THE RUSSIAN ADVANCM By ALBERT 1. BEVERIDG™ nSCn^ ^f5^ ^^ ^f^ ^^f^ .i^ ^«,'^\\" THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ALBERT J. BEVERIDGE WITH MAPS NEW YORK AND LONDON HARPER & BROTHERS PUBLISHERS 1904 T/0 Ih^ . V J :^ Copyright, 1903, by Harper & Brothers. Copyright, 1901, 1902, by The Curtis Publishing Company. All rights resein;€d. Published November, 1903. CONTENTS CBAP PAGE I. Russia on the Pacific i II. Russian Empire-Building in Manchuria ... i6 III. Other Methods of Russian Advance .... ^^ IV. Types of Civil Agents of the Russian Advance 48 V. The Overlords of the Czar's Advancing Power IN the Far East 57 VI. Results of Russian Railway Advance ... 68 VII. Manchurian Railway Results and Methods . 81 VIII. A Diplomatic Game for an Empire .... 93 IX. How Russia at Last Reached the Unfrozen Sea ho X. Collision of Russia's Advance with Japan . 122 XI. The Soldier of the Russian Advance and the Soldier of Japan 138 XII. The Russian Advance Paralleled by the Ger- man Advance 152 XIII. A Chapter of Digression: American Needs in the Orient 173 XIV. A Second Chapter of Digression: American Progress in the Far East 187 XV. Siberia: The Highway of Russian Advance . 208 XVI. High and Low Water Marks of Siberian Progress 224 XVII. The Red Day of Blagovestchensk 242 XVIII. Russian Capital and Labor 254 XIX. The Russian Working-man 272 XX. The Labor Laws of Russia 285 iii CONTENTS CHAP. PAGB XXI. The Independent Peasant Artisan .... 302 XXII. February 19, 1861, the Birthday of Russian Industrial Freedom 319 XXIII. Holy Russia, the Orthodox Nation . , . 338 XXIV. Priest, People, and Church 354 XXV. Russian National Ideals 367 XXVI. Russian Points of View — Russian Opinions of American Institutions 385 XXVII. Things Casually Observed 401 XXVIII. The Russian Common School and Country Hospital 416 XXIX. Three Russians of World Fame 426 APPENDIX Treaty of Shimonoseki, by which Southern Manchuria WAS Ceded to Japan 463 Mikado's Rescript Withdrawing from Manchuria . . 468 The (Reputed) Cassini Convention 469 The Russo-Manchurian Railway Agreement .... 473 Anglo-Russian Agreement Respecting Spheres of In- fluence IN China 481 Treaty of Offensive and Defensive Alliance between Great Britain and Japan 482 Spf,cimen of the Regulations concerning Foreign Joint Stock. Companies Operating in Russia . 483 MAPS Historic Russian Advance Facing p. i Russia, and the Remainder of Europe and Asia " 367 PREFACE ON the author's return from a journey made in 1901 through Manchuria and the Far East, preceded by a visit to Russia and Siberia, a series of articles was pub- hshed in the Saturday Evening Post, of Philadelphia, setting out things seen and observed in the regions of Russia's latest Asiatic advance. A description was also given of the apparent situation of China as affected by the operations there of two or three European nations; and what then seemed to be the probable conflict between Russia and Japan was par- ticularly pointed out, with the causes of it. These articles form a considerable portion of this volume; and, indeed, the seeming advisability of their publication in book form, and certain requests therefor, are the occasion and apology for this work. They are reproduced practically without change. It was believed that a more comprehensive under- standing of the whole subject might be given if other chapters were added briefly describing Siberia and certain conditions and tendencies in Russia itself. These form the remainder of the book. It has been the earnest endeavor to treat the subject with impartiality. Indeed, nothing has been essayed except to give the reader a faithful report of what any inquiring traveller may see and hear for himself if he should take the same journey. Albert J. Beveridge. Indianapolis, October 1, 1903. THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE HISTORIC VDVAXCE THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE RUSSIA ON THE PACIFIC THE Russian has arrived on the Pacific. For decades, of course, the world has been dimly conscious of a gray-clad, militant figure standing on the frozen shores of that ocean. But while gigantic in its proportions, its outlines were vague and indefinite. Surrounded by arctic fogs, it was apparently nothing more than a rraritime sentinel of the ice-imprisoned harbors of the Czar. Only England , with inherited apprehension , gave much attention to the apparition, and even England's attention amount- ed to nothing more than instinctive fear. Occasionally, it is true, far-sighted thinkers divined the real significance of the Russian on the north seas, but their interpretation of the phenomenon fell on ears deaf to their message. The world, and especially the American people, went on without a thought of the spectre which, after the first surprise at its appearance, became a mere commonplace, without meaning or interest. But within the last five years the Russian's presence upon the Pacific has claimed the acute attention of every cabinet in Europe and of every thoughtful American citizen; for he is now manifest on the Asiatic shores of that ocean in other guise than that of the uniformed bayonet - bearer of the Czar. He is there as Russian sol- dier and officer, it is true, and in portentous numbers I THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and power. He is there on the merchant vessels of one of the great ship-Hnes of the world. More important still, he is there as the builder and operator of modem railways. Still more important, he is there as the actual adminis- trator of dominions so vast that they may of themselves be called an empire. Most important of all, he is there as the Russian peasant; and that means that he has arrived in the form of the Russian people themselves. In the summer of 1901, a single ship of the "Russian Volunteer Fleet," which the writer inspected at Port A)tft.u^, Russia's Manchurian stronghold on the ice-free sea, had landed at another port 1500 Russian peas- ants. These were but a single shipment from the con- gested agricultural districts of southern Russia to such destination in eastern Asia as the statesmen of the empire thought advisable.^ And these agricultural peasants came with their wives and their children, their beds and their furniture, their tools and their implements. Severed from the land of their birth and the ancient tombs of their an- cestors by thousands of miles of ocean, they had all the appearance of men and women determined and equipped to plant permanently new seeds of Slav empire on the fresh fields of the extending Russian dominions. The agriculturalist and the artisan, the husband and the wife, the mother and the daughter, young men and young women, boys and girls, babes new-born, were following so closely upon Russian military advance that the world hardly noticed it. So swiftly was the humble hut of the Russian peasant constructed beneath the shadow of the newly unfurled Russian flag that even the keenest statesman lost sight of this permanent and mean- ingful fact in his amazement at the planting of that flag itself. No one but diplomats and statesmen, who must deal with temporary situations, need be deeply concerned ' These peasants were not sent into Manchuria, of coxirse; they were settled in the Ussuri littoral back of Vladivostock, and practically on the Manchurian frontier. 2 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE with the purely miUtary advance of any nation, but when a people move forward it is a circumstance of world-wide significance and it is of especial and practical concern to every people upon whose interests that advance impinges or whose future in any direction that advance affects. Three Russian war-ships lay in the beautiful harbor of Nagasaki, Japan, in the late summer of 1899. "Oh yes; we are getting used to that," said an English merchant, whose attention was called to the Russian colors. And it was natural enough, for Nagasaki is a coaling-station, and very convenient for many purposes. But in 1901 the sea-flag of the Czar floated from a ship in the road- stead from which the Woosung River leads up to Shang- hai, the commercial clearing-house of China. "Ten years ago that flag was seldom — in fact, hardly ever — seen in these waters." Again it was an English merchant who spoke, and a man who had spent his entire life since boyhood in commercial enterprises in the Far East. "It is a multiplying circumstance," he went on, "and it has its counterpart right here among our business houses. The most active, aggressive financial institution in Shanghai to-day is the branch at this place of the Russo-Chinese Bank. It is not yet so great as some of our other banks, but is making itself felt very effectively. Decidedl3^ Russia, which formerly was a subject of specu- lative conversation, is getting on our nerves in a very tangible and irritating way." In Yokohama, five years ago, the only representative of the Autocrat of all the Russias was the Russian consul; yet in 1901 the Russo-Chinese Bank had been established, and was already doing a considerable business there. Not only so, but the ground had already been purchased, the plans of the architect drawn on his blue-prints, and the foundations laid for a building of this financial cor- poration. And this building, it was said, was to be by far the finest and most costly of all the banking establish- ments in this principal port of the Mikado's Empire. 3 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "What — not in Hong-Kong, and already?" exclaimed an American traveller when told by an officer of a cer- tain banking corporation of the Far East that the Russo- Chinese Bank had established a temporary agency in some little offices in Hong-Kong itself; for Hong-Kong is purely English. Moreover, it is in the extreme south of China; and here, amid surroundings of tropical beauty, and in the very centre of foreign commercial activities in the Orient, beats the heart of British influence in the Chinese Far East. It appeared too audacious for belief that the financial arm of the Russian govern- ment should so soon invade Hong-Kong; for the Russo- Chinese Bank was not in existence even in Russia itself five years before. "Yes, even here in Hong-Kong, and at this early hour," repeated the English banker, "the Russo-Chinese Bank is doing business right before our very eyes; and while as yet it does not do much business or attract much attention, nevertheless it is here!" Still this branch of the Russo-Chinese Bank is competing for business, and, if reports be credited, getting it. But Hong-Kong's great British banks have nothing to fear from this Russian competition. So the Russian advance is a commercial and financial movement ; from Gibraltar-like Vladivostock, on the north, all along the shores of the Pacific, into the very citadel of English power on China's extreme south. It is a diplomatic advance, too, throughout every province of the Flowery Kingdom as well as on the Chinese seaboard. It is an advance by merchant vessels and war-ships from Odessa to Port Arthur; by railways through Manchuria even to the gates of Pekin; by Russian peasantry, cultivated farms, and permanent homes over the rich grain-fields of the Ussuri littoral, and even within the borders of Man- churia; by towns and cities and all the activities of peace into the very centre of Manchuria, which until this very moment the world's wisest statesmen have insisted and 4 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE believed, though with the faith of fear, was permanently Chinese territory. And this advance, the methods of it, the people who are making it, their nature, characteristics, and development, are to-day, and for decades to come will continue to be, the most engaging subject of observation to the student of the movement of races which the con- temporary world affords, as well as the most insistent and important foreign problem with which European and American statesmen must henceforth deal. Let us, then, consider the phenomenon itself, and after- wards look somewhat into its sources. Let us, first of all, observe the Russian at work in Manchuria. Let us look upon his actual deeds and achievements there. Let us see him in the visible and material work of Russian empire - building within a new dominion. Then let us follow, as well as we can, the rough outlines of his Oriental statesmanship and policy — as well as we can, because it is not possible for any one to know with minute accuracy the processes of statecraft by which the Russian prepares the way for his subtle, and yet solid and masterful, advance. Then let us note the tangible effects of his activities upon the other great powers now making themselves felt in a physical way in the Orient. And then let us hark back on the mighty trail the Slav has made across Siberia, enter his hitherto suffocating, though vast, original home, and observe him in the fields, villages, and factories of Russia itself. First, then, of Manchuria. Within the last two years everybody has heard of Manchuria. Even before that time the popular mind had a vague idea that something or other of more or less importance was going on in Man- churia. Later the American man in the furrow and in the shop learned that the Russians were building a rail- way in Manchuria. Recently our newspapers and maga- zines have been filled with editorials and articles on our diplomacy as it affects Manchuria. But just what Man- churia is, just where it is, and just what is being done 5 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE there which is creating this world-wide curiosity, are not generally known. Even the few students who have some general understanding of the events transpiring there are not accurately informed of them. The modern scientific method, first developed in the German universities and now adopted by all great insti- tutions of learning, rejects the more or less imaginary accounts of what used to be considered the world's his- torians, and requires the student himself personally to examine original manuscripts, delve into archives, and write anew, from first-hand investigation, corrected chronicles of the past. This method not only sends archaeologists to uncover the hidden cities of antiquity and replace with a description of real discoveries the legends of them handed down through generations, but in our own country the student of the germ of our gov- ernment — the New England town-meeting — is no longer satisfied with inaccurate accounts of the old writers; he must go to the interior of some New England State where the town-meeting may still be seen, and, observing its workings with the naked eye and absorbing its spirit by actual contact, describe the facts as they are, and, after having learned the truth, to state it, and then, and not till then, deduce his conclusions. If this is the true method of studying the institutions of by-gone centuries, of course it is much more the true method of observing the weighty occurrences of the present day. It is with something of this spirit — though, of course, without any pretension to the thoroughness and accuracy required by the modem scientific method — that the following observations on the Russian advance in the Far East, and particularly Russia's operations in Man- churia, have been made and are here set down. What is Manchuria, and what are the Russians doing there? In answer to the first part of the question, more or less accurate accounts are already in existence; but in answer to the second part of the question, no one who 6 THE RUvSSIAN ADVANCE is not a Russian has up to the present time made original investigations with a free hand. It is claimed by some that no opportunity has existed; and Manchuria certainly was "closed" to the world during the Russian operations in settling the disturbed conditions following the Boxer insurrection. While you may now board a vestibuled train of sleeping - cars at Port Arthur and go directly through the centre of Manchuria into Siberia and on to Moscow without change, no one even now appears to have attempted to do more, and it is declared that no one has been permitted to do more. An English officer, as we are informed, who attempted to make such investigations, upon taking an independent excursion into the country, was arrested by the authorities and sent over the frontier. Several accounts have been given of the great difficulty in penetrating Manchuria before the road was "opened" to passengers; but it is be- lieved that proper measures were not taken in advance to assure freedom of observation. Certainly the writer experienced no such difficulty, and on a frank statement to the proper minister in St. Petersburg, was accorded unqualified and absolute liberty to see what was to be seen, and to hear what was being said within Manchuria itself. So far as could be detected, no seal was put upon the lips of any one, from Chinese railroad laborer up to the highest representative of the Czar. Absolutely no restrictions of any kind were imposed. No guards of Cossacks or other soldiery were even suggested; the authorities advised no particular route of travel, and neither offered nor refused any aid. Not a single ob- stacle was thrown in the way. No excuses or evasions were made. With as full liberty as is accorded a foreigner on a tour of observation throughout the United States, the journey through Manchuria, of which these pages are the imperfect narrative, was made during the year iqoi. Let us see, then, where Manchuria is, how big it is, and what kind of a country it is. 7 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE If you will take Germany and France together, you will have a territory scarcely larger than the three great Chinese provinces combined under the general term Manchuria. England, Scotland, Ireland, and Wales are not one- third so large as Manchuria. If you will take Indiana, Illinois, and Iowa, their combined area is less than half that of Manchuria. Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, and all New England are less than one-half the size of Manchuria, and no richer in resources. We thus see that Manchuria is, in territorial extent, itself an empire. It is an empire more favorably situated as to its climatic conditions than any part of Asia. It is in the same latitude as southern Canada and the northern portion of the United States. Its northern lim- its are about the same as the northern limits of Quebec. Its southern limits are about the same as the southern limits of Maryland. It is bounded on the north by the richest portions of Siberia, which not many years ago was itself a part of the dominion of the Manchus ; for several hundred miles on the east by the grain - fields of the Ussuri district of Russian Siberia, also until recently a part of the Chinese Empire; on the east and south by Korea, over which the world's next great war will prob- ably be fought, and soon; on the west by Mongolia, and on the south by Korea, China, and the gulfs and extensions of the Yellow Sea, which touches or commands much of that empire. On these gulfs are two of the finest military and commercial ports of Asia, or the world — Port Arthur and Talienhwan, or, as the Russians call it, Dalni. This enormous territory is fertilized by rivers running generally both north and south. Portions of the valleys of these rivers and the plains beyond the valleys are as fertile as those of the Sangamon in Illinois or the Miami in Ohio. Mountains traverse the northwest and south- west, and again the northeastern portion of this great 8 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE region. The northern mountains are rich in gold, possibly richer than the gold - fields of that portion of Siberia which is just across the river from them, and of the wealth of which the world at large seems to be in ignorance. The mountains to the southeast and south are said to be rich in iron and coal. The coal now being turned out in quantities at Shanhaikwan, just beyond the southwestern borders of Manchuria and directly on the Gulf of Liao-Toung, is equal for all pur- poses to the coal produced in the United States. Here, then, is an empire capable of sustaining fifty millions of people, and with scarcely more than fifteen million inhabitants at present; an empire with two of the best ports in the world for commercial and military pur- poses, with coal of a high quality immediately at hand; an empire which, in its strategic situation on the Pacific and in all Oriental affairs is second only to the command- ing position of Japan itself. And all over this territory Russia has spread her tan- gible influence in less than seven years, with the loss of scarcely a man, and the expenditure of hardly a dollar outside of her investment in railways and fortifications. Indeed, it may be accepted as a settled fact that Russia has already acquired Manchuria, if she concludes to remain there, although it is still nominally Chinese, and not Russian, and its governors are still appointed by the Chinese Emperor. For, no matter what treaties say, no matter what may be the statements of diplomacy regard- ing Manchuria, the fact exists that its fate is practically in the hands of Russia. It may continue as a province of China; but, if so, it will be of Russia's grace and not of Russia's necessity. Its ports may remain open to the trade of the world; but if they do, it will not be because of the limitations of Russia's power, but as a matter of Russia's policy. For Russia, for all practical purposes, holds every foot of Manchuria in her firm, masterful, intelligent grasp. 9 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Russian law, in the sense that all shall have justice regularly administered; Russian order, in the sense that murder and outrage by robber bands and savage clans shall cease; Russian system, in the sense that regularity and method shall succeed continuous social, political, and commercial disturbance — Russian law, order, and system, as thus understood, are there, and, it appears to the observer, are there forever. Chinese law still exists in Manchuria; but it is now promptly and impartially administered. Forever is a long time; but it is not extravagant to use the word with reference to Russia in Manchuria, because it is a fact, to which attention will be hereafter given, that Russia has seldom, if ever, per- manently retreated from any spot where her authority has been established, except Alaska, which she believed she was selling to a permanently friendly nation. But whether she remains or departs will be a sheer question of what she wants to do, and not a question of what she must do. Even temporary evacuation will mean little as to her ultimate purposes; for she will leave behind her foun- dations of permanent occupation, to which at any time she can return. An achievement so vast, so quietly accomplished, so cheaply secured, so easily consummated, so important in itself, and so beyond calculation in its influence upon the rest of the world, compels the admira- tion of every thinking mind, no matter whether you regret or whether you applaud while you admire. The methods by which it was accomplished are as engaging as they are instructive. Their interest to an American will increase to appreciation when he reflects that for the Philippines we paid twenty million dollars before beginning our occupation of the islands, and have expended hundreds of lives and many millions of dollars sincethen. To the Englishman,the story of Russian expan- sion in Manchuria should teach something more than mere inflammatory protest, when he reflects on his decades of blunder — bloody and costly blunder — in learning the 10 THE RUvSSIAN ADVANCE lessons of colonial government in India. To the German, with his declared policy of Drang nach Osten, and the development of the German mixed military-commercial- diplomatic programme in Asia, the process of the Rus- sianization of Manchuria should be most valuable. To the student of human progress everywhere something will be presented of greater moment than the story of the civilizing movements of races in the past; because here is the historic movement of a race in the present. And, to the American farmer, to the American manufacturer, to the American producer of every class to whom the hard and practical consideration of where to sell his goods has become, and will more and more become, the pressing problem, the recent occurrences in Manchuria are of immediate importance. In investigations of this kind, quite as much as in the scientific examination of any subject, we must reason back from the smaller facts to the larger ones, and from all of them to general principles. The Baconian system of induction is the only scientific method of thought in the science of States as well as in the science of matter. Let us, then, begin with the small and apparently inci- dental observations of a journey. First of all, for hundreds of miles along the northern border of Manchuria not a Chinaman was visible two years ago. Three years ago, Chinese villages, though not numerous, nevertheless existed on the southern bank of the Amur. To-day, not one can be seen, and even the ruins of only one can be detected along the banks of that great but vexatious waterway of northern Asia. But the Cossack is there. He is not there in large numbers. The Cossack is never in any place in large numbers. One Cossack is as valuable for thrusting forward the boun- daries of Russian dominion as a hundred ordinary sol- diers; and yet the Russian ordinary soldier is superb. But the Cossack has inherited from father to son. through generations running back for hundreds of years, XX THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the instinct of the frontier. He knows intuitively how to inspire with fear or affection the senile or savage tribes with which his ancestors have for centuries been coming in contact. He impregnates the very atmosphere with the authority of Russia. And so not many of him are necessary, and not many of him are used along these interminable stretches of frontier which he sentinels and safeguards. Sometimes you will see him standing alone, silently gazing at you from the Chinese shore. Sometimes you will see him with two or three com- rades. At two points only in many days' journey will you find a larger number of him than half a dozen at one single place. One of these spots is opposite Blago- vestchensk, where, in 1901, a hundred Cossacks were en- camped; another is near Aigun, ten miles down the river, where barracks have been erected on the Manchurian shore, as the general headquarters of the entire military of that region. Without further than noting that the northern frontier of Manchuria is patrolled by Cossacks, let us pass this most dramatic figure of Russia for the present, in order to observe him more adequately here- after. Though Russia's natural and most employed road into Manchuria is by the Sungari River, navigable for hun- dreds of miles from the Amur into the interior, the real door to Manchuria is Nikolsk, the centre of the grain- fields to the north of Vladivostock. It is over fifty miles from the Manchurian frontier, but it is the point where the Vladivostock branch of the Manchurian railroad joins the Ussuri railroad into Vladivostock. You will find Amer- ican ploughs, reapers, and threshing-machines for sale in Nikolsk. It is the local commercial centre of the district. It is the rendezvous for immense military forces, and it was the general administrative headquar- ters of the great Manchurian railway, under construction when the author made the journey through Manchuria, and now completed. THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "Yes," said an intelligent Russian commercial man, referring to the prairies north of Vladivostock, "these fields were all once occupied by Chinamen; but now, as you see, they are as fully occupied by the Russian peasant, his wife and children, as if this land had always been a part of Russia. That has not been so very long ago, either. It is quite impossible to explain the retirement of the Chinese. There was no friction between the people and the Russian peasant." This singular fact, which repeats itself in many differ- ent phases, is one of the most significant truths in the peculiar progress of Russian expansion — "never any fric- tion between the Russian and the native." The Russian moujik, stupid and ignorant man and ruinous agricul- turist as he is, yet wins his fields from man and nature by two invariable qualities — his fixedness to the soil and the stolidity of his good-nature. The merchant who pointed out the fact of the disap- pearance of the Chinaman and the appearance of the Russian agricultural peasant throughout the grain dis- trict surrounding Nikolsk was a German. That is a fact which has nothing to do with the Russian problem we are examining, but a great deal to do with the general situation of the Orient and the world. It is a fact to which the American business man must give almost, if not quite, as great attention as to the steady advance of Russian influence over the only remaining unexploited markets of the world — the markets of China. The princi- pal merchants of Nikolsk are German ; the principal mer- chants of Vladivostock are German; the principal mer- chants of Blagovestchensk are German. In the heart of Manchuria, the manager of one of the commercial estab- lishments which supplies the railroad with provisions of every kind was a young German, twenty -four years of age, handsome in appearance, American in alertness, brilliant in speech, encyclopcedically informed. These are no accidental illustrations. All over the Orient they 13 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE exist ; all over Siberia they exist ; all over the world they exist. It is sufficient for the moment to glance at this commercial phenomenon as we pass, that we may return to it with the seriousness its importance deserves when we reach it later. About Nikolsk are military barracks and storehouses. Whatever you think of the policy and character you cannot but respect the power and strategical far-sight- edness of the men who erected on this spot the tremendous and substantial military buildings that exist there. From Nikolsk, Russia can pour her warriors into Manchuria, Korea. Japan, with almost equal facility. At Nikolsk Russia's martial thousands can be fed more easily than elsewhere in her Far Eastern dominions. And so Nikolsk is full of barracks. And these barracks are full of soldiers. And these soldiers are drilling, drilling, always drilling. Drilling, that is, when they are not on active duty. You may drive to one side of the city until you emerge upon a great open, surrounded by barracks and arsenals, and on every side there is preparation — practice. From one building come the strains of music of a military band — it is practising. From another a company of white- capped soldiers are issuing and falling into line — they are practising. Yonder comes the artillery with all the haste of battle — it is practising. Scatter and skirmish Une, close order for cavalry attack, sudden whirl from one position to another — all the evolutions of actual fight are before your eyes. But where is that stern secrecy, that black and for- bidding hand which thrusts the observer from out her gates or blindfolds him while he remains inside, which the Anglo-Saxon world has been taught to associate with Russia and all things Russian ? You have asked no per- mission to drive upon this field of Mars. You have shown no permit. Yet your appearance is taken quite as a matter of course. Officers attend to their martial duties vidthout appearing even to notice you. No frowning 14 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE policeman asks your business. No polite messenger re- quests you to retire. Observe to your full; make notes to your full; the Russian bear is very clearly asleep. But to find out whether he is really asleep is more valuable even than the privilege of undisturbed observa- tion. Let the interpreter take pocket-camera and try to photograph them; surely that will be forbidden. But they do not appear to notice him. Go up to an officer now, call his attention to the fact that you have a camera, and that you would like to photograph these warlike manoeuvres, these throngs of soldiers, these barracks, this astonishing permanent camp. With a pleasant smile he tells you to photograph what you please and as much as you please, and the illusion of the black and forbidding hand begins to fade. The bear is not sleeping then; so far as this incident reveals him, he is merely a very good- natured, a very sensible, and a very powerful creature, whose consciousness of his power makes him welcome your observations, and smile at your criticism and the world's. There must be a meaning in all this. But, if you ask what that meaning is — if you ask why all these prepara- tions, why these storehouses, why these drilling hosts — you must again look at the map of the Far East and write across the whole of it the words of Washington, "To be prepared for war is one of the most effectual means of preserving peace," and then reflect that, perhaps, the same thought has occurred to Russian statesmen, too. Yes, study the map of Asia, and run back over Russia's far-sighted and patient policy, which has always looked ahead and considered the needs of the Russian people a century beyond the immediate moment, and perhaps an explanation will spring from these com- bined considerations. II RUSSIAN EMPIRE-BUILDING IN MANCHURIA STRANGE companies were they that, during the sum- mer of 1901, proceeded daily from Nikolsk towards the Manchurian frontier; strange companies that, during the same period and for three or four years before, floated down the broad and treacherous Amur. But that is an- other tale. Going into Manchuria from Nikolsk, the ob- server might, any day during the summer of 1901, have witnessed Russian soldiers, of course — not in troops or companies, but in twos and threes, or in little clumps of a dozen, perhaps; Russian officers, of course; here and there a Chinaman; and, most significant of all, and per- haps most numerous of all, the wiry-framed, contemp- tible-looking Koreans. And you are struck by the fact (nay, if you be Anglo- Saxon, you are startled by it) that all of this mingled motley of humanity get along in perfect harmony. The bronzed Korean, the queued Chinaman, and the blue- eyed, yellow-haired Russian soldier arrange themselves on an open flat-car in a human mosaic of mutual agree- ableness. There is no race prejudice here then! Supe- rior to all the world, as the Russian believes himself, he shows no offensive manner towards the other races with which he so picturesquely mingles. It is a thing you must have noticed up in Siberia, where the Russian peasant is also coming in contact with semi-Oriental peoples. But, with the blood of racial bigotry coursing through your veins, here this social fusion of races startles you. It is a strange page suddenly opened before you. 16 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE And it is a page you will read again and again every day as long as you are in Manchuria. And from a reading of it a lesson may be learned, and part of Russia's secret of dominion revealed. Grodekoff is the name of the pleasant little Russian town which stands at the frontier of Manchuria, so styled in honor of the Governor-General. Its streets are broad — broad as the streets of an American frontier town. Its surveying is regular — regular again as that of an Amer- ican town. Common features, these, of Russian towns with American towns. But for the speech of the people, the white-uniformed oflficers, and the touch of Orientalism which every cottage suggests, a town of Russia or Siberia might be an American town; and this is repeated on the borders of Manchuria. Civilization, then, is pushing for- ward by forced marches into northern Asia. You can see that easily enough; for here, at the gates of Man- churia, near a region which ten years ago was the haunt of robbers, are a modern town, modern commerce, mod- ern order, and that modern safety which comes from regular laws regularly enforced. The word enforced may be repeated, for, with all his defects, and he has many of them, the Slav administers his laws. He does not ad- minister them brutally, as is supposed, nor even sternly, except when he must. For example, under the electric lights of the railway station at Grodekoff two Chinamen were fighting fiercely. Chinamen are very quick in wrath, and fights among them are frequent. The Russian soldier acting as policeman did not separate them with bayonet, did not use a club, or even a whip. He sprang forward, and, with his open hand, slapped one of the Chinamen on the cheek, whirl- ing the other one with his other hand away from his fellow- rombatant. That was all. It was the prompt stopping of a row that might have ended in a riot. In Hong-Kong or other English-governed portions of China a cane on the back of a Chinese jinrikisha man who insists on what 2 I'J THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE is thought too large a fee is a common occurrence. On a first visit to the Orient, five years ago, one of the first European business men of the Far East, in the presence of ladies, was seen caning a clump of Chinese jinrikisha men who had irritated him by clamoring for his patronage. But inside Manchuria we shall surely see deeds of real cruelty, for we all know that Russia is establishing her authority there. And is it not the understanding of every one that Russia plants her power in the soil of desolation and fertilizes it with blood? She is successful, however, all will admit; and, since she is gradually ex- tending her control over the future unoccupied markets of the world, it is interesting to observe the processes by which she advances her influence. There are large numbers, and of various nationalities, on the construction-train which through the night creeps towards the Manchurian frontier, but a few miles away. You do not understand this, for has not every one heard that Manchuria was "closed" to the world during the period of railroad building and military settlement, of in- surrection and disturbed conditions generally? Still, no- body has been put off the train as yet. To be sure, scores of Chinamen are doing work on the railway, and the other scores of Koreans appear to go where they wish within the limits of Russian authority. All these, you are informed, are being conveyed thither for particular purposes. But there are other people on that train, too. Three men, very well dressed, of some foreign nationality, but certainly not Russian, attract your attention. There I are several women, too. To be sure, all these are sitting on the railway material piled on the flat-cars; but, never- theless, they appear to be going right into Manchuria. So this forbidden land does not seem to be so very much "closed" after all. But the train stops at a point where there is a single station building; high hills, which in the moonlight seem mountainous, are on every hand. At i8 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE this point you find out how much Manchuria was "closed " during 1901; for every human being not especially authorized to proceed is ordered from every car. The protestations of the well-dressed, non-Russian foreigners fall on deaf ears. The pleas of the women, emphasized by their tears, are utterly unheeded. Off they go, and there in the night, without shelter, they are left. They should have remained at Grodekoff. But they took their chances of passing unobserved in the large throng through the gates of Manchuria, and they must suffer the conse- quences. Men who were apparently foremen of the Chinese seem to be marshalling their groups of men and answering for them. Others do the same for the Russian peasant work- men. The soldiers pass, as a matter of course. But every one else is ejected in a very business-like and very rough, perhaps though not unkind, manner. Upon the refusal of one person to get off, he is peremptorily thrown off by a Cossack. Another person had hidden himself in one of a pile of great drainage-pipes with which a certain car was loaded. He was located by a soldier who was en- gaged in finding just such stowaways by thrusting his gun, with bayonet fixed, into every one of those drainage- pipes. Clearly, the Russians did not intend to take any chances on having their work in Manchuria disturbed by unknown persons going into that land at a time when they were settling its disturbed conditions and con- structing their great steel highway. And when you reflect upon the reign of terror which the Boxer uprising had spread all over Manchuria, and the difficulty which had thus been caused the Russians, your disapproval of this policy of "closing Manchuria to the world" was softened. They could hardly be blamed for taking every precaution to prevent the agents of those who wished to stir up further disorder from enter- ing the very region where the Russians were bending every energy to restore order, and restore it permanently. 19 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE This incident, however, does not diminish your apprehen- sions as to what you will see in Manchuria. But, in spite of your sanguinary expectations, the first thing that strikes you in the first beautiful valley through which you go, after you enter Manchuria, is cultivated fields and peaceful people. In China itself you will not observe greater liberty of action among an industrious population. As a matter of fact, the Chinamen who have returned to their fields are enjoying a peace and un- disturbedness of industry never heard of before in this part of Manchuria. Chinese towns are organized filthiness. They are quite impossible of description. The streets are rambling and sickening; in rainy weather they are miry, with a slime compounded from all the elements that might offend both sight and smell. You see mixtures being made on the soil in front of Chinese shops and stores in the ordinary Chinese commercial town (not in the great cities, although these are hideous enough, as the ordinary traveller will tell you, nor yet in mere rural villages) which will nause- ate you if you do not pass by rapidly. The shops are poor structures of wood and earth; the homes themselves are of mud. This is the kind of town you will see all over Manchuria, and this the town you will see all over China. But side by side with it in Manchuria you will behold something that you did not see in China — something so surprising that it seems almost unreal. And, indeed, it is a miracle — a modern European town planted adjacent to the congeries of hovels which comprise the Chinese towns just described. Brick buildings of substantial construction and not uninviting architecture stand completed, and others are rising by their side. Broad streets, regularly laid out — not paved yet, of course, for the town itself is only building — but streets with gutters along the sides and with hard-beaten gravel cov- ering convex surface, and in far better condition than the Streets of most of the cities of modern Russia. 20 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE It may be that the attractiveness of the Russian towns in process of erection in Manchuria in 1901 was unduly magnified by the hideousness of the native villages reek- ing with offensiveness which stood by their side. It may be, too, that the newness of the Russian's handiwork added an element of charm not permanently belonging to it, or that the atmosphere of pioneer occupation and achievement deflected accurate and steady judgment; but one can only set down exactly what one sees at the time he sees it, and certain it is that Russian town-build- ing in Manchuria in 1901 was a comfort and a delight to behold. It is more than a hundred miles into Manchuria that you encounter this striking material evidence of the Rus- sianization of the country — a Russian town being built side by side with the decaying, germ-infected collection of hovels which compose the Chinese town. The resi- dences of this Russian town are of wood perhaps, or stone, as taste determines. They are pleasant to look upon, too. Indeed, the homes of merchant or miner or officer, or even of moujik in Siberia are often much handsomer than those ordinarily occupied by the same class in Russia ; and it would seem that this comparative superior- ity is to be repeated in Manchuria. Generous verandas circle the home of a railway official ; cool awnings of blue, shifting with the sun, protect these porches from its rays. Young trees are planted along the new-made streets. Occasionally a block is reserved for a miniature park; and, again, there are trees fresh planted, and the color and fragrance of flowers. This, in contrast, is the order, the loveliness, the system, the cleanliness which Russia in Manchuria is building over against Chinese aggre- gations of corruption, disease, disorder, and all unsight- liness. If the Russian is uncivilized, as it has been the fashion to declare, at least in Manchuria he is erecting precisely those very things which, in America, we look upon as the results and proofs of civilization. 21 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE You go into the Chinese town and ask for food. It is there in abundance, but you will not eat it. There is nothing familiar, nothing appetizing, nothing that sug- gests the food products of America. But you will find a European restaurant in the Russian town, and there you may have what you like ; quite as much, indeed, as you can get in an American town of ten times its size — bread made from American flour, American sugar-cured ham, American canned fruits from the Pacific coast, and so forth. If you will go up the street to the Russian store, you will find American salmon from the Columbia, American canned meats from the Central West, and American condensed milk and cream from Illinois. Clearly, American trade in Manchuria does not, as yet, seem to have been injured by this Russian invasion. If conditions could only continue as to the American ob- server they presented themselves in 1901, none of us could find cause for commercial alarm at the sight of the Russian flag in Manchuria, for it appears to the investiga- tor who has in mind America's commercial interests that, for the moment at least, American markets have been increased by the forward movement of the Musco- vite in Asia. It does not accord with our former notion, of course, but there is the fact, and it is from facts that we must reason to theories, and not from theories that we must reason to facts. It is a fact — deceptive, perhaps, and misleading, maybe — but such as it is, it is there. "Why should you be astonished at these signs of peaceful activity?" said a Russian officer. "Why, man! peaceful activity is what we are after. Our soldiers clear the way for our families; they create conditions which make roads possible, towns possible, commerce possible. We have our notion of civilization; we think it is as good as yours, and you must admit that in its external features it is very like your own. The soldier helps to make it for the people of Russia; the people of Rus- sia do not make it for the soldier." And much more to 22 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the same meaningful purport. "And," he added, with a trace of bitterness, "we do not march up and down with torch and sword, slaying, pillaging, desolating. That is not our purpose. What good would that do us or anybody? And yet that is the story which animosity tells of us. We have been misrepresented so long that we are used to it and are silent before it." It is not intended in this noting of Russian peaceful activities to minimize the soldier in Manchuria. He is there, and there in large numbers. He is there with his gun, with bayonet always fixed (it is a singular circum- stance, and more typical of Russia than any one fact I can select, that the Russian bayonet is always fixed). But the Russian soldier is in Manchuria, not with rifle and sword only, but with shovel, and pickaxe, and adz, and all the implements of toil, as indeed is the case in Siberia and in Russia itself; for the Russian soldier is more of a laboring man, after all, than he is a military man. He digs and builds and plants far more than he fights. Russian soldiers were seen digging a drain on the grounds of the excellent museum which Grodekoff has erected at Khabaroff. Yes, the soldier is there, and his bayonet is there, and the shot which means death is there. But though all these signs are present in Manchuria, they are, combined, but the single crimson thread of the fabric of empire which Russia is weaving throughout that mighty domain. The martial note is not dominant. The thud of axe in forest and thump of drill in quarry, the grating swish of the mixing mortar, the click of mason's trowel on bricks of rapidly rising walls, the drone of the saw, and the drum of hammer from one end of Manchuria to the other — these are the sounds which greet you. Again and yet again you are impressed with this — the Russian soldier in Manchuria is a laboring man first and a military man afterwards. It is an item not to be over- looked — indeed, the Russian soldier must be most care- 22> THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE fully considered by those who are estimating the forces influencing the world at present. No toil is too heavy for him; no hardship is to him a hardship at all. He will fell trees, excavate ditches, build houses with the same good - humor with which he will go into action where wounds and death are his sure reward. In Manchuria there are three classes of the Russian soldier: the Cossack first, then the railway -guard, and then numbers of that host of which the Russian army is composed, the common soldier of the empire. The rail- way-guards are of first importance in this connection, because they are the second visible instrument of the Russianization of this dominion, the first visible instru- ment being, of course, the railway itself. But, having the railway, it becomes necessary to guard it, and that not for to-day or to-morrow, but so long as danger exists; and of the existence or probability of danger to her in- vestment Russia herself, of course, will insist upon being the judge. Therefore in Manchuria there are tens of thousands of railway-guards. In 1901 the railway-guards with which Russia was protecting her railway construction formed a military force of sixty thousand men. M. Leroy-Beau- lieu estimated that there were this number in Manchuria early in 1900. In certain particulars they are picked men. To a man, they are large men physically; almost to a man, they are below thirty years of age. Man for man, they are of higher intelligence and greater ability than either Cossack or common soldier, and, without exception, share with Cossack and common soldier the characteristic Russian indifference to danger and death. All soldier, each of them, and yet all farmer, each of them, and, by the same token, men of all work at your service, are these permanent makers of empire. Every man of them who is married has his wife with him and his children and all his earthly possessions. Every man who is not mar- ried is thinking of getting married ; and one cannot resist 24 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the feeling that in its unseen and tactful way the govern- ment is encouraging each bachelor guard who sentinels the railway in Manchuria to take to himself one of those round-cheeked, broad-backed, deep-breasted peasant girls of Russia. The Russian women in the interior of Manchuria are wives of those hearty, wholesome-looking, bearded giants, the railway-guards. Even at the dangerous period, when the journe}^ was taken which these chapters chronicle, and at points hundreds of versts in the interior, these women-mates of Russia's workingmen-soldiers were seen at the scarce-erected stations of the railroad which was then being constructed. They were there selling milk or melons or berries or quass (a non-intoxicating Russian drink made out of black bread or berries). So far have Russian and Siberian conditions reproduced them- selves in Manchuria that the only difference observed at the railway -stations was the unfinished nature of the road and the increasing number of Koreans and Chinese. For the Russian peasant is there, as he is in western Siberia, and the Russian peasant's wife is there, as she is in Siberia, and the little, white-haired children, with the pale-blue eye of the Slav, are there, as they are in Siberia; and, as in Siberia and Russia, the little girls from eight to twelve are universally carrying in their arms infant brothers and sisters of as many months or even weeks, for Russian children are being born in Manchuria. And a land where a people's dead are buried, where a people's children are born, becomes to that people sacred soil. Russian homes, not for railway official only, but for the "peasant guard," are springing up throughout Man- churia. Manchurian fields are being languidly cultivated by Russian hands. It is all quite "temporary," of course; you can read it for yourself in the treaty. And, besides, the railway-guard's term of enlistment — or, rather, his contract — is for only five years. But the Slav root strikes 25 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE quickly into new soil, and having struck, history tells us that, usually, it stays. And so it is that, gradually, naturally, physically, plausibly, with appearance of entire good faith (not that it is denied that it is good faith), the master-mind that has planned this extraordinary semi-conquest of territory has provided the elements of permanent occupation and unbreakable control, should that course later appear to be dictated by events. For your Russian statesman is a great consulter of events, and so is every public man who deserves that large title — statesman. The land occupied by the Manchurian railway-guards and their families is only, so far as could be found in 1901, along the northeastern and northwestern portions of the railway. It was vacant land. There was no external evidence of its having been previously occupied. A gentleman connected with the Chinese telegraph service, and familiar with every foot of Manchuria, said that many tens of thousands of acres of fertile land in Man- churia have not been occupied within his recollection, and his personal observation extended back over a period of forty years. It was a strange state of affairs. But one explanation exists, and that only partially accounts for it. That explanation is that all eastern and northeastern Manchuria was so terrorized by the robber bands which for more than a century have had free hand there that the farmer, trader, and merchant abandoned the soil. In lower Manchuria the robbers had, up to the time of the Russian occupation, licensed commerce so as not to kill the goose that lays the golden eggs for them, as their un- restrained outrages did in the territory now referred to. It is on this land, from which the inhabitants have long ago been driven by fear, that you may find the families of the Russian railway-guard established. "How much land do each of you have?" was asked of one of them. "All we can use. And why not? This is nobody's land." 26 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE And so it is. One of the most inviting valleys within the length and breadth of Manchuria was found to be uninhabited and with little trace that it had been in- habited within recent times. And yet that valley is a natural granary. Climate and soil make it equal, for agricultural purposes, to any part of the United States, and its charming frame of mountains, which, when you reach them, you find to rise abruptly from the level plain, gives to this natural home of industry an engaging and varied beauty. We are now about one hundred and fifty miles into the interior of Manchuria. We find it rapidly undergoing the same process with which we in the Philippines were, with so much difficulty, engaged; with which Germany in Shan-Tung, with so much outlay of wealth, is engaged; with which England in South Africa was engaged with blood and bayonet, and burning villages, and conquer- ing hosts, and ruinous expenditure, and dissolving pres- tige. We are one hundred and fifty miles into Manchuria, which is being Russianized under our very eyes; and the soldier appears, as yet, to be the least important instru- ment of dominion. Thus far the Russian elements of empire seem to be brick and mortar, shovel and wagon, quarry and wall, houses and homes, women and children, order and system. And now, piled up by the side of the temporary track (one hundred and fifty miles into the interior, mind you), you behold another Russian element of empire. It is a great, white monument, covered with canvas. It is im- portant that you should know what this is, for the traveller soon acquires the instinctive understanding that things vital and full of meaning must be looked for in the incidental and occasional. Some Chinamen, at an officer's request, remove the canvas which conceals this great pile, and you find that this monument of Russian progress in Manchuria is built of five thousand sacks of American flour. It is a strange feeling which steals over you when 27 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE you read on the sacks the name of the mills and the name of the State, "Washington, U. S. A." — a strange feeling and a sense of confusion, for you are in Manchuria, that forbidden land, that region concealed from the eyes of the remainder of the world by black clouds of terrible rumor. But you have beheld nothing thus far but peace and industry; and perhaps an idea steals imperceptibly over your mind that you have been mistaken in your under- standing of Russian methods of expansion. At all events, one thought repeats itself in your mind, whether you will or no, and that thought is that here, with all the outward necessaries of civilized life about you, among which are five thousand sacks of American flour from Washington, U. S. A., you stand in perfect security, where ten years ago you probably would have been murdered by bands of brigands. Chinese working-men were building the railroad. There were hundreds of them, thousands of them, tens of thou- sands of them. Let us bring them before the eye. They are busy constructing grades, not with horses and scrapers and all of our modem labor-saving devices, but each man bearing two baskets of earth (each basket at the end of a bamboo pole across his shoulders), from where it is dug in the cut to where it is emptied on the fill. These Chinese laborers look good-humored; they appear well fed; they give all the evidences of happiness and con- tentment. They laugh at you, joke with you, say things to you rough and unrepeatable, but yet kindly a^id without meaning to offend. They are at work on buildings, too. Excellent masons they make; and above all superb stone-cutters. In this last occupation their patience is invaluable. You cannot imagine how independent they are. It is said that the railroad company experienced a serious difficulty at one time because the Chinese laborers struck. These laborers were paid eighty copecks a day in winter and sixty copecks a day in summer (two copecks make a cent of our 28 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE money). Such wages were never heard of before in this, or, indeed, any portion of China. It is many, many times the pay of the Russian ordinary common soldier, and almost equals the pay of the Russian-Manchurian railway- guard. It was too heavy a drain upon the railway re- sources, and in the summer of 1901 the company at- tempted to reduce the wages to forty copecks a day. One hundred thousand Chinamen and more instantly quit work. The alternative was presented to the govern- ment of restoring the former, and as the Russians thought exorbitant, wages or abandoning work upon the road. The men won; the wages were restored and work was resumed. Astonishing, is it not? — a strike of Chinese laborers in Manchuria, and a successful one. Undoubtedly the desire to hurry the railroad to completion, the utter absence of all labor but Chinese labor, and, lastly, the care exercised by the Russians not to offend a people they have subdued, influenced the railway company to yield to the demand of the Chinese laborers. For such a strike in Russia itself would be put down by bayonet and ball. All of these Chinese laborers, as before remarked, seemed contented and happy. They were found, among other things, building a church in the new town of Hmanpo, two hundred miles into Manchuria. And these same men only a year before were Boxers, frenzied fanatics, butchering without mercy man, woman, and child, slaying even their own kind who refused them active aid. It is a method worth considering — that of changing these furies, these demons (for such only twelve moixths before they were), into peaceful and happy laborers, apparently not only pleased with their lot, but, as it seemed to the looker on, rejoicing in it. What, then, is that method? It is the simple and tra- ditional method of Russia to strike when you strike, and to spare not when you are striking. It is to wage war while war exists, and to employ the methods of peace 29 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE only when war is over. Skobeleff at Goek Tepe refused to accept the surrender of the heroic Tepens, who had terrorized Central Asia for centuries, and he slaughtered more than twenty thousand men, women, and children in twenty days. (The siege lasted exactly twenty days, and Skobeleff's estimate of the number slain is twenty thousand.) It seemed quite terrible, and was as terrible as it seemed; but it is hard to see that it is much worse to destroy twenty thousand men, women, and children in twenty days and secure peace for all time than it is to kill that number during twenty years, and in the process increase the irritation, the disorder, and the feud. For from the red day of Goek Tepe to this hour, order, law, safety to traveller, security of commerce, and all other things which help to make up civilization, have existed in Central Asia, as firmly guarded as they are in the United States. War is bad under any circumstances, but if it must be it should be thorough, that it may be brief and not fruitless. And so in Manchuria, when the great Boxer uprising began (and it began in Manchuria with the historic attack on Blagovestchensk), the smiling Russian, with his mild blue eye and his kindly bearing, became, in truth, what rumor pictures him to the Anglo-Saxon world — a man of the sword and of blood. Russia was caught unprepared. The diabolism of some of the massacres by the Boxers does not admit of description ; but Grodekoff at Khaba- roff, Chichagoff at Vladivostock, and Alexieff at Port Arthur poured every available man into Manchuria. Five Russian divisions entered from different points, and, sweeping all before them, converged upon Kirin. It was fire and sword and death. It was war. There were no attempts to pacify or cajole while villages were burning. While the conditions of war lasted, Russia waged war. And she waged no "milk-and-water" war; she waged a war of blood. And when she had finished, she had finished, indeed, just as everywhere Russia's task has 30 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE been finished when once she has conckided a border conflict. For it is worth the attention of all men that when Russia has once inflicted her punishment there has seldom been any recurrence of insurrection. Where Russian law and order and system have been established they have remained, upheld not by the bayonets of the soldiers who established them, but by the hands of the very people among whom and against whose resistance they were planted. Among all the defects of Russia's civiliza- tion, its virtues are striking and elemental, and one of the chief of these is stability. And so in Manchuria, thousands of men, who bear on their foreheads the scar which distinguishes the Boxer of the most ultra type (for, it is said, the radical, de- termined, genuine fanatic wears a peculiar scar made in the forehead next to where the hair begins to grow) are now smiling, chaffing, even jolly laboring-men upon the Russian railroad, constructors of Russian buildings, and, most striking of all in its antitheses, the builders even of a Russian church; for among the working-men who were building this church at Hmanpo were several Box- ers. Thev confessed it cheerfully. "Why not? Every- body did it!" said one young former Boxer to the in- terpreter. Oh yes; everybody did it! Also, everybody knew, too, that they never would be Boxers again, or anything else but the loyal adherents of Russia. They understand her now. They understand that she is not to be trifled with, and that whoever touches Russian authority with violent hands has seized the currents of certain death. And, equally important, they understand that with Russia, when war is over, it is over, and that a kindly treatment, as natural, unobtrusive, pleasing as if they and the Slav had always dwelt together, is the char- acteristic of Russia and the Russian in time of peace, as death without mercy is the characteristic of Russia and the Russian in time of war. 31 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE For here again you are dazed by that phenomenon which startled you at Nikolsk and attracted your atten- tion with less sharpness in Trans-Baikal Siberia: that Russian peasant and Chinese working-man and Korean laborer mingle together as though they were all of one race, one blood, one faith, and even of one nationality. It is a phenomenon to which attention will be called again and again, because it is fundamental; because it is one of the profound elements of Russia's power in Asia, with its curious causes running far back into Russian history and character. Ill OTHER METHODS OF RUSSIAN ADVANCE GREAT railways through the heart of Manchuria, with bridges, Roman in their massiveness, with heavy grades and deep cuts, with buildings for engines and equipment solid as fortresses — all this looks as if Russia intends to remain in Manchuria (and, by the same token, all of this appears to indicate that Russia thinks Manchuria quite valuable). Brick and stone buildings, homes of officials, cottages of peasants, the blond wives of a majority of the sixty thousand railroad-guards; the tow-headed children brought with their parents, and the still younger ones bom on the soil of Manchuria itself — all these things indicate permanency of Russian oc- cupation. And, above all, Russian churches, raising their semi-Oriental spires to heaven in the centre of every Russian town, point to permanency of Russian occupa- tion. Let us not pass so hurriedly these Russian churches which former Boxers are building, not by compulsion, but for wages, in Manchuria; for with the Russian Church the Russian priest has arrived in Manchuria, too. He is not there in droves or flocks or communities of monks. He is there only very occasionally and very un- obtrusively. He acts the part of the apostle of peace — and he looks the part. Clad in a long robe of black, his blond hair combed straight back from his forehead and falling in picturesque masses of yellow curls on his sombre- clad shoulders, his abundant golden beard covering half his breast, his mild blue eyes full of languid benevolence, 3 33 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the Russian priest in Manchuria is a circumstance as soothing as it is picturesque. He appears to be attending only to the orthodox Russian flock of his Church. There is no irritating zeal for converts manifested by the priest which the national Church of Russia sends to her frontier. He is in no feverish hurry to convert the heathen. It is not necessary 'for him to be in a hurry. Seemingly — perhaps really — he respects the religious opinions of those among whom he is placed, as highly as he wishes them to respect his religious opinions. He is apparently very tolerant. A Mohammedan mosque does not offend the Russian priest, a Chinese temple does not offend him. Nothing in the faith of others offends him. To the unconverted, to the followers of other religions, he is all consideration and courtesy and sweet agreeableness. Above all, he does not debate, contend, argue. And yet the Russian Church, with methods such as these, succeeds in gathering communities, provinces, tribes, and peoples within her fold. It is done by the combined influence of those thousand incidentals which, united, are so irresistible in human thought and feeling. The beautiful service of the Russian Church; the semi- Oriental adoration of even the most highly educated and refined Russian worshipper; the unobtrusive kindliness of Russian priest towards the unbeliever, combined with a certain stately attitude of superiority — these and innum- erable other circumstances create an atmosphere of gentle and reposeful and alluring Russian orthodoxy. Even the antagonism of the priests of other religions is lulled, first into quiescence, and then into actual friendliness. ' Three hundred miles and more in the heart of Manchuria a converted Chinaman was met. He had become a mem- ber of the Russian Greek Orthodox Church. He had cut off his queue; he wore his hair like a European, dressed like one, and made the elaborate Russian sign of the cross on greeting you. And you observe a striking fact on 34 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE looking into this converted Chinaman's case — his Chris- tianization has not made him unpopular with his fellows. And this fact, when followed up, reveals the most remark- able situation of which there is any record ; for, mirabile dictu, the Chinese Buddhist priest at this particular place comes to the Russian orthodox priest and gives him the name of any Chinaman who wishes to embrace the Christian religion. This was hard to believe, but in- quiry tended to confirm it. Here, then, is one clew to the secret of Russian success in " colonization." The apparent brotherhood of Russian peasant, soldier, and officer with all classes of other na- tionalities, which we have twice noted, is another clew. The progress of actual, material improvement — build- ings, streets, parks, roads, railways — is still another and a greater. The intelligent ruthlessness of Russian warfare, when warfare must be waged, is a still more important clew. But the conduct of the Church is even more enlighten- ing. There is no preaching of the gospel to these Asiatic pagans as you would preach it to New-Englanders, any more than there are sentimental attempts to realize aca- demic theories of government. There is nowhere pro- fusion of words ; there is everywhere profusion of deeds. There is the powerful teaching of example. "You see," explained a Russian priest (far and away a superior man to the Russian priest you ordinarily meet in Russia), "we Russianize and Christianize, and, if you please, civihze by natural processes and silent influences. After they have been taught that there will be no trifling with interference to our authority (and we never teach the lesson more than once) the people come gradually to like us. We do not interfere in their worship of their god in their own way. In our Church affairs we do not offend the eye or ear or any of their elemental prejudices, and the Church gradually becomes pleasing to them. In precisely the same way they soon get accustomed to our railway, and are quick to catch its practical advantages. They 35 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE find that if they are orderly and obedient to the common authority, their treatment is that of all the remainder of us. And so, gradually and by natural adaptation and adjustment, they become what you call 'Russianized.'" It is merely observing a proper proportion, in examin- ing the Russianizing of Manchuria, to give this much attention to the Russian Church and the Russian priest; for the Russian carries his Church, his religion, his wife, and his bayoneted rifle with him wherever he goes. It is idle to debate whether his religion is as genuine as yours. You certainly cannot answer the question whether it is a mere empty form or a profound fervor which each individual feels in common with the great race of which he is a unit. These refinements are not useful in considering the part it plays in the advance of Russian dominion; for, whatever its nature, it does the work expected of it. It is the centre of that social order which Russia begins to establish the very moment she lays the foundation of a building or surveys the line of a railroad. It is the centre from which radiates an inde- scribable but very real human gentleness, inferior to ours if you like to have it so, but a distinct improvement over the atrophied human conditions of Asia. And for the Russian himself, it is enough to say that at least he lives in its forms and observances, and in its articles he smiling- ly goes to his death. Wherever Russian improvement may be seen in Man- churia, there may be seen also the wooden Greek cross which Cossack and guard and common soldier have plant- ed above their slain comrades. Wherever a Russian home has risen, wherever a telegraph - ofhce has been erected, wherever even the Cossack has built his watch-tower, from which by day and night he sweeps with watchful eye the surrounding country, wherever a Russian is housed, there hangs the holy icon. And before that sacred image every Russian, noble or peasant, general or common soldier, governor or servant, bows his head and makes 36 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the holy sign ; for the Prince of Peace, wherever the sons of Russia have raised the empire's flag, is acknowledged Lord of all, even by the Czar himself. Whatever may be said of the Russian Church by its critics, it must be admitted that the religion it teaches has a certain carrying and sustaining power which bears the Russian up in his most desperate trials, and repels not the strange people among whom he plants his law, his authority, and his faith. It had been a day of hardship and labor. The floods had cut us off from food. Temporary bridges had been swept away by a sudden rush of waters from a series of cloud-bursts in the near-by mountains. The deluge of the seventies, when thousands lost their lives, was repeated in Manchuria in the dreadful summer of 1901. One had to drink tea made from muddy waters, along which now and then a drowned Chinaman floated by. Rivers ran so swift and wide that it appeared impossible for a boat to be propelled from shore to shore. Once, when a too-daring party of three attempted the hurrying waters, the racing rapids snatched the boat from their control and death seemed near. High winds blew bits of sand into your face until the skin felt perforated as by a hundred needle- points, and the blazing sun stung and burned and blistered; to be succeeded at evening by currents of air so cold that you shook with ague as you lay down to rest on the rain-drenched earth. But there was no note of impatience from any Russian tongue. Only a German, an American, and a Dane — act- ing as English, Russian, and Chinese interpreter — only these fretted, with the impatience of too highly organized nerves. Attempt after attempt is made to rescue this strange company. Attempt after attempt fails. And in the attempts some men are drovvmed. Still no disturb- ance of the Russian phlegm. Your Dane, your German, and your American may pace up and down and mutter and complain. The Russian sits stolidly on the great 37 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE embankment, or firmly stands and patiently waits, pa- tiently watches, good-humored, adaptable, imperturbable. Note well this characteristic, even in the folly of your im- patience, German, American, Dane; for here is another source of Russian power which, in cooler moments and at greater leisure, it will pay you well to study, and deeply study, too. At last a huge boat, hauled miles up-stream, is floated down and paddled steadily towards your shore ; and half a mile below you the Cossacks who are bringing it to your relief succeed in running it into the marshes on your side of the river. With much pains, much patience, and in constant danger of being drowned, they finally bring it to your feet, and you embark. With exertions which make you fear for them, so mightily do they labor, so swelled and congested become the veins in their foreheads, the Cossacks finally reach the other side, a long distance below the point from which you started. That night you sit exhausted at the Russian local head- quarters., in the heart of the most troubled district of Manchuria. The headquarters consist of four long build- ings, of a single story, with thick walls of hardened gray bricks, enclosing a court whose sward is green with often- watered grass and delicious with flowers, whose careful tending tells you of the supervision and directing hand of woman. It is very restful, secure from sun and pro- tected from storm, and there are kindly mannered, travel- cultured Russian officers about you, conversing pleasantly and quite freely on any subject you like. The talk in- cludes in its range even the respective merits and de- merits of their government as compared with yours; the wisdom or the unwisdom, according to individual opinion, of the Russian programme in Manchuria; or the eccle- siastical policy of the Greek Church; or, strangest of all, the nature and meaning of our American industrial or- ganizations known as "trusts." (The Russian is just as curious and keen an inquirer as the American.) Night 38 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE falls. Heavy clouds shut out the stars. An occasional drop of rain spats upon the roof, and then descends the steady downpour of a Manchurian rainfall. All of you — Russian, German, American, and Dane — feel very far away from the world, very much cut off from your kind, very much surrounded by dangers — as, indeed, you are. Suddenly, through the darkness, which the rain em- phasizes, a bugle peals across the night a few martial and not untuneful notes, and then silence again closes on the sound. For a moment only the stillness, and then rises, strong and fervid and deep-toned, a solemn chant. The talk ceases. Every officer makes the sign of the cross, and the night is full of the feeling and atmosphere of prayer. A strange sound surely for such a place. You ask its meaning, and learn that it is the Cossacks in their barracks intoning their night-time appeal to the throne of God for His care and protection in toil and in battle, and, finally, for the salvation of these. His servants, when, their duty done, they shall stand before His face. Go, you doubter of the sincerity of these bearded soldiers and behold the faces of these men as this song- prayer is chanted! Witness the attitude of adoration; see the looks of humihty; behold shining from their eyes the light of a faith which is sufficient for them even unto death! And, however you reason it out, you cannot — resist it as you will — overcome the feeling that here is a vital element of Russian power and an efficient instrument of Russian policy. You sometimes feel that you cannot put this very real thing — this simple faith of these Russian soldiers — on the low plane of a mere agency of statecraft. Sometimes, in spite of yourself, the suggestion forces upon you that this unquestioning belief is quite as real as your own. And it is a curious confusion of thoughts that crowds upon your mind when you reflect that these are the men who, that very day, risked their lives, just to give you and others a little comfort — risked them gladly and with laughter. These are the men who 39 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE meet, subdue, destroy those bands of robbers who for decades have so terrorized Manchuria that even their crimes have come to be Hcensed. Study it well, you German student of the elements of empire, noting, as you are, the smallest incident which passes before your watchful eyes. And study it well, too, you American, study it well every one, for here, it may be, is a force in the hands of Russian statesmanship with which the world must reckon. Later on the contract with the Chinese government will be set out, under which the Manchurian railway, now completed, but then in course of construction, was being built. You can there read for yourself the ad- ministrative power given Russia under this contract. But at these Russian headquarters the actual execution of her powers was observed. Two Chinese vagabonds were brought in to the commanding officer. They were not brought in by the Russian soldiery; they were de- livered by Chinamen doing police duty, perhaps under Chinese authority, but certainly under Russian pay. These offenders had already been rudely manacled. Very abject were they, very penitent they appeared. It seemed that they had stolen some kind of railway material. The Russian commander made very short work of it. He merely turned them over to the Chinese Governor of a near-by town for the administration of Chinese justice. "What will be done with them?" was asked. "Undoubtedly," came the answer, "old" (naming the Chinese Governor) "will execute them." And so it is that theft and disorder are becoming very unpopular wherever Russian authority is influential in Manchuria. Now for another phase of Russian treatment of the Manchurian native. Half an hour later three sick Chinamen, variously afflicted, followed these evil-doers who had been sent hence to their death. Two of these sick men were ill of some kind of a fever, and another one 40 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE had been injured and required surgical attendance. On former visits to China it had been observed that the Chinese do not take kindly to the medical assistance of foreigners. It has required years for the missionary hospitals and dispensaries in the various treaty ports of China proper to get the confidence of the people. It appeared strange, therefore, that these Chinamen should come voluntarily to the Russian headquarters for medical treatment. "But you see," explained the Russian physician, who at once took them in charge, "it is our policy to help the people among whom we have come, from the highest to the lowest, in every possible way we can. If I did not /'ear that you would think that I am trying to impress you with our good qualities I should tell you that we do this thing not only from polic3^ but also from our nature and disposition. Nothing pleases a Russian more than to help some other person who is in need. Ap- parently the Chinese feel this, for, as you see, they come on their own motion and very willingly. I shall treat each of these men just as carefully as I do any of our own soldiers or officers. They go away ver}' grateful and tell the good news to their fellows. And so, imperceptibly, but with astonishing rapidity, there grows up a kindly feeling for us." Greater credit was given to this statement from having observed, again and again, in Siberia, many instances of the same personal kindliness and helpful desire of the Russian nature. And so, once more, it appeared that, in his material advance into a dominion which he is ab- sorbing, the hand of the Russian when opposed is a hard hand; but when opposition is crushed, a soft, soothing, and even caressing hand. Again, it must be borne in mind that, although building roads, raising towns, constructing churches, and the other works of peace constitute the largest part of the method employed by the government in Russianizing Manchuria, 41 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE military activity is not wanting ; for, indeed, it is not want- ing. But when you compare the expenditure of energy and money in the execution of her peaceful methods with the energy and money expended m her warlike activities the proportion is nine to one. This is true, too, in exter- nal appearance, in physical manifestations, and results. Remembering this proportion, we can better appreciate at its true value Russia's military operations in construct- ing her new empire on the Pacific. Never forget that when Russia feels it necessary to employ her soldiers in the field she does not hesitate. She uses them with all the power and deadly effect possible. This is as true of a little campaign as a big one. It was true of the final campaign in south-central Manchuria, in the summer of 1 90 1, as it was of the campaign made necessary by the Boxer movement. The robber bands, whose richest field of operations extended from the port of New-Chwang, in southwestern Manchuria, through Mukden to Kirin, in central-eastern Manchuria (a diagonal line of several hundred miles), had clung tenaciously to their criminal supremacy. Through this territory the trade of Man- churia, and even a portion of the commerce of Trans- Baikal Siberia, passes. Over this commerce the robbers of Manchuria exercised such terrorism that merchants, Chinese as well as foreign, finally came to recognize the authority of these powc's of pillage; and it is said that an office was actually establish- ed in the port of New-Chwang where persons desiring to import goods into Manchuria might secure insurance against molestation from robber hordes. When this in- surance was paid for, the robber agent gave the merchant a document and a little flag, and with this document in his possession and this flag nailed to his carts or boats he travelled in safety. This was the system of crime which Russia found in Manchuria, from the profits of which some thousands of criminals were living in unmolested insolence. These 42 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE robbers were among the most relentless of the Boxers; and, after that fanatical movement had been suppressed, these Manchurian brigands did not cease for an instant their activity against the power whose firm establishment in Manchuria would mean the certain and permanent destruction of their practices. Russia did not hesitate an instant. She sent no com- mission to treat with them. No honeyed methods, no moral suasion, no "sweet reasonableness" was employed. Russia understood the people she was dealing with. It is said that the forces she despatched to the scene of disturbance would not receive a flag of truce from the brigands and could not have sent one unless they had taken the white blouse of the common soldier for that pur- pose. "We never carry material from which flags of truce can be made," said a young officer, rather vaingloriously. Mukden was instantly garrisoned with twelve thousand Russian soldiers (this garrison was still there in igoi, and has since been increased to twenty-five thousand men, as credible rumor reports) ; and a flying body (none but the Russian government knows how many) was placed in the field, commanded by picked officers, every one of whom had distinguished himself for courage and resource within the preceding twelve months, either in the Boxer uprising or in some of the frontier campaigns of Russia. And the whole was under the command of the Kitchener of Russia — General - Lieutenant Cierpitsky. This com- mander is Russia's field fighter. He has given his life to the business of war, and loves his profession with an enthusiasm which cannot properly be described by any other word than passionate. He took the field in person at the head of his troops. Three thousand robbers were killed in less than six weeks; two thousand were captured, and the rest scattered and hunted like beasts into the caves and fastnesses of the concealing mountains. The power of organized brigandage in Manchuria has been destroyed, it is hoped and believed, forever. 