v LrlEfRA.RY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA. CrI KT OK Received Accession No. , 189 . Class No. 1337 SILVER IN EUROPE BY S. DANA HOBTON SECOND EDITION, ENLARGED. Neto Dark MAC MILL AN AND CO 1892 COPYRIGHT, 1890, BY S. DANA HORTON. PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION. The new matter here added refers primarily to nota- ble events that have occurred since the date of the first edition (April, 1890), but at the same time it has its bearing upon the general direction of the Silver Movement since the last International Conference in Paris, 1881-1882. ME. GOSCHEN'S PEOPOSALS of De- cember 2, 1891, are the first actual step forward in Europe made in this behalf since 1881, but, as will be fully explained in an introductory paper on PEOGEESS IN ENGLAND (page 291), this step of a Tory Government in 1891 is a pendant to the action taken by the Liberal Government in 1881. The general argument leading up to it appears to be in fair measure set forth in a tract distributed early last year by the Parliamentary leaders of the Silver Party to their colleagues, the larger part of which is here reprinted. As a statement of the whole case for Great Britain, this paper is deficient in taking for granted, or passing by in silence, the great special interests involved in silver ; namely, the agricultural interest, and the interest of trade with silver countries, together with manufacturing for that trade. Of these two "silver interests," which may be classed under the iii I\T SILVER IN EUKOPE. titles Wheat and Cotton, the former is no longer a stranger in this country though both were so when I raised the point about them at the Atlanta Commer- cial Convention in May, 1885. The interests of Lan- cashire industries, and of the cotton trade generally, are indicated in the extracts which follow on page 319, under the title SILVER IN THE ENGLISH ELECTIONS. Had time permitted, I should have been glad to remodel the book, changing its form and giving it at least the consecutiveness lacking to a collection of distinct essays. But the reader will pardon when he observes that most of my papers herein reprinted were like briefs with which (to use the terms of my profession) I had been ' fighting a case ' in Europe, and he will pardon all the more readily when he realizes that the ' fighting of that case ' is really the thing that Americans are chiefly interested in, whether they are as yet aware of it or no. He will then perhaps discover that that is precisely what his neighbors need to learn those whom he finds indifferent or visionary or wrong-headed about silver ! If submitting these arguments to the American reader in form as delivered in Europe shall arouse a sense of the realities of the struggle there in progress, then at least it can be said of these disjunct pages that, though the road be a rough one, still we arrive, as the French idiom has it we "get there," and by a shorter cut. PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION. V Among these realities let me mark here points which it may prove peculiarly useful to dwell upon at this juncture, when the air is full of talk of an International Conference, at Chicago or elsewhere. Europeans will never remonetize silver merely because Americans wish them to do so ; they will do it only when they recognize it to be their interest. An International " Conference " having as such no original power to establish a coin- age system, there is sometimes danger of forgetting that what is really wanted is action rather than talk. Nor is the decision of a ministry, or authorization of a legislature, to take part in a Conference, necessarily anything more than an expression of polite interest. The real thing desired is an Act of Parliament, an Act of the French Legislative Body, an Act of the German Imperial Diet beside an Act of Congress. As most readers are aware that it is no light matter to pass a bill in Congress, they will perhaps shrink back at sight of the task that has been set for this generation of getting concordant legislation in Europe. But this generation or its leaders must learn that it is for the interest of England, of France, of Germany that these respective acts be passed. Once it is recognized that the European outlawry of silver is a blunder, a blunder for Europe, and there is daylight ahead ! A campaign against the forces responsible for that blun- der may be arduous and long, but if there be good management it must succeed in the end ; and what American does not wish to see his country contribute vi SILVER IN EUROPE. to that management ? What we are concerned about, then, is the American contingent in the forces of a reform which must show front in Calcutta, in Paris, and in London, as well as here. Moreover, the main strategic combinations are simple, in spite of the expansion of the theatre of war. The controlling headquarters are very near together. It was in Paris that the governments of Berlin and London, in 1881, made surrender, for the rest of man- kind, of the main principles of demonetization. A decade has passed since that preliminary victory ; heedlessness and neglect have prevailed. The greater the need of effort, of ability, and of caution, now ! The Silver Movement in Europe, unlike the free- coinage movement here, has for its object not the local, but the general, reversal of the outlawry main- tained against silver, primarily by European statutes and decrees ; America's joining Europe in free coinage when Europe is ready, being taken everywhere for granted. This Movement has its history, its fortunes, its story of good or bad management, of local failures or successes. It is through experience of these that forecast of its future is to be gained, and the knowledge how Americans can assist in promoting good manage- ment in Europe, and likewise a sense be acquired of what we must avoid here lest our interposition weaken the efforts of our allies in Europe. Naturally, the action of one partner to a proposed agreement must influence that of the others, and it is plain this country is con- PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION. Vll stantly taking a hand in Silver Diplomacy, so to speak, for good or for evil, and whether we are generally con- scious of it or no. Evidently if we are to help and not to hinder, it is doubly important that our information should be correct as to the situation in Europe, and that what we do, and likewise what we omit to do, should be calculated with a view to things as they are ! A word on the task undertaken by the silver reform- ers abroad. As they are the sole allies of the American policy, it is hardly less than the duty of educated Americans to recognize what they are doing. What is their work? It is essentially a work of education ; though agitation and management, both political and diplomatic, can direct the work and utilize its conquests. But ignorance is the enemy ; and it is a patriotic work that the reformer is doing in his own country. His struggle is not against interests, his attack is not upon the fortunes of any class of his fellows, it is upon their minds. Ignorance, I repeat, is the enemy though of course by its side are inertia, heedlessness, prejudice, dulness, and the pride of dogma. In short, the reformers are "right." The English silver reformer is a patriotic Englishman, the French reformer a patriotic Frenchman, the German a patriotic German. The emphasis of this statement is called for by reason of the opposing notions that are widely cur- rent among us, both in the gold camp and in the silver viii SILVER IN EUROPE. camp, as if silver were an American interest alone ! Had that been the case, its doom would have been sealed long ago. The opposition to the Silver Movement is also some- times painted in deceptive colors. The language of eloquence and of passion before many a constituency has presented an indictment against the originators of the outlawry of silver in Europe, and against its apolo- gists to-day, as well as against the partisans of gold in this country an indictment for conspiracy against the rest of mankind ! This untenable indictment is a great compliment to the foresight and power of organization of a class which can boast of quite as much dulness as its neighbors. Of course special interests, and short views about them, affect opinion, and naturally they have played their part here. But in a broad sense, anti-silver legislation was adopted to satisfy opinion based upon avowed and legitimate interests represented in public. Everywhere, in every country, those learned in mone- tary matters were avowed inspirers of the movement against silver, believing that they were right. They were wrong ! Experience adds annually a new volume of evidence to that effect. But the lapse of time also makes the remedy more difficult. The greater the need of a vigorous campaign of education to the end that the one possible remedy be speedily applied. April, 1892. PREFACE. A rising wave of interest in Silver has within the last year been spreading over the country, deriving momentum from the apparent need that Congress make provision to fill the void in the money-stock of the country left by the retirement of the notes of National Banks. A new stage of discussion and of experimental legislation is thus to be entered, in which the status of the white money-metal in other lands will remain entitled to peculiarly watchful and earnest consideration. The following pages are designed as a contribution to that end. It is not to be expected that they will render justice in detail to a subject so multifarious and so pervaded with subtleiies and insoluble problems that a library could be filled with its literature. Their theme is the movement for the general restoration of Silver to legal equality with gold. While the reader is invited to consider topics that may appear to bear no close relation to each other, the effect as a whole will be, I trust, to present to him in perspective the changing status of the money-metals, and the changing forces of opinion relating to that great mistake, the general outlawry of silver, which only the chief nations by uniting can repair. iii IV SILVER IN EUROPE. In a review of events the Monetary Congress, held at Paris in September last (1889), naturally conies into the foreground, and as importance can be attached to that as- sembly chiefly as the scene of an English pro-silver dem- onstration, it is here referred to in connection with the developments in England, in a chapter which I have en- titled THE PARIS MONETARY CONGRESS AND THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. In sequence to this a translation is given of a speech of mine at the Congress, made in reply to notable champions of gold there present, to whose views and authority it will be seen that I make reference, by which further light may be thrown on the opinions current in Europe. The nature and range of the subjects involved in silver, as they present themselves to the European monetary legislator, are outlined in the QUESTIONS addressed, in 1887, to certain foreign scholars by the BRITISH ROYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER. In the belief that my work will throw light into these recesses, I have printed my ANSWERS to these Questions, which were handed to the Commission in February, 1888. These are followed by an examination of doctrines re- lating to monetary legislation that hitherto have prevailed among the learned, a paper entitled the PARITY OF MONEYS, AS REGARDED BY ADAM SMITH, RlCARDO, AND MlLL which was printed in London as an open letter answering a ques- tion of a member of the Royal Commission, and was sent PREFACE. V to members of the Commission, then in session, and to others interested in monetary discussion. " The pages above referred to, devoted to the growth of opinion in England, formed the historical portion of an ad- dress on FEDERATION FOE PARITY OF MONEYS AND THE AD- VANCEMENT OF SCIENCE, sent (in response to invitation) to the late meeting of the American Association at Toronto. In that address I endeavored to state the new principles of monetary jurisprudence in a form at once practical and convenient for the general reader, and I therefore present it here. The important issue raised before Congress and the country by the Eeport of Mr. Winclom, as Secretary of the Treasury, is considered in its general relations in a paper entitled BULLION OR COIN, which is supplemented by an account of the currency proposals of David Ricardo (1816), under the title RICARDO ON BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. Another subject is also discussed,which explains itself by the title, A PAN-AMERICAN DOLLAR AND THE POLICY OF UNION. In view of current misapprehensions with reference to the possible action of foreign Powers, I present some considerations ON MEASURES IN AID OF DEMONETIZATION. A selection of papers embodying proof and justification of views and evidence of facts, set forth throughout the volume, are offered at the close in the form of a document- ary chronicle of THE ANTI-SILVER MOVEMENT AND ITS RE- VERSAL, which serves as appendix. * London: Macmillan & Co., June, 1888. ERRATA. Page 74, line 4, for "observed" read " obw-ve." Page 80, line 13, for " and from" read " not from." TABLE OF CONTENTS. I. THE PARIS MONETARY 'CONGRESS' (SEPTEMBER, 1889) AND THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. Pages 1-31. THE ORIGIN AND EFFECT OF THE CONGRESS. THE SUBJECT OF DEBATE AND PRO- CEEDINGS. The organization. The subject of debate. The diplomatic situation of silver. An English and German demonstra- tion in Paris. Academic debate. THE ADVANCE OF OPINION IN ENG- LAND. The Commons Committee of 1876. A fatal mistake. Bonanzas and Council Bills. The Monetary Conference of 1878. 1. The attitude of the English representatives at the Con- ference of 1878. 2. Their attitude at the Mone- tary Conference of 1881. 3. The work of agitation and edu- cation in England. 4. The Royal Commission on the Depression of Trade and In- dustry (1884-'86). 5. The Royal Commission on Gold and Silver (1886-'88). Its conclusions. The present situation. The future. II. A KEVIEW OF ANTI-SILVER ARGUMENTS. Pages 33-53. Speech in Eeply to Mr. Levasseur and Mr. Du Puynode (Paris, September 13, 1889). Explanatory. The policy of union. Why should France object ? The doctrine of the market. The ' single gold standard.' Sources of this theory. England its stronghold. Based on certain errors. Mr. Levasseur's position. His scheme. How it must look to Englishmen and Germans. The policy of demonetization. Vlll SILVEE IN EUROPE. III. QUESTIONS OF THE KOYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER, AND ANSWERS. Pages 55-106. Prefatory. The 'fall of silver.' The Eoyal Commission. Its pur- pose and jurisdiction. To investigate the effect of well- meant legislation. To recommend remedies. Motion to reverse judgment. Universal bias. Ten years' delay. Answer explained. Preference for gold. Bonanzas and Council Bills. Probable future of silver. "Wholesale prices. Appreciation of gold. Errors current. Stability and Parity. ' Contraction.' Normal stock. England's condition. Supply of metal. ' Scarcity ' and Parity. The concept 'standard.' Various aspects of ' quantity.' Quantity theory. Credit and cash. Methods of economizing specie. Federation for Parity. Law of Parity and Gresham's Law. Effect of restoring silver. Questions of the ratio. Provisional measures. Sensitiveness and stabilitv. IV. THE PARITY OF MONEYS AS REGARDED BY ADAM SMITH, RICARDO, AND MILL. Pages 107-147. An Open Letter Answering a Question of a Member of the Royal Commission on Gold and Silver. The question. Origin of the doubt. Cause of Parity. A fashion of thought. From Adam Smith to Mill. A reign of Parity. Analysis superficial. Their practical notions. Money as an object of science. Mill's classifications. Herbert Spencer. Cause of inattention. * Mercantile svstem.' Freedom and ms medicatrix naturae. Nature and art. Incomplete grasp. Ricardo's 'few words.' Mill on Freedom and Money. Novelty of exaggeration. The fable of Midas. Money and Bartec. Pliny and the Utopias. Mill and ' Ideal Money.' A visionary hypothesis. Conclusion. Appendix. Money and the State. TABLE OF CONTEXTS. IX V. FEDERATION FOR PARITY OF MONEYS AND THE VANCEMENT OF SCIENCE. Pages 149-168. An Address before the American Association. AD- Abstract. Introductory. Affirmative statement of the Fed- eralist position. 1. That silver and gold are the money -metals, and that gold is money and silver is money to-day. 2. That parity of money is desir- able. 3. That it is the law of each na- tion which determines what is money in that nation. 4. That the preponderant em- ployment that is to say, economic ' demand ' for silver and gold is an effect of the laws of nations. 5. That monetary laws establish parity. <5. That permanent parity be- tween silver and gold is pro- ducible by a proper regula- tion of their employment. 7. That concurrent laws for legal equality of the metals in an effective majority of nations will establish parity outside as well as within their direct jurisdiction. 8. That such parity benefits each nation by assuring compar- ative stability to the valua- tion in which it is interested. 9. That federation is a condition and a guarantee of such con- current laws replacing those which now maintain dis- parity. 10. That the paramount monetary issue of the age is whether a settlement on this basis should be made. The Dis-Unionist or Anti-Federalist position. First grouping. Second grouping. VI. BULLION OR COIN? (1) ft is futile to treat the silver dollar independently of sil- ver itself. (2) The people of the United States do not take to tlie sil- ver dollar very kindly. The advantages of paper. Paper based on bullion. Bullion in banks. The policy of Seigniorage. Gratuitous mintage. Free sale of bullion. Pages 169-198. Monetary policy in the future. Bullion and the general remoneti- zation. of silver. Free mintage, gratuitous mintage, and free sale of bullion. The policy of the Conferences. The novelty of Mr. Wiudom's plan. Legal equality of the metals. The parity of bullion . Resolution of American Bankers' Convention. Dutch Bank Charter Act. X SILVER IN EUROPE. VII. RICARDO ON BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. Pages 199-208. His idea of a standard. Modernness of anti-silver doctrine. Plans for resumption. Lord Overstone and Mr. Hag- One-pound notes. gard. VIII. A PAN- AMERICAN DOLLAR AND THE POLICY OF UNION. Pages 209-222. John Quincy Adams on metrical re- Currency of foreign coins. form. Proper object of Federation. Course of events. The American Conference. The gold mark. Position of Mr. T. J. Coolidge. The countries of the franc. Report of Committee. The change of ratio. A Monetary Union sanctioned. Mexican dollar and Brazilian mil- reis. IX. ON MEASURES IN AID OF DEMONETIZATION. Pages 223-234. Place where silver is money. Sources of misunderstanding. ' Monetizing ' in one place and de- Supposed case of the Bank of monetizing in another. France. Political effect. Present use of silver stock. Supposed case of Austria-Hungary. Intervention of the Government. Four methods of demonetization Depressing gold price of silver. distinguished. Gold party and silver party. The public and private. Degree in which demonetization is What loss ? facilitated. Exaggerations on this head. Forces to prevent. TABLE OF CONTENTS. XI APPENDIX. THE ANTI-SILVER MOVEMENT AND ITS REVERSAL. A DOCU- MENTARY CHRONICLE. Pages 235-290. I. INTRODUCTORY. Character of the movement. Its sequel in the Scandinavian Successive steps. Union, Germany, Latin Union, Its universality. United States. The Conference of 1867. Relative value since 1870. II. THE WORK or THE CONFERENCE or 1867. Pages 241-251. REPORT OF MR. DE PARIETJ. The Monetary Treaty of 1865 as a Is the silver franc available ? basis of union. The primacy of gold in the Roman Propositions of France to other na- Empire. tions warmly received, by Europe Its present position. and the United States. Gold the standard, with silver as The Conference. 'transitory companion. Its object. Five francs of gold nine-tenths fine Variety of issiies raised. unanimously chosen as the unit. The program of discussion. 25-franc piece recommended by Twelve questions submitted. Austria and the United States. Expectation that treaties will be Intel-nationality of silver coins un- made to give effect to decisions. important. Preference for the Latin Union System. III. THE GERMAN COMMERCIAL CONVENTION OF 1868. Pages 252-254. The work of the Permanent Com- Decimal system. mittee. Collection of essays to accompany Resolution adopted. report and petition to the Gov- Unity desired. ernments. Silver mark scheme withdrawn. Principles of the Paris Conference of 1867 adopted. IV. THE PROPOSALS OF THE UNITED STATES BEFORE THE CONFERENCE OF 1878. Pages 255-259. Propositions stated. Answer of European Delegates. Propositions held in reserve. Reply of American Delegates. Xll SILVER IN EUROPE. V. THE CONFERENCE OF 1881. Pages 259-261, Declarations of France and the Question of ratio. United States. Its permanence. Evil and remedy. Resolutions for adjourned meeting Concurrent action. in 1882. VI. THE PROPOSED CONFERENCE OF 1882. Pages 261-262. Copy of Identical Note sent to the meiitsof France and of the United Various Powers by the Govern- States. VII. FOREIGN COINS AS LEGAL TENDER AND THE POLICY OF UNION. Pages 263-265. Coinage systems in cases of con- Novel situation produced by the quest or union. attack upon silver. Instances in history. The material becomes chiefly im- Coinage treaties in the past. portant. Refer chiefly to weight and device. Legal equality of metals. Two metals recognized as material Disadvantages avoided. of money. VIII. THE ROYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER, 1886-1888. Pages 266-273. EXTRACTS FROM THE FINAL REPORT. PART I. Apprehensions discussed. Peculiarity of supply. PART III. Agencies controlling demand. Gravity of situation. India Council Bills. Experiment of unregulated use of Influence of the Latin Union ratio. money-metals. PART II. Breach in 1873-' 74. Interest of India. Proposed remedy. Conditions of a stable ratio. IX. THE STRENGTH OF THE ENGLISH SILVER PARTY. Pages 274-281. Platform of Bimetallic League, and The Silver Deputation of May 30, list of officers. 1889. (List.) X. THE MONETARY CONGRESS OF THE FRENCH EXPOSITION (1889). Pages 282-284. List of official delegates. List of Congresses. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER VII. Pages 285-290. Currency Proposals of D. Ricardo. I. THE PARIS MONETARY 'CONGRESS (SEPTEMBER, 1889) AND THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. THE PABIS MONETARY < CONGRESS ' (SEPT., 1889), AND THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. THE ORIGIN AND EFFECT OF THE CONGRESS. The idea of having international meetings, reunions, or conventions at the time of an international exhibition of products is very readily conceived, and sure to recom- mend itself ; and having been put in practice by the French in 1867 and in 1878, it was very natural that the rule should be followed in 1889. But while monetary reform is sufficiently important, one would say, to dictate its own times and places, it is a curious fact that it has been brought to the fore-front in Paris at the date of each of the French Exhibitions, and yet from motives or reasons in each case distinct. The Exhibition of 1867, the first of its kind, offered the advisers of the Emperor Napoleon an occasion for ad- vancing the primacy of France upon the very path of light that is to say, in every direction. Far-sighted policy had already brought the unification of monetary systems within their range. It was in August, 1866, that a treaty of monetary union with Belgium, Switzerland, and the new kingdom of Italy had come in force, to which in 1867 Greece, Rournania, and the Papal States gave their adhesion. Correspondence with other nations had fol- THE PAEIS CONGRESS OF 1889. lowed upon this notable achievement, with a view to their joining this 'Latin' union, and when in due time the dis- position of nations was sufficiently ascertained, a Confer- ence was called in Paris for June 1867, at which were present the delegates of twenty-two nations, including the United States. It is to be noted that at about the same date there was also at Paris a ' Congress of the Exposi- tion,' which dealt with Weights, Measures, and Coins. This has sometimes been confounded with the ' Conference of 1867.' The origin of the Monetary Conference held in Paris in 1878, the year of the second great French Exposition, is to be sought in Washington, in the second section of the Act of Congress of February 28, 1878, directing the calling of a Conference in Paris within six months. This Ameri- can Conference is well entitled to be known as the Confer- ence of 1878, albeit there was also a Conference of the States of the Latin Union in Paris in the same year. The meeting in 1889 of which we are speaking was merely a ' Congress of the Exposition,' and came into being without any distinctive fatherhood of government or signification of political or public interest. In December, 1888, the Floquet Ministry having the arrangements for the Exhibition on their hands, a list was made of conventions, as we should call them, to be held during its pendency, and among them was suggested a monetary convention. The monetary question, with sixty- ITS eight other subjects,* was put on the list, and an organiz- ing committee was appointed. Such was the origin of the Conyres, as it is called in French. No purpose was fixed, no jurisdiction assigned, except- ing in so far as the word " monetary " has a meaning. The character and effect of the Congress was left to the future, and must depend upon those who thereafter should take it in hand. In setting forth the outcome of the meeting I shall adopt the language of an ' interview ' (in the Paris New York Herald of September 15, 1889), the informality of which will be excused in consideration of its directness and brevity. To one familiar with the political aspects of Silver it was plain that this accidental Congress contained an ele- ment of danger to the future of the project of Monetary Federation. It was perhaps unfortunate that this ap- parently aimless assembly was called, but it had been called, and called under the auspices of the French Gov- ernment, which, in 1881-'2, had joined the United States in supporting that project. The only thing to do for the * The Exhibition was under the direction of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. The Monetary Congress was held in a hall in the Trocadero Palace. If I remember rightly there was a Congress on Co-operative Stores, a Fire Brigade Congress, and a Railway Congress about the same time. The latter was, I believe, independent of the Exposition. The list may interest the curious in connection with the coming Quadricentennial, and I have, therefore, reprinted it in the Appendix. 6 THE PARIS CONGRESS OF 1889. cause was to prevent the meeting from being a failure, and, on the contrary, so far as was practicable, to make it a success. The subject had long been in abeyance on the Conti- nent. In the years since 1882 the scheme of joint action of nations to restore silver had come to seem very remote, and since 1885 had been, as it were, concealed from view by the nearer, though comparatively trivial monetary is- sues connected with the fate of the Latin Union. It was in 1885 that the second term of the Monetary Treaty of 1865 expired, and the various Monetary Systems of Europe have an interest in the future of this Treaty Union, either directly or through relations with the par- ties to it. It is now in full force (as modified) only from year to year, and is liable to be terminated by notice at the will of any of the Signatory Powers. Under the cir- cumstances, it appeared that if the scheme of a new Mone- tary Union was to be dealt with in Paris with benefit to the cause, it was from England, where silver has long been a subject of agitation and, if possible, from Germany also that impulse and reinforcement must come. In the end the great Deputation of English ' silver men ' (see Appendix) which waited on Lord Salisbury and Mr. Goschen on May 30, elicited a response from them which simplified the problem, what was to be done with this Con- gress in Paris. That response challenged the friends of silver to make a showing in the Congress. It was a change of venue, but it has not operated to our disadvantage. As I had the opportunity of pointing out ITS EFFECT. 7 to them this challenge opened to English allies of the cause the occasion to break the 'boycott' which the Lon- don press has steadily maintained against them hitherto. Independently of all else, this effort was worthy of their energy. This advantage has been fully gained. It will be evi- dent to English readers that when the London Times pub- lishes a column and a half on silver, telegraphed from Paris by Mr. de Blowitz, as it has to-day, a new stage in the progress of the cause of Monetary Union has been reached. The Congress has, in fact, been a field-day, in which the reformers of England and Germany have displayed their forces. They have made a report upon the good work of conversion that is going on in their countries. That work of conversion is the very life of the cause. There have been only these two chief Powers left to be converted since -France and the United States, by the Con- ference of 1881 and 1882, put the future of silver at their door. Germany waits for England, and England is mov- ing in the path of conversion. But beside this effect, we have obtained the tactical advantage of bringing the representatives of primitive economic orthodoxy face to face with the leaders of a liv- ing reform requiring the former to face a responsibility which they had never fully realized before. Some of these well-meaning academicians begin to recognize that their anti-silver and anti-parity theories are somewhat incom- plete. 8 THE PARIS CONGRESS OF 1889. The total effect, then, of this interchange of opinion has been excellent. It, in some measure, disarms opposi- tion on the Continent and certainly strengthens the hands of the friends of silver in England. Beyond this, of course, the Congress can have no effect. It was understood beforehand that it was free to all who were interested in monetary discussions, and that no vote was to be taken. It was only a demonstration of opinion, an occasion for interchange of views. The ob- ject proposed has been attained in fair measure. To re- vive the interest in the subject, which on the Continent had very generally died out, and to answer the challenge of Lord Salisbury and Mr. Goschen, and bring new light into English anti-silver circles, cannot fail to strengthen the cause of Monetary Union. For certainty of clearness I should make reference to the erroneous information that obtained currency in the United States, at and about the date of its occur- rence, as to the scope and character of the ' Congress." It seems to have been generally supposed to be an official body* with diplomatic functions, like the Conferences held in 1878 and 1881, and remark was widely made in the press upon its failure to come to a vote ; an impression * Official color was, in fact, given to this error (no doubt inadvertently) through the publication, under the auspices of the Departments in Wash- ington, both before and after the Congress, of a Consular report, dated July 8, in which the Congress was referred to in the same terms as the Conference of 1881, and into which some other analogous errors had crept. THE COURSE OF DEBATE. 9 quite natural though erroneous ; but misleading in a high degree, raising as it did the whole question of the ' for- eign relations ' of money, and especially of the future of silver. The list of official representatives at the Congress is given in the appendix.* THE SUBJECT OF DEBATE AND PROCEEDINGS OF THE CONGRESS. The Organization. The Congress was opened Sept. 11, with a letter from M. Kouvier, the Minister of Finance, read by M. Magnin, Vice-President of the Senate, Governor of the Bank of France, who was President of the Committee of Organization, and became the President of the Congress. M. Pelligrini, Vice-President of the Argentine Republic, was made Honorary President, and to the names of Le*on Say and Cernuschi, Vice-Presidents of the Committee and of the Congress, were added those of Dana Horton, Emile deLaveleye, Grenf ell, Levasseur, Luzzatti, and MaxWirth.t The presence of official delegates from the British Indian Empire (Mr. Fremantle, Master of the Mint, and Mr. Mur- ray, of the Treasury), from Japan, and from the South * Of my countrymen I know only of Mr. D. O. Mills and Mr. Edward Tuck as being there. The latter was, I believe, owing to a clerical error, mentioned in some quarters as being a delegate of the United States, but this error was at once corrected by Mr. Tuck. There was no official rep- resentation on the part of the United States Government. t This list is also given in the alphabetic order of countries. 10 THE PARIS CONGRESS OF 1889. American States, to mention no others,* shows the range of attention excited by the Congress. The Subject of Debate. For the debates an ample series of subjects had been set forth, but in the end one paramount subject engrossed attention, and occupied the entire space of the six sessions of the Congress (Sept. 11-14). The restoration of silver to its former legal equality with gold, in a strong Union of nations, remains, as it has long been, the order of the day. The Diplomatic Situation of Silver. A brief retrospect is necessary to indicate the stage now reached in the movement for the adoption of this measure. Silver having become in 1876 the object of agitation in both continents, the proposal of a federation for concur- rent free mintage of the two metals was formally made by the United States in a Diplomatic Conference called to meet in Paris in 1878. In 1881 the proposal was renewed by France and by the United States (acting upon the sug- gestion of France) in a Conference called in Paris for that year. The respective attitudes of nations then disclosed, offered substantial concurrence of all in joint measures to bring about the end proposed, a stable parity of the metals. But the quota of co-operation offered by two of the chief Powers England and Germany fell short of that pro- posed by, and expected from, the others. The partial pro- * The full list will be found in the Appendix. AN ENGLISH DEMONSTRATION. 11 silver measures offered by England and Germany were con- ditioned upon complete restoration of free mintage in other States, upon whom, accordingly, the burden of maintain- ing the parity of the world's money would substantially fall. France and the United States were not satisfied with this quota from the two other Powers ; they required more effective co-operation before they would open their mints freely without limit to new silver. Thus the halting attitude of England for Germany would have followed England in a further advance broke up the proposed alliance. Since the Conference of 1881 and 1882 the issue What England, and in second rank what Germany, is ready to do, has remained the paramount practical issue in this field, down to the present day. The task evidently pre-ordained for the meetings in the Trocadero was to collect and focus light upon this sit- uation. An English and German Demonstration in Paris. In his opening discourse, M. Magnin pointed the moral of late occurrences in England which decisively es- tablish a new point of departure, and especially of the Silver Deputation* which waited upon the Marquis of Salisbury and the Chancellor of the Exchequer, on May 30, last, and of the response then elicited from the heads of the English Government. The Deputation was pronounced, * See list in Appendix. 12 THE PARIS CONGRESS OF 1889. it is understood, by so competent a judge as Lord Rowton, to be the strongest Deputation which ever waited upon a Minister of the Crown. The answer of Lord Salisbury and Mr. Goschen seemed to single out the coming Monetary Congress of the French Exposition as an arena where the cause of silver was to be fought for. The account already given of the Congress shows that the challenge was accepted. The English bimetallists deployed their forces in great strength. Mr. Henry McNiel, the Chief Secretary of the Bimetallic League, was present. Addresses from Mr. Henry R. Grenfell, Ex-Governor and Director of the Bank of England, Vice- President of the League ; Sir Henry Meysey-Thomson ; Professor H. S. Foxwell, Fellow of St. John's College, Cambridge, Professor of Political Economy in University College, London ; Mr. Fielden, the representative of the Workingmen's Organizations of Lancashire ; proved that the work put upon Englishmen in 1881 had been manfully performed with a success which seems to promise final triumph. A similar report from Germany, in the address of Dr. Otto Arendt, the leader of the silver agitation in Germany, with a letter from Freiherr von Kardorff, its parliamentary leader, made like answer for Germany, and certified that the government in Germany would second the policy of England, as has been generally maintained. THE COURSE OF DEBATE. 