be exempt from local charges. The State is under no obligation to assist such owners in finding tenants at artificial rents, as it virtually does by excusing them from their liabilities during the period of non-user. Protection to producers, always to certain producers, for if it were extended all round it would assuredly defeat itself, is again one of the means by which prices are artificially heightened. No one should be forced to sell at the optional price of a purchaser, for it is clear that such a rule would be spoliation, and a fatal discouragement to industry. But by parity of reason, nobody should be forced to buy at the optional price of the vendor, for such a practice is just as much spoliation, nay, impudent plunder, and that of the most feeble and helpless. And so it has come to pass, and that quite naturally, that in the United States, where protection is maintained by terrorism where possible, and by the most barefaced falsehoods where it is not, the protected capitalist detects in all combinations of workmen in all discontent at wages, a danger to his monopoly, which he must remorselessly persecute. I know few things in the modern history of labour and capital more startling than the machinery employed to terrorize workmen among the ironmasters of Pennsylvania, and recorded in the published documents of that state. But scarcity interpreted by dealers or speculators, advantages permitted by governments, and protective laws forced on com- THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 75 munities by selfish and powerful interests, are the principal causes, if not the only causes of exalted prices. Of course I am leaving out of consideration the permanent cause of high and low prices, the cheapness or dearness of the metal which forms the standard of economy. But in these three causes credit is concerned with the first only as an independent factor, and that only partially or tem- porarily. To deny that credit has any effect whatever on prices is to contradict experience. But it is very easy and very obvious to exaggerate the effect. And if it be employed to stave off a serious fall it is simply undertaking the common functions of capital with this difference, that the capitalist has only his own counsel to take, while the man who sustains his operations by credit has to take, as he sometimes finds to his cost and disap- pointment, counsel with others. There are occasions under which very extensive credit operations may be entered on, in which, however, no effect whatever is traceable on real prices, that is, the price of the necessaries of life. I will illustrate this by a brief history of the great South Sea Bubble of 1720, an economical phenomenon which is not entirely without parallel in the history of other countries, and indeed of our own. But it has never been exhibited in such proportion since. I have some special opportunities for commenting on it, for I have recently gleaned from the copious collection of news- papers during that period, which is contained in the Bodleian Library, a daily register of the price of stock in the South Sea Fund from the beginning of the process, during the time of its inflation, and at the crisis of its rapid and complete collapse. Most historians who have commented on it have very imper- fectly understood the facts. The nearest analogues to it are the speculations entered into at the rise of the Republics in Central and Southern America in 1825 and the railway mania in 1847. Now in the early years of George I. the public debt, contracted during the wars of the English and Spanish successions, was held in a very different way from that in which it now is. This debt, of course, represented the credit of the nation in Parliament. Much of it constituted the stock of the Bank of England, the East India Company, and, above all, the South Sea Company, which, after 1713, had secured as part of their bargain the trade 76 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. in negro slaves with the Spanish Plantations, under what is known in history as the Assiento treaty. Not a little of the debt was in annuities granted for life or terms of years. Some was a floatinp; debt renewed in the form of Exchequer bills, and generally pui into circulation through the Bank. Now in itself the system was cumbrous and wasteful. Wealth had been rapidly growing through the trade of London, and no doubt while Walpole was still in the Ministry he had ventilated those projects of his fur consolidating the public debt which he was in after years to mature. But Walpole had been ejected from office in 1717, and was succeeded by Stanhope, who gave way to Sunderland, under whom were Aislabie, Chancellor of the Exchequer, and Craggs, Secretary of State. Now in order to effect this change, it seemed obvious that one or the other of the great chartered companies, the Bank of England or the South Sea Company, should undertake the com- mission. The East India Company was out of the question. Now the Bank regularly paid its shareholders 8 per cent., the South Sea 6, and the ordinary price of the two stocks was 140 to 150 for the Bank, 105 to no for the South Sea. The two companies bid for the bargain, and the South Sea offered to transact the affair for less than the Bank thought prudent. It is doubtful whether | it was wise to allow a trading or banking company to ingraft so ' enormous a stock on its capital as more than thirty millions additional, and imperfect as the knowledge of finance was at the time, I think it very doubtful whether, had Walpole been in office, he would have lent himself to the negotiation. For the business was exceedingly complicated by the vast quantity of debt which was secured to annuitants, and it would certainly be unsuc- cessful unless the annuitants were persuaded to accept the value of their interest in some stock or the other, or cash could be found to pay them off at a fair valuation. Now how was the South Sea Company to effect this result. They had a trade, it is true, which the Spanish Government strove to curtail within the narrowest limits, the South Sea Company to expand. One would have thought, after the experience of the Mississippi scheme in France the year before, that the prospects of the American trade would have been seriously discounted. THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 77 B'lt the collapse in France was set down to Louis' bank, not to the trading scheme, the shares of which, as I see from the papers of the time, still bore a respectable price. It was then upon pledges as to the enormously profitable character of this speculation and really meagre trade, that the prornoters and directors of the scheme proposed to build up success. The stock rose during the negotia- tions and advanced rapidly when they were completed. Nor were the English capitalists and speculators alone tempted. The stock was purchased largely in Holland. The Government promised the company 5 per cent, for a time, to be reduced after the lapse of a few years to 4 per cent., no particularly tempting offer at a time when the ordinary rate was from 5 to 6. The Directorate, to be sure, contained many con- siderable names in the mercantile world of London, and four members of Parliament. The King was the governor. The papers discussed, or at least expounded the scheme, which promised enormous dividends, and a considerable number of annuitants were induced to take stock in the company in exchange for their bargains. As far as the Government went, the transfer of its liabilities was on paper only, but some annuitants, and these represented a considerable sum, elected to be paid off. How was the money to be raised in order to sustain the credit of the company, for you see that the operation was entirely one of credit, or of confidence in the management of those who undertook the operation ? It is true that some of the papers, rarely at that time supplying their readers with anything but mere news, doubted the success of the scheme, and warned the public. But as is clear from the fluctuations of the stock, many persons realized their gains, and it soon became known that this and that man had achieved a fortune by his speculations. It was when the stock had risen from 123^, its price on December 3, 1719, to 310 on April 1st, the highest of the day, that the directors took the step of endorsing by their own action the public craze. On April 14th they offered new stock to subscribers at 300, the amount being 2\ millions nominal, and the payment being spread over a considerable time. Next, on April 21st, they announced a dividend of 10 per cent, for the half-year, to be paid in stock at par, this being, you will see, at the rate of 60 per cent, per 78 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. annum on the original stock. On April 29th they issued a fresh million of stock at 400, the payments being distributed over a longer period than the first issue was. But it was three weeks — I am writing with the daily register of prices before me — before the public rose to this price, though on June 1st the highest price was 755. On June i6th the directors issued new stock for the third time, and in the same manner. This time the amount was five millions, and the price was ^1,000 for every 100 subscribed. On June 25th the highest price was reached, 1,060. In order to assist subscribers, the directors offered to lend ten millions of their own capital on the security of their own stock, and, I presume, at the prices which they had themselves fixed. That price, as was stated subsequently, was calculated to exceed the whole selling value of all the land in the kingdom. Now most of the history books which you read will tell you that the great Bubble collapsed immediately after the company, on August 1 6th, began to prosecute the unlicensed projectors who were trying, and, it is said, with much success, to attract some of the gains of those fortunate gamblers who had cleared out of the project when prices were at the highest. But the register of prices contradicts this. The stock continued high all through August, in which month the whole of the first new issue was paid up. It was not, to be sure, at the height at which it stood on June 25th, but the highest price on the last of August was 810. In Sep- tember the fall began, the fluctuations being exceedingly violent. Thus (jn September 30th prices ranged from 190 to 320. On the 8th of September the directors issued a notice that they would pledge themselves to pay a dividend of 30 per cent, for the year 1720, and 50 per cent, for the next twelve years, and this in money. I presume that some stockholders trusted to this promise, for the stock does not fall below 500 till September 17th. From this time the collapse was rapid and complete. The directors had some hopes that the Bank would come to the rescue, and the Bank showed some inclination to do so. But apparently, in order to back up the pledge of September 8th, the directors stood out for assistance on far too favourable terms, with the result that no assistance of an effectual kind could be rendered them The South Sea Company had a security, a good security, THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 79 one that remained good for more than a century after this famous year, but it was not worth anything like that value which the directors gave it. Parliament was obliged to intervene. Walpole, the only person able, as it seemed, to grapple with the situation, was recalled to office. The fraudulent Chancellor of the Exchequer, Aislabie, who survived the catastrophe, for Secretary Craggs was expelled the House, the last member of a Cabinet who has been expelled — I cannot say the last who deserved to be — and a Bill was brought in and carried, which to some extent compensated the dupes of the Bubble out of the private fortunes and illgotten gains of the projectors. The process which Walpole adopted (he had greatly increased his own fortune by buying and selling judiciously) is part of general English history, and except in one particular I need not comment on it. There is, I believe, no other instance in our history in which a fraud has been punished by an ex post facto law, for the attempt to punish Buncombe in 1698 for forging Exchequer Bills was defeated by a single vote in the Lords, and the Lords have been very properly commended for their action, for it needs a very strong case indeed to justify an ex post facto law, and there is no justification for an ex post facto administration of law. Gibbon, the historian, was the grandson of a man who had been a Commissioner of Customs, and a director of the South Sea Company during its inflation. He was one of the victims of the Parliament. He had acquired a fortune of ^60,000, and he was stripped of it, a single thousand being left him, says his biographer, though Parliament assigned him _^io,ooo. His son, the father of the historian, who sat in Parliament, was, as we may well anticipate, a bitter enemy of Walpole, and the grandson has commented with great severity, and with the great resources of language at his command, on the measures which Parliament took. The ordinary comment on the transaction which you will see in the common histories is the tradition 01' Gibbon's discontent. We need not be surprised at the anger oi a man whose family was reduced from affluence to comparatively narrow means by such a process as Walpole took, but he is hardly a disinterested commentator. If Parliament acted with severity, it discriminated between the offenders. 8o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. I cannot but think that the doctrine which was laid down by Macaulay that no ex post facto legislation is permissible, with all deference to so great, wise, and just a man, savours of paradox. I cannot think, that a stupendous, impudent, and distinctive fraud should go unpunished, because the legislature has not yet antici- pated the possibility of the offence. Nor do I think the doctrine to be constitutional. We have provided in our history, and have used against offenders whom no existing penalties would have reached, the mechanism of impeachment. The mechanism is, I allow, clumsy, absurd, and, in these days, impracticable, for who would dream of summoning a jury of 500 persons or more, few of them having had even the training of a juryman, to decide on the guilt of a great criminal. It is one thing to say that impeach- ment has become practically obsolete. It is another thing to say that what it implies should be abandoned without an attempt to refer it to a court which, being properly constituted, should command public respect. But in the absence of such a court, great offences would either pass unpunished or must be met by Acts of Pains and Penalties. In 1720 Walpole resorted to Parliament in order to punish the South Sea directors. In 172 1 he employed the same enginery against Atterbury, whose published correspondence shows that he, sworn as Lord of Parliament and bishop to the existing government, was plotting against the institutions to which he had pledged his allegiance and owed his rank and place. And if it be alleged that a wicked minister or administration has violated the constitution and committed crimes against public liberty, it is, I think, dangerous to that constitution and its liberties if he is to go unpunished because the quibbles of law decline to bring him within the reach of a punishable offence, and that he is sufficiently chastised if he be excluded from office. It is not by a doctrine like this that the liberties of this country have been won ; and if such a doctrine is to be accepted as final, there is danger that those liberties, common to all, may not be maintained. Now during the whole period of inflation, though credit, baseless I admit, had been apparently increased ten times at least, prices (the record lies before me) were entirely unchanged. The pur- chasing power of the country, according to the theory of some THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 8i economists had been increased tenfold, and according to all analogy, prices should have been powerfully affected. But, in fact, the wealth of the country remained as it was. Property changed hands. Many were ruined, many were enriched, but the aggregate of riches, some waste considered and accounted for, remained unaltered. No doubt the distress was very general. It always is when credit is inflated by folly and temporarily destroyed by inevitable panic. People often wonder at the rapid recovery from monetary disasters. The true explanation is that what is lost is impersonal ; individual, not collective. There may be a serious strain, there is for a time a formidable collapse. But what is substantial is not gone, and will soon recover its efficiency. You will then agree with me, that the proper interpretation of credit is derived, as is common with economical phenomena, from negative inductions. But to frame negative inductions you require facts, as much as you do in affirmative inductions. Men learn what they can do, by discovering, occasionally after a painful and dangerous experience, what they cannot do. The lesson people have to learn extends through all human action, from the highest efforts of political and social agencies to the ordinary business of every-day life. But I am sure that this cannot ever be learned in an arm-chair, at a study table, and with nothing but metaphysics to guide one. The British nation is the only civilized community, and the criticism does not of course extend to uncivilized communities, which has kept unbroken, undeviating faith with its public and private creditors. There have been, it is true, temptations and tempters, both plausible enough, but they have not been listened to with effect. There have been occasions on which, relying on this honest sensitiveness, rogues have attempted and with success to palm indefensible claims on the British public, under the guise of vested interests. I told you on a previous occasion what is the only vested interest which an economist can allow. But I suppose that it is better in the long run, to be stupid and honest, than to run the risk of being called clever and unscrupulous. But if one is honest, one need not be stupid, and one may discover that one is encouraging knaves, if one listens with over-much compliance to their claims. There is and there cannot be any other definition of 7 82 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. I a vested interest than honest compensation for an unquestionable pubHc service, when that service has been done, with a full understanding between the doer of the service and the public that compensation may be due. The best illustration which can be given from English com- mercial life of a just appreciation of the functions of credit, and a wise regulation of its concession, is the conduct of the Bank of England, an institution now near two centuries old. I do not say that this institution, alone among similar establishments for unblemished good faith, has never committed errors. It has committed grave errors, as its best advocates would admit. But its errors are those of good faith, and therefore have never been fatal. And now its manipulation of commercial credit is almost as automatic as its issues are under the Act of 1844. Its action has been criticized, as the action of all great social instruments is. But experience has proved that it is wiser than its critics. To my mind its relations to the finance of government are infinitely more valuable and more honest than that of any department of state. It has enjoyed no considerable pecuniary reward. To a great extent it protects against risk those who have been its rivals, and divides profits which do not equal the half of those corporations which would look to it for succour, if their own indiscretion led them into a trap. For it cannot be disputed that the Bank is the centre and pivot of British credit. One cannot look with similar confidence on some of these institutions of credit. The evil may be of difficult cure, for Lord Thring, the draftsman for many years of Government Bills, and in particular of the Limited Liability Acts, assured me the other da}', that he knew of no process which could sccvn^e a bona-fide audit of accounts. And of course it is obvious, that no accountant could vouch for the goodness of all the commercial Bills, i.e.^ instruments of credit, which being discounted by a bank, are held in its portfolio. The danger, I imagine, to these institutions of credit lies in the inclination to suppress or qualify a loss, but the indis- creet exposure of it would have an injurious effect on deposits. But, on the other hand, commercial espionage has become almost a fine art. For a guinea a year, you can learn atdiscretion and in confidence, everything about the commercial character of your neighbours. THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 83 The second great commercial craze, over a hundred years after the great battle, was the epoch of loans in 1825, particularly to I he Spanish republics of the New World. The occasion of Canning's celebrated platitude, a far more serious piece of rhodomontade than the friend of humanity's address to the needy knife-grinder. The English capitalists, and their number is legion, their wisdom being occasionally not higher than the swine into which the li.gion entered, lent to these emancipated peoples, and the eman- u[iated peoples took their money with genuine Spanish dignity. The fact is, they did not know how to use it. Their old masters had carefully excluded them from every function of government, and they had to learn the very rudiments of a civil polity, and among other things the philosophy of credit. So the English capitalist lost the money, and the Spanish republican lost not credit, which he never had, but the contingency of credit. It is not a little instructive that the same region gave occasion to the Bubble of 1720, and that of 1825. The railway mania of 1847 was the most anxious, and at the same time the most pardonable, of these crazes. Almost suddenly a means of land transit was perfected, which gave indefinite, because unknown, opportunities of hope. There was no mistake about the fact, the error lay in ignorance as to the conditions under which the fact could become a practical reality. I cannot discover trustworthy evidence for the amount which individvials had sub- scribed for, or for the amount of their losses, but the effects were nearly as disastrous as those which we can read of as to the collapse of the South Sea Scheme in 1720. Of course the greater part of commercial business carried on, even in these periods of inflation, is prudent and honest. With the mass of people engaged in trade there is no abuse of credit, for otherwise general business would become impossible. But there is always a risk with individuals. Men, says Adam Smith, habitually overrate their own good fortune and intelligence. If they did not, bookmakers at races, and speculating jobbers on Stock Exchanges could not make fortunes by their craft. If they can succeed in impressing the notion that they are farseeing and fortunate on the holders of loanable capital, that is, extend their credit, they may overshoot the mark. Somebody must have 84 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. trusted men who become bankrupt, and have trusted them un- wisely. Occasionally people have acquired a character for honest dealing and solvency which is wholly undeserved. Many years ago, I suffered a severe prospective loss by the failure of Paul's Bank. Sir John Paul had been insolvent all his life, but by an ostentation of profound religious conviction, he continued to hoodwink a number of people, and to persistently rob them. In our own time similar tactics were adopted by the Greenways, with the same success and the same results. Occasionally, the phenomena of a serious collapse of credit, which, did it occur in ordinary business, would create a panic, arises from an improvident extension of credit to a particular class of traders. From the end of the Crimean War, to the final adjustment of Europe after the Franco-German War, the rent of English land was greatly exalted. I have referred to it before. It is derivable of course, from the income-tax returns of farmers' rents. It amounted to 26^ per cent, in twenty years, and I have quoted these figures in order to substantiate other inferences. Now during this period of inflation, banks in agricultural districts made very free advances to farmers. It seemed obvious that men who could compete for occupancy so freely and so boldly, must have a wide margin to meet liabilities. At last, as we all know, the crisis came, and rents began to fall and farmers to be bankrupts. In two years, 10 per cent, of the British farmers, taking the Bank- ruptcy returns and the census together, were swept away by failure. Now at this time I was going to town with a well-known London banker, and in conversation I suggested that the country bankers had made great losses by farming failures. "On the contrary," said he, " they have been the principal agents in the collapse of the farming interest and the depression of rents. They had, as you seem to see, made very large advances to the farming class. But they began to be alarmed for their security. The landlord, they knew, was protected, come what might, by the law of distraint. But the banker had only a second or deferred security. So they began to call in their advances, and precipi- tated the ruin which was perhaps impending." Now, bankers' advances are obviously a form of credit. But it is quite certain that the staunchest advocate of our land system, and the most THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREDIT AGENCIES. 85 energetic defender of the landowner's rights, would not allow these sentiments and sympathies to warp his judgment, when he got into his bank, turned over his ledger, and noted the ominous growth of his farming customers' liabilities. There are occasions when the acuteness of a trader or a class of traders in the same commodity leads them to anticipate a scarcity, and that rise in prices which follows on a scarcity. Such persons strain their credit to get a command of the market, and sometimes succeed. But they more frequently fail, and for the reason which I have quoted from Adam Smith. But their failure may involve great losses to those who have unwisely assisted them. Such was the case with the great leather failures some twenty years ago. It is the fashion — I believe the use of the word is transatlantic — to call these transactions rings or corners. Some- times, again, persons have divided great gain from the operation of an economical law, which I believe that I was the first person to announce a quarter of a century ago. I noticed in collecting prices that when there was a scarcity in an article of prime necessity, the rise in price is always greatest in the commoner or cheaper kinds of the article. The cause is plain enough. The stint in the article causes a greater demand for inferior kinds. Now I have known persons who have greatly prospered by dealing on such occasions in what had previously been cheap goods. I do not think that they formulated the law, but they got hold of the fact. More fortunate still is the person who by divination or private information gets information that a change is meditated in the customs. Some time ago the Government reduced the tea duties by 6d. in the pound. The intended change came to the knowledge of a dealer in Mincing Lane. How the knowledge was obtained was never, I believe, publicly divulged. Suspicion, however, fell on a prominent official, who suddenly and completely escaped from known embarrassments. Theinnocent or guilty recipient of the in- telligence at once strained his capital '(a large one) and his credit, which naturally stood high, in the purchase of tea. He knew that the lessening of the duty would be followed by a rise in price. Suppose that 2d. in the sixpence went to the dealer, and the public saved the 4d. It would not be difficult for a large and J>6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. powerful operator to make ^100,000 by this safe operation, and, I must add, it might be expedient to pay handsomely for the sole information. The result of this reputed transaction with the official, and real speculation of the tea dealer, was to introduce a custom into administrations, under which the particulars of the Budget are made known to the Cabinet only the night before the Budget is introduced into the House of Commons. The story which I have told you was given to me as an explanation of this singular, and sometimes inconvenient, practice — inconvenient because our coldness and over-timidity in finance are found embarrassing to parties. But nothing under ordinary circum- stances can exceed the anxieties with which traders seek to anticipate the financial measures of the Government. Sometimes, indeed, a general collapse of ordinary credit ensues, and this almost unexpectedly. This state of things has been called a panic or a crisis, and is rarely or never foreseen. Now, I have already referred to two of these by name only, i.e.^ the panics of 1825 and 1847. In both cases the catastrophe was due to a sudden distrust of commercial credit, particularly of the country banks ; for on both occasions, when credit was almost universally shaken, the reputation of the Bank remained intact. But the acutest men of business were very much divided in opinion as to the causes which had really brought about the calamity, and still more divided as to the cause of its cessation. A panic rarely lasts long. In 1825, according to Mr. Tooke, an eye-witness of the circum- stances, its endurance was three weeks only. In 1847 the same acute observer declares that there were two panics, one in April, the other in October, and each of somewhat longer duration. The true cause, I conclude, of a credit panic is the close inter- lacing of monetary interests. If Ucalegon's house catches fire, his neighbours are in extreme risk of the conflagration extending. The incaution of one banking house has led to its failure, and similar incaution is ascribed to other houses which have been cautious. But, as it is the essence of banking that it puts its credit into circulation, distrust induced on that credit leads to a demand for that which it represents, and in the crisis of 1825 it is admitted that the form which the demand took was gold for internal use. Fortunately the public was entirely convinced of the sound- THE DEVELOPMENT OE CREDIT AGENCIES. 87 ness of the Bank of England, and was ready not only to take its notes, but to exchange the gold which it had drawn out, through the bankers in which it had distrusted, for the notes of the Bank. Thus, when a London bank failed on December 8th, there at once arose a run on the other London banks on the two following days. But these banks were prepared, and the alarm subsided. On the 1 2th, however, another London bank failed, and the run re-com- menced. On this occasion the Bank of England began a practice which before it had steadily refused to adopt — that of lending money on its own or on Government stocks. But during the intensity of the crisis, the Bank made free loans of its own notes, and humoured the panic so effectually that it reduced its own stock of coin and bullion to little over a million, to as low an amount as the cover stood in the memorable 1797. But the Bank knew that the gold coin was in the country, and that, the trouble over, it would rapidly return. For, though credit was suspended, and it was impossible without serious loss to turn securities into cash, the property and the securities were there, and the Bank was able to fortify the credit of others by an enormous advance of its own notes on security. It is note- worthy that during this period the Bank raised its rate of interest only once from 4 to 5 per cent., and, indeed, for the first century and a quarter of its career its rate of discount was generally invariable. Three years before the trouble of 1847, Sir Robert Peel, then at the height of his reputation — well-deserved, indeed — and leading a large and united party, passed the Act under which the Bank of England is still regulated. I cannot enter here on the criticism of that Act. It is perhaps the strongest meat in all economics, and requires the most energetic digestion. I do not as yet venture on discussing the provisions of a statute on which more has been written adversely and eulogistically than on any other Act of legislation. It is sufficient to say that while its advo- cates declare it to be the quintessence of monetary wisdom, the most acute and dispassionate of its critics says that it is the " most wanton, ill-advised, pedantic, and rash piece of legislation which ever came within his observation." The Act has been frequently suspended, and under circumstances where it was meant to be 88 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. operativ'e, and it has been imitated by no other civihzed com- munity. The Bank is constrained to curtail its issues, and thus to contract it accommodation, its own reputation remaining intact, at the very time when its assistance is most wanted. Hence, when the strin- gency has been at its height, the law has been suspended, and the Bank empowered to make an excess of issue. The Bank, of course, cannot, and should not, support those who are provably insolvent, as it never has knowingly done through its long history. Its function is to help at a period of unreasoning and unreasonable distrust those who are solvent. And the proof that the suspension of the Act is imperative, as well as discreet, is in the fact, invariably recurrent, that the panic ceases as soon as the Bank is allowed a discretionary issue. In the interval, much undeserved hardship has occurred, not in the cost of accommodation, for this is com- paratively trivial and temporary, but in the stint of accommodation when this has been urgently needed. A good deal of metaphysics has been written about credit. I have only glanced at this method of treating the subject in the present lecture. The true theory of the subject has not only been obscured by them, but by the wrongheadedness of many, some great names, who would not admit that their inductions were erroneous and one-sided, and by misconception as to what credit will do. You will be safe, in my opinion, if you recognize it as the mobilization of capital with a view to increasing its efficiency, and that it tends to make that fluid and elastic which is naturally rigid and unyielding. V. THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. Development of 7narine transit in ancient and mediceval a^cs — T/ic discovery of America and the Cape Passage — Rise of Dutch trade — • Rivalry of the English — Hindrance to the development of English shipping — Progress under free trade — MilVs pessimism refuted by experience — Modern econojnies in the cost of transit. The annals of no country illustrate more conclusively what trade will do for a community than those of Holland. It was not till it began to assert its independence, or, at least, to affirm that it had chartered liberties, which it was not competent for its Count to revoke at his pleasure, though this Count happened to be King of Spain and Portugal and lord of the East and the West, that it possessed either trade or manufactures to any notable extent. These were centred in the great cities of Flanders— Bruges, Ghent, Antwerp, and a hundred more. It was in those towns that the clothing of the west of Europe was manufactured, at least, all but home-spun, and it was from Bruges that the spices of the East were distributed over the same region. Antwerp, of course, by the relative pre-eminence of its trade, was also the city where the commercial bills of the same district were negotiated and dis- counted, for in the fifteenth and the first half of the sixteenth centuries Antwerp, always considerable for its connection with the 90 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Hanseatic League and the Baltic trade, was appropriating much of the commerce which Venice and Genoa had formerly enjoyed. The Eastern commerce of Bruges was seriously crippled by the conquest of Egypt in the first quarter of the sixteenth century, and the consequent block of the Alexandrian trade, and Flanders was, as you all know, ruined by Alva, the Spanish Inquisition, and the wars of religion. But the ruin of Flanders was the making of Holland. It would not even under the circumstances have been made had it not been for the character of its people. But in estimating the progress of nations you must always take circum- stances into consideration. Men are not, as fools and poltroons say, the creatures of circumstances, but it sometimes happens that very obscure or unrecorded causes have had much to do with per- sonal, local, and even national prosperity. I do not think that Holland would have been so great if Flanders, after it had lost its ancient spirit, had not ceased to be the commercial rival of its would-be liberator. But I shall have occasion to refer to the place which Holland took in the history of trade transit as I deal with my present subject. The trade of ancient civilization was, with one exception — that of Carthage — bounded by the shores of the Mediterranean, and we infer that the Phoenicians passed through the pillars of Hercules into the Atlantic, rather than possess proof of it. But the trade, and by implication the transit of goods from city to city, was bounded within narrow limits. Athens was the most enterprizing of the Greek cities in the East, and there is not much evidence that Athenian vessels went beyond Byzantium in ordinary trade. In the Western Mediterranean Marsilia was the principal centre of trade, but there is reason to believe that its principal business was done with the Gallic tribes of the interior, and that through this port the Phcenicians derived their tin by an overland passage through Gaul and the short sea route of the English Channel. In the absence of evidence one cannot affirm or deny that they passed up by the coast of Spain, ventured on the Bay of Biscay, and thence kept along the coast of Gaul to Western Britain. The Cornishmen believe that they did, and I was told that there still remain evidences of Phanician moorings in the numerous creeks of Falmouth Harbour. There are some people to whom the THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 91 t\idence of Cade's follower, that the bricks are alive to this day to show it, is conclusive. That tin was procured is certain, that it came from Western Britain is nearly certain, though tin is found in the Iberian peninsula, but history is silent as to the route by which it came. The English race, particularly in the south, early developed a marine. But there are charges, not perhaps entirely unfounded, til at these sailors were more given to freebooting than to trade. Ouite apart from any differences between the two countries, which were indeed from after the middle of the eleventh up to near the middle of the fifteenth, with no doubt a considerable interruption in the thirteenth, under one sovereign, the mariners of Northern France and those of Southern England carried on incessant war- fare with each other. Now piracy to be successful requires that some attention should be given to the arts of shipbuilding and navigation, for it is of importance to the pirate that he should escape with his booty. There is some evidence in the stories of sea fights, as that of Eustace the monk, with the Cinque Ports in 12 17, and that of the fleet which our Edward III. collected, prin- cipally from the southern ports, in order to the battle of Sluys, that the English in these early days handled their barks shrewdly. But the English hardly ventured out of their own channel, except on the eastern side of the island, where they went in quest of fish, all along the Scottish coast, and probably as far as Iceland. Towards the middle of the fifteenth century the Bristol fish curers determined to attempt the western route to the Iceland cod fisheries. The author of the " Libel of English Policy," who, as I have been told by the present librarian of the British Museum, was almost certainly Adam du Molyns, Bishop of Chichester, mur- dered or lynched, for he seems to have had a kind of rough trial at Portsmouth, early in 1450, says that in his day this expedition was first attempted by the use of the mariners' compass. I have little doubt that this successful venture was the principal stimulus to Bristol enterprise, and I doubt not that it was out of the riches gained in this and similar voyages that Cannyng made the wealth, the dedication of a portion of which remains visible to this day in the beautiful church of St. Mary, Redcliffe. To my mind it would be well if the students of commercial geography, instead of merely 92 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. announcing the present conditions and statistics of commercial centres, were to search a little into the causes which led to certain localities becoming commercial centres. Certain evidence, however, survives that in early times attempts were made to explore that mysterious ocean which lay outside the Mediterranean. Herodotus tells us of a Persian who was forced in expiation of an offence to explore, and makes a statement as to what the traveller saw, which is at least a proof that some mariner must have crossed the equator and sailed into the southern hemi- sphere. There is the voyage of Hanno the Carthaginian, and Scylax, and there is still preserved to us the narrative of the expedition which Nearchus made down the Indus and into the Arabian Sea. But the geography of antiquity is very vague, and like its navigation gets very little beyond the basin of the Medi- terranean. Strabo, the most voluminous writer on ancient geo- graphy, and if you can read Greek, a most agreeable author, for he fills his descriptions with the most curious facts and statements, takes Homer as his principal authority. But one of the most remarkable facts in ancient civilization is its rapid and amazing development in art, and its early ascent in everything else. Oi course the Greeks filled this unknown region of ocean with mysterious continents and islands, some submerged, others far and happily removed from the incessant aggressions and turmoils of ancient life. These ancient stories and legends no doubt led to the enterprize of Henry, Prince of Portugal, the grandson of our John of Gaunt, who, in the middle of the fifteenth century, ventured on the un- known sea, and explored the coast of Northern Africa. Thence- forward maritime enterprize became a tradition at the Portuguese court, which fortified itself by a bull of Roderic Borgia, also Alexander VI., in which the full sovereignty of all possessions discovered in the eastern side of the great ocean was conferred on Portugal. The example was contagious, and Isabella of Castile supplied the ships and funds for the voyage of Columbus. The doubling of the Cape and the discovery of Hispaniola were effected almost at the same time. Our Henry VII. stood aloof from the enterprize. But the Bristol merchants discovered Newfoundland, the nearest part of America to Europe. THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 93 The Cape passage and the sea route to India were not dis- covered a day too soon. In 15 15, the Turkish scourge fell on Egypt, nearly destroyed it, and blocked the only remaining land route to the East. I know no historical event which has brought about more signal and more enduring changes than the conquest of Egypt by Selim I. But nothing has been more entirely ignored by our paste and scissors historians than this event and its conse- quences. I have dwelt on them before ; I have pointed out that they are the key to many a European problem in the first quarter of the sixteenth century. I need not dwell on them here, and only refer to them in order to show how powerful a stimulus necessity was to the development of the sea route to India and the improvement of the transit trade. Now at the time when Borgia issued his Bulls Western Europe still believed in the Pope, though his doings and those of his family were inconsistent, to say the least, with his function and profession. I believe that an attempt has been made to whitewash his daughter Lucretia. I am not sure whether something of the same kind has not been done for his son Caesar, and even for the Pope himself. But these are the customary pranks of the philo- sophy of history. After possession had followed on the Bulls, the occupants were, or seemed, too strong for dispossession, and, to say the truth, the Spanish soldier of the sixteenth century was a very formidable person when he was properly led and paid with fair regularity. It was a long time before any of the European nations ventured to dispute the ownership of the New and the Old World as enjoyed by Spain and Portugal respectively. Now this bears upon my subject, the development of the art of transit. Provided a vessel was seaworthy, speed was no object to these monopolists. They had virtually, at least as far as Portugal went, the sole market of the Eastern world and its most desirable products. Their vessels were huge unwieldy structures ; but apart from their knowledge of gunpowder and its uses, which was formidable as a terror, if for little else, their visits were to peoples which were not seafaring, or, at most, familiar with nothing better than a canoe. So the Portuguese fairly established themselves in the Spice Islands, and had factories on the western coast of India. When it was too late, the Turks 94 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. tried in their clumsy and barbarous fashion to restore the trade which they had ruined. But the land route to Aleppo had no chance against the long sea voyage, slow and capricious as it was. The English were still a seafaring people. They seemed to have frequented the Baltic. But during the reign of Henry VIII. they did not go further south than Seville. Their first distant venture — I omit that of the voyage to Newfoundland — was an attempt made under Sir Hugh Willoughby in the reign of Edward VI. to discover a north-east passage along the Arctic Sea and the coast. Sir H. Willoughby with two of his crews was caught and perished in the Arctic winter, the third reached what we now know as Archangel, and established our first commercial relations with Russia. They did not attempt to navigate the Mediter- ranean till towards the end of the sixteenth century, and then they had but little success in that region, for the Levant Company which Elizabeth chartered was a failure to the adventurers, and a loss to the Crown. Now to carry on distant navigation with safety it is necessary to know several things. The Portuguese had learned something about the trade winds, the peculiarities of the Southern and Indian Oceans, and had surveyed, and in a rude way constructed charts of these seas. These were, however. State secrets, like an Emperor's diary. It was in the last degree important to get at them, to copy them, and to put copies of them into safe hands in Europe. Now there was war between Spain and Holland, of which I shall say a little hereafter, but till Philip II. succeeded to the Portuguese throne, peace between Holland and Portugal. If Philip had not succeeded to this new kingdom and its vast possessions it is difficult to imderstand how Holland could have got a foothold on the Spice Islands. The necessary information was procured for them by one Linschoten, a Dutchman. I know nothing in the romance of history more curious than this man's career. I never read but of one other Dutchman whose fortunes were so romantic. I refer to that of Ripperda in the eighteenth century. But that person was not so respectable, and he ended in failure. Linschoten had taken up his residence in Portugal. He got into the service of the Aichbishop of Goa, THE DEVELOPMENT CF TRANSJT. 95 and accompanied him to the Portuguese settlement in the western coast of Hindostan. Here he began to collect all the important evidence which he could put together, the mystery of the trade winds, the geography of the Eastern Archipelago, where the most important of the Portuguese factories were, the botany of the district, the navigation of the channels, and the character of the natives. Finally, he got hold of the maps which the Portuguese had drawn, copied which could be procured, and carefully secreted them. During the long period of his eastern residence, Portugal, with its dependencies passed into the hands of the King of Spain, and Linschoten, though he had to work with still more secrecy and care, had the satisfaction of knowing that he was not only engaged in instructing his countrymen, provided he could get back with his treasures, in the way to enrich themselves, but was countermining against the national enemy. He must have had rare gifts of dissimulation. At last he completed his research, contrived to quit his patron's service without suspicion, and returned to Holland. Here he speedily published his " New Map of the Indies," to which our own Shakespeare makes reference, and instructed his countrymen in the new field of adventure which he had informed them of. He must have let them know how readily their quicker and more easily managed craft could grapple with the great clumsy galleons in which Spain carried on its trade. But before Linschoten's maps were published Dutchmen and Englishmen had successfully achieved the circumnavigation of the world, and so solved a problem which was insoluble to the earlier geographers. The English expedition was effected by Drake. This resolute and able navigator was by no means in- different to accidental opportunities. Whatever Philip's secret intentions were, however well they were divined by Walsinghara and disclosed to Elizabeth, there is no reason to believe that the Plymouth sailor was made acquainted with them. Drake, how- ever, takes matters into his own hands. He had personal reasons for dislike to Spain and its government ; but, I imagine, that if no such reasons had existed, he would have harried Spanish commerce. In plain English, Drake had all the instincts of a pirate, the best opportunities, and the fullest inclination to avail 96 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. himself of them. One cannot defend his action, but it was eminently useful. Out of his great voyage he learnt how to attack tlie Spanish fleet in Cadiz, and to deal with the Armada. For in those days, and after so long a decline in the naval enter- prize of England, after the disgust which had come over every- thing, owing to the action of Henry, his son's guardians, and his elder daughter, it was necessary that the seaman should be schooled into confidence. The story about Drake and the game of bowls at the Hoo may be a fiction, but it must have been a verisimilitude. Now, you will see that, in order to effect the settlement of their factories in the East, and to overawe such potentates as might be disposed to resist them, and to conquer the native races of America, it was sufficient that the two powers of Spain and Portugal should have seaworthy vessels, and should make some study of navigation. The races with whom they came in contact were not seafaring, except to a trivial extent, and were wholly unacquainted with the means of modern warfare. Nor was time a matter of serious consideration to these earlier traders ; they obtained a monopoly of the articles in which they designed to traffic, for any other route was cut off when they began their career ; and when the Turks tried, as I have told you they did, to revive the overland traffic, they found, as other people besides Turks have found, that it is much easier to destroy than to revive. The produce of the East when it reached Europe was sold at ten times the price which it cost in the country of its origin, and, even then, was cheaper and better than the produce which was carried by land. Besides, in aid of this monopoly, long after certain European races had ceased to respect the Pope and his Bulls, the power of Spain was very formidable in the eyes of Western Europe. There was a real and a rational dread of Philip II. a century later, and there was the same dread of Louis XIV. A century further on and the career of French conquest began, and Europe, with no little reason, was greatly afraid of Napoleon. Experience in all these cases dispelled the alarm. The Dutch, after a severe struggle, disposed of Philip II. The English and Dutch a century later disposed of Louis XIV. The career of Napoleon was first arrested by Russia, then by uprisen THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 97 Germany, and finally this country took a conspicuous and resolute attitude with that remarkable individual, whom our fathers and grandfathers were fond of calling the Corsican tyrant. Now I mention these obvious and trite particulars, the common-places of history manuals, because we should remember, that inter- national scares, though frequently discreditable to poltroonery, are real states of mind with some people, and have to be taken account of, in the economic interpretation of history. It needs iio little courage to confront a general scare, and the nation or state which does it, when the scare is at its height, exhibits a courage which may be called almost desperate. Now this was what the Dutch did. Aided by Linschoten's information, and made confident by their success at sea, for the battle of Dutch independence was mainly fought at sea, the Hollanders determined to essay the Indian Seas and the Indian Archipelago. But to do this they needed : (i) the requisite knowledge of navigation ; (2) greater skill in ship-building, especially in view of the fact that a trading vessel was originally also a vessel of war ; and (3) confidence. The Dutch were a very curious people in their wars. They fought the King of Spain to the death, and they traded with him and his subjects all the time. Trade, free trade with the whole world was essential to their very existence. In the seventeenth and the first two years of the eighteenth century they hated and dreaded Louis XIV. a great deal more than they had Philip II. in the sixteenth, but they could not understand why the English should insist during the War of the Spanish Succession on a cessation of all trade with France. They yielded to English demands in 1703, but with a very ill grace, and I suspect that their deference was mainly outward show. I am sure it was in England. French brandy and French silks, although prohibited, were plentifully purchased. The London traders, though heartily attached to the Revolution and the Protestant succession, were great dealers in smuggled French goods, and all the effect of the policy which our people thought wise in those days was, that the goods came in and the govern- ment did not get the customs on them. It is exceedingly difficult to baffle the smu!?;g]er v/hen the sympathies of the public are with his calling, and I am old enough to remember when those sympathies were active and friendly. 