^ ^ .# \ ^_^ / ... \ c® y ccfi \ / /\ \ / > X (ffi^ V ( ► J^ / /\ \ SOVEREIGN AND QUASI-SOVEREIGN STATES: THEIR DEBTS TO FOREIGIV COUNTRIES. BT HYDE CLAKKE, V.P.S.S. lUjjrii^txl fmm the JoDRNAL OF THK Sx^TIBTlCAL SooA^^,^^ June, 1878. // ; *' ' ^ ^NIVEESITY' SECOND EDITION. ^-^^POB,^ LONDON : EFFINGHAM WILSON, ROYAL EXCHANGE. 1879. ^'\ K^ 3t^(r1i V On the Debts of Sovereign and Quasi-Sovereign States, Owing by Foreign Countries. By Hyde Clarke, V.P.S.S. [Read before the Statistical Society, 16th April, 1878*.] CONTENTS : PAGE I. — History of the Foreign Loan Markets, Jews, Lombards, Antwerp, Amsterdam, Paris 1 II. — London as an International Money Market 6 III. — Amount of holding in Foreign Loans 9 IV.— iMues of Foreign Loans in London from 1794 to 1878: Table 15 V. — Principles of Home and Foreign Investment ; Amounts Invested 1872-76 21 VI. — Do Foreign Investments in Loans promote thrift or extravagance ? Effect on the country 26 VII. — Amount of • Loans in Default, 1878, and Esti- mate of Default 31 VIII. — International Law and Proceilure against Sove- reig^n Debtors 33 IX. — Division of National Debts among Conquered States: Cases 10 I. It is amidst the growth of many States, and the wonderful develop- ment of the world, in America, on the Pacific, in Africa, and in Australia, that a vast extension of commerce has been seen. Among other things, large loan operations have been engaged in with various Governments, in which all the saving classes of England, France, Holland and Germany, have taken part. Means have thus been found for the constniction of railways and public works, in the United States, Mexico, Cuba, Peru, Chile, the Argentine States, Russia, Roumania, Turkey, Egypt, Java, China, and Japan. The permanent advancement of prosperity throughout the world has been promoted, accompanied by an enormous increase of production, and the opening of many markets for the consumption of manufactures. At the early period after the formation of the European States, loans were made to kings and princes by the Jews, on a system of copartnership lately termed syndicate. At a later period, these loans were made by the Lombard and Italian money-dealers, and the descendant of a Florentine banker, Peruzzi, still claims a principal sum, repudiated by one of the Edwards, and the compound interest upon it. 2 Hyde Claeke — On the Belts of Sovereign and Among other operations, the Greshams, nnder the title of the king's exchanger, appear to have been engaged in raising temporary loans at Antwerp, and its allied bourses. As late as 1800 United States dividends were paid at Antwerp, and there is still a small foreign bourse, but supplanted by Brussels. The merchants of the Hanse Towns and Low Countries had already been engaged in these operations in succession to the Italians, when the independance of Holland concentrated them in that country, which likewise became a refuge for the Jews driven out of Spain. The accession of William of Orange to the throne of England, by putting a stop to the naval rivalry, brought England again into its old and close relation with Holland, and on the establishment of the funding system here, the Hollanders took a large part in our consolidated debt, bank stock, and in India stocks. All through the last century, Holland was the great centre for the trade in foreign loans, one means by which that country was much enriched. In 1778, Holland was reputed to hold 62,000,000/. in the stocks of France, England, &c., bat this is doubtful. McCulloch in his " Taxation," p. 412, is wrong in his deductions from this as to the position of Holland, for the people of Holland continued to accumulate capital down to the French Revolution, but other countries grew more rapidly in population and production. The French Revolution, attended by wide repudiation, to a great degree destroyed this branch of accumulated capital, and the yoke of the Empire still further impoverished Holland. At the Great Peace, Holland was restored, but it was no longer in the same relative position, England in particular having largely grown. One class of operations of which we have an account, is for the then new United States, for which Holland was for some time the money market, and where United States railway bonds are still placed in conjunction with Frankfort. During the war the United States borrowed in Holland at 4 per cent., under the guarantee of the French court, 400,000/. This serves to show how moderate the rate of interest then was, and how the credit of France stood. Besides this loan before 1790 the United States had borrowed in Holland : — £ First loan, 5 per cent 440,000 Second „ 4 „ 200,000 Third „ 5 „ 100,000 Fourth „ 4 „ 100,000 It will be seen that the United States also had a good credit, and they upheld their engagements in Holland, although their Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing hy Foreign Countries, 3 finances were mnch embarrassed. In 1800 the foreign debt of the United States of which the dividends were payable at Amsterdam and Antwerp, was $10,000,000 (2,000,000/.) The last United States instalment on the Dutch debt was due in 1809. It may here be well to state that the Hollanders maintained their own integrity. While under the yoke of the French King, Louis Bonaparte, he reduced the debt of Holland to one third. On the Prince of Orange becoming king in 1814, one of the first acts was to restore the debt to its integral amount, although the Hollanders were not in a state to meet the whole interest. Holland still took part after the peace in foreign loans, particularly under the auspices of the Hopes, and the thrift and enterprise of its men and women, have furnished large means for such investments to the present day, but it has been in subordina- tion to England. One cause has been, that the individual loans have been beyond the compass of the market of Holland; and another, that the business of Frankfort and Hamburgh was carried on directly with London or Paris. Paris too became a rival in this branch of enterprise to Holland. After the revolution of July, Paris became a resort for the wealthy, not only as a city of pleasure, but as a refuge from the revolutions of Europe and the Spanish-American continent. It has been at times a capital of the Spanish-American race beyond Madrid. Habits of speculation, accompanying those of work, led the French middle class to afford means for such operations, and the more so as the solid advance of France reduced the home returns on money. Thus small loans could be placed on easier terms in Paris than in London, and Paris was always available to take a portion of a large loan. Paris too became the first stage in the advance of the German- Jewish money operators, who in time competed with the old financial houses, and launched schemes of a character most disastrous to the victims. In this again they were assisted by the formation of large institutions in France, nominally for banking, but in reality engaged in gigantic speculations in association with their directors. It may not bo out of place to say some words as to the Paris market. Under the first Napoleon it supplied large funds for the Empire. An operation recorded of that time, is that in 1811, the King of Saxony negociated there a loan of 12,000,000 frs. (480,000/.) on account of the Grand Duchy of Warsaw, on the security of the salt mines of Wolisla. He appears to have placed about 280,000/. On the restoration, the Paris market became quite prostrate, and could not find money for local purposes. On the 18th February, 1817, a contract was concluded by the b2 4 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and Frencli Government with the houses of Baring and Hope, for the sale of 400,oooZ. 5 per cent, rentes at the gross price of 55. On the 11th March a second agreement was made for 345,200?. on the same terms, and afterwards a third agreement with the two houses and with two French banks, for the sale of 360,000/. at 64 per cent. The commission on these transactions was 534,200/. at 2 J per cent., which came chiefly to the Barings and Hopes (Bernard Cohen, " Compendium of Finance," 1822, p. 11, and Wellington's Supple- mentary Despatches). On the 9th August, 1821, tenders were opened at Paris for 500,000/. rentes 5 per cent. The houses that tendered were Delessert and Hobtinguei* 85*55 Sartoris and GrefPulhe 84-60 Rothschild and Laffitte 84*25 Eicardo and Groves 84*02^ (Bernard Cohen, "Compendium," Appendix, p. 89). This shows well enough the nature of such operations, and what large resources they furnish for the houses engaged in them. By 1820 Paris had so far rallied that the house of Ardoin in conjunction with Hubbard, engaged in the series of Spanish loan operations. The Paris house of the Rothschilds placed its loans almost exclusively on the Paris market. Brussels may be regarded as a dependency on Paris and Frank- fort is closely in connection wdth it. Coming to England, we find that during the great war, the Stock Exchange was largely occupied with new English loans of all denominations, omnium, scrip, lottery tickets, long annuities, short annuities. One form of aiding foreign States was by loans, commonly guaranteed by England. On the peace, some foreign loans were issued for the adjustment of obligations, but it was the establishment of South American independence which led to the formation of numerous loans. It was the influence of Mr. Canning which largely affected the country. Great hopes were raised of the results to be obtained from enterprise in the countries of gold and silver, such as arose afterwards on the opening up of California and Australia. The results, indeed, ultimately proved great and remunerative. The loans for Mexico, Central America, Colombia, and Buenos Ayres, as weU as for Greece, were at a very early period repudiated. It was very easy to call a country a republic, but it was difficult to create citizens, and none the less so to constitute statesmen and administrators. Speedily the countries were the prey of political distractions and civil war. The money subscribed by the investors Quasi' Sovereign States, Giving hij Foreign Countries. 