OF THK University of California. deceived dc^Xyf, ■ >S9&- i' Acccsston No.U^yY f . Clois No. / Digitized by tlie Internet Archive in 2007 witin funding from IVIicrosoft Corporation littp://www.archive.org/details/essaysoneconomicOOarburich ESSAYS ECONOMICAL SUBJECTS O^^iS-rtLA-^ /J^ivUr. J^cUcAr,rT^<^^ux^ liir-^ itL ^^ (^&UUArr>y^ i ESSAYS 7 ON ECONOMICAL SUBJECTS BY HIBERNICUS, UHIVBRSITT] DUBLIN: E. PONSONBY, ii6, G RAF TO N-ST R EET. LONDON: SIMPKIN, MARSHALL, &c CO. IBS';. \^?, 34 Qi><lli DUHLIN : PRINTED AT THE UNIVERSITY PRESS, KY P0N8ONBY ANP WELDRICK. UNIVBRSITT] PREFACE, In offering this collection of essays to the public, the only defect for which I think it necessary to apologize is the amount of repetition which it con- tains. The intimate connexion of the different topics comprised in the science of Political Eco- nomy renders it difficult to avoid such repetition, especially when they are dealt with in separate essays written at different times, and some of which were not originally designed to form part of a collection. I had intended doing something to correct this fault while the volume was passing through the press, but I had usually to sign the earlier sheets for the press before seeing the later in print, while the later form of the exposition was least susceptible of curtailment. The views which I have advocated are, of course, put forward with the view of being criticized, and I have no apology to offer for them. In a series of essays, however, written during my hours of leisure, while engaged in a very different occupation, they may not have been expounded with the precision which would be b vi Preface. looked for in a professedly scientific treatise, and it is not improbable that I may have occasionally stated, without acknowledgment, something- that has been already better expressed by others. The passages referring to the late Mr. Fawcett were written during the lifetime of that distinguished Statesman and Economist, whose loss the country' now deplores. I have made hardly any change in them except the substitution of the past tense for the present. The sentiments of such a man do not die with him, and the importance of correcting any errors which may have crept into his writings is in no respect lessened by his death. I have devoted a good deal of space to the con- sideration of the views of Mr. Henry George. Whatever be thought of the general soundness of Mr. George's theories, no writer on the science can afford to despise his works ; and there are branches of Political Economy on which he has, in my opinion, thrown an important light. It is un- fortunate that his views on the Ownership of Land should have been made a political question. The economical theory of Free Trade has, however, suffered from the same cause ; and yet we find some ardent politicians, like the late Mr. Fawcett, willing to deal with it in a really scientific manner (though, perhaps, his scientific views were unconsciously coloured by his political sentiments). It were to Preface, vii be desired that Mr. George had adhered more closely to this purely scientific mode of treatment. There are, I fear, many passages in his writings which are calculated to enlist the passions as well as the reason of his readers in his favour. As to the buying -out of the land -owners, which has been frequently suggested of late years, I may here make a remark. There has been un- doubtedly a fall in the value of land in this country arising from natural causes, and the land-owner has no right to expect his interest to be purchased at its value before the fall. This fall is the chief cause of the reduction of rents which is being effected by Land Commission in Ireland, though not by any means the sole one. But there is a further fall in the value of land in Ireland which is due, not to natural causes, but to agitation, and to the repeated inter- vention of the legislature which fills every one in- terested in land with incertitude as to what is coming. This latter fall shows itself in the diffi- culty of selling the landlord's interest in land, and the reduced number of years' purchase for which it sells even after the rent has been judicially fixed. Securities which pay fixed (or nearly fixed) di- vidends, such as the Funds and the Preference Shares of solvent Railway Companies, never brought higher prices than at present, and the landlord's interest (measured in years' purchase of the rental) viii Preface. would have participated in the general high prices if rents were deemed equally secure. If a judicial rent of £\ a-year sells for £Zo, while £\ a-year guaranteed by a Railway Company sells for ;^ioo, the difference arises from the public estimate of the relative security of the two investments. But this difference is almost entirely produced by what I may call artificial causes. It is true that even from natural causes there would be a greater chance of the judicial rent being diminished or remaining unpaid ; but for this the possibility — perhaps I may say the probability — of a rise would, under ordinary circumstances, form an adequate set-off It would plainly be unjust to compel land-owners to sell their lands at the reduced value thus produced — produced to a great extent by the action of the very legislature that compelled them to sell and became the purchasers. However, I do not think the Nationalisation of Land is likely to be adopted by our legislature even under the New Reform Bill, and if there is no further legislative inter- ference with land in Ireland for a few years, the selling value of the landlord's interest will begin to increase, although the rental may remain stationar}^ The condition of Ireland has, I think, hitherto attracted too little attention from the writers on Political Economy in the sister kingdom, and when they have touched on it at all they have been too Preface, ix ready to accept one-sided and coloured state- ments without inquiry. Accordingly, I have called attention to some matters connected with Ireland which seem to have been overlooked. I am not aware, for instance, of any writer who has re- ferred to the light thrown by the condition of Ireland on the question of Free Trade. English- men seem to have frequently jumped to the con- clusion either that the state of Ireland is so anoma- lous as to evade all laws (a view which, if correct, would render a science of Political Economy im- possible), or else that all her peculiarities are ac- counted for by the misrule of the English Govern- ment and the misconduct of the English and Scotch settlers ; in which latter case they dispose of the whole question by a quotation or two from some very unreliable source, and a few vague cen- sures on the manner in which Ireland has hitherto been governed. But if the economical facts of any country are to be studied with a view of scientific explanation, they must be studied carefully and impartially, and for this purpose, in a country where political sentiment runs high, it is absolutely ne- cessary to hear both sides of the story, and then to use one's own independent judgment. We can hardly expect politicians to do this, but we have a right to expect it from professed writers on Political Economy. Such a writer, for instance, X Preface. was the late Mr. J. S. Mill ; yet he started in his well-known treatise on Political Economy with a statement which was, I believe, at all times a very coloured one, and when he became aware that this statement was no longer applicable, he refused to alter it, merely inserting a note in his later editions to the effect that it would require too much re-writing to keep such statements always in accor- dance with the facts in the case of a work which went through several editions. I hope this lazy method of dealing with such a subject (which Mr. Mill seems to have applied to Ireland only) will not be adopted by future expounders of the science. The different parts of the United Kingdom afford to the theoretical economist a rare opportunity of observing the operation of the same laws under widely different circumstances, and it is one which ought not to be neglected. To verify an alleged economical law, it must be shown to hold good in every part of Her Majesty's dominions. I have inserted four of the longer notes in the text as Appendices to the respective Essays to which they relate. CONTENTS. I. Free Trade and Fair Trade, . Note on the Excess of Imports over Exports II. The Principle of Population, . III. The Ownership of Land, . IV. Capital and Labour, Note on Mr. George's Theory, V. Rent, Economic and Actual, . VI. Commercial Crises, . VII. Interest, VIII. The English Church Establishment IX. Unearned Wealth, . . . • Note on the House of Lords, . . . • X. War, Note on Government by Party in relation to Foreign Policy, PAGE I 25 32 51 75 103 1 1 1 137 168 195 221 236 246 277 UHIVBRSITT] FREE TRADE AND FAIR TRADE. T)ERHAPS the greatest error of Political Economists in every department has been that of overlooking a part of the question, and of laying down as true without qualification, or with too little qualification, propositions that in reality hold good only within certain limits of time, place, and circumstance. In no branch of the sub- ject, however, has this feature been so conspicuous as in that which relates to International Trade, where the rival theories having been adopted by opposite political factions, calm reasoning has often given place to impas- sioned invective, and arguments calculated to catch the ear of the populace have been put forward with a poli- tical object by persons who ought at least to have been aware of their defects. There are, therefore, special reasons for bringing back the Free Trade question to the region of calm, logical, and impartial inquiry. A triumph of five-and-thirty years in England is no proof of the infallibility of the system unless we are to regard the English people as infallible; for very few foreign countries have followed our example in the matter of Free Trade, though we can hardly suppose that the B 2 Free Trade and Fair Trade. leading statesmen of other nations are ignorant of the arguments in its favour, which in this country seem to be still regarded as irresistible. Why have other coun- tries failed to adopt a system which both reason and experience have shown to be so beneficial ? and why is the number of persons in this country who are dissatis- fied with it again on the increase ? The past history of Political Economy might suffice to suggest in answer that something had been overlooked by its advocates. Now the first thing that occurs to an impartial reader on perusing some of the treatises in which the advan- tages resulting from the remission of duties on exports and imports are so largely insisted on is, that as much — or nearly as much — could be said in favour of the remis- sion of any other kind of taxation. And the next thing that occurs to him is, that so long as we require to raise the same sum in taxation — including under that head both the national revenue and local taxes — every remis- sion of taxation in one direction must be accompanied by increased taxation in another. It is not then suf- ficient for the advocate of Free Trade to prove that the country would gain by the remission of all duties on im- ports and exports. It would doubtless gain by the remission of any kind of taxation, provided that this remission involved nothing farther : but what must be proved is, that it would gain more by the remission of duties on exports and imports than it would lose by the imposition of the other taxes which this remission would necessitate ; which, I think I may affirm, the advocates of Free Trade have not hitherto proved. Remission of ^^ at THii^^ triIVERSITY] Free Trade mid Fair 7>^S?^'^^^^ taxation is always a good thing when it can be effected, and the imposition of additional taxes is an evil when it can be avoided. But the problem of Free Trade and Fair Trade has nothing to do with the increase or dimi- nution of taxation. It solely relates to the comparative merits of different modes of taxation, some one or other of which we are compelled by our national necessities to adopt. The general taxation of the country has, in fact, largely increased since the Free Trade principle was adopted by our legislature ; and the annual reve- nue levied in this manner was never larger than it is under the present Liberal and Free Trade Administra- tion. I do not say that this is the consequence of Free Trade, though there might be as good reason for saying so as for contending that the general prosperity of the country since 1845 has been the consequence of it. But this much, at least, seems clear, that the adoption of Free Trade has not hitherto diminished the general tax- ation of the United Kingdom, nor does there seem any reason to believe that the fuller application of the same principle would diminish it. And so long as our na- tional expenditure continues at its present figure, what is gained in one way must be made up in another. In proportion as the Customs yield less, other taxes must be made to yield more. Another fact which should not be lost sight of is, that our adoption of the principle of Free Trade has never been more than partial, and that it is only a few bold theorists who would even now propose to render it complete. We still raise twenty millions a year of our B 2 4 Free Trade and Fair Trade. national revenue by duties on imports, each of which restricts our trade with foreign countries : for all these taxed commodities would be imported more largely and sold more cheaply if the duty was remitted. And it may be added that one of the taxed articles — tea — forms a portion of the food of the greater part of the population ; for the beverage which we drink at our meals every day ought plainly to be included in the phrase " the food of the people." So long as this is the case, it cannot be pretended that we have adopted the Free Trade prin- ciple in its entirety. And what is the reason why, not- withstanding our vaunted adoption of Free Trade, we still levy twenty millions a year in taxes on imported commodities ? Plainly, either because our Liberal and Free-Trade Chancellors of the Exchequer have failed to discover any better method of levying the amount, or else because the methods which they, in their individual capacity, would prefer would raise such a storm of oppo- sition as to threaten the stability of any Ministry that proposed them. In fact, the remission of duties on im- ports would, to a large extent, involve the remission of duties on articles of home production also, or what for financial purposes comes to the same thing, to a dimi- nished revenue from them. Take, for example, the case of alcoholic drinks. If we admitted these duty-free from foreign countries, leaving our own excise duties un- altered, the home producer would soon be driven out of the market, and the excise duties on home-made alco- holic drinks would produce an insufficient sum — to say nothing of the obvious unfairness of placing burdens on Free Trade and Fair Trade. 5 the home-producer from which the foreigner was ex- empt, with the consequence, perhaps, of compelling the home consumer to buy, not in the cheapest but in the dearest market (since the home market might be the cheapest, if both were alike exempted from taxation). The Free Trade principle, consistently carried out, would thus involve a loss to our revenue, not of twenty millions a year, but of forty millions; for the Excise Duties should be abolished as well as the Customs. How, then, is this sum to be made good ? The Free Traders have not as yet supplied a satisfactory answer. Indeed the modes in which our present system of taxation limits freedom of trade are almost endless. The very making of bargains — the essence of all trading — forms, in many cases, a subject of taxation. An agreement is of no force unless it bears a stamp. The most ordinary transfer is subject to similar duties. I pay a tax every time I with- draw money from my banker, and whenever I sell goods (beyond a very trifling amount) I am bound to give the purchaser a receipt and to pay a duty on giving it. Larger stamps must be attached to mortgages, bills of sale, bills of exchange, and other deeds and documents which are in constant use among persons engaged in trade. I cannot even forward a letter or a telegram ex- cept on terms of paying to the Government more than the cost of forwarding it — the excess being, of course, another form of taxation. I cannot insure my life, my house, or my property, without incurring similar penal- ties ; which I must likewise pay when I take a lease of my residence or my business premises. And almost 6 Free Trade and Fair Trade. every market is subject to tolls, which are usually appli- cable to local, if not to national, purposes. Are these things consistent with Free Trade ? If they are, how is a duty on imported articles inconsistent with it ? Why may we not impose a toll on the foreigner for the privi- lege of selling his goods in our market ? But the ques- tion need hardly be asked when it is obvious that, as a matter of fact, we do impose it ; and when, moreover, we impose it not only on the foreigner but on the home producer also. If we tax French wine and brandy and Chinese tea, we also tax English beer and Irish whiskey. There is hardly an article of drink in general use which is not taxed, if we except water ; and, when we include local rates under the general head of taxation, water itself is sometimes taxed also. I admit that when a duty is high enough to act as a prohibition, it must in general be regarded as an evil. Its tendency is to render certain articles dearer without bringing in any compensation in the shape of an in- creased revenue (accompanied with diminished taxation in other directions). It compels the British consumer to buy in a dearer instead of a cheaper market without any counter-balancing advantage. I am only defend- ing duties which limit, but do not prevent, the impor- tation of foreign commodities, and which consequently yield a revenue to the State. As regards these duties, it seems to me that the Free Traders have hitherto failed, not only to prove that they could be abolished with advantage, but even to show that they could not be increased with advantage. If the duty on foreign Free Trade aiid Fair Trade, 7 wines was doubled, they would still continue to be imported. No doubt the income derived from the duty would not be doubled, because the quantity of wine im- ported would be diminished ; but still, I think, it must be admitted that an increased duty on wine would, within certain limits, yield an increased revenue. In- deed, it might have this effect, even if the actual returns from the wine duty were not increased : for the dearness of wine would induce many persons to substitute for it home-made alcoholic drinks, which also pay high duties ; and though the Customs might exhibit no in- crease, the effects of the enhanced duty would be mani- fested in an augmented return from the Excise. Now, what is the stock argument against an increase in the wine duty, or any other duty on imported articles ? That if the tariffs were higher, the British consumer would have to pay a higher price for imported 00m- modities. Of course he would ; but the British con- sumer is also a British tax-payer, and what he lost in the former capacity might be made up to him — and more than made up to him — in the latter. An in- creased wine duty, which increased (whether directly or indirectly) the general revenue of the country, would lead, as a matter of course, to the remission of other taxation. Wine-drinkers would probably lose by the change ; persons who do not drink wine would prob- ably gain ; but whether the English people as a whole would gain or lose remains an open question. That when tariffs are raised beyond a certain point they do not increase the revenue must be conceded. But no 8 Free Trade and Fair Trade. financier will admit that in England this point is even approached at present. There is hardly an article of import that could not be made to augment the national revenue, either by imposing a duty or by increasing the present duty, as the case may be. I have hitherto assumed that everything that in- creases the aggregate wealth of the nation should be regarded as beneficial, and that everything that dimi- nishes it should be considered as injurious ; and I have merely contended that it has not been shown either that the further reduction of our import duties would in- crease the national wealth or that their augmentation would diminish it. But Political Economy treats of the distribution as well as of the production of wealth, and it will, I think, be generally admitted by thoughtful men that under certain circumstances an improved dis- tribution of wealth may afford a full equivalent for a diminished production or accumulation. If, for in- stance, the tendency of Free Trade was to amass wealth in the hands of a comparatively small number of per- sons leaving the masses poorer than before, the fact that it increased the aggregate wealth of the nation would hardly afford a sufficient reason for its adoption. It is, therefore, worthy of notice that protective duties would alter very materially the distribution of wealth in the country, and that consequently the Protectionist is not refuted by proving that his system tends to reduce the aggregate wealth of the nation. To take a simple instance, let us consider the effect of imposing a duty on imported corn, whether prohibitive or merely pro- Free Trade a7id Fair Trade. g ductive of a revenue. In either case, the importation of foreign corn would be lessened, and we should in con- sequence raise more corn at home. This would involve the conversion of pasture lands into tillage with an additional demand for agricultural labour ; and this additional demand for agricultural labour would soon extend to all other branches of unskilled labour. No man who could earn half-a-crown a day as an agricul- tural labourer would continue to work in a factory for two shillings. That this increased value of unskilled labour would be real, and not merely nominal, be- comes evident when we consider that it would result from an increased demand. The labourer would, no doubt, have to pay higher for his food ; but that his wages would be increased in more than the same pro- portion is implied in the very notion of an increased demand for labour. And that there would be an in- creased demand for labour — or rather for unskilled labour— is on Free Trade principles manifest. No doubt corn-producing countries, like Russia and America, would purchase less of the manufactures which we now give them in exchange for corn, and this would proba- bly lead to the closing of some of our factories and to a diminished demand for factory hands. But the very essence of the Free Trade argument is, that a larger number of labourers would be required to raise the re- quisite additional amount of corn in England than to produce the manufactures which we now exchange for the imported corn ; whence it necessarily follows that there would be an increased demand for unskilled lo Free Trade and Fair Trade, labour accompanied by a real increase in wages. The farmers would also gain by the change in the first in- stance, and the landlords would gain by it ultimately. Millers and corn-buyers would participate in the gain. Other classes of the community, on the other hand, would lose. The manufacturers, with a contracted market and higher wages, would have to be contented with smaller gains. Merchants would, in many instances, lose by the falling off in foreign trade ; and as there is little opening for skilled labour in agriculture, skilled labour- ers would probably suffer, while their unskilled brethren would gain. Persons with fixed incomes, or incomes derived from fees which are determined by law or custom, would likewise lose by the enhanced price of provisions. This redistribution of wealth might be ad- vantageous or the reverse, but it must be taken into account in endeavouring to form a fair estimate of the effects of Free Trade and Protection. When we have said that the imposition of a duty on imported corn w^ould lessen the aggregate wealth of the country, we have stated the truth perhaps, but not by any means the whole truth — not everything that should be considered before deciding whether the tax in question would prove beneficial or injurious to the country. Two further over- sights, however, are involved in the argument which I am now considering. The first of these consists in not observing that a non-prohibitory duty on imported corn may confer a larger benefit on the community by the remission of other taxes than it takes from them by increasing the price of corn. It may not, therefore. Free Trade and Fair Trade. 1 1 diminish the aggregate national wealth at all, and may, in fact, even increase it. The second oversight consists in not considering the effect of our Poor Laws, owing to which it may sometimes be of advantage to the nation to employ labour in what would otherwise be unre- munerative work. Thus, if an able-bodied pauper costs the country eightpence a-day while he is being sup- ported in idleness, it will be of advantage to the nation to pay him a shilling a-day for doing sixpence worth of work, provided that this employment enables him to support himself. The public works or private works supported by Government loans, which have often been resorted to in Ireland when famine was impending, have hardly ever proved remunerative. They were only de- fensible on the ground that the loss to the country would have been greater if all the paupers were sup- ported by the Poor Rates. It was better to employ labour on works, the annual return from which, when completed, did not exceed 2 per cent, of the outlay, than to maintain the labouring classes in idleness at the public expense. The proposition that it is best for the country that every commodity should be produced where it can be produced most cheaply only possesses abso- lute truth where there is no pauperism, or rather no able-bodied paupers. In other cases it maybe better to employ paupers in unremunerative labour than to sup- port them and leave them unemployed. The labour of our convicts probably never suffices to pay for their maintenance ; but, even in a pecuniary point of view, it is better to compel them to work than to leave them 1 2 Free Trade and Fair Trade. idle. But though the nation might sometimes gain by the employment of unremunerative labour (by which I mean labour which produces less than the labourer con- sumes), it does not follow that all classes of the com- munity would gain. The persons who would lose by an increase in the price of corn for the most part contribute very little towards the Poor Rate, and their private charities are not very extensive. They would not, therefore, feel the advantages resulting from the di- minution of pauperism, and would, no doubt, cry out against the increased price of corn as an unmixed evil. But it is plain that, whether the evil or the good would preponderate, the character of an unmixed evil does not belong to it. And, moreover, though the advocates of Free Trade usually overlook the distribution of wealth altogether in their reasonings, there is one instance in which they fully recognise its importance. In the case which I have been considering — that of a duty on imported corn — they seem to think it a sufficient answer to the Protectionist to say that the benefit derived from the increased value of the land would ultimately be ab- sorbed by the landlords. But if the only question to be considered is the effect of the proposed enactment on the aggregate wealth of the community, is not a shilling in the pocket of the landlord of equal value with a shil- ling in the pocket of the labourer, or (to come nearer to the truth) with a shilling in the pocket of the merchant or manufacturer ? Moreover, if this is the only argu- ment against the re-enactment of the Corn Laws, it is Free Trade and Fair Trade. 1 3 evident that the evil might be remedied by the adoption of a different system of land tenure, as has indeed been done in Ireland. Formerly in that country (Ulster, per- haps, excepted) the rent was supposed to represent the full letting value of the land, though some landlords al- lowed their tenants to hold it at a somewhat lower rate.* But now the tenant's interest in the land is assumed to have in all instances a saleable value, independent of any improvements which he or his predecessors may have made, so that in fact the landlord and tenant are co-owners of the soil. The proportion in which any future augmentation of value is to be divided between them will depend on the unguided decision of a tribunal the composition of which will always be largely influ- enced by political motives ; and as the tenants possess more political power than the landlord, it is probable that the Government of the day will seek on all occa- sions to give the occupier the whole benefit of the * un- earned increment of the land.' f * Some of the statements made on this subject in treatises on Political Economy are, however, incorrect. It never was the practice, within my recol- lection, to fix a rent which the tenant could not possibly pay. Such a system might, indeed, have the two -fold advantage (to the landlord) of enabling him to extract the utmost penny in good years as well as in bad ones, and of enabling him to get rid of his tenant when he chose to do so. But to take such a case as is related by Mr. Mill, of land worth ^^50 a-year being let for ;^350, it is evident that such a letting could not be more beneficial to the landlord than a letting at ;^8o or ;^ioo. Such extremely extravagant bidding could only suggest doubts as to the sanity or solvency of the tenant. If the com- petition was really of this character the highest bidder would probably be the least desirable tenant of the entire number. For my own part (although Mr. Mill cites his authority), I disbelieve the story altogether. t Many speakers and writers, in considering the effect of the decisions under the Irish Land Act, have forgotten that formerly the landlord was 14 Free Trade and Fair Trade, Another serious oversight on the part of the Free Traders consists in descanting on the advantages of universal Free Trade without observing that it is not in our power to render Free Trade universal. International trade or barter consists in the interchange of two com- modities, one of which is produced in each country. As this interchange can only take place with the consent of both countries, each of them possess the right of impos- ing a tax or duty as a condition of permitting it to take place. It might be better for both countries to forego this right, and to allow the interchange to take place freely ; but the practical question is, whether it is for our advantage to permit it to take place freely, so far as we are concerned, though the other country insists upon taxing it. For that neither our arguments nor our example will induce other countries to forego their right of taxation has been proved by the experience of more than thirty-five years. The question, then, is as follows : — Is one-sided Free Trade advantageous to this country when complete freedom of trade — freedom at both ends — is impracticable ? The advocates of Free Trade contend that it is ; but much of the plausibility entitled to exact the full competition -rent, whereas the judicial rent under the Land Act is fixed on the assumption that the holding — when held at that rent — has in all cases a saleable value which the Commission fixes whenever it is required to do so. Thus, if the full competition-rent is £io a-year, and the saleable value of the holding is fixed at ,^50, the Land Court (taking the value of money at 5 per cent.) will fix the judicial rent at £"] \os. The tenant can (if the Court has fixed the amount correctly) on the next day either sublet at ;^io a-year, or sell his interest for ;i^5o. Yet the landlords have been charged with oppression and robbery merely because the judicial rent is less than that previously paid. Free Trade and Fair Trade, 1 5 of their case results from confounding universal Free Trade with a trade which is free on one side only. The principal argument in favour of this one-sided Free Trade is in substance as follows : — Even if we can- not induce other countries to buy our products on fair terms, we should try to buy their products as cheaply as we can. But all taxes on foreign products will raise their price. If we tax them, we shall have to pay more for them. In retaliation for being compelled to sell at a low price, are we to resolve to buy at a high one ? It would be best for us indeed if we were free both to buy and to sell — to buy in the cheapest market and to sell in the dearest ; but if that cannot be, freedom of purchase alone is an important advantage. Let us buy in the cheapest market, even if we cannot sell our goods to as much advantage as we had reason to expect. Now, it seems to me that in this reasoning the dis- tinction between the cost of imported commodities to the British public and their cost to the individual Bri- tish consumer is entirely overlooked. Assuming that the duty is not prohibitive — that the foreign commodity continues to be imported, and that the duty on importa- tion is paid— the cost to the country is less than the cost to the consumer by the whole amount of the net revenue which the duty produces ; and as the consumer is al- most always a tax-payer he obtains, as already ob- served, in that capacity a benefit at least equal to the loss he sustains in his capacity of consumer. If we im- posed a duty on American corn, not high enough to act 1 6 Free Trade and Fair Trade. as a prohibition, does anyone imagine that the price received by the American producer would be increased ? But if not, the increased price which the English con- sumer would pay for American corn simply represents taxation, every penny of which would be paid into our national treasury to the relief of our tax-payers.* But the fact is, that under ordinary circumstances the American farmer would have to sell his corn at a lower price, and consequently England would purchase it at a reduced cost. For the increased price paid by the con- sumer would lessen the demand, and the diminution of the demand would lead to a fall in the price, meaning of course the price received by the foreign producer. In the particular case of corn there would be a counter- vailing disadvantage. Its increased price would lead to raising an additional quantity of corn in this country at a greater cost than that for which (in the absence of the duty) we could have purchased American corn. Whether we would gain or lose on the whole by this change would depend on special circumstances ; but the argument is at all events wholly inapplicable to manu- factures, where increased production at home does not imply a proportionally larger expenditure of labour. Buy in the cheapest market is undoubtedly a good prin- ciple, but it is subject to two qualifications. The first is, * I need not except the expenses of collection. We could remit other taxes, and thus obtain an equivalent reduction in the cost of collecting them. Possibly, however, an opponent would say that a portion of the increased price represents not taxation but rent. Be it so. The rent goes into the pockets of British subjects, and adds to the general wealth of the country. Free Trade and Fair Trade. 1 7 that we must regard the cheapness to the nation which buys and not the cheapness to the individual consumer. The second is that, by the cheapest market, we must understand that which is naturally the cheapest, not that which has been rendered the cheapest by artificial means, such as the imposition or remission of duties, or the granting of bounties. Supposing that, when free of toll, potatoes could be sold for fourpence per pound in Galway, and for fivepence per pound in Dublin, we may render Galway the dearer market by imposing a duty of twopence per pound on all potatoes sold there ; but, for economical purposes, Galway must still be regarded as the cheaper market — as that in which, apart from our own artificial regulations, it would be most advanta- geous to buy potatoes. And when we speak of being able to purchase corn or any other commodity more cheaply in the foreign market, we should consider whe- ther this greater cheapness may not be owing to the rates and taxes which the home producer has to bear, and whether by a remission of some of the existing bur- dens on land the English farmer might not be enabled to compete with, and even to undersell, the foreigner. There is, however, another patent defect in the argument w^hich I am now examining. Did anyone ever urge the cheapness of a market as a reason for exempting it from tolls ? Or is it not evident that it is the cheapest market which is capable of bearing the heaviest tolls ? If so, the cheapness of the foreign market is no reason for exempting foreign commodities from duty, but rather affords evidence that they are capable of bearing higher c 1 8 Free Trade and Fair Trade, duties than our home-made articles. Again, it is said that all our imports must be paid for in exports, and that therefore the countries which supply us with im- ports must take our exports in exchange, no matter how high their tariffs may be. True, we cannot procure imports without paying for them ; but is it therefore of no consequence to us what price we have to pay ? If a foreign country, by imposing a duty on English cloth, compels us to give ten yards of cloth in exchange for the same amount of corn that we formerly purchased for nine yards, is the exchange as advantageous to us as before ? It may be said, indeed, that if the trade was not of some advantage to us it would not go on ; for traffic will only take place when both parties are gainers, although one party may gain more by it than the other. But the question is not whether the trade is advan- tageous, but whether it is more advantageous to us than it would be if we imposed a duty on it. That, in most cases, we could impose a duty without stopping the trade altogether must be admitted ; and to say that the trade as it exists is beneficial to us is no answer to the question whether it could not be rendered more bene- ficial by the imposition of a duty. The argument, more- over, is often gravely put forward as if the price which we received for our goods was of no consequence so long as we succeeded in selling them. I may add that the existence of a trade does not in reality prove that the country gains anything by'it. It only proves that cer- tain classes do so ; for if we allow the interchange to take place freely it will go on so long as any class of Free Trade and Fair Trade, 1 9 the community profits by it.* Those who make a profit by buying corn in Russia or America, and selling it here, seldom bear any portion of the loss occasioned by throwing our agricultural labourers out of employment. The existence of the Slave Trade will hardly be relied on as affording evidence that the trade is beneficial to the country which supplies the slaves, or even to the country which purchases them. It is beneficial to one powerful class, and that in the absence of legal restric- tions is sufficient to insure its continuance. But it is said that if we increase our tariffs other countries will do the same, and we shall eventually lose more by the increase of their tariffs than we shall gain by the in- crease of our own. Seeing, however, that other countries have not followed our example in lowering our tariffs, they are hardly likely to follow it in increasing them ; nor could they regard the increase on our part as an act of hostility towards them without confessing that they had previously been guilty of similar acts of hostility towards us. But assuming that other countries did enter into such a contest with us, need we fear the issue ? I think not. In the first place, the value of our imports largely exceeds that of our exports, and consequently, unless * In stock-jobbing (which is so largely practised by persons who are not stock-brokers), it is plain that taken together the buyer and seller must in the long run be at the loss of the stock-broker's fees. An extensive inter- change is thus carried on at a net loss to the parties engaged in it. The same observation applies to all kinds of betting agencies. And speculative purchases of foreign commodities are by no means unfrequent. Men often engage in speculations which must on the aggregate involve a loss to those engaged in them, because individuals may gain. C 2 20 Free Trade and Fair Trade, these proportions were considerably altered by the rival impositions, we would have the power of taxing an amount of foreign products much larger than the amount of our products which could be taxed by foreigners. In the second place, our present duties being unusually moderate, would bear more augmentation (without stop- ping the trade) than those of other countries. In the third place, our very extensive colonies afford us means both of procuring the required imports, and of disposing of our exports, which other countries do not possess. There is, in fact, hardly an article of general consump- tion in this country which cannot be produced at no very extravagant rate either in Great Britain or in some of her colonies. Lastly, in such a contest the superior wealth of this country could hardly fail to tell. Ulti- mately, both parties would probably agree to a simul- taneous reduction of their tariffs, but the reduction on the part of the foreigners would be much larger than ours. We would be in the position of the successful party in a strike or lock-out, and could recompense our- selves for our losses in the contest by increased gains after its termination. But in order to lead to this result, the rise in our tariff should be general. If we abstained from taxing * the food of the people ' — foreign corn — or the raw materials of our manufactures, we should be fighting with one hand tied behind our back. A tem- porary increase in the price of food and of most articles of manufacture should be submitted to, while the market for the latter would be temporarily contracted with con- siderable loss to our manufacturers and merchants. Free Trade mid Fair Trade, 2 1 Every strike and lock-out involves a present loss to the parties engaged in it ; and to this rule an international commercial contest would undoubtedly prove no excep- tion. But as long as our tariff is not higher than those of other countries, we shall have done nothing to pro- voke such a contest, while if we should be forced into it, the prospects of success would be in our favour.* Another stock argument in favour of Free Trade is the great prosperity which the country has enjoyed under it. That other countries have prospered under the sys- tems of Fair Trade, and even of Protection, is sufficiently obvious ; but I think the true answer to this argument is — Ireland. Not that, in a certain sense, Ireland has not prospered under the system of Free Trade ; for, by getting rid of her surplus population, increased comforts have been secured to those that remain ; and of late years the smaller tenant-farmers have been enriched at the cost of the Church and of the landlords. But the state of Ireland under the system of Free Trade pre- sents a striking contrast to that of Great Britain under the same system. Her population has diminished by at least three millions, or more than one-third of the whole. Almost every branch of industry and manufac- * With a higher tariff, too, we should be in a more favourable position for negotiating commercial treaties with other countries. If the revenues which England and France derived from the trade between them were nearly equal in amount, an agreement to surrender both would not be improbable. But so long as one country derives a larger revenue from the trade than the other, the former will not be willing to forego its advantage. Our position as re- gards commercial treaties is not a strong one, for the simple reason that we have too little to give up in return for the concessions which we ask from the other side. 2 2 Free Trade and Fair Trade. ture has advanced in Great Britain, and the Free Traders claim the credit of the improvement ; but where is the branch of industry or manufacture in Ireland that has not declined during the very same interval ? Her exports of whiskey and porter have indeed increased, but it so happens that these exceptional articles are highly taxed, which the declining manufactures are not. Thousands of acres of tillage have been converted into pasture every year, and yet the population remains as purely agricultural as ever. If a Liberal Ministry de- clared by its Land Act of i860 that the relation of landlord and tenant should thenceforward be deemed to depend not on tenure but on the contract of the parties, it has found itself compelled to retract this principle (which was not consistently carried out even in the Act of i860) in detail, until freedom of contract as regards land has almost vanished, and the contract of tenancy is no longer made by the interested parties, but partly by Act of Parliament and partly by a body of Government officials. If Free Trade is rightly credited with the in- creased population of England and Scotland, with the growth of arts and manufactures and of every branch of trade, and with the general accumulation of wealth in those countries, how is it that almost everything is re- versed in Ireland under the very same system ? It is idle to speak of oppressive laws, of an alien Church, of rack- renting, or of absenteeism. These evils, so far as they exist at all, existed in a much more aggravated form before the Repeal of the Corn Laws ; and we ought, on the Free Trade theory, to find in Ireland since then, not Free Trade and Fair Trade, 23 only the progress due to Free Trade, but the further progress due to the removal or mitigation of those evils. Add to this, too, that since the Repeal of the Corn Laws there has been no inconsiderable influx of capital into Ireland — not only of English and Scotch capital, but of the earnings of Irish settlers in America and Australia, and of Irish labourers on the other side of the Channel. Why then are the vaunted benefits of Free Trade totally invisible in Ireland ? If any satisfactory answer can be given to this question, it will be one not complimentary to recent Liberal legislation. The true answer, how- ever, I apprehend is, that the prosperity of England and Scotland has been as little due to Free Trade as the misfortunes of Ireland have been ; and that, had Protec- tion continued in force, the condition of both countries would be pretty much as at present — perhaps a little better, perhaps a little worse. One more argument may be glanced at in conclusion. It is, that taxes on imported goods increase the price by more than the amount of the tax, since the merchant who pays the duty will not sell except at a price that leaves him a profit on the duty as well as on the original purchase-money. If the merchant is a British subject, it is evident that the aggregate wealth of the country is unaffected by this increased price, and the argument, moreover, is as applicable to taxes on home-made com- modities as to taxes on imported goods. But the argu- ment involves a further fallacy. If the merchant can sell the goods as soon as he pays the tax, he will not require any profit on it. He only requires a profit 24 Free Trade and Fair Trade, because he has to wait for some time before he is able to sell, or rather to obtain payment. The ultimate pur- chaser then pays more than the tax undoubtedly, but he does not pay it until long after the tax has been levied — until after he has enjoyed the protection which the tax procured, and even perhaps received a part of the tax himself as interest on funded capital, or in payment of his salary as a Government official. A deferred pay- ment must always be greater when it is made, but many a tax-payer would prefer to pay the tax with interest added at the end of a year, rather than to pay it without in- terest now. Take the simple case of a keg of new whiskey. If I buy it immediately after the payment of the tax, I can buy it for what may be called the natural price, with the duty added. But I prefer not to drink it until it is seven or ten years old ; and instead of buying it new and storing it in my cellar until it has attained the re- quired age, I probably choose to buy old whiskey from a grocer, and to pay him seven or ten years' interest on the duty, as well as on the natural price. I thus pay much more than the duty, but I pay it not only after the time fixed for payment, but after I have enjoyed the benefit of the tax. And that this deferred payment is, in my opinion, a full equivalent for the higher price is evident, since otherwise I would have bought new whiskey, and stored it for myself till it was ready for use. Free Trade and Fair Trade, 25 Note on the Excess of Imports over Exports. In the foregoing remarks on Free Trade and Fair Trade I have omitted all reference to the excess of our Imports over our Exports, because I believe that until it has been traced to its proper source it does not bear on the question of Free Trade and Protection at all. The phenomenon is in fact one which may arise from several different causes, some indicative of national prosperity and others of the very reverse. In the first place, it may be noted that the same phenomenon may present itself in the case of both of the countries which are concerned in any particular branch of traffic. It is quite possible that the value of our Imports from Aus- tralia might be ;^ 25,000,000, and that of our Exports ;^ 20,000,000, while Australian statistics exhibited the very same figures. For, with the addition of freight, interest, and insurance, the goods which were worth ;g 20,000,000 when they left our shores might be worth ;^ 25,000,000 when they reached Australia ; while the Australian goods, which are worth ^25,000,000 when they arrive here, may have been worth no more than ^20,000,000 when they were shipped at the antipodes. The present ex- cess of our Imports over our Exports on the whole, however, is too large to be accounted for in this manner, and other explanations must therefore be sought for. Some people seem to imagine that we must pay the difference in money — that is, in precious metals. But when precious metals are included in the returns of Ex- 26 Free Trade arid Fair Trade. ports and Imports this explanation is evidently incor- rect ; while, even if they vi^ere excluded, it is certain that the precious metals are not being exported at a rate capable of accounting for the difference. That such an exportation of precious metals is not desirable may, I think, be conceded ; for, having no great mines of gold and silver in this country, we get our precious metals from abroad, and unless when an oversupply is acciden- tally received we only import enough to supply our own wants. If we reduced this quantity by exportation it would, I think, be a symptom of increasing poverty — a proof that we could not afford to use so much of these metals as we were using before,* Even from this point of view, however, as we could not restore a man to wealth by preventing him from disposing of his gold and silver plate or parting with the money in his purse, so we cannot restore a country to prosperity by preventing it from parting wdth its gold and silver. It is clear, however, that we are not paying for the difference in value between our Imports and our Exports in cash ; but one cause of the excess of the former may be that we are running in debt, or rather bringing over foreign capital for investment. If foreign capital was being in- vested in this country there would naturally be a large excess of Imports over Exports while the investment was going on. If ten millions of French capital was invested in this country last year, the Imports from France would increase relatively to the Exports by * The same effect, however, might be produced by a larger circulation of paper money. ■OKIVBHSITT] Free Trade ^^^^^Cft^fJ^'^K^^^ 27 ten millions (assuming no French capital to have in- vested during the preceding year). But this invest- ment of foreign capital again might arise from different causes. It might arise from the fact that England was in so prosperous a condition as to afford the best field for investment ; or it might be that our own capitalists were in such difficulties that they were willing to bor- row foreign capital on almost any terms. However, there are many other possible explanations of the same excess. It might arise from the interest of English capital aready invested in foreign countries. This, again, is rather a mixed symptom. Foreign invest- ments of English capital may have arisen either from its superabundance or from the difficulty of obtaining any profitable method of employing it at home. Of course, while this investment of English capital abroad was in progress, there would be a relative excess of Exports over Imports, but after the investments had ceased, and while the investors were simply drawing the interest or dividends on the capital invested abroad, this condition of things would be reversed, and the Imports would exceed the Exports in more than the ordinary proportion. This excess, however, would be still fur- ther augmented when the English capitalists were re- calling a portion of their foreign investments. This latter process would have exactly the same effect as the investment of foreign capital in England, and it might be caused either by the abundant opportunities of effect- ing good investments in England or by the fact that the English capitalist found his home capital so reduced 28 Free Trade and Fair Trade, that he was compelled to recall what he had invested elsewhere. The argument from the excess of Imports over Ex- ports is thus of very little force either way. But, on the whole, I think the present large excess cannot be re- garded as either in itself beneficial or as a symptom of prosperity. It cannot be accounted by the freight, in- surance, and interest on the goods exported and im- ported ; nor do I think it is fully explained even when the interest and dividends on foreign investments are added. Even if this explanation was sufficient, it would imply that foreign investments of English capital had ceased, and as this cessation does not arise from the greater abundance of profitable investments at home, it indicates a diminution of national prosperity. But to explain such an excess of Imports over Exports, as we actually experience, I think we must admit that a transfer of capital from foreign countries to England is, or at least recently was, in progress ; and this, I be- lieve, arises from English investors recalling their foreign capital in order to fill up the gaps in their home capital which have been caused by the depression of trade. This undoubtedly is not an evil in itself, but rather a mode of mitigating existing evils ; but then it is a symptom not of prosperity but of depression. The advantages or disadvantages of international trade, however, depend much more on the quantity than on the value of the goods which are exchanged. Suppose that our trade with China is carried on by an exchange of cotton goods for tea, we might in consequence of a Free Trade and Fair Trade, 29 bad tea crop have to give twice as much cotton for the same quantity of tea in 1885 as in 1884, and yet the value of the Imports and Exports might continue to bear exactly the same proportion to each other as before. Moreover, looking merely at the pecuniary values, both Exports and Imports would probably ap- pear to have increased, though in reality the former had done so while the latter had fallen off. There would be nothing in the figures to indicate that the terms of the exchange had become less favourable to us ; and the effect in question might be produced not only by a bad tea crop but by the Chinese Government imposing a heavy duty on the exportation of tea or on the importation of cotton. It is idle to suppose that foreign countries would sell us ;£ 400,000,000 worth of their goods for ^250,000,000 worth of ours. Provided that we select the proper place and time for estimating values,* the value of what we sell to other countries must always be equal to the value of what we buy from them ; and whenever this rule is apparently departed from, one or other of the contracting parties is either in- curring or paying off a debt, or else paying or receiving the interest on a debt. As long as the trade goes on, no Export or Import duties will affect the equality of values ; but these duties may most seriously influence the proportions in which the productions of one country * The place and time should be taken during the transit. Thus, for Eng- land and America, the middle of the ocean would probably be the place of equal values. If there was no indirect trade between the countries, the value of Imports and Exports would here be equal, supposing that no debts had been, or were being, incurred on either side. 30 Free Trade and Fair Trade. will exchange for those of another. The important question is not, Is the price of what we are getting equal to the price of that which we are giving for it ? for, subject to the qualification already referred to, this must always be the case. It is rather, Are we getting a fair price for what we sell and procuring what we buy at a fair price ? Reciprocity, let me add, is a different thing from reta- liation. The latter aims simply at injuring other coun- tries, who have injured us by their restrictions. The former aims at deriving as much revenue as we can from the products of those other countries, which try to derive as much revenue as they can from our products. It simply lays down that, in regulating our system of taxation, we are to have regard to the conduct of other countries towards us — to avoid pressing on those which treat us liberally, and to throw the weight of our Im- port Duties on those which have adopted tariffs hostile towards us. But I do not contemplate either retalia- tion or reciprocity as permanent states. They are merely modes of bringing other countries to their senses and arriving at a settlement of difficulties. War, as a permanent state, is eminently undesirable, but it is sometimes necessary as a means to an end. It is the same thing with a war of tariffs. It is only defensible as a means to an end. The war of tariffs, however, already exists. Other nations have by their tariffs de- clared war on us. Are we to submit or to resist ? When some distant and puny chieftain makes war on us, we would often suffer less by allowing him to do us all the Free Trade and Fair Trade, 3 1 mischief in his power than by sending an expedition against him ; but as a rule we send the expedition never- theless, and probably if we did not, we should soon have a dozen petty chieftains on our hands instead of one. I see no reason why the same rule should not be applied to hostile tariffs. If the foreign State which adopts them denies that they are hostile, it cannot charge us with hostility in adopting a similar course ; and if it confesses that they are hostile, how can it quarrel with us for meeting hostility by hostility ? If we leave food- producing countries, for instance, under the impression that we are so anxious to procure cheap food that we will allow them to tax our exports to any extent without imposing any tax on the food w^hich we import from them, can we feel surprised at finding that our exports are heavily taxed ? And I doubt if the taxation would be as heavy, if these powers believed that there was any serious danger of retaliation. THE PRINCIPLE OF POPULATION 'T^HE theory of Malthus has obtained such general acceptance among those who aspire to be re- garded as authorities in Political Economy, that the man who ventures to oppose it is frequently looked upon as totally ignorant of that science, if not as incapable of reasoning. And yet the opponents of the theory are perhaps as numerous as ever, while outside the charmed circle of Political Economists the doctrine in question has had hardly any influence. It is, moreover, worthy of note that the defence of the theory has often begun and ended with 'You have misunderstood us.' When any theory is generally misunderstood, we may suspect that it has not been stated with sufficient clearness and pre- cision. And it will not be difficult, I think, to show that this is the case with the Malthusian doctrine. Succinctly stated, this doctrine is, that population has a tendency to increase faster than the means of subsist- ence. This proposition appears to be resolvable into three : viz., population has a tendency to increase ; the means of subsistence have a tendency to increase ; and the former tendency is stronger than the latter. There The Principle of Population. 