4 5 > ^ 6 m •JE% t% 1 m h^ INFLUENCES THE COEN LAWS INFLUENCES THE CORN LAWS, AS AFFECTING ALL CLASSES OF THE COMMUNITY, AND PARTICULARLY THE LANDED INTERESTS. JAMES WILSON, Esq. SECOND EDITION. LONDON: PUBLISHED BY LONGMAN, ORME, BROWN, GREEN, AND LONGMANS. 1840. LONDON : Printed by W. Clowes and Sons, Staiut'ord Street. <: QQ (T> •a; 3S ^044 INTRODUCTION. In offering the following remarks to the public, on a subject which at the present moment de- servedly attracts so much attention and excites so much interest, I am fully aware of the difficulties by which it is surrounded, which have been increased in no small degree by the determined and often violent spirit in which all parties have conducted their arguments ; and, in consequence of which, society ijiay be said to be now divided into two great sections, having equally, deeply- rooted and extravagant prejudices on this import- ant question. Disclaiming any participation or fellowship with the popular views on either side, uninfluenced by any private or party considerations, prompted only by a desire to arrive at a just and true view of so important a question as the supply of the first necessaries of life must ever be, I have approached the subject without reference to the generally existing opinions, and carefully endeavoured to consider it simply on its own merits. ■.J^4:1 VI INTRODUCTION. To those, therefore, who are in search of argu- ments for the purpose of supporting the partial views of either side, which have hitherto prevailed, I can hold out no encouragement to take the trouble of perusing the following pages : they will not there find one single word declaiming the land- owners as selfish, monopolizing law-makers, or the manufacturers as sordid, avaricious beings, grasping at the riches of the great, and treading on the rights of the poor : the subject has already been handled too much in this way. But to those who know no distinctions in the true interests of different portions of society, who feel and believe that the whole community can only be prosperous in pro])ortion to the prosperity of its different parts, and that all these parts can only derive their individual prosperity from the well- doing of each other ; who know no principle by which the operation of a law could benefit one im- portant portion of society, and injure the remaining; or that could injure one important portion, and benefit the remaining, — to such, if a perusal of the following pages prove of any service in reconciling the facts of this subject to these principles, then will my chief object be accomplished. The subject being essentially an agricultural one. INTRODUCTION. VU I have considered it chiejly and 'particularly in relation to that chiss, and generally in relation to the niannfacturing, mercantile, and other portions of society ; and, ^vhile I have endeavoured to re- concile into one general policy the best interests of all parties, I have not done so by requiring any compromise whatever at the hands of any one : but, on the contrary, only by sustaining and in- creasing all our present sources of national wealth and greatness ; for on such broad and enlightened principles alone can this great question ever be satisfactorily adjusted. Dulwich Place, Surrey, March 1, 1839. PREFACE SECOND EDITION. In presenting this edition to the public, the author has taken the opportunity of explaining, in an Ap- pendix, two objections -which have been raised to the principles and views contained in this work : — first, that the extreme low price at which Conti- nental wheat has sometimes been sold in this mar- ket appears incompatible with the estimate given of the charges necessarily incurred in importing it ; and, secondly, that, from the admitted and well- ascertained fact, that the prices of wheat have fluctuated even more in the Continental countries where there are no corn-laws, and on the Conti- nent generally, than in England, the fluctuations liere cannot be attributed to the existing corn- laws. As the consideration of these two points adds material strength to the general views of the author on this important subject, he is glad of the a 3 X PREFACE. opportunity afforded of showing still further the mischievous tendency of these laws. In a short time he hopes to present to the public a second series of this work, pursuing the consideration to the in- fluences whicii these laws exercise over the cur- rency, the commerce and manufactures, and the moral and physical condition of the country, and the general influence which they exercise over the Continent of Europe. INFLUENCES OF THE CORN LAWS, &c. Notwithstanding the immeasurable importance which must necessarily attach to every principle and circum- stance which tends to regulate the production and price of the- first necessary of life, it is to be feared that no subject lias suffered more than that which is proposed to be em- braced in the present inquiry, for want of a patient inves- tigation of the real facts connected with it, and the appli- cation of such principles, to which a knowledge and due appreciation of such facts must necessarily have led; in place of which, certain opinions and principles have been received and adopted by all parties, and have been tacitly admitted as the foundation of all reasoning on the sub- ject, but which, I believe, I shall be able to show, in the course of the following investigation, to have very little or no foundation in reality, and that the conclusions derived therefrom by all parties must be correspondingly in- correct. The two great parties with opposed views respecting the laws which regulate the production and supply of corn are, 1st., the landed and agricultural interest gene- rally, who, from the commonly admitted opinions, could B not sustain the present value of their property, pay the pub- lic burthens which the wants of the country and the state entail upon them, or maintain with integrity the existing contracts among themselves in the character of leases, &c., or with others, in the character of mortgages, loans, &c., unless the law afforded them a strong protection against the competition of the foreign landed interest, by high and almost prohibitory duties on all foreign agricultu- ral produce : — and, 2ndly, the mercantile, manufacturing, andmechanical interests generally, who, from thesame ad- mitted opinions, have been impressed with the belief that, but for this protection extended to the landed interest, the price of the first necessaries of life, which must tend con- siderably to regulate the value of labour, and conse- quently the cost of their productions, would be greatly reduced from the present rates, and which, in that case, could not fail to exert a most beneficial influence on their different pursuits. To find two opposing parties so well agreed as to the grounds of their dispute is a very uncommon circum- stance : indeed, it would be difficult to say which of the two has been most industrious in circulating and insisting on the same facts in support of their different views and claims. At every agricultural meeting the greatest in- fluence and talent have been exerted to show that, but for this prohibitory protection, and the consequent remu- nerating prices, the country must soon cease to produce food sufficient for one-half of its population, the value of property would vanish like a dream, the treasury would become an empty name, and famine and bankruptcy be the lot of the nation : while, on the other hand, it has been insisted that this protection has been the chief cause of almost every difficulty that has clouded our manufac- turing prosperity ; that to it alone may be ascribed every effort at competition and advance in the manufacturing arts which have been made by our continental neighbours since the peace ; that by a removal of this protection the value of food and the price of labour would be reduced one-half, and the demand for it doubled ; and it has even been stated that a free trade in corn would produce a saving to the country, by the reduction in prices, equi- valent to one-half of our entire taxation. Thus, between these two parties, and on these grounds, equally admitted by both, the question has hitherto been chiefly confined; and the only point to determine has been, whether or not it was justice or good policy to afford the protection required by the one, to the apparent injury of the other. I have, however, long been convinced that the com- mon opinions, thus generally received and admitted by all parties, have either no foundation at all in truth, or so little, as to exert the most insignificant influence on the subject; and that, consequently, the fears and appre- hended dangers on the one hand, and the continued irri- tating and inflammatory discontent on the other, are equally groundless: but that, nevertheless, the interfer- ence of the legislature, with the intention of accomplishing the wishes and objects of the landed interests, has had the most baneful tendencies on all classes of the commu- nity, beginning with the wealthiest landowner, and running through every grade and profession of life, down to the meanest labourer ; and that the whole are conse- quently deeply interested in laying aside all party feelings b2 on this important subject, and undertaking its considera- tion in a spirit of fairness, having no other desire than to arrive at the truth; as I behove I may safely say, that every interest has in its turn experienced and acknow- ledged the baneful influence of the present state of the laws, and perhaps none with so nuich reason as the agri- cultin-al interest itself. To collect all the facts connected with this interesting subject, and to combine them in such a way as to show the operation and tendency of the present laws and regulations affecting the price and production of wheat, as proved by the experience of the past, is the object of the following pages. We cannot too much lament and deprecate the spirit of violence and exaggeration with which this subject has always been approached by each party, which no doubt has been the chief cause why so little of real truth or benefit has resulted from the efforts of either : the argu- ments on either side have been supported by such absurd and magnified statements of the influences of these pro- hibitory laws on their separate interests, as only to furnish each other with a jjood handle to turn the whole argu- ment into ridicule. It therefore appears to be necessary to a just settlement of this great question, that these two parties should be first reconciled to a correct view of the real influences thus exerted over tlieir interests, and the interests of the country at large; to a conviction that the imaginary fears of change on the one hand, and the exaggerated advantages expected on the other hand, are equally without foundation; that thei'c are in reality no diflcrcnces in the solid interests of either party; and tiiat individnals, co^nmnniliefi, or countries can only be pros- perous in proportion to the prosperity of the whole. To attempt this important object I do not propose to spent! much time in abstract reasoning on the subject, which has been nearly exhausted by a succession of able productions from the days of Adam Smith to the present ; but I propose to proceed at once to an examination of the matter practically, as shown by the statistics and his- torical facts of the operation of the Corn Laics, chiefly confining my considerations to the period from 1815 to the present day -, and I will here remark that, through- out this inquiry, I shall have recourse only to the well- authenticated government returns, when they can pos- sibly be applied, and in other cases to the best authorities extant on the subject. I propose to confine this inquiry chiefly to the period above-mentioned ; first, because during that time the greatest effort has been made by the law. to regulate and control the subject : secondly, because during that period we have had uninterrupted peace ; and thirdly, because going further back would lead into many considerations which influenced the prices and production of corn, not necessarily connected with itself, such as long and pro- tracted wars, changes in the value of money, &c., &c. I shall now proceed by dividing the subject into the following distinct propositions : first, that the present Corn Laws, as well as those which existed from 1815 to 1828, have been productive of consequences most preju- dicial to all classes of the community, but more especially so to the landed and agricultural interest generally ; in the course of which I propose to show in what maimer they have been injurious to each separate interest, and to the country at large. Secondly, that the agricultural interest has derived no benefit, but great injury, from the existing laws ; and that the fears and apprehensions entertained of the ruinous consequences which would result to this interest by the adoption of a free and liberal policy with respect to the trade in corn are without any foundation ; that the value of this property, instead of being depreciated, on the ag- gregate, would be rather enhanced, and the general in- terests of the owners most decidely benefited thereby. Thirdly, that, while incalculable benefit would arise to the manufacturing interest and the working popula- tion generally, in common with all classes of the com- munity, from the adoption of such policy, nothing can be more erroneous than the belief that the price of pro- visions or labour would on the average be thereby cheapened but that, on the contrary, the tendency ^vould rather be to produce, by a state of general increased prosperity, a higher average rate of each ; — and. Fourthly, a consideration of what change in the pre- sent laws would best suit the interests of all parties at this particular time; and an examination of the benefit which would be derived by the establishment of a govern- ment institution for the purpose of collecting and fur- nishing periodically to the agricultural interests all the statistical facts connected with their pursuits, similar to those which the Custom House documents furnish to the mercantile interests. PROPOSITION THE FIRST. That the present Corn Laws, as well as those which existed from 1815 to 1828, have been productive of consequences most prejudicial to all classes of the community, but more especially so to the landed and agricultural interest generally, &c. &c. In taking a general survey of the history of wheat during the period proposed, from 1815, to this time, the most striking feature is the great inequality and fluctuation of price, the average of some years being double that of others. This feature is not, however, more striking in the great extent to which it exists than it is remarkable at first sight that it should exist at all. Although long habit and experience may have caused us to cease to feel wonder at an event so common, very little consideration will, however, suffice to show that no article of extensive consumption in this country ought to'be, from the nature of its production and consumption, so free from fluctua- tion as wheat. Natural fluctuations in the prices of commodities of any kind can only be the result of great and frequent changes in the relation of the supply of, and demand for, the article ; and this may be eftected in two ways, — either by a variation in the former or the latter. It is very plain that the consumption and consequent demand of no article can possibly be so equal as that of 8 wheat, the chief and first necessary of hfe. As far as re- gards the whole of the upper and middle ranks of life, and even a large portion of the lowest orders, the same quantity of wheat would be consumed at all times. The great bulk of the population will eat the same quantity of bread at all times : when it is cheap other articles are cheap in proportion, they therefore eat no more ; when it is dear, it is the last article the consumption of which can be abridged : a thousand articles of comparative luxury will be given up before the first great necessary. There is, no doubt, a portion of the lowest orders which can command bread when cheap, that is obliged to exist more on lower fare, such as potatoes, &c., when it is dear ; but this proportion is extremely small, and smaller now than at any former period of the history of this country. It has consequently been remarked by many observers on this subject, that, owing to this necessary equality of consumption, the //w/#* between surplus and deficiency are not far apart : that surplus stock and lower prices do not, to the same extent as other articles, stimulate increased consumption, and that a deficiency, with higher prices, docs not like other articles materially abridge the con- sumption. It is, therefore, quite plain that inequahty of demand cannot be the cause of the fluctuation of price ;* * It may be said by this reasoning that the very equality of consumption is one of the causes of the extreme prices ; for if, with lower prices, the consumption increased, it would tend to maintain prices, and if, with higher prices, the consumption diminished, it would tend to keep prices down. This is true ; but this is first to suppose that the supply is necessarily fluctuating. It is only an aggravated effect, and not a cause of fluctuation. 