5 in England and Holland seldom got into the hands of the Govern- ments. The loans were manipulated by the secondary mercantile houses contracting them, and at the most some military stores or ships reached the nominal borrowers. The social misery produced by these defaults was great, for many families attracted by the high interest imperilled the greater part of their fortunes. Since then, although individuals have committed the same error of putting too many eggs into one basket, the main body of investors in England, Holland, and France, appear to have adopted the practice of distributing their risks. So far as the general English public were concerned, the foreign . loans of 1822-25 were a warning and a deterrent for some years, but other circumstances tended to make London a great money market. The revolutions following that of July, 1830, in France, drove many of the nobles and traders to look more to this country as a place of shelter for their wealth, nor was this effect lessened by the energy and prosperity which followed those events. Tlie emancipation of industry attendant on the reform administration in this country gave a greater impulse to our own operations, and strengthened the general spirit of enterprise, and forgetfulness of the old repudiatory tendencies of our American correspondents, and the manifold material progress of our kinsmen, rendered it possible again to appeal for funds for various loans and under- takings. II. Thus for the last half-century this country has become the chief centre for foreign loans. This is not on the vulgar faith that John Bull's enormous wealth enables him to supply money to all foreigners, but because this has become the great centre for lending the money of foreigners to foreigners, as Holland formerly was. One chief element of this condition, is the peace and the attendant political stability of England, a« compared with the cotmtries of the continent. The great material prosperity of Europe until the late crisis does not diminish this influence, but provides further funds for its maintenance. The greater a market the greater it must under the same circumstances become. London is consequently, notwithstanding the attractions of Paris, the chief seat of the money-dealing houses, and the greater facility of the naturalisation laws, the emancipation of the Jews, the power of purchasing lands, the non-existence of a close nobility, the absence of social obstacles, all tend to encourage the residence of those, whom a disagreeable climate and the want of Parisian attractions might deter. 6 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and The reception on the continent of the pound sterling in gold as a fixed standard has very much to do with the preference of London as a seat of financial operations. The attempts to place other countries on the same footing as England by the demonetisa- tion of silver in Germany, France, &c., have not been attended with a feeling of assurance as compared with England. There is also no fear abroad of the displacement of the pound sterling by a paper currency, which has played so disastrous a part in many countries. While England was still regarded with respect on the con- tinent as a power able and willing to maintain her own rights, there was always a belief that any undertaking under the English name was safe. Although this belief is diminished so far as the English Government is concerned, there is a feeling in favour of an English status for international loans on other grounds. In Paris the Bourse is a dependency of the ministry, attended by a commissary of police, and requiring the fiat of the minister for the resolutions of its committee. Elsewhere the bourses, except at Amsterdam, cannot rely on freedom from adminis- trative intervention. In Paris and other places the restrictions of the police on political meetings, constitute an impediment in the holding of assemblies of aggrieved bondholders, and interfere with organisation. The newspapers not being provided with short- hand writera, give no adequate report of the proceedings. In London the powerful daily papers (the " Times " not allowing political topics to prevent the discharge of such a duty), and the financial papers give more space to such proceedings than a Parisian journal does to those of its legislature. The Stock Exchange in London, being free from administrative intervention, is able to act with effect. When in 1868 the Austrian Government made an arbitrary conversion of the two Anglo- Austrian loans of the Messrs. Rothschild, and of a Franco- Austrian loan, the Council of Foreign Bondholders was able to obtain from the Stock Exchange the removal from the ofiicial list of all Austrian securities as a penalty in 1869. The French ambassador was pretending to make the most violent representa- tions at Vienna, and the Syndicate of the French Bourse were allowed to proceed with the case of grievance ; but when they passed the like resolution as the Stock Exchange, the whole matter came to an end. The minister did not give his signature, and the resolution was abortive. It was supposed that the Emperor Napoleon had used this affair as a part of his system of concessions to the court of Austria to engage them in the French alliance, and the interests of holders of French bonds were consequently abandoned. England having taken the chief hand in ocean steam navigation, Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing by Foreign Countries. 7 it became the main seat of the gold and silver market, and the extended use of gold has favoured this tendency, notwitnstanding that French subsidised steamers now compete with ours n tne East and the West. The bullion is, however, largely imported on foreign account, and passes of course to the continent, which gives rise to ill-founded comments and statistics as to gold leaving us or being taken for the continent. The small French, Genoese, and Catalan shopkeepers of South America, as they cannot ship produce, prac- tically ship bullion, which in the end has other destinations than London. The operations of London as a bullion market, have a further tendency to give it supremacy as a money market. This is also favoured by exchange on London being preferred by bill pur- chasers abroad to exchange on Amsterdam, Hamburgh, or even on Paris. London has, in fact, such advantages as a market, that in cases where the loan is really a foreign one,* and taken up on foreign account, it has been found worth while to pay an English house a very large commission to lend its name for the issue. This was so with an Hungarian loan which had been taken by a German syndicate, and which, by being made of London issue, became worth 2 per cent. more. Other cases of this kind have occurred when an enormous price has been paid for the loan of a London name, ten times more than would have been given for an ordinary commercial transaction. In most instances, parties who have received such commission, have bitterly regretted it. One of the largest houses was offered 80,000/. for lending its name to a loan, which was all subscribed, and on which there could be no apparent risk. Such practices of using names have been consequent on what is called the " syndicate " system. The name is new, but the practice has always subsisted ; but, in reality it is now applied under such circumstances as to bring about some new results. The practice was in Holland, and in this country, to form combinations of houses for a loan transaction. Then each house applied to friends and customers to co-operate, dividing conmiissions with such sub- scribers. Such was the case in competitions for English loans in the beginning of this century between the Goldsmids and the Barings. The great houses continued this practice of making a list for a new loan, and giving their customers the opportunity of becoming original subscribers. The consequence was, that the Barings or Bothschilds were, by the very nature of circumstances, bound to stand by their friends and customers. It will be seen that the old lists were formed of investors