THE LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA PRESENTED BY PROF. CHARLES A. KOFOID AND MRS. PRUDENCE W. KOFOID COSMICAL EVOLUTION CRITICAL AND CONSTRUCTIVE BY EVAN McLENNAN \\ Thus there followed one another, five provisional theories of the Solar System, before the sixth and absolutely true theory was reached. In which five provisional theories, each for a time held as final, we may trace both the tendency men have to leap from scanty data to wide gen- eralizations, that are either untrue, or but partially true; and the neces- sity there is for these transitional generalizations as steps to the final one. To the true reformer no institution is sacred, no belief above criticism. Everything shall conform itself to equity and reason; nothing shall be saved by its prestige. HERBERT SPENCER. SECOND EDITION PRINTED FOR THE AUTHOR CORVALLIS, OREGON COPYRIGHT, 1916 BY EVAN MCLENNAN 1916 GAZETTE-TIMES PRESS CORVALLIS. OREGON QB whatever outside scientific investigation and criticism this work has received during the past twenty-five years, the author desires to express his obligation to the OREGON AGRICULTURAL COLLEGE, Corvallis, and to THE REED INSTITUTE, Portland, Oregon. The latter, besides being an educational college, is also, so far as it is able, a means for the general propagation and diffusion of knowledge among men; which is also the sole foundation and purpose of older and much stronger institutions. The younger institution, how- eyer, does not concern itself with the source or class from which the propagation of knowledge proceeds, but welcomes investigation- and research by amateur or professional alike; its only object therein being the ascertainment and establish- ment of the truths of Nature, however and wherever found. To THE REED INSTITUTE, therefore, in acknowledgement of its generous and liberal treatment in this respect, and in the hope of the continuance in the future of its helpfulness and eagerness to maintain the spirit of openminded inquiry re- garding the value of results obtained by all students of Nature, in all her fields, this work is respectfully and gratefully in- scribed and dedicated by the author. M358720 PREFACE What are we in this so-called nineteenth century doing in our laboratories and our libraries? Too many of us are content to acquire simply what others have observed and discovered, with an eye directed mainly to medals, certif- icates, diplomas and other honors recognized as the fruits of "passing." PROF. WILLIAM CKOOKES. It is true that, in contemplating the material universe, they who discern the causes and effects of things must be more rapturously entertained than those who perceive noth- ing but shape and size, color and motion. Yet in the mere outside of nature's works if I may so express myself there is a splendour and magnificence to which even un- tutored minds cannot attend without great delight. DR. BEATT1E. PLAUSIBLE. No but seriously I hate to do a rude thing: I speak well of all mankind. MANLY. I thought so; but I know that speaking well of all mankind is the worst kind of detraction; for it takes away the reputation of the few good men in the world, by making them all alike. Now I speak ill of most men be- cause they deserve it: I can do a rude thing rather than an unjust thing. WILLIAM WYCHERLY. This book, while really a new edition of a work entitled "Cosmical Evolution," published twenty-six years ago, may yet be regarded as a new book giving extensive extracts con- taining the principal facts of the older work, together with the author's findings regarding the subject during the last quarter of a century; the latter constituting the greater part of the volume. The following, from the preface of the work referred to, still indicate the scope and nature of the sub- jects discussed: "From what cause and how did this world of ours come into existence? How did it come to circulate around the Sun in its present path and with its present velocity? Vi PREFACE What are the changes which have taken place upon it, and by how many races of beings like our- selves, separated from each other by long, lifeless periods, has it been inhabited in the past? \Vhat causes bodies to fall towards its center? Why does the magnetic needle point approximately to the north upon the greater portion of its surface? What is the nature of the aurora and the elec- tricity manifested in its atmosphere? Why does its tem- perature, so far as we know, increase at a regular rate from its surface towards its center, and what is the physical con- dition of its internal regions? What causes the tides upon its ocean surface? How did it happen that plants and ani- mals of temperate latitudes once flourished far within its Polar Circles, and that, subsequently, almost its entire sur- face was encrusted with a thick sheet of ice? What caused the extremely favorable conditions for vegetable growth de- noted by the coal deposits of its Carboniferous Age? What is the significance of the changes which are now taking place upon it the earthquakes and earth-tremors, the gey- sers, the volcanic eruptions, and the displacements of the vertical and of terrestial latitudes? What changes are yet to take place upon it, and what is eventually to become of it? "What connection have the phenomena taking place upon the Sun's surface the sunspots and the explosive erup- tions with the phenomena taking place upon the Earth's sur- face magnetic storms and disturbances, barometric varia- tions, and precipitation? What is the nature and significance of the solar corona and the zodiacal light? How came the Sun, the Moon, the planets, and the innumerable stars into their assigned paths or positions, and what maintains them there? What are the comets which, with their mysterious trains sweep around the Sun, and the meteorites which, as occasional bearers of strange organic remains, fall from the depths of space upon our world; and whence came they and why? What is the nature of the magnificent Saturnian Ring, and how is its equilibrium maintained? And, finally, what are the temporary stars which suddenly blaze forth in the PREFACE yii firmament and then gradually fade away, the variable stars which increase and decrease in luster in regular periods, and the gauzy nebular forms?" These are some of the subjects discussed in this work, and surely they are worthy of a small portion of our time and attention. "In the midst of this universe of seething movements is our home. The mind, uplifted in '"ie effort to contemplate them and grasp their method, grows giddy and impotent. How sublime these activities! To what a numerous and lofty companionship does* our little planet belong! Hard it seems to be imprisoned here while the realm of the universe tempts us to its exploration. How can a human soul content itself to roll and whirl through space during its mortal days, and eat and sleep and trifle, like rats in a ship at sea, without wondering where we are and whither we are bound".* These subjects involve many, if not indeed all, of the fundamental conceptions of physical science. They are here examined in the light of current principles and theories, from many points of view. First, by way of introduction, a brief review is given of our impressions of them, from the ear- liest and most primitive down to those of the present day; this review showing a sequence of many different theories, each for a time held as true, but subsequently rejected as er- roneous and replaced by another. The last of these, the Newtonian theory of gravitation, has been accepted as per- fect for centuries, and is generally so accepted today; but af- ter a careful and apparently complete examination of it, it appears to be fallacious, just like its predecessors. And, finally, the same subjects, including about all of the larger phenomena of the Solar and Sidereal Systems, are consid- ered in the light of new principles and a new theory, in one consecutive process of cosmical evolution. The abtruse nature and vast scope of the subject make it difficult to command completeness and perfect accuracy of its discussion, especially from the new viewpoint here *Alexander Winchell, World-Life, p. 142. Viii PREFACE presented. It is confidently believed, however, that many new truths of the highest scientific importance are here placed before the reader. The confidence in this belief i? largely enhanced by the unmistakable signs of disintegration of present-day scientific conceptions, and by the apparent convergence of recent scientific opinion towards the views advanced in this and the former work during the last quarter of a century, and even by the actual adoption of these views, in at least one instance, by leading men of science, though (unintentionally, of course) without any credit to the au- thor, who had published them ten years before.* The highest scientific authorities have been consulted, and copious quotations on essential points given from their works. Involved processes of logic or mathematics have been studiously avoided, as well as the utmost pains taken to bring the subjects clearly within the comprehension of the ordinary reader and make them attractive and interesting to all who have a bent in their direction. The author is greatly indebted to several scientific men for much valuable information, kindly and freely furnished. To Gen. W. B. Hazen and Lieut. A. W. Greely, Chief Signal Officers U. S. A.; Prof. S. P. Langley, of Allegheny Obser- vatory, and Mr. G. W. Hill, of the Nautical Almanac Office, the author is especially under obligations for such aid in preparing the former work; and Prof. W. S. Eichelberger, of. the U. S. Naval Observatory, has furnished similar data for the present volume. Prof. E. R. Shepard, formerly of the Oregon Agricultural College, has kindly, but very cursorily, looked over most of the principal portions of this work; and while emphatically still retaining his belief in the older views, he has nevertheless confessed his inability to point out a single important defect in the views herein advanced by the author. Criticism is cordially invited; and the reviewer's atten- *See Art. 164 (e). PREFACE IX tion is especially directed to the concluding chapter (just preceding Appendix A). NOTE. In the winter of 1914-15, after this work had been ready for the press, the kindly offices of Dr. W. J. Kerr, Pres- ident of Oregon Agricultural College, and Dr. William T. Fos- ter, President of Reed College, Portland, Ore., fortunately procured for it, in a measure, a critical examination by the heads of the physical departments of four of the principal colleges of the Western United States. All of the results of this examination, for which permission to publish has been obtained, are given in Appendix A, together -with the author's replies thereto. The eighteen months' delay in the publica- tion of the work thus necessarily entailed is amply compen- sated by the benefits of the discussion of some of the prin- ciples involved, for the perusal of which the interested reader will scarcely need any special urging. October, 1916. CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ARTICLE. PAGE. 1. The Riddle of the Universe 1 2. Nature of Man's Earliest Conceptions of the Heavens 1 3. Various Legends of Creation 2 4. Primitive Astronomical Ideas of the Past 3 5. Primitive Astronomical Ideas of the Present 4 6. The Dawn of Astronomical Science 6 7. The Almagest or Ptolemaic System 6 8. The Copernican System 7 9. The Vortical Theory 9 10. The Theory of Gravitation 11 11. The Nebular Hypothesis 13 12. Astronomical Science Still in Its Infancy 15 13. Current Acceptance of Scientific Dogmas 16 14. Present-Day Doubts 17 15. Plan of This Work 18 PART I Objections to the Theory of Gravitation. CHAPTER I. The Law of Gravitation. 