9 for, should any difference have existed in this respect, the consumption must certainly have been largest in years of tlie greatest cheapness and plenty, and least during the year of the highest prices : it therefore could not be di- minished demand which produced the low prices, or in- creased demand the high prices. It becomes obvious, therefore, that the inequality must have arisen in the supply ; but at first sight this seems almost impossible. When we consider that a chief cause of an equal supply of any article is an equal and un- varying demand ; that for the supply of this article we are dependent, almost exclusively, on our own home pro- duction, with a climate comparatively so equal, and a soil which is not only highly cultivated, but is sufficiently varying in its character, as to be adapted to any little variation of season ; with a greater amount of skill and capital, to avert the consequences which even the slight fluctuation of seasons might produce, than is enjoyed by any other country, or the cultivation of any other article ; — when we consider such a combination of causes to pro- duce supply equal to the demand, we cannot but feel surprised that it should prove so varying as to cause such extreme fluctuations — fluctuations much greater than have been experienced in any of the chief products of our distant colonies, notwithstanding they are subject to the influence of climates and circumstances much less certain, to hurricanes and disasters, to droughts and inun- dations, and to a train of vicissitudes, natural and poli- tical, w holly unknown in the production of wheat. We are induced to dwell thus minutely on this feature of the subject of our investigation, for we believe it to be the 10 secret source of the whole mischief of the present system. We therefore think it of the greatest importance to dis- cover the real cause of serious facts so well established, but differing so essentially from that course which all general and admitted principles would have led us to expect. In order to show what these fluctuations really have been, and at the same time to show that they have been regulated by some general and uniform principle, we submit the following table, divided into distinct pe- riods, of rising and falling prices : — showing, first, the quantity of home-grown wheat which has arrived at Mark Lane, the chief market in the kingdom ; secondly, the average prices of wheat in the whole kingdom ; thirdly, the quantity of foreign wheat entered for home consumption ; fourthly, the average prices of wheat at Dantzig; and fifthly, the average price of South Down wool, — in each of the last twenty-one years : — 11 FIRST PERIOD.— 1817 to 1822. Increasinj^ Supplies and falling Prices. Qrs. of wheat. Average Quarters of Foreign .\\orage British and price m and Colonial wheat Average price i>l Years. Irish, arrived Great Bri- and flour entered , price at South atMarkLane. tain. for consumption in Dantzig. Great Britain, j Down wool. 1817 290,479 94/ 1,020,949 75/8 19./. 1818 205.907 83/8 1,593,318 64/7 24 1819 257,951 72/3 122,133 43/9 24 1820 395,889 65/10 34,274 33/3 17 1821 443.803 54/5 2 31/7 141 1822* 512,152 43/3t 29/1 13 SECOND PERIOD.— 1822 to 1829. Diminishing Supplies and rising Prices. 1822* 512,152 43/3t 29/1 1 3d. 1823 393,177 51/9 12,137 26/8 14i 1824 348,007 62/ 15,777 22/9 12 1825 413,171 06/6 525,231 23/3 16 1826 271,120 56/11 315,892 23/1 10 1827 241,729 56/9 572,733 22/5 9 1828 312,610 60/5 842,050 24,4 9 1829+ , 188,150 66/6§ 1,364,220 36/10 8 THIRD PERIOD.— 1829 to 1835. Increasing Supplies and falling Prices. 1829J 188,150 69/6§ 1,364,220 36/10 8^. 1830 224,887 64/3 1,701,885 34/3 10 1831 208,329 66/ 1,491,631 37/3 12 1832 300,073 58/8 325,435 37/7 18 1833 388,171 52/11 82,346 29/4 16 1834 418,431 46/2 64,653 25/5 17 1835* 468,338 39/4t 28,483 23/ 18 FOURTH PERIOD.— 1835 to 1839. Diminishing Supplies and rising Prices. 1835* 468,338 39/4t 28,483 ^3/ ]8d. 1836 414,145 48/6 30,534 28/7 19 1837 321,735 55/10 244,619 29/ 14 1838 296,500 , 64/7 *1,853,018 .. .. 174 • Maximum Supply. X Minimum .Supply. t Minimum Price. § Maximum Price. * It must be borne in mind that these quantities include the Colonial Imports, which in many years constitute by far the greatest portion. 12 In framinfj this table wc have been desirous first to ascertain the annual supply of home-grown wheat from year to year. In the absence of any knowledge on this important and vital subject, beyond vague report and con- jecture, we have, after much consideration, taken the arri- vals at Mark Lane, as the most accurate criterion of the progress of cultivation and supply from year to year; not that these quantities bear in themselves any fixed projoortion to the whole amount produced, but that they furnish the best index of the general progress of pro- duction. Being the chief market in the kingdom, sup- plying not only by far the largest and the wealthiest po- pulation in its own immediate vicinity, but also being the channel through which the surplus produce of one part of the country is sent to another part in want of it, we have selected it as the most satisfactory evidence on this point. In the next place we have shown in what way the average prices for the ichole kingdom are influenced by the supply from year to year, which, corresponding so accurately with the index of the general supply which we have selected, proves that it is not far wrong. In the third column we have examined the quantities of foreign and colonial wheat and flour cleared for consumption (in each year) in the whole kingdom, in order to show how the great apparent deficiency in some years has been sup- plied. In the fourth column we have furnished the average price at Dantzig, the chief continental market, in each year of the same period ; — and in the sixth column we have furnished the average price of South Down wool, as a criterion of the value of British wools, generally, and which appears to boar some relation to the production of wheat. 13 In the first years of the period, while tlie price of wheat was very high, it will be observed that wool was also dear, in relation to its general average price in after years : — but it will be remembered that at that time a considerable duty was paid on the importation of foreign wool, which tended to keep prices higher here ; and when that duty was repealed, and the present small duty sub- stituted, the relative value of the article was thereby lowered. It will however be remarked as an interesting fact, that from 1822 to 1S29, as the production of wheat gradually fell off and the price advanced, the production of wool appears to have increased, and the price conse- quently diminished: so that in 1829, when wheat had reached the highest point, wool was at the lowest point ; and that, from that period forward, as wheat gradually declined in price, wool gradually advanced. — There can be no doubt that these two subjects have some relation to each other, and that the increased cultivation of wheat from 1829 forward was greatly aided by the reduction of extensive sheep-walks particularly in the southern and western counties, into wheat- fields. It is at the same time evident that the prices and consumption of wool must depend on so many other circumstances, such as the general state of trade, the amount of the supplies from other countries, &c., quite distinct from any relation that it may bear to wheat, that no great practical result can be gathered from this comparison. — It is worthy of observation that, notwithstanding the crisis of 1836-37, and notwithstanding the immensely increased supplies of foreign and colonial wool, the prices have not fallen, while wheat has been rising so rapidly; — which is a cheering evidence of the rapid increase of our con- sumption of wool since the former period. 14 With this explanation of this table we will proceed to examine how far the statistical facts which it exhibits will enable us to discover a satisfactory reason for the fluctuations which, we shall hereafter show, are so preju- dicial to the interests of all. — In looking at this table, it will be seen that a regular operation of increasing sup- plies with falling prices, and of diminishing supplies and rising prices, have been going on during the whole four distinguished periods. The following are the extreme points, between which however the operation is gradual and regular to a won- derful degree : — Sttpplij. Price. 1817 . . 290,479 . . 94.?. 1822 . . 511,152 . . 43*. Sc^., a fall of 54 per cent. 1829 . . 188,150 . . 66*. 6c?., arise of 53 „ 1835 . . 468,338 . . 39*. 4(/., a fall of 41 „ 1838 . . 296,500 . . 64*. 7c?., a rise of 64 „ We cannot view this table without at once arriving at a conviction that changes so uniform have been brought o ft about by some cause as uniform and unerring as the effects produced, and must at once banish from our mind the commonly-received opinion that the fluctuations of prices are caused by favourable and unfavourable sea- sons, or any other accidental reason. To suppose this would be to believe that from 1817 to 1822 the seasons were every year rapidly and uniformly improving, and that from that year till 1829 they were as rapidly and uniformly becoming worse, and so on during the whole period. As it is therefore plain that these fluctuations of supply cannot arise from the accidental variations of the seasons (though upon some occasions the natural opera- 15 tion may be aggravated by this cause), it follows that they must arise from an increased or diminished cultivation, either in the extent of surface or in the amount of capital and labour employed thereon ; and we believe the whole cause will be most satisfactorily explained by a considera- tion of the natural and imperative influence of the Corn Laws which have been in operation during this period;* From 1810 to 1813 inclusive the average price of wheat for the four years was 106*., being in 1812 as high as 122*. 8c/. per quarter; in 1814 the average fell down to 72*. Id., and in 1815 to 63*. 8d.: — these re- duced prices created so much alarm amongst the agri- cultural interest, that they procured a parliamentary inquiry in 1814 as a preliminary to some enactment for the purpose of reviving and protecting their sinking interests. The evidence given before this Committee of the House of Peers, by Mr. Arthur Young and several eminent agriculturists, went to show that, in order to retain the cultivation of Great Britain in the extent in which it then was, it would be necessary that the average price of wheat should be 90*. to 100*. per quarter, barley 40s. to 45*., and oats 30*. to 35*. On this evidence the Corn Laws of 1815 were founded, which entirely prohi- bited the import of foreign wheat until the aggregate average of the whole country for three months had reached 80*. per quarter. The low prices (comparatively for that period) in 1814 and 1815 had the effect of ma- terially discouraging production, and this cause, followed by the unparalleled bad season of 1816, produced the high price of 1817, with which we commence our periods of fluctuations. In this year the average price, for the * See Note 1, at the end. 16 whole kingdom;, of wheat was 94s. This extreme price, supported by a Uuv which was intended and supposed would at least have the effect of preventing wheat from sinking below 80a\ per quarter, could not fail to have an important eftect in stimulating a general increased pro- duction. Tliis was effected in all possible ways. A larger breadth of land in cultivation was diverted to W'heat, new lands were called into cultivation moors and morasses were reclaimed, and capital was in every way most lavishly expended to secvu-e the glittering advan- tages of such high prices. To use the expression of an eminent person of the day, the surface of the land was strewed with guineas to reap wheat. Eighty shillings per quarter was the standard of all calcidations, and therefore every piece of ground which could be brought into cultivation to raise wheat at this price was submitted to the plough. At this period a similar process was going forward on the Continent, caused by the high prices which resulted from the extensive supplies to this country in 1817 and 1818. We cannot, therefore, be surprised that each year suc- ceeding these efforts we should find a rapid increase of supply. J. H. Von Thuenen of Tellow, an eminent 'Continental agriculturist, in a letter addressed to Mr. Jacob, and presented in his rejwrt to the Board of Trade in 1827, states, "The harvests of 1821, 1822, and 1823 were so abundant, that history scarcely accords the like for a single year, much less for a series of three years ; the increased production of the soil by the apj^dication of marl, combined witli the fertility of the seasons, yielded such rich harvests, that the cost of production was much less than in former years." 17 This Increased production and supj)ly could not fail to affect prices materially, and consequently we find that a gradual decline took place, until the whole average price of 1822, with a supply at Mark Lane of 512,152 quarters, was only 43s. 3(/. per quarter — less than half the price in 1817, when the supply was only 290,479 quarters. It is extremely worthy of remark that this change was caused only by the competition amongst our own home- growers, as it will be seen that from 1818 forward for some years the most trivial quantity of foreign wheat was imported ; and it is impossible, dierefore, to say that the great depression had any connexion with foreign supplies or competition. It is evident that the influences which induced such an extended and forced cultivation, viz., the high prices of 1817, and the prohibitory law, which had for its only object the maintenance of these high prices, were the real and only cause of the ruinous prices which ensued in 1822 ; and it is as evident that great loss must have been sustained by those who, in the delusive hope of reaping the advantages promised by these prohibitory laws, had been thus induced to expend so much capital and labour in the improvements which took place, and who thus found that, just when the invested capital began to show its fruitful results, the prices began proportionally to diminish, until at length they did not receive one-half of the rates which had induced them to expend so much money, notwithstanding the promise of protection which the law held out. But no article can long remain below the cost of pro- c 18 duction: we accorclin whole, — we seek chiefly, and first, as the greatest boon to those who are called upon to make the supposed sacrifice, and only througli them as an untellable advantage to the general mass. We adhei-e closely to what we believe the only true theory on national interests : — That nothing can possibly be favour- able to the whole that is detrimental to a part, and that E 50 nothing can be detrimental to one portion that is favour- able to another portion ; that the whole mass being made up only of parts, and as each part can only be interested through the medium of some or all of the other parts, it follows that any one part can only prosper in proportion to all the others from which it derives its support; and that the whole of these parts are so linked together, that no weight or pressure can apply at any one point with- out bearing less or more on the whole chain of connexion. We shall now proceed, and endeavour, by fair reason- ing supported by undeniable facts, to reconcile our pro- position and our theory with the interests in question, as proved by the experience of the past. One part of the present proposition, that the agricul- tural interests derive great injury from the operation of the present Corn Laws, or from any prohibitory law for their protection, has been sufficiently considered already to require any further notice ; but it remains to be con- sidered whether or not they have derived any benefit from the working of these laws in any way to compensate for the great injury sustained. The professed object of these laws has always been to secure to the agricultural interests of this country high prices, high rents, and a high value of property, by grant- ing them the monopoly of solely supplying the whole food necessary for the support of its population, by excluding all foreign agricultural produce, except at such periods as might arrive from any cause whatever, when the home supply should prove inadequate thereto. 