2iZ is, however, no reason to think that the means of sub- sistence have in themselves any tendency to increase or to diminish — that the earth is becoming either more or less suited to the wants of man independently of the results of human labour expended on it.* The second and third propositions, therefore, resolve themselves into the assertion that equal increments of labour applied to land do not produce equal increments in the produce of the soil. This proposition, together with the tendency of the population to increase, constitutes the essence of the theory of Malthus. The two questions to be con- sidered therefore are, first, Has population a tendency to increase ? and second, Is it true that equal increments of labour applied to the soil must produce a constantly diminishing return ? The first of these questions is stated with a total want of scientific precision. Population has no tendency to increase or to diminish, or to do anything else, for the simple reason that population is not a cause but an, effect. There are causes which tend to increase the population no doubt; in fact every birth increases it. But there are also causes which tend to diminish the population ; and in fact every death diminishes it. The true causes at work in the case are births and deaths ; or rather the causes which produce or prevent births, and the causes which produce and prevent deaths. In parti- cular countries, though not as regards the whole globe, * There are probably causes in operation which will ultimately tend to diminish the means of subsistence, but up to the present I doubt if their effects are appreciable. 34 l^he Principle of Population, the causes which produce or prevent emigration or im- migration must also be considered. We may speak if we choose of either of these sets of causes as counter- acting the other ; but the fact is that both of them are equally positive in their character. Deaths do not simply prevent or retard births : they carry off the population as positively as births produce it. If births continued while deaths ceased the earth would soon be over-popu- lated ; but if deaths continued while births ceased the human race would soon become extinct. There are thus two counter-tendencies, one of which if unchecked would increase the population beyond all reasonable limits, and the other of which if unchecked would soon reduce it to absolute zero. But when it is said that one of these sets of causes tends to prevail over the other, what is the meaning of the assertion ? Is it meant that it actually prevails, and that the population of the earth is in fact increasing ? The Malthusians repudiate this interpreta- tion of their doctrine, and it is plain that as a matter of fact the population is increasing in some places and diminishing in others ; and even in the same locality the aborigines are often diminishing in number while the foreign settlers are increasing. But if the actual preva- lence of one set of causes over the other is not asserted, I can attach but two other meanings to the fundamental thesis of Malthusianism, viz., either that the population does in fact increase when man is in what may be termed his normal condition, or that the tendency to increase is becoming stronger with the lapse of time, so that it may be expected ultimately to become everywhere prevalent. The Principle of Population, 35 The former, I think, comes nearest to the real meaning of the Malthusian. He selects some country in which the rate of increase is very rapid as representing the normal condition of the human race. He infers that man in his normal state has a tendency to increase with at least that degree of rapidity ; and then he shows that, if this rate of increase continued, the population would soon be in excess of the means of existence. The people of North America, and particularly of the United States, are usually referred to as representing this normal state of society, and as exhibiting the rate of increase which would be realised if all mankind were placed in the same conditions. Here, independently of immigration, the population — or rather the white popu- lation — doubles itself in every thirty years ; and in parti- cular districts this thirty years is said to be narrowed to fifteen. Having shown that the human race can increase at this rate, it is inferred that if all hindrances were removed it would do so. The first question, therefore, that occurs to us is whether North America can be taken as representing the normal state of mankind. Would it be possible in fact for all mankind to live under the con- ditions which are there realised ? The answer must, I think, be in the negative. In the first place the healthi- ness of the climate is above the average. I think it may be fairly doubted whether the rate of increase would even approach the actual figure if the ravages of yellow fever extended to the whole country instead of being confined to some, of the southern districts. Then the occupations of the people are unusually healthy. They are mainly D 2 36 The Principle of Population. agricultural, and manufacturing or mining industry can never be carried on without a larger percentage of deaths than occurs in the agricultural and rural districts. Fur- ther, there is such a demand for labour, and children become helpful at so early an age, that they are looked upon as a source of profit rather than as a burden ; and (as even Malthusians have remarked) a widow with seve- ral children is regarded as possessing a fortune and is sought after accordingly. Where children are a source of profit, births will be considerably in excess of the average. For these and other reasons, I do not think the people of North America can be regarded as re- presenting the human race in general in relation to the present question. But there is a special rea- son why the Malthusian should not so regard them. It will, I think, scarcely be denied that since the first settlement of the United States the means of sub- sistence have increased more rapidly than the popu- lation. This, say the Malthusians, is quite consistent with our theory. Notwithstanding the general tendency of population to increase more rapidly than the means of subsistence, we never denied that under special cir- cumstances and within certain limits the means of sub- sistence might increase faster than the population. True : but how can you take as the type of the normal con- dition of mankind a country in which the means of subsistence is increasing more rapidly than the popula- tion ? Is not such a state of things, on your own show- ing, altogether exceptional ? But if we are to exclude countries in which this exceptional condition prevails, The Principle of Population, 37 we must exclude not only North America but England, and almost every other country in which any consider- able increase of population has been established by statistics. In fact, the world may at present be almost divided into countries in which the means of sub- sistence is increasing quite as fast as the population, and countries in which we have no proof that the popu- lation is increasing at all. But the state of the former countries is, according to the Malthusian, exceptional, while no evidence in favour of his theory can be derived from the latter. An universal tendency to an increase in the popula- tion has not, in my opinion, been established. The proof hardly extends beyond the Caucasian race and the temperate zone. In numerous instances, districts once populous are now lying almost deserted without apparently any deterioration of the soil. True, there have been wars, pestilences, and famines in these dis- tricts ; but the Malthusians assert that these calamities only bring the principle of population into full swing, and that in the natural course of things all traces of them are obliterated in a comparatively short time — the country having by that time again peopled up to the means of subsistence. The modern Egyptians, though behind the Europeans in civilization, are probably quite as civilized as the inhabitants of Thebes, with its hundred gates. The modern Turk is as civilized as the Ninevite or Babylonian of old. The Governments of modern times are probably not more oppressive and exacting than their predecessors. Why, then, do not the valleys 38 The Principle of Population, of the Nile, the Euphrates, anc the Tigris teem with their former millions of inhabitants ? But we have a very striking case in point in the Sandwich Islands. The present population is believed to be about one- fourth of what it was when Captain Cook discovered them a century ago. There have been no great wars, famines, or pestilences since then, and no extensive emigration. The population seems to be dying out from mere paucity of births — a cause which apparently does not affect European settlers in the very same locality. Had the Sandwich Isl^ds been the first country in which a census was taken at regular inter- vals, we should probably have had a school of Political Economists contending that the Human race had a ten- dency to die out, and that the wisest legislation could do no more than postpone the catastrophe. That some races have a greater tendency to multiply than others cannot, I think, be doubted, however the fact may be explained. The slaughter of successive hosts of bar- barians by the Romans had little or no effect in pre- venting the advent of fresh invaders from the very same quarters ; while there are other instances in which a slaughter and devastation, apparently smaller in amount, has permanently reduced the population, or at least where the gap thus made in it has not yet been filled up. I now turn to the second element of the theory — namely, that the produce of the soil does not tend to increase in proportion to the amount of labour bestowed on it. Here it must, of course, be admitted that the soil The Principle of Population, 39 of the world is not capable of producing an indefinite amount of food, and that, therefore, if the human race continued to increase indefinitely, a point would ulti- mately be reached at which the produce of the soil would no longer suffice to supply the wants of the population. But no one probably imagines that we are as yet even approaching this state of things, and it is possible that however rapid the increase of the human race might be, some physical change in the condition of our planet would render it incapable of supporting human life before this final Mal^usian period was arrived at. But it is one thing to sa^ that equal increments of labour must ultimately fail to produce equal increments in the means of subsistence, ^nd another thing to say that they do not do so at present. No one, in my opinion, has proved that the point at which equal increments of labour will fail to produce equal increments of food has as yet been reached in the greater part of the world, and until then the population can have no general ten- dency to increase faster than the means of subsistence (unless, indeed, on the assumption of increased idle- ness). That two men on a desolate island could in general procure more than double the quantity of food that one man could procure, will, I think, be conceded ; and the same thing holds good for considerably larger numbers. The full advantages of the division of labourZL. can only be experienced where there is a pretty dense population. Every advance in the art of agriculture^ leads to increased production from a given quantity of labour. How vast, for instance, was the improvement 40 The Pririciple of Population, effected when horses and cattle were first trained to take part in agricultural operations ; and the same im- . provement goes on with every new agricultural imple- ment that is invented. Even improvements in other manufactures are here beneficial; for by lessening the amount of labour required for manufacturing operations, they allow a larger proportion of the total labour of the country to be applied to the cultivation of the soil. The arts of agriculture are advancing, and are likely to con- tinue to advance during a period of which no one can foresee the end, and the effect of every advance is to in- crease the amount of food which can be produced by a given quantity of labour. But it is said that when we require to raise more food, in order to meet the wants of an increasing population, we must either take less fertile land into cultivation, or cultivate fertile land beyond the point where equal increments of labour will produce equal increments of food. Strictly speaking, \. this can only be true where the art of agriculture is sta- tionary. Where it is advancing, the wants of an in- creasing population can often be supplied with little or no increase in the amount of labour devoted to agri- culture ; and railways, canals, &c., have a similar effect in enabling food to be transferred with less labour from the place where it is produced to the place where it is consumed. But even apart from this, the truth of the proposition is questionable; or rather, as elsewhere re- marked, by ' fertile land ' the Political Economist does not mean the same thing with the vulgar. He regards for example, the situation of the land as an element in The Principle of Population, 41 its fertility, land adjoining a town being considered more fertile than land of the same quality in a rural district, because its produce can be conveyed to the consumers at less expense and with less deterioration. Understanding * fertile lands ' in this sense, it is evident that railways, canals, and other means of communi- cation actually increase the fertility of the lands in re- mote and rural districts, for they enable the produce of these lands to be conveyed to the market with less cost and deterioration ; and the same thing is accomplished by the shifting or spreading of the population. Every town or village that springs up in the interior increases the fertility of the surrounding land, because its produce can now find a market with less labour and expense in conveying it to the consumers. Some lands, again, possess a very high natural fertility, but in order to utilise it require a preliminary outlay which the early settlers cannot afford. When capital becomes more plentiful and interest lower, the cultivation of these lands is immediately undertaken. It is, therefore, by no means universally true that every extension of culti- vation involves a resort to less fertile lands. The lands in question may be resorted to, simply because they have become (in the economical sense) more fertile than they were — because they have become at least as fertile as some of the lands already in cultivation. In this sense, the discovery of a valuable gold mine adds enor- mously to the fertility of the surrounding lands, and will probably diminish the fertility of the land adjoining the nearest towns, since a portion of the town popu- 42 The Principle of Population. lation will be drawn away to work the gold mines. It may be an abuse of language to employ the term fertile in this sense, but it is the only sense in which it is universally true that every extension of cultivation in- volves a resort to lands of less fertility ; and even thus it is only true that it involves a resort to lands which were formerly less fertile. "When Edinburgh was the largest town in Scotland, the adjoining land (if at all of fair quality) was the most fertile in that country. Now the land adjoining Glasgow has supplanted it, and perhaps in some future age the most fertile land may be that which lies around Dundee or Aberdeen.* The ex- tension of cultivation, therefore, by no means involves the necessity of resorting to inferior soils ; and in Ame- rica, for instance, the land newly taken into cultivation is often superior in quality to that which has long been in use, while even its present defects of situation will soon be alleviated or removed. The labourer is not compelled to apply his labour to less fertile land in the popular sense of that term, though he may have to go in search of fertile land, instead of finding it ready to his hand. The world, however, is wide. The amount * In no state of society is it true that none but the most fertile land (in the economical sense) would be cultivated. Suppose a country in which the land is physically of the same quahty throughout, while the population occupies a town, a village, and a detached house. The land surrounding the town is, economically speaking, the most fertile ; but, notwithstanding tliis, the villa- gers would find it more to their advantage to till the land adjoining the village than to bring all their supplies from the neighbourhood of the distant town. And in like manner the isolated householder would till a spot adjoin- ing his house rather than fetch his food from a distance. That spot would be the most fertile to him and his family, though not to any one else. The Principle of Population, 43 of fertile land which still remains uncultivated is enor- mous, and even at the most rapid rate of increase the labourer will be able for centuries to find fertile land to work upon, provided that he is willing to go in search of it. But it may be said that in an old country, like England, at all events, an increase in the population will necessitate the recourse to less fertile soils, or to the stimulation of fertile soils beyond the point where additional labour will produce a proportionate return. To this contention, however, more than one answer may be given. First, as already noticed, improvements in the art of agriculture may suffice to produce the needed supply without applying labour in a less remunerative manner than at present. Secondly, in consequence of improvements in the other arts a smaller proportion of the population may suffice to perform the non-agri- cultural work, leaving an increased proportion available for agricultural operations. Thirdly — what has to a large extent occurred — we may produce manufactured articles, and exchange them for the products of the labour of other nations employed on more fertile lands; and improvements in the manufacturing arts may enable us to make this exchange with undimi- nished advantage, notwithstanding our increased popu- lation. The labour of ten factory hands may exchange for as much foreign-grown corn when our population is fifty millions, as it did when our population was ten millions. Lastly, we have the resource of emigration. In Ireland, during the last thirty years, the births have always exceeded the deaths, but the population has 44 The Principle of Population, continually decreased, owing to the persistence of emi- gration; and the result has been that the condition of the home population has improved, while the emigrants are, in general, better off than if they had remained at home. Of course, there is a limit to the advantages of emigration. If the population of the world doubled, even once in a century, a period would ultimately be reached in which every country would be over-popu- lated, and no more room would be left for emigrants. But, to all appearance, this period is still excessively remote ; while all the known facts are consistent with the as- sumption that there is in certain climates or in cer- tain races a natural tendency to decrease, and that the population of some countries can only be kept up by emigration from other quarters of the globe in which different conditions prevail. Summarily, then, it has not been proved that there is any tendency in the human race in general to increase except in the sense that there are causes which, if they acted alone, would increase it; in which sense it is equally true that it has a tendency to diminish, since there are causes which, if they acted alone, would dimi- nish it. Neither has it been shown that the tendency to increase is, in fact, stronger than the tendency to dimi- nish, except in particular cases, and cases which, from their very nature, must be regarded as exceptional. The history of these cases, in fact, has generally been, that advancing civilisation has increased the means of sub- sistence, and the increase in the means of subsistence has been followed by an increased population, the rate The Principle of Population, 45 of increase in the latter instance almost invariably fall- ing short of the former. Nor has it been shown that equal increments of labour have hitherto failed to ex- tract equal increments of produce from the soil. There are indeed instances in which this is the case ; as, for example, when the tiller of the soil, ignorant of the prin- ciples of agriculture, sows the same crop year after year with an equal, or even an enhanced, amount of labour, and reaps in return a continually decreasing harvest. But the question relates to the due application, not to the misapplication, of labour. And here all that has been proved is, that a point must ultimately be reached at which increasing labour will cease to afford a propor- tionate return, and will, perhaps, cease to afford any return at all. But that we have, even in England, ap- proached this point has not been proved ; while, if it had been reached, we might still support our increasing popu- lation, not by the application of additional labour to the soil, but by exchanging our manufactures for food pro- duced in foreign countries under more favourable condi- tions. Consequently, if the meaning of the assertion, that population has a tendency to increase faster than the means of subsistence, is, that there is a serious danger that it will, in fact, increase faster, the existence of this danger has not been established. And if this be not its meaning, what does it mean ? Does it imply anything more than that people are born, and that if they did not die the population of the world would become ex- cessive ; or that, in some places and under some circum- stance, the births do, in fact, exceed the deaths, just as ^^§^/FOB.lS^ 46 The Prificiple of Population, the deaths exceed the births in other places, and under different conditions ? If Malthusianism is reduced to this, it is probably the most barren truism that was ever sought to be imposed on the world under the guise of a scientific discovery. But the Malthusian will perhaps say that, at all events population tends to increase up to the means of subsistence, and always keeps pressing upon the means of subsistence. Population has, as already remarked, a tendency to increase not merely up to the means of sub- sistence but above them, but it has likewise a tendency to diminish and, in fact, to disappear altogether. Such tendencies may be thrown out of account on both sides. But if it is meant that population does in fact increase up to the means of subsistence, the statement is not true. There are many countries in which the means of sub- sistence are in excess of the population, and in which this excess is actually increasing. Then, what is meant by saying that population keeps constantly pressing against the means of subsistence ? Judged by a rich man's standard, the majority of the population in every country would, no doubt, be classed as poor; but where is the civilized country in which the labouring popula- tion has to be satisfied with the bare necessaries of ex- istence? Or can the Malthusian point out a civilized country in which the condition of that class is degene- rating, in consequence of an increase in their numbers, without any accompanying decline in agriculture, trade, or manufactures ? Where the means of subsistence are shortened the population will, no doubt, usually press The Principle, of Populatio7i» 47 severely against what is left, until emigration or some other cause relieves the pressure ; but this is a very dif- ferent thing from the alleged augmented pressure of an increasing population. I doubt if any example of this latter kind can be adduced. I do not think, for instance, that the Irish people were poorer before the failure of the potato crop, with a population of eight millions, than they were in the time of Dean Swift, with a population of two millions. The means of subsistence were short- ened by that failure, and then the population of Ireland was found to be pressing severely against the means of subsistence; but, up to that point, the pressure seems to have been no greater than it had been two centuries before. If uncivilised races do not enjoy more than the mere necessaries of existence, the reason is that they do not seek for more, at least when any consider- able amount of labour is necessary in order to procure it. If the North American Indian had the same desire for the decencies and luxuries of life that the European has, he would doubtless have found means of gratify- ing his tastes. But the Indians have been constantly pressing against their means of subsistence, simply be- cause they never cared to possess means of subsistence in excess of their actual wants ; and, if accident should supply such an excess, it would, doubtless, be wasted in a very short time. And the same observation will apply to almost all uncivilised races. Placed in the midst of plenty, they will barely perform enough work to save themselves from starvation ; and they will be found to be pressing as hard against the means of subsistence 48 The Principle of Population. when their numbers are diminishing as when they are increasing. When half of them are carried off by war, or famine, or pestilence, the other half will be no richer than before ; except that indeed the animals and fish, on which they feed, may multiply when there are fewer people to kill them. Population never presses as closely against the means of subsistence in civilised countries as in uncivilised; yet, in the former, the population is always more dense, and the soil is frequently less fertile. But, the Malthusian will reply, population has a ten- dency to press more closely against the means of subsistence in densely-populated countries than in coun- tries where the population is thinner. Probably it has such a tendency ; for the causes which tend to increase or to diminish the inhabitants of any particular country or district are so numerous, that population may be said to have a tendency to do almost anything. But if it has a tendency to press more closely against the means of subsistence, it has also a tendency to press less closely upon them, and the latter tendency appears to be in practice the more powerful. This mode of speaking of tendencies and counter-acting tendencies is, however, misleading. There are two sets of positive causes which tend to produce opposite effects, and the phenomena which we actually witness result from the joint operation of both. The Malthusian has not, I think, established any one of the three following propositions: — i. That the population of the world is, in fact, increasing more rapidly than the means of subsistence. 2. That it in- creases more rapidly when mankind is in the normal The Principle of Population. 49 state ; or, 3. That, at some future period, it will increase more rapidly. Perhaps it maybe said that if the rate of increase experienced in North America continued, the population of the world would, ere long, outgrow the means of subsistence, and that, under the same condi- tions, this rate of increase would continue. Doubtless it would continue under the same conditions : but one of these conditions appears to be, that the means of sub- sistence should continue to increase at least as rapidly as the population. A population which doubled itself, under that condition^ in every fifteen years, would never lack the means of subsistence. That the population of the world has been kept down by deplorable and preventable causes (among which war holds the first place) must indeed be admitted ; and it follows, almost as a matter of course, that in the absence of these causes it would have been larger than it is. But it does not follow that it would have been too large. If, indeed, Malthus had shown that, notwithstanding the ravages of incessant wars, the population of certain countries had remained (on the average) stationary, and was apparently as large as these countries could (in the existing state of civilization) maintain, he would have gone a considerable distance towards proving his theory ; for he would have shown to a considerable degree of probability that, in the absence of war, the population of these countries would have become excessive. But if it appears that the population of the countries which have been scenes of perpetual hostilities is declining, the Mal- thusian cannot refer to them in support of this theory, 50 The Principle of Population, for the fact that war has reduced the population affords no evidence that in the absence of war the population would have increased. There are many countries too in which population appears to be pressing closely enough against the means of subsistence, and which, notwith- standing, could support double the present population without any advance in their state of civilization; for there would be no difficulty in procuring double the quantity of land now in cultivation, which, under the same rude sys- tem of tillage, would yield double the produce, and thus support double the population in precisely the same way that the existing population is supported — in a suffici- ently scanty manner, perhaps, but not more scanty than at present. True, a failure of crops would carry off twice as many people under these new conditions, but it would also leave twice as many behind. As already noticed, it would seem that uncivilized races, however sparse the population may be, will not keep any considerable dis- tance ahead of the means of subsistence; and if this sparse population is declining, the means of subsistence will be suffered to decline in almost the same proportion. But can Malthus or his disciples point out an instance in which an uncivilized race, having enjoyed more than usual immunity from war, famine and pestilence, has, without any failure of crops or cattle, been reduced to the verge of starvation by the mere increase of its own numbers ? That would indeed be a case in point : but I doubt whether it exists. THE OWNERSHIP OF LAND A TTACKS on private property in land, especially ^ ^ when the owner is not the occupier, have become so frequent of late years that the time seems to have arrived for inquiring into their validity. In doing so I desire to state, in the first place, that I do not regard any kind of property as absolutely inviolable. The punishment of certain crimes in this country includes the forfeiture of both landed property and goods. Our bankruptcy laws, under certain circumstances, lay hold of both for the benefit of the creditors ; and there are circumstances under which both may be compulsorily taken from a person who has committed no offence and incurred no liability, as when a man's land is taken to construct a railway, or his cattle are doomed to slaughter in order to prevent the spreading of a contagious disease. In this latter class of cases the law of this country has always awarded compensation to the injured person;* but * That is when the cattle are slaughtered ; for the grazier often suffers great loss from restrictions without any compensation in cases where slaughter is not considered necessary. Hence the grazier naturally seeks to evade these restrictions, which in consequence prove for the most part ineffectual. Such is, I believe, the explanation of the failure of the restrictions to confine foot- and-mouth disease within narrower limits than before they were adopted* The restrictions have proved at once vexatious, injurious and ineffectual. E 2 52 The Ow7ier ship of Land. into the propriety of awarding compensation it is not my present purpose to enter. I propose simply to inquire whether property in land differs in any important respect from property in anything else. If I succeed in esta- blishing that it does not, I think I may leave the question of compensation to take care of itself. It is hardly necessary to refute writers like Mr. Henry George, who describe private property in land as simple robbery, which the State may resume at any time with- out giving the compensation which it is admitted ought to be given when other kinds of private property are appropriated to the use of the nation. It is sufficient to say that the Government of this country — the Sovereign, the Lords, and the Commons, the latter of whom directly represent the people — has always recognised private property in land. The legislature has, by its conduct, induced men to invest money in the purchase of land, and to lend money on the security of land. It has made laws regulating the devolution of property in land, on the faith of which the public has acted. It has instituted courts for the purpose (either solely or among other things) of selling landed property, and of transferring the ownership from one person to another ; as, for in- stance, when a mortgage is foreclosed. It has granted lands as a reward for public services; and even sold them itself and pocketed the proceeds : as, for instance, in the case of sales of land by the Irish Church Tem- poralities Commissioners. The country may have been robbed, as Mr. George says ; but, if so, it has most dis- tinctly assented to the retention of the stolen goods by The Ownership of Land. 53 the robber, and to his dealing with them (and inducing other persons to deal with them] as if they were his own. And in the great majority of instances the land is now in the hands of persons who have either bought it them- selves, or whose ancestors have bought it under the sanction of the laws. There are various ways of buying land besides what is commonly known as a purchase. It may be bought by a marriage settlement. It may be bought by the owner paying off charges which amounted to its full value. It may be bought by the owner ex- pending money in order to convert what was almost worthless into a valuable property : and this he may have done, not merely by improving the soil, but by bringing a railway or canal to the neighbourhood, or by starting some branch of mining or manufacturing in- dustry. He may even have bought it by letting it on lease at a low rent for a long period, binding the lease- holder to make improvements during his tenure. Some of these modes of purchase, indeed, relate to part of the value rather than to the whole ; but even then, this part may be all that the owner enjoys, the rest being covered by mortgages and charges for members of his family. There is probably not a landowner in the United King- dom a considerable portion of whose income is not de- rived from some of the sources which I have mentioned; and in a very large number of cases the present owner possesses nothing that either he himself or his ancestors have not paid for— paid for with the full sanction of the State. Our laws have, indeed, carefully defined the limits of time within which property wrongfully ac- 54 The Ownership of Land. quired can be claimed and recovered by the rightful owner or his representatives ; and, to take a case into which land does not enter, few persons would doubt that the man who succeeds to a diamond or a painting which his grandfather stole one hundred years ago has a better claim to it than the grandson of the man from whom it was stolen. The one family has been acting for nearly a century on the assumption that the diamond belonged to it, and has made arrangements and contracted liabili- ties on that assumption. The other family has not. The right man — the real culprit — cannot now be pun- ished, and family arrangements should not be disturbed in order to punish the wrong one. This is the spirit of every code of laws which includes a Statute of Limita- tions ; and the tendency of all recent legislation has been to shorten, not to lengthen, the periods of limita- tion. Robbery of land, if it ever occurred, does not differ from robbery of anything else ; and the continued retention of the land is no more a repetition or continua- tion of the crime than the continued retention of the diamond or (what comes to the same thing) of its proceeds. Mr. George would hardly contend that if the descendants of the original thief had sold the diamond and invested the proceeds in some remunerative undertaking they would cease to be robbers, but that they would continue to be so as long as they retained it unsold ; while, even if this were conceded, the descendants of the land-robber would be free of all blame as soon as the land was sold or charged to the full value. On the theory of Mr. George, the original robber of the land or his descend- The Ownership of Land. 55 ants might sell it and retain the full price, while the comparatively innocent man who purchased from them (perhaps through the medium of a public court) would lose everything. He might even remain liable for a portion of the purchase-money which he borrowed, while losing the land on the security of which he borrowed it, and to which he looked for its repayment.* But to revert to the question whether there is any material distinction between property in land and other kinds of property, I shall take the argument in favour of the distinction from the pages of perhaps the ablest advocate of it — the late Mr. J. S. Mill. * The essential principle of property,' says he, ' being to assure to all persons what they have produced by their labour and accumulated by their abstinence, this principle cannot apply to what is not the produce of labour, the raw material of the earth' {Political Economy y book il., cap. ii. sect. 5). But much the greater part of every man's property is not the produce of his own industry or abstinence. I did not make the table at which I write, or the pens, paper and ink which I use in writing. Mr. Mill would probably have admitted that they are not the less my property because I bought them with money left to me by my father or by some one else : but surely the case is clear if I bought them with money * I may add that Mr. A. R. Wallace's proposal to give the landlords a terminable annuity equal to the present rent would be just as honest as to give a mortgagee or a fund-holder a terminable annuity equal to his present annual income. It would be a less extensive confiscation than that advocated by Mr. George, but it would be equally confiscation ; just as stealing half-a-crown is robbery as well as steahng a pound. 56 The Ownership of Land. which I earned for myself. And if I buy land with the money which I have thus earned, is it the less my pro- perty because it is not the produce of labour but the bounty of nature ? My property in it is the produce ot my labour. If I had not invested the produce of my labour in that way, I could have invested it in other ways with equal advantage to myself; but I invested it in land with the full consent of the State — bought it perhaps, as already observed, from an officer of the State whose business was to sell it, and who received a salary from the State for so doing. If I was entitled to no property that was not the direct produce of my own industry and abstinence, I would very soon either die of starvation or be sent to prison as a thief. But the convertibility ot one kind of wealth into another lies at the very basis of all political economy ; and since land is a species ot wealth, why may I not convert the wealth which I ac- quire by my labour into land as well as into any other kind of wealth ? To limit a man's property to what he has produced himself is to deprive him of all the advan- tages of what is known as the division of labour. Mr. Mill thinks that the distinction between landed property and any other kind of property would appear clear ' if the land derived its productive power wholly from nature, and not at all from industry, or if there were any means of discriminating what is derived from each source'* [Political Economy, book ii. cap. ii. sect. 5). * Mr. A. R. Wallace thinks there can be no great difficulty in discrimi- nating between what is derived from each source, because that is just what the Irish Sub-Commissioners are doing. He might as well contend that there is no great difficulty in predicting the future from the stars, because Zadkiel The Ownership of Land, 57 This I do not concede, but the question is hardly worth discussing. Land in a state of nature is usually worth- less ; or at least the State is of opinion that a new citizen is worth more to it than a plot of unreclaimed land, and will often not merely grant the plot rent- free to an immigrant, but actually contribute towards his expenses in coming out to take it. But conce- ding that land derives its value in part from the bounty of nature, what kind of property does not ? Are the stones which form the walls of my house the sole produce of art or labour ? Are the lime and the sand which formed the mortar ? Is the timber which formed the table at which I write ? Is the coal which warms me, or the gas which affords me light r Is the steel which forms my pen, or the materials out of which my paper is made ? The fact is, that all kinds of property consist of the produce of the soil in a form more or less altered by labour ; and the produce of the soil is nothing but the soil itself in an altered form, the alteration being mainly the result of the bounty of nature. In a well- fenced, drained, cultivated and manured farm, situated near the city, the soil has undergone greater changes as the result of human labour than the walls of my house, the planks in the floor (probably cut from trees which no human hand ever planted), or the coal in does it every year. Whatever the faults of the Sub-Commissioners may be, however, I do not think they have attempted any such task. They limit their attention to improvements made at a comparatively recent period. If it was proved to their satisfaction that the holding, which they are inspecting, formed the bed of a lake ten centuries ago, I do not think they would assume that the tenant or his predecessors in title had drained the lake. 58 The Ownership of Land. the grate. To all, nature has contributed something; to all, labour has likewise contributed something ; and to most of them capital (or abstinence on the part of the capitalist) has contributed something also. If the fact that nature contributes something is sufficient to render a thing unsuited to become private property, there could be no such thing as private property at all : but if the fact that labour contributes something is suffi- cient to justify the existence of private property, it will be difficult to point out an acre of valuable land in the kingdom to which labour has not contributed its quota. And, as already remarked, even where labour has contributed nothing, the present owner or his pre- decessors may have given a large amount of labour in exchange for the land. 'No man,* says Mr. Mill, in the section following that which I have already quoted, * made the land. It is the original inheritance of the whole species. Its appropriation is wholly a question of general expedi- ency. When private property in land is not expedient, it is unjust.' He might have added that no man made the trees, or the coal, or the iron : that they are equally the original inheritance of the whole human race, and that private property in them is unjust whenever it is inexpedient (and it might be said that private property in coal is inexpedient when the owner burns more than is necessary for household or industrial purposes). But though man did not make the land, the trees, the coal, or the iron, he altered them by his labour ; or if he did not alter them he gave labour in exchange for them. The Ownership of Land, 59 Moreover, in some cases, he did make the land. He drained a lake, or banked off the sea, or reclaimed a tract of perfectly worthless waste. Mr. Mill, himself, in urging the claims of the landowners to the compensa- tion of which Mr. George would deprive them, says : * If the land was bought with the produce of the labour and abstinence of themselves or their ancestors, compensa- tion is due to them on that ground : even if otherwise, it is still due on the ground of prescription ' {Political Economy, book 11. cap. ii. sect. 6). But what I contend is that he has failed to point out any real distinction between landed property and other kinds of property. Both are equally the produce, partly of nature and partly of labour ; and labour has probably contributed more towards the present condition of many a farm than towards that of the gold sovereign now in my purse. We have already seen Mr. Mill declaring that the land is *the original inheritance of the whole human race.' Elsewhere, when speaking of the Irish land- lords, his statement (in which he is not singular) is, *The land of Ireland — the land of every country — be- longs to the people of that country ' [Political Economy ^ book II. cap. X. sect. i). But between these two pro- positions there is a wide chasm. Have the Hottentots an equal right to the soil of England with the people of that country ? Had the Saxons, the Danes and the Normans, a right to that soil when they came over as invaders ? or have their descendants a right to it now ? Does every Irishman or Scotchman who settles in Eng- land thereby acquire a right to share the soil with the 6o The Ownership of Land. former inhabitants ? These, and similar questions, arise on every side. Probably there never was a country in which the right of every inhabitant to a portion of the soil (whether exclusively or in common with others) was admitted ; for I doubt if this was true even of France after the Revolution of 1789. What, then, is meant by asserting a right which has never been acknowledged, and which, if it existed, would as regards the present in- habitants be very often a mere right of conquest ? Mr. Mill could hardly allege that this equal right of all men to the soil was by Divine appointment. It is plain that it is not by human appointment. Whose appointment then is it, or how is its existence to be proved ? But conceding, for the sake of argument, that the land of the country originally belongs to the people of the country, surely the people of the country can deal with it as they think proper, and grant it or sell it to persons who thencefor- ward become the owners. Property is of little use either to an individual or to a community if they cannot dis- pose of it. If land, granted for the use of a school or university, could only be granted for one genera- tion, the stability of our educational institutions would be greatly impaired. Again : to whom, on such princi- ples, does the soil of America belong ? Is it to the Red Indians, the original inhabitants, who are as yet far from extinct ? to the English settlers who dispossessed them (often by violence or fraud) and their descendants ? or to the host of immigrants, Germans, Irish, negroes, and Chinese, who arrive in swarrns every year ? How- ever, the contention that the land of the country belongs The Ownership of Land. 6i either to the people of the country or to the whole human race, really rests on the assumption that it is the gift of nature, and not the result of human labour and abstinence ; and as this assumption is only true of land, in the same sense that it is true of any other kind of property, the theory in question falls to the ground. To everything that possesses value, nature contributes some- thing ; but there is hardly a single valuable commodity to which she contributes everything. Land, at all events, is no exception to the general rule. But the ownership of land is said to be a monopoly, and to be attended with all the evils of a monopoly. The fact is, however, that every kind of private property is a monopoly in the same sense that the ownership of land is so. If you want to buy or to rent my land, you must pay what I require or do without it ; but the same ob- servation is true if you want to buy or to hire my horse. The opponent of private property in land may reply that he could buy or hire another horse, to which I answer that he could also buy or rent other land. And the horse may be an Eclipse or a Blair Athol, to whom no equal can be found elsewhere, while it is very rarely that equally good land cannot be procured in the market. When there is but one apothecary or hotel-keeper in a village, the people are much more in his power, as re- gards charges, than the farmers are in that of the land- lord ; for the inn-keeper or apothecary has a practical monopoly of that business, since an opposition hotel or apothecary's shop would not be likely to prove remuner- ative. If indeed all the land of the country was in the 62 The Ownership of Land, hands of a single owner, or if the landowners combined to raise the rents, there might be something in this monopoly objection ; though I do not see that a combi- nation of landlords to raise the rents is more objection- able than a combination of employers to lower wages. This last kind of combination has sometimes been suc- cessfully carried out when a small number of persons are practically the only employers of labour (or of some particular kind of labour) in a certain district ; and those who cry out so loudly against landlordism have seldom anything to say against it. But landlords have never, I believe, attempted to raise rents by such means, and in a country like this there are two good reasons why they should not do so. The first is, that a landlord can only manage a limited quantity of land himself, and if he does not succeed in letting the residue, it must lie on his hands idle and unprofitable. In a new country like America, where land is very cheap, and subject to few burdens, and where the increase in its value is some- times very rapid, a speculator may often make money by buying land and letting it lie idle for some years until the price has risen in the market ; but this is not the case with any part of the United Kingdom. In this country, if a combination of landlords to raise rents took place, the class would probably lose more by their unlet lands than they would gain by the high rents derived from those which they succeeded in letting. A second reason why such a combination must fail may be derived from the relation between rent and labour. If the land- lord is not content to leave his unlet lands idle and The Ownership of Land. 63 unprofitable, he must cultivate them, and employ labour for the purpose. Now, no man who can earn three shil- lings a-day as a labourer, will take land at a rent that will only leave him two shillings a-day as a remunera- tion for his labour on it. Unless the rent is low enough to enable him, on the average, to earn as much by work- ing on his farm as he could earn by any other occupation, he will not take the land at that rent ; and if landowners mean to let their lands at all, they must regulate their rents by the average wages of labour. Again, as a rule, the more land remains on the hands of the landowner the higher will be the wages of labour ; for while land- owners do not work themselves, and seldom exercise a very effectual supervision over the work, they frequently adopt a style of cultivation which requires more labour than is bestowed on the land by the ordinary tenant. It may be objected that I am here assuming that the tenant will till the land himself; but this is not the case. If he does not till it himself, he must hire labourers, and the rent which he can afford to pay to his landlord will evidently depend on the amount which he has to pay to his labourers. The economical theory of rent is indeed sufficient to prove that rent is not always the result of a monopoly. One acre of land will, in return for the same amount of labour, produce five barrels of wheat more than another acre. Assuming these lands to be similarly situated, it is plain that, apart from any mono- poly, the annual value of the one acre exceeds that of the other acre by five barrels of wheat, provided that the cultivation of wheat is, in both cases, the most profitable 64 The Ownership of Land, mode of using the land. This excess of value some per- son or persons must enjoy, and the persons who en joy- it (whatever designation we may give them) are in reality the owners. As a matter of fact, if all the land of the United Kingdom was taken up from the present occu- piers (compensating all who had made improvements for which they had not already been compensated), and let by public auction, without reserve, to the highest bidder, I have little doubt that the result would be beneficial rather than injurious to the present landowners, after charging their estates with the full amount of compensa- tion thus awarded. Instead of combining to raise the rents artificially, the landlords have, in fact, usually let their lands at a lower rent than that to which the un- restricted competition of intending tenants would raise it, if the landlords were compelled by law to accept the highest offer. Nor would the monopoly of land (such as it is) be got rid of by always allowing a valuable interest to the occupier. The effect of such a provision would be simply to divide the monopoly among two persons — to make two persons co-owners instead of vesting the ownership in one. A person seeking to take land must, under such circumstances, buy from two persons instead of one. He must pay something to the landlord, and something to the outgoing tenant (whether by a single payment, or an annual one) ; and instead of paying less than under the system of * landlordism,' he would pro- bably have to pay more. Such appears to be the actual state of the case where the Ulster Tenant-Right custom exists. It is not easier, but more difiicult, to obtain land The Ownership of Land. 65 there than in other parts of Ireland, and the person who desires to become an occupier has to pay more for the privilege of occupation than he would have to pay else- where. But in any part of the kingdom a really solvent man looking for land, and unable to procure it at the competition rate, is a very rare spectacle. Rent fixed by competition is, indeed, the very opposite of rent fixed by a monopolist or combination of monopolists. I admit, of course, that competition may raise rents higher than is desirable, but it can only do so when there is an over-population, or when wages is undesirably low ; for which things the landowners are not to blame. For my own part, however, I fail to see that the oc- cupier of land ought, in all cases, to have a valuable — a saleable — interest in it. The value of every kind of property is greatest when the owner is free to deal with it as he likes ; and if a landowner is prohibited from letting except on condition of giving to the occupier a valuable interest in the land, the value of his ownership is diminished. Part of the value of the ownership, which he thus loses at every letting, is transferred to the tenant, but only a part of it ; for the tenant's interest would also be more valuable if he was at liberty to sublet, either in whole or in part, without conferring a valuable interest on the sub-tenant. By such a division of ownership between two persons the total value of the ownership is therefore diminished; and if the landlord receives no compensation for what he is deprived of, the change will frequently consist in taking from him what he has paid for, and making a present of it to another person, who 66 'The Ownership of Land, may have done nothing to earn it. I am not, of course, speaking of securing to the occupier the value of his improvements. I am only dealing with the question whether he ought to have a valuable interest in the soil, irrespective of any improvements made either by him- self or by his predecessors in title. But not to dwell further on the injustice of creating such an interest at the cost of the landlord (it could only be created either at his cost or at the cost of the State), no provision of the kind will, I believe, prove permanently successful. Give the occupier a valuable interest, and he will bor- row money upon it, charge it for some member of his family to whom he does not intend to leave it, sublet it at a profit rent, or sell it to some one who will borrow a part of the purchase-money or leave a part of the pur- chase-money outstanding at interest. If you restrict the occupier from dealing with it in some of these ways, you lessen the value of his interest in it (for that value is always greatest when he is most free to deal with it as he wishes), while you will probably fail to accomplish your object. If, when leaving the land to his son, the tenant cannot charge it for his daughter, he can leave it to the former, on condition of providing a portion for the latter. If he cannot sell it, and leave a portion of the purchase-money outstanding as a charge on it, he can sell it, and leave some of the purchase-money out- standing as a personal debt due to him by the purchaser, charging a higher rate of interest in consequence of the increased risk. The future tenant, between rent and in- terest, may have to pay the full annual value of the land. The Ownership of Land. 67 his annual outgoings being increased rather than di- minished by the legal restrictions on dealing with the tenancy. Higher interest was probably never charged and paid than during the prevalence of the Usury Laws ; and restrictions on dealings with land have very much the same effect as restrictions on borrowing money at interest. But it never has been proved that an unim- proving tenant ought to have a valuable interest in the soil, still less that an interest in his favour should be created at the cost of the landlord ; and I am rather a,t a loss as to the grounds on which such a proposition could be seriously defended. The law as administered in Ireland may have done this in practice, but it has never assented to it in theory. And here I may offer a few remarks on the subject of tenants' improvements. Taking two farms, whose annual value in their present condition is equal, but one of which is unimprovable, while the other is susceptible of improvement, can the landlord's interest be said to be of equal value in both instances ? Clearly not. Sup- pose, for instance, that the average rate of interest is £^ per cent., but that £1000, judiciously expended on the latter farm, would produce a return of ^8 per cent., is it not plain that the improvable quality of this farm is worth ^30 a-year ? This £^0 a-year the landlord may either realise by letting the land on a perpetual tenure at ^30 a-year over its present annual value; or by letting it to an improving tenant for a long term of years at a rent somewhat less than this ; or, finally, by letting it for a comparatively short term, at a rent equal to or even F 2 68 The Oimiership of Land. below the present value. When the term is long enough to repay the principal expended by the tenant, together with interest at ^5 per cent., the tenant is compensated ; and if the improvable quality of the land belongs to the landlord, the tenant has, in justice, no further claim on it. This is generally recognized in one class of leases, namely, building leases. The tenant has here no claim on the land after his lease expires, and he only builds what he thinks will repay him within that period. And if a landlord granted a long lease of land suitable for building, without inserting any building covenant in his lease, he might feel certain that the tenant would pro- ceed, in his own interest, to build ; though of course he prefers a covenant defining the kind of buildings to be erected, and binding the tenant to give them up in good repair. But as the rent reserved in such leases always exceeds the annual value of the land, considered simply as land, and the tenant could not afford to pay it without building, it is certain that he would build in any event. How does an agricultural lease differ from this ? The tenant knows the duration of his tenancy, forms his own judgment as to whether his improvements will repay him within that time, and regulates his conduct accord- ingly. It is only where the landlord has encouraged the tenant directly, or indirectly (as for instance by the cus- tom of not disturbing an improving tenant on the expi- ration of his lease), to expend money on improvements that will not repay the outlay and interest within the term of the lease, that the latter seems to me to have any just claim for compensation : and in assessing com- The Ownership of Land. 69 pensation in such cases, it should be borne in mind that the improvable quality of the land belonged originally to the landlord, and that the tenant is only entitled to be repaid his expenditure with interest — the rate of in- terest being of course higher in cases where the outlay involved risk. On any other principle I do not see why, when a coal-mine is discovered on an estate, the land- lord should not be compelled either to work it himself, or to lease it in perpetuity at the annual value of the land considered merely as land. I now come to what may be regarded as the final stronghold of the opponents of private property in land — the fact that its value often increases without any labour or abstinence on the part of the owner. I say often increases, for it cannot be alleged that it always does so. It sometimes diminishes without any default in the owner, as the experience of the last six years may suffice to prove ; but, according to political econo- mists generally, it more frequently increases, and may, therefore, be said to have a tendency to increase.