'**JViV<%%% «^4W4N THE LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES TARIFF AND TRADE. K.cJ^^ Ovc<2- ^ Trade economics are constantly assuming greater I— . . . . ^ importance in commercial countries and among ^ industrial communities. Never, perhaps, have EE theories been so utterly at variance as at present, and never have the respective sides been so determinedly and so fiercely championed. The outcome is very often more dust than anything else, and issues are obscured instead of being made plain. The practical business man abjures economics because they are apparently so contra- 2 dictory to realised facts, and the economist immediately proceeds to construct new theories u to account for the facts. Though I have been a close student of political economy, I make no claim to be regarded as an expert in the science. Rather do I ask the atten- tion of my readers on the ground that what I have written is based largely on observation during an active business career, and I have endeavoured g throughout the following pages to make my S meaning plain to those engaged in similnr occu])a- ^ tions, and not to evolve new and abstruse problems. iv PREFACE There are plenty of these as it is, and in pursuing my work they have crossed my path at every turn. I have never burked them, but sought always to provide some sort of solution, though I must expect that a few of them at anyrate will be challenged. One consequence has been that this volume has assumed larger dimensions than I originally intended, and I can only trust that what it has gained in size, will not be lost in any interest it may evoke. An author dealing with such a subject is beset by innumerable difficulties. The free use of statistics is absolutely necessary, and there are few w^eapons more dangerous, or more likely to be turned against those who handle them. Reference to page 364, or to the second footnote on page 283, will show how utterly unreliable they may be. Anyone who has to analyse large masses of figures emanating from different sources, is liable to be completely be- wildered, and so frequently are they contradictory, that they may be made to prove almost anything. I wish it to be distinctly understood therefore, that in no single instance have I used statistics favourable to my case, well knowing them to have been pro- duced by exceptional circumstances. I have always availed myself of the latest obtainable, provided they came from reliable sources, and whenever I have departed from this, I have given definite PREFACE V reasons for so doing. Moreover, I have rarely based my arguments on statistics, rather have I used the statistics to illustrate the arguments. Differences of ten or twenty per cent, in the former, will merely intensify or diminish the force of the latter, but will not destroy them. In more than one instance where a leo^itimate choice has been presented to me, and where my contentions have been overwhelmingly borne out, I have deliberately selected the least favourable. So far therefore from dreading criticism of the figures I have given, I confidently invite my readers to compare them with those of succeeding or preceding years, provided always the conditions of such comparison are fair. I have not troubled readers with footnotes giving the authorities for statistical and other information. I will simply say here that my sources have been principally official, and, in addition to the various abstracts published by the English Board of Trade, I have had frequent re- course to the official publications of other countries, while occasionally I have been favoured with the inspection of private documents. Now and again I have availed myself of unofficial material, but never when its })ublication has been for purely contro- versial purposes. I take this opportunity of expressing my in- vi PREFACE debtediiess and heartfelt thanks to all who have in any way rendered me assistance, by placing docu- mentary and other matter so freely and unreservedly at my disposal, without which it would have been impossible to produce this work. In one or two instances, probably the worst return I could make for their kindness, would be to refer to them by name, and I abstain therefore from mentioning any individually. I shall take care however that this public acknowledgment is brought to their notice. J. W. K \si Septemler 1897. CONTENTS. CHAPTER I. The Purposes of Tariff. page Beginnings of English Tariff : — Insidious Operation — Indifference of Taxpayers. Revenue : — Influence on Value — Indirect Taxation a Necessity — Principles which should regulate it — Temptations to depart from them — Stimulus to Home Production — The Taxation of Great Communities. Morality : — Checks on Over- indulgence — Limits to which they can be imposed — Public Opinion — Duties and Licences. Protection : — Primary Basis — Uncertainty of Revenue Returns — Conflict between National and Private Interests — Demands for Frequent Revision — Resulting Disturbance to Trade — Restriction of Benefits— Logical Issues — Revenue and Protection an Impossible Combination, . . . 1-25 CHAPTER II. Infant Industriks. The Growth of Primitive Manufactures— The Conditions Necessary — Coal and Iron — Textiles — Impatience of Settlers — Natural Advantages of the United States — Wages — Their Gradual Equalisa- tion on the Two Continents — Rapidity of American Expansion — Europe unable to cope with it — Industrial Development in Germany — Former Conditions in Great Britain — Protection really confined to Agriculture — Expansion following Repeal of the Corn Laws — Natural and Artificial Stimulus, . . . 26-42 CHAPTER III. Taxing the Foreigner. Antipathy to Taxation — Value of Natural Monopolies for Revenue Purposes. Export Dutikh : — Nitrate of Soda — Sugar — Mint Seigniorage on Mexican Dollars — United States Wheat— Cotton — CONTENTS PAGE British Salt and Coal— Textile Machincrj'. Import Duties : — French Wheat — Analogy to United Kingdom — The Steel Rail Pool in America — Trusts — Antagonism of Free Trade to Trusts — Influence of Protection on Price — Incidence of Revenue Duties — Price versus Market Value, 43-64 CHAPTER IV. The British Tariff. Customs and Excise Revenue — Antiquated Nature of Existing Tariff — Spirit Duties — The Beer Duty — Wine — Tobacco — Cigars — A Neglected British Industry — The Breakfast-Table Duties — Non- Dutiable Imports — Breadstuffs and Food — Raw Materials — - Labour — Sugar — Effect of Foreign Bounties — How to meet them — Sources of Tea and Sugar Supplies — Manufactured Articles — Cotton and Woollen Textiles — -Leather — Glass — Iron and Steel — Paper — Watches and Clocks — Gloves — Silks and Ribbons — Linen Fabrics — Sundries — Summary of Suggested Reforms, 65-99 CHAPTER V. The United States Tariff. Frequency of Changes — Avowed and Real Purposes — Extent and Detail of the Tariff — Summary of Schedules — Principles of their Construction. Chemicals : — Drugs — Chemical Manufactures — Vegetable Products — Exemptions. Earthexwaee : — Building Materials — Domestic Utensils— Glass and Glassware. Met.\ls : — Tin — Iron and Steel — Cotton Ties — Tinplates — Cutlery and Tools — Copper and Lead. Timber : — Conflicts between Succeed- ing Administrations. SuG.\R : — The Domination of the Sugar Trust — Resulting Scandals. Tobacco and Cigars. Wi^tes axd Spirits. Agricultural Products : — Breadstufifs — Dairy Pro- ducts — Fruit and Vegetables — Meat and Provisions — General Result of Protection on the Industry. Textiles : — Raw Materials. Cotton: — Yarns — Tissues — Complicated nature of Duties — Extent of Import Trade. Wool : — Yarns — Fabrics — Severity of M'Kinley Tariff — Illustrations — Effect of Duty on Raw Wool — Extent of Trade. Silk. Fl.4.x, Hemp, and Jute : — Linen Tissues and Embroideries. Paper and Books. Miscellaneous : — Coal — Leather and Gloves. The Free List : — Agricultural Implements — Tourists' Wearing Apparel — What Protection has done and is doing for the United States, .... 100-152 CONTENTS xiii PAGE CHAPTER VI. The Tariffs of France and Germany. France : — Prevailing Economic Conditions of the Country — Tariff as a Source of Revenue — The Nature of French Protection — Analysis of Foreign Trade — Export Statistics — Absence of Competition in French Products — National Character and Economic Policy — Tariff Rates — Textiles — Iron and Steel — Chemicals — Exemption of Raw Materials — Agricultural Products — Surtax on Indirect Imports — Colonial Tariff Policy — Reciprocity. Germany : — Moderation of Tariff — Simplicity of Arrangement — Revenue Duties — Protective Duties — Chemicals — Iron and Steel — Textiles — Leather — Earthenware — -Agricultural Products — Advantages enjoyed by Home Manufacturers — Retaliation and Reciprocity — Tariff Wars with Russia and Spain — Strained Commercial Relations with United States — The Denunciation of the British Treatj' — Causes of Industrial Expansion in Germany, 153-192 CHAPTER VII. Bounties. Sugar : — Nature of Drawbacks — Tendency to Develop into Bounties — Efforts to Stimulate the Beet Industry — Continental Bounty Wars — Germany Antagonistic to the System — Cost to Consumers — Hidden Bounties — Surtax on Foreign Sugar in France — Futility of the System — Possibilities of Increased Consump- tion — Decline of the British and Colonial Industry — Fairplay but no Protection. Shipping : — British Subsidies — Carriage of Mails — German Subsidies — French Construction Bounties — Navigation and Mail Subsidies — Other European Bounties — United States Shipbuilding — American Coasting Service — Mail Payments — The Canadian Subsidy. Railways : — The German System — Cost compared with Great Britain — Watered Stock — Results of German State Control — French Subventions — Division and Remuneration of Capital — Total Cost to the Treasury — American Railroads. Miscellaneous: — France — Canada — Australia — Sale of Surplus Products — General Influence on Trade, .... 193-236 xiv CONTENTS PAGE CHAPTER VIII. Tariff and Taxation. Sources of Indirect Taxation — Proportion to Direct — Distribution of Taxation in Great Britain — Taxation in United States — Revenue Derived compared with Actual Burdens — Cost of Collection — Effect of Protection on National Finances— Taxation in France — Sources of Revenue compared vsrith United Kingdom — National Expenditure — Cost of Debt — Why France is able to prosper under it — Taxation in Germany — Imperial and State Systems — Moderation of Debt and Taxes — State Contributions — Prussian Budget — Immense Advantages enjoyed by Germany over her Industrial Competitors, ....... 237-279 CHAPTER IX. Imperial Customs Union. Discovery of America — Spanish Colonies — Portugal and her Possessions — Germany in Africa and Oceana — French Colonies — Extent of Trade — Algeria and Tunis — Madagascar — The Egyptian Question — Relationship betv^een France and her Colonies. Great Britain : — Crown Colonies — Colonial Tariffs — Colonial Trade — The Basis of Union — Schemes Propounded — Proportion of Colonial to Foreign Food Supplies — The Canadian Preferential Tariff — Distribution of Canadian Trade — Origin of Dutiable Imports — Analysis of Canadian Exports — Possibilities of Canadian Expansion — The Belgian and German Treaties — ■ What their Denunciation may mean — Constitutional Aspect of the Question — Australasian Trade — Australian Federation — Free Trade in Agricultural Products — Australasian Loans and the British Trustee Act — The True Basis of Imperial Federation — Phcenicia and Greece, 280-335 CHAPTER X. The Balance of Trade. Mistaken Notions concerning it — The United Kingdom Balance of Trade — How it is made up — Influences affecting it — Its Fluctua- tions — The Meaning of them — Remedies when unfavourable— The United States Balance of Trade — Wild Fluctuations — Their Principal Cause — The French Balance of Trade — Its Dependence on the Wheat Crop — The German Balance of Trade — Influences CONTENTS XV PAGE affecting it same as in United Kingdom — Trade Fluctuations in the Argentine Republic — Trade Movements in Japan — Unrelia- bility of some Trade Statistics — How Balances are settled — Gold Movements — The Balance of Trade in South Africa — Why Great Britain imports so largely from France — The Importance of the Question, 336-375 CHAPTER XL Home and Foreign Trade. Relative Importance — Effects of Protection — Arbitrary Divisions of Territory — Wasteful Labour — Incidence of Taxation on different Industries — The Agricultural Rating Act — Light Dues — Railway Preferential Rates — Reckless Foreign Trading — Education— In- ternal Competition — Independent Traders — Capitalist Influences — The Directions in which they are exerted — The True Aims of Home Traders— The West African Trade — General Possibilities of Foreign Development, ....... 376-407 CHAPTER XII. Free Trade or Protection % Slow Growth of Free Trade Principles — National and Individual Interests — General Growth of National Indebtedness — Decrease of the British Debt — Military and Naval Expenditure — The Commercial and Industrial Classes — Re-export Trade — Pro- tection in its Relationship to Commercial Morality — The Causes of Over-production — The Working Classes — Spread of Protectionist Sentiment in Great Britain — Increasing Competi- tion in Wholesale Trade — Great Prosperity of Retail Trade — Bullion Movements — What Free Trade and Protection do for the various Classes of the Community, .... 408-432 APPENDIX. The New Ameiucan Tariff, 433-448 Index, 449 TARIFF AND TEADE. CHAPTER I. The Purposes of Tariff. Beginnings of English Tariff: — Insidious Operation — Indifference of Taxpayers. Revenue :— Influence on Value — Indirect Taxation a Necessity — Principles which should regulate it — Temptations to depart from them — Stimulus to Home Production — The Taxation of Great Communities. Morality : — Checks on Over- indulgence — Limits to which they can be imposed — Public Opinion — Duties and Licences. Protection : — Primary Basis — Uncertainty of Revenue Returns — Conflict between National and Private Interests — Demands for Frequent Revision — Resulting Disturbance to Trade — Restriction of Benefits — Logical Issues — Revenue and Protection an Impossible Combination. Tariff is inextricably bound up with the still larger question of taxation. For whatever ultimate object it is levied, the first result is always to affect the national revenue, and either to intensify or diminish the strain upon the more direct or internal taxes. From its earliest inception this method oi" raising money has lent itself peculiarly to abuse, inasmuch as, though its incidence in tlie long run, if not actually universal, falls u]X)n the great majority of any community subjected to it, direct interference 2 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF ^vith the liberty of the individual is confined within narrow compass. From the days of King Edward I.— who svstematised and leofalised the exactions of his father Henry HI. upon the wool- fells ex})orted from the kingdom, ^^■hich, owing to the absence of any native weaving industry, practically included all that was grown — down to the present day of taxation on imjDorts of the same commodity wherever it may be in vogue, the amount of the levy has been nominally paid by a very small number of merchants or factors engaged in the foreign commerce of the country, but has actually come out of the pocket of the humble peasant who reared a few sheep, or the industrious and often poorly paid artisan whom the laws of decency, to say nothing of health or the desire of comfort, compel to be clad. But it would rarely occur to either the peasant or the artisan that in the very pursuit of his ordinary avocation, or in compliance with the most elementary of demands, he was casting his mite into the national treasury, while, assuming the form of a poll tax, it might have dawned on him that it was altogfether out of proportion to his means, and led him to protest, if not actually to rebel against it. However legitimate a tariff may otherwise be, it is always possible for it to fall with crushing weight on those least able to stand it, without them beingf aware of the fact, Avhile those who should bear the burden escape almost scot-free. INDIFFERENCE OF TAXPAYERS 3 Yet it rarely happens that ultimate incidence is taken into account in the imposition or rearrange- ment of tariff. The unfortunate consumer is about the last person to be considered in the negotiation of a commercial treaty ; he is quite as likely as not to be sacrificed to the interests of some specially favoured class in the foreign country which the Government of his own seeks to conciliate, and if he venture to complain, an attempt is made to silence him by appealing to his loyalty and to the general welfare, represented, it may be, by some branch of trade with which he is not in the remotest degree concerned. A prominent English statesman complained not very long ago that his country had thrown away the keys which might unlock the door of foreign markets to English manufacturers ; in other words he regarded it as a misfortune that the general consumer was not called upon to pay an annual premium to insure markets at some indefinitely future period to a limited number of producers. So far from this opinion being isolated, it represents a very important basis, on which many tariffs are constructed. To the student of Innnan nature it must be a ma.tter of surprise that under these circumstances the consumer remains so docile, and only on very rare occasions seeks to throw off the yoke. It m;iy be well padded to make it sit easy, Init it galls all the same after l)eing worn long in one |)()sition, and thoutrh we do see constant si^nis of discontent it 4 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF has nowhere yet broken hito o^^w rebelKon. The reason of this is not far to seek. National ex- penditure everywhere is increasing by leaps and bounds, and funds must be provided to meet it. Nothing is so annoying to the individual taxpayer as personal application. He will resist to the uttermost the payment of half a crown w^hile he is awake, but if someone puts a hand in his pocket and extracts five shillings when he is asleep, he feels that it cannot be helped and is not worth worrying about. By this apparent indifference he becomes the object of attention from three distinct quarters, and eventually succumbs to the attack of their combined forces. The Government desires ta replenish its exchequer, the social reformer aims at diminishing the temptations to vice by enhancing their cost, and the wily producer avails himself of the opportunity of adding to his profits by shutting out foreign competition. Thus tariff is made to answer the purposes of revenue, of morality, and of protection. I.— REVENUE. A commercial ao-e like the one in which we live, lends itself eminently to the easy raising of revenue by indirect means. The enormous burden of taxation now resting on the shoulders of every civilised as well as most semi-civilised peoples, would often be well nio-h intolerable were it realised. Were it possible for instance, to make every INDIRECT TAXATION NECESSARY 5 Englishman who drank a glass of spirits or smoked an ounce of tobacco, every German or Frenchman who used a pound of sugar, and every American who purchased a suit made from imported cloth, pay for them in two separate amounts, the one the actual cost of the article, the other the sum reserved for the Government, he would be amazed at the disproportion between them, and the extent to which he was contributing to the support of the national exchequer. To ignorance in this respect is largely owing the ability to raise and maintain those bloated armaments which are a constant menace to the peace of the world, though declared so often to be necessary for the protection of commerce, which would however be still more flourishing without them, if for no other reason than that the vast sums expended would be diverted to industrial channels, where they would be likely to yield a more or less profitable return. The dependence of Government on this source of revenue naturally varies in accordance with its situation. In a country sparsely inhabited over a widely scattered area, the collection of direct taxation is a practical impossibility, and it becomes a necessity to levy it upon some particular and generally used fixture— such as land, or u})on commodities which have to pass through a limited number of defined places for distribution, whetlier as imports or exports. No community in these days is so self-contained as to be inde})endent of its 6 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF neio'hbours, both near and distant, and even if it strive to supply most of its own wants, it is at least anxious to raise and dispose of surplus products in order to exchange them for luxuries, or some tangible and permanent form of wealth which it ma}' hoard. So far then from the Government of a newly settled territory ever being likely to experience difficulty in procuring funds for its due maintenance^ it has invariably a wide choice for operation, increased rather than diminished in proportion as the territory over which it exercises sway is unde- veloped, because in a primitive state the demand for foreign material of all sorts must be considerable. It is just here however that a wise discretion is absolutely necessary if success is to reward the eiforts to attain prosperity. There will always be a strong inclination to tax such articles as are imported in the greatest abundance, or are declared of the highest value, because by limiting the scope of the impost, trouble and expense may be saved. It may nevertheless be unsound policy, because uj)on the cheapness at Avhich these articles can be obtained may depend the rapidity of the progress made. Take for instance a country opened out to agricultural settlers. Among their earliest require- ments will be implements for preparing the land for cultivation, to be followed quickly by machinery for the economic inofatherino- of the fruits of the earth, and possibly subsequent treatment to render them marketable. Or suppose again a rush to a PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION 7 minincr district where there has been a discovery of the precious metals, or the more sober appropriation of territory where the baser ones are known to exist in rich abundance. Mining machinery of compU- cated and costly character will be required before a large, or even a payable yield can be obtained. In any of these cases therefore, implements and machinery are likely to figure as an important item in trade returns, a tariff on which would produce a substantial income towards the expenditure on administration, and that protection of life and property which is one of the first essentials in every newly constituted community. Such material, however conveniently it may offer, should be kept oft' the tarift" list until every other source of revenue has been exhausted. Following in the same line, we shall arrive at the princijole on which a tai'iff ought to be constructed. Implements and machinery are not the only materials requisite for agricultural and mining development, and whether it be in this direction or in some other, everything required for production should be rendered as cliea]) as ])ossible. There is no form of production into whicli the simplest articles of food and clothing do ]iot enter, and they likewise demand immunity from every charge which is not imperati\ c. In fact, exclusion from taxation of every article and commodity I'l-i'St^ly entering into the production of another, is tlic oidy sound basis of economic })rogress and piosperity. 8 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF We are at once shut olF from a very wide field ill wliich tlie tax-cjatherer has lono^ revelled, but it leaves a still wider one untouched. The days are long past since any considerable aggregate of individuals confined expenditure to bare necessaries, and we are now in an era when in most countries a verv large part is for the provision, first of comforts and then of absolute luxuries. The strict line between these is difiicult to draw, and no despotic distinction is possible, but there is in the mind of every thinking person some sort of classification which grades the one into the other. The justice of taxing pure luxuries is rarely denied, even by those who most largely indulge in them, and who ofier a stout resistance whenever an effort is made to put theory into practice. The advisability of including everything which legitimately falls under this desiofnation is, however, another matter. They are sometimes capable of being confined in so small a space, that detection is difficult, and contraband trading rendered so easy as to place the honest and legitimate dealer at a serious disadvantage, and the gain to national revenue is more than offset by injury to national morals. Moreover, luxuries in their narrower and more exclusive sense are nowhere sufiiciently distributed to make them an important source of revenue ; how much less then in a new country, whose inhabitants have still to win their way to wealth. DANGERS TO BE AVOIDED 9 Yet in all climes and under most conditions, there is a considerable, often a wide margin for personal expenditure, which is not strictly applic- able either to production or the maintenance of life and health, and it is here that the legitimate imposition of indirect taxation becomes alike possible and profitable. The individual is then called upon to contribute out of his abundance, and is neither penalised for his poverty nor handicapped in his industry. Articles of ornament and of general but not necessary utility, the higher and better grades of food and clothing, are sure to be wanted in sufficient quantities to provide a moderate revenue on a reasonable tariff, without seriously inconveniencing those who pay, and after- wards profit by the security they enjoy as well as by the public works which tend to enhance the value of their labour by reducing cost of transport, or in a hundred other ways. Only when a Govern- ment has failed to meet its expenditure or finds it impossible to economise, is it justified in extending its system of indirect taxation beyond these limits. At the same time care must be taken in imi)OS- inir a revenue tariff that it does not defeat its own object. By framing it on too high a scale, an unhealthy impetus may be afforded to the manufacture or preparation of commodities for which the country is in no way suited, and tariff, instead of being a necessary adjunct to Goverinueiit, will become the Ijattlefield of conteiidinir fictions. lo THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF There remains of course the safeo-uard of an excise duty, but that would mean the creation of another department with its staff" of officials, whose salaries and expenses might not be defrayed by the revenue they collected, especially if the manufacturing industry were spread over a wide area, and not con- centrated in a few settled districts. On the other hand, it would be absurd to exclude an article from a tariff list, merely on the ground that its inclusion might encourage native production. Provided the tax is in everv wav leofitimate, it is a matter of indifference to the consumer whether the product he purchases is of foreign or home manufacture. Perhaps patriotism may lead him to prefer the latter if he has not to pay more for it. When the duty becomes prohibitive, or so materially reduces the import as adversely to affect the revenue, it will be time enough either to lower it to an attractive basis, or to see that those who are profiting by the exclusion make good the deficiency. It is quite possible for a revenue tariff to encourage and assist local industry without becoming extravagantly or un- wisely protective ; but it must not be overlooked that the moment indirect taxation threatens to grow oppressive, or a direct impost becomes more lucrative and economical, as well as fairer in its incidence, that moment does the protected industry become a drag on the progress of the country. That it would be unfair to leave it suddenlvin the lurch is the strono-est reason for the exercise of caution in stimulating it. GREAT COMMUNITIES ii The policy of raising revenue by indirect taxa- tion is not however, by any means confined to new and sparsely peopled, or even densely populated but poverty-stricken countries, where the percentage of the well-to-do and wealthy is infinitesimal, and the scope for the tax collector correspondingly limited. Great Bril^ain, which is pedantically Free Trade in its economic creed, still imposes a large annual contribution on various commodities entering its ports, though in no instance could the most delicate olfactory nerve detect the scent of protection. No other great country is so scrupulously careful, rather do they seek to combine national income with what they are pleased to regard as national prosperity, fostered by harassing foreign competi- tion. But we have for the moment only to considei- the principles \\hich ought to guide them from a purely revenue standpoint. These do not widely differ from what has l)een already laid down. The same care is necessary to avoid hampering production, or to increase its cost by the taxation of the materials or labour that may be required in any indigenous branches of industry. A country whose import runs u]) to tens and hundreds of milhons of pomids sterling, and whose population can only ])e expressed in eiglit figures, enjoys a very wide selection, becaus(^ in no such instance are the climatic conditions within its borders so diverse, that it is not compelled to draw many of its recjuiremeiits from other sources. tli'»ngh, 12 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF like the United States it may be caj)able of pro- ducing every absolute necessary. There is conse- quently less excuse for such a country imposing burdens likely to prove grievous to any class of its hybrid population, and still less to favour one at the expense of another. In every case there will be commodities of almost universal consumption which readily lend themselves to taxation, and thus extract a moderate contribution from the pockets of those who are too poor to make a large or direct one. For it must be remembered, that in every well-ordered country the poor like the rich benefit from at least some part of the national expenditure, and while they may fairly look to Government to place no impediment in the way to maintain exist- ence, they are under obligations when that is pro- vided for, to apportion some small amount of the surplus towards the protection they are afforded in the enjoyment of whatever civil rights they are entitled to. That indeed must always be a strong argument against the entire abolition of indirect taxation. Still, even when limited in extent, it is capable of inflicting great injustice, which there is invariably less disposition to redress than if the scope were wider. Channels of trade as well as habits of life are continually changing, and what may be wise to-day may become oppressive ten years hence. Not even a tariff" imposed purely for revenue should become hidebound, but nnist be regarded as open CHECKS ON CONSUMPTION 13 to revision and transition whenever altered circum- stances render such a course expedient. Too rigid an adherence to what has become an antiquated system, may bring contempt on the poKcy under- lying it, which in itself may be as sound as on the day it was adopted. It is evident then that a tariff for revenue requires more scientific construction than for any other object. The number of commodities upon which it may be economically imposed is limited, because most of those which are tlieoretically best fitted are likely to be of too trivial a character to make them sufficiently productive to the exchequer for the time and labour devoted to them. What- ever is selected should not enter largely into the fabric of native industry, while it should be distri- buted among as many of the well-to-do sections of the community as possible. Absolute equality of incidence in this or any other form of taxation is impossible, but in most, if not all the trading countries of the present day, it is quite practicable to impose the burden in such a way that its incon- venience shall be reduced to a minimum. II.— MORALITY. We now enter a field where the question of revenue becomes of secondary im])ortaiice to tlic well-being of the peo])le. Human ii.iture as it is exhibited to us in tlie liistory of the past, as it pre- 14 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF sents itself to-day, and as it will most certainly be found in the centuries ahead, is prone to indulge in some form of narcotic, which, when taken in excess, leads to demoralisation of the mental, and collapse of the physical faculties. Usually it is a distillation of strong waters, occasionally a powerful drug like opium. Nature supplies the raw material Avith so profuse a hand, that when manufactured into a iit state for consumption, few of them are costly, and persons of moderate means would ordinarily be able to obtain them in dangerously large quantities with but little sacrifice. Social reformers have hit upon a method of enhancing the cost to such an extent, that only those in affluent circumstances are able to partake copiously or even freely, without depriving themselves of the more innocent comforts, and possibly of the very necessaries of life, while governments, not always too eager to assist in the promotion of morality, find that in this instance at least the pecuniary reward is worth the effort. Thus many of the liquors can only be retailed at several times the price at which they are actually produced. So strong however does the craving sometimes become, that no price w^ould place these stimulants beyond the reach of the most needy individual while they had it in their possession. Entire pro- hibition has proved fruitless in checking those who are sufficiently determined, and only adds to the evil, the further one of law-breaking. The most CONTRABAND TRADE 15 that can be done is to impose a wholesome restraint, and many an individual is undoubtedly deterred from excess, either from absolute want of means, or from the more laudable desire to avoid financial embarrassment. These duties therefore, while not totally destroying the mischief, do modify it to a very material extent. This modification ought to become more favour- able in proportion as cost is increased. In prac- tice however it is always found that there is a point beyond which this ceases to have any efi'ect, if brought about by artificial and removable causes. There are few things men will not do in desperation, and the distillation of spirits is not one of them. In every country where the duty is at all heavy, not the least important part of the work of Government officials connected with the depart- ment controlling it, is to prevent evasion of the law, whether directly, or by the thousand and one sub- terfuges which ingenuity is always ready to invent ; and just as stringency approaches the border line of prohibition, so will the law be set at defiance. Besides, all coinitries do not regard tlie matter In quite the same light, and while most impose re- strictions on the traffic, they are very unequal. Carefully as coasts are guarded, there are scores of quiet coves and inlets to be found 011 the most unpromising, where a contra])a]id ti-ade oaii, .nid under exasperating conditions will. Im' coiMlucicd. Just as a metallic currency tends to flow to tliose 1 6 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF places where it can be most })rofitably employed without undue risk, so will commodities, not always quite so legitimately, pass to lucrative markets even with considerable attendant risk. Nor can public opinion be ignored ; indeed this is one of the most important matters on which public opinion is constantly asserting itself. Upon many countries the curse of intemperance rests so lightly, that it is not an evil demanding legislative interference and repression, and a temperance re- former would be laughed to scorn. Even where excess is prevalent, the numbers who partake mod- erately are so large, that they are able to make their wishes respected. That there is a growing perception among this class of the necessity of adopting stringent measures to check abuse, is evidenced by the increasing readiness with which restrictions are tolerated, and even advocated on legitimate use, and among English-speaking people at any rate there is no longer any fear of a successful movement in favour of stimulating consumption. When agitation is not making practical progress in the opposite direction, the worst that happens is stagnation. Unlike a revenue tariff, that imposed for pur- poses of morality is more costly and cumbersome as area and population are disproportionate. The trade is an internal rather than an external one, for though foreign imports are everywhere to be found, the national beverage is invariably of home manu- THE LICENSING SYSTEM 17 facture. In thickly-peopled districts it is easy to control, because each factory is generally of some importance, and able to bear the expense of one or more revenue officers. Where towns and villages are small and far apart, the business is often con- ducted on a corresponding scale, and could not bear the cost of regular, much less of permanent inspec- tion, and thus a system of licences takes the place of fixed tariff. It is not unknown indeed where tariff is high, but generally occupies a subsidiary position, and is sometimes little more than a regis- tration for ensuring more efficient oversight, as well as a guarantee for good behaviour. It is, however, at any time possible to convert it into a principal instrument, and as such is to be found in operation in rising but sparsely-peopled districts, where the direct duty might easily be evaded. A somewhat novel but very efficacious expedient has been adopted to check the undue multi])lica- tion of drinksellers. It may not be altogether creditable, but it is nevertheless true, that this is one of the first wants of a new comnnmity, and is rarely long in Ijeing supplied. Inasmuch as the first arrival is welcomed, lie is dealt with tenderly, and the tax imposed is light. But as eacli succes- sive competitor ])uts in an appearance, the cost of the licence is raised all round, and even the original holder, when the period of his grant lapses, must fall into line with the others. It l)ecomes a (|ues- tion of the survival of the fittest, l)ecause a point i8 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF Svill sooner or later be reached when the licence becomes too onerous to maintain, and some must be allowed to lapse, or else there must be an entire cessation of new ones. Thus, as the community grows, the local exchequer swells, \vhile a guarantee is afforded that it w411 not be flooded and demoralised by an incubus of licensed houses. The main point to be borne in mind in connection with tariff under this heading, is that Government is rarely the supreme arbiter in its imposition. Liquor laws have played havoc with more than one political party on both sides of the Atlantic, and they would have been everywhere in a more satis- factory condition to-day had there been less zeal and more discretion displayed in framing them or seeking their alteration. The custodian of national finances must be content to receive whatever the public will give him ; if he endeavour to secure more, he will be ejected, and very likely his friends with him. The day has gone when occupants of that office will volunteer to accept less, and considerable pressure wall have to be used to compel them to do so. It is eminently desirable therefore that opinion upon the question should be healthy and guided by moderation, not only that the exchequer may be protected against Unwelcome and unexpected revolutions, but that the standard of national morality may be raised to a hioher level. BASIS OF PROTECTION 19 III. PROTECTION. No more thankless task can well be undertaken by any Government, than the construction of a protectionist tariff. The articles which common sense denote as specially suitable for taxation have to be excluded, because it is nobody's interest to have them on the list, while room must be left for others, which, when included, cannot fail to be pro- ductive of hardship. For plumbing the depth of human selfishness, nothing more effective has ever yet been invented than ^vhat is called a protective tariff. While those who clamour for it are preach- ing the virtue of patriotism, and extolling the merit of sacrifice for the encouragement of home industry, the moment their schemes come within the ranofe of practical politics, they resemble nothing so much as a victorious army turned out to loot a captured city. The grower of raw material wants protection against what he chooses to designate the pauper labour or superior advantages of a keen competitor ; the manufacturer of that raw material wants it cheap, and expresses surprise that the grower should desire to enhance the cost of the finished article. So many interests must eventually be disappointed, either by getting nothing at all, or much less than they consider their due, that the claims of the party which can survive the shock must be irreat indeed, toi' political t^catitudc is ever 20 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF the anticipation of ftivoiirs to come, never of ]:)enefits conferred. National finance dependent upon a protective tariff must always be in a nebulous and unsatis- factory condition. First to tax the commodity, and then to be compelled to tax the individual because the commodity remains at a respectful distance, is adding- insult to injury, but unless it is done the exchequer must go bankrupt. The foreign manu- facturer or shipj^er who was to provide ways and means, pay the salaries of officials and find the pensions of veterans, diverts his energies to another sphere ; and to conceal the chagrin which his want of thought, or still worse, his revengeful disposition has roused, a substantial addition is made to the national debt, and the cautious investor is added to the number of beneficiaries under the system. He wants interest of course, but perhaps by the time it is payable the foreigner will have lost some of his shyness, and be prepared to part with a portion of his treasure. A. nation generally regards an expanding revenue as a sure sign of prosperity, and sound finance will always aim at exceeding rather than falling short of estimates. But every increase of revenue from tariff, must be gall and wormwood to the citizen whose products are being displaced, while he openly rejoices at the falling off which can only finally result in embarrassment. The public need is in fact his opportunity, and he measures his success- UNCERTAINTY OF OPERATION 21 and prosperity by the adversity of the national exchequer. So long as his profits remain untouched, it is of small consequence to him how the adverse balance is redressed ; should it become necessary to lower the tariff in order again to attract revenue, he will fight hard against the selection of his particular commodity, and offer innumerable reasons wdiy another should be chosen. Nothing in short raises such keen enemies to the exchequer as pro- tection. Those who live under it and upon it, are constantly exercising their minds to waylay the contributions, which, in the ordinary course would find their way thither, and to pocket them instead. Defrauding the revenue as a rule sits lightly on the conscience, but openly to war against it creates animosities, compared with which the satisfaction of having done something improper but rather smart, becomes a positive virtue. Nor is there any finality or continuity in financial arrangements. A revenue tarift' or direct taxation may be steadily continued year after year, Nt)t only is its yield calculable to within a very small percentage, but those who have to contribute to it may sink tlicir ca})ital in investments or ('nt(M'|)rises witli httle fear of a- (nstnrl)iiig hand IxMiigljiid upon them. A manufacturer will know that in the ex- tension of his premises or })lant, he will be free from any demand until a profit has been made which lie can either save or spend. ( )n tin' ot licr linnd. such an extension may l)e commenced \\\ anticij)ation ol* 2 2 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF advantages which are never conferred, or if granted, may bf^ snatched away before they can be availed of There is either an element of speculation in all private enterprise, or if the policy of protection be persistently followed for a course of years, it has to be made continually more stringent, and the speculation and uncertainty are transferred to the national finances. However wide a protective tariff may be, there are always large numbers of persons who cannot possibly benefit by it. In every country there are many, indeed the majority of industries, in which foreign competition is impossible. Ready-built houses cannot be imported from abroad and laid down on the sites selected for them. Clothino- made to measure cannot be tried on and fitted a thousand miles a^^ay. The daily and weekly news- paper would be rather stale if made in Germany, and its contents mio-ht also be regarded with sus- picion. There are agricultural products so joerish- able, that fortv-eierht or even twentv-four hours' delay in consumption renders them unfit for food. What equivalent can l^e given to these ? The pro- ducers are compelled to pay an artificial price for many of t,heir requirements, and yet get nothing in return. A paternal Government might grant them a bounty, but bounties are rarely given except to those who undertake to dispose of their commodi- ties abroad. They must struggle on as best they can, and if they create a supply in excess of DISPUTES AND JEALOUSIES 23 demand, must take the best price obtainable, instead of selling in the home markets on their own terms, and dumping- the surplus on a foreign one at anything it will fetch. No wonder that discontent enters the mind and permeates the soul, until the wildest socialistic theories gain possession of the whole system. Nor does the trouble end here, for degrees of protection cause even more heartburning than none at all. One set of producers secures a tariif which results in absolute prohibition, and their industry consequently contrilmtes nothing whatever to the national revenue. Another set has still to wage a fierce struggle against foreign competition, and demands consideration on the not unjust ground that their particular trade is paying a large amount of taxation. There is no logical half-way house in a protective policy. If a country be capable of producing all it wants of any particular commodity, every inhabitant should be forbidden, under severe penalty and punishment, to obtain it elsewhere, because a Government which accepts a duty is entering into a conspiracy with the foreign ])lun- derer to rol) the innocent manufacturer, and is an accessory before as well as after the offence. Surely when ^sop wrote his fable about the man and his son and his donkey, he had obtained a glance into futurity, and witnessed the high priest of protection labouring to propitiate the worshippers assembled round its altars ! 24 THE PURPOSES OF TARIFF All this is no mere theorising. Ample illustra- tion will be given in succeeding chapters of* the actual existence of the evils which sound reasoning on the subject would be likely to deduce. The world has had experience of freedom as well as restriction, but wide as it is, most of its inhabitants still find it difficult to divest themselves of their immediate surroundings, and, travelling round a circle, arrive at the point from which they started. Man does reach tliat stage where he honestly con- ceives that what suits him personally must be good for everybody else, and setting a goal before him at which he may or may not eventually arrive, bids others follow, however impossible it may be of general attainment. Because protection does open a road to wealth, there is an eager rush to enter it, utterly oblivious of the fact that it is so narrow that a crowd will be trampled under foot. But the victims below are lost sight of in gazing at the victors above. A combination of two of the three purposes for which tariff is levied is generally possible, but the first and the last will no more mix than oil and water. By a coincidence one may lapse into the other, but when revenue ceases to flow freely, pro- tection occupies the field, unless indeed there is no longer anv demand for the particular commodity. POLITICAL USES OF PROTECTION 25 Contrariwise, when revenue becomes elastic, pro- tection is no longer afforded, unless it be for a brief period when demand has, without warning, outrun supply, and cannot be immediately filled. But a tariff for revenue and protection combined is an anomaly, and where it is supposed to exist it will be found on analysis to consist of two distinct parts, the first operating in one direction, the second in the other. Where this is the work of a democracy and a freely-elected legislature, the hindrance to political progress is incalculable, for so much time is spent in wrangling over disputed points of finance and trade, that the more important ques- tions of social progress and individual liberty and well-beinof are thrust into the backo-round. Monarchs divert the attention of their subjects from domestic grievances by plunging into foreign complications. Those responsible for the manage- ment of democracies maintain control by i-aising all sorts of intricate economic problems, which would puzzle the brain of a Solon to solve. Government must be carried on and reveiuie raised, but the one will work more smoothly if the other can be depended on. Either fix an amount, wliicli under ordinary circumstances will be forthcoming from the indirect sources selected, or abolish them altogether and make trade free or entirely prohibit it, in each case resorting to the pockets of those who are most likely to profit. CHAPTEK II. Infant Industries. The Growth of Primitive Manufactures — The Conditions Necessary — Coal and Iron — Textiles — Impatience of Settlers — Natural Advantagesof the United States — Wages — Their Gradual Equalisa- tion on the Two Continents — Rapidity of American Expansion- Europe unable to cope with it — Industrial Development in Germany — Former Conditions in Great Britain — Protection really confined to Agriculture — Expansion following Repeal of the Corn Laws — Natural and Artificial Stimulus. No more specious doctrine has ever been preached than the economy of building up new industries by means of protective duties. We might be disposed to admit the wisdom of it, if the infant grew to man's estate and gave evidence of self-rehance. It is true such industries do ptow under the forcincr process, sometimes at a rapid rate, but as they shoot upwards and outwards they lose rather than gain in strength, so that while a sapling was sufficient to support them in their vouth, by the time old age is upon them the strongest oak of the forest is scarce stout enough to prevent their collapse. Industries are much like human beings, so long as they are kept by extraneous help they rarely exhibit any haste to emerge from the stage of infancy. GROWTH OF INDUSTRY 27 Just as it is natural food that stimulates the development of the child into youth, and youth into the strong man or the healthy woman, so a new country or community must feed upon its own resources if it desire to attain a real measure of prosperity. People do not go into the bush of Australia, or adventure into the wilds of Central Africa, to build locomotives and establish silk manufacturing. There must be something already there to attract them. Either gold casts its magic spell, or the colonist, full of energy, burns to Avield the axe and clear a space where the fruits of the earth may have free play to yield their increase, and in due course provide sustenance for man and beast. He requires tools, from the axe and spade to the complicated reaper or crushing machinery, and he wants them as cheaply as they are to be had. Very likely he takes his first supply of the simplest with him, and whether he wants more complex ones or not, those he has soon wear out. But not only has he to pay the price at the town depot or the country store, but the cost of convey- ance to a remote station possibly doubles it. Axe heads and spade irons he must continue to buy, l)ut the handles he can make himself from the timber he has felled, and thus without knowing it lie introduces the first primitive manufacture into the settlement. In due course he is surrounded l)y neighbours. A mechanic arriving in their midst discovers he can ol)tain constant employment in 2 8 INFANT INDUSTRIES making liaudles for axes and spades, and a host of miscellaneous odds and ends which the settler would not have troubled about getting had they not been brouo-ht to his verv door. So the first manufacturer establishes a factory, and manu- facturing industry begins to grow up side by side with agricultural pioneering. But to the protectionist, or the man who desires to see his country go ahead, anything so primitive is reofarded with scorn. That is not manufacturing^ they say. We want to see the building with the tall chimney-stack by its side ; to hear the thud of the steam hammer as it falls on the molten metal ; to listen to the deafening buzz of the sjDindle, or drink in the music of the loom as it meanders to and fro, gathering up the weft and the warp. Wait a little, and all that will follow. To begin with however, a few questions must be asked and answered. Are coal and iron to be found in close proximity to one another, and in such a situation that they or their products can be easily transported to other fields of industry? If so, then in due course iron manufacturino* will become not only a possibility, but a paying occupation for capital and labour alike. But first, steel rails, waggons, and locomotives will be wanted to tap the source and freely disperse its stream in all directions, and these Avill be obtainable best and cheapest in some old country where the industries have been long established, and are economically worked. TEXTILE MANUFACTURES 29 Then may the forge with all its accessories be erected, not necessarily to duplicate the rails and the waggons and the steam engines, but to make the more modest articles which in turn help to make civilisation. Or are large quantities of sheep and cattle raised ? Then why should their wool and hides be sent thousands of miles away to be returned as clothing and leather, or even boots and shoes ? Perhaps the community is too small to make the carding, spinning, weaving, and tanning industries possible on a sufficiently important scale to render them remunerative. Then it is waste of energy as well as money to carry them on. Very likely the conditions and wag'es of labour are such, that com- petition with countries where these are more favourable is out of the question. Then that must mean that the demand for labour in the existing industries, whatever they may be, is large enough to absorb the supply on very much its own terms, and it were folly to attract it where at the same rate it would be unremunerative. Once more, does the cotton plant floinxsh ? Then the same ])roblem presents itself as in tlie case of wool and liides. If not, are the conditions favourable for converting it into calico, should the raw material be imported ? Are there places where water is abundant, either as motive power in driving the machinery, or for the purposes necessary in the process of manufacture ''. Is tlie atmosphere 30 INFANT INDUSTRIES sutHcieutly liuniid to ensure cohesion of the threads ? If so, is the spot where all these advantages are fomid sufficiently near a port of shipment or discharge to reduce cost of transport to a niininunn ? All this granted, then cotton spinning may fear- lessly advance. Unfortunately, neither communities nor indi- viduals are willing to allow this to take place in proper sequence. Agriculture may Ije said to be the basis of all settlement, for though gold or some other form of adventure be the original attraction, the discarded and rejected earth will sooner or later bury disappointed hopes in her fruitful womb, and cherish them into new life. Virgin soil, and the keen air and free life of the prairie combined, afford a stimulus which causes everything for a time to be viewed through rose-tinted spectacles. What matters it if clothing and other necessaries do cost half as much again as they ought to ? Is not the recompense ample when the farmer, visiting the rapidly growing city on the occasion of his annual holiday, views the smoke belching forth from the factories and darkening the atmosphere, and prides himself on being the unit of a nation which is well on the way to independence of all others. Thus the very people who are eventually to feel the first pinch of adversity, animate and encourage those who, by dipping freely into the national funds, see their way to the easy accumulation of handsome fortunes. THE UNITED STATES 31 Let us apply these tests in a ]3ractical manner. No country ever discovered, and there remain but few still beneath the veil, has been so abundantly blessed by nature as the vast territory enclosed within the boundaries of the United States of America. An immense coast-line fronting- two oceans, and magnificent harbours. Every conceivable variety of climate, from the soft airs and perpetual summer of Southern California, to the icy blizzard of the north. Lakes which are inland seas, and mighty rivers which for himdi'eds of miles are high- ways of commerce, costing nothing to construct or keep in repair, the levees or embankments, upon wliich so much money has been spent, being designed for the protection of the adjoining lands, among the richest in the world and requiring no artificial stimulus whatever for the regular production of abundant and exhausting crops. Mountains teem- ing with mineral wealth, and rolling prairies providing sustenance for millions of four-footed beasts. Gold and silver, coal and iron, light and heat, jjourecl forth from the bowels of the earth, and last, l)ut by no means least, the most intelligent and enterprising beings in God's image who ever trod God's earth. And yet forsooth, these last appeal to the State for protection ! What would ])ublic opinion say of the giant, splendidly proportioned and gorgeously equipped, crying out for help against tlie pigmy who scarce reached to his knees, and whose every advant- age had been gained Ijy long toil aiidpatient])l<)d(hiig? 32 INFANT INDUSTRIES Is it possihlo to believe that Pennsylvania and Alabama could never have flourished as coal and iron- ])ro(hu'ni<;' centres, unless prop])e(l up bv protective duties against the industries of far-distant nations, whose output in years gone by was severely taxed by the cost of transport from the inland foundry to the port of shipment, and then across the Atlantic ? The latter, it is true, has diminished, sometimes well-nigh to vanishing point, but the former, as far at anvrate as Great Britain is concerned, remains solid and luiimpressionable. Or can it be that Fall River would never have been utilised, or the scores of spinning mills in the very midst of the cotton plantations never erected, unless a heavy tariff had been imposed on foreign goods made from cotton enterino- the country, and that it would still have been necessary to send the raw material from Georofia to Manchester or Munchen Gladbach, in order that the Georo-ian nem^o miMit have a c5 O C5 coloured shirt to his back ? If these thinofs are possible, then is the inventive genius and untiring energy of the native-born American a sham and a delusion, and he himself the most overrated man, whether in his own or other people's estimation, that ever breathed. Waffes of course is the reason assioned for inability to compete. The American labourer scorned the miserable pittance afibrdecl by the manufacturers of Europe, and rightly so, as long as he could do better by cultivating- the soil elsewhere. WAGES JN AMERICA AND EUROPE 2,0 So great and so genuine were the inducements offered, that a broad stream of immigration flowed from across the Atlantic, and the population of the United States advanced by enormous strides. But that at once began to equalise matters, slowly and imperceptibly at first, rapidly and visibly as time progressed. The more abundant supply of labour told on the wap-es of tlie American ag-ricultural labourer, and helped to depress them. The relief from over - pressure on the European labour market, assisted no doubt by combination, which only however became possible under the altered circumstances, brought about a rise in wages which thus drew gradually closer together on the two continents. The process was deferred by the intro- duction of protected industries, which for a time at least tend to maintain the reward of the artisan, but it has not prevented in some cases, and will not eventually prevent in the rest, the final and natural consummation. Already we see immigration, at one time so enthusiastically welcomed and earnestly encouraged, scotched if not killed l^y legislative enactments. It was tlie lal)()ur first that liad to be protected, now it is the labourer, though before the United States will have attained the present density of population of tlie United Kingdom, their inhal)itants must multiply fifteen fold. Had tliis process of ecjualisation ])een left alone, manufacturing industries in tlic \ n it cd States would Ikinc sprung up without assistance 3 34 INFANT INDUSTRIES at a period very little later than they were actually forced upon the country. Agricultural wages would have fallen more rapidly, or else those in Europe would have taken less time in attaining the level thev have since reached. Manufactuiino- wagfes in America would have started on a lower basis, and sooner reached the rates they now stand at. Again ' the protectionist says, see what a long innings of prosperity the workman had while wages were high. Quite so, but the cost of living was also high, and for a fair comparison between the continents it would be necessary to consider, not what was paid, but what could be saved after the same comforts had been provided. That the balance would long have been in favour of America is undoubted, because the capabilities of expansion were so enormous, and an intelligent man had so many more chances of exercising his ingenuity than in an old and already well-populated country like Great Britain. But that would have occurred with an entire absence of pro- tection to manufacture, just as it did to agriculture, and Pittsburo- and Fall Biver would still have competed successfully with Staffordshire and Old- ham, though paying a higher rate of wage. It is quite possible that another and perfectly legitimate influence would have been at work on a small scale. I have previously maintained, that provided a Government has to support itself bv indirect taxation, it need not necessarily avoid a commodity wliich may some day be produced at AMERICAN EXPANSION 35 home, so long as the double condition is fulfilled, of obtaining a revenue and imposing no restraint on the domestic industries actually in existence. That in itself would foster enterprise. But the question is naturally asked, what is the difference between this and protection pure and simple ? It is ad- mittedly difficult to define, but the same intangible border line often exists between revenue and pro- tection, as we have already noticed between comfort and luxury. Moreover, the individual who avails himself of the opportunity thus offered steps warily. He asks himself what the consequences would be if the protection Avere withdrawn, because the tax ceased to be productive. Could he so arrange his affairs as to be able to stand alone in the course of a few years ? He may rightly ask that no change shall be sprung upon him unawares, but he will have no reason to complain if due warning be given that artificial support is to be withdrawn. In such a. case an industry may come into existence earlier than it otherwise would, but it is attended by greater risks than one which patiently waits for maturer conditions. The sudden expansion of the United States, moreover, was such that Great Britain would iK)t under any circumstances have found it possible to keep pace with. The great trunk lines of rail- road were commenced, and for a time continued, not because of the existence of coal and iron in the country, but because the products of tlie soil li.id 36 INFANT INDUSTRIES t(> 1)0 carried to tlie consumer. True, railroads were constructed later because furnaces and mills had been erected to manufacture iron and steel, but those roads went into the receiver's hands and bankruptcy ; and had they never been built, or their construction deferred, we should have heard less of railroad scandals, and the occupation of the railroad wrecker would have been a sinecure. Had America been content to take a little more of the material from Europe, and a little less eager to supply it all herself, millionaires might have been less plentiful, but stock w^ould not have been watered to such an extent, that in the struggle to earn a dividend on a portion of it, presidents and directors alike have earned the animosity of nearly every independent trader in the Republic. When the enormous cost of land to English railway com- panies is contrasted with the free gift of millions of acres to the American ones, we may well ask what has happened to make freights approach anything like as close as they do. A larger demand upon European sujDplies of material, particularly if distril)uted over a wide area and for a prolonged period, would have tended to raise European wages rather than to lower American ones. Activity in the iron trade does not necessarily imply jDrosperity in cotton or wool- spinning, though there is a thread of sympathy running tln-ough all the great industries of any country, and were trade universally free it would GERMAN EXPANSION 37 encircle the world. But even should special causes arise to dej^ress one while another is progressive, that can only continue for a very limited period. So rapidly do masters and workmen fall out of the ranks, that unless they are replaced the staif of an industry is quickly depleted, and where one is more prosperous than another, recruits naturally seek it. Whether iron had preceded cotton or cotton iron, both would long since have established a firm footino- in America without the smallest assist- ance, and ought to-day to be able to compete with any similar industries in the world. But America chose rather to play the part of the prodigal son, with the difference between it and the typical one, that it spent its substance in riotous living at home instead of in a far land. Signs are not altogether wanting that it desires to return to steadier habits, but it must be remembered that repentance precedes the fatted calf What is true of the United States is equally so of every other country. Conditions may be less favourable and progress slower, but the race is not always to the swift. The industrial expansion of Germany is scarcely less marvellous than that of the great Americcin Piepublic, and protection is again singled out as the chief cause of it. The same thing may be said of Westphalia as of Penn- sylvania, only with this in favour of tlie foi'iner, that the scale of wages began at the bottom and has gradually ascended, instead of tlie reverse. 