I ■!' '■' " I' Ml iiiiiiiii.. ..„ Ilinlii I itlliiiili !| ii I Miliiiilllll II iPiniii H !{;: ■ S S BY : , ^ [I ! I ■; I I i< iMtiitltillfllflml ^ •A. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE cC^^^ PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE PAPERS AND ADDRESSES BY THE HON. T. A. BRASSEY I »j.j » it J J 1 »• 3 ' • , J J • » Jj jjj' J, 1 J, '>, ,•'-■•'•'. o ' ' " • o 'J O O^* • , » « J J » • LONDON ARTHUR L. HUMPHREYS, 187 PICCADILLY, W 1904 4t .,1. •< ■ '»'• '."^ V' i' "^ ' PREFACE By GEORGE R. PARKIN. THE Imperial Federation League, founded in 1884 under the Presidency of that distinguished Liberal Statesman, the late Mr. W. E. Forster, carried on during the succeeding years a vigorous propaganda of education on National questions both § at home and in the great Colonies. In 1886 Mr. S Forster was succeeded in the Presidency by Lord Rosebery. During the years in which Lord Rosebery 5 guided the work of the League, and largely under his ^ inspiration, a profound impression, pregnant with the results of the greatest national consequence, was unquestionably made on British opinion throughout the world. It was my privilege during those years to come closely in touch with popular feeling both in Britain and in the Colonies, and I have always thought that the gradual change from indifference to keen interest, from an attitude of critical questioning to one of accepted conviction in regard to the main principles which the League put forward, furnishes one of the most singular and encouraging instances in our history of a decisive evolution of political opinion without the aid of party conflict. Those years saw many of our V CO I— LU >- ■< oc OQ UJ o CD 41 ()r!24 PREFACE most important journals become ardent advocates of a national ideal which they had at first looked upon with distrust ; they saw prominent men, who had long held aloof, gradually led to put themselves at the head of a movement which was profoundly influencing the national mind ; above all, they witnessed the formation of a sound body of public opinion which accepted the central idea that the continued unity of the Empire is a question which rises far above most of the issues which divide our party politics; and that the attain- ment of a completer unity than at present exists ought to be the supreme object of our national poUcy. When the responsibilities of office compelled Lord Rosebery (in 1892) to resign the direction of the League, his place was fiUed by the late Mr. Edward Stanhope, under whose Presidency the League was dissolved. With the policy of dissolution 1 never agreed. It gave offence to Members of the League in Canada, was rejected by those of Australia, and only made way for organizations on somewhat narrower lines in England. In my judgment, the League might have continued to furnish a middle ground upon which men of all parties could study and discuss the problems of Empire without the acrimony which usually attends party debate. But in the absence of such an arena for discussion, it was inevitable that sooner or later, under our system of politics, some of these problems would furnish watchwords for party fight. That time has now apparently arrived. The early advocates of Imperial Federation were inclined to treat Protection and Free Trade as ques- tions which might fairly be left open for solution in the light of changing circumstances. Whether the principle vi PREFACE of Free Imports, which had so long controlled the policy of the Motherland, or the Protectionist system, which was manifestly gaining ground in the great Colonies, would gain the ascendancy for the nation as a whole, was still uncertain. But whether developed by Free Trade or Protection, the vast and rapidly increasing commerce of the Empire, demanded adequate security from attack ; the interests of the different lands under the flag claimed due representation ; the policy of the Empire required coherent and consistent direction ; the methods by which these great ends should be secured must of necessity be sought for and established. In seeking such methods, in striving to make the British Empire an effective national unit among the vast aggregations of force growing up around it, there might well be room, I think, for studying dispas- sionately even questions of Trade. But the battle has now been joined on closer lines. We are passing through a period of active transition. The conditions of the world are changing ; the outlook of national life becomes different every year ; in many cases the principles which have seemed adequate for the guidance of national conduct are questioned as they have not been for half a century. We seem to be upon the verge of a time when theoretical discussions, which have long occupied the minds of earnest men, must either be carried forward to practical conclusions or must be abandoned as unpractical and useless. It is inevitable that at such a period, in the midst of strongly conflicting opinions, and a complex array of facts and figures, individuals must make grave decisions in reliance upon their own judgment. The present volume illustrates the process by which vii PREFACE such decisions are made. The cause of National Unity has had no more sincere, earnest, or strenuous advocate than Mr. Brassey. To this great idea he has conse- crated no small portion of his time and thought for many years. The knowledge gained in wide travel throughout the Empire has been laid under constant contribution to this end. During the years in which we have worked together, I have constantly admired the way in which he subordinated his own interest and his feeUngs as a Party politician to the broad principle and purpose of a United Empire. It is natural that a candidate for Parliamentary honours in this country should wish the constituents whose support he seeks, to have a full opportunity to know the conclusions at which he has arrived on pubhc questions, and the path along which his mind has travelled in arriving at these conclusions. This is especially true in a time of political upheaval, such as that through which this country is now passing, when new lines of cleavage have been introduced into public life, and numbers of sincere thinkers on both sides of pohtics have been compelled with anxious thought to reconsider the ground of their party allegiance. These essays and addresses mark the movement of a sincere mind, earnestly seeking, under the varying phases of political development, after truth in regard to the conduct of national affairs. The author would himself probably be the last to say that between his first utterances upon the question and the last, there is absolute fixedness and consistency of statement. Not only do conditions change, but the range of vision widens. Experience alone sometimes teaches the lines of least resistance. Some of the speeches or articles viii PREFACE contained in this volume are valuable contributions to the study of those national problems which we must solve on our way to a really United Empire. Others present a personal view of the present national outlook, which deserves the careful consideration of voters, anxious to exercise the franchise wisely on great public issues. On one of the most vexed and difficult problems connected with the Federation of the Empire, Mr. Brassey has taken the lead in laying down and advo- cating a definite policy of reconstruction. It has long been apparent that tlie Imperial Parliament, as at present constituted, is unequal to the double task of managing the affairs of a world-wide Empire while also performing the minor functions which in Federated States are assigned to the individual communities of the Federation. The attempt to do this double work has ended in an almost hopeless congestion of Parliamentary business, which at once weakens general policy and paralyses local improvement. Mr. Brassey has not hesitated to point out that some devolution of local and municipal legislation, on lines similar to what has been carried out so successfully in Canada, must take place within the United Kingdom before a place can be found for Colonial representatives in a Parliament competent to deal with the affairs of a world-wide Empire. He has claimed that Federal Government for the United Kingdom is not merely the best corrective for partial and inadmissible Home Rule demands, but is a necessary step in the process of further national evolution. There is strong reason to beheve that time will prove the truth of this contention. It will be seen that in the great debate concerning ix PREFACE a fiscal policy for the nation at large which is now engaging attention in this country, Mr. Brassey has modified his Free Trade views. His earlier speeches* indicate an anticipation that the circumstances of national life might compel consideration of a change of trade policy, though such a change might not be to the advantage of the United Kingdom. He now believes that such a change has become necessary, not only on Imperial grounds, but also in the interests of the United Kingdom. That the burden of defending the Empire is becoming too heavy for the taxpayers of the mother country alone is an argument constantly used by Mr. Brassey in these pages. He has, after many years of thought and study, arrived at the con- clusion that it is only through some form of commercial federation that the Colonies will be induced to relieve the mother country of a share of the burdens which are beginning to weigh heavily on her shoulders. On the soundness of this conclusion I do not wish to express an opinion. There are many others like myself who still hold that, independently of the fiscal questions which now chiefly occupy people's thoughts, there are imperative reasons for welding the Empire more closely together. Whatever be the result of the present debate, those issues remain. Meanwhile, I welcome this opportunity to record my conviction, formed from much study of national problems and close observation of public opinion at home and abroad, that no political party can hope to command the support of the Britisli people at large which does not make a broad Imperial policy, based on Of. pp. 16 and 38. X PREFACE the idea of an Empire always becoming more closely knit together in all its parts, the very corner-stone of its programme. Such a national poUcy should not be the heritage of any single party in the state. But in my opinion it is those leaders who grasp the idea most firmly, who base their plans on its realisation, and who place minor party considerations in their true relation to this central issue of our national life, who will ultimately win in the great struggle which is now going on. XI CONTENTS I. IMPERIAL FEDERATION. PAGE (a) Imperial Government 3 Speech at Epsom, 1892. (b) Great Britain as a Sea Power 20 From the Nineteenth Century, July 1893. (c) Australia and Imperial Defence 37 Extracts from an Address delivered before the Imperial Federation League of Victoria, at Melbourne, October 1896. (d) The Irish Question 49 Extract from Address at Pokesdown, Boiu-nemiouth, November 8th, 1898. (e) Federal Government for the United Kingdom and THE Empire . . , 52 From the Nineteenth Century, August 1901. (f) Steps to Imperia,l Federation 72 A Paper read before the Royal Colonial Institute, No- vember 11th, 1902. (g) The Finance of Federal Government for the United Kingdom 96 A Paper read before the Royal Statistical Society, January 1903. II. TARIFF REFORM. (a) Is Free Trade the Right Policy for this Country to-day (1898)? 127 (b) Sugar Bounties and the West Indies .... 131 Extract from a Speech at Christchurch, November 1898. xiii CONTENTS. TARIFF REFORM (continited). paob Cc) Pbeferentiax Tariffs . . , . . . 134 A Letter to the Times, June 5th, 1903. (d) Tariff Reform and the Cotton Industry . . . 143 A Letter to the Manchester Chiardian, July 25th, 1903. (e; Tariff Reform and Agricttlture 147 Speech at Catsfield, July 28th, 1903. (f) Canada 159 The Montreal Congress, August 1903. The Canadian Manufacturers' Association, September 1903 (page 162). (g) Canada and Preferential Trade 168 Speech at Rye, October 10th, 1903. (h) The Need for Tariff Reform 180 Speech at Tunbridge Wells Farmers' Club, January 15th, 1904. III. MISCELLANEOUS SUBJECTS. (a) Studies in Australia in 1896 197 Paper read at the Royal Colonial Institute, February 1897 (b) The Egyptian Question 233 Speech at Boscombe, November 1898. (c) The Situation in South Africa 243 Speech at Bournemouth, October 1899. XIV I. IMPERIAL FEDERATION. B IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. Speech at Epsom, 1892. It must be clear to every sensible man that the task inability of J . -r • 1 -r. T . , Parliament to imposed on our present Imperial Parliament is abso- cope with the lutely beyond the capacity of a single assembly. The Empire! ^^^ House of Commons attempts to deal with the internal affairs of Ireland, Wales, Scotland, and England. Judging by the time that Irish affairs now occupy in Parliament, when there are so many other important things to be considered, the regulation of the internal affairs of Ireland alone is a sufficient task for any representative body, and I am sure that most people in this room will agree with me when I say that the domestic government of some 30,000,000 of Englishmen, a business which is now very much left on one side, would give ample scope to the energies and talents of any body of legislators, however energetic, and however capable. The House of Commons, again, attempts to supervise the Government of some 250,000,000 of the human race in India. If that supervision is to be effective, and, mind you, it ought to be effective, for we have undertaken in India enormous responsibihties, far more time must be given to Indian questions by people who are far more intimately acquainted with them than the average Member of the British House of Commons. I need not now speak of the Administration of our various Crown Colonies and Dependencies, or of the 3 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. regulation of the external relations of the great self-governing Colonies ; I have said sufficient to show that to no subject which comes before the British House of Commons is it possible at present to giv^e the amount of time and attention which that particular subject demands. The Imperial Let US examine how our present system of Government . ^ o i -n • as it affects— government aiiects the various parts ot the Empire, and why it is unsatisfactory to each part indi^^[dually. Ireland. Ireland suffers most under the present system : let us therefore take the case of Ireland first. I don't intend to enter at any length into the Irish question now, though it still occupies first place in the Liberal programme, because I have dealt with it very fully elsewhere. What are we doing in Ireland ? We are persisting in governing the country in direct opposition to the wishes of the people as expressed through their representatives, in refusing to recognise what is, in my opinion, the first principle of Imperial Government, viz., the right of each part of the Empire to manage its own local affairs. Some people will tell us that Ireland is not, and cannot be, a unit in herself, that she is only a portion of the United Kingdom, and that Englishmen and Irishmen can be governed under the same laws and by the same body. That is an argument that has been often put to me, but if it is a sound contention, how comes it that measures are brought in to apply to Ireland, which are not applied to England, how comes it that measures are passed which apply to England and AVales, and which do not apply to Ireland? The truth is that Ireland is a country whose conditions essentially differ from those of England and demand special treatment. Let us recognise in 4 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. the case of Ireland, that Irishmen know how best to manage their own local affairs, but, while keeping before us the first principle in any future Home Rule Bill, let not the other two principles of Imperial Government be forgotten. Ireland must have a Parliament of her own for the transaction of her own special business, but, at the same time, she must continue to take her proper share in the management of Imperial affairs, she must continue to bear her fair share of the cost of the Army and Navy, which are to defend her as well as Scotland and England. The Home Rule Bill of 1886 was, in some respects, a retrogi-ade measure, in that it placed Ireland in a posi- tion worse than that of a Crown Colony. No taxation without representation is an old axiom of the British Constitution. Under that Bill, Ireland was stiU to bear her share of the cost of Imperial defence, but she was to have no voice in the control of the expenditure, she was to have no \ oice in the direction of the foreign policy, which was to affect her as much as England. Sir Charles Russell was one of the very first to point this out, and in any future Home Rule Bill we may rest perfectly assured that this defect will be remedied. Ireland, as I have said, is the most dissatisfied ScoUand and with the way her affairs are managed by the present Imperial Parliament, but in Scotland and Wales this feeling of dissatisfaction is increasing too. The demand for Home Rule is growing. Surely the Crofter ques- tion, or any other purely Scotch question, will be infinitely better dealt with in an assembly of Scotchmen, intimately acquainted with the wants of their country, than in an heterogeneous assembly of people, most of 5 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. whom take only an indirect interest in the subject. The same may be said of Wales. England. The consideration of how our system of Imperial Government affects us Enghshmen is the most [im- portant to all of you in this hall. At present we find that a large proportion of the time of our representatives in Parliament is taken up in dealing with Irish, Scotch^ or Welsh business, with matters which only indirectly concern ourselves. A^'^e, as Liberals, maintain that purely Irish questions should be decided according to the wishes of Irish people. As a Liberal, again, I have pledged myself to vote on the question of disestablish- ment in \¥ales, according to the clearly expressed views of the Welsh people ; and I have given a similar pledge with regard to disestablishment in Scotland, when the opinion of Scotchmen on that question is equally clearly expressed. But has it never struck you that these Liberal principles we profess, might be applied even nearer home. If the Irish have a right to manage their own affairs, have not we Englishmen a right to manage our own affairs ? Do we want Irishmen and Scotchmen to help us to decide what form free education is to take in our English elementary schools. Should the question of the disestablishment of the Church in England come up for decision, is that question to be in great part decided by the votes of Irish Roman Catho- lics, Scotch Presbyterians, and AVelsh Dissenters ? In my opinion, emphatically No ! Questions which affect England alone, should be decided according to the v^iews of the English people. Therefore, I advocate Home Rule for England as well as for Ireland, for Scotland, and for Wales, and in doing so, I no more than follow an accepted principle of the Liberal party ► 6 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. Let us turn to the ffreat self-ffoverninff colonies in The Seif- -.y , • . . ,. . governing North America, Austraha, and South Africa. Surely Colonies. the issues on which the general election in Canada was fought three months ago, the issue on which the general election in New South Wales has just decided, the visit of the young and able Premier of South Africa to this country, should awaken the most serious atten- tion to the relations between the mother country and her Colonies. The issue in Canada was whether there should or should not be unrestrained reciprocity with the United States. The party led by Sir John Macdonald maintained that complete reciprocity with the United States meant ultimate absorption in the United States. Though his opponents disclaimed any intentional disloyalty to the mother country, the Cana- dian people decided that Sir John IVIacdonald was right in his contention. In New South A Vales the issue was more direct. Sir Henry Parkes, the G.O.M. of Aus- tralia, as he is often called, put forward the proposal for Australian Federation, as a Federation under the Crown ; Mr. Dibbs, the leader of the Opposition, went for Feder- ation and Independence. Sir Henry Parkes has been returned witli thirty-eight of his supporters ; Mr. Dibbs has lost his seat and only nineteen of the opposition have been elected. The results of these elections are satis- factory ; but they do not remove the necessity for seriously considering our position. In each of these groups of Colonies there are re- sponsible legislatures, which make what laws they please for the internal government of their respective Colonies. At the head of each it is true there is a Governor, who acts as deputy of the Queen. The external affairs of the great Colonies are in the hands of the Colonial 7 PROBLEMS OP^ EMPIRE. Office, subject to the more or less imperfect scrutiny of Parliament. We all know that a Government office will do almost anything to avoid inconvenient questions in the House of Commons, and its action is largely governed by the principle of 'let sleeping dogs lie.' The Colonial Office is no exception to the rule. Colonists have no constitutional way on ordinary occasions of making their voices heard. If they make representations to the Colonial Office, the Colonial Office will turn a deaf ear until a powerful agitation is got up in the colony interested, until an immense amount of ill-feeling and disloyalty to the mother country is aroused, which has sometimes culminated in the hauling down of the national flag by an excited populace. There have been instances of this in Australia, South Africa, and North America, in the last few years, and in South Africa and North America in the last year. By the time the agitation reaches to the height of lowering the national flag, the attention of Parliament and the electors of this country have been aroused, and the Colonial Office has been convinced that some action must be taken. Many instances could be quoted to show what I mean. One which I often quote, because 1 happened to be in Australia when the feeling on the subject was at its height, is the way in which the Home Government dealt with the annexation of New Guinea and the transportation of French convicts to New Caledonia, whence they escaped to the mainland of Australia. The feelings aroused at that time in Queens- land have rankled ever since, they have borne fruit on more than one occasion, and it will be many a long year before they completely die out. i^nd*°""^ There is an excellent illustration of the way in 8 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. which our Empire is governed at present, which has had a large place in the columns of the daily press and which has, during the present session, occupied the attention of both Houses of Parliament. I refer to the case of Newfoundland. I do not intend to enter into tlie history of this question. The position may be briefly summarised thus : The French have undoubted Treaty rights on a portion of the shores of Newfoundland which have become absolutely intolerable owing to an expansion of population, which was never dreamt of at the time that Treaty was made, or even at the periods when it has been since confirmed. The way in which these Treaty rights have been enforced (the Newfound- landers say, exceeded) by both French officers and the officers of H.M. ships has produced the gravest discontent in Newfoundland. More than a year ago that discontent was very serious, but nothing was done. During the winter the situation gi'ew still more gi'ave. Mass meetings were held at St. John's and elsewhere to protest against the action of the Home Government, there was much talk of annexation to the United States, accompanied by the hauling down of the national flag, which is becoming only too common in cases of this kind. At the beginning of this year, the House of As- sembly began to pass unanimous resolutions on the subject. The Colonial Office became convinced that something must be done, and within the last few weeks the Premier of Newfoundland has been heard at the bar of one of the Houses of Parliament, and some sort of temporary arrangement has been arrived at. I am now dealing with the Newfoundland ques- tion only as incidental to my main argument ; but, if I may be allowed to digress, I would say that this 9 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. question, which has troubled English and French statesmen for more than a century, can only be settled satisfactorily to all parties concerned, on the basis of the complete extinction of the French rights on the shores of Newfoundland, which are almost valueless to the French themselves : but, as I have said before, in- tolerable to the Newfoundlanders. Sensible Frenchmen take this view of the case ; we must be prepared to make considerable concessions elsewhere, but it is worth mak- ing a considerable sacrifice for the benefit of 200,000 of our English-speaking fellow-countrymen. Now the his- tory of Newfoundland during the past year is, as I have said, only one instance of many that prove how unsat- isfactory our present system is. We are brought to the conclusion that the external relations of Colonies in- habited by 11,000,000 of free self-governing English subjects, nearly 10,000,000 of whom are Englishmen, cannot be managed in a Government office, supervised by an Assembly in which not one of the Colonies, immediately interested, is represented. These relations are too important to be dealt with in this way. They must be dealt with by an Assembly where the Colonies are represented. India. India is a very important part of the British Empire. We Enghshmen have undertaken to govern in India a popuhition about ten times our own number, a population which forms a very large part of the human race. The responsibility is enormous, and yet how much of the time of Parliament is given to the consideration of Indian questions ? At most, one or two days, and those at the fag end of a session, when half of the Mem- bers have left. Parliament is practically absolute in dealing with India, and considering the imperfect 10 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. knowledge and the insufficient opportunities of acquiring knowledge of Indian questions possessed by most Members of l*arliament, it is perhaps a matter of congratu- lation that the Government of India is so largely left in the hands of that noble body of civil servants, who do now, as they ha^'e done for many years past, constitute one of the finest services that the world has ever known. But there are questions gradually rising abo\'e Native share the horizon or Indian politics, too important to be tration. decided by any body of civil servants, however capable^ and still less by an Assembly which has not the leisure they demand. The most important of these questions is how far the natives of India are to be ad- mitted to a share in the government of their country. If that question could be decided by applying the prin- ciples of English politics to India, the solution would be comparatively easy, but few people who have any knowledge of Indian matters would dream of suggest- ing such a solution. A movement has been in progress for some years past to urge the claims of the natives of India to representation in the government of their country, and the demands of the supporters of this move- ment have taken shape in the progi-amme of the so- called Native Congress. It is to me clear that, as the logical outcome of our system of education, gradual concessions will have to be made to the demands of the party represented by the Congress ; and the repre- sentative principle may be partially introduced in the constitution of provincial councils. But any attempt to govern India now or in the near future, through the medium of representative institutions, would, in my opinion, be absolutely impracticable. Those people who 11 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. have profited most hitherto by our system of education are drawn from the weakest races of India ; and if we were to leave India to-morrow, those people who are loudest in their demands for representative Government would be the very first to go to the wall, overwhelmed by the strong fighting races of the north and north-west. The problem is full of difficulty, it demands the closest attention and the deepest study, which, vmder the present system of Imperial Government, it cannot have from those who are ultimately responsible for the solution. 1 should look forward with grave apprehension to such a question being decided in an Assembly where votes are mainly governed by considerations of party pohtics at home. Therefore, in my opinion, for the proper Government of India, as well as for other parts of the Empire, a body must be constituted in which questions of great Imperial interest are decided by repre- sentatives from all parts of the Empire. Crown There is another group of British possessions which are pecuharly under the government of the Colonial Office, and which have often reason to be dissatisfied with that Government — I mean the Crown Colonies, the most important of which are the Straits Settlements, Ceylon, the West Indian Islands, and Mauritius. In nearly every Crown Colony, the wliite population bears a very small proportion to the natives, and is composed mainly of merchants, bankers, a few officials, and, in the West Indies, of planters. If the Colony has a grievance it is exceedingly difficult for it to bring its grievance before the attention of Parliament, which alone has power to remedy it. The Governor is absolute in his Council, which invariably has a majority of official members, and he can compel them to vote against their opinions 12 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. and in accordance with the instructions of the Colonial Office on pain of dismissal from their offices. Agita- tion, such as we have seen is so common in the self- governing Colonies, would be too dangerous an example for a handful of Europeans to set to a large native population. The Colonial Office, therefore, can treat the Colony almost as it pleases without fear of the consequences. Let me give one instance which will show you that Singapore, the authority of the Colonial Office can be pushed to an extent that you may never have reaUsed before. It is a question affiscting the defences of the Colony of Singapore. In 1885, as a result of I^ord Carnarvon's Committee on the coahng stations, an arrangement was arrived at by which the Colony of the Straits Settlements was to undertake the works of the forts, while the Home Government supplied the armament; 80,000/. was cheerfully voted by the Colony for this purpose, and the works were completed, as I saw with my own eyes, long before the promised armament was ready. Early last year the Secretary for State claimed the following additional contributions : (a) 29,000/. for loss on exchange. (6) 60,000/. for five years for barracks. (c) 100,000/. instead of 50,000/. for military con- tribution. When the matter came before the Council the elected members protested against the vote of 100,000/., but expressed willingness to agree to the two first demands. The vote was carried by the votes of the official mem- bers, and with regard to their votes the Governor said in his dispatch to the Secretary of State, ' I found myself unable to support all the claims which Her 13 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Majesty's Government had made, and the same views which I held were shared by every member of my council. ISIy instructions, however, were perfectly clear, and I had to require each member to vote against his conviction, and in support of the claims of Her Majesty's Government.' That is an instance of the way in which our Crown Colonies may be governed. It is the interest of few Members of Parliament to move in questions of this kind, because they know full well that few of their constituents have any knowledge of them or pay any heed to them. Therefore, in my belief, our system of Imperial Government is as bad for the Crown Colonies as it is for those other parts of the Empire that we have been discussing. We have seen that our system of Imperial Govern- ment is unsatisfactory to our great self-governing Colonies as well as to India and those parts of Greater Britain which are not able to govern themselves; to the former because they have no constitutional share in that government, to the latter because their affiiirs are managed without the knowledge and attention which their importance demands. An Imperial ]^ut is uot the Government of Greater Britain as necel'^ry. Unsatisfactory to us English Liberals as the Government of Great Britain and Ireland. We Englishmen do not wish to shirk our Imperial responsibilities. We know that it would be impossible for our teeming population to exist in this small island if it were not for our great possessions in every quarter of the globe ; if it were not for our great over-sea commerce, which brings us the raw materials for oiu- manufactures and the bread that we eat. We wish to see Greater Britain well governed, 14 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. but we do not wish to have the time of our representa- tives in Parhament occupied with the better government of Greater Britain to the exclusion of questions which intimately affect ourselves. Irish, Welsh, and Scotch affairs on the one hand. Imperial affairs on the other, will delay for many years those much-needed reforms which form part of the programme of the gi-eat Liberal Party (to which I am proud to belong) if our present system is unchanged. I therefore advocate, in the interest of England as well as of the British Empire, that Imperial affairs should be handed over to a body which from its constitution has the power, and from the nature of its functions has the leisure to deal with them. That body must be composed of representatives from Ireland, Scotland, and Wales, fi'om Canada, Australia, and South Africa, as well as from England. We must be prepared to give up our exclusi^'e control of foreign affairs and the Imperial army and navy to this body, in which, for a time at any rate, we shall have a preponderating influence. I have shown you that this sacrifice is worth the making, but it can only be made on one condition. At the present time practically the whole cost of imperial Defence the army and navy (which not only defend our own bome by coasts and our own commerce, but the shores of our BSain. remotest dependencies) is borne by the taxpayers of this country. It is the same with the cost of the diplomatic and consular services of which the Colonies derive the benefit as well as we ourselves. It probably has not struck many of the taxpayers that they are paying for defending people who are better able to pay than they are themselves. This state of things cannot long con- tinue ; at any rate, when the British taxpayer comes 15 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. to realise what an unfair arrangement it is to him. To those who assert that the Colonies will never con- tribute to the cost of Imperial defence, my answer is — they have already begun to do so. Melbourne and Sydney, which are secure bases for British commerce, are amongst the best-defended ports in the Empire. After the Colonial Conference of 1887 the Australian Governments, with one exception, agreed to bear a large proportion of the cost of a British squadron in Australian waters : and while that squadron is avowedly intended to protect, in the first instance, the shores of Australia, it as certainly assists in protecting British commerce in Australian waters. Commercial Though a Commencement has been made in this direction, it may well be doubted whether the Colonies will undertake their fair share of the burden unless we give them further advantages than a voice in the control of Imperial questions. The self-governing Colonies are nearly all rigidly protectionist, and it is said that all that they hope for from a connection with the mother country is the enjoyment of trade advantages. I am a staunch believer in the economic advantages of Free Trade to this country, even on the present one-sided system ; but, in my opinion, it is well worth considering whether we should not gain more than we lose if, by entering into reciprocal trade arrangements throughout the Empire, we induced the Colonies to bear their fair share of the cost of Imperial defence. In the present state of public opinion on fiscal matters in this country such an arrangement may be impracticable. It is a problem which will un- doubtedly have to be faced sooner or later, if this Empire of ours is to be kept together, and it is a 16 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. question on which the electors of this country will have to make up their minds. Lord Sahsbury told the deputation of the Imperial federation •^ ^ *^ for Defence. Federation League, introduced by Lord Brassey, that it was due to an extravagant modesty on their part, that they had no definite scheme to propose. He then proceeded to state what appeared to him to be the difficulties of the problem. Though I have endeavoured to point out a practical remedy for some of the diffi- culties of Imperial government in relation to local self- government, for the difficulties indicated by Lord Salisbury I have put forward no practical solution. The Zollverein we have already put on one side. But for a Kriegsverein, or union for the defence of the Empire, we see our way to a practical step partly suggested by the arrangement adopted at the last Colonial Conference of 1887. At another Colonial Conference the following proposals can be made : — Delegates to be appointed by the legislatures of the various self-governing parts of the Empire to an assembly which shall have control of (a) foreign rela- tions ; {b) India and the Crown Colonies; (c) Imperial defence. Grants to be made by the legislatures of the various self-governing countries for the purposes of Imperial defence, over which the aforesaid Imperial assembly will have absolute control. The amount of representation and contribution to be determhied at the conference, and the arrangements to be ratified by the various legislatures. The arrangement to be subject to revision at the end of ten years. Now, in placing the three principles of Imperial The ' A o JT i A principles of government before vou to-niffht, I have shown you imperial , .. ,, 1 otiiij!^j. Government. that it IS not only to the advantage of Ireland but to 17 c PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. the advantage of England that the first of these principles — viz., the right of each self-governing part of the Empire to manage its own local affairs, should be adopted. I have shown you that it is not only to the advantage of India and the Colonies, but to the advantage of England as well, that matters of Imperial interest should be managed by a body properly con- stituted to deal with them. I have shown you that if we do give up our exclusive control in these matters, the Colonies must relieve us of that part of taxation which we bear on their behalf. I have addressed myself mainly to you as I^iberals who wish to see Parliament free to devote its attention to English domestic problems. I have been told that the British elector cares for absolutely nothing that does not touch his own immediate interests. It may be the case that the British democracy is in ordinary times the most un- patriotic of people ; but I am perfectly certain that there is a deep latent feeling of patriotism which is aroused when the occasion demands it. I am confident that there are few Enghshmen who can read the history of the building up of this Empire of ours without a feeling of just pride. Does not the growth of Canada and Australia, the work above all which we have done in India, awaken the most serious considera- tion as to the moral responsibilities of our race? We have shown we have a genius for self-government, and for the government of native races, which no other nation has possessed ; we sliould not shirk the responsi- bilities, to the whole as well as to the various parts. We have an immense task to perform for the peace and civilisation of mankind, if we only have the will to undertake it. A united British Empire will represent 18 IMPERIAL GOVERNMENT. interests so varied that it will be sincerely desirous of peace. On the other hand, it may in time become so powerful that, as I^ord Rosebery has finely said, without its consent no shot will be fired in anger throughout the habitable globe. The cost of the defence of the British Empire. Lord Hartington's Commission on Military Expenditure. GREAT BRITAIN AS A SEA POWER. From the ' Nineteenth Century,' July, 1893. The gross cost to the British taxpayer of defending- the British Empire amounted, for the year 1892-93, to over 35^ miUions of pounds, 20j miUions of which (in round numbers) were devoted to expenditure on the Army, and 15 miUions to expenditure on the Navy. The estimates for these two great services are passed through ParHament year after year with some shght criticism on points of detail. It is a cogent argument in favour of the pohcy of such measures as the Naval Defence Act that it compels Parliament from time to time to consider broadly the requirements of the country for the purposes of defence. On ordinary occasions few of those who are responsible for granting these enormous sums of money, fewer still among the general body of taxpayers, have paused to consider whether we are proceeding on the right principles in allocating the expenditure. It is true that there is a general feeling that for the 20 millions spent on the Army, the most efficient part of which is in India, and is paid for by the Indian taxpayer, the nation by no means gets its money's worth. Lord Hartington's commission, composed though it was of able men, after conducting an exhaustive inquiry into the whole subject, was able to suggest little in the way of reform. Sir George Chesney, Mr. Arnold 20 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. Forster, and ' Vetus ' in the Times, could only point out defects of administration. One writer who has gone to the root of the matter has shown that, until the British people and British statesmen make up their minds as to the part they expect the Army to play in the defence of the Empii-e, our military expenditure is likely to con- tinue wasteful and misdirected. There are three forms of attack which we must be Forms of prepared to meet in the event of war with a first-class Empire. European power : attacks on commerce, attacks on colonies and dependencies, invasion. In former wars in which we have been engaged our On ., 1 no • ^ 1 , Ti • Commerce. commerce, though suiiermg heavy losses, steadily in- creased in volume. In any war of the future no one can doubt that our commerce will be much exposed to attack. The British Empire, according to Lloyd's Register, possesses, at the present time, more than half the total merchant tonnage of the world. Nearly two-thirds of the tonnage of steamships, which are generally considered to possess three times the carrying efficiency of sailing-ships, are owned in the British Empire. Turning from shipping to cargoes, the total trade of the British Empire in 1890 amounted to nearly 1,200,000,000/., 750,000,000/. representing the share of the United Kingdom alone. The trade of the United Kingdom is of vital importance. One hundred years ago England was nearly, if not quite, self-supporting. To-day we are not provisioned for more than six weeks or two months. The young school of naval officers, led by Admiral The Jeune Aube, has laid it down that the naval force of France when employed for offensive purposes should be con- centrated on the attack of British commerce. Admiral 21 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. de la Reveillere, in a recent article in the Marine Francaise, observes : ' La Jeune Ecole se trompe assurement sur la portee de ce genre de lutte quand elle s'imagine, avec quelques torpilleurs dans la Manche et quelques croiseurs tres rapides, condamner I'Angle- terre a perir d'inanition ; mais ce n'en est point moins le vrai moyen de combattre.' In adopting the ' guerre de course ' as the be-all and end-all of their policy, the naval strategists of the Jeune Ecole hardly pay suffi- cient regard to the teachings of history. The v^rhole maritime energies of the French Republic after the battle of the 1st of June in 1794, and of the French Empire after the battle of Trafalgar, were directed to the subjugation of England through the destruction of her commerce. The command of the sea was not disputed. British fleets and British cruisers were, if possible, to be avoided. The first principle of naval warfare was sacrificed to an ulterior object. Captain Captain Mahan, in his recent work, has conclusively shown that, in thus acting, the French Government singularly failed to attain the object which they had in view. British commerce, indeed, suffered numerous losses at the hands of French ships and French privateers throughout the war, but its steady ebb and flow was never seriously affected by these means. The number of British merchant vessels captured during the twenty-one years 1798-1814 amounted to 11,000 ; the average number of ships entering and clearing tlie ports of Great Britain, exclusive of the coasting trade, amounted annually to over 21,000. From these and other considerations Captain Mahan draws the conclusion ' that the direct loss to the nation by the operation of hostile cruisers did not exceed 22 Mahan. IMPERIAL DEFENCE. 