43 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE And do not forget that it was a formidable power of its kind. It could even be said to have had resources supplied by the fees of licensed spoliation. It was comparatively a well-organized power, with captains and chiefs. And now it is broken, crushed, scattered, obliterated, in a period of time ordinarily required to get ready for such a campaign. And this was accomplished by the simple process of making war when war was inevitable, just as though there were nothing else in the world to do but to make war; instead of conciliating one day and threatening the next; instead of entertaining insurgents on Monday and taking the field against them on Tuesday. "You seem to work at this business, General," was a remark made to General Cierpitsky. "Why not?" said he. "If it is the thing to do, it is the thing to do. Is it not?" That was a simple statement that put you in mind of Grant — so clear, so plainly true, so free from complexities, limitations, explanations. "And," added the Russian commander, "I think we have pretty high warrant for it. For what is that in the great book of the world's law" (rather a fine phrase, is it not?) "about doing whatever is necessary with all your soul — 'Whatsoever thy hand findeth to do, do it with thy might.' Is not that the quotation?" This remark of a fighting general of Russia was a key to the Russian system of pacification. Also it revealed the interesting circumstance that the field officer of the empire knew his Bible. Further and extended conversa- tion with him disclosed the fact that he knew other books as well, and especially all that had been written on the science of war. Of course, everybody interested in bring- ing an end to armed conflict (and we are all interested in that) has read the third volume of Mr. Bloc's really great work on war, in which the author demonstrates, by mathematics and statistics, the impossibility of any more wars on a large scale between first - rate nations. No civilian can read this remarkable monument of reasoning 44 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and learning without becoming convinced that the day of organized slaughter on the fields of battle must soon end. What more engaging subject, then, could be sug- gested to this practical soldier than this book of his fellow-subject and servant of the Czar? However, being merely a soldier, he has probably not read it. Mention it to him timidly, then. You find that he has not only read the third volume, but the first and second volumes too, and he overwhelms Mr. Bloc's apparently irrefuta- ble conclusions by pointing out practical facts of so sim- ple and obvious a nature that, civilian though you are, you wonder why you never thought of them yourself. Test this rough-and-ready soldier a little further and you discover that there is not a work in the literature of war which you can name to him with which he is not familiar. The most notable thing about General Cierpitsky is his devotion to his martial profession; the second thing to impress you is his enthusiasm in Russia's work in Man- churia. It is no forced ardor, no simulated interest. The following is the way he spoke to a detachment of his soldiers at the close of the Mukden campaign, in August, 1 90 1. As the soldiers saw General Cierpitsky walking swiftly down upon them, every hand of the long line came instantly and rigidly to the cap in impressive salute, and from a thousand throats in unison was shouted out their soldier - greeting to their commander, a free translation of which is, "Hail! our General!" or "Good-morning, our General!" or "We greet you, our General!" And here, in free translation, is the exact speech he made to them, with their responses: General Cierpitsky. "Soldiers, I am glad to see you again." Soldiers (in unison). "Thank you, our General." General Cierpitsky. "You have overcome the robbers, armed with the best guns; you have overcome cHmate, floods, and heat; and you have overcome dysentery and every form of disease which vile water and viler sur- 45 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE roundings create. And, soldiers, you ought to thank God for preserving your Hves." Soldiers (in unison). "We thank God, our General." General Cierpitsky. ' ' And, soldiers, you ought to pray to God to keep you strong to fight again for Him and for your country." Soldiers. " We pray God, our General." General Cierpitsky. " Now you are going home and you deserve rest; but you must always be ready to fight for your Czar, your country, and your God." Soldiers. "We will always be ready, our General." Can any one fail to see the significance of this brief address? Here was Russia's hardest field fighter, at the end of a bloody campaign made necessary for the pro- tection of her railroad property, reminding his troops that they had been fighting "for God and their country," commanding them to "thank God for preserving their lives," and admonishing them to be ready always to serve "their God and their country." And there was not one bit of cant in it. It was spontaneous, natural, real. And so the General closed; and, with a kindly wave of his hand to the troops, whom he in person and on foot, with sword in hand, had led on a hard excursion in a difficult country, he turned to leave them. Instantly the soldiers broke into the deep -toned, thrilling Russian huzza, and the air was filled with their caps, waved and tossed aloft in adieu to their leader. These soldiers had just returned from a merciless campaign, yet they did not look very blood - thirsty — on the contrary, quite mild-mannered, quite easy-going, and quite en rapport with the people themselves. This is a note touched be- fore, but it must be touched again and again if you will understand Russia's success in extending her authority. The Russian army, as well as the Russian working-men and peasants, fraternize with the conquered people. They do it naturally and without effort. There is in the 46 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE familiarity of their intercourse a suggestion of kinship. Perhaps, Russian understanding of the Asiatic is in- stinctive and congenital; for the Russian has a little Asiatic blood in his veins and much Asiatic traditions in his mind, inherited from the centuries of Tartar rule. But whatever the causes, it is certain the Russian does understand the Asiatic as no other people understands him; better than the German, better even than the Englishman. Skobeleff sounded the key-note of Russian policy when he said: "My system is this — to strike hard, and keep on hitting until resistance is completely over; then at once to form ranks, cease slaughter, and be kind and humane to the prostrate enemy." It is a system based on very simple common-sense, is it not? Certainly it is a system peculiarly adapted to Asiatics. At any rate, no man can deny that it has been successful wherever employed ; for be it remembered that Russia has absorbed more territory, assimilated a greater number of different peoples, and fought more border wars than any modem nation; and that in the whole course of her ceaseless march there has never been a single serious uprising against Russian authority, once that authority has been established. That is a fact worth examining and reflecting upon. IV TYPES OF CIVIL AGENTS OF THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN General Cierpitsky we observe the type of officer that Russia puts in the field to conduct actual opera- tions at the front. What kind of men does she place in charge of the administrative functions of her forming do- minions? What of the minds and characters that are con- structing her railway, the mileage of which in Manchuria alone is nearly half the distance across the American continent? What of the subordinates in the force of constructive empire — the station-agents, the "masters of distance"? After all, the only three things worth study- ing in any country are the soil and its potentialities, the people and their capacities, and the few leaders and their inherent power. All that is ancient and monumental is of value only in interpreting these three elements of the present. All Russian railroads are divided into what are called "distances," each distance having a master. This "mas- ter of a distance" — literal translation — is a cross between the division superintendent of an American railway and a section boss. The same system exists in Manchuria wherever the railroad is completed. Let us see what quality of mentality and force of character are in this type. "I believe with all my soul in the Orthodox Greek Church, but I believe in it as an engine of national au- thority more than in a religious way." It is a great, big, bearded "master of distance" on one of the divisions of the Manchurian railway who is talking now, as the con- struction-train bearing materials proceeds slowly along 48 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the temporary track laid by the side of the substantial permanent grade. Let him talk. Every word is a meas- ure of the men in whose hands Russia places her work of building what she calls and believes is civilization in Manchuria. "I beHeve in God, of course," he continued, "but not the individual God with parts and substance, who was the deity of my childhood days. As for im- mortality, I cannot figure that out. After a Hfetime of meditation, it seems to me unthinkable. But there is the immortality of the race — a divine destiny and pur- pose for every nation. The Church of Russia is the highest interpretation of our national unity and of Slav dominion. And so I am as earnest a member of the Russian Church as I am a loyal subject of the Czar, and for much the same reason." "What do you think of the divine destiny, as you call it, of the Russian nation?" was asked of this railway section-master. "You mean, what do I think is the divine mission of the Slav race, as expressed through the forms of the Russian autocracy or nation?" was his answer (rather discriminating and analytical, I thought). "Well," con- tinued he, "what do you say to the introduction of law, order, justice, and religion among the four hundred mill- ions of China?" Let us keep in mind this flash of imperial purpose from one of Russia's humblest instruments. What we are doing now is putting the tape-measure up and down the spine of Russian agents in Manchuria, finding the length of their arms and the stability of their legs and the size of their heads. And this extract from a fascinating con- versation does that very well. But here, flaming up in the least expected of places, is an expression of Russian aspiration which must be followed with the same care with which the miner follows the first thin vein of gold that points to priceless and hitherto unsuspected deposits in the heart of the mountains. But that is for another 4 49 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE chapter. It is enough for the present that we find this section-master discoursing, with sense and real depth of thought, upon those abstruse questions involved in the philosophy of the Greek Orthodox Church. And, far more significant, we find him stating a racial ambition with almost poetic power. Of course, upon the subject of the railroad in Manchuria he will talk with you by the rod; but that was to have been expected. For example : "The railroad is much better than the Siberian rail- road," said he. " It is more honestly built, for one thing. I do not think there has been any corruption in the con- struction of the Manchurian road; certainly not so much as in the Siberian, and particularly in the Ussuri road. You notice yourself that the line is as straight as it reason- ably can be." And he went on about the railroad very entertainingly and very informingly. "Ah!" said he, springing up as we came in sight of a thick-walled house built for the engineers and officers of the temporary work, "there is where they nearly got us." (Referring to the Boxers the previous year.) "They at- tacked us in force, and had rifles and some field-guns. It was a surprise, sure enough, I will admit. But we got our men together quickly, and I myself took command. We beat them off, but since the Turkish war I have seen no harder fighting. It was hand - to - hand sometimes. Six men I shot myself." He was full of tales like this; whether they were true or not they were significant. Proud as he was of the railroad, he was prouder of his feats as a soldier. It was the soldier bubbling up in his blood from the hidden and profound sources of his very soul. It was that racial spirit not inherent in the Slav blood, but injected into it by generations of military assault from Europe on the west and barbaric invasion from Asia on the east; for, if from beneath the placid and languid manner of the Russian the world has now and then been astonished by 50 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE volcanic eruptions of martial spirit, let the world re- member that for many centuries the Turk on the south, the Tartar on the east, the Teuton and the Gaul on the west, and even the icy hosts of nature on the arctic north, have been battling the patient Slav. Why should the world be surprised if at every point of the compass Russia presents fixed bayonets ready for the thrust? For from every point of the compass Russia has for centuries been invaded and assaulted. We cannot take up too much space with conversations, of course, but this one is typical. A hundred others like it from men of inferior station might be given ; and only brief points from this one are referred to, but their illumination is their apology. "I make no doubt of the permanency of Russian occu- pation here," said he. "It is my intention to remain when my contract with the railroad has expired. My wife and children are on the way here now. The opportu- nities in a hundred lines are so alluring and substantial that I should feel as if I were insulting Fate if I did not improve them. And those opportunities are in every direction. There is mining in the mountains, there is commerce, there is everything. I will show you a young man about twenty-five versts from here who is getting rich with his little provision store." At dawn of a morning full of rain, the interpreter routed out " the young man who is getting rich." He had a little store in a Russo-Chinese village clustered about a station. He was a typical, blond-haired, blue-eyed, light-skinned Slav. We bought meats canned by a Chi- cago packing firm, crackers made by another American firm. The store was well stocked, and every item of its merchandise was from Russia, Germany, and America, with proportions in the order named, except perfumery, which was from France as well as Russia. (No Russian store is so mean and humble that it cannot supply you with a half-dozen brands of perfumery.) 51 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "I am getting a little Chinese custom," the man said. "They take best to American flour. Of course, most of my trade is Russian [he meant that he sold mostly to Russians — guards, officers, etc.]. It is hard to get any hne started with the Chinese, but v/hen it is started it steadily grows. But I cannot compete with the Chinese mer- chants once they take it into their heads to sell the same kind of goods I do. And it will not be long before they do that, but by then I shall, perhaps, have developed into a general merchant for the supply of foreign goods to local merchants." Here, then, was a contribution to one of the most im- portant of Oriental commercial studies — to wit, to get the Chinaman to buy your goods, you must induce him to like them; and to induce him to like them you must take the thing itself to his very table. When he uses it he acquires a taste for it, and when he acquires a taste for anything the Chinaman becomes a most persistent and generous customer. This observation is by the way, and as a reminder of a subject of immediate interest to Americans when we reach it. Frequently a gang of a thousand Chinamen have but a single yellow-mustached Russian as their overseer, but this single overseer keeps them at work by a system of bosses. They are divided into companies, and these companies into squads, and each squad has its Chinese boss. These overseers you will find respectful, disci- plined, of fair intelligence, but every one of them endowed with the personality of command. Certain it is that the multitudes of laborers are well managed. Go to their huts when the day's work is done, and have your inter- preter engage them in conversation. Some are smoking tobacco — why do Chinamen never chew? — some smoking opium, some gambling. You are treated courteously, offered food and tobacco, and there is no unwillingness to talk freely with you. "We are very contented, indeed, with our lot," was 52 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the free translation of the interpreter, talking to a Chinese laborer, who, with more than a thousand comrades, was building an immense grade. "Many of us were Boxers. There is no use going into the reason why; maybe we were misled, and maybe we received orders. We like the way the Russian treats us. We have work to do, are told how to do it, and get paid for it. We don't know, and we don't care, who governs the country. All we want is to make money, so that we can buy food and tobacco and opium." Connect this remark of the railway laborer in Man- churia with the observation of a highly educated, English- speaking young Chinese merchant of Shanghai, met as a fellow-traveller in Japan: "I don't care who governs us, and I don't know a single Chinese merchant who does care. All we want is an opportunity to do business and make money." We have observed the soldier, the priest, the subordi- nate officials, the bosses, even the laborers. Let us now become acquainted with the constructive minds on the ground. At Nikolsk, Harbin, Vladivostock — wherever emergency or inclination calls him — you will find the engineer-in-chief in charge of the Manchurian railway, that most extraordinary example in the world of what is called "progress," recently constructed, on which the Russian government have expended more than one hun- dred and fifty million dollars. Engineer-in-Chief Tugovitch is, perhaps, sixty years of age, of powerful physical frame, face glowing with intel- ligence, an eye dull in lustre but keen in suggestons of quick mentality. Tugovitch is the personal selection of Russia's master mind, Witte, Minister of Finance and now practical Premier of the Czar. For nearly forty years he has been in active service. He was a military engineer in the Russo-Turkish war. He was one of the engineers of the Trans-Caspian road. Again, he was employed in difficult engineering work in the mountains of Bessarabia. 53 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE There is not a practical feature of railway building, from the placing of ties or the bolting of rails to the planning of lines and the thinking-out of systems, of which Tugo- vitch is not master by experience as well as ability. And, like nearly all the men who struggle to the top through the civil-service grades of Russia's administrative system, Tugovitch is a planner of empire, a moulder of the future, a suggester of material schemes for the seizure of power and opportunity by the Russian government. For example, Tugovitch many years ago proposed that the Czar should build the railway across Asia Minor to Bagdad, thus controlling the commerce of the Levant and holding Persia in the inextricable grasp of Russia. It is said that Witte approved the scheme, but he was then only the head of a department in the Ministry of Finance, and the cabinet rejected the Persian proposition. It was a mistake of which Germany took quick advantage, for German capitalists now have the concession for this railroad. It is a part of Germany's strategy, which has usurped the past power of England and the future possibilities of Russia in the Turkish Empire, across Asia Minor and through Persia, even to the gulf. If you ask what all this means, the answer is so simple as to be startling. It means some twenty million of con- sumers in Turkey, several millions more in Asia Minor, and some fifteen milHons in Persia; and that is something to interest factory owners, factory laborers, agriculturists, and everybody else who has anything to sell. Tugovitch is very frank and free in his expression of opinion. More than seven 3^ears ago he went through Manchuria on horseback over every possible line of the proposed road. He personally selected the routes which the various lines were to take. "I know the road was not built for the purpose of seizing Manchuria," said he, "nor, as dreamers declare, for the purpose of ultimately controlHng China. It was built for a plain engineering reason — namely, because of 54 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the impracticability of water transportation down the Amur and Shilka rivers. You have been over that route yourself. The rise and tall of water in those rivers make navigation impracticable." (It had taken me more than four weeks to go a distance on those rivers which was scheduled for eight days.) "The engineering difficulties and financial cost of con- tinuing the Siberian lines along the Amur River," he con- tinued, "are plain to everybody who takes the journey. And yet, having built the Siberian railroad as far as we have, it was necessary to complete the line continuously to Vladivostock. Manchuria was between our line and Trans-Baikal Siberia on the west and our port of Vladi- vostock on the east. The plains, valleys, and passes of Manchuria afforded a route almost straight, and one which, in comparison with the difficult Amur route, is cheap and easy. This fact of physical geography and engineer- ing science was the origin of the Manchurian railway. Of course, when it became possible to lease Port Arthur and Talienhwan for a short period, and thus have a rail- way outlet to the very thick and centre of the human activities of the Orient, common-sense suggested the ex- tension of our line to those ports." "That," he went on, "is absolutely all there is in the purpose and consequences of the building of this road. Russia cannot colonize this territory if she would. The Russian cannot compete with the Chinaman as merchant, laborer, artisan. Now that safety and order have been established as a necessary consequence of guarding our railroad, Chinamen are pouring into Man-/ churia Hterally by the hundred thousand. So far, then,! from the Russian peasant crowding out the Chinaman in this country, the very much more serious question is: How shall we preserve Siberia, and even Russia, from Chinese competition? The contract with the Chinese government for the construction of the road provides that the Chinese government may take it off our hands 55 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE in thirty years, and that in any event it shall become the absolute property of China in eighty years. I think, and all of the deeper students think, that exactly this will occur. You ask why, then, are we expending all this energy, all this money in constructing the road at all? It is to complete the Siberian road, as I tell you." This same question was asked another official, who made a similar answer, but added: "I admit that is no sufficient answer to the question, nor to any of the schemes for the extending of Russian Empire. We are moving forward, always moving forward, in each particular and specific case, without knowing exactly why. The prac- tical and immediate reasons against each of our advances for more than a century have been overwhelming, and most Russians, as individuals, have been opposed to them; and yet the command is, ' Forward!' still ' Forward! ' and ever 'Forward!' It is as if we were impelled out- ward and onward by some unseen hand. And by 'we' I include the Czar himself; the Czar and his people are one." Sure enough, nearly every Russian met in Russia and Siberia was against the acquisition of Manchuria, and yet all of them were willing to fight rather than aban- don it. THB OVERLORDS OF THE CZAR's ADVANCING POWER IN THE FAR EAST GENERAL GRODEKOFF, Governor of eastern Si- beria and Manchuria, and Admiral Alexieff, execu- tive representative of the Russian government in south Manchuria and upon the Oriental seas, were both very- frank, very open, and astonishingly independent in their opinions — astonishingly independent, that is, from the Anglo-Saxon view-point, which is that all Russians, and especially all officials, have the same opinion, and that that opinion is formulated for them at St. Petersburg. Let us observe what manner of men are these overlords of the Czar's civil, military, and industrial forces in Man- churia. You will hear about General Grodekoff a thousand miles before you reach the capital where he has his head- quarters. He is one of those vital personalities about whom there is individual interest and mouth-to-mouth gossip. "He is a simple man," you will hear one remark. Another will say, "General Grodekoff is the hardest worker in all Russia." "A hard worker, yes; but not so hard as Witte, is he?" a third will interject. "General Grode- koff fought with Skobeleff," remarked a German-speak- ing Russian merchant, as our boat slowly paddled down the Shilka River. "He did more than that — he was one of Skobeleff's favorite officers," said another. (Skobe- leff is the hero of all Russians. To have it said that "he fought with Skobeleff" is a greater distinction than a title.) "He is a bachelor; he has always been too 57 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE busy to nlarry," said another, and much more of the like. And so, from a medley of chance remarks, more of gossip and with gossip's inaccuracy, most of them praise, some of them censure, but all of them personal and full of color, the individuality of General Grodekoff, who wields all the absolute powers of the Czar throughout a territory as large as the United States east of the Mississippi River, grows upon you until it becomes a living thing. And how simple, how direct, how strong this man is you must lose no opportunity to observe. Ask for an audience, then, the afternoon of your arrival at Khabaroff . It is customary to receive callers only in the forenoon, but audience is granted not for the next day, nor for that night, nor in an hour, but instantly. There is no "red tape" here, then, but an air of business curiously American. An adjutant meets you at the door and conducts you through an anteroom into an impressive audience-chamber, where the Governor-General receives deputations, delegations, commissions of every kind from any portion of the sub-empire which he rules for the Czar. At one end of this room is a raised platform, with three great chairs upon it, back of which hang the portraits of the Czar and Czarina. On either side and in front of this platform two quick-firing guns command the hall. The impression is that of naked power. You can understand that a deputation of Chinese received in the hall would go away with an idea of sheer force instantly available. But you do not stop in this audience-chamber. You are taken through into a plain office, with plain desk and many papers in neatly arranged bundles. In a moment a quick step is heard, and through the door of an inner room General Grodekoff himself comes forward to greet you. He is short in stature, broad-shouldered, bald- headed, full-bearded, nervous of speech. He is dressed in uniform, of course, and wears his trousers inside his boots, according to the universal Russian custom. He 58 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE talks quickly, with precision of idea and direction of manner. Force, energy, keenness, masterfulness — these are the impressions he makes upon you. He knows all about President McKinley. He knew all about President Roosevelt, too (then Vice-President), and speaks of in- cidents in his career. Both of them he admired. You get the notion, though, that GrodekofE has not been a great reader of books, and that the reason is that he has been too busy. He has been the maker of materials for books. He was an officer under Skobeleff. He knows all about Afghanistan from having tramped and ridden over and through it. The same is true of Persia. On all these subjects he has clear and vigorous personal opin- ions formed from actual experience. Turn where you will, you will find this deputy of the Czar informed, usually at first hand and from personal observation. Where it has been impossible for him to see for himself, he has learned from the lips of those who have seen. He knows all about our situation in the Philippines, and is not reserved in his opinion. He is a master of Chinese conditions in comprehensive generality and in particular detail (the secret of this was learned later in China itself). Most of all, you note his unhesi- tating frankness. No matter what the subject, he does not pause for ready and full reply, and if there is hes- itation he leads the conversation himself. Above all, there is no attempt to impress or to please or to do any- thing else than simply to meet you face to face on any ground of possible mutual interest. To sum it all up, you find that he is a man so absorbed in his work that he has given his whole life to it. And this is the quality of man whom the representatives of other nations must meet and overcome wherever their interest conflicts with that of Russia. It is a consideration worthy of as much thought as the subject of Oriental markets and Oriental states- manship itself, for no nation will be permitted to have her own way on the Pacific or in the Orient until such 59 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE highly equipped and devoted men as General Grodekoff are met and reckoned with. And Germany has just such men, too. Two more examples of the intellectual agencies em- ployed by Russia in Manchuria, and you have enough data from which to form a fair estimate. Admiral Alex- ieflf, with headquarters at Port Arthur, makes upon you the impression of almost abnormal alertness. He, too, is a bachelor. His life also has been devoted, with the enthusiasm of a boy, to the growing power of Russia. He is perhaps fifty years of age, and instinct with nervous energy. His step is impetuous. The whole movement of the man is full of dash. His talk is the vocalization of force; his attitude, even when sitting in conversation, is that of bolt-upright intentness. Alexieff is informed, very frank, open, never hesitating to formulate a reply and giving you his opinion quite off-hand. He is as quick in speech as is Admiral Dewey, of whom again and again you are reminded when talking to him. His days are full of toil; indeed, most of his nights are full of toil also. There appears to be something about these men whom Russia has set at the front of her advance which fasci- nates them into a passion for work. Perhaps it is that they are always doing something, and not merely talk- ing about doing something. Each day things are to be settled. Ships are to be sent hither and yon; movements of bodies of troops are to be thought out and executed; information is to be daily, almost hourly, received on all kinds of important subjects; decisions are required on all manner of cases, many of them of far-reaching impor- tance; delicate conditions, constantly changing and newly forming, are to be reckoned with, and reckoned with accurately. In short, the great heads of Russian admin- istration have enough, and more than enough, to do all of the time. And the things which they do are tangible, definite. They are things which afford a man the con- sciousness, when he closes his eyes at night, that he can see 60 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE where his energies have gone during the day. Whatever the reason, the activity, intelhgence, alertness, and im- mense information of men Hke Admiral Alexieff strike you most powerfully. And when one who had come to take the measure of this man departs, he will find this one ex- pression repeating itself again and again, "Equipped — well equipped." In 1901 , when the writer met Admiral Alexieff , he was in supreme command of the Asiatic Russian squadron, and also in command of all southern Manchuria. Into his hand, too, it was understood, were gathered all of the threads of Russian diplomacy and statecraft running out all through the Orient. It was at that time predicted that Alexieff would soon be the first and highest representative of the Czar throughout I\Ianchuria and the entire Far East, and even in Trans-Baikal Siberia. His elevation during the present year to precisely that station has established the reality of the impressions formed in 1901. Whatever may be the future career of this uncommon man, whether he continues indefinitely to enjoy the exalted confidence of his sovereign, which is now his, or whether one of these strange revolutions of autocratic favor shall reduce him to an humbler place, all statesmen, of whatever national- ity, who may during this period be called upon to meet in negotiations or otherwise Admiral Alexieff would do well to understand that they are dealing with a master mind, a master will, and altogether with a masterful man. While Admiral Alexieff was perfectly unreserved in his conversation, while he talked with all the freedom of Tol- stoi — as indeed was the case with General Grodekoff — the statement that the conversation was to be regarded as personal necessarily excludes a repetition of anything said by either, or even an intimation of their views, utterances of opinion, or assertions of fact; and none of the extracts of conversation given either heretofore or hereafter in this volume came from either of them in the remotest degree. Indeed, it may as well be stated here as elsewhere that 61 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE significant utterances quoted in this book are, of course, given without the violation of any confidence. This state- ment is, no doubt, quite unnecessary, but is made out of excess of caution. Interesting as are the personalities of General Grode- koff and Admiral Alexieff, so much space would not be devoted to them merely on their personal account; for this volume is neither biography nor character study, and either or both of these men may to-morrow be removed to other fields of duty, and at best, of course, as is the case with all of us, the period of human life will soon take them out of active work. But these careful descriptions of them are set forth because they are genuine types of the highest class of Russian administrators. Should either of them die or be removed their places will be filled with men so much of the same stamp, quality, and experience that, allowing for the difference of personality, their succes- sors might be the same men. It is the type, the quality, the preparedness of the men whom Russia puts in charge of her foreign business that these sketches of Alexieff and Grodekoff are designed to bring to the mind of the reader. You may credit all that you read in detraction of Rus- sian officials, if you like; but you may credit it and still understand that, in her important positions, and particu- larly at her strategic outposts of empire, where she is coming in contact with the other powers of the world, Russia will have just such men as Alexieff and Grodekoff; for throughout the vast web of the Russian administra- tive system her agents undergo every possible test, are subjected to every possible temptation; and it appears to be the purpose of the government to place at critical points, like Manchuria, about which are swirling the am- bitions, schemes, and physical activities of other nations, none but those whom experience has shown to be the strongest men in the whole administrative estabHshment, civil, naval, and military, throughout the dominions of the Czar. 6? THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Let us now take a typical railway administrator, who is neither governor or engineer or soldier, and yet who is every one of them in education, experience, and natural aptitude. An excellent type of the civil officer that Russia sends to do her work is Mr. Girshmann, the administrator of the southern divisions of the Manchurian railway. A very hearty, ofif-hand man you will find him. He, too, was a soldier in the Turkish war; he, too, has seen service in the Caucasus; he, too, has constructed other railroads for Russia; he, too, has read many books, and is instructed by personal experience. He gives you the impression of steady and informed intelligence, thoroughly awake and well in hand. Like Grodekoff and Alexieff, he is an incessant worker. Having had a hard day and night, the interpreter wanted a little rest. "Why," exclaimed Mr. Girshmann, "I have not had a wink of sleep for two nights running, and I feel quite fresh." The occasion for this unusual exertion was the destruc- tion of his grades and bridges by the flood of August, 1901. The energy of this administrator, his attention to de- tails, and his comprehensive knowledge suggested inquiry concerning him. It was found that he was at work usual- ly ten hours out of the twenty-four, every day of the year. Frequently he works as much as sixteen hours a day, a thing you will not understand until you see with your own eyes what he has to do. Every day, ten hours of work always, and sometimes much more — very much like an ambitious young American building his fortune in one of the great cities of the United States; and yet this man, more than fifty years of age, is an imperial railway ad- ministrator in south Manchuria. Such energy and application are not characteristic of the Russian, however; the reverse is very much the rule. Indeed, his slothfulness is one of the striking charac- teristics of the Slav. After learning about Mr. Girshmann, you would not be 63 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE surprised to find that, though the railway was then only in the process of construction, it was, nevertheless, haul- ing local traffic for more than two hundred miles, from its southern terminus at Port Arthur. Although the track was then given up to the construction and material trains, the income from this local traffic, for three months of the spring of 1901, was 700,000 rubles ($350,000). This gives you a hint of the paying possibilities of this property when completed. It gives you a hint, too, of what this railway will do for the development of the resources and the people of Manchuria. It gives you a further hint of what the road will do in the development of the commerce of the world. "The road," said Mr. Girshmann, "will pay very heavily. You can see for yourself, on these southern di- visions, how enormous the traffic will be. Look at that" — pointing to large piles of beans in bags, tobacco in bales, native wine in boxed bottles and casks — "and at that" — pointing to a side track crowded with cars, every one loaded to its utmost capacity with freight, all waiting to be moved. "Surely, you have noticed con- siderable passenger traffic on these southern divisions. You ask what will be the government's policy as to tariff duties on imports. That is not within my province. But there is, at the present time at least, no reason for it; for we are as yet an importing nation, so far as Man- churia is concerned. In fact, generally, Russia cannot be said to be an exporting nation yet. What our con- dition in that respect will be fifty or a hundred years from now is a different matter. What our final policy will be, who shall say ? Russian history will show you that events have sliaped our policy in spite of ourselves. A man like me must act — not dream. Here we are and here is my daily task. I am happy in it and I hope I am useful to my country and my Czar. What it will lead to is in God's hands." That expression is thor- oughly Russian. From priest and peasant to the Czar 64 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE himself it is always, "as God wishes," or "it is in God's hands." The passenger traffic to which Mr. Girshmann called attention was, of course, almost exclusively Chinese. The German representative of the great German firm of Kuntz & Albers was observed; several Russian officers, of course, were present; but the great bulk of the pas- sengers were Chinamen. Here was a Chinese merchant travelling to New - Chwang, mere a Chinese official on his way to Pekin; for wherever the railroad has gone in a country peopled by the Chinese, they have taken very kindly to it, after they have failed to destroy it. On the road from Tien-Tsin to Pekin, for example, you may observe them waiting at the station, exactly as Americans do here; rushing for the cars, exactly as we do here; trying to get the best seats, just as an excursion crowd does in our own country. But the Russian manage- ment of them seems to suit them better than their treat- ment by any other Europeans which the writer has ever observed. Indeed, the hostility with which the China- man regards European physical encroachments, like the building of new railroads, etc., in any part of China (which hostility you feel in the very air), was not ap- parent in Manchuria. As has been observed, many Russian towns were building; and the Chinese appeared to take very kindly to it, even when they were not em- ployed in the work. The town of Harbin, in the exact centre of Manchuria, is by far the best illustration of Russian constructive- ness in the interior. It has well-built houses. It is ad- mirably laid out. Its streets have the characteristic Russian breadth and generosity. Its trade is already active. Even in 1901, when its building was not yet completed, it had well - equipped stores. The Russo- Chinese Bank was already there. The Greek Orthodox Church was there, too. To the person familiar with Russian methods in a new country it is, perhaps, un- 5 65 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE necessary to mention that these financial and spiritual agencies of the Russian people had already established themselves. The Russo-Chinese bank , in 1 90 1 , was housed in some not-imposing Chinese-constructed buildings; but it is said that at this focus-point of constructive activity in Manchuria this branch of the imperial finance ministry was to have in a short season very handsome quarters. The Russian church also was a temporary afifair — much more unsubstantial than the church edifices of other and comparatively unimportant Russian Manchurian towns. But as soon as the Russians can get a breathing spell at this point, about which at present their energies most actively play and swirl, a cathedral of the Greek Orthodox Church is to be erected, so that, in the centre of Harbin, an architectural spectacle will present itself with which every traveller within the Czar's dominions, whether in European Russia or Siberia or elsewhere, is familiar — a splendid church building, noble in dimensions and magnificent in equipment. What Harbin will be eventually was, in 1 90 1, indicated by the extraordinary activity in the construction of brick buildings in New Harbin; for it must be known that there are two or three or more Harbins, all within a stone's - throw of one another. Eventually they will all be joined together. In short, at Harbin and at Dalni, and, indeed, in other towns in Man- churia, Russia appears to be doing with autocratic in- stantaneousness what other pioneer peoples do gradually. The designers of Harbin have not forgotten the amuse- ments of the people; and a piece of ground where, genera- tions ago, the Chinese had planted a great row of trees, has been made into a park, with band-stands, children's swings, seats in the shade, and all of the conveniences of popular pleasure with which we equip our parks here in America. Of course, Harbin is the railway headquarters in Man- churia. It is from here that the provisions and material for Mveral divisions of the road, east, west, and south of 66 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Harbin are distributed. And this may give Harbin a so much greater appearance of importance than it would otherwise have that perhaps we ought not to take it as a measure of the ordinary Russian urban achievement in Manchuria. On the other hand, this town will not appear very imposing to the American or European who now passes through it on the completed railway, coming, as he does, fresh from towns and cities long since built and administered. But it is nothing short of imposing in comparison with the condition which preceded it. It is an admirable work, when we bear in mind, as the observer of the Russian advance in Manchuria must al- ways do, that on the spot where Harbin stands there was little safety, either to person or property, less than a decade ago.* ' Two considerable flouring - mills have been built in Harbin since the author was there, one of them, it is said, with a daily capacity of several hundred barrels. VI RESULTS OF RUSSIAN RAILWAY ADVANCE THE results of Russian railway advance were, in 1901, by far the most general and absorbing subjects of conversation among non-Russian foreigners in the Far East. Indeed, from the beginning of the Siberian road, the consequences of this extraordinary enterprise have occasioned anxious thought in the minds of every care- ful student of the world's material activities. And, as will be seen, Russia's Manchurian railroad is only another step in her railway extension to the Orient, of which the Siberian railway was the first step. The purposes of the Manchurian railway, as given by Engineer-in-Chief Tugo- vitch, have already been set out, as have the comments of Administrator Girshmann. But, perhaps, an indepen- dent analysis, illustrated by various observations made on the ground, may also be helpful to an understanding of the meaning and effect of this greatest agency of civiliza- tion which the Czar has employed in the Russian advance upon the Pacific. To what, then, will this railroad which Russia is build- ing through Manchuria lead? What results will follow its completion and operation? He is a daring reasoner who would attempt to deduce all the consequences. The man would be called an immoderate dreamer who should suggest to the world, which looks upon this industrial phenomena from afar, what appear to be cer'^ainties to those who survey the ground itself. No one but two or three prophets of empire, such as Russia, with all her deficiencies, is so fortunate as always to have about the 68 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Czar at St. Petersburg, understood the sure results of the great Siberian railroad. Most men regarded it as a military enterprise only; although why Russia should exhaust herself in military enterprises which in them- selves would bear no fruit seems not to have suggested itself to most non-Russian thinkers. But the Siberian railway was no sooner completed to Irkutsk than a steadily swelling volume of Russian emi- grants began to pour all over the agricultural portions of western and central Siberia, irrigating that neglected land with the fertilizing fluid of human effort. No sooner was the railroad extended to Stretensk, at the head of the navigation of the Shilka and Amur rivers (hundreds of miles east of Irkutsk, and yet almost thousands of miles from the Pacific), than this current of Slav peasantry ran still farther eastward, spreading itself to right and left, until finally the Russian agriculturist and miner were slothfuUy at work, even to the very shores of the ocean. Trade, which had been nothing but barter, rapidly in- creased to the dignity of commerce. Fields which for centuries had been only pasture-lands grew golden with grain, even under the negligent and wasteful methods of the Russian farmer. Mines which, since the days of Ivan the Terrible, had been little more than rumor be- came richly productive, notwithstanding the stupid legal restrictions and the sleepy Muscovite inertia which ex- ploited them. Cities with beautiful homes, astonishing public buildings, commercial houses so considerable that you must see them to believe that they exist, and temples of worship magnificent in size, decoration, and design, sprang into being where not so long ago the nomad camp- ed or the Chinaman revelled in his village dirt. Such had been the practical results of the building of the Siberian railroad. Such were the results of the build- ing of our own transcontinental lines, except, of course, that the greater intelligence, greater energy, and higher general sum of modern qualities which distinguish the 69 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE American from every other people produced along our transcontinental lines consequences larger, higher, more miracle-like. But, without entering into speculation which might be disputed, what are the obvious consequences, the small and immediate effects, which will be produced by the Manchurian railway? It is one of the few defects of our race and our present system that we look only to immediate results. We are intent only upon "the in- stant need of things," as Kipling puts it. It is one of our shortcomings, which many a temporary set-back must remedy, that we do not take thought for the morrow. The Enghsh look farther ahead in foreign matters than do we as a nation, but even the English do not have so much concern for distant results of her policies as do the Russians. A keen English observer records of an English Oriental merchant who, in response to the point- ing out of the decline of British commerce in the Far East, unless improvement occurred in the out-of-date methods of English trade conditions, said: "What do I care for the future? We are not here for the benefit of posterity." But we Americans are already improving in this, and our foreign commercial necessity will some day make our foreign commercial policy rational, continuous, and far-sighted. But we are examining the railway features of the Rus- sian advance towards the Pacific. Let us, then, look at the immediate aspects of this railway, which is by far the greatest single work of construction recently accom- plished anywhere in the world. First of all, the road branches off from the Siberian railroad about one thousand miles from Vladivostock and takes a practically straight course, a little to the north of the middle of Manchuria, to Vladivostock. Thus the port of Vladivostock, on the Pacific, is directly connected with Moscow, St. Petersburg, Berlin, and Paris, without varying the mode of transportation, or even changing cars. 70 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE In the second place, this road, on its way to Vladivo- stock, cuts a great artery of Manchuria, the Sungari River, several hundred miles south of the point where this prin- cipal commercial tributary of the Amur empties into the larger stream. Thus, water communication is secured with the rich mining and agricultural Russian provinces north of the Amur River (for the Amur, impracticable for most of its course on account of sand-bars and rocks, is profitably navigable for several hundred miles from where this Manchurian river empties into it). But the harbor at Vladivostock is frozen part of the year, and so, in the third place, the Russians were build- ing, at the time of the author's investigations, and have now completed, another branch of this road from Harbin, the point where the Sungari River is crossed, almost due south to Port Arthur and Dalni, on the never-frozen sea. This branch passes through the most populous and pro- ductive portions of Manchuria, and connects Russia and all of Europe with splendid ports, on Oriental waters, open all the year round. Changed conditions have changed Russia's plans, and this new branch now becomes itself the principal line. First of all, then, Oriental passenger travel to Europe is turned westward through the Russian Empire. A quick, comparatively pleasant, and comparatively cheap method of transportation is provided for all European business-men who want to reach Asia, and for all Asiatic business-men who want to visit Europe. Personal com- munication is established between the civilization of Eu- rope, on the one hand, and the chaos of vital humanity and disintegrating institutions in the Orient, on the other hand. Think of the Oriental, for ages separated from the rest of the world, travelling from Pekin to Paris in a fortnight. A true Arabian Nights tale this, and more astonishing. The profound significance of this circumstance was prob- ably not foreseen by its Russian creators. It is one of those larger meanings which always accompany any really 71 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE great work of man ; the achievement of that work always has results so vast and momentous as to startle those who undertook the original enterprise. Witness the immediate purpose and final results of Bismarck's plan of German federation ; witness the original intention and the ultimate result of our late war with Spain ; witness the development of all large and permanent national policies; witness the original purpose and final results of any of the great move- ments of history. So of these Russian railways in Asia. Already passen- ger-trains running westward are well filled with European business -men returning home; and among them, even now, is a sprinkling of Chinese merchants on their way to the capitals of Europe. Even in 1901 the passenger-trains travelling eastward on the Siberian road were well filled with Russians, Germans, Frenchmen, an occasional Eng- lishman, and sometimes an American journeying tow- ards the Orient — this, too, when the road was uncom- pleted, and with days and weeks of vexatious discomfort on forest-fringed rivers. For remember that, until last year, a hard journey of many days on the Amur and Shilka rivers was necessary before you could board the Siberian train at Stretensk. With the Manchurian line finished, nearly all the busi- ness-men of Europe and China will travel by this route. They can go from Pekin to Moscow in three weeks, in trains equipped with most modern conveniences and luxuries. Where, until now, one Chinese merchant visited European markets in person, hereafter one hundred will do so. Where, formerly, one European business-man investigated commercial conditions in China in person, a hundred will do so hereafter; and all of them who take this trip will pass through Russian dominion, breathe Russian atmosphere, be impressed with Russian influence and power. A branch of the Manchurian railway has been built to the port of New-Chwang, hitherto the commercial door through which most imports into Manchuria were 72 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE admitted. From this port a well-constructed railroad runs to the very gates of Pekin itself. This line was built by English engineers, under authority of the Chinese government, and its bonds were held by a British syndi- cate under a contract between the Chinese government and the Hong-Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, the great Enghsh financial institution of the Orient. Rumors were current in 1901 that this English syndicate was ready to sell its investments to the highest bidder, just as the owners of English ship-lines in the Orient seem to be willing to sell out to the highest bidder. We all know who that highest bidder will ultimately prove to be. It will be Russia. The Chinese Emperor has a richly constructed special car on this railroad to Pekin. Immediately after the Boxer troubles the administration of this road was taken over by the allies, and its active operations intrusted by agreement to the English military forces. This mil- itary operation of the road by the English was still effec- tive in the summer of 190 1. In company with the Eng- lish general in command of the British forces in China, a trip was made on this car from Tien-Tsin to Pekin. Re- cent from a journey over the Siberian railway from Mos- cow, fresh from the scenes attending the building of grades, the bridging of rivers, the laying of rails, and other incidents of the construction of the Manchurian railway, it was difficult not to associate this continued journey to Pekin with those great lines. Other passenger- cars were filled with English officers on leave of absence, going to Pekin from posts at which they had been recently stationed near Manchuria. One could not help remembering that at the World's Fair in Paris a rolling panorama of the Siberian railway was exhibited by the Russian government, taking the travellers from Moscow directly by rail to the very gates of the Chinese capital. And it is not unreasonable to foresee a joiirney of the Chinese ruler to the courts and 73 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE capitals of Europe. When this imperial journey takes place — indeed, when any man takes this trip — the first flag that greets his vision when he passes the Great Wall will be the colors of Russia. As he speeds upon his jour- ney he will behold at every station the uniform of Russia; every hour he will hear the speech of Russia. For days and nights and nights and days he will pass through the unending territories of Russia. As he rolls rapidly west- ward, Russian conditions increase; Russian flags multiply; Russian atmosphere thickens, until finally, when he steps from his train in Moscow, he feels the very beat of the heart of the Russian nation. It will be hard for that man ever to get away from the feeling that the great power of the future is Russia. No ordinary Oriental mind will be able to overcome the im- pression that the other nations of Europe are but inferior states compared with Russia and that the bearded Slav, notwithstanding his defects, is nevertheless the coming autocrat of all the Asias. And if that conviction is once fixed in the Eastern mind it will have an important if not determining influence not only upon the com- mercial conditions, but upon the destiny of the world. The first thing, then, that is the plain result of the Man- churian road is that the quickest — and in any case the only — overland business route to China is through the dominions under the protection and surrounded by the influences of the Czar. An English merchant, a German investigator, and an American traveller were sitting under the tree before the English Club, looking out upon the charming bay of Chefoo. What were they discussing? Russia, of course. In the Far East everybody is discussing Russia wherever you go, and the Manchtirian-Siberian railway as the most conspicuous illustration of her activity. The Englishman closed an intemperate assault on Russia as follows: "She will flood Oriental markets with goods from Moscow and Tver, Smolensk and Lodz, and her other 74 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE manufacturing centres, as she will flood China with her soldiers." "That opinion seems absurd to me," said the German. "It is unprofitable for freight to be shipped to the Orient over the Siberian - Manchurian road. The distance is too great, and freight charges, if based on nothing more than operating expenses only, would be too heavy. The world's trade with the Orient, so far as European exports to China or any other parts of the Far East are con- cerned, must long continue to be by water." The careful student of traffic who goes over the ground will be inclined to agree with this German opinion. The Siberian-Manchurian road will bring very little European merchandise into the Orient for some time to come. It is too long a haul. At lowest possible rates, the freight charge is so heavy that any thought of competi- tion with ship-lines for that class of business does not appear possible, for the present at least. Large Oriental shipments of freight will go westward by the road to Europe, but not the reverse. For example, all of the finer brands of tea, which are so much injured by moisture when transported by- ship, will hereafter be shipped very largely by this railroad. Indeed, heretofore a con- siderable part of this traffic has been by camel caravan across the desert for many weeks, until the Siberian railroad was reached, and then by rail. As. elsewhere. Oriental exports to Europe, and all kinds of freight requiring quick despatch, will also go by the Siberian railroad; but European exports to the Orient, in whose markets cheapness is an element of such moment, must for the present continue to be by water. This is a fact of first-class importance to America. We are less than five thousand miles from Oriental markets, and our competitors — Germany, England, Russia, and France — are, practically, eight or nine thousand miles away by water. Comparatively, Oriental markets are right at our door; and very far away, indeed, from our European 75 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE rivals. And, for purposes of freight traffic, the Siberian- Manchurian railroad does not bring our European com- petitors any closer to the markets for which we are mutually contending. "Why, then," said the Englishman, "is Russia building this road? Not for fun, I think!" "Oh no, not for fun — certainly not!" responded the German, "but for very far-seeing, long-headed reasons, in which Russia surpasses us all. In the first place, Russia considers nothing hers which she does not control in a visible, tangible, material way; in the second place, she is always looking one or two centuries ahead; in the third place, the Russian people are hardly a people yet — they are still in the process of being compounded. Our children's children may find themselves worn out when these thick-skulled, hairy, no-nerved Slavs are just coming into their prime; and, similarly, our posterity may find themselves without markets when the future Russian may find himself in the actual possession of the only markets of the world now capable of seizure." This bit of commercial philosophy is given for what it is worth. But, confining ourselves to the Manchurian road at present, it appears that it and the Siberian road will serve as highways for the introduction of European and American products into the very shops of the merchants and homes of the people in the interior of Manchuria, and into the markets of Siberia itself, until a point is reached where American merchants cannot afford to ship farther westward and where Moscow merchants can afford to pay the railway freights. And since America is thousands of miles nearer to the Orient by water than any European rival, including Russia itself, these Russian railways through Manchuria and Siberia would naturally become the principal distributing agencies for American goods. But two circumstances can prevent this result: First, the placing of Port Arthur, Dalni, and New-Chwang under 76 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE a Russian tariff so that American importers will have to pay heavy duties, whereas Russian importers will have to pay nothing at all on landing their goods at these Russian-Asiatic ports; or, second, a system of differential railroad rates by which, even if the ports remain open, the goods of every other nation except Russia will have to pay such extravagant freight charges that none but Russian merchandise can penetrate the interior along the line of the road. But if railway rates remain uniform and ports remain open, American commerce along the lines of these roads will not only be considerably increased, but actually multiplied manyfold. "Do you not think that the long-hoped-for reform of internal communication in China will begin as a natural result of the railroad through Manchuria?" was a question asked of one of the deepest students of Oriental com- merce. (The greatest practical difficulty, you know, in extending commerce among China's four hundred millions is to get the goods into the interior; an internal trans- portation tax on foreign goods — sometimes irregular, exorbitant, and corrupt — consumes all the profits before imports penetrate two hundred miles from any port.) "Yes," was the reply, "I have thought of that myself, and. Englishman though I am, I will admit that if the Manchurian railway would break up the ruinous, foolish, and villanous obstruction to foreign commerce in the in- terior, the world should accept it as a blessing, notwith- standing its menace to the supremacy of other powers in the Orient; and no possible help to the Chinese could be of such far-reaching benefit." Let us see just what this means. The Manchurian railway runs through about seventeen hundred miles of Chinese provinces, mostly populated. Over this region has spread that net-work of commercial obstruction which prevents internal foreign commerce all over China — that is to say, that heretofore the Chinese merchant who wanted to transport foreign goods from one point 77 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE to another in China, has had to do it by carts over un- imaginable roads (let us rather say imaginary roads), or by boats, or, what is more usual, on the backs of coolies; and he has been, and still is, literally "held up," every few stages, by collectors of transportation tax. (This is the famous "likin" tax.) This tax, even if it were legally charged and honestly collected, would be a serious enough burden on commerce to discourage trade for any great distance in the interior; but the "likin" tax serves as an excuse for numerous irregular collectors to still further burden all transportation of merchandise into the interior by exacting, under the guise of the tax, arbitrary, illegal, and corrupt charges. But the irregular collector of corrupt transportation tax does not "hold up" the train of the Manchurian railroad; it thunders by him unheeding. Indeed, the traffic over the road is free from the regular "likin," as will be seen when we come to the railway agreement. The merchant gets his goods as quickly as possible to the rail- way, and, for a fixed and definite price, his merchandise is transported to distant points. Not by any other law, therefore, than the irresistible operation of practical prog- ress, the reform of this ancient abuse of the whole Empire of China has begun. And when you reflect that, if transportation of imports were free throughout the Chinese Empire, foreign imports to the Chinese people would in- crease almost immediately, with little effort, from two hundred and fifty million dollars a year (the present amount) to a thousand million dollars a year (and this is the conservative estimate of the most conservative minds), you will understand what the working out of such reform would mean to the producers of America, who are many thousand miles nearer these markets than any of their competitors. Think of America with a Chinese export trade of one hundred millions a year — of two hundred millions a year! And yet, unless our statesmanship is unequal to our op- 78 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE portunit\% we shall ultimately have a greater commerce than that. The stimulus to the commercial spirit of the people, on the one hand, and the deadening effect upon govern- mental obstruction on the other, which the railroad is producing already in Manchuria, are astonishing only be- cause we do not think of these things till we are brought face to face with them. The local merchant who thought no market possible to him except that within the reach of his cart suddenly finds commercial limitations lifted, and a demand for his merchandise hundreds, even thou- sands, of miles away. The agriculturist or other pro- ducer who sold through his little merchant to this little market at no price at all, and with no demand, suddenly finds that his products are sought for, and at compara- tively better prices. It would be a low order of mind which did not see the cause for this, and the Chinaman has not a low order of mind; commercially, he has a very keen mind. He finds the cause of this in a steel railway; from this it becomes clear to him that to get to that rail- way is the best thing for him. Therefore he sees for the first time in his life the ne- cessity for good roads. And although in 1901 the rail- road was only in process of construction, and although freight was as yet hauled along the southern divisions only, and then merely as a matter of obliging mer- chants, and not as a matter of business, little branches of highway were already springing up and out from this steel spinal column of commerce like growing trade- nerves. As yet, of course, the improvement on these roads amounts to little. You would not notice it un- less you were looking for it ; but it is a safe prophecy that within ten years from the completion of the Man- churian railway fairly passable roads will lead from every station for distances into the interior; and from these roads others will gradually branch off. And so a peo- ple hitherto segregated from their fellow - men will be 79 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE brought into contact with the other inhabitants of the earth. Good roads in China! Free transportation of exports through the interior of China! Five years ago no seri" ous thinker upon the development of commerce in the Orient would have even talked to you about those sub- jects, so impossible would he have declared them; for the roads of China (and Manchuria is a part of China) are impassable sloughs of mire in the rainy season and almost impassable rivers of dust when the weather is dry. Only in winter is transportation in Manchuria practicable, ex- cept by boats. In winter the solidly frozen earth makes a firm road-bed, and the snow gives possibility of speed. In this respect Manchurian roads are like Russian roads, but in all other seasons — well, an attempt was made to drive to a Chinese town three miles from the point where the Russians were building a railway grade, but it had been raining for two days, and the cart sank to its bed and the ponies to their bellies before the start was fairly made. The road was impracticable, and that town was cut off from the world. "The theory of the Chinese government concerning roads has been that if there were no roads insurrection would be less probable and each community would be more firmly rooted to its own village," explained a gentle- man of forty years' acquaintance with China and Man- churia. And the following patriotic reason was given by the Governor of one of the Manchurian provinces: "If we had good roads, the Russians or any other in- vader could march right down into the very heart of our country. To build a fine road through Manchuria or any other part of China would be to invite invasion by our foreign enemies." "So you see," said a European traveller in the Orient, "Chinese logic makes the building of fine highways the very substance of treason." VII MANCHURIAN RAILWAY RESULTS AND METHODS I CAN tell you one result of the Manchurian railroad," said the principal American agent for locomotives, steel rails, and the like, located at a certain treaty port of China. "America has sold the Manchurian road several millions of dollars' worth of engines, machinery, rails, and other railroad materials. In this respect, at least, the Russians are still buying in the best and cheapest market, and the best and cheapest market in the world is our own. It is not so with the Germans," he con- tinued. "We underbid every one for the railway ma- terials and other steel products for the German works at Kiaochou and the German lines in the province of Shan-Tung, but we did not get the contract. The Ger- man official explained to me that the German manu- facturers demanded that preference be given to them, and it was." We shall see why this was true when we come to examine the German railway concession in Shan-Tung. "Baldwin Locomotive Works, Philadelphia, No. , — 1900." This legend on an American engine, running on American rails, spiked down to a Russian railway grade in Chinese Manchuria! Sordid or not, the feeling of national pride is strong within the American breast when this spectacle presents itself. It was seen many times in Manchuria during the summer of 1901. Now that the road is opened, you may see it for yourself; for most of the equipment for the Manchurian railway is American, a small percentage of it is French, very little is Russian. 