51 Without, in this place, entering into any consideration of the justice or pohcy of such an attempt, had it proved of any practical eftect, we will at once proceed to con- sider how far the intended object has been accomplished in the past, or is likely to be in the future. In order to determine this question, it is necessary to ascertain what really have been the effects produced on prices by these acts, what effects would have been expe- rienced had they not existed, and what effects are likely to be produced in the future, should they be entirely abandoned. Some of the most important effects having been already fully considered, which went to prove the necessary exist- ence of great fluctuations, we must now determine what has been the average price which, for a period of high and low years, has been received by the grower. By taking the quantities sold at Mark Lane in each year from 1829 to 1835 inclusive, which includes a whole period from the highest to the lowest years, we find that the average price at which each quarter of wheat sold was 53^". per quarter ; and we find, by the official return issued from the Board of Trade on the 3rd of January last, that the average price of wheat for the whole kingdom, for the last seven years, had been 52a\ 2d. per quarter. It must be clear that, however small this price may appear, a very large diminution from it is required to show what really the grower received. This average price neces- sarily includes all expenses, of whatever nature, arising E 2 52 between tlie grower and purcliaser — of all carriage, wiiotlier by land or by water, all Ireights by sea, all com- missions, intermediate profits, market dues, and all other charges attending the sale ; of all interest of capital, of granary-rent and waste, and whatever else may attach by keeping the surplus of one year to secure a higher price in another: what all these charges may amount to it is impossible to calculate, but it is certain they must con- stitute a very considerable total charge ; and, however large it may appear, it must form a necessary deduction from the average price of C)2s. 2d., to arrive at what the British farmer has obtained, during the last seven years, for his wheat when put into sacks and ready for market. It must however be admitted, that., whatever may be the rate to which this necessary deduction would reduce the actual price obtained by the grower, it must have proved a sufficient price, on this average, to support the whole of the landed interests in their various connexions, in the actual amount of profit or income which they have derived from their property and pursuits ; and that, whatever this real interest may be, it is the exact amount which can be secured to them by the existence of such protection ; or, in other words, this price of 52.v. 2d., reduced by the whole amount of the specified ciiarges paid annually to the grower, would have been exactly equivalent to all tlie varying prices which he has actually received, but, nevertheless, subject to all the sacrifices and misery pointed out in a former part of these remarks, as the necessary attendants of the iluctuating manner in which he has received thus much. 53 We are the more convinced that even this dimi- nished rate haij been sufficient to remunerate all parties to the present extent of their interests, by the facts, that, while the population of Great Britain increased upwards of two millions from 1821 to 1831, and there can be no doubt has since that time increased in an equal ratio ; the general condition of the whole population has much improved, and the aggregate consumption much increased, without any increased supplies from abroad as compared with former years, and with an average price for the last seven years lower than that of any former seven years for the last half-centiny ; which proves, without the pos- sibility of doubt, that the rates obtained have not only served to sustain the former amount of production, but to increase it in a proportion equivalent not only to the in- creased rate of consumption, but also to the increased number of consumers. This may, therefore, be called the rate which is fixed by our own internal competition and resources : 52s. 2d. per quai'ter may be called the prime cost of wheat to the consumer, and that sum, reduced by the charges enume- rated, maybe called the remunerating price to the landed interest, to the exact extent to which they have been remunerated. We believe there has been no source of error and mis- conception on the subject of our inquiry generally so great as the exaggerated belief, entertained and admitted by all, of the ability of the Continent to supply wheat, whether taken in relation to the prime cost of production, or as to the quantity cypa])le of being produced. When, 54 however, we consider that on this very point hung the argument of all parties, and to sustain which it was necessary to make it appear that this ability was almost without limit; when, on the one hand, the agriculturist claimed protection from a formidable and unconquerable competitor, who, if allowed to stand on the same ground, would annihilate his pursuits, the greater, therefore, he could exaggerate the ability of the antagonist, the more he considered he made out his case for protection. On the other hand, the manufacturer opposed the claims of the agriculturist by insisting exactly upon the same Con- tinental ability. He complained of the competition which resulted to himself by the extreme low- prices of labour on the Continent, and demanded a participation for his labourers in the cheap and abundant products of those countries. The cheaper, therefore, and the more abun- dant, he could make them appear, the more he showed that his interests would be consulted by obtaining them ; the more he proved that these prohibitory laws were made as a protection to the landowner at his cost, the more he proved that the manufacturing interests of the country were sacrificed to the landed interests. All parties were therefore equally interested in insist- ing upon and exaggerating this point, — the question had never fair play ; there was no motive, no disposition for one side to discover or point out the fallacies or extrava- gant statements of the other : on the contrary, they were only taken as admitted facts, and, if possible, still more exaggerated, to be used by each party in its turn, only difl'erently applied. We thus find that, with these long accumulating extravagances incorporated into the opi- 55 nions and sentiments of all, a universal impression pre- vails, that the Continental countries have the power of producing an unlimited quantity of wheat, and of supply- ing this country at prices less than one-half of the British cost of production ; — that to open the door for the free admission of foreign grain would, on the one side, throw half our home-lands out of cultivation, ruin the farmers and landowners, and, on the other hand, lower the piice of provisions to half their present rate, and the price of labour in the same proportion. Such are the extravagant notions entertained on this subject, that we might suppose we inhabited only a barren rock, without skill, industry, or capital, while our neighbours, whom we feared, pos- sessed a soil which required no tilling, yielding spontane- ously, year after year, the richest harvests. We never could dream that, co-existent with these fears, we pos- sessed the finest climate, the finest and best-cultivated soils, the greatest amount of skill, industry and capital, of any country in the world, taken as a whole ; while many of the countries whose competition we fear are sunk in the most abject poverty and ignorance. What are the elements of cheap production? Fertility of soil, climate, skill, and capital. What country possesses the whole to the same extent as this ? But it may be said that our population is so large that it presses on the pro- duce of the land, and that these elements have not fair and extended application. We can only reply that, were it so, or when it shall be so, then a stronger reason will never be made out for encouraging the growth of wheat for our consumption elsewhere ; but it is not so, for it has already been shown that at two distinct periods within the last 20 years, and the last only four years ago, the 56 production of this country had hccn pressed so far as to ibrcc prices much below the cost of production, and this was accomphshed ahoorethcr by the etlorts of our own growers, without the aid of any foreign supphes worthy of notice. Our behef is, that the whole of these generally received opinions are erroneous ; that, if we had had a free trade in corn since 1815, the average price of the whole period, actually received by the British grower, would have been higher than it has been; that little or no more foreign grain would have been imported ; and that if, for the next twenty years, the whole protective system shall be aban- doned, the average price of wheat will be higher than it has been for the last seven years, or than it would be in the future with a continuance of the present system : but with this great difference, — that prices would be nearly uniform and unaltering from year to year ; that the dis- astrous fluctuations would be greatly avoided, which we have shown in the first proposition to be so ruinous under the present system. Wlien we say that we believe the price will be higher, we mean relatively with the cost of production, and that it will give, on an average of years, a better profit to tiic farmer, and a higher rent to the landlord. We know it to be an opinion held by many most in- teUigent men on this subject, and in which we cordially join, that, by the improvements in agriculture and the economy of labour by the introduction of machinery, the cost of production has been much less of late years than fornierly, (which opinion is fully sustained by the 57 fact noticed in another part of this proposition, that, notwithstanding the great increase of our popukitioii of late years, the increased productiveness of the soil has supphed a sufficient quantity for our greatly increased consumption, at a lower average price than at any former period, without any additional foreign supplies ;) and that continued improvements and application of machinery in the future will more than keep pace with our increasing consumption, and thus, by abridging the cost, will lower, by our internal competition only, the general price of all commodities. By this operation the condition of the landed interest cannot fail to be improved, especially the landowner (as a great proportion of the increased pro- ductiveness would enter into rent), by a more extended consumption and general business ; and in this case the more effectually must all foreign competition be shut out. There are two modes by which supplies of any article may be materially increased : first, by an attempted pro- tection and monopoly ; and, secondly, by a free and open competition. In the former instance the increase is caused by a feeling of security against competition, and of the command, on the most advantageous terms, of the whole supply : the increase therefore which is thus pro- duced, is only done by greatly increased expense and generally enhanced cost ; so that, as soon as a surplus is felt, the inability of the producer to sell at a price to in- duce the consumption of the increased quantity renders it imperative that he should sell at a loss, and a conse- quent reaction takes place in the supply : — this has been the case with wheat. In the latter case, the increased supply will only be brought about by the application of more ingenuity, labour, and economy, causing altogether 58 so much lessened a cost, that the lower price at which the article can be profitably sold will always cause consumption to keep pace with production; and in this case, as the article still yields a profit at the low price, no reaction will ensue. This has been the case with all our manufactured goods. While cotton goods have been reduced to less than half the price they were a few years ago, no reaction has taken place in their supply; but, on the contrary, a steady onward course of increased production has been observable; because that diminution of price has only taken place in consequence of the greatly diminished cost by the intro- duction of more perfect machinery, and other improve- ments, which have greatly improved the interests of all concerned in such pursuits by enlarging the field of their enterprise. In this way alone can we ever expect the prices of provisions to be cheaper, and in this way they would only be cheapened, by a general improvement of the landed interest ; and it must be obvious to every one how great are the advantages which the British corn-grower has over any other in the world, in accomplishing this great and desirable end, as found in the great amount of chemical and mechanical skill, in the great command of capital, and in the congeniality of soil and climate to his pursuits, which this country possesses in so superior a degree to any other. We shall now proceed to institute a comparison between the present ability of the Continent and that of Great Britain to supply the population of this country with wheat, both in quantity and price, taking the cost price 59 of the last seven years as the remunerating price in this country. To arrive" at what is the cost of raising wheat on the Continent is rather difficult, as it would be in this country, if we were only to rely on the calculations of producers for our information : for it is obvious that many circum- stances may make it very variable ; and we are only able to do so by seeing what average price has been sufficient to sustain the average rate of production. With regard to the Continent, circumstances are still more variable ; but we have sufficient data, which enable us to discover near enough for any useful purpose, what price would be sufficient to maintain the present state and extent of cultivation in these countries. The chief and best official information that we have on the cost and extent of cultivation on the Continent is to be found in Mr. Jacob's report, presented to the Board of Trade in 1828, subsequent to his official tour on the Continent for inquiry into these subjects in 1827. We will consider this question under two distinct heads : first, the cost at which the Continental countries could supply their surplus produce ; and, secondly, the extent to which this supply could be furnished. Mr. Jacob appears to have made great exertion to ob- tain from the cultivators the actual cost of wheat ; and in many instances they appear to have bestowed extraor- dinary pains in the attempt to furnish them ; but it is quite clear that, however correct any calculation may be made for any one estate, it may be very different from 60 the general cost of the whole country : much will depend on the fertility of the soil, where, in consequence of the cultivator being generally the owner, he calculates no rent ; much again will depend on the skill with which the whole arrangements and culture are carried on ; and again much will depend on the relative cost at which different men may estimate the value of the other por- tions of their produce. It may, however, be useful to quote these calculations, as they appear to be near the actual general cost as