13 Academic Debate. As a supplement to this entirely practical proceeding in which representatives of English and German opinion made, in Paris, a report of the progress of their countries toward the Monetary Alliance * before proposed, in Paris, by the United States and by France ample space was offered for academic debate. Fortunately for the liveli- ness of interest felt in each succeeding session of the Congress, the phases of opinion which make up the op- position to the policy of Parity Union, found ample repre- sentation among the Parisian members of the Congress. MM. Levasseur, Frederic Passy, Fournier de Flaix, Du Puynode, Clement Juglar, Mannequin, Cochut, and MM. Coste and Kaffallovich (who were the secretaries of the Congress) presented anti-silver arguments made familiar to monetary students by the Conference of 1867 and by the opposition speakers in the Conferences of 1878 and 1881, bringing down to date, as it were, the argu- ments of the gold party in Europe while the affirmative was represented by a list of speakers, among whom M. Cernuschi was prominent, and which numbered, beside those already mentioned (and myself) M. Emile de Laveleye ; M. Alphonse Allard, of Belgium ; M. Boissevain, of Hol- land ; M. Lalande, of Bordeaux ; and M. Moret, Ex-Minister of Foreign Affairs of Spain. * This Quadruple Alliance is assumed to secure the adhesion of lesser Powers. 14 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. THE ADVANCE OF OPINION IN ENGLAND. I now set forth in brief outline the course of events which led to this demonstration in Paris of British interest in the Restoration of Silver. Silver became the object of public attention in England in 1876, which was the date of the phenomenal fall in its ' price ' and of the opening of those discussions in Congress and in the Silver Commission then appointed, that were closed with the final passage of the Coinage Act of Feb- ruary 28, 1878. A Select Committee of the House of Com- mons, of which Mr. Goschen was Chairman, made its re- port on the Depreciation of Silver in the summer of 1876. The Select Committee of 1876. The conclusions of the Report were as follows : " Your Committee are of opinion that the evidence taken conclusively shows that the fall in the price of silver is due to the following causes : " 1. To the discovery of new silver mines of great rich- ness in the State of Nevada. " 2. To the introduction of a gold currency into Ger- many in place of the previous silver currency. This operation commenced at the end of 1871. "3. To the decreased demand for silver for export to India. " It should be added " 4. That the Scandinavian Governments have also substituted gold for silver in their currency. THE COMMONS COMMITTEE OF 1876. 15 " 5. That the Latin Union, comprising France, Belgium, Switzerland, Italy, and Greece, have, since 1874, limited the amount of silver to be coined yearly in the mints of each member of the Union, suspending the privilege, for- merly accorded to all holders of silver bullion, of claiming to have that bullion turned' into coin without restriction. " 6. That Holland has also passed a temporary act, pro- hibiting, except on account of the Government, the coin- ing of silver, and authorizing the coining of gold. " It will be observed that two sets of causes have been simultaneously in operation. The increased production of the newly-discovered mines, and the surplus silver thrown on the market by Germany have affected the supply. At the same time the decreased amounts required for India, and the decreased purchases of silver by the members of the Latin Union, have affected the demand. A serious fall in the price of silver was, therefore, in- evitable." A Fatal Mistake The Committee made the radical mistake of putting among the causes of the change of ratio between silver and gold, not only without qualification but even first on the list, the Nevada Bonanzas a factor whose efficiency in lowering silver existed purely by favor of other factors mentioned, and which therefore should be placed in a dis- tinct and subordinate position, with clear indication of its nullity from the point of view of state policy. The same error applies to the factor which in the list above is num- 16 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. bered 3, ancTwliich is better known under the name of the India ' Council Bills,' a factor which is also nil ex- cept by reason of the others. These two factors belong to the second line of fructifying causes. Granted the action of governments that is to say, the laws and decrees which closed the mints of Europe to silver, the gold-rate of silver might naturally suffer some increase of its fall by reason of enlarged new supply from the Bonanzas, and likewise by reason of diminished demand for India. But in the absence of these anti-silver laws and decrees it would have suffered no fall whatever. The " demand " for mintage to which the Committee refers, was in the case of the Latin Union a demand of character absolutely distinct, a fixed- ratio demand, a preordained employment equalizing silver with gold at that ratio. The truth thus ignored by the Committee is the very pith and marrow of the whole business, so that their report is a brilliant, and most unfortunate, exemplification of the obscurity of monetary questions. It was twelve years later that the truth which the Committee of 1876 might have seen but failed to see, was officially recognized, namely, by the Koyal Commission on Gold and Silver. Yet the course of reasoning which leads to this truth seems not too difficult. It was merely necessary to study with unprejudiced eye both sides of the policy of demone- tization which had been adopted on the Continent ; or in other words to inquire what would have happened to the ratio between the money metals if free mintage had been maintained in Europe for silver as well as for gold, BONANZAS AND COUNCIL BILLS. 17 This inquiry was really imposed by the mandate under which the. Committee did its work. One would suppose it a natural course for a legislator brought face to face with a business catastrophe following directly upon a rev- olutionary series of laws of outlawry directed specifically against the object chiefly involved in the catastrophe, to inquire whether the catastrophe could have occurred, or what would have happened, if these peculiar laws had not been passed ; that is to say, if the object in question, sil- ver, had been left alone where it was. Yet, it was this which Mr. Goschen's Committee omitted. The causes marked 2, 4, 5, 6, taken together, are the Acts of Demonetization. Without these Acts the " fall in the gold price of silver " could not have occurred. These acts were within the control of governments ; they could be reversed or repealed, and thus an end could be put to the ' fall.' A proposition to that effect from Mr. Goschen's Committee or from the House of Commons would have met with cordial support in other nations. On the other hand the factors which the Committee marked 1 and 3 were not within control. No one would seriously propose to close the mines of the Eocky Mountains ; nor to cancel that debt of India to Europe which led to the use of Council Bills for clearance between the continents, by which debit and credit were balanced as far as they would go, and the un- necessary shipment of specie avoided. Hence in putting into the front rank these ancillary and subordinate factors, the Committee established a bar to action. With such impossibilities in the foreground it was plausible to treat 18 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. the intervention of Governments in reference to Silver as quite out of the question. The error went to the very life of reform. It was a dogma of paralysis. No estimate was made of the evils to arise from the situation thus analyzed, and no remedial measures were suggested. The unfortunate result is seen in that sluggishness of the forward movement to recognize the neglected truth, of which the following pages are a brief record. To assist the reader unfamiliar with the subject to make these several conclusions his own, I pursue in some detail the query, what effect bonanzas of silver could have had on the ratio between silver and gold if silver had re- mained freely coinable money in Europe just as it was before the Acts referred to were passed. What could happen ? Let us follow in imagination the advent in Europe of this tiny stream of Nevada Silver, turning itself into coin at Paris and Brussels, Utrecht, Berlin, and so on, and gradually adding itself to the thousand millions dollars' worth of silver coin already there, with other thousands of gold (beside paper) in use side by side with them. What would be the result ? A little more silver money in Europe ! That is all ! What difference would that make ? How could that affect the ratio of gold to silver ? Any change that occurred must naturally take the form of a premium on gold. How could an increase of the silver stock produce that effect a gradual increase, say of BONANZAS AND COUNCIL BILLS. 19 5 per mille, or one per cent., or 2 per cent., as compared with the moneys of Europe ? Nay, let us ask whether if all the bonanzas, unrelieved by Indian demand, had been unloaded in France alone, they could have driven gold to a premium ? Impossible ! Even the suspension of specie payments by the Bank of France did not do that. In- deed, France would have held less silver metal in any case than she holds to-day, when, in spite of the fall of silver bullion her silver coin is not at a' discount. Of course our supposition really implies that the new silver, so far as it went to the European continent, would be dis- tributed among all the money-using populations of the continent. The reader will find this supposition pregnant with sug- gestions ; especially when he realizes that but for the closing of the mints to silver through ill-advised statute and de- cree, new life-blood would have poured into the circulation of Europe, most welcome to the veins depleted by the collapse of credit in the years of disorganizing liquidation after 1872. And not even the wildest doctrinaire would have prophesied a premium on gold. So much was lost by the Committee's failure to pene- trate below the surface of their subject ! Yet the points I have referred to were apparent to some who were study- ing the subject at the time among whom I may myself be numbered. The report of the Congressional Commis- sion appointed in 1876 is in striking contrast to that of the Committee of the House of Commons, 20 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. The Conference of 1878. The second section of the Act of Congress of February 28, 1878, proposed the restoration of silver by concurrent action of nations. In pursuance of that Act an invitation was issued by Mr. Evarts, then Secretary of State, to the Governments of the principal European nations, which was accepted by all, with the exception of Germany. The Conference met in Paris in August, 1878, as the guest of the French Re- public, in the Palace of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The resolutions adopted in this Conference, together with those adopted in the Third International Monetary Conference, which was called by France and by the United States in 1881, are set forth in the Appendix. The advance of opinion in England on the subject pre- sents itself in the following successive stages : 1. The attitude of the English representatives at the Monetary Conference of 1878. The speeches of Mr. Goschen at Paris put the veto of English science and sagacity upon the further rejection of silver money upon the Continent. This, logically, was not only an abandonment of the case for England's anti- silver laws, but it operated as an admission that the oppo- site of such rejection, the restoration of silver (proposed by the United States), was a measure which would benefit the United Kingdom. It was thus an affirmation of the internationally of money. THE CONFERENCES OF 1878 AND 1881. But the requirements of logic were not applied. No prospect was held out of any active measures to be adopted by England in pursuance of the proposal of the United States. 2. The attitude of the English representatives at the Monetary Conference of 1881. The attitude of Mr. Fremantle, Sir Louis Mallet, and Lord Eeay was an advance beyond this position. Al- though promising no further change in the local sytem of Great Britain than the acceptance of silver as a deposit for Bank of England notes up to the limit of exist- ing statute, to which was added for India the maintenance of free coinage of rupees, the recognition of the interest of the Empire in the policy now proposed by two Great Powers was made more clearly and more strongly. An analogous admission was contained in an offer of co-operation from Germany, which had closed its sales of melted thalers in 1879, and had accepted the invitation to the Conference. But the co-operation offered by England and by Germany was not held sufficient to warrant the United States and France in opening their mints. As a sequel the silver question was left at England's door. It was plain that under no circumstances could the accession of Germany offer so important a consideration to France and the United States to induce them to establish concurrent free coinage of silver, as the accession of England ; and at the same time it was probable that Germany's adhesion would follow that of England. 22 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. 3. The work of agitation and education in England. France and the United States not finding that the situa- tion warranted them in restoring silver mintage, it became incumbent upon those interested to set on foot in England a work of education and agitation which should at length secure the desired change in her policy. The International Monetary Standard Association (Bimetallic League) in England, and likewise the Internationale Doppel-Waeh- rungs herein in Germany, were founded in the interval between the adjournment of the Conference of 1881 and the date of its intended re-convocation in 1882. Of their labors through the press, by tracts and lec- tures, public meetings, and the rest I will not attempt to give here a detailed account. Suffice it to say, that since 1 882 a work of education and agitation has been carried on ; that public-spirited men have been rallying to the cause from time to time ; while the doctrine of monetary union and parity of the money-metals, has been preached in the high-ways and bye- ways. In the meantime the evils which we had prophesied have been descending, chiefly upon England, and have given cumulative force to the teachings of reformers. I may conveniently mention here a measure * of external strategy which has been amply urged as efficacious for the ripening of conviction in England, namely, that the Ameri- * Stoppage at a future date, in case Europe should refuse to come to terms, was embodied in the Senate amendment to the House Trade-Dollar Bill, reported by Mr. Morrill for the Senate Finance Committee in January or February, 1885. In the House it formed the alternative measure with AGITATION AND EDUCATION. 28 can Congress should fix a limit of time to the continued mint- age of new dollars. In the never-ending strife in America between those who saw only the silver side of the shield and those who saw only the gold side, the merits of this great stroke for the cause of silver federation have failed of prac- tical recognition. But the event has justified what was said in favor of fixing a limit. The results obtained in England to-day the present strength of the pro-silver movement in England attest the sagacity of the propositions urged upon Congress. The conviction that is ripening slowly under unfavorable conditions, would have ripened quickly under favorable which free coinage was defeated in the spring of 1886 ; a defeat which seems to have operated as a stimulus to the silver movement in England. (See pages and .) The history of the silver debate in the House in 1886 is briefly this : On February 16 Mr. Eland's free coinage bill, which was supported by two other members of his Committee, was reported by Mr. James for the Com- mittee on Coinage, adversely, " with an expression of their unqualified condemnation." The bill was put upon the calendar, and Mr. Dibble, of South Carolina, in concert with the majority of the Committee on Coinage, offered the following amendment as a substitute : "That unless meantime, through concurrent action of the nations of Europe with the United States, silver be remonetized prior to July 1, 1889, then and thereafter so much of the act of February 28, 1878, entitled ' An Act to authorize the coinage of the standard silver dollar and restore its legal tender character,' as authorizes and directs the Secretary of the Treasury to purchase silver bullion and cause the same to be coined, shall be suspended until further action by Congress." The vote was taken April 8, 1886. It stood, on the Free Coinage Bill, nays, 163 ; yeas, 126 ; not voting, 34 : on the Conditional Limitation Bill, nays, 200 ; yeas, 84 ; not voting, 39. 24 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. conditions, and such favorable conditions would have been provided by the bill for Conditional Suspension of the Dollar Coinage, which was supported by the international bimetallists in Congress in 1885 and 1886. It would have operated as the strongest pro-silver meas- ure within the reach of Congress. Failing this reinforce- ment the slow processes of education and agitation in Eng- land were continued. 4. The Royal Commission on the Depression of Trade and Industry. An overt public act appeared when the Royal Coin- mission on the Depression of Trade and Industry was appointed in 1884. Among its members was Mr. Gibbs, Director and former Governor of the Bank of England, Mr. Goschen's colleague at the Conference of 1878, now the President of the Bimetallic League. Its final report was made two years later, in 1886. In its diagnosis of economic malady the disturbance of the money basis of trade and industry caused by the outlawry of silver in divers nations was marked as a region which deserved to be explored by a Special Commission. The report is given in the Appendix. 5. The Royal Commission on Gold and Silver. Such a Special Commission was proposed to Parliament, and was appointed on September 6, 1886. Its Report (pre- sented November 8, 1888), based upon volumes of evidence and exhaustive study by men of distinguished competence, THE COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER. 25 is a memorable landmark in the advancement of science. It is an achievement of moral as well as intellectual dignity. With it the doctrines which many of its members had been wont to hear denounced as heresy, if not as lunacy, have become admitted truths of monetary science. The full extracts from the Report which are given in the Appendix, leave only for this page the gist of the con- clusions arising from this elaborate investigation. The outcome is a victory. The American proposals of 1878 are justified by the English propositions of 1888. Six of the Commissioners urge that Her Majesty's Gov- ernment call the representatives of nations together to offer concurrent free mintage of silver at a ratio to be agreed upon. The other six are not prepared for so pro- nounced and far-reaching a declaration ; but the princi- ple of international concert is admitted, and a goodly part of the opinions subscribed to by Lord Herschell, Mr. Fiemantle, Sir John Lubbock, Sir Thomas Farrer, Mr. J. W. Birch, and Leonard H. Courtney, M. P., are very much at home as part of the platform of the Bimetallic League. The following suggestions (presented in abbreviated form) proceed from these gentlemen who are known to the now anxious partisans of anti-silver laws as the " gold men " of the Eoval Commission. 26 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. Negotiations with other countries 135-130. It might be worth while to meet the great commercial na- tions on any proposal which would lead to more extended use of silver, and so tend to prevent the apprehended fur- ther fall in its value, and to keep its relation to gold more stable ; * * * probably in the direction of an agree- ment that each nation should annually coin a certain amount of silver, not necessarily the same in all coun- tries. It is worthy of consideration whether foreign gov- ernments might not be approached with a view to a larger coinage of silver than at present, in conjunction with an arrangement on the part of India for keeping open her mint, and on the part of the Bank of England, as to a re- serve of silver. Issue of small notes based on Silver 137. We think that the best suggestion in relief of the ten- sion of the existing situation is to be found in the issue of small notes based on silver as substitutes for the half sovereign. Twenty-shilling silver notes might also be issued. These would probably pass largely into use without any alteration of the law of legal tender, and the Bank might safely be required to issue such notes to some fixed amount, in exchange for silver bullion taken at the average market price ; or upon conditions of retain- ing silver of equal nominal amount. The objections on the part of expense, and the danger of forgery, are met by the example of the United States, where enormous note circulations for small amounts is current. PRESENT AND FUTURE. 27 The Present Situation. It is plain that the harvest of conversion in England is coming into sight. It is a harvest that took a long and weary seed-time after "a long and weary breaking of the ground. England has unfortunately been busy with other things, and she remains busy. She could not leave Ireland in order to study silver and gold : one might say she could not stop worrying, or worrying about, Ireland, according as one's sympathies are Liberal or Tory. In less troubled times she would have been free more quickly to learn new truths, or rather to recognize old truths in the garb which new experience lends them, and thus would not have blocked the advance of a reform of which she is to be the chief beneficiary. What has been accomplished is indicated by the Depu- tation of May 30th, and by the demonstration in Paris, of which an account has been given. In an appendix will be found a list of names, which needs no comment as setting forth the strength of the English friends of Silver Federation. Their course is complicated by the parallel advance into public notice of two other monetary questions, namely, the questions of withdrawing and recoining light gold coin, and of issuing one-pound notes (perhaps 'ten-shilling and two-pound notes). The condition of the gold coin has excited the attention of monetary writers now for many years. A considerable proportion of the gold coin in England is under-weight. 28 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. According to a rough approximation current in England, sovereigns lose two pence worth of gold in ten years, which is not far from one per cent, and there has been no im- portant recoinage since 1817. The half-sovereigns suffer more in proportion from wear than the sovereigns. The proposal made by Mr. Lowe (Lord Sherbrook) then Chancellor of the Exchequer, in 1869, to cut down the sov- ereign about four pence, and charge the deduction as seign- iorage, was intended to bring about assimilation between the English and French units, making the sovereign equal to a twenty-five-franc piece, but the peculiar merit was no doubt observed, that this measure would have provided the means of putting the coinage on a uniform basis. The proposition was rejected. A few years ago Mr. Childers, as Chancellor of the Exchequer, brought for- ward a plan of cutting down the half-sovereign by a tenth, making it a gold token, and so covering the expense of a general rerninting by the gold thus saved. This also was rejected. The expectation has been general that Mr. Goschen's fame as a financier is to receive an added lustre by his coping successfully with this problem, which has foiled his predecessors. The special point of query is, where the money is to come from ? Among the competing sources is the issuing of silver tokens, which in 1889 gave the difference between 14.28 (the weight of English change relatively to gold) and 21 to 22, say fifty per cent., as profit to the Treasury, less expenses. Another source which has been mentioned is a tax on circulating notes, which seems PRESENT AND FUTURE. 29 to imply that an alteration in the law is to be made, which is expected to go further than merely withdrawing the ex- isting prohibition upon the issue of notes by the Bank of England under five pounds. The way has, in part at least, been paved for such change of English policy by the fa- vorable experience of Scotland, which was allowed to main- tain its one and two-pound notes. Having greatly recom- mended themselves there, they have, from time to time, been brought to general attention as a possible example well worthy to be followed in England. A beginning was made with the light gold coin by a law passed in June, 1889, ordering the withdrawal of gold coined before the present reign, and it has been under- stood that large purchases of silver were made, followed by a considerable increase in the issue of silver change. Public attention has also been directed to the question whether half-sovereigns are to be reissued or not ; that is to say, whether the melted gold is to come forth in the shape of twenty or of ten-shilling pieces, a matter which lies within the control of the Crown. Such a withdrawal of small gold would be regarded as intended to make room for silver. It is plain there is material for a currency debate, if Parliament can find time and taste for it. In the meantime no positive steps are known to have been taken by the Government to give practical sequence to the proposals for concerted action of nations made by either wing of the Royal Commission. 30 THE ENGLISH SILVER MOVEMENT. The Future. The future is in the making. It depends on the will and upon the ability that is to say, on the knowledge and energy, the grasp of a few men, and upon the permission or acquiescence of many others. Circumstances favorable to success exist. The question is, whether advantage will be taken of them. That is the question! It is not new. The circumstances have been favorable since 1881. And many opportunities for action have occurred since then, of which no use has been made. And the statute of limitations has been running against all settlement. I am very willing to believe this page may find readers to whom the principal statements above made will seem so obvious as to be trivial and unnecessary. To such a reader I have a word to say in explanation of them. Of the many who now wish well to the project of restoring silver to legal equality with gold, a very large number act, or suffer, under the belief either that the pro- ject is so sound and sensible that it will " get itself " adopted, or that the unstable condition of the money basis of the property and investments of mankind will, if left to itself, provoke a crisis so disastrous as to make concurrence of nations in remedial action an inevitable measuie of self- protection. To those who hold these views which are exceedingly natural and utterly erroneous the remarks which my critic finds so obvious as to be trivial and unnecessary, PRESENT AND FUTURE. 31 are by no means obvious. On the contrary, their truth is excluded by the views of these excellent friends of parity and peace. And yet these are the very people whose support is needed to make the project of restoring silver to its an- cient parity a success. So, while the truths I have stated are not obvious to them, still less are they trivial or un- necessary. On the contrary, they are the truths most necessary to be understood, to be grasped, to be held with the utmost vigor of conviction. If those who are now friends of the project in the United States were only so convinced of the truths first above stated as to be willing to use their influence in favor of it, the project would very speedily become a reality. II. A REVIEW OF ANTI-SILVER ARGUMENTS. BEPLY TO MR. LEVASSEUR AND MR. DU PUYNODE. A REVIEW OF ANTI-SILVER ARGUMENTS. REPLY TO ME. LEVASSEUE AND ME. Du PUYNODE, In the Monetary Congress of the Exposition in Paris, September 13, 1889.* EXPLANATOEY. The following pages are a translation from a steno- graphic report, in French, as printed (with some trifling corrections) for the official journal of the Congress. These remarks were made in response to a request, coming from various sections, that I should speak, and were made not only without notes but with nothing which could properly be called preparation. If a friend on the silver side should reproach me for neglecting the cause by not making a set speech, I should * PIEERE-EMILE LiEVASSEUR (b. 1828;, member of the Institute, Profes- sor in the College of France. The list of his financial and economic works begins in 1854, and numbers among other important titles : The Gold Question (Paris, 1858). The History of the Working Classes in France from CcBsar^s Conquest to the Revolution (Paris, 1859). MICHEL GUSTAVE PARTOUNAU DU PUYNODE (b. 1817), Doctor of Laws, a founder and chief editor of the Journal des Economistes, President of the Council-General of the Department of the Iiidre. The list of his finan- cial and economic works begins in 1843, and contains among other impor- tant titles: Money Credit and Taxation (Paris, 1853), and The Great Financial Crises of France (Paris, 1826. ) 36 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. be able to make good a defence on the following lines, which are worth mentioning, not for any personal reason, but because they may throw light on some of the ob- stacles to the success of the federation project. In the effort to promote that project, in which I have been active since it was conceived, the exposed and defence- less condition of the cause in respect to prolixity has often impressed me ; for even slight verbal excesses repel and repress, rather than encourage, the wished -for grow- ing interest and persuasion, when one is dealing with such a subject which can well be pictured as a morass of problems, intersected by a few safe paths, easy to walk on, but also easy to stray from. The work of agitation and education which has been going on in Europe for so many years offers ample and varied illustration of what I mean. So far as an appearance on the platform at the Troca- dero was concerned, I felt that my country's attitude as to silver was sufficiently known, and that, personally, my past services as a founder and promoter of the federation project relieved me from the need of saying much. My contributions upon the subject are numerous and not un- known to monetary students, while speeches in support of the policy which I had, I believed, justified in 187(5, in a Treatise on Silver and Gold, were made in Paris in 1878 and 1881, before official delegates of nations, the majority of whom were at last in favor of it. Our friends from England and Germany, it appeared to me, were entitled to the floor. This view, I may add, I had occasion to press EXPL AN ATORY. 3 7 in the proper quarters long in advance of the meeting of the Congress. Beyond the reception of reports from these still delay- ing but expected allies in the coming Parity Federation, it seemed to me that the opponents of this policy should have their say. They should then be fully met on our side, face to face, hand to hand, argument to argument in reply > to use a term more familiar to a lawyer than to a professor, and with their flanks exposed under the burden of proof. This course I thought, under the circumstances, more suitable than the academic procedure, which may be described as a series of essays spoken or read, and perhaps formally directed against each other, but in a vague and incon- clusive manner a sort of parade charge through a mone- tary bog, after which each party returns to its own camp. In preparing this translation to be offered to the public I have in several instances observed that there was too great condensation of statement, and hence I have inserted in brackets a few phrases or sentences in order to explain by amplifying. 38 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. A EEVIEW OF ANTI-SILVER ARGUMENTS. Mr. President and Gentlemen : I shall address you very briefly, limiting myself to criti- cism, partly from the scientific and partly from a practical point of view, of the position taken by speakers who are opposed, or who believe themselves opposed, to the move- ment for the restoration of silver to its former condition of money equal to gold ; equal, that is, before the law. I regret that Mr. Levasseur is not here to-day, for I desire particularly to indicate the great importance of certain practical conclusions which he has set forth and defended here. Mr. Levasseur has also told us that to be a partisan of what is called " the Single Gold Standard," is not a certificate of old age ; there are still young men as well as old men who are in favor of it. He also observed that there is a great difference of opinion on this topic, and he sought to. investigate the source of this difference. It appears to me, however, that he has not noticed the true cause. The true cause is this, that there was an ortho- doxy, and that this form of religion is disappearing, or, rather, transforming itself into a new orthodoxy. We respect the economists of the past. Eleven years ago, gentlemen, I crossed the sea to bring you the pro- posals of the United States proposals for a Monetary Federation based upon the principle of Union which THE POLICY OF UNION. 39 had been consecrated by the consent of all the econ- omists of France and of other countries. These propo- sitions have been discussed here before you during some days, by Englishmen, by Germans, by Hollanders, who have expressed their adhesion to them. The funda- mental difference between the new principle and the old is this : we think that the accord of monetary laws should relate to the material and not to the form. The Monetary Unions known to the past have dealt chiefly with the coins, the mintage, the stamp ; and the material of which money is made has been a little neglected. We came, therefore, not as innovators, but merely, as it were, to propose an amendment, and ask for it the support of economists who had already given their adhesion to the principle of Monetary Union. You see, gentlemen, it is perfectly natural, this differ- ence of opinion of which the Honorable Mr. Levasseur has spoken ; there are economists who propose an amend- ment of science, and to obtain its acceptance of course, that takes time. But we, who have desired for so long a time that you, who are opposed to us, should accept an amendment of monetary science, we have the right to recall to your minds that it is not probable that monetary science should remain without improvement, without growth. We have asked you to understand us. Gentlemen, I do not wish to speak ill of any one ; I have no idea of making an at- tack upon friends who are here, and mst together in an international reunion. But I pray you to accept from 40 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. me a complaint. You have not yet done us the honor fully to understand our propositions, and it is for that reason that you are here to oppose the pro-silver move- ment in England and in Germany, of which these gentle- men have spoken. I beg you to observe, gentlemen, that the thing we are speaking of is practical in its nature. I ask those gen- tlemen who have spoken, and those who are about to speak ; I ask Mr. Passy * and others who are to address you : Give us the reasons why England should not ac- cept the proposition to form a Monetary Alliance with France. [Applause.] If you can show that monetary union is not a good policy. I beg you to do so. But I will say this to you, if it is not a good thing that Paris or France should have a stabJe parity of money with London, with Calcutta, with San Francisco, with Buenos Ayres, then demonstrate, I pray you, why it is a good thing that Paris should have a stable parity of money with Marseilles, with Bordeaux, and with Calais. [Applause.] There is the point ! This is a practical matter, gentle- men. We are not here for the purpose of making aca- demic eulogies on certain doctrines of science ; it is with a view to action, to results, with a practical object, that we desire to compare our ideas. I have complained, gentlemen, that our adversaries have not yet done us the honor of understanding us. I * FREDERIC PASSY (b. 1822), member of the Institute of France, Deputy. The list of his economic and political works begins in 1856. THE LAWS OF THE MARKET. 