3S INFANT INDUSTRIES Tlu» same results are discernible in both tlie countries named, a deplorable decline in agricultural prosperity, and that notwithstanding the fact that in Germany it is the best protected industry. The phleo-matic character of the people was bound to win it success the moment it g"ot fair play and was relieved from the constant strain of political anxiety which weighed it down until a quarter of a century ago. Its progress has been artificially stimulated, but at what will some day inevitably prove to have been too great a cost. It were useless to follow each country where protection reigns supreme, and where the same arguments are urged in its support. It would only mean ringing the changes on a higher or lower keynote. One country, and one onlv, has not yet been enofulfed in the vortex, thoug-h one at least of its self-governing dependencies has emerged from it. It is sometimes contended ho"wever, that Great Britain could not have attained her commercial and manufacturing supremacy had she not started under the powerful patronage of protection, and that at least is worth inquiring into. The conditions prevailing fifty years ago and those in existence to-day are so totally distinct, that comparison is difficult, if not impossible. But protection in England never aimed at the encouragement of infant industries, it sought rather to maintain the oldest of all — ag-riculture. The most per fervid protectionist of modern times is ENGLISH INDUSTRIES 39 willmtj- to admit that Eno-lish manufacturers were well able to take care of themseh'es. The immunity of the soil from mvasioii while all Europe was a battlefield, the employment of the people in the arts of peace, while those of other nationalities wielded the sword, though they were largely subventioned at English expense, constituted ill themselves a premium which rendered competition prohibitive. True, there was a tariff on all imported manufactures, but it was a hindrance rather than otherwise, and imposed on the chance of mulcting anything that straved into the kino-dom, for the benefit of the treasury, which, reeling under a load of debt, found the greatest difficulty in making ends meet. As the wealth of the nation increased and direct taxation became possible as well as profitable, the worn-out and rusty shackles were struck oft" trade, which became more and more free without attractino' the manufactured ffoods of the foreiofner, who indeed rather increased his custom to his Enoflish rival. To protect manufacturing industry therefore, was about as productive an employment as gilding refined gold. Far otherwise was it with agriculture, and the wonderfully constructed sliding scales invented l)y our forefathers almost lead us to the conclusion, even in this scientific age, that the science of pure mathematics has been either lost or stolen. In any case it was labour wasted, l^ecause nearly every other nation on the face of the earth found it rather 40 INFANT INDUSTRIES intu'c tliaii it could inaiuige to feed itself, and only the inducement of very hio^h prices persuaded people to starve themselves a little more for the sake of the ortered reward. Then the sliding scale became so like free trade that onlv an expert could detect the difference. This is not the })lace to discuss the motives which animated Hichard Cobden and those who acted \\'\\\\ him in the great Corn Law Leamie. That many of the men concerned were actuated by pure love of their species, and on the highest grounds of a noble and unselfish philanthropy is absolutely beyond dispute, that others thought only of the cheaper cost of living, the possibility of reducing the wages of their workpeople, and the probable stimulus to their trade, is equally certain. What is more apparent than anything else, is that any man who values his future reputation should never adopt the profession of prophet, for many on both sides have thus far been hopelessly wrecked. The greatest prosperity ever enjoyed by British agriculture was under Free Trade, and though it now languishes, it can hardly be said to be worse off than in countries where protection is still rife, and where the farmer and landowner are objects of tender solicitude. At anvrate we mav dis- miss it for tlie time being, the clamour for pro- tection is not tQ inaugurate a new, but to resuscitate an old industrv, and therefore rests on totally different grounds, though ruled FALSE STIMULUS 41 by exactly the same principles as we have been discussino". What might have happened had Great Britain started on even terms with her manufacturing rivals of the present day, I do not care to surmise after penning the preceding paragraph. Financial and economic heresies might have taken as deep root there as elsewhere, and then the great tariff battle would have been still further embittered. Most Englishmen and all Scotchmen, however, are fer- vent advocates of Free Trade, because it suits their pockets ; and as there is hardly likely to be any change in this respect, the dulcet tones of the pro- tectionist charmer only fall on deaf ears. For exactly the same reason the American manufacturer stands by protection, and not because he desires to see his workpeople earn high wages ; he would reduce them below the European standard if he could, though there are honourable exceptions of course. There can be no hope therefore of convincing him, the appeal must rather be made to that wider circle which includes within its circumference the victims of the system. Nobody would ever dream of erecting a cotton factory on the summit of Ben Nevis, or constructing blast furnaces on the roof of the Alleghanys, even though subsidised. At least the man who attem])ted it woukl more likely than not be escorted by his fellows to the nearest lunatic asylum. Vet experiments almost as foolish are constantly 42 IXFA.XT INDUSTRIES atlriii])lt'(l lIir()iiL;li()iit llu' world. For what can be more ridiculous tliau to endea\'our to establish an industry where the true economic conditions are entirely absent. Either the raw niateiiab of Httle vahie, lias to be transported an innnense distance at considerable cost, or labour has to be attracted by hii]^her wages from some established and profitable trade. And yet Governments wdll deliberately compel their subjects to pay 50 and 100 — yes, and 200 })er cent, more than tlie real value of particvdar commodities, in order that some prentice hand may prove his ability to make them. The same Government, as likely as not, will refuse to permit the establishment of another industry or brancli of it, because the cost of production is so small. Hard working but poverty-stricken foreigners, with a trade at their finger ends, are forbidden to enter the country and pursue it, while complaints are loud of the competition they create at home. Surely the true policy is to encourage everv trade and industrv which, beffinnino- on a cheap basis, can work its way to a higher level and carry its labourers with it, rather than to stimulate those inaugurated at immense cost, which, were the props removed, would collapse like a house of cards, and bury all connected with them beneath the ruins. CHAPTEE III. Taxing the Foreigner. Antipathy to Taxation — Value of Natural Monopolies for Revenue Purposes. Export Duties: — Nitrate of Soda — Sugar— Mint Seigniorage on Mexican Dollars — United States Wheat — Cotton — British Salt and Coal — Textile Machinery. Import Duties: — French Wheat — Analogy to United Kingdom — The Steel Rail Pool in America — Trusts — Antagonism of Free Trade to Trusts — Influence of Protection on Price — Incidence of Revenue Duties — Price versus Market Value. Mankind is so constituted as to be ever seeking to diminish, or altoQ;etlier avoid its ol)lio;ations to the State. Men, and women too, will spend money recklessly on the most foolish objects which benefit neither themselves nor anyone else ; but was there ever one who did not grumble at paying a tax ? Whenever it is proposed therefore to make the foreigner provide the national revenue, there is always a delighted crowd ready to applaud the method suggested, without knowing exactly how it is o-oino" to work. The worst of it is that no national patent is possible for so clever an invention; every country in turn will adopt it when once dis- covered, and peo})Ie arc not always economical wluni spending their neighljour's money. Perha})s there- fore it is better on the wIkjIc that each nation 44 TAXIXG THE FOREIGNER should I'aisc its own ivvciiue and control its expen- diture, than tliat it .should hand it over to another to do what it likes with. Tliat tliere are methods of exacting; tribute from other nations without appealing to the fortune of war is certain. They are few however, and becoming gradually fewer, because while people can establish and permit monopolies in their own midst, they can rarely enforce them on others. A country which is fortunate enough to possess a commodity which does not exist elsewhere, and others must have, is thus able to tax the foreigner by the imposition of an export duty. Salt, for instance, is a necessity in India as in all other lands, and yet is only found there in the most meagre quantities, and for that reason is made an important source of revenue. But su]3pose Great Britain desired to exploit her great dependency and make it a source of revenue, as colonies have been made in the past : by pro- hibiting the importation of salt from other countries, she could secure the mono[)oly to herself, and impose an export duty which the Indian native would be compelled to pay, together with the import duty on his own side. A few instances still survive where something; of the sort is done, independent of relationship between colonies and mother countries. The nitrate industry of South America is subjected to such an impost for the benefit of the Chilian Government, which raises nearly half its revenue in this way, and hitherto it EXPORT DUTIES 45 has been a tax on foreigners, because nitrate of soda is not produced elsewhere, and is a favourite manure on the continent of Europe, where its properties are found suitable for certain lands and special crops. Whether chemical research, now so busy, will even- tually find a cheaper substitute in an artificial manure, it is of course impossible to say, but should this happen, then if Chili desires to retain the trade, the duty will have to be abolished. Other export duties are to be found which are not so successful, and are indeed continued with the full knowledge that they press on the home producer. Since the abolition of slavery in the West Indies, it has been impossible to secure a sufficient quantity of negro free labour for the cultivation of the plantations, and recourse has been had to the East Indies, whence coolies are imported under indentures. As far as the islands and terri- tories under British control are concerned, every care is taken to attend to their welfare, and a fund accumulated to send them home ao-ain when their terms have expired, and this is raised by a small export tax on sugar. It should of course be regarded as a slight increase in the cost of labour rather than a tax. Another instance is to be found in Mexico. The Philippine Islands were once dependent upon the viceroyalty of that country when it was a Spanish colony, and all trade l^etween them ;ind Europe passed through Mexico. Every year a large (piantity 46 TAXiyO THE FOREIGNER of silver coin or Ijiillioii was dospatclicd from Acjipulco to Manila in pa}inL'nl of nicrchundise sent from Manila' to Acapulco, and was afterwards disseminated throughout the whole of the East Indies by means of local trade. Thus the JNIexican dollar became, and remains to-day, the most accepted currency in many countries in the East, and Mexican silver is minted before being exjjorted. The Government imposes a seigniorage which somewhat more than covers the actual cost of minting, and thus a duty is imposed on one of the principal articles of Mexican export, which is only paid for by the foreigner how- ever, at the value of the silver contained, and the tax consequently falls on the silver mine owner. Morocco is another instance where a small duty is levied on almost every article of export, and needless to say this does not contribute to an extension of its trade. Some of the smaller colonies are likewise compelled to make up their revenue by this method, otherwise import duties would be excessive^ while the object, in French and German colonies especially, is to encourage the import of manufactured goods rather than the export of native produce, the dependence of one upon the other being apt to be lost sight of. Occasionally an export duty is imposed which is meant to be and actually proves prohibitive, as for example in South Africa, where an ostrich can only be exported on payment of a fine of £100, and the eo-gs of the l)ird, £5 each. TAXATION OF WHEAT AND COTTON 47 The question naturally arises, whether any of the great commercial countries could possibly subsidise their revenues by similar duties. What is there, say in the United States upon which they could be levied? That country exported in 1895-96 60,000,000 bushels of wheat, and had a duty of 5 cents a bushel (equal to about Is. 8d. per English quarter) been charged on it, it would have realised $3,000,000. For the second half of 1896 the export of wheat was unusually heavy, and it is not at all unlikely that the duty would have been paid Ijy the foreigner, as the Indian famine and the Australian drought, with the consequent failure of the wheat crops in both countries, gave the United States the control of the market, and enabled them to some extent at anyrate to fix the price, which there might have been little difficulty in raising another 5 cents a bushel. Still, even had that really happened, it would have been difficult to persuade the farmer that he would not have received those 5 cents had there been no duty. Besides, how often now do the United States control the wheat market ? Year after year for many years, there has been a surplus in the world's production, and the consuming, not the growing countries have established the price. Under such circumstances they certainly would not pay an export duty, which must consequently fall upon the farmers. To tax the export of wheat therefore is an impossibility on economic grounds, putting alto- gether on one side the morality of taxing food ;it all. 4S TAXnVG THE FOREIGNER The most iin})ortant crop grown in the I nitcd States for export, is cotton. An export duty of lialf a cent, a pound on the crop of 1894-05 (a large one) wouM have realised 617,500,000, on tliat of 1895-96 (a small one) S12, 000,000. Surely liere if any- where is an opportunity for taxing the foreigner ! Moreover, the American staple has never yet been cultivated economically elsewhere, and is so far a practical monopoly. The rich alluvial lands of the Mississippi and its numerous tributaries, or the virgin and well-watered soils of Texas, seem to defy competition. India and China, it is true, grow much cotton, Init for the purposes for which American is utilised, all but the very choicest of it is valueless. The production of Egypt has ra})idly increased, but the A'alley of the Nile is so much more fruitful than even the Mississippi, that its yield is as superior as that of the Indies is inferior. There is still another advantag-e. America retains from one- fourth to one-third of the croj) for consumption in its own mills, and an export duty on the raw material would afford the domestic spinner an equivalent bounty on the manufactured article, and enable him to compete with his foreign rival, even in foreign markets. Again however, it is the foreign consumer who more often than not rules the price of cotton, and to enable American planters to do so they would need to enter into a combination to limit the out- put. That in its turn would be extremelv diliicult, BRITISH SAIT AND COAL 49 as, independent of jealousies, the weather afiects the yield of the seed put in the ground to fully 25 per cent., and no ring or trust has yet been able to control that. A crop planted to produce a normal consumption might consequently fall short of, or exceed it by more that 10 per cent. When there was a shortage, the European consumer would pay the duty ; when a surplus, the American planter ; that is, when the price was high owing to scarcity, it would be forced still higher, and when low in consequence of abundance, the result to the planter would be more disastrous than ever. An export duty on cotton therefore is as much out of the question as on corn. There is no occasion to go through the entire list of commodities, in which scarcely one is to be found to which objection would not be taken, and to tax the foreigner by this means would necessitate the annual readjustment of the tarift'. American traders find a quadrennial one quite frequent enough as it is. Turning now to the exports of Great Britain, the bulk of them are at once out of court. They con- sist of manufactured articles. British manufacturers find it hard enough to meet foreign competition, and the most trivial additional burden would destroy their trade altogether. There are one or two natural products however, wliidi, like wheat and cotton in America, it is at least advisable to pass under review. Salt and coal form more or 4 50 TAXLXG THE FOREIGNER Jess important items in tlic trade returns. Anyone acquainted witli the history of the Salt Union will hardly recjuire to be told the consequences that follow an artificial rise in the price of tliat particular commodity ; those who have not the knowledge may find it profitable to acquire it. But coal is on a somewhat difi"erent basis. It is a raw material entering more or less into the production of every other. The output of the mines in Great Britain is colossal, and in 1896 reached 195,000,000 tons. Such fio-ures are bewdlderino;, and to a non-scientific mind it must appear incredible that this can go on ■year after year without the surface of the earth collapsing. Certain it is however that, though there is no sign of it yet, exhaustion must be somewhere in the not very remote future. Of the quantity named, about 150,000,000 tons was retained for home consumption, some 10,000,000 used for steamer coal, and the remaining 35,000,000 tons exported for use abroad, to some extent also for the supply of steamers at foreign ports. It is con- tended that a duty should be imposed on this -export, in order if i30ssible to put a stop to it, as it w^ould most eff'ectually, because coal is an article of world w^ide production, and can be raised in other countries quite as cheaply as in Great Britain. Germany in particular is stimulating its foreign trade in coal, and of an output in 1896 of up^^■ards of 80,000,000 tons, exported 13,500,000, or about 17 per cent, of the total against the British 23 per TEXTILE MACHiyERY ^i cent. ; but then it must be remembered that both the merchant and naval fleets of the two countries are altogether disproportionate to their size and trade. Should our industries and our hearths ever be threatened with natural scarcity, restriction may become a necessitv, but under existing; conditions it need not be anticipated. Electrical science is mak- ing such rapid progress, that in another generation it may provide most of the motive power as well as light and heat, and then the demand for coal will become extremely limited. British coal owners are therefore acting wisely in disposing as ra^Didly as possible, provided it is on profitable terms, of what in the future may be a drug. It will be time to cry halt when the danger really looms in sight. Besides, to prohibit, or even to check the export of coal, would inflict enormous loss on British shipowners, wdiose principal outward cargo it is. Indeed in the same year, 1896, though the total tonnage cleared from the various ports of the United KiuQ-dom reached a fio-ure exceeding- 52,000,000 tons, that of general merchandise was under 8,000,000, and the rest was coal. No more serious blow therefore could well be aimed at British com- merce. Among British exports of manufactured goods, textile machinery was accountable in 1896 for .£6,750,000. AVe are told that we are making a whip for our own l)acks, and that the countries which take our machinery eventually take our 52 TAXING THE FOREIGXER trade with it. In the manufacture of textile ma- chinery however, whieli during the last few years has been very largely for foreign account, as most British manufacturers have supplied them- selves with the latest and best, some 30,000 hands are constantly employed, and after all it matters very little whether they are earning a living in machine shops, or in cotton and woollen mills. Indeed, in the former they not only receive a hio;her rate of waoe, but the material used is produced almost entirely by British labour, and employs many thousands more, while cotton and wool are brouoiit from the ends of the earth. And if England refused to supply the machinery, it would be made elsewhere ; a foolish restriction of this sort is said to have led to the establishment of the greatest ironworks in Belgium, which now compete so keenly and so successfully with the British trade. The hope of taxing the foreigner for the benefit of the British exchequer by placing a duty on exports, is consecjuently a delusive one, and few if an\^ Eno-lishmen are foolish enouoh to induloe it. Either they must go on paying, or find some other way out of the difficulty. It is in the realm of imports where the protec- tionist feels himself on firm ground. He points confidently to the rates and taxes paid by the native manufacturer which add to the cost of his goods, while free imports escape. Not altogether- IMPORT DUTIES 53 though, for the shipowner who carries them, the railway company, the distributor, and the retailer, all have to bear their share like the manufacturer. All the same it does on the surface look unfair, until we come to consider that these foreign com- modities have already been more or less enhanced in price in their own country by similar rates and taxes, though perhaps not levied in the same way. The state, county, and municipal taxation in the United States, for instance, levied on real and personal property, averages eight dollars per head of the population, one-third of which is devoted to purposes of national education. The only exception is when bounties are granted, with which we shall have occasion to deal hereafter. It is bad policy to spoil a good case by claiming for it more than is really due. As a Free Trader therefore, I frankly and unreservedly admit that protective duties are not always paid in full by the consumer, but they are still less often paid by the foreigner. No such sweeping assertion can be made on either side, and to arrive at the truth we must analyse each individual case. That of course is utterly impossible here, but one or two illustra- tions will serve to draw out a few of the principles which have invariably to be considered. In highly protected France, foreign wheat must pay a duty of 7 francs per 100 kilogrammes, or double hundredweitj-ht as it is called in Eno-land, before it can pass to the consumer. This is equal to 54 TAXING THE FOREIGNER alunil r2s. Gel. a {juarter, or 38 cents, a 1)iisliel. It rarely happens however that French wheat sells ill tlie home markets at this excess over the prices quoted say in London, Liverpool, or New York, therefore the consumer is not mulcted in the entire 7 francs. But the reason of this is that France, as a rule, imports little foreign wheat, and grows what she wants at home, and as supply and demand are fairly balanced, competition makes the market price. But two things may, and one of them at least sometimes does happen. France grows more wheat than she requires for home consumption, and wants to sell the surplus abroad. This she can only do by taking the price ruling in foreign markets, and as cost of pro- duction has been enhanced by the general system of protection, that results in a severe loss. France therefore cannot grow wheat for export like Hungary or Russia, and it is only when nature has been more than usually bountiful that this can ever occur. She merely tries to meet her own requirements. Now it is most improbable that this is the real economic capacity of French land. Either it ought to l)e able to produce more and become exporting, or part of it could be more advantageously applied to another purpose, and some of the wheat purchased abroad. Occasionally however the French wheat crop fails, and for the people to be fed, large foreign supplies are necessary. This happened in the year 1891, and as the Russian crop failed at the same FRENCH WHEAT 55 time, tlie outlook was somewhat serious. It was recognised by the Government that the price of wheat in France would be the price ruling in foreign markets, with the cost of freight added, plus the duty, every centime of which in this case would have to be paid by the consumer, not only on the wheat imported, but on that grown at home as well. Even a protectionist French Government dare not face an angr}^ populace clamouring against dear bread, and the duty was temporarily reduced to 3 francs, in spite of the protests of the agricultural com- munity, who wanted high prices to compensate for short crops. This was all the more significant from the fact that it occurred while the French Parlia- ment was engaged in framing a new tariff, under which most duties were considerably augmented ; yet the utmost concession made to the protectionists, who were in a large majority, was that the reduc- tion should not become operative until August the first, and should cease on June the first following. Surely no franker admission was ever made of the utter helplessness of protection to meet an unlooked-for emergency. As a rule France needs a small foreign supply, and as the market for wheat is a very fluctuating one, a favourable moment has to be seized for securing it. Purchases may be made during a time of depression wlicn holders are anxious to realise, and a cheap sale is (^onckuled to move an important parcel. In sudi a case the seller may really be 56 TAXING THE FOREIGNER paying a portion of the duty, but this can only happen on rare occasions on a. scale fjir too insig- nificant to estaljlish a principle or base an argument upon. English protectionists may perhaps claim that the moral of all this is, that protection enables France to feed herself with wheat, and that if imposed in Enoland it would do the same. Had Eu^lish laud actually gone out of cultivation through the operation of Free Trade, its continuance would have been a matter for serious consideration, if not an inipossi- Ijility, because after all, agriculture is still and must remain the greatest British industry. But what has really taken place has been a gradual displacement of wheat in favour of other crops, and the land is more widely and intensely, as well as more diversely cultivated than ever. Much loss and suffering have doubtless accompanied the process, as they always must when a body so conservative as farmers can no longrer trudgje alono- the time-worn ruts. Some land has become derelict, but only on account of the excessive and inalienable charges upon it. There is no other country in the world where the laud could bear such burdens of rent and tithe combined, and in many instances of tithe alone, and remain profitable to the cultivator. Moreover, it is quite certain that unless an exces- sive import duty were imposed, it would be many years before England again harvested enough wheat to meet her own requirements, if indeed that ever BRITISH AGRICULTURE 57 occurred ; and, meanwhile, the whole duty would be paid by the consumer just as it was in France in 1891, because the price of foreign wheat, plus the duty, would rule the English markets with very occasional exceptions. The risk of scarcity of food in case of war is no doubt unpleasant to con- template, but there are others still greater, and it would be madness for England to cast away her commercial and industrial supremacy in order to make prejDarations for an eventuality that may never arise. With France it is different, and the abandon- ment of protection to agriculture there is for the present impossible. It would be manifestly unfair to the French farmer to tax him heavily for bounties and to make him pay dearly for protected commodi- ties, and then leave him in the lurch. Fiscal reform in France must begin at the other end. Besides, she is exposed to greater risks than England in case of war, and cannot rely upon foreign sources for her food supply. Protection therefore is the curse of militarism, and the penalty imposed for a Europe armed to the teeth, and not by any means a sound and wise economic policy. Let us now for change of scene travel across the Atlantic. The United States is the land of railroads, and as might be expected, the plant set up for equipping them is gigantic. Everything however is protected, from the locomotive to the sleeper, and protected so highly, that it amounts to proliibition. 5S TAXING THE FOREIGNER 111 the autuinii of 1890, an aniioiiiicement was made that the manufacturers of steel rails, amalo-amated into a pool, would thenceforth charge at least $28 a ton, and might shortly raise the price. American railroads have discovered too often that there is a hook under that sort of worm, and they did not bite. English mills could have rolled and laid down rails in the United States at much below $28, but the duty 2^revented them. In February 1897, the pool suddenly collapsed, and in three days sales of about 700,000 tons, sufficient to lay a single track more than 6000 miles in length, that is, to build a new double track railway right across the American continent, were made at prices varying from 815 to $18 a ton, probably below actual cost. ]\Iany railroads supplied their require- ments for a long time ahead, and orders are said to have been booked for further large quantities on very little better terms. Such are the facts ; "what do they signify ? Secure in their own market and able to make big profits, the American steel rail makers were too greedy, and turned out more than were wanted. Instead of competing against each other and bringing down the price, they agreed" to pool their stocks, charge $28 a ton to all buyers, and divide the proceeds on some principle agreed to among themselves. But nobody would buy, and some of the makers who needed money could no longer wait. Could we penetrate the secrets of the ring, AMERICAN STEEL RAILS 59 we should probably discover that diligent enquiries were made as to what chance there was of disposing of a large quantity of rails abroad. It would have paid to sell half a million tons to foreign consumers at $12.50 a ton, and make a loss of $4 or $5, if by so doing they could have ensured the sale to their own railroads of another half million at $25, and netted a profit of $7 or $8. Either for so large a quantity no demand existed, or the weight of the rails was unsuitable, so the American railroads got them at cost jirice instead. Now here is protection, yet so far from the con- sumer paying the duty, he gets his commodity at less than the price at which it could be imported free. But that was never the intention of the steel rail makers, and only indirectly their fault. If indeed rails can be produced in the United States at $15 to $18 a ton, then the argument set forth in the preceding chapter is incontrovertible. Pennsylvania does not require protection, and every cent imposed, so far from going to assist an infant industry, is a flagrant robbery of the consumer for the benefit of the producer. The latter wanted the dut}', not to keep him alive, but to make $12 a ton profit. The protectionist says to-day his system is necessary to encourage native industries against foreign competi- tion, to-morrow he gloats over the fact that these same industries are selling their commodities at lower prices than the foreigner, and that })rote(;ti<)n makes things cheaper, not dearer. There is some 6o TAX/AG THE FOREIGNER iiu'onsistoiicy liei'c, aiul the only oxpl;iiiiitioii of it is, that when tliievcs fall out, honest men come by their own. What befell the steel rail pool is of course liable to liappen to any other protected industr}^, and if such a thing became at all general, the consumer would indeed have occasion to rejoice. But protected indus- tries, in America especially, have learned how to protect themselves against this calamity. Theyno longer form pools liable to sudden dissolution, but Trusts under despotic management, and impervious to every attack from within or without. Having first combined a sufficient number of the concerns interested, they either force the rest to join, or proceed to ruin them, and then, not only dictate the price of the commodity they deal in from New York to San Francisco, and from ]\Iaine to Southern Texas, but defy competition, domestic or foreign. The former is easy, the latter only a matter of calculation. They know what the foreign article will cost after the duty has been paid, and sell their own at 1 or 2 per cent. less. The profit may be 5 per cent., or it may be 150, but they allow nobody else to share it with them. President M'Kinley during his electoral campaign propounded one of the most extraordinary fallacies ever uttered, when he maintained that Trusts were the offspring and outcome of Free Trade. Under it they could not exist, because foreign traders with large capital could not be crushed like the smaller ones at home. They might be invited to enter the INCIDENCE OF PROTECTION 6i ring, but the swarm would be so great that the profit eventually pertaining to each member would not be worth taking. President M'Kinley and Free Trade are as far asunder as the poles and the equator, yet the offspring of the latter poured out their money like water, and worked day and night to secure the return of the candidate of Protection. Surely here is another inconsistency ! Two broad principles may be laid down as the result of a protective tariff. When it is prohibi- tive of course nobody pays any duty. The foreigner loses his trade and, if he cannot transfer it elsewhere, his profit, but contributes nothing to the revenue of the protected country. The consumer however, on every purchase he makes of a protected commodity, pays to the producer, not to the Government, a tax equivalent in amount to the difference between his actual outlay and the cost he would have incurred had the market been open to free foreign competi- tion. When the duty is not prohibitive, and the Government derives a revenue, in three cases out of four, if not nine out of ten, the consumer and not the foreign producer contributes it. The latter may, when a tariff is raised, consent for a time to cut his prices and work at a loss, in the attempt to retain his market, but after a very short experience he invariably relinquishes it to his more favoured rival. Only in such instances, or where surplus stock is shipped to a protected market for tlie purpose of 62 TAXING THE FORETGNER heiiio" got rill of, does the forei^'ner pay, ami lie never does that while there is a free market open elsewhere. No pretence is ever made that a revenue tariff is a tax on the foreigner, and in that respect it is perfectly honest. The British duties on spirits and tobacco, on tea and coffee, are paid by the consumer, and are meant to be. They are as much an internal tax as the house duty, or the income tax, or a licence to use armorial bearings. Their incidence may be unfair, but they claim to be just what they are. Still, it does not follow that no portion of them is ever paid by the foreign producer. Stocks miiy have accumulated to such an extent that, to force them oft', concessions iu price must be made. The puljlic will increase their consumption if they can get them cheap enough, and care nothing about the dut}'. Did it not exist at all they might be will- ing to pay just as much, and consequently the pro- ducer or merchant loses it. But that is an accident of the system, not its design. Arguments as to who pays the duty based on prices are altogether misleading, as so many elements enter into the making of them. It is no uncommon practice in countries where protection is rampant, to endeavour to prove that it cannot hurt the consumer, because prices of protected commodities have fallen so heavily during the last five or ten years. But all commodities have been aftected alike, and protection has more than once been invoked in the effort to PRICE AND VALUE. 6z maintain them. Comparisons must not be made with last year, or even with last month, but with the same commodities in a free market. If the protected market is relatively no higher, then the consumer is fortunate, but the difference is the measure of his loss, rarely, if ever, of his gain. Two instances will suffice in conclusion. In 1874 the remaining duty on sugar in the United Kingdom was abolished. The price at that time was 30s. per cwt., now it is under 10s., yet nobody would contend that the abolition of the 3s. tax has been the cause of the decline. The consumer did almost at once obtain the benefit, but a long series of events which would make a history by themselves, have gone to reduce sugar to its present price. Similarly in the negotiations for a treaty of commerce with Greece in 1890 the British Government ao-reed to reduce the duty on currants from 7s. per cwt. to 2s. The price on the English market then was 26s., now it is 18s. It has been many shillings lower, and probably would be so now but for the political misfortunes of Greece, and the attendant risks to the crop, l)ut even the smaller difference is much greater than the rebate of 5s. Greek currant growers hoped to retain some of the advantage ; as a matter of fact the British consumer promptly secured it all. Other circumstances have tended to lower the price still furtlier, notal)]y over-production, tlie refusal of tlie French government to allow distillation to be continued except on onerous terms, and Inst, l)ut 64 TAXIXG THE FOREIGNER by no mean.s least, the disonleied state of Greek finances, and the depreciation of the currency. A taritf may relatively alter prices, it cannot control market value. The inventor who can saddle his own and his nation's taxes on the back of the foreigner, has yet to be born. CHAPTER ly. The British Tariff. Customs and Excise Revenue — Antiquated Nature of Existing Tariff — Spirit Duties — The Beer Duty — "Wine — Tobacco — Cigars — A Neglected British Industry — The Breakfast-Table Duties — Non- Dutiable Imports — Breadstuff's and Food — Raw Materials — Labour — Sugar — Effect of Foreign Bounties — How to meet them — Sources of Tea and Sugar Supplies — Manufactured Articles — Cotton and Woollen Textiles — Leather — Glass — Iron and Steel — Paper — Watches and Clocks — Gloves — Silks and Ribbons — Linen Fabrics — Sundries — Summary of Suggested Reforms. The tariff imposed in the United Kingdom is unique in the small number of items it con- tains, and is one of the very few possessed by any civilised and trading country, which can be printed in good type on two ordinary octavo pages and leave a wide margin. It is nevertheless, an eminently productive one, the receipts from customs duties aggregating for the financial year ending 31st March 189(3 ' no less a sum than £21,040,000, while excise duties levied on beer and spirits made at home were responsible for £27,530,000 more. The total revenue of the kingdom was £109,527.831, ^ Since the above was written the figures for the year ending 31st March IHfjT have been given l)y tiie Chancellor of the Exchequer in his budget speech. As they have not yet been issued in detail, I prefer to deal witli those of 1890. 5 66 THE BRITISH TARIFF but this inchuled a considerable sum derived from the post office, telegraphs, and other productive sources, for which tlie public receive full vahie in return. The amount collected from taxation was approximately £92,500,000, and out of this customs and excise contributed some £49,000,000, or over tifty per cent. — not a bad proportion for a country which long ago discarded jDrotection. Between seven and eight millions of this total was diverted to the relief of local taxation, and the balance applied to Imperial purposes. There is not however in any single item, the faintest tinge of a protective tendency, and in this respect the tariff is thoroughly sound. Neverthe- less, it is full of anomalies, and like most institutions verging on to a venerable age, demands radical re- forms. Nothing of any consequence has been added, and nothinof excluded, since the abolition of the suo-ar duties in 1874, and it is impossible for a period of a quarter of a century to elapse without many changes in the channels of trade and the economic conditions of the people. The specific rate on nearly every article has been altered to suit the exigencies of the revenue, but while on the one hand no Chancellor of the Exchequer has ever been bold enough to eliminate an item, and deprive him- self and his successors of a source of income which can always be made elastic, none on the other has dared to suggest an addition in face of the pre- vailing sentiment of the country. Yet it is quite THE SPIRIT DUTIES 67 possible that a tariff might now be framed, differing in many essential points from the one in operation, which, without departing a hair's-breadth from the principle underlying it, might be more in consonance with modern requirements. Unfortunately, free traders sometimes bring discredit on their cause by upholding an antiquated system as it is, because it cannot be abolished either in whole or in part, while periodic consideration and readjustment would destroy many of the objections urged aefainst it. Let us first of all then, consider the tariff as it stands. The most important part of it constitutes a combination of revenue and morality, inasmuch as the duties on intoxicating liquors are aimed at, and do most materially check consumption. For the financial year 1895-96, nearly eight and a quarter million gallons of imported spirits paid £4,420,000, while 32 million gallons distilled at home con- tributed £16,800,000,^ the former at the rate of 10s. lOd., the latter 10s. 6d. a gallon. As in most cases this exceeds the original cost, the price of the licpior to the consumer is more than doubled. The purchaser of a pint of whisky or brandy, for instance, not only pays for the raw materials, the cost of distillation, and the profits of the distiller and any intermediate hands tln-ough which it may pass, but one-eighth of the 10s. 6d. ' A drawback on spirits a:id beer exported somewhat reduces the net revenue. 68 THE BRITISH TARIFF duty, say Is. 4d., plus the profit which the seller demands on the outlay of that sum, so that the consumer in reality pays about 15s., and not 10s. 6d. a gallon, as a consequence of the customs and excise duty. Without entering into the question of the advisability of increasing or diminishing the rate, we can, from the moral point of view for which it is partially imposed, see the possibility of very material improvement in the manner in which the duty is levied. The temperance reformer has been very busy since the principle of the spirit duties was established. The chemist and the medical man have also taken their share in the work, and their researches have brought to light many important facts. We need not side with the extremists who declare alcohol in every form to l^e rank poison, nor with those who declare that except in very excessive quantities it is harmless. It is probably largely a matter of the physical constitution of the individual consumer. But there is ground common to both. The defamer of alcohol admits that some kinds are worse than others, that, for instance^ newly-distilled sj^irit is maddening in its effects, while the matured article may be temporarily soothing. The advocate proclaims the latter to be positively beneficial, and admits that the former does possess some drawbacks. One thing is beyond dispute, that the man whose regular beverage is well-matured whisky does not often drink to excess^ THE BEER DUTY 69 and rarely becomes a confirmed drunkard, because when that inclination takes hold of him, he craves for something stronger. Of course it may, and often does happen, that the one leads to the other. Yet no distinction whatever is made between the two in the matter of duty. Now it stands to reason that new spirit must be cheaper than old. In the first place, the materials used in the distillation of the article made for immediate or early consumption, are invariably cheaper than those entering into the composition of one meant to stand the test of time. Nor can the latter be kept for nothing. There is loss of interest on the capital sunk, besides ware- house rent, fire insurance, and a certain amount of leakage. A universal and indiscriminate duty of 10s. 6d. a gallon therefore is a direct encourage- ment to the consumption of new, cheap, and deleterious spirit. The remedy is a simple one. E,aise the standard of duty to 12s. 6d. a gallon, and allow a rebate of Is, for every year the spirit is kept in bond up to a period of say five years, which will probably cover the cost of keeping it. These figures are not absolute, and to maintain the national income from this source, elaborate calculations would have to be made before an exact basis could be arrived at. But the principle can be adojoted, tlie revenue will not suffer, good old spirit will ])e as clieap as the bad new, public morality will gain, and the tem- 70 THE BRITISH TARIFF peraiice retoniuM- will I'or once have scored a point without inclining- the hostiUty of any but the more unprincipled members of "the trade" who aim at profiting by the misery and crime they create. Tlie beer duty for the year with which we are deahng was ^^aid on 33,825,000 barrels, at the rate of 6s. 9d. for the specific gravity of 1055, and amounted to £11,305,000. As a barrel contains 3G gallons, the cost to the consumer of a pint, inclu- sive of the profit on outlay, is not more than a halfpenny, and he may be considered therefore to escape very cheaply. Indeed, there are several reasons why the duty should be materially increased. Beer diinking may not be responsible for a proportionate amount of crime to spirits, its results tend rather to debauchery. In proportion to the alcohol it contains however, it pays nothing like its equivalent. A gallon of beer of 1055 specific gravity contains one-tenth part of a gallon of proof spirits, which pays 10s. 6d. duty. The corresponding beer duty would ])e Is. per gallon, or 36s. per barrel, instead of the 6s. 9d. now charged. Finally, the report of the Royal Com- mission on the Finances of Ireland has demon- strated that country to be considerably over- taxed, due largely to the fact that whisky is the national beverage, and not beer. Part of the injustice at anyrate can be remedied by increasing the l^eer duty, and reducing taxation in some way from WINE 71 which Ireland will benefit, without interferinof at all with the spirit duties. Similar questions enter into the brewing of beer as into the distillation of spirits, and there is a Pure Beer League in existence which advocates differential duties. Experts are not altogether agreed about the facts, and I lay no claim to be one, and therefore make no pretence to settle the dispute. The great bulk of the liquor brewed is pure and wholesome, and therefore the question is of minor interest compared with spirits. Of the wine duties little need be said. It has been the policy of successive Governments to encourage the consumption of the lighter kinds in the hope of displacing spirits. Nearly 11 million gallons of this description contributed £540,000, while less than half the quantity of the more highly alcoholised produced £565,000, the respective rates being Is. and 2s. 6d. a gallon. SiDarkling wines, to whichever class they belonged, paid 2s. a gallon more, amounting to £150,000. As wine is, with rare exceptions, an undoubted luxury, and one indulged in principally by the wealthy, the duties do not err on the side of being excessive. But here the graduated principle has already been intro- duced, and it commends itself as both just and wise. After alcoliolic licpiors, the item of by far the greatest importance is uimianufactured tobacco. 64,500,000 pounds yielded a gross revenue of 72 THE BRITISH TARIFF .£10,200,000, at the rate of os. 'lA. per ])oun(l. The (hitv on tobacco caiiiiol in any sense l)e said to be a moral tax, and it* such a thing as an Anti-Smoking League does exist, it counts discretion the better part of valour.