6 81 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Mature reflection will convince any man who has been through the locomotive works of Russia, and considered the extent of her railroad lines, that she cannot, for many years to come, supply her needed railway equipment. Certainly this is true of all the Manchurian and Trans- Baikal Siberian lines. After a while, maybe, she can supply her own needs. And it is the "after a while" that Russia is always thinking about. If Russia would think more about the present than the future, and if America thought more about the future than the present, the future condition of one and the present condition of the other would be bettered. But what of the people of Manchuria? Just this of them, then. As has been noted, they are being brought into relation with the rest of the world. And they are being given work of which they never dreamed. Wants are being created in their breasts which the commercial activities of all mankind will ultimately be called upon to satisfy. Better clothing, better food, elbow-touch, and mind-contact with their fellows — so much for the people of Manchuria is this railway beginning to do. Fate, which is weaving its great web of civilization around the globe, has picked up at last this neglected strand of people, and the shuttle is already carrying it backward and forward and making it a part of the fabric of material human progress. As we have seen, Russia in Manchuria appeared to be exercising care not to oflend the people or their prejudices. Another example of this good sense was exhibited in her policy of paying for the land over which her railroad through Manchuria is built ; for it is said not one foot of the right of way occupied by private persons was taken without compensation. Not only that, but the com- pensation was agreed to — often fixed — by the owner of the land. This fact is of interest because of the popular belief in America that Russia built her road through Manchuria by the forcible seizure of the right of way. 82 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The railway company or the Russo-Chinese Bank (these are the ostensible builders of the road, and we shall come to this in a subsequent chapter) left the securing of the right of way to the officials of the Chinese government themselves. The Russians understand well these officials, and the officials understand well their people. So the Russians came to an understanding with the Chinese officials; and even before that the Russian gov- ernment had come to an understanding with the Chi- nese government (for this road is built under a contract to which the Chinese government is a party). And the Chinese officials, thus brought into sympathy with the Russians, remembering the intense prejudice of the peo- ple against railways, mindful of their vivid superstitions, satisfied, first of all, the pockets of the land-owners. It is said that not a foot of private land actually occupied has been touched by the Russians for which its full price has not been paid, and in some instances more than its full price. For example, it is stated that three thou- sand rubles were paid for one tract of thirty acres — that is, a hundred rubles, or fifty dollars in gold, per acre. Of course, special reasons may have influenced high payments. The average price paid for good land and bad land was twenty rubles an acre, or ten dollars in gold. Such was the apparently credible information, which, however, could not, of course, be verified. Sometimes the railroad will make strange little de- flections to avoid a clump of trees; but it is not the trees which the road is avoiding. It is the graves of which the little grove is the monument. (A Manchurian land- scape is often made strangely attractive by clumps of trees scattered over it; and each clump of trees marks a burying - ground or a village. It is said to be the survival of an ancient and noble sentiment, neglected now in China, which makes the Manchurian wish to repose beneath the shades of the green foliage.) Some- times, though, the expense of avoiding these burying- 83 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE grounds was too great, and the railroad had to pay the family their own price for the land where their ancestors were sleeping. Then the remains were exhumed and placed elsewhere. Of course, there are long stretches of the road through uninhabited plains and mountains for which nothing at all was paid. Parts of the line running through northwest- em Manchuria, for example, traverse prairies whose soil is impregnated with alkali. Nobody lives there. No- body lives in the northwestern or northeastern moun- tains, either. Nobody lives in some of the extensive val- leys of northeastern Manchuria through which the road runs. Most of the fertile agricultural lands in these tracts are, and for decades (possibly centuries) have been, un- inhabited. It is estimated by experts that not more than one-fifth of the cultivable land of Manchuria is occupied. Russians are not so expert in railway building as Amer- icans; they are not so expert in anything as Americans, except the art of establishing authority and maintaining it without friction after it is established. And though the Manchurian railway does not equal our great lines, as we know them at present, its construction, com.pared with that of the Siberian road, or even with any road of Russia, excepting only two, is very good indeed. Of the corruption and fraud in the building of the Si- berian road, and especially the Ussuri branch from Kha- baroff to Vladivostock, there can be no question, and the fact is not denied. In comparison, the Manchurian road is superior in solidity of construction, directness of route, and honesty of building. Both fills and cuts are well done. Even in 1901 short sections north of Port Arthur were ballasted with rock, and the bed for a new road is sur- prisingly good in these places. The bridges, particularly, were admirable. However, it must be admitted that there were signs of waste of power and material painfully apparent at many places. It is not said that the Man- churian road is ideallv built; it is said, however, that its 84 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE methods of construction are a distinct advance over those employed in the building of the Siberian road. And this further and redeeming fact is noted also, that corruption in railway construction is being eliminated in Asiatic Russia as well as in Russia in Europe, and, indeed, throughout the whole world. Honesty of method is in- creasing because civilization is increasing all around the globe. Men are growing more and more upright from principle, and from policy also. And it is something of a defence of what some harshly call " commercialism " that fraud, dishonesty, and all financial unrighteousness are being eHminated, and gradually being made impossible even, by the highly complex organization of the com- mercial world. Out of " the chaos and disorder of things" in Russia, as a keen, young Russian engineer brilliantly phrased it, busi- ness method, far more than moral improvement, is bring- ing regularity, accuracy, and therefore honesty. For example, Witte, Russia's finance minister and President of the Committee of Ministers, the master mind of the empire, has, it is said, applied to all expenditures a sys- tem of audit through which the smallest item of outlay must pass. The chief defect of this system is the cumber- some minuteness of its examination. Witte and other men of his quality of mind and will are the hope and sal- vation of commercial and constructive Russia. Here again is noted that circumstance (perfectly nat- ural, but which at first thought seems unnatural) — the beginning of reforms which extend to the home country by new work away from home. Take, for example, a most obvious, simple, and striking instance. A Russian railway-train not only moves slowly, but it stops at all stations, and when it stops it stops for a long time. Officials go into the station with papers and telegrams and all manner of bureaucratic over-systemiza- tion. You would think that enough paper had been ex- changed to start half a dozen trains. Suddenly an official 85 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE with a whistle blows a loud shriek — a very needle-thrust of sound; but the train does not start and nothing is done, and nobody pays any attention to it. Then a loud-sound- ing bell is rung; still nothing is done, and no one pays any attention to it. In a few minutes (perhaps five) the bell is again rung, and again nothing is done, and no one pays any attention to it. And a third time the bell is rung four or five taps, and the people begin to move languidly to the cars; and then there is blowing of whistles. Finally, the whistle of the engine itself sends up its hoarse shout, and the passengers embark, and when all are onboard the train sleepily moves ofif. On but three lines in Russia is there any more expedition than this. It seems foolish, incongruous, that the reform of this non- modern leisurelyness of Russian transportation methods should begin in that Chinese Botany Bay — that fag-end of the world, called Manchuria. Yet this is precisely what is going on. In the two divisions north of Port Arthur Mr. Girshmann had regular passenger service inaugurated even in 1901. It was, of course, merely local and unim- portant, and confined to carrying Chinese local merchants and Russian officers; and yet the train started off like an American train, with a single, sharp, swift signal. In two cases people who had been in Russia came near getting left. "I am doing away with that old practice," said Mr. Girshmann, "or, rather, I have never introduced it. We have new ground to work on here, you see, and it is easier to establish modern methods than it is where cus- tom has already fixed and forfeited ancient abuses." And so it is that the reform of the transportation methods of the world's greatest empire has begun at its farthest ex- tremity and upon its newest work. There are other reforms which will be wrought by Rus- sia's appearance on the Pacific; for this brings her face to face with the world's keen competition and its invigo- rating association, more even than does her railway con- nection with Europe. There is an indifference to prompt- 86 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ness, a lack of enterprise and expedition, an acceptance of situations without speedy efforts to improve them, about Russian railway administration (except on two or three crack lines and trains), which are not in keep- ing with the spirit and methods of the present day. And when Russia comes in contact with American enterprise in the Orient (and American enterprise in the Orient will predominate in a very few years) , and Ger- man enterprise in the Orient (and nowhere in the world is German enterprise so vivid and dynamic as in the Orient), Russia herself will catch the spirit of modern things and fall in step with modern methods in her entire commercial economy, but first of all in her railway administration. And she needs this badly. But do not imagine that all is industry and punctual alertness in the Russian's work in Manchuria. Even there sloth and carelessness are in evidence. For example, a young engineer in charge of a bridge construction was found reading a French novel in a rather sumptuous private car on a siding in central Manchuria. The floods had impaired the temporary bridges some twenty miles ahead. Locomotives were in the yards, some of them with steam up. We had arrived on a little push-car, made by a plat- form, six feet by eight, lifted upon two sets of wheels and pushed by Chinese laborers. The "master of the distance" was asked to take the party to the break in the road with his locomotive. He refused, saying it was under the command of the young engineer. The young engineer refused because — "Well, because, what's the use?" said he; "you can't cross the river. You will have to go back and wait till the floods go down, and so there is no use disturbing myself for two or three hours to get you down the river, twenty miles away." Yet the river was reached and crossed, though with much hard- ship and some peril. At another station the following incident occurred. Connection was refused because the assistant " master of 87 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the distance " had not ordered it, and the assistant " mas- ter of the distance " had not ordered it because he was not yet out of bed (it was eight o'clock in the morning). When he was awakened he dechned because "the master of the distance" had not ordered it; and he had not ordered it because he was still in bed. When the "master of the distance" was aroused he declined because no special orders had been received subsequent to general orders, telegraphed three days before. " Yes, it is quite true that the general orders to forward you when you wish are comprehensive and explicit, but that was three days ago. I must now have special orders to put these general orders into effect." But when the methods of Mr. Girshmann are extended over the whole Manchurian system ; when the Manchurian road makes its connections with the great American freight liners ; when the current of commerce is switched on from all the world at Port Arthur and Dalni, these mediaeval characteristics of Russian railway administration will dis- appear, because the conditions that permit them will have been destroyed. Already the connection is beginning. Port Arthur is unsightly with its yellow hills and noxious with its streets of filth, and yet picturesque, too, in its cosmopolitan interminglings. It is a military and a naval port also. But while Russia is actually creating Dalni (it was said in 1901 that she had 25,000 laborers at work on buildings, breakwaters, piers, etc., and in the general construction of this port on TaHenhwan Bay), Port Arthur serves as the commercial terminus of the railroad until Dalni is ready. Its harbor therefore was, as early as 1901, crowded with the ships of all nations. From Port Arthur you may go direct to Japan, Pekin, Cheefoo, Shanghai, Hong-Kong; sometimes direct even to Manila, and always direct to Singapore and Odessa. There are the crowding and bustle and jostle of commercial activity. Already there are three American commercial houses in Port 88 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Arthur, conducted with vigor and push. The principal commercial establishments are German, as everybody who has been around the world would expect. " If the Russians will only continue to let imports come in free, I ask nothing better," said a keen American merchant, who is making his mark in Port Arthur. "It is the best thing for them, too," continued he, "for even if we Americans and Germans do the most business tem- porarily these Russians after a while will get on to our commercial methods, which would be worth more to them than all the temporary rubles and copecks they could pos- sibly make by monopolizing trade. Russia needs modern business system more than she needs anything else, and she will catch it from us if she rubs up against us long enough." This young American was quite right, for within an hour a Russian railway official made this remark: "What we need is more of America's business method and system, more of Germany's cautious aggressiveness and laborious plan . We heartily dislike many things that seem character- istically American ; they seem to us irrational. But one thing all men must admit, America is the business expert of the world, with Germany a close second, and, indeed, with some points of superiority over even America." At the wharf in Port Arthur was a great ship of twelve thousand tons burden. It was flying the Russian flag: It is a member of that ambitious maritime undertaking, the "Russian Volunteer Fleet." Not many Atlantic liners have accommodations for first - class cabin passengers superior to this Russian ship running from Odessa to Port Arthur. She is fitted up to carry emigrants, too. This particular vessel had just landed fifteen hundred Russian emigrants, and her freight-carrying capacity is also fair. These astonishing ships — astonishing when you consider that Russia is a land nation, when you reflect upon the port they leave and the port they make — constitute one of the world's fast lines. There is not a modern device which thev do not have. No twentieth- THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE century comfort, luxury, or appliance of efficiency is neglected. They are fitted to be auxiliary cruisers in time of war — transports, commerce-destroyers, and what not. But, over all, their chief use is in commerce. They constitute Russia's water connection with the Manchurian- Siberian railway. They complete Russia's trade circuit around the world. This "Russian Volunteer Fleet" deserves particular attention. It is not only Russia's first adventure in a large way in the fields of maritime commerce; it is also a great practical training-school for Russian seamen. In- deed, just that is its first and underlying purpose. Its officers are accomplished navigators, carefully educated. The crews of its vessels are young Russians taken from the shores of Russia's southern inland seas. The fleet draws a continuous stream of young men, carefully select- ed, educates them by means of practical service, and turns the best of them over to the already considerable and ever-growing Russian navy. In this way Russia is preparing practical seamen for her navy and merchant marine, with which, in the course of time, she expects to become one of the first sea powers of the world, as she is already one of the very first land powers on the globe. Russia's "Volunteer Fleet" is characteristic of the Slav race in three particulars — patient tenacity of pur- pose, aspiration towards the world's waters, and large- ness of plan and execution. With her "Volunteer Fleet" on the sea the Russian nation is doing, as a government and a people, in the twentieth century what Peter the Great did at Saardam, Holland, in the latter part of the seventeenth century. This first of Russian rulers per- sonified the silent instinct of the Russian people in his determination to place the flag of Russia on Russian vessels and launch them on the ocean highways of the world. Nobody in Russia knew how to build a ship, much less to navigate one. The Czar, who felt himself 90 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE inspired not only to give the orders for progress, but actually to carry out his conception with his own hand, went to the yards of the best ship-builders in Holland, at that time the best naval constructors of Europe. He worked as a journeyman in the actual building of sea- going craft. Everybody is famiHar with this charming piece of biog- raphy, full of human interest and appealing in a peculiar way to all men of all races who feel in their blood the aptitude for the practical. Everybody knows, too, the story of the beginning of the Russian navy by this re- markable ruler. From the days of Peter until the present, Russian statesmen and the Russian people have steadily adhered not only to their great monarch's Far Eastern designs, but they have even more earnestly persisted in trying to realize his dream of Russia on the ocean. And exactly as the Russian Autocrat went to Saardam to work as a common laborer in the ship-yards of Holland two centuries ago, so the Russian people to-day are learning seamanship by real practice in the navigation of the deep, on voyages as hazardous as can now be made; for be it remembered that from port to port the regular journeys of the ships of the " Russian Volunteer Fleet " are the longest made by any line of the present day. They start from Odessa, in southwestern Russia, and, sailing across the Black Sea, pass through the Dar- danelles, the Sea of Marmora, and the Bosporus, traverse the Mediterranean, and, touching at but one Asiatic port, Singapore, make land no more, except for coal, until they tie up at the docks in Port Arthur, Dalni, or Vladi- vostock, hundreds of miles north of Japan. Two of these ships also start from St. Petersburg. It will be interesting and instructive to trace with your pencil on the world's map the course sailed by these modern Russian commercial leviathans of the deep. When you have traced such a line, and then remember the size of the 91 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ships, equal in tonnage at the time they were built to any ship afloat, you vv^ill begin to understand the com- prehensiveness with which Russia lays out her plans. You will begin to discern also those contradictory ele- ments in Russian policy — the element of national pro- vincialism woven into world purpose. For practical purposes, this remarkable fleet makes but two ports — Russian Odessa or St. Petersburg in Europe, the port of departure, and Russian Dalni, Port Arthur, or Vladivostock in northern Asia, the port of destination. Thus, practically without commerce except at Russian ports, Russia sails almost around the world to complete her circuit of empire.* Largeness of design, comprehensiveness of purpose. The Siberian - Manchurian railway from the heart of Russia practically to the capital of China on the one hand; on the other hand the "Russian Volunteer Fleet," flying the colors of the Czar, from Russia's greatest com- mercial centre in Europe to the terminus of Russia's railroad on the waters of the Far East. So it is that the Russian sailor and Russian railway-man clasp hands in the Orient. Not that in this process they do not also touch shoulders with the rest of the world. Whether they will or no, these very agencies compel them to meet in commercial fraternity the keen minds and daring hearts of men of every other nationality. And so it is that these two agencies of commerce and communication are not only cementing Russian solidarity by land and sea, but are also bringing Russia into commercial brother- hood with the rest of mankind. And, finally, so it is that the revolution of Russian commercial methods is be- ginning where the hands of her commercial activities are joined at the farthest outposts of her dominions. * Russia is now beginning local seafaring service in the Orient. For example, the East China Railway Company now have a reg- ular line of steamers between Dalni and Nagasaki, just as Ger- many has between Kiaochou and Shanghai. 92 VIII A DIPLOMATIC GAME FOR AN EMPIRE I THOUGHT that Japan took the lower part of Man- churia, including Port Arthur, as her price for ending her war with China," remarked a travelled American on board a great German liner bound for Hong - Kong. (Among the very finest ship-lines of the Orient are those of Germany.) "How, then, can Russia be occupying that same land?" he asked. It is a pertinent question, and its answer relates to the most fascinating part of Russia's Manchurian advance on Asia. It is a story that can never be completely told, perhaps, by any one but Witte himself or the Russian Foreign Office. In a nebulous way, the external facts, however, are familiar to the diplomatic world, and careful inqmry and the sifting process of judicial impartiality give us a fair idea of those that are not in evidence. Entire accuracy is not claimed and is not possible; but general outlines may be drawn. Attempts of any one to ascertain the foreign operations of the financial and diplomatic ministries of Russia are like the movements of a catfish in a mudd}^ pond — it can never see clearly the details of its movements, and must be satisfied with locating the general boundaries of its home. So, in the financial and diplomatic plans of Russia, the world is kept admirably in the dark till results first an- nounce the purpose of which those results are the accom- plishment; and even then the real history leading up to them can be discovered only in large general demarca- tions. The same is true, though in less degree, of the 93 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE diplomacy of the French RepubHc and of Germany, too; whereas the plans of the Amercan Republic (and almost equally of England) must be publicly debated before they are adopted. With this admission of our limitations, therefore, let us survey the head-lines of recent diplomatic history in the Far East. First of all, everybody will recall how the triumph of China was universally predicted when the war between that country and Japan broke out. China was big, ev- erybody said; her reserve strength was so enormous, her resources so inexhaustible, and so forth. Japan might win at first. It would take much time to arouse the giant of the Asiatic main-land. Yes, but once China was aroused, impertinent little Japan would be crushed. This was the belief of even the English Foreign Office. It seems in- credible that the British ministry should have had no better information and reached no wiser conclusion than that of the rumor-fed crowd on the streets; but such ap- pears, even to the warmest friends of England, to have been the fact. At the beginning of the war, therefore, England favored China, and, it is said, embarrassed Ja- pan's naval operations on one or two signal occasions. Not till the world knew that China's defeat was certain and irretrievable did British statesmen appear to realize the situation; and then their change of front was ineffective. On the contrary, in this great Asiatic crisis (world crisis it might properly be called) the intelligent, patient (her enemies say unscrupulous) work of Russia's bureaus of information throughout the Orient bore golden fruit. Russia knew that Japan would win. She reasoned that Japan would probably demand the cession of some portion of Chinese territory, most likely the lower part of Man- churia, which commands Korea; and on Manchuria Rus- sia had long looked with desiring eyes. With that celerity and address which make Russia's foreign states- manship as much superior to that of other nations as her internal and economic statesmanship previous to 94 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Witte's administration had been inferior, the government of the Czar prepared for the restdt. In this problem the Slav statesman had five factors to consider: China and Japan, of course, and England, Ger- many, and France. First, then, of France. Between the French Republic and the Russian Autocracy exist the most perfect and smoothly working governmental and diplomatic understanding of modern times. It is a sin- gular illustration of the influence of hatred and interest in making a combination between two peoples unlike in tem- perament, ideas, and methods. Their alliance was born of their common fear and hatred of England and Ger- many — of the numerous conflicts of German and English interests with Russian and French interests. And so, in their foreign policy, and particularly in their Oriental diplomacy, they might almost be said to work as one government. So far as the rest of the world is concerned, French diplomatic agents in Asia operate in undersanding with Russia; and the reverse is also true. Russia, then, could count on the first trump in this game of empire. Next, of Japan. Japan was, of course, the party whose purposes it was Russia's object to defeat ; and her position, therefore, was clear, and her play in the game was well understood. She was a known and certain quantity. She would resist to the extent of her strength when the pur- poses of Russia were disclosed; but her statesmen could be depended upon to restrain the national passions and to prevent Japan from resisting beyond her power; and, at the close of the exhausting conflict, entering upon an- other war with a fresh power, her defeat would be certain. Russia knew, therefore, just how far she could go Vv^ith Japan. And, in connection with Japan, she considered England as a quantity whose actions could be foretold with minute certainty, and the limitations of whose Far Eastern movements were as clearly defined as if they had been traced on a map. It was taken for granted that England would do nothing but protest, 9S THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE " Oho," laughed a Russian official, when speaking about this very matter, "we knew very well that England would solemnly protest, but we also knew as well that she would also solemnly do nothing." (So far as that is concerned, no nation is anxious to go to war with any other first-class power.) "That is the reason why, from the day of her last statesman, Disraeli, until now, we have not counted, and do not count, on real opposition from England." " If England had landed even a company of marines at Port Arthur when we took possession," said a Russian military authority, "we would have evacuated even after we took possession ; for that would have shown that Eng- land meant to fight ; and, of course, we are not going to fight a great power when we can get our ends just as well by waiting a few years." ^ And this is the picturesque way it was put by an Englishman, disgusted with his gov- ernment's Chinese policy: "In counting upon the assist- ance of Great Britain, Japan believed she held a trump, when in reality it was but a trick card, whose apparent quality would disappear when it fell upon the table under the fierce illumination of impending conflict, like those manuscripts whose real writing is revealed only under a certain quality of light." And so Russia did not count England as a factor in the game. But she did count Germany. Germany understood her- self. Germany understood the Orient. Germany was the only European power, except Russia, that had a clearly defined Asiatic policy. Germany was pursuing that policy with material and physical methods and instruments. Drang nach Osten! Drang nach Osten! Steamship lines; increased fleets; pushing, growing, and gigantic commercial houses in the Orient; vast German investments in Chinese enterprises; German merchants, * On May 4, 1898, in a speech to the Primrose League, Lord Salisbury actually said: " I think Russia has made a great mistake in taking Port Arthur. I do not think it is any use to her what- ever. ' ' 96 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE German clerks, German traders; German the keenest commercial minds, and German the steadiest energy, even in Siberia itself; German the best consular service in the Orient and German the second best diplomatic service in the Far East; and, in Europe itself, the best army and the most highly organized system of trans- portation ; the best - prepared net - work of mobilization which the world has yet developed; a vital people, the most assertive national spirit and the most vivid racial esprit de corps in Europe; German one of the ablest and most forcible rulers in the world ; German the most highly trained corps of public men on the Continent ! Germany must be reckoned with then. Very well. Russia would reckon with Germany, and, when the time was ripe for it, Russia did reckon with Germany. Germany was brought to see that for Japan to seal her victory with a part of China's territory would be the beginning of Japanese supremacy through- out the whole Celestial Empire. Japan would follow up that victory with increasing influence in the affairs of China. Japan would dominate the Chinese court. Japan would reorganize China. Japan was herself Asiatic, and the natural agent of Chinese reorganization. Japan's superb statesman, Ito, was still in the meridian of his wonderful constructive vigor. And with Japan securely intrenched as the controlling power of China's four hundred million inhabitants, the commerce of the Far East would be forever dominated by the Island Empire. The Japanese problem of finding soil upon which they might live and resources which might be developed under their direction would be solved. All of this was pointed out to Germany, and all of this was believed to be true; and it was just as true that these facts spelled the commercial disadvantage of the German people in the Orient. And, therefore, Germany was brought to see that her interests and Russia's were identical. Thus reasoned Russia with Germany, and thus German r 97 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE commercial logic followed Russian diplomatic reason- ing. In all justice, it must be stated that Germany herself is said by many to have been the originator of this alliance. The last card was the Chinese government itself. That government would be defeated. Russia knew that, and was the only power that did know it, so superior is her information concerning all Oriental conditions. All that Russia had to do, therefore, was to await the inevitable defeat of China, the sure and profound humili- ation of the Chinese government, the consequent and real danger of the overthrow of the present Manchu dynasty at the hands of the outraged Chinese people. All that Russia, had to do was to await the coming of all the cir- cumstances which would make the government at Pekin crawl on its face to any power that would save its life. That power Russia prepared herself to be. The end came. China was defeated. The hour was striking for the formation of the triple alliance of Germany, Russia, and France. Li Hung Chang, representing China, and that extraordinary intellect, Marquis Ito, representing Japan, met at Shimonoseki, and concluded the famous treaty of peace which bears that name. By this treaty Port Arthur, TaHenhwan, and the entire Liao-Toung peninsula were ceded to Japan. It was not only a war indemnity to Japan, but it secured the very points of the Korean controversy which were the origin of the war itself. But now, when Japan was in the full flower of her well-earned success, when the world applauded the diplo- matic ability which had concluded one of the most ably conducted conflicts in history (little, though, that war was) ; now, when Japan stepped forth from the smoke of battle, amid the applause of nations, to her place among the powers of the world — a place earned by her civil and industrial revolutions at home and confirmed by glorious conduct in war by sea and by land; now, when 98 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE China was prostrate, humiliated, disgraced — at this su- preme and psychic hour Russia made her carefully pre- pared play, which in an instant deprived Japan of the material fruits of her victory and the glory of her achieve- ment, apparently rescued the Manchu dynasty from cer- tain ruin, and bound it by the consideration of gratitude and every form of obligation to Russia. A joint note of the Russian, the French, and the German governments was addressed to Japan, telling her, in the politest of terms, and with the cleverest of arguments, why the peace of the Orient would be permanently endangered by her retaining possession of the Chinese territory ceded to her, and expressing the hope of these "friendly" gov- ernments that the wise, the peace-loving, and the humane Mikado would save the situation by surrendering what his generals' skill and his soldiers' blood had won. At the same time there were gathering ships of war between Japan and her prey. French ships came from the south, Russian ships came from the north, German ships hovered near. The Japanese navy was overmatched. The attitude of the Russians was that of immediate and determined action. Steam was kept up, decks cleared for battle, and every dramatic effect of war was intro- duced and employed with the skill of accompHshed per- formers. It was, therefore, a lurid light by which the Japanese statesman Ito read the note of Russia, Ger- many, and France. He was out of money; he had just finished an exhausting conflict; his navy was outnum- bered if not outclassed. It is said that the Japanese government in this gloomy hour of agony looked to England, her natural ally; but England's face was averted in indecision. The Japanese nation clamored for war; but Japanese statesmen knew that war at this moment, without power- ful aid, meant defeat, and defeat ruin. Therefore, the little empire broke her sword, submitted to her fate, and, with her hand held in the mailed fingers of the alliance 99 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE which Russia had constructed, wrote the historic with- drawal of her claim to and authority over the territory China had ceded to her. It was but two days after the ratification of the treaty by which Japan became the owner of the southern shores of Manchuria that she was forced to give them up, with such swift effect did the triple alliance strike. Ap- parently, in willing response to the note of the three powers, but in reahty under duress of the alternative of war, the Japanese government issued to the world her withdrawal from every foot of land she had wrested from China. This reveals so fully the method of diplo- matic operations of this kind that the most of the Mika- do's proclamation is here reproduced: "We recently, at the request of the Emperor of China, appoint- ed plenipotentiaries for the purpose of conferring with the am- bassadors sent by China, and of concluding with them a treaty of peace between the two empires. Since then the governments of the two empires of Russia and Germany, and of the French Re- public, considering that the permanent possession of the ceded districts of the Feng-t'ien peninsula by the Empire of Japan would be detrimental to the lasting peace of the Orient, have called, in a simultaneous recommendation to our government, to refrain from holding these districts permanently. "Earnestly desirous, as we always are, for the maintenance of peace, nevertheless we were forced to commence hostilities against China for no other reason than our sincere desire to secure for the Orient an enduring peace. The governments of the three pow- ers are, in offering their friendly recommendations, similarly actu- ated by the same desire, and we, out of our regard for peace, do not hesitate to accept their advice. Moreover, it is not our wish to cause suffering to our people or to impede the progress of the national destiny by embroiling the empire in new complications, and thereby imperilling the situation and retarding the restoration of peace. "China has already shown, by the conclusion of the treaty of peace, the sincerity of her repentance for her breach of faith with us, and has made manifest to the world our reasons and the ob- ject we had in waging war with that empire. "Under these circumstances, we do not consider that the honor and dignity of the empire will be compromised by resorting to lOO THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE magnanimous measures and by taking into qojjsjdpration the gen- eral situation of affairs. ,«':';. "We have, therefore, accepted the- advice of the frierdly pow- ers, and have commanded our governm?T.t to reply c6 'the 'gov- ernment of the three powers to that effect." The next move in the game was to secure from China authority to extend the Siberian road across Manchuria. In further preparation for the accomplishment of this end and object of Russian poHcy, the Czar's good offices to China secured a reduction of one-fifth of the interest on China's war debt and guaranteed the loan which the Pekin government was forced to make, and without which, or a similar guarantee, China could not have negotiated it at all. Indeed, you will be informed on high authority that this was the sole consideration for the concession by China to Russia for the building of the Manchurian railway ; that the rescue of the Manchu dynas- ty had nothing to do with it; and that the "Cassini Con- vention" and all rumored secret understandings between Russia and China are purely mythical. But the course of events gives credit and plausibility to the other view.which well illustrates the ability of Russian foreign statesmanship to "sense a situation" and anticipate unborn conditions. The enemies of Russia say that it was in anticipation of the difficulties, diplomatic and others, involved in such a grant of powers that the Russian government (and, if true, it shows how superb their resource is in foreign affairs) caused the famous Russo-Chinese Bank to be incorporated. The writer does not credit this statement; it is here given only because it is current. But, even if true, it does not appear that such a step is anything to Russia's discredit. If true, it would appear to unprej- udiced minds to be quite the contrary, and to display a far-sightedness worthy of emulation by those who look only upon to-day and then complain if the conditions of to-morrow are not to their liking. But it is not important whether the Russo-Chinese lOI LIBRARY DIVERSITY OF OMmmA THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Bank was evoh e-d ,by Witte as a factor in this game or not; it existed when wanted, and that was enough. Ap- pHrent])^it.i,s nothing bat a private banking corporation with capital, stock, stockholders, board of directors, and all the other machinery of such a corporation. "In reality," said a credible banker of the Far East, "it is the financial agent of the Russian government through- out Siberia, and especially the Orient. In reality it is the financial end of the diplomatic machinery of Russia in the Far East. In reality it is the empire of the Czar engaged in the banking business." All of this appears to be admirable rather than repre- hensible; for Russia cannot be blamed for looking after her own interests, and such a bank is the most powerful of all agencies for the material advancement of Russian trade and prestige. This bank, therefore, secured from the Chinese government a contract by which to extend the Siberian railroad across Manchuria, the Chinese government giving the necessary authority. The founda- tion or beginning of this concession is said to have been the famous "Cassini Convention," negotiated by Count Cassini, present Russian ambassador at Washington. When the diplomatic world first heard rumors of the " Cassini Convention " there was something like consterna- tion in the cabinets of Europe, and notes of inquiry were addressed to the Russian Foreign Office, which denied the existence of such a treaty. But while the "Cassini Convention" as reported may not have been concluded in the terms reported in the newspapers, the concessions were granted, and the road is now an accomplished fact.* Thus does Russia proceed, where her foes inquire and pro- test. It is not here stated that Russia ought to be checked ; but if she ought, she must be confronted by a clearly thought out policy, continuously adhered to and backed by the certainty of something more than paper hostilities. ' See the reputed " Cassini Convention," in the Appendix. I02 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE You can hear all sorts of rumors concerning secret understandings between the Russian and Chinese govern- ments; it was at one time said that Li Hung Chang had concluded a secret unwritten arrangement by which the Czar was to be suzerain of Manchuria. Of course, all re- ports of such secret understandings are rumors, and it is impossible to tell whether there is any truth in them. It may be said, however, that the observer becomes im- pressed with a sort of atmosphere of Russo-Chinese unity quite impossible intelligently to analyze. Despite Chi- nese protests against the Russian advance and all the hostile words exchanged between the two governments, things usually come out as Russia wishes. Of course this may be due to the superiority of Russian diplomacy, backed as it is by armed force; but the rumors of a secret understanding between the two governments are worth noting merely to fill in the general picture. It is again repeated that any unspoken, unwritten alliance is not stated to be the fact, but merely the suspicion of intelligent men familiar with the Far East. Under concessions granted by the Chinese government to the Russo-Chinese Bank, this financial arm of the Russian government organized, under Russian laws, the East China Railway Company. This company is the builder of the road. It had a capital of 5,000,000 rubles ($2,500,000), practically all controlled by the Russo- Chinese Bank. But the actual capital for construction was raised by an issue of bonds guaranteed by the Russian government. Most of these bonds, it is be- lieved, are held by the Russian government itself, either directly or through the instrumentality of government banks. Thus the money to build the road comes out of the Russian imperial treasury directly. The report of the Minister of Finance for 1900 contains the following; The extraordinary expenditure is estimated at 192,945,424 rubles, including 25,195,258 rubles for the construction of the Siberian railway; 3,418,524 rubles for auxiliary undertakings in 103 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE connection with that railway; 30.573,550 rubles for the construc- tion of other railways; 43,758,092 rubles for the purchase of roll- ing stock for the Siberian and other railways; 85,000,000 rubles for loans to private railways, on security of bonds guaranteed by government, and 5,000,000 rubles for indemnities to private per- sons and institutions for loss of the exclusive right of selling spirits in retail. Though it is not stated that any of this expenditure for that particular year was for the Manchurian railroad specially, it is known that a great part of it was; and the budget of 1900 states that the estimated expenditure on loans to private railway companies, on security of bonds guaranteed by the government, was 82,000,000 rubles (about $41,000,000). Moreover, the report accompany- ing the Budget of the Minister of Finance declared that The losses of the East China Railway Company are very great, owing to the destruction of a considerable part of the permanent way in Manchuria, and the delay in the completion of the unfin- ished line; these losses have had their effect on the budget of 1900 in the form of large grants, under the head of extraordinary ex- penditure, for loans to railway companies. So it is not denied that the great Manchurian railway, built ostensibly by the East China Railway Company, and financed by the Russo-Chinese Bank under a contract with the Chinese government, is, in substance and in practical reality, built by the Russian government, under plans formulated in the office of the Russian Minister of Finance and upon disbursements made from the Russian imperial treasury. It is not clear where rational fault can be found with the Russian government for this method of procedure. This railway company is also given certain mining monopolies in Manchuria. Mining rights are usual coin- cidents of a railway concession anywhere in the Orient, and often constitute its most valuable element. Ac- cordingly, Russian mining-engineers are carefully and patiently investigating the mountains of Manchuria in 104 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE search chiefly for coa! and iron — gold is a secondary con- sideration — and, of course, for any other mineral riches which this possible addition to the Russian Empire may contain. More than one of these Russian engineers were met in the summer of 1901, and each of them freely told, with the enthusiasm of the discoverer, of valuable deposits which he had located. Coal, iron ore, and rich indications of gold have already been found, and no one need be surprised if oil and natural-gas fields, similar to those of Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Indiana, be developed on the other side of the globe. The following are some of the items of the railway con- struction agreement (actual language of the agreement is here condensed): First. The bonds of the railway company shall be issued as re- quired, and only with the special sanction of the Russian Minister of Finance. The face value and real price of each separate issue of bonds, and all of the conditions of the issue, shall be directed by the Russian Minister of Finance. Second. The payment of interest on and amortization of the bonds of the Manchurian railway shall be guaranteed by the Rus- sian government when issued. Third. The railway company must secure advances upon these bonds through the Russo-Chinese Bank, and not otherwise; but the government itself may directly, if it choose, take up the bond issue as a government investment, or upon loan, advancing on the bonds the ready money needed by the company from time to time. Fourth. Money received by the company for these bonds, no matter whether it is received through the agency of the Russo- Chinese Bank or directly from the government, or in any other manner, must be kept at such places as are designated by the Russian Minister of Finance, and absolutely under his supervision and control. Fifth. The ready money thus realized may be expended by the company in payment of various items of construction, and, of course, on interest on bonds as the same become due. It thus appears that for all practical purposes the work is the direct work of the Russian government, and that 105 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the Russo -Chinese Bank and the railway company are nothing but agents. The following are a few of the traffic and operating provisions of the railway agreement. (Again a conden- sation of the actual contract is given) : First. The gauge of the railway must be the same as that of Russian railways (five feet). Second. If the Manchurian railway becomes inadecjuate to care for the traffic turned over to it by the Siberian and Ussuri railways or Russian ship-lines, it shall increase its capacity upon notification of the railway named. If the Manchurian and Si- berian railways disagree about this, the Russian Minister of Fi- nance shall decide the question, and if the Manchurian Railway Company has not money enough to make the improvements, the Russian Minister of Finance may supply the funds, if he think wise. Third. Freight, passenger, and all other kinds of trains running upon the Trans-Baikal Siberian and Ussuri railway lines shall be received by the Manchurian railway as if these separate sys- tems were one system, in full complement, without delay of any kind. The same rate of speed shall be maintained on the Man- churian lines as is maintained by the Siberian railways. Fourth. The Manchurian Railway Company mvist build and maintain [it has done this already] a complete telegraph line con- necting the same with the Siberian and Russian service. It is thus seen that in the contract itself the railroad is made for all purposes a mere extension of the Siberian system. Four more provisions of this contract are illustrative of the effect of the road upon transportation reform in China, already noted: First. Passengers' baggage and goods carried in transit shall not be liable to any Chinese charges or dues. Second. The tariff (or rates) for the carriage of all other com- merce of the road shall be free from Chinese taxes or dues. Third. The amount of import and export transportation taxes are fixed by special articles. Fourth. The Russian postal service shall be extended over the entire Manchurian system, and the Russian letter and parcel post, together with the entire official machinery of the same, shall be carried by the railway company free of charge. 1 06 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Finally, it is provided by this contract that the Chi- nese government may purchase the road from this rail- way company at the end of thirty years, and at the end of eighty years the whole property shall revert to the Chinese government without payment of any kind. It is not intended at this point to set out technically and in detail the provisions of the contract under which the Manchurian railway is being constructed. Enough is given to show the financial character of the enterprise, its unity with the Russian railway system, the beginning of tax reform even before a rail was laid, and, in general, the legal outlines of the enterprise.* Why, then, since the Russian government is in reality building this road, does it not build directly, without the intervention of the Russo-Chinese Bank as its financial agent and the East China Railway Company as its con- structing agent? Why is not the construction agree- ment between the Russian and Chinese governments direct instead of through these agencies? There are many answers to these questions, known to those familiar with Russian railway construction, but there is one sug- gested which is of interest to other nations concerned in the trade of the Orient. That answer is that, if Japan or any other power ob- jects to the Russianization of Manchuria, the Russian government can, if it thinks expedient, reply that it is not the work of the government, but of a private corporation, whose interests, nevertheless, the Russian government has the right to protect, as Germany has the right to, and indeed does, protect the rights and property of her citizens and corporations. Again, if Russia sees fit to extend her power still farther towards the Chinese capital, if she desires to proceed even farther southward, to the very centre of China, and meet the French lines advancing northward, thus making a ' The entire railway agreement is given in full in the appendix. 107 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE great Franco-Russian trunk-line throughout the length of the Chinese Empire (and that this is the intention is thought probable by most students of the Far East), she can do so through the agency above described, to whose methods the Oriental mind has become accustomed and in which the world has acquiesced. And, in the third place, should it become desirable to exclude the goods of all other nations (except such a nation as Russia had entered into a private understand- ing with) from the interior of Manchuria it could be done by differential railway rates within the limits of the agreement, and, upon complaint by any other nation whose goods were thus discriminated against, Russia could reply that the fixing of these rates was a matter of business policy of the railway company. And so, though the closing of Chinese ports now controlled by Russia might be resisted by other nations vitally inter- ested in the commerce of the interior, it is reasoned that those nations could not effectively object to differential railway rates, which would accomplish precisely the same result. And so it is that the Russian statesmen are extending their net-work of power over Asia with a far-sightedness not exhibited in the foreign diplomacy of any other na- tion of the present day, except, perhaps, Germany. So it is that England may find herself helpless in the presence of accomplished facts and a series of impregnable diplo- matic positions. So it is that quietly, plausibly, skilfully, and by the lasting methods of material constructiveness, Russia has achieved the first of her plans for the capture of the only remaining uncaptured markets of the world. So it is that, while England and America have been wasting time on academic argumentations about un- substantial theories, Germany has been forging ahead towards the position of the first maritime power of the twentieth century, and Russia has been placing on the future the mortgage of her material dominion. 1 08 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "Yes," said a Russian, "you may be stronger now, richer now, than we are, but we shall be stronger to- morrow than you — yes, and all the world ; for the future abides with the Slav!" Such expressions you may hear again and again from young Russian gentlemen who have not become government haters. For example, take from another young Russian the following, which is striking; "Would you know another name for Russia? Very well, then, call her 'The Inevitable.'" IX HOW RUSSIA AT LAST REACHED THE UNFROZEN SEA PREPAREDNESS is the secret of most successes in this world. Fate seldom makes league with the unequipped. Events come marching into every century, into every day, crying aloud for the nation or the man who is prepared. Russia's foreign statesmanship, admittedly the ablest of the present day, as her internal development has been admittedly the most backward, consists largely in reasoning out possible events from existing conditions, and then preparing for them. Her bloodless triumph over Japan , after Japan 's bloody triumph over China, is an illustration of this. When the future of Manchuria looked most hopeless for Russia, she was in reality winning her right to build her railway and cre- ating opportunities for permanent occupation, should that ever appear desirable. But the right to build the rail- way did not include the right to occupy the two coveted ports on the open and ice-free waters on the south Man- churian coast — Port Arthur and TalienhvN^an. She had merely secured the right to build her railway across Manchuria to her superb harbor of Vladivostock, which, however, is open to commerce during the winter months only by aid of ice -breaking devices. It was Russia's desire to secure ports where ice did not chain the feet of her commerce. It is believed that for decades her in- tentions have been firmly fixed on the two excellent Manchurian ports above mentioned. Indeed, some outlet on the open oceans has been the determination of the Russian for centuries. no -THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE From the time of Peter the Great — he whom states- men-for-a-day called mad, but whose vision embraced all future Russian policy, so far as the eye of man can now discern it — from the time of this marvellous mind and will till now, one vast purpose of Russia has become so fixed as to be almost a religion, and that is the determination of the Slav to reach the seas where summer skies await him and over whose waters the winds of commerce blow. There is something pathetic about the patient eflfort of the Russian to reach the oceans of the globe — to sail the seas that other men sail, to make the ports that his brothers make, and to meet his fellows face to face in all the harbors of the world. There is something that wins our sympathy in the Russian's almost instinctive attempts to escape from his vast and mighty cage, unequalled in its own extent though that cage may be. For Russia is a cage and has always been a cage — the prison of a race. On the west, milHons of gathering bayonets of Germany and all Europe, menacing the Slav with the perpetual possibility of war; on the south, the Turk turning Russia backward from the Mediterranean and the common highways of mankind; on the north, the frozen Arctic; on the east, the savage and remorseless tribes of Asia; and, later in time and farther in distance, India disciplined, armed, and fortified by England against the Russian's progress towards the Oriental seas. On the east, again, and farther south, between Siberia and India, the ancient empire of the Son of Heaven, mighty in its day, but now in the period of its decline and falling in pieces, yet forbidden to the Russian by the masterful policy and power of England in former days, and later by the jealousies and fears of other nations. Turn where he would, the Slav could discern in the far distance the world's common oceans, which he felt to be his common right as well as the right of other peoples, but from which man and nature had conspired to bar him. And so, for this priceless privilege of the seas, the Slav III THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE has for centuries been battling, until by sheer experience in the concentration of his energies and thoughts on foreign policy he has become the most finished diplomat in the history of negotiation, and the first in foreign affairs among the statesmen of the nineteenth and twen- tieth centuries. Thus had he armed his hand with that skill which easily defeated Japan, easily discomfited England, and easily secured for himself permanent rights in a dominion which is itself an empire — an achievement so simply and so easily accomplished that, to readers of the world's affairs, it ap- peared to be sheer luck or else a very miracle. It was thus he took his first step in Manchuria, and, finally, it was thus that he found himself prepared to extend his advan- tages, his railroad, his power, his dominion southward through Manchuria, and to occupy and fortify the best ports for commerce and war, with only two exceptions, on all the coasts of China. Thus was realized at last a part of his passion and his dream — open ports on open seas. And so it is that the world beholds the beginning of the fulfilment of the imperial Peter's policy. Remember, then, that the original railway agreement by which Russia began to throw her lines across Man- churia did not include that branch which has since be- come the trunk-line itself, running hundreds of miles through central Manchuria to Port Arthur and Talienhwan. But the Slav was on the ground. He was already build- ing railroads, as contemplated in the initial agreement. He had already rescued China from its conqueror; he had already made the Manchu dynasty his debtor. Now he patiently built his railroad towards Vladivostock ; and while he built he patiently awaited the development of events. And events did not disappoint him. Once more the ancient tale was told of fate conspiring with him who is prepared. Some time before two German missionaries had been wantonly murdered in the province of Shan- 112 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Tung. Germany demanded reparation. But the nego- tiations dragged their weary lengths along. The peculiar dilatoriness characteristic of Chinese diplomacy promised to make all effort fruitless. Finally, the Geman Emperor landed marines at Tsing-Tau, the port of Kiaochou, seized the latter town and the entire bay. No opinion is here expressed as to the right or wrong, the expediency or the inexpediency, of this bold move. Germany's friends pointed out, however, that her justification existed in the apparent impossibility of securing terms from China. Of course, the critics of Germany's action stoutly maintain that she was merely paying herself for her helpful attitude towards China in the past. Confronted at last by the display of actual force, which most European statesmen believe to be the only thing the Asiatic anywhere understands, the Manchu Emperor made a definite grant to Germany of the entire bay of Kiao- chou, including the city and port, and a coast boundary of land surrounding it. The salient features of this Kiao- chou convention are as follows : I. His Majesty the Emperor of China is willing that German troops take possession of the above-mentioned territory at any time the Emperor of Germany chooses. China retains her sov- ereignty over this territory, and should she at any time wish to enact laws or carry out plans within the leased area, she shall be at liberty to enter into negotiations with Germany with reference thereto, provided always, that such laws or plans shall not be prejudicial to German interests. Germany may engage in works for the public benefit, such as water- works, within the territory covered b^^ the lease, without reference to China. Should China wish to march troops or establish garrisons therein, she can ao so only after negotiating with and obtaining the express permission of Germany. II. His Majesty the Emperor of Germany being desirous, like the rulers of certain other countries, of establishing a naval and coaling-station and constructing dock-yards on the coast of China, the Emperor of China agrees to lease to him for the purpose all the land on the southern and northern sides of Kiaochou Bay for a term of ninety-nine years, Germany to be at liberty to erect forts on this land for the defence of her possessions therein. 