5 105 sojmo-jo %MnVMO^ X.OFCALIFO%, *. ^- ^-^ ^ O PS fAHvaan-^ 7 ^AavHan-i^ 3 " ^^-o j t j s true . Dut not f or the commodities. Ri- reason assigned . The reason is because, car o. p. by. instead of the rent being the cause of the price, the price is the cause of the rent. The rent of the vineyard is not a component part of the price of Tokay; for the plain reason, that the price men are willing to give for Tokay, is what causes the rent. At the same time there is no objection to the ordinary sense in which rent is said to be a component part of the price of a commodity ; meaning only that the price of some of its com- ponent parts is a monopoly price, or one that affords a rent. The two senses are different ; and must not be confounded. and we have seen, The aboriginal fallacy again. The that with every por- pr j ce o f produce rises first, and deter- tion of additional ca- mines wfaat addition of capital can be pital which it becomes em ] d with a fit aml at lhe same necessary to employ 4 - ' J on the land with a less time raiS6S rent ' productive return, rent would rise. Ri- cardo. p. 68. of Rent. 23 It follows from the same principles, that any circumstances in society which should make it unnecessary to employ the same Any saving in agricultural processes is such a circumstance; and agricul- tural savings, as has been seen, do not lower rent, but powerfully increase it. The error arises, as before, from attri- amo'u'nt 7f capitaTon butin the Production of rent to a wrong the land, and which cause ' should therefore make the portion last employed more productive, would lower rent. Ricardo. p. 68. It would lower rent ; but it would be because it diminished the power of the competitors to bid, and consequently the price of corn. Any great reduc- tion in the capital of a country, which should materially di- minish the funds des- tined for the mainte- nance of labour, would naturally have this effect. Ricardo. p. 68. The effects of agricultural improve- ments upon rent, have been shown to be of a nature directly contrary. The same effects may however he pro- duced when the wealth and population of a country are increased, if that increase is accompanied by such marked improvements in agriculture, as shall have the same effect of diminishing the necessity of cultivating the poorer lands, or of expending the same amount of capital on tlie cultivation of the more fertile portions. Ricardo. p. 69. If a million of quar- ters of corn be neces- sary for the support of a given population, and it be raised on land of the qualities of No. 1, 2, 3; and if an improvement be afterwards discovered by which it can be raised on No. I and 2, without employing No. 3, it is evident that the immediate effect must be a fall of rent; for No. 2, instead of No. 3, will then be cultivated without paying any rent ; and the rent of No. 1, instead of being the difference be- tween the produce of No. 3 and No. 1, will If a million of quarters is raised on land of the qualities of No. 1, 2, 3, and an improvement in agriculture subse- quently takes place, the effect will be that there will be some increase of pro- duce on 1 and 2 and 3, and some re- duction of price in consequence; and the landlord will every where take all that remains after paying the necessary profits of stock, for rent. With the same population and no more, there can be no demand for any additional quan- tity of corn at the same price as before ; but there will, at a reduced price. Men economize in the use of corn, as of every thing else, when it is dear, and use it more liberally when it is cheap ; and to say they do not, is only the fallacy of saying some men do not. If it was not so, it would be impossible to get through a scarce year, or to consume all the corn that is produced in one of extraordinary 24 plenty. The nature of effectual demand is entirely overlooked. be the difference only between No. 2 and 1. With the ame popu- lation, and no more, there can be no demand for any additional quantity of corn ; the capital and labour employed on No. 3, will be devoted to the pro- duction of other commodities desirable to the community, and can have no effect in raising rent, unless the raw material from which they are made cannot be obtained without employing 1 capital less advantageously on the land, in which case No. 3 must again be cul- tivated. Ricardo. p. 69. Their effect on rent is of a nature di- rectly contrary to what is intended to be stated. They both increase it. It is true that they both lead to a small fall in the price of produce ; but they increase rent after all. But improvements in agriculture are of two kinds : those which increase the productive powers of the land, and those which enable us to obtain its produce with less labour. They both lead to a fall in the price of raw produce ; they both affect rent, but they do not affect it equally. Ricardo. p. 70. If, by the introduc- The aboriginal fallacy again. Land- lords may be asked whether turnip hus- bandry and invigorating manures have lowered rent. If they had, landlords would have been seen forming, not a Board of Agriculture, but a Board for the Suppression of Turnips and the Prevention of Manure. tion of the turnip hus- bandry, or by the use of a more invigorating manure, I can obtain the same produce with less capital, and with- out disturbing the difference between the productive powers of the successive por- tions of capital, I shall lower rent ; for a different and more pro- ductive portion will be that which will form the standard from which every other will be reckoned. Ricardo. p. 72. but since the same cause, the diffi- culty of production, raises the exchange- able value of raw pro- duce, and raises also the proportion of raw produce paid to the landlord for rent, it is obvious that the land- lord is doubly bene- fited by difficulty of production. First he obtains a greater share, and secondly the commodity in In the case of a monopoly like that, for example, of the vineyard which pro- duces Tokay, an increase of the diffi- culty of production cannot raise the ex- changeable value of the produce; be- cause that is raised already, above the height which would be assigned by the difficulty of production. The difficulty of production only diminishes the quan- tity of gain which will remain with the owners of the monopoly. In the same manner in the case of other agricultural produce, the difficulty of production cannot raise the exchangeable value, as long as there is a monopoly gain or of Rent. 25 which he is paid is of rent which can he taken from the land- greater value. Ri- } ord . Neither can it raise the proportion cardo. p. 75. ^ f the produce i eft to the l an dlord for rent; for, as in the case of Tokay, it evidently diminishes it. The assertion made to the contrary, is only the aboriginal fallacy repeated. [Having in a former [If the principle represented as regu- part of this work lating the price of com is incorrect, the established, I hope sa- conclusion derived from it on the sub- tisfactorily, the prin- j ect of l an d-tax, tithes, and taxes on Ciple, that the price du is without f ounda tion.] of corn is regulated ' r * . -n J ,, bv the cost of L pro- C A taX F tlth : Wl11 . C3USC a Sma11 re : duction on that land action on the price, in consequence of exclusively, or rather ^ e existence of land and outlay which with that capital ex- are thrown out of activity by it. But clusively, which pays this will not prevent the tax, with the no rent, it will fol- exception of a small effect of the re- low that whatever may action, from being thrown upon the rent.] increase the cost of production will increase the price ; whatever may reduce it, will lower the price. The necessity of cultivating poorer land, or of obtaining a less return with a given additional capital on land already in cultivation, will inevitably raise the ex- changeable value of raw produce. The discovery of machinery, which will enable the cultivator to obtain his corn at a less cost of production, will necessarily lower its exchangeable value. Any tax which may be imposed on the cultivator, whether in the shape of land-tax, tithes, or a tax on the produce when obtained, will in- crease the cost of production, and will therefore raise the price of raw produce. Ricardo. p. 194.] After these extracts from the Theory as delivered by its ori- ginal propounder, the examination of the consequences derived from k will be carried on by references to the work of Mr. Mill. The idea of having discovered a new principle for the de- termination of Rent, which among other qualities has that of being independent of the rate of profits of capital, leads to what is presented as a discovery of the regulating principle of Profits. Rent, it is urged, has been discovered to be a thing of fixed and determinate magnitude, depending on something in the decreasing qualities of land, and ' independent of the general result of the productive powers of labour and capital* ;' Wages, 'depend on the proportion between population and capital f;' and these two being settled, 'it is evident that the portion which remains is Profits J.' That 'wages depend on * Mill. p. 85. f Ib. p. 41. t Ib. p. 68. 26 True Theory the proportion between population and capital,' is tantamount to saying, that the greater share a man gets, the richer he will be. But it is never stated why the proportion between popu- lation and capital is different at one time and place from what it is at another, or what it is that induces such a condition of things as makes the shares different. To state how things vary, is not to state their absolute magnitude ; for one may be indefinitely great and another indefinitely small, and still both vary after the same law*. A labourer in Ireland will live and bring up a family upon potatoes ; a labourer in England will see the world unpeopled first. Why does not the labouring population in England increase till wages are reduced to the same condition as in Ireland ; or why is not the population in Ireland diminished till it bears the same proportion to capital as in England ? This is the question that wanted answering ; and the answer would have pointed to another element es- sential to the determination of both Wages and Profits, and whose existence is incompatible with the solution advanced. And this element, as long since pointed out by Adam Smith, is the force of opinion and habit. Englishmen have the phy- sical capability of living on potatoes as much as other men, but fortunately they have not the habit ; and though it might be wrong to say they would starve first in their own proper persons, they will utterly refuse to multiply upon such diet, the effect of which on population is ultimately the same. And the causes of these differences of habit, are to be found in every thing that has affected the past or affects the present condition of society, in ancient institutions, in modern improvements, in past and present laws, in battles lost and won, in refor- mations of religion, in the progress of science, in the manners of the higher classes, in the information of the lower, in every thing which man can neither suddenly alter nor create, and which connects his present mode of existence with that of his ancestors and his posterity. Fluctuations will be perpetually taking place in the existing proportion between population and capital; but the element which, in the midst of these, keeps the average rate of wages to one point and not to another, or which determines the point to which wages shall tend as to a mean, is not physical but mental. There may be a lowest physical point somewhere ; but happily all civilized, and most uncivilized nations, are considerably above it. The New- * In the language of algebra, # and X may both vary as -f; but to know any thing about the absolute magnitude of #, it is necessary to know that x-=.A x ^. The manner of living imposed by habits and opi. nions, is the missing A. of Rent. 27 Hollander may approach the lowest physical point, when he feeds on worms ; but this has no bearing on the question why one man lives on beef and another on potatoes, for both diets are happily far removed from that of the New- Hollander. The Englishman will not live and bring up a family upon po- tatoes ; because, though he may consent to live on them when he can positively procure nothing else, habit, custom, the opinion of those around him, have made it in his eyes con- temptible, irrational, absurd, for a man to be living on po- tatoes when he has the opportunity of getting any thing better. In his hours of prosperity therefore, he will to a certainty solace himself with bacon, and most probably venture upon beef; and as this absorbs a greater portion of his income in what he views as necessary to his individual existence, it pro- portionally reduces his disposition to burthen himself with new mouths. If the Irishman had the prospect of all this bacon and beef, he would view it as convertible into potatoes for a family like a patriarch's. The Englishman thinks it but decency to swallow all, and omits the family. And as opinions and habits determine the final or average proportion which shall be maintained between the numbers of the labouring population and the funds for their support, or in other words determine the average rate of Wages, so they also determine the average rate of Profits of Stock, which are only the wages of another description of labourers, con- sisting 1 partly of the recompense of present labour exerted in the form of superintendence, and partly of the recompense of past labour exerted in the creation of their capital*. Public opinion and custom require, for example, that a shopkeeper shall have a good coat, shall drink at all times malt liquor and sometimes wine, and give them to his neighbours, that his wife and daughters, if he has any, shall wear clean linen, and moreover not wash it themselves, and that when they travel, it shall be by the stage-coach and not by the waggon. * This last part, is the recompense spread over the greatest possible space. If it was proposed to a savage hunter to give a hundred of his deer for a gun, for the sake of the additional deer which his hunting would by means of it obtain for him in future, if the gun would last only one year, he must expect from it a hundred additional deer within the year, and something more. If it would last two years, he might be content with the prospect of 60 a year, the difference being a compensation for the delay; if four, with 40 ; if eight, with 25 ; and if it would last for ever, or for a time to which he sees no end, he might be induced to consent by the ex- pectation of 6 or 8. But in all these cases, what he expects, is the recom- pense of the labour expended in procuring the hundred deer, spread over a larger space. 