^ Tobacco is a comfort rather than a hixury, and is the solace of poor and rich ahke. The use of it is rarely demorahsing, its abuse, Hke that of everything else, carries its own punishment, which does not necessarily involve other people. Its consumption is moreover limited by natural bounds. A man may empty his pockets of a con- siderable sum on beer or spirits in a very short time ; he may smoke hke a furnace, and find it difficult to get through an ounce of tobacco costing three- pence or fourpence in several hours. He may be none the better after the performance, but few people attempt it, and there is probably no pleasure in life enjoyed on the whole with such moderation as tobacco. Yet this is the commodity singled out for an altoofether exorbitant tax. Were it orimnallv an expensive one, something might be said in favour of the impost as being not out of proportion to its value. But for the vear endino^ 31st December 1896, the import of unmanufactured tobacco into the United Kingdom was 83,558,757 lbs., valued at £2,410,949, or an average price of sevenpence 1 Since writing the above, my attention has been dra'mi to the " English Anti-Smoking Society and Anti-Xarcotic League " (not Limited in name, though I should judge so in membership). TOBACCO AND CIGARS 73 per pound, yet a duty of 3s. 2d. is imposed, more than five times its original cost. It may be main- tained that threepence to fivepence an ounce is not an excessive price to pay for the limited quantity each individual consumes, but that is not the ques- tion if the principle be wrong. A lower price would not greatly stimulate consumption ; it would rather provide millions of wage-earners throughout the kingdom with a few pence per week to spend on other things. A steady and persistent reduc- tion should be made in this charge, until it is brought down to no more than half the present rate. The Exchequer certainly cannot afford to lose the £5,000,000 per annum involved, but com- pensation must be sought in other directions. Were the beer duty, for instance, raised one shilling per barrel for three successive years, bring- ing it up to 9s. 9d. or 10s., and the corresponding rebate made on tobacco, the latter would, at the end of the term, be reduced to Is. 6d. per pound, and still be largely in excess of say Germany and the United States. Moreover, as Ireland is a large consumer of tobacco, she would directly benefit, and gain relief from some portion at least of her excessive taxation. Of manufactured and partly manufactured tobacco, embracing negrohead and cavendish, the import was trivial, 875,000 lbs., and at rates varying from 4s. to 4s. Od. ])er lb. contributed £175,000 to the revenue. Any concession to the 74 THE BRITISH TARIFF iiiinianufactiiivd article must be extended to this as well. When we cenie to cigars we are on different ground. The (piantity cleared from bond dining the period under review was 2,180,000 pounds, and paid duty at the rate of 5s, per pound, amounting to £545,000. Cigars are very often expensive luxuries, and the 5s., instead of being many times their value, may be only 5 or 10 per cent, of it. The tax therefore is not an unjust one. But the price of cigars varies enormously, and what is a severe impost on one costing twopence or three- pence, is light on another worth a shilling. A great quantity of the cheaper kind are manufactured in the United Kingdom, and here at last we have an opportunity of benefiting a home industry without any infringement of free trade principles. Were the dutv on foreigfn cig-ars retained as it is, and no question asked as to what became of unmanufac- tured tobacco after the duty on it was once paid, a great stimulus would be afforded to British cigar- making, and employment found for many hands. It is doubtful even whether the foreign import would be curtailed, as the penny or two- penny cigar of fair quality would largely displace the pipe or cigarette. It is nothing uncommon to see the German mechanic returning from his work, or the dravman drivino- his horses throutrh the streets, with a cigar rather than a pipe between his teeth, Avhile the consumption in the United States BREAKFAST TABLE DUTIES 75 equals about sixty per annum of the entire population, ao-ainst four in the United King- dom. We pass now to articles of general consumption other than alcoholic liquors and tobacco, which find a place in the tariff. We are at once in the realm of taxation falling largely on the poorer classes, but still legitimate enough if levied in moderation, because it avoids what may be termed strict necessaries, and places no restraint on production. Tea, coffee, and cocoa, currants and raisins, are provided after bread and meat and clothing, or at any rate should be, and those who can afford to buy them can also afford to contribute their mite to the treasury, and indeed this is frequently the only taxation they pay. Most of the articles named however are too insignificant to be economically taxed, and during the financial year under review, coffee, cocoa, and chicory, con- tributed between them £350,000, and dried fruits £400,000, or a total of only three-quarters of a million. In a budget exceeding one hundred millions sterling, these might easily be replaced, but as they do not inflict any special hardship, and no agitation exists against them, they are permitted to remain. Some day, a Chancellor of the Exchequer hard pressed to balance his accounts may exact another one or two millions from them, so that each one in turn avoids distvn-bing so promising a milcli cow. We might almost invent a foui-th |)in|)ose of tariff in addition to the three dealt witli in the first 76 THE BRITISH TARIFF cha])tcr. and call it " ()])|H»rtiiiiist." Under this heading; these (hities would nndonhtedly fall. Tea however is another matter. The consump- tion for the same period exceeded 225,000,000 lbs., and at fourpence per lb. increased the national income by £3,750,000. It responds to its purpose therefore far more readily and efficiently than the others. We will have something more to say about it presently. Having exhausted what is on the list, w^e must now turn to what is not there, in order to determine whether, among the multitude of articles imported into the United Kingdom, there are not some which might be made dutiable. Exports have already been dealt with in the previous chapter, and need not therefore be brought under review again. I am aware that many free traders consider it rank financial heresy to suggest the addition of anything to the tariff, but even at the risk of being disowned and finding myself homeless — for I cannot expect any protectionist to pity me and afford me shelter — I must subject free imports to a rigid analysis. First and foremost we meet with articles of food. So far as they are necessaries of life, they are beyond the pale of argument. Living animals and dead meat, wheat and all kinds of bread stuffs, bacon and hams, butter and cheese, eggs and poultry, i:)erishable fruits and vegetables, must be held sacred as the sustenance of the common people, whereby life is rendered tolerable, and they J?AJV MATERIALS 77 are enabled to pursue their daily avocations. Immense as the import of these articles is, the home production of many of them is still greater, and keen as is the competition, farmers thrive and land- lords draw big rents. Changes in cultivation must continually go on, and the old-fashioned rotation of crops go by the board, but the very diversity of what the land now produces has done much to improve the health and stamina of the nation by constant change of diet. For agriculture there is no protection other than just laws wisely administered. The next great class of commodities consists of raw materials. Where they cannot be j)roduced at home, even protectionists concede that their import should be free. Possibly however that very circumstance may rouse the suspicions of the free trader, but the protectionist, this once at any rate, is right. To increase the cost of the materials of manufacture would mean to handicap the export trade of the country. If jorotectionists would only see that labour is the most important of all raw materials, they perhajDS would not be so anxious to tax that by increasing the cost of livino-, and necessitating the payment of high and sometimes extravagant wages. The labourer is entitled to get all he can, but the living ^vage, if the minimum he demands, is also not very far removed fioni the maximum he can at })resent hope to obtain. In one sense the protectionist does recognise labour as a connnodity, because in some countries he 78 THE BRITISH TARIFF is eiulfavouriiig t<> proliihit its iinpurtiitiou altoii:etlier. As far as the United Kingdom is concerned, the most im])ortant raw materials are cotton and wool, jute and hemp, hides and tallow, timber and metallic ores — whether of iron, lead, copper, or tin. In a minor category, but in their way of no less consequence, are chemicals and dye stuffs, paper materials and ivory, oils and indiarubber, if indeed the |)ost otHce does not deliberately destroy the last-named trade by its red-tapism, for by refusing to forward the samples of English merchants on the ground that they emit an unpleasant odour, it is driving the busi- ness into continental hands. So ripfidlv indeed has it attempted to enforce its rules, that blocks of wood, carefully wrapped up and bearing the stamp of rubber merchants on the covers, have been refused transmission, and returned to the senders with the postage stamps defaced.^ There are others too numerous to mention, but they are either trivial or too essential to meddle Avith. There is still another laro-e class from which the tariif list is really recruited, articles of con- sumption not strictly necessaries. Wines, spirits, and tobacco are heavily taxed as it is, — tea, coffee, ^ The Post Office authorities have lately begun to evince a greater sense of their responsibilities towards the trade and commerce of the countrv in general. SUGAR 79 cocoa, and dried fruits less so, but yet sufficiently. Spices are a semi-luxury and might be included, were it not advisable to abolish all the smaller duties. Sugar is a large item in this class, and is free. Under ordinary circumstances, sugar should undoubtedly remain where it is. It has how- ever been the subject of the most extraordinary financial leg-islation of modern times. When the sugar duties were abolished in 1874, this com- modity was imported in the raw state principally from the British West Indies, Cuba, and the East Indies, and refined either in England or Scotland. But by the stimulus of bounties, beet cultivation has been engaged in to an enormous extent on the continent of Europe, and bounty- fed manufactured beet sugar has largely driven out its cane rival, and closed refinery after refinery engaged in its manipulation. The pro- cess has provided the United Kingdom with cheap sugar, which is an unqualified blessing, but it lias almost destroyed an important industry, whicli is an equally unqualified misfortiuie. Had this occurred by fair means, it would have been a matter for regret, but like many another unfortunate industry, it would have been impossible to render it national assistance. The pity of it is however that it has been deliberately brought aljout by methods which So THE BRITISH TARIFF cast every principle of political ecoiioniy to the winds. It is not necessary to maintain, as some people do, that the object of France, Germany, and Austria is first to niiii the British refiner, then destroy the cultivation of cane sugar, and finally, when the monopoly is safe for their own beet, charge whatever price they think proper. Under such conditions no monopoly would last very long. These countries have thought simply of themselves and altogether ignored the foreigner, and where they have compelled their own consumers to pay extravagant prices, while sellino- abroad at nominal ones, it has been solely with the view of helping agriculture, and encouraging an infant industry, which, as we have liut recently experienced, is only another instance of becoming w^eaker as it grows older. V?i\\ this state of thing's be remedied without injury to the British consumer ? Is it possible so to tax sugar as to relieve those who pay the impost of an equivalent sum in another direc- tion ? It is practicable by substituting sugar for tea. Moreover, a graduated scale of duties can be introduced. It would not be possible to tax Continental beet and leave West Indian cane free, because that A\ould be contrary to com- mercial treaties to which Great Britain is a party. But it is possible to establish a classifica- tion without infrinmna' them. Let raw cane SUGAR CONSUMPTION 8i sugar pay a stipulated duty, raw beet the same amount, plus the continental bounty, and manu- factured beet plus the additional bounty again. Let the rate be fixed to bring in to the revenue the amount now received from tea, and abolish the duty on that commodity entirely. But before we can settle so large a question in so offhand a manner, we must consider the results, not only financially and economically, but from a utilitarian point of view as well. Would the health or comfort of any considerable body of people suffer ? Sugar is much more largely consumed than tea, of the former about ninety pounds per annum for every man, woman, and child in the kingdom, and of the latter only six pounds. If the one were restricted and the other encouraged, might not some injury accrue ? In the first place, 90 pounds is not the real indi- vidual consumption. Brewers have used upwards of 100,000 tons per annum for many years past, the latest return crediting them with 114,000 tons. Jam and marmalade manufacturers, bakers, con- fectioners, and biscuit makers, use enormous (|uaii- tities, which however it is utterly impossible to get at, and only a rough estimate can be made. Probably fully one-third, and possibly nearly one- half the total consvunption of sugar in the United Kino'dom is accounted for in this way ; maiiv single firms use 1000 tons per aniiinii. Domestic 6 82 THE BRITISH TARIFF requirements therefore do not at the outside exceed GO pounds per head of the population. Now should an extra charo^e of say a halfpenny a pound he imposed, this Avould liardly he likely to aifect the use of the article ; it has certainly not heeii noticed that a rise of 5s. per cwt. in the price interferes with consumption. Besides, it would not he an extra payment in reality, because the same house- holds use tea, and would have the money refunded to them on that. As a pound of fruit and a pound of sugar go to make jam, the manufacturer ^\•ould recoup himself by charging an additional farthing a pound on his production. Brewers, bakers, and others use such small quantities in proportion to their outturn, that they could not well charge the impost to their customers, and it would serve to reduce slightly their own profits. Let us see then, how the amount of £3,750,000 now received from tea would be levied, and how subsequently distributed. For the year ending 31st December 1896, the import of sugar into the United Kingdom was 385,000 tons cane, 400,000 tons raw beet, and 740,000 tons refined beet. The actual consumption was about 100,000 tons less, but that does not greatly affect the calculation. The average bounty paid by exporting countries on their beet is now supposed to be Is. 3d. per cwt. on raw, and Is. 9d. per cwt, on refined. The sum works out something like as follows : — SUGAR BOUNTIES 83 385,000 tons cane at Is. 6d. per cwt., . . £577,500 400,000 „ rawbeetat Is. 6d. + ls. 3d. = 2s. 9d. per cwt., 1,100,000 740,000 „ refined beet at Is. 6d. + Is. 9d. = 3s. 3d. per cwt., .... 2,405,000 £4,082,500 The average duty Avoiild thus be 2s. 1\^. per cwt., but to be on the safe side we must calculate that the consumer wT)uld have to ]3ay the maximum, though that is hardly likely, and even with the addition for profit on outlay the tax would not reach a halfpenny a pound l)ut any small difference would probably be rectified in the better quality suj)plied. As a matter of fact the duty might be levied at threepence less, but the Chancellor of the Exchequer would naturally want to be on the right side in case of any falling off;' in the consumption, or displacement of the various proportions. Though the nominal rates of bounty are well known, their incidence and distribution are matters of considerable doubt, as the calculations are made, not always on the quantity actually exported, but on the sugar supposed to be contained in the beets, and it is acknowledged that manufacturers by this means secure nnich more than the official figures would point to. It lias been stated indeed that the French bounty amounts to 4s. 6d. per cwt. Into that questi(Hi I do not propose to enter here, and have contented myself with the su[)|)ositioii tliat the published rates are the real ones. Strict 84 THE BRITISH TARIFF iiu[uiry would, df course, have to be made before the details of such a scheme were finally settled, and the result might be a reduction on raw, and a further increase on retined. Nor is such discrimination any novelty, as the duties prior to repeal in 1874 were divided into four classes on raw suo-ars. varvino- from 2s. to 2s. lOd. per cwt. according- to quality, while refined was charged at 3s. The variation is of course greater in this instance, but there is good reason for it. Just as there would be a profit charged on the outlay of the sugar duty, so would there be a saving on that of tea, and the consumer would receive, not the fourpence per pound only, but four- pence plus another penny, say fivepence in all. Then he would pay — |d. per pound on GO pounds sugar, . 2s. Gd., and receive .5d. per pound on G pounds tea, . 2s. Gd. the one just compensating for the other. He might also have to pay an additional farthing a pound on any jam purchased. But the financial portion of the scheme is practically equalised. The advantages of the substitution are not yet exhausted. An excessive consumption of sugar is perhaps less injurious than of tea. The mischief done by the latter is generally in the mode of its preparation, and caused 1:>y people drinking the liquor after it has stewed for hours, or by adding INCIDENCE OF SUGAR DUTIES 85 fresh boiling water to old leaves. Were the retail price of a fairly good tea reduced from Is. 2d. or Is. 3d. a pound to 9d. or lOd., there might be no great increase in the consumption of the liquor, Ijut there would be of the leaf, a fresh spoonful of which might often be emptied into the pot after it had been relieved of its exhausted contents. By this means health might actually be conserved. Again, the average consumption of sugar in a wealthy household is greater than in a poor one, and the reverse is the case with tea. Sugar is used for so many things where money is plentiful, and a lavish or even abundant table provided. On the other hand, the rich have a multiplicity' of drinks and divide their favours. Among the poor, where alcohol is e:j:cluded or moderately partaken of, tea is the principal, often the only other beverage, and the tea bill quite an important item in the weekly household exj)enditure. Thus the in- cidence of a tax on sugar would be more largely against the rich, and in favour of the poor, than on tea. But the most obvious advantao^e of all is the justice of the change advocated. Pi'otests have been made in vain against the unfair operation of the bounties, and it is now time to adopt more practical measures. If British refiners can hold their own with fair ])lay, tliey are entitled to it, and if tlie iiidnstrv of Bi'itish colonics can l)e saved, 8(1 THE BRIl^ISH TARIFF cominon si'iise (U'liiaiuls it. If continental nations like to continne tlio bounties, by all means let tlieni do so. l)nt let the money go into the British exchecjuer. That would afiord an object lesson in protection which they would not forget in a hurry, and instead of taxing the foreigner, they would be able each year, by calculating the differ- ence between the duty actually paid on beet sugar, and the amount chargeable at the minimum rate, to realise what relief they were themselves affording to the British taxpayer. Some day continental Governments will grow tired of the system and abolish the bounties. When they do so, and not till then, they will be entitled to claim and receive equal treatment with cane suofar. The loss of reveruie which this would entail might be made good by increasing the minimum duty, or by transferring the loss intact to some other tax, and thus affording relief to the consumer. And eventually a British Chancellor of the Exchequer, gladdened by a handsome budget surplus, may again abolish the sugar duty, and, by a round-about method, the taxation of tea will be g-ot rid of Meanwhile, there is nothing- to fear from retaliation. The Governments concerned would be the fii'st to recognise, if they did not openly admit, the wisdom of the proceeding, and would be too anxious to retain the British markets for their producers to hanker after revenging so obvious an act of justice. SUGAR AND TEA PRODUCTION 87 Had the existing state of aftairs prevailed when the budget surplus of 1874 was disposed of, it may reasonably be presumed that tea rather than sugar would have been the favoured commodity. Sugar was then largely the product of British colonies, tea principally of a foreign country, and a man does not usually slap his friend in the face and confer his favours on a perfect stranger. How^ different . the circumstances are now will be seen at a glance from the following figures : — Imports of Sugar. 1874. 1896. Cane from British possessions, 245,000 tons. 155,000 tons. ,, Foreign countries, Beet, raw, from Foreign countries, 335,000 „ 125,000 „ 2.30,000 „ 400,000 „ „ refined „ „ 126,500 „ 740,000 „ 831,500 tons. 1,525,000 tons. There was also imported in 1874 about 10,000 tons refined cane from foreio'n countries, o Imports of Tea. 1874. 1896. From China, . 133,452,693 lbs. 35,299,730 lbs. „ India, . 17,608,598 „ 127,721,885 „ „ Ceylon, . 484,135 „ 94,859,965 „ „ Other countries, 11,237,384 „ 7,512,542 „ 162,782,8J.0 lbs. 265,394,122 lbs. All tilings being ecpial, British possessions are certainly entitled to receive generous treatment in preference to foreign and rival countries. There still remains ;in interesting class of British impoi-ts to be dealt with, namely, manu- S8 THE BRITISH TARIFF t'acturt'd artit-lcs. which tii;ini'(l in the tr;i(h' rt'tiinis of IS!)G tor fS I. iMO, ()(»(). To him|) these together and suggest a dntv of twenty or twenty-five per cent. (»n the lot is a manifest absurdity, and again se])arate analysis is the only way of arriving at sound conclusions. There are many insignificant items amounting in value to a few hundred thousand ])Ounds each at the outside, some of which might perhaps reasonably lend themselves to taxation. Where trade is con- ducted on so gigantic a scale however, they are not worth consideration, and maybe summarilydismissed. Of the first importance are cotton and woollen textiles, because Great Britain depends largely for prosperity on these very industries. . Cotton goods figin-e for £3,525,000, but we soon realise how small this is, when we find British exports of yarns and textile fabrics made from cotton during the same period were valued at £61,250,000, or nearly eighteen times as much. Besides, some portion of the 2>\ millions consists of goods sent merely to some continental country for a finishing process, perhaps only to be returned as French prints, for which there is always a demand, and £500,000 was re-exported. At anyrate cotton manufacturers have not yet been heard to complain of foreign competition on English soil, and they almost entirely monopolise the home market. With woollen fabrics it is somewhat different. Their value amounted to £10,770,000, or allowing MANUFACTURED GOODS 89 for re-exports, to a little over ten millions net, while woollen yarn was responsible for a further £2,050,000. These figures compare with British exports of the same goods of £18,270,000 and £7,225,000 respectively, and are therefore much less favourable than the case of cotton. The export of wearing apparel, the bulk of which w^ould be of woollen material, though no doubt largely mixed with cotton, was valued at a further £5,230,000. Yarn, for the industry in which it is used, is a raw, or at the most a partly manufactured material, and may be allowed to escape on that plea if on no better. The fabrics do compete severely with British manufactures, but they owe their advantage largely to their foreign name and production, as French dress materials are frequently insisted on. If that were all there would be no harm done in making the purchasers pay a little more for them, but there is a principle at stake. Among the imports are large quantities of cheaper goods, and clothing is as necessary as food. Once begin to tax it, and it is impossible to draw distinctions or to say where it may end, and it is l)etter to forego a little satisfaction and revenue combined than run the risk of committing" a wide-reaching injustice. Cotton and woollen fabiics alike therefore may retire from court. Leather and dressed liides aiii» small an aiiioniit if regarded as revenue, too large to .-idd to a coiii- moditv so necessary to eiisnrc st.'ibilitv and st icii<'-tli 112 THE UNITED STATES TARIFF to [)ul)lic aiul private works alike. In rough marble we meet for the first time a method of levying tluty wliicli we shall henceforth come across in varying forms, the rate being 50 cents per cubic foot, reduced from 65 cents, while manufactures of the stone pay 45 per cent, ad valorem, against a former 50 per cent. ; granite, freestone, sandstone, and limestone, pay no^v 7 cents per cubic foot, and formerly 11 cents ; slate tables, chimney pieces, etc., 20 per cent. ; and roofing slates also 20 per cent., which effectively shuts out the superior qualities found in such abundance in Welsh quarries. It is inside rather than outside the dwelling where the pressure of this schedule is most severely felt. Everything alike, from the commonest brown or vellow earthenware mue:, to the choicest china teacup, falls within its scope, and every- thing costs fully half as much again as it ought to, while under the M'Kinley tariff most things cost double. On common earthen^vare the charo-e is 20 per cent., against a former 25 per cent., but in the other descriptions the fall has been from 60 per cent, to 35 per cent., while the cost to the consumer includes of course the profit on the outlay of these heavy duties. Nor is this an instance where the home manufacturer is able to shut the foreig-ner out, as the imjDort amounted to $10,500,000, and English potteries are known to earn fair profits, so that this is eminently one of the instances where a remission of the three or four million dollars duty GLASS 113 would benefit the users of china and eartlienware to the extent of several millions more.' Needless to say there is no export trade in American earthen- ware worth speaking of, its total value falling short of $150,000. Glass bottles or utensils of any sort pay from f to 1-g- cent per pound, according to capacity, nor do they escape the vigilant eye of the customs collector when entering the United States filled with some liquid, for they must pay the duty just the same, lest as empties they should compete with home bottle makers. Cut and decorated glass pays 40 per cent., and the interests of scientific research were carefully guarded by the imposition of 45 per cent, on laboratory glass. It is window, crown, and plate glass however which apj^eals most to patriotic sentiment for support against the foreigner, and the care taken to exclude him from dipping too deeply into the American pocket will be best illustrated l)y quoting intact clause 9 1 of the Wilson Act, and placing in brackets the corresponding duties charged under the M'Kinley Act : — " Unpolished cylinder, crown and common window glass, not exceeding 10 x 15 inches square, 1 cent per pound (Ifc); above that and not exceeding 16 x 24 inches square, li cents (1|- c); above that and not exceeding 24 x 30 inches square, If cents (2f c.) ; above that and not exceed- ing 24 X 3G inches square, 2 cents (2^- c.) ; all above that 21- cents (31 c.) : Provided, That unpolished cylinder, crown and common window glass, imported in boxes, shall be packed fifty square feet i)er box, as nearly as sizes will 8 114 THE UNITED STATES TARIFF permit, and the duty shall be computed thereon, according to the actual weight of fjlass." These duties vary from about 15 to 70 per cent. ad valore'ni. Such a clause may work more smoothly than it reads, it certainly converts the Government into trade inquisitor, and dictates to the foreign manu- facturer how he is to conduct his business and pack his goods, if he wishes the inestimable privilege of trading with the United States of America. The four succeeding clauses, dealing with crown, plate, and silvered glass of various descrip- tions, are framed in the same manner, only the duties are chargeable on the still more intricate scale of measurement per square foot, instead of weight per pound. Not only the tax, but the method of levying it, is well calculated to frighten the most enterprising manufacturer or merchant. It is indeed fairly successful in accomplishing this, as the value of cylinder, window, and bottle glass imported, was but little over $1,500,000. Silvered glass was valued at 81,200,000, plate glass at $800,000, and other glass not specified in detail, at nearly $4,000,000. The remarks made in the previous chapter regarding the English glass trade are amply illustrated here. Belgium, France, and Germany supplied the United States to the extent of $5,750,000, Great Britain following far in the rear with less than $500,000. METALS "5 Schedule C, metals and metal manufactures, embraces, as may well be imagined, almost every conceivable article extracted from mineral ores — iron and steel, copper, lead and zinc, — but tin is con- spicuously absent, as so far every effort to discover this metal in payable quantities in the United States has been unsuccessful, and there exists a strong inclination to reprimand Providence for want of foresight. The M'Kinley tariff did indeed tempt Providence to amend its ways, and imposed a duty of 4 cents per pound, or $90 per ton, to stimulate prospecting and production. Unless however the latter reached 5000 tons in any year up to 1st July 1895, the duty was to be abolished and tin to resume its place on the free list. The condition was not fulfilled, only the Wilson Act hastened the transfer by nearly a year. Tin remains a foreign commodity, and 22,500 tons, of the value of $6,750,000, had to be imported during the year. All iron and steel manufactures as a matter of course are included ; bars and rods, hoops and bands, beams and girders, sheets and plates, are indiscrim- inately intermingled. Steel ingots and billets, rails and railroad iron of every description, and wire of all sizes follow. Hammers and anvils, nails and screws, bolts and bars, locks and keys, are not omitted; indeed here we have the typical country store, supposed to supply everything from an anchor to a needle, only Government wants \{vied 1 86 THE TARIFFS OF FRANCE AND GERMANY at all, as they partake largely of the nature of raw materials. Tallow and beef and mutton fats come under the lowest rate ; blubber and train oil at a middle one. Lig-htino- and lubricatino;- oils how- ever are more unsparingly dealt with. Petroleum pays 6 marks, oils used in the manufacture of candles 10 marks, and lubricants the same. This .schedule must on the whole be pronounced more unwise than any in the entire tariff. Such then is the German tarift', and the British or other foreiofn manufacturer who imag-ines that were protection entirely abolished he could enter the markets of his rivals and undersell them, has seriously miscalculated the actual facts. The duties do afford an advantao^e no doubt, but in the language of the Stock Exchange or the produce markets it is more a jobber's turn than a dealer's profit. With the exception possibly of iron and steel, the rates are nowhere such as to enable the manufacturer to charge extravagant or even high prices to the domestic consumer, and it may be questioned whether in many instances he gets anything more than if protection did not exist. The average German, both in the shop and on the exchange, is fairly keen in striking a bargain, and if goods are to be had cheap he will try to get them. Besides, the British manufacturer himself has a very decided advantage in his own markets against his foreign competitors. He is on the spot and knows his customer's requirements, or at least HOME MANUFACTURERS 187 ought to. Delivery can be arranged to suit, and when goods are wanted there are no awkward and unexpected delays of steamboats, or loss and damage through numerous transhipments, to say nothing of the added cost. The buyer has the seller within reach in case of inferior quality or other reclamations, and even should there be nothing of the sort, he will pay a little more for the privilege of grumbling, so dear to every English- man. British manufacturers realise all this, and do not hesitate to quote higher prices to the domestic than to the foreign trader, particularly if they suspect the latter is receiving offers from elsewhere. It is because this principle — a perfectly legitimate one, if exercised in moderation— is pushed too far, that foreign rivals are often able to step in and pilfer trade, and not, as is sometimes supposed, because they are selling goods at a loss or can make them cheaper. Both they may occasionally do, but they are not the only culprits, and the British manu- facturer could likewise tell a thing or two worth knowing in that way, were he only so disposed. The tariff with which we have been dealing is a o minimum or conventional one, applicable only to such countries as have commercial treaties or similar arrangements with Germany. There is another and much higher scale always ke})t in pickk^ for recalcitrant peoj)le who do not sufficiently appreciate the value of German manufactured goods, and when, as sometimes happens, they show a most iSS THE TARIFFS OF FRANCE AND GERMANY determined preference for others, the brine is con- centrated still more highly. A law promulgated on the 18th May 1895 enacts that— " Dutiable goods proceeding from States that treat German ships or products less favourably than those of other States may, in so far as existing treaties are not thereby violated, be burdened with a surtax ranging up to 100 per cent, of the tariff" duty imposed on such goods. Goods free of duty in virtue of the tariff may, under the same conditions, be burdened with a duty not exceeding 20 per cent, oxl valorem." Nor is this an idle threat, for within recent years two European countries have come under the drastic regulation, or something akin to it, and both Spain and Russia have been engaged in tariff wars with Germany, in the latter instance with most disastrous consequences to their mutual com- mercial intercourse. An ordinance dated 29 th July 1893 singled out commodities of Russian origin, and imposed on them a special tariff, the stringency of which may be judged from one or two examples. Wheat and rye are both cereals largely exported by Russia, and for which Germany Avas and is a good customer. The conventional duty is M3.50, and the general 5 marks ; but all Russian produce was condemned to pay M7.50. The delicacy known as caviare, and almost entirely of Russian preparation, is ordinarily rated at 150 marks, but was raised to 225. Eggs paying 2 and 3 marks were raised to M4.50. Pigs at 5 to 6 marks each could only change their nationality for 9 ; petro- RE TALI A TION 1 89 leum, in the production of which the wells at Baku lead those of Pennsylvania and the American oil regions a hard chase, was raised from 6 to 9 marks, no doubt with considerable regret that the United States should be permitted to enjoy such an advantage ; tallow, instead of 2, paid 3 marks; and so on throughout the list, the trade returns between the two countries having- been scanned with the utmost care, and every likely article of import sub- jected to the increased rates. And so hastily were they put in force, that the return of the Kaiser from his holiday could not be awaited, but were " Given at Cowes, on board my yacht ' Hohenzollern/ 29th July 1893. " William." This estrangement was entirely due to the con- vention entered into between France and Kussia just at this period, under which the former guaran- teed " most favoured nation " treatment, but the latter went one better, and made her new and wealthy ally concessions equal to 10 to 20 per cent, over all other countries. Eighteen months of this contest proved enough for both parties, and on the 29th January 1894 a treaty of com- merce and navigation was concluded between them, breathing nothing l)ut eternal amity and cordiality. Not only were the most favoured nation regulations restored in each case, but special i)ro- tection was extended to the travellers and agents of firms domiciled in the respective countries in iQo THE TARIFFS OF FRANCE AND GERMANY their endeavours to do business with their neigh- bours, and now all goes well again. No sooner was the difficulty with Kussia settled than a fresh one arose with Spain, and on the 25th May 1894 an ordinance was published surtaxing all Spanish products. Kye was once more rated at M 7.50. Iron ore was raised from 1 mark to 1.50. Dried fruits, upon which the conventional duty is 8 marks, and the general 24, were scheduled at the prohibitive figure of 36, or 18s. per cwt., and raisins form one of the most important crops of the Iberian peninsula. Similarly oranges, lemons, and citrons were raised from 12 to 18 marks. Wines and spirits suffered equally. Olive oil, at 3 marks conventional and 10 general, was rated at 15. Everything in fact was increased by 50 per cent, on the extreme duties. This state of affairs lasted rather over two years, and was eventually repealed on 25th July 1896. The United States have been more than once threatened with something of the same sort, and there is constant exasperation over one dispute or another. Reference has already been made to the difficulties arising about bacon and hams, and by an ordinance dated 11th December 1895 all tinned meats were excluded from the benefit of the conventional duty 15 to 17 marks, and rated at the full one of 20, this being specially aimed at the United States. It is a poor game at best, and amounts to cutting one's nose to spite GERMAN EXPANSION 191 one's face, because as a rule German traders suffer quite as much as the offending foreigners. The possible consequences of the recent denunciation of the treaty of commerce between Enofland and Germany are not altogether agreeable to con- template on either side. Germany is always active in framing and putting into operation commercial treaties, and all European States, with the exception of Portugal, now^ ^i^j^^y conventional duties. British and Dutch colonies are upon the same basis, by virtue of their connec- tion with the mother countries. The South African, and most of the South American Republics, Brazil however again excepted, also come within their scope, so that the Imperial Zollverein may at present be said to trade with the whole world on equal terms. The commercial policies of France and Germany afford a strong contrast, the one content to profit by the sale of what are practically monopolies, the other pushing and edging her way in everywhere. In one instance protection is a vital force, in the other almost a dead letter, except for purposes of retaliation. For plain living is as cheap, if not cheaper in Germany than in Great Britain, and that is the best proof that protection is inoperative. Food and clothing cost no more, though perhaps the qualities in each instance are on the whole a little inferior. But that is of small consequence, because if the peoj)le have as much as they want of 192 THE TARIFFS OF FRANCE AND GERMANY good and ^^•holesome diet, and are warmly clad, they can do their work efficiently. Nor are wages in the standard industries now much lower than in the adjoining island. The cause of British discomfiture, if such exist, must be sought in other directions than protection. The principal one is close at hand, and is both natural and legitimate. A house furnisher going over a well appointed residence makes it his busi- ness to point out articles of his trade which would improve appearance as well as comfort. But set him in an empty country mansion of ample dimensions, and bid him " furnish it," and his heart leaps within him. At the conclusion of the Franco- German War, Germany was much in the position of the empty mansion, and her peoj)le have been engaged in furnishing it ever since. The energy induced by the work has commenced to overflow its former limits and to seek new channels, and the stubborn fact has to be faced, that the most dano-erous rival to the commercial and industrial supremacy of Great Britain is not the nation that is the most protected, but the one that comes nearest to free trade. CHAPTER YII. Bounties. Sugar : — Nature of Drawbacks — Tendency to develop into Bounties — Efforts to stimulate the Beet Industry— Continental Bounty "Wars — Germany Antagonistic to the System — Cost to Consumers — Hidden Bounties — Surtax on Foreign Sugar in France — Futility of the System — Possibilities of Increased Consump- tion — Decline of the British and Colonial Industry — Fairplay but no Protection. Shipping : —British Subsidies — Carriage of Mails — German Subsidies — French Construction Bounties — Navigation and Mail Subsidies — Other European Bounties — United States Shipbuilding — American Coasting Service — Mail Payments — The Canadian Subsidy. Railway.s : — The German System — Cost compared with Great Britain — Watered Stock — Results of German State Control — French Subventions — Division and Remuneration of Capital — Total Cost to the Treasury — American Railroads. Miscellaneous : — France — Canada — Australia — Sale of Surplus Products — General Influence on Trade. Whenever a commodity is subject to an import duty, or an internal or excise tax on production, it is customary to refund it, or to discharge the owner from habihty for payment on such portion as may not be used for home consumption but exported to foreign countries. The princijDle is just and equitable, though hardly in accordance witli tlie popular idea of taxing the foreigner, which, carried to its logical issue, would impose the duty on everything belonging to In'm that could l)e laid hold 13 194 BOUNTIES of, irrespective of ultimate destination. This rebate or drawback is best known in Great Britain in connection with the export of beer, which is about the only dutiable commodity shij^ped abroad to any value. Most beer-drinking countries brew their own, but there are certain English specialities known all over the world, and the land which had never seen the black bottle with Bass's label would hardly be counted civilised. Any general export trade in English beer however is quite out of the question. Some half-million barrels only are ex- l^orted out of a total production of nearly thirty- five millions. Now althoucrh the drawback mav be the full amount of the duty chargeable, the very fact that there is a duty at all enhances the cost of production, which on export really amounts to a small tax. The restrictions which are necessary for carrying on the trade, whatever it may be, are always more or less costly, both by the presence and supervision of revenue officials, and the more involved and often more expensive routine neces- sary to clear the goods, whether for a home or a foreign consumer. It follows that it is unwise for a country desirous of encouraging an export trade in any joarticular commodity which is not a monopoly, to impose any tax or restriction, external or internal ; either upon its manufacture or free movement, and this applies equally to such articles as spirits and tobacco, though the moral DEVELOPiMENT OF SUGAR BOUNTIES 195 phase of the question, in the former case at any rate, is of so much importance that a Gov'ernment is amply justified in departing from the strict economic principle. Let us apply this to sugar. Most countries place it in the category of luxuries, and regard it as a taxable commodity. A certain quantity of it is as necessary to a healthy individual as salt, but beyond that it may be regarded as a luxury, and the principle of taxing it moderately is therefore legitimate enough. The beet-growing countries of continental Europe act on this, and impose a duty, not only on all foreign sugar im- j)orted, but on all sugar grown at home. It was found however, many years ago, that opportunities offered for building up an export trade, and in connection with this the c[uestion of drawback had at once to be considered. The disadvantage to which I have referred no doubt occurred to those who were interested in the matter, and a small bonus in addition to the drawback was granted as compensation, to enable dutiable sugar countries to compete with those in the East and West Indies where there was no such restriction. And thus we get at the principle of the sugar bounties, which, once admitted, were capable of expansion in all directions, and as far back as the beginning of the present century, attenq)ts were made to give an artificial stimulus to the cultivation of sugar by money premiums and reduced rates of transport 196 BOUNTIES to the seaboard, M'lien the ultimate destination was a foreign country. Had it gone no further there would have been little ground for complaint. But there is nothing in this world quite so greedy as protection. It is always wanting more. Beet growers and sugar manufacturers, having once inserted the wedge, were always on the alert to drive it home. The trade grew, and they kept urging on their re- spective governments to increase the bonus, in order that eventually they might capture, if not the whole, at least the greater part of it, and this they have now succeeded in doing. The govern- ments concerned appear to have been on an inclined plane, and quite unable to resist the pressure put upon them, yielding inch by inch until the bounties have assumed their present magnitude — M2.50 per 100 kilos, on raw, and M3 to M3.55 on refined in Germany, and fcs. 3.50 and fcs. 4.50 respectively in France. Austria - Hungary is second only to Germany in extent of production, and likewise grants bounties, but owing to isolation from the seaboard the sugar is exported through other countries, and the general public hear less about it. Kussia is likewise a great producer, but requires most of it for home consumption. Holland and Belgium carrv on the industry very extensively, and of course grant bounties too. But it will be sufficient for our purpose if we confine our attention to Germany THE FRENCH SYSTEM 197 and France, as all the others are on more or less smiilar lines. Germany is at least honest with regard to these bounties. Her Government does not like them, and frankly says so, and the last ordinance issued regarding them expressly stipulates the right of instantaneous repeal provided other countries are willing to lead the way, or follow, unlikely events at the moment. It likewise publishes annually the amount of drawback paid to exporters, while the French Government returns are com- plicated, and the actual payments difficult, if not impossible, to estimate. Nor do German exporters get more than they are openly entitled to, and the rates of M2,50 to M3.55, equal to about Is. 3d. and Is. 9d. per cwt. respectively, may be regarded as operative. France, on the other hand, w^orks the machine more scientifically, and though she has been the last of the beet-growing countries to raise officially the rates of bounty, it w^as undoubtedly her unfair competition which led the others to act. The fcs. 3.50 and fcs. 4.50 per 100 kilos, are the direct rates now paid, it is true, but how much more is there behind ? The tax on sugar is fcs. GO per 100 kilos. ; but partly to stimulate the extraction of tlie utmost possible quantity of juice from the root, and partly to assist the export of the product, half only of the nominal duty is charged on tlie yield between 7| and li)\ per 1 98 BOUNTIES cent., while anything above the latter figure is divided into two parts, one paying the full, the other half duty, or an average of 75 per cent. Thus when the sugar is exported, and the drawback or credit claimed at the full rate, a bonus of 50 per cent, is given on one portion of it, and very often 25 per cent, on another. The burden of these bounties is transferred intact to the shoulders of the home consumer, and a portion at anyrate of the import and internal duties levied are meant to pay for them. We have a means of estimating- what this amounts to. The German bounty has recently been raised from Ml.25 to M2.50 on raw sugar, and from M2 to M 3 on refined, and, at the same time, the import duty was increased from M 36 to M 40. Now from this it is evident that the Treasury authorities consider a tax of 4 marks per 100 kilos, necessary to compensate them for an increase of Ml to M 1.25 in the bounty, and in proportion to this the amount of the tax equivalent to the M 2.50 and M 3 would be M 10 to M 12, that is, German consumers pay at least 10 marks per 100 kilos, more than they would be called upon for, did the bounties not exist. It is all very well to point out in the official returns of national expenditure the amount paid for these bounties, and expatiate upon it as a wise incentive to ag-ricultural and manufacturino- industrv: but if every time the German hausfrait poured a pound of sugar into the domestic basin she would AMOUNTS OF FRENCH BOUNTIES 199 only say to herself, " On that sugar I made a present of 5 pfennige to my English sister, who is also at this moment pouring a pound into her basin," the phrase would soon grow monotonous, and she would want to know what her English sister had ever done for her, that she should be so generous. Then the matter would assume an entirely different aspect. In addition to this it must not be overlooked that the price of sugar in Germany is the market value, plus the duty, 'plus the bounty, as if the domestic consumer did not pay the last item as well as the other two, the owner would export it to secure the extra allowances. France, for reasons already stated, makes the English consumer a much handsomer present still. The Economiste Fran(}ais, probably the highest economic authority in that country, recently pub- lished an estimate of what the indirect or hidden bounty amounts to, that is, the sum the French ex- porter receives in drawback, over and above what he originally paid or was liable for. In the year 1886 it had reached the extravagant figure of over 15 francs per 100 kilos., or about six shillings per cwt., owing to the much greater quantity of juice extracted from the root than the excise officials calculated and charged for. Steps were taken to reduce it to something more reasonable, and tlie present law and method of levying the duty was the outcome. Since 1800 it has fluctuatinl round 200 BOUNTIES () francs, say alx^iit half-a-crown per cwt., but has ag'ain shown a tendency to increase, owing to improvements in manufacture, every nerve of course beinii' strained to extract additional saccharine matter, because each extra ounce means so much additional bounty. With the direct bounties now given, the total amounts once more to fullv 10 francs, or over four shillings per cwt., and the tax paid by French consumers to meet it must be at least a penny per pound. A refining tax of 4 francs on all sugar for home consumption has been openly imposed to pay the direct bounty, with the stipulation that should it prove insufficient in any one year the bounties in the year succeeding are to be reduced to cover the deficiency, but if that ever happens it is much more likely that the French Chambers will vote a supplementary credit rather than risk the angry protests of the refiners. Provision for the hidden bountv is made in the ordinarv excise tax. Nor is this all. Factories for extractinp- the o juice are invariably in close proximity to the beet fields, but the refineries are often at consider- able distances. When the raw sug-ar destined for eventual exportation is shipped from one port to another where the refinery is situated, or conveyed overland a minimum distance of at least 250 kilometres, a reduction of duty of 2 francs is granted, equivalent to a further bounty. Added RESULTS OF SUGAR BOUNTIES 201 to all this are the galling restrictions imposed on foreign sugar. We have already had occasion to notice the surtax on commodities imported from other than the country of origin, but in the case of sugar this is levied indiscriminately at the rate of 9 francs on raw and 10 francs on refined, though if after refining the product is re-exported, this surtax is refunded, but without the addition of the bounty. These complicated regulatioiis require all the intellectual faculties of an expert to grasp, and the attitude of the French Government towards the sugar industry more nearly resembles a gambler throwing his last stake, than a common-sense man of business endeavouring to make ends meet and earn a livelihood. From whatever point of view these bounties are regarded, they have been a failure. That they have helped to destroy West Indian sugar planta- tions, and ruined British sugar refiners, and shut up the refineries is certain, as tliousands of people interested know to their cost. That of course miofht be a matter for conm-atulation rather than otherwise in the beet-growing countries ; but how have they benefited themselves ? The growers complain that they are ruined because i)rices liave declined so heavily; and despite the trciiiciidous fallint'' ofi' ill tlic |)r()ducti(>H of cniic su^ar in < 'iil);i owing to the revolution, the ci-oj) of I S!);") '.HI li.iving totalled only some 300,000 tons against over 1,000,000 in the preceding year, the vahit* 20 2 BOUNTIES lias droppetl to the lowest ever recorded. Consumers, though uiial)le to act together, are a powerful body, and have in this instance at anyrate captured the bounty for themselves at an even greater ratio than it has been granted. On the other hand, the teni|)tation of the bounty has stimulated producers, who, in their reckless com- petition against cane, have grown more than sutEcient for the world's requirements. More than sufficient" that is, in a relative sense, because the possibilities of increased consumption must be enormous, when the 30 lbs. per head in France or the 27 lbs. in Germany are contrasted with the 88 of Great Britain, or even the 68 of the United States. Not only is there room for expansion in its domestic use. but in those numerous industries into which it so largely enters in Eno'land. The difference is more than half a hundredweight per inhabitant, and were only half this made up the requirements of the popula- tions of France and Germany alone, with their 100,000,000 of population, or close upon it, would be 1,250,000 tons per annum. There is no natural commodity in the world which requires less stimu- lus to encourage its use than sugar, and wherever it has been made cheap its consumption has steadily increased. But most governments, with a perversity worthy of a better cause, continue to make it dear. Great Britain is the only country in Europe which exemjots it from taxation, THE BRITISH AND COIONIAL INDUSTRIES 203 and in most of the others the national revenue derived from it, together with the sums paid in bounties, are far in excess of the prune cost. Only Denmark, Switzerland, and Turkey, the last, in fiscal matters, far in advance of any of its continental neighbours, subject it to a moderate exaction, — nowhere else is it less than 15s, per cwt. The argument that bounties stimulate pro- duction and provide employment for the industrial population of the country paying them, is utterly fallacious. Abolish them and give the industry fair play without let or hindrance, and the world's consumption, which is now no more than 10 to 12 pounds per head of the entire population, Avill double itself in the same number of years. The real boon required then by cane and beet growers alike is not bounties, whether great or small, but the adoption of measures which will materially cheapen the cost of the article to the consumer. The British Government is at present in a position to give a helping hand in this direction, sucli as nobody else can. A Avord of warning is however necessary. Sooner or later the British puljlic will be roused against the manifest injustice of these l^ounties, and West India planters and Britisli refiners would be more than human did they not take advantaire of the circumstance to get a little more than tliey are entitled to. And there is another side to the question which must not be overlooked. Tiie 204 BOUNTIES (lepressiiMi of" the sugar industry is not by any means due entirely to the operation of continental bounties. Economy in production and utilisation (.)f waste-products have more to do with it than anything else. The sugar cane after the juice is extracted is cast aside as worthless. All beet- growing are likewise cattle-raising districts, and the green tops as well as the j^ressed pulp are used for food. The British industry which suffered most and is now practically extinct, was that devoted to the production of loaf or lump sugar. It has been almost entirely replaced by crystals, and a well- known English firm has had quite as much to do with that as the French bounty. Moreover, Germany and not France has been the keenest and most successful competitor, and until lately the bounties granted by that country were little more than nominal. Neither the West Indian nor the British industry can have been possessed of much backbone if they were to be ruined by sevenpence halfpenny, or even a shilling per cwt. Now that the rates have been doubled, j^rompt and energetic action is called for. Not on the lines of the absurd convention of 1889, Avhich placed the English supply of sugar entirely at the mercy of one or two continental countries — Germany among them, and which would have prohibited the import from any country paying bounties, whether large or small. There is another and simpler way of coping with the ditficulty, and BRITISH SHIPPING SUBSIDIES 205 the motto of any government A\4iich seeks to put it into operation must be "Fairplay, but no Protection." In the pubhc mind at any rate, bounties are generally associated with sugar, l)ut they are an economic evil which is rapidly growing, and they assume no more insidious form than when applied to shipping. There are so many different ways of granting them w^ithout detection, and of making extravagant payments for services rendered, or supposed to be rendered, to the State. Several of the great British lines receive a small annual subsidy from the Government, in return for which their best steamers are held at the disposal of the Admiralty as fast cruisers in case of an outbreak of war, in which Great Britain is involved. But for that purpose costly additions are made in their original construction which would not be necessary were they only required for the merchant service, and welcome though the subsidy no doubt is, part of it is only interest on the extra capital outlay. On the other hand, the Government is assured of a splendid addition to its navy in an emergency, without prolonged negotiation, and the risk of being squeezed financially, The total amount of these subsidies is under £50,000 per annum, of which the two great Trans- atlantic Companies receive about £15,000 eacli, the Peninsular and Oriental Company £11,500, and tlic Canadian Pacific Railway Company £7,500 towards the fast service between Vancouver and Austi-alia. 2o6 BOUNTIES The iiuiulu'r (^i steamers actually subsidised is eleven, but the Admiralty has a further right of call upon foTU" of the Cunard and ten of the Penin- sular boats for transport service, so that as a matter of fact the payment is less than £2000 j)er vessel. There can be no economic objection to an arrangement of this sort, provided it is moderately and not extravagantly paid for. There are many advocates of its extension, but unless restricted within very narrow limits, and to the best and newest ships, it would speedily lend itself to jobbery and favouritism. There is another way however of subsidising, namely, by contracts for carrying mails, which is such an important function of all fast steamers. The British lines are paid, and paid well for this service, but not more than they are entitled to, considering all the circum- stances of the case. There are season trades to every part of the world, times of the year when the great steamship companies strain every nerve for the quickest and most efficient dispatch possible, and times when they would rest on their oars, and only work their slower and less expensive boats. But by their contracts they are compelled to run the best available all the year round, and they loyally adhere to them, though the New York correspondent of the " Times'' never fails to let the world know when a slow steamer has taken the place of a quick one, altogether ignoring the fact that vessels, like journalists, require an occasional GERMAN SUBSIDIES 207 rest and overhauling. There is no doubt whatever that all the mail lines run some of their steamers at one time or other during the year without any profit, if not at an actual loss, and are fairly entitled therefore to a liberal scale of remuneration. There is no secret about what is paid for these services, and the companies naturally make the best terms they can for themselves. That is all the British Government does for British shi23ping, and it is all that can fairly be asked on strict economic lines. Other Governments however go a great deal further, and Germany is usually singled out as an instance of stimulating her shipping trade, like orchids, in a hot-house. But in this, as in direct protection, Germany is by no means so great a sinner as she is i-epresented. One line, the North German Lloyd, Mdiich now possesses a greater tonnage than any other company in the world, is subventioned to the extent of about £200,000 per annum, but this was to enable it to establish a regular service with the Far East and Australia, and as it has now accomplished it and is making it pay, the probability is that ere long the subvention will be withdrawn.