8 98 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Now the Dutch entirely contrived to satisfy those conditions of which I have spoken. They routed, captured, sunk Spanish war vessels which were three times their tonnage, and carried three times their weight of guns. And the peculiarity of this warfare was that they inflicted these losses without incurring any notable injury themselves. The details of Dutch history are full of these extraordinary exploits. The Dutch became as formidable on sea as the Northmen and the Danes, and the Hanseatic League curbed the Northmen and Danes much more eflFectually, I suspect, than their conversion to Christianity tamed them. The profession of Christianity, I fear, has not deterred nations from piracy and buccaneering and privateering, and aggressive, unjust wars. That the Dutch built the best ships of the age, knew the art of navigation better than any one else did, and improved that art by the most careful and elaborate processes, is proved by the fact that within fifty years after their independence was acknow- ledged they became the carriers of the civilized world. Dutch vessels, manned by Dutchmen, were in every port of Europe. Now the art of navigation has been built up more slowly than any of the economic arts. It has laid all kinds of human know- ledge under contribution. Its first requisites are a knowledge, as far as the sea is concerned, of physical geography. For centuries it has been compiling observations, in the days of sailing vessels more important than now, of ocean winds and ocean currents. Then it enlisted the services of the mechanician, the astronomer, the chemist, for the art of preserving ships from decay and the attacks of numerous sea enemies, has been a vast stimulus to the discovery of practical results. Galileo, using his new telescope, discovered the satellites of Jupiter, and forthwith laid the founda- tion of an entirely new art of navigation. But it was in Holland that this art took its first new steps, and the mariners of England went to Amsterdam to get the new dex'ices for swift and safe navigation. Like any other European state, the Dutch aimed at securing a sole market. We were no wiser than they. To make Great Britain and Ireland and the British Colonies free ports for the world was a theory which only a few wise, and therefore dis- THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 99 credited, people elaborated. I only remember one statesman who held this opinion in the eighteenth century, and that was Henry Fox. Now Henry Fox was a man whom everybody disliked. He was believed to be the most corrupt and greedy man con- ceivable in a very corrupt and greedy age, and I don't think that this character, a pretty just estimate, assisted the force of his opinions. And you must not imagine that this foolish delusion — a sole market — is defunct. The French, though they have not succeeded very well in their efforts, are under this illusion. So are their rivals and enemies, the Germans. It appears, however, that their project of establishing African factories is not par- ticularly promising. In old days, our own Chatham was fully pursuaded of the prudence of this kind of policy, and certainly seemed to have secured its accomplishment by the Seven Years' War. I have my suspicion that his strange conduct towards its conclusion was due to his being at his wits' end to see how the interest on the loans contracted during that war could be provided for. His successors certainly did not, and made matters worse. But I do not intend to investigate Chatham's motives and manners. They are part of the philosophy of history, a branch of human speculation to which I never took kindly. A sole market, as you will easily anticipate, is a form of pro- tection, and it has the inherent vice which characterizes all forms of protection, that it makes the object of it slow and stupid. To give a man a secure market is to shorten his faculties and weaken his powers. I do not doubt that if the Dutch had secured, as they seemed likely to secure, a sole market in the Eastern seas, they would never had been, despite their free-trade theories in Holland, the carriers of the world. We have got an old proverb, certainly as old as the Greek world, for the extension of it in detail is the substance of a good part of the Plutus of Aristophanes, " that necessity is the mother of invention." Take away the necessity and the invention goes Avith it, is the argument of the Greek poet, and it is true from that time to this. Now the necessity came from English rivalry. However much they might have desired it themselves, and they fought long and desperately for it, they had no mind to see another nation affirm and secure it. The Dutch were for two centuries the loo INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. English allies, and very useful allies the English found them. But it was another thing to give way to their pretensions and abandon one's own. So the English became the ill friends of Holland in the Eastern Archipelago, and there were awkward doings there — doings long remembered and made the politic plea for hard bargaining. But this rivalry put the Dutch on their mettle. They fought against their competitors in the approved mode, but they fought against them by invention and sharpened wits. You will remember that when Peter the Great determined on giving his people practical instruction in the arts of life he undertook to learn them himself, and go through the only practical course which there is of technical learning. So he went as a ship's carpenter to Amsterdam, and worked in the yards with his own hands. He came, it is true, to England, and inhabited Evelyn's house, much to that excellent man's subsequent disgust ; for Mus- covite habits, even in the highest ranks, were decidedly and permanently repulsive ; but he learnt his craft in Holland. I shall deal with the two East India Companies in a later lecture, merely stating here that the Dutch Association was conceived and carried out on a far greater scale than that of England, and that the Dutch were traders as well as conquerors, while our people, if we can take the first chairman of the East India Company as a specimen, I mean Clifford Lord Sunderland, were scarcely conquerors and decidedly buccaneers. But the process of rivalry, peaceful or piratical as the case may be, was too slow for the passions of the British merchants, and Cromwell indulged them with the Navigation Act, another form of protec- tion, under which trade to England or its dependencies was limited to English-built ships, manned by a large majority of English sailors. They did not absolutely exclude all foreign sailors ; that would have been suicidal, as they still had a good deal to learn from them. The Navigation Act was the most foolish piece of Cromwell's whole legislation, and was therefore, very naturally, the only part which was re-enacted after the Restoration. There is a characteristic flavour of baseness in the re-enactment, for it was aimed at the Dutch, who had befriended, sheltered, and assisted Charles during his exile. Charles must have relished it. The Navigation Act, like every other form of protection, in- THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. loi jured the Dutch, but did not benefit England. It diminished, as far as this country was concerned, the carrying trade of the Dutch, but it is an exaggeration to say that it ruined it. It merely made it more effective in other quarters. The ultimate decline of the Dutch carrying trade was due to totally different causes. The States permitted themselves to be involved in European wars in which they had absolutely no concern, notably that of the Austrian succession, mainly that they might secure their sole market by getting rid of the Ostend Company, and by incurring, for the same visionary end, enormous and ruinous charges in the Eastern Archipelago. And as for us, under the Navigation Act and the merry monarch, merry as Nero was, the Dutch burnt the fleet in the Medway and insulted London. Aftet Charles, with the perfidy of his race, garnished by levity of his own, declared unprovoked and sudden war on Holland in 1672. Human beings have reverenced strange rulers, but the endurance of Charles II. is a puzzle to me. And yet the newspapers kept up the farce of applauding him till the beginning of Hanoverian epoch, when some of them, to the disgust of the Highflyers and Perkinites, as they called the adherents of the exiled dynasty, began to draw conclusions. At the present time, I should think that even his descendants would hardly respect his memory. As I have mentioned to my hearers more than once before, the two great efforts of persons engaged in commercial intercourse between nations are to lessen the cost of production, and to lessen the cost of transit. Of course, if one were to succeed in getting a sole market from which all rivalry is shut out, these impulses are greatly attenuated. Trade regulations of a protective charac- ter, like a conventional currency, instantly cease over the boun- daries of local or municipal law. You may injure your neighbours by such expedients in the home market, but you are powerless in neutral markets. Here competition has its own way, and the protected producer has to hold his own if he can, and this is rarely his fortune against the genuine free trader. But there is only one way in which the protected producer can, and then only to a limited extent, undersell his free-trade rival. This is to put the charge of his experiment on the wretched people who are constrained to deal with him, either by cbarcing higher prices on I02 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. genuine articles, or equal prices on fraudulent and inferior articles. For what is the need of protection if in international and com- petitive commerce you can sell your own products as cheaply, the quality being equal, as your rivals can? But the experiment can only be on a limited scale. If it were on a large scale, the domestic burden would become intolerable, attract notice, and except under an autocratic government, or among an entirely deluded and besotted people, would be removed. Even during the period in which the craze of the sole market was crippling invention, and generally checking the development of the industrial arts, the British Government was alive to the necessity of improving the art of navigation. It offered substan- tial rewards for the discovery of the longitude, and for the im- provement of marine timepieces or chronometers. But the British Parliament, absurdly jealous as it was of a standing army, never manifested any jealousy of the navy. The navy was not, indeed, in a very satisfactory condition, if the description which Smollett gives of the king's ships in *' Roderick Random " is in any sense a correct portrait. But crimped or pressed as the sailors were, brutally ill-used as they were by the despots who ruled them, they would fight. Even the captains were very rarely guilty of cowardice. I can only recall the case of Benbow's captains to memory, as manifestly guilty of poltroonery ; and it is not quite clear that in 1702, some of these captains had not taken bribes from Louis XIV., for that most Christian monarch was perfectly ready to corrupt any one with his money. Now in order to maintain the naval supremacy of England, it was necessary that her navy should be furnished with every appliance which could assist rapid navigation, quick evolution, and safety. Read the account of any of the great naval battles of England, from that of Cape Passaro onwards, and you will find that success was ex- pected from the adoption at sea of the one great rule of land warfare — that of breaking the enemy's line, and destroying him in detail. There does not, however, seem to have been much improvement in the navigation of the mercantile marine, except the adoption for reasons of economy and safety, of those expedients which the Admi- ralty had secured for the armed marine. Hence, when war broke THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 103 out, the danger which merchant vessels ran from privateers was very great. The exploits of these rovers who, during the war of American Independence materially assisted the issue, are still remembered. To build quick sailing ships, manned with a resolute crew, and provided with a few well-managed guns, was forced upon the colonists, and was soon a marked success. I imagine that the superior skill of the Americans in building racing yachts is in succession from those privateering times. But, in fact, the art of navigation in England was blighted by its surroundings, the sole-market theory, the differential system, the monopoly of the great chartered companies, of which I hope to speak hereafter, and the Navigation Act. Under the two forms of the first of these we obtained war materials at a higher cost, on the plea that in this manner we fostered the colonial lumber trade. Under the second British trade among the general body of English shipowners was excluded from that part of the world which had been assigned to the chartered companies, one of which, the East India, had continued to get the China tea trade into its hands to the great injury of the English consumer, and for the matter of that to the customs revenue. By the third the material for ship- building, as then practised, was rendered artificially dear. I can well remember what an impulse the tea trade took when the virtual monopoly of the old company was put an end to, and how the price rapidly fell. It is only when you take cases and follow them out that you can detect the disaster which a protective policy induces on industry. It excludes its objects from light and knowledge. The progress of English agriculture was rapid while the corn laws were, owing to good crops aad abundant supplies, inoperative. In the woollen, the cotton, the iron trade, the impetus given by the possibility of foreign competition has removed the actuality of that competition. I cannot, of course, allege that domestic competition has not cut down profits, as is the case in the salt and soda ash trade. I have heard that a similar competition has reduced the profits of colliery owners, though here the situation is by no means so simple as the}' who say they smart under it contend. Similar allegations are made about the iron trade, and it is gravely suggested that the whole supply of these articles, perhaps only among others, shall I04 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. be regulated and the price fixed by a syndicate, association, or gigantic company, which shall reproduce some of the phenomena of what the Americans call a ring or corner. But the power of regulating prices possessed by producers is very narrow. It is always open to competition on the part of those who have not taken part in the association, who vould assuredly, if the prospect were open to them, make a rush for the extra profits which such an association is intended to guarantee. And if this takes place, and a fresh supply is added to that which the promoters of the scheme allege is already excessive, the expe- dient becomes nugatory, and the latter end is worse than the beginning. I have never yet heard, in modern times at least, of one man or any association of men, being able to dictate the terms under which a free industry shall be carried on, and a price secured to the regulated produce. Of course, if the State confers a monopoly by patent, the price can be secured to the patentee, being that at which he is able to undersell successfully all pro- duces under a common and old process. But the monopoly granted by protection does not affect an exalted profi:. As long as the Government does not go to the length of protecting indi- vidual producers, and allows the area which it fences for the industry to be open to all, the inevitable tendency of profits to an equality will do its work. I very much doubt whether the profits obtained by the New England cotton spinners and woollen weavers, and the reputed gains of the Pennsylvanian iron masters are due to the aid which the Government gives them by a protective tariff. The population of the United States increases at an enormous rate, mainly by immigration. There is consequently an ever- increasing body of local consumers, whom the cost of freight and the habit of the market, bind to the domestic producer. And if there be any truth in the complaints made about the cotton and woollen trades, domestic competition has reduced profits in New England as fully as in the old country ; and as far the pauper labour of Europe, in contrast with the high wages of the States, an examination of the statistics laboriously and most conscien- tiously compiled and printed by the States and the Federal Government, as to the wages of labour and even the numbers of the unemployed, the description of the tenement houses, and the THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 105 narrative of the terrorism exercised by the Pennsylvanian iron masters over their hands under the black-Ust system, prove that the United States are not the paradise of labour which interested knaves allege that they are, and that not a little of the confidence expressed by the advocates of the present system in its efficacy and usefulness is, when it comes to be examined, no better than bounce. When this country boldly and definitely adopted free-trade principles the doctrine of the chartered monopoly had become obsolete, or nearly so. But there still remained the differential duty on colonial products and the Navigation Act. We were told, of course, when we urged that sugar or timber, whatever their origin was, should be put on the same level of duty payment or freedom, that we were about to sacrifice our colonies their alle- giance, and whatever there was that could be called Imperial in their relations to us. But the shrewd men of the day were not frightened. Some of them remembered the fact that when the American plantations obtained their independence they were better customers by far of English manufactures than they had been when they were in the bonds of a colonial system. But, in fact, the interests which were saved by the differential duties on sugar were not the free labourers of the sugar colonies, but the planters. Half and more than half the present trouble in Jamaica is due to the fact that, certainly up to three or four years ago, when I verified the fact for use in debate, the planters were levying export duties on sugar and import duties on food, and resolutely refusing, as is their wont, to pay anything towards the expenses of government by a direct land tax on their property. The lumber trade of Canada was similarly in the hands of certain squatters, who got, or thought they got, an advantage out of the differential duties. The interests of labour are never advantaged by protec- tion, and, from the nature of things, those of capital only slightly and temporarily. Those of land are only benefited in so far as the produce is a necessary of life, and high prices induce fools to think, that they can pay high rents accoraingly. But when we proceeded to assail the Navigation Act there was indeed a hubbub. We were charged with betraying the national defences by destroying the calling of seafaring men. We were io6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. bidden to hesitate before we attacked that system to which England and Great Britain owed its greatness, which had been beheved to be the safeguard of the nation from the days of Cromwell to the days of Canning, and had been eulogized by every statesman of patriotism and sense. But some of us even in that day had read a little of history and knew that the Navigation Act, for everything but spiteful and malicious ends, was an illu- sion. We had heard of the Dutch fleet in the Medway, and of its exploits despite the Navigation Act, and we knew enough political economy at the time to allege with abundant evidence our argu- ment that protected interests never thrive, and that they cannot thrive. So the Navigation Act went the way of the other forms of protection, and one thing at least is certain that the mercantile marine of this country is. by no means ruined. What the condi- tion of the armed marine is I cannot guess. The admirals tell us, despite the enormous expenditure on it, that it is inadequate, un- seaworthy, and incapable of the national defence. If this were an accurate account of the situation, and I, for my part, have long given up any belief in the assertions of experts, an inquiry into the system ought to be conducted under the forms and with the objects of a criminal investigation. We have thrown open the ports of all our possessions over which we retain the power of control to the mercantile marine of every nation which possesses a ship. They are liable to just the same charges as, and no more than, British vessels are. The market is free and the carrier is free. With but little time and expense, as I have been told by great shipowners, the mercantile marine could be very effectively armour clad. For we do under this carrying trade, and on a free system, two-thirds of the freight of the world. British yards (for governments, whatever they may do with private interests by protective laws and regulations, will never allow themselves to spend more for what they want than they can help) are supplying the armour clads of foreign powers. A generation or two ago the exportation of a machine, and of the materials which might be used for warfare, and even the emigia- tion of an artisan to a foreign and possibly hostile country, was a grave offence and severely punishable. Nearly all the other foreign nations and the United States have THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. 107 clung to navigation laws. They adhere to that which we have deliberately abandoned, the evidence of what has followed from our abandonment being manifest. At one time the United States promised to be our rivals in ocean-carrying vessels. Seduced by the persuasions, or frightened by the threats of Mr. Morrill and his foU :rwers, they have enacted Navigation laws, and their mercantile niTtrine is a thing of the past. What a satire on "trimuphant democracy " it is when the things which the American people were assured were for their health have been to them an occasion of falling, when an industry which was to be fostered into great- ness by a well-defined process is extirpated by it ! Protection, as I have told you, is of no avail when it comes into collision with foreign competition. The subtlest arts of your Bis- marcks and your Blaines, and the other economic quacks who have pretended to regulate production and trade on behalf of municipal or local interests are, outside the limits of the country whose affairs, to the misfortune of their patients, they are allowed to administer, of no significance. And I shall be exceedingly sur- prised if the profits of Tonquin trade and Madagascar trade on the one hand, of New Guinea and Zanzibar on the other, are i per cent, of the cost to which France and Germany will be put to acquire them. There are, however, one or two facts connected with the development of freight which I must dwell on for a few minutes. I think it will be clear to you without further detail that we owe the remarkable pre-eminence of our mercantile marine to the fact that the process of producing and using it has been entirely un- shackled, and that we have utterly repudiated those illusions to which other nations cling. I do not deny that the operation of these illusions is injurious to us, as well as mischievous to the victims of them. Hindrances to trade add to the cost of freight, and whatever adds to the cost of freight induces an artificial sterility on the trade of those articles which are produced and shipped under the greatest disadvantage. And though in what I have said I have dwelt mainly on the mercantile marine, the same facts hold good in railway transit. The development of the British railway system, in many directions exceedingly premature and foolish, was the immediate outcome of Sir R. Peel's free-trade io8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. policy. And here I may observe that the principal inventions which have lowered the cost of railway freight are of British origin. How great and how beneficial those inventions are I shall be able to point out. For it is free trade which gives invention full play, protection deadens and stupefies it. Of course shippers may over-estimate the profits of the carrying trade at any particular time. All production, every kind of industry is undertaken in the hope of a market, and the hope may be dis- appointed. What the general said, that he is the most accom- plished commander who makes the gravest mistakes, is true of every enterprise. Some callings, for reasons which I need not expound to you, appears to be permanently overstocked. This is said, for example, to be the case with the calling of a barrister. But I take it that all industries which form part of the necessary and invariable business of a civilized community are only tem- porarily overstocked. I am not, I believe, over-sanguine as to the future of industrial society, but I cannot share the gloomy antici- pations of our earlier economists. Three or four years ago we were told that British shipping was a good deal ahead of the demand for freight, and that the whole interest was in imminent peril of congestion. We were not indeed advised to revive in any shape our old Navigation laws, but it was commonly said that we ought to exercise a vigorous police over unseaworthy foreign vessels who competed against our shippers, who are under Board of Trade rules, in entire freedom from any restriction whatever. But a glance at the tonnage of the British mercantile marine, developed and growing under the police of the Board of Trade, would show, and did show, that this was a grumble with very little reason in it. Some forty years ago when my late friend, Mr. Mill, first pub- lished his " Political Economy," a work which he subjected to very little revision during his life, he was filled with alarm at the contingency that the mechanism of freight would be insufficient for the supply of a growing nation like our own. At the present time its development is the principal cause of alarm to home pro- ducers of food, and is the perpetual topic of fair-trade predictions. And this freight, be it observed, is rendered as far as the sea pass- age, and to some extent the land transit as well, is made more THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT 109 jostly by protective regulations. It is plain if the British shipper could earn a profit on the out-voyage as well as the home, he could do either at less cost. It is also plain that if, owing to restrictive regulations, the transit profits of a railway are decided only from freight outwards, that the single loaded journey must in the end bear the cost of the returned empty waggons. I have little doubt that the exceeding cheapness of Indian wheat is not a little due to the double freights which shippers earn to and from that country. Even under these circumstances the alarmist and sinister pre- dictions of Mr. Mill have been signally refuted by the facts of experience. There is perhaps no branch of human industry in which the economy of cost has been so obviously exhibited as in the supply of transit. The vessel, we will say, is made of iron. It costs about a third what it used to cost to make any kind of iron-work. The voyage across the Atlantic is completed in less than half the time it took when Mr. Mill wrote his work, a great saving in motive power and labour. The same is true — I am not thinking of the Suez Canal — of voyages to and from India, China, and other distant places. The process of loading and unloading ships does not take a third of the time, a third of the labour, and a third of the cost which it did a few years ago. Now it is as foolish to predict future possibilities as it is to negative them from present possibilities, but the prophet of the future has a good many facts to go on, enough at least to prevent him from pro- phesying stagnation, as our older writers did. The improvements in what is called the permanent way are as marked. A quarter of a century ago the rails were of wrought iron, which wore out rapidly, especially at stations and sidings, the weight of the carriages peeling off strips from the rails. The life of those old rails was very brief. Mr. Bessemer not only dis- covers the process by which to make impure and unmanageable iron ore purify itself, but turn itself into steel. I do not say that the modern steel rail is immortal, but its life is very enduring, and you do not see where such rails are employed the strips peeling off as used to be. The permanent way, again, is more solid and steady. Now everything which induces oscillation on a carriage is an element of wear and disintegration. I do not remember no INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. ever to have consulted a railway engineer as to the saving which has been induced by these new appliances, nor do I feel it particu- larly necessary that I should, for all that I need to insist on is that the cost of freight is gradually, and yet greatly, diminishing, and with it the extension of freight is effected. Of course nations may be premature. We were in 1847. Unless they are misrepre- sented, some of our colonies have been too much in a hurry, and have constructed railways over ground from which there is no produce to carry. There is another direction in which human ingenuity has recently been exceedingly successful. This is the carriage of fresh meat in refrigerated chambers from distant regions. The chemist has discovered that no change can go on in animal structures if the product is kept at a temperature below a certain point. The shipper has taken advantage of this information, and though the trade in fresh meat is as yet only of moderate propor- tions, it certainly has a considerable future before it. In point of fact, the diminished cost of freight is bringing about, not indeed an equality of prices, for the cost is, and will remain, considerable, but an approximation to quality. The results of this process are very far reaching. If they do not affect certain interests per- manently, it is because such interests have not prepared them- selves for the new departure which is inevitable. The cost of production and the cost of freight being diminished, a fall in prices is sure to follow. And it should be noted that trade speculations find little or no place in the processes of production which are continuous. The speculator may be under the impression that some scarcity is at hand, and he takes his measures accordingly. But the period during which his judgment is to be verified or falsified is very brief. A few months will bring him profit or loss. With the producer the case is entirely different. He too antici- pates the future, but his hopes are prolonged. A set of speculators in copper may cause a vast temporary elevation in price. The continuous elevation of it is subject to the permanent demand for it, and that is a matter of rough calculation. In conclusion I must repeat in brief what I said last year in detail. It may be new to some of you, and it is most important, for there is no subject on which, consciously or unconsciously, THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSIT. in more fallacies are uttered than on that which I am referring to. When a community like our own is exceedingly successful in the carrying trade, so successful that it entirely distances its rivals, its success induces some very striking and, to ill-informed people, very alarming phenomena in the balance of exports and imports. Now people have taken advantage of these facts, and predict calamitous consequences from what is, when properly interpreted, the evidence of prosperous trade. In the trade of every country with the rest of the world, if the community is doing well, the imports are always in excess of the exports, when interpreted in money values or prices. If they were not — I assume that the prices are correct — the trader would be making no profit. In all trade, in order to make a profit, you must sell for more than you gave for the goods. And this, which will be obvious to you in the course of ordinary trade, where say a grocer buys ^i,ooo worth of goods and sells them for ^i,ioo, is equally true if the goods are bought with goods instead of money, the money value being stated. There are people who buy what they cannot pay for, and there are nations which do so. In this case the individual runs into debt if he can get any one to trust him. But we do not give trust to nations, we demand securities, and in the case which I have given securities come back in place of goods, only they are not put in the public or Board of Trade accounts. There are plenty of sharp people, however, who know when they are coming. But a man does not carry goods except with an expectation, and in the end with the certainty, of profits. If the British shipper, as is proved by his tonnage, carries two-thirds of the goods which are conveyed from country to country, and certainly not of the least value, he gets paid for it. But in the exports the cost of carriage does not appear in the price, for the exports and imports are all valued, say in London, and when the price is declared the service is not yet performed, and therefore cannot be charged for. But on the imports the service has been performed, and therefore the cost of carriage appears in the price. A vessel takes out say i,ooo tons of machinery, which is valued at ^20,000 in London. This has to pay the cost of freight, and the mer- chant's profit, and neither of these appears in the value given. 112 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. He brings back ^20,000 worth, say of sugar, so declared when it leaves the place of origin ; but when it is landed in the London docks the cost of freight and certain initial profits are added to the money value. The difference remains with the shipper and the merchant. But unless the facts are analyzed and explained, they are puzzling and sometimes startling. Now this is what Mr. Giffen, with much felicity of expression, calls the invisible export and import. It is much less now than it was once, when freight was slow and costly. But it is, and always will be, an element of cost. VI. THE ECONOMIC HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. Antiquity of maritime laws — Reg^ulated and joint-stock companies — Their origin and excuse — The East India Company — The Bank of England — The South Sea Company — The variations in the price of Stock — Collapse of the South Sea Company — The suppression of the East India Company — The Bank Act of 184^. There is no trace, as far as I know, and I have read with much interest that vast repository of facts, the geography of Strabo, of joint-stock enterprise in antiquity, still less of the policy by which government attempts to develop trade by conferring a monopoly upon a body of projectors or adventurers. The utmost which we may be said to know was that the Island of Rhodes was the first to codify international maritime law, and that from the precedents collected and reduced to system by this entcrprizing and prosperous seat of commerce, the commercial part of the civil code was ultimately compiled, and, much more important, that of the principles of international maritime law. But there is no hint that the societas, or collegium mercatorum, went beyond the limits of a guild. I shall have, indeed, in dealing with trade companies, to examine one of the forms of these trade guild ■;. 114 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Now I do not think it difficult to discover the reason why the trade company remained undeveloped in antiquity. The area of mercantile business was narrow. That the Carthaginians went beyond the Pillars of Hercules or the Straits of Gibraltar is indis- putable, for they founded factories, or colonies, in Andalusia. But it is far from proved to my satisfaction that they reached the British islands by sea, though they certainly from early times traf- ficked in its produce. But, on the whole, antiquity made no con- siderable, or at least no permanent, geographical discoveries. The trade of the age was not sufficient to maintain the ancient canal from the Mediterranean to the Red Sea, a waterway which was, it seems, created by the Pharaohs, but suffered to fall into decay after the conquest of Egypt by Persia. As I have mentioned to you before, it was near a century before the English mariners took advantage of the discoveries which had been made by the Spaniards and the Portuguese. The empire of Charles V., the vast dominions of Philip 11. , were a terror till the resistance of the Dutch proved how entirely hollow was the power of Spain. The English did reach the northern port of Russia, and much was hoped from this new market. But the project came to nothing after the death of Ivan the Terrible. It does not appear that English vessels ventured into the Mediterranean till quite the conclusion of the sixteenth century. There was considerable peril in the attempt, for the Southern Mediterranean swarmed with corsairs from Morocco to Tunis. Even after the trade began the peril was very serious. In the first quarter of the seventeenth century. Lord Craven devised certain estates to trustees. Half the income was to go for the redemption of English captives from the Algerine pirates, the other moiety was to be divided between the two Universities to found scholarships in them. It was only after Lord Exmouth destroyed the Algerine pirates in i8i6, that the first moiety found no objects, and the whole income of the estate was devoted to the second purpose. When Noy invented or rediscovered the liability which we know in history as Ship Money, the plea, during the time which Clarendon says was one of unexampled prosperity, was the mischief inflicted on British shipping in the English Channel by the Barbary pirates. Now though Charles I. was not a very HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 115 truthful person, he would hardly have justified an illegal, or at best an irregular impost, on a plea which, if wholly false, would have easily been met by a flat denial. I have no doubt that during the paradisiacal epoch of Clarendon, these rovers did venture even into the English Channel. You may remember, too, that the Sallee rover is a figure in the earlier pages of " Robinson Crusoe," and Defoe always wrote verisimilitudes ; indeed the greater part of his art consisted in publishing fictions which seemed like personal experiences. In Adam Smith's time there were two forms of chartered com- panies — those which were called regulated, and those which went by the name of joint stock. Of these the former were the earliest. The regulated company is a system obviously derived from the trading guild. In it, the trader paid a fixed fee for the license of carrying on, at his personal risk, the business in his district, and for the special trade, which the company undertook to protect and to promote. Such were the Levant, Turkey, and, later on, the Russian companies. Of these the first was an experiment made by Elizabeth, towards the conclusion of her reign. The great Queen strove in its grievous decadence or decay to revive the mercantile marine of England, once so strong and famous. Hence she conferred considerable immunities on the companies which traded to the Mediterranean, remitting, in exchange for a trifling annual payment, the customs on goods imported by these projectors. In her lifetime the company was unprosperous, and she lost the annuity as well as the customs. But the company did better in the reign of James, and the imports which it made were the objects of Cecil's Book of Rates, that first attempt at dis- cretionary taxation, which ended so disastrously in the next reign. I presume that the fund paid for the licenses was laid out in pro- tection accorded to the traders, or if insuflScient for this, at least for the payment of consuls at foreign ports. Some of these regu- lated companies still existed in Adam Smith's time, who enume- rates five of them. You will find his criticism on this practice and policy in the first chapter of his fifth book. From the first these companies did not maintain forts or garrisons. They did support an ambassador in Turkey to some extent, and, as I have said, a few consuls. But when the new African company was ii6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. established on this principle in 1750, the associated merchants were constrained, by Act of Parliament, to maintain the forts and garrisons on the western coast. All these companies are, how- ever, obsolete now. In the first place, the duty of maintaining officials, and of building and garrisoning forts, was transferred to the Exchequer; and in the next, the privilege which the companies possessed of granting licenses of trade was done away with, and as far as the area of their operations and monopolies extended, was thrown open to all British traders. While I think it quite true that at the time in which Smith wrote, the system of regulated companies was indefensible, and that this great man's criticism was justified, I am still of opinion that the system was inevitable at its inception. At the time when these companies were founded, when it was conceived expedient to extend, if possible, British commerce, the country was practi- cally destitute of a naval force. The ships which did battle with the Spanish Armada were, in the main, vessels owned by private persons, hastily armed with such artillery as could be supplied. The Crown had a scanty and an inelastic revenue. Even in the munitions of war, it had to rely on private subscriptions. I have collected and printed from private accounts which I have read, at the date of the Armada, what were the subscriptions and pur- chases of certain private persons and corporations, how one person bought powder, and another laid in a stock of arms. It was therefore premature to argue that the State should defend com- merce, when the State was almost too poor to defend the island itself from attack. Long after the age of the Armada, the marine force of England was small and of little importance, as is shown by the fact referred to above, the appearance of Barbary rovers in the Channel. The real founder of the modern British navy was Cromwell. Had his life been prolonged — he was only fifty-eight years old when he died — I do not doubt that the exploits of a generation or more later, would have characterized his admini- stration. The restored king, to be sure, did his best to ruin the restored navy, as he did everything which he could stint in order to obtain the means for his orgies. It is the one respectable trait in the character of his brother, that he did his best to save the relics of the navy. HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 117 I cannot see, then, how the defence of commerce could have been at all effected, even in scanty measure, except under the machinery of these regulated companies. The merchants of the time were not wealthy enough for joint-stock enterprise, and even had they been wealthy enovigh, I do not see how they could have developed sufficient confidence in each other, for the successful vindication of the joint-stock principle. I can well believe, as Adam Smith alleges, that the directors or managers of these regulated companies put a heavy charge for admission on those who wished to obtain the commercial advantages which they had, or professed to have, and squandered the receipts to their own advantage and enjoyment. Such a result is, I suppose, inevitable in a guild, at least it was characteristic enough of the City Com- panies up to recent experience, when they have in many cases offered ransom from the accumulations. And I cannot but con- clude that when Parliament fixed the fines by which admission to the company was secured, it was simply carrying out its old policy, and merely preventing an extravagant or abusive mani- pulation of the privileges. For it was not till the latter end of the seventeenth century that England really had a navy, and there are grievous complaints in the next century as to how the captains of the king's ships abused the privilege of impressment, and were a terror rather than a protection to the mercantile marine. Besides, as I have often mentioned to you, it was not easy in the seventeenth century to distinguish a respectable trader from a buccaneer. The regulated company was, therefore, I con- clude, an original necessity, and had grown obsolete and mis- chievous in the time when Smith wrote. But we may dismiss this form of chartered trade companies. I only conclude that as an existing force or process must have an origin, so it must have a motive, and although to later criticism the force is misdirected and the process erroneous, or mischievous, it probably, nay, almost certainly, had the justification of necessity at its earlier develop- ment. And this, I am confident, is a rule of interpretation in dealing with bygone conditions which we cannot safely neglect. It is very likely that the origin of a custom, a rule, a law, is obscured in its later manifestations by self-interest or malpractice; it is even probable that it may have been bad and dishonest from Ii8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the beginning, but we must, if we would interpret economical action, take into account the circumstances, as well as disregard that ancient maxim first formulated as is certain by a knave who feared detection, that one should not impute motives. But the imputation of motives is the analysis of action. The joint-stock company created by charter, and therefore having to all appearance an administrative sanction, latterly sub- jected to Parliament, and having, therefore, the legislative repu- tation of a vested interest, is an affair of far greater significance, and in the economical history of English, and, indeed, of Euro- pean life, of profound and far-reaching consequence. It has done temporary good, and has inflicted enormous evil. Parliament, in its early forms, looked on it with grave suspicion, for it expected and sometimes discovered and resented, the evils of monopoly in it. You will remember, no doubt, how Elizabeth strove to supplement the poverty of her exchequer, by the grant of mono- polies. She encountered the respectful but energetic opposition of her faithful Commons, men to whom, even in these days, we owe much in the way of precedents, and she yielded with grace. Her foolish and imclean successor was more obstinate, and had to yield with a bad grace. For it is perfectly clear that, when Elizabeth gave a monopoly to Raleigh, and James gave another to Mompesson, these men were only the figure-heads to a ring, just as some directors of joint-stock companies are in our days. There is nothing modern in dishonesty except its forms. The first of the joint-stock companies was that created in 1600, by charter from Elizabeth, for trade to the East Indies. The chairman of it was Clifford, Earl of Cumberland, an ancient buc- caneer, whose portrait, hairy and hatted, is still in the Bodleian gallery. It was a small affair. The country was very poor, and the capital of the company was very slender. But it contained the germ of the greatest and the most lasting conquest which has ever been made on sea-board, that of the acquisition of Hindostan, which has been, not without misgivings, translated in our own time, into the Indian Empire. Never has so gigantic a result been achieved from such small, such insignificant, such inadequate beginnings. The first capital of the East India Company, as developed in 1600, was ^^72,000, and its first voyage was in 1601. HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 119 The ships did not return till after the great Queen's death. Shortly after this the Dutch established an East India Company, with a capital of ^^600,000, with a far higher reputation, and with far better appliances. Everything which could be said of the regulated company in defence of its origin, could be said with far greater force of the joint-stock company. From the beginning, in this kind of mer- cantile association, the adventurer could not reclaim his capital from the direction, he could only dispose of it to any one who was willing to buy it. His liability, it is true, was limited to the amount of his subscription, but ill success might extinguish all that. But the collective wealth of mercantile England at the close of the sixteenth century was not equal, estimated by the subscription, to the mercantile wealth of Scotland, less than a hundred years after, to judge from the subscriptions to the Darien scheme. The desire to obtain the gains of commercial enterprise was keen enough, for they were large, well known, and easily appraised. It was the capital which was lacking, not the will. Notwithstanding its small beginnings, the East India Company grew rich rapidly. The margin of profit which it was able to exact from those who purchased the goods imported in the Com- pany's ships was very wide, and the resultant gains were enor- mous. Ten years after its foundation, James gave it a second charter, which, as far as words went, was perpetual. The pro- ceedings are described, though not in detail, by Mun and others, who wrote in order to plead for a remission of the rate against the export of specie in the case of the East India trade, urging, and with reason, that unless permission were given to export silver, commerce with India was impossible, and that the sale of imports would secure the country a far greater balance of the precious metals than the exported silver amounted to. The early trade then of the Company was the first breach in that balance-of-bargain theory, which Adam Smith calls the mercantile system, a system which prevailed long after the days in which Mun, Child, and Roger North advocated a more rational theory of trade than had hitherto prevailed. Of course the Company took sharp measures with traders outside their own organization, or interlopers as they called them. I20 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY, They argued, and the reasoning was very plausible : " Quite independently of our chartered rights, secured to us by the grants of successive monarchs, whose right to confer monopolies of trade, with countries outside their own authority, has never been disputed, whatever may be said about monopolies of domestic trade ; we have, at our own expense, built forts and factories, entered into diplomatic relations with native sovereigns, and laid out much of our capital, and not a little of our legitimate gains, in founding the trade which we enjoy. There may be reason in controlling the regulated companies, which have not incurred such outlay, and therefore have nothing to show for the fines which they levy on those whom they admit to their partnership. But the case is quite different with the East India Company. We are engaged, no doubt on business principles, in securing for the English people a part of that trade which has been succes- sively the monopoly of the Portuguese, the Spaniards, and the Dutch. No doubt the produce which we bring is dear. But we have reduced the price. Had it not been for our efforts. English- men would have had to pay whatever price the Dutchmen might choose to exact. The expansion of our trade is, moreover, the expansion of English enterprise. We train seamen by hundreds, we have, it being necessary for our trade, an armed marine which is part of the national forces, as it assuredly would be used, did need arise, for the national defence. But it is impossible for us to continue this system, from which we contend great public advantage ensues, if any person at his pleasure can enter on the fruit of our labour and expense, without contributing anything whatever to either." Such was the reasoning employed. But, on the other hand, the factories of the old company were few and scattered. There were many parts of the Indian peninsula and the islands which they had not pretended to occupy, and even do business with, and it seemed to be a matter of very doubtful right that they should not only exclude independent traders from visit- ing their factories, but from any commercial intercourse whatever with places and peoples where the company had no business relations of any kind. And when they proceeded further to fine, imprison, and even put to death persons whom they caught in what they were pleased to call their monopoly, the defence of HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 121 their action and monopoly were alike untenable. They were, in short, doing what no civilized community ever dreams of per- mitting, establishing a paper blockade, which they could not, or would not, make effectual. It was for reasons like this that Cromwell, who was in many particulars of his administration greatly in advance of his age, annulled the charter of the Company in 1654, and made the trade to the Indies free. Of course this action of his did not confiscate their factories, or give any Englishman, and, for the matter of that, Scot or Irishman, the right to use the Company's property. You will remember that Cromwell bestowed all the advantages of English trade on the Scotch and Irish, a privilege which did not last longer than his life ; but was very fully remembered when the Scottish Union was negotiated. The short interval, however, during which the Eastern trade was thrown open, gave occasion to that remarkable constitutional struggle between the two Houses, which is known in constitutional history as Skinner's case. Skinner had taken advantage of the new situation, had traded to India, had purchased, as he said, an island from a native prince, and had set up trade on his own account. The Company, during the period in which their charter was suspended, had despoiled and imprisoned him. Skinner, as you probably know, appealed to the Lords, who at that time claimed original as well as appellate jurisdiction, and a very pretty quarrel ensued between the two Houses. The problem was an insoluble one. Skinner was unquestionably wronged, but the Lords did not possess the function of righting him. On the other hand, the Commons were wrong in disputing his claim to compensation, and in the right in affirming that he had applied to the wrong tribunal. Charles, however, had recognized and restored the Company's charter, no doubt holding that Cromwell's action was a visurpation. He did more ; he gave them that part of the dowry of Catherine of Braganza which consisted of Goa, and what afterwards became Bombay. Her other possession, Tangier, he held till he was tired of it. In consideration of these white elephants, the Parliament gave her a very handsome annuity, which she lived long to enjoy. But the settlement on the western coast of India was of consider- able advantage to the Company, and during the reign of Charles 122 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the profits of the shareholders were very great, Child being virtu- ally the autocrat of the directors. As the Company had been depressed by the Puritans and reinstated by the Cavaliers, the bias of the directorate was towards the Court party, which after- wards developed into the Tory party, and Child entered deeply into the corruption which began with the Pensionary Parliament, and gathered strength after the Revolution of 1688. The directors flew at high game, and were found out. They bribed Trevor the Speaker, Seymour the leader of the Tory party, and the Duke of Leeds, who had reached to fortune and rank by a few good acts and much flagitious conduct. Trevor was expelled from the House, Seymour and Leeds were discredited. They suffered the penalty of being found out, and I am convinced considered them- selves ill used. But the disclosure of their practices led to very serious consequences to the Company, and to the affirmation of a parliamentary rule of high constitutional significance. I shall revert to it in a short time, for before it was aflBrmed another and a far more distinguished joint-stock company was formed. Long before the Revolution, the example of the Bank of Amsterdam — its astonishing success, and the powerful influence which it wielded — had suggested to English merchants the policy of founding a public bank. Two projects of this kind had been discussed and commended during the Protectorate, the leading idea in both being that the management of the bank should be entrusted to the Corporation of London, as that of Holland was to the Corporation of Amsterdam. But the two municipalities were very diff'erent bodies. The Corporation of London was not then corrupt, I believe. But it could not resist the depravity of the Restoration, and some of the most impudent and scandalous jobs ever perpetrated by that institution — and they have been numerous — were brought to light after the Revolution, as the leases of the Conduit Meads, the maladministration of the orphans' fund, and the embezzlement of the collections made in aid of the Huguenot clergy. I allow that there were men of great worth in the Corporation, and that for a long time the City retained some flavour of that spirit which made them so energetic in defence of the Long Parliament and its policy. Had they possessed their ancient character, neither Charles nor his tool HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 123 J'-ffries could have extorted their charter from them in 1683. Tliey were utterly unfit to manage an institution of credit. On the other hand, the burghers of Amsterdam, even when the power of the princes of Orange was at its highest, were a haughty, self-contained republic, who looked upon the stadtholder merely as a magistrate, retaining his power at their pleasure and during Good behaviour. The constitution of Holland had many faults, iii^t the least being the disintegration involved in the union of a number of small republics, which were exceedingly apt to quarrel when a common danger was abated. It was not without reason, then, that people commonly said that a bank, that is, an establish- ment of credit, and monarchy, z>., the restored Stuart line, were incompatible. If one wished to confirm the generality by a pre- rogative instance, the theft of the Goldsmiths' money by Charles in 1672 was overwhelming proof, and yet Charles was popular, and the Stuarts had a party. Surely loyalty to them was the most incomprehensible and irrational of passions. The Bank of England owed its origin and its charter in 1694 ^o the exigencies of the Government and to a loan. The expediency of a joint-stock bank, governed by a body of elected directors, each with a considerable qualification, was urged by Paterson, a Scotch- man, and Michael Godfrey, an Englishman, and brother of that Edmund Bury Godfrey, whose mysterious death gave occasion to the fictions of Oates, Dangerfield, and others. The occasion was Montague's necessities. The loan was j^i, 200,000 at 8 per cent., and it is highly probable that Francis, the gossiping chronicler of the Bank, is accurate when he says that for a long time the dividends of the Bank came from the interest paid by Government, the profits of the banking business being absorbed in the manage- ment. This is also my impression gathered from the prices of its stock, which I am registering for a long period. But I trust that on some future occasion I shall find ij possible to enter in minuter detail into the fortunes of this remarkable institution than I can at present. I only say now, that the price of Bank stock is to a greater extent the history of England in the eighteenth century than any other record, as I could show you from many crucial instances. The Bank Act of 1694 was amended in 1696-7, and remained in general its constitution till 1844, when Peel entirely reconstructed it. 124 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Now the Acts of Parliament under which these and other joint- stock companies, now entirely forgotten, were created, suggested to Montague the affirmation of that principle, which had so great an influence on the fortunes of joint-stock enterprise in Great Britain. It was that Parliament alone could grant joint-stock companies a monopoly of trade. This resolution, which William was by no means disposed to resist, cut the ground from under the feet of the old company. It took nothing away from them which they actually possessed — their fleet, their forts, their factories, their business. But it stripped them of their right of excluding every one from the sole market which they had hitherto treated as theirs, and gave any association which obtained the requisite sanction as much right to traffic in Hindostan and the Spice Islands as the original company possessed, provided the new association did not intrude on absolutely occupied ground. Now I have no early and authentic account of the price of India Stock during its palmy days. It is doubtful whether any record subsists earlier than 1692, though the archives of the Company, no doubt, if they still exist, contains a register of its dividends. Now, on March 30, 1692, which is my first entry, the price of East India Stock was 158. On January i, 1699, when Montague had launched his parliamentary company, under the name of the New or English East India Company, the price was 41^^; and six months before this, when the scheme of the new company was being matured, it had sunk as low as 33J ; now we read that in its palmy days the stock was up to 300 or 400. But the old company did not despair, and despite the rivalry of its more prosperous and younger sister, it recovered a considerable position in two or three years. Of course amalgamation under the Parliamentary title was sooner or later inevitable, and it came in 1708. Under the new system the greater part of the Company's capital, as was wholly the case with the Bank of England, was a debt due from Government, on which interest was paid, at first high, but greatly reduced during the long and commercially pros- perous administration of Walpole. But the privilege in each institution was bought dearly. The Bank and the East India Company wanted a trading, not a dead capital. Besides which the expectation of business profit is on an average pretty perma* HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 125 nent, for I imagine that though generally from 10 to 15 per cent, was all that was expected in the beginning of the eighteenth century, as it is at the end of the nineteenth, the rate of interest on loan capital has been steadily falling since that earlier time. In Montague's days the Government had to give 8 per cent, for advances ; in Walpole's, forty years later, it could get it in plenty at 4 per cent. Hence, on every occasion on which the Bank nego- tiated a fresh loan to the public, in return for the extension of its parliamentary privileges, it had to submit to worse terms. Not only on its new advances, but on the old ones as well. I have no doubt that not a little of the trouble into which the East India Company fell at or about the time of the Seven Years' War, was due to the enormous amount of its capital, which was represented by advances to the Government. So after the South Sea Bubble, when the Bank dividend fell from 8 per cent, to 6 per cent., and the East India Company dividend from 10 per cent, to 8 per cent. I should not assign this falling-off to the shock which had been given to credit, but to the decreasing rate of interest which these companies were forced to receive for their advances to Govern- ment. The third of the great joint-stock companies, destined speedily to have a very infamous reputation and memory, was the South Sea Company, founded by Harley, Lord Oxford, in 171 1. Harley, it seems, was desirous of emulating the reputation of Montague, by founding a gigantic trading company, and making the principal part of its stock to consist of public debt. The new company were to hold near nine and a half millions of the public debt, and to receive 6 per cent, and _^8,ooo a year for charges of manage- ment. They were to have a sole market on the east side of all South America, and on the west of the whole continent. Thescheme, which Oxford's friends called his masterpiece, was borrowed from the Bank and English East India Company projects of Mon tague. There was in reality no new capital, no new subscription in the scheme. What was really done was the consolidation of the floating debt into a permanent stock, called South Sea Stock, the management of which was undertaken by an association, the funds being provided by the State. To be sure, a small amount 126 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. of new debt, _^50o,ooo, was created ; but this was a trifling matter, and was soon represented by bonds of the new company. But I do not believe that the Tory administration, which came into office after the election of 1710, and remained, though in a great state of dissension, till near upon Anne's death in 17 14, could have negotiated a general loan. In all the annals of the Bank of England since 1697, I have never noticed such a panic as pre- vailed at and after the election of the Tory Parliament in 17 10. In November, 17 10, when the elections were over, and the character of the new House of Commons could be estimated, and it was known that the Lords would be swamped by the wholesale creation of peerages, Bank stock, which had stood at I27f in March fell to 97. Even when in 171 1 the company was created, and visions of indefinite trade were dangled before the holders of the new company, the price of the South Sea stock, bearing 6 per cent, interest, was only 7 7 J. The third number of The Spectator., containing the vision of the Bank of England, the appearance of the Pretender, and the instant collapse of credit, is dated March 3, 17 1 1, and accurately represents, as I do not doubt, the prevalent anxiety and alarm, being the only paper in that week which has a strong political meaning. Early in that month Bank stock was under 104, and everybody must have seen and sympathized with what Addison meant when he prefigured the danger which public credit was running. I am persuaded that much of the indecision and procrastination which his contemporaries, and especially his associates, noted and resented in Harley's character, was due to the distrust which the joint-stock companies felt towards him and his party. The clergy could keep shouting that the Church was in danger ; the country squires could get fuddled by drinking con- fusion to the Whigs in bumpers of October and bowls of punch ; and mobs could easily be instigated to wreck dissenting chapels, while they hiccoughed out blessings on the Church, the Queen, and Dr. Sacheverel, whom his own friends held to be a vain and empty coxcomb ; but there was the counterpart to these triumphs, viz., the decline in the value of public securities to an alarming extent. So Harley remained timid and irresolute to the end of his career, fortunately for him, cut short by the fiery Bolingbroke, though in the lampoons of the time, the Ox and the HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. \7r Bull, with the other Perkinites, as the advocates of the exile were called, were warned that the other party was on the alert, and would frustrate them. The stocks never entirely recovered till the death of Anne, when they suddenly rose lo per cent. Facts and figures like these appear to me to throw more light on the acts of public men, and the motives which impelled and controlled them, than the speculative estimates which the philo- sophy of history formulates, to be torn to pieces in another estimate by some other historical philosopher, and so on through the ages. And it is because I see this perpetual shifting of the characters, I have, I must confess, very little interest in these ingenious, but entirely psychological, speculations. After all, we shall never be able to collect all the facts which make up an epoch. But it is infinitely better to collect what facts we can than to be constantly ventilating airy hypotheses. To me the fall of near 30 per cent, in 17 10, consequent on the election of the Tory Parliament, and the establishment of a Tory Govern- ment — these are, of course, the historic Tories, and have no modern counterparts — is worth a thousand guesses at the motives of Swift and Atterbury, Harley and St. John, Harcourt and Masham, and the whole procession of dim shadows which pass over the stage of history at this age. And similarly I am more instructed by the rise of 10 per cent, at the death of Anne, than I am at the picture of the Whig peers pressing into the council chamber as Anne was in her last lethargy, and forcing from her almost un- conscious hand the nomination of Shrewsbury to the oflSce of Treasurer, and the repudiation of the Pretender and his hopes. It is more to the purpose than the maledictions of Atterbury, when the disappointed intriguer exclaimed, not without some unclerical ejaculations, " There goes the best of causes for want of a little courage." Had the Tory party wished to carry on the War of the