28 True Theory Though he may do without some or other of these things in a certain degree when necessity presses, he cannot and will not do without them in the main. If therefore he is a man of foresight, he will at all events defer adding to the population of shopkeepers, till he sees a fair prospect of supporting a family in the way which public opinion pronounces to be respectable. But if he engages in it without foresight, he will keep down the population of shopkeepers in another way ; for he will break. Bankruptcy is the check to the indefinite multiplication of traders, as the evils arising from diminished food are the check to the indefinite multiplication of the lower classes of labourers. In the same manner if the higher order of traders would, or could, do without a certain rate of expen- diture, they might remit something of their rate of profits. If a great brewer, for example, would drive his family to the two-shilling gallery in one of his own drays, or a banker be content, as in India, to sit on a mud floor in the shop of his forefathers, and retire to swallow rice with the condiment of ghee, there would be some chance of the thing being brought to pass. But ' the crowning city' has determined, that her merchants shall be princes, and her traffickers the honourable of the earth ; and they neither can, nor will, resist the award. The opinion of society therefore, is what in the long run determines and keeps up the rate of recompense in this class as well as in the other; and, though there may be individual exceptions, men in general will break, sooner than not live up to whatis expected from them. The difficulty is not in finding men who will live up to this mark, but in finding men who will live within their means. The profits of stock, like wages, may be momentarily elevated or depressed by the fluctuations in the proportion between the business to be done and the men who are to do it. When business is scarce, the competition may to a certain degree induce traders to do it at a cheaper rate ; and the contrary. But if the scarcity of business is permanent, traders will begin to go out by the horn gate of bankruptcy, and so the balance will be preserved. The Section on ' Exchangeable Value' omits all notice of commodities produced under a monopoly, or for which the competition causes more to be given than repays the whole expenses with a living profit. Agricultural produce comes notoriously under this description ; for the price not only pays the expenses and profits of the cultivator, but a rent besides. 'Cost of production, then, regulates the exchangeable value of commodities.' Mill. p. 93. This is only true in one direction. The exchangeable of Rent. 29 value of a commodity of ordinary consumption cannot long continue to be less than will pay the cost of production including the necessary profits ; but it will be more, to an extent limited only by the circumstances of the particular case, whenever the competition increases the price faster than the outlay increases the produce. If there is any truth in the account that has been given of the origin and progress of Rent, an immediate corollary from it is, that taxes upon the landfall on the landlord. For if the land-owner united the characters of landlord and cultivator by keeping the land in his own hands, the charge must fall upon him. And what he cannot keep himself, he can never recover from others by the invention of selling it to them with their eyes open. If it is urged that such land-owners might recover the tax from the consumers, by raising the price of corn, the answer is, that the operation of their individual interests will prevent it. If they raise the price of corn, it is manifest that less must be sold. A high price spins out the consumption of a defi- cient harvest, and would cause only a portion of equal magnitude to be consumed out of a plentiful one. But none of the land- owners would place so much confidence in the union among his brethren, as either to throw away corn already in his barns, when he had the option of selling it, or to refuse to grow it, when by the sale of it he could obtain what he considers as a reasonable profit. The quantity of corn grown and sold, therefore, will not be diminished by any such combination ; and if the quantity is not diminished, the price for which it is sold cannot be increased. If there was no monopoly gain, the case would be very different indeed. For then the tax would oblige the land-owners to contract their growth, till the price rose to what would pay them for their trouble ; in the same manner as other producers do in similar circumstances. And the land-owners themselves will actually do this, with respect to that portion of their produce which will not pay them the necessary profits of stock. If it is suggested that the landlords may raise the price by throwing the necessity upon the tenants, it is not difficult to see that the tenants will be equally unable to compass the end desired. To put the strongest case, let it be supposed that all the landlords resolve not to abate a fraction of rent on account of the tax, and that all the tenants have been pre- viously bound by long leases which leave them no alternative but that of recovering the tax from the consumers or losing the amount. The tenant then, has made an improvident bargain, by which he is likely to lose the amount of the tax for several years, unless it can be recovered from the con- 30 True Theory sumers. But this will not produce in him any inclination to throw more away after it, either by omitting to sell corn which is in his barns, or by omitting to grow it to the utmost that will pay him a living profit upon the last sum added to the outlay. The outlay and the produce will therefore be the same as if the land-owners had held the land in their own hands ; and consequently, as before, the tax will not be re- covered in the price. The tenants therefore must put up with the loss, till they have the opportunity of recurring to the fair competition between landlords and tenants, when the tax will be thrown upon the landlords ; for it is impossible that any resolutions of the landlords should induce the tenants to go on accepting less than a living profit. The way then to determine the effect of any tax or charge upon land or agricultural produce, is to see what the effect would be upon land-owners uniting the characters of landlord and cultivator, and what alterations would be made in the bargain which they would have to offer to the competition among tenants. By the application of this principle, it will appear, that the Section on ' Taxes on Rent' (Mill. p. 248.) is right in the conclusion delivered, but not for any reason that is there stated. The inability of the landlords to protect themselves by throwing the tax upon the tenants, who pertinaciously refuse to starve upon less than a living profit; the inability of either landlords or tenants to raise the price of corn for their own convenience and throw the tax on the consumers ; are the reasons why taxes on rent, whether levied from the person of the landlord or of the tenant, must fall upon the landlord. The Section entitled ' A Tax on Profits ' presents the fol- lowing results. ' A direct tax on profits of stock offers no question of any difficulty. It would fall entirely upon the owners of capital, and could not be shifted upon any other portion of the community. As all capitalists would be affected equally, there would he no motive to the man, engaged in any one species of production, to remove his capital to any other. If he paid a certain portion of his profits, derived from the business in which he was already engaged, he would pay an equal portion, derived from any other business to which he could resort. There would not, therefore, in consequence of such a tax, be any shifting of capital from one species of employment to another. The same quantity of every species of goods would be pro- duced, if there was the same demand for them. That there would nn the whole be the same aggregate demand, is also immediately apparent. The same capital is supposedto be employed in the business of production, and if part of what accrued to the capitalist was taken from him, lessen- ing to that extent his means of purchasing, it would be transferred to the government, whose power of purchasing would be thence to the same degree increased.' Mill. p. 266. of Rent. 31 The Profits here meant are manufacturing 1 profits, as dis- tinguished i'rom agricultural ; for ' Taxes on the Profits of the Farmer' form the subject of a subsequent Section. It may however be useful to consider the two kinds in a different order. When there is a monopoly gain behind, as there is in the case of agricultural profits, it will be found by application to the case of a land-owner uniting the characters of landlord and cultivator, that the effects of a tax on profits, upon the cultivator, will be the same as those of a reduction of price. On the landlord the effects will in the first instance be, that the tax on the final amount of the cultivator's profits will be taken out of the rent. But at the same time there will be a reaction on the price of corn in the way of increasing it, in consequence of the partial diminution of produce; and of this increase of price the landlord will have the benefit. To recur, for example, to the case formerly taken, If corn was at 55*. and a tax of 20 per cent was imposed on the profits of the capital employed, the first approximation to the result would be, that the cultivator, instead of cultivating all the land and making all the outlay that would return him 10 per cent, would stop at that which would leave him 10 per cent after payment of the tax, or which would return him in the first instance 121 . The effects of this on the outlay, on the amount of the cultivator's profits, and on the quantity of produce, would be the same as those of a reduction of the price of corn from 55s. to 44s. ; for it would be the same thing in respect of the last 10/. added to the outlay, whether what was received for its produce was reduced one fifth by a tax, or by corn falling one fifth. The outlay would therefore be reduced from 1020/. to 1010/., the annual amount of profits from 102/. to 101?., and the produce from 609 quarters to 605. The price re- ceived for the 605 quarters at 55*. would be 1663/. 15s. ; so that after deducting 207. 4s. for the tax on 101/., the final receipts of the individual combining the characters of land- lord and cultivator would be 1643/. 11s. And since what he could dispose of to a tenant would be simply the opportunity of making the outlay of 1010/. with the condition of retaining llll/. out of the proceeds, what would remain to him in the shape of rent would be 532/. 11s., instead of 552/. 15s. as it was before; or the rent would be diminished by 20/. 4s., which is the tax. But to all this there must be applied a correction, for the reaction on the price of corn created by the general diminution of produce which arises from the tax and is represented in this particular case by four quarters. If on an estimate like that formerly entered into in a note, the amount of this reaction might be stated at sixpence per quarter, 32 True Theory the price of corn instead of 55*. would be 55*. 6d. And the effect of this increase of price would be in a small degree to increase the outlay, the amount of profits, and the produce. But the principal effect, neglecting inconsiderable fractions, would be, that the price of the 605 quarters would be in- creased by sixpence a quarter or 15/. 2*. 6d., which would be added to the rent. A further correction might be made by calculating the effect of the small increase of produce last mentioned upon prices, and similar corrections might be ex- tended to an indefinite number ; but. their amount would be insignificant. The corrected rent therefore may be stated at 5471. 13*. 6d. What in the case of a tax on profits makes the result so little prejudicial to the landlord, is that ihe reaction upon prices, and its effect in raising rent, are the same as if the rate was levied on the whole produce ; while the actual levy is only on the profits. Thus in the case assumed, the reaction upon prices is as great as would have been caused by a tax of one fifth, or a double tithe ; while the sum taken by the tax, or what falls on the other side of the landlord's account, is less than an eightieth, or than the eighth of a tithe. And what is thus saved by the landlord, is at the expense of the consumers. There remains the case where there is no monopoly gain behind ; or in other words the case of a tax on manufacturing profits. And here it is evident, that if the tax on the profits of the capitalists amounted, for example, to nine tenths, the capitalists would not live upon the tenth without doing all in their power to throw the loss on other persons. It lies there- fore on the affirmant to prove, that they can throw the tax on nobody else. If the difficulty of bringing silver from the mine, should, from the failure of the mines or other natural causes, be in- creased til! it approached to the difficulty of procuring gold, the producers of silver, if there was no monopoly gain be- hind upon which the difference could be thrown, must of necessity raise its price, and consent to the diminution of the extent of their sales which would be the consequence. For nothing can long continue to be produced and sold, for less than what will replace, with a living profit, the payments that must be made by the producer. But precisely the same effects would follow, if the increased difficulty of bringing silver to market arose from a tax instead of a natural impediment. For example, if what the capitalists accounted a living profit was 10 per cent, and the tax amounted to 20 per cent on their profits, the capitalists, to live, must demand the prices which would leave them in the first instance 12i per cent instead of of Rent. 33 10, or, for the silver which costs them 100/. and which they used to sell for 11(W., they must now ask 112/. 