UC-NRLF *B 2M5 bD3 WW LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA. Class I Ir' \ v^- COMPARATIVE ESTIMATE OF THE EFFECTS WHICH A CONTINUANCE AND A REMOVAL OF THE RESTRICTION UPON ARE RESPECTIVELY CALCULATED TO PRODUCE WITH STRICTURES Mb. RICARDO's PROPOSAL FOR OBTAINING A SECURE AND ECONOMICAL CURRENCY. By R. TORRENS, Esq. F.R.S. AUTHOR OF "AN ESSAY ON MONEY AND PAPER CURRENCY;" AND " AN ESSAY ON THE EXTERNAL CORN TRADE. " . OF THE T PRINTED FOR R. HUNTER, SUCCESSOR TO MR. JOHNSON, No. 72, St. Paul's Church-Yard ; and RIDGWAYS, Piccadilly. 1819. COMPARATIVE ESTIMATE OF THE EFFECTS WHICH A CONTINUANCE AND A REMOVAL OF THE RESTRICTION UPON ARE RESPECTIVELY CALCULATED TO PRODUCE WITH STRICTURES Mn. RICARDO's PROPOSAL FOR OBTAINING A SECURE AND ECONOMICAL CURRENCY. By R. TORRENS, Esq. F.R.S. AUTHOR OF " AN ESSAY ON MONEY AND PAPER CURRENCY f AND H AN ESSAY ON THE EXTERNAL CORN TRADE. n . Or THE r UNIVERSITY PRINTED FOR R. HUNTER, SUCCESSOR TO MR. JOHNSON, No. 72, St. Paul's Church-Yard ; and RIDGWAYS, Piccadilly. 1819. & 1 * « & ;-ti« GENERAL Printed ly J. Breltell, Rupert Street, ITaymarket, London. TO GEORGE PHILIPS, Esq. M. P. AS AN ACKNOWLEDGMENT FOR MANY ACTS OF KINDNESS AND REGARD, AND AS A TESTIMONY OF RESPECT, FOR THE DISTINGUISHED ABILITY WITH WHICH, AS A MEMBER OF THE LEGISLATURE, HE HAS ADVOCATED THE MOST IMPORTANT PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICAL SCIENCE, THE FOLLOWING PAGES ARE INSCRIBED BY t THE AUTHOR. Woolwich, May 7, 1819. 1 04775 COMPARATIVE ESTIMATE, *■ 1 HE Money, or Currency of a country, is liable to variations in its exchangeable value, from two distinct and very different causes. It will undergo a permanent alteration in value, either from an increase, or from a diminution, in the expense of producing the commodity of which it is composed; and it will be subject to occasional and temporary fluctuation of value, from any circumstance which affects the rate of exchange, and the balance of foreign pay- ments. The permanent alterations in the value of money, which arise from an increase or dimi- nution in the expense of producing the pre- cious metals, are so rare in their occurrence, 2 and so gradual in their approach, that they can scarcely influence the decisions of the practical statesman. With regard to the tem- porary fluctuation occasioned by variations in the rate of exchange and balance of payments, the case is different. These are both frequent and sudden, and it is impossible to come to a right decision on any practical question in the science of money and currency, without under- standing their principles, and taking their ope- ration into account. Before I proceed to the question respecting the expediency of resum- ing cash payments, I shall therefore endeavour to explain, with as much clearness and brevity as possible, those occasional variations in the value of the circulating medium which are produced by fluctuations in foreign trade, and in the balance of foreign payments. Let us suppose, tliat the rate of exchange between England and the Continent is at par : that, after the demand for each other's commo- dities is mutually supplied, the debts are ex- actly balanced by the credits ; now this being the previous state of things, we will suppose farther, that a bad harvest occurs in England, and compels her to import from the Continent a large supply of corn. As all commerce is an exchange of equivalents, something must be sent abroad to pay for this foreign grain. The first question, therefore, to be considered in this case is, what commodity will be sent out to pay for it ? The ordinary continental de- mand for British goods is, by the supposition, already supplied : what articles, therefore, will form the basis of that extraordinary exporta- tion which must now take place ? Self-interest is the spring of every commer- cial transaction ; and the merchants who have incurred foreign debts by an extraordinary importation of corn, will export in return such articles as may enable them to discharge those debts at the cheapest rate. The basis of the extraordinary exportation, therefore, will not be taken, in equal proportions, from the general mass of commodities, but will consist of those particular articles which may be sent abroad at least expense, and which are least likely to glut the foreign market. For example, if, after the two countries had mutually supplied each other's ordinary wants, England were obliged to import corn from France, to the amount of a million sterling, she would not pay this debt by sending to France an in- creased quantity of coals or of cast iron, upon which she would incur an enormous expense for carriage ; neither would England attempt to liquidate her extraordinary debt to France by an extraordinary exportation of steel watch- springs; because those articles, though pos- sessing great value in proportion to their bulk, are yet of such limited demand, that they would speedily overstock the foreign market, and consequently be sold at considerable loss. Those particular articles, therefore, which can be conveyed at the cheapest rate, and which are least liable to glut the foreign market, will always form the basis of that extraordinary exportation which is resorted to for the pur- pose of paying foreign debts. Whatever may be the commodity which> from the cheapness of its carriage, and the universality of its demand, merchants may select for the purpose of liquidating extraor- dinary foreign debts, that commodity, as its supply diminishes in the home market, and increases in the foreign, will necessarily have its value raised in the former and lowered in the latter. Here, therefore, the important question presents itself, namely, when the com- modity which the merchant has selected for the purpose of liquidating an extraordinary foreign debt, has been rendered dearer in the home, than in the foreign market, will it con tinue to be exported ? If we can arrive at a right decision upon this question, we shall obtain a clue for some of the most intricate recesses of the theory of money and exchange. Let us suppose that a deficient harvest in England has raised the price of corn so high, that a merchant who imports a supply of grain from France can, on this first part of his trans- action, obtain a profit of thirty per cent. Now, if fine cottons are the commodities which he exports in payment, and if those will sell in France, at a price which exactly covers the expense of sending them thither, then it is evi- dent that the merchant, in balancing his ac- count by the exportation of cotton, can sustain no loss ; and that when the whole of his trans- action is completed, he will still obtain a 6 profit of thirty per cent. But if cottons con* tinue to be sent out of England, not for the purpose of supplying the ordinary commercial demand of France, but in order to balance an unfavourable account incurred by an extraor- dinary importation of corn, it is evident that the supply will diminish in the former, and increase in the latter country; and conse- quently, that those goods, when measured by every other commodity, except corn, will ac- quire a higher value in England than in France. Let, therefore, the value of cottons rise in England, and fall in France, to such a de- gree, that the merchant, by sending them from the former to the latter country, in order to balance his account, sustain a loss of ten per cent. But in importing the corn, in paying for which he must incur this loss, he had ac- quired thirty per cent. His profit, therefore, Upon the whole transaction, will be twenty per cent. ; and* in order to secure this, he will, unless some other goods can be sent abroad at a cheaper rate, continue to export cottons, though they should be dearer in the home, than in the foreign market. The question therefore arises, Cannot some other goods be sent abroad at a cheaper rate ? By the supposition, all commodities, except corn and cottons, are, both in England and in France, at their ordinary and level value ; and we have now to inquire, whether some of those commodities on which no loss could be sus- tained, except that which arose from the ex- pense of carriage, might not be substituted for the cotton, on which a loss of ten per cent, must be sustained. This can be determined only by comparing the loss arising from the carriage of other commodities, with the loss sustained by sending the cottons from the dearer to the cheaper market* Cottons could have beeh selected as the basis of extraordi- nary export only because they furnished the' means of liquidating, at the cheapest rate, the debt incurred for the foreign corn ; and, if the loss now sustained by their becoming dearer in the home, than in the foreign market, be less than the loss sustained upon the carriage of the next eligible article for export, then it is evident that they will still furnish the cheap- est means of discharging the extraordinary 8 foreign debt ; and that they will continue id be sent abroad, though dearer in the home; than in the foreign market. Let, for example, woollens be the next eligible article of ex- portation ; let them be of equal value in Eng- land and in France ; and let the expense of sending them from the former to the latter country be fifteen per cent. In this case, one- half of the profit obtained by importing the corn would be lost by balancing the account with woollens ; but the loss sustained by ba- lancing the account with cottons would be only ten per cent., or one-third of the profit obtained upon the corn. It is evident, there- fore, that the merchant would not begin to purchase corn with woollens, until cottons had become so dear in the home market, that he could not dispose of them abroad without sus- taining, on that part of his transaction, a loss of fifteen per cent. Hence, when a conside- rable profit can be made by an extraordinary importation of any commodity, articles on which the expense of carriage is small, and which are little liable to glut any particular market, will be employed to balance the ac- 9 •count, until their diminishing supply raises their value in the home, so far above their value in the foreign market, that the loss upon sending them abroad equals the loss attending the transmission of the next eligible article of export. Having thus shewn, that a commodity may continue to be exported, though its value in the home, should exceed its value in the foreign market, I proceed to apply this principle to the bullion market, and to the expounding of the theory of money and exchange. The precious metals possess, in an eminent degree, the qualities which render commodi- ties eligible as the basis of that extraordinary exportation, which a great foreign expendi- ture, or an unusual importation of corn, may occasion. Possessing great value in small bulk, they can be transmitted at little expense ; and being employed as the measure of value, and as the universal equivalent, they rapidly pass off in exchange for any thing which may be more in demand than themselves ; and therefore are, of all commodities, the least likely to glut any particular market. Thence, 10 whenever any foreign debts, beyond what the ordinary transactions of commerce can liqui- date, are incurred, the precious metals will, in the first instance, be sent abroad to pay them ; and hence, in all such instances, gold and silver will become scarcer and more valuable in the home, than in the foreign market. A rise