* * Suppose,' says Mr. Mill, * that there is a kind of income which constantly tends to increase without any exertion or sacrifice on the part of the owners — those owners * In reality rent, like population, has no tendency either to increase or to diminish, for the simple reason that it is an effect, not a cause. But there are causes which tend to increase rent, and causes which tend to diminish it, just as there are causes which tend to increase the population, and causes which tend to diminish it. If the former set of causes are usually stronger than the latter, we may, in a popular sense (though not with scientific accuracy) say, that rent or population has a tendency to increase. In both cases, however, this conclusion seems to me to have been arrived at too hastily, and applied too universally. 70 The Ownership of Land. constituting- a class in the community whom the natural course of things progressively enriches, consistently with complete passiveness on their own part. In such a case it would be no violation of the principles on which private property is grounded if the State should appropriate this increase of wealth, or part of it, as it arises. This would not properly be taking anything from anybody. It would be merely applying an acces- sion of wealth created by circumstances to the benefit of society, instead of allowing it to become an unearned appendage to the riches of a particular class. Now this,' he continues, * is actually the case with rent ' {Political Economy^ book v. cap. ii. sect. 5) ; and accordingly he proposes to absorb * the uneg,rned increment of the land ' in taxation. One would think that the answer to this reasoning is sufficiently obvious. The fact that rent has (with certain intermissions) increased in money value (whether this represents a real increase in the rent, or a diminution in the value of gold and silver) has been well known for many years,- and has been taken into account by all purchasers and settlors of land, and by all persons who lend money on mortgages. The ^ unearned increment of the land ' has been bought and sold with the full approval of the State, and forms a material ele- ment in its present market value. If, when the average rate of interest on good security iS;^4 per cent., a man gives thirty years' purchase for land, the difference between twenty-five years' purchase and thirty years' purchase represents the market value of his expectation of an unearned increment ; and if the State announced The Ownership of Land. 71 its intention of appropriating this unearned increment to its own use for the future, the market value of land would be immediately reduced by at least five years' purchase. This expectation of increment is as much the property of the owner as the improvable quality of the land, and in fact the two stand on precisely the same footing. Mr. Mill seems to have been aware of this, for he says in the section already quoted, that in absorbing the future increment of the rent, * all injustice to the landlords would be excluded if the present market price of their land was secured to them, since that includes the present value of all future expectations.' But would the State be really a gainer by purchasing the future expectations of the landlords at the present market price ? That is at all events doubtful. Supposing that the State had, at the time when Mr. Mill published the last edition of his book, agreed to secure to the landlords the then market price of the land, and to appropriate to public purposes all future increments of rent, which party would have gained by the arrangement ? Is it not certain that the State would have been called upon to pay millions to the landlords, in order to secure to them the market price of their lands in 1870 or 1872 ? But Mr. Mill probably did not exactly intend what his words seem to imply. He meant only that the absorptive process was not to commence until the market price of the land rose above its (then) present figure. Such an enactment, however, would evidently have proved in- jurious to the landlords. As soon as it was provided that the present market price of their land could not be 72 The Ownei'ship of Land. increased, but might be diminished, the market price would fall ; just as the market price of sheep would fall if it was enacted that mutton and wool should, under no circumstances, sell for more than at present, but might sell for less. For years after such a Bill became law, the market price of land would be lowered, and it would afford but a poor compensation to the landlord if, after the lapse* of perhaps a quarter of a century, it ultimately reached its original figure, which under the supposed conditions it could never exceed. Here let me add that land is not the only thing that has this tendency to increase in value without any exertion on the part of the owners. Railroads, tram- ways, canals, and the various branches of mining in- dustry, have a tendency to become more productive with the general progress of the country. Fisheries — the produce of the sea and the rivers — tend to rise in value as rapidly as the produce of the land. And further, I do not think it has been proved that rent has any uni- versal tendency to increase apart from the improvements effected in the soil by labour and abstinence. The prin- cipal argument that rent has a tendency to increase, in- dependently of these causes, is that every extension of the margin of cultivation increases rent, and the increasing population of all countries in the normal state leads to successive extensions of the margin of cultivation. Whether population has in fact this tendency to increase I have elsewhere considered. For my present purpose, however, it is sufficient to point out that the extension of the margin of cultivation is neither the cause of an The Ownership of Land. 73 increase of rent, nor even a constant sign of it. It may be true that the economic rent of cultivated land is at any time measured by the excess of its produce over that of the least productive land in cul tivation ; in which case it would seem to follow that if the course of cultivation was constantly to pass to worse land, until it reached the very worst in the country, this excess must, in the case of good land, be constantly on the increase. But the fal- lacy of this theory consists in supposing that the fertility or productiveness of all the land in the country is con- stant, whereas it is perpetually changing. For econo- mical purposes, as I have elsewhere noticed, the situation of the land forms an important element in its fertility. A road, a railway, a canal, even steam communication between two seaports, alters the fertility or productiveness of no small portion of the land. It makes some land better than it was, and diminishes the excess of the pro- duce of the best land over that which is thus improved. A similar effect is often produced by the mere shifting of the population. Agricultural produce is most valuable in the most densely populated districts, and if the popu- lation moves from one locality to another, the value and rent of land rises in the latter district, and falls in the former. Facilities for the importation of food also tend to low^er rent. They lessen the pressure of an increasing population, which tends to extend the margin of cultiva- tion. Instead of raising the additional food required, we may produce something that will exchange for this additional food when imported from other countries, and the production of this exchangeable commodity (cotton 74 The Ownership of Land. suppose, or ironj may have no tendency to increase the rent of land. Summarily, therefore, it does not appear that in every civilized country population constantly increases; if it did increase, it would not follow that the margin of cultivation in that country would neces- sarily be extended; and lastly, an extension of the margin of cultivation may be accompanied with a de- crease instead of an increase in rent. This last effect will be produced when a large quantity of land suddenly receives a great accession to its productiveness, as, for example, by making a railway through a naturally fertile district, whose productions were hitherto cut off from any available market by the want of good means of commu- nication. Rents in the newly-opened district would, no doubt, rise, but they might still remain almost nominal, while the rents of the land adjoining the market would experience a very heavy fall. The tendency of rent to increase cannot, therefore, be laid down as a general law, and the experience of the last few years has shown that the exceptions to it are not merely theoretical. _-s=r: -y-^ of TBa *^ ;TJFI7BRSITT] CAPITAL AND LABOUR. T^EW questions in the range of political economy attract more attention at present than the mutual relations of Land, Labour, and Capital. I believe if we arrive at a true conclusion as to the connexion of the two latter, their mutual relation to land (or rent) can be easily determined. That capital is the result of labour is generally con- ceded ; whence it follows that labour does not always require previously acquired capital for its support. And the same thing is otherwise evident. A man cast on an uninhabited island, where fruit, fish, and game abounded, could support himself by his own labour without any previous capital ; and if food was sufficiently abundant, he might lay by a stock of it to maintain himself while making a house to dwell in, or a boat to escape from his place of exile. This stock would be his capital saved from the produce of labour, which was undertaken without capital. Or he might collect food enough for each day, before the working hours were over, and spend the rest of the day at work on his house or his boat, thus labouring without capital, and yet pro- ducing works of permanent value. But works of any 7 6 Capital and Labou r. importance, which require time for their completion, can rarely be undertaken without capital. Such works can seldom be used or sold in an unfinished state. A ship cannot be put to any use until it is ready to be launched ; and it could not be built unless there was sufficient capital somewhere to support the workmen (to say no- thing of procuring the materials) until it was completed. This capital may indeed exist in different places, and in the hands of different persons. The workman himself may have a sufficient fund in hand to support him until the work is done ; or he may be supported by a shop- keeper who sells goods on credit, to be repaid at the same period ; or his employer may have the requisite capital; or, finally, this capital may exist only in the hands of a person with whom the employer has con- tracted, and who again may have borrowed the whole or a part of it from some other capitalist. But some- where or other the requisite capital must exist, and exist in such a form that it will reach the workman if he is not the original possessor of it. It is true that the value of the unfinished ship increases from day to day, and that the owner may be able to sell it, or to borrow money on it long before it is completed. The unfinished ship may thus be termed a part of his capital ; and though he pays the workmen from day to day, his capital may go on increasing during the whole time. But if the un- finished ship may thus be termed capital, it is at all events not the kind of capital which is required for the maintenance of labour ; whereas, without a supply of capital available for the maintenance of labour, the Capital and L abour, 7 7 building of the ship could not have gone on. It is true, indeed, that the whole of the capital necessary to main- tain the labourers during the building of the ship need not have existed before the work was commenced. Some of it may have been created while the building was in progress. For example, the employer may have realized a profit on another ship while the work was progressing, and may apply this profit in payment of the labourers. But this newly-created capital was not created by the building of the unfinished ship. That ship cannot be made use of to pay the labourers until it is finished and sold ; and therefore the proposition laid down by Mr. George, that labour is sustained by its own produce, seems to me, when stated generally, to be unfounded. It is not true of any great and permanent work, and is hardly true of any description of work in an old and civilized country. The case, however, becomes clear when we pass from labour in general to hired labour, which is much the most common kind of labour in all civilized countries. No person without capital can hire labour — at least un- less he is believed to have capital. For no man would labour for hire, subject to the condition that he was to be paid out of the proceeds of his own toil. Such a hiring would amount to an agreement that if the proceeds of his labour exceeded the wages agreed upon, the employer should take the excess, whereas if these proceeds fell short of his wages, the labourer should be satisfied with them. For if the employer was avowedly a man with- out capital, it is plain that he could not pay the labourer 7 8 Capital and L abou r. anything more than the proceeds of the latter's own labour, and an agreement to pay more would be so much waste paper. In every hiring, therefore, it is assumed that the employer has the means of paying the wages which he undertakes to pay, even though he should have to dispose of the finished work at a loss — that the farmer, for example, can pay his labourers, even if a bad harvest should not yield enough to pay the rent, seed, and taxes, without drawing on his other resources. The employer is thus a capitalist. He takes the risk, and agrees to pay the labourer a fixed sum in any event, this sum being low enough to give him a reasonable expec- tation of realizing a profit on the transaction. And be- sides the risk, he has almost always to advance a por- tion at least of the wages. His profit, accordingly, should be sufiicient to cover interest as well as risk, together with, in most cases, a remuneration for his own trouble in planning and superintending the work. There is thus, at all events, an element of truth in the economical maxim that Labour is limited by Capital. A man does not usually commence building a house unless he sees his way to finishing it, either with his own capital or with the capital of others, which he con- fidently calculates on being able to borrow ; and a great deal of capital has to be expended on the house before any product of this expenditure comes in. In fact no pro- duct comes in until the house is inhabited. The man who buys an uninhabited house must be himself a capitalist. It may be added, that the greater part of the labour, which is not the subject of hire in this country, consists Capital and Laboici\ 79 of the agricultural labour of the occupiers of land and their families. But for this kind of labour capital is also required ; for the soil only yields products capable of being sold or of directly maintaining labour after con- siderable intervals, and while waiting for these returns the tiller of the soil must be supported either by his own capital or by the capital of others. Though his fields might bear promise of a splendid harvest, if no one within his reach possessed more food than he required for his own consumption, the farmer would starve before the time for reaping arrived. He might indeed find capitalists willing to give him credit ; but then his labour would be supported by their capital (or perhaps by the capital of persons who had given them credit) until his crops were ready for the market. To this extent, then, labour is supported and limited by capital ; and, all other things being alike, the more capital there is in any district seeking investment the greater will be the demand for labour. But even then it is the proportion between capital and labour, and not the actual amount of capital, that must be looked to. If the capital is doubled while the labouring population is trebled, a diminished demand for labour and decrease in wages will result. A great capitalist, moreover, fre- quently does not invest all his capital in his own district, or even in his own country ; while in order to produce an increased demand for labour at any particular place there must be an increased amount of capital seeking for investment at that place. With these qualifications the increase of capital is in itself of advantage to the 8o Capital and Labour, labourer, and so far it may be said that the interests of the capitalist and of the labourer are identical. But this identity extends no further. It is for the interest of the capitalist that there should be a large supply of labour- ers in his neighbourhood, because every increase in the number of persons seeking employment tends by com- petition to diminish wages. On the other hand it is not for the interest of the labourer that there should be too many hands seeking employment. The fewer competi- tors he has, the better bargain he can make with his employer. Further, it is evident that (leaving rent out of account for the present)/the produce of labour affords the fund out of which bom the wages of the labourer and the profits of the capitalist must ultimately be paid (or repaid if the wages has been previously advanced)S It may be for the interest of both parties that this fund should be as large as possible ; but when we come to the distribution of the fund, every increase in the propor- tionate share of the one must be accompanied by a diminution in the proportionate share of the other. It is the interest of the capitalist to keep wages down to the sum which is necessary to maintain the labourer and keep him in working condition. It is the interest of the labourer to keep down the capitalist's profits to the lowest percentage that will induce him to continue the work. Interests which are identical as regards the creation of the fund, are thus hostile as regards its distribution. Hence come strikes and lock-outs. In the former the men surrender their wages for a time in order to obtain a larger share of the common fund for the Capital and Labour, 8 1 future ; in the latter the employers surrender their profits for a time, with a similar object. The co-operative system is the only one which avoids this conflict of in- terests. In the system of employer and employed — of capitalist and labourer — it is inevitable. But the increase — even the proportionate increase — of capital may be accompanied with incidents which render it useless to the labourer. For not the whole, but only -a part of the capital invested in any work, is employed in the payment of wages. Thus, when capital is invested in making a railway, there is in the first place a large sum paid for the purchase of land. This may continue to be capital in the hands of those who receive it, but very little of it is usually expended in the main- tenance of labour in the district through which the railway passes. Another large sum is expended in the purchase of wood and iron. Much of the price of these articles consists of the repayment of labour, but of labour in a different district, and often in a different country from that in which the railway is made. So too of the engines and carriages, and other articles which I need not specify in detail. Nor is this all. As the railway will yield no profit for a considerable time, enough capital must be provided to pay the labourers, not for a few days, but for months or even years, before the line itself can be looked to as a means of repaying the labour expended on it. And that this circumstance tends to lower wages, or at least to keep it from rising, is easily shown. Suppose I have £\oqq to expend in wages, if I expend it in a work which is expected to yield a return G 82 Capital and Labour, in ten days, I may lay out ;£ioo a-day in labour; but if I have to wait for ten months before receiving the return, I can only expend ;£ioo a-month, or about one-thirtieth part of what I could lay out in the former case. If I am the proprietor of a fishing-boat, the very first day's fishing may produce enough to pay the fishermen their wages ; and if I can sell the fish immediately on landing, the labour may, in this case, be maintained out of its own produce without any capital except the boat and fishing-tackle. But at all events a very few days' wages would be sufficient for me to keep in hand to meet con- tingencies. Again, if I am the proprietor of a boot and shoe manufactory, I will have boots and shoes to sell in a few days after the work commences, and a small sum will suffice for the payment of wages, provided that I can obtain a ready sale for my goods when made. In the case of a railway or a ship, on the other hand, I may have to continue paying the labourers for months or even years before the work produces anything. Hence it is evident that works which yield quick returns can be carried on with less capital, in proportion to the num- ber of labourers employed, than works which yield slow returns. This will be the case unless the part of the work which I may term materials, as opposed to labour, requires a greater outlay in proportion to the number of labourers in the former instance than in the latter. But the reverse of this is usually the case. In works of slow return the materials are generally more expensive in proportion to the number of labourers than in works of quick return (materials, as already remarked, often Capital and Labour. 83 include a good deal of labour, but then it is labour per- formed in a different locality, and in some cases labour performed many years before). The substitution of works of slow return for works of quick return therefore always tends to reduce wages;* and we shall I think see that this substitution is one which naturally accom- panies the growth of capital and materially lessens the advantages which the labourer might otherwise expect to derive from that growth. If capital doubles itself while the labouring population increases by one-half, we might expect to find that wages had risen ; but such a change may have taken place in the modes of expend- ing capital during the interval, that wages will have actually fallen. Early settlers and the early capitalists in countries emerging from barbarism usually expend their capital on works of quick return. Their capital is small, and they cannot afford to be deprived of the use of it for any considerable time. They have no such means of under- taking great works as Joint Stock Companies, Banks, &c., afford in a more advanced state of society. And as they can select the very best investments which are capable of being worked with a small capital, their profits are usually large — a circumstance which makes * The distinction between works of quick return and works of slow return coincides to a considerable extent with that drawn- by Political Economists between Circulating Capital and Fixed Capital. And it is usually conceded that with the growth of capital and progress of civilisation the proportion of Fixed to Circulating Capital tends to increase, and that the increase may foi the time at least injure the labourer. But in Circulating Capital itself the rapidity of circulation differs very considerably, and this difference has also an influence on wages. G 2 84 Capital arid Labour. rapid returns peculiarly desirable. A profit of 5 per cent, four times in the year is better than a profit of 20 per cent, at the end of it, and the difference is propor- tionally greater than if the quarterly profit was one per cent., and the annual profit four. At what price could a grocer sell a keg of ten-year-old whiskey if the average profits of trade were 40 per cent, during the time that he had lain out of his money ? But at the present rate of profits the price of ten -year-old whiskey is not extrava- gantly high. Quick returns and large profits are thus at first the order of the day. Capital accumulates rapidly, the demand for labour increases and wages rises. But no country can afford opportunities of un- limited investment, capable of producing large profits and quick returns, under any system of Land Laws that could be devised. The demand for any article dimin- ishes as the supply increases, or at all events customers must be sought for at greater distances — thus rendering the returns slower and the profits smaller ; and if wages has risen in the meantime, profits will be still further reduced. This observation would apply to every branch of industry and manufacture, even if the cost of the materials did not increase when a larger quantity of them was used. But an increasing capital accompanied with diminished profits naturally induces the capitalist to enter upon greater works, requiring a longer continu- ance of labour, and yielding slower returns. Works which could not be undertaken without loss when the current rate of interest is 7 per cent, may be undertaken with advantage when it has sunk to 3 J. And the invest- Capital and Labour, 85 ment of capital in such undertakings tends, as we have seen, to lower wages. Moreover, there is another reason why, as capital increases, a smaller proportion of it is applied to the maintenance and remuneration of labour. This is the discovery of labour-saving appliances which always keeps pace with advancing civilisation. Better imple- ments effect a considerable saving of labour. Fences, roads, &c., afford a further saving ; and when the labour of domestic animals was first employed in the produc- tion of wealth there was a saving of human labour to an extent which it is difficult fully to appreciate. After- wards the power of water and wind, and finally of steam and electricity, were applied to the same purposes as the toil of the horse and the ox : while wagons, cars, and indeed almost all kinds of machinery were constructed so as to lessen friction, and thus enable labour to be applied to greater advantage. Labour was no doubt necessary to effect most of these improvements, but the labour which was thus expended bore no proportion to that which was saved. Now this saving of labour is by no means an unmixed gain to the human race : for a large part of mankind are dependent on their labour for subsistence, and whatever lessens the demand for labour is injurious to them. It compels them to accept lower wages, and increases the chance of their being left for a time without any employment. It has a counter- balancing advantage in promoting a rapid accumu- lation of capital, which as we have seen is on the whole favourable to interests of the workman : but though 86 Capital and Labour, wages may in this way be prevented from actually falling, it is plain that it -will not increase proportion- ally to the increase of capital, even if the number of labourers remains constant ; and also that when capital is increasing faster than the labouring population, wages may be lowered rather than raised by the change. To this it is to be added that for most of these labour- saving appliances a certain amount of skilled labour is required. Thus even a good ploughman will earn more than an ordinary agricultural labourer. Now in a primi- tive state of society the distinction between skilled and unskilled labour hardly exists, while as civilisation pro- gresses it becomes very marked, and the difference in wages is often considerable. This division of labourers into two classes tends to raise the wages of the higher division and to depress that of the lower ; and as the majority of the labourers belong to this latter division, it is by their wages that the general rate of wages is usually estimated. Here is another reason why increasing capital does not always lead to increased wages. Mr. George, to whose views on the subject of capital and labour I have already referred, contends that these labour-saving appliances ought to raise wages, and that the Land Systems usually adopted afford the only expla- nation of why they do not. Such appliances, he thinks, ought to raise wages, because they increase the effi- ciency of labour ; and he appears to think that in a well- organised State no labourer would be left unemployed, inasmuch as labour is not maintained by capital, but by Capital and Labour, 87 its own produce. And if all the labourers continued to be employed while the efficiency of their labour was enhanced, it would be natural to anticipate an increased rate of wages. I have already expressed my dissent from a part of this theory. Labour, I apprehend, must^*^^ to a certain extent be supported by capital, and the ex- tent to which it must be thus supported increases with the progress of society ; and thus, even in a well-organ- ised society, labourers may lack employment for want of the capital necessary to employ them. Further, the value of increased efficiency is not to be measured by its quantity. Suppose, for instance, that when we already manufactured a sufficient amount of cotton to supply the wants of our population, a discovery was made which doubled the efficiency of labour [in its pro- duction, and that the resource of exportation (a resource which cannot be universal) was not open to us. It is plain that we would not use double the quantity of manufactured cotton while it remained at the same price as before. Men in fact would not increase their con- sumption of cotton at all until the price was lowered. Then they would perhaps wear more clothes and buy new garments on occasions when formerly they would have been satisfied with patching up the old ones ; but making every allowance for this, I doubt whether they would consume a double quantity. But if their consump- tion fell short of this double quantity, the number of labourers engaged in the manufacture of cotton would be reduced, and some of the present labourers would have to seek employment in new branches of industry ; 88 Capiial and Labour. and when labourers are seeking for employment wages always falls. Where, moreover, could these labourers procure em- ployment ? Either in some existing branch of industry or in some new one. In the former case they would compete with those already employed, and thus tend to lower wages. Even if the employers in these branches of industry were willing to take all the hands thus dis- engaged, the increased production would fail to generate an increased demand at the same prices, and the fall in prices would lead to a reduction in wages. But, suppose, on the other hand, that the labourers are transferred to new branches of industry. In a wealthy and civilised country, the only reason why any branch of industry is new is that it could not previously have been worked with profit. And how can it be worked with profit now if labour is not cheaper ? This I believe is only possible in two cases, viz. : — when the growing wealth of one section of the population produces a demand for luxuries which did not previously exist, and when the new labour- saving appliance is one which enables something that could not previously have been made without loss to be made with profit. In both these cases there is an increased demand for labour ; but the former is a mis- application or consumption of capital which cannot prove advantageous to the labouring classes in the long run. It is the latter only that really benefits the labourer. If a mine is of such a character that it can be profitably worked with rude machinery, w^hen the only mode of access is by a rough country road, improved machinery Capital and Labour, 89 and a connecting railroad may injure the labourers ; * but it is otherwise when the railroad and good machinery must be brought to bear before it can be worked with advantage. On the whole, however, I believe it will be found that labour-saving appliances have a much greater effect in diminishing than in creating a demand for labour. Without them capital would increase more slowly, but the labourer's share of the total produce would remain undiminished, and the value of the total produce would correspond more closely with its quantity. A slower growth of capital might thus prove more favourable to wages. f I may remark, however, that if we limit the term * It would probably improve the condition of the labouring classes for the time, however, because a much greater quantity of the ore or other produce would be raised. But then the mine would be worked out much sooner, after which the labourers would have to look elsewhere for employment. t It may also be worth while to remark that labour-saving appliances do not always increase the quantity of the produce. Thus, the substitution of ploughing for digging undoubtedly produces a lighter crop from the same extent of land, and in gardens and other places where the highest style of culture becomes necessary, hand-labour is still resorted to. But the substi- tution has become almost universal, because the saving of labour is proportion- ately much greater than the diminution in the value of the crop ; and if a method of growing half our present crops on the same extent of land with one -tenth of the labour was discovered, it would probably be adopted as an improvement in agriculture. It may be indeed that horse -labour enables a greater extent of land to be tilled, and that thus on the whole its effect has been to produce a greater quantity of corn even after deducting the com con- sumed by the horses. But there are evidently hmits to the apphcation of this principle ; for we do not possess an unlimited quantity of land capable of being tilled. In some future age, if the price of corn should become very high and the production of the largest amount of it for human sustenance should become an object of primary importance, we may have to get rid of our horses and resort once more to the spade. Labour-saving appliances of the kind which I have just referred to may tend at once to lower wages and raise the price of food. J 90 Capital and Labour. . Capital (as is usual with Political Economists) to wealth destined for production,* the alleged dependence of labour on capital must be confined within still narrower limits. For wealth spent unproductively often gives a good deal of employment : as when a monument or statue is erected, or buildings, &c., are ornamented in a manner which does not enhance their utility. Wealth thus spent either diminishes the capital of the country or checks its growth, as does also wealth spent in war ; but while it is being spent, it may create a great de- mand for labour and raise wages accordingly. War, in addition to this, diminishes the number of labourers, unless we are to reckon soldiers among labourers : and in some contests a great many soldiers perish or are rendered unfit for labour. Both war and unproductive expenditure thus raise wages, and increased wages may, therefore, accompany a diminishing capital — diminish- * I have not defined Capital, because definitions usually suggest difficulties with regard to certain articles which are on the border-land between that which is meant to be included and that which is meant to be excluded ; and it is thus often possible for a critic to show that the author has used the term in a sense inconsistent with his own definition. My use of the term Capital will, I think, be sufficiently understood by anyone who seeks to understand rather than to criticise. But it may be objected that I should not have spoken of the labourer's savings as capital, because he must support himself whether he is employed or not. Supposing, however, that a labourer can obtain j^^ for performing a piece of work by waiting for payment until it is finished, while he can only obtain ^^4 if he insists on being paid in advance, is not his support while engaged in this work a more profitable investment for his savings than if he lodged them in a savings bank ? When he is out of work he may no doubt have to draw on his capital for his support, as his employer must do while his mill is idle owing to a strike or a lock-out. But his wealth does not cease to be capital because he is sometimes compelled to spend a portion of it. So long as it is not spent, and is available for such an investment as I have mentioned, it seems to me to be properly capital. Capital and Labour. g i ing even relatively to the number of labourers. This process indeed can be only a temporary one, and wages will probably experience a heavy fall at the end of it ; but as this fall does not come until the war is over or the unproductive expenditure is at an end, it will gene- rally take place just when capital again commences to augment. Low wages will then for some time coexist with increasing capital as high wages had coexisted with diminishing capital. Many writers describe the rate of wages as deter- mined not by the relation between the amount of capital and the number of labourers, but between the portion of this capital which is destined for expenditure in wages and the number of labourers between whom this portion is divided. This part of the general capital of the country is sometimes spoken of as the Wages Fund. Nowjun the first place, if the term Capital is used in the usual limited sense, we must, in order to make this statement true, exclude servants, soldiers, &c., from the class of labourers ; for their wages is not drawn from capital — from wealth employed for the purpose of pro- duction. But seeing that a labourer may enlist or become a servant, it is plain that the wages of the one class of workers must influence that of the other. In the second place, the theory in question takes no account of the difference between skilled and unskilled labour, but assumes that the Wages Fund is divided equally among all those who participate in it. In the third place, there is in reality no Wages Fund. Capitalists 92 Capital a7id Labour, seldom determine beforehand how much they will pay- away in wages, and how much they will invest other- wise. If materials rise, for instance, they must either invest a larger sum in the purchase of them or purchase a smaller quantity. In the one case they will have less capital left to pay their labourers ; in the other they will require fewer labourers to do their work : in which latter case, less labour being required, wages will fall with the diminished demand, and the amount paid to the labour- ers will be lessened in even a larger proportion. Large profits coming in during the year may induce the capitalist to extend his operations and employ more labour, while losses or slowness of sales may compel him to contract them. Similar fluctuations are often produced by speculation. But the most serious of all the objections to this theory is that it takes no account of the difference between capital circulating rapidly and capital circulating slowly. In the former case the employer's Wages Fund (if he has one) may consist of three or four days' wages only : in the latter it may have to include a sufficient sum to pay the workmen for a whole year. What light can be thrown on the problem of wages by adding such items as these together and dividing them by the total num- ber of labourers ? The proprietor of a fishing-boat may have nine-tenths of his capital invested in the boat and its appliances, and yet may pay double the value of the boat in wages every year. The only way to arrive at even the average rate of wages would be to treat as the Wages Fund the sum expended in the payment of Capital and Labour. 93 wages during a year (or some other definite period), and to divide it by the number of labourers.* But the Wages Fund in this sense is not any part of the capital which existed at the beginning of the year or at any other specified time, one portion of it being probably destroyed as capital before another portion was pro- duced. Moreover, such a calculation as this, if it could be made, would only give us the variations of money- wages ; and the value of money- wages to the labourer is very different in dear and cheap years. And if there was any cause which tended as civilisation advanced to render the food of the working-man (the principal item of his expenditure) dearer or cheaper, an increase of money- wages might take place without any improve- ment in his condition, or a diminution without any in jury. Similar effects, too, might be produced by the discovery of new gold and silver mines, or by the working out of those which at present yield our prin- cipal supply. For money-wages is wages in gold or silver, and the value of a given amount of money will always vary with that of these metals. The Wages Fund theory is thus from every point of. view untenable. While, then, it is true, in a certain senseVthat labour is limited by capitalj^nd that the increase of capital (other things remaining the same) is in general beneficial to the labourer, it is also true that other things do not remain the same, and that advancing civilisation and growing wealth are always accompanied by new applications of * Even this would not give the average rate of wages in the popular sense, for it supposes that all labourers are in constant employment. 94 Capital and Labour. capital which are less beneficial to the labourer than the old ones. And while the production of wealth is in general beneficial to both parties, in the distribution of it and its increments, the interests of employer and em- ployed are opposed. This opposition, I believe, can only be overcome by the labourers becoming capital- ists ; and as their individual capitals are very small, this again can only be effected by an extensive system of co-operation. The difficulty of working extensive co-operative societies among the lower classes are, how- ever, so great that, for some time at least, the conflict between Labour and Capital must continue. Whether wages could be fixed by a system of arbitration, as rents are now fixed in Ireland, seems doubtful. It would be an interference with individual liberty, on the one hand, to compel an employer to keep his factory open and to employ the same number of hands at wages which he was unwilling to give as trenching too largely on his profits, and on the other hand to compel the labourer to work, although the wages were such as he was un- willing to accept. And if the Court of Arbitrators fixed wages at too high a figure (as they probably would do in any country where political power was chiefly vested in the working classes ; for Government Arbitrators are usually selected with a view of pleasing the party whose favour the Ministers are most anxious to secure), failures among the employers, resulting in leaving a number of labourers unemployed, would be the necessary conse- quence. Masters and men must, therefore, I think, be left to settle their own differences. But the growth of Capital and Labour. 95 the co-operative system would afford considerable aid in settling them. The wages paid by the co-operative societies, and the balances distributed among the mem- bers as profits at the end of the year or half-year,* would show the men what wages they might reasonably ex- pect, while leaving a fair profit for the masters ; and the masters would hesitate to reduce wages much below this point lest, besides inducing the men to strike, they should thereby extend the system of co-operation and raise up formidable rivals in trade. It may be added that, as the augmentation of capital is not always advan- tageous to the working-classes, the temporary stoppage of this accumulation, caused by conflicts between the employers and employed, do not always injure them, though it is of course attended with suffering at the time. The mere accumulation of wealth, apart from all considerations as to its distribution, is not the object at which any economist or statesman should aim. The relations of Capital and Labour thus seem to me to be sufficiently intelligible without introducing the consideration of Land or Rent, and to afford an explanation of the fact that material progress is not always accompanied by an increase of wages or a dimi- nution of poverty. It may be said, indeed, that if land always yielded equal increments of produce for equal increments of labour this would not be the case; for land would then afford unlimited facilities for the in- * Assuming, of course, that wages and dividends were not artificially forced up by drafts on their capital, and their accounts falsified with a view of raising wages in the neighbourhood. There would be a strong temptation to do this when a strike or lock-out was contemplated or in progress. q6 Capital and Labour, vestment of capital without any diminution in the re- turns or therefore in the rate of wages. But supposing- that we applied ten times the amount of labour to the land and obtained ten times the present produce, w^hat should we do with it ? How could we consume ten times the existing amount of flax or cotton or even of corn r If the entire population of the country increased tenfold, we should no doubt be in pretty much the same position as at present. But, if the population increased in any smaller proportion, the value of the new produce would not be ten times that of the old ; and though if wages was paid in kind the labourer would receive as much as before, the part which he did not consume would be less valuable to him for the purpose of ex- change. This would be true whether the land was rent- free or the rent varied in proportion to the produce. It is not, therefore, because equal increments of labour applied to land do not yield equal increments of produce, that when capital increases faster than population the rate of profits must fall. If equal increments of labour applied to every commodity yielded equal increments of produce, no doubt exchanges would always take place on the same terms, however population might vary. But even then there would be a limit to useful production. If A could only exchange his oats for B's wheat, and vice versa, production would stop when A grew sufficient oats and B sufficient wheat to supply the wants of both. Whatever was raised beyond this would have no ex- change-value, because it could not be exchanged. But the growth of capital is evidently in one respect inimical Capital and L abour, g 7 to the working classes. Capital is one of those things of which it is emphatically true that to him that hath shall be given ; for, under ordinary circumstances, the annual increment is pretty nearly in proportion to the principal*. With the growth of capital, therefore, there is always a tendency towards its accumulation in a com- paratively small number of hands ; and if the original capitalist is a worker, his successors frequently live on what he has left them, z. e. on the produce of other peo- ple's work, which produce, for their numbers, they con- sume in much larger quantities than the working classes do. Now in a country in which equal increments of labour yielded equal increments of produce in every department, how could the condition of the working classes be improved by an increase in the number and consumption of the idlers ? But it may be said that the application of capital renders the increment of produce more rapid than that of the applied labour. It often does ; and this is, in fact, the only reason why the accu- mulation of wealth in the hands of a comparatively small number of persons, who spend most of its annual income on themselves, is not an unmixed evil to the working classes. Whether idle people are supported in a palace, a workhouse or a gaol is of little consequence to the working classes, save in so far as it costs more to support some than others. I do not of course mean * A small capitalist often realises a higher rate of profit, because he can give closer attention to his business ; but, on the other hand, he has usually to spend a larger proportion of his profits in maintaining his household, &c,, so that the increase of his capital is slower notwithstanding his higher rate of profit. HT gS Capital and Labour, that all men of fortune are idlers. Some, for instance, who have turned their attention to the affairs of State, are among the hardest-worked and the most valuable members of the community; and others perform a large amount of excellent work in other departments. But there are many persons in every wealthy country who perform no valuable work, and still a larger number who spend a great deal more than the value of their work* — to say nothing of those who do actual mischief. Now, if produce is proportional to population, when more is consumed by idlers less will be left for distribution among working men, and as capital increases more will be consumed by idlers. On the other hand, if pro- duce increases more rapidly than population, a larger amount of it may be consumed both by the idlers and by the workers ; and when this results from the growth of capital (or of wealth), all classes are benefited thereby. In short, as capital increases produce increases, but so does unproductive consumption ; and the advantage or disadvantage to the labourer will depend on the propor- tion between these latter. But it is not owing to the fact that equal increments of labour applied to land fail to yield equal increments of produce, that both profitsf and * Thus, though charities in general are very useful to society, a man who does no active work, but with a fortune of ;^io,ooo a-year, gives 2^2000 in charity, is not a much more useful member of society than the man with ;^8ooo a-year who spends it all on himself. In economic phraseology, each of them spends ^^8000 a-year unproductively. 1 1 mean the rate of profits. The absolute quantity usually increases, because capital increases more rapidly than the rate of profits falls. The term Profits, as used here, includes what is sometimes called Wages of Superin- tendence — the return for the capitalist's labour in planning and superintend- Capital and Labour, 99 wages often fall as society advances. Until men can consume an unlimited quantity of commodities, an un- limited amount of capital cannot be invested as profit- ably as a limited amount; nor, I believe, is a society possible in which the same proportion of an increasing population can always be employed, for the same num- ber of days in the year, in labour the efficiency of which is constantly increasing. Increased efficiency of labour would, under the most favourable circumstances, lead rather to shorter hours and more intervals of recreation than to higher wages. But even this it cannot effect, whatever degree of fertility the land may possess, unless the number and expenditure of the idle population is kept within reasonable limits. If the labour of one man, working constantly throughout the year, produces enough to maintain ten persons for the same period, he will not be allowed many intervals of rest in a country where there are nine idle persons for one worker, or where the number of both classes are equal and each idler consumes on an average as much as nine workers. And, speaking not of food but of commodities in general, one idle man or woman sometimes consumes as much as one hundred workers. He sometimes, moreover, con- sumes not merely commodities but labour : for he employs ing the work. It is doubtful whether this kind of wages (if it is to be so called) rises and faUs with ordinary wages. At all events it is generally for the interest of the capitalist that this kind of wages should increase, and for the interest of the labourer that it should diminish. It is by no means neces- sary, however, that a capitahst should earn wages of superintendence. He may employ a manager, or he may lend his money to the person who really conducts the business. The capitalist is thus not unfrequently an idler. / H 2 lOO Capital and Labour, a number of persons who would otherwise be productive labourers in ministering to his own comforts or luxuries. My intention is not to censure the idle persons to whom I refer.* I am considering the question economically, and showing how their existence and expenditure tends to keep down wages. At the same time, I may remark that, their unproductive consumption is not so large as it appears at first sight. A considerable portion of what they spend is in fact merely transferred to other persons who use it productively. It is only the first cost of what they consume which involves unproductive labour : and unproductive labour itself may not be an evil in countries where the demand for productive labour is inadequate; though of course men of fortune would even in that case confer a greater benefit on society by using their wealth productively. In conclusion, let me say that it is not rent or private property in land which produces the large class of idle people which is to be met with in all wealthy nations. No doubt some hereditary owners of land are idle, and the purchase of land or a morgage on land is a con- venient investment for a man who has a good deal of money and does not intend to work. But there are plenty of other investments open to him — for example, shares in public companies, debentures, purchases of a portion of the national debt : while, even if cut off from * *If any man will not work neither let him eat' is, however, an ethical maxim, which those who are engaged in the training of youth should enforce more frequently than they are in the habit of doing. Every man who has the power of contributing by his labour to the good of society is, in my opinion, morally bound to do so. Capital and Labour. loi these, he has still the simple resource of lending his money at interest to persons who are in good credit, taking care, of course, not to risk too much on a single loan. The law might, perhaps, impose a limit on the amount of money which a man might receive by gift or bequest, or in any other manner without earning it ; but when he has once received it, he cannot be prevented from investing it in a way which enables him to live in idleness on its annual interest. Nor, if it were possible to prevent such investments, would it be desirable to do so. The money would in that case be hoarded, and its possessor would support himself in idleness by making annual drafts on his hoard. Hereditary owners of land, moreover, are not more idle than persons who succeed in any other manner to fortunes of equal magnitude ; in fact they are less so, for they feel an interest in their lands which is rarely felt in stocks and shares. But, notwithstanding all this, if we regard the total annual income of the country as a common fund, it is evident that when more of it is consumed by idlers there will be less left for the workers, and vice versa ; and wages, de- pending entirely on the share of the workers, must be either lowered or checked in its advance, when the share of the idlers increases, unless the common fund increases so rapidly that both shares can be augmented at once. An idle population is thus an injury to the workers, and the injury is greater when the consumption of the idlers increases. But material progress usually creates a class of idlers whose expenditure is very large — a fact which becomes more apparent when we consider that its ten- r02 Capital and Labour, dency is not only to accumulate capital in a compara- tively small number of hands, but also to increase rents. For this reason material progress cannot be an unmixed benefit to the working classes ; nor would it be so if private property in land was abolished.* Wise legisla- tion may, perhaps, render it more beneficial than it is. Co-operation among the labourers may effect something more ; but I doubt whether the attendant evils can ever be wholly surmounted — at least unless by some social- istic system which would bring with it much greater evils than it removed, and which assumes wholesale confiscation as its starting point. * More especially if the land-owners were adequately compensated for its abolition ; for this would leave them incomes probably as large as before, while they would have greater inducements to idleness, and I may add to absenteeism and foreign investments. But I can see no more reason for con- fiscating the rights of the present land-owners than for confiscating those of the shareholders in a Railway Company, And if terminable annuities equal to their present incomes would be an adequate compensation in the one case, they would be an equally adequate compensation in the other. Capital and Labour, 103 CoNCLUSORY Note. Mr. George endeavours to establish the identity of the interests of the capitalist and the labourer by another argument which it may be desirable to criticise briefly. The profit of the capitalist admittedly consists of three elements — interest, insurance (or rather compensation for risk), and what is designated wages of superintendence. The grounds on which Mr. George summarily disposes of the second of these elements are not to me very in- telligible ; and he assumes that wages of superintendence does not differ from ordinary wages, save that the labour, being of a superior kind, obtains a higher remuneration. Interest alone remains to be considered ; and he en- deavours to prove (in the face of statistics which seem to establish the contrary) that wages and interest must always bear a fixed proportion to each other, and that, therefore, both must rise or fall at the same time. Inte- rest, he truly states, is the return or profit due to capital as such. But capital is the produce of labour, and is, in fact, merely stored-up labour, just as coal is stored- up heat. Hence the earnings of capital and the earn- ings of labour must bear a fixed relation : * for if wages fall, interest must also fall in proportion, else it becomes more profitable to turn labour into capital than to apply it directly ; while if interest falls, wages must likewise proportionally fall, or else the increment of capital would be checked.' This quotation is only saved from absurdity by the 1 04 Capital and Labour, doctrine already examined that the wages of labour is not drawn from capital but from its own produce. If this were really so, the labourer whenever his wages sank too low could, as Mr. George puts it, 'work for himself and earn more in that way ; though even then it is probable that he would hardly find himself able to lay aside any considerable portion of his earnings and turn it into capital. I assume that when Mr. George speaks of turning labour into capital instead of applying it directly, he means using it to produce capital for the labourer himself, instead of using it to produce capital for his employer. For the so-called * direct ' application of labour means the application of it to produce capital for the employer. Thus, during the whole time that a ship is being built or a railroad being made, the labour- ers' work is directed towards the creation of capital for the employer — the reproduction of destroyed capital and the creation of additional capital. The theory, therefore, amounts to this, that if wages sank too low the labourer would work for himself, and endeavour to create capital for himself in that way, while if wages rose too high the capitalist would leave him to work for himself, and de- cline to employ him any longer at a rate which was in- sufficient to remunerate the employer. But then the question arises. Can the labourer work for himself? There are very few works which he could undertake without capital, and even in these few he would usually find no opening. He can earn little or nothing by working for himself, and as a rule he does not attempt it. When out of work he first lives on his savings, if Capital mid Labour. 