10*. And the effects of this on the quantity of silver produced and sold, would be the same as if the necessity for selling the silver for 112/. 10s. instead of 11 0/. had arisen from its costing ten elevenths of 112/. 10s., or 102/. 5s. 5d., instead of 100/., or as if from natural causes the difficulty of producing silver had been increased by ten elevenths of 2%, or 2-rr per cent. If the tax instead of being confined to the profits of the producers of silver, extended to manufactures in general, the same consequences would ensue in all ; or the prices of all the commodities must be raised to the point which would give the producers their living profits after deducting the tax. The producers before demanded such prices as left them 10 per cent, and no business was done without it ; and for the same reasons and by the same processes that this took place with respect to the 10 per cent, it would take place with respect to the 12, when the 12| was made the lowest by which men could live. And the effect of this on the production and con- sumption of manufactured goods in the aggregate, would be the same as if an ordinance of nature had suddenly determined that the difficulty of every kind of operation connected with manufactures should be increased by 2A- per cent ; for the prices at which the goods could be sold, and consequently the quantities finally sold and consumed, would be the same in the two cases. But of such a physical visitation, the conse- quence would be, that of a given quantity of manufacturing industry and intelligence exerted by the community, the pro- duce would in the aggregate be diminished in the proportion of 100 to 102 ,*-!- The consequence, therefore, of the tax would be the same ; in addition to the abstraction of the tax. Under such a visitation, the labouring classes would proceed to bring about a return to the same substantial rate of wages as before, by their painful but irresistible resource of reducing their numbers. But though they could by this method effect a return to the same rate of wages, they could not effect a re- turn to the same quantity of employment at that rate. Their numbers, therefore, must finally be diminished. The manufacturing capitalists would go on increasing their prices, though at the expense of diminishing their sales, till they secured to themselves their living rate of profits as be- fore. But, like the labourers, though they secured to themselves the substantial enjoyment of the same rate of profits, they could not secure the same quantity of profits at that rate ; for they can never get over the fact, that there is a positive diminution of the production and consumption of the commu- nity. Hence the number of persons engaged in trade must be D 34 True Theory finally diminished also ; either by men's abstaining from adding to the population of traders, or by the shorter cut of bankruptcy. On comparing the effects of a tax of 20 per cent on manu- facturing profits with those of a tax of 20 per cent on agri- cultural profits as stated in a former place, it will be perceived that the loss or prevention of production is of very different comparative magnitude in the two cases. In the first, it is ne- cessarily equal in value to the tax ; and amounts, in the in- stance stated, to about 2-fV per cent on the whole produce. In the other, it depends on the accident of there being land which will be thrown out of cultivation, and outlay which will be cut off; and its absolute magnitude in the instance stated amounts to less than 4. per cent on the whole produce, being to the percentage in the other case, only as about 2 to 7. The difference between the effects of taxes on agriculture and on manufactures, will be further illustrated on arriving at the case of Tithes. A tax on the profits of manufacturers, then, will be taken by the government once, and there will be an additional loss or prevention of an equivalent quantity of production besides, which will be lost to the community without advantage to the government or any body else, in a manner analogous to what would be the result of a deterioration of the powers of nature. The tax falls on the consumers, and the gratuitous loss on the capitalists and labourers. And this last gratuitous loss is measured by, and is in fact identical with, the losses arising to the manufacturing capitalists and labourers from the dimi- nution of the extent of their business. The assertion that there would on the whole be the same aggregate demand, points to an inaccurate notion of the nature of demand. Demand is spoken of as if it was something to which all other things must bend, as if men began by deter- mining that they must and would have a certain quantity of commodities, and the consequence was that they had it. Whereas the truth is that effectual demand, the demand of those who are willing to pay the whole of the price necessary to secure them the possession of the commodity under the existing state of competition and of the quantity in the market, is a floating or variable quantity, that alters with every change of price or variation in the facility of production. It is by means of this connexion between the increase of price and the diminution of effectual demand, that a deficient harvest is made to last till the arrival of the next ; and the contrary. In this and other passages, demand appears to be confounded with desire, or with that kind of demand which, in the language of Adam Smith, a very poor man may be said to have for a coach and six. of Rent. 35 The Section entitled ' A Tax on Wages' omits, as before, to give any reason for their absolute magnitude. And in con- sequence much of it is expended in reasoning upon a case which never exists. It is never true physically, that ' wages ' are already at the lowest point to which they can be reduced ; ' that is, just sufficient to keep up the number of labourers ' and no more.' It is always true virtually, or including the effects of habit and opinion ; with the exception of such tem- porary fluctuations as, when they are in the way of increase, it may be conceded will be immediately put down by the ap- pearance of a tax. ' When wages are so low as barely to ' keep up the number of labourers, wages must rise to the ' amount of any tax imposed upon them, because there is a * continual diminution of the supply of labourers till the rise ' is effected.' If this might be construed as alluding to the virtual instead of the physical boundary, the conclusion would to a certain extent coincide with what have been represented as the just inferences with respect to Wages and Profits. Two consequences however remain ; both of them contrary to the conclusions of the author. One is, that taxes on the wages of labourers employed in agriculture, will in the end be taken from the landlord in the rent. The other, that taxes on the wages of manufacturing labour will be recovered from the ca- pitalists, and finally from the consumers, so far as that will be done by the restoration of the old substantial rate of wages ; but that there will still be a gratuitous loss to the capitalists and labourers conjointly, in the shape of a diminution of the quantity of their business, over and above the loss of the tax by somebody else besides, in the same manner as was noted under the head of Taxes on Profits. To the recovery of Taxes on Wages from the capitalists Mr. Ricardo has objected, that ' the rise in the price of goods ' will again operate on wages, and the action and reaction, * first of wages on goods, and then of goods on wages, will be ' extended without any assignable limits*;' which he repre- sents as an ' absurd conclusion,' that makes ' the principle indefensible.' But the supposition that any absurd conclusion arises, is founded on inattention to the nature of infinite series. Because a series is endless in its number of terms, it does not follow that the sum of the whole is infinite f. If a man was to proceed to calculate all the successive actions and reactions of wages and prices upon each other, he might find himself en- * Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. p. 301. f The most familiar example is the series + i + + &c. adinfini- tum ; which is the foundation of the sophism of Achilles and the tor- toise. The sum of the terms ad inftnitum is manifestly only equal to J. D 2 36 True Theory gaged in what mathematicians call the method of approxima- tion ; which, though he could never positively arrive at its end, he might carry to as minute a fraction of a farthing as would satisfy the most scrupulous accountant. But there exists a palpable cause which would prevent the effect of these actions and reactions, not only from being infinite for that they could never be but from rising above an amount which may easily be specified. And this cause is, the impossibility of money prices rising above what can be conducted by the circulating medium. The nature of the process is the opposite of that by which an excess of circulating medium causes a depreciation of the currency and increase of money prices. And this process and the other, will go on at the same time without interfering with each other ; as the pieces on a chess-board are carried forwards or backwards with relation to one another, though the board and the ship in which it is contained are all the time moving in some direction of their own. On the whole therefore, there is nothing that is absurd ; and the error charged upon Adam Smith a few lines further on, resolves itself into the defectiveness of the writer's own conclusion respecting the origin of Rent. The next Section, entitled 'Direct Taxes which are destined to fall equally upon all sources of income,' commences as follows. 'Assessed taxes, poll taxes, and income taxes, are of this descrip- tion. After what has been said, it is not difficult to see upon whom, in each instance, the burden of them falls. In as far as they are paid by the man, whose income is derived from rent, or the man whose income is derived from profits of stock, the burden of them is borne by these classes. No additional demand arises from the tax ; and, therefore, neither can landlords raise their rents, nor capita- lists the price of their commodities. 1 Mill. p. 267. Either the words ' In as far as they are paid by the man ' &c. mean ' Tn as far as the burden of them is finally borne by the man' &c., which makes a truism; or it is intended to infer that the burden is borne by certain individuals, because the tax is paid by them in the first instance. If nothing was required towards determining on whom a tax finally fell, but to ask at whose door the tax-gatherer knocked for the amount, the science of taxation would be wonderfully simplified. The assertion that capitalists cannot raise the price of their commo- dities because no additional demand arises from the tax, ex- hibits the same inattention as in a former instance, to the na- ture of effectual demand. If they cannot increase the demand, they can diminish the supply ; and they must do it, whether the difficulty of production is increased from a physical cause or from a tax, or else go on manufacturing with less than a living profit. And at the same time that the price is thus raised, the effectual demand the demand of those who are of Rent. 37 willing to pay the expenses and profits necessary for bringing the commodity to market will not only not be increased, but will be diminished. All this is nothing but what takes place on every occasion of a rise of price from increased difficulty of production. With respect to ' assessed taxes, poll taxes, and income taxes,' the truth seems to be, that such of them as are levied from the landlords, and from individuals who are living upon some kind of previous accumulation without being engaged in trade, will be finally paid by those persons and affect nobody else ; for to the manufacturing and commercial classes, the ex- penditure of these sums by the government will be the same thing in the aggregate as if they had been left to be expended by the original owners. Such as are levied from agricultural capitalists or labourers, will finally fall on the ??ndlord in the rent ; with the comparatively small alterations in outlay, pro- duce, &c. which have been stated. Such as are levied from manufacturing capitalists or labourers, will produce the effects stated under the heads of Taxes on Profits and on Wages ; among which the most important, is the gratuitous loss, in the shape of the destruction of employment, which arises in addition to the tax. The Section upon ' Taxes on Commodities' is true with respect to only one of the two great divisions into which com- modities are to be classed ; and only partially true with re- spect to that. When a tax is laid on any commodity that has not a mo- nopoly gain behind, it rises in price, ' and the dealer or pro- ' ducer is re-imbursed for what he has advanced on account of ' the tax. If he were not re-imbursed, he would not remain ' upon a level with others, and would discontinue his trade.' And if the tax was laid upon all commodities, it would still ' fall upon purchasers.' Such with the exception of the li- mitation relating to monopoly produce are the admissions of the author. It would be curious to know how he con- vinces himself, that this is true when the tax is demanded from the producer under the title of a tax on his commodities, and would not have been true if the same sum had been demanded from him under the title of a tax on his profits. The omissions are, First, The distinction into commodities which are produced under a monopoly, and commodities which are not ; or in other words into raw produce, and manu- factured goods*. For in the case of the first kind, the tax