16. Definition of the Law 20 17. Application of the Law 21 18. Application to the Moon and the Earth 22 19. The Law of Gravitation and the Conservation of Energy 23 20. The Attraction of a Sphere or Spherical Shell 25 21. Terrestrial Attraction 27 22. Gravity in an Ellipse 28 xii CONTENTS ARTICLE. PAGE. 23. The Runaway Stars 29 24. Gravitation and Solar Heat 29 25. The Pressure of Sunlight *. 30 26. Gravitative Strain Upon a Revolving Planet 31 CHAPTER II. The Problem of Three Bodies. 27. Data of the Problem 36 28. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to the Sun's Distance- Variation 36 29. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to the Earth's Distance- Variation 38 30. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to Var- iation of its Velocity Around the Sun 9 31. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to Var- iation of its Velocity Around the Earth 41 32. Back-Action of the Earth's Attraction 41 33. Front-Action of the Sun 42 34. Contradiction of the Theory by the Facts 43 35. Possibility of the Given Case 44 36. Previous discussions of the Problem 45 CHAPTER III. The Problem of Two Bodies. 37. The Law of Equal Areas in Equal Times 48 38. Supra-Rational Mathematics 54 39. The Parallelogram of Forces 56 40. Contradiction of Kepler's Second and Third Laws. 59 41. The increase of Absolute Velocity 61 42. Instability of a Two-Body System 62 CHAPTER IV. The Tides. 43. The Tidal Theory 63 44. The Tide-Raising Force Directly Opposed by Ter- restrial Gravity 64 CONTENTS xiii ARTICLE. PAGE 45. The Tides Not Raised Where the Alleged Tide- Raising Force is Applied 65 46. The Oceanic Tides Obliterated by Tides in the Earth's Interior 67 47. Another Tidal Theory 68 48. The Solar Tide 70 49. Inland Sea and Lake Tides 72 CHAPTER V. The Amount and Distribution of the Sun's Heat. 50. Temperature of the Sun's Surface 75 51. Unvarying Quantity of Solar Heat at Various Dis- tances from the Sun 77 52. Amount of Solar Heat Falling Upon Either Pole of the Earth During its Summer Season Greater Than upon a Point at the Equator 78 53. The Sun's Heat on Mars 81 54. Direct Contradiction of the Theory by the Facts. . 82 CHAPTER VI. Tne Nebular Hypothesis. 55. Various Modifications 84 CHAPTER VII. Nebular Rotation and Translation. 56. The Primal State of Matter 87 57. Atomic Attraction and Repulsion 87 58. Cooling and Precipitation of the Primordial Vapor 88 59. Rotation by Precipitation of Irregular Flocculi ... 88 60. Rotation by Nebular Collisions 91 (a) Density of the Primordial Vapor 91 (b) Conditions of Nebular Condensation 93 61. Rotation by the Attraction of Distant Masses .... 94 62. Discordance of the Theory with the Facts 95 xiv CONTENTS CHAPTER VIII. Projection of Planet-Rings. ARTICLE. PAGE 63. Modification of the Radial and Tangential Forces by Contraction 97 64. The Generation of a Repulsive Force, or Heat, by Contraction 99 65. Conflicting Theories of Ring-Projection 101 66. Discordance of the Theory with the Facts 103 CHAfTER IX. The Idea of Force. 67. Force and Gravity 105 68. Summary of Part I 112 PART II The Connective Theory. CHAPTER I. Premises and Principles. 69. Molecular Bonds 116 70. Molecular Motion 116 71. Planetary Bonds 118 72. Designation and Essential Principles of the New Theory 119 CHAPTER II. Evolution of the Solar System. 73. The Original Solar Spheroid 120 74. Surface Contraction and Development 121 75. Surface Rigidity and Ring-Formation 123 76. Ring-Separation 125 77. Disruption of the Ring Into the Planetary Form . . 126 78. Corroborative Evidences (a) Of Initial Solidification at the Surface 126 (b) of Ultimate Crust Rigidity . 128 CONTENTS xv ARTICLE. PAGE (c) Of the Equatorial Crust Expansion 129 (d) Of the Connective Bond 132 79. Comparison of the Old and the New Ideas 133 80. Results of the Ring-Disruption: (a) Loss of Acquired Development 134 (b) Axial Rotation of the Planet 134 (c) Recession of the Planet 135 (d) Cause of the Different Absolute Velocities of the Planet's Orbital Motion and of the Rotation of the Spheroid 135 (e) Increased Axial Rotation of the Sun 137 (f ) Origin of Comets and Meteorites 137 81. Genesis of a Second Planet "138 82. Genesis of a Secondary Connexion 138 83. Mutual Planetary Accelerations and Retardations 139 84. Systemic Complexity 139 CHAPTER III. The Evolution of the Sidereal System. 85. The Original Sidereal Spheroid 142 86. The Sidereal System and What It Includes 143 87. Arrangement of the Sidereal System 144 88. Probable Number of the Heavenly Bodies and of Their Successive Generations 145 CHAPTER IV. The Universe. 89. Other Sidereal Systems 148 90. The Origin of Motion 149 CHAPTER V. Cosmical Gravitation. 91. The Ball-and-String Hypothesis 152 92. The Factors of Cosmical Gravitation: (a) Rotational Velocity of the Primary Body . . 155 (b) The Structural Development of the Connex- ions 155 xvi CONTENTS / ARTICLE. PAGE (c) The Density of the Connective Atmosphere Upon the Surface of the Primary Body . . 159 93. Difference Between the Actions of Gravitation in the Two Theories 161 94. Action of the Secondary Connexions 163 95. Accurate Prediction of Astronomical Events 164 96. Ethereal Atmospheres 165 97. Terrestrial Gravitation 166 CHAPTER VI. The Cosmical Distribution of Light and Heat. 98. The Connective Theory of Heat Distribution 168 99. Comparisons of the Two Theories 170 100. Heat Transmission by the Secondary Connexions . 172 101. Connective Theory of Light Distribution 172 102. Horizontal Enlargement of Visual Objects 174 103. Question Raised by the New Theory 175 104. Dark Transits of Jupiter's Satellites 175 105. Sunlight and Earthlight on the Moon 178 106. The Moon's Sunlight on the Earth 181 107. The Aberration of Light 181 CHAPTER VII. Anomalies of the Solar System. 108. The Saturnian Ring 183 109. Comets 190 110. Meteorites 193 111. Discrepancies of the Planetary Masses and Motions 197 112. The Minor Planets 199 113. Comets from Satellite Rings 200 CHAPTER VIM. Interplanetary Connexions and Weather. 114. Classification of Connexions 201 115. Factors of the Planetary Connexion-Variations . . . 205 116. Amount of the Planetary Factors 207 117. Monthly Variations of the Planetary Factors .... 208 CONTENTS xv ii ARTICLE. PAGE 118. Deductions from These Variations 211 119. Monthly and Yearly Variations of the Planetary Factor for the Period, 1840-1923 212 120. Connection of the Periods of Variation of the Plan- etary Factor with the Sunspot Periods 216 121. Coincidence of the Periods of Variation of the Plan- etary Factor with the Periods of Atmospheric Precipitation 218 122. Relation of the Periods of Variation of the Plan- etary Factor to the Periods of Atmospheric Pressure 220 123. Coincidence of the Periods of Variation of the Planetary Factor with the Periods of Atmos- pheric Electricity 221 124. The Wet and the Dry Seasons of the Year 222 125. Lagging of the Actual Weather 223 126. The Solar Factor of the Connective Variation 224 127. The Lunar Factor of the Connective Variation 226 128. The Sidereal Factor of the Connective Variation .. 227 129. Connection of the Sidereal Factor and the Wet and Dry Seasons 229 130. Coincidence of the Actually Wet and Dry Periods of Years with the Indicated Wet and Dry Periods 230 131. Relative Amounts and Effects of the Several Fac- tors 231 132. Incompleteness of Our Meteorological Data 232 133. Application and Value of These Weather Indications 233 134. A Probable Basis for the Flood Legend 234 135. Connection of the Orbital Period of Jupiter with the Indicated Wet and Dry Periods of Years, and with the Sunspot Periods 237 CHAPTER IX. Interplanetary Connexions and Sunspots, the Zodiacal Light, and the Solar Corona. 136. The Maxima and Minima of Sunspots and Their Causes 240 xviii CONTENTS ARTICLE. PAGE 137. The Zodiacal Light and its Connection with the Sunspot Periods 242 138. Explanation of Anomalous Sunspot Periods 247 139. Existence of Invisible Heavenly Bodies 249 140. Sidereal Connexions and Sunspots 251 141. Connective Variation Upon the Earth by the Sun's Primary System 252 142. The Solar Corona 253 143. Relative Visibility of the Various Solar Connexions and Their Real Directions as Viewed in the Rays of the Corona 256 144. Summary of Results from Planetary Connexion Variations 258 145. Possible Objections to the New Theory 261 CHAPTER X. General Meteorological Phenomena. 146. Atmospheric Extension 265 147. Aerial Tides and Barometric Pressure 266 148. Cloud Zones 269 149. Sky-Glows 270 CHAPTER XI. The Ocean Tides. 150. Comparison of the Two Theories - 274 151. The Greater Tidal Wave Due to the Sun and the Lesser to the Moon 276 152. Possible Objections 277 153. Corroborative. Evidence from Inland Sea Tides ... 280 154. Discordance of Present Tidal Theories 281 CHAPTER XII. Terrestrial Electricity and Magnetism. 155. The Idea of an Immaterial Substance 283 156. Differentiation of the Earth's Connexions 284 157. Relation of the Magnetic Poles to the Planes of the Earth's Motions . 286 CONTENTS xix ARTICLE. PAGE 158. The Earth a Magnet 288 159. Irregular Courses of the Terrestrial Magnetic Lines 290 160. Height of the Aurora 291 161. Diurnal Variation of the Magnetic Needle 293 162. Annual Variation of the Magnetic Needle 295 163. The Irregular Variations of the Magnetic Needle. 296 164. The Secular Variation of the Magnetic Needle: (a) The Earliest Observations 298 (b) Explanation of the Observations at London and Paris 298 (c) The Southeastern Direction of the Lines of No Declination 300 (d) Explanation of the Observations at Boston. 300 ' (e) Explanation of the Secular Variation 302 (f) Period of the Secular Variation 304 165. Corroborative Evidences 305 CHAPTER XIII. Geological Climatic Changes. 166. Geological Periods 313 167. The Age of Ice 314 168. The Causes of the Climatic Changes 315 169. Supposed Subdivisions of the Ice Age 317 CHAPTER XIV. Cosmical Evolution in the Future. 170. Significance of the Sunspots 321 171. The Equatorial Movements of the Sunspots 322 172. The Greater Angular Velocity of Sunspots at the Equator 324 173. Present Crust-Development Upon the Earth 326 174. Variation of Terrestrial Latitudes 328 175. Ring-Projection of the Earth-Crust 331 176. The Primary Connexion of the Earth-Crust 332 177. Gravitation Upon the Expanded Earth-Crust 333 178. Inner Fringe of the Earth-Ring 334 xx CONTENTS ARTICLE. PAGE 179. The Higher Forms of Life as Affected by These Changes 334 180. Disruption of the Earth-Ring. ., 336 181. Pre-Lunar and Other Races of Mankind 337 182. Continued Evolution and the Limit at Which the Process of Subdivision Would Cease 339 183. Glimpse of the Successive Stages of Cosmical Evolution 341 184. Expansion of Evolving Systems 341 185. Eventual Interference of Evolving Systems and the Results 342 186. Effects of the Irregular Motions of Comets and Meteorites 343 CHAPTER XV. The Nebulae. 