customarily associated with a firm of standing and reputation. The later syndicates consisted of capitalists and speculators all over 8 Hyde Claeke — On the Debts of Sovereign and Europe, -wliose object was to pay no money, and make the largest amount of profit by every means. The chief of the operators was possibly not in a position to bring out the loan, even if the publi- cation of his name would not have been a sufficient warning to the public to have nothing to do with it. Hence originated the practice of getting a mercantile house to issue a loan for a commission, as they would have carried on the shipment of produce, its assurance or any commercial transaction. While the old financial firms called themselves contractors for the loan, the firms acting on commissions styled themselves agents, and scrupulously professed to be no more, and to be acting only on the account of others. The public did not know the difference, but when the early default took place, the bondholder on application was told that the house were only agents on behalf of someone in Frankfort or elsewhere, and that they had had no original con- nection with the loan, knew nothing of the country for which it was raised, had no influence there, and left to others to exert themselves for the fulfilment of the conditions. Whereas formerly only a few houses of stability were engaged in loan transactions : of late, all kinds of persons have been so occupied, not to the public benefit. A circumstance which has favoured the issue of foreign loans in London, as compared with other markets, consists in the facilities offered by the London Stock Exchange, and the lax administration of the criminal law. While the Stock Exchange has justly earned the confidence of continental investors by its severity on foreign governments guilty of breach of engagements, it has afforded facility and even countenance to the operations of adventurers. The unchecked freedom of transactions is seldom surpassed in any foreign market, but the constitution of the London Stock Exchange as a close market has enabled its committee to give currency to loan transactions supposed to have been examined and approved. The representations made to the committee as to amounts subscribed, are now known not to have been always well founded, and its machinery has consequently been applied to cover fraud. These facts were too well known to persons on the continent, and the absence of a public prosecutor, or rather the non-execution of his functions as such by the Attorney- General and Lord Advo- cate, gave this country the preference for the issue of any schemes. Even in Paris, lax as was the administration of the Empire, the authors of one of the defaulting loans were placed in custody. Unfortunately all the loans issued in London were not raised for reproductive purposes, or under honest agency. This class of business attracted the attention of a set of unscrupulous prac- titioners who found London and Paris convenient centres for Quad- Sovereign States^ Owing hj Foreign Countries. 9 action, and whose proceedings in some instances were nothing bnt swindling. The fair conduct of those governments, which had raised loans through the great houses of the Barings and Rothschilds, or other respectable mercantile agencies, had induced many to place their money with advantage in foreign loans. The new competitors for this business also assumed an English garb ; abroad they passed as English bankers and merchants ; in reckless scheming, they were abetted by unprincipled adventurers from the United States. Agents of the so-called London houses offered enormous bribes to the presidents and officials of the South American States, and to the ministers of European Powers, to grant railway contracts or to issue loans. The looseness and corruption of the imperial regime in France, and the indifference of the English police authorities, allowed nefarious frauds, by persons of criminal antecedents, to pass unchallenged. Thus the materials were laid for a scene of unparalleled disaster, which is most inade- quately depicted in the report of the House of Commons Committee on Foreign Loans (from the investigations of which Committee several notorious cases were excluded), and which has inflicted not only pecuniary, but moral and even physical distress, on every family of Western Europe which had the industry to secure and the thrift to save. Of the extent of this disaster no statistical estimate can be truly formed, figures may be given, but their true bearing at present we do not know. The evidence of abuse has no necessary connection with use, nor is it in contradiction to it. The heavy losses of individuals throughout Western Europe, from investments in foreign loans, have called attention strikingly to the subject, but they are not conclusive as to the commercial relations of foreign loans. Indeed the most serious losses will be found to be consequent on fraudu- lent transactions ; and whatever freedom may be allowed to trade in a well-ordered community, it is an agreed principle that no freedom should be allowed to fraud ; which is not to be dealt with by economical principles, but is within the domain of politics, to be dealt with on other considerations. IIL In 1871 the late R. Dudley Baxter, F.S.S., read before the Society a paper on National Debts. This contains some interesting matters on the growth of the debts of several States. With regard to the amount invested in foreign loans, Mr. Qiffen has attempted to ascertain this in his paper on recent accumulation of capital in the United Kingdom, read before the Statistical Society, 15th January, 1878. 10 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and This he has not succeeded in to his own satisfaction, and if the subject has baffled one so well able to deal with it, it may be conceived there are difficulties. In his Table V, he makes the total amount of interest in 1878 in foreign funds, to be 40,250,000/.; it appears he takes the value at about 400,000,000/. This to my mind does not appear to be any exaggeration for any practical purpose of general comparison. It is most likely 500,000,000/. or 600,000,000/. nominal. Mr. Ernest Seyd (paper on " Our Wealth, in Relation to Imports " and Exports, and Causes of the Decline in the Latter," " Society "of Arts Journal," 5th April, 1878, p. 406), says of our "inter- " national " wealth in foreign State stocks and colonial stocks, that in 1872 we held an amount which may be stated at 650 millions. In colonial, continental, American and other railway and public works, shares or debentures, the amount held by us is estimated at 210 millions. The " Economist " (6th April, 1878, p. 396) says that it would appear from the statements published from time to time in the " Investor's Monthly Manual," that the amounts invested by the English public have not been less probably than 275 millions in the last four years. What this means does not, however, appear, for in the same time a large amount of stock has been disposed of. Mr. Giffen, it will be seen, rates the annual income on foreign funds at 40 millions. We shall now see what the holders are repre- sented to return to the Government. While writing this paper a parliamentary return has appeared, being a return of the Annual Value of property assessed to income tax under Schedule C, distinguishing the amounts assessed on dividends from British, Indian, Colonial, and Foreign stocks, in the years 1876-77, in continuation of Parliamentary Paper No. 209 of session 1874. The return has not come into my hands, but it is published in the "Economist," with the parallel returns of 1874 (6th April, p. 396). This I reproduce with several corrections of my own, which put it in a better shape, and alter the figures of increase and decrease. Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing hy Foreign Goimtries. 11 Colonies and Coontries. Year ended 6th April, 1877. Amount of Dividends and Annuities Charged to Income Tax under Schedule C. Total. Year ended 5th April, 187S. Amount of Dividends and Annuities Charged to Income T;uc under Schedule C. Total. Increase upon 1873. British Indian Colonial, viz. — Canada Gibraltar Cape Colony Natal .: Sierra Leone New South Wales Queensland South Australia .... Victoria Western Australia Tasmania New Zealand Ceylon Mauritius Antigua British Guiana .... Dominica Grenada Jamaica St. Kitts St. Lucia Trinidad St. Helena Foreign, viz. — Europe — Austria Belgium Denmark France Greece Italy Netherlands Portugal Rouraania Russia Spain Sweden Turkey Asia — China Japan . Africa — Egypt Morocco Tunis £ i,oi6,8i6 1,104 H7,835 33.429 3,000 475.343 280489 167,308 694.239 70 45.977 752,987 34.728 62.374 1,710 4.092 300 280 14.492 324 1,851 5.371 987 644,778 8,u6 8,664 60,907 2,000 144.965 475 438,723 96,784 2,360,872 169,505 92.530 386,604 44.698 212,833 .739468 6,992 347 £ 20,829,281 7,068,327 8,765,106 755,089 1.320 119.390 17,214 1.491 447,777 186,244 102,914 582,247 48,761 436,389 40.959 64,818 1,608 13480 280 14,010 432 720 3.867 766 115,942 28 16,662 259.194 2,130 157.271 1,496 350,480 118,972 1.825,355 759.066 57,795 1.747,657 73.440 1,308,311 12,093 75 £ 21,160,480 7,032,247 2,830,776 £ 36,080 271,727 28445 16,215. 