8 113 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE III. During the continuance of the lease China shall have no voice in the government or administration of the leased territory. It will be governed and administered during the whole term of ninety-nine years solely by Germany, so that the possibility of friction between the two powers may be reduced to the smallest magnitude. Chinese ships of war and merchant ships, and ships of war and merchant ships of countries having treaties and in a state of amity with China, shall receive equal treatment with German ships of war and merchant ships in Kiaochou Bay during the continuance of the lease. Germany is at liberty to enact any regulations she desires for the government of territory and harbor, provided such regulations apply impartially to the ships of all nations, Germany and China included. IV. Germany shall be at liberty to erect whatever light-houses, beacons, and other aids to navigation she chooses within the ter- ritory leased, and along the islands and coasts approaching the en- trance to the harbor. Vessels of China and vessels of other coun- tries entering the harbor shall be liable to special duties for repair and maintenance of all light-houses, beacons, and other aids to navigation which Germany may erect and establish. Chinese vessels shall be exempt from other special duties. V. Should Germany desire to give up her interest in the leased territory before the expiration of ninety-nine years, China shall take over the whole area and pay Germany for whatever German property may at the time of surrender be there situated. In case of such surrender taking place, Germany shall be at liberty to lease some other point along the coast. Germany shall not cede the territory leased to any other power than China. Chinese subjects shall be allowed to live in the territory leased, under the protection of the German authorities, and there to carry on their avocations and business so long as they conduct themselves as peaceable and law-abiding citizens. Germany shall pay a rea- sonable price to the native proprietors for whatever lands her government or subjects require. Fugitive Chinese criminals tak- ing refuge in the leased territory shall be arrested and surrendered to the Chinese authorities for trial and ptinishment, upon applica- tion to the German authorities, but the Chinese authorities shall not be at liberty to send agents into the leased territory to make arrests. The German authorities shall not interfere with the likin stations outside but adjacent to the territory. In connection with this lease the German government secured from the Chinese government a railway and min- 114 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ing concession, the leading features of which, condensed, are as follows: The Chinese government sanctions the construction by Ger- many of two Unes of railroad in Shan-Tung. [Then follows a de- scription of where the first line shall ru.n and of an extension to the second line]. The construction of this extension shall not be be- gun until the first part of the line, the inain line, is completed, in order to give the Chinese an opportunity of connecting this line in the most advantageous manner with their own railway system. In order to carry out the above-mentioned railway work, a Chino-German company shall be formed, with branches at what- ever places may be necessary; and in this company both German and Chinese subjects shall be at liberty to invest money if they choose, and to appoint directors for the management of the under- taking. All arrangements in connection with the works specified shall be determined bv a future conference of German and Chinese repre- sentatives. The Chinese government shall afford every facility and protection and extend every welcome to representatives of the German railway company operating in Chinese territory- Profits derived from the workings of these railroads shall be justly divided pro rata between the shareholders without regard to na- tionality. The object of constructing these lines is solely the de- velopment of commerce. In inaugurating a railway system in Shan-Tung, Germany entertains no treacherous intentions towards China, and undertakes not to seize unlawfully any land in the province. The Chinese government shall allow German subjects to hold and develop mining property for a distance of thirty li from each side of these railways and along the whole extent of the lines. [Here follows description of mining districts in detail.] Chinese capital may be invested in these operations, and arrangements for carrying on the work shall hereafter be made by a joint conference of Chinese and German representatives. All German subjects en- gaged in such work in Chinese territory shall be properly protected and welcomed by the Chinese avithorities, and all profits derived shall be fairly divided between German and Chinese stockholders, according to the extent of the interest they hold in the undertak- ings. In trying to develop mining property in China, Germany is actuated by no treacherous motives against this country, but seeks alone to increase commerce and improve the relations be- tween the two countries. If at any time the Chinese should form schemes for the develop- 115 THE RUvSSIAN ADVANCE ment of Shan-Tung, for the execution of which it is necessary to obtain foreign capital, the Chinese government, or whatever Chinese ■may be interested in such scJiemes, shall, in the first instance, apply to German capitalists. Application shall also be made to German manufacturers for the necessary machinery and materials before the manufacturers of any other power are approached. Should German capitalists or manufacturers decline to take the business, the Chinese shall then be at liberty to obtain money and materials from sources of other nationality than German. The importance of this lease and railway and mining con- cession, is apparent on the face of the documents them- selves, and in another chapter further remarks will be made concerning them. They are inserted at this point as neces- sary links in the chain of the story of Russia's occupation of south Manchuria, and of the military, naval, and commercial ports on the shores of the Chinese waters; also, they are believed to be of interest as an example of what a Chinese railway concession to a first-class power is like. When Germany seized Kiaochou, Russia was not long in acting. Russia reasoned thus: Here was a seizure of territory by an empire which is already one of the great powers, and which has declared ambitions to become the first and chiefest power among the nations. Here was Germany throwing her influence across the path of Rus- sian intentions in Asia, as she has so effectively thrown ner financial and commercial power across the path of Russia, and of England too, in Turkey and Asia Minor. And here was this seizure of territory, an extension of physical and material influence into the very breast of China, sanctioned by the Chinese government. The event for which Russia was prepared had oc- curred at last. Very clearly, if the seizure of a portion of Chinese territory by Japan, as her price of peace in closing her war with China, was a menace to the permanent peace of the Orient, Germany's seizure of territory in the very centre of the Chinese coast was equally a menace. True that Germany, Russia, and France had protested against ii6 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Japan's occupation of a portion of Chinese territory; true that Germany's seizure of Kiaochou and the extension of German railways into one of China's great provinces was inconsistent with the allies' protest against Japan's occupation of southern Manchuria; true that the im- plied understanding as to the integrity of China, neces- sarily involved in the allies' protest to Japan, had been broken. But, said, in effect, the Russian statesmen, it was not Russia that had broken it. It was not Russia that had changed these conditions. Apparently, so far as the letter of the implied agreement was concerned, Russia had been faithful to the understanding. But now conditions were changed, and through no fault of Russia. She was justi- fied in protecting her interests, then. Nobody could find any fault with that. She would protect her interests therefore. If Germany received a port, so should Russia receive a port. If Germany occupied Kiaochou, Russia should occupy Port Arthur and Talienhwan. So reasoned Russian statesmen. Such was her representation to China. Such was her case before the public opinion of the world. Like lightning, she carried this determina- tion into effect. The German lease was dated March 6, 1898. On March 27th of the same year a treaty was signed by the representatives of the Chinese and Russian govern- ments, leasing Port Arthur and Talienhwan to the Czar, and extending all railroad construction rights from where the line of the road crosses north-central Manchuria on its way to Vladivostock southward to these ports. And because the Russian lease, like the German grant and concession, is fundamental, because it, like the German lease, is an historical and political landmark, from which the beginning of the disintegration of China, in a physical, tangible, and material sense, may be reckoned, if that break-up ever occurs, it is here set out almost in full: 117 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Article I. — It being necessary for the due protection of her navy in the waters of north China that Russia should possess a station she can defend, the Emperor of China agrees to lease to Russia Port Arthur and TaUenhwan, together with the adjacent seas, but on the understanding that such lease shall not prejudice China's sovereignty over this territory. Article II. — The limits of the territory thus leased, for the rea- sons above stated, as well as the extent of territory north of Ta- lienhwan necessary for the defence of that now leased, and what shall be allowed to be leased, shall be strictly defined, and all de- tails necessary to the carrying out of this treaty be arranged at St. Petersburg with Hsu Tajen so soon as possible after the signa- ture of the present treaty, and embodied in a separate treaty. Once these limits have been determined, all land held by Chinese within such limits, as well as the adjacent waters, shall be held by Russia alone on lease. Article III. — The duration of the lease shall be twenty-five years from the day this treaty is signed, but may be extended by mutual agreement between Russia and China. Article IV, — The control of all military forces in the territory leased by Russia, and of all naval forces in the adjacent seas, as well as of the civil officials in it, shall be vested in one high Russian official, who shall, however, be designated by some title other than Governor-General (Tsung-tu) or Governor (Hsun-fu). All Chinese military forces shall, without exception, be withdrawn from the territory, but it shall remain optional with the ordinary Chinese inhabitants, either to remain or to go, and no coercion shall be used against them in this matter. Should they remain, any Chi- nese charged with a criminal offence shall be handed over to the nearest Chinese official, to be dealt with according to Article VIII, of the Russo-Chinese treaty of iS6o. Article V. — To the north of the territory leased shall be a zone, the extent of which shall be arranged at St. Petersburg, between Hsu Tajen and the Russian Foreign Office. Jurisdiction over this zone shall be vested in China, but China may not quarter troops in it except with the previous consent of Russia. Article VI. — The two nations agree that Port Arthur shall be a naval port for the sole use of Russian and Chinese men-of-war, and be considered as an unopen port so far as the naval and mercantile vessels of other nations are concerned. As regards Talienhwan, one portion of the harbor shall be reserved exclusively for Russian and Chinese men-of-war, just like Port Arthur, but the remainder shall be a commercial port, freely open to the merchant vessels of all countries. Article VII. — Port Arthur and Talienhwan are the points in H8 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the territory leased most important for Russian military purposes. Russia shall, therefore, be at liberty to erect forts at her own ex- pense, and to build barracks and provide defences at such places as she desires. Article VIII. — China agrees that the procedure sanctioned in 1896, regarding the construction of railroads by the Board of the Eastern China Railway Company, shall, from the date of the signa- ture of this treaty, be extended so as to include the construc- tion of a branch line to Talienhwan, or, if necessary, in view of the interests involved, of a branch line to the most suitable point on the coast between New-Chwang and the Yalu River. Further, the agreement entered into in September, 1896, between the Chinese government and the Russo-Chinese Bank shall apply with equal strength to this branch line. The direction of this branch line and the places it shall touch shall be arranged between Hsu Tajen and the Board of Eastern Railroads. The construction of this line shall never, however, be made a ground for encroaching on the sovereignty of China. It will be observed that Russia's lease of Port Arthur and Talienhwan is for the period of twenty-five years. But note also that the first article states that the lease is made because it is necessary for the due protection of Russia's navy in the waters of north China that Russia shall possess a station she can defend. Also note, as with Germany in Shan-Tung, authority is given to fortify; and note, most of all, that Russia has acted upon this authority. The harbor at Port Arthur is deep and narrow and not over large, and is surrounded by high, almost mountainous hills. With all speed, day and night, Russia instantly began planting impregnably her power on these eminences. At the time the writer reached Port Arthur, at the end of the journey of investi- gation through Manchuria, work was still in progress. Trench and earthwork and guns — not frowning guns, but guns that hide their menace — and all the incidents of modern fortification were being perfected over this mari- time terminus of her railroad. With the foundation of her physical authority planted deeply, even to the hearts of the everlasting hills, it is not likely that Russia will 119 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ever depart, at least from Port Arthur and Talienhwan. It is the last and most conclusive piece of evidence to sustain the proposition that she intends to remain in Manchuria, and permanently. Statements to the contrary were made by the highest authorities in the diplomatic world. If, in 1901, you asked an English diplomat, an American diplomat, most of all a Russian diplomat himself, "Does Russia intend to occupy Manchuria permanently?" each of them would have assured you, and sincerely too, that she did not. An eminent American diplomatist in conversation, in the fall of 1 90 1, ridiculed the statement that Russia was a fixture in Manchuria. The suggestion, made at the same time in published articles, was received with incredulity by the great body of the American press. You were told, too, that even then Russia was urging upon China a treaty providing for Russia's departure from Manchuria and for her evacuation of even Port Arthur. No doubt, such a treaty was being presented to the Chinese court, but also, no doubt, such a treaty will never be signed. And if it be not, will it not become clear to the simplest mind that again Russia has made a paper record of non- aggression and of a willingness to surrender which all the world may read? And is not that a strategic position of commanding value in Russia's frontier negotiations upon the Pacific ? Can she not point to the fact that it was not she who violated the spirit of the allied protest to Japan concerning the occupation of Manchuria, but another? that it was not she who was the first to seize Chinese terri- tory, but another? that she secured the lease of Port Arthur and Talienhwan and adjacent territory only as a matter of self-defence? and that, finally, she has actually proposed a treaty for the withdrawal from every foot of Chinese territory? For that is the case on the record which Russia has made to the world; and should the Manchu Emperor 120 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE decline to sign such a treaty, has Russia not put the Pekin government under additional guarantee and bonds? And so it appears improbable that Russia will with- draw from Manchuria. Her railroad is there, her ships are there, her mines are there. Coal, iron, silver, gold, and other treasures of mineral wealth — all Russia's under her railway agreement — are chere. Soil which will grow any vegetable in the temperate zones and some of those of the semi-tropic countries are there. (You may see wheat, barley, oats, tobacco, potatoes, Indian corn, beans, millet growing in fields that look like miniature American farms, or, rather, like overgrown American gardens, in all the inhabited portions of Manchuria. The soil is so rich that many crops were seen, in the summer of 1901 , already beginning to grow in the same fields from which the first crop had been gathered only a fortnight before.) All these are there. And, most of all, the command of all China, the point from which the sceptre of the Russian Autocrat may be extended over all the East, is there. The throne of the future of the Orient appears to be planted now upon the eminence that lifts above the waters of Port Arthur, and above it already floats the Russian flag. COLLISION OF RUSSIA S ADVANCE WITH JAPAN THERE is but one agency which might dislodge the Russian from Manchuria; that agency is the sword- like bayonets of the soldiers of Japan, the war-ships of Japan, the siege-guns of Japan, the embattled frenzy of a nation stirred to its profoundest depths by the conviction that the Czar has deprived the Mikado of the greatest vic- tory and the richest prize in all the history of the Island Empire — a history which reaches back not through cen- turies, but through millenniums. And that Japan is de- termined that Russia shall withdraw from Manchuria no careful student on the ground can doubt. No thoughtful student of geography can doubt it. War between Russia and Japan is a serious probability. It is believed by the best informed that it would be raging now if Japan had the money. It came near breaking out in February, 1901, in spite of the Mikado's poverty. Only the financial situation muzzles the artillery of the England of the Orient. And Russia's financial situation is almost as bad. And so it is that both Russia and Japan will hesi- tate to give the other a casus belli. All statesmen are obliging, conciliatory, reasonable when confronted with the grim alternative of armed conflict before they are ready for it. But, however long the want of actual cash may postpone this conflict, it is hard to see how it is to be avoided in the end. If it is put off for five years, the causes for it will still remain; if it is put off for ten years, yet will those causes persist ; if it is put off for a quarter of a. century, nevertheless the elements of conflict will con- THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tinue. What then are those enduring causes which time itself, as it now appears, cannot remove? Look at your map. Just above Japan, within hardly more than a day's sail, is Vladivostock, one of the finest harbors for naval and military purposes in the world, and one whose only defect is its three months of ice. It is the Gibraltar of the East. And it is Russian. In its waters the Russian war-ships lie safe from all attack. From its wharves Russian railways run northward through Russian wheat-fields to the Russian capital of east Siberia. Cross now, southward, a peninsula and reach the sea; and travel, still south, the shores of the sea till you come to the mate of Vladivostock, Port Arthur, of which so much has already been said. Here, again, the war-ships of Rus- sia are within instant touch of Japan. Here, again, they lie in safety, secure from all attack. Again, from the wharves of this southern Vladivostock the Russian railway lines run northward; and though the territory through which these railway lines run is still nominally Chinese, the facts here presented show that, for all practical pur- poses, it may, in the future, become Russian, if the Rus- sian wills it so. North of this peninsula, then, are Russian ports, Rus- sian ships, and Russian guns; a Russian railway, Russian commerce, the Russian people. Back of this peninsu- la, again, are Russian railways, Russian commerce, and Russian bayonets. South of this peninsula, again, are Russian harbors, Russian guns, Russian commerce, and Russian railways. And this peninsula, running out from these Russian en- vironments, almost touches Japan itself. As a Japanese statesman said, in speaking of this peninsula, "It is like an arrow, with the point aimed at our heart." This peninsula is Korea, and it is inevitable that Korea shall become either Russian or Japanese. And if it be Japanese, it will be a powerful factor in preventing Man- churia from ever becoming Russian. 123 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Let us listen again to the Japanese publicist just quoted. "The absorption," said he, "of Manchuria by the Rus- sians, if completed, renders the position of Korea precari- ous. And Korea is a matter of first and last importance to us. Korea is life or death to Japan." "Yes," said another Japanese publicist, of high intelli- gence, "if I were a Russian I might insist on Korea becom- ing Russian; but as I am a Japanese, for the safety of my country, I insist that it shall become Japanese, and upon that insistence every subject of the Mikado is willing to lay down his life." "Ah," said a Japanese diplomat, in concluding an ab- sorbing conversation upon the next great crisis of the world, "Korea must be Russian or Japanese, it is said. Yes. Well, in that case, it will become Japanese. Every one of Japan's two hundred and fifty thousand soldiers will die, if need be, to achieve this victory for his em- peror — this act of international justice, this guarantee of the safety of the Japanese nation. And, after our soldiers are gone, the nation itself, man, woman, and child, will battle, forty millions of us, till the last yen is gone and the last life yielded. I mean what I say. It is with us no statesman's policy; it is with us the settled purpose and the burning passion of a people." This is fervid language; but talks with merchants, with guides, with even the common people of Japan, will con- vince you that this Japanese diplomat's Oriental eloquence is quite within the limits of the truth. Here, then, is reason enough, and there are other rea- sons still more profound. Japan is already seriously crowd- ed for living-room for her people. During the past ages of her history, the birth rate was, no doubt, as great as now, but the death rate also was almost equally great. And so her population, during many centuries, was very steady, just as China's is to-day. But in recent years Japan has become a modern hygienic nation. The science of medicine has made no such progress anywhere in the 124 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Orient as in this island-empire. Indeed, comparing her ignorance of the heahng art, even in recent years, with the high position she occupies to-day, her medical progress is the greatest, relatively speaking, in the world. A con- spicuous illustration of this is found in her quarantine system, which is far and away the most perfect in detail and careful in administration of any quarantine system on the globe. Four years ago a certain ship entered the port of Naga- saki. The quarantine officers made that careful in- spection of passengers with which all Oriental travellers are familiar. Finally, one man was taken from the ship who had some little indications of fever. By sunset that man was dead of the bubonic plague. The ship was ac- cordingly quarantined for eight days. Its disinfection by the Japanese quarantine officers was as thorough as could possibly be done by any medical men in the world. Dur- ing these eight days the writer, by special courtesies, was permitted to carefully inspect the whole quarantine es- tablishment at this important place, and to have long talks with the medical authorities. Similar examinations were made elsewhere, and the perfection of Japan's quar- antine system compelled heartiest admiration. So it is that, while the plague may ravage China, which is almost within sight of the Japanese shores, the Japanese millions have been made secure from its dread invasion. And medical advance in other directions is being made with astonishing rapidity throughout the little group of islands where live the forty odd millions of the Mikado's subjects. The result, of course, will occur to any one. The birth rate continues as great as formerly, and in only two or three places in the world is it greater than in Japan; but the death rate daily decreases. The population of Japan, therefore, steadily and rapidly increases. Japan has no method of relieving this accession of numbers by emigration as Germany has, so we find her in the condition in which Germany would find herself if the 125 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE millions of Germans who have come to America and the other millions who have gone elsewhere throughout the world had all been kept at home. So Japan is looking for some place to plant her surplus millions. This was one of the three or four great reasons for acquiring Formosa; it is one of the vital reasons for ultimately occupying Korea. Manchuria, with its comparatively scanty population, and climatic conditions like those of Japan, would have been an ideal spot for the planting of a Japanese empire with the surplus Japanese popu- lation. On the other hand, in addition to the other reasons given why Russia considers Manchuria desirable, is the fact that she, also, feels that the natural pressure of her population requires Russian occupation of Man- churia. It is not a matter of future speculation, but only of simple arithmetic and of near-by certainty, that Siberia will be as thickly peopled as Russia itself. When that occurs, the overflow can go no place but southward, through the fertile valleys of Manchuria. Still another fundamental reason for this conflict is that which gave rise to the triple alliance, whose diplomacy and menace drove Japan from southern Manchuria after her war with China. This is the fear entertained by every Russian, German, and French statesman, in com- mon with every student of Oriental affairs, that Japan intends to undertake the reorganization of the Chinese Empire; and that Japan regards this as her "destiny" no one who has gone over the ground will deny. The reasons for it are powerful. They grow out of the elements of race and geography. The Japanese and Chinese are both Asiatics. Their written language is very similar, and for practical purposes the same; some of their religions are identical; their modes of thought are so much alike that the Japanese may be said to be the only people who understand the Chinese. In this, it is true, the Russian is a close second to the Japanese. 126 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Furthermore, they are so close together that they may be said to be physically in elbow touch. Indeed, Japan, it is said, has already begun work upon a far-sighted programme of China's reorganization. The reported employment of Japanese professors in the Im- perial University at Pekin is an illustration. The em- ployment of Japanese officers in the Chinese army in the place of European officers is still a more significant one. This plan is very great in its outlines. It comprehends the modernizing of all the schools of China, substituting for the study of the ancient classics the acquirement of modern scientific and useful knowledge; it includes the opening up of the country by the gradual construction of highways; it looks to a systematic policing of the entire empire. Indeed, an entire chapter might be written, and upon respectable authority, describing the ultimate inten- tions which Japan entertains as to China. It sometimes seems that her statesmen do not take very much pains to conceal them. There is no doubt that up to the present she has earnestly hoped that she might be aided in this, her high dream of Oriental dominion, by an alliance with England and America; and although such an alliance would rob her of most of the fruit of her statesmanship, she would be only too glad to make the division for the invaluable aid of these two powers. It is believed, however, that she has abandoned hope of such a far-reaching, hard-and-fast compact, and that she has finally come to the consciousness that she must go it alone. Of course, if Japan should thus become the dominant influence in China, her merchants and manufacturers would capture the lion's share of the vast future com- merce of the Flowery Kingdom. Such Japanese pre- dominance in China would also make of China a far more powerful barrier against Russian advance than Japan itself now is. 137 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE It is thus easy to see that the Japanese conception of the Oriental "destiny" of Japan and the Russian con- ception of the Oriental "destiny" of Russia come into a face-to-face conflict. On the one hand, Russia would be deprived of the markets which she hopes in the future (perhaps not for a century or two) to be able to as perfectly control physically as she now controls those of her own dominions; on the other hand, a halt would be called to the march of her alleged national ideal of setting up the cross over China's myriads of millions, of which ideal something will be said in a later chapter. Even if Japan's programme were carried out with the co-operation of England and the United States, the effect upon Russia would be precisely the same. So it appears that this dispute, whose springs are deep in the rocks and soil of circumstances, seemingly beyond the control of any human statesmanship, may have to be settled, in the final analysis, by trial of battle. And if war does come, there are more contradictory elements of strength, more contradictory conditions, more premises upon which wagers for either side might be reasonably made than in any war of modern times — the Japanese navy, the Russian navy; Japanese prepared- ness, Russian preparedness; the Japanese soldier, the Russian soldier; the skill, valor, the staying powers of the flower of the people of the Orient, against the slowest, most undeveloped, but yet the most tenacious and most unexhausted race of the Occident. It will be a great drama, and when the curtain falls on its last desperate act the destiny of the East, and in a certain sense the future of the world, will be forecast by the flag which flies in triumph over the carnage of that final conflict. This probable and prospective war between Japan and Russia will be a conflict not only of opposing interests but of singularly acute race antipathies. Tolerant as the Russians are of other races, their hatred of the Japanese 128 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE is pronounced and apparently instinctive. Also, there is in it an element of contempt. At a Moscow dinner- table the progress of the Japanese was remarked and the word civilization applied to them. " Civilization !" quick- ly spoke up a banker, with an eager spirit not in keeping with his calm calling. "Civilization! You don't mean that. You mean imitation. Everything is on the sur- face. Everything is temporary — false!" And this same harsh idea was voiced by Cierpitsky's common soldiers in the middle of Manchuria. An officer was indulging in an informal talk to several hundreds of his soldiers (this is a characteristic of the Russian army). Here is the conversation as it occurred, repeated verbatim and with literal accuracy. An officer leaning out of a window said to the assembled soldiers: "Well, boys, are you glad this campaign is over?" The soldiers answered in their customary chorus: " Yes, our colonel, but we are willing to fight again." Colonel: " If the Japanese come, will you let them whip 3'ou or will you whip them?" Soldiers, in chorus: "What! Those monkeys whip us? Never, our colonel!" This same sentiment was found among the Siberian miners. "I cannot tolerate the Japanese," said a Sibe- rian mine -owner, who has travelled very extensively. "They are such make-believe people, and there are other things about them." And then very unpleasant references were made to the Japanese. These pages might be entirely taken up with similar expressions from business-men, bankers, soldiers, officers. It is even denied that the Japanese are content with their evolution into European civilization. "They are riot capable of it, and actually despise it," said a Russian diplomat in a certain Asiatic station. "They are already beginning to abandon the externalization of our European civilization as a child throws away a new toy. For example : In Tokio a very prominent public man and his 9 129 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE wife adopted European modes of dress when that craze took them off their feet some years ago. Their daughters were reared in Enghsh clothes. Well, last year those daughters threw away their Paris - made gowns and re- sumed the native Japanese kimono; and instances like that could be given by the hundred." The deep dislike of the Japanese for the Russian is even more passionate. "They cannot be trusted; they will violate any compact when their selfish interests dictate," was the expression of a Japanese of good birth, good education, and good condition. "They are the spoilers of the world," said another. "When has Russia kept faith? When has she ceased to slay and debauch?" These expressions are given only to reflect the real mutual opinions of these opposing peoples. It may be that they are the utterances of mere temporary irritation, which will pass away, as French and German antagonism have so largely evaporated with the years. Indeed, many far-seeing men think that just this happy conclusion will occur. But at the present hour the war itself is taken for granted. One of the most conservative of Japanese statesmen said: "I admit that it looks like an appeal to arms, but I hope and believe that it will be settled peace- ably. The immensely increased intercommunication of nations, the telegraph, the interwoven commercial in- terests, all conspire to aid us to a peaceful settlement." Like the conservative men of all nations, the thought- ful statesmen of Japan are hoping and working for peace but preparing for war. " I admit that Russia is strength- ening herself in Manchuria as fast as she can," said one of the weightiest minds of the island-empire, "and that she is doing it with ultimate intentions on Korea there cannot be the sHghtest doubt. We hope that the public opinion of the world will never permit further Russian aggression, but we are preparing as fast as she is. In such a war she will be helpless, because we command the sea, and she will never again be able to make the 130 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE triple alliance which robbed us of our victory over China." The expression of Russian public men, on the other hand, is even more pacific. You will never be able to get a Russian civil official to admit the possibility of war. "But," said a Russian diplomat travelling towards his station in the Far East, "if war is forced on us, we are ready this moment." And he meant it; but, from what was personally known, this is believed to be an over- statement. They were not ready "this moment," and neither was Japan. ^ "Those brown fellows must strike first," said the head of a Russian civil commission. "We don't have to strike first ; all we have got to do is to wait and strengthen our- selves." "No, there will be no war between Russia and Japan," declared a high official of the Manchurian railway, "be- cause it is perfectly hopeless for Japan, and her statesmen have sense enough to see that. Why, suppose they actu- ally occupied Korea and defeated us at first ; we would swarm back upon them whenever we got ready and sweep them into the sea. Besides, out of all this turmoil and confusion we will reach some common and peaceful ground at last." But behind the individual expression of official opinion on both sides are the common, emphatic, clearly defined views of the masses — an open and racial antipathy and feeling of certain conflict. And there is one chord which is struck by both sides, and struck again, and still again played by each side, and that chord is the favor of America. Each side insists that the interests of America are identical with its own. "Under existing conditions, it seems to me that the friendship of America should be ours ; certainly our inter- ests are the same." So spoke a Japanese statesman. "If * All these conversations and observations occurred in 1901. 131 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE we ever do have a conflict with Japan," said a much- travelled and highly cultured Russian, "one thing is clear to all the world, and that is that the sympathy of America will be with Russia." "We shall depend upon you in our conflict for our ex- istence and for the integrity of the East," earnestly ex- claimed a Japanese public man, educated in the univer- sities of Europe. "The door through which the world enters Asia was first unlocked by an American. We are neighbors, and nature has made us partners to resist the aggression of the Slav in the Orient. We are more like you than we are like any other people, and your Mr. Curtis, in his fine book, has even called us 'the Yankees of the East.' And, aside from sentiment, the sheer question of com- merce is enough to keep you with us." Now listen to the counterpart of this from a Russian source: "There is only one nation upon whose abiding friendship Russia counts," said an eminent Russian, "and that nation is America. Our friendship is traditional and has never been broken. You had our sympathy in your War for Independence, our fleet at your gates, a menace to all the world, during your Rebellion, and we were the only people of the world who did not sympathize with the South in that mighty effort to spHt up your repubhc. We sold you the imperial province of Alaska for a song. Our industries are not developed, and while they are de- veloping, it is from you that we shall buy more and more. "And we are the only two peoples in the world who are alike — both young, both expanding, both developing. In all the fundamental elements of comparison we are the only two races in the world that are similar. As for our institutions — at bottom there is more resemblance than dissimilarity, and at the top the very antithesis suggests unity. We are different sides of the same shield. Autoc- racy on one side, democracy on the other — each developed by the two admittedly coming peoples of the world. "Have you not a saying in your country, ' We will never 132 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE pull down the flag?' Well, let me remind you that our Emperor Nicholas said, when it was proposed to retreat from the mouth of the Amur, ' Where the Russian flag is planted once, there it shall remain forever.'" And the Emperor Nicholas did say, substantially, just that, and just that is the common thought and determi- nation of those many tens of millions of units of human inertia called the Russian people. An illustration: The boat had stopped for the night in its tiresome prog- ress down the Amur, and the peasants and soldiers swarmed ashore. For some reason the captain decided to change the location of the boat for the night, and ordered the gang-plank hauled in. All hands began to haul it in; a Russian common soldier had taken the first step upon it. "Back! Back!" shouted the boat officer (not in the mil- itary service). "Back! Back!" shouted the hands, con- tinuing to haul in the gang-plank. "Never! The Russian soldier never goes backward!" shouted the white-bloused private, rushing forward on the moving plank, and escaping by a hair's-breadth from fall- ing into the river. And the people on the boat and the peasants on shore applauded his somewhat melodramatic utterance. Melodramatic it was, but significant it was also — signifi- cant of the giant race of which he was one. "Where the Russian flag is planted, there it remains forever!" speaks the Czar from his Winter Palace. "The Russian soldier never goes backward!" shouts the obscure private on the Amur. And between them, to the same militant purport, speaks and feels and believes the Russian people. This Russian soldier and his comrades on the vagrant Amur boat were good examples. Many days were spent in studying them. Observations of their brothers in Nikolsk and Khabaroff and throughout Manchuria revealed inter- esting facts ; and nothing can be more interesting in fore- casting the probable Russo-Japanese war than an esti- mate of the men who must do the fighting. ^33 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The good-humor of the Russian soldier is apparently his chief, certainly his most visible, characteristic. Song and laugh and joke; joke and laugh and song. There is a playfulness as of overgrown boys. Nothing seems to impair or discourage this wonderful cheeriness. The writer has seen them, drenched to the skin, lips blue with cold, laugh and talk in the greatest good-humor, their teeth chatter- ing while they spoke. You never hear a complaint from them. "I should say that the difference between our soldiers and yours," the Manchurian colonel above quoted added, "or Germany's or England's or any others, is that when they go through hardships they think it merely their duty; when they fight they think it nothing more than their duty, and when they die they consider it quite the proper thing because it is their duty. Every other coun- try pays its soldiers a very fair sum for their service — you Americans, especially, pay very high wages. We pay our soldiers practically nothing — two or three dollars a year; but they are taught to believe, and do believe, that it is their duty — a part of their lives which they owe to Russia, to the Czar, and to the King of kings in heaven. We think it a mistake to pay soldiers. It puts the military service of the country on a mercenary basis. The theory should be that every man should be prepared to give not only three or four years of service, but his life, if need be, to his country; but the idea of pay debases the spirit of this service." Associated with their conception of service as a duty, and not as something that the government compels them to do, or as something for which they are paid, is the ele- ment of obedience in a Russian soldier. He obeys, not be- cause he must, but because it is his nature. There is an almost worshipful regard for ofhcers — an unreasoning be- lief in them which is childhke. This obedience of the Russian soldier is not the obedience of discipline, as in the case of Germany, or of that of our own military establish- 134 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ment, or that of any other nation. It has its springs far down in the very nature of the Slav race and in the pe- culiar relationship between officer and men. Indeed, the whole Russian system is based upon the idea of father and son. It is the Czar and his children in the empire, the governor and his children m the province, the marshal and his children in the district, the patriarch and his children in the family. And in the military establishment, again the soldiers of the Czar are the chil- dren of the Czar, the soldiers of any army are the children of the general; the colonel is father of his regiment, the captain of his company. Thus a paternal and filial re- lationship exists which you may see nowhere else on earth. A German officer would consider military discipline se- riously violated if he did what, to the Russian officer, is a natural method of insuring discipline. An American soldier submits to discipline because, on the whole, he thinks it a good thing, and also because he must; a Ger- man soldier, almost wholly because he must; but the Russian soldier because his "father" commands, and it is his filial duty. One night, in Trans-Baikal Siberia, the strange, weird notes of a Russian peasants' song came through the darkness. (Nothing can describe the Russian peasant and soldier songs — their wildness, their mingled sadness and joy. Towards the end of each verse, breaking in upon the deeper chorus, a high, shrill voice takes up the strain and dominates it to the thrilling end.) A Russian officer of very high birth exclaimed, "It is the Cossacks singing to their Mother Volga." He gladly consented to go over to their company and ask them to sing their war-songs and translate them as they sang. They sat in a circle in the darkness, poor, mean, with little to eat or wear, as humble a cluster of privates as you can find among Russia's militant millions. But this heir of one of the noblest names in Russia ap- proached them with the deference and courteous bearing ^3S THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE of equality that he would have used in a St. Petersburg ballroom. He greeted them pleasantly. This was an American. Did they feel like singing more? And if so, would they kindly sing some of their Cossack songs? And they, on their part, as the child might to the father, responded. And as they sang their songs about the Volga being their mother, and the steppes their father, and their musket their brother, and their knapsack their wife, the camp-fire, lighting up their faces, showed this son of a hundred nobles and high officer in the Russian army gazing upon them with the kindly, courteous, even flattering attention that you might expect from a father looking upon children who were pleasing him. And when the song had closed he did not abruptly leave, but remain- ed awhile in familiar conversation, and then bade them a courteous good-night. Upon this being noted, he replied: "Oh yes! that is our system; that is out civilization. It is the element of affection of child for father which runs through our whole social and military organization. It is a source of strength, too, which no other nation has. All the rest of you, in your devotion to what the world calls manhood equality, have destroyed those fundamental relationships which nature has established. With you, the son is as good as the father, the soldier as the officer, and even God is hardly recognized as a superior. " (You will often hear flings like that at our democratic ideas.) Many war-ships of the Russian fleet were lying in the harbor of Vladivostock. While there the admiral caine on board (acquaintance had been made two years before on his ship in Nagasaki Harbor). The captain, com- mander, executive officer, the whole official establish- ment of the ship down to lieutenants, came into the admiral's room quite freely; all smoked with him, all talked with him together, and when he left he shook hands with impartiality all around. And that is some- thing you can see on the war-ship of no other nation except i;-;6 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE upon a Russian battle-ship. It is something which, however admirable it might be in the army, every Amer- ican or English navy ofihcer will tell you is impossible in the navy.^ It is cited here as another illustration of the relationship between Russian officer and man, which is an element of such immense importance in under- standing their semi-military, semi-industrial operations. ' Numerous stories of the brutality of Russian officers to their men both in the army and navy may be heard; and some of them are doubtless true. But the paternal and filial spirit predominates. Instances of common soldiers acting as body servants to officers were frequently observed; but no striking example of harshness was witnessed. On the other hand, more than once common soldiers were seen in familiar and even humorous conversation with a general. [Since this volume went to the printer the Russo-Japanese crisis has become acute. At the present moment it appears im- possible to determine whether there will be immediate war be- tween Japan and Russia. The author dees not think hostilities probable at the present time, because neither power is yet ready for the conflict and because the action of other nations, and par- ticularly of England, is not yet definitely known. It is more probable that the present negotiations will have a temporarily peaceful conclusion, Japan agreeing not to interfere with Russia in Manchuria, and Russia agreeing not to interfere with Japan in Korea. It is possible that Russia may even agree to evacuate Manchuria at some future day. Any "evacuaticn," however, will be temporary. But no matter what agreement is reached between the governments of the Czar and the Mikado, by which war is put off. the causes for it will remain The event itself can at best only be postponed, unless, indeed, Russia and Japan should agree to be permanent allies in all Asiatic operations; and this seems at the present time an unthinkable proposition. But anything short of this cannot, from the very nature of the situation, be more than a makeshift, the pacific results of which will at best last but a few years.] XI THE SOLDIER OF THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE AND THE SOLDIER OF JAPAN PERHAPS the finest specimens of physical manhood personally observed at any place in any country were, on the average, the Russian Cossacks and the Rus- sian common soldiers along the Amur and in Manchuria. They are big men — necks thick, shoulders powerful, chests deep, legs sturdy, great room for play of lung, great stomach capacity, heavy-skulled, ruddy-counte- nanced. Their physical vigor instantly attracts your attention. And there is an impression of hardness about them — iron men, steel men, granite men. And when, day after day, you note that their food is principally sour- cabbage soup, black bread, dried fish, and weak tea, you have discovered two elements upon which, you will find, if you will converse with educated Russians, the Russian military theorist largely counts in any conflict which here- after may occur with any nation. Physical hardiness and endurance on the one hand, and little and simple food, easily transported, on the other hand. It re- minds you of the stories you read of the Scotch soldiers in the time of Bruce carrying many days' provisions of oatmeal in a little pouch, or of the Swiss soldiers, or, indeed, of the soldiers of every country who first won for their respective lands the glory of military tri- umph. "It is one of our chief points of excellence. The same thing is true of our horses. Now, Germany feeds her soldiers too much ; also, Germany's horses are too richly 138 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE fed. In war, therefore, if the German army should be cut off from supplies, or should its commissariat for any reason fail, their forces would be at a great disadvantage compared with ours. Our horses can live where other horses would languish and die; and, as you see, our soldiers thrive on the simplest and plainest fare. The Russian soldier can live on the country in any part of the world, and that is something no other soldier in the world can do, not even the Japanese." So reasoned a Russian officer. Every Russian military man puts preponderating em- phasis upon the Russian soldier's ability to endure. Gen- eral Cierpitsky personally told of an assault which he himself led during the Boxer troubles, near Pekin, at the close of a march of fifty versts (thirty-five miles). His troops made the assault with but five minutes' rest. From another source, but illustrating the same point, came the following story, undoubtedly exaggerated, but descriptive of Russian endurance and spirit. It is related that a body of French troops were to make the charge with the Rus- sians. The Frenchmen had joined Cierpitsky's men only fifteen versts from the point of attack. Yet, although the Russians had marched fifty versts and the French- men only fifteen, the latter refused to join in the as- sault until they had thoroughly rested. It is said that the Russian commander, raging, bitterly rebuked the French commander, turned on his heel, and ordered the assault by the Russian column, who executed it alone. Again, on another occasion, so the camp tale runs, a body of Russian infantry and English cavalry came to a stream in which ice was beginning to form. The English cavalry turned back rather than subject their horses to the cold; but the Russians, with shouts of scorn and de- rision, plunged bodily into the waters themselves and waded and swam across. This story appeared too dra- matic to be true, but inquiry in two different and inde- 139 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE pendent quarters suggested that there may have been some foundation for it.^ I have myself seen Russians go for two days practically without food, and also without complaining. The Russian soldier's ability to make friends with the people with whom he mingles, and even with those whom he conquers, is one of his striking characteristics, and com- mon to all Russians. The Russian soldiers in Tien-Tsin, on the way to Pekin, and in the Tartar capital itself, were able to communicate with the Chinaman quite as much as they did with the Germans and Americans, or even the French. A credible writer tells of having seen a Russian soldier, recently arrived in Manchuria, attempting to ad- dress a crowd of Chinamen in their own tongue, and mak- ing himself understood. Certain it is that the Russian soldiers and the Koreans who came over the border into Russian territory in ever-increasing numbers, in the sum- mer of 1 90 1, spoke to each other without much difficulty. The Muscovite's facility for language, and especially his * Lieutenant F. V. Greene, U.S.A., in his charming sketches of "Army Life in Russia," relates the following incident which he observed in the Russo-Turkish War and which illustrates the Russian soldier's hardiness, his readiness to endure fatigue and cold, and his good-humor: "We were up before daylight the next morning, and just as the sun arose — a bright morning of intensely bitter cold — the troops which had come up during the night, and slept in the fields on the other side of the river, began crossing the stream. As they had to fight all day in the snow it was very important that their clothing should not be wet, and they were therefore ordered to strip naked, roll their clothes in a bundle and carry them on their heads. As they came out of the icy river they were as red as boiled lobsters, but made merry as they squatted about in the snow to put on their clothes. They then formed and marched through the village, where the general saluted them as usual. " ' Good-morning, my men.' " ' Good-morning, your Highness.' " ' Did you burn your feet coming over?' "'No, indeed, your Highness!' they answered in shout, as a broad grin stole over their good-natured faces." 140 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE aptitude for Oriental tongues, is a valuable amalgam with which Russian policy knits and fuses alien peoples into the Slav metal. So we see that Russia's human instrument of war with Japan — to wit, the Russian common soldier — is an ele- mentally vital creature, with knotted muscles, and strong legs, and hairy breast, and doglike obedience, and child- like faith in his military " fathers " (his officers), a religious feeling so profound that it has no questionmg, an adora- tion of God, and faith in his sincere if crude conception of the Word, woven into the texture and substance of his very being. I have never observed the Turkish soldier personally, but I should say that the religious faith of the Russian soldier is of the same quality as that said to be characteristic of the Turk, with Christ substituted for Mohammed and the Bible for the Koran. How many of these living bayonets, then, has Russia on the ground? At the outbreak of the Chino - Japanese war she had scarcely any. At the beginning of the Box- er troubles she was still deficient. The best authorities estimate that, in 1900, she had sixty thousand in Man- churia. It can be stated, on the word of a very high mil- itary authority in the Far East, that Russia had, in Au- gust, 1901, within a fortnight's march of Korea, not less than one hundred and fifty thousand men. Personal ob- servation suggests that this estimate was not extravagant. In Nikolsk alone it is believed that there were no less than fifteen thousand troops even as early as 1901 , and the num- bers have been greatly increased since then. Vladivo- stock, KhabarofE, Port Arthur swarm with them. Trans- Baikal Siberia is full of them, their number growing visibly greater as the Pacific is approached. Manchuria is gar- risoned with them; and every boat that comes down the Amur brings from three to fifteen common soldiers. Otur boat had twelve. They travelled quite unostentatiously, mingling and sleeping with the peasants, who covered the lower floor of 141 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the boat as closely as your interlaced fingers. Other trav- ellers when questioned recalled the same phenomenon. It is not said that there is any design in the inconspicuous transporting of this steady column of Russian soldiery towards the Korean frontier. The fact is noted. It may be that the same thing was occurring in the opposite direc- tion; but no one was discovered who had seen it. If it be true that Russia is thus adding to her military strength, it is possible for her to have two hundred thousand troops within striking distance of Japan by the present time, without any one knowing it. Should war be declared within a year, it is believed that Russia will be found to have on the ground, ready for instant service, a quarter of a million men. "Of course," remarked a Russian officer, "we can just keep on bringing troops there or any place else. It costs us but very little, and our soldiers are ab- solutely inexhaustible." You can know how true this is when you recall this not- able fact : Over eight hundred thousand young men reach military age every year in Russia, and the government is able to avail itself of scarely more than two hundred thou- sand of these for active service. Other nations may have storehouses of coal and fleets and heavy armaments, but there is no nation of modern times that has such a maga- zine of human vitality to draw upon as has the Russia of to-day. The universal feeling in the Far East is that if Japan ever meant to go to war with Russia, she should have struck her antagonist four years ago. "Last spring was her final day," said an earnest friend ot Japan in Shanghai in September, igoi. "Had she struck then she might have had some chance. I fear that now it is too late." The Japanese themselves admit that it would have been much better had they remained on the ground which they had won in Manchuria, thus compelling Russia to attempt their ejection by force; but, although Japan had right and 142 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE possession and the opinion of the world on her side, she could not do this because she was overawed and out- matched by the allies, and because she was temporarily exhausted. For the latter reason , she has not been able to strike since then. To have entered upon war with the al- lies, or even with Russia alone, immediately after her conflict with China, would have meant her defeat. Tired from her war with China, and with scant financial re- sources remaining, a new conflict immediately was too large an undertaking. Well-informed men say that war must come within a few years — even presently. But all any one can hazard as to time is mere speculation. What, then, of Japan's preparedness, and especially what of her soldiers? First of all, they are little men. In weight and strength and all the elements of physical preponderance, the Rus- sian might almost be said to be the equal of two Japanese. "But," said a Japanese officer, laughingly admitting this, "the little man can shoot as straight as the big man, and the big man affords a better target." The courage of the Japanese is admitted very willingly, even by the Russians themselves. " Yes, indeed, they will fight. There is no doubt about that," said a young Rus- sian officer, returning from the Mukden campaign (a man, by-the-way, who, at twenty-nine, had won a distinguished decoration, and who was informed in the minutest de- tails of the strategy of every one of Napoleon's battles, of Frederick the Great's battles, and of all the battles fought by Grant, Sherman, Sheridan, Lee, and Jackson in the civil war, and who pronounced Sheridan the ablest strategist of them all). "I gladly admit the courage of the Japanese," said a Russian general, discussing the comparative merits of the world's soldiers as exhibited at Pekin during the terrible months of 1900. Everywhere, on all hands and by all nations, you will hear the praise of Japanese gallantry sounded high and loud, even by their worst enemies, and 143 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE a bookful of stories can be picked up illustrative of their daring and even of their chivalry. As well disciplined troops as I ever have seen are those of the Japanese army. Far and away the best-dressed, best-groomed, best-appearing soldiers observed in Pekin and Tien-Tsin and on the route between, in 1901, were the Japanese soldiers (and the "crack" soldiers of all the world were there). It was a pleasure to observe the policing of their quarters. And you might search for days to hear a story of Japanese brawling and not be rewarded, while fights with fists and even knives between other soldiers were daily occurrences. Inspection of barracks after barracks in Japan itself, made when they were not expecting visitors, showed the policing of the quarters to be almost perfect. If the Russians at Nikolsk were drilling, drilhng, drilling, the Japanese in Japan are doing all of that, and then again, in addition to it, still drilling, drilling, drilling. Their tactics are almost wholly German, even to the artificial and exhausting "goose step" on parade. Indeed, the Japanese army is a perfect machine, built on the German model, but perfected at minute points and in exquisite detail with the peculiar ability of the Japanese for dimin- utive accuracy and completeness. The Japanese army, regiment, company, is "built like a watch," and each Japanese soldier is a part of this machine, like a screw or spring or disk, with this exception — every soldier is capable of being transformed into another part of this complex yet simple mechanism. They are hardy fellows, too — not apparently of a high intelligence as revealed in physiognomy or cranial devel- opment, but with suggestions of the bull-terrier. Of one company, for example, over two-thirds had the heavy jaw, broad at the jowls and protruding, that you asso- ciate with the pugilist or the bull-dog. You can well be- lieve the tales of their ferocious courage. But it is not thought that they have the endurance of their Russian 144 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE antagonists. For one thing, they are fed more than the Russian soldiers are fed. Inspection of their rations for each meal was a source of surprise, for it appeared that they eat almost as much as the American soldier, though, of course, not of so heavy and nutritious food. But their food is better and of greater quantity than the food of the Russian soldier. For this reason Russian officers assert that the Japanese soldiers are not so efficient in the stress of bitter campaigns. Unlike the Russians, they have no religious services in quarters, and, in reality, no definite religious faith. The Japanese soldier goes into battle burning with the thought of dying in the service of the good Mikado, dying for the glory of the flag of the Crimson Sun. The Russian soldier goes into battle with the little metal cross next to his very heart. (Every orthodox Russian, noble and peasant, sleeping and waking, wears around his neck and on his breast, next to the flesh, the little metal cross.) He goes into battle believing not only that he is obeying his commander, not only that he is serving the Czar, but that he is fighting in the cause of Heaven itself, and that when he falls he will go to the sure rewards of a loving Father, in whose service he laid down his earthly life. Space cannot be given for detailed description of Japan- ese discipline. Perhaps their method of desultory firing, mingled with fixing bayonets, preparatory to a charge, is the best single example to illuminate the whole subject which can be selected. Suppose, then, that a Japanese regiment is to charge an enemy. They will kneel on one knee, and a general and continuous fire all along the line will be kept up, each man firing as fast as he can carefully aim, and quite at will; between shots, one man and then another, but not all at once, quickly draw their knifelike bayonets and fix them to the guns, and continue firing. When all the bayonets are fixed, the officers spring to position (the captains in front) so quickly that you hardly observe it; lo 145 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the order to charge is shouted, and the whole Hne springs forward, first on a slow run, but quickening as they near the enemy, and bursting into a wild, high yell as they close upon their foe. It is reasoned that by this method no time is wasted; the enemy do not know that a charge is to be made; firing is continuous to the very moment of onset; and, principally and far above all, that by this continuous firing, mingled with the fixing of baA^onets, the soldier is gradually worked up to a point of terrible eager- ness, and that at the psychic moment the human engine of death is released upon its antagonist. The impartial observer will conclude that, though the Russian soldier has points of superiority over the Japan- ese, nevertheless the Japanese soldier, man for man, is more nearly a match for his Russian antagonist than is generally supposed. "We can mobilize our entire army of two hundred and fifty thousand men in thirty-six hours," declared one of the very highest military authorities of Japan. And there is no doubt of the truth of the statement. The Japanese believe that they can land an army corps in Korea in less than three days. But competent European officers think this impossible. It is believed by the most conservative men in Japan that a force of two hundred thousand men can be transported to the peninsula or to Manchuria in two weeks, and a line of provision trans- ports established and defended. Perhaps this is not so far from the truth. Very moderate opinion is, that in three weeks Japan could have every man in her active military establishment landed at any point she pleased in Manchuria or Korea, and a line of commissary trans- ports established and defended. In the coming war, therefore, it is believed that Japan can get into position throughout the country she desires to absorb, and that it would then be for Russia to oust her. Anybody will understand the advantage of being in position and intrenched. When the conflict comes, the 146 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Russian force and the Japanese force of available, active fighting -men will not be far from the same. Every- day that Japan delays, Russia's numbers, of course, in- crease. In this conflict the chief — perhaps determining — ele- ment will be the respective Russian and Japanese fleets. The Japanese navy, practically all of which is at home and instantly available for this war, is one of the best fighting naval organizations in the world. Indeed, for its size it is perhaps the best-equipped navy of any nation. But neither is the Russian navy to be sneered at. Stead- ily, slowly, almost stealthily, she is increasing her mari- time armament in the Orient. The stories told about the mismanagement and neglect of the Russian war-ships are believed to be erroneous, and this belief comes from personal observation. It must not be forgotten that the pet and pride and hope of the Russian nation has been her navy ever since the time that Peter the Great estab- lished it. Russia herself makes her own guns for her war-ships. She makes most, nearly all, of her war-ships herself. They are well done. The ships were found in quite as good condition upon unexpected visits to them and on personal, but, of course, uninstructed and non- expert examination of all parts of them, as English and American ships were found under like circumstances ; and no opinion is here ventured as to the respective fighting powers of the Japanese and the Russian ships in a combat to the death. Finally comes the estimate of comparative resources, and it is plain that the subject cannot be exhaustively handled in a paragraph. Only a broad, general outline can be stated. In the statement of that, it may be said that Russia has vast resources unorganized and only now in the proc- ess of modern arrangement by Witte. Russia has coal; Russia has iron; Russia has timber; Russia has admittedly the third richest, and many believe the richest, gold-mines 147 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE in the world; Russia has a bread-producing area second only to that of the United States; Rtissia's manufact- urers are making strides which, for the Slav race, are astonishing, but which for a highly systemized people like the Americans or Germans would be considered lethargic. On the other hand, Japan, with no iron, with poor coal, with limited fields, with a crowded population jostling and elbowing one another into the sea, has as highly sys- temized industrial organization as any nation, and her manufacturing enterprises are progressing with almost American rapidity. Her sources of taxation are com- paratively limited and meagre, but, to quote on this subject one of the coming men of Japan, "Organized little counterbalances unorganized abundance." Japan, however, is hampered by a semi-democratic form of government, which most enlightened Japanese and every student of Japanese development now admits to be a disappointment. The representative assembly of Japan, so admirably arranged in theory, has more than once proved to be a vexatious interference with the far- seeing plans of the empire's real statesmen. The floors of the Diet have frequently been made rostrums from which demagogy has shouted to the masses — a stage upon which candidates for applause have outscreamed one another in playing the role of parliamentary conspicuity. This prevents Japan from making adequate preparation, although, so profound is the national feeling that, when the time arrives, it will be the representative assembly who will want to rush into war, for which meanwhile they refuse to prepare, and the conservative statesmen who will strive to prevent war, for which in the mean time they wish to prepare. Russia, on the other hand, takes her measures far in advance. In addition to her ordinary sources of revenue, she has now taken over the monopoly of vodka. The taxation of vodka alone is said to have largely supported the army and navy, and, now that the government has 148 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE itself become the distributer of intoxicants for one hun- dred and forty millions of Russian people, it will add to its former taxation the profits of hundreds of thousands of dealers. At the same time, the people will be taught moderation in drinking. Again, for example, the one thing consumed by m.an, woman, and child in Russia is tea — in the homes, tea; on the streets, tea; in the trains, tea; in the camps, tea; on the boats, tea; among the squalid knots of ragged pilgrims, tea. Very well, says Witte; why should private dealers profit from the common and universal necessities of the masses? And so the government is perfecting plans for taking on the monopoly of tea. This will be an enormous and constantly increasing source of rev- enue. However, it is not yet being carried into prac- tice. Of course, as was pointed out by the Japanese states- man, in the conversation above quoted, there is the possi- bility that the very vastness of the struggle will prevent it. The effects of such a war would be so far-reaching and en- during, it may involve so many nations, that the powers, for very fear, may agree to prevent it. We have here, repeated, the situation so often presented during the nineteenth century, and still in evidence, of the dismem- berment of Turkey, or its absorption by Russia, prevented by the rest of the world. And the judicial thinker must not omit the important factor also pointed out by the Japanese statesman above referred to, that the progress of civilization, as manifested in steam and electricity, and the constant weaving together of the advancing forces of the world, may have a delaying if not an absolutely preventive effect. But, taking all of these into account, and giving them their just weight in balancing the forces which make for war and the forces which make for peace, one is forced, however much against his will, to the conclusion that the pacific influences may be too weak to prevail. Indeed, it 149 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE may be that forces far greater and deeper than any of these pointed out are precipitating this conflict, and that it may be the beginning of the long-anticipated struggle between Occidental civilization on the one hand and Oriental civilization on the other hand. Finally, there is a rare possibility that Marquis Ito (by the test of achievements entitled to be called the first constructive living statesman of the world) and Witte (the ablest commercial and financial mind in Europe, and certainly the best business-man the empire has produced, so far as the world has any data to judge from) — it is possible that these two great, conservative minds may prevent the inevitable, avert the impending, and answer with their moderation the syllogism of nature itself, whose probable conclusion is, as pointed out, the first great war of the twentieth century. Witte is devoted to peace. Ito is devoted to peace. Each man has on his hands that noblest of tasks — the de- veloping of an old people into a new people and of ancient conditions into modern system. And war, which costs so much money — war, which wrecks credit — war, which eats up resources, is to these two mighty men of Europe and Asia their mutual nightmare. They will avert it if they can; but to the observer who traverses the ground, and then, from afar, as from a high peak, surveys con- ditions, it looks as though two vast avalanches, moving towards each other on the same line, were steadily gather- ing momentum, and that the two giants' shoulders, braced against them in attempting to hold them back, will not be strong enough for that great task — Herculean though those shoulders are. To the impartial observer, whose business it is to see and not to dream, to deduce the prob- able from the actual, and not to call his hopes his facts, it would appear that sooner or later these two great bodies must meet. Meanwhile, the hopes and prayers of the world will be with the master-minds of Russia and Japan — Witte and ISO THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Ito. But if, despite their wisdom and their will, war comes, it will be one of those issues of fate in whose progress and endmg, as in all like elemental and un- avoidable conflicts, men and history may see the hand of God. XII THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE PARALLELED BY THE GERMAN ADVANCE ONLY two powers are making substantial headway in China, as evidenced by physical accomplishments on the ground. For ten years none but these two na- tions has accomplished permanent results which you can see with your eye, upon which you can put your finger. The first of these powers is Russia, a suggestion of whose material and constructive advance has been inadequately given. But the building of her Manchurian railroad is not the hmit of her activity. When that enormous terminus of the Siberian road is completed Russia will have har- nessed Asia to her chariot with traces of steel ; but to make Asia move, to subdue, to train, to guide the Orient will re- quire time, patience, and ceaselessly steady effort. And these three elements are the very ones in which Russian character is richest. Russia knows the incom- parable effect of carefully cultivated public opinion — the autocracy of precedent, even in the most absolute of au- tocracies; therefore her diplomatic and consular agencies, together with those of the French, are fountains of subtle influence all over the Celestial Empire. She knows the importance of banking institutions as fosterers of trade and power among Eastern peoples, and, therefore, the Russo-Chinese Bank is weaving a net-work of financial in- fluence throughout the Far East. Starting from St. Petersburg, this golden nerve of empire stretches across Siberia with a ganglion at every town; spreads over Man- churia again with a centre at Harbin, one at Mukden, at 152 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Port Arthur, at Dalni,at New-Chwang; enters Pekin, where it gathers fresh power and impetus from Mr. Posdneff , the remarkable head of the Russo-Chinese Bank at that place; stretches southward again to Shanghai, pausing at Che- foo on the way; crosses the Yellow Sea, and runs the cir- cuit of Japan, with headquarters at Yokohama; doubles on itself, and finally ends with an aggressive agency at Hong-Kong, the very headquarters of England's Oriental power and activity. The Russo-Chinese Bank deserves a chapter to itself; the limits of this chapter permit no adequate analysis. It is mentioned here only in the sum- mary of Russia's Oriental preparations.^ The other power making commercial and territorial progress in China is Germany. Its visible activity and apparent results are superior, at the present moment, even to those of Russia. Four years ago the writer was sur- prised and startled upon observing, on a careful trip through China, the seeming predominance everywhere of German commerce as manifested in immediate activity. In the summer of 1901 the increase in the externalization of German influence would not have been believed but for actual sight and hearing and the testimony of the physical senses — yes, and the testimony of that sum of physical senses, the witness of that indefinable psychic suggestion vv^hich we in America express by saying "the drift of things," or "it is in the air"; for all over China, Germany is "in the air." Attention has been called to the fact that at Nikolsk ^ The Russo-Chinese Bank now has branches at the following ]jlaces : Andijan, Batoum, Biisk, Blagovcstchensk, Bcdaibo, Bombay, Bokhara, Calcutta, Chefoo, Dalni, Hailar, Hakodate, Hankow, Harbin, Hong-Kong, Irkutsk, Kalgan, Kachgar, Khabaroff, Khokand, Kiachta, Kirin, Koh6, Krasnoiarsk, Kouantchendze, Kouldja, Moscow, Mukden, Nagasaki, New- Chwang, Nikolsk, Ouliasoutai, Ourga, Paris, Pekin, Port Arthur, Samarcande, Shanghai, Strctensk, Tachkent, Teline, Tien-Tsin, Tchita, Tchougoutchak, Tsitsikar, Verchneoudinsk, Vladivostock, Werniy, Yokohama, Zeiskaia, and Pristan. ^53 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the principal ir.ercliants of that Russian commercial and military centre were Germans, and that Germans even supplied the builders of the Manchurian railroad with provisions. At Port Arthur the great German firm of Kuntz & Albers are said to employ a score of young Germans in their estabHshment. In Vladivostock Kuntz & Albers have enormous headquarters, and there is not a department store in Washington whose building sur- passes the handsome structure which this German firm has in Blagovestchensk, Siberia. The same thing is true of China itself. In Tien-Tsin perhaps the first foreign mercantile house — certainly the second — is the North China branch of the great firm of Carlowitz & Company. In Canton, at the other end of the empire, by far the most active, though possibly not the largest, commercial establishment is the South China branch of this immense trading establishment. In Shanghai, the clearing-house of the whole Celestial Empire, German activity is aggressive, ommipresent, persistent. On a certain day in the late summer of 1901 more German flags were counted in the water-front before the bund at Shanghai than those of any other nation; and that was a spectacle which, only five years ago, an Englishman would have assured you to be an utter impossibility under any circumstances or at any time. The carrying trade of the Far East is passing into Ger- man hands with a rapidity which would alarm the former English monopolists of this great business were it not for the strange stupor which seems to have seized their minds and numbed their nerves. It is less than ten years ago — not more than five years ago — since the unrivalled passenger line of Eastern waters was the English Peninsular and Oriental Company. Nobody calls it unrivalled to-day. The vessels of few Oriental steamship lines equal to-day the ships of the North German Lloyd's Oriental fleet. 