187. The Regular Nebulae 345 188. The Irregular Nebulae 347 189. Observed Changes in Nebular Forms 349 CHAPTER XVI. Temporary and Variable Stars. 190. Temporary Stars 351 191. Double, Triple, and Multiple, Stars 354 192. Variable Stars of Short Period 354 193. Secular Variation of Periodic Stars 356 194. Variable Stars of Long Period 357 CHAPTER XVII. Ultimate Conceptions of Mass and Velocity. 195. Nature of the Ultimate Subdivisions of Matter... 360 196. The Cosmic Chain of Causation Kepler's Third Law 364 197. The Theory of Gravity and Atomic Velocities ... 370 198. Weight or Mass, the Measure of Energy 371 199. Results of a Grand Cycle of Cosmical Evolution.. 372 CONTENTS xxi ARTICLE. PAGE 200. The Constitution of Matter 374 201. Connective Resistance to the Motions of the Heav- enly Bodies 379 202. Retrospect 381 CHAPTER XVIII. Conclusion. 203. A Final Inference 386 APPENDIX A. 204. Introductory Remarks 391 205-212. Criticism by Dr. A 393 213-220. Reply to Dr. A's Criticism 399 221-229. Criticism by Dr. B 407 230-239. Reply to Dr. B's Criticism 413 240. Letter of Transmittal of Dr. C's Criticism 421 241. Reply to Dr. C's Letter of Transmittal 422 242-272. Reply to Dr. C's Criticism 424 APPENDIX B. Extracts from Press Notices of First Edition 461 Index 467-490 COSMICAL EVOLUTION INTRODUCTION New truths begin as heresies and end as superstitions. Nature, 85, 447. In this connection we may well remember the words of Liebig: "All our views have been developed from errors." From the flashing embers of fallacy springs the Phoenix of Truth. A. U. N., Nature, 90, 103. If it happens to any of us as to A man who looks at glass, On it may stay his eye, Or, if he pleases, through it pass, And then the heavens espy; are not those heavens which are beyond the immediate ob- jects of our observation colored by our prejudices, prepos- sessions, emotions, or imagination, as often as they are de- fined by any profound insight into the depths of Nature's laws? PROF. W. H. FLOWER. 1. The Riddle of the Universe. The great, silent heaven in its ceaseless round of Sun, Moon, and stars must early have engaged man's profoundest attention. When his mind emerged out of the primordial darkness, and the barbarian struggle for existence had lulled; when his daily wants were supplied and he began to have leisure from the pitiless toils of capturing prey, or destroying his enemies the myster- ious, all-surrounding expanse, and the restless objects with which it was peopled, could not but excite his attention and wonder. And probably the earliest flights of his fancy and exercise of his reason were directed to solve the grand rid- dle of his being and his environment. 2. Nature of Man's Earliest Conceptions of the Heavens^ The earliest conceptions of man, as handed down to us in the legends of antiquity, may seem to us crude and childish; but nevertheless they have been of no small value. They 2 INTRODUCTION [3 were the first stepping-stones to the temple of knowledge, and without them, or others equally as crude, the grander conceptions of Kant and Laplace could never have existed. The ideas of the origin and mechanism of the universe which these legends convey are extremely various; for every iso- lated race and tribe had a legend of its own. Each bears the imprint of the peculiar conditions of its native locality; and each attests that man's first attitude to the forces of Nature was that of wonder, mingled with fear. His sole standard of things and actions was himself and his life. Everything that moved he conceived to be animated, and the movement directed by a personal will for some personal end. There was a ceaseless battle between the darkness and the light. In the raging tempest, when light and darkness al- ternately prevailed, the heroes of the spirit-land waged the war of their still unsettled blood-feuds. The forked light- ning serpent was the foe of the thunder-bird. To the Aryans, a pastoral people, the Sun was the bull of majesty; the white clouds driven by the children of the morning to their pas- tures in the blue fields of the sky, were cows from whose swelling udders dropped the milk of heaven the rain. In the dark clouds dwelt the mountain robber Vritra, the thief- dragon, who lured away the herds, until Indra, the Sun-god, smote him with his shafts and set free the imprisoned cows. In Latin guise, Indra and Vritra became Hercules and Cacus; in Greek myth, Apollo and Python; and in the Scandinavian legend, the grim and fearful ogres, sailing swiftly in their cloud-ships, and Odin and his phanton crew. The rainbow was a demon coming down to drink when the rain fell; or the Heaven-ladder or bridge along which the souls of the blest are led by angels into Paradise. The tides were the beatings of the ocean's heart. Volcanoes were the dwelling places of angry demons. And there were spirits of the mountains, of the woods, of the winds, of the waterfalls. 3. Various Legends of Creation. The more general con- ceptions were of a similar character. In the Babylonian legend, handed down by Berosus, the goddess of Nature, 4] INTRODUCTION 3 mother of all, is cut in twain by Belus, chief of the gods, one- half becoming the sky and the other the Earth. Belus, un- able to bear the light which he thus created, cut off his own head; and from his blood mingled with the dust of the Earth arose the race of men. In the Hindu legend, from the laws of Manu, Brahma dis- pelled the original darkness and gloom and created the waters. In the waters he placed a seed. The seed pro- duced a golden egg of a thousand brilliant beams; and in this egg Brahma gave birth to himself. He split the egg in halves, one becoming heaven and the other Earth. He then created gods and wise men, who in turn created de- mons, animals, clouds, mountains and rivers. The Greek legend of the Theogony is that in the begin- ning was Chaos. From Chaos came Gaia, the Earth, and Tartarus, dreadful and dark below. Then appeared beauti- ful Eros. The Earth gave birth to Uranus, the starry heaven, and to the mountains and the sea. Then Gaia and Uranus married, and from them sprang demigods and men. The Scandinavians conceived a yawning gulf south of which was a region of flame, and to the north an abode ice- cold and dark. Torrents of venom flowed from the north into the void, filling it with ice, but the flames of the south melted it and formed water. Out of the water arose Ymir and his wicked family of frost-giants. Ymir was slain by Odin, Vili, and Ve, and out of his flesh they formed the earth, from his blood the seas and waters, from his bones the mountains, from his hair the trees, from his skull the heavens, from his brains the floating clouds, and from his eyebrows a wall around the Earth to guard them from the giant sons of Ymir, 4. Primitive Astronomical Ideas of the Past. Descend- ing from the universe as a whole, let us glance at man's ear- liest interpretations of its component parts. The Hindu con- ceived the Earth to be supported by animals standing one upon another, four elephants being the lowermost, their legs reaching all the way down. The over-arching sky was firm 4 INTRODUCTION [5 and solid like a hammered plate and rested upon the borders of the flat Earth. It had windows in it to let the rain through and gates through which angels descended, or through which prophets saw into the mysteries of the beyond, and outside of which lived other people.* The Sun, Moon and stars were father, mother and children, or heroes translated without seeing death. Their movements are prompted by love, jeal- ousy, or revenge; sometimes borne across the heavens on the backs of ancestors, swimming again to the east through the ocean, or transported across by fishes waiting to receive them. The stars were men who climbed up into the trees, and were left in the branches by the trunks being cut away. The Milky Way was the place where the two halves of the sky were joined together. It was also, like the rainbow, the ladder or bridge whereby the departed pass from Earth to Heaven; the Red Man's road of the dead to the Sun; the Roman p?.th of, or to, the gods. The Moon was chased by monster dogs or wolves that bit and Avounded her until her blood hid her from the view; and, to render her assistance a fearful noise was made to frighten the monsters away. Or she was continually hacked and maimed by the Sun for loving the morning star. Eclipses were caused by great dragons trying to devour the Sun and Moon. The Chinese and the natives of India beat brass kettles, and the Peru- vians beat their dogs, to make the monsters give up their prey. Meteors were the souls of the departed taking their flight from Earth. And the Northern Lights were the shades of the departed in spirit dance, the brighter the flashes of the aurora, the greater the merriment. 5. Primitive Astronomical Ideas of the Present. This is the childhood of the intellect!; and it is by no means con- fined to any single age. Indeed very gross conceptions of the heavens are entertained by our own contemporaries. The *The Polynesian teim for a stranger is ' 'papalangi' ', or heaven- burster. tPor these legends* more in detail and many others, the reader may consult Edward Clodd's Childhood of the World, Childhood of Religions, Birth and Growth of Myth, and Fritz Sclmltze's Fetichism; wherein many other authorities are cited. 5] INTRODUCTION 5 Namaquas, a branch of the Hottentots, regard the Sun as a lump of clear fat, which seamen attract to themselves by enchantment during the night and spurn in the morning because they have no further use for it. The Moon is a man riding an ass, and wanes because he puts his hand up to his head when he has the headache. According to the Patagonians, two men quarreled over the parentage of a child, as a result of which it was cut in two, one man taking the upper half and immediately flinging it into the sky, thus forming the Sun. The other sullenly let his lie on the ground; but seeing the glory of his rival's share, he waited till the Sun went down and then flung his part in the sky also, thus forming the Moon, whose paleness is owing to the blood having oozei out as it lay on the Earth. Nor are the savages entirely alone, perhaps, in the an- thropomorphism of astronomical conceptions.