2j per cent, of the commerce of the Empire ; and that this loss was partially made good by the prize ships and merchandise taken by its own naval vessels and privateers,' It should be further observed that the total number of vessels belonging to the British Empire rose from 16,875 in 1795 to 22,051 in 1805, and 23,708 in 1810. What was the result of the war to our oppo- nent ? Before the Revolution, Admiral de la Reveillere asserts that the commerce of France equalled that of England. The revolutionary war had not been long in progress before the French Directory was constrained to admit (in 1799) that ' not a single merchant-ship is on the sea carrying the French flag.' The history of the great war established beyond contravention the principle that no serious interruption to commerce is possible by the naval forces of a power which has not first obtained the command of the sea. It illustrates the fallacy of the idea that England can be reduced to scarcity while the relative strength of the two navies remains as it is now. On this point Admiral de la Reveillere is again worth quoting : ' S'imaginer que nous pourrons suffisamment bloquer les cotes anglaises pour reduire le pays a la famine .... est une idee qui ne penetrera jamais dans une tete saine.' In any future war in which the British Empire may become invohed, British connnerce wiU undoubtedly suffer losses ; their number and extent will depend on the strength and efficiency of the British Navy; but it is only in the case of that strength being allowed to fall to a point which will leave the command of the sea in doubt that British commerce can be seriously interrupted. In such a case it is idle for British merchants to talk of securing the safety of their trade under a neutral flag. 23 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Attacks on Colonies. By land on Canada and India. By sea. No power with which we might be at war would respect the neutral flag where ships were carrying food supplies absolutely vital to the existence of the enemy. Place the command of the sea in doubt, and the ruin of British commerce and the British Empire is assured. Of all the colonies and dependencies of the British Empire, India and Canada alone are open to serious attack by land. Though the navy is powerless to prevent these two great British possessions from being attacked, the power to defend them depends absolutely on the command of the sea. In the event of war with Russia we can place reinforcements to our army on the north-west frontier of India far more easily, far more cheaply, and probably more expeditiously than the Russians can bring forward their invading forces. De- prived of the power of reinforcing the army in 1 ndia by sea, England's hold upon India is gone for ever. The contingency of war with the United States no Enghsh- man cares to contemplate. Should Canada be ever again liable to invasion, our power of defending Canadian soil depends, as in the case of India, on the power of transporting British troops by sea. Canada is defended from the attack of any other power but the United States ; Australasia and South Africa are secure from the attack of every power, by the fact that they are of large extent and occupied by a numerous and friendly population. An army of 50,000 men would be required to conquer and hold either of these great colonies or dependencies. Such a force cannot be transported across the ocean by sur- prise. To make the attempt while the command of the sea was in doubt would be madness. Canada, Austraha, South Africa, and, we may add, 24 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. India are by many considered liable to serious attack by hostile navies, which would assail their ports and prey on the shipping on their coasts. Hahfax is the only port in these Colonies which can possibly be considered within the radius of action of fleets in European waters. The ports of the Cape Colony, of India, of AustraUa and New Zealand, possess an important element of safety from attack in their distance from Europe. The bases of the enemy in their neighbourhood are few. The naval force maintained by foreign powers in the Eastern seas, whether in the India Ocean, in the China Sea, or the Pacific, is quite insignificant compared with that maintained by the British Empire. It is clear that no power could withdraw a fleet of iron- clads for operations in distant seas without abandoning to us the absolute command of European waters and without setting free a proportionate number of British battleships. i\ttacks on commerce by one or two cruisers, keeping generally out of sight of the coasts, are the most probable form which the operations of an enemy would take on the coasts of India, Austraha, or South Africa. Occasional raids on territory might be made with the object of obtaining supphes ; but it may be safely asserted that few captains of cruisers would waste ammunition on bombardment with the chance of faUing in with an enemy's cruiser before they could return to their base to obtain a fresh supply. Against attacks on commerce the best form of defence is an active naval defence, by ships which are able to pursue and fight the cruisers of the enemy wherever they may be found. In accepting the localisation of the vessels of the special Australian squadron in defer- ence to the wish of the Colonies, we have acted on a 25 PROBLEJMS OF EMPIRE. principle unanimously condemned by students of naval strategy and we ha\'e seriously hampered the utility of such a squadron. The naval defence of Australasia and Australasian commerce is amply provided for. A few guns to deny the ports to the cruisers of the enemy are all that is required on shore. Unfortunately at INIelbourne large sums of money have been spent on providing a defence sufficient to keep a fleet of armour-clads at bay. In other words, Melbourne is defended against an attack which it is inconceivable could be made upon it under present conditions. Attacks on Qur miuor possessions divide themselves into colonies stations. and coaling stations. The former have no local de- fences ; they depend for their immunity from attack on the power of the British Navy. The latter have been lately provided with modern defences in accord- ance with the recommendations of Lord Carnarvon's commission. Our most important coaUng stations are on the routes to the East, on that via the Suez Canal, Gibraltar, Malta, Aden, Ceylon, Singapore, Hongkong ; on that via the Cape of Good Hope, Sierra Leone, Ascension, St. Helena, Cape Town, Simon s Bay, and Mauritius. In the West Indies we have Port Castries (St. Lucia) and Port Royal (Jamaica) ; in the North Atlantic we have Bermuda ; in the South Atlantic we have tlie Falkland Islands — an important station as yet undefended. Of all our coaling stations, Gibraltar and Malta alone can be considered open to attack by a powerful fleet, and against such an attack tliey must be defended. The Straits of Gibraltar is by far the most important strategic point in the British Empire. Gibraltar is insecure and inconvenient in many respects as a port, but for want of a better in the immediate 26 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. neighbourhood it is the base on which must vest that Britisli fleet on which the main burden of the defence of the Empire will fall. It must also be the base for the cruisers protecting our trade with the East, whether by the Cape of Good Hope or the Suez Canal, and the trade with South America. While the strategic im- portance of Gibraltar is absolute, that of Malta is only relative. It is a convenient base for operations in the Eastern Mediterranean, and for protecting the Medi- terreanean trade. After Gibraltar the Cape of Good Hope is the most important strategic point in the British Empire. Some, indeed, would place it first. As a base for cruisers protecting trade this may be true ; but, while Gibraltar has very great importance in this respect, as an indispensable base for our fleets it is without a rival. The strategic importance of our other coaling stations as protecting one or other of our trade routes is sufficiently obvious. Of those the de- fences of which have not yet been undertaken, it may be observed that Esquimault is of little value except for the deposits of coal at Nanaimo, and for the fact that it secures the Pacific end of the great Canadian line of communication against attack from any other power but the United States. Esquimault is ill situated for protecting British trade witli the AVest Coast of America ; and Canadian trade with China and Japan, though growing, is as yet of slight importance. It is clearly a position which, if worth defending at all, should be defended almost entirely at the cost of the Colonial Government. The Falkland Islands are the only base from which protection can be afforded by our cruisers to the homeward-bound trade * from * still largely carried in sailing vessels in 1893. 27 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Security of Coaling sta- tions depen- dent upon command of the sea. Necessity for Coaling sta- tions imder modern conditions. Australia and to the important trade with the West Coast of America. Most of our coahng stations proper are islands, and Aden and Sierra Leone are practically cut off from the rest of the world except by sea. Gibraltar is the single exception, and it is only in the improbable contingency of war with Spain that Gibraltar can be considered as anything but an island. The power to hold our coaling stations, therefore, depends absolutely on the possession of the command of the sea. In the wars of the French Revolution and Empire we were long, far too long, before we bent our energies to the task ; but by 1812 the Colonies of France, of Holland, and Denmark had fallen before the British arms. Issuing fi-om the Isle de France and the French West Indies, French privateers had done considerable harm to British commerce. They were opposed with energy by our cruisers, but it is diffi- cult to understand why the attempt was not made earlier to capture these important hostile positions. Bases for ships operating at a distance from the mother country are far more necessary than before the introduction of steam. Sailing-ships could, and did, remain at sea for many months at a time. Their power to remain at sea was only limited by the amount of water that tliey carried. The period during which a modern ship of war can remain at sea is determined mainly by her coal endurance ; and, to a great extent, by the necessity of effecting repairs in port to dehcate machinery. The coal endurance of modern ships of war is even more limited than official figures, so far as any are available, lead us to suppose ; and when Lord Salisbury placed the limit of the striking distance of a ship of war at 2000 miles — viz., the distance at which 28 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. she could deliver a blow and return to her port — he cer- tainly did not underestimate her powers. The country which possesses the most numerous coaling stations and the best situated as regards trade routes will have a great advantage in a future war. In this respect the British Empire is without a rival. While a navy depends for its power of operating in l]^^^^ll^ distant waters very largely on coaling stations, the existence of the latter depends absolutely on the power of the fleet to protect them. No local defence, whether in fortifications or men, will preserve them to a power which has lost the command of the sea. The history of IMalta during the great war affords an admirable instance of the interdependence of fleets and coaling stations, though it must be admitted that the lesson to be drawn is to some extent weakened by the need of modern ships for coal. Many people consider that the possession of Malta is indispensable to the maintenance of British influence in the Mediterranean. How fiir this is true may be judged from the fact that Nelson won the battle of the Nile when Malta was in the hands of the French, and that Malta fell into our hands, though not for some time, as the direct consequence of that battle which gave us the command of the Mediterranean. Captain Mahan summarises the conclusions which should be drawn in these words : — * Its fate, when in the hands of France .... gives warning that the fleet depends less upon Malta tliim Malta on the fleet.' If this be true of Malta, it is still more true of other coaling stations which do not lie in such proximity to the ports of foreign countries. We have acted wisely in giving to our coahng stations sufficient defence against one or two hostile cruisers. More than this is not required, 29 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Defence of Coaling sta- tions in hands of Array. Defence against Invasion at Home. As long as our Navy is maintained at its proper strength, and is efficiently officered and manned, it should not be possible for a serious expedition to leave the enemy's port without a British fleet being immediately in pursuit. The local defences of the coaling stations throughout the Einpire are in the hands of the Army — a policy which is not adopted by other nations. To this system many object on the gi'ounds (1) that their defence more properly belongs to the sphere of the Navy ; ( 2 ) that the Navy possesses in our magnificent marine corps a force which is far better adapted to the garrisoning of isolated and distant coaling stations than a short-service army. It is urged, and urged with force, that it must be absolutely destructive to the efficiency of a regiment to place three companies in garrison at Mauritius, one company at St. Helena, and the remaining companies at Cape Town — roughly 2000 miles away from either of the detachments. The principal objections to a change come from naval officers themselves, who consider that, if responsible for the defence of coaling stations or coasts, they would be tempted to keep their ships in the neighbourhood of their ports, instead of pursu- ing the enemy wherever he might be found, and making, as we have done in past years, our frontier line our enemy's coast. Though much money may be wasted under our present system in providing defences, whether forts or submarine mines, which the circum- stances do not require, the naval objection to a change of system must be admitted to be of great force. If, for the protection of our commerce, our Colonies, and coaling stations, we depend in great measure on the Navy, still more do we do so for protection against 30 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. invasion. The ideas put forward by the author of the Battle of Dorking, to a large extent, pre\^ail. Our mihtary authorities have, in the last few years, elaborated a system of defence for the metropolis ; large sums of money have been lavished on forts, intended to protect Chatham, Portsmouth, &;c., from the attack of an invading army. It is surely better to prevent an enemy from landing than to take elaborate and costly measures to meet him after he has landed. ' Aucune personne de bon sens ne songera a nous voir assez maitres de la Manche pour operer un debarquement et pour ravitailler une armee debarquee.' So says Admiral de la Reveillere in the article already quoted. In England it has been generally the practice of late years to estimate the probabilities of invasion in defiance of the lessons of our history. Two hundred years ago Lord Torrington demonstrated the value of the ' Fleet in being ' as an absolute protection against invasion, as has been so well pointed out by Admiral Colomb. For nearly two years Napoleon lay encamped on the heights above Boulogne with over 130,000 of the flower of his army, waiting for that opportunity which never came ; and it must be remembered that Napoleon had one chance of success which cannot occur again. The boats and vessels in which the invading army was to be embarked could be propelled by means of oars ; the British ships which were to destroy them were mainly dependent on the wind. In a calm it was possi- ble for the Boulogne flotilla to have moved without the British ships being able to reach them. Such a chance of success is not possible in these days of steam. In the fine passage with which he opens his account of the history of these two years Captain JNIahan points 31 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. out how the British fleets, which by Lord St. Vincent's strategy were continually maintained before Brest, Rochefort, Ferrol, and Toulon, were the real obstacles to the army of invasion. Our greatest naval victory won by our greatest naval hero was merely an incident in that well-planned campaign. The battle of Trafalgar was not necessary to prevent England being invaded, but it did render the prospect of invading England hopeless. Conditions in As it was tlicu, SO it will be again to-day. In the ^V&r with France. cvcut of War with France — and France is the only power whose fleet gives her the least prospect of being able to invade Great Britain — our protection against invasion will not consist in forts on the English coast, however well manned, and however well armed. By far the finest portion of the French Navy is now in the JNIediterranean. The force maintained in the ports on the Atlantic and the Channel is comparatively insigni- ficant. Our energies will be devoted to keeping the Mediterrean squadron in port; and if, as many naval authorities now hold, a blockade is no longer possible, we must bar the passage into the ocean through the Straits of Gibraltar. As in the day of Napoleon, so now, we shall hold the interior position and be able to combine our fleets at will. Our defence against invasion will rest primarily with the Mediterranean fleet. If that fleet is defeated in battle, and such a contingency has to be contemplated, it will not be defeated without inflicting serious damage on its opponents. To provide against such a contingency the Navy must be of sufficient strength in battleships to admit of a reserve squadron being maintained, capable of meeting the French Mediterranean fleet after it has been in conflict 32 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. with our own. ' No amount of foresight or calculation,' Lord George Hamilton has said, ' can anticipate naval combinations and naval movements ; therefore it seems to me essential that, for the purpose of meeting such unexpected blows, we should have a considerable margin of reserve.' There is one form of attack which does not fall French under any of the three heads under which we have attack %on' been considering the principles of Imperial defence. ^"^'^^ fl^^*^^. The British naval manoeuvres of the last three years have shown (1) that the Enghsh shores of the Channel are well within the range of torpedo-boat attack from the stations which have been recently established from Dunkirk to Brest ; (2) that the mere menace of torpedo- boat attack is sufficient to seriously retard the junction of two powerful fleets. In view of our recent experi- ence, it is probably true to say that the principal danger we have to fear in the event of war with France is an attack by torpedo-boats on our assembling fleets at Plymouth, Portland, or Spithead — similar to that made by Captain Barry's flotilla on Sir George Tryon's fleet in Plymouth Sound in the manoeuvres of 1890. An offensive defence, it was clearly shown by the man- oeuvres of 1891, is the best way of meeting such an attack. We must have numerous 'torpedo-boat des- troyers,' fast enough to catch and powerful enough to destroy the torpedo-boats of the enemy. We may congratulate ourselves that a first step has akeady been taken in this sound line of pohcy. More than this is required by the circumstances of the case. The anchorages at our Channel naval ports sorely need additional protection, by means of breakwaters, "^ * These have been constructed at Portland, &c. 33 D summarised. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. against an attack to which they are at present so much exposed. Principles of Xhe principles of imperial defence may be sum- Defence marised by considering what our objective is to be in time of war. Our first and principal object is obviously to defeat the enemy's main fleet in battle or to com- pletely checkmate its operations. An effective army, powerful fortifications, superiority in cruisers, will not compensate for a deficiency in the line of battle. Battleships alone can give us that command of the sea which is indispensable alike to the safety of our com- merce, our colonies and dependencies, and the shores of the United Kingdom. Our secondary object must be to maintain a sufficient force of cruisers to deal either with hostile cruisers designed to prey upon our commerce, or with expeditions intended for the attack of colonies, which might escape our principal fleets. It is a sounder and cheaperpolicy to endeavour to deal with these at the point of departure than to provide elaborate defences to meet them on arrival at their destination. The cruisers defend not only the point to be attacked, but they also secure the integrity of the trade routes over the ocean. Our third object should be to capture the coahng stations and colonies of the enemy which are indispensable to his depredations on our commerce. This is an object, as has already been stated, to which the attention of those responsible for directing the forces of Great Britain, in the great war, were not early enough directed. How many millions of pounds would have been saved if we had earlier seized Mauritius, Martinique, and Guadalupe ! In this connection Cap- tain Mahan points out that, contrary to the general principles of strategy, whether military or naval, for a 34 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. power which has command of the sea, dissemination of force within reasonable hmits is advisable. Conve- nient harbours for coaling, etc., in all parts of the world are indispensable to attacks on a commerce so widely distributed as that of the British Empire. Deprive the enemy of these, and his attacks on commerce are to a gi-eat extent rendered impossible ; but without some dissemination of force such a policy cannot be car- ried out. INIr. Shaw Lefevre said in the House of Commons '^^^- Shaw 1 , r. ■» .■ Lefevre. on the 7th of IMay, 1889 :— ' France has greatly increased her empire, not only in China and Tonquin, but in Africa, and has extended her interests in other parts of the world ; and in the event of a war with this country all these interests would be jeopardised, and in a very short time France would be cut off from her communication with all her outlying dependencies in different parts of the world.' When we hear that the French have occupied the Kerguelen Islands, St. Paul and Amsterdam — which, by the way, are marked as British possessions in most Enghsh maps — or that the United States contemplates the annexation of the Sandwich Islands, it should not give us dissatisfaction. Such acquisitions only increase the vulnerability of states whom we are practically powerless to injure in their own territory. In view of the military forces now maintained bv Limitations Continental powers under a system of conscription, ex- ness'of"the ' tended operations on the Continent are no longer '^''™^" conceivable. The part which the British Army can play in a war with a first-class power is only a secondary one, except in the cases of war with Russia or the United States. Though secondary, it is still important. The 35 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Army has not only to defend our o^ai coaling stations : it will have to co-operate with the Navy in the capture of the Colonies and coaling stations of the enemy. The capture of St. Pierre and Miquelon, of Diego Suarez or New Caledonia, would not, perhaps, be great achieve- ments for the British Army, but the conquest of Algeria would test its powers to the utmost. With Algeria hostile in time of war, the trade route up the Mediter- ranean could never be absolutely secure, and it might be advisable to abandon it altogether. For the Eastern trade this would only mean serious inconvenience. For the trade with the Mediterranean and Levant it would mean absolute extinction for the time — and British trade with the Mediterranean bears a large proportion to the total trade of the country. To those who have studied and grasped the principles of warfare which are apphcable to a sea power hke Great Britain — principles which we have to thank Cap- tain Mahan for so clearly setting forth — the relative proportions of naval and mihtary expenditure in the British Empire appear strange indeed. If these pro- portions were reversed, the British Empire would be infinitely better defended than it is at present. For our naval expenditure we obtain a Navy powerful indeed, but by no means sufficient for our needs. For our military expenditure we are able to provide the defences and garrisons of our coaling stations, we have a Home Army from which we hope to be able to reinforce the Anny in India in case of need, but which is in any case most costly, and insufficient in numbers to undertake offensive defence. 36 AUSTRALIA AND IMPERIAL DEFENCE. Extracts from an Address delivered before the Imperial federation League of Victoria at Melbourne, October, 1896.* We are met to-niffht under the auspices of the Im- The imperial T^^^flf* ration perial Federation League of Victoria. The Imperial League Federation League of the United Kingdom was dis- solved two years ago. Many members of the League in the United Kingdom, and, I suppose, a majority of the members of the branches both in Canada and here in Victoria disapproved of the dissolution. To devise a scheme of political federation was outside the scope of an irresponsible body of men however representative. All the work that it was in the power of the League to accomplish in the United King- dom, at any rate, has been done. Mainly through the efforts of the League a complete revolution of popular sentiment has been effected. The idea of the old Manchester School that the Colonies were a burden on the mother country, and should be cut adrift at the earliest possible opportunity, has completely died out. With few insignificant exceptions, statesmen, politicians, and pressmen of all shades of political opinion, are now looking to the maintenance of the Union * This address was to some extent a resume of the points given in the article reprinted from the Nineteenth Century, 37 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. under one flag of the various communities which make up this Empire. Is not the sentnnent of unity stronger in Canada, South Africa, and Australasia to-day than it was ten years ago ? When we were threatened on one side by the President of the United States, on the other by the Emperor of Germany, had the unanimous reso- lution of the Canadian House of Commons and the message of the Austrahan Premiers no significance ? From all that I have seen and heard in a recent journey across Canada, and since I have been in AustraUa, I am confident that the sentiment of loyalty is infinitely stronger to-day than it was ten years ago. Nowhere is it more apparent than here in the Colony of Victoria, a fact which may be attributed in great measure to the excellent teaching of geography and history in your State schools, just as I believe the hostiUty to Britain, which undoubtedly exists among large sections of the people especially in the central and western states of America, is largely due to the manner in which history is taught in the public schools. Commercial Bccausc wc cauuot look forward in the near future to any form of political federation, it does not follow that there are not other ways in which we may draw closer the ties that bind us together. Some people be- lieve that we can best secure the unity of our Empire by strengthening our trade relations. This view is largely held in Canada, especially by the party which has just been defeated in the General Election. It is also held to some extent in the United Kingdom by those statesmen and others who have banded themselves together into the British Empire Trade League, and more recently into the British Empire League. The idea of a Zollverein, or Customs Union, has apparently 38 Federation. IMPERIAL DEFENCE. not found much favour in Australia. To discuss the trade relations and the trade policies of the various British dominions would take an address in itself. The trade to be attracted by any change in our fiscal policy is not the main volume which we possess already, but a small fraction. The chief object to be gained is that Austrahan, Canadian, and South African producers would receive an advantage in the markets of the mother country that would enable them to compete even more successfully than at present with other pro- ducers of food and raw material, whether in the Argentine Republic or the United States, and that this would increase the attractiveness of British Colonies as a field for British settlement and the employment of British capital. Though a Liberal and though a Free Trader I might be prepared under certain circumstances to vote in favour of a Customs Union, but there is no indication at present that the people of the United Ivingdom are prepared to revolutionise the fiscal policy, under which the progress of the last sixty years has been achieved. It is far more possible and of infinitely greater Federation 1 1 1 T 1 11 -i 1 i» for Defence. nnportance that we should be more closely united tor the purposes of defence. Before we can come to any conclusion as^ to the part which each member of the British dominions ought to play in the defence of the whole, we must understand the general principles on which the defence of the Empire rests. It is for this reason that I propose to devote the main portion of this address to the consideration of these principles. The main principle which I wish to lay down at l^^^ °^'^ the outset is that the defence of the Empire rests command of absolutely on our power to retain the command of the 39 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. sea — in other words, on sea power. I do not wish to minimise the functions which the Army will have to perform in case of war, but I do wish to insist very strongly that no army which it is conceivable we could raise and maintain would compensate for inferior naval strength. To those who had grasped the principles of warfare which are applicable to a sea power like Britain, it appeared that if the relative proportions of naval and military expenditure which existed in 1892-3 were re- versed, the Empire would be better defended. The pro- portions of naval and mihtary expenditure though not reversed have been entirely altered in the last few years. The Navy Estimates for 1896-7 amount to 22,800,000/. gross, or 21,800,000/. net. The Army Estimates amount to 20,900,000/. gross, 18,000,000/. net. It is impossible to deny that the British Empire is better defended to-day than it was two years ago. In 1894 there were 46 battleships built and building for Britain as against 51 for France and Russia. In 1896 there are 55 battle- ships built or building for Great Britain against 50 for France and Russia. In first-class battleships we had, in 1894, 19 built and 3 building as against 15 built and 12 building for France and Russia. In 1896 we have 12 building and 22 completed as against 14 building and 15 completed for France and Russia. We owe the change that has taken place to the fact that the principles of Imperial Defence are becoming better understood. The deepest gratitude of every Englishman is due to Captain Mahan of the United States Navy for so clearly setting forth those principles in his two admirable books. I will endeavour to illustrate the assertion that the 40 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. defence of the Empire rests on sea power by con- ^°''JJj?.°^ sidering the forms of attack which we may have to meet in case of war with a first-class European power, or combination of European powers. We shall have to meet attacks on commerce, attacks on colonies and dependencies, and, possibly, invasion. #4^ ^ 41. 4£. TV* TT TP "Jr The United States, it is true, were the first to lay Attacks on down the type of fast and lightly armed cruiser, repre- sented by the Columbia and Minneapolis, which have a trial speed of close on twenty-three knots. They are classed as commerce-destroyers in the American Navy List, and are commonly called in America 'Pirates.' France has followed suit by laying down this year two cruisers of the same class, the Guichen and Chateau Renault. We can only judge whether the policy indicated by the construction of such ships is likely to be successful in the future by the experience of the past. In the years 1756-60 — that is during the Seven Years' War — 2500 British merchant ships were captured ; and in the year 1761, 800 out of the estimated total of 8000 British merchant ships, or 10 per cent., were captured by the cruisers or privateers of the enemy. Campbell, in his Lives of the Admirals, says, ' The trade of England increased gradually every year, and such a scene of national prosperity while waging a long, costly, and bloody war was never before shown by any people in the world.' In commenting on the results of the war of 1778, Captain Mahan says, ' Especially is commerce-destroying misleading when the nation against whom it is to be directed possesses, as Great Britain did, and does, the two requisites of a 41 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Position of British merchant shipping in 1896. strong sea power — a widespread, healthy commerce and a powerful Navy. Only by military command of the sea, by prolonged control of the strategic centres of commerce, can such an attack be fatal. Such con- trol can only be wrung from a powerful na^y by fighting it and overcoming it.' It will be noted that though the number of British merchant ships had more than doubled between the first and last of the two wars that we have been considering, the estimated captures were reduced from 10 to 2^ per cent. The British merchant navy holds a higher position to-day than it has ever done before relatively to tlie merchant navies of other countries. The aggregate merchant tonnage of the British Empire amounts to 10,512,272 tons, made up as follows : — The United Kingdom v^anaQa ... ... ... .^\.us Lraiasia . • . ... ... British India Other British Possessions . . . Total British Possessions Total British Empire 8,956,181 1)51,210 359,614 65,140 180,127 1,556,091 10,512,272 The aggregate tonnage of the merchant navies of all other countries amounts to 8,449,000 ; or, if we include vessels employed on lakes and rivers in the United States, to 10,305,000. Taking steamships alone, which are generally considered to possess three times the carrying efficiency of sailing ships, 6,377,000 tons are under the British, 3,624,000 tons are under foreign 42 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. flags ; or, including vessels employed on the lakes and rivers of the United States 5,332,000 tons. The British Empire, therefore, possesses at the present time more than half the total merchant tonnage of the world, and nearly two-thirds of the tonnage of steamships. In any future war in which we may become involved, British commerce will undoubtedly suffer losses. Their number and extent will depend on the efficiency of the British Navy. Judging from the experience of previous wars, the losses will almost certainly be more numerous, but they should represent a less percentage of the whole. Canada and India alone of British possessions are Attacks on -r» • • 1 o< A p • Colonies. open to serious attack by land. British South Africa has a long land frontier, but no first-class power could contemplate a serious attack except with troops trans- ported over sea. The defence of Austraha depends Australia. absolutely on the command of the sea, and this being the case, the localisation of the vessels of the special Austrahan Squadron in deference to the wish of the Colonies is a grave mistake. I will endeavour to give an illustration to bring this home to the minds of every one in this hall. You know that during the past fortnight British and Russian fleets have been watching one another through the Dardanelles. If the British Government had followed the advice of Mr. Gladstone, there is little doubt that we should have been at war with Russia, and possibly with France as well, at this moment. The naval force, maintained by foreign powers in waters in the neigh- bourhood of Australia, whether in the Pacific or Indian Ocean, is absolutely insignificant compared to our own. In China the Russian and French squadrons are equal, if not slightly superior, to the British squadron. They 43 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. can oppose one battleship and five armoured cruisers to one battleship three armoured cruisers and a fii'st-class protected cruiser. If the British China Squadron were to be defeated in battle, the command of the sea between Cape Horn and the Suez Canal would be temporarily lost. British commerce would be inter- rupted, and Australia would be liable to invasion by Russian troops from ^^ladivostok, or French troops from Saigon. The squadron now in Australian waters would be powerless to prevent it. I have no hesitation in saying that if the British China Squadron were immediately reinforced on the outbreak of war by the flagships here and in the Pacific, it would have a reasonable prospect of defeating, or of at any rate holding in check, the combined squadrons of France and Russia. There would most probably be a great popular outcry against any such action on the part of the Admiralty, but it is absolutely certain that the Orlando and Warspite would do more to defend the coasts of Canada and Australia in Chinese waters than they could ever do if they remained in Canadian or Australian waters. Against small raiding expeditions, accompanied by troops which are not likely to, but still might, escape our cruisers, you in Australia must be prepared to defend yourselves by maintaining a military force, not necessarily numerous, but certainly efficient, and capable of taking the field against disci- plined troops. # * * * # Responsi- bihty of Colonies in Imperial Defence. Is our present standard of strength sufficient ? Our very greatness, the splendid growth of our self-governing Colonies under free institutions, the talent we have 44 IMPERIAL DEFENCE. shown for the government of native races in Egypt and India, make us the most unpopular Power in the world. Hitherto the burden of defending this great Empire has fallen almost exclusively on the inhabitants of the mother country. During the past two years we have added over 7,000,000/. to our Navy Estimates alone, irrespective of 14,000,000/. provided in the Naval Works Acts. In many of the Colonies, certainly in the Austra- lasian Colonies, expenditure on defence has been cut down, and the tendency seems toward still further reduction. You have been passing through a period of severe depression. We in the old country have had a revival in material prosperity. The addition to the naval expenditure has hardly been felt, certainly not by the general body of taxpayers. We have been able to hold our own well up till now against our probable enemies, but should those enemies become more numerous at a time when commerce and industry are not so prosperous as they are now, the British taxpayer may find the burden almost too heavy for his shoulders alone. Speaking as a representative of British working men, and putting it to you as purely an abstract question, is it just that we who live in the old country should contribute twenty times what you do to the common defence ? Is it right that the sons and the brothers of British workmen should uphold the British flag in every corner of the world, while, if I am to judge from what I sometimes read in Australian newspapers, it is considered unreasonable to expect an Australian to serve anywhere except in defence of Austraha ? Though I am a member of the Imperial Defence Committee ; though I believe that it is well that we should turn these questions over in our minds, I certainly deprecate 45 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Federal Government the future Constitution of the Empire. the tone sometimes adopted by members of the com- mittee in discussing this question. Beheve me, English- men as a body recognise that Australians as well as Canadians have done much for the defence of the Empire in the past. We do not forget that INIelbourne and Sydney have been well defended at Colonial expense. We do not forget the presence of the Xew South AVales contingent in the Soudan, a great object-lesson to European nations of the unity of sentiment which animates all who live under the Union Jack. A contri- bution of 135,000/. a year does not loom very large in Navy Estimates which amount to 22,000,000/., but it is valuable as the recognition of a principle and as an earnest of what our Colonies may some day be prepared to do. We shall not repeat the mistakes of the past. AVe do not and we have no right to expect that you will make any serious money contribution to the defence of the Empire until we are prepared to give you a con- stitutional voice in the control of that expenditure. That is impossible under our present Constitution. I^ooking to the future many people will be disposed to agree with Lord Rosebery that ' in a full measure of devolution subject always to Imperial control lies tlie secret of the future working of this Empire.' No nation has ever attempted to deal with such multifarious questions as we attempt to deal with in the House of Commons. It will be some years yet before we in the old country are able to draw the line between matters which are of Imperial, and matters which are of local, concern, as they do in Germany and in the United States. A delay of one or even two generations will give an opportunity for the population and resources of the Colonies to develop, and will place you in a position 4G IMPERIAL DEFENCE. to enter into a political federation with the mother country on fairly equal terms. In the period of growth of her Colonies, it is clearly the duty of the mother country to undertake the main burden of defence ; but when you no longer require such a large proportion of your resources for the development of your territory, it is not unreasonable to expect that Colonial taxpayers will be prepared to stand shoulder to shoulder with the British taxpayer in bearing the common burdens, and that Colonial statesmen will be ready to take their place side by side with British statesmen in a Parlia- ment or Council in which all parts of the British Empire shall be represented. ^leantime your task in the common defence is to see Local *' 1 T» T n detences in that the forts which make Sydney and JMelbourne two Australia. of the most strongly defended ports in the Empire, and which protect Thursday Island and King George's Sound, are kept properly armed and efficiently manned. If the Colonies wish to spend money on local naval defences for their ports, keep the force which is to man them efficient and contented. The Cerberus would probably act as a greater deterrent to hostile cruisers than the forts at the Heads. JVIore important than either your forts or your ships are your military forces. You do not want a large force. What you have let it be efficient, properly equipped, and capable of taking the field against disciplined troops, A small but efficient military force in these Colonies would not only render you secure against any possible attack that might be made on your territory, but would also render valuable assistance in time of war by capturing the naval bases of the enemy in neighbouring seas. In time of peace popular opinion is often impatient of mihtary expendi- 47 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. ture, and that is no doubt especially the case in these Colonies, which have always been far removed from the strife of battle. Bear in mind the words of a distin- guished President of the United States, ' A defenceless position and a distinguished love of peace are the surest invitations to war.' I have had unrivalled opportunities of seeing the British Empire. Let me say in conclusion that it is the highest ambition of my life to help to bind the Colonies and the mother country more closely together, and whatever may be my pohtical career, I can undertake that my best energies will be devoted to that object. This is no more than could be expected from the son of your Governor, who, at a time of life when many men are looking to rest from their labours, left his home and his children, who were settled round him, to serve his Queen and his country for the sake of the cause which we both have so much at heart. 48 THE IRISH QUESTION. Extract from Address at Pokesdown, Bournemouth, November 8th, 1898. Ireland is undoubtedly more contented, and one might almost say more prosperous, than she was ten years ago. The fact that the Lord Mayor of Dublin for the first time for many years recently met the Lord Lieutenant in his civic robes is not without significance. To whatever cause the change may be due, whether to the operation of the Land Purchase Acts, in connection with which Mr. Gladstone played so prominent a part, whether to the community of feehng that was aroused between landlords, tenants, and labourers by the publi- cation of the Report of the Financial Relations Commission, or whether to the splendid work which Mr. Horace Plunkett has been doing in the cause of agricultural co-operation in Ireland — a work which has already brought increased prosperity to many districts — a change has taken place, and we should be gi-ateful for it. But that would not, in my judgment, constitute a reason why the Liberal party should abandon its effort to secure for Irishmen the right to manage their own local affairs in their own way. When, in August last, I expressed the opinion that no Prime INIinister would, within the next ten years, introduce a Home Rule Bill 49 E PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. for Ireland, I did so on other grounds. They were these, and I place them in order of their importance. I. — The passing of the Local Government Act during last session. This Act gives the Irish people a power in local government which they have never previously possessed. Before proceeding further in the same direction, time must be given to see how the Act works. It is to be hoped that it will have the effect of training up a class of men able to serve their country honourably and efficiently in a larger sphere. The character of the Irish repre- sentation is often condemned by those who forget that Irishmen have been largely excluded from the management even of local affairs, and have there- fore not had the same opportunities of training as are open to us Englishmen. II. — The dissensions amongst the Irish Members. III. — The absolute repudiation by the Irish Leaders of alliance with any English party. My opinions on the Home Rule question are the same as they were when I first became a Candidate for ParUament, now over eight years ago. I condemned then, as I would condemn now, the exclusion of Irish- men from a voice in the control of Imperial questions. That was my objection to the Home Rule Bill of 1886. I condemned then, as I would condemn now, the provision giving Irishmen a voice in the decision of purely English questions, while leaving them free to manage their own affairs independently of us. That was my objection to the Home Rule Bill of 1893, as sent up to and as rejected by the House of Lords. No satisfactory solu- tion of the Home Rule question has yet been put before 50 IMPERIAL UNITY. the country, and t believe now, as I have always believed, that no solution will be found, except in connection with an even greater question, with which statesmen will be face to face before the twentieth century has run a quarter of its course, viz., the relations between the mother country and her Colonies. The feehng is growing, not only at home but in the Colonies, that it is unjust that the taxpayers of the mother country should practically bear the whole burden of the defence of the Empire. It is true that the Colonies have done something in regard to local defence, and that they have in some cases voluntarily come forward and offered to con- tribute to the general defence. But in their present stage of development they are not able to contribute substantially ; and it is certain that they would not do so unless they had a voice in the control of the expendi- ture. When the Colonies are ready to bear their share of Imperial burdens, the Home Rule question may be satisfactorily solved. 51 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FOR THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE EMPIRE. Reprinted from 'Nineteenth Century,' August, 1901. Definition of FEDERAL government implies local autonomy or GoveTnment. Home Rulc in the several States comprising the Federation. In this country Home Rule has been generally discussed with special reference to Ireland, but in the present article it is proposed to show that the adoption of a Federal form of government is becoming absolutely necessary both for the United Kingdom and the Empire.* First, what was meant by Home Rule ? It has suited the Conservative party to describe the Home Ruler as a ' separatist ' ; but Home Rule, as understood by British Liberals, most assuredly did not imply separation either from Great Britain or from the Empire. It meant the right of Ireland to manage her own domestic affairs in her own way ; but it did not mean, as has been sometimes thought, the grant of the same * During 1900 and the two following yccars a very large number of meetings were addressed by Mr. Brassey and others in support of the policy suggested in this paper. The subject was twice brought before the General Committee of the National Liberal Federation. 