in the value of the metals is, indeed, the same thing as a reduction in the price of all other commodities. This reduction must ne- cessarily encourage export, and check import ; and thus, without any farther transmission of gold and silver, tend to balance the account. It k evident, however, that this forced expor- tation of other commodities is the consequence of the diminished supply and increased value of the metals ; and, instead of being a proof that they every where preserve a level, is the certain indication that they have acquired an extraordinary elevation in the home market. After gold and silver have acquired an extraordinary elevation in the home market, those foreign debts which the usual operations of commerce cannot balance, maybe liquidated by other commodities; &nd the expense of 11 transmitting those will constitute the limit, beyond which the value of the metals in the home, cannot exceed their value in the foreign market. For example: if an extraordinary foreign debt caused bullion to be subtracted, until its value in the home market became so high that the loss upon sending it abroad amounted to ten per cent. ; and if the loss upon transmitting sugar and coffee (the arti- cles in the next degree eligible as the basis of extraordinary exportation)/ should also be ten per cent., then the farther subtraction of bul- lion would be prevented ; because, should its supply in the home market be any farther diminished, its value would rise until the loss upon sending it abroad would be more than ten per cent. ; that is, more than the loss sus- tained by balancing the account with sugar and coffee. But merchants always seek to balance their accounts in the cheapest manner ; and, therefore, while sugar and coffee could be transmitted at ten per cent., the exportar tion of bullion would cease before the cost of sending it abroad began to exceed that rate. But should the forced exportation of sugar and 12 coffee occasion such a glut of those articles in the foreign iharket, that the loss upon send- ing them abroad amounted to fifteen per cent., then, indeed, the exportation of bullion would be resumed, ahd its value in the home, would be elevated so far above its value in the foreign market, that the loss upon sending it abroad would be also fifteen per cent. This would form a new limit to the farther diminution in the supply, and rise in the value, of bullion. In every instance, and every stage of the pro- cess, the degree of loss sustained upon export- ing the last article with which the merchant may most cheaply balance those foreign debts, which the ordinary operations of commerce cannot liquidate, will regulate the degree in which the value of bullion may rise in the home, above its value in the foreign market. From the principles which have already been unfolded, it necessarily follows, that when an unfavourable balance of payments raises the value of bullion, the bullion of different metals will be raised in different proportions; As the commodity which can be transmitted at the least expense, or, in other words, which con- 13 tains the greatest value in the smallest bulk, will always be the first article selected as the basis of extraordinary exportation, whenever a foreign debt, beyond what the ordinary ope-? rations of commerce can liquidate, is incurred, gold will begin to disappear before silver ; and will, to the full amount of the difference in the expense of carriage, acquire a higher value. For example, if gold can be sent to Paris for two per cent, and if silver cannot be trans-* mitted to the same place under a cost of seven per cent., then, on an unfavourable balance of payments occurring with Paris, gold would be preferred as the basis of the extraordinary export, until its diminishing supply in the home market elevated its value five per cent, above that of silver ; that is, until the loss sustained by the increased value of gold balanced the advantage of its cheaper carriage, and rendered it indifferent to the merchant which of the metals he remitted. Having thus shewn how an unfavourable balance of payments affects the bullion market, •wp must now proceed to trace out the manner 14 in which the same cause disturbs the relative value of bullion and of coin : — In the first place, metal in the form of bul- lion, is a more eligible article of export than metal in the form of coin. By assaying a small portion of a bar of gold, we ascertain the fine- ness of the whole ; but in order to ascertain with equal exactness the fineness of a quantity of gold in the state of coin, we must either assay each individual piece, or else melt the whole, and then assay a portion of the united mass. The first would be an almost endless process ; and even the latter would be attended with more trouble, delay, and expense, than ascertaining the fineness of gold already united into bars. Now, whatever might be the amount of the greater labour, delay, and expense, which would be necessary to ensure us, that no coun- terfeit or adulterated pieces had been insinuated amongst the coins, to that amount would gold in bars be more valuable for the payment of a foreign debt, than an equal quantity of metal in the form of coin. The division and manu- facturing of metals at the Mint, will often 15 render them more valuable for the purpose of domestic circulation, but will render them less valuable for the purposes of exportation. Hence, whenever an unfavourable balance of payments leads to a subtraction of the metals, the in- crease in the value of bullion will be greater than the increase in the value of the domestic coin*. We will assume that the difference * An unfavourable balance of payments may sometimes render foreign coin more valuable, as an article of export, than bullion. If I owe a thousand livres to a correspondent in Paris, transmitting French coin to that amount, might be cheaper than transmitting bullion, which, when it arrived at its destination, would have to be assayed and sold before it could effect the desired payment. But though, in this case, a premium might be given for French coin, yet the coin of England would be found less valuable than bullion. For this coin, not passing by tale as a legal tender in Paris, would also require to be assayed and sold before it could effect the payment of my debt. But assaying it would be more troublesome and expensive than assaying bullion ; and hence for the purpose of ex- portation, it would be of less value: this principle accounts for the fact, that during our great foreign expenditure in the Peninsula, Spanish coin sold in our market at a higher price than bullion of equal fineness. 16 thus induced between the value of the bullion and of coin, may amount to one per cent. In the second place, those laws which, in al- most every country, have been enacted for the purpose of preventing the melting down and exporting of the coin, must necessarily, when- ever an unfavourable balance of payments diminishes the supply of specie, cause metal in the form of bullion to rise in a higher ratio than metal in the form of coin. It is no doubt true, that as long as the metals are the most eligible basis of extraordinary exportation, all laws prohibiting the coin from being melted and sent abroad, will be evaded by self-interest. But then, evading the laws will always be at- tended with risk and expense ; and therefore, to the full amount of these, metal in the form of coin, will, during an unfavourable balance of payments, experience a less rise than metal in the form of bullion. Gold which could be sworn off for exportation was, during the great expenditure occasioned by the war, three per cent, dearer than gold of equal fineness which could not be legally sent abroad. We shall there- fore take three per cent, as the amount of the difference which the laws against defacing and exporting the coin may, when an unfavourable balance of payments diminishes the supply of metals, induce between the value of gold bul- lion and of gold coin. In the third place, whenever an unfavour- able balance of payments diminishes the supply of specie in the home market, the value of gold* as we have already seen, must, to the full amount of the difference in the expense of transmitting the two metals, experience a greater rise than the value of silver. We have assumed this difference in the expense of transmission to be five per cent. If this be correct, during an un- favourable balance, gold bullion would become more valuable by five per cent, than the silver coin : even though this coin should, during the unfavourable balance, retain its full bullion- worth. But this, as we have already seen, it could not retain. Domestic silver coin could not rise so high as silver bullion, because it would be less eligible for the purpose of expor- tation ; and because, to this natural and neces- sary drawback, would be added the artificial arid accidental drawback arising from the c 18 Jaws which prohibit the defacing and export- ing the coin. The first we have taken at one per cent, and the second, as it is more difficult on account of its greater bulk, to smuggle silver than gold, we may take at four per cent. Thus then, under these assumptions, an unfa- vourable balance of payments may cause silver bullion to rise by five per cent, higher than it raises silver coin of standard weight and fine- ness. But the same cause has by the difference in the expense of carriage which we take at five per cent, increased the value of gold, be- yond what it may have increased the value of silver bullion. Consequently gold bullion must have received an elevation of ten per cent, above silver coin. Thus an unfavourable balance of foreign payments, independently of the deterioration of the coin to which it may give occasion, leads by a three-fold process to a difference between the value of bullion and of standard coin. In the first place, it gives metallic bars and masses an advantage over small metallic pieces ; in the second place, it elevates the metal which can be sworn off for exportation, above that which 19 cannot legally be sent out of the country ; and in the third place, it alters, by the amount of the difference in the expense of the carriage, the customary level value of the metals from which the coinage is composed. The second of these causes of variation arises out of the laws which prohibit the defacing and exporting of the coin, and by the repeal of such laws it might be removed ; but the first and the third causes of the difference between the value of bullion and of coin, are not of this accidental and arbi- trary nature, and would continue to produce their effect, though every restriction upon traf- ficking in the coin of the realm were removed. The difference between the value of bullion and of coin is, while coin constitutes the cur- rency, the same thing as the difference between the market and the Mint price of the metals. By the regulations of the Mint, a pound of gold is coined into forty-four guineas and a half; consequently, forty- four guineas and a half con- stitute the Mint price of a pound of gold. But if the causes above explained should raise gold bullion four per cent, above the gold coin, then, of course it would require more than forty-four guineas and a half to purchase a pound of gold ; 20 or, in other words, the market price of the metal would be elevated above its Mint price. Again, an ounce of silver is, by the regulations of the Mint*, coined into 5^ shillings ; five shillings and two-pence, therefore, is the Mint price of the ounce of silver. But should silver bullion, from the above causes, have risen five per cent, above the silver coin, it would require more than five shillings and two- pence to purchase an ounce of silver; and the market price of this metal would rise five per cent, above its Mint price. Once more; the Mint price of an ounce of gold is £. 