* While a great many of us today have outgrown such legends as that of the Man in the Moon, the influence of the lunar phases upon animals, plants and weather, the baneful or beneficial effects of being born under a certain star or planet, or of an event happening in a certain sign of the zodiac, etc., yet, to quote the words of Prof. Flower at the third Newcastle meeting of the British Association, "It is impossible to be blind to the fact that we who are engaged with the investi- gation of those subjects which are commonly accepted as belonging to the domains of physical science are unfortun- ately not always, by virtue of being so occupied, possessed of that most precious of gifts, 'a right judgment in all things. > " And again, "are not those heavens which are beyond the immediate objects of our observation colored by our preju- dices, prepossessions, emotions, or imagination as often as they are defined by Nature's laws?" * 'Looked at from this point of view we can not refuse to regard them' 1 (the '-willow-leaves' of the Sun's surface) ''as organisms of 1 seme amazing kind; and thou.eh it would be too daring to speak of such organization as partaking of the nature of life, yet we know that vital action is competent to develop at cnce, heat, light and electricity." SIR JOHN HERSCHEIj, quoted by L'rof. bangley in the Century Mag- azine, Vol. VI, 717. The "willow-leaves" are about 1000 miles long by abcnt 200 miles broad. 6 INTRODUCTION [7 6. The Dawn of Astronomical Science. Although the oldest of be sciences, astronomy has been pretty much a concatenation of illusions quite* similar to these from the earliest observations of the Chaldean priests down to the time of Copernicus, or the beginning of the sixteenth century. This especially applies, however, to physical astronomy, with which this volume throughout will be chiefly concerned. In the earliest times the Earth was regarded as fixed, and the heavens as revolving around it every twenty-four hours. Pythagoras and his disciples (about 500 B. C.) are said to have conceived the true heliocentric theory of the planetary world. But if this docrine was taught at that time, it was soon forgotten or ignored. Great geometrical and mathe- matical discoveries in astronomy were made by Hipparchus of Bithnia (about 160-125 B. C.) and by Ptolemy of Alexan- dria (about 139 A. D.) ; and the geocentric theory of Thales (accepted also by all ancient philosophers of eminence, in- cluding Aristotle and Plato) was invested with these dis- coveries and built by Ptolemy into the theory known as the Ptolemaic System, or Almagest of the Arabians. 7. Tihe Almagest, or Ptolemaic System. A glance at this venerable and at one time universally approved thought- structure may be instructive. The belief that the Earth was the center of the universe Ptolemy supported by the ob- served relations of the elements. Thus earth, the most stable of the elements, held the lowest place and supported water, the second in order. Above water was placed air, then ether; the latter being supposed to extend indefinitely above all. In or above the ether were successive, concen- tric zones or heavens, each containing an immense crystal- line shell or sphere to which was attached a heavenly body, and which revolved around the Earth carrying the body with it. The smallest sphere or crystalline surrounded the Earth and its elements, and carried he Moon. The next in their order from the Earth carried Mercury, Venus, the Sun, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn and the fixed stars; eight in all. Later as- tronomers added a ninth, the motion of which caused the 8] INTRODUCTION 7 precession of the equinoxes, and a tenth, or primum mobile, revolving from east to west in twenty-four hours, and im- parting motion to all the others. As geometrical observations increased in accuracy, it was found that the motions of the heavenly bodies were apparently not uniform. Sometimes a planet moved slowly and at other times comparatively fast. This was explained by supposing that the Earth was not at the center of the sphere of that planet but more to one side, and that the planet, when carried past that side, would move more rapidly owing to its nearness, and, when on the other side, more slowly owing to its distance. The path thus described by the planet with respect to the Earth was called an eccentric. At other times a planet seemed to stand still, move backwards, and then rapidly forwards. This was really owing to the different positions of the planet and the Earth, and their different velocities, around the Sun. But the Ptolemaic astronomers attributed it to a movement of the planet, not directly with the crystalline, but in a smaller secondary orbit, the center of which was a fixed point in the crystalline; so that, when the planet was in t.ne outside half of the secondary orbit, it moved rapidly forwards, and when in the inside half, it moved backwards. The path of the planet in this secondary orbit was called an epicycle. This theory of eccentrics and epicycles, upon still further investigation, was seen to be still further defective, until fin- ally it was found necessary to pile epicycle upon epicycle, and patch explanation upon explanation so much that Al- fonso X, of Castile, to whom it was being taught, was led to exclaim that "if the Deity were now to reconstruct the world, he (Alfonso) could give him a few useful hints." Yet this theory commanded the approval of the best intellects of the world for about two thousand years, and was replaced only in the beginning of the sixteenh century by the Coper- nican System. 8. The Copernican System. This system, which is the one now held, regards the Sun as at rest in the center, and the Earth and the planets as moving around it in ellipses. 8 INTRODUCTION [8 The general idea of. this system was very probably first pro- mulgated by Pythagoras, as already stated. But to Coper- nicus belongs the honor of its revival after the lapse of so many centuries. He attempted to explain for the first time the variations of the seasons, the precession of the equinox- es, and the stations and retrogradations of the planets accord- ing to this system. But his knowledge of mathematics was not great, and, to account for apparent irregularities, he was obliged to introduce a system of epicycles similar to that of Ptolemy. Subsequent philosophers, however, sought to explain the movements of the planets by a theory of vortical mo- tion. This theory, probably suggested to the mind by the familiar phenomena of whirlpools and whirlwinds, was in ex- istence ages before this time, but the Copernican System awoke it into new life and energy. Kepler (1571-1630) conceived the Sun to be a magnet, the Immaterial substance of which was sent forth radially in all directions. These radiations rotated with the Sun, thus constituting a universal vortex, the motion of which car- ried with it the planets. The Sun's surface was attractive and its center was repulsive, and these two forces (which Em- pedocles, about 450 B. C., designated "love" and "hate") was everywhere in equilibrium, so that a planet had no tendency to recede from, or approach towards, the Sun. The depar- ture of the planetary paths from the circular form was ex- plained by supposing each planet to have an attractive and a repulsive side, which turned alternately towards the Sun. The supply of solar emanations and their motion was con- stantly maintained by the Creator, or by some spirit specially designated for that employment. By means of the observa- tions of the great Tycho Brahe (1546-1601), to whom also he was indebted for valuable counsel, Kepler discovered his three famous laws. He also affirmed the essential inertia of matter (Galileo's first law of motion) ; gave a complete the- ory of solar eclipses and- calculated the exact epochs of the transits of Venus and Mercury across the Sun's disc. 9] INTRODUCTION 9 To this same epoch also belongs the honor of producing the brilliant genius of Galileo (1564-1642). To this great Italian we owe the discovery of the three laws of motion, the law of falling bodies, and the isochronism of the pendu- lum. He also, with a telescope of his own invention, discov- ered the inequalities of the Moon's surface and the re- flected nature of her light, the four satellites of Jupiter, the ring of Saturn, and the movable spots on the Sun's surface, from which he inferred the rotation of that body. For ad- vocating the Copernican System and for promulgating dis- coveries antagonistic to the prevailing creed, he was, at the age of seventy, incarcerated by the Inquisition, and after a long and painful trial, forced to retract the sublime truths which he had discovered and taught. 9. The Vortical Theory. By far the ablest advocate and expositor of the Vortical Theory was the French phil- osopher, Des Cartes (1596-1650). He assumed that infinite space is filled with infinite matter, which was originally chaotic and formless. In the beginning God created par- ticles of nearly uniform size, each of which had an axial rc- tation. Groups of such also revolved about distant centers. Mutual friction reduced the particles to various sizes, the smallest of which was called the "first element," and the larger the "second element." Vortices would arise in the mass owing to some groups of revolving particles being more powerful and energetic and subduing into harmonious move- ment with themselves contiguous minor groups. As the vortical motion increased, the "second element" would re- move from the center, the larger and more massive particles to the greater distance. But the "first element," having but little mass, and consequently but little momentum, would chiefly fall to the center, and there aggregate into a sun. This sun rotated rapidly, and sent out emanations of its element upon the plane of its equator; these emanations passing between the particles of the second element and carrying them forward; the nearest the most rapidly, because they had the least mass. Some of the minor vortices sub- 10 INTRODUCTION [9 dued by the solar vortex, while they moved around the latter, would yet maintain their own vortical movement, at the cen- ter of which would collect some -of the element, and thus give rise to planets. Other vortices, subdued by the planet- ary vortices, would in a similar manner account for the sat- ellites. But some vortices would escape from the influence of the solar vortex, and these last would become comets. This really absurd theory was so ingeniously constructed and so elaborately finished in detail by the great intellect of Des Cartes that there was little doubt of its correctness; and, indeed, it was the most plausible theory of cosmical mechanism at that time. It was advocated by many eminent scientists, and for a time, maintained its ground upon the continent against the theory of gravitation. The German philosopher and mathematician, Liebnitz, accepted the general cosmical conceptions of Des Cartes, but he modified them so far as to recognize the necessity of a tangential force and a central attractive force to guide the motions of the planets. Liebnitz also conceived the germs of geology. In his Protogoea he plainly states his belief that our world was primitively in a molten state; and that, in cooling, it formed a crust which, upon continued refriger- ation, was crumpled up into mountain ranges and depressed into ocean basins. The action of water upon the plutonic rocks, ground them down into sediment, which, collecting into strata, was again solidified. Thus he combined aqueous and igneous action as in modern geology; although later scien- tists, less wise, wrangled long and bitterly in favor of either. In various forms the vortical theory was promulgated and defended by many other philosophers and scientists. But it soon