Spanish Succession, peace was a necessity for them, for my studies of finance at the time prove to me that they could hardly have raised a loan. So the Treaty of Utrecht was speedily brought about, in which England did not gain, beyond Gibraltar and Minorca, scarcely one advantage. I must not indeed forget one, on which so much turned subsequently. I20 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. When the Treaty of Utrecht was passed, a supplementary treaty was entered into between Philip of Spain and the English sove- reign under the name of the Assiento Treaty, by which Anne and her successors were empowered to assign to such persons as they might designate the right of importing in a ship annually des- patched four hundred negro slaves into the Spanish colonies of the New World. The Spanish settlers had nearly destroyed the native population by forcing them to labour in the mines, and the benevolent bishop. Las Casas, in order to save some relics of the native population, had advocated the importation of negroes from the African coast. The process seemed humane to the good bishop, and was plainly lucrative to the planters, and the alliance of benevolence and self-interest was speedily carried into execution. But the Spanish mercantile marine was decayed, and indeed every impulse to enterprise, as Alberoni soon discovered when he tried to resuscitate Spain ; while that of England was abundant, enterprising, perhaps redundant. So Anne negotiated the treaty, handed over her interest to the South Sea Company, began the slave trade for the English people, encouraged it in our own plantations, gave in the centuries afterwards occasion to the most sanguinary civil war which was ever waged, and immediately promoted the instincts which led to the South Sea Bubble. The South Sea Company gladly received the boon, for they had visions before them of forcing and appropriating the South Sea trade, not with the single ship of the Assiento Treaty, but with a fleet which should range from the Oronoco to Terra del Fuego, and thence to the Aleutian Archipelago through the Pacific. Why not discover another Peru and another Mexico, and rival the exploits of Cortes and Pizarro ? The Whigs returned to office after the death of Anne, and were the masters of the English constitution up to the accession of George III., when Jacobitism, the spectre of the early eighteenth century, had become a sentiment, and Hanoverian Toryism, in George III.'s case without Hanover, took its place. The Hano- verian sovereigns, indeed, like men who have long been in possession, began to show good feeling towards the refugees, or victims of the earlier days of the dynasty, to reverse attainders, and restore titles and estates, especially when the estates, to the HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 129 habits of the time, before deer forests, hotels, and sentiment, were not worth much. If I am not in error George IV. masqueraded in a kilt, a habit which his great-grandfather had proscribed as a heathenish costume, savouring of rebellion, and the Lowland Scots, with much reason, detested as the regular garb of a thief. But the Tories during the last years of Anne's reign, had left the finances in confusion. I may mention here that the rising of 171 5 lias scarce left a trace on the price of stocks. It was to induce order on the finances, and to consolidate the debt, that Stanhope, a weak, well-meaning man, with some sharpers who were his companions in office, notably Aislabie and Craggs, entered into negotiations with the Bank of England and the South Sea Com- pany with a view to engrafting the public debt on their stock. The Bank of England negotiated, hesitated, made some timid offers, and then wisely left the field to the younger company. Fortunately for his reputation, or unfortunately for the country, Walpole was out of office. In my lecture on the development of credit I stated all that was needed about the career of the South Sea Company and the mar- vellous year 1720. But the collapse brought about a singular result, or at least was followed by it, a general lowering of the rate of interest. The long-continued peace, the growth of wealth, the great prosperity of the agriculturists, and the paucity of public stocks for investment, were probably the causes of this singular development. The Bank dividend became habitually 6 instead of 8, East India Company 8 instead of 10, and Sputh Sea stock 5 instead of 6. The general price of Bank stock was 127, of East India Company 147, of South Sea 100, and in June, 1727, the interest on every kind of Government stock was to be reduced by I per cent. The South Sea Company still undertook trade, and had a fleet, but it appears that the expenses were so great that little or no margin of profit was left, and ultimately this company, from which so much had been expected, sank into a mere department of the National Debt Office. The East India Company did carry on a trade, and carried it on to a profit, for they dealt in articles of familiar use to the world, and on their own terms. About the beginning of the eighteenth century tea drinking began to be 10 130 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. common in England, at first, of course, among the richer classes in London. It appears to have been supplied by the Company. Now there is no reason to believe that the price of tea in China was higher in the reign of Anne than it was in the reign of Victoria. But the cost of freight and the profits were enormous. Bohea — I have made my notes from the accounts of rich Londoners and a few country gentlemen — was at first 42s. a pound, green tea 20s. It was generally the practice of purchasers to buy a China teapot when they bought tea, and give a shilling for it, and I do not doubt that the very numerous old melon- shaped China teapots which are in existence are the relics of this custom. In ten years, however, the price fell to i6s. or 14s., and IDS. The earlier price may have been due to the uncertainty of the market. But as long as the tea trade was included in the Company's monopoly tea remained dear, and when the trade was thrown open about fifty years ago the price began to fall. No- thing, in short, illustrates the effect of trade monopolies such as those conferred by the charters granted to trade companies, than the history of tea prices. It is noteworthy that in the last quarter of the century tea-drinking became common among the working classes, greatly to the disgust of Arthur Young, who comments in his tomes on the practice with alarm and contempt. The creation of a gigantic empire, which early became the posi- tion of the Company, and was inevitable from the time when Clive began his victories to the time when Wellesley, afterwards the Duke of Wellington, broke the last serious opposition to British arms in India, was incompatible with the trade transactions, on behalf of which the Company was first chartered, transactions continued long after they had ceased to be profitable to the share- holders, and were highly injurious to British consumers. The difficulties of Indian finance, consequent on the seven years' war which Great Britain waged chiefly in Hindostan and North America, led to the expedients of Granville and North for taxing the American plantations, and coercing the colonists when they refused to pay the Stamp Act, and declined to purchase the Com- pany's tea. The inevitable control of a company by Parliament, as soon as that company was forced to rely on Parliament for assistance in its difficulties, led to Fox's India Bill, the defeat HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 131 of the Bill, not on its merits, by the passionate intrigues of George III., who wished, as long as he was sane, to substitute personal government for that parliamentary system by which his family had been raised from an obscure German principality to the fore- most throne in Europe, and to the substitution of the younger Pitt for Fox, and with this the abandonment of the principles for which Chatham, Pitt's father, had contended. Then came Pitt's India Bill, which differed so little from that of Fox that the intrigue to which I have referred is manifest from this alone, if there were not other and conclusive evidence on the subject. It is said that monarchy aids in the maintenance of national unity. If so the reign of George III. was an amazing failure in this direc- tion, for his obstinacy led to the successful revolt of the American plantations and to a new colonial policy. In our days an attempt is being made to bring about a closer union between Great Britain and her colonies, and the symbol of it is the Imperial Institute. No one can wish more heartily than I do for the success of the movement, and few, I fear, are more despondent about it ; for the social system, the fiscal system, and every particular of life in the colonies, is in violent contrast with what prevails in the United Kingdom, and I cannot see how one can expect unity from inhar- monious elements. The Indian Mutiny led to the suppression of the East India Company as an independent and imperial corporation. The Company had achieved a great empire, I do not doubt of necessity, for victory begets conquest. Its career was without a parallel in the world's history, and though the last scenes of its existence tarnished the greatness of its reputation, it is still the fact that its heir entered on an inheritance which the Company had won anew and reconstructed. I do not suppose that any person sincerely regretted the extinction of its trade monopoly ; but there are, and have been, many persons who have doubted the justise and expediency of extinguishing an institution which had played so conspicuous a part in the history of our race ; and though I cannot in this place deal with the political exigencies which were supposed to have compelled its extinction, it may well be doubted whether the India Office, and the languid debate on the Indian Budget, for which it is exceedingly difficult to get a House 132 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. together, are the best equivalents conceivable for that Directorate which exercised the most diligent and unremitting scrutiny into the affairs which it had to administer. In all that I have ever heard and learned the Indian Council is a farce, and the adminis- tration is a despotism shared between the Indian Secretary and the permanent officials. I may add that the only parallel to an empire being founded b)^ a trading company even on a small scale was the Bank of St. George in Genoa, which sold Corsica to France. Only one of these great chartered companies survives. This is the Bank of England. The credit of the Bank grew during the eighteenth century, and this mainly by two circumstances — one the foundation of the Rest at the end of the first quarter of that century, the other the abandonment of note issues by the London bankers at varying duties after the middle of the same century. The happy thought that it was expedient in order to give stability to the Bank's credit to create a fund out of surplus profits, which should gradually accumulate till it became a substantial sum, was evidently suggested by the collapse of 1720. It was for some years, however, before the directors could begin the process, and more years before it assumed anything like its present proportions. The country owes about fifteen millions to the Bank, and this institution has saved out of its earnings, and set aside, under the name of the Rest, a sum equal to more than one-fifth of its capital. Of course this is profit, the property of the existing owners of Bank stock, which they might, if they pleased, divide among themselves. It amounts to about two and a half years ordinary dividend at the present time. But the Rest is as funda- mental a part of the Bank system as the law is under which it lives, and the traditions under which it is managed. It is known that the Bank has accumulated profits to the amount which I have stated, and these accumulated profits are seen to be a further element of security in the statement of its assets and liabilities. It seems to me plain that the existence of the Rest is the reason why, in these historic occasions, when mercantile credit has been put to the severest strains, as, for instance, in 1825, the solvency and power of the Bank was never doubted, and it was able to help solvent persons, whose credit was shaken in the general crisis, HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 133 \vithout being itself affected by the general distrust. They who have made a study of monetary science, in its most concrete form, have always attached the highest interest to the Rest, or accumu- lated and undivided profits, of the Bank. The abandonment of their issue of notes by the London bankers, led to the note issue of the metropolis being con- centrated at the Bank. The notes of the Bank were not of low amount, for it was late in the century that they issued them for ;^5, while the £\ note, necessitated by the circumstances of the time, did not appear till the suspension of cash payments after 1797. But the fact that the Bank became the sole source of paper money in the metropolis, enabled them to enlarge their issues, and thereon to increase their profits. These notes were of course only issued against value, as for example trade bills and securities. But they circulated as money, and for many reasons were more safe and convenient than metallic money is. They operated also in international trade as short dated bills of exchange, and of course during their existence they were a profit- bearing issue to the Bank. The average existence indeed of a note of large amount is very brief, almost momentary, for the Bank invariably cancels every note which is returned to it. Nor is that of the smallest note, which it now puts into circulation, as prolonged as we should think when we look at the date of notes which are circulated in the country. But it is a sensible and significant time, and during that period the Bank is making profit on its issue, as it does not give them, except in exchange for deposits and securities. For exactly a century and a half, the Bank possessed the power of discretionary issue, that is, the circulation of notes to those who wished for them, of course in exchange for negotiable securities, to any amount. It is not, of course, to be believed that it did not put a practical check on its issues whenever such a course was deemed expedient. But it had the power, when the occasion arose, to help straitened credit, when the person straitened had adequate security to offer, and it did so, at most important and dangerous crises. It was at a crisis, not com- mercial, but political, that the first breach was made in its reputation. I am referring to the suspension of cash payments. 134 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. Pitt revived the policy, which had been adopted in the War of the Austrian Succession, and of the Seven Years' War, of subsidizing the German emperor and knights. The practice indeed may be said to have been begun earher, for WilHam III. is constantly complaining of the rapacity of these personages during his own war, Peterborough dwelling on the same topic during the Spanish campaign, and Marlborough during his experiences, though to be sure the great captain was not above imitating them. But value was received for what he got, little or no value from what was got by the Serene Highnesses. In Pitt's day the subsidies were greater, and the results most disappointing. Now, in order to pay these people, cash was wanted. Pitt could and did impose what taxes he pleased through a sham Parliament, but he wanted ready money. So the heaven-born minister drew on the Bank till he had nearly drained it of its treasure, and the Bank began to be alarmed ; I presume at the likelihood of its being repaid its advances, for it had made its loans, not upon securities of unquestionable value and accuracy, but upon the proceeds of future and experimental taxation. He determined, therefore, to direct the Bank not to honour its notes, and obtained from Parliament an indemnity for their action, which was intrinsically one of bankruptcy, just as he could have procured from that assembly the suspension of the ten commandments had he so minded. So high, however, was the credit of the Bank, that in a very short time it had collected money enough to have enabled it to resume its liabilities and cash its notes. But the Government had found out how useful its metallic reserves might be in the war which it was carrying on, and refused to allow it to recover its reputation. Still, for a long time, either because its reputation still stood high, or because it limited its issues to the ascertained wants of the public, the note remained at par, the indication of the fact being supplied principally by the foreign exchanges. In course of time, however, as the war assumed greater and greater proportions, as the waste of wealth went on, and the sufferings Ox everybody, except those of state jobbers and financiers, increased, the Bank was tempted by the prospect of trade profit to issue its notes in excess of public requirements. They did not return on HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 135 the Bank, for the issue was forced and inconvertible. Then came the inevitable. The note was depreciated, that is, fell below the c^old standard, though it had to be taken at its nominal value. The opinion, and a very natural opinion it was, got abroad that the Bank was deluging the country with its paper in order to get a profit on the excess of issue. It was predicted that the Bank would never resume cash payments, and Cobbett, who saw pretty clearly what the situation was, after circulating certain letters to the public in which he denounced the Bank and the Government, published a periodical called the Gridiron^ in which he asserted his willingness to be roasted on that implement if the Bank ever honoured its liabilities. And when the time came it required all the address and courage of Peel, who then did a notable service to his country in saving it from following the advice of men who, having been unconscious fools a few years before, were now un- conscious knaves. The memory of those twenty-two dismal years clung to the great Corporation, for it was supposed to have fallen in with the project under which it made its gain out of the public loss and misery of the great war, the main gains of which to the British nation was an enormous debt, a few costly acquisitions, and a State prisoner at St. Helena. But during the period which intervened between the recoinage and the resumption of cash payments in 18 18, and the Bank Act of 1844, the Corporation more than once did great services to public and private credit. It had become the centre of the world's finance. In an eloquent passage, my late friend, Mr. Cobden, describes the intense eager- ness with which the announcement of the Bank's rate of discount was watched for in the commercial centres of the further East. It was supposed to possess in its hands the gains or losses of trade, and that on the decisions which its directors came to in their parlour — the language of the earliest days of the Bank are still traditional with it — depended the success or failure of commerce. Peel totally changed its constitution by the Act of 1844. The alteration was a subject of much controversy at the time, and even now that the warfare of words has somewhat abated, and the nation is ready to accept the new condition of things, the last 136 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. \ word has not been said upon the subject. But the question of the currency is the strong meat of economics, and it is perhaps dangerous to offer it to beginners in the science, seeing how it has tried the digestive powers of many who would fain be con- sidered authorities. Be that as it may, it was a measure which, of its kind, was as great a departure from tradition as any of the Acts framed by that great statesman, and marks a new era in pohtics. The days indeed of chartered joint-stock enterprise have long passed away. The South Sea Company, as a trading association, had a brief and shameful career. That of the East India Company was long, splendid, and unique. Both, I believe, if trade was to be carried on, were necessary in their day, I do not think it would have been possible in the seventeenth century to have achieved trade with the East by private enterprise. Skinner may have been an ill-used man, but he intended really to trade under the aegis of the Company, whose monopoly for a time superseded, he ventured to intrude on. Jenkins of the Ear would not, I apprehend, have suffered in the service of the South Sea Company. He was no doubt trading on his own account, and when he had to endure, as he said, the mutilation he had certainly undergone, he did not seek succour from the South Sea Company, but, as he alleged, from God and his country. Of course, as people at that time knew, there were divers processes under which ears were lost, and the unabashed Defoe, novelist and pamphleteer, was not the only earless person to be seen. But the trading of these companies soon became a public scandal and a public loss. Long before its dissolution. Parliament had to distinguish between the East India Company as an empire and as a trading concern. The monopoly of the latter became intolerable. The Bank of England, with the exception of that episode in its history, on which I have commented, when it should have had the firmness to resist "temptation, and to have insisted on its own account, that it should give proof of its solvency, has been continuously useful and honourable. Its political services, on which of course I do not comment, have been as significant, as profound, and as important as its economical career has been. It HISTORY OF CHARTERED TRADE COMPANIES. 137 has endured for nearly two hundred years, and it is infinitely stronger than when it began its career of usefulness. It has been criticized, but always with respect and confidence. To my mind, the English constitution has been as much guarded and developed in Grocers' Hall and Threadneedle Street as in the palace of Westminster. VII. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. Origin of the guilds of the Middle Ages — The regulated companies of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries — Limited liability companies of this century — Dialogue for and against the prijtciple of limited liability — Industrial partnerships in Cornwall — Bankruptcy atid co-operation regarded in their relation to the joint-stock principle in capital. There has been a time in the economic history of England when a peculiar form of what may be called joint-stock enterprise in capital prevailed universally. I am referring to the trade guilds of the Middle Ages. How universal was the spirit of association can be gathered from the names of the various London Companies, once combined for purposes of mutual defence and assistance, and constantly recognized by Parliaments and Govern- ments, both for the purpose of exercising a police over the craft which they represented, or for serving the State in reference to certain duties or functions. It is not very clear when these Companies, of which only the London guilds survive, began to dissociate themselves from the craft with which they were originally identified, and to admit members who had no relation to what was called their mystery, beyond association with it. But up to the Corporation Reform Act, it was a rule of prescrip- tion, if not of law, that no person could carry on trade in a THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 139 corporate town unless he were a freeman of the borough, or in London, unless he belonged to one of the City Companies. Even now these freemen have a parliamentary franchise^ which is not conditioned by residence or property. Certainly by the time of the Revolution of 1688, the City Companies possessed a number of members who were in no way connected with the trade which they represented. I have found no evidence that at any time of their career these corporations carried on manufacture and trade with a common stock, at least as regards the London Companies ; but there were associations, such as the Merchant Adventurers of Bristol, which seem to have done so at an early age ; however, the Companies became possessed of considerable wealth. In the last volume of my " History of Prices," I printed from the Rawlinson Papers a fragment of the Common Council Book of London, in which the loans made by the Companies to James and Charles are described, security being given in land for the debt. In this way, I make no doubt, the Companies obtained their Irish estates, not, I con- ceive, by a round sum paid down, but by advances from time to time, made to the Crown. James, though pacific, was exceedingly extravagant, and Charles was constantly in debt and difficulty, a fact which explains though it may not excuse much of his action. I do not, however, intend in this lecture to dwell on these asso- ciations. I have done so already on an earlier occasion. It is sufficient to say that these guilds, companies, or associations, may be traced back to the collegia or sodalitta of the Roman Republic and Empire. The aristocratic party in the State looked sus- piciously on these companies, and constantly extinguished all but those which, being of venerable antiquity, were ascribed to the policy of Numa. The plea generally was that associations of traders and artificers were collections of artisans and workmen whose very existence was a degradation to the majesty of Rome. Cicero in his " Offices" is very sharp upon them, alleging that the retail trader, for example, can get no profit except by falsehood. But there are grounds for believing that a political reason was the main cause ot this hostility, and that when Clodius favoured and organized them, he intended to make them the instrument of 140 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. what he called democracy. The principal interest to me, how- ever, in these ancient collegia^ is that they formed a characteristic part of the later Roman inunicipmm^ and that from tb£?e muni- cipia^ with their existing institutions, were derived the chartered towns of France and England. I am only concerned at present Avith those voluntary associations in England, known as partner- ship and joint-stock enterprise, the latter having been recently developed by very modern Acts, and constituting a most important aspect of modern production and trade, the principles and practice of it being sometimes very adversely criticized, and quite as frequently eulogized. Partnership, and the regulation of partnership by law, must have been as early as trade and mercantile law. In English law, from early to recent times, the liability of the partners, whether they entered into a private arrangement, or adopted as far as possible a joint-stock principle, was unlimited, each partner or shareholder being responsible for all the defalcations or debts of the firm or association. Now it was early seen that certain forms of trade or production could not be carried on, or even exist, on this principle. The stock of the Bank of England carried no liability to its partners beyond the amount of each person's subscription or holding, and this, I conclude, was the reason why the greater part, if not the whole of the capital, beyond the freehold premises of the Bank, was invested in Government securities. When, in 1816, the Rest of the Bank of England amounted to near nine millions, (^'ou will remember that the Rest is the difference between the assets and liabilities of the Bank), that accumulated profit was undoubtedly invested in securities ; and when in that year the directors, with the sanction of the proprietors, added 25 per cent, to the capital stock of the proprietors as a bonus, the form which the new stock took was a security. Similarly, when the South Sea Company was formed in i7ii,and expanded in 1719, the whole of the stock was in public securities, and so far was a guarantee to the subscribers, whose liability was limited to the amount of their subscription or holding. It would have been plainly impossible for the great works which have been carried out by private or joint-stock enterprise in England, to have been even contemplated, if the old law of part- THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 141 nership liability had prevailed in them. Undertakings like the London Water Companies, and the railroads, would have been im- practicable, if every shareholder was liable for the whole costs of failure, while his gains were limited of course to his share in the undertaking. The process adopted in these and analogous cases was to define the undertaking and the responsibilities of the pro- moters and subscribers by private Acts of Parliament, and in consequence great industrial undertakings in the United Kingdom, have been saddled with enormous initial costs, and under certain rules of procedure with outrageous subsequent costs. Compen- sation was awarded to landowners, when private property was dealt with, on a prodigious scale, and some of the great railways have never recovered from the pillage. When, however, as in the case of some among the London Water Companies, the source of supply was public property — in this case the Thames — the charges put upon the projectors was trivial. In the case of the railways, the result has been that the cost of carriage of passengers and goods has been necessarily increased by this factitious capital, and the concentration of all public business in the Westminster Parliament has led to great and vmnecessary outlay. In the case of Ireland, matters were far worse. In that, an agricultural country, the railways were constructed on a broad-gauge system, in perfect ignorance, it would seem, of what the natural conditions of the country were. And then, the committees gave these trading companies a grotesque maximum of profit, which the proprietors have of course interpreted as a guaranteed dividend, and actually claim compensation for, as a vested interest of the highest class. These numerous partnerships with limited liability necessarily went to Parliament. The English law, as law books are fond of telling us, does not vest the absohitum or directum dominiuin of land in any subject whatever, and perhaps it is as well that it does not. But it does vest the perpetual usufruct, which differs only metaphysically from the lordship which the law denies. This usufruct, when honestly acquired, the law rightly confirms to the owner, and as rightly insists that either Parliament itself or some authority, the powers ot which are delegated by Parliament, and can be revoked by the authority which gave them, should possess, under a just compensation, the privilege of invading such rights 142 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. of usufruct, and transferring them to others. This delegation is not unknown. Urban authorities have been empowered to take houses and land for street improvements, or for sanitary reasons. In country towns this power is given, ab im'tto^ to the civic autho- rities. In the metropolis, and under the now defunct Board of Works, Parliament wisely reserved to itself the power of review- ing, while accepting or rejecting the schemes which the London Board prescribed. It was not always easy to keep these schemes free from jobbery even in Parliament, but I do not remember any case in which the House of Commons was tainted with suspicion. But neither House is able to repress the enormous expense which attends private bill legislation, and is virtually a denial of equity to new undertakings, by the initial and unremunerative charges with which it loads them. I have referred to these facts, because I wish to point out to you that the principle of limited liability is by no means the novelty which some persons affect to consider it, and in itself by no means deserve the injurious and invidious criticism with which it has been assailed. It is old, and it has been advantageous. Of course no human undertaking is exempt from the risks of failure, and it is a common-place in political economy to say that there is no escape from risk, except by insurance, z>., by distributing the liability. People constantly tell you that you can, in these modern times, insure anything. But it may be doubted whether you could insure against the risks of commercial business, or to be more accurate, define the conditions under which the risks can be insured. For insurance is always based on averages, and I do not think that any one has yet, and I do not think that any one could, calculate the risks of success or failure. Nothing at one time seemed more stable than canals and turnpike trusts. But except in rare cases, the former have been either failures, or nearly failures, and I know no case of the latter in which there has not been a failure. And I do not think that even in their best days, any one could have guaranteed a permanent and invariable income from either. There was in comparatively early times a good deal of joint- stock enterprise. The earliest lists of Stock Exchange values enumerate a large mass of securities, once thought solid, but long I THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 143 since ruined and forgotten. For example, there was a lutestring company, established in England soon after the Revolution, the object of which was to utilize the skill of the refugee French artisans, in the manufacture of silk goods. It was thought to be exceedingly promising, but within twenty years it spent all its capital, abandoned its business, and has long since disappeared into oblivion. Again, there was a sword-blade company, which was destined to a longer, but, in the end, to a not more prosperous existence. A century and more ago, a sword was considered part of the civil dress of a gentleman, and perhaps was drawn a little too freely. The sword-blade company, after a time, disappeared. In Scotland, some patriotic individuals attempted to improve the Scottish linen trade, and established the British Linen Company. But in a very short time, national shrewdness, which is certainly as strong a Scottish characteristic as patriotism — I do not say this in reproach, for I own to some Scottish blood — induced these manufacturers to lay aside their design, and to turn their looms and factories into a bank. But the institution still bears its original name, and as a bank has had a long, honourable, and useful career; for it has performed a notable part in that ingenious and useful mechanism of credit, which is known as the Scotch banking system, a system to which much of Scottish progress in the last and the present century is admittedly due. It may be briefly described as a practice which has indued the cumulative responsibility of endorsed bills of exchange on the balances and credits of its customers. The whole law of partnership with its unlimited liability, how- ever numerous were the partners or shareholders, unless the liability was restrained by a special Act of the legislature was no doubt incorporated into the practice of tlie English law from the civil code. The principles and practice of the Roman law will be found in the Digest, Book xvii. Tit. II. I dare say that those who are engaged in the University study of law make themselves familiar with the long and subtle practice by which the rules of partnership were defended. I refer to them here, in order to point out how great the difficulty naturally was, in reversing a branch of law which had so respectable ati antiquity, and had been so thoroughly engrafted on that English custom which is 144 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. called common law. Even now, the question as to whether the legislature has been wise in permitting the creation of joint-stock companies with limited liability is disputed. Of course the question is entirely an economical one. If the law is too lax, so lax that it permits fraud to go unpunished — a very general com- plaint — the objection, if it can be substantiated, seems to point rather against certain details in the two principal acts, rather than against their principle. But before one enters upon the general merits of the system, it may be well to say a little of its modern origin, as regards general trade. Our law of limited liability was borrowed originally from a particular phase of French practice, and was commended to the legislature long before it was accepted as an integral part of commercial law. The hesitation was natural, for I can well remember that when the legislation was initiated there were many misgivings as to the consequences. The French have a very severe bankruptcy law. It is almost pedantic in its rigidity, and contains a characteristic of French sentiment, which I do not reprobate, under which a descendant may rehabilitate the commercial character of a deceased proge- nitor. Such a process would of course be entirely alien to our system of family settlements, under which the liabilities of a debtor do not survive beyond his life, and that part of his personal estate which may be attached by his creditors, nor do I think that until a total change takes place in the devolution of English property, would such a strain of integrity be welcomed in England. The French law visits with serious penalties, such as travaiix forces^ acts on the part of bankrupts which are treated with extra- ordinary leniency by the English courts. It is held, I believe, that in a manufacturing and commercial country like the United Kingdom, it is better to run the risk of occasional excessive speculation, than to check enterprise by severity on failure. I am convinced that we carry this theory too far, and that gambling in goods ought to be much more severely handled than it is. If such practices are to be too readily condoned, the speculator has the advantage of winning a heavy stake from the public as a con- sequence of success, and of making the public pay for his failure. The French law of limited liability is of two kinds. One is when the directors and certain partners in an association for trade THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 145 purposes, are still liable on failure to the extent of their means, while the ordinary shareholder who takes no part in the manage- ment is responsible to the extent of his venture only ; the othea in which the whole of the subscribers are responsible to the extent of their shares only. In the United Kingdom we have adopted the latter system, though in practice, the extreme vigour of the courts of law upon the conduct of directors, both in the initial stage of the partnership, and in its subsequent management, gives the existing law not a little of the characteristics of the first system. Of course this only takes place when the partnership gets into court, and if all one hears is accurate, fraudulent projectors of companies, and directors, too, calculate on the unlikelihood of prosecution, for the suffering shareholders are naturally tmwilling, even when they know what has happened, to follow up the business in a law court, and, in their own language, throw good money after bad. I may add that all the company law, as at present existing, was drafted by Lord Thring, who was for many years Parliamentary draftsman of Government Bills, and is an exceedingly acute and able person. In his opinion, as I have heard him say, the blemish in company law lies far more in the administration of the courts, than in the principles and details of the law itself. That the English judges mean well I do not doubt. That they are entirely uncorrupt, and defer entirely to rules of professional honour, I am ready to allow. But it does not follow that they are entirely wise in the administration of the law which they expound. Now in connection with this new system of joint-stock enter- prise with limited liability, the objectors argued : " The law is responsible for inevitable slovenliness in the conduct of business, exaggerated and unwise competition, and many of the evils of depreciation. In an undertaking where the shareholder merely stands upon a fixed stake, the responsibility of his subscription only, not a little of the gambling spirit is aroused. But it is a very serious thing for people to undertake business when they stake everything which they possess, and this alone is a guarantee that the undertaking will be conducted cautiously. Such a fact is illustrated by the far higher reputation of a company in which there is a large unpaid capital, than that of one in which the II 146 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. future responsibility of the shareholders is exhausted. Under- takings which under unlimited liability have, and should have, no chance of success, are constantly floated, to the injury of trade, to the loss of creditors, and, a smaller matter, to the loss of those who assisted in floating them, under this new system. The concession of limited liability is the harvest of adventurers, who would have, and ought to have, no place in honest and legitimate business. In the same way, after the dupes, who have been invited to speculate, are cleared out of what they have subscribed, advantage is taken of some diflSculty, perhaps temporary, perhaps inherent, to wind up the concern by unscrupulous attorneys and equally un- scrupulous liquidators. There are legal firms in London which have a scandalous notoriety for this practice. They are known by a rigorous metaphor as wreckers. Besides, it constantly happens that owing to a failure in such undertakings, quantities of property are thrown on the market, disposed of by forced sales, at an entirely inadequate price, and in this way depress the value of stocks and property possessed by old-fashioned and legitimate traders. You cannot deny that the tendency of profits is to an equality. But it follows from this rule that if property purchased at an inadequate price, falls into new hands, it tends to diminish the profits of those who gauge their business and their profits, by the only legitimate canon which trade afibrds, the cost of produc- tion under the most favourable conditions and the most intelligent supervision. " Nor is this all. As profits tend to an equality, so does the interest of capital. In those undertakings with limited liability, the subscriber has no reason to expect, and as a rule, cannot get for his shares more than the average rate of interest plus a further amount to represent his risk, in so far as it can be calculated. It is notorious that in investments such as railways, the average rate of dividend, calculated in the price of the companies' stocks, and spread in the shape of admitted earnings over the whole of these undertakings is not more than the interest on Government securi- ties. It is less notorious, but equally true, that the same result would be found to ensue if a capitalist invested largely on the faith of circulars in joint-stock companies. The occasional large profit, always heralded and constantly exaggerated, may fall into the hands THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 147 of a successful gambler, but depend on it, it is fully counter- balanced by unacknowledged or concealed losses. In brief, the system of joint-stock enterprise, with limited liability, does not differ materially from those State lotteries, which every respectable Government, struck with the mischief which they caused, has put down." — " I remember," said one of the critics of these acts to me, himself a director of the Bank of England, " that when I wanted a secretary an applicant called on me. I asked him for his qualifi- cation, and he told me, mentioning the name of a person who was notorious, I might almost say infamous, for his association with these new undertakings ; that he had been for years engaged in collecting out of the books of the Bank of England, the great railway companies, and similar undertakings, the list of whose shareholders is accessible to all comers, the names of all clergymen, retired military and naval officers, barristers, and lawyers, who had _^200 and upwards in the undertakings." Such persons were plied with circulars, because it was known that if they could be induced to take stock in proportion to their holding they would be good for the calls. My friend did not engage that clerk. — " Besides, does not the importunity with which these circulars are pressed on you suggest suspicion that the announcements of the future are over- florid, even if one had not the evidence of failure to confirm the suspicion ? " It is perfectly true that certain great undertakings would have been impossible but for the principle of limited liability. But it is not difficult to define those branches of business in which the permission should be given without making that permission universal. In undertakings which no individual and no partner- ship could contract for and complete, but one of supreme public utility, the rule may be allowed. Here, too, you have something enduring to show for your money. Grant that the railway com- panies have received too little profit for their outlay, the London Water Companies too much, they have at least made and worked a permanent way, and created the supply. It is quite a different thing to allow the principle to be adopted and carried out in buying and selling, in which a turn of the market may induce a total loss, and a total loss considerable injury to creditors and legitimate traders. The old law may have been severe, but it 148 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. contained wholesome checks. The new law is exceedingly lax, and has practically no checks at all." I have heard persons argue against joint-stock enterprise, with limited liability on the above grounds. Of course there is a rejoinder to them. " You run the risk," people answer, " of suffering from the failures and blemishes of a system, inseparable from all human undertakings, to the whole class of similar under- takings. Before you can come to so sweeping a conclusion you should have, what the logicians call, a prerogative instance, and show that what you can allege in some cases only, inevitably runs through all examples of the same species. But this cannot be asserted, either from the facts of the case, or from anticipations as to the future. There is a great deal of business carried on under the Coinpanies' Acts. Most of it is carried on satisfactorily, smoothly, discreetly. We may be sure that if failure was abnormally conspicuous in such undertakings, they would receive nearly as sharp a check as prohibition or a reversion to the old system would be. Let us admit that some projectors are rogues, and some shareholders are dupes. Let us grant that unscrupulous people get up these undertakings and unscrupulous sharks wreck them. It does not seem to us that this is a valid reason for pro- hibiting them, but does seem a good ground for amending the law and stopping the game, the gains, and the frauds of these people. It might be a little expensive to undertake the State prosecution of a few among these adventurers ; but the money in the end would be cheaply laid out, for it would deter people from these practices. It is, we believe, the duty of the legislature, when it provides that certain powers should be given, to see that these powers are not abused, and made the mechanism by which dis- honest persons may prey on society. " It is not clear that the old mechanism provided against the evils which you dread. A person under unlimited liability may be more reckless than one who has his risks defined. He knows that everything will be gone if he fails, fortune, reputation, credit, and he strains every chance, nay, simulates every gesture of solvency, when he is fairly conscious that any reasonable chance is gone, and that he is hopelessly insolvent. Under the law of unlimited liability you cannot demand that he shall submit the THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 149 state of his affairs, not only to all interested in his doings and his solvency, but to all comers. But you do this, as far as human power can publish the result of an independent audit, under limited liability. We are aware that balance sheets may be fraudulent, and that an independent audit is in most cases a condition which cannot be absolutely satisfied. Indeed some of the most scandalous frauds which have been perpetrated in times recent and in times comparatively remote, are imitations of genuine solvency, perpetrated by traders under unlimited liability. Sir John Dean Paul, the head of a banking firm whose failure caused great loss and dismay about thirty years ago, swore that his father's personal estate was worth, if I remember rightly, £\ 50,000, by his father's dying advice, when it was not worth sixpence, but a good deal less than sixpence. The Greenways, of Leamington, when they became bankrupt, confessed that they began business about the time of Paul's failure, with a capital of ^600, and on the faith of their previous reputation, kept up a local note circula- tion of ^^30,000 on it. Now it does not seem easy to see how they could have done this under the limited liability Acts. Nor indeed is joint-stock enterprise, conducted under unlimited liability, free from the risks of a disastrous crash. The Glasgow Bank was directed by men of eff'usive, perhaps ostentatious, piety, and of reputed wealth. Its collapse brought ruin to a thousand homes, a ruin more disastrous than a bombardment. Instances of the same kind could be multiplied. Now before you infer generally to the peculiar risks which ensue from the doctrine of limited liability, you must show that the older system is free from these risks. But it is clear that you cannot let us confine ourselves to banking houses. They went down by dozens, by hundreds at the close of the eighteenth century. The great panic of 1825 was principally caused by the failure of banks. The disaster which came on after the Overend and Gurney business, shook the financial world of London to its centre. Now in all these cases the principle of unlimited liability was dominant, and the creditors of the unfortunate undertakings got very little consolation from the unlimited liability of their debtors when they found out that their resources were virtually exhausted before the crash came. " It is perfectly true tliat an undertaking in which a large amount ISO INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. of capital is uncalled, even when the liability is limited, is in a better position, as far as credit is concerned, than another is in which there is none left to call. But the affairs of every trading company are liable to temporary strains. Uncalled capital is not the best security to offer for advances, but it is a security which no bank which does regular business with the company would, up to a certain point, hesitate to accept. But a private undertaking, with unlimited liability, and with no complete evidence as to the solidity of its assets, has not this to offer. Now the proof that the facts are as is stated is seen in those joint-stock banks, which, in addition to their six-monthly balance sheets, have a large amount of uncalled capital, when they all, or nearly all, a year or so ago registered themselves anew under limited liability. Their deposits have not fallen off, their business has not declined, though they have certainly diminished the security which they offered to their creditors. This uncalled share capital too is as nothing to the liabilities which they have incurred, and have, I do not doubt, amply covered. It does not seem, therefore, that in this, the most critical instance of joint-stock enterprise, considering the enormous interests which are involved in success and failure, that the customers of these banks felt any alarm at the limitation of the shareholders' risks. " There is one pan oi vour case against the new law, which is we may admit, at leas*, apparently made out. It would appear that joint-stock entei prise in trade and production does tend to assimilate the rate of profit to the rate of interest, and that the cost of direction being satisfied, and the charges of hired manage- ment being paid, with perhaps a little margin for risk, shareholders are satisfied with less dividends than a trader expects in his busi- ness. It may be admitted too that the second or third purchaser of an uncompleted undertaking, which has gone through the hands of one or two liquidators, may make a good, and if a good, a rare bargain ; for if such failures characterized joint-stock enter- prise, a very effectual and rapid check would be put on it. I am disposed to think that the best and most frequent purchases of this kind have been made by railways of branch lines, which have certainly been bought for next to nothing, and have been turned into paying sections when they are manipulated by the trunk lines in the general interest. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 151 *' But there is an answer to even this part of the objection. In the first place, the supervision of a board and hired servants is never so effective as the master's eye. I have heard traders over and over again assert that they have nothing to fear from co- operative stores, and I suspect that the principal outcry against them is from those London traders, whose connection suggests to them, or constrains them to, the expediency of giving credit. The more courageous traders allege that the store cannot buy so well as they do, sell so well as they do, and effect economies as well as they do. They might cite instances. Some years ago a co-operative store was started under the name of the Universities Co-operative Association. It had large premises in a convenient, and it may be supposed not over-expensive, part of London, and it received large support, in capital and custom, from the clients which it expected to attract. It very rapidly collapsed in com- plete ruin, for the management from the beginning was as bad as it could be. And it does not by any means follow that if a man opens a shop he has good grounds for expecting an assured custom. It is quite possible to overstock a district with retail traders. It is highly probable that among people of that class the phenomena of over-population are more frequently manifested than in any other class of industrial agents, with perhaps the exception of barristers. Besides, it is quite clear that traders in a good way of business are seldom content with one shop. Many of them have a dozen, sometimes in half a dozen towns. Now it is impossible, except they are like Sir Boyle Roche's famous bird, that they can be in two places at once, and a fortiori in a dozen. It is plain, then, that in these subordinate places of retail selling — the modern, and I suppose polite, fashion is to drop the word shop and call them establishments, even nonconformist tradesmen using the objectionable word — the owner must delegate his functions and incur the very risk which, as he alleges, has such a compensative power in that joint-stock shop. " It would appear, then, from these considerations, that the prin- ciple of limited liability does not deserve the sweeping criticism which is constantly uttered about it. It would seem that it is really less likely to be reckless than that person, or set of persons, who carry on business with unlimited liability, and that the law 152 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. has put hindrances to this danger. It is probable, too, that bank- ruptcy has a larger effect in the lowering of prices than joint- stock trading has, for individuals who are in fear for the future will buy desperately, and sell desperately, and if they have suffi- cient shrewdness will escape the snare of the bankruptcy law. And in this reply nothing has been done but to meet objections. The benefits of the new law have to be shown." I have given you this sketch of the situation, and of the attack and defence on the joint-stock principle in capital at some length, the defence naturally at greater length, since the defence is in the nature of things more elaborate than the attack, because it seems to me that nothing is more useful to the student of social pro- blems than to exhibit the case in what I may call a debate. Nor do I think I need make an apology for adopting what you may perhaps consider a parliamentary manner, in putting the case before you, and in arguing for and against a principle or practice. For though much time is wasted in the House of Commons in discussions on foregone conclusions, there are subjects on which parties are indifferent, to use an excellent word in its earliest and best sense, and really do discuss a question from both sides. And you will find it excellent practice in economic and social questions to consider both sides of the case, and to see what can be said from either aspect. You will find it more profitable to deal with the facts of actual life, than like the Roman youth to handle the philosophy of history, and like Juvenal, in his under- graduate days, " give counsel to Sulla, as to his retirement into private life, in search of sound sleep." I do not think it can be doubted that the recent Joint-stock Companies Act has had a great effect on industrial activity in England. It is true that many of those who have entered upon this system of manufacture and business, have been restive, impatient, and in these latter days, minatory about royalties. Now of course you know that land and its incidents have always been considered the undoubted and peculiar field for the econo- mist. The lawyer is merely an agent in dealing with it. The statesman, when he ceases to be a partisan, arbitrates on it ; but the economist considers that he is justified in analyzing the origin of its ownership, the causes and effects of its rent, and all the THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 153 accidents of its owner's tenure. Now when the Royal Commission on the Depression of Trade was sitting, witness after witness, and among them some of the most extensive joint-stock miners and smelters, gave evidence as to the depressing effect of royalties, alleged to be excessive in this country upon mining operations. They treated the phenomena as natural and inevitable, but as a serious hindrance to the industry which they represented, even under the modern conditions of limited liability. And I see now that many persons are alleging that, as in France, Belgium, and Spain, all minerals are the property of the State, so they should be declared in the United Kingdom. I have constantly pointed out to you that rights abused are sure to suggest communism and violent reconstruction. I have recently been studying the mining district in Cornwall, and particularly that narrow district in which the copper and tin deposits are found and raised. Here mining is carried on, under the unhmited liability system, and with very singular results. The products sought for are copper and tin, the former generally lying near the surface, the latter in the deeper veins, though habits of observation, no doubt hereditary, guide the adventurer in mining to anticipations which are generally realized, though the realization often leads to formidable losses in quantity. The metal, I mean, may be there, but in insufficient amount. But mining for these metals is plainly a local passion. The lucky man may make a great fortune, though I suspect if all were put together, and an average drawn, it would be found that losses overrun profits, especially under the system. And not only is the distribution of these minerals exceedingly capricious, but the market price is liable to great fluctuations. A few years ago, copper was, as the phrase goes, a drug. Within the last year its price is trebled. Tin again was not much more than £(^0 a ton, a year ago, and now it is ;^I35, or was when I was there a month since (1889). These fluctuations greatly stimulate the spirit of enterprise, or as people are apt to say, gambling with the future. And it is curious to notice how naturally these people witness the decay or destruction of fortune in the case of those who are persistent, and persistently unlucky. There was a gentleman there, who had lost, I was told, _^8o,ooo by these ventures, and 154 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. his neighbours evinced no surprise. He was buoyant, jubilant and now thought he had at last come to his luck. Cornwall is a county in which the rights or claims of the landowners are carried to an extent which I have never found paralleled elsewhere, though I have seen some curious instances of them in Ireland. Not only is every inch of common land appropriated, but the streams, and in many cases the harbours, have been usurped into private property. It is impossible, so I was told, to purchase a freehold, and the only occupancy is an exceedingly severe one. Landowners will not grant a lease for years for house building, but concede only a building lease on lives, by which their prospects of appropriating the occupier's outlay are greatly accelerated. I have had instances quoted to me, in which a building has fallen back, through the ill-luck of the lessee, and the unexpected falling of the lives, into the hands of the landowner at the end of twelve years. Now many of these miners emigrate for a time to Colorado, or the Trans- vaal, or Australia, get heavy wages, save, and by that indestruc- tible instinct, which seems to be inveterate in the Celtic race — Irish, Gaelic, Welsh, Breton, Cornish — retiy^n to the place, as Shakespeare says, where they were kindled. They are the apt victims of the landlords, and after they have built their houses on these conditions, they venture the residue on a mining lease, generally in joint-stock, and all but invariably on unlimited liability. The spectacle of all but universal ill-success makes them reckless, perhaps patient. The mining leases are generally for short terms, say twenty years or less. The adventurer has to pay a rent, and a royalty, varying from one-tenth to a twenty-fifth of the produce, not the profits, and beyond sinking a shaft, has to set up adequate machinery for pumping and ventilating the mine. Of course he is responsible for the term, and his plant follows the judge-made rule, ciijiis est solum, ejus est usque ad ccelum, and for the per- centage of the produce, at whatever cost it is acquired. If, as sometimes happens, his venture is successful, he may make a good thing of it during his lease. The landowner is, as you will see, entirely protected, for in addition to his term, he has the hold of unlimited liability, and he can hardly ever be persuaded to accept THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 155 the more modern arrangement. If the venture succeeds, he can raise his fine, his rent, his proportion of the produce, so as to squeeze as much as possible out of the occupier. When the lease is drawing to a close, the negotiations are long and anxious. The occupying tenant has only one resource. He can spoil the mine, by obliterating the signs of the deposits, and by flood- ing it. Cornwall is full of springs, and the latter process is secured by neglect. I can conceive no system which is more mischievous, more rapacious, and more certain to stimulate to the highest extent, the gambling spirit in industry. Mining is more speculative than any other industry, and does not need incentives. The calling of the miner is dangerous. Though the risks of the collier are absent from his labour, unless the air is constantly renewed, it gets foul, the workman digs and blasts in the wet, and in deep mines works in a suffocating heat. Many men are maimed and especially blinded by the explosions. A miner attired for his underground journey — I saw them by hundreds — is a strange, hardly a human object, if he were not so lively and cheerful. His wages are no great temptation, rarely exceeding i8s. a week. Now notice how complete an answer it is to those people who go about telling these workmen that if prices rise wages rise. Within twelve months the price of tin has risen about 120 per cent., and wages have not risen a penny. The fact is, the miners are not yet enrolled in trade unions. And yet, strange enough, so general is the dislike to the ground landlords, that the employers, unlike their practice in other places, are particularly anxious that the men should enter into their labour partnerships, because they conclude that in this way only they shall be able to modify the extortionate terms, as they allege, under which they take their leases, and renew them. The concession of the Acts permitting limited liability has been followed by a great extension of the system, both in manufacture and trading. No doubt advantage has been taken of the law to put out artful and florid prospects of the benefit which those will obtain who trust their money to the venture. But though it comes in a different form, it may be doubted whether there is as much deception practised in joint-stock enterprise as there is in IS6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. private trading. The loss, to be sure, is limited, but the loss is total. I never heard of any assets being recovered from a liquida- tor. But unless we are greatly misinformed, the assets of a bank- % rupt are never entirely recovered by his creditors, and if so, such a person is virtually trading under limited liability, for all the technicalities which law may allege. And in proof of this I may cite the extraordinary success which has attended one of these companies, the Assets Realization Company, the principle of which is to offer the creditors a percentage in the pound on their debts, and to undertake the realization of the estate by the company. Besides, the severity of the law against a defaulting debtor is as nothing" to the severity of the law, as the courts expound it, with a negligent director, even though he may be proved to have derived no advantage from his superintendence, and even to have incurred considerable loss by his negligence. Lord Thring, when the subject was discussed with considerable fulness at the London Political Economy Club, the members of which are not prima facte^ presumably interested in the success of the new system, dwelt with great severity on the harshness with which law treats unintentional breaches of company law, as compared with its attitude towards bankrupts. For, in fact, company law is one of the most difficult branches of commercial law, as I am informed by those who are more or less familiar with it, and is full of con- tradictions, traps, and pitfalls. But to pass from this subject. The most interesting, significant, and important departure in the new system is the development of co-operative trade, and subsequently co-operative production among the artisan classes and factory hands. The narrative of this movement has been told in a simple, and yet exhaustive, manner by Mr. Holyoake. Its beginnings in Rochdale were watched with great interest by my distinguished friends Mr. Cobden and Mr. Bright, who augured great moral good from the experiment. Its progress has been noted and commended by such excellent persons as Mr. Thomas Hughes, Mr. Vansittart Neale, and others. But it may be doubted whether the acutest persons, who witnessed the beginning of the movement, could have fore- seen the social and economical effects of the extension of co- operation, i.e.