will be recovered from the residuary proprietors, who are the landlords. * [All commodities must contain some raw produce ; and this part must follow the laws of its own class. By manufactured goods must 38 True Theory Secondly, The gratuitous loss or prevention of production, analogous to what would take place from a deterioration of the powers of nature, which will necessarily attend a tax on manufactured goods, in the same way as if it had been levied by an impost of a different proportion upon the profits of the individuals engaged in the production. For example, if the rate of profits be 10 per cent, it will be the same thing whether a tax of 20 per cent is levied on the profits, or a tax of 2-* per cent on the prime cost, or of 2-rV on the selling price. The effect of any of which will be, in addition to the infliction of the tax, to cause a gratuitous loss or prevention of ma- nufacturing production, amounting to a reduction in the pro- portion of 100 to 102^. A tax, therefore, on manufactured goods, is taken by the government once, and there is a gratuitous loss or prevention of production besides, equal in value to the tax. The tax falls on the consumers, and the gratuitous loss on the capi- talists and labourers. On the first of these omissions is founded the fallacy in the next Section entitled ' A Tax upon the produce of the Land/ ' A tax upon the produce of land, a tax upon corn, for example, would raise the price of corn, as of any other commodity. It would fall by consequence, neither upon the farmer, nor upon the landlord, but upon the consumer. The farmer is situated as any other capita- Hit, or producer; and we have seen sufficiently in what manner the tax upon commodities is transferred from him that produces to him that consumes.' Mill. p. 282. The first fallacy is in the conclusion of the preceding Sec- tion that all commodities are alike. The next is in the in- ference, that a tax on corn will raise the price because it is a commodity. What follows is equally remote from being correct. The farmer is not situated as any other capitalist or producer ; for he precisely differs from them in the capital point of having a monopoly gain at his back from which he may recover. To say that he is situated as any other capitalist or producer, is like saying that a man in a house on fire is situated as a man in a ship; when the most notable fact about the whole case is, that he has a back-door by which he may escape, and the other has not. ' The landlord is equally exempted. We have already seen that there is a portion of the capital employed upon the land, the return to which is sufficient to yield the ordinary profits of stock, and no more. The price of produce must be sufficient to yield this profit, otherwise the capital would be withdrawn.' Mitt. p. 282. therefore, in strictness, be understood only that part ef the goods or of their quality, which is the effect of manufacturing industry and not raw produce. For example, if a halfpenny-worth of iron ore is made into a waich-chain worth twenty shillings, one halfpenny-worth of the chain is always raw produce, and the rest manufactures.] of Rent. 39 The fallacy here is in the assumption that the tenants can raise the price of corn, to gratify either themselves or the landlords, and that capital cannot be withdrawn. The tenant must be indemnified for the tax ; but not out of the price of corn. A portion of capital will be withdrawn ; though it will be a comparatively small one. So far is there from being any difficulty in capital being withdrawn, that it is what happens on every diminution of demand. The idea of there being any difficulty in its happening, must be referred to the opinion be- fore mentioned, of the existence of an unalterable demand. ' If a tax is imposed upon produce, and levied upon the cultivator, it follows that the price of produce must rise sufficiently to refund the tax. If the tax is 10 per cent or any other rate, upon the selling price, corn must rise in value one-tenth, or any other proportion.' Mill. p. 282. It follows that something must be altered. But it no more follows that it must be the price of produce, when it may also be the rent, than it follows that because a man's brother is dead it is Thomas, when he has also a brother named John. The real effects on the landlords and tenants, of a tax on agricultural produce, will, with the exception of a small re- action, be the same as those of a reduction of price of equal amount. To recur, for example, to the case stated before, If corn was at 44*., and a tax was imposed of 4*. per quarter, the first approximation to the result would be, that the outlay would be reduced from 1010/. to 1000/., the produce from 605 quarters to 600, the annual amount of profits from lOlf. to 100/., and the rent from 220/. to 100/. For it would be the same thing to the land-bolder, both in his character of cultivator and landlord, whether a loss of 4s. per quarter was occasioned by a reduction of price or by a tax. But the effect of the tax will not be to cause a loss of precisely 4*. per quar- ter ; for there will be a certain reaction on the price of corn in the way of increasing it, in consequence of the diminution of produce which arises from the tax and is represented in the particular case by five quarters. If on an estimate like those formerly entered into, the amount of this reaction might be stated at fourpeuce per quarter, the price of corn instead of 44*. would be 44s. 4c?. And the effect of this would be in a small degree to increase the outlay, the amount of profits, and the produce. But the principal effect, neglecting inconsiderable fractions, would be that the price of the 600 quarters would be increased by fourpence a quarter, or 10/. ; which will be added to the rent. The corrected rent therefore may be stated at 110/. A further correction might be made by calculating the effect of the small increase of produce last mentioned upon prices, and similar corrections might be extended to an indefinite number ; but their amount would be insignificant. The tax 40 True Theory therefore, with the exception of the reaction amounting to 10/., is taken from the rent. On referring to the case of Taxes on Agricultural Profits it will be readily discerned, how much more prejudicial to ihe consumers would have been the raising of a given sum by a tax of that description, than by a tax on agricultural produce. The next Section, which is on ' A Tax upon the Profits of the Farmer, and upon Agricultural Instruments,' concludes that ' It would in the first place raise the price of raw produce ; because that price is determined by the produce of the capital which pays no rent, and which, if it sustains a tax, must rise like any other taxed com- modity, to indemnify the producer. In consequence of this rise of price, it would increase the rent of the landlords.' Mill. p. 284. This is the great aboriginal fallacy, which assigns the pro- duce of the capital that pays no rent, as the regulator of the price of corn, instead of the price being the regulator of the addition that can be made to the capital. There is also the same inattention to the nature of effectual demand, that was formerly noticed. The produce of the capital which pays no rent, if it is to sustain a tax and continue to be. produced, must rise in price to indemnify the producer. But the fallacy is in assuming that it will continue to be produced ; the truth being that the outlay will always stop at the point where the last sum added to it will be returned with a living profit clear of all deductions. The real effects of a Tax on the Profits of the Farmer, have been shown under the head of Taxes on Profits. ' A tax upon the instruments of agriculture, is the same thing in effect, as a tax upon the profits of the farmer. It raises the value of produce, without affecting the quantity which goes as rent to the land- lord. Not only, therefore, does the whole of the tar fall upon the con- sumer, but he is charged with another burthen, the additional rent which is paid to the landlord. The community is taxed, in part for the use of the government, in part for the benefit of the landlords.' Mill. p. 285. If the Tax on Agricultural Instruments is of such a nature that its amount varies in proportion to the magnitude of the produce, it is a tax on produce; and the tax, with the exception of a small effect of reaction upon prices, will be taken out of the rent, with sundry small alterations in outlay, profits, and produce. If the amount does not vary at all with the pro- duce, it is a dead charge upon the cultivator, and will be taken out of the rent without affecting any thing else. If it does something between both, the effects will be of some interme- diate nature, according to the circumstances of the case. The next Section is upon ' Tithes and Poor Rates.' ' Tithes are a tax upon the produce of the land ; a tenth of the pro- duce, perfectly or imperfectly collected. of Rent. 41 The operation, therefore, of this tax, has been already ascertained. It raises the price of produce, and falls wholly upon the consumer.' Mill. p. 286. That tithes are a tax upon the produce is clear. The con- sequence therefore will be, that with the exception of a small reaction, they will be taken from the rent; with certain small alterations in outlay, profits, and produce, as before stated. The truth of this or of the opposite representation, depends on the existence or non-existence of a fallacy in the Section entitled ' A Tax on the Produce of the Land.' [The great engine of confusion and fallacy on this part of the question, is the introduction of the reaction upon prices and rents, which arises out of the accident of there being land and capital that will be thrown out of activity ; and representing what is true of this small accidental part, as true of the whole. And the way to escape from the effect of this fallacy, is to attend in the first instance to what would have been the consequences, if there had been no such thing as the accident of different qualities of soil and different modes of cultivation ; and to attain to a clear conviction of the in- firmity of the argument, which would represent the existence of this accident as essential to the existence of rent; and then to calculate the real effects of the existence of the accident, without confounding them with what is left unaltered by it.] The cheval de bataille of those who believe that taxes on agricultural produce fall on the consumers, is the malt tax. If a tax is laid on malt, the price of beer rises till the tax is re- covered to the dealers; and it would do the same if the tax was laid on barley. What then, they say, so clear, as that the tax falls on the consumers? The fallacy here is in bringing forward only half the case. If a tax is laid on barley, the quantity of land laid down with barley will be diminished, in such a manner as according to the guesses of the growers will cause the price to rise to what, after paying the tax, will make it as advantageous to grow barley as any thing else. And though the guesses may be rough and imperfect the first year, they will be better in every succeeding year, and will in the end attain to the greatest exactness that can be desired. But if the price of barley is raised through the quantity grown being diminished, the prices of some other kinds of produce must fall through the quantity grown being increased ; for the land will be employed in growing something else. The land-owners therefore furnish the tax, and iu the first instance recover it from the consumers of barley in the price. But on the other hand they suffer a reduction of the prices of other kinds of produce ; which makes a deduction from their recovery of the tax, and a 42 True Theory set-off to the consumers of agricultural produce against the in- creased price paid for the article taxed. The consumers of beer pay a higher price for their barley, and consume less ; but the consumers of wheat or of something else, pay a lower price for what they consume, and consume more. There is some loss of business to maltsters, brewers, and publicans ; but there is an increase of business to millers, bakers, or whoever are the dealers in the articles whose consumption is increased. And as no man lives on beer alone, the tax will be compen- sated, at all events in a certain degree, not only to the consu- mers of agricultural produce in the aggregate, but to every individual consumer of beer also. And if it should turn out in the end, that the aggregate gains of the consumers by the reduction of the prices of other things, are equal to their losses by the rise of barley, or in other words that they have paid the same sum for the whole produce as before, the consu- mers will be just where they were, with the exception of the altered proportions which have been forced upon them, and the land-owners will have furnished the tax without recovery. In the absence of taxation altogether, the distribution of the land to different kinds of produce would be regulated by the tendency of individual interests to create such a supply of each kind, as would induce a state of relative prices that made it impracticable for an individual to gain any thing by growing more of one kind and less of some other. The question whether in any particular case the land-owners would receive more or less for the whole produce, after the natural distribu- tion of crops had been altered by a tax on a particular article, is the same as the question whether they would obtain more or less if it were possible for them to alter the natural distri- bution by a combination among themselves; and is one to which a general answer cannot hastily be given. But whatever might be the answer in the case of a tax upon one particular kind of produce by itself, it is clear that if the taxation was extended to all kinds in such a manner as to leave no inducement for altering the relative proportions of different crops, the sum received by the land-owners would be the same as before the tax. For as there would be no inducement to alter the rela- tive proportions, so there would be no general diminution of the growth of all kinds ; because it would be