began to lose ground. When fairly contrasted with the new theory of gravitation, its flimsiness and absurdities became plainly apparent. Yet, in the words 01 Chambers' Encyclopedia, its author "is not to be laughed at; mistakes more ridiculous than his are gravely propounded at the present day." 10] INTRODUCTION 11 10. The Theory of Gravitation. Sir Isaac Newton, the illustrious English philosopher and mathematician and found- er of the theory of gravitation, was born in 1642, the same year in which Galileo died a prisoner of the Inquisition. It is said that in 1665 the law of universal gravitation was sug- gested to his mind by the fall of an apple in his garden. Might not, he reasoned, the same force that caused the apple to fall, extend outwards to the Moon, and acting on that body with an energy diminished by the distance, pull it continually from the straight path it would otherwise pur- sue, and so mainain it in its orbit around the Earth? No sooner did this grand conception arise in his brain than he put it to the test of actual calculation. But the knowledge of the Earth's magnitude in those days was very imperfect, and Newton employed a value of the Earth's radius so large that, according to the law which he had conceived, the fall of a body upon the Earth's surface in each second should have been only 13.9 ft., instead of 16.1 ft., the actual fall, as previously determined by Galileo. This discrepancy was so great that he regarded the law of universal gravitation as irreconcilable with the facts, and he consequently aban- doned it, until Picard, in 1670, obtained a more correct meas- ure of the Earth. At least in the year 1684 it became known that he was in possession of the complete theory and its demonstration, and in 1687 he was persuaded by his friends to give it to he world in his famous Principia. Newton's law of universal gravitation may be thus stat- ed: Every particle of matter in the universe attracts every other particle with a force directly proportional to the mass of the attracting particle and inversely proportional to the square of the distance through which it acts. Accepting this law provisionally, Newton proceeded to its demonstra- tion. He first endeavored to show that the attraction of the Earth is precisely the same upon another body, as if its whole mass were compressed into one atom at its center. Then, at the distance of the Earth's radius from this point, the energy of its attraction, according to the law of gravi- 12 INTRODUCTION [10 tation, is such as to cause a body to fall a distance of 16.1 feet in one second. Calling the Earth's radius 1, then the Moon's distance from the Earth's center will be about GO, and to find the energy of the Earth's attraction at the Moon, the law of gravitation gives the following proportion: (60) 2 : (I) 2 = 16.1ft. : x; whence x, or the pull of he Earth's attraction upon the Moon, is found to be about 0.00447 ft. in each second. Know- ing the Moon's period of sidereal revolution around the Earth to be about twenty-seven days, seven hours and forty-three minutes, and its mean distance from the Earth's center to be about 240,000 miles, then the Moon's orbital velocity would be about 0.64 mile per second; and by a simple geometric theorem, the actual pull upon the Moon towards the center of its motion is V (240,000)2 -f (0.64)2 240,000, or about 8.33X10- 7 miles, or 0.0044 feet, in each second. The actual pull and the theoretic pull are thus found to agree very closely; and the demonstration was so simple, and the accordance of theory and fact, out of the infinitude of pos- sible discordances, was so striking and forcible that in a few years every scientist accepted it unreservedly; and it con- tinues to be accepted almost without the least question or doubt, to the present day. But this is by no means all of Newton's theory; indeed it is only the foundation upon which that theory is built. Having found that his law of gravitation applied to the Moon, Newton next sought to apply it to the Earth itself and to the other planets. Knowing the period of the Earth's revo- lution around the Sun and their distances asunder, he de- termined as in the case of the Moon and the Earth, the attractive pull of the Sun upon the Earth in one second. This he found to be about 0.0096 feet, which was about 315,000 times the effect which the Earth's attraction, extend- ed to the same distance would be able to accomplish. He concluded, therefore, that the Sun's attraction, and conse- 11] INTRODUCTION 13 quently its mass, was 315,000 times as great as the Earth's. This solar attraction would cause a body to fall at the Sun's surface a distance of about 437 feet in one second; and tak- ing this fall, the Sun's radius, and the distance of every planet in succession, to form successive proportions similar to that employed in the case of the Earth and the Moon, he found that the pulls per second of this supposed solar attraction were very nearly the same as the actual pulls per second by which the planets were drawn towards the Sun and maintained in their orbits. Here was additional and apparently overwhelming evidence in support of his theory. But it was not all. The Jovian and the Saturnian systems furnished still further evidence, for it was found that the law of gravitation accounted for the motions of the satellites as fully as it did for those of the planets. Every member of the Solar System appeared to be strictly amenable to that law. And thus, from the 16.1 feet determined by Ga- lileo to be the gravity pull in one second at the Earth's sur- face, did Newton account for the motion of the Moon, the Earth, the planets, the satellies, the comets, and even the stars; for the philosopher Kant, the two Herschels, the two Struves, Argelander, Airy, and many other astronomers agree that the Sun and the stars have a proper motion about distant centers, to which they are held in the same manner as the Moon is held to the Earth, or the planets to the Sun. Vhus upon the solid basis of actual observation, with our own eyes, upon our own world, has the theory of grav- itation been constructed and extended to the whole universe; to which it applies with such apparent harmony and exact- ness that its implicit acceptance as the essential basis of physical science by the profoundest intellects of the modern world is not at all to be wondered at. 11. Tihe Nebular Hypothesis. But after this extension and general acceptance of the theory of gravitation, there yet remained facts which were totally inexplicable. The mere orbital motions of the planets and satellites were made intelligible, but how about the planets and satellites them- 14 INTRODUCTION [11 selves? Whence came they and in what manner? How came their orbits to lie nearly in the same general plane that of the Sun's equator and their motions, both of or- bital revolution and axial rotation,* to be generally in the same direction from west to east? And how also did it happen that there was an invariable relation beween a plan- et's distance from the Sun, or primary, and its period of circulation around that body? In these adjustments, Newton could see only the finger of God. In his general scholium he pronounces them to be the work of an intelligent and all-powerful Being. There was one, however, to whom such an explanation was not wholly satisfactory the great French mathema- tician, Laplace (1749-1827). "Might not these arrangements be an effect of the laws of motion?" he asks, "and might not the Supreme Intelligence, which Newton invoked, have caused them to depend on a more general phenomenon?" And such a phenomenon is, according to his conjecture, "that of a nebulous matter dispersed in masses throughout the immensity of the heavens." In a note at the end of his System Du Monde, Laplace expands this general idea more into details. He commences with a universal nebulosity "so diffuse that its existence is barely imaginable". This neb- ulosity, aggregated into individual masses, some of which became stars and one of which became the Solar System. Through the agency of gravitation these primordial masses would develop nuclei; the spiral or vortical motions of floc- culi towards this nucleated mass-center giving rise to a rotation of the whole mass. Thus after a time our system consisted of a dense nucleus, or the Sun, surrounded by a vaporous atmosphere which extended "beyond the orbits of all the planets". "The atmosphere of the sun could not extend outwards indefinitely; its limit would be the point where the centrifugal force due to its movement of rotation would counterbalance gravitation. But in proportion as cool- ing contracted the atmosphere and condensed at the sur- face of the body the molecules located in that region, the 12] INTRODUCTION 15 movement of rotation increased by virtue of the principles of areas." And the velocity becoming greater and greater as the solar atmosphere contracted more and more, an equa- torial ring would be left behind by the contracting vapor. This ring, which is supposed to have considerable breadth, would not be of uniform density and tenacity in all its parts, and would consequently fracture and collapse into a sphere; this sphere having an orbital motion around the Sun de- rived from its original rotation around that body, and an axial rotation caused, and its direction determined, by the greater absolute velocity of the outer portion of the ring. This process would continue in the Sun's atmosphere until all the planets and planetoids were successively cast off and left behind. But in the meantime some of the planets, in contracting from the vaporous condition, would also acquire a rapid rotation and cast off rings of vapor which would disrupt into satellites. The present ring of Saturn for some extraordinary reason still remains unbroken, although it is supposed to be either vaporous or composed of discrete par- ticles. The comets are entire strangers and their origin is wholly mythical. Such is the "nebular hypothesis" of Laplace regarding the origin of the Solar System. It is, moreover, with very little modification, the view now held; but it may be stated here that recent eminent astronomers are beginning to find insuperable difficulties in it. 12. Astronomical Science Still in Its Infancy. Having thus rapidly passed in review the earliest astronomical ideas down to the most recent cosmological conceptions, we may here pause for a moment's reflection. One thing this glance at our past physical views is well calculated to impress upon our minds, and that is their prob- able immaturity and incompleteness. The history of phys- ical astronomy seems to be one of successive illusions, each tenaciously held for a time and given up only with reluctance. The most chimerical ideas of the heavenly bodies, their motions, their nature, and their origin, generally 16 INTRODUCTION [13 prevailed up to the fifteenth century; and it is only in the last two centuries that anything like true ideas of the mech- anism and origin of the Solar Sygtem began to be enter- tained. Indeed, regarding these matters, the human intellect appears to be even yet in its infancy. Not only is it true that the number