105 he has any, and then on the poor rates or on private charity until he can procure employment again. If a labourer could always be hired at the same wages that he could earn for himself when out of employment, he could often be hired at a sum insufficient to sustain life itself. But the poor law^s and private charity suffice to prevent wages from sinking to this point, and the competition among capitalists usually keeps it at a con- siderably higher level. It is no doubt true that, when profits are unusually high, not only does the capital already in use increase rapidly, but many persons are induced to use as capital wealth which would otherwise have been hoarded or spent on themselves. This increase of capital produces an increased demand for labour, and wages rises in con- sequence : while the reverse effect takes place when profits are unusually low. But this does not prove that there is any fixed proportion between capital and wages. It is when profits are unusually high absolutely and not proportionally to wages, that wages tends to increase ; and it is when profits are unusually low absolutely and not proportionally to wages, that the latter tends to diminish. There is no reason why wages should not be as high absolutely, when the ordinary current rate of interest is two per cent, as when it is five per cent. ; and as a matter of fact it varies slightly, if at all, with the slow variations of interest in an old and long-settled country. Wages may even rise when interest is falling. It is only sudden and violent changes in interest or rather profits that appear to have any effect on wages. lo6 Capital and Labour, Nor is it correct to say that capital is merely stored- up labour. Its first nucleus, if I may so speak, may have been the produce of labour, but it very soon becomes the mixed product of land, labour and interest, or rather profits. The part of it which is due to wages of super- intendence may, perhaps, be said to be the produce of labour, but it is not ordinary labour, nor, as I believe, governed by the same laws. The phrase * wages of superintendence,' I may observe, is an inadequate one. It is one thing to decide on the best investments for capital : it is another to superintend the management of the capital which has been thus invested. * Wages of superintendence ' points to the latter task, but the former is often the more important. Mr. George would, no doubt, describe the performance of the former func- tion as labour also ; but can the same thing be said of the abstinence of the capitalist in not consuming what he has produced, and in applying it to the production of more wealth ? However, even conceding in its fullest extent the proposition that capital is stored-up labour, why should its remuneration bear a fixed proportion to the wages of present labour, unless the whole amount of stored-up labour bears a fixed proportion to the whole amount of presently-available labour ? Otherwise there may be a difference between them similar to that which exists between skilled and unskilled labour. And in fact they do not bear any fixed proportion to each other. In every prosperous country stored-up labour (if that is a correct description of capital) increases more rapidly than presently-available labour : and interest falls more Capital and Labour, 107 rapidly than wages. Indeed wages may not fall at all. Mr. George might, perhaps, reply that if private pro- perty in land was abolished, every labourer could work for himself whenever he chose to do so, and that he would do so whenever wages sank too low. But the cultiva- tion of land requires capital, and if the labourer has no capital he cannot apply his labour to the cultivation of land for himself with advantage. Moreover, Mr. George would not, I think, be satisfied with proving that if private property in land was abolished there would not be any conflict between the labourer and the capitalist. He seeks to prove that there is no real conflict between them at present, and that it is the land-owner who keeps down — and equally keeps down — the earnings of both. This appears to me to be a mistake. The capitalist and the labourer are, for the most part, in the position of the man who has food and the man who has not ; and the former may in many cases treat with contempt the threat that if he charges too much for his food the latter will produce food for himself It is, indeed, just when wages are lowest that the labourer is least able to convert his labour into capital. He is in no posi- tion to resist any proposed reduction of wages unless he has saved something when wages were compara- tively high. I should, perhaps, observe that Mr. George, like Ricardo and others, speaks of high and low wages rather in a comparative than in a positive sense. He UITITEIISI 1 o8 Capital and Labour, refers rather to the proportion of the total produce which the labourer receives than to the actual amount of it. Even in this sense I do not think his statement is correct ; but whether it is so or not is of little practical moment. If, without any material change in the price of the necessaries of life, the labourer who has been earning two shillings a-day earns half-a-crown, he is for all practical purposes receiving higher wages than be- fore, and he will not concern himself much as to whether there is a technical sense in which his wages may be said to have been diminished. On the other hand, if his wages were reduced to one-and-sixpence, his com- plaints would scarcely be silenced by pointing out the technical sense in which his wages had been raised. To him his wages are highest when they enable him to command most of the necessaries and comforts of life, and they are lowest when they enable him to com- mand least of them. And a similar observation maybe made with respect to the capitalist, except that in his case luxuries must be added. Now can it be said that when the capitalist (supposing the amount of his capital un- altered) is in a position to enjoy most of the necessaries, comforts, and luxuries of life, the labourer is in a posi- tion to do the same ? and not only so, but that their command over these various enjoyments increases or diminishes in precisely the same proportion ? Such a doctrine seems to me to be neither sustainable in theory nor consistent with known facts. Combinations of employers, if sufficiently extensive. Capital and Labour, 109 could force wages down to almost any extent, but for the resources afforded by the poor laws, by private charity, and by emigration. But reducing it too low might prove a short-sighted policy on the part of the employers, because (to say nothing of the loss incurred during the original conflict) it would soon impair the efficiency of the labourers, and after a time reduce their numbers — at least unless the labouring classes could be recruited from the middle classes, which is rarely the case. But the employer ceases to have a common in- terest wdth the labourer as soon as the rate of wages suffices to keep the latter in working condition, and to prevent the number of labourers from diminishing. Assuming the work to be equally well done in both cases, he has exactly the same interest in reducing the wages of his labourers as in reducing the fuel of his steam-engine. Nor do I think employers would, in general, concern themselves much as to whether the current rate of wages would reduce the number of labourers at the end of fifteen or twenty years. An early diminution in the number of labourers would concern them ; but if they were assured of large profits for a considerable time, * after that the deluge ' might not appear a very formidable prediction. In the days of American slavery there were States where, in the current phraseology, slaves were * raised,' and others where they were * used up ' ; and hired labourers would, I believe, be often used up by their employers if the latter could treat them as they pleased. The restrain- no Capital ajid Labotcr, ing forces are the poor laws, charity,* competition among employers themselves, and the saving habits of a portion of the working classes : to which may be added the wdllingness of some landlords to let their lands in small holdings, of some shopkeepers to sell goods on credit, and the final resource of emigration. But co-operation among the labourers themselves would, I believe, form the most effectual check on the rapacity of capitalists, while it would act also as a preservative against strikes, in the case of a really fair employer.f * Including philanthropy, or a sense of justice among many of the employ- ers. Some of the latter, no doubt, would not adopt the using-up system imder any circumstances, t That a demand for commodities is not a demand for labour is an axiom which some Political Economists never tire of insisting on. The present may be a suitable occasion for making a few remarks on it. As simply stated, it is an obvious but unproductive truism ; but the real question, I apprehend, is whether a demand for commodities ^ro^z^c^j- a demand for labour. Of course an increased demand for some commodities, accompanied by a diminished de- mand for other commodities, may not produce an increased demand for labour generally. But an increased demand for any commodity will, I believe, pro- duce an increased demand for labour in the production of that commodity ; and this increased demand for labour may not always require the application of additional capital to the production of the commodity in question. Thus, suppose the commodity to be ready-made clothes. The master tailor may be able to supply the wants of his customers without increasing his capital, be- cause every sale of ready-made clothes replaces (with profit) the capital in- vested in them. The change in his capital will be that it circulates more rapidly than before, the article which, on the average, remained on his hands for six months being now (we will suppose) disposed of in three. But to supply the increased demand he must employ an additional number of work- ing tailors, and there will thus be an increased demand for that kind of labour. This increased demand for labour results from an increased demand for com- modities, and not from an increased capital. The axiom is in fact about as true as that an increased demand for beef is not an increased demand for store cattle. No doubt it is not ; but it produces it, and I believe it does so di- rectly and without any intermediate link, at least on some occasions. RENT, ECONOMIC AND ACTUAL A LTHOUGH the question of Renthasbeen touched on ^ ■*■ in more than one place in this volume, a somewhat fuller examination of its nature seems desirable at a time like the present, when the Land Question has acquired a prominence to which I think it is scarcely entitled on its own merits. The theory of rent usually adopted by Political Economists since the time ofRicardo is in sub- stance as follows: — When men first began to cultivate land it was rent-free, and they selected the most fertile land in the country or district and cultivated it only. But as population increased, it became necessary to pro- duce more and more food, and it was found that the land in cultivation did not produce as large a return for the additional labour and capital expended on it as it had done in response to the first application. It was likewise found that by applying capital and labour to inferior land as good a return might be obtained as by applying additional labour and capital to the good land already in cultivation. Hence inferior land came to be cultivated ; and as population continued to increase, the margin of cultivation became more and more widely ex- tended. But as soon as land of different qualities came 112 Rent^ Eco7io7iiic and Actual. to be cultivated, rent made its appearance. The good land yielded a larger return for the labour and capital expended on it than the bad land, and hence the pro- prietor of the good land would not exchange with the proprietor of an equal quantity of bad land without receiving an equivalent for the difference.* If one field yielded twenty barrels of wheat, while another yielded only fifteen barrels when the same amount of capital and labour was applied to it in the most advantageous manner, the former was worth more than the latter by five barrels of wheat in the year, which amount of wheat or its equivalent in money the owner of one should give annually to the owner of the other, in order to make the exchange of fields a fair one ; and if the inferior field consisted of the worst land which could be profitably cultivated (when rent-free), five barrels of wheat would be the annual rent which an occupier could afford to pay for the better field — the largest amount which he could give for the use of it while making the usual profit on its cultivation. Acreable rent thus represents the difference in produce between an acre of the land we are considering and an acre of the worst land in cultivation, supposing the capital and labour expended to be in both cases the same: and rent in this sense must exist when- ever land of different qualities is in cultivation. Under different systems of land tenure this rent may belong * Neither would he have done so previously. In answer to this, Ricardo would perhaps say that the bad land had no exchange value until now, and, therefore, could not have been exchanged for anything. But is not this equally true of the good land on his theory ? As long as it produces no rent it has no exchange value. Reni^ Economic and Actual , 1 1 3 to the occupier or to some other person (usually the landlord), or partly to one and partly to the other ; but it exists in all cases and belongs to somebody. Rent in this sense, it is added, does not raise the price of any article of agricultural produce. All wheat of the same quality will sell in the same market for the same price, and if it costs more capital and labour to raise one part of it than to raise the rest (this more expensive part being required to meet the wants of the population), it must all sell at the price which enables the more expen- sive part to be grown with profit.* The less expensive portion of the crop would not, therefore, be sold more cheaply if the land was rent-free. The only effect would be to give the occupier a larger profit. The rent — the differential value of the cultivated soil — must, therefore, be enjoyed by somebody, even if that somebody should prove to be the State. There are some further develop- ments of this theory which I need not state here. For my purposes, I think this recapitulation w^ill prove suf- ficient. It is no objection to this theory that, considered historically, rent did not arise in the manner thus de- scribed ; for, whenever rent becomes a matter of contract, and its amount is fixed by considerations of profit, its nature becomes independent of its origin; and even, when actual rent is not regulated by these consider- * For if a cultivator who grows wheat for profit cannot realise a profit on the most expensive part of what he grows, he will cease to grow that part. The result would be different under a system of Land Nationalisation. If the State grew all the wheat necessary for the consumption of the people, it could sell at the average cost of production. I 1 1 4 Rent^ Economic and Actual. ations, we can ascertain how it would be altered if it was so regulated, and thus arrive at the theoretic or economic rent. There is, however, an ambiguity in the word * cultivated ' which it is desirable to point out in the first instance. Does that term refer solely to tillage, or does it include pasture also ? If cultivation means tillage, the theory affords no explanation of the fact that some of the agricultural land which produces the highest rent consists of permanent pasture. If it includes pasture also, it is not true that men would, under any circum- stances, commence with cultivating the most fertile lands only ; for they would probably allow their flocks and herds to roam over a wide tract of country, select- ing for themselves the herbage which proved most grateful to them. The fencing-in of the most fertile pasturage would be postponed to a considerably later period. Nor can any rule be laid down as regards the earliest settlers, except that they will select the localities which they consider, on the whole, most advantageous. If they wished to be near the sea for the purpose of fish- ing or of communicating with other countries, they would prefer inferior land on the shore to superior land in the interior. If they wished for an abundant supply of fuel they would select a location in the vicinity of a wood. Climate, the presence of water, &c., would also come into consideration. As they would practically have as much land as they wished to take, they would care little as to what amount of produce could be de- rived from a given quantity of land. They would rather seek the largest return for a given amount of labour and, Re7ity Economic and Actual, 1 1 5 capital. But even then the land which was in this sense the most fertile might require more capital and labour, and, perhaps, also more time than they could command, in order to obtain the best return which it was capable of yielding. In whatever sense we employ the terms * fertile ' and * productive,' it does not seem to be true that in a new country cultivation commences with the most fertile or the most productive land, and then gradually extends to the less fertile or less productive. The fertility of the soil, moreover, is constantly changing. Two or three corn crops in succession will diminish, for a time at least, the fertility of almost any soil ; and if there is abundance of land to be had without any great difference in quality, cultivation will frequently pro- ceed by raising two or three corn crops in succession on one patch of land, and then leaving it to take care of itself and tilling a neighbouring patch in the same manner : in which case when the first-tilled patch has enjoyed a sufficient rest, it is found to be fit for tillage again. Even in old and long-settled countries, the statement that the progress of cultivation is from superior to inferior soils requires large qualification. For all the land of the country which produces any kind of herbage is under cultivation, if under that term we include pasturage. Cattle and sheep in small num- bers can be maintained on the most barren lands, which lands can always be let at a trifling rent if the landlord so desires. There is either no margin of culti- vation in this case, or else that margin had extended itself to the entire soil of the country before the memory I 2 1 1 6 Rent, Economic and Actual. of any living man. But if cultivation means tillage only, some of the very best land in old countries is not under tillage, and this not merely when it forms part of a gentleman's or nobleman's demesne, but even when it is farmed for profit ; and in Ireland, at all events, there has been a steady conversion of tillage into pasture for a considerable number of years.* A disciple of Ricardo might, perhaps, explain this fact by the declining population of Ireland, which would as naturally lead to throwing the less fertile lands out of cultivation as an increasing population leads to the cultivation of them. But with such a food-market as England in our immediate neighbourhood, this expla- nation is untenable, and, in fact, it is often the best land that is going out of cultivation, or rather out of tillage. This land being capable of fattening cattle and sheep, it is found more profitable to use it for that purpose than for raising corn. It cannot be denied, indeed, that in the majority of civilised countries population seems to be almost con- stantly on the increase, and more food is thus required in every successive year. To meet this demand we can, by better cultivation, derive more food from the same quantity of tillage land, and sometimes, at least, from the same quantity of pasturage also. No one, perhaps, has ever yet seen an acre of land which could not possibly be made to produce a heavier crop or to feed more beef and mutton. But, under all ordinary circumstances, ♦ The quantity of land described as waste appears to be also on the in- crease. But even this land will usually yield a trifling rent. Rent^ Econo7nic and Actual, 1 1 7 the production of additional food from the same land is attended with increased labour and expense ; and it is usually found more profitable to increase the quantity of land in cultivation than to force cultivated land be- yond a certain point. The new land thus cultivated is usually less fertile than that which is already in cultiva- tion, and a differential rent thus springs up. It is not very easy to see, however, how the exact amount of this rent should be measured. It is rarely that the same amount of capital and labour can be applied with as much ad- vantage to an acre of bad land as to an acre of good. The mode of cultivation is different, and neither, per- haps, is cultivated in the most profitable manner. The best rule to find the economic rent would seem to be as follows : — Assume the land in both cases to be cultivated in the manner usual with that kind of land ; deduct from the value of the produce of an acre of each the value of the labour, and a profit on the capital employed at the rate usual with investments of equal risk, and the difference will be the difference of the acreable rents. When the rent thus calculated sinks to zero, we have reached what is called the margin of cultiva- tion ; but in a country fairly civilised and with a tolerably dense population it never quite sinks to zero. Where there is such a margin of cultivation it affords a measure of rent ; but it certainly is not the cause of it. The margin of cultivation is not a cause but an effect. It depends on several causes, and might be determined by anyone who had an accurate knowledge of these causes, and of the country in which they operated. The 1 1 8 Rent^ Econornic and Actual. authors who lay so much stress on the margin of cultiva- tion as determining rent (to say nothing of Mr. George, who, apparently, makes it determine wages and interest also) should have asked themselves the question, What determines the margin of cultivation ? or to put the same question in a form more applicable to old countries. What determines the point to which cultivation will be carried ? To get rid of the question as to pasture, I will suppose that I am offered a tract of land rent-free, pro- vided that I undertake to till it ; and also that I have enough capital to till it in the most profitable manner. My first inquiry will be, what is the most profitable me- thod of tilling it ? Having ascertained this, I find, sup- pose, that on this most advantageous mode of tilling it the capital required will be ^3 per acre, of which ;^ 2 will be expended in w^ages, and that the probable return will be ^3 5 J. per acre. Now, if the current rate of profit on similar investments is 10 per cent., it is plain that I will decline the offer ; but if it is 7^ per cent., I will accept it, because the investment will yield a little more than that amount on my outlay. Hence, first, the margin of cultivation will depend on the current rate of profits extending when profits are lower, and con- tracting when they become higher.* But there are many other causes which will likewise extend or con- tract the margin of cultivation. First, supposing that * Mr. George's assertion is that interest depends on the margin of cultiva- tion, falling as it falls (z. e. extends), and rising as it rises {i.e. contracts). This I believe, inverts the relation of cause and effect. Rent^ Econoinic and Actual, 1 1 9 the current rate of interest is 10 per cent, still, if wages falls 5 per cent., while other things remain unaltered, I can till the land with advantage ; for I only require £2 18^. to replace my capital, and 55-. \od. profit, while the land yields ;^3 55". The same effect would be pro- duced if, other things remaining the same, I discovered a mode of growing as large an amount of corn with a saving of 5 per cent, in the quantity of labour. A saving of seed and manure to even a small amount would like- wise enable me to accept the offer with advantage. And so, of course, would a slight increase in the price of agricultural produce, unless the cost of labour increased at the same time ; while increased facilities for carrying the produce of this farm to the market, afforded by a road, a canal or a railway, might also increase the value of the agricultural produce as it stood on the land, though the market price remained unaltered. Thus any one of these causes would extend the mar-* gin of cultivation ; and an equal number of causes of an opposite character would contract it, and compel me to give up the land which I held on the terms al- ready referred to, inasmuch as I could no longer till it with profit. It is true that there is a mutual relation among these several causes, in consequence of which the variations of all are frequently simultaneous. Thus, when the price of corn rises, the wages of agricultural labourers often rises, because there is a greater demand for agricultural labour ; and when labour-saving appli- ances are discovered, their application to the better 1 20 Rent, Economic a7id ActuaL kinds of soil will lower the price of corn.* But though these variations are simultaneous they are not equiva- lent in amount ; and it is just because they are not equivalent in amount that the margin of cultivation varies at all. Considered by itself the extension of the margin of cultivation raises wages, because it produces an increased demand for labour, more labour being re- quired to obtain a given quantity of agricultural pro- duce from bad land than from good. But the farmer is often induced to extend the margin of cultivation by the low rate of wages, when he would be deterred from doing so if wages was higher. An extension of the margin of cultivation thus usually coexists with low wages and low profits ; but it is their effect, not their cause. It, is, however, one of those effects which react * Labour-saving appliances are of two kinds, viz, those which produce an increased return from the same land without applying a proportionally increased amount of labour either directly or indirectly ; and those which produce a di- minished return from a still more diminished quantity of labour. Both kinds of discovery tend, in the first instance at least, to lower wages ; but the first kind usually contracts the margin of cultivation, while the latter extends it. The former of these facts is overlooked by Mr. Henry George, who thinks that any labour-saving improvement which increases the produce of inferior lands without requiring more capital and labour must lead to an extension of the margin of cultivation. But if the productiveness of good land is increased in the same or a higher proportion, the margin of cultivation will not extend, but contract. Lands of very superior quality will now produce enough food to supply the wants of the population, and the inferior soils will not be resorted to at all. No doubt they would now produce a larger return in kind for the same expenditiu-e of capital and labour, but they would not yield as large a return in value. The owners of the superior land would be able to undersell the owners of the inferior even more effectually than before. Mr. George is, therefore, in error in assuming that all labour-saving improvements tend to raise rents. One class of them apparently does so ; the other class does the reverse. Rent ^ Economic ayid Actual, 121 upon their causes, and render these causes less power- ful in action than before. It is, in short, a kind of natural remedy for low wages and low profits — a remedy which alleviates those evils though it may fail to remove them. The margin of cultivation thus affords to a certain extent a measure of rent, wages, and profits, but its exten- sion is not the cause of the increase of the first or of the diminution of the second and third. Thus, to take the case of rent, the rent of good land will always be higher where there is no inferior land to resort to, and every resort to inferior land lessens the demand for good land, and lowers the rent. This result is most marked when the inferiority is one of situation which becomes, to a large extent, remedied by roads, railways, canals, or improved sea-communication. In this case, when the produce of the inferior land is rendered available, the rent of superior land sometimes experiences a serious decline. Indeed, as noticed elsewhere, the vari- ations in the distribution of cultivation often depend on the varying fertility of different soils — varying in the economic if not the literal sense. Such variations are not properly described either as extensions or as con- tractions of the margin of cultivation, though the result of them may be the cultivation of a greater or less breadth of land than before. What really occurs is, that the changed circumstances of the country necessi- tate a resort to different lands from those previously cultivated ; as would be the case, for instance, if the sea swallowed up a portion of the land, and receded from another portion situated in a different locality. 1 2 2 Rent^ Economic and Actual, There is, however, another point of view from which Ricardo's theory of rent requires examination. It re- presents rent in the economic sense as the value of the produce of any given piece of land over that of an equal quantity of the worst land in cultivation. I have al- ready noticed that the quantity of capital (including payments to labourers) required to cultivate land is very different in the case of lands of different qualities ; and, to make a fair comparison between two kinds of land, we must suppose both to be cultivated in the most profitable manner. On the theory of Ricardo, whether the margin of cultivation rises or falls, the difference of rent between two farms, both of which lie within this margin, will be constant so long as the capital, labour, and produce is so. But it seems clear that the current rate of profit must also be taken into account. Let us take two farms, one of which can be best cultivated with a capital (including payments to labourers) of ^lo per acre, when it will yield a return of ^14, while the other can be best cultivated with a capital of ;^3 per acre, when it will yield a return of £a^. What is the difference of rent ? It is plain that to answer the question we require further data. If we suppose the current rate of profits to be 25 per cent, or 10 per cent., we can, indeed, answer the question ; but, contrary to the theory of Ricardo, we do not obtain the same an- swer. If the rate of profit be 25 per cent., the rent of the first farm is;^i 10^. per acre, and that of the second farm is 5^., while if the rate of profit is 10 per cent, the acreable rents are ^3 and 14^. respectively. The differ- Rent^ Ecojiomic arid Actual. 1 23 ence of rents is^i ^s. per acre in the former case, and not less than ;^ 2 6^. in the latter, although both farms are, in both instances, comprised within the margin of cultivation. Perhaps the disciple of Ricardo would reply that I should not have compared an acre of each kind of land, but an acre of the good land with 3I acres of the bad. Possibly : but this is in the first place to abandon the theory as an explanation of acreable rents, while in the second place it involves a definition of fer- tility which will often conflict with the theory that cul- tivation proceeds from the more fertile to the less fertile lands. For it is not impossible that the best return for the capital and labour expended may be afforded by an extensive mountain farm, where a comparatively small number of hardy cattle and sheep range at large over the mountains, and this land may, in proportion to the capital and labour expended on it, yield the highest rent, though in proportion to its extent it yields the lowest. But we do not begin with mountain farming. On the contrary, it is probable that the mountains were left in the possession of wild animals long after the lowlands were cultivated, and that even the very limits of these mountain farms were originally marked out by the cul- tivators of the lowlands building fences to exclude the wild animals that still inhabited the mountains. The race of wild deer in fact are not yet extinct in some of the most mountainous districts. When we once get rid of the idea of acreable rent, almost any theory of rent may be adopted, provided we select units of good and bad land to suit our purpose. In fact by selecting 1 24 Rent^ Economic and Actual. suitable units it might be plausibly maintained that the economic rent of all land was identical. To recapitulate ; rent, it is said, tends to rise as civilisation advances ; for the population will increase, and this will generate a demand for more food, which can only be obtained by cultivating inferior soils, or by forcing the cultivation of land already in cultiva- tion to a higher point. In both these cases the additional food can only be obtained at a greater ex- penditure of labour. The value of food will be fixed by that which is obtained at the greatest expendi- ture of labour, and is nevertheless required to supply the demand. The power of raising food at a less expense than this becomes thus a source of profit to whoever possesses it, and this is the case with the own- ers of all land which lies within the margin of culti- vation for the time being. In answer to this it may be said, in the first place, that in some civilised countries — and countries whose state of civilisation appears to be advancing — population is almost stationary ; of which France affords a remarkable example. But, unless population increases, the theory in question with all its corollaries falls to the ground. In the next place, in every civilised country discoveries are constantly being made which enable food to be produced with less labour than before ; and the tendency of rent to rise will not show itself unless the increased demand for food, arising from a growing population, requires that the quantity of agricultural labour should be increased to a greater extent than these discoveries diminish it. Rent^ Economic and Actual, 125 Whether this will be the case or not will depend on many circumstances : on the rapidity with which the population advances — on the rapidity with which the return which the soil yields to additional labour di- minishes when we have passed the point where the proportionate return is at a maximum — on the quantity of land in the country the cultivation of which has not yet been pressed to this maximum point — on the num- ber and value of the labour-saving appliances which have been discovered, including among labour-saving appliances those which prevent the waste of food; and on the possibility of importing food from other countries — a possibility which may keep food at a moderate price, and prevent rents from rising to any great height in a country which is too densely-populated to supply food for its inhabitants otherwise than by exchanging its manufactures or mineral produce for food supplied from elsewhere.* The tendency of rent to rise is thus not by * Mr. George has an easy method of getting over such considerations as these. Since all wealth, says he, is interchangeable, the man who produces any kind of wealth produces food ; for he produces that which he can exchange for food. And, since labour becomes more productive as civilisation advances, he can produce more wealth with the same amount of labour in an advanced state of society than in its primitive condition ; and it is tacitly assumed that this increased amount of wealth can be exchanged for more food. Now, it is evident that unless the production of food increases at the same rate as the production of other commodities, these commodities will not exchange for the same amount of food as before. A gold-digger does not produce food. He can only obtain food by exchanging his gold for food grown by someone else, and whenever the food-supply runs short, gold will purchase less food than heretofore. Though the gold-digger might obtain twice as much gold as he did previously, he would be a loser by the change, if the price of food was trebled in the meantime. Food is a necessity for the human race. The man who produces no food must exchange what he does produce for food at the 126 Rent^ Economic and Actual, any means universal. There are causes which tend to raise it, and which operate over a great part of the civil- ised world ; but there are also causes which tend to lower it, and which are even more universal in their operation, though they may sometimes prove inferior in strength. Actual rent, however, will only coincide with eco- nomic rent under circumstances which rarely occur. To make them agree we must suppose that the tenant has no interest in the soil, and no permanent tenure — that the landlord keeps back no portion of his land from the market, and accepts nothing short of what I may term the market-rent. In this case, the tenant will obtain the ordinary profit on his capital (including payments to labourers), the ordinary wages for his own labour (the amount which a man of equal bodily and mental powers, &c., could earn with equal exertion in a different occupation), and a certain compensa- tion for his risk.* The rest of the proceeds will, in the absence of taxes, pass to the landlord in the shape current rate of exchange, no matter how favourable to the food-producer that rate of exchange maybe. Notwithstanding the interchangeable character of wealth, the possibility of producing increased quantities o{ other\imds of wealth affords no security against the shortening of our supply of food. The fallacy, in Mr. George's argument, is in fact the same as in that of the Free-traders, who maintain that even one-sided free trade is beneficial, because other countries must purchase from us a sufficient quantity of our goods to pay for what we take from them. So they must ; but the question is, at what price } * This risk is greater under a Free -trade tariff than under a Protectionist one. For, under a Protectionist tariff, the farmer will be, to a considerable extent, secured against the losses occasioned by a bad harvest by the increased price of food ; whereas under a Free-trade tariff a good harvest in one food- growing country may coincide with a bad harvest in another, and almost en- tirely prevent an increase in the price of food in the latter. Rent, Economic and Actual. 127 of rent. Improvements would be effected (or at least paid for) by the landlord, and he would from the first enjoy the benefit of the improved quality of the land. It may be said that what he would then receive would no longer be rent, but rent together with interest on the capital expended in improvements. In a certain sense this is true ; but where are we to draw the line ? There is probably not an acre of rented land in the kingdom which is now in the same condition that it was two thousand years ago ; and how much of the change is due to the work of man, and how much to the slow operation of natural causes, is a problem which is, gene- rally speaking, incapable of solution. The mere ex- tirpation of wild animals, especially such animals as wolves and foxes, increased the productive power of the land all over the kingdom. The fact is that actual rent almost always includes the annual value of improvements, made either by the landlord himself or by some person to the benefit of whose labour he has now a legal right ; and if economic rent does not in- clude the same element, no one can tell what economic rent is. But, even independently of this, the conditions under which economic rent would coincide with actual rent are hardly ever realised. The tenant often holds under an old lease whose term nearly approaches to a perpetuity. Or, without a lease of this duration, he has made extensive improvements, of which the landlord suffers him to enjoy the annual proceeds. The tenant and his predecessors have held at a rent below the real value for such a length of time that their interest in the 128 Rent, Economic and AduaL land has come to be regarded as a right, and is in some cases so regarded by the law. The landlord, from phi- lanthropy or from indolence, has neglected to raise his rents when the economic rent has risen. The legisla- ture has given the tenant such an interest in the soil that the landlord cannot raise the actual rent to the economic rent, even at stated intervals. The landlord lets his land upon leases cumbered with such burden- some and unreasonable conditions, that no sane man would pay the full economic rent for it when thus ham- pered in the use of it, and when he runs the risk of for- feiture for the most trivial reasons. In such cases the actual rent will be higher or lower, according as the tenant believes that the conditions will be enforced, or that they have only been inserted for appearance sake, or in order to add to the solicitor's costs.* Again, the * The state of the law on this subject is a scandal to our Courts of Justice. The lease is drawn by the landlord's solicitor, entirely in the landlord's interest, though there are usually a number of covenants inserted which are of no real benefit to him. By a legal fiction, however, the solicitor is supposed to be acting for the tenant, who has thus to pay the'costs of preparing a document ■which binds him hand and foot. This document is very often imperfectly ex- plained to the tenant, and if he objects to some of its provisions he is told that the lease is in a form in use on the estate {though the tenant has probably to pay for preparing it on the same scale as if it was all original matter), and that the landlord will have no other, whether the holding is a mountain-farm or a public-house. Building-leases of any considerable length often contain cove- nants which become simply absurd before the lease expires. I knew one in- stance in which a man was utterly ruined by opening a shop, because there was a covenant against shops in a head-lease of which he knew nothing. On the premises comprised in this head-lease there were half-a-dozen shops, some of which had been open for years without objection, while one of them had evi- dently formed part of the very same building with the house in which the new shop was opened. The history of the leases in this case was somewhat re- markable. A let the premises to B with a covenant against shops. B let a part of them to C without any such covenant, and with covenants for title and Rent, Economic and Actual. 129 landlord lets his land at a rent less than the economic rent to a relative, a friend, a political adherent, or a per- son of his own religious persuasion ; or else he does so with the object of having the tenant in his power, the threat of depriving the latter of a valuable interest being much more efficacious than that of depriving him of an interest which is worth nothing.* In some authority to make the lease, covenants which, in a lease, are as unusual as they are usual in all other conveyances for value ; and C naturally enough let a part of his premises to D, with a clause that it should be lawful for him to open a shop. The Court, however, held that this last clause was a per- mission not a covenant, and that when D's shop was closed he had no re- medy against C. D, seeing a number of shops open around the premises which he was taldng, was naturally unsuspicious of danger until he was caught in this legal trap — the lease executed and the fine payable on its execution paid. He had, however, in the eye of the law, ' constructive ' notice of the covenants in the head lease ; and although the original law of the country did not allow the head landlord to enforce these covenants against a sub-lessee, a subsequent refinement known as equity (the non-legal reader may, perhaps, regard the term as derisive) enabled him to do so. But in the view of equity, while the benefit of a covenant descends, it does not ascend, and D had no equitable remedy against B on his covenant for good title and for authority to make the lease, because that covenant was not made with D but with C. The present Irish law as regards clauses against aUenation in leases has been notoriously made the vehicle of almost every species of fraud. In one case a tenant sold his holding, pocketed the purchase-money, and while retaining it evicted the purchaser because the latter had not obtained the landlord's con- sent to the transfer ! At best this kind of covenant enables the landlord to act the part of the dog in the manger, lessening the value of the tenant's in- terest without any benefit to himself. And when a tenant improves land, in the present state of the law, he hardly knows whether he is acquiring a right to his improvements or rendering himself liable to the landlord for what, by a strange perversion of language, is termed committing waste I It is waste, for instance, to convert a bad pigsty into a good dwelUng-house ; and some writers have laid down that it is further waste to pull down the dwelling-house and erect a pigsty again. * The modern system of landlordism has originated to a large extent from the feudal system under which the chieftain was a ruler, and was not entitled to the full economic rent. Much of the spirit of this system has descended to our own times. There are but few landlords who expect both to rule their tenantry and to exact the full economic rent from them. K 130 Re7it, Econo7nic and Actual. places, too, an increase of rents, though justified by economical reasons, is attended with unpopularity and personal danger which deters the landlord from resort- ing to it. From all these considerations it is pretty evident that actual rent does not coincide with eco- nomic rent either in its amount or in its variations, and that in practice when the economic rent rises or falls most of the profit or loss falls to the lot of the tenant. In many of the cases investigated before the Irish Land Commission the rent had not been varied for thirty or forty years, though the tenant had at no time been a leaseholder. The economic rent must have varied considerably during this period, but the landlord neither increased his rent in the good times nor abated it in the bad ; or if he made any abatement, it was not equal either in amount or in duration to the fall in the economic rent which dates from the year 1879. Of course there was some one who gained or lost by the variations of the economic rent ; but many Political Economists (including Mr. George himself) frequently write as if this person must necessarily have been the landlord, which is not the case. In other countries the deviation from the economic rent is still greater. This, for instance, is the case with what is called the Metayer System ; under which, if an indo- lent and unskilful tenant extracts but £2 dm acre from his holding, while his industrious neighbour extracts £/\. from land of the same quality, the former pays ^i per acre as rent, and the latter £2. This system, which thus operates as a direct tax on industry and skill, could Rent^ Economic and Actual, 1 3 1 only have originated when the arts of agriculture were stationary, and must have acted as a powerful check on their progress. The only way to make a tenant carry cultivation to the highest point to which it can be advantageously carried is to allow him to retain the whole additional produce after a certain point has been reached. When the rent is a fixed quantity of the pro- duce instead of a fixed proportion, it can be made more nearly coincident with the economic rent than is possible under the Metayer System ; but it has, at least, this drawback, that the rent is highest when the profits are least, viz. on the occasion of a bad harvest. For a bad harvest always raises the price of corn, though it seldom raises it sufiiciently to compensate the farmer for the shortness of his crop. Under the system of which I am now speaking, the landlord's fixed quantity of corn is most valuable when the price of corn is highest, that is, when the harvest is bad.* The tenant thus pays the highest rent when he is least able to afford it. Economic rent is thus almost always a differ- ent thing from the actual rent paid by the occupier to the owner ; and all inferences drawn from the one to the other are of a very precarious character. I am willing to admit that for the most advan- tageous cultivation of land, the tenant should have sufii- cient security of tenure to justify him in making all * These systems, I may remark, are not systems of co-operation. The landlord does nothing; the tenant performs the whole of the requisite labour. In some of them, indeed, the landlord finds the capital necessary to work the land, an arrangement which must lead to continual difficvdties ; but even this is not working, and therefore not co-operation. It is a mere lending of capital not an active application of it by the capitalist. K 2 132 Rent^ Economic and Actual. requisite improvements, considerable freedom in deal- ing with the land while in his occupation, as well as in parting with it when he thinks fit, and protection against sudden and causeless changes in his rent. But to extend these privileges to one class of tenants, while refusing to extend them to others, is in fact introduc- ing a system of Protection, and diverting the stream of agriculture from its natural channel. If, for example, it is more profitable to use the land of a certain dis- trict in grazing-farms than in tillage, why should the State endeavour to foster the latter mode of cultiva- tion artificially by granting to the tillage-farmer pri- vileges which it denies to the grazier ? If it can be more advantageously used in large farms, or in farms of medium size, than in small holdings, why should the smaller tenant be protected from disturbance to a greater extent than his neighbours ? In all proba- bility State interference will prove powerless to arrest the operations of natural causes ; but, if it should suc- ceed in arresting them, the result can hardly prove beneficial to the country in the long run. Moreover, if the real object of the legislature is to encourage tillage and discourage pasturage, there is a much sim- pler method of effecting that object. Impose a duty on imported corn, while foreign meat, both live and dead, is allowed to enter our ports free of charge, and the task is accomplished. The State would evidently gain nothing by pur- chasing up the interests of the present owners of pro- perty (whether called landlords or tenants) if it paid Re7it^ Economic and Actual. 133 the full value of them : while if it purchased them for less than the value, it would gain at most the amount which had been deducted from the value, or in other words, confiscated. It could also levy a large sum by taxes on land if it so desired ; but to throw upon land more than its fair proportion of the general taxation would be merely another form of confiscation. And though this taxation would form a deduction from the economic rent of the land (being in fact a rent pay- able to the State), it by no means follows that it would be borne by the landlord rather than by the tenant ; for the latter might have such an interest in the land (the result, perhaps, of his own improvements) that he would pay both the landlord's rent and the State rent rather than suffer himself to be evicted. A tax pro- portioned to the produce of the soil instead of to its letting value (as tithe was supposed to be) is still more objectionable. It has the same effect on depressing industry as the Metayer System of the Continent. The imposer of such a tax not merely forgets that after a certain point an enhanced amount of labour is requisite to add equal amounts to the produce of the soil, but that, even if it were not so, he takes most from the man who works hardest, and least from the man who per- forms the least work. Tithe (at least if it answered its original intention) is a tax on labour, and a most effectual means of deterring a man from working too hard.* Public management is seldom profitable. The * Checks to industry more frequently occur under the present system than landlords are perhaps aware. Leases, as already noticed, often contain such 134 Renl, Economic and Actual. State can gain nothing without confiscation, and would probably fail to make the most of what it confiscated. The law of landlord and tenant no doubt requires amendment. The contract of the parties should be assimilated to other contracts, and such exceptional rights as that of distress (extending even to the goods of a stranger) should be abolished ; while the law of real property, as it is called, might, I think, be assi- milated in most respects to that of personal property with advantage. But this is a very different thing from the nationalisation of land. Again, a peasant- proprietary may be a desirable thing ; but the example of peasant-proprietors, whose lands are unincumbered, proves little as to the effect of making a peasant the proprietor of his holding, subject to a charge equal, or almost equal, to its full value. The State, it is suggested, might lend him the purchase-money at a lower rate of interest than that at which he could borrow it from anyone else ; and this loan would result in no loss, because the State could itself minute and burdensome covenants, enforced by clauses of forfeiture or penal rents of absurd amount, that the tenure is almost as insecure as a yearly- tenancy, especially if a breach of covenant has once been committed, though perhaps years have since elapsed. Again, in bad years some landlords, in- stead of making a general abatement, pride themselves on dealing with each case on its own merits ; which means that the idle and improvident tenant who has saved nothing receives an abatement, while the industrious man who has laid by a trifle is compelled to draw upon his little hoard in order to dis- charge his rent in full. Another plan is not to evict the tenant or compel him to pay up the full amount,' but to keep the arrears hanging over him to be enforced if he should ever succeed in bettering his condition, or should dare, in any way, to assert his independence. A temporary statutory abatement of all rents is the true remedy for such an agricultural crisis as that of 1879. Rent ^ Economic and Actual, 135 borrow the money at the same low rate. But the only reason why the peasant-proprietor could not borrow the money at as low a rate of interest as the State is that in his case the loan involves more risk; and the difference of rate is, in fact, the exact measure of this risk. The State would incur this risk in the case of every peasant-proprietor to whom it made a loan. It would never receive more than the loan with the in- terest agreed upon ; and, unless compound interest was charged, there is no doubt that it would sustain a loss in consequence of having to wait for payments from the peasant-proprietors, while making its own pay- ments on the day that the interest fell due. Then there would be expenses of collection, legal proceedings, and occasional losses on the result of a sale — all which small losses would make up a considerable loss in the ^^g'J'^g'ate. This loss the taxpayers would have to bear for the benefit of the peasant-proprietors. Private ownership in land is not, I believe, an evil. Extensive proprietors are often better landlords than smaller pro- prietors ; and though the present state of things might be improved, no royal remedy is called for, or is likely to succeed. It only requires an application of the same principles which have been applied so successfully to trade and commerce to remove almost everything that is anomalous in our Land System. The merchant who sells goods on credit to a shopkeeper does not require the latter to obtain his approbation of the purchaser before re-selling them, nor does he insist on a right of distraining the shopkeeper's goods in case the latter 136 Rent^ Economic and Actual. fails to repay him on the day fixed for the purpose- He does not prescribe the manner in which the goods are to be stored and exhibited for sale, or require the shopkeeper to vote for his candidate at the approach- ing General Election. On the other hand, the shop- keeper does not expect to obtain the goods at less than the market value, even though his father and his grandfather may have dealt with the same firm of merchants before him, or to obtain an abatement in the price because the market has fallen after he made his purchase. The application of similar prin- ciples to land is, it seems to me, what is required in order to place rent on its true basis — bearing in mind, of course, that it is not in every instance that the whole of the economic rent belongs to the landlord. The tenant is sometimes like the publican who buys one kind of whiskey from a distiller in order to mix it with other whiskey which is already his own property; in which case the mixed whiskey would not be in any sense the property of the distiller, although the latter was unpaid. A right to resume the land under certain circumstances is indeed unobjectionable, just as the man who hires out a piano retains the right of resum- ing it under certain circumstances ; but the hirer of the piano is not required to execute a long deed defining, among other things, how many hours in the day it is to be played upon, and then to pay for the deed. Why should the hiring of land differ from this ? Or how does renting land differ from hiring it ? 'tjitivbrsity; commercial crises. 'THHE explanations hitherto offered by Political Eco- nomists of the recurrence of commercial crises cannot be regarded as altogether satisfactory, though they are certainly more so than that of Mr. Henry George, who ascribes these phenomena to speculations in land. This, perhaps, may be a cause in the United States, but in the British Empire it certainly is not so. Nor is any real explanation afforded by the scarcity of the circulating medium, owing to our gold and silver having been drained away to foreign countries. Wher- ever there are abundance of men willing to give one valuable commodity for another valuable commodity — the owners of which latter are also willing to exchange — means of exchange will be found, whether the circulating medium is plentiful or scanty.* There is, moreover, a quantity of gold and silver constantly in the kingdom, or * A great many exchanges are in fact carried on by means of bills of ex- change and promissory notes, with the occasional aid of such media as brokers and clearing-houses. If coin ran short, it would be easy to render these means more effective. But in commercial crises there is a general distrust which renders sellers unwiUing to accept bills or promissory notes except in a few special cases. This distrust— this failure of credit — is much more potent than the scarcity of coin. 138 Commercial Crises. within easy distance of it, which an increased demand for gold or silver coin would soon bring into the market. And it is evident that the same amount of coin will act as the medium in a larger or smaller number of exchanges, according as trade is brisk or dull. If the man who receives payment for his goods in cash immediately afterwards proceeds to lay out the price in other goods ; and if the vendor of these goods adopts the same course, and so on in succession, a small amount of coin will suf- fice for a large number of transactions. On the other hand, if the man who receives a cash payment keeps the money intact as long as he can, and only lays it out when he can no longer avoid doing so, a much larger amount of coin will be required to transact the same amount of business. Yet there may be as much or even more coin in circulation in the latter case than in the former. The real distinction is, that the rate of cir- culation has become slower; but this is not the cause but the consequence, or rather perhaps the necessary concomitant, of dullness in trade.