41 assure you that the divergency that exists between our opinions can be harmonized, if our adversaries will do us this honor. For us, gentlemen, it is necessary to under- stand your position, your opinions. If we cannot do that we can have no hope of persuading you. We began with the study of the opinions you share, and it was be- cause we understood them that we have been able to add the corrections of which I have spoken. I now allow myself, gentlemen, to call attention to certain remarks which fell from speakers who have preceded me to-day. There is an order of fact and opinion, the signi- ficance of which was indicated by the honorable gentle- man who has just spoken, Mr. Du Puynode, in referring to the two metals as subject to the laws of the market. I adopt for a moment the language used by the distin- guished speaker ; I also say they are in the market. But I ask, what market ? I aver that it is a market in which a decision of the English Parliament can determine the position of a metal. Mr. Du Puynode cannot deny that. It is impossible. Everyone knows that if the English Parliament passes a law, a law for gold money in England, or a law for silver money in England, it will be gold in one case, or silver in the other ; that will be money in England. The market we are in, then, is a market in which great nations are, so to speak, buyers. Very well, we are here to say, or rather these English and German representatives are here to say, after the invi- tation of France and the United States (1881) : Yes, we are ready that our countries respectively shall enter tliia 42 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. market as buyers, and we know that if we do so, if these nations combine, they can fix the relative importance of gold and silver. There are no other nations that have the power to neutralize what these nations shall determine. I shall now ask you, gentlemen, to consider for a mo- ment the origin of these ideas on the " single gold stand- ard," which have been set forth by speakers who are among the partisans of this metal. What is the source, what is, so to speak, the history of the evolution of this theory ? My researches into the history of monetary policy* have enabled me to ascertain that in the past, in most nations, the system of money was 4 this : There was a principal money and a secondary money. Everywhere throughout the world there was the "single standard," if you desire to X. call it so, of silver, and another " standard," but a second- ary one, of gold. [There was, therefore, a combined single and dual standard.] From the legislative point of view silver was superior, gold the inferior. This is the system of money which has continued down to our century. Mr. Du Puynode has cited to you, and, I believe, Mr. * The statements of historical facts given in this and following pages, which are at variance with the hitherto accepted versions of history, are set forth, and I believe, justified in " Historical Material," aud " Contri- butions to the Study of Monetary Policy," in the Document of the Monetary Conference of 1878 (Washington, 1879), and in "The Silver Pound and England's Monetary Policy since the Restoration " (London: Macmillan & Co., 1887), copies of which works were distributed to mem- bers of the Congress through the hands of MM. Guillaumin & Co., pub- lishers, 14 Rue Richelieu, Paris. LOCKE AND NEWTON. 43 Mannequin and another of our speakers, have cited to you, a great work of Lord Liverpool.* Now, Lord Liverpool thought he could transfer, from silver to gold, this posi- tion of legal superiority. But he was not an enemy of silver. His propositions embraced free coinage of silver in England. Mr. Mannequin has cited to you the names of Locke and Newton. But they were as much in favor of two money metals as we are. This has been proved. I shall have the honor of bringing to your attention manuscripts of Newton, which I discovered in the Archives in Lon- don, and also a report of Locke which had not been gen- erally known, all of which I published two years ago.| It is now proven that for Locke and for Newton and for all the elder English authorities the true system was a sys- tem of money made of the two metals, the one superior, the other in a legal position, so far as the thought, the in- tention of the legislature was concerned, a little inferior that is all. And now I pray you, gentlemen, to glance (in passing) at the practical importance, for our question of the origin of the theory of the single gold standard, of the fact that we have here to-day the representatives of public opinion in England [to tell us that conversion in favor of silver is proceeding in the home and native soil of that erroneous doctrine]. * A Treatise on the Coins of the Realm in a letter to the King. London. 1805. t See preceding note, page 42. 44 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. Eleven years ago, during the Monetary Conference of 1878, I had the great pleasure of making the acquaint- ance of Michel Chevalier,* to whom I was presented by M. de Parieu. Chevalier spoke to me of the object of the Conference, and said words which remain and always * MICHEL CHEVALIER (b. 1806, d. 1879), member of the Institute of France. He was seat, in 1833, by Mr. Thiers, to study the methods of transportation in the United States. He published Letters on North America (2 vols., Paris, 1836); Material Interests of France, Public Works, Roads, Canals, Railways (Paris, 1838) ; History and Description of Modes of Transportation in the United States (Paris, 1840). In 1840 he succeeded Rossi as Professor of Political Economy in the College of France. Among his numerous succeeding works I mention here his Treatisa on Money, the first thorough and comprehensive work on the subject, and his Probable Fall of Gold (Paris, 1859), which was translated and reprinted in England by Cobden. He was made member of the Academy of Moral and Political Sciences in 1851 ; was Counsellor of State under the Empire; a Deputy, and Senator. I have always regarded him as the controlling spirit in the monetary thought of his time, and as the chief spiritual progenitor of the decisions of the International Monetary Conference of 1867, and hence of the Anti- Silver Movement. The saying of Chevalier, above quoted, seemed to me the symptom of an admission extending to the innermost core of the subject ; the admis- sion, namely, that if we succeeded in one way we should succeed in the other ; that if England should join with the other nations, the parity of the metals would be maintained the contrary of which opinion still plays its part as a tenet ; it is not yet dislodged entirely from the convic- tions of the learned. Reference wiil be found to this point on a later page. The present representatives of the Chevalier tradition in France, the gentlemen who addressed the Congress on the anti-silver side in such force, including the accomplished young journalists who acted as its Sec- retaries, illustrate the persistence of the mathematician's idea of the THE SINGLE STAND AKD. 45 will remain in my memory : " You will never succeed in converting England" There, gentlemen, is the basis of the opinion of all those who oppose this movement for the restoration of silver, which is now going on in England and Germany. France and the United States, as you are aware, were gained long ago. The main support of the opinions of those who oppose us, is still and always England, and it is because it was believed to be descended from ancestors so worthy of respect as Locke and Newton that this idea, opinion, or theory of the Single Gold " Standard " an idea which belongs properly to mathematical sciences has been ac- cepted in political and economic science. Gentlemen, look about a little, if you will, and consider what is your idea. Everyone makes his ideas for him- self. What is your idea of a " standard " ? It is a weight, " standard," to which I have referred on pages 45 to 47. The same remnrk would be justified by the existing opinion in academic circles in other European capitals, though such opinion makes itself heard chiefly when attack is made upon the existing primacy of gold, which is de facto the established " standard" of Christendom, that is to say, privi- leged by law and by administrative regulation in Europe and America as the ruling money, freely coinable and receivable everywhere. In each country the gold party is still in some measure inspired with faith in its metrical and mathematical concept ; ' standard" (etaloii), which it adopted from the exact sciences iu the course of the long-continued agitation for perfecting and unifying weights, measures, and units. I may here appropriately observe that if Michel Chevalier had not be- gun life as an engineer with an engineer's confidence in physical weights, measures, and units the monetary history of his time might have been a very different one. 46 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. says one. Very well, put it in a glass case where we keep standards of weight. No, no ; that is not all. This weight is circulating through the country. Then in the case of money the weight is not everything. But where is the " standard," gentlemen, where is the " standard," if it is in the pockets of the people, and if it is a weight ? I beg you, gentlemen, to make an effort to give substance, to rep- resent in its reality, your idea of a " standard," and you will see there is something wrong in it. [You cannot with impunity predicate of values that qual- ity of physical fixity and invariableness which the word '" standard " represents, by reason of its general applica- tion to the constants with which science measures space, time, matter, and force.] There is money, gentlemen what is money by law. Talk of that and I understand you, and I care very little what you say of a " standard." Very well ; this theory of the single standard made of gold took its rise in this way. There was a misunder- standing that is all a misunderstanding about the former " constitution of money," which was, as I have ex- plained, silver as principal money, gold as secondary money, but both of them money, and both fully money ; the difference in their rank being a difference in the intent of the legislator, not in their employment by the people. Rights of coinage an'd legal tender power were the same. But, in the plan of the legislator, the basis of the sys- tem was silver. If it should become necessary to change the ratio, then it was the gold coin whose weight must be THE SINGLE STANDARD. increased or diminished. That was the legal difference between the two kinds of money. Here, then, was the misunderstanding [a confusion of concepts, an exaggera- tion, you see, of the legal theory of unity at the ex- pense of the facts, the actual and lawful duality], and it was believed that the authority of Newton and Locke and of other guiding spirits made for this [exaggera- tion which ignored the fact, for a] theory, or rather for a definition a tendency of opinion about money which belongs rather to the physical sciences than to political economy. Based upon this error came the prestige of the United Kingdom to fortify it ; the fact that the laws of this great people, the people most advanced and best known in the world of international trade the chief maritime nation gave a marked preference and privilege to gold money. The law for free coinage of silver still existed on the statute book, but it had not been put in force. Well, the prestige of the. English system impressed itself upon general opinion ; nothing occurred to disturb the im- pression ; and when the great agitation for the improve- ment of Aveights and measures and units [that is, of real " standards "] came, there was this error about the nature of money at the foundation [of the general opinion of the learned in these matters], and the experience and the au- thority of the United Kingdom sustaining it. Thus it came to pass that the mathematician's enthusiasm, enthu- ' siasm for the metric system, misled economists [and states- men] into the disastrous path Avhich the International 48 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. Conference of 1867 recommended the effort to abolish silver money. Here, gentlemen, you see the origin of opinions which still even to-day have maintained a certain influence. But, gentlemen, before leaving the tribune I allow my- self the pleasure of noting that, after all, the opposition in France on the part of the masters, the professors of science, does not amount to very much MEMBERS. [Oh! Oh!] Mr. HOETON. According to the opinion of Mr. Levas- seur ! This is not merely my opinion, gentlemen ; it is the opinion of Mr. Levasseur ; for he has proposed to you the free coinage of silver. A MEMBER. But under what conditions ! Mr. HORTON. I will tell you the conditions. I regret that Mr. Levasseur is not here. The PRESIDENT. He was obliged to leave Paris this morn- ing. He asked me yesterday to present his regrets to the Congress. It was my forgetfulness that prevented my do- ing so. Mr. HORTON. You w r ere all here ; you all heard Mr. Levasseur. According to what I heard, he was for the free coinage of silver, at the market rate, was it not ? MEMBERS. [Yes ! Yes !] The SECRETARY, Mr. COSTE. That is to say, that before coining a five-franc piece he Avould want not merely silver -enough to coin it, but a third more. ME. LEV ASSE UK'S PLAN. 49 A MEMBER. They would have to begin again when the rate changed.* * NOTE. The member who said this was in error as to Mr. Levasseur's proposition, at least unless both myself and Mr. Coste are wrong. "Be- ginning again when the rate changes " implies what Americans have known as the " cart-wheel dollar " the effort to coin a dollar " with silver enough in it to make it equal to a gold dollar." To do this it would be necessary to change the weight (and perhaps to recoin the existing stock) whenever a change should come in the gold price of silver. The effect of Mr. Levasseur's proposition would be so at least I understood it aud explained it at the time to some of his friends, that the Government would buy all the silver that should be offered to it, and pay in five-franc pieces. In self-defence it would be obliged to coin up the bullion. To maintain its silver coin at par with gold would be necessary for self-preservation, and hence it could tolerate no discrim- ination against silver coin. The Government must therefore use silver coin on the same terms with gold in its own transactions. In that case there would be, de facto, unlim- ited legal tender for silver, so far as such transactions are concerned. In presence of such an arrangement, with this avenue for use wide open, the little fence set up on the side of compulsory legal tender (limiting it to 1000 or 500 francs) would be of no avail. The limitation would be nulli- fied in practice, even if it were not repealed out of hand. So, as I said in the above lines, What difference would it make? I may usefully recall here that the vocabulary of money is very deficient in the means of clear thinking and precision of statement on these heads ; and French, which expresses "legal tender" by "liberatory force," or "power," is no better off. I have endeavored to reinforce the plain English of monetary talk (which is not yet plain enough), by introducing the word "partial" partial legal tender in the special sense of money which, in certain quarters, is legally receivable without limit. With us, for example, the national bank notes and silver certificates ai-e partial legal tender, being receivable for public dues. 50 SPEECH IN THE CONGKESS. Mr. HORTON. Mr. Levasseur gave a great many argu- ments ; he was very eloquent ; I remember with pleasure that he said many brilliant things, and that they were aimed at us, and all was very well said ; but at the end, he proposed the free coinage of silver. The SECRETARY, Mr. COSTE. Permit me to say that Mr. Levasseur added that the silver coin should have its legal tender limited to 500 francs. Mr. HORTON. Five hundred francs, or 1,000 francs, or something like that. The SECRETARY. It was I who, in first addressing the Congress, took occasion to point out that it ought not to go beyond 1,000 francs, and in fact that the legal tender power should not be so high, but Mr. Levasseur indicated 500 francs as the limit. Mr. HORTON. According to my remembrance he spoke of 500 francs, but he also spoke of 1,000 francs, and added at the end, " something like that." But what difference does it make ? If all the opposition which exists against the movement in England and Ger- many, the object of which is to persuade these nations or governments to ally themselves with France and the United States if all this opposition, I say, melts down and disappears in a proposition like that of Mr. Levas- seur, I have great pleasure in assuring my friends from England and Germany that we need have little solicitude for the future. If these gentlemen who are opposed to us are of that way of thinking, they are on the right track ; MR. LEVASSEUR'S PLAN. 51 they have made good progress ; they are at last coming over to be our friends and to stand by our side. These gentlemen from England have come here on the invitation of the Direction of the Exposition ; they have given a report on the progress which has been made since the silver question was left, so to speak, at England's door, at the close of the Conference of 1881 and 1882 ; and these other gentlemen have come from Germany for a similar object. They are curious to see if the men of science who are here assembled can say anything to convince them that they are wrong ; that they must turn back, retrace their steps, and abjure their opinions. Well, gentlemen, when the practical outcome of a dis- course so eloquent as that of Mr. Levasseur is the free coinage of silver, I assure you we are very near a general agreement. Mr. FREDERIC PASSY. It is not free coinage at the rate of 151. Mr. HORTOX. A word more ! The honorable Mr. Du Puynode, who has spoken of England as the native land of the single gold standard, also added some words of en- couragement as to the condition of England in these late years. One would suppose that is, if I heard him rightly that there had been no " hard times "* there. Mr. Du PUYNODE. I said there had been hard times, but that the crisis has passed for England. Mr. HORTON. If the crisis has passed we are all re- joiced, are we not? * Crise. 52 SPEECH IN THE CONGRESS. But what I wish to point out to you is this : the prac- tical question for this assembly is to know whether the outlawry of silver has been an efficient cause of hard times in the past. If that is the fact, the thing to do is to pre- vent the outlawry of silver in the future. [Applause.] Well, on this question, I have heard nothing, and yet it is the chief practical question. We are not here to inquire if we are feeling well. [Laughter.] We want to know if there is something to be done to ward off any disease that is in the air. [Applause.] Now, gentlemen, I have one word to add touching the attitude of those who defend the outlawry of silver. I point out to you that the very existence of their opinions to-day is due to the fact that their propositions were not adopted. The demonetization of silver ! we can use the words if we wish but the great fact, the important fact, is that the demonetization of silver did not take place ; the movement was checked, and it went no further. If that movement had gone on we should have witnessed a different state of affairs [we should have witnessed dis- asters far beyond all that has oppressed mankind since 1873.] This is what we wish to explain, and what the speakers who oppose the restoration of silver ought to be denying. But they cannot do this. The sale of melted silver dollars in Germany was closed ten years ago. Gentlemen, if you wish to get to the root of this question I give you notice of this because we expect you to do so, to recognize the significance of the issue which our friends from England and Germany have THE POLICY OF DISUNION. 53 put before you ask for yourselves, or let us ask you to tell us, what would have been the result if the French dollars* which we had the pleasure of inspecting this morning in the Bank of France, had been sold ? There is the point ; the point about which jou should take sides. Your advice is asked ; people wish to know whether you are in favor of demonetizing silver. If you are not in favor of it, we beg you to say so Mr. Levas- seur has already done this and we ask all speakers who are opposed to the silver movement in England and Ger- many to tell us what ground they would have taken if such a sale had occurred, and what would happen if they should succeed in inducing the governments to undertake a gen- eral attack against silver. I thank the assembly for its kindly reception. [Ap- plause.] * 1,250,000,000 francs' worth in 5-franc pieces. III. QUESTIONS OF THE EOYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER, AND ANSWERS. 55 PKEFATOKY. The following letter and enclosure gave the occasion and motive for preparing these pages : GOLD AND SILVER COMMISSION, 8, EICHMOND TERRACE, LONDON, August, 1887. SIR : The Commission appointed by Her Majesty's Gov- ernment in the course of last year to investigate the re- cent changes in the relative values of the precious metals have made some progress with their inquiry, and have taken a considerable body of evidence from persons in this country ; but they feel that they would have imperfectly discharged the duty imposed upon them if they had not had recourse to some of the many competent authorities on the subject who reside in foreign countries. It is, however, obviously impossible to elicit the views of these gentlemen by the usual method of oral examina- tion, and the Commission have therefore drawn up the enclosed paper of questions, comprising the more im- portant points on which they are anxious to obtain the opinion of those who have studied the subject. Should you feel disposed to assist the Commission in this way, they would be very much obliged if you would favor them with written answers to any or all of these questions. If, however, you are unable, for any reason, to comply with the invitation of the Commission, they desire me to convey to you their apologies for having ventured to trouble you with this letter. 57 58 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. I forward under another cover a copy of the First Re- port of the Commission, which has been recently issued. I have the honor to be, sir, your obedient servant, (Signed) GEO. H. MURRAY, Secretary to tJie Commission. To Mr. 8. DANA HORTON. The above circular letter was sent to a limited number of persons in different countries, and replies, to the num- ber of eight I believe, including the replies of the Hon. David A. Wells and the following, were printed in the ap- pendices of the Commission's Report. The enclosure is as follows : QUESTIONS. 1. To what do you attribute the fall in the value of sil- ver, as compared with gold^ since 1874 f 2. What probability is there of a continuance of the fall f 3. To what do you attribute the fall in the wholesale prices of many commodities which has been in progress during the last 10 or 12 years f 4. Has it extended to (&) retail prices (b), wages and other payments for services rendered (c), land and houses f THE QUESTIONS. 51) 5. Has the fall resulted in any material prejudice to the commercial or general interests of the world f 6. Do you consider that the countries using the gold standard,, or any of them, are suffering from an injurious contraction of the currency which might have been obviated or mitigated by an increase in the supply of gold f 7. To what extent and in what way are prices affected by the quantity of the metal or metals used as standards of value f 8. What is the relation, if any, between the supply or quantity of the precious metals and the fluctuations of credit f 9. Has there been during the last 15 years any important development of the system of cheques, bank credits, bills of exchange, or other means of economizing the use of the precious metals f 10. Do you consider that an international agreement could be made for the free coinage of gold and silver as legal tender money at a fixed ratio f 11. Is it in the power of Governments to maintain such a ratio if agreed upon; and would the practice of the com, mercial world follow the law f 60 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. 12. What would be the effect of such an agreement, if carried out, upon (a) prices, and (b) the production of the precious metals f 13. Do you consider an international agreement for bi- metallism possible on any other ratio than 14. Failing an international bimetallic agreement, what measures could be adopted by the commercial nations of the world for giving increased stability to the relation between gold and silver f 15. It is argued that, in the absence of bimetallism, the effect of any disturbance of the currency is limited to half the currencies of the world, and thereby increased in inten- sity. Do you consider this view correct; and, if so, do you think the evil a serious one f 16. If the effect of such disturbances could be spread all over all countries, would greater stability of the standard of value be secured thereby f QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER ANSWERS. I. QUESTION I. To what do you attribute the fall in the value of silver, as compared witJi gold, since 1874: f DEFINITION (relating also to other QUESTIONS). The form of the QUESTION " to what do you attribute " a certain phenomenon ? opens a wide field. It brings into view the entire range of elements which have combined their influence to produce the phenomenon : and the temptation arises in answering the question either to con- template with indifference both causes and conditions, or fail to recognize the restraints upon freedom of choice among them. In a certain sense each of these regions is a little world in itself, for there is an endless multiplicity of factors distributed in time and space, without the con- current existence of which the monetary situation could not have been exactly what it is. For the purpose of gaining any useful generalization as to that situation, the range of view must be limited to the causes and condi- tions that are close at hand, and they must be distin- guished, the controllable forces must be recognized as such, the subject looked at in mass and in perspective. 61 62 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. These observations, however obvious and common- place, would be germane if it were for a purpose purely scientific that the labors of the ROYAL COMMISSION were undertaken ; if it were merely an Economic Academy gradually accumulating the materials for an exhaustive Dictionary or Cyclopaedia of Monetary Science. This however is not understood to be its character. However important the contribution which it makes to the knowl- edge of monetary economy, its function is primarily a prac- tical one, that of a Special Council of State, its function as a scientific body being tributary to its function as a political body. Its members, deliberating upon the reme- dies of existing evils and the means of preventing future ^vils, are to act by recommendations, positive or negative, ^ expressing themselves favorably or unfavorably, upon a proposal to modify English monetary laws ; and are, at the same time, to exert an influence, favorable or unfavorable, upon the prospect of the adoption of modifications of their laws by the legislatures of other nations, an influence which cannot fail seriously to affect British interests. The point of view of the ROYAL COMMISSION is, then, really that of the learned law-giver at the moment of decision, or of drafting a decree. Although it deals with a subject pre- senting many problems unsolved or insoluble, its object is to act ; as a council of astronomers would reform a calen- dar, or select a meridian, without determining the chemis- try of the sun, or completing a catalogue of the stars. In so far as the ROYAL COMMISSION shall affect legisla- tion, whether positively or negatively, passively or ac- THE TASK OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. 63 tively, by leaving things as they are, or by suggesting change, it directs the will of nations for good or for ill. Its choice between the two paths which lie before it must mark a turning-point in history. The paths are well dis- tinguished ; for a decade of controversy has been explor- ing these fields of thought, and all mankind have an interest in the decision. Further light is to be thrown upon the questions : Has the general outlawry of silver money pend- ing since 1873, been beneficial to England ? Will the restoration of silver to permanent monetary equality with gold by joint action of nations be beneficial to England ? questions upon which England gave some answer before the nations in the International Monetary Conferences of 1878 and of 1881. Impetus will be given to decision of the questions : Shall England promote Monetary Union or Monetary Disunion ? Shall England aid in giving stability or instability to the foundation of the valuations of man- kind ? To deal with these issues is the gist of the mandate of the ROYAL COMMISSION. The course of definition, then, which I am now seeking to present, that which, with a view to action, would in- sure a grasp of the situation as a whole, is the course which the COMMISSION takes in order to fulfil its trust, to " rise to the height of its great argument." Hence, one who seeks to give answer to the QUESTIONS of the COMMISSION will do well to regard the same perspective in his replies, as far as his vision may reach. But to do this, and to guaranty thorough understanding of these replies on the 64 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. part of a reader, they must be seen and be shown in their relations ; it is necessary not only to declare the stand- point, but to define it with particularity. To this end, a certain energy of precision is required, to overcome an existing tendency toward confusion, an opaqueness of the very atmosphere by which all readers of the day are sur- rounded. There is an omnipresent never-resting pressure, a momentum of opinion, a gravitation of interest, which resists an adequate recognition of the obvious truths heretofore set forth, and which therefore calls for a cor- responding energy in their vindication. I do not here refer merely to the well-known obscurity and difficulty of the subject by reason of which the questions of the ROYAL COMMISSION, though brief in themselves, would need a volume for exhaustively explicit treatment but to a peculiar tendency toward error in the minds of many men of learning, the nature and origin of which is given by the following facts : These anti-silver laws, whose effects the EOYAL COMMIS- SION is called upon to study, were not adopted without deliberation. The advice of counsel was taken, men of action submitted to men of thought, and the advising counsel were the learned of a generation. It was the general consensus of the learned opinion of the time which these laws were intended to reflect. The republic of monetary learning, an iinperium in imperils, an eco- nomic church which respects no national boundaries, was unanimous. If believed in the Unification of Money in security of valuations, in simplification of the means of UNION SOUGHT AND DISCORD GAINED. 65 exchange, in facilitating international trade and invest- ment an aim nobly in unison with the progressive spirit of an age whose glory it is already to have made giant strides in this direction, by putting nature's forces in har- ness, as well as by cultivating the faculties of men. This was the aim, the object, the end. What could be more worthy ? But of the means to attain this end what account is to be given ? What was this means ? The outlawry of silver, the legislative or administrative exclusion of silver from legal privileges hitherto enjoyed equally with gold. Did this tend toward the Unification of Money and the benefits it was to bring in its train ? This is one phase of the subject before the ROYAL COMMISSION. In considering it, there are at least two hypotheses that must be enter- tained, namely, either that this repeal of laws equalizing the metals w r as wise, or it was unwise. The inquiry can hardly be carried on without entertaining these two suppositions. If the latter supposition, which I aver to be true, be dis- passionately examined with some deliberation, it will appear that it entails precisely the conclusions as to the present confused state of monetary learning to which I have referred. It must be assumed then that, in the field of action, lay error. The means was not only inadequate for its special end, sacrificing substance to shadows, but was disastrous in the wider field of its influence. Failing, however, to perceive all this in advance, the learned world was betrayed into acting as sponsor of a mistaken scheme of Unification, accessory before the fact, 66 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. aider and abetter in the great overt acts of the anti-silver movement, the anti-silver laws of Germany, which were followed in natural sequence by the anti-silver laws of other states. The event is unique, without precedent. For the first time in history has a theory of the closet been so abruptly transformed into jus gentium, the law common to the nations. How far, then, did the inter- preters of science feel themselves committed to justify the correctness of their practical suggestions ? How far did they recognize the means which they had suggested to attain an end, as merely tentative, as an experiment, as the object of scientific curiosity rather than of partisan attachment ? Did they feel themselves committed to the error as well to the truth, to the mistaken means, as well as to the justified end ? The question is of decisive practical importance. Certainly the average man would naturally regard them as so committed, and, human nature being in full opera- tion, it is quite plain that it required a certain rare eleva- tion of spirit, for one who had borne a part in the anti- silver movement, to grant access to his mind for that course of study of the practical working of the change wrought by anti-silver laws, which showed he had been in the wrong. Beside this the mere momentum of ac- complished facts, the complexity and obscurity of the subject, made such study an effort which could not fail to be unwelcome, and would easily seem to be unnecessary. To whatever extent, then, economists failed to support a new and heavy burden of learning and of unlearning, an ADMISSION OF A GREAT MISTAKE. 67 unique array of forces was summoned to defend error. Conviction must take time, and until it becomes general, fallacious doctrine must here and there be flourishing under the shadow of authority, an abnormal atmosphere of monetary opinion must obscure, refract, or distort the image of truth. It is then, quite in the natural order of events that mighty forces should be at work to prevent recogni- tion of the truth as to the questions before the COMMIS- SION ; a resistance for which the vitality of a race, or of a religion, alone affords adequate parallel. To prove this steadiness of pressure, the very existence of the ROYAL COMMISSION is itself a witness. It was com- missioned in 1886 to perform a task, a goodly part of which a SPECIAL COMMITTEE of the HOUSE of COMMONS, appointed in 1876, might, could and, it may be argued, should, have performed. Ten years of the life of a generation, a goodly fraction of the most active years of the XIX century, are thus, in a certain sense, a measure of these forces. For whatever obstacles to conviction and bent toward fallacy there may be, the special subject now considered supplies outwork and bulwarks and fortress and the very inner and final citadel of strength. One may say, indeed the very configuration of the ground combines the natural advantages for the defence of error. It is, upon final analysis, the free will of men which affords the staple of discussion, but the free will of men moving as it were, in two distinct masses, the one belong- ing to the individual acting separately, the other to the 68 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. organized will of the community, the state, acting through governments. The difficulties of adequate distinction be- tween the two orders of volition, of assigning its true place to each, offer amplest field for a confusion which must surely tend to obscure the duty of statesmanship, whose task consists in overcoming inertia, in stimulus and direc- tion and control of the will of nations. Thus the mere enthusiasm of the votary of science making " better the enemy of good," as the French phrase has it may tend, by delaying action, to defeat the true object of inquiry. It is with a view to these various considerations that the present response to the invitation of the COMMISSION is conceived ; and in order, as far as may be, to guard against misapprehensions which may naturally arise, I have pre- sented laconic replies surrounded, as it were, with signals of definition and explanation. ANSWER. I attribute the fall in the value of silver as compared with gold, to anti-silver laws and governmental regulations, in the western nations. EXPLANATION. Throughout the entire pendency of the breach of parity between silver and gold, the opinion has been currently expressed, that this fall is attributable to certain other alleged causes, which are hereinafter set forth. (A.) A Preference for gold or antipathy to silver. The error of this view consists (1), in an erroneous in- ANSWER AND EXPLANATION. 