i913 THL L55LNTIAL AND THL UNESSENTIAL IN CURRENCY LEGISLATION 4) THL PAGL LLCTURL DLLIVLRE.D AT YALL UNIVERSITY MAY 1, 1913 BY A. PIATT ANDREW FORMLR ASSISTANT SLCRLTARY OF THL TREASURY Bigitized by the Internet Archive in 2007 with funding from Microsoft Corporation (?l/Mmls;es^hti^tiMs$enO0andrri THL L55LNTIAL AND THL UNESSENTIAL IN CURRENCY LEGISLATION THL PAGL LECTURE DLLIVLRLD AT YALL UNIVLR5ITY MAY 1, 1913 BY A. PIATT ANDREW FORMER ASSISTANT SECRLTARY OF THE TREASURY •^ REPRINTED FROM THE YALE REVIEW OF JUNE 1913 .e^r THE ESSENTIAL AND THE UNESSENTIAL IN CURRENCY LEGISLATION. The improvement of our banking: and currency system can never be a popular issue. It is abstruse. We are only intermittently conscious of its necessity. It makes no appeal to the emotions. Whatever advocacy or support it may have must come not from the many, but from the few, not from the marching: clubs and cheering: throng's which g:ive color and excitement to political campaig-ns, but from the quiet thinking: men who are moved by the dry white light of reason. Complexity of the Problem. Currency questions have always been baffiingly intricate and difficult to grrasp or resolve. They are in the field of economics what metaphysical questions are in the field of philosophy. They have to do with matters which underlie and are implicit in, all other economic questions. William James once said of metaphysics that it was only an unusually obstinate effort to think clearly, and if that be true, those who discuss the currency oug:ht above all thing:s, to be well g-rounded in metaphysics. Many years ag:o the Eng:lish economist Jevons remarked that a kind of intellectual vertig-o seemed to attack most persons who devoted themselves to this subject, and the Scotch economist Macleod was accustomed to assert that more people had gone insane over it than over anything else except religion and love. How- ever that may be, it is certain that when the improvement of our banking and currency law was last under discussion in Congress, there were as many different diagnoses of the situ- [ 5 ] 261347. ation, and as many suggested remedies as there were students of the subject. Anyone who tried to follow the discussion, and form a clear conception of the issues involved and of the wrongs to be righted, was confronted with a whirling kaleido- scope through which at every moment new arrangements of facts were presented at new angles according to new theories and with new interpretations. It is not strange if some of those who had to face such complexities went mad. We have here to do with a problem which requires an unusually obstinate effort on the part of thoroughly balanced and well trained minds. Intermittency of Problem. There is another reason why the achievement of abetter banking and currency system depends for support upon the more intelligent and better educated members of the com- munity. We only suffer intermittently from the weaknesses and deficiencies of the present banking system, and during the intervening periods it requires the exercise of memory and foresight to appreciate their momentous consequences. Ordinarily we are but vaguely aware of the role played by the banking and currency system in our daily life. We know of course that it ramifies all through agriculture, industry and trade, but we are no more conscious of its operation than we are of the beating of our hearts or of the circulation of our blood. Only when some unusual strain is put upon it, and it fails to respond ; or it collapses, and the whole business of the country withers and succumbs, is it brought home to us that the very existence of every kind of business and com- merce depends upon the proper working of our banking and currency system, and that in this country the system is sadly in need of thorough and scientific readjustment. Even after [ 6 J the most distressing- crises have occurred, almost as soon as normal conditions are resumed, the recollection of the suffer- ing- that was entailed begins to weaken, the general appreci- ation of the need for preventive and remedial arrangements lapses, and interest in the subject on the part of most people wanes. Hope springs eternal that the disasters through which the country has just passed will never occur again, and hope undisappointed for a short period, begets belief. A Dispassionate Issue. But, for still another reason the currency question is apt never to become a popular issue. It appeals primarily to the intelligence and not at all to sympathies or sentiments or feelings of locality, party or class. One feels intensely about wrong conditions if responsibility for them, or their consequences, center in a particular locality or upon a concrete individual or group of people. But when one has to do with conditions to which no personal responsibility can be attached and the effects of which are not confined to any groups or classes or localities, but which influence people throughout the country in every kind of business or profes- sion and in every branch of labor, one's feelings flag. One's sympathies with those affected become dilute. There is no one in particular to be sorry for or to envy or to blame. And proposals for remedy or improvement, because of their ver}^ scope, are likely to lack warm popular support. Such enterprises, whatever their pith and moment, unless they have the active advocacy of men of trained intelligence, are sure to lose the name of action. Upon all of these accounts, because of the complexity of the problem, because of the intermittency of its appearance, and because of its essentially intellectual appeal, the country [7] needs particularly the cooperation of university men in achieving: its solution. Growing Agreement Upon Essentials. The outlook for currency leg-islation has never been as favorable as it is today. In the winter following the great panic of 1907 Cong:ress and the country weltered in a chaos of conflicting" opinions as to its causes and as to the appro- priate remedies. There was little time during the Cong:res- sional session for any fresh or thorough analyses of these matters . Representatives of the older communities harked back to the discussions that had followed the panic of 1893 thirteen or fourteen years before, and revamped proposals which were current then, some of which had been well enough adapted to meet conditions at that time, but few of which were pertinent or adequate for the situation in 1907. Representatives of the newer experimenting states (the most conspicuous of which lacked earlier experience in these matters, having scarcely been settled by white men at the time of the panic of 1893) without waiting