52 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. powers of self-government as those conferred with such beneficial results on the great self-governing Colonies. Owing to her geographical position, if for no other reason, it would be impossible to place Ireland in the position of a self-governing Colony such as New Zealand. There are certain matters which always will be of com- mon interest to the several countries of the United Kingdom, and which do not concern the people of Canada, AustraUa, or South Africa. The relations of the Irish Parliament to the Parliament of the United Kingdom (which is also at present the Imperial Parliament) would therefore be similar to the rela- tions of the Provincial Parliaments to the Dominion Parliament of Canada, and to those of the Parha- ments of Victoria, New South Wales, and other Austrahan Colonies to the newly created Common- wealth Parhament. Two attempts have been made to devise a satis- Home Rule ^ proposals. factory measure of Home Rule for Ireland. Both have failed. In the Home Rule Bill of 1886, it was proposed to give Ireland the right to manage her own domestic affairs, but no provision was made for giving to Irish representatives a voice in the direction of Imperial poUcy, or of the affairs of the United Kingdom. By the omis- sion of any such provision one of the fundamental principles of the British Constitution, ' There shall be no taxation without representation,' would have been violated had the BiU become law. Ireland would have been taxed for Imperial purposes, but would have had no voice in the control of the money which she con- tributed. Before the election of 1892, Mr. Gladstone stated that in any future Home Rule Bill steps would be taken to remedy this objection, and the Home Rule 53 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Bill as introduced into Parliament in 1893 contained what was known as the ' in-and-out ' plan, by which Irish representatives were to vote on Imperial questions, but were to be excluded from taking part in the decision of purely British questions. During the passage of the Bill through the House of Commons this plan was shown to be utterly unworkable. In the form in which it was finally sent up to the House of I^ords, the Irish members were retained for all purposes. The objection to this solution of the difficulty is obvious. The in- habitants of Great Britain were denied the right that I liberals were advocating for Irishmen — viz., the right to manage their own affairs in their own way. Irish representatives, on the other hand, would liave had the power of interfering in matters which only affected Great Britain. This objection was fatal to the Bill from the British point of view, and alone would have justified the House of Lords in rejecting it. The histoiy of the two attempts of the Liberal party to deal with Home Rule justifies the contention, which the present writer has maintained ever since he became a candidate for Parliament, eleven years ago, that it is impossible to devise a satisfactory measure of Home Rule for Ireland alone. The Home Rule question must be approached from the broader standpoint of JVIr. Red- mond's remarkable speech in the House of Commons on the 11th of June. Relations Under a scheme of Federal Government, which imperkiand implies the establishment of local legislatures in Eng- Governraents l^nd, Scotland, and Wales, as well as in Ireland, the difficulties which have been pointed out in devising a satisfactory measure of Home Rule for Ireland only disappear. These local legislatures would deal with 54> FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. the special interests of each countiy, leaving to the existing Parliament (probably with some reduction in the number of members) the management of questions which are of common interest to the whole of the United Kingdom, and all Imperial business, until the time arrives for establishing a true Imperial ParHament, with Colonial representation. This is the poUcy which I and others have been urging by every means in our power should be adopted by the Liberal party to-day as the main plank in its platform, and as a remedy for one of the chief features in the poHtical situation, the congestion of business in Parliament. We claim no originality for the idea. A resolution in favour of 'Home Rule all round,' as it is commonly called, was carried in the House of Commons in 1895, on the motion of JMr. Dalziel, seconded by ^Ir. Augustine BiiTell. During the election of 1895 the question was very largely discussed, more especially in Scotland. On all hands the increasing difficulty of carrying on Congestion the business of the country in the House of Commons PariSment' is lamented. During the present session it has only r?meS°'^^ been possible to carry it on at all by the most drastic use of the closure ; and the use of this engine of parUa- mentary government is becoming an abuse when it is applied to a vote of 17,000,000/. of pubhc money, after an evening's discussion. Sir Henry Fowler, speaking at the City Liberal Club a few weeks ago, drew a most gloomy picture of the existing condition of things, and suggested as a remedy an autumn session, to be devoted to the reform of parliamentary procedure. Mv. T. W. Russell takes a no less gloomy view of the case. ' The sooner,' he says, 'that the people of this country are 55 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. face to face with a real and living issue — i.e., the preservation of parliamentary government — the better it will be for all concerned.' Mr. Russell's remedy is the extension of the principle of Grand Committees ; and the burden of his song, as of that of Sir Henry Fowler, is that at all costs the dignity of the House of Com- mons must be preserved. Either remedy might be of value if the congestion of business could be attributed to the obstruction of the Irish party, the fractiousness of the Opposition, or the multiplication of questions. The real reason hes deeper than this, and was well put by Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman in his address to the electors of the Stirling Burghs, issued in July, 1895. 'The excessive burden of work,' he said, 'now imposed upon Parhament can only be relieved by a large system of devolution. It is for this reason, as well as from a sense of right and justice to the nation- aUties concerned, that I regard as urgently necessary the creation for the three kingdoms of subordinate legislative assembUes deahng with the distinctive affairs of each.' Responsibiii- The Housc of Commous is the responsible guardian British *^^ of the interests of the greatest Empire the world has Parliament. ^^^^, ^^^^ j^ j^^^ ^^ ^j^.^j ^^,j^|-j questions affecting the United Kingdom as a whole ; and it also legislates for the special interests of the several countries of the United Kingdom. The diversity of business is ex- traordinary, the quantity enormous ; and it is not to be wondered at that the House of Commons is un- equal to the task now imposed on it. In no other country of the civilised world is such a task attempted. The conclusion is inevitable, that parhamentary govern- ment is breaking down because the needs of the 5G FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. Empire, of the United Kingdom as a whole, and of its several parts, have outgrown the existing means for deaUng with them. The remedy lies in the recognition of the distinction between the different classes of business which we either attempt to deal with, often very ineffectually, or do not attempt to deal with at all, in the House of Commons, and of the necessity of allocating what may here be roughly described as Imperial business and domestic business to different lecfislative assemblies. To take another point of view — the waste of time Local '- I'll knowledge and power under our present system, which compels required for questions of special regard to one part of the United le^siation. Kingdom or the other to be dealt with in the over- worked Imperial Parliament. Much of the legislation passed by the House of Commons is of special appli- cation to England, Scotland, or Ireland. We have a recent conspicuous instance in the passing of one Local Government Act for England and "V^^ales, another in a different year for Scotland, and another in a different year again for Ireland. The proportion of statutes which have a special application to one country of the United Kingdom or the other is tending to increase. Excluding from consideration all statutes which apply to India and the Colonies, but including amongst the special statutes those general statutes which have clauses of special application, the proportion of general statutes may be taken roughly as follows : In 1837-46 at two to one; in 1861-70 at six to five; in 1891-1900 at three to five. A more careful examination of the statutes themselves might somewhat alter these figures, but, in any case, the great and increasing waste of time under a system which allows each country of the 57 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Special knowledge for Imperial affairs. United Kingdom to meddle in the private affairs of the others is apparent. That Irishmen and EngUsh- men should be supposed to legislate on the Scotch Crofter question, of which they cannot have the necessary special knowledge, is absurd. That such a question, for instance, as the Disestablishment of the Church in England should be decided partly by the votes of Irish Roman Catholics, Scotch Presbyterians, or Welsh Dissenters, is totally opposed to the right of self-government on which the Empire has been built up, and which the Liberal party has long advocated with reference to Ireland. What has been said with regard to the special knowledge required for the proper conduct of the business of each country of the United Kingdom applies with even greater force if we take a wider survey. Lord Rosebery, in his rectorial address at Glasgow, lamented the want of men of first-class capacity in various walks of hfe. But, as far as politics are concerned, the field is becoming too vast for the capacity of the ordinary politician. Imperial business and domestic business each require special training, special study, and special apti- tudes. The training of the School Board, the County Council, or the Trade Union may be admirable for one who seeks to take part in domestic legislation ; but something more is required from the member of a Parliament which deals with the great questions of Imperial and Colonial policy. To those who have travelled much in the Empire, the assurance with which some men speak on the Imperial and Colonial questions, of which they have no special knowledge, is amazing. Nowhere is this more conspicuous than in the treatment of the great (juestion of the 58 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. moment — the war in South Africa and its conduct. The business of the country will be much better carried on when it is speciahsed, when Imperial ' questions are treated in one assembly and domestic business in others by those specially quaUfied to deal with them. There are many Liberals who think that it should The position •^ ,■..-, oi the Upper be the first object of the Liberal party to abolish or House, restrict the veto of the Upper Chamber. From the rejection of the Home Rule Bill in 1893 to the election of 1895 a strenuous attempt was made to get up an agitation against the House of Lords. That attempt signally failed, and it failed because the people of this country beheved that the House of Lords was justified in rejecting the Home Rule Bill. The Bill involved an important change in the Constitution, and a modifi- cation (which has already been aUuded to) of vital consequence to the people of Great Britain was in- troduced during its passage through the House of Commons. The main object of the existence of a Second Chamber is to compel the submission to the opinion of the people of any measure involving a change in the Constitution under which they Uve. If this be admitted it may be asserted that it was the duty of any Second Chamber, however constituted, to have rejected the Home Rule BiU of 1893. But though a good case can be made out for the House of Lords for its action in this matter, all Liberals are agreed that an Upper House, which is practically com- posed of the members of only one of the political parties in the State, is a bad revising chamber for social and domestic legislation. Under a scheme of Federal government such legislation would for the most 59 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Imperial issues often overshadow domestic questions. part be dealt with in the legislatures of the several countries of the United Kingdom, and would be re- moved altogether from the control of the House of Lords. There is another important argument in favour of the separation of domestic business and Imperial business, on which a few words must be said. Under present conditions, when an appeal is made to the country, Imperial questions and domestic questions are submitted to the electors in a confused issue. Of recent years, Imperial questions have held the larger share of the attention of the electorate. At the election of 1900 every domestic issue was subordinated to the one Imperial question — the war in South Africa. The result was a crushing defeat of the Liberal party. But from the fact that London, which is represented in the Imperial Parliament by an overwhelming majority of Conservatives, has recently returned a ProgTcssive majority to the London Council, it is not unreasonable to infer that the country would have desired Liberals to manage its domestic business while it believed that its Imperial and foreign interests were safer in the hands of the Conservatives. At some future election the converse of what happened last year might take place. Some question of domestic policy might be to the fi'ont, and the party might be returned to power on that issue which perhaps in the opinion of the electorate was the less qualified to carry on the government of the Empire. Then, again, the impotent condition of the Liberal party to-day is due in the main to a division of opinion on Imperial policy, On this rock it may possibly be rent in twain. And yet, as to the necessity for those domestic reforms which have figured in the Liberal 60 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. programme for so many years, Liberals are agreed, and to secure the passing of those reforms all sections of the Liberal party might work together. Thus from a party no less than from a national point of view it is desirable that domestic questions and Imperial ques- tions should no longer be submitted to the electorate in the same confused issue. To turn to objections which may be urged against Objections the policy here advocated. There is no doubt that if against Scotland demanded Home Rule there would be little j^egi'sMurL objection from the average Englishman to meeting her wishes. If there was an effective demand in England for a local legislature to deal with English affairs the demand would be gi-anted to - morrow. But with Ireland the case is different. Tlie present attitude of the Irish party, their openly avowed hostility to this country, especially as regards the war in South Africa, and the fear that the grant of powers of self-govern- ment would only lead to disorder, make many Liberals doubtful of the expediency of raising the question of Home Rule. But whether we like it or not the question must be faced. The Irish party is again a united and vigorous Parliamentary force, determined to use every means to compel attention to the Irish demand. No Liberal can contemplate with equanimity the possibility of governing Ireland indefinitely in oppo- sition to the wishes of the majority of the Irish people. In the utter selfishness of our treatment of Ireland Ireland's in the past ; in the fact that while the reign of Queen under a^ Victoria and the era of free trade have been a period pJJ^^ '^'^^^^ of industrial and commercial prosperity for Great Britain, the population of Ireland, under the same free trade pohcy which has been so beneficial to us, has 61 icy. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Irish Local Government. Irish Land Purchase. diminished by one-half, much excuse may be found for the sympathy which Irishmen have expressed with the enemies of this country, and for the attitude adopted at the time of the Queen's death. If the position of the two countries had been reversed, it is certain that the feehngs of Enghshmen towards Ireland to-day would be not one whit less bitter than those of Irishmen are to us. Owing to the operation of the Land Purchase Acts, the admirable work done by Mr. Horace Plunkett for the organization of the Irish agi'icultural industry and the community of interest between all classes of Irishmen brought out by the Financial Relations Commission, Ireland is in a better position to manage her own affairs than she was ten years ago. The Act of 1898 placed the power of local govern- ment for the first time in the hands of the people. It was a first step in the direction of self-government. The new local bodies are a valuable training-gi'ound for the men who may later feel called upon to serve their country in a wider field. On the whole, the experiment must be admitted to have worked well. Its success will be a fact which will form one of the most powerful arguments for granting to the Irish people that larger power of self-government which they demand. The agitation for compulsory land purchase is a factor in the situation which cannot be neglected. The agitation has developed a community of interest between bitter political opponents, even greater than that pro- duced by the Financial Relations Commission, and any movement which has this effect is all for the benefit of Ireland. The fear that an Irish Parliament would deal unjustly with Irish landlords is without doubt at the 62 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. bottom of much of the objection to Home Rule, and this objection can only be removed by dealing with the remainder of the Irish landlords by land purchase. The exact cost of such a measure has not yet been de- termined. Mr. T. W. Russell has placed the cost at 120,000,000/. The payments under the existing Land Purchase Acts have been, as a rule, punctually met, and this constitutes a reasonable ground for believing that the principal and interest would be as punctually repaid under a larger scheme. The compulsory prin- ciple for which Mr. Russell contends is open to grave objection, but to get rid once for all of the Irish land question, to remove one of the chief objections, if not the main objection, to the grant of self-government to Ireland, and to make of Irishmen loyal and contented citizens of the British Empire, would be worth the addition of 120,000,000/. to the National Debt, and would certainly justify the risk of advancing such a sum under a land purchase scheme. Another objection that may be urged against the revival of Home Rule at the present time is that neither in Scotland, Wales, nor England does opinion stand where it did six years ago. The election of last year was fought on other issues. With some exceptions the question did not figure prominently in election ad- dresses. Many candidates ignored it altogether. Hence the assertion in some quarters that Home Rule is dead. While it is most unlikely that Mr. Gladstone's pro- posals for dealing with Ireland alone will ever be revived, the Duke of Devonshire and Mr. Chamberlain made it very clear to the Nonconformist Unionist Association that in their opinion Home Rule was not dead, but dormant. Of Scotland and Wales this is 63 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. probably true. As regards England the case is dif- ferent. The seat of government is in London. In the House of Commons England has such a prepon- derating voice that the necessity for a separate legis- lature to deal with his business does not come home to an Enghshman with the same force as to a Scotchman, an Irishman, or a Welshman. Though there is already a considerable body of opinion in favour of devolution of business from the House of Commons in some shape or other, it is undoubtedly in England that most edu- cational work must be done before there can be a prospect of carrying a measure of Federal government for the United Kingdom. The ' predominant partner ' must be induced to contemplate devolution as applied to himself, and to realise that if he wishes proper at- tention given to the housing question, the problem of the aged poor, temperance, the condition of British in- dustry, the depopulation of the agricultural districts, he must have a Parliament free to devote its whole Federation ^^"^^ *^ English busincss. That this is not a difficult League- task is the experience of those who have addressed meetings in all parts of the country during the past six months on the necessity of devolution. We have hitherto been considering the poUcy of Federal government with special reference to the United Kingdom ; but a survey of the subject would be in- complete unless it was also considered in its relation to the constitutional structure of the Empire. Nearly twenty years ago the Imperial Federation League was formed, under the presidency of the late Mr. W. E. Forster, with the object of bringing home to the public mind the fact that the constitutional arrangements under which the Empire was then governed, and is still 64 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. governed, could not be permanent if the Empire was to remain united. It urged that the resources of the whole Empire ought to be combined for the common defence, and that all those parts which bore their share of Imperial burdens must have a voice in the control of Imperial expenditure and Imperial policy. At the time when the Imperial Federation League was formed this idea of a common citizenship and of common responsi- bihties was but imperfectly realised, either in the mother country or in the Colonies; and though the League never took up Lord Salisbury's challenge, and was wise enough to abstain from formulating any scheme of Federal government, yet the work which it carried on after Mr. Forster's death under the presidency of Lord Rosebery, and, on his taking office in 1892, under the presidency of the late Mr. Edward Stanhope, had the effect of dispelling the doctrine of the JNIan- chester School, that the Colonies were a burden to the mother country, and would cut themselves adrift as soon as they wxre able to stand by themselves. Statesmen such as the Duke of Devonshire and Mr. Chamberlain, who took no part in the pioneer work of the Federation League, have been recently amongst the foremost champions of the idea of Imperial unity, which, thanks to the Jubilee celebrations, the central- ising influence of the JMonarchy, and, above all, to the spontaneous assistance rendered by the Colonies in the South African War, has indehbly impressed itself in the minds of the people of this country. In the Colonies the growth of the sentiment of The feeling Imperial unity has been no less remarkable. Fourteen nie?onSl°-' years ago, when I fii-st visited Australia, there was P^"«i^'"ity. great irritation in all the Australasian Colonies, but A^^^raUa. 65 F PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. more especially in Queensland, at the treatment by the Home Government of the New Guinea question, the New Hebrides question, and the transportation of French convicts to New Caledonia. There was un- doubtedly a large body of Australians at that time, especially amongst the younger men, who looked forward to the creation of an Australian nation inde- pendent of the mother country. Nine years later that feeling had passed away, and opinion was practically unanimous that the true line of Australian national development was consistent with her remaining an integral portion of the British Empire. But even in 189G there was some grumbhng at the small contribu- tion made to the cost of the AustraUan squadron, and no one could then have ventured to predict the sacrifices that would be made in men and money within four years' time to assist the mother country in her time of stress and trouble, not only in South Africa, but in China. Canada. In Canada, in the period between the death of Sir .lohn Macdonald and the defeat of the Conservative party in the election of 1896, there was a considerable and perhaps a gi'owing body of opinion that looked to annexation to the United States as the future destiny of Canada, and as offering the best hope for her in- dustrial development and the prosperity of her people. During that election the Conservatives endeavoured to represent that annexation would be the consequence of the victory of the Liberal party. But Sir Wilfrid Laurier was able to make his position perfectly clear, and the result was a great victory for the liberals. It is impossible to deny that during Sir Wilfrid Lauriers premiership the relations between Canada 66 FEDERAL GOA^ERNMENT. and the mother country have become closer. As in Austraha so in Canada, pubhc opinion is to-day unani- mous that the highest aspirations of the Canadian people can be realised within and not without the British Empire. In South Africa the tendency of opinion was until South Africa, recently in the same direction. Mr. Hofmeyr, the head of the Afrikander Bond, was a leading figure at the first Colonial Conference of 1887, and it was he who brought forward the proposal that the whole Empire should contribute to the maintenance of the Navy by imposing a differential duty of 5 per cent, against non- Imperial goods. At the second Colonial Con- ference held at Ottawa in 1893, ^Ir. Hofmeyr again attended as one of the representatives of the Cape Colony, and it is unlikely that he would have done so unless he had represented the feeling of the majority of the Dutch inhabitants, not only of Cape Colony, but of South Africa. But the clouds were looming on the horizon which have burst in the present war. The ideal of a Dutch South African Republic, the realisa- tion of which was only possible through our mistakes, has been destroyed by force, and it remains to be seen whether the Dutch will become reconciled to the liberty which every Colonist enjoys under the British flag. In the present state of South Africa it is difficult to gauge the trend of public opinion. The most preva- lent feeling amongst British and Dutch ahke is probably one of dependence on the Imperial Government ; and the best hope for the future lies in the estabUshment of a Federal Government in South Africa on similar lines to those of the Dominion Government of Canada and the Commonwealth Government of Australia. But for the Jameson raid it is not improbable that the federa- 67 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. tion of South Africa would have akeady been an accomphshed fact. Federal Exccpt in South Africa the sentiment of Imperial |?J^ngfdea* Unity has been growing. The assistance given from Canada, Australia, and New Zealand in this war is the proof, if any is needed, that all parts of the Empire have come to reahse the duties and the responsibiUties of their common citizenship. This assistance has been given in spite of the fact that no Federal government, no Federal organization for the purposes of defence, was yet in existence. But the time must come ere long when it will be necessary to organize the resources of the whole Empire for the common defence, and to establish a Federal government. Until the present war the burden of defending the Empire has fallen almost wholly on the shoulders of the mother country. While the Colonies were in their infancy it was only natural that this should be so ; but the Colonies are now growing from youth to manhood. Their popula- tion and resources are year by year increasing relatively to those of the mother country. The population of Canada exceeds that of Scotland, the population of Australia is roughly equal to that of Ireland ; while the white population of South Africa will ere long not be incomparable to that of \\^ales. This means that, in a properly constituted Imperial Parliament, Canada, Australia, and South Afiica would carry as much weight as Scotland, Ireland, or Wales, and the con- trol which they would be able to exercise on Imperial policy would not be inconsiderable. This control we must give them when they are prepared to bear their share of the maintenance of the naval and military forces of the Empire. The growth of the ordinary 68 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. expenditure on the Navy and Army has been very heavy. We have been passing through a period of gi-eat commercial prosperity, so that until the im- position of the extra taxation necessitated by the war the burden has been little felt. But it is unreasonable to expect that this prosperity will continue, and when the depression comes we in the mother country shall begin to realise that the cost of defending the Empire is becoming too heavy for the people of these little islands alone. We shall have to appeal to our Colonies to help us to maintain that command of the sea which is being seriously threatened by the ship- building activity in Germany, Russia, and the United States, and which is absolutely vital to our national existence. But we cannot expect the help of our Colonies SirWUMd without giving something in return. Sir ^^^ilfrid declaration. Laurier, in the Dominion House of Commons on the 14th of March, 1900, said, ' If our future military con- tribution were to be considered compulsory — a condition which does not exist — I would say to Great Britain, " If you want us to help, you must call us to your Councils.'^' This demand can only be met by the establishment of an Imperial Parliament in which every part of the Empire which bears its fair share of Imperial burdens will be represented. But though events are tending rapidly in this direction, neither in the mother country nor in the Colonies are we ripe for so great a constitutional change at this moment, and any attempt to rush the Colonies, and to take undue advantage of the feeling evoked by the danger to our Empire in South Africa, would be a grave blunder. ]\Ir. Seddon's proposal to form an Imperial 69 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Reserve in Australasia, the fact that, as the Times Toronto correspondent tells us, the British Budget is looked upon by Canadians not so much as a warning as a suggestion of duty, are indications of Colonial opinion which will bear fruit in due course. We in the mother country have hardly begun to appreciate the broad distinction between Imperial busi- ness and domestic business, and still less to contemplate the possibility of classifying into three divisions the business which we have been always accustomed to see dealt with in the House of Commons. To the Colonial mind, or to the mind of one who has travelled much in the Colonies, such distinctions are easy. Every Cana- dian has lived for thirty years past (as every Australian will live henceforward) under three Parliaments — the Provincial Parliament, the Dominion Parliament, and the Imperial Parliament, in the last of which at present he is not represented. When we have seen that it is possible to distinguish clearly the class of business to be handed over to a Scotch, Irish, Welsh, or English legislature by the existing Parliament, and not till then, shall we be able to grasp what is meant by Imperial Federation. 70 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. From the subjoined diagram the steps necessary to complete the constitutional structure of the Empire will be more clearly understood. IMPERIAL PARLIAMENT. United kingdom Parlia- ment Dom Parliar Can inion nent of ada Common- wealth Parliament Australia Federal Parliament of South Africa a • • • o • • • > • • • • • • 1 ■ . i-' •S 2 o HI -j W O a r^ C3 -^ r2 ••"1 tS 2 o ^ S .-s t^ ^ p O 0) =3 ;h o o Is ':3 i=! .2 I— H C3 Cj C3 r— I o I— I o O c5 g o .^ -^ 03 c3 rt 2 =5 s i-cJ ^ es 3 O c3 OPh ^ > Australia, the total contri- butions of the Colonies to the naval defence of the Empire would scarcely exc-eed 500.000/. Such a sum does not loom ven,- large in estimates which amount to over 30.000.000/. On the other hand, the Colonies mis^ht assist u>. Coi^aiaJ and assist us ver\- materially, with men. For example. R^^erve. in spite of large increase^ to the pr' :. nent force, the -7 of the Na\y. including reserves, is quite msuthcient for our countn." s requirements : and there are many indications that a further increa.se in the fleet ^vill be necr— :.yv. In 1896. when visitino: Canada and Australia. I made an especial >tudy of the possibility of drawing on the Colonies for the Naval Reser^'e. In the tishing and seafaring population of Canada and Newtbundland and in the merchant seamen of Australia there was clearly an abundance of good niateriaL In 1897 and in the following years I advocated by ever}- means in my power that this material should be utilised. Two years ago a small experiment was made in this direction in Ne^nomidland. The result appears to have been satisfactory', and it is gratifSTng to know that at the Colonial Conference it has been detinitely decided 81 G PROBLEMS OF E^IPIRE. to establish branches of the Naval Resene in Aus- tralasia, as well as in Newfoundland. Local It is, however, not only in this direction that the Colonies can assist in the matter of naval defence. Melbourne and Sydney have been made two of the most strongly -defended ports of the Empire, and Albany and Thursday Island have been protected from the raider, mainly at Colonial expense. The forts that defend them are manned by Colonial troops. Is it too much to ask Canada to follow the example of Australia, and make herself responsible for manning the defences of Halifax and Esquimault ? Bases such as these — and with them must be included Durban and the Cape — which are rendered secure not so much by their forts and guns as by the fact that they have a large population behind them ready to resist the in- vader, are a valuable element of sea power, and a Colonial contribution to the defence of the Empire which must not be lost sight of. Naval De- On the Navy we depend for the defence of our National ties, shorcs from iuvasion, for the protection of our com- merce, and for the security of our trade routes. The part which the British Army can play in war with any first-class power except Russia and the United States is only a secondary one, but it is still important. It is our chief weapon of offence. AVith the assistance of the Navy, it must lend its energies to the captm'e of the Colonies and coaling stations of the enemy, more indispensable now than before the introduction of steam to the success of their depredations on our commerce. For a war such as that which we have recently waged in South Africa, the Colonies have shown that they can provide material of unequalled quality. Mounted 82 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. infantry are probably destined to play an important role in other fields. Would it not be possible to raise regiments of mounted inftmtry in Canada, in Australia, and in South Africa, one of the battalions of which would form the depot in its own Colony whilst the other was serving in India or some other part of the Empire ? Nothing could have a greater effect on the widening of the Colonial conception of Imperial re- sponsibihty in matters of defence than the fact that there were Canadians, Australians, and South Africans serving in peace time, as they have done so nobly in time of war, side by side with Englishmen, Irishmen, and Scotchmen in all corners of the world. Such a step as that suggested may be in advance of Colonial opinion at the present time, but the Colonies can certainly, by keeping the military forces — which are now, and must remain, under their own control — efficient and properly equipped, render great assistance in the direction already indicated. To turn to the constitutional aspects of Imperial Constitu- 1T J .. •'- tional aspects ' ederation. of impenai ' If I am asked, said Mr. W. E. Forster, in 1885, ^^^^«'^^**°"- *' How can the mother country be kept united with her Colonies?" I reply, " By an organization for com- mon defence and a joint foreign poHcy." And again, to the question, " Why not leave matters alone ?" I reply, " Self-government will end in separation if there be no such organization.'" Exaggerated hopes were enter- tained in certain quarters as to the possibilities of the Conference of Colonial Premiers during the past sum- mer. Such hopes were pre-doomed to disappointment. As pointed out over and over again by Sir Edmund Barton during his stay in this country, ' It is only 83 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Decisions of the CoroDation ColoDial Conference. Imperial Unity dependent upon two principles. Growth of expenditure for Imperial Defence. possible to advance so far as public opinion coincided in various parts of the Empire, and so far as it was compatible with self-government. If more was at- tempted the Empire would suffer loss.' The decisions of the Coronation Colonial Conference are a most important advance in the direction indicated by Mr. Forster. It decided — subject, of course, to ratification by the various Parliaments concerned — (1) that the Colonies should take upon themselves a larger share of the burden of naval defence, and (2) that periodical conferences of Premiers should be held, at intervals of not more than four years, to discuss questions of com- mon interest. The Conference admitted the principle of Imperial Federation. These decisions are of great import for the future ; but they only represent the first and tentative stage in the desired direction. Ever since I had the privilege of visiting our great Colonies and dependencies, I have been convinced that the permanent unity of the Empire rests on two great principles of Imperial Government: — (1) The right of each part of the Empire which bears its fair share of Imperial burdens to a voice in the control of Imperial expenditure and the direction of Imperial poUcy. (2) The right of each part of the Empire to manage its own local affairs in its own way. The time will come ere long when these principles must be apphed to the government of the Empire, for the simple reason that the burden of defence is becoming too heavy for the mother country to bear without the help of her children beyond the seas. In 1892-3 the cost to tlie British taxpayer of Im- perial defence amounted to some 3.5,000,000/. In 1902-3 our naval and military expenditure, quite apart 84 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. from the special expenditure on the wars in South Africa and China, had risen to over 60,000,000/. All our expenditure for purposes of defence does not appear in the Annual Estimates. Under the Naval Works Act of 1902 no less than 27,000,000/. is to be expended on the construction of docks and naval barracks, and the protection of naval ports at Gibraltar, Devonport, Dover, Hong Kong, Simon's Bay, and Bermuda. Expenditure on defence is more likely to increase than to diminish. Owing to the large additions being made by (Germany, Russia, and the United States to their navies, increased exertion on our part will be necessary if we are to retain the command of the sea. We have been passing through a period of great commercial prosperity, so that, until the imposition of the extra taxation necessitated by the war in South Africa, the increase in our national expenditure has been little felt. Prosperity cannot continue for ever. Trade moves in ever-recurring cycles of prosperity and depression, and when the depression comes, as it must come ere long, we in the mother country shall begin to feel that the burden of defending the Empire is becoming too heavy for tlie taxpayers of these islands alone. When Colonies are in their in- fancy it is the duty of the mother country to charge herself with their defence, but our Colonies are now rapidly growing from youth to manhood. Their popu- lation and their resources are year by year increasing relatively to those of the mother country (a temporary exception must be made in case of Australia, which has been suffering from a drought of unprecedented severity and duration). It is not, I think, unreasonable to expect that before many years have past the Colonial taxpayer w^ill be both able and willing to stand shoulder to 85 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Colonial Representa- tion : constitutional diflBculties. Modification of Constitution necessary. Preliminary steps. shoulder with the taxpayer of the mother country. The conditions on which that help will be given were tersely put by Sir A\^ilfrid Laurier in the Dominion House of Commons on March 14, 1900. ' If our future military contribution were ever to be considered com- pulsory — a condition which does not exist — I would say to Great Britain : If you want us to help, you must call us to your Councils.' This demand can only be met by giving to every part of our Empire which bears its fair share of Imperial burdens a constitutional voice in the control of Imperial policy. How is this to be done ? It has been suggested that Colonial representatives might be added to the Privy Council, to the House of Lords, or to the House of Commons. None of these suggestions offer a satis- factory solution of the difficulty. The Privy Council and the House of Lords do not control national expen- diture. The House of Lords would hardly be a congenial atmosphere for the representative of a democratic community. The House of Commons does not deal solely with Imperial questions, ^^'^hat is to be the position of the Colonial representative in the House of Commons when, for instance, an English Education Bill is under discussion. It is, I believe, impossible, under our present constitutional arrangements, to provide for Colonial representatives taking part in the direct control of Imperial policy. Imperial Federation, therefore, implies a modification of the constitution for which public opinion is certainly not yet prepared, either in the Colonics or the mother country, Australia has just established her Commonwealth Constitution. It is impossible to suppose that Aus- 8G STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. tralian statesmen will be prepared to make another great constitutional experiment until they have satisfactorily overcome the difficulties inseparable from the working of new constitutions, with which the Federal Parliament is confronted. In South Africa the efforts of statesmen and people must for some time be devoted to repairing the damages wrought by the long struggle now happily brought to a conclusion. Responsible government must be built up, not only in the Transvaal and Orange River Colonies, but in Rhodesia; and the Federal Government for South Africa, to which many South African statesmen were looking long before the recent troubles, must be estabhshed before South Africans will be in a position to discuss any proposal for Imperial Federation. While every Canadian for the past thirty- five years, and every Austrahan for the last two years, has lived under three Parliaments, each dealing with a distinct class of business, we, in the mother country, have been accustomed to the whole of our business, Imperial and domestic, being transacted in the Parlia- ment which sits at Westminster. Our Empire has grown up and expanded under the a?gis of that Parliament. The Government of Scotland, and the Government of Ireland, have been centralised in its hands. The population of the country has multiplied, and with the growth of population have come increasing demands for legislative and administrative action. Not until the British people recognise the impossibility of transacting the business of the Empire and of these islands with less machinery than 300 years ago, not until they appreciate that a distinction can be drawn between Imperial and domestic questions, will they be able to understand what is meant by Imperial Federation. 87 Arguments for. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. The United While Australians are getting their Commonwealth musi adSpt Constitution into working order, while Afrikanders are Gotemment. laying the foundations of Federal Government for South Africa, we, in the mother country, have our part to play in the evolution of a more perfect system of Imperial Government. The estahlishmeiit of Federal Government in the United Kingdom is an essential preliminary to Imperial Federation. Such a proposal involves a great change in our constitution, and it must be justified by very strong arguments. First and foremost of these is the fact that power is rapidly passing from Parliament to the Cabinet, and to the great Departments of State, owing to the overwhelming pressure of business in the House of Commons. This pressure arises partly from the gi'owing prominence of Imperial questions which, though not receiving adequate attention themselves, have absorbed the energies of Parliament and the Government to such an extent as to throw questions of domestic and social reform into the backgi-ound, partly from the competitive claims of England, Wales, Scotland, and Ireland, to secure a portion of the time of Parliament for the con- sideration of their special interests. Let me give tAvo illustrations of the way in which our Imperial business is at present conducted : — India. (1) The Imperial Parliament is responsible for the government in India of three hundred millions of people, nearly a fifth of the human race. That is an enormous responsibility. And what is the amount of time devoted by l*arliament to the consideration of Indian questions ? At most one or two days at the fag end of a session. (2) The control of national expenditure is amongst 88 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. the most important, if not the most important, of the functions of the representatives of the people in Parlia- ment. I have already alluded to the recent growth in annual expenditure. The growth in expenditure has not been confined to the Department of the Navy. It has affected every Department to a greater or lesser extent. During the past seven years the annual ordinary expenditure of the country has increased by no less a sum than 35,000,000/. sterling. Some of this increased expenditure could, I believe, have been avoided had Parliament exercised its powers of control. But control cannot be effectively exercised when 67,000,000/. of public money are voted in three hours, or at the rate of some 22,000,000/. an hour, practically without dis- cussion. This was actually done on August 9th of last year. No stronger instance could be given than this of the impossibility of carrying on the business of the Empire under present conditions. As reeards domestic business, it is impossible to Domestic 11 1 • n 1 • n ^ !