69 terpretation of the word " cause," or (2), in a misapprehen- sion touching the practical operations of business, the use of money. (1.) The word "cause" is used to designate the motives which led the individual rulers of Germany to establish gold, and reject silver, money, and of France to check the rate of silver mintage, etc., and it is assumed that prefer- ence for gold and antipathy to silver are an adequate char- acterization of these motives. Without stopping to inquire whether this characterization is correct it is sufficient to point out that it is irrelevant. What we are concerned with is a deed, an act, not an opinion, or intention, just as in a surgeon's diagnosis of a gunshot wound it is indifferent whether the shot was fired intentionally or by accident. (2.) A field of importance is, in imagination, opened to this " preference for gold," by flatly ignoring the most obvi- ous facts about the uses of money and the nature of the institution of money. The exertions of the visionary in the defence of anti-silver laws have offered a parallel to the speculations of the mediaeval schoolmen. There is no lack of opinions on money which are explicable only on the ground that their authors are ignorant of the existence of laws of Legal Tender, Coinage, Banking, etc., or imagine that, if there are such things, they are of no effect, that the citizen pays no attention to them, acting exactly as he would act if there were no such laws. As is usual in case of delusion, the sense of humor here shines by its absence, for these products of a sophisticated imagination exist for the special purpose of defending nothing less than actual 70 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. laws of Legal Tender and Coinage, anti-silver laws, gold- favoring laws, to which their advocates ascribe great effi- cacy. (B.) The slightly increased production of silver from the mines has been regarded as a cause. (C.) Certain special instances of a reduction of the em- ployment for silver, which are familiar to the COMMISSION, have been treated as a cause. The error of B. and C. lies in treating as paramount and efficient a factor whose influence is only ancillary and subordinate. While the slightly increased output of sil- ver, and the India Council Bills, etc., exerted a depressing influence on the market ratio of silver to gold, yet they were only enabled to do so by anti-silver laws. But for these laws they would have had no effect. Their effect is thus a part of the effect produced by the anti-silver laws, hence they are not entitled to be regarded as a cause of the fall, in the proper sense of the words. That these points are so often ignored is due to the con- fusion analyzed in the DEFINITION. I am not aware that the facts have been categorically disputed. To disprove my point, it would be necessary to maintain that if the Mints of Germany, Holland, France, Belgium, etc., and of the United States, had remained open to free coinage of silver, gold would still have risen above the French par in silver, by reason of Nevada's silver product and India's payments in London ; an opinion which is obviously erro- neous. THE FUTURE OF SILVER. 71 II. QUESTION II. What probability is there of a continuance of the fall ? ANSWER. The chief element in the calculation of this probability is necessarily the action of governments, and the action of governments will presumably be affected to an important extent by the action of the ROYAL COMMISSION. To discuss the probable action of the United States, of Germany, of France, or of other Powers, without reference to the alternative possibilities of a decision on the part of the British-Indian Empire, a decision which, in its prelimi- nary form of a Report of the ROYAL COMMISSION, is regarded as impending, would be futile. In estimating the impor- tance of this decision, from the international point of view, essential data are embodied in the conclusions of the two International Monetary Conferences called to discuss the proposal of a concurrent regulation of the legal position of the money metals. In the Conference of 1878, called by the United States, in which Germany was not represented, the delegates of the other principal Powers united in a declaration recog- nizing " that it is necessary to maintain in the world the monetary functions of silver as well as of gold." In the Conference of 1881, called by France and the United States, the attitude of representatives of the British-Indian Empire and of the German Empire, the chief Powers 72 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. whose adhesion to the programme of concurrent action was withheld, nevertheless respectively recognized an interest in the carrying-out of that programme, offering certain measures to be adopted within their respective jurisdic- tions as a contribution to its success. To whatever extent, then, this action of the two Powers can be held to have any binding effect, the question of principle, touching the main issue within the considera- tion of the EOYAL COMMISSION, was admitted, and the issue was narrowed to the question of amount, How much these Powers were respectively prepared to do in order to bring about a settlement of the existing conflict of Coinage Systems. The quota of co-operation actually offered not having been looked upon by other nations as sufficient, a long period of monetary inaction, so far as modifications of monetary laws are concerned, has followed, which seems to imply an expectant attitude, looking especially to a new departure on the part of Great Britain. III. QUESTION III. To what do you attribute the fall in the wholesale prices of many commodities which has been in progress during the last 10 or 12 years. DEFINITION. See QUESTION I. ANSWEE. I attribute the general fall of prices to the anti-silver THE APPRECIATION OF GOLD. 73 laws and regulations adopted and carried out in various states since 1871 ; but this assertion cannot properly be held to imply necessarily that if there had been no anti- silver laws there would have been no fall of prices, nor that there would have been a rise of prices. No prob- abilities of this kind can be laid down with precision of detail. But from the point of view of the legislator, responsible for the action of the state, and treating the action of individuals, in all the minutiae of processes of production and distribution, as merely giving the conditions amid which he is to act, it is sufficient to say with certainty that if there had been no anti- silver laws the fall of prices might not have occurred, and that the greater part of that fall could not have occurred. Whatever doubt may be justified in the matter, the opposition to the outlawry of silver is entitled to the benefit of the doubt ; the presumptions are against the outlawry of silver. They are likewise in favor of its being set aside now. EXPLANATION. Among the current explanations of the general fall of prices (or appreciation of gold, which is only another mode of describing the same event) prominence is often given to certain notable features of modern economic life ; namely, new inventions, improved means of transit, trans- port, and communication, new methods of business, etc., all tending to lessen the labor of production. It is there- 74 QUESTIONS OF THE EOYAL COMMISSION. fore important to ascertain what place is to be given to these elements of the situation. Referring to the considerations presented in the defini- nition of QUESTION I, I first observed that these elements, from the standpoint of monetary policy, occupy at best an inferior and subordinate place, as affording merely the conditions with reference to which the legislator has to act. If the tendency of their influence upon prices is down- ward, and thus to produce an injurious rise in the pur- chasing power of money, the business of the legislator is, if possible, to counteract this tendency, and if, as has been stated, the maintenance of silver in parity with gold would have this result in any important degree, then the practi- cal question is decided in favor of silver. The same re- sponse applies to the reasoning, that sometimes attains currency, about overproduction, which should rather be named under-consumption. But the anti-silver argument based upon new in- ventions and improved methods is not content with elevating conditions into causes. It goes further. It is in substance maintained sometimes in specious, vague, or confusing language that because new inventions and improved methods are economic benefits, therefore the fall of prices is an economic benefit. Here lies the real strength, because here lies the seductiveness of the argu- ment. In essence, this reasoning is merely a resolute beg- ging of the question, and puts the cart before the horse. This will be apparent from the following analysis. If a general fall of prices, or rise in the value of money. SOPHISMS ABOUT APPRECIATION OF GOLD. 75- is an evil at all, it is an evil because it is a derangement of the terms of existing investments and obligations, and a derangement peculiarly unfortunate ; being more injurious in proportion than its complement, a fall in the value of money, because it disturbs the adjustment of the machinery of business and so checks the normal growth of enterprise. Evidently no peculiarity of origin of the rise in the value of money can divest it of this latter character ; it must be a derangement, no matter how it comes to pass. To deny, then, that such a dislocation of values is an evil at all is an obvious error. It implies, in fact, the impossible opin- ions that it is not desirable that money should remain stable in value, and that " hard times " are not an evil. From this it is but a short step to affirm that it is the busi ness of statesmanship to prevent prosperity ! . We proceed to consider the argument which defends this evil, as a price, so to speak, paid in order to secure the admitted economic benefits of new inventions and im- proved methods, and therefore more than made good by the profits of the operation. The illusions embodied in this view- will, I think, be dis- closed by the following analysis. "What is the difference of effect between an invention that does not lower prices at all to imagine an extreme case and an invention which lowers them? Does it not consist in this, that in the latter case it is (what economic science knows as) " the consumer " who has the gain, which in the former case would go to " the producer ?" Can there be any doubt that the admitted benefits of new inventions and of im- 76 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. proved methods can be obtained without paying such a price, so ruinous a price, as a general rise in the value of money ? There should be no doubt. It is not necessary, it never was (strictly) necessary, to pay this price. (See 0, page 82.) That this truth is left out of sight is probably due to an exaggeration of the importance of the new inventions and improved methods which have come into play since 1873. Offering, as they do, the strongest, because most seductive, argument to defend the anti-silver laws from the charge of having produced a ruinous dislocation of values, so much has been said about these new inventions and methods since 1873, that men forget what happened before 1873 ; and forgetting what happened before 1873, they ignore what might have happened since 1873 but for these same anti-silver laws. Before 1873, a marvellous development of " cheapen- ing r ' inventions and methods took place, while there was no fall of prices, and also during periods when there was a rise of prices. Why could not the same experience be repeated ? Evidently it would have been repeated after 1873, if the conditions of quantity (parity. See Def. of Q. YI) had been maintained by a proper course of mon- bary legislation. The entire plea of new inventions and new methods is thus put out of court. It remains to consider some special points which have been relied upon to excite sympathy for this plea. Spe- cial reasons are alleged why a fall of prices is a benefit : namely that it tends to improve the relative position of WAGES AND THE UNEMPLOYED. 77 the manual-labor classes. 'If this entry to its credit were correct (in certain cases), it would be more important, than it is, to note that the debit entries are also to be taken into consideration ; that the annual return for manual labor is not to be ascertained by multiplying an average of daily wages by 300, but is a question of fact to be proved by testimony, in which the number of " un- employed," the regularity and certainty of work for the employed, would come under examination. But the credit entry is not correct. This entry is not to be made correct by the mere observation that the pro- ductiveness of work, in obtaining satisfaction of his needs for the worker, has actually increased of late years. To rely upon this observation is to reveal confidence in a false issue. The true issue is : Would the satisfaction of the worker have been less, if there had been no anti-silver laws f I am not advised that any apologist of anti-silver laws has even tried to establish the affirmative of this issue. IV. QUESTION IV. Has it extended to (a) retail prices, (b) wages and other payments for services rendered, (c) land and houses f ANSWER. On these subjects I have no fruits of original research to present, and can therefore add nothing to the evidence already before the Commission, unless by way of analysis and criticism of that evidence. 78 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. In a general way an affirmative reply to QUESTION IV is indicated in the answers to other QUESTIONS, and some brief criticism is also set forth touching certain inferences which have been drawn from the facts toward which QUESTION IV is directed. V. QUESTION V. Has the full resulted in any material prejudice to the commercial or general interests of the world f DEFINITION. See QUESTION /. ANSWER. Yes, so far as a vitiated system of money can affect them. Of course the respective degrees to which various national systems of money have been so affected cannot be stated with precision. EXPLANATION. See also QUESTION ///. The general importance of stability of average purchas- ing power and of parity between monetary systems con- nected by trade or investment are elementary, rudimen- tary, principles of monetary policy : very much as the rule of the majority is an elementary principle of representa- tive bodies. These principles belong in fact to the category of defi- nitions. It is impossible to define good money without including the " parities " which have been violated in these dislocations of values, and it is impossible to define what PARITY AND STABILITY. 79 is desirable so as to exclude what is good. Granted the existence of men, it is desirable that there should be good men, and so, likewise, granted that money exists, it is de- sirable that it should be good money. Now to say that the money of Europe has been and is good money as good money as it would have been if there had been no breach of these parties is intrinsically absurd, and nothing but the confusion produced by the causes analyzed in the DEFINITION of QUESTION I prevents universal recognition of this absurdity. If the absence of a certain par between London and Bombay is not a material prejudice, the absence of a cer- tain par between London and Manchester is not a mate- rial prejudice ; if a past fall of prices of 25 per cent, is not a material prejudice, a future fall of 25 per cent, will not be a material prejudice, or 50 per cent, or 75, 80, 90, a fall which would reduce the business world to universal bankruptcy or repudiation. So long as human nature en- dures, men who buy and sell will be glad to know what the price is to be, men who invest will desire a return, mortgagees will desire that their security shall be enough to pay the debt, and mortgagors will desire to realize as much as possible from their " equity of redemption." It is upon the propriety and persistence of such desires as these in men, or in other words, upon the inexpugnable basis of human nature, that the affirmative answer to QUESTION V is based 80 QUESTIONS OF THE KOYAL COMMISSION. VI. QUESTION VI. Do you consider that the countries using the gold stand- ard, or any of them, are suffering from an injurious con- traction of the currency which might have been obviated or mitigated by an increase in the supply of gold f DEFINITION. The question is a double question. The first part re- lates to a matter of fact : " Are certain countries, is any country, suffering from contraction of the currency ? " The countries referred to as " using the gold standard " use this standard and from " choice," but in obedience to statutes which accord the full rank of national money to gold alone. The second part is a matter of opinion : " Could such contraction, if existing, have been obviated or mitigated by an increase in the supply of gold ? " What is the meaning of " contraction of the currency ? " The history of the phrase is a long one. Originally ap- plied to the various species of Paper Money, it is only lately, so far as I am informed, that it has been used to describe the event which I assume the KOYAL COMMISSION has in view, namely, a deficient supply of Metallic Money. The distinctly artificial or conventional origin and char- acter of Paper Money, which is admittedly a product of law and of governmental action, and the "quantity" of which is subject to governmental control, import distinc- THE MEANING OF CONTRACTION. 81 tions which are of vital importance in defining the new meaning of the phrase. Inasmuch as " contraction " implies that something is contracted, it is essential to have a clear understanding of what that something is ; and, the thing contracted being plainly a quantity, it is necessary, in order to appreciate the decrease in quantity, to have an idea what the original quantity was. What, then, is the starting point, the original quantity, the disappearance or non-appearance of a part of which makes the *' contraction ?" In the case of Paper Money, created, as it is, within the view of the public, it is a comparatively simple matter to come to an understanding. The case of Metallic Money is different. Not only is there neither precision, nor con- currence of opinion touching that which is indeterminate, but the principles relative to the subject are still to be agreed upon. Nowhere in the range of monetary discussion is there, in my belief, a greater lack, or greater need, of clearness. In order to an adequate treatment of QUESTION VI, it is therefore necessary to establish some general views with reference to the quantity of Metallic Money. What, then, is the normal stock of Metallic Money ? Three alternatives suggest themselves as giving the de- sired point of departure : A. The actual stock, in a given nation at a given time let us say in Great Britain, in 1874 may be taken as the original quantity, and a subsequent reduction of that stock may be regarded as " contraction." 82 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. B. The actual stock in 1874, plus an annual increment (estimated upon some established rule) to be applied as due each subsequent year, may form the first term of com- parison. A failure in subsequent years to enlarge the stock to the agreed extent will then be regarded as a defi- ciency. C. The supposed requirement (for any given year) may be fixed by the establishment of certain conditions to be fulfilled. Such conditions are, for example, suggested by the once universally-admitted principle that money should be stable in value. The normal stock, then, for the period 1874-1887, would be that stock and increment which should have maintained the general average of prices at the level of 1874. A deficiency, then, existing by comparison with either of these three requirements might be regarded as a " con- traction." Looking, however, to the practical objects which the learned law-giver has in view, the requirement set forth in C. would be entitled to precedence. Of course, whether, in any given case, it is in the power of the law- giver to afford any remedy for a contraction, from the point of view either of A., B., or C. is a distinct question concerning which nothing is said here. (See below.) In further explanation of the answer to QUESTION YI, the subordinate query should also be stated whether a contraction is " injurious " or no, upon which point the considerations presented under QUESTIONS III and V are applicable. HARD TIMES IN ENGLAND. 83 ANSWER. The points elsewhere herein set forth touching the pe- culiar effect of the breach of established parity between silver money systems and gold money systems, and touch- ing the relation of quantity to prices, and the causation of monetary changes, apply as reservations to limit and ex- plain the following reply : Yes. England has so suffered, and is so suffering. The experience of other gold standard countries is similar, but naturally not identical. For obvious reasons I shall fol- low the QUESTION into detail in reference to England alone. A fall of prices (appreciation of gold), depreciation of property, derangement of the calculations of trade and in- vestment, all upon a scale of importance attracting the attention of the law-giver, are ascertained, and are ad- mitted. A deficiency in the normal stock of Metallic Money in England is also ascertained. The requirements set forth in the third mode of determining the normal stock (C) are evidently lacking. So, likewise, from the standpoint of the second explanation (Bj, there is a deficiency. Again, as to the actual stock of 1874 (A), the evidence tends to sustain thejbelief that there is actually less metallic cash in England in 1887 than in 1874. That this contraction is injurious is apparent. This injurious contraction referred to could have been mitigated and probably obviated by an increase in the supply of gold money ; but, while it was not within the 84 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. power of legislation to command such an increase by in- creasing the product of the mines, it was, and (for the benefit of the future) is, within its power to obtain a sim- ilar result, in profitable degree, by reuniting the broken standard of silver and gold. DEFINITION OF THE SECOND PART OF THE QUESTION. The second part of the QUESTION VI : " Could this contraction of the currency have been obviated or miti- gated by an increase in the supply of gold," seems to sup- ply its own answer. To whatever condition of things the phrase " contraction of the currency " may be applied, an increase of the supply of gold money must serve as the opposite and negation of it. As surely as subtraction is to be obviated or mitigated by addition, so surely does in- crease of money obviate or mitigate or, rather, prevent contraction, or deficiency, of money. The stress of the QUESTION seems therefore to lie in the degree of mitigation. How much effect will be produced by such and such an in increase in the supply of gold ? An increase in the supply of gold may describe two dis- tinct events : (a) an increase of the existing stock in the hands of man, or (&) such an increase as shall, under existing circum- stances, render an enlarged stock of money available for a given nation at a given period, or, more definitely stated, PARITY AND SUPPLY. 85 (a) 'an increase of the annual output of gold mines, and (b) the occurence of such a change in the conditions of supply or employment of money-material that an in- creased amount of gold money comes normally into use in a given country at a given time. It will be observed that the second case (b) contemplates a greater quota of change supplied to remedy or pre- vent a deficit than the first case (a). If we imagine the requirements set forth in (b) applied to England, it becomes apparent that the change referred to must embrace the money-using world as well as Eng- land. The general conditions of supply or employment of money-materials, which are to enable gold money to flow into England will therefore demand attention. What is contemplated in QUESTION VI, and thus in the ANSWERS to be made to QUESTION VI, as a " contraction of the cur- rency " is not an event occurring in isolation, but rather an event alone to be understood as a part, by means of an explanation of the whole. For money-using England as well as the money-using world, there are two money-metals, not one alone. The supply and employment of silver, and the ratio of exchange between silver and gold are decisive factors in the mone- tary position of gold. With this observation the question of quantity of gold is brought face to face with an order of events distinct, and, from some points of view, incommensurate. The breaking of the par of silver and gold, and the derange- ment of valuations arising in exchanges between silver 86 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. countries and gold countries are in fact comparable 'to the invasion by one of the forces of nature, of the field ordi- narily exposed to the undisturbed working of another force. The collision of coinage systems merits, therefore, a treatment quite distinct from the issues directly raised by QUESTION YI. Suffice it to say here that the evils conse- quent upon that breach and collision are obviously to be in some measure remedied, and the future effects of that breach and collision can be entirely prevented by remov- ing the cause that is to say, by restoring equality be- tween the metals. Without entering further upon this field, it is legitimate and important to explain that the ANSWERS TO QUESTION YI, although accepting the terms of " quantity " imposed by that QUESTION, make full allowance (if the definitions be clearly understood) for the perturbation due to the break of the parity and the subsequent clashing and con- flict of coinages. The definition of the normal stock (see page 82) and of an increased supply of gold (6, see above) show that the narrow view touching a " scarcity of gold " is here excluded. It is to be recognized that the peculiar effects of the break of an established parity do not elimi- nate the element of quantity from the monetary problem in the wider sense. What increased output of gold mines or silver mines would have been needed to cause a rise of silver prices in silver countries, which would have left gold prices where they stood before the divergence of the ratio ? Opinions may vary touching the required quantity (as well as the effect of such imagined output upon the course of SUBSIDENCE OF OCCIDENTAL VALUES. 87 trade, development of wealth, distribution of capital, etc.), but it will hardly be denied that in the scale of magnitudes some point could be reached where this imagined effect would be produced. Is it not quite probable that a repeti- tion of such an experience as the Great Gold Discoveries in Australia and California would have transferred the change of price-level from a downward movement of gold prices in the Occident to an upward movement of silver prices in the Orient ? Turning from these speculations to the actual condition of the nations in the period 1874-1887, we can profitably seek to define the importance of the break-down of the parity formerly maintained by France and her allies. What would have been the condition of things if the par had not been broken ? The question, what increased prod- uct would have come from the mines, in that event, is im- portant, but can be laid aside here in order to simplify the issue. We assume, then, the par of 15^ to 1 maintained, but the other great factors of the monetary situation of Europe, the product of the mines, the expansion of the United States, the Indian railroads, etc., such as they have been in fact. Could the local subsidence of the valua- tions that are expressed in pounds sterling have occurred ? It is safe to say that the cause of the greater part of this subsidence would have been removed. But as QUESTION YI treats the position of gold money as a matter of quantity alone, it is germane to show that, from the standpoint of the legislator, parity is a factor of available quantity. 88 QUESTIONS OF THE EOYAL COMMISSION. VII. QUESTION VII. To what extent and in what way are prices affected l}y the quantity of the 'metal or metals used as standards of value f DEFINITION. (See also QUESTION /.) The phrase " standard of value " in the above question, can only profitably be used as a synonym of money, just as the " metals " contemplated in it are gold and silver, and no other, and " prices " is but a name for the re- spective equivalents of vendible things in money units. If to regard a metal as a standard of value carried with it no actual employment of pieces of that metal for the uses known in fact as monetary, that is to say, if the metal were purely a term of mental comparison and nothing more, as might be the case if one were to consider as a matter of curiosity, what a horse was " worth " in platina or in gallium, the question might be treated in a different way. There would then be no need of laws of Legal Tender, of Coinage, of Banking, there would be no Monetary Systems, there would be no money and no questions of currency, of monetary policy. But this is not the case. It is but a dreamland of the economic visionary to which this latter spiritual meaning of " standard of value " points. Money exists. The actual world of human society has always been, and is to-day, a world of payments as well as of price. THE CLOUDLAND OF MONEY. 89 Price lias, in fact, always implied action, the poten- tiality of action, of payment ; it exists by contemplation of an actual exchange of one thing for another, and the one thing is the vendible object and the other thing is money, and it can be nothing else, except by favor of a license of speech which has no place in monetary dis- cussion. Many prices are not paid, many exchanges are made without transfer of cash. Cash payments are but a fraction of the totality of transactions, and the rapidity with which cash does its work is a matter of surmise, but, notwithstanding, the nucleus of these comet-like phe- nomena is a solid fact in more than the purely material sense. There is a stock of cash, and with it some propor- tion of prices is paid. But between the actual amount of cash and the sum of possibilities of demand for payment (the totality of transactions) there is a broad space, so broad that it may well be likened to the furthest sweep of the comet in its flight. It is in these interstellar spaces, so to speak, that the visionary finds fields of fancy beyond the reach of the glass of a Montesquieu. The fatal attrac- tiveness of this region of ideal money, of " money of ac- count" or " metal used " mentally " as a standard of value " is well attested by the experience of to-day, there being no lack of minds that have Eaten of the insane root That takes the reason prisoner. Hence the necessity of a most rigorous course of defini- tion. 90 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. QUESTION YII relates, then, to the effect of the quantity of metallic money upon prices. But there are various dis- tinct aspects in which " the quantity of metal or metals used as money " may be regarded ; among which are : 1. The weight of the Units of Coinage. 2. The relation of parity between the two money-metals, 3. The number of existing copies of the Units. 4. The metal not coined which has a monetary use. 5. The metal which may be relied on to recruit the stock of money. The quantity of substitutes for metallic money is also an element of importance for any practical conclusions. For purposes of clearness then, treating the question in a practical way, it is necessary to contemplate some normal state of these elements of " quantity," and this- can be conveniently attained by turning the eye away from the present amorphous conditions, brought about by the late revolutionary divorce of silver and gold, and regard- ing the conditions as they were before 1873, when parity existed between the metals, which affected the total stock. In this assumed normal state there was an in- crement : a yearly increase of the stock. Let us then a Pply QUESTION VII to the state of affairs as it was in 1873, 1863, 1853, 1843. There were " prices " in those years, and " prices " in the sense in which the word is used in QUESTION VII, namely, the general mass, or average, of price of things vendible. THE QUANTITY THEORY. 91 We ask whether these prices would have been the same as they actually were if the world's stock of silver and gold in 1843, 1853, 1863, 1873 had been less than it actu- ally was if it had been half what it was, for example. It is well-nigh self-evident that prices could not have been the same. Indeed, if we carry out the hypothesis with loyal fulness of statement, it will be plain that, in all probability, prices would have been only half what they actually were. If, on the other hand, we imagine an equal diminution in the world's stock of any other form of wealth, the amount of money-metal remaining what it was, we are led to a very different conclusion. Of course no one can answer the question in this form with precision. No one can answer QUESTION YII in any form with absolute precision. But the prevailing force of tendencies can be clearly stated, and if the elements of any given special case are carefully studied, an approximately correct conclusion can be formed. Despite all the fluctuations of business, the constancy of human nature and the inertia of the metals, and of laws, afford ample material for practical decision. ANSWER. The general tendency is that prices are in direct ratio to the quantity of money ; but this a tendency limited by factors which may be briefly indicated in the proviso- 92 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. " other things being equal." As for the way in which quantity acts upon price it can be regarded as a special instance of " demand and supply." VIII. QUESTION VIII. What is the relation, if any, between the supply or quan- tity of the precious metals and the fluctuations of credit f ANSWER. I do not avail myself of the opportunity to enter fully upon this question on account of the great extent of an inquiry into the multifarious and evanescent phenomena to which it points. I venture, however, to present some elementary observations which may be the more impor- tant because they are not infrequently ignored. To affirm that there is no relation between the supply or quantity of the precious metals and the fluctuations of credit is, if the proper meanings be given to the words, an error, if indeed it be not actually a contradiction in terms. What are the fluctuations of credit ? An increase or decrease in the quantity of obligations expressed in terms of money, which obligations are often transferred or exchanged for a money price. Whether the relation of credits to hard cash be likened to the relation of a comet's tail to its nucleus, of the sun's corona to the sun, of the earth's atmosphere to the earth, it must be a rela- tion and a relation of quantity. Whatever problems insoluble in the present state of METHODS OF ECONOMIZING SPECIE. 93 knowledge, these various relations may present to human curiosity, a considerable body of data has already been acquired which cannot fear to be superseded. So like- wise in reference to the relations between credit and cash, enough is known to give security in dealing with the main practical tasks which are to-day incumbent upon the leg- islator. So far as the practical task is concerned, to which the labors of the ROYAL COMMISSION are directed, what is- known of the relations of cash and credit can certainly afford no valid argument against a settlement of the Silver Question by concurrent action of nations. IX. QUESTION IX. Has there been during the last 15 years any important development of the system of cheques, lank credits, bills of exchange, or other means of economizing the use of the pre- cious metals ? ANSWER. i As compared with preceding decades, there has been in the last 15 years no important development of the methods of economizing specie. EXPLANATION. It may be said, in a certain narrow sense, that an im- portant development of this kind is always going on, for although, regarded as a whole, the movement may be 94 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. dhecked or counteracted in times of war or panic, yet local expansion of specie-economizing credit may have been present to minimize the final result. Among the most notable changes in the direction of economy in the use of the precious metals in late years, I should mention : The telephone. The postal order system. The extension of the telegraph. The extension of railways. Question IX, as I understand it, demands a comparison of what has occurred through these and similar agencies, with what occurred before. This comparison seems to me to be clearly unfavorable to the later period. The earlier decades of the development of railways and tele- graphs saw more important changes than the latter ; the postal order system was preceded by great postal reforms ; and the telephone would perhaps operate rather to pre- vent the necessity of credits than to economize specie. And the great development of systems of Banking and Clearing belongs to the earlier period. The rate of increase of the ratio of money transactions to metallic stock has therefore probably been reduced of late years. The fact that prices have fallen in spite of the growth of methods of economizing specie, points in the same direction, for it is obvious that, so far as it may go, economizing specie tends to promote a rise of prices. THE COMPLEMENT OF GKESHAM's LAW. 95 X. QUESTION X. Do you consider that an international agreement could be made for the free coinage of gold and silver as legal ten- der money at a jixed ratio f ANSWER. I do. XI. QUESTION XI. Is it in the p OKI er of governments to maintain such a ra- tio if agreed upon ; and would the practice of the commer- cial world follow the law f ANSWER. Undoubtedly. EXPLANATION. The exercise of power referred to is in substance identi- cal with that which all governments have been wont to apply with 'success. Touching the " practice of the com- mercial world," I assert in favor of an affirmative answer what in the law is known as an estoppel. The established opinions of all economists in a similar case should preclude them from withholding their agreement with this affirma- tion. This consensus of opinion has been so universal as to have been embodied in the name of a " law." The theorem known as " Gresham's law " is one of the 96 QUESTIONS or THE EOYAL COMMISSION. commonplaces of economics, and the affirmative answer to question XI rests upon the same basis as Gresham's law. That law is but a generalization touching the working of human self-interest. Under the gravitation of self-interest, men prefer what is crudely called the " cheaper " money to the " dearer " money. That is to say, men gladly part with that which they can most easily spare, and, inasmuch as everything which is paid is also received, it is plain that men are not unwilling to receive payment in anything which they can pay aw r ay again. All men are willing to make profit in a monetary transaction ; there is a constant pressure in that direction among money-using men, just as every part of a body of water is always pressing down. This is the controlling fact, this is human nature. But this downward pressure of water has two distinct lines of manifestation, the one where resistance is complete, the other where resistance is incomplete ; the latter being the current, the fall, movement, tending toward the perpen- dicular, the former the smooth level of the lake, quiescent, horizontal. It is the former, which is bodied forth in Gresham's law. The latter in the law I vindicate ; the one is the law of disparity, the other is the law of parity. As gravity, operating upon the enclosed waters of a lake, establishes and maintains a level surface, so this gravitation of self- interest maintains parity. The desire, the pressure, exist, but are neutralized by opposing desire, opposing pressure. For the one and the other the resistance, the enclosure, is necessary ; that is all that is required for either money or THE EFFECT OF RESTORING SILVER. 