154 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The Yang-tse River might as well be a narrow estuary of the ocean, so wide, so deep, so navigable for ships is it for almost a thousand miles into the heart of China. It is the artery of commerce, through which flows the blood of foreign trade into the richest and most thickly populated portion of the empire. The carrying trade upon this river was, until five years ago, almost exclusively in the hands of the English. To-day the Germans are rapidly overtaking their British competitors in the tonnage which they own on the Yang-tse River. English ship- owners are selling their lines — their German competitors are buying them. The above is only an index, the counting of a few items of German commercial activity in China. A full and care- ful description would require a volume in itself; but an examination of the causes, which are few and fundamental, may reasonably be given within the limits of these dis- cussions. Before taking them up, however, let us notice Germany's territorial, diplomatic, and military activity on the ground. Perhaps at no spot in any country could so picturesque an interior have been seen as the dining-room of the prin- cipal hotel at Tien-Tsin, in the late summer of 190 1. It was the place where the officers of the European powers assembled for their evening dinner, and for their smoke and gossip and relaxation on the verandas afterwards. The English were there, of course, proud, clean, charming examples of that incomparable product — the Anglo-Saxon gentleman. The French were there, and the Italian (and Italy certainly sent the ver}^ pick and flower of her physi- cal manhood — some of the Italian officers were superb to look upon), and the Austrian, and everybody else. But, over all, conspicuously the master figure, was the German. The whole atmosphere of Tien-Tsin was German. One or two German officers had brought their wives with them, beautiful, blond, vivacious creatures. Every German man and woman in the Orient is imperial in bearing, man- 155 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ner, and purpose. Their veins seem to be filled with the winelike blood of German supremacy. Every officer, every diplomat, every consul is the German Emperor in miniature. " I tell you frankly," said a resident of Tien-Tsin, and one of the best-informed foreigners in China — "I tell you frankly, whatever the newspapers may say, and whatever the diplomatic phrases may be, the real, substantial pow- ers here are Germany and Russia. The German's bearing of insolent superiority, with the constant reminder that the mailed hand is back of every demand, impresses the Chinaman far more than it angers him, for he respects nothing so much as power." When he said that he gave the key which, in the opin- ion of German, English, and Russian, unlocks the se- crets of the Oriental heart. It was not a discovery. It was merely saying over again what most foreign students of Asiatic peoples have said since the very beginning of Oriental investigation by modern peoples. The barracks of the German "legation guard" at Pekin are permanent structures, large, numerous, and apparent- ly sufficient for several thousand men. They impress the observer as garrison buildings more than as the quarters of the diplomatic guard. At Shanghai, in the summer of 1901, German officers and soldiers were con- spicuously in evidence. It was even rumored that ground was to be leased by Germany for permanent bar- racks; but this has not yet been done, if, indeed, it was ever contemplated. Of course, the focus of German military and constructive activity is Kiaochou and the Shan-Tung province midway between Shanghai and Tien- Tsin. The story of this feature of German advance in China has been told in a previous chapter. The miracle wrought in the brief years of German occupa- tion justifies, in the opinion of many informed European residents of China, the bold step taken by Emperor William. 156 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE No one in Shan-Tung province ever heard of a period of such prosperity, of a time of such good wages in that vicinity, as the inhabitants of Kiaochou and the sur- rounding country have enjoyed since the German came among them. For he came, not with his musket alone, not equipped with bayonet, sword, and cannon only, but, as with the Russian in Manchuria, he came with spade and adze and plane and saw, and all the building implements of peace. He has promised himself that he will reproduce England's miracles at Hong-Kong in Germany's miracle at Kiaochou. (In less than fifty years a barren rock, rising from the water, with a few huts of starving Chinese fishermen, clinging like crabs to its base, has been trans- formed into one of the greatest ports and one of the most beautiful cities in the world. Such has been the English- man's work in Hong-Kong; and be it remembered, too, that when the work began, and while it was in progress, it was denotmced by English statesmen in Parliament, and its failure predicted by economists of almost every other nation.) In her Kiaochou concessions Germany has erected mod- em buildings, modern storehouses, modern everything. Perhaps the best hotel (but tv/o) in the Orient, the Prince Heinrich Hotel, stands where filthy hovels, made of a paste of disease and mud, housed wretched Chinamen, less than eight years ago. The railroad runs around the Bay of Kiaochou itself. The sandy hills are being reclaimed with forests planted by the hands of scientific foresters from the Fatherland. A work of beauty, of cleanliness, of system, of industry is being wrought by the determined Teuton at this forbidding and unwelcome gateway to a province whose twenty millions of inhabitants are yet to be told of the great world outside, and yet to be brought into human, civilizing, saving contact with their brother human beings. Meanwhile, slowly, and yet quite as rap- idly as the yellow hands can do the work, the iron and steel nef ves of the railway creep into the interior txrv^ards 157 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the mountains, where, it is believed by the German ir- vestors, coal and iron and other minerals await the hand of enterprise to make these cliffs and hills of poverty a second Pennsylvania. And with the railroad goes the German soldier. Any interference with a bolt, the loosen- ing of a plate that fastens rail to rail, the undermining of a single tie, means punishment, and that, thinks the German, is something the Chinaman understands. And so it is that, with the progress of this highway of com- merce and civilization, order goes, and system and peace. "The German people will soon sicken and tire of this disgusting enterprise. Think of the millions they have spent, think of the millions they must invest, and think of the trifling returns!" So spoke an English critic of the German enterprise in Shan-Tung. When this was mentioned to a vigorous German mer- chant in Tien-Tsin he laughed his great, hearty, vital, German laugh, and said: "What nonsense! A factory has to establish its plant before it can make any goods, has it not? It must send out its advertisements before it can get others to buy its goods, must it not? And from the time of its establishment to the time the profits begin to come is always a long period. Well, Germany is establishing her plant in the Orient. Take the railroad in Shan -Tung. I am a merchant. I do not expect always to stay here. I am here to make money myself. Ah, yes, and to extend German trade wherever I can, too, I admit. Well, with this purely commercial end in view, I am in- vesting my money in the Shan-Tung railroad. I am in- vesting it because, after careful examination, I am con- fident of profitable returns ; and I shall stay right with it till profitable returns come. I shall help them to come. All Germans will help them to come. The German gov- ernment will help them to come." This conversation occurred at six o'clock in the even- ing. A visit at five o'clock to the first English commercial ofhce of Tien-Tsin found the ofhce shut, clerks and man- 158 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE agers gone for the day. But the German commercial house was not shut ; the German clerks had not departed for the day. They were at their desks; they were about the "go-downs" (warehouses), and the manager of the great business, collarless, in shirt - sleeves, vast and brawny, a very riot of masculinity, sat, working away, with sweaty brow and moist face, -in his little office. "Yes, I think it, perhaps, is one secret of our success in the Orient," said he; "we never cease to work. The Englishman must have his time for tennis. You must not push him too hard during business hours, either. He must have his relaxation in the evening. He must drink at his club. He must spend his social hours in pleasant converse with the ladies. None of these for us Germans out here in the Far East. We are a humbler race. We are here for work. That is the first thing we are here for; and the second, third, fourth, fifth, and sixth thing that we are here for is work also." Two years before, at Canton, an English and American house, the successor of the famous Russell & Co. (the American "merchant princes" of the Far East fifty years ago) closed at four o'clock. A pleasant excursion on the river was taken until about the hour of six, when the foreign club was visited. Foreigners of every national- ity were at the club, drinking as only Europeans in the Orient drink — foreigners, that is, except Germans; not a German was present. But the Canton branch of that immense German company, Carlowitz & Co., then oc- cupied the building next to the club. Every window was lighted up, and when the club was left, a half-hour later, at every window was seen a German clerk in shirt-sleeves, bending over his desk, writing, figuring, casting up ac- counts, as though that was the last day before judgment. "Seest thou a man diligent in business? he shall stand before kings." This and other such quotations crowded through the mind, and the history-old explanation of failure and success was plain. 159 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "Oh yes, we sell other goods than German goods, of course. We sell any goods of any nationality. We our- selves are the agents in China for Armstrong & Co. (the great English manufacturers) ; we are the agents of many English firms. We are agents for some Amicrican lines of goods. If we cannot sell German goods, as we prefer to do, we will sell any goods we can. Ultimately it is good for Germany to have American goods or English goods or any other kind of goods pass through German hands. With us individual trade and individual profit are the main thing. The trade of the German Empire is a secondary thing. But we do not neglect it, mind you. A difference between us and the English and French, and also the American, is that they are each merely looking out for their own individual, selfish interests, without the slightest thought of whether or no the trade of America or England or France is adversely affected. Well, we are not. Though we are here for individual gain and indi- vidual profit, the extension of German commerce and the trade of the empire is a real and living consideration with us also. The government helps us and we help the govern- ment." So spoke a German Oriental merchant. And the government is helping. The German steam- ship lines to the Orient are subsidized h^SLvily. It is said, and upon sufficient authority to warrant belief, that even the German coastwise and river lines in China receive government aid. A line is maintained between Shang- hai and Tien-Tsin by the help of the German government. All ships of this line stop at Kiaochou, and a weekly round-trip service is maintained between that German colony and Shanghai. These ships are quite as good as any engaged in Oriental coastwise trade. Again, the feeling has been created in the Orient that the official authorities of Germany may be relied on, by personal effort and every other possible means, to aid German merchants in any piece of business they may have on hand. Every German merchant, contractor, or i6o THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE promoter feels free to call for the active and energetic assistance of all German consuls; and the energy and eagerness of the German consular force compel the ad- miration of all observers. It is as aggressive as the American consular service, with the additional advan- tage of special training. Germany, too, is ingenious and insistent in creating an impression on the Oriental mind that she is the world's superior power. Wherever there is an excuse for the display of military force, German soldiery is seen. The writer never visited, on two trips to China, a single Chi- nese port in which one or more German war-ships were not found. The German military element was so pre- dominant in Shanghai, in the summer of 1901, that a casual and uninstructed traveller might have been ex- cused for thinking it a German colony. No one who knows the peculiar practical quality of the German mind will believe for an instant that all of this is for mere show. It is the working out of a carefully evolved theory about China and its inhabitants, and Orientals in general. For, with the same patience with which their scientists have evolved working theories in German industry, with the same stolid patience with which they have developed and put into practice theories of navigation, the German has developed his theories of the Oriental mind and character, and upon them bases his treatment of Oriental peoples and conditions. In a word, that theory is that the only two things which the Oriental mind understands are a plain demand and overwhelming force. The Ger- man does not believe that the Chinaman is grateful for special favors shown him. The German theory is that the strong hand is the only thing an Asiatic respects. Therefore, everywhere the German bayonet, everywhere the German uniform, and everywhere German ships of war; and now there is the beginning of another "every- where," and that " everywhere " is German barracks. How does all this affect German trade? (The writer II 161 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE expressly disclaims the expression of opinion here as to the soundness or otherv/ise of the German theory. This is a mere record of facts.) Alongside of the military omnipresence just noticed is a growth of German trade in the East quite unequalled in its rapidity. In Hong- Kong the most active and, with one exception, the largest commercial houses are German. German clocks are found in Chinamen's shops, German buttons, German knives. In Shanghai there are thirty-one German firms, some of which, like Arnold, Karberg & Co., and Carlo- witz & Co., are immense establishments, with branches at every treaty port in the empire. Though the report and returns of trade issued by the China Imperial Maritime Customs show the great bulk of trade at this central port to be still English, there is, nevertheless, a falling off of English and a rapid advance of German importations. And it is claimed that the reports are not accurate. An estimate was examined from a supposedly reliable source, which had been secretly made, and which showed eighty per cent, in value of the foreign goods actually carried on all boats upon the Yang-tse River to be German. Reliable as the source of information was, however, this estimate is undoubtedly a magnified exaggeration. But the striking increase of German commerce on every hand is admitted. "But does not this constant military menace of Ger- many interfere with her trade? Does it not anger the Chinaman? Is it not natural that this people should buy of those they like rather than of those they hate?" were questions asked of a leading American merchant in China, and one of the best -informed men in the empire. "Naturally one would think so," he replied, "but it is not true. Chinamen come to us ar^d abuse the German with words, but go to him and buy his goods. So far from decreasing German trade, this military reputation, which they are working so hard for, is the best advertise- ment they could have with Chinese customers." 162 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE And this is what another American said in Tien-Tsin: " The patting of the Chinaman on the back does not win his favor. The Chinaman hkes to trade with the 'big man,' whoever he is. And to him the ' big man' is the man who has the most power. Whether this is correct or not, you can observe for yourself the progress Germany is making." A German commercial authority in Shanghai, speaking on this very point, said: "The German flag is coming to be a commercial asset to every one of us Germans who does business in the Orient." (Precisely what Cecil Rhodes said about the British flag in South Africa.) " Look at that water-front and tell me what flag is most numerous. The German. What soldiers do you see most of on the streets ? German. What officers the most conspicuous on the bund last evening? The German. Well, I am a merchant, and look at this thing purely from the point of view of dollars and cents; but all of that is so valuable to me that I should be willing to pay my propor- tionate share to have it continue and increase. We are respected now; formerly we were not. Twelve years ago the word German was a term of reproach ; to-day it is a term of respect. Every place you hear the word Ger- man, German, German. We have created the peculiar condition of mind which your great American department stores succeed in creating when everybody gets to talking about them, everybody gets to going to them. However wrong our views may be in the abstract, you see for your- self that they work very well." Another commercial German of substance and informa- tion, located at a certain treaty port, made a statement of German intention concerning the rich trading district of the Yang-tse Valley which confirmed a general and grow- ing suspicion that, until now, has hardly been breathed louder than in a whisper. "So you think China will be partitioned?" was asked. "Will be! Why, it is being partitioned. The division 163 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE is actually going on. When tens of millions of dollars are being expended in railroad properties, and the right to work mining resources as an incident thereto, is conceded — as is universally the case — the power creating these im- provements becomes a dominant influence in that prov- ince. It is immaterial whether boundaries are actually staked out or not, or that the little flag of the controlling power is stuck to each surveying stake. It is of no conse- quence what terms are employed. The fact is the thing." "I suppose, then, that you mean that Russia will ulti- mately have Manchuria?" "Yes." "That Germany will have Shan-Tung?" "Yes." "That perhaps Russia and Germany will divide Chihli?" (Pekin and Tien-Tsin are located in this province.) "Yes." "That England will have the Yang-tse Valley?" With flashing eyes, shoulders suddenly thrown back, he smote his desk with his clinched fist, and almost shouted: "Never! Never! German interests in the Yang-tse are already too great for it ever to fall within the sphere of any other nation's exclusive influence. No, the Yang-tse Valley is as much the sphere of Germany as it is of England." References are frequently made by German merchants in the Orient to the presence of German soldiers in China, and especially German ships of war in Chinese waters. They are worth noting merely to show the prevailing thought and feeling of German business men in the Orient as to the commercial value of military and naval activities. Indeed, no one can breathe the atmosphere of the Far East very long without becoming impressed with German aggressiveness everywhere, even in the Yang-tse Valley. And yet the Yang-tse Valley has been thought to be se- curely English. England and Russia have actually agreed, the first not to interfere with any present or future Russian 164 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE railway enterprise north of the Great Wall, and the latter, in like manner, not to interfere with any present or future English railway enterprise in the Yang-tse Valley.^ But it is thought that Germany will never permit this vast and commercially opulent region to become exclusively Eng- lish for purposes of commerce; and the activities of the Russian in Hankow, on the Yang-tse River, eight hundred miles from the ocean directly into the heart of China, sug- gests the belief that Russia will not either. These two circumstances have their bright side, because they are substantial, militant, fighting guarantees, for the present at least, that the open door in China is to be kept open. That is to say, the door is kept ajar by the jealous- ies and conflicting interests of the partitioning powers, and not by their agreement. Could this be overcome, the par- tition, which appears to be already proceeding, might cul- minate at a comparatively early day. It might even be accomplished in twenty -five years — yes, in ten years, or even less. Manchuria is already Russian, if the Czar wishes it. Shan-Tung is already Germany's "sphere of in- fluence," and is coming more and more each day under the physical control of the Kaiser. That portion of China opposite the Japanese island of Formosa has been " staked out" as the territory of Japanese predominant influence, If the Yang-tse Valley were conceded to England, little more would be left to do in accomplishing the partition of China. Freedom of trade of other nations with German, Rus- sian, Japanese, or English provinces would then become matters of separate agreement with the respective con- trolling powers. It may be that Germany, having spent millions of dollars to create conditions of commerce in a populous territory, may refuse to throw that commerce open equally to other nations, which have not expended a 1 This Russian and English agreement is given in full in the appendix. 165 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE cent, upon the same terms as herself. There is nothing in the history of Russia to show that, after the expenditure of hundreds of milHons of dollars in creating the possibilities of modern commerce, she will then yield that commerce to competitors who are better equipped commercially. Their present declarations in favor of the "open door" are borne in mind; but we are now considering ultimate possibilities. The motives and purposes of nations are to be observed from conditions and not from traditions. Therefore, those who expect England to continue her colonial policy of the free and equal access of all the world to those re- gions which her energy, money, and valor have opened to the world's commerce are hardly warranted in such opin- ion. Why was it that England said, "Where my flag is planted trade is free"? Why was it that she insisted upon all the treaty ports of China being open to every other nation on the same terms as herself? What was the reason for that generous, but also statesman-like pol- icy? Admitting that many English statesmen champion- ing this noble proposition were inspired by humanitarian reasons, the real reason must be found in very practical commercial considerations. For a long time — indeed, up to twenty years ago — England was the workshop of the world. She made the world's goods. There was no other nation which could compete with her. Therefore, it was to her interest to champion free ports and open doors, because in such ports and upon such apparently equal terms with the rest of the world she was, in effect, beyond competition. Nobody could make goods as cheaply as she could. Indeed, com- paratively speaking, nobody could make goods at all for export except herself. On the other hand, her one need was raw material ; and so, from the two elements — of un- surpassed facility for manufacturing, rendering her un- rivalled in the field of commercial progress, and her want of and necessity for raw materials — was compounded her policy of the open door and free ports. i66 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE But now these elements have disappeared. Conditions have changed. The inventive genius of Americans, which produce every day miracles of mechanism; the intense nervous activity of the American working-man ; his acute and comprehensive intelligence; the marvellous combin- ing and organizing ability of American capitalists; the vast resources of American farms and mines and mills, compared with which those of England are very moderate indeed — all these, and many other considerations familiar to every man, have enabled America to compete with England, not only in the markets of the world, but in the heart of London itself. On the other hand, the polytechnic schools of Germany, the patient endurance of the German working-man, the persistent and intelligent efforts of German capital, and the driving and directing power of the German Emperor — all focused upon a policy of foreign trade — have made Germany a successful competitor of England, even in Eng- land's own crown colonies. So that the reasons why Eng- land was for open doors and free ports a quarter of a cen- tury ago have now disappeared. And if she continues in favor of them, she does so for other reasons than those which caused her to adopt that policy in the first place. So it is not believed that England will long insist on an open door in China, provided she can have the exclusive trade of the Yang-tse Valley. It is noted, with keen interest and sincere regret, that English commerce and English policy in China seem to be going to pieces. It is expressive of the sturdy honesty of the English character (and the "bottom" and intrinsic worth of English character will save England at the last) that no one is so ready to recognize this fact, or even tell of it, as are the Englishmen themselves who live in China. Four years ago the writer, untravelled and unin- formed at first hand on conditions in the East, and, there- fore, believing that the only vigorous power in China was England, observed, with surprise and almost consterna- 167 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tion, the too-evident decline of British commercial and political influence in the Celestial Empire. The increase in this decline, upon a reinvestigation of Chinese condi- tions two years later, was startling.^ It is very hard to define it, but you will know it the mo- ment you land. There is an atmosphere of drugged and cocained English inactivity. There is a loss of heart , which some attempt to conceal by boastful words ; but time and again the writer has, upon more intimate acquaintance with the most outspoken boaster, found him frankly ad- mitting the strange torpor which seems to have come over English policy and British activity in the Far East. One of the very highest military authorities said : " I confess I don't know what our policy is out here. I do not believe anybody knows." It has been noted before that English ship-owners are selling out their lines. The Peninsular and Oriental Com- pany must soon renew its fleets or be so out-distanced by the German and French lines that it cannot afford to re- main in the contest. The sale of English ship-lines causes a sort of commercial paralysis, visible not only to the heads of great commercial houses, but to the humblest clerks. Said the first officer of a Japanese merchant ves- sel (he was an Englishman, born in New Zealand, and more "imperial" than a Londoner): "I do not know what is the matter with our people. They do not seem to see when they sell out a ship-line and the German buys it that he has not only got the ships of that line, but has secured the carrying trade that goes with it. And it then becomes just as hard for the former English owner to introduce a new line as it would have been for the German to begin competition against the established English line. When our people sell out their ship-lines, they cannot replace them. They have lost not only their ships; they have lost the trade which goes with those * Lord Beresford reports the same thing. i68 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ships, and, not only that, but the prestige, too. They seem to be blind. I actually think of taking a trip to England just to see with my own eyes what is the matter with the English people." This was the shrewd, practical observation of a thoroughly up-to-date English sailor. Whatever is done as to a world policy with reference to the future of China will not be done upon the initiative of Great Britain, unless a change in British policy takes place, and any one who leans on that expectation will find himself reclining on a broken reed, unless a meta- morphosis occurs soon in the British government's spirit and purpose. The most earnest of England's friends can only hope for this change. But Germany and Russia have in recent years been given such right of way, and they have come so thoroughly to believe themselves the only powers that "do things" in the Celestial Empire, that the most friendly observer becomes cautious in even hoping for a permanent revival of the old-time British clear-headedness, courage, and fighting forcefulness in the Orient. The recent offensive and defensive treaty between Eng- land and Japan is the first manifestation of diplomatic virility by England in the Far East for the last decade or more. Before hazarding anything as to its results, it might be well to wait and ascertain just how far it is a real alliance of blood and iron, and ships and guns, and life and death, on the one hand, and just how far it is a paper alliance, on the other hand — just how far, in a word, Eng- land means it.^ If it be true that England proposes to back this alliance with force, it probably means, when reduced to concrete terms, that she is convinced that, as the old German merchant said in the conversation above quoted, "Ger- many and other aggressive powers will never permit ' The Anglo-Japanese treaty of alliance is given in full in the appendix. 169 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE England to occupy the Yang-tse Valley as her exclusive sphere of influence." How she proposes to get the fruits of an open door in Manchuria or Shan-Tung, where the Germans and Rus- sians control the railroads and can exclude her goods by the simple process of differential railway rates, is not clear. An aUiance to keep the open door in China does not go far enough to accomplish much. As will be pointed out in a subsequent chapter, it is just as important to open the interior, so that merchandise taken through the open door can penetrate inward, as it is to keep the door itself open. So far as paper statements and agreements are con- cerned, Russia, Germany, and all other powers have de- clared their intention to keep the door open. But diplo- matic declarations and "paper intentions" amount to little in the face of railroads actually built and building, and the concrete and tangible power that necessarily attends them. The maintenance of the open door is only the first step to the entire reorganization of China. A comprehensive but not impossibly difficult policy might be agreed upon by three or four of the leading nations of the world, for the reorganization of China. It would be done, of course, through the machinery of the Chinese administrative system. It would have the effect of opening the interior to foreign travel, foreign merchandise, and foreign communication generally, just as the treaty ports are now open to the world; of safe- guarding life and property throughout this immense country, and, in general, would result in the accomplish- ment of many of the ends which the Japanese feel it is their destiny in the Far East to accomplish under Japanese suzerainty. The only thing to prevent this, the greatest reform of modern or perhaps of ancient times, would be the jealousies and ambitions of the powers. Of course, the United States would not take the initiative. For one thing, we are not yet educated 17c THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE up to the point of material and tangible interference in the affairs of other countries, no matter how much our interests may be affected. As has been pointed out, Japan would gladly join with England and the United States in such a programme ; but England appears to be too undecided about everything to undertake any further definite work. Germany would probably not hesitate could she be assured that German suzerainty of her por- tion of the empire would not be disturbed, but even be encouraged ; but as the integrity of the empire would be one of the ends sought by such an agreement of the powers, it is likely that Germany would not feel very enthusiastic about it. If it be true that the Czar is secretly the suze- rain of the Manchu Emperor, as so many believe, or if it is the ultimate Russian intention to extend Russian power over the whole of China, Russia would probably not favor such an enterprise; and, of course, France would co-operate with Russia. This brief analysis of the agencies which must accomplish this work seems very discouraging. And yet the work is there to be done, and history shows that just such impossible situations have time and again crystallized with startling rapidity. The open door in China is important to us, but open roads which lead from the open door into the interior among the people are equally important. When we re- flect that with the "likin" tax really abolished (it is now supposed to be superseded by a customs arrangement, but in reality it is not) and the interior of China freely open to foreign goods (which it never has been), the trade of the world with China would increase at once to a thou- sand million dollars a year (and later on to much more), and that the great bulk of this trade would be ours, if we would only take it, the tremendous importance of this subject in regard to the future of American mills, mines, and farms is apparent. But the questions naturally arise: Why is it that a people so numerous, so ancient, so industrious, so vital 171 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE as the Chinese, will permit their country to be carved up by the great commercial nations of the world? Why should Americans not keep their hands off, cultivate China's good-will, and increase their trade by force of friendship won by kindness? These are questions of first-class importance, and the next chapter will be de- voted to them. XIII A CHAPTER OF DIGRESSION: AMERICAN NEEDS IN THE ORIENT THE Germans have carefully evolved their theory of Chinese trade and Oriental character, and the Rus- sians have done the like. America, however, has paid little attention to this immeasurable and near-by market and to this uncounted and interesting people. We have applied the philosophy of happy-go-luckiness, and such trade as we have in the Orient is the result of our superior position geographically, of our incomparable resources, of the excellence of our goods, and of the diligent, patient endeavors of a few American merchants. " But is not our trade growing with astonishing rapidity throughout China and the Far East?" is the answer made to the plainest suggestions of our national commercial necessities with reference to this market. Yes, our trade is growing, and rapidly; but its growth is slow contrasted with our advantages. We are only a little more than four thousand miles away from that market, and our com- petitors are practically twice as far away by sea. We have resources which defy description in their volume and richness; while the resources of our competitors are, comparatively speaking, limited and lean. Germany is an example. Compared with us, her resources are not considerable; she is far away from this market; and yet, by the simple application of system, by the processes of carefully thought - out theory based upon patient in- vestigations, Germany is forging ahead to the position of the first commercial power in the Fax East. This fact in THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE has been noted before in a previous chapter, but its im- portance requires its repetition many times. That the partition of China is imminent, if not actually- going on, has been shown; that the growth of German and Russian influence is start lingly rapid and permanently substantial has also been shown; that the decHne of Eng- lish power is apparent all students of the question admit ; and that this market is naturally American is demon- strated by the simple logic of geography. But, to make it American, to prevent our great European competitors from taking what is naturally ours, it is necessary that we, too, shall understand the people with whom we deal. It is necessary that we, too, shall study Oriental character with something of the same painstaking care adopted by our rivals; for knowledge of a people's character is a prac- tical element in the problem of trade. Let us consider Chinese character, then. Singular, is it not, that a nation of four hundred million people permit the occupation of various portions of its territory? Singular, is it not, that a nation which num- bers one-fourth of the population of all the world opens its coastwise trade to other nations — the only instance of the kind on earth? Singular that it permits the manifest division of its territory? Yes, singular, indeed, if this aggregation of four hundred million human beings is a nation in the sense that the United States or Germany or France or Russia is a nation. It has been said by a few acute observers that China is a conglomeration of states, that each province is itself a kingdom, whose governor is, for all practical purposes, an independent monarch, with an independent military force, independent taxation, and accountable to the central Manchu head of the system, the Emperor, only for a re- mittance of imperial revenues. This is true, but it is not all the truth. Even these provincial governments are not definite and effective or- ganizations like our States. They are a curious form of 174 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE administration, founded upon an understanding of the singular selfishness of the individual, and permitting him, therefore, an immense measure of individual freedom, combined with ruthless interference and punishment of the individual when deemed necessary for the security of this government. Careful investigation and reinvesti- gation will convince any one who goes to the subject without a preconceived opinion that the two elements at the bottom of Chinese national incapacity are, on the one hand, individual selfishness, so profound that we cannot fathom it; and, on the other hand, a singular respect for power and force, which is the common characteristic of all Oriental peoples. The streets of Pekin are not to be described. The writer was visiting, for the second time, the world-re- nowned Li Hung Chang, and while there one of the sud- den downpours of heavy rain occurred. On leaving, the streets were found to be running rivers of water, which concealed holes and ruts of two or three feet in depth, and gulleys rooted out by time and usage as by the snout of some monster. A naked coolie, attempting to cross from house to house, plunged up to his neck into a hole in the middle of the street. A mule and its rider fell into an- other, and were not extricated in the course of an hour. "Why do you not pave the streets in front of your house?" was asked of a Chinaman of superior intellience and education. "Why should I go to that expense? It is not my street." Mr. Smith, in his excellent book, Chinese Characteristics (every one who wants to understand the Chinese from a kindly but just point of view should read that book), explains the philosophy of roads, or the lack of them, in China. These passageways wind in, around, and about, and are worn, by countless feet and the eroding influences of numerous rainfalls, into little ravines. Nobody repairs them. "It is not my business," said a Chinese farmer. The Grand Canal, one of the monumental works of human 175 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE hands, has become so choked with sand and weeds as to be impassable at one or two points. The government will not repair it, because (as it is said) the government sees no way of making anything out of it for itself and its favorites. And the people will not repair it, "because it is none of their business." "How do you manage to interest your people in mili- tary affairs?" asked one of the first business men of China, and a millionaire (a pure Chinaman). "How do you get your militia companies formed? How do you interest men enough to induce them to enlist?" The whole in- quiry of this great man was not of business, but military, military, military. When it was explained to him that, with us, every man feels that the government is his own, that the condition of the roads is his personal concern, that the defence of the country is of the highest individual consequence, that the element of personal selfishness is almost eliminated from the public mind of the citizen, he shook his head sadly and said: "Ah, yes! that is our trouble. How shall the people be lifted out of each one's individual self?" It was not always so with China. There was a day, some hundreds of years ago, when " I and my house" were not the sacred formulas which every Chinaman repeats to himself to - day. There was a time when China was heroic, masterful, consolidated, militant, devotional. But centuries have passed since then. It is not within the province of this chapter to explain the reasons for the change. What we are noting is the change. We are noting it in order that we may try to understand, feebly at least, these four hundred million people with whom we wish to trade, and whose trade relations with us will more quickly rescue them from their strange decline than would anything else — feebly understand them, for no foreigner may hope ever to understand them entirely. "The trouble with China," said a penetrating observer, "is arrested development. China is like a man who starts 176 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE out with brilliant promise and continues to a certain point, and then apparently undergoes an atrophy of all his powers." It is each man for himself among these four hundred millions, or, at most, each man for his family or his clan. Wealth, power, are the things he chiefly respects. He understands them. If you quote the maxims of Mencius and Confucius, you must remember that they were pro- nounced when China was great. You must remember the remark of the young Chinese merchant of Shanghai, quoted in a previous chapter, that Chinese merchants care nothing about who governs them, their only interest being an opportunity to make money. Any administra- tion which would secure that supreme end would be wel- comed and supported by the commercial men of the em- pire, if they were sure such a government would stand. It is commonplace that China invented printing; yes, but she prints no books now — at least, none of modem interest; that she invented gunpowder; true, and yet she is practically without arms with which gunpowder is used — only just noW she is making them ; that she devel- oped the science of astronomy; true again, and yet her instruments are rust. "Arrested development," said the life-long student of China and the Chinese. It must not be inferred that the individual Chinaman is not a man of intelligence. Decidedly the contrary is the truth. Some of the compradors of China rival, if they do not surpass, the chiefs of the foreign houses that employ them. There are not better business-men in any country than hundreds of the business -men of China. Their bankers and money-changers are keen to the last degree. An educated Chinaman will entertain you with talk as fertile and informing as that of any man turned out of our own universities. The industry, frugality, patience of the Chinese as a people are proverbial; and yet, with all of these good qualities, interest in their government and nationality appears to be wanting. It xa 177 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE cannot be said that they are without the instinct of cohesion; and yet that instinct does not manifest itself in government. They are not without patriotism. Every- body is familiar with the passionate desire of the China- man to be buried in his native soil ; and yet their patriotism does not make them a consolidated, masterful nation such as their individual virtues, above enumerated, would seem to justify. All these things make the peculiar atrophy of Chinese power, as expressed through forms of government, all the more remarkable. And all this emphasizes the explanation which most students of Chinese character give — namely, the selfishness of the individual, his lack of interest in the government of his country, and his appreciation of power, no matter in what form it appears. These brief outlines, which are the basis of the German and Russian theory of China and the Chinese, will explain why it is that the exhibition of power is considered by these European powers a positive trade asset in the Orient. It explains why it is that Germany, instead of losing, believes that she actually gains by her barracks, her soldiers, her ships, and even by her seizure of Chinese territory. It is power, force — visible, tangible predominance. And the Europeans believe that the Chinese respect it, however much the officials may hate it. A recommendation that our government should follow the Russian, French, and German example of the seizure of territory in the empire is distinctly disavowed. But it is asserted that America must very soon become an influential external power in Oriental affairs, so that further changes of the map of China will be made only after consultation with us. A great duty — perhaps the greatest of history — is gradually evolving out of the chaos of human conditions in the Orient. Nobody will deny that if China's millions could be kept in China and yet be brought into commercial contact with the civiliza- 178 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tion of the rest of the world, it would be good for them and good for the world. Tt is established that China cannot do this, or rather will not do it, if left to herself. The centuries are unan- swerable arguments to sustain this proposition. What she was five hundred years ago China is to-day, save only where the trade aggressions of European nations have forced foreign commerce and western civilization upon her. Leroy-Beaulieu points out that every trade concession of moment, every advance of modem civilization, has been forced upon China with the cannon. An uprising and conflict; Chinese defeat; and, as the fruit of this defeat, treaty concessions, opening of ports, the safe- guarding of foreigners and foreign commerce — such, he declares, is the record. The whole world has profited by each of these ' ' ag- gressions," which opened up new ports. First of all, and most of all, China herself has profited. Next to China, and, properly, the nation which took a ruling hand in bringing about the new conditions has profited; and, lastly, the rest of the world has profited, too. If the beds of coal, which exceed in richness the deposits of any other portion of the earth, were opened; if the products of China's wonderfully fertile soil could be freely and easily exchanged for the output of other nations; if the wants of these myriads of people could be increased two- fold (and wherever modern commerce and civilization have touched Chinamen their wants have been increased not two but many fold) ; if these wants could be partly supplied by the other nations of the earth, while the Chinese people themselves were supplying those other nations with the products for which nature has particu- larly equipped them and their country, and which other nations are not prepared to produce, the benefit to the world and to China as a people would be beyond all esti- mate. And the supply of most of the wants of China's four 179 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE hundred millions should be made by the American people, for the simple reason of location. What this would mean to us in the immediate present, without further extension of China's foreign commerce, is clear when we reflect that we have scarcely ten per cent, of the foreign trade of China, though we are en- titled to fifty per cent, at least. I repeat for the third time that the removal of the "likin," or transportation tax on goods carried into the interior of China would alone and unaided increase China's foreign trade to a thousand milHon dollars a year. Think of what fifty per cent, of that would mean to us! Employment for America's working-men is the problem that will con- stantly grow more serious; and no solution is possible except markets for what America produces. And so the question of Oriental export trade becomes insistently important. But whatever may be done in the way of tax and other reforms in China, all will agree that American trade and American prestige in the Orient must be pushed steadily and by the minuter methods. Every American merchant in China will tell you that first of all we need American ships. When American trade held the first place in the Orient, the American flag was seen in every port. It was a great advertisement then. A brilliant writer tells of an old Chinese merchant who, in inquiring about the absence of American trade, said: "We used to have it. This port was once filled with your flowery starry banner. Where has your flowery starry banner gone?" Oriental ship-lines are a prime necessity for an increase in America's trade with the Orient. There is absolutely no difference of opinion among Americans in the Far East upon this point. Here, again, is seen the effect upon the Oriental mind of something which the Chinaman can see, something whose magnitude and power he can behold. The German merchant of Shanghai who pointed to the i8o THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE German flag in the water - front declared it to be his greatest commercial asset. There is no commercial agent to compare with the patriotic officer of a steamship company, proud of his line, his flag, and his nation. It is not enough for the captain and officers of a ship that they carry their cargo safely — the word upon their tongue at every port they touch is the commerce, the power, the progress of the nation to which they belong. Then, too, when any nation has ship-lines established, they must have freight to carry, and so the company to which they belong devises new methods of securing this freight — that is, they create new trade. Again, as the trade grows the rates of freight decrease. This is plain reason, and it is plainer history. So that the first great requirement in the substantial and permanent increase of American Oriental trade is American ship- lines. If American capital could be interested in this vast enterprise, which combines patriotism and business, it would be good for the capital invested, good for the merchandise carried, and, best of all, for the increase of American trade. It is so curious that the historian of a hundred years from now, reviewing this subject, which then will be the great question (indeed, in two or three years it will be the great question), will find it hard to credit the fact he records, that, being nearer to China than any other com- peting nation, needing her market, having resources to supply it unequalled in all the world, and being, too, the keenest financial nation of modem times, the United States had no banking facilities in the Orient. It is the second necessity for the permanent increase of American commerce with China that a great American banking establishment be planted in every port of the Far East. The Chinaman understands money just as he understands power in any other form. It is not necessary to explain the intimate connection between trade, on the one hand, and banks of deposit i8i THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and exchange on the other hand. Every grocery -man in every country village in America understands that from personal experience. England has two immense financial organizations in the Orient — the Chartered Bank of India, China, and Australia, and the Hong-Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, and their branches exist every- where. They have been the chief agencies in conserving England's predominant commercial power, but even they have not been able to check her decline. Germany has established within a few years a large financial institution, whose branches have now spread to most, if not all, the treaty ports of the empire. It has been pointed out that Russia, through her financial agency, the Russo-Chinese Bank, is shooting the filaments of her power throughout the Pacific Far East. At present American trade must be conducted through these foreign financial institutions. It should not be so. We ought to have in the Orient an American financial institution of magnitude to match the power of the American nation, and which shall be equal to the com- manding commercial position to which the American people aspire in the Far East. The methods of banking in the East are peculiar. A bank discounts its own notes between two ports, estimating the amount of the discount by the cost re- quired in transporting that exact amount of specie, separately and by itself, between them — that is, if you present a note issued by a banking corporation at Hong- Kong to its branch at Tien-Tsin, it will not be redeemed at its face value, but at a rate measured by the cost of transferring that particular amount of silver between those two points. The system of issuing notes of ex- change is unscientific, and at every point the bank cuts a profit for itself. Like Russian banks in Russia, foreign banks in the Orient go into every conceivable transaction, shaving always and everywhere. They are, therefore, not con- 182 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ducted on the broad lines of modern scientific methods, as bankers here and in Europe understand banking. An American bank equal to the task should be established, which would put American inventiveness at work upon the great task of establishing a uniform currency, at least among the treaty ports. Experience would soon show the Chinese merchant and dealer everywhere the unquestioned value of its notes, and a common circulating medium would thus be established, whose influence in facilitating trade would be as great as it would be bene- ficial. A great American bank, then, is the second need for the permanent increase of American trade in the Orient. It is said that our consular service should be improved. But whatever fault may have been found in the past with the quality and personal character of the govern- ment's commercial representatives in China, it is ad- mitted that our present staff of consuls in the Orient measures quite up to the standard of foreign countries, with the possible exception of Germany. This is a sub- ject (consular reform) in which personal investigation compels more changes of view than any similar problem. On the one hand it is pointed out, and with apparent unanswerableness, that it is quite impossible for the consul without special training and without practical knowledge of his duties, and of the people among whom he goes, to represent properly the commercial interests of his country. On the face of the paper argument, it seems clear that the longer a consul continues to reside among the people to whom he is accredited, the better acquainted he be- comes with their needs and the better equipped for the discharge of his important duties and the extension of American trade. But the fact must be recorded that American consuls in China are, with an occasional and conspicuous exception, quite the most efficient commercial representatives which any government (excepting always X83 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Germany) has on that difficult ground. This will become more and more the truth as our trade with China in- creases. It will become truer, too, as care comes in- creasingly to be exercised in the selection of those im- portant officials. Natural conditions and the steadily rising quality of our national administration with respect to foreign countries insure this. Twenty years ago so little attention was given to our foreign commerce that our consular posts abroad were, with somie creditable exceptions, considered exclusively as the proper reward of local pohtical work, without any regard whatever to the tasks the consul was expected to perform at his post. The change wrought by the natural causes above pointed out has been greater and the improvement more marked than in the consular ser- vice of any other country. But whatever the cause, it is admitted on all hands that the American consuls in China have a greater keenness of insight into the real nature of commercial conditions where they are sent; they have a better mastery of the practical situation, a higher com- prehension in the discharge of their duties, a fresher and more unworn interest in the extension of our commerce than have the consuls of any other country (please note, always, and for the last time, except Germany). One of the first business-men of China (a pure China- man), and an Englishman, whose great reputation is justi- fied by his work and abilities, united in this sentiment concerning the American consul at a certain Chinese port: " He is the most efficient man on the groimd. It is the consensus of opinion that his tact, firmness, ready re- source, and unvv'earying energy prevented a spread of the Boxer troubles in the melancholy year of 1900." "Yes," said another foreign merchant, "the American consuls seem to be unhappy unless they are making some record for themselves or their country." Certain it is that the reports from at least one consular office in China are the most exhaustive, most trustworthy, 184 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and best analyzed commercial statements that come from the Far East. "One point of superiority of your consuls over ours," said an English shipping man, "is their ac- cessibility. Anybody can see the American consul at any time, but," he sourly continued, "to see the British consul is almost an. affair of state." ^ It is freely admitted that consuls of other countries surpass ours in the points of small society duties. They are quite accomplished in all the engaging devices of social intercourse. American tourists travelling around the world for pleasure, and therefore looking for social entertainment, usually come away from the treaty ports of China deeply impressed with the equipment of the consuls of rival countries, particularly those of Great Britain, and with bad opinions of our own men. But our men are the quintessence of the practical. They have been reared in the American school of the practical, and they have acquired the habit of resourceful inventive- ness, which is so distinctive a characteristic of our business and industrial civilization. They see the point to things, and, seeing the point, they act. The thought is repeatedly forced upon one who may have been originally hostile to what a witty observer calls our present "consular chaos," that, after all, it may be that the education which comes to a man from successful and active participation in American politics, the alert- ness and vitality of mind fostered by the rich soil of American business effort, are of notable value in preparing a man for the practical duties of his country's service. It is certainly true that the adaptability of the American commercial representative is something quite unmatched. He goes to a place fresh from the electric atmosphere of America, filled v/ith the wonder and curiosity aroused by * Lord Charles Beresford,on his return from his extended visit to China, reported the numerous complaints of British merchants against British consuls; and he fearlessly pointed out the decline of British prestige in the Far East. 185 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the new land, the new people, and the strange conditions among which he finds himself. He sees the great points of difference between such conditions and our own, and it is an understanding of these points of difference which is of greater importance than is a dulled comprehension of the people themselves. XIV A SECOND CHAPTER OF DIGRESSION: AMERICAN PROGRESS IN THE FAR EAST IT has grown into a truism that no one who has resided for a long time among a foreign people can write in- telligently about them. The reason is that these very- points of difference which constitute the essential matters of interest become commonplace after a surprisingly short residence, and the very things which a new-comer notes with greatest interest, and which are, in fact, of greatest interest, soon become obscured by familiarity. "I have been here in Nagasaki three weeks," said a young American woman, "and, whereas the first week I could not write letters enough of these strange people, now I can write nothing at all except that the China arrived yesterday or that one of the Empress boats is expected in to-morrow. All of the things which were so novel to me when I landed have now become matters of course." The same thing is true of everybody else, and, of course, of the American consul, excepting that, in his case, he has duties which keep him discovering new and fresh subjects of interest for a long season. The keenness of his new experiences is a practical asset which statesman- .•^hip would do poorly to overlook. Then, too, he goes to the work with determination to make a "record" for himself and for his government. He is a fresh charge of Americanism for the particular point to which he is sent. He is always at the beck and call of the American mer- chants. He is anxious to make a little better report to 187 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the State Department than anybody else makes to any other government. "That man," said an American Oriental merchant, naming an American Oriental consul of almost sixty, "is positively unhappy if he goes to bed at night without having accomplished some specific thing for American trade." What to do to improve our consular service is, there- fore, not so clear. If some method could be devised by which we could continue our consuls for a long period of service — indeed, make them practically life ofificers, and at the same time keep up their energy and interest, which the experience of other governments has shown is gradu- ally destroyed by long residence in a country — then the problem would be simplified, if not solved. The German Emperor has accompli.shed this by his personal interest and activity. Every man is made to feel that the Emperor William's eye is on him, that every German merchant's eye is on him, and that he will be reported, or reprimanded, or promoted, according to the neglect or discharge of his duty. But the consuls of other countries holding life tenures soon become atrophied in interest; their activities undergo a stupefying and re- laxing process by reason of the certainty of their tenure and their long familiarity with conditions, a familiarity which, in the end, makes everything commonplace and as a matter of course to them. This is a perplexing subject. Our consular service must be improved; but the difficulty is to avoid, in the improving, the paring away of that vigorous quality which now makes our consuls, unequipped though they may be, superior to those of any other nation. Dr. Vos- berg-Rekow, head of the German Bureau of Commercial Treaties, says that "the United States has covered Eu- rope with a net-work of consulates, and makes its consuls at the same time inspectors of our exports, and vigilant sentinels who, spying out our trade openings, make them their advantage and report them." THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE This is a tribute to the intelhgence and vigilance of our consular service from our most watchful and most in- creasingly active commercial rival. If to these advan- tages of practical resourcefulness we can add knowledge of the language of the country to which the consul is accredited, a long tenure of service, and the appointment of none but trustworthy and approved men, and if we can at the same time evolve some method to keep their interest and energy constantly fresh, we shall have solved the problem. The building of railroads in China will be the one great industrial development of the tv/entieth century, so far as foreign investment in Asia is concerned. There are probably thirty thousand miles of line projected and actually surveyed, but the extent of the rails laid upon which trains are running in the Chinese Empire, exclusive of Manchuria, is less than four hundred miles. This is not one mile of railroad in China for every million people. That great trunk-lines in every direction will be built, and that speedily, speaking in the historical sense, is as certain as the progress of civilization itself; and wher- ever a line of railroad goes, trade goes, and where a line of railroad goes the trade of the nation which built it is chiefly carried. Germany's concession in Shan-Tung has been set out in full in another chapter. Very little goods will be carried along those lines except such as bear the trade- mark, "made in Germany." It has been pointed out that judicial and police privileges accompany these grants, and that, however it may be disguised, and however the machinery of Chinese administration may be employed, the hand of German law and order will in reality be over all. And by this plan, it has been noted, the practical partition of China is moving forward. The far-sightedness of the Russians in pushing their railway lines through this mighty area of future human development, the associated activities of French and i8g THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Belgian syndicates, as is believed in connection and co- operation with Russia, have been observed. In this par- ticular the English themselves have exhibited a flash of their old energy and daring resourcefulness in projecting a line into China, connecting its principal cities with the great British railway system of India. It is unfortunate that American syndicates have not looked into this matter. One, indeed, did so and was convinced of the profitable nature of the enterprise, and a railway concession was secured from the Chinese govern- ment. But it is said that, since the death of its principal promoter, the American interest has been largely aban- doned. It is hard to believe that American capital, which is now looking abroad for opportunities of invest- ment and exploitation worthy of its magnitude, energy, resourcefulness, and power, will long overlook these op- portunities. Two or three lines of road, built by our citizens and backed by our government with its indorse- ment (not necessarily financial, of course) and diplomatic aid, could be built in China, and a firm foothold could thus be secured, from which the future of American com- merce in the Orient might be safeguarded and satisfac- torily and practically increased. The fear which thoughtful Americans who go over the ground are forced to entertain is that our great aggre- gations of capital will overlook this most inviting field until the choice routes have been pre-empted by the capitalists of other nations, and until the joint action of rival powers will compel the Chinese government to refuse further railway concessions, or at least further concessions to us. Should this unfortunate development occur, it will, indeed, be a sorry circumstance. Moralizing is of little use in practical affairs, but occasionally a dash of it is needed to give spirit and meaning to material enterprise. And the thought is here interjected that perhaps Amer- icans are taking too much for granted as to our future, that it may turn out in the course of a few decades that 190 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE we have not been far-seeing enough, that our eyes are fixed so immovably upon the steady stream of gold pouring into our coffers at this particular moment that we look not to the sources which must continue that stream in the future. Another thing which the government might do, and which would have a beneficial effect upon American trade in China, is to keep in Chinese waters all but one or two ships of our Pacific squadron. Moreover, the heaviest part of our navy should be kept in Asiatic waters. It is there that the conflicts of the future will occur, and it is there where our visible power should be manifest to all beholders. German trade increases, say German mer- chants, with every German war-ship that appears in Chinese ports. It is a circumstance worth noting that British trade has decreased coincidently with the de- crease in the number of British flags appearing in Chinese waters. It is unprofitable to take too much space in tracing out the psychological causes of this; but, briefly, it may be said again, as it has been said before, that the Chinese, like all Orientals, are impressed, in a way quite impossible for our race to understand, by evi- dences of power which they can behold with the physi- cal eye. No difference of opinion was found in the pride which European or American residents in China took in the visit of their respective nation's war vessels. Strange as it may appear to those not on the ground, such physical manifestations of a foreign nation's might certainly cre- ates an " atmosphere" distinctly favorable to that nation. " It makes me feel that I am not entirely in another world when I see the flag floating from one of our war-ships," said an American lady living in the Orient. " It is almost funny to see what an impression the frequent visits of the vessels of the German navy make on these people. But the mass of the business people we deal with here think that our country certainly cannot amount to very THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE much, for they never see our war-ships and seldom behold our flag," said an American Oriental merchant. It is not suggested that our Asiatic squadron should frequently visit Chinese treaty ports for the purpose of awing or intimidating the people. On the contrary, the exact reverse is stated. The point made is that the effect of familiarity with our flag, and that the impression of our national consequence resulting from the frequent presence of our squadron in Chinese treaty ports, is ben- eficial in creating an American atmosphere helpful to American commerce. It is unpleasant to put it in the following form, but in the end that is what it amounts to — it is an admirable advertisement of our importance, commercial as well as naval. However reasonable or unreasonable this explanation may be, there is little doubt of the influence upon the Oriental mind of ships, flags, and the material expression of masterfulness in the world. It is quite as cheap for the American government to keep its ships cruising from Chinese port to Chinese port as it is to keep them any- where else. They would thus be on the seas of the great world movement of the future — even of the present. They would be familiarizing themselves with the condi- tions with which America must deal ; and, by mere contact, would each moment be increasing Chinese respect for our power and Chinese confidence in our ability to do things. Besides, if there is to be a fight between the nations, it is likely to begin in these waters. The Pacific will not only be the theatre of the great commerce of the future, but of the wars of the future, too. And while we want no war, and no part in any war, we must be able to protect our own, and increase it. Li Hung Chang has been heralded to the world as a great statesman. He was not such. The writer could wish that the scope of this chapter permitted a review of this remarkable personality. But this much may be said, that Li Hung Chang was a very great business -man. 192 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE In a conversation with him, held more than four years ago, he suggested (after going through his customary talk to Americans about the admission of Chinese into the United States), upon being requested to give his honest views as to some practical and definite method of increas- ing American trade, that the two comer-stones of Ameri- can commercial influence in China would be a great bank- ing establishment and two or three, or even one, powerful American trading house. "The English," said he, "have the great firms of Jardin, Metheson & Co. and Butterfield & Svvire. They have the Hong-Kong and Shanghai Bank- ing Corporation and the Chartered Bank. Their great commercial firms own their own lines of ships ; they have their own commercial buildings at every port; they have their system of compradors reduced to a science. It is these agencies that have helped England in China more than all her diplomatic negotiations, which have been neither clever nor brilliant. "The German understands this a good deal better than do the English to-day. In fact, the English seem to be forgetting all they ever learned. If there could be an American trading compan}' with ten, twenty, or even fifty million dollars of capital, owning its own ships, flying the American flag, and capable of immense purchases, you would see American trade grow in a way that would astonish you. Then, too, no diplomatic demand of the American government is ever backed up by any cash proposition, whereas England has her banking corpora- tions, and so have Germany and Russia, immediately on the spot. "If you Americans expect to get a large share of Chinese trade you can't get it by talk; you have got to go after it." Thus Li Hung Chang had grasped with clearness the commercial advantages to a nation which flow from great aggregations of capital. Indeed, one cannot see clearly how we are to keep pace with the growing influence of X3 IQ3 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Germany, with her commercial methods, heavily backed by capital and brilliantly supported by her government, unless there shall be two or three enormous American concerns engaged in competition. All the trade we have in China we owe to location, to the better quality and cheaper prices of our goods, and to the unsupported enter- prise of our plucky American merchants in the Orient. But this will not suffice. Our goods must be pushed; Chinamen must know about them; they must wear our cottons, taste our flour, smoke our tobacco. This is a matter of extraordinary expense. Very practical methods, indeed, must be resorted to in selling foreign goods in China. The Chinaman's de- mand for nearly all our products is from an acquired taste, like our desire for tomatoes. You must get him used to eating American flour. When you have accomplished this you have created a constant and increasing demand for that staple food product. A few years ago no Ameri- can fllour was sold in China. Gradually, however, flour bread began to be eaten by some of the richer merchants who had travelled abroad. Then the compradors took it up. Then it occurred to some mill-owners in America that if these Chinamen liked their flour the people them- selves would like it, and two intelhgent agents took the matter up. The result is that the trade in American flour has now reached such a volume in Hong-Kong that it requires ship- load after shipload each year to satisfy it, and this de- mand is spreading steadily and rapidly, but with a snail's pace compared with the progress it might make if pushed by great capital and comprehensive organizing ability and by broad and far-seeing business methods. After many conversations with commercial men, and after mature thought, it is believed that in ten years Chinese demand for American flour alone could be made to reach the total of thirty million dollars, or more than double the amount of our entire exportation to China proper at 194 THE RUSvSIAN ADVANCE present (not including Hong-Kong and Manchuria). It will not reach ten millions probably, but if we should engage in Chinese trade earnestly it could be driven to the limit named. An American tobacco company has illustrated the rapidity with which an Oriental demand may be created and the success with which the supply of that demand may be monopolized. This corporation decided to enter the Oriental field. It put in charge a general representa- tive in love with his work. Samples of the company's goods were judiciously distributed. One whiff by a Chinaman was enough; he became familiar with that company's brand ("chop" he called it), purchased it almost exclusively, told his friends about it, and they repeated the process until one of the flourishing branches of the company's foreign trade is its Chinese trade. There is also a growing demand for American condensed milk, and thereby hangs a tale illustrative of Chinese character. The Chinaman becomes accustomed to a cer- tain brand. He knows the can or package by the picture on it, and the characters painted there — its "chop." When he acquires a taste for a brand, that is the brand he wants. A certain American firm had fostered Chinese trade in condensed milk until a considerable demand was created in the district of which a certain treaty port is the centre. A new management came into control of the business. At its head was a young man who did not admire the artistic