prevented by the absence of sufficient union among the growers, as was shown in demonstrating the impossibility of land-holders re- covering a tax by raising the price of corn. But if the quantities grown were in all respects the same as before, the sums received for them must be the same ; for there is the impossibility just alluded to, that any act or wish of the growers should induce the consumers to give more for a given quantity of produce, than they were obliged to by the competition among them- of Rent. 43 selves. The land-owners therefore in such a case, would receive from the consumers in the aggregate, and from every individual consumer also, the same sum for the same produce as before. But if each and all of the consumers paid the same sum for the same produce as before, the consumers would be just where they were, and the land-owners would have fur- nished the tax without recovery. In the case of a general tax either ad valorem or in kind like a tithe, the taxation does fall on all kinds of produce so as to leave no inducement for altering the relative proportions ; and con- sequently the landlords will furnish the tax without recovery. Whether, therefore, the loss of the landlords and the com- pensation to the consumers be complete in the case of the taxation of a single article like malt, or not, they are com- plete in the case of a general taxation either ad valorem or in kind like a tithe. If, to view the thing in another light, the taxation described is supposed to be extended to the different kinds of produce in succession, each kind will at one period have its price raised and growth diminished in consequence of being taxed itself, and will at other periods be among the kinds whose prices fall in consequence of the increased growth of them which takes place through something else being taxed. In which there is no difficulty in seeing, how the end is to bring the prices and growths of all kinds to what they were at first ; while at every step a levy equal to the new tax, or at least one which in conjunction with all the successive levies is finally equal to the sum of the successive taxes, is made upon the land-owners. If the above are the consequences to the land-owners when they keep the land in their own hands, they will equally result when it is let to tenants ; as has been proved before. The difference between a tax on barley and a tax on malt, if barley was grown only to be made into malt, which is not very far from being the case, would be that the tax- gatherer would knock at the door of the maltster instead of the grower, and that the grower would deduct the tax from the price paid by the maltster, instead of paying it to the tax- gatherer. And there would further be a small saving to the consumers in the price of malt, in consequence of the maltster not being obliged to advance the tax during the time occupied in converting the barley into malt. Another argument brought to prove that tithes fall on the consumers, and which is indeed no other than the theory formerly noticed of an unalterable demand, is, that if a tax or tithe has a tendency to throw a certain belt of land out of cultivation or cause a certain diminution of outlay, and thereby create a diminution of produce, the price must be 44 True Theory raised till it makes the produce the same as before, because men cannot go without the produce. And this assumption is probably at the bottom of the frequent introduction that has been made of the subject of demand*. The fallacy here, as has been mentioned already, is in the inattention to the nature of effectual demand, and the assump- tion that the produce cannot be diminished. It is not true that men say, ' We must and will have such and such a quan- tity of corn whatever may be the price.' But they say, ' We will have as much as it is more convenient for us to pay for at the price for which the grower will grow it, than to do without.' It is a question of equilibrium, between the incon- venience of paying a high price and the inconvenience of economizing in the use of corn; and whatever may be the laws by which the magnitudes of these two inconveniences severally vary, there must be an equilibrium somewhere, at a point short of consuming the old quantity. That men cannot live without a certain quantity, meaning thereby some quantity, of food is true; but it is not true that men are living on a fixed quantity, which will not be diminished on an increase of price. At the siege of Gibraltar General Elliott ascertained by experiment upon himself, that a man can live on four ounces of food per day. If this is assumed as the smallest quantity on which life can be sustained, it is still, in the first place, not true that the community, or any considerable por- tion of its members, are living on four ounces of food per day ; and secondly, even if it was true, the result of an in- crease of price would be, not that the same quantity of food would continue to be bought by the consumers whatever was the price, but that the population would begin to decrease by all the modes consequent on insufficient food, and that for this decrement there would be no food bought at all. So far from there being any necessity that the same quantity of food shall be bought, it does not even follow that the buyers shall all live to buy. But there is no necessity for pushing the argument to this length. It is sufficient to attend to the fact, * This argument is advanced in very plain terms by Mr. M c Culloch. ' Suppose no tithes are levied, and that the wheat raised on the poorest ' lands, or with the capital last applied to the soil, and which determines ' the price of the whole crop, yields a sufficient profit to the cultivator, ' and no more, when it sells for 70s. a quarter the price must rise to 77*. ' before the same profit can be obtained after tithes are imposed. In this ' case the tithe cannot possibly occasion any diminution of rent ; for this ' produce pays no rent ; so that if it were not compensated to the culti- ' vators by an increase of prices, they would withdraw their capital from ' cultivation, and the necessary supplies would no longer be obtained.' Supplement to the 4th and 5th Editions of the Encyclopeedia Britannica. Art. TAXATION, p. 629. of Rent, 45 that when there is a necessity for the consumption being di- minished because the corn is not there to be consumed, an increase of price is the engine which carries it into effect; a clear proof that increase of price diminishes consumption. The real magnitude and effects of the increase of price con- sequent on a tax or tithe, have been shown under the head of ' A Tax upon the produce of the Land.' There will be a certain diminution of produce, which will cause a certain reaction on the price in the way of increasing it ; and this increase of price will cause the diminution of produce to be finally something less than it would have been without it, and make a small deduction from what would otherwise have been the loss of the landlord. But to suppose that it can go the length of destroying the diminution of produce altogether, is like the story of the two cats that ate up each other. What- ever was eaten, there must have been something left to eat it. Whatever may be the effect of the increase of price, there must be some diminution of produce left, to cause an increase of price to exist. The truth therefore is, that there will be a reaction ; but one far short of restoring the produce to its original magnitude, or throwing the tax on the consumers. If the accident of there being land of inferior qualities, and ways of increasing the produce by increased outlay, had not existed, the tax or tithe would have been taken from the land- lords simpliciter. But in proportion to the degree in which the accident exists, there will be a reaction, of small magni- tude, arising from the land and outlay which are of such a nature as to be thrown out of activity by the tax. A late publication has been profuse of arguments on the subject of Tithes; and it may be worth while to follow them. ' We now come to the important conclusion. This may be stated in a few words. The lowest soil in cultivation pays no rent [to the landlord]. Every soil from which produce is extracted pays tithe [to the clergyman]. Rent therefore [to the landlord], and tithe [to the clergyman] are not identical {Who ever thought they were ?~\, but altogether different. But tithe, not being 1 a portion of the rent of land, [Here shift the meaning of rent, from the net payment to the landlord, to the total residuum left after paying the expenses and ne- cessary profits of the cultivator.] can only be a tax on produce, and in the language of Mr. Ricardo, 'like all taxes on produce falls wholly on the consumer.' WESTMINSTER REVIEW. No. II. p. 413. The fallacy here, is manifestly in shifting from one meaning of the word rent to another during the argument*. * A still more extraordinary fallacy on the same basis appears in the Supplement to the 4th and 5th Editions of the Encyclopaedia Britannica. 4 But, independently of these consideration?, the fact that tithes and ' other taxes on raw produce do not form a deduction from rent, but go 40 True Theory ' We think, however, that there is a simpler mode of arriving at the same conclusion. If tithes are not paid by the consumer, as it is contended, they are portion of the rent of land [that is, of the total residuum left after paying the expenses of cultivation ; not, it may be presumed, of what is left after themselves are paid]. This is admitted. It will also be granted, that every acre in England not specially exempted, whatever it may yield under the name of rent [to the landlord after the tithe is taken}, returns to the clerical incumbent a tithe of its gross produce. It follows, that the lowest possible rent [total re- siduum} of land in England for tithe is [taken out of the} rent by the supposition is a tenth of its gross annual produce. \This is quite true. The tithe will prevent the land from being cultivated, except where nine tenths of the gross annual produce will pay the ex- penses and necessary profits of cultivation ; or where, after the payment of these, there will be a residuum of at least one tenth.~\ If this be the case in England [where there is a tithe~\, it must be so universally, wherever land is appropriated and brought into cultivation [whether there is a tithe or not. Such is the argument J] It is well known that the farmer on the banks of the Ohio, so far from paying a tithe of his produce as rent [either to the landlord or to the tithe-owner], pays no rent at all. The same might no doubt be observed of lands much nearer home. The lowest rent [residuum'] of land, therefore, [in places where no tithe is taken,] is not the tithe of its produce Who ever thought it was ?~] ; and [consequently, for such is the argument,] where such a portion is extracted by provision of law, [that is, in places where tithe is taken,'] that portion is not rent of land, but a tax on produce.' WESTMINSTER REVIEW. No. II. p. 413. The fallacy here .if the term can be applied, consists in arguing, that tithe is not taken out of the residuum where ' to increase the price of produce, is obvious from the circumstance that ' the tithe of expensive crops, and which require a great expenditure in ' their cultivation, frequently amounts to four or five times the rent of the ' land. The Rev. Mr. Hewlett, by far the ablest advocate of tithes, and ' whose authority cannot, therefore, be questioned, informs us that the * tithe of an acre of hops, raised on land worth 40*. or 50s. an acre, is, ' after deduction of drying and duty, generally worth from 31. to 41. ; and ' he further states, that he had known 11. or 8/. paid for the tithe of an ' acre of carrot-seed where the land was not worth 20*. ! In such cases, ' it is plainly as great an absurdity to affirm that tithes fall exclusively ' on the rent of the landlord, as it would be to affirm that a part is ' greater than the whole.' Art. TAXATION. By J. R. MCulloch Esq. p. 630. The whole of this is a confusion of ideas arising from the two meanings of the word rent. When a tax or tithe is said to form a deduction from rent, this mani- festly means from the rent as it would be without the deduction of the tax, and not as it is after the deduction. Nobody ever said that the 8/. whichis the tithe of an acre of carrot-seed, is taken out of the 20*. which is left for the landlord afterwards ; but that it is taken out of the 9/. which is the residuum after paying the expenses and necessary profits of cultivation, and that it is because 8/. is taken for tithe, that only 20*. is left for the landlord. of Rent. 47 tithe exists, because tithe is not taken out of the residuum where there is no tithe at all. ' Again : Assuming 1 , as before, that tithe is portion of the rent [residuum} ; we will take, for the sake of argument, the case in which the tithe and the remainder of the rent shall together amount to less than a fifth of the gross produce ; or, in other words, in which the portion of rent [residuum] paid under the name of rent [to the landlord], shall be less than the portion paid under the name of tithe [to the clergyman]. Of land in this condition we will suppose two contiguous parcels. Such land will, of course, be all of the same fertility. If the legislature raise the tithe on one parcel to a fifth, [ft is impossible. The whole residuum is not a fifth. The land must cease to be cultivated if it were enacted. It is ordering- Jive quarts to be taken out of a gallon.] but make no alteration on the other, it is plain that from the former parcel the church alone will extract a rent of a fifth of the gross pro- duce ; [ The church will extract nothing at all ; for there will be a stop put to the production altogether, in consequence of the demand being greater than will leave the expenses of cultivation.] whilst from the latter parcel, the landlord and church together will receive something which will be less than a fifth. Here then we should have two parcels of equally fertile land, paying two different rents, at one and the same period ; which is absurd. Tithe, therefore, as before, is not of the nature of rent, but of a tax on produce.' WESTMINSTER REVIEW. No. II. p. 414. The fallacy here consists in arguing on what would come to pass, if out of a gallon the legislature should take five quarts. It is John Cade declaring that ' the three-hoop'd pot shall have ten hoops.' ' To conclude, if tithe be rent, the American government by im- posing it on the lands in the back settlements, which now yield no rent at all, or a nominal sum which is next to none, may at once create a rent equal to the tenth of the gross produce. Advancing another step, it may create rent to the amount of half, or even the whole of the gross produce a supposition too absurd to be insisted on.' WESTMINSTER REVIEW. No. II. p. 414. If the American Government were to impose such a tax, it would put a stop to the cultivation of lands in the back settlements altogether ; with the exception of those where nine tenths of the produce were sufficient to give a living profit to the cultivator. There would be a certain reaction on the price of produce, which would in some degree increase the quantity of land that would be able to resist the tax; but the effect would be in the main to check the cultivation of the back settlements, in the same manner that would result from a diminution of one tenth in the productive powers of nature there. The fallacy therefore, is in supposing that the American government would get the tax, tithe, rent or whatever else it may be called, because it enacted it. " Let us suppose," it has been said [by a writer on the opposite side in the Quarterly Review for December, \23, Art. ECCLESIAS- TICAL REVENUES], " that the produce of a given quantity of the least fertile soil, which is said to pay no rent, sells for 401., and that the claim 48 True Theory of the tithe-owner now amounting to 41. were abolished, would the whole produce which now sells for 40/., be in that case sold for no more than 36/.? 