1,509 27,566 94.245 64.394 111,992 70 316,598 300 J^82 1,131 1,504 221 528,836 8,088 88,243 535.517 34,535 44,698 139.393 431,157 272 12 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and Year ended 5th AprU, 1877. Year ended 5th April, 1878. Increase upon 1873. Colonies and Countries. Amount of Dividends and Annuities Charged to Income Tax under Schedule C. Total. Amount of Dividends and Annuities Cliarged to Income Tax under Schedule C. Total. Decrease upon 1873. America — Argentine Republic . . Brazil . , . £ 476,923 737,910 351,950 62,529 8,426 24 171 256,820 1,749 £ 8,315,563 £ 402,190 533,398 217,359 44,646 2,220 117,652 450,474 209,095 161,205 101,013 107,323 10,781 152,659 6,687 18,324 £ 9,340,993 £ 74,733 204,512 134,591 17,883 6,206 47,725 £ Chili Colombia (South "1 America) J Guatemala — Paraeruav 117,628 450,303 Peru United States Uruffuav 159,456 101,013 107,323 10,781 152,659 6,687 18,324 Eeturns given in 1874 hut omitted in 1878. Foreign — Bolivia Costa Rica Xiiberia St. Domingo Total . . 39,968,277 40,373,496 3,268,970 3,674,189 In this case we have an exhibition of figures in great detail, but they only aggravate our difficulties. It is evident the return of United States stock cannot be correct, nor that of French ; and those for the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, and Denmark are very doubtful. Figures possibly nearly correct are China, Japan, Morocco, Tunis, Argentine, Brazil, Chile, Columbia (less Dutch holding), and Uruguay. As against decrease allowance must be made for sinking fund operations on Russia, China, Japan, Egypt, Morocco, Argentine, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, and purchase by the United States. From the return it is impossible to ascertain how far railway stocks are included under Russia, Roumania, Sweden, Argentine, Brazil. These figures, including loans in default, only account for about 200 millions capital and 1 1 millions of yearly dividends. Accord- ing to these figures the yearly loss at present would be only about 3,000,000/. Any calculation of profit or loss must be in proportion to the Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing hy Foreign relation of these foreign investments to the whole country. The precise nature and extent of the operations carried on in the London loan market cannot be ascertained or appreciated. In the tables included in this paper, large figures are dealt with, but they afford no totals, for the real value of the figures cannot be ascertained. If for instance we know the amount of a loan issued in this market, it does not help us, as a considerable portion has always been on foreign account, for Hollanders, Spaniards, &c., and of late years for Germany. Then as an international exchangeable paper is created, this is always floating to and fro. The mode in which money has been taken up is sometimes obscure, for it has not been always by direct subscription here. In the case of some of the American State loans, dollar bonds have been mortgaged here, and a portion sold to private holders, which have never come into the market. One highly respectable firm has during many years placed among its own connections many small American railway and town loans. In 1837, if not before, a system was in operation in the London market which has since been carried out directly and indirectly on a large scale. Already the stability of England had drawn atten- tion to the advantages of this market. As most of the stocks of Europe were what is called internal stocks, like consols, they were only payable in the national capitals. They were in bonds to bearer, then little used in England, as the policy of fiscal admi- nistration and of legislation favoured nominal subscriptions, or holdings in the name of the investor, only changeable by a formal transfer ; whereas in France and on the continent bonds and shares to bearer were largely adopted. It is right to note that the facilities since given in this respect have produced the same result here as on the continent, in favouring investment and consequently enterprise and thrift, and also as a consequence, fraud. *' Nominal " holdings, it is to be noted, can only be redeemed by purchase in the market, or by redemption of a whole loan. Thus the process of redemption is not encouraged. With bonds to bearer, besides the other two modes of redemption, redemption can take place by drawings, large or small. It occurred to financiers here that foreign internal stocks might be made available here, and at the same time an opportunity be afforded for English operations in them. Mr. John Field, in his able edition of " Fortune on the Funds," for 1838, observes with regard to Dutch Five per Cents.: — " Many persons entertain an oltjection to any fluctuation in the amount of their dividend, and such may secure the payment of their coupons at the fixed rate of zl. IS. 3(2. each, by the purchase of bonds with an English sheet attached to 14 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and them, in the following form: — 1837. Dutch Five per Cent. Loan. Fl. i,ooo capital, payable half-yearly, on the 1st April and 1st October of each year. The undersigned hereby give notice that the coupons or dividend-warrants belonging to the accompanying bond, payable in Holland, commencing October 1st, 1837, and ending April Ist, 1847, will, after receipt of the interest in Holland, also be (at the option of the holder) payable at their office in London, at the fixed rate of two pounds one shilling and three pence sterling for each coupon of twenty-five guilders of the present currency of Holland. — Signed, D. & J. Salomons. " " It will be observed," says Mr. Field, " that the advantage of any alteration in the exchange above the fixed rate is hereby given to the holder of these bonds, the premium on which ranges at present from i to i i per cent.*' This process was largely adopted for the sale of what were called Russian Metalliques. For several years portions of successive loans to cover the deficiencies in the Russian budgets were thus made saleable in this market, exclusive of direct loans. After the Crimean war numerous loans and railway loans were issued in a direct form. This process was adopted for an Austrian loan by Messrs. Rothschild, and is thus described in 1838 by Mr. Field, in " Fortune " on the Funds :"~ "Austrian Five per Cents. — Dividends due 1st May and 1st November, payable at Vienna and at "N. M. Rothschild & Son. Bonds of i,ooo florins each, or 100^. sterling, at the Jixed exchange ofjl, lo per pound sterling. " The dividends on this stock are payable at the Treasury, Vienna, in effective conventional florins ; but the plan of a fixed dividend, payable at appointed agents, has been found so palatable to the English public, that advantage has been taken of it to circulate, from time to time, portions of tlie Metalliques by attaching to the German bonds an English sheet, containing an engagement on the part of Messrs. Rothschild to pay the dividends, when due, at the said fixed exchange of fl. lo per pound sterling, or 2Z. 10*. per coupon." The Italian loan of 1863, raised by the House of Rothschild, was only offered on the London market to the extent of 3,000,000/. The loan, however, was for 28,000,000/., and as the coupons were made payable in Turin, Paris, and London, at the exchange of 25*30 frs. per pound sterling, the effect is that the whole of the loan of 28,000,000/. is available for sale in this market, or the whole of a half-year's coupons of 700,000/. may become payable here. This is a very good illustration of many of the later operations, and of the consequent diflBculty in dealing with the figures. The London market has great advantages for transactions in which security and convertibility are the chief requisites. It has thus happened for a long period, and more particularly since the prevalent use of bonds to bearer, that the preference is given to paper having coupons paid in London. In ordinary times the paper is kept at home, and the coupons sold or remitted to London. In times of political alarm the paper is deposited in London, and the coupons received there on holder's account and at his disposal. At all times the bonds are a convenient document for remittance Quad- Sovereign States, Ovnng hy Foreign Countries. 15 from market to market, being of general acceptance, and having the London standard. There is, however, one possible danger in times of panic here, that it may be impossible for English holders to sell in the London market, as a number of foreign sellers offering may still further depress prices and paralyse the market. IV. The following table shows the issues in the London market, so far as it is possible to describe them : — [OOCt omitted.] Tear of luae. 1794 1797 1803 1810? 1^17 1818 1823 1824 Bate of Interest. Per cnt. 3 3 6 Name of State. Total Amount of lioan Contracted for. Germany, Empire. Germany, Empire. United States Portugal France Prussia Chili Colombia Denmark Peru Austria .. Portugal Brazil Buenos Ayres Colombia Greece Mexico Naples Peru £ 4,6oo, 1,620, 895. 