for any careful diagnosis of the ills requiring remedy, proceeded to pre- scribe intuitively out of their inner consciousness remedies for ills which had never really existed. If permanent cur- rency legislation had resulted directly from the discussions of the winter of 1907-8 it would have been a great misfortune for this country. We should have had laws framed either to remedy conditions of a generation before, which had for the most part ceased to exist, or laws framed to remedy evils which never had had any substantial existence outside of the minds of the legislators. It was far better to jack the system up with a temporary prop and then dig thoroughly down to bed rock for the permanent foundations. This [ 8 ] Congress did, and as a result the ground has now been cleared. Effects have been traced back to their causes. The essential has been sifted from the unessential, and out of the chaos of opinions and theories that prevailed five years ago a substantial agreement among competent authorities has been attained, first, as to what most needs remedying- and second, as to the g-eneral character of the remedies required. There remain to be sure sporadic advocates of remedies for evils that have never, or not for a long time, existed, and to these we shall devote attention presently, but there seems to be little serious disagfreement as to what are the primary issues and the important discussion of today tends rather to center around their details. This remarkable chang-e is the result of five years' deliberate and dispassionate discussion by leaders of thought in all parts of the country, but in a large and important sense it was brought about by the wise, persistent and broad- minded impulse g-iven to the discussion by one man. What- ever name the final act may chance to bear, and whatever its details and terminology, if it embodies the essential pro- visions which the best thought of the country today has come to agree that such legislation requires, it will be largely due to the guidance and impetus given to the discussion by Nelson W. Aldrich, former senator from Rhode Island. The Unessential Issues. I have said that the defects and remedies about which discussion ranged during the months immediately following the panic of 1907 were by no means those to which the more deliberate and better instructed opinion of today attaches major importance. Many at that time were primarily con- cerned with the insecurity of bank deposits and the possibil- [9] ity of insuring: depositors against possible loss. Some were still inclined to attach importance to the risk to the mone- tary standard entailed by the continued retention in circula- tion of the greenbacks. Many dwelt with exclusive empha- sis upon the inflexibility of the banknote circulation and considered a reorganization of the system of note issue as the one necessary improvement in our banking arrangements. Today, however, there are not many who have given serious study to the subject who regard either the insurance of bank deposits, or the retirement of the greenbacks, or even the reorganization of the note issue as the dominant desideratum of currency reform. THE DEPOSIT GUARANTEE. The deposit guarantee idea has occasional advocates even in high places today but they are few as compared with the legions who rallied around its standard four or five years ago. Its strange eventful history teaches memorable lessons and even at the risk of taking you over very familiar ground I am going briefly to recall it to you. The idea was born in Oklahoma in the very throes of the panic of 1907, after the shortest possible period of gestation. The panic, it will be remembered, began October 28, 1907, and it was not until three weeks later, on November 16, that Oklahoma became a state, and its first legislature began its sessions. Nevertheless the panic was not yet over, currency was still at a premium and clearing house certificates were still outstanding throughout the country when the Oklahoma legislature passed its famous law. This first legislature of a new state had been in session only four weeks, when on December 17, it adopted with scarcely any debate a law without any precedent in any other country, and with only one dimly remembered unsuccess- C 10] ful precedent in the United States, a law which notwith- standing- presented what was probably the most far reaching and drastic experiment in banking" legfislation that had been made anywhere in the world for at least two g-enerations . The only real precedent for it was the early safety fund system tried in New York state between 1829 and 1842, which had ended in a g-eneral banking: collapse, and had been discarded sixty-five years before. The old State Bank of Indiana with its thirteen branches mutually liable for each others' debts has sometimes also been cited as a precedent, but the com- parison is not valid as the branches of the Indiana bank were branches of a central bank, and althougfh they had separate capital and assets, they were not independent institutions, but were indissolubly bound together under the joint respon- sibility and control of the officers of the parent bank. Yet, singularly enough (and this shows the possibilities of hasty legislation even under representative government) this unique and virtually unprecedented experiment of the newest of the states, although it had been adopted without deliberate or thorough discussion, and although it had not yet been tested, was promptly espoused by the legislatures of several neighboring states. Nothing of course could be more popular with constituents than the freedom which it ensured to them to "bank" with whatever institution offered the largest inducements, without having to worry about possible loss. It was almost as if the government were to say ' * invest your money where you can get the highest dividends and in case of failure we will oblige the more conservative low-dividend-payers to reimburse you." And so with variations of detail a * * compulsory' * deposit guarantee was adopted in Nebraska and in Texas and a ** voluntary" guarantee in Kansas and South Dakota, and [ 11 3 the Democratic party in its national platform in 1908 advo- cated the establishment of a gruarantee in compulsory form for the national banks. It may seem incredible that such an idea should have attained such momentum in so short a period, but the facts are that in the legfislatures of several other states it was under discussion in 1909 and that it would probably have been adopted in some of them, had not the day of reckoning- begun in Oklahoma on September 29th of that year. Failure of the Guarantee in Oklahoma. On that