of men who have intelligent ideas of the mechanism and laws of the universe is extremely small com- pared with the number of those who entertain very prim- itive ideas, or who entertain no ideas whatever regarding the subject, but even these intelligent ideas are but recently derived from their fallacious predecessors; and being thus recently born of error, it is really very improbable that they can be wholly free from error themselves. The human race may be compared to a healthy and active child just beginning to exercise its reason; but with the difference that the former has no tutor. It has to answer its own inquiries and to explain its own difficulties. Conse- quently it makes mistakes which, however, owing to its ac- tivity, it soon discovers and replaces by others less palpable. Such seems to be our intellectual progress, from gross mis- conceptions to misconceptions less gross. And, if our ex- istence and our progress are to continue, such in all proba- bility will our intellectual progress continue to be for many years to come. 13. Current Acceptance of Scientific Dogmas. With thte history of our intellectual development before us a history of successive escapes from sense-illusions a history of man's implicit faith and confidence* in the truth and perfectness of his newest conceptions of Nature, and of his subsequent discoveries that Nature is yet quite different from his new- est conceptions of her a history of the fallacies and re- jection of all theories but the last one, and of the unquali- fied approval and acceptance of this one as a demonstrated law; with such a history of our progress in the past for our present guidance, it seems that we ought to be liberal towards new ideas, and to regard our present conceptions as very liable to be fallacious like their predecessors. The 14] INTRODUCTION 17 fact, however, has every appearance of being the contrary. The present theory of gravitation, e. g., is regarded by near- ly all scientists as a demonstrated fact. No recent physicist questions its general application, and apparently never has questioned it, but has fully accepted it upon the authority of its illustrious expounders. Thus "owing to the temptation to accept as still sufficient any time-honored scientific dogma having respectable spon- sors",* it becomes possible that serious errors are, as they certainly have been, propagated by very intelligent men. They have little, if any, doubt of the truth and perfectness of current scientific doctrines. They do not exercise their reason at all in their investigation. Their minds are sat- isfied with the evidences adduced, and the magnificent tal- ents displayed, by their propoundeis. Their respect and rev- erence for these magnificent talents are so profound that they invest the doctrines and protect them from criticism as the wax protects the copperplate. In more subordinate matters their acumen is great, and their investigation thor- ough; but the matters of prime importance are as if preserv- ed under lock and key from the dangerous pryings of rea- son and investigation. But in science nothing should be held so sacred as to be above the strictest scrutiny with the light of reason not once for all, but frequently; for that light become ever brighter and more searching as our knowl- edge increases with increasing years. In the words of the Duke of Argyle : t "We should be awake to the retarding ef- fects of a superstitious dependence on the authority of great men, and to the constant liability of even the greatest observ- ers to found fallacious generalizations on a few scanty facts." 14. Present-day Doubts. These remarks were written twenty-five years ago. Today there are many indications that a few scientific men are beginning to recognize that even the basic and fundamental conceptions of physical science are erroneous. *Prof. S. P. Langley. tNineteenth Century, April '94. 18 INTRODUCTION [15 "Physical theories at the present moment are so shaky at the foundations that the doubt arises sometimes whether the superstructure is not being built up to rapidly. The diffi- culties, now ten years old, in reconciling the undulatory and corpuscular types of radiation in one theory, the hopeless confusion that prevails as to the necessity for the existence of an ether, and the modern discrete or quantum theory of energy, seem to call for a more drastic reconsideration. . . of many of the simplest physical conceptions and their exper- imental basis. There seems to be really no evidence for this. All experiment and observation justify is its propa- gation between portions of space occupied by matter. Else- where it may not be propagated at all. Recent suggestions that it is propagated along 'Faraday tubes,' which starting from the radiator must necessarily end 'somewhere,' seem vaguely to imply something of the kind. But what a dif- ferent complexion would be assumed by some of the larger generalizations of science in the field, e. g., of the maintain- ance of solar and cosmical energy, not to mention problems in wireless telegraphy connected with the curvature of the waves round the earth . . . if it were frankly confessed at the outset that we are really in complete ignorance as to the answer to this simplest first question about the nature of radiation."* 15. Plan of This Work. In the following pages these matters are to be examined more in detail. And even deep- er and more important subjects than the theory of radiation will be looked into, beginning with the very cornerstone of present-day physical science, the Theory of Gravitation it- self; upon which, in fact, nearly all other physical theories rest, and with which they consequently all stand or fall to- gether. The Law of Gravitation is the essential principle of the Theory of Gravitation, and so will first engage our attention. All the principal phenomena which that law is held to gov- ern are to pass careful examination in the light of that theory; the results of which evidently appear to justify the examination of the same phenomena again farther on in the light of a new theory. Frederick Soddy; Nature, 92, 339. PART I OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION Men of science do not pledge themselves to creeds; they are bound by articles of no sort. There is not a single be- lief that it is not a bounden duty with them to hold with a light hand, and to part with it cheerfully, the moment it is proved to be contrary to any fact great or small. PROF. HUXLEY. CHAPTER I THE LAW OF GRAVITATION Newton's law is, doubtless, not absolutely correct; . . . the attraction is not rigorously proportional to the inverse squares of the distances but to some other function of them. In this way Prof. Newcomb has recently tried to explain the movement of the perihelion of Mercury. M. H. PO1NCARE. It is always safe and philosophic to distinguish, as much as is in our power, fact from theory; the experience of past ages is sufficient to show us the wisdom of such a course; and considering the constant tendency of the mind to rest on assumption, we ought to remember that it, in such cases, becomes a prejudice, and inevitably interferes, more or less, with a clear-sighted judgment. MICHAEL FARADAY. In order to seek the truth it is necessary once in the course of our life to doubt, as far as possible, of all things. As we are at one time children, and as we formed various judgments regarding the objects presented to our senses, when as yet we had not the entire use of our reason, nu- merous prejudices stand in the way of arriving at the knowl- edge of truth; and of these it seems impossible to rid our- selves, unless we undertake, once in our lifetime, to doubt of all things in which we may discover even the smallest suspicion of uncertainty. DES CARTES. 20 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [16 16. Definition of the Law. What is the law of gravi- tation? Prof. R. A. Proctor* defines the law as follows: "Every particle of matter in the universe attracts every other particle with a force varying* directly as the masses and inversely as the square of the distance"; while in the same work (Art. Gravitation), Sir R. S. Ball states the law to be: "Every particle of matter in the universe at- tracts every other particle with a force varying directly as the product of the masses and inversely as the square of the distance." Do these two statements of the law agree? Do varying "as the masses" and varying "as the product of the masses" mean the same thing? If the masses of the attracting par- ticles be 2 and 5, will not the attraction between them, varying as the masses, be the sum of 2 and 5, or 7,. and vary- ing as the product of the masses, be the product of 2 and 5, or 10? Yet strange as it may seem, about half of the scien- tific authorities give the sum-statement of the law and the other half the product-statement. This criticism, which is not made here for the first time, is not advanced as one of very great importance. The present writer does not stand sponsor for either the sum or the product statement. But indignant protests have been made because any difference whatever should be held to exist between the two, as they both are alleged to mean precisely the same thing. It is submitted to the reader whether or not the expression, "Every particle of matter in the universe attracts every other particle with a force di- rectly as their masses"! has the same meaning as when it is stated that the particles attract each other with a force "directly as the product of the masses", as is frequently done in scientific textbooks. All that is here contended xor is that there is a very material difference; and that the existence of such different expressions for a fundamental law *Ency. Britt., Art. "Astronomy." tNewcomb's Pop. Astron., 6th Ed., p. 81. 17] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 21 in physics manifests a looseness and carelessness of thought which ought not to exist among scientific men. Newton himself certainly used the product-statement; and, indeed, the phrase, "Every particle of matter in the universe attracts every other particle", clearly implies this and. nothing else. To illustrate, let us suppose that the mass- es of the two attracting bodies A and B, are m and n re- spectively. Then each particle of A attracts each of the n particles of B, making n units of attraction for the one par- ticle of A; and as there are altogether m particles in A, there would be obviously m times n, or mn, units of attrac- tion between the two bodies. Or, in other words, the at- traction between the two bodies would be represented by the product of their masses. It is clear that, if it "varied directly as the masses", the attraction between A and B would be entirely different, or m + n, instead of mn. So that such a statement as "Every two bodies or portions of matter in the universe attract each other with a force propor- tioned directly to the quantity of matter they contain"* is simply a contradiction in terms, ?n impossibility (unless the "particles" be of atomic dimensions).! 