5»ooo, 1,000, 2,000, 3.000, I,iOO, 3.5oo» 3.300, 1,500, 1,686, 1,000, 4.750, 800, 3.200, 2,500, Balance 182, Amount of Loan Issued in l.#ondon.* £ 4,500, 1,620, 1,000, 2,000, 2,000, 450, 3,500, 3,600, 1,500, 1,686, 1,000, 4,750. 800, 3,200, 2,500, • 750, Price of Issue. Per cnt. {Ts} 70 84 { 77* 82 87 "{ 85 m 59 58 9»* 82 Agents for Issue. Boyd, Benfield, and Co. Boyd, Benfield, and Co. London, Amsterdam, and Paris, for Louisiana Appears to have been made from Sinking Fund, but sold separately Sale of Rentes by Barings and Hopes Rothschild and Sons ITullett Brothers and Co. Herring, Graliam, and Powles r A. F. Haldemand and 1 B. F. Goldsclmiidt f Fry and Chapman Rothschild and Sons Rothschild and Sons Rotliscliild and Sons Thomas Wilson and Co. Baring Brothers B. A. Goldnchmidt and Co. A. Lauglnnan and Co. B. A. Goldschmidt and Co. Rothschild and Sons Fry and Chapman • When the exact amount is not stated, the full amount is giren as issued in London. t Partly issued in 1845. 16 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and [OOO's omitted.] Rate of Interest. Per cnt. 5 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 3 5 5 5 4^ 5 4i 4 4^ 4i Name of State. Total Amount of Loan Contracted for. Brazil Denmark Grreece G-uatemala. Mexico Peru Spain Brazil Portugal.. Russia .. Portugal Greece .. Portugal Russia .. Portugal Spain-Cuba Spain Portugal Belgium. Florida' . Portugal Portugal^ .. Spain-Cuba Brazil ChiK Brazil Denmark Denmark Russia .. Sardinia, Austria Brazil... Sweden Peru £ 2,000, 5,500, 1,000, 2,000, 1,429,8s. 3,200, 616, 600, 800, 2,000, 6,000, 600, 2,344, 2,000, 3,000, 1,000, 450, 4,000, 6,000, 1,200, 200, 900, 1,000, 113, 313, 757, 732, 800, 800, 5,500, 3,563, 3,500, 1,041, 450, 2,600, 400, Amount of Loan Issued in London. £ 4,000, 3,500, 2,000, 167, 3,200, 616, 600, 800, 2,000, 600,* 2,344, 2,000, 3,000, 1,000, 450, 4,000, 6,000, 1,200, 200, 900, 1,000, 113, 313, 757, 732, 150, 800, 5,500, 3,563, 2,250, 1,041, 450, 2,600, 400, Price of Issue. Per cnt. 85 75 56i 73 89i 78 54 48 94 60 70 92 80 78 85 86 90 93 85 90 95 93 Agents for Issue. Rothschild and Sons Thomas Wilson and Co. See 1822 Ricardo and Co. Barclay, Herring, and Co. ,, Pry and Chapman Thomas and William King Ricardo and Co. Baring Brothers Ricardo and Co. Rothschild and Sons Ricardo and Co. Baring Brothers I. L. Groldsmid Wright Ardoin and Ricardo Rothschild and Sons T. Wilson and Co. I. L. Groldsmid I. L. Goldsmid Thomas and Wilham King Baring Brothers Sir I. L. Goldsmid C. J. Hambro and Son C. J. Hambro and Son Baring Brothers C. J. Hambro and Son Rothschild and Sons Rothschild and Sons Palmer, McKillop, and Den C. de Murieta and Co. C. J. Hambro and Son J. Hegan and Co. * Indemnity of bonds issued to meet claims. Quasi- Sovereign States^ Omng hy Foreign Countries, [fX)0'8 omitted.] 17 Rate of Interest Per cut. 4 4 4i 4i 4* 3 5 4i 4i 4 7 7 5 4i 3 5 6 4i 6 5 3 5 5 7 4* 5 5 Name of State. Turkey . Turkey . Sardinia , Brazil... Chili ... Sweden Turkey Russia .. Alabama Brazil.. Ruseia Denmark Egypt (first issue) „ (second „ ) Italy Morocco , Peru Portugal Russia Turkey Brazil Colombia Confederate States Italy , Portugal Danubian Princi- palities Denmark Egypt.. Mexico (Anglo- French) J Russia (Anglo- \ Dutch) J Sweden Brazil. Italy . Total Amount of Loan Contracted for, 3, COO, 2,000, 1,5*7, 1,229, 5,ooo, 7,ooo, lOO, i,373» 8,ooo, 2,195. 1,098, 1,782, 501, 5,000, 15,000, 8.000. 3,820, 200, 3,000, 28,000, 2,500, 916, 1,200, 728, 5,704, 12,365, 6,000, 2,223, 6,800, 8,000, Amount of Loan Issued in London. 3,000, 5,000, 1,527, 1,555, 1,229, f 4,380, I 620, 4,000, 100, 1,373, 6,000, 660, 2,195, 1,098, 1,888, 601, 6,600, 6,000, 16,000, 8,000, 8,820, 200, 8,000, 8,000, 1,260, 916, 1,200, 728, 6,704, 8,000, 6,000, 2,223, 6,800, 8,000, Price of Issue. Per cut, 80 102I 100 96 92 94i 85 62i 66\ 90 92 91 84i 74 S5{ 93 44 94 68 1 88 86 90 { 71 48 86 j 93 94i 93 ..{ •'{ 92i 74 77i Agents for Issue. Dent, Palmer, and Co. Rothschild and Sons Rothschild and Sons Baring Brothers Ricardo and Co. V Dent, Palmer, and Co. Thomson, Bonar, and Co. Reid Irving and Co. Rothschild and Sons Baring Brotliers C. J. Hambro and Son Friihling and Gosehen », C. J. Hambro and Son Robinson and Fleming P. P. Blyth Heywood, Kennard, and Co, Knowlea and Foster Rothschild and Sons Ottoman Bank C. Devaux and Co, Rothschild and Sons London and County Bank Schroder and Co. Erlanger and Co. Rothschild and Sons Stern Brotliers Ottoman Bank Stem Brothers C. J. Hambro and Son Raphael and Son Friihling and Goechen Glyn, Millsj and Co. Int. Fin. Society Credit Mobil ier Society Baring Brothers Hope and Co.* J. H. Schr5der and Co. Rothschild and Sons r General Credit and Fi- \ nance Company • Partly issued in Amsterdam. 18 Hyde Clarke — O71 the Debts of Sovereign and [OOO's omitted.] Rate of Interest. Per cnt. 5 6 4i{ .i{ Name of State. Total Amount of Loan Contracted for. Peru Turkey Austria Argentine Con- "1 federation J Chili j> Egypt Egypt (by deben-1 tures) J Russia Chili Danubian Princi- 1 palities J Egypt Honduras Holland (Dutch- "I Indian E ail way) j Portugal Russia (Nicolay | Railway, first > issue) J Russia (railway) .... Tunis..! Massachusetts Argentine Con- "I federation j Egypt Hungary Italy Russia (railway) .... » •••• Sweden Alabama ;. Guatemala Italy Holland (Dutch- 1 Indian Railway) J Peru (Pisco to Yea \ Railway) J Portugal £ lOjOOO, 6,000, 14.584. 550. 450. 1,121, 3.387, 3,000, 6,000, 2,000, 1,264, 2,080, 339, 12,000, 1,694, 4,500, 4,000, 413, 1,950, 11,890, 8,512, 9,405, 1,920, 4>349, 1,716, 1,150, 1,044, 500, 5,200, 398, 290, 12,000, Amount of Loan Issued in London. £ 9,000, 6,000, 550, 450, 627, 1,694, 3,000, 6,000, 2,000, 1,264, 2,080, 1,000, 339, 5,500, 12,200, 4,500, 4,000, 413, 1,950, 11,890, 8,513, 9,405, 1,920, 2,000, 1,300, 1,150, 1,044, 500, 5,200, 398, 290, 12,000, Price of Issue. Per cnt. 83* 66^ 92i 9i 90 92 86| 84 71 90 1 80 1 89 38i 6,1 77i 63 77 72^ 75 7it 81^ 78 80 80 90 81 7oi 73i 912 71 32i Agents for Issue. Thomson, Bonar, and Co.* Ottoman Bank Agra Bank Baring Brothers Hope and Co. Thomson, Bonar, and Co. Morgan and Co. Anglo-Egyptian Bank Friihling and Q-oschen Baring Brothers Hope and Co. J. S. Morgan and Co. Friihling and Goschen Ottoman Bank Oppenheim and Co. Bischoffsheim and Gold- schmidt Holstman and Co. Stern Brothers Baring Brothers Hope and Co. Baring Brothers, Continen- tal Firms t Thomson, Bonar, and Co. E. Erlanger and Co.J Baring Brothers J Baring Brothers \Hope and Co.§ Ottoman Bank London and County Bank Stem Brothers Baring Brothers Raphael and Sons J. H. Schroder and Co. Raphael and Sons J. H. Schroder and Co.jj Thomson, Bonar, and Co. Anglo-Italian Bank Samuel Montague and Co. Thomson, Bonar, and Co. Stern Brothers * A conversion operation. f Placed chiefly abroad. J A conversion. § A conversion of 1866 loan. || Partially issued in America. Quasi- Sovereign States^ Owivg by Foreign Countries. 19 [OOO's omitted.] Rate of Interest Vtme of State. Total Amount of Loan Contracted for. Amount of Loan Issued in London. Price of Issue. Agents for Issue. Per cut. '{ 6 6 "{ ] Boumania (Bu charest to Giur gevo Railway) Roumania (railway) Russia CNicolay "j Railway, second V issue) J Santo Domingo Turkey Alabama (gold). Buenoe Ayres . Cliili Egypt France Honduras Japan Peru Massachusetts Roumania (iron "I bridges) J Boumania (rail- 1 way bridges) .... J Russia Spain (quicksilver) Argentine Republic Brazil Costa Rica (first! issue) J Costa Bica (second 1 issue) J France Hungary Liberia Louisiana (LiTie) Holland (Dutch- 1 Indian Bailway) j Paraguay Bussia Spain (national 1 lands) / Turkey Uruguay Bolivia Costa Bica. Entre Bios. £ 1,500, 11,110, 758> 22,222, 400, J.035, J.OI3, 7,i4»i 10,000, 3^.500, 1,000, 11,920, 620, 434. 600, 1 2,000, 2.318, 6,122, 3.400. 500, 500, 80,000, 3,000, 100, 400, 189, 1,000, 1 2,000, 2/23, 5.700, 3.500, 1,700, 2,400, ii7. £ 435.V- 1,500, 11,110, 758, 22,222, 400, 1,035, 1,013, 7,142, 10,000, 2,500, 1,000, 11,920, 620, 434, 600, 12,000, 2,318, 6,112, 8,400, 600, 600, 3,000, 100, 4,000, 189, 1,000, 12,000, 2,623, 6,700, 3,500, 1,700, 1,496, 227, Per cnt. 90 71J -{ 6oi 94* 88 83 78* 80 «{ 98 82i 87 86 72 80 80 SH 89 1 74 J 82i 81 ^K 84! 90* 80 8it 80 73 72 68 90 C. Devaux and Co. Anglo-Austrian Bank Baring Brothers Hope and Co. Lawson and Son E. Hartmon and Co. r Comptoir d'Eseompt^ \ Louis Cohen and Sons J. H. Schroder and Co. C. de Murrieta and Co. J. S. Morgan and Co. {Bischoflsheim and GK)ld- schmidt J. S. Morgan and Co. Bischoffsheim and Qold- sclimidt, Lefcvn> J. H. Schroder and Co. » Baring Brothers C. Devaux and Co. Anglo- Austrian Bank Rothschild and Sons C. de Murrieta and Co. Rothschild and Sons BischofTshcim and Gold- schmidt r Baring Brothers \ Rothflcliild and Sons Kaj)hiiel and Sons Holderncss.Nott, und Co.f Robinson and Fleming Samuel Montague and Co. Robinson and Fleming Rothschild and Sons Stem Brothers Dent, Palmer, and Co. Tliomson, Bonar, and Co. Lumb, Wanklyn, and Co. Knowles and Foster E. Erlangcr and Co.f C. de Murrieta and Co. • Withdrawn. There was no published agency liouse for this loan, but Messrs. Bisclioff- hoim and Goldschmidt were employed to lake charge of the bonds. f Not wholly placed. 