'Yes,' say the political economists. 'No,' say common sense and experience ; if the 41. now received for tithes ceased to be exacted, another claimant to an equal amount would instantly start up in the person of the landlord." This, the writer in the Westminster Review says would be true, if the remission of the tithe was confined to this parti- cular portion of soil, but would not be true if the remission was general. Which is what remains for him to prove. 'Instead of remitting the tithe of that particular portion, we will suppose it to be remitted universally. The produce of the same por- tion which formerly sold for 40/., would now fetch only 361. For : If the capital employed by the farmer on the particular portion of soil referred to in our case were 31/., and the common profits of stock on that sum were 51., he xvould sell his produce for 361. and no more, whether it consisted of 10 quarters or of 9. [He would not ; the com- petition among- the consumers of corn would be such as to enable him to get 401. for the produce as before. And even if the sellers were so dull as not to find this out, there would be a necessity for the price being raised in consequence of the rapid consumption of the stock in hand. Corn sold for 41. a quarter before, because nothing- less than that price would induce the competitors to agree in such a division as would spin out the consump- tion to the needful length ; and the same necessity would exist afterwards. But the landlord will immediately come down on the tenant for 41. in- crease of rent ; or, if he refuses to pay it, find another tenant who will.'} If the whole produce of the land he occupied were 10 quarters, of which he paid one to the parson, he must sell the remaining 9 quarters for 361., because he must have the ordinary rate of profits on his capital. [They are not sold for 361. because this is necessary to his having the ordinary rate of profits ; but it is because they can be sold for 361. in con- sequence of the state of the competition, that the tithe-owner or the land- lord can lay hands on the other quarter and still leave him a living- profit.] If the tithe were abolished, and he continued to sell the 10 quarters at the same rate per quarter as he had formerly sold the 9 quarters, his gains would exceed the ordinary profits of stock by the price of the tenth quarter [and therefore the landlord will take advantage of the com- petition among farmers, to take the excess fn,m him in the shape of rent]. This would be speedily corrected by the competition of other growers, [ft would not ; because it is corrected already by the interference of the landlord, and because other growers are in the same situation with respect to their own landlords], which would compel him to reduce his price till he gained no more than the ordinary profits of stock. The 10 quarters, therefore, the whole produce of the particular portion of soil referred to in our case, and which formerly sold for 40/., would now be worth only 36.'.' WESTMINSTER REVIEW. No. II. p. 415. The whole of this is a begging of the point at issue ; which is whether the excess will not be taken by the landlord in the shape of rent. Whether it will or not, ascends to the great question concerning the origin of Rent. In opposition then to all these arguments, the conclusion is, that Tithes fall on the landlords, but have also a certain effect in preventing the cultivation of poor soils, and diminishing the outlay upon others ; which in return must cause a small of Rent. 49 reaction upon price, but one far short of throwing the tax on the consumers. And it becomes of importance to ascertain the magnitude of this last effect, and to compare it with what would have been the result if the support for the clergy had been raised by a tax on the produce of manufactures instead of agriculture. In England the waste lands have been estimated at a seventh of the whole. Hence if it may be assumed that the quality of this seventh varies uniformly, from that quality where the ex- penditure of a given sum will return enough to pay the ex- penses with the necessary profits and a ninth of all this besides for tithe, to that where it would produce nothing, the abo- lition of tithes, in calling into cultivation all the land down to that which would return the expenses and profits without the tithe, or furnish nine tenths of what was formerly the lowest produce, wonld call into cultivation one tenth of the waste, and increase the quantity of cultivated land by one sixtieth. And if three quarters of corn per acre is a fair average pro- duce for the whole of the cultivated land in the country, and one quarter per acre for the worst, the produce of the new land called into cultivation by the abolition of tithes would be a hundred-and-eightieth part of what existed before. Again, the rents in England are supposed to be in the ag- gregate a third of the produce. Hence the case so often as- sumed as an example, with corn at 55*., is not very far from an average case. And in it, the diminution of produce consequent on the reduced outlay arising from a tax of one tenth or a tithe, would be less than the three-hundredth part. Adding therefore this effect to the other, the whole diminution of produce effected by tithes in England, supposing them to be universal, may be estimated at less than the hundred-and- twelfth part. The value of the whole annual produce of agriculture in Great Britain, compared with that of manufactures, has been estimated as being as one to three. If then the support of the clergy were to be raised by a tax on the produce of ma- nufactures instead of agriculture, the tax must be a third of a tithe, or 3| per cent. And the consequence of this would be, in addition to the tax being paid by the consumers, to cause a gratuitous loss or prevention of production, which, if 10 per cent may be assumed as the average rate of manu- facturing profits, would be equal to ten elevenths of 3l per cent on the whole amount of goods manufactured. And the value of this, would be to the value of the hundred-and- twelfth part of the agricultural produce, which is what is sup- posed to be kept out of existence by the system of tithe, as -r^. x $ x v x 3, to 1 divided by 112 ; or as -rV to TTT, or something more than 10 to 1; an inequality not to be got E 50 True Theory over by any conceivable inaccuracy in the numerical assump- tions. In which it is remarkable, that the result is indepen- dent of the comparative values of the agricultural and manu- factured produce, and will be the same whatever is their pro- portion. The explanation of which is, that if the manufac- tured produce is less, a greater portion of it must be taken. Hence the real state of the charge against tithes is, first, that the tax, with the exception of a trifling reaction, is paid by the landlords instead of being paid by the consumers as would have been the case if it had been levied on manufac- tures ; and secondly, that there is a saving of more than nine tenths of the loss or prevention of production which would have taken place by the other mode. When tithes are as- serted to be a peculiarly pernicious and impolitic mode of tax- ation, these facts are always kept out of sight. The proof of the assertion falls to the ground upon examination, like the proof of many other popular outcries. As the woodpecker, the rook, and the goatsucker, have been persecuted time out of mind for imaginary injuries, so the ecclesiastical rook has been charged with collecting his subsistence in a manner pe- culiarly injurious to the public, through clear ignorance or concealment of the nature of the process. Some species of commutation might possibly be better still. But it is plain that the extended outcry has been made either through igno- rance, or a desire to direct the hostility of the community to a particular quarter by misrepresentation. If a tax or tithe should be remitted on a certain portion of the land, the effect would be the removal of something ap- proaching to a proportionate part of the consequences that resulted from the tax. For example, if the tithe in England, provided it were universal, would diminish the whole pro- duce by the hundred-and-twelfth part, and if this would in- crease the price of corn by sixpence a quarter, the effect of the remission of tithe on an average third of the land would be, that the produce of the country would be increased by something not far from a third of a hundred-and-twelfth part, and the price of corn fall by about twopence a quarter. And the value of the tax remitted, with the exception of the reaction produced by these petty alterations, would go into the pockets of the landlords. For it is evident that this would be the result if the land-owners held the land in their own hands. It could make no difference in the prices in the market, whether corn was sold there for the benefit of the tithe-owner or the grower. If the tithe-owner could eat all his corn himself, the case would be different ; but as it is, the same quantity of corn must be brought to market, and conse- quently be sold for the same price. And of this price, the whole that is left after paying the necessarv profits of the ca- of Rent. 5L pital employed, would be rent. These seem to be all the effects that arise from a partial remission of the tax*. The next subject is that of Poor Rates. ' If the poor rate were levied in proportion to profits upon farmers, manufacturers, and merchants, it would be a tax upon profits. If &c. But if a separate tax is laid upon the farmers, we have already seen that it operates immediately to raise the price of corn sufficiently high to afford them compensation for the tax, and raises the rent of the landlords. It is to them a benefit, not a burthen.' Mill. p. 286. The reasons for opposing the conclusion marked in italics, have been formerly stated, A poor rate is commonly levied iu proportion to the rent. In the case, therefore, of a land-owner uniting the characters of landlord and cultivator, it would be simply a tax on rent, and would alter nothing else. And the same will take place when the characters are divided. If a poor rate was levied in proportion to profits or to pro- duce, it would be a tax on profits or on produce, and its ef- fects will be found under those heads. The Section on ' A Tax per acre on the Land ' infers, that if the tax was levied only on cultivated land ' Such a tax would raise upon the consumers, not only so much per acre to the government, but a great deal more for the benefit of the landlords.' Mill. p. 290. and it founds this upon the former argument, that there is a portion of capital employed upon the land, the return to ^yhich is sufficient to afford the ordinary profits of stock, but nothing- more, and that * In an Article on the Corn Laws in No. 88 of the Edinburgh Review, some inferences on the effect of tithes are presented as derived from the fact of the impost being of partial application. ' it is obvious that the price of corn must have been regulated by the ' price for which it can be raised on the last lands cultivated that are free 'from tithe, and not for what it could be raised for on the last lands ' cultivated that are subject to that charge. It appears, therefore, &c.' Corn can be raised on the sand above high-water mark, if any body chuses to do it in defiance of the loss ; but it is clear that it is not meant to say that this corn would regulate the price. What is meant therefore must be, that the price of corn has been regulated by the price for which it can be raised on the last lands cultivated with a living profit at the going price. In other words, that the price has been regulated by the price ; which is reasoning in a circle. If it is urged that the price is regulated by the necessity, this necessity has no organ for expressing itself but through the price. Which makes the circle as before. The whole is in fact the fallacy of inversion noticed under the Theory of Rent. The price of corn is neither regulated by on'-, of the things mentioned nor by the other; but the state of competition first settles what shall he the price in proportion to the quantity in the market, and the price determines the quality of land on which it is worth while to grow corn, in tithed lands and tithe-free respectively. And no