de- ducible from other circumstances. Mr. Jacob dwells very much on the capabilities pf Mecklenburg, as being, from its geographical situation and other circumstances, capable of furnishing wheat to this country cheaper than any other. In the appendix to his report, Mr. Jacob furnishes a copy of a most elaborate and intelligent letter from J, H. Van Thuenen of Tellow% the proprietor and culti- vator of one of the finest estates in Mecklenburg. This letter indicates suflSciently how superior this individual must be to the great mass of Continental cultivators, and so far shows how little his estimate can be depended upon as a criterion for the whole. The price at which he estimates the prime cost of his wheat is 26s. per quarter, allowing no profit to the farmer beyond the interest on live stock and implements, or in- come to the proprietor beyond the interest on the value of the buildings. And then he adds that, in consequence of the general inferior cultivation, the average cost of all the wheat grown in Mecklenburg is fully 5j. per quarter higher than this calculation, and that the average quality 61 isSs". per quarter worse; and that tlie produce of Tellow is in point of quality 5v. per quarter worse than tlie average prochice of Great Britain. To this must be added the profit of the farmer, the rent of land, the price of con- veying to the port, and tiien \s\ per quarter for skreening, besides the merchant's profit and expenses, to arrive at the price at which it coukl be putyjee on board a ship. Mr. Jacob gives another very elaborate statement of the actual cost for an average of years on another estate, fin-nished by Mr. Canning, Consul General at Hamburg, which shows that, in order to pay a profit of 5 per cent, on the capital invested, to be divided between the farmer and the landowner, 40.v. per quarter must be obtained for wheat : this price, we suppose, includes the cost of taking it to the shipping port, which rises very rapidly in proportion to the distance. In Holstein and Sleswick, Sir C. Echard and Mr. Iverson estimate the net cost of growth at about the same as Mr. Van Thuenen ; but here the quality is still worse, the best being estimated at least 6.v. per quarter worse than the average of British wheat. The expense of conveying wheat to market must depend entirely upon the distance ; on this point Mr. Jacob furnishes a very interesting table, founded on the experience of an intelligent and extensive cultivator in Mecklenburg, by which it is shown that the cost of land-carriajje of grain is — For 24 English Miles 3*. Orf. per quarter. 48 „ „ 5 10^ 72 „ „ 8 G 96 „ „ il 62 And so*on in the^same proportion, until the expenses in- curred in moving this bulky article two hundred and forty miles would absorb its wliole value. We prefer, however, to go more fully into this consider- ation, by taking the well-authenticated average rates which in these countries have proved sufficient to sustain the actual extent of cultivation which has of late years existed, as on this result we are inclined to place much greater reliance than on any private calculations. In this inquiry our chief attention shall be directed to the extended territory of Prussia, including Poland, be- cause the exports of grain from that country are three times larger than any other country in Europe. Fortimately for our subject, this country has a govern- ment which has had the wisdom not only to be furnished itself, but also to furnish its whole population, with a more accurate knowledge of their internal resources and con- dition from time to time than any other country in Europe, by carefully collecting and publishing periodi- cally a statistical view of the progress making in their different internal interests. Since the year 1816 the Prussian government has watched with great care the average prices of grain. They are published in the Official Gazette at the end of each month, from the returns made by proper people appointed for the purpose throughout the different pro- vinces. From these returns monthly averages are calcu- 63 lated for each province ; and from these the annual ave- rage is ultimately derived. They then calculate the average price of each last fourteen years, in the same way as we calculate the averages of each last six weeks ; by every year dropping the first year, and adding the newly-expired year in its place. This appears so perfect a mode of arriving at the average price for a long period, that we adopt it with the greatest confidence of its accuracy. We feel that any little deviations from precise accuracy, which can ever occur in returns and calculations of this kind, must be so equally balanced on each side, and be spread in this mode of calculation over so extended a surface and quantity, that they can be of no importance in the general result. We therefore present the following tables, con- taining the above official returns for all Prussia from 1816 to 1837 inclusive.* * These tables, extracted from the ofBcial accounts, were published (along with a very intelligent article on this subject translated from the " Allgemeine Preussische Staatszeitung," Nos. 85 and 86, 1838) in the Journal ^of the Statistical Society of London, No. VIII., December, 1838. G4 Table, No. 1. Sliowiuj^ the Annual Averaj^e Prices of Wheat per Scheffel, in each Province, fur each year from 1816 to 1837 inclusive, in Silver Groschen. WHEAT. I'oiiods. riussia Pioi.or. Poscu. Rraiuleii- buri; anil Pomeraiiia Silosia. Saxony. We plial 4- ia. Ivlipnish Pioviiices. Sil. s;r pf. Sil.gr pf. .Sil.gr pf. Sil. gr pf. Sil.gr.pf. Sil. gr .pf. Sil. gr. pf. ISlC 70 1 78 10 84 9 94 11 90 10 110 7 112 2 1817 100 5 96 10 115 11 106 122 6 152 165 1818 94 3 78 4 101 8 SO 7 92 4 103 1 105 9 1819 65 5 GO 5 72 11 61 10 61 5 n 10 72 1 1820 51 10 52 1 56 9 55 1 52 3 59 7 65 1 1821 48 8 54 7 54 7 67 5 48 8 62 1 56 10 1822 49 5 54 2 50 9 62 8 50 7 60 4 55 8 1823 46 52 2 50 10 57 51 10 54 2 58 4 1824 34 9 35 11 38 1 39 10 39 9 36 4 39 9 1825 32 5 32 2 33 10 35 2 33 10 35 40 11 1826 35 5 36 40 39 5 33 5 38 3 44 2 1S27 42 4 44 1 49 1 47 10 41 11 55 56 7 18'28 51 8 51 54 6 56 9 50 8 62 72 6 1S29 CI 5 60 1 66 8 58 11 65 8 75 78 7 1830 56 3 55 9 64 8 53 9 60 8 17 75 11 1831 75 5 78 2 74 9 71 9 07 92 11 91 2 1832 64 9 59 8 63 7 51 4 56 10 71 11 83 8 1833 47 6 44 3 44 9 41 2 41 11 50 57 2 1834 45 1 43 10 43 9 43 2 39 1 43 49 1 ]S3J 43 7 46 9 45 4 49 9 42 1 44 49 4 1836 39 8 39 10 43 6 39 9 41 2 40 52 1837 42 8 44 7 49 3 41 1 47 50 11 58 65 Taulk, No. 2. Showing the Average of nine Periods of fourteen years each, and for the whole Period of twenty-two years, from 1816 to 1837 inchisive, in each Province. WHEAT. Periods. Prussia Proper. Posen. Krauden- bur^ and Pomerania. .Silesia. Saxony. Wust- phalia. Rheuish Provincos. Average of Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. 1816-29 52 3 54 3 58 1 58 9 50 1 64 10 66 7 1817-30 50 10 52 ^ 56 1 56 1 52 11 62 3 63 7 1818-31 50 10 52 5G 1 56 1 52 11 62 3 63 7 1819-32 50 9 51 11 55 2 54 6 52 1 61 8 63 7 1820-33 49 1 50 4 52 11 52 5 50 1 59 62 1 1321-34 48 4 49 7 51 8 51 3 48 9 57 5 60 6 1822-33 47 10 48 9 50 9 49 11 48 2 55 8 59 9 1823-36 46 11 47 4 50 48 47 6 54 3 59 4 1824-37 .Iver.ige of the whole Period . . . 46 7 49- 3 46 7 49 10 46 5 47 53 11 59 4 50. 4 53- 5 52- 7 50- 7 59- 62- Table, No. 3. Showing the Average of each of the Provinces for the nine Periods of fourteen years each, as shown in Tal)le No. 2 ; and the whole Average of the whole Period. To this and the following Table we have added Rye, Barley, and Oats, for the information of those who may wish it — calculated exactly in the same way as Wheat. Provinces. Wheat. Ry Barley. Oats. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Prussia Proper . 49 3 30 2 21 10 16 3 Posen .... 50 4 33 1 25 4 19 5 Brandenburg and Pomerania. 53 5 36 2 26 10 21 3 Silesia .... 52 7 38 29 2 21 7 Saxony .... 50 7 38 3 28 11 21 7 Westph.ilia 59 44 9 33 4 23 9 Rhenish Provinces Average 62 40 6 35 5 23 3 53-11 38- 1 28- 8 21- 66 Table, No. 4. Showing the Average Prices in each of the nine Periods for the whole Provinces, and arriving at the same Annual Average Price for the whole Country during the whole Period, as shown in Table No. 3. Periods. Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil. gr. pf. Sil.gr.pf. 1816-29 58 5 41 3 31 1 22 8 1817-30 56 3 39 3 29 7 21 9 1818-31 56 3 39 3 29 4 21 5 1819-32 55 9 38 11 29 2 21 3 1820-33 53 9 37 8 28 2 20 8 1821-34 52 6 37 2 27 8 20 4 1822-35 51 7 37 4 28 1 20 8 1823-36 50 6 36 7 27 8 20 6 1824-37 Average 49 11 35 9 27 4 20 53-11 38- 1 28* 8 21- It thus appears that the average price, which has been just sufficient to maintain the cuhivation in Prussia in its present extent, and in all the necessary ramifications of landowner, tenant, labourer or serf, and whatever arrangements they may have peculiar to the country in their mode of cultivation, is for Sil. gr. pf. Wheat 53 11 per scheffel. Rye 38 1 ,, Barley 28 8 Oats 21 To enable us to pursue our comparison, we will re- duce these rates into sterling money per English quarter. Tlie average rate of exchange on London at Dantzig, for 67 the last few years, has been 203^ sil. gr. per pound sterling. Then, if 203^ sil. gr. equal 20*. sterling, 53 gr. 11 pf. will be 5s. 3|c?. sterling per schefFel for wheat. Again, if 203:^ sil. gr. equal 20*. sterling, 38 gr. 1 pf. will be 3*. Sid. per scheflFel for rye. Again, if 203J sil. gr. equal 20*. sterling, 28 gr. 8 pf. will be 2*. 9|^. per schefFel for barley. And again, if 203^ sil. gr. equal 20*. sterling, 21 gr. will be 2*. Old. per schefFel for oats. An English imperial quarter is equal exactly to 5^ scheffel, so that the average in imperial quarters will be —for Wheat, . .5^ scheffel, at 5*. 3|c?., is 28*. 3d. per imp. quarter. Rye 5J ,, 3 81 ,, 19 11^ Barley . .5^ ,, 2 9| ,, 15 li ,, Oats ....5J ,, 2 0| ,, 11 H These are the average prices thus obtained in a series of years throughout the huge territory of Prussia and Prussian Poland ; but, in looking at them in reference to prices in other countries, we must bear in mind that be- yond these prices must be added considerable charges, before we arrive at the prime cost on board the ship in any port. The great bulk of the grain grown, especially in Poland, is purchased from the growers, either on their own farms or at their local markets, by the merchants from Dantzig, who not unfrequently make advances on the crops while yet growing on the ground. It is there- fore clear that the merchant's profit, as well as all the charges of conveying it, first from the spot of purchase to the nearest navigable river, of loading into craft, of freight and dues in descending the rivers, of landing and warehousing at the seaport, must, in most cases, f2 G8 require to be added to these averages. Making a sufficient allowance for the fact that a portion of the returns of sales which constitute these averages include some of these charges, it is considered that the smallest calculation on this account must be at least 6.s. per quarter on wheat, 5^-. per quarter on barley and rye and 4^\ per quarter on oats. We believe that this cal- culation is extremely near the correct amount, because we find that the average price of wheat in the port of Dantzig from 1817 to 1837 inclusive is 34*. 4d., whicli nearly corresponds with this additional charge of G.y. per quarter, added to 28^-. od., the average of the whole kingdom. — Thus the average prices in Dantzig, in the following years, were 1817 . . 75.?. 8(/. per quarter. 1828 . . 24*. 4J. pei quarter 1818 . . C4 7 1829 . . 36 10 1819 . . 43 9 1830 . . 34 3 1820 . . 33 3 1831 . . 37 3 1821 . . 31 7 1832 . . 37 7 1822 . . 2'J 1 1833 . . 29 4 1823 . . 2G 8 1834 . . 23 5 1824 . . 22 9 1835 . . 23 1S-.5 . . 23 3 183G . . 33 G 182G . . 23 1 1837 . . 29 4 1827 . 22 5 1838 . . 48 1 * Aveia;?e of the wliole period, 34*. 4d. per (juarter. We thus shov/ that the prime cost, when arrived at the port, before any steps arc taken for shipment, is — for Wheat 3is. 3d. Rye 24 11^ Barley 20 U Oats 15 1^ There is another feature in these averages whicli must * As near as has been ascertained. G9 not be lost sight of. — In Prussia and in all parts of the Continent, the quality of ^vheat and grain generally varies much more than it does in this country, so much so of wheat, that at Danzig one quality frequently is worth 50 to 75 per cent, more than others sold at tlw same time; — thus in the first three months of 1837 the prices were — 1st week in .January 27*. 4d. to 40*. Oil. per quarter •Jnd 27 6 u 40 4 >» 3rd ,. 27 5 I> 40 3 »» 4tli , 25 7 ,, 40 3 i» 1st , February 25 7 »» 39 9 » 2nd 23 9 » 38 5 >» 3rd 22 10 „ 38 5 »> 4th 23 9 >» 38 5 »» 1st March 23 9 » 38 4 «i 2nd 23 9 ,, 38 4 »• 3rd , 22 I> 36 8 )> 4th 22 11 ») 35 9 >i And this is only a fair example of the usual difference which exists in this respect at all periods. It is therefore clear that these general averages in- clude a large portion of extremely bad quality and low- priced wheat, altogether unfit under usual circum- stances for shipment. If therefore the average price of that quality could be obtained which is fit for shipment, but especially to Great Britain, where the average quality is so vastly superior to that of any other coun- try, we should find a large addition would require to be made to 34.s. 3(/. ; but, liowever, without taking any advantage of this obvious cause of additional price for such quality, we will consider that we have now arrived at such prime cost of wheat, ready for shipment in a port in Prussia, as will enable that country to sustain its cul- 70 tivation exactly in the condition in which it is, both in respect to quantity, quality, and the advantages derived by all those connected with its production. As 52.y. 2d. per quarter has proved sufficient in England to bring the quantity of wheat which has been produced to the consumer, so 34s. 2>d. in Prussia has proved to be the exact price to place the average quality of produce of that country in her seaports ready for shipment. The former is, therefore, the prime cost to the con- sumer in England, while the latter is the prime cost to the shipper at Dantzig. In order to determine how far the latter could be brought into competition with the former, in case we should have a free trade in corn, without any duty whatever, we will now examine what must be the necessary charges to bring it from Dantzig to the market in England. In this respect, we have bestowed great care, and derived our information both from Dantzig and London ; and, also, have calculated the precise actual charges which many real shipments have shown : — Per Qr. Unhousing, shipping, and export-dues, at Dantzig, s. d. paid by the shipper there 19 Freight and primage 6 Sound-dues 6 Insurance in winter £5 5 per cent. Ditto spring 15.. Average . 6 10 £3 5 . . at 50v. per quarter to cover all charges. £100 would be 40 quarters, or 1 7^ Carried forward . . . . 9 10;^ 71 Per Qr. S. d. Brought forward 9 10^ Entry and lighterage 6 Metage inwards .« 06 Landing 4 Warehouse-rent, and insurance against fire for six months, at 5*. per 100 quarters per week, or . 13 Turning for six months, at 1*. 6d. per 100 quarters per week, or 4 Loss in quantity, and damage from the time of shipment at Dantzig, until sold after lying six months in granary, 3 per cent., at 5 0«. per quarter, is 16 Factorage for sale, and dilcredere, is. per quarter, and 1 per cent, on the sale, at 50*. per quarter, is 6d. 1 6 Metage, portion paid by seller 4 Delivering 3 Interest of money for nine months, including the voyage, and the customary credit given on wheat, at 50s. per quarter, at 5 per cent, per annum . . 