f!f^ UC-NRLF B 3 IID l^b ■ liii; l':i;:' |:tl;: 111'';:; llllii: lljlt;:: PRICE ONE PENNY Pff Tariff Reform as%^^ Method of Raising Revenue By the Right Hon. A. URE, M.P., Lord Advocate Published by CASSELL AND COMPANY, LTD., La Belle Sauvage, Ludgate Hill, London, E.C^ FOR THE COBDEN CLUB, Caxton House, Westminster, S.W. 1910 Tariff Reform as a Method of Raising Revenue BY THB Right Hon. A. URE, M.P., Lord Advocate Published by CASSELL & COMPANY, LTD., La Belle Sauvage, Ludgate Hill, London, E.G., FOR THE GOBDEN CLUB, Gaxton House, Westminster, S.W. 1910 ;> u Tariff Reform as a Method of Raising Revenue As a method of raising revenue Tariff Reform was undeniably the main issue at the General Election of 1910. And it was a singularly relevant issue, for the expenditure which the new taxation proposed by the Budget was designed to meet was not challenged. The Budget had been "referred to the judgment of the people " in order, as Lord Lansdowne announced, that the people might have an opportunity afforded them of saying whether they desired that the increased expenditure — which no one challenged^should be met by means of the Budget taxes or by means of Tariff Reform. So far as the Budget was concerned, that was the sole issue. At no time and by no person was Tariff Reform put forward as a supplement to the Budget or in substitution for some of the Budget taxes. It was advanced exclusively as an alternative to the Budget. This was made as clear in the Commons as in the Lords. The Opposition leaders adopted the unusual course of moving the rejection of the Bill both on third and on second reading. They adopted the still more unusual course of moving no specific amendment. The reason given by their spokesman was explicit and free from ambiguity. Here are the words used by Mr. Austen Chamberlain, when moving, on the 6th June, 1909, that the Finance Bill be read a second time three months from that date: "It may be said that I offer no alternative to the scheme which the Government has propounded. That is true. . . . The alternative which we have in mind is as well known to this House as it is to the country. . . . We have every reason to be 3 458 5 G satisfied with the progress which our scheme makes on the further consideration given to it by the country. It may be alleged against me that I specify in my motion no objection to any particular taxes that are included in this Bill. ... I desire to direct the attention of the House not to this or that individual tax, but to the Budget proposals as a whole." And the speech closed with these words: "If that (the Budget) be the highest effort of Free Trade finance in dealing with a fiscal emergency, then the sooner we take our two alterna- tives to the country the better I shall be pleased." This was the attitude maintained by the Opposition with unbroken consistency throughout the Budget cam- paign in the House and in the country. No discrimina- tion was ever made among the Budget taxes. The Budget was treated as a whole, and condemned as a whole. The alternative, and the only alternative propounded, by which it was asserted the unchallenged expenditure could be met, was Tariff Reform. It is undeniable, there- fore, that the plain issue presented to the country, so far as the Budget was concerned, was : Shall this admitted need for increased expenditure be met by the Budget taxes or by means of Tariff Reform ? Now, this being the issue, it is profoundly significant that neither before nor during the progress of the Election did any responsible Opposition leader even attempt to show how this addition to the national expenditure could be met, apart from the Budget taxes. And the significance of this silence is deepened by the fact that there was then, and is now, in existence a scheme of Tariff Reform promulgated by their Chief to which all the Opposition leaders have given in their definite adhesion. As it is the one and only Tariff Reform plan for raising revenue which has ever been authoritatively propounded, it merits the closest attention. A careful examination of its proposals will reveal the reason why it was kept in the background at the precise moment when its production was vital and essential. This — the only extant plan of Tariff Reform officially proclaimed and unreservedly adopted by the responsible leaders of the Opposition — appeared at Birmingham on the 14th Novem- ber, 1907. The circumstances under which it made its appearance were striking. The militant and official elements in the Tory Party were restive and discontented. Judged by their public utterances, the members of the Front Oppo- sition Bench were still at sixes and sevens on what all of them regarded as the momentous question of the day — so far as their party fortunes were concerned. Tariff Reform still remained the first plank in the constructive programme of the party ; and yet no two of the leaders of the party were agreed on the question what that plank was to be. For the first time since the commencement of the "raging, tearing propaganda" these differences were composed, and a plan was produced which met with the unanimous and enthusiastic approval of all. The occasion was the annual meeting of the National Union of Conservative Associations. It was held at Birmingham, appropriately enough, on the 14th of November, 1907. It was attended by all the leading lights of the Tariff Reform movement. Revenue was the first thought in their minds. They were still smarting under the taunt of broken promises about Old Age Pensions, and were determined to