97 water. Whether it be pond, lake, or ocean, if the enclosure be there, the level surface is inevitable. Whence comes the strange parity between cheap bronze pennies, light silver shillings, solid gold sovereigns and paper promises to pay five, or a hundred, or a thousand pounds ? Evidently the English lake is well embanked around by English law. If analogous enclosure be given to silver and gold money by the monetary laws of nations, a similar level of parity will be produced and maintained. This can be done by giving the two metals equality before the law in a strong body of nations. XII. QUESTION XII. What would he the effect of such an, agreement, if carried out, upon (a) prices, and (b) the production, of the precious metals f ANSWER. In reference to the respective production of the two precious metals, the current estimates of probabilities point to a diminished output of gold and to an increased output of silver. The restoration of silver to monetary equality with gold, presumably at a higher ratio than has obtained of late years, would tend, within limits, to stim- ulate its production ; but the estimate of amounts of in- crease are frequently exaggerated, sometimes to a prepos- terous degree. An impulsion to business activity would 98 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. also tend to enlarge the range of gold mining, and hence to increase the output of gold and to restore the balance. So far, then, as the annual product of the money-metals is concerned, the total effect of joint action of nations to equalize them, must be to relieve the monetary interests of nations from evils connected with that source ; connected, that is with a prospect of wider divergence between the metals, and of an increasing intensity of employment or demand, for a limited stock of gold. The practical sense of this danger exists in many quarters, where its scientific weight has not yet been formally recognized. This will appear if we imagine the effect of really important Gold Discoveries. Is there any doubt that they would be hailed by economists as a relief? Can it be denied that they wQuld bring a certain relief ? (I refer, of course, to such Discoveries in their character, not of an increase in the world's stock of wealth, of capital, but in the world's stock of money, of circulating treasure. So far as the former character is concerned, the increment in gold would count no more than the same figures in silver or in steel.) But if this be true of what avail are incantations of casuistry to exorcise " the appreciation of gold? " Whatever relief could be wrought by Gold Discoveries which are not to be had, can be attained by Intermonetary Union, which is to be had. In reference to both prices and production of metal, the effect would be in some measure dependent upon the ratio adopted. ' Of the probable effect upon prices of the establish- THE NATURE OF THE SETTLEMENT. 99 ment of a ratio, which shall bring the metals more closely together than they stand as bullion to-day, while detailed prediction can at best move within but narrow limits, yet in general it can safely be affirmed that (assuming the cur- rency of existing silver coin to remain undisturbed), this change would directly operate chiefly upon trade between silver-using and gold-using countries, and upon the great stocks of Money only in so far as their purchasing power is affected by the state of this trade. So far as such trade is concerned, it is also to be noted that no injurious effect can be safely predicted, in the estimate of which the fol- lowing points shall have been ignored, namely : First. That the change in question is, as far as it goes, a restoration of the status qiw ante. Second. That its impact is reduced by being distributed between the two metals. Third. That in so far as the change is regarded as a settlement, and firm establishment of the foundations of business, there is some credit entry against every debit, a counter-claim for betterment which in goodly measure off- sets each item of damage.' If the ratio of 15 J to 1 were restored, the existing sil- ver in the hands of man must remain in situ. (I assume that the United States adapts its silver coin to the new ratio.) The silver coin in gold-money lands is in use at its face value, and the silver coin in silver-money lands is detached from gold, connected with it only by flexible cords of trade. What, then, are the specific dangers to Europe that are to come from the rise of silver other than a fall of " the 100 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. price of gold in the money of the country " in Mexico or Buenos Ayres or Bombay, etc. ? Is it the return of con- fidence that is feared? In that case measures can be taken to prevent undue expansion ; and such measures could legitimately form a part of the programme of a Monetary Union. But exaggerated views which represent the foundation of an Intermetallic Union as importing a monetary con- vulsion are, in many cases, explicable through the analogy of an optical illusion. The inference touching the future is from what is past and known, and what is past and known is naturally regarded, as it were, in one picture ; as, for example, all the depressing elements of the last thirteen years may be crowded into one frame. A Res- toration of the United Standard is regarded as implying the reverse of all this, and is contrasted with it on even terms, except that the element of time is left out of sight, so that everything is imagined as happening suddenly, at one stroke of the magician's wand. Hence exaggeration, which easily rises to any height of error. It thus becomes important to observe that the nations- which are to bring their laws into concord and give legal equality to the two metals will themselves determine the seasonable terms and times for this action, and are not likely to act with undue haste. It also is necessary to re- call that the years which have passed since 1873 are past, and with them have gone their " might-have-beens." For instance, the money-metal that " would have been " mined, and was not mined, in these thirteen years to enrich the THE KATIO TO BE ADOPTED. 1.01 world's stocks, is to be mined in the coming years, being next in the lode, and it will need years to mine it. These too obvious remarks are called for when the alchemy of learned fancy is in vogue, by which that metal is " taken as mined," just as a resolution in a deliberative body is sometimes " taken as read ! " XIII. QUESTION XIII. Do you consider an international agreement for bimetal- lism possible on any other ratio than 15 J to 1 ? DEFINITION. I assume the word " bimetallism " here to mean free coinage and full legal tender of silver and gold at a certain ratio (See, also, Definition XY) and that the word " pos- sible " is taken in the sense in which it is usually applied to political events. ANSWER. Yes. EXPLANATION. No opinion is here implied upon any details of proba- bility, whether at Berlin, Paris, London, or Washington. The question of the ratio stands in the second rank. The first interest of the nations is concurrence, by which the status of the money-metals may be fixed. The ratio is a matter upon which any nation can afford to make con- cessions to the needs of others. 102 QUESTIONS OF THE EOYAL COMMISSION. At the Monetary Conference of 1881 the Declaration on this subject of the Delegates of France and of the United States, made in the name of their respective gov- ernments, was as follows : 'Any ratio, now or of late in use by any commercial nation, if adopted by such important group of States,, could be maintained; but the adoption of the ratio of 15J to 1 would accomplish the principal object with less dis- turbance in the monetary systems to be affected by it than any other ratio. ' Without considering the effect which might be produced towards the desired object by a lesser combination of States, a convention which should include England, France? Germany, and the United States, with the concurrence of other States, both in Europe and on the American Conti- nent, which this combination would assure, would be ade- quate to produce and maintain throughout the commercial world the relation between the two metals that sucli con- vention should adopt.' XIV. QUESTION XIV. Failing an international bimetallic agreement, ivhat measures could be adopted Inj the commercial nations of the world for giving increased stability to t/ie relation be- tween gold and silver f HALF-MEASURES. 103 DEFINITION. By the words " international bimetallic agreement " as here used I understand a treaty, supported by appropriate legislation, for free mintage of silver and gold as full legal tender at one ratio. ANSWER. Measures establishing a steady demand, and especially any measures (short of the treaty above referred to) tend- ing to establish a fixed gold price for silver, would if moving in concurrence, tend to increase stability, but would of course be liable to be counteracted by fluctua- tion in the output of the mines, and by changes of em- ployment for existing metal used as money, etc. XV. QUESTION XV. It is argued that in the absence of bimetallism, the effect of any disturbance of the currency is limited to half the currencies of the world, and thereby increased in in- tensity. Do you consider this view correct,' and^ if so, do you think the evil a serious one f DEFINITION. Current uses of the word " bimetallism " attach to it such a variety of meanings that in replying to QUESTION XV it seems desirable carefully to define the sense in which its terms are understood. The actual condition 104 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. of the monetary systems of the world which I suppose the ROYAL COMMISSION to have had in view is that which exists while the " currencies " are deprived of the benefit of laws of alternative or optional free coinage of the two metals, which establish their practical interchangeability at a fixed ratio. Such a condition has lately been brought about by anti- silver statutes repealing such laws of equalization of the two metals, and must continue until new laws of equaliza- tion shall be passed in a body of nations sufficiently strong to attain this end. But the absence of such laws of equali- zation does not in fact import to-day, and is not here con- templated as implying, in the " currencies of the world," the absence of silver money or of gold money, nor the absence of full legal tender power, nor the absence of freedom of coinage, for either metal ; so that whatever " two-metallism " or " bi-metallism " may be regarded as implied by these facts is still present, and to remain. QUES- TION XV therefore embodies a comparison between the " currencies of the world " as they have been of late years, and as they formerly were (or would be again) under guar- antees of intermetallic parity. ANSWER. The establishment of permanent parity between the two money-metals must impart a certain fluidity or elasticity to the moneys of the world, which would act as a whole- some air-brake to deaden the shock of such disturbances as seem to be contemplated in the QUESTION. ELASTICITY OF MONEY. 105 This, however, does not assert that anything more than the primary impact can be limited to one metal, or to the nations whose monetary laws attach the principal mon- etary interests of citizens to that one metal ; or that in the present state of instability the area of the other metal can be held safe against the propagation of disorder originally arising in the domain of the first. So far as the evil is con- cerned, it is at least sufficiently serious to recommend the relatively trivial effort required to prevent it. XVI. QUESTION XVI. If the effect of such disturbances could be spread over all countries, would greater stability of the standard of value l}e secured thereby? DEFINITION. At first glance it w r ould not appear that the spread of disturbances could serve toward securing greater stability. But I assume the QUESTION is only intended to convey the idea of greater stability than is attainable under certain circumstances. And, as is explained in the preceding sec- tion (XV), this implies exposure to the first impact of some disturbances and to the rebound of others. It is further to be observed that although the QUESTION is stated in the most general terms it presumably refers to the actual con- dition of things to-day. 106 QUESTIONS OF THE ROYAL COMMISSION. The QUESTION lias in view the future of the countries which now have gold as their " standard of value " to the extent of excluding silver from free coinage. It can thus be stated as follows : Could Europe and North America attain greater monetary stability or protection against " monetary disturbances " if the metals were fused into one United Standard a measure which would give gold, the lighter metal, the advantage of being ballasted, as it were, by silver the heavier metal, amid the winds and waves of monetary disturbance ? ANSWER. Yes. The United Standard would give Europe and America greater monetary stability than the Disunited Standard. January, 1888. These answers were sent to the COMMISSION in print, being privately printed in Lausanne, with the title "The United Standard." IV. THE PARITY OF MONEYS AS EEGAEDED BY ADAM SMITH, RICARDO, AND MILK AN OPEN LETTER ANSWERING A QUESTION OF A MEMBER OF THE KOYAL COMMISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER. 107 THE QUESTION AS STATED WAS, Assuming that demand is the most potent factor in determining the value of the precious metals : and that Governments have power, by adopting or rejecting them for coinage, to increase or diminish their value, is it clear that this power goes to the extent of enabling them thereby to fix the precise relative value of gold and silver ? In order to simplify the issues I have thought it best to pass by whatever may be debatable in the above assumptions, and consider merely the question alone, the terms of which may be slightly modified in the interest of precision. The text of the following pages is therefore Is it clear that the power of Governments goes to the extent of enabling them to establish a stable ratio between gold and silver f 108 To Sir THOMAS H. FARRER, Bart., Abinger Hall, Dorking. DEAR SIR : The question suggests a query which seems- to me to lead directly to the completest answer, and that is,. How has it come to pass that the doubt it expresses can e.nst / The elements of an answer which, on general principles, one would expect to cover the ground, are contained in facts which are plainly in sight. The question is an eco- nomic question. The merely political side of the action contemplated is not in the field of view. We are not ask- ing whether this or that nation will or will not pass certain laws ; we ask what will happen if they do pass them. In other words, when we speak of laws, we mean laws, not Bills which failed to pass. Now, there is no doubt, in spite of all the mirage which can be conjured up, that the quantity of gold and silver in men's hands is limited ; and, regarded as a total, a stable quantity unchanging to a marked degree. The predom- inant demand and use for these metals is monetary, and the laws of nations control this demand. How is it pos- sible, then, that the power of these enactments can be gainsaid ? If the laws of nations work together to main- PKEFATORY NOTE. The question was handed me by Sir Thomas Farrer in 1887, while I was his guest at Abinger. The answer was made the year after in print, his name being given with his permission. The pamphlet on the title-page gave AMICUS CURI.E as the author. 109 110 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. tain parity, how can they fail to produce it ? What is there which can resist them ? Nothing ! For the laws of sup- ply and demand (the theory of supply including that of "cost of production") are really law, and not dreams. The only apparent chance for escape is the mirage I have referred to, the confusion about the limits of the supply. An important phase of this mirage may be de- scribed as an idea that the time is coming when there will be not enough "to go around " of one metal, and at the same time too much " to go around " of the other. Has it not the air of a dream ? Who, indeed, has the right to />! predict the coming of such an event ? There never was such a time. Money of the two metals has been known since the age of fable. It was, if I remember the story correctly, about 2700 B. C. that the Chinese are said to have stamped the " second metal " as " treasure current in the peaceful city." Certainly there has been abundant opportunity for experiences of the kind described. Yet there never has been a time like that which our sooth- sayers predict. And there is nothing in sight in the con- ditions of production of the metals to promise such a time for the future. Here we may hold ourselves cited to con- sider " cost of production," and the sins of thought that are perpetrated in its name. The errors grow out of the careless use that is sometimes made of a phrase which needs for its adequate handling a most delicate adjust- ment."" It is necessary to keep constantly in view and * When X., for example, speaks of it, he gives me the impression of a man who thinks a glass should be equally good at all ranges without adjust- SOURCE OF THE DOUBT. Ill no doubt this is difficult for the economist, busy with the eventful lives of ordinary commodities that gold and silver are precious, that they are imperishable and rare, that the utmost find of any year is no more than a feeble fraction of the stock in hand, so that an inherent intrinsic monopoly value attaches to them, against which mere "cost" of pro- ducing fresh bullion alone is powerless, for its utmost force is spent in feebly augmenting the supply. The above answer, then, may fairly, as I have said, be supposed to cover the ground. In my belief it does cover the ground. And yet the doubt expressed in the question exists in some minds. What is the origin of this doubt ? Is there some " fashion of thought " which, like a defect of sight, or color-blindness, vitiates the effect of evidence ? The doubt so expressed will appear all the more strange when we regard its habitat in a certain light. It is a doubt touching the power of laws to maintain parity between two kinds of money. This doubt arises, where ? In a land ment. Whether it is chairs, of which the use is limited and the available supply, in a sense, unlimited, or silver, of which the use is unlimited and the supply limited, it is the same " cost of production " for him. It never has occurred to him that the " cost " he speaks of, approximately bears the relation to the general cost of providing money that the water spouted into the air by a whale bears to the general level of the oceau. In fact, one would suppose from what he says, that now for the first time in the history of the world has silver mining been profitable. Fortunately the Welsh gold mines have made a diversion, for it is plain, if the published accounts are correct, that the " cost of production " of gold is going to fall as low as certain mines are supposed to have brought the cost of produc- ing silver, so that one fall will neutralize the other ! 112 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. which for generations has been the scene of a series of re- markable parities, kindred to that which is now our theme. Are not bronze pennies at par with silver shillings / Are not shillings at par with sovereigns f Are not sovereigns at par with legal-tender 'bank-notes f Arc not five-pound notes at par (per pound sterling] with twenty -pound notes f Is not the price of gold bullion so steady that one can say there is parity between it and money f To these questions the answer " yes " must arise in an- tiphonal chorus. Qn both sides of the shield the silver side and the gold side these affirmatives are admitted, these parities are recognized as fact. There is a chain of parities extending from bronze to bullion and bank-notes. It is very germane then to appeal from the parity that is denied to the parity that is admitted, and so to ask, How comes it that these parities exist ? How comes it that every one admits the fact ? To the latter question the answer is obvious. No mat- ter how novel may be the idea of inquiring into the why and wherefore of these parities ; whether they have been recognized in their true character or no, they are matters of common daily experience, or easy observation. The parities to which every one is witness are, in fact, as com- mon as prose. Perhaps they never have been called by their true name, but, as in the case of men who talked prose without knowing it, the moment the idea is suggested, it takes a firm place in the mind. CONTINUING CAUSE OF PARITY. 113 As for the cause the reason why these parities exist I confidently appeal to you with the remark that the entire structure of monetary laws enacted by Parliament, and carried out by officials or obeyed by citizens, is harmoni- ously arranged to maintain them. The effect is a regula- tion of the employment for these various things, for the pennies, the shillings, the sovereigns, the notes, and the bullion ; and thus the work of maintaining this equipoise is done. But the " causing cause " of the phenomenon is the statute enacted at Westminster. Can you suggest any other explanation ? Or may I venture to believe that this explanation is quite as difficult to dispose of as the idea of gravity, an idea which has been ineradicable since the days of Newton ? I come back now to my query, How has it come to pass that the doubt expressed in the question can exist ? The answer to my query will, I think, present itself most clearly in following the story of the notions about money lately current in the learned world. Is there a warp or flaw or aberrant and deflecting element in the medium through which money is regarded ? If there be such which affects our theme, it may well prove to be that " fashion of thought " of which I have spoken, which, operating like a defect of sight, or color-blindness, vitiates the power of evidence and argument. And in ascertaining that there is such a fashion of thought not only shall we find the an- swer to our query, but also with it, possibly, lenses which in some cases may do something to restore the normal sight. 114 THE PAKITY OF MONEYS. In relation to this idea of a " fashion of thought," I ought perhaps to explain more clearly what I mean. When a habit of looking at certain things in a certain Avay is in- tensified, and, as it were, gains precedence through a high degree of certainty that this is the right way of looking at these things, then this habit, which for the time is a sec- ond nature, may become militant and agressive. The fakir who astonishes through his fortitude under self-inflicted torture, is proving the marvellous power of the will to con- trol the senses. It is not merely that he is enabled to bear pain without flinching, it is also that he is strong enough in spiritual force to ignore or stifle pain. Why may not an analogous power be exercised with reference to the use of mental powers, so that ratiocination is benumbed, and the attack of argument and evidence foiled completely by the mind's unconscious efforts of self-defence against them ? Now, if there be anything in the notions current about money among the learned in these last decades, which op- erates in the way thus described, it is plain that its roots lie deep, as a part of the historical development of eco- nomic theory, or of the mental habits of the time. Of course I cannot expect to deal exhaustively with such a matter in these pages. That could not be done without writing a book, and a book of considerable length. I can only touch here and there in the " stream of evolution," and re- port the result of analysis. But no one is likely to sup- pose that these lately current notions could be what they are in England, but for the influence of great economic MONETARY SITUATION DOWN TO 1873. 115 writers, and so my task can safely lie in a review of what such men said. Beyond that lies the field of what they thought, or can be safely supposed to have thought, or to have left unthouyht, that bears upon this matter of the Parity of Moneys. You will readily agree with me that chief among the forces towards which inquiry should turn, are the writings of Dr. Adam Smith, of David Eicardo, and of John Stuart Mill. They are certainly competent to have " set the fashion " of thought. What had they to say of money ? As I approach their writings, I remark certain general characteristics of the times in which these great men lived, which are the necessary soil, or atmosphere, or frame- work to give a choice of similes in which their thoughts must be regarded. First. The world in which they lived was a world in which silver and gold were money, equally money. There was no " Silver Question " in those days in the sense in which there has been a Silver Question since 1873. On the contrary, so far as the great world was concerned, there was no break between the metals. There was a little sparring from time to time, like a family quarrel, but in the main there was no great conflict of coinage systems ; in general, there was intermetallic, intermonetary peace. /Second. So far as the relative value of the metals is con- cerned, there had been what, to our eyes, is a phenomenal steadiness. The ratio of the year when Mill died (1873) was but little different from that of two centuries before. Xiocke, as monetary adviser of the government, observed 116 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. the same ratios, close to 15.50, which were noted in Lom- bard Street while the later editions of Mill's " Political Economy" were coming from the press. Indeed, a very slight percentage covers the maxima of fluctuation in that period. This being the case, one naturally asks whether the cause of this stability was ever made the subject of formal in- quiry. If such inquiry had been made, then the whole matter which is now before us might have come under most competent analysis. Can you, Sir, with your com- prehensive range of reading, point to such an inquiry ? But though I ask the question, I will not fear to go onward and assume its answer. If correction comes and no one can be more competent than yourself to administer it I must submit to it. I know of no such inquiry, and have no reason to think it exists. Furthermore, I observe that while no doubt a path-find- ing genius directed to this forbidding field of money would have found a rich vein in such inquiry, yet it is not in ac- cordance with ordinary experience that such work should be done. Is not science, like nature, notoriously opposed to doing things by a very sudden leap ? That certainly is my impression. It seems to me that the old rule of doing what thy hand findeth to do is generally observed in the growth of knowledge ; that those who enlarge its borders most usefully occupy themselves with problems which really require practical solution that is to say, which make very emphatic demand for solution. They are perhaps likely to accomplish more in this line than in dealing with STATUS OF SILVER UNQUESTIONED. 117 questions which are not yet, so to speak, on the order of the day. Now, to follow the figure, the great problems before you, which the Royal Commission must act upon in one way or another the Parity of Moneys, the forces that produce it were not only not on the calendar for Mill, the latest of the authorities I refer to, but there was really no " no- tice " that the question would come up at all. There was no idea abroad of abolishing one of the Precious Metals as a money-metal, and still less were there overt acts pointing clearly toward such outlawry, during the time when the first edition of Mill's Economy was being published (1848). This point, I mean the novelty and the modernness of the anti-silver doctrine to study the effects of whose partial triumph the Royal Commission was created is one which I am perhaps bound to consider as not yet admitted. I therefore refer to the discussion of the points involved, and to the evidence presented, in " The Silver Pound," a work of which copies were presented to the Royal Com- mission nearly a year ago. I believe it will plainly ap- pear, from the considerations there set forth, that the idea of excluding silver from its equal place side by side with gold is a novelty which had not in 1848 made its entrance in the world of thought. It is true that later, among the sequences of the gold inundations from California and Aus- tralia, came isolated suggestions about demonetizing gold, but that was all. It was not till after this idea had spent its force that men began to think of getting rid of silver. Neither the Treatise of Lord Liverpool nor the anti-silver ] 1 8 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. statute of 1816 were intended to promote that general exclusion of silver, for which the turn of fortune and of events has, in our generation, shown them to be in fact the remoter motive forces. They were, so to speak, the material innocentlv accumulated, to which, more than a generation later, the enthusiasm of metrical reformers communicated the spark that inflamed. There was, I say then, no notice to John Stuart Mill, in the days when his great work on Economics was being written, that the cashiering of silver as money-metal, or its reduction to the ranks, would ever come upon the order of the day. Hence there is no likelihood of finding in Mill's writings that exhaustive, thorough examination of the questions growing out of such an event, which his great competence would otherwise justify us in expecting. As I write this I recall a conversation I had, in 1876, with one of Mill's earnest students, whose appreciation I can well believe would have been very gratifying to the author. It was General Garfield. With his objection to my ideas of joint action of nations to hold the money- metals to their level, came a reference to John Stuart Mill If all this was true, why did not he, the Master, say so ? My answer was then, as now, Mill did not live to see the sequel of the great legislative attack upon silver by Ger- many and the other nations. I repeat, then, it is probable that no specific and in- tended scrutiny of the problems to which your question points, or of the then existing evidence, is to be found . in Mill ; and, of course, still less in Ricardo or in Dr. Smith. NOTIONS ABOUT MONETARY SYSTEM. 119 Coming now to their writings, I observe, first, that there is a very marked note of neutrality (if, indeed, one should not say unconcern, or inertness, or even fickleness) on the crucial point, the matter of the " standard " which they respectively think should be adopted or maintained in England. That intensity of feeling which is to develop itself after 1867 in favor of gold and against silver, a feel- ing which is to rival in temperature the passions of party, gave no premonition in Smith or Kicardo, and shows it- self in Mill only as predisposition, or as diathesis, to bor- row a term from medicine. Dr. Smith speaks of all accounts being kept in silver, yet of gold as being the majority of the circulation, and he mentions and briefly discusses the idea of changing the ratio, and then, apparently as an alternative, suggests in a tentative way, that lighter coins might be made, and be legal tender only for a guinea. Throughout his work, silver is the metal ordinarily named as the synonym of money, and a " regulated proportion between silver and gold " is mentioned as the natural outgrowth of national development. Eicardo, in distinction from Smith, uses gold as the common name for money, but this is only a conventional convenience of speech, just as he assumes for convenience that money is stable in value. Per contra in his " Plan of an Economical and Secure Currency " for England, he proposed, not gold, but silver, as " the standard." More- over, on what is seen to-day to be the vital point of the whole matter Wherefore and how came gold to be chief 120 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. metallic money in London in his day ? he squarely op- posed Lord Liverpool* and makes incisive reference to a little flight of fancy of Dr. Smith.t Mill, though objecting to a " double standard," so far from showing disrespect for silver as a money-metal, fol- lows Lord Ashburton in pointing out that the inconven- iences of the " double standard " are avoided, and its advantages obtained by what he (erroneously) supposed to be the system of France. His idea was that silver was the standard (or as I should call it, unit and sole legal tender), while gold held a (supposed) anomalous position which I should describe as that of a trade coin, with a name which served to give it a certain rating, that could be varied by agreement. This brief but comprehensive glance at the practical ideas of Smith, Ricardo, and Mill, about the " standard " as an object of state policy is, I think, conclusive, as re- * Of Lord Liverpool's idea of a preference for gold because England was so rich, he says (p. 222), "it is not because gold is better fitted for carrying on the circulation of a rich country, that gold is ever preferred for the purpose of paying debts." In another place he observes that the use of gold in the eighteenth century in England was due to "the inac- curate determination of the Mint proportions." (p. 271.) t Referring to Dr. Smith's idea that " during the continuance of any one regulated proportion between the respective values of the different metals, the value of the most precious metal regulates the value of the whole coin," Ricaido makes the significant comment : ''Because gold was in his day the medium hi which it suited debtors to pay their debts, he thought that it had some inherent quality by which it did then, and always would, regulate the value of silver coin." (p. 224.) t Mill's Principles of Political Economy, edition of 1848, Vol. II, p. 4. MONEY AS AN OBJECT OF SCIENCE. 121 spects a certain branch of this inquiry. One cannot look in their writings for anything definite and thorough about the nicer issues now before us. As no germ of incitement is to be found in their writings for a revolution of one metal against the other, so there is nothing positive as to the possibility of that absolute intermetallic peace, of which we are now treating, and which is the object of the policy of Monetary Union. In the world of practical life, Smith, Ricardo, and Mill take the metals, so to speak, for " what they are worth," but do not dogmatize either about parity or disparity. But you will say that, notwithstanding this, I have al- ready pointed to their teaching as responsible for a fashion of thought about parity of Moneys which I regard as fraught with error, and you will ask where that teaching is. It is this which I propose now to show. And first of their general impressions of the subject, its character, importance, the standing of money in the com- monwealth. From that point of view, upon which it seems to me it is inevitable that one who wishes to deal com- petently with monetary legislation should place himself, it is of importance to know how far he can look to Smith, Ricardo, and Mill for instruction about matters of princi- ple. What, for example, had these authorities to say of the importance of monetary legislation, of the occasions which call upon the legislator for interference, and of the mode and the purpose of such action ? Incompleteness, or onesidedness, in the scientific treatment accorded by these writers to the subject of Money must prove to be 122 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. misleading. As there is no doubt that they would be re- ferred to as authorities, so their message would prove a source not of instruction, but of confusion. Now, in fact, at least as I understand the matter, they omit to deal with it exhaustively, or even methodically. To whatever ex- tent, then, their influence whether by omission or com- mission, the influence of what they taught, or what they did not teach remains a power, it requires revision. As for my views of what the course of this revision should be, I have expressed them from time to time since 1876, but will briefly set down herewith as a postscript a statement on the subject of Money's place among the functions of government, which can conveniently be compared with the views of Mill which I now quote, and also with what once were the views of Herbert Spencer.