20 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and [OOO's omitted.] Rate of Interest. Per cnt. 8 5 5 5 9 6 5 3 6 7 5 5 5 4i 4i 4^ 4i 5 4i 6 3 5 4 4i 44 Name of State. Paraguay Peru Russia ... Honduras loan) ... (ship Russia (railway) Turkey Buenos Ayres Chili Egypt .. Hungary Japan Russia Turkey United States Argentine Republic Belgium Hungary Santa Fe Turkey Brazil ChiU Russia Sweden Massachusetts Total Amount of Loan Contracted for. China Sweden Norway Portugal United States China Hungary Portugal Turkey United States Sweden Norway 2,000, 36,000, I5.COO, 15,000, 1,760, 11,126, 2,041, 2,277, 32,000, 5,400, 7,500, 2,400, 15,000, 27,778, 1,440, 7,500, 300, 40,000, 5,000, 1,900, 15,000, ' 982, 310, 275, 2,000, 1,320, Amount of Loan Issued in Loudon. 306, 1,604, 8,000, 6,500, 5,000, 343'i6 i'7oo 562, 15,000, 15,000, 15,000, 1,760, 11,126, 2,041, 2,277, 5,400, 7,500, 2,400, 15,000, 8,000, 358,^ 1,440, 7,500, 300, 15,900, 5,000, 1,138, 15,000, 982, 310, 275, 1,500, ] 3,200, 306, 1,604, 8,000, 6,500, 5,000, Price of Issue. Per cnt. 85 77i 89 80 874 98i 98* 94 { 84i 92i 93 58! I02f 80 75i 912 92 432 34316 1-700 96i 92 964 964 834 98 { 83I 50 52 97-2- 95 Agents for Issue. Robinson and Fleming / J. H. Schroder and Co. \ Stern Brothers Rothschild and Sons C. J. Hambro and Son Raphael and Sons Baring Brothers Oriental Banking Corpora- tion f Bischoffsheim and Gold- \ Schmidt Raphael and Sons RothschUd and Sons /Oriental Banking Coi-po- \ ration Rothschild and Sons Ottoman Bank Baring Brothers, «&c.t Stern Brothers Baring Brothers Rothschild and Sons C. de Murrieta and Co. Ottoman Bank RothschUd and Sons J Oriental Banking Corpo \ ration Rothschild and Sons E. Erlanger and Co. Baring Brothers Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation C. J. Hambro and Sons ,, r Societe des Dep6ts et \ Comptes Courantes Baring, &c.J Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Rothschild and Sons Baring Brothers Ottoman Bank§ Baring, &c.l| Erlanger and Co.^ C. J. Hambro and Son * Withdrawn, There was no published agency house for this loan, but Messrs. Bischoff- sheim and Groldschmidt were employed to take charge of the bonds. t A portion of conversion in this market. % Funding operations continued. § Supposed not to have been subscribed. || Funding operations continued. ^ Chiefly abroad. Q>M8t' Sovereign States^ Owing by Foreign Gountries. 21 The amount of the national debts of Europe in 1788 was about 540,000,000/. Mr. Dudley Baxter makes those of the whole world in 1873 508,900,000/., but then he has taken the debt of France at the forced reduction of 32,000,000/. Mr. Ernest Seyd (*' Society of Arts Journal," p. 406) makes the total amount 4,500 milHons. Using the figures he gives, but in a different way, the holdings would be : — England France...., Germany Holland . Belgium Austria . Own Debt. Mlna. 785 80 36 346 Others. Mlna. 650 450 400 50 20 20 Total. Mlns. 1,500 1,200 120 300 The same distinction, as Mr. Seyd makes, must be drawn between holdings of our debt or mortgages on one's own property and holdings of " international " property. Still, for certain pur- poses, the above figures give some relative ideas of the wealth of the monied classes. It is however most likely that France is thus placed too high, as perhaps also Germany and Holland too low. These should at all events be 500 millions and 100 millions. V. It has been suggested that it would bo far better were the national capital employed in home works, instead of being lent to foreign countries. So far as an individual is concerned, whether he loses 1,000/. in a bubble company here or in a swindUng foreign loan, the operation and the sequel are the same, but so far as the economical operation is concerned, home investment for public works, and the transactions of foreign loans, are under very different conditions, as I have explained in my treatise on " The *' Theory of Railway Investment," 1846. Our whole population, under the institution of the poor laws, must be fed, and in this we differ from many continental countries. Although the feeding of the population is provided for, there is no provision for the effective application of its labour. Thus there is commonly a surplus of labour beyond the labour employed in the production of food and other recognised products, and particularly during a period of famine. Additions to the permanent capital and working plant of the country are made from this surplus labour, as the Pyramids and groat undertakings of Eg3rpt were made from the surplus labour of that country. Were there any adequate organisation in a period in 22 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and which other employments were slack, the national industry would be employed in improving the dwellings and public buildings of the people, in draining the soil, in embanking the rivers, recovering lands, promoting fisheries and mining, making harbours, and other- wise adding to the yearly production and permanent plant. The conduct of foreign loans or of any branch of trade with our colonies or abroad, for obtaining new materials or food for the state of our produce, has no necessary connection with our home work, and could and should be carried on apart. Indeed, if there be a profit obtainable from, our business in foreign loans, its abandon- ment would be a loss and not a benefit to our resources. At this time, and so long as we retain the position, we have an international money market, and it is desirable we should retain its advantages. Although this paper is chiefly devoted to loans of foreign states, no such line can really be drawn. The loans of foreign cities, for instance, approximate to these in character. A larger amount of allied transactions is constituted by the issue of foreign railway shares, but to a greater extent of foreign preference shares, deben- tures, or obligations. Town loans are always to a great degree locally subscribed, but Canadian, United States, and colonial town loans are likewise brought here. In such cases the dividends are rarely payable in London, so that a character naturally to be found in foreign loans is here wanting. The continental town loans being mostly lottery loans, redeem- able by prizes, are negociated abroad, as they cannot be issued in this market, any more than the railway lottery loans. The lottery or premium drawn by lot is a characteristic of foreign markets, it being considered that the lottery laws forbid their being advertised here. Railway loans are of many kinds, and properly speaking, the Indian railway operations should be embraced under this title. In some cases the companies are English or quasi-English, and managed here. Others are nominally foreign companies, but in reality domiciled here, and having a foreign guarantee. All such dividends are payable in London. A large amount consists of debentures made payable in London, and issued by some house here either directly on account of a Government, or indirectly in the name of a company. Such railway loans are in most cases, with such an exception as the Lombard, &c., to be distinguished from State loans, because railway and State loans, being limited in amount, after a time, and particularly after absorption by local holders, cannot supply stock enough to work more than one market. Colonial and Indian loans are not to be distinguished for most Quasi- S&vereign Stat^, Owing by Foreign Countries. 23 purposes from foreign State loans, but it is convenient in the present inquiry not to include them, as their features may only distract attention. They, however, present these circumstances, that they are largely connected with the employment of English iron and produce, and are partly supplied by the capital of those who have lived in the countries concerned. Some of the colonial loans are already being employed for local investments. Of the extent of such operations, as already said, we are in no position to form any true appreciation. The first difficulty is that the nominal amounts are not of common standard. First with regard to price of issue, and this applies to State loans also, the nominal amount of the loan is higher than that subscribed by the public. Thus, instead of lOo/., the subscribed amount may be 90/., 80/., 70/., 60/., 50/., &c. So far as economical considerations are concerned, the materials are still leas practicable, for the figures do not show us what the foreign Government or company received. In many cases it was a very small portion. In the cases of Honduras, Liberia, and St. Domingo, the foreign Government received next to nothing. It becomes a question whether these are to be regarded as foreign loans, or as loans from the public to the persons concerned in their concoction. So far as Peru is concerned, Peru has remitted the goano hypothecated to the bondholders, but it has been sold on contractors' account. Thus although in the name of an Honduras or Liberian bond, our English subscriber may have parted with his money and lost it, and be involved in utter misery thereby, yet as another person has got possession of his money, there is no national loss, though that is no satisfaction to the victim. The figures given in such estimates of issues include conversions of former operations, which do not constitute effective amounts of capital raised. There is, however, always a demand for such figures, and they have been yearly supplied by a Brussels paper, the " Moniteur des " Int^rets Mat6riels " (quoted in the " Economist " of 12th January, 1878), and these are reduced in " Herapath's Journal," from which they are reproduced. 