^ virtually a working-men's partnership under limited THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CAPITAL. 157 liability, on those who undertook the function. It began in an attempt to achieve two things — a ready-money business among factory hands, these being a class naturally prone to run into debt in small shops; and to secure genuine articles of consumption, for it is not surprising that the small shops are not over-scrupulous in the quality of the articles which they sell, as poverty enforces cheapness. The movement, the history of which I do not pretend to narrate, adopted a singular rule at its commencement, which I believe it has generally continued. It did not undersell the ordinary trader, but fixed its prices at ordinary rates. Probably it did not wish to provoke enmity. Certainly, working men are not enamoured of competition. But I conceive that the ruling motive in the practice which was adopted was to assist the factory hands in the habit of saving, by an almost unconscious process, for the managers divided the profits of the business among its customers, in proportion to the amount of purchases made at the common shop. It was in this way that the capital was increased, for the societies were always ready to receive these savings and to reinvest them. The step from shopkeeping to production or manufacture was taken, though cautiously and slowly. It was especially adopted at Oldham in the cotton manufacture, and at Leicester in the stocking trade. I have not followed the numerical increase of these undertakings, though I know that it has been large. Now it is said, and that by persons strongly disposed to criticize these ventures, that in the competition of business the co-opera- tive factory, after getting rid of some initial errors, natural enough, has been able to hold its own against the private manufacturing firms. The principal initial errors were in dis- covering that in a factory order and obedience were absolutely necessary, that though the workman was a proprietor, sometimes for his class a considerable proprietor of stock, he must not bring the impulses of an owner into his work, but must behave just as though he were as he was originally, and still is, as far as the manufacture is concerned, entirely a factory hand. The other difficulty or error was, that after recognizing the necessity of a manager or superintendent, and of obedience to his directions, to see thgt one must pay for skill. It was hard to induce the 158 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. shareholders to beHeve that management, as long as it is necessary, must be paid for, and, to be efficient, must be paid for well. Of course, as soon as ever the associated workmen are one and all competent to undertake the work of management, the rarity of managerial ability has ceased, and with it the necessity of hiring and paying for it. This has not, it seems, come yet, though it will come in the future. Those whom I have consulted on co-opera- tive manufacture assure me that the principal cause of their success is the rigid prosecution of small economies in management, and the careful elimination of waste. The danger, I have also been told, which they run, is in the magnitude of the capital forced, so to speak, on them, in accordance with their rule, always to accept and utilize workmen's savings. These, however, though interesting incidents in the calling of co-operative production, are by no means the most important or suggestive to the economist. The least agreeable fact which one sees in the modern history of labour, a result distinctly traceable to past wrongs, deliberately inflicted and continued upon work- men, is the tendency which such persons have to live from hand to mouth, and even to decline work, when a limited number of days in the week secures to the workman his maintenance and small enjoyments, though a more prolonged industry would, in prudent hands, have a margin over. Now, as a spontaneous and organized effort, the movement for an eight-hours day has my entire sympathy. I am persuaded that employers of labour would get, on the hypothesis that the labourer really exercised his skill and energy on an eight-hours day, more out of such a limitation than they do for longer labour. I utterly discredit and disbelieve the shallow and interested utterances of some people that English labour runs serious risk of rivalry by the long hours of the French and German artisan. Given equal conditions, I would defy any person to substantiate by facts what has become an exceedingly common, and to use the mildest language, an exceedingly reckless averment. But I entirely disbelieve in the notion, too commonly entertained by the indolent and impatient, that the common boon should be achieved by the action of the legislature. I have con- stantly stated that attempts on the part of the law to do positive good generally result in the incidence of more positive evil. The THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN CA PITA L. 1 59 artisans of the Middle Ages got an eight-hours day by their own combinations, and maintained it till a series of great crimes com- mitted against labour and the public good by kings and parlia- ments, left the workmen helpless, because disunited. Co-operative production is a powerful educating force in what working men need to be taught most thoroughly, community of purpose. Getting, as they must get under the system of the division of employments, a familiar insight into the harmony of interests in the business of their life, they learn that they are strong when united, weak when divided. I have been told that in co-operative production, the disputes which arise between capital and labour are all but unknown, and that the union of the two functions in the same person gives a rapid and successful lesson in the true relations of the parties. Now, when the hos- tility to capital ceases, it is very difficult for persons to accept crude notions about the duty or necessity of nationalizing capital. But everything which instructs people in the fact that all legiti- mate interests are at harmony is a lesson of no little value. There is, and there will be, till the causes are removed, no little dis- content at existing practices and privileges which appear to give unreasonable and unwarrantable advantages to certain interests. I have already commented on the fact that Mr. George, while his enmity to rent is thorough, his anticipations as to its extinc- tion are sanguine, and his predictions as to the boon which his process will confer on labour are, to say the least, confident, has no antipathy to capital. He has witnessed, as he believes, with indig- nation, the rapid growth of wealth among those who have got hold of the land, but he does not detect a similarly spontaneous development of wealth in those who are technically said to possess capital. But I have been told that there are persons in the United States who look on the manner in which the wealth of the Vanderbilts has grown, to take the most obvious instance, with the liveliest alarm and with but a little indignation. Some part of the process, if I may infer from a narrative of the family, recently published, and on the side of admiration, would, I think, in the United Kingdom, have been met with very effectual checks. But, except in so far as it comes from the possession of land, I do not remember that Mr. George denounces the gains of these mil- i6o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. lionaires. Here, at least, you have a type of socialism which is not led into the theory of nationalizing capital and establishing employment for all by the agency of a government office. I take it that the demand for the reconstruction of society, by a violent modification of its present conditions, has few attractions to those who labour on the co-operative principle. These people, in so far as they demand reforms, generally go in the direction of giving more ease to the materials and forces which human in- dustry utilizes and clothes with utility. They may, for example, conclude that much that characterizes our land system is wrong, and allege that it handicaps industry in the effort to confer excep- tional advantages on individuals. They do not think that you will mobilize capital by frightening it, or that the accumulation of wealth is assisted by insecurity. But they see also that capital and labour may be starved by injudicious and unfair restraints on the universal instrument or material of all capital and labour — land. One of the most pleasing features in the history of co-operative production is that the competition of working-men producers has not, after perhaps a brief interval, provoked the jealousy of capitalist producers. Some years ago I happened to be residing at Leicester for a few hours in the house of a local manufacturer. Now I knew that in this town co-operative production had com- pletely established itself, and I inquired cautiously of my host in what position those workers stood. To my surprise I found him extremely friendly to the movement, for he had come to the conclu- sion that the success of these undertakings was sure to bring about harmony between employers and workmen, since even those who had not taken part in the undertaking saw what were the con- ditions under which successful industry could, and indeed must, be carried on. And he went on to say that an association of co- operative stocking weavers, knowing that he was friendly to their system, called upon him with a request that he would assist their comparative inexperience by an inspection of their books and their works, for that they were sure that they had missed one or more of the conditions of successful business. He complied and advised them, in what direction I do not exactly remember, but he asserted, with complete success. Now, such confidence on the THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE OF CAPITAL. i6i part of the workmen, and alacrity on the part of the capitahst, strike me as particularly commendable and hopeful. I know no phenomenon of industry which is a more charac- teristic fact to modern experience than the recent development of the joint-stock principle in capital. I could give you numerous instances of social benefits and social economies which could never have come into existence but for this modern force. I am quite convinced that in extensive districts in Great Britain it has been of great advantage to workmen and industry. It is true that it has not yet got much beyond manufacture. But there is reason to believe that it will in time be introduced into agriculture, and in this way solve many difficult and serious social problems. vni. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 7'r., a dissertation on the history of trade unions or labour partnerships and their econo- mical defence. But I have no doubt that in what I have to say, you will see that the sketch which I have given you is relevant to the development of a system, whose future bids fair to assume far greater proportions than it hitherto has, whose influence in the distribution of wealth will probably be exceedingly effective. It is prudent to see what these labour associations can do, should do, cannot do, and should not do, when we are taking account of a social force which has long been suppressed, long distrusted, but is slowly, as I believe, surely being educated into a just interpre- tation of what, to use a phrase of the workmen, are the rights of labour. Let us first look at the history of these associations, and then give an economic analysis of them. It is not a little remark- able that they are generally ignored by writers on economic subjects or of economic systems, though I cannot but think that this practice, though authors may have the abundant defence of ignorance, is very unwise and very irritating. The distinction made between the work of an artisan and of a farm hand is, in my judgment, as unphilosophical and as mis- leading as the contrast which some people heedlessly make between the agricultural, the manufacturing, and trading interests. Not only is it true that all legitimate interests are in harmony, and are reciprocally beneficial, but it should never be forgotten, that the wanton injury of our industrial interest — and by wanton I mean a removable injury induced by custom or law — is an injury by implication to all other interests. If the husbandman suffers by rapacity and ignorance, the home manufacture suffers. He finds a poor instead of a prosperous customer, and the cost of filling up the void of agricultural produce, requires more energy and more THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE TN LABOUR. 169 sacrifice. If the trader, and I am assuming that his presence is natural, and not artificial, and is therefore necessary, is crippled and tampered in the work of distributing goods, if his calling is made precarious by exactions, by unfair taxation or unjust assessments, or by unnatural charges for freight, I am convinced that the agriculturist and the manufacturer get a worse market for their produce. Of course the trader may, nay, frequently does, overstock his own market, and several men are trying to share work which wovild be better, more cheaply, and more profitably done by fewer hands. For there is a form of overcrowding in employments which nothing can obviate, unless we ruled, which would be a reactionary, unwise, and unsatisfactory step, that the number of persons engaged in a calling should be limited to the wants of the market. In past times, and indeed in recent times, attempts have been made to effect these results, but with con- sequences which do not suggest or encourage imitation. All legitimate interests, then, are at harmony, and, as the French economists said with perfect truth, it can never be to the interest of one class or calling to oppress any other class or calling. By this of course they meant, men who are of use. Idlers, profligates, criminals are, by the very terms of their being, noxious, intrusive, and should be checked, suppressed, or if you like oppressed. Now a workman has something to sell. This is his labour. Society cannot exist without him, for the prolonged cessation of his industry would be ruinous to all. His labour, too, is of necessity intelligent, i.e.^ capable of effecting that to the supply of which he has been trained, a notable outlay being made in order to secure this training. It should be always remembered too that, especially in modern times, when population is dense, and employ- ments are greatly divided, the workman who proffers his labour has rarely any other means than the sale of that which he offers. He cannot, if he fails of employment, betake himself to other avocations, a fact too frequently lost sight of when people are dis- cussing labour and its claims. In some cases, when this absence of any alternative is put before him, he is not to blame for the result, but the wrongheadedness, the perversity, the malignity of those who have been able to materially modify his lot. He has also the most perishable of all articles which can be offered for sale. A I70 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. day lost, when he wishes for work, and is willing to undertake it, is lost irrecoverably. A trader who has goods in his shop may decline to sell, and may be wise, for he may be able to secure his price by waiting. In the practice of law, the sale of goods by a shopkeeper at less than they cost him is a suspicious, a punishable offence. The workman is, therefore, when he offers his labour, under a peculiar urgency. Of all people living he is most of all constrained to sell. For not only is it a permanent loss if he does not sell, but his article, unlike any other article offered, must be kept out of the market at a double cost, the cost of wasted time and, more serious still, maintenance, as long as the sale is uncom- pleted. There is no industrial agency to which a bye or second opportunity is more needed than it is to the workman, none whose situation has been more aggravated, in comparatively modern times, by his being cut off from that second calling. His power of holding out till he gets better terms is seriously curtailed at the present time, if it be compared with the situation in earlier ages. I have stated that in those earlier times agriculture was the alternative which most artisans had, and I mean by this agricul- ture on the workman's own holding. In my researches into the history of English labour I have constantly noted that artisans, employed say in building a college or a church, were also owners in husbandry. When the Fellows of Merton were building the tower of the church, in the fifteenth century, they bought hay and straw from the foreman of their works. So did Dorothy Wadham in the seventeenth century. In Lord Lovell's account of his farming operations, early in the eighteenth century, he deals largely with his own workmen. The records, of course, of peasant and artisan husbandry have perished, and they only, who have read extensively in other accounts, and have a keen eye for social facts and phenomena, will detect these relations. And these facts explain why an artisan's wages are always so much higher in London than elsewhere. Here, to be sure, he was more certain of employment. But here he was also debarred from bye industries. And here, too, one may notice that the day wages of the workmen in harvest time are generally quite up to those of artisans, for artisans were constantly engaged in harvest work, nay by divers THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 171 statutes, were compellable to serve in the harvest field. But they would have resented this obligation if their ordinary wages had been lessened, and they inevitably dragged up the wages of the ordinary labourers in husbandry during this important season. I have often commented on the extreme harshness with which the magistrates in quarter sessions interpreted the Labourers' Act of 1563. The law, to be sure, gave them an opportunity of wrongdoing, and put no check on their action, and if the law enables people to do injustice, law and right may become very wide apart. But, in commenting on the history of labour, and particularly on the oppression to which it was subjected, I have never forgotten, or omitted to state, that he had many indirect advantages, which were as yet his legal rights. He could turn his cow, or few sheep, and, at least, his geese, into the common pas- ture, which generally belonged to him as surely, though, as events proved, not as securely as it did to the lord. The payment for the pannage of pigs in the lord's wood, which was nearly if not quite as much his right as the use of the common, was small and cus- tomary. But, besides, he had the right of snaring wild animals on the common pasture or waste. I have collected overwhelming evidence of the fact from the purchases of game in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries by Lords Spencer, Pembroke, and others, and by corporations such as Winchester and Eton Col- leges. If the animals, including all game but deer and hare, had been captured on their own land, the landlords need not have paid for them, if on the land of others, their purchase encouraged trespass. They must have, therefore, been procured from regions over which the peasantry had as much right as the lord. When Markham published his treatise, " Hunger's Prevention, or the whole art of Fowling," he gives no hint that game was reserved for the richer classes. When a statute prohibiting the practice was passed in the reign of James I., the right of the peasant is not disputed, but the reputed effect on his diligence and usefulness is recited. Now what the peasant sold, he might better his own provisions with. In our day, no doubt, a poacher is not only a very offensive phenomenon to the game preserver, but a disreput- able and evil personage. But, for all that, he represents the free exercise of an ancient right, which the law has never ventured lo 172 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. entirely repudiate, and cannot as long as it does not recognize that property in wild animals which it does in their domestic varieties. But, besides, the peasant generally possessed, though probably in later times only on a precarious tenancy, a small plot of land, which he cultivated with his own hands, as a bye industry. The Allotments Act of 1589 was, I am certain, an attempt to check the restraint of labourers in husbandry to a cottage and wages, as well as a well-meaning attempt to check pauperism and over- crowding. It endured till 1773, when it was repealed on the plea that it checked enclosures. Now the benefit of such tenures, as a bye industry, as supplementary to wages, and as a check to agri- cultural pauperism is, in my experience, very great. In my native place, where it prevailed in a shrunken form, it almost extinguished destitution. Its advantage is that the peasant can subsist to a great extent on the produce of his small holding. When Mr. Clare Read, according to Dr. Jessopp, said that no labourer in Norfolk would take five acres of land on the ordinary tenure of a farmer, he was, of course, thinking of the farmer as a salesman. But the farmer, as a consumer of his own produce, is a very dif- ferent person from a trader in produce. But the whole question of peasant farming deserves separate treatment. In Ulster the process, as I found when I carefully examined its agriculture a year ago, was reversed. There the bye industry was domestic spinning and weaving. A generation ago, as I was told by those who had been brought up under the system, every little farmhouse had its spinning-wheel and hand-loom. The peasant farmers grew the flax, and carried it through all the processes into strong coarse home-spun, generally producing two pieces a year. Now, as long as the sale of such a domestic produce paid the rent, they were indifterent as to whether the rent was high or low. Even now, I was told, the industry was by no means extinct, though it was far from general. As a consequence, the rents which could be easily paid under the old system became impos- sible under the new. And yet, so negligent are those who under- take the administration of affairs in getting necessary information, that I have never heard that this most important fact has ever been taken into account in the interpretation of the Irish land THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 173 question. My late valued friend, Mr. Fawcctt, was not a profound nor a learned economist. But he was an exceedingly acute, sympathetic, and observant person, and I well remember his insisting with great emphasis to me on the superficial way in which economists dwelt on industrial changes. He asserted, and with great truth, that one of the most powerful causes of poverty was the fact that traditional avocations constantly become obsolete, and that the change presses invariably, and with great severity, on those who have been practically ousted from their old calling. It is important, in order to really understand the position of labour, to note the progressive disadvantages to which it has been subjected. But there are, we must not forget, countervailing advantages, especially in new callings, and in those in which the division of employments has made the greatest way. As time has progressed, the organization of the workmen under the circum- stances referred to, has become indispensable to the capitalist. The machine of human industry has become as complicated as the mechanism which the workman superintends and guides. The gradation of labour has been effected, but with the result that all the factors are collectively and individually essential to the due and easy working of the organization. Workmen have, I suspect, seen this more clearly than employers have, but none too clearly. The apparent weakness of the workers' position has been discovered to be one of great, but hidden strength. I conclude that much of the continuity of occupation in times when business profits are reduced is due to the fact that it would be a greater loss to stop than to continue, and I imagine that the consciousness of this inherent and increasing weakness in modern industries, which are carried on in a vast scale, has had a powerful effect in bringing about a better understanding as to the relations of workmen and their employers. In older and less complicated times the employ- ment of labour in such callings as were carried on, so to speak, under the principle of the division of employment, was far more optional than it now is. I cannot say that the discoveries of mechanical and engineering science have enslaved capital to labour, but I am pretty certain that they have made the harmony of the two factors more necessary, more obvious, and more inevitable, and more speedy. 174 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. But I must proceed to the historical facts with which, as usual, I design to illustrate my treatment of the subject. Nothing threw so novel a light to me, at least, as the social condition of England in the Middle Ages, if modern pedantry will permit me to use this convenient phrase, as the universality of labour combinations. They came, I do not doubt, in the first instance, from the inter- laced interests of all who resided in the same social microcosm, the parish and manor, and from the early practice of creating benefit societies out of the surplus of the charges made for religious oflSces. The main of these permanent donations probably Avent to the monasteries. But the secular clergy, who had no great love for the monks, competed for the employment which these endow- ments gave, and even, when the function was not permanent, but temporary, there is evidence, which I have discovered, of a com- petition for the office. The surplus, if any, and it is pretty certain that there nearly always was a surplus, went to the guild or asso- ciation of workmen, which, in country places, would have chiefly consisted of labourers in husbandry. In the course of centuries especially in a time when purchases of small parcels of land were common, and custom supplied cheap evidence of ownership, these accumulations became considerable, and beyond question, Avere the fund from which destitution was relieved. And although the life of the individual was ordinarily bounded by the parish or manor in which he resided, there were occasions on which the peasant was introduced to a wider world. We know that there was a gradation of courts from that of the parish to that of the county, and that there were opportunities afforded for concerted action, and we need not be surprised that the preamble of the statute, in which the franchise was limited or restrained in 1432, complains of the excessive and outrageous number of persons who congre- gated to, and took part in, the election of knights of the shire. Thus the gatherings at fairs were an exceedingly important agency for the development of common purposes. Walter de Henley, writ- ing in the middle of the thirteenth century, assigns a good many days a year to these gatherings, which were indeed the principal markets of the time. In Oxford I have traced the usage of the Wednesday and Saturday market days almost to the time in which Walter de Henley was writing, and I know from the bailiff THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LA BO UR. 1 7 5 rolls that the farmers frequented these markets for the purpose of buying and selling. In fact, I am disposed to believe that there was more intercourse between the peasantry of different parishes six hundred years ago than there now is, and therefore more opportunities for concerted action. But, besides, the people were brought greatly into contact with the migratory clergy. It was a tenet with these people that the priest who was bound to an order was a more efficacious inter- cessor than one who had been merely associated with parochial duties, and was therefore called a secular clerk, with some little contempt. Gascoigne, in the fifteenth century, complains greatly of the effects induced by this tenet. Now for some time, perhaps not more than a century and a half, this opinion gained credence, especially in relation to the two orders of mendicant friars, the Dominicans and Franciscans. It is true that later on Wiklif and the Lollards denounced them. But their migratory practices continued till the Reformation, when, especially in the " Suppli- cation of the Beggars," a calculation is made as to the sums of money which the friars annually collected from the people. In other words, the occasional appearance of those personages in villages must have been familiar, and it would seem that public opinion was not unfavourable to their migrations. I cannot indeed say that they constituted a channel of communication between the workmen in different districts. The institution of Wiklii's poor priests seems to suggest that in this bold reformer's eyes a new agency was necessary. This he supplied, and armed with the far-reaching tenet, that dominion is founded on grace, which, interpreted by himself in his lately recovered treatise, means that deference to authority is based on the worthiness of him wlio exercises the authority. Now this is a gloss which subjects all institutions to searching, perhaps to destructive, criticism. Social institutions, like constitutional precedents, generally be- come known to us by some strain which brings the fact into prominence, the practice, though no record be taken of it, k)ng preceding the record of its activity. The first intimation which I have found of labour combinations is in Kingston, and this in connection with the events of 1350 and of 1381. But I am convinced that it would be an error to conclude that these asso- 176 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. ciations had no earlier existence. In London they were probably as old at least as the time of Longbeard, in the days of Richard I. It is certain that the City guilds were in existence as more or less irregular associations long before the earliest charters which they possess. But prominence is given them in the earliest struggles between employers and workmen. A grotesque antiquity is given to that modern association, which under the name of freemasonry is, I believe, justly associated with nothing but high feeding and benevolence. The student of social forces discovers its origin in those congregations, chapels, and conventions of free masons, against which the Lancastrian kings denounced the penalties of felony. The form of the institution, as far as an outsider can judge, has greatly changed. No doubt the modern craft is as unlike the proscribed association of the Middle Ages as a City company in its modern shape is to the artisans and shopkeepers who founded the worshipful guilds of mercers and goldsmiths, tailors and grocers, fishmongers and haberdashers, and I know not what. The industrial life of England down to the Reformation, es- pecially that carried out by Somerset, was one especially of trade combinations. The system was so powerful and so universal that the legislature was wholly unable to grapple with it. It broke down under a set of circumstances which I have often described, and was rapidly extirpated, under these new conditions, by the law of 1563. From that date to 1825 the trades anion was efTectualiy proscribed, and I am persuaded that the memory of the ancient system, once so universal and so vigorous, had entirely passed away, till at last an antiquarian economist, as I suppose I may call myself, rediscovered it, and traced it back to its early activity and efficiency. I will not say that what I found out entirely changed my views as to those relations of labour and capital which I have found in the earlier economists, but I gained an insight into bygone conditions, in which a substantial deference to the claims of labour was, as I found, not incompatible with general and even national prosperity. The conclusions at which I arrived were by no means weakened, as I followed up the consequences of the Act of 1563, and traced the growing misery of the workman from the middle of the sixteenth century down to almost recent experience, long after the repeal of the old labour THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 177 statutes, when the workman was left to the tender mercies of the judge-made law of conspiracy. A trade union is really an industrial partnership, or if you will, the adaptation of the joint-stock principle to labour. In ordinary joint-stock action as recognized, protected, and adjudicated on by law, the owner of property pledges his means in part or in whole to the undertaking which attracts him. To external appearance the member of a trade union, which is only recognized by law, and rather grudgingly recognized, does not in the same way pledge property or capital. Yet he does not possess that in any notable degree, which the shareholder in a joint-stock enterprise, by the very terms of his engagement, does pledge. But he enters into similar, perhaps more onerous obligations, because more searching and unquestioned liabilities with the only thing which he has to sell or dispose of, his labour. Unlike the holder of joint stock, the law does not bind him to his obligations, and he can withdraw from the association at his pleasure. His combi- nation or partnership more nearly resembles the old regulated company than it does anything else, with this difference, that the workman's association is, while not banned by the law, unable to invoke the law in order to give effect to its purposes. The object of a trade union is to steady and if possible to increase the share in the price of the produce which the workman receives. I have frequently stated that the true, and in reality the most beneficial, function of capital is that of securing the continuity of industry, and as far as possible an anticipated level of price. The first of these functions is the permanent service which capital does to society ; the second is a necessary condition in the long run to the industrial prosperity of the individual, it is not infrequently the case that by general misconception the capitalist may pursue a calling with little profit. This has been, I believe, the fact to a great extent with the lessees of collieries up to very recent times, and I believe that I have on other occasions pointed out the historical origin of this unprofitable competition. I cannot see in what particular the function and the action of those who engage in these labour associations differ from the policy of the capitalist employer. He knows that to sell his produce below its cost is to invite ruin, and he is justly charged 13 178 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. with rashness if he enters on an undertaking without foreseeing or at least guarding against the risk. The workman is as laudably anxious not to sell the only thing which he has to sell at a less price than that at which he can reasonably afford to offer it, and this by every economical analysis should contain a notable margin over his maintenance. The capitalist employer is blamed if he sells at a price which does not give him back his outlay and a profit. The workman, on the other hand, was once coerced, then severely chidden, and even now meets with very sinister criticism, if he attempts to do that which it is proper wisdom and fore- thought in his employer to achieve. And if an exalted price is the consequence, it is not honest and it is not just, for reasons which I shall state further on, to put all this on the workman. For I shall be able to give you evidence from what is, I believe, a com- petent and really disinterested source about the analysis of exalted prices, and show you (i) that the enhanced price precedes the increase of wages, and that (2) the increase is but a moderate fraction of the enhanced price. There must be some reason why a process which is, as I contend, identical in the case of employer and workman, is looked on with approval in the case of the former, with disfavour in the case of the latter. Part of this feeling, I do not doubt, is the tradition of the old times, in which the law denied the work- man anything but a bare maintenance. Nor do I doubt that the language of economists of the middle school, by which I wish to distinguish Adam Smith from his successors, and the latter from what I would fain hope are fuller and truer exponents of social forces, has had not a little to do with the sentiment. Mr. Mill no doubt developed the wage fund as part of the argument by which he sought to prove that unproductive consumption or waste was in no sense a benefit to society. But there are parts of his great work in which he betrays a faint bias towards what once was current opinion, as when, for example, he lays it down, that an improvement m the wages of workmen can only be attained at the expense of profits. Of course this statement is incorrect. It may be, and perhaps sometimes is, obtained at the expense of the consumer, though generally as a consequent of the consumer's expense being enhanced before the workman's wages are. It may THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 179 be met, as it commonly is, by a diminished cost of production, by labour-saving appliances, and similar economies. For I conclude, and I believe with perfect correctness, that the loss of profits is much more due to the competition of capitalists than it ever has been or ever will be by the demands of workmen ! Even now, however, the salt syndicate of Cheshire is looked on with far greater favour than a trade union of miners or engineers. And yet, unless I am greatly mistaken, very large fortunes have been made by men who have been engaged in these salt works under the old regime of sharp competition, though the beginnings of such successful people have been very humble. The feeling, instinct, alarm, aversion, or whatever else we may call the sentiment which is unfriendly to trade combinations, from which the most dispassionate persons are not free, which it requires much robust and exhaustive knowledge of the facts to rid oneself, is, I believe, due to the consciousness, that the progress of society depends a good deal more on the continuity of labour than it does on the continuity of capital. In human societies the means of life is annual produce. On the perpetual supply of this depends the existence of every one, of the workman, I grant, himself among others. It seems as though this Samson, however blind he may be to his true powers, however bound he may be in the prison- house of poverty, can pull down, if he exerted himself, the temple of Dagon on himself indeed, but on the lords of Philistia also. And in a way Mr. George has, I think, seen how much society depends on labour, perhaps how much society loses by the expa- triation of labour, and how strong society is, when labour is orderly and contented. We see the fact in minor matters. Some years ago, a strike of the cabdrivers paralyzed that part of the business men of London, to whom rapid locomotion was a matter of money, besides inflicting much inconvenience on travellers and railways. On another occasion a strike of stokers in the London gasworks seemed likely to hand over the metropolis an easy prey to the predatory classes. Only the other day, when there was threatened an extensive strike of the colliers, the papers were full of sinister predictions as to the paralysis of British industry which would follow on the action of the workmen, and with some adroit- ness the workmen were bidden to reflect on the distress which i8o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. they would assuredly bring on those of iheir fellow-labourers, millions in number, to whom an adequate supply of coal was a prime necessity. You will remember that the rise in price, some two or three shillings a ton preceded the action of the workmen. That rise was witnessed with complacency, perhaps with con- gratulation. But the attitude of the colliers gave occasion to general and undisguised alarm. Fortunately, and at least to a great extent, the alarm was brief, for the worfcmen secured their advance. Now I thought it very much to the purpose to write to my friend Mr. Burt, who has been for many years in the House of Commons as Member for Morpeth, who is intimately acquainted with all colliery topics, and whose moderation and judgment has won him the esteem of all persons from all parties ; and to ask him the plain question, what increment does the lo per cent, added to the workmen's wages induce on the price of coal ? His letter is before me, and entirely carries out my anticipations. I will read you that part of it which bears on my question. " The prices for coal-getting vary very much in every district, and almost in every mine. It is therefore difficult to say how much lo per cent, advance in the wages of the miners will put on the price of a ton of coal. I see that Mr. Pickard stated it at twopence a ton. The employers, on the other hand, contend that this would only apply to the actual coal-getters, and that when other classes of labour are included the amount will be nearer fourpence a ton. I have just been talking to a large Derbyshire coal-owner, who sets the amount at fourpence a ton. My opinion is that three- pence per ton Avill cover the extra cost. It is important to bear in mind {a) that the advance, so far, has only been in a portion of the mining districts, including less than half of the persons employed ; and (h) that the demand for increase of pay followed, and did not precede, the increase in the price of coal." If these statements are accurate, and they bear, in my opinion, all the conditions of accuracy about them, I think that you will agree in my conclusion that an increase of lo per cent, in the colliers' wages, an increase which may probably be well met, and more than met, by economies in production, is not a very serious burden on the consumer, to be in need of the article for domestic use, or for the THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. i8i generation of force. And if it be said that the dealer must com- pensate himself for the enhanced price, the answer is obvious. I buy coal from the London exchange, and pay ready money to a middleman, who gives a three or six months' bill to the producer. In just the same way a bookseller thinks he makes you a grand offer in taking off threepence in the shilling on books, when he gets fourpence allowed, and while you pay him over the counter, he claims six months' credit from the publisher. The middleman in England is very rapacious, very plausible, and generally very ignorant. I confess I never saw much merit in the process by which some eminent people have got rich, z>., by buying at eight- pence and selling at a shilling. A good deal of attention has been directed of late to the pro- cesses adopted by what are called sweaters, z>., middlemen who prey on the ignorance and misery of poor workmen. Now recently the case of the match girls, earning from seven to eight shillings a week, has been handled. Near twenty years ago Mr. Lowe, then Chancellor of the Exchequer, proposed to tax matches ; I fancy sometimes because he wanted to puzzle people with the motto of his projected stamp, ex luce Incellum. On that occasion Messrs. Bryant and May marshalled their workwomen, got them to go in procession to Westminster Hall, and extinguished the project by a judicious mixture of pathos and ridicule. But this estimable firm got all the profit of the demonstration. A few months ago Mrs. Besant called attention to the wretched earnings of these people, and an attempt at making their condition better known was made by some of our University people at Toynbee Hall. The London Trades Council also lent their authority to arbitration. After a good deal of fencing the firm yielded, and I am glad to hear that now the wages of the match girls are more than doubled, and that they are able to lead respectable lives. But I don't think that matches are dearer and profits are less. The new departure only required a little management and tact. Some people, however, seem to have a peculiar pleasure in making their workmen beggarly and keeping them so. I do not indeed assert that all the improvement in the condition of workmen has come from the establishment of labour partner- ships, but I do not know any other cause for a phenomenon, in i82 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. which, imperfect as it yet is, I feel a strong satisfaction. The Amalgamated Society of Engineers is an association which fought with determination for its ends, enrolled nearly all the artisans which come under the definition of engineers, and, after a pro- longed struggle, succeeded in all they claimed. For as time goes on the strike, which is the last expedient in this social warfare, becomes rarer. They are far commoner in the United States than with us, and far bitterer, as the Government returns show. For the possibility of such an expedient becomes ultimately as great a deterrent to unfair advantage as the reality of it, and arbitration is seen to be a far more rational expedient than a quarrel. In many cases already a sliding scale, based on the two elements of cost and price, is adopted. Of course the cost is that which is general in the calling. No one can by any action intercept the reduction of cost which comes from the improvement in a process as long as the producer is guaranteed by a patent. For, as I have stated to you before, the benefit of improvement to the workman and the consumer comes slowly, to the rent receiver last of all, and only when the new process is diffused. When that happens he gets his turn, and, as some people think, gets far more than he deserves. I have already stated in another lecture, and must here restate, for economical facts are manysided, and therefore illustrate various economical principles, that I never saw a district in which the absence of all labour partnerships have so markedly an injurious effect on the wages of labour as in the Cornish mining district. The wages of workmen in this district are, I believe, taking the calling and all its dangers into account, lower than in any other English industry. Trade unions are entirely unknown, and the workmen, though massed together, are oppressed in detail. The industry they represent is one of singular significance, for the economical importance of the metal which they chiefly produce, tin, is great and permanent. It is at any rate clear that organization among the workmen would secure far better terms to them than they now get, and probably would lead to economies in the separation and reduction of the metal, the process now being excessively rude and wasteful, and the industry being carried on under conditions so noxious that nothing but the oppression of the miners could render them possible and continuous. THE JOINT-STOCK PRINCIPLE IN LABOUR. 183 There is no fear that working men will abuse the strength which they obtain by their labour partnerships by the adoption of the joint-stock principle to their own industry. They are always doing battle at a great disadvantage, for their powers of waiting are, by the circumstances of the case, necessarily limited. Besides they understand, I am convinced, what are the true functions of capital far better than that economist who constantly dogmatizes on it without the possession of the facts ; or even than the employer, whose natural impulse is to magnify his own importance ; or than the public, which is constantly twisted by shallow newspaper sophistries, the constant outcome of arrogance, conceit, and sycophancy. I confess that I am struck, and con- stantly have been, at the patience with which, to all appearance, working men hear or read the calumnies which are uttered about them, and the sinister predictions with which their efforts to better themselves and their fellows are met. The trade union is a peculiar product of English social life. It can be traced back to the dawn of economic history in this country. It was proscribed for nearly five centuries, at first ineffectually, at last with complete success. But the memory of the association never quite died out. At last the old laws were considered obsolete, as at least to be quite superfluous in the light of the judge-made law of conspiracy. When they were permitted as far as the law allowed, it must be conceded that the revival was attended by not a few scandals, as, for example, those revealed at Sheffield. I set these down partly to the passionate manner in which they had been proscribed, partly to the conspiracy laws, partly to the national ignorance and impatience of those who had won a boon, and did not know how to use it. At last the legis- lature became wise, and undeterred by the revelations made by Broadhead and his associates, gave these partnerships a must generous recognition, though even now it is half-hearted. SECOND COURSE I. THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. Popularity of wasteful persons explained — Policy of Colbert — Theories of the Physiocrats ; their effect on the French Revolution — Turgot and Adam Stnith — " Unproductive labour " — Quesnai — Mill — Waste oj labour^ of healthy of machinery, in agriculture — Scientific waste — Political waste — Gastronomic waste. Every one admits that waste is an economic evil, and, in certain well-understood cases, a moral offence, though not always a punish- able one, for the theory of law in our days is that a mischief done by one man must be provably injurious to some other particular person before it can conveniently be brought within the restraint of law. An individual may ruin his health, waste his resources, disable himself from earning his own livelihood, and thus plant himself on the public charity of the Poor Laws, without, in the process, bringing himself within the reach of any civil penalty. He may, even indirectly, induce the greatest wrongs on the innocent and helpless members of his own household without running the risk of punishment. He may go a great way in putting direct wrongs on them, and those of a serious kind, with but little peril. The motive for this leniency, I suppose, is the disinclination which people feel towards enlarging the operations of positive law, because they have too good reason to distrust its THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 185 administration, and an unwillingness to restrain individual liberty, when the offences of the individual affect himself and his own family only. Besides, it may be hoped that self-restraint and shame will be correctives in the individual's own case, natural affection and duty for the relations in which he stands to his own family. Perhaps, again, the State hesitates on punishing or checking economic waste, because administrations are and have been them- selves the greatest offenders in this direction. Adam Smith had good reason in contrasting the impertinence of sumptuary laws with the wanton and lavish expenditure of those who enacted such regulations. Nations, he alleged, are never ruined by their own expenditure, their peril comes from the governments which under- take their affairs, and manage them wastefully or ruinously. The gieat economist might have appealed to overwhelming evidence in support of this contention. Mighty empires, possessed of no little art and much civilization, have passed away into nothing- ness because the government of the country was evil. That culture with which all university students are supposed to be more or less familiar became a wreck, entirely owing to the vices of its government, though the ruin of the Roman Empire was not so complete as that of the races which inhabited Central and Western Asia. Wasteful people are, however, generally popular. The most selfish enjoyments are seldom entirely personal. A spendthrift can rarely so arrange matters as that no other person can make gain of his extravagance. It is true that society at large does not profit by him so much as it does from the action of his thrifty neigh- bour. But in the spendthrift's case the advantage which the few gain is sensible, in that of the man who saves from su])erlhiitics the benefit is larger, but hidden. Henry VII. was the most covetous and thrifty of the English kings. His son was the most exacting and the most extravagant. The English people were singularly prosperous during the reign of the father. They were impoverished, whole classes of them beggared, by the action of the son. But I have no doubt that in their several times the par- simony of the father was unpopular, the prodigality of the son was acceptable. The waste of Henry was the means by which a i86 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. new nobility was created, and the king found favour in the eyes of those to whom he cast contemptuously some of his spoils. Charles II. was probably the most flagitious person who ever ruled in England. But he was certainly popular. His brother James, whose life was far more decorous, appears to have been always disliked. And what applies to kings applies to private men. There are incessant apologies made for the reckless and unthrifty, even when their practices have been selfish and vicious. In my youth the biographies and exploits of these wastrels were popular books. I do not know whether the taste survives, though the success of a recent publication seems to imply that it does. It would be quite in human nature if it did. But setting aside these sympathies, if we share them, it will, I hope, be possible to discover in what economic waste or unproductive consumption consists. The expression, in the latter form, has an historic origin, and not a little of the difficulty which has been traditional in the interpretation of it, is due to the arbitrary sense, as I think, in which it was first employed and subsequently justified, a sense which, as it seems to me, is misleading, both in Adam Smith and in Mill. The policy of Colbert, under which subventions or bounties were given to articles in which Frenchmen have shown con- spicuous taste and elegant fancy, was not only supposed to have made France, and especially Paris, the centre of the world of fashion, but to have created such a taste for French goods as secured them a ready market wherever any tendency to refinement prevailed. It cannot, I think, be doubted that the very effective patronage of the fine arts, which the policy of Colbert bestowed on them, conferred no little advantage on the court of Louis XIV., and indirectly aided in no slight degree that predominating influence which the French acquired at the close of the seventeenth century. Of course the circumstances were exceedingly favour- able. France was nearly the only European or continental state which emerged from the terrible Thirty Years' War with no loss, and with considerable gain, not only in its internal resources, but by the extension of its frontier. England was for a short time under the military rule of a successful adventurer, whom Mazarin assid- uously courted and conciliated. But after his death, on his 59th THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 187 birthday, the government was for near a quarter of a century in the hands of a cynical voluptuary, and in the scandalous and corrupt camarilla which he gathered about him. You may learn what Paris was to the rest of the world in the numerous memoirs of the time, and a reflection of some of its worst features in England, in the literature of our own country, for instance, in the memoirs of Grammont. The policy of Colbert was so identified with the age of Louis XIV., that even when it had ceased to fulfil the purposes of its projectors it remained an ideal from which France was loath to part. It is not a little remarkable that the principal agents in this new industrial departure were the Hugue- nots, whom in his later years the French king banished. Now about the middle of the eighteenth century, when every- thing in France was sacrificed to those State-supported industries, a class of writers arose who were really, though with many errors, the founders of the modern science or philosophy of political economy, and supplied Adam Smith, during his residence in France, with not a few of the principles which are found in his capital work, " The Wealth of Nations." The fiscal system of France was the most vicious conceivable. The taxes were in the last degree oppressive, and the mode of collecting them increased the oppression. There was not even trade between the old Parlia- ment provinces of France, and the people in one district might be starving while those in another might be impoverished, in conse- quence of a ruinous, because artificially unsaleable, plenty. In particular, the estates of the nobles and the Church were exempt from taxation, while the tenure of the peasant was made liable to arbitrary