^ This concern in its former history overreached itself and got into financial difficulties, Imt in 1894 it was reorganised and a heavy loan raised for that purpose. But the fact that it was able to borrow M 35,000,000 at 4 1 I notice the North German Lloyd has recently demanded an additional £75,000, to enable it to add to the number of ports of call in the Far East. 2oS BOUNTIES |K'r cent, interest with a cajDital of M 40,000,000 already in existence, proves that confidence was felt in it. Its adverse balance, after writing off large snnis for depreciation, was that year upwards of M 4.500.000, and was drawn from a reserve fund which liad l)een specially constituted, but that gave it a fresh start, and for 1896 it declared the fairly substantial dividend of 4 per cent. The other great German Line, the Hamburg Steam Packet Company, is not believed to be directly subsidised at all, but is less handicapped than many of its British ri^'als. It is not, for instance, com- pelled to I'un its fast boats through the winter months, nor does it even lay them up ; for availing itself of the magnificent accommodation they afford, these steamers are dispatched on pleasure trips to the Mediterranean and southern climes, and earn on these voyages a very fair dividend on the entire capital of the Company. German merchants and corresjDondents are not inconvenienced, because they can still address their mails by Southampton and Queenstown, and have them delivered as quickly as by their own fast boats. A Company which has for several years increased its dividends, and for 1896 declared the handsome one of 8 per cent., after waiting off a large amount for depreciation, needs no subsidies. At Avhat rates the conveyance of mails is paid for is not so definitely known, and here at least the German lines may have an advantao-e FRENCH SUBSIDIES 209 over their British competitors. The postal and telegraph service of the German Empire is a big thing, but it pays, and if the steamship companies do get more than they are reasonably entitled to, it is only out of the profits of the entire system. The estimate of the Imperial Budget for 1896-97 reckoned upon a gross profit of over thirty millions of marks, or about £1,500,000, which was just a little more than the realised surplus of the two previous years ; but against this there is a charge for central administration, so that the net income is about £1,000,000 sterling. If German steamers are heavily subventioned therefore for mails, it is not directly at the expense of the taxpayers. But with France it is far otherwise. She, as we have already seen, is the real delinquent over the sugar bounties, and does nothing to atone for it in the treatment of her shipping. From the time the keel of a vessel is laid on the stocks, to the moment she is broken up for old iron, her owners are squeezing the Government, and draw gold rather than blood at every pressure. A tonnage bounty is given on everything 1)ni]t in French slii|)yards, the rates being 65 francs per gross ton on iron and steel ships, 40 francs on wooden vessels over 150 tons gross, and 30 francs on smaller ones. Furtlun- bounties are given on tlie engines of steamers ; but inasmuch as British nuiriiH^ engineers are able to do the work so ninch cheaper than French ones, the question was raised onlv <|uite recently, whether a 14 2IO BOUNTIES vessel built in a French yard might not be fitted (Hit in a British one without foregoing anything more than the bounty on the machinery. French engineers naturally protested, and won the day, so that British work does not desecrate ships which fly the tricolour from their mast heads. The moment the bounty-constructed vessel gets up steam or sets sail, she becomes the recipient of a navigation subsidy. This is calculated at the rate of fc. 1.70 per ton for every thousand miles covered during the first year, with a reduction of 6 centimes for every subsequent year. A new French steamer of say 5000 tons, would consequently earn a bounty of about £2000 for every voyage to New York and back, irrespective of what it received for freight and passengers. An instance has lately been recorded of a large iron sailing ship making a voyage round the world which occupied just twelve months, and resulted in a subsidy of upwards of fcs. 100,000, or £4000, in addition to another fcs. 3000 paid as a premium for apprentices. The speed may be fast or slow, the payment is the same, only there is a strong incentive to cover as great a distance as possible, particularly in the early years of a vessel's life. Still the only result is that France keeps some of her shipping, as she does most of her trade, in her own hands, and makes little or no attempt to compete in foreign ports. If the Government is good enough to provide shijD- owners with dividends, why should they throw PAYMENTS FOR MAILS 211 them away by carrying goods at low rates for foreimiers ? The French budget for 1897 makes provision for these bounties to the extent of fcs. 11,000,000, say i.'450,000. This is certain to be an under- estimate, as the Government does not care to make the figures appear too large, and for 1896 a supplementary vote of fcs. 2,750,000 was required, bringing the total payment for the year up to fcs. 14,250,000, or £570,000. But French shipping bounties do not end here, and further heavy allowances are made under the guise of mail service. How excessive these are, we will best ascertain by contrasting them with the amounts disbursed by the British post-office for similar services. France. New York & West Indies, £450,000 India, China, & Japan, . 240,000] Australia & New Caledonia, 125,000/ East Africa & Indian Ocean, 75,000] West Coast of Africa, . 20, 000 J Mediterranean, . . 55,000 Algeria, Tunis, Tripoli, & Morocco, . . . 35,000 - Corsica, .... 15,000 Calais and Dover, . . 10,000 Great Britain. £245,000' 435,000 30,000 25,000 £1,025,000 £735.000 > Including Canada, £G0,000. 212 BOUNTIES The deiiiaiids on the carrying capacities of British mail steamers are certainly much greater tlian n})()n French ones, yet they are only paid three-fourths of the amount, of which moreover the colonies contribute £200,000. It must be remembered too that the greater part of the correspondence of the United Kingdom with Europe, and a good deal of that with the East, passes through Dover and Calais. One half at least of the French payments must be regarded as a direct bounty, so that French shipping is subsidised to the extent of one to one and a quarter millions sterling per annum. Other European countries follow this vicious example. Denmark, for instance, with its small merchant fleet, allows a payment for every ton of dauy produce or fish landed by a Danish steamer at a British port. The Netherlands Koyal Steam Packet Company, trading principally with the Dutch possessions in the East Indies, draws an annual navigation bounty of £50,000. Italy does her utmost to encourage shipbuilding and shipping, and would pay the owners of a 5000 tons steamer of 2000 horse power, £13,000 if constructed in an Italian shipyard, while for every voyage she sub- sequently made, say to or from New York, they would receive about £500. Austria- Hungary offers more extravagant inducements still, but until she reaches Salonica, she can make no pre- tence to being a maritime power, her single port of SHIPPING COMPETITION 213 any importance at present, namely Trieste, being too far out of the way. It is terribly hard for the British shipowner to compete against wholesale subventioning of this sort, which permits of low freights. Foreigners however, are sharp witted enough not to give the British merchant the advantage of them, and their steamers do not cross to English ports and offer to carry cargo for next to nothing. But the English owner is omnipresent, and there is no port in the world ojoen to him where he does not try to capture a freight, and usually gets it on some terms or other, not it is to be feared always profitable. Complaints are often made by British shippers of what looks very like discrimi- nating rates against Lhem, as a steamer will par- tially load in a foreign port at a low freight, and fill up in a British one for the same destination at a con- siderably higher rate. To procure the first at all they mu8t cut low, though it may not J^ay, and ib is rather creditable than otherwise that they should beard the lion in his den, and carry off some of the si)oil. German steamers do make regular calls at English ports like Southampton and Plymouth, and get wliatever share of the mails is addressed specially for them, receiving payment in accord- ance with the weight carried. Tliis concession of the British post office is naturally objected to by British companies, but it wisely declines to cancel any facilities of which Illnglisli corresj^on- 214 BOUNTIES dents may be able to avail themselves. Nobody addresses letters by a German liner unless they know there is likely to be a saving of time in delivery, and whenever that is possible it should be conceded. Besides, the summer calls of these steamers is a decided benefit to English trade, as manv American tourists are enabled to spend the last weeks or days of then- holiday in England, who would not do so were they compelled to embark at Hamburg or Bremen, from one or other of which ports then- return tickets are available. It would be strange mdeed if the bounty system had not crept, surreptitiously or otherwise, into the United States. The M'Kinley tariff, as we have had occasion to observe, did nothing by halves, and when dealing with sugar did not con- fine itself to the miserable Is. 3d. or Is. 9d. per cwt. prevalent on the continent of Europe, but boldly marked it at 2 cents per pound, or 9s. 4d. per cwt. That the Act of 1890 did not include shipping within its scope, and make some extrava- gant provision for it as it did for tinplates, its authors have never ceased to regret, and if recent declarations are to be regarded, they mean to make full atonement for the omission. For all that a very costly experiment was made, and two steamers were constructed and launched at Philadelphia, which could have been better built at little more than half the money on the Clyde or Belfast Lough. These, together with two others trans- SHIPBUILDING IN AMERICA 215 ferred from the British to the American flag, now constitute a heavily-subsidised American Line. It takes the form of a payment for mails, and amounts to over £3000 for every voyage from New York to Southampton, whether they carry one bag or a thousand. As one thousand bags is a somewhat high average, and the weight will vary from 80 to 100 tons, the payment is thus at the rate of £30 to £40 per ton. British steamers are paid only for what they carry, and it requires a big mail to earn £1000. As the four American liners manage to put in about 55 voyages per annum among them, the difference is equivalent to a subsidy of £110,000, a dividend of over 5 per cent, on the £2,000,000 of capital sunk, or which would have been sunk had they all been built in the United Kingdom. The United States post office is not worked at a profit, and this money consequently comes out of the pockets of the taxpayers, or rather, as American finance is worked at present, is added to the national debt. The £400,000 granted to the North German Lloyd has to be distributed among about sixty steamers, the £110,000 of the American line is absorbed by four. But the M'Kinley Act did not entirely neglect shipping. It provided in one of its clauses that, " Material for ]juilding vessels for foreign aceount may be imported in bond, and no duty charged, provided the purpose is fulfiHod, and the ships do not engage in llic coastwise trade." 2i6 BOUNTIES Tt forgot one important provision however, and did not stipulate that American mechanics were to be compelled to labour in American shipyards at a wage of a dollar a day, and consequently the world did not rush eagerly to seize the privilege of having its fleets built in United States harbours. But it went further, and in the succeeding clause enacted that articles needed for repair of American vessels in foreign trade were to be admitted free of duty. Even this was ineflective, and one of the American liners has been known to cross the Atlantic propelled by one screw, in order that the damaged machinery connected with the other might be repaired in England ; while certainly one, if not both American-built boats have in the course of their short lives paid private visits to English graving docks. The stipulation in the next Act must be more rigid, and forbid any vessel sailing under the American flag to be repaired in a foreign port, while it can reach one in the United States either under steam or under sail. In spite of all this, the United States possess a very considerable merchant fleet, but it is engaged almost entirely in the coastwise service. As no foreign-built vessel, even if owned by an American, is permitted to enter into competition, American shipbuilders enjoy a monopoly, and charge what they please for the tonnage engaged exclusively in the Atlantic, Pacific, or Gulf Service, or on the THE AMERICAN MAIL SERVICE 217 great lakes. As these vessels cany principally agricultural produce, and the freights are naturally- enhanced by their extravagant cost, a fresh burden is imposed on the unfortunate southern planter or western farmer, who has to carry the shipbuilder as well as the woollen and iron manufacturer on his shoulders. Hitherto shipping bounties have only indirectly affected British owners. They have not had to compete against them in their own ports, because the foreign ships which do bid for British trade are of an inferior class, and owe the advantage they possess to the less stringent regulations under which they are navigated. When shipowners send their craft to foreign ports however, they cannot expect to have quite so much their own way, particularly in these days of high protection, and must simply take their chance. But vague threats are beginning to be whispered of a determined and wholesale effort to call into being a United States merchant fleet which is to monopolise as far as possible the foreign trade of United States ports. This can only be effected under existing circumstances by enormous subventions. The American people are perfectly at liberty to build as many ships as they like, liow they like, when they like, and with whatever money they like ; but when the American Government steps in and begins to })ay a ])ortion of the freights of exporters to British ports, it will be time for the British Government to follow and .MS BOUNTIES claim it for the relief of the British taxpayer. The American Government may pay the freights of British exporters, and consequently of United States consumers if it likes, that is entirely its own affair. The results of a subsidised American line so far as they have been experienced are not of a very satisfactorv nature, and the mail service, if not disorganised, becomes occasionally something of a scandal, in the creation of which the British postal authorities are to blame quite as much as the American. It seems absurd that Avith three fast steamers sailing nearly every week, it should sometimes happen that two or three mails are delivered one on top of the other, and then for nearly a week to elapse Avithout one. The United States post office naturally reserves everything it can for the steamers sailing- under the American flag, and consequently another steamer as fast or faster sailing the same day gets nothing. Though as a rule compelled to ship one portion of a week's mail by a British steamer, it is invariably the smaller half (if there be such a thing), while the British post office in self-defence adopts the same tactics on the reverse route. Not a very sweet taste of protection and bounties this ! Surely it is possible to arrange between the three lines for sailings every other day, and for all mails on both sides of the Atlantic to be despatched w4th equal regu- larity. Then with few exceptions there would be THE NEW CANADIAN SUBSIDY 219 as regular a service as between London and Edin- buro-h, or New York and Chicago. The most important subsidy ever countenanced by a British Government has just been conceded for a fast service between the United Kino-dom and Canada. The amount is $750,000, say £150,000 per annum, two-thirds of w^hich is to be contributed out of Canadian, the remaining third out of British revenues. How totally different in principle this bounty is to' the foreign ones we have just been discussing will be apparent at a glance. To begin with there are weighty political grounds for the establishment of rapid intercourse between Great Britain and the largest of her self- governing colonies. Such intercourse has hitherto been provided through the United States, but the hostility of certain sections of the people of that country as well as of foreign nations generally, makes a more direct route advisable, if not absolutely necessary. The geographical situation of Canada, wdth its ports closed against naviga- tion for several months in the year, renders a fast service on ordinary commercial conditions an im- possibility ; consequently, to ensure it, monetary concessions must be made which would otlicrwise be unnecessary. Besides, Canada now offers an alternative route to the Australasian Colonies, whicli is absolutely under British control. Were Great Britain in- volved in hostilities with a continental power, the 2 20 BOUNTIES probability is tliat the Suez Canal would no longer be available for the intercourse of her ships with either the East or the Antipodes, and there would remain the route round the Cape' of Good Hope, or across the United States and from San Francisco. It is of course highly improbable that botli these would be blocked at the same time, but sentiment as it exists at present, demands a highway through British territory in preference to any other. The necessities of the case being conceded, the conditions under which the subsidy is granted must be considered. In the case of France and the United States the services which are so exor- bitantly paid for are not unique, they admittedly could be, and are actually performed for very much less, and the bounty is given principally to stimu- late the construction of tonnage which may or may not be required. In the Canadian contract, competition has been allowed full play ; the firm which has hitherto enjoyed the monopoly of the mails finds itself shut out in the cold, and an untried and comparatively unknown opponent occupies its place. In either of the countries alluded to the new departure would have been made the occasion of a handsome concession to some favoured individuals. Possibly the same thing might have happened in Canada had there not been a radical and altogether unexpected change of government, for whatever else may be said of the political party which so long enjoyed DIVERGENT OPINIONS 221 the upper hand in the Dominion, it cannot be accused of havino^ foro-otten its friends. As those friends are often the openly avowed enemies of the party which has suddenly come uppermost, they can hardly expect a continuation of the favours to which thev had m-own so accustomed. It is stoutly maintained by the former con- tractors, and those associated with them, that the service cannot be carried out for the subsidy agreed upon, and that the arrangement is bound to end disastrously for one, if not both parties to it. Only time can prove the correctness or otherwise of this contention, but it may at once be admitted that the conditions appear unduly onerous. It is not the size and speed of the vessels which are too exacting, as similar ones already sail the ocean. Possibly however the difficulties of navigation have been underrated, and the penalties for non-performance are extremely severe. There may be no actual intention of enforcing them when every precaution has been taken to ensure the fulfilment of the contract, but there is just the risk that political animus may some day take unreason- able advantage of them. There can be no guarantee against anything of the sort while great industrial cor])orations identify themselves with l)arty ratlier tliaii with ii;itl()ii;il iiitci'csts. Whatever haj)pens to the suljsidised, the sub- sidisers will receive full value for their money, and the word bounty in its stricter meaning, 22 2 BOUNTIES is conseinu'iitlv liardlv applicable \\\ the present instance. Closely allied with the shipping trade is inland transit, Avhether by rail or canal. Here at least is a preponderating advantage enjoyed by German over British traders. The German railway system, or more than 90 per cent, of it, is owned and controlled by the State. Acquired originally for strategic purposes, it has been converted into a mighty engine for the promotion of trade. The Government can and does, facilitate certain industries at the expense of others, and in this way grants what is fully equivalent to a bounty. But there are natural advantages without the necessity of creating artificial ones. The total mileage of the German system is about 28,000 English miles, that of the United Kingdom just over 21,000. But while the former has cost to construct some £560,000,000, the latter stands capitalised at rather more than £1,000,000,000, that is, whereas the German system has cost some £20,000 per mile the British works out at £47,250, so that a British railway must earn nearly two and a half times as much as a German one to make the same return. True the £1,000,000,000 is not all genuine capital, £90,000,000 being watered or duplicated stock, for which no consideration has ever been paid. It is high time indeed that this process was stopped, if British trade is not to be permanently injured. One great English company is at the THE COST OF RAILWAYS 223 present moment seeking to double its ordinary stock/ and enormously increase its preference, and if successful, others will want to follow, with the result that in a very few years the capital will be swollen to £1,500,000,000, or even £2,000,000,000. This may appear a matter of small consequence in itself, but there is a deep policy actuating it. When dividends are good, traders are apt to agitate for reductions in rates, but by artificially increasing the capital the dividends may be nominally, though not actually, reduced, and this circumstance used as a buttress ao-ainst concessions. The excessive cost, in the first instance, of building- British railways was not the fault of the companies, but due entirely to the rapacity of landowners who regarded themselves as entitled- to any exorbitant demand they liked to make, and unfortunately were only too often able to enforce. But that is no reason for making bad worse, and in face of the serious competition of foreign railways nothing must be j)ermitted which will tend in the least to extravagance of management, or even of demand. It is evident that all other things being equal, German rates of carriage should be no more than half those in the United Kino-dom, Init on the other hand distances are iinicl) greater, which tends to 1 Tlie Midland Railway Act of 1897 has now accomplished this. TliG ordinary stock has been converted into equal amounts of j^re- ferred and deferred, and by a stroke of the pen the capital of the English railway system has been increased by this one item alone by £34,500,000. 2 24 BOUNTIES e(iiialist;' matters somewhat. But the German Government takes neither distance nor anything else into consideration when bent on assisting a new or strugghng industry. Shipbuilding on the Baltic for instance, has lately sprung into great activity, and the State railways convey all materials required at a greatly reduced rate. Cotton-spinners in Saxony receive their raw material at less than the normal charge for freight. Exporters are like- wise specially favoured, and have their goods conveyed to port of shipment often at merely nominal rates. This is undoubtedly unfair to other German interests, but it is equally disastrous to British competition, and this fact is a strong inducement to continue the policy, though some day perhaps the German sufferers may success fully protest against it. Meantime British trade has to struggle against a bounty far more wide reaching than that on sugar. Again, this is done without any levy on the German taxpayer. For the year ending 31st March 1895, the working- of the State railways resulted as follows :- — Gross receipts, . . . £70,500,000 Working expenses, . . 43,000,000 Net receipts, . . £27,500,000 For the year ending 31st December 1894 the returns from the railways of the United Kingdom were : — J^AILJVAV EARNINGS 225 Gross receipts, . . . £84,311,000 Working expenses, . . 47,208,000 Net receipts, . . £37,103,000 The net receipts for the United Kingdom for 1895 amounted to £38,046,000, or nearly a milHon increase, but as I have no official returns of the German State system for the corresponding period I cannot compare them. No doubt they increased likewise, as greater briskness in trade was characteristic of both countries. We thus see that upon a considerably greater system the net returns were nearly £10,000,000 less. Had the German gross traffic equalled the British, the corresponding net receipts would have been increased by about £5,000,000, and the difference between them would have been but £5,000,000. There would have been no reason however for any such increase, as the amount is more than sufficient as it is to meet the interest on the obligations pertaining to the railways, and any further j^rofits arising from a growth of traffic would l)e applied to a reduction of rates. In other words, the German Government is able to grant a substan- tial l)ounty to industrial interests, which in Great Britain would be divided among railway share- holders, and as the trade of the country increases, this Ijounty will iiicre^ise with it. The net receij)ts oC I)iilisli railways wcic equal to 3|- per cent, on the entire r;ipital, or to 15 2 26 DO UNTIES rather iiK^re than 4 per cent., If the watered stock is taken into account, whereas the Imperial German Government is able to borrow all it needs at 3 per cent., while the capital itself is so much less. It is true the German railway loans are mostly State loans, and pay a somewhat higher rate of interest, but all that will some day be needed to reduce it is the Imperial guarantee. Meanwhile the net return of the system works out at nearly 5 per cent., so that over and above the concessions and bounties, a substantial sum accrues in mitigation of taxation. After the payment of all interest for the year 1896-97, there is an estimated balance carried to the credit of the Imperial revenues on the railways for which it is directly responsible, of over M 23,000,000 or £1,150,000 sterling, reduced somewhat by extra- ordinary expenditure estimated at M 7,000,000. But the fact nevertheless remains, that after all liabilities have been discharged and an important stimulus given to industry, there is still a balance of over three quarters of a million sterling for the relief of the Imperial German taxpayer. Here then British traders suffer under a disability which must remain permanent, and can only be combated by increased energy and vigilance. The transfer of the railways to the State would not obviate it, because it would be unfair to demand for £550,000,000, or even £750,000,000, what had cost shareholders nearly £1,000,000,000 to FRENCH RAILWAYS 227 construct, and which upon an earning capacity of 3f to 4 per cent, has a market value of some £250,000,000 more. Besides, there are many and perhaps insuperable difficulties connected with State manag-ement in Great Britain which do not exist in Germany. In the latter country the Government is almost despotic, makes whatever regulations it likes, and defies public opinion as reflected in the Beichstag. But in England, where tlie popular voice is supreme and makes and unmakes ministries, there would be a constant, and, it is to be feared, disastrous strutrofle between different sections of the industrial community for special rebates and other privileges. Still, the day is 23robably not far distant, when other interests than those of share- holders will have to be represented on the boards of the great railway companies, and when manage- ment will be devoted to something more than the earninof of increased dividends. While Germany can offer such a substantial and legitimate bounty as this to her manufacturing industries, we need not fly to protection nor to steamship subsidies for reasons why she has become so keen a rival to Great Britain. Railways in France, though nominally the property of companies as in Great Britain, are actually under state C()iitr(tl ;iiid management. A process of consolidation of all tin- minor coni})anies has gone on, until the entire system has been absorbed into five, or at the most six great under- 2 2S BOUNTIES takiiio-s, the divlckMuls upon the capital stock being guaranteed by government. Of the five important ones, the Northern, Southern, Eastern, Western, and the Paris-Lyons and Mediterranean Railways, only the first earns sufficient net income to meet the whole of its oblio^ations to its shareholders without dipj^ing into the national purse. The capital arrangements of French railways, moreover, differ widely from the English ones. The ordinary stock of the former constitutes only a small per- centage, of the latter considerably more than a third of the total. In France the indebtedness is mostly in the form of obligations bearing 3 per cent, interest, but issued in days gone by considerably below par. They partake too of the character of lottery loans, as fixed amounts are drawn annually and repaid at par, the difference between that and the issue price constituting the prize. With the gTowing cheapness of money these obligations have naturally increased in value, and while many were originally issued at less than fcs. 400, some indeed below fcs. 300 per 500 franc bond, the market value of most of them is now about fcs. 470 to fcs. 480, and all new issues are upon this basis. These obligations bear some resemblance to the debenture and preference stocks of British railways, and the earnings of the companies are amply sufficient to meet them. The ordinary stocks however are much more favourably situated than RAILWAY SUBVENTIONS 229 the prefereiice, inasmuch as they enjoy an absolute government o-uarantee. The Northern Railway, for instance, is guaranteed a dividend of fcs. 54.10 per 500 franc share until the year 1914, but as a matter of fact earns over fcs. 60 on an averag-e. All the others fall short of the guarantees, which, from an English point of view, are excessive, that of the Paris-Lyons and Mediterranean being fcs. 55 or 11 per cent., the Southern, fcs. 50 or 10 per cent., the Western fcs. 38.50 or 7f per cent., and the Eastern fcs. 35.50 or 7 per cent. Needless to say the market price of these shares is very high, the average yield being barely 3 per cent., as the Government rigorously fulfils its engage- ments and disburses many million francs per annum to make up the dividends. Should it ever happen that the actual earnings of any of the companies are in excess of the sums required, the surplus will go, not to the shareholders, but to the Government, in reduction of what is somewhat facetiously termed a debt. The total outstanding ordinary stock of these companies is little over fcs. 1,000,000,000, or <£40,000,000, yet provision is made in the Budget for an estimated expenditure of fcs. 55,250,000 to cover the interest guarantee upon it. Tlic (lovci-ii- ment claims as a set-off, a very large figure for taxes and for postal and military facilities, all of which are more sentimental tlian real, as it caimot be supposed, for instance, that were the railways 2 30 BOUNTIES ])rivat('lv owned they would be allowed to escape their proper share of taxation, British companies at any rate enjoy no such immunity. Military and strategic considerations no doubt compel France, like Germany, to keep a tight grip over the railway system, l)ut the advantages, whatever they may be, are scarcely calculable in francs and centimes. These shares, like the obligations, are subject to annual drawing and redemption at par. There would be manifest hardship however in paying oif at fcs. 500 what sells in the open market at 1000 to 2000, and though the stock is cancelled, the holder receives an action de jouissance, or profit share, which entitles him to any annual dividend in excess generally of 3|^ jDer cent., so that he is in reality no worse off. These railway concessions, it must be borne in mind, are all terminable sooner or later, when it will be open to the Government to make fresh and perhaps less exacting conditions. When the time arrives the stock itself will have been redeemed, and it will be the actions de jouissance which have to be dealt with. Interest payments on ordinary shares con- stitute only a small portion of the obligations of the State to the railways. Under a law of the 17th June 1873, for instance, the Minister of Finance has to provide an annuity of fcs. 20,500,000 to the Eastern Company, while there are a number of others amounting to fcs. 50,000,000 additional. AMERICAN RAILROADS 231 The Minister of Public Works is responsible for further annuities amounting to fcs. 40,000,000, the total sum which the Treasury has to find being- close upon £7,000,000. Whatever name may be given to it, this is really a bounty, and though Government may juggle the figures and claim to be recouped by services rendered, the fact remains that the money is found and the trade and industry of the country directly relieved to a proportionate extent, though eventually it has to be refunded in the form of taxation. In the United States the railroads, with one or two notable exceptions, are entirely free from Govern- ment control. No systems in the world however have been the recipients of such enormous bounties as some of the great trunk and trans-continental roads. They have had literally millions of acres poured into their lap, acres which are to-day worth untold millions of dollars. True, it was the onlv way in which the country could be developed, and for that reason little objection can be taken to it. But the treasure has been squandered, and the roads themselves wrecked and thrown into bank- ruptcy. Had American railroads been lioiiestly financed and economically managed, they miglit have been worked to-day at rates which could not have been touched by any other country, and the advantage would have been such that no system of protection could possibly afford. Little wonder that the industrial population rises in i-cvolt against J 3-^ BOUNTIES the exactions, and protests against providing money tor dividends on stock which represents nothing but the booty of manipulators. But what American agriculturists and European investors have lost, European industries have gained, as they are not called ii[)()n to compete against rates which could not exist in the older continent. The question of American railroads is however far too bigf to be dealt with casually in a work of this sort. Bounties are paid on commodities other than sugar, and again France leads the way. There is no need to go into detailed particulars, and it will be sufficient to state the amounts provided in the Budget for the industries participating, and which appear partly in the estimates of the Ministry of Commerce and partly in that of Agriculture : — Deep Sea fisheries, £140,000 Breeding of silkworms, . 180,000 Silk spinning, 120,000 Flax and hemp cultivation, 100,000 Viticulture, . 20,000 Mineral Oils, 10,000 £570,000 Again these figures fall considerably short of the payments actually made, and supplementary estimates were voted in 1896 of £80,000 on fisheries and £50,000 on silk spinning, and will, as likely as not, be repeated in 1897. BOUNTIES FROM PROTECTION 233 While France adheres to protection and admits raw materials free, it is jDerhaps only consistent that bounties should be given to the producers of such commodities as silk, flax, and hemp. Sugar bounties are not unknown in Australia, and in Canada iron • manufacturers receive substantial payments on all they produce. The new tariff provides for $3 per ton on all pig iron smelted from native ore, and 82 if from foreign ores. Puddled bars, if made of Canadian iron, receive S3 per ton, and steel ingots, if containing at least 50 per cent, of native iron, also get $3. The principle of these and all similar subsidies is utterly indefensible. There is another form of bounty still to be dealt with which is not direct, but springs from, and is provided for by protection. When a protective duty is imposed which is really effective, that is, enables the native producer to make all that is required for home consumption, his first aim is to take care that the market is kept fully supplied with the domestic commodity, so that the foreign one may be excluded. It is however utterly impossible to gauge the demand in a country so wide, say, as the United States, particularly if it be of a fluctuating natiu'e, and depeiidciit upon prosperous or adverse seasons in other industries. Moreover, wliere protection ensures large proflts, the tendency is to over-produce, in th(» h(>]-)e of additional sales bein^r eifected. Tliis means 234 BOUNTIES that more actually is produced than is required for home consumption, and a surplus remains on the hands of the producer. It could be dis- posed of no doubt at a reduction, l^ut to make it would be bad policy, because that might necessitate a reduction in the price of the bulk as well as the surplus. The only alternative is to export the latter, and sell it in a foreign country at the best j^rice it will fetch. Great Britain being the only large free market in the world, most of these stocks are diverted thither, and British buyers are offered bargains unobtainable anywhere else. How often do we hear the remark, "I do not know how such a thing can be made for the money." It cannot be, and never was, and the purchaser is getting it for less than cost price, in order that a buyer in another country may be comjoelled to pay for the same article 50 per cent, more than its value. That such competition is unfair there can be no question, and it often bears hardly on small manufacturers engaged in the industries liable to be affected. Like many other evils however, it has its compensations, in this instance the advantage gained by the consumer. When a great store is opened in the midst of a number of small traders, whom it undersells, and perhaps in the end ruins, the law does not step in and compel it to close its doors or raise its prices. Low prices are regarded as for the public good, and OVER-PRODUCTION 235 the public is always on the lookout for a bargain. Underselling cannot be restrained by legislation and must work its own cure, which means collapse and bankruj)tcy if carried too far. The extent to which it can be carried on is therefore limited, and not even American manufacturers gfo on deliberately making goods to sell below cost in England or elsewhere. They would rather sell all they produce at a profit at home, than export a portion abroad at a loss ; but it often happens that in the determination to keep ahead of the home demand, there is a regularly recurring surplus, Avhich keeps a foreign, and generally a British market, slightly but regularly supplied. Nor must it be forsfotten that there is another side to the question, for such goods must be paid for, and almost invariably are in commodities sold at a profit, so that while the producer is selling to the foreign consumer at less than cost price, he is probably purchasing from the foreign pro- ducer what he might not otherwise require, at a reasonable profit. On which side of the account the ultimate balance is to be found need hardly be pointed out. Protectionists are well aware of this, and in order to Ijlind tlie eyes of the victims of the system, exhiljit apparent exultation over tlieir ability to undersell foreigners in their own markets, without explaining the cause. No man who is not a lunatic or a criminal sells goods at a loss for whicli he 2s6 BOUNTIES can realise a profit, and few men deliberately maniifiicture sfoods on those terms either. So far from protection in this instance meaning the taxation of the foreigner, it amounts to a bounty, granted him at the expense of the home consumer. There are times, even under sound economic conditions, when such sales may be necessary. Over-production is not confined to protected countries, and is an evil well known, though not so widely diffused, m Great Britain. The British manufacturer, under such circumstances, often recognises the inadvisability of flooding his own markets with cheap commodities, which they will require time to digest, and defer the period when he can supply them again profitably. It is then the consumer handicapped by protection has one of his few opportunities of striking a bargain, and it is then the wail of the protectionist is heard demanding higher duties. Against the operation of bounties of this sort no country is able to protect itself, as when a sacrifice is decided on, duties, while intensifying, will not prevent it. But every Government can and should protect its peojole and its industries against deliberate payments, granted to enable cheap sales to be made in foreign markets. By all means encourao-e foreiofn Governments to o-rant these bounties, but let them be attached for the relief of the general taxpayer, and not confined to the individual consumer. CHAPTER YIII. Tariff and Taxation. Sources of Indirect Taxation — Proportion to Direct — Distribution of Taxation in Great Britain — Taxation in United States — Eevenue * Derived compared with Actual Burdens — Cost of Collection — Effect of Protection on National Finances — Taxation in France — Sources of Eevenue compared with United Kingdom — National Expenditure — Cost of Debt — Why France is able to prosper under it — Taxation in Germany — Imperial and State Systems — Moderation of Debt and Taxes — State Contributions — Prussian Budget — Immense Advantages enjoyed by Germany over her Industrial Competitors. That the incidence of taxation exercises im- mense influence on trade is an axiom which nobody would care to contest. Free traders and protectionists alike, subscribe their respective creeds, because they believe the system they support throws national taxation on the shoulders of those who ought to bear it, in the latter instance erroneously supposed to be the foreigner. We cannot do better therefore than inquire as closely as possiljle how the various revenues bear upon individuals and communities, according as they live under a stringent ^ or a moderate tariff. To begin with, let us acquaint ourselves witli the amounts actually received from indirect taxation in the countries whose tariffs we have J3S TARIFF AND TAXATION been considering. The years are not always identical, because I have chosen the latest for which I have been able to obtain the fullest and most reliable details, but as there have been no radical changes in taxation in any of the States for a year or two, the differences between one and another will not vary greatly. From customs duties there was received, or estimated to be received, by Great Britain, 1895-96 .... £21,040,000 i United States, 1895-96 .... 32,000,000 - France, 1897 16,400,000 ^ Germany, 1896-97 17,800,000 * Tobacco, included in the British Customs returns, falls largely under the head of internal or excise revenue in the United States and Germany, where the plant is cultivated, and in France it is a strict Government monopoly. From excise revenue on commodities there was received during the same period by Great Britain— Spirits and Beer .... £27,530,000 United States— Spirits and Beer . £21,700,000 Cigars and Tobacco . 6,150,000 Oleomargarine . . 190,000 28,040,000 ^ Actual. The returns for 1896-97 show some increase, but as it is an all-round one, the proisortions will not vary appreciably. - Actual at S5 to £. 3 Budget estimate at fcs. 25 to £. * Budget estimate at M 20 to £. REVENUE FROM COMMODITIES 239 France— Alcoholic and otlier liquors . £1S,G00,000 Tobacco Eegie 15,250,000 Sugar, Salt, etc. . 8,650,000 Matches and Gunpowder 1,600,000 £44,100,000 Germany — Spirits and Beer £7,140,000 Sugar and Salt . 6,230,000 Tobacco . . . . 560,000 13,930,000 Now we will contrast these sums raised from the taxation of commodities, with the total revenues of the respective countries — Per- centage. Excluding Postal Revenue. Great Britain, . £48,570,000 £109,530,000 44% 51 % United States, 60,040,000 81,900,000 73% 92% France, 60,500,000 133,250,000 45% 49 % Germany, . 31,730,000 62,770,000 51 % 52% Great Britain, the United States, and France each include the gross revenue received from postal and telegraph service, amounting respectively to £14,300,000, £16,500,000 (the telegraphs are private property in the United States, and ai'e therefore not included), and £9,000,000 (inclusive of telephones). Germany merely brings into account the net revenue out of gross receipts amounting to £14,700,000. In the first three cases therefore the percentage of indirect to total taxation is materially increased ; in fact, in the United States practically the wliole revenue is derived from com- modities. Most reasonable men will concede that the principal burden of taxation ought to fill on the 2 40 TARIFF AND TAXATION sliouldt'i's of tlu' wealthy, and tliat labour and industry sliould be as free as possible, and only contribute on acquired results. We will endeavour to find out to what extent this operates in the four countries we are dealing with. The simplicity of British taxation enables us to arrive at fairly definite conclusions. There are but few commodities liable to duty, and the direct taxes are limited in number, so that if we can draw an equitable line between poor and rich, we may be able to apportion the respective payments of each. A large proportion of the w^ealth and annual income of Great Britain is drawn from trade and industry, and by means of the income-tax returns we can form an estimate of the number of rich people in the kingdom. An annual return is made of the number of j^ersons assessed under Schedules D and E, which include all profits earned in trades and professions, and incomes received from employ- ment and pensions. Parliament in its wisdom has decreed that those in receipt of an income of £400 a year, or under, shall be entitled to a rebate of £160, and at this point we may fairly draw the line. It would of course be absurd to class people in receipt of £400 per annum as poor, many such, where they have only themselves, or at the most one or two others to support, may live on this amount in comparative luxury, and might w^ell afford a liberal contribution to taxation. But most people with incomes below this cannot afford a BRITISH WEALTH AND POVERTY 241 considerable outlay in any one direction, and a certain amount of discretion is necessary in their expenditure. An additional payment, say in taxa- tion, precludes them making an outlay on some- thing else, and in this sense at least taxation becomes an important question. On the other hand, there are many persons with incomes of over £400 per annum who find it difficult to make ends meet. Their families may be large and expensive, and they may be compelled to maintain a position in society which strains their resources to the utmost. They are conse- quently less able to bear taxation than others in the enjoyment of smaller incomes, but we may here reasonably set one off against the other, and class all under £400 as j^oor, and all over as rich. The former will include the vast majority of the middle class of the community. For the year ending 5th April 1895,^ there w^ere assessed to the income tax in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland some G4,000 1 This was the culminating year of a i^rolonged and severe trade depression, and the number of persons assessed at £400 per annum and upwards fell off to the extent of 10,000, showing how dependent the country is for its income on good trade. The figures under Schedule E were more extraordinary still, and exhibited the heavy fall that had occurred in the market value of clerical and similar highly paid labour. In 1894, upwards of 32,500 persons repcjrted themselves as in the enjoyment of salaries or pensions of £400 jjcr annum and upwards, a year later the number had fallen to less than 19,000. This represented a drop of upwards of £6,000,000, against which however there was, by way of set off, an increase in assessable salaries of under £400 per annum of nearly £2,.50n,O00. 16 242 TARIFF AND TAXATION persons in receipt of £400 per aniunu and upwards under Schedule D, and 19,000 more under Schedule E, or too-ether 83,000 persons. They contributed about £4,000,000 out of a total of £15,000,000, but for all that they constitute the majority of the income tax payers of the kingdom. The remainder of Schedule D, for instance, contributed to the revenue upwards of £5,000,000 on railway divi- dends, and profits from foreign, colonial, and British joint-stock undertakings, the great bulk of which is drawn by the trading and professional classes. Schedule C, under which another £1,200,000 was contributed, also falls largely upon this class, both directly and indirectly, as it represents dividends from consols and any other Government stocks and annuities, large amounts of which are held by banks, insurance companies, and other undertak- ings assessed under Schedule D. It owns too a great deal of property, both in land and houses, upon which the tax is paid under other schedules for which it is imjDossible to make any return of persons. There are numerous incomes, both large and small, enjoyed by persons not in any trade, profession, or employment ; but if we state the number in receipt of over £400 at another 40,000, we are probably going beyond the mark. On the other hand, the 64,000 assessments referred to, included firms and private companies, embrac- ing in many instances more than one individual. If then Ave say that the number of individuals in the DISTRIBUTION OF TAXATION 243 United Kingdom in the enjoyment of an annual income of £400 and upwards is 150,000, we are probably not very far wrong. Possibly in years of great trade activity there may be ten or even twenty per cent. more. These 150,000 persons have many others depen- dent on them. A family is generally supposed to average five persons, but in the case of rich people there are invariably a number of relations desirous of being included within the charmed circle. But again, many such families include more than one income tax payer. As if I err at all, I am desirous of doing so by over- rather than under- estimat- ing the numbers of the wealthy, I will assume that each income tax payer represents nine others besides himself, from the new-born babe to the cen- tenarian, and that consequently the wealthy people in the kingdom in the classification I have adopted number 1,500,000. As the total population is now about 40,000,000, that would leave 38,500,000 to come under the head of the other classification of poor, that is from the pauper to the recipient of a competency of £400 per annum. The percentages are 3f and 96^ resj^ectively. I will now allocate in tabular form the £92,550,000 actually i-aised by taxation in 1895-9G between these two classes, and then state the reasons which have mduced me to divide the total amounts in this particular Avay : — 244 TARIFF AND TAXATION Rich. Poor. Imported Spirits — lium, . £50,000 £2,030,000 Brandy, 500.000 875,000 Gin, 10,000 160,000 Unenumerated 50,000 700,000 Liqueurs and per- fumed Spirits 35,000 British Spirits, 800,000 15,580,000 Beer, . 300,000 10,850,000 "Wine, . 1,000,000 250,000 Cigars, . 450,000 100,000 Tobacco, 350,000 9,850,000 Customs Sundries, and '\^'are house Charges, 25,000 50,000 1 Licences — Brewers, Distillers, and Tobacco ]\Ianu- facturers, . 35,000 Liquor Eetailers, . 1,500,000 500,000 Tobacco Eetailers, 10,000 70,000 Auctioneers, Pawn- brokers, and Plate Dealers, . 150,000 30,000 Hawkers, 20,000 Gun, Game, Servants, Carriages, Armorial Bearings, eic, . ■ . 930,000 80,000 Dog, . . . . 100,000 400,000 Tea, . 150,000 3,600,000 Coffee, Cocoa, and Chicory, . 175,000 175,000 Dried Fruits, . . . . 200,000 200,000 Estate,Legacy,& Succession Duties , 13,600,000 500,000 Income Tax, . . . . 14,000,000 2,000,000 Land Tax 1,000,000 20,000 Stamps, 7,000,000 340,000 House Duty, . . . . 