1 lOj s. d. 1 9 16 fi 18 3 18 3 Of which is paid by the shipper And by the purchaser . . In this calculation we have assumed that the wheat shall lie six months in warehouse on an average, which must be considered a very moderate time, in the case a regular trade should be carried on between the Continent and this country, free at all times. We believe the aver- age would be much longer, but will rather err in being too moderate than in being extravagant. These chaiges 72 are the nett cost without any profit to the merchant shipping from Dantzig, or without any commission to the merchant in London, to whom it might be consigned, without which, it is quite clear, no trade would continue to be carried forward. If between the house at Dantzig and the house in London, to cover their necessary expenses, and to yield them a remunerating profit, we allow 5 per cent, on the amount, we think we shall not be blamed for extrava- gance in this respect; and those who know the risk, trouble, and advance of capital, needed to conduct such a business, will be convinced that, at this rate, the trade would be neglected. So that, if we add to the prime cost these charges, we shall bring the Prussian wheat into the posture of competition with British-grown at a sea- port, thus : — s. d. Piime cost 34 3 per qr. Shipping, landing, warehousing for 6 mo., and selling 18 3 " , , 5 per cent, profit or commission on 50*. per quarter, between the merchant in Dantzig and in England 2 6 , , 55 ,, The quality of the wheat shipped from Dantzig to this country may be considered as about equal in value to the average quality of our home-grown wheats; but the average quality at Dantzig of all the wheat, of which 'M.y. 3d. is the average price, must be at least Gs. to 8^-. 73 per quarter worse than the average of British wlieats ; for it must be borne in mind, that only the better quali- ties are shipped to this country in general, and when the inferior qualities are shipped, by a great pressure for the article, they are not only worth much less here, but they entail much greater expense, in skreening, kiln-drying, «Scc. ; and they are subject to much greater decay and loss. It may be remarked, perhaps, that a great number of the charges to which we have submitted Dantzig wheat, included in the 18.y. 3d., must also be borne by home- grown wheat: true, they must; but it must be kept in mind, as we have before shown, that the average price of 52s. 2c?., obtained for English wheat during the last seven years, not only includes all these charges, but an immense train of other charges, having their origin only in the existence of a prohibitory and protective law. After all the fear and apprehensions of the ruinous low prices which an admittance of Continental wheat would entail on this country, we find, on the average of years, that the prime cost of importing it from the richest, cheapest, and most extensive wheat- growing coun- try on the Continent, would have been at least '2s. lOd. per quarter higher than the actual average price obtained in this country, with the strictest prohibitory law. But we have only brought the two into competition at the port of arrival. As we recede from the port into the country, with English wheat, the charges become smaller and smaller, but, as the foreign competitor would ad- vance from the port into the interior, his charges would 74 become greater and greater, and his ability to compete sensibly decline. If this be true with respect to wheat, which we submit we have clearly proved, then, with respect to all the in- ferior articles of produce, it must be much more true : the high charges which we have pointed out would bear more heavily on all the others just in ^proportion as they are of lower value. If any article of agricultural produce could support such taxes, wheat is that article, as bearing, in a given weight and bulk, a higher value than any other. It would, therefore, only be tedious to go through the same calculations with rye, barley, and oats. Thus it becomes an indisputable fact, that, had the state of our laws for the last twenty years been such as to have maintained the price of wheat at the actual average price of 52s. 2f/. which has been received, no wheat could have been grown in Prussia for this country ; either must the prices have risen here above 55^-., or must the cost of production have been materially cur- tailed in Prussia. This, perhaps, might have been done to a small extent by throwing out the worst portions of land in cultivation, and retaining only a small portion of the best ; but this would have curtailed their surplus quantity produced, which at most is very trifling. The difference of the two prices of 2?. lOd. in London, although not so large apparently on 526-. per quarter, yet is very large on 28.9. '2d., the original cost in the country, and, as it would require to be all saved in the act of production, it would be all chargeable on that low price, or even 75 a lower one, — viz. the actual price received by the farmer. The result of this investigation differs so widely from the generally-received opinions, that it appears needful to bring not only all the facts and arguments immediately connected therewith to reconcile the common prejudices with the truth, but, also, whatever may remotely tend to confirm our propositions so far proven, — viz.,- that no part of the Continent of Europe can carry on a successful competition with England in tiie growth of wheat for her own home consumption, supposing the relative condition and value of property, in both cases, to continue exactly as they have been for some years past, fixed by the combination of the laws and circumstances which have existed. Fortunately this is not an untried question : the history of the past century furnishes some very satisfactory ex- perience on this head. During the first seventy-three years of the last cen- tury a bounty of 5.s. per quarter was given by law on all wheat exported whenever the average price was at or below 48^. per quarter, and importation almost prohibited. It must be admitted that this bounty could not be sufficient to pay the cliarges of taking wheat from this country to the Continent, but still we find that during this period England was the largest wheat-exporting country in Europe. 76 The following table will show the exports from Great Britain and Dantzig during this period, by which it will be seen how much the former exceed the latter. K sported Exported from Exported Exported from from Great Britain. from Great Britain. Years. Dant/.ig. Years. Dantzig. Wheat. Wheat. Barley. Wheat. Wheat. Barley. Qrs. Qrs. Qrs. Qrs. Qrs. Qrs. 1700 33,346 49,056 25,896 fl737 20,500 461,602 23,669 1701 34,626 98,. 323 21,953 n { 1738 49,901 580,599 70,689 1702 43,892 90,230 16,280 l [ 1739 92,192 279,542 54,447 1703 33,895 106,615 71,523 ri740 164.131 54,390 24,086 1704 52,148 90,313 30,729 1741 93.224 43,416 6,618 1705 64,532 96,185 21,386 1742 56,330 293,259 11,482 3 ■ 1706 73,981 188,332 10,221 . 1743 53,212 371,431 34,995 '? 1707 65,521 74,155 4,771 3 ■' 1744 53.879 231,984 20,090 1708 98,180 83,406 29,i)37 I? 1745 24,886 324,839 95,878 1709 83,173 169,679 40,512 1746 24.037 130,646 158.719 1710 38,119 13,924 5,714 1747 47,762 266,906 103,143 1711 46,429 76,949 8.412 U748 98.913 543,387 73,8.37 ^1712 79,2H8 145,100 19.838 f 1749 113,789 629,049 52,621 /1713 130,698 J76.227 52.542 . 1750 99,502 947,603 224,500 1714 48,816 174,821 18,579 i J 1751 202,388 661,416 32.698 1715 10,900 166,490 5,079 2 H752 191,307 4;! 9, 279 106,332 17I6 19,. ^43 74,926 14,857 =- 1753 147,286 299.608 67,049 1717 37,066 22,953 18,435 M754 131.118 356,270 47,776 1718 23,822 71.800 71,139 ( 1755 237,466 381,659. 1719 54,728 127,762 9.649 1706 82,581 102,752 269,949 X 1720 37,496 83,484 4,505 . 1737 183,094 130,017 57,511 rt 1721 59,824 81,432 11.607 SJ1758 87,451 11,119 1,504 '^' 1722 67,757 178,880 37,528 fe 1 1759 87,612 227,367 208,7971= 1 _ 1723 98,846 157,719 45,780 I76O 110,619 393,614 291,150 ij 1724 96.804 245,865 10,298 I76I 68,230 441.956 413,891 c S\ 1725 123,270 204,418 13,782 ^ 1762 55,911 295,385 423,064 <: ^ 1726 9.-1,018 142,183 20.017 1763 127,258 429,5;»7 215,681 S 1727 41,764 30,317 8.688 1764 181,299 396,858 246,891 J 1728 92,998 70,757 11.547 1765 190,393 167,126 2.) 1,927 1729 204,142 21,322 12. ,551 176fi 145,619 164,939 95.115 1730 113,455 93,970 14,982 1767 151,424 5,071 18.700 i;3i 116,315 130,025 13,562 1768 197.789 7,433 6,587 1732 74,476 202,058 13,874 17»i9 124,775 49.892 39,825 1733 115,218 427.199 37.598 1770 269,158 75.449 170,409 1734 103.318 498.196 70,224 1771 181,417 10.089 34,198 173;- 86.409 153,333 57,520 1772 159,917 6,959 11,031 \l73f 25,187 118,170 6,860 With this trifling encouragement, w^e exported more wheat than wc ever importedon an average of years. There is no doubt that the boiuity on export gave a great and perhaps unprofitable stimulant to production, but, still, during the whole period of its existence, our farmers con- tlnued to be large exporters; now, if this bounty was not sufficient to pay the charges of export, it is clear that, when the British wheat arrived on the Continent, it had even to encounter the disadvantage of bearing a con- siderable charge above the bounty given ; and, if it was able to bear this charge and compete with the growth of the Continent, how much more could the former compete with the latter if retained at home, without any addi- tional charge, while the foreign would have to come here at a considerable cost. From 1697 to 1773 only seven years occurred in which England did not export more wheat than she imported, by the aid of this small bounty. In four years the average annual export was 1,200,000 quar- ters, and in one year (1750) it amounted to I,6G7,000 quarters; for the whole period the average annual ex- ports exceeded the imports by rather more than 200,000 C[uart(.'rs. But the experiment was carried still further in aid of our argument. In 1773 an act was passed abolishing the bounty on export, except when wheat was under 44^. per quarter, and allowing imports on the most liberal terms ever acknowledged by the English law, — viz., at G(/. per quarter duty when wheat should be 48j-. per quarter or liiffher. The result of this was that Great Britain was still en- abled to export wheat. In ten years out of the next twenty years following the enactment, our exports still ex- ceeded our imports, — the following being the quantities of 78 wheat and flour exported and imported in each of these years : — Wheat and Flour. Barley and Malt. Yi'ars. Great Britain. Great Britain. Imported. Exported. Imported. Exported. Quarters. Quarters. Quarters. Quarters. 1773 56,857 7,637 63,916 2,475 1774 289,149 15,928 171,508 2,911 1775 560,988 91,037 139,451 51,414 1776 20,578 210,604 8,499 136,114 1777 233,323 87,686 7,981 142,725 1778 106,394 141,070 42,714 103,930 1779 5,039 222,261 7,085 85,777 1780 3,915 224,059 352 191,563 1781 159,806 103,021 56 150,468 1782 80,695 145,152 13,592 127,744 1783 584,183 51,943 144,926 54,065 1784 216,947 89,-288 77,182 66,889 1785 110,863 132,685 67,212 166,448 1786 51,463 205,466 62,374 111,598 1787 59,339 120,530 43,244 135,089 1788 148,710 82,971 11,479 212,811 1789 112,656 140,014 11,128 345,685 1790 222,557 30,892 29,718 50,900 1791 469,056 70,626 61,134 41,590 1792 22,417 300.278 118,526 49,131 It will l)e observed that both these laws failed in the effect intended by the framers — the object of the for- mer being evidently to maintain a hio^h range of prices, by not only securing the entire home consimiption to the British grower, but by affording him the assistance of a bounty to export his surplus stock : the object of the 79 latter was as evidently intended to admit a more free supply, which it was naturally expected would reduce the prices; and by the opponents of the measure it was strongly urged that by its operation this country would be deluged with Continental wheat : but, like almost every effort of government to control and in- fluence such matters, the result was, in both cases, the reverse of what was intended. By the encouragement of the bounty production was stimulated so much, that in one year, 1743, the whole average price of wheat was only 24s. lOd. per quarter, and in several years it did not reach 30^. Complaints at that period were greater than at any other from the landed interest, and, perhaps, with better reason. When this encouragement was withdrawn, and the English market opened to a free competition with the Continent, a more prudent cultivation appears to have been adopted ; prices, instead of being lowered, gradually advanced, but it was not until that advance had become considerable that the Continental grower was enabled to send any very important quantity of wheat to this country. It is extremely worthy of remark, that the average price during the thirty-two years that this law continued in operation* is shown to be 2*. 2d. per quarter higher than the average of the last seven years, and ll.y. \\d. per quarter higher than the average of the thirty-two preceding, with the assistance of the bounty on exports and prohibited imports. The following table shows a comparative view of the range of prices during these two periods. * By a slight alteration in the law, in 1 791, the price of admis- sion at 6d. per quarter was raised from 48*. to 54*. per quarter. 80 Averaf .', No. 1. Avera{ '.', No. 2. Years. s. d. Years. S. d. 1772 50 8 1773 51 1771 47 2 1774 52 8 1770 41 4 1775 48 4 17G9 45 8 1776 38 2 17C8 60 G 1777 45 6 17G7 G4 G 1778 42 17CG 43 1 1779 33 8 17G5 52 1780 35 8 17r.4 4G 9 1781 44 8 17G3 40 9 1782 47 10 17C2 39 1783 52 8 1761 30 3 1784 48 10 17(iO 3G 6 1785 51 10 1750 39 10 I78C 38 10 1758 70 : 1787 41 2 1757 GO 1 1788 45 1756 45 3 ' 1789 51 2 1 755 33 10 1790 53 2 1754 34 S 1791 47 2 1753 44 8 ' 1792 41 9 1752 41 10 ' 1793 47 10 1751 38 C i 1794 50 8 1750 32 6 ! 1795 72 11 1749 1796 76 3 1748 27 1797 52 2 1747 34 10 1 1798 50 4 I74G 39 1799 66 11 1745 27 G 1800 HO 5 1744 1 1801 115 11 1743 24 10 1 1802 67 9 1742 34 1803 57 1 1741 46 8 1804 60 5 Average of t le whole po- Average of the whole pe- riuil, 4 •2s. 5(1. 1 riod, 54s. 4(/. -Average price of wheat in Great Britain in each year of the thirty-two years preceding 1773, when a bounty was given on exports and strict prohibition against imports. 2. — Average price of wheat in Great Britain in each year from 1773 to 1804, when the bounty was repealed, and imporlation allowed at (hi. per (piarter duty, when the average price should not be below 48*,, anil, from 1791, 54*. per quarter. 81 Tlie experience of these two peilods proves not only tlie total inefficacy of any government interference to control or influence production or prices, but it also proves again that the landed interest of this country has no compe- tition to fear, except that of its own over-excited and sti- mulated power put forth to an extravagant extent to catch the phantom advantages held out by protective laws. There never was a time of surplus stock and low prices which proceeded from any other cause. During the thirty-two years that our trade was free, there was surely abundance of time for the continental countries to take all the advantage of the privilege, if it had proved really a profitable one. The prices in Dantzig during this period were not higher, relatively with those in Eng- land, than they have been during the last twenty years. A comparison of these prices may be very useful to show what really is the great difference which the mere charges of transport must ever entail, and for some difference of quality ; and we have every reason to believe that in the case of a free trade now, the same, if not a greater differ- ence, would continue to exist between the prices in Eng- land and Dantzig ; for the average quality of English wheat has improved during the period that has elapsed since 1804, much more than the produce of Prussia. This is an additional evidence of what we think we have already successfully proved, that with wheat in England at the average price of the last seven years, viz. 52^-. 2d. per quarter, and wheat in Dantzig at the average price that has ruled there of late years, no trade could be profitably carried on between the two places; no continental supply could to any extent come to this country. G 82 The following are the average prices of wheat in Eng- land and Dantzig, during this period of free trade: — Average price of wheat 1773 to 1804. In Eiigla . At Dantzig. Average prices of wheat 1773 to 1804. In England. At Dantzig. 1773 51s. Or/. 35s. 8(1. 1789 51s. 2d. 43s. 8d. 1774 52 8 32 1 1790 53 2 40 4 1775 48 4 33 11 1791 47 2 00 1776 38 2 27 6 1792 41 9 29 1777 45 6 22 4 1793 47 10 32 1778 42 23 9 1794 50 8 36 1779 33 8 21 10 1795 72 11 57 9 1780 35 8 19 4 1796 76 3 54 3 1781 44 8 24 9 1797 52 2 33 1 1782 47 10 26 3 1798 50 4 32 10 1783 52 8 27 5 1799 66 11 46 10 1784 48 10 28 10 1800 110 5 73 9 1785 51 10 30 2 1801 115 11 78 11 1786 38 10 29 2 1802 67 9 53 5 1787 41 2 29 2 1803 57 1 46 3 1788 45 29 1 1804 60 5 53 3 Average of the wliole period . 