inaction, to say nothing of the feudal dues which were squeezed from his poverty under the old regtyne. Unhaj)pily the economists, as the new sect of philosophers was called, preached in the desert, and the wrongs of the French peasants were terribly avenged by the Revolution and the Terror. Arthur Young describes the early days of the Great Change, not without a secret sympathy with those who retaliated in the latter end of i78q, on the nobility which had so long oppressed them. I know no one who has stated the situation more exactly, and predicted its out- come more accurately than Smollett did in his letter of March 23, 1765, and the thirty-sixth in the collection. But Smollett was i88 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. one of the keenest observers in the eighteenth century. I cannot recommend his history or his poetry, but his novels are excellent pictures of eighteenth-century life, and his letters are full of information. Now the economists discovered and announced one economical truth of the greatest importance. It is that the existence of every class of persons, artisans, in the ordinary sense of the word, men of leisure, men of science, men of religion, men engaged in war- fare and in the arts, and the dependents and domestics of these people, depended on the extent to which the products of agricul- ture were in excess of what was needed for the maintenance of the agriculturist, and for the continuity of his calling. On this foun- dation, as they saw clearly, rested the whole of the social structure. If it failed, the whole which was above it vanished into nothing- ness. It was plain, then, that what impoverished the peasant threatened mischief to the nation, and I need not say that in the existing state of trade and transport, almost the sole reliance for everything beyond the maintenance of the peasant lay in the efficiency of the peasant's labour and the abundance of his ciops. To these men, therefore, agriculture .was as sacred as it was to Cato and to Cicero. Perhaps the views which they entertained were as cordially acknowledged by the public men at the time, who had as abstract a respect for agriculture as Cicero had, and as practical a dislike to any change which could alone make agriculture effec- tive. Unfortunately, too, the Economists of the eighteenth century, after grasping this and a few co-ordinate economical truths, wandered off, as economists have always been apt to do, into metaphysics. The agricultural system of the French Economists is expounded and criticized by Adam Smith in the ninth chapter of his fourth book. I do not know whether, in this age ot experimental study, you are advised to read Adam Smith, or are counselled to master authors who know but little of the errors committed in past times, and have but little insight into the errors of the time or the country in which they live. But I can assure you that in my opinion, whatever that may be worth, Adam Smith is much more frequently in the right than his commentators and critics are, and that, in particular, he had the advantageof a justand unprejudiced THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 189 judgment, to say nothing of an entirely fearless candour, at a time when it was difficult to form a sound opinion and dangerous to utter it. The true economist, until Utopia is reached and settled is, I fear, always destined to the duty of aggression. We have made great progress in this country, but we are far from having realized all the causes which induce the wealth of nations, not to say that to which we belong. At one time it is necessary to do battle with a mischievous privilege, which is sheltered by tradition and self-interest, at another to combat an anarchical theory, which under the pretence, perhaps with the intention, of righting social wrongs, would effectually, if it were adopted, reach society itself. Now the Economists recognized that the agriculturists needed two kinds of forms of capital, which they called original {primitive) and annual {annueUe)^ these terms corresponding to what are familiar to you as the fixed and circulating forms of capital, but would be better divided, or at least be more suggestive, if they were called permanent and recurrent. They also saw, that occa- sionally the proprietor, when the occupier was a tenant on a rent, expended capital on permanent improvements, essential or con- tributory to agricultural success. They insisted that these two kinds of agricultural capital must be kept sacred from all exactions, and that only when they were thus secured, would it be possible, without future and serious loss, to pay rent, taxes, or dues. All this is perfectly true, as true in this year as it was more than four generations ago, when these French Economists were writing ; and you may depend on it, the violation, even though it may be unconscious, of these conditions of successful agriculture, is as disastrous now as it was then. These agriculturists thus secured in the continuity of their in- dustry, Turgot, the most systematic writer of the school, called productive, and everyone else, without exception, from the highest to the lowest, from the king on his throne to the lackey, whom you know no doubt from your knowledge of the French plays of the time, existed, like the slaves of the Roman comedy, only to be caned, kicked, and pommelled, he declared to be sterile. Into this vast and all-absorbing economic limbo every one went, the church- man, the lawyer, the doctor, the courtier, the landowner (except in so far as he made agricultural improvements only), the merchant, igo INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the trader, the artisan, the darhngs of Colbert, and the darlings of Louis Dieudonne, even the philosophers, and among them even Turgot and his allies in the economic analysis, the statesman, the professors at the Sorbonne, and the Encyclopaedists, their rivals, Voltaire, Rousseau, et id genus omne. No one escaped. They were all, with the exception of the roturiers, and the improving land- owners, swept into the barathrum of the sterile, into the gloomy and discredited army of unproductive consumers. Consumers they certainly were, for did they not exist, some of them only too well? Smith did not fail to attack these unpalatable metaphysics. It was a startling utterance, when all the people who considered themselves the best of Frenchmen, and thereupon the best people in the world, were branded with economical sterility. It was turning the tables with a witness. Now, beyond doubt, the reasoning, such as it was, had a lasting effect, for part of it was exceedingly true, and the class, which had hitherto been considered the natural victims of society, was now shown to be, on the con- trary, the saviours of society. I have no doubt that the reasonings of the Economists had more influence in that movement of 1789, than all the wit of Voltaire, all the political philosophy of Rousseau, and all the scepticism of Diderot and the Encyclo- paedists. It should be observed, too, that the Economists rightly divined that the evidence of a progressive agriculture, progressive because protected from rapine, was to be detected in the national development of rent. An improving and a considerate landowner had his reward. He was to be honoured as one of the productive classes, and he was on the road to a justly improving rent. Adam Smith states, with commendable gravity, the residue of Turgot's theory. Artificers and manufacturers, the especial objects of Colbert's case, were in Turgot's eyes wholly barren and unproductive. Their labour merely produces that which they have consumed in their calling and in their maintenance. They add nothing to the sum of annual wealth, for even the profit which they and their employers divide is simply extracted through the demands of another sterile person, of that which might be employed for a further productive end. The cultivator of the soil cannot but feel as he consumes the produce of his labour, that he THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 191 is increasing the national resources, and therefore the wealth, of his country. The merchant and artificer can only effect this desirable end by parsimony and privation, and even then they are only securing, in the distribution of those products, in the pro- duction of which the agriculturist is the only beneficent agent, a certain share to themselves. " They are employed and maintained altogether at the expense of the proprietors and the cultivators, who pay their wages and provide their profits." The outside that can be alleged on their behalf is, that by their industry and dexterity, they do that neatly and quickly which those productive agents, if left to themselves, would do clumsily and slowly. Hence the two parties have reciprocal interests. Let the cultivator leave the artisan and his employer alone, and he will get whatever he wants more cheaply. Let the unproductive class leave the pro- ductive alone, for the more prosperous and energetic his labour is, the more margin is there in his hands with which to employ artisan, maimfacturer, and merchant. It follows then, the Economists concluded, that the only adjustment of all interests, both between the members of any one community and between all communities, will be found in perfect freedom of trade, domestic and foreign. Quesnai, one of Turgot's associates in this new social philosophy, was a physician, and illustrated his theory of the social state by ingenious parallels drawn from the orderly regimen, which keeps the physical organization of men in a healthy condition. Of course the work of the artisan, the manufacturer, and the merchant contributes in no slight degree to the efficiency of the husbandman's industry. The progress which agriculture has made from the earliest record of its energies, by which it produces three times its old acreage at one-fourth the relative cost, and over three times a wider area, is due to the fact that the instruments furnished by the artisan have increased the efficiency of the agriculturist thirty or forty-fold. There has been an unseen, but a virtual partnership between the two classes, a reciprocity of services, none the less real because it has not been formulated. It is true that at the time when the Economists wrote, the economies of invention were in their infancy. But they were already visible, not perhaps as nmch in France as in England, for, 192 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. as I have said, the principal stimulants of Colbert were applied not to the industrial arts of life, but to those which ministered to mere luxury, or fashion in fobs and wigs, china and tapestry. But in the nature of things, even when wealth is largely accumulated, the number of artisans and manufacturers who minister merely to the enjoyments of the richer spending classes, at home and abroad, is small. We shall see presently what this expenditure means. In dealing with the sweeping conclusion to which the Econo- mists came, as to the unproductive character of the labour exercised by artisans, manufacturers, and merchants. Smith does not attempt to analyse the relation in which by far the largest number of the functionaries stand to the community in general, to its essential resources, and to the agriculturist in particular. He recognizes the superior productiveness of the agricultural class, though he claims for the others that they do produce, that they replace at least that which they consume, and pro tanto therefore are no loss to society, as domestic servants are, and that as far as the increase of national wealth goes, this altogether depends on parsimony, an economic virtue from which hardly any individual, whatever be his place in the distribution of wealth, should be exempt. And it is singular that in the analysis of those factors which produce national wealth, he does not go more fully into the case which was constantly before his experience, and constantly appealed to by him, as the means for illustrating his conclusions. This was Holland. It was a common-place with those who studied social questions nearly a century before the time of Adam Smith, to refer to the Dutch Republic and its economical history, as the best illustration conceivable of the benefits which successful trade confers on a community. Holland was intrinsically a poor country. It was stated, frequently and familiarly, that the grain produce of Holland would not keep all its inhabitants for a single month out of the whole twelve. It had no timber, no stone for its public and private buildings. And yet there was no country in which grain was more abundant than it was in Holland, and more at a uniform price. The wharves of Holland were crowded with a produce which was not of Dutch origin. The dockyards of England and France purchased their timber at Amsterdam, as is proved by the THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 193 correspondence of Pepys with Houblon, now preserved in the Bodleian library. From the same place came the most valuable kinds of marble. In nearly all commodities Holland . gave the price, and it did so because its towns had a free market, to which all the world resorted, for such a condition of things only can make the regular quotation of trade prices permanently useful to dealers. The Dutch, I admit, were manufacturers, in some articles the successful manufacturing rivals of England ; but their principal source of wealth, of that wealth, abundance of good products, on which alone the capacity for any other industry can be based, was to be traced to trade, and the policy of free trade. They got their live stock from the Danish peninsula, says Smith, and "their corn from almost all the different countries of Europe." Now it is a sheer paradox to say that those callings, which secured plenty to the Dutch consumer, and an ever-increasing wealth to the Dutch burghers, could be exhibitions of unproductive consumption. To make such an assertion is to indulge in the most barren form of metaphysics, to dispute or disdain the evidence of facts, because they do not square with an hypothesis. As has often occurred in the history of economic science, the extravagant conclusions at which the Economists arrived were in great part due to the mischievous practices which they combated. In jvist the same way, the excessive harshness of the doctrine of laissez faire was a reaction against the incessant and vexatious meddlesomeness of governments. It is very often thought to be necessary, or at least expedient, to prove men and their practices to be nmch more in the wrong than they really are, in order to provoke that criticism which corrects the mischief which they actually do. The Economists found the agriculturist degraded and harassed. So they did not so much exaggerate his social value, as they unduly depreciated the social value of every one else, in order that they might get him some little consideration, and ensure him some justice. By adroitly showing that it was the interest of the rent receiver to take some thought of the person who earned rent, a hint which from time to time landowners have been slow to take, they got a few of his most notorious and indefensible grievances redressed. They got the term extended during which the grant of a lease would be valid against a future proprietor, by 14 194 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. descent or purchase. They procured that the restraint of traffic in agricultural produce between province and province should be abrogated, and that freedom of export should be granted. Naturally they overrated the value of their own labours, the thoroughness of their own reforms. The elder Mirabeau, dwell- ing on the services of M. Quesnai, contrasts to its advantage the Economical Talk, as the conclusions of the Economists were called, with the capital discoveries of writing and the use of money. A few years later, however, and nearly every one was agreed that these reforms were insufficient ; and in the autumn of 1789 the Tiers Etat, by a stroke of the pen, destroyed the whole system on which the cultivator stood to the rent receiver. The best account of this situation, after the French feudal dues were extinguished, is to be found in Arthur Young's French tour, for he witnessed the violence of the reaction. Mr. Mill, in the third chapter of his first book, appears to conclude that the expression " unproductive labour " is so common as to have become classical, or in other words, to have taken so solid a hold on the minds of those who study economical topics, that it cannot, even at the risk of offence, be dispensed with. The most obvious restriction of the word " productive " is to those who are agents in producing material wealth, by which is, I suppose, meant, such tangible and visible products as satisfy some intelligible, even if it be an unintelligent demand, and are there- fore, however unwisely, perhaps mischievously, possessed of merchantable value, and therefore classed as utilities. It would be easy to discover examples, among unquestionable utilities, from the merchantable point of view, which a brief inquiry would declare mischievous, or odious, and even criminal, and though I am far from saying that the economist should be guided by moral or political considerations in either his formulas or in his infer- ences, I am nevertheless entirely sure that his inquiries cover the same ground which is occupied by the moralist and the statesman. To carry on his investigations from his own point of view is doubtlessly essential to the completeness of his theory, but what he calls wasteful is in the end what the student of ethics calls immoral, and what the politician, who is worthy of the name, desires to check by such expedients as his experience of men, of THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 195 administration, and of legislation, instructs him in, or suggests to him. After having said that by productive labour must be meant *' those kinds of enertia which produce utilities embodied in material objects," Mr. Mill is not, I think, consistent with his own definition. He instantly says that he " shall avail himself to the full extent of the restricted application, and shall not refuse the appellation ' productive ' to labour which yields no material product as its direct result, provided that an increase of material products is its ultimate consequence." He gives as illustrations, the acquisition of manufacturing skill — I presume as much in the teacher as in the agent — and the officers of government, " because without them material wealth, in anything like its present abun- dance, could not exist." He says that these are " indirectly or mediately productive, and his test of such agents is that they leave the community richer in material products than they found it, that they increase, or tend to increase, material wealth." He then proceeds to illustrate his theory, by saying that the labour of saving a man's life is not productive, unless the man saved pro- duces more than he consumes ; that the work of the missionary is not productive, though he credits such persons with the best intentions ; that the more " a nation expends in keeping agricul- turists and manufacturers at work, the more it will have for every other purpose, and the more clergymen, &c., it keeps, the less it will have." He admits that unproductive labour may be as useful as productive, it may be more useful, even in point of permanent advantage, or again it may be absolute waste ; and he concludes " that the services of the labourers," such as he enumerates, " if useful, were obtained at a sacrifice to the world of a portion of material wealth ; if useless, all that these labourers consumed was waste." The door which Mr. Mill opens, when he concedes that labour may be called productive when *' an increase of material products is its ultimate consequence," is exceedingly wide. It is difficult to see what, under certain circumstances, can be excluded from this class of operations. We may assume that the ideal state of the specially productive labourer, be he labourer with skilled hands, or employer with skilled head, is one in which every muscular and 196 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. every nervous energy is kept in the most efficient and vigorous condition. If that agriculturist, as Swift said, with excusable exaggeration, is worth more than all the statesmen in existence, who makes two blades of grass grow where one grew before, surely a man or an agency which makes the workman able to do in an hour what might have taken him two, without this assistance, is as productive a person as the typical agriculturist of Swift's patriotic and gigantic king. But what, and how many, are the agents which effect this result ? The teacher of method to child- hood and youth do so; the person who inculcates good manners, orderliness, and obedience, do so; and here is room for the clergy- man and missionary, whatever phrase he gives to his work; the physician who saves strength and health does so. The science which shortens processes, and the economist who teaches the true relation of capital and labour do so. But this is by no means all. Breaks in the continuity of labour are necessary, innocent recrea- tion is necessary, adequate exercise is necessary, even a periodical cessation of all labour is necessary, in order that labour shall be as efficient as possible. The most hopeful student in the Univer- sities is not the youth who mopes, and is, I believe, described here and elsewhere by suggestive names, but the young man who is active and athletic, who judiciously divides his time between recreation and study. But what is true of intellectual labour is true of physical labour, if indeed you can, except in thought, separate the act of mind from any productive or efficient labour whatever. Take away rest, recreation, innocent pleasure, and you will assuredly sacrifice efficiency. Of course all these relaxa- tions may become pursuits. If they are pursued for their own sake only, they may be nearly as harmful to the efficiency as their total absence is. Or they may be pursued professionally, for judicious recreation must be taught, just as taste must be educated. I cannot deny to the musician, to the artist, to the actor, and even to the singer, his place in Mr. Mill's definition, if the consequence of such agencies is to make the producer of material wealth more efficient. I am disposed to admit that the skill of the cricketer, the football player, the oarsman, may bestow as substantial a contribution even to merely mechanical processes, in their degree and manner, as those othei educational and pre- THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 197 servative agencies do. For the efficiency and the due continuity of industrial energies is, and always has been, a very complicated business, to the completion of which, relative as that completion still is, many agencies have contributed, towards which many new agencies have to be found out, and frequently are found out by people who are merely drawing inferences from observation. The restraint of children's labour, the introduction of the half- time system, the discovery of the fact that short hours of work are constantly cheaper in the end than long hours, may be, and as I think, have been, as economically useful as the inventions of steam power and spinning machinery. What we are in search of, indeed, is not unproductive consumption, which is, I hope I have made clear, a mere metaphysical phrase, but waste, which is the great economical evil, which the economist detects, if he has the skill to do so, and criticizes, if he has the adequate courage for his utterances. This waste arises from many causes, some inevitable, some excusable, some corrigible, some entirely and wholly indefensible, some justly punishable by the action of government. Let us look at a few of these separately. There is a kind of waste which belongs in some form or another to all organic energy, and to every substitute for organic energy. This, in the latter, is friction; in the former, the gradual weakening of vital powers; and, I should add, the variable period of nonage, which precedes the fullest manifestation of vital power. In every human being, in every animal which has been pressed into the service of man, a certain time must elapse before the agent can be useful. Human skill has been engaged in shortening this time, and great progress has been made in selecting and maturing animals which serve for human food, and in selecting and strengthening those who are employed in substitution for human labour. But in human labour, where the development of mental is more important than that of mere physical strength, though the latter cannot be lost sight of, the process of securing the maximum of utility, is found on economical grounds to be bettered by retarding rather than hastening it. Two or three generations ago, human beings were put to work in extreme youth, to the manifest injury of economical utility; what seemed to be industrial activity was found to be economical waste, and better 198 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. counsels prevail in our time. So again sanitary science has greatly contributed to economy in human energy. We cannot escape the cost of nonage, we cannot obviate the certainty of ultimate decay; but we may greatly prolong the period of full activity, and by implication of economical utility. Two centuries ago the deaths in London, chiefly by infectious diseases, were greatly in excess of the births, sometimes, during periods of special unhealthiness, were double the number. At present the average death-rate by the thousand is not half what it was at the time of the second Revolution. During this time the waste was chiefly of child life, where the loss is total. But it was very considerable in adult life, where it is real but partial. Even at the present time the skill of man is unable to obviate the whole of this waste. But it has been reduced within more manageable limits. There is a waste of this kind on which I must comment. It is the maintenance of those who cannot possibly become industrial agents at all, or cannot recover the industrial capacity which they have lost. Such are congenital idiots, incurable lunatics, and the entirely disabled destitute. But here, when the economist shows that their existence is sheer waste, the moralist and the statesman rightly assert that they shall be, and ought to be, a charge on society, because humanity is better than economy, and public or private charity should not be entirely sacrificed to public or private thrift. In those mechanical appliances which are substitutes for human labour, friction is waste. Now the victory of mechanical science over friction cannot by the nature of things ever be com- plete. The most carefully adjusted, and the most cautiously protected machinery will wear, though the wear may be so infini- tesimal that the eflSciency of the mechanism may be very pro- longed. Certain buildings, especially those which are buried in the earth, are very enduring. The Roman forum, and the low- lying ground, known still as the Velabrum of Rome, are still drained by the cloaca, which was constructed in prehistoric times, and probably will be drained by the same agency in the most distant future. But other works of human skill have a far briefer industrial existence. Machinery wears out by natural causes. It is superseded by improvements, and the wear as well THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 199 as the supervision are economical waste. Perhaps the fact that the duration of the best among these substitutes has but a Hmited existence is a powerful stimulant to invention and improvement. The value of machinery, buildings, &c., in the assets of a trader or manufacturer, is, or should always be, annually lessened by a sinking fund, and the life of the instrument should be recognized to be brief. There is inevitable waste in a metallic currency. At times, as in 1562 and 1698, this waste has brought about a finan- cial crisis. Now it is the business of the private producer, and the business of an intelligent government, to anticipate and inter- pret as far as possible inevitable waste, and as far as each can, to reduce or narrow the amount. Invention and improvement have done this to a remarkable degree in private enterprise. I am afraid that I cannot bestow the same commendation on all the acts of any administration, whatever its complexion has been. There is another direction in which physical, and especially chemical, research has obviated waste. You have, no doubt, often heard of these processes, of how the cost of materials in familiar use has been amazingly reduced, of how bye-products in particular industries, as, for example, in the manufacture of coal gas, and in the purification of rock salt, have been turned from being mere waste into valuable economical products. Similar inventions have attended the art of agriculture, the art of navigation, and a thousand other sciences. As I told you at the beginning of these lectures, we know that there is a limit beyond which human invention and adaptation cannot go; but there is no knowledge of what that limit is, and what arc the victories still reserved for .scientific research. Is the rent of land, that is, toll taken for the user of the soil, and the license charge for exercising agricultural skill, apart from the outlay of the owner, waste ? My hypothesis, you will see, assumes that the legal owner contributes nothing to the mechanism of industry, that he simply extracts from the demand of the occupier as much of increased value from outlay, as is in excess of replaced capital, personal maintenance, and reasonable profits. The problem must be faced, for it is of no avail to meet sceptics by simply asserting the right of property in a natural but limited aarent or instrument. Now I think the economist must admit 200 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. that rent, as I have described it, is waste. But it is a factor to which, given perfect freedom of supply, and just rights to the occupier, no person can have any higher title than the legal owner. He has bought it, and has a natural claim to whatever innocent use he can make of his property. The cultivator has no right to it. The State has no right to it, whatever it may have had in time past, for if one begins to challenge the justice of past engage- ments knowingly entered into and sanctioned, all society would be in confusion, credit would fail, property would be soon made msecure, and every motive to labour, and to save, beyond the vague, and, I am sure, weak stimulus of social duty, would be extinguished. I may entertain a very sincere respect for the intentions of those who wish to employ the force of government in order to entirely reconstruct society, and to annul all the motives which, at any rate, have hitherto made notable progress, in bettering the general condition of social man. But I may be pardoned for resisting, to the best of my judgment, a practical trial of so astounding an experiment. Respect for a speculative theory is very different from respect for a practical proposition. I am so ignorant of physics, that I hear with equanimity the news that you and I are descended from a brainless and long- tailed aquatic animal. But I have no inclination to plunge into the mid depths of ocean, in the search after my long-lost kinsfolk. The pedigree may be ancient. It is not flattering ; though what is this to truth, especially to physical truth, which is to be our future guide, in opinion ; never, I sincerely hope, in practice. Some waste is excusable. Of this kind, the waste of experi- ment is most excusable, the most beneficent, the most instructive. There is no department of human knowledge in which it does not occur. There is no department of human action in which it is not inevitable. You must risk waste, in order to secure any- thing ; from Christianity down to joint-stock enterprise and limited liability. Your chance is very wide, from crucifixion, through plank beds, down to a composition with creditors, to say nothing of despairing and therefore merciful creditors. Humanum est errare^ and all our race, except women, who never err, are merciful to the erroneous. All progress is due to experiment, and will be. The waste, the unpioductive consumption, is a THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 201 blunder to the metaphysician, is a hope to the economist. Let us never despise experiment. It may answer, if we deal with ants and bees, and the origins of the human race. It is dangerous, if you challenge vested interests. But youth, and especially Oxford youth, is very considerate of those interests. It has a proper respect for age, even for disreputable age. It is impossible for me not to appreciate the sympathy of what, I trust, is reputable in any case. I do not, however, see why we should be considerate of institutions. In my mind, it is the best education to criticize them. There is, however, one kind of waste, generally conceived to be excusable, but of which the recent history is most inexcusable, and the most dishonest. I am referring to the premature de- velopment of industrial undertakings. In the United Kingdom such things have happened, but we can bear them. In our colonies they bid fair to ruin the fairest hopes. I think tliat I can easily illustrate what I mean. Let us conceive a German Jew (I have no objection to origin or race, and think that what is objectionable in either, if it exists, is kept alive by an intolerance), who, having kept a grogshop at Ballarat in the gold-digging times, and having dealt profitably with the miners, and deleteriously with their health, transfers his gains to a neighbouring colony. He is the smartest of the smart, and makes it his business to ingratiate himself with the people, few and busy, who are seeking to acquire a rapid fortune in their new home. Now there is one direction in which such people can be readily influenced. This is to dwell with emphasis and enthusiasm on the illimitable but undeveloped resources of the new country, and to suggest the immediate and extensive development of new harbours, docks, and railroads, the capital being borrowed in the United Kingdom, and the income assured from the earnings of these public works, and further covered by protective customs duties. The colonists are invited to discount their future expectations, and to load themselves with debt, while the country of their origin is met, after advancing the loan, with the grateful tribute of a hostile tariff. As a reward for his services in making the colony stagger under a debt, which might have been incurred fifty years hence with advantage, but under present 202 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. circumstances will cripple the country for more than fifty years to come, and for having carried as its inevitable consequence a Pro- tective tariff injurious to colonial progress and unfriendly to the country which has guaranteed, often at great expense, the infancy of the colony, this worthless and ignorant adventurer is rewarded with the dignity of a knighthood in the Order of St. Michael and St. George. I know no greater evil that has be- fallen the British colonies than the habit they have of listening to those who dwell on the boundless and undeveloped resources of the colony. Undeveloped resources are not resources at all. They are like the strength or the intellect of a child, and to anticipate them, by treating them as actual when they are only hypothetically potential, is as profound an act of folly, as it is for a private individual to launch into limitless expenditure in the hope that at some future time he may come into a fortune. Most of our colonies have succumbed to these temptations, and some of them are already half ruined. Pessimum gemis inimi- corum laiidentcSy says Tacitus. Mr. Mill has touched on this form of waste. Rest and recreation are not waste. Neither is the moderate indulgence in refined pleasures. We cannot always trace the extent to which industrial energies are invigorated by these relaxations, but we may generally conclude that as long as they are invigorated, the expenditure is economically defensible. On the other hand, indulgences which do not and cannot have this effect are waste. So is also the employment of unnecessary intermediaries. In the early days of economic science, when laissez faire was so supreme, that it had almost adopted the maxim that whatever is is best, the defence of these multiplied intermediaries who get but do not make wealth, was taken for granted. In the latter days of unchecked competition, which you will remember always goes on between nations, however much it may be denounced in the domestic life of a people, the useful- ness of these people is increasingly challenged. It is being seen that many of them are mere waste, and we are told on many sides that the true producer and his ultimate customer are seriously mulcted by the number of hands, each claiming a commission though which the produce passes before it reaches its destination. THE ECONOMIC DOCTRINE OF WASTE. 203 Attempts are being made, with what success I do not yet know, to bring producer and consumer into more immediate relations, and thereupon to ehminate the middle man ; and we are assured that the recovery of manufacturing and even of agricultural profits, would be possible if the machinery of production and consumption were simplified. In the meantime, all needless inter- mediaries are waste. All processes which are foisted on business relations, such as complicated documents on the transfer of property, are waste. Every device which in the course of inter- national competition straitens national energies is waste. Now such waste is corrigible, and while it is the interest of private persons to get rid of superfluous intermediaries, it is the duty of government to remove needless burdens from the processes of business. I need not detain you with punishable waste. It will be perfectly obvious. Crime and vice are in the highest degree waste. Some of these mischiefs are to be checked by the severity of law. Some are best coerced by the exercise of local authority. Some may perhaps be discouraged by public sentiment, and an improved social tone. Only one other topic remains which I may briefly refer to. To what extent is the expenditure of the rich the employment of the poor ? The banquets of the Mansion House and the Halls of the Companies have repeatedly been defended on the plea that these dinners give employment. Of course they do. But to whom ? Measured by price, it takes as much labour to grow a hothouse pine as it does to produce two quarters of wheat, a sheep and a half, or some equally large products of what is con- fessedly useful. Now the maintenance of those who provide luxuries must be obtained from that source of occupation which economists call the common fund of industrial capital. The more there are of such producers and consumers as purvey for these City banquets the less there will be for others who are engaged in the homelier but more important avocations. Now I do not doubt that in the analysis of industry you have already discovered that voluntary consumption is a powerful stimulus to invention and improvement, and that extreme simplicity of life to a some- what unprogressive condition of things. Even religious orders, bound by vows of poverty, have devoted themselves to the manu- 204 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. facture of costly and excellent liqueurs, and the monks of La Trappe, the Chartreuse, and the Benedictines have allowed them- selves to be in touch with the City gourmand. But the expendi- ture of the rich is not in itself the employment of the poor. It is the stint of their employment. It will be plain that if the capital which is devoted to the supply of luxuries were diverted into the employment of those who supply necessaries and common comforts, that the demand for labour would increase and the wages of labour would be enhanced. But the luxury of the rich may be perhaps defended without being excused or economically justified. It is the outcome in the main of industrial eflSciency. When the efficiency of labour is low, there is little opportunity for such expenditure as I have referred to, because there is but little margin for the production of anything beyond necessary use. The possibility of that luxury is due to the fact that economical waste has been greatly obviated in other directions, and Mr. Mill is in the right when he says that the existence of such expenditure is a proof that the community has much to spare from its necessities, while he regrets that the surplus is distributed with " prodigious inequality," that " the objects to which great part of it is devoted are of little worth, and that the large share of it falls to the lot of persons who render no equivalent service in return." This is rather adverse criticism on those who bid us recognize the intrinsic benevolence of their expenditure, and I am afraid that the criticism cannot be conveniently rebutted. IL THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. Extreme opinions on the question of rent — Limited ownership of the soil in England — History of the rise of rent in arable and pasture lands ^ and in building sites — The Ricardian doctrine of rent — Mill and the unearned increment — Henry George's ''^Progress and Poverty''^ — A defence of rent. You are no doubt aware that in recent years the right of private ownership in land has been very vigorously, and very generally, attacked, sometimes with every consideration for existing interests, though under the apologetic plea that it would do more harm to society to disregard those interests than it would be advantageous to extinguish them, on the ground that they were in their beginnings mere usurpations. In the case of an able and very sympathetic writer, whose treatment of the subject has, I suspect, won him more followers, or admirers, than the solidity of his reasoning justifies, the immediate and total confiscation of all rent is asserted to be not only just, but necessary, in all the interests of society. Now in treating this topic I avoid a cognate, but different subject, the regulation of rent, and the other question, the distribution of land — a topic which opens up a large number of interesting relations. In brief, I purpose to deal with land in its varied aspects, and with 2o6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the theory of vested interests. You will anticipate that these several subjects are very closely related, though it is necessary, for reasons of time, to handle them separately. Not only have the right of ownership in land, and the reputed interests which are connected with it, been energetically assailed by Mr. Mill and by Mr. George, but there are very active associa- tions which, covertly as I think, aim at least at a part of the object which Mr. George has advocated with so much warmth. I have found advocates of the last writer's theories in very unex- pected places. Very respectable politicians are insisting on the exceptional taxation of ground rents, and on the compulsory enfranchisement of leaseholds. Now to exceptionally tax one kind of property on the plea, correct or incorrect, that it is the creation of other agencies than those which are exhibited by the person who obtains the advantage, does not differ, except in degree, from the total and sweeping confiscation of Mr. George. The milder proposal of enfranchising leaseholds is not indeed so sweeping, and, as I think, not so disputable in principle, but it is intended to extinguish those advantages which the lessor is supposed to be likely to acquire at the extinction of the lease, and to secure to the lessee or the occupier, as the case may be, the improvements which he has himself eflFected. In brief, there is a very Avide- spread conviction that the position of the landowner in the United Kingdom is a violation of natural justice, and this quite apart from the consideration of real or reputed wrongdoing on the part of this class in certain districts of the United Kingdom. The right of ownership in land is, in the minds of many, perhaps by an increasing number, by no means so sacred and indisputable as it was conceived to be thirty or forty years ago. I shall try to point out in the course of this lecture what have been the grounds on which these opinions have been developed ; what is the econo- mical authority for the theory from which they have been unques- tionably derived ; what is the economical value of that theory, and how far, in case it can be shown to be untenable, is the attack on the ownership of private property in land possessed of, or destitute of, any economical force. Now it cannot be doubted, if the language of those who wrote in early ages on the common law of England has any force what- THE THEOR V OF ECONOMIC RENT. 207 ever, that in theory the largest rights of the private owner of land were very limited and qualified. The doctrine that no sub- ject has the " absolutum et directum dominium " of land, that the Crown was the paramount owner, with the consequences of escheat and forfeiture, positions affirmed when the power of alienation was scanty and indirect, are not the mere verbiage of lawyers, borrowed from the formularies of mediaeval logic. Nor are they principles intended to serve the police of government, by being a deterrent to oflFenders against the King's peace and dignity. They must, I think, be taken to mean that when the principles of the common law were affirmed, the ownership of land was qualified and limited, that the King's Council, and later on the King's Parliament, could alter and perhaps extinguish it, and that however unpopular and dangerous it might be to strain the rights of the Crown in Council or in Parliament, the existence of those rights could not be gainsaid. Perhaps one of the most striking illustrations of acts of Parliament enshrining this principle is to be seen in the disso- lution of the monasteries, where the rights of founders to the reversion of their grants, implied, if not expressed, in the charters of foundation, and held to be real less than a century before, were entirely ignored in the concession to Henry VIII. I have in an earlier lecture pointed out how entirely dissatisfied the public was when the official estate of the Crown was diminished by large or unwise alienations, and how important a part was played in the politics of countries by the doctrine of resumptions, even up to the middle of the eighteenth century, and the passage of the Nullum Tempus Act in 1768. But the doctrine that private ownership could, and should, be superseded, with or with- out compensation in real or reputed public interests, could be illustrated by a thousand examples in our social history. The largest instance in comparatively modern times of such parlia- mentary action is that contained in the first clause of the Statute of Frauds, under which occupiers who had no documentary evidence on which to support their interests, even though those interests were freehold, were declared to be tenants at will. I know that my position has been disputed by men who will look at the seventeenth century and its action with the eyes of the nineteenth, but I have discovered alnindant proof in the 2o8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. rentals of colleges that my interpretation of this famous act is correct. The doctrine that the ownership of the land is limited, and that by the common law, at least, a man may not in the case of land, as the Duke of Newcastle thought, " do what he wills with his own," is no mere antiquarian utterance. It has been appealed to by those who have attacked the ownership of land, as it is com- monly understood, not indeed as a principal, but as a powerful subsidiary argument. What that principal argument is I proceed to state. The owner of land has not only, it has been imagined, exacted in the first place a price for occupancy, under the name of rent, but has made the claim without according any consideration to the tenant. From this point of view Adam Smith believed that rent was originally a tax, imposed by the stronger on the weaker. Now it is certain that even the rudest agriculture produces more than is necessary for the occupier's subsistence, the replacement of his outlay, and even provision against risk, and that therefore this surplus can be exacted by the over-lord. Nor is it quite correct to say that the payment was made without any equivalent. The history of English agriculture refutes such an inference, and it is with English agriculture, and its economic situation, that I am concerned. The English landowner of the thirteenth and four- teenth centuries did two things for the savage tenant. He guaran- teed the King's peace, that is the continuity of the farmer's industry free from the risks of brigandage, and he taught him by his own example and practice the best system of agriculture Avhich the age could develop. In the age when rent seems most like a tax, because it was to all intents a fixed and maximum charge, i.e.^ from the middle of the thirteenth to the middle of the sixteenth century, the English landowner, whatever his faults, was concerned in keeping the peace, and securing the farmer in the continuity of his calling. From the middle of the sixteenth till the middle of the seventeenth rackrenting of a very harsh kind occurred, and with very disastrous effects. Another system prevailed during the greater part of the eighteenth century. At the end of it the rack- renting was revived, and occasionally with great severity, till the close of the Continental War. For a time the farmer had little to THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 209 complain of, except well-meant but blundering efforts to secure him in his new position till after the repeal of the Corn Laws. Then the rackrenting recommenced, and continued till more than ten years ago ; then the whole system collapsed in a common ruin, and to the amazement of those who had been ignorantly concerned in it. Now the history of rent is not a little striking. Good arable land was let in the fourteenth century at 6d. an acre. I have never found a higher price. In the seventeenth it rose generally to 4s. 6d. an acre, not without grievous complaint. During the eighteenth it rose to 7s. in the first quarter, to los. in the last. In the nineteenth, up to the middle of the century, it rose to about 35s., and during the twenty years, 1853-1872, on an average 26^ per cent. more. Since 1879 the reaction has been rapid, and I think that I can point out its cause. My authority, for the last time, is Mr. James Howard, of Bedford, who has made the land question in Great Britain his peculiar study, and can be entirely relied on. The rise in the rent of pasture land is far less consider- able. The low-lying meadows on the Cherwell, partly enclosed in the Parks, partly continued as you go down the principal stream of the Cherwell on the right, let in 1309 at 9s. 6d. an acre. I doubt whether they fetched more than £\ to j[^\ los. when the University bought the land. The rent of arable land, therefore, till the time of the present troubles, rose eighty-eight times, that of pasture nine times. 1 must ask you to attend to these figures, for much depends on them. But the rise in the rent of arable land is as nothing to the rise in the rent of building land, and building sites in growing and thriving towns. \x\ the early period to which I have referred, such land was worth little more than arable. London was by far the most densely peopled and busy place in the kingdom, but it was full of gardens and waste places. But unless I were to put before you numerous instances, you could not realize the growth of the rents derived from town sites. Some few years ago I was informed by a zealous inquirer into departmental abuses, that a site had been let in Cockspur Street by the Woods and Forests, i.e.^ Crown land, by private arrangement. My informant scented a job, and wanted me to ask a question. But prudent men do not 15 2IO INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. ask a question if they can get at the facts. So I went to the Woods and Forests office in Whitehall and inquired. I found that a forty years' lease at £/^o a year had just expired, one granted say in 1845, and that the land was now re-let at ;^8oo a year ground rent. I did not ask. the question, for whatever else the Commissioners had done, they had certainly not neglected the interests of the office. But the rise of twenty times in forty years is as nothing to the rise from the time when Cockspur Street was a field with cow-sheds on it, and fine ladies went into the Mall and drank curds and whey. In the seventeenth century the site was probably worth about two-thirds of a farthing, or the i •1440th of a pound sterling. You may make your calculation as to its growth in value since. Now I daresay that no one who has undertaken to criticize adversely modern rents, has provided himself with such facts as I have given. Arable land has risen in rent eighty-eight times, pasture nine, and building sites incalculably, for I think it probable that the Cockspur Street site is not more than a tenth the ground rent of a similar site near the Royal Exchange. A good many years ago, I have been told, a working goldsmith, whose home was not the pleasantest, left the freehold site of his shop in Lom- bard Street to the Goldsmiths Company, in memory of the cheer- ful evenings which he spent at the livery, and with the intention of bettering their potations. The modern rent — Glyn's Bank occupies the site — would give, I was told, all the worshipful people among the goldsmiths a bath of Tokay. In a vague way these things are known. My informant was a very considerable econo- mist, a bank manager, and a goldsmith. Of course he thought it a creditable bequest, and an exceedingly natural result. He was, I think I shall show, right in the latter inference. But how does all this show to the general public ? I will try to state the case as it appears to them, and the inferences that they naturally draw from the facts. And I venture on anticipating that no case could be quoted which more thoroughly illustrates what I have always striven to put before you, the wisdom of com- pletely examining all the bearings of an economical theory, than this rent question does. For to anticipate what I shall hope to prove presently, the most dangerous, the most mischievous THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 211 theories of social reconstruction have been based on the miscon- ception of rent, and to these theories the most honoured teachers of pohtical economy have rashly, and I believe unconsciously, lent themselves. But political economy is the last science in which you can allow dogmatism or authority, and I may add metaphysics, or sentiment. Now to a large, and, I believe, an increasing number of persons the recipient of rent appears as a person whose income is increas- ing spontaneously, without labour or merits of his own. " He toils not," in the words of an eminent statesmen, " neither does he spin." The labours of others are engaged in continually pouring wealth into his pockets. Unfortunately for his reputa- tion, he is continually engaged in shirking his obvious duties, putting on others, by his influence in the legislature, the cost and the business of improving his estate, and of making, perforce, every occupier an altruist, as the modern plilosophers say. " Here is a natural estate," such people allege, " which neither God nor nature nor man can have seriously intended to give over to these people. In the whole range of economic facts and principles, the fundamental condition of which is labour of head or educated hand, this fortunate person attains an ever-increasing share with- out outlay on his own part. He is the sole inheritor of other men's toils. To him they pay tribute ; to him they are enslaved ; by his permission they exercise the industries under which they live and he thrives. His share in the distribution of wealth is not only inordinate, but it is indispensable. We will not inquire too curiously or too insidiously into the question of how his ancestors obtained it. But we have a right to criticize the process by which its occupant has grown to such gigantic dimensions. We are justified in emancipating ourselves from the onerous conditions of occupancy, of resuming what a past generation never intended to give, and had no right to give even if they had intended it." "Let us consider," they go on to say, "to what this strained and unnatural assertion of ownership of land is tending. If it is to be unchecked, allowed, conceded, the whole of society will rapidly become tenant at will to a few persons, who will exercise their usurpation remorselessly. We are in the condition, rapidly becoming worse, of a city in an eternal state of siege, in which the 212 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. struggle for the means of existence is yearly becoming sharper, the competition more fierce, in Avhich we allow the unfittest, the do- nothings, to survive at the expense of those who are engaged in the great work of national defence. These people have got hold of a necessary of life, the land, as Bishop Hatto, in the German story, got hold of the granaries. These people exact a famine price for their usurped possessions, and by the operation of well- known economical laws, exact the severest terms from the poor, from those who are least able to withstand them. In vain does a statesman attempt fiscal reforms. The benefit is intercepted and goes into the coffers of all-devouring rent. A tax is remitted ; but the landlord claps it on the rent before the relief is sensible. His power of exaction is unlimited. Now it is clear that in a besieged town no person would concede that the owners of the necessaries of life should be allowed to extort anything from the necessities of a straitened population, least of all the non- combatants or non-workers from the workers or combatants, for the very existence of society being in danger, the rights of private property are at least to be suspended by those upon whose good-will and forbearance alone private property only has relied. Besides, do not all economists, wise and unwise, hard and considerate, agree that the laws regulating the distribution of wealth are of human institution only, created by society, main- tained by society, and, by implication, within the discretion of society, to modify, alter, and even to subvert ? " I do not think that I am in the least degree exaggerating the language used by those who express their discontent at modern rents, or parodying the arguments by which they support their criticism on it. The number of such persons, and the urgency of their dissatisfaction, is increasing, and I cannot allow that the force of their attack is very satisfactorily met by the ordinary arguments alleged in favour of the existing system. I do not think that much can be made out of the implied guarantees of government, a favourite defence for a number of indefensible interests, nor is there much more truth in the allegation that landowners have been the improvers of their estates. In the great majority of cases, and in the most conspicuous examples of exalted rents, the very reverse is the fact, for the initial and induced value has been entirely the THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 213 work of the occupier. Besides, landowners and their ordinary advocates speak of improvements as though they were indes- tructible, or perennial at least. Nothing can be more inaccurate, for nothing is more fleeting, unless under the condition of constant repair and replacement, than an agricultural improve- ment. At the very moment that it is finished it begins to deteriorate, and constant vigilance is needed in order to pre- vent the deterioration from becoming rapid. One of the worst and most stubborn facts in the present doctrine of agricultural land, is the certainty that large outlay will be needed in order to restore it to a cultivable condition. When men are idle, nature, against which the agriculturist is always battling, whose co- operation he can only secure by constant checks, is increasing the difficulty which renewed industry will have to meet. It is better, I am persuaded, to rest the case of the rent received on its own merits, not on his merits, for an exploded defence is worse than no defence at all. The case against the rent receiver is heightened by the popular Ricardian doctrine. I have been sometimes puzzled as to whether this very considerable writer and thinker intended by the promul- gation of his theory to frighten men into curtailing rent, by point- ing out that, like the Cyclops, it would devour even Ulysses at last, or whether he intended to give a sound and philosophical exposition of its origin. If the former was his motive it certainly succeeded, for the compulsory appropriation of the unearned in- crement, which was Mr. Mill's project, and the wholesale confis- cation of rent, which is the proposal of Mr. George, are avowedly based on the Ricardian doctrine, and, I must confess, if it were true, that it is very difficult, on principle, to refute either one or the other of these extreme suggestions. But let us take the other side of the question, and see whether it is true. We may conveniently dismiss that part of the Ricardian theory which discovers the different fertility of soils, and that which as- sumes the enforced application of capital to inferior soils, under the pressure of population. The former was known in the days of Sesostris and Nebuchadnezzar, both of whom understood the difference between the irrigated valleys of the Nile and the Euphrates on the one hand, and the waterless sands on the 214 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. border of the fertile district. The latter is historically false, and for a reason which I hope to make easily clear. Fertility is not only a relative term, but in many cases a progressive discovery. In agriculture, as in other arts, the waste of one generation, of one condition of experience, is the wealth of another condition, another generation. The history of the industrial arts is full of instances of the utilization of waste products, sometimes so considerable that the principal end of an earlier process becomes subsidiary, and even unimportant, in another state. No better illustration can be given than what can be gathered from the manufacture of gas and coal tar on the one hand, and soda ash on the other. Again, no one begins a new undertaking with the prospect, nay, as Ricardo says, with the certainty, of scantier remuneration. He always does it in the hope, perhaps the assured prospect, of a higher remuneration. This is the rule of practice in manufacture; it has been the rule in agriculture. The so-called inferior soil in relation to its produce has been found less costly to work, or has had some other attractions than other land which has been longer in cultivation, and has thus, in an economical sense, become, ex- perimentally at least, more fertile. Now that this has been the history of occupancy, I can say with confidence, perhaps with authority, for I have studied the annals of agriculture with no little care, and have come to the conclusion not only that facts are more valuable than theories, but that all true economical theories are, have been, and must be, inductions from facts. It was from facts that Ricardo derived his most valuable inductions as to the financial consequences of an inconvertible paper, and it was on baseless and extravagant theories that two silly people, Vansittart and Lord Stanhope, attempted to assail him, and, if parliamentary majorities are to be considered of any worth, assailed him successfully. The cardinal error in Ricardo's theory is that rent is derived from the price of agricultural products. One quotation from his theory is conclusive as to this being his view. He alleges that the only check to progressively increasing rents is improvements in the process of agriculture ; and in this he is followed by Mill. Now, as a matter of fact, the only cause of improved rent is im- provement in agricultural processes. All the increase in agricul- THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 215 tural rent from 3s. 6d. an acre, at which the Belvoir estates stood in 1689, to 36s. 8d., at which they stood in 1853, is due to improvements in agriculture, or, to put the matter into economical phrase, to more profit at less cost. Rent is the outcome of profits, not prices. In the days of 3s. 6d. an acre wheat was, on an average, dearer than it now is. In the days when £^0 a year was given for the Cockspur Street site, business profits could bear no higher rent. Now they have increased so much that the new lessee sees it to his advantage to give ^800 a year. And just the same cause is operative in the rents paid for places of business in Central London. I do not, indeed, allege that all rents have so harmless an origin. I must, as I have said, ^stpone this part of my subject to another lecture, when I deal with the regulation of rent. At present I am only concerned with its scientific origin. And though I cannot just yet point out to you how great is the difference and how grave are the con- sequences which are involved in the acceptance of either theory, I may at least claim that the distinction I make is neither merely anti- quarian nor merely philosophical. It is of the highest significance in the practice of life. If rent is the outcome of price only, the rent receiver may be looked on, naturally, as a public enemy ; if it be the outcome of profit only, it is the interest of the rent receiver to be as anxious about the occupier's profit as he is about his (d\s\\ rent, for with that profit, as he has latterly learned, his rent will rise, and without that profit his rent will tend to zero. I know that he has not learned more than the fact, for he still prates about the unearned increment, and sometimes dreams that he can reclaim protection, and, more foolish still, that his rents would rise if he could get protection. Fully convinced that the Ricardian hypothesis as to the origin of rent was correct, Mr. Mill strove to secure it for the public, or at least all its future increment. Now he was far too just a man, and far too scrupulous about the rights of property, to counsel the confiscation of that which he believed was the product of scarcity. He certainly held that population had pressed on the means of subsistence, and that in this matter at least the gain ol the few was derived from the stint of the many. He also believed, as was natural from his principles, that the growth of rent was inevitable and progressive, and, as is usual with economists who 2i6 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. do not study facts, he concluded that the present conditions of human industry and supply were permanent, that it was idle to anticipate that the cost of freight would be materially reduced, and that foreign and distant places would ever come into compe- tition with the home producer. For, as I have often stated, one of the most inveterate vices in merely speculative political economy, is that of believing that the present is the limit of the future, and that in dealing with human industry you may predict existing restraints as enduring hindrances. But they who study the facts contained in the history of human industry are much less con- fident about what he has named the elastic band. There was more reason on Mr. Mill's side, in his sinister antici- pations as to future supply, than in many other, but similar, predictions. For assuredly there are no commodities which have more of that natural protection which is implied in cost of freight and the use of intermediaries than agricultural produce of all kinds has. Mr. Atkinson gives the cost of freight from the Western States of the Union to Liverpool at lis. a quarter, even under present conditions of exceedingly, some say ruinously, low freights. Mr. David Wells, one of the acutest of American economists, and for that reason ostracised by his protectionist fellow-countrymen, puts it at 9s. from Chicago. Now fairly good wheat-growing land in England, under proper cultivation, ought to produce four quarters, or thirty-two bushels, an acre. Every acre, then, of such land has in natural protection from 44s. to 36s. an acre, an in- direct assistance to farmer and landowner which no other producer enjoys to anything like the same amount. There must be some deeper reason than mere prices to account for the declaration constantly made by British farmers that they cannot cultivate land to advantage, when the American producer is so heavily handicapped in the competition of supply. Perhaps in the course of our analysis we shall be able to come on the cause. You will see at a glance that the remedy is not artificial protection. Those of us who are old enough, now not many, to remember the days of the old Corn Laws, can well recall how incessant, during the ex- istence of the system, was the cry of agricultural distress. It is not found in the end, depend on it, that exceptional profits come from robbing one's neighbours, or indeed that economical intolerance is economical wisdom. 