1,000,000 490,000 Eailway Passenger Duty, L'GOJ'JOO £43,680,000 £48,870,000 ^ Practically the entire revenue derived from licences is devoted to the relief of local taxation, the Imperial Exchequer having benefited to the extent of less than £250,000 of the total. INCIDENCE ON RICH AND POOR 245 This is fairly equally divided, the proportions being respectively ^1\ per cent, and 52^ per cent.; that is, some 4 per cent, of the population pay rather less than half the total taxation, and the remainder is contributed by the other 96 per cent. It is worth noting- that this 52^ per cent, corresponds very closely with the 51 per cent, derived from indirect taxation, as shown on page 239. So that it may be said roughly that the poor pay now all the indirect, the rich all the direct taxes. There can be no doubt that the 4 per cent, possess more than half the accumulated wealth of the kingdom ; a very large part of the 9 6 per cent, has none at all, and lives simply from hand to mouth. If Ave turn again for a moment to income tax assessments, we find that about 570,000 })ersons were scheduled under D and E, as in receipt of incomes between £160 and £400, and the great majority of all such are in trade or employment. At the outside therefore this class will embrace and represent 5,000,000 of people, leaving considerably over 30,000,000 of the popuhi- tion receiving or dependent on £3 per week and under, and it is not easy to accumulate wealth on that. \n strict proportion to their means, the rich are still under taxed, Ijut this is less open to criticism in view oP the fact tliat what is paid hy the poor is princi])ally on beer and- spirits. Tlie inecpiality may be rectified to some 246 TARIFF AND TAXATION extent by the reduction of the tobacco duty a heady advocated. Reverting now to the table, rum is essentially a poor man's drink, and I have charged barely 3 per cent, in the first column. Brandy, on the other hand, is an expensive liquor, and of the two and a half million gallons consumed, I have placed the large proportion of about one million to the account of the rich. Foreign gin occupies much the same position as rum, but the consumption of it is trifling. The unenumerated is principally cheap stuff", worth less than a shilling a gallon, imported from Germany, but sweetened spirits and liqueurs are specialities of the wealthy. A man does not as a rule indulge more largely in alcoholic drinks because he is wealthy, his greater responsibilities and probably superior education teach him rather to be abstemious. In charsfino* under 4 per cent, of the population then with 5 per cent, of the spirit duties, I am making allowance for hospitality they may extend to poorer friends and neighbours, and not supposing that they themselves consume more than a fair average. Wine and cigars however are such decided luxuries, that I have charged them with by far the larger portion, though cheap wine, and particularly cheap cigars, are indulged in by the poorer section. Tobacco, on the other hand, is the refuge of the poor, and in allowing the 150,000 highly rated income tax payers some 12 pounds per annum in addition ANALYSES OF TAXES 247 to their cigars, I am probably providing them with as much as they ever smoke. Of the large number of retail licences throughout the kingdom, I have assumed that three-fourths of the payments are drawn from wealthy brewers, distillers, and property owners, or that the tenants are themselves men of substance. These fees are individually too small to be transferred to, or recouped from, the consumer. Brewers, distillers, and tobacco manufacturers are invariably wealthy men ; the great majority of tobacco retailers are poor ones. Gun, game, and carriage licences are indulged in almost exclusively by the rich, but a few of the poorer class own guns, and there is a licence on hackney carriages of 15s., the whole of which is not paid by wealthy car proprietors. The rich own more dogs in pro- portion to the poor, but the canine friends of the latter are very numerous. For reasons which I have stated elsewhere, the tea duty is likely to be paid in somewhat greater proportion by the larger than by the smaller class, but I have contented myself by dividing it in their respective ratios. The remaining duties on con- sumables I have distributed ec[ually, as with the exception of currants, on which the charge is only 2s. per cwt., they are only very sparingly used by the poorer classes. Passing now to the direct taxes, we deal fii-st with the estate or death duties. Tliese were instituted specially as a charge on accunnilated --4S TARIFF AND TAXATION wealth, and payiiients on small bequests such as the poorer class are likel}'' to make are calculated upon a very low percentage. The estates of deceased persons under £300 pay a nominal registration only, from £300 to £500, thh'ty to fifty shillings, and from £500 to £1000, two per cent. Most individuals possessing private estates of much over £1000, draw very rapidly towards theclass enjoy- ing over £400 per annum. On the other hand, small legacies are often received, which, owning to distance or absence of consanguinity, pay a heavy rate. The £500,000 placed in the second column will represent a very large capital sum passing every year in small amounts by death. With the income tax we have ag-ain reliable figures to work upon. The 570,000 persons assessed at under £400 per annum, actually paid £1,550,000, and they undoubtedly constitute the great majority of all w^ho are liable. I have added about a third to the amount for those who pay under other schedules either as agriculturists, or on investments and real estate. Land is not often owned by poor people, and I have placed a merely nominal sum of the tax against that class. Great numbers of them likewise escape house duty, while those of moderate means pay on a more moderate scale. Mansions, especially if situated in the country, escape far more lightly than they are entitled to, otherwise this tax would be much more productive. PRINCIPLE OF BRITISH TAXATION 249 Stamps cover a very wide area, but the bulk of the revenue is collected from transactions more germane to the wealthy than the poor, or even the well-to-do. Bill stamps, for instance, form a very small tax on commerce, far too insignificant to be passed on, and besides, foreigners are charged with a considerable projDortion of it on foreign bills of exchange. The Stock Exchange and public com- panies contribute largely, and transfers of real estate account for much more. I have charged but 5 per cent, therefore to one class, and the remainder to the smaller one. These divisions are, of course, more or less despotic, but if they err in occasional instances to the extent of 5 or even 10 per cent, from the real facts, they still present us with a fair idea of the incidence of British taxation. It has been the consistenb policy of successive Governments, for at least two generations, to lighten the burdens on the poorer classes, so far as they are not connected \\\\\\ the drink traffic, and to transfer them to the wealthier. The first serious departure from this was made by the Agricultural Bating Act of 1896, for though there are many persons connected with the landed as with every other interest requiring relief, this Act dealt it out in inverse I'atio to as it was needed. The reversal, or even the suspension ofllie principle is however only temporary, and the political l);irty which has been mainly responsible for taxation reform in the past will one day again be in the 2 50 TARIFF AND TAXATION ascendant, and able to cany It In directions where there is still ample room for it to work. In the meantime, the vast majority of the British population have but little to complain of on the score of taxation. A reference to the table will Ije convincing, that a man who is satisfied with mere existence need pay nothing at all. It is only when he begins to grope after comforts, or to plunge into dissipation, that he feels the hand of the tax-gatherer intruding more or less deeply into his pocket. Far difierent is it in the United States of America, where an individual desirous of living in any kind of decency finds it almost impossible to escape the net, or to creep through the meshes when he is in. Practically the entire revenue is collected from taxation on commodities. The amount received from customs and internal revenue was upwards of $306,000,000. Included in the latter however are the licence duties paid by distillers, brewers, and liquor dealers, amounting to $6,000,000, and a similar tax upon oleomargarine of $265,000. This is the nearest approach to a personal tax, as the amount is too small to levy on consumers, the licence of a retailer costing only $20 to $45, and of the bioffifest rectifiers, 8200. Consular and other fees amounting to another $3,000,000 are invariably added to invoices, and become as much a charge on the consumer as the duty. $3,000,000 profits on coinage, $2,000,000 from sinking fund on Pacific UNITED STATES TAXATION 251 railroads, and $1,000,000 from the sale of public lands, cannot be regarded as taxation at all, and the $1,750,000 derived from a tax on national banks can hardly be called direct. Nor do the few remaininor and insignificant items fall under that heading either. In the previous year's return of internal revenue there was, it is true, an item of $77,130.90 for income tax, but the Supreme Court j)romptly put the extinguisher on that, and the only practical attempt to tax acquired wealth was thus for the time defeated. It is utterly impossible to tabulate and analyse the incidence of American taxation as we have done British. It miofht not be difficult to allocate the $12,000,000 paid on silks, or even the $22,500,000 on woollen manufactures. Nor, on the other hand, would it require much effort to distribute the $30,000,000 on sugar ; but on what principle is the $4,000,000 on chemicals or on earthenware, or the $10,000,000 on iron and steel, to be divided ? It is necessary therefore to proceed on more general principles. We may however divide the population of the United States into two classes much in the same way as with the United Kingdom, drawing the line perha])s a little higher up, owing to the greater cost of living, and making it $2500 per annmn instead of £400. The jx-r- centages falling on either sidi^ would pi()l)al)lv n<>t now greatly differ. 252 TARIFF AND TAXATION Were we to distribute the taxation between the two classes on the basis apparent in the United Kingdom — namely, the direct to the rich, and the indirect to the j^oor — we should arrive at the start- ling result that the latter provided fully 90 per cent, of the revenue, and the former nothing at all. It may be fairly conceded however that some of the $160,000,000 of customs revenue was paid by the well-to-do and the wealthy. Imported articles are, as a rule, too expensive for the poor to indulge in, as the extravagant duties, ^particularly where they are specific and not ad valoron, shut out most of the cheaper goods, which the doinestic manufacturer is prepared to supply at just a trifle less. But the duties actually paid at the custom house form an infinitesimal part of the taxation imposed on the American people. It may be that the small rich class contributes about half as much as the large poor one, against about equal proportion in the iTnited Kingdom, but it certainly recoups itself many times over out of the protection afforded it. The internal revenue of $146,000,000, derived almost entirely from beer, sjDirits, and tobacco, falls like similar taxes in England, principally upon the poorer class. These duties are lower, in some instances very much lower — on beer, $1 per barrel of 31 gallons; on spirits, 81.10 per gallon against 10s. 6d.; on tobacco, 6 cents per pound against 3s. 2d.; on cigars, 83 per 1000, taking 80 to the pound, equal to Is. per pound against 5s.; WHERE TAXATION FALLS 253 and on cigarettes weighing under 3 j^onnds per 1000, 50 cents. The consequence of these light duties on tobacco and cigars is that the revenue received is almost equally divided, and the number of cigars and cheroots which paid the $3 rate was 4,237,755,943, and of cigarettes at 50 cents 4,042,391,640, the manufacture of which must have afforded employment to an enormous number of hands compared with the similar industry in Great Britain. But having said this much about the customs revenue, it is about all there is in its favour. It is not absolutely comjDulsory, but it is the millionaire, and not the pauper, who can escape it if he will. The former may carefully eschew imported articles, and when he wants an outfit go to England for it, and pay his expenses out of the difference in the cost. He may confine his drinks to tea and coffee, and sweeten them witli Louisiana sugar, and may otherwise evince his patriotism by using only domestic goods when he cannot import foreign ones as personal effects, and at the end of the year, when he has contributed his mite to the national exchequer, he will take $4.90 change out of a $5 bill. The workpeople he employs may neither smoke nor drink nor purchase imported articles, but they cannot go to England for their clothing. They have consequently to i)ay the })rices demanded by tlie liome manufacturers and clothiers, which, as we discovered, would under 2 54 TARIFF AND TAXATION the M'Klnley Act have cost very much more than abroad. Whenever a working man buys a suit of clothes therefore, or his wife a new dress, he may reckon that quite one-half of the amount is taxation. Did the money go to support and carry on the government of his country, there might have been a little consolation in it, but it was divided between the wool grower and the cloth manufacturer, and helped to make one, if not both, rich at his expense. That is where taxation falls in the United States, and its amount is incalculable. What is the good of cheap tobacco, and cheap drinks, and free tea and coflPee, if everything else a man touches is taxed over and over again to its utmost capacity ? For it is rarely a single tax on any one commodity. As in clothing the wool is taxed, then the yarn, and finally the cloth, so in other things, the com- ponent parts which make them up have all to bear their share. We saw how far-reaching the chemical schedule was for instance, consequently most thinofs into which chemicals enter are taxed throug'h them. If any United States citizen is really anxious to know how much a year he contributes in this way, let him find out how much everything he purchases, except ordinary foodstufis, would cost in England, add 10 per cent, for legitimate difference in price, and then deduct the total from what he actually pays, and he will arrive at some- thing like the result. COST OF COLLECTION 255 Some things of course, are rather cheaper, particularly to the Western citizen. Breadstuffs and animal food are obtainable at prime cost. A well-known American ironmaster, a short time ago addressed a letter to a London journal, in which he referred to the cheap cost of living in the United States, and claimed that a pound sterling went further there in the purchase of necessaries than in Great Britain, and singled out items of food and drink which cost less. That is all very well as far as the particular commodities are concerned, but is poor consolation to the producers of them. There was no mention made however of sugar, enhanced to begin with by a 40 per cent, duty, since raised to 75 per cent., and then by an extravagant dividend for the Sugar Trust, nor did he refer even to that natural product, so necessary in so many households where neither gas nor electric light can be turned on at will, petroleum, charged for at any price his friends of the Standard Oil Company like to fix. Clothing of course is not food, neither are steel rails, and besides, the pool only collapsed after the letter was written. Nor have we yet exhausted the evils of the system, for the cost of adiniiiistratioii is in ilscll' a grievous burden on the revenues of the Ilcptibhc. To collect $146,000,000 of internal taxation, with its complex requirements of gangers, brewery, distillery, and factory superintendents, and stamp distributors cost just $4,000,000, but $14,000,000 256 TARIFF AND TAXATION more of customs revenue added over $3,000,000 to the charge, and brought it up to nearly $7,250,000. The total expenditure on the customs service is returned as $17,969,000, and on internal revenue $4,203,000, but these figures are inclusive of draw- backs. The result is that the net i^evenue received from both sources is about equal, the cost of collection about double. There are some most extraordinary details connected with this. At Natchez in Mississippi, the total revenue received in 1894-95 was $1.10. It took two people to gather it in, and cost $500. The same persons received their $500 for 1895-96, but on the last day of the fiscal year they were still whistling for the one dollar and ten cents. Two people at Annapolis, in Maryland, bagged between them in 1894-95, $28.45, and only charged $956.25 for their trouble. No doubt out of consideration for the fact that in 1895-96 they had no sport at all, they reduced their demand to $825.75. Teche, in Louisiana, however, enjoys the record, having had expended upon it $2624.50 without collecting a cent, though it is only fair to add that about 300 coastwise vessels touched at the jDort, and required some official attention. There was a slight amount of work at the other two of the same sort, but Galena, in Illinois, and Paducah, in Kentucky, each received $350 without apparently having done a stroke of any sort to earn it. There were fifty customs ports in whicli the aggregate duties did not UNITED STATES CUSTOMS DETAILS 257 reach $50,000, and there are innumerable instances where the amount expended was far in excess of that received. New York is the great centre of the import trade, and there the percentage was reduced to a minimum. But 1932 persons were employed in dealing with the revenue of $109,000,000. The officials of the cus- tom houses in London and Liverpool occupy a few moderate-sized apartments, and have plenty of elbow-room. The New York staff, with their wives and families, would found a colony which would make German mouths water. The M'Kinley Act provided for the apjDointment of nine appraisers at an annual salary of $7000 each, whose duties, no doubt, partly consist of superintending the counting of threads in tissues and fabrics ; but to prevent so splendid a piece of patronage being made the cause of too much jobbery, it was stipulated that only five were to be selected from one political party. The post is no sinecure however, if we are to judge from the fact that for the last financial year over 20,000 protests were lodged by importers against the classification of their goods, and on the 30th September 189n there were no fewer than 43,420 cases awaiting final decision, affecting some 200 classes of imports. The manipulation of direct taxes for a like amount would cost less than liaH'tlic nioiicv, as tlie machinery is already largely in existenc(! for State and municipal purposes. And what has high protection resulted '\\\ '. IIj) 17 258 TARIFF AND TAXATION to ami iiK'lusive of the year 1890, there had been for many years a constant surphis of revenue over expenditure, and the national debt had undergone ra]iid diminution. It was necessary to put an end to that, and the ordinary way of doing it was to reduce taxation. That was not the protectionist's method of going about it however. In the first place, the country was searched high and low for the sisters, the cousins, and the aunts, of anyone who had supplied the federal troops with groceries during the civil war, and when found they were re- warded for the patriotism of their relatives by a more or less substantial pension. In a country where every- body is supposed to work and earn their living, the pensionlist for 1894-95 amounted to $141,395,228.87, and for 1895-96 $139,434,000.98, nearly half the taxation of the country. The recipients of over $100,000,000 are classed simply as " invalids," a very convenient designation, which might easily be made applicable to fully 99 per cent, of the human race. The next process was to pass an " Act for reducing the revenue," but had the tariff of 1890 been termed " An Act to create annual deficits, and increase the national debt," the United States Congress would have had to be congratulated on the most successful legislation it ever achieved. The $85,000,000^ surplus of 1889-90 dwindled to ^ The gross surpluses were larger still, the expenditure including tlie premiums paid on redeemed government bonds. The actual differ- ence between ordinary revenue and expenditure this particular year was §105,000,000. THE NATIONAL FINANCES 259 $27,000,000 in 1890-91, to $10,000,000 in 1891-92, to $2,500,000 in 1892-93, and then finally dis- appeared. The results for the succeeding years were— 1893-94 . . . $69,803,260 deficit 1894-95 . . . 42,805,223 „ 1895-96 . . . 25,203,246 „ $137,811,729 while for 1896-97 there will be a further one of many million dollars,^ so that in four years, budget deficiencies will have been created amountincr to o some thirty to thirty-five millions sterling, without any practical attempt to stop the drain. Such a state of things would be a disgrace to a semi-bankrupt South American Republic, how much more so to one of the richest nations on earth, count- ing seventy millions of people, and requiring not much more than half the revenue of many European countries with only half the population. Nor will posterity record any blame against the administra- tion of ex-President Cleveland, during whose term of office this happened. It struggled manfully to impose a just and equitable tax to cover the deficit, but was defeated by those who will live in America, make money in America, accept all ilic jirotection ' In consequence of tlie enorinouB sums jiaid in ciistnnis express these figures in the European ('([uivnlciit.' 1 Tlie German returns give them as M 7,G00,4fJ7 and M 3,247,485 respectively. 2 86 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION Om> thiiii;- is clearly evident, that a large portion of the import into these colonies is paid for by- subventions from the Government. The story of German settlement at the Anti- podes is sorrier still, and notwithstanding the high- sounding designation of important territories, as Kaiser Wilhelm's Land, and Bismarck Archipelago, only some 280 Europeans have so far been attracted thither. Whatever the German colonial system is going to produce therefore, it has accomplished little yet, and as an economic force may be dismissed. With its political aspect we have here nothing to do. France has done much more than found a territorial empire beyond the seas, and it would be astonishing were it not so, considering that she began to build it up long before England became merged into Great Britain, and was her keenest rival. She is impartial in her favours as far as locality is concerned. Algeria and Tunis on the Mediter- ranean coast of Africa, Senegal and Dahomey on the west, Madagascar and Reunion on the east, Pondicherry in India, and the great territories known as Indo-China beyond, Tahiti in the Pacific, Guadeloupe and Martinique in the West Indies, and French Guiana on the mainland of South America, are fairly distributed. Her hold on North America is lost, French Canadians are loyal to the British FRENCH COLONIES 287 crown, and Newfoundland is only useful as an occasional bone of contention when a French statesman wishes to make himself particularly disagreeable, and takes as a basis the little islands of St. Pierre and Miquelon, Self government is about the last thing France thinks of conceding to her colonies. They are supposed to exist solely for the benefit of the mother country, and to afford that outlet for the productions of French industry, which, as we have already seen, is denied them elsewhere. The colonies therefore, are not run for the advantage ■of the Government as such, as in the case of Spain. They are indeed costly luxuries, the Algerian budget alone having last shown a deficit of nearly twenty millions of francs, which had to be defrayed by the taxpayers at home. The vote for the Ministry of the Colonies, other than Algeria, is fcs. 84,000,000, although of that upwards of fcs. 9,000,000 is expended on the penal settlements, and must hardly be regarded as colonial expenditure. But, as I have remarked elsewhere, all this is supposed to be amply compensated by the com- mercial and industrial activity which it pro- duceSc And what does this amount to ? Leaving out the semi-Eurojiean j)ossessions of Algeria and Tunis, the imports of all the French colonies generally for 1894, the latest year I Jiave been able to obtain them, were £9,000,000, while exports were 2 88 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION £10,000,000. But of these France provided only about £4,000,000 and took £5,000,000 respectively, tlie rest of the trade being done with foreign countries. That does not mean Enofliind or other European rivals, as in many places there is considerable local trade. Especially is this the case with Indo-China, for of the fcs. 77,000,000 of imports, France shipped but fcs. 17,000,000, and took only fcs. 28,000,000 out of total exports of fcs. 104,000,000, most of the remainder having been with China, Siam, and other surrounding territories, and consisted largely of rice, the staple product and diet of that part of the world. The commerce, as far as France is concerned, was consequently under £2,000,000, or less than 25 per cent, of the total. British exports to these countries amounted to £195,000 or fcs. 5,000,000, principally cotton goods, but as the wall of protection is built higher, the trade steadily diminishes, and for 1896 was valued at £110,000 only, or little over fcs. 2,500,000. From a French point of view nothing else is quite so bad as the foregoing. Nearly the whole export of Martinique and Guadaloupe, for instance, is shipped to France, and in the year 1896, for which unofficial returns are available, only fcs. 1,000,000 out of a total of fcs. 21,000,000 for the former, and a merely nominal amount out of fcs. 19,000,000 for the latter island, were shipped to foreign countries. But even here the import ALGERIA AND TUNIS 289 trade is only supplied by the mother country to the extent of about 50 per cent, of a total of some fcs. 45,000,000. Of the other half Great Britain has to be content with a beggarly fcs. 4,500,000, and the United States Avalk off with most of the rest. It consists principally of phosphates and other manures, and complaints are made that British shippers think anything a'ood enouo-h, while their United States rivals don't. Lancashire at anyrate maintains her share of the trade with the French West Indies. All this is materially altered when we come to Algeria and Tunis, the former practically French territory, the latter controlled by France much in the same way as Great Britain controls Egypt. We have the complete figures in these instances for 1895 ; the imports into Algeria were valued at just over £10,000,000, of which £8,000,000 were of French origin. The exports were £11,500,000, and France took nearly £10,000,000 of them. Tunis is not quite so favourable, but then there are commer- cial treaties which prevent the exclusion of other countries from trading. Some of these have been got rid of, and the only serious rival France now has is Great Britain, and she is very anxious to induce tlie latter to relin(|uisli licr I'ights, so that Tunis may be as close a preserve as Algeria. Of l'1,700,000 of imports, France ship})ed little more than half, and of nearly £2,000,000 of exports, took 19 290 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION £1,250,000, HO that the influence or protectorate^ \vas worth soniethini;'. What 1 may have to say regardino- the French possessions in West Africa will be more appro- priate in a later chapter. I pass on therefore to Madagascar, and the principal business so far effected by the latest possession, seems to have been to borrow a considerable sum from the Comp- toir National d'Escompte de Paris, with which tO' pay her conquerors part of the cost of subvert- ing her liberties. Up to now there have been no returns from Madagascar as such, because the island has only quite recently been formally in- cluded among French possessions, and trade with the principal port, Tamatave, would be classed as foreiefn. Die^fo Suarez in the extreme north, and the little island of Nossi Be, off the north-west coast, have however been classed as French for some years, and their trade in 1893 amounted to fcs. 9,000,000 of imports, and about fcs. 3,000,000 exports. These figures may form no criterion of the volume when the country becomes settled, and in course of time France no doubt hopes the trade of Madagascar wdll become worth a few millions sterling per annum ; but has not the price paid — we will not say for the goodwill— been somewhat excessive ? The sum total of the whole is, that France exports to all her foreign possessions about £13,000,000 worth of goods per annum, and re- FRENCH COLONIAL POLICY 291 ceives in return about £16,000,000 of colonial and other produce. Not very large amounts, but a fair percentage of the foreign trade of the country. We can understand what wistful glances she turns towards Egypt, of which she would like to make another Algeria. The imports and exports of that country for 1895 were £8,600,000, and over £13,000,000 respectively, but of these France only benefited to the extent of £1,000,000 in each instance, the United Kingdom of course absorb- ing the lion's share. But the present difterence between Egypt and Algeria is, that France is as free to trade in the former under British protec- tion as in the latter under her own. How long the British would enjoy the same freedom were the protection transferred, is not very difficult to predict. There is no such thino- as customs union be- o tween France and her colonies, the only phrase applicable is customs subjection. Every possession, whether near or distant, is under the French tarift', with often enough a special one of its own for the purpose of providing revenue for carrying on the Government. This however is generally light, and is frequently an export, not an import tax. French mainifiicturers want the full prices obtainable for their goods, and object to duties on tlicni within their (jwn territories. Thus in Madagascar there was a duty of 1 per cent, ad valorem imposed on all imports, but in August 1896 this was declared 292 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION ap})llcable oiilv to foreign goods, those of French origin to l)e achnitted free. All exports are like- wise subjected to a tax of 10 per cent., except such as are specially scheduled to pay fixed rates, — Avax, for instance, fcs. 20 per 100 kilos., and coffee fcs. 16, whatever their destination, this being sup- posed, as it undoubtedly is, a tax on the native producer, who receives so much less for M'hat he sells. Similarly in Tunis, the revenue, raised prin- cipally from the monopolies of tobacco and salt, is augmented by duties of fcs. 12 per 100 kilos, on unwashed, and fcs. 20 on washed w^ool, of 2 to 6 francs on dates, and of fcs. ]2.37 on olive oil. The import tariff is light, 8 per cent, on nearly every- thing, and 10 per cent, on wines and spirits. France in short tries to run two tariffs, and recog- nising that protection and revenue are strange bedfellows, keeps them separate. Totally different is the system adopted by Great Britain towards her colonies. When dependent directly upon the Crown, a tariff is fixed to provide revenue, and is enforced against all countries alike. When self-governing, they may do as they please. In many of the Crown colonies the tariff is far- reaching, and few imported goods escape it, but it is light, and certainly not protective. Most of them are plantation colonies, yielding but one or two products, which it would be foolish for any other country to ship thither, and most of what they w^ant beyond the natural foods must be imported. SELF-GOVERNING COLONIES 293 A customs duty is therefore an easy way of raising the revenue, and not an unfair one. The number of people upon whom direct taxation would fall is generally extremely limited, and were it possible to collect it from the natives, the expense would often be greater than the income derived. Not even Great Britain runs her colonies as philan- thropic institutions, and she wants her subjects of whatever creed or colour to contribute something towards the cost of the civil protection they enjoy. Many of them expend part of their savings on imported articles, and are therefore readily reached in this way. As a rule nothing is materially en- hanced in cost except alcoholic drinks, which is as it should be. But the great colonies of English-speaking communities frame their own tariffs to suit their own purposes, whether protective or otherwise. Foremost among them is the Dominion of Canada, and the pernicious influence of its great neighbour had until quite recently a most demoralising effect. Whether or not there is anything in the atmos- phere of North America which disseminates the contagion of ])rotection, all the peo])le inhal)iting it fall at one time or other victims to the disease. A cursory study of the old Canadian tariff is sufficient to show that it was a more or less faithful copy of the worst enforced across the frontier. True, there is notliiug so utterly extra- vagant as 100 to .')00 ])<'!• cent, on woollens, and 294 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION 100 per cent, on tin plates, not to mention other thintrs. The su})reme height to ^^■hic'h the Canadian protectionist attained was 35 per cent., Avith now and again a higher rate concealed under mixed specific and ad valorem duties. The average on all dutiable goods imported in 1895-96, was just 30 per cent., but this is somewhat i-educed if allow- ance be made for alcoholic liquors, tobacco, and other luxuries. The average upon woollens how- ever was 32 per cent., while on silks it was only 30, and on linens 22. Cotton goods averaged 28, and iron and steel 25 per cent. No doubt the patriotic Canadian frequently gazed up with admiration and lonoino- at the ^rreater flip'hts possible across the border, but with clipped wings these have now passed beyond his reach. Moreover, the most obnoxious features of the United States tariff were reproduced in the Canadian, and the result was a childish battle, which grown-iqi men ought to have had too much dignity to play at. It is absurd enougfh for the United States to impose a tariff on Canadian cheese, but it attains the sublimely ridiculous for Canada to mulct the United States j^roduct at 3 cents j^er pound. If there is anything in which the Canadian agri- culturist excels, it is cheese, and the exj^ort, steadily increasing year by year in quantity, though not in value, reached upwards of $14,000,000, occupying second place only to timber and its products, which must, as civilisation advances and population in- THE CANADIAN TARIFF 295 ureases, become a decaying industry. In the same •category we find apples at 40 cents per barrel, another production in which a little interchange would do no harm to either side, while the cHmax is reached in strawberries, raspberries, gooseberries, and blackberries at 2 cents per pound. As the last-named fruit is ffenerallv gathered in no-man's land, one wonders if it pays two duties when picked from the bushes growing just on the frontier ; or is one side of them supposed to be Canadian and the other American % On the other hand, if tliere be anything in which United States craftsmen excel, it is in the production of bank notes, and forms for bonds, bills of exchange, and similar instruments ; and well they may, for no nation has ever created more of the finished article. Yet they are taxed on entering Canada to the extent of 35 2)er cent. But if wanted in moderate] quantities, surely it will be less expensive to have them mailed in small parcels under the ordinary postal arrangements. Protection to manufactured articles was aimed against Great Britain quite as much as the United States, f(3r it is veiy difficult for the latter to compete, when the cost of ])roduction has already been so greatly increased by their own tariff laws. Still Canada takes payment for the produce she ships to the mother country in manufactures, aug- mented in })rice though tliey are by 25 to 30 ])er cent. Woollen goods, and ii-oii and steel, are the largest items in her iin])ort list, cotton and 296 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION otluT iiiisccllaueoiis ^-uods follow, and made up a total vahu' in tlie year 1896 of $110,000,000 from all sources, against an ex])ort of $121,000,000. (iinada is not ereatlv indebted either to Great Britain or the United States, hence the fairly equal balance of her trade account. When the Grand Trunk Railway Company considers the time ripe to resume dividends to its shareholders, the farmers of the Dominion will have some new customers, and that should be an inducement for them to hasten it on. Canada maintains a strict customs federation between all its separate provinces, and in that respect is at total variance with the great territories of Australasia. On the Continent itself, there are five separate Governments, and each goes its own way, totally independent of, and indifferent to its neighbours. Western Australia, as the most pro- gressive just at present, owing to the recent dis- coveries of gold, has many wants to be supplied, and raises the means by a very general application of a stiff tariff. Butter pays 2d. per pound, cheese^ bacon, and hams 3d., hay 30s. per ton, wheat 6d, per bushel, tobacco 2s. to 3s. per pound, cigars 6s. ^ wines 6s. 6d. to 10s. per gallon, and spirits 16s. The rougher manufactured goods are admitted at 5 per cent, ad valorem, gradually mounting ta 20 per cent, as they approach or become luxuries. But most kinds of iron and steel, and imj^lements- and machinery, are wisely admitted free, and the FREE TRADE IN NEW SOUTH WALES 297 moment the Government of the colony can see its way to mitigate the full force of taxation, there are- a number of other things which should be trans- ferred to the same list. It is a tariff for revenue rather than protection, and a financial equilibrium is difficult to establish while a country is being- rushed. But to know what free trade really is, one must turn to the tariff of New South Wales. It contains just five items — spirits, wine, beer, tobacco and cigars, and opium — and few peojjle would suggest that one of them should be eliminated. The duties on alcohol are high, but not excessively so, on unmanufactured tobacco Is. per pound, and on cigars and cigarettes 6s., an example which the mother country might well follow. There are one or two other items the duties on which are not yet totally abolished, but on candles, oils, sugar, biscuits, and various other confections, are gradually reduced, until the last fraction disappears on the 1st July 1900. The only other instance of such simplicity within the British Empire, if not indeed in the whole civilised world, is the Straits Settlements, where duties are imposed on nothing but alcoholic liquors, and the bulk of the very moderate revenue required is raised from licences of various kinds. Singapore is the great clearing house between East and West, and its })rosperity is bound up in the clieaj) facilities it can afford to its transit trade. -qS imperial customs union Queensland has lately followed in the footsteps of New South Wales, but still at a very respectfid ilistance. By an Act passed as lately as the 5tli October 189C), a great sweep has been made from the dutiable to the free list, which now includes agricultural implements and machines, as well as machinery of almost every description, iron and steel manufactures, drugs and chemicals, and raw materials of various kinds. There does not remain a great deal after this, and the rates do not in many instances go beyond 15 per cent. Alco- holic liquors are an excejDtion, and unmanu- ftictured tobacco pays 2s. per pound, but 6s. for cigars. The least satisfactory feature is sugar at 5s. per cwt. on raw, and 6s. 8d. on refined, and this is protective, because Queens- land is a sugar-producing country. Tea and coffee at 4d. to 8d. per pound are less objectionable, but there are other comestibles which should receive the attention of the Colonial Legislature the moment there is a budget surplus to dispose of. After Canada, Victoria is the most persistently protective of the British colonies, for while New South Wales does not consider the items of its tariff worth numbering, the dutiable ones in that of its neighbour run up to 321. Nor are they by any means light. If free trade between the colonies should exist in anything, it surely ought to be in live animals, for which the market should be made THE TARIFF OF VICTORIA 299 enormous falling off in the shipments of wool and tallow, the two most important commodities of the country. These three products account for about £1,000,000 each, the remaining million being dis- tvibuted over the various commodities more or less dependent on the same climatic conditions. On the other hand, mining activity in Western Australia has made large demands upon British manufacturers for machinery, apparel, and the thousand other articles required by an almost entirely new country, and a few of the many millions sterling invested in this enterprise have been spent in this manner. And then, despite the unfavourable climatic influences, Australia is slowly recovering from the financial collapse of a few years ago, and filling ujj the gaps which are so apparent. Possibly she may go on increasing her imports from the United Kingdom, she will certainly at no distant date swell her exports thither. From Canada and British North America, imports increased by £3,040,000, and exports by only £100,000, Canada participating to the full in the active demand experienced for wheat, owing to the drought in Australia and the terrible visitation of famine in India, while she likewise increased her exports of dairy produce and timber. British India goes a long way towards making up the balance of enlarged exports, cotton yarns and piece goods alone being accountal)le for 304 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION £4,000,000 over 1895, thouo-h still £1,500,000 below 1894. Here again special circumstances were at work, and they were of a political nature. A British Government, in order to provide funds for the Indian exchequer, had, as we have seen, to impose a 5 per cent, duty, first on all commodities imported into India excludino- cotton goods, and finallv on cotton goods as well. But an important section of the Opposition stoutly resisted this, and when it was lifted into ofiice, and the leader of this particular movement appointed Secretary of State for India, Lancashire confidently anticipated the repeal of the duties, and held back shipments. But she soon found, that having by her votes helped to place the party of her special choice in power, it meant in its security to do little or nothing for her, and the retarded shipments of 1895 helped to swell the figures of 1896. And finally, despite the political unrest in South Africa, British possessions there absorbed goods to the value of £3,500,000 in excess of 1895, and paid for them in gold, the net import of the precious metal being £4,500,000 in excess of the previous year, owing to the demand for currency purposes having been satisfied. Some knowledge of the actual state of afiairs is necessary to enable us to appreciate the difficulties of the situation, and I have endeavoured thus briefly to supply it. These difficulties are enormously increased, the moment an attempt SCHEMES FOR CUSTOMS UNION 305 is made to mould so many discordant elements into a uniform system. The German Zollverein, or the Federated States of the United States Republic, have been frequently referred to as affording a basis for a similar union among the countries and territories constituting the British Empire, but these examples may be dismissed. The separate interests of the States may be no more identical than those of many of the British colonies, but they are at least geographically homogeneous, and there would be something inconsistent in adjoining- territories, living under the same political institu- tions and governed by the same laws, levying discriminating duties one against the other. Some- thing of the sort does exist, it is true, on the Australian continent, though for all practical purposes the different colonies are totally independent of one another, and only subject to a common sovereign rule. And there is even now a determined effort being put forth, which sooner or later is certain to lead to something practical, to draw more closely together, both in their political and economical relationships. Still, schemes have been propounded with the object of stimulating Imperial at the expense of what may be termed foreign trade. A few years ago a London financial journal made the very tempting offer of a thousand guineas for the best ])laii of a work- able customs union, and something like a hundrt^l and fifty were submitted for competition. Two 20 3o6 nf FERIAL CUSTOMS UNION eminent economists and politicians were appointed adjudicators, and eveiything possible was done to attract the attention of the commercial community, as well as all others interested in the question. It is not doint^ the proprietors of the journal any injustice, to say that the offer was made from a business not a philanthropic point of view, and was looked upon as an excellent advertisement. It would have proved so had any really practical suggestions been forthcoming, but the value set upon the actual result by the proprietors them- selves may be judged by the fact that no reference is ever made in the column of their paper to the selected essays or their writers, and the thousand guineas have no doubt long since been written off as an unrealisable asset. Still, journal, essayists, and adjudicators com- bined, did render a public service in demonstrating the utter impracticability of the idea. The pre- mium was divided, and the two successful com- petitors represented the opposing schools of thought — one being a colonial protectionist, the other an English free trader. The idea of the former was, of course, that Great Britain should impose duties on all foreign produce which could be raised in British possessions, and admit the colonial free ; the other that every colony should adopt free trade, and model its Budget on precisely the same lines as the mother country. Both arrived at some very extraordinary results. One, for instance, pro- PREFERENTIAL TREATMENT 307 posed to levy a tax on foreign wool which on the statistics used showed an import of £2,750,000, out of a total of £23,000,000, and w^ould have produced a revenue of £80,000, or about one- third of one per cent, ad valorem, for which all the costly machinery of custom houses and certificates of origin would have had to be introduced. Besides, London is the world's wool market, and fully half the import is re-exported to foreign countries after leaving substantial commissions to English mer- chants and brokers, and employing a considerable amount of labour. And this was to be imperilled, if not destroyed, ibr what ? — £80,000, minus the cost of collection, plus a grain of sentiment. The other would have compelled West Australia to raise its revenues from beer, spirits, tobacco, and a few comestibles, and make up any deficiency by a land aud income tax. Now" all the statesmanship of AVest Australian officials is at present being directed to encourage agriculture in the colony, as the popula- tion flocking in such numbers to the mining centres is constantly threatened with something approach- ing famine. Industry is not yet sufficiently developed to have created any desire for protection among the colonists themselves, even if eventually they lean in that direction, but responsible ministers do express a hope that the moderate duties levied on food, principally to obtain revenue, will stimulate home production as well, ;ind nndcr the circumstances even free traders ni.iv com- 3o8 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION placently wink the other eye. There is no question al)oiit tlie West Australian ao^riculturist being- able to make a living without any protection at all, only at present fortune tempts in other directions. To impose a tax on agriculture would be economical if not physical suicide. Any scheme of Customs Union in which Great Britain is expected to accord preferential treatment to the colonies, must necessarily include almost every food product now imported into the kingdom free. The total value of these in 1896 was £157,000,000, of which only some £23,000,000 came from British possessions, so that over 80 per cent, would have to be taxed, meaning a corre- sponding increase in price on all consumed, includ- ing what was produced at home. We might be inclined to lend a more willing ear to such a pro- posal, were the colonies able in case of need to supply the whole. Leaving out India, the produc- tion of w^hich we know is not capable of any sudden expansion, while we have just had the most lamentable evidence of the possibilities of con- traction, we find that the colonies contain a population of a little over twenty millions, of which between eleven and twelve are of European origin or descent. Is it conceivable that these twenty millions of people, allowing for natural increase and liberal immigration, will be able within any reason- able period to supply the 157 millions worth instead of the 23 as at present, without taking into- COLONIAL AND BRITISH AGRICULTURE 309 account the probable increasing requirements of the kingdom ? There is room for enormous expansion, but then Australia, where there is most, may, like India, fail us, as it has done for two successive years. And while the attempt w^as being made, w^e should gfive mortal offence to those countries which now supply us with the 134 millions, which in turn would forge every possible weapon of retaliation against our other industries. Possibly by the time our colonies were able to supply us with 157 millions worth of food products, they would find we did not require the half of them. Besides, if anyone is to be protected, surely the British agfriculturist has the first claim. He frequently pays a high rent, and has suffered grievously from the heavy fall in prices of recent years. True, the shilling duty on wheat asked for by the colonist would do him no good, but if granted he would hope later on to screw it up to five, ten, or even fifteen shillings, and what is more lie w^ould demand its imposition on Canadian as well as United States produce. If the day should ever unfortunately arrive when the fiscal policy so steadily pursued by Great Britain, and under which it has prospered so immensely, is reversed, it will l)e the landlords and the lioinc producei's who will fill their pockets first, tliongh tlicv may ])e knockiiit'' for adniissioii at the woi-klioiisc dooi- a few vears later. 3IO IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION Tho kaleidoscope, true to its nature, has how- ever recently presented us with an entirely changed aspect of the question. The Dominion of CVmada, from demanding concessions, has suddenly and voluntarily granted them. A Government steeped to the lips in protectionist doctrine has been swept away by a mighty wave of public opinion, and replaced by one pledged to free trade. Its advent to office was accompanied by circum- stances which made the pledges extremely difficult of fulfilment, inasmuch as Canada's great neighbour was on the eve of adding to the stringenc}^ of its tariff iri general, and of that portion of it applicable to the Dominion in particular. Suggestions that the time had arrived for freer commercial inter- course were roughly received, and almost rudely repulsed at Washington, and made concessions in that direction an impossibility. The Canadian Government conceived a way out of the difficulty, and executed it with a brilliancy that startled the world, creating at the same time a fresh supply of economic problems. Nothing leads to such prolonged and bitter wrangling as tariff reform, and heavily defeated though Canadian protectionists were, they might have been safely reckoned upon to give an excellent account of themselves on every separate proposal for reduction of duties. With the excep- tion of iron and steel, nothing of any importance in that direction was attempted, and even then THE CANADIAN PREFERENTIAL TARIFF 2>ii opposition was averted by an increase in the bounties on home production. But a far-reaching- change was effected by a single resolution, which affirmed — " That when the customs tariff of any country admits the products of Canada in terms which, on the whole, are as favourable to Canada as the terms of the reciprocal tariff' herein referred to are to the countries to which it may apply, articles which are the growth, produce, or manufac- ture of such country, when imported direct therefrom, may tlien be imported direct into Canada or taken out of ware- house for consumption therein, at the reduced rate of duty provided in the reciprocal tariff set forth in Schedule 1) : {a) " That any question that may arise as to the countries entitled to the benefits of the reciprocal tariff shall be decided by the Controller of Customs subject to the authority of the Governor in Council ; (6) " That the Controller of Customs may make such regulations as are necessary for carrying out the intention of the two preceding sections." Schedule D referred to, provides that from the 23rd April 1897 to 30th June 1898 a rebate of one-eighth, or 12|- per centum ad valorem, shall be allowed off ordinary tariff rates, and on and after 1st July 1898 one-fourth, or 25 per centum ad valoretjh, on all goods except ales, beers, wines and liquors, sugar, tobacco, cigars, and cigarettes. Thus a decided movement was made in the direction of free trade in the only way in whicli such a ste}) should l)e taken, iiamelv, moderate, gradual, and equal reduction in protective duties, which afford ample time to the protected industries to order their arraiiixements and avoid disaster. 312 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION Had this reduction lieen unconditional, every free trader A\ould have had occasion to throw his cap in the air, and rejoice over a great and bloodless victory. But conditions are attached which make it necessary to pause and consider. Canadian pro- tectionists may, and do, detest the measure, but dare not declaim too strono-lv ao-ainst it, lest by objecting to concessions to the mother country — for such this resolution really amounts to — their loyalty should be called in question. English protectionists welcome it, because, though no equivalent has been asked, or is at present expected, they foresee the day when hints will arrive that something of the kind will be appreciated, and if not promptly taken, unpleasantness if not estrangement may ensue. To avoid this some concessions may be made, and the jDrinciple of protection, disguised under a fair sounding title, established. There are consequently many pitfalls for free trade to avoid, all the more dangerous because dug by itself What then are the possible, not to say the likely consequences of this step ? Great Britain has everything to gain and nothing to lose, inasmuch as the reduction of \\L\ and eventually of 25 per cent, cannot operate against her trade and indus- tries. But on the other hand, no British free trader desires concessions from Canada which will tend to her financial or material disadvantag-e. Nothing is more calculated to loosen the ties of ANALYSIS OF CANADIAN TRADE 313 kinship or of friendship than a business arrange- ment in which one side gets the kernel and lets the other take the husk, and it is of much more interest to know how the arrangement will affect Canada, than what it will do for the United King- dom. The geographical situation of the Dominion favoin^s trade relationships with the United States. For the fiscal year ending 30th June 189G, the statistics were : — • Total. United Kingdom. United States. Imports for con- sumption, . $110,587,480 $32,979,742 .$58,574,024 Exports, . . 121,013,852 66,690 288 44,448,410 $231,601,332 $99,670,030 $103,022,434 The total trade with the two countries was thus apparently almost equal in volume, but statistics in this instance are more than usually unreliable. For several months of every year, St. Lawrence ports are closed to ocean traffic ; all the year round some of the most thickly-populated districts are more accessible to New York than Montreal. As a consequence, much Canadian trade with Europe i)asses in transit through the United States, and it is more than probable that ship- ments entered for them find their ultimate desti- nation in the United Kingdom, while goods entered fioiii them are of l>ritisli origin. No official care can well obviate mistakes of this sort, and as they all tell in the same direction we may fiiirly con- 314 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION chidt^ that the total trade with Great Britain is already in excess of that with the United States. But its distribution is most unequal. Canada imports much more than she exports across the border, and redresses the balance by reversing- the operation with the United Kingdom. What Canada and Great Britain alike aim at, is to transfer as much as possible of these imports from the United States to the mother country. The moment we begin to consider the question of competition, the figures must be cut down very materially, because of the $110,000,000 of imports — $43,000,000 were free goods, and would not be affected by any tariff arrangements, prefer- ential or otherwise. It is upon the $67,000,000 of dutiable goods only that Great Britain can hope to make an impression, while even from this, consider- able deductions must be made for suo-ar and other colonial produce, which she can never hope to supply. It is in fact only in the great realms of textiles and iron and steel, where a preferential tariff can exert any great influence. Again, we examine the returns for 1896, and analyse the origin of the textile imports : — Woollen Manufactures, Cotton Manufactures, Silk Manufactures, . Flax, Hemp, and Jute Manufactures, Total. From Great Britain. From all other Countries. . §8,670,691 . 4,631,960 . 2,557,318 §6,930,350 3,357,293 1,896,893 $1,740,341 1.274,667 660,425 1,523,576 1,414,221 109,355 .