* The omission or defect to which I have referred is great- est in Mill, less in Eicardo, least in Smith. But it is not merely because Mill wrote last, with a greater expanse of monetary experience in sight than the others, that the de- fect is more marked in his case. It is also because of the scope and plan of his work. An analogous remark applies to Eicardo. In Smith's great book the historical element predominates : it was a conspectus of the economic condi- tion of societies. Ricardo's work, Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, was a series of generalizations, which might be called in some measure a supplement and criticism of Smith. But Mill's twelve hundred pages con- tained not only Principles of Politiatl Economy, but *See note to page 125. MILL'S CLASSIFICATION. 123 Some of their applications to Social Philosophy. It pro- fessedly covers the ground of Economics in a wider sense,, the economic side and the political side, and in the latter of course the field of economic statecraft, the sphere and duty of government. Book IY is entitled Influence of the Progress of Society on Production and Distribution + while the last book, Book V, treats, in eleven chapters, Of the Influence of Government. Where, then, does Money stand, as an object of legisla- tion and of administration ? What is the scientific classi- fication of this matter of legal tender for payment, and the regulation of the Mint, which Adam Smith had referred to as from early ages the object of governmental care ? Mill, in Book Y and Chapter I, deals with the whole matter. He treats of the functions of government where does he find a place for Money ? I doubt if any member of the Eoyal Commission is pre- pared for the answer. Life is said to be measured rather by sensations than by time, and when, under the mandate of the Sovereign of a great Empire, gentlemen have been studying, for nearly two years, a question which has con- siderably interested the world since 1876, it is inevitable that they should rapidly outgrow a certain circle of ideas, which once may have been quite familiar. If the man could wear the cap that fitted him as a child, there would be no shock in realizing what it is Mill says about Money. Mill* treats money as "coining," and puts it side by * Vol. II, page 377. 124 THE PAEITY OF MONEYS. side with weights and measures a matter of convenience, to save the trouble of assaying. As for the regulation of Paper Money and of Credit generally, I find no mention of them here, though they are elsewhere exhaustively discussed by Mill. So coinage is put side by side with weights and measures. That is all ! Let us pause for a moment to consider where this doctrine will carry us. Imagine a cabinet, a parliament, charged with the con- duct of the monetary interests of a great nation, draw- ing its inspiration on that subject from such teaching. Evidently, if Money be cut down, in the case now before you, to the limits of the theory as stated, the sovereign and the rupee are but weights of metal. You will agree with me, I doubt not, if it is true that the sovereign and the ru- pee are only weights of metal, this alone and nothing more, then the Royal Commission has been dealing all this time with a matter of the size of the Troyes Pound or the Impe- rial Gallon. Shall we say, if Mill is right, there may yet be a " Trojan" Question or a " Gallonial " Crisis? Is the implication quite clear ? To make this page more luminous, let me apply the same method in another field for example, to great works of art that have been the grace of civilization, and so are more attractive than dry-as-dust theories of economy. Let those who have visited Rome and Paris, and Dresden know that the theory I am attack- Ing is like that which should treat the Antoninus of the Capitol as a mixture of copper and tin, the Venus of Melos as carbonate of lime, and the Sixtine Madonna as pigment. I am sorry to add there is nothing in the rest of Book V MILL AND HERBERT SPENCER. 125 to redeem the defects of this view. Evidently the writer's- thoughts were elsewhere, or the mere inconsistency of this with other parts of his work would have occurred to him. Of course it is not at all implied by this that such defects are common; indeed, I have elsewhere said enough to disprove this. Nor, indeed, is it just to my admiration for the great thinker to allow the implication to pass that he may not in any case have taken a broader view than is here revealed by his book. One would not build an in- dictment upon a slip of the pen. But print is a persistent force, and fame gives posthumous power for harm to the indiscretions of the great. .Disciples have a fatal facility for building systems on the oversight of the master.* * An illustration is given in the use lately made in some quarters of Mr. Herbert Spencer's utterances on this subject. See " Journal of the Inst. of Bankers," Pt. VI., Vol. VII., p. 399. The reference is, I believe, to " Social Statics" (c. xxix.)- A glance at the book seems to me to show that it is unjust to Mr. Spencer to hold him responsible for the letter of what there is printed. The book was written about 1850, and the pref- ace of the American edition (1864) states that the reprint must not be taken as a literal expression of the author's present views, and this pref- ace is reprinted in the edition of 1868, and referred to in the new preface. The chapter in question reveals complete unconsciousness of laws of legal tender. The essential character of money, which Adam Smith with his catholic good sense was aware of, is thus ignored. The author deals with money by taking it for granted. He objects to "interference with currency," and thinks that mints are unnecessary but he never objects to making silver and gold legal tender, or explains how governments could exist without money ! His unconsciousness of the facts also comes to the surface in his characterization of Scotland as aland of free-trade in currency, in which, of course, money is implicitly included. 126 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. How, then, did it come to pass that monetary legislation was lightly dealt with by Smith, Kicardo, and Mill ? What ^vvas the source of this " fashion of their thought "? Asking, as we do, how they regarded the Parity of Moneys, and such Parity being obviously an equilibrium supported by legislation, it is in the path of these inqui- ries that we shall surely discover the key to what they may have to say which bears upon the matter. We have seen that they lived securely while there was compara- tive legal equality between gold and silver, and that this condition of things seemed so entirely normal and natural, that its causes were not examined in a scientific spirit. I now inquire whether there was not an active influence, no longer negative, but positive, working against truth a fashion of thought which produced what I might call an innocently studied neglect of the scientific basis of mone- tary legislation, and hence a marked bias in reference to it. I find such an influence. I find it in the natural exag- geration of the enthusiasm of the great conflict in which these great men spent their mental life. A spirit of reac- tion was naturally engendered by this conflict, which ob- scured the truth about money, but failed to reveal itself as a prejudice to these lovers of truth, because no serious consequences or erroneous conclusions growing out of their default could show themselves at the time. These thinkers arose to attack and destroy false sys- tems. For them the Commercial or Mercantile System, together with its various developments of vexatious state interference, was the Enemy. Their teaching was aimed THE MERCANTILE SYSTEM. 127 to persuade the world to renounce this devil and all his works. The Mercantile System, which, to use Dr. Smith's words, " represented national wealth as consisting in the abundance, and national poverty in the scarcity of Gold or Silver," was a doctrine and a policy. Gold and Silver, then, were involved in the struggle. But in that case monetary legislation also w 7 as necessarily involved in it together with them. Economic legislation generally was, in its purpose and effect, monetary legislation, the aim being to increase the national store of gold and silver. The great work of these men was thus an effort to abolish a doctrine and a policy relating to the precious metals which implied all manner of artificial regulations on the part of the state. Was not this a conflict likely to excite an enthusiasm that would be capable of exaggeration, which everyone would regard as entirely pardonable, if not indeed laudable ? How could the question escape exciting a " political being " like man, whose nature it is to put his heart into politics. I find it perfectly natural on their part to be disposed to draw the line against monetary legislation generally or, if this could not be done entirely, at least not to admit the subject into the inner circle of their " system " or scheme. But the real effective strength of this disposition can only be realized w T hen we consider the general orbit of thought upon which these great men were swept along with their time, leading and yet led. What is the dis- tinguishing mark of the whole age of thought ? Freedom, 128 THE PAEITY OF MONEYS. the rule of Nature, one phase of which is well suggested by the words laissez-faire, and non-interference. Set the individual free ; remove all barriers to his development, was the watchword in the camp of science. This, then, was the principle. But like all principles it needed for its rightful application a sound understanding of its nat- ural limits. Exaggerate the force of it, let it carry men to extremes, and you will seethe gaols open and the Mint closed ! There is, by the way, what seems to me a curious par- allel to the whole situation now before our view, which I will mention, as I do not remember ever to have seen it referred to. This idea of a state of freedom and rule of nature* is but the same principle applied to the social life of men as that nature in whose light the Father of Medi- cine regarded the bodily frame. The appeal of the eigh- teenth or nineteenth century for the health of the economic body is still to that healing power of nature (vis medica- trix naturae, as the modern Latin phrase has it) which Hip- pocrates must have revealed to Aristotle. But mark the sequel ! The principle of medicine being to allow nature to act, it is said to have been discovered by the Mediaeval Church that various operations of medicine, and, in gen- eral, surgery, were rather an interference with nature, and hence they were forbidden to ecclesiastics. Are we not bound to trace and identify a similar superstition among economic writers ? Were they not infallibly led to treat * Quesnay's first work seems to have been his Droit Naturel. MONEY IN A STATE OF NATURE. 129 certain departments of the medicine of the state as an interference with nature ? I trust you will kindly absolve me from any intent of disrespect toward the theories of nature.* Of course thought is no more likely to divest itself of the antithesis between nature and art than between right and left or be- tween the equator and the poles. But there are limits ; and there is a disposition to overpass them a natural dis- position ! I recall an illustration of this extreme view, which may be suggestive, namely, a comparison between Varro's modest line " that Nature gave the fields and hu- man art made the cities " and Cowley's " God the first garden made, and the first city Cain !" Now, I entirely disclaim accusing Mill of regarding monetary laws as a work of Cain. But it could fairly be said the mood of the passage from Mill just referred to, and of others I shall cite, is represented by Cowper's " God made the country, and man made the town." As for the great Father of Economic Science, Dr. Smith, I certainly wish he had read (or re-read) his countryman Sir James Steuart. Perhaps he would have done so but for the depression caused by observing those acts of law- givers touching money that filled the chief place in the public eye. Those acts, as they class themselves before me, were the debasement of metallic money, the issue of paper money, and the prohibition of the export of coin * Naturam expellas furcd tamen usque recurret! 130 THE PAEITY OF MONEYS. and bullion. Of these, the first and the last were dis- tinctly tainted with purely " mercantilist " origin. With reference to the latter I may mention, in passing, a curi- ous fact, to which I have seen no allusion in regions where one would expect to find it, except in the statute book. It was not till Mill was in his teens that it became lawful to export guinea gold. The fifth century of this mercantilist law in England was closed in 1819. With such instances of vexatious or disastrous state interference before him it is not strange that monetary legislation exerted a certain repugnance in the thinker's mind. What, then, is the natural effect, in the case of such men, of an unsympathetic attitude toward monetary juris- prudence ? Evidently an incomplete, unsystematized handling of the subject. Where actual history is in sight to be appreciated by the experienced observer's eye, or where action is to be taken for which the counsel of the sagacious thinker is needed, we find the great excellency which the fame of such men justifies us in expecting. Once outside of that range, we are in strange country. That I do not fail to appreciate that sagacity has al- ready been shown. It remains to add evidence in contin- uation of what has been said of the place of money in the functions of government. The illustrations which I shall give under this head relate to the incompleteness and in- consistency of statements, the manner in which some of the great problems of Money are left outside the focus of attention, and the visionary character of some of the rea- soning on the subject. INCOMPLETE GRASP OF THE SUBJECT. 131 We have noted already the mode in which the action of the state legislation and administration, creating, estab- lishing, supporting a monetary system is taken for granted. The great monetary questions of the day, chief among which is the regulation of Bank issues, are fully discussed. Properly speaking, for the sake of consistency, these subjects ought to be made to fit into a general sys- tem of monetary legislation. But this step seems not to have been attempted. Salient facts are recognized, but the scientific appreciation of them is incomplete, and there is no proper apportionment of them to their place in the system as a whole. For reasons already stated in what has been said of the general scope of the " Wealth of Na- tions," this remark applies far less to that great book than to the " Principles " set forth by Eicardo and by Mill. The " sketchiness " of Bicardo's book in this regard is notably exhibited in a passage, which, in the days of a Boyal Commission on Gold and Silver, wears a very strange air : " It may perhaps be necessary," be observes, ''to say a few words 011 the subject of the two metals, Gold and Silver." (p. 221.) As if only a few words were necessary ! Elaborate dis- cussion is given of the modes of regulating money credit, of Paper Money and Bank-notes, all of which have an existence only relatively to Metallic Money. And yet the principles of regulation of Metallic Money are but lightly glanced at. As a matter of convenience Bicardo takes Gold to represent Metallic Money, and assumes Gold to be 132 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. stable iii value, and though he recognizes in the amplest manner that these are assumptions made purely for con- venience and clearness, and without foundation in fact still those chapters are wanting in which the relations of Gold and Silver and the question of the general level of prices should be dealt with. At the same* time I cannot resist inquiring what would have happened if Ricarclo had been led in some way, to put his Scheme of a Monetary System for England into his " Principles." Would not the necessity of cohesion have forced itself upon his mind? Could later economics have taken the tone we have wit- nessed, if he had treated ex cathedra of the Principles of Monetary Legislation with a high-pressure interference scheme to back them ? The central idea of what I shall name Ricardo's Bullion Standard and Bullion Certificate Scheme, was parity maintained by all the force of law that was to be had. And I must also allow myself the daring statement that the same thing may be said of all orthodox plans for a convertible paper currency if the philosophers only knew it ! The same incompleteness, with a touch of the visionary dogmatism of a mind possessed, as it were, with the idea of freedom, are visible in Mill. In his chapter On the Value of Money as dependent on the Cost of Production, he says : " We are, however, to suppose a state, not of artificial regulation, but of freedom. In that state, and assuming no charge to be made for coin- age, the value of money will conform to the value of the bullion of which it is made." (I, p. 24.) MILL ON MONEY AND THE STATE. 133 With this passage we pass at once to the centre of Mill's system ; we can at once proceed to judge of the correct- ness of his general ideas about money and the state. We observe that he speaks of " a state, not of artificial regulation, but of freedom." We know he can only mean freedom under the law, for he is not speaking of savages, but of an organized society, and a purpose of his book is to afford counsel to rulers how to make wise laws. We at once ask, then, what is the principle of distinction between such " law " and " artificial regulation," so far as money is concerned. And then we find both principle and regula- tion brushed aside ! The entire system breaks down through the one phrase " assuming no charge to be made for coinage." Mill actually assumes in his " state of free- dom " the entire apparatus of " artificial regulation " under which he was born. He endows his " natural " state, by this brief but comprehensive assumption, not only with the general law of Money, but also with the Statute of the 18th year of Charles II, chapter 5, with the Tower Mint, and with a yearly appropriation for expenses. But even then he cannot reach the parity he speaks of between bull- ion and coin. Not merely free coinage and gratuitous coin- age, but still another artificial regulation is wanted, namely, that statute which compels the Bank to buy gold bullion at a fixed price. And yet it is this which, in fact, really makes gold bullion stable in value in England ! Is it nec- essary to add further evidence of the utter inadequacy of Mill's ideas of the relation of monej^ and the state ? I submit that this one passage makes good my charge. 134 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. Of course it is impossible to advance very far in politi- cal economy without treating of value ; and when value is reached, money is not far off. Now it is no treason, in the year 1888, to say that money is a subject which pre- sents some difficulties. It was convenient very conven- ient to treat of value directly without troubling one's self seriously about the " medium," money. But if one does not trouble one's self seriously about money, the principles of monetary legislation fade into thin air. It is quite in keeping with this mood to observe, as Mill does : " There cannot, in short, be intrinsically a more insignificant thing in the economy of society than money." Here, again, is an even more striking instance of dis- praise of monetary legislation, than Kicardo's " few words." Of course, to us in this generation it is pecu- liarly easy to find such passages a ground of surprise. We live in a time of monetary discussions. Not to men- tion lesser proofs, we can recall in 1876 the Special Com- mittee of the House of Commons on the Depreciation of Silver, and the Congressional Commission on Silver in the United States ; the International Monetary Conferences of 1878 and 1881, the Royal Commission on the Depression of Trade which closed its long labors in 1886, and the Eoyal Commission on Gold and Silver Currency, which followed, and is now * in session. After all such a profound stirring of opinion and effort of study, it seems to us very strange that a great economic teacher could say, " There cannot be intrinsically a more insignificant thing in the * First printed in May, 1888. THE FABLE OF MIDAS. 135 economy of society than money." No doubt, in a certain sense, the statement is true, and the truth is an important truth ; but what is true in it is not a novelty, while the too vigorous statement, leading to an exaggeration of the truth, is new. The truth itself is of most venerable ances- try. Was it not early in Grecian fable that the legend arose of Midas, to whom the god gave his wish, that all he touched should turn to gold ? Midas starving in the midst of his gold, Kich beyond hope and wretched past despair, Loathing the wealth he cannot choose but coiu, Cursing the boon that not an hour ago He praj r ed for, as Ovid tells the story, offers a parallel, not too remote, both to the ideas of Dr. Smith about the Mercantile Sys- tem and to analogous opinions as to the role of money. Taken, then, merely as a forcible statement of the purely ancillary relation of money to " real wealth " to com- modities and property and services which make up that sum of things desired, to attain which money is only a means this phrase of Mill's commands assent. But it is more than this in effect ; it is an indication of what I have spoken of, the disposition to ignore the nature, and the importance, of money and of monetary law. This will appear more clearly upon examining the con- fusion between Money and Barter. Barter being an ex- change of goods for goods without money, it is plain that to say that modern exchanges, which are in fact exchanges of goods for a price, and of a price for goods, are barter, 136 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. is playing upon words. It is a metaphor, to be justified by rhetorical or poetic considerations, but not otherwise. In the mental process which its use implies, money sus- tains the role of a dissolving view. Always a " middle thing," /jLSffov, tertium comparationis, but sometimes viewed under the simile of an instrument, wheel, vehicle, etc., it becomes for some minds a " medium " and nothing else, and then as a mere " mode of exchanging," as Mill calls it, becomes quite diaphanous, as if it were thinned and ex- panded into an atmosphere, which, of course, is invisible. But these metaphors are serious affairs. The monetary question embraces a considerable range of interest. Ex- tending from Indian taxation, or the solvency of France, to such a local domestic affair as the present abraded state of English gold coin, it is important enough to repay look- ing after. If you allow these metaphors full swing and it lies in the power of the Royal Commission to do this they will decide the questions before you off-hand. If trade is barter, of what use are standards, and statutes to watch over them? All that the " Precious " Metals have to do is to exist, and that they do by the help not of man, but of nature. No edicts are needed ; the fulminations of Professors and of Princes are mere wasted powder. The way of Parliaments, Commissions, and Congresses of Mon- etary Unions is quite clear and perfectly simple. It is to do nothing! but, of course, only after rejwdiny every- thing ! The confusion of money and barter to which I allude finds root, I think, in one of those phrases for which ELOQUENCE AND PRECISION. 137 Ricardo's natural eloquence and cogency of statement are responsible. That he suffered some of the disabilities of the so-called " practical man" is an obvious remark when made, as I make it, fifty years after Senior said he was " the most incorrect writer who ever attained philosophical eminence." And in referring to money, he spoke as a dic- tator, especially after the Resumption of Cash Payments. It is one of his generalizations that seems to have ob- scured in the eyes of Mill some modest truths with which Adam Smith was quite content. I doubt if Ricardo real- ized the force of what he was saying. The evolution of doctrines amid the changes and chances of this world are not likely to have occupied his thoughts very seriously. And it is to one of his most brilliant generalizations that the error seems traceable. The truth conveyed was in fact so important and the metaphor so attractive, that it seems to have been impossible for his followers to make good those limitations of its field which should exclude serious error. " Gold and Silver," says Ricardo, " having been chosen for the general medium of circulation, they are, by the competition of commerce, dis- tributed in such proportions to the different countries of the world as to accommodate themselves to the natural traffic which would take place if no metals existed and the trade between countries were purely a trade of barter." Here is, at the same time, a great truth, and a most prolific source of error. Of the truth it is needless for me to speak. I shall presently cite the opinion of Mill as to its originality. But what of the error? 138 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. Let us observe the hypothesis and dwell upon it a mo- ment ! " Natural traffic ! " Natnra naturans ! If there were only no metals, that we might get back to a state of nature, of freedom ! If we were in that happy state there would be the same traffic, we should buy freely, without money and without price, just as we do now. And it would be natural traffic, freed from the vexations that money brings. It is a far-off echo of that devout wish with which the too-learned Pliny was, in his time, inspired by most fa- mous authors of still elder days. (Jtimnnque posset e vita in totum abdictiri, or, as the older translation gives it, " Oh that the use of Gold were cleane gone ; would God it could possibly be quite abolished among men * ~ :: ~. What a blessed world was that, and much more happier than this wherein wee live, at what time as in all the deal- ings betweene men, there was no coine handled, but their whole trafficke stood upon bartering and exchanging ware for ware, and one commoditie for another." What more attractive? And yet absolutely, hopelessly visionary ! Is it in Plato's * Republic,' or in Moore's ' Utopia,' or in ' The New Atlantis,' or in * Oceana,' that this miracle of " natural traffic" can be imagined as taking place ? Why this excursion into dreamland ? Now, I do not mean that it is possible that any good head could be so possessed with this dream as to vitiate all his thought. But is not a little unsteadiness of nerve enough when one is navigating, what Petty called two MONEY AND BARTER. 13 if centuries ago, " the deep ocean of all the mysteries con- cerning money ? " Observe the effect this passage of Bicardo's had upon Mill. He says of it, after quoting it in full (v. ii, b. iii., c. xxi) " Of this principle, so fertile iu consequences, previous to which the theory of foreign trade was an unintelligible chaos, Mr. Kicardo, though he did not pursue it into its ramifications, was the real originator. No writer who preceded him appears to have had a glimpse of it ; and few are those who even since his time have had an adequate conception of its scientific value." Observe also the sequel ! " It is not with money," says Mill elsewhere, " that things are really purchased." This, you will notice, is a statement which goes far be- yond the idea which I have sought to express in the phrase " money is an order payable to bearer upon wealth in gen- eral;" and which, in various forms, is common to a great number of writers, among whom I may name Aristotle and Adam Smith. In Mill's mind this phase of money seems to grow in actuality. In another passage he ob- serves "All interchange is in substance and effect barter; he who sells his productions for money, and with that money buys other goods, really buys those goods with his productions. And so of nations ; their trade is a mere exchange of exports for imports ; and whether money is em- ployed or not, things are only in their permanent state when the exports and imports exactly pay for each other." (ii, 168.) Let us analyze this with some care ! " Things are only in their permanent state ! " Precisely ! There is the truth L 140 THE PARITY OF MONEYS. tare to believe it is as firmly established as the Monroe- Doctrine. So far, then, as the United States as a whole are concerned, I need not undertake the task of making suggestions about anything it may need to do with refer- ence to silver. Nor shall I ask what the several branches of the legis- lative ' powers that be ', whether the Senate or the House, or this Committee thereof or that, have to do on this subject. Nor shall I venture to discuss the possibilities that lie before the President or his Ministers in this regard. No doubt there are essays to be written which might rightly hope to attain such an audience. But there is no need now to go beyond the limits of this room, or the list of the members who belong here, to find ample work to be done, good work, work of conversion, for the advance- ment of science, work that all the members are pledged to support. The " we " of whom I speak, then, are the members of the section of Political Economy and Statistics of this Association. I conceive they have something to do for themselves and for their fellow-men in regard to this matter of silver. The silver question covers something more than a scientific generalization waiting to be proved, a compound waiting to be analyzed, a discovery waiting to be verified. All these can wait. But the silver ques- tion involves a duty to be performed, and to wait is to- neglect that duty. It is a duty which the interpreters of science now living owe it to themselves to the cause= of learning to perform without delay. 156 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. Be it known to all friends of science and never forgot- ten it was science which engendered the silver question with the dangers and anxieties that have come in its train. It was the mistaken learning of 1867, of 1871, and 1873, which did the damage that the settlement of the silver question is to check, and, as far as may be, to make good. It was upon the incital, and with the approval, of an over- whelming majority of the learned of all nations, that the .statutes and decrees of silver outlawry in divers nations became fact. Americans must take to heart that for this general error of policy the United States have their share of responsibility, for in 1867"" the influence of the Amer- ican Union in the family of nations was militant in Paris, aiding and abetting the anti-silver movement then or- ganizing. And all was done with the best intentions, and under the advice of counsel recognized as learned in the law. What " we have to do about silver," then, is to educate * This was shortly after the Latin countries had joined in a Monetary Treaty, forming the " Latin Union," which the United States was invited to join. Hon. Samuel B. Ruggles, of New York, was accredited to the Con- ference of 1867 by Mr. Seward, then Secretary of State. Among the monetary questions then debated was reducing the weight of the gold dollar, so as to coin (when specie payment should return) a five-dollar piece, which should equal either the English sovereign, or a proposed 25-franc piece, which was intended to replace the 20-franc piece, Louis -d'or or Napoleon, in France. In the Document of the Monetary Conference of 1878 are reprinted the various state-papers, which explain the situation in 1867. A resume of the proceedings of the Conference, in the speech of Mr. de Parieu, is given in the Appendix. WHAT SHALL WE DO ABOUT SILVER? 157 public opinion and to advance science, to learn and ta teach important truths relating to money for silver is money, and has been since the economic world began important truths, I say ; truths that will assist the present generation of citizens or legislators to safeguard their higher interests by what they do or leave undone with reference to it. What are. these truths? The first truth of all, first because simplest and at the same time universal, prim a inter pares, is that the policy of federation for equality of the metals before the law -which is the American policy, if our brothers of Canada* will permit us, vis-a-vix to Europe and Asia, to represent the Continent is right. The policy of federation to restore silver to its former- legal position, the policy of establishing and maintaining parity between the two halves of the world's money, is right. The accord of an effective majority of nations to close a period of disastrous economic conflict and disturbance by a catholic measure of peace and order, is a good work. Once achieved, a nation may be proud of its share in it. There is enough of barbarism and dulness within sight in our time to serve as a foil to this enterprise of civiliza- tion ; and individuals who contribute their little quota to- ward bringing about its success, need to have their labours- * I may add in parenthesis that they can the more willingly permit us to do this, since they are in some measure committed in favour of that pol- icy. Such at least was the impression which the highly appreciated Ca- nadian ally of the United States delegation, Sir Alexander Gait, conveyed to the members of the International Conference at Paris in 1881. 158 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. brightened if not lightened by appreciating the quality of it. The project passes slowly towards achievement slowly, for it must triumph over both the prejudices of men and the inertia of nations. But it is progressing, and pro- gressing fast, now at length that the harvest of conversion in England is coming into sight in England, which alone has blocked the way ; for in 1881 the attitude of Germany promised her readiness to join in full with France and the United States when England should do so. The time, then, is approaching for realization of the project proposed in 1878, the time when civilization is to make a forward step to reach a united standard. What the members of this section " have to do about silver" is to accelerate this advance ; to recognize, and upon occasion to teach, the basis of truth and fact upon which is reared this policy of federation to secure legal equality between silver and gold.* I shall try to characterize briefly this basis of truth and fact by a rough sketch-map, political rather than economic, giving practical generalizations rather than their scientific sub-structure. * As has long been my custom I give notice to any one seeking informa- tion touching the measure proposed in 1878, that the Document of the Conference of 1878 is still gratuitously distributed from the Depart- ment of State at Washington, by mail, upon application to the Chief Clerk. THE FEDERALIST POSITION. 