3 1 7s. I0±d. now the pound sterling is a denomination standing for four ounces, all to a small fraction, of coined silver ; if therefore, under the circumstances already stated, gold bullion should rise five per cent, above gold coin, and silver bullion five per cent, above silver coin, then, it is evident that £.3 17s. 10^d. could no longer be identical with one ounce of gold ; but that the market price of this metal, when expressed in the pound # Under the late Coinage Act the weight of the silver coin is reduced ; but this does not in any way affect the principle contended for. 21 sterling and its fractions, would have risen ten per cent, above its Mint price. Whenever the market price of the metals rises above their Mint price, the question of depreciation presents itself for consideration. Now the term depreciation always implies a diminution of value. It is only when the money of a country has lost a portion of its exchange- able value, that it can justly be said to be de- preciated. If while the precious metals retain their customary relation to other things, the coin should be clipped, or worn, or adulterated, its value would sink, and it would be in a state of depreciation. Again; if a diminution of commercial transactions, or the introduction of greater economy in the use of currency, should diminish the demand for money, then the coin would become redundant with respect to bul- lion ; though of standard weight and fineness, it would to the full amount of the labour and risk required to restore it to the state of bullion lose a portion of its exchangeable value ; and therefore in this case also it would be depre- ciated. But when an unfavourable balance of foreign payments diminishes the supply of the metals, and raises the market price of bullion 22 above the Mint price, the effect is very different. In this case, the value of money is raised, in- stead of being lowered. When the metals are ex- ported to balance an unfavourable account bullion, as we have seen, will rise in a higher ratio than coin ; but then, as soon as the rise in the value of the metals exceeds the premium necessary to cover the risk and expense of ex- porting the coins, the coin will also be sent out of the country, its supply will be diminished, and its value raised. Now, when coin, or the money of a country, is raised in value, it is a con- founding of terms, nay an absolute contradic- tion, to say that it is depreciated. Thus we see, that a difference between the market and the Mint price of the metals may be produced by distinct and very different causes ; namely, by a rise in the value of bul- lion, and by a fall in the value of coin. To ap- ply the same term, and to attribute the same character, to effects so opposite, both in their origin and in their consequences, is surely not very philosophical or accurate. There are three distinct states, in which the coin or money of a country may be placed in respect to bul- lion: it may be of the same value with bullion; 23 it may be of a different value from bullion, in consequence of its own value having become deteriorated ; and it may be of a different value from bullion, in consequence of the value of bullion having risen. Now, those distinct states should be marked by distinct names ; the first is non-depreciation ; the second is real depre- ciation; the third, apparent depreciation. All that we have said respecting the dif- ference between the value of bullion and of coin, applies equally to the difference which may arise between the value of bullion, and of a paper currency, convertible at the option of the holder into coin. A paper currency, pos- sessing itself no intrinsic value, must necessarily be equivalent to the commodity which it repre- sents, and into which it can at will be turned. All the circumstances which, when the balance of payments is unfavourable, prevent coin, must also prevent a paper currency, convertible into coin, from experiencing so great a rise as bullion. As measured in the paper currency, therefore, the market price of bullion will rise above its Mint price ; but this will be an ap- parent, not a real depreciation of currency. 24 Depreciation implies diminution of value ; and in all instances of a subtraction of the metals, in consequence of an unfavourable balance of payments, the value of a currency convertible into coin, will be found to rise, not to fall. What has been stated with respect to the occasional difference between the value of bullion and of coin is also true in reference to the occasional difference between the value of coin and of a paper currency not convertible into coin. If an unfavourable harvest con> pelled England to get from the Continent an extraordinary importation of corn, to the amount of a million sterling, then an extras- ordinary exportation of her commodities, to a like amount, must take place in order to pay for this supply. The commodities most easily conveyed, and least likely to glut the foreign market, would go out first. As those became scarce and dearer, commodities in the next degree eligible would be made the basis of the extraordinary exportation ; and so on, until the account became balanced. The result would be, that England would have lost some of her commodities ; but that in consequence of 25 some being better calculated for exportation than others, she would have lost them in different proportions. The supply of gold, and of some of the finer articles of manufacture, might be considerably diminished; while that of cast iron and of coals would remain very nearly, if not altogether, as before. Now, coin being, with the exception of bullion, one of the most eligible articles of export, it would, with rela- tion to the great mass of commodities, have its supply diminished, and its value raised. Supposing, therefore, that while the value of coin is thus raised, a paper currency not coi> vertible into coin is so cautiously issued, that it retains the same relative proportion to the mass of commodities, and consequently the same exchangeable power as before; then the value of the coin, and of the paper will be different, and any given sum in the former, will purchase a greater quantity of goods, than the same given sum in the latter. But this does not prove that the paper cur- rency is depreciated. Depreciation always implies a fall in value, a diminution in the power of purchasing. This the bank note has not undergone; on the contrary, it retains, by the supposition, the same power, and equiva- lency in the market as before. But as its value remains unaltered, it cannot have under- gone a real depreciation, though, in conse- quence of its remaining stationary, while the standard to which we generally refer it, has risen, it exhibits an apparent depreciation. The principles above unfolded, respecting those occasional and temporary variations in the value of the precious metals, which are induced by an unfavourable balance of foreign payments, and rate of exchange, afford a satis- factory explanation of almost all the important facts, presented in the history of our currency, and enable us to form an accurate estimate of the wisdom of certain plans, proposed with a view of imparting to it a greater degree of security and uniformity. For several years past the market price of gold has been above its Mint price ; or, in other words, any given sum in the paper currency has not been equiva- lent to the quantity of metal contained in the coin which it purports to represent. Respect- ing the cause, and the effects of this fact, dif- 27 ferent opinions are entertained. Those political economists, who have been denominated BuU lionists, contend that the precious metals are the only standard of money. That the rise in the price of gold is occasioned by the paper currency, having fallen below its customary value, and that the remedy for this evil, and the way to give the bank note a steady and uniform power in exchange, is, to render it at all times convertible into a given quantity of bullion. The practical men, on the contrary, maintain that a rise in the price of gold does not indicate any loss of value in the currency, that bullion, being nothing more than so much merchandise in the market* cannot be regarded as the stand- ard of money, any more than sugar or coffee, and that rendering the bank note, at all times equivalent to the same given quantity of metal, instead of imparting to it the character of a fixed and uniform measure of value, would ex- pose it to perpetual and deep vibrations. When these opposite theories are examined upon the principles above unfolded, it will be found that each contains something which is correct, combined with something which is 28 erroneous, and that truth lies at a middle point between them. It must be conceded to the bullionist that the precious metals are the only standard of money. The proper definition of money is any commodity which general consent has rendered the practical measures of value and medium of exchange ; and in all civilized countries, the commodities which general con- sent has selected for these functions, are por- tions of the precious metals with stamps affixed to them, certifying tfyeir weight and fineness. Paper currency, indeed, serves in the market as a practical measure of value, but it does so only as the substitute and representative of the metals. When the price of gold rises, it is true, as the bullionists contend, that a given sum of the paper currency represents a smaller quantity of the material of money, than before ; but it is not true, as they affirm, that the paper must therefore be below its customary value. Gold may have increased in value. If an extra- ordinary exportation of the metal should have so diminished its quantity as to give fifteen ounces the same power of purchasing which sixteen ounces formerly possessed; then the 29 bank note which represented fifteen instead of sixteen ounces, though apparently depreciated as compared with a given quantity of the material of money, would continue to pass at the same identical value which sixteen ounces formerly passed for, and which they must pass for again, when the unfavourable balance of payment ceases, and the usual equilibrium is restored. The same principle holds good with respect to coin. Whenever an unfavourable balance raises the value of bullion sufficiently high to cover the expense and risk of melting, or ex- porting the coin; it will also begin to acquire an extraordinary elevation, and fifteen shillings may obtain the same power in the market which twenty shillings formerly possessed. But if such were the case, the pound note, which represented fifteen shillings instead of twenty shillings, would not have sunk below its proper and usual value, but would retain pre- cisely the same power in the market as before. The error of the bullionists consists, not in their assuming false principles, but in their failing to give due consideration to the limi- tations and exceptions to which just principles 30 are occasionally