$17,383,545 §13,598,757 §3.784,788 PROSPECTS OF TRANSFER 315 This class therefore constitutes more than one- fourth of the entire dutiable import, and Great Britain already monopolises 80 per cent, of it. Only in cotton goods do the United States claim any important share, and under this heading about $1,000,000 fall to them. Of the foreign Avoollens, about $600,000 were of French manufacture. Canada is particularly anxious to encourage friendly commercial relations with France, and can hardly desire therefore to eliminate this par- ticular item. It is not in textiles that any great advantage can accrue to British trade. Iron and steel however have a totally different story to tell, and of imports valued at $8,463,747 Great Britain only supplied $2,352,581, most of the remaining $6,111,166 falling to the United States. Undoubtedly a preferential rate of 25, if not of 12|- per cent., will transfer much of this trade to the United Kingdom, to the loss of American manufacturers. Of the more important of the minor articles, foreign countries, again principally the United States, supplied leather to the value of $1,150,000, out of a total of $1,250,000, but this is a trade England can hardly expect to win. Foreign drugs and chemicals were responsible for $1,000,000 out of $1,250,000; glass, $900,000 out of $1 ,1()0,0()() ; paper, $750,000 out of $1,000,000; and gloves $380,000 out of $650,000. On the other hnnd. Great Britain supplied $800,000 out of a total uf 3i6 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION 81,250,000 for hats, caps, and l)()iiiiets ; and nearly $400,000 out of $550,000 earthenware and pottery. Iron and steel therefore remains the one imjjortant item which can be transferred to British trade returns, and another £1,000,000 might be added to the existing exports of nearly £50,000,000. Were we to increase this to the extent of another £1,500,000 for other goods, Ave should still have but £2,500,000 additional, as the direct result of the preferential tariff — a w^elcome, but of a total of £240,000,000 by no means an extravagant, con- tribution to the export business of the country. Canada will in one respect benefit even more than Great Britain, inasmuch as she will obtain some twenty-five million dollars worth of goods first \1\ and then 25 per cent, cheaper than formerly, but then the benefit would have been still greater had the reduction been extended to all countries alike. The Dominion has now an opportunity such as has never before been offered it, and may never occur again. For four years at least the cost of production in the United States will be enormously increased, and one of the first, as well as the principal industry to suffer will be agriculture. It Canada will reduce the cost of livino- within its o borders to a minimum, no preferential tariff will be needed to ensure its produce a profitable market in the United Kingdom, for that of its neighbour will be unable to compete against it. We have only to glance for a moment at the 16 24 10 rr / 10 100 CANADIAN EXPANSION 317 nature of the exports, to convince us as to what the Dominion is best fitted for. In 1895-96 — Animals and Dairy Products constituted 33 per cent, of the exports. Agricultural products „ Timber and other Forest products ,, Fisheries „ Coal and other Minerals „ ^lanufactures and Miscellaneous ,, It is the land and the water, of which Canada possesses a boundless supply, whe'rein lies her w^ealth, and it is to the industries connected with them that every energy should be devoted. The possibilities of expansion can hardly be exaggerated. The provinces of Ontario and Quebec contain 450,000 square miles, and the population, according to the census of 1891, was under 3,300,000. Eight States bordering on these two provinces, enjoying very similar climatic and other natural conditions, contain 330,000 square miles. Their only city of first-class importance is New York ; and eliminating its population entirely, they had in 1890 over 14,500,000 inhabitants. Pennsylvania with its 45,000 square miles and 5,250,000 in- habitants might be added, were we only certain that any part of the Dominion provinces contained its mineral wealth. What an attraction cheap markets would be to these twenty or twenty-five millions of })eople, many of whom would find it animally wortli their while to cross the frontier, in order to avail themselves of the privilege of the free 3iS IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION import of 8100 worth of personal effects, were con- venient stores provided for their sale. Nor w^ould it stop there, for United States citizens, experiencing the advantages, and witnessing the prosperity of their neighbours, would migrate permanently, and within a decade the populations, now as four or five to one, might be fairly equalised. Why therefore should Canada not avail herself of the cheapest instruments of production obtain- able ? If the United States can go on supplying agricultural implements and tools at lower prices than any other country, why refuse them ? With a population advancing by leaps and bounds. Great Britain will increase her trade with the Dominion by thousands, where, under a merely preferential tariif, she will experience difiiculty in adding hundreds. The prosperity of the colony is the first and should be the sole desire of the mother country, if from no hio-her motive than that she will herself participate in it. We have seen that of the total foreig-n trade of Canada in 1895-96, amounting to a little over $230,000,000, less than the odd 830,000,000 was with countries other than the United Kino^dom and the United States. Nevertheless, with two of these countries serious difliculties threatened to arise, owing to the existence of certain commercial treaties. Germany and Belgium were each accorded the same trading privileges with British colonies as were enjoyed by Great Britain herself, and their THE CONTINENTAL TREATIES 319 nature is best explained by the clause of the Belgian treaty. " Articles, the produce or manufacture of Belgium, shall not be subject in the Britisli colonies to other or higher duties than those which are or may be imposed upon similar articles of British origin." The clause in the German treaty, though some- what differently worded, has precisely the same meaning and effect. When these treaties were concluded more than thirty years ago, it was not foreseen that British colonies would ever desire to discriminate in their tariffs ; it was indeed rather hoped that they would adopt those free trade principles, which would render discrimination obsolete, if not ridiculous. That we know has not happened, and in so far as they are incomjjatible with the full freedom of colonial legislatures, they are utterly indefensible, and not to be longer tolerated when a serious demand was made for their abrogation. Whether British trade with these two countries is one half, or five times as great as with the colonies, is of no consequence ; if the principle be wrong, they cannot be maintained. But whether the method adopted of abrogating or "denouncing" them was the right one, is alto- gether another question. The conferences between the Colonial Office and the Colonial Premiers, at which this course was unanimously decided upon, only came to a conclusion early in July, and notice 320 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION to terminate the treaties had to be given on the 30th of that month. It is obvious that there could be no time for serious negotiation with the governments concerned, unless another twelve months were allowed to lapse. To have secured the elimination of the objectionable clauses, while allowinof the rest of the treaties to stand, would have been a real diplomatic triumph, which would possibly have been denied to Great Britain by Ger- many at least, though her own statesmen would be the last to tolerate them, if not the first to admit their inconsistency. But the British Government apparently preferred a display of fireworks to the exercise of a little statesmanship, and if any sparks fall into the powder magazine, the consequences may be serious. On the other hand, a delay of twelve months would have been of small consequence. As far as Canada is concerned, the trade with Germany is but small, and with Belgium utterly insignificant. The imports from the former country in 1895-96 were a little under 86,000,000, and the exports but 8750,000, a balance on the wrong side of the account, as far as Canada is concerned, of over $5,000,000. From Belgium the imports were $920,000, more than double those of the previous year however, and the exports 8100,000, or less than half. Canada consequently has nothing to lose by the denunciation, but with the entire British possessions COLONIAL TRADE WITH GERMANY 321 it is different. German returns for 1895 show exports to them of £5,000,000, but imports from them of £16,000,000, so that while Canada stands to gain £1,000,000. her partners in the empire stand to lose £12,000,000. True, a great deal of the import is raw material — cotton and jute from India, wool and tallow from Australia, which Germany wishes to buy in the cheapest market. I have shown in a previous chapter that Germany does not hesitate to retaliate and strike hard, even though it be to her own injury, so that including the £34,000,000 of direct exports from the United Kingdom, £50,000,000 of British trade is imperilled. German manufacturers and German merchants may cry aloud against a tariff war, but they may also cry in vain, if German agrarians, who hate them quite as much as their British rivals, have any say in the matter. Had every persuasive effort failed, had Germany turned a deaf ear to all argument, and insisted on the whole treaty or none at all, then the course would have been clear. But that all this sliould have taken place within a fortnight or three weeks is scarcely credible. This is hardly the place to raise an important constitutional question, but as it so closely affects the commercial and inchistriai welfare of the kint>- (loiii, I cannot forbear. Up to tlie very eve of the denunciation of these treaties, it was generally believed tliat no action 21 322 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION would be taken for another twelve months, and the first intimation that anything had occurred came from Berlin. No doubt the denunciation of a treaty forms part of the royal prerogative, and may be exercised at the discretion of the responsible advisers of the Crown. But with Parliament in full session, and every facility for discussing pro- posals submitted to it, should a decision of such moment be arrived at without consulting it, especially on a point not of high politics, but affecting the bread and butter of every constituent of every elected representative ? Party ties may be strong enough to confirm an unwise action when challenged by the Opposition, where they would have been proof against all cajolery to take a false step. We may well mourn the decadence of Parliamentary institutions, when the British House of Commons is not considered worthy of consultation on a matter of such supreme interest to its members. The position of the Australian continent does not unduly favour trade with one country more than another, and the consequence is, that by far the largest part of its over-sea commerce is with Great Britain. But the continent Is parcelled out into five separate divisions or colonies, and each includes the dealings with the others in the returns of foreign trade. Out of total imports In 1895 of £43,000,000 ' this local movement was responsible for no less 1 These figures include gold and silver bullion, which is as much a part of the industry of Australasia as of South Africa. AUSTRALASIAN FOREIGN TRADE 323 than £21,000,000, and of the total export of £54,000,000 for about the same figure, as it was naturally only an interchange, and any difference would be one of valuation merely. Of actual foreign commerce, the figures were — United Kingdom. British Possessions. Foreign Countries. Imports, £16,300,000 £1,700,000 £4,000,000 Exports, 2:5,500,000 2,000,000 7,000,000 The total trade of Tasmania, generally included in the Australian continent, thouo-h not an inteo-ral part of it, is some £2,500,000, but most of it is with Victoria and New South Wales, only about £500,000 being done direct with the United King- dom. On the other hand, the distance of New Zealand from the mainland draws its relationships closer to the mother country. Of the total imports of £6,400,000,' £4,000,000 w^ere from the United Kingdom, and only £1,280,000 from Aus- tralia, the remainder being divided between British possessions and the United States. Of the exports of £8,500,000, £7,000,000 were directed to the United Kingdom, and £1,000,000 to Australia. We see at a glance therefore how comparatively little Great Britain stands to gain by preferential trading with tlie Australasian colonies, ;m(l liow much Australasia stands to lose, inasmuch as while its imports from foreign countries amount to £4,000,000, exports tliitlier are £7,000,000, much ^ Most of tlio trade of tlic Fijian Ihlaiid.s i.s done with New Zealand. 324 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION of which would certainly be jeopardised, and most probably destroyed, under a tariff war, while in addition Australasian })roduce in Great Britain would suffer equally from the boycott of British. Especially is this the case with New South Wales, whose foreign imports were £1,650,000, against exports £4,600,000. Germany and Belgium shij^ped £425,000 and £150,000 of the imports, and took £1,150,000 and £780,000 of the exports. We are thus able to appreciate the magnanimity of the Premier of that colony in joining the others in their demand for the abroofation of the continental treaties. Yet a great deal can be done to stimulate Australasian trade, both internal and external, and if the former assumes such large proportions under the existing restrictions, what possibilities there are were they removed. It is too much to expect that while the colonies remain separate they will adopt the liberal tariff of New South Wales ; for one or two of them it would perhaps be false economy. But at least a step in the right direction would be to abolish all duties on agricultural products raised in any part of the continent, and leave its move- ment free from one end to the other. Victoria would be better, not worse off, were her farmers enabled to purchase their cattle and sheep in New South Wales or South Australia, if they so desired, without having to pay the obnoxious duty of 30s. and 2s. per head respectively, and her people would often be better and more cheaply fed were there no AUSTRALASIAN INDEBTEDNESS 325 duty of 3s. per cental on breadstuffs. Let her, if she pleases, j-etain the tariff on manufactures for the present ; increased prosperity for agriculture will eventually prove the best weapon with which to strike off the remaining shackles. This can be accomplished without absolute federation, indeed one of the obstacles to this desirable end is the antagonism of fiscal policy. There are political difficulties, I am well aware, but with these I have nothing to do here, though I do not for a moment believe they would be allowed to stand in the ^vay were the question ripe for settle- ment. Several unsuccessful attempts have already been made, and it does not at present appear as though the conference held in Adelaide in March and April 1897, and adjourned to meet in Sydney in September, will end in much better result. Possibly too much is being attempted at once, and were the journey made by slow and easy stages the goal would be reached much quicker. I have suggested one stage of that journey, there is another for wliich the road is clear. It has long been a sore point with colonial statesmen and economists, that tlie loans of their respective colonies should be excluded from the advantages conferred ])y tlie Trustee Acts of the United Kingdom. No Bi-itisli financier has hitherto seen liis way to adinil iliciii witliiii tlu; sacred pale, and there have been good reasons for it. Not even the Australian colonics all stand on tlio same foot- 326 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION ing, yet it would be impossible to accord one the privilege, and ignore the others. One or two have been somewhat reckless in their borrowing, and though they surmounted the crisis of a few years ago, and are all the stronger for it, their financial position still excites some little amount of distrust. The present state of Australasian finances we will best gather from the following statistics ^ : — Public Debt, Debt per Spent on pro- Revenue from pv,„_™p 31st December head of ductive productive f n >>i- 1895. Population. Works. Works. '""^ "^"^' New South Wales, £62,263,473 £48.5/6 £48,525,410 £1,522,063 £2,318,392 Victoria, . . 46,939,328 39.15/6 43,860,479 1,229,620 1,884,812 Queensland, . . 31,873,934 69.4/2 19,982,863 506,673 1,222,509 South Australia, . 21,770,456 62.18/5 17,303,184 484,354 883,981 West Australia, . 4,736,572 38.17/1' 3,860,537 ^'o particulars. 194,623 £167,583,763 £133,532,473 £3,742,710 £6,504,317 Tasmania, . . 7,779,145 49.8/- 3.807,413 18,127 332,197 New Zealand, . 42,271,888 60.2/4 >'o particulars. Xoparticulars.1,738,056 £217,634,796 £137,339,886 £3,760,837 £8,574.570 There is thus apparently a wide difference between the financial position of Victoria, and Bay Queensland or New Zealand, but the indebtedness per head is not always the exact measure of it. There are local as well as national loans, and local and national interests in the various colonies are not always upon identical lines. Queensland, for instance, has borrowed for the purpose of lending to municipalities, which have thus secured better terms, while making the finances of the colony appear more adverse than any of the others. New Zealand has admittedly played in the past the part of the prodigal son, but even she has stood the ^ Extracted from Burdett's OflBcial Intelligence for 1897. DEBT CONSOLIDATION 327 strain. Much of her debt has likewise been spent on remunerative pubHc works, so that the total revenue from this source may be set down as at least £4,500,000 per annum. Whatever credit the separate loans may enjoy, there can be little doubt that were they con- solidated and guaranteed, jointly and severally, by the seven colonies concerned, the £220,000,000 would rank with the hio-hest securities in the o British Empire, and therefore in the world. Their combined revenues, apart from the return on public works, are much more than equal to the £4,000,000 required, but then under present circumstances such joint guarantee would entail greater risks on one colony than another, which it is by no means called upon to incur. No British Government, or Chancellor of the Exchequer, would need to hesitate for a moment abgut conferring the advantages of a trustee stock upon such a consolidated security. Again let us see what such advantages would amount to. The market prices and interest yield of some of the principal colonial stocks are as follows : — New Soutli "Wales, Do. per cent. > Market Price. ni KIL' Yield. 3J^ per cent Victoria, H » los ■'4 " Queensland, . H > I ox ■>k .. South Australia, . ■ H >y i 1 1 H „ West Australia, . 4 J 111 '' H " New Zealand, :U ^ U)Hh ■>\ „ Do. . •> .» J looS 328 IMPERIAL CUSTO.}rS UNION The hitrher yield of the 3|- per cent, stocks is chie, it must be remembered, to the fact that they are redeemable at par at various times, ranging from ten to thirty years hence, and the market premium will consequently gradually disappear at the cost of the investor. An Australian 3 per cent, stock is valued in the market at about par, con- sequently the yield expected Iw the investor is just 3 per cent. Let us turn now for a moment to the values and yields of securities recognised by the Trustee Act. Market Price. Yield. Consols 2f per cent. 11;^. 1^ per cent' Do 21 105| 9 3 -8 » Lancashire and Yorkshire Eailway Debentures . .) „ 118 01 — 2 ,, London and North-Western Kailway Debentures . b „ 119 91 „ Midland Do. .1 119 21 „ Do. Preference 4 150 9 5 -8 )>• Great Northern Do. 4 150 9 5 -8 )> Xortli-Eastern Do. ^ 150 9 5 -8 )' There is no reason whatever why a colonial trust security should not rank at least as high as a British Railway preference stock, that is, a 3 per cent. loan should be worth 113 to 115, instead of as at present par. To grant £220,000,000 of colonial loans this privilege, would mean presenting a bonus of some £30,000,000 to the present holders, which they have certainly done nothing to merit. The benefit. ACCRUING ADVANTAGES 329 or at least the greater part of it, should accrue to the colonies themselves, and this is quite practicable. The first step necessary is the inclusion of such a consolidated loan under the Trustee Act. The next is for the Commission appointed by the colonies for the purpose, to offer to inscribe all existing loans upon the consolidated fund, on pay- ment of say 10 per cent., leaving 5 per cent, to the holder, of which he would naturally desire to avail himself^ A reserve fund of upwards of £20,000,000 would thus be formed, which might be invested in approved British securities — not colonial ones — and the interest applied towards that of the consoli- dated debt, while the principal of the fund would become available in the unlikely event of any of the colonies defaulting. Nor would the advantages be limited only to the present, as all future issues of stock would be on so much better terms. No such issue could take place without the unanimous consent of tlie seven colonies, and no such consent would be likely, unless the proposed application of the money com- mended itself to them. On the other hand, there would be no captious refusals, because the weapon of retaliation would stare the objector in the face. Joint control of the finances would necessitate some joint coiiti'ol of tln^ railways ;iii(l oilier |>iil)lic works, frr>m wliicli so much of the reveiuie is ' Some allo\van«!S iiiiglit be necessary on stocks approaching maturity. Though the scheme may not be quite so simple as I have made it appear for tlie sake of clearness, it is quite practicable. 330 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION derived, and all l)etty jealousies and attempts to favour one at the expense of another would naturally if not necessarily cease. Drawn to- gether by such common interests, the advantages of still closer union would become more and more obvious, and the day hastened when Australasia will present as united a front to the world as the Dominion of Canada. India loans enjoying the virtual, if not the actual guarantee of the British Government, are already under the Act. Canada with her in- debtedness of little over £10 per head, but with of course smaller assets to show for it, would be entitled to full and free admission, and might like- wise make terms with her creditors for the con- cession. South Africa would need to consolidate on similar lines to Australasia, while the case of the Crown colonies would demand separate considera- tion, and possibly more liberal treatment by the mother country. But after all is said and done, and every plan for the future threshed out, are not the forces still at work which have made the colonies so prosper- ous, and drawn them so closely to the mother country ? There are advantag-es in trade between them not enjoyed by foreign nations, and worth infinitely more than a shilling a quarter on wheat, or half-a-crown a hundredweight on butter and cheese. The fact that the g-reatest commercial houses engaged in the business are identical at both TRUE IMPERIAL FEDERATION 331 ends, is one the value of which cannot M-ell be overestimated. Everybody knows that in these days when profits on large transactions are often cut to the barest commission, an order carelessly executed means loss. A foreign house of the very highest standing will often strain a point to put one through, and if the market should happen subsequently to go against tlie buyer, there are endless complaints and reclamations which the seller will not entertain, because they involve more than his entire profit on the transaction. Such disputes are almost impossible between great colonial or Anglo-Indian firms, though there must frequently be mistakes and severe criticism. But the interests of the traders are identical, or vary very slightly ; what is loss to the one is loss to the other, doubtful engagements are avoided, and a more scrupulous care taken in those that are entered into. What does it matter if a profit is made in Bombay, or Montreal, or Melbourne, if it is to be dropped again in London or Liverpool, or Glasgow ? But a profit in New York or Buenos Ay res is a profit, however the venture may turn out at its port of destination. No more striking instance of this can be afforded than by the tea trade. The present generation has witnessed its transfer from China to Lidia, and various are the conjectures put forward to account for this revolution. The quality is more suited to the English taste, the markets are nearer, and S^2 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION many others. — but is not the principal one, that Chinese traders are notoriously dishonest, and that no Englishman has ever yet fathomed all then* tricks, while an importer of the Indian growth receives it from his own firm or agent abroad whom he can absolutely trust ? What is the use of seeing 10 per cent, profit on paper, and finding 20 per cent, of rubbish at the bottom of each chest, when there is a certain 2^ per cent, to be made elsewhere ? And while the average American or European trader is not to be mentioned in the same breath as a Chinese, there are plenty of rogues among them, while even the most honest have to study their own interests first. The instances could be multiplied indefinitely, but so long as the close relationshijD referred to continues, so long will colonial produce enjoy an important advantage over that shipped from foreign countries. The best imperial federation that we can have for the present is an unwritten one. Common race, common speech, common religion, are the strongest ties ever created, provided they remain elas'tic. Once destroy that elasticity, and they are as useless as the common band of everyday use would be under similar circumstances. It will be an evil day for the colonies when Great Britain ceases to be the greatest and cheapest producer in the world, and that position can only be maintained by keeping the cost of living down to the lowest point experienced in any civilised country. The PHCENICIAN AND GREEK COLONIES m moment that advantage is lost, she parts with the whip handle, and gets the lash about her shoulders instead. The same free trade policy which suits Great Britain so admirably, would equally suit the genius of her colonial subjects, but she has no intention of forcing it down their throats. When they adopt it, it must be by persuasion, not by menace, and because they are convinced it will be for their own best interests. But so long as they attempt to exclude British manufactures, they must not be surprised at British manufacturers seeking markets elsewhere ; and as trade is after all only barter, with money as counters, some sort of produce will be sent in payment which may com- pete with that of colonial growth. The real way to encouraere trade is to remove existino- obstacles, not to erect new ones, and in that respect the initiative lies with the colonies and not Great Britain, Classical allusions are not always particularly appropriate to modern conditions. But it so happens that 2500 to 3000 years ago, two nations were busy colonising. Phoenicia sent fortli mer- chants and ships to ti'ade with the uttennost parts of the then known world, and true to the Semitic instincts of the people, established settlements only where profitable bargains were to be coiichidcd. The colonies were mere outposts, until political revolution led to the foundation of Cartliatre, destined in time to utterly eclipse the mother country, for which it never showed any sympathy. 334 IMPERIAL CUSTOMS UNION Trade and comnierce, with their attendant money- makino- and hixiiry, were the sole objects of existence, and neither Phoenicia nor Carthage have earned any gratitude from posterity, nor erected any permanent landmarks of civilisation. Greece at the same time was bursting the bounds of her confined area, and seeking breathing space across the sea. The greater Greece in Italy and Sicily grew up and prospered, free from all political dependence, until Sybaris and Croton, Syracuse and Agrigentum, completely overshadowed Athens and Sparta, Thebes and Chalcis. The western cities were Greek in origin, Greek in language, Greek in religion, and Greek in sentiment, and the very factions which rent the ^Egean peninsula were faithfully reproduced in the Italian. Two confederations stand out prominently in Greek history. The Amphictyonic Council pledged the several states to mutual defence and mutual assistance. Yet what did it ever accomplish ? During its existence, the Persian army under Xerxes invaded Greece and laid Athens in ruins. Even the glorious day of Marathon was won while Sparta celebrated religious festivities, and would move neither hand nor foot to assist her neighbour. The final triumph of Salamis was achieved, mainly because the Spartan ships w^ere so hemmed in by the enemy, that they could not escape without fighting beside their Athenian allies. The confederation of Delos placed Athens at its THE INVISIBLE BOXD OF UNION 335 head. Under it that city rose to the supreme height of her grandeur, and but for it the Golden Age of Pericles might never have been experienced. But internal jealousies within, and active hostility without, eventually brought about its destruction, and with it, the final overthrow of the Athenian democracy, and the almost total disappearance of liberty for well nigh two thousand years. The colonies were never drawn into either, and consequently took no part in the strife of the mother country. Then it was martial, to-day it is political and economical. Yet when Greece was hard pressed by the Persians, or Sicily by the Carthagenians, each was ready to fly to the other's aid, without written or verbal compact, and the bond of sympathy was never wholly broken until the all-pervading power of Rome absorbed both into its system. Which stood the strain the best, the Amphictyonic Council, the Confederation of Delos, or the invisible thread which bound Greece to her colonies ? CHAPTER X. The Balance of Trade. Mistaken Notions concerning it — The United Kingdom Balance of Trade — How it is made up — Influences affecting it — Its Fluctua- tions — The Meaning of them — Remedies when unfavourable — The United States Balance of Trade — Wild Fluctuations — Their Principal Cause — The French Balance of Trade — Its Dependence on the Wheat Crop — The German Balance of Trade — Influences affecting it same as in United Kingdom — Trade Fluctuations in the Argentine Republic — Trade Movements in Japan — Unrelia- bility of some Trade Statistics — How Balances are Settled — Gold Movements — The Balance of Trade in South Africa — Why Great Britain imports so largely from France — The Importance of the Question. There is no more favourite method in the popular mind of gauging the prosperity or otherwise of any particular country, than by striking a balance between its imports and exports, and there are few more fallacious ones. The contradictory results sometimes arrived at stagger thinking jDeople, who are unable at the moment to assign any sufficient cause for what may look extraordinary, and possibly even appalling figures. There is a party in the United Kingdom always pointing to the enormous excess in the value of imports over exports, and claiming that the country is being ruined, because it is every year spending so much more than it receives. TRADE OF THE UNITED KINGDOM 337 On the other hand there is another party, equally emphatic about the immense advantage this affords, and the proof it gives of the great wealth of the nation, which has so large an annual tribute to draw from foreign sources. Again, we hear of much national rejoicing in the United States when exports greatly exceed imports, and because 1896 was in this respect a record year the utmost confidence was expressed that the economic crisis was past, and that trade and industry were (m the eve, if indeed the morning had not already arrived, of a great revival. Some explanation is necessary why one country waxes enthusiastic over an enormous balance of trade in one direction, and another over a similar balance in quite the opposite one. The fact is, the figures themselves prove nothing, unless taken in conjunction with the circumstances which o-ive rise to them. The foreign trade of the United Kingdom is the greatest of any in the world, and the balance of it, adverse or favourable, from whichever ])oint it is regarded, is likewise the largest, except possibly in some altogether exceptional year. We cannot do better therefore than enquire into tiie origin of this, and detail the items which go to make it u]). Witli those who favour a bis: rather than a little balance, it is a general argument that it shows the extent of foreio^n indebtedness foi- interest and freights, and tliat the larger thi; balance is, the greater must this indebtedness be. 22 338 THE BALANCE OF TRADE But thoiigh the Avoild does owe Great Britain a very important sum every year on these two accounts, it is certainly nothing Hke what the excess of imports over exports has been of late, and we must go further afield for an explanation. Appealing once more to the income tax returns, we get an idea of the amomit due for interest by foreign countries. Under various headings, this reaches about £55,000,000, and has not greatly varied for some years in amount, though it has in distribution. But as the balance of trade for 1896 was £145,500,000, this £55,000,000 goes a very little way towards accounting for it. We may concede that the sum is too small, and does not represent actual foreign indebtedness in this respect. There is a fair amount of domestic income which escapes the net of the Income Tax Com- missioners, fine though its meshes are, and it must be much more easy to evade it when income is derived from foreign sources. True, most of it is received in coupons, or in the dividend warrants of corporations domiciled or banked in Great Britain, and the tax is secured at first hand, but a good deal comes into the country by remittance in drafts or commodities, and payment on these is not so readily assured. But if we make a very considerable allowance, and say that one-half the recent balances of trade are accounted for in this way, we have still a formidable sum left to deal with. FREIGHTS 339 The amount due for freight is not of so much importance as is often supposed, and it is utterly impossible to ascertain what it really is. The largest freights earned by British shipowners are on homeward cargoes, and these must be considered as paid by the British consumer, except in the important item of foreign goods re-exported, the value of which in 1896 was £56,500,000, and the year previous had been £60,000,000. But then not all the imports are in British ships. Twenty- five per cent, of the trade is done by foreign vessels, and the net freights they earn must usually be remitted to their owners abroad. Not always though, because there are many vessels sailing under foreign flags which are British owned. Trade with Sj)ain, for instance, can only be carried on, except under great disadvantages, by Spanish vessels, but much if not most of the capital sunk in them is owned in England, and the freights consequently remain in the country. But if inward freights are paid by home con- sumers, outward ones are of course equally paid by foreigners, and three-fourths of them will have to be remitted to this country, the remaining fourth, or whatever it amounts to, remaining in foreign hands. Outward freights however are of very much less magnitude. We liave seen in a previous chapter, that of some 52,000,000 tons cleared from the ports of the United Kingdom, 45,000,000 consisted of coal, .ind 340 THE BALANCE OF TRADE tills will not bear a very liii-h freisfht, indeed it is often carried for little more than ballast rates, and the 35,000,000 tons destined for foreign ports earn probably not more than live to ten shillings per ton on an average. The remaining seven or eight million tons cannot represent a very high fiofure, even when rates are satisfactory. A con- siderable j^i'oportion is line case and bale goods, and does pay stiff freights on regular routes, where competition is guarded against by combinations of "liners," but when we have taken credit for everything, we are still a far cry from the £70,000,000 or £80,000,000 M^e want. There is another source of freight -reA'enue, namelv that from British vessels tradino^ exclusively between foreign ports. That cannot be very gi'eat, because all expenses connected with loading and discharge are incurred and paid at foreign ports ; the seamen's wages are often spent in them, and there is little more to remit home than the net profit of the voyage, not a very killing sum in these days. As freights are so constantly varying in all parts of the world, the difliculty of making even an intelligent gTiess at the result we are aimino- at must be evident. There is one important item of indebtedness to Great Britain which is invariabh' overlooked, probably because the aggregate is made up of small sums. The city of London is the banking house of the w^orld, and few people realise what BANKERS' PROFITS 341 that means. We know bankers' profits are con- siderable, and joint stock institutions throughout the country earn and divide substantial dividends among their shareholders. But there are large concerns in London, both public and private, some of the latter among the wealthiest firms in the world, which confine their attention almost ex- clusively to foreign customers, who, needless to say, have to pay, and sometimes stiffly, for the accommodation afforded. Now and again a big profit is earned in this way, but as a rule they are made in comparatively trifling amounts. A foreign banking or mercantile firm may desire credit in London, or in some part of the world where London can easily grant it, for say £50,000. The security is unexceptionable, and the request is granted for a remuneration of perhaps no more than a quarter of one per cent. That is only £125, and counts for little. But the bills of exchange fall due, and require renewal. That means another £125, and this may be repeated several times before the transaction Is finally liquidated. We can form some little idea of tlie maofnitude of the financial business of London from the returns made by its clearing house. In 1896, the turnover reached the gigantic sum of £7,574,833,000. Li tlie same year the Manchester clearing house dealt witli £193,573,500, and Liverpool will. £i2(),40G,0()(), or about two and a half and one and a half per cent, respectively. As purely connnercial cities, Man- :,42 THE BALANCE OF TRADE Chester and LiverjxH)! laiik little if anything behind London, so that upwards of ninety-five per cent, of the London business must be financial. Of course there is much " clearing " done for the provinces, but that is every year becoming less, as provincial systems are inaugurated and perfected. Part of it again is Stock Exchange business, but some of that is for foreign account. A small fraction of one per cent, on this turnover represents many millions sterling, and some of them have to be paid by remittances from foreign countries, which usually come in the end in produce or commodities. And lastly, there exists a strong tendency to undervalue British exports, due principally to protection abroad, particularly when it is on an ad valorem basis. Foreign customs authorities frequently require a consular invoice, certified by shippers, of the value of goods on which they may base the duties, and consignees, it may be sure, demand that they shall be made out at the lowest possible prices. The value of British exports to Great Britain is the sum charged for them up to the moment they are stowed in the ship's hold, but declarations often a'o no further than their value at the works, possibly without either j^rofit or commission. In order that no questions may subsequently be raised, exporters make their declarations of value which go before the Board of Trade tally with those they have made in consular documents, whereas the cost may be increased by FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS TO GT. BRITAIN 343 railway carriages and handling expenses, by live or ten per cent., before they have left port. The Board of Trade exercises an independent and intelligent judgment in dealing with exporters' declarations, but how are they to know whether a a case of goods is worth £15 or £20, when the value of such goods varies from a few pence to a few shillings per pound or per yard? Some, perhaps many millions sterling, must undoubtedly be added to the value of British exports on this ground alone. We see therefore that in the natural order of events, foreign countries have each year to pay Oreat Britain for interest on money they have borrowed, for freights on goods they receive, and for commissions on financial accommodation they avail themselves of There are other claims of a more or less indefinite and fluctuating character. For instance foreigners, especially United States citizens, spend large sums of money on ]ioliday jaunts in Europe, and particularly in England, but against this must l)e set the amount spent by Englishmen abroad, though not largely in the United States. Addino^ these to tlie under- valuation of exports, we shall arrive at a figure, certainly exceeding £100,000,000, but how luuch there is no menus of estimating. Excii now we have not by any means exhausted the influences at work in bm'lding u]) the United Kingdom ]).Ml;nice of trade. 344 THE BALANCE OF TRADE A iiati(Hi wliicli lias siicli an imniense stake in foi'eiiiii countries does not allow it to remain stationary. It is always addino- here and diminish- ing there, either by lending, withdrawing, or transferring, and the movement at some period or other reflects itself in the trade returns of the kingdom. If money is being freely lent abroad, it is not usually sent out in gold or silver, but generally in some sort of manufactured or other commodities, of which the borrowing country stands in need. Similarly when loans are repaid or called in, they are not remitted in bullion, but in joroduce, and not necessarily in the produce of, or direct from the country principally concerned in the transaction. The balance of trade therefore is made up quite as much by movements of capital, as by receipt or expenditure of income. At one time we find British investors placing their money in foreign loans and undertakings of all kinds, and exports are in consequence materially swollen. Then defaults are made, and there is a suspension of a portion or perhaps the whole of the interest. That would tend to reduce imports, but confidence has been lost, and determined efforts are made to get hold of whatever j)ortion of the capital is left. Instead of drawing five per cent, of the amount invested in any one year as in- terest, 25 or even 50 per cent, of the capital may be withdrawn instead, and require remittance, and temporarily swell imports instead of reducing them. ADVERSE BALANCES 345 There has been a conspicuous example of this during the last few years in the great realisation of United States securities in consequence of the gloomy financial and economical outlook in that country, and thougfh much P'old has had to be sent, by far the greater part of the liquidation has been effected in produce, stimulating the exports of one country, and increasing the imports of others. While it is absurd on the one hand to contend that Great Britain is being ruined by her excessive imjDorts, it is false logic on the other to regard with equanimity the continued growth of the balance between imports and exports. It does not represent increased income, but rather diminished interest in foreign enterprise, and consequently the limitation of industrial expansion. That may be wise or it may be foolish according to circumstances, but there is always a tendency to go to extremes in either direction. Because some foreign invest- ments have turned oiit badly, is no reason to regard all of whatever nature with suspicion, and because others are doing particularly well, is equally no reason why capital should be blindly and recklessly invested in all directions. There is a tendency just now to ignore foreign outlets, and to favour what are called home industries, 'i'lie consequence is that there is a want of expansion in the export trade of the country, l)ut nevertlieless great industrial activity in supplying the demands ;,46 TJIE BALANCE OF TRADE created 1)V this advent of capital into domestic ventures. The result in the end will be the same as in foreign enterjn'ise, the movement will be overdone, and a great deal of the money lost. But the adjustment will not affect the balance of trade. Those who dispose of their interest in doubtful or rotten concerns, will liave what is left paid them within the country, and the transfer of capital will simply be from one internal bank to another, with- out the real exchange of anything more than a few slips of paper, whereas had the same adjustment been effected with a foreign country, it would have meant the handlincr of somethino- of tano-ible value. A glance at the figures of the last quarter of a century will show exactly how this operates. Prior to the Franco-German war, the balance of trade against the United Kingdom liad not varied greatly for a good many years from £50,000,000, and this w^as on a total foreign trade of about £500,000,000. Then there was enormous activity, and the total advanced by leaps and bounds from £500,000,000 in 1867, to £682,000,-000 in 1873. But still the balance scarcely varied, exports gi-ew as rapidly as imports. It was a time of foreign loans, and though each year the amount of interest indebtedness was growing larger, and necessitated greater imj^orts to discharge it, new loans carried off British manufactures ni sufficient quantities to compensate for it. Tlien followed a sudden FLUCTUATIONS AND THEIR CAUSES 347 collapse, "when it was found that parting with much of the money was like pouring water into a sieve. Exports fell away rapidly because it was no longer possible to borrow to pay for them. Investors, on the other hand, tried hard to get some of their money back, and all sorts of foreign produce was imported, so that the £371,000,000 of 1873, had steadily increased to £411,000,000 by 1880. Instead of a normal balance of trade of £50,000,000, plus perhaps twenty or thirty millions more for interest on the new loans, it rose to £118,000,000 in 1876, £142,000,000 in 1877, and £125,000,000 in 1878, and these figures undoubtedly meant considerable withdrawals of foreign capital. Then the panic subsided, and as investors have proverbially short memories, the decade of the eighties proved a time of outpouring of British capital all the world over, and particularly into South America. The adverse balance steadily fell, and that of 1880 was the largest during th«^ entire period. In 1886 and 1887, it was down to £81,000,000, and it will be in the recollection of many that these years witnessed something like a climax in South American finance, and tlie immense schemes inaugurated in connection witli it. This culmination however was not for a little time apparent. Immense contracts had been entered into, requiring years to fulfil, and the value of exports went on steadily growing, until in 1890 they reached the unprecedented figure of 34S THE BALAXCE OF TRADE £328,000,000. But imports had grown still more rapidly, and the adverse balance had risen to £113,000,000 in 1889, only to Ml again by £20,000,000 the year following. They were years of feverish excitement, the commercial atmos- phere was laden Avith some strange force which nobody could quite measure. Then followed an event which will render the year 1890 ever memor- able in conuiiercial annals, the Baring collapse, and the fall of the gigantic structure which had been erected on the foundations of the credit of that great house. Once more the object was, not to lend further sums to foreign countries, but to recover all that was possible from the wreck, and the balance of £93,000,000 in 1890 sprang with one bound to £126,000,000 in 1891. There perhaps it might have stopped, but the crisis was quicklv transferred from South to North America. No sooner had British investors decided to await a return of prosperity in the Argentine Republic, than they became alarmed at the outlook in the United States. The M'Kinley Tariff, in conjunction with the Sherman Act thrown in to secure its passage, was leading to an inevitable crisis, and a scramble ensued to realise Ameri- can securities, which intensified the crisis by the immense withdrawal of the gold bullion on which the stability of the currency depended. The result, as far as Great Britain was concerned, was not only the piling up of gold in the Bank of England until HOW TO REMEDY ADVERSE BALANCES ^49 the vaults had to be enlarged to hold it, but a steady growth in the adverse balance of trade as well, which reached £131,000,000 in 1895, broke the record with £145,500,000 in 1896, and, so far as the returns of the year are published, threatens to go one better in 1897.^ These great balances are distinctly unsatis- factory, and there is hardly a redeeming feature in their favour. They mean that a small proportion of the population, probably less than 4 per cent., as we saw in a j)receding chapter, have such immense interests abroad, that in order to receive the income from them, much less transfer them home intact, they have to import £100,000,000 to £150,000,000 worth of commodities every year, a little, if not a large portion, of which would other- wise be produced by the remaining 96 per cent. But the remedy does not lie in protection. The hundred or hundred and fifty millions would have to be imported all the same, and would only be rendered dearer to the consumer by the amount of the duty levied on it. Nor is it to be found In the withdrawal and concentration at home of ca})ital in- vested in foreign countries. That would oidy make matters worse. Nor again do any of the socialist nostrums of the present day meet the case. The difficulty would be there just the same, if tliese ' At tlio cikI of .hily 1897 tlie adverse balance is £y,0()(>,00() worse than for the same period of 1896, and circumstances point to its growing,' larger as the year advances. 350 rilE BALANCE OF TRADE imports were brouobt over by tbe 9G Instead of tbe 4 per cent. The one and only antidote, is tbe con- tinued investment of capital abroad. If tbe in- terest received be reinvested, either directly or indirectly, in the country which pays it, that obviates the remittance of produce, or if the pro- duce is exported, as will likely be the case, some- thing else will be taken in exchange for it. Failing such reinvestment, other outlets must be found, in order that it may not be dumped down without an equivalent in labour being exported elsewhere. This is by no means as impracticable as it may appear. The world is not yet played out ; it is in fact only just beginning to rub its tiny fists into its half-opened eyes. The United States have a population of seventy millions of j^eople ; there is room for seven hundred, and then there need be no crowding-. Canada has an area as larg-e as the United States, and five millions of souls distributed over it. The climatic conditions of a great portion of the territory are unfavourable for settlement, but fifty millions of people can lose themselves in one of the finest and most bracing climates in the world, every breath of Avhich infuses energy. The capabilities of Australia, and Africa, and South America, nobody yet knows. British India has two hundred and seventy millions of people, and a shorter railway system than the United Kingdom with barely forty. Need we go farther, or draw the moral ? THE EFFECT OF CHEAP PRICES 351 The United States, France, and Germany, may thrive upon a trade on which Great Britain would starve. The first has no foreign income to receive ; it has to pay a very considerable sum instead. France and Germany have some, but not a great deal, and the competition of foreign products is not on so large a scale. The British industrial popula- tion may to a considerable extent be fed and clothed Avith imports from abroad, but they must have money to buy both the food and the clothing. That must be largely earned by supplying foreign countries with British productions, and money is wanted to pay for them. Four per cent, of the British po23ulation have it, and must lend it, not recklessly and under compulsion, but judiciously with the hope of gain. To encourage purely domestic industry at the expense of foreign exports is to commit industrial suicide. The one is p'ood and should be promoted, the other is the nation's life blood. Protection may be good enough for the United States, for France, or for Germany. Cheap production is the first of all essentials for Great Britain, and Great Britain must not touch the unclean thing. The day will come when a balance of £150,000,000 against the United Kingdom will be a normal and a satisfactory one. But it will have to be on a total trade some huiuh'eds of millions greater than at present. Besides, it ma}- mean in quantity considerably less than it does 35:; THE BALANCE OF TRADE now, as comiiKKlitit's inav ai]:;ain one day be on a much higher basis of value. The abiHty of Great Britain to purchase big and cheap Hues from the foreigner is by no means an unmixed blessing. Suppose, for example, the balance of trade in favour of the country to be £100,000,000, and that it must be taken in wlieat, of which we will sav, likewise simply for argument, that the consumptive demand is 100,000,000 quarters. Were the price twenty shillings per quarter, the wdiole hundred million quarters would have to be imported, but if forty shillings, then only fifty million quarters, and the other fifty millions w^ould either have to be pro- duced at home, or purchased in exchange for home manufactures ^vhich w^ould employ an equivalent amount of labour. A country like England there- fore, w^hich has annually to import so many pro- ducts whicli enter into comj^etition with her own, should do everything possible to encourage a moderately high level of jDrices, rather than a very low^ one. The United States being a debtor, not a creditor country, we naturally look for the balance of trade on the opposite side of the ledger, nor do we look in vain. We might only be misled by going too far back into the figures of United States imports and exports, because until 1879 they w^ere compli- cated by the greenback currency, wdiich fluctuated in value until specie payments w^ere resumed. Since that year however, w^e find the movements UNITED STATES TRADE 353 very much more erratic than any in the United Kingdom, nor is the explanation always quite so jjatent. It is considered a matter for congratulation when exports greatly exceed im23orts in value, and the balance of trade is supposed to be favourable. That by no means follows, and it may be no more satisfactory than a large balance the other way in the United Kingdom. It may simply mean draining the country to pay its debts. Were the trade returns compiled for the calendar year, they would often be more erratic still, because seasons would overlap. United States exports are principally of agricultural produce, and there is little harvesting done before July 1st, and the product of what there is scarcely falls hito the returns. By making the fiscal year to end on June 30th therefore, the comparisons are fairer, because they represent entire seasons. In 1880-81 the l)alance in favour of the United States was $260,000,000, while the year following it sank to $26,000,000. The reason of the former was however eminently satisfactory. Europe had sutl^'cred from a partial failui'e of grain crops, the United States in that, as in the year previous, had rea])ed a bountiful harvest, and the value of the ('xj)()rts of breadstuffs during the two years touched the highest figures ever up to then recorded, $288,000,000 and $270, 000. ()()() r('S])ectively. This has never l)een exceeded, except in 1 H'.J2, when European crops again proved disastrous, and the figure rose to 23 354 THf: BALANCE OF TRADE $300,000,000. Tlu' United States in fact sold their breadstiiti's for hard cash, and the net import of crold reached nearly si 00,000.000, the country being fully that nuich to the good, lu 1882, when matters had assumed a more normal aspect, very little gold was required to redress the balance one wav or the other. The chmatic conditions of 1881 were repeated in 1892, and as far as the United States were concerned, resulted in a favourable balance of 8203,000,000, while the year previous it had been under $40,000,000, and the year later was trans- ferred to the other side of the account to the extent of $18,000,000. But there was no import of $100,000,000 in gold this time to redress it. The unsound economic leerislation was even then beufin- ning to tell, and though the very heavens had fought for the United States, they were throwing the result of the battle away. European investors were growling fidgety, and took the $203,000,000 in repayment of capital, thus staving off by a year the crisis which was preparing. 1894 saw this favourable balance run up to $237,000,000, yet despite it, the net movement of gold bullion resulted in an export of 85,000,000. The with- drawal of capital was going on apace, and when the following year the United States could only persuade their foreign creditors to take $75,000,000 excess in commodities, they had to supplement it with $30,000,000 in gold. INFLUENCE OF TARIFF LEGISLATION 355 Here then we see the difference between con- iidence and distrust. A certain amount has to be paid every year to Europe for interest and other matters, only on ordinary occasions much of it is reinvested. But recent years have l:)een extraor- dinary, and a tremendous strain has been placed on the United States, not only to pay up the interest, but to repay capital as well. Never was so large a favourable balance piled up in so short a time as during the last three months of 1896. It saved the country from the worst financial crash it has ever had to go through, and had not Great Britain been prepared to purchase and pay promptly for the great blocks of wheat and cotton literally flung at her, there woiild have been a catastrophe. Surely there can be no great cause for conoTatulation that an altosrether a])iiormal balance of , trade was the means of securing salvation by the skin of the teeth. The magnitude of the British balance of trade, we ha\'e seen, is dependent more or less on foreign investment, and is not in any way influenced by legislation. In the United States however, •economic conditions play by far tlie leading ])art in makiiiiT it. Let us take in illustration of this tln-ee recent years, and compare im})()rts witli exports :— l.S;i2-93. 1S!I3-!M. ISOMIS. Imports, . $8G(;,000,000 $055,000,000 ii>7:'.2,000,000 Exports, . ritisli trade, and ;in increase in tin; l)alance from £81,000,000 in 188G to £145,000,000 in 181)G is i-emarkable enough. But what would be tliought, if some year the value of exports exceeded that of imports ? The reverse \\\ 1 This has actually taken place since these remarks were written. 35 S THE BALANCE OF TRADE the United States seems quite as extraordinary, yet it actually occurred as lately as 1893. In 1889 imports also exceeded exports by $300,000, and tlie year before, tlie excess actually ran up to $28,000,000. Wliat stability can there be in a commerce which shows a balance of £6,000,000 on one side of the account at one time, and only a feAv years later transfers it to nearly £50,000,000 on the other ? It is certainl}^ ruled by no fixed laws, and must depend largel}^ on wild speculation. A country which conducts its commerce on such conservative lines as France, might be expected to maintain a very steady balance of trade, and such is actually the case. If to be without a history really mean happiness, then is French trade in that enviable state. For many years there has been an excess of imports over exports, because France is a lending, not a l:)orrowing country, though she confines her operations almost exclu- sively to Europe. From Spain, from Russia, and from Turkey, her investors have every year to receive considerable sums by way of interest, and this is reflected in the movements of commodities. The balance has never yet reached £50,000,000, and only once in recent years, until 1895, had fallen as low as £25,000,000, so that it is plainly seen how narrow these fluctuations are. A few figures which include the largest as well as the smallest difference, will l)oth illustrate this, and show how uninteresting a discussion on French FRENCH AND GERMAN TRADE 359 balance of trade usually is, compared with that of more enterprising rivals and neighbours. Imports. Exports. Balance. 1884, fcs. 4,343,500,000 fcs. 3,232,500,000 fcs. 1,111,000,000 £44,440,000 1889, 4,316,700,000 3,704,000,000 612,700,000 24,508,000 1892, 4,767,800,000 3,569,700,000 1,198,100,000 47,924,000 1894, 3,850,400,000 3,078,100,000 772,300,000 30,892,000 1895, 3,719,900,000 3,387,800,000 332,100,000 13,284,000 1896, 3,837,100,000 3,404,700,000 432,400,000 17,296,000 1891 was the year of the crop failure, and the import of wheat and wheat flour the year following w^as the highest on record, — fcs. 2,035,000,000, or over £80,000,000. 1895, on the other hand, was a year of exceptionally small imports of this com- modity fcs. 485,000,000, and for 1896 somewhat less still. This at least proves of what immense con- sequence a bountiful harvest is to France, and raises the question, w^h ether from an economical point of view it is wise to artificially stimulate a particular branch of industry which is so erratic in its yield. If we concede that France was prosperous in 1895 and 1896 because its adverse balance of trade was so small, we must equally admit that 1891 was disastrous, and that 1897 jjromises to follow in its footsteps, France, in short, wagers too heavil}- on her wheat crop to be })rudent. The great industrial expansion of Germany li.is materially affected her balance of ti'adc. Xuw some years subseqiK^it to the war, she was busily engag(Hl putting her own house in order. She did not require to borrow money, 36o THE BALANCE OF TRADE licit her had slu' imich to lend, and the l)alance hetween hnports and ex})Oi'ts remained remarkably even. In 1884 ^ there was an excess of the former of barely £3,000,000. In 188G there was a balance on the other side of nearly £5,000,000, a year later there ^^■as nothing to choose between them, and in 1888 im})orts were again £4,000,000 in excess of exports. But German traders had been (piietly making money, and looking about them for new investments, instead of putting all their foreign eggs in the Russian basket. United States and South American securities were freely bought, and Italy transferred her financial affections from France to Germany. The result of the outflow of capital is apparent, and may again be illustrated by figures : — Imports. Exports. Balance. 