• legislation deny that the absorption oi the tnne oi Parliament neglected for on Imperial matters has tended to throw into the back- q^J'stions. ground such questions as education, housing, temperance, the relations between capital and labour, the problem of the aged poor, the decline of our agricultural popula- tion, the decline of the number of British seamen in British ships — questions which affect the people of this country in their homes. This constitutes the solid basis of such anti- Imperialist feeling as exists in the country. The Little Englander attributes to what is vaguely called Imperialism what is really due to the congestion of business in Parliament. It is a feehng which is too widely held to be ignored by us who are Imperialists — and every member of the Colonial Institute is an 89 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Want of knowledge of Imperial Questions. Confused issues. Imperialist — and it is our business to remove the basis on which it rests, and to reconcile the spirit of democracy with the ideal of ' United Empire.' There are two other evils incidental to our present system of Imperial GoA-ernment, to which allusion must be made : — 1. Imperial business and domestic business each require special training, special study, and special SLjyti- tudes. The training of the School Board, the County Council, or the Trade Union may be admirable for one who seeks to take part in domestic legislation ; but something more is required from the Member of a Parliament which deals with the great questions of Imperial and Colonial policy. To those who have travelled mucli in the Empire, the assurance with which some men speak on Imperial and Colonial ques- tions, of which they have no special knowledge, is amazing. Nowhere has this been more conspicuous than in the treatment of the war in South Africa and its conduct. 2. Under present conditions, when an appeal is made to the country. Imperial questions and domestic questions are submitted to the electors in a confused issue. At the election of 1900 every domestic issue was subordinated to the one Imperial question — the war in South Africa. At some future election the converse of wliat happened in 1900 might take place. Some question of domestic policy might be to the front, and the party might be returned to power on that issue, which perhaps, in the opinion of the electorate, was the less quahfied to carry on the government of the Empire. That is a danger to which Mr. Cliamberlain alluded in a recent speech at Birmingham ; and it is in my belief a very real danger to the P^impire. 90 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. I^et me illustrate what I mean. The Boers went The Boers' hop6S. to war trusting in two things : ( 1 ) foreign intervention ; (2) the possibility of a change of government and a re- versal of policy, such as took place in 1880. Had an Imperial Parliament been in existence in 1899, the people of this countiy would have had accurate infor- mation fi'om the representatives of Natal or of the Cape Colony as to the situation in South Africa, and there would have been none of that ignorance and misunderstanding which have been so fruitful a cause of evil in our relations with South Africa. It is my firm conviction that, had the Boers known that they had to deal with a United Empire, and that there was no chance of a reversal of Imperial policy, the war in South Africa would never have taken place. Such then are the evils of our present system of Complexity government, and these are the reasons which are con- mentary vincing men of all political parties that parliamentary government has broken down. Parliamentary govern- ment has broken down, because we are attempting to deal, in one single assembly, with three distinct classes of business : ( 1 ) the business of the greatest Empire the world has ever seen; (2) questions affecting the United Kingdom as a whole, such as those which in Canada are dealt with by the Dominion Parliament and in Australia by the Commonwealth Parliament ; (3) the special needs of England, Wales, Ireland, and Scotland, which in Canada would be dealt with by the Provincial Parliaments of Ontario, Quebec, &c. ; in Aus- tralia by the Colonial Parliaments of New South Wales, Victoria, &c. No other country has ever attempted to carry on its business with such inadequate machinery. 91 business. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Remedies suggested. The Irish Question. It is not attempted in Germany, in the United States, or in Switzerland. Two alternative remedies are suggested by the experience of other countries. An Imperial Parlia- ment, representative of the whole Empire, might be established, the existing Parliament confining itself to questions which affect the United Kingdom as a whole, and to the special interests of England, Wales, Scotland, and Ireland. This remedy involves the degi'adation of our ancient and historic Parliament to an entirely subordinate position, and, for the reasons already given, it is a policy for the adoption of which neither the Colonies nor the mother country are yet prepared. The alternative is for Parliament to hand over to subordinate legislative authorities what may be termed domestic questions, while retaining in its own hands all Imperial business, as well as all matters of common interest to the whole of the United Kingdom. It implies the creation of legislatures in England, Ireland, and Scotland (probably also in Wales), each having power to deal with their own internal affairs. The establishment of a federal form of government in the United Kingdom somewhat similar to that of Canada has, I believe, become urgently necessary. I advocate it, not only for the sake of Ireland or Scotland, but, to use Mr. Redmond's words, for the sake of England, for the sake of the English I'arliament, and for the sake of the British Empire. Not the least of the advantages of the establish- ment of P'ederal Government in the United Kingdom is that it affords a solution of the constitutional diffi- culties in granting self-government to Ireland alone. I 92 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. certainly do not propose to discuss that thorny Irish question, which is a perennial source of weakness to the Empire, and which can only be satisfactorily settled with the assistance of all political parties in the State ; but it is necessary for the proper understanding of our subject to refer to the constitutional objections to Mr. Gladstone's Home Rule proposals. The Home Rule Bill of 1886 excluded Irish representation altogether from the Imperial Parhament. In other words, Ireland was to be taxed for Imperial purposes, without having any voice in the control of the expenditure. If it had become law it would have violated one of the funda- mental principles of the British constitution — 'there shall be no taxation without representation.' In the second Home Rule Bill the ' in-and-out ' plan was pro- posed ; but during the passage of the Bill through the House of Commons this method was shown to be so impracticable that it was decided to allow Irish members to sit in the Imperial Parliament for all purposes. The objections to this course were fatal from the English point of view, because it would liave permitted Irishmen, while free to settle their own local affairs in their oMii way, to interfere in purely British questions. The modern Home Rule movement, which dates ^^^'"■^K*'", berlain s ad- from 1870, and which is associated with the name of vocacyof Mr. Butt, was directed to securing for an Irish Parlia- Government ment, ' under a federal arrangement, the right of legis- lating for and regulating all matters relating to the internal affairs of Ireland.' Mr. Chamberlain, in the debate on the first reading of the Home Rule Bill of 1886, used the following remarkable words : ' I shall look for the solution in the direction of the principle of federation .... It appears to me that the advantage 93 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. of a system of federation is that Ireland might, under it, reaUy remain an integral part of the Empire. The action of such a scheme is centripetal and not centri- fugal, and it is in the direction of federation that the democratic movement has been most advanced in the present century.' On the second reading of the Bill Mr. Chamberlain suggested, as an alternative Home Rule policy, ' the pi^esent constitution of Canada, not, in the relations between Canada and this country ' (to which Mr. Gladstone and others had referred) — 'those are the wrong lines, and lines against which I protest, and which mean separation — but in the relations inter se of the provinces of Canada and the Dominion Parliament. Those are the relations which I, for one, am perfectly prepared to establish to-morrow between this country and Ireland.' History has proved that Mr. Chamberlain was right when, in 1886, he pointed to Federation as the true solution of the Irish question. To sum up. The Coronation Colonial Conference has taken us as far as it is possible to go at the moment in the direction of Imperial Federation. All honour to the statesmen whose labours have carried us so far. The burden of the Empire is becoming too heavy for the mother country to bear alone. I admit that the Colonies are not yet in a position to tax themselves to the same extent as we are able to do for the common defence ; and until they are in this position the question of providing for direct control by Colonial representa- tives of Imperial policy does not arise. An Imperial Parliament, in which every part of the Empire will be represented, either by elected or nomi- nated representatives, is the ultimate goal which we 94 STEPS TO IMPERIAL FEDERATION. must ever keep before us. The ideal constitutional structure for the Empire is illustrated in the diagram on p. 71. The steps necessary to complete the fabric are shown in italics. Whether it is possible to devise a satisfactory method of dealing with the business of the United Kingdom and the Empire in the same legisla- ture, or whether the business of the United Kingdom should be earned on in a Parliament corresponding to the Commonwealth Parliament of Australia and the Dominion Parliament of Canada, and Imperial business in a Parliament distinct from any existing body, is a question which for the present may remain an open one. In the immediate future the Canadian, the Aus- tralian, the South African, and the Briton has each his own work to do in creating or strengthening the four great federations on which Imperial Federation will some day be built. 95 THE FINANCE OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FOR THE UNITED KINGDOM. Congestion of Parlia- mentary business and remedies. A Paper read before the Royal Statistical Society^ January, 1903. The great and increasing difficulty of carrying on the business of a vast Empire, the affairs of the United Kingdom as a whole, and the domestic concerns of England, Wales, Ireland, and Scotland, with our present Constitutional machinery, is generally admitted. The congestion of business in the House of Commons has become so serious as to threaten a breakdown in parliamentary government. Two remedies present themselves. On the one hand, Parliament might be reheved of the Imperial business by the estabhshment of an Imperial Parliament, with Colonial representatives, to deal with all Imperial business. For this remedy pubhc opinion is not yet ripe, either in the mother country or the Colonies. The Colonies are not yet prepared to tax themselves for the maintenance of the Navy and Army, and until they are prepared to bear their fair share of Imperial burdens they have no right to a voice in the control of Imperial policy. On the other hand, it is possible for Parhament, while retaining in its own hands Imperial business, as well as all matters 96 FEDERAL FINANCE. affecting the United Kingdom as a whole, to hand over to subordinate legislatures in England, Scotland, Ireland, and possibly in Wales, the power to deal with the internal affairs of each country. This imphes the establishment of a federal form of government in the United Kingdom, somewhat similar to that which exists in Canada. It would be out of place to give the argu- ments for and against this great reform in our Consti- tution in this paper, which is based on the assumption that such a reform has become a necessity. The main difficulty in devising a workable scheme Financial ^ . ^. . difficulties. of federal government for the United Kingdom is that of adjusting the financial relations between the Imperial Government and the subordinate national legislatures. It has been asserted that Imperial cannot be separated from national finance, and that the problem is so complex as to be insoluble. Problems which have been solved in other countries, such as Germany and the United States, and under the British fiag in Australia and Canada, cannot, however, be admitted to be beyond the capacity of British statesmen. It is, at any rate, well that in a society of experts such as this, they should be ventilated and discussed ; and it is as a humble contribution to the discussion that I venture to offer this paper. Though the principal suggestion is my own, most of its conclusions are the result of much discussion with others. In order to appreciate the conditions of the problem, Conditions of it is necessary to study the ' The Return of Revenue and Expenditure '* (England, Scotland, and Ireland) annually issued under the authority of Parliament. * The figures for 1900-01 have been used in this paper as more nearly approaching to the normal than the figures of 1901-02. 97 H PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. England. Scotland. Ireland. Revenue as contributed 113,244,000 22,559,000 14,919,000 3,227,000 £ 9,505,000 5,919,000 Expenditure on civil adminis- " tration (excluding chai'ges on Consolidated Fund, cost of collection of customs, y half cost collection inland revenue,* and Post Office expenditure Balances available for Imperial ) expenditure, including Post > Office \ 90,685,000 11,692,000 3,586,000 * If a proportion of the inland revenue (e.(/., income tax and estate duties) is reserved to the Imperial authority, the cost of collection of this revenue should be an Imperial charge. This has been roughly estimated at half the total cost of collection of the inland revenue. The first fact brought out by this return is that the expenditure for Imperial purposes (including the expenditure on Post Office services as Imperial, for reasons which will appear later) represents about three- fourths, and the national expenditure only one-fourth of the total expenditure. The second fact to which it is necessary to call especial attention is, that the different countries of the United Kingdom at present demand for their civil administration very different proportions of the revenue which they contribute to the Exchequer, and conse- quently their contributions to the Imperial expenditure are not proportionate to their revenues. The expendi- ture on civil administration in Ireland is nearly double that of Scotland, the excess in Ireland being mainly under the head of law charges and police, f Thus, while England contributes 80 per cent, and t Cf. Table IV. in Appendix. The Royal Irish Constabulary in 1900-01 cost 1,341,000^., and the Dublin Metropolitan Police 93,000Z. If the police force in Ireland were on the same scale relatively to popula- tion as that in England, it should cost about half the above sum. 98 Imperial revenue. FEDERAL FINANCE. Scotland 78*4 per cent, Ireland only contributes 37*8 per cent, of her revenue to Imperial purposes. From this fact it results that it is impossible to adjust the financial relations between the Imperial and national authorities on a general plan applicable to each countiy alike. Thirdly, it must be noted that Imperial expenditure exceeds the proceeds of either direct or indirect taxation, so that it cannot be defrayed out of either taken alone. Having stated the principal difficulties of the problem before us, it becomes necessary to determine the conditions of a satisfactory solution. 1. The Imperial revenue must be elastic, and there- Sources of fore ought to be draxvn from sources capable of pro- ducing a considerable and immediate increase. — If the Empire becomes involved in war, if a large increase in shipbuilding for the Navy is required owing to the activity in foreign navies, the Chancellor of the Ex- chequer has immediately to raise funds. The income tax is the first tax he resorts to. It is essentially his reserve to meet demands such as those described. It clearly cannot be handed over to the national authori- ties ; and the same remark applies in a somewhat lesser degree to customs and excise. 2. It is desirable that the revenues of both the Imperial and national authorities shoidd be raised from direct as well as indirect taxes, so that neither may be felt to press unduly on any class of the community. — There are four principal heads of taxation : — Customs, excise, estate duties, and income tax. The two latter fall almost entirely on the well-to-do-classes, the former on the whole community. If the Imperial authority were to depend altogether on the revenue fi'om customs and 99 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. excise, and the national authority on that from estate duties and income tax, or vice versa — in other words, if the whole burden of one or other category of expendi- ture fell on a limited class of taxpayers, and the masses of the people who possess the voting power were unaffected by it — there would be no efficient check on extravagant expenditure for Imperial or national purposes. Imperial 3^ jf ^g desirable that the Impeiial authority should reyenues. . ^ f^ ^ have under its own control sufficient revenues to meet the Tmpe?ial expenditure. — If the Imperial authority had to call on the national authorities to contribute to Imperial funds in the event of war or for any other reason, there would obviously be grave danger of conflict between the Imperial and national authorities. The war for which the increased expenditure was required might be unpopular in one of the countries of the United Kingdom (a recent instance of this"^ will occur to every one here present); that country might and probably would refuse to make the contribution required by the Imperial authority. How in this case is the contribution to be collected ? To collect revenue at the point of the bayonet is an impossibility. It is therefore necessary that a scheme for adjusting the financial relations between the Imperial and national authorities should provide the former with sufficient sources of revenue to meet Imperial expenditure under all circumstances. Grants may have to be made from Imperial funds to meet national expenditure. Indeed, such a grant will certainly have to be made in some form or other, at any rate for a period, in the case of Ireland. Irish finance. 4. It is neccssari) to treat Ireland on exceptional lines. — This necessity does not only arise from the * The attitude of Irish representatives on the South African War. 100 FEDERAL FINANCE. greater cost of civil government in Ireland, but from the fact that Ireland is a poorer country than England and Scotland. The reports submitted by various sections and individual members of the Royal Com- mission on the Financial Relations between Great Britain and Ireland, are unanimous on the point that Ireland contributes to the general revenue a sum largely in excess of the proportion which she would contribute were that contribution based on her relative taxable capacity. Mr. Childers places this excess at 2^ millions per annum. Two other considerations of great importance must be noted. The commercial and fiscal policy of the United Kingdom has been guided mainly by the interests of Great Britain ; and while there has been during the last sixty years an enormous increase in the material well-being of the people of Great Britain, the population of Ireland has diminished to nearly one-half, largely owing to the heavy decline in the value of agri- cultural produce, and the consequent restriction of the demand for agricultural employment. Mr. Childers summed up the grounds for the claim of Ireland to special treatment as follows : — ' Ireland being a countiy mainly inhabited by agri- * cultural producers, could support its present population ' upon the corn and meat produced there without having * recourse, under ordinary circumstances, to a foreign * supply of these articles, and could, at the same time, * export a surplus of these foodstuffs. The population of * Ireland consumes a rather large amount, in proportion * to its wealth, of spirits, tea, and tobacco. This being * so, it does not appear that a fiscal system which raises *no revenue from foreign foodstuffs, but does raise a 101 Local Taxation Account PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. * large revenue from spirits, tea, and tobacco, is advan- ' tageous to the population of Ireland, although it may ' be advantageous to the population of the United ' Kingdom looked at as a whole. It may even perhaps ' be said that just as Ireland suffered in the last century ' from the protective and exclusive commercial policy of ' Great Britain, so she has been at a disadvantage in ' this century from the adoption of an almost unqualified ' free-trade policy for the United Kingdom.' Secondly, the extension to Ireland of the income- tax, and the equalisation of the spirit duties during the period 1853-60, imposed an increased burden on the Irish taxpayer amounting to nearly two millions a year. 5. It is desirable that the Local Taxation Account should disappear altogether from the accounts of the Imperial Exchequer, and that the National Legislatures should deal in future with all grants in aid of Local Taxation. — The local taxation revenue is derived from customs, excise duty, and estate duty. The amounts contributed under each head in 1900-01 are as follows : — England. Scotland. Ireland. Total. Customs £ 183,000 £ 19,000 £ 16,000 £ 218,000 Excise — Spirits Beer 624,000 399,000 3,516,000 187,000 20,000 370,000 106,000 31,000 917,000 450,000 Licences 3,886,000 Total excise.,. 4,539,000 577,000 137,000 5,253,000 J'Jstate duties 3,550,200 474,000 141,000 4,237,000* Including 72,000^ from Imperial sources. In addition to the above, there are payments from the Exchequer revenue to local taxation accounts of 102 FEDERAL FINANCE. 98,900/. in the case of Scotland, and 1,054,000/. in the case of Ireland. Local Taxation has been the subject of inquiry by a Royal Commission, which issued its final Report in 1901. It appears unnecessary for our present purpose to enter at length into the history of the grants in aid of local taxation ; but the following facts and conclu- sions, summarised from the report of Sir George Murray and Sir Edward Hamilton, must be noted. In 1888 nearly the whole of the licence duties and a proportion of the probate duty were assigned under Mr. Goschen's proposals to the local taxation account — the object of the latter being to secure a contribution fi'om personalty to local finance. In 1890 the beer and spirit surtaxes imposed in that year were assigned to the councils of counties and county boroughs, to be apphed by them to technical instruction. On this Sir George JMurray and Sir Edward Hamilton remark, ' There seems to be no reason why these surtaxes should be so assigned, any more than any other fraction of the public revenue, since they are in no way local, and have nothing to do with technical education, or any other service locally ad- ministered. ' The Finance Act of 1 894 imposed a uniform system of death duties on realty and personalty alike, and the contribution in aid of local rates can no longer be identified as a contribution by personalty. It has become simply a gi'ant out of the general revenue of the country. In 1896 a portion of the estate duty on personalty was assigned to provide the relief given to agricultural land under the Agricultural Rates Act. In Acts subsequently passed for Scotland and Ireland, the assistance to the ratepayers has been pro\'ided by a direct charge on the consolidated fund, because the 103 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. proceeds of the estate duty on personalty in Ireland were insufficient for the purpose in view. The result is that there is one arrangement in force in England, and another in Scotland and Ireland. The present system of assigned revenues therefore confuses the public accounts, which consequently do not show the expenditure for which the State has made itself re- sponsible, and also the local accounts, making it difficult to ascertain the relief afforded to the ratepayers by the Exchequer. Local For the above reasons we may conclude that there A^ou^t is no advantage in continuing the present system of assigned revenues, under which the surtaxes on beer and spirits, the licence duties, and a proportion of the estate duties, are earmarked for the local taxation account, and that the grants now given from these sources in aid of local taxation can be as well or better met by a contribution from general revenue. If this be the case, it follows that such grants can be made from the revenues handed over to the national authorities just as well as from Imperial funds, and that there will be no necessity, under a scheme of Federal Government, for complicating Imperial finance with a local taxation account. It has been necessary to make this point clear, so that we may not be prevented from dealing with customs, excise, and estate duties, as seems best, when we come to suggesting an adjust- ment of the financial relations between the Imperial and local authorities. Customs and G. The coJitrol of Cmtoins and Ejccisc Duties on Beer and Spirits must be reserved to the Imperial Parliament. — Customs duties appear clearly to belong tp the province of the Imperial authority ; though it 104 Excise. FEDERAL FINANCE. has been suggested (notably in the report of Lords Farrer and Welby and Mr. Currie on the Financial Relations between Great Britain and Ireland) that Ireland should be given control of all sources of taxation. Excise, including beer and spirits duties, ought prima fade to be in the hands of the national authorities. On the other hand, excise duties are closely related to customs duties, and if the national authorities were given power to deal with the excise duties as they pleased, and the several authorities imposed (as they probably would impose) duties at different rates in the several countries, it would necessitate the erection of customs barriers between England, Scotland, and Ire- land. The inconvenience would hardly be tolerated in the present state of opinion. The fixing of the rate, not only of customs duties but of the excise duties on beer and spirits, must therefore remain under Imperial control. 7. The Post Office should remain under Imperial Post Office. control. — There is obviously great convenience in retaining the administration of the Post Office in the hands of the central authority. Nearly the whole of the profit of the department is made in England. In Scotland the profit is but small; in Ireland the Post Office is worked at a loss.* Though there might be some desire on the part of the national authorities to take over the Post Office administration on account of the patronage involved, it is here assumed that the Post Office will remain under Imperial control. 8. Certain items of revenue which are peculiaiiiJ AppropUite . / 7 • items of suitable for manas-ement by the national authorities revenue for ^ ^ ^ National manaii;ement. * In 1900-01 revenue 903,000^., expenditure 1,061,000^. 105 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. should he allocated to them. — These include licences and railway duty, land tax and inhabited house duty, and miscellaneous revenue, from which the revenue in 1900-01 was as follows :— England. Licences j 3,550,000 Railway duty 315,000 Land tax and house duty ! 2,321,000 Miscellaneous duty ! 792,000 Scotland. Ireland. £ £ 371,000 211,000 24,000 — 146,000 82,000 116,000 Of the total revenue, amounting to 4,136,000/., derived from licence duties, no less than 3,886,000/. is local taxation re\'enue. On Mr. Goschen's original proposal to hand over to the local authorities the col- lection and variation of the licence duties, the Royal Commission remarks : ' It cannot be doubted that in the case of such licences as the dog and establishment licences, the collection of the duties by the local authority would add considerably to their yield.' AVhether the licence duties should be collected by the national or local authorities is a question which need not concern us here. It is, at any rate, clear that they should not form part of the Imperial revenues. The land tax and inhabited house duty appear to belong more properly to the department of national than Imperial finance. The fact that in Ireland no such taxes at present exist, gives considerable scope to the national authority for raising additional revenue, should such be required. The total miscellaneous revenue in 1900-01 was 2,237,000/., of which 1,247,000/. was derived from Imperial sources, and the balance from the respective countries to the amount given above. 100 FEDERAL FINANCE. AVith the possible exception of the revenue derived from the Bank of England (178,000/.) the miscellaneous revenues should clearly be handed over to the national authorities. The revenue from Crown lands amounts to 465,000/., of which 408,000/. is derived from Eng- land, 24,000/. from Scotland, and 33,000/. from Ireland. On the whole it appears desirable to hand over the Crown lands to the national authority. We are now in a position to discuss alternative Aiternatire proposals for adjusting the financial relations between the national and Imperial authorities. It is possible to proceed on one of two main principles. Under the first, the quota which each country is to contribute to Imperial expenditure would be fixed, the national authorities taking the whole balance of the revenue after their quota is paid into the Imperial exchequer. Under the second, each country would be given sufficient revenue to meet its estimated expenditure on civil government, together with such powers of taxation as would enable the national authority to meet any increase in such expenditure, the Imperial authority retaining in its own hands for Imperial purposes all revenues not handed over to the national authority, as well as the power to impose fresh taxation. If the first principle were followed, the quota to be borne by each country would have to be fixed by Royal Commission. If the second principle were adopted, the expen- diture on civil government in the respective countries being ascertained, the national authorities would be given sufficient revenue to meet their expenditure. Excluding civil government expenditure charged on the consohdated fund (over three-fourths of which .107 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. represents expenditure on courts of justice), Post Office expenditure, cost of collection of customs, which would in any case remain an Imperial charge, and half the cost of collection of inland revenue, some items of which would be allocated to the Imperial and others to the national authorities, the national expenditure (or local expenditure, as it is called in the returns) in 1900-01 was as follows : — England. Scotland. Ireland. National expendiUire (Part III. 1 Return) ( 34,769,000 £ 4,961,000 £ 7,306,000 Deduct — Post Office exDenditure 10,457,000 663,000 768,000 322,000 1,352,000 97,000 147,000 138,000 1,061,000 Oollftction customs 63,000 Half collection inland revenue Charges on consolidated fund 91,000 172,000 12,210,000 1,734,000 1 1,387,000 1 — Expenditure on civil govern- ment 22,559,000 3,227,000 5,919,000 Taxing power of the National authority. Of the above expenditure, 12,500,000/. is devoted to education, and nearly 11,000,000/. represents grants in aid of local taxation. Provided that the national authorities are given at the outset sufficient revenues to meet the above ex- penditure, and adequate powers of taxation to enable them to meet any possible increase, a plan based on this principle appears to be as fair to them as that of fixing the quota which they are to contribute to Imperial expenditure. Moreover, a plan based on this principle has great advantages: (1) it is simple and easily inteUigible ; (2) it obviates the necessity for periodical inquiry as to taxable capacity ; (3) it adjusts the finan- cial relations on a basis which has a reasonable prospect 108 FEDERAL FINANCE. of being permanent; (4) it gives the national authorities a sense of financial responsibiUty, and would tend to check extravagant expenditure, a point of the utmost importance ; (5) it is fair to the Imperial authority, and would enable surplus revenue from sources reserved to the Imperial authority to be used for the reduction of the national debt. Under a plan based on the first principle, the quota to be contributed by each country being fixed, the whole of the surplus due to an expand- ing revenue would go to the national authority, who would use it for its own purposes. The following plan is based on the first principle ; — The quota of Imperial expenditure to be borne by (i) A National 1 j.j.jiij/T'j.. -Ti •• • contribution each country to be nxed (subject to periodical revision in to imperial accordance with predetermined principles). The excep- ""^^^""^s- tions to the powers of the national legislatures in finance should include only customs, excise (excluding licences and railway duty), and postal rates ; all powers over these sources of revenue should be reserved by the Imperial Parliament to itself. Excepting the reserva- tion of licences and railway duty to the national legisla- ture, the Imperial Parliament would also have full and unfettered power to impose whatever other taxes might be necessary to meet its expenditure, provision being made for the adjustment of balances between the Imperial Exchequer and the several nationalities, in accordance with the quota due from each of the latter. And beyond this reservation (but not within it) the national legislatures would also have full power to impose any taxes required to meet their several expen- ditures. Thus there would presumably be a concurrent use of income tax, estate duty, and stamp duties by the Imperial and national authorities. 101) PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Its The advantages of this plan are claimed to be that anddisa^van- while it leaves the Imperial Parliament entu-ely un- tages. fettered as to means of raising its revenue, it imposes on the national legislatures only such restraints as are involved in the common fiscal and trade policy of the United Kingdom. Its disadvantages are (1) that the elasticity of the Imperial revenues would be impaired, and (2) that the concurrent use of the same taxes by the national and Imperial authorities would lead to comphcation of accounts and difficulties in collection. As regards the first objection, it is practically certain that the national authorities would resort to the use of income tax and estate duty. Assuming that both the Imperial authority and the national authorities levied an income tax, the income tax would be fully utilised in time of peace, and there would be little, if any, reserve to meet the emergencies of war. As regards the second objection, it must be admitted that under the Constitution of the Australian Common- wealth concurrent powers of taxation are granted to both the Commonwealth and State Parliaments. The collection and control of customs and excise are vested in the Commonwealth Parliament, but the States retain the power to impose customs and excise duties until the imposition of uniform duties by the Commonwealth. For ten years after the establishment of the Common- wealth not more than one-fourth of the net revenue from customs and excise may be applied by the Com- monwealth to its own expenditure. The conditions in the United Kingdom and Australia are utterly dis- similar. In Australia the major part of the expenditure is state or local, and there was no pre-existing Com- monwealth debt charge. In the United Kingdom, 110 FEDERAL FINANCE. which has to bear practically the whole burden of defending the Empire, three-fourths of the expenditure are Imperial, and only one-fourth is local or national. A plan which may be workable in Australia may be totally inapplicable to the United Kingdom. The objections to this plan, and to the principle on which it is based, may be summarised as follows : — 1. An elaborate inquiry must be held periodically to fix the quota to be contributed by each country to Imperial expenditure. Such inquiry would lead to friction and to constant agitation on the part of the different countries that their quota should be reduced. 2. No sufficient financial responsibility would be imposed on the national authorities for meeting their new expenditure. 3. A budget surplus would belong to the national authorities and not to the Imperial authority, and therefore could not be utilised for the reduction of the national debt. 4. To allow to the national authorities the con- current use of income tax would impair the elasticity of the Imperial revenues, and would fetter the action of the Imperial Chancellor of the Exchequer in meeting a national emergency. 5. The concurrent use of the same taxes would lead to difficulties of collection and confusion of accounts. These objections are, in my judgment, fatal to the plan and to the principle on which it is based. Let us now see whether it is possible to devise a (2) National plan based on the principle of providing the national beaUocated authorities with sufficient revenue to meet the national °^" °"*''^^ * (including local) expenditure. Ill PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. The minor branches of revenue, viz., Hcences, railway duty, land tax, inhabited house duty, and miscellaneous revenue, would produce only a small proportion of the sum required in each case. What other branches of revenue can be handed over to the national authorities ? Customs and income tax must, for the reasons already given, clearly remain in Imperial hands, and whatever may be done with the revenue derived from the beer and spirit duties, the rates of duty must be fixed and the duties collected by the Imperial authority. Excise duties on beer and spirits constitute, with the exception of customs, by far the largest item of the revenue contributed by Ireland. Customs and excise duties on beer and spirits together account for over six milUons out of a total revenue of 9j miUons. Estate duties seem on the whole more suitable for Imperial manage- ment than for national control ; and if the revenue from estate duties were handed over to the national authori- ties, there would be a surplus in the case of England, and a deficiency in the case of Scotland and Ireland. This deficiency would have to be made good by grants from the Imperial Exchequer. The claim of Ireland to special treatment, for the reasons given earlier in this paper, might render it desirable to hand over the estate duties in Ireland to the Irish National Authority. Stamps, on the other hand, appear better suited for national control than any of the other items of revenue we have been considering. If the revenue from stamps, in addition to the minor branches of revenue already mentioned, were handed over to the national authorities, the position would be as follows : — 112 FEDERAL FINANCE. England. Scotland. Ireland. Licences £ 3,550,000 315,000 2,321,000 6,939,000 792,000 408,000 £ 375,000 24,000 146,000 623,000 82,000 24,000 £ 211,000 Railway duty Land tax and house duty Stamps 290,000 116,000 Miscellaneous revenue Crown lands 33,000 14,325,000 1,274,000 650,000 Expenditiu-e on civil administra- tion 22,559,000 3,227,000 5.919.000 Deficiency 8,234,000 1,953,000 5,269,000 This deficiency could be made good by grants from Objections to the Imperial exchequer, and this is the course which Sd'efcyby commends itself to some of those who have studied the"impSSi the subject with me. The objections to it are that the Exciiequer. proportion of the revenues of the national authorities which would be allocated to them, or under their own control, would be insufficient to give that sense of financial responsibility which it is so desirable that they should possess. This objection applies with especial force to the case of Ireland, in which only one-eighth of the national revenue would be allocated to the national authority. ' Grants of money,' say Lord Farrer, Lord Welby, and Mr. Currie in the report already quoted, ' made by Parliament are more likely to impoverish ' than enrich the community which receives them, 'tending as they do to weaken the spirit of indepen- ' dence and self-reliance.' To this weighty opinion I attach the utmost importance. The system of grants from the Imperial revenue in aid of local taxation cer- tainly does not tend to economy in local expenditure. A plan based on large grants from the Imperial exchequer to the national authorities would have a similar effect 113 I PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. A modifica- tion of plan 2 the best solution. on national expenditure. There is a further objection that the cordial co-operation of the national authorities would not be secured if the whole of the proceeds of excise were paid into the Imperial exchequer. Illicit distilling and frauds on the revenue would become rife, unless the national authority had a direct interest in seeing that the police forces under their control gave effective assistance to the Imperial revenue officers in the collection of the beer and spirit duties. These objections appear of such weight that I venture to submit the following plan : — The national authorities to be given the minor branches of revenue, stamp duties, licences, &c., together with the power of imposing new taxes {e.g., additional stamp duties, licence duties, taxes on advertisements and amusements). The Imperial authority to reserve to itself the revenue from customs, income tax, and estate duties, except in the case of Ireland. The revenue from estates duties in Ireland to be handed over to the Irish national authority. The revenue from the excise duties on beer and spirits to be treated as follows : In Ireland the whole, in Scotland one-half, and in England one-third to be handed over to the national authorities, the rates of duty being fixed, and the duties collected by the Imperial authority. The Imperial authority, of course, to have the power of imposing new taxes. The revenue from the beer and spirit duties in 1900-01 was thus distributed (true contribution) : — England. Scotland. Ireland. Spirits £ 13,704,000 12,361,000 £ 4,096,000 614,000 £ 2,324,000 Beer 966,000 26,065,000 4,710,000 3,290,009 114 FEDERAL FINANCE. One-third of the beer and spirit duties in England Operation of = 8,688,000/., one-half in Scotland = 2,355,000/. The plT'^"^ financial result of this plan is therefore as follows : — England. Scotland. Ireland. Revenue handed over to \ national authoi'ities J Estate duties £ 14,325,000 8,688,000 £ 1,274,000 2,355,090 £ 650,000 874,000 3,290,000 Add beer and spirits duties, \ proportions handed over... J Expenditure on civil ad- \ ministration J 23,013,000 22,519,000 3,629,000 3,227,000 4,814,000 5,919,000 Surplus. 494,000 Surplus 402,000 Deficiency. 1,105,000 The deficiency shown in the above table in the case How the de- of Ireland might be met by assistance from Imperial the cafe ^of funds for a fixed period of, say, ten years. Such assist- b?met™^^*^ ance might be given by the Imperial authority retaining the control of and bearing the whole of the charges for the Royal Irish Constabulary and the Dubhn police, but handing over to the national authority any saving from the gradual replacement of the semi - mihtary police by less costly forces under the control of local authorities ; or, if the control of the constabulary be surrendered by the Imperial Parliament, by a grant equivalent to the present cost of maintenance (viz., about 1,400,000/). Ireland would be started with a surplus of 300,000/., which should be increased at the end of the period to 1,000,000/. by savings on the police force alone. Large savings may be anticipated under other heads of civil government expenditure, which in Ireland is admittedly excessive. AU savings would be under the control of the national authority, and could 115 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. be utilised for the purpose of developing the resources of the country. Its For this plan the following advantages may be advantages. •, • j claimed : — 1. The national authorities would be provided with sufficient revenue to meet their national expenditure, and they would not depend (with the exception of the grant suggested for a specific purpose to Ireland) on doles or grants-in-aid from the Imperial exchequer, which are open to the gravest objection. 2. The revenue permanently allocated to Ireland should suffice not only to meet the cost of civil govern- ment when Ireland is governed with the consent of its inhabitants, but to yield a handsome surplus. If Ireland is governed for the same cost as Scotland, this surplus should amount to Ij millions per annum, which could be used either for remitting taxation or on works of public improvement. 3. The Imperial revenue would be elastic, for the Imperial authority, though parting to some extent with the revenue from excise, would retain in its own hands income tax as well as estate duties (except in the case of Ireland), and customs. Income tax is by far the most elastic branch of the revenue, and is that Avhich in the case of an increase or decrease of the tax rate gives the most definite and calculable and immediate result. It is this which makes it so important as a tax to meet Imperial emergencies. 4. The Imperial revenue as well as the national revenues would be raised from direct and indirect taxes. 5. The Imperial authority would reserve to itself sufficient sources of revenue to meet Imperial expen- 116 FEDERAL FINANCE. diture, and would not have to rely on contributions from the exchequers of the several countries. 6. There would be little difficulty in collecting the beer and spirit duties, and in preventing frauds on the revenue, and these duties would be willingly paid if the whole or a considerable proportion were earmarked for national purposes and paid into the national exchequer. 7. It imposes on the national authorities the financial responsibility of meeting their expenditure to the extent that if their expenditure increases, they must raise funds to meet the increase ; and if economies are made, they can reap the benefit of those economies. The strongest objection which has been urged The main n J c3 objection, against the scheme, and it has been urged by one whose opinion is entitled to the greatest respect, is that the hands of the Chancellor of the Exchequer would be tied if he wished to change the rates of the beer and spirit duties. For every additional pound he wished to raise for Imperial needs, he would be obliged to raise a further sum of, say, one pound, which would have to be handed over to the national exchequers, although they might not need it. If, on the other hand, he wished to reduce the duties, he would be debarred from doing so by the consideration that the national autho- rities would be suddenly deprived by his action of revenue on which they were counting. These objections might be overcome in the following way. If the Chan- cellor of the Exchequer wished to increase the duties, it could be provided* that the additional yield of a * Cf. financial scheme of Home Rule Bill, 1893, adopted in Com- mittee of the House of Commons, clause 6 : ' That if any special war tax should be imposed, the whole of the proceeds collected in or con- tributed by Ireland should go to the Imperial Exchequer.' 