point the way to their fulfilment. Mr. Chaplin, who moved the resolution, sub- sequently adopted with unanimity and enthusiasm, said that the reform of our fiscal system "was absolutely essential if we are to make progress in the direction of Social Reform, whether it be for Old Age Pensions or any other reform on which the Unionist Party might decide." And Mr. Bonar Law said, emphatically, that "Fiscal Reform was tied up with Social Reform. They could not get money in any other way. The resources of existing taxation were exhausted. Money needed for Social Reform must be got by widening the basis of taxation. Fiscal Reform, therefore, was one of the best and greatest of all Social Reforms." It is thus beyond all dispute that the attention of the assembled Tories was concentrated on Tariff Reform as a method of raising the additional revenue which it was then foreseen would be required to meet increased expendi- ture on Social Reforms. The marching order to "talk unemployment" had not then gone forth. And when the Leader of the Opposition addressed the gathering this was the aspect of Tariff Reform to which he devoted his attention. He took as his text the resolution which had been submitted to and unanimously adopted by the assembled delegates. "That resolution," he said, "divides the question into four heads — broadening the basis of taxation, safeguard- ing our great productive industries from unfair compe- tition, strengthening your position for the purpose of negotiation in foreign markets, and establishing pre- ferential commercial arrangements with the Colonies, and securing for British producers and workmen a further advantage over foreign competitors in the Colonial markets." Mr. Balfour then pointed out that from any one of these four propositions the whole policy might be approached. He deliberately chose as his avenue of approach "the revenue side," the point of view which was represented by the resolution which dealt with the basis of taxation. The broadening of the basis of taxation, he said, is "absolutely necessary, in my judgment, for revenue pTjrposes, and if we had no Colonies, and no such thing in existence as commercial treaties, it would be necessary for us, for purposes of revenue, and revenue alone, to broaden the basis of taxation." It is thus clear that Mr. Balfour— in this respect in complete agree- ment with his lieutenants— addressed himself to the "task of outlining a plan of Tariff Reform which would raise the money requisite to meet the increasing needs of the nation." That plan was then, for the first time, set forth by him in a series of distinct propositions, which, in his opinion, were incontrovertible by fiscal reformers, and leave no room for doubt or uncertainty as to the precise nature of the plan. These propositions are : First. The duties should be widespread. Second. The duties should be small. Third. The duties should not touch raw material. Fourth. The duties should not alter the proportion in which the working classes are asked to contribute to the cost of government. It was by a plan of Tariff Reform embodying and giving effect to these four essential features that Mr. Balfour proposed to find the money to finance the Social Reforms which he clearly saw lay before us. "I ask now," he said, "how is Mr. Asquith going to find the money for his Social Reform on the present basis of taxation ? He is fond of asking questions of those who have no responsibility. I ask him who is responsible, and how he means to do it I cannot conceive." He then proceeded to point out that Social Reform in the past had been, in his opinion, mainly the work of the Tory Party, and that they alone were in a position to find the necessary money, and that by abandoning Free Trade finance. Now, if careful attention is given to these four plain and, as Mr. Balfour says, practically incontrovertible propositions, it is by no means difficult to construct the plan of Tariff Reform which was in his mind, and which was then, and is now, the plan adopted by the whole Tory Party in order to find revenue. The first essential feature of this new method of raising revenue is the wide- spread character of the duties. They must, said Mr. Balfour, be numerous, "because if you require revenue, 8 and your duties are small, you must have many articles of consumption subject to those duties." How numerous the duties are to be no one has ever said. And it really does not signify. What is certain is that they will embrace as few classes of commodities as may be; for widespread duties have long ago been finally abandoned by all sound financiers all over the world as being the most wasteful and least business-like means of raising revenue. The cost of collection always tends to eat up the yield. No man has ever defended them, or can defend them, as revenue raising expedients. The inevitable tendency of all modern finance is to concentrate duties upon very few articles in widespread use. The cost of collection is a burden quite fatal to the levy of widespread duties for revenue purposes. The propo- sition that, in the new tariff, the duties must be wide- spread meets with no favour or support from any intel- ligent financier. It is an obsolete doctrine, and has never been so much as referred to by any Tariff Reformer since the Birmingham speech. But, next, the duties must be small. Small is a relative term, meaning a very different thing on the lips of the rich man from what it signifies to the very poor. How small are the new duties to be ? It is unnecessary to speculate on