1889, . M 4,015,100,000 M 3,166,700,000 M 848,400,000 £42,420,000 1890-93, Exhibit no great variation. 1894, . 3,9.38,300,000 2.961,500,000 976.800,000 48,840,000 1895, . 4,120,700,000 3,317,900,000 802,800.000 40,140,000 1896, . 4,-324,000,000 3,403,800,000 920,200,000 46,000,000 Yet people who claim that Great Britain is on the brink of ruin, because her adverse balance of trade has increased from £81,000,000 to £145,000,000, and point to Germany as the sup- planter, entirely ignore the fact that the adverse balance of the latter has within the same period also grown, and now^ reaches nearly fifty millions 1 German trade returns prior to 1889 are apt to be misleading, as it was only in that year that Hamburg and Bremen entered the Imperial Zollverein. The chances are that in the years mentioned the net balances were really against Germany as a whole. ARGENTINE TRADE 561 sterling. Nor can there be any doubt that in strict proportion to the foreign financial interests of both countries, the German is relatively the greater of the two. It would be larger still were Germany to cease lending abroad, because some of her exports certainly represent capital. The most violent reverses are naturally ex- perienced in new and partially settled, or rapidly progressive countries, which every now and again receive a set back. We noticed in the preceding chapter how Australian trade in 1896 underwent quite a revolution — though of a temporary character — for amply sufficient reasons. There is a more striking instance still, and no bulky volume could record the modern financial history of the Argentine Republic in more eloquent terms than the following table of its trade statistics : — Imports. Exports. Balance Imports over Exports. 1886, ^S9.5,409,000 .S69,8;',.-'),000 S25,.574,000 1887, 117,::5r)2,000 84,422,000 ;!2,9:30,000 1888, 128,412,000 100,112,000 28,.S00,000 1889, 1 64,.~)T0,000 122,81. -.,000 41,7.".'.,000 1890, 142,241,000 100,819,000 41,422,000 lialance Exports over Iinjiorts. 1891, 67,208,000 l(i:!,2 19,000 :'.6,0I 1,000 1892, 91,481,000 ii;;,:;70,ooo 21,889,000 189;!, 96,224,000 94,090,000 .>,L!4,000 - 1894, 92,789,000 1 1 ,688,000 8,899,000 189.",, 9.".,09(;,000 1 20,068,000 24,972,000 ' The Argentine gold dollar is ill tout the same value as thai of the United States '^ Imports over exi)orts. 362 THE BALANCE OF TRADE We see the i^iadually swelling iiiijjorts as the loans increased, culminating in 1889, then we picture the anxiety of the early part of 1800, resulting in the first decrease for some years, and finally the utter collapse of credit, and the falling off by more than 50 per cent, in tlie imports of 1891. There were still some solvent individuals and corporations left in the country however who struggled to fulfil their engagements, and from a great import of borrowed capital, the country suddenly passed to an export of the interest on it, as well as a return of whatever capital could be liquidated. There is plenty of legitimate occupation for millions more in Argentina, and the day may come w4ien imports will again considerably exceed exports without involving another financial crisis. We get the reverse of this j^icture in another country which is just beginning to claim a large share of attention. The Japanese have long been the most progressive nation in the East, and their foreign trade has steadily grown. Prior to the conflict with China, their financial interests abroad were not great, though on balance they probably had a small amount to pay. Their victory ended in placing a large sum of money, received as indemnity, at their credit in Europe, and they have made use of it in adding to their naval jDOwer, and stimulat- ing industry in various ways, meaning the import of a great deal of all sorts of material. The trade statistics best tell the story .of this : — THE SETTLEMENT OF BALANCES 363 Imports. Exports. Balance Exports over Imports. 1891, 1 Yen 63,805,000 Yen 78,806,000 Yen 15,001,000 1892, 75,903,000 90,481,000 14,578,000 1893, 89,286,000 89,657,000 371,000 Imports over Exports. 1894, 121,058,000 112,234,000 8,824,000 1895, 138,-498,000 135,065,000 3,433,000 1896, 171,674,000 117,843,000 53,831,000 Scarcely less important than the way in which a balance of trade is created, is its method of settlement. The figures of exports and imports between any two countries may or may not afford a clue to their financial relationship. Spain, for example, is financed almost entirely by France, and French investors hold enormous blocks of govern- ment, railway, and other peninsular securities. The fact that in 1896 France imported from Spain £7,500,000 more than she exported thither, explains itself at once, though the real balance of indebtedness is probably more, and has to be settled in some other way. Spain partially recouped herself from the United States through the medium of her colonies. U.S. Imports from Cuba and rhilip])ines were $45,000,000 „ Exports to „ „ „ . 7,700,000 UalaiHc due S]kuii, . . . $37,300,000 „ Imports from Spitiii, . . . 4,100,000 $41,400,000 „ Exports to Spain, . . . 11,400,000 Actual l)a]aii('(! ^Xwi^. SiKiiii, . . 's.Ki nnnjKlO ^ The silver yen is worth aV)out two sliillings. 2 A reference to page 283 will show to what e.xtcnt the nnoliitioii has affected trade between Cuhu ami the United States. 364 THR BALANCE OF TRADE A soniewliat larg'er anuniiit still, accrues to Spain from the balance of trade with the United Kingdom, but only a j)ortion of this is available, as there is a good deal of British capital sunk in the country in industrial enterprise, upon which returns have to be made. The trade between Russia and France resulted for many years in a balance of from one to three millions sterling in favour of the fomier country, but in 1895 and 1896 it rose to over six millions, llussia has been borrowing French money in large sums, and remits the interest in produce. This in its turn has resulted in the displacement of trade between France and the United States, for instead of taking wheat and petroleum from the latter, they are received from llussia, and American pro- ducers are compelled to seek other customers. The value of the French import of petroleum, for instance, is about .£'1,500,000, and of this the United States contributed in 1896 less than £100,000. France likewise imported large quantities of breadstuifs, of which the States shipped only about £350,000. On the other hand, the British trade returns for 1896 exhibit an excess of no less than £29,450,000 in imports from France. Now France does not owe Great Britain such a sum, if indeed she owes anything at all. And strange to say, when w^e turn to the French returns of trade with Great Britain, the excess of exports over imports GREA T BRITAIN AND THE UNITED ST A TES 365 is only £20,000,000, which shows, not how un- reliable trade statistics are, but how judiciously they must be handled. The British returns record imports from France of £50,105,000, but the French returned exports to Great Britain at only £40,336,000. The difference of nearly £10,000,000 was no doubt received in reality from other countries, Switzerland particularly, through French ports, which French trade statisticians record separately. Similarly the exports of Great Britain to France are given at £20,655,000, of which £6,50*0,000 was foreign and colonial mer- chandise, the principal item being wool, valued at £3,550,000; but France valued imports from Great Britain at £20,218,000 only. But even £20,000,000 was not owing by France, and must be accounted for in some other way. We will see what it is presently. British imports from the United States are always greatly in excess of exports. Tliis Is natural, because there is so nuich owing l)y one country to the other. But the excess of £74,300,000 hi 1896, or even that of £42,500,000 in 1895, re({uires more explanation. Ca})ital with- drawals accounted for part of it, hut tlie Uiiit«Ml States have every year to hcniid.itc witli (Jrcat Britain ;i much larger sum tliaii tlicv ;i('tii;ill\' owe her. The United States do not sliip moic tli.iii they receive to everv counti'V with wliidi tlicv li.ide. 366 THE BALANCE OF TRADE We have alicadv noticed that flict in their relations with C'liba. They want coffee from the Brazils, tea and other Eastern ])rodiice from India, Chhia, and Japan, and like everything else, they must be paid for. These countries do not want American ao-ricnltnral produce, but require enormous quan- tities of niainifactured goods of the sort made in the United States, yet do not buy them because they are made so dear by protection, and can be ob- tained cheaper elsewhere. United States exports therefore are small, as we shall see from the following figures for the year 1895-96 : — . TT, ^ Adverse Imports. Exports. Balance. Brazil, . . . $71,100,000 $14,300,000 $56,800,000 India, . . . 20,400,000 3,200,000 17,200,000 China and Hong Kong, 23,500,000 11,600,000 11,900,000 Japan, . . . 25,500,000 7,700,000 17,800,000 $140,500,000 $36,800,000 $103,700,000 The greater portion of this balance, instead of being paid direct, is remitted to Great Britain in breadstuffs and meat and cotton, and helps to pay for British exports to those countries. The rela- tionship between India and the United Kingdom puts it outside the ordinary current of foreign trade, but it is somewhat remarkable that the other three countries are among the few to which we send more than we receive. Brazil especially is considerably indebted to us, as Brazilian securities are largely held by British investors. This has to be paid by the United States, as well as the SPECIE MOVEMENTS 367 ordinary balances of trade, out of the $57,000,000 owing by them to Brazil. British British Favourable Imports. Exports. Balance. India, . . . £25,300,000 £30,850,000 £5,550,000 Brazil, . . . £4,050,000 £7,000,000 £2,950,000 China and Hong Kong, 3,775,000 8,825,000 5,050,000 Japan . . . 1,250,000 6,150,000 4,900,000 £9,075,000 £21.975,000 £12,900,000 There is another way in which the United States might have liquidated a large part of its indebtedness to the East, namely, by shipments of silver, the gross export of whicli for the year was $60,000,000. As a matter of fact .$11,500,000 did go to China and Japan, but on the other hand, $43,000,000 was shipped to Great Britain, and most of it transmitted thence to India and other Eastern countries. We see therefore how terribly complicated the settlement of trade balance may become, and how the intervention of half a dozen countries may Vje necessary before they are finally adjusted. Yet the huge machine works without friction, and tlie motive power is supplied by the exchange banks and bankers, located in every important trading- city in the world. How it operates is In-yond our province to discuss. Balances are not always settled in coinnioditieK, gold and silver often ])lay a most ini|»ortant part. Despite the heavy national in(lcl)tr that a temporary gain may result in permanent loss. They rejoice over a so-called favourable balance of trade, and think their country is growing wealthy because it exports so much more than it imports, while all the time it is being beggared by a steady drain on its resources, arising from too large a payment for the accommodation it has received, or the actual withdrawal of the capital with which it has been worked. Or, there may be jubilation at the contrary excess of imports over exports, set down as a sign of increasing prosperity, while all the time it is destroying it by reducing the demand for domestic labour, which is the source of it. The transactions of everyday life never have been, and never will be conducted on strict principles of political economy, but a knowledge and recognition of them may nevertheless reveal many a pitfall, and destroy many a false notion. The Governments of nearly all civilised nations go to considerable expense and trouble in collecting and tabulating details and statistics regarding their comrnerce and industry. Could not a few of them OFFICIAL RETURNS 375 go a little further, and append an intelligent account of the why and wherefore, which in future years would be of far greater value than the statistics ? The English Board of Trade has not only the materials, but competent officials to deal with them. Each year it would be possible, not only to publish the bare figures of the balance of trade, and what coiuitries contributed to each side of the account, but what particular forces were at work which compelled or permitted them to do so. Then there would no longer be the mistake made of supposing that adversity spelt prosperity, or that real prosperity meant the road to ruin. A country which either imported or exported too much, would have the reasons given it in black and white, and the opportunity, not now always afforded, of retracing its steps before it was too late. CHAPTER XL Home and Foreign Trade. Relative Importance — Effects of Protection — Arbitrary Divisions of Territory — Wasteful Labour — Incidence of Taxation on different Industries — The Agricultural Rating Act — Light Dues — Railway Preferential Rates — Reckless Foreign Trading — Education — In- ternal Competition — Independent Traders — Capitalist Influences — The Directions in which they are exerted — The True Aims of Home Traders — The West African Trade — General Possibilities of Foreign Development. Though tariffs interfere directly with foreign com- merce, they are ostensibly imposed, so far at least as they are protective, with the object of benefit- ing home trade. The latter is supposed to be, and undoubtedly is, of preponderating importance, and even in the United Kingdom, whose foreign commerce is the largest in the world, and the value of it per head of the population relatively greater still, the home trade must be many times more. Still, we must not lose sight of the fact that a reduction of 10 per cent, in the foreign turnover may, not necessarily must, mean a greater contrac- tion internally. The foreign j)art of the machinery is a big cogwheel, with many smaller ones fitting into it. When the big one moves rapidly the little ones whirl ; when it slows down to half-speed they THE DESIRE FOR FOREIGN TRADE 377 do not make anything like half the number of revolutions. A large export order passes through few hands, — the merchant who executes it, the manufacturer who makes it, and the railway com- pany and shipowner who eventually transport it. The merchant indeed may be eliminated, and the order passed direct to the maker. But when the proceeds are distributed, how many hands does it pass through ? The banker upon whom the bills of exchange are drawn in payment, the sellers of the raw material, the workmen who have to receive their wages, the shopkeepers with whom they are spent, the dealers who supply the shopkeepers, and the merchants or manufacturers who stock the dealers. So that tlie value of the export has been tui'ned over three or four times at least in internal trade, and each time ought to have secured a profit. Thus we find that while nations jealously guard their own markets, they are always anxious to edge their way into other people's. The American ])ro- tectionist is determined to capture the liomc trade, say in woollens: or tinplates, but is equally keen about selling sniplus })roducts abroad, which lie often succeeds in doing at about half cost |)iic('. He is fully aware of the value of foreign trade, and would like to double, treble, (iuadru])le it. I)Ut then he has to meet competition and cnt prices; at liome a efenerous (•■oNcnnncnt i-nai'antci's Iniii a hnndred per cent. |)rotit, so lir jjrcf'ci-s llic sniallci' trade at the liiiz-licr icimnK-rai ion. I^'roiii liis nidi- 378 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE vidua! standpoint he is quite right, and as long as the people of the United States are satisfied to legislate for the exclusive benefit of a few select individuals or classes, that is their business and nobody else's. We saw in the last chapter how the United States are compelled to pay for the South American and East Indian produce they require, in agri- cultural products shipped to Europe. The four countries specially named are large buyers of cotton goods in Great Britain, part of which under favour- able circumstances the United States might supply. They do supply a small quantity as it is, let us see how much. rp , , J , r United States British Export of TT -i J Qi. i^ c Export of Cotton Cotton Goods to United States from ^ r^ , ^ ic- ^ r-i\ Goods to (§5 to £1) Brazil, . . .S71,100,000 .81,000,000 .811,300,000 India, 20,-400,000 140,000 92,200,000 1 China, 22,000,000 4,100,000 29,500,000 Japan, 25,500,000 100,000 3 2,000,000 2 .8139,000,000 .S5,:U0,000 8145,000,000 China is used principally as a dumping ground when the American home trade is depressed, as it was in 1896, and the chances are that most of the export to that country did not realise cost price. The previous year, when the trade was less depressed, its value was only 31,700,000. 1 Yarn §10,200,000, goods §82,000,000. -' Yarn §5,500,000, goods §6,500,000, THE UNITED STATES COTTON INDUSTRY 379 The United States ouaht to be the m-eat cotton manufacturing country of the world, and if there are any countries in which they should be able to compete against Europe, it is those of South America, as from every one without excep- tion they import more than they export, and Brazil is the only one taking anything like a million dollars' worth of cotton goods. They should be able to supply that country with every yard it needs, except perhaps of specialities ; and were they to pay India, China, and Japan directly in cotton goods, instead of indirectly in agricultural products, they would capture some British trade, but not on the whole affect it very seriously. They prefer instead to make their own con- sumers pay high prices for the profit of the manu- facturer, and in doing so deliberately throw awa}^ a foreign trade in a single speciality, M'hich would be worth at least $50,000,000 instead of $5,000,000 in four countries alone, and probabl}^ another $50,000,000 in others that might be named. 'V\\\\i is, the total value of the export of American cotton goods which now struggles hard to rcacli l''J, ()()(), 000 or £3,000,000 per annum, might be made to Idiirli £20,000,000. Nor would it mean iinich if any in- creased foreign competition in tlif'ii' (»\\ II niaikcls. for when they can manufacture chea]) eiiongli lo do a trade like that, they will need no protection at lioinc Nor would the farmer \)v any worse oil" tlnon^li not being able tf) export his })roduce, for the 380 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE additional hands required in the cotton mills would consume it. Either the dispossessed British cotton mills would have to find new customers elsewhere, from whom they would purchase food in exchange, or some of the hands would have to go back to the land, and produce more food at home. Could anything afibrd stronger evidence of the false economy of protection than this ? By build- ing a high wall round home markets, people shut themselves in, as well as the foreigner out. They increase the cost of production and destroy home trade at the same time, for if instead of merely selling surplus products abroad to get rid of them, they cultivated a profitable foreign commerce, that would lead to a much larger domestic turnover. Besides, farmers as a rule get a better profit from a home industrial population than from a foreign one, and agriculture would be both stimulated and rendered prosperous. It has hitherto been impossible to make nations see this, or to realise that the lines of demarcation they draw are altogether despotic. Why should they just be across the frontier of Mexico or Canada, and the United States, and not likewise between Wyoming or Nevada, and some point between them and Pennsylvania or Massachusetts ? These four states it is true are all within a federal union, under one government, but in most respects their interests are so diverse that two might be WASTEFUL LABOUR 381 at the j^oles, and the other two at the equator. Massachusetts can manufacture cotton goods If protected against Canada, and so could Wyoming if protected against Massachusetts. Wyoming is not allowed to do so because it is in the United States instead of Canada, and the inhabitants of the State are subjected to a real injustice. Its farmers may supply Massachusetts with food, but so they would Canada if they drew their cotton goods thence, and possibly obtain better prices. But Wyoming is not permitted to engage in foreign trade, because Massachusetts a couple of thousand miles away wants home trade. Where there are distinctions of race, or even language, which often produce national antipathies, one can understand barriers springing up, but between peoples identical in almost everything, they are wasteful and nonsensical. Wasteful, because they prevent a fair exchange of labour, and often compel it to be employed on unprofitable work. In many a well-to-do house- hold there is sufficient food thrown away every day to keep a needy family in comfort. It requires no efPort of imagination to see that when it occurs. But when labour is thrown away, it is not so easily discernible. A mechanic in the United States is, let us say, engaged in making tin pl.-itcs, and were he engaged in fruit-growing instead, liis lal)onr would be just twice as effective. The mechainc in England or Wales would have made two tin jilates 3S2 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE for the same price as one cost in the United States, and when cans had been made out of them, there would have been fruit to fill them. It is decreed however that tinned plates shall be a home industry, in order, so it is said, that two men may be employed instead of one. But the second need only work half time to keep up with the tinplate maker. Were both employed in growing the fruit instead, they would work full time, and keep two foreign tinplate makers fully occupied. Now let us turn this into wages. The American tinplate maker receives, say, $10 for a week's work, and the fruit grower $4 for half a week, so that their joint production costs just $14 in wages. Had both men worked full time at fruit-growing at $8 a week, they would have produced four times the quantity of fruit for $16, but no tinplates to can them. The wages of the two foreign tinplate makers would have amounted to perhaps 815, so that for $31, four times the quantity of canned fruit would have been produced than actually was for $14. But could it have been consumed ? To begin with, four men were earning full wages where only one and a half were before, and they would eat some of the fruit. And w^ere the same principle acted upon in other trades, the additional wage- earners would eat the rest. Over-production ! There is no such thing while a man willing to work wants it, and while there are hungry people to be fed. Extravagant production there is, and that is INTERCOURSE BETWEEN NATIONS 383 why consumption lags behind. Had home and foreign trade divided the work between them, there would have been more food and more mouths to eat it ; and the artificial monopoly by one branch was exactly as if a loaf of bread had been cut in two, and half thrown in the fire, while men, women and children were clamourinof for it. To remedy this, every obstacle to the free inter- change both of labour and commodities must be removed. Of course a nation which has many saints' days, an occasional fast, and numerous feasts, does want protection against a more energetic neighbour, which rests only one day in seven, and takes but an occasional holiday in between. But in whatever latitude an active race is located, there is always plenty of work for it ready at hand with- out forcing any for which the natural conditions are not ripe. Men of the same race are fairly e(|ual in aptitude and intelligence wherever they ha})})en to be, and the Creator in His wisdom has given no country an advantage for which He has not ])ro- vided another with some equivalent. A citi/cii of the United States would be indignant were it suggested to him that his country was less ))r()- ductive than England, or that his ])eople were less intellitrent or less enert vciy long ago that it was in a most depressed coiKlit ion, and that tlie best practicaijk; way of all'oidihL;- 25 386 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE relief was by taking a large amount of taxation off land, which was done to the extent of over £1,500,000 per annum, and transferred to other shoulders. Probably one-fourth of this amount has afforded much wanted relief, and need not be grudged ; the remaining three-fourths, if it has not already gone, will in a very brief period go into the pockets of landowners, w^ho are the wealthiest class in the country — and do the least to promote its industrial prosperity. The same Commission subsequently found that agriculture was no longer so depressed, that it was really only the landowners with incomes ranging from a few hundreds up to tens of thousands per annum who were suffering, and that the ag-ricultural labourer with wag-es of fifteen shillings a week ought to be the happiest and most contented of men, because food w^as so cheap. To put it in its most favourable asj^ect, a home industry has benefited by a million and a half per annum. Shipping is as representative of the foreign trade as agriculture is of the home, and shipowners have a' grievance. It is a very much smaller one than that of the landowners, and would cost much less to redress. Government undertakes, as it should, to light the coasts of the United Kingdom, at an expenditure of a few hundred thousand pounds per annum. It is no doubt theoretically just that shipowners whose vessels depend on the lights for safety should pay for them, and they not only do so, but contribute more than one hundred LIGHT DUES 387 thousand pounds profit per annum into the bargain. Foreign vessels pay the same dues, but only when they enter a British port, and may make all the use they like of them, without charge, when on foreign voyages. But other Governments, with a far less important stake in shipping than the British, regard it as their duty to light their coasts at the national expense. They resent the charge made on their vessels in the ports of the United Kingdom, and show that resentment by imposing an equivalent tax on British ships entering their harbours, which their own escape. The consequence is, that while British and foreign ships alike pay dues in British ports, only British ships pay them in foreign ones, and the tax laid upon them by their own Government is doubled. Here then is unfair discrimination between home and foreign trade. Wealthy landowners receive £1,500,000 per annum at the expense of general taxpayers, including shipowners, who in turn are refused remission of three or four hundred thousand pounds, wliich would be increased l)y a somewhat similar amount at the expense of foreign governments and foreign taxpayers. Thougli land- owners and shipowners both belong to tlic rich, not the poor class, they are not by any means treated with equal justice. There is a reverse side to this picluic Ship- owners have so expedited tlic Imii'Iling "f (heir vessels, that the cargo of the largest steamer is 388 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE now often discharged and sorted in less than forty- eight hours. This is true economy, and must be commended. The railway companies which have subsequently to handle a portion of these cargoes are also able to make such expedition, that they carry the goods at special rates. This is right and proper too, because the expense of handling a great bulk at one time is relatively much less than scattered quantities picked up here and there. But there is a limit to it, and it is often exceeded, so that produce brought many thousands of miles by land and sea, and then shipped over an English railway, sometimes pays less freight than British produce carried one or two hundred miles. Shipowners do not make railway rates it is true, but it is their business to encourage the companies to reduce their tariff to a minimum, in order that they may obtain full cargoes in foreign ports. But all foreign trade is not favoured like this, and when it comes to conveying British manufac- tures to ports of shipment, much higher rates are exacted, though bulk and expedition may be the same. Imports are uncertain and must be attracted^ exports are fairly secure and are bound to be moved, but in either case the home producer or the home manufacturer suffers by differential rates. It is a difficult matter to adjust, but the agricultural interest has a legitimate grievance against the railway companies, and indirectly against shipowners. RECKLESS TRADING 389 It may be claimed that one is a fair set off against the other, but no such happy-go-lucky method can be relied on to secure fair play to the multitudinous interests concerned in British trade, which cannot afford to depend on the chance result of a game at pitch and toss. These are questions which must be grappled with and settled equitably, not left to the arbitrament of the party which can make the first and most successful swoop on the spoils to be gathered in. Similar problems are presented in Germany, and perhaps in most other countries likewise. Agrarian discontent throughout that Empire springs more from preferential railway charges than from any other cause, and hostility between the agrarian and industrial sections of the community often leads to open rupture. Though the latter is invariably favoured by the Government, the former occasionally gains a victory, as instanced by the legislation declaring time bargains illegal, which cannot but cri})})le legitimate as well as speculative commerce. An inordinate desire to increase the foreign trade of the country at almost any cost, has produced a C(jnflict with those who believe that the home industry with which their interests are bound up is being ruined thereby. It has done something more, aj^parent outside rather than inside the Empire. 'I'his was illus- trated a short time ago by the jxiliticil (roubles in Crete, where the Greek insurgents, riglitly or 390 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE wrongly, believed Germany to be the instigator of the movement against them. They retaliated by boycotting German goods, and telegrams, it is said, were sent to German manufacturers counter- manding orders. Most of the manufactures })ur- chased in the island were of German origin, because that country gave every facility in the way of long credit and cheap articles, rendering it impossible for England and France to compete. If this went on in Crete, how much more is it likely to be iii vogue elsewhere ? A father in giving advice to a son who was about to start upon his career in the world, is said to have provided him with a motto, " Make money ; honestly if you can, but make money." We can well imagine the German manufacturer's instructions to his foreign traveller or agent being " Book orders ; at a profit if you can, but book orders." And may not this explain why Germany sometimes captures British trade ? The British manufacturer would indeed be foolish to compete against such instructions, and had much better let the business pass him than accept it at a loss. Much comment was at one time made on the progress made by Germany in the Eastern princi- palities of Europe, where Great Britain was rapidly ousted. But British Consuls were persistently warning their countrymen at home against extend- ing their risks or giving protracted credits in these countries, and the warning was accepted, and no TRADE MARK FORGERY 391 doubt many bad debts were avoided in consequence. It is worth noticing that while British exports to Egypt have been steadily growing in value, those to European Turkey have just as persistently fallen away. How much have German traders had to w^rite off on this account ? Every one interested in English Fire Insurance Companies knows that many of the principal ones, years ago, opened up numerous foreign branches. But a time has invariably arrived in the history of each of them when a balance-sheet has been published showing a more or less serious falling off in revenue, and the explanation has been, a wholesale relinquishment of bad foreign business, which agents, in their eagerness to increase premium income, had been induced to accept. British traders have every now and again to use the pruning-knife in the same way, and are able to regard with indifference, if not with amusement, the avidity with which their foreign rivals swoop down on the rejections. There is a method of grossly unfair competition notoriously prevalent in Germany, and that is, the use made of foreign trade marks, eitlier by direct forgery or colourable imitations. IA)r lier own credit, her Government should \isi( with severe penalties, when brought to its notice and convinced of the justice of the charge, sucli iV-iudu- lent attempts, not to capture trade, l)ut generally to ruin the reputations of rivals wlio Imvc spent Ijirge sums of money botii to earn and to merit llieni. 392 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE There is no more important or far-reaching factor in trade economy than education, and unfor- tunately for England, most nations realised it before she did. The repugnance to a thorough and efficient mental training is often but ill-concealed o where it is not openly expressed, and for what are called " the masses," the barest rudiments are re- garded as amply sufficient. But a child is no more educated when it can read, write, and figure, than a steamer is equipped when the space has been made ready to receive the engines. It is only then that education begins, because these are only the rude implements with which it is forged. The increase of subjects is decried, and complaints made that the country is being over-educated. There has been no over-education yet, as far as elementary schools are concerned at anyrate, and the list of subjects wants increasing rather than diminishing in number. Three-fourths of them may never do the child any good, but who knows whether if the other fourth were omitted it might not contain the very matter which appeals to the mind of the dullest pupil, and excites an interest that develops an unexpected intelligence. Botany deals with trees and wood, but what practical use is it to a joiner ? Similarly geology treats of earths and stones, yet it is not a necessary adjunct to efficient brick-setting. But the joiner who studies botany, or the bricksetter who interests himself in geology, is not likely to spend his leisure hours in the EDUCATION 393 public house, or loafing at the street corners ; he will employ them profitably, and very likely save his money, and will be a better joiner or brick- setter, and certainly a better citizen for it. Yet where is he to get a taste for such studies if not at school ? Much money is now being spent, and spent wisely, on technical education, but the foundation for it must be prepared beforehand. It is only when tastes have already been cultivated, and knowledge previously acquired, that such a course is likely to prove of practical value. But the most extraordinary of all recent assertions is that the school curriculum of the country need not be so exhaustive as that of the town. It is exactly in the villages and sequestered hamlets of the land where it is most needed. Tlie quick-witted town child may educate himself by observation even in the gutter, and witliout going to school at all may some day pick \\\t a fortune, honestly or otherwise. Communion with nature may engender contentment, but it does not engraft the practical experience gained in the haunts of men, and, moreover, it is generally tlie town-l)red population which most readily learns the lessons that nature has to teach. If tlicrc is to be a distinction between town and country, it is in llio latter where school aiifc sliould be tlic liigliest and the standard the most compreliciisive. Yet the severest penalties of school managers are often 394 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE visited on the villae'e schoolmaster and school- o mistress who have ventured to teach more than they are paid for, which is often little enough. England's trade competitors make no mistakes of this sort. In the United States there is no kicking; against a school-board rate, and the states- man who ventured to suggest that threepence in the pound should be the maximum, would stand very little chance of having his term of office renewed. There, national elementary education costs nearly $3 per head of the population, against very little more than 6s. in England, while the redeeming feature of American millionaires is that they found and equip some of the finest educational institutions in the world. It is short-sighted policy no doubt, for some day they wdll be the means of rousing the nation to a sense of the rotten economical system wdiich has allowed so many millions of the dollars to be accumulated. And what shall w^e say of Germany ? There, if any- where, the process is carried to an extreme, and in the construction of involved theories, practical considerations are sometimes lost sight of. But the Teutonic mind is eminently practical, and generally knows where to stop, and how best to adapt the knowledge it has absorbed. Jealousies and rivalries are not always confined to international questions, and frequently do much to damage local interests. To all intents and purposes Great Britain is a commercial entity to INTERNAL COMPETITION 395 the United States, and the United States to Great Britain. But when we come to examine these separate entities, we soon discover how heterogeneous is their composition, and how the different segments are w^arring against one another. The desire of Manchester to become a seaport has stirred up bickerings and hatred between that city and Liverpool, such as would be discredit- able between two rival nations. Fair competi- tion is not only desirable but necessary, both to economy and efficiency, but when subterfuges have to be adopted, the result is demoralisation without either being attained. For. Manchester to endeavour to fill her own docks at the expense of Liverpool is reasonable enough, but w4iat is to be said of a system of attracting cargo to one port, the final destination of which is the other, and by taking advantage of a privilege specially conceded to a private undertaking, securing the dues legitimately accruing to one corporation for the benefit of the other ? Or what is to be said of the English railway company, which, serving a port from which a foreign line of steamers regularly sails, advertises broadcast that the foreign government will gi-ant special facilities for the clearance of cargo shipped by that route, as against a rival one served Ijy a British fleet? Surely foreign governments might be allowed to do their own advertising. These tilings and many others, too numerous ;iiid often too trivial to mention, rob Great Britain of a 396 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE portion of the advantage she would otherwise derive from her system of commercial economy. Possibly it is well that it is so, otherwise the jealousy felt towards her by other nations might be strained to breaking point. But tliat is not what British traders have to take into account, and if they are to hold their own, they must consider what is to their own interests, and not what is likely or otherwise to provoke friction with the foreigner. Nor is there any reason why trade should be thrown deliberately in his way, as is only too frequently done, from pride, or stupidity, or both. There is a manufacturing firm in the south of Engiand, wdiich is said never once to have altered its price list during the century. It keeps about a dozen customers on its books, and refuses to extend its connection, compelling all buyers of its goods to deal with those it supplies. Many attempts have been made to compete with it, but it holds its ground, and easily disposes of its entire production on its own terms. Nobody has ever yet been able to make anything quite equal to the goods it turns out. But if this firm looks rather sleepy, it apparently always keejDS one eye ojDen. It does not summarily dismiss the complaints of customers, even when received second or third hand, but diligently enquires into, and if it be in the wrong, promptly rectifies them. Besides, its special pro- duction contains probably more labour than material, so that the cost of making it may really TRADE CONSERVATISM 397 be little if any less than it was a hundred years ago. Anomalous as such a position is, it is not this kind of trading that drives business out of the country. But other firms and individuals have endeav- oured to do the same thing without occupying so impregnable a position. There is another manu- facturing house, located in another part of the kingdom, also of ancient lineage and high standing, but, unfortunately for itself, unable to retain the monopoly of its production. To my personal knowledge, a young and enterprising firm of traders, enjoying deservedly good credit, opened an account with it some years ago, and bought several small parcels of its goods. They turned out some- what unsatisfactory, and a complaint was lodged, not vaguely and indefinitely, but specifically, of a certain defect which rendered them unsuitable for the express purpose for which they were required. The reply was that it was a piece of imper- tinence for a small firm a year or two old to criticise the business or manufactures of one that had been making the same goods for over a century. In due course the manufiicturer's representative called on the traders, collected the account owing, referred briefly to the correspondence, and " sup- posed lie need not call again." His su])|)()siii()n was correct, and now the offending but still unrepentant firm remit several ImiKh-cd jjoiinds per annum for goods made in Cicrmany, which 398 JfOME AND FOREIGN TRADE ouglit to ])e and could be supplied by British manufacturers. Though such gross folly may be avoided, cross currents between home and foreign trade are bound to run swiftly and strongly at times, and it becomes extremely difficult for governments and legislatures to avoid taking sides. They would naturally mcline to that of greatest importance to the country concerned. ThouMi the internal trade of Great Britain is of greater volume than the external, still the industrial element inherent in the latter, is the prominent force in English life. Parliament and the nation are much more likely therefore to be engaged on industrial than on agricultural legisla- tion, and the great principle of free trade was undoubtedly designed, and is steadily maintained in the interests of the former. But the friends of the agricultural or home interest are powerful, if they are fewer in number, and by almost entirely monopolising one Chamber of the Legislature are able to, and do, prevent legislation inimical to them, or likely to promote the welfare of the oppos- ing elements at their expense. The landed interest, in consequence, still wields a power, and possesses an influence, such as it enjoys in few other countries, not even where it is by far and away the pre- dominating factor in the national life ; and though external commerce is of such vital importance, internal considerations sometimes block its way. The agricultural element is as predominant in OPPOSING INTERESTS 399 the United States as the industrial in Great Britain, yet it is altogether over-ridden in the National Congress. Not by what may be regarded as foreign commerce, because that is of greater necessity in this instance to the agricultural than to the manufacturing element. But the secondary interest holds sway in America, as it often does in England, and for precisely the same reason, because immense wealth has given it immense power. Where land is so plentiful, the desire to possess it is less accentuated, particularly as it does not carry with it the social distinctions, so noticeable a feature elsewhere. Wealth always seeks to ally itself with patriotism, or to form a pseudo-patriotism of its own, and in one instance the watchword is. Home against foreign industry, while in the other it is Home against foreign agriculture. But both in France and Germany we find tlie greater section exercising the greater influence. In the former country, nearly half the population is directly dependent on the land, only about one-third is coiniected with the ramifications of industry and commerce. The wealth of the country is divided on fairly equal lines, the enormous proportion of ]:)easant proprietors having lai'gely expatriated tlie old nobility from the soil. That is the reason, no doubt, why the scales of legislation are held so evenly, why industry is so ready to accord protection to agi'icul- ture, and agriculture; to indnstiy. At least it is iinp()KSil)le to contend lli;it one is l)einL;' I'uiiied 400 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE by the other, and if tliere is any undermming inriuence at work, it is not created by internecine warfare. If the agricultural interest slightly holds the predominance, it is only as it should be. Quite the opposite conditions prevail in Ger- many, where it is the industrial and commercial section ^\•llicll forms nearly half the community, relegating the agricultural to the second place with one-third only. Bearing this fact in mind, the persistent endeavours of the Government to pro- mote the former are more easily accounted for, while if the latter shout the loudest, they cannot bring up the brute force when it is wanted. Only, the position there is complicated by the interven- tion of a strong socialist element, drawn from both sections, which, by throwing its weight first into one scale and then into the other, tends to prolong and render the conflict doubtful. Whether a country is stimulating more its home or its foreign trade, may generally be ascertained by gauging the respective influence of the sections of the community specially favouring them. The actual forces at work may not always be the most beneficial. If, for instance, they seek to destroy foreign commerce in Great Britain with her enormous income drawn from outside, they are crippling her resources. If, on the other hand, they endeavour unduly to restrict home industry, or to give it a wrong direction in the United States, which must develop their natural internal RESTRICTIVE LEGISIATION 401 resources to enable them to meet their external liabilities, they are equally encouraging economic waste. Both countries, to ensure permanent pro- sperity, must lend their energies to the respective interests which provide the basis of the cheapest production compatible with a reasonable standard of comfort and workmanlike efficiency. We have thus far dealt with positive forces, but there are others possessed of a negative tendency. Such for instance are the restrictions placed on the freedom of individuals, whether masters or workmen, in the pursuit of their respective callings. The British Parliament in particular has been long occupied with legislation of this nature, and though a great outcry is often raised against it, there is very little of it which has so far been unwise. In the interests of health, as well as life, it sometimes imposes onerous obligations, but they are rarely more stringent than a humane employer would vol- untarily adopt were he unfettered. The competition of others less scrupulous than himself, forbids him to entertain conditions which are too costly, but when his rival is forced to adopt them whether he likes to or not, it is no hardship to institute them, though sometimes they go further than he would wish. The pressure of inspection or interference may be arnioying, and men often ask what they have ever done to be called upon to suffer what they regard as an indignity. Nothing at all ; but unfortunately there are others engaged in the same 26 402 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE trade utterly reckless of life and limb of anyone about them so long as they make money, and we are taught that in this world the sheep and the goats cannot be divided. The falsest of all economy is waste of life or incapacitation of labour, and the country which does not afford every possible pro- tection against both, is adding a heavy load to obligations which must be discharged, and the coin in which they are paid, while not always traceable, is never recoverable. But the cost of such protection undertaken as a national duty, should likewise be at the national expense, and not imposed as a direct charge on industry, except possibly in such instances where interference proves to have been justified, and where the defect is due to preventible causes. Whether it be a mine, or a factory, or a ship, the main- tenance of the machinery necessary to ensure their moral, apart from their industrial efficiency, is no just burden on those immediately concerned. If trade prosperity is so dependent on the wisdom and discretion of employers, how much responsibility rests upon the employed ? They can, and sometimes do, make or mar an industry. Their settled policy no less than their occasional acts would introduce us into a wide field, very germane to the subject in general, but hardly to that particular phase of it which it has been the object of this book to discuss. It is better to leave it entirely alone, than to deal with it in any fragmentary manner. BRITISH WEST AFRICA 403 The principal lesson to be derived is, that each industry, whether attached more particularly to home or foreign trade, should conduct its affairs and arrange its economical organisation as though the prosperity of the entire nation depended on it. In a country like Great Britain, where the annual import must always be enormous, each home pro- ducer of a commodity which can be and is im- ported, should strive as far as he is concerned, to limit the necessity for the foreign product, and when he has done that he has fulfilled his duty. There are immense oj)portunities to be availed of at home as well as abroad, and as social evils are grappled with and eradicated, industrial activity will fill the vacuum, and make greater demands on home trade, without in any way curtailing the foreign. We have witnessed during the last few years a striking illustration of how this same activity can be extended to foreign trade. There is a small group of West African merchants and shipowners who are very much on the alert, and never lose an opportunity of pushing their business and extending their influence. They have to deal with a broad area of country, capable no doubt of a good deal of development, but which, owing to the unhealthy nature of the climate, does not admit of the rapid progress which can be infused by the settlement of European or American peoples. Still, a glance at the trade returns proves that even during years 404 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE disastrous on the whole to British commerce, this little group marched steadily onward. The figures are for the four districts usually included in British West Africa, namely, Gambia, Sierra Leone, The Gold Coast, and Lagos. British Imports. British Exports. 1892, . . £1,518,742 £990,343 1893, . . 1,866,578 1,213,263 1894, . . 1,577,790 1,298,856 1895, . . 1,685,541 1,197,221 1896, . . 1,909,709 1,445,948 I have not included the figures of the Niger Chartered Territories, as they would altogether change the relative proportions. With the excep- tion of Sierra Leone, these colonies have no debt, and consequently no interest to remit in produce or otherwise. The excess of imports over exports is therefore in some degree the measure of the profit of the merchants engaged in the trade, but as it may include movements of capital as well, too much reliance must not be placed on it. With the Niger Territories it is quite different, the exports being nearly double the imports, and represent to some extent at anyrate capital sunk in the country. There may be interchanges between them and the other British colonies, but the jealousies existing tend to reduce anything of the sort to a minimum. Now these figures show that the imports and exports have increased in five years by 25 per cent. FRENCH WEST AFRICA 405 and 45 per cent, respectively. Very satisfactory, though perhaps taken by themselves nothing very extraordinary. But there is more to follow. The West Coast of Africa is peculiarly open to competition, inasmuch as both France and Germany are eagerly pushing their way there. These two countries protect their colonies as they protect themselves, and the protectionist, and especially the Imperial Federationist, would say that they thus secured their colonial trade and shut the foreigner out. But do they ? If France has expelled the foreigner, at least she has not gained much by it. Her returns of trade with her West African possessions are as follows : — Imports. Exports. 1892, . £990,000 £800,000 1893, 900,000 770,000 1894, 910,000 1,000,000 1895, 690,000 800,000 The figures for 189G I am unable to give. The progress here is crab-like, for while the exports have remained stationary, im})orts have fVdlen away 30 per cent. But France lias not expelled the foreigner, certainly not the Britisher. For wliilf tlic latter has gone on exploiting his own j)reserves, lie lias been poaching most unmercifully on the French ones, as the following figures will show : — 4o6 HOME AND FOREIGN TRADE British Trade Returns with French West Africa. Imports. Exports. 1892, . £44,328 £176,261 1893, . 68,437 174,580 1894, . 222,198 196,331 1895, . 221,704 308,017 1896, . 203,442 376,314 So that while we increased the import and export trade with our own possessions by 25 per cent, and 45 per cent., we actually added 340 per cent, to our imports from the French ones, and considerably more than doubled our export thither. And these imports, it must be remembered, do not compete with home products. France might of course have returned the compliment, but her import of fcs. 9,250,000 from British West African possessions in 1892, had sunk to fcs. 7,250,000 in 1895, and her exports from fcs. 5,500,000 to fcs. 4,000,000. The corresponding returns for Germany and German West African possessions are not so com- plete, either in length of time or detail, but what there are of them are quite creditable to Great Britain, Had this enlarged British trade been due to the drink traffic, I would be the first to deprecate it. As a matter of fact, British traders do their utmost 1 The actual export was £477,096, but included £300,000 for telegraph wire and apparatus, an altogether exceptional item. TRADE STIMULUS 407 to discountenance it, and many of them would leave it entirely alone were it not that the demand would otherwise be supplied by the vilest contin- ental potato spirit. It is cotton goods that are chiefly responsible for the increase in exports, and though th(; volume of the trade may be smaller than that, say, with India or China, the West African shipper is proving himself to be Lanca- shire's best friend. Now this is something like activity in foreign trade, and apparently no tariff wall can be built high enough to prevent the British trader clamber- ing over, while the cheap production in his own country, due mainly to free trade, gives him practi- cally a monopoly on his own side of it. What can be done in West Africa is equally possible elsewhere, both in countries under British control and beyond it. All that is wanted is energy and intelligence — the one is useless without the other. Such an expedition as that sent recently to China by the Blackburn Chamber of Commerce, for instance, may be turned to enormous advantage, for crowded into that one country is a fifth of the world's population. Certain it is, that between home and foreign trade there should exist no jealousy, the latter cannot prosper without diverting the stream to the former. CHAPTER XII. Free Trade or Protection ? Slow Growth of Free Trade Principles — National and Individual Interests — General Growth of National Indebtedness — Decrease of the British Debt — Military and Naval Exjjenditure — The Commercial and Industrial Classes — Re-export Trade — Pro- tection in its Relationship to Commercial Morality — The Causes of Over-production — The Working Classes — Spread of Protectionist Sentiment in Great Britain — Increasing Competi- tion in Wholesale Trade— Great Prosperity of Retail Trade — Bullion Movements — What Free Trade and Protection do for the various Classes of the Communitv. This is the question which naturally presents itself as we draw near to our conclusion. When rather more than half a century ago free trade was adopted as the economic hasis of the commerce and industry of Great Britain, it was confidently predicted to be only a matter of a very brief period before every other civilised nation would be won over to support and adopt the principle. Yet so far from this being the case, protectionist doctrines are in many parts of the world becoming continually more rampant, and when facts and statistics are produced to show the favourable effects of free trade in England, others are promptly forthcoming NATIONAL INTERESTS 409 which appear greatly to minimise them, or the contention is urged that protection has done more for the United States or some other countr}^ than the opposite pohcy has accomphshed for England. There is evidently then abundant room for difference of opinion, and personal opinion, as a rule, is little more than the reflection of personal interest. Opposing factions view things from totally different standpoints. A man to Avhom any particular system means prosperity, is often utterly at a loss to understand why other people can desire to subvert it, while a second to whom a change might bring fortune, regards the first as utterly selfish in his motives. In countries therefore where the voice of the majority is the final arbiter, the wishes of the majority will in the end prevail, unless indeed there be a powerful and wealthy minority constantly able to over-ride it. What for example are working men to do when, just before an important election, factories and workshops are closed on a large scale, and an intimation given that they will not be re-opened unless a certain candidate prove victorious ? Or the majority may be misled, and the worse made to appear tlie better cause, but in that case it has only itself to blame if its interests suffer. Educa- tion is now sufficiently widespread to make it impossiljle for any mass of civilised people to lu^ long kept under a delusion. 