difference will be made to the consumers, by tithe being taken or not taken ; except the slight alterations in produce and price which have been stated. E 2 52 True Theory ' If any addition is made to the cost of producing 1 , a rife of price must afford compensation.' p. 288. The fallacy of this, as before stated, is in supposing that this portion of capital will cf necessity continue to be employed. Bv application to the case of a land-owner uniting the characters of landlord and cultivator, it is plain that a tax per acre on the land, whether co^fi^ed to cultivated land or not, will be taken from the landlord. In cases where the tax per acre should be greater than the rent, the landlord, if he could escape the tax by it, would keep the land out of cultivation, or even disown it altogether. But if he cannot by either of these means escape the tax, he will have no resource but to get all the rent he can, and make up the tax out of his own pocket. To recapitulate, The Theory of Rent with its adjuncts is proved to be fallacious, First, By the irrationality of the con- clusion that what it assigns as the cause is the cause ; as de- monstrated by the application of a similar conclusion in other cases ; and Secondly, By the results being contradicted by the evidence of experiment. The theory says, that no rent should be paid where land is of a uniform quality and the art of forcing crops is unknown. The palpable fact is, that a heavy rent is paid in countries lying under precisely these circum- stances. The theory says, that landlords lose rent by turnips and drill husbandry. Landlords quietly do all in their power to encourage both. The theory says, that taxes on agricul- tural produce are shifted on the consumers. Landlords and tenants both know, that no power on earth can induce the consumers to give more for a given quantity of corn than the competition obliges them to do. The theory says, that taxes on the farmer's profits, and on his instruments of agriculture, raise rent. Landlords know, that they pay for them out of the rent. The theory says, that rent is made higher by poor rates. Landlords know, that it is as snow by sun-shine. The theory says, that a land-tax raises a sum on the consumers for the benefit of the landlords. Landlords are so dull, as never yet to have voted for a land-tax but under the pressure of ne- cessity. When the measure of the truth of a theory shall be the hostility of its results with experiment, this theory may be believed on argument. Till then, it must be believed because it is a convenience to have the labouring classes told, that the clergy are supported out of the price of bread *. * [The Westminster Review has replied to the objections made to its conclusion upon tithes, by saying that ' they are not corollaries from the ' doctrine advanced on rent, but from a peculiar and altogether erro- ' neous opinion on profits, which are conceived to be regulated, like ' wages, by the, proportion between numbers and demand.' WEST- MINSTER REVIEW, No. XIII. p. 179, Note.] [A reference to pages 25 28 mil be civ. ugh to show, that no such opinion has been advanced on profits at all. What is advanced is, that of Rent. 53 The theory of ' No General Glut' is in a certain degree connec^d with the rest. ' Every commodity is always, at one and the same time, matter of demand, and matter of supply. Of two men who perform an ex- change, the one does not come with only a supply, the other with only a demand ; each of them comes with both a demand and a supply. The supply, which he brings, is the instrument of his demand ; and his demand and supply are of course exactly equal to one another.' Mill. p. 232. This is the rhythm of an argument, without the substance. The fallacy lies in assuming that the demand and the supply are equal. The supply of every individual is the source of his demand, the storehouse from which his demand is taken ; but it is not his demand. Nobody ever doubted that the por- tion of an individual's supply which he succeeds in exchanging with a living profit, is the instrument of his demand ; but the question was, whether he might not have a further portion behind, which he could not exchange, or could not exchange with a living profit. The sportsman's charge of shot is the instrument of his demand upon the covey ; but it by no means follows that his demand upon the covey shall be equal to his charges of shot. It seems to be abundantly clear, that if the manufacturing capitalists, who now demand a profit of, it may be, ten per cent on the capital they advance, and consider it as only a living profit, could be persuaded to advance it for four, their goods would be offered at a less price, and a greater quantity would from time to time be manufactured and sold. And if they could be induced to advance capital with no profit at all, a still greater increase of sales might take place. And it might be greater still if, for argument's sake, it were possible that they should consent to advance capital at four per cent loss. they are not regulated by the proportion between numbers and demand, but ' the force of opinion and habit ' regulates the rate of profit neces- sary for living in the way which society pronounces to be respectable, and this regulates the number of traders, the excess being withdrawn by bankruptcy.] [The statement that what has been said of rent had moreover been said previously, and much more clearly, in No. 50, p. 475-6 of the Quar- terly Review, is no answer to any thing ; and is scarcely worthy of men professing to search after truth. There was no question about who had said it, but whether they could answer it. The difference of clearness cannot be much, for the sentences into which the argument is collected are almost the same ; as may be seen by comparing Quarterly Review, No. 50, p. 476, line 5 16, with the similar passages in the 'True Theory of Rent.' And as this took place without a knowledge of the existence of the parallel investigation, it is to a certain degree evidence of the accuracy of both.] [The best thing the Westminster Reviewers could do, would be to come over to the truth. If they will not, the truth will not come over to them. They had better confess at once, that ' Fleas are not lobsters ;' even though they should be unable to restrain the curse that followed it.] 54 True Theory Bv the converse of the argument it seems equally clear, that if the capitalists, from any cause whatever, proceed to manu- facture at any of the increased rates severally specified above, the quantity of goods from time to time produced will be such as could only be sold with a profit of four per cent, or with none, or with a loss of four per cent, respectively ; and consequently such as it is impossible to sell with a living profit, when the living profit is ten per cent. The progress, therefore, of their attempt to manufacture these increased quantities, must be checked by the accumulation of what it is impossible to sell with a li\ing profit, and the withdrawing of a portion of the producers by bankruptcy. All that remains to be accounted for, is why, in a given state of manufacturing skill, all the manufacturers and shop- keepers in the country do not make and sell more than they actually do; as, for instance, ten times as much. And here it will be found, that there is an ultimate reference to corn. For if they were to attempt such an increase, they must proceed to create a labouring population approaching to ten times the present number; because when a man is working twelve hours a day already, it is in vain to think of making him work ten times as much. And whether they set about effecting this increase by the shortest road, which would be by the introduction of adult workmen from other countries, or waited for the slower progress of population at home, it is clear that they must commence by advancing in the shape of wages the means of obtaining a supply of corn, which, first or last, is to amount to something like ten times the present supply. But since no prices could have the effect of making our agriculturists produce a tenfold supply, the projectors must, to use a maritime phrase, be brought up by the impos- sibility of furnishing what would procure the corn required to go on. Hence if they persisted in the attempt to furnish it, they would first discover that their profit was being eaten up in the contest, next that it was nothing, and next that they were continuing the struggle at a ruinous loss. The secret therefore lies in the slowness of the increase of the produce of land, compared with the increase of manufactures which might otherwise be created to tempt the agriculturists withal. It would be easy to double the quantity of goods manufactured, if the offer of them would teach the agriculturists to produce food for two men where they produce for one now, and leave a certain rate of profit for the manufacturing capitalists be- sides. But as it is impossible for this to take place, there must be a point where the increase of manufactures must stop. There is then, in any given state of manufacturing skill and of the supply of corn, a certain quantity of all kinds of manu- factures which can be produced and sold with a living pro- of Rent. 05 fit. And if more are produced, they cannot be sold with a living profit ; and this is a General Glut*. It is not true that there would be no glut, if there was only less of one kind of manufactures and more of some other. The cause of the glut extends to all kinds, and cannot be remedied by altering their proportions. All manufacturers, if not restrained by foresight of the con- sequences, have the power of increasing their individual pro- duce without reference to what can in the aggregate be finally sold with a living profit. They can do it through the opera- tion of one agent, credit; by which is meant the practice of selling goods for the promise of future payment. There is no man of moderate respectability, who could not through this agency double his rate of manufacturing from the present moment till he appeared among the bankrupts in the Gazette, if he chose to take the consequences. Many foresee the con- sequences and avoid ; some do not, and so create a glut. And this tendency to plethora is kept down from time to time * It does not seem to be very clear, whether the supporters of the impossibility of a General Glut intended to include corn under the term commodity, or not. If they did, it is only another form of the fallacy which consists in assuming that all kinds of production are alike. If corn had been ever so distinctly included, it would still have been untrue that there could be no general glut. For under any imagi- nable state of the trade in corn, there might arrive a period when the quantity of manufactures and manufacturers would press against the quantity of food ; and then the possibility of a general glut would ensue. The strong peculiarity attending the production of corn and raw produce in general, is, that by the constitution of nature the facility of increasing the production diminishes with the quantity produced, in a way which does not take place in the operations performed on raw produce by manufacturing industry. A certain quantity of the labour of a husbandman produces a quarter of corn ; and a certain quantity of the labour of a manufacturer turns a halfpenny-worth of iron ore into a watch-chaiu of great beauty and value. But there is this re- markable difference between the operations ; that if the labour of two individuals were to be employed in making watch-chains where one was employed before, two watch-chains would be produced instead of one ; but if the labour of two individuals were to be employed in producing corn where one was employed before, the result would by no means be the production of two quarters instead of one ; for the constitution of nature by which the quantity of raw produce increases more slowly than the quantity of labour applied, would intervene. It is not true therefore, that the difference between agriculture and ma- nufactures, is only that one is the application of industry to one kind of produce and the other to another. But there is a great and substantial difference arising out of the fact, that manufactures are the applica- tion of industry in a direction where the produce varies as the labour applied, and agriculture where it does not. If the labour of two individuals would, produce two quarters of corn where there was one before, as it will produce two watch-chains, it might be conceded that there could be no General Glut. 56 True Theory by evacuations in the Gazette ; which do not however take place with perfect continuity, any more than a bleeding at the nose is spread over every minute of every hour ; but ap- pear by fits and starts, as circumstances direct the eruption of the process. There appears therefore reason to believe, that the habit of giving credit, which in earlier stages of society may be a useful stimulant, is in more advanced states a prin- cipal agent in producing something like a periodical return of commercial distress. Agriculturists have also the power of making a mistake in the calculation of the last sum which can be added to the outlay so as to be returned with a living profit; and they doubtless do so occasionally in a certain degree. But the ef- fects of such a mistake are confined to a comparatively incon- siderable sum, and are consequently of insignificant amount ; which is the reason why little is ever heard about cultivation being carried to a ruinous extent. There remains a subject which it is necessary to go through con volto ne torbido, ne chiaro protesting against any inferences from the limitation of the commentary. ' Every body knows the fact, that in the greater number of coun- tries, the population is stationary, or nearly so. But what does this prove, so long as we are not informed, by what causes it is pre- vented from increasing ? We know well, that there are two causes, by which it may be prevented from increasing, how great soever its natural tendency to increase. The one is poverty; under which, let the number born be what it may, all but a certain number un- dergo a premature destruction. The other is prudence ; by which either marriages are sparingly contracted, or care is taken that chil- dren, fieyond a certain number, shall not be the fruit.' 