date the bank with the largest deposits in the state, the Columbia Bank and Trust Company of Oklahoma City, closed its doors owing its customers almost $3,000,000. The possibilities of the guarantee law as a stimulus to hot- house methods of banking were well shown in this instance, for under its fostering security this bank had succeeded dur- ing a single year preceding in increasing its deposits from $365,000 to $2,901,000., or by more than 694 per cent. The possibilities of the law as a source of expense to sound banks was also shown in the losses charged to the guarantee fund on account of this and the other failures that followed it which during the succeeding four years amounted to more than two million dollars. In other words, during this brief period the solvent banks of the state were assessed and made to pay an amount equal to more than twenty per cent, of their capital, or an average of about five per cent, per year, in order to make good the debts of unsound institutions for whose mismanagement they were not even remotely respon- sible. One solvent bank in particular has been cited as hav- ing been obliged to turn over no less than 34 per cent, of its capital during these four years in order to reimburse the C 12 ] depositors of other institutions. In view of this situation it is not surprising: to learn from the Secretary of the Oklahoma Bankers Association that 200 of the Oklahoma banks have not earned a dividend in the last three years. Nor need one be surprised to learn from the Comptroller of the Currency that while during the years 1908-9, — the first of the Oklahoma experiment, — 82 national banks in that state left the federal system to become state institutions, and secure the supposed benefits of the state bank gfuarantee, during: the years 1911-2, — after three or four years of distressing- and costly experience with it, — no less than 88 state institutions reorganized under federal charters in order to escape its known hardships. This means of escape would probably have been still more exten- sively resorted to were it not for the fact that the majority of the Oklahoma state banks have not sufficient capital to meet the requirements of the federal law. With the collapse of the Oklahoma system the general agitation for the adoption of deposit guarantee legislation in other states and by the federal government also collapsed. The flood of political oratory in its behalf subsided as quickly as it had risen, and in 1912 even the political platform writers whose word ranks only second in authority to Holy Writ and the Constitution, forgetting their solemn demands of 1908, omitted all reference to it from their sacro-sanct deliverances. The only remaining supporters of such legislation today are apparently its originators in the Southwestern states who not unnaturally defend it. Fallacy of the Guarantee Idea. Looked at in the abstract such legislation never had any real reason for existence. It was an unwise and unjust remedy ' ' for an imaginary evil. It was unwise because of [ 13 ] its inevitable tendency to lessen responsibility in bank man- agement, its weakening: of the incentives for prudence whether in fixing: interest rates, in g-ranting- accommodation, in declar- ing: dividends or in building up a surplus, or in any of the other matters that enter into the conduct of a bank. It was unjust because it taxed well managed institutions for the consequences o»f bad judgment, imprudence or dishonesty in the conduct of other institutions, for which they were in no way responsible, and which however aware they might be of their existence, they had no means whatever to prevent. It was certainly unfair to stockholders in carefully managed banks to oblige them to protect persons who did not do busi- ness with them, but had preferred banks of less conservative policy. But above all the deposit guarantee legislation was uncalled for. The losses entailed upon depositors because of bank failures are not of sufficient proportions to demand so drastic a remedy. In the national banks during the more than half century in which the federal system has existed, accord- ing to the Comptroller of the Currency, these losses have amounted on the average to only about 3-100 of 1 per cent, of the aggregate deposits, and there is no evidence to show that the losses have been any greater in the state chartered institutions, except in those states in which the deposit guar- antee has been operating. It is not altogether clear just what was aimed at by the deposit guarantee agitators, but in all likelihood the objects sought, in so far as they were reasonable and legitimate, could have been more easily and adequately and less danger- ously attained by other means. If what was desired was to utilize the service and security of the government in hand- ling the savings of people who are distrustful of banks, and so to reduce the hoarding of actual cash, this object has been [ 14 ] far more satisfactorily attained by the establishment of the postal savings system and the issue of postal savingfs bonds in small denominations. If, however, what was desired was to make it possible for a bank at its discretion to ensure its depositors against loss in case of insolvency, which would seem to have been the object in the states where the * ' volun- tary ' ' system was adopted, this could have been accomplished, as the decisions of the Supreme Court have shown, without further legislation through the agency of private insurance firms. But if what was desired was to ensure to depositors in thoroughly solvent banks the immediate availability of their deposits at all times, this end would be best accomplish- ed not by making the assets of such banks liable for the debts of insolvent institutions, but by adding to our present bank- ing system such facilities as would ensure to solvent banks the possibility of always translating their sound assets imme- diately and without limit into available funds. This we shall see is the fundamental desideratum of our currency system. THE RETIREMENT OF THE GREENBACKS. And now by way of clearing the ground further of the unessential, let us turn abruptly to another quite different corner of the currency field. Let us consider for a moment an issue which twenty years ago was urgently pertinent, was in fact the very crux of so called " currency reform," and which still persists as a live issue in the minds of some of the veteran " reformers " of those days, although the condi- tions which then gave it point have long since disappeared. We must pause to consider the retirement of the greenbacks, not because the question is of itself of importance but because