1 THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 217 Mr. Mill proposed to buy out the landowners, and so secure the unearned increment to the nation. I did not at that time indeed anticipate that the unearned increment might turn out to be an unexpected decrement, but 1 had a strong opinion that it was an hypothesis which might very well be baseless. Of course, if I pretended to be wise after the event, I could show how grave an error would have been committed if, fifteen or twenty years ago, the state had been induced to give consols value for the existing interests of the landowners, and how certain it is that the intoler- able, the ruinous bargain would have been repudiated, especially if Parliament, as is its wont, had added 10 per cent, to the price as compensation for disturbance. But though I did not foresee what has happened, I should have anticipated its possibility had I known then as much about the history of agricultural rents as I know now. My objection to the scheme was that, even if it could be proved to be economically advantageous, it would be politically unwise. Had it been carried out, and had the rent of land continued to rise so highly that the liabilities created by the legislation would have been met, with the probable compensation, and the official costs of managing the great national estate been annually cleared, I should still think, or have thought, that the experiment was a huge mistake. A landowner, even the most greedy and covetous of landowners, is, after all, a human being, who would rather be on good than on ill terms with his neighbours, is open in a hundred ways to pressure, and does not dare to outrage public opinion. But in the nature of things, an office has no such feelings. Clerks and surveyors would have far less scruple in selling a man up than the most resolute of landlords. I offer no opinion about the resistance made in Wales to the incidence of the tithe averages. Of course there is a radical difference between a tithe, even under the name of a rent-charge, and a rent. For the tithe rent-charge is leviable on produce, whereas, as I have said, ultimately, if not immediately, a rent is derivable from profits which are in excess of the ordinary rate of profit in agriculture, or in analogous call- ings. The extraordinary profits of the cultivator may disappear, he may even be working at less than the normal profit, though, if the conditions of agriculture are satisfied, this is unlikely, even 2iS INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. if it be not impossible. If, however, it did occur, rent would ulti- mately disappear altogether. But the tithe rent-charge would not. If the destruction of profit were due to scarcity, i.e.^ bad seasons, and prices rose without advantage to the cultivator, the tithe rent-charge would rise with them, and production which could not pay a rent would still be liable to tithe, and to an in- creased tithe. The incidence and the effect of tithe are not altered, though they were modified by the great commutation made more than fifty years ago. Now in this struggle with the Welsh farmers the clergy and the lay impropriators have been infinitely more considerate than the Ecclesiastical Commissioners are. The loss to the former, especially to the clergy, was far more serious than it could be to the Commission, which possesses, in addition to vast estates in fee, an enormous accumulated fund in consols. But the Commis- sioners — I am not criticizing them, but only referring to the obvious animus of an official organization — have not only demanded the assistance of the police, and the forces, in order to effectually distrain ; but have actually aggregated a further squadron of emergency men — in other words, have vindicated their rights of property by the levy of a private army. The process, I presume, is legal, but it is strangely novel, and, in my humble judgment, dangerous. But what the Ecclesiastical Commission has done with the Welsh tithe rent-charge, a land office would infallibly do with the tenants of the State. I would rather treat with the most greedy private owner than I would with the most considerate of officials. You may baffle the former, you may decline to treat with him if his claims are exorbitant ; but with the State as the universal landowner, from whom you cannot escape, who can exact what terms he pleases from your necessities, and will exact them in order to justify the bargain and to get a reputation for shrewdness, the tyranny would be insupportable. I do not dwell on the enormous cost which would be involved in the establish- ment of an office with such universal duties. Besides, all governments, even the strongest, are weak, corrupt, and incitably committed to favouritism. Owning but a very limited estate, the Woods and Forests have from time to time per- petrated enormous jobs. Governments depend on influence, and THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 219 somehow or other, even under the most jealous scrutiny, influence is paid for. What shall we say of the economical prescience which would, in pursuit of a hypothetical and doubtful advantage, create a central monopoly, turn the landowner, who, after all, knows he has duties, however unwise he may be in the perform- ance of them, into the recipient of a quarterly payment at the Bank of England, with the full freedom of transferring his claim to all and sundry, and substituting in his place a govern- ment office. An economist and a politician may have very strong opinions about landowners, but for my part I should think an economist worthy of the order of the strait jacket if he gravely wished to substitute a government office for them. So much for the proposal of Mr. Mill. Mr. George, as you know, goes far beyond him. He would not, indeed, substitute a government office for the landowner, but he would appropriate any scrap of value in the soil, other than that which labour has provably induced upon it, without mercy, without compensation, by the simple operation of taxing it up to its full value, or, as economists say, its fertility. It is no matter to him that one man has invested the savings of a life in agricultural or building land, another in houses put on land, or in any form of labour produced wealth. With Mr. George the former should be con- fiscated, the latter should be respected. Everything, he alleges, which the individual makes, is, and should be, his own ; every- thing which is due to the bounty of nature is common property, or rather the property of the taxpayers. Mr. George sweeps away all difficulties of detail, neither good or easily soluble. It is enough to say that we do not claim bygone receipts from these anomalous and undeserving owners. The whole of taxation is to be derived from the fertility of land. Then will come, he tells us, the milleniuni of labour. The social philosophy of Mr. George diffi:;rs greatly from that sour and malignant talk which characterizes most of those writings of continental socialists with which I have felt bound to be more or less familiar. I have read the book with not a little pleasure. It is very human. It is very possible that the author has more disciples and devoted followers on this side the Atlantic than he has in his own country. I have met hundreds of people to whom it is a complete economic gospel. 220 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY, The great charm of " Progress and Poverty " is in the author's profound sympathy with the sorrows of labour and the dominant sincerity of his convictions. Most American economists are cowardly and dishonest. They discuss the labour question and invariably decline to examine into the effects of the American tariff on wages. From these vices Mr. George is free. He is full of courage, and he never disparages ; indeed, so convinced is he, he never thinks of an opponent. He appears to have counted the cost of his social heterodoxy, and to be resigned to it. He is not, when his pen is out of his hand, a competent controversialist. In conver- sation — I speak from meeting him — he can no more reason than the founder of a modern religion does. He can be baffled by the shallowest sophistries, as I have seen him baffled, when he hap- pened to be in the right. The fact is, his political economy is a creed. He learned it in the struggle with the furious climate and the malignant soil of New England. He believed in it all the more when he cast his lot among the Californian miners. He was convinced of it when he saw the dens in which the workmen of American cities pay for less than the decencies of life. But the kernel of his theory is to be found in the generalities of two English economists, Malthus and Ricardo. The conclusions of the former are crude, and those of the latter — I am speaking of the rent theory only — false. Mr. George repudiates all that Malthus wrote, the germ of birth in his population theory, and is not, I think, very far wrong in the disparaging estimate which he makes of that person's abilities. But he accepts Mr. Ricardo's theory, concludes that the writer has discovered in it the key to all human misery, and credits parliaments and governments, either ignorantly or intentionally, with the machinery by which labour is degraded and beggared. I need hardly say that a man who has a warm and sturdy sympathy with the class from which he sprang is not likely to be nice about remedies when he is convinced of the origin of disease. Opinion, like action, I need hardly tell you, owes much to its surroundings. Of course, even so honest a man as Mr. George is, is not to be excused by^his character when he is in the wrong. Mr. George believes that " rent is the result of price. A number THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 221 of men, no matter how, have gained possession of the soil in civi- lized countries, and exact a merciless toll from industry. As long as this system continues the tolls obtained from the monopoly grow, and inevitably absorb all but the bare subsistence of the labourer. Soon they will grind down the legitimate profit of capital to the same beggarly condition, and the favoured idler will appropriate all wealth to himself. There is, to be sure, a remedy. No human authority has a right to give away, in per- petuity, what belongs to society itself, and is essential to the existence of society. The property which the people possess is the mere creation of law. It is not necessary that the law should have been dishonest ; it is enough that it is mistaken. The wisdom of the American constitution has declared that even the laws which Congress passes may be revised and annulled by the Supreme Court. The analysis of the social economist proves that the recognition by the State of the sacredness of rent was a mis- take. The law of rent, formulated by Ricardo, proves that it is a danger. It is the sole and sufficient cause why the only producers of wealth, the capitalist and the labourer, toil all night and take nothing. Away with it." And Mr. George gets as angry, and I may say as loftily angry, as a Hebrew prophet. He has his followers, and as long as people err about rent he will find his following become a faith, perhaps a crusade. It seems but a little change to-day. You are wholly wrong. Rent is not the outcome of price, but of profit. I was told the other day that this dictum of mine strengthened George's posi- tion, and made it almost unassailable. Let us sec. If rents are the outcome of prices it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the landowner is, potentially at least, the public enemy, who is to thrive on the misery of his fellow-countrymen, whose gains are to be curtailed by sharp legislation, who is to be reduced from mischief-making to impotence, in pursuance of the inalienable right of every society to protect itself from ruin. If circumstances lend, or seem to lend, themselves to such a result, if landowners have, under a mistaken interpretation of their rights and powers, acted as though they could take all from the occupier beyond the bare means of life, it is clear that intervention is inevitable, as it has recently been asserted to be, on principles, for 222 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. errors in judgment, fostered by mistaken conceptions of econo- mical relations, may as much need correction by law as deliberate wrongdoing. If, in short, rent is the outcome of prices, the landowner need consider no person's interest but his own, and claim from the State, till the State becomes enlightened and indignant, the literal fulfilment of all contracts which he has imposed upon the unprotected and helpless occupier. Now I am well aware that there is a widespread opinion to the effect that this power of unlimited inaction exists, and that nothing but generosity or fear checks its exercise. I have often been told that no change in our system of local taxation, under which all charges are put on occupiers, will lighten the lot of such persons at all, for that the landowner can at once levy an increased rent fully up to the remission. The statement, indeed, betrays a total ignor- ance as to the principles which govern the incidence and shifting of taxation, but the opinion on which it is founded is dangerous, because it infers that the position of the landowner is inevitably anti-social and out of harmony with all other interests. But if it be true that rent is the outcome of profits, and the history of agricultural rent, and even of ground or building rent, is absolutely conclusive on this point, when the economic basis of rent is examined, and irregularities of individual or collective action are checked, as I hope to show that they must be checked, the Avhole aspect of the situation changes. The landowner takes his place in the general harmony of social interests. If his present and future interests are to be and remain unimpaired, he is pro- foundly interested in the prosperity of the occupier, because in the success of those who occupy the soil, in which he has ownership, lies the continuity of present, and the prospect of future, rent. He has to consider the advantage of others if he has a care for his own advantage. The sufficiency of his tenant's capital, and vigilant care that that capital may be undiminished by any act of the rent receiver, are subjects on which, in his true interest, he should be nearly as anxious as the tenant himself ; for if the landlord's rent absorbs the tenant's capital, the rent verges, as we now know, to extinction. And, beyond doubt, the present condition of British agriculture is due to the absorption of agricultural capital by exorbitant or exhaustive rents, rents which no profits would bear. THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 223 The process by which this result has been brought about is per- fectly familiar to those who have studied modern agriculture, and has been expounded by such authorities as Sir James Caird, Mr. James Howard, and Mr. Bear, among others. Nor will a revival of agriculture be possible until landowners as a body reverse their policy, and study how to assist the accumulation of agricultural capital by honest contracts with their tenants, as assiduously as too many of them in time past have been induced, to their own ulti- mate ruin, to reduce and appropriate it. Rent, then, is all that remains over the average rate of profit derivable from various industries when every other claim is satisfied. Exceptional rates of profit derived from exceptional abilities em- ployed in various industries cannot, until they are diffused (and some of them never can be) among all the competitors in each industry, are not and cannot be, attacked by rent. This is true of agriculture, as it is of manufacture, of trade, of professional capacity. The ingenuity of no landowner can tax the abilities of exceptional inventive power, of exceptional business intelligence, of exceptional professional skill, fertilities as real, as solid, as sub- stantial as any unearned increment or national fertility. To be more correct, we should call it discovered and utilized fertility in land. And, for my part, if one exceptional advantage, discovered and appropriated by an individual, is to be made the subject of legal confiscation, I cannot see why the fertilities of human inven- tion and perseverance should not be subjected logically to the same absorption. Where, indeed, the capacity is so diffused as to be universally acquired, it is possible, under favourable conditions, that the rent receiver may come in for his share. He can obtain it with safety only when every other interest is satisfied. I do not think rents are more sacred than any other kind of pro- perty. If a buyer has made a bad speculation in land, I do not see that he has any more claim to the consideration of society than the purchaser of railway stock, which pays no dividend, or of canal shares and turnpike trusts, obsolete or nearly obsolete forms of property. The State is no more called on to guarantee rents than it is to guarantee dividends. On the contrary, it is perfectly jus- tified in regulating the price demanded for the use of a natural or artificial monopoly. It is no answer to the statement that land 224 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY is a natural monopoly to say that abundance of it is always in the market, any more than it is an answer to the demand that the monopoly of transit practically enjoyed by railways is, due regard being had to existing and indeed permanent interests to be regu- lated by law, met by saying that railway stock is freely and abun- dantly sold on the Stock Exchange. When Selden attacked the theory that tithes were a divine institution, the clergy had him put in prison for his pains. A few years later the Long Parliament began to attack the human institution of tithes, and the clergy took to quoting Selden's book as an authority on behalf of their interests. But though I do not believe that rent is more sacred than any other kind of property, and hold that it is, and must be, more pecu- liarly under State control, unless good sense obviates the necessity of State control, a result greatly to be desired, I cannot see how it is less real and less entitled to the protection of the State than any other kind of income-yielding investment is. Let us assume, and this is a large assumption, that the growth of rent has been entirely spontaneous. I happen to know that much is due to the untiring energies of the landowners in the eighteenth century, not as some foolish people say, to their outlay on permanent improve- ments, but to their diligent study of the art of agriculture, and to the proofs which they afforded to the tenant farmer that the new system was profitable. But let us admit that it is spontaneous, as it must be conceded that the rent of most building sites unques- tionably is. To whom should it go ? It cannot, by the general law which governs profits, that other conditions being equal, the tendency of profits is to an equality, remain with the occupier. His profit satisfied, the residual value of what he produces is property. If this is to be treated as his own he becomes, pro tanto^ a second landlord, and has that which he can sell, still retaining his business profits. I cannot see how it can be made out to belong to him. He has no more created it than the landowner has. Had he created it, a strong case of ownership could be made out on his behalf. But by the terms of the hypothesis he has been in no sense its author. It should belong to the State say Mr. Mill and Mr. George. But is all exceptional fertility to be appropriated by the THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC RENT. 225 S'ate? If so, how can you separate the capacity of land, the dis- covery and adaptation uf which is the result of human intelligence, from any other capacity which gives a new utility and a new value to matter ? Is it likely that human intelligence and inven- tion will be stimulated, nay, even continued, if over every effort after industrial improvement the State is to step in and claim the ownership of the resultant value. I have never been able to dis- cover any one who has a better title than the existing owner, of course under equitable and intelligible conditions. Perhaps some of you have read the story of Frankenstein. The style of the narrative belongs to a past age, and to one of the most unpleasing periods of English writing. But the obvious inference of this story is highly instructive. It describes the results which ensue to those who undertake the reconstruction of society. lb III. CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. The excessive rise in agricultural rents — Two bad arguments — Con- solidation of farms— Decli7ie in agricultural enterprise— Irish rack- rents— Comparison of English and Irish land systems— Judicial rents — Tenant right — Recent legislation for the United Kingdom — Lord Leicester's lease. I HAVE, I trust, pointed out to you, in my last lecture, what is the true theory of economic rent ; that it is the resultant of an excess of profits over that which satisfies the industrial agent in agriculture, and that it has been, when natural and spontaneous, developed entirely from the progress of improvement in the art of agriculture. So far is it from being the case, as Mr. Ricardo and Mr. Mill have alleged, that improvements in the art arrest rent, that the fact is, these improvements have been the sole cause of natural or economic rent. That this is the truth will be manifest to those who have given themselves any trouble to analyse the causes which have, historically, developed rent. I can discover, beyond the inevitable errors which ensue from the metaphysical treatment of economical topics, nothing which could have led these eminent writers into so mischievous and delusive a theory except the fact that, as long as an agricultural improvement is the sole property of an individual, the exceptional profits which he CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 227 derives from his exceptional skill cannot, except under an operation which I shall presently describe, and then perhaps only to a limited extent, be appropriated by the landowner under whom he holds. When, in the eighteenth century. Smith and Bakewell made the capital discovery, in the herds of cattle and sheep, that the selection of such stock as laid on meat rapidly, and at the least cost, which came to maturity early, and in the hands of the dealer had the least possible amount of bone and offal, was, or would be, of great profit to the farmer, no landlord, till their skill and system of selection became the common property of all farmers, could appropriate a penny of their exceptional profits. Similarly, though in a less degree, purely agricultural improvements remain the advantage of agriculturists till the knowledge or skill is diffused. When they do become diffused they are the subject, sooner or later, of economic rent, and economic rent is that excess of value over average profit, which comes and always has come from solid agricultural improvement. As I have several times told you, this rent, entirely legitimate as I take it, was in the eighteenth century almost wholly the outcome of the energy and success with which many English landowners adopted the new agriculture, which had been long practised in Holland and Flanders, and instructed the tenants by the fortunate results of the landowners' experiments. You will not, however, be slow to anticipate that the settlement, by the action of the landowner, of a genuine economic rent demands, on the part of such a landowner or his agent, a thorough acquaintance with the conditions under which alone agriculture can be successfully and permanently carried on. Every man who has anything to hire out, or lend, must understand the business of those who become tenants or borrow. There is an adage that excessive interest implies a bad security, and similarly the offer of a rent from a perfectly free agent, which every well-informed hus- bandman should know to be impossible without trenching on profits, and ultimately on capital, should be treated as suspicious and declined. It is no use for a landowner to say, " My tenant offered me a rent which I knew the land could not bear, but that is his lookout " ; just as it is no use for a banker to say, " My customer offered me interest on a loan, which I know will leave him loss 228 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. instead of profit in his business." A banker who makes reckless loans at high interest has no one but himself to blame if his advances are lost. A landowner who ;lets land at impossible rents will have no one but himself to thank if his land is at last thrown on his hands in bad condition, if he finds it ultimately impossible, the process of unwise letting having gone on extensively, to let his land at all, except on ruinous terms, and even if he drags down all rent, that of the prudent and foolish landowner alike, by his unwise acceptance of impossible rents. It is not always prudent to accept an attractive offer in the letting of land, any more than in the investment of savings. But, it may be asked, why has this widespread misconception of the situation arisen ? You evidently intend to imply that, up till recently, landowners have accepted rents which a proper ex- perience or knowledge of the facts would have led them to decline. If they have been lacking in such experience or knowledge, they have employed agents or surveyors, whose business it is to inter- pret what land could bear, or what tenants with adequate capital could reasonably offer. In the most defensible cases, that is, in those where the extra rent has been pressed on the owner or his agent by competing tenants, there was one natural cause for an error in judgment. It is that, up to about 1874, the rent of agri- cultural land has been steadily rising. In the twenty years which preceded 1874, ^^ ^ve know from the income-tax returns of farmers' rents, the increase was actually 26^ per cent., and there is reason to believe that, during this period, the area of purely agricultural land has diminished rather than increased, partly owing to the extension of market gardening, partly owing to the growth of towns. Now, such an increase explains, perhaps justifies, the acceptance of rents which in the end the tenant has found it impossible to pay. The calamities which have overtaken the tenant and the landowner might be well disguised under such a competitive increase, which is, after all, in accord, to a very great extent, with economic history. But this statement neither explains the real origin of the situation, nor the causes which have led to the present crisis. Too much rent has been paid, and has been paid, not out of profits, but out of capital ; and this absorption of capital by rent must have been either the outcome of ignorance or CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 229 of compulsion, or of both. An examination of the circumstances will prove that both these agencies, if one can call ignorance an agent, have been at work with rents, and that these have been far more powerful factors in the result than foreign competition and low prices, and even than the disasters of 1879, which merely gave the final blow to the old system. A man who carries on any business, especially one like agricul- ture, which is open to peculiar risks of climate and market, and does not keep accurate accounts, invites ruin. The risk is no doubt lessened when he is to a considerable extent the consumer of his own products. But the British farmer, as a rule, does not in these latter days keep accounts. In the thirteenth and fourteenth centuries such accounts were kept with the most scrupulous accuracy and minuteness, and the consumption of produce on the farm was debited as exactly to the gross receipts of agriculture as the purchases were. So much for the agriculture of England five or six centuries ago. In the eighteenth century, Arthur Young's tours are full of illustrations as to how landowners and farmers could and did take stock annually of their position, and carefully interpreted the gains and losses of the year, or the special crop. But in the present day, a bankrupt farmer is rarely found to have kept an intelligent account of his income and his outgoings. Under such circumstances, it is not wonderful that his capital slowly and insensibly melted away, that his personal expenditure was unreasonable, that he neglected small economies and small profits, that he wasted his substance without knowing it, and that his scale of expense was out of all proportion to his capital and its reasonable profits. For a man may be an excellent and accom- plished agriculturist, but be a very bad man of business, and no man can be a worse man of business than he is who utterly neglects a balance sheet of income and expenditure, of profits and losses. Perhaps the imprudence of the British farmer was greatly stimulated by a fashion which grew up thirty or forty years ago, of consolidating small farms, and building homesteads, which were oiiFof all proportion to the possible capital and income of the occupying tenant. It used, before the agricultural trouble came on, to be commonly said that land was a luxury which none but 230 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. rich people could indulge in, that it only paid 2, or, at best, 3 per cent, as an investment, and so on. Land was, and, to a great extent, is still, an investment which gives more social con- sideration and influence than any other kind of property does, and such advantages tend to heighten the price of that to which they are attached. Land in England, too, is peculiarly free from burdens. It pays no probate duty, and a modified succession duty. It is, unlike land in other European countries, liable to only a nominal tax for revenue purposes. The charges which are essential to its having anything but a prairie value are paid by occupiers, and not by owners. Even the tithe, which was commuted fifty years ago at a reduction of 25 per cent to the titheowner, in considera- tion of the benefits which this personage would obtain by the substitution of a rent-charge in place of feudal tithe, was shifted from the landlord to the occupier. In recent years, too, ancient charges on land have received subventions from imperial taxation. Now, it stands to reason that a property which is so peculiarly favoured should under ordinary circumstances bear an exalted price in the market. The second argument, confidently and, it seems to me, ignorantly or sophistically alleged, that land pays a low rate of interest on the outlay or purchase money, is easily disposed of. People, indeed, do not say so now. But it will be plain that a security which, till re- cently, has steadily risen in value, and might probably be reasonably expected to continually rise in value, will bear a price in which the expectations of the future are included. If one capitalist in the days of Queen Anne, invested his savings, amounting to ;^ioo,ooo, in the public funds, and another purchased to the same amount land, each would probably have received some ;^6,ooo a year by his investment. But if the same property is held at the present day, each by the descendant of those ancestors, the former would be receiving ^2,500 a year, the other ;^6o,ooo. It is true that in Anne's age so great a rise in the rent was not anticipated. Had it been, it would have appeared in the price, as the vendor or purchaser anticipated the character and period of the rise. But it was in the knowledge of men at that time that in little more than a hundred years rents had risen twelve times, and it was quite reasonable to conclude that they would continue to rise, CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 231 however uncertain the process and the period might be to which they would owe their rise, at which the rise could be realized. Now, that such a rise was, till recently, anticipated is plain from Mr. Mill's theory of the unearned increment, and more plain from the passionateness with which this expectation was avowed when the English and Irish Agricultural Holdings Acts were being dis- cussed in Committee. I am disposed to believe that not a few persons regret that they adhered so vehemently to what is, after all, a doubtful hypothesis. The consolidation of small farms into one or a few of large size was an act of very doubtful wisdom. In the nature of things there is always more competition for moderate-sized holdings than for large ones, for there are always more agricultural capitalists of moderate than of large means. But the temptation to reduce the cost of repairs on many homesteads, after the obligation of these repairs, consequent on the practice of rackrenting became general, by substituting a few new ones in their place, was very strong, and there was a fashion for large farms, not very prudently encouraged by agents. But much more injudicious was the erection of farm buildings, which were out of all proportion to the capital and income of the tenant. There is no greater temptation to extra- vagance than the occupation of a house whose dimensions, quite apart from the rent, are beyond the means of the tenant. I have known many five-hundred-acre farms on which, at the best of times, the tenant has no more than ^5,000 of capital, from which he could not expect a profit of more than 10 per cent, at the best, who has had a house built for him which suggests, encourages, induces an expenditure of ^T 1,000 a year. My friend Lord Ducie informed me a few years ago that one of the greatest troubles which he had with his Oxfordshire estate was in the sumptuous homesteads which his father-in-law had built to five-hundrcd-acre farms. Unless I am strangely misinformeo, the principal cause of the trouble into which one of our colleges has recently fallen, a trouble which induced it to solicit a temporary relief from Con- vocation, was due to a similar error in judgment. It may be also affecting others, but I have reason to believe that I am quite accurate in this case, for when the consolidation and rebuilding was going on, I expressed my doubts to the Bursar of the time, as 232 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. to whether his course of action Avas politic. And I am pretty confident that at the present time — and I could cite many facts in support of my statement — small farmers have done better, and will do better than large ones, and, if for no other reason, because the supervision and personal labour which the former have given to their holdings, are still a considerable part of the capital outlay which they make on the land. I am far from exonerating the farmer from his share in the catastrophe which has happened. Had he kept proper accounts, he could never have offered such competitive rents as he did offer, he never could have endured the process which I am about to describe. Had he duly informed himself of his position, he never would have lived in the lavish style which was too custom- ary with his class fifteen or twenty years ago, and would never have neglected certain branches of his calling which he has most unwisely dropped. Above all, he could never have been gulled by imaginary remedies or have striven after vain expedients. In many cases, the men who have ruined him have fooled him. At one time they bid him dream that the Legislature will provide for his distresses, by taxing everybody else's food ; at another, they encourage him in his demand that the local taxation, which should in part at least be borne by the landlord, must be put on the shoulders of the general public, and that he is to be eased at every one else's cost. But such men, undertaking to advise the farmer, never have the candour to say what is the truth. " We have ruined, have beggared you by impossible rents ; we have practised on your ignorance and want of arithmetical knowledge and method, to slily extort from you what you could not possibly pay without trenching on your capital. We have, in our own persons, put before you an example of wanton extravagance of mischievous, and not over-honest waste ; and we have bidden you, on one pretext or the other, to imitate us as far as you can in our follies and our vices." They do not say this, but they con- stantly allege that they are the farmers' friends, when they are, and have been, his most secret and persistent enemies. The process by which this mischief has been induced is very simple and intelligible. I have mentioned it already in an earlier lecture, but I must recapitulate, perhaps expand, my statement CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 233 here, because it is the key to the topic which I am handling to-day — the Regulation of Rents. Under the ordinary tenure of agricultural land, the dispossession of a tenant involves an inevi- table loss of capital. I have been accustomed to put this at 10 per cent. Sir J. Caird states that it is 15 per cent. Now, if a tenant has the full capital which is needed for adequate cultivation, he will have £10 an acre on or in the land. Let his tenancy be one of 500 acres, and his rent X5°0) the figures being merely hypo- thetical. Now, in this case dispossession would mean a loss, how- ever negligent or however careful he may be in keeping accounts, of ;^5oo on my figures, of £7$^ O" ^ir James Caird's. Two shillings and sixpence an acre more rent, though it is an increase of 12^ per cent., and might eventually be more ruinous than the loss I have referred to, does not, to men who are slovenly or negligent in keeping accounts, seem so considerable as a 10 per cent, loss at once and at a stroke. Now, I never met any fair or honest person, who knew what the relations of landlord and tenant have been, till the recent breakdown of the system, who hesitated to admit that the single and sufficient cause why the tenant's capital has been extinguished, is the payment of rent out of capital imder the process which I have described, and the threat of dispossession if the advance was not conceded, though the practice has been defended on the ground that till recently others would take the land, if the tenant gave it up ; and that the owner was justified in exacting a competition rent to the full. But many things are justified which in practice turn out to be exceedingly foolish, and of the follies none is worse than the per- manent ruin of an interest for the sake of a temporary gain. Of course, if the tenant has made beyond the ordinary outlay of a skilful farmer, an outlay which involves irrecoverable loss on dis- possession, a further expenditure on improvements of a more or less permanent character, he is still more open to aggression, and still more open to serious loss by the compulsory and penal exaltation of his rent during the period of his tenancy. Now they who study the accounts which Arthur Young gives of the new agriculture in England, just at the close of the third quarter of the eighteenth century, will find that he constantly comments on the courage and enterprise of certain tenant fanners in his day, 234 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. who, relying on the equity of their landlords, ventured on heavy and serious charges for the improvement of their tenancies. But up to the last quarter of the eighteenth century, landowners knew their business, and would no more have thought of curtailing their tenants' capital by a penal rise of rent than they would of plun- dering his barn, carrying off his haystacks, or appropriating his sheep. Towards the conclusion of the century, when a worse and a more ignorant spirit sprang up, one hears a very different story. The agricultural reports sent to Young's Board of Agriculture from the various counties are full of complaints as to arbitrary rent-raising on the part of landlords, and the serious detriment which the practice was to the tenant-farmers' capital, and the adequate cultivation of the soil. Now, I am convinced that if the true doctrine of rent had thus been inculcated, viz., that rent is the outcome of agricultural profit, and not of agricultural prices, the unfair and suicidal practice which I have described would never have become customary among landlords. I have stated before, and I repeat it, that for skill in manipu- lating land, the British farmer has no compeer. In parts of Normandy, in Belgium, and in the Rhenish Palatinate, there are agriculturists who nearly rival him, but their agriculture suffers from the capital defect of live stock as a rule. But the British agriculturist hardly goes beyond the ciiliura annua. The soil of New England is exceedingly sterile as a rule, but the hedges are full of peach trees. The fruit trees on the Bavarian and Norman farms and by the Belgian homesteads are abundant. But you do not see them in the United Kingdom, for the farmer fears that if he plants he will have to pay an enhanced rent on his own improvements. Fruit culture in England would soon dis- pense with the nine millions or thereabouts which we are annually paying for the imported fruit which we could easily grow our- selves, if the farmers were protected against uncertain rent. And what may be noticed in England, is still more marked in Ireland. When I was examining last autumn (1887) the agricultural con- dition of Ulster, and I did so with no common care, I was struck with the all but total absence of all fruit trees about the home- steads, and the exceeding badness of the few apples which appeared in the markets. They dared not cultivate what would be instantly CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 235 made a plea for exalted rents, and though to some extent the Irish tenant is protected by the law against arbitrary rent raising, bad and timid habits have been formed, and cannot be easily shaken off. I was struck in reading one or two of the excellent handbooks put out by the Irish Education Board, works which would be well in the hands of some of our smaller farmers, how uniformly silent these manuals are about fruit raising. But I shall have a little to say about Ulster land presently. Now I mentioned above that the rise of farmers' rents during the twenty years 1854-73, was 26^ per cent., and that this figure is arrived at by comparing the assessment of agricultural tenancies, in this case the rents returned at the two dates, and it should be noticed that this return does not include market gardens and nurseries. But it must not be imagined that this increase of rent has been identical in amount under all landlords. I know many considerable landowners who have assured me that the rent of their estates has never been raised during the whole of the above- mentioned term. There are I am glad to say many landowners, especially in England, who have recognized the principle that the tenant must make a reasonable profit before he can pay rent at all, and have steadily worked on this principle, in all their rela- tions with their tenants. They have also been proof against the temptation to accept an impossible rent from an unwise competing tenant, being well assured that such a policy is suicidal in the end. But the people who have taken advantage of the situation, and have unduly and disastrously raised their rents, have not only ruined themselves, but have seriously crippled their innocent neighbours. When the catastrophe and crash came in 1870 and 1880, over 14 per cent, of the farmers became bankrupt, and all were panic-stricken. Now, under such circumstances, the com- petition for farms was suddenly arrested, and of course farmers are like other men, they offer less and less, as the turn of the market is in their favour. I do not doubt, if the British farmer could have escaped from the loss to which I referred above, and if he had the same facility of turning his capacity and his capital to other callings, the surrender of holdings would have been far more considerable. As it is, the wise and just landowner is punished for the vices of the unjust and unwise landlord, and 236 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. some of the former have been unmeasured in their condemnation of some among the latter. A short time ago, a very able, but uncertain, statesman, after warning the British landowners that they would have at an early date to ransom their estates, compared them to the lilies of Scrip- ture, " which toil not, neither do they spin." The word "ransom" 110 doubt has an ugly sound, for it suggests successful brigandage, and the recovery of liberty and goods only under duress and compulsory payments. But the word may have a harmless sense. Every one who pays taxes may, by no violent stretch of imagina- tion, be said to ransom the residue by surrendering a part of his substance. Now there should be no objection to a landowner paying his legitimate share of taxation, and there is good reason to allege that at present he escapes from this contribution, and that he has used his exceptional position, not only to evade his just liabilities, but to put not a few of his admitted liabilities on the shoulders of other people. To speak of ransom, then, may be an unpleasant form of giving a warning, that at some time or other, perhaps at no remote time, there will be a readjustment of these permanent liabilities. But I entirely demur to the exactness of the scriptural meta- phor. There has been a pretty mischievous activity in many quarters during those fatal twenty years to which I have alluded, the outcome of which has been wholly disastrous. Agents and sur- veyors have taught some landowners how to appropriate their tenants' capital, by insidious and gradual elevations of what were at the best of times full rack-rents, and the landowners have eagerly applied the lesson. The lilies of the field do not, I believe, appropriate more than can be extracted from intelligent and care- ful husbandry. The proper metaphor should have been some noxious and spreading weed, which cannot be eradicated, and finally starve the useful plants. There are persons to be found, and to be found in plenty, unhappily, for whom the lilies of the Held is far too exaggerated a compliment. And on the other hand, there are landowners, who labour in the management of their estates as sedulously and as wisely as a merchant or a manufacturer, who give unremitting attention to business, and in their own line are as well informed as any of I CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 237 those whom Mr. George allows to have made out a claim to the property which they have superintended and de\cloped. There are too few such persons, but they do exist, and are not only a boon to those with whom they have to deal, but an example, vinhappily not followed, to their more mischievous fellows. I could quote instances which are within my own knowledge, but the selection, like that of their contraries, would be invidious. But this I can say, that were all their fellows like them, the legislative regulation of rents would have been, and would remain, unnecessary, the depression of agriculture would never have occurred, the pre- sent sacrifices ofrent receivers would never have been had to be made, and the inevitable consequences which ensue, from the stagnation of the most widespread, the most ancient, the most highly perfected, and the most valuable of our home industries would not have been the painful experience which it is at the present time. The evil of which I complain in Great Britain, the arbitrary and constant exaltation of rack-rents without any consideration of the farmer's profits, has been exhibited with even greater plainness in Ireland, and has demanded a still more searching control from the legislature, a control which has been, owing to the ignorance of the British Parliament as to the Irish situation, too often capricious and unreal. I took myself, as a private member, a very active interest in the Land Act of 188 1, but though I had travelled much in Ireland, and had studied its agriculture, particularly in the middle and south of the island, many things escaped my notice, with which I have since become familiar. Now I have been, from my youth up, familiar with land and agriculture. I have studied it since, by ocular survey over no little part of the civilized world. I venture on asserting that, if I viewed it at the proper time, any honest surveyor and I should not differ materially as to the letting value of a farm. With this kind of experience, in 1887, I went through the greater part of Ulster, excepting the County of Donegal, which is practically the same, with some disadvantages of its own, as the barren and con- gested west of the whole island. I came to the conclusion that average arable land in Ulster was worth about two-thinls of average arable land in England, that for ever\- pound an English farmer should pay, an Irisli tenant shoulil pay 13s. 4d. 238 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. But I found the Irish rent, even after the Commissioners' reductions, was double the average Enghsh rent. I arrived independently at this conclusion, and I found it is confirmed by other observers. Now I am willing enough to admit that it is a serious thing to interfere in contracts between persons who are prima facie competent to enter into them. The satisfaction of contracts, like the creation of them, is an early, difficult, and necessary part of that education which civilization seeks to achieve. So all important is it, that in the early codes of civilized peoples, the fulfilment of contracts was guaranteed with extreme severity, with such severity, that the working of the law was found to imperil the very society which it was intended to conserve. In course of time, it became necessary to affirm that as the forces of society were invited to enforce contracts, it was competent for society, speaking through its laws, to determine what contracts it would enforce, and to what extent it would enforce those contracts which it recognized. I should weary you with the details of this rule of practice. It is sufficient to say that what I have stated is fundamental to the laws of debt and bankruptcy in our own and in all civilized countries. Now if every landowner was ready to recognize that the cul- tivator of the soil had a right not only to his existence from that on which he bestows his labour and capital, but to reasonable profits from his calling, and if the policy of all landowners had been that of those wise and just men whose names I might quote, whom I always refer to with the sincerest admiration, there would be no need for the legal regulation of rents. But the practice of many has been different and has been disastrous. If the con- sequences of this practice had been that of ordinary trade, we might leave the parties alone to the maxim of caveat emptor. But it is in the essence of all contracts, that the parties should be on equal terms, and in the tenancy of agricultural land, however numerous other callings are, and however wide is the choice offered to industrial agents, the tenant is from the very beginning of his holding particularly exposed to a compulsory exaltation of his rent, with the alternative of a severe pecu- niary loss, unless he yields. Nor is this a complaint of yesterday You will find it alleged, always with indignation, and fre CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 239 quently with a demand for remedial legislation from the days of Fitzherbert in the beginning of the sixteenth century, to our own time, late in the nineteenth. And besides, apart from the wrong done to the individual, the injury done to society by the appropriation and destruction of agricultural capital is so serious, that nothing but a powerful interest, and a widespread delusion as to the real nature of rent, could have prevented, long since, inquiry into the true relations of landlord and tenant, and a radical change in them, consequent on the interference of law. Nor am I dealing with a mere economical or political abstraction. What I have said was essential has been recognized and acted on in most civilized countries, and must be in all at last. The settlement by law of the relations of landlord and tenant has been adopted in the Scandinavian kingdoms, in Germany, in Holland, in France, though in the latter, I admit, with much suddenness and violence, as you may read, if you come across the volume, with much vividness of description, in Arthur Young's French and Italian tours in the year 1789. A similar reform or modi- fication of long-standing rights was effected in Russia by the late emperor, perhaps, was too long delayed. Now wherever the reform was thorough, and coupled with certain intelligible condi- tions, it has proved eminently successful. The legislation of the British Parliament has been of one kind in Ireland, of another in Great Britain. It must be admitted that the cases of the two countries are very different. In Ireland agriculture is almost the sole occupation of the people, and the cultivation of Irish land, as a rule, is by small holdings. The circumstances which have led, and that in comparatively recent times, to the consolidation of farms, have not been present in Ireland. In Great Britain, at least in that part of the island to the south of the Caledonian Canal, there have been infinite varieties of occupation and industry, though these began to be developed after the middle of the eighteenth century, when the country commenced that remarkable, but long delayed, industrial career which has since characterized it. Such new callings depicted the agricultural population by attracting its members into these enterprises. Besides, the experimental agriculture of the eighteenth century needed, or seemed to need, a considerable area for its 240 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. development. It was, or seemed to be, wise to put farms together in order that the new system shotdd have full play. It must be remembered, too, that the improvement in the art was in its beginning entirely, and in its progress mainly the work of the landowners themselves. It is not, indeed, true, as some persons have confidently alleged, that the permanent improvements of land, as homestead building, systematic drainage, and the like, was entirely the work of the landowners. What they did was to prove by their own example that a bold and experimental agri- culture v/as possible. The agricultural reports returned to Arthur Young at the end of the eighteenth century, and the work of Sir John Sinclair, prove conclusively that in many, very many cases, these permanent improvements were the work of tenants on terms of years, and at moderate rents, and even under annual tenancies, with an honourable understanding. In course of time, when the first great elevation of rents had been effected, i.e.