117 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. duty, declared by Parliament to be a war or emergency tax, should go to the Imperial exchequer. If, on the other hand, he wished to reduce the rates of duty, grants could be made from Imperial funds to the national authorities to an amount equivalent to the loss of revenue they had suffered owing to the reduc- tion of the rates of duty. It may be admitted that the treatment of excise proposed would have a tendency to render this important branch of revenue non-elastic, and yet the advantages of the plan may be held to outweigh this disadvantage. The problem of adjusting the financial relations between the Imperial and national authorities is one which presents many difficulties, from the peculiar features of the case. Every solution is open to objec- tions. I believe, from the study I and others have given to the subject, that the plan suggested in this paper is open to fewer objections than any other. 118 FEDERAL FINANCE. APPENDIX. Extracts from Parliamentary Return 90, dated 8th July^ 1901, ' Revenue and Expenditi/re {England, Scotland, and Irelandy Table I. Part I. Rcvemie, 1900-01. 1. Revenue {Net Receipts). [OOO's omitted.] As Contributed. From Imperial Sources. By England. By Scotland. By Ireland. Totel. Customs — £ £ £ £ £ Exchequer revenue — 20,915, 2,588, 2,798, 26,271, Local taxation revenue . . . — 183, 19, 16, 218, Excise — Exchequer revenue — 25,391, 4,532, 3, .364, 33,287, Local taxation revenue... — 4,539, 577, 137, 5,253, Estate, &c., duties — Exchequer revenue 143, 10,417, 1,191, 732, 12,483, Local taxation revenue... 72, 3,550, 474, 141, 4,2.37, Stamps 35, 6,939, 623, 290, 7,887, Land tax \ House duty ... ... J — 2,331, 146, — 2,467, Income tax 358, 23,212, 3,016, 975, 27,561, Total revenue from taxes 60S, 97,467, 1.8,136, 8,453, 119,664, Post office 11,722, 1,326, 729, 13,777, Telegraphs — 2,855, .351, 174, 3,380, Crown lands... — 408, 24, 33, 465, Interest on Suez Canal \ shares, &c. ... J 830, — — 830, Miscellaneous 1,247, 792, 82, 116, 2,237, Total non-tax revenue ... 2,077, 15,777, 1,783, 1.052, 20,689, Aggregate revenue 2,685, 113,244, 14,919, 9,505, 140,353, Percent 1-91 80-69 10-63 6-77 10-000 (a) For the Exchequer (b) For the local taxation \ accounts ... j 2,613, 104,972, 13,849, 9,211, 130,645, 72, 8,272, 1,070, 294, 9,708, 119 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. ^ Table II. Part II. — Expendikire, 1900-01. {Exchequer Issues.) [OOO's omitted.] On On On On Tnt^l Imperial English Scottish Irish Services. Services. ; Services. Services. £ £ £ £ £ 1. Chargeable against ex- 1 chequer revenue — , National debt charges... 19,836, — — — 1 19,836, Naval and military I ! charges — (a) Army 91,925, — — — 91,925, (b) Navy 29,520, — 1 — — 29,520, Civil government charges — (a) On consolidated) fund J 723, 322, 138, 171, 1,354, (ft) Voted 3,690, 13,481, 1,955, 4,374, 23,500, Total civil govern-) ment charges . . . / 4.418, 13,803, 2,093, 4,545, 24,8.54, Collection of taxes 2,199, 391, 244, 2,834, Post Office services 601, 10,457, 1,352, 1,061, 13,471, Payments of local taxa-\ tion account ... ...J • — — 98, 1,054, 1,152, Total chargeable^ against exchequer - revenue 146,295, 26,459, 3,934, 6,904, 183,592, ». 37,297, 2. Met out of local taxa- tion revenue — Miscellaneous local\ charges J _ 8,310, 1,027, 402, 9,739 Grand total ... 146,295, 34,769, 4,961, 7,306, J 193,331, 47,036, Per cent., England, Scot-) land and Ireland ...J 73-92 10-55 15-53 100-00 Per cent., total 75-67 17-98 2-57 3-78 100-00 120 FEDERAL FINANCE. Table III. Civil Government Charges, 1900-01. Details of Class III. * Imperial. English. Scotch. Irish. Total. £ £ £ £ £ Law charges ... — 63,000 — 63,000 Miscellaneous legal) expenses ... .,./ 13,000 34,500 — 500 48,000 Supreme court of judi-\ cature J i"^ 4 y~» ^~i y^ /^ — 318,000 — — 318,000 Land registry — 29,000 — 29,000 County courts — 20,000 — 20,000 Police (England and\ Wales / — 51,000 — — 51,000 Prisons (England andl the Colonies ...J 3,000 605,000 — — 608,000 Reformatory and in-) dustrial schools l — 193,000 61,000 254,000 (Great Britain) ...J Broadmoor criminal) lunatic asylum ...J ■~~ 41,000 — 41,000 Scotland. Law charges and) courts of law ...J — 76,000 — 76,000 Registry house, Edin-\ biu-gh ... ... J — 42,000 — 42,000 Crofters commission... — 5,000 ^~" 5,000 Prisons — 84,000 84,000 Ireland. Law charges and crim- \ inal prosecutions ... J ^^ •^~* 64,000 64,000 Superior court of judi-) cature and other - legal departments. . . . — — 106,000 106,000 Land commission — — 128,000 128,000 County court officers.) &c 1 — — 106,000 106,000 Dviblin metropolitan) police (including [ police comts) ...J 93,000 93,000 Constabulary — — 1,341,000 1,341,000 Prisons 115,000 115,000 Reformatory and in-) dustrial sch ool s ... J — — 108,000 108,000 Dundrum criminal) lunatic asylum ...J 1 ~ " 6,000 6,000 Total of Class III. 16,000 1,354,500 ' 268,000 2,067,500 3,706,000 » 121 PROBLEJNIS OF EMPIRE. Table IV. Civil Government Charges, 1900-01. Imperial. English. | Scottish. Irish. j Total. £ £ £ i £ ' £ Class I. Palaces &\ public buildings J 192,500 1,265,000 143,500 ' 1 409,000 : 2 010,000 Class II. Publicj offices ... J 1,002,000 886,000 137,000 334,000 i 2,359,000 1 Class III. Lawl charges & police) 16,000 1,354,500 268,000 2,067,500 ; 3,706,000 Class IV. Education 43,000 9,696,500 1,383,000 1,413,500 .12,536,000 ,, V. Diplomatic^ and colonial ser- J- 2,084,000 _ 1 1 2,084,000 vices ... J Class VI. Pensions 242,500 270,000 22,500 99,000 634,000 „ VII. MiscelO laneous ... J 110,000 9,000 1,000 51,000 171,00f) Total civil govern- ^ ment charges J- voted ... J 3,690,000 13,481,000 1,955,000 4,374,000 23,500,000 Customs _ 663,000 97,000 63,000 823,000 Inland revenue ... — 1,536,000 294,000 1 181,000 2,011,000 Total collection of \ taxes ... J — 2,199,000 391,000 244,000 2,834,000 Post Office — 7,288,000 930,000 745,000 8,963,000 Telegraph service.. — 3,104,000 381,000 252,000 : 3,737,000 Packet ,, 601,000 65,000 41,000 64.000 771,000 Total Post Office) services ... J 601,000 10,457,000 1,352,000 1,061,000 13,471,000 Total revenue de-" partments - 601,000 12,656,000 i 1,743,000 ! 1,305,000 ! 16, 305, 000 1 ! 122 FEDERAL FINANCE. Table V. Contribtdion to Imperial Services. This table shows the balances of revenue contributed by England, Scotland, and Ireland, respectively, which are available for Imperial expenditure after the local expenditures of those divisions of the United Kingdom has been met, according to the fiffiu-es shown in Parts I. and II. of this return. [OOO's omitted.] Year 1900-01. Total revenue) as contributed J Local expen-\ diture ...J Balance avail-1 able for Iin- perialexpen- diture England. £ 113,224, 34,769, 78,475, Per Cent. 82 26 73-92 86-58 Scotland. £ 14,919, 4,961, 9,958, Per Cent. 10-84 10-55 10-99 Ireland. £ 9,505, 7,306, 2,199, Per Cent. 6-90 15-53 Total. £ 137,668, 47,036, 2-43 90,632, Per Cent. 100 100 100 It should be borne in mind that in the last quarter of 1900-01, as in the last quarter of 1899-1900, abnormal clearances of certain dutiable articles were effected in anticipation of increased taxation. The result was that in these years the amount paid in duty in respect of some articles, did not correspond with the con- sumption of those articles, nor consequently with the contribution of consmners to taxation. The amounts estimated to have been paid in anticipation in 1900-01 were 2,500,000/. under customs duties, and 1,050,000/. under excise duties. 123 II. TARIFF REFORM. IS FREE TRADE THE RIGHT POLICY FOR THIS COUNTRY TO-DAY ? The Jollowing Memorandum was written in 1898 /or the consideration oj a distinguished Statesman. While admitting that Free Trade, as conceived by Cobden, is in theory perfectly sound, I believe there are grave reasons for doubting whether it is the right policy to-day, from an Imperial point of view, or even from that of the United Kingdom. 1. The reduction in the population of Ireland from Free Trade over eight millions in 1851 to under 4f millions in ^ffect^^ 1891 seems to show that Free Trade has not been Ireland. beneficial to Ireland. The trade policy of Great Britain was governed by her own selfish interests, and without regard to those of Ireland in past centuries. Has it not been the same in the century now drawing to its close ? 2. The shifting of population from agricultural to Decline in urban districts has been due partly to the opening up of agricultural virgin soils all over the world, partly to the cheapening pop^^^tion. of the means of communication, but also in large measure to Free Trade. The decline in the agi-icul- tural population must entail in time a decline in the strength of the race ; for it is from the agricultural 127 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Food supply in case of war. Race degeneracy. British industry. population that the best fighting material is dra^Ti and the urban population recruited. Mr. C. Booth tell us that in three generations a family in London becomes extinct. 3. The danger to which our food supply would be exposed in case of war has produced a considerable agitation for the estabUshment of national granaries. The enormous cost involved, the fact that the State would beome a buyer and seller on a large scale, and would be prevented by pubhc opinion from selling at a profit, and often compelled to sell at a loss, are fatal objections to the proposal. Our food supplies on the high seas can, and must be, protected by a powerful Navy. But is it not certain that Russia would, in the event of war with us, knowing how vital her corn is to our existence, lay an embargo on the export of corn ? A Government hke that of Russia would disregard the suffering entailed on the unfortunate grower. Similar action might be taken by the Govern- ment of the United States, though war with the United States is a contingency no EngUshman cares to contemplate. We would certainly face war with greater equanimity if a larger proportion of our food supply were produced under the British Flag. 4. The steady increase in our imports, which repre- sent the earnings of British ships and the interest on British investments abroad, the large annual savings of capital show that every year a larger proportion of our people are living on accumulated wealth, a fact which surely must tend to a decline in the strength of the race. 5. The decline or absence of gi'owth in our export trade is no doubt due partly to the inefficiency of 128 TARIFF REFORM. British merchants, as described in the Consular reports, partly to labour disputes, partly to the declii\e in the relative efficiency of the British manufacturer and the British workman. That we are being beaten, even in our own markets, by goods produced in highly pro- tected countries, goods in which we have long held a pre-eminent position, at any rate shows that Free Trade is not essential to cheapness of production. The recent advance of the United States is owing undoubtedly to a gi'eat extent to her natural resources, but even more to the energy of her people, which has certainly not been hampered by Protection, as Free Traders would argue it ought to have been. On the other hand, I no more think that the industrial progress of the United States can be advanced as a positive argument for Protection than that the greater relative progress of Free Trade New South Wales, as compared with Protectionist Victoria in the last few years, can be urged as an argument in favour of Free Trade. The progress of New South Wales has been due to her gi'cater natural resources and the superiority of the administration of some of her public departments, notably her railways under JNIr. Eddy. The general conclusion seems to be that the growth of British com- merce, the enormous progress in material prosperity during the fifty years from 1840-1890, are not so much due to the adoption of Free Trade as is generally as- serted, and that the greater relative growth of the trade of other industrial nations in the last decade has cer- tainly not been hindered by Protection. 6. Finally we come to the Imperial point of view, imperial which in many ways is the most important of all. Our Colonies have grown rapidly during the present century, 129 K PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. though the rate of growth is getting slower ; but what would their growth be in the next century if their pro- ductions were given an advantage in British markets ? The flow of emigration would be diverted from the United States and the Argentine Republic to Canada, to Australia, or South Africa ; and in the great struggle which is to come in the not far distant future we shall need all the strength we can muster under the British flag. In a period when trade is less prosperous than it is now, a period which will probably commence about the time that the next Government comes into office, a demand is certain to be made for a reduction in the expenditure on the Navy and Army. The burden of defending our great Empire will in fact become too heavy to be borne by the taxpayers of these smaU islands alone. As our Colonies increase in wealth and importance, and when they do not need so large a proportion of their resources for the development of their territory, they must bear their fair share of the burden. How is this to come about ? Mr. Nearly twelve years ago I spent a long day at the JIop™s?K ^ Cape with Mr. Hofmeyr, then just back from the first Colonial Conference, where he had advocated his now nearly forgotten proposal, that every part of the Empire, preserving its existing tariff' against Imperial goods, should over and above that, impose a differential duty of five per cent, against non- Imperial goods, the proceeds of this duty to be devoted to the maintenance of the Imperial Navy. Mr. Hofmeyr's proposal seems to me to contain the germs of the policy which is needful for the Empire to-day, viz., I'referential Trade within the Empire. 130 SUGAR BOUNTIES AND THE WEST INDIES. Extract from a Speech at Christchurch, November, 1898. The present evils in the West Indies are not solely \vhat the due to the late hurricane, but to causes of deeper root. sugar°has Owing to the competition of bounty-fed Continental wTstVndils^ sugar, the islands have been declining in prosperity for some time. The Royal Commission reported last year that the sugar industry was threatened by such reduction in the immediate future ' as may not in some of the Colonies differ from extinction.' The result has been that whereas formerly three-fourths of the exports were the products of the sugar-cane, there is now want of employment, reduction in the rate of wages and in the standard of living, and con- sequent inability to meet expenditure. JMany of our West Indian possessions, as, for instance, British Guiana, St. Vincent, Barbadoes, and Dominica — the conditions of which are described in the Report — are entirely dependent on the sugar industry, and the price of sugar has fallen to less than half of what it was in 1882. The remedies proposed by the Royal Commission CountervaU- are peasant proprietorship and the encouragement of '°^ minor industries, better communication, and the in- crease of the fruit trade, besides grants of money to the various islands. Whilst there may be some 131 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. justification under the special circumstances for the gi-ants recommended by the Royal Commission, I am strenuously opposed to dealing out doles of Imperial money, because such a poHcy is an inadequate remedy, and because it ^\dll tend to sap the energies and self-dependence of the people and the govern- ment of the Colonies concerned. The question before us is, Are British subjects to be ruined by artificial competition ? Attempts have been made and failed to secure the abolition of bounties ; the only remain- ing course is for the British Government to impose countervailing duties on bounty - fed sugar. The British people have made great sacrifices in order to abohsh slavery; they would do the same again for a great object. The sacrifice involved in the present case is small. British moral j£ ^^y ^^q impositiou of a duty to checkmate the responsibility j r i • p • for the West pohcy of Fraucc and Germany the price ot sugar is i^opie. raised to the extent of 2/. a ton, it would mean less than a farthing a pound to the consumer, but a great deal to the West Indian producer. If that sacrifice is too great, it might be met with a lessened duty on tea. Already the Canadian people have realised the injustice done to the West Indies by bounty-fed Continental sugar, and have taken action to counteract it. Allow me to quote from a letter just received from a well-known Canadian. ' We have,' he writes, ' succeeded in getting our Government to give the West Indies a preference in our market. We had free sugar before; now we are paying hard cash to help the Empire.' The British people must remember that they have great responsibilities in regard to the West Indies. The negro population was brought to those 132 SUGAR BOUNTIES. islands as slaves under the authority of the British Government ; we are morally responsible that those people do not starve. The present distress in the West Indies is due, at any rate in part, to foreign protective duties and bounties, of which the people of the United Kingdom have been reaping the benefit, to the loss of their West Indian fellow- subjects. 133 PREFERENTIAL TARIFFS. A Letter to the ' Times,'' June 5th, 1903. Sir, — The policy recently outlined by Mr. Balfour and ^Ir. Chamberlain will, I trust, receive the serious and unprejudiced consideration of the people of this country. That it should be made the subject of party controversy, that it should be discussed on political platforms without regard to recent experience or present- day facts, and that the truth should be obscured by misrepresentation and exaggeration, as has been the case with the corn duty, would be deplorable. The decision which the people will be presently called upon to take is of vital moment to their own future, the future of the Empire, and the future of the world. Customs Commercial federation on the basis of free trade chiefrevenue withiu the Empire is out of the question in the immediate of the future for the obvious reason that most of our Colonies Colonies. raise the greater part of their revenues from customs duties, that British goods form a large proportion of their imports, and that it would take time for the Colonial Governments to substitute other sources of revenue which they now derive from duties on British goods. Sixteen years ago at the first Colonial Con- ference, Mr. Hofmeyr proposed that every part of the Empire, whatever its tariff might be on Imperial goods, 134 PREFERENTIAL TARIFFS. should impose a differential duty on non- Imperial goods, the proceeds of this duty to be devoted to the main- tenance of the Imperial navy. Commercial federation on the basis of preferential trade within the Empire, as suggested by JNIr. Hofmeyr in 1887, is the only form which Mr. Chamberlain's policy can take at the present moment. In a paper read before the Colonial Institute in November last, I pointed out that a commercial federa- tion which did not impose a duty on foreign foodstuffs for the benefit of the Canadian wheat-grower, or the Australian meat-producer, would be of little value to our Colonies. INIr. Chamberlain has frankly acknow- ledged that preferential trade means a tax on food. The question therefore which the British people have to ask themselves is whether there are any reasons which make it worth their while to submit to a tax on the necessaries of life with a possibility of a rise in price. Excluding the political arguments in favour of com- mercial federation, which have been dealt with by JVIr. Chamberlain and Sir Robert Giffen, the following appear to be worthy of their consideration. 1. The burden of defending the Empire is becoming Jf^P°"f'^u too heavy for the taxpayers of these islands alone. The Coioniai estate duties from which a large part of our revenue is towards now derived, press very hardly on a particular class. Defencl Many families, by their imposition, have been taxed out of their homes. An income tax of nearly five per cent, on the profits of commerce and industry is a great handicap to British trade. The duties on tea and sugar, which are as much necessaries of life for the people as wheaten bread was sixty years ago, are heavy. The rate of excise duties on beer and spirits has probably 135 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. reached the Umit beyond which they cannot be increased with advantage to the revenue. The late Chancellor of the Exchequer has told us that new sources of income must be found. Expenditure on Imperial purposes is growing rapidly ; while for the solution of social problems fresh demands are being constantly made on the public purse. While Colonies are in their infancy their whole resources are needed for their internal development, and it is the duty of the mother country to charge herself with their defence. But our Colonies have now become important self-governing communities, and it appears only reasonable that the Colonial taxpayer should stand shoulder to shoulder with the taxpayer of the mother country, and assume his share of the responsibility for the common defence of the Empire. The more I have studied this question — and from the time when I first discussed it with Mr. Hofmeyr at the Cape in 1887, I think I may claim, with- out giving offence, that few people have had greater opportunities for studying it in all parts of the Empire than myself — the more have I become convinced that the only possible method of securing an adequate contribu- tion to the defence of the Empire from its Colonies and dependencies is through some form of commercial federation. Food supply. 2. Closely connected with the defence of the Empire is the question of our food supply in time of war, to inquire into which a Royal Commission has recently been appointed. In 190] our total imports of wheat, wheat-meal, and flour, were equivalent to 101,000,000 cwt. of wheat, while we grew 28,500,000 cwt. in the United Kingdom. Of the quantity imported, the United States sent us no less than 06,800,000 cwt., 136 PREFERENTIAL TARIFFS. while 19,500,000 cwt. came from British possessions. We are thus dependent on the United States for one- half of the wheat we require for home consumption. A powerful Na\y may give us command of the sea, but in the event of war with the United States, the com- mand of the sea would not ensure the maintenance of our food supply. The United States Government by prohibiting the export of wheat to the United Kingdom — and such a prohibition, if the American people were with their Government in the cause of dispute, would assuredly be effective — could compel us to submit to whatever terms it chose to dictate. Though a war between the two great branches of the English-speaking race is year by year becoming a more remote contingency, and though leading men on both sides of the Atlantic are looking forward to a time when the relations of the two peoples will become closer than they are now, it cannot be forgotten that at the present time we are absolutely at the mercy of the United States, because the quantity of wheat we draw from her is so large that it could not be made good at once from any other source. Such a position is not satisfactory for a great Empire. Since the failure of the Colonial Conference to adopt any arrangement as regards preferential trade, some of the strongest Imperialists in Canada have urged the refusal of any Canadian contribution to Imperial defence (Canada alone of the Colonies has done nothing) until the British people put their food supply on a secure basis. They say, and they say with some justice, ' It is idle for us to contribute to the maintenance of the Imperial Navy when Britain would be forced to make peace within a few weeks of the outbreak of war from fear of star^'ation.' To render our food supply in 137 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. time of war reasonably secure, to enable the British people to enter into an alliance with the American people on equal terms, it is essential that we should not be dependent for our food on any foreign country to such an extent as to render it impossible to make good from other sources the supplies which we draw from that country. From this point of view the larger the amount of foodstuffs we can produce under the British flag, and preferably in the United Kingdom, the greater the equanimity with which we can face the possibility of war. The vital 3. ' In the dechne of agriculture,' said Bismarck, impo nee ^ ^ ^^^ ^^^ greatest danger to our permanence as a race.' p5J)SS Conservatives naturally wish to prevent the policy outlined by Mr. Chamberlain from being represented as protection to a particular industry. But it is on the agricultural industry that the strength of the nation to a great extent depends ; for it is from the agricultural population that the best fighting material, whether for the Army or Navy, is drawn, and that the urban popu- lation is recruited. The ftill in the value of agricultural produce, the large conversions of arable land into pas- ture, the throwing of land out of cultivation, and the consequent diminution in the demand for agricultural labour have driven workmen from the country into the towns in search of employment, competing with the labour already there, and aggravating all the difficulties of the housing problem with which the social reformer is endeavouring to grapple. There is only too much reason for believing that the decline in the agricultural population and the yearly increasing proportion of children bred and brought up under the unhealthy 138 PREFERENTIAL TARIFFS. conditions of town life is having its effect on the stamina of the race. Although the standard for the Army has been reduced to that of a well-grown girl of 16, in Manchester in 1899, 8000 out of 11,000 men who pre- sented themselves for service had to be rejected as physically unfit, while for the three years 1899, 1900, 1901, the percentage fit for service was only 28 per cent. Recent census statistics show that the increase of the population has been checked, while the average family in London is said in three generations to become extinct. If the race in the mother country is physically degenerating and becoming unable to reproduce itself, the decline in the agricultural population has become a most serious national question ; and I believe that JNIr. Chamberlain's policy ought to be considered, and that the people of this country will be prepared to consider it from this as well as from other points of view. I say this because, whenever I have alluded to the subject at the immense number of Liberal meetings which I have addressed in the last three years in the great centres of population in England and Scotland, its importance has been appreciated by my audiences, which have been mainly composed of working men. 4. The future of British manufacturing industries is Unsatisfac- • 1 1 1 i^ j_ j_i J. to*"y position as important as that oi agriculture ; and the tact that of England's during the last ten years of the 19th century the ^^^"^ imports into the United Kingdom increased by over 100 millions sterling per annum, whereas the exports of British produce, apart from the increased value of coal, remained practically stationary, does not indicate a satisfactory condition. That the British manufacturer is being beaten, even in the home market, 139 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. by goods produced in highly protected countries, is attributed to the superior efficiency of the workshop management and the labour of his competitors ; but it is also a proof that free trade is not essential to cheapness of production. Even were the management and the labour as efficient in British workshops as it is represented to be in the United States, it is doubtful whether the British manufacturer can hold his own. The American manufacturer (and the same remark applies to a lesser extent to the German manufacturer) possesses an enormous home market protected by duties well-nigh prohibitive, and through the formation of Trust companies, with their huge aggi-egations of capital under single control, is able to make an enormous profit on goods sold in the home market. In order to spread the general charges of his business and thus increase the profits on the goods sold at home, he sells his sur- plus abroad at a price, not perhaps below the cost of manufacture, but below the cost of production if the goods sold abroad were debited with their full propor- tion of general charges. I beheve that it will become increasingly difficult for the British manufacturer to hold his own under present conditions, and that JNIr. Balfour's warning in the House of Commons was amply justified by the circumstances. Ireland. 5. Lastly, Mr. Chamberlain's proposals ought to be considered from the point of view of Ireland. During the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries the fiscal policy of the United Kingdom was regulated solely in the interests of the people of Great Britain. Irish industries were crushed by restrictive enactments im- posed by the British Parliament in the interest of the British manufacturer, while Irishmen were excluded 140 PREFERENTIAL TARIFFS. from trading with the Colonies in the interest of the British merchant. When Lord North and Mr. Pitt endeavoured to remove the restrictions under which Irish industry and Irish commerce laboured, they were met by a tremendous outcry from Lancashire and some of the principal commercial centres of Great Britain, an outcry which is characterised by the eminent historian, Mr. Lecky, as an ' ebullition of intense com- mercial selfishness.' If we bear in mind that, while during the era of free trade there has been an enormous increase in the commercial prosperity and the material well-being of the people of Great Britain, the popula- tion of Ireland diminished to nearly one-half, it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the British fiscal poHcy of the nineteenth century has been as selfish and as detri- mental to Ireland as was the policy of the centuries which preceded it. On this point the opinion of Mr. Childers, a Liberal statesman and Chairman of the Royal Commission on the Financial Relations between Great Britain and Ireland at the time of his death, is entitled to the greatest respect. In clause 91 of his draft report he says : — ' Ireland, being a country mainly inhabited by agricultural producers, could support its present popu- lation upon the corn and meat produced there without having recourse, under ordinary circumstances, to a foreign supply of those articles, and could at the same time export a surplus of these foodstuffs. The popu- lation of Ireland consumes a rather large amount, in proportion to its wealth, of spirits, tea, and tobacco. This being so, it does not appear that a fiscal system which raises no revenue from foreign foodstuffs, but does raise a rather large revenue from spirits, tea, and 141 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. tobacco, is advantageous to the population of Ireland, although it may be advantageous to the population of the United Kingdom, looked at as a whole. It may even, perhaps, be said that just as Ireland suffered in the last century from the protective and exclusive commercial policy of Great Britain, so she has been at a disadvan- tage in this century from the adoption of an almost unqualified free-trade policy for the United Kingdom.' The above, Sir, are some of the reasons why I believe our fiscal policy should be reconsidered. The principles of free trade, as conceived and as enunciated by Cobden, may be admitted to be sound ; but blind adherence to a travesty of those principles without re- gard to altered conditions may imperil, not only the unity of the Empire, but our very existence as a nation. Mr. Chamberlain is entitled to the respect of even his political opponents for his courage in raising the question, and both he and INIr. Balfour appear to me to deserve the thanks of every Englishman for the manner in which they have placed it before the country. Your obedient Servant, T. A. Brassey. 142 TARIFF REFORM AND THE COTTON INDUSTRY. A Lettei' to the ' Manchester Guardian,' July 25th, 1903. Sir, — I ask your permission to make a few obser- vations on the resolution passed yesterday at the Joint Conference of the Cotton Employers' Parliamentary Association and the United Textile Factory Operatives' Association. The Conference was ' convinced that the great cotton industry of the United Kingdom owes its pre-eminence to and can only be maintained by the pohcy of Free Trade,' and pledged itself ' to oppose any proposals which, by imposing taxes on food or raw materials, and so raising the cost of production and living, will cripple it in its severe struggle to uphold its position in foreign markets.' The present depression in the cotton trade, and the Depression ^ ^ , . in the cotton fact that the mills have had to work short tniie, is trade, mainly due to a shortage in the supply of raw cotton, to some extent perhaps to speculation. It has been foreseen for some time that the development of the cotton manufacturing industry in the immediate neigh- bourhood of the cotton plantations of the Southern States of the Union, where an unlimited supply of black labour is available, might produce the conditions 143 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. with which we are now face to face. If American cotton mills gradually absorb, as I believe they will, the whole of the cotton produced in the United States, the British cotton trade may be ruined by the loss of the main source of supply of its raw material. The considerations which I have set forth above lead, I submit, to the conclusion that a fixed adherence to our existing fiscal policy may be attended with the most disastrous results to the cotton trade. They have, at any rate, had a powerful influence in convincing me that the policy outlined by Mr. Chamberlain deserves the most serious consideration, and that the Tariff Reform League, inaugurated yesterday for the develop- ment and defence of the industrial interests of the British Empire, is deserving of support. Cotton grow- Thosc who bear in mind a particular passage in Mr. ing within the ^, i , • , u • 4-U XT c r^ Empire Chambcrlam s speech m the House or Commons on stimulated. ^^^Y 28th and ignore another which follows are not justified in assuming that a tax on raw materials is a part of INIr. Chamberlain's policy. A tax on rav/ materials which would cripple any industry is totally opposed to its spirit. The cotton trade has nothing to fear on these grounds. On the other hand, it is of vital importance to the future of the industry to ensure an adequate supply of raw cotton. Tentative steps have already been taken to develop new sources of supply in West iVfrica. But much more vigorous action is required to meet the necessities of the case. Cotton can be grown in other parts of Africa, in India, in the West Indies, and in Northern Austraha, and the whole of our supplies of raw cotton might in time be drawn from within the Empire. A bounty on cotton grown in the British Empire and imported into the United Kingdom would 144 THE COTTON INDUSTRY. further this object. All bounties are open to grave objection, but a bounty such as I suggest could be justified on the ground that the cotton industry- accounts for over one-fourth of our export trade, that it gives employment to a large proportion of our population, and that its continued existence is of importance not only to Lancashire, but to the nation. But the cotton trade is not the only industry of Dependence national importance, and cotton is not the only article Britain on for which we are too dependent on the United States, stuff?" ^°^ The decline in agriculture and in our agricultural popu- lation is at least as important from the national point of view, while the extent to which we draw our food supplies from the United States constitutes a national danger. Import duties on corn and other agricultural produce, with a substantial preference in favour of the Colonies, would tend to benefit the British agriculturist, and to make the Empire self-supporting as regards its food supply ; while, judging from the history of prices during the past century, it is quite possible that the imposition of moderate duties might not lead to a rise in the price of food. The industrial progress of Germany and the Consumer United States during the last ten years at any rate producer. shows that protective tariffs are no hindrance to cheapness of production. For the past sixty years the fiscal policy of this country has been governed by the interests of the consumer. No other important country has followed our example. It is therefore pos- sible that our existing policy may be wrong, and that a fiscal policy which would pay some regard to the in- terests of the producer while not ignoring those of the 145 L PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. consumer may be worthy of adoption. In any scheme of tariff reform the cotton industry is entitled to full consideration, but those engaged in it must remember that there are other industries of great, if not of equal, national importance. I am, &c., T. A. Brassey. July 22nd. 146 TARIFF REFORM AND AGRICULTURE. Speech at Catsfield, July 2Sth, 1903. I PROPOSE to make a few observations on two subjects which are of considerable importance to all those engaged in agriculture. First, as regards agricultural co-operation, I would like to take this opportunity of saying to you, many of whom were present at the meeting held in Battle last February, when INIr. Lea- cock, who is here, came down and gave an address, that the committee that was appointed on that occasion did not see their way to make any practical recommen- dations. The committee consisted entirely of large farmers, most of whom were deriving, as individuals, much of the benefit that would accrue from the whole- sale purchase of foodstuffs, manures, or implements. Perhaps the most remarkable incident in our pro- Agricultural ceedings was the fact that one of our members pre- sented, for our consideration, the report of another society carrying on business in another county, of which he himself was a member, and from which, he asserted, he derived considerable benefit. This gentleman was opposed to the starting of an Agricultural Supply Society in Sussex, but yet he was a member of a society in another county, doing exactly the same sort of work which I hoped would have resulted from the establish- 147 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. ment of a similar society in East Sussex. The matter will not be allowed to rest where it stands at present. The County Councils are now permitted by a minute of the Board of Education to make a grant for the purpose of giving instruction in the principles and practice of agricultural co-operation. The Agricultural Organization Society, to the chairmanship of the com- mittee of which I have recently been elected, has received a donation of 100/. to be devoted to this purpose in Sussex. We have asked the Education Committee of the County Council to supplement this donation by a grant of an equivalent amount, and I hope that those of you who are County Councillors, and those of you who are not, will bring pressure to bear to secure this grant. No harm can be done by educa- tion on this question. Meanwhile, I am glad to be able to report to you that the movement is making good progress in other parts of the country, the most noteworthy societies formed during the last few months being the Midland Counties Agricultural Supply Association, which was the outcome of the indignation aroused by the hard- ships imposed on the farming class by a ring of implement makers, and the Farnham Farmers and Hopgrowers' Association. I attended the inaugural meeting of the latter. The original members repre- sented, I was told, a capital of about 200,000/., and these gentlemen proposed in the first instance to buy the kulm for drying their hops by the train-load. Presently they possibly may undertake to deal with their products. Object-lessons on the value of agri- cultural organization are thus accumulating. We are 148 PREFERENTIAL TRADE. slow to move in Sussex, but for that reason, perhaps, we move more surely. To turn to Tariff Reform, which is of even greater Tariff Reform. pubhc interest at the present time. 1 have taken an interest in this question for many years, ever since I had an opportunity of discussing at Cape Town with JMr. Hofmeyr, the head of the Afrikander Bond, the proposals which he had just put before the first Colonial Conference of 1887. It is idle to deny that the reform proposed by Mr. Chamberlain involves a departure from Free Trade principles, from those principles which have governed our fiscal policy for many years past. But I have asked myself for some years whether all of these rest on a really solid basis. The enormous growth of the export trade of Cheapness of Germany and the United States since their adoption of and of food a highly protectionist policy, compared with the com- dependent on parative stagnation of our own, make one doubt the Free Trade. truth of the Free Trade theory, that cheapness of production is dependent on a free trade. Certainly these two countries produce as cheaply as we can. Again, any one who has studied the prices of wheat during the nineteenth century, must admit that the history of those prices tends to disprove another great theory of the free traders, namely, that cheap food depends on free trade. The price of wheat touched as high or higher prices in the twenty-five years after the introduction of free trade, and fluctua- tions in price were as gi'eat in those twenty-five years as they were in the twenty-five years before the intro- duction of Free Trade. I have in my hand a letter from a gentleman, not known, perhaps, to many of you, 149 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Grounds for Mr. Cham- berlain's action. but well known in the co-operative world, who has taken all his life a gi-eat part in promoting the welfare of his fellow-countrymen, and no apology is needed for reading a few extracts from his letter.* The fall in prices, which hit all those interested in land so heavily, landlords, farmers, and labourers alike, did not take place till thirty years after the introduction of Free Trade, and was mainly due to the cheapening of the cost of transportation, which brought the virgin lands of new countries into close proximity to the markets near at home. I therefore assert that neither cheapness of pro- duction nor cheap food are absolutely, and perhaps not even mainly, dependent on free trade. Now, Mr. Chamberlain's reform of our fiscal policy is put forward for three main reasons. One of those is of especial interest to you, but the others are not. Still, it is worth while that I should mention them here. The first is retaliation. The immediate cause of Mr. Chamberlain's action, I take it, was the treatment of Canada by Germany. In 1897, Canada gave a preference to the goods of the mother country, as well as of those colonies and foreign countries which admitted Canadian goods free, or practically free. Germany, in consequence, excluded Canada from the most favoured nation treatment. I will read to you what I^ord Lansdowne says on this point in a dispatch published in the Parhamentary papers just issued. ' Tliat action,' says Lord Lansdowne, ' has in- contestably had the effect of bringing about the loss by Canada of the relatively advantageous position which she occupied prior to 1897, a loss which she has sus- tained not because she had imposed upon German * Cf. page 157. 