it is most important to distinguish clearly between the C 15 ] essential and the unessential, and not to encumber the attempt to secure constructive currency legislation with proposals which are not vital and which might arouse unnec- essary friction. In the middle nineties when it was estimated that the total g-old stock of the entire country was only about 600 million dollars and less than 200 millions of this was in the vaults of the Treasury, the government's fiduciary currency, consisting of 346 millions of greenbacks and 400 millions or more of over-valued silver, presented beyond question a serious menace to the country's monetary standard. It meant that the Treasury had outstanding currency obligations payable in gold to the extent of three or four times its own gold holdings, and amounting to far more than all of the gold in the country, including the holdings of the Treasury, the banks and the general public. At that time fluctuations in the trade balance of a single year sometimes almost equalled the Treasury's gold holdings in amount, and it was quite conceivable, in fact not improbable, that a sudden unfavor- able change in that balance might drain the Treasury of all of its gold, and leave the country with a currency standard of depreciated silver or paper. This was the situation which continually menaced Mr. Cleveland's second administration, causing great financial anxiety and forcing the Treasury dur- ing those years of peace and normal expenditures to borrow 262 million dollars in gold in order to replenish its continually dwindling reserve. Such a situation inevitably led the advo- cates of monetary legislation in the nineties to place first and foremost among their proposals the necessity of getting rid of the precarious greenback, and most of the plans proposed by bankers' associations, chambers of commerce and financial [ 16] experts generally at that time emphasized the urgency of this measure. Why Retirement is not Important. It sometimes happens that with the lapse of time and with chang-ed conditions, infirmities, long left untreated, cure themselves, and so it has been with the one-time bothersome greenback. Twenty years ago, when the outstanding green- backs amounted to twice the gold holdings of the Treasury and to much more than half of the country's entire gold stock, there was abundant reason for anxiety on account of their continued circulation. The situation is utterly differ- ent today. Gold has accumulated in the Treasury beyond the wildest " dreams of avarice " of the nineties. From less than 200 millions in the middle nineties the Treasury's gold holdings have grown to approximately 1250 millions today, and the estimated gold stock of the country has increased from 600 to more than 1800 millions, ( despite the fact that the Director of the Mint in 1907 reduced the estimate for gold in circulation by 135 millions as compared with the basis of previous years.) The greenback has thus become each year a relatively less important element in our currency system, an element of ever less and less potency for harm. Doubtless the absolute amount of outstanding greenbacks has diminished considerably through loss and destruction during fifty years, and is today far less than the $346,000,000 issued during the Civil War which are still carried as an obligation on the government books. Yet taking the greenbacks at the full total of their original and unre tired issue, they now fall short by 900 millions of the Treasury's holdings of gold, while in 1894 and 1895 they exceeded those holdings by fully 200 [ 17 ] millions. With such an accumulation of reserves it is incredi- ble that the Treasury should ever agfain experience the perils of the nineties on account of the g^reenbacks. The grreenbacks are less menacing: today for the further reason that they are being- rapidly transformed into small denominations which are absorbed in the g-eneral circulation, and which could only with gfreat difficulty be collected in sufficiently larg-e amounts to cause a serious drain upon the Treasury throug-h presentation for redemption. Of the 489 millions of silver certificates at present in circulation all but about 5 per cent, are now in denominations of one, two and five dollars, and of the 346 millions of reported greenbacks more than half are in similar denominations. So great and continuous is the demand for notes of small denominations that one may safely predict that in another decade practically all of the greenbacks still in existence will be in small denominations in the pockets of the people. The ** endless chain " with its ineffectual bond issues, the imminence of specie suspension, and the fear of Treasury bankruptcy will never ag:ain result from the outstanding: g:reenbacks. Their dangers, lurid and nerve-racking though they were twenty years ago, are now only memories. They require no present remedy and demand no consideration in the currency legislation of today. DIMINISHING IMPORTANCE OF BANK NOTES. Few probably realize the change that has come over bank- ing discussion during the last four years. Up to as recent a date as 1909 when any economist or banker of the Eastern states spoke of banking reform (especially as distinguished from monetary reform) it was reasonably safe to assume that what was primarily, and in all likelihood exclusively, referred [ 18] to, was some project for reorg-anizing- the methods of note issue. Such books as we had upon banking (and there were some monumental works like the four volume * ' History of Banking:" published in 1896 by the Journal of Commerce) dealt only with the history of note issue and the legfislation and practices connected with it. The plans for banking legf- islation that were widely discussed, such as the plan of the American Bankers' Association adopted at their convention in Baltimore in 1894, and thereafter known as ** the Baltimore plan " , or * * the Carlisle plan ' ' , proposed in the same year by Cleveland's Secretary of the Treasury, or even the imposingly and energetically propagandized plan of the Indianapolis Monetary Commission of 1898, suggested no substantial changes in our banking laws beyond a revision of the arrange- ments for note issue. Individuals here and there tried to call attention to other defects and suggested means for their remedy, but they were only isolated voices crying in an unresponding wilderness. The discussing public, whether of academic or *' practical " or legislative affiliations, uncon- sciously continued to debate banking questions from virtually the same point of view, and in almost the same language as the English authorities who debated banking reform