liable. Gold is by law the basis of our money, and therefore there can exist no reasonable doubt, that the only way to keep our currency fixed and invariable is to preserve it at the ordinary and level value of gold, as that value is determined by the metal's cost of production. But gold is liable to con- siderable elevation above its ordinary and level value, and consequently rendering the same sum in the currency at all times equiva- lent to the same quantity of metal, instead of rendering the currency fixed and invariable, would expose it to frequent and deep vibra- tions. The general principle is liable to oc- casional exceptions. The value of the circu- lating medium, instead of fluctuating, may often be rendered more steady by a deviation from the customary standard. Indeed it would be highly expedient, if gold could be made the standard of currency, only when it is at that average level value which is determined by the cost of its production, and which may be considered for any moderate period of time, as fixed and invariable. To this a bullionist would object, — "there is 31 no criterion by which we can ascertain the degree in which an unfavourable foreign ba- lance may raise gold above its average and level value. The average and level value^ therefore, itself undefined, and undefinable, cannot be rendered the standard of currency. If we once admit the principle that the bank note should be allowed to depart from the actual value of the metal, which it purports to represent, we have no longer any check upon its issue, nor any assignable limit to its fluc- tuations." I answer that the difficulty of ascertaining the average and level value of gold, is a cir- cumstance which should render a bullionist cautious in applying his general principle, and diffident to assert, that when the price of the metal is raised, the bank note has sunk in value. For aught he can tell, the effect may have been produced by an extraordinary de- mand for gold ; and his inability to assign the cause of the irregularity, should check his haste for the application of a remedy. The rash empiricism which employs the same uni- versal medicine for disorders, different in their 32 origin and character, is at least as likely to injure, as to heal. Raising the bank note to an equivalency with gold, would restore the currency to a sound and natural state, if an over-issue of paper had degraded it below the customary level of the metal, it purports to represent; but if the difference had been occa- sioned by an extraordinary demand for gold, would produce that very fluctuation, in the value of the circulating medium, which w r e erroneously assumed to have taken place and ignorantly attempted to correct. The objec- tion of the bullionists, therefore, would make against themselves. When it is a doubtful matter whether gold is, or is not at its average and level value, it must be a certain matter, that we should refrain from interfering at ran- dom, and in the dark, to raise the currency to an equivalency with it. But I deny that it is impossible to ascertain whether the gold is not at its average and level value. There is no absolute scale, indeed, which we can apply to the metals, so as to ren- der their ascent or descent actually palpable to the senses ; but there are a variety of cir- 33 eumstances from which their variations may be deduced, with sufficient accuracy, for all prac- tical purposes. If, at the time when gold rises in price, a deficient harvest or a foreign loan should have called for an extraordinary ex- portation of those commodities which are most easily carried, and least likely to glut any par- ticular market, general principles would lead us to conclude that this metal had received a temporary elevation above its average and level value. This conclusion would be strengthen- ed, if, at the same time, silver, the next eligible article with which to balance an extraordinary foreign debt, rose in a less proportion than gold. And if those finer articles of commerce which contain the greatest value, in the small- est bulk, experienced a graduated elevation, whilst the coarser and more bulky commodities remained nearly at their former price ; if, with the principal foreign markets, the real* as well as the computed and apparent exchange, was against us ; and if the issues of the Bank were not unusually enlarged, or were rather dimi- nished than increased ; then should we possess a resistless chain of circumstantial evidence., p 34 proving that the fluctuations of foreign trade, had given to gold a temporary elevation above the level marked by the cost of its production. On the other hand, if the price of gold were to rise at a time when there was no deficient har- vest, or foreign loan ; if silver, and all the commodities rose in the same proportion with gold, and not in a proportion graduated by their respective eligibility, to become the basis of extraordinary exportation ; if while the computed exchange became unfavourable, the real exchange remained at par; and if the amount of bank notes in circulation, had in- creased ; then we should possess a body of evi- dence, amounting almost to demonstration, that gold was not elevated above its ordinary and level value, and the bullionist would be perfectly correct in attributing its advanced market-price, to a diminution in the value of the currency, in which that price was com- puted. The errors of the bullionists are not confined to pushing their general principles too far, and failing to take into consideration the exceptions and limitations to which they are liable. Many 35 of the measures they propose for correcting the irregularities in our currency would have the effect of increasing the fluctuation to which it is exposed. It is stated that the laws against exporting and melting down the coin, are of very questionable policy, and that the utmost freedom should be given, not only to the manu- facturing of bullion into coin, but also to the reducing of coin into bullion. This is an error. The repeal of the laws against melting and exporting the coin, would be clearly pernicious. We have seen that when an unfavourable balance of payment occurs, these laws consti- tute one of the causes which render coin the less eligible article for export, and prevent it from rising so much above its level value as bullion. If there were no longer any risk in melting and exporting the coin, then on all oc- casions of extraordinary elevation, the value of coin would confirm more nearly that of bul- lion, and consequently the market price of bullion, as expressed in coin, or in paper con- vertible into coin, would not rise so high above the -Mint price. But this greater steadiness 36 in the market price of bullion would be the effect, not of a greater, but of a less degree of steadiness in the value in the currency. If an unfavourable balance of foreign payments were to raise bullion six per cent, above its level value, and if the risk incurred by melting and exporting the coin amounted to five per cent, then the coin, or a paper currency circulating at par with the coin, would rise only one per cent, and the price of bullion would be five per cent, higher in the market than at the Mint ; while, if all the risk and difficulty at- tending the melting and defacing of it were removed, the rise in the value of the coin, or of a paper currency equivalent to the coin, would rise six, instead of one per cent, while the market and the Mint price of bullion remained at par. In the case we have stated, the dif- ference between the market and the Mint price of the metals is occasioned by the currency not having risen, in so great a degree as bul- lion, above its customary and level value. A repeal of the laws against defacing and ex- porting the coin of the realm, instead of ren- 37 dering the currency more uniform and steady, would increase the fluctuation in its exchange- able power. On the same principle that the laws against melting and exporting the coin ought not to be repealed, we ought to reject the propositions contained in Mr. Rioardo's proposal for ob- taining a secure and uniform currency. Of all those who have espoused the doctrines of the bullionists, this gentleman is unquestionably the most able. He has done more for political economy than any other writer, with the single exception, perhaps, of Doctor Adam Smith ; and the authority of one who combines so much profound science, with such extensive practical knowledge, must stand extremely high. Yet it seems to me that he occasionally falls into that species of error to which men of great original genius are peculiarly exposed, and that in the ardour of discovery, he pushes his general principles too far, and arrives at con- clusions practically inadmissible. This I con- ceive to be the case with respect to his propo- sal for causing the Bank to pay their notes, not in coin, but in bullion. If there be any truth m in the principles, which I have laboured to establish in the preceding pages, coin is a less eligible article for export than bullion, and on the occurrence of an unfavourable harvest, or a foreign loan, will not experience so great an elevation above its customary and level value. If therefore the paper currency were rendered convertible into bullion, instead of into coin, its exchangeable power would be subject to deeper vibrations than at present. Small pieces of metal, the exportation of which involves the risk of punishment and loss, cannot in the na- ture of things pass off in the payments of foreign debts so readily, as masses of metal which may be legally exported ; and consequently an un- favourable balance of foreign payments cannot diminish the supply, and the value of coin in the same degree that it diminishes the supply, and raises the value of bullion. In certain states of the market, a currency convertible into bullion, would rise several per cent, above a currency convertible into coin ; and the adoption of Mr. Ricardo's proposal would only serve to increase those calamitous fluctuations in the value of the circulating medium, which 39 it is the great object of the practical statesman to prevent. In some cases indeed, the Bank might gain by paying its notes in bullion instead of in coin. Bullion would never be required for domestic circulation, and when the exchange was at par, and our debts to foreign countries were can- celled by our credits, it would not be sought for exportation. While things continued in this state, the paper currency, unless issued in excess, would scarcely ever be brought to the bank for payment, and, if it were brought, gold could immediately be obtained at the Mint price, so that the Bank would be under no necessity of keeping specie locked unpro- ductively in its coffers, for the purpose of meet- ing occasional demands. The profits of the Bank proprietors would experience an increase, and this increase, not being obtained at the expense of any other class, would be a clear addition to the net revenue of the community. But these advantages would be temporary, and would cost too much. When an unfavourable harvest, or a foreign loan occurred, gold would be the first thing in demand for balancing the 40 account with the creditor country, and con-> sequently, in the home market, its supply would diminish, and its value rise. On the supposi- tion that the paper currency did not partake in this fluctuation, but was issued to the same amount, and retained the same