17. Application of the Law. Let U3 now examine the lav/ in the light of the product-theory. Suppose two bodies, A and B, each consisting of m particles, attracting e^ch other at unit distance. Then the attraction between them will be mXm, or m 2 . Now let one particle be transferred from A to B, and then the attraction between the two bodies will be ( m i) (^-^i), or rn - 1 > which, stivncely enough, is one unit less than it was before, although the amount of matter in the two bodies remains unchanged. If, instead of transferring one particle from A to B, we transfer m 1 par- ticles, then, according to the product-theory, the attraction between the two bodies will be 2m 1, which is not only less than the product of the masses of the two bodies be- fore the transfer, but is less even than the sum of the mass- es of the two bodies! And, indeed, if the remaining par- *Webstcr's Dictionary. tFcr further discussion of this subject see Arts. 222, 231, 242. 22 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [18 ticle of A be also transferred to B, it may fairly be inferred that the resulting body would have no attraction whatso- ever! For 2m XO = 0. The same reasoning applies for systems of three, four, or more, bodies; the ratio of the maximum total attrac- tion to the minimum total attraction in each system being pre- cisely the same as in the case of two bodies, so long as each body in that system is kept at unit distance from every other body in that system. 18. Application to the Moon and the Earth. But does this teaching of the law of gravitation conform with the facts? For example, let the mass of the Earth be E and that of the Moon E/80; then the attraction between them according to the law will be E 2 /80. Then, transferring half the Moon's mass to the Earth, the masses of the two bodies will be 161E/160 and E/160, and the attraction between them will be, very nearly, E 2 /159, or only about half as much as before. In other words, halving the Moon's mass halves the Earth-Moon attraction although the Earth's mass is in- creased! What has become of the other half of the Earth's attraction? Sir R. S. Ball, in his article on gravitation in the Ency- clopedia Brittanica illustrates the action of gravity by sup- posing two attracting bodies to be held apart by a rigid rod between them. The pressure exerted upon one end of the rod by one body is shown to be precisely equal to the pressure upon the other end of the rod by the other body, regardless of the relative sizes of the two bodies. And it is shown that, by doubling, trebling, etc., the mass of the body at one end of the rod, the pressure exerted upon each end of the rod is consequently doubled, trebled, etc. Let us now use this illustration in the case of the Moon and the Earth. The pressure of the Moon upon one end of the rigid rod separating it from the Earth, is precisely equal to that of the Earth upon the other end, the two bodies being supposed to be at rest and the attraction of gravity being the only force operating between them. Doub- 19] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 23 ling the mass of the Moon, the pressure on each end of the rod is doubled. Trebling the mass of the Moon, the pres- sure on each end of the rod is trebled. And so on. But if instead of doubling the mass of the Moon, we double the mass of the Earth, what will happen then? The mass of the Earth is eighty times as great as that of the Moon, and one would reasonably think that the doubling of this greater mass ought to produce a correspondingly greater effect. But, according to the law of gravitation, it does not. The pressure upon each end of the rod is doubled when the Earth's mass is doubled, precisely the same as when the Moon's mass is doubled. For doubling the mass of the Earth only doubles its attraction upon the Moon, which thus would press upon the rod with twice the weight it had be- fore, just as when its own mass was doubled. Moreover, this follows as a mathematical result from the product- theory of the law of gravitation. For the two masses be- ing 1 and 80, respectively, doubling the first gives a product of 2X80, or 160, and doubling the second gives a product 1X160, or 160, as before. To make the absurdity of this conclusion still plainer, let one particle of matter be at one end of the rod, and let all the matter of the universe, excepting the one particle and the rod, be at the other end. Then, according to the law of gravitation, doubling the mass of the particle would cause precisely the same effect as doubling the mass of the rest of the universe! Or. in other words, the attrac- tive effect of a single particle is practically the same, ac- cording to the law of gravitation, as that of the whole uni- verse. What a strange jumble of conceptions we sometimes really, though unwittingly, entertain!* 19. The Law of Gravitation and the Conservation of En- ergy. What, then, is the law of the attraction of gravity? How does one mass of matter act upon another mass with- out connection, and apparently without requiring time for the transmission of the impulse, however great the distance *For further discussion of this subject see Arts. 206, 213, 232, 244. 24 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [19 at which it acts ? What logical right have we to assume, as scientists do, that a something called gravity is so won- derfully radiated out in all direction* into empty space, to an infinite distance, where it meets with no reciprocally at- tracting body? And then again: "Every particle of matter in the universe attracts every other particle"! This is part of the statement of the law of gravitation. What does it imply? If the attraction of every smallest particle of matter in the universe extends outwards on all sides of that particle to the utmost limits of the universe, or to infinite distances, what becomes of the law of the conservation of energy? For this statement implies not only an infinite amount of attractive force in every particle of matter, but also the continual action, expenditure, and generation of this infinite force through all eternity; or in other words, a double-actioned infinity of force (in space and time) for every particle of matter! Would any person of intelligence claim that a material particle, independently of any exter- nal cause, could forever continue to generate any other form of energy, such as heat or light? And, if not, why do scien- tists make the sole exception in favor of gravity? For since every known property of the particle remains un- changed and unaffected by this doubly infinite generation of energy by it, there appears to be, in the light of our pres- ent knowledge., no other conclusion than that this infinite supply of force is actually created out of nothing! In the words of Samuel Laing: "This affects not only the permanent maintenance of the supply of gravity, but goes even deeper to the fundamental axioms of all modern conceptions, whether scientific or phil- osophical, of the universe, viz., the Conservation of Energy. You cannot make something out of nothing; you cannot cre- ate energy or matter, but only transform them. Good; but how about that which is one of the principal manifestations of energy in the universe that of gravity? You can catch limited portions of it, transform them into mechanical power, and then backwards and forwards as you like in heat, light, chemical action, electricity and magnetism, neither gaining nor losing by any of these transformations If Thomson and Helmhoitz assume an infinite fund of energy in 20] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 25 the form of gravity to account for heat, why shall they not as well assume an infinite amount of heat to account for gravity? And if heat is dissipated by use until it is exhaust- ed, or reduced to one sui^onary average of temperature, and worlds and suns die, why should gravity be gifted with perpetual youth and escape the general law of birth, matur- ity and death?"* So much for the law of gravitation. Next may be con- sidered the application of that law in the broader field of the theory of gravitation.! 20. The Attraction of a Sphere or Spherical Shell. Af- ter discovering the law of gravitation, Newton realized that there was needed a proof of a further proposition, viz., that a sphere, however large, would attract another sphere, how- ever close, as though its mass were concentrated in one point at its center. This, "which he ultimately succeeded in proving . . . com- pleted the great law which was given to the world in 1686; but without this proposition, the law of gravitation would have remained a mere rough approximation, instead of tak- ing its place at once, and thereafter, as the most accurate law known to science."! In Thomson's and Tait's Natural Philosophy, sec. 488, there is a demonstration of this proposition with regard to a spherical shell, which is too long to be quoted here. It must suffice to show that it cannot be proved that the at- traction of equal diametrically opposite portions of that shell on an external body, P, is J:he same as if both por- tions were at the center of the shell. Let C be the center of a shell, P a body external to the shell, and A the point of the shell nearest to P. Also let CP=h and CA a. Then, according to the law of gravita- tion, the sum of the attractions of an area at A, the near- est point to P, and of an equal area at a point diametrically opposite to A, will be as follows: l/(b+a) 2 + l/(b a) 2 , *Problems of the Future; Humboldt .Library of Science, No. 166, p. 23. tThis subject is continued in Arts. 207, 214, 223, 233, 245e. $Prof. H. H. Turner; Nature, 83, 338. 26 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [20 which, if the proposition were true, would equal 2/b 2 . But this equation reduces to a--bV3, which is absurd. If we place the equal elements at opposite ends of a diameter of the shell at right angles to CP, it is obvious at a glance that each area will be farther from P than it would be at the center. And the computation for intermediate diam- eters, equally distributed with respect to the shell's sur- face some of which give a surplus and some a deficit, of at- traction, as compared with the attraction of the pair of op- posite elements at the center do not at all appear to in- dicate that they balance one another. In Thomson and Tait's demonstration referred to, the total force of the shell on P was found to be 4^ da 2 /(CP) 2 , where d is the density of the surface and a equals CA, the radius of the shell. Now if CP be continually diminished, this force, according to the formula, would evidently con- tinually increase until, as the particle P moved within the shell and arrived at the center, it would become infinitely great; whereas the actual teaching elsewhere is that it should become zero at that point. In sec. 479 the authors state that "a particle placed within the surface is not at- tracted in any direction". But this also leads to a con- clusion just as strange, for when P would arrive at A, the force would be at a maximum, whence, passing just with- in the shell, it instantly becomes zero. In the case of a solid sphere, the same reasoning would apply to the attraction Of two equal and diametrically op- posite elements upon an external particle as in the case of a spherical shell. According to the law of gravitation, no two equal elements of a sphere, equally distant and dia- metrically opposite from the center, can have the same at- tractive force upon an external particle as if they were sit- uated at the center; and as the whole sphere consists of such pairs of elements, no sphere, either homogenous or uniformly increasing or decreasing in density towards the center, can act on an external particle, according to the law of gravitation, as if its whole mass were concentrated at 21] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 27 its center. Pages of further comment could not make this any plainer.