54s. 4U. 37s. 2d. There therefore existed during this period of free im- portation an average difference of price between England and Dantzig of 17.v. 2f/. per quarter; and we have al- ready shown that of late years, with the strictest attempt ever made to exclude continental wheat, the average difference has only been 17^'. lOd. per quarter. If any farther evidence were required to prove that the continent of Europe cannot supplant our home-growers in 83 the supply of grain for the consumption of this country, we must claim attention to a case exactly in point exist- ing at the present time, and which may be fairly cited as an experiment of a free trade in corn for the whole of Great Britain. The islands of Guernsey and Jersey, ever since they belonged to this country, have had the privilege of ex- porting their produce, of whatever kind, to the English market at all times free of any duty, and at the same time of importing whatever they please, from wherever they please, free of any duty whatever, except a small local duty levied chiefly on spirits. These islands, although very fertile, and producing a large quantity of the finest grain, do not grow sufficient for their whole consumption, and they are obliged at all times to import largely of continental grain. Now if the general impression had any foundation in truth, that wheat could be imported so much cheaper from the con- tinent than the prices paid in this country, it would follow as a matter of certainty, that the sharp and intelligent merchants of these islands would send every bushel of home-grown corn, to secure the high prices of the London market, and import from the Baltic as much more as would make up this quantity. The expense of sending wheat from these islands is not greater than from Lin- colnshire, Yorkshire, or Northumberland ; but if to either of these counties this privilege was given, with the present opinions on the subject, the imaginary value of land would be greatly increased; the whole of the grain would be sent to London, or other parts of England not possess- g2 84 ing such privilege, and whatever was required for the consumption of the county would be brought from the continent : — What would be the profit ? We will consult those who have long had the experience, and we will consult them by the surest test ; their actions, dictated by a free exercise of their own will to direct their own interests. It may perhaps be remembered that during the extreme depression of the agricultural interests in the winter 1833-34, when the accumulating surplus stock of home- grown wheat pressed with great severity on the markets, those interested in its growth could with difficulty believe that the home production alone could have had such an influence : this gave rise to many rumours and surmises that foreign grain had been introduced in large quantities through the Channel Islands under an abuse of this privi- lege. For political purposes this surmise was encouraged by many, and a charge preferred against the government of the day, of having encouraged such illicit imports. During the short period that the present government were out of office, in that winter the charge was again and again repeated by their opponents in the agricultural districts ; so much so, that as soon as parliament met the matter became a subject of investigation, and the neces- sary returns were ordered which could throw any light on the matter. What was the result ? These fine islands, with all their privileges, had shipped between tiiem in tliree years, 1831, 1832, and 1833, eight thousand six hundred and thirty-three quarters of wheat to all England : viz. 85 1831 1832 1833 Giiernsej aud Sark. Jersey. Tolal. Qrs. 185 32 1326 Qrs. 1233 1873 3984 Qrs. 1418 1905 5310 1543 7090 8633 or an annual quantity of 28/7 quarters; and by reference to the first table, it will be seen that the difference be- tween the prices in England and at Dantzig during these years, were more than usually encouraging for such an operation ; but the enormous expenses attending the movement of this bulky article always has, and always will continue to render this privilege a dead letter as far as grain is concerned, and so it would in England if the same privileges were possessed, and an entirely free trade in corn adopted. It may just be observed, that notwith- standing the free introduction of all continental produce, the value of land is higher in these islands than in any part of England, the average rent being 21. to 21. \0s. per vergee, or 4Z. 10*. to 5^. 12^-. 6f?. per English acre. It has therefore only been the mere accidental chances which the fluctuating effects of our Corn Laws have pro- duced, that the continental countries have been enabled to send their accumulated surplus produce to this country at moments of extreme high prices,* and therefore what *" The hope of admission to the English market at extreme high prices induces the continental farmer to raise a greater quan- tify than he would do." — Von TheuneiCs Letter to Mr. Jacob. 86 little competition the home-grower has felt with the continental grower may be fairly said to have resulted only from the operation of the law intended for his entire exclusion. Having thus fully examined the price at which the continental grower could come into competition with the home-grower, we shall now, as proposed, consider the extent to which he could do so, even though the present relative cost of production enabled him. On this point, as we have already seen with regard to price, the most extraordinary exaggerations have been circulated. In order to support the exaggeration of low prices, exagge- rated quantity was quite needful, both parties to the ques- tion have agreed thereon; the agriculturist insisted that the weight would be intolerable and crushing, the quan- tity inexhaustible. The opposite party saw the field of plenty through an equally magnified vision : what one dreaded for its abundance the other courted and sighed for, as having only that quality to recommend it. Every inducement which tended on both sides to diminish the cost of production, tended at the same time to exaggerate the quantity produced, for exactly in this proportion was it to be feared by the one party or sought for by the other. We shall now endeavour to arrive at the real tacts of this most important part of our consideration. On this subject Mr. .Jacob, in his Report before alluded to, gives much valuable information. In page 80 he shows that the whole export for the preceding ten years, from Hamburg, had amounted to 87 675,774 quarters, and that of this quantity there had been imported into Hamburg — Quarters, By sea 51,766 By craft ascending the Elbe . . . 116,754 By land from Holstein 73,062 241,582 leaving 434,192 quarters as the surplus of the wheat on both banks of the far-stretching Elbe above Hamburg, after deducting the consumption of the city for ten years, or 43,419 quarters annually. With respect to Prussia, in page 99, it appears that, independent of what is sent from the Rhenish provinces to the Netherlands and there consumed, and the produce of Magdeburg and the provinces adjacent to the Elbe, which is sent down that river to Hamburg, and forms part of the supply of that city, the whole exports of Prussia in nine years amounted to 1,971,577 quarters, or to 219,064 quarters annually. He says, " this amount comprehends the whole of that which descends by the several rivers from Poland ;" which quantity he estimates at 140,000 to 150,000 quarters anrmally, as part of the 219,064. From the duchies of Mecklenburg the annual ex- ports in twelve years had been 66,456 quarters, through the ports of Rostock, Wismar, and Boitzenburg. From Denmark, including Holstein and Sleswick, 88 the annual exports for seven years had been 104,768 quarters. The exports from Bremen appear to be very trifling, being only estimated at 1850 quarters annually. So that the annual rate of exportation, or, in other words, of surjylus 2>roduce, is thus shown to be, from Quarters. Hamburg 43,419 Prussia 219,064 Mecklenburg ....... 66,456 Denmark 104,768 Bremen 1,850 Total . . . 435,557 This sliows the total annual amount which these countries had furnished to all parts of the world during those respective periods. It must be borne in mind that the surplus produce of these countries, whatever it may be, is occasionally taken for every country where from any cause a scarcity prevails. Spain, and the south of France, take less or more every year ; Holland also takes annually a portion of the shipments from the Baltic ports, independent of what she takes from the Rhenish provinces of Prussia. The United States and British America two years ago took very largely from these and other continental countries to make up the defi- ciency of bad harvests and neglected cultivation. The West India islands, the Brazils, and a large portion of the rest of the South American continent, are dependent on these countries less or more, especially in years when a deficiency exists in the United States, which generally, 89 when they are well supphed^ furnish these countries with flour. When all these claims are considered as bearing on so small a quantity, what portion could annually be allotted to England ? As with regard to price, so with regard to quantity, Prussia is by far the most important country for our con- sideration. The following table, derived from the best official sources of the whole exports of wheat from all the Baltic ports of Prussia, in each of the following years, may be relied upon as perfectly accurate : — 1819 155, 055 1820 464, 744 1821 194 840 1822 78, 316 1823 121 692 1824 93 630 1825 219 290 1826 373, 444 1827 270, 576 1828 614 453 1829 553 ,933 1830 707 ,100 1831 380 ,731 1832 362 ,177 1833 1834 107 ,341 1835 62 ,841 16 years 4,760,103 Report on foreign corn, ordered to be printed by the House of Commons, I4th March, 1826. Officially communicated from . Berlin to His Excellency Baron Bulow. Page 570. Part 3d of the Tables compiled by the Board of Trade from official documents. 1 Official reports from Danfzig, } Koningsburg, and Stetin.' 297,510 quarters annually. 90 This quantity comprehends the whole of the surplus pro- duce of Prussia and Prussian Poland. The Prussian wheat generally is inferior in quality to the English, and forms about one-third of the whole quantity. The Po- lish wheat may therefore be estimated at about 200,000 quarters annually, of which about 150,000 quarters are of the finest white quality, and which alone, of all the wheats produced on the Continent, is equal to our best English produce. These proportions agree nearly with Mr. Jacob's statement in his Report, and also with all the information we can collect from practical men. It remains that we should notice Russia as having contributed in some years of scarcity to supply our markets. Very little is known of the extent of cultiva- tion, except that a large quantity of very inferior wheat is grown, which in usual times is quite excluded from the English market, for two reasons : first, on account of its in- feriority in quality ; and secondly, on account of the great expense of bringing it to England. These remarks apply with greatest effect to the shipments from the ports in the Black Sea. We find that for ten years, 1820 to 1829 inclusive, the whole quantity of wheat furnished from all Russia to this country was 535,687 quarters, or on an average annually 53,568 quarters.* In endeavouring to form a careful estimate of the exact available surplus produce of wheat in the present state of European agriculture, it is needful to guard against an error of confusing the amount of produce raised in the countries from which the shipments are made with the produce of other countries, which has been imported and * See Note II. at the end. 91 then re-shipped to this country. For example, consider- able portions of the exports of Hamburg, Antwerp, &c. are first imported from the Baltic and Black Seas, and consequently enter into the computation of the respective countries from which they are originally brought. There is still a more important feature in this consi- deration which claims our particular notice. We have already sufficiently noticed the fluctuations in our prices for the last twenty years, by which the foreign grower has been enabled to send his produce to this country at the high periods. At these periods prices have ranged from 70^. to 80*. per quarter, and these high prices have enabled us to import wheat profitably from a much more extended radius of country than could possibly be the case if the price of wheat were at the real average price of a range of years, 52*. 2d. per quarter. We have already shown that it would be with great difficulty that the nearest and most productive countries could send their produce to this market at this average price, much less could the many distant countries from which we derive large supplies at these extreme high prices. At a period like the present, the demand for this country raises the prices to such an unusual rate in the continental ports, that supplies are procured from very distant inland places, which in usual years, at usual prices, could furnish nothing ; the expense of transport would absorb the whole price in ordinary times. Except at these extreme high prices it would, for example, be impossible to im- port wheat from the ports in the Mediterranean or Black Seas ; and even from the Baltic ports the quantities are much increased by the same cause. It must be quite clear, that just in proportion to the highness of the 92 price, must the radius of country from the ports be ex- tended which can furnish supplies ; and as the price di- minishes this radius must also diminish. By the present system our prices are for a period so low as to admit no foreign wheat at all ; then they are so high as to admit the whole accumulated surplus from an immensely extended surface. If they were uniform we might take annually, in regular proportions, a part of the finest quality (which alone could bear the cost of transport) of the produce of a limited surface, which at present we take irregularly in an accumulated form, and in ad- dition thereto the produce of distant districts which could otherwise never reach us. As these distant supplies enter, at present, into the general average consumption of this country, one of the effects of the present Corn Laws may, therefore, be said to bring much more ex- tended and distant countries into competition with the British farmer than could otherwise be the case. But even taking all the advantages which these high prices afford to very distant places to add to the quantity available for this country, it is quite impossible to show that the total quantity of continental surplus has reached on an average 700,000 quarters annually. If we estimate the outside average capabilities at pre- sent of each count ry as follows — say Prussia . . . 300,000 quarters. Mecklenburg 80,000 Denmark . 100,000 Russia . 