value as before, the market price of gold would rise above the Mint price, and a ruinous run would be made upon the Bank ; and if we suppose, that in order to obviate this, the Bank contracts its issues until paper attains the same extraordi- nary elevation as gold, then the sudden increase in the value, and diminutions in the amount of the currency, would inflict upon the public the greatest embarrassment and distress. The very moderate saving of capital which could be obtained in ordinary cases from rendering Bank paper payable in bullion, and thereby enabling the Bank directors to carry on their business, with a less quantity of the metals locked up in their coffers, would be purchased at a price much too dear, and by aggravating the calamities incident to unproductive seasons and the revulsions of trade. Having thus examined the principles main- 41 , tained by the bullionists, I shall proceed to consider the doctrines espoused by those, who have denominated themselves practical men. It is a singular fact, that in the controversies respecting the state of the currency, those who have assumed, by way of excellence, the charac- ter of practical men ; and who have endeavour- ed to discredit their opponents by the designa- tion of theorists, are themselves the advocates of one of the most refined and subtle theories, which has ever been advanced in political economy, namely, that of an abstract currency, or ideal standard of value. This theory, in- deed, is not always avowed in direct terms ; but it is uniformly implied in their reasonings* They deny the leading principle of the bul- lionists, that the standard of money must be some commodity possessing an intrinsic ex- changeable value ; and between this denial and the admission of an abstract or ideal standard, there exists no middle point. The pound sterling must either be a term applied to a given quan- tity of some particular commodity, such as gold, or silver; or else a denomination not standing for any commodity in particular, but 42 expressing, indifferently, some portion of the value possessed by commodities in general, such as half the value of a sheep, or one-fourth of the value of a cow, or one-sixteenth of the value of a horse. The practical men, or rather the idealists, who deny that a commodity can be the standard of money, because it must always be variable in its value, have failed to reflect that their standard unit is itself the most fluctuating and unsteady thing imaginable ; and can never, for two seconds of time, express the same degree of exchangeable power. Value in exchange does not possess a separate and independent existence ; it is a property belonging to com- modities. A standard unit, therefore, as it does not represent, or express, the exchangeable value of any particular commodity, must, if it express any value at all, represent indifferently, parts of the value of commodities in general; as half the value of one, or a fourth of the value of another. Now we will divide all commodities into two classes, — agricultural produce, and manufactured goods ; and suppose that the pound sterling, or standard unit, represents in- 43 differently either one-fourth of the value of a quarter of corn, one-eighth of that possessed by a cow, or one-thirteenth of that belonging to a horse; one-fourth of that of a coat, one-eighth of that of a table, or one-thirteenth of that of a bed. In this case, if I were to take a hundred pound sterlings, or standard units, to market, they would purchase for me agricultural pro- duce, consisting of two quarters of corn, two cows, and two horses, with manufactured goods, consisting of two coats, two tables, and two beds. Now, let agricultural produce acquire twice its former value with respect to wrought goods, and then the standard unit, or pound sterling, must retain its former proportion either to the one class of commodities or to the other. But if it retain its former proportion to manufactured goods, and continue to represent one-fourth of the value of a coat, one-eighth of that of a table, and one-thirteenth of that of a bed, then it must lose one-half of its former proportion to agricultural produce, and will represent only one-eighth of the value of a quarter of corn, one-sixteenth of that of a cow, and so on. While, on the other hand, if it retain its former 44 proportion to agricultural produce, and con- tinue to represent one-fourth of the value con- tained in a quarter of corn, and so on as before, it must acquire double its former proportion with respect to wrought goods ; represent one- half of the value contained on a coat, one- fourth of that of a table, and one-sixth and half of the value of a bed. In the former case, if I took a hundred pounds, or units to market, they would procure for me manufactured goods, consisting of two coats, two tables, and two beds, with a quantity of agricultural produce, equal to one quarter of com, one cow, and one horse ; and in the latter case my hundred units would procure me just twice this quantity of commodities, or agricultural produce equal to two quarters of corn, two cows, and two horses ; with wrought goods equal to four coats, four tables, and four beds. Thus then, we see that a currency founded on the principle of a standard unit, cannot by possibility acquire a fixed and uniform value. Value is a quality existing only in commo- dities. If the pound sterling or unit, does not represent the value of some one commodity in 45 particular, such as a piece of metal of a certain weight and fineness, it must represent parts of the values of commodities, as half the value of one ; a third of the value of another, and so on, according to the proportional worth of each. It is plain that a denomination, standing neither for the value of any thing in particular, nor for parts of the values of things in general, must be perfectly powerless in the market and cannot be made the measure of value and medium of exchange ; and it is evident that if it represent indifferently parts of the values of commodities, its power as a medium of exchange must rise or fall with every alteration in the relative value of commodities. But the relative value of com* modities is liable to great, to sudden, and to in- cessant change. Those who maintain that the precious metals ought not to be regarded as the standard of money, because, as commodities, they cannot possess a fixed and uniform value, go either expressly, or by inference, to establish a species of standard infinitely more irregular than that which they reject. The opponents of the bullionists did not per- ceive the origin and precise nature of the error 46 which they detected and set themselves to re- fute. As practical men they had experienced that a rise in the price of bullion was not ne- cessarily accompanied by a corresponding fall in the value of currency, or, which amounts to the same thing, by a general and equivalent rise in the price of other commodities. They, therefore, denied the conclusions of the bul- lionists, that the bank note was depreciated, and that the measure of its degradation was to be found in the difference between the Mint and the market price of gold. So far they were correct; but the very next step they took, they involved themselves in error. They did not perceive that the bullionists arrived at conclusions inconsistent with the existing facts, not in consequence of arguing from unsound principles, but from failing to attend to the exceptions and limitations to which correct general principles are occasionably liable. Not content with establishing facts, they set themselves to propound theories. They con- troverted doctrines known and established ever since the time of Locke ; they denied the prin- ciple that the standard of money must be found 41 in some commodity possessing an intrinsic value; and thus involved themselves in all the mystery, confusion, and error, of abstract cur- rencies and ideal units. But, if those who have been styled practical men, were less successful than the bullionists, in expounding the theory of money, they were more accurate in observing facts. The history of our currency, both before and after the passing of the Restriction Act, bears them out in their practical conclusion, that gold rose above its customary and level value, and that the difference, between the market and the Mint price of bullion, did not measure the de- gradation in the value of the paper currency. In the year 1 795, we incurred, in consequence of our contributions to the Continental struggle, a great foreign expenditure ; while a deficient harvest at home caused our imports of grain to exceed our exports by 1,900,000 quarters. The consequences were, that, as the Bank directors declared*, the market price of gold rose to £4. 3s. and £4. 4s. the ounce ; and * Secret Committee of the House of Lords, page 152. 48 that silver which, in the beginning of the year, had been to gold as 1 to 14.94, became only as 1 to 15.24. At this time the amount of Bank paper in circulation was £.11,000,000. From this period to the year 1799, our foreign expenditure diminished, and more favourable harvests reduced our animal importations of grain, by half a million of quarters. The con- sequences were, that the market price of gold fell something below the Mint price ; and that silver, in reference to gold, became as 1 to 14.30, and even as 1 to 14.09; though, while those events were in process, the amount of Bank paper in circulation amounted to £. 14,000,000. In 1800, our foreign expenditure again be- came considerable; while the very deficient harvest of the preceding year, caused our imports of grain to exceed our exports by 2,089,608 quarters. The market price of gold now rose to £4. 5s. per ounce, and the amount of Bank of England paper in circulation was £.15,000,000. From 1802 to 1808 our foreign expenditure, and our importations of grain were considerably reduced, and consequently the market price of the metals fell ; though the 49 amount of Bank of England paper in circu* lation rose to £.17,000,000. In 1809 and 1810, we incurred the enormous foreign expenditure of the Peninsula war ; and deficient harvests required great importations of grain. The market price of the ounce of gold rose to £.4 lis.; silver, in relation to gold, was only as 1 to 16.49; the amount of Bank paper was £. 20,000,000. From 1810 to the conclusion of peace, though the importation of corn dimi- nished, the foreign expenditure became enor- mous. In April 1814, the market price of gold was £. 5 5s. the ounce ; and the Bank paper £.24,280,220 : and in July of the same year, the once of gold fell to £.4 lis. ; while the amount of Bank paper in circulation rose to £.31,301,510* These facts do not indeed bear out the practical men in rejecting the metals as the standard of money, and substituting instead of the received theory, their doctrine of an ab- stract currency or ideal unit ; but they furnish a complete practical illustration of the prin- ciple which I have endeavoured to establish in the preceding pages, respecting the in- OF THE Y DIVERSITY 50 fluence which the fluctuation of trade, and an unfavourable balance of payments, has upon the exchangeable value of the precious metals. Whenever a large foreign expenditure, or an unfavourable harvest, turned the balance of foreign payments against us, gold not only rose in price, but, as the more eligible article of export, rose in a higher ratio than silver. The effect invariably followed its cause, what- ever was the amount of paper currency, which the wants of commerce called into circulation. In April 1814, when the amount of Bank notes was £. 