in England during the decades before the passage of Peel's great act of 1844. They could not seem to realize that banking had become vastly transformed during the last fifty years, and that while it was formerly true that a community's demands for credit were met in nine cases out of ten by the issue of notes, now such demands are met in nine cases out of ten by ledger balances, or what in ordinary langfuage are miscalled deposits ' ' . Not realizing this, they could not perceive that changed banking conditions had raised other problems and [19] made other remedies requisite than those pertinent to bank- ing: a half century or so ago. Present Importance of Deposits. It was not in fact until within the last three or four years, when the investigations and reports of the National Monetary Commission had disseminated a fresh "and thorough analysis of banking- as it is currently conducted, that discussion cut loose from the traditional lines upon which it had run for generations and took a new start. Then at last it began to be generally understood that in order to render our banking system properly effective, not only is legislation required which will make the issue and withdrawal of notes correspond more closely with the fluctuating needs of business, but per- haps even more urgently legislation is required which will render credit more freely and closely responsive in the form of ledger balances or deposits, inasmuch as these bulk so much larger than note issues in the country's credit machinery and in the conduct of business today. This was one great contribution of the National Monetary Commission . It estab- lished the idea that it is credit, not merely in the form of note circulation, but prUnarily in the form of deposits that must be viade flexible and responsive. The Commission did not discover this fact. The situation had existed for decades and many individuals had recognized it, but they emphasized it in their reports, and provided especially for it in their bill and focussed the general attention upon it, as it had not been focussed before. And whereas hitherto there had been a few who understood it, now one may say that it has become almost axiomatic with the general public, including apparently our representatives in Congress. [ 20 ] THE REAL TROUBLE. A physician would probably say that what primarily ails our currency system and causes panics and desperate strin- gencies is something akin to arteriosclerosis. The veins and arteries of credit which, in order to function properly ought to be elastic and contractile like rubber, are hard and brittle as glass. When subjected to unusual strain they can yield but little and are very liable to rupture, and when once stretched they are apt to remain over enlarged. Inflexibility of the Notes. In the case of the notes the cause of this inflexibility is too well known to require specific statement. I am not one of those who undervalue the vast service rendered to this country by the national bank notes. Their creation marked the greatest forward step made during the nineteenth century in this country's banking legislation. They brought order out of utter chaos in our bank currency and the assertion of Judge Alphonso Taft in a letter to Secretary Chase that * ' if the Civil War resulted in nothing else than providing the country with a uniform currency it would not have been fought in vain ' ' was not a very great exaggeration of the truth. They have been of uniform value throughout the country and as secure as the government itself from the date of their institution to the present hour. This however does not alter the fact that the terms of their issue, which were influenced by the financial exigencies of the government dur- ing the war, do not allow the notes to respond in amount in the slightest degree to the changing activity and needs of business. It would be incredible if it were not true, that fifty years after the war these notes should still be made to serve as an artificial market for government bonds, when [ 21 ] the cost to the country is the continual inability of the system to respond to crop-moving: and other seasonal demands, and a continual risk of general business collapse. The tem- porary act of May 30, 1908, which relaxed the rigor of the law in moments of critical emergency by permitting additions to the currency to be based upon other security by payment of a heavy and increasing tax, was no real solution of the situation. It contained no provision to render the currency responsive to ordinary fluctuations in currency demand, and resort to its provisions in times of great stress might easily precipitate a panic if one did not already exist. It was only enacted for six years, and was only regarded by its sponsors as a temporary palliative pending the preparation of a per- manent cure. 0?ie universally recognized essential then of a. proper banking and cur7'ency plan is provision ^or a more flexible and responsive note issue. Inflexibility of Ledger Balances. When we turn to credit in the form of ledger balances or ' * deposits ' ' and enquire as to the causes of their inflex- ibility, the explanation also rests in quite familiar facts. There are two peculiar features of our banking system which are practically without counterpart in other important countries and which render ledger balances or deposit credits in this country less flexible and responsive than such balances or credits are elsewhere. The first is the rigidity of our reserve laws, and the second i^ the lack of any bankers' bank or similar institution with ample resources and lending power, from which the banks can replenish their own reserves when necessary. [ 22 ] Rigid Reserve Requirements. Outside of the United States I know of only one other country in which the law requires a cash reserve to be held against deposits. That country is Holland, and the law applies to only one institution, the Bank of the Netherlands, and that institution does not hold enough deposits to make it worth mentioning- in this connection (less than $3,000,000). Our national banking law, however, and the banking laws of most of the states are unreasonably and unsoundly rigorous in this regard. Not only must stated proportions of all deposits be held by the banks in reserve, but these reserves, according to the law, can never under any circumstances be used. It is very much as if the government, having estab- lished naval and military reserve forces in time of peace were to insist that these forces not be used in time of war in order to maintain them intact as reserves. Whenever the cash held by a bank has fallen to the required minimum, the bank can not