* Moreover, the quantity of coin held by banks is no certain test of the amount in circulation. There are times when holders of coin are more ready to deposit it with banks than at others. Unwillingness to deposit money in banks, for instance, may be the result of a * The theory that prices must rise and fall according as there is much or little money in circulation is very similar to the theory that wages must rise or fall according as capital is plentiful or scanty. The former theory, how- ever, is the more objectionable of the two, because there are many other things, such as approved bills of exchange, will answer the same purposes as money. Commercial Crises. 139 panic owing to which the stability of the bank is doubted. Moreover, the Charter of the Bank of Eng- land has been so frequently suspended in severe panics, that the public is probably by this time aware that any real failure of the circulating medium will in this way be averted, so that its shortness need not create any great alarm. No country will ever be ruined for want of gold, when it is aJDundantly supplied with other va- luable commodities. In ordinary times the notes issued by the several Irish banks are accepted as readily as gold, though these banks are not subject to any such restriction as the Bank of England, and their notes are not a legal tender. And in the same way approved bills of exchange are often received as money. If it is otherwise in commercial crises the reason is, not that customers are apprehensive of not getting gold for their notes and bills, but that they are apprehensive of not getting the full value of them in any shape. It is but a small part of our dealings, either at home or with foreigners, that is settled by payments in gold. Gold being easily portable, and there being a ready demand for it in almost every country, its advantages as a me- dium of exchange with foreign countries are obvious — especially as it admits of a minute subdivision of values. But it is idle to suppose that trade could not be carried on without it, or that such a trade might not, if other circumstances were favourable, prove a brisk and remu- nerative one. The explanation offered by over-production has been ridiculed by some Political Economists ; yet that 140 Commercial Crises, in a certain sense there may be over-production seems pretty obvious. A man placed alone on a newly-dis- covered island might, under favourable circumstances, produce more of everything which the island was capa- ble of producing than he could consume ; and what is true of a single man is evidently applicable also to a number of men. Such a community, if cut off from the rest of the world, might find it be«t to limit the amount of work done, and to give up more time to recreation and mental improvement. If the inhabitants of this island were placed in communication with the rest of the world, they would probably discover that they could enlarge their production with advantage, exchanging the additional quantity for the productions of other coun- tries to the growth of which their own island was unsuit- able. But does it follow that, supposing every person capable of labour to be kept constantly at work, the entire surplus produce of the island could still be ex- changed with advantage to the islanders for the products of other countries ? This I do not see : and until it is shown to be the case, I deny that over-production is an impossibility. But there is a narrower sense of the term in which I think over-production is not only possible, but not unfrequently occurs. We may produce more than can be produced with profit or advantage. No- thing can be produced with advantage which does not realize enough, after paying for the labour, to replace the capital with a reasonable profit (together with the rent, if there is any rent to be paid). Now suppose that when there is no real increase in the value of a given Commercial Crises, 141 quantity of our home productions, there is an increased demand for labour with a view of increasing their amount, it is clear that there may be a general over- production of all home-grown commodities. The in- creased demand for labour will raise wages, and probably lead to the employment of more inefficient labourers; while in some cases the increased produc- tion will not be proportional to the increased amount of labour. Under these circumstances, it is evident that even if all our home-productions continued to exchange for each other in the same proportions as before, and if these exchanges took place with equal rapidity (which is not likely), still the labourers' wages estimated in kind would be larger than before, and a smaller propor- tion of the total produce would be left for the employer. Nor would this be all. Employers could not extend the scope of their operations generally without increased capital, which they would require to borrow, and the in- creased demand for loans would doubtless raise the rate of interest.* Even independently of any foreign trade, therefore, a commercial crisis resulting from over-produc- tion is no impossibility. If there was a general belief that the price (or rather the value) of everything produced at home was likely to rise,t there might be such a demand * In order to increase the total amount of capital, the rate of interest must be such as to induce foreign capitalists to lend, or to induce men to lend a portion of the wealth which would not otherwise be employed as capital. Loans by one capitalist (at home) to another cannot increase the total amount of capital employed. t It may be said that such a behef is economically absurd ; but merchants have ere now fallen into economical absurdities on more than one memorable 142 Commercial Crises, for labour on the one hand, and for loans on the other, that the employer would find himself a loser instead of a gainer when he had paid his labourers, and returned the loan with interest. He might find himself unable to meet the loan when called in, and a few failures would produce a general feeling of insecurity on the part of the lenders, which in a country where loans are largely resorted to might produce a crisis. But the case is much clearer when we turn to our export trade. Though all our home products should continue to ex- change for each other in the same proportions as before, the increased supply of them thrown on the foreign market would reduce their value in foreign exchanges. We could no longer obtain the same amount of French wheat in exchange for a given quantity of iron, if we attempted to force a larger quantity of iron on the French market. There would thus be a reduction in the value of any given quantity of our home products : for the value of anything must be regarded as reduced if its exchange- value is reduced in relation to some com- modities, and is not raised in respect of the remainder. A shilling would be of less value to me than formerly if it still purchased the same quantity of meat, but only pur- chased half the quantity of bread.* The significance of occasion. And perhaps on closer analysis the absurdity of this belief will dis- appear. * There is no standard of absolute values. Anything is increased in value if it will exchange for more of some useful commodities, and will not exchange for less of any. It is diminished in value if it will exchange for less of some useful commodities, and will not exchange for more of any. But in general when values alter, the same thing will be found to exchange for more of some commodities, for the same quantity of others, and for less of the remainder. Commercial Crises. 143 over-production thus becomes clearer. The home-pro- ducer who sends his goods to the foreign market has to wait longer for a return than he expected, and then he re- ceives it on a reduced scale. After paying his labourers, he has no longer enough left to repay with interest the loans which he has effected : and consequently, if he has been trading on credit, he fails. If wages estimated in kind had been cheaper, and if interest had been lower, there might indeed have been no over-production : but more has been produced than can be produced with ad- vantage, or even without loss, under existing circum- stances. And though it is possible for over-production in this sense to be universal, it is not necessary that it should be so in order that a commercial crisis should result. It is sufficient if the over-production is so gene- ral as to involve a greater demand for labour and for loans than the circumstances will justify. It is by no means necessary, as some Political Economists contend, that the wrong thing should have been produced. The labour and the borrowed money may have been applied in the very best way in which that amount of labour and that amount of money could have been applied. The real difficulty was, that it was impossible to obtain so In such cases it may have increased in value to some persons, and have dimi- nished in value to others. The value of wheat is increased to a man, if, reduc- ing his whole annual consumption to wheat at the present rates of exchange, he would require less wheat to meet his expenditure ^han before ; while its value is reduced to the man who would require more wheat for the same pur- pose. But both of these things might occur simultaneously to different men. And moreover, a man often varies the particular items of his expenditure when values rise or fall. When the value of meat rises, for instance, he consumes less meat ; and if wine falls at the same time, he consumes more wine. 144 Commercial Crises. much labour and so much money on terms which left any profit for the borrower and employer. But of course when he borrowed the money and employed the labour, he expected to realize a profit. He did so doubtless be- cause he expected a rise in the price of the commodity which he set about producing ; in other words, he spe- culated on a rise which did not take place. Over-pro- duction is thus the result of mistaken speculation. The speculator, indeed, is very frequently not the producer, but a merchant who purchases from the pro- ducer. Thus, suppose a general impression arises among merchants that manufactured cotton is likely to rise. There is immediately a rush to buy manufac- tured cotton in order to take advantage of the rise when it comes, and this rush increases the price at once. The speculative purchaser buys on credit from the cot- ton manufacturer, or else borrows the requisite funds — probably from a bank. The rise in the price of manu- factured cotton induces the manufacturer to purchase more of the raw material, and to employ more hands if he can find a place for them, and in short to strain every nerve to increase his production of manufactured cotton. It may even induce persons possessed of the requisite capital to build new factories. The quantity of cotton in the market at first is below the average ; for the specu- lative purchaser tries to hold over as long as he can in order to take advantage of the greater rise in price which he anticipates. But suppose this anticipation proves groundless, what is the result I Sooner or later the cotton thus held over must be thrown upon Comjnerciai Crises, 145 the market ; and when it is, the greatly increased quan- tity of it must lead to a heavy fall in the price. This fall is augmented by another circumstance. The specu- lator's credit has expired. He must realise almost at once in order to meet the demands upon him, or failure is the inevitable consequence ; so that, notwithstanding the great quantity of cotton in the market, he must sell. Hence the price falls much farther below what I may call its natural level than it had been forced above it by speculation ; and a considerable proportion of the cotton speculators are ruined in consequence, while the manu- facturers also may experience severe losses. Political Economists may say that this was not over-production, but production of the wrong thing. But can they show that there was any right thing or any number of right things — anything or any number of things which might have been speculated in to the same extent with greater advantage to the operators ? To produce what is , called a crisis, however, speculation in any one commodity is rarely sufficient. It is rather simultaneous speculation in a number of important commodities that leads to the result in question. I have hitherto spoken of home products only ; but speculative purchases of foreign commodities are usually as efficacious in producing a crisis, if not more so. Sup- pose, for instance, that for some reason — or without any reason — an increase in the price of tea is expected. A number of speculators immediately compete with each other in purchasing as much tea as possible; for which, as a consequence of the increased demand, they have to pay L 146 Commercial Crises. a higher price than was previously current. The price of tea increases, and the consumption consequently de- clines, while the speculators at first keep back as much of their tea from the market as they can, in order to obtain the utmost advantage from the expected rise. Ulti- mately the tea has to be forced on the market in order to meet their liabilities, and then comes a crash. The holders of tea are even more powerless than the holders of manufactured cotton, because resource of exportation is much less available. Speculations of this kind often occur simultaneously in a large number of foreign pro- ducts, in which case there will probably be a general collapse followed by a crisis ;* and of course the crisis will be more intense if a similar course of speculation in home products has been going on at the same time. The contest in such cases is often between the specu- lative merchants on the one side and the men of fixed incomes, or at least whose incomes are but slightly affected by commercial prosperity, on the other. To men of this latter class a general rise of prices is ruinous, and they naturally struggle against it as long as they can. When prices go up they diminish their consumption. They use up their stocks on hand instead of keeping a constant supply by them. They only pur- chase when they canot help it, and then buy as little as they can. This occurs, not only because in many cases * Extensive speculative purchases of foreign commodities naturally lead to the exportation of gold, the abnormal increase of imports not being sufficiently met by the ordinary modes of exportation. A drain of gold, as it is called, is thus often a symptom of an approaching crisis ; but it does not appear to me to be the cause of it. Commercial Crises. 147 they cannot afford to increase their expenditure, but also because there is generally among them a well-grounded conviction that prices must fall. In the contest the ad- vantage is entirely on their side. Loans ready to be called in are not hanging over their heads ; and if they were they would afford a reason for not purchasing rather than for purchasing. They are in no such diffi- culty as the speculator who finds that in order to realise a profit he must not only obtain a higher price than usual, but dispose of more than the usual quantity of goods at that price. And not only is an anticipated rise of prices ruinous to the merchant when his expectation is disappointed, but even when a rise does take place, it may fall so far short of his anticipations as to leave him a loser instead of a gainer.* An excess of imported goods in the market can hardly be described as over-production. A more correct term would be over- supply; and as this latter term is applicable to home products also, it will be better to speak of over-supply than of over-production. There is an over-supply when the supply exceeds what Poli- tical Economists call * the effectual demand ' ; but as this phrase is misleading, and we might with equal propriety or impropriety speak of 'the effectual supply ', I venture to offer a few remarks on the subject of de- * Sometimes the men of fixed incomes participate in the general expecta- tion of increased prices, and buy as much as they can before what they regard as the highest point is reached. But if their purchases fall considerably short of the stock that has been laid in on speculation, this may produce the worst crisis of all. For just when the goods which have been held over are forced on the market the demand for them has ceased. Every one is already supplied. L 2 148 Co77i?Jiercial Crises, mand and supply. Demand, in one sense of the term, is willingness to purchase by a person who has the means of purchasing, or who can obtain credit from the seller ; but the word is more usually employed to mean the quan- tity of any kind of goods which persons possessed of the requisite money or credit are willing to purchase. Supply, on the other hand, is the quantity of goods offered for sale. But a little consideration shows us that neither of these quantities can be fixed, even in relation to a particular time and place and a parti- cular class of goods, without introducing a third ele- ment, viz. the price. Persons having sufficient money or credit may be willing to buy a certain quantity of first class beef at 85^. per cwt. if they cannot get it cheaper, but they (or others) will be willing to buy a larger quantity at 80^., and a still larger at 75^., and so on. The demand for first class beef, therefore, depends on the price, not merely in the sense that the quantity purchased will diminish when the price rises and will increase when it falls, but that there is actually in any given market a greater demand— a willingness to pur- chase a larger quantity — at a lower price than at a higher one. And a converse remark holds good of the supply. In one sense all the cattle in the market are offered for sale ; but there are a certain number of vendors who are willing to sell first class beef at 75^. if they cannot get more, while others will not sell under 80^., and others again will not sell under 85^. There is thus a larger supply at 855^. than at 805., and a larger supply at 80^. than at 75^. The market price is Commercial Crises, 149 that at which the demand and supply are equal.* If the demand at this rate exceeded the supply, some of the buyers would be induced to advance a little in order to obtain what they wanted, and if the supply at this rate exceeded the demand, some of the sellers would lower the price a little in order to effect a sale. And this in fact often occurs at a fair or market where the price rises or falls in the course of the day. What, then, is meant by an over-supply ? It has two meanings : first, there may be such a supply that some of the vendors cannot sell unless willing to submit to a sudden and enormous reduction. To revert to the case of a cattle- * Even in works like the late Mr. Fawcett's Manual of Political Economy^ in which a view approximating to the above is advocated, it is by no means clearly expressed. Mr. Fawcett speaks as if the supply was something fixed, the de- mand being the only variable element, and the price being adjusted when the demand becomes equal to the supply. Thus he puts the case of a picture of Turner's for which two persons are willing to give 1900 guineas, one of whom will advance to 2000 guineas, but not beyond, while the other wiU not advance beyond 1900. Here the supply being one, the demand also becomes one at 1900 guineas, and continues equal to the supply until 2000 guineas is reached, after which there is no demand ; hence, according to Mr, Fawcett, the price is between 1900 and 2000 guineas, the precise sum depending on * the higgling of the market '. But this is evidently not true if the owner of the picture will not sell it for less than 2500 guineas. In that case there is no price ; for there is no point at which supply and demand are equal. There is no demand at any price above 2000 guineas ; there is no supply at any price below 2500 ; and in the proper sense of the term there is no price, viz. there is no sum of money combining the two properties that it can be obtained for the picture, and that the picture can be obtained for it. There are other cases in which it is more obvious that the supply is not fixed. Take the Stock Exchange, for example. What is the supply of Three per cent. Government Stock on the Stock Exchange on any given day ? No one can say. Intend- ing purchasers have as often to seek out intending sellers as the contrary, and a sudden rise in the price will largely increase the supply before the market closes. Nothing is more common than to give directions to the broker to sell out when any given Stock reaches a certain price. The Stocks with re- spect to which this direction has been given form no portion of the supply 150 Commercial Crises, market, it is probable that there never was a market in which all the cattle could not have been sold if put up by auction and knocked dawn without reserve to the highest bidder; but in a very dull market it might be necessary, in order to effect a clearance, to sell some of the animals for half or one-third of their estimated value. There might be no one who was anxious to invest in that class of stock, and the ultimate purchaser might be a person who knew that it would be inconvenient to pay for them and inconvenient to keep them, but thought them so very cheap that it was worth his until the price in question has been reached, but become part of the supply as soon as that figure is attained. Political Economists, moreover, have seldom taken much note of the demand except in the sense of the demand for con- sumption. But there is another kind of demand which in commercial countries is more immediately potent. This I may term the speculative demand. The producer hardly ever sells to the consumer either directly or by means of an agent. He sells to a jobber, a merchant, or a shopkeeper, who in turn sells to the consumers ; and there are often three or four of these intermediaries in- stead of one. This speculative demand is frequently considerably in excess of the consumptive demand. When a grocer buys a ton of sugar from a whole- sale dealer he has no demand for that amount — perhaps he has not received orders for a stone. But he expects that in the ordinary com-se of business he will dispose of his ton of sugar in perhaps three or six months at a remune- rative price to consumers ; and if the consumers' demand equals his supply within that period he is satisfied. When goods are forced on the market at a slack time, the demand is almost exclusively of this speculative character. The man who buys does not intend to consume the goods, but thinks that by holding them over for a time they must rise. jSpeculative purchases of this kind do not remove the over-supply. They merely transfer it to new hands. The same quantity of goods is still on sale, but the holder expects to get a little more than he paid, and holds over until there is a slight rise in prices. If his expectation proves correct the price is a remunerative one to him, but it would probably still be unremimerative to the original producer. Demand, I apprehend, is the quantity of goods which will he bought at a given price, provided that it cannot be bought cheaper. Supply is the quantity that will be sold at a given price, provided that a higher one cannot be procured. Supply, it is sometimes stated, is regulated by the cost of production, or rather the cost of production together \vith the current rate of profit thereon. Commercial Crises. 151 while to make a temporary sacrifice of his convenience with a view to an enormous future profit. Some- thing like this often occurs in a very dull market. It is not so much that sales are very low as that they are very slow, and that an attempt to force a sale of any large quantity of the goods would lead to an enormous reduction in prices. Taking the supply as the whole amount of the goods offered for sale, the price at which the demand would become equal to that supply would be an exceedingly low one — far lower than the vendors, by holding oh and selling in small quantities This remark, however, requires large qualification. Men of course will not produce that which they do not expect to pay the cost of production together \vdth a reasonable profit, and though their expectations are sometimes dis- appointed, they are probably about fulfilled in the long run. But the cost of production is itself different under different circumstances. If I have a flax- mill already built, the cost of production of linen for the future is much less than before I built it ; and the fact that the mill is no longer worth anything like what I expended on it, will not prevent me from making linen as long as it is more profitable for me to do so than to close the mill altogether, or to convert it into some other kind of buHding. Nor is it certain that the mill would be suffered to go to ruin in a short time. The profit might be sufficient to induce me to keep the mill in repair, though not sufficient to justify the building of a new mill. With a great many things, too, the cost of production of a given quantity varies with the total amount produced. Sometimes we can produce a double quantity at less than double the cost, while in other cases more than double the cost is required. But the cost of production can- not regulate the price unless it is always proportional to the quantity pro- duced. In that case, no doubt, the cost of production would, in the long run, regulate the price, while the demand would regiilate the quantity produced. But in all ordinary cases there are two elements to be considered — the de- mand at a given price, and the cost of production of the quantity for which there is a demand at that price. Nay, there is a third element, namely, profits. The commodity will not continue to be produced unless it yields a reasonable profit over and above the cost of production. But the rate of profit varies from time to time, and a smaller profit will be accepted when the thing can be sold as fast as it is produced, than when it must be kept for an uncertain and perhaps considerable time on hands before finding a purchaser 152 Co7nmercial Crises, at a time, might reasonably expect to realise. This is the most usual kind of over-supply. But I think it is no misnomer to apply that term also to all cases in which the market price is too low to afford to the vendor a profit on the sale of his goods. For, whenever this is the case, the supply is in excess of the demand at all prices which would yield a profit on the sale. The supply, as we have seen, is in excess of the demand at all prices above the market rate ; and when that rate is too low to yield a profit, the supply exceeds the demand at all remunerative rates. A supply which is too large to be disposed of with advantage may fairly be re- garded as an over-supply. An over-supply may be general without being univer- sal ; but as an over-supply of many commodities often follows a bad harvest, it would seem that it may co-exist with an under-supply of other important commodities. The possibility of this co-existence I do not deny; I only deny its necessity. The result of a bad harvest would indeed be better termed an under-demand than an over- supply. The large portion of the population which de- pends for its support wholly or partly on agricultural pursuits must retrench its expenditure when there is a bad harvest (under which head I include an unprofitable year for the graziers) ; and besides retrenching their expenditure, the farmers — indeed the whole population — will probably have to lay out a larger sum in the pur- chase of agricultural produce. The demand for other commodities will therefore fall off; and if merchants have laid in their usual stocks of these (apart from any Co?nmercial Crises. 153 operation which could be properly called speculative) there will be an over-supply. A bad harvest, however, or even two or three successive bad harvests, seldom produces what is known as a commercial crisis. Nor is it true that in such years there is always an under- supply of agricultural produce. There may even be an over- supply. The bad harvest may have been antici- pated, and extensive speculative purchases of foreign corn and other produce made in consequence ; in which case, if the harvest turns out to be not so bad as was ex- pected, or if the speculation has been carried too far, the natural under-supply may be converted into an over- supply. Violent crises more usually follow seasons of great prosperity, or at least of great supposed prosperity ; and they appear to be largely produced by our credit system and the extensive prevalence of banking. The influence of this last cause has been pointed out by more than one writer. Banks can only derive a profit from the moneys deposited with them by their customers by lending the sums thus lodged. They must, of course, keep a balance in cash to meet contingencies ; but, so long as this balance is not intrenched upon, the more they can lend the better. In prosperous times lodgments increase rapidly, and the sums drawn out are not very large. Banks have, therefore, large sums on hands which they seek to lend ; and, in order to place as much of it as possible out at interest, they accept borrowers of an inferior class to those with whom they had hitherto dealt. Even these borrowers are considered safe enough 154 Commercial Crises. in good times ; and as bank loans are always of short duration, the manager expects, even if the borrower ultimately fails, to get back the greater part if not the whole of the debt before the catastrophe. He looks about him, too, for other means of securing the bank. He gets a mortgage on the debtor's property, or an equitable deposit of the title-deeds. He gets bills of exchange bearing other names than that of the debtor; or he requires the^debtor to get some friend to guarantee the amount of his overdraft. The borrower is often a man of small capital and adventurous spirit ; or is, perhaps, already in insolvent circumstances, and sees no chance of keeping his head above water save that afforded by successful speculation. Finding, therefore, that he has more money at his disposal than he ever had before, he speculates largely ; and the man who speculates largely, and meets his engagements for some time, is certain to obtain credit to a considerable extent. At last he speculates unsuccessfully and fails ; or, even without unsuccessful speculation on his part, the banks and persons who have sold on credit call in their money at a dull time, when he cannot meet his engagements, and failure is the consequence. This failure involves loss to others — to those who have signed bills for him, who have guaranteed his account, who have lent him money, or who have sold him goods on credit — some of whom were trading in the very same way themselves. One or more of these fails also, involving others in loss and consequent failure '; and w^hen this process has gone on for some time a general panic takes place. Commercial Crises, 155 All creditors call in their money from their trade debtors. Few of the latter can meet their obligations at once, without raising a part at least of the required sum in fresh loans; and such loans it is now almost impossible to procure. Banks not only hesitate to lend, but do not possess the means of lending, for many of their lodgments have been withdrawn; and as, in the general panic, a run on the bank may take place at any time, it is necessary to keep a larger proportional sum on hands, in order to meet the claims of the depositors who have not as yet called for their money. In fact, during such crises, perfectly solvent banks have some- times been compelled, not only to give up lending but to stop payment, because they could not call in their loans fast enough to meet the demands of the customers who wished to withdraw their lodgments. The means by which such crises have been alleviated will be noticed hereafter. I will only say here that the inability to lend or to pay does not arise solely, or even chiefly, from the scantiness of the circulating medium ; nor is the mere augmentation of that medium sufficient to remove it. If commodities were in good demand, and traders generally had enough of them to meet their obligations, creditors would accept payment, at least temporarily, in commo- dities ; while, on the other hand, it would be no allevia- tion of the calamity if banks had millions of gold coin in their reserves, provided that in the general panic they were afraid to lend it. These reserves would save the banks from stopping payment, and perhaps a few of the 156 Commercial Crises. depositors would lend their money after withdrawing it ; but that would be all. But commercial crises can, I believe, be guarded against to a considerable extent by legislation ; not by keeping a sufficient amount of coin in the country, but by discouraging the system of extensive speculative purchases on credit. Until the year 1883, at all events, our law of bankruptcy made it too easy for such spe- culators to get rid of their obligations. They had in general only to give up their present properties — out of which, on one pretext or other, they usually managed to save something — in order to get clear of their debts for the rest of their lives ; and though they should after- wards realise large fortunes, or succeed to large proper- ties (provided that they had no interest in them at the date of the bankruptcy), they were not bound to pay their creditors a shilling. In hardly any instance were they subject to any penalty, except that of giving up a property which was usually not nearly sufficient to pay their debts, and almost all of which would have been taken from them under executions if the Court of Bank- ruptcy had not intervened. How far this state of things has been remedied by the English Bankruptcy Act of 1883 it is too soon to judge; but I think even that Act will be found to allow an insolvent debtor to carry on business too long, though well knowing that his affairs were getting worse, and that the probable dividend which his creditors would receive was getting smaller every day. It should, in my opinion, be the duty of a Commercial Crises. 157 debtor who is unable to pay his debts in full, and who has no reasonable prospect of bettering his condition, to have recourse to the Court of Bankruptcy at once ;* and this duty should be enforced by legal penalties. The speculator who, when already insolvent, plays a reckless game of double-or-quits, living expensively during the time at the cost of his creditors, should be treated as a criminal. But punishing the speculator will hardly suffice to check reckless speculation so long as funds are availa- ble for the purpose. When a man of little or no means sees a chance of realising a fortune, and a probability of being able to abscond with something in hand if his operations should prove unsuccessful, he will hardly be deterred by the fear of punishment. The only effectual course is to shorten the supplies ; and this, I believe, can to a great extent be effected by the simple process of putting banks and other money-lenders on a real equality with the remaining creditors when the estate comes to be administered in bankruptcy. The present state of the law (or practice) of bankruptcy is specially favourable to banks, who almost always succeed in getting a larger proportion of their debt than any other creditor. Thus, supposing that a bank has advanced ;£ 10,000 to the firm of Brown and Thompson, who be- come bankrupts, we generally meet some such state of * It is unfair to put a creditor or several creditors to the trouble and ex- pense of obtaining a judgment only in time to find that no execution can be levied under it. If a debtor has no other defence than inability to pay, he should be bound to plead insolvency, and should thereupon be adjudicated bankrupt. 158 Commercial Crises, affairs as the following : — The bank holds a mortgage or lien on the joint estate worth ^2000 — one on the se- parate estate of Brown worth ^^looo, and one on the separate estate of Thompson worth ;^ 1000 more — while it holds bills of exchange, bearing the names of the firm and of. both the partners separately, for the whole ;£ 1 0,000. In bankruptcy the three estates of the firm, of Brown, and of Thompson are treated separately, and a secured creditor is allowed to value his security and to prove for the balance of his debt after deducting this value, as an unsecured debt entitled to a dividend out of the estate. In the case which I have been consider- ing, the unsecured debt is evidently ^6000, for the bank is secured between the three estates to the amount of ;^40oo. But one of the bankruptcy rules on the subject is, that in proving against any estate a creditor need only deduct and value the security which he holds on that estate. The bank can thus prove against the estate of the firm for ^8000 instead of ;^ 6000, and receive divi- dends on the former sum. Nor is this all. Since each of the partners has signed the bills in his own name as well as in the name of the firm, the bank is entitled to prove also against the separate estate of each partner ; and in each case it can prove for ;£ 9000, and obtain di- vidends on that sum. Suppose, now, that the estate of the firm pays 55-. in the;^i, and that each of the separate estates pays 2s. td., the bank will receive in all ;^4ooo from its securities, ;^20oo from the joint estate, and ^1125 from each of the separate estates, or;£825o alto- gether ; so that, while the ordinary creditors of the firm Commercial Crises. 159 receive no more than 25 per cent, of their debts, the bank receives 82 J per cent. Other rules, however, operate still more favourably for the bank. Thus Jones owes Brown £ 1000, for which he gives him a bill of exchange, or promissory note. Brown discounts the bill at a bank, and becomes bank- rupt. This bill of exchange is not regarded by the Court of Bankruptcy as a security on Brown's estate ; and the bank can prove for the entire amount and draw a divi- dend on it, provided that it has received nothing from Jones before proving its debt against Brown. And though Jones should afterwards pay half or three- fourths of the amount, the debt proved against Brown's estate will not be reduced, but a dividend will be paid on the full ^1000, when there is only £^00 or £2^0 due to the bank. The only qualification of this rule is, that the bank is not to receive more than 205-. in the £ i between the estates of Brown and Jones ; but this restriction is very difficult to enforce in practice, and the English trustee system is not at all suited for its enforcement.* Of course, if Brown carried a composition with his credi- tors, the bank would receive the full amount of the compo- sition, without any deduction for what it might thereafter * In Ireland the bill or note must be produced to the official assignee be- fore payment of the dividend, and the amount of the dividend is then stamped on it. But the bank is not bound to mark on the bill payments on account made by other parties, nor to make any affidavit of such payments after the debt has once been admitted. For this and other reasons, the twenty-shil- lings-in-the-pound principle, which sounds so well in theory, can hardly be enforced even under the Irish system, which seems to me to be far superior to the English in everything that relates to the ascertainment of debts and the proper distribution of assets. i6o Cormnercial Crises. receive, or had received since the debt was proved, from Jones. In effect it thus receives its full composition, and retains an assignment of Jones's debt to Brown in addition. Another plan sometimes adopted is this : — The Bank obtains a judgment against Brown on foot of the bill before his bankruptcy, and then proves on the judgment making no mention of the bill, thus sup- pressing the fact that Jones is liable to pay anything in respect of the same debt.* Of course, if Jones gives the bank any security for the debt, the value of this security is not deducted when the bank is establishing a debt against the estate of Brown.f It may, in fact, obtain a dividend on ;£iooo from Brown's estate when there is only £ioo due to it, and that £ioo is more than covered by security — provided only that the security is not on Brown's property, but on Jones's.^ The advan- * In bringing an action in the High Court of Justice, or I believe in any other Court, the holder of a bill is not bound to sue on it. He may sue for goods sold, for money due on a settled account, for cash lent, &c., according to the consideration for the bill. In this way the existence of the biU need not be referred to in the legal proceedings at all, although there is, in fact, one or more other persons liable on it. In Ireland, moreover, I am informed that, even when the action is on a bill or promissory note, it is not the practice to require production of the bill or note before marking judgment in case the action is undefended. A man may thus obtain judgment on foot of a bill which is actually held by some one else at the time. I do not know whether the English practice on this subject agrees with the Irish. t Another course often attempted in Ireland was as follows : — The bank sold a mortgaged estate in the Court of Bankruptcy, on which occasion an order was made finding the sum due. It then came in to prove against the bankrupt's general estate for the deficiency, relying simply on the order, and suppressing all notice of the fact that the debt thus found due was really made up of a number of bills of exchange, some of which were very probably paid off by other parties before the declaration of the dividend. X So in proving against the estate of a surety or guarantor, the banlc can prove for the whole amount due at the time, without making any allowance Commercial Crises, i6i tage which it thus obtains over ordinary creditors is enormous. An attempt is sometimes made to obtain a greater advantage over ordinary creditors by the following trick. The debtor — perhaps at the time in insolvent circum- stances — insures his life and assigns the policy of assur- ance to the bank, with a covenant to pay the premiums on it. He then becomes a bankrupt ; and the bank, be- sides proving for the whole amount of their debt (or rather the whole amount which is unsecured), claims a further sum — perhaps a very large one — as the value of its interest under the covenant in question. Thus, though the policy may be of some value, the assignment of it to the bank does not diminish but largely increases the amount for which the latter proves against the bank- rupt's estate ; for the * value of the covenant ' may be ;g looo when the value of the policy is only ^50. In fact, the devices which an astute bank manager or bank soli- citor resorts to in order to obtain more out of the estate than anyone else are endless.* Their proofs of debt are for what it is likely to receive from the principal debtor. Even if the latter has deposited with the bank shares which can be sold any day on the Stock Exchange, the bank can defer the sale until it has proved its debt against the surety, which it can do without making any deduction in respect of these shares. * Another example may also be mentioned. When a debtor carries a composition with his creditors he must pay those who do not send in claims as well as those who do, at the risk of being sued by the latter for the entire amount of the debt ; and if a partly-secured creditor sends in no claim the debtor must estimate for himself the value of the security, and tender the com- position on the unsecured part of the debt. Knowing the consequences of tendering an insufficient composition, he is more likely to tender too much than too little ; but even when the creditor has received and pocketed the amount he is not held to have accepted the debtor's valuation of the security. M 1 62 Commercial Crises. among those which it is peculiarly unsafe to entrust to the scrutiny of a trustee who has no special skill in this department, and who may have a motive for increasing rather than for cutting down the claim of the bank, at which perhaps he keeps his own account.* A somewhat different plan is taken by another class of money-lenders, who advance money to traders in difficulties. They lend at enormous rates of interest (usually 60 to 120 per cent.) payable at short intervals; and they generally find an excuse for deducting some- thing from the cash which is described as being lent at this rate. If such money-lenders can g«t two or three quarters' interest paid, their actual losses will be con- siderably reduced ; while, even if the interest is not paid, they will probably be able to prove and obtain dividends in bankruptcy on two or three times the original loan. Banks are generally partly- secured creditors. They abstain from making any claim, leaving the debtor to find out the value of the security and tender the cor- rect amount of the composition as best he can. The debt we will suppose is j^2000, and the composition five shillings in the pound. The debtor estimates the security at ;^500, and pays composition on ,^1500. The bank quietly puts this sum into its coffers, sells the security for ;^iC)00, and keeps that also ; for it is not bound by the debtor's valuation, and having received but;^375 out of the debt o{ £^2<xxi, it is held that it has still a charge of ^^1625 on the mort- gaged property, though the debtor's personal Hability may be at an end. If the case was reversed, the valuation being ;^iooo and the proceeds of the sale ^^500, the bank could probably sue for the entire debt less the £2zp compo- sition and ;^500 proceeds of the sale ; but at all events the debtor would have to pay composition on the difference before obtaining his certificate. * Even as regards a Court having jurisdiction in matters of the kind, when- ever its judges bind themselves down by hard-and-fast rules they will find that banks and money-lenders will find means of turning these rules to their own advantage. What is really required is that the principle of equality should be more distinctly asserted by the statutes, and that the judges in interpreting the statutes should make eveiy other rule subservient to this one. Commercial Crises. 163 As between lender and borrower I have no wish to re- enact the usury laws; but surely the case is altered when different creditors of the same debtor come into competition. A sells (Z £\oq worth of goods on credit, and B lends Q, £\oo on the same day. A year after- wards C becomes bankrupt. Why should B get a divi- dend on ;£200, while A only gets a dividend on ^ 100 ? The law undoubtedly ought not to take from any creditor a security which he has fairly and honestly obtained ; but I think it would not be unreasonable to require him either to rest satisfied with his security, claiming no dividend out of the bankrupt's estate, or else to give up his security and take his dividend on the whole debt equally with the other creditors. And I think the law ought to prevent any creditor from proving both against the joint and the separate estates of partners in respect of what is substantially the same debt : as, for example, a bill of exchange or promissory note bearing the name of the firm and also the names of the indivi- dual partners, or a mortgage by the partners containing a joint and several covenant to pay. Where the debtor is not the person primarily liable on a bill of exchange or promissory note, the holder of the bill should be treated as a partly-secured creditor; and every creditor who receives a sum of money in respect of the debt from any other source than the debtor's estate should have his debt forthwith reduced, and receive dividends thence- forward only on the amount which still remained due. Everything should be done to equalize the position of the various creditors, and to give none of them an M 2 1 64 Commercial Crises. advantage over the others ; and I think every security on a trader's property should be declared invalid unless registered like a bill of sale * If banks and money- lenders were really placed on a level with the other creditors in bankruptcies and compositions, a great check would be placed on reckless speculations. The speculator could not get money to borrow unless he was a man of considerable means; whereas it is generally the man who has least of his own to risk — who perhaps even now is unable to meet his liabilities — who specu- lates most readily and most rashly. It is of real impor- tance to the community that this kind of speculation should be confined within narrow limits ; and if that object can be effected by the simple and equitable process of making our bankruptcy law what it professes to be — a law for the equal distribution of the bankrupt's assets among his creditors, giving to none of them a preference over others — it is surely high time that this remedy was adopted. Lastly, I may notice the mode in which commercial crises have often been checked, if not put an end to — an increased issue of notes by the Bank of England. The fact that this remedy has proved so effectual has led • And if a payment was made shortly before bankruptcy, leaving something still due, I think the creditor might fairly be required either to retain the pay- ment and make no further claim on the estate, or else to return it and prove for the amount due to him when it was made. Such an enactment would, at all events, be desirable when the payment was obtained by threats or pressure at a time when the debtor was in difficulties. Indeed it would hardly be un- just to require such payments to be refunded without giving the creditor any option in the matter. Pressure, in fact, is usually resorted to because the cre- ditor knows that the debtor is unable to meet his liabilities in full. Commercial Crises, 165 some persons to think that the crisis was caused by the scantiness of the circulating medium, since it was re- moved by merely increasing that medium. This, I apprehend, is a mistake ; and the real alleviation arises from a Government loan or Government credit, the dis- tribution of which is entrusted to the Bank authorities. What conceals this fact is the circumstance that the Government is permanently indebted to the Bank in a sum exceeding the issue ; and that in addition to notes issued in exchange for gold, the Bank is authorized to issue notes representing the portion of the National Debt of which it is the owner. If notes could only be issued in exchange for gold under the Bank Charter Act, the real nature of the transaction would be evident. Per- mitting the Bank on a special occasion to issue notes in excess of the gold held by it, accompanied by an offer to take these notes in payment of taxes, would then evi- dently be an offer on the part of the Government to give the Bank credit to the extent of the issue thus authorized. If these notes were made a legal tender, the State would, in addition to this, command all its subjects to give credit to the Bank also ; but the taxes are so large, and so many persons pay them, that anyone who received the notes could ere long find means to shift the credit from his own shoulders to that of the Government, if he desired to do so. A further step would be necessary, namely, to absolve the Bank from the condition of pay- ing gold for these notes when presented for payment — a course which, if the issue was small compared with the amount raised annually in taxation, would hardly lead 1 66 Commercial Crises. to any difference between the value of paper money and gold money. This, again, would clearly be giving credit to the Bank ; for, of course, it would not be permanently exempted from the necessity of giving gold for its notes. The Government would merely enact that the Bank should not be required to meet its obligations in cash for a limited time ; in other words, that the holders of the notes should for that time give the Bank credit, and refrain from enforcing pay- ment of the debt due from the Bank to the holder. And if the Bank lent these notes recklessly and failed, the Government would have to bear the loss. Having made these notes a legal tender, and thus compelled its subjects to take them, it could not refuse to receive them in payment of taxes after the Bank had failed. There is thus a Government loan or Government credit. The Bank has to select the persons among whom the loan is to be distributed, taking the risk of non-payment, but as a set-off retaining all the interest which the bor- rowers pay. The Government loan is, of course, made for the benefit of the community, not of the Bank, and the Government therefore ought to see that it is applied in the manner most beneficial to the community; and if the Directors of the Bank of England are not willing to apply it in this manner, the Government should select a different channel for conveying its loan to those who are in need of it. From the preceding remarks it will be seen that, whatever the defects of the Bank Charter Act may be, the necessity of suspending its provisions in case of a Commercial Crises, 167 commercial crisis is not, in my opinion, one of them. The Habeas Corpus Act is one of the most useful and important measures in the Statute Book, yet there are occasions when it becomes necessary to suspend its provisions. The State ought not to make the notes of any bank a legal tender without assuring itself that those whom it compels to receive them will lose nothing by doing so ; and in order to obtain this assurance some provisions not very dissimilar to those of the Bank Charter Act seem to be requisite. It is true that there are occasions when, in the interests of the nation, these provisions must be relaxed; but it is far better to entrust the power of relaxing them to a finance minister whose action can be reviewed in Parliament, than to the Governor and Directors of the Bank. The interests of the nation hold the first place in the mind of the former, but the interests of the Bank occupy that position in the minds of the latter. In Ireland we are well accustomed to special temporary measures adopted to meet pressing needs, but they do not shake the faith of the nation in the general administration of justice. The unalterable laws of the Medes and the Persians are entirely unsuited to a state of society like ours. We must be satisfied with adopting the legislation best suited for general use, and entrusting the power of varying or suspending it to some highly qualified person or persons. And this object the Bank Charter Act of 1845 seems to me to effect. The general question of its merits, however, lies beyond the scope of the present article ; nor do I possess the qualifications requisite for their full discussion. 'iJHIVBRSITT V INTEREST T T SURY, or the exaction of interest for loans of ^^^ money, or other valuable property, was at one time regarded as immoral ; and a similar theory is now being revived in certain quarters, apparently because it is supposed that interest lowers wages. There are some grounds for this last opinion. Wages will be in the long run that portion of the produce of labour which remains after replacing the capital, paying the rent when necessary, compensating the capitalist for his risk and his labour in planning and superintending the work, and paying the interest on the capital invested in it. Other things being equal, an increase in any one of these items will diminish wages, and a decrease in any one of them will raise wages. But this property is not peculiar either to interest or to rent ; and an attempt to depress unduly any one of the ordinary elements of production will often lessen production to such an ex- tent as to depress rather than to elevate the remainder. Rent cannot, I believe, be got rid of; neither can wages of superintendence, nor insurance, which, as I have inti- mated elsewhere, would be better described as compen- sation for risk. This last element, indeed, enters very Interest. 1 69 largely into the cost of production, for it enters into interest and wages as well as into the profits of the ca- pitalist. The rate of interest is always high when the risk is considerable, and it sinks to the lowest point where there is practically no danger of losing any part of the principal. So, too, the rate of wages is higher, not only in unhealthy and dangerous employments, but also in those where there is most risk of the labourer being out of work. The man who lives by picking up odd jobs must be remunerated, for the time during which he is at work, on a much higher scale than the man who is in constant employment. In fact, farmers find it best to hire some of their labourers by the year, though at particular seasons they have little or no work for them. And the influence of risk upon interest is evident from the fact that men often lend money without interest, not from motives of friendship "or gratitude, but merely be- cause they think it will be safer than if it remained in their own possession. This is the case when money is lodged in a bank which pays no interest on lodgments. It is left there because the bank is the safest place for it.* It is, perhaps, t^is last circurfistance which has enabled the theory that interest ought to be abolished to obtain some hold on the public mind. For we con- * Also, perhaps, because the system of drawing cheques on a bank is one of the easiest methods of obtaining change for it. We can in this way always obtain, on the shortest notice, the exact amount of change which we require. If my possessions consisted of a ;^ioo note, I might find it difficult to pay £1^ 5 J. 2d. ; but if the money is lodged in a bank, I have only to draw a cheque for that sum. 1 70 Interest. stantly see men lending money without interest, and not imagining that they are conferring any great favour on the borrower thereby. The capitalist, it may be said, would not be deterred from employing his wealth as capital even if interest was altogether abolished, be- cause he could not otherwise earn the wages of super- intendence which even at present often supplies his principal means of livelihood. He earns this wages at present, not only on his own capital, but on the capital which he borrows at interest ; and it would be to his advantage if he could borrow the requisite amount of capital without interest. The abolition of interest, therefore, would not impede industry and commerce, provided we distinguish between interest and insurance. No man should be required to lend money without being insured against loss ; but if interest was reduced to the sum which was necessary for this purpose, more would be left both for the working capitalist and for the la- bourer. The landlord might indeed come in for a share of the advantage, but I do not see how he could obtain more than a share of it. Political economists, however, insist that the owner of wealth who prefers to lend it rather than to consume it requires some compensation for his abstinence. But if with a fortune of ;^ 10,000 I lend ;^5ooo of it for a year, what credit do I deserve for my abstinence ? If I spent all my property in a 3''ear, I would find myself a beggar at the end of it. A prudent man would preserve a part of his fortune to maintain himself in old age, and to provide for his family, even if lending money at interest Interest. 