31511. p. 50. 'There are two modes in which artificial means may be employed to make population and capital keep pace together : expedients may besought, either to restrain the tendency <>f population to increase ; or to accelerate beyond its natural pace the increase of capital.' Ib. p. 57. ' The result to be aimed at is, to secure to the great body of the people all the happiness tehich it capable of being derived from the matrimonial union, without the evils u-hich a too rapid increase of their numbers involves. The progress of legislation, the improvement of the education of the people, and the decay of superstition, will, in time, it may be hoped, accomplish the difficult task of reconciling these im- portant objects.' Ib. p. 58. 'If we may, thus, infer, that human happiness cannot be secured by taking forcible methods to make capital increase as fast as po- pulation ; and if, on the other hand, it is certain, that where births take place, more numerous than are required to uphold a popula- tion corresponding to the state, of capital, human happiness is impaired, it is immediately seen, that the grand practical problem is, To find the means of limiting the number of births.' Ib. p. 65. ' If Mr. Owen means that population should not go on, and if expe- dients can be employed to limit sufficiently the number of births, there is no occasion for these [Mr. Owen's] establishments.' Ib. p. 67. What is it ' the new school of political economy' would be of Rent. 57 at ? And where is it that superstition above all things, inter- feres with their wishes ? It cannot be unfair to allow the writer to explain himself, by extracts from others of his ac- knowledged works. ' It is perfectly evident, thai, so long 1 as men are produced in greater numbers than can he fed, there must be excessive misery. What is wanted then is, the means of preventing mankind from increasing so fast ; from increasing faster than food can be increased to support them. To the discovery of these means, the resources of the human mind should be intensely applied. This is the foundation of all im- provement. In the attainment of this important end, it is abundantly plain that there is nothing impracticable. There is nothing which offers any considerable difficulty, except the prejudices of mankind.' Supplement to the 4th and 5th Editions of the Encyclopaedia Britannica. Art. BANKS FOR SAVINGS, p. 93. ' As the tendency in population to increase faster than food, produces a greater number of individuals than can be fed, as this is the grand parent of indigence, and the most prolific of all the sources of evil to the labouring portion of mankind, take all possible means for prevent- ing so rapid a multiplication ; and let no mere prejudice, whether reli- gious or political, restrain your hands in so beneficent and meritorious an undertaking. It would be easy to offer suggestions on this head, if we were not entirely precluded from going into detail. It is abundantly eji- dent, in the mean time, that indirect methods can alone avail ; the passions to be combated cannot be destroyed, nor, to the production of effects of any considerable magnitude, resisted. With a little ingenuity they may, however, be eluded, and, instead of spending themselves in hurtful, made to spend themselves in harmless channels. This it is the business of skilful legislation to effect.' Tb. Art. BEGGAR, p. 246. ' What are the best means of checking the progress of population, when it cannot go on unrestrained without producing one or other of two most undesirable effects, either drawing an undue proportion of the population to the mere raising of food, or producing poverty and wretchedness, it is not now the place to inquire. It is indeed, the most important practical problem to which the wisdom of the politician and moralist can be applied. It has, till this time, been miserably evaded by all those who have meddled with the subject, as well as by all those who were called upon by their situation to find a remedy for the evils to which it relates. And yet, if the superstitions of the nursery were discarded, and the principle of utility kept steadily in view, a solu- tion might not be very difficult to be found ; and the means of drying up one of the most copious sources of human evil, a source which, if all other sources of evil were taken away, would alone suffice to retain the great mass of human beings in misery, might be seen to be neither doubtful nor difficult to be applied.' Art. COLONY, p. 261. It may occur to some readers, that abstinence from mar- riage is the remedy intended. But this is inconsistent with the data ; as will be proved by going through the passages marked with italics in the extracts. For ' marriages to be spar- ingly contracted,' is one way ; but to ' take care that children, ' beyond a certain number, shall not be the fruit,' is another. Abstinence from marriage cannot be termed either ' artificial means,' or ' expedients.' The plan is ' to secure to the great ' body of the people all the happiness which is capable of be- ' ing derived from the matrimonial union,' though 'without 58 True Theory 1 the evils which a too rapid increase of their numbers in- ' volves;' which is something quite different from abstinence from marriage. What is found to oppose the plan, is 'super- stition ;' and superstition was never understood to be opposed to abstinence from marriage. The evil of improvident mar- riages has long been known ; but nobody ever entered before on ' the grand practical problem' of 'limiting the number ' of births' without diminishing marriages, by means of 'ex-' ' pedients.' The thing is stated to be easy, if it were not for the ' prejudices of mankind,' religious among others ; and religious prejudices never hindered abstinence from marriage. ' It would be easy to offer suggestions on this head,' but there is something that ' precludes from going into detail.' There is nothing to prevent the going into detail to the utmost, on the subject of abstinence from marriage. The passions, it is declared, are not proposed to be 'resisted;' but they are to be ' eluded,' and made to ' spend themselves in harmless channels.' Of all the occupations in vented for skilful legislators, assuredly that here proposed is the oddest. The question, it is affirmed, has hitherto 'been miserably evaded ;' yet all has been said on abstinence from marriage, that can be said. If the superstitions of the nursery were discarded,' the solution might be found ; and assuredly there are no nursery superstitions on the subject of abstinence from marriage. It would be a painful thing to load any sect or school with a disagreeable misconstruction ; but if any thing like it should happen in the present case, the aggrieved have a ready remedy, which is, to explain what it is they do mean. Men are not always obliged to prove a negative ; but when cir- cumstances of reasonable suspicion have arisen out of their own act, the most innocent persons on earth must either do so, or remain under the imputation. There is no use in pretending not to know, what has been disseminated in full and dis- gusting detail by the instrumentality of the press *. It is sub- * To describe it as nearly as is easily practicable, it was an appeal to the doctrines of political economy on the evils of a redundant popula- tion, concluding with a detail of 'expedients' for procuring abortion in an evanescent period by mechanical means ; or to define it with more accuracy in the words of the extract, for procuring 1 ' the happiness capable of being derived from the matrimonial union,' without 'children being the fruit.' It was printed in two different forms; and possibly in more. One was of a superior type and paper, in general appearance resembling the hand-bills of fashionable venders of perfu- mery; and, as might be gathered from the circumstances of the indivi- dual case, was distributed anonymously by the twopenny post. The other was in the manner of the lowest order of quack advertisements which are thrust into the hands of passengers at Temple Bar; and was apparently for distribution among the labouring classes. It was stated in some of the public prints of the time, that tailors were the class among whom the plan found its principal supporters, and that the progress of the sect was stopped by a threat of public prosecution. of Rent. 59 mitted, without violence or exaggeration, to the judgment of unprejudiced persons, whether in the absence of explanation, the passages extracted do not necessarily lead to the con- clusion, that ' the new school of political economy' intended what is alluded to above. It may appear questionable to some, whether it is right to bring such a subject into notice. The objection would be valid, if the matter was really drawn out of obscurity. But when a theory has been published in Encyclopaedias, recom- mended in octavos, dispersed in detail by the press, and urged, as cannot be doubted, on the acceptance of every new insti- tution for purposes of education, to the extent of what the in- fluence of the propounders can effect, this objection seems to be gone by, and nothing is left but to examine the theory on the grounds, first of morality, and secondly of its adaptation to the attainment of the end proposed. And on the first of these, it may be conceded to the fullest extent, that the ques- tion shall stand solely on ' the principle of utility,' or the effect on the general happiness. What, then, is to be the situation of the women of the lower and middle classes, when in every street political economists go about seeking whom they may devour, under the assurance that they bring with them the ' expedients' for evading the ordinary consequences of sexual irregularity ? And what will be the purity of the wives and daughters of the higher classes, when in every room the foot- men are neighing after the chambermaids under assurances of like impunity? There is difficulty enough in keeping the pas- sions of mankind in a state of decent repression, with all the existing checks on their irregular exhibition ; and what is to be the case when one of the strongest checks, the fear of con- sequences, is removed ? Society may and must struggle, with so much of men's passions as are connected with the great operations of nature and the continuation of the species; but it has long agreed to rid itself of the intolerable nuisance of struggling with any others, by referring them to a class of crimes which it is not usual to describe except by omitting to name. And next for its adaptation to the end proposed. And here it is plain, First, that as long as such expedients are not universal in the classes where population is proposed to be repressed, their adoption by one will only make room for the natural use of marriage by another, and consequently the re- duction of population will be nothing. Secondly, that the ultimate effect must be the same as that of the permission of infanticide ; which is well known to end in increasing the density of population, through men's entering into marriage with some view to the practice while it is at a distance, and shrinking from it afterwards. [To the first of these it will perhaps be objected, that the same reasoning would demonstrate the inutility of moral 60 True Theory of Rent. restraint. But there is this wide difference ; that moral restraint, meaning the determination to abstain from even legitimate indulgence until a certain degree of provision has been made for the support of a family, is capable of being extended, and actually does extend, in a certain degree, to all the individuals in the classes concerned, or at all events to so great a proportion of them that the exceptions are insignificant. For all efforts to extend the influence of moral restraint, tend, either by the influence of example or otherwise, to produce an effect of some magnitude or other on all the individuals of the community, even the least compliant; or at all events the number of recusants is finally inconsiderable. And it may readily be conceded, that moral restraint does only operate, by that portion of it which is finally extended to all the mem- bers of the class concerned, or to so nearly all, that the recu- sants are unable to prevent the ultimate effect. But widely different from the case of moral restraint, is that of the expe- dients here supposed. They are incapable of degree ; for they must either be employed entirely, or let alone entirely. And they are so revolting in themselves, that it is impossible that their influence can extend to all, or to any thing like all ; and consequently any effect in diminishing population which may be produced by them in one direction, must be compen- sated by the invitation held out to it in some other.] It is impossible not to notice the contrast presented by the purity, and even elegance, of the author of the great dis- coveries on the subject of Population. Virginibus puerisque canto may, as far as the spirit of the author is concerned, be written on every page of the work of Mr. Malthus ; and his illustrations, such as those of ' the tree with its branches and foliage,' and ' the sunny spot in man's whole life where his imagination loves to bask,' are the very poetry of science. Though the instructors of youth are not bound to enter into the actual confutation of every unseemly error that men may fall into, enough has been said to show the importance of bringing the pursuits of political economy within the pale of academical education. When such efforts are made to teach the new mumpsimus, the least the universities can do is to teach the old sumpsimus. As long as the accredited guar- dians of learning stand aloof from a branch of science pecu- liarly adapted for the exercise of cultivated reason, it necessa- rily falls into the hands of those who have less power to dis- tinguish fallacies, and less caution to avoid them. THE END. C. WOOD & SON, Printera, Poppin's Court, Fleet Street. THE LIBRARY OF O LOS ANGELES *%( UNIVERSE > -* UNIVER ^UIBRARYd?/ ^ : .^OF-CAtlFO% A 000113754 6