24,000,000, gold was £.5 5s. the ounce, and in July of the same year, it fell to £. 4 1 Is. the ounce, though the issues of the Bank rose to £.31,000,000. Thus experience, no less than general principles, proves to us, that the metals are occasionally exposed to considerable eleva- tions above the level marked by the cost of their production ; and that their market may rise considerably above their Mint price, though no depreciation, or diminution of value, has been sustained by the currency. These facts are not sufficient to prove, nor is it my intention to contend, that since the pass- 51 ing of the Restriction Act the paper currency has never sustained any real depreciation, and sunk beneath the customary and level value of the coin. The contrary has probably been the case. When we consider that the transac- tions of the Bank, have not been sufficiently confined to the discounting of bills of ex- change payable again at a short date, but that it has been the practice to make advances, beyond the due proportion, upon Government securities, we must admit that paper may have been occasionally issued in excess. But, on the other hand, when we reflect that gold often rose the highest, when the amount of paper was diminishing; and that the elevation invariably took place during times of unfa- vourable harvest, or great foreign expenditure, we must be convinced that it is to these causes that the far greater part of the effect is to be ascribed. If paper sunk a little below the level, the metals rose considerably above it. If some evil was incurred by the currency sinking in value, much evil was avoided by its being prevented from rising to the extra- ordinary elevation in valuewhich gold attained. 52 It seems to follow, that the question respect- ing the resumption of cash payments resolves itself into that of a choice between two evils. If the Restriction Act continues, and particularly if the Bank does not sufficiently limit its transactions to the discounting of bills of exchange, but makes advances to Govern- ment either in the form of excessive loans, or by a too extensive purchase of Exchequer bills*, — the currency will occasionally sustain some depreciation ; and if cash paymants are resumed, then it will partake in those extra- ordinary elevations, which, on the occurrence of a foreign loan, or deficient harvest, the un- favourable balance of payments communicates to the coin, into which it may be made con- * The reason why a considerable proportion of the notes in circulation should always be issued in the dis- count of bills of exchange, is, that the falling due of such bills throws any occasional redundancy of paper back upon the Bank. When currency is abundant in the market, private bankers discount for less than five per cent. ; and, consequently, no bills are offered to the Bank of Eng- land, which never discounts under five per cent. No new issues, therefore, take place, while the notes already 53 vertible. It becomes the business of the prac- tical statesman, therefore, to inquire into the effects which, in the actual circumstance of the country, a fall and a rise in the value of the currency, are respectively calculated to produce; and, after a careful examination and comparison, to adopt that alternative which shall appear to be productive of the least injurious consequences. The first, and certainly the most injurious, consequence of a fall in the value of the cir- culating medium, is the reduction which it effects in the real wages of labour. A fall in the value of money is the same thing as a rise in the price of all the necessaries of life; and experience proves to us, that the rate of wages in circulation are gradually returned by the payment of the outstanding bills of exchange, until currency becomes so scarce in the market, that private bankers cannot con-? tinue to discount below five per cent. ; and the merchant is compelled to resort to the Bank of England. In this manner, when too great a proportion of the issues of the Bank are not made on Exchequer bills, the currency acquires an elastic power, and expands, or contracts, in conformity to the demand. 54 is somewhat tardy in proportioning itself to the price of necessaries. In almost all trades the sum which is paid for labour is regulated by a contract, tacit or implied, between the masters and the workmen ; and, notwithstand- ing the fluctuations in the value of money, and in the price of necessaries, it varies but little for considerable periods. The tardiness with which wages adjust themselves to be the price of subsistence, is, in England, increased by the operation of the Poor Laws. The reward of labour has a constant tendency to settle down to that quantity of subsistence which, from climate and custom, is necessary, to enable the labourer to bring up such a family as will keep the supply of labour even with the demand : for, if he receives more than this, the quantity of labour will increase, and its value fall ; and if he receive less, its quan- tity will diminish, and its value rise. But if the parish undertake to support the labourer's family, either wholly or in part, the masters will no longer be compelled, by the law of supply and demand, to give their workmen a sum sufficient to purchase this quantity of sub- 55 sistence ; and a fall in the value of money, or a rise in the price of provisions, will be fol- lowed, not by an advance in wages, but by an increase in the poor rates. While the Restriction Act remains in force, and particu- larly if the Bank continue to make undue ad- vances in favour of Government, the currency may occasionally fall below its customary level, and thereby render wages inadequate to the support of the labourer's family, increase the number of paupers, and render the pressure upon the parishes more heavy. These evils, however, could only be of short duration, and would be counteracted by the other effects of an increased circulation. When the value of money falls, there is nothing to prevent the price of labour from rising in the same proportion with that of other things, except the compact, expressed or implied, which regulates the rate of wages in the several trades. The laws against combination have probably the effect of rendering this com- pact less flexible than it otherwise would be, and of preventing the money rate of wages 56 from conforming to the price of subsistence, so as to keep their real rate at the level marked by the proportion between the supply of labour and the demand for it. However, notwith- standing these laws, a fall in the value of money would gradually force upon masters a proportional rise in the wages of their work- men — unless, indeed, a diminution in the demand for labour were to take place. But a fall in the value of money, instead of diminish- ing, would, for some time, increase the demand for labour. As long as this fall raised the price of goods, without effecting an equivalent rise in the rate of wages, the profits of stock would be increased ; and thus the master's capital would accumulate more rapidly, while he would have a stronger motive to employ upon productive labour all the stock which his wealth or credit enabled him to command. The alterations, too, which a fall in the value of the currency would effect in the distribution of wealth, would all be in favour of the pro- ductive classes, and tend to encourage industry, and to increase the demand for labour. During 57 the currency of his lease, the farmer reserves an important benefit ; the amount of his rent remaining stationary, while the price of his produce rises. So far indeed, as the landlord is concerned, it is unjust and injurious that the rent should be paid in a currency of diminished value. What the farmer gained, he would lose. But wealth, in the hands of the farmer, is more beneficial to the country than wealth in the hands of the landlord. By the one, it is expended productively— as capital; by the other, unproductively — as revenue. While, therefore, we cannot defend the injustice of violating the spirit of the contract between landlord and tenant, by causing the stipulated rent to be paid in a depreciated currency, we must admit, that increasing the former's pro- fits, though it be at his landlord's expense, gives him at once the power and the induce- ment to cultivate with more spirit, and to afford employment to a greater number of hands. In the other branches of industry a diminu- tion in the value of the currency would also be, in some respect, favourable. Until wages rose 58 in proportion to the necessaries of life, all would obtain as a rate of profit, somewhat higher than before. Besides, a rising scale of prices has a kind of magical effect upon trade, and inspires that confidence and credit, which give an heightened power to all the springs of production. Confidence, like those prophecies which occasion their own fulfilment, creates that increased demand which it anticipates. The masters in every trade fabricate that quan- tity of their respective commodities, for which they expect a profitable sale. Increase this expectation, inspires them with more confi- dence in obtaining a favourable market, and the supply of all sorts of goods will be imme- diately augmented. Now, if a single individual were to be seized with an unusual confidence, and, under its influence, were to fabricate a more than customary quantity of his peculiar article, then the other individuals of the com- munity not having an enlarged power of pur- chasing, the supply of this article would be increased beyond the demand, and its pro- ducer's expectations of advantage would be disappointed. Very different is the resu;l when 59 the increase of confidence becomes general. In this case there is a greater quantity of commodities produced in all the branches of industry, and each class, having more goods to dispose of, will enlarge the market for the others. For example ; if, in consequence of a growing and universal confidence, commo- dities in general were increased by a fourth, then the shoe-maker would have more shoes to dispose of; but as the hatter and the clothier would have more hats and clothes to exchange against them, the demand for shoes would in- crease, in an equal proportion with the supply. The other industrious classes having a greater quantity of their respective commodities to exchange against hats and clothes, these arti- cles would also meet an enlarged demand, proportioned to their augmented supply, and would consequently retain the same value as before. It is easy to see, that if the general confidence had occasioned an improvement in the quality, instead of an increase in the quan- tity of commodities, the effect would be the same. In this manner, confidence, w T hen ge- neral, always creates that enlargement of the 60 market which it anticipates ; and hence a rising scale of prices imparts a brisker flow to industry, through all its varied channels. With respect to those engaged in commerce, a depreciation in the currency is beneficial to the debtor, and injurious to the creditor. But as every considerable trader must have bills to pay, as well as to receive, and is, at one and the same time, both a debtor and a creditor, the injury and the benefit will in some degree