legally continue to extend accommodation. It cannot issue more notes unless it has additional government bonds to deposit for their security, and it cannot enlarge its ledger balances unless it has additional reserves. No matter what may be the stress of an emergency, or whether it is due to war, catastrophe, or unreasoning fear, there are no legal means for relaxing this requirement. And so in moments of great sensitiveness and anxiety, legal spokes are apt to be suddenly thrust into the wheels of credit, and the whole machinery of business brought crunching to a standstill. A second essential then of any adequate currency plan is some provision which will render the reserve requireme^its pliable and the reserves of possible use. [ 23] Need of Bankers' Bank. Our banks also have less flexibility in their power to lend ledgfer balances than the banks of practically all other countries for another reason, because of the lack of any permanent institution or institutions which can perform for them services similar to those which they perform for their customers. An individual bank makes the money of each and all of its customers flexible in amount, by rendering- it of mutual service, and available to those who most need it when they most need it, and in order that the money of individual banks may be similarly flexible in amount, of mutual service to each other and available to those institutions which most need it, when they most need it, they require in their turn some agfency which will do for them severally and jointly what they do for the gfeneral public. As this is the very crux of the whole currency problem, we must examine a little more closely what an individual bank is and does. A bank is (l) first of all an intermediary between borrowers and lenders. It collects the surplus money of those who do not intend to use it themselves and lends it to those who do. But (2) more than this, a bank, by pooling: the active accounts of a community, inasmuch as only a fraction of those accounts will be wanted at the same time, accumulates an additional reserve of lend- ing power. And (3) this new lending: power, which it has so to speak created, it can also place at the disposal of its customers, discounting: their paper or bills receivable, g-iving- them its better known credit for their own which is less known, and making- funds immediately available for them in place of their own unmatured obligations. Now banks need for their own self protection and for their mutual assistance and above all in order to serve the public freely [ 24 ] and effectively, some ag-ency which will perform identical functions in relation to themselves. It does not matter what such an ag-ency may be called. It may be a discount bureau, or a rediscount bureau, a national clearing: house, or a national or reg^ional reserve association. Out of deference to those g-reat financial experts who write the banking: clauses of political platforms and whose bans and edicts are blessed with sacerdotal infallibility, when such an institution is pro- posed for this country, it must not be called a central bank. Such an institution is perhaps most plainly designated if it is called a "bankers' bank", but by whatever name it is referred to, the need of such an institution is the fact of primary importance in the American banking- situation. Functions of Bankers' Bank. Just as an individual bank economizes and mobilizes and makes flexible in amount the funds of individual members of a community so a bankers' bank mobilizes and economizes and makes flexible in amount the money of the banks. It collects money from institutions and localities when and where they do not need it, and lends it to others when and where they do. In like manner the active deposits of the various banks, as they are not all wanted simultaneously, furnish the bankers' banks with a larg:e surplus reserve of lending power, which in turn is an invaluable source of flexibility to the individual banks. By its means they can, if need be, redis- count their commercial paper, exchange their unmatured assets for actual cash, and secure its still better known credit in place of their own. By its means their reserves can be replenished and their lending- power made responsive to the needs of their communities. A bankers' bank makes it pos- sible for the money of the individual banks to do many times [ 25 ] the work it would do if left in the separate institutions, and to do it far more effectively. It is the only ultimate safe- guard, the only scientific deposit g-uarantee, the only sound basis of flexibility in any banking system. As some philos- opher once said of God, — if such an institution did not already exist, people would certainly have to invent one, and, as we have no such institution permanently and leg-ally estab- lished in America today, the prime essential of any sufficient banking plan is the equipmeyit of our system in so??ie way or other with the facilities of a bankers' bank. We have now touched upon the three fundamental desi- derata of our banking system. There are of course other defects which affect one or another kind of banking-, but these are the crying needs of universal importance. We need a more flexible and responsive note issue. We need more flex- ible requirements for reserves. And we need some kind of an organization or institution of the nature of a bankers' bank. Others may look at these needs from somewhat different angles and name them differently, but the majority of what might without too much presumption be called ' ' authorities ' ' would agree in substance. And now in bare outline, how should each of these needs be met? I. REMEDIES FOR THE NOTE ISSUE. First. In making the note issue flexible there are at least three important questions to be decided. Upon what shall future issues of notes be based? Shall the bond secured currency be retired ? And by whom shall notes in the future be issued ? It is generally admitted today, by all except possibly by self-interested dealers in bonds, that in the future addi- [ 26 ] tional issues of notes can only be made satisfactorily respon- sive to business needs, if requirements as to the pledge of bonds of whatever kind as collateral, are done away with, and the amount and security of the notes are made contin- gent upon the usual banking- assets, cash and commercial paper. Shall the Bond Secured Currency Be Retired? Whether the security of the amount of notes now out- standing should be changed, depends upon whether the values of the United States bonds now so used can be other- wise taken care of. We have some 730 millions of two per cent, bonds now marketable at par, almost