proportions and the general get-up of the label. "We must have something neater, more modest," said he, and a very becoming label was substi- tuted for the old one. In a single month the Chinese de- mand for that article fell away more than fifty per cent., and in three months it was practically non-existent. The old label was replaced, and again the demand sprang up. The point is that the Chinaman did not understand that the new label represented the same milk which he had become used to. The firm would have been compelled 195 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE to go through the original process of creating a new de- mand for the same brand on account of the new label. Chinese character is full of these idiosyncrasies, and they must be noted and studied by those who expect to sell goods to the Chinese. And the study is very well worth while. People may talk about Chinese frugality and self-denial all they please, but the Chinaman in- dulges himself more unrestrainedly than is generally be- lieved. He has seen so many centuries pass; he knows that so many uncountable myriads of milHons have died; he realizes, to borrow a phrase, "that we are going through life for the last time " ; and so he ministers to his physical senses. Therefore, when you capture his desire you have captured his pocket - book. The Chinaman is bent on satisfying his appetite, and he likes good things. Ameri- can meats, American milk, American tobacco, most of all American flour, please his palate. But he is not going to learn about our products by intuition, or visions, or dreams. He has got to learn about them by his physical senses. Therefore, they must be brought to his door and placed on his table. The Chinaman is a fish that jumps at no metal fly. The only bait he seizes is the real thing. Therefore, American merchants ought to have reliable, energetic, tactful agents in China introducing their goods in a practical way. There is one medical firm whose patent preparations are known all over the United States. It has built up a considerable demand for its medicines in the limited area connected with a certain port; but the agent who has created the demand is a man of capac- ity, patience, resource, tirelessness. In default of an American trading company of the capital and size which the Chinese commercial field de- mands, it might be well for American merchants to form a pool and pay very liberally for the introduction of one another's goods throughout the Orient, by giving away samples until the demand is created, and then they should be prepared to fill that demand on the spot. It would be 196 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the cheapest form of advertising, and the result would be more permanent than advertising is in America. In- deed, a combination of American manufacturers already uses this plan, but in a hard-and-fast, stiff, unelastic, and unpractical way. There is at Shanghai an American warehouse, and, in the best quarter of the town, a large American show-room for the display of American manu- factured articles like machinery, glass, tools, and tiles. This is the beginning of a movement in the right direction. If it could be supplemented by selling de- partments, competent to fill any reasonably large orders on the spot, and in charge of thoroughly trustworthy selling agents, whose exclusive business would be the introduction and sale of goods without any other con- nection whatever, the warehouse and show-room would show some returns. Very little result can be expected from the present awkward arrangement, however. China- men are too busily sought out by Germans, and even by the English, and most of all by the gallant little company of American merchants on the spot, to spend their time going around to the store-room to look admir- ingly on wares and then order on their own initiative. The necessity is emphasized for reliable men, because experience has developed the fact that there are com- mercial adventurers in the Far East, men of real ability, of singular glibness of tongue and plausibility of manner, who, when given these commercial agencies, do nothing but draw the salary and finally decamp with the proceeds of the investment. On the other hand, there are in the Far East numbers of competent, trustworthy, devoted men, thoroughly in love with their work, and that number is increasing. It would pay the associated producers of the United States to send three or four bright young men into the Far East for the purpose of studying commercial methods. These men should be chosen with care. The German government sent an industrial and commercial commission 197 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE to study Oriental commercial conditions. Our govern- ment might well do likewise; but, independently of that, the manufacturers and producers should send their own men. The government commission should have to do with making the government and people of the United States familiar with the people and conditions of the Far East so that a steady national policy might be evolved. The business -men's commission should have sole refer- ence to the sheer question of selling. It should learn how the Chinese desire their goods prepared. It should seek new sources of demand and trade. China is a better field for this than Europe, because Europe's market is pretty well congested now, and its own producers are straining every nerve to supply, ex- clusively, its own demands. Nothing but our enormous aggregations of producing capital enable us to keep the sale of American goods in that market from rapidly de- creasing. But China is a virgin market. Its exploita- tion has not even yet been begun, and an intelligent, prac- tical, patient (let me repeat, patient, patient, patient) commission sent to China by the producers of manufact- ures; another one, of like character, sent by our com- bined producers of bread-stuffs; and, third, one sent by the combined producers of cotton goods, would discover fields for the sale of our merchandise which would surprise Americans and surprise the Chinamen, too. As has been pointed out, the Chinaman individually is a very intel- ligent man. Even his critics say that in character he is a victim of but two degenerating things — individual selfishness and a sort of paralysis which comes from his worship of precedent. Mr. Parsons gives an instance in his admirable little book which illustrates this latter quality with surprising distinctness. He tells of a bridge, high and round, which was erected some hundreds of years ago over what was then a stream. But long since, hundreds of years per- haps, that stream ceased to flow. Time has filled in its THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE bed, which is now on the level with the surrounding country, and vegetation grows upon it. But the road still runs over the bridge, and Chinamen, carrying heavy burdens on their backs, instead of walking past the bridge, continue to toil up and down it simply because their fathers did the same thing. Such peculiarities of Chi- nese character must be studied, and we must act accord- ingly. One reason for the decline of British sales to the Chinese, which the inquirer hears repeated over and over again, is that the British put up their goods the way the British want them, and not the way the Chinaman wants them; that the English merchant says in effect to the Chinaman : "This is the way I like to put up goods. Take them or leave them." The German doesn't do anything of the kind. He caters to Chinese desires, therefore he gets Chinese trade. So does the Japanese merchant. A pres- ent example is in point. Large bales are difficult to transport into the mountainous interior of Korea The British put up in large bales certain goods sold there. Nevertheless, the British have until quite recently sup- plied most of the Korean demand, for the reason that no one else competed with them, and that, trade once established, its very inertia helps to continue it. But the Japanese saw their advantage, put up Japanese goods in smaller bales, and are therefore taking the trade of Korea away from England. Such examples should be lessons to American enterprise. Again, the simpler items of Chinese commerce must receive serious and painstaking attention. A certain high British official in the Far East was talking about the growth of German trade. "Oh," said he, "it is 'muck- and-tuck' trade." By "muck-and-tuck trade" he meant clocks, pins, buttons — the minutiae of commerce. When it was pointed out to him that this was the seed of all commerce; that from such little germs of trade greater trade is bound to grow ; that these small articles make the 199 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Chinese familiar with German goods, German trade, and the German name, he appeared unable to appreciate that commercial point. At an official dinner given that very- evening another British functionary, in talking over this same thing, said: "Oh, well, England has got along very well in the past, and she will get along very well in the future. It is Eng- land, you know. Nothing can down England!" It was the spirit of self-satisfaction, which is the root of all unprogressiveness. No new methods for England; no change of conditions for English merchants; no prog- ress, in short, for England. She had captured the trade in the manner pointed out in the chapter on Germany's activities in China, and she seems to have forgotten that the conditions which gave her that trade have passed away. To-day is not yesterday, even if the same sun does shine. The world moves. On an excursion among the Chinese shops at Hong-Kong it was found that, though most of the cloths were English, the buttons were German, the needles were German, the pins were German, the clocks were German, and so on. All of them ought to be American. By the same token, all of them ought to be cheap. Peoples of the Far East are not looking for high-grade money. They insist on silver. They insist upon the copper "cash," a money made of hollow disks of copper, of which it takes hundreds, and in one or two provinces almost a thousand, to equal a dollar. Similarly, they in- sist on cheap goods. They will continue to insist on them until they are raised to a commercial and industrial civili- zation approaching American and European conditions. After such commissions (and it is insisted that there should be one for each great industry — each commission would find its hands full and its time entirely occupied) there ought to be a pooling of each great group of Ameri- can industries, and then the very best representative that that industry can find should be sent permanently 200 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE to China and paid enough to justify him in exiling him- self to the Orient in the interest of his employers and American commerce. But if we have not yet advanced so far in co-operative civilization that our manufacturers of tools, machinery, implements, and the like in one group, our manufacturers of cotton goods in another group, our manufacturers of food products in another group, cannot see their way clear to the pooling arrange- ment, let each great house that sees the advantages of this market send at its own expense a highly paid representa- tive to China to exploit its own products. I repeat that expression — a highly paid representative. You had better send nobody at all than send some person who has not been successful here, or a picked-up, untried, untested, and unknown, or too well-known, individual who is al- ready in the Far East. You have got to send the very best man you can find, the most comprehensive and alert intellect, the most tactful in disposition, the most engaging in personality, and, above all, the most patient, painstaking, and industrious. Such a person will prove an investment which will pay increasing dividends. With the increase of trade and the growth of general knowledge and enlightenment as to Oriental conditions, which would come from following this course, new and improved methods would constantly suggest themselves as new branches of wheat stool out from the original grain ; and it would not be a great many years before America would be the largest supplier of Chinese trade, and America the first power in Oriental waters. It is the neglected peoples and the neglected markets to which we must look in the future. When you reflect that Ger- many, including Alsace and Lorraine, has upward of fifty millions of people, and that we sell her nearly one hundred and ninety million dollars' worth of goods every year; that the United Kingdom has only forty millions of people, and that we sell it over five hundred and thirty million dollars' worth of goods every year; that France has less 20 1 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE than forty millions of people, and that we sell her nearly eighty-five million dollars' worth of goods every year, and then reflect that China has four hundred million people, and that we sell her not more than twenty-five million dollars' worth of goods, upon the face of the returns (al- though by counting American goods which go to China by way of London and Japan, and by other indirect routes, we probably sell her forty millions), a child can see the possibilities of American trade expansion in China. It has been repeated so many times that it is accepted as a truism that the first and last requisite for the in- crease of American trade in China is the maintenance of the open door. The open door means only that the goods of all nations shall have free access to the treaty ports of China upon the same terms. It must be remembered , how- ever, that treaty ports did not always exist, and that, as M. Leroy-Beaulieu points out, they have all or nearly all been secured by armed conflict; in short, that, so far as China's door is open, it has been forced open by bay- onets. It is quite possible that any further opening of the door (that is, a multiplying of treaty ports, or any aggressive trade concessions to the world) will be secured by the same method, or by the fear of it. Of course, there is a possibility that a new order of things will develop itself in China, that when the new Emperor takes in his hands the reins of government he will grant these concessions to the rest of the world, upon considerations of wise policy and enlightened statesmanship. It is a beautiful hope, and every student of the world prays for its realiza- tion. But the practical man must deal with facts. As important as is the maintenance of the open door, the extension of the avenues to which that door leads is, at least, equally important. If the door is open ever so wide, but you can only just get your goods inside of it, what does that avail you ? That is the condition of China now. The tax on goods taken into the interior, an at- THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tempt to abolish which has proved a practical failure, prevents goods from going very far from the treaty ports. It is not forgotten that this has been repeated many times in this volume, but it is a fact so essential and so little known that it will have to be repeated a number of times more, and from many different sources, in order to be thoroughly appreciated. It is agreed, and is now a law (so far as such an agree- ment can be called a law) that one-half of the customs tariff on foreign goods entering China shall be employed in lieu of and to replace all internal transportation tax. But this has not worked as a practical matter. To get the goods into the interior is still a thing of difficulty. By the interior is meant long distances into the interior. Of course, treaty ports include not only coast cities, but many on the rivers as well; for instance, Hankow, eight hundred miles up the Yang-tse-Kiang, is a treaty port. But foreign goods circulate in appreciable quantities only a short distance, comparatively speaking, from these treaty ports. With the privilege of free and unvexed transportation of foreign goods into the interior would come another practical difficulty, that of finding a method of transpor- tation. Merchandise must now be borne on the backs of coolies, in wheelbarrows, and on horses, or in some places by carts. This will not do; that is plain. Modern commerce will never be satisfied with such antique methods. Roads will have to be built — first railroads, and then, branching out from these, lines of highways for wagons. This is a practical problem worth while — quite as important as the open door. So far as the open door is concerned, the world may as well understand that it is not to be kept open by talk nor by communications. It has already been pointed out that it is being kept open now more by the jealousies of the aggressive powers than by any agreement. When these jealousies are removed, or when a common 203 THE RUSSIAN ADVAxNCE agreement of the aggressive powers is reached, or when the physical preponderance of Russia, Germany, or France becomes so great that the dominant country can do what it wishes within its sphere, the door cannot be kept open, no matter how much statesmen "communicate." The writer has talked with large numbers of residents of the Far East and with many students of the Far Eastern question, and all are agreed that if the partition of China is to be prevented something must be done of a defi- nite, tangible, visible, material nature. This is a task for constructive, practical statesmanship, such as the present century does not present in any other direc- tion. It is a good thing for the American people to know this, because, as has been pointed out, we cannot have a na- tional policy except as the people make it. England ought to take the initiative in this matter ; but she may not. This is the opinion of Englishmen in the Orient. Mere scoffing at Russia and Germany will not do. Mere excited utterances at a dinner-table or at the social gathering or in the newspaper will not do. It may be well, in closing these chapters of digression, to note something of the exact statistics of our trade with China at present and in the immediate past. In 1898 we exported to China $9,992,894 worth of merchandise, of which the principal items were cotton goods, oil, and flour; in 1900 we exported (in spite of the Boxer trouble) $15,- 259,167 worth, of which the principal items were the same. In 1898 we exported to Hong-Kong (all of which was consumed in China) $6,265,200 worth of merchandise, and in 1900 $8,485,978 worth, so that in 1898 the United States sold to China directly (not including Hong-Kong) some sixteen million dollars' worth of merchandise, whereas in 1900 we sold to China directly nearly twenty- four million dollars' worth. But, perhaps, a third as much again as this was sent to the empire by way of London and Liverpool, and perhaps a similar percentage 204 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE was exported by way of Japan. The exact amount sent through these last two channels cannot definitely be com- puted. Only an estimate can be made. It is a safe esti- mate that our exports to China, all told, now aggregate §40,000,000 annually. This surprising increase of our export trade is exhibited also throughout Oceania and the entire Far East. No explanation of this sudden increase is given such as has been offered for the growth of German commerce. It is fair to say that something of it is due to the greater familiarity with the American flag and the American people, throughout the Orient, which followed close upon the Spanish war. Countries are very little different from towns in their commercial characteristics, and a country merchant knows that, if you get the people talking about his store and his goods, his trade at once increases. It is a practical point of which the smallest as well as the largest merchant in this and every country takes account. It must not be forgotten in our larger deaHngs with peoples. If our trade were pushed in an aggressive, material, and visible way, its increase would surprise the most sanguine. The writer has feared to make statements as strong as the facts themselves warrant. Because of our unfamiliarity with the whole question it has been feared that a con- servative public would regard them as overstatements, so that the statements here made have been measured with care, and even reduced from their just and proper pro- portions. A great American manufacturer recently said: "Our firm is going to invade the Asiatic field. Some of our directors pointed out what seemed to be the folly of this, because our recent trade with that region of the earth is so inconsiderable, compared with our trade with Europe, for example. Therefore, these objecting directors said, 'Why waste time on this little market, when a great market is at our hands?' But I answered them that the Asiatic market is comparatively a new one — virgin soil, 205 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE as it were — and that what we must look for is not old markets, but new markets." That was common-sense, was it not? When we have occupied a market, or get under good headway in it, the progressive and sensible thing to do is to look into the next and nearest market, and set out to exploit that. It is observed that the large mine-owners of our Western States were never content with the ownership of one mine. When the successful mine-owner had that under his control and in thorough working order, he sent his prospectors in every direction to search out new ones. He simply applied common-sense and energy to a practical situation. Consider Russia, for example. We sell her between twenty and twenty-five million dollars' worth of mer- chandise every year. We might as well sell her eighty or one hundred milhon dollars' worth annually. The trade is ours for the asking and the going after. Our competi- tors are asking for it and going after it. They will get it, too, unless we act with skill and address. Germany, for example, sells Russia considerably more than one hundred milHon dollars' worth of merchandise every year. Even England sells Russia nearly seventy milHon dollars' worth of mercliandise annually. Russia would prefer to buy from us, because we are not in her way anywhere, and because she has political animosities of an historic and permanent character against every one of our competitors. Then there is Asiatic Russia, chiefly Siberia. Our sales to her are inconsiderable. Yet all east- em Siberia, as far as Irkutsk, is our natural market. The Russian occupation of Manchuria (if Russia continues to let our goods in free and does not differentiate against us on her railroad rates) will double our trade there. Here, then, are virgin markets. Why not have them? The writer calls the particular attention of every manu- facturer and of every producer of bread - stuffs in the United States to these m.arkets. Everybody who gives 206 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE thought to our industrial situation knows that we are in danger of congestion of products at no distant date. What our producers must look for and what American statesmen must give attention to is an outlet to prevent this congestion. Here are markets which constitute such outlets. Let us occupy them. But be it remembered that they are not to be occupied by polite notes or banquet speeches. They have got to be occupied by ships, commercial agents, modem methods, the expendi- ture of money, and the resourceful vigilance of a firm and comprehensive business policy. Whether we want it that way or not, we are thrust out upon the waters and into the midst of the peoples of the world. Let us address ourselves to the situation and acquit ourselves accordingly; and that means to adapt ourselves to growing and changing conditions. American traditions and American characteristics are repeatedly referred to; and it is said that " self-govern- ment " and "non-interference" and many other excel- lent things are American characteristics; and so they are. But the American characteristic is adaptability. We ought to adapt ourselves, and will, to the world's geog- raphy, and to our trade as influenced by that. XV Siberia: the highway of Russian advance THE Russian is on the Asiatic shores of the Pacific then, indeed. His banks, his railways, and his shops, his business houses, his vessels of war, his sotnias of Cossacks, and his parks of artillery, his fortifications built for enduring purposes, his civil administrators, his mil- itary commanders, his schools and universities for teach- ing Oriental tongues, all these in a visible way have left the world no longer any doubt of his tangible, substantial, permanent presence. All the world is talking about him therefore. And now that we have glanced at the index of the volume of his activities and achievements in his most recent fields of operation, let us, with judicial vision, pass through Siberia, that other land which the Slav is fashioning for the home of his future millions. And as our interest increases, let us go further back to the original fountain whence this flood of human power and purpose pours forth steadily and in ever-swelling streams. And, that what we see and hear may be the truth as it is, let us go without prejudice on the one hand or prepossession on the other. Let us go with the determination to neither laud nor vilify, neither to praise nor blame un- justly. Let us, in short, proceed as we have through Manchuria and China, holding no brief for nor against the Muscovite, and influenced by no spirit of advocacy favor- able or adverse to any phase of his character or civihza- tion, but merely as earnest searchers for the truth, what- ever the truth may prove to be. Let no traveller who is merely going about the world 208 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE for sight-seeing or pleasure go through Siberia. Com- paratively, there is nothing for him to see. Only two classes of persons should make the trans-Siberian trip: first, men and women engaged in business, and to whom a quick journey from Europe to Asia is highly desirable ; and, second, serious, careful students who are trying to get some idea of that increasing force in contemporary affairs, the Russian people. All others had better depend upon the faithful record by other travellers of what may be seen in Siberia and Manchuria, and their interpretation thereof, than to go through what must in any event be a dull monotony, and what, if they mean to learn any- thing, must be downright hard work. Two influences operate to deflect the judgment of the American, the English, and the German traveller through Siberia. The first is that all of us have had it fixed upon our minds that Siberia is the land of terror, the region of exile, the domain of doom. We have been told that it was a snowy desert where wander the men and women whom Russian oppressors drove from their homes. It has been pictured to us as a country of prisons, a waste peopled by destroying wolves and sentinelled by grim and savage Cossacks, the agents of a secret, ruthless, and terri- ble power. For years popular plays have pictured the infamy of this barren world of outcasts ; and at the present moment more than one melodrama, played at theatres patronized by the masses of the people, portrays the awful tyranny of the Czar and the bitter lot of his un- fortunate subjects who people that dreadful land called Siberia. Even the best-informed traveller enters Siberia with the above impression constituting his subconscious view- point. Fortify ourselves as we will with the tolerance of the scientist and the impartiality of the judicial mind, we find the feelings formed in our childhood days by shud- dering tales of this Slav inferno asserting themselves. We have crossed the Urals, and Siberia proper is before 14 209 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE VIS. Now, therefore, for the chain - gang, now for the knout, now for the stench, degradation, and death of those pens of incarceration where Russia herds her rejected till they go mad or expire. On the other hand, the American, German, or English- man comes suddenly into this territory from his own land. And his land is thickly settled, highly developed, and organized up to the ideals of modern civihzation. He comes from countries of quick despatch, of frequent towns, of mammoth cities, of a perfected commerce, whose com- plexity has eliminated non-essentials, and is still eliminat- ing them. He comes from a land of comforts, a place where the luxuries of a century ago are the common ne- cessities of to-day. On the one hand, therefore, Siberia is, in contrast to the first of these influences, a surprise and delight; on the other hand, and in contrast to the conditions surrounding him in his own home, he will declare Siberia to be unde- veloped, her people without enterprise, her commerce trivial, the processes of progress within her scarcely dis- tinguishable, and her future hopeless. Against both of these influences the fair-minded man who visits Siberia must contend. He must take into ac- count that Siberian development has only just begun. He must remember the racial characteristics of the Slav. He must bear in mind the serious conditions of climate and distance with which the government has had to contend. Above all, he must remember the Russian ideal of pre- serving for the Russian people themselves every foot of territory which Russian blood, Russian diplomacy, and Russian enterprise have won for the empire of the Czar. "We are going to a new land, but it is still Russia," said the head of a family of emigrants at one of the regis- tration towns along the Siberian railway. " But why not emigrate to America? There are better chances there," he was asked. " So there may be, but we do not care for great chances. 3IO THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE We want to live among our own kind of people," was the answer. There spoke the Slav instinct : he must live in his own communities. He mingles with the natives of Siberia, and even of Manchuria, with familiarity and ease. Finally he absorbs them. And, without thinking about it, the in- stinct in him would never permit the Slav to go where he could not assimilate the people among whom he lives; for the Russian is the greatest absorber of other peoples which the contemporary world contains. He not only rules them, he appropriates them. They become a part of himself. A century hence will see Finland as much Russian as though it were originally Muscovite. More than a score of different peoples are now under the colors of the Czar; and, say what we will from our western point of view, they appear to be as highly con- tented as the people of the more advanced countries, such as Germany or Italy, and far more satisfied with their conditions than are the English. This is due, no doubt, to the pecuhar absorbing powers of the Slav. There are about him a somnolence of character and ease and laxity of life which suit the Asiatic native, towards whom his progress tends, and over whom his dominion is extending, far more than the precise and blunt methods of the Anglo- Saxon. Of course, the answer of the emigrant just quoted did not give the practical reasons for his emigration to Si- beria rather than to America. It might even be possible that he never heard of such a place as America; and, be- sides, he was going to Siberia because the agents of the government held out to him pleasant prospects of life and living there. Also, his home in European Russia was crowded, and, more likely, he had friends and neighbors in Siberia. But, above all, he had actual help from the government itself. His transportation was furnished him, a small sum of money was given him, land had been assigned to the community to which he belongs; for as 211 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the Russian in Russia lives in communities, owns land by communities, labors not as an individual, but in com- panies, so, as a usual thing, he emigrates to Siberia in communities.^ Besides all this, the Russian emigrant was following the lines of least resistance. He was going over land trav- elled by hundreds of thousands of his brothers before him. He was proceeding by the modern railway, to be sure; and yet it was a beaten path. For decades before a single sod had been turned on any Siberian railway, or indeed on any Russian railway, the Russian peasant, obeying his instinct towards Asia, has been travelling on foot towards this young Russian dominion, and there mak- ing his home. But far more important than all of these was the answer of this Russian father of an emigrant fam- ily; for it revealed in a flash one of the crowning char- acteristics of the Slav — namely, the cohesiveness and solidarity of his race. Siberia we find to be physically a continuation of the Russian Empire. The Ural Mountains, which divide it from Russia proper, are, as we Americans understand mountains, no mountains at all. In comparison with our Sierras, or Canada's Selkirks, or Switzerland's Alps, they are hardly more than tree -clad foot-hills. From these mountains to Lake Baikal, Siberia is one vast plain of rich monotony. Locate on your map the Siberian railway, and you have the central artery of productive Siberia. The land on either side for perhaps two hundred miles, both north and south, is excellent for agriculture and grazing; beyond this, on the south, begin the sandy deserts of Central Asia; to the north, eight hundred to one thou- sand miles, are the great gold-fields; but, speaking of per- * The government gives land to the peasant emigrant at the rate of forty acres for the head of each family. Also, it loans each family thirty rubles without interest, and, if needed, one hundred rubiee, Md the peasant is aever pressed for paymeat. 21i THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE manent soil for civilization and empire, Siberia may be said to be confined to a strip not over four hundred miles wide, extending from Russia to Lake Baikal, a distance of about three thousand miles; and, too, there are immense districts good for agriculture in Trans-Baikal Siberia. This estimate of the productive area of Siberia is, to say the least, generous, if not exaggerated. Bohol, the high- est authority, estimates that the really valuable agricult- ural portion of Siberia is not over five hundred thousand square miles in extent. Such an area, however, is equal almost to the entire Mississippi Valley. It is thus seen that, eliminating the unproductive land of Siberia, there still remains nothing short of an agricultural empire await- ing the plough, the reaper, and the thresher. Cultivated and populated as Indiana, Illinois, and Iowa are popu- lated and cultivated, this minimum agriculturally rich por- tion of Siberia is capable of maintaining a population of over thirty-eight millions. Cultivated and populated as France and Germany are, it will support more than one hundred and fourteen millions. And yet the population of all Siberia does not to-day exceed eight millions.* Russian emigration, hov/ever, is pouring in by the hundred thousand every year. The agricultural products consist of everything that we raise here in the United States. Wheat, millet, oats, barley, corn, and all the cereals of the "north temperate zone are produced in abundance. The agricultural products of Siberia are beyond the capacity of the Siberian railway to transport. Immense warehouses, or, rather, sheds, have been erected along the line to shelter the piles of sacks of grain awaiting despatch. You may even see, at certain seasons of the year, great cords of sacks of grain piles on the ground, without cover or protection, except canvas thrown over them ; for the capacity of the railway ' This is merely an estimate. Exact figures to date are not obtainable. 213 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE is already distanced by the agricultural productiveness of thinly populated and pooriy cultivated Siberia. An idea of what agricultural Siberia is doing at the present time is given in the following figures, which are significant when we remember the negligent and decidedly inferior methods of Russian agriculture: Cereal Production in Siberia for 1902 "Wheat. . . .30,796,000 bushels I Oats 34,078,000 bushels Rye 23,080,000 " I Barley.... 2,628,000 " The railway itself is not well built. But such is the care taken with the Siberian express, on which you are sure to travel, that, unless you carefully observe and seek reliable information to verify it, you would never know that you were not on an excellently constructed road-bed. It is the opinion of able Russian engineers that the whole line will have to be rebuilt. Certainly the track will have to be relaid, to say the very least. The rails are absurdly light. The reason why heavier rails were not laid in the beginning was, first, that the Russians themselves did not foresee the development of traffic the rails would be called upon to bear; and. second, towards the end of the enter- prise a desire for retrenchment and economy developed quite inconsistent with the generosity of the original plan and the lavish outlay of the early stages of construction. Sidings are being constructed all along the line. These sidings are, in many instances, so long that the observer cannot fail to conclude that they are the beginnings of a system of double tracks. That the Siberian road will have to have double tracks within the next two decades seems to be a matter of no further doubt. The increase in grain shipments alone would require this. A single track could be fairly well employed by the shipment of emi- grants, soldiers, and other passengers. So congested is the traffic that emigrant trains are often side-tracked for a week, or even more, at a time. 214 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE This was the condition in 1901, when the road extended no further than Stretensk, and when all the Far Eastern traffic carried over the line had to be brought up the Amur by boat or by caravan across the Mongolian desert. Now, however, the road is completed through to Port Arthur and Dalni on the China Sea; the whole trade of Manchuria is transported over it, and you may go with- out change of cars from either of these Pacific ports to Moscow itself. This means ultimately an immense addi- tion to Russia's Far Eastern commerce. It means, too, the gradual opening of the trade of Manchuria. Another road is contemplated right across the Mon- golian desert to the very gates of Pekin itself. There can be no question that this will be built. It is said that it will be built* as a matter of military necessity. But there are more reasons why it should be built as a com- mercial enterprise. Consider now the increased commerce that the main line must carry across Siberia when the contributions of these thousands of miles of feeders to the main line have been realized. Thus it may be taken as a settled fact that a double track for the Siberian railway is a certainty of the future. How soon this double track will be laid is, of course, a mere matter of speculation. If it were any other country than Russia which controlled the enterprise a reasonable guess could be made. It will be made when the Czar is convinced that the thing is needed, and that the condition of the Russian exchequer will permit its building. Then an imperial order will come forth, and the double track will be constructed and the old track relaid. It is not profitable to speculate too far into the future, and yet, at the risk of injecting imagination into a narra- tive, it may be said that a quarter of a century will witness not only double tracks along the Siberian line itself, but extensive branches running both north and south, and even perhaps parallel hnes east and west, one hundred miles or more, both north and south of the original road. 215 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The paralleling of the Union Pacific by the Northern Pacific, and paralleling of the Northern Pacific by the Great Northern in our own country, must be reproduced when Siberia is as thickly populated as the present volume of emigrants to that country and the capacities of its soil make it certain that it will be. In this connection it is interesting to know that all of the Russian imperial railways (and the Czar's govern- ment owns and operates the large majority of all the rail- way mileage of the empire) are paying investments, excepting the Manchurian line and portions of the Si- berian line. Indeed, it is said on authority that the net income of the Russian government from its railways is over one hundred million dollars a year. When you con- sider the low rate of freight and railway fare in Russia, this fact is as important as it is interesting. Over the Siberian line, especially, the passenger fare is trivial. The towns along this continental strip of territory are similar and uninteresting. Universally they are built from a mile to five miles away from the railway. Also in every instance they are constructed of wood. And again, uniformly, they are agriculttiral centres. They are just such towns as the transcontinental traveller saw upon our Western plains a score of years ago, only the Russian tov/ns of Siberia are more populous, and law and order in them are more carefully enforced than in our similar towns at a like period of our development. Some of these towns are the centres for emigrant distribution. Such towns are equipped with great build- ings for the temporary comfort of the emigrant peasantry. Indeed, along the whole road, at every station, large and small, the government has not neglected helpful and in- deed necessary devices to aid the peasant on his long journey to his new home. For example, no station is without large ovens where hot water awaits the emigrant , with which he makes his necessary tea. As has been stated, these emigrants are pouring into Siberia at the 216 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE rate of between two hundred thousand and three hun- dred thousand each year. Many long trains of cars hterally packed with Russian emigrants were inspected. Ahnost always these peasants, men, women, and children, appeared to be very healthy and highly vital creatures, indeed. Not often was sickness observed. Where sick- ness occurs at any town which is the centre of emigrant distribution, competent physicians are said to be sta- tioned to relieve the suffering, though no personal in- vestigation of this statement was made. In but one instance were these peasant emigrants found to be dissatisfied. That instance occurred near a railway station, midway between Khabaroff and Vladivostock, in the Pacific regions. Here the inhabitants of an entire village from the congested districts of southern Russia were found, camped in the open, with no shelter save that afforded by the wagons they had brought with them, and such semi -tent, semi-hut structures as they had been able to hurriedly construct. There were perhaps twenty families in this group. The elder (or starosta, as the Russians call him) was loud and bitter in his complaints. They had been there in sun and rain for three weeks, he said. Four babes had already died and two more were at that moment seriously ill. The emigration officer had not allotted them their lands or shown them where to go, and nobody knew when he would do so. Indeed, nobody knew where the emi- grant officer was. The other peasants crowded around and eagerly and mournfully confirmed the melancholy plaint of their chief. If they had known what they were coming to they never would have left Russia, they com- plained. The women were strident in their demands that the whole colony should immediately return to Russia. It was precisely the situation which the writer observed, in 1885, on the plains of western Kansas, when "settlers" from other States were disappointed at not finding the unbroken prairie fields in full flower, and when the women 217 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE of the household forced the entire abandonment of the enterprise. But in the case of these Russian peasants it was not so easy to return. Indeed, in the case ot these particular ones it was impossible for them to get back to the fatherland at that time. Not that the Russian peasant emigrant to Siberia is not permitted to return to Russia; on the contrary, two separate and considerable trains were observed on the Siberian line taking back to their homes emigrants who had grown tired or dissatisfied with their new surround- ings, and who were unwilling longer to continue in Siberia. But in the hundreds of thousands of those who go to Siberia from Russia only a few thousand, comparatively speaking, go back to the place of their birth. And those who return are, of course, the least stanch and aggressive in character of the entire emigrant population. So that not only are the hard conditions of nature in Siberia eliminating the physically weak from the new people there being compounded, but the weaker charac- ters are also being rejected by their own lack of steadiness and spirit. From an ethnological point of view these two circumstances are of value in understanding the character of the Russian in Asia, which, in the end, is bound to be an improvement on the character of the Russian in Europe. It is said that Russian officials whom the government places in charge of the distribution of emigrant lands are notably inefficient. There is no way, short of several years of weary investigation, to determine whether this is generally true or not. Certainly it was not true in one instance which fell under the writer's personal observa- tion. A young Russian civil officer was among a com- pany who floated down the long and hard journey on the iDoats of the Shilka and Amur rivers. This young man, it was learned, was to take charge of the distribution of emigrant lands at a newly opened post. He was highly educated, belonged to the ultra-Slavophile party of Rus- 218 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE sia, and appeared to be devoted to his work with almost missionary enthusiasm. Nor was this the fervor bom ot anticipation of the untried delights of unfamiliar occu- pation. This officer had already had experience in similar work, and had been selected because of his efficiency. Of course, this information was not derived from him; but there was abundance of time to inquire into its truth, and careful verification was therefore made. He took the greatest possible interest in the peasants on board, who seemed to return his attention with affec- tionate gratitude. A sufficient stop was made at the point where he disembarked to observe how he went about his business; and he entered upon the discharge of his duties with the same trained calmness and energy which you might expect an American to exhibit who is equipped for his work and in love with it. It is true that this example may not be typical, and it is further true that the praise of this officer by his fellow-Russians might have been exaggerated, and his own apparent eagerness for and concern in his employment superficial. But as one of the minor incidents of Slav colonization, this example is believed to be worth recalling. The raft transportation down the Shilka and Amur rivers is worthy of repeated notice. In the summer of 1 90 1, scores, hundreds of these rafts were observed lazily floating down those Siberian streams. Each of them contains at least one Russian family. On some of them several Russian families were being carried by the slow current to their remote destination. Nor were human beings the only inhabitants of these rafts. The peasant's wives and children were there; but so were his horses, his cattle, and all of the transportable things which the family possessed. Over and over again the analogy of these Slav frontiers- men with their American counterparts in the period of the early settlement of our own country suggested itself. Here were the same fearlessness, the same daring of the 219 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE unknown, the same severance from the place of their birth, the same intention to plant in the wilderness the institutions which they had left. With the American pioneer it was Anglo-Saxon individualism and the insti- tutions of a representative government ; with the Russian emigrant it is Slav communism and the institutions of autocracy. But here the parallel ends, for with the Rus- sian emigrant all is patience, leisureliness, lethargy. Their slow course towards the ends of the earth, their utter want of hurry or impatience, was suggestive of the prog- ress of their nation through history. Indeed, the Russian peasant, on his cumbersome raft on the Amur, is the Russian nation floating towards the sea. The progress of the Amur currents is quite fast enough for him, and, besides, it is nature's method of transportation. And the Russian peasant is a very nat- ural human being. He does not -see any use of getting very far away from nature. It is believed from what was observed on the crowded emigrant boats that, had not the peasants packed upon these vessels been directed to travel in that manner, they would have been quite as content to have travelled by raft as by the more speedy agency of steam, if, indeed, they would not actually have pre- ferred it. It is not worth while to waste any lines in the descrip- tion of these towns, and no traveller should squander a single day in remaining at any of them, excepting only the cities hereafter described. No one but the most studious minded, in search of particular information, should visit them; and even such a student will not find it of advantage to remain long; and having visited one of these towns he has visited all of them, for each is a type of a class, all are representatives of the same model. Broad streets, wooden buildings, fairly good stores, large market-places, many churches — some of them strangely magnificent in comparison with the architectural poverty of the town itself — a centre for local distribution THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and trade, a focus-point for the Russian fairs to which the peasants of whole districts converge — such, and only- such, is the ordinary town of considerable size along the Siberian railway. A notable thing about both Russia and Japan is the myriads of children. In a street leading out of the beau- tiful little port of Kobe, Japan, twenty-three children were counted in the arms of mothers or sisters in the course of exactly five minutes of a jinrikisha ride. The same evidence of fecundity may be observed anywhere in Russia; and in Siberia reproductiveness seems to be accelerated. It would be impossible for any traveller to look out of a car-window at any station on the trans- Siberian road, during the season when women can be out-of-doors, without observing children at every age, from a few months to a dozen years. And if you will leave the train and go into the interior, you will find that the sight at the station was only a sug- gestion of the universal reality. Children, children, and again children, and still children. Everywhere the Rus- sian is productive, but in Siberia the birth rate is the high- est in the world. Next to Siberia the birth rate of Russia is the highest in the world. And the death rate of Siberia is lower than that of Russia proper. When one reflects that the hard conditions of Siberian life exterminates all but the ruggedest infants, one begins to comprehend the physical hardihood of this pioneer race which is grow- ing up in this new land. " How strong these people look!" observed an impartial traveller. "How ruddy their faces! how broad their shoulders! how deep their chests! how sturdy their arms and legs! They do not at all look the unhappy and down -trodden people they have been pictured, do they?" "Well," responded an Englishman, "and what are they? They are nothing but so many human cattle deprived of their rights." It wa5 an illuminative conversation. With much care, 221 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE and through an interpreter who was not distrusted by them (and this is one precaution you must look to care- fully), conversations were had with many of these, the common people of Russia in Asia. "Did they want to vote?" Why, they did that now. Did not all of them, even the women who were widows, have a free voice in their communes, etc.? "But did they not want to vote as Americans and Englishmen vote?" They were dum- founded; they did not know what it meant. "Did they not want to take part in the government? " Again, they did that in every village which exists in Siberia after the parent Russian form. " But did they not want something to say about what laws should govern them?" No, in- deed! They cared nothing for that. That was the busi- ness of the government. The government was bad, but they would not make it any better. And if the Czar only knew where the government of his peasants is bad, he would make it right ; and the Czar would know some day. In Siberia, as in Russia, with the peasant it is always the Czar. He is the peasant's friend, their father, who is lov- ing and caring for them the best he can, and who, some day, "when he knows," will make everything all right. The devotion of the Russian peasant to the Czar is touch- ing and pathetic, and, by the same token, a circumstance of import to every nation whose fate it is to reckon with Russia. So it appeared that, as yet, these people have had none of the rights, which the American or Englishman means when he uses that word, of which they could be de- prived. So again it appeared that they were in perfect ignorance of these rights, and on the whole it further appeared that they are without the initiative as a mass to inaugurate any movement to secure them, even if they comprehended them. And, as a matter of fact, the Russian peasant, at least the Russian agricultural peasant, does not care the least bit about those rights; and where local self-government has been attempted in THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Russia, beyond the ancient self-government of the village community, the authorities have had serious difficulty in getting the peasant to take part in the innovation. Also, it must be said that apparently they are as well satisfied with their government as perhaps any other people are with their government. If the crops fail here in America, do we not lay the ensuing hard times to the fault of the administration? XVI HIGH AND LOW WATER MARKS OF SIBERIAN PROGRESS THREE samples of Siberian towns will serve as illus- trations of the highest point of Siberian develop- ment. Irkutsk is in the heart of that enormous region. On the one hand, it is thousands of miles from Moscow; on the other hand, it is thousands of miles from Pekin. Well, then, what of Irkutsk? "I think you will find our museum interesting," said a pleasant Russian business -man of Irkutsk. Museum! The sciences studied here! For this was the very heart of Siberia. It seemed a curious invitation. Down the broad street, therefore, we strolled. "And what is that fine building?" the stranger asked. "Oh, that is our opera-house." "And do you have operas here?" "Why, certainly; and why should we not? and plays, too. Very good companies, indeed, come here from Moscow. Don't think that we are without amusements. We cannot rival St. Petersburg, of course, but we are far ahead of anything in Russia outside of half a dozen of the mother-country's leading cities." "And who built this opera-house?" "It was built by subscription. A number of our rich merchants raised the money, and they raised it, too, in less than a week." So that here in the very centre of the Russian's Asiatic empire, and on the way to a museum, was found an opera-house as large in dimension and as excellent in appointment as will be found in any of the third-rate 224 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE cities of the United States. If you consider it in com- parison with the places of amusement of our frontier towns of twenty years ago, you will have only words of contrast to describe the two. Indeed, not a dozen New York playhouses surpass it. So it appeared that the Slav is enjoying himself in Siberia with plays and operas presented in a first-class theatre. We are not among barbarians, that is clear, nor even rude and uncultured people, if we are in the Czar's land of exile. And the museum! Here were skulls and skeletons of races inhabiting Siberia long before the time of Yer- mack. Here were iron stirrups, lances, and all the ac- coutrements of warfare of by-gone centuries. Here was a sample of the simple craft with which the aborigines navigated the rivers. And anthropology and ethnology had not alone occupied the attention of these local scien- tists. Fishes, animals, plants, samples of all the flora and fauna of this unfamiliar region of the earth were carefully arranged, attractively exhibited, and scientifically classi- fied. "That looks like a church, and not a Russian church," observed the stranger. "Why, a church it is, and not a Russian church either," said the citizen of Irkutsk. "Yonder is another, too." And very pleasant — even handsome, in a modest way — were these religious edifices. There are church build- ings, then, for several different denominations in Irkutsk, Siberia. Of course, as everywhere, the Russian Greek Orthodox Cathedral, magnificent, picturesque, imposing, dominates all else. But here was a visible exhibition of religious tolerance as surprising as it is pleasing to the Western traveller, who had been taught to look upon all the empire of the Czar's as dominions of oppressive religious intolerance. In short, in Irkutsk, as elsewhere in Russia, a man may worship God in his own way, or not worship Him at all, just as he pleases, provided only that he does not attempt to lead away members IS 225 THE RUSSIAN xlDVANCE of the Russian National Church, or, if he is a member, does not try to leave it himself. Protestants build their churches and hold their services as in America. Moham- medans do likewise, as in Turkey; and a mosque, built by the faithful followers of the prophet, lifts its assertive domes almost within sight of the city. "You will find the railway from Irkutsk to Stretensk without dinner or buffet, so you had better provide your- self here with food for at least two days' travel," said the friendly Russian of Irkutsk. (From Moscow to Ir- kutsk, but not beyond, there was, in 1901, well-furnished through trains with excellent buffet and dining cars, and sleeping-car accommodations quite equal to those found anywhere in Europe, or even America. But this service has since been extended over the Manchurian line to Dalni and Port Arthur on the Chinese waters.) So the stores of Irkutsk were visited. They are nu- merous, some of them large, all well provisioned. In a single store you can buy things to eat and things to wear : rubber coats and cloaks for the precarious journey on the Amur; canned cherries, peaches, raspberries — all manner of preserves — in short, anything which you can buy in a department store in the United States, and at prices about the same. Most of these goods are Russian; for be it remembered that it is the policy of the present adminis- tration of the Czar not only to preserve the lands of the empire for Russian subjects but their trade and com- merce as well. Russia proposes in time to become in- dependent of the world. She is in no hurry about it, as she is in no hurry about anything. Are not the centuries hers ? Why exploit everything in an hour and get through with life in a year? That is the Russian thought. There is something about the lethargic patience of the Russian which reminds you of the slow leisureliness of the processes of nature itself. Their very inertia has something in it ele- mental. There are two additional explanations for the prepon- 226 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE derance of Russian goods in Siberian stores west of Lake Baikal. One is that the distance is not so great from Moscow but that a Russian merchant may ship his goods at a profit even to Irkutsk. Also this portion of Siberia is so far from the Pacific, and until recently the methods of shipment were so crude and expensive that it did not pay to put American goods into this portion of Siberia by way of the Pacific, and, of course, not by rail through Russia itself. Even here, nevertheless, most of the mining ma- chinery and things of that kind are American made. "These Russians," said a young German electrical en- gineer establishing himself in Irkutsk, "are not to be feared in our lifetime, nor in that of our children, as com- mercial competitors, but I am full of fear of them for the distant future. I will not be here then, it is true, but Germany will still be here. I do not know whether it is because they are dull, or whether it is because they are far-sighted, but they are going about things in a way which, it appears to me, will make their power irresistible in the long course of time." Germans in Irkutsk! Certainly. A large German col- ony thrives in this capital of Russia in Asia. Indeed, the German is everywhere; likewise he prospers everywhere. His activity within the Russian dominions has been noted before and will be noted again. The German agricultural settlements in European Russia are conspicuous for their prosperity. In every city you will find large numbers of German merchants. It appears that at one time for- eigners were invited to establish industries in Russia, and to this call the enterprising, watchful German responded promptly and numerously. This is said to be the reason why the German language is so manifest within the Czar's dominions. Certain it is that if you speak German you may travel from St. Petersburg to Port Arthur without an interpreter. You will be sure to find on every train, in every city, and at every possible point of enterprise some one who can speak German. The young German above 227 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE quoted was returning to Irkutsk from Berlin, with his young German wife, and their residence in Irkutsk was to be permanent. He had already taken the business away from the English electrical engineer located at that point. It is a notable circumstance that German energy, intelli- gence, and industry is weaving a web of German influence all around the world. Let us now take Blagovestchensk, in Trans - Baikal Siberia. This remarkable town, thousands of miles from nowhere at all, midway and nearly two thousand miles from Irkutsk on the west, and almost the same dis- tance from Vladivostock on the east, standing on the banks of the Amur, with the inhospitable and, until recent- ly, hostile and menacing Manchurian frontier within rifle- shot across the river, is surprisingly beautiful, astonish- ingly progressive. Like every Russian town, its streets are American in breadth. In Blagovestchensk the houses bordering on these streets are almost, without exception, comfortable and attractive. Many of them are commodious; some are positively handsome. Almost everywhere these Rus- sians have made gardens and planted trees. The " horni- ness" of the residences strikes one with singular force when one remembers that this is not Europe, not Colorado, not Dakota, not even Siberia proper, but a far-off, segre- gated portion of the earth's surface, on the very edge of what was, until yesterday, Asia's dark and bloody ground. There are department stores here which are not sur- passed by any American city of one hundred and fifty thousand inhabitants. These stores are nothing less than magnificent in their proportions. In them you may buy any conceivable thing you may want, from towels to fire- arms, from mackintoshes to toys, from sugar to paint. And although Blagovestchensk is essentially a "mining town," the prices are about the same as in the United States and not so very much greater than m Russia 2'2r8 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE itself; indeed, not surprisingly higher than in Germany or England. Of course the greatest of these mercantile establish- ments is German, although a large Russian house al- most rivals its German competitor. The American com- mercial plant which thrived here for some years looked to be on the point of extinction. American threshing- machines, manufactured by a firm in Ohio, American ploughs, American agricultural implements of. all kinds were examined and priced in the German store. "Do you have sale for agricultural implements?" "Indeed we do, and the demand is growing. You observe yourself our present heavy stock. We have other consign- ments coming, and still we cannot supply the demand." "But I thought that this was a mining town?" was the inquiry. "So it is, or, rather, has been," replied the German merchant; "or, rather, it is the depot of the products of mines located hundreds of miles away from here. But the future of this country is in its agriculture and grazing, and this is daily becoming more apparent to us merchants. The country around here is settled for scores of miles. Also the farmers seem to thrive — at least they are able to buy and pay for these implements." "Why does not some capitalist start a factory here?" was asked. "They have already done so. A German firm has a considerable establishment not far from town." So the German factory of agricultural implements was visited. The plant was quite respectable and in process of enlargement. It turned out threshing-machines and various things of the sort. "I suppose you will soon monopolize this market," was asked of the manager. "Unfortunately, no," he answered. "Material is hard to get ; labor is high priced ; its efficiency is only a fraction of that of American labor in the same line." 229 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The heads of departments, the highly skilled artisans, were, to a man, German, but all the rest of the labor was Russian. And these laborers live very well indeed. As in Russia, so here, the company had built living quarters for the men and their families. But here in Blagovest- chensk the laborers' homes are not, as in European Russia, vast dormitories. They live in attractive little cottages, around which trees had lately been planted, and they have most of the accommodations and creature comforts which it is supposed the American laborer alone enjoys. Here in Blagovestchensk, too, are three or four flouring mills, and others are projected. They do not hold their own as yet with American flour, for American flour looks better, tastes better, is better than that produced in Blagovestchensk. Therefore, the people like it better, and the people buy it more readily. Given an equal footing, American products will compete successfully even with local enterprises in Siberia itself. Were it possible for America and Russia to enter into some commercial agreement by which American goods could have free access to Russia's markets, it is clear to the thoughtful observer that, almost to the exclusion of all the rest of the world, America and Russia combined would soon feed, clothe, and supply all the wants of the scores of millions who people the world's greatest empire. Irkutsk and Blagovestchensk are Siberia at their best. Now for Sibeiia at her worst. The curious American sauntered down a side street in Misovaia. Misovaia, you must know, is on the east shore of Lake Baikal, where the steamer lands you from the Siberian road on the west side to again take up the rail journey on the east side. " Don't go there!" came the panting voice of the watch- ful interpreter as, running and white-faced, he caught up with his employer. "Come back, I beg of you! You will get your throat slit or be mauled in the head or killed some other way if you wander recklessly about 230 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE this place." Purple evening was quickly falling, and the dark shadows, everywhere around the earth the partners of crime, were already enveloping the little town with indistinguishableness. "I see no danger, and everything looks peaceful enough," said the American. "But this is the worst place in Siberia. Last week two men were found garroted [strangled] and stripped of everything right on the streets. Since we arrived I have been told that there was a murder here yesterday. To- day a man was stabbed at noon right in the open streets. And you are unarmed and an American. If you wander around here at night nothing but a miracle can save your life." Such was the report of this little Russian town not half a day by rail from gay, prosperous, busy, civilized Irkutsk. And yet nothing more harmless than the ap- pearance of its inhabitants could be imagined. Kindly faced, sleepy-eyed moujiks, scores, hundreds of inoffensive peasant emigrants from Russia (for here, as everywhere, are emigrant headquarters), two or three dozen railroad working-men, all very busy with the jam of cars; station- master, telegraph-operator, and a few passengers — and yet this the abode of open assassination and skulking robbery. Everybody confirms the bad reputation of Misovaia. But the uninformed foreign observer could discern nothing that bore the appearance of disorder and crime. On the surface it looked no more dangerous than any American country village — not a hundredth part so formidable and forbidding as certain well-known streets of Chicago and New York. Hence one's inclination is to believe that the stories of Siberian cord and knife and bludgeon are seriously overstated. Move on now for three days' journey by rail to Stretensk. This town until two years ago was the actual terminus of the Siberian railway. It is practically midway be- tween Irkutsk on the west and Blagovestchensk on the 231 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE east. It is the head of "navigation " on the Shilka River. Here start the steamers that go down the Shilka River into the Amur, and down the Amur to Blagovestchensk, and then for many hundreds of miles to Khabaroff, the po- litical capital of Trans-Baikal Siberia. The railroad, with its delta of switches, ends on one side of the river, and on the hill above enormous emi- gration barracks, provision houses, store-rooms, etc., are visible. Stretensk itself is on the other side of the river. But let us waste no time with local geography. Stretensk is a typical Cossack settlement. By some early decree or other (and seek not to follow Russian decrees, you never can unravel them) this land and all the adjacent town belong to the Cossacks and their children. Its government is exclusively in the hands of the Cossacks, and is a military — Cossack — oligarchy. Neither the merchant, the banker, the trader — in short, nobody but the Cossack proprietor — has any voice in the administration of municipal affairs. Whether this or something else is the reason, the fact remains that Stretensk shows absolutely no progress. The houses are wooden and filthy. The yards are pig- sties, the streets unpaved, miserable stretches of desola- tion. A gray-haired woman lay in the mud on the bank of the river in a coma of vodka intoxication. The men are sturdy, broad - shouldered, thick - necked, and bull -headed ; the women are creatures of immense physical capacity. Children, pigs, and chickens throng each door- way. Yet Stretensk has not a particularly evil reputation for crime, but it is just the spot of which you would be prepared to believe any tale of horror told you. And, indeed, you are warned to stay in-doors at night, and occasionally rumors of assault and robbery float in the atmosphere. "Seek for the beautiful even amid squalor," says some writer. So even Stretensk has its oasis. Here is one of the branches of the many tentacled Russo - Chinese 232 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Bank. Connected with the bank itself is the home of the manager. The whole stands in a neat and (compared with the rest of Stretensk) not unattractive enclosure. In this home pleasing rooms are found. The notes of the piano, well played, sound strangely at night, among sur- roundings so intellectually dense that you can almost feel its oppressive influence. At the board presides the manager's wife, a Russian girl, Siberian born, and never nearer Europe than Irkutsk, and yet as well groomed and in costume as perfect as her sisters in St. Petersburg. She is Siberian educated, too. There is the grandmother also — you would take the quiet, dignified, white-haired Siberian mother for an American woman of similar condition — and the children, quiet, well bred, clean, modestly attired. The talk is of everything. The great world without, of course, first of all. Here is keen but reserved curiosity as to foreign thinking and doing. Yes, but here also is information of the world surprisingly accurate, when you consider that you are in Siberia's very heart of darkness. The manager of this bank, like every manager of every branch of this amazing financial institution of the Russian government, was found to be a man of real capacity, of independent views, of fearless expression, well posted on the world's development, and informed to the minutest particular on local trade and financial conditions. The banking-rooms themselves are in charge of the manager and two under-officers, both Russians, the other assist- ants being, as is universally the case, Chinese; for you must know that the Chinaman has an aptitude for sharp finance not equalled by any other money-changer in the world. Also your Chinaman is the world's most careful and persistent small merchant — and large merchant, too, for that matter, as you will soon learn if you take the pains to investigate into the heavier commercial operations of China. In short, the inhabitant of the Flowery King- dom, who is disgracefully negligent of government and of 233 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE all civil affairs, is the most industrious and careful toiler, the most ingenious and persistent merchant, and the most alert and advantageous dealer in money now on the face of the globe. "Oh yes," said a financial gentleman of Trans-Baikal Siberia, "we must have the Chinese in our counting- houses. Really, they are quite indispensable. We find them accurate and honest; but, mark you, their honesty is not a matter of morals. It is purely a matter of wisdom. With the Chinaman honesty is the best policy, and therefore he is honest. The moment he perceives that honesty is not the best policy he is dishonest." From this it appears that the Chinaman in Siberia, as in China and elsewhere in the world, has the scrupulousness of wisdom but not of righteousness. On the banks of the Amur you will find other Cos- sack settlements smaller but still similar to Stretensk. None, however, are so squalid as this Cossack town. Occasionally you may find a Cossack village which is really attractive. Usually there is but a single street stretching along the bluff. Sometimes the homes are neat. In every one of these Cossack villages are well- stocked stores; and whatever else a Russian or Sibe- rian store will deal in, you will find an abundance of two articles — perfumery, candy and sweetmeats, in their various forms. Time and again Russian officers were observed to buy great quantities of these sweets. At one place the entire stock of saccharine goods was purchased. "We Russians, from the youngest child to the eldest man, love sugar in its various forms," explained a general on his way to inspect the marksmanship of the troops around Vladivostock. "Oh yes," observed a noble tchnovnick, who was head- ing one of the innumerable Russian "commissions," "the Russian has a sweet tooth." Attention was called to the extraordinary stock of per- 234 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE fumes found at the stores in a Russian city where such articles were for sale. "Well," said the storekeeper, "you see, the Russian adores sweet odors. This passion for perfumes is not confined to our women either; it is common to men and women alike." Precisely the same explanation was made to a like in- quiry when a whole case of shelves was observed to be filled with various perfumes and a large, ornamental pile of the same kind of bottles was heaped upon the cases in the store at Irkutsk. And in a Cossack village, on the frontier borders of civilization itself, the same provision for this national taste was found. Few world-travellers will ever again take the journey by boat down the Shilka and Amur rivers. Most if not all of them will run right through from Moscow to Dalni or Port Arthur, for the line is finished now. But in all Siberia, in all Russia, no such opportunity offers itself to observe Russian character as on one of the hard trips down the Shilka and Amur, for a thousand miles or so, when the water is low, for both of these rivers are filled with sand-bars on which every few hours the boat is grounded. If the water is falling, no inducement can persuade the captain to proceed at nightfall, but at every sunset the vessel ties up to the shore until morning. Remember that every boat is as crowded with emi- grants as a box is with sardines, so much so that they sleep on the floor and the roof of the vessel, very much as sardines are arranged in their packages. It is an even chance that you will run into forest -fires. In summer the heat will melt you. If the fires are raging within a fev miles, the heavy, acrid smoke smarts the eye and irri- tates the nostril. On the boat are sure to be one or two Russian soldiers in uniform and from ten to a score of others in peasant's garb, on their way to join the al- ready vast military Russian host massing on the Pacific for the expected conflict with Japan. Every month or 235 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE two a party of generals, a "commission" of officials, perhaps even a highly educated and cultivated Russian lady will constitute a party, which gives to the best-read and most widely travelled foreigner all the mental society he can possibly digest. For days and weeks, sometimes even stretching into months, this monotonous progress continues. There are all the conditions of vexation. Frequently all the pas- sengers, except the high officials, are ordered to travel over some mountain, while the boat, thus lightened, at- tempts to glide over some particularly shallow stretches of riverway. Protests? Not one. Complaints? Not one. Grumblings? Not a murmur. Everything is laugh and jest and good -humor. Where a similar crowd of Americans or Englishmen would hold indignation meet- ings, these Russians accept the situation almost with gayety. Children may be bom on the journey ; nobody thinks of the discomfort caused by the new arrival. The little fellow is quite welcome. It is an occasion of rejoic- ing. Congratulations pour in upon the fortunate mother. " I should think you would object to this crowding and hardship," was remarked to a vigorous young fellow, al- ready the head of a considerable family. "Object? Why?" he answered. "It is all in a life- time. We are enjoying ourselves very well." At one place the peasants crowded about a little pile of stones above which rose a rough wooden cross. Here had died and was buried one of the peasant immigrants who preceded them. In the wilderness, thousands of miles from anybody or any place, reposed his bones. The peasants gathered reverently around the grave of their unknown fellow-journeyer to a far home. "Very sad, very pathetic, is it not?" remarked the in- terpreter, on a suggestion from his employer, to some of the peasants with whom he had been told to fraternize and with whom he had fraternized successfully. "Why, no," came the answer. "All is as God wills." 