balance each other. Even he who is exclu- sively a creditor will receive some compen- sation for his loss. The brisker flow of trade will render the backward more prompt , in their payments, and enable some to make good their engagements, who could not other- wise have paid at all ; and will thus insure him a quicker return, and diminish the number of his bad debts. The greater facility in ob- taining discounts, which an increased issue of currency bestows, is also to be taken into the account. To the rash and gambling trader this may be an injury ; encouraging him to engage in speculations ultimately ruinous to himself, and prejudicial to the country. But 61 this objection proves too much. It might be urged with equal force against every species of commercial credit. An advantage is not to be disregarded, because imprudent people may use it to their own destruction. A few may make over-sanguine calculations, and undertake losing speculations, but the great majority of those who engage in mercantile pursuits will profit by every facility of dis- count and increase of credit* which enables them to extend their transactions. A diminution in the value of the currency would have the effect of lowering the salaries of all the servants of the state, whether civil or military. Now the labour of these persons, however useful and important, effects no direct addition to the wealth of the community. The salaries advanced to them are not expended productively, as capital ; and if their services are as efficiently performed, when they are paid in a depreciated currency, as when paid in one of undiminished value, the difference is a clear gain to the public. With respect to all other annuitants, to the mortgagee, and to the fund-holder, their case would be nearly the 62 same as that of the land-owner. The diminu- tion effected in their real income would be manifestly unjust, but it would in no way- obstruct production, nor retard the prosperity of the country. It would have rather a contrary effect: what was taken from the annuitant would be turned into the channels of profit and wages, and would thus give a new stimulus to industry, and ameliorate the condition of the great mass of the population. But in the present state of this country, the most beneficial effects resulting from a lower- ing of the value of the circulating medium, would be the diminution of the public debt, and the reduction of the taxes. Excessive taxation banished manufactures and commerce from the republic of Holland, and we are not to expect that in England a similar cause will be followed by a dissimilar effect. If, in the science of political economy, there is any one proposition more capable of demonstration than another, it is, that excessive taxation dries up the spring of production. When taxes raise the necessaries of life, and cause the la- bourer to pay a higher price for his subsistence 63 than before, then, if his wages do not rise, they will be insufficient for his support; and his family must go upon the parish or starve. But if, in order to place the labourer in the same independent circumstances as before, wages are raised in an equal ratio to the increased price of necessaries, then the capitalist must either raise the price of his goods in proportion to the higher wages which he pays, or receive a lower rate of profit upon his trade. Suppose that he raises the prices of his goods, and then he will be under- sold i'n the foreign market; the commerce of the country will be destroyed ; and all those to whom it afforded employment, will be thrown out of work. On the other hand, supposing, what is more probable, that the capitalist cannot increase the price of his goods in proportion to the higher wages which he pays, and then the diminished profits of his trade will tempt him to transfer his capital to countries where it will fetch a higher re- turn, the funds for the maintenance of in- dustry will be diminished, and our people deprived of the means of earning an indepen- dent livelihood. Thus we see, that heavy taxation, by rendering wages inadequate, by raising the prices of goods in the foreign mar- ket, or by driving capital abroad, is the great parent of pauperism. In the deficiency of employment, in the amount of the poor rates, and in the millions of capital sent out of the country as foreign laws, we may discover the awful truth, that exorbitant taxation is bring- ing us to the limits of our resources, and to the verge of decline. A lowering of the value of the currency would enable us, in a certain degree, to slip from beneath a burthen which bows the people to the earth, and which has become too heavy for our strength to bear. Having thus traced the effects of a diminu- tion, I will now endeavour to point out the consequences of an increase in the value of the circulating medium. As a depreciation of the currency would, in the first instance, occasion a fall in the real wages of labour; so a rise in the value of the medium in which he is paid, would give the labourer a greater command over the neces- saries of life than before, and thus reduce the number of paupers, and lower the amount of 65 the poor rates. Unfortunately these benefi- cial effects could not be permanent. Masters can lower wages much more rapidly than workmen can raise them. In proportion as their numbers are smaller, a combination among them becomes more easy; while, as they can always subsist for a considerable time upon their capital, their competition to obtain workmen can never be so active and urgent as that of the workmen, whose labour is their daily bread, to obtain employment* Besides, a rise in wages always diminishes, by a two-fold operation, the demand for labour* It lowers the profits of stock, and thereby checks the accumulation of capital, and takes from the inducement to engage in productive industry ; while, at the same time, it prevents any given quantity or amount of capital, from putting so great a number of hands in motion as before. If the labourer receives two shillings a-day as wages, and if he daily works up material to the amount of two shillings more, then a capital of two thousand shillings will put in motion five hun- dred days' labour; but if wages rise to three 66 shillings a-day, then a capital amounting to two thousand shillings would not give employ- ment to more than four hundred days' labour, it requiring five shillings instead of four shil- lings, to furnish the labourer with wages and material for each day. Thus the combination of masters, the competition of workmen, the less rapid accumulation of capital, and its di- minished power of putting industry in motion, would irresistibly tend, not only to bring the real wages of labour down to their former level, but to depress them somewhat lower than they would have been, had the rise in the currency never taken place. We have seen that a fall in the value of the circulating medium alters the distribution of wealth in favour of the productive classes. A rise in its value has a contrary effect, enriching the class whose revenues are expended unpro- ductively, at the loss of those by the agency of whose labour and capital the wealth of the community is created. A greater portion of the farmer's produce would be required to pay his rent, and a less portion would remain to be re-invested in cultivation and improvement. 67 The salaries of public functionaries, the wages of all the civil and military servants of the state, though nominally the same, would in reality be increased. The mortgagee, the annuitant, and the fund-holder, all those, who, without actively engaging in the work of production, live upon the interest of money, would have their revenues increased at the expense of the funds which pay the profits of stock, and the wages of labour. In all the transactions of trade, the creditor would be benefited at the cost of the debtor. The diminution in the amount of the circula- ting medium, would compel the monied capi- talist, and banker, to restrict their discounts, and thus deprive the merchant of the accus- 1 tomed accommodation on which he calculated. Credit would encounter a s\ock, and as an increase of confidence creates the extension of demand, which it anticipates; so a diminution of confidence occasions that narrowing of the market which it fears. One individual under the apprehension that he will be able to sell less, employs fewer workmen in preparing goods, than before ; but the diminished quan- $8 tity of his goods will not enhance their price, because, as a similar impression caused less busi- ness to be done in other trades, there will be fewer articles to offer in exchange for them, and the demand will be contracted in the same proportion as the supply. The shock which injures credit, suspends production. But under the present circumstances of this country, the most injurious effect of a rise in the value of money, would undoubtedly be the addition which it would occasion in the real amount of our debt, and taxation. These are already sufficiently exorbitant. The agriculture, the manufactures, the commerce, the capital, and the population of the country, sink beneath their pressure. The vessel is full, and another drop may cause the waters of bitterness to overflow. From the brief sketch which has here been given of the effect, which a fall and a rise in the value of currency are respectively calcu- lated to produce, it must be sufficiently appa- rent, that the consequences of the latter would be beyond all comparison more injurious than those of the former. With respect indeed to an unjust alteration, in the distribution of pro- 69 perty, both would be upon a par. The pro- prietor who had granted leases, the creditor, who had made advances either to the public, or to individuals, with all those whose income was estimated, or whose capital was invested in mo- ney, would suffer by the one ; while the tenant, the debtor, and the payer of taxes, would be surcharged by the other. But though a fall and rise in the value of currency, might inflict equal injustice upon individuals, they would produce very different effects upon the general wealth and prosperity. The violations of pri- vate property in the former case, would be accompanied by an increase of confidence, of production, and of trade ; in the latter, aggra- vated by a universal stagnation, and revulsion, and, perhaps, in this over- taxed country, by a national bankruptcy. It is to be remembered, that in deciding upon the expediency of cash payments, our choice does not lie between a currency, always conforming to the customary and level value of the metals, and one liable to be degraded below this level. If the Bank restriction is removed, the pound note will partake in those sudden 70 and considerable elevations to which the sove- reign is exposed. We have lately invested considerable portions of capital in foreign loans, and the deficiency of the last harvest has caused us to import foreign corn, to the amount of ten millions sterling. The effect produced by these causes, has been in exact conformity to that, which general principles would have led us to anticipate. Gold gradually rose, and on the 8th of January last, was £A 3s. per ounce, or nearly eight per cent, above its Mint price. If therefore the Bank had been paying in gold, it would have been compelled to con- tract its issues, and the run upon its coffers would not have ceased, until the market and the Mint price