24 Hyde Clarke — 0)1 the Debts of Sovereign and Financial Countries. Loans of States and Towns. Financial and Credit Companies' Issues. Railway and Industrial Companies' Capital. Comparative Total. 1877. America (all) Asia Austro-Hungary Belgium Danubian Principalities .. Denmark France Germany Great Britain and colonies Greece Holland and colonies Italy Luxemburg, Grand Duchy Norway and Sweden Portugal Bussia Spain Switzerland Turkey and Egypt Totals, 1877 „ '76 Increases in 1877 ... £ 140,051,350 1,604,276 8,000,000 175,600 6,434,488 6,199,700 7,645,100 400,000 833,758 3,878,869 6,500,000 43,600,000 605,920 5,000,000 230,929,061 117,827,091 113,101,970 £ 11,304,480 1 50,000 55,120 1,600,000 2,800,000 118,902 £ 850,000 142,106 57,333,926 1,982,550 4,245,550 1,156,374 185,000 350,000 40,000 2,254,280 697,960 16,028,502 3*3^2,343 69,237,746 24,944,280 12,706,159 £ 140,901,350 1,604,276 8,000,000 317,706 75,072,894 8,332,250 11,890,650 400,000 2,045,252 4,063,869 350,000 6,500,000 45,240,000 5,054,280 1,422,782 5,000,000 316,195,309 146,093.714 44,293,466 170,101,595 Unfortunately sucli figures do not afford totals, nor do they even admit of yearly comparison. They scarcely afford evidence of phenomena. It is the business of the statistician, not to deal with such figures, but to let them alone, except so far as it is necessary in the commencement of an investigation, to collect any materials, however imperfect, so as gradually to prepare the way for bringing together adequate data. It is, however, a serious injury^ to statis- tical studies, to manipulate such figures, and in no respect have such studies suffered so much. It is necessary to know when to exercise the discretion of letting imperfect materials alone. As it is, these Belgian materials have already supplied several leading articles, because to many persons figures are figures and facts, and when in print are invested with the highest sanctity. Another specimen of figures difficult to deal with is given by the " Standard " (11th January, 1878). " The Westminster Association (Limited), have issued their monthly report, relating to public securities, in which special reference is made to the position of holders of Egyptian securities. Attention is called to the fact, that of the i6,8oo,oooZ. of the preference stock, not less than ii,ooo,oooZ. is in English hands, and that out of the total of 56,700,000?. unified stock, 2i,ooo,oooZ. is held here.'' Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing hy Foreign Countries, 25 Issues of 1877. Ck)mparative Totals. Countries. 1876. 1875. 1874. 1873. 1872. £ 62,650,000 274,800 4,025,000 969,980 1,031,190 88,960 19,636,411 17,451,805 13,658,040 1,307,624 1,865,142 1,320,000 306,400 16,360,000 1,676,000 3,472,362 £ 8,857,303 6,097,300 1,184,683 989,9*0 3.*5849* 17.317,750 i3.3*3.*4o 1,769,640 5.38*.904 5,600 990,000 3,684,000 1,095,240 3.1*3.748 ij 100,000 £ 39,684,360 10,538,140 7,939,736 680,000 9,120^797 11,851,190 38,770,560 4,407,534 2,350,340 5,600 2,159,000 60,000 10,936,855 12,611,340 17,418,750 £ 190,620,640 23.970,375 14,487,056 1,260,160 3,354,804 48,590,475 58,792.430 3,709,933 8,205,250 67,500 — 23.790,5*8 460,000 3.575.9** 55.439.780 £ 80,988,900 39,541,890 2,166,820 1,253,932 158,946,246 54,874,418 57,579,290 2,298,294 22,923,523 31,013,680 10,224,000 4,211,990 39,419,200 America (all) Asia Austro-Hungary Belgium Danubian Principalities Denmark France Gterm&nj Great Britain and oolonieB Greece Holland and colonies Italy Luxemburg, Grand Duchy Norway and Sweden Portugivl Russia Spain Switzerland Turkey and Egypt 146,093,714 68,179,820 168,624,202 436,324,853 505,442,183 Totals, 1877 76 — — — — — Incronses in 1877 Unhappily these figures show nothing of the kind, they only show, if correct, that so much stock has been converted in London on English and on foreign accoant. Thus the figures of the last conversion of Spanish external bonds, would show that not less than 45 per cent, is held in London, leaving the other half only for Spain and the whole continent, including Paris and the Spanish American colony there, and Holland. In Spain there are many holders of external bonds, but which come to London, as well as to Madrid, Paris ; and throughout the continent many conventual establishments still hold Spanish stock. Out of 12 millions of Austrian stock issued in London, at the conversion of the amount left unredeemed by the sinking fund, only about a million was converted in London. Many of the loans have been raised at rates of interest nominally moderate, at 5 or 6 per cent., in reality 8 or 10 per cent., which is still, in many cases, lower than the local rate of the bor- rowing country. A further premium is in most cases given by a provision for redemption at par, the loans being issued at a lower rate. In most cases of foreign and colonial loans, the wholesome 26 Hyde Clarke — On the Debts of Sovereign and provision of a sinking fund lias been adopted, whicli, nnf ortnnately, has not )3een adequately applied to our home debt, nor so fully as it might to the colonial and American debts. It may be that the example of the foreign loans has not been without its influence in the new general stipulation of redemption for our municipal loans within a limited time. Wherever — as in the case of many foreign loans — there is a risk of loss, the amortisation was a necessary condition. The result has been, as stated in this paper, that the working of the sinking fund has brought many investors safe home where there has been an ultimate default in the loan. Somebody has stated that the issue of a loan below par, on which basis most of our own national debt was raised, and redemp- tion at par, is nothing but a lottery, and a dangerous encouragement to gambling. In practice an investor takes a sufficient number of bonds to give him a fair chance of participating year by year in the drawing. The redemption ought to be shortened according to the credit of the country, and thus the Morocco loan, now largely redeemed, the Japanese, and the Chinese loans have been constituted. The redemption clause was not neglected by the manipulators of fraudulent loans, in which the highest rate of interest and the highest rate of redemption were combined. VI. It may be well at this point to refer to a consideration, not without interest, whether investment in foreign stocks, so far as the nation is concerned, promotes speculation or thrift. In what relates to the Stock Exchange, foreign bonds are made, as everything else is, instruments of speculation, that is of gambling, and many persons outside are led to engage in such operations with the almost unavoidable result of their funds being ultimately absorbed in commissions and differences to the members of the Stock Exchange. Although one gambler may gain from another and casually retire, yet the general history of speculators is that of the final loss of the capital staked, because at each account twice in a month the fund, or common stock, of the gamblers must be diminished by the portion pared off by the members of the Stock Exchange and passing into its precincts. So with the individuals, fortunes of several hundred thousand pounds are recorded to have been dissipated to the last farthing. This is a sufficient comment on the nature of these transactions, which have no warrant on the ground of mercantile or market character, and can find no excuse in abstract doctrines of political economy occasionally quoted in their defence. There can be no Quasi- Sovereign States^ Owing by Foreign Countries. 