^ between 1780 and 18 10, the principle that the landowner should be answerable for permanent improvements, and the tenant only for good husbandry, the latter often very absurdly restricted, pre- vailed, and so rapidly does the memory of an earlier state of things pass away, that the division of capital investment in land is now always spoken of as though it was an ancient and tradi- tional arrangement. In point of fact, at various times in English agricultural history, the relations of landlord and tenant have been very different. After the great convulsion of the fourteenth century, as I have more than once mentioned, the policy of the landowners was to induce the tenant to accept a land-and-stock lease, a fact which I first discovered ; and in order to encourage the practice, the landowner insured his tenant against excessive losses of stock by disease, and as I have also discovered and shown, the guarantee very often proved to be a very serious loss. In the eighteenth century, the form which the stimulus to the new agriculture took, and the outlay of the tenant's capital on permanent improvements was a long lease on easy terms, and practical guarantees given to an improving tenant, against dis- possession, and the inordinate raising of rent. Of course, when the dear times of the thirty years to which I have alluded came, the improvement had been effected, and the exaltation of rents ensued as a thinq; of course CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 241 Now no such thing happened in Ireland. The EngHsh system of agriculture, as it was practised in the thirteenth and fourteenth centuries, was introduced into the early English Pale, for Roger Bigod of Edward I.'s time married one of the co-heiresses of Strongbovv, and cultivated his Irish estates on the English model. These estates were principally in Wexford — Mr, Bagnall, in his early history of Ireland, has given what appears to me to be an accurate map of Bigod's estate in Wexford and elsewhere — and the bailiff's accounts are preserved among the rest of the Bigod Rolls in the Record Office. But, as every one knows, the Irish encroached on the Pale, and the early Anglo-Irish settlers readily imitated Irish customs and habits, so readily that the English Parliament denounced capital penalties against the adoption of the Irish dress and customs by the English settlers. I have no doubt that by the time that Henry VIII. attempted the reconquest of Ireland, the greater part of the English Pale had practically become Irish again. Now you are probably aware that the ancient Irish land license was a peculiar holding in which several estates were only of a temporary character, a change in the occupancy occurring with every change in the numbers of the sept which constituted the joint settlement. Much such a system, according to Mr. Mackenzie Wallace, prevails in the Russian mir, where the headman of the village undertakes to distribute the common land, and has to meet a good deal of resistance and remonstrance from those who are invited to take more of this land than they feel disposed to accept, and with it some definite responsibilities. The system of Irish gavelkind had been denounced as hostile to all improve- ment, but at the time in which it was formally pronounced to be invalid and illegal by the Irish Bench in 1610, and at the instance of Sir John Davis, no agricultural improvement had been made, not in Ireland only, but in England, for centuries. The motive which induced the decision of law, to which I have referred, was unquestionably that of securing to the new grantees after O'Neill's and Tyrone's rebellion, a mure profitable lordship than the ancient custom could have afforded them. During the seven- teenth century these grantees put on the Irish tenants as far as possible the severest exactions which the law ecu Id enforce, and 17 242 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY their position would suggest. The condition to which the Irish tenant was reduced explains the ferocious, but abortive, uprisings of 1642 and 1689. The improving English landowner of the eighteenth century never appeared in Ireland. He never appeared in Scotland till long after he had finished his beneficent work in England. Swift described the condition of the Irish farmer in the first half of the eighteenth century with considerable plainness, and I well remem- ber quoting passages from his works in the House of Commons during the passage of the Irish Act of 1881, which my audience imagined were taken from some recent writer. Towards the end of the same century, Arthur Young uttered a similarly indignant protest against the condition of the Irish tenant, the oppression and servitude under which he lived, and the extortion to which he was subjected. He was under none of that influence of which his English fellow-subject had experience. He had always been a peasant farmer, or cottier, and towards the close of the eighteenth century, he was encouraged in subdividing his holding, because in this way votes were multiplied for the landlord. The congestion of the Irish mountain districts was the deliberate work of the landowners, and was not due to the recklessness and improvidence of the Irish peasant, as some ill-informed or malignant writers have said. Added to this, every local industry, except the linen- weaving of Ulster, was carefully uprooted by the English Parlia- ment. The system began with the evil days which followed on the Restoration, and was pursued steadily up to the period of Grattan's Parliament, by which time almost the memory of these local industries had disappeared. At the time of the Union, Sir Robert Peel, father of the great minister, and a prosperous cotton- spinner at Bury, expressed his alarm that the inestimable blessings of the Union might have a drawback, in the possible rivalry of the Irish with the Lancashire cotton-spinners. Now the extinction of every industry in a country, except agriculture (and the English Parliament intended to make the Irish farmer dependent on English manufacturers for everything he needed), puts a precarious tenant into the worst possible posi- tion as against his landlord. He is tied to a calling from which there is no escape, and to which there is no alternative. He must CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 243 take land on any terms, or starve. The situation was so intoler- able to the Scotch settlers of Ulster, that they not only began the Irish exodus to the New World, but furnished the most stubborn and resolute of the volunteers to whom the English Government yielded in 1782. But the Union added to the troubles of the Irish farmer in that he was thereafter constrained to pay rent in increasing quantities to increasingly absentee landowners. These people saw in England how English rents had grown. They did not see how thoroughly the English landowners had deserved the increase, and they very naturally, though with no deserts, claimed to be equally fortunate. Now the late Mr. MacCulloch, who I do not remember to have written anything wise, defended the rents of absentee proprietors. He did not see, perhaps could not see, how such a system operates. Its eflfect is exactly that of a tribute. Now if a victorious general or state can impose a tribute, and the subject country can pay it, it can do so only by offering more of its produce at a less price or profit, in order to cover the balance of its indebtedness, in short, do just as I have described to you in the position of a country whose debt is extensively held out of its own borders. It may be constrained to trench on its capital, in order to meet its liabilities, and become impoverished, without the satisfaction of feeling that it has the smallest equiva- lent for its fragments, or the poor consolation that it has resisted, and been forced to succumb. A custom, however, sprang up in Ulster, and in the first place on the estates of the London Companies, whose property had been gradually, and by no means suddenly acquired in consider- ation of advances which those companies had made in order to meet the pressing wants of the first two Stuart kings. It may have been policy, it may have been generosity, which induced these companies to permit the growth of tenant right, and to set the fashion in Ulster. I am disposed to think, from what I know of these companies in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, when they were what they professed to be, organizations ot trade, that the latter motive was dominant, though they might have also thought that they were strengthening the l^otestant interest. This tenant right, as you are probably aware, became a market able commodity, and was the subject of much wonder, owing to 244 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY, its being sold at such high rates, even though under rack-rents, which were constantly increased. But, in fact, the tenant right was the price of security against external competition, and the growing feeling that it was morally due to the sitting or present tenant explains in great measure the tenacity with which the Irish cottier has resented any attempt to make his holding the subject of competition among strangers. I have been recently informed that the value of tenant right under the judicial rents is declining. Now Parliament attempted, though in no serious fashion, to deal with this subject, Irish rack-rents, in the Parliament of 1868. It is a curious illustration of the imperfect acquaintance which English politicians have of the Irish land system, that under the Encumbered Estates Act, a Parliamentary title was actually given to purchasers of the traditional tenant right of Ulster. The legislation of 1881 recognized the joint ownership of landlord and tenant, and created a body of commissioners whose duty it should be to fix judicial rents. In the nature of things, as I ventured on pointing out, these rents would inevitably be, like the fee-farm rents of the Middle Ages, incapable of future exaltation, and in order to obviate the risk of their future depression — a contingency which, in spite of my very imperfect acquaintance at that time with the actual rents paid before the Act, and to be paid after the judicial rent was settled, I saw to be highly probable — I suggested that the principle of the rent- charge should be adopted, and that rents should rise and fall wilii the price of produce, the averages being taken over short periods.- But at that time, and perhaps still, the mischievous belief that rent was due to the price of products irrespective of profits, and that the unearned increment which had been experienced so long was destined to be continuous was still too strong for my pro- posal that the share of the landlord should be adjusted by the money value of the peasant's produce. Now precisely what I foresaw is come. The rent was made an inelastic money quantity, and, justly or unjustly, the tenants asserted that the valuation was fixed at too high a rate, and that they could not pay it. I do not here pretend to enter into the very vexed and thorny question of these valuations, still less into the expedients by which CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 245 Irish tenants have recently combined to defeat, or at least to lower them. But I may state, and I think with entire accuracy, that a peasant holding will, proportionately to its magnitude, always pay a higher rent to the acre than a large farm. The reason is two- fold. In the first place, assuming that the occupier does his best, he is more alive to small economies in cultivation than the larger tenant is, and therefore acre for acre, gets a larger produce, to say nothing of the fact that the actual amount of capital which the tenant expends in labour as well as dressing is proportionately greater than that laid out by the larger farmer. In the next place, the proportion of produce which the small tenant consumes from his holding is much greater than that which the larger one does. On this he saves all the intermediate expenses of carriage, markets, and agents. I shall try to form an estimate of these savings in my next lecture, and I think that I shall be able to give you some striking and conclusive evidence on the subject. Now whether the valuation is too high or not, it cannot be denied that Parliament in regulating the relations of landlord and tenant in Ireland, and to some extent in the Scottish highlands, has made a new departure of a most significant kind, and by implication has condemned in a most emphatic way the principle of com- petitive rents. One cannot infer that such legislation is final and will not be extended. In regard to English and Scottish holdings, the Legislature has been far less thorough. It has to a limited extent modified as regards land under the plough the ancient legal maxim ctijns est sohim^ ejus est usque ad coeliun, for it has recognized the tenants' property in a limited number of improvements of a more or less permanent kind, and decreed compensation for them, in the event of dispossession. By an Act of Parliament of 1874, the right was recognized in form, but the landlord was allowed to contract him- self out of his liabilities, a permissive clause which led, in my opinion, to the most disastrous results. It would have been better to have offered nothing at all than to have offered an illusory guarantee, especially as well-nigh every landowner availed himseli of the permissive clause. But during the passage of the second Act, there were many of us who thought that I ho most deserving kind of tenant, whom we agreed to call the sitting tenant, tliat 246 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. is the person whose occupation was continuous and continued, and who was therefore presumably the most competent agriculturist, was entirely unprotected by legislation, since the compensation for an exhausted improvement was claimable only when the tenancy was determined, while no security was given against a penal rise of rent, in the case of a tenant who improved and held on ; that, in short, such a tenant might still be compellable to pay an enhanced rent on his own improvements. But our con- tention was too novel, perhaps too premature, to secure consideration, and since that time very serious and very unex- pected incidents have occurred. There has been a panic among landowners and tenants, and unless very marked and substantial concessions are made as to the form of occupancy, I cannot foresee any amendment in the situation. Of course it is difficult to revive confidence, especially in a class which is very backward and suspicious. It is difficult to recall capital to an industry in which it has been destroyed. It is difficult to suggest with any hope of success, to a class which is peculiarly tenacious of traditionary practices, any new depar- ture, even within their own industry. Thus we are told that farmers are unwilling to take leases, even on favourable terms, and with great licenses of cultivation. Again, it is too clear that in the rapid accumulation of English capital there is very little inclination to embark any of this capital in husbandry. Again, we cannot get farmers to adopt the Swiss, Danish, and American system of co-operative cheese and butter making, to attempt fruit culture and market gardening on a sufficiently extended scale, or even to resort to careful poultry breeding and feeding. For example, one of my friends, Lord Sudely, has with singular success undertaken fruit culture and fruit preserving on a very extensive scale. But I do not hear from him that his success has stimulated imitation, even in those counties where no extraordinary tithe is alleged to be a fatal bar to horticultural experiment. I must, however, bring this lecture to a close. In conclusion, I may invite your attention to Lord Leicester's lease, as I have heard it described. The family of Coke has been distinguished for more than a century and a half for the zeal and perseverance CONTRACTS FOR THE USE OF LAND. 247 with which it has followed up agricultural improvements, and for the entirely successful and satisfactory relations which it has established between the landlord and his tenants. Now I am told that the principles of Lord Leicester's lease are as follows. The tenant takes a lease for, say, twenty-one years, entire discretion being given him as to the course of cultivation, and as to sales from the land. At the conclusion of a part of the term, the duration of the lease is extended at the pleasure of the tenant, the basis of the new rent being taken from an average of agri- cultural prices at or about the time of the renewal, so that the rent is continually adjusted, for though prices do not determine profits, they aid usefully in interpreting them. As I have been told, during the term the tenant is allowed a discretion in cul- tivating his land and selling his produce, but if he elects to run his lease out he is very properly put under restrictions during the last three years of his holding. I am told that the system has (operated to the satisfaction of all parties, nor do I doubt that Lord Leicester deals very generously and wisely with his tenants when they undertake permanent improvements of an obvious kind. Now this lease, the particulars of which, as far as my memory goes, I heard from my friend, Mr. James Howard, embodies every- tliing which, in concert with some of my colleagues in the House of Commons, I strove in vain to urge upon Parliament, when the Agricultural Holdings Act was in Committee. But the failures of some people are the successes of others, and I do not doubt that in course of time its natural complement will be added to English and Scotch legislation. But even then, I fear, for reasons already given, the recovery will be slow. The British farmer is more given to illusions than any of his countrymen. Next to him is the ordinary landowner. But this may be con- fidently alleged, that in matters of high public interest the obligation on Parliament to revise and regulate contracts is measured by the stupidity and wrongdoing of those who enter into and make them. IV. LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. Latifundia Italics — Bipod's estate — The enclosures of the sixteenth century — The introduction of the new agriculture — Arthur Young — Scottish farming — The Allotments Act of 1589 — The energy of stnall land- holders — Foreign experience — Poor Law and allotments — The Conacre — Modern experiments in allotments and co-operative farm- ing — Summing up. I KNOW no expression in the whole range of economic history and economic criticism, which has been more misunderstood and misapphed than the famous utterance of Phny (" Nat. Hist." xviii. 7. 3), " Latifundia perdidere ItaHam, jam rus at provincias." Tlais statement has been interpreted to mean that the wreck of ancient agriculture in Italy, to those who admitted the truth, " verum confitentibus," was due to the great estates of the Roman nobles, and that the evil was spreading to the provinces. To be sure, Pliny gives some colour to the popular interpretation by saying that six persons " possessed " half the province of Africa, when Nero put them to death. But in fact, Pliny is not thinking of ownership here, but of occupancies in which the free cultivator of antiquity is crowded out, and agriculture on a large scale was carried on by slaves, of which he justly says, " Coli rura ab ergastulis pessimum est." Pliny was advocating a system of small farms, and even of what we should call peasant proprietors, LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 249 for he rightly saw that large holdings were ill-cultivated, that agriculture on a large scale is wasteful, and that the expatriation or extinction of an agricultural population is a national loss. And he goes on to tell a story that in old days one C. Furius Cresinus, a freedman, obtained such great crops from his small farm in contrast with those reaped by those of his neighbours, who had very large ones, that he was charged with bewitching their fields, before the sedile. Put on his trial, he could think of no better defence before the tribes than bringing into court his labourers, strong, well-fed, and well-clothed, his stout oxen, his improved implements of husbandry. Then we are told that he said, " This is the witchcraft I use, Romans ; but I cannot bring into court and show you my careful study, my pains, my toils." As might have been expected, he was unanimously acquitted. And Pliny observes, agriculture consists not in ex- penditure, but in judicious labour. And hence the ancients said that the master's eye was the best dressing a farm can get, or, as another alleged, " Agrum fronte oportat colere, non occi- pitio." You must till your ground with your forehead, not with the back of your head, in which nature puts no eyes, and no useful brains. In dealing with the question as to the dis- tribution of land, one must distinguish between what people are exceedingly apt to confuse — large ownership and large occupancy. Now England has always been a country of large owners. The consideration under which the ownership was acquired will not in many cases, bear examination. It was often dishonest, violent, discreditable. Estates have been obtained and accumulated from the days of the Conqueror to the days of the Georges — oflen in Great Britain, oftener in Ireland — by expedients which de- served a very different recompense. They have been extended and protected by artifices which any respectable lawyer would declare to be nefarious and contrary to public policy. They have been encumbered with charges, till the nominal owner is not only disabled from performing his natural duty by his estate, but is become a mere annuitant, who postures as a great proprietor. Now, I believe that there is nothing more demoralizing than for a person to be driven into an affectation of wealth, when he is in secret driven into the mean aiul furtive tricks of poverty. I am 2 so INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. convinced that not a little of the trouble into which British agriculture has been brought, the process of which I described in my last lecture, is due to the devices which bankrupt landowners have adopted to keep up the semblance of wealth when they were reduced to dire shifts, sometimes by their own misconduct, some- times by the misconduct of those whose debts they have inherited along with a nominal property. A man who is reputed to have ;^ 1 00,000 in consols but has pledged _^90,coo of it to his creditors and has spent the proceeds, is possessed in reality of only a modest competence. But the person who has the same nominal estate in land, but whose debts and mortgages have absorbed ninety per cent, of the capital value of his estate, is in a worse condition, especially if he fancies himself bound to air the pre- tence of being unencumbered. It is probable that in the thirteenth century great estates were fewer, and were even larger than they now are. With some exceptions, where accumulation has been the policy of a family, a policy which has very often proved disastrous, I think it as likely that in the eighteenth century they were generally as large as they now are. In one year, 1292, I have counted on Roger Bigod's Norfolk and vSuffolk estates, thirty-four manors on which this Earl of Norfolk was cultivating land. Besides these he had most likely other properties where he was not carrying on agriculture on his own account, and he also had a considerable Irish estate, which he was cultivating in the English fashion to a great extent. But it by no means follows that the mere fragments of his numerous accounts, which have survived the risks of six centuries and are now safe in the Record Office, represent the whole of the great estate which he surrendered to the king after his quarrel with his brother John, and thereby defeated his brother's title to his estate and dignity. Similar facts might be alleged as to the estates of the Earl of Gloucester, although at that time the machinery for direct alienation was by no means easy to work. There was, however, a very effective process of indirect alienation, in the practice of subinfeudation, which was possible after the statute of Quia emptorcs provided certain forms and conditions were carefully observed. Now the ownership of land is one thing, its distribution is a LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 251 totally different thing ; and if wc take into account the number of persons who had an absolute fixity of tenure under various kinds of rent in the thirteenth century, there never was a time in English history in which land was practicall}^ so subdivided, or, in an economical sense so distributed, as in that period and onwards. And the reason is not far to seek. Agriculture in England then, as is the case with agriculture in Ireland now, was the principal occupation of the whole nation. The landless man was a dangerous character then, one on whom his neighbours had no hold, a probable outlaw and brigand. He was as much suspected by the landowners and occupiers as a weaver in the fourteenth century was by the clergy, when a weaver was deemed to be a synonym for a Lollard or a heretic. Every one held land, not the peasant farmer only, but the day labourer ; and far into the eighteenth century when landlord cultivation revived, the great proprietor relied largely for his labour on the small farmers about him. Even the artisans held land, as I have found from such building accounts of those early ages as have been preserved. I very much doubt, indeed, whether out of the great towns, any artisan, or for the matter of that, any trader could have safely calculated on continuous business in his calling. Now, as I have stated more than once, at two well-defined periods of English economical history, the great landowners conferred incalculable benefits on English industry. These periods are from about 1260 to 1350, and from about 1730 to 1780. I do not say that the process was entirely lost after those dates, but it was seriously interrupted, in the first case by the great plague, in the second by the enormous exaltation of agri- cultural prices at the conclusion of the eighteenth century. But during each epoch as much of the lesson as could be taught was taught. The English farmer learned from the experimental landlord, as for example, Bigod, how to cultivate his land accord- ing to the best lights of the time. He applied the teaching thoroughly, he was exceedingly thriving during the great war of succession in the fifteenth century, and out of his prosperity aro.se that great body of moderate freeholders who were so strangely numerous in the beginning of the seventeenth century, and were absorbed so strangely at its conclusion. 252 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. The fourteenth and fifteenth centuries, though the rate of production from land was small, were eminently a period of small occupiers and owners. It was a common practice, at a time when currency was scarce, to pay workmen with occupancies more or less permanent, just as it was common up to the potato famine of 1846 to pay Irish labourers by conacre, ?>., a plot of prepared potato ground. I do not, indeed, mean to imply that the Irish labourer was as well treated in the nineteenth as the English labourer was in the fifteenth century, but merely to point out that a similar cause led to a similar expedient. To be sure the small holding of these by-gone times differed in one particular of great im,portance from the small holding of later experience. The peasant farmer of the earlier age had the advantage of abundant common pasture. It would have been impossible, in the existing state of the art of agriculture, for short farming to have been practised, except under the condition of abundant common of pasture. Hence any attempt to curtail this right, and to enclose common of pasture gave rise to the most violent discontents. We are expressly told that the formidable insurrection of Ket in Edward VI. 's reign, the turbulence of which cost Norwich its prosperity, the suppression of which, on mild terms, cost Somerset his life, was expressly due to an authorized and arbitrary enclosures. You may read ho\y a fifteenth-century farm was managed in Latimer's sermons, where he describes his father's tenancy, and the occupa- tions of those who were engaged on the land. You may find it in the thirty-first sermon. It is most delightfully bucolic. It must not be believed that landlord cultivation quite died out, and with it the example of enterprise and educated intelligence. I have found sufficient evidence to prove its continuity, not sufficient, unluckily, to infer as to its character. Thus Battle Abbey, up to the Dissolution, kept the farms in its own hands. Sion kept one. It seems, too, till the home farm of Westminster Abbey (now known as the Coven t Garden Estate) was wrested from it by Henry, in order to endow the newly bestowed rank of the Earl of Bedford, was similarly cultivated. But after the Reformation I have found some examples of landlord cultivation. Cranfield, afterwards Earl of Middlesex, and Financial Minister of James I., cultivated his Essex estate. So did D'Ewes, the LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 253 Parliamentary Puritan, his in Suffolk. It may be that records of such practice are still existent in old muniment rooms. But in the nature of things, the interest in such old accounts was very transient. " Etiam perierunt ruiiicie." After the chaos and orgie of the Restoration, all agricultural industry becomes obscure. Even the literature of the art retrogrades. Worlidgc, the authority of the time, is not such a valuable authority as Hartlib. Gregory King estimates that in his time there were 310,000 small freeholders and farmers. He gives a little under sixty-eight acres of arable and pasture to each family, or a little over twenty- nine acres arable. It would appear, then, that at the close of the seventeenth century, the average size of a holding did not differ materially from that which I hav^e found it stand at in the fifteenth century, and that England was, and remained, a country of small occupiers well into the eighteenth century. The proportion of pasture to arable in this estimate is entirely in accordance with the state of agriciiUiire at the time, for winter roots were practically unknown, and artificial grasses very exceptionally cultivated. Hence there was no real rotation of crops, and little winter feed beyond hay and straw. Nor could a beneficial change, I truly admit, have been expected from these small occupiers. Low as the rents were, they were .severe rack-rents, paid with difficulty and the subject of incessant complaint. As I have mentioned before, Gregory King credits the English farmer with the least possible power of saving from his meagre income. I suspect, however, that as he was the principal consumer of his own produce, his comlition was more comfortable than King makes out. I do not as yet know, perhaps I shall never exactly fiiul mit, where the new agriculture was first seriously taken up and by whom. It was certainly not known in 1721, the date of Mor- timer's Essays on Agriculture, for he knows nothing ot it. It certainly was known in 1730, for Lord Lovell, siibscc|ui. ntly tin; first Lord Leicester of the Coke family, practised it. 1 1 was known to Tall in 1 73 1, for lie describes it, and ilwelK on its advantages. But, again, it is not clear whether he or Lord Townshend of Raynham, began it. At any rate it was adopted on a large scale in Norfolk, the original home of many a great 254 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. economical development in England, and of many other develop- ments besides, for it is impossible to limit the direction in which an active intelligence runs when it once takes root. Unfortunately it is possible to destroy a local intelligence, and to blot out the memory of its existence. I could illustrate this extinction of local spirit and local character by many instances. There are foolish and shallow people who talk of their fellow creatures as though they were in a process of continual progress. But this may be in one of as marked retrogression. The theory of continual pro- gress is, I believe, a Teutonic fancy ; I trust for the sake of the race that it is a Teutonic reality. The German people has not yet recovered from the Thirty Years' War. They had a great lee- way to make up after it, and have not been always wisely guided in the path of progress which has been laid out for them. The chief feature of the new agriculture was the change which it made in the rotation of crops, in the substitution of roots, especially the turnip for bare fallows, in the careful hoeing and weeding of the root crop, and in the fertilization of the soil by the feeding the root crop by sheep. Not a single stage of this process had to be omitted. There were unhoed and unweeded turnip crops in Lord Lovell's time, and fifty years after, during the travels of Arthur Young. These rubbishy crops were fed by sheep, who got little good from them, and the land less. Jn Youncr's days the system of bare fallows was not extinct, and over and over again he denounces the folly of the farmer in language which is not philosophic. But after a few years, and in his later works, for this excellent person had, fortunately, a long period of literary activity and of practical usefulness, the changes which he desired came, not indeed always as he would have wished them, and the English farmer became the model, perhaps the envy of other nations. I know nothing fresher and more genuine than the way in which this honest and serviceable man, wherever he may be, in Irish country houses or Irish hovels, amonor English squires or English farmers, in the hotels of Paris, in the country seats, in the roturier's homestead, among the nobles of Italy and the meteycr, after listening to Italian operas, and (Trowing fervid over the genius of the dramatist, Alfieri, who ran away with the wife of the young Pretender, loses no opportunity. LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 255 and carefully chronicles his opportunity of proposing the British tnast of " Speed the Plough." Now it is certain that this passion for experimental agriculture, of which Young was the annalist and the economist, did great, incalculable service to the art. It is satisfactory to note that Young was everywhere recognized as the pioneer of the new system, a praise which, though he was by no means a braggart, he does not disclaim. And though I believe that a great variety of motives induced the landowners of the day to take this new departure, and that all their motives were not of the highest, as indeed a very slight study of eighteenth-century literature would prove, it would be invidious to disparage or vilify the public good which they effected. They certainly doubled the produce from the same area of corn-growing crops, they kept the land in constant activity and in constant heart, and this without pressing unduly on their tenants. They gave the farmers time to learn, and they did learn. In point of fact, the indisposition of these experimental and improving landlords to raise the rents of their sluggish tenants, rouses the wrath of Young, who constantly avers in his tomes, that the new agriculture will never make due progress till it was stimulated by a genuine rack-rent, by which he means a rack-rent which will force the farmer to make the profit which can be made by agriculture. The process by which the tenant farmers' capital is drained away by successive and invidious additions to a rent which is already full, would have roused his sharpest wrath. The man who looked with a forgiving eye on the events which occurred in France during the autumn of 1780 was not likely to have looked favourably on a grasping English landowner, who has striven to save himself from the consequences of his own extravagance and profligacy byslily and surreptitiously appropriating his tenant's capital. But the process of improve- ment, even under these favourable conditions, went on slowly. Haste, who wrote on agriculture just after the peace of Paris, busies himself with discussing the motives which make the English farmer so unaccountably slow in accepting these demon- strable improvements. But great progress was made between 1763 and 1800. The progress of Scottish agriculture was much slower and inuJi 256 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. later. For an agricultural tenant to camp on a landowner's estate for eighteen years, to bring his stock and labourers with him, to build for this term his homestead and shelters, and at the end of the term to entirely clear out, with all his belongings and all his followers, and migrate to some other locality, does not appear to me to promise good husbandry. On the contrary, it seems to account for the exceeding prevalence of gipsy hordes among an otherwise shrewd population, and to explain the sympathy with which these wanderers were viewed. In fact, the system worked detestably. You can read of its worst forms in Hugh Miller's reminiscences, especially when he speaks of the obstinacy with which the Scottish farmers would tie the ploughs to the tails of their horses, and in the despairing efforts of Mr. Triptolemus Yellowby in Scott's *' Pirate." The real author of Scottish agriculture was Sir John Sinclair. That the small occupier profited by the experiences which he gathered from experimental agriculture on the new system, is, I think, clear by the cessation of their complaints against rack- renting, common and bitter enough in the seventeenth century, when, as I have told you, the average rent of arable land was 4s. 6d. an acre at most, and the rise of rents, within seventy years, without, I repeat, these complaints, to more than double the rate at which they previously stood. For the first seventy years too of the eighteenth century the price of some kinds of farm produce, e.g.^ meat, was stationary, that of butter and cheese rose very slightly, that of wool sensibly, even greatly declined, while the average price of grain was considerably below that at which it stood in the previous century. On the other hand, the price of agricultural labour rose, a proof, if any were needed, that the rate of wages rises and falls with the price of food, only when the labourer is getting the wages of a slave, as indeed he did after these latter days were over. The rents of the eighteenth century, for at least the first three quarters of it, were genuine economic rents, t'.e.^ they were paid by the excess of agricultural profits over normal or average rates of profit. There were two facts, however, connected with the agricultural system of the eighteenth century on which I m\ist dwell for a short time. In the year 1589 Elizabeth's government passed an Act, LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 257 under which four acres of land were to be annexed to every new labourer's cottage which was built, and crowding in cottages was prohibited, by inflicting very substantial penalties on owners who permitted more than one family to inhabit the same tenement. This statute, I am persuaded, was one of the many expedients which Elizabeth or her advisers adopted with the hope of staving off what at last became inevitable, the Poor Law of 1601. The Act did not annex these plots to existing cottages, and the preamble of the Act, like the preambles of most Acts of which I have had experience, is misleading, for I assure you that these preambles contain more of what I will venture on describing as Parliamentary hypocrisy than any documents extant, even the most florid circulars of a new gold mine. But as time went on, the Act was operative. As population increased it became a substantial obligation, and at last, for a reason which I shall immediately give, a substantial grievance, which Parliament removed by abrogating the Act early in George III.'s reign. But while it lasted it was a palliative, and, I have little doubt, a substantial palliative to pauperism, especially during the cheap times and higher wages which prevailed for nearly three-quarters of the eighteenth century. The grievance which was felt arose from the custom of en- closures. As I have stated, enclosures of land were practised early. There is a justification for some of them in very ancient statutes, with which I need not trouble you. But in the reign of Anne enclosures began by private Acts of Parliament, and the volumes of these private Acts, of which we possess a large, but I believe not an exhaustive series in the Bodleian, are crowded with these Acts. Now, under what became a stereotyped system of enclosure, it was not difficult to enclose common fields and common of pas- ture, as some said at the time, to "steal the common from the goose," but it was difficult to deal with these small holdings annexed to cottages. They were often added by independent owners, who would stand out for their terms before they yielded. Arthur Young complains bitterly of the hindrance which these cottage holdings put in the way of his favourite enclosures, and, sympathetic as he generally is with everybody who cultivates land, great and small, I think that he is a little hard on the peasant, who enjoyed this substantial addition to his wages. So IS 258 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the Act of Elizabeth was repealed. Perhaps it is new to some of you, that the doctrine of three acres and a cow — for near two centuries four — attached to the labourer's cottage, has so respectable an antiquity as an Act of Elizabeth, a date which precedes the creation of any existing dukedom and most peerages. The consolidation of small farms and the creation of large holdings is comparatively recent. It had scarcely begun a century ago It began with the entire concurrence of the tenant farmer. For a period the time was passed away in which the farmer, in his bitterness at rack-rents and their discouraging effect on him, if he ventured on bold cultivation, used to mutter : " He that havocks may sit, He that improves must flit," a saying which was current up to the middle of the eighteenth century, and meant that a man who racked his land coukl stay, while he who cultivated it well would have his rent raised upon him, and be made to pay interest on his improvements, or go. In those days they went. Their descendants have stayed, and have been ruined. Rents were raised on prices, and agricultural dis- tress, even when the artificial famine was created during the great Continental War, was an incessant complaint. The excuse or defence of consolidation was the opportunity which it gave of developing improvements on a large scale. It was alleged, and with considerable show of reason, that experi- mental agriculture could not be carried on, except on a large scale and with abundant capital, that labour-saving machines could not be purchased and applied, and that the economies of invention could not be adapted to agriculture, unless an adequate area were given for their use. Another reason, not generally avowed, but certainly effectual, aided in bringing about the change. It was plain that the regular and permanent charges put on the landlord by custom, and generally borne by him, would be lessened. It stands to reason, that if three farms of one hundred acres each could be turned into one of three hundred, far less outlay would be required in buildings and repairs, and this was felt more sensibly, when, under the miserable fiscal system of the United Kingdom, any article which could be used in any of the industrial arts was, LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 259 visited by heavy excises. But there was another motive. The custom which had hitherto been so common among large land- owners, of carrying on experimental agriculture on part of their own estates, and with their own capital, was beginning to decline. This becomes clear from Young's reports, and the condensation of their results with the addition of more recent experience given by Sir John Sinclair. I cannot see that the possession of land in very large quantities by very few persons is in itself injurious to agriculture, or to agri- cultural progress. The balance of evidence, gathered from the experiences of the thirteenth and eighteenth centuries, would induce one to bcliev^e that in England, at least, it has not been harmful, but the reverse. I cannot, then, merely considering the condition of agriculture, share those alarms and echo that indig- nation which arc customary with many who have analysed the New Domesday. It may be, and in some particulars is, I think, a bad thing, that comparatively few people have an interest in the land of the country, for reasons which I hope to give. I am sure that it is a bad thing that families are protected from the conse- quence of their own vices by settlements of land, and that it is a worse thing, when profligacy has brought ruin, that such persons as have put themselves into so evil a plight should be further assisted by Private Acts of Parliament settling their estates, and thus invoking the aid of the Legislature to do that which every sound lawyer, every rational economist, and every practical states- man knows to be intrinsically indefensible under the best circum- stances, and is wholly without apology in the worst. It is very injurious to the public interest again that a man sliould have the nominal ownership of land when, by reason of his enilxurassments, he cannot possibly do his duty by it, and satisfy Mr. Hrununond's famous dictum, that property has its duties as well as its rights. We want a short and thorough remedy for the grave inconvenience of bankrupt landowners, to whose practices much of the trouble which has overtaken agriculture may be traced, by whose attitude the Legislature has had forced upon it the odious but inevitable duty of arbitrating between landlord and tenant, and revising con- tracts for the use of land. P>ut a wise and prudent landowner, who understands his own duties, and recognizes the right of his 26o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. tenants, is in my judgment one of the most useful of Englishmen, 'and I do not grudge if he be the owner of half a million acres, or rejoice if he be reduced to not a hundredth part of that quantity. If all landowners had been like him we should have had no agri- cultural trouble, no waste of agricultural capital, and none of that widespread distrust which incontestably at this time paralyses the efforts of those who would reconstruct the system of a bitter past. Undoubtedly, too, it is easier to deal, when remedial measures are urgent, with a few than it is with many, and it will be easier still, when some of the nonsense which the worst landowners habitually utter is exposed and repudiated ; and I reiterate, without fear of contradiction, that there is no person who gives more honest and intelligent labour to his calling, and his livelihood which is his rent, than a wise and prudent landowner does. And whatever my opinion maybe worth it is, at least, disinterested, for my ownership of English land amounts to less than an acre of it. That it would be well for social reasons if land were distributed among a larger number of persons I readily allow. In the first place, the present system is invidious. In the next, it is very ex- tensively abused. Now, I believe that the principal strength of communism, the danger which is menacing all society, is in the badness or unwisdom of governments, in the maintenance of unfair and irritating privileges, and the use of the force of legislation in order to confer exceptional advantages on certain classes. Men who are dissatisfied with the machinery which they think they have created, or could at least control, are very apt to become anarchical. They are still more apt Avhen they despair of its jus- tice. Now the particular form of injustice which is at present most keenly felt is that the English law and, till recently in a still more marked degree, the Irish law, allows the landlord to con- fiscate his tenant's property, under an antiquated maxim of law, which was not just when it was enunciated, and is now flagrantly unfair. Thus it seems to me that a system of perpetual ground rents, such as under the name of chief prevails in the North of England, and of feu in Scotland, should become the only legal lease. I am persuaded that the hope of agricultural restoration in England and Scotland is vain until a similar security is afforded to the agriculturist. Now a qualified or limited ownership, in LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 261 which the capital rule is preserved, that the hmittd owner is secure ill his own outlay, effects all the good results of a greater distribu- tion of property, the most satisfactory result being that the more people there are in a country who are interested in its prosperity, the more solid and substantial is the resistance which they make to those, who with the best intentions, perhaps, would reconstruct I iciety. " The magic of property," says Arthur Young, " turns sand into gold. Put a man into a precarious possession," he continues, " and he will turn a garden into a desert ; put him into a state in which he can securely anticipate the fruit of his own labours, and he will turn a desert into a garden." The only powers of the soil, as he saw, which are of any value, are eminently destructible, and can be destroyed in a very short time. The indestructible qualities of land are those which make it infertile. If they are wholly in- destructible, the land is absolutely barren. A granite rock, a mountain moor, a peasant's holding in Donegal or Galway possess, I regret to say, the indestructible powers of the soil, while the hop lands of Farnham and Kent, the corn of Gowrie and the Lothians have qualities which have been induced by intelligence, and may be extinguished by the absence of that quality, even though the modern Banquo smiles on them, and points to them as his. What Young was thinking of was the improved and guaranteed lease of Flanders, a system of tenure which more than two centuries ago English writers on husbandry pointed to as the model for imitation. By this lease the barren heather of Brabant has been turned into a fertile garden. The process was exceedingly simple. The tenant took a holding say of a hundred acres at a rent for twenty years. The rent was no doubt higher than that which was procurable for the land before he entered on it, for hope raises rent, just as despair at fair dealing depresses it. The tenant was to cultivate it as he pleased, and as he could, and was guaranted the difference at the conclusion of the term between the developed vahie of the land and its original rent. In other words, the uncann d iiien- ment, which is really the tenant's property, was secund in limi, instead of being appropriated by the person who has in rcjuityno colourable right to it. The Brabant fanners and the Brabant landowners had too much sense to be gulled by t lie nonsense whit h 262 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. socialists have talked about indestructible fertility. Of course, at the end of the term, if the owner saw proper he resumed possession, and either cultivated the improved holding himself, or made terms with the old tenant, or procured a new one. And I repeat there was a value in the term, analogous to that which the tenant farmer acquired in Ulster, a value which I have been accustomed to call the price of security. Now, setting aside the personal reasons which may have sug- gested and brought about the consolidation or aggregation of farms, it may be worth while to inquire whether the benefits which are ordinarily alleged to come from large holdings are not unreal, exaggerated, and unduly claimed for them? In the first place, it is not infrequently the case that in past times, perhaps in present, tenants have been disposed to apply for holdings, to the adequate cultivation of which their capital was entirely insufficient. In my youth, and in my own native place, where there was not for a long time a single tenant farmer, I have seen an analogous evil, with its natural results. I mean the purchase of land with borrowed money, and its cultivation with insufficient means. I well remem- ber one of these yeomen, the nominal owner of near a thousand acres, who was, according to the lights of the time, a capable agri- culturist, who was thrifty, almost penurious, but who died a poorer man than he was when he inherited a more modest estate. He had bought, borrowed the greater part of the purchase money, and carried on his agriculture with a stinted and insufficient capital. I imagine that this has been markedly the characteristic during the last twenty years with the tenants who have taken land at competition rents. But I should have thought that if there was one thing which a prudent landowner might insist on knowing, and on which he would be affirmatively advised by an honest agent or surveyor, it would be the amount of capital which an intending tenant proposed expending on his holding. That this knowledge was not obtained, or if obtained was not com- municated by the agents to the owners, is plain from the informa- tion which I received from one of the largest agents in this district, ten or twelve years ago, that the average capital to the acre, possessed by the tenants of the estates which he administered, was not more than £^, when efficient agriculture requires ^lo. LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 263 It is by no means certain, even if the tenants of large holdings cm purchase improved machinery, that smaller ones, as is pre- Litned, will do without them. More than twenty years ago, in my lirst Irish agricultural tour, I met my friend Mr., now SirBernhard Samuelson, at a Limerick hotel. Some of you may know that he is, among other things, an agricultural implement maker. Now lie told me that on that day he had learned from his Limerick ;i';cnt that between forty and fifty of the Limerick farmers, not Diieof whom held over forty acres of arable land, had boucht 1 eaping machines. The arable land in the valley of the Shannon is rich, and yields great crops to good cultivation, but I should think it probable that few English tenant farmers on such holdings would have purchased such expensive machinery. Besides, it is quite possible for small tenants, when they are clearly convinced that the new process is an economy, to hire machines or to pur- chase them on co-operative principles. When the practice o drilling had by no means superseded that of broad-cast sowing, it was common, as I know, for persons to own drills, and let them out, or do the work for farmers. And drilling is an operation now near two centuries old. It should always be remembered, too, that, acre for acre, a small occupier, if one considers only his labour and that of his family, expends more capital on his holding than a large one does. The tenant of a ten-acre farm in the better parts of Ireland constantly gives his own labour and that of his family for the whole or the greater part of the year to his land, with the effect that the culti- vation is almost that of a garden. Beyond the manure which he collects from his stock, he constantly puts many loads to the acre of peat and lime, or, in some parts, limestone, and will) the best effects. It is true, that most of his capital is in his labour, and there are persons who, believing that the economy of labour is the end of agriculture, censure such unremitting toil as he bestows. But I cannot believe that the true end of agriculture is to get a scanty crop at a cheap rate. If I did, a western wheat larm in Iowa, where the cultivator, never appearing excejit at seed time and harvest, gets some twelve bushels an acre from the prairie, would be the perfection of agriculture. No doubt it is an economical benefit to get any result with the least possibh- expenditure, hut we 264 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. must not forget that the result is to be the largest possible. Now, if we can trust the agricultural education books put out by the Irish Society, it is possible for a peasant and his family to live plentifully from the produce of, not only a ten-acre farm, but fn^n one of five only. To judge from the columns of questions and answers on agricultural topics, which are found in every Irish paper, even those which popular opinion in England conceives to be entirely and strongly political, the Irish peasant is exceedingly anxious to get the best and most recent agricultural information supplied to him. The policy which has consolidated farms is by no means an unmixed advantage. The object of a landlord is, I presume, to let his land. But it seems obvious that the competition for large farms, even in the most stirring times, must be less than the com- petition for those of more moderate size. Some years ago the bursar of one of our colleges began the system of consolidation. I put the question to him whether he could be quite so sure of his tenants under the large-farm system. He iwas confident, and I was incredulous. It would have been well, as I have been told, for the corporation whose affairs he administered, if he had par- taken of my doubts, for I am assured that the experiment has been a costly, almost a ruinous, failure. There is one feature in moderate farming which is often lost sight of. This is the value of a farmer's own labour. When it is given, and the farmer's own hands are always busy with the work of his farm, I reckon that his own labour on a hundred-acre, or a hundred-and-fifty-acre tenancy is worth at least j^ioo a year. That of his hands may not be worth to him more than a third as much, but there is all the difference between working for one's own profit, and for that of another. I have been informed by several considerable landowners that there is far less distress and depression among small farmers than there has been among those who cultivate large holdings, and far less reduction of rent. I have already stated, and I must repeat it, that some part of this is due to the fact that the proportion of produce which a small farmer consumes for himself and his family is far greater than that which a large holder consumes, and that this portion of his earnings is hardly mulcted at all by the middle-man. Resides he LARGE AND SMALL HOLLJINGS. 