150 AFFIRMATIVE STATEMENT OF THE FEDERALIST POSITION. I. That Silver and Grolcl are the Money-Metals, and that Gold is Money and Silver is Money to-day. Of the above affirmation I select as the only probable object of denial which calls for encounter, the statement that silver is money to-day. Are all the members of this section fully aware of this ? I hope they are, but I fear they are not ; I fear there are exceptions. I have had the opportunity of meeting, in books or in conver- sation, the minds of most of the learned of our century who have dealt with monetary questions, and I have found in all that goodly company few who entirely realized in the subtle yet most important sense in which the phrase is now to be used that silver is money. This sense or meaning of the phrase springs from the in- ternationality of money ; the solidarity of interest, the effective contiguity, or the continuity of the various sys- tems of money (which make up the total money of the world), whereby each has an interest in all, enjoys the lat- eral support of all, and each serves in part as a means of business communication with the other. There is here a truth which is far from having completed its struggle for recognition. Indeed the concepts in use to-day in rnon- 160 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. etary discussion are curiously adapted to veil it from the understanding. What with "Single Standard"* and " Double Standard " and " Bimetallism " and " Monomet- allism," it is singularly easy to ignore the internationally of money. Then again there is the word " demonetize." What have we not heard of eloquence about the demoneti- zation of silver, and yet in spite of the demonetizing devil and all his works silver is money. So likewise, one might say, for generations men have heard of the conquest * In connection with my criticism of the verbal fallacies prevalent among the partisans of gold, and especially the application to money of the word " Standard" in the sense of the exact sciences, to which space is given in pages 45 and 47, I may justly add a pendant touching the silver side of this protracted controversy ; for there are verbal sins on our side that are highly regrettable. What, with metallisms mono and bi, a subject already difficult and obscure, has been befogged and bemuddled ; in fact, if one were to say bimetallism = be-muddle-ism he would not be far wrong. No doubt, special study is required that one may realize, as, for example, Bacon did, the " difference it makes what a thing is called," how " words, as a Tartar's bow, do shoot back upon the understanding of the wisest, and mightily entangle and pervert the judgment " how " the ill and unfit choice of words wonderfully obstructs the understanding" how ''words plainly force and overrule the understanding, and throw all into confu- sion, and lead men away into numberless empty controversies and idle fancies." I doubt if any one has used either of these muddle-isms mono or bi , much without being, in appreciable measure, " thrown all into con- fusion" by them, with "obstruction of the understanding," and so led away "into numberless empty controversies and idle fancies." If the object were talk and not action, confusion and not clearness, what better reinforcement could be found ? Whoever assists, as I have tried to do, to disinfect such words, gives THE FEDERALIST POSITION. of Kussia by the great Napoleon the remarkable thi about which was that it never occurred. There have been local Acts, and partial Acts, of outlawry against silver, Acts which have done more harm to the erring constituency of gold than to the constituency of sil- ver. But that is all. It is ten years since Germany gave up trying to " make soup out of hot water alone," as Bis- marck described it, and abandoned her sale of bullion made of melted thalers. In closing, a word of definition rather than argument concerning the supply of silver. Silver is a money-metal, imperishable and rare. The annual find of new metal has never been more than a minute fraction of the existing stock. In spite of silver mares' nests, whether in Australia or in the Americas, there is no valid ground for expecting any real revolution in the conditions of new supply, nor even that the fluctuations of silver output will equal those of gold in the past. Hence the stock in existence that is to say the economic " supply " is a limited supply ; a monopoly of nature not to be broken down. succor in spite of themselves to the Romeos of reform, who take the po- etic view, and find a less misleading name not needed for a rose so sweet as this, thereby most innocently forgetting that while it is true "A rose under any other name would smell as sweet," the sweetness of it is not within their jurisdiction. Their humble, prosaic, and practical object is merely to persuade people in this busy world to take their cause on its merits and not believe it is what its enemies say it is, nor what their words assist in making it appear. The point has been settled by the English-speaking race in saying, ' Give a dog a bad name and hang him.' 162 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. II. That Parity of Money is desirable. This affirmation is not unnecessary, as an unbiased mind might suppose. There are most serious obstacles to logical thinking on this head. The mental vision of our time suffers largely from what I will imagine an ocu- list calling " atrophy of the apparatus of accommodation." Or perhaps one may say that there is normal sight, but it is only in spots. A criss-cross of premium or discount between the moneys of different centres of business is recognized as an abomi- nation to the economic mind in every professor's study in the world, provided the places are near each other, as for example New York and Philadelphia, or London and Man- chester, or Paris and Marseilles. The same truth has vogue when applied to Paris, London, New York, and San Francisco. The negation of such common basis, the criss- cross of premium and discount, a kind of organized disorder or Babel of valuations a financial St. Vitus' dance is rec- ognized as a grave malady by all regular physicians. It is plain to all they need a common and stable basis for the valuations through which their business proceeds. Here there is no help but in parity. But beyond this range, dis- tance seems to bring confusion to the view. How is it with parity between Asia, Europe, and the Americas ? Here, for old-school professors, the light grows dim and all signs THE FEDERALIST POSITION. seem to fail. Their lapse of logic is as great as if the reg- ular pharmacopoeia should allow its prescriptions to be used only for people engaged in retail trade. III. That it is the Law of each Nation which determines what is Money in that Nation. To a public which has passed from state bank notes to silver certificates it is unnecessary to expand this thesis. IV. That the Preponderant Employment -that is to say, economic " Demand ''for Silver and Gold is an effect of the Laws of Nations. This is a simple corollary of the preceding. To one who is disturbed by the contrast between use in the arts, and monetary use, and attracted by the subtleties of cau- sation and of motive, I can briefly suggest two queries. Do legislatures make certain material legal tender because individuals like certain kinds of ornament ? Do not individuals choose ornament in part because of the costliness of the material, and of its immediate converti- bility into money ? Y. That Monetary Laws establish Parity. In establishing money of different kinds or denomina- tions, such laws invariably seek to determine the relation of these kinds or denominations. If they are wise laws they succeed. A law which makes twenty-dollar notes and one-dollar notes equally legal tender, effects an equa- 164 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. tion between twenty ones and one twenty. If one denom- ination were made convertible and legal tender, while the other is neither convertible nor legal tender, the nominal equation is likely to be falsified by a discount on the one or a premium on the other. VI. That permanent Parity between Silver and Gold is pro- ducible by a proper Keg'ulation of their ICmploymeiit. As has been stated, the stock-in-existence that is to say, the economic " supply " is limited by nature. To regulate the relative " demand " is to regulate their relative value. VII. That concurrent Laws for legal Equality of the Metals in an effective Majority of Nations will establish Parity outside as well as within their direct Jurisdiction. It is the "law of supply and demand" which operates as a guarantee of the equation. If the great Powers and their probable allies give legal equality to silver and gold (of course at the same ratio) their parity at points outside of the direct jurisdiction of these nations cannot be prevented, except by an alteration of human nature, leading men to prefer loss to gain. There may be fluctuations of " exchange," but that does not affect parity. Ample experience also justifies the averment. In late centuries the fluctuations of relative value were fluctu- ations within the range of effective legal ratios. In this THE FEDERALIST POSITION. 165 century, so long as the Mint of Paris was open (before 1873) there has been substantially parity at Paris, and the local fluctuations elsewhere were chargeable, substantially, to " exchange " on Paris. I say " substantially " to make room for dealing fully with misapprehensions current in relation to this point. Without entering into detail I will briefly mention that I have discovered the proof that standard gold bullion has fluctuated in London in this century as against standard gold coin. VIII. That such Parity benefits each Nation by assuring 1 com- parative stability to the valuations in which it is inter- ested. The benefit applies in various directions and degrees in different nations, but there is something like equality in the shares of the nations in this benefit, because of an equality in the ratio of such benefit to the total economic interests of the nation. IX. That Federation is a condition and a guarantee of such concurrent laws replacing- those which now maintain disparity. This natural view, which guided the Government of the United States, and afterwards that of France, in approach- ing other nations on the subject, is supported by the sub- sequent inaction of nations. Each is unwilling to move without the other, and it is only accord which will make it safe to break the vicious circle. 166 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. X. That the paramount monetary issue of the ag*e is whether a settlement on this basis should be made. There is no alternative to this settlement, which under the guarantees of federation gives parity through concur- rence of laws, other than the. perpetuation of the evils of that instability in the foundations of business and invest - ment whereof mankind has had ampler experience since 1871 than at any period since the Thirty Years War. The mere delay fostered by opposition to settlement creates new obstacles to settlement. The opponents of the feder- ation policy are in a double sense friends of disorder. THE DIS-UNIONIST POSITION. 16' THE DIS-UNIONIST OR ANTI-FEDERALIST POSITION. Those who oppose the growth of opinion in favor of Federation may be conveniently classified as follows : First Grouping. Those who have learned only a part of the truths hith- erto set forth. Those who have refused to learn any of these truths. Second Grouping. Those who think the federation project will never be adopted, chiefly because of the expected continuance of England's refusal to co-operate. Those who think the federation would not maintain parity between the two metals even if England were to co- operate, with free coinage of an English Silver Dollar. I hope that my friends in the dis-unionist camp will find nothing to offend them in this classification. One who has been militant, as I have for so many years, naturally at- tains what I may call a certain perspective in regarding the position of his " friends the enemy ; " and their Parthian campaign of retreat has been full of instruction. In fair- ness I may confess that the key-note of what I have been saying was given me by one of the highest names in the camp of the opposition and in the literature of money, for 168 SCIENCE AND THE FEDERATION POLICY. Michel Chevalier is among the prophets for all who have a monetary faith. It was by another anti-silver champion, I should add, by Esquirou de Parieu,* the economic ad- viser of Napoleon III. and father of the Latin Union, that I was introduced to Chevalier. The distinguished author of the first great Treatise on Money said to me, "You will never succeed in converting England^ The prophesy was made in the Institute, at the close of a meeting of the Academy of Moral and Political Sciences, at which he had presided. I did not, however, relax my labors amid the foundations of monetary science. On other pages the reader will find material bearing upon Chevalier's forecast : in the references to the various stages of growth of the Silver movement in England, and an account of its strength in 1889. * MAKIE Louis PIERRE FELIX ESQUIROU DE PARIEU (b. 1815), member of the Institute of France, Deputy in 1848, Minister in President Napoleon's Cabinet (1849-'51;, head of the Council of State (1855-'70), member of the Ollivier Cabinet (1870), Senator (1876). His principal work is a Treatise on Taxation (Paris, 5 vols., 1862). His numerous contributions to monetary discussion gave impulse to the movement for the unification of coinages in connection with the metric system, and are among the main forces which led to the anti-silver de- cisions of the International Monetary Conference of 1867, of which he was the guiding spirit and virtual President. Had the Latin Union, or had France, gone on in the path he marked out, the mintage of silver would have been stopped before the war with Prussia or Germany. An interesting field of surmise is opened by the query, how this measure would have affected Germany. His Keport summing up before the Conference the results of its pro- ceedings is reprinted in full in the Appendix. VI. BULLION OR COIN? BULLION OK COIN? It has been brought to my attention that certain Eng- lish journals (December, 1889), in discussing Mr. Win- dom's proposals to substitute Bullion for Coin as the basis of our increasing paper issues, assume a lofty tone of criti- cism, and this fact has suggested to me that pages from my portfolio might assist in covering a certain deficit in the stock of learning available for the general public. In this country there are symptoms in some quarters of a sense of dread, growing out of the novelty of the measures proposed to Congress, while in other quarters objection and opposition announce themselves, which can perhaps be fairly described as arising from a sense of injured pride, as if the national silver dollar were threatened with disrespectful treatment. The examination which I propose may therefore naturally take form in the query : How is the "future of the silver dollar " to be affected by ceasing to coin it and using bullion in its place f This form of query will, perhaps, most simply indicate the standpoint which people in this country generally will take in looking at the subject. The silver dollar is a rally- ing point, a watchword, a formula of faith, for many minds, notably in the Mississippi Valley and in the Mountain States, and any apparent attack upon it must undergo most jealous scrutiny. 171 172 BULLION OR COIN? I shall make no attempt to anticipate the various lines of criticism, on matters of detail, of the Bill to be discussed by Congress, which would serve as response to the above query. Indeed, I pass by important subjects of discussion which suggest themselves, and restrict myself to the bare general issue which makes the title of this paper. My effort is to set forth general truths, in view of which it is well that the discussion should proceed. (1.) It is futile to treat the silver dollar independently of silver itself. I am aware of the temptation this subject exerts upon subtle minds, offering a field of distinction as delicate as the law, if not indeed as fine as old-time metaphysics. I shall say naught in disparagement of the process of ab- straction, which peels down concepts by gradations as fine as the outer skin of an onion ; for it may be as useful to a thinker, as to a microscopist, to Distinguish and divide, A hair twixt south and southwest side. But there are regions of discussion where such niceties are out of place, and seriously impede the understanding. The hotspur partisan of silver denies the "depreciation" of silver, and is justified, so far as a part of what the gold fanatic means by depreciation, is concerned. There is a factitious ' appreciation ' of gold. Yet it is a fact. To ex- plain how it was brought about does not abolish the why and the wherefore of its continuance as fact. T have in other pages told my story of the course of THE CHANGED POSITION OF SILVER, 173 ' fructifying causation,' whereof the present condition of monetary systems is the outcome ; how enthusiasm for met- rical reform found no scholarship nor statesmanlike grasp of the teachings of experience to restrain the effort to unify the ' world's measure of values ' by abolishing what seemed a mere disturbing element, the silver unit. In the gradual recognition of the suicidal character of this effort, reformers, scholars, statesmen, have since found occupation. But however unfortunate the error proved for Europe as well as for this country still these Euro- pean laws which made the silver question were passed. The esteem in which silver was held relatively dimin- ished ; the esteem in which gold was held increased. What- ever distinctions are made with ap- and 6/6-preciation, there is no doubt that it was silver which went down re- latively, and gold which went up. To refuse this fact a recognition of any share of its importance is to repeat the error of the panegyrist who too zealously based the praise of his hero upon battles which he would have won if he had not been prevented by the enemy. In such an under- taking a keen sense of humor assists in sharpening the perception of facts. So far as the future of the silver dollar of Hamilton and Gallatin is involved in the broader question of the relative monetary rank which silver has in fact lost, but which will be restored to it when the agitation and education in Europe elsewhere referred to in this volume shall have done their work this point will be briefly touched in other pages. 174 BULLION OR COIN? I now turn to another vital fact which bears directly upon the question here at issue. (2.) The people of the United States do not take to the silver dollar very kindly. They do not seem to want more than one apiece, per capita, for their pockets, their tills, and their strong-boxes. They persist in " treating Silver as a commodity" to borrow a very vague term for a very plain use. However inconvenient this fact may be, it can only be dealt with as a fact. It is futile to try to explain it away. The fact is fact. Silver certificates are not silver dollars, and can no more be made into silver dollars than orange- peel water can be made into wine by stress of imagination. Silver dollars have been within reach for eleven years. Halves and quarters have been within reach still longer. Yet there are twenty-two millions of silver change that have been losing interest for many years as a "dead asset" in the Treasury ; a melancholy monument of the days of callowness and inadvertence when the United States Congress was assisting the demonetization of German silver. I have never heard that the Treasury has inter- posed any obstacles in the way of a demand for silver dol- lars, as compared with other current money. We must ac- cept the books of the Treasury as a record of the people's will. In the last four years there have been about sixty millions of silver dollars in the hands of the people. I know of no indication that a change of habit is to enlarge the use of them. WHY NOT LEAVE SILVER UNMINTED ? 175 I am glad to believe, however, that such an increase is pos- sible. It can hardly be affirmed with certainty that we have reached the saturation point in reference to silver coin, or that measures may not be devised to promote the further popular use of coin. The subject merits attention greater than it appears to have received. In referring to it I take occasion to make my reservations, and disclaim any opinion adverse to extending the use of coin. Whether the greater use of coin (both gold and silver) in Germany and in France stands in connection with the thriftiness of Germans or Frenchmen is a subject that will bear study. It appears probable that the use of coin, and to some extent the hoard- ing of coin, especially by that vast majority of the popula- tion that lives by manual labor, tends to promote thrift in the individual, as well as to support sound finance in the government. In dealing, however, with the monetary use of silver coin it is important to recognize the marked peculiarities of our system in reference to gold. The gold in the Treasury as stated for July 1, 1889, consisted of 186 mil- lions belonging to the Treasury, and 117 millions ware- housed therein for the benefit of those who use gold cer- tificates ; and 65 millions of the total sum were in bullion. Why not leave silver unminted as well as gold ? For any possible change of habit in the direction of extended use of silver dollars, the existing stock of them is already a superabundant provision. If we take the ex- treme supposition of a change in the habit of the people 176 BULLION OR COIN? which should double their absorption of these coins, there would still be left in existence, beyond its requirement, over two hundred millions of them. Why should the people be taxed to pay for minting more dollars ? The minting has cost some millions of dollars, and it certainly seems probable that money could be expended in some other way to better advantage. The terms of Mr. Windom's proposition and the facts just referred to seem to narrow the issue to the query : Is it not worth while to omit minting coin which, when minted, will be used as bullion f This apparent confusion of the two ideas which we have hitherto kept separate, will be useful if it serves as an oc- casion for defining them. It is perhaps very easy to ig- nore or forget that coin may be bullion, though bullion is not coin. The difference of meaning here is but one degree removed from that which constitutes a mare a horse, though a horse is not a mare. Coin is, in fact, sub- divided bullion bullion of legal fineness duly certified. If it lie in a vault, the bullion use of it predominates. If it pass from hand to hand, the coin use is in the ascendant. Passing now to another distinction, I observe that Avhile coin is money by tale, and bullion is potential money by weight, bullion may also be really money, effectively money, if the law so provide. The law provides for turning bul- lion into coin, for its purchase or its exchangeability, and it can also give it directly the power of paying debts. I am not aware that it has ever been done, but it is possible to make ingots full legal tender under proper regulations. THE USE OF CERTIFICATES. 177 The advantages of paper, So far as the safety and security of the proposed paper representatives of the deposited bullion are concerned, it is a notable fact that in this country, by favor of the con- fidence which the manifold guarantees of our financial system inspire, the element " credit " seems to disappear. Confidence is so complete that it is easy to forget that it exists. The acceptance of a Government receipt for ware- housing money-metal, resembles accepting a valid transfer of title to immovable property in the place of manual appro- priation arid possession. So strong is this confidence that the analog}' of " livery of seisin " suggests itself ; an illus- tration which the layman will find no difficulty in follow- ing when he reflects how the deed that was done when John Doe handed to Richard Roe a clod from the field he was selling him, is the predecessor of the paper deed which in these days is made to "do" much to the relief of the modern John and Richard. Of the advantages which the use of paper offers, when thus made a plenipotentiary representative of money-metal, some are sufficiently obvious, others are less likely to be known, and some, indeed, can hardly be said to be always appreciated even by those regarded as conversant with such matters. So far as the objections to the use of paper are con- cerned (including the expense) it should be very clearly un- derstood that the issue at present under consideration does not, strictly speaking, involve that side of the ques- tion, for the contrast to be drawn is merely between cer- 178 BULLION OR COIN? tificates based upon coin and certificates or notes based upon bullion. Of the advantages of paper, I mark under the first head above referred to, the ease of carriage, and the relief given from the necessity of counting or weighing. An advan- tage less likely to attract attention is the ease of identifica- tion of ownership. These several advantages belong equally to the two kinds of paper under consideration. Paper based on bullion. Beside these is to be noted in favor of the use of bul- lion, the saving of expense by not minting. If we inquire for objections here we shall find that under prudent management no inconvenience can arise, for the source from which danger could come, under existing cir- cumstances, is the improbable event of sudden and ex- treme panic, in which the timid would seek possession of their money-metal and would be embarrassed in their efforts to use it for payments. The friction of coin against coin, making wear and tear which goes on till the coin has to be reminted, may occur when coin is in transit, when it is moved in a bag, as well as when it is handled or carried in the pocket. Bullion can be shipped not only with more convenience but with less abrasion than coin. Again, bullion is used by weight. The scales are better adjusted than in the case of coin. Here we touch the source of subtleties, to which no doubt in all the centu- ries of man's experience money has given rise ; one of the THE ADVANTAGES OF USING BULLION. 179 ' mysteries of money.' Indeed, how can the mystery be penetrated when we realize that ' coin is something that always ought to be, yet rarely or never is, but at the same time is taken as if it were what it ought to be,' and that this puzzle is fact in all monetary systems by force of enact- ment, whether it be decree of autocratic, or statute of rep- resentative government ! There is an ideal fineness of metal, or proportion be- tween the precious metal and the alloy, and an ideal weight of metal of the proper fineness. But the processes of mint- age do not often attain the desired ideal perfection, and the law gives tolerance for error within certain limits, which in the quaint language of the coiner's art are termed the "remedy;" remedy above and remedy below, within which limits the coin is accepted as if it were of the true weight and fineness. To this slight variation is added the reduction of weight which normal wear and tear or artifi- cial processes can produce. And for this, laws and cus- tom also give a limited tolerance. Thus is offered a field for little speculations which, when multiplied, may play a greater part in the business world than economists find it easy to trace or measure. In the use of bullion the scales, as I said, can be more consistently applied, and so at least a part of the uncer- tainties and difficulties of the use of coin be avoided. It may be not without interest to enter upon a brief examination of past experience relating to preferences of policy as between bullion and coin. Suggestive lines of 180 BULLION OK COIN? contrast between earlier times and ours in this regard, will be found, as it were, to cross eacli other. Bullion in banks. In the early history of banking, developed as it was to meet the need of trade beyond the local jurisdiction, a trade which we should now call * international,' bullion value was necessarily looked to as security rather than the cur- rency of coin for which the guarantee was local and limited. This would apply as a general statement to the various precursors of our modern banks in the Italian Republics, in the Free Cities of Germany and the Low Countries, and to the English goldsmith, of whose notes the English bank-note is the successor. When a new departure was taken at the close of the XYIIth century, by the founding of a national " Bank of England," which has, in some meas- ure, served as a model for banking systems in other countries, its charter, which prohibited dealing in all other goods, made gold and silver bullion, as well as bills of exchange, the staple of the enterprise. Gold and silver bullion still remain the lawful basis of the notes which modern English legislation has made legal tender between citizens, so long as they remain convertible.* The policy of Seigniorage. The familiar antithesis between popular rights and priv- ilege maintained by arbitrary power, finds its parallel in * The act of 1844 limited the amount of silver in the Issue Department to one-fourth the gold one part of silver to four parts of gold. Since the Gold Discoveries no use has been made of this privilege. THE SEIGNIORIAL SYSTEM. 181 the contrast between the seigniorial system and free mintage. The right of a citizen to have his bullion turned into coin without denial or delay was established by the English Parliament in 1666, along with the principle of gratuitous mintage, to which I shall presently allude. The policy of Princes, however, operated in the main in the same direction under the seigniorial system, as freedom of mintage under the popular system. It was the interest of Princes to coin as much as possible, in order to recruit their finances by seigniorage. The percentage of bullion thus gained meant not only pocket-money for the seignior, the Lord of the Mint, but the means of carrying on the State. The confusion arid injury thus imposed upon business interests will be recognized when it is seen that coins thereby acquired a local currency value far beyond the value of the metal they contained, while the bullion value remained of necessity preponderant in the calculations of international trade. Thus the power of turning bullion into cash could be used as an instrument of oppression as well as of speculation by the favored courtier to whose hands it fell. Gratuitous Mintage. The principle of gratuitous mintage, though not yet generally accepted, tends to impose itself in our time. It has a curious history. While the motive for adopting it in England in 1666, the time of its first appearance in modern law, seems to have been to promote an enlarge- 182 BULLION OR COIN? ment of the circulation by inducing citizens to bring their bullion to the mint, yet the underlying theory of it is a subtle truth intimately interwoven with the very nature and purpose of the venerable institution of money. It is this : that money should be good wherever it goes, and equally good in all places ; worth as much in one place as another. But if coin is to be worth as much in one place as another, its value should be its bullion value, the value of the metal of which it is made. To accomplish this result, the coining must be done gratuitously : for if there be a charge paid for the coining, the coin is worth more than the metal, at least at the place of minting. Hence the state which maintains the mint must assume the burden of minting without charge ; the taxpayer thus assuming a burden which " naturally " would fall upon the bullion-owner. My remark that gratuitous mintage has a curious his- tory will be justified when the reader learns that this sim- ple statement with which I venture to think he will find it not very difficult to concur, is but an amplification of the dicta of leading jurists of the Middle Ages. I I have traced this doctrine to them;* and far beyond them I found its source in the Roman law. If I put the Roman's theory into the language of to-day, I may say it means " the internationally of coin." *The statement of this discovery is set forth in " Monetary History anl Monetary Jurisprudence," an address before the British Association for the Advancement of Science, at Manchester, September, 1887. FREE SALE OF BULLION. 183 The principle is now generally accepted to the limited extent of abolishing seigniorage, but the cost of coinage is still very generally charged to the depositor. France has reduced her charge several times in this century, but still charges for coining gold, and when she coined silver, charged more ad valorem than for gold. In India there is a heavy charge for coining rupees, a part of which should perhaps be really counted as seigniorage. In this country we maintained a coinage charge for a limited period. Free Sale of Bullion. It will be seen upon reflection that a system of obliga- tory purchase of bullion, which I shall name " Free Sale of Bullion," in which the full value is given in current money, is the fullest possible application of the princi- ple that underlies both free mintage and gratuitous mintage. There is no time lost in mobilizing bullion into current money. The system introduced by the statute of 1666 leaves a little loss of interest to be borne by the depositor, namely, interest for the time taken in manufacturing the coin, the length of which must depend upon the convenience of the operation of the mint. This loss is fixed by a modern English statute, for gold, at three half pence per sovereign. The Bank is compelled to pay 3 17s. 9d., for the ounce of gold which is worth 3 17s. lO^d. Our statute of 1792 charged half a cent per dollar, if both the depositor and mint director desired ; which suggests the query whether the Treasury 184 BULLION OK COIN? of those days had the cash on hand for its " Bullion Fund." Free Mintage, Gratuitous Mintage, and Free Sale of Bullion. We are now prepared to mark the relation and distinc- tions between free mintage, gratuitous mintage, and free sale of bullion. Free Mintage is of the first importance. The right of the owner of bullion to have it turned into coin is a right of primary and fundamental import as establishing the legal status of money-metal. Gratuitous Mintage is of subordinate rank ; for mintage may be free and bullion thus become potential money, in the full sense of the phrase, whether the cost of minting it be paid by the owner or by the State. As I have indicated, Gratuitous Mintage is a practice still foreign to important monetary systems, while Free Mintage is generally established.'"" It will, I think, be recognized that a right of Free Sale of Bullion, as I have called it, is entitled to a distinct place in our classification, though I do not recall ever having heard of it, or read of it in monetary books. *Here I may properly explain that the adjective " free " has been ap- plied in authoritative works, as including Gratuitous Mintage as well as Free Mintage in the sense above defined, aud that I have done what I could to promote clear thinking by seeking to naturalize the above dis- tinctions in the language of money. It is evident that the two ideas are distinct in their nature, and that nothing but confusion can be gained by fusing them under one word. MONETARY POLICY IN THE FUTURE. 185 Free Sale of Bullion has existed in various countries in a special form, as a concomitant or arrangement of con- venience incidental to a system of Free Mintage, as for ex- ample, when the Mint (or a Bank) is bound to pay for the bullion at once upon accepting it for mintage. In the in- stances lately referred to, a fixed charge was deducted to cover the advantage in time and convenience thus given the bullion owner at the expense of the Mint. The Free Sale of Bullion produced in this country, which is now proposed for the action of Congress, is free from this -deduction. Monetary Policy in the future. These several lines of historical development seem to converge toward the following policy : The establishment (by enactment and not merely by favor of administrative discretion), of the right of free mintage, and of gratuitous mintage ; the actual amount of mintage performed by Government in obedience to this rule being limited by The establishment of the right of free sale of bullion ; the monetary use of this bullion being secured by The establishment of a system of paper representatives, which circulate as money, transferring the title to the bul- lion deposited. I state the idea in general terms which are applicable to such various forms of paper issue and conditions of 186 BULLION OR COIN? redemption as may suit the respective convenience of the several monetary systems in which the principles above stated might be adopted. I also withhold any statement of detail as to amounts and price which in presence of the existing general outlawry of silver are vital questions, so far as that metal is concerned and likewise the condi- tions to be fixed under which bullion would be received ; as for example, the place of receipt, or the composition of the metal, whether it is already ascertained, or to be ascer- tained, or of coinable fineness, or of fineness held to be, in various degrees, " suitable to the operations of the mint." It seems apparent that speaking generally, the trend of habit in the Western World is toward the policy I have outlined.* There is, as I have indicated, no full acceptance of such policy on the part of any nation to-day. Habits and in- stitutions change slowly, and it would be bold prophecy to aver that the general adoption of this policy is near at hand. I merely aver that the tendency is in that direction. Is there good ground for solicitude on this account, or any general ground for opposition to this tendency ? I see none. * I say nothing here of the expanding use of coin in a community that has not known it before ; as for example, Africa, or the Pacific Islands; nor do I propose to speak of Asia, nor venture on the great " Chinese puz- zle " of money the puzzle of Chinese money sycee, ' cash,' and foreign dollars, and the tael, and a mint under the banner of the Green Dragon. BULLION AND PARITY UNION. 187 Bullion and the General Eemonetization of Silver. The question now arises whether the movement for joint action of nations to restore silver to its former equality with gold offers any conflict of principle with the tendency which I have above ascertained. As I have borne some share in that movement in vari- ous countries since its inception, I may not inappropriately give my testimony on that issue. I see no conflict between the two, no objection to a for- ward step in the direction above indicated. It is true that the idea of minting, of coin, as distinguished from bullion, has all along been kept in the foreground in the advocacy of such restoration of silver to its former place. It was- natural and proper that this should be so. The central feature of monetary systems has been, is, and is likely to- remain a unit of valuation embodied in coin. This being the case, free mintage is the natural and proper objective point for the advocates of the reform proposed. But the fundamental object is equality of legal status for the two metals. As the greater includes the less it is plain that this implies no opposition to an enlarged em- ployment of metal in the form of bullion as compared with coin. Indeed I have, for many years, been of the opinion that the adoption of the proposed measures for legal equalization of the metals would tend to reduce for both of them the now exaggerated need of spending and of losing so much in the minting and use of coin. These views may now conveniently be tested by refer- ence to the formal proposals made in the Conference of 188 BULLION OR COIN? 1878, and by a farther examination of the bearing of Mr. Windom's plan upon the policy of the Conferences. The policy established by the Allison Amendments to the Bland Bill. Under the authority of the act of February 28, 1878, calling the Conference of 1878, the following propositions were presented by the American Commissioners, in August, 1878, to the representatives of the various Powers in Paris, the form being that of a draft resolution I. It is the opinion of this Assembly that it is not to be desired that Silver should be excluded from Free Coinage in Europe and the United States of America. On the con- trary, the Assembly believes that it is desirable that the Unrestricted Coinage of Silver, and its use as Money of Unlimited Legal Tender, should be retained where they exist, and, as far as practicable, restored where they have ceased to exist : II. The use of both Gold and Silver as Unlimited Legal- Tender Money may be safely adopted. First. By equalizing them at a relation to be fixed by international agreement ; and Secondly. Bj granting to each metal, at the relation fixed, equal terms of Coinage, making no discrimination between them. The following third proposition was prepared and held in reserve, awaiting the development of the views of the Conference : III. The Delegates here present agree to recommend THE POLICY OF THE CONFERENCES. 