this head ; for, as Mr. Balfour explained, his reasons for keeping the duties low is "because it is small duties which do not interfere with the natural course either of production or consumption." The duties must, therefore, be so small as not to hinder production or consumption. Now, no one denies that a lo per cent, duty would so intei.'ere. Every Tariff Reformer asserts that it would, and supports it on that very ground. The lo per cent, duty on manufactured articles proposed by Mr. Chamberlain was expressly designed to "interfere with the natural course of production," and to direct it into domestic channels. The only duty ever put forward throughout the con- troversy as a "small" duty was Mr. Chamberlain's 5 per cent, on meat and dairy produce. This is the duty which Mr. Balfour and his lieutenants obviously mean when they speak of "small duties." From this position they have never receded. This proposal they have never modified or altered. By 5 per cent, duties, levied for revenue purposes, they still stand firm. But the question remains, on what classes of com- modities is this 5 per cent, duty to be levied ? The answer given by Mr. Balfour, and approved by all his followers, is ''not on raw materials.'' What are these raw materials ? The answer is easy. Raw materials are goods brought to our ports from across the seas, which, on their way from the ship's side to the consumer, pass through some opera- tion performed by the hands of a workman resident in Great Britain ; or, to use the language of the Board of Trade returns, articles "requiring to pass through some process of adaptation or combination before entering into consumption." This is the only possible definition of "raw materials." None other has ever been attempted. The duties, therefore, plainly must fall exclusively on manufactured articles which reach our ports from across the seas and then pass unchanged straight to the con- sumer. In other words — the words of the President of the Tariff Reform League — the duties which are to raise the revenue must fall on "finished foreign manufactures." Now a duty on "finished foreign manufactures" would unquestionably answer Mr. Balfour's first requirement — that the duties should be numerous. For, in the classifica- tion of imported articles in use since January of the present year, the number of headings separately specified which would be included in Class A (articles wholly manufac- tured) is about 150. The total number of headings in the JO import list is about 800. And some of the 150 headings cover a variety of commercially different articles. It is plain, therefore, that duties confined to "finished foreign manufactures" would be correctly described as "wide- spread." But all this being clear, the vital question at once emerges : Is food to be excluded ? To this question Mr. Balfour returned what any economist would call a clear and decided answer in the affirmative. For, to tax food would grievously violate Mr. Balfour's fourth proposition — that the new taxation, whatever it may be, must not alter the proportion in which the working man contributes to the revenue. Indeed, no responsible politician has ever proposed food taxes as a means of raising revenue, not merely because of their unpopularity, but because their imposition for that purpose and with that effect would mean a violation of the first rule of sound taxation — that men should be asked to contribute accord- ing to their ability to pay. To raise revenue by means of food taxes means the converse. The smaller a man's income the larger is the proportion of his contribution to the cost of government if the national revenue be raised by food taxes. With food taxes barred, then, on the one hand, and with raw material barred on the other hand, the classes of goods from which the additional revenue is to be derived are at once seen. It must come from small duties — that is to say, 5 per cent, duties — to be levied, as the President of the Tariff Reform League tells us, on "finished foreign manufactures." The question is, how much revenue can we derive from small duties levied on these "finished foreign manufac- tures." That question — which is, of course, vital — has not yet been faced by any Tariff Reformer. It is compara- tively simple, and hence the reason for the omission to con- sider it must be sought elsewhere than in its complexity. If we turn to the Board of Trade Returns for the year 1908 — the latest complete year for which we have the full II returns — we find that, of "articles completely manufac- tured and ready for consumption," we imported ^^54. 8 millions from all sources. From foreign countries came ;i^5i-8 millions, and from British Colonies and Pos- sessions came ^3 millions. But in the same year we re-exported no less than ;^io millions' worth of "articles completely manufactured and ready for consumption." We are, therefore, left with £^4-S millions of "finished foreign manufactures " from which to derive our additional revenue, by means of "small duties." Now a small duty — i.e., a 5 per cent, duty — on these articles would yield a revenue of less than ;^2, 250,000, and that only on the assumption that the duty had no effect in diminishing the import, that is to say, in interfering "with the natural course either of production or consumption." But there falls to be deducted the additional cost of collection, which has been cautiously estimated by the Board of Trade at ;^75o,ooo per annum. If, then, from the amount of the yield of the duty, ;{;2, 250,000, we, deduct the cost