100,000 „ Hamburg 80,000 ■ 660,000 93 we considerably exceed what all the official accounts show them to be, and yet the aggregate amount, suppose it all sent to this country, would not exceed four per cent, of our annual consumption, or about the entire supply of two weeks in each year. The actual average annual quantity of foreign wheat and flour taken into consump- tion in Great Britain for nineteen years, from 1817 to 1835 inclusive, and which embraces the five most exten- sive years of import that have occurred in the present century, was only 532,237 quarters, and this includes the whole imports from our own colonies. These facts cannot fail to show how exaggerated have been the representations as to the capability of the conti- nent to supply wheat, as well in price as in quantity. Sup- pose the whole of the above quantity were annually brought to this country, it could not in any sensible way affect the general price of sixteen or seventeen millions of quarters. If any difference did exist in the rate at which this quantity could be brought to this market favourable to the continental grower, (which we have sufficiently shown does not) even then his small quantity could not make the price for our large quantity, but our large quantity would make the price for his small quantity. It will appear by the whole of these arguments that, compared Avith any other country. Great Britain is not more extensively and strikingly a manufacturing than a corn- growing country ; and that the advantages which we possess in securing higher prices arise from natural causes, the result of our peculiar condition, and not from the attempted interference of the law. In the next pro- 94 position we shall have to examine how these two leading interests co-operate in favour of each other. But it may be urged that had we a free trade in wheat the small surplus quantities at present produced on the continent might be increased so as to become a formida- ble quantity. On this point exaggeration has done as much as in the two points already discussed. In examining the price at which continental wheat could be furnished to this country, we have taken it in the exact state in which production has existed in every respect of late years, and we have taken the price which they have actually received, as the best possible evidence of the exact price which, on the average of years, has enabled them to produce the exact quantity which they have done : nothing can be more plain than that the amount of production must in every country be determined by the price received for the produce. If prices rise, an in- creased production must follow ; if they fall, a diminished production must be the consequence. If therefore we have shown that in the event of sucli an alteration taking place in the English Corn Laws as would by free and natural competition keep prices steady at the average rate of late years, 52s. 2d. per quarter, the con- tinental growers could not send their produce to this country at a profit on the average prices, which they have received, and which average prices have determined the extent of their production ; then, as before shown, the surplus produce woidd necessarily be diminished instead of increased. The large portion which under the present 95 mode is held by speculators for the moment when 60.?. to 70^. per quarter is paid for it to supply a case of exigency, could not be raised to be sold at a price below 34^. 3d. per quarter ; which we have shown would be needful to enable them to send it to England, even free of duty, to compete with our average price. Either must it be shown that, with our average price, the price obtained on the Con- tinent would be higher than it has been, or it is evident that production could not increase. It cannot, for one moment, be supposed that all the lands best suited both in quality and local position for raising wheat for ship- ment, are not at this moment in cultivation ; there are therefore only two modes by which the cultivation can be increased ; first, by the application of more capital and labour to force the production of the lands at present in cultivation, or by taking into cultivation inferior lands, either in point of quality of soil, or more distant points from the shipping ports or markets : but in which ever case this might be accomplished it could only be done at an increased cost of production. If, therefore, an in- creased price was not obtained, it is quite evident the at- tempt could only be momentary. If, we again repeat, the average price in England is too low to admit the con- tinental grower, even though free of duty, to pay him at his present cost of production, it requires no argument to show that, if he attempted to increase his production in the only way he could by increasing his cost, he would be still farther disabled for competition with the grower in this country. The only case, therefore, in which we can suppose it possible that an increased production would take place on the Continent, is by supposing that their prices 96 would improve, which might he effected either by a ma- terial general advance on the prices in this country, or by the more likely cause, an increased prosperity and con- siniiption amongst themselves. The former cause could not exist without first and most particularly benefiting the English grower : nor could the latter cause exist without benefitingf him in an indirect manner in common with the whole community. It must also be borne in mind, that even though an at- tempt should be made to increase the production of the continent, it covdd only be the surplus of that production which could, at any price, be available for exportation. For example ; in order to double the quantity of grain available for exportation, it woidd require that the whole cultivation should be doubled, or even more : for, in the first place, the labour of production must be sustained, which would consume as large a portion of the increased produce as it does of the present quantity, and in all probability a larger proportion, for such an increased de- mand for labour which would necessarily be called into existence by such an attempt, could not fail to advance Avages so much, that not only would the labourers be multiplied in proportion to the increase, but their con- dition so much improved that their individual consump- tion would be greater in proportion than it now is ; and this circumstance in its turn could not fail agfain to add to the general cost of production, and render it still more difficult for the grower to send even the surplus to this market. In the former proposition we sufficiently discussed the whole train of evils which attend the landed interest, by 97 the operation of the present corn laws, and we think it must be admitted that we have discovered no counter- acting benefit in tlie second proposition. We have disco- vered no real advantage or protection which has been conferred beyond what the local position of the English agriculturist will ever secure to him ; beyond which it is utterly impossible for the law to afford him any advan- tage whatever, as long as the internal resources of the country are able by internal competition to supply the Avhole wants of the nation. Let the imaginary price be fixed by law at whatever rate it may, be it 72*., 80^-., or 100^. per quarter, it could have no effect in securing one shilling more than the free internal competition of the home-growers found to be the remunerating rate of pro- duction ; to that extent it would be pushed, and by an unerring law, the average price would be just sufficient to produce the required quantity, but with the enormous disadvantages attendant on fluctuation. The great and general advantages of equal prices will only be secured by a free and unrestrained trade ; when a confidence can be felt by the parties interested therein, that any slight fluctuations which momentary and temporary causes might create, would soon pass away, and thus confidence would become general to maintain an equa- lity of price by fair and legitimate support, and spe- culative purchases by the regular dealers, of which, in the present uncertain state, the trade is entirely de- prived. The only circumstance which can ever drive wheat out of cultivation in this country, will be when land shall be- ll 98 come too valuable for this purpose. As, for example, in the immediate neighbourhood of London, Manchester, &c. land is at present too valuable for growing wheat, so a time may arrive when, by the increased prosperity and population of the country, a larger portion may be simi- larly circumstanced. Although we have seen how expensive the transport of wheat is from one place to another, yet it is the least ex- pensive of any article of agricultural produce, because it contains in a given weight and bulk a greater value than any other article. It will therefore always be more pro- fitable to remove wheat from a distance, to supply a neighbourhood or district, than barley, oats, hay, or tur- nips, or the first produce of the dairy. In consequence of this fact, we find that while hay fields and pasture fields continue round large towns, the cultivation of wheat is moved to a distance. As this movement could only take place by greatly in- creasing the value of land, and more especially the rents, it is one to which the landed interest could never be averse, and with which the whole community covild only be well satisfied, as the result of its general and extended prosperity. We have not considered it needful to allude in particu- lar to the interest of the land-owners in this proposition, it being so inseparably mixed up with the general consi- deration of the agricultural interest. With respect to rent, we would, however, just remark, that if the farmer 99 is protected by natural causes and local situation alone, to the extent of 18.9. 3d. per quarter for wheat, and if an acre of land produces three quarters of wheat, then must the landlord's interest, in point of rent per acre, be very largely protected from the same cause. h2 JOO PROPOSITION THE THIRD. That while incalculable benefit would arise to the manufactuiing interest, and the working population generally, in common with all classes of the community from the adoption of such policy (a free trade in corn), nothing can be more erroneous than the belief that the price of provisions or labour would, on the ave- rage, be cheapened thereby, but that on the contrary, the ten- dency would rather be to produce by a slate of general in- creased prosperity a higher average rate of each. Most of the considerations which arise out of this propo- sition have been directly or indirectly referred to already. In the first proposition, the baneful influence of the pre- sent system has been alluded to; and, in the second proposition, the question of cheaper provisions being the result of an alteration in the system, has been set at rest. As far as the distinct benefits which would result to these interests in such case are to be considered, we will divide them into two heads : — first, tliat which would be derived from a uniformity in the prices of provisions as particularly affecting the labouring classes; and, secondly, the general advantages which would result from an improvement, so great in the condition and inte- rests of so large and important a portion of their custo- mers as the landed interest constitutes. But before i)ro- 101 ceediiig to these considerations, it will be necessary to notice a popular and general error, to which the exagge- rated notions respecting the price at which wheat could be furnished by the continent in case of a free trade, have necessarily led the public. By the whole tenour of the arguments urged by the manufacturing interest against these impolitic laws, it a})pears that they consider, first, that the high price of labour in this country, as compared with the continent, is only the result of a higher price of provisions; and that the lower jirice of labour on the continent, conse- quent on a lower price of provisions, is the chief cause of whatever progress these countries have made in the arts and manufactures. These ojoinions we believe to be wrong, both as regards the facts and the principles deduced. If we have proved anything in the second proposition, it is that, on the average, provisions would not be cheaper if we had a free trade than the internal competition of our own resources and means has furnished them, and therefore, though their price did regulate the price of labour, that commodity could not be cheaper. But while we must admit that, in all cases, the price of provisions enters as one of the measures of the price of labour, and in some cases as the chief measure — yet it is by no means the only measure ; and in respect to the particular description of labour of which we now treat, we believe it to constitute a most unimportant and trivial portion. 102 If the price of provisions were the sole or chief mea- sure of the value of labour in all cases, then it would necessarily follow that its price would vary in different places, just in proportion as the price of provisions varied. That in the same place, at the same time, the price of all kinds of labour would be exactly the same ; and that everywhere the real condition of the labourer, in respect to the amount of the necessaries, or comforts of life, which he could command, would be exactly equal ; that he would everywhere receive exactly the sum of money which would purchase a given uniform quantity of provisions for the same number of hours' labour. Now not one of these consequences accord with the facts. Tile reverse will be found to exist in most cases, espe- cially in this country. Wherever provisions are dearest the condition of the bulk of labourers is decidedly best, and their ability to command the necessaries, comforts, and even elegancies of life, form a striking contrast with the extreme difficulty with which even the barest necessaries are obtained where they are cheapest. Compare the condition of the working population of London, Manchester, and the manufacturing districts, their ability to consume articles of comparative luxury, their expenditure, unfortunately sometimes of the most profuse character, and the comfort of their dwellings, with the mean style of diet, clothing, and habitations in most of the rural districts in England where provisions are so much cheaper — with the mud cottage, the tattered and patched dress, and the mean fare of the labourers in Ireland, wlierc provisions arc cheaper than anywhere else in this country. 103 Compare the general condition of the whole labourers of this country with that of any of the countries on the continent where provisions are at the lowest prices : com- pare their diet, clothing, and habitations, with what are allotted to the labouring classes in Prussia, Poland, or France, and see how superior the worst classes are in these respects in this country compared with the very best in these lands of supposed abundance and cheap- ness. These considerations suggest to us a principle which appears better to reconcile these facts, and to be more applicable to the solution of the relative value of labour and provisions in most cases in the present state of society, viz. that the high price of provisions is rather the effect than the cause of high and well-paid labour ; and that low prices of provisions is, on the contrary, the effect of ill-paid labour, and the consequent inability to consume proportionably with the production. Thus, for example, it can never be said that the price of labour is high hi Manchester or the manufacturing districts, because provisions are dear. Labour does not there exist in order to consume the provisions, but the provisions are brought from great distances in order to supply the demand created by a given quantity of labour paid at a given rate. In proportion, therefore, to this rate must be the consumption, and, in proportion to the consumption, must be the distance from which the supply must be drawn, and consequently its price ; and as the produce of the land in the immediate vicinity is of equal value to that grown at the greatest distance of 104 supply, its price must increase exactly in proportion to the extended radius of country necessary to supply the neiglibourhood ; that is, it must be worth the general prime cost, and the cost of conveying the distant pro- duce to the spot of consumption.