1 7 1 was made a capital crime. The abstinence which con- sists in not spending my wealth as fast as it comes in is not in any sense the source of interest. Bees and ants practise that kind of abstinence. But though the doc- trine in question is badly expressed, it seems to me to be substantially correct. Men who lend money for pro- ductive purposes do in fact practise an abstinence or forbearance which merits a reward, and which would not be practised unless it was rewarded. This absti- nence consists not merely in refraining from spending their wealth, but in parting, for the time at least, with their control over it. If I lend a man ;^ 1000 for a year, I cannot make any use of it during that year. I may meet with something which I desire to purchase in the meantime. I may meet with an investment which would induce me to become a capitalist and earn wages of superintendence. I may require money for an expensive lawsuit. I may have some special reason for travelling abroad. I may find a friend in distress and desire to assist him. I may wish to lay out money for some po- litical, charitable, or religious purpose. But if I have lent the money for a year, I cannot obtain what I require for any of these purposes unless I can find someone who is willing to take the loan off my hands, which most probably he will only do on receiving a premium. In- terest proper is compensation for parting with this con- trol over my wealth, and its amount will of course depend on the length of time during which I am required to part with my control over it. No one would draw a distinction between parting with the control over his 1 7 2 hiterest, wealth for 500 years, and losing it altogether ; for we feel no interest in the persons who may be our heirs or representatives at the end of that period. The compen- sation for lending money for 500 years would not there- fore be adequate unless it was equal, or almost equal, in value to the amount thus lent. Money is power. Its value arises from the power of exchanging it for other useful commodities. When this power is vested solely in me, I cannot be expected to share it with another without receiving compensation for so doing ; and it is as much shared between myself and another man when he takes the whole for a time, and I am to enjoy it after- wards, as when he takes a part while I keep the re- mainder. If man was immortal, and the future was to him of equal value with the present, there might perhaps be no such thing as interest ; but man is not immortal, and the value of the future decreases rapidly as that future becomes more remote. ;^iooo, payable in fifty years, is not of the same value to me as ;£iooo pay- able now, because the chances are that I will not be alive when it becomes payable, while, even if living, my powers of enjoyment will be greatly impaired. Many of the friends, too, who might have derived a benefit from it if paid now, will then be dead also, or if living will be no longer capable of being assisted by it. The boy on whom that sum might now confer a liberal edu- cation will then be an ignorant elderly man, whose position in life cannot be materially improved. But supposing that the element of risk is excluded, the only difference between £\ooo payable now, and ;£iooo pay- Interest. 173 able in fifty years, consists of interest, or rather discount. No one in his senses would pay ;^ 1000 now for the same sum, fully secured, but payable at the end of half a cen- tury. He would offer a much smaller sum ; and the difference would then represent the discount arising from the condition of deferred payment. But discount is evidently interest in a different form. It is now easy to explain why money is often lent to a banker without interest. It is simply because the lender does not part with the control over it. The banker is bound to pay it back whenever the lender requires him to do so. The latter has as much control over the money as if it remained locked up in his desk, while it is in a condition of greater security. But when the banker asks to have the money left undisturbed for three months, or for any other definite period, the ques- tion of interest immediately arises. The owner of the money ceases to have complete control over it, and de- mands and receives a compensation in consequence. And the same consideration enters into every descrip- tion of hiring. No one would lend a piano, a horse and cart, or a sewing-machine, for a definite period, on terms that merely compensated him for the wear and tear of the article, and the risk of loss. He demands and ob- tains a further compensation for parting with the con- trol over the article which he lends. This compensation is interest. Indeed, rent itself arises from a similar source ; for if the future was of equal value with the present, why should not the landowner lend his land for a year on terms of getting it back in an equally good 174 Interest, condition, when that time had elapsed ? No one, more- over, would pay rent for land if he was bound to give up possession whenever the landlord demanded it. On the contrary, he would probably ask for some remune- ration as caretaker. It is because the landlord parts with the control over the land for a definite period that he exacts a compensation in the shape of rent, and the rent will naturally be higher or lower according as the control over the land has been more or less completely parted with.* From these observations it seems pretty evident that interest must always form an element in the cost of production, though its rate may be higher or lower under different circumstances. Money repayable at call cannot be invested in useful works with advantage. I would not borrow the money which was required to build a house or a ship, if it was probable that I should be called on to repay it before the house or ship was completed, and in a saleable condition. I might pos- sibly be able to effect a second loan in order to pay off the first, but it is more probable that I would be com- pelled to stop payment or to suspend the work. Unless, therefore, I could borrow the money for a definite time I would not borrow it at all, and the house or ship would remain unbuilt, unless I had enough money of my own for the purpose. Nor is the case materially * And, as I have noticed elsewhere, when the actual rent is less than the economic rent, the explanation often is that the landlord has not completely parted with the control over the land even temporarily. He has let it subject to a number of restrictions which are often both useless and vexatious. Interest, 175 altered if I expend my own money for the purpose. I must evidently deprive myself of the control over the money until the house or ship is sold, and for this I require some compensation. Loans for a definite pe- riod, and interest as consequent on such loans, must therefore always occur when money is expended pro- ductively, and consequently interest always forms an element in the cost of production. The notion of getting rid of it altogether under any system which recognises private property is chimerical. Whether it could be dispensed with under a socialistic system I do not inquire. While productive loans must always bear interest, however, it is evident that even if there were no means of expending wealth productively, loans at interest would still take place. Persons with fixed incomes would often find occasions for anticipating their incomes, as, for example, when a father wished to make some pro- vision for a son or daughter. Or again, payment of his income might be delayed beyond the usual time, or the amount of it temporarily reduced, as in the case of a landlord after a bad harvest. Such landlords and many other persons might have occasion for loans for a definite period, although there had been no undue expenditure of money on their part ; and persons who exceed their incomes often, for a time at least, possess sufficient credit to obtain loans on the ordinary terms. There would thus be a demand for loans of money at interest by persons capable of repaying them — or at least supposed to be so — even if what I may call mer- 176 Interest. cantile loans did not exist ; and it is probable that loans of this kind preceded mercantile loans in order of time. I am, therefore, unable to accept the theory of Mr. George, that interest arises from the natural tendency of certain things to improve with time — of a calf, for in- stance, to grow into a cow. To this theory various ob- jections occur. We must, of course, in comparing the calf with the cow take into consideration the labour involved in feeding and taking care of the animal during the interval, and the risk of its dying; and unless the land is rent-free, rent must also be iucluded. This being premised, why should the value of the cow ex- ceed the value of the calf by more than the rent, wages, and insurance required to convert the one into the other, unless we presuppose the interest which we are seeking to explain ? Mr. George likewise refers to wines, &c., which improve with age. But this in reality points to an exceptional case, in which a loan may be made without requiring any interest. I may safely lend a man a quan- tity of new wine on his undertaking to return me the same amount often years' old wine of the same quality in ten years' time, provided that the element of risk is excluded. Such a loan would save me the expense of storage, &c., in the meantime, and therefore if the re- turn of the wine was secured, I would not only demand no interest, but probably offer a small premium to the borrower. If Mr. George had stated that the source of interest was the power of expending capital produc- tively — expending it in such a manner that the new capital produced exceeds that which has been consumed interest. 177 in producing it — he would have been nearer to the truth. It is this natural tendency to improvement that gives rise to the demand for what I have called commercial loans — loans effected by persons who are not even tem- porarily in want, but who borrow money in order to make a profit on it. The borrower in such cases is often a much wealthier man than the lender; but he wishes to add to his wealth and borrows for that pur- pose. And while there would be a demand for loans at interest in almost any conceivable state of society, it is evident that this demand will be greatly increased, and the rate of interest raised thereby in any country in which commercial loans are largely resorted to. For the rate of interest is regulated by the law of demand and supply. Supposing that the element of insurance is eli- minated, there are some persons who would prefer to lend their money even for a long term at one-half per cent, interest to keeping it idle in their own hands ; but a great part of what is lent when interest is higher would not be lent at that rate. The supply of money ready to be lent, therefore, varies with the rate of in- terest. And the demand varies with the rate of interest also. If that rate was raised to ten per cent, some sol- vent persons would still borrow money, but a great many of those who now borrow would not do so ; while if the rate fell to one-half per cent., many solvent per- sons who borrow nothing at present would be tempted to borrow by the very low rate at which money could be procured. The current rate of interest (supposing the element of insurance excluded) is that at which the N 178 Interest, supply of money on loan is equal to the demand. If the demand exceeded the supply, some of the borrowers would offer a slightly increased rate of interest in order to secure the loan. If the supply exceeded the demand, some of the lenders would offer to reduce the rate a little in order to make sure of lending their money. Where a demand for mercantile loans exists in addition to what I may call the ordinary demand, the rate of inte- rest will of course be increased ; but such a demand usually exists in wealthy countries where there is abun- dance of money seeking for investment at interest, and the increased supply may more than counterbalance the increased demand. In this case the rate of interest will be low. Interest is paid on loans of all kinds as well as on loans of money. Thus, when goods are sold on credit, a discount is often allowed if they are paid for within a limited time, and it is a common practice to charge interest on the balances on current accounts which have remained due for a certain time, or to pass bills of exchange or promissory notes which bear inte- rest from the time when they become due. Sales on credit are thus, in fact, loans of goods at interest. Our law, too, charges interest on all judgment-debts from the time that judgment is marked. Wherever a dis- count is allowed on cash payments, interest is really charged on sales on credit, though the amount may not vary with the time as in the case of ordinary interest. Loans of all kinds of goods, generally speaking, not only bear interest, but bear interest at the same rate ; and if other goods fluctuated in value as little as gold Interest. 179 and silver, interest on such loans might be charged in kind rather than in money. But if I borrowed 100 barrels of wheat on condition of returning 105 barrels at the end of 1 2 months, the value of wheat might have so altered by that time that instead of paying 5 per cent, interest I should be paying 25 per cent, while if it varied in the opposite direction the lender might not only receive no interest, but find his principal dimi- nished. For this reason in lending goods it is usual to value them and to stipulate for payment in money ; though, when the time for payment arrives, it is often effected, in great part at least, in goods, which are like- wise valued and taken as so much money. In countries like England the principal demand for loans arises from the increased efficiency of labour, resulting from the application of capital. How this affects the rate of interest is easily explained. Suppose that the labourer, when working for himself, either without capital or with the scanty capital which he can command, can earn ;^2o a-year, but that the application of an additional sum of ^100 will raise the value of his labour to £10 a-year, it is evident that the extra ^10 represents the increased efficiency given to his labour by the application of £100 capital, and that if the labourer could borrow ;^ 100 at any rate of interest (in- cluding insurance) lower than 10 per cent., he would be a gainer by doing so. If money was scarce in the neighbourhood the lender might hold out for gj per cent., and would, no doubt, succeed in getting it ; but if money was plenty, and many persons were trying to N 2 1 80 Interest, lend it at interest, the labourer might succeed in pro- curing what he required at 3 per cent., thus increasing his own annual earnings from ^20 to ^27. But it is clear that there would be a demand for money on loan at all rates below 10 per cent., arising from the increased efficiency which it conferred on labour. Most probably, however, the labourer would not succeed in borrowing the money, because the insurance or compensation for risk would be so high in his case that a loan at 10 per cent, could not be effected. The money would be sup- plied by a capitalist, who would hire the labourer and then apply the requisite capital. The labourer might prefer working for himself at ;^20 a-year to serving a master at the same wages, but an increase of his earn- ings to ^2 1 ov £22 would probably induce him to enter the offered employment ; and;^8 or ;^9 would then go annually to the employer for every £100 of capital in- vested in the undertaking, the greater part of which would represent interest. Suppose that;£6 of it repre- sented interest, the balance sufficing to cover wages of superintendence, &c,, it is evident that it would be for the advantage of the capitalist to borrow as much money as he could at any rate below 6 per cent. ; for as long as the rate of profit remained unaltered he could make 6 per cent, on the borrowed money, besides earning ad- ditional wages of superintendence. A demand for loans would thus arise on the part of the capitalist if not on that of the labourer ; and if the rate of profits became higher, this demand for money on loan would be in- creased. Money on loan is in fact capital on loan, Interest, 1 8 1 and the demand for capital on loan will be greatest when the demand for capital is greatest, or, in other words, when the rate of profit is highest. Assuming that the risk is equal in the cases of borrowed capital and of capital employed by the owner, interest will only differ from profits by what has been called wages of superintendence. In commercial loans, however, the risk is seldom as great in the former case as in the latter; for as the capitalist is bound to repay the loan in full, so long as he has the means of doing so, any losses which he may sustain will fall in the first place on his own capital. The borrowed capital only suffers (in the absence of dishonesty) when that is gone. There are, indeed, certain occasions when there seems to be a special demand for money as such, and loans of money are supposed to be effected for short periods at a higher rate of interest than would be paid for a loan of any other commodity. This usually takes place on the occasion of a commercial crisis. The element of risk, no doubt, comes in here, for the chance of the borrower stopping payment is really greater than at other times, and is in consequence of the general panic deemed to be even greater than it is. But anticipated high profits come in also. This fact is concealed by the circum- stance that there has already been a loss, and one which, perhaps, the anticipated profit will not be suf- ficient to make good. But if a man borrows money at lo per cent, interest for three or six months, the reason probably is that he expects his goods at the end of that time to realize more than that sum over the amount 1 82 Interest, which they would produce if an immediate sale was in- sisted on. He expects a large increase in the present value, and borrows money at a high rate of interest in order to retain the goods long enough to obtain the benefit of this increase. Hence it would seem that the high rates of interest current at these periods do not really form any exception to the general rule. How- ever low the price might be, men would sell their goods rather than borrow money if they did not expect it to rise. And the reason why they would not pay the same interest (supposing interest to be paid in kind) on loans of other commodities is, that the price of these com- modities is expected to increase. Few persons are anxious either to sell or to buy commodities on credit at such periods ; but no one could purchase goods on credit at a lower rate of interest than that current for money — the interest being computed in money not in kind. The seller, indeed, is anxious to get ready money, and would be unwilling to sell on credit unless the rate of interest was a very high one. The ordinary laws thus hold good, except that there is increased risk on the one side and increased distress on the other ; and consequently there is an increased demand for loans accompanied by a diminished supply.* Interest has its rise in the same natural causes with profits. Profits are usually divided into wages of super- * Risk always diminishes the supply of money oiFered on loan, for there are some persons who will not invest their money in risky undertakings at any rate of interest. This is more especially the case with trustees, &c., who can gain nothing if the venture turns out successfully, but are certain to lose if it does not. Interest 1 83 intendence, insurance, and interest, and it is as impos- sible to get rid of the last of these elements as of the other two. Whenever men become willing to lend money for commercial purposes without interest, they will also be ready to invest it on risky undertakings without in- surance, and to undertake the work of supervision free of charge. Profits being the same, interest proper will be greatest when there is least risk, and when wages of superintendence is lowest. As regards this latter kind of wages, it is to be observed that in many cases a skilled manager will answer the purpose, though it may be desirable to give him a personal interest in the con- cern by paying him a share of the profits. Wages of superintendence will thus vary with the wages or salary of a skilled manager — the man who acts as his own manager earning more or less, just as the paid manager earns more or less. And, with material progress and advancing education, there seems to be little doubt that the number of persons capable of acting as skilled managers will increase rapidly, and that wages of su- perintendence will therefore fall. It would thus seem that, unless the ordinary investments for capital become more and more risky as society advances, a progres- sively larger proportion of the profits will go in interest, and the variations of interest and profits will follow each other more closely. Interest, indeed, depends on anti- cipated profits rather than on profits actually realised ; for the rate of interest must be fixed at the time of making the loan, while the profit is seldom realised much before the time fixed for its repayment. But as 1 84 Interest. society progresses our power of anticipating future pro- fits will be increased, and profits and interest will there- fore conform to each other more closely than at present. Interest and profits thus going hand in hand, and both depending on the increased efficiency of labour arising from the application of capital, we are again led to inquire what determines the proportion in which the value of this increased efficiency is divided between the capitalist and the labourer. If the capitalist got nothing he would not apply his capital to the purpose. If the labourer got nothing he would prefer to work for him- self. But at this point we are, I believe, thrown back on the old law of demand and supply — the quantity of labour seeking employment on the one side, and the quantity of capital seeking investment on the other. And like other instances of the law, both demand and supply vary with the price. There is capital — or, if you prefer it, wealth — which men are willing to invest in anything that will produce a profit of lo per cent., but will not invest at a smaller rate of profit ; and there are labourers who are willing to hire at zs. a-day, but will take no less, or who will work at extra hours at a certain rate, but will not do so at less than that rate. Leaving rent out of consideration for the present, de- mand and supply will be equal when the capital seeking investment at a given rate of profit suffices to employ all the labourers who are seeking employment at wages which will just suffice to leave that rate of profit, after deducting the wages from the produce of the labour. If more capital than this is seeking investment at the Interest. 185 supposed rate of profit, some of the capitalists, finding it impossible to realise that rate, will content themselves with a lower one. Profits will fall and wages will rise. If, on the other hand, more labour is seeking for em- ployment, some of the labourers will accept lower wages, and profits will rise with falling wages until the equa- tion of supply and demand is re-established. But the capitalist and the labourer have a common fund to divide between them, and the share of either of them can never exceed the whole fund, or even become quite equal to it. If, for example, the expenditure of ;^ 100 increases the value of labour from ^20 to £'^0 a-year, the profits of the capitalist must always fall short of 10 per cent., while the wages of the labourer must al- ways fall short of;^30 a-year; but profits may vary to any extent between a nominal amount and 10 per cent., while wages will similarly vary between ;^20 and £^0 a-year. These variations are determined by the law of supply and demand, and any attempt to render them independent of that law would be vain. Every increase of wages above the point fixed by this law would diminish the supply of capital, and thereby diminish the amount of employment offered ; and this remark is as true of interest as of profits — of borrowed capital as of capital which is used by the owner. In these observa- tions, however, I have assumed that the only demand for money on loan is of the kind which I have called commercial. But in no state of society is this true. If the demand for non-commercial loans is sufficient to keep the rate of interest at 2 per cent., even though 1 86 Interest. the commercial demand was entirely withdrawn, the rate of interest must always be higher than 2 per cent., and the labourer's wages, in the case which I have been examining, must always fall short of;^28 a-year If we now suppose that the number of labourers in the district remains constant or increases slowly, while capital increases rapidly, a fall in the rate of interest will take place. Capitalists will compete with each other for the labour which is to be had, and wages will rise ; while the increased produce arising from the ex- penditure of a larger capital will probably not possess the same proportionate value as before, and profits will be still further retrenched. At first each labourer (we will suppose) earned;^ 2 1 a-year, and the capitalist de- rived £(^ profit from his labour; but competition ulti- mately forces wages up tO;^24, while the produce of the labour is only value for ^26, and the capitalist has now a profit oi £2 on each ;£ioo, instead of ;^9 as before. But the low rate of profit has checked the growth of capital, and persons who would use their wealth as capital, if profits were higher, now prefer to consume it unproductively, or to seek investments for it in some distant locality. The increase of wages and diminu- tion of profits must thus ultimately cease ; and though interest has been greatly reduced during the process, it has not disappeared, nor can it possibly do so. There is no longer an increasing demand for labour, because capital has ceased to increase. The annual profits only suffice to pay the ordinary annual expenditure of the capitalists ; and assuming that the population does not Interest. 187 increase, and that no improvements are made, a sta- tionary condition is the result. This gradual decrease of profits or interest, and tendency towards a stationary condition, however, are always interrupted by other changes. Suppose that when the produce of each man's annual labour has fallen tO;^26, and his wages have risen \.o £2/^^ a new discovery is made which renders the produce of each man's annual labour worth ;^35. The gain is at first almost entirely on the side of the capitalist. By leav- ing his employment, the labourer cannot earn more than the ;^ 24 which he already receives — perhaps not so much. Interest, therefore, rises, while wages remains stationary. But at the new rate of profit capital in- creases rapidly, not only because the present employers add their savings to their capital, but because capital is attracted from a distance by the high rate of interest or profits. There is, accordingly, an increased demand for labour, and wages begins to rise whilst interest falls — a larger and larger proportion of the total produce going in wages* every year, though the whole can never do so. In these remarks, however, I have assumed the number of labourers to be constant, or nearly so. In point of fact, however, it usually increases, and increases most rapidly when wages is highest; for not only do men with high wages find it easier to marry and bring * I mean the wages of labourers, not wages of superintendence as it has been called. The competition of capitalists raises the wages of labourers, but it lowers wages of superintendence. The variations of these two kinds of wages are thus often inversely related to each other. 1 88 Interest. up families, but high wages attract labourers from other districts. As increased competition among capitalists raises wages and lowers interest, so increased competi- tion among labourers raises interest and lowers wages. Capital is subject to more frequent and violent fluctua- tions than the number of labourers. When speculation is rife, the amount of capital in use in any particular place or any particular branch of industry may be largely increased by loans, or by diverting capital from other places or other uses. A great failure may throw a large number of labourers out of employment, and a great deal of capital is often withdrawn from use, at least for the time, on the occasion of a commercial crisis. Wages, therefore, may fluctuate violently when the progress of population has been pretty steady, and can hardly be regarded as excessive. A fall in prices may indeed lead to the temporary abandonment of some branch of industry altogether. Suppose that when a given quantity of any commodity sells, after replacing the capital, for ;^ 2 5, the amount which goes in w^ages is;^2i, it is evident that if the price falls to £20 either the labourers must submit to a considerable reduction, or else the production of the article in ques- tion must be given up. The current rate of wages at other occupations or in neighbouring places may in- duce the labourers to refuse to submit, or they may be induced to do so by some demagogue or some associa- tion — in all of which cases the works are closed. As a rule, interest only falls when capital is increasing faster than the labouring population ; in which case wages will Interest, 189 rise at the same time. But to this rule there are many exceptions, some of which I have indicated when treat- ing of Capital and Labour. But what has Land or Rent to do with it ? Economic rent, I believe, has no effect whatever either on wages or on interest ; for economic rent is the surplus which some land produces after paying the wages of the labourer and the insurance, wages of superintendence, and interest to the capitalist. It thus presupposes both wages and interest, and consists of the balance which remains after deducting them. Thus, suppose that there is some land of such a quality that the expenditure of ^ 100 on it will increase the value of the labourer's wages from £20 to ^40 a-year, while the ordinary applications of capital will only increase it from £20 to ^30 as in our former example, this land will manifestly be worth ;^io a-year to the owner, after providing for wages and profits, on the same scale as when the capital is applied in a manner which does not involve the payment of any rent. This at least will be the case unless the risk and wages of superintendence are greater when the capital is applied to the land in question. Suppose, then, that the value of the labour resulting from the expenditure of £100 without paying rent falls to ^26, the return from the good land being still one-third greater as before, the rent will now have fallen tO;£8 13^. ^d. Agricultural land is not the only thing that bears a rent in this sense. Lines of railway, for example, are often rented by one company from another. If the current rate of interest is 5 per cent., and an annual outlay of ^10,000 1 90 Interest, in working and repairing the line will produce an an- nual revenue of ;^ 15,000 the rent of the line will be ;£4500 a-year. This rent is the surplus which remains after payment of the working expenses, and of interest on the capital used by the renting company. And a line of steamships might be similarly rented, though the element of land here disappears. As a rule, any- thing in which fixed capital is invested is capable of being rented ; for it will in general return a surplus over the working expenses, and the interest on the ca- pital which is now required to work it. Land, moreover, usually derives a great part of its value from fixed capital invested in it, though the investment may have taken place long ago. But even when this is not the case, there is no distinction between land and investments of fixed capital as regards the present question. Rent in both cases is what remains after wages and interest have been paid. It falls, indeed, when wages and inte- rest rise, and rises when they fall; and of course the variations of wages and interest also correspond in- versely with those of rent. But the variations of wages and interest are the causes, and those of rent the effects, and not vice versa. Wages and interest are the primary elements. Rent is the residue or surplus which remains after deducting them. I speak of economic rent. A combination of land-owners might succeed in producing a monopoly rent which would have the effect of lower- ing both wages and interest; but no such combination has, I believe, ever taken place in this country. On the contrary, the actual rents are, I believe, usually lower Interest 191 than the economic rents ; though this, as already no- ticed, is partly caused by the restrictions commonly imposed on the tenant in dealing with the land. These restrictions are, in fact, the principal defect in the sys- tem which is known as * Landlordism.' To make the best use of land the occupier must have absolute control over it, even though the period during which this con- trol is to be exercised is of limited duration.* When any person whose remuneration does not depend on the profits is allowed to interfere with the management of the land, these profits are almost certain to be less than they would otherwise be; and even if their average amount is not diminished, the element of risk or in- surance is augmented. Interest therefore is, generally speaking, an element in production, and both it and wages are unaffected by rent. It cannot be abolished, and if unduly kept down it will probably lower wages by diminishing the amount of capital applied to labour. It is evident, however, that except in certain rare contingencies — when temporary loans at very high rates of interest may be justifiable and necessary — interest ought never to exceed the cur- rent rate of profits. Profits include wages of superin- tendence, insurance, and interest proper; and even if we include the two latter elements under the name of interest (as it is frequently impossible to distinguish be- tween them in practice), wages of superintendence can * Provided, of course, that the use is not such as to produce a present profit at the cost of permanent injury to the soil. But restrictions in leases usually go much beyond this. 192 Interest. never be wholly eliminated. The current rate of profits thus affords a test for distinguishing between reasonable and unreasonable rates of interest on loans ; and when a loan is made at a rate of interest manifestly exceeding the current rate of profits, I think the onus of proving the fairness of the transaction should be thrown upon the lender. Such loans, as I have noticed elsewhere, are often made, without any serious expectation of re- ceiving payment at the extravagant rate agreed upon. The intention, rather, is to obtain payment of a part of the loan before the debtor fails, and to be in a position to keep this, and to prove and obtain dividends on more than the entire debt when bankruptcy supervenes. Thus, A lends B;£ioo, at 100 per cent, interest, payable quar- terly ; he receives the first quarter's interest, thus really reducing the debt to less than ;^ 80. At the end of a year B becomes bankrupt, and A proves in the bank- ruptcy, and obtains dividends, not on;^8o, but on ;^ 175. Such a transaction appears to me to be a fraud on the other creditors of B, even though B himself may have entered into the contract with full knowledge of the facts, and without undue pressure or misrepresentation. It would therefore, I think, be reasonable to enact that high rates of interest should not be allowed in bank- ruptcies until all ordinary creditors have been paid in full ; and it might also be provided that the total amount to be recovered from a debtor in any form of action should not exceed twice the amount of the original loan — meaning by the original loan the sum of money which actually changed hands. Interest might be Interest, 193 permitted to run upon the amount thus recovered until it was paid off, but only at the Court rate of 4 per cent. The reasonableness of such an enactment is shown by the general practice with respect to bonds. I may remark that, as regards loans at extravagant rates of interest, the debtor can in many cases escape with payment of the principal, together with interest at a moderate rate, by appealing to a Court of Equity. The cases in which he can and cannot escape in this manner are, however, by no means clearly defined. But the point with which I am at present concerned is that payment in full of the original loan, together with interest at a moderate rate, is always insisted on as a condition of setting aside the nefarious bargain. This is on the principle that *he that seeks equity must do equity,' which principle is no doubt correctly applied when the borrower is a solvent man; but when he is not solvent the real equity would be, not that the lender should be paid the proper amount of his demand in full, but that he should be paid the same dividend on it that the other creditors receive on their debts. This equity, however, has not yet been recognised, and there seems to be no alternative except to pay the amount really due in full, or else to pay a dividend on the whole of the ini- quitous demand. This is another result of regarding the whole question as one between plaintiff and defendant, the assignees or trustees in bankruptcy being regarded as merely standing in the bankrupt's shoes. Sooner or later it will become necessary to take a wider view, but until then I fear great injustice will continue to be done 194 Interest, to deserving creditors. Owing to the excessive rates of interest charged in certain cases, the professed equa- lity of the present law is often in practice the grossest inequality. Here, at least, a certain revival of the Usury Laws would be desirable. THE ENGLISH CHURCH ESTABLISHMENT. ' I ^HOUGH it is, perhaps, impossible to treat the question of Church Establishments on purely economical grounds, it has sufficient economical bear- ings to justify its introduction into such a collection of Essays as the present. Church Establishments date from the period when the Roman Catholic faith was everywhere prevalent, and the few dissenters were regarded as criminals whom it was the duty of the State to punish. There was then no question of rival Churches. If any reli- gion was to receive State assistance, there was no doubt as to what religion should be thus favoured. There was, in fact, but one Church w^hose very exist- ence the State recognized — except in the way that it recognizes robbers and murderers when it passes laws for their punishment. But in this country, at least, such a defence of an Established Church is no longer tenable. Taking the three divisions of the United Kingdom — in England an Episcopal Church is established and endowed by the State ; in Scotland the same position is held by a Pres- O 2 196 The English Church Establishment, byterian Church; and in Ireland there is no Church Establishment at all. In the latter country, too, con- current endowment existed to a certain extent before the disestablishment ; and in Malta the Roman Catholic must be regarded as the Established Church. In all parts of the kingdom, too, the State grants toleration to those who do not accept the established form of wor- ship. It could not, indeed, in consistency refuse tolera- tion in England to the Presbyterian whose Church is established in Scotland. The notion of any abstract superiority of one Church over another, which renders the former alone worthy of public support, must be abandoned by the statesman. Each man may, of course, continue to believe in the superiority of the religious denomination to which he individually be- longs ; but a Cabinet Minister cannot allow his private convictions on the subject to influence his legislative measures. We have had both Protestant Dissenters and Roman Catholics among our Ministers ; and the Go- vernment has acted for many years past on the principle that members of all religious denominations — at least all denominations of Christians — should be treated alike, except in matters which relate to the Church Establish- ment. The propriety of making this exception is the real question at issue. We sometimes hear it said that it is the duty of the State to provide religious instruction for all the people, and that in performing this duty it must make a selec- tion among the various religious bodies, since it cannot attempt to give universal instruction in the creeds and The English Church Establishment. 197 formularies of all.* I do not seek to underrate the im- portance of religious instruction ; but how is it shown that it is the duty of the State to impart it ? If it be so, that duty is at present neglected in Ireland, and a large majority of the representatives of the people concurred in resolving that it shall be neglected for the future. But the only argument in favour of imposing this duty on the State is, I apprehend, that otherwise the religious edu- cation and instruction of the people would be neglected. This allegation is in direct conflict with experience- There is not a parish or district in Ireland in which the Roman Catholics have not provided religious instruction for the people for centuries past without any State assist- ance, or rather indeed in spite of State prohibition. The Churchmen are doing the same thing since the disestab- lishment. There is, I believe, no instance of a Protestant population having been abandoned because it was poor and widely scattered. And the Dissenters have seldom if ever failed to provide religious instruction for all who desired to receive it at their hands. The case of Ire- land, moreover, is on this subject a strong one. For the Roman Catholic population has always been poor, and the Protestants have suffered heavy pecuniary losses since the disestablishment. Yet Ireland, instead of failing to supply religious instruction for her own peo- ple, sends thousands of pounds abroad every year to supply religious instruction elsewhere — in Peter's Pence * But the English Government never seems to have thought of performing this duty to the most numerous class of Her Majesty's subjects — the people of India. 198 The English Church Establishment. and subscriptions to the several Missionary Societies, and similar objects. Poor as Ireland is, she can and does without State aid not only afford religious instruc- tion to all her own population, but actually supplies funds for giving religious instruction to persons in other countries. The notion, therefore, that State assistance is necessary in order to place religious instruction within the reach of everyone is chimerical. The Church Establishment has again been defended on the ground that the Established Church is the Church of the majority of the population. It is doubtful whether this assertion can be truly made as regards the Estab- lished Church of Scotland, and it is certainly not true of the Establishment in Wales. In England, moreover, it is liable to considerable qualification. A man who is careless in religious matters will usually describe him-' self as a member of the State-endowed Church, because if he joins any other Church he is expected to contribute to its funds, whereas by describing himself as belonging to the Established body, he excuses himself from paying anything. As long as there is an Establishment, too, it is likely to be fashionable. It will be the Church of the gentry, and many members of the middle classes, who seek to improve their social status, will attach them- selves to it. But if we grant that the Established Church is the Church of the majority, does that afford any reason for its endowment ? To simplify the ques- tion, let us suppose that the endowment is the direct product of taxation. Why, then, should the minority be taxed for the support of the Church of the majority ? The English Church Establishnejit. 199 The minority will find it hard enough to support the clergy of their own denominations without contributing to the funds of any rival body. On the voluntary system the majority would (other things being equal) support their clergy wdth least effort. A clergyman's field of labour is limited by local considerations no less than by the number of persons under his care. He may find it as easy to attend to the spiritual wants of one thousand persons in a town, as to those of one hundred in a sparsely-populated rural district. Now the clergyman of a small minority is almost always in this latter posi- tion. The portion of the population which is willing to accept his ministrations is always sparse and widely- scattered ; and in supporting him by voluntary contri- butions the subscription per head must, on the average, be larger than would be the case if the majority of the population were of his persuasion. Of course a majority in Parliament can do as it pleases, but there could hardly be a more tyrannous use of the power of the majority than to compel the dissenting minority to subscribe for the support of the religion of the majority. With more justice the position might be reversed. The poor and thinly-scattered dissenting congregations, who find the greatest difficulty in supporting their ministers, have a far stronger claim to State assistance than the large and wealthy congregations who can, if they choose to do so, subscribe the requisite amount almost without an effort. Taxing dissenters for the benefit of the Church can only be justified on the assumption that the Church is the best of all religious bodies, or indeed the only one 200 The English Church Establishment. which the State should recognise. The argument that the Church is the religion of the majority is here totally insufficient — indeed it rather tends to prove the opposite conclusion. Nor is the case materially altered when we consider the mode in which the Church endowments are actually pro- vided. Though private property in land is, in my opinion, justifiable, wherever private property does not exist the land must be considered as the property of the State. I do not of course deny that some corporate property is in reality private property— as, for instance, that which a railway company has purchased for the construction of its line. But the Church lands, except when they have been granted by private individuals, or purchased with private money, do not fall under this head. They are the property of the State (subject to interests which certain individuals have acquired therein), and the State is responsible for their proper application. Indeed there is no other principle on which the Irish Church Act can be justified. If the State resumed these lands the revenues derived frofti them would enable the Govern- ment to make a general reduction of our taxation, and the devoting of these lands to Church purposes prevents this reduction from being made. We are really in the same position as if, by an agreement between the Church and the State, the latter took over the lands and granted an annual sum out of the produce of our taxes instead. Grants of land to the Church by the public are equiva- lent to grants of an annual sum raised by taxation. But grants of land for Church purposes have some The English Church Establishment. 20 1 special disadvantages. In the first place, they tend to make the bishop or rector a farmer or a land- lord, neither of which positions are conducive to his popularity or to the efficient discharge of his duties. (I do not of course speak of a residence with a few acres of land, but of extensive grants of land.) In the next place the temporary land-owner often tries to make leases at low rents to his relatives and friends, to the detriment of his successors ; or else to make leases extending beyond his own life on fines, thus benefiting himself at the expense of the Church. Thirdly, the State does not exercise the same control over land thus granted away that it does over an annual grant from the public revenue ; and ecclesiastics often come to re- gard it as the absolute property of the Church, and to resent all State interference with it as if it was private property, interference with which was confiscation. The clergy are in this manner rendered to a great extent in- dependent of public opinion, and are often disposed to play the tyrant in their parishes, disregarding even the plain directions of the Prayer-book itself. Very similar observations may be made respecting tithes and the other sources of ecclesiastical revenue. Indeed tithes, if their original intention was carried out, would have had a peculiarly prejudicial effect upon indus- try. The man who raised 100 barrels of wheat where the ordinary processes would only yield 80, would be fined 2 barrels as a reward for his energy and skill. Cultiva- tion, in fact, can never be carried to the highest practi- cable point where the rent or taxes follow a sliding scale, 202 The English Church Establishment. increasing as the gross produce increases. Increased produce beyond a certain point is always acquired by largely increased labour and expense, and to take for any public purpose the same proportion of this increased produce as before is both unjust and impolitic. How far this objection has been removed in practice I need not consider. At best, tithes are a form of taxation, and leave the Church in the same position as if the clergy were paid directly out of the public revenue. I do not deny that the greater part of this taxation falls ultimately on members of the Established Church ; but why should any part of it fall on other persons ? It was contended by the friends of the Irish Church that, though the Protestants formed a minority of the popula- tion, the tithe-rentcharge by which the Establishment was supported fell chiefly upon them. I am not aware that this argument was ever refuted ; but nevertheless it failed to influence the legislature. Moreover, if even under the present system the Church of England is really sup- ported by the taxation of its own members, it is clear that these members are able to support it without obtaining assistance from any other quarter. This latter fact, in- deed, cannot be disputed ; for the members of the Church include not only the most numerous but the wealthiest part of the community. Then, why not give up the State endowment and let the Church be supported by its sons, who are not only well able to support it, but who, according to the argument which I am now con- sidering, do in fact support it ? Nor can it be alleged that the present mode of raising the funds from its "^x^ Of thb"^^ TJHIVBRSITY] The English Church Esmmts/nncnf. "' 203 members is a more equitable one than voluntary contri- bution would be. Under the present system men of great wealth, and with a great number of Protestant workmen in their employment, pay little or nothing, while poorer men, who avail themselves less of the Church services, pay a good deal. Under the volun- tary system, no doubt, the man who estimates his reli- gious privileges highly would contribute more than he who estimates them more lowly ; but this seems to me to be rather a merit than a defect in the voluntary sys- tem. And there is another consideration which must not be overlooked. Within the Church there are several distinct parties, some of which are violently hostile to others ; and under our present system a lay member of the Church is often taxed for the support of a clergyman from whose teaching and practice he strongly dissents. He may absent himself from the church and go else- where, but he must pay his tithes notwithstanding ; and he must continue to pay them when he is actually bringing an action against the clergyman for illegal practices or erroneous doctrine. He is, in fact, in a worse position than the Dissenter. He must not only pay for ministrations of which he cannot avail himself, but the existence of these prevents the introduction of ministrations of which he can avail himself into his parish : for the law does not admit of two rival rectors in the same parish, each ministering to the portion of the congregation that agrees with him.* The parochial * We had, however, two rival bishops, each with his own following, in Natal. I suppose an ardent Churchman would affirm that there was but one ; 204 The English Church Establishment. system excludes all clergymen but one, and there is no security that the doctrines and practices of that one will accord with the views of the majority of his flock. The system of State endowment, too, is entirely wanting in that flexibility which belongs to the volun- tary system, and which the circumstances of the country require. We often meet with a largely-endowed parish where there is little or no work to be done, and again with another parish in which there is a great deal of work, with a very scanty endowment. The latter case often occurs when a manufacturing or mining town grows up rapidly. The system of State endowment fails altogether to accommodate itself to such altera- tions of circumstances, and voluntary contributions alone save the rising population from total neglect. In addition to this, however, the endowments of the different parishes appear to have been always of ,an un- equal character ; and the division of parish from parish was based on no fixed principle, whether as to shape, area, or population. Such defects could be easily recti- fied under a voluntary system ; but under that of State endowment changes can only be brought about by a tedious and expensive process. The change, moreover, is in many cases rendered almost impossible by the gross abuse of lay patronage which has been allowed to creep into the Church. It is an injury to a private individual to transfer a part of the parish of which he owns the advowson to a parish in the gift of the bishop, but, then, which was the true bishop, and which was the schismatic ? Or was one a schismatic and the other a heretic ? The English Church Establishment, 205 or of the Crown, or of some other layman. It is a still greater injury to him to divert a portion of the revenues of his parish elsewhere, or to require the rector to su- perintend a new district : for the selling price of the advowson or of the next presentation depends at once on the largeness of the income and the lightness of the work. This abuse is, indeed, so gross that if Churchmen bear nearly all the cost of the Establishment at present, it is surprising that they do not offer to bear the whole, and thereby get rid of such a crying evil. The lay pa« tron may be an irreligious and even an immoral man. He may, and often does, promote a relative or friend whom he knows to be totally unfit for the post. He may force a Ritualist on an Evangelical congregation, or a Low-Churchman on a Ritualistic one. He may sell the parish under circumstances which just escape the simony laws, and perhaps would not escape them if the facts were known, and the Ecclesiastical Courts were appealed to; but in all this he is, practically at least, within his right, and no one can interfere with him. Crown patronage is often used as a reward for political subserviency,* or a means of advancing the Church views of a particular Minister ; and even Epis- copal patronage is not free from the charge of nepotism and favouritism. All these evils are aggravated by the permission of pluralities. In these respects, indeed, the * If we examine the votes of the bishops on any party division in the House of Lords, we shall have little trouble in ascertaining by whom each prelate was appointed. 2o6 The English Church Establishment, abuses which exist in the English Church far surpass those which existed in her Irish sister when the latter was disestablished. Would it not be of advantage to the Church itself to get rid of them, even if the members had to contribute a little more for its support under the voluntary system than they now contribute in the form of ecclesiastical taxation ? I have already glanced at a circumstance which shows the weakness of the argument that the Church ought to be endowed because it is the Church of the majority, viz. that the Church includes persons who entertain the most widely discordant views, and in fact are only held together by the State endowment. The advanced Ritualist differs much more widely from the extreme Evangelical than he does from the Roman Catholic. The low Evangelical differs much more from the Ritualist than he does from the Protestant Dissenter. But the Dissenter and the Roman Catholic are rigor- ously excluded from the endowments which their sym- pathisers in the Church enjoy. You must recognise episcopacy on the one hand (that is, in England, not in Scotland), and you must not subordinate yourself to the Bishop of Rome on the other — these are the conditions of State aid ; but so that you keep within these limits you may do almost anything you please. When I speak of the Church of England as only held together by State pay, however, I do not mean that the present union is a purely mercenary one. So long as there is a State Church, any Church party that withdrew from the State connexion, and renounced the State endowments, would The English Church Establishment 207 have to bear the reproaches of secession, schism, heresy, et hoc genus omne ; and men are slow to face this in ad- dition to the loss of State support. But if State pay was withdrawn, and the Church separated into two or more hostile camps, there would be nothing to mark out one as the original body, and the others as seceders. Two sections, at all events, would probably carry with them a portion of the bishops and clergy, as well as of the laity, and while both would no doubt claim to be the legitimate successors of the ancient English Church, the public would soon perceive that there were either two equally legitimate successors, or else none at all. There is, I believe, no religious body in the world in which such wide diversities of doctrine and practice exist as in the Church of England, and the reason is that a State endowment coexists with a good deal of indifference on the part of the State as to the particular character of the religious teaching. Under no voluntary system, I be- lieve, would the members of one of the existing Church factions subscribe for the maintenance of clergymen belonging to the opposite faction. The differences are too wide for voluntary contributions to flow into a com- mon fund, but the State allows the public money to flow into a single reservoir (from which it issues by at least two distinct channels), for the simple reason that it has been flowing there so long already. The State management of this fund is, it need hardly be said, eminently unsatisfactory. In all other cases it is supposed to be the duty of the State to see that those who are paid out of the public funds perform their duties 2o8 The English Church EstablhhmenL properly. But in the case of the State Church this is never thought of. It is left to the private persons, who consider themselves aggrieved by the conduct of these State officials, to appeal to the Courts at their own risk, and at their own expense, unless they succeed in re- covering costs against the offending clergyman. Indeed Associations have been formed for the purpose of com- pelling these public officers to keep within the limits of the law, and in some cases, perhaps, for the purpose of assisting them to evade or resist their legal obligations. The Ecclesiastical Courts, to which the appeal must be made, are among the slowest and most expensive of our Courts, and the legislature has effected but little towards providing a short and clear code of ecclesiastical offences which would enable the Court to see at once whether the clergyman is within his rights or not. A clergyman often continues to draw State pay for years after he has done acts for which any other public official would have been summarily dismissed :* but as a set-off to this, he is sometimes sent to prison, when no other public servant would be sent there. In fact, while the clergyman draws public pay, he often denies that he is a public servant at all, and he meets with a good deal of sympathy in his de- nial because he appears to be only asserting the supe- riority of divine law to human. That he ought not to be a public servant is my contention, but so long as he draws State pay he is one ; and what right has he to ♦ And is even allowed to perform duties after being dismissed for non- compliance with the law. This is done imder the pretext of assisting some one else. The English Church Establishment, 209 draw it, while carrying out his own notions of the divine law, in opposition to the law of the State, which pays him ? The Roman Catholic, the Presbyterian, the In- dependent, the Methodist, and the Quaker, are, like him, carrying out their own notions of divine law. Why, then, should they not receive State pay as well as he ? It is useless, indeed, to expect the Ritualist to view the question in this light ; but the fact remains that numbers of clergymen are now receiving public money without conforming to the conditions which the State has an- nexed to that payment, while the existing remedies for this evil are of the most inadequate description. It is not persecution to say to the Roman Catholic or the Dissenter, *We will not give you any pay'; but it is regarded in many quarters as persecution to say to the Church of England clergyman, * We will stop your pay unless you comply with the conditions which the State has attached to it'; nor do I believe the matter will be viewed differently until the Church has been dises- tablished. Imprisoning a clergyman for not complying with the State requirements is an absurdity and an ana- chronism. Can it be contended that it is impossible to have the Church service conducted in conformity with the law, without imprisoning the man who conducts it otherwise r* His imprisonment does not insure its proper performance even while he remains in gaol ; while, if he is at last deprived of his parish, there is nothing to prevent a man of similar sentiments being * And perhaps at the same time imprisoning another man for interrupting this illegal service ! Such is the present state of the law. 2IO The English Church Establishment, appointed to succeed him. The present condition of English ecclesiastical law is a scandal ; and it often happens that a law-abiding congregation has practically no rights whatever against the law-breaking rector with his patron and supporters. On the other hand, even where the clergyman and his flock are in perfect unison, they are not safe from the Ecclesiastical Courts, as at present constituted, which may be set in motion by some Association against the wish of the parishioners. Another evil of the State endowment is that it di- verts private endowments into a wrong channel. There are many persons who are willing to contribute for the good of the English Church, but finding that all its pressing needs are provided for by means of the public purse, they set about beautifying the Church fabrics, improving the music, providing peals of bells, &c., &c., all of which an economist must regard as for the most part a very unproductive expenditure of wealth. Con- sidering the advantages of religion, the economist will not feel disposed to decry any real help to devotion ; but much the greater part of the expenditure to which I refer cannot be brought under that head. Even in Ire- land we have seen a sum sufficient to provide a per- manent endowment for at least thirty poor parishes expended on a cathedral, when there was already another (and a finer one) within a few hundred yards of the same spot, and. open to all the same class of worshippers.