265 has a more practical knowlcdoc of what land is worth and capable of than a large fanner has, to say nothing of a multitude of small economies which his neighbour is too negligent or slothful to take advantage of — in the dairy, the poultry yard, and the garden. There is a good deal of literature about small farming, by which I do not mean labourers' allotments, on which I shall have a word to say presently, A good many years ago, Mr. Samuel Laing gave an exceedingly instructive account about peasant farming in Norway. Mr. Thornton, in his plea for peasant proprietors, incorporated with his own notes of Channel Island farming, what had been written on the subject at the date of his publication, some thirty years ago. Mr. Mill discovered and expatiated on some of the indirect advantages which accrued from the system, and gave the weight of his authority in favour of it. Many persons have commented on the remarkable efficiency of peasant farming in Belgium, from which country, as I was recently informed, the longest and finest flax fibre is regularly imported, to be manipulated at Belfast, and re-exported as yarn. The small farming of Holland and Denmark has also been favourably noticed. I have drawn similar conclusions from the Rhenish Palatinate and Bavaria. Very recently, Mr. Samuel Hoare has examined and reported on the small farms ol Denmark. But, on the other hand, M. le Play, and recently Lady Verney, have commented adversely on French peasant farming, mostly as I think from the supposed moral elTect which small estates held by poor and struggling cultivatt)rs have on their owners and occupiers. The evidence, differences t)f race, or as I prefer to conclude, differences in the history of their calling, appears to be on the whole conclusive as to the social and economical value of the small system. It is difficult to say what would be its effect if induced on English agricultural life, for of course I am thinking of farms no larger than twenty or thirty acres, mainly, if not entirely, cultivated by the labour of the occupier or owner. They who have commented on the syMem in England have always insisted that it is more advisable to sell land and rent, than to buy and work it, and point to the gradual extinction of small owners, the low rate of interest on land, and sometimes unwisely enough insist that land \^ tb>- luxury of the 266 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. rich. But if the land of the small owners, when bought, goes into a settlement, the gradual extinction is explained. The reasoning invariably compares land as an investment, and land as an instrument, two widely different things ; and as regards the low rate of interest on land, that I have already disposed of. For the rest, at the present time, very many people find that land i:. anything but a luxury. In some of these countries which have been referred to, what is called peasant proprietorship is in reality market gardening. This is particularly the case in the Channel and the Scilly Islands, where the mildness of the climate brings the produce into an early market, where it can be disposed of at high prices. To some extent this is the case in Belgium, to a larger in parts of France. But this is not peasant agriculture in our sense of the word. But I think that, on the whole, Mr. Mill has not exagge- rated the moral education of peasant agriculture, especially when it has the constant experience of larger holdings, and the way in which they are cultivated, though I think he has set too much store on the Malthusian checks which he has detected in them. In recent times considerable interest, a little action, and not a little unreasonable, perhaps interested, ridicule has been expended on agricultural labourers' allotments. A couple of generations ago, allotments formed part of the regular system of Poor Law relief and management, and just as with the Irish conacre, these allotments were given in lieu of wages, were a kind of agricultural truck system. After the old Poor Law was modified, every part of the older system was attacked almost with ferocity, and the new system was administered with almost brutal severity. Perhaps there has been no lesson which Guardians and the Central Board in London were so slow to learn, as that it was possible to carry out the law with humanity, in deserving cases even with generosity, and even to effect a reduction in the cost of parochial main- tenance. The allotments soon went. The philosophers de- nounced them, sometimes because they were cultivated with the spade, and the farmers were glad to get rid of what they thought was apt to make the poor too independent. Recently the practice has been revived on entirely practical, and by no means on sentimental grounds, by svich highly-intelligent and well-informed LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 267 landowners as Lord Tollemache, and a little legislation of a timid and tentative character has been enacted. The principal advantages of a decently sized allotment — I should prefer myself the Elizabethan four-acre plot — are twofold. In the first case, it gives the peasant an interest in that form of property which he best understands, and tends to keep alive in him that very various knowledge which a good farm hand always used to possess. In this way it discourages that restlessness and discontent which is now driving him into towns, to swell the numbers of the unemployed. If he held such a plot as I have indicated, and was guaranteed his improvements in it, as the larger farmer is, or should be, I do not doubt that he would not only cultivate it with assiduity and care, but that he would rapidly develop that respect for other people's properly which his forefathers had, and he is reputed to have lost. The other reason is, that his labour is of singular value to him. I have often been told by labouring men, who have owned two or three acres or more of land, and have cultivated it with their own hands, that the produce of every day's work which they gave has been worth los. to them, not to sell, but for the maintenance of their families. My friend Mr. Tuckwell, who has carried out the system with the greatest success and acceptance on his own living of Stockton near Rugby, makes the more modest estimate of 7s. 6d. a day. In point of fact, these allotments of a reasonable size are the best form of savings bank to an agricultural labourer, and in my opinion should be as warmly encouraged as the benefit society and the clolhing club are. Not does such a small tenure indispose the (jccupier from working for hire on other people's land. Many of Mr, Tuckwell's tenants arc- labourers at the gasworks in the neighbourhood, and art- certainly not irregular in attending to their normal calling. I understand, too, that the farmers are no longer alarmed at the probable independence of the labourers, for ihey find that being better fed, they are more worth their wages, and are by no mians averse to improving their incomes. Bui (lure, are and always will be, I presume, prophets of evil, who predict all sorts of mischief when a little generosity and practical good sense are allowed their way. Now I. for my part, never cared much for 2^s /yni'STK/.iL AA'D commj-:kc/.il history. uninspired prophecv, and in what I have boon able to do, never allowed invself to be deterred by it. More ambitious than the modest system of allotments, the benefits of whieh would. I am sure, be great, is the attempt to introduee the principles of co-operation into agriculture. One of these co-operative farms has been, I believe, in existence for some time at Arsington ; another owed its existence a very few years ago to Mr. Bolton King, and is not far from Leamington ; a third is being carried on on an estate in the Berkshire hills, which is the generous gift of Lord Wantage. A few years ago — I believe in 1S85 — I Avas invited to attend a meeting in the Westminster Palace Hotel, at which the policy of co-operative farming was advocated, and the gift of Lord Wantage was announced. I have not had the opportunity of examining any of these farms, and of forming a judgment on the character of the undertaking in each or in any case. I see indeed no reason why co-operative produc- tion in agriculture with what it involves, should not be even more successful than co-operative production in cotton-spinning and stocking-weaving, though of course reasonable proximity to a niarket is very important for the sale of agricultural products, and the enterprise may be unduly weighted at its inception by the bad condition of the estate on which the experiment is made ; for, as Young says, you cannot gi\c too much for good land, and | too little for bad, and of all kinds of bad land, that land has the worst reputation, the cultivation of which has been abandoned j because it has been badly cultivated. This, some of you may remember, is Virgil's agricultural desert and despair. I should conclude, however, that the greatest benefit derivable from a tenancy like this, at least till the land has been thoroughly and efficiently cultivated, would lie in the extent to which the labourers on it can be maintained on the spot from their o\ati produce. The workmen on such a farm should obtain to the full the benefits which come from a well-tilled allotment, and the profit which the farmer secures by his own labour, the banquet of Horace's Sabine husbandman, whom Appius of the Roman Stock Exchange envied, but declined to imitate, professing perhaps to instruct him in the indestructible powers of the soil. I d'^ not indeed doubt that such farmers mav in the end do well LARGE AND SMALL HOLDINGS. 269 a- dealers, do better than the ordinary tenant farmer has done ; ' : in the beginning it seems to me that it is more important for m to subsist on the land, than to be too eager in celling > produce. But I must venture no farther in discussing an t voeriment, the process of which I have not \ntnessed. To sum up. While I am entirely indifferent as an economist to extended and extensive ownership, when the estate is unen- cumbered and is judiciously managed, I am quite i)ersuaded that a greatly divided occupancy, under which the tenant, whether Hitting or sitting, is secured in his improvements and protected against any rise of rent whatever on his own outlav, is the best hope for the revival of British agriculture. This country is overflowing with capital. Never in its history has it witnessed so low a rate of interest o\\ investments. The outflow is in every direction, colonies, where one can obtain b or 7 per cent, on first -class mortgages, and banking overdrafts are charged at the rate of q or 10 per cent., as a normal and natural interests, are borrowing on their Government securities at as low a rate as the British ^Government could raise consols. The annual waste of improvident investments is, I am sure, equal to the revenue of many a European state. But agriculture langiiishes. We are importing more and more every day, not only of grain, but of minor agricultural products — eggs, poultry, fruit. The natural protection atTorded to the products of British agriculture by the cost of ocean freight and land transit, is greater than it is to any product whatever except coal and siMue mineral ores. The soil has been in past times cultivated to perfection. The skilled British agriculturist has no rival in the civili/ed wiuKi. But the agricultural capital has vanished, and no jiart of the great store flows in tt) fill up the void. For this state of things there is and can be but one reason : and that reason is distrust. V. MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. I. EMIGRATION. The mii^ruf/on of barbarians — English emigration to Ireland — I 'ir- ginia — New England — Emigration of the Scotch Highlanders to Canada— Irish emigration ^-The convict colonies— Australia — The economic aspect of emigration — E?nigration of the ** unemployed'^ — American troubles — Colonial loans — Emigration of skilled ivoi k- nien, I AM using the words Emigration and Immigration in the two lectures which I design to dehver on the Movements of Labour, in a limited, perhaps in an arbitrary sense. Even if the new- comers settle in a perfectly uninhabited district, such as were the islands of Mauritius and St. Helena, emigration and immigration are only two aspects of the same process, and involve certain results. I intend, therefore, to imply in the former of these words the efllux of population into more or less settled countries, as for instance that from Great Britain into the northern part of the American continent, limiting myself on the present occasion to movements on the part of our own countrymen in the United Kingdom ; and by the latter movements on the part of foreigners, in the first place, and to some extent of British and Irish subjects to divers districts of the United Kingdom, You will anticipate that these movements, in so far as they are historically traceable, have had marked economic effects. Again I have used the word MO VE ATE NTS OE LA 7iO UR. 27 1 "labour" designedly. I am not at present concerned with piratical movements, such as those of Saxons, Danes, or Normans. Nor do 1 intend to refer, except slightly, to those few colonies of conquest which the British nation has acquired and possesses, meaning by colonies of conquest those in which the ascendency of an earlier civilized occupancy has been superseded, as in Lower Canada, in the state of New York, and at the Cape ; nor again to that slight and entirely superficial occupancy by officials and a few capitalists, which has been established in tropical regions, notably the so-called Indian Empire. I say slight and superficial ; for I am informed by those who study the origins of the Aryan race, and assign a different, primeval seat nearly every six months, that the present favourite is the shores of the Baltic. It may be the case that in those ancient times on which this in- structive speculation is expended, the inhabitants of those almost Arctic regions were able to accommodate themselves to the Indian climate. But the immigrants of a more favourable zone are not capable of such adaptations. It is said, and is not, I believe, contradicted, that in those days at least, the children of Anglo- Indian parents, such children being brought up in India to puberty, are, if married, invariably childless. If this be the fact, and it is capable of every disproof and verification, British India cannot be colonized by persons of British descent. Nor do I deal with the tempting subject of those great move- ments of populations which followed on the decline of the military Empire of the West, the occupation of Spain by the (ioths, of Gaul by the Franks, of Roman Britain by divers Teutonic tribes, of Italy by the numerous races which descended on it, of the Eastern Empire by the Slavs in what was once Northern Tinkey, and now, happily, rent from it, or of the later movtintiits of the Turkish hordes in Asia Minor, Syria, and r:astern Flurope. The economical consequences of these movements were prodigious. They entirely changed the face of that part of the workl in which they occurred. In Western and Central Europe these events have, though very slowly, led to the formation of powerful states, possessing a high degree of civilization, in thi- south-east and w. the basin of the Mediterranean, they have substituted a revolting savagery for diffused opulence, great intelKctual progress, and a 272 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. remarkable, but peculiar civilization. There were, as you are probably aware, great and prosperous kingdoms in the plains of Mesopotamia, and in Central Asia from prehistoric antiquity till the days of Mohammedan conquests, and even afterwards. In the time of the earlier Roman Empire the three principal seats of learning or education were — I give them in the contemporary writer's order of excellence — Tarsus, Alexandria, and Athens. Northern Africa, from the border of Egypt to the Straits of Gibraltar, was studded with numerous cities, whose record has perished, whose palaces are now for the most part tenanted by savages. Many of these movements, though comparatively late in recorded history, are really prehistoric. We know more about the invasion of the Cimri and Teutones, about a century before our era, than we do of the battle of Soissons and the defeat of Syagrius, in the fifth century after that era. We know a little, but only a little, from the work of Bede as to the Teutonic conquest of Britain. The settlement of Northern France by Scandinavian rovers is very imperfectly narrated. I conclude that, where it was possible, the movements of the tribes was very like what Coesar describes in the case of the Helvetii, and what occurred in the centre of Asia Minor at the early immigration of the Gallic tribes, into what was afterwards Galatia. In more modern times we learn something about the movements of Tamerlane, of Ginghis Khan, of the conquest of Northern Hindo- stan, and of the Tartar or Mongol empire in Russia. I refer to these facts briefly, in order to show that there were movements of races, the effect of which has had a vast and enduring influence on the communities which have been subject to them, an influence which might justly claim the attention of the economist. For the genuine student of economics as well as of political history must search into the past for the interpretation of the present, if he is to save himself from barren logomachies. It would be of great interest and value to dwell on the economical consequences to Europe of these great movements, and on the results which have, in so far as they are traceable, been brought about by this fusion of races. People predict that in a century hence the English tongue will MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 273 be the language of the civihzed world, an English-speaking race, how collected is very conjectural, will be the dominant force of the future. For the English is by no means assimilative. We have taken our colours from immigrants, but we have only, except within the limits of administrative law and language, given a colour to those with whom we have associated ourselves. No nation in Europe has ever had such power in assimilating foreign elements to itself as the French has. Its occupation of the dis- trict about Metz dates from the early part of the sixteenth century, of the part of the Flemish frontier from the later half of the seventeenth, its acquisition of Alsace, Lorraine, and the Strasburg district from the conclusion of the same century. But whatever may be said about the economical loss which has followed on the restoration of Alsace and Lorraine to Germany, in many minds of the inhabitants there is, I think, no doubt, though it is well known that these Teutonic parts of later France were per]ictuallv ridiculed by France proper, and not very generously used in French wars, that they were very completely assimilated. The provinces were, I believe, sincerely attached to the French con- nection, and were greatly discontented at their severance from what they had come to consider their country. But our efforts in this direction have been exceedingly unsuccessful. We had to make a complete, and under the circumstances a far from credit- able, surrender to the Canadian-French some half century ago ; our relations with the Dutch inhabitants of the Cape have been strained, and by no means indicative of hopeful statesniaii^hi]) ; and there is a country ever nearer to us, in which the dominant or superior race has had to console itself with the subjcclive con- viction of its own superiority. I should be led into I lie iloin.iiii of practical politics if I gave you my reasons for this conspicuous failure, in which, I regret, we stand almost alone among those nations which may be fairly called progressive. There is, indecil, one race kindred to us, which is even more incapable of assimila- tion than ourselves. This is the North German i)eoi)le, and perhaps you may discover in their characteristics what makes our work, with far larger opportunities and far wiiler exiKMcnces, so difficult and disappointing to us. With one exception, English emigration is very late. I lie 19 274 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. exception is that of Ireland. I trust that in time Mr. Bagwell will find it to the purpose to continue his inquiry into the relations of the English pale to the Irish race, for I have rarely read any work which casts more light on the early English settlement in Ireland than Mr. Bagwell's history does. To me it came with peculiar interest, as I had already discovered and briefly com- mented on, more than a quarter of a century ago, what was the condition of the Anglo-Irish pale, in my examination of the Bigotl accounts. Bigod, Earl of Norfolk, had married one of the co- heiresses of Stongbow, had acquired a considerable estate by this marriage in South-east Ireland, and had evidently introduced into his part of the island the English system of land tenure, with its grants on fixed and invariable rents, and its practice of assisting manufactures, fairs, and markets by relieving them of arbitrary exactions. I am convinced, from what I gathered from Bigod 's system, that if the action of the English pale had been traditional with the successors of those earlier settlers, Irish trouble would not have been perennial. But the prospect was soon clouded. The most unfortunate invasion of Edward Bruce, the more unfortunate trust which the Irish reposed in this adventurer, his defeat and death, and the final destruction of the Irish levies at Athenry were the beginnings of a new and disastrous epoch. You many re- member that the Battle of Athenry, a place some ten or a dozen miles from Galway, occurred in the same year as the Scottish victory at Bannockburn. The late Dr. Arnold was wont to say that Bannockburn was the making of Scotland and Athenry the ruin of Ireland. Like most generalities, neither statement was correct. But Athenry was the beginning of a new Irish policy, the mischief of which the Plantagenet sovereigns foresaw, thougli owing to the passion which filled them for the conquest of France, they were impotent to check. I do not intend to lead you through the history of English emigra- tion to Ireland. It was almost extirpated at the end of the four- teenth century, when Richard II. tried to restore the English pale, and gave occasion thereby to a successful revolt against him in England. It might perhaps have been restored, and with the goodwill of the Irish, by Richard, Duke of York, in the middle of the fifteenth century, had not the danger in Avhich Richard I MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 275 stood, or thought he stood, compelled him to return to England, and to make a final struggle against Margaret of Anjou. It was one of the greatest faults in the reign of Edward IV. that he did not make use of his father's popularity for the settlement of Ireland. How attached the Irish were to his family is seen in the assistance which they gave to pretenders in the reign of Henry VII. The situation determined Henry on adopting a special policy in Ireland, the type of which was Poynings Act. Thence- forward the emigration of Englishmen to Ireland was the settle- ment of adventurers on confiscated estates. The rebellion of the Geraldines and the revolt of O'Neill in the sixteenth century, with the consequent attainders, in which the rights of the pro- scribed nobles were treated as identical with those of an English traitor, led to enormous changes of property and the extinction of the tribesmen's interests. James distributed Ulster, the for- feiture of O'Neills, mainly among Scotchmen, though he sold much to the wealthier City Companies. Then came the uprising of 1 64 1, its suppression by Cromwell, all the more harsh, because the Parliament had discovered the negotiations of Charles through Glamorgan ; the uneasy period of the Restoration ; the ujirising of 1689, its Parhament, and its retaliatory confiscations; the Battle of the Boyne; the capture of Limerick byGinkell ; the fresh confisca- tions and the Penal Code, drawn up from beginning to end, by Chancellor Brodrick, who was made a peer for his pains. There is, I believe, no country in Europe, the confiscation of the land in which has been so often repeated as in Ireland. There is none in which the memory of these transactions is so lasting, none in which the assimilation of races has been rendered so hopeless. The earliest experiences of emigration by the English have ht vn by no means encouraging. The emigration from Ireland is by no means to be dissociated from this policy and those events, and is part of economical history, and that of no litlK- significance. An attempt was made by Raleigh to found a colony in North America. But RaUigh never conceived anything higher than a buccaneering expedition, in which an empire like those of Cortes and Pizarro were to be discovered and conquered. I !e did not dis- cover in Virginia, as he named his settlement, in honour of the great Queen, the El Dorado ofliis expcctat ions ; but tribes . ,| cunning 276 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. and ferocious savages, from whom a conquest would extort nothing. Here there was neither Mexico nor Peru. So Raleigh's settlement came to naught, to be revived at a far later period, and his failure was remembered against him at a subsequent part of his career. The first genuine emigration of Englishmen was that of the Puritans to New England. It was the emigration of discontent at the institutions of the home country, as not a little of our emigra- tion has regularly been. The British constitution and our social institutions are probably very noble ; but, oddly enough, despite the assurances of De Lolme and Mr. Justice Blackstone, the English race has been by no means satisfied with them. In old days, they used to rebel and depose unpopular sovereigns ; in latter days, they have fled from unappreciated benefits. They failed to recognize the comprehension of Elizabeth, and they entirely re- sented the change of front, when James abandoned the tenets of the Synod of Dort, and surrendered himself to those of Laud, An- drews, Overall, and the Divine right of kings party. Now, whatever may be thought of the wisdom of Laud and his supporters, I am inclined to think that the new school was more genial and easy than the old discipline of the Episcopal Calvinists. But the Puritans of Laud's time, while they were indignant at being coerced into conformity, and persecuted, were even more indignant at the fact that those who differed from them were not coerced into conformity, and severely put down, or even extirpated. Dissent from the manifest will of God, as announced in the Scriptures, was the most heinous of crimes. This was their major premiss, even more emphatically than it was with their opponents. They then supplied the minor premiss, that they alone were in the right in affirming, what was the manifest will of God, and the syllogism was complete ; and what was more important when the opportunity came, it supplied an infallible guide in practical politics. Some of these men fled to the New World, and founded the New England colonies. The Dutch with similar tenets, but with greater latitude of toleration, had founded there colonies too, in immediate proximity to New England, and no doubt sympathized with the voluntary exiles. Some stayed behind, and in due course manipulated the situation. Some of them, it is said, wished MO VEJMEN'l 6 Ot LABOUR. 277 to go, but were prevented. If the story is true, that the intended emigration of Hampden and Cromwell was prevented by an Order in Council at the instance of Laud, the king and his adviser were creating their own Nemesis. The early history of the Puritan colonies is by no means encouraging. They had their bickerings even in the midst of their dangers. They had by no means cast ofi" the persecuting spirit. They shudderingly belin'ed in witchcraft, and they abhorred Anabaptists and Quakers, visiting all with severe, even with capital, penalties. No doubt the Quakers of Fox's day were very offensive and intrusive people. When men are not content in believing in their superior sanctity, but take every oppor- tunity they can to affront the religious convictions of others, to call them men of sin, dumb dogs, and heap on them similar compli- ments, offence is naturally taken. The Anabaptists, too, were supposed to have immoral proclivities, and to be prone to Com- munism. So there was a justification, at least in minds of most New Englanders, for the severities with which these sectaries were treated. The whole of the New World, from the Pacific to the Atlantic, from the territory of Alaska to Cape Horn, was included in Borgia's Bull and Borgia's Grant. It is true that, in ancient times, the Scandinavians had in some fashion settled Greenland ; for we are told that the ruin of that region was due to an Arctic cataclysm, which was contemporaneous with the Black Death. But though nominally the overlords of the whole continent, the Spaniards contented themselves with Central America, especially on its western side. Here they found weak races, plentiful plunder, rich mines, and a docile people who could be worked to death in those mines. How bitterly and energetically they resented all intrusion on their conquests is seen in the issue of the unfortunate Daricn expedition in 1698, and the war of 1739 undertaken in the interests of the South Sea trade, and the excesses of the Guarda Costas. But Spain never seriously attempted to colonize the eastern coast ot North America, nor indeed that of South America ; it was not at- tractive. The district which lies between the St. Lawrence and the Hudson was not favourable to buccaneers. It contains noble harbours and great rivers ; but the soil, on the whole, is barren, and the climate extreme, both in winter and summer. I'Ik- nihabitants 2/8 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. were active, treacherous, and bloodthirsty savages, from whom the victor could get no spoils, the vanquished could expect no mercy. The last echoes of the theory of Rousseau, that the savage was more commendable than the civilized man, are I suppose to be found in Cooper's Red Indian novels. The grave of Uncas, the chief of the Mohegans, is still shown at Norwich in Connecticut, for the meeting-place of the Six Nations was in the meadows which lie by the river of that American town. But Uncas, though he was on good terms with the I^uritan settlers, was a savage. I was shown the monument which marks the place where this noble of the woods slew the chief of the Nassagansets and devoured him after- wards, as far as he could. New York, originally New Amsterdam, was settled by the Dutch ; New Jersey by the Dutch and Swedes. They fell to England in the first Dutch war after the Restoration. But before and after this event, colonies were planted on the eastern coast in a fashion characteristic of the time, when regulated and joint-stock companies were the fashion. Charters were granted to wealthy adventurers, who found the means for settling the district which they selected. Thus the Calserts, themselves Roman Catholics, founded the Catholic state of Baltimore — though, to the credit of the founder, toleration became the law of that state, or, rather, religious equality from the first. Similarly, Penn was the founder of Philadelphia, and of the great state which goes by his name. This form of colony led to the system of proprietary rights, under which con- siderable administrative power was secured to the representatives of the founders. Early in the eighteenth century an attempt was twice made in Parliament to extinguish these rights, and twice failed. At last, when the Colonial system was developed, and the regulation of the Colonial trade was deemed to be of the highest importance to British trade. Parliament purchased these rights at 'he expense of the British taxpayer, and vested the family ap- pointments in the Crown. We are still paying a large annual sum to the heirs of William Penn, of the Duke of Schomberg, and Pultency Earl of Bath. It is surprising to see how singularly vital those families arc who are possessed of perpetual pensions. I have no doubt that, had Parliament granted a perpetual pension to the heirs general of Melchizedec or Sennacherib, claimants on the MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 279 nation's bounty would still be forthcoming. One would like to know what is the evidence that satisfies the Treasury that its liabilities are enduring. During the eighteenth century there were two sources of \oluntary immigration, if one can call the process by so honest ■ I name. The first was from the Scottish Highlands, the other was from the Irish Protestants. When, after the events of 1745-6, tlie British Parliament determined to abolish the heritable juris- dictions in Scotland, and so put an end to the system which onstantly menaced the peace, Parliament paid these savage chiefs compensation for the loss of that which they ought not in any civilized community to have possessed at all. I know nothing in social history to match the ingratitude with which these chieftains rewarded the clansmen over whom they had ruled. As soon as the men were free they were found to be superfluous, and the Highland clearings began, to be continued to our time. The practice has been defended on the double ground of the rights of property and laissez faire. The Scotch judges deciilcd that the clansmen had no rights, and certainly up to the end of the eighteenth century a Scotch judge was a \eritable successor to Jefferies and Scroggs, for there was hardly a lord of session whom we should not call infamous, and with perfect propriety. But 1 have yet to learn that property in land is to be measured by rights only, or that laissez faire can be allowed to be dominant in every relation of life, even when the relation is voluntary and necessary. Many of these Highlanders emigrated to Canada. When 1 was in the Dominion, I came across, in the neighbourhood of Montreal, villages, all the inhabitants of which had Highland names. Hut they all spoke French, and no other tongue, and were all stur(l\- Roman Catholics. On inquiry I found that they were emigrant clansmen, who got their wives among the h'rench Canadians, then- descendants adopting the speech and religion of lliay that England is not popular uilh the Celtic populations of the New World. The peoj)le would have been preternaturally forgiving if it had been. For. in the nature of things, the dislike which those feel who think tliemselves wronged l)y p'-i^ons and itistitu- 28o INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. tions towards those who have injured them gets transferred to the people who are supposed in a vague way to be responsible for the vices of governments and the maladministration of law. The Irish emigration of the last century was of a different kind. It was from one point of view as voluntary as that of the Puritan settlers of New England. After the capture of Limerick in 1690, and the total rout of the Irish party, the policy of the victors was to extirpate the Irish religion, or at least to confine it to the peasantry, and to transfer all the power of government which the Irish executive had to the Protestant minority, and even to a section of this, the adherents of the Episcopal Church. Now so keen was the hatred and dread which the whole Protestant population of Ireland entertained towards the Catholics that the Protestant dissenters acquiesced in their own entire exclusion from all political power and the disabilities which the policy of what was called by its authors Protestant ascendency put on them. But in course of time, when the alarm had died away, the disability was felt to be galling, and thousands of the Protestant Irish emigrated to the English Plantations in America, where religious opinion had ceased to be a bar to civil rights. At last, as is well known, the most strenuous advocates of the constitution of 1782 were the disabled Protestants of Ulster, who were the founders of the volunteer movement. The British Government has only founded colonies of convicts. In the first instance, it is true, these convicts were merely of political origin, though they were none the less reduced to slavery. Cromwell sold hundreds or thousands of his baffled' political enemies into the plantations of the New World. I do not know whether any genealogist has traced the descendants of these involuntary exiles and settlers. After the Restoration and Revolution capital penalties inflicted by the sanguinary criminal code of the time were constantly commuted, even at the pleasure of the offender, into exile, the destination of the criminal being the plantations, wliilher apparently they went as free settlers. I have not found any evidence that the American plantations resented the intrusion of these emigrants. But after the dis- coveries of Captain Cook, synchronous with the progress of the American War of Independence, Australia was settled, and made MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 281 the more or less permanent abode of those offenders wln.ni it became intolerable to allow at home. In course of time voluntary emigrants began to settle in that great island, and very speedily, with very good reason, expressed the loudest discontent at the intrusion of this undesirable element into colonial life. In the end, though within living memory, the practice was abandoned, and the English Government has engaged to deal with its own criminal population at home. Some of you may remember the very lively alarm with which the inhabitants of Queensland met a project of the French Government, by which it was proposed that offenders of a certain class, and that the worst, should be transported to a penal settlement which the Australian population considered to be too near their borders. By far the largest part of the emigrants from the United Kingdom make straight for the United States. This country is the nearest, the widest, and, on the whole, the most attractive. It is said that many of those who emigrate to Canada ultimately settle in the States, for Canada, owing to the length and severity of the winter, can never be densely peopled. In the United Stales the emigrant finds institutions near enous^h in character to his own, perhaps with the most objectionable jjarts of tlie earlier experience taken away from these institutions. The Government of the Union interposes a considerable lime, too, between the immigration of the new-comer and his admission to political rights, so that he is not in the first instance distracted by unfamiliar cries. The United States, too, have an altraclion on which I shall have to comment later on, in the civil eciuality of all its citizens. The American Union recognizes no herediiary rank. It does not even allow its citizens to accept a personal decoration. It has no knights of St. Michael and St. George. The only distinctions which it recognizes are those of military or militia rank, and sensible people who have seen real service, unless they are in the army and navy of the Union, generally drop lhe.se distinctions. It also allows the courtesv title of hoiionral>le not only to those who are actual numb, rs .,1 ilu- legislatures slate and federal, and to the principal state ollicials, but recognizes the retention of the title after the person who has been entitled to it by service goes out of Congress or out ot ..flicc. My experience of 282 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the United States induces mc to conclude that Americans, though they do not abuse it, value this equahty. You never see a servile American, and rarely meet one who is insolent. The occupation of Australasia by voluntary emigration has been comparatively slow. Distance no doubt counts for some- thing as a check. Nor do the Colonial governments hold out the same attractions to individual settlers as the United States and Canada do, or did, to agriculturists. There is a tendency, to which these districts lend themselves, towards cattle and sheep farming on a large scale rather than to corn growing and small occupancy. And, though I am aware that the Colonial govern- ments give only a limited usufruct of pasture, yet it is not very easy to reverse a policy and eject an occupant after he has been long in possession ; and, if I am not misinformed in the accoimts which reach me, there is not a little discontent expressed at the privileges of the squatters. Now I do not understand how this discontent can arise, unless some alarm or dissatisfaction was felt at the duration of the holding. Cattle and sheep farmers, too, who have written on their experiences after their return to the United Kingilom, have expressed themselves very contemptuously about the townsfolk and the colonial democracy. The tone, moreover, of those who have returned, and hav^e settled in the old country, in reference to social questions at home, suggests that they are by no means in sympathy with the institutions under which their wealth has been accumulated. But, on the whole, the vast majority ot the emigrants have selected a permanent home for themselves and their descendants, and constantly have relatives and friends in the old country, whom they attract to the new. Perhaps, too, the British colonies of voluntary settlement contain a far larger proportion of colonists of British origin than the United States have, who have attracted a vast number of Germans and Scandinavians, so large a number indeed that Mr. Walker, who had undertaken the census once or twice, told me that the German settlers were rapidly outnumbering the Irish. But it is time that I should quit the historical, and deal with the present economical aspect of British emigration. And first, what is the principal factor which stimulates emigration ? Is it discontent, or is it a spontaneous enterprise ? Or is it due to the MOVEMENTS Ot LAHOUR. 283 excessive growth of population? The latter, I think, needs only to be mentioned in order to be dismissed. No doubt if all the British emigrants who have left were still here with us, the country would be, to use a modern phrase, congested. But, in the first place, voluntary emigration is not of the really surplus population, except in the most superficial sense, and in the next the growth of the resident population is far greater in amount than the most liberal estimates of emigration are. The population, in brief, which has grown and not emigrated, is far larger than that is which has adopted this expedient. Discontent is felt at the social or political institutions of the country from which the emigration proceeds. It appears that the earlier movements from England were not stimulated by the former cause of discontent. There is no reason to believe that the settlement of New England was due to dissatisfaction enter- tained towards the social system of the mother country. The Puritan fathers were not by way of being levellers. That they treated all those who were associated for the purpose of the new settlement with consideration, and recognized the equality of all conditions with greater fulness than could be expectetl in the old country, is obvious, and must be explained on the ground that the necessity of common defence constrained the acknowledgment of fairly equal rights. In the original settlement of Connecticut the organization of the colony contemplated and practised the assign ment of an adequate occupation to all those families who threw in their lot with the colony. I mention this because the Connecticut settlement contrived to keep on good terms with the native tribes, whose headquarters were in the neighbourhood of Norwich, the principal town in the early history of the state, and were therefore more secure against Indian raids than some others were. But tin- settlers were neither disloyal to the home government, nor dis- posed to modify the social laws which llun ruled in England. The English constitution, as they understood it at the lime, w;i>^ not distasteful to them. The Lords were a powerless body, and remained powerless till the Restoration, v. lun they made attempts and with considerable success, to vindicate an authority for them- selves which their ancestors in the days of the Tudors and early Stuarts would never have dared to claim. The 1 V m^e of Commons 284 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. was in their eyes the perpetual check to arbitrary power, and .i proper model for imitation, not as they afterwards found it, or believed that they found it, a selfish and oppressive oligarchy. Their discontent was with the administration. They believed that the ecclesiastical favourites of the Crown were bent on re- versing the tenets on which the true Reformation was founded The administration of Elizabeth, though it was harsh and oppressive, inclined to the discipline of Geneva, and whatever it might do at home, by no means repudiated fellowship with the numerous sects of the Reformation. For a time the Stuart policy was in accord with the Synod of Dort and the discipline of Abbot. But a new party made itself acceptable in the end to James, not so much it appears by reason of its ecclesiastical theories, as by its profound deference to the royal authority and prerogative. The school of Andrews and Laud exalted the royal office above all criticism, and in return James and Charles permitted the repre- sentatives of the school to put their theories of Church govern- ment into practice. It was against these theories that the Puritans revolted, from this administration that some of them fled. And as might be expected, when they emigrated and settled in Massachusetts Bay, they claimed authority for themselves and their organization, and denied it to those who dissented from them. But in the nature of things they did not detect danger to their political system in nonconformity, as the English administrations did, but an affront to their religious organization. New England became, therefore, a place of refuge to those Englishmen to whom the repressive legislation of the Stuarts, helped by the hatred of the country party towards the memories of the Protectorate, became intolerable. For it is noteworthy that hostility to the principles of the Great Rebellion, as it was called, long survived the existence of the political and ecclesiastical tenets which gave occasion to it. The eighteenth century was an age of scepticism, for in it principles of government in Church and State were freely dis- cussed, and, as is generally the case, the most strenuous advocates of administrative authority were most contemptuous towards ecclesiastical pretensions. I do not know that the situation has been better ilescribed by any one than by Swift. " I have ob- MOVEMENT,^ Ot LABOUR. 285 served," he says, " willi what insolence and Iiautrhtiness sonic 1 irds ot the High Cliurch party treated all ckrgymin, what^-o- cver, though this was sufficiently recompensed bv their prMfessions of zeal to the Church, and I had likewise observed how the Whig lords took an entirely contrary measure ; treated the persons of particular clergymen with great courtesy, but showed much ill- will and contempt for the order in general." Now what Swift had noted at the time when Anne, in 1 7 10, made the changes in her ministry which seemed so ominously dangerous, characterized the policy of those two historical parties during the whole century, and may be even noted now. But during this century the rights of property, especially of landed property, were strained to the uttermost, and the former cause of discontent, and with it of emigration, became dominant, being especially powerful, as might be expected, in Ireland, where it operated first on thi- Protestant population of Ulster, and later on, in a still more marked manner, on the Catholic population of the other three provinces. I shall attempt to point out later on in this lecture what are the con- sequences of this emigration of discontent in the relations of the colony to the country of its origin, provided the memory of the causes is kept alive. The voluntary emigration of colonists who are merely anxious to better themselves in their own way of life is of far more recent date. It has been in the largest degree to the United States. Men who are resolved to trying whether they can meml their fortunes by emigration, are troubled by no scruples of loyally tf)wards their place of birth, and as we all know, the judge ina»le dictum, " Nemo potest exerere ])atriam," broke down hopek-ssly in practice before it was repealed in fact. Now nearness to jilaces which are equally desirable as settlements in other respects is naturally a determining cause of choice. But the readiness with which political and social institutions accommodate themselves as conditions to the intending emigrant is even more attractive. The settler in the American Union at once, and permanently, escapes from the range of privileged classes and privilegeil institutions. I will not assert that he gains more social freed.. jn. I am disposed to believe that he finds that the authority of custom is quite as rigorous and inciui^itnrial as thai <>( pn\iKgr is, 286 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. especially when privilege being challenged and criticized, is con- strained to content itself with protests against these innovations, and predictions as to their consequences. But he is liberated from all appearance of them, and becomes a more ardent advocate of the system which he has adopted than they are who have been born to the situation. The emigration to our colonies of occupation, as opposed to the colonies of conquest was seriously crippled in the early days of the colony, by the support which the home government gave to land jobbing by privileged companies or associations on a large scale. The rights claimed in Upper Canada by these adventurers were not only a hindrance to emigration, but a powerful cause of that discontent which found its issue in the rebellion of Lower Canada. Similar associations were formed in Australia and New Zealand, and men otherwise respectable, practised expedients for their personal advantage which were highly injurious to emigra- tion. In course of time the system entirely broke down. The Colony declined to submit its fortunes to these non-resident pro- prietors, or permit its energies to be cramped by them. After a struggle, the Colonial Office surrendered the whole disposition of Colonial land to Colonial administration, and with it all dependence (Ml the central government, or mother country, and association with it for any practical purpose. With much more reason, Colonial governments have resented or resisted any attempt to make them the receptacle of the criminal, or even of the pauper classes of the Old World. The United States Government searches very effectually into the motives and the resources of those who design to settle within its borders, and apparently designs an emigration tax of $5. It cannot to be sure exclude all undesirable immigrants, though it has adopted very successful restraints on Mongol immigration, for some reasons among others, which cannot be very conveniently explained. But it has, or professes to have, not a little trouble with some of those whose coming it does not check. It used to be said that the Irish emigration was distasteful to it. Latterly it has had to deal somewhat rigorously with German Socialism. And perhaps there is no little political difficulty created for every possible administration which may be formed in the American Union from the antipathies which MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 2S7 European emigrants feel towards the governments whieli tliey liavc abandoned. Irishmen fly from the Irish land system ; Germans from the conscription and from the incessantmeddlesomeness of the German Government. They carry with them an intense and wrathful animosity, which seeks itsown occasions of vexing the inslilutiuns which they have repudiated. Now these facts have of course their political causes, and are open to political criticism. With these, as an economist, I have nothing to do. But it would be idle to doubt that the sentiments to which I refer have their effect on the economical relations which subsist between the emigrant and the countries which he has repudiated and has adopted. It is, of course, too, that trade is but little affected by international enmities. The dealer is indifferent to the origin of that in which he trades. But the politician is not so indifferent, even if, as is not invariably the case, he docs not condescend to the common tricks of his calling. Now it cannot, I think, be doubted that much of the appeal to American patriotism which is notoriously uttered on behalf of American protection is founded on the enduring animosities which have been nurtured for a century in the minds of Americans, and are readily caught at by emigrants, who have grievances of their own to avenge or to ventilate. Men who have experience of affairs know that international trailc smooths away asperities, and with equal clearness, they who wisli to keep up international asperities know that the vitality of such sentiments is assisted by hindrances put on international trade. In most of our Colonies, as I have shown to you befori-, tin- administration has borrowed largely from the savings of British wealth. To borrow in the colony would have been ruinous am! slow. In order to develop the country, as the jjroiess is called, it has been found expedient to appeal to British capitalists, and to offer a Government guarantee for advances on piihllL works. The appeal has been greatly successful. The Colonirs havr horrowid at low rates, sometimes over-hastily and unwisely, and liave giviii an emphatic negative to the diclum of that past generation i.l economists, which alleged that there is a close relation between the interest of public securities and the discount on mercantile securities, a rule which is true only "hni the loans aic niadu- in 288 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. the same market and substantially from the same fund ; and not even always true, under these conditions, as is plain from the price of American Government securities, and the ordinary rate of bankers' discounts and loans on mortgage in the union. But it is probable that British capitalists have lent more money to American projectors than they have to Colonial Governments, and that, not only without the shadow of a guarantee, but under the worst system conceivable. Of this system, our Canadian colonists have shown themselves accomplished imitators, and I doubt whether the most thoroughly watered of the American railways has been manipulated more scandalously than the Grand Trunk ol Canada has been, or been supported by British investors more unwisely. I am ready enough to admit, then, that most of our Colonies have entered into obligations which require on their part the continuance of friendly, even of deferential relations, on the part of the settlers, for they may be trusted to see how all-important is the maintenance of their public credit. They wish, as recent experience informs us, to give these securities so high a sanction, as to allow the investment of trusts in them, the trustee being indemnified I presume, if, by any untoward accident, the value of the security should seriously decline. But I very much doubt whether this enforced amity and deference would be strong enough to resist an antipathy. The refusal of the Queensland Government, one which more than any other Australian colony, relies on the Colonial Office for the support of its foreign policy, and its relations to the Colonial experiments of Germany and France, to accept as its governor a nominee of the Colonial Office is sufficiently ominous. It is perfectly well known that this refusal was based on a dislike to the antecedents of the nominee, expressed pretty loudly to the government in possession, and the Opposition in expectancy. It is also plain from which of the nationalities contained in the Colony that opposition sprang, and the whole facts show that the social system, and the domestic policy of the mother country, are examined with a keen, per- haps an unfriendly interest, by those who are able to make an administration reflect their views. Now I have referred to this case, not to utter any judgment on either social system or MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 289 policy, but to illustrate what I said before. But in the interpre- tation of the relations which subsist between emigrants and the country of their origin, an important element in the anticipation of economical harmony exists, and has to be duly estimated in the emigration of discontent. It seems at first sight that all emigration must relieve the excess of population. It is plain that they who remain are all the fewer by reason of those who go. But the facts do not admit of so easy a solution. It is necessary first to determine in what direction the excess of population is to be discovered and relieved. In the next, it is a question ot great importance to decide whether, however much the individual is benefited by emigration, the community is not Aveakened. But the interpretation of the first question is one which requires a knowledge as to what are and what are not the industrial forces of society ; of the second, what is the proportion in which the various industrial agents in a community must stand to each other, in order to bring about a due harmony of interests ? Now it would not be possible, except after a very exhaustive search into the facts of each case, to arrive at definite conclusions on the subject. The most which we can do at present is to enunciate some general principles and to examine a few crucial instances. We shall not now need to be told that the industrial progress of a country depends upon an adequate supply of competent labour, and upon a similarly adequate supply of industrial cajiital. In each, especially in the latter, there is always a margin over, on which a draft can be made for occasions of extraordinary demand. Hence all accumulations of capital employed for foreign invest- ment are not, except very indirectly, and as subsidiary to ex- change, elements of national wealth. Again, the industry which strengthens and remunerates all is that which leaves the narrowest margin of idlers or parasites, or, in economic language, of waste producers in the economic census. Nations are not richer, as Mr. Mill insists, by what they spend, but by what they save, meaning by spend, what is consumed without any addition, direct or in- direct, to the productive resources of a community. Furthermore, as these non-industrial classes increase, and the share which they appropriate from the annual produce of capital and labour becomes greater, the more unsatisfactory does the condition of the bulk of 20 290 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. really industrial agents become. I have thought it necessary indeed to protest against the narrow metaphysics which seeks to define unproductive labour and its inevitable concomitant consumption, and have included under productive labourers all who contribute direct or indirectly, but provably to the industrial energies of economic existence. It may be, for instance, ignorance on my part, but I cannot discover the slightest or smallest economic advantage from horse racing, and its indirect mischiefs are of the gravest and most menacing kind. It will not therefore be difficult to discover in what quarters we should seek for the excess of population, which emigration would conveniently carry off. But this excess is what other communities, who might welcome emi- grants, would not have at any price, or could not maintain, even if such persons were willing to go. In new, progressive, and, as far as individuals are concerned, wealthy communities, there is no place for any unproductive persons, and only for certain productive ones. They who encourage emigration to our colonies tell us very plainly whom they want, and whom they do not want ; and it is plain, they do not want those whom we could well spare, and they do want those whom we can ill afford to spare. In effect, they do no want to obtain the unemployed, but the employed, at least, in certain well-defined directions. The more precise they are, the more exactly do they claim from the countries of emigration the very persons who are most useful to the country of their origin. A community, then, is none the better for losing its ablest, most energetic, and most enterprising workers, however much they may be bettered by the change. Our forefathers saw this when under the old labour statutes, repealed in 1825, they sternly prohibited the emigration of artisans and skilled workmen. , In these times of course they cannot be detained against their will. But there is no small reason in detaining them with their will. It is impossible that any rational and thinking person should conclude that an emigration which carries all the best stocks and all the best work- men off, and leaves the idler, the tramp, the pauper, the shiftless, the worthless, and the criminal behind, is a benefit to a commu- nity which is continually depleted of its best hands, and is com- pelled to witness and put up with an increasingly valueless residuum. I have never pretended to look with satisfaction on MOVEMENTS OF LABOUR. 291 the emigration of the best British workmen, and the retention of the least valuable element in our social system. I do not know whether the wisdom of Parliament will hereafter strive to make their native country the most attractive home to the best hands which we possess ; but I am quite sure that it would be worth while to try the experiment, and equally sure that it has not been attempted as yet. There is, however, yet another consideration. The material progress of a country depends on the harmony, and, if I may use the expression, the equation of all interests, the most obvious test of the success being found in the prosperity of the home trade. If obstacles are removed, the harmony and equation are developed spontaneously. If a great injury, owing to selfishness, folly, and indifference on the part of a government, is inflicted on a capital industry, the effect will be manifested in a depression of the home trade. I do not doubt that nine-tenths of the trouble which has been endemic in Great Britain during the last nine years or there- abouts, is due to the calamities which have overtaken British agriculture, calamities which will not be cured by the attempt to establish artificial prices, but by an entire remodelling of the mischievous law of landlord and tenant, under which the owner is enabled to appropriate the occupiers' property or improvements. If contracts had been entered into wisely and justly, the state would have no need to interfere. But until we repudiate the judge-made dictum, " cujus est solum, ejus est usque ad caelum," and according to the latest gloss, "usque ad centrum terr:c," there is no hope of agricultural restoration. Sooner or later, the Inmii fide^ manifest, and accessible improvements of an occupier will have to be recognized as his property, the reality and permanence of which no contract, other than that of bargain and sale, should be allowed to negative. All civil communities have recognized that there are contracts which must not be enforced, and the contract for the occupancy of land, in which the owner of the soil is empowered to plunder the tenant at the completion of his occupancy, is one of those contracts. It is, I .submit, e.xpedicnt to render the country of their birth attractive to the best elements in British industry, and I can conceive nothing which renders it more unattractive than to inform, in the most practical way, these 292 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HISTORY. people that they are tenants at will, under an arrangement in which they are sure to lose. To all appearance the most obvious case in which emigration would be a benefit is the relief of those congested agricultural districts of Ireland, in which the holdings are so small, that even on the smallest rent the occupier finds it difficult, with the most unsparing industry, to get an adequate subsistence from his tenancy. I have seen such tenancies by hundreds, and I can allege, that there is no more baseless calumny than that which charges the Irish cottier with laziness or unwillingness to work. But it is not a light thing to expatriate a man, especially in a country where the passionate devotion of the inhabitant to his native soil is as real as it is inexplicable to the ordinary observer. It is not a wise thing to expatriate him, when he nourishes, even in the midst of an infinitely better condition of things, a deep and abiding animosity against the government which has exiled him, and the race which has condoned the injury. His feeling may be irrational, but it is very clear and very lasting. Now the true statesman does not seek to force his remedies on the unwilling ; he studies their case, and soothes them instead of irritating them. Hence it has been suggested, and as I think with wisdom, that a system of migration cautiously encouraged, and, under the circum- stances, safeguarded in Ireland, would be a better remedy than emigration. No one can say that, with a population which is not more than half what it was forty years ago, Ireland is over densely peopled. Nor do I doubt that in time, and under conditions of hope, and perhaps of consideration, the industries which were violently suppressed in Ireland more than a century ago will be revived and flourished. It was noted, at the time of the union, that Ireland was singularly well adapted by nature for the cloth industry. I know that it is far easier to destroy than to renew, but of all the silly calumnies which can be uttered, none is more silly than that of denying to a race, which has contrived to main- tain its vitality, the power of recuperating its industries. I AA 001 001 072 CENTRAL UNIVERSITY LIBRARY University of California, Saji Diego DATE DUE Lire li) 1977 JAN 9 REC'D JAN 978 CI 39 UCSD Libr.