150 PREFERENTIAL TRADE. imports custom duties exceeding those to which they were previously subject, nor because she had treated Germany differently from other foreign countries with whom she had commercial relations, but because Canada had refused to extend to Germany a special concession made by her to the mother country, in pursuance of a policy deliberately adopted for the purpose of pro- moting the national trade of the British Empire.' Canada replied to Germany's action by imposing a special penalty on German goods. The German Government, in their dispatch of June 29th, announced : ' That if other British self-governing Colonies should follow the example of Canada, and accord national treatment to British imports, the German Government might find themselves compelled to refuse not only to those Colonies, but to Great Britain herself, the treat- ment which, in view of the liberal terms upon which German imports are admitted to this country, we are entitled to expect upon the most ordinary grounds of reciprocity.' I think, gentlemen, you will agi-ee with what I understand to be the general opinion of the country, that the threatened action of Germany with reference to Canada, and the threatened action of Germany with respect to ourselves, constitute amply sufficient grounds to justify a departure from our existing fiscal policy. The next ground on which the reform in our fiscal Development ,., ••Ill Pi°^ American policy deserves attention is the development oi the and German American trusts and the German trade combinations. These trusts and trade combinations, owing to the high protective duties, are enabled to make a large profit on the goods they sell in the home market, and then, in order to spread the general charges on their business, 151 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. they sell their surplus abroad at or below the cost of production. In the debate in the House of Lords, Lord Lansdowne quoted figures showing that a German trade combination sold its production in the home market at 120 marks a ton, and sold its surplus abroad at 85 marks a ton. Against competition of this character, which is justly described as unfair competi- tion, I hold the opinion, rightly or \\Tongly, that it is well-nigh impossible, at any rate it is exceedingly difficult, for British industry to hold its own on a pure free trade basis. Preferential Now wc comc to the third ffrouud on which reform trade within . n i t Empire. m our fiscal policy is urged, to promote preferential trade within the Empire. In a paper read before the Colonial Institute, in November of last year, when I had not the remotest idea that this question would soon become one of practical politics, I showed what is in fact obvious, that a commercial federation which did not impose a tax on Russian and American wheat for the benefit of the Canadian wheat-grower, and on meat for the benefit of the Australian and New Zealander, would have been of little value to the Colonies. INIr. Chamberlain, in his celebrated speech in the House of Commons on May 29th, frankly acknowledged that preference must be given either on food or on raw materials, or on both. He then went on to say that ' so far as I can see it will not be necessary to impose any tax on raw materials.' A tax on raw material, which would cripple any British industry, is totally opposed to the spirit of INlr. Chamberlain's policy, and if it was ever con- templated by him, as it was by me, then I can confidently assert that it is not contemplated by him any longer. What is Mr. Chamberlain's policy ? It is to impose a 152 PREFERENTIAL TRADE. moderate tax on foreign foodstuffs imported into this country, with a preference in favour of the Colonies. That makes a present to his opponents of the splendid election cry, ' The dear loaf.' To those who suspect Mr. Chamberlain of ulterior motives of some kind or other in having raised this question, I reply no statesman would make his opponents a present of such a splendid election cry unless he was prepared to hazard his own political position for what he believed to be the true policy in the best interests of his country. There is no one who has been in the past a more vigorous opponent of Mr. Chamberlain than I have been, but I would like to give him the credit due to him for the courageous position he has taken up on this question. Mr. Chamberlain has gone into no details, he has submitted no plan, but is wisely awaiting the results of the inquiry and discussion which is now so vigorously proceeding in various parts of the country. I will venture to make three suggestions or obser- ^^JJ^g^*-^ vations as to what I believe the character of the duties imposed should be. The tax on foodstuffs must not be confined to corn. If only corn is taxed, you will only benefit one class of British farmer, and you will not give any preference worth having to the Australian or New Zealander. As in the corn duty now abolished, the tax on flour should be higher than the tax on corn, otherwise you will not restore the milling business to this country, and you will not have a supply of cheap offal. Thirdly, the agi'icultural produce of the Colonies should not be admitted free, as has been so frequently assumed in the course of this discussion. All agricul- tural produce should be taxed, with a preference in favour of those Colonies who give a preference to the 153 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. goods of the mother country in their markets. If Colonial produce is admitted free you would not in the long run benefit British agriculture, and you would have nothing in hand with which to negotiate with the Colonies for the lowering of their duties against British produce. Cost of It is naturally the object of Mr. Chamberlain's living. *' "^ opponents to concentrate public attention on the pro- posal to tax foodstuffs, and they freely assert that his policy will result in raising the cost of living. Mr. Chamberlain has declared in the most express terms that the cost of living will not be increased for the people of this country unless the people themselves wish it. He is prepared to do one of two things : to use the revenue derived from the duties imposed on corn and meat or other agricultural produce to reduce the duties to even a greater extent on tea, sugar, coffee, and so forth. If this is done, the cost of living will not be increased. Or, if the people so prefer it, he is willing to utilise the money derived from these additional duties for the purpose of providing old age pensions. Mr. Chamberlain is constantly misrepresented. I ask you to bear in mind exactly what JNIr. Chamberlain has said, and to examine his proposals carefully for your- selves. I repeat now what I said at Battle during the recent election. I look upon tea and sugar as being as much necessaries of life as wheateii bread was sixty years ago, and if we are to raise any revenue from indirect taxation, as I beUeve we must, it is better to raise it upon an article we can produce in this country rather than on things we cannot. In the former case we, at any rate, derive an indirect benefit from the encouragement of an important industry 154 DECLINE OF AGRICULTURE. and the additional employment afforded to British workmen. The decision which the British people have to take importance on this question is a most momentous one for the ° ^ future of the Empire. I would not support this pro- posal on Imperial grounds alone, though I beUeve unless we do we shall lose Canada, and by-and-by our other Colonies as well. It is we in this country who have to run the risk of the adoption of this policy, and I agree with the Duke of Devonshire that it must be judged mainly from the point of view of the people of this country. From our point of view there are three things to be considered. I have already spoken of one, the danger to British industry from the development of the American trusts and the German trade combination. Another consideration which has had a most Food supply. powerful influence in bringing me to my present opinion is the danger to which we are exposed in depending to such a large extent on the United States for our supply of food. I believe that it is true to say, as I have said on other occasions, that we are absolutely at the mercy of the United States as regards our food supply, and that is a position which no great Empire ought ever to be in. To turn to the question which most concerns you — Decline of the decline of British agriculture. What has that meant ""^"^ ^^' in East Sussex during the years which I can remember ? It has meant, as regards the landowners, that many properties have been sold and others let. Few persons depending entirely on the land are living in the homes they resided in when 1 was a boy. JNIany farmers have lost their capital in the struggle against the bad 155 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. times we have had. It means that few farmers are occupying the same farms they were occupying in my young days. And what has it meant as regards the labourer ? The labouring classes are probably in a better position to-day than ever they were, but how many labourers have had to leave Sussex in the last thirty years in search of employment ? I remember, it is not so many years ago — about fifteen — that the lake at Normanhurst was made by my father, chiefly to give employment to the men who were out of work. When you are thinking of the condition of the labourer to-day, remember that many a lad has had to leave this neighbourhood to earn a livelihood elsewhere. The decline of our agricultural population is not merely a question of local interest. It is one of the most serious national importance, because the increasing proportion of children which year by year are brought up under the unhealthy conditions of town life is be- ginning to have its effect on the physique of the people and the stamina of the race. One of the greatest, if not the greatest, statesmen of last century said : ' I look upon the decline in agriculture as the greatest danger to our permanence as a race.' It is in my humble judgment one of the strongest arguments in favour of the policy outlined by JNIr. Chamberlain that it will tend to stop this decline, and for this, if for no other reason, I think you will agree with me. I beg to give you the health of ' The Tenant Farmers of East Sussex.' 156 WHEAT PRICES. The letter referred to on page 150 was reprinted in the Times of July 30th :— ' 35 Upper Addison Gardens^ Kensington^ W. 'July9Ast, 1903. ' Dear Mr. Brassey, ' I was very glad to see your name appended in to- day's Times to the letter headed " Liberals and Fiscal Policy," in which, having called myself all my life a Liberal and something more, I entirely concur. ' When quite a young man I was a member of the Anti-Corn- Law League. I knew several of its leaders, and remained on friendly terms during all his life with John Bright. 'But I separated from the League on the question of the equalisation of the sugar duties, which, having stayed twice (for seven months each time) in the West Indies, I knew to be abso- lutely cruel to our sugar-producing Colonies. In fact, it is only now, after half a century, that they are recovering from the blow. ' I own I was startled by Mr. Chamberlain's throwing out the idea of an impost on corn. But, on looking at the table in Whitaker's Almanack of the " Average Prices of Wheat," &:c., a quarter (which unfortunately does not come below 1865), I have been surprised to find that while the average of the seventeen years since 1845 shows a reduction of rather more than %s. a bushel compared with the seventeen years before, there has been nothing of the stability of price which was looked forward to by us Corn- Law repealers, the figures of the post-repeal years frequently rising above those of the pre-repeal years, and vice versa. 'Thus the highest post-repeal prices, 74.9. 8^. (1850) and 72*. Sd. (1854), are actually higher than the one price in the seventeen years which exceeds 70*., 70.?. Sd. for 1839 being the lowest for this period ; whilst the lowest post-repeal price, 38*. Qd. in 1851, is not much lower than the pre-repeal lowest, 39*. 4J. in 1835. (Note that whilst the 70."?. 8f/. of 1839 was the only instance in the pre-repeal gToup of a rise above 70.9., the post-repeal one has two such instances.) I find myself thus compelled to admit, much against my will, that as respects stability of price, the repeal of the Corn Laws has, so far as I can judge, quite baffled my expecta- 157 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. tions. It is, of course, possible that, had I access to figui'es of" later date than 1862, the result might be modified. ' But it seems to me quite possible that, even as respects bread- stuffs, the result of imposing a slight duty on foreign imports, with free admission to colonials, might be slighter than Mr. Chamberlain himself expects, and after the lapse of a few years become imperceptible. ' Very faithfully yours, 'J. M. LUDLOW.^ Mr. Brassey adds the following note : — ' Between 1865 and 1880 the price of British wheat fluctuated considerably. In 1865 it was 41*. lOd. ; in 1867, 64*. 5d. ; in 1870, 46.?. Ud. ; in 1873, 58*. 8d. ; in 1875, 45*. 2fZ. ; in 1877, 56*. 9d. ; in 1880, 44*. 4>d. Diu"ing the next ten years it fell gradually to 29*. dd. in 1889. During the last twelve years it has fluctuated from 37*. in 1891 to 22*. 10(Z. in 1894, 34*. in 1898, and 25*. 8d. in 1899.' 158 CANADA. In August, 1903, Mr. Brassey attended, as a Delegate of the London Chamber, the great Congress of Chambers of Commerce of the Empire at Montreal, over which Lord Brassey presided. The first resolution, which was unanimously passed with great enthu- siasm, after it had been modified to meet the objections of the French Canadian Delegates, ran as follows : — 'That this Congress hereby affirms the principle that it is the duty of the self-governing Colonies to participate in the cost of defence of the Empire, but the Colonies claim the privilege of keeping their own initiative as to the nature and mode of help which they may agree to offer."' The interest of the Congress was mainly concentrated on the question of Preferential Trade within the Empire. After two days' discussion, the following resolution was unanimously agreed to:— ' It is resolved that in the opinion of this Congress the bonds of the British Empire will be materially strengthened, and a union of the various parts of His Majesty's Dominions greatly consolidated, by the adoption of a commercial policy based upon the principle of mutual benefit, whereby each component part of the Empire would receive a substantial advantage in trade as the result of its national relationship, due consideration being given to the fiscal and indus- trial needs of the component parts of the Empire. ' That this Congi'ess urges upon His Majesty's Government the appointment by them of a special Commission, composed of repre- sentatives of Great Britain and her Colonies and India, to consider the possibility of thus increasing and strengthening the trade relations between the different parts of the Empire, and the trading facilities within the Empire and with foreign countries.' 159 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. At the close of the debate, Mr. Brassey made the following speech : — At Fifth Congress of Chamhers of Commerce of the Empire, Montreal, August 1903. , My Lords and Gentlemen, — I am exceedingly obliged for the kind permission you have accorded me to make a few remarks before the close of this important debate. I felt bound to refuse to second this resolution on behalf of the London Chamber out of regard for my father, with whom un- fortunately I do not see eye to eye on the question now before the Congress. I regret that I had to do so the more now that the discussion is coming to a close, because I am as strong as any Canadian in the con- viction that some reform in the fiscal policy of the United Kingdom is necessary ; and, in the second place, because I feel that some of the most important argu- ments which might be adduced in favour of a change of policy have barely been alluded to, and others have not even been touched upon in the course of the dis- cussion. I will pass over the decline of the agricultural population in the mother country, and the effect that this is having upon the physique and stamina of the race. I will pass over all that is meant by the fact that during the last ten years of the nineteenth century the balance of imports over exports in the United Kingdom has practically doubled ; but I would ask to say a word with regard to Ireland. During the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, the fiscal policy of the United Kingdom was mainly governed by the interests of the people of Great Britain. During the era of Free Trade, 160 THE MONTREAL CONGRESS. while there was an immense advance in the commercial prosperity of Great Britain until the last years of the century, the population of Ireland diminished to one- half. Mr. Childers, a great Liberal statesman, and Chairman of the Financial Relations Commission at the time of his death, was of the opinion that how- ever beneficial the policy of Free Trade might liave been to the people of Great Britain, it was not so as regards Ireland. I believe that when we are consider- ing this great question, we ought not to forget the people of Ireland. To turn to the resolution and the amendment. I sincerely trust that a solution will be found which will enable this resolution to be carried unanimously. It is possible that some of the English delegates may feel that by assenting to the resolution they may be strain- ing the letter of their instructions. I would ask them to consider whether they will be straining their spirit. In my judgment the situation has been profoundly modified from that existing at the time when we received our instructions, by the resolution passed on Monday last. That resolution recognised the duty of the Colonies to participate in the defence of the Empire. But let me observe in parenthesis that we advocates of Imperial Federation in the mother country do not expect any substantial contribution from the Colonies until we are prepared to give them a voice in the control of Imperial expenditure and Imperial policy. That resolution was adopted unanimously through a con- siderable sacrifice of opinion on the part of some of our Colonial colleagues. Are we Enghsh delegates to make no sacrifice in return ? If we refuse to give any con- sideration to that policy which our Colonial colleagues 161 M PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. have so much at heart, this Congress will end in failure ; if, on the other hand, a solution can be found agreeable both to the supporters of the resolution and of the amendment, this CongTess will end as it began, with a most important step in the direction of Imperial unity, a desire for which has been so common a feature in our discussions, and a cause to which some of us, at any rate, have devoted and intend to devote the best energies of our Uves. The following addi-ess was given at the reception to the Canadian Manufacturers' Association in the Parliament Buildings at Toronto on September 16th, 1903 : — I hope that the members of the Canadian Manu- facturers' Association will not judge me too harshly if I discuss the Imperial Trade question from the British rather than the Canadian standpoint, and that I may be allowed to make a few preliminaiy remarks on the subject of Imperial Federation. Imperial It is sixtccu ycars ago since I first became associated with Dr. Parkin, in the advocacy of Imperial Federa- tion, After travelling through the length and breadth of the British Empire, I came to the conclusion that the Empire could only remain united by the recognition of two principles — first, that every part of the Empire has a right to manage its own internal affairs ; and, second, that each part has the right to a voice in the control of Imperial expenditure and Imperial policy, subject to the condition that it bears its fair share of Imperial burdens. For some years I have thought that the burden of defending the Empire was becoming too heavy for the taxpayers of tlie mother country alone. Russia, Ger- 162 Federation. CA^^ADIAN MANUFACTURERS. many, France, and the United States — rival nations — have all been bending their efforts to build up their naval strength. England must keep pace with them or lose the command of the sea. To provide funds for the increase of the Navy, additional taxation has been imposed. The estate duties, for instance, imposed by Sir William Harcourt, press very heavily on a par- ticular class. JNIany people have been taxed out of their homes. The maintenance of the British Navy is of the greatest importance to Canada ; for if the com- mand of the sea be lost she could not, in time of war, send her 125,000,000 dollars' worth of exports to the mother country. Is it not fair, then, that she should contribute to its support ? We in the mother country do not expect Canada, however, to contribute to the support of the Navy till she is given a voice in the control of Imperial affairs. To provide for Colonial representation under our present constitutional arrange- ments is very difficult, if not impossible. AVhile every Canadian is subject to three Legislatures — the Provin- cial Parliament, the Dominion Parliament, and the Imperial Parhament, in which at present he is not represented, we in the old country have only one Parliament to deal with the business of the Empire, questions affecting the United Kingdom as a whole — such as would be dealt with in Canada by the Dominion Parliament — and the special interests of England, Wales, Scotland, and Ireland, which here would be under the control of your Provincial Parliaments. It is admitted on all hands that Parliamentary government is breaking down beneath the load. Our task, therefore, is to rid the Imperial Parliament of all local business by the establishment of subordinate legislatures in the several 163 Reform. PROBLEMS OF EIMPIRE. countries of the United Kingdom, and when that is done, the way will be clear for Colonial representation. Other parts of the Empire, too, have each their par- ticular task to perform before they will be in a position to consider any practical proposal for Imperial Federa- tion. Austraha has to get her Federal Constitution into working order, and South Africa has to federate her own Provinces. Meanwhile you Canadians, who already possess a Federal Constitution such as I desire to see established in the United Kingdom, can devote your efforts to building up your own country. Tariff To tuHi to the qucstiou in which we are more im- mediately interested, the policy put before the country by Mr. Chamberlain. This question may be regarded from two aspects. In the first place, there is the stand- point of retaliation — or, in other words, the necessity of preventing Great Britain from becoming the dumping- ground for American and German manufactures. I do not think there will be much dispute as to the necessity of taking steps to meet this evil. Second, there is the question of preferential trade within the Empire, and here I get on more difficult ground. It would, of course, be idle to discuss any scheme for an Imperial preferential tariff unless the people of the old country are prepared to put a tax on foreign wheat and meat, for the benefit of Canadian and Australian producers. Mr. Chamberlain's policy aims to do this, and at the same time not to increase the cost of living to the people. He proposes to substitute for taxes on commodities which the old country cannot produce — such as tea, coffee, &c. — taxes on wheat and other agricultural products which she can herself raise. The result, he believes, will be an equal amount of 164 CANADIAN MANUFACTURERS. re\'enue without increasing the burden on the consumer. One effect of Mr. Chamberlain's pohcy will be to divert the stream of emigi'ation into the Colonies from the United States or the Argentine Republic. What, Mr. Ross, would have been the population of Canada to- day if that policy had been inaugurated twenty years ago ? Mr. Ross : Twenty millions. Mr. Brassey : Yes, sir, I believe you are right. Will not your population increase much faster in the next ten years if this policy is adopted than if it is not ? I come now to the thorny part of my subject. If this policy is to be carried through, we who are advo- cating it at home will have to give a good answer to those who will ask us : What are the Colonies going to give in return for the benefits they receive from the imposition of the tax on food-stuffs ? Two answers can be given. The first is contained in a resolution, intro- duced by Mr. George E. Drummond at the Congress of Chambers of Commerce at IMontreal, to the effect that it was the duty of the Colonies to participate in the defence of the Empire. I ask those Canadians who are clamouring for us to send you our capital and the best of our workpeople for the development of Canadian industries to remember that, if the Colonial and British taxpayers stood shoulder to shoulder, sharing the burdens of Imperial defence, it would not matter, from an Imperial point of view, where a cotton mill existed, whether in Toronto or Manchester. But as long as nearly the whole burden fiills on the profits of the British mill, it is not to the interest of the British tax- payer that the mill in JNIanchester should be closed by the estabhshment of the mill in Toronto. For the 165 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. reason already given we cannot now expect the Colonies to make any substantial direct contribution in money to the defence of the Empire. The The second answer to the question is that the Canadian r^ ^ • -, • nf^ • Preference. Colomcs are prepared to give an etiective preierence in their own markets to the products of the mother country. To-night your Premier, Mr. Ross, spoke of the desire that the sentiment in favour of the ' JNIade in Canada ' policy should prevail, and that it should be your ambition to supply the wants of the Canadian market. Here is where the difficulty lies. Now, if this is the desire of the Canadian manufac- turers, and the Canadian Government should wish to cany out that desire at the expense of the manufacturer in the mother country, then, in my opinion, there is no basis for a policy of preferential trade within the Empire. The justification for a tax on food-stuffs is that the Colonies will take a larger proportion than they do now of British products. You import at present from the United States and other countries 18,000,000/. worth of goods. 18,000,000/. is not a very large amount in a total export trade of 350,000,000/. Unless the mother country is able to secure a large portion of the trade you now carry on with foreign countries, as well as supply to a considerable extent the needs of the great population which is bound to be created by the adoption of an Imperial preference, there is really no solid answer to the question, ' What will the Colonies do in return ? ' This view and the view of the Canadian manufac- turers may appear to be diametrically opposed. I believe, however, that a solution will be arrived at as a result of mutual concessions and the free interchange of opinions. Nothing has struck me more forcibly in 166 CANADIAN MANUFACTURERS. my tour through Canada than the friendly feeling towards the mother country. Sentiment, however, is not everything. A large number of people are pouring into the North-west who are not of British origin. They are satisfied with Canadian institutions, but there is no reason why they should be loyal to the British connection. It is vital to the future unity of the Empire that these farmers should realise that there is a material benefit from living under the British flag, and this is only to be brought about by such a policy as Mr. Chamberlain's. My remarks may not meet with the approval of many here, but I offer them for your serious considera- tion. I beUeve that the unity of the Empire will be preserved, and Mr. Chamberlain's policy can be carried out by a free and honest exchange of opinion between the mother country and the Colonies. No one who has travelled as I have through Canada this fall can go home with any other conviction than that the prospects of Canadian development are sufficient to afford room for both the Canadian and British manufacturers. 167 CANADA ^ PREFERENTIAL TRADE. Rye, October 10th, 1903. Recent In coming before such a gathering as this, a gather- Liberal ing representing a party to which I have hitherto ^' been pohtically opposed, you will, I trust, permit me to say a few words more or less of a personal character, explaining the reason why I find it necessary to change my political allegiance. My political faith was inspired by Lord Rosebery. Having had unrivalled opportunities of seeing the various parts of the British Empire, I set out on my pohtical career with the determination to do what in me lay to promote the unity of that great empire. Lord Rosebery 's speeches in the eighties did much to prepare the way for the work which Mr. Chamber- lain has been able to do in the nineties. Ever since the retirement of Mr. Gladstone, whose leadership was un- questioned, the Liberal Party has been torn by divisions. One section, that led by Sir Wilham Harcourt, by Mr. Morley, and later by Sir Henry Campbell- Bannerman, has always been looking to the past. They have been repelled by the growth of the Empire, dismayed at the growth of our Imperial responsibilities, and attributed the neglect of social and domestic reform to what is described by that somewhat vague word, 1G8 PREFERENTIAL TRADE. ' Imperialism.' I think those of you who know me are aware that my sympathies were not with that section of the party. The divisions to which I have alluded came to a head during the South African War. I went through South Africa in the two months before the war broke out — August and September, 1899 — and can tell you of my own knowledge that the Boers went to war trusting in two things : first, in foreign intervention, and, secondly, in a change of Government in this country. The British Navy made foreign intervention impossible. But there is not the remotest doubt that the Boers were induced to prolong the struggle by speeches dehvered in this country by Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman and his friends. Even if the question of Tariff Reform had never been raised, I could never have forgiven Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman for his ' ^lethods of bar- barism.' Our worst enemies were not the Boers in the field, but they were the men, the members of the Liberal Party in this country, who were making speeches such as those to which I have alluded. Lord Rosebery, Sir Edward Grey, Mr. Asquith, and others of the Liberal Party, did their best to counteract the pernicious influence exercised by Sir Henry Campbell- Bannerman and those who thought with him. I endeavoured to do my little part as a member of the Committee of the National I^iberal Federation; and I may perhaps be pardoned for mentioning the grounds on which I resigned my seat on the Committee of the Federation last year, I took that step because, in the first place, I beheved the resolution on the war which was going to be put at the annual gathering of the Federation would have an injurious effect on 169 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. the prospects of peace, which were never brighter than at that moment ; secondly, because I was convinced that to make Home Rule for Ireland alone one of the chief planks of the party platform was to renew an attempt which the experience of 1893 had proved to be futile, and a fatal mistake from a party point of view. Mr. Cham- We now comc to INIr. Chamberlain's speech of Speech on ^^^y 15th. What was the attitude of the Liberal Ss/^*^' leader when the question was first raised in the country ? Lord Rosebery, speaking at Burnley, used the following words : — ' We could not hastily reject without mature consideration any plan, offered on high authority and based on large experience, for really cementing and uniting the British Empire. Their Chamber of Commerce would have to con- sider that matter. Apart from the blast of party passion or personal prejudice, it would have to be considered whether there was any practical scheme possible for having a reciprocal tariff with the Colonies which would have the effect that was ex- pected, and which would be workable. It would have to be considered whether the people of this country could be brought to agi'ee to a system which would satisfy the British dependencies.' That was the proper attitude of mind with which to regard the great question put before the country by Mr. Chamberlain, but it did not commend itself to party managers. The tempta- tion to make political capital out of that question was irresistible to a party so divided and so impotent as the I^iberal Party had been for many years. Lord Rose- bery 's two principal lieutenants, Sir Edward Grey and JNIr. Asquith, were already uncompromisingly com- 170 PREFERENTIAL TRADE. mitted to Free Trade. Lord Rosebery was not strong enough to resist the influence brought to bear on him, and to my eternal regret, two days after the speech at Burnley, appeared that letter in which Lord Rosebery absolutely dissociated himself from Mr. Chamberlain's policy. I have been a Liberal Imperialist all my life up till now. But Liberal Imperialism, as I understand it, is dead. The Liberal Party, by placing their party before the country, is now united. If they persist in their present course, and if their present course is successful, it will end, in my judgment, in the dismemberment, sooner or later, of the British Empire. Holding that conviction, I have made up my mind that it is time for me to change my political allegiance. I might have been a more successful poli- tician if I had been willing to subordinate my country to my party. I have always placed my country before my party, and I can assure you that now I have changed my political allegiance, it will always be in the future as it has been in the past. To turn to the great question of the moment, the Tariff reforms in our Fiscal policy put before the country by Mr. Chamberlain and Mr. Balfour. I freely admit that the principles of Free Trade as enunciated by ]Mr. Cobden are perfectly sound. I admit that those principles are as sound to-day as they were sixty years ago when emmciated by Cobden. But let us remember, as the Duke of Devonshire pointed out in the House of Lords, we have not got Free Trade, and we never have had Free Trade. The policy under which we have been living for sixty years is one of Free Imports. I am prepared to admit that a policy of free imports was sound for this country at the time it was intro- 171 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. duced, and for many years afterwards. But I do not believe it is a sound policy for this country to-day. The conditions have absolutely changed, and the reason that has had more influence, perhaps, than any other in making me change my opinion is the enormous industrial progress during the last twenty, and more especially during the last ten years, of France, Germany, and the United States since they adopted a more highly Protectionist policy, as compared with the relative stagnation in our own case. Policy of the Mr. Balfour asks for power to deal with the hostile tariffs at present imposed upon the products of this country by foreign countries. That, possibly, is as far as this country was prepared to go at the beginning of last week. But since the speech de- livered by My. Chamberlain at Glasgow on Tuesday last, followed by that which he delivered at Greenock, T am not at all sure that the country is not pre- pared to go a little further. I am in favour of JNIr. Balfour's policy, but I have even a greater feeling in favour of the policy advocated by JVIr. Chamberlain. Mr. Balfour's policy by itself is of no value to agri- culture. It will not tend to check the decline of our agricultural population. It will not tend to make the Empire more self-supporting with regard to its food supply — we should be in great danger from that point of view if we were ever invoh ed in war with a foreign Power — and it will not tend to the consolidation of the Empire. I support Mr. Balfour's policy in the interests of the manufacturing districts of the country. But as an Imperialist, and as the would-be representative of an agricultural con- stituency, I support the policy of Mr. Chamberlain 172 CANADIAN PREFERENCE. because I believe it would tend, though perhaps not to the extent that we all hope, to diminish the decline of our agricultural population ; and because I am satisfied, for reasons which I will give before I sit down, that it must certainly tend to the consolidation of the Empire. JNIr. Asquith, in his speech at Cinderford on October ■^griaki''s"" 8th, referred to Mr. Chamberlain's assertion that unless Policy. we were prepared to establish preferential tariffs the future of the Empire would be jeopardised . as an assertion we are asked to accept and act on without a shadow of proof or a scintilla of evidence. I will give you my own reason for making the same assertion as My. Chamberlain. There has been for the last two or three years a very large influx of farmers from the United States into the north-west of Canada. I have been afraid that that influx might lead to a demand for reciprocity with the United States, and if reci- procity were once established, political union with the United States would soon follow. But there is an even greater justification for this opinion. Canada was the first of our Colonies to institute the policy of pre- ferential trade. In the year 1897 Canada gave to British products in the Canadian markets a preference of twenty- five per cent., subsequently increased to thirty-three per cent. What took place last year at the Conference of Colonial Premiers from our self-governing Colonies all over the world ? It was unanimously resolved, on the motion of Canada, ' that the principle of preferential trading would, by promoting the development of the resources and industries of the several parts, strengthen the Empire ; that it was desirable that those Colonies v\rhich had not already adopted such a policy should, 173 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. as far as their circumstances admitted, give substantial preferential treatment to the products and manufactures of the United Kingdom ; and that the Prime INIinisters of the Colonies respectfully urge upon His Majesty's Government the expediency of gi-anting to the products and manufactures of the Colonies either exemption from or reduction of duties now levied or hereinafter to be imposed.' In the Dominion House of Commons on April 10th of this year, ^Ir. Fielding, the well-known Canadian Minister of Finance, said that if the British Government and people did not show any appreciation of the value of the preference, then, so far as the British Government and people were concerned, they could not complain if the Canadians saw fit to modify or change their preferential tariff. JNIr. Fielding then went on to speak of the growth of opinion in the United States in favour of reciprocity with Canada, and he said the Canadian Government had actually been approached by an authorised representative of the United States with the view of negotiating a treaty of reciprocity. I think you will reahse in the facts I have just mentioned that there is ample justi- fication for the declaration that on the adoption or otherwise of a system of preferential trade with the Colonies largely depends the future unity of the Empire. The Congress During my rcccnt visit to Canada I obtained infor- mation of some importance in connection with the con- troversy. It has been freely asserted by those opposed to the policy of Mr. Chamberlain and Mr. Balfour tliat tlie Colonies do not want preferential trade. I can show you that this assertion is not true as regards Canada. First, the proceedings of the great Congress 174 at Montreal. THE MONTREAL CONGRESS. of the Chambers of Commerce of the Empire, held at Montreal, over which my father had the honour to preside, were characterised by extreme loyalty to the Imperial connection. Resolutions were in almost every case unanimously passed. I wish to call attention to two of these. The first ran as follows : ' That this Congress affirms the principle that it is the duty of the Colonies to participate in the defence of the Empire.' That resolution was opposed in the first instance by the French- Canadians present, but after the addition of a few words to the end of the resolution, the Colonies having their own initiative in the matter, the French- Canadians were induced to support the resolution. That resolution was of extreme significance, because it was the first time the French-Canadians had recognised that it was the duty of Canada to take part in the general defence of the Empire. The fact that this was recognised, not only by the French-Canadians, but by the representatives of all the Colonies present, had very considerable weight with the British delegates in inducing them to meet the views of their Colonial colleagues when the question of Preferential Trade came under discussion. This was discussed for two days, and the following resolution was passed: 'That, in the opinion of this Congress, the bonds of the British Empire would be materially strengthened, and a union of the various parts of His Majesty's dominions greatly consolidated, by the adoption of a policy based upon the principle of mutual benefit, ^vhereby each component part of the Empire would receive a substantial advantage in trade as the result of its national relationship.' The Colonial delegates would have desired a stronger resolution. The British delegates had in many cases— certainly in 175 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Canada as a source of wheat supply. that of the more important Chambers of Commerce — received instructions not to commit their Chambers to the poHcy advocated by JMr. Chamberlain. It is exceedingly significant that after the interchange of opinion which had taken place the Colonial delegates were willing to modify their views to meet their British colleagues, and that the British delegates were willing to commit themselves to the opinion that the union of the various parts of His Majesty's dominions would be greatly consoHdated by the adoption of a commercial pohcy based upon the principle of mutual benefit. Mr. Chamberlain's policy has been put forward as a means of consolidating the Empire. That policy at present is supported in principle at any rate, if not in detail, by the representatives of the Chambers of Commerce of the Empire, many of whom went to that Congress as Free Traders. Then from ^lontreal I went to Winnipeg, the capital of the north-west of Canada, to ascertain whether the north-west of Canada was capable, as is so freely asserted, of producing all the wheat required in the United Kingdom. At a moderate estimate, there are at least 125,000,000 acres in the north-west of Canada suitable for agricultural purposes. There are under wheat to-day some 3,000,000 acres out of a total of 4,800,000 acres under cultivation. It is estimated that the surplus available for export ft'om Manitoba is some 40,000,000 bushels. The require- ments of the United Kingdom by imports amount to 200,000,000 bushels. Therefore Canada — Manitoba and the North- West — is producing to-day about one- fifth of the wheat the United Kingdom requires. The acreage necessary to produce that quantity, allowing 17G THE CANADIAN NORTH-WEST. for the existing proportion under other crops, is only one-fifth of the estimated area of arable land in the north-west of Canada. Therefore there is not the sUghtest question that the ideal of making the Empire self-supporting as to its food supply could be realised, as far as wheat is concerned, from Canada alone. The next question I wished to inquire into was An effective as to what would be an effective preference for the Canadian farmer as compared with the farmer in the United States or in the Argentine Republic ? I was informed by one of the leading grain merchants in Winnipeg, who was good enough to draw up a memorandum for me on the subject, that three cents a bushel, or one shilling a quarter, would be a fairly effective preference for the Canadian farmer, but that six cents a bushel, or two shillings a quarter, would be much better. You will gather, therefore, that IMr. Chamberlain's preference of two shillings a quarter would be adequate to secure the object in view. That is a point of very considerable importance on which many Tariff Reformers have had great doubts. The third point into which I wished to inquire The Ameri- was as to whether the fears to which I have alluded ^^°^" "^' with regard to the influx of American settlers were justified. I gathered from those whom I met that the American farmers — the farmers from the United States who settled in Canada — became satisfied with Canadian institutions, and were loyal to Canada, but there was no reason why they should be loyal to the connection with this country. With the British settlers and their descendants the tie of sentiment is strong. There is no such tie of sentiment in the case of those 177 N PROBLEMS OF ExAIPIRE. who come from the United States, and if we want to make these loyal to the British connection we shall have to substitute the tie of interest for the tie of sentiment, and make it more worth their while to grow wheat under the British flag than under that of the United States. Canadian From Winnipeg I came back to Toronto, having turers.^^ bccu iuvitcd to attend a meeting of the Canadian INlanufacturers' Association, and to give an address at their reception in the Parliament Buildings, Toronto. The Canadian manufacturer, hke most other manu- facturers, to whatever country they may belong, desires protection for his own industry. But I can assure you that the Canadian manufacturers — at any rate, all those I saw, and I saw most of the leading members of that Association — are loyal Britishers, and while they desire a rearrangement of the Canadian tariff for the benefit of their own industries, they also desire such a rearrangement in order to give a more effec- tive preference than that which exists at present to the products of the mother country as compared with those of Germany and the United States. ' Canada for the Canadians ' was the cry one heard a good deal of in Canada. But I am satisfied that if Mr. Chamberlain's policy were carried out there would be such an enormous development in Canada that there would be room both for the British and Canadian manufacturer. In the course of my ad- dress to the Canadian Manufacturers' Association I turned to Mr. Ross, a man well known in Canada, the Premier of Ontario, and said to him, ' What would have been the population of Canada to-day if Mr. Chamberlain's policy had been in force for 178 VALUE OF PREFERENCE. the last twenty years ?' Mr. Ross blurted out on the spur of the moment, 'Twenty millions.' Is any one prepared to get up on a public platform in face of the opinion of a competent person such as Mr. Ross, and say that the Colonies care nothing for the policy put before the country by Mr. Chamberlain ? To sum up, the net result of my visit to Canada was to convince me that Canada could produce all the wheat we are likely to require in the United Kingdom now, and for many years to come ; that the preference proposed by Mr. Chamberlain is sufficient; that Mr. Chamberlain's policy would build up the Empire ; that if we do not adopt it we may lose Canada, and if we lose Canada it will be the beginning of the end of the British Empire. 