189 to their respective governments that, by the free coinage of silver at a relation to be agreed upon, or provisionally, through extended coinage upon government account and the accumulation- of silver bullion in Public Treasuries, they make a concerted effort to restore silver to its function as money of full power. In the absence of co-operation in Europe, the course of the United States was thus definitely marked. We maintained the attitude of favoring Concurrent Free Mint- age, ready to establish it as soon as Europe should be ready ; and in the years which have passed, Congress has carried out alone the proposition, which the Commission of 1878 formulated and placed in the second rank. An extended coinage on Government account has been kept up, and a notable accumulation made in the Public Treasury of silver ballion, but subdivided, in the form of coin. The proposition now made is to leave bullion un- minted. The novelty of Mr. Windom's plan. The proposal of the Secretary of the Treasury is that holders of native* silver bullion shall have the right to sell it to the Government at the market price for new "Treasury notes" (expressed in dollars) which are legal * The product of the mines of the United States or of ores here smelted and refined. 190 BULLION OK COIN? tender to the Government and also convertible in certain ways.* This is proposed as a substitute for the present law under which the Government is compelled to purchase -and coin two million (gold) dollars' worth of silver bullion per month, and has the liberty to purchase up to four millions' worth. The plan is presented in view of a very general sense of dissatisfaction with the present law of compulsory coin- age, which is shared by the Secretary. At the same time the plan is conceived in the spirit of entire accord with the policy of the Conferences, which its author puts in view in his Keport as directed toward the true goal, the iinal and satisfactory solution of the silver difficulty. It will appear, from what has gone before, that while the proposed law, regarded as a whole, is without precedent, yet the novelty of it, so far as the issue between bullion and coin is concerned, lies in the frankness and fullness of its adaptation to facts. This is a rare merit. How unwieldy a monetary system is, how difficult it is *The further details are as follows: The notes are to be redeem- able on demand at the Government's option, either in gold coin or in silver bullion of equal value to the notes on the day of demand, or in silver dollars at the holder's option. The Government in effect becomes the owner of the bullion although compelled to hold the deposit, but has the right to dispose of bullion at the market price to the limited extent of any demand for redemption made by holders who are unwilling to take silver dollars in return for notes, and it has the right to coin bullion and issue the coin to make good any gold or silver coin issued for redemption of notes. Mr. Windom's Bill was presented to Congress January 20, 1890. OBSCURITY OF MONETARY QUESTIONS. 191 for nations to mould and modify their monetary policy by reference to changing facts which affect its soundness, is shown by ample experience throughout the past. Perhaps the following illustration will commend itself to the reader, quite independently of any bias touching matters of controversy. The surplus in the Treasury, long the source of political pre-occupations, offered in the late electoral contest a very apple of discord, as an evil which the opposing champions of High and Low Tariff charged each upon the other. Yet so far as I am informed, in the whole year of debate which began with Mr. Cleveland's Message of December, 1887, and ended with General Harrison's election in November, 1888, no word was said in public concerning an undisputa- ble source of the surplus with which neither customs nor excise, neither protective duties nor the tax on spirits and tobacco, etc., had aught to do. I refer to the item of Seigniorage, as the language of the Treasury calls it (on full Legal-Tender money), which has reappeared on the books of an English-writing Na- tional Treasury for the first time since early in the reign of Charles II. We have taken to the modern representative of "His Majesty's rate," so. naturally that orators and news- papers now take it quite for granted ! If bullion or cash had been held in the Treasury to make good in specie the face value of the Silver Coin outstanding, dollars and change, which would have taken a hundred millions, there would have been no surplus at all to speak of ! Even now I do not recall seeing anything in print as to the effect of 192 BULLION OK COIN? Mr. Windom's plan in checking the surplus. If his pro- posal to repeal the present compulsory coinage law be not adopted, the sum of near nine millions is given in the Treasury estimates for the coming years as the expected revenue from Seigniorage on Silver Dollars. Contemporary movements in England are of analogous effect. The Bank of England still neglects its legal privi- lege of issuing notes on Silver Bullion, presumably because silver is not regarded as ' good enough.' Yet the Treasury has been buying silver at 22 and coining it at 14.30 ! This 50 per cent, in Seigniorage on change, issued at a time when gold half-sovereigns are being withdrawn, is a wel- come pe7)dant to our Dollars! In both countries a rise in silver would turn into real profit this nominal profit in the past, but check it in the future. In view of the peculiar courses into which the prac- tice of nations as to silver has fallen, it is doubly im- portant for monetary thinkers to recur to first principles ; to ascertain, as it were, the points of the compass, and get a rudimentary notion of sailing directions, which should be available for the fleet of ships of State. I therefore, with whatever emphasis I can command, present ther following averments : Acts of silver outlawry adopted between the First In- ternational Monetary Conference (1867) and the Second (1878), the chief of which was the closing of the Paris Mint, created for the money-using world a transition state THE PROJECT OF FEDERATION. 193 of unstable equilibrium, the only escape from which is by that return to concurrence in maintaining equality of the two money metals which was proposed to the nations in 1878. No arrangement for silver money in the period which elapses before the solution proposed through the Con- ference of 1878 is attained, can have the prospect of sta- bility and the certainty of effect which gold money enjoys. The chief test of new measures is whether or no they ad- vance the desired return to concurrent laws equalizing the metals ; and the general criterion is, whether or no they adapt themselves to the facts as they are, rather than to visionary theories, which may be conceived with a view to what the facts ought to have been, what they ought to be now, or what they should be in the future. Legal equality of the metals. I now pursue further the inquiry touching the plan of concurrent action of nations for the restoration of silver. I submit that in such a plan, the question how much each member of the proposed Union may prefer to economize in its minting, and in its use of coin, may advantageously be left to the intelligent self-interest of the nations re- spectively. They can safely do what they please with the bullion they receive. It is a matter in which other nations are not concerned. In so far, however, as equality of legal status between the two metals is involved, all nations are interested, and 194 BULLION OE COIN? hence in any complete scheme of joint action, the con- ditions under which bullion can be exchanged for cur- rent money come necessarily into view. While the de- sired equality can be substantially secured through the right of free mintage, it can be perfected only by equal- izing, as between the two metals, the conditions which may exist as to the right of sale of bullion. Whatever right is given to one metal should also be given to the other. The question whether the Government shall hold the bullion uncoined is another matter. So are the ques- tions whether it shall make a charge for minting coin or no, and whether it shall make a deduction for time, like the three half -pence to the pound which the Bank of England retains. I do not mean that these are not im- portant subjects. I mean that they are of subordinate rank, as compared with equality of treatment for the two metals within the borders of the several nations. As will appear more fully in the sequel, the point here raised of equal rights for silver and gold bullion has not entirely lacked attention. The object aimed at would naturally be obligatory purchase (Free Sale) of gold and silver bullion in each country, at identical relative rates for either metal in the various respective currencies. I reprint below an extract from earlier publications which contains matter bearing upon this point. On referring to this extract it will perhaps be found to sustain the view which has been foreshadowed in the ob- servations already made in this paper, that the new departure proposed by Mr. Windom, while conceived in THE PARITY OF BULLION 195 its details with a view to the determining conditions of the present state of affairs in one country, is capable of ex- tension and of application in all countries as an element of a general amendment of monetary systems. TUB PARITY OF BULLION, AND MODES or MANTAINING IT. (First printed with ' The Parity of Moneys, as regarded by Adam Smith, Ricardo, and Mill,' which forms chapter IV of this volume.) In advocating the Eeinstatement of Silver as Money the chief practical measure recommended has been Free Coin- age, that is to say, the duty of the Mint to coin for all comers, either gratis or with a charge, according to the laws of the country. This would leave the door open to those little inequalities of value from which a Gold Coinage System has not always protected gold bullion,* even when its position was the most favorable while it lay between the Tower and the Bank of England. A suggestion touching this important point of detail in the plan for joint action of nations, was made in the Con- ference of 1881 by Mr. N. G. Pierson, a delegate of Hol- land (now Governor of the Bank of Holland), namely, that Banks of Issue could be charged with a duty, which would remedy this difficulty, namely, the duty of buying bullion from all comers at a fixed price for each metal. There are also other grounds in favor of such a measure, which I will not enter upon here. * Evidence on this subject is given in ' The Silver Pound,' page 60. 196 BULLION OR COIN? Some years later, being invited to deliver an address before the American Bankers' Association (at its meeting in Boston, August, 1886), I chose the Parity of Bullion as my subject, and made my address an argument for the adoption of a resolution which I caused to be presented, and which was adopted. The resolution is as follows : WHEREAS, The question of proper measures to be taken in concert by the commercial nations, in order to regulate metallic money has, since the International Monetary Con- ferences of 1878 and 1881, received earnest and increas- ing consideration, while the growing divergence between the precious metals has caused cumulative disturbance of values, and has injuriously affected business relations in all parts of the world, and threatens further evil for the future, and, WHEREAS, The policy proposed to the nations by the United States in 1878, and by France and the United States in 1881, of restoring silver to free coinage by a union composing the chief monetary Powers, deserves uni- versal support ; and, WHEREAS, It is important, in order to prevent inequality between different nations, in the operation of the monetary system so proposed, that silver bullion and gold bullion should enjoy equality, as well as silver coin and gold coin ; and, WHEREAS, Experience has shown that the provision of the law of Great Britain, whereby it is the duty of the Bank of England to buy all gold offered to it at a fixed PARITY OF BULLION. 197 price per ounce, tends to establish a fixed price for gold bullion universally, and that analogous provisions of law in the several nations of the European continent tend fur- ther to relieve gold bullion from local fluctuations of price ; and it is evident that similar provisions applied to silver bullion, in support of its use as money, would give it sim- ilar protection from fluctuation ; and, WHEREAS, Such provisions must become an important part of any plan of international action, and hence deserve thorough and thoughtful consideration ; therefore, be it RESOLVED, That a committee be appointed by the Pres- ident to take into consideration this whole question in every particular and report to the Executive Council of this Association at such early date as shall be found con- venient. The Resolution was supported by Mr. George S. Coe, of New York, a founder and former President of the As- sociation, and was moved by Mr. Deshler, of Ohio, and seconded by Mr. Moss, of Ohio. The Committee was afterwards appointed. I am not informed concerning any report. The Bank Charter Bill, which was laid before the Sec- ond Chamber of the States-General of Holland in April, 1887, contains (according to my translation) the follow- ing proposed amendment of the existing Act, calculated to give effect to the plan mentioned : " The State, in the event of its entering a Monetary Union founded on the system of the double standard, and 198 BULLION OR COIN? in case the obligation shall have been laid upon the chief Banks of Issue in the countries that form this Union, to buy at the mint-price all the money-metal offered them for sale, of which the coinage has been made free to all by law, retains the privilege of imposing the same duty upon the Bank of the Netherlands." VII. EICARDO ON BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. 199 RICARDO ON BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. In the wide circle who respect the authority of leaders of thought in the past a peculiar interest will be attached to the views of David Ricardo upon monetary subjects, for his prestige in the broader tield of economic thought attaches peculiarly to his labors on currency. His mem- ory is still and well it is that it should be so " the shadow of a great name." Dying in his prime, at the close of a long struggle of financial politics in which he had been militant, and leaving works which are a landmark in science, his public career fortified his reputation and in- fluence in later days as a thinker, by the authority which belongs to conspicuous service in action. In examining some years ago into the factors of the then general conviction among learned men in England, that the exclusion of silver from English money (except as change) was a sound and wise measure, I was led to ex- amine closely into the opinions of this notable man about silver and gold. The result was very different from what would have been expected, judging from the attitude on that subject lately assumed by his disciples, for the im- pression seemed universal among them that the law and the prophets against silver are fortified by Ricardo's name. I shall, therefore, in indicating his opinions upon bullion and coin, set forth what he thought on the broader issue of the "battle of the standards." 201 202 BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. Bicarclo's literary activity began in 1808, when he put himself in the van of the movement to reform the paper money regime,* two years in advance of the famous Bullion Committee. It was not long after that he brought for- ward a scheme of paper notes based on bullion. In 1816 he printed full " proposals for an economical and secure currency and on the profits of the Bank of England.'* The greater part of this pamphlet deals with the internal regulation of the Bank and with its relation to the Gov- ernment and the public. I reprint in the Appendix the scheme which he describes as " an expedient to bring the English currency as near as possible to perfection." The centra] point of interest here is that this perfection con- sisted, in his mind, in making the notes redeemable in uncoined gold (or silver), at the mint standard or price, instead of by delivery of coin. With reference to Eicardo's attitude in relation to the respective claims of silver and of gold to be the " standard " or chief money of England, there is this to be said. It plainly did not lie in his plan to complicate the main issue and weaken his own position as an apostle of con- vertibility and " Hard Money," as we should say, by at- taching himself as a partisan to the claims of either silver or gold, or of the two together, as the unit of coinage. I call attention to the phrase unit of coinage, because I find that Ricardo used the word " standard " in a sense quite different from that which we attach to it commonly * The suspension of cash payments had begun in 1797. Resumption was ordered by the act of 1819, and was completed in 1823. IDEAS OF A STANDARD. 203 to-day. It is a very malarious word and needs constant disinfecting by definition to be used with safety. I find Ricardo was in favor of the " silver standard," and yet I do not believe that he meant by that the demonetization, of gold. Without taking ground rigidly in favor of either of the three proposed or possible local "standards" or units of value (the single gold unit, the single silver unit, and the dual silver and gold unit), Ricardo declares his preference for silver, and gives his reasons. At the same time an impar- tial recognition of the availability of the two metals which is natural to a time when, as I have shown, the idea of abolishing one of them had not been conceived, is pre- sented in his writings in a manner which is not a little confusing to the modern reader. He often, apparently for the sake of convenience, speaks of " gold," when another writer whom experience had warned that pre- cision was vital and would have said " metallic money,'* or "the money-metals." This practice, while harmless at the outset, has natu- rally, under the changed conditions which have obtained for a later generation, become so misleading in its effect as to require these special words of caution to one who shall cite Ricardo on monetary subjects. An example of this nature may be 'found in the naive account given of Ricardo's position by the late Mr. J. R. McCul- loch, who became for a later generation a representative of " gold orthodoxy," and who, in his reference to Ricardo in the account of his life and writings, prefixed to the 204 BULLION NOTES AND SILVER. collected Works, of which he was the editor, entirely ig- nores the existence of silver. This falsification of most important testimony is the more dangerous because of its innocence. Kicardo's plans * were not adopted in full. The Act of 1816 made gold the " Standard Measure of Value," im- posed a heavy Seigniorage on Silver Coin, and left the ex- ercise of the right of Free Coinage (which it re-enacted) subject to the issuance of a Proclamation of the Crown. I 'eel's Bill, as it was called, the Resumption Act of 1819, which closed the paper money period that began in 1797, applied the idea of redemption in bullion to the following extent : It provided that the Bank must deliver on de- mand in exchange for bank notes, gold bullion of standard fineness not less than sixty ounces at one time, first, at <4 Is. per ounce for a certain period ; then at any rate be- tween that figure and 3 19$. 6d. per ounce ; then at the latter figure ; then at any rate between =3 19$. 6d. and 3 17$. 10Jrt,1i Aincr/cati Iterieir, December, 1885.) SILVER : AN ISSUE OF INTERNATIONAL POLITICS. An Address to Con- gress, March, 1886. (Cincinnati: K. Clarke & Co., 1886.) THE BANKING COMMUNITY AND THE SILVER QUESTION. An Address delivered at the Annual Convention of the American Bankers' Associa- tion, Aug. 21, 1886, at Boston. (In Report of Convention, American Bankers' Pub. Assoc.) Silver before Congress in 1886. ( Quart. Journal <>f Economic*. Boston : Ellis, Oct., 1886.) . THE SILVER POUND and ENGLAND'S MONETARY POLICY since the RESTO- RATION ; together with the HISTORY OF THE GUINEA, illustrated by Con- temporary Documents. 300 pp. (London : Macmillan & Co., 1887.) MONETARY HISTORY AND MONETARY JURISPRUDENCE : an Address before Section F. (Economic Science and Statistics) of the British Association for the Advancement of Science, Sept., 1887. Printed in " the Currency Question before the British Association," published by the Bimetallic League. (Manchester, 1887.) Remarks upon Silver as Standard Money in England, at an interview with the members of the Board of Directors of the Manchester Chamber of Commerce, at a called meeting, Nov. 2, 1887. (Stenographic report printed for the use of the Directors.) THE UNITED STANDARD : Answers to the Questions of the ROYAL COM- MISSION ON GOLD AND SILVER, Feb., 1888. (Appendix to Final Report, Oct. 1888. Blue-Book.) THE PARITY OF MONEYS as regarded by Adam Smith, Ricardo, and Mill. An open Letter answering a question of a Member of the ROYAL COM- MISSION on Gold and Silver. By Amicus Curiae. London, June, 1888. Also read before Section I. (Economic Science and Statistics) of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Aug. 20, 1888. (London: Macmillan & Co., 1888.) OBSERVATIONS au Congres Mone'taire de 1'Exposition en reponse a MM. Levasseur et Du Puynode. Sept. 13, 1889. (Paris: Guillaumin & Cie.) INSTRUMENTS OF VALUATION. An Address before the American Met- rological Association. Washington, April 22, 1890. (Report of Proceed- ings.) RECENTLY ISSUED, Large 8vo, 314 pp., cloth, $4.00. THE SILVER POUND AND ENGLAND'S MONETARY POLICY SINCE THE RESTORATION, TOGETHER WITH THE HISTORY OF THE GUINEA, ILLUSTRATED BY CONTEMPOKARY DOCUMENTS. LONDON : MACMILLAN AND Go. 1887, (Opinions of the 9?ress. THE ACADEMY [London Weekly], July 30, 1887. Mr. Dana Horton commands a peculiarly respectful attention as the most learned and one of the ablest champions of a cause in favour of which so much ability and learning are now enlisted. The historical re- search and the dialectical acumen by which he is distinguished are con- spicuously manifested in the work before us. Monetary history a field neglected by most economists has been cultivated by Mr. Horton with a rare diligence. His labours have been rewarded by the discovery of hid- den treasures. ****** Misinterpreted history is not the only idol of the market-place which Mr. Horton undertakes to clear away. The prepossession against a fixed par between silver and gold is largely due to an erroneous theory con- cerning the relation of law to the value of money. ****** At many other points the bimetallist leader attacks successfully the mono-metallist intrenchments. Nor can it reasonably be denied that he has carried at least the outworks of those defences all the loose mass of unfounded prejudices by which it has been sought to bar even the ap- proach to a consideration of the subject. It is another question whether he makes much impression on the interior lines of defence occupied by picked champions. From the WESTMINSTER REVIEW, September, 1887. A work of original historical investigation. Considering the dryness of the subject to all but experts, it is written in a style remarkably inter- esting, and even picturesque, as well as vigorous. Much historical infor- mation, which we believe to be practically new, is brought to light. We decline to express any opinion as to the bearing of this new information on the main question ; but undoubtedly it is important, and must be taken WESTMINSTER WORLD ATHEN^UM STATIST. into account by experts. * * * As we said, the work is chiefly historical ; but a valuable feature is the author's examination of the theories which he detects underlying and controlling monetary legislation. The lessons of history, as the author reads them, are clearly brought out and vigor- ously insisted on. From THE WOELD [London Weekly], July 13, 1887. A BOOK WORTH HEADING. * * * The position is so critical that we have invariably made a point of calling the attention of our readers to all pub- lications bearing on the question of currency, which seemed deserving of special notice. We deem it, therefore, to be simply our duty to briefly notice Mr. Dana Horton's latest work. After all that has been said and written on the silver question, it might seem almost impossible to pro- duce a work which takes fresh and novel departures, and approaches and treats the subject in an original and striking manner ; but in this respect Mr. Dana Horton has undoubtedly and admirably succeeded. * * * * * * It is positively refreshing to read this last treatise of Mr. Horton, and we feel certain that no thoughtful and reflecting mind can study ' ' The Silver Pound" without becoming not only himself convinced of the ab- solute correctness of the principles advocated, but without feeling him- self, as an honest and useful man, called upon to sow these principles broadcast. From THE ATHENAEUM [London Weekly], August 20, 1887. While, therefore, we share Prof. Jevons's high opinion of Mr. Horton's ability, and rank him " quite apart from the ordinary bi-metallists," we do not think that Mr. Horton has shown that Locke's judgment on the question before us differs from what we previously believed it to be ; but his readers may heartily thank Mr. Horton for the interesting and valua- ble historical investigation of which he has given them the benefit. From THE STATIST [London Weekly], July 30, 1887. It would be a mistake not to recognize that the writer is a student and scholar of rare worth. He is simply a gold mine of information regarding monetary history. No matter what the country is which has had such a history, Mr. Horton is at home in that history, has studied every mate- rial fact that can be ascertained, has dug up long-forgotten documents, and has, in fact, made it possible for the present generation, to compre- hend past monetary arrangements, and the circumstances in which they arose, unlike as these circumstances may have been to those of the pres- ent time. The present book constitutes a chapter of the history which much re- quires to be written. MAIL MONEY MORNING POST COURIER. For students, also, Mr. Horton's nice distinctions of the different meanings of the word Standard itself, and of other terms in monetary discussions, will be most useful. We should have liked the book better, of course, if it had not been written from a bi-metallist point of view (though Mr. Horton's bi-metallism, be it observed, is by no means of the Cernuschi type) ; but this difference of opinion ought not to prevent us "from acknowledging the really great value of the work to the student and the scholar. From the DUBLIN EVENING MAIL, August 3, 1887. Taken as a good historic statement of an intricate subject, the history of our British monetary system and its modifications up to the present time, we can cordially recommend this work. MONEY : A JOURNAL FOR INVESTORS AND SPECULATORS, AND REVIEW OF THE MONEY MARKET [London Weekly^ August 17, 1887. It would be difficult to conceive a more exhaustive contribution to the great monetary question of the age than this historical inquiry the out- come of painstaking researches by the greatest living authority on the subject. * * * Such a work as this is an invaluable aid to the attain- ment of a right conception of the pros and cons of the question at issue. It is a masterpiece, and will be regarded, not only at the present junc- ture, but for all time to come, as a standard work on our monetary policy. From THE LONDON MORNING POST, August 1, 1887. Ample justification for the prevailing ignorance as to the point of the dispute that is now raging in financial circles is contained in the first words of Mr. Horton's book, in which he gives nine definitions of " Standard" (in the monetary sense of the term) these being only " some of the various meanings attached to the word." From the MANCHESTER COURIER, July 29, 1887. There is probably no one on either Continent who can speak with greater authority on the currency question than Mr. S. Dana Horton. * * * This history -of English money is of a more exhaustive and com- plete character than any hitherto published. * * * Its publication comes at a most opportune moment, when the Koyal Commission on Gold and Silver is sitting, and when the thinking minds of the country are exercised to get a solution of the national monetary and commercial difficulties we are suffering from ; and Mr. Horton's book clears away much of the obscurity which has hampered a clear understanding of many important points, and furnishes a mass of information which demands the careful study of all who desire to be well informed on the subject. Indeed, the appearance of this book marks a new stage in the currency controversy. Hitherto the literature on the subject has been fragmentary. DAILY TELEGRAPH MANCHESTER GUARDIAN. This book, for the first time, places the whole controversy before the public in a complete form, giving theory as well as practice its proper place. From tlie London DAILY TELEGRAPH, July 13, 1887. There is matter for some painful reflection just at present in "The Silver Pound," a sketch of England's monetary policy since the Restora- tion. It deals with the traditions and virtues of good money at a mo- ment when our Mint has put forth a coinage which, so far as image and superscription go, is a disgrace to an artistic age, and a sorrow to numis- matists. ******* As such the volume cannot hope to interest everyone ; but to the in- itiated, who appreciate the rivalry of precious metals, and comprehend the fine perplexities of single and double standards, dual money and el- der systems, the author's researches must prove attractive. A History of the Guinea follows, and concludes what bears all the appearance of being a careful and erudite treatise on these difficult and complex sub- jects. /'"rom THE MANCHESTER GUARDIAN, /September 3, 1887. Mr. Horton has brought to light some most important facts which will undoubtedly expand our views as to the importance and the true objects of monetary legislation. In no other direction, probably, are the teachings of history so fatally neglected as in that of monetary legislation. The Act of 1816, by which for the first time in this country or anywhere else gold alone was made the sole standard of value, seems to be accepted by many as the final ex- pression of the wisdom taught by all previous experience. It was, in truth, a great experiment, the lessons of which we are just beginning to understand. From THE MANCHESTER GUARDIAN, October 8, 1887. That the best book which has appeared in our times on English mone- tary history should have been written by an American is, at first sight, not creditable to English economists. But there is a justifying explana- tion. In the United States currency questions have for many years been "living issues" in consequence of the existence of inconvertible war paper money from 18G2 to 1878, and the importance of arranging for the return to a specie basis after the war was ended. The situation was, in fact, not unlike that in which our forefathers stood during and after the Napoleonic wars. It is natural, therefore, that the more studious of American writers upon the problems immediately before them should have turned their attention to English experience for teaching and guidance. ****** To readers on this side the Atlantic this work is doubly valuable. It GUARDIAN BEACON CHRONICLE SPECTATOR HERALD. appears at a time when circumstances are rapidly forcing into prominence a currency problem in this country, and it sets forth precisely the kind of information which is absolutely indispensable to a clear understanding of it, at least on its historical side. From THE MANCHESTER GUARDIAN, October 11, 1887. The whole book will be read by all who occupy their minds with one of the most important, perhaps the most important, of the economic questions of our day. From THE BEACON, Boston, Maw., Sept. 10, 1887. Mr. Morton's " Silver and Gold" was published in 187H by Robert Clarke & Co. at Cincinnati : lie made weighty contributions to the Inter- national Monetary Conferences of 1878 and 1881, where he represented the American Government with consummate ability, to the confusion of the European inono-metallists ; and now he publishes " The Silver Pound, and England's Monetary Policy since the Restoration," together with the History of the Guinea. * * * It is extremely desirable that Congress, the members of the administra- tion, bankers, politicians, and students should read and master this noble monograph. * * * And even a mono-metallist will not wish to take leave of it without pay- ing a tribute of hearty admiration to the distinguished author, now un- questionably the greatest of "all American publicists. From THE FINANCIAL AND COMMERCIAL CHRONICLE [New York Weekly'], October 1, 1887. A very interesting volume. * * * It may turn out that Mr. Horton's book is timely in a wider sense than at first appeared. In any view, the sitting of the Royal Commission made the moment of its issue very op- portune. From the SPECTATOR, September 1st, 1887. Mr. Dana Horton, in a very elaborate style, and with a still more elab- orate array of historical research, delivers an attack on the gold standard. From THE GLASGOW HERALD, November 3, 1887. A very important addition to the literature of currency, and it should be carefully studied by all who desire to understand that complicated question. From the SATURDAY REVIEW [London Weekly}, Nov. 19, 1887. The case is now being argued as it ought to be, and thoroughly rea- soned out, and we may hope, though scarcely expect, that the Commission will come, in their Report, to a definite conclusion. * * * Mr. Horton in- SATURDAY REVIEW GRAPHIC. sists * * * inasmuch as gold was legally rated to silver under the mon- etary administration of Locke and Newton' both metals were equally money of the country. Mr. Horton says : Not only in England, but generally, silver was the standard. Both metals were money, but the fixed money, the rating money, so to speak, was silver ; the rated money was gold. Sir Robert Peel was, no doubt, misinformed. * * * Mr. Horton enumerates nine different senses of the word standard. * * * Ap- plying these definitions to Holland [it appears that] Holland has, at one and the same time, (5) a silver standard, (6) a silver arid gold standard, (7) a silver standard, (8) a gold standard, (9) a limping standard, accord- ing to the sense in which we use tin- word. No wonder that the argu- ments pro and con in the monetary controversy fall often <} tort et <'/ tra- vers, and that the arguers are mostly at cross-purposes with each other. The knights of the fable persist in looking some at the gold, some at the silver, side of the shield. * * * Mr. Horton concludes that there is a monetary solidarite between the nations, and a necessity pressing upon each of them to establish an accord on the principles and practice to be followed ; and he has much to say on the responsibility of England for the present dislocation, and her paramount interest in leading the way to a reasonable adjustment. * * * The whole book is well worth study, both by those who agree with Mr. Horton's conclusions' and by those who dissent from them. Both classes of readers will find much that is new to them, and much matter for reflection, and the quotation from Nicholas Oresme's tractate De mutationibus monetarum (1382) with which he concludes may well conclude our article : Se aucum doncques pour amour de verite enquei-re, vouldroit contre- dire a icelles ou escripre contre, bien sera, mais se j'ai mal parle porteige tesmognage du mal avec raison, affin qu'il ne soit veu pour neant et de sa singuliere voulente temerairement condemner ce que bonnement ne se peult impugner ne contredire. [If any one for the love of truth to be sought out shall desire to con- tradict these pages or to write against them, it is well. But if I have spoken ill let him bring evidence of the wrong, giving his reason, so that it be not seen that for naught and out of mere wilfulness one rashly con- demns that which cannot rightfully be impugned or contradicted.] From tJie London GEAPHIC, April 28, 1888. The "Silver Pound" is regarded as the most authoritative book on this subject ever written. 14 DAY USE TO DESK FROM WHICH BORROWED LOAN DEPT. RENEWALS ONLY TEL. NO. 642-3405 This book is due on the last date stamped below, or on the date to which renewed. Renewed books are subject to immediate recall. SEP 4UTODE [PIS'?" JUN 2197089 23 70 -2PM 83 1 199$ LD2lA-60m-3,'70 (N5382slO)476-A-32 General Library University of California Berkeley VC 24095 U. C. BERKELEY LIBRARIES