of collection, ;^75o,ooo, the revenue to be received is ;^i, 500,000, just the amount necessary to pay for three- fourths of one "Dreadnought." And there is nothing left for social reform, which all Tariff Reformers unite in saying is the sole raison d'etre of their specific. The reason why Tariff Reformers of all shades per- sistently refuse to face the question of the revenue raising capacity of their scheme is manifest. Their silence on this head at the time when this, and this alone, was the vital and relevant issue — viz., when the Budget had been "referred to the judgment of the country" — requires no explanation. No alternative method of raising the neces- sary revenue was advanced because the Tory Party was finally committed to a tariff of numerous "small duties" on "finished foreign manufactures," and that plan obviously could not bear examination. The complete collapse, at the recent General Election, of Tariff Reform 12 as a method of raising revenue is easily explicable when- ever the sole plan for that purpose put forward by the leaders of the movement is subjected to scrutiny. For it must not be forgotten that Mr. Balfour did not stand alone in propounding the new scheme. It was received by the Tariff Reformers among his followers with a universal chorus of approval. It was blessed at once and on the spot by Mr. Chaplin, Mr. Austen Chamberlain, and Mr. Bonar Law. After due consideration of its details, Mr. Austen Chamberlain repeated his approval at Edinburgh on December nth and at Acock's Green on December i6th. Mr. Lyttelton blessed it at Coatbridge on Decem- ber 23rd, and attributed to it the blessed result that "the Unionist Party was once more a living force." And Lord Lansdowne, speaking with all the authority of his great position as Leader of the Tory Party in the House of Lords, said at Glasgow on December 13th that "the large majority of the party was ready to accept the policy laid down with so much clearness by Mr. Balfour in the great speech he delivered at Birmingham." No man in the party has ever at any time disclaimed Mr. Balfour's plan. By all it was accepted as the long-sought-for cement by which to bind together a, riven party. By all it was acclaimed solely as a means of raising revenue for social reform. Mr. Balfour had nothing to say of the other three heads into which, as he said, the resolution he was support- ing divided itself. In this silence his followers have, with unbroken unanimity, followed his example. First of the remaining three heads comes "Safeguarding our great pro- ductive industries from unfair competition." On this head Mr. Balfour and all his followers have preserved unbroken silence. Obviously so; for really this problem, if it be a problem, has no relation whatever to Tariff Reform. A tariff offers no remedy whatever for unfair competition, as distinguished from fair and legitimate competition. It strikes at both alike. It does not and cannot discriminate 13 between the fair and the unfair. Nothing but the absolute exclusion of the offending goods can afford the slightest protection against unfair competition — as was found in the case of prison-made brushes and mats. A tariff for revenue, Mr. Balfour's plan, admits the goods, but makes them dearer, and that whether they compete fairly or unfairly. Whenever, therefore, revenue ceases to be the object of the tariff, and the tariff is sought to be used as a weapon of exclusion, it ceases to play any part in the true fiscal controversy. As a mere weapon of exclusion, whether "work for all" or protection from "unfair com- petition " be the aim, a tariff is a clumsy, costly and in- effective instrument. But the point is that it is only a weapon of exclusion, inferior to and less reliable in its operation than absolute exclusion. By absolute exclusion alone is it possible to discriminate between fair compe- tition, which the Tariff Reformer will allow, and the unfair, which he seeks to destroy. Hence it is never more than mentioned by the Tariff Reformer. Clear sighted men never advance a tariff where unemploy- ment is their theme and work for the workless is their aim. Obviously no tariff can be relied on to exclude undesirable foreign goods altogether from our markets, and so give our own people the making of them. For this purpose a tariff has been completely superseded by the system of absolute exclusion, effected by applying to the goods sought to be shut out Section 42 of the Customs Consolidation Act, 1876. In the only instance known in which competition thought to be unfair was sought to be met, this was the system adopted. The undesirable goods were articles made in foreign prisons. In 1897 ^ statute was passed (60 and 61 V. c. 63) to keep these articles out of this country. Nobody ever dreamt of em- ploying a tariff to effect this purpose. What was done was this : foreign prison-made goods were simply added to the table of prohibitions contained in Section 42 of the 14 Customs Consolidation Act, 1876. The goods set out in that table are absolutely prohibited to be imported into the United Kingdom. If the offending goods are brought in, they are forfeited and may at once be destroyed. Questions of unemployment and unfair foreign compe- tition, as is now recognised, do not fall within the domain of Tariff Reform at all. The sole topic of inquiry which these questions raise is this — what particular classes of goods ought at any given time to be excluded from our markets? — a difficult and delicate inquiry, no doubt, but one which has no relation whatever