179 THE NEED FOR TARIFF REFORM. At the Tunhridge Wells Farmers Club, on January 15th, 1904. On the last occasion when I was present at a gather- ing of the Club, we had the advantage and pleasure of the presence of two distinguished Colonial Statesmen, in Sir Edmund Barton and JNIr. Seddon. The subject of Tariff Reform was aUuded to at that gathering, and I think that many of you would have gathered from the remarks I then made that I was not likely to be a bigoted opponent of the policy which has now taken its place in practical politics. The question has many sides to it. Before dealing with it on its agricultural side, I propose to say a few words from the industrial and Imperial points of view ; on the latter of which I feel more especially competent to speak. Ourindus- In consideriuff the question of Tariff Reform on trial position. , . , . , . i , , the mdustrial side, a broad survey must be taken. Of course, it is very often discussed from the point of view of individual trades, but the objection to this method of treatment is that it is possible to quote particular trades which have been very hard hit by the system of free imports, and it is also possible to quote other trades that are doing fairly well. If you will go to what is, after all, the most important table in the great Blue Book which is being quoted by speakers 180 OUR INDUSTRIAL POSITION. on both sides, you will get figures which will show that the industrial position of this country gives grave ground for anxiety. In this table are given figures showing the export of manufactured articles from this country, as well as from France, Germany, and the United States for a considerable period of years. It is perfectly true that by taking only the last five years it is possible to show these exports had increased ; and some of the speakers against Tariff Reform are very fond of taking the figures of the past five years. But if you take the figures of a longer period — and I maintain that to arrive at a right conclusion, you must take a longer period — you will observe that our trade is subject to periods of prosperity and of depression, and that at the end of each decade our exports have reached about the same figures as at its commence- ment. Taking the last thirty years, our exports of manufactured goods have remained practically station- ary; while those from France, Germany, and the United States have enormously increased since they adopted a protectionist policy. On the other hand, during the last few years of the period the importation of manufactured articles has largely increased, showing that foreign countries are beginning to seriously invade our home market. Another point which has had a very powerful influ- ence in bringing me to my present convictions, is that during the twelve years from 1890 to 1902 the balance of imports over exports had practically doubled, having in- creased from £92,000,000 to £181,000,000. This balance represented the earnings of our shipping and the interest on foreign investments. I^ast summer the Chancellor of the Exchequer, in reply to a question put to him in 181 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. the House of Commons, said that as far as could be judged from the Income Tax returns, the income from investments abroad during the last ten years has in- creased by about £12,000,000. Mr. Ritchie, it is true, pointed out that much of the income from foreign investments escaped taxation, but even making a large allowance on this account it is clear that only a small proportion of the heavy increase in the balance of imports over exports can be accounted for in this way. It is, moreover, certain that our shipping earnings only account for a small proportion of the increase of £89,000,000. I have asked many people how the huge increase in the balance of imports over exports is to be explained, but cannot get a satisfactory answer. I cannot find a satisfactory reply in the Blue Book, and if no satisfactoiy reply can be given, it comes to this, that as a country we are hving on our capital. Those who are opposed to Fiscal Reform constantly quote the increases in income tax, savings bank, and bankers' clearing-house returns, which are given as evidences of our national prosperity. But if these facts be taken in conjunction with the other facts I have mentioned — the stationary character of our exports, the great increase in the balance of imports over exports, and the fact that a large proportion of our population are living on the verge of hunger — it seems to me im- possible to resist the conclusion, which is supported by the census returns, that year by year an increasing proportion of the people of this country are living idly on accunmlated wealth, and that fewer are annually earning their living in agriculture or any other industry. If that be so, the country is approaching the condition of the Roman Empire during the first centuries of 182 IMPERIAL PREFERENCES. the Christian era, immediately before its dissolution. The tendency to which 1 have alluded has been assisted by a policy which has been based upon the interests of the consumer, and absolute neglect of the interests of the producer. To turn to the question in its Imperial aspect, imperial ^ . . , Preferences. The policy of Imperial preferences was instituted by Canada in 1897, and the example of Canada had been followed by South Africa and New Zealand, and it is idle to assert that the Colonies are against the proposal. It is obvious to every one who knows anything of the Colonies and of their products that it is impossible to give the Colonies a preference unless we are prepared to put a duty upon food stuffs and raw materials. Mr. Chamberlain declares that he is not prepared to put a duty on raw materials, and, therefore, if the policy of Imperial Preferences is to be carried out, we are bound to put a duty on imported food stuffs. What Mr. Chamberlain proposes is not to put additional duties which would increase the cost of living to the people, but to transfer the duties from things we cannot pro- duce to those which we can produce at home. I have in previous speeches given my reasons for imperial believing that it is necessary for us to adopt the policy advocated by Mr. Chamberlain before the Colonies will contribute seriously to the cost of maintaining the Imperial Army and Navy at sufficient strength in times of peace. We have many rivals in the command of the sea, where we previously had only one. When I first became the editor of the Naval Annual, thirteen years ago, there was only one Power, France, whose navy offered any serious comparison to our own. Now, however, the navies of not only France, but Russia, 183 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Germany, and the United States are increasing year by year, and if we are to maintain the command of the seas we must have a strong Navy. Further expenditure may be necessary on the Navy; while the burden on the taxpayer in this country has almost reached its limit. Increased help will be needed from the Colonies, or otherwise we shall lose the command of the seas, upon which our prosperity and very existence as an Empire depends. At present the Colonies are doing very little, and Canada, in fact, has not hitherto made any direct contribution to the defence of the Empire in time of peace ; but I am satisfied from what I have heard from Canadian friends who have recently been visiting this country that if Mr. Chamberlain's policy is carried through there will be a very much greater disposition on the part of Canada to bear her share of Imperial burdens than there is at the present time. In a speech delivered at Epsom twelve years ago I said : ' Though a commencement has been made in this direction, it may well be doubted whether the Colonies will face their fair share of the burden unless you give them further advantages than a control of Imperial questions. The Colonies, as you know, are all rigidly Protectionist. On the other hand, it is said that all that the Colonies hope for from a connection with the mother country is the enjoyment of trade advantages. I am a staunch believer in the economic advantages of Free Trade to this country, even on the present one-sided system ; but, in my opinion, it is well worth considering whether we should not gain more than we lose if, by entering into reciprocal trade arrangements throughout the Empire, we induced the Colonies to bear their fair share of the cost of Imperial 184. CANADA AND RECIPROCITY. defence. In the present state of public opinion on fiscal matters in this country, such an arrangement may be impracticable. It is a problem which will undoubtedly have to be faced sooner or later if this Empire of ours is to be kept together, and it is a question on which the electors of this country will have to make up their minds.' I have long seen that the question raised by INIr. Chamberlain would be the prominent pohtical question of the day, and I believe that on the decision of the people of this country, one way or the other, hangs the future of the Empire. In his Budget speech of 1903, the Canadian Minister Reciprocity ,, ,^ T ^ iij ^th United of Finance stated that the Canadian Government had states. been approached by a representative of the United States Government with a view to negotiating a treaty of reciprocity between Canada and the United States. If such a treaty be made it will not only mean the loss of the great and growing market of Canada to British goods, but it will mean, in my opinion, sooner or later, political unity between Canada and the United States. I will not ask you to accept merely my opinion, but would refer you to the statements of ^Ir. Blake, who was for many years the leader of the Liberal Party in Canada. Mr. Blake took no part in the Canadian General Election of 1891. He did not, until the elections were over, make known the reason of his action. He then published a letter, in which he said that, in his judgment, reciprocity between Canada and the United States would mean political union with the United States, and as he did not think that the people of Canada were prepared for annexation to the United States, he was not prepared to advocate reciprocity. 1 think that it will generally be admitted 185 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Sir Robert Giffen and ineflfectual Preferences. that this point has a very important bearing on the discussion now going on. While 1 think the unity of the Empire will certainly be promoted by the adoption of a policy of preferential trade within the Empire, I have come to the conclusion that we cannot hope to permanently hold Canada by the sentimental tie alone. In an article in the current number of the Niiie- teenth Centui^i), Sir Robert Giifen, one of the most important opponents of the pohcy, asks : ' What is the use of discussing theories of Free Trade and Protection when no material advantage can result to anybody from the special proposals put forward?' After considering the effect of Mr. Chamberlain's pohcy as regards Canada, he says : ' A 25. rise in price will not of itself increase the wheat area in production.' During my recent visit to Canada I went to A¥innipeg and the North-West for the express purpose of inquiring into the points raised by Sir Robert GifFen in the course of his article. Sir Robert GifFen asserts that the proposed preference of 2*. on wheat would be ineffectual. I believe that Sir Robert Giffen is mistaken. A leading grain merchant stated to me, and his view was con- firmed by others, that a preference of Is. to 2.s'. per quarter would be ample to speedily develop the Canadian North- West, and bring under cultivation all the land required to produce the bread supply of the United Kingdom. The following illustration will make the value of the preference clear. Free grants of land are given by the Canadian Government in what are known as quarter sections, or 160 acres. Assuming that on a farm of this size 100 acres are under wheat, and that the production of wheat per acre is twenty 186 INEFFECTUAL PREFERENCES. bushels, or two and a half quarters, if wheat rises by 26'. a quarter, the Canadian farmer will get 5s. per acre more for his produce, or 25/. in all. 25L per annum will make all the difference to the small Canadian farmer between a struggling existence and comparative comfort. It cannot, of course, be asserted that as the result of the preference, the Canadian or even the British farmer will receive 2^. more than he does at present for his wheat. The price of wheat is hable to be affected far more by other causes than by the small duty now proposed. But it can be said with certainty that the Canadian farmer will receive 2s. more for his wheat than his competitor across the border, that he will make a profit larger by that amount than that which his competitor is making, and that he will be able to farm at a profit when his competitor is farming at a loss. The obvious and certain effect of the prefer- ence will be to tend to divert the stream of emigration from the United States, the Argentine Republic, and foreign countries to Canada, as well as to other British Colonies. Mr. Ross, the well-known Premier of Ontario, thinks that the population of Canada to-day, if Mr. Chamberlain's policy had been in force for the last twenty years, would have been twenty millions. That is the opinion of a very competent man of the material advantage to the Colonies of the estabUshment of a poHcy of Imperial preference. The material ad- vantage to us is that every emigrant to the Colonies buys as many pounds' worth of British goods per head as an emigrant to the United States does shillings' worth, and thus provides more employment for British workpeople. It is clear that Mr. Chamberlain's policy will tend to build up the Empire. 187 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. A policy of Imperial preference should not, how- ever, be judged only from the standpoint of material advantages. The material value might be as small as suggested by Sir Robert GifFen, but I would still advocate the policy. It is, in my judgment, of the utmost importance that the various peoples who live under the British flag should feel that as regards trade and commerce, which are the foundations of our Em- pire, they are a single unit, and that the interest of no part of the Empire can be threatened by the action of a foreign Power, without the whole force of the Empire being brought to bear to protect those interests. You will remember the threatened action of Germany, owing to the institution of the Canadian preference. The tone of Germany has been absolutely changed since Mr. Chamberlain's proposals became a question of practical politics. Food Supply. One other remark of Sir Robert GifFen I desire to refer to. ' We want,' he says, ' about 20 milUon quarters to displace the present foreign supply, and there is a prospect of 10 million quarters only from Canada in the next twenty years.' The net surplus of wheat for export from the North- West he estimates at about 3 million quarters at the present time. In 1903, there were 3,170,871 acres under wheat, producing 57 million bushels, or 7 million quarters. For the previous two years, two-thirds of the crop went east of Mani- toba. It is generally assumed that the Provinces east of Lake Superior produce sufficient wheat for their own consumption, so that all the wheat shipped east of Manitoba should be available for export. The leading grain merchant already referred to, estimated that from the crop of 1903 there should be available for export 188 WHEAT SUPPLY about 40 million bushels, or 5 million quarters. Sir Robert GifFen's estimate is 3 million quarters. Sir Robert GifFen's eminence as an economist or a statis- tician I should be the last to dispute, but on the question under discussion I think that the authority of the man on the spot, with his special knowledge, is entitled to the greater weight. As to the possibilities for the future, at a moderate estimate, there are 125,000,000 acres of arable land in the Canadian North- West. Fifteen milHon acres under wheat would be sufficient to produce all the wheat required in the United Kingdom. If the proposed pre- ference is as effective as the information I gathered in the North- West led me to suppose it would be, I venture to prophesy that within ten years Canada could supply all the wheat we require in the United Kingdom from outside sources. Canada, it must be borne in mind, is not our only source of wheat supply. India has in some years sent us very large quantities, and in 1901 (a fact not generally realised ) Australasia sent us about the same quantity as Canada. The idea of the Empire becoming self-supporting as regards its food supply is not the idle dream which Sir Robert GifFen would have us believe. To turn to agriculture. From the speeches made Weakness of present by Cobden and Mr. Chas. Villiers at the time of the position, repeal of the corn laws, it is clear that the repealers thought there was no risk to British agriculture by the adoption of their proposals. It was their conviction that the country would remain self-supporting, and it is probable that if Mr. Cobden or his colleagues could have had any conception of what would have been the condition of the country to-day, they would not have 189 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. advocated the policy they did, and, however that may be, the country would certainly have never carried it. Another point the repealers looked to was a greater stability in price, but there has been as much fluctuation in the price of wheat since the repeal of the corn laws as there was before. The conditions have absolutely changed since 1846, and it is idle to discuss the poUcy of tariff reform in the hght of the conditions of sixty years ago. In 1846 we produced nine-tenths of our staple food, but in 1902 we produced only one-fifth. Our dependence on foreign countries for so large a portion of our food supply has become a gi-eat national danger. As regards the supply of some raw materials, our position is little better. British cotton mills have been working short time for many months past owing to a shortage in the supply of raw cotton, and a deputa- tion from the Cotton Manufacturers' Association of Manchester recently asked JNIr. Balfour to take steps to put a stop to the gambling in raw cotton in America. For a great Empire to be absolutely at the mercy of one single foreign country for the supply of raw material for one of its greatest industries— cotton goods form a quarter of our total exports — is deplorable. The remedy is to encourage the growth of cotton under the British flag. Decline of It is uot ucccssary for me to enlarge upon the way in which British Agriculture has suffered in the past sixty years. Every one who has the least acquaintance with agriculture must know that farmer after farmer has been ruined after struggling against bad times. 1 have made a calculation as to what has been the effect of the enormous conversion of arable land into pasture, and the enormous extent of hop gi'ound grubbed during 190 agriculture. DECLINE OF AGRICULTURE. the past twenty years in Sussex, and have come to the conclusion that there is between 400,000/. and 500,000/. less spent per annum in the cultivation of the soil in Sussex alone. This is a very important point to bear in mind in dealing with the question from a local point of view. It means that enormously fewer men are em- ployed in the cultivation of the land. At least two- thirds of the sum I have mentioned would be spent in actual wages to labourers, and if the figures will bear examination, and I am satisfied that they will, they mean that between 7000 and 8000 fewer men are em- ployed in agriculture in Sussex than twenty years ago. The hop industry has been most seriously affected. There are .5600 fewer acres under hops in Sussex than there were twenty years ago. I can speak from per- sonal experience as manager of my father's estate in the neighbourhood of Battle, that whereas when I was a boy there was a hop garden on every farm, there is now not a single hop garden on the Normanhurst estate. Allotments and Small Holdings Acts are suggested for meeting the difficulty. Are they Hkely to be of great effect? During the past six years the only business done by the Allotments and Small Holdings Committee of the East Sussex Council was to receive a formal appHcation for the enlargement of Hailsham cemetery ; there had been no applications for allotments or small holdings. I have as a landowner granted facilities for small holdings or allotments where there has been a demand for them, but I do not think much is to be hoped for from an extension of the Allotments and Small Holdings Acts until there is a greater demand for land. The real difficulty of the farmer is the question of 191 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. price, and it is doubtful whether any remedy will be effectual which does not protect the British farmer from the dumped agricultural produce of the foreigner. I have often said when Col. Brookiield used to advocate this policy that it was idle to advocate Protection for the agricultural industry while the manufacturing indus- tries were prosperous, but it is within the past ten years that manufacturing industries have begun to show signs of decay, and that we are beginning to see our home market invaded by the produce of foreign Protectionist countries. There is now an opportunity for agricul- turists to press their claims upon the Government, and unless Members of Parliament who represent agricul- tural constituencies make their voices heard in the discussion, the farmers and labourers will find them- selves left out in the cold as on previous occasions. I congratulate Mr. Boscawen most sincerely on his success in getting a representative hop-gi'ower on Mr. Chamberlain's Commission, but I should like to say that I am not at all satisfied with the representation of agriculture on the whole Commission. It is, in my judgment, most inadequately represented, but we can only hope that the agricultural sub-committee will be enabled to get together a body of evidence which will seriously impress, not only the Government, but tJie people of the country. Mr. Chamber- ^^ regards the value of Mr. Chamberlain's proposals proposals. to the farmer. A 2^. duty on foreign wheat no practical farmer believes would be of much value. The duty on other articles of agricultural produce will be of more value, but perhaps the most benefit to the agriculturist will arise from the imposition of a higher duty on flour than on wheat, which will have the effect of restoring 192 DECLINE OF AGRICULTURE. the milling business to this country, and so securing a supply of cheap ofFal. The principal objection to Mr. Chamberlain's policy from the agricultural point of view is that the British farmer would have to pay more for his machinery. Most of the agricultural machinery imported into the United Kingdom comes from Canada or the United States. Some of the best-known firms of implement makers on the American continent are established in Canada. I visited the other day the Massey- Harris works at Toronto. I heard also while in Toronto that one of the largest firms of implement makers in the United States were establishing factories in Hamilton, Ontario, in order to get within the Canadian tariff. The British fai-mer will therefore be able to purchase the best of American agiicultural machinery in Canada, and if he purchases it from Canada obviously he will pay no more than he does at the present time. The contention that owing to Mr. Chamberlain's scheme agricultural machinery would cost more is without any substantial foundation. In conclusion : I have come to the conviction that some measure of protection for agriculture can be justified, not perhaps from the standpoint of the econo- mist and not merely from the agricultural point of view, but on the broadest national grounds. I believe of England, as Prince Bismarck believed of Germany, that in the decline of agriculture there is the greatest danger to our permanence as a race. 193 o III. MISCELLANEOUS SUBJECTS. STUDIES IN AUSTRALIA IN 1896. Paper read at the Royal Colonial Institute, February, 1897. So many papers on various questions connected with Australia have been addressed to the Royal Colonial Institute, that it seemed to me that it would be more useful to discuss some of the questions of which I made a special study during the time recently spent in Australia, than if I attempted to give a general review of the position there, which many of you are much more competent to do than myself. AUSTRALIAN DEFENCES. The first question to which my attention was de- (j^^^isons for voted was that of Defence. I travelled to Australia by Coaling , . n stations. way of Canada, in order to see the naval station 01 Esquimault, the defences of which were being com- pleted. It is interesting to note that the nucleus of the garrison for this coaling station is furnished from the Royal Marines, but is paid by the Dominion Government — the only instance in which this system obtains, though, for reasons which will be given later on, it might be usefully imitated in the case of Thursday Island and King George's Sound. I should hke also 197 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Special studies in Australia. Naval defence of Victoria. Personnel of the Victorian Navy. to say a word on JNIessrs. Huddart's Canadian- Aus- tralian line. The service is maintained by two excel- lent boats of about 3500 tons, which are well found in every respect, and are exceedingly comfortable from the passenger's point of view. They are capable of a sea-speed of about fifteen knots. A third boat is shortly to be added to the service. To return from this digi*ession, while in AustraUa I visited the forts at Port Phillip Heads, Victoria, at Sydney Heads, New South Wales, and at Largs Bay, South AustraUa, the naval establishments in the three Colonies, and the ships belonging to the different Colonial navies. The naval forces maintained by the Colony of Victoria include the turret- ship Cerberus, which is still armed with her old 10-inch muzzle-loaders. The similar ships, Magdala and Abyssinia, which are sta- tioned at Bombay, have been rearmed with 8-inch breech-loaders. Besides the Cerberus there are two first-class torpedo boats, the Childers and Countess of Hopetoun, and two small second-class boats. The gunboats Albert and Victoria are for sale, or have been sold. The wooden line-of-battle ship Nelson is still kept in commission, and is used as a barrack ship. The dinner given on board the Nelson on the anni- versary of the battle of Trafalgar, was attended by Commander Pascoe, the son of the flag-lieutenant of the Victory who hoisted the famous signal. The personnel of the Victorian Navy now consists of 177 men in the permanent force (reduced from 232), and of 152 men in the Naval Brigade or Naval Reserve (reduced from 342) — a total of 329 men. The com- plements required for the Cerbei'u^ and the torpedo- 198 AUSTRALIAN DEFENCES. boats only amount to 232 men, so that the margin is ample. The torpedo depot is in excellent order, and the torpedo-boats are frequently exercised at steam tactics and in running torpedoes. The Ce7'berus is also in good condition. The personnel is, on the whole, good and efficient ; but the reductions in its numbers, as weU as in its pay, in common with other branches of the public service, and the consequent uncertainty as to the future, must tend to have an adverse effect on efficiency. Upwards of 900,000/. have been spent on fortifi- Fortifications cations and their armaments by the Colony of Victoria, —garrison. Port Phillip, hke Port Jackson, has been made one of the most strongly defended ports of the Empire. The entrance is narrow, and a vessel must pass for several miles along a channel commanded on both sides by the guns in the forts ; mining defences are also provided. The forts are manned by 288 Permanent Artillery — a very fine corps — who would be supplemented in war- time by 675 Garrison Artillery JVIilitia, a large pro- portion of whom are recruits. The total military force of Victoria, including the above, numbers about 5000 men — of whom 2985 are mihtia, 775 are volunteers in the Victoria Mounted Rifles, and 899 are in the Vic- torian Rangers. In New South Wales no ships are at present main- ^gjj'gj^,.^^ tained by the Colonial Government. There are two Wales. partially paid naval forces. The naval brigade consists, for the most part, of ex-seamen, whose duties in case of war would apparently be to assist in manning the forts. The Naval Artillery Volunteers would man the torpedo-boats. The guns in the defences of Sydney Heads are mounted at a good height above the sea, and are well distributed. I must leave it to experts 199 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Defences of Queensland. Defences of South Australia. to say whether Sydney or Melbourne is the more strongly defended. The permanent forces of New South Wales include over 600 artillery, and a few submarine miners. Besides these there are 800 cavalry, 500 artillery, and 2500 infantry — either militia or volun- teers. The peace establishment of the New South Wales forces is nearly 6000 men. The Queensland Navy includes two gunboats of 450 tons, manned by the naval brigade. The actual strength of the military force is over 3500. The per- manent artillery number only 174. The strength had been so much reduced that it was impossible to provide reliefs for the garrison of Thursday Island, and to maintain it at its proper strength ; some steps have recently been taken to remedy this evil. A battery of garrison artillery militia is being raised at Cairns. The South Australian Navy possesses one heavily- armed little cruiser, the P?'otecto7\ The permanent crew only numbers seventeen, including officers, the complement being completed from the naval brigade. When my father and I went on board, the ship was under way. We steamed out to sea, dropped a target, and gunnery practice was gone through while steaming at the rate of seven or eight knots. Though the bulk of the naval brigade men had only been on board a few days, the practice was in most cases ex- traordinarily good. We were very much struck with the efficiency displayed. At Largs Bay there are small forts, the main purpose of which appears to be to pro- tect Adelaide from bombardment. The military forces of South Austraha have recently been reorganized, and now comprise about 1200 men. The number is small, 200 AUSTRALIAN DEFENCES. having regard to the size and population of the Colony. By the Act framed in December, 1895, every male in- habitant of the Colony between the ages of eighteen and forty-five is liable for service; and the military forces may be called upon to serve in any part of Austraha and Tasmania. In Western Australia the military force is small. Defences of n 1 • 1 • Western The garrison for the defences of the nnportant coalmg Australia, station of King George's Sound — which must be the base for the cruisers protecting the trade approaching Australia via the Suez Canal or the Cape of Good Hope — is much below the required strength. Part of the gari'ison is to be provided by South Australia, but the growth of Western Australia should obviate the necessity for this inconvenient arrangement. The military force of Tasmania only numbers 800 Tasmania, efficients, and does not seem to be in a very healthy state. To sum up. It may well be doubted whether the money spent by the Colonies on their local navies is in all cases well spent. In South Australia the P?^o- tector is so cheaply maintained that the expenditure is justified. In Victoria, owing to the large extent of open water inside the defences at Port Phillip Heads, it is desirable that there should be some floating defence for Melbourne. The Cerherus and the torpedo-boats are sufficient for the purpose, and would probably act as a greater deterrent to hostile cruisers than the forts at the Heads. They could be kept available for emergencies with a very much smaller expenditure on permanent staff. It is not clear what service the Queensland gunboats could render in case of war. 201 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Lack of The military forces at present maintained are, with organization some cxceptions, insufficiently trained, and are unpro- m ustra la. ^- j^^ with equipment to enable them to take the field. The militia and volunteers, who constitute the bulk of these forces, have only a few days' continuous training during the year. Even the camps of exercise, which do so much to promote the efficiency of both officers and men, have been often abandoned in these bad times. There is plenty of good material in the Colo- nial forces, but it certainly needs to be better trained and properly equipped. Though some steps have been taken in this direction, the Federation of Australia is especially necessary for the purpose of defence. Were Australia federated it should be possible to effect con- siderable economies in the permanent staff, and at the same time to obtain greater efficiency. The Affainst a serious attempt at invasion the defence Australian " . . . ^ i r> Auxiliary of Australia rests on British fleets many thousands of miles away. Against attacks on commerce and raiding expeditions (viz., two or three cruisers and one or two transports with troops) the best defence is an active naval defence by ships which are able to pursue and fight the cruisers of the enemy, wherever they may be found. This active naval defence is partly provided for by the Australian auxiliary squadron, which, by an agi'cement entered into in 1887, is equipped, manned, and maintained, at the joint cost of the Imperial and Colonial funds. The squadron consists of five cruisers and two torpedo gunboats, three cruisers and one gun- boat being always in commission, and the remainder in reserve. The cruisers are satisfactory little vessels of their type, and well fitted for their work, except on the southern coasts of Australia, where larger and more 202 Squadron. AUSTRALIAN DEFENCES. powerful vessels are needed. The torpedo gunboats belong to a class which is singularly ill-adapted for ser- vice on the Australian station. The contribution paid by the several Colonies under the agreement is 126,000/., 35,000/. being supposed to represent interest on first cost, and 91,000/. being for maintenance. A reference to vote 16 of the Na^y Estimates shows that, in addition to the 35,000/. an annuity of 60,300/. is paid by the British taxpayer. One point in this agreement demands special notice. ^/^^^^J^fron ^ By article 4 the vessels shall be employed beyond the mistake, limits of the Australian station only with the consent of the Colonial Governments. The locaUsation of the Austrahan auxiliary squadron, in deference to the wish of the Colonies, is a mistake. I gave an illustration of this in an address in the Melbourne Town Hall last October, and the question is so important that it will bear repetition here. During the troublous times of last year it seemed quite possible that we might have found ourselves at war with France and Russia. The naval force maintained by these powers in waters in the neighbourhood of Austraha is absolutely insignificant compared to our own ; but in China the Russian and French squadrons were equal, if not sUghtly superior, to the British squadron, much as it has been strengthened in recent years. If the British- China squadron were to be defeated in battle the command of the sea between Cape Horn and the Suez Canal would be temporarily lost, British com- merce would be interrupted, and Australia would be Uable to invasion by Russian troops from ^^ladivostock, or French troops from Saigon. The squadron now in Australian waters would be powerless to prevent 203 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Appreciation by the Government of the Australian Auxihary Squadron. it. If the British-China squadron were reinforced on the outbreak of war by ships from the Austrahan or Pacific stations, it would have a reasonable prospect of defeating, or, at any rate, holding in check the combined squadrons of France and Russia. It is certain that the vessels used for this purpose would do more under present circumstances to defend the coasts of Australia and Canada in Chinese waters than they would ever do if they remained in Australian or Canadian waters. I do not wish to be understood to suggest that the squadron in Australia should be reduced and that in China strengthened in peace time. Against raiding expeditions accompanied by a few troops which might escape our cruisers, Austraha must be prepared to defend herself by maintaining a military force, not necessarily numerous, but certainly efficient and capable of taking the field against disciplined troops. An efficient military force in the Australian Colonies would not only render them secure against attack, but could also give valuable assistance to the common de- fence of the Empire by capturing the naval bases of the enemy in neighbouring seas. Though the agi-eement as regards the auxiliary squadron is only made for ten years, it will not ter- minate, except on notice being given by the parties to the agreement. In a recent speech deUvered before the British Empire League, the Duke of Devonshire said : * I may say that Her Majesty's present Government attach the greatest importance to the renewal in some form or other of that agreement.' From the Imperial point of view, a contribution of 135,000/. a year is a very small item in Navy Estimates, which amount to 22,000,000/. At the same time this contribution is 204 A COLONIAL NAVAL RESERVE. valuable as the recognition of a principle, and as an earnest of what our fellow- subjects in the Colonies may- some day be prepared to do. At the last meeting of the Institute at which I The burden *-" 1 1 J °' ImpenaJ was present, when Sir George Clarke read a most Defence. valuable paper on Imperial Defence, the discussion which followed turned largely on the relative respon- sibihties of the mother country and the Colonies in this matter. In the period of growth of her Colonies it seems to me clearly the duty of the mother country to undertake the main burden of defence. In the present circumstances of the Austrahan Colonies — which, excepting Western Austraha, have been passing through a period of severe depression — it is impossible to expect a serious money contribution to the defence of the Empire, and we have no right to expect it until we are prepared to give them a constitutional voice in the control of that expenditure. When the Colonies no longer require such a large proportion of their resources for the development of their territory, we may surely hope that the Colonial taxpayer will be prepared to stand shoulder to shoulder with the British taxpayer in bearing the common burdens. We have been able to hold our own well up till now against our pro- bable enemies, but the history of the past year must impress every EngUshman with the conviction that other countries are growing increasingly jealous of our greatness. Before long the British Empire may have to fight for its very existence. JMay the struggle be long deferred, but when it does come we shall need all the help our Colonies can give us. Under present circumstances it is impossible to ^^^1°"'^^ expect any substantial help in the way of money, but Reserve. 205 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. I believe the Colonies could give us, with mutual ad- vantage, very considerable help in the way of men, on the lines suggested in the discussion already referred to. In Canada I obtained some valuable information, and in Australia my father and I took every opportunity of discussing the possibility of estabhshing branches of the Naval Reserve in the Colonies. We had conferences of shipmasters at Government House. I met repre- sentatives of the steamship owners both in Sydney and Melbourne, and representatives of the Seamen's and Firemen's Union in Adelaide and in Sydney, and I received many letters of warm encouragement from all classes of persons, including Swedish and Norwegian captains who had served in British ships. The results of these inquiries are embodied in an article in the Nineteenth Century of December last, and may be briefly summarised here. About 5000 men are em- ployed in the inter-colonial trade and in fishing. A large proportion of these are foreigners, and compara- tively few are Colonial born. The foreigners are principally Scandinavians or Danes who are naturalised Australians, who look upon AustraUa as their home, and would be ready to serve her in case of emergency. There seems no doubt that the high rates of pay attract the pick of the seamen from British ships, and that there exists excellent material for the Naval Reserve in the Colonial Marine. The shipowners of ^^icto^ia assured me that they would give every facility to Royal Naval Reserve men in their employ to perform their drills, and would not fill their places during their absence. They are exceedingly anxious to have a supply of Colonial-born young seamen coming forward. Their ships are all steamers, and they recognise that they cannot train seamen for themselves. 20G A COLONIAL NAVAL RESERVE. The only solution of the difficulty is on the lines I The t'-»,'°'9g J *' ^ or a Colonial have suggested elsewhere, for dealing with the dearth Naval of British seamen in the British Mercantile Marine. Some of the fine sailing-ships trading to the ports of Melbourne and Sydney should be subsidised by the Colonial Government to carry a certain number of Colonial boys. After three years in these vessels these lads would have a fair acquaintance with seamanship. They should then serve a year in a sea-going man-of- war, at the conclusion of which they would be eligible for the first-class Naval Reserve, and would enter the Colonial Mercantile Marine as A.B.'s. The present retaining fee of a first-class Naval Reserve man is 6Z. per annum. To attract and hold Colonial seamen in sufficient numbers in the Royal Naval Reserve the retaining fee would probably have to be raised to 10/. The Colonial Governments might fairly be asked to provide a proportion of the increased fee. The Aus- tralian Naval Reserve man, in case of need, would be utilised, in the first place, to make up the complements of the ships of the auxiliary squadron, which are kept in reserve, but he would also be liable to serve, like the Naval Reserve man enrolled in England, in H.INI.'s ships in every part of the world. IRRIGATION COLONIES. During the last ten years large sums of money have irrigation been spent in Queensland, New South Wales, South Australia, and Western Australia, on artesian boring, on the whole with conspicuous success. The water so obtained is used for watering stock, but there is, I believe, only one place — a small settlement in the neighbourhood of Bourke — where artesian water is used 207 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. for irrigation. In Victoria numerous irrigation trusts have been formed to utilise the waters of the Murray River and its tributaries. These trusts have been un- successful financially, and the Government has hitherto obtained but a small proportion of the interest due to them on the money advanced. The principal causes of failure are, first, extravagance in construction, and secondly, the fact that the farmers would not buy water from the trust in a season when there was a fair rain- fall. The irrigation trusts of Victoria must therefore be mainly regarded as an insurance against drought. It would be impossible, within the limits of this paper, to review the whole question of irrigation and water conservation, which is of such vital importance to the whole of Australia. I will content myself with saying that I fear the possibilities of developing the interior by irriga- tion are not so great as I estimated them to be seven or eight years ago. That the possibilities are considerable is evident from the present position of the two large irrigation Colonies of Renmark and Mildura. Miidura. So little is known in this country of the true history of the enterprises associated with the names of the Messrs. Chaffey ; so much abuse has been heaped upon the promoters and others connected with these enter- prises ; the opinion is so generally held that they have been absolute failures, that it will not be out of place if I ask your attention for a few moments to the subject. I shall deal principally with Mildura, because it has been recently the subject of inquiry by a Royal Commis- sion which only reported last September, and having spent three days there, I am able to speak with some knowledge of its past history and its present position. 208 Chaffey. IRRIGATION IN AUSTRALIA. After extensive inquiries prosecuted by Mr. Deakin Terms of the into the systems of irrigation of California and India, with^Messrs. an agreement was concluded in 1887 between the Government, of which Mr. Deakin was a member, and the Messrs. Chaffey, by which the latter acquired 250,000 acres of land on the river Murray. The prin- cipal points in the agreement were as follows : 1. A licence to occupy 50,000 acres for the term of 20 years. Crown grants of this land to be issued to the Messrs. Chaffey at the rate of one acre for every 5l. expended on irrigation works and permanent improvements on ordinary land and for every 2/. expended on land subject to flooding. 2. A licence to occupy a further area of 200,000 acres of land. Crown grants on this being issued at the rate of one acre for every 1/. expended on improvements and for a payment to the Treasury of a further £l per acre. 3. A total sum of 300,000/. to be expended by licensees and their assigns within 20 years. 5. The hcensees not to be allowed to sell more than 80 acres of fruit-growing land or 160 acres of agricultural land to any one person, or to retain in their own hands more than 5000 acres of irri- gated land. It has been asserted that the Government drove a hard bargain with Messrs. Chaffey. It was clearly favourable to the former. If the scheme were carried out in its entirety, the Government would receive 200,000/., or 16*. an acre, for land which but for the expenditure of the Hcensees was practically worthless. 209 p PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. The ChafFeys had no sooner obtained this concession from the Victorian Government, and a similar conces- sion from the South Australian Government for land at Renmark, than they formed the Company known as Chaffey Bros., Limited. Floating of The financial management of the company from the scheme. '" outsctwas hopclcss. ThcChaffcys had a very small amount of capital of their own. They no doubt thought that they would be able to raise sufficient capital in the open market, but in this anticipation they were grievously disappointed. The shareholders' capital subscribed is stated in the report of Commission to have been 70,000/., of which nearly 30,000/. belonged to the Renmark undertaking. This amount was obviously quite inade- quate to carry through an enterprise of the magnitude of that at Mildura. Various expedients were resorted to for raising money, such as the issue of debentures, loans from banks, &c., a high and increasing rate of interest being paid for the accommodation. Land was sold either for cash or on the instalment principle, the payments being spread over ten years. Large sums of money were derived from this source. In the year 1891 alone over 100,000/. worth of land was sold, and after the initial stages of the undertaking the settlement was largely carried on by the money derived from land sales. As soon as the influx of new settlers ceased, the financial resources of the company became to a great extent dried up. An unsuccessful attempt was made to raise money by a fresh issue of debentures on the London Market in the spring of 1894. Shortly after this the company had to go into liquidation, and its un- pledged assets are now the property of the debenture- holders. 