* But this is much more true of England, where the sus- * Unless, indeed, the two cathedrals were intended for the worship of the members of two opposite factions in the Church. The English Church Establishment. 2 1 1 tentation of the Church is provided for by the State, and it is hardly possible for voluntary contributions for purely Church purposes to take any other direction than that of ornamentation. The money which is thus wasted would probably be applied to really useful purposes if State assistance was withdrawn. The State would gain, and the Church, even in a pecuniary point of view, would probably lose nothing. Its clergy would be as well sup- ported as before, though a few sinecures, or half-sinecures, might disappear. We should only have less expensive edifices, and less costly and theatrical services; and everyone knows that it was not by the magnificence of its buildings, or the splendour of its ritual, that Chris- tianity first made its way in the world. A nearer approach to its primitive condition might perhaps strengthen rather than weaken its influence for good on the masses. And this observation leads to another objection to a Church Establishment so richly endowed as that of England. When a young man of talent and learning resolves to adopt religious teaching as his profession, he is strongly tempted to join the persuasion in which he may rise to be a peer of the realm, with an income of several thousands a year ; while, even if he misses that distinction, there are many minor prizes which he may reasonably hope to acquire, and which are consi- derably above anything that he can expect to achieve in a dissenting communion. And as the Church is not very stringent in the pledges which it exacts from its ministers, and allows them pretty wide scope for the P 2 212 ' The English Church Establishment, exercise of their own judgment after their ordination, the sacrifice of principle which a talented Dissenter is required to make is not after all so very violent. A direct bribe is thus held out to the ablest young men who would otherwise become Dissenting ministers, and in some instances at all events it has proved successful. But as regards the allied Episcopal Churches of Ireland and Scotland, the bribe is still more direct. The clergy- men and members of these Churches can transfer their services to the English Church without any sacrifice of principle at all ; and the greater wealth of English Churchmen would probably enable them to offer a bribe under any circumstances. But they are not thrown upon their own wealth for this purpose. The State supplies the bribe ; and the sister Churches are thus placed at even a more serious disadvantage than the Dissenters as regards their ministry. There are probably as many Irishmen (with Irish Divinity Testi- moniums) in the Church of England as in the Church of Ireland, and it is the picked men who are usually car- ried off by the former. The English Establishment is thus an injury to every other religious body in the king- dom, and the injury is greatest in the case of the re- ligious communities which approach most closely to it both in doctrine and practice. Their best men are tempted to leave them by positions of honour and emo- lument which are placed by the State at the disposal of the very Church which of all others has least need of them — the Church of the majority, of the wealthy, and of the people of rank and fashion — the Church which The English Church E stab lis hmeyit. 2 1 3 could outbid the others without any help from the public treasury. Another evil of the Establishment is the great dif- ficulty of reforming and amending an Established Church. On the occasion of its disestablishment, the Irish Church adopted a Constitution which seemed to pledge it against all reform, two-thirds of the repre- sentatives of both clergy and laity being required to concur (and that more than once) in any amending enactment which was to be passed into law by its Synod. Considering the conservative tendencies of Churchmen, and the unwillingness of the clergy of either school to alter formularies which both had al- ways asserted to be in their own favour, it might seem at first sight that this constitution rendered change im- possible ; yet the changes which have been adopted by the Irish Church during the last fifteen years are per- haps more important than those made by its English sister in three centuries. The clergy and laity of the English Church have no recognized method of express- ing their wishes on the subject, and even if they had, they might fail to set the wheels of the State machine in motion. However clear the expression of opinion might be, the Cabinet might have other business which prevented it from attempting any legislation on the subject. The Premier might belong to the theological school which was threatened by the alterations, and for that reason refuse to take them up. The measure might be made a party question, and the Ministers might re- fuse to risk a defeat on it ; or the Roman Catholic and 214 The English Church Establishment. other non-Church members of Parliament might assist the obstructive party in the Church in order that the Establishment should not be strengthened by the pro- posed reforms. By accepting the State endowment, the Church has lost the power of self-legislation, and as the State takes very little interest in legislating for it (and receives very little thanks when it does so legislate), the Church has practically become as unchangeable as if it laid claim to infallibility. But the Church of England makes no such claim ; and the great latitude which it allows to its clergy in dealing with its articles and for- mularies probably arises from the fact that the need of amendment is generally felt, while the State connexion renders this general feeling inoperative. The clergy- man who publicly returns thanks to the Deity for having regenerated the child which he has just baptized is allowed to state in his sermon that he does not believe that it has been regenerated, and that he is doubtful whether it ever will be. This license of interpretation on questions of such solemnity can hardly fail to be productive of ill effects ; but in this instance the clergy- man could probably say that if a vote were taken among the members of the Church, there would be a large ma- jority in his favour. In truth, the formularies always represented the opinions of the bishops and clergy rather than those of the majority of the members ; but even as regards the bishops and clergy, they only repre- sent the opinions which were held in the year 1662 — the opinions of men who succeeded in fastening on the Church until very recently a service in honour of King The English Church Establishment. 2 1 5 Charles the Martyr, which must have delighted Mr. Bradlaugh while it continued in force.* The Church may be better than its formularies : but undoubtedly, in the present day, the formularies are one thing, and the sentiments of the majority of Churchmen are another thing. If it be said that I should not speak of the sen- timents of the majority of Churchmen but of those of the clergy, I reply that the last task which the State should undertake is that of attempting to enforce the doctrines of any priesthood upon an unwilling people. Moreover, what, on this assumption, becomes of the argument that the Church of England is the Church of the majority ? Are its formularies the formularies of the majority ? Or would these formularies be left unaltered if the question was decided by a popular vote ? Penal laws of any kind against Nonconformists are now abolished; but, still, I believe that the exclusive patronage (in England) of one Church by the State gives rise to no slight amount of indirect persecution. The man who prevents the erection of a Dissenting meeting-house on his property, and even forbids his tenants to set lodgings to a Dissenting minister, flatters himself that he acts from other motives than mere bi- gotry. He is showing himself to be a loyal subject ; he is on the side of the State, and of the State Church ; and he fancies that he is in the same position as the Orange- man who gets up a demonstration against the National * Does any one now believe in the so-called Athanasian Creed ? Yes, all the clergy do — provided that you will allow them to interpret it after their own fashion. 2 1 6 The English Church Establishment, League. Nor would the censure of the Government of the day have any more effect on the one than on the other ; for both would equally regard this particular Ministry as seeking to subvert the English Constitu- tion — which, however, was certain to triumph in the long run over such puny assailants. It will be admitted, I think, that the English oppressor has not quite as much reason for his conduct as the Orangeman has, and that he is not quite so certain of being censured for his conduct by the powers that be. Be this as it may, however, if the State placed all religious denomi- nations on the same level, bigotry and intolerance would have to show themselves in their true colours ; and in the present state of public opinion this would make them cautious about showing themselves at all. But, in fact, if the State connexion was once broken, it would be seen that there was no Church in the world which was less calculated to evoke enthusiasm on the part of its followers than the Church of England. A Church which one party regards as Protestant and Re- formed, and another as Catholic and Unreformed, and whose doctrines and formularies are so loosely or incon- sistently expressed that both parties can make out a very plausible case — a Church in which one man may teach one doctrine, and another may teach the opposite without let or hindrance, and in which no member who goes into a strange edifice knows whether the views put forward there will agree with or differ from his own — is, at all events, not calculated to render men bigots. Men may fall down and worship a golden calf, but they will The English Church Establishment, 2 1 7 scarcely worship an image so shapeless and indefinite that one man takes it for a lion, and another for a don- key. Bigotry requires something definite to rest upon ; but the Church of England is all things to all men ; and though it may thus gain some disciples, they are seldom very ardent ones. The advantages which the nation might derive from the confiscated Church property, after providing for vested interests, are too obvious to insist on ; and I fail to see any reason whatever why this public property should not be again applied to the use of the public. At present a considerable portion of the public is ex- cluded from its benefits; its uses are accompanied by abuses which seem almost inseparable from them ; State connexion has in more than one respect proved injurious to the Church itself; and this particular appli- cation of public property appears to have been founded on a politico-religious system which no eminent states- man of the present day would attempt to defend. The misapplication has already continued too long. The sooner it is now terminated the better. Another advantage which I anticipate from the dis- establishment of the English Church is, the emancipa- tion of the education of the young from ecclesiastical control. Of course, a man who supports a school out of his own pocket, or by means of voluntary contributions, may fairly be allowed to regulate the education given in it ; but as regards State-supported schools, I cannot see that the State is bound to supply religious education to the young any more than to the old. It would indeed 2 1 8 The English Church Establishment. be desirable to offer the use of the school-house to reli- gious teachers at certain hours, since it would be difficult otherwise to assemble the same number of children for the purpose; but the schoolmaster or schoolmistress should not be required to take any part in the instruc- tion thus afforded. Owing to peculiar circumstances the disestablishment of the Irish Church has not led to this emancipation in Ireland ; and to this cause the pre- sent condition of that country is, I believe, in some de- gree attributable. Ecclesiastics who contribute almost nothing to the support of the State schools are allowed to exercise complete control over them — selecting a teacher who is far from being the most competent to fill the post, and dismissing him on grounds quite distinct from immoral conduct or failure as a secular instructor. Hence, under this pretended system of Mixed Educa- tion, the schools are too frequently converted into hot- beds of religious bigotry, and sometimes of disloyalty also ; while the education given is by no means so good as if the State took the matter into its own hands, and selected the Commissioners of National Education for purely educational reasons. No teacher, inspector, or commissioner should be appointed for religious rea- sons ; and grants (except in the form of results' fees) should be withheld from every school which bears a distinctly denominational character. The appointment and dismissal of all teachers paid by the State should rest exclusively with the State, and the State should make its selection, having regard to educational fit- ness and moral character. These principles seem so The English Church Establishment. 219 obvious as regards a country where there is no Estab- lished Church, that one would think it was unnecessary to insist on them ; yet they are more universally disre- garded in Ireland than in England. The school in four cases out of five is not worked by the State, but by the clerical manager (usually a Roman Catholic priest), who perhaps cares nothing about secular education, is only desirous that the fundamental principles of his creed should be instilled into the minds of the pupils, and prefers a teacher who has not been trained in the State training-school to one who has. And it is for the be- nefit of this clerical manager (or rather mismanager) that the English taxpayer maintains the school, and maintains it in a condition which even the report of a co-religionist inspector often declares to be in every respect discreditable. Secular education has not, I be- lieve, any tendency to subvert religion. It is good in itself, instead of being (as many of the managers seem to think) bad in itself, unless diluted with a liberal in- fusion of dogma. The religious instruction of the young is not the primary object of the State. No boy is the worse Catholic or the worse Protestant for knowing the six books of Euclid ; but if he is sent to a school where the primary object is to make him a good Catholic or a good Protestant, the chances are that he will not know the six books of Euclid as well as he ought to know them. Re- sults' fees for answering in secular subjects may perhaps be granted to any school ; but when the State supports a school in any other manner than this, the total separa- tion of the secular and religious departments should be 2 20 The English Church Establishment. insisted on ; and the public grant should be limited to the teachers in the former departments, who should thereupon become servants of the State and of the State only. To conclude : should not a great populous and wealthy Church, like the Church of England, be ashamed of subsisting on the public rates, like a pauper ? UNEARNED WEALTH. 'TPHAT every man should be permitted to enjoy what he has honestly earned, and should be allowed to dispose of it as he pleases during his lifetime, will, I think, be generally conceded. The power of disposition after death is open to more question. It is founded rather in the law of the land than in the nature of things, and could plainly be altered by legislation if it was desirable to do so. But one of a man's chief ob- jects in earning money is to make a provision for his wife and family in the event of his death, and to deprive him of this power would be to deprive him of one of his main incentives to work, besides introducing uneasiness and anxiety into almost every family in the kingdom. Whether the same right should be extended to provid- ing for distant relatives, for friends who are not rela- tives, and for persons already possessed of adequate wealth, is open to considerable doubt ; while it is still more doubtful whether, when an intestate leaves no near relatives, the State should transmit his property to persons about whom he perhaps knew nothing and cared nothing,* rather than take possession of it for * A considerable portion of his property is sometimes squandered in litigation in trying to ascertain who his heirs or next-of-kin are : and when 2 22 Unearned Wealth, public purposes. Some restriction on the law of de- scent, and perhaps also on the power of willing, would I think be desirable ; but the broader question seems to depend on another one, viz.. To what extent should a man be allowed to enjoy wealth which he has not earned, but which has come to him by gift, bequest, or operation of law ? That a man should be allowed the use of some un- earned wealth seems sufficiently obvious. If no one could get a start in life until he had earned the requisite amount of capital by the produce of his own labour, the progress of every species of trade, industry, and manufacture would be retarded ; while young men would be found working hard in order to save a little money at the time when they should be occupied in completing their education. But by Unearned Wealth I mean such an amount of unearned wealth as enables a man to dispense with any business or profession, and to live upon its annual proceeds in idleness. The most promi- nent example of this kind is, perhaps, the landlord who succeeds to his estate by inheritance or deed of settle- ment executed before he was born ; but it is a great mistake to suppose that his is the only case in point. Many a man (or woman) lives on the annual proceeds of money lent at interest, of shares in public companies, of businesses in which he is a sleeping partner, &c. &c., or at least derives a sufficient income from these sources to live upon it if he chooses to do so — this wealth not discovered, it is difficult to discover any rational or moral ground for prefer- ring them to other relatives. Unearned Wealth 223 having been earned by the person who enjoys it. The landlords are as far from being the only drones as the tenants are from being the only working bees. But the drone, no matter who he may be, is an injury to society so long as he is merely a drone. In fact every man who earns less than he consumes is an injury to society; but there are different kinds of earning. So far from desiring the abolition of unearned wealth, I believe that its existence would prove in a high degree bene- ficial to society if its possessors were conscious of the duties which it imposed on them. And they might be made conscious of these duties partly by legislation, but still more by an enlightened public opinion. If we consider society as it actually exists, we shall see that many of its most important functions are per- formed gratuitously. This is the ordinary case, for instance, with a magistrate or justice of the peace. The importance of speedy and inexpensive justice in small matters, and of immediate inquiries on the spot in the case of serious crimes, is manifest ; and if not performed gratuitously, a large paid staff of officials would require to be engaged for the purpose. The duties of jurors are hardly less important; and then we have poor law guardians, members of school boards, of corporations, of committees of various charitable and public institutions, and other similar functionaries, very few of whom receive payment for their services. And the highest functions of all — those of the Ministers of State — fall under the same head. It is but rarely that a man who has earned or is earning a livelihood can rise 224 Unearned Wealth. to the highest eminence as a statesman. A really great statesman must usually commence his political career at an early age, and devote himself more exclusively to it when once commenced than would be possible if he had not derived a competence from his ancestors, or perhaps from his marriage with a rich wife. There are many sciences, too, for the adequate cultivation of which amateurs must co-operate with paid investigators. Geology is one of these ; and Astronomy has now, I think, reached the same condition. Putting everything together, I doubt whether the work which is performed gratuitously for the public is not of even greater value than that which is performed by the paid servants of the State. Every man who succeeds in improving the sani- tary condition of a country village confers a benefit on the public. But while a good deal is thus done gratuitously, a great deal more ought to be done ; and what is done ought to be done a great deal better. Men of unearned wealth do not sufficiently recognize their duties to society, and no strong public opinion compels them to recognize it. In fact a great part of the unpaid duties which I have referred to are discharged by persons who earn their own bread and who employ their leisure hours for the purpose, rather than by those who find their bread ready earned for them. The most active magis- trates, poor-law guardians, members of school boards, and committee-men, are often professional men, clergy- men, or men of business, who have abundance of other work on hands ; while those who have ample leisure for Unearned Wealth. 225 the performance of these public duties take little or no part in the discharge of them. We frequently find the Government compelled to employ a paid magistracy in the very localities where men of unearned wealth are most numerous, while those of the latter class who act as magistrates take no pains to qualify themselves for the duties of that office, and are often most irregular in their attendance. The result is not unfrequently a mis- carriage of justice. * Justice's justice ' is almost a pro- verbial phrase in England ; while * I make no more of him nor I would of a jistice of the pace ' may be taken as the Irish equivalent. The practice of appointing unqualified magistrates (from the impossibility of pro- curing qualified ones) has indeed been carried so far, that unqualified persons are often appointed paid magis- trates without a murmur of disapproval being called forth by the selection (provided that the appointee is not personally or politically obnoxious) ; and if the stipendiary has only the good sense not to talk too much he is secure of his post for the rest of his life.* The verdicts of juries are often not remarkable for sagacity ; but unfortunately our existing law is just as ready to call aw^ay the man who is earning his bread from his daily occupation as to require the idler to per- form at least one duty to the public. As non-attendance * And the loud talker, however ignorant, may get a better post provided that his sentiments agree with those of the Government of the day — as those of an astute stipendiary usually do. The man who commits every Orangeman for trial under one Ministry would probably commit every Nationalist under the next. Q 226 Unearned Wealth, is only punished by fines, those who can pay fines most easily are least frequent in their attendance. It is the struggling man, whose attendance is required at his shop or his farm, who is most certain to be found in the jury-box when the wealthy drone is at the racecourse, the concert, or the cricket-match ; or perhaps engaged in hunting, shooting, or yachting. Or he may be en- gaged in doing mischief. Idle people are not usually amongst the most moral members of society ; while the fussy activity of unqualified persons is often a source of no small evil. Landlords in particular, when they be- come active members of society, are apt to degenerate into petty tyrants ; and the tenant is often exposed to loss by being forced to comply with his master's whims. One general impression amongst active landlords ap- pears to be that the highest style of culture is the most profitable. This is only true within certain limits, and even then subject to the qualification that the cultivator understands the system. Give the tenant a secure tenure and freedom to manage his farm as he pleases, and you may feel pretty certain that he will adopt the mode of culture which is most advantageous under the circumstances : but if the farm is managed by one who principally regards appearances and thinks little of the profits provided that his own rent is paid, the conse- quences can hardly fail to be injurious. Landlords have a sufficiently wide field of duties to perform towards the public without dictating to the tenant what crops he shall grow, what rotation he shall adopt, what Unearned Wealth, 227 fences he shall make, or where he shall grind his corn. Misdirected activity often has consequences quite as bad as those of idleness.* In the first place, then, those who are born to wealth should be educated with a view of using it aright. Public opinion should insist on this ; and possibly some legislation in this direction is also required. Every man who is expected to become a magistrate, or a member of many of the local boards, should have an University degree ; and degree examinations (at least in the case of some degrees) should be re-modelled with a view of testing the qualifications of a man of leisure for the performance of his duties to the public. No man should become a justice of the peace without having previously acquired an elementary knowledge of law ; and I may add that some legal knowledge is highly desirable in the case of a juror also. Every man of unearned wealth should moreover be instructed in the elementary principles of social and political • science, and his future duties towards society should be im- pressed on his mind from an early age. When arrived at maturity, public opinion should require him to per- form the duties for which he had thus been fitted. The magistrate who seldom sat on the bench, the juror who was not found when wanted, the guardian who was rarely at his post, should all (in the absence of some good excuse) become objects of public reprobation. And I think income tax might be imposed at a much * Even this misdirected activity, however, is as frequently that of the agent as of the landlord. Q2 2 28 Unearned Wealth, higher rate on unearned incomes, unless the person in the receipt of them could show that he was engaged in the performance of some unpaid public duty. Men of business and professional men should be exempted from serving on juries altogether, unless the number of men of leisure in the district was too small to supply the want. I may here state that it is by no means my intention to object to innocent recreations. It is, on the con- trary, desirable that the majority of mankind should enjoy more recreation than they do. The end of human life is not wealth, still less is it labour ; and though, generally speaking, man must earn his bread with the sweat of his brow, it is by no means necessary that every man should be constantly engaged in thus earning it. Without accepting in full what is known as the Utili- tarian or Greatest-happiness principle, it is certain that pleasure or happiness is a higher and more important end than wealth, and that wealth is not the sole, or even the principal, source of pleasure or happiness. A great cricketer, a great billiard-player, a great chess-player, even a great jockey, probably confers more pleasure on the human race than the head of the house of Roths- child. Nor do I contend that everyone should enjoy the same amount of pleasure ; for whether that object is de- sirable or not, it seems to me impossible of attainment. I merely object to men who do nothing for society — who merely enjoy pleasures themselves, without conferring them on others, or at all events whose services to society are no equivalent for the pleasures which they Unearned Wealth, 2 2g enjoy under the protection of our laws. * If any man will not work neither let him eat/ contains, I believe, a good deal of sound political economy ; and though a man need not keep constantly at work in order to earn enough for his own support, he must do some work to attain that object. The man who is born to a fortune of ten thousand pounds, comes into the world with an order for ten thousand pounds' worth of the labour of other men. Should society allow him to put this order in force without giving it some equivalent ? And more especially, should it do so when it exacts from some of its members numerous and important unpaid services, such as those of magistrates and jurors ? No doubt there are men born to wealth w^ho are in- capable of conferring any service on the public. There are idiots, and lunatics, cripples, and persons of hope- lessly delicate health. No one, I believe, w^ould desire to deprive such persons of a reasonable competence ; but what more than that do they require r Of what advantage is an estate of ;^ 20,000 a-year to a lunatic who resides at an asylum, the keeper of which at most receives ;£iooo, while the balance, after providing for law costs, creates a fund for relatives of whom the lunatic knows nothing. Nor indeed is there almost any case in w^hich a man physically incapable of working can really enjoy a large fortune, while its possession sometimes exposes him to annoyance and even danger. A man of wealth may also be unable to do much for society owing to a different cause. Brought up without much education, he may succeed to a large fortune when 230 Unearned Wealth, of mature years. But the very fact that he has been thus brought up, shows that he has not entertained the expectation of becoming a millionaire from his youth. His good fortune has come upon him unexpectedly, and the State would disappoint no reasonable expectations and arrangements entered into on the strength of them by limiting the amount of his luck. If it should not think proper to do so, at all events there is one thing that it can insist upon, namely, that he should educate his family with the view of rendering them useful mem- bers of society. His sons may confer upon the country the benefits which he himself is unable to confer. There are few boys, I believe, who do not possess a taste for some useful pursuit, if this taste was encouraged from the outset. But in the case of those who have to earn their own livelihood, the parent must, to a large extent, choose "what the child's pursuit is to be, and even where the father wishes to give free scope to the son's talent, his means are often too limited for the pur- pose. It is therefore only in the case of the children of the wealthy that the disposition and abilities of the child can be really studied, and a career moulded for him in accordance with his tastes. It is idle to suppose that mere attendance at school is sufficient for this pur- pose. There are teachers and teachers ; and some, who are well qualified to impart information, fail to obtain a sufficient influence over the pupil to induce him to learn. Dispositions, too, often change with age. Idle boys often become studious men, and there are as striking instances of late as of early development. And if it is Unearned Wealth, 231 known at a school that a boy is not destined for an University career, or for any competitive examination, the teacher v^^ill, I believe, usually become more or less indifferent as to his proficiency. There is, moreover, another reason v^hy school is insufficient to bring out a boy's real abilities. Many of the subjects which are of most importance in life are almost wholly excluded from the ordinary scholastic curriculum. Such subjects are Experimental and Natural Philosophy (including As- tronomy, Geology, and Mechanics], Logic, Mental and Moral Science, Sociology, and Political Economy. The boy who leaves school an ignoramus might, if some of these branches of learning had been presented to him, have become a burning and a shining light ; but on leaving school he subsides into a country gentleman — or a town gentleman — and these sciences remain to him but empty names for the rest of his life. How can we tell whether a man who has never opened a book on Political Economy has or has not a taste for it ? And if we sometimes hear him urging an absurd argument on a political question, it may be that the same argument was accepted by men of first-rate ability before the time of Adam Smith, with whose writings, and those of his successors, the reasoner is altogether unacquainted. Not merely country gentlemen, but men in general are not so stupid as they are sometimes described. They often repeat what they have heard, without understand- ing it in all its bearings, and are not perhaps masters of the art of expression ; but they may, notwithstanding, have obtained a very good grasp of any subject which 2;^ 2 Ufiearned Wealth. they have really endeavoured to comprehend. Want of education and study, not want of ability, is the real defect here, and a considerable step would be taken towards remedying it if, in the case of the wealthy, an University education was always insisted on. University education itself however, as already noticed, is suscep- tible of considerable improvement. A youth may be prevented from taking a high position in some depart- ment for which he has a decided talent, by being com- pelled to cram up something else which he positively dislikes as a means of obtaining his degree. And I think there can be no doubt that both at schools and Universities too much stress is laid upon the languages and literature of Greece and Rome. These are not the studies which are calculated to render the pupil most useful to society in his after-life. They are capable of little or no expansion, while the sciences are advancing on all sides with giant strides ; and to give to classics anything like the same proportionate weight that was given to it a hundred years ago, is simply to ignore the great feature in the progress of the century. The statue which was as large as a child of three, falls far short of the stature of a youth of twenty. The case of classics and science is similar, except that the latter has not probably attained half its full growth as yet. In classics, moreover, we can only seek for men who have mastered their subject ; in science we seek for men who will advance it. The classical scholar merely preserves the intellectual wealth that has been transmitted to us ; the man of science adds to the national stock. Even if Unearned Wealth, i'^'}) the one kind of learning was of equal importance with the other, production is entitled to a preference over preservation. The gentleman or lady usually looks down upon the man who has earned his own money and the members of his family. There would be some ground for this feeling if the superiority of education, which ought to exist, really did so. But in most cases, I believe, no superiority will be found, except a little superficial polish in manner, dress, and accent ; while in solid information the self-made man, however imperfectly educated, is often in advance of the inheritor of wealth. The manner and appearance of the gentleman, no doubt, shows that he has moved in polite society : but what good has he ever done by moving in it ? Is that society either better or worse than if he had not moved in it ? And what has he himself gained by the con- nexion ? I once heard of a definition of a gentleman as * one who never did a hand's turn for himself or any- one else,' and I fear there is a considerable amount of truth in it. If indeed his intercourse with society, even in that limited circle, had made it more moral, more in- telligent, more active, or more charitable, it could not be said that he had lived to no purpose. But there are few persons of whom such a statement can be made. The majority are simply no better and no worse than their neighbours ; and if some are better than the ave- rage, others are worse. Their airs of superiority rest upon the slenderest basis. They ought to be really superior, but they are not. The fault, however, is per- 234 Unearned Wealth. haps not theirs but that of their parents, or indeed that of society itself: for it is seldom that we find anyone doing more for society than public opinion requires him to do. Disinterested philanthropy is as rare as a wish to stand well with our fellow-men in common. If society wishes individuals to serve it, that wish must be plainly and clearly expressed, and must be enforced by the weapons with which society enforces its wishes — praise and blame. Anything beyond this is unnecessary and injurious; but society as a body has never, I be- lieve, employed other weapons. Rattening, boycotting, assaults, murders, and other species of outrage, are not the weapons of society, but of particular classes, who seek to promote their class-interests by these means; and the victims of these outrages are often supported by another class whose interests run counter to those of the former. When society is unanimous, such methods are unnecessary, and are not resorted to ; but they very frequently occur when the struggle is one between class and class. Class struggles, as I have elsewhere noticed, cannot be prevented by legislation ; but a good Govern- ment should prevent the employment of these means of warfare. And I may add that the surest method of pre- vention is to make outrages injurious, not merely to the individual, but to the class in whose interest they are resorted to.* * There must be an end to outrages before we legislate' is a principle which, however unpopular at * This class almost always sympathises with the criminals. If the class — not merely its leaders — disapproved of these crimes, they would not take place. But even the expressed disapprobation of the leaders is often faint, and I fear sometimes insincere. Unearned Wealth, 235 the present day, Governments will, I believe, be ulti- mately compelled to adopt. Society in general, how- ever, is usually too inactive in the assertion of its own interests : and in urging it to do a little more than it has hitherto done, I have no fear of inciting it to out- rage. It should teach men of unearned wealth what their duties are, and enforce their performance by ex- pressing its disapprobation when they are neglected. Few men will persist in a course of action (or inaction) of which all classes disapprove and avow their disap- proval.* * But if men are allowed to enjoy unearned wealth without rendering any service to society, I fear that for a considerable time to come, at all events, there will be toadies willing to express approval of their conduct in the hope of a little base gain. The other measures referred to in the earlier portion of this Essay cannot therefore be wholly dispensed with. UFI71IISITT1 236 Unearned Wealth. Note on the House of Lords. Closely connected with this question of Unearned Wealth is one which promises ere long to become a burning question — that of the House of Lords. In the future a rightly-constituted House of Lords will, I be- lieve, be of more value and importance to the country than at any past period. As regards the Lower House, we are plainly drifting towards the result that every man (and probably every woman) shall have a vote, that no one shall have more than one vote, and that each vote shall be of equal value as regards returning a representative. Under such a system wealth, talent, and education cease to be represented. It is true, in- deed, that the man of wealth, talent, and education may, to a certain extent, have a better chance of being chosen as the representative of the people, but he will not represent wealth, talent, or education. He will re- present a constituency in which the lower classes will predominate ; and he will probably be chosen for a short time, and will be set aside at the next election if he dares to oppose his private convictions to the popular feeling. And under the present system of government by party he will probably degenerate, not merely into the spokesman of his constituents, but into the spokes- man of one section of his constituents.* There is not * For as the other section will be pretty certain to vote against him in any case, his only chance of re-election is to retain the favour of his own section, though its numbers may be diminishing. In this way the representative of a Unearned Wealth, 237 much independence to be found among the members of the House of Commons as it is. There will be less in future. The Sovereign at present never interferes with the decisions of Parliament; and if we are not to have a Democracy, pure and simple — if we are to give any weight to property, education, and talent — we must preserve the House of Lords. A peer who is in no dan- ger of losing his vote because he records it against the mob, and who either seeks no office, or at all events can support himself without one, is not only in a position to form an impartial judgment, but to vote in accordance with his convictions ; and if the House was so con- structed that every peer should be competent to form a judgment on the most important political questions of the day, while a considerable proportion of the inde- pendent men capable of forming such a judgment were peers, the Upper House would form a most valuable adjunct to the Lower. But the Upper House as at pre- sent constituted does not fulfil these conditions. Public opinion apparently does not require the legislator by inheritance to qualify himself for becoming one. Every peer who succeeds to a peerage by descent should, I think, be required to pass a qualifying exami- nation before he is allowed to sit or vote in the House of Lords. This would be the first preservative against unqualified legislators in the Upper House. But the same provision should be extended to persons created peers, unless for public services of a non-political majority may become the representative of a minority long before he ceases to sit. 238 Unearned Wealth, character. In addition to this a property qualification should be required. We do not want needy peers, who intend to use their hereditary powers of legislation as a means of earning a livelihood. A limitation should be placed on the number of peers to be created by the Crown. The House is already attaining formidable dimensions ; and an unlimited power of creating new peers, vested in a Minister chosen by the Lower House, would be clearly fatal to the independence of the House of Lords. But I think any man possessing certain qua- lifications might have the right of claiming the peerage, subject perhaps to a veto, for reasons assigned, to be vested in a responsible Minister. The qualifications, both as to education and property, should in this case be higher than in that of a hereditary peer succeeding to the title ; but I see no reason why, when these quali- fications were high enough, the peerage should not be a matter of right. A certain number of life-peers, too, might be elected by the educated classes — the graduates of the several Universities for instance. These consti- tuencies are represented in the Lower House, but their representatives are too few to possess any important influence there. The Lower House will ere long repre- sent the lower classes only, and the Upper House should therefore represent the upper classes, if they are to be represented at all. But it ought to represent all that is good in the upper classes, and to represent it in the best way. The value of such a representation has, I think, been clearly shown by the history of this country since the Unearned Wealth, 239 last Reform Bill. Carried by a Conservative Ministry, that measure resulted in the first instance in a Liberal majority large enough to render the Conservatives almost powerless in the House; and such a majority has always a tendency to become tyrannical and irrespon- sible. It continued to rule the country long after the wave of popular feeling that had called it into power had died away. The Ministers still commanded large majorities on party questions, when bye-election after bye-election had proved that popular feeling was as much opposed to them as it had once been in their favour. At last a General Election took place; and substituting * Conservative ' for * Liberal ' the same his- tory was repeated to the letter. Then came a third General Election, and with it a Liberal majority, larger, more irresponsible, and more tyrannical, than that which had ruled either of the preceding Parliaments. Has the wave of feeling that called the Liberals again to power died away once more ? I do not know ; but it is a significant fact that for some time past the Conservatives have been clamouring for a General Election, while the Liberals have been doing their utmost to avoid it. They are at the same time endea- vouring to work again upon the popular mind in a new direction, so as to have a new election-cry when the dreaded dissolution becomes inevitable. The further extension of the Franchise will, I believe, make those features, for a time at least, still more marked. Popu- lar constituencies will want ballast — at all events until they have been educated to make a right use of their 240 Unearned Wealth. political privileges. It may be long before we again see a Minister at the head of one of those narrow majorities which compels him to consult the public sentiment at every step. We are, I fear, more likely to see him occupying the position of a dictator, because his clap- trap went down with the populace four or five years ago, and thus rendered him secure against all oppo- nents until the next General Election, when he will disappear for a season — perhaps to re-appear in still greater power at the following dissolution. From faults of this character popular constituencies have seldom been free ; and for that reason it is seldofti safe to trust the government of a great country into their hands alone. Vox populi is hardly tox Dei when it says one thing one day and the opposite on the day following. An Upper House, not dependent on the breath of popular clamour, is therefore of great value ; and its value in the future is likely to be enhanced rather than the con- trary. But to be of real value it must be a properly-qua- lified Upper House. It must not represent merely class interests or party interests. It must represent the inde- pendent opinions of men better qualified to judge than the masses, who can apply the drag to the wheel in a manner for which the masses themselves will afterwards feel thankful — of men who can anticipate the popular feeling of the future as well as read the popular feeling of the present. It is only a genuine aristocracy of the best kind that can save us from an aristocracy of orators varied by the monarchy of a single orator. The popu- lace, no doubt, may be educated so as to know how to Unearned Wealth. 241 govern the country ; but I fear it will be long before they possess this education. It is in fact * the lie which is half the truth ' that at the present juncture has most weight with the masses ; for unadorned truth is seldom of much use to a party orator, and therefore it obtains but little hold on the public mind. Polemical language, which the orator will not afterwards repeat or defend in argument, is much more to his purpose. We ought to have one House at least where this kind of speech- making would be at a discount — where a clearly-marked distinction would be drawn between the statesman and the orator on the one hand, and between the orator and the liar on the other. This should be the function of a properly-constituted House of Lords. Shorter Parliaments would, indeed, remove some of the evils to which I have referred. With annual Parlia- ments we should never run the risk of being governed by a body which represented the public feeling of the past instead of that of the present. But the greater instability of Ministries, and the more immediate dependence of the representatives upon their constituen- cies which this system would introduce are evils of con- siderable magnitude. I incline to think that the best arrangement would be septennial or quinquennial Par- liaments, as at present, with a clearly recognized right on the part of the Upper House to enforce a dissolution when any question which was not before the country at the preceding General Election had become the pro- minent topic of the day. * This question is an impor- tant one. It has not hitherto been before the country : R 242 Unearned Wealth. you must take the opinion of the country upon it now,' is surely as reasonable a demand as the Upper House could address to a Minister whose majority in the Lower House was the result of an election held before the question alluded to had attained its present prominence. In fact there is nothing better calculated to keep the Upper House in harmony with the people than its de- claration that it prefers the judgment of the people to that of a set of gentlemen who once represented them, but do so no longer. An appeal from the existing House of Commons to the popular constituencies which returned it, is one which, even if misplaced in an indivi- dual instance, manifests at once the confidence of the Upper House in the masses, and its desire to consult the wishes of the masses. The real danger in such cases is twofold. First, that some demagogues may succeed in representing the matter as a conflict between the repre- sentatives of the people and a body of hereditary legis- tors, and thus obtain the verdict of the country in favour of the former upon a false issue — that the country, for example, may restore to power a Ministry of whose foreign policy it disapproves, because it believes that this Ministry is fighting for the liberties of the people against the House of Peers. Secondly, that the Upper House, desiring to get rid of some ob- noxious measure, may try the chance of an appeal to the country, having previously determined to reject the Bill in question whatever the result of the popular verdict may be. Now it seems clear that when the Upper House submits an issue to the people, it is bound Unearned Wealth. 243 to abide by their finding on that issue ; unless, indeed, the jury has been tampered with and imposed upon by false testimony and misdirection — in which case a new trial might be insisted on. But, even when the verdict was disputed on these grounds, a conflict between the Upper House and the people would be inevitable ; and it could hardly fail to be fraught with mischief to the country. There would not be much danger of such a conflict, however, with a well-constituted House of Lords. With such a body an appeal would only take place when there was a good prospect that the people would take part with the Lords rather than with the Commons; or else when the Lords, having avoided expressing any opinion in the first instance, were ready to acquiesce at once in the verdict of the country, and could not be accused of any inconsistency or sacrifice of principle in doing so. The masses will undoubtedly form the governing body of the future. The only appeal will be from the representatives of the past to the representatives of the present or of the future ; from the people ill-informed to the people better informed; from their hasty decision to their mature judgment; from passing sentiment to permanent reason ; from oratory to logic ; from specious falsehoods urged by eloquence to plain truths supported by clear evidence ; from figures of speech to matters of fact. Every man is liable to be led astray at times by the influences which I have mentioned, and large numbers are often simultaneously deceived by them. In time they will discover their error ; and if the Upper House can antici- R 2 244 Unearned Wealth, pate this time, and truly predict its arrival, it is justified in holding its ground for a while against any amount of popular clamour. And if its forecast proves correct, and the people ultimately adopt the views of the Peers, the latter will come out of the conflict strengthened, not weakened. But I fear the present House of Lords can- not be relied on either to limit its resistance to popular feeling to the class of cases to which I have referred, or to maintain its ground firmly in cases of this class. It wants confidence in its own judgment, because it strongly sus- pects that this judgment is based on insufficient reasons. It is, in truth, a case of * follow my leader ' in both Houses, the followers having frequently in both cases a shrewd suspicion that the leader is about to take a leap in the dark ; but want of knowledge or want of independence prevents the members of both from seriously entertain- ing the question, *Is my leader right?' If we consider the number of questions not at all considered at the last General Election, and with respect to w^hich those who were then returned had never formed any decided opinion, but on which all the Liberals now vote one way and all the Conservatives the other, we can hardly regard our representatives otherwise than as chessmen whom the principal players move at will. Is it con- ceivable, for instance, that all the Conservative mem- bers should in the exercise of their private judgment have come to the conclusion that the Egyptian policy of the present Ministry is wrong, while each of the Li- berals arrived independently at the conclusion that it is right ? This policy was one which could hardly be Unearned Wealth. 