all of which are used for this purpose and which would probably lose a quar- ter or a third of their value if the circulation privilege were removed without other compensation. Before changing their traditional perquisites as collateral, in simple justice to their owners, arrangement should be made to refund these bonds into three per cent, bonds in some such manner as the National Monetary Commission proposed. Objections to Government Issue. One hears rumors from time to time that some member of Congress, and it is even hinted that a certain currency expert in the Cabinet, has suggested that the government hereafter be entrusted with the issue of all notes. We have already made two experiments in this country with govern- ment paper money, and certainly no one who is familiar with their lamentable history, or with the parallel experiences of most other governments with paper money, would advocate a renewal of such an experiment except under the stress of the direst extremities. Even if there were not the continual [ 27 ] and precarious temptation to over issue in order to defray the expense of government undertaking's, or in order to stimulate trade, which is likely to beset any government that is launched upon the boundless sea of greenbackism, the proposal would still be objectionable because no government is in a position to guage the needs of legitimate trade or has any but arbitary means for adjusting the issue of notes thereto. In this country we are already freighted as no other important country is with government notes, and they have left in their wake a trail of trouble. Of one thing therefore we may be certain. The issue of any additional notes, and above all an issue which is intended to be flexible in amount and responsive to business, ought not to be relegated to the cumbrous inexpert and ill adapted instrumen- talities of the government. Objections to Asset Currency. A few years ago when the sole watchword of currency reformers was " asset currency," it was often proposed to allow any of our thousands and thousands of note issuing banks to issue notes upon the security of their general assets without special restrictions except possibly the necessity of reserving a small proportional redemption fund. The notes, it was said, could not be overissued if they were only issued in exchange for commercial paper arising out of actual trans- actions. "Any amount of notes may be issued," wrote one distinguished expert whose name is almost a household word among currency theorists, " so long as the claims held by the banks are based upon actual and salable property." No greenback theory was ever more fallacious or more danger- ous than this. It was a revival of the old fallacy of John Law, of the land banks, of the as signals , and of the directors of [28] the Bank of Eng^land at the time of the Bullion Report. (It would have been well indeed if the currency reformers ot a half dozen years ag-o had read and pondered over that last named sterling: document of the year 1810.) For if our 7400 or more national banks were to issue notes with no other limitation than the requirement that they be issued only in exchange for paper arising out of the sale of gfoods, or paper secured by the pledge of goods or other property, there would be practically no limit to the amount of notes that might be issued except the consequent bankruptcy of the country. The ensuing" rise in prices and adverse balance of trade would instigate a demand for gold for export which might easily sweep every remnant of specie from the bank reserves. Most of the plans for * ' asset currency " to be issued by individual banks that were widely exploited a few years ago were fraught with this most serious danger of extravagant inflation. If we are to have a currency based upon commer- cial paper and ordinary banking assets, which everyone is agreed that we require, then the determination of its expan- sion and contraction must not be left without check or hind- rance to seven thousand or more independent institutions. Its control must be entrusted in one way or another to the judgment of the most expert and the most disinterested board or committee that the country can provide, and this board can best gruage the credit requirements of the country or of its section of the country, if it controls the agency through which the banks rediscount their commercial paper, and it can best adjust the issue to these requirements if it can influence or control the general rate of discount in the country as do bankers* banks elsewhere. [ 29] Note Issues in Other Countries. It is worth noting- in this regard that judged by their practice other leading countries do not regard the issue of paper currency as a proper function either of the g-ovemment or of ordinary individual banks. In England and France and in Germany, with a slight exception which has an histor- ical origin, the government issues no paper currency what- ever ; and in these same countries and in many others which might be mentioned (for instance, Italy, Switzerland, Sweden and Japan) during- the last half century or so, the privilege of note issue has been taken out of the hands of individual banks, in which it was formerly located, and entrusted to a bankers' bank. Answering then the questions regarding bank notes which we posed a moment ago, I should say that future issues of notes ought to be freed from the requirement of bond collat- eral, that the bond security of the present issue should how- ever only be abandoned when the two per cent, bonds have been refunded into three per cents., and that future issues of notes ought certainly not to be made by the government, nor by the individual banks, but can be most soundly and scien- tifically issued by some superior banking agency which can gfuage and regrulate their amount through the process of rediscount and the control of the discount rate. II. REMEDIES FOR RIGID RESERVE REQUIREMENTS. Second. As to ways and means for making- the reserve requirements more flexible there has been curiously little discussion. It has usually been regarded as necessary for the law in this country to prescribe more specific standards for bank reserves and for bank administration generally than [30] are required elsewhere, for the reason that we have so vastly- greater a number of independent institutions . It is not per- haps realized that we have more than a hundred times as many separate incorporated banks as there are in all Great Britain, and more than fifty times as many as there are in Germany. Mutual comparison and supervision are therefor much less possible here and the opportunities for lax or inefficient