210 MILDURA. The management of those departments which were Criticism of the Mildura in the hands of Messrs. Chaffey is almost as iinfavour- scheme. ably criticised in the report of the Royal Commission as the financial management. ' Foremost among the causes of failure,' it says, ' must be placed the grave errors made in laying out the settlement and in making provision for the supply of water for irrigation purposes.' It is quite certain that the undue spreading-out of the settle- ment, which now covers over 50 square miles, was one of the principal causes of failure. At Renmark the land was settled block by block owing to the wise control exercised by the Government ; the South Australian agreement with the Messrs. ChafFey containing the im- portant provision — which is not to be found in the Victorian indenture — that no grant should issue until water has been laid to some point suitable for the irri- gation of each 500 acres proposed to be conveyed. At Mildura the Colony was kept fairly compact at first — that is, as long as settlement went on gradually. But in 1890 and 1891, in response to the extensive system of advertising adopted, a tremendous rush of settlers took place, eager to take up land at the apparently high price of 20/. an acre which the ChafFeys were asking for it. For many months, sales went on at the rate of 10,000/. a month. It is not in the least to be wondered at that when sales were going on at this rate the Messrs. Chaffey should have allowed settlers to take up land more or less where they pleased in Blocks A and B, and should even have sold land in Block C, eight or nine miles from the river. They naturally thought, as most of us would have done, that if settlement proceeded at the same rate the intervening blocks would soon be taken up. They also were, no doubt, influenced 211 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. by the hope of being able to sell these intervenmg blocks at an enhanced price. A further reason for the spreading out of the settlement arose from the fact that people would ask for a number of contiguous blocks to be reserved for themselves and their friends, and after the land had been reserved for them, only one or two blocks were taken up or cultivated. This Mr. ChafFey stated in his evidence before the Commission, as well as to me personally, and the statement is corroborated by Mr. Salmon, a valuer, who reported adversely on Mildura as an investment for his clients. Which of us, if we had been in the position of men desirous of making money for the company, would not have been influenced by the same motives ? It is very easy to be wise after the event, and to say that every block in each square mile of land should have been taken up before settlers were allowed to select land further out. The supply of To describe the arrangements for the supply of water water. £^^ irrigation purposes would take too long. There are four separate pumping plants raising water from the river, the most important of which is that knovni as the Billabong system, and which utilises a creek or billabong as a reserv^oir. From the Billabong the water is lifted by successive stages into the 50 foot channel, thence into the 70 foot channels, and thence into the 85 and 90 foot channels — centrifugal pumps being used. There are 127 miles of main channels and 250 miles of smaller subsidiary channels commanding 33,000 acres of land, over 31,000 acres of which are attached to the BiUabong system. When the financial resources of the company became straitened the pumping machinery was allowed to get into a bad state of repair. At the same time from various causes the channels became incapable of 212 MILDURA. conveying the water pumped into them. In certain portions it is estimated that as much as 50 per cent, was lost. On a ereneral review of the management of the Disadvantage ^ „ , ? . „ , of the Billa- Chaffeys, as far as concerns the selection oi the bong system. pumping plant and the construction of the channels, it seems to me that it is not open to the severe criti- cism which has been frequently passed upon it, notably in the report of the Royal Commission. They have made mistakes, it is true, and they themselves are ready to admit it. Whether the pumping plant, the machinery and boilers, were of the best kind for the work which they had to do may be open to question, but there is no doubt that they were the best of their kind, and capable, if kept in good order, of supplying sufficient water for the land they were intended to irrigate. That the plant and the power might have been differently distributed with advantage is very possible. The great fault in the Billabong system is that there is no reserve in the event of a breakdown, and that the working of the whole system depends on the weakest link in the chain. That the channels were in many cases hastily and therefore imperfectly con- structed is probably true ; but I do not believe that any one could have foreseen the excessive leakage and damage from seepage, which did not occur until some years after the channels had been made. The evidence is not conclusive as to the cause of this leakage. It may, however, be due to the boring of crayfish. Two other mistakes have been made, for which the Error of judgment in Messrs. ChafFey, and particularly Mr. W. B. Chaftey, stocking the may be held partly responsible. In many cases the p'^^p^'^' wrong sort of trees were planted to suit the particular 213 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. soil, that is to say, apricots were planted on soil more suited to lemons, and vice versa, the consequence of which was that many blocks have had to be replanted. Another mistake was, that many of the trees supplied to the settlers were not true to name, and had after- wards to be rebudded or replaced. It is difficult to see how the first error could have been avoided until actual experience had been gained of the capacity of the various soils on the Mildura settlement. For the second error the nurserymen who supplied the trees are mainly to blame. Both these misfortunes have greatly retarded the progress of Mildura. Future settlers will benefit by the experience of their pre- decessors. Opposition to Prominent among the causes for the failure of the company must be placed the action taken by the settlers themselves in 1892-93. Though the Engineer of Water Supply reports that he found the majority of the settlers were satisfied with the management of the Messrs. Chaffey, there was a strong hostile minority, some of whom claimed to have water supplied to them free, as it had been during the first three years after the settlement was started, though in the adver- tisements issued by the Chaffeys it was stated that the water rate would probably be about six shilHngs an acre. This rate was levied in 1890, but in 1891 a very much higher rate was levied. The principal complaint was not so much that the water rate was too high, but that the water supply was insufficient for irrigating the land already planted, owing to the leakage from the channels. The original settlers became apprehen- sive that if new settlers kept coming in their own plight would become worse. They therefore took 214 MILDURA. steps to deter new settlers fi'om taking up land, and they did in fact succeed in putting a stop to settle- ment. Their action was perfectly natural under the circumstances, but it dried up the resources with which the Colony was being carried on, and brought about the failure of the company. Had settlement continued at the same rate as in 1891, funds would have been available for lining the channels where necessary, the vacant blocks commanded by the chan- nels would have been settled up as anticipated by the ChafFeys, and the company might have pulled through. If the ChafFeys failed to do their duty in certain TheGovem- respects, ought not the Government in the first place have retained to have seen that the enterprise had a fair chance of fupendsion. being started with sufficient capital ? In the second place, ought they not to have exercised some super- vision over the progress of the settlement ? The Com- mission hold that the statement that Mildura and Renmark were under the supervision of the Govern- ments of Victoria and South Australia, which was so extensively advertised, and was the means of inducing the majority of the settlers to take up land, was justified by the wording of the indentures. No super- vision or control was attempted at INIildura, though numerous official and semi-official visits were paid to observe the progress of the settlement. In Soutli Australia there was some attempt at official control, which was at any rate effective in preventing the spreading out of the Colony. So far we have been dealing with the questions Fruit- affecting the settlement as a whole. We must now Miidura may inquire. What has been the result to uidividual settlers ? ^'" i?'"^^^^^^- 215 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. In the first place, it is generally acknowledged that the climate and most of the soil of Mildura is ad- mirably adapted for growing fruit under irrigation. There are great varieties of soil. The bulk of the land is mallee scrub. There are, besides, pine ridges and box flats ; the soil on the pine ridges is generally considered the best. Fruit trees are said to make more progress in five years at Mildura than they do in other parts of the Colony in seven. Vines, apricots, lemons, oranges, peaches, pears, olives, are amongst the principal trees grown. Lemons are the most paying crop, apricots probably come next. Ohves can be grown on the inferior soil — even on that which is affected to some extent by seepage. Fruit-growing at JNIildura has been carried on, as we have seen, in spite of many initial difficulties, such as want of a proper supply of water, want of knowledge of the proper trees which were suitable to the different soils, and the dishonesty of nurserymen in supplying trees not true to name. Yet the statements made to the Commission undoubtedly show that, in spite of these drawbacks, fruit-growing at Mildura can be made an exceedingly profitable business. In some cases the returns are extraordinary. Mr. T. Wilkinson, an old Lincolnshire farmer, who had been many years in New Zealand, received in 1895-96 742/. for the produce of eleven acres of vines on his twenty acre block — the net return being about 340/. Mr. Mitting from nine acres of raisins netted 362/., but this appa- rently does not allow for the value of his own labour. Another witness gives 80/. as the net return from one and a half acres of peaches not yet four years old. The returns from lemon-trees, as given by Mr. Pickering, 216 MILDURA. Lord Ranfurley's manager, and Mr. Levien, are the most remarkable of all. INIr. Pickering gives 740/. as the net return from 20 acres of lemons. Deducting cost of cultivation at 6/. an acre, which is apparently not included, the net return is reduced to 620/., or 31/. an acre. JNIr. Levien gives 149/. as the net return from two and a half acres (quarter acre being affected by seepage), after deducting all expenses of culti- vation, &c. This is equivalent to a return of consider- ably over 60/. an acre. To the objection that the returns which have just been quoted are not the average results from land at JNlildura, it may be fairly replied that many successful settlers whose land is mortgaged would obviously be reluctant to publish the profits they are realising; and that the settlers who were examined before the Commission, with but one or two exceptions, expressed themselves as exceedingly hopeful if not as confident of success. The favour- able opinions expressed as to the future of IMildura are always subject to the provision of a proper water supply, for which many said they would be willing to pay twice or three times the present water-rate of 1/. an acre. Melbourne is at present the principal market for Markets for ^lildura produce, which is carried by river to Echuca products, (past Swan Hill) and thence by rail, at 37*. a ton. In 1895 the prices obtained for certain fruits, notably for raisins, were low, owing to individual growers throwing this produce on the market at the same time. In 1895, the prices obtained were l^d. to 2d. per lb.; in 1896, S^d. to 5d. per lb. A considerable proportion of the fruit is now dealt with by the Mildura Fruit Pre- serving Company, and by the JNlildura Fruit Growers' 217 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Association — a co-operative society of the best kind, which has akeady done a great deal (as is apparent from the figures quoted above) to secure better prices for its members. The Commission came to the con- clusion that the market prospects for Mildura fruits, both green and preserved, are decidedly favourable. Mildura has not yet overtaken the local demand for lemons, oranges, raisins, and dried fruits. In the home market, and in the markets of the world generally, Mildura can only hope to compete, under present con- ditions, with other fruit-growing countries in lemons, dried apricots and peaches, the best sort of raisins, and olives. Great improvements have already been made in methods of production. It is certain that, as time goes on, the cost of production will be considerably diminished, and further improvements will be made. The fruit-preserving companies are capable of dealing with a far larger quantity of fruit than they deal with now, which means a reduction in the fixed charges which each pound of fruit has to bear. It would be unwise to extend the cultivation of raisins and currants beyond the amount necessary to supply the home demand. The same may be said of oranges. In canned fruits California at present holds the pre- eminence ; though it is possible that Mildura, with a diminished cost of production, may be able to com- pete with her in the future. There is little evidence that the vignerons can compete successfully, with the assistance of irrigation, with wine-makers in other parts of the Colony under natural conditions. Lack of I have said sufficient to show that Mildura has a hlScapto great future, provided that she is able to overcome her development, pj-^j^ent difficulties, viz., the defective water supply, and 218 MILDURA. absence of funds to make it efficient. AYith regard to the former, the principal causes are the condition of the channels, and the bad state of repair of much of the pumping plant. To these may be added the costliness in some respects of raising the water to the land, and the fact that, under the present arrangement of the pumping stations on the Billabong system, a breakdown in one may mean the stoppage of the water supply for the whole area irrigated. What steps are to be taken to remedy the defective supply of water ? Mr. Tolley, the Secretary of the Trust, proposes Suggestions to abandon the whole Billabong pumping system, and remedy of to erect a new concentrated station at Red Cliffs, quite supply : outside the hmits of the existing settlement, and to le/fscSe, improve the Town and Homestead pumping plants. The chief features of his scheme are that the water would be raised in one lift by Worthington pumps into a 70 ft. channel and a 90 ft. channel, and that these are to be connected with the existing channels by the construction of ten miles of new channelling. He also proposes that thirty-four miles of the existing channels and distributories should be lined in the worst places with cement concrete, at a cost of 25,000/. The total cost of the scheme is estimated at 68,000/. — less pro- ceeds of sale of Billabong plant — and the annual working expenses are estimated at 7110/., as compared with 11,000/. under the present system, the saving being chiefly in labour and fuel. Interest and sinking fund would absorb 3732/., so that there would be no immediate relief to the financial strain on the settle- ment. The advantages claimed for the scheme are : that it would irrigate the wliole of the sold land, 15,000 acres, in the time that it now takes to irrigate 219 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. 4000 acres ; that reserve power is provided in case of a breakdown; and that it is capable of easy expansion (6)Mr.Ander- with the nccds of the settlement. Mr. Anderson, sod's scheme. , , , i i /> i . • j whose report we have au-eady referred to, considers that the better course is to improve the existing system, and to wait till the settlement grows in the direction of Red Cliffs before erecting a new plant at this place. The Commission adopt Mr. Anderson's view. They recommend that a loan, not exceeding 30,000/. — to be expended in lining the channels where required, and in the improvement of the pumping plant, under the supervision of a Government officer — be made to the JNIildura Imgation Trust ; and that a further advance of 400Z. a month from October 1896 to April 1897 be made, so as to subsidise the work of distributing water for the coming season. Though they recommend an immediate advance of 5000/., to form part of the loan, for carrying out Mr. Anderson's recommendations as to the plant, they apparently do not adopt these in their entirety. JNIr. Anderson's pro- posals are estimated to cost 32,000/., and the lining of the channels 25,000/., or a total of 57,000/. A Bill to give effect to the recommendations of the Commission was about to be introduced into Parhament when I left the Colony at the end of November. By last mail 1 heard from my father that the Bill had become law. With this assistance from the Government I beheve that Mildura will be shortly self-supporting, and will become again a profitable field for settlement. Except in the market gardens in the neighbourhood of Paris, I know of no place where so much money is to be made out of the land. It is an excellent place for any colonist to settle on who has a small amount of 220 AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. capital, and it offers special advantages to a man with a family, as the labour of every member is valuable at picking time. A great influx of settlers at the present moment would be undesirable ; but, as the carrying capacity of the channels is increased, it is to be hoped that new settlers will gradually take up the land already commanded by the irrigation system. In conclusion : reviewing the whole history of The Tifi 1 !• 1 • n • temporary JVlildura, there seems to me little occasion for accusing failure of any of the promoters of culpable dishonesty. Great reaUy an mistakes have been made, it is true, but these are Judgment. inseparable in a new enterprise of this magnitude. To the Messrs. ChafFey are, at any rate, due the thanks of the Colony for showing that it is possible to turn almost worthless land into a beautiful fruit- garden. RAILWAYS. Before discussing the railway systems of New South Breaks of Wales, Victoria, and South Australia, a few remarks drawback to may be made on Australian railways generally. The IScation"^"^"" first and most obvious point that arrests the attention, as well as the progi-ess of the traveller is, that no less than three different gauges are in use on the Australian continent. Western Australia, whose railway system is detached by over 1000 miles from those of the other Colonies, has adopted the 3 ft. 6 in. gauge. South Australia has both the 3 ft. 6 in. and 5 ft. 3 in. gauge. Victoria has the 5 ft. 3 in. gauge throughout. New South Wales has adopted the standard gauge of the world, viz., 4 ft. 8 J in. Queensland utilises the 3 ft. 6 in. gauge on the various separate systems running inland from Brisbane, Rockhampton, and other ports 221 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. Mr. Eddy's scheme for the unification of gauges. Unprofitable Hnes. along the coast. A traveller landing in Adelaide and wishing to proceed to Brisbane by rail would travel from Adelaide via Melbourne to Albury on the Victorian border, on the 5 ft. 3 in. gauge ; from Albury via Sydney to Jennings on the Queensland border, on the 4 ft. 8 J in. gauge; from Jennings to Brisbane on the 3 ft. 6 in. gauge. These breaks of gauge are a great bar to inter-communication between the Colonies, and must lead to considerable loss of economy in working and equipment. It is certain that the breaks of gauge at Albury and Jennings divert a large portion of the passenger traffic between Melbourne and Sydney, and between Sydney and Brisbane from the railways to the steamers. It is satisfactory to know that the subject is engaging the attention of the most capable railway administrators in the Colonies. The lines on which reform should proceed were laid down in a letter from Mr. Eddy to the Minister for Railways in New South Wales in 1889. The main principles of his scheme were : ( 1 ) That the cost of adopting a uniform gauge shall be borne by the whole of the Colonies affected; (2) the decision must be come to from the standpoint of which gauge (the 4 ft. 8^ in., or 5 ft. 3 in.) can be adopted at the least cost and inconvenience ; (3) the whole of the railways in New South Wales and Victoria, the railways in South Australia now laid to the 5 ft. 3 in. gauge, as well as the line to Broken Hill, and all lines in Queensland, south of Brisbane, leading to New South Wales, shall be altered to the standai'd gauge. A glance at the railway maps of the different Colo- nies, provided that the inquirer has some knowledge of the physical features and the productive possibilities 222 AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. of the various parts of the continent, will give the best answer to the question whether the railways have been constructed on the best lines for opening up the country, and at the same time giving a fair return on the capital invested. It would be answered in the affirmative as far as the Queensland, New South Wales, and, in a lesser degree, the South Australian railways are concerned. Even in Victoria it might have been answered in the affirmative up to the year 1884. But since that time large sums of money (7,500,000/. under the Act of 1884 alone) have been expended on the construction of lines which do not pay working expenses, much less the interest on capital cost ; do little to open up the country ; and the principal effect of which has been to take away traffic from previously existing lines. The Age newspaper took a leading part in resisting this reckless policy of railway construction, and in a very strong article published on November 24th, 1896, urged that the non-paying lines should be made to cover their working expenses or the traffic be discontinued. I do not propose to discuss the railway systems of Queensland or Western Australia, as I had no oppor- tunity of visiting those Colonies. The New South Wales railways were by the Act New South , , w flics of 1888 placed under the control of three commissioners, railway who are practically independent of Parliamentary interference, as far as the internal management of the department is concerned. Mr. Eddy is the chief commissioner and the responsible head of the department. The Act expired in 1894, but after some discussion was renewed. The following are the principal statistics of the railways for 1895 as compared with 1888. 223 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. It must be remembered that the returns of 1895-96 suffered considerably from the general depression which still overshadowed all the eastern Colonies; from the drought which caused a loss of 13,000,000 sheep and lambs ; from the coal-strike in Newcastle ; and from floods at Bourke, which swept away several miles of line. Reduction of working expenses on the trunk lines. Miles open Cost per mile Gross earnings Net earnings Working expenses earnings Capital Rate earned on capital of gross \ 1888. 2,114 13,11«. 2,295,124Z. 764, 573?. 677o 28,600,000?. 2-85°/o 1895. 2,531 14,538?. 2,820,417?. 1,268,529?. 55°/o 38,287,090?. The high capital cost— 14,000/. per mile— of the New South Wales railways is in great measure due to the difficult country through which the lines have been constructed. The worst grades are unfortunately on the trunk lines. Considerable sums of money have been spent in recent years in reducing the steepest gradients, and in lengthening the radius of the sharper curves — a pohcy which has already led to great economy in working, and is being vigorously continued. The worst difficulties of railway construction in New South Wales have already been surmounted. Future ex- tensions of the system must be mainly over the gi'eat western plains, where railway construction presents few difficulties, if we except the bridging of the Darling and its tributaries, which are liable to floods. Lightly built extensions of existing lines are projected at a cost of 2000/. a mile ; but even were these lines substantially 224 AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. built for heavy traffic the capital cost per mile of the New South Wales railways should become very materially reduced. New South Wales is not without its burden of New South unprofitable lines. No less than 1117 miles of line fail J^profitabie to earn their interest charges, though with the exception '"^'^^^ys- of the connection between Murrumburrah and Blayney, and that part of the Northern Railway between Armi- dale and the Queensland border, all lines pay their working expenses. The capital cost of the lines at present unprofitable amounts to 13,300,000/. The loss on the through line to Queensland should be materially reduced were a uniform gauge adopted, giving better facilities for traffic. The opening of the new sulphide works at Illawarra should make a great difference to the receipts on the line from Sydney to Nowra, and many of the at present unprofitable branches may be expected to pay as the country becomes settled up. The principal causes which have led to the improved Means by position of the railways since they came under the pre- rconomy is sent management are : ( 1 ) Improvements in the permanent ^^^^f^ way by a reduction of gradients and curves. (2) Use of the best materials in the repair of the permanent way, and consequent reduced cost of maintenance. (3) Use of much more powerful locomotives and better rolling stock. A very powerful engine has recently been designed in the Colony, embodying the best features of Enghsh and American locomotives. The Commissioners estimate that the saving per annum by the reduction of gradients, and the introduction of more powerful loco- motives amounts already to 100,000/., and that as the traffic increases in volume, so will the annual saving be 225 Q effected. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. South Australian railway statistics. Costs. increased. Important as the above causes have been in contributing to the improved position of the New South Wales railways, nothing has probably contributed more to this result than the increased efficiency of the staff, and of the labour employed. Mr. Eddy has striven hard to create amongst the New South Wales railway employes the same esprit de corps which exists amongst the employes of his old service, the London and North- western Railway Company in England, and there is good evidence that his efforts have been attended with success. The average rates of pay of nearly every class of employe in the New South Wales railways were higher in 1894 than in 1888, which may be directly attributed to the increased efficiency of the labour. The following are the principal statistics of the South Australian railways (excluding the Palmerston line) in 1887 and 1896 :— Miles open Passengers carried Tonnage of goods carried Gross earnings Working expenses Percentage of working ex-\ penses to gross earnings.../ Capital cost Interest earned on capital 1887, 1896. 1,220 1,722 3,366,000 5,436,000 782,000 1,057,000 550, 000^. 986, 500^. 350,000Z. 583,000?. 67-/o 59°/o 8,461, 274Z. 12,583,443 2-52'>/o 3-21^/o Of the miles at present open for traffic 493 are of the 5 ft. 3 in. gauge, 1229 of the 3 ft. 6 in. gauge. Of the broad gauge lines, the Midland system cost 14,000/. a mile, the Southern system cost 9700/. a mile. The narrow gauge lines have cost from 4300/. (South-Eastern system) to 5400/. (Northern system). 226 AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. There is thus a great saving on fii-st cost by the adoption of the narrow gauge, but there is no sub- sequent saving in working expenses, as compared with the broad gauge. The Northern hne has recently been carried to Oodnadatta, 686 miles from Adelaide. The railway in the Northern territory is narrow gauge. Its present terminus is Pine Creek, 147 miles from Palmerston. The extension of the Northern line for 250 miles from Hergott Springs has been a great burden on the Colony. It passes through desert country. The traffic upon it is practically nil, and only one train is run a fortnight. From four stations fairly distributed along the line the traffic was as foUows : — Cattle. Sheep. Wool. (Tons.) Tonnage forwarded. Tonnage received. Oodnadatta 20 23 13 62 5 6 8 538 Anna Creek Strang ways Springs... Stuarts Creek 19 23 19 It is difficult to understand why, when the Govern- ment decided to make this extension, the railway was not carried up the eastern instead of the western side of Lake Eyre, which would have brought it 150 miles nearer the Queensland border. A considerable portion of the traffic from the back stations on the Barcoo and the south - western corner in Queensland passes to South Australia at present via Hergott Springs and Farina. In 1895, 15,000 cattle and over 56,000 sheep were shipped fi'om Hergott Springs alone. As the Southern Queensland line extends westward the whole of this traffic will gradually pass to Brisbane. The 227 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. South Australian railways would have been enabled to keep this traffic very much longer, and would pro- bably have been able to extend it for a time had the line been carried as I suggest. The only possibiUty of the Northern line ever becoming remunerative is through the discovery of a rich mining district in the centre of the continent. The idea of ultimately ex- tending the line right across the continent deserves a passing notice. The present termini at Oodnadatta and Pine Creek are over 1000 miles apart ; the country between them is a desert. The line would cost at least 5,000,000/. to construct, and would not under any at present conceivable conditions be valuable for through traffic. It is obvious that no goods traffic would pass this way from the southern parts of Australia, on account of the cost of carriage by rail as against the cost of carriage by sea. Little passenger traffic could be expected. Port Darwin is 3000 miles from Colombo, Albany is only 3350 miles, and Adelaide 1000 miles further. It is safe to say that few travellers would prefer the certain discomfort of a journey across the central desert of Australia to the possi- bility of a rough passage across the Bight without a very substantial saving in time. There would be none at the present rate of railway travelling in Australia. Railway The rate of interest earned on capital for the year 1895-96 has already been stated to be 3*21 per cent. The actual interest charges amovmted to 468,374/., and there was a deficiency of 64,896/. to be made good from the general revenue. Though this result com- pares favourably with the position ten years ago, it is very much less favourable than it has been in many of 228 finance AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. the intervening years — the principal reason, of course, being the construction of new and unprofitable lines. For the five years 1888-92 inclusive, the net return on capital was never less than 4 per cent. ; in 1 890 it was 5 per cent. ; in 1891 it was 5*3 per cent. The returns for 1895-96 were affected by the unfavourable season. The present season is even worse. Stock has suffered severely, and the wheat crop has almost been ruined by drought. The coaching traffic, as in New South Wales and Victoria, shows a satisfactory increase, and helps to reduce the loss. The cost of maintenance, renewal of way works, &c., for both gauges has been reduced from 85/. per mile in 1892-93 to 71/. per mile in 1895-96. For the broad gauge the reduction is from 141/. to 104/. per mile, for the narrow gauge from 58/. to 56/. per mile. There are 3600 employes on the South Australian Short time railways. Short time was worked by traffic and loco- motive running employes for nearly four years, and was only abolished at the close of the year 1895-96. Short time still continues for the men employed in the work- shops. As there is no immediate prospect of there being sufficient work to employ these men full time, the Commissioner recommends that the numbers shall be adjusted to the requirements. ' The continuance of short time,' he says, ' is demoralising to the men, and does not tend to economical working.' The locomotive engineer's report is even stronger on this point. He says : ' The system of keeping men on short time for several years tends to demoralise, engenders a spirit of dissatisfaction and discontent in the minds of those called upon to suffer, and it is not to be wondered at that work costs more to execute under such conditions, 229 Victorian railways. PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. and that discipline is undermined and rendered diffi- cult to maintain.' Short time is not the only cause which militates against the efficiency of the staff. ' In a few years,' says the locomotive engineer, ' all the present graded enginemen and firemen will be receiving the maximum rates of pay irrespective of the value of the work performed.' This system also obtains in other branches of the service. The Com- missioner last year proposed a scheme by which the system would have been gradually altered without reducing the pay of any man then in the employ of the department ; but, though the new regulation was actually gazetted, it was subsequently ruled to be invalid. My remarks on the railways of Victoria will be ex- ceedingly brief. Mr. Mathieson has only recently come from Queensland to take up the Herculean task of re- organizing the Department, and reducing the deficit which has to be met out of the general revenue of the Colony. Criticism would therefore be out of place. The following is a summary of the present position of the railways as compared with 1890-91 : — Miles open Gross earnings Net earnings Working expenses of gross \ earnings J Deficit Capital Rate earned on capital 1890-91. 2,471 3, 298, 567 Z. 987,922Z. 70-05% 332,116Z. 2-72% 1895-96. 3,122^ 2,401,392Z. 854,917Z. 64-4%* 583,685^ 38,108,151/. 2-24<'/o * Includes pensions and gratuities. 230 AUSTRALIAN RAILWAYS. Though 650 more miles of line were open at the Heavy de- end of last year than were open in 1890, the gi-oss met. revenue was 800,000/. less, and the deficit to be made good from the general revenue had risen to nearly 600,000/. This is constituting a heavy burden on the resources of the Colony, and I have already mentioned the chief cause, viz., the construction of new and un- profitable lines. That unprofitable fines are not the only cause of the ^J^t^X^jf;*^. deficit on the Victorian railways was brought out very organization strongly in the Report of the Railway Inquiry Board way system. of 1895. The Report speaks of the whole service as disorganized if not demoralised. Each branch was independent of higher control, the authority of the administrative officers was weak, political influence was contributing to destroy discipline, the salaries of officers in responsible positions were low, while the wages paid to artisans and labourers were higher than those ruling outside the Department. The abuse of the system of free passes, the successful competition of teamsters for the carriage of goods from Ballarat, Bendigo, and Goulburn Valley to Melbourne, and the want of proper accommodation for travellers, are other points alluded to in the Report. Steps have already been taken to remedy this unsatisfactory state of things. Mr. Mathieson, since he entered upon his duties last July, has been occupied in the classification and general regrading of the staff", in the revision of fares and freights, and in the reorganization of the stores and other branches of the service. Better passenger vehicles are being provided, and I speak from experience when I say that on some of the lines the carriages are as good as can be wished for. Provided that political inter- 231 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. ference is rigidly excluded from the internal manage- ment of the Department, Mr. Mathieson should be able to effect a great improvement in the financial position. He has, however, to face a most serious loss in goods traffic for the current year, owing to the drought, from which many parts of the Colony have suffered. I had intended to discuss the village settlements of Victoria, South Australia, and New South Wales, and to give some account of that most interesting and suc- cessful experiment for dealing with the problem of the unemployed at Leongatha, but time will not permit. Two remarks I would hke to make in conclusion. In the first place, I think the Governments of the various Australian Colonies, more especially those of New South Wales and Victoria — are deserving of the veiy gi-eatest credit for the heroic efforts they have made to produce an equilibrium between revenue (which has suffered so much from the depression) and expenditure. Growth of In the second place, it is my profound conviction lov3.1tv in , •'X Australia. that the scntimcnt of loyalty to the mother country is far deeper in Australia to-day than it was when I was there ten years ago. Just as ^ve in England have come to recognise, so have our fellow subjects in the Colonies become convinced, that their future gi-eatness depends on our remaining firmly united under the British flag. 232 THE EGYPTIAN QUESTION. Speech at Boscombe, November 10th, 1898. We have all been glad to read in our newspaper The this morning that the conduct of the French Govern- Stitudfif ment in deciding to withdraw from Fashoda was S'*'i,''^P^ ,, ^ the l^asnoda allowed to pass unquestioned in the French Chamber, question. and has not been unfavourably criticised by the French press. The Fashoda incident may be described as closed, but the Egyptian question is not yet settled. I am one of those who beheve that it is high time to put an end to our equivocal position in Egypt ; and I hope you will not take it amiss if I attempt to review to-night the history of the Egyptian question, and to consider what bearing that question has on British interests in other parts of the world. The rebellion of Arabi Pasha, which led to British British intervention in Egypt, broke out in 1882. We asked in*|g5^t^°n the French to co-operate with us in putting down that ^^^^- rebellion. M. de Freycinet, who was then Prime Minister, proposed that the French should co-operate by sending 4000 infanteiie de marine to occupy the line of the Suez Canal. The Senate, like the Chamber, rejected the Government proposals, and the French fleet withdrew from Alexandria. We were left to put down the Arabi rebellion single-handed, and we have been responsible for the administration of Egypt ever since. 233 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. The policy of There is not the least reason to doubt that the mass oi the r rench people were exceedingly mortified at the decision of the French Chambers. The Paris news- paper, Le Matin, frankly acknowledges that ' From time to time we ' (the French) ' inaugurated the policy of pin-pricks on Great Britain, a policy which had no definite object, and which was bound to turn out badly. We now find ourselves confronted by people who have at last been exasperated by the continual pricks we have given them.' What are the pricks here alluded to ? Among them are the demands for the evacuation of Egypt, when Egypt was manifestly unable to stand alone ; when, if we had left the country, either France would have stepped into our place or Egypt would have been overrun by the JMahdi's hordes ; the obstacles which were thrown in our way in the reform of admini- stration, and the refusal to allow the Egj^tian Budget surplus to be used for the alleviation of taxation or the development of the country ; the refusal by the French representatives on the Caisse de la Dette to allow funds to be used for the expedition which gave back to Egypt the Province of Dongola. I need not dwell on French action in Tunis, in West Africa, or in Madagascar, where they have established the protective duties usual in French Colonies, in defiance of their pledges, but Lord Rosebery's words at Epsom, on October 13th, are well worth quoting: — Lord ' There has been a disposition in the last two or three Rosebery at ,,.. i-i r.-r-iii Epsom. years to encroach and impnige on the rights of England in various parts of the world in a way which is not gratifying to Englishmen, and which 1 do not think is calculated to promote those cordial relations with other Powers, which it must be the wish of a great com- 234 THE EGYPTIAN QUESTION. mercial Empire like ours to cultivate. The present Government has shown no want of conciliation ; some may think that they have gone too far in the path of conciliation in various parts of the world ; but it is no part of my province to discuss that question to-night. All I wish to say is that Great Britain has been conci- Hatory, and that her conciliatory disposition has been widely misunderstood. If the nations of the world are under the impression that the ancient spirit of Great Britain is dead, or that her resources are weakened, or her population less determined than ever it was to maintain the rights and the honour of its flag, they make a inistake which can only end in a disastrous conflagration.' Fifteen years ago, after the suppression of the Arabi Rebellion, we might have declared a protectorate over Egypt. That was Mr. W. E. Forster's view ; and this step might have been taken with little opposition. The Egyptian question would then have been settled for all time. But the step was not taken, why, it is hard to explain, and we were more than once very near evacuating Egypt. In spite, however, of our equivocal position, we set what the to work with a handful of Englishmen to reform the oJcupation administration of a country which was almost bankrupt, f^r^ Egypt. and the people of which were suffering fi'om years of oppression and misrule. Sir Alfred JMilner tells us in his admirable book on England in Egypt how that work was accomplished. It is a work of which Englishmen may well be proud, and which is, from some points of view, almost more remarkable than our administration of India. With very small available funds the material resources of the country were de- 235 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. veloped by the construction of irrigation and drainage works, thousands of acres being thus added to the cultivated area. The administration of justice was purified, and official corruption was gradually stamped out. The finances were reformed ; much oppressive taxation was remitted ; and, as the taxable resources of the country increased, more would have been accom- plished in the same direction but for the senseless and irritating opposition of the French representatives on the Caisse de la Dette. Then, again, what is more remarkable than the change which has taken place in the character of the people of Egypt themselves ? The despised fellaheen, who, twelve years ago, in the battles on the shores of the Red Sea, threw themselves on their knees, to be slain by Osman Digna's dervishes, have become, under the leadership of a few British officers, the soldiers who have won, or assisted in winning, the battles of Toski, Abu Hamed, the Atbara, and Omdur- man. The work done by England in Egypt gives her a claim to a position in that country which no other nation can share ; and that work is not yet completed. Our position What is our position as regards the Upper Nile Nile. Valley and the Egyptian Soudan ? The dream of ex- tending British territory from the Cape to Cairo origi- nated in the brain of that great empire-builder, Mr. Cecil Rhodes. He, in South Africa, has done his share of the work. Sir Harry Johnston, in Central Africa, has done his. A few English capitalists, under the leadership of Sir William Mackinnon, preserved for us a portion of East Africa, and secured a route for British commerce, free from the protective duties of French or Germans, into the heart of the great Continent, a gi'ateful country repaying them for their patriotic 236 THE EGYPTIAN QUESTION. services by buying them out at ten shillings in the pound. What those services are worth, future gene- rations of Englishmen will realise. The regions to which I have just alluded were generally recognised as lying within the British sphere of influence in the partition of Africa which took place in 1890. More- over, the British sphere of influence was specifically acknowledged to extend over the Nile Valley, by agreements made in 1890 with Germany and with Italy. It was similarly recognised by the agreement made with the Congo Free State in 1894, under which a lease was granted to the Free State for the life-time of the present King of the Belgians. We have always maintained that the Nile ^"alley and the Egyptian Soudan, including the provinces of Kordofan, Darfur, and Bahr-al-Gazal, though temporarily lost to Egypt by the Mahdist Rebellion, still remained Egyptian territory. A few years ago, the French Foreign Ministers of the day were fond of pointing out (I suppose when they feared that we might seize it for ourselves) that the Khedive and the Sultan were still the supreme rulers of the old Egyptian Soudan. Lately, however, they have taken another line, and have tried to maintain that Egyptian claims have lapsed, owing to the non-exercise of Egyptian authority. An exactly parallel case can be quoted against Arbitration J i^ ^ " . . in respect to this contention. In 1873, Portugal and Great Britam DeiagoaBay. submitted their dispute with regard to Delagoa Bay to arbitration. Portugal claimed rights of sovereignty, as existing since the discovery of the bay by Portuguese navigators in the sixteenth century. Great Britain claimed under treaties concluded in 1823 between Captain Owen and certain native chiefs, whom he 237 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. believed to be independent, contending that any earlier rights which Portugal might have possessed had been allowed by her to fall into abeyance. Marshal JNIacMahon, then President of the French Repubhc, acting as arbitrator, disposed of Great Britain's plea as follows : ' Whereas, if the accidental weakness of the Portuguese authority in these parts were able in 1823 to lead Captain Owen into error, and cause him to consider in good faith, as actually independent of the Crown of Portugal, the native chiefs of the terri- tories, now in dispute, the acts concluded by him with these chiefs were none the less in violation of the rights of Portugal.' Our claim to Whatever may have been the bearing of Marshal Nile Valley maintained. MacMahou's award in the case just referred to, we have never admitted the claim of any other Power to a position in the Nile Valley. In March, 1895, Sir Edward Grey, in his much-quoted speech in the House of Commons, pointed out that ' The advance of a French expedition, under secret instructions, right from the other side of Africa into territory our claims over which have been known for so long, would be not merely an inconsistent and unexpected act, but it must be perfectly well known that it would be an unfriendly act, and would be so viewed by England.' On the 10th December, 1897, M. Hanotaux, the then Minister for Foreign Affairs, was expressly informed that Her Majesty's Government adhered to the language of their predecessors. It is unnecessary to dwell upon the fact that the exertions which have culminated in the reconquest of the Soudan were ours. We have not expended the blood of British soldiers and the money of the British 238 THE EGYPTIAN QUESTION. taxpayer in order that half of the fruits of our victories may be reaped by others. But for the pressure of the Anglo-Egyptian forces on the Khalifa's army from the north, Major Marchand would either never have reached the Nile Valley, or would have been annihilated as soon as he got there. No just appreciation of the whole Egyptian question Upper Nile is possible without considering the value to Egypt of irrigation in the possession of the Upper Nile Valley. Egypt E^^pJ depends absolutely for its prosperity on irrigation from the Nile. Neither the cotton crop — worth 10,000,000/. annually — nor rice, nor sugar, could be grown without summer irrigation, which practically requires the whole water supply of the Nile, that water supply being derived from the great lakes and the Bahr-al-Gazal. Should any extensive system of irrigation be established in the Upper Nile Valley or in the Bahr-al-Gazal, Lower Egypt would probably be ruined. Therefore the power which is responsible for Egypt must control the sources of its prosperity. As to the intrinsic value of the Soudan, a few words Value of the must be said. The country more immediately to the north of Khartoum is a desert, and therefore valueless. The valuable parts of the Soudan are in the Provinces of Kordofan, Darfur, and the Bahr-al-Gazal. Of this latter district, Slatin Pasha, who was Govenor of Darfur, says : ' It is a most fertile district, extending ' over an enormous area, watered by a labyrinth of * streams. The soil is exceptionally good, producing ' quantities of cotton and indiarubber. There are cattle * in abundance, and I estimate the population at between *five and six million.' The Province was brought under the Government of the Khedive by Gessi Pasha. He 239 PROBLEMS OF EMPIRE. was succeeded by Lupton Bey, who, defended his Pro vince long after the Mahdist RebelHon had cut him off fi'om all communication with Khartoum and Egypt. In 1883, he was able to boast that he was the only one of the Soudan Governors who could give the Egyptian Government a clear profit of something like 60,000/. for that year. In the course of his advance to the Nile, Major INIarchand has established several French posts in the Bahr-al-Gazal, and has proclaimed French sovereignty over places which were centres of Egyptian authority in the pre-Mahdist days. That is why, although the Fashoda incident may be closed, the Egyptian question is not yet settled. Need of a The British people are not satisfied with the equi- over the vocal positiou in which they stand in Egypt. I have NUe?"^ e gj^^^j^ y^^ wliat are our rights, what are our claims, and what are our responsibilities. The time has arrived when we must declare, in unmistakable terms, a Pro- tectorate over Egypt and the whole of the Valley of the Nile. We have refrained from taking this step, which, as I have already pointed out, we might have taken fifteen years ago, more out of consideration for the susceptibilities of the French than for any other reason, and the result has been endless friction and irritation between the two nations ever since. It is good for neither that this state of things should con- tinue, and it can only be put an end to by our accepting in name the position which we have long held in fact, viz., the position of tlie protectors of Egypt. An Egyptian Are wc strouff euouffh to take the step which I am Protectorate. XV*-»A * * Los Angeles This book is DUE on the last date stamped below. fiPCl 195k? Oi.022\^^^ .nH'i •Al^^^^ jfjgfit I0i tt ^^ 1^ AM 7-4 •9 ^jEClOW^"? form L9-25m-9,'47 ( A5618 ) 444 ttrafg UNiVfc:K5r'.iTy OK CALlbUiiNiA AT LOS ANGELES *■ T !-»!-> A TiV UC SOUTHERN Rfr,io»j /!! I •rip;. AA 000 676 593 7