* The price, therefore, paid for labour, and the quantity of it employed in particular spots, are evidently the cause and not the effect of the high prices paid for provisions. So, on the contrary, the low price of provisions in Cumberland is not so much the cause of the low price of labour as its effect. The demand for the labour of that part of the country being much less, and its price much lower, the ability of the neighbourhood is not sufficient to consume the whole of its products, a consider- able portion of wliich must, therefore, be sent to a great distance to be used, and the expense of w liicli must be deducted from the price ultimately obtained, which dimi- nished price of the portion removed to a great distance must fix the price of the portion consumed in the neigh- bourhood ; and just in proportion to the distance and consequent expenses thus incurred to consimie the sur- plus produce of the country, must the nett value of the produce on the spot, and of the land on whicli it is reared be reduced. If the quantity of labour or its price should be increased in the neighbourhood, then the sur- plus produce would diminish and be consumed in a nar- rower radius, at less expense, and the general price would advance ; and, on the contrary, should the means to con- sume be diminished, the surplus would increase, and the general price diminish. This i)rinciple must apply in all * See Note III. at the end. 105 countries where there is a mixture of manufacturing and agricuhural labour and pursuits. It becomes, therefore, quite clear that some other more important causes must exist to determine the different value of different kinds of labour, and of the labour of different countries ; which, we believe, will be found to consist in the amount of skill, intelligence, and ability ; in the assistance which physical exertions have received from mechanical discoveries, and in the propor- tion of supply and demand, as existing in different places or in different countries. For the same reason that the skill and intelliffence of the physician or lawyer, and the capital or labour in- vested in his acquirements, entitle him to a high reward for his labour, the English mechanic is entitled to a higher reward than the labourer elsewhere : for the reason, that by the ingenuity of this country his physical ability to produce for other countries at very low prices is increased by the aid of the most perfect mechanical assistance, his labour becomes more valuable ; for the reason, that the country in which he lives possesses un- bounded capital, enterprise, and mercantile resources of every description, which necessarily create a greater de- mand for manufacturing and mechanical labour than is to be found in any other coimtry ; the value thereof must be higher here than elsewhere. As is the case with the physician and lawyer, the English manufacturing labour generally, ofwhich wenow speak, is of a higher quality than the common labour of 106 this country, or the labour of any other country, and, as such, commands a higher price, just in the same way that the fine white wheat of Essex commands a higher price than the miserably shrivelled grain imported from the Black Sea. As with the learned professions, the re- muneration is not only for the bare labour of the moment, but for a large amount of accumulated labour and in- genuity previously spent in acquiring the skill and in- telligence necessary for its exercise. The price of this labour is one of the distinct modes in which a nation becomes benefited by ingenious me- chanical discoveries, which tend so much to abridge the total quantity of labour necessary to produce a given article, and renders the portion still employed of much greater value, by the increased demand and con- sumption which the entire lower price secures to the article. The price of this labour is one of the distinct modes by which a nation becomes benefited by the possession of a large capital, industry, and mercantile enterprise, which seek for profitable employment, by the exchange of the skill and ingenuity of this country for the simpler products of distant and dift'erent climates. Such is the value and quality of English labour of this class, that there is no country in the world, not even the cheapest corn-growing countries of the con- tinent, in which it does not command a higher price than in this country, notwithstanding the low general rate of labour. An English mechanic will command very much 107 higher wages in Petersburg, Berlin, Brussels, or Paris, than he usually obtains here. From all these considerations we are induced to con- sider, that there is no better evidence of a prosperous community or country than the existence of a high average price of provisions, when the condition of the labourer, as is the case in this country, is relatively better than in other countries ; and that, on the contrary, there is no stronger evidence of a miserable and impoverished country than the existence of low prices of provisions, where the condition of the labourer is comparatively and infinitely worse than in other countries where prices are higher. We are therefore of opinion, that in the event of a free trade in corn, the price of labour in this country would be rather increased than diminished, by the operation of the distinct benefits which to the whole community would result from such principles. We will now glance at the two proposed ways in which the manufacturing and mercantile interest would be be- nefited by such a policy. First, — That which would result from a uniformity of the prices of provisions, as particularly affecting the la- bouring classes. In the first proposition we alluded to the evils which afflict this class in consequence of the present fluctuation of prices, which would be entirely removed by an equality of price. We cannot hold out any prospect that, on the average, he would have his pro- 108 visions cheaper^ but that, instead of being lavishly sup- ])lie(I at one period, which leads to habits of luxury and indulgence, and the niore unfit him for the period of comparative scarcity and want, his condition would be nearly uniform. We have already shown that his wages are determined by principles which do not necessarily fluctuate with provisions, and it is therefore most desirable to him, that as his wages are comparatively uniform, the amount of the comforts and necessaries of life which they can pro- cure should also be uniform. It is a cruel policy which introduces a working population into the temporary pos- session of comforts and luxuries far beyond what their average condition will enable them to support, and which, by a reaction, reduces their means before long as much below what that average should be as it had before been above it. Great complaints at present prevail, that the present high price of provisions is more severely felt in many places where, previous to the loiv prices and lavish consumption of 1834, 1835, and 1836, a very inferior scale of food and general comforts prevailed, than be- came common in those years : but sweets once tasted, advantages once enjoyed, are not easily relinquished. In many districts, where oat meal or barley meal formed a wholesome and considerable portion of diet before those years, wheat-flour was substituted, as being at the mo- ment from unnatural causes as cheap. In such cases, the necessary return to inferior diet, and even to a more limited quantity of it than on the average they are en- titled to, cannot but be considered a great evil and hardship. 109 But these lluctviations arc apt to exercise another in- fluence, in which the labouring classes, in common with their employers, are deeply interested. The supply of the first necessaries of life in this country has become a matter of such huge extent, that any little derangement therein becomes a question of much more serious extent than is generally imagined, in its indirect influences on commerce, by deranging the currency of this country, and the courses of exchange with others. As before stated, there have been, and of very late years, times when the whole amount of bullion in the Bank of Eng- land would not have purchased the wheat required this year to make up the deficiency, which is estimated at only one-sixth of the annual consumption. To examine these influences minutely would require more time and space than we can here afford, but this one fact may lead to a consideration of the extent to which they may be indirectly felt. The manufacturing and mercantile interests are, how- ever, more directly interested by the second mode in which we propose to consider th<3ir distinct benefits, viz. — In the general advantao^es which would result from an improvement so great, in the condition and in- terests of so large and important a portion of their con- sumers, as the landed interests constitute. If we have shown that the landed interests suffer, by the present state of the law, great and fearful losses in our first proposition, and if in our second proposition we have shown sufficient to prove that a free trade in corn would avoid these losses, and not no submit them to any other ; — then have we shown that the whole wealth of the country, both in income and capital, would be much increased ; that immense sums which are at present expended in unprofitable labour would become applicable to general and useful con- sumption ; that large amounts of capital which lie dor- mant vmtil wasted and decayed, would be available for the employment of useful and beneficial production. The connexion between the manufacturer and the landed interest in this country is much closer than is generally admitted or believed ; not only is the manu- facturer dependent on the landed interest for the large portion of his goods which they immediately consume, but also for a very large portion of what he exports to the most distant countries. All commerce is, either directly or indirectly, a simple exchange of the surplus products of one country for those of another. It is there- fore a first essential that we should be able to take the cotton of America, the sugar and coft'ee of India, the silk and teas of China, before they can take our manu- factures ; and if this be necessary, then must it follow that in proportion t« the extent to which we can take their produce, will they be enabled to take our manu- factures. Therefore whatever portion of these products is consumed in this country by the landed interest, must to that extent enable the manufacturer to export his goods in return ; and thus any causes which increase this ability on the part of the landed interest to consume, must give a corresponding additional ability to the manu- facturer to export. Every pound of coffee or sugar, every ounce of tea, every article of luxury, the produce of foreign climes, whether consumed within the castles and Ill halls of our wealthiest landowners, or in the humble cot- tages of our lowliest peasantry, alike represent some portion of the exports of this country. On the other hand the dependence of the land- owner is no less twofold on the manufacturer and mer- chant. He is not only dependent upon them for their own immediate consumption, but also for the consump- tion of whatever food enters into the cost price of their goods. Although the English farmer does not export his corn or his other produce in the exact shape and form in which he produces them, they constitute not the less on that account a distinct portion of the exports of this country, and that in the best of all possible forms. Just as much as the manufacturer exports the wool or the silk which enters into the fabrics of those materials, does he export the corn which paid for the labour of spinning and weaving them. It would be an utter impossibility that this country could consume its agri- cultural produce but for our extensive manufacturing po- pulation ; or that the value of what would be consumed could be near its present rate. If without this aid our agricultural produce were as great as it now is, a large portion would have to seek a market in distant countries : it would then have to be exported in the exact form in which it is produced; the expenses of which being so large would reduce very greatly from its value and nett price, and the landed interest would be immediately effected thereby. But, as it is, the pro- duce of the land is exported in the condensed form of manufactured goods, at a comparatively trifling ex- 112 pense, which secures a hij^h vahie to it liere. Thus, lor example, a few bales of silk or woollen goods may con- tain as much wheat in their value as would freight a whole sliip. To this advantajje the landed interest is indebted, ex- clusively, for the very superior value of property and produce in this country to any other ; because, by our great nianirfacturing superiority, a market is found for our produce over the whole world, conveyed in the cheapest and most condensed form. While the Chinese, or Indians, buy our cottons, our silks, or our woollens, they buy a portion of the grain and other produce of the land of this country ; and therefore the producer here, while indulging in the delicacies or luxuries of oriental climes, may only be consuming a portion of the golden heads of wheat W'hich had gracefully waved in his own fields at a former day. Is it not, therefore, sufficiently clear that no circum- stance whatever can either improve or injure one of these interests without immediately in the same way affecting the other ? The connexion is so close that it is impossible to separate or distinguish them. Any circumstance which limits our commerce must limit our market for agricultural produce ; and any possible circumstance which deteriorates the condition of our agriculturists must deteriorate our commerce, by limiting our imports, and consequently our exports. These are general prin- ciples, and are capable of extension to the whole world. 113 in all places, and at all times ; and the same principle as is thus shown to connect and combine the dift'ercnt interests of any one country, just as certainly operates in producing a similar effect between different countries ; and we ardently hope, ere long, to find not only the petty jealousies between different portions of the same community entirely removed, but that all countries will learn, that a free and unrestricted co-operation with each other in matters of commerce can only tend to the general benefit and welfare of all. 114 PROPOSITION THE FOURTH. PART FIRST. A consideration of what change in the present laws would best suit the interest of all parties at this particular time. Every change of an extensive or important character, however beneficial it may be in its ultimate operation, is apt to be attended with considerable inconvenience and partial evil in its first consequences, and it is therefore an incumbent duty on the part of governments to intro- duce any change with the greatest care and circum- spection; and in this particular case this precaution is moie than usually needed, to avoid the evil consequences which might arise from the deeply-rooted prejudices and ignorance so common with respect to the subject. We have already suflSciently noticed all the different fluctuations in the extent of our cultivation and supply ; and it will easily be seen, that although the same one \iltimate principle can alone be a cure to the whole evil, yet that the particular mode in which it should be re- sorted to may fairly differ, according to the particular period in these fluctuations selected for the change. The great object which is to be accomplished is to get wheat fixed at the fair average price at which it can be 115 produced ; and in endeavouring to do this we must bear in mind, that though we may be correct in every de- duction throughout these pages, yet that the generally prevailing prejudices, both in this country and on the continent, will not fail to have a considerable influence in the first instance. Thus, in the event of an immediate free trade in corn, the deeply-rooted prejudices of the cultivators in this country would not fail to discourage and limit their efforts of cultivation, until experience had sufiiciently proved the real effects of this change ; and, in like manner, the same cause would no doubt influence the growers on the continent to exceed the bounds of prudence in their efforts to avail themselves of this pri- vilege, which when they have ever possessed it of late has been only when prices have been unusually high, and which has led them to form a very exaggerated notion of the profit they could derive from a constant trade with us. As, however, we have already shown that the whole quantity which the continent could supply is, when com- pared with our home production, so absolutely insig- nificant, we will look at these influences chiefly in refer- ence to the latter. In lookinsf at the fluctuations which have occurred it must be clear that there have been times when it would have been useful to all that cultivation had been checked, and other times when it would have been as useful that it had been encouraged. If in 1832, 1833, or 1834, when culti- vation was extending to an unprofitable degree, any change in the law had been proposed, then it might safely have been introduced in such a way as would have tended immediately to check cuUivation and supplies; because i2 IIG such an effect at that time would have prevented the surpkis behig so great, and have maintained the price nearer the proper average. But if such a change had been proposed in 1837, 1838, or at the present time, then we think that it should he introduced in such a way as to avoid checking an increase of cultivation, when such is actually required to bring the supply and price to the proper average. Considerin