management are correspondingly increased. On these accounts there is every reason for reluctance to take any step which would seem to remove the reserve regulations and give the banks a freedom that some of them might abuse. Yet everyone recognizes that the law is hopelessly inept in consigning bank reserv^es to eternal idleness and unavaila- bility. Here is the dilemma — to make the reserves usable and still to require their maintenance. It has sometimes been suggested that the law might allow the banks to use their normally required reserve upon payment of a tax or fine proportioned either to the extent of the reserve deficiency or its duration, but this proposal, though sound in theory, would be difficult of enforcement in practice because of our more than 7400 separate national institutions * I know of no more satisfactory solution of this diffi- cult problem of making the reserve requirements pliant without seriously relinquishing them, than that suggested by the National Monetary Commission which proposed to leave substantially intact the present reserve require- ments for national banks, but to permit the banks to count ' ' as reserv^e their balances with a * ' reserve associa- tion ' ' , which was the Commission's name for a bankers' bank. This would make it still obligatory for every bank to keep at all times uninvested and available the same proportion of deposits as is required at present, but it would also make it [ 31 ] possible, when occasion demanded, for it to increase its reserves by transferring: some of its commercial paper to the reserve association, and receiving* in exchang:e therefor, upon payment of the discount rate, an increased balance upon the reserve association's books. Some such arrangement is already open to the banks of every other country today and it makes their reserves indefinitely more flexible and responsive than ours. Banks are thus enabled at any time within reasonable limits to transform any solvent assets into available reserve funds. III. OUR PARAMOUNT NEED - A BANKERS' BANK. Third. This brings us back again to the same inevitable point toward which all roads of currency discussion converge, to the necessity of establishing in this country an institution of the nature of a bankers' bank. From whatever direction we survey the subject this impressive fact looms over and dominates the field. If you review our economic history for the last sixty years you will find business in this country ever groping, often blindly but sometimes almost with frenzy toward this goal. In every period of unusual strain, when our banking- and currency system has been on the verg-e of rupture, if not actually collapsed, you will find a great variety of temporary bankers' banks being: hastily improvised in all of our large cities and even in many of the smaller towns to perform tardily, locally, ineffectively and generally illegally the functions which ought to be promptly and effectively exe- cuted by permanently and legally established national insti- tutions. You will find committees of the established clearing: house associations, and where such institutions have not [ 32 ] already existed, of associations of bankers orgfanized over- night, pooling part of the reserves of the banks so that they will be available for each other, making- loans on collateral, rediscounting commercial paper, issuing currency and ledger balances therefor, and performing every function appropriate to a bankers' bank. But you will also find unfortunately that these ingeniously contrived makeshifts have seldom been able to get under way in time to forestall prostration. The banking and currency system has usually already broken down ; and the banks in general have already suspended payment ; and all that the temporary bankers' banks have been able to accomplish was the slow rehabilitation of the great structure of credit, which if our banking system had been scientifically constructed, would never have collapsed. Unfortunately too these temporary bankers' banks, hav- ing been organized without any legal status, have been obliged to exercise powers, not only which they were not authorized by law to exercise, but from the exercise of which they were distinctly prohibited by the law. It has only been through the tolerance of broad-minded comptrollers of the currency and state bank supervisors, who, in recognition of the great extremities have practically suspended the execution of the law, that these temporary bankers' banks, acting like Red Cross agencies of relief in overwhelming emergencies, have been allowed to proceed without hindrance. The participat- ing banks in most cases however have made themselves liable to injunction, withdrawal of charter, receivership and prose- cution. But most important and unfortunate of all, with all of the ingenuity and energy with which American business is endowed, it has never been possible even in the most desper- [33 ] ate panics through which we have passed, to organize a tem- porary bankers* bank covering more than a single locality. No one seems ever to have even attempted to organize such a temporary bankers' bank upon a national, or even a sectional or ' ' regional ' ' scale. No means have ever been provided, or probably ever could have been temporarily provided, for making the reserves of different cities available for each other. Yet the most serious feature of every American finan- cial panic has been the jealous and disgraceful struggle of different localities to fortify themselves at the expense of each other, the sauve qui pent, which in periods of strain, or antici- pated strain, has led the banks of each town and city to build up their reserves at the expense of their neighbors, and had led each region to protect itself at the expense of other regions. It is this internecine slaughter which more than anything else has caused from time to time the complete stoppage of domestic exchange and the general suspension of payments throughout the country, and this is the aspect of the situation which more than any other requires remedy. Our temporary illegal local improvisations of bankers' banks have proved insufficient because they were temporary, illegal and local. History as well as science, practice as well as theory all agree in this. They agree also as to what this country needs. Shall the hand of some unknown and not overinstructed politician that on a hot June night hastily penned a clause in a political platform prevent our achieving it ? Let us believe enough in the ultimate power of truth to hope not. [ 34] THIS BOOK IS DUE ON THE IM,. STAMPED BEWW^^°^™ AN INITIAL FlNp'nv. „. WILL BE Assr^Il. ^ °^ 25 CENTQ l-lOOw-7,'33