245 said to result from the previous declarations of the party or any of its members, for the whole question did not arise until after the General Election. No impartial man, I believe, can arrive at any other conclusion than that a number of men voted for this policy simply because it was the policy of the Ministers, and that a number of others voted against it for the same reason. Some of these, doubtless, formed no opinion on the subject, and simply followed their leaders. Others, I fear, voted in opposition to their own convictions in order to keep their own party in office, or to get them into office. And these remarks are as true of the Lords as of the Commons. What we want in both Houses is men who will form an independent judgment and adhere to it. It is not merely in the Cabinet that the intended measures should be discussed and decided. The members of the party at least should be consulted ; and no course should be adopted by any Ministry which would not be ap- proved of by the House of Commons on a really inde- pendent vote. * Vote contrary to your private convictions, or else I will resign and denounce you as a traitor to the cause,' is a demand which no Minister should address to his followers; but it is practically addressed to them more than once in almost every session of Parliament. A good Upper House would prove a material check to such proceedings. But does the present House of Lords operate as such a check ? I fear not. WAR. A LTHOUGH the time may be very far distant when the nations will beat their swords into plough- shares and their spears into pruning-hooks, there can be no doubt that, with the advance of civilization and of popular institutions, wars will become less frequent. Neighbouring countries do not now look upon them- selves as natural enemies; they rather regard them- selves as natural friends, who are nevertheless liable to quarrel occasionally. A wrong done by one civilized nation to another creates a feeling of dislike to the aggressor throughout the civilized world ; and the influ- ence of public opinion in other nations is perhaps already felt to some extent, and is certain to be felt in a much higher degree hereafter. In the days of absolute monarchies a sovereign may have thought little of the comforts and even the lives of his people ; but, now that power is being placed in the hands of those who suffer by war, hostilities will not be lightly entered upon. International trade has been greatly extended of late years, and its interruption by war involves a loss to both countries. Until the present century France was looked upon as the natural enemy of England ; but War, 247 even independently of our trade with France, who is there now that would not regret having our intercourse with that country cut off, and our friendly relations inter- rupted ? Wars are expensive, and the expense appears to increase rather than to diminish with the progress of civilization; and when the taxpayers become rulers, this item attains no inconsiderable importance. Then there is the loss of life, the hardships of the conscription that has often to be resorted to, and the necessity of pro- viding for those who have been disabled in the service of their country — all of which considerations will have more weight with the masses than with absolute rulers. With the disappearance of Absolutism, wars of mere caprice will disappear. Wars of conquest, at least among civilized countries, will also become rare. Not only are the people of one civilized country unwilling to keep those of another civilized country in enforced sub- jection, but they find it unprofitable to do so. Unless there are some special reasons for it (such as the acquisi- tion of a scientific frontier, as it has been termed), ruling over a discontented people is an expensive and thankless task, and the ruling nation finds itself weakened rather than strengthened thereby. It is only when it can make the conquered people contented with their new situa- tion that the acquisition proves of real value. There is, moreover, another obstacle to wars of conquest. Many civilized countries possess local forces capable of ac- complishing a good deal in resisting an invading army, but almost incapable of being employed in ag- gressive warfare. Should this system be extended, and 248 War, these local forces organized with care, each of the belli- gerents may find itself stronger than its adversary in defensive, and weaker in offensive, warfare ; in which case a continuance of hostilities could hardly prove be- neficial to either. It may be hoped, too, that in future statesmen will be more open to the calls of reason and justice. If we exclude revolutionary wars (which, how- ever, may be in most cases indirectly traced to despot- ism), there is hardly an European war of the present century that did not arise from the wrong-headedness of some autocrat ; while the wars of the nineteenth cen- tury have, I believe, been considerably fewer than those of the eighteenth. These observations are, of course, less applicable to semi-civilized and barbarous races. Civilized races have, I fear, often indulged in purely aggressive wars against these latter, with a view of self-aggrandizement ; and their anxiety to extend their trade, and to form colonies, will lead to a continuance of these aggressive wars for some time longer. But at other times these wars are forced upon us. Forbearance on the part of the civi- lized races is regarded as weakness, and nothing but a sharp lesson will compel their savage neighbours to keep the peace. It is in the gradual extension of civi- lization over the world that we must seek a remedy for such wars as these, and in the meantime mere rapacity should be forcibly suppressed. Civilized races should neither rob, nor allow themselves to be robbed, nor should they harbour or encourage robbers ; and the case is made worse when murder is added to robbery, even War. 249 though the murderers risk their own lives in the attempt. Assassins are often courageous, but that circumstance only renders them more dangerous to society. The object of the present Essay, however, is — treat- ing war as for the present a necessary evil — to consider the manner in which it ought to be conducted. That war between civilized countries is now conducted in a much milder manner than formerly is evident, and most persons will, I think, admit that this is a decided im- provement. I may add that this improvement does not seem to have affected the rapidity or completeness of the successes gained by the armies whose campaigns were conducted in accordance with what are now recognized as the usages of civilized warfare. But it seems to me that a mutual agreement among civilized nations to carry the same system farther would be both desirable and practicable. The first rule should be, I apprehend, that under all ordinary circumstances warfare should be confined to organized belligerents. The invading army (for one of the contending armies must always occupy that position) should inflict no injury on the people which is not absolutely necessary for military purposes. The defending army should follow the same course ; and the people should likewise abstain from inflicting any injury on the invaders. Peijiaps in a genuine war of conquest this last rule might be departed from ; but most wars of invasion are not wars of conquest. Both parties frequently become invaders in turn ; and neither have any intention of permanently annexing the portion of the enemy's territory which they occupy during their 250 War, operations. Indeed it may be doubted whether the em- ployment of undisciplined and half-armed masses in re- sisting an invasion is ever justifiable. Their resistance brings great suffering on themselves and their country, while it rarely, if ever, exercises an important influence on the issue of the campaign. In open fight they are slaughtered like sheep ; but they often play the part of wolves towards the wounded and stragglers whose deaths infuriate but hardly weaken the enemy. Nobody seriously imagined that after the armies of France had been deci- sively defeated, the advance of the victorious Germans could be arrested by the efforts of t\ie franc-ttreurs ; and beyond the limits of Alsace and Lorraine there never was any real risk of conquest and annexation. The franc'tireurs inflicted some loss on G-ermany at the ex- pense of a much greater loss to France, and most pro- bably their employment did not mitigate a single clause of the subsequent Treaty of Peace. It would have been far better for France, and better also for Germany, if the Republican rulers of the former country had at once ac- cepted the position in which the Emperor had placed them, and made the best terms they could with an enemy whom they could not compel to relinquish his acquisitions, and who was practically in possession of Alsace and Lorraine when they succeeded to power. I should have almost thought it unnecessary to lay down this rule against doing injury for which there is no strategic reason, were it not that I find an opposite doctrine laid down in the late Mr. Fawcett's very able Manical of Political Economy, It does not, however, appear War, 251 to have been adopted by the Ministry of which he was a member. That there may be no misrepresentation, I think it best to state the theory in his own words. Hav- ing explained how it is that defeated nations often recover very rapidly from the calamities of war, he justly remarks that this is not the case when any considerable portion of the fixed capital of the country has been destroyed in the contest. He then proceeds, * The richer a country is the more severe maybe the injury inflicted on her by war, if the enemy should destroy any considerable part of the wealth which is in the form of fixed capital, and which constitutes her industrial plant. If Germany had adopted this policy in her war with France, it would have been impossible for France to have recovered her prosperity with the very remarkable rapidity to which allusion has just been made. Of late years a feeling of false huma- nity has attempted to make the rights of private pro- perty respected in war. Life may be sacrificed with as much prodigality as ever.* The foremost mechanical genius of a mechanical age is devoted to the production of weapons of death ; but civilization, it is said, demands that there should be no wanton destruction of property. No such attempt to palliate the material disasters of war ought to be encouraged. War will be rendered less frequent if a whole nation is made to feel its terri- ble consequences, instead of concentrating all the horrors * Mr. Fawcett should have added 'in battle.' In former wars vast num- bers of lives were sacrificed otherwise than in battle. This is now rarely done, and creates a general feeling of indignation when it is. The massacres at Batak and Panegurishta cost the present Sultan half of his European ter- ritory. It is to be regretted that the other half did not follow. 252 War. in the sacrifice of thousands of helpless victims who may be marshalled at the caprice of a despot. If any nation should ever threaten England with invasion, England ought to speak in unmistakable language that her ven- geance would not be confined to a retributive slaughter of soldiers, but that she would destroy all the public works upon which the wealth of the nation mainly de- pended. This will give a practical check to vaulting ambition, and might arouse a nation to restrain the military designs of the most despotic ruler.' [Manual of Political Economy, pp. 34-5.) It is not clear whether Mr. Fawcett intended to speak of a threatened invasion of England only, or also an in- vasion of her dependencies — of India, for example, by the Russians, or of South Africa by the Boers. The two latter instances, however, are almost enough to refute the theory. The Czar would smile if we threat- ened to destroy the great railway from St. Petersburg to Odessa in revenge for an invasion of India by his troops ; and the Boer has no fixed capital to destroy except perhaps his slaves (whom he alleges are not slaves). But the principle, if good for anything, must be applied to both combatants ; and if this country was in- vaded, Mr. Fawcett would scarcely have wished to. see it applied by the enemy to the fixed capital of England. No doubt, owing to our insular position and the strength of our navy, we are tolerably free from risk of invasion so far as our own soil is concerned ; but, with the excep- tion of the United States, what civilized country is in the same position ? If the principle of destroying fixed War, 253 capital had been adopted by both belligerents during the Napoleonic wars, how much of the fixed capital of Europe would have been left at the end of them ?* If we except the limited amount of damage that can be inflicted by a hostile navy, this destruction of public property and fixed capital can only be effected by an invading force, and the invaders are most frequently the aggressors. Moreover, as already remarked, the assailants often be- come defenders and the defenders assailants in the course of the same campaign, or in two successive cam- paigns ; in which case the destruction of property on one side would probably be as great as on the other. Mr. Fawcett seems to have regarded the rapid recovery of France as a thing to be regretted — at least from the German point of view. But is it so ? How has the renewed prosperity of France injured Germany ? or how is it likely to injure her ? I do not believe there is any instance in history in which a victorious army (unless wholly composed of mercenaries) was arrested in its course of success and compelled to make peace, because the money to carry on the war was not forthcoming. Nor is there an in- stance of a country, abundantly supplied with brave and disciplined troops, having yielded to the enemy through monetary pressure. If the Prussians could have de- stroyed half the wealth of France, it would not have * And as France was not invaded till the very end of these wars, the adoption of the rule would have had no tendency to induce the French people to stay the hand of the Emperor. Europe might have had additional motives for submitting to his dictation, but tliat would have been all. 254 War, saved them after the battle of Jena ; nor if the French could have treated the Prussians similarly after the battle of Sedan, would it have influenced the terms of peace. And if the Grand Army had carried its destruc- tive propensities a little farther, how many of those who composed it would have escaped alive from the snows of Russia ? The military effects of this destruction of property are in general very small; and as no nation can count upon uniform success, it would be well for belligerents to recollect that the country which is worsted in the struggle may have to pay a war indem- nity to the enemy. If in revenge for a Russian invasion of India we laid Odessa in ashes, we might have to re- build it at our own expense as a condition of retaining any portion of our Oriental dependencies, and we might thus learn an useful lesson with regard to the wanton de- struction of private property in war. Had the French employed their fleet in this way during the late contest, it is not improbable that their war indemnity might have been doubled. Mr. Fawcett relies on the deterrent effects of the de- struction of fixed capital ; but it has other effects which are equally worthy of notice. If the invaders make war on the people, the people will make war on them. Guerillas, franc-itreurs, and treacherous guides will be found on all sides ; and if private property is doomed, the defending army or the people themselves will destroy it, and thus expose the advancing force to great incon- venience for want of food and provender. But suppos- ing these difficulties surmounted, and the victorious War. 255 invaders dictate a peace to the people whom they have ruined, what will be the result ? The conquered will no doubt shrink from a conflict on the same terms, but they will eagerly look out for an opportunity of revenge. The French, for instance, would watch for a chance of obtain- ing the assistance of Austria or Russia in order to pay the Germans back in their own coin, and whenever the German Emperor found himself in difficulties, and was anxious to secure at least the friendly neutrality of France, he would find that country ranged on the side of his enemies. It is, indeed, the old barbarous methods of warfare, which (softened, perhaps, as regards the lives of non-combatants) Mr. Fawcett sought to revive, that have given rise to those national antipathies which have been transmitted from one generation to another, and are perpetually breaking out into acts of hostility — that have prevented the fusion of conquering and conquered races, and have often made territorial acquisitions a per- manent source of weakness to the conquerors. War would have a greater deterrent effect if, whenever a town was captured, the inhabitants were massacred ; but Mr. Faw- cett would not have advocated a return to this practice. He would only impoverish them ; but he would do that as permanently as possible, so that years of progress would be necessary to recover the ground lost by the war, the only gain being that they would, as he sup- posed, be slower to engage in a new contest with the victors. The latter are as likely to have been in the wrong as in the right, and to have been the aggressors as the defenders, and the deterrent effects of the war may 256 War, consist in inducing the vanquished to submit to injuries and insults which they would otherwise have resented — to submit until they see, or believe they see, an opportu- nity of revenge. And revenge in this case would pro- bably go considerably beyond the limits within which Mr. Fawcett sought to justify it. Reprisals usually repay the original debt with interest at a very high rate. The true rule I believe is, that no injury of any kind should be inflicted without adequate military reasons. But I now come to a second rule which does not appear to be fully recognised by civilized nations, and which seems still more obvious, viz., that war should not be carried on in such a manner as to injure the coun- tries which take no part in it. This rule is violated by the common process of blockading an enemy's coast. This blockade often intercepts a great part of the trade of the blockaded country. In this trade there are always two countries concerned, one of which is pro- bably neutral ; and it is perhaps on this latter country that the blockade inflicts the greatest loss. If the French, for example, should blockade the Chinese coast, it seems certain that, at least so far as the Anglo-Chinese trade is concerned, we would be injured to a greater extent than the Chinese. Sometimes, indeed, neutral powers object to a blockade as ineffective, and call upon the blockading power to render it effective, or else to abandon it. But the effective blockade is the worst of all blockades, and should not be permitted unless there are very strong military reasons for it. Even then I think compensation should be made to the injured War, 257 neutrals. The blockade of an enemy's coast, like the destruction of property, hardly ever exercises an im- portant influence on the question of peace and war. The practice seems rather to have descended to us from the days when each country tried to do the other as much damage as possible, without distinguishing be- tween belligerents and non-belligerents. The blockade of the Confederate States would have effected nothing unless the Federals had proved victorious in the field ; and if the Confederates had fitted out a hundred Ala- bamas to commit licensed robberies on the high seas, it would not have saved them from the consequences of Grant's and Sherman's successes. But the blockade injured other countries and England in particular, where the cotton famine is not yet forgotten ; while the Southern privateers, had they been more numerous, would have injured other countries also by the partial stoppage of their trade with the United States. Indeed, the wanton destruction of fixed capital in any country can hardly fail to affect other countries injuriously. Destroy the railways, canals, ports, and factories, of any country, and its trade with other countries must suffer, to the detriment of both. To return to a former illustration : if we could destroy a large portion of the fixed capital of Russia in revenge for her invasion of India, the price of Russian corn would be considerably enhanced after the peace ; and if circumstances threw us mainly upon Russia for our food supply, we might find that the Russian agriculturists were earning as much as before, while we were paying a much higher s 258 War, price for our bread. The injury in this case, however, would be only indirect.* In that of a blockade it is direct. The stoppage of the cotton trade between England and the Southern States occasioned quite as considerable a loss to the former country as to the latter. A single country, indeed, could hardly refuse to recognize block- ades without involving itself in hostilities with the blockading belligerent, but an united determination on the part of civilized countries would at once put an end to them. No country would, I believe, be really injured by such a determination. I hope, also, that whenever the blockaded country proves victorious, it will insist on an ample war indemnity. The duty of avoiding unnecessary slaughter of bel- ligerents is pretty generally recognized by civilized countries in the more serious branches of warfare. The slaughter of wounded men, prisoners, and others who are incapable of resisting, is universally condemned and rarely resorted to, while few generals will recklessly expose their own men. Sometimes, indeed, a consider- able sacrifice of life at a particular juncture proves a saving of life afterwards, and may even prove the turning-point of a campaign. Much must here be left * It should be added, however, that much foreign capital, and especially EngHsh capital, is invested in railways and other public works in almost every country. We could hardly destroy any of these works without injury to ourselves and to neutrals, even though the enemy should be the greatest suf- ferers. Again, most countries hold a good deal of English and other foreign capital on loan. If we succeeded in impoverishing such a country, the stability of these loans would be endangered, and we should bear our own share of the resulting loss. For these, among other reasons, property should never be destroyed without some important strategic object. War, 259 to the discretion of the general, but a nation should abstain from appointing a commander of known cal- lousness in this respect. Civil war, however, is still frequently made an exception to the prevailing prac- tice of civilized nations. For this exception there is no reason whatever. Our fellow-countrymen are, as a rule, entitled to more indulgence than strangers; and while armies may, at the bidding of a despot or dictator, engage in the most causeless of foreign wars, large bodies of citizens hardly ever rise in arms with- out strong reasons for so doing. And severity has as little effect on stamping out the seeds of insurrection as it has in preventing a renewal of foreign warfare. There is probably no instance of a formidable civil war ending in the complete subjection of one party, which was followed by less severity to the vanquished than the recent contest in the United States, and there probably is no instance in which the contest is less likely to be renewed. In Hun- gary, on the other hand, where the insurgents were severely punished, the Emperor of Austria could only regain the allegiance of his subjects by granting them the greater portion of the rights, the deprivation of which had driven them into revolt ; and even this might have proved insufficient were it not that the war was commenced before he ascended the throne, and that his youth and inexperience at the time led the people to attribute the severities in question to his advisers, rather than to the Emperor himself. The case of Ire- land is in some respects similar to that of Hungary ; but though a much longer period has elapsed since the S 2 26o War, last considerable rebellion and the suppression of the Irish Parliament, the concessions of England can hardly be said to have produced a general feeling of loyalty among the Irish people. In many quarters England is still looked upon as an enemy, and her concessions are regarded as the result of timidity on her part, or else as the product of the competition of English political par- ties for the Irish vote. And the opinion is now becom- ing prevalent that England will ultimately abandon her friends to the tender mercies of her enemies in Ireland as well as in South Africa, provided that a suf- ficient amount of pressure is brought to bear. It should be stated, however, that this condition of things by no means dates from the Rebellion of 1798, or from the Union Act of 1800. Ireland is, in fact, the most con- spicuous example of the evils resulting from the system of warfare which, in a somewhat modified form, Mr. Fawcett advocated. The Irish people were made to feel the full horrors of war on every possible occasion, and the result has been that their hatred (I speak of the native Irish, not the descendants of recent English and Scotch settlers) of the English race still continues, though all reasonable cause for it has long since disap- peared. This hatred is working evil to England already, and ere long it is not unlikely that the balance of politi- cal power in the Kingdom will depend on an Irish party which, unless heavily bribed, will always range itself on the side which it believes to be most disadvantageous to England. * England's difficulty is Ireland's oppor- tunity'; and Ireland will not forego her opportunity, War, 261 even on the concession of local self-government. She will insist on having a voice in the Imperial Legislature also, and that voice (so far as the majority of votes is concerned) will still be raised in favour of the enemies of England whoever they may be.* How to put an end to this state of things is a problem well worthy of the consideration of English statesmen ; but under the pre- sent system of government by party, no one seems disposd to attend to it for any other purpose than that of making political capital out of it. Our party leaders buy the Irish vote if they can. If they cannot, they appeal to the English people for support, on account of the firmness with which they have sustained the cause of law and order in Ireland, and resisted unreasonable popular agitation. It is no doubt true that the person who causes a civil war commits a great crime, and merits severe punish- ment ; but is not the same thing true of the person who causes any war ? And again, who is it that causes the outbreak ? The king and his advisers, I believe, in the great majority of instances. Civil war is like schism in * Yet some politicians are so anxious to purchase the Irish vote for the time being, that they decline to apply the principle of population to the repre- sentation of the three portions of the Kingdom. That principle would be unduly favourable to Ireland, inasmuch as her population is steadily decreas- ing, while those of England and Scotland are steadily advancing. It is likewise unduly favourable to her because her people do not possess the same qualifi- cations for the calm and deliberate exercise of the franchise which the English and Scotch people possess, and because she contributes less than her proper proportion (as measured by population) to the public revenue, which it is the duty of the Legislature to assess and distribute. But though the population principle is thus unduly favourable to Ireland, it would seem that it is not favourable enough for the intended purchasers of the Irish vote. 262 War. the Church. The seceders are abused, anathematized, and perhaps put to death ; but the cause of the secession is generally to be found in the obstinacy and bigotry of the rulers of the original body, who are the real schismatics — the authors of schism — in the case. No single in- dividual could induce a large number of the people to rise in arms against a Government which was doing no wrong. Before every insurrection which attains serious proportions there must be a wide-spread feeling of dis- satisfaction, and for this dissatisfaction there is always a reason. It may no doubt be a bad reason. In the American civil war the cause seems to have been that after their long unbroken rule, the Democrats could not, with complacency, see the government of the country pass from their hands into those of the Republicans ; and the former majority, which had been converted into a minority, fought for the power which it could no longer retain by the constitutional methods hitherto adopted.* And if party feeling should continue to become more intense in this country, the time may come when, after a long unbroken rule, the Liberals will fight rather than suffer the Conservatives to take advantage of the final turn of the tide.f But the cause of civil war is always * Or rather the Southern Democrats did so. The Northern Democrats, for the most part, adhered to the Constitution. t This was written before the late riots in Birmingham, which seem to indicate that the period in question may not be very remote. The doubtful chance of returning a Conservative for the city proved sufficient to produce a riot of formidable dimensions, with apparently some very discreditable con- comitants. So much for freedom of speech and freedom of election in any place where a * tyrant majority ' has once been established. Had this tyrant majority been Conservative, the result would probably have been the same in case of a Liberal invasion. TVar, 263 to be found in some widely-extended feeling — some sentiment which, if not felt by the majority, at all events is felt by a large minority, and which always has some rational grounds. This sentiment will not be extin- guished by massacres, executions, confiscations, banish- ments, or other pains and penalties. Queen Mary could not kill all the heretics in England, nor could Philip kill all the heretics in the NetheHands ; and in both coun- tries the oppressed heretics ultimately became the dominant party. The cruel suppression of Wallace's re- volt in Scotland was followed by the victories of Bruce, and produced an animosity between the English and Scotch which lasted long afterwards. Small bodies of reformers or fanatics may be stamped out by such methods ; but where their system was one calculated to gain a hold on the public mind, some one else is pretty certain, ere long, to revive it ; and where this is not the case, it could equally have been extinguished by less violent means. What did the slaveholders of the Southern States gain by the execution of John Brown and his few brave, but somewhat fanatical, followers at Harper's Ferry ? Brown became a popular hero, and the object at which he aimed was effected almost before he was cold in his grave. The duty of preserving the lives of soldiers from other dangers than those of the battle is generally ac- knowledged, but it is very frequently neglected. Red- tape-ism, peculation, jobbery, want of proper foresight, ignorance, and indolence, have hurried more soldiers to an untimely grave than the shot and steel of the 264 War. enemy. Persons guilty of these defaults should be severely punished. The Ministers to whom any portion of the conduct of the war is entrusted should have a practical knowledge of military matters. Jobbery should be made, if not a criminal offence, a ground for ex- cluding the jobber from all official employments in future.* Contracts should not be taken at the lowest figure, or from unknown men, but from men of wealth and reputation, who should be strictly bound to their fulfilment; and the Minister who shirked any impor- tant preparation with a view of saving expense, on the chance that it might not be ultimately required, should receive his final dismissal. England, as the wealthiest nation in the world, with an army proportionately much smaller than that of any of her neighbours, should not merely expect, but insist, that everything should be in apple-pie order at the opening of the campaign — that the sick-lists of her army should be kept at the low^est possible figure, and that the general should never be impeded in his plans for want of provisions, ammuni- tion, or means of transport. Yet few countries have proved themselves more deficient in this respect than England. Pounds, shillings, and pence, are usually a matter of more importance to an English Minister than to any other public financier, not because money * I do not think there would be any great difficulty in detecting and prov- ing jobbery where it existed. Evidence might be taken on oath before a public Commission as to the qualifications and testimonials of the person who had been appointed to some important post, of those of the other applicants, and of the means taken to procure applications from qualified persons ; also as to any reasons for the appointment other than the qualifications of the selected individual. War. 265 is more difficult to raise, but because he is liable to be questioned more closely about it. In carrying on war with civilized countries we have hitherto usually sup- plied a comparatively small force, which operated only in conjunction with our allies ; so that though the gaps in its ranks were proportionally large, it was not diffi- cult to fill them up. And the courage and endurance of the British soldier often brought us victoriously through difficulties that few others would have sur- mounted. But this is now changed. We are less likely to fight in the company of allies than before, and if we again embark in an European war, we must place larger armies in the field. The improvements in the manufacture of firearms have rendered the hand-to-hand struggle, in which we excelled, of less importance in warfare, and I think there is no doubt that our troops have also deteriorated. This may be in part the con- sequence of the short service system; but another cause, I believe, is the growth of the urban and manufacturing population, from the lowest portion of which most of our recruits seem to be drawn. These men are, I be- lieve, inferior to the rural population in health, strength, and spirit. I do not believe that those who lost the fights of Maiwand, Isandlwana, Laing's Nek, and Ma- juba Hill, would have conquered at Waterloo, Sobraon, or Inkermann. Most Englishmen are brave enough ; but our present troops must be brought into battle in good condition, and their endurance in the battle-field must not be too severely tested, if we mean them to come out victorious. It will not do to keep them with- out food from morning till night, waiting during a part 266 War. of the time for ammunition or artillery to reply to the enemy's fire, without the old resource of a bayonet- charge. Whatever may be required should be in rea- diness. It is better to waste money and stores than to sacrifice men, and jeopardize the success of the cam- paign. Men suffering from cold, starvation, and disease, cannot be expected to present a bold front to the enemy. Even in the Crimea they could hardly have done so but for the strength of their position, and the miserable plight of the Russians. The sacrifice of lives or even property in proceedings which cannot affect the result of the campaign, or the terms of peace, is evidently unjustifiable ; but it is by no means uncommon. No doubt a good deal of strategy is often displayed in holding a larger force in check, and preventing it from striking at a really vital quarter- But there is often a good deal of bloodshed which cannot be brought under this head. During the Crimean War (as it has been termed) the Allied fleets in the Chinese waters attacked the Russian fort of Petropaulovski, situated at the eastern extremity of the Russian posses- sions in Asia. I have no doubt that the Allied com- manders in the Crimea never counselled this proceeding, or even heard that it was in contemplation. The attack was repulsed ; but does anyone imagine that the final treaty of peace would have differed by a single word if it had succeeded (unless perhaps by a provision that the Allies should give back the fort of Petropaulovski to Russia) ? Or suppose we had captured the fort and kept it on the conclusion of peace, what would we have gained ? Again, how was our victory at Bomarsund War. 267 more profitable to us than our defeat at Petropaulovski ? What, indeed, was the value of all our naval operations in the Baltic ? We injured Russia, it may be said. We did so to a certain extent, and to a smaller extent we injured ourselves ; but what did we or anyone else gain ? Who would now be the better or the worse if the fort at Bomarsund w^as still in the exact condition in which Sir Charles Napier found it ? This leads me to suggest another rule which rather belongs to treaties of peace than to war, viz., that the victors should not take advantage of a peculiar combina- tion of circumstances to impose severe and dishonour- able terms upon a powerful adversary. Such terms, from the very nature of the case, cannot be permanent, and such a peace lays the basis of another war. When the Russian army, foiled at Silistria and threatened by the Austrians, retired from the Turkish territory, there can be little doubt that peace might have been concluded on fair and reasonable terms. But it was not every day that England, France, Turkey, and Sardinia, could be found united against a common enemy, and it was de- termined (somewhat on Mr. Fawcett's principles) to give Russia a severe lesson, which might deter her from future aggression on the Turks.* The Allies tried this plan, accordingly, at a great sacrifice of men and money, * Or rather, I believe, which might remove mit of the path of the French Emperor one of his great military rivals in Europe. In this he succeeded partially ; and he then tried the same plan on another military rival with the same partial success. There remained a third mihtary rival to be crushed be- fore French ascendancy was complete. The Emperor tried it, and we know the result. The first Napoleon lowered the pride of Austria and Prussia, but 268 M'ar. and for the time they succeeded. But diplomacy soon made large breaches in their Treaty, and then the sword of Skobeleff, of Gourko, and of Melikoff cut it to frag- ments. A British Minister brought us back ' Peace with Honour,' by accepting terms which would proba- bly have satisfied the Emperor Nicholas when Silistria seemed on the point of falling into his hands, and when he thought he could reckon on the gratitude of Austria. And the leader of the other great English political party, who had been a Cabinet Minister during the Crimean War, blamed Lord Beaconsfield, not for permitting his Treaty to be torn up, but for endeavouring to save the smallest fragment of it. Twenty-five thousand British soldiers had been sent to their graves in order to pro- cure a document which one of those who sent them there would have burned to the last spark. We had, moreover, added one hundred millions to our national debt, and the only result of our labours which was left at the end of a quarter of a century consisted of the names of Alma, Balaklava, and Inkermann. Prudence itself might well recommend moderation in victory. But the present century affords a more startling illustration of the same fact — Prussia after the battle of Jena, and Prussia after the battle of Sedan. In carrying on war with semi-civilized or barbarous races these rules of warfare must occasionally be varied. Russia crushed him. His successor lowered the pride of Russia and Austria* but Prussia crushed him. The two Napoleons had no such guiding idea as the Unity of Germany, which fired the ambition of Bismarck. They merely sought the military ascendancy of France— or rather of themselves as Em- perors of France — and they had their reward. War. 269 In the first place, all the able-bodied men of the tribe are frequently belligerents, and they sometimes will not cease fighting, or at least trying to damage the enemy, when wounded or otherwise rendered incapable of effec- tive resistance. Possibly, however, the reason why a wounded Arab or Zulu still attempts to kill or injure the British soldier is that, from his experience of savage warfare, he expects no mercy ; and if satisfied that we carried on war after a different fashion, he would quietly lay aside his weapons. Our own wounded would, no doubt, act in the same manner if they expected no quarter from a victorious enemy. Unless the object is to exterminate a savage tribe, simply killing them in numbers does no good whatever. They are too well accustomed to see massacres on a large scale in their own wars (or even when no war is in progress) to be much influenced by another scene of the same kind. And this obser- vation is applicable to the majority of semi-barbarous races also. The famous Governor Yeh probably ex- ecuted as many men in a month at Canton as the French killed in their late operations at Foochow, and this without exciting any open ebullition of discontent. The French attack has been compared to a battue, and it probably had as much effect on the Chinese as the battue has on the pheasants that are not under fire ; while our Gallic neighbours might repeat the operation every day in the year without seriously diminishing the number of fighting men which China could put into the field. A sudden and startling destruction of men may produce an effect on savages ; such, for instance, as that 270 War. caused by the explosion of a mine, or by a cavalry charge, or artillery fire at close range, where cavalry and artil- lery were previously unknown ; but mere butchery is as objectionable in wars against savages as in wars against civilized nations. Owing to their familiarity with it, less hatred and resentment may be produced by it among savages, but the deterrent effects are weaker in a still greater proportion. No one would probably advocate killing the women and children of savage races, but it is sometimes done directly, and more frequently indirectly. This should be put a stop to. We should give the natives an example of superior humanity, as well as of superior skill, and show them that warfare may be carried on effectively without resorting to the barbarous methods which they have hitherto practised. If we mean to es- tablish ourselves permanently in an uncivilized country without exterminating the natives, we must make them contented with our rule ; and excessive slaughter and damage to property at the outset will place serious obstacles in the way of rendering them contented subjects afterwards. In such cases we are often placed in difficulties by the conduct of European settlers. They covet the lands or the cattle of the natives, and either endeavour to take them by force — thus leading to a collision — or else try to involve the natives in a quarrel which will end in war and confiscation. We must, no doubt, protect the lives of settlers against the unprovoked attacks of the natives, and also maintain the former in their fairly-acquired property ; but all rapacity on their part should be sternly War, 271 discouraged. When settlers commit crimes we should show the natives that there is a power that can and will inflict punishment, and thus render it unnecessary for them to take the law into their own hands.* The greatest care should be taken to prevent those who have provoked a quarrel with the natives from gaining anything by it, and I think it would be reasonable to make them contribute towards the expenses of the mili- tary and police, whose presence is required for their protection. Cattle-stealing seems to be a recognized military operation in South Africa. The object appears to be to reduce the natives to starvation, and thus to submission. This is rather more than an indirect method of making war on women and children, for they will undoubtedly be the greatest sufferers by the famine which is thus produced. When submission fol- lows, moreover, the stolen goods are not restored, nor I believe is anything done to alleviate the famine. The cattle, indeed, have been already disposed of on terms which afford a profit to the settlers, and as the latter usually gain in the matter of land also, they have thus the strongest motives for provoking a new quarrel with the natives, and obtaining a new division of the spoil. The advancement of the latter in civilization is thus re- tarded, and the prospect of converting the natives to Chris- tianity diminished. Indeed, the settlers have no wish to * And if this requires any modification of our home system of administer- ing justice, we should make this modification. If, for instance, the class which suppHes jurors sympathizes with the criminals, we should modify our system of trial by jury, in order to obtain justice. Substance should always be preferred to form. 2 72 War, see them improved in either respect. The progress of the natives in civilization and religion would make them more dangerous adversaries in war, and would render the English people more disposed to sympathize with them ; and to the English people the settlers still look for the men and money required to secure to them their ill-gotten gains. The promotion of civilization among the natives who are subject to our rule, or under our protection, is the great remedy for the * small wars,' from which England is hardly ever free ; and these wars, when necessary, should be conducted in such a manner as to promote, rather than to retard, the progress of civilization, morality, and religion. How can we expect to teach honesty and regard for property to tribes whom we have just been plundering under the pretext of warfare, and with whom we should never have gone to war if there was no plunder to be had ? Nor are these observa- tions applicable to South Africa only. Unless the great Russian Empire breaks to pieces from some in- ternal convulsion, the Czar will sooner or later endeavour to wrest from us our possessions in India. What chance would we have of retaining these, if, when the invader reached the frontier, the people of India still entertained the same sentiments towards us that they did at the outbreak of the mutiny in 1857? Nor did the mode of suppressing that outbreak tend to insure us the aid of the natives against Russia in case of an invasion. We have since then, however, had an opportunity of trying to gain their good-will, and this opportunity War. 273 will, no doubt, be extended for some years longer. On the manner in which we make use of it, the future of India — and, to a considerable extent, that of England — will probably depend. Two hundred millions of loyal subjects, fairly advanced in civilization, would be. an adequate defence against any expedition which Russia could send against us. Clemency in victory, however, is a different thing from confessed weakness or submission to defeat. Peace concluded with a semi-civilized people like the Boers, when the victory rested with them, could hardly have led to any other results than those which have followed it — the violation of treaty-obligations, the punishment of the natives who were friendly to us, and insults offered to our own people, culminating in the murder of an English officer and lawless violence and rapacity on every hand. After a severe defeat of the Boers, the Transvaal might, perhaps, have been left its independence, with adequate provisions for the protection of the natives. As it is, we shall probably be compelled to reannex it at a great expenditure of blood and treasure, and with an inter- mediate history which no Englishman (outside of the Cabinet) can regard without shame. We fell into a similar error in Egypt, though fortunately for us a less serious one. After crushing the forces of Osman Digna in two successive battles, we abandoned the whole fruits of our victories, and retired without even conclud- ing a treaty. If our object had been to restore the con- fidence of the natives in their defeated general, and to withdraw it from ourselves, we could hardly have adopted 2 74 War. a better method. The lieutenant of the Mahdi could point to the captured towns still in his possession, and the besieged towns still unrelieved. The English troops had killed more of his men than the Egyptians had done, and he had killed fewer of theirs in return ; but for all other purposes it was merely Baker Pasha's expedition over again. It was not Rescue and Retire, but Retire without rescuing.* Another rule which ought to be observed in this kind of warfare is not to set natives fighting against each other; and if we do employ native auxiliaries to re- quire them to carry on the war according to civilized methods. The employment of native allies on every possible occasion, and the permission of plunder and slaughter by them, may save money and European lives, but it is not the way to obtain civilized, contented, and loyal subjects ; nor is it a course to which a civilized and moral (to say nothing of a religious) nation should give its sanction. If we would use our best exertions to bring about an amicable settlement of the differences between different native tribes or chieftains, and if, whenever we brought native auxiliaries to aid us in dur wars, we required them to observe the same rules of warfare with ourselves, we would effect a good deal * Blunders of this character are not peculiar to any Government or any political party. I have merely selected those which are freshest in the pubHc mind, and the ill-effects of which are probably still in part future. Both in Egypt and South Africa there are symptoms of improvement in our policy since the text was written, but as regards the former I may say that I have no faith in epigrammatic policies of any kind. A really good policy in com- plicated cases can seldom, if ever, be comprised in an epigram. I fear we have not yet learned to distinguish between orator}^ and statesmanship. War. 275 towards the promotion of civilization among them. And I think it would be desirable at the close of every * little war/ as it has been termed, to have a public inquiry into the manner in which the campaign had been con- ducted, and the sufferings inflicted on the natives. Sworn evidence on this point before a Commission of Inquiry would effect much more than the reports of name- less newspaper correspondents — though probably the presence even of the latter has tended to humanise the system of warfare adopted. Few officers would wish to be named in the report of such a Commission as having contributed, either actively or by connivance, to the slaughter of non-belligerents, or the production of a famine in the invaded country. Indeed I think every war might be usefully followed by a public inquiry as to the conduct of the parties engaged in it, by which means the shortcomings of contractors. Government officials, &c., might be brought to light, and the general and his principal officers might not impossibly be re- lieved from unjust censures on the part of the public. A competent and impartial Commission might be difficult to procure, but the publication of the evidence would probably accomplish more than the report. I think it may be safely predicted that the modes adopted in sup- pressing the last outbreak in Jamaica will not again be resorted to, though no punishment was inflicted on the Governor except that of quietly placing him on the shelf. Had our proceedings elsewhere obtained the same publi- city, the results might also have proved of permanent use. No doubt war cannot be waged in kid gloves ; but if the 2 76 War. English people or any other civilized nation goes to war, it ought to know exactly what its emissaries are doing, and if it finds that more suffering is being in- flicted on others than it desires to inflict, it should stay their hands accordingly. No one would advocate tor- ture in our prisons on condition that it was to be inflicted in private, and that the sufferer was bound to secrecy, so that the public would not be troubled with heart-rend- ing accounts of the severity of the infliction. But it is pretty much the same thing to enter upon a distant war with semi-civilized races with no accurate information as to the proceedings taken against them (except so far as they are of a purely strategic character), or of the amount of suffering inflicted thereby, and to pass lightly over the accounts of these sufferings which reach us, on the ground that they are furnished by ill-informed, prejudiced, incompetent, and irresponsible persons. Our * little wars ' would, I believe, be carried on with much greater regard to humanity, and with more benefit to this country (I do not say with more benefit to certain rapacious settlers) if accurate reports of what has been done were, in all cases, laid before the public as soon as possible after the operations ; and Commissioners might, I think, often be usefully attached to our expeditions with the object of keeping the public accurately informed by a responsible official of matters not coming within the ordinary scope of the commanding officer's de- spatches. War. 277 Note on Government by Party in relation to Foreign Policy. The evils of government by party are so numerous that I doubt whether, on the whole, its advantages or its disadvantages preponderate. But in reference to our foreign policy, and more especially when barbarous or semi-barbarous races are concerned, its effects have, of recent years, been most disastrous. With such races a steady and consistent policy, even if in some respects objectionable, is far preferable to a policy which changes from day to day with the exigencies of party. But the two political maxims which seem to be at present acted upon by the Opposition are, first — Find fault with every- thing that your political opponents do while in power ; and secondly — Throw every obstacle in the way of carry- ing out their projects with effect (and if you succeed in defeating them, take credit to yourself for predicting their defeat), while the corresponding Ministerial max- ims are, first — Reverse the policy of your predecessors on every possible occasion ; and, secondly — When your policy fails, allege that they left affairs in such a con- dition that failure was inevitable ; to which may, per- haps, be added a third maxim, viz. When your blunders are beginning to excite public indignation, allege that the outcry is all the result of party spirit, and a mere device for drawing away the attention of the public from the important measures of home legislation which you have in hand. When a Minister's majority is small, however, there is some limit to the extent to which he 278 War. can sacrifice British interests abroad to party interests at home. When the alienation of a few followers may turn the scale he must proceed with caution, but it would seem that a majority of 100 or 150, instead ot rendering him strong, renders him reckless. In the pre- sent state of party organization, no amount of blunder- ing at a distance from home will convert that majority into a minority before the next General Election — by which time he will probably have concocted some Election Cry more likely to catch the ear of the populace than anything relating to our dependencies in Africa or India. * It is a far cry to Loch Awe,' says the Scotch adage, but it is a farther cry to Zululand or to the terri- tory ol the Bechuanas — especially if there is no official or thoroughly-reliable report of the real state of aff"airs to refer to. The Minister, of course, takes good care that there is no such report until the General Election is over ; and then his majority will not desert him even if the report is adverse. Party politics are, in fact, fast degenerating into political trickery — the object being to hoodwink the nation until it has returned pledged representatives whom it cannot afterwards displace.* * This political demoralization is very wide-spread. Neither political party feels any scruple in depriving of the franchise persons who are entitled to it under the existing law, or in obtaining it for persons who are not entitled. In- deed they often boast of their success in establishing claims and objections when they know perfectly well that many of the claims are shams and many of the objections unfounded, if the person objected to could only spare the time to attend and displace them. It is not long since the writer of this essay was objected to by the agents of both political parties, and as he did not attend, both probably scored one for the service of a notice for which there was no ground whatever. War. 279 Members of Parliament, when once returned, do not represent their constituencies. They are mere tools in the hands of some local organization consisting of extreme party men, who continue to dictate to their member when the majority of the electors have espoused the opposite side. When a General Election has given a Minister a large majority, he can almost always secure a majority on a particular question by simply threatening to resign in case he is defeated.* If the question is not regarded as one of very great impor- tance and party feeling runs high, the Ministry may thus escape censure, when three-fourths of their own supporters and all their opponents are satisfied that they are in the wrong. Were this not so, I believe the uninterrupted series of blunders which we have com- mitted in South Africa during the last ten years would have been impossible. The annexation of the Transvaal may have been a mistake ; the Zulu war and the terms of settlement in which it ended were undoubted errors ; but nothing but the extreme anxiety of the new Admini- stration to undo everything that their predecessors had done, can account for what followed. In this policy they have succeeded with a vengeance. Even the memory of the Conservative errors is likely to be effaced by the gigantic blunders of the Liberals. We have sold our * Not that this threat alone, perhaps, would have much eiFect, for if the majority is large enough it is evident that, after a resignation, he must almost immediately return to power again. But then there may be a Dissolution, at which every one who voted against the Minister will be denounced as a traitor, and will probably lose his seat. The member, therefore, either votes against his convictions or does not vote at all. 28o War, birthright in South Africa to the Boers without even getting a mess of pottage in return. When they smote us on the one cheek we quietly turned to them the other. It may be safely asserted that no English Minister would have adopted such a policy with any other object than that of discrediting the policy of his predecessors, nor would he have ventured to carry it out had his majority been a narrow one. But the present Administration has overshot the mark, and its conduct will, in all pro- bability, restore the credit of the Beaconsfield policy as a whole instead of leading the public to discriminate between its merits and its defects. It is Cromwell and Charles the Second over again. The former nearly swept the seas clear of the Dutch, and the latter re- versed his policy until the citizens of London heard the sound of the enemy's cannon. Had the Loyalists not been so strong as they were, the monarch's reign would have been a short one. It is impossible for us to occupy our proper position in Continental politics while this process is allowed to continue. One year we take a prominent part in the settlement of some Continental question, and are ready to support our demands with an excellent navy and an army which, if not very large, is at least fully equipped and ready for action. A few years later the same question is again mooted ; but so far from being ready for offensive warfare, we are not even prepared for self- defence, and our Foreign Minister is, moreover, a political Gallio who * cares for none of these things.' — whose only object in fact is to discredit the policy of his prede- War. 281 cessors. How, under such circumstances, can we exert the same influence on the councils of the Continent with a power that keeps its object steadily in view, and is always in a tolerable state of preparation ? But with the Colonies it is worse. Distant and barbarous or semi- civilized races understand nothing of our party changes, and the result of our tergiversation is that no one knows on what trivial pretext war may be declared (or an in- vasion commenced without any declaration of war), or, on the other hand, what amount of insult and injury may be inflicted on us without provoking any retaliation on our part. No one knows whether we will or will not defend our friends, and whether we will or will not punish our enemies. We are at present acting the part of the sleeping dog, who allows diminutive curs to carry away bones from under his very nose with impunity. No one knows indeed how long this will continue, or when he may rouse up and snap; but the chance ap- parently is that, when he does so, it will be to snap at the wrong cur. In such a Government there can be no confidence, and if some little fear may still exist, it is inoperative in restraining lawless violence for the simple reason that no one can predict on whom our vengeance will fall — perhaps on Montsioa for transferring his alle- giance from us to the Boers, instead of the Boers who compelled him to do so. It may not be easy to point out how evils of this kind could be removed ; but the public should declare firmly that our Colonies must no longer be converted into arenas for a political game of battledore and shuttlecock — that as regards them at u 2 82 War. least, our own interests and the interests of our subjects, whether British-born or native, should be preferred to the interests of party, and that the statesman who fails to bear this in mind must expect nothing but perpetual ex- clusion from office. Law and order should be established throughout our dominions. Our subjects and our allies should be protected. Treaty obligations should be en- forced, and evasions of them should receive no more favour than open breaches ; while land pirates when taken in the act should be hanged with as little ceremony as sea pirates. We are under special obligations, too, to those whom we have deprived of the means of offering effectual resistance to these piracies — more especially if the wars by which we rendered them powerless were un- just. But under our present system almost any obligation which one Administration undertakes, whether expressly or impliedly, is disow^ned by its successor, and conse- quently every step is sinking us deeper in the mire. We are, in fact, doing our utmost to make the natives regard our presence as unmixed evil, and our efforts in this direction seem likely to be crowned ere long with com- plete success.* Withdrawal from the worst scene of blundering is, in fact, a suggestion that is beginning to be thrown out as the best method of freeing us from the * On the latest revision of the Boer Treaty, the Transvaal representatives desired to annex Montsioa's territory. This demand our Minister manfully resisted. The Boers yielded, and signed a treaty excluding it from their do- minions. They then annexed it, murdering the only English official whom they could lay hands on. The proclamation of annexation has since been withdrawn, but apparently the Boers who took possession of Montsioa's lands have not withdrawn. "Whether they will be compelled to withdraw, or treated with summary justice on the spot, remains to be seen. War. 283 consequences of our fatuity and misconduct. And, per- haps, if we retired, France or Germany might step in. They might do better than we have done. They could not do worse. But nothing but the utter want of patriot- ism and public spirit on the part of Ministers could justify such a withdrawal. If we mean to retain them in office at all hazards and to allow them to continue their present course,* the sooner we withdraw the better, for the longer we remain the greater wnll be the injury to the natives, and the greater will be our own disgrace. But there are very few statesmen who would not alter their policy in deference to public opinion strongly and clearly expressed ; and till that remedy for Ministerial blunder- ing has been tried, we should not make a public con- fession of our unfitness to govern, and hand over our native subjects to the tender mercies of those who would make them hewers of wood and drawers of water. * Perhaps I should not say * their present course,' since Sir Charles Warren's expedition was decided on. But what that expedition is intended to accomplish is not yet clear. THE END. n^ RETURN ^^^yl:a'nl\brory__^^ LOAiTPERiODTT? HONVEJJSE_^__ ,6 FOR^ANO.DD6,60m,l/83 _ \. \^ ^ ^\^