27 doubt that great financial houses do make profits by such operations, but then these are really mercantile operations, which they have th3 funds to meet. In the case of the individual, he can seldom take up and hold his stock, and an operation good in its inception, cannot stand against the charges for the recurring account days. In their first transactions, many persons are drawn into foreign loan investments by the bait of a high rate of interest, not unattended with disastrous consequences ; others, however, invest on the advice of friends, and in a sober way. As, however, investors are drawn from the class of savers, saving instincts predominate in the long run, and prudential considerations restrain greed. There is, however, a disposition to encounter a possible risk with gain. Within the limits of this paper it is impossible to discuss all the subjects connected with foreign loans. Among these subjects, one of the principal is, in fact, connected with tliat discussed by Mr. Robert Giffen, Mr. Stephen Bourne, Mr. Rathbone, Mr. Mun- della, Mr. Ernest Seyd, and others. It is the question how far these operations affect our national condition. For the considera- tion of this topic materials have already been given hero, but on a question of such difficulty, which has engaged my attention for years, I am obliged to give opinions as well as facts. So far as I have seen, the funds for foreign loan operations, though originally contributed from the general national savings, and still partially so, are mainly contributed from the savings made from foreign loan operations. This appears to be the case in France, and notably in Holland. Any losses that are made fall primarily on this fund, and diminish itfi means for new operations, and only partially affect t,he general resources of the community. As a rule, however widely distributed, investors in foreign loans must be regarded as constituting a class, and although many new adventurers may be deprived of their property by others, for Honduras bonds, or suffer a diminution of interest in their Spanish dividends, on the whole, the statement hero made will hold good, for the class begin by applying the whole or main portion of their early savings in investments at high rates. A limit, however, is set up in time, as it is necessary that there shall be some safe provision for a wife and family. Thus the pro- portion of risky ventures is by-and-bye curtailed, and securities are carefully chosen. Two circumstances tend to govern investments. As for the sake of drawings it is customary to divide the bonds and to take ten hundreds instead of one thousand ; so it becomes habitual to distribute the investments among several descriptions of loans, so as to avoid " having too many eggs in one basket," in case of those casualties which are always borne in mind. As savings are applied to those investments, so interest received 28 Hyde Clarke — O71 tJie Debts of Sovereign and and the bonuses on drawings are reinvested, and in very loany instances the income is never spent. Where, too, persons have retired from business and are living on their savings, it has become habitual and recognised not to spend more than common interest on the foreign bonds held. Thus, in the long run, the tendencies are decidedly those of thrift, and this is confirmed by long experience in Holland, and by what takes place in France. One operation by which large fortunes have been made is the purchase of depreciated bonds at low prices, which are held for years until they bring double or greater return. Mr. Giffen has, in " Stock Exchange Securities," dealt minutely with features in the late crisis, that I prefer reproducing some of his remarks in his words, to repeating the same matter in my own words. He says, in Section 2 : — " The order of events in the crisis aflEbrds of itself a very striking confirmation of the assumption. The difficulties commenced in the countries more or less farmed by the capital of Enejland and other old countries, whose industries are nourished by public loans from England and by the investment of private English capitalists within their territories, principally in the form of English iron and manufactures. The crisis in Austria, which was the first in the whole series, was a crisis in a country answering this description to some extent. To the United States, where the next great crash occurred, the description is still more applicable. The South American countries, whose prolonged suffering was the special feature of 1874, are almost a domain of England ; and Russia, too, is largely • developed * by English capital. Some of these countries, especially Austria and Russia, have not been exclusively dependent on English capital. They have also benefited by the accumulation of capital in Holland, Belgium, and France, which had been drawn largely to Germany before 1873, through the French indemnity, and had overflowed thence into Austria and Russia; but the indemnity payments, though they helped to precipitate and aggravate the crisis in Austria, did not alter the power of that crisis to react on England. No doubt in 1873, as already noticed, the collapse of the foreign loan financing had been foreshadowed ; but the antici- patory events of that year were in themselves comparatively unimportant, so that down to 1875 what chiefly happened was a succession of monetary and commercial crises in countries dependent on England, but from which England by comparison escaped. In 1875 these crises were succeeded by a crisis in England itself of very great intensity, naturally leading to a renewal of crisis and distress elsewhere, though not of actual panic, and the whole culminating in the financial disorders of the foreign loan collapses, which will probably form in after years, the most conspicuous feature of the whole scries of liquidations. There appears to have been a natural order, therefore, in the successive crises to which the countries dependent on England have been subjected, leading to a crisis in England itself, and finally to a financial as well as a commercial collapse.'* There is this observation further to be made in confirmation, that when English capital is sent to a country for public works it stimulates enterprise, but on its cessation a very serious relapse takes place, just as if an artificial bounty were withdrawn. Thus a country, the permanent prosperity of which has been advanced, is subjected to the sufferings of poverty, just as Germany was after the expenditure of the bounty of the French indemnity. Quasi- Sovereign States, Owing hy Foreign Countries, 29 The connection of loan operations with our foreign trade is sufficiently illustrated by Mr. Giffen : — *' We have next to adduce in evidence the fact of the great expansion of the business of investment in foreign countries previous to the depression. The great multiplication of foreign loans in the period is now familiar. Not to speak of Txirkish and other loans, which were so largely mere lx)rrowing8 to pay interest, there was a loan of 32 millions for Egypt after there had been large loans in 1868 and 1870. Chili in the same time (1867-73) borrowed 5^ millions; Peru, 14 millions; Brazil, 10 millions; Russia, 77 millions; and Hungary, 22 millions, exclusive of minor borrowings by guaranteed companies and othenvise. These were the nominal amounts of the loans, and the real money or money's worth ever transmitted to those countries in respect of them must have been much less ; but, making all deductions, they indicate immense direct credit opened up in this country in favour of the States named. The minor borrowings we have referred to were equally important, if not more important, and especially in the case of the United States, tlie aggregate of small loans for railways and other purposes was immense. All this direct borrowing likewise implied a great investment of capital privately in foreign countries. Merchants and traders were induced to set up establishments abroad to facilitate the business which the loans brought into existence, and accommodate the wants of emigrants to the new fields of industry. The result was a luxuriant industrial growth in the new countries by means of this vast direct and indirect credit, which old countries were giving. Thus in the United States, immediately before 1873, the length of the whole railway system had been doubled in seven years; in Russia almost the entire system of 12,000 miles has been created since 1868; in Austria there had been an increase from 2,200 miles in 1865 to over 6,000 miles in 1873, and in South America, Brazil, the River Plate Republics, Chili, and Peru had all been endowed with railways in a very few years. The loans for these countries above enumerated, and especially the above loan of 24 millions for Peru, being avowedly all for railways. And never was there a more rapid development of the foi'cign trade of the United Kingdom. The total import and export trade, which was 500,986,000/. in 1867, had risen in 1873, or in six years only, to 682,292,000/., or 36 per cent.; and the trade per head from 16/. i#. 3d. to 21/. 4*. 9^., or 32 per cent. Tlie exports of British produce alone, to take the two extreme years, had risen from 179,678,000/. in 1868, to 256,257,000/. in 1872, or 42 per cent, in four years; the increase per head being in the same pericxi from 5/. 17*. 4^/. to 8/. i*., or 37 per cent. All this had followed a rapid rise in previous years; for the panic of 1866 was chiefly the collapse of a home company mania, and had not brought with it discredit of foreign loans, or a collapse of the business of lending to foreign countries; and in one or two trades the increase of business was even greater than the general increase. Tlius the quantity of our iron and steel exports rose from 2,042,000 tons in 1868 to 3,383,000 tons in 1872, or 66 per cent, in four years; while there was simultaneously a rise of price which made the increase in values immense, not only in these but in other articles where there was no sach increase of quantity. 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