236 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE And thus again on the banks of the Amur spoke the fatalism of the Slav — his acceptance of the universal and the inevitable, his attribution to the great Father above, whom he worships with instinctive devotion, if not with intelligent understanding, of all that befalls the individual and the race. "God gave me three little mushrooms this morning," said a peasant woman in south Russia, as she sat milking her cow by the side of a pleasant stream. She had found three mushrooms, but "God gave me three little mush- rooms this morning," quoth she. " How many children have you?" was asked of the wife of a working-man in one of St. Petersburg's factories. " God has given me five," she answered. " And whether I am blessed with more is as God wills." "As God wills," "God gave," etc. In the capital of the Czar, in the peasant village of the country, on the emigrant boat on the Amur, around the grave of one of the swelling host of Slav emigration in the Siberian wilderness, everywhere and always this is the common speech and thought of the Russian people. The hardihood of the Russian man and woman has al- ready several times been noted. Here is another instance : On top of the broad, flat roof of the boat on the Amur you may see peasant women fast asleep in the blazing sun, without the slightest protection from its rays. They do not appear to notice it. Transport yourself now back to central Russia. Go again into the country districts. You will see women at work in the fields, as you will, indeed, all over Europe or, for that matter, in some places in our own country. But in Russia it is not uncommon to see a woman, weary with her labor, lie down and go fast asleep by the road-side. That it is a cloudless sky and a fiery day make no clifTercnce to her. And true as this is of the vv^omen, it is, of course, much truer of the men. It would seem that the Russian has such nerves that he can sleep anywhere or under any «37 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE conditions. On a passenger train from Tien-Tsin to Pekin, operated by military authority (tlie conduct of the railway having not yet been handed back after the Boxer troubles to its accustomed operators), were several officers of different nationahties. There was nothing for them to do. Nevertheless, all were alert, nervously alive, full of complaints — all but one. That one was a Russian colonel. He came in and, rolhng his coat into a pillow, stretched himself on a bench and was almost instantly in profound slumber. Perhaps he was trying to overhear the general conversation? Put a bridle upon your in- stinctive suspicion of the Russian; the colonel was doing nothing of the kind. He was merely sleeping the sleep of the Slav. And the sleep of the Slav is not the sleep of the just or the unjust, but the slumber of a thoroughly healthy physical organization with untroubled nerves. Every peasant home throughout all the Russias has one char- acteristic necessity — it is a great stove built of brick. Its top is flat and far broader than necessary for any pur- poses to which we put stoves in this country. But the Russian peasant family has a different use for it. They sleep on it in the bitter nights of the Russian and Siberian winter. At the same time every possible crack or crevice which will admit the outside air is carefully sealed. Yet in this vitiated atmosphere, where an American would find it hard to breathe, the Russian peasant, his wife, and children sleep refreshingly. No other lungs or nerves but those of a Russian could stand it. These instances will give you some idea of the physical vigor of these people and of their capacity to resist those influences which would be unbearable to an American. But it again calls to mind the fact that the unhygienic conditions prevailing throughout Russia and Siberia kill off all but the very hardiest of infants, and thus leave only the steel-wire constitutions surviving. Perhaps it is this weeding out of the naturally weak and decrepit 238 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE which has made and is making of the Russian people a nation of amazing physical vigor. But whatever the cause, the vitality and strength exist and is national. In trying to form an opinion of the quality of people which are being reared by Russia on the Siberian plains, the criminal or exile element has been overestimated. Conceding the truth of the worst pictures drawn of this unhappy phase of this new empire of the Czar (and the picture has been painted to us in blacker colors than all the facts justify), still the exile element will be literally submerged by the peasant inundation now pouring over Siberia. Indeed, it has been overwhelmed even now, and exiles to Siberia are, numerically speaking, a com- paratively small portion of the people of this new land. Nor are the conditions of the prisoners who are ex- pelled from Russia so bad as one expects to find them. For example, the student who deliberately murdered the Minister of Public Instruction in St. Petersburg about three years ago was found on one of the prison-boats of the Amur. These prison-boats are, doubtless, very un- comfortable, but they are by no means impossible ; at least it must have so appeared to the prisoners themselves, for behind their bars they were laughing and joking in quite a good-natured way. The student murderer of one of the Czar's ministers seemed to be in particularly high spirits. " I expect to be out in a year or, at the most, two years," said he. If you are astonished at finding a murderer and a slayer of one of the highest officials of the empire in a prison- boat instead of on a gallows, you are brought startlingly face to face with a fact peculiar to Russian jurisprudence (a fact all of us might well have known had we taken time to read, but which hardly any of us do know), and that fact is that there is no capital punishment in Russia. At least, this is so generally true that it may be stated to be universal. 239 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE If the condition of the exiles on prison -boats is fairly good, so much cannot be said for the prisoners in the prison- cars which the railway transjjorts. The condition of the prisoners in these cars would be very hard, indeed, f(jr an American. But that does not mean that they are hard for a Russian, for, as has been pointed out, the Russian can endure in every condition of life thinj^s which to the American would be unbearable. So it is not n(;rcss,'i.ry to say more of the prison-cars observed on the Siberian line tlian that they would be thought in America to be very bad, although from a casual inspection of the jjrisoners being transported in them they do not appear to be highly objectionable to their Russian inmates. It must be stated, however, that no careful examination of this subject was made, but the comparison by Professor Wright, in his two admirable and scientific volumes, Asiatic Rtissid, of conditions in Russian prisons with the ntjjorts of i^rison officers in the United States of the cfjndition (;f prisons here, shows that, relatively speaking, American prison conditions and Russian jjrison conditions are not so widely different after all. And uj)on such slight <'iiid surface observations as the writer made this view ap- peared to be confirmed. Furthermore, it must be remembered that not all of the exiles to Siberia are sent there by the Russian govern- ment on its own initiative. Many — inde(;r], the majority — are expelled by their own villages in Russia. It is a sort of "rogue elephant" process by which the peasant communities ejec;t their bad and imijossible members. Furthermore, when the ban of banishment is over ,'uid the exile returns to his home, his village has the riglit to say whether it will receive him again or not, and this is true whether he has been sent to Siberia under a judgment of the court or by direct order of the Czar or by the village community itself. If upon his return his village community refuses to re- ceive him again, that fact settles that man's case with 240 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the govemnuMit, whicli. without further investigation, im- mediately orders his return to Siberia. In this way large numbers of exiles are sent to Siberia by what is called the "administrative process" — that is, by direct order of the government, and yet without the goveniment having anything more to do with it than to ratify the decision of the comnmne to which the exile belongs. But even taking all this into account, the total exile element, both past and present, is inconsiderable among the in- creasing millions of the sturdier and more upright men and woiiien who are voluntarily going to Siberia to erect homes, cultivate fields, rear children, plant communities, and build empires. t6 XVII THE RED DAY OF BLAGOVESTCHENSK NOW for the crowning "infamy" of recent Russian history in the Far East. You will know at once that the massacre of the Chinese at Blagovestchensk in 1900 is referred to. The writer sifted this "crime" from every point of view and by means of every source of in- formation he was able to approach. The accounts were received of attorneys from the courts, hands in factories, clerks in banks and mercantile houses, who formed part of the volunteer company of citizens quickly organized, just as citizens would organize here in Ameiica under like circumstances. A Russian colonel of almost Anglo-Saxon independence and enterprise gave his account of the event. A Cossack officer told all he had seen. A voluminous re- cital was listened to from a well - informed lawyer. In Blagovestchensk pamphlets had been written on this cir- cumstance which "shocked civilization," for you must know that this event is quite the most important and dramatic in the history of this thriving and modern commercial Siberian city. There were many differences of detail, but all accounts agreed upon the main facts. And here they are: The town of Blagovestchensk is unprotected by forti- fications. While there are considerable barracks there, there was at the time of the outbreak but five hundred Russian soldiers stationed near the city. Within the city itself were several thousand Chinese. Immediately across the river was Chinese territory — Manchuria. A Chinese town stood directly over the river from Blago- 242 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE vestchensk. So much for locations. Now for the event. First of all, Russian boats were fired on from the Chinese shores when approaching the Russian town from the east- Before this, for days, rumors of Chinese uprising, some- how or other, were in the air. The Chinese in Blagovest- chensk were observed to neglect their work and gather in groups. As the days passed they were seen to be laboring under some unexplained excitement. Then threats and hootings came from the Chinese side. The business community of Blagovestchensk began to be seized with vague fears. The great Boxer disturbance, in- volving many millions of the yellow men, had been pre- paring for months and was on the verge of being ignited. These Russians in Blagovestchensk were right up against the fuse of this awful Oriental bomb, whose explosion, when it came, reverberated around the world. That psychic intelligence which somehow conveys the purpose of a great mass of human beings to other imperilled hu- man beings fairly saturated this community, comparative- ly trivial in numbers. Then came the firing of artillery from the Chinese town across the river directly into Blagovestchensk. About this there is absolute agree- ment on all hands. This was accompanied by the firing of musketry and with it wild demonstrations on the Chinese side. Then with the culmination of the fears of the people of Blagovestchensk came, almost simultaneously, reports that Chinese had landed both below and above the town. The fears of the Russian business-men and working-men, and all the citizens of Blagovestchensk, rose to a panic. What to do was the question. Their homes, their wives, their children— how could they be saved? Was another Chinese butchery such as had more than once before horrified the world to again occur in this unprotected spot, with thousands of unprotected citizens and their families as the victims? And these fears were far more to those 243 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE who lived shoulder to shoulder and face to face and breath to breath with the danger than they appear to us be- tween whom and the terror an ocean rolled. " Intelligence," which may have been only a rumor, was received that the Chinese governor had marched large bodies of troops to the frontier immediately opposite the Russian town. If the Chinese in Blagovestchensk com- bined with those on the opposite shore, and a juncture was made with the Chinese forces reported to have been landed on the Russian side, the destruction of the little Russian city appeared to its citizens to be inevitable. At least that is the way they reasoned. Immediately everybody flew to arms. The shops were closed, business suspended. Merchants, bankers, clerks, artisans formed a military company. Any kind of weapon that would shoot any kind of a ball was utilized. The Chinese in the city itself were driven by the few Cossacks down to the river's edge below the town and forced into the river. Three or four thousand of them perished. For weeks the bombardment of Blagovestchensk from the Chinese city continued. You may now see the bul- let-marks made in the walls of the home of the local governor. Many houses of Blagovestchensk still show these signs of actual peril. Finally reinforcements ar- rived, the Russians crossed the river, and literally wiped the Chinese town off the face of the earth. You may visit its site now, but you will see nothing but waving grass and here and there the demolished remains of the crum- bling wall of a house. Such, stripped of its many varia- tions, is the story of the great "massacre" of the Chinese by the Russians of Blagovestchensk in 1900 which made the world "shudder." Highly colored anti-Russian ac- counts of this atrocity were published broadcast among mankind; but the narrative as here given is as nearly accurate as anybody can get it. Not only Russian sources of information but sources distinctly anti - Russian were availed of, and cross-examination in the form of peasant 244 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE conversation in every instance confirmed in large sub- stance the above general description. And none but eye- witnesses were interviewed. So much space has been given to this incident because of the tremendous publicity given to it and the distortion of all of its features, and because, too, it is a very fair illus- tration of the manner in which any incident of Russian advance is painted to the American and European world. When we hear of Russian outrages we must always bear in mind that while it may well be that all of their bloody details are entirely true, yet the chances are that the for- bidding aspects of each affair are magnified. There are plenty of things for which the Russians as individuals and as a nation may be criticised without stretching the truth about them. The plain facts, as far as they can be obtained, are always best. Misrepresenta- tion, no matter what may be its momentary effect, is sure to be exposed by that great revealer of all things, events, and therefore is sure to react in favor of its victim. In this connection it is useful to know that the Boxer uprising had its first physical manifestation in Manchuria. As has been detailed in another chapter, the Russians had secured a concession to build the Manchurian rail- way. Work had begun, the whole survey had been made, much grading had been done, many scores, perhaps hundreds, of miles of rail had been laid. Immediately before the Chinese attack on Blagovestchensk signs of an uprising became unmistakable throughout all Man- churia. Finally the uprising occurred, beginning at Blagovestchensk; but it was almost simultaneous every- where throughout the provinces which make up Man- churia. The railroad was destroyed, homes and buildings were demolished by the infuriated and fanatical Boxers, and horrible outrages were committed upon every Russian who fell into the yellow fanatics' hands. Whatever may be said of the cruelty of the five hundred Cossacks who 245 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE drove three or four thousand Chinamen into the river at Blagovestchensk, the other side must be stated, that everywhere throughout Manchuiia the Russian railway laborers, officers and troops guarding them, retired in good order, protecting and bringing with them, at their own imminent peril, considerable numbers of Chinese converts whom the Russians refused to abandon to the mercy of the military mobs of their fellow-country- men. Indeed, it is worth repeating that not a Christian China- man in Manchuria whose life it was possble to save was deserted by their fellow-Christians the Russians. That certain Chinese high officials participated in this anti-foreign outbreak the whole world is, of course, now thoroughly informed. The Boxer uprising is the origin of the military occupation of Manchuria by the Russians, which continues to this day and probably will continue until both China and the world concede that Manchuria is Russian territory. From this military occupation, whose purpose was to restore order and to begin again the work of building the railroad, followed the necessity of extermi- nating the robber bands, the story of which has already been told in earlier chapters. The sale of ploughs, reapers, and threshers at Blagovest- chensk and other Siberian towns means two things of im- portance. The first is that the Russian farmer in Siberia is emancipating himself from the old methods of agricult- ure, which has been and is such a drawback to Russian farming on the one hand ; and on the other hand, that he is little by little breaking away from the system of farm- ing in common which immemorially has prevailed among the Slavs. This last emancipation, however, is very, very slow — hardly perceptible, indeed — and may not continue. It must be here again repeated that in Russia, and even in Siberia, the land heretofore has been held by a com- munity in common, each head of a house having so much soil apportioned to his family as his share; and so im- 246 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE portant is this fact that attention will be called to it many times hereafter. Accompanying this system of agriculture is crudity of method, ancient and necessarily inferior implements, and rapid exhaustion of soil. In Siberia, with its vast extent of land and its paucity of population, natural conditions are beginning to change this, and so there is more room for the American plough, reaper, thresher, cultivator. How far this process will continue when Siberia shall be- come more thickly populated is a subject for speculation, and therefore each reader may form his own conclusions. Of course, the modern ploughs, reapers, and threshers are used, and increasingly, by the Russian agricultural com- mune as such, the only difference being that the machines are bought by the community and used and owned in common. From Blagovestchensk to Khabaroff is, by river, an interesting journey of many hundreds of miles. Khabaroff itself is of no commercial importance; it is the political and military capital of Trans-Baikal Siberia. Here are immense barracks for troops who are stationed at this point in large numbers at all times. Here is the head- quarters of Governor - General Grodekoff, in 1901 the autocrat of Pacific Russia. As a description of this remarkable man has been given elsewhere, and as he alone is worthy of note in Khabaroff, excepting only the immense numbers of Russian troops there, let us rather give a paragraph to the much-talked-of Ussuri littoral. For many miles north of Vladivostock this extensive strip of coast territory is the Russian granary of the Far East. In comparison with Siberia it appears to be well settled. My observation was that the Russian peasant is here fairly prosperous and well content. A curious phenomenon has occurred in this region. On the advent of the Russian it was occupied by Chinese agriculturists. These were driven out, not by force, but as an inferior 247 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE race naturally disappears before a superior people. And yet within the last few years the Chinese farmer has been reinvading the Ussuri littoral — very humbly, mod- estly, inconspicuously, it is true. He takes up a small piece of ground, cultivates it with the intensive method prevailing in China, and is successfully content and well-to-do so far as could be observed or learned. He is unmolested and happy under the equal protection which the government extends to him as well as the Russian settler; and this, too, notwithstanding the well- grounded fear that he will in turn, by his thrift and more intelligent industry, oust the Russian farmer. How- ever, he is there in such very small numbers at present, and so unobtrusively, that perhaps that peculiar Russian lethargy v/hich encases Russian apprehension has not yet been broken. Nikolsk, not far to the north of Vladivostock, is the centre of this notable grain district. Here was found Tugovitch, chief engineer of the Manchurian railway, the illuminating conversation with whom has already been recited. The description of this town, by even fair- minded Englishmen in serious publications, is hardly judicial. Its temporary character, its straggling nature, etc., are extensively dwelt upon. It is forgotten that this is decidedly a frontier community. Just opinion can be obtained only, by comparison with a like place in America under like conditions. Such comparisons will reveal the fact that the development is about the same. Here again, as has been noted, American agricultural implements v/ere found on sale, and the merchants said that the demand was steadily increasing. Did not the Irkutsk merchant say that a circus would be found some place in Siberia? Well, why not in Nikolsk? The stranger within the walls was "put up" at the home and store of some vigorous young German mer- chants. The chief of the establishments was absent early in the evening. Where was he? 248 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "Why, at the circus, I think." "Circus! Have you a circus here m Nikolsk?" "Why , certainly, about a block down, across the street." A stroll in that direction revealed the great white tents for horses and all the other familiar sights connected with this itinerant and encamped form of amusement seen in our owm country. The acrobats were the same, the horses the same, everything the same. But for the foreign speech you might well have imagined yourself in the suburb of one of our American cities on a summer night when "the circus comes to town." But the ordinary traveller never stops at Nikolsk. The man who is going to write a book stops here ; but even he, so far as observed, never penetrates the secrets of this really remarkable place. Go some distance out of town in a certain direction and mighty buildings come upon your view. They are the barracks already described, capable of quartering thousands of soldiers. Go farther and you come into a delightful little town, all to itself, hidden, until you are within its gates, by some ancient Chinese mud wall not yet demolished. This is the mili- tary settlement, the homes of the officers and their families, and in the centre the residence of the commander of the post. Personal observation of some of our military "forts" and "outposts" on the plains, some twenty years ago, compels the statement that these Russian officers in Nikolsk are far more comfortably housed and cared for than our American officers under like circum- stances were in the early eighties. And now for Vladivostock. We are used to think of it as a barren, ice-bound Russian military post; but in summer time, at least, it is a place of surpassing love- liness. The Russians claim (and the careful observer who critically visits all its surroundings is compelled to admit the probability of the claim) that from a naval and military point of view it is the most impregnable spot on the shores of any sea. It is the naval head- 249 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE quarters of the Asiatic fleet. Until now it has been Russia's single outlet on the Pacific, and, conversely, the one entrepot from the ocean to Russia from the east. The Russo-Chinese Bank has here a very handsome estab- lishment; and the manager in charge of this bank in 1901 was a person of conspicuous keenness, highly equipped for his work. Large stores are present in numbers, which suggests a much heavier purchasing population than exists in the city or in the surrounding country. The streets are well paved, the docks are well built, and the dry-dock at Vladivostock is one of the largest and finest in the world. Rising swiftly from the water's edge, the view from a war-ship in the bay is one of gratifying loveliness. "Will you not go to the opera?" was the courteous invitation of a Vladivostock gentleman. And the opera! It was midsummer, and yet here in Vladivostock, the city of snows, a very competent company were presenting a light opera of the same character that you will see in Berlin, Moscow, or Chicago. In no respect was the opera-house different in interior arrangements from the common type seen in America. Only the auditors were different, for everywhere were the white coats of Russian officials. In a stage box sat the uniformed Governor, heartily applauding. He is a Cossack whose liberal ideas and advanced methods surprise an American. His distinction of manner, the genuine kindliness of his nature, his sincere courtesy, and, above all, his accom- plished tactfulness, render him particularly useful to the government as the first high Russian representative whom foreigners meet on entering the empire from the west, and the last high Russian representative he leaves on departing from the empire towards the east; for he "makes a good impression," and that is a thing not to be despised. He is heartily, openly, aggressively Amer- ican. Heartily American, yes ; but more heartily Russian, of course. And be it noted that every Russian, gentle- 250 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE man or soldier, noble, peasant, or merchant, officer or civilian, is Russian, and again Russian, and always Russian. They have no foreign sympathies; but, keeping this in mind, their heart friendship is universally Amer- ican. It is never English. It is distinctly anti-English. "Why are no English sympathizers ever found among the educated classes of Russia?" was asked of a gentle- man of a certain non-Russian nationality, who himself had a score of years of familiarity with all classes in the empire, and who was decidedly "against the govern- ment." "Why, it is plain enough," said he. "The English have been Russia's enemies for centuries. Everywhere it has been England who has blocked Russians in the Far East. And her Far Eastern progress Russia deems an inevitable movement and her divine right. Then, again, the Rus- sians claim that the English have persistently misrepre- sented them. The Russian attributes to the English the bad opinion which the world holds of him. I myself am a great admirer of the British Empire. Undoubtedly it is the greatest government in the world. Also, you know that I do not have any too much sympathy with the Russians ; but I must admit that the grievance of the Russians against England is justified. I have seen reports in English newspapers of terrible things that occurred in Russia at a time and place where I myself happened to be present. And these reports were just pure imagina- tion. Of course," he continued, "the truth is bad enough, but the English seem to consider it a religious duty to prej- udice the world against Russia by the same kind of stories with which peasant women frighten their children when they do not want them to go out of the house." This expression is given neither as an endorsement nor denial of its statement. It was the frank comment of a credible man of substance and probity, and is given for what it is worth. Neither is the Russian friendly at heart to the German. 251 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The reason is clear enough. Germany is the greatest mili- tary organization in the world, and night and day menaces Russia's western frontier. The possibihty of war with Germany is constantly before both the Russian military authorities and the German cabinet. It is not forgotten, in saying this, that their interests in the Far East at the present time are identical ; and if war should be declared between Russia and Japan, that Germany would be de- cidedly friendly to Russia. But Russia and Germany have so long looked upon conflict of interests as possible, and even probable, that deep and sincere friendship does not exist, notwithstanding their present unity of policy in China, America and Russia, on the contrary, have always been friendly. The American people are a young people, and the Russian regards himself as quite as young a man as the American. The American has "go-ahead" in his make-up. The American "gets things done." That is what the Russian admires, and he likes to think that he is doing the same thing. So there is a natural friendship on the part of Russians for Americans. Such is the Russian view. "Oh, you Americans are greatly beloved by the Rus- sians!" said a young English officer in Pekin. "That is, you are greatly beloved at present. But there is no real brotherhood between you, and cannot be. Language and race divide you, whereas language and race unite the English and the Americans. Who was the American naval officer that said, 'Blood is thicker than water'? However, Russia's present kindly feeling for you is good for the next fifty years, anyhow; and I do not much blame you for taking national advantage of it." "What is that building?" was asked of the Russian ad- miral standing on the deck of a flag-ship of the Russian Asiatic fleet stationed at Vladivostock. "That is our University of Oriental Languages." So the "university" was visited. It was closed at that 252 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE particular period of the year, but it was by far the most important item of interest in Vladivostock. It is a large structure of brick, just such as you will see in the principal buildings of any of the State universities of our various American commonwealths. It was founded by Grode- koff . Here the Russian and Siberian youth intended for consular, diplomatic, or even commercial pursuits are instructed in Oriental languages; and, as has been noted, such is the Russian facility of acquiring foreign tongues that the "university" has apt students. Comment has been made of the strange circumstance of Russian common soldiers carrying on intelligible speech v/ith Chinese or other natives in less than a month from the time of their arrival. Pokotiloff , general manager of the Russo-Chinese Bank in Asia, and the right hand of Witte in the Far East, speaks English, French, German, Chinese, Buriat, and all the various dialects of north- central Asia. He speaks them, too, with the facility of the native himself. The writer can testify that his Eng- lish is as good as can be found in New York or Boston — not an accent, not the mispronunciation or the slurring of a single letter. All of this he has learned without in- structors. He "picked it up," as the saying is. This il- lustration might be extended for a whole page of instances. Enough has been said to show that within a decade Rus- sia will have in the Far East men as familiar with the languages of the peoples with whom she deals, and as care- fully instructed in Asiatic politics and intrigue, as they are profoundly loyal to the central government of the Czar. XVIII RUSSIAN CAPITAL AND LABOR SO it seems that Siberia is not all prison, Manchuria not all slaughter. Constructive industry appears to be a conspicuous method of Russian activity in the latest fields of Slav occupation. Agricultural productiveness the processes of commerce, and even some of the politer elements of civilization appear to be predominant in what the world has understood to be Russia's Botany Bay. With all her forts and fleets, with all her soldiers, barracks, bayonets, it is the agriculturist, the artisan, the mer- chant, and the banker who already seem to be the principal agencies of Russia's energy in her continental advance on the Pacific. These various manifestations of labor and capital, so noticeable where you had expected to find nothing but the movement of troops and the various forms of military occupation, suggest that, now that we are to go back to our starting-point of Russia in Europe, the industrial features of this at once old and young people are fuller of meaning and interest for us than Russian govern- ment or Russian art, Russian monuments or Russian history, Russian administrative efficiency or the reverse. The Russian capitalist and what he is doing is of more concern to us than the spendthrift noble. The Russian peasant, his condition and progress, his home and his habits, mean more to us than the lives of men and women in the brilliant society of St. Petersburg. Let us, then, take up modern industrialism in Russia proper. Let us consider her manufacturing progress, 254 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the condition of the working - men and women of the empire, and in general the economic forces in Russia her- self, whose operations we have noted for many thousands of miles eastward along the whole extent of the Asiatic shores of the Pacific. Within the last twenty years Russian industrial enter- prise has rapidly progressed. Within the last four years its growth has been so marked that the calm observer cannot but regard it as forced, and therefore unhealth- ful. Indeed, some years ago Finance Minister Witte frankly and openly stated that industrial progress in Russia was too quick and sudden to be sound; and the serious depression which followed soon after demon- strated the correctness of his view. But, the panic past, industrial development in Russia is again proceeding with celerity. Factories have sprung up all over the empire. Foreign capital has invested in industrial establishments generously, almost wildly. Some years ago a peculiar financial enthusiasm seemed to seize upon European capital for Russian manufactur- ing exploitation. Everybody said to everybody else that here was a great empire requiring clothing, machinery, food, and compelled largely to import all but the latter. Surely, it was reasoned, here was virgin soil for profitable manufacturing plants of almost every kind. Then, again, the present policy of Russian protection was adopted, which is as complete and high-walled as that of the United States. And when a tariff fortification is built around one hundred and forty millions of people it seemed to the European investor only reasonable that the manufacturer who was inside of it must necessarily reap rich rewards. And so many of them have. Especially the Russian capitalists who have built factories have profited heavily. Many of the foreign enterprises, also, have realized the dreams of their promoters. On the contrary, within the last five years, a large number of the establishments built by foreign capital have proven unprofitable, and, indeed, 255 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE many of them have been forced into liquidation. The reasons for these conflicting industrial phenomena are too complex to admit of their intelligent analysis within the limits of a single chapter, or indeed a single volume. The unfamiliarity of foreign manufacturers with Russian labor was undoubtedly one cause. Another was their failure to take into account the large number of holi- days, which in Russia are an institution, and which, up to the present time, have been increasing. Still an- other was the foreign operator's ignorance of the methods of Russian administration. Again, they failed to under- stand how to get their goods properly on the market. Very largely also, while the market is practically in- exhaustible if gradually invaded, it is nevertheless a market which must be cultivated; so that there was the economic contradiction of a great potential market un- supplied and an actual and realized market glutted and congested. Later on some account of the growth and profitableness of various Russian industries will be given, but meanwhile let us observe the instrument of all this industry, the Russian laborer, as he is to-day. Lodz, in Poland, is the chief centre of cotton industry, though Moscow itself is a very formidable competitor. In less than twenty years the Polish cotton centre has grov/n from a town of fifteen thousand people to a city of over four hundred thousand souls. Tula, near which is the country -home of Tolstoi, is the place where government arms are made, and perhaps the most notable seat of steel and iron manufacture of small articles in the empire. Ekaterinoslav and Usofka, in southern Russia, are steel- producing centres, although important rolling-mills are in operation in St. Petersburg and Moscow. Just beyond the border of Russia proper, and over the line in Siberia, are splendid deposits of ore and coal, and there, too, material for coke abounds in unlimited profusion. Here, indeed, is the natural seat of the steel industry of the empire. But at the present time antiquated methods are em- 256 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ployed, and the Siberian steel industry is so inconsiderable as not to be taken into account; and yet, in the Urals alone, impartial engineers have demonstrated that there is enough iron ore to supply the wants of the whole world for decades, and of Russia alone for centuries. As the scientist examines specimens of a class, and not every individual of the entire class, it will be most prof- itable to the reader to observe laboring conditions in two or three of these greatest centres. "Our chief difficulty," said the head of a large English steel mill in one of these places, "is a curious and almost absurd circumstance. The number of Russian holidays, including Sundays, on which the working-men actually quit v/ork, now number well towards one hundred. You see, then, that we are deprived of labor on those days. On those days, too, a majority of our men get drunk. Therefore, on the day immediately succeeding the holiday they either do not return to work, or, if they do, they are good for nothing. Thus we are actually without labor on the holiday itself, and short-handed and poorly equipped on the day succeeding. It is a difficulty with which no other country has to contend, and cripples us severely." Add to this the comparatively low efficiency of the Rus- sian working-man, who has not yet become skilled nor methodical in the American or western European sense of that term, and it is easy to see that in industry Russia could not hold her own at all, except by an almost pro- hibitive protective tariff. Should Russia abolish her tariff barriers, it is the judgment of the most thoughtful business-men of the empire that there is not a factory which could survive that catastrophe for five years. And yet there is a party in Russia which bitterly resents these practical methods of modem industrialism. At the head of these is Tolstoi. "These chimneys irritate me," said the great challenger of modem civilization. The iron mills to which Tolstoi refers, in his renowned article 17 257 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE in the North American Review of April, 1 90 1 , are directly on the road from Tula to his country estate. This class, how- ever, are pure idealists. They are not against the spread of factories in Russia any more than they are against the same development ("decadence " they call it) any place in the world ; and yet they number among them sev- eral of the highest - class nobility, and a few of the literary and scientific men ; but, taken all in all, they have no appreciable effect on Russian thought and pur- pose. Of course, to these must be added those business-men who are importers, and generally the great traders with foreign countries. This is the same class of men and firms engaged in similar enterprises found in our own country, and they use the same arguments. Then, of course, there are the landed proprietors engaged in agricultural pursuits, who think they have to pay more for what they buy than they would if there were no tariff- protected factories, and who have not yet learned that these home factories give them better home markets; and these "agrarians" also resent the rising walls and the clouded smoke-stacks of the encroaching and, to them, oppressive mills. Their reasons, too, are exactly those which formerly were used in the United States by those who opposed protection upon the ground that it made the farmer pay more for what he had to buy. Nevertheless, all of them put together are not influen- tial. Strong men of the empire, at whose head stands Witte, have convinced the Czar, as they did his father be- fore him,that,to use the language of Pobyedonostseff, else- where quoted, " Russia is a world" of itself; that it must, in the long run, become self-supporting; that its industries must be variegated and multiplied ; that it must manufact- ure what it wears and uses, as well as raise what it eats. And so protection may, for many decades to come, be re- gar 'ed as the settled economic policy of all the Russias. Therefore, factories will multiply and enlarge, and the 258 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE evolution of the Russian peasant into the modern work- ing-man will continue. And yet the other manufacturing nations have little to fear from Russia as a competitor in the markets of the world outside of Russia itself for certainly a generation or perhaps even a century. Industrially, Russia has only begun the process of "finding herself"; and it will be decades before the process is completed. Her labor is unskilled and inefficient, and in comparison with Amer- ican labor greatly inferior. On the other hand, her population is so immense that her factories cannot supply her own wants. And the wants of her people are in- creasing more rapidly than the number of the establish- ments with which her capitalists and foreign investors try to supply them. "Let me illustrate this by a very simple fact," said a cotton manufacturer of Moscow. "The masses of Russia wear comparatively little underclothing. If they could be made to adopt the practice of wearing more under- garments, the demand for our cheap fabrics would increase manyfold. Now that practice is beginning. Its effect on the trade is as yet hardly appreciable, and still the most careful of us have noted it." This is a very simple and yet a very important fact. Its truth was inquired of from the English manager of a great Russian estate of some hundred thousand acres, who had spent thirty years in the empire. "Oh yes," said he, quite off-hand, "certainly, that is true." But the Russian peasants are beginning to go to the great manufacturing cities, especially during the winter, to work in the mills. For the first time in their lives they see the great stores of Moscow, St. Petersburg, Warsaw. For the first time they learn that different food is eaten, different apparel worn by those in the cities. They return to their communes (their villages are communes) in the spring and summer with strange tales. Peasant women 259 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE do the like, and they go home with their feminine heads filled with new ideas of dress and adornment. And so, slow- ly, very slowly, weaving backward and forward among the people, moves the shuttle of changing methods of dress and Hving. All of it has its effect upon the manufacturing industries of the empire; and, what is far more important, all of it has its effect upon the ideas of the people. Some seventy-five miles south of Moscow there is a certain little peasant village. You may travel Russia from the Arctic to the Caspian and not find a better illustration of the slow evolution of peasant life that is going on in this empire than in this little village, many miles from any railroad; for here is the peasant's cottage, as it used to be, a mere hut, thatched with grass, with earthen floor, and horses, pigs, and cows occupying the tiny court or yard attached to it. Here, too, are modern homes of the typical Russian agricultural peasant, built perhaps ten or fifteen years ago. In these an improve- ment is noted. There is still the earthen floor, but there is also a sort of tidiness not observed in the older dwellings. Then there are later cottages,very well built and covered with a kind of tin or sheet-iron roofing. But, now, to connect all this with the village peasant who goes to Moscow. Here is a cottage the little yard of which has trees and vines. It is painted, too, and inside you will find wooden floors. On the walls hang pictures — prints, it is true, but attractive copies of good paintings- In short, this dwelling has begun to take on the appear- ance of what is expected in an American working-man's home. There is not everything in the abode of this Rus- sian laborer that is found in the home of his Ameri- can working brother, for we must not forget that the American working-man, in comparison with the foreign working-man, lives in luxury. But there are the begin- nings. And, when it is remembered that Russian in- dustrial progress commenced at a period still within the memory of young men, these items are significant and 360 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE important. This cxDttage is the home of a working-man in a Moscow cotton-mill. "What are your wages?" was asked of a skilled ar- tisan, who operated one of the printing machines by which flowers and other figures were stamped upon calico in one of the most extensive of Russia's textile factories. " One hundred and fifty rubles a month," said he. That is seventy-five dollars of American money ; and very heavy wages, indeed, in Russia — quite as heavy, I believe, as is paid in England or Germany. This expert was a French- man, as was the active manager of manufacturing of the whole plant. This latter man received three hundred rubles, or one hundred and fifty dollars, per month. On the contrary, a Russian common working-man in the same factory received only eighteen rubles per month. This is nine dollars of our money. Women and girls engaged at the machines get less than this. But, low as these wages appear, yet in comparison with the same American labor these common working men and women of Russia may truthfully be said to be overpaid. If their wages are less than the wages of American working-men, their work- ing ability is still smaller. One cannot believe, either, that the Russian working man or woman will, for a long time, be as efficient as the American working man or woman. Their slowness is racial. But, on the other hand, they display a patience which, perhaps, may counteract their stolidity. This factory, like many Russian factories, in addition to paying its working-people the wages described, furnish- ed them shelter and food. The working men and women live in enormous brick buildings or dormitories, built for them by the company they work for. The rooms are moderate in size, and in each room there are from three to five sleeping -booths, divided from one another by curtains. These are for the working - people who are married, and a man and wife occupy each of these rude, limited, and uncomfortable apartments. The unmar- 261 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ried men and women occupy different portions of the building, and their quarters are not so inviting even as the hard and unattractive surroundings just described for the married people. And yet, in comparison with the crowded squalor of the hut or cottage of the Russian village in which these people were brought up, and in which they have lived until recent times, when the im- provements just noted in the description of the peasant village began, these factory quarters are an improve- ment. The food is simple, but substantial and abundant. Back of the dormitories are heavy, well-built log struct- ures, in the cellar of which ice is kept for these working- people, and in the body of which their various belongings and things which they themselves buy are stored and cared for. "Of course, you are not troubled in this country with damage lawsuits by injured working-men, which is the common thing in America," was observed to the general superintendent of this cotton plant, ' ' Yes, indeed, we are. We have no means of indemnify- ing ourselves as your manufacturers have. The gov- ernment interferes even in our contracts; and when it comes to personal injuries, if a man gets his finger hurt a government inspector of labor makes us pay the injured person a certain amount, and if we do not do so, files suit against us in the name of the jjerson supposed to be injured, whether that person desires it or not." While this statement was, perhaps, exaggerated, there was in it a general and substantial truth. Every factory in Russia has its labor inspector, whose business it is to care for the work-people of that establishment, and to exact as much as possible from their employers. And he does that with the alertness which the agent of a pa- ternal government always shows to people who, he feels in his heart, think themselves quite above him in every other respect, and also with that vigor which the non- 262 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE rich, armed with official authority, usually display towards men of capital within their power. This single factory had to pay considerable money in 1900 because of acci- dents which even the government inspector himself ad- mitted were caused by the negligence of the persons injured. Several manufacturers stated that the law of contributory negligence was unknown in Russia, and that such a thing as attempting to escape liability for in- jury caused by a fellow-servant was unheard of. These statements were not verified, but are given simply as information culled from several different sources, and from apparently reputable people. The world-wide conflict between labor and capital, in the form we Americans know it, has not yet appeared in Russia, nor will it appear as long as the present form of Russian government endures. Before the "labor ques- tion," as that enigma of the ages is understood in England and America, will appear in Russia, a distinct working- man's class, in the modern sense of that term, must be created there. The ever-increasing volume of agricult- ural peasants, who work in the factories of the cities during a portion of the year and then return to their country villages to cultivate their fields during the other portion of the year, must develop into a permanent class of city laborers, severed completely from the country and the soil to which they are now tied. The village indus- tries, or "kustar trades," as they are called, of which a brief description will hereafter be given, must be elim- inated by the modern factory, equipped with machines, which will do all of the work now done by the fin- gers of the artisan peasant beneath his own roof -tree. The government must radically change its whole the- ory and practice with reference to the maintenance of order. More important even than this, the customs of cen- turies, which are so deeply embedded in the lives of the people that many of the best-informed students declare 263 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE that those customs are racial, must be replaced by popular practices distinctly and characteristically non-Russian. And, most important of all, the very spirit of the Slav itself must undergo a transformation so complete that he will be changed from what he is now and what history tells us he always has been. Yet so lightning-like are the revolutions being wrought in every field of human endeavor at the present time that no thoughtful man will dogmatically assert that the fundamental alterations above indicated will not take place among the Russian people. What, then, of the present? Perhaps it will be most useful, first of all, to glance at the attitude of the govern- ment towards both capital and labor, as we understand those terms in America; for the attitude of the govern- ment on this particular question represents, at the present moment, at least, the thought and will of the Russian people. On the one hand, whatever may be said of the in- fluence of money corruptl}' to ptirchase privileges in Russia, it must be admitted that the capitalist, as such, has no more influence in Russian legislation or administra- tion than has the laborer; and neither one of them, as such, has any influence. Awkward as it is complex, burdensome and unscientific as it may be, the impartial observer must admit that from the large and long view-point, Russian legislation and administration appear to intend the com- mon good of the Russian people. We all hear of the in- fluence of classes with the Russian autocracy, and all of us go to that country with an almost ineradicable im- pression that the insistence of this class or that class for a desired end has undue weight. Especially are stories numerous of corrupt purchases of personal privileges, comforts, etc. In small affairs and in individual conveniences this may be true, and some business-men say that it is even true in the matter of municipal franchises and the like. No opinion is ex- 264 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE pressed on this ; but in the sum of Russian administrative thought it is not true. The only thing dominant, im- perial, all-compelling in the mind of the Russian states- man is the nation. With Witte in the Finance Ministry, it is the Russian nation ; with Pobyedonostseff in the Holy Synod, it is the Russian nation; with Grodekoff in Trans- Baikal Siberia, it is the Russian nation; with Alexieff on the seas, it is the Russian nation. This, too, is the thought of the Russian people. The Russian peasant has a slumberous intellect and thinks very little about anything, but yet there is, saturating his very being, the thought of Russian nationality, in- herited from generation to generation, until it has become with him an instinct. Even the most aggressive oppo- nent of the government and of the present methods (and such were many of the most enhghtened of those who freely gave their views) have in their minds in all their schemes for reform the principal object of solidifying the Russian people and advancing the power of the Slav nationality. So the government does not regard the capitalist as a partner in affairs of state; it regards him as a subject of the state. It does not regard the laborer as a partner in the affairs of state; it regards him as a subject of the state. Both capital and labor are, in the thought of the Russian, merely factors in the common development of the people, like lands, mines, etc. So we find that the Russian government does not understand the philosophy of strikes, as it is understood here in America. It re- gards a labor strike, if it passes the point where the inspector can settle it, as the captain of a vessel would regard mutiny among the crew. It looks upon labor disturbances, where violence occurs, as a lawless inter- ference with the orderly on -going of the nation. There- fore it interferes instantly, ruthlessly, and with the "iron hand,"* ' See chapter on Labor Laws. 265 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE "It is denied that the Cossacks shot and killed work- ing-men in the labor riots of St. Petersburg three or four years ago. They may say what they please," said a young working-man, half English and half Russian, who acted as interpreter, "but the fact is that the Cossacks did not fire blank cartridges. They fired ball cartridges and they shot to kill." But this is only gossip. You cannot get at the real truth of any of these rumors, which the correspondents uncage from every point in Russia. Undoubtedly there is overstatement on both sides. As yet no considerable labor riots have occurred. The world has not yet learned the extent and causes of the recent commotions in southern Russia. . It is possible that they may have been exaggerated; but whether their seriousness was under or over stated, it appears that they have speedily subsided. If some of the disturbances which we in America have experienced were to occur in Russia, they would be made the subject in the news- papers of other nations of columns of lurid description, with red and black paint lavishly used in the picture. Should such an uprising as the famous disturbance at Chicago several years ago, or such as the serious troubles in Colorado in the days of Governor Waite, or any other of our notable instances of the uprising put down by the militia, occur in Russia, the statement would be positively made to the civilized world and ac- cepted as true that actual revolution was in progress in the empire of the Czar. On the other hand, as has been noted, the excesses of vested capital are as sternly handled as any labor agita- tion would be. More than once the appropriate depart- ment of the government has peremptorily compelled em- ployers "to do the right thing," as we would put it here, by their work -people, and there are recent instances where Witte has corrected attempted frauds of business- men with all the sternness with which we are accustomed to look upon the processes of autocracy. In one case he 266 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE absolutely broke up a comer in wheat, which had been skilfully manipulated by some crafty capitalists. In an- other instance cargoes of grain were confiscated by the order of this same minister, because of proof of unques- tioned fraud in its shipment. The weakness of this whole system, of course, is that no matter how good the intentions of the government may be, it is impossible for it to interfere in even a small number of instances among all the enterprises of a people and an empire larger and more numerous than any on the globe. Nevertheless, the Department of Finance does assume direct supervision, for example, over every manu- facturing enterprise of any consequence in the whole empire. While there are general laws conferring as regular and definite rights, duties, etc., on corporations of every kind as we have here in America, the Ministry of Finance actually undertakes to examine into the soundness and responsibility of every one of them before they are permitted to begin business, and exercises visitorial powers over them afterwards. The reason assigned for this is plausible in theory, and the Russians, also, claim that experience proves that it works well in practice. This reason is that if hap- hazard investments are permitted in Russia, any kind of an enterprise may be started without the sanction of the government and its supervision, and therefore capital- ists, especially those from other countries not under- standing Russian conditions, may make investments ruinous to themselves, and so become propagandists of aggressive slander against the Russian government and the Russian people throughout the world; and, con- versely, that mere adventurers, exploiters, and promoters may get into the empire, blow financial bubbles, which, on bursting, will work mischief in financial conditions; and so forth and so on. Therefore, the paternal hand of the Russian government interferes alike in the business of the capitalist and the affairs of his employ^. 267 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE In support of this, it is the undoubted fact that only a few years ago Russia was fairly overrun with unscrupulous promoters, mostly foreigners, and the investors of other European nations, particularly France and Belgium, v/ere cheated right and left. " Here is an example of the financial trouble which led to our policy of examining every enterprise that now enters Russia," explained a certain Russian official. "There was a set of exploiters," he continued, "who got up a great manufacturing concern on paper. The plant was to be estabhshed here in Russia. They had secured a Russian 'charter,' and all that sort of thing. They got up the most alluring kind of a prospectus. Their stocks v/ere subscribed for generously. They as- sured the investors that they 'had behind them the Russian government.' They actually did begin a little work, but in a short time this was abandoned. They pocketed the proceeds of their robbery, and left to exploit some other portion of the world. So the investors lost every cent they put in the 'enterprise.' "Then you should have heard the Russians denounced. Every man who had put a ruble into this bubble was a walking denunciation of the Russian government and everything Russian. We could not stand that, you see. There was nothing for us to do but to adopt our careful policy of examining into the responsibility and good faith of every proposed enterprise which capitalists intend to establish in our country. We make sure that they are real capitalists, and not promoters. We reqiiire guaran- tees. They have got to convince us that they really mean to do bona-fide v^^ork and erect factories on real earth and of real brick and mortar, instead of on paper and with ink." For another failure and consequent loss to investors, the Russian government was severely assailed by the press of a certain other European nation. You can find in- stances of this by the score. At the present, however, it is not the government's fault if a concern gets into 268 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the empire which is not substantial and sufficiently re- sponsible to meet all of its engagements, and which does not mean business, and permanent business at that. And after the enterprise is actually under way, the govern- ment continues its careful watchfulness and frequent in- terference with its work, but always, as is claimed, for the real good of the enterprise itself, and to make sure that its methods and purposes are solid and honest. All this leads to more dissatisfaction on the part of capitalists, manufacturers, and other business-men than it does on the part of laboring -men. Nor are these commercial elements slow in expressing their views. You will have no more difficulty in hearing dissent from any economic policy by business - men in Russia than you will hear of complaints of an unsatisfactory policy in America when it does not suit the complaining interest. This suggests the fact, elsewhere noted, of the surprise which the ordinary foreigner has at the liberty of speech prevailing in Russia. Compared with the ordinary American conception that the Russian business-man sub- mits to everything without protest, the dissent of Russian importers, for example, to certain schedules of the Rus- sian tariff is illuminating. A conspicuous example of this freedom of opinion was afforded by the outcry of certain financial and commercial interests at some of Witte's early reforms. This is not true, of course, of the common people. The peasants, who are really the Russian nation, always speak of the Czar with profound and devotional reverence, and, if they object to their hard conditions, are, nevertheless, quite sure that if the Czar could learn about their misfortunes he would adjust them. But while the business-men of the empire also regard the Emperor with reverent and sincere respect, they look upon the policies of the government as the plans of responsible ministers whom the Czar appoints; and with these business -men those policies stand on their merits, just as the plans of American statesmen are subjected to the same merit 269 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE analysis by American business -men. The ministry of the Russian Czar is by no means immune from criticism from the hps of important Russians. Indeed, it is not free from open attack by certain fearless minds. "Did you really send the letter to the Czar and his min- isters, as published in the London Times?" was asked of Tolstoi, who, by-the-way, was not found in banishment at all, but exercising all the liberty an American farmer exercises on his own land. "Why, certainly I did," was the reply. "Why not?" And this famous letter begins, "More assassinations, more murders," etc., and goes on to denounce, in the bold- est terms, certain recent measures taken by the govern- ment in some trouble or other, and proceeds to suggest measures as radical as most of those advanced by dissent- ers from the present order of things here in America. Read Anna Karenina, and you will find that the conversations in Russian society in St. Petersburg are, apparently, as unrestrained as they are in Washington. It must not be inferred that any of these adverse opinions are directed towards the government itself; for the ordinary Russian, whether business-man, banker, or what not, appears to be devoted to his Czar and to Russian institutions. The Russian government maintains that Russia is at present the best place in the world for the investment of capital in manufacturing enterprises, if those enterprises are conducted with great conservatism ; and it certainly is true that the dividends frequently paid are astonishing, even to an American accustomed to the large profits of our own young republic. More than two hundred per cent, annual dividends have been paid within the last twenty years by foreign manufacturing corporations in Russia, and one hundred per cent, has more than once been paid. The Russian manufacturer himself feels that his business is going to ruin if its yearly dividends sink as low as fifteen per cent. Twenty, even thirty, per cent. are more common. Even in the great industrial de- 270 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE pression which swept over Russia about three years ago the annual dividends of well-established and well-con- ducted commercial enterprises seldom sank lower than ten per cent. On the other hand, as has been noted, large numbers of industrial concerns barely pay expenses, and many of them failed entirely. The number of these enterprises that were forced into liquidation present a strange paradox to the heavy dividends paid by the pros- perous ones, but that liquidation is, as has been noted, explained upon the ground of over-capitalization, negli- gent attention to business, unfamiliarity with Russian conditions, etc., and is used as an argument by the government to justify its paternal supervision over in- dustrial ventures, both foreign and domestic. XIX THE RUSSIAN WORKING-MAN WHATEVER the truth may be as to the profitableness of wisely invested capital in Russia, and as to the beneficial effects on business itself, which the government so sturdily maintains is the result of its paternal methods with capital, the visible facts seem to justify the govern- ment's contention that its progress in the regardful care of the rights and happiness of its laboring-people is greater than that of most other countries. For example, you may find in St. Petersburg an institution which, it is believed, is without an exact counterpart anywhere. It is a large and even handsome iron structure, devoted to the recre- ation, comfort, and amusement of the laboring - people of the Russian capital. When visited, in 1901, it was barely completed. Tea and other refreshments were served at actual cost. Free performances were given by fairly good theatrical companies. In one section of a great building was a beautiful au- ditorium, well equipped with comfortable seats, an ex- cellent and well-appointed stage, where a superior class of theatrical entertainment was on at a price below that charged by our cheapest popular theatres in America. The culinary department of this " Labor Palace," as it is called, was carefully inspected, and was found to be, in contrast with like arrangements in Russian hotels, sur- prisingly clean and attractive; and it was well managed. I believe that this great building was the government building at the National Exposition at Nijni-Novgorod, re- moved from the latter place to St. Petersburg when the 272 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE national fair was over, and made into the "Labor Pal- ace" of the capital, as above described. Again, in Moscow there is a free amusement park, given over to the entertainment of the working-people. It may be visited freely by any one — noble, priest, peasant, for- eigner, native — but its purpose is to give to the working- people of the factories a good time, and especially to wed them away from habits of intemperance, for this park is a temperance affair. You are informed that it is main- tained by a philanthropic society in St. Petersburg devoted to the practical work of stamping out intem- perance among the common people and generally better- ing their conditions. This place was visited many times, and on each occasion was found to be well attended, and on Sundays positively crowded. Here acrobats give their performances and singers render their songs, all without price to the hearer. Everywhere quass, the non-alcoholic Russian drink, and all other kinds of "temperance drinks" are served at the most trivial prices. There are all sorts of popular amuse- ments, most of which charge a nominal fee for admission, but so small as to be within the reach of the very poorest laborer present. And these thousands of work - people of Moscow ap- parently enjoy themselves in this temperance play- ground. Groups of boys and young men will stroll up and down, with the accordion in the hands of one of them, playing some Russian air; and it is as well to note here as elsewhere the singular fact that the accordion is the national Russian musical instrument — a strange cir- cumstance, since it is a foreign instrument, and the Slav ordinarily sticks to the methods and instruments of his fathers. But the accordion has captured the Russian common people. You will hear its muffled and throaty notes in the darkness of an agricultural village, where bands of boys and girls in the early hours of the evening stroll up and down , singing their weird folk songs to its i8 27s THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE accompaniment. You will hear it on the banks of the Amur. You will hear it in St. Petersburg. In Man- churia a soldier was observed rifle slung across his back and accordion in his hands. Wherever the Russian peasant is, there is the accordion. Not a shabbily dressed working man or woman was observed in this temperance park of Moscow. Their clothing was plain, of course, but good and serviceable. So far as the eye of the observer could determine, they were healthful, too; and certainly they looked happy. Here laugh and jest and badinage; yonder a Russian boy, wrought up by some strain of music, suddenly begins the national dance of the people, very picturesque, and in- creasing in vigor until it ends in a whirl of action, amid the loud applause of the crowd of on - lookers. Then another one takes it up to see whether he cannot win more praise than his fellow. And so the day is spent in innocent amusement and good-fellowship. So much has been heard of the habitual drunkenness of the Russian that careful search was made for it. "It is likely that you will find this unfortunate thing most conspicuously in the ' human market,' " said a young Russian, to whose kind offices the writer was indebted for many valuable directions. The "human market," as it is called, is really a place where laboring-people, who come into Moscow from the country districts, assemble to sell their services. It is an open square in the congested part of the city. On one side of it are vodka shops; on another side of it a big sort of iron shed has been erected, hke the sheds into which our trains enter at any American rail way -station. But, although it was Sunday and although those of the lower class of unskilled labor were there assembled, only three drunken men were observed. Several were lying out on the ground, with bundles under their heads, in the open glare of the hot sun, ap- parently in a state of bestial intoxication. But investiga- 274 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tion discovered the fact that they were merely rugged young peasants taking a nap. For it is M^orth repeating again that the Russian peasant, man or woman, can sleep right out in the open sun on the hottest day, whether it be on the top of a boat on the Amur River, under the blazing sun of a Siberian summer, or in the fields in the country, or on the hard, stone court of the "human market" in Moscow. "That is very bad," the American remarked to his Russian friend. "Why bad?" said the Russian. "Why, all those men and women so frightfully drunk," answered the American. "Yes, but they are not drunk," answered the Russian; "they are just taking a nap." Observing the American's incredulity, the Russian gentleman called a policeman, explained the situation, and asked the policeman if he would not kindly show the American that these people were not drunk at all. Good- humoredly, the officer laughed, and said, "Certainly." Whereupon, very kindly, he