of the metals were restored to par, that is, until the supply of currency became so reduced, that its value rose by eight per cent. Now let those who express so much solici- tude for a return to cash payments, carefully consider, what, in the actual circumstances of this country, would have been the conse- quences, of having the amount of the circu- lating medium diminished, until any given n sum in it acquired an increased value of eight per cent. Was the farmer in a condition which enabled him to add one-twelfth to the rent due to his landlord? Are trade, and commerce, and credit, in so flourishing a state as to feel no shock, from a diminished circula- tion and contracted discounts? and do the taxes fall so lightly on the people, that an ad- dition of eight per cent, upon their real amount, would have been unattended with calamity and hazard ? These questions, unfortunately, can be answered only in the negative. The state of the country resembles that of a man, to whom habit has rendered intoxicating liquors a necessary aliment ; and a sudden withdraw- ing of the customary stimulus, may bring on paralysis and death. After having bestowed upon this important subject the fullest consideration of which I am capable, I feel convinced that in the very artificial situation, in which the country is placed, a continuance of the Bank restriction, though accompanied by a permanent, and even considerable degradation of the currency below the level marked by the cost of producing gold. 72 would be a less evil than a return to cash pay- ments, communicating to the circulating me- dium, as it inevitably must, those extraordinary elevations in value, to which the precious me- tals are exposed, whenever the balance of fo- reign payments becomes unfavourable. But the restrictions may be continued, without being accompanied by a permanent or consi- derable degradation of the bank note below the customary and level value of the sovereign. When a difference takes place, between the value of the note, and that of the coin, which it purports to represent, there is not, it is true, any fixed and absolute scale, by which we can render it palpable to the senses, whether and in what degree, this difference may have been occasioned, by gold having risen above the cus^ tomary level, or by paper having fallen below it. There will always, however, be concurring circumstances, and unequivocal symptoms, from which the fact may be deduced with suf- ficient precision for all practical purposes. If our monied capitalists are negociating a foreign loan, of considerable amount, or if an unpro- ductive harvest at home have caused an unu- m sual importation of corn, we may fairly presume that the difference between the coin and the paper, has been occasioned by the elevation of the former: and if at the same time, gold rises higher than silver ; commodities easily trans- ported ascend in a greater ratio, than those less portable ; the real, as well as the computed exchange, turns against us ; and the amount of paper in circulation, is not increased ; — then this presumption becomes certainty, and we have a combination of circumstantial proof amount- ing to demonstration, that the metals are above the level, marked by the expense of their pro- duction. On the other hand, if the customary relations of commerce are not disturbed either by foreign loans, or by unusual importations of foreign corn ; if gold is not higher in propor- tion than silver ; if the advance in the price of commodities is general and uniform, and not graduated according as each article may be more or less eligible, as the basis of extraordi- nary export; — if the real exchange is at par,and only the computed exchange against us; and if the amount of paper in circulation has in- creased ; — then it will become a matter of per- 74 feet certainty, that whatever difference exists between the value of the pound note and the sovereign, has been occasioned by the paper currency having sunk beneath the customary level of the coin. It is impossible, therefore, that the intelligent and experienced persons in the Bank direction should be at any loss in ascertaining whether a high market price of gold indicated a rise in the value of the metals, or a fall in the value of the currency. Under the former set of circumstances, they would feel that their discounts had not been too libe- ral, under the latter they would perceive the expediency of narrowing their issues, and hence every deviation of the currency from the cus- tomary and level value of the coin might be corrected. But if we are to have nothing but pure theory ; if we must adopt general principles without regard to the particular circumstances which limit their application ; and if it is decreed that the taxes of this over-burthened country shall be paid in a metallic currency; then it becomes necessary that we should previously devise and adopt, some means of avoiding, as 75 much as possible, the effects of those occasional elevations above their level value, to which the metals are exposed. As a preparatory step to the resumption of cash payments, it seems highly expedient that we should conform to the practice of other commercial countries, and render silver once more the standard of our money. This metal, as we have already shewn, both from general principles, and from recorded facts, is much less liable to vary in its value than gold. It is true, indeed, that for twenty years previous to the suspension of cash payments, the market price of silver varied much more than the market price of gold. But the price of the metals is very different from their value. The barrenness, or the fertility of the mines may at any time occasion an excessive elevation, or depression in their value, while their price is liable only to those very moderate fluctuations which, as we have seen in the preceding pages, arise from the domestic coin being less eligible as a foreign remittance, than bullion. A dimi- nution in the supply of gold may, at any time, raise its value a hundred per cent.; but its price, 76 as expressed in gold coin, cannot be raised above four or five per cent. Hence, while gold was the standard to which our currency was referred and conformed, the price of this metal might appear nearly stationary, while its value was subject to great and frequent fluc- tuation. This was the case for many years previous to the suspension of cash payments. Gold, having sunk below its relative value to silver, became the cheapest medium for paying any given sum; and was therefore preferred as the standard of value and currency. The pound sterling became a denomination stand- ing for a given quantity of gold, and the price of gold, being expressed in gold, was nearly stationary, while the price of silver as neces- sarily varied with the varying value of the gold coin, in which it was also expressed. The case was reversed, when the suspension of cash payments caused the price of the metals to be no longer expressed in gold. Both gold and silver were now measured by the bank note ; and, as general principles would have led us previously to conclude, the price of gold fluctuated frequently and considerably, while 77 the price of silver, though also subject to variations, was comparatively steady. Thus both general principles and experience concur to demonstrate, that the value of silver is more uniform than that of gold ; and that therefore whenever cash payments are resumed, silver should be rendered the only standard of our currency. • r fg No person who will investigate principles, or who will examine faults, can hesitate to admit, that for all domestic purposes, silver is a better standard for currency than gold. With reference to foreign exchanges, it will also be found to be a far preferable standard. Silver is the standard adopted by all the commercial nations except England ; and in consequence of our deviating in this respect from the general custom, considerable confusion and uncertainty occurs in calculating the par of our foreign exchanges. As twenty-four livres from the French Mint contain the same quantity of silver as twenty shillings from the English Mint, twenty-four is, with reference to our sil- ver coinage, the par of exchange with France. But if gold is to be the standard of our cur- 78 fency, and the pound sterling is not to be equivalent to twenty shillings in silver, but to the It parts of a guinea, then the par of ex- change must partake in all the fluctuations to which the value of gold is liable. Twenty- four livres in France, will purchase a bill for a pound sterling in England, when the pound sterling is equivalent to the same quantity of silver which is contained in the twenty-four livres. But if the quantity of gold expressed by the pound sterling rose in value, so as to be equivalent to the quantity of silver con- tained in thirty livres, then it would require thirty livres in France to purchase a bill upon England for a pound sterling; and the par of exchange between the two countries would become thirty instead of twenty-four. Hence, if gold is made the standard in Eng- land, while silver continues to be the standard in other countries, the par of exchange with those countries cannot, for any length of time, be ascertained, but must fluctuate with every alteration which takes place in the relative value of gold and silver. 79 Thus we see, that whether with a view to uniformity in the value of our domestic cur- rency, or to steadiness in the par of our foreign exchanges, it is necessary that we should adopt silver for our standard. To conclude: Under the actual circumstances of this country ; and while the present amount of taxes must be levied, the object of the practical statesman should be, to prevent any sudden or considerable rise in the value of the circulating medium. Even if no other means could be devised for preventing the currency from being permanently degraded below the customary level of the metals, this would not be the time for the restoration of cash payments. To the person who has lived on artificial stimulants, a sudden return to a natural and simple regimen might be immediate death. In a country where the contracts between man and man had been entered into under the high prices of a redun- dant currency, the immediate withdrawing of the customary accommodation might induce universal stagnation, and palsy all the nerves of industry. Whether with respect to physical, 80 or to political health, a too sudden transition, even from a bad to a good system, is attended with pain and danger. When deviations from the established course of things become neces- sary — " Slow should the change arrive, and stage by stage j Slow as the shadow o'er the dial moves, Slow as the stealing progress of the year." FINIS. Printed by J. Brtttell, Muport Str$*t, Haymarkti, London. 14 DAY tt^p RETVRN TO DES * ™OM W^Si BORROWED ^wedbooks « re subjST^Xe LD2l-35m-8,'72 (Q4189S10)476— A-32 . General Library University of California Berkeley TU AU^ RETURN TO the circulation desk of any University of California Library or to the NORTHERN REGIONAL LIBRARY FACILITY Bldg. 400, Richmond Field Station University of California Richmond, CA 94804-4698 ALL BOOKS MAY BE RECALLED AFTER 7 DAYS • 2-month loans may be renewed by calling (510)642-6753 • 1-year loans may be recharged by bringing books to NRLF • Renewals and recharges may be made 4 days prior to due date DUE AS STAMPED BELOW APR 2 2003 DD20 6M 9-03