410 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION Still there are national as distinct from per- sonal interests, which must be taken into account in judging the efiects of economic policy. Indi- viduals may make fortunes, but if in the process they involve their country in bankruptcy, the verdict will be that the system under which this has happened must be a very rotten one. There are only two methods of retaining wealth made in such a way, either by removing it as rapidly as it is made or by changing the system before irretriev- able disaster overtakes it. As national indebtedness is one of the measures of the general well-being, we may first of all apply this test. France, without any controversy, heads the list with a debt, which in 1896 amounted all told to over £1,200,000,000, and involved an annual outlay for interest on the consolidated portion of £28,000,000, and on the redeemable and floating of £10,000,000 more. The capital, though not the interest, has been steadily accumulating, for in France as elsewhere the value of money has undergone considerable depreciation, and refunding schemes have resulted in continual reductions in the charges; in 1890, for instance, on a smaller consolidated debt the outlay was £29,500,000. But it is very rarely a sound principle to continue borrow^inof because it can be done without further cost, and some day France will find this out. Her finance ministers do not blind themselves to the danger, and only go on piling up the debt because THE FRENCH NATIONAL DEBT 411 the resources of taxation are so severely strained, and nearly every year results in a budget deficiency, which has to be met by borrowing, at first on Heating loan, and when this has so increased as to become unwieldy, by a conversion into funded debt. How this accumulation has taken place is very simply related. In 1871 the funded debt was under £500,000,000, and the charge upon it about £15,500,000. By 1876 it had increased to £800,000,000, but of course there was good reason for it. France had to pay Germany a war indemnity of £200,000,000, as well as make good within her own territories the devastation which the war had wrought. Borrowing under such circumstances was not easy, and most of the new loans had to be raised at 5 per cent., which brought the charge up to nearly £30,000,000, or almost double on a debt which had not been increased by much over fifty per cent. By 1876 however it may be supposed that all urgent necessities had been provided for, and tliis sup- position is confirmed by the very moderate increases which took place for several succeeding years. But with the beginning of the next decade it started a fresh advance, and went forward by leaps and bounds, until in 1885, by which time there was a large redeeinal)le ;is well as irredeemable debt, it had reached £950,000,000. All the five per cents, luid })y tlien l)eeii con- verted, and nf) higher interest was paid than 413 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION 4J-, but the charge had risen to £33,000,000. Since then the increase has gone on at a quin- quennial rate of about £50,000,000, and shows no sign of coming to an end, while the floating debt and other liabilities swell it up to the total named. It would of course be ridiculous to directly associate the rapid accumulation of debt with a policy of protection. But at least the two must be considered together. France is supposed to have increased, and to go on increasing her wealth by means of it, yet either that or something else is having a most disastrous effect on the national finances. Were protection removed, the debt charge would have to be met just the same ; but would the capital go on increasing ? The augmen- tation may be partly due to foreign expansion, and the so-called opening up of new markets to French industry. But it means a drain on revenue as well as an addition to capital, and the question may well be asked, whether the French people are proportionately enabled to meet this drain upon them as taxpayers, out of their increased profits as producers ? This would become a very serious matter were France involved in another great war. On top of liabilities of £1,200,000,000, she could not expect to borrow much more on easy terms, and four, then four and a half, and finally five per cent, or more, would have to be paid for accommodation. That would not necessarily increase the charge on THE UNITED STATES NATIONAL DEBT 413 existing debt, but it would enormously depreciate its capital value, and French protectionists would not only find that the burden of taxation upon them was increased, but that the value of their investments had at the same time undergone a vast diminution. At quite the bottom of the ladder in this respect stands Germany, with its Imperial debt of but £110,000,000. Still in 1875 it was nothing at all, the entire liabilities of the Treasury being represented by about £6,000,000 in Treasury Bills bearing no interest. There may to some extent be public works as an asset against the debt, and in any case it is trivial, and the taxation it involves hardly worth taking into consideration. But the tendency to increase is there nevertheless. Germany is an admittedly protectionist country, and at the end of twenty years is liable for £100.000,000 more than she was at the beginning. When we come to the United States, we can weld debt and protection tightly together. In 1880, shortly after the resumption of specie payments, the total liabilities were about $1,950,000,000, of which only $1,725,000,000 was interest bearing, Ijut oven under the inconvertible currency previously in circulation, it had steadily diminished every year since 18G7, that is, tlio civil war was scarcely over before the liabilities incurred by it began to be liquidated. The United States remained moderately protective down to 1890, 414 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION yet in spite of it, or rather we might say in this particular instance, because of it, the debt continued steadily to decline. It had to be redeemed with the annual surplus of revenue over expenditure, and the only other way of disposing of the surplus being by reductions in taxation, that meant lower protective duties, and less protection. With the overflowing prosperity of the country, these duties were not high enough to keep imported goods out, the very fact of them being more or less luxuries adding only to their popularity among the wealthy classes. But few people would contend that the prosperity of the United States up to 1890 w^as due to a policy of protection. Indeed the cry of the protectionists in the election of that year was, that a much larger measure of j^rosperity would be the outcome, if only real instead of what they regarded as sham protection were adopted. Its adoption and the cessation of debt redemption were almost simultaneous. The capital amount of the interest paying debt on the 30th June 1891, after pro- tection had been in force barely a year, was about $600,000,000, and it never after fell much below this figure. The lowest point ever touched was in September of that year, and the exact amount was $585,024,720. The protection of commodities in general, and of silver in particular, created deficit after deficit in the national revenue, and led to drain upon drain on the national treasury, which it was only possible to meet by a succession of loans, THE BRITISH NATIONAL DEBT 415 beginning- in February 1894, and continuing steadily until February 1896, until they amounted in the aggregate to upwards of §260,000,000. Circum- stances compelled the issue of bonds bearing a much higher rate of interest than the credit of the country necessitated, and the sales actually realised close upon $300,000,000, the premium having practically to be refunded before maturity by an annual pay- ment of excessive interest. During a period of nearly a quarter of a century therefore, under a policy of what may be termed non-effective pro- tection, the finances of the country flourished, the debt was reduced to a very low level, and would in time have been extinguished ; while the moment protection became effective, the reverse tendency asserted itself, and in two or three years debt was increased by some £50,000,000 to £60,000,000. There is no contention that the burden of debt in the United States is even now oppressive, but it soon would be, if added to at the rate of £25,000,000, or even £10,000,000 per annum. And now, what has happened in the United King- dom, the only country of the four where free trade has remained pure and undiluted ? Going back to the earliest period with which we have dealt, namely 1875, we find that the national debt in that year, funded, unfunded, and approximate value of termin- able annuities all included, was £769,000,000. For several years it exhibited a tendency to increase; it was the period of the Tlusso-Turkisli war, when 4i6 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION England was nnich involved in Eastern complica- tions, and a great deal of money was spent on warlike preparations. Yet the maximum reached was only £773,000,000 in 1879, and since then it has undergone rapid diminution, scarcely a year with the movement in the opposite direction, until in 1896 it had sunk to £648,000,000. But this is not all, the redemption is automatic and increases in velocity as it proceeds, because a fixed sum is set apart every year for the debt, and as capital, and consequently interest, decrease, there is a larger amount available for sinking fund purposes. An addition to the debt of any other country would involve an immediate call on the pockets of the taxpayers, but Great Britain could increase hers by £200,000,000 without adding a penny to its annual cost, until such time as was again considered ripe to re-establish the sinking fund. While France and Germany therefore have been steadily increasing their national indebted- ness, and the United States have been playing hide-and-seek with theirs, free trade England has reduced hers by £120,000,000. From a purely national point of view which is the better policy ? Nor is the contention admissible that the con- tinental increase is any way due to their military systems. If Great Britain maintains a small army, she keeps afloat a huge navy, and the respective charges under this heading, inclusive of pensions, speak for themselves. MILITARY AND NAVAL EXPENDITURE 417 Great Britain, Budget Estimate 1897-98. Army . . . £18,140,000^ Navy . . . 21,890,000' £40,030,000 France, Budget Estimate 1897. Army . . . £28,800,000" Navy . . . 11,750,000 £40,550,000 Germany, Budget Estimate 1897-98. Army . . . £29,700,000' Navy . . . 4,500,000- £34,200,000 The expenditure of the United States on these services has hitherto been comparatively trivial. which would in itself account for the substantial decrease in debt over so long a jjeriod. It amounted for the year ending 30th June 1890 to $56,000,000 for the army, and $31,000,000 for the navy, about one-half the smallest item of the thrtH' European Powers, though what it niav amount to if the country ])lunges into a spirited foreign ])olicy, is utterly impossible to |)ic(lict. The tcndcncv in ' There is considerable extraordinary expenditur.- in uddiLion under Special Defence Acts, but as the credits are not exliuusted dur- ing the j^ear, the amount is uncertain. 2 Inclusive of extraordinary expt-nditure. 27 4i8 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION Europe has been steadily to increase, and in Great Britain perhaps more tlian elsewhere, but the figures prove conclusively that it must have been years since she enjoyed any financial advantage in this respect over her neighbours. Next to the nation as a whole, the commercial and trading classes of it loom largest on the horizon, as though they may not constitute the majority of the population they keep the Avhole machinery of industry moving. It will not be a diflicult matter to prove that free trade rather than protection afibrds the incentive to their energy, and leads directly to increased operations. A country which seeks to retain its trade and industry in its own hands, does not need many dis- tributors. Between the manufacturer and the consumer there are at most but two middlemen, the dealer and the retailer ; often the first is knocked out altogether, sometimes both. But the moment a foreign commodity is dealt with, a small army is employed. There is the shipowner with his ofiice staff', or his agent, the harbour officials and labourers, the draymen and warehouse keepers, importers and brokers, and then dealers and shop- keepers, and all exjoect to make something out of it. A commodity that can afford to bear all these charges must be more cheaply produced elsewhere to be imported and disposed of on economical principles. Similarly the goods purchased in EXPORTS OF FOREIGN COMMODITIES 419 exchange will go through much the same routine, and while they have employed the same number of hands in producing, they engage more in handling, and yet arrive eventually at the consumer cheaper than if made on the spot. A fair exchange of manufacturing labour therefore means the employment of a more or less important quantity of intermediate labour as well. We can again illustrate this from what are known as foreign exports, that is re-exports of imported goods. The figures for France and Germany are quite unreliable, because they include so much merely in transit from elsewhere. Switzer- land, for instance, must conduct the whole of her very extensive foreign trade through one or other of the countries named. Austria-Hungary sends and receives much through Germany. Some parts of Germany make free use of Dutch ports, and Northern France avails itself of Belman inlets and o outlets. But it is certain that neither France nor Germany have any important markets for foreign produce destined for distant lands, otlier than tlieir own colonies. Neither have the United States. The value of this trade is more distinctly traceable, and in 1895-96 fell short of $20,000,000, wliicli is decidedly above the average. Yet the United States are situated most fa\'on)'al)l\' foi- connncrcc of lliis sort. There are important consuming ccntics in ("cntial and South America, which cannot alloid to kcci) 420 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION larofe stocks of foreion commodities, and are tliere- fore in constant need of replenishment. A port lik(^ New Orleans should be a busy centre of such com- merce, yet it is almost entirely absent. The total value of foreign merchandise shipped from Gulf ports was only $825,000, while the total shipments from all United States ports to South America was under $800,000. Two-thirds of the total went to Great Britain or British possessions. The preval- ence of protection enhances the cost of dutiable articles, even where the full drawback is allowed, and so handicaps if it does not entirely destroy the business. Great Britain on the other hand, as a free trade country, has a large annual turnover in this respect. In 1895 the value touched very nearly £60,000,000, in 1896 it was £56,250,000. What does this mean ? In the first place, shipping was employed to convey over £100,000,000 worth of commodities. Dock and harbour dues were charged on them, and so helped to lighten the burden on those retained for home consumption. Employment was given in various directions, brokerages, commissions, and profits, aggregating in all a considerable sum, were earned, and helped to swell British incomes. And all this occurred because there was absolutely no- restriction on the trade. Anythnig that is wanted hastily, from a drug at a guinea an ounce, to scrap iron at twenty or thirty shillings a ton, is to be had for the asking, and shijDped at twenty-four hours'' COMMERCIAL MORALITY 421 notice. And because British ships are always ready to go anywhere, and carry anything, the British merchant navy, without subsidy or bounty, main- tains its jjre-eminence on the ocean. Protection not only restricts, if it does not entirely prevent this trade, but throws all sorts of obstacles in the way of that done for home con- sumption. There are constant disputes as to the meaning of clauses, and what they do or do not include ; in the United States litigation has been known over the placing or misplacing of a comma. New and sometimes forced interpretations are given to meet special cases, and the French tariff in partic- ular is deluged in explanatory notes and amplifica- tions, constantly being added to.^ ^i^ly those subject to such interference can realise the worries, resulting generally in more or less serious loss, which are the direct outcome of continual friction. I mentioned in a previous chapter tliat there were 43,420 undecided disputes pending in the United States at the date of the last return. Passing for a moment to an entirely different aspect of the question, there is little doubt tlint protection has a direct tendency to lower tlic moral t(jne of the commercial classes. A determined attempt is being made in tlie United States to su])stitute wherever })ossible specific for ud vdloreni duties, on the direct ground tbal iinporlcd goods ' The French Customs Authorities in 189(1 ahjne, is.sucd iL'dspcciiil circulars supphiincntary to various clauses of the tarill". 42 2 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION are systematically iiiulervalued in the sworn declara- tions of their owners, and that the protection afforded to home manufacturers is in consequence often more apparent than real. Laws which are not only evaded, but broken without any cempunc- tion of conscience, savour more of the relationship of conqueror and conquered than of a free and self- governing people. Commercial morality is not assisted by a Government wdiich puts such stringent regulations in force, that men otherwise honest in their dealings are for ever seeking to circumvent them. Next we pass to the industrial community, and the most noticeable feature is the wave of j^rosperitj or depression which is always passing over it. At one time these waves were of fairly equal force and duration, but of late years the depression has been severer and more prolonged than the prosperity, and this may be directly ascribed to protection. Under protection each country desires to supply all its home requirements, and to be independent of foreign producers. It seeks therefore to keep the plant of its own production equal to the maximum demands of consumers. In the United States, for instance, the output of Bessemer steel rails in 1887 was nearly 2,050,000 tons. But hi 1894 it fell to 900,000 tons. Presumably there was in the latter year a plant equal to the production of double what it was used for, indeed in the following year the output rose again to 1,250,000 tons. O VER-PR ODUCTION 423 There was loss of interest and depreciation going on on the idle plant, helping to add to the cost of what was actually made. But that is not the worst feature of it. Plant would not be thrown idle until there was distinct over-production, and the chances are that the 2,050,000 tons were far more than were required in 1887, and that the surplus had to be worked off gradually afterwards. Extend this principle to France and Germany and other protected countries, and we see the same forces at work. Everywhere there is a maximum plant capable of producing the maximum demands of home consumption. That demand actually springs up in two or three countries, and it is filled at once. But under a free trade system manufacturers would probably have been content, even where they were able to compete successfully against foreign rivals, to maintain a medium plant, and any unusual demand would have been distri- buted in all directions. It would have taken time to fill, there would have been less disposition to anticipate a continuance of briskness in a foreign market than in a home one, and over-})roduction would have been more promptly checked. The period of prosperity would have been prolonged, there would have been a smaller surplus to work off during the subsequent depression, the jxTiod of which would consequently have been shortened. We have only to extend this to all the indns- tries stimulated by jn-otection, and we soon airivc 4-M FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION at universal over-production. Labour is as much a portion of the plant as the engine which drives the machinery, and it too for a time is attracted in unduly large quantities. Then it is suddenly thrown idle, but instead of being- content with an occasional turn and oiling, it starves, and those dependent on its earnings with it. The farmer goes on growing his corn and vegetables and feeding his cattle, but there is not the money to purchase them. They remain in his granary, or rot in the fields, or eat their heads off, and their owner complains of bad times and over-production, whereas were everyone properly fed there would be something approaching a famine in the land. Free trade therefore not only opens many markets to surplus products, but in three years out of four stimulates the consumption of them at home. And what of the ufreat mass of waoe-earners and those dependent on small or moderate incomes however received ? Where wages are proportionate to prices, free trade or protection is of little con- sequence. If bread and all the necessaries of life are 50 per cent, dearer in one country than another, and wages are likewise 50 per cent, higher, the labourer miofht rest content. But how often is this the case ? The skilled mechanic in the United States may be quite as well off financially as his brother in England. In any case he is not so physically. The same precautions are not always taken to ensure* his health and comfort while at THE BASIS OF PRICES 425 work, he has not the same redress if permanently injured, or even temporarily disabled, and if he is discontented and strikes, there may be judges who will construe the laws ag;ainst him, and send him to jail, though he may not have been guilty of any violence. He really wants a higher proportionate wage to compensate him for the disabilities he is under. But the moment he is idle, or his wages are reduced, he begins to feel the pinch. The com- modities he requires are not necessarily cheaper, he has less money to buy them with, and must either save less or reduce consumption. And it must be remembered that in every country a very laro-e number of wag-e-earners are not skilled mechanics receiving high pay. They are the flotsam and jetsam of humanity, cast hither and thither, and earning a precarious livelihood. \.\\ average of two, three, or if they are lucky, four days' work per week is all tliey have to look forward to. If food and clothing are plentiful and cliea}), they may be able to eke out a fairly tolerable subsistence, but increase the cost of these and life becomes one continual fight against starvation. How essential therefore that the barest necessaries should be ni.iiii- tained at tlie lowest ]K)ssible level of value. lithe well paid mecli.-inic in r]ngl;in(l .-ind tin- I nited States are on fairly ecpial terms, llieic is no com- })arison between the lot of tlie cjisii.il l.ibourers in the two countries, for wiiile \\\ llie one ;i few 426 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION coppers \\'\\\ always secure food and shelter, it is only a silver piece will provide the equivalent in the other. Very low prices are of less consequence than tliat they should be at the lowest practicable level. To those who rarely if ever have any money at all, it matters little whether the quartern loaf is at four- pence or eightpence ; to those who are able to earn something, however little, it may make all the difference in the world. But when natural causes keep the price at the higher level, they will also to some extent raise the remuneration of even casual labour. When these causes are, like protection, purelv artificial, they may, and very likely will, operate in one direction without exerting any corre- sponding influence in the other. What each nation must aim at, is not to reduce prices to the lowest point in order that the most needy of the community may benefit, but to take care that they are kept as low as anywhere else. And only free trade can accomplish this. It is always difficult as well as dangerous to attribute far-reaching consequences to narrow causes. The contention that free trade has been the sole, or even the principal reason of the past industrial supremacy of Great Britain, is almost impossible of proof. We do not know what would have happened under protection ; other nations have advanced under it, and one at least appears now to be making more rapid industrial progress THE REDUCTION IN WHOLES A IE PROFITS 427 than Great Britain, though, as we have seen, it is the least protective. But there are landmarks which should at anyrate be noted. Were the demands for protection in England confined exclusively to agriculturists and land- owners, it might be dismissed as a purely class agitation. But it now finds considerable support among manufacturers, who were at one time almost to a man fervent adherents of free trade. They feel the pressure of competition, particularly of what we may term the " balance of trade " competition, and though that must continue in one form or another, each individual wishes to transfer it to some other industry. Under it profits have been grievously reduced, while they have been further cut at the other end by a steady rise in wages. Invested capital generally, being worth so much less than it formerly was, it is but natural that capital invested in industry should likewise yield a smaller return, though this may be made good to some extent Ijy increased personal energy. But the fact remains, that only in exceptional years and under very favourable circmnstances are industrial magnates a])le to earn the profits to wliicli tliey had grown accustomed by long usage, and because the}' are growing poorer, or not increasing in wcaltli as they tliink they ought, they imagine llic conntrv is losinci" "-round. Tlie favourite figures used to disprovi'; tliis are not always very convincing; tlic value of 4 28 tKEE TRADE OR PROTECTION property assessed to the income tax does not sliow any great increase in recent years, while the larger deposits in the Post Office savings lianks are known to be very largely on behalf of well-to-do people, who use them as a safe invest- ment while the rate of interest is everywhere else so low. And truly, a system which has only succeeded in placing a bare four per cent, of the population within reach of an income of £400 per annum and upwards, has nothing very great to boast of. Nevertheless the country has been and is making steady progress, and increasing in wealth, in ways w^hich are not perceptible to the statis- tician. My own memory carries me little further back than twenty or twenty-five years, yet in the city with which I am best acquainted I have in that time witnessed a transformation. In every direction it has extended itself, and rows of goodly- sized houses, semi-detached villas, and spacious mansions have sjDrung up everywhere. I have sometimes wondered where the people came from who inhabit them, for the actual population has not increased in anything like proportion to the accommodation provided for it. The answer is probably to be found in the wdiolesale migration of shopkeepers moving their private residences from their places of business to suburban districts. The cheapness of nearly everything, undoubtedly due in some measure to free trade, has not only stimu- WHAT FREE TRADE DOES FOR THE MASSES 429 lated the demand, but has increased retail profits ; and while the great merchant or manufacturer finds it difficult to make a fair percentage on an annual turnover of hundreds of thousands of pounds, the retailer makes his twenty, thirty, and even fifty per cent, on his hundreds or few thousands. The dwelling's which at one time would have been regarded as at least the homes of large wholesale dealers, are now inhabited by people who sell sugar by the pound and calico by the yard. This means not only enormous activity in the building trades, and all in any way associated with them, but growing receipts for the railway companies, and new demands for omnibus and tramway routes, with all the employment they necessarily afford. In the same city there is a district notorious as the centre of everything that is vicious and criminal. Until recently I had not passed through it for some years, and I was surprised to find that the narrow streets, and still narrower and more confined courts, liad been cleared of the high and tuml)le-do\vn tenements witli wliieli they had so aljouiided, and that rows of neat-looking workmen's cottages had largely taken tlieir place. How much wretcliedness, vice and crime tliere still is in that district, God only knows, but at least an attempt has been made to piox idc the |)e(t|)l<' with decent surronndmgs. Not nnicli (•;iii he expected \vliil<' there is ;i pnhjie-liouse at every street coi'ner, and very often one or two in between ; but there is 430 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION an evident tendency to ini])iovement even among the most debased, assisted and expedited by the very cheapness of all the necessaries of life. And between these extremes there is an enormous population dependent on one to three pounds per week, living in comparative comfort, where half a century ago they would have been unable to make ends meet. Free trade may not have lifted them into the class of the rich, but it has at least handed down to them many of the comforts, and some few even of the luxuries of that class. While these classes have been prospering, perhaps to some extent at the expense of those above them, the nation in the aggregate has certainly not been growing poorer. We have noticed that already in connection with the reduction of the national debt, but there are other means of Pfaugfinof it as well. o o o All the new buildings, whether for residential or business occupation, are a permanent addition to the wealth of the country, and though some of the old property may have greatly depreciated in value, much of it on the other hand has steadily risen, as it has become the centre of growing business activity. And even w4ien we come to that very popular test, the accumulation of the precious metals, we find the same story told. However else the excess of imports over exports has been paid for, it certainly has not been in gold. Every year from 1887 to 1895 inclusive, BULLION MOVEMENTS 431 more gold was received into the country than was sent out of it. The aggregate excess of the years 1874 to 1896 inclusive amounted to upwards of £60,000,000, and whatever else is wanted in the land, there is plenty of the precious metal for all needful requirements. Silver renders a somewhat different account, as during the same period the exports exceeded the imports by upwards of £8,000,000. This is strange, considering that nowhere in the United Kingdom are there any silver mines ; but the explanation is that some lead containing silver is produced, and that a great deal of rich silver lead ore is imported from Spain and other countries for treatment by English smelters, and that the quantity so extracted has been sufficient to provide all that was necessary for coinage purposes, and for use in the various arts, leaving a considerable surplus for ex})ort. In British trade returns, silver should really appear as a commodity, and that would slightly rectify tlie adverse balance. In 1896, if so included, it would have operated in this way to the extent of £720,000, a figure ratlier Ih'Iow the usual average. The United States have on the otlier liaiid lost much gold in recent years, again directly attril)ut- able to fiscal mid cihtciicn' legislation. Tlio countries of continental Eurttpc have gained I.hl^'i'Iw but that has been of sot and deliberate |)nr|)o.se, while in I^n^land it has taken plare in the nalural 432 FREE TRADE OR PROTECTION oourst' of events. Tlie banks of France, of Germany, of Austria, and of Russia, accumulate o-reat sup})lies of gold as a precaution against militarv eventualities, and nothingf would induce them to part with it. London is a free market, and the gold is as much at liberty to go as it is to come. What free trade does for the many, protection would undoubtedly accomplish in an accentuated degree for the few. The increase in the price of any commodity rarely passes intact into the hands of the producer, but as one producer supplies many consumers, a small portion of it soon enriches him. Were protection afforded to agriculture in the United Kingdom, the net result would be a rise in the rent of land, which would come out of the pockets of food consumers and pass into those of the landowners. Were it extended to certain manufactures, such as clothing, the woollen or cotton spinner and weaver would profit ; the wearer would pay. How it would operate in Great Britain, is exactly how it does operate in countries where it exists. Protection is the paradise of the rich, Free Trade the salvation of the poor. J APPENDIX. THE NEW AMEKICAN TARIFF. The " Sound Money " victory of November 1896 has already borne its fruit in the United States, but it is distinctly of the Dead Sea variety. Not the slightest attempt has been made to reform the currency, the basis of which remains as rotten as ever, while the assets held against it have been further depreciated by at least .^50,000,000 through the continued heavy fall in the price of silver. The hundreds of thousands, if not the millions of United States electors w^ho were deluded, cajoled, and forced into voting for Pre- sident M'Kinley on the specious grounds of his transparent " honesty " — save the mark — now discover to their cpst that they are delivered over, bound hand and foot, to be merci- lessly plundered by his friends. For the loud boast of these latter is, that the new or Dingley tarifi" imposes an average duty of 56 per cent, against the 40 per cent, of its imme- diate predecessor, and the 50 per cent, which was all j\Ir. M'Kinley as a jilain Congressman could screw it up to. The first ol)ject of the M'Kinley Act was to reduce the revenue ; the purpose of the Dingley tarifl' however is to " provide revenue for the Government, and to encourage the industries of the United States,"a curious combination it must be admitted, for in the way in which it is here meant, the one is nlLogetlicr uiilagoiiistic to tlie other. The fraincr of the measure claimed lor it indeed Lliat it would sliut out 28 434 THE NEW AMERICAN TARIFE foreign imports, and enable home manufacturers to supply the goods instead, and then in the same breath, and with an audacity of which only an American protectionist could be capable, proceeded to show that taking the previous year's imports as a basis, the Treasury would gain to the extent of 8110,000,000. In the form in which the Bill has finally become law, the duties payable on the goods imported during the last year of the Wilson Act would be $276,000,000, against the amount of 8156,000,000 actually collected under that Act, that is, the additional levy would amount to 8120,000,000, or £24,000,000. As the quantities of these imported goods constitute under many of the schedules but a very moderate percentage of the total consumption, it is quite safe to estimate that the cost of the new tariff to the consumers of the United States will be somewhere between £50,000,000 and £100,000,000 per annum. Just a little instalment to be going on with of the price for " Sound Money." The Dingley Bill as it emerged from the "Ways and Means Committee of the House of Eepresentatives was almost a recast of the former M'Kinley Act, with one important exception. That exception was sugar, which had formerly enjoyed a bounty costing the Treasury some 812,500,000 annually, but now followed the lines of the Wilson Act, and imposed instead a duty on the basis of 1| cent per pound for pure sugar, which was calculated to yield 850,000,000, that is, on this one schedule alone the gain to the Treasury was estimated at upwards of 860,000,000 per annum upon the M'Kinley Act. The Bill was forced through the House of Eepresenta- tives without amendment, and practically without debate, the closure having been applied in an unusually drastic manner. The measure however so greatly exceeded in stringency what had generally been anticipated, that a MANIPULATING THE BILL 435 strong movement set in to import as much as possible of every article affected, prior to its becoming law, and the protectionists made a counter move to prevent this. They tacked on to the Bill a retroactive clause, that is, althouoh it might not become law for some time, the duties under it were to become payable on the 1st May, and ample security taken on goods which should be imported subse- quently, and cleared from bond before the final enactment of the new tariff. Unfortunately for these enthusiasts, they had been engaged some years previous in defeating a clause of a very similar character. The Wilson Bill had been framed to come into operation on the 1st August 1894, which would have allowed ample time for its discussion, but owing to the obstructive tactics of the Senate, its passage was delayed until the 28th of that month. Protectionists, grasping at any straw, moved for and obtained a decision from the Supreme Court that all imports cleared from bond prior to that date fell under the- old tariff, and consequently had to pay the old duties, though they no doubt hoped that the judges of that court would now reverse the decision for their special benefit. But there was no need to appeal to the Supreme •Court in this instance. The retroactive clause did not suit the Senate, and was promptly banished to the limbo of obscurity whence it sprang. Many of the members of that body were busy in one way or another importing all they could themselves, and otherwise making money out of the new tariff, and they wanted delay, not speed, any loss to the National Treasury being to them of utter insigniticance when compared with their personal interests. It was conse- quently not until the closing days of -luly that the J*)ill actually l>ecame law. Meanwhile it had passed llirongh iiiaii\' vicissitudes. Despite the pharasai('al uttei'aiiccs of its ollicial sjjonsors 436 THE NEW AMERICAN TARIFF tlu'iv was less couci'ahiu'iiL lliau usual about the real objects of the Bill, and the tight for the spoils was open and flagrant. It was no longer a case of asking for a duty to keep an industry on its legs, hut rather of demanding a licence to pilfer the American public, and the man who could steal the most became the hero of the hour. An ardent supporter of the measure when asked if he was aware that one of the clauses assured an annual profit of So, 500,000 to one of the smaller trusts, blandly responded that he " Didn't know and didn't care." The House of Eepresentatives having looked carefully after its own interests, it was but natural to expect that the Senate would follow so excellent a precedent, one indeed which in times gone by it had itself created. It became therefore no longer a question of how much Congressman Brown or Congressman Jones was going to make out of it, O CO ^ but whether it suited the pockets of Senator Smith and •Senator Eobinson. The result was very tersely put by a leading New York journal on the day the Bill emerged from the Senate Tariff" Committee, an event which was announced as " Dingley Bill went in, Jones Bill comes out," Mr. Dingley being the representative of the Eastern manufacturers as well as the author of the measure, and Senator Jones of Nevada, the champion of the interests strong in the Senate. In one respect at least the Senate was honest. It brushed aside the nonsense about the Bill providing ample revenue for the Government, and sought to ensure that in a practicable manner. Tea, previously on the free list, was charged with a duty of 10 cents per pound, and the excise tax on beer w^as raised from $1 to $1.44 per barrel. On the basis of existing consumption these new taxes were estimated to yield $30,000,000 per annum, and so help to adjust the national balance-sheet. They were subsequently SENATE CHANGES 437 eliminated, as to the out-and-out protectionist an annual addition to the national debt is far preferable to an admission that protective duties do not provide sutticient revenue. But for all that, a very 'considerable number of changes were made in the original measure, and as some of tlieni were in the direction of reduced rates, credit is claimed for the Senate for having somewhat modified the measure. Little is due to it however, for the changes are more apparent than real, and are principally conspicuous in the schedule devoted to iron and steel, where the Wilson rates are as a rule retained, and in one or two instances further reduced. Here it has been lately demonstrated that the interests principally concerned are unaljle to avail them- selves of the protection already afforded, and that the ordinary laws of supply and demand hold sway. To reduce the duties $1 or $2 a ton, is consequently but to make a virtue of necessity, for nobody is either the gainer or the loser. Had the Senate really desired to demonstrate its ability, as well as its desire to modify the metal tariff, there was ample scope for it in the section devoted to cutlery. On cheap penknives and pocket-knives for instance, tlie Wilson rate was 2H per cent, ad valorem, the Dingley is 40 per cent, on top of a graduated specific rate. A knife, the whole- sale price of which is 5 cents, pays another 5 cents duty, and then the 40 per cent., making tlie duty 140 jicr <'('nt. against a former '17) per cent, Ifazors and razor blades are very similarly treated, and instead of 40 per cent., pay, if valued at say S3 per dozen, another $1.75, and 20 jn-r cent, additional, nr aliout .SO jicr cent. Siniilaily all soils of nails, paying mostly under the Wilson Act 2;") pm- cent., are now cliarged at s])ecific rates varying from \ cent to 2\ cents per pound, in sonic instances a very material increase. 43^ THE NEW AMERICAN TARIFF Aif;iin, in the scheduk' (U'voted to cotton goods, many of the AVilson rates are left. But they are solely in the cheaper falirics in which foreign competition is altogether out of the (juestion, and in which over-production at home occasionally brings prices down to a lower level than the tariff would warrant. Had American cotton manufacturers been able to demonstrate that an extra 10 or 20 per cent, would have enabled them to exact that much more from the con- sumer, the Dingley Bill would undoubtedly have granted it to them. But the moment we pass to the more expensive goods, in which there is foreign competition, there is a different tale to tell. Here duties have been raised all round, and sometimes raised heavily. Fine cotton cloths of over 200 threads to the square inch have been increased \ cent a yard, and on the very finest 1 cent a yard, equivalent to about 20 per cent. Stockings and hosiery have suffered just as severely, and whereas the former rate was an even 50 per cent. ad. valorem, it is now under mixed, specific and ad valor etn duties raised to from 60 to 75 per cent. In one or two directions the Senate sought to introduce decided improvements. Owing to the basis of the consti- tution of that Assembly, it is much more representative of the South and the West than the lower chamber. The Wilson Act, it will be remembered, made important con- cessions to agricultural industry by placing cotton bagging and ties, and grain bags, on the free list. Tlie Dingley tariff' sought to reintroduce these duties in nearly all their former unblushing extravagance, and the Senate once more abol- ished them. A compromise was eventually arrived at, under which cotton ties now pay $11.20 per ton instead of the $30 under the M'Kinley Act, and the bagging -fjj cent per square yard, instead of ly^ to ly^^j- cents. Grain bags fare JiAW HIDES AND LEATHER 439 less favourably, and have to pay 15 per cent, on top of specific duties of f to |- cent per pound. But the Senate made ample atonement for this in other directions, and particularly by the transfer of raw cotton from the free to the dutiable list at 20 per cent, ad valorem, aimed of course at the Egyptian staple, and by the imposi- tion of li cents per pound on raw hides. These duties were particularly obnoxious to Eastern manufacturers, and the angriest protesters against them were the bitterest protectionists. They were meant to afford an advantage to western and southern producers, and hitherto American protection has always meant that the western and southern citizen was to pay, not receive. Logically the duties are absurd, but not more so than the wool duty, and there is no more reason why a flockmaster should be protected than a cotton planter or a cattle breeder. The former duty was got rid of, but that on hides the Senate insisted on retain- ing, though it was compromised by a reduction to 20 per cent, ad valorem. This is a severe blow to the leathev-tannhig industry, one of the very few in the United States which . has pros- pered in late years, and likewise one of the very few which has hitherto been conducted free from artificial restriction. The value of tlie leather export has steadily mounted from under $12,000,000 in ISO:; to upwards of .^20,000,000 in 1896, and despite the drawback to be allowed on exported leather tanned from imported hides, the industry is certain to receive a severe check. Moreover, it affects trade rela- lioiishiiis will) South America, wlicucc fully lialf tlic raw hides arc im])orte(l, and Uruguay and the. Argentine li('i)ul)lic, who are constantly being invited to increase their takings of United States manufactures, are already threatening serious reprisals. One wnuld led some syiu]i;itliy I'nr tliosc engaged in (be American leather trade, diil one iml feel 440 THE NEW AMERICAN TARIFF certain that had protection suited them they would have demanded it for themselves long since. Mexico is another country with which the United States are anxious to extend their connections, at anyrate as far as selling them manufactured goods is concerned, and there is perhaps no country at the present moment whose friend- ship is l:>etter worth cultivating. Mexico is likewise a considerable exporter of hides as well as cattle, the duty on which is also largely increased. But the great industry of that republic is silver and lead mining, and once more the Western Senator has intervened to destroy trade. The natural source of supply for the deficiency in the United States lead production is Mexico, so the duties on pig lead and lead ore have been doubled, the former now standing at $47.50, the latter at 833.50 per ton. Again however, the Western Senator and those he represents are amply justified from their own point of view. The last serious difference between the two houses which I shall notice for the moment, arose on the Wool Schedule. The M'Kinley Act, it will be remembered, divided the fieeces into three classes. The commonest is used princi- pally by Eastern carpet manufacturers, and when not imported is grown principally on the backs of sheep in the Kocky Mountain districts. As they thus belonged to AVestern owners, the measure of protection extended to them was much less than to those of the Middle and Eastern States. Against this Western Senators rebelled, and while reducing the duties on first and second class unwashed wools from 11 and 12 cents per pound to 8 and 9 cents respectively, they materially increased those on third- class wools. Once more was heard the wail of pharasaic hypocrisy as the sponsors of the Bill declaimed against greed and selfishness, but nevertheless, to keep what they had already secured for themselves, they agreed to give CHEMICALS AND TIMBER 441 what the West demanded with some slight nioditicatiou, with the result that the old M'Kinley Woollen Schedule is re-enacted in more than its old iniquity. The new regulations regarding tourists' wearing apparel and personal effects, naturally fall to be reviewed under this schedule. I referred to a probaljle attempt to put an end to this abuse, and it too has resulted in compromise. Instead of everything of foreign production being made dutiable, an import is permitted of $100 for each person ; a slender margin for some, but a fairly wide one for those who are not inclined to extravagance. Already endless dis- putes have arisen regarding the interpretation of the clause, and among other things a wrangle has occurred over the value of the clothing on the corpse of an unfortunate passenger who died while at sea. The customs landing depots attached to the various ports promise to become veritable houses of detention, and there will be no need shortly for penitentiaries like the " Tombs." . On the other schedules, with one important exception, there appears to have been something like agreement. That devoted to chemicals afforded perhaps the widest field f(U- fresh pilfering, and it was fully availed of. Since the days of the ^M'Kinley Act, a Drug Trust has come into existence, which has sought to impose its terms on every retail chemist in the Union, and failing, has delil)erately set to work to ruin him. The ten per cent, duty hitherto im])Osed on raw drugs was insufficient for its purpose, aiul as it no doubt contributed handsomely to the Eepublican cani])aign fund, its orders despatched to Washington to impose an additional specific duty were jtromptly and inijilicitly obeyed. Bleaching powder, which even under the .M'Kinley Act had been left free, was transferred to the dutiable list, and rated at \ cent jier jh.uihI, r(|iia] l5 cent. That is, in addition to the \ cent out and out which the Trust fought for and obtained under the Wilson Act, it now gets .01675 cent per degree per pound. The lower the sugar the Trust can buy for refining purposes theref(jre, the greater will be its profit, consequently all the l]>rv, U.S., 122. Corn Law League, 10. Cotton, raw, U.S., 47, 439. 45° INDEX Cotton, manufactured, U.K., 88;^ 1^8., 131,378,438; Fee., ICG ; (Imy., 180. ,, ties and bayging, U.S., 117, 118, -138. Cost of collecting revenue, U.S., 255 ; Fee. , 2t)9. Cost of living, U.S., 255. Cuba, 201, 282, 363. Currants, reduction of duty, U.K., 63. Customs Union Schemes, 305. Cutlery, U.S., 121, 437 ; Gmy., 179. D Dangers of tariff legislation, 9. Danish subsidies, 212. Denunciation of commercial treaties, 319. Diamond trade, U.K., 95; U.S., 148; S. Africa, 370. Disorganisation of mail service with U.S., 218. Disputes, tariff, 421. Distribution of taxation, U.K., 244 ; U.S., 252 ; Fee., 271 ; Gmy., 278. Drawbacks, customs, 194. Drink traffic and public opinion, 16, 18 ; West Coast Africa, 406. Drugs, U.S., 106, 441. Dutch subsidies, 212. E Earthenware and China, U.K., 95 ; U.S., 112, 442 ; Gmy., 183. Economic conditions, Fee., 153, 162. Education, 270, 392. Egyptian trade, 291. Excise duties, 10, 65. Export duties, 44. Exports of foreign goods, 419. ,, under- valuation of, 342, 421. F Failure of sugar bounties, 201. False economic conditions, 41. Feathers, Ornamental, 96, 158, 372. Federation of Australia, -325. Fiscal year, U.S., 353. Fishery bounties. Fee., 232. Flax „ „ 232. „ industry, U.K., 95 ; U.S., 133, 145, 443 ; Gmy., 181. Fluctuations in trade, U.S., 357. Food imports, U.K.. 308. Foreign exports, 419. Foreign investments, 344. ,, trade, nature of, 376, 384. Forgery of trade marks, 391. Freights, 339. Free trade and Trusts, 60. „ „ • the masses, 429. Frenc|;i boiinties, sugar, 197. Other, 232. French colonies, 162; 174, 269, 286. ,, conventional tariff, 174. ,, economic conditions, 153, 162. ,, exports, nature of, 156. „ industrial limitations, 161. „ national debt, 270, 410. ,. population, 162. ,, railway subventions, 227. ,, shipping subsidies, 209. „ surtaxes, 172, 201. trade with U.K., 364, 372. Fruits, U.K., 75 ; Fee., 171 ; Gmy., 177 ; Canada, 295. Furs and skins, U.K., 97. a German colonies, 285. ,, conventional tariff, 187. ,, industrial expansion, 192. ,, national debt, 274, 413. ,, shipping subsidies, 205. ,, State railways, 222. ,, sugar bounties, 196. ,, tariff, moderation of, 175, 186, 274. „ Wars, 187. ,, trade with British colonies, 321. ,, treaty of commerce with U.K., 191, 319. ,, Zollverein, 305, 360. Glass, U.K., 90 ; U.S., 113 ; Gmy., 18.3. Gloves, U.K., 93 ; U.S., 147 ; Gmy., 183. Gold production, S. Africa, 370. Grain bags, U.S., 145, 438. Greek colonies, 333. Growth of industry, 27. Gunpowder, U.S., 148. H Hawaii and U.S., 446. Hides, U.S., 439 ; Fee., 173. Home trade, 384. I and J Imperial federation, 330. Import duties, 53. INDEX 451 Incidence of protection, 53, 61, '253. ,, revenue taxes, 62. . ,, sugar bounties, 198. „ wheat taxes, U.K., 56 ; Fee., 55. Income tax, U.K., 240, 245, 248 ; U.S., 251. Indian trade, 303, 366, 378. Indo-China, 2SS. Industrial Expansion, U.S., 35 ; Gray., 37. Industry, natural growth of, 27. Insecurity of protection, 20. Intercourse between nations, 383. Internal competition. 394. Iron and steel, U.K., 91 ; U.S., 115, 437 ; Fee., 167 ; Gmy., 179. Italian shipping subsidies, 212. Japanese trade, 362, 366, 378. Labour, waste of, 381. Lace, U.K., 96 ; U.S., 136; Gmy., 182. Lead, U.S., 122. 440. Leather, U.K., 89 ; U.S., 146, 439 ; Gmy., 183. Legislation and trade, 401. Licensing systems, 17. Light dues, 3S6. Linens, U.K., 95 ; U.S., 14.'., 4-13 ; Gmy., 181. Local taxation, 53. Luxuries and necessaries, 8. M Madagascar, 290. Mail contracts, 208, 211, 213, 21 S. Mexican dollars, 45. Mexico and U.S., 440. Military expenditure, 417. Morocco, trade of, 46. Musical instruments, U.K., 95 ; Fee., 164. N National Debt, U.K., 415 ; U.S., 413 ; Fee., 270, 410 ; Gmy., 271, 413 ; Australasia, 325. National finances, U.S., 258, 447. „ „ and protection, 20. Naval expenditure, 417. Navigation bounties, 210, 212. Necessaries and Luxuries, 8. New South Wales tariff, 297. „ ., trade with Gmy., 324. New Zealand tariff, 299. Nitrate of soda duty, 44. Over-production, 234, 382, 422. ,, bounties arising from, 233. Paper, U.K., 91 ; U.S., 14.'.. Pension list, U.S., 258 ; Fee., 267. Phd'nician Colonies, 333. Political uses of protection, 25. Poor, taxation of the, 12. Portuguese Colonies, 283. Postal revenues, 239. Post office and rubber trade, 78. Preferential railway rates, U.K., 388, Gmy., 275. ,, tariff, Canada, 310. Prohibition, dangers of, 15. Protection in U.K., 38. ., France, nature of, 174. Gmy., moderation of, 175, 274. U.S., results of, 151. incidence of. 53, 61, 253. and revenue, 25. ,, insecuritj' of, 21. when legitimate, 10. „ who resjionsible for it, 30. Prussian budget, 277. Public opinion and drink traffic. 1 6, 1 8. Q Queensland tariff, 298. R Railway .systems ;ind subventions, U.K., 222 ; U.S., 231 ; Fee., 227 ; Gmy., 222. Railway j.refercntial rates, IT.Iv.. 3SS ; (Jmy., 275. Raw materials, U.K.. 77 ; U.S., 132 ; Fee., 169 ; Gmy., 275. Reckless trading, 389. Re-exports, 419. Restrictive legi.slatirm, 401. Retail j.rofits^ 128. iietroactive tarilf, l'!5. Reveime, cost of collection, I '..S., 255 ; Fee., 269. Revenue from commodities, 23S. ,, incidence' of taxation, 62. ,, and ]iroti'ction, 21. Royal Comniission on Agriculture, :i85. Russia and France. 301. Russia, tariff war witli (u-rmany. 188. 45^ INDEX S Salt. II, 19. Settlement of trade balances, 363. Shipping competition, 213. light dues, 386. .subsidies, 20.'>-'221. Silks. U.K., 93 ; U.S., 14-1, 143 ; Fee., l.'.S ; Gmy., 182. Silk bounties. Fee., 232, Skins and furs, U.K., 97. South African trade, 304, 369. „ American finances. 347. Spain, tariff war with Gmy., 190. Spani-sh colonies, 281. „ trade, 363. Specie movements, 367, 430. Specific and ad valorem duties, 421. Spirit duties, U.K., 67 ; U.S., 127, 252 ; Gmy., 177. •State railways, Gmy., 222. Steel rails. U.S., 58, 117 ; Fee., 167 ; Gmy.. 179. Straits Settlements, 297. Subsidies to shipping, 205-221. Subventions to railways, 222-232. Sugar consumed by brewers, 81. ,, consumption, 202. „ bounties, 195-204. „ duties, U.K., 63, 79 ; U.S., 124, 434, 443 ; Fee., 154 ; Gmy., 176 ; various, 203. Sugar tax in West Indies, 45. „ Trust, U.S., 124, 443. Surplus products, 6, 234. Surtaxes, Fee., 172, 201. Tariff for morality, 13. protection, 19. revenue, 4. Tariff reforms, U.K., 98. ,, revisions of, 13. ,, wars in Gmy., 187. Taxation, U.K., 240 ; U.S., 250 : Fee., 261 ; Gmy., 273. Taxation of necessarie.s, 6. ,, indirect, 5. „ of the poor, 12 „ unequal, 385. Tea, U.K., 76, 80 ; U.S., 436, Fee.. 154 ; Gmy., 176. Tea, sources of supply, 87. Textile machinery, 51. Timber, U.S., 123, 442 ; Fee., 171 : Gmy., 184. Tin. U.S., 115. ■ Tinplates, U.S., 119, 382 ; Fee., 167 Gmy., 179 Tobacco. U.K.. 71 ; U.S., 126, 252 ; Fee., 155; Gmy., 177. Tobacco monopoly. Fee. , 265. Trade fluctuations, U.S., 357. ., legislation, 401. ,, mark forgery, 391. Trusts, U.S., 60. Tunis, 289. Turkey, fiscal policy, 203. u Under-valuation of exports, 342, 421. Unefjual taxation, 385. United States balance of trade, 352, 365. „ coastwise service, 216. ,, expansion, 35. ,, finances, 258, 447. „ mail service, 218. ,, national del)t, 413. „ natural advantages of, 31. „ railroads, 231. shipping subventions, 214. ,, trade crises, 348. ,. ,, fluctuations, 357. Viticulture bounties. Fee., 232. Victoria, tariff of, 298. w Wages, U.S., 32. Wasteful labour, 381. Watches and clocks, U.K., 92. Wearing apparel, U.S., 149, 441 ; Gmy.. 18V. West Africa, U.K., 403 ; Fee., 405 ; Gmy., 285, 406. West Australia, tariff of, 296, 307. West Indies, sugar tax, 45. Wheat, U.K., 56. 309; U.S., 47. 127 ; Fee., 53, 170; Gmy., 184. Wholesale profits, 427. Wine, U.K., 71 ; U.S., 126 ; Fee., 154, 171 ; Gmy., 177. Wool, raw, U.K., 2, 307 ; U.S., 133; Fee., 169. Woollen manufactures, U.K., 88 ; U.S., 137, 440 ; Fee., 165 ; Gmy.! 181. Working classes, 402, 424. UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LIBRARY Los Aogeles This book is DUE on the last date stamped below. orm L9 — 157n-10,'48(Bl039)444 UNIVEKSITY of UAl.ir UKWU AT LOS ANGELES LIBRARY HF Root - 2046 — "^af^ ff aJ^ * ^ R67t trade. HF 2046 R67t 1897 UC SOUTHERN REGIONAL LIBRARY FACILI II llll|l|l|l| IPIII|I|||||!IIIIIIIIIIIIII AA 001 007 303 9