to the levying of customs duties at the ports. Hence the complete exclusion of these questions from the official and authorised plan of Tariff Reform, as clearly laid down at the Birmingham convention. On the second of the three remaining heads — "Strengthening your position for the purpose of negotia- tion in foreign markets" — Mr. Balfour, at Birmingham and ever since, has maintained unbroken silence. So also have his followers — appropriately enough. For here, too, the tariff is not used for revenue purposes, but the reverse. To achieve "the purpose of negotiation " the tariff is put on in order that it may be taken off. If the object for which it is laid on is accomplished, then the tariff must come off. This, however, is a cumbrous, costly, and futile weapon, although the best that protected states possess. A Free Trade country like Great Britain is in a much better position to negotiate in foreign markets than is any protected country. She can, by a simple and easily applied expedient — absolute exclusion — force any foreign state to modify its tariff in her favour. Once again absolute exclusion is much the better weapon if it ever becomes desirable to employ such a weapon at all. But no attempt has ever yet been made even to figure the conditions under which this use of a tariff could possibly succeed. In truth, it never could succeed. Reciprocity or retaliation, to use the expression commonly 15 .•;.•■■• employed to cover Mr. Balfour's "strengthening your position for the purpose of negotiation in foreign markets," always has proved a ludicrous failure. To speak of it in the same breath as Tariff Reform— that is to say, tariff for revenue — is grotesque and fatuous. Tariff Reformers have, long ago, abandoned this particular form of the heresy. If it ever became necessary or desirable to employ a weapon for bargaining. Great Britain has the most powerful weapon at command, the application of Section 42 of the Customs Act of 1876. In the case of a country which imports on a scale as vast as does the United Kingdom, this weapon, for swiftness and direct- ness of action and certainty of aim, far surpasses a tariff. The last of the three heads is "Establishing pre- ferential commercial arrangements with the Colonies " — in other words, "Colonial Preference." Mr. Balfour's rigid silence on this head in his Birmingham speech is not difficult to explain. "Colonial Preference" never has been put forward as a means of raising revenue. It cannot. For, although food taxes are essential to any scheme of Colonial Preference, they are to be so adjusted as "not to alter the proportion in which the working classes are asked to contribute to the cost of Govern- ment." The effect of this adjustment is, as Mr. Chamber- lain himself pointed out, not to yield a revenue, but to cause a gap in the revenue — a gap more than big enough to swallow up the yield of the duties on "finished foreign manufactures," a gap to fill up which Mr. Chamberlain proposed the now famous 10 per cent. duty. The discreet silence always observed by Mr. Balfour and his Tariff Reform friends about their plan of Colonial Preference is due to the fact that they know well that Colonial Prefer- ence, according to any conceivable plan, would be fatal to the idea of obtaining revenue and equally fatal to the notion that better commercial terms with our Continental neighbours would be secured if only we too had a tariff. i6 The reverse is true. Colonial Preference can never yield a revenue without increasing the burden on the shoulders of the labouring classes. And it can never help "negotia- tion in foreign markets," for the duties necessary to secure Colonial Preference cannot be altered or repealed at will. They are and must be fixed and unalterable save only by mutual consent or by denunciation of the treaty either by the Mother Country or by the Colony affected. They can- not be taken off and put on at will to suit the exigencies of diplomatic negotiation. In short, not one of the four heads into which Mr. Balfour divided the famous resolution which united his party can be achieved without doing fatal damage to the others. The conclusion of the whole matter is that Tariff Reform as a means of raising the additional revenue admittedly required for social reform was brought to the test at the General Election of 1910. It suffered hopeless collapse. By universal admission it is now abandoned for that purpose. The Budget taxes have been accepted as the only means by which that revenue can be raised. Nothing demonstrates this more clearly than the fact that these taxes have been accepted by a party which disliked them, which asserted that a decisive majority of the electors disliked them, and which had it in its power to reject them. Acceptance of the Budget taxes under these circumstances could have only one meaning — an unqualified admission that by them and by them alone could the admitted needs of the country be met. In other words. Tariff Reform had at once been found out and found wanting. Another and a better way had been found to supply the great and growing necessities of the country — a way by which the burden is apportioned according to the strength of those on whose shoulders it must rest. As a means of raising the national revenue, Tariff Reform has vanished. It survives only as a poor and inferior weapon for the exclusion of foreign goods from our ports. Printed by Cassell & Company, Limited, La Belle Sauvage, London, E.C. CoBDEN Club Publications. 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