woke several of them, ap- parently explained the situation, and, without the slight- est ill-humor at being aroused, the awakened one, when he comprehended the situation, would laugh as though it was the best joke in the world, get up, and walk off, clearly in possession of every faculty, unclouded by alcohol. At this particular spot you may observe the Russian laborer and the Russ>.an peasant at his worst, however; and you must expect very rude speech and very shocking words, indeed, if you have your interpreter faithfully translate what is said. For the purpose of such a visit the professional interpreter and guide is practically worth- less. He will tell you as much as he pleases and no more. The best thing — indeed, the only way — is to be ac- companied by a Russian friend, with whom you are sufficiently well acquainted, and whose character is such that you know you can trust him. 27S THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The most conspicuous building in Moscow, except the Cathedral of the Kremlin, is an immense white structure near the banks of the river. It is the foundhng asylum, maintained partly by the municipal and partly by the national government. One informant said that it was maintained entirely by the imperial government. How- ever it is maintained, it is a public institution where new- born children are taken and cared for. Not all of these — nor, as is claimed, even the majority of them — are irregular. The majority of the infants received are said to be the regular offspring of married working-people, who cannot attend to their infants themselves, and who leave them there for a period and pay a small price for their main- tenance. Such investigation as was possible leads the observer to believe that this is true ; and yet a large num- ber o them are certainly not so happily circumstanced. Indeed, many well-informed men declare that nearly all are foundlings. A drunken man in a Russian town, whether it be in Moscow or in the heart of Manchuria, is treated very kindly by the police. Indeed, no trivial disturber of the peace is handled roughly. At one of the better-class places of amusement in Moscow, business -men and their wives, and generally well-to-do people, gather for enter- tainment and refreshment. You may hear French opera in an admirable little theatre ; witness a balloon ascension ; have any kind of refreshment you want; but, best of all, you can witness a strange entertainment confined ex- clusively to a representation of things peculiarly Slav. Before this stage, which, unlike the theatre, opens on the grounds and does not require an additional fee, gather, of course, the greatest throngs. Very enthusiastic is their appreciation of a particularly good thing. But when a company of young Russians, fresh from the country, but very carefully drilled by a Russian master in Russian songs and dances, appear and arrange themselves in a 276 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE semicircle, and sing old Slav songs, weird and thrilling, the spectators' enthusiasm increases in vigor; and when, finally, one after another, these young fellows, all dressed in the national Russian costume of the old time, advance to the centre of the stage and whirl in a frantic maze of some dance of the Russian people, the crowd grows fairly frenzied with delight. In this crowd was a man with his wife and two children. Evidently he was a Russian small shop-keeper or a Russian well-paid laborer. He was very drunk, indeed, and as demonstrative as he was intoxicated. He not only applauded but interrupted the entertainment with cries and suggestions. There were plenty of policemen, too; but everybody took him quite good-humoredly ex- cept the wife, who, like a wife any place under similar circumstances, appeared to be covered with embarrass- ment. Finally his noise became unbearable, and some one connected with the playgrounds came to him and very courteously asked him to subside, smiling while he asked him. The man, happy with the show and happy with his vodka and happy with everything, consented; but in less than a minute forgot it again. Then a policeman came forward and took him in charge. At first the man re- sisted, but, with laughter and good-humor and with all possible kindliness, the officer led him away. There was no display of force, no club drawn (the Russian policeman, however, does not carry a club, but a revolver), nor any brutality of any kind. Surprise being manifested at this, a Russian friend observed: "What is the use of hurting him; he is enjoying a holiday; he means no harm; he does not hurt anybody, and the policeman feels that he is a brother Russian, and so he is." In Trans-Baikal Siberia a young Russian priest had consumed so much vodka that he was crazed with it. Unlike most Russians, who T^'hen drunk are exceedingly good-natured, this young Russian priest, apparently, had 277 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE all the combative and selfish animal instincts uncaged by the liquor. He insisted on occupying a first-class carriage when his ticket called for a third-class carriage, where his wife and children were quietly sitting. The railway officials argued with him with the utmost patience. Time and again they would induce him to go to his proper place, and time and again he would return to the place from which he had been led. Finally he would not move at all. Force had to be used, but it was employed with just as little roughness as was possible. In the end, it became necessary to take him to the baggage-car; but the officers, who appeared to be as pained and humiliated as the poor fellow's wife herself, firmly but kindly held his hands, lifted him to their shoulders, and put him into the baggage -car, locking the door after him. Perhaps a dozen such interferences with drunken Russians were observed, either in European Russia or in Siberia, and in not a single instance was any brutality or signs thereof exhibited by the police. Not only is Russian drinking undoubtedly on the de- crease, but the quality of liquor has within the last few years been improved. Indeed, there is said to be no com- parison between the quality of vodka now consumed by the people and the villanous concoction formerly sold to them. The reason of this is that the manufacture and sale of vodka are now conducted by the government, whereas it was formerly made and sold by private in- terests; also it can now be purchased only under careful regulations, which are rigidly enforced. So much only may be purchased at a time. Public vodka-shops, as they were formerly conducted, are now becoming extinct. In addition to this, the central government is distributing all over the empire plain and simple little temperance pamphlets. At the capital of one zemstvo (that is, the town where the offices of this peculiar district government are located) large quantities of these were seen, and a Russian friend translated them. 278 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Let us now visit a typical Russian steel and iron mill. The greatest of these are in the coal and iron districts of southern Russia, and perhaps the next greatest in St. Petersburg itself; but, for purposes which the description will reveal, selection is made of a certain plant operated by foreign capital and under foreign management in Moscow, a characteristically Russian city. It is a large affair, al- though unimportant compared with the mammoth works to which we Americans are accustomed in such places as Pittsburg and Bethlehem. It was noted, too, that the furnaces were not of the latest type; on the con- trary, the machinery for fashioning the manufactured steel was entirely up to date. This concern turned out great quantities of wire, locomotive and car wheels, en- gines, and several other varieties of steel and iron ma- chinery. The wages paid were much better than those paid the employes of the cotton factories. The working- men in the machine department, where the lathes and various other mechanical devices common to all such es- tablishments were located, appeared to be active, ener- getic, and intelligent. These, of course, were the highest grade of skilled labor in the whole place. Many of them were foreigners, mostly Frenchmen. The common laborer, as elsewhere, was ex- clusively Russian, and v/as slow, and, compared to our American working-men, stupid, although willing, strong, and industrious. Then, too, in comparison with a similar American mill, with our precision of organization and our carefully and sharply maintained discipline, the state of affairs in the Russian establishment was very inferior. Indeed, contrasted with the accurate adjustment of ser- vice to service which prevails in our American mills, the work in the same kind of a Russian establishment seemed confused. And then, too, where the corporation itself is a French corporation, most of its skilled employes are French artisans. But here was a development well worth attention. Im- 279 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE mediately across the street from the mill itself is located a private school for the children of the working-people. This school is built and maintained by the company. It is much superior to the ordinary Russian country school; and while it does not, of course, approa,ch the common school in our American cities, it was, nevertheless, a very creditable establishment. The children of the work- people are furnished with instruction here free of charge to the parents. This is only an item, however, of the labor develop- ment here noted. On the same street with the school- house is a considerable establishment, owned by a joint- stock company, whose stockholders are made up exclu- sively of the working-men of the factory. It is also run by other working-men employed by this working-men's stock company. This establishment supplies groceries and all table provisions to the employes of this mill at cost — that is, without any middleman's profit. There is even a bakery connected with it, where bread is baked for the families of this mill's work-people. The employes of this working-men's establishment sleep and live in the place itself. Their sleeping-rooms were visited, and were found to be clean, comfortable, and, in comparison with the sleeping accommodations in the dormitories above described, where the work-people of the cotton factories are housed, commodious and almost luxurious. Iron bed- steads, comfortable mattresses, clean bed-clothing make these quarters almost as good as those found in middle- class Amerian hotels. Inference must not be made that all of the working-men of the mills and factories come from the country districts. A large part of the operatives are permanently located in the cities themselves. Nor must it be understood that all manufacturing establishments house and feed their employes. On the contrary, many factories do not main- tain their work-people, but supply them lodging at low rental, the laborers themselves providing their own food. 2&0 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Many work-people live in rooms or flats rented from their employers. Some of these quarters were visited in vari- ous cities. Certain ones in St. Petersburg are a fair illus- tration of the rest. Uncomfortable board buildings these structures are found to be. What prevents frequent and destroying fires is not clear. The stairways are narrow and winding, the corridors are the same. Usually two rooms, or at most three, suffice for a family consisting of husband and wife and an ever-increasing number of children. No place in the immediate neighborhood where these children could play was observed, although inquiry was made for it. And yet the children's "sand heap" and children's "playground" are things on which Russians particularly pride themselves. There are sections of some of the cities which appear to be without them. But fairness compels the statement that open spaces con- venient for children's play are frequent in Russian cities. To return to the living conditions of some of the most poorly circumstanced of Russian city working-men, squalid as they are, as bad and even worse can be found in London or New York. About these Russian working- men's families, however, there is a submission to existing things not found anywhere else in civilized countries. It is a mistake to assume that this is on account of the re- pressive measures of the government. "At least these people seem to be fairly well content," was suggested to a fellow-English observer. "Content ! They have got to be. Most anybody would be content with a bayonet at his breast," answered the Englishman. "Oh, come now," suggested a Russian gentleman, who by no means approved of some of the sterner methods of repression said to be sometimes practised by the police and soldier}^ to prevent labor demonstrations, but who in- sisted that reports of such disturbances published in other countries are absurdly exaggerated — "oh, come now," 281 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE said this friend of the Russian laborer and the Russian peasant, "the government's repression is not the reason for these people's contentment with their wretchedness. It is a great deal deeper than that. It is racial. Do not for- get that we are Slavs. In a measure, we are fatalists. Our people take things as they come, and live the lives to which they feel that they are ordained." A good deal of talk here and there with the Russian working-men and the wives of Russian working-men lends plausibility to this theory. "Do not you find it cold here in winter?" was asked of one of these Russian women, the wife of a working-man in a manufacturing shop near by. She was still young, though the mother of five children. "Oh yes; sometimes, of course, it is cold," she answered; "but God made the winter." "But it is hot enough here now," was remarked to her. (It was one of those blazing days that St. Petersburg occasionally has in the summer-time.) "Yes, it is hot; but God sent the summer." "And do you look for better conditions — I mean larger rooms and more things to live on and live with?" "Ah, that is as God wills." And pages could be consumed by examples of the same kind. It is not said that these are true representations of the Russian working-people's mind. They may have been mere evasions. They inay have been the easiest answer which unthinking minds made to questions which they did not understand. The statements alone are noted, and their value and the proper inferences to be drawn from them are left to the reader. But sure it is that they bear out the Russian theory that the racial charac- teristics of the Slav are a fatalistic indolence, a stolid lack of initiative, an acceptance of conditions as they are, or of directions received from superior sources. It recalls the remark of a Russian nobleman on the Amur boat, when hundreds of peasants, with great labor, 282 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE dragged heav}" chains a quarter of a mile in order to fasten them to a tree, none being nearer, so that there might be a leverage with which to wrench the boat from a sand- bar on which it had unluckily run. The stupidity of the whole thing was remarked by an American traveller. "Ah, well," said the Russian count, "you have been abusing the bureaucracy of Russia for a week now. Look at those people. You have a good example before your eyes of exactly why it was that Peter the Great, our ideal reformer, founded the present bureaucratic system in Russia. Peter the Great knew his people. He ordered all of their beards cut off because they never would have cut them off themselves. He autocratically destroyed the ancient garb of the boyar, which was also, in varying degrees, the national costume. He had their coats cut short and their trousers made sensible and serviceable simply because the people would have continued that custom to this very day if they had not been ordered to alter it." In short, there are many reasons to believe that the lethargy of the Russian people as a mass is due to racial causes. These reasons are to be found all through Rus- sian history and are before the eyes of the contemporary observer throughout the whole country. The writer's observation has been too rapid and perhaps too super- ficial to afford an independent and mature opinion on this subject, important though the subject may be. The mere facts are stated as far as they could be obtained. A Russian common laborer in a steel mill at St. Peters- burg came running after the English manager and his visitor during the course of a fairly thorough inspection of the works. The working-man called to the manager, who excused himself and went to his employe. Presently he returned laughing. "Now there is an interesting incident," he said, "and it is thoroughly characteristic. What do you suppose that fellow wanted with me? "Why, he said: 'Master, look 283 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE out for that man who is with you. I think he is trying to discover some of the secrets of our works.'" (Recent inventions had been placed in this mill, and the new process, the proprietors hoped, would make it superior to any other then existing in northern Russia.) "You see, he saw you looking around very carefully, and when I was over on the other side of the mill he saw you closely examining everything you came across. His suspicions were aroused instantly, and that little incident, which you might not have seen in many days of travel in Russia, shows you a peculiarity of all classes. That characteristic is their suspicion. They suspect everything and every- body. But you see he was perfectly true to me. That same man would cheat me if he could, but he would not let anybody else cheat me. Our own employes might rob us right and left, but they would risk their lives to prevent anybody else from robbing us. They get drunk on holidays themselves, but they will be very hot about the same offence of working-men in Mr. So-and-so's factory." XX THE LABOR LAWS OF RUSSIA THE labor question is the universal question. As the world's civilization grows more complex, the labor question must steadily grow more delicate. In es- timating the quality of other nations, the treatment of their laborers is an element of prime importance, for, after all, at bottom it is the labor and capital of sister nations with which we Americans must compete. For this reason much space has already been given in these pages to this subject, and for this reason much space is still deemed necessary; for we want to ascertain — do we not? — what kind of a force it is which the world beholds along the Asiatic shores of the Pacific Ocean. We have looked upon the Russian laboring-man in the great, mod- em factories and mills of Russia; we have seen how he works, how he lives, what he eats, how he is amused; have noted his inefficiency as a working-man, have observed his strong points of patience and endurance, and, in general, have hastily surveyed those qualities of human interest which go to make up the real man and woman. We have seen something, too, of the general spirit of the Russian state as it affects the laboring people of the empire. But the laws which govern laboring conditions in Russia have not been set forth, and it is believed that these are of suffi- cient interest and importance to justify a chapter of gen- eral examination. It is felt, too, that the provisions of Russian legislation which govern and safeguard the fac- tory workers of the empire will give a fair idea of the states- men who devise and the government which enacts them. Perhaps the most striking manifestation of the humani- 285 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE tarian movement in the field of labor legislation in all countries was that relating to the employment of children in factories and other industrial works. The history of such legislation in England, France, Germany, and the United States is of most absorbing interest, and of highest possible contemporary and historical importance. Of course, the same is true of Russia also. In 1882 a law was placed upon the statute books of Russia upon this impor- tant subject. This law prohibited the employment of chil- dren under twelve years of age in all kinds of manufactur- ing industries except the "kustar trades," hereafter de- scribed. This law requires that children over twelve and under fifteen years of age shall not be employed to exceed eight hours a day. These eight hours do not include the time spent at school and in resting. It further provides that children shall not be required to work continuously longer than four hours, at the expiration of which time the employers are obliged to give the children a stated period of rest. Employers are prohibited from requiring children to work at night, on Sundays or on holidays; and no work is permitted to be done by any child which is deemed by the factory inspectors to be injurious or fa- tiguing. The employer is compelled to allow the children to attend the necessary schools in the vicinity of the fac- tory; and factories are given the right to erect schools at their own expense, which the children of the factory may attend. A description of one of these schools has been given elsewhere. Many such were visited by the writer, and were found to be fairly well conducted. ^ ' The law concerning child labor gives the Minister of Finance the right to allow the employment of children of from ten to twelve years of age during the day, and children between twelve and fifteen years during the night, where the nature of the indus- try requires this, and where it cannot do the children any harm. Such investigation as could be made showed that this power has been exercised by the Minister of Finance very sparingly indeed, and usually with more careful consideration than might be ex- pected. 286 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE To insure the enforcement of this child-labor law, an inspectorship of factories was created and a staff of fac- tory inspectors appointed for the empire. It was believed at the time the law was passed that the supervision of these inspectors, and the fear of the displeasure of the government , would prevent the employers from infringing it, and so no penalty for its violation was provided. It was found, however, that the factory owners violated the law in several instances, and two years later it was amended by fixing a fine of one hundred rubles ($50) for the infraction of any part of the child-labor act; and this penalty amendment provided that if the owner or manager of the establishment could prove that the in- fraction took place without his knowledge, but through the fault of the person directly superintending the work, the latter person should be liable to the penalty. A year later a law was enacted prohibiting the em- ployment of all young persons under seventeen years of age and of all women in cotton mills at night, and tliis was afterwards extended to other textile industries. The government inspectors present in every factory are said to enforce this law rigidly, but that there is evasion of it in many instances is, nevertheless, undoubtedly true. Very careful provisions are made for the enforcement of the law by the inspectors. For example, if a manufact- urer intends to employ children, he must first declare that intention and make a statement of the number of hours he expects them to work. When he employs these children their names must be registered in a special book. This book sets out various details descriptive of the child's capacity for work, and a column is left at the end of the page in which the inspector must write his conclusions or remarks. If the inspector deems any child to be either too young or too weak for the work required of him, the child must be examined by a physician. After an examination, if the physician thinks that the child is either too young or 287 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE too weak for the work, the employer must immediately discharge the child. Any resistance on the part of the employer is promptly remedied by the police. That all may know their rights, a list descriptive of the work that must be performed by children is required to be posted in the workshops. If any adult working-man or working- woman violates the law in his or her treatment of any children who are at work, the manager of the factory is responsible therefor. It is interesting to note that, in the matter of the fine of one hundred rubles ($50) for the infraction of the child- labor law, the schooling of the child is especially men- tioned. If the employer violates the law by overworking the child, or employing a child under age, or requiring a child to work an illegal number of hours, he may not only be fined, but also be imprisoned for one month. The child-labor law may be said to have been the first step in modem Russian legislation on the labor question. It is, however, claimed by enthusiastic Russians that Russia led the world in legislation on the labor question. They cite the fact that in the eighteenth century imperial decrees began concerning labor inspection, requiring work- ing-men to be paid in full, forbidding ill-treatment of em- ployfe, preventing over-working, and restricting hours of labor to twelve hours in the twenty-four; and that such ukases were issued is undeniable. Indeed, for the last two centuries, in spite of the serfdom under which the great masses of the Russian people were held in bondage, many regulations were enacted by the Russian govern- ment for the care of laborers in manufacturing industries. However fascinating the study of the development of Russian labor laws, space forbids more than mention of present statutes; but it may be said that distinctly mod- em labor legislation in Russia began with the child-labor law, of which an abstract is given above. All human legislation obeys the law of growth as much as does the development of animals or plants. So, when the Russian 288 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE government began modem legislation by the child-labor statute, it was inevitable that that act should set in op- eration natural forces requiring further labor legislation. Sure enough, not four years passed until a general law was enacted concerning the hiring of working-men, de- fining the relations of employer and employ^, perfecting factory inspection, and extending it generally to adult labor as well as to child labor. This law was very general in its application. It has since been amended several times, as experience showed the original law to be de- fective and inadequate. In general, this law sets out regulations singularly minute concerning every feature of the contract between the employer and employed. It also provides special regulations concerning the maintenance of oider in fac- tories and mills. Some of these provisions are of suffi- cient general interest to be set out. For example, the manufacturer must either make a written contract with the working-man, or give him a book which contains the terms of the agreement. In no case can a working-man be employed for more than five years.^ The employer is required to pay the employ^ his wages in cash. He cannot pay him in food, clothing, materials, and the like. In this way the evil known in America as the "pluck-me stores" was anticipated and prevented. The penalty for paying the working-man in anything but cash is a fine not less than twenty-five nor more than one hundred and fifty dollars. If the laborer is hired for several months, he must be paid his wages at least once each month; if for an indefinite period, at least twice a month. If he is hired, not by the time but by the piece of labor to be performed, he is to be paid on the completion of the job. ^ As a matter of practice, many, perhaps most, of the working- men are employed in groups, and a book is issued to the elder or leader whom these laborers elect, for the whole group, instead of to each man singly. 19 289 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE The employer is required to take hygienic care for the protection of his laborers, and to supply them, free of charge, with medical attendance. In addition to the contract -book, which must be issued to the operative who is employed for a period of time, instead of by the job, the employer must issue him a pay- book, and in the book the money received by the laborer must be set down, as must the fines imposed upon him. If the employer does not keep these books of his laboring- men properly, he may be fined for each offence not less than five rubles ($2.50) and not more than twenty-five rubles ($12.50). On the other hand, the employer may fine his working- man for any one of three causes — first, for defective work; secondly, for absence without sufficient cause; and, thirdly, for any infraction of the shop regulations. In determining what is defective work the employer is not the sole judge. The government factory inspector may be appealed to. Moreover, the law prescribes mi- nutely what shall constitute defective work for which the employ^ may be fined. For example, defective work is defined to be such as causes damage to raw material or machinery, and fines for this are calculated by the nature of the defect, and not by the loss sustained by the em- ployer. It was feared by the government that these fines might be used by the employers to their own profit. To prevent this, it was provided that the fines should not go to the employer, but should be collected into a special fund to be used for the benefit of the employes. Fines for absence without sufficient cause may not be imposed unless the absence is for at least half a day; nor can the laborer be fined for absence because of such unavoidable circumstances as fire or flood, illness of the working-man, or of his wife or parents, or of the death of either. Of course, wherever fines may be imposed for absence without sufficient cause, the wages of the laborer may also be de- ducted for the time missed. 290 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Fines may not be imposed for disobedience to shop regulations arbitrarily. They apply only to unreasonable infractions, such as leaving the premises without permis- sion, disobedience to rules for protection against fire and cleanliness, quarrelling in the factory, or for insubordi- nation and the like. For these the fines must not exceed more than one ruble for each offence. If the laborer is dissatisfied with the fines, he may complain to the govern- ment inspector of the factory. If the inspector, on in- vestigation, decides that the fine has been unjustly im- posed, he may bring an action against the manager of the factory in the law courts. That the working-men may know their rights, a list of all possible fines must be posted in the shops. Moreover, the total amount of all fines imposed on a working-man must not exceed one-third of his wages. When that sum is reached the laborer may be discharged, but if he feels himself aggrieved, he may, within a month, bring an action in a court of law for damages against the manager who discharged him. It will be noted that these fines do not go to the em- ployer, but form a special fund for the benefit of the working-man. The law does not leave the disposition of this fund to the employer, but prescribes what the "fines fund" shall be used for. For example, it may be used to help sick or injured workmen, or working-women who are near the period of confinement, or to relieve the financial distress of a laborer, caused by fire, flood, and the like, or for funerals of working-men, etc. When the fund exceeds one hundred rubles ($50) in amount it can no longer be kept by the employer, but must be deposited at the state savings-bank, and can only be drawn out on an order signed by the manager of the factory and the factory inspector. When a working-man has been employed under this law, both the employer and the employ^ must give fifteen days' notice. Furthermore, the law prevents the re- 291 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE duction of wages during the time for which the laborer is employed, on the one hand, or the reduction of the num- ber of working-days, on the other. Conversely, the em- ploy^ cannot demand an increase of wages or any other alteration of the contract. If either employer or em- ployd violates the law, severe punishments are provided; for example, three hundred rubles ($150) fine for the employer, and a month's imprisonment for the employ^. It is interesting to note with how firm a hand the government deals with employers of labor in its effort to prevent labor disturbances. For example, if the man- ager of a factory breaks three times any of the regulations provided for in the law, or if he causes a disturbance among his laboring people, making necessary the assist- ance of the police, the head of the factory may be im- prisoned for three months and prohibited from managing a factory for two years. On the other hand, any fight or strike on the part of the laboring-men is punishable by imprisonment for not less than one week nor more than five months ; and if the strike is actually made the strikers may be imprisoned for not less than two nor more than eight months. But if the strikers do any damage or attempt to intimidate a fellow working-man, the individual may be imprisoned for the maximum term of sixteen months. The provisions by which the contract may be termi- nated are interesting, but the one most curious and illustrative of industrial conditions in Russia is that by which the laborer is released from the contract if his village community refuses to extend his leave of absence — that is, extend his passport. The reader is referred to the explanation of the passport system in another chapter. The attempt to balance delicately the respective rights and obligations of the employer and working-man, which is manifest throughout the whole labor legislation of Russia is, perhaps, best illustrated by the reasons for which the employer may discharge his working-men, on 292 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the one hand, thus terminating the contract, and the reasons for which the working-man may terminate his contract, on the other. For example, if the working- man is absent for three consecutive days without a sufficient reason, or if he is absent for six days in the course of a month, whether consecutive or not, or if he absents himself for fifteen consecutive days, even if he has a sufficient reason for such absence, his employer may discharge him, thus terminating the contract. On the other hand, the employ^ may leave his employer instantly if he is assaulted or beaten. He may also terminate his contract and quit his employment if the food and shelter supplied him have been bad, or if the work required of him is unhealthy. He may also leave if the bread-winner of the family to which he belongs should die, thus leaving the famiily without its laborer in the village community to which he belongs. In 1897 the law was amended, fixing twelve hours as the time beyond which adult working-men might not be required to labor, and the factory was permitted to run night-shifts and day-shifts of twelve hours each. In government work the working-men were given Sundays and official holidays, amounting to forty in the year, ex- clusive of Sundays. While the law makes it optional whether the private establishments shall observe these holidays, as a matter of practice it is said that the work- ing-men observe the holidays anyway. It was impossible to verify this from actual observation ; but the informa- tion upon which the statement is based is credible. The existing law on the subject of hours of labor is con- fused, but the following is beheved to be a fairly accurate statement. Eleven and one-half hours may be required for dav- work. This applies to both men and women. The work- ing-day begins at 6 a.m. and ends at 7 p.m. An hour and a half is allowed for the noon meal and rest. This applies to only one shift. If two shifts are employed, the day's 293 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE work may be eighteen hours, beginning at 4 a.m. and end- ing at 10 P.M. It will be seen that this in reality re- quires but nine hours for each shift. As before stated, eight hours out of the twenty-four constitute a full day's labor for a child under fifteen. A curious provision of the law is that overtime work, which is carefully prescribed in the statute, must not ex- ceed, for the entire year, one hundred and twenty hours. It should be noted also that the provisions of the law may be suspended as to overtime and other items when there is a fire in the factory or breakage of machinery, or some other cause which interferes with the operation of the plant and which needs immediate remedying. The effect of religion on the labor situation in Russia is shown by a single provision to the effect that working- men belonging to the Greek Orthodox Church must be given the holidays of their Church, and also Sundays, while for the working-men who are not members of that Church these holidays may be omitted. If the working- men happen to be followers of another faith — for example, Mohammedans — they are given the holidays prescribed by that religion, instead of Sundays, as prescribed for the Christian religion. If a factory has a thousand employes, it must main- tain an infirmary or hospital, with at least ten beds ; if there are more than a thousand working-people (men, women, and children) employed, the factory hospital must have fifteen beds. This hospital and the medical treatment and attendance of the working-men are all paid for by the factory. Perhaps the most characteristic feature of Russian labor legislation is the voluminous laws on the subject of factory inspection. It was found after the enactment of the first law for factory inspection that the inspection was not per- fectly performed. Sometimes the inspectors were op- pressive to the factory owners; sometimes they were un- just to the operatives ; sometimes they were undoubtedly 294 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE corrupt. To remedy these many defects, a factory and mining board was established in 1889, and was made one of the sub-bureaus of the Ministry of Finance. The powers of this board are very broad. It may make, from time to time, such rules and regulations concerning factory inspection as experience shows to be desirable. It may over-rule any action of any factory inspector; and, finally, it acts as a sort of court of appeal from the de- cision of local factory boards. These local factory boards exist in every manufacturing province. They consist of the governor of the province, the prosecuting attorney, the chief of police, the chief factory inspector for the province, and the two represent- atives of the manufacturers. These boards may provide rules and regulations particularly applicable to the indus- try within their jurisdiction. Especially do they look to the preservation of health, life, and morality among the work-people. From these local boards we come down to the factory inspectors themselves. The latest law of a general char- acter, defining their powers and duties, was enacted in 1900, though so constant are the amendment and altera- tion of all Russian laws that it has been changed many times since, but not in important particulars. The fol- lowing is believed to be a fair statement of its more im- portant provisions. To these inspectors all disagreements between the la- boring people and the factory managers are carried. The inspector is then supposed to investigate the complaints, to explain the causes of them to the aggrieved party, and generally to act as peace-maker between the employer and the employ 6. If the inspector cannot make an amicable arrangement between the hostile parties, he must refer the whole matter to the courts. The inspector fixes certain days, not fewer than one a week, on which he will receive any person having a com- plaint, whether manager or employ^, and make verbal 29s THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE explanation as to rights and duties, etc. In addition to this, it is the duty of the inspector to ascertain for himself whether the factory manager is observing all the provi- sions of the law. In doing this, he may question all of the working-people whenever he thinks it desirable. Should he think it necessary, he may summon the owners of the factory themselves. Indeed, this is often done. In determining the observance of the law by the fac- tory managers, the inspector may, upon presenting a per- mit from the Department of Trades and Manufactures, go through any and every part of the mill or factory at any hour of the day or night, and through all of the dormito- ries, hospitals, schools, and other buildings attached to the factory. When one of the work-people is injured, the factory in- spector immediately investigates the cause. If he finds that the accident resulted from the non-observance of the law by the factory -owners, the inspector draws up a sort of complaint. There are many sections of the law under which this complaint or statement may be drawn up. Sometimes it is under a provision of the criminal code; sometimes under what is called the industrial code. It may be made either by the factory inspector alone or by him in conjunction with the officers of the police. When so drawn, it is transmitted to the authorities for inquiry and trial. It is also a part of the duty of the factory inspector to superintend generally the schools which the factory is required to keep for the children of operatives, and to see that the children attend the schools, and that instruction is given according to the provisions of the law. Where strikes or other labor troubles are threatened or under way, the inspector goes instantly to the spot. First he attempts to bring the employers and the employes to a friendly understanding. Failing in this, any measures may be taken, carefully provided for by law, which the justice and necessity of the case seem to require. It is 296 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE said that in such cases the local inspectors of the factories keep in continuous communication with the chief in- spector of the city or district by telegraph and telephone, and the police are carefully in touch with the entire situation. Finally, the inspectors pass upon the opening of fac- tory shops, the issuance of pay-books, the payments to sick or injured operatives from the funds collected from fines, the charges which the factory makes on their working- men for lodgings, bath, etc., the prices of articles sold to the co-operative stores, the rules which the factory man- agers desire to make on their own motion, in addition to the regulations fixed by the general law or by the regula- tions of the factory boards. Also, he must certify general scales of wages and countersign different kinds of records which the law requires the factory to keep, such as books for boilers, for children employed, for fines, etc. The entire laws, rules, and regulations concerning fac- tory inspection in Russia are voluminous in extent, minute in the specification of duties and powers. No attempt will be made, of course, to set them out in their entirety, or even to give a complete general analysis of them. It has been thought worth the space to detail the above provisions, that the reader may have some general idea of this most important branch of Russian legislation. The law is still unsatisfactory on the question of acci- dents. Nevertheless, Finance Minister Witte, some four years ago, prepared and presented to the Council of State a bill on the civil liability of employers which pretty effectually covered the situation from a Russian point of view. The Council of State approved the bill at its first reading; but when it came to the second reading, the manufacturers of Moscow and St. Petersburg presented a petition to the Finance Minister, asking for the postpone- ment of the proposed measure, for the reason that they were about to form mutual insurance societies for their employes, and if the proposed bill became a law before 297 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE this reform was perfected, it would cause many facto- ries and mills serious financial difificulty. Indeed, it was demonstrated that in some instances it would threaten them with insolvency. It is understood that for these reasons the bill has not yet been passed. This proposed law defines the liability of the employer for all accidents to his employes. A limit of the amount of damages which may be recovered in each case is fixed. The law of contributory negligence is introduced by a provision reducing the amount of damages in proportion to the contributory negligence. Our law, placing the burden of proof on the plaintiff, is by this proposed Russian act directly reversed and the burden of proof is placed on the employer. He can only release himself from this burden of proof by showing three things — first, that the accident was inevitable; second, that it occurred by reason of the fault or intention of a third party for whom the employer was not responsible; third, the fault or malicious intention of the injured working-man. There are provisions in this law concerning the settle- ment of all such disputes by amicable arrangements be- tween the employer and the injured employd. This, of course, is to prevent lawsuits; but, fearing that it might in some instances lead to fraud on the part of the em- ployer and injustice to the employe, it is provided that such amicable agreement shall be made before a magis- trate, who is required to see that no injustice is done to the injured working-man. If both parties desire it, they may leave the settlement of the amount of damages to a court of arbitration or to the factory inspector himself. There are no appeals from such decisions. If the case is not settled in some such way the action for damages must be brought by the injured working- man, or, if he dies, by his wife or relatives. To prevent damage-suit lawyers working up unjust cases, the bill pro- vides that the case shall be conducted on the part of the injured party by lawyers appointed for this purpose by 298 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the Council of Barristers; and the fee of such lav/yers is fixed in the law. There is a queer provision, very illustra- tive of the temper of Russian legislation, in this proposed employers' liability bill — damages for the death of a work- ing-man must be paid to those members of his family who need it, and not to some one who happens to be his near- est relative or who was living with him at the time of his death. For fear that employes would take advantage of this liability law and live on the damages recovered, which were not in all cases to be paid in a lump sum but in the form of periodical allowances, it is provided that the amount of such instalments might, after five years, be reconsidered and refixed according to the capacity of the working-man to labor at that time. The salient features of this law have been given thus fully because, if not already enacted, it is only a question of time when the above will substantially be the labor law of Russia. When this bill is passed, the labor laws of Russia will be fairly complete. But it must be said that in the labor legislation of Russia we behold again that paradox which is so striking a feature of every department of Russian life — permanency of policy inextricably intertwined with perpetual change of method. The general laws of Russia, not only in labor legislation but in the statutes relating to agriculture, to commerce, to every conceivable subject, undergo almost continuous modification. The theory is that as expe- rience shows that a certain law or regulation does not work well, it is immediately modified to suit conditions. While it is not possible within the limits of this volume to devote an entire chapter to the methods of Russian legislation, which is a subject of most absorbing interest, a paragraph may serve to enlighten the American reader upon the general idea upon which Russian legislation is drafted and enacted. First of all, then, it may be said that, so far as her writ- 299 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ten laws are concerned, Russia is governed by commissions. If the labor situation does not seem to be satisfactory, a commission is appointed, with careful instructions to study the causes by original investigation and to report recommendations. If there is agricultural depression, the same thing is done. If the subject of forestry needs attention, again there is a commission to study, report, recommend. When the report is made to the ministry to which the commission is attached, the assistant ministers and the presiding minister are supposed to go over it carefully. The result is the drafting of a law. This law is submitted first to the Council of Ministers and then to the Council of State, which, in theory, thoroughly debates every pro- vision of it. In practice, it is said that this is seldom done; but it must in fairness be stated that it is un- doubtedly true that in many important laws the Council of State does very thoroughly discuss the proposed stat- ute. Finally it is submitted to the Czar, who approves or disapproves of it. Again, the Russian law may be for the entire empire, or for only a province, or even for one city. If it is for the entire empire, it is, as a general thing, not immediately put into effect among the Czar's one hundred and forty million subjects. It is usually tried in one province first. If it works well there, it is gradually extended to others until the whole empire is covered. If it does not work well in the first province, the reasons for its de- fective operation are remedied by amendment before it is applied to other provinces, and, as its application spreads, modifications are made as experience requires. The theory is that in this way Russian legislation is not so much the product of some statesman's brain as it is the reflection of actual conditions. It is also said that in this way Russian legislation more carefully answers the needs of the people than the legislation of any other country. While, of course, an American would not for a 300 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE moment concede the correctness of this view, it is worth noting as the beHef earnestly entertained by those who hold to the existing order of things in Russia. Indeed, it is claimed by these advocates of autocratic methods that the processes of Russian legislation, as above briefly defined, are far superior to the parliamentary methods existing in countries like England and America. XXI THE INDEPENDENT PEASANT ARTISAN WITH all of Russia's development of her manufact- uring industry during the last fifteen years, her mills do not in any line supply her own market. There are really very large concerns in Russia devoted to the manufacture of railway locomotives, of which the es- tablishment at Kolomna is the best example; also, there are mills for the manufacture of steel rails and all other items of railway equipment. Yet Russia must yearly import considerable numbers of locomotives and large quantities of everything else necessary for her rapidly growing railway system. Most of these ought to be supplied by the United States. In 1901, most of the importations of railway equipment and general machin- ery, up to July at least, were German. Before that time most of them had been American ; and certainly the bulk of imported agricultural implements were American. But the tariff war precipitated by our controversy with Russia over her sugar rebates, which our government construed to be a bounty on sugar exports from Russia, seriously interfered with our growing sales of American manufactured products throughout the whole Russian Empire. Other European nations were quick to take advantage of tliis, and of these Germany was the most aggressive and successful. But, in spite of this, Amer- ican engines were still the rule in the Russias of the Far East. "What is that?" was asked of the traveller's Russian friend during a cross - country journey in the troika, 302 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE through the lanes and over the fields of his estates. What was, apparently, in the near distance, a mound of grass- grown earth rising in a field, and perhaps a mile from a small village of a dozen or fifteen houses, was pointed out. A thin column of smoke was rising from it — a strange thing in the centre of fields of ripening wheat. "I do not know from here," was the answer, "but I think it is a country blacksmith-shop. If it is you will find it very interesting. It illustrates a vastly important branch of Russian manufacturing industry, and one pe- culiarly and exclusively Russian." The narrow lane, wheat - bordered, took the troika directly in front of this mound of earth, which was found to be in reality a sort of dug-out, not unlike those which the first settlers upon our Western prairies twenty years ago rudely constructed as a temporary shelter. It was partly excavated from a natural rise in the ground at that particular point. The walls above had been constructed of sod; wooden rafters or poles, placed tent-wise on top of this and covered with a thick layer of earth, on which grass was waving, constituted the roof. The whole space inside made a room not exceeding twelve by fourteen feet. Yet within this space, three men and five boys were at work. As the troika stopped, all came out smiling; and sure enough it was a blacksmith-shop, and more than a blacksmith-shop . "Oh yes," said the father of this little industrial ant- heap, "we do more than blacksmithing — we make bolts," and at a word one of the boys ran in and brought out a double handful of hand -made bolts. "We also make nuts for bolts, of course, and many other things like that." These nuts and bolts and other things which these peasant artisans fashioned in their rude earth-shop were marketed in the nearest city. "Oh yes, there is a demand for more than we can supply," answered the father to a pertinent question. "We get very good prices for them, too." The prices, however, were absurdly low in com- 303 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE parison with American prices for similar articles — ab- surdly low, too, when we consider the number which each man could make in a day. Nevertheless, three famihes, numbering many souls, live very well indeed, according to the Russian notions of living, on the proceeds of these country laborers' toil, together with the produce of their fields; and, so far as you can see, all appear happy and content. But the significant point was that the factories of Russia are not making as many iron things of this kind as are required for the daily uses of the country. "If this work pays so well, why don't all the farmer- peasants engage in it?" "Why," said the Russian artisan, with plain surprise pictured on his face, "other farmers do work at it, and many other things, too." This answer revealed what investigation showed to be one of the most extraordinary phases of Russian indus- trialism. This is that class of Russian peasant manu- facturing industry known as the "kustar trades." All over this most extensive of empires, and among all of these most numerous of peoples, the agricultural peas- ants in their country villages form little associations for the manufacture of almost every article used through- out the Czar's dominions. Not only this, but surpris- ing quantities of manufactured goods wrought by these peasant hands in their villages are for export trade. The little proup of workmen busily engaged in the earth- constructed shop just described was one of the poorest and humblest of these communities of peasant artisans. They were working at their "kustar trade" in that short period between the cultivation of their fields and the harvest of the grain which was not yet ripe. Thus their time and labor were turned into productive industry. In tens of thousands of the little country villages larger associations of these peasant working-men employ every moment of their time during the long winter months in some kind of manufacture. Not only the men, but 304 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE the women and children work at these trades. Silk is woven by them. They produce cotton fabrics. All kinds of woodwork are done by them, and the wooden utensils turned out are surprisingly well finished. In many lines a fair degree of art has been developed. For example, the writer was shown wooden spoons, shaped and richly enamelled by peasant villagers, and a village of con- siderable size was visited where the entire population fashioned various forms of jewelry. It is said on excel- lent authority that the Russian peasant product of jewelry annually runs up into millions of articles. Also, all kinds of leather work are done. Without consuming space to enumerate, it is said that there is nothing that these peasant manufacturers of Russia do not create, from horse-shoes to clothing, from icons to ink-stands. Indeed, the immense majority of all the painted saints and virgins and other pictured sacred representations are the work of peasant hands: and very reverent work it is. No amount of money, for example, could induce a peasant artist to paint or carve a sacred image or picture in different colors, attire, or attitude than those familiar ones which immemorial custom has sanctioned. While most of the products of peasant's work is con- sumed in Russia itself, a very respectable quantity of it is exported. Most of these peasant exports, however, go to Asia. And a curious and significant thing must here be noted: the prejudices, likes, susceptibilities, and tastes of the people to whom these export goods are sent are care- fully respected in the manufacture of the articles intended for them. In this the imperial government helps the peasant artisan by instructing him upon these points. And instruction once received and understood by the Russian peasant becomes a fixture in his mentality, and is handed down unchanged throughout succeeding gener- ations. Indeed, it is in this way that the "kustar trades" were first established among the Slav millions, and that of 20 305 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE itself is a curious tale. In the days of serfdom, the nobles who owned these peasant slaves were reqmred to maintain them during the entire year; and yet the mass of them was self-supporting during only the sum- mer months; in the winter months much labor was necessarily wasted. A certain noble, possessing the com- mercial instinct, hit upon a plan of sending the brightest of his peasants to the great cities of the empire, there to learn some craft, and then, returning, teach it to his fellows, so that the labor of the serfs might be employed to some useful and profitable end during the long months of the Russian winter. The idea was a distinct success. Other nobles imme- diately imitated it, and the practice grew until the best minds among all the millions of Russian serfs were sent not only to the great cities of Russia itself, but to the most advanced industrial centres of Germany, Austria, France, and, it is said, even to England. When these peasants were called back they were the masters of numerous crafts, which they at once taught their fellow- slaves in their remote and isolated Russian village homes. And so it was that the serfs became able, not only to till the land of their lord, but to make, with as high degree of skill as the artisans of the most advanced countries of Europe, every article required in the domestic establish- ment of their noble owners. The emancipation, of which some account will here- after be given, did not extinguish these peasant industries, which were as widely spread as the empire itself and as variegated as the wants of the Russian people. And so it is that to-day the peasant manufacturer constitutes the most formidable rival of the great factories, which it is the present and future policy of the Russian govern- ment to foster by a protective tariff and by every possi- ble device. And here occurs a strange paradox of statesmanship. As has been stated, it is the fixed and settled policy of the 306 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Russian government to build up great, centralized fac- tories, such as exist in other European countries and in America. It would appear that this policy, if successful, would destroy the peasant artisan industry called the "kustar trades." Nevertheless, the imperial government carefully fosters these popular industries, as it does the greater and centralized manufacturing industries. "Why, certainly we encourage the 'kustar trades,'" said a Russian official. "For example, teachers are sent at the expense of the imperial government to instruct these peasant manufacturing communities in more care- ful and exact workmanship, and even to teach them new methods." Investigation proved this to be the fact; and not only so, but colored prints are distributed among these village shops to guide the peasant in the most remunerative forms of workmanship. When this is considered, and when it is remembered that the peasant artisan employs himself at these trades during months when his labor is otherwise absolutely wasted and worthless, that the women and children also work alongside of the men, that the labor thus furnished costs practically nothing, that they live in their own homes and consume the food which they themselves, in other portions of the year, have pro- duced, that raw material is practically at hand, it will be seen that the Russian peasant manufacturer in his little village shop is no mean antagonist for the great manufacturer of the cities. Indeed, many Russians ascribe the failure of numbers of foreign manufacturing enterprises to the competition of these Russian peasant manufacturers, and there is, no doubt, a reasonable amount of truth in this explanation. Another industrial and economic paradox is afforded by the growth of great factories in Russia on the one hand, and the persistence of the "kustar trade" on the other. With the racial characteristics of the Slav to community of effort, it has been thought by many 307 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE economists that the modem tendency to industrially or- ganize, which is so marked in our own country, notwith- standing our individualism, would be repeated in greater magnitude and by more solidly knit organizations in the Russian Empire. But, on the other hand, these peasant village manufacturing shops are also maintained by this very instinct of the Slav to organize, for every one of these peasant trades is communistic. There is no work- ing of individuals as individuals and for themselves alone. There is no separate work done even by single families. It is all done by industrial communities, who work in common and have in common. The building where they themselves labor, and which you may see in almost every Russian village, is built in common and owned in com- mon. Even the division of their industry is on the com- munistic principle. For example, many of the articles produced by these "kustar trades" are so elaborate that one community of peasants does not undertake to do it all. It does part of the work, and then passes the unfinished article on to another community, which does another part of the work, and so on until their joint labor is completed, and the proceeds are divided among all these communities, and then subdivided by the heads of each among the various families in proportion to the work done by each. And so it is that industrially the great mass of Russian people may be said to be self-supporting. Indeed, the boast is made that, if every factory in Russia were sud- denly destroyed, and no imports of foreign goods allowed, it would not greatly inconvenience the larger part of the Russian millions. They would go right on, says the en- thusiastic Russian, making their rude wagons in the vil- lages, making what iron implements they needed, spin- ning and weaving and putting together every item of their clothing, and, in short, constructing, from the poorest necessity up to the most dispensable luxury, everything required, regardless of all the world. When one visits the peasant artisans in the villages of Russia, hundreds 308 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE of miles from any railway, and thinks of what is going on in this line among this most numerous of Christian people, the words of Pobyedonostseff, Procurator of the Holy Synod, again flash with dazzling brilliancy before the eye of the inquiring and reflecting mind. " Russia," said Pobyedonostseff, "is no state; Russia is a worid." In short, industrially, the Russian people are still an ele- mental people. The great masses of the Russian people, with their own hands, on their own fields, and in their own homes, still make what they wear and use. Returning from the peculiarly Russian phenomenon of the "kustar trades" to the conditions of the great facto- ries, and the laboring -men whom they are attracting within their walls, and to sum up this very inadequate series of observations on Russian industrial conditions, it may be fairly said that the lot of the Russian laborer in mills and factories is steadily improving. Compared with what it was less than a score of years ago, the progress has been very considerable indeed. Also, the manufacturing development is steadily influencing the agricultural population. More and more a thin stream of Russian agricultural working-men are going to the cities in winter to work in the factories, and returning to their homes in the spring and summer, bringing with them new ideas, a broader mental horizon generally (though still mean and limited from our view-point), and, what is more important, actual creature comforts, and even some of the more refined things of civilized life. In comparison with the millions of Russian peasants, this thin stream of itinerant workmen is perhaps scarcely appreciable. But it flows, nevertheless, and the volume swells. It is unprofitable to speculate as to the future, but the forecast may be hazarded that this process will continue until, as elsewhere, Russian industries will be- come both more diversified and yet more centraHzed, the number of laboring-men who work in factories will in- crease; their skill with machinery will, year by year, be- 309 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE come greater, and, finally, in the distant future the steam- driven mechanisms of modern inventive genius will take from the fingers of the peasant artisan the work which he and his fathers have for centuries performed. When this time comes, Russia's industrial conditions will approach those of Germany, England, and France. But one thing appears probable : progress or no prog- ress, improvement or no improvement, industrial classes or not, Russia is not to be feared as an exporting com- petitor, so far as manufacturing products are concerned, for perhaps a generation to come, or maybe longer. It may be that Russia's statesmen prefer to depend upon the ability of the Russian peasant to make his own clothing and implements, in gradually lessening quantities, until the centralized manufacturing industry of Russia itself can catch up with the Russian demand, and so keep the Russian market exclusively for the Russian factories and mills. If so, it will be a long process. This theory is occasionally suggested, and has a substantial basis of reason. Certainly appearances seem to support it, and, in addition, the one sovereign thought always in the mind of the Russian public man — namely, the solidarity of the nation, would support this view. Indeed, arguments much heard now in Russia, in support of keeping the mar- kets of the empire for the labor and capital of Russia itself, are very similar to those familiar to Americans. In the statement that Russia need not be feared by the other commercial nations as an exporting competitor of manufactured articles in the markets of the world, the export trade of Russia is borne in mind. Let us look at a table (see p. 311) of Russian exports during the last three years, showing what kind of merchandise it is that Russia is selling abroad. In 1902 Russia sold more than four hundred and ten million dollars' worth of merchan- dise to other countries. On their face, and at first blush, these figures appear formidable; but when we consider that they represent the total exports of Russia, and then 310 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE PRINCIPAL ARTICLES EXPORTED FROM RUSSIA DURING THE LAST THREE YEARS Horses. Fowls and Game Cattle, Sheep, and Pigs. Brandy and Corn Spirit . Bran Bristles. Butter. . Caviare . Clothing, Ready-made Corn, Flour, and Meal, Total of Com, Wheat Rye Barley Oats Maize Pease Flour of Wheat. " Rye. . . Cotton, Manufactures of, Eggs (thousands) Flax, Raw. " Tow. . Fur and Sheep Skins. Hemp, Raw Leather and Hides, Untanned. . Oil-cake Oil, Illuminating, Petroleum, etc Seeds, Oleaginous, Linseed Rope and Koptrabi Seed Sugar Wool of all sorts. . . Wool, Raw, Unspun. Total value of principal and other articles R. IQOO igoi No. 58,990 No. 71,900 R. 5,252,000 R. 6,556,000 R. 8,658,000 R. 9,547,000 No. 130,184 No. 156,000 R- 3.743.000 R. 3,748,000 R- 575. 000 R. 591,000 P. 30,684,000 P. 32,403,000 R. 14,867,000 R. 16,406,000 P. 133,000 P. 129,000 R. 5,508,000 R. 5,425,000 P. 1,190,000 P. 1,968,000 R. 13,476,000 R. 26,432,000 P. 191,000 P. I2Q,000 R. 2,549,000 R. 1,852,000 R. 1,182,000 R. 547,000 P. 420,194,000 P. 466,011,000 R. 306,402,000 R. 344,166,000 P. 116,876,000 P. 138,513,000 R. 104,280,000 R. 122,681,000 P. 93,227,000 P. 82,732,000 R. 65,017,000 R. 56,009,000 P- 53.676,000 P. 77,580,000 R- 33.675.000 R. 47,930,000 P. 80,047,000 P. 80,307,000 R. 49,726,000 R. 58,507,000 P. 19,057,000 P. 29,706,000 R. 10,574,000 R. 17,209,000 P. 4,596,000 P. 5,122,000 R- 4,153,000 R. 4,654,000 P- 4,577,000 P. 3,683,000 R. 7,287,000 R. 5,090,000 P. 9,752,000 P. 8,956,000 R. 9,200,000 R. 8,i?i,ooo R. 11,719,000 R. 16,924,000 1,777,000 1,997,000 R- 31.013,000 R. 35,3Q2.ooo P. 10,571,000 P. 8,519,000 R. 43,829,000 R. 44,438,000 P. 1,967,000 P. 1,975,000 R- 5. 257,000 R. 5,554,000 R. 6,440,000 R. 6,107,000 P. 2,422,000 P. 2,564,000 R. 8,147,000 R. 9,864,000 P. 840,000 P. 701,000 R. 7,746,000 R. 6,578,000 P. 22,302,000 P. 23,559,000 R. 15,530,000 R. 16,743,000 P. 87,963,000 P. 93,372,000 R. 46,506,000 R. 52,289,000 P. 16,941.000 P. 4,565,000 R. 28,677,000 R. 8,794,000 P. 3,961,000?. 1,301,000 R. 3,984,000 R. 1,232,000 25,274,000 17,630,000 R. 58.435,000 R. 57,122,000 P. 852 000 P. 650,000 R. s.924,000 R. 5,580,000 716,418,000 R. 729,815,000 R. 825,277,000 No. R R. No. R. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. R. P. R P. R P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. R. R. P. R. P. R. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. P. R. R. P. R. 578 432 185 162 98 69 104 64 63 49 91,900 1,827,000 1,017,000 90,000 ,367,000 ,049,000 ,906,000 ,926,000 143,000 ,854,000 ,309,000 ,415,000 189,000 ,420,000 398,000 ,914,000 ,226,000 ,807,000 ,216,000 ,220,000 ,907,000 ,1 20,000 ,135,000 ,313.°°° ,706,000 ,445,000 ,037,000 ,170,000 ,415,000 ,157,000 ,177,000 ,033,000 ,526,000 ,616,000 ,230,000 ,617,000 .753.000 ,460,000 ,675,000 ,249,000 ,453,000 ,1 24,000 ,709,000 851,000 ,941,000 ,530,000 ,1 22,000 ,357.000 ,143,000 ,1 78,000 ,705,000 ,940,000 ,839,000 ,354,000 ,1 22,000 809,000 ,120,000 Note. — Figures for 1901 and 1902 relate in most cases only to trade over the European frontier. 1 Pood=36.i lbs. — i Ruble=$.5is THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE remember that they are more than a hundred milHon dollars less than the merchandise sold by the United States to the United Kingdom alone, their real impor- tance begins to assume its proper proportions. Their relative significance will be disclosed by the considera- tion of just what these exports consist. This table speaks for itself, and discloses the fact that, with the exception of refined sugar and illuminating oil, practically all of Russia's exports are of raw material. Substantially none of them are of manufactured goods in the popular meaning of that term. It will be noted that the value of corn, flour, and meal exported from Russia in 1902 was something over two hundred and fifteen mill- ion dollars, while the exports of manufactures of cotton were only a little over eight million dollars; and cotton manufacturing is the industry which Russians have most carefully fostered in recent years. It may be interesting to know where these Russian ex- ports go. This is shown in the following table of exports for the last three years for which figures are available. TOTAL VALUE OF EXPORTS OF DOMESTIC PRODUCE (MERCHAN- DISE ONLY) FROM THE RUSSIAN EMPIRE DURING 1898. 1899. AND 1900 Countries Finland Norway Sweden Denmark Germany Holland Belgium United Kingdom. France Spain Italy Austria-Hungary . Greece. Roumania Turkey Persia Egypt United States. . . . China Other countries . Rubles 33,264,000 4,470,000 8,316,000 9,857,000 179.436,000 72,2S7,00O 28,788,000 139,906,000 68,594,000 2,798,000 54,608,000 42,416,000 9,653,000 12,675,000 14,478,000 I7i034,ooo 6,727,000 3,014,000 6,257,000 18,125,000 Total 732,673,000 626,983,000 716,418,000 1899 Rubles 35,116,000 4,948,000 9,295,000 12,341,000 163,564,000 48.821,000 23,532,000 I 29,162,000 59,869,000 7,429,000 27.755,000 26,637,000 9,794,000 6,588,000 12,682,000 17,850,000 5,588,000 4,388,000 7,526,000 14,089,000 1900 Rubles 41 6 12 18 187 69 23 145 57 4 36 26 8 S 18 20 9 3 6 14 ,034,000 ,419,000 ,742,000 ,278,000 ,635,000 ,304,000 i353.ooo ,576,000 ,450,000 ,271,000 ,790,000 ,260,000 ,733,000 ,277,000 ,517,000 ,649,000 ,195,000 ,419,000 ,702,000 ,814,000 Note. — Figures for 1901 and 1903 not available. 312 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE Now compare these Russian exports with Russian im- ports from the same countries during the same period : Countries Finland Norway Sweden Denmark Germany Holland Belgium United Kingdom. France Switzerland Portugal Spain Italy Austria-Hungary . Greece Roumania Turkey Egypt United States. . . . Brazil China Persia Other countries . . Rubles 19,112,000 5,394,000 4,1 21 ,000 5,249,000 202,198,000 9,777,000 23,608,000 1 15,295,000 27,1 10,000 5,851,000 1,451,000 3,250,000 10,171,000 23.925.000 723,000 1,874,000 6,867,000 22,636,000 50,059,000 1,278,000 40,293,000 21,S5I,000 15,666,000 Total 617,459,000 650,485,000 626,375,000 1899 Rubles 18,439,000 5,620,000 6,030,000 3.061,000 230,871 ,000 1 1,414,000 1 7,976,000 1 29,644,000 28,481 .000 7,034,000 1 ,648,000 3,1 15,000 9,259,000 30,617,000 916,000 2,061,000 7,184,000 12,998,000 43,772,000 561,000 43.515.000 21.686,000 14.583,000 Rubles 20,016,000 5,848,000 5,1 72,000 5,900,000 216,853,000 8,822,000 9,086,000 127,144,000 31,445,000 6,199,000 1,451,000 4,876,000 8,93S,ooo 26,983,000 761,000 1,590,000 7,705:000 11,963,000 44,170,000 256,000 45.94S.ooo 20,413,000 14,842,000 It will be noted that, while we buy of Russia between one and two million dollars' worth of merchandise each year, Russia purchases from us between twenty and twenty-five million dollars' worth of merchandise every year. The comparative sales of Russian merchandise to other countries, and Russian purchases of merchandise from these same countries, can best be brought to mind by a balance table (see p. 314) showing just how much each country buys from and sells to Russia. Much has been said in these two chapters descriptive of the iron and steel industry of Russia as revealed by an actual inspection of factories and mills, the condition and efficiency of the labor there, etc. It has been noted that the growth of this industry has been considerable. That the total present product of iron and steel in Russia is not overwhelming is shown by the actual number of tons of 313 THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE ooooooooo O O •-< \C \0 m Tj- mo O « i^oc in O ■* r~ ■ oc o o t^ re rn CO 00 I re M CN O O W 00 t O o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o. r^ o rno oco OvsC O C^ »nco 00 vO ooo 00 00 nO M 100 -"t M vO " o o o o n • o • o o o () • o • o O 0_ o_ 0_ 0_ rr q 0_ • 0_ • o_ ' oo" o_ no o nn m n> . ■* y, 00 1^ f^ t<5 J^ ■* . a .o o Cfl in t m so T«- • m o ■* "- " " ro o c o o o_ o_ iC o" O O O O O O O o 0- °. o_ o_ in 6--C VI,, K., ,\ ^ W