* 21. Terrestial Attraction. One method of measuring the Earth's density is by means of a pendulum. The number of its oscillations in a given time depends upon the strength of the attraction of gravity. It is in accordance with the theory of gravitation that, as we descend beneath the Earth's surface, the Earth's attraction will decrease in strength in ex- act proportion to the mass of the layer penetrated; and, knowing the density of the latter, we can compare with it the density of the rest of the Earth by comparing the force of gravity at the surface with the force of gravity at the in- side of the layer. In 1843, Sir G. B. Airy, by means of the pendulum, measured the force of gravity at the surface and at the bottom of Harton Colliery, 1200 feet deep. But, to his astonishment, he found that the force of gravity at the bottom of the colliery was considerably greater than at the surface. Prof. Young f endeavors to explain this as follows: "If we go down into a mine the effect on gravity is the same as if a shell composed of all that part of the earth above our level had been removed. At the same time our distance from the earth's center has been decreased by d, the depth of the mine. At the surface, g =kE/R :j . . . . At the bottom of the mine g' = k(E shell )/(R d)*. The ratio of g to g' is given by pendulum observations. Obvious- ly, however, the mass of the shell is difficult to determine with accuracy. And it is by no means, homogenous; so that there is no great reason for surprise at the discordant re- sult, g' was found to be actually greater than g, showing that, although at the center of the earth the attraction nec- essarily becomes zero, yet, as we descend below the surface, gravity increases, for a time down to some unknown, but probably not very great, depth, where it becomes a max- imum." Now in the first place, it is very doubtful, to say the least, that gravity would be increased owing to the Earth's diminished radius. Even if the attraction of the outer shell *This subject continued in Arts. 208, 215, 216, 224, 234, 246. tGeneral Astronomy, Art. 169. 28 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [22 of 1200 feet thickness were eliminated, it is hardly likely that, according to the theory, the smaller Earth would have a greater force of gravity at its surface than before. Sim- ple arithmetic plainly shows that the Earth's gravity ought to decrease with depth beneath the surface even according to Young's own explanation. Calling the Earth's diameter 8000 miles, then the Earth's volume is 267 billions of cubic miles and the volume of the shell is 46 millions of cubic miles; which is 0.00017 of the Earth's volume. The differ- ence between R 2 and (R d) 2 is about 1800, which is 0.0001- 125 of R 2 ; so that the numerator of the fraction, (E shell) /(R d) 2 , is diminished considerably more than the denom- inator, as compared with the fraction E/R 2 . It is true that volume is considered instead of mass; but if we allow just half the volume of the shell for its mass, g' would be only 1/500 of one per cent greater than g, which would account for only about one-third of the difference observed.* It is clearly absurd, then, to hold that, by the law of gravitation, the attraction of the Earth could be greater at the bottom of the mine than at its mouth. t (For defection of the theory of gravitation above the Earth's surface, as well as below it, see Art. 247). 22. Gravity in an Ellipse. "If a body be projected with a very small velocity from the top of a tower near the earth's surface, it will fall nearly straight downwards. If the earth were concentrated at the point in its center so that the body should not strike its sur- face, it would move in a very long, narrow ellipse having the center of the earth at the farther focus, and would return to the original point after an interval of 29.9 minutes."} But it is generally accepted that if a straight hole were bored through the Earth's center from one surface to the other, and a body dropped into the hole from one surface, it would continually increase in velocity towards the center and, if not resisted by the air, would acquire a momentum at that point which would carry it to the opposite surface; whence it would vibrate, like a pendulum, back again to the *Nature, 59, 131. tContinued in Arts. 209, 216, 225, 247, 263e. ?Prof. Young, Gen. Astron., Art. 435. 24] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 29 starting point; and so on. Now Prof. Young, and Newton, and in fact, all scientific authorities, hold that the Earth's attractive action is the same as if its whole mass were con- centrated at a point at its center, and that if a body, start- ing from the surface distance from that center, were given a small horizontal velocity, no matter how small, presum- ably, the body would go just to the center, turn sharply round it, and come back again to the starting-point. Isn't this strange? The slight projection of the body horizon- tally has the tremendous effect of annihilating half of the body's previous path! Can this be true? or is there some- thing radically wrong ;n our premises?* 23. The Runaway Stars. All the planetary movements of the Solar and Sidereal Systems are held amenable to the law of gravitation. Yet Prof. Newcomb "has shown by mathematical calculation that the gravitation of the whole universe, assuming it to contain 100,000,000 stars each on the average five times larger than the sun, would require to be sixty-four times greater than it reaily is to have given one star, 1830 Groombridge, the velocity of 200 miles per second which it actually possesses. . . . Of course this applies with greater force to a star like Arcturus, moving with the velocity of 400 miles per second. "t 24. Gravitation and Solar Heat. According to the theory of gravitation, the Sun's mass is contracting continually upon itself owing to the continual strain of its central attrac- tion; this contraction being the main source of the Sun's heat for all past and future ages. This is the generally ac- cepted view now and has been for a long time. Yet "leading mathematicians, such as Sir W. Thomson and Helm- holtz, assign twenty, or more probably, ten millions of years as the outside possible past duration of a supply of heat from the Sun, sufficient to maintain the earth under conditions enabling it to support life. Lyell and a majority of the best geologists consider that one hundred or two hundred millions *Continucd in Arts. 210, 217, 226, 235, 248. tin a recent paper in The Astrophysical Journal, May 1914, Messrs. W. S. Adams and Arnold Kohlschuetter give the radial veloc- ity of Lai. 1966 as H25 km., or 202 miles, which is declared to be "the highest recorded radial velocity among the stars.'' (Nature, 93, 416). Later, however. (Nature, 96,323), Dr. Adams assigns an abso lute velocity of 577 km. /sec. to the star AOe 14320. 30 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [25 of years are required to account for the undoubted facts of geology since life began. Each side support their case by arguments, which, taken by themselves, seem conclusive. And yet the gap between them is o wide that it cannot be bridged over by mutual concessions, and it is evident that there must be some fundamental error in the assumed data on one side or the other.* This estimate of the Sun's heat is based on a pres- ent shrinkage of 35 metres per year and theoretic distribu- tion of the heat thus engendered; while geology determines the time from the rate of deposition and denudation of the various strata of the Earth's crust, and is based primarily on actual observation.! 25. The Pressure of Sunlight. Many eminent physicists still hold that the law of gravitation is perfectly true; others, that it is only approximately true, and still others, that it appears to be rather questionable. Of the former, Prof. R. A. Proctor says: "The principle of gravitation, which had been found by Newton to confine the moon and the planets to their respec- tive orbits, was shown to occasion every apparent irregular- ity, however minute, in the motions of the planets and sat- ellites; and those very irregularities which were at first brought forward as objections to tne hypothesis have been ultimately found to afford the most triumphant proofs of its accuracy and have placed the truth of the Newtonian theory beyond the reach of all future cavil. "$ Samuel Laing, himself a severe scientific critic, says: "If there is one thing more certain than another, it is that mathematical calculations, based on the Newtonian law of gravity, explain all the movements of the Solar System." And Sir John Herschel is still more positive. He says : "What Newton left undone, however, his successors have accomplished and at this day it is hardly too much to assert that there is not a single perturbation, great or small, which observation has become precise enough to detect and place *Samuel Laing, Humboldt Librsry of Science, No. 166, p. 9. tSee also Arts. 227, 2:36. JEncy. Britt., Art. "Astronomy." Hnm"boldt Library of Science, No. 166, p. 36. 26] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 31 in evidence, which has not been traced up to its origin in the mutual parts of our system, and minutely accounted for in its numerical amount and value by strict calculation on New- ton's principles."* Yet today, there are admittedly a dozen instances in which the motions of the Moon and planets are inexplicable by Newton's law; and moreover we have recently discover- ed, or think we have, a very formidable perturbing force which was wholly unconsidered by these quoted authorities; viz., the pressure of sunshine. As early as 1873, Maxwell found that the sunlight at the surface of the Earth should oxoi t a pressure of 0.592X10- 10 grams per sq. cm. Prof. Peter Lebedew gives the pressure as 0.4 milligramme per square metre of Earth-section, or about 5000 tons on the whole Earth t, which was corroborated by Profs. E. F. Nich- ols and G. F. Hull.J Prof. Crookes, however, estimated the pressure of sunshine at 57 tons per square mile, or about three thousand millions of tons upon the whole Earth. Prof. Arthur Schuster describes this pressure as a prop- agation of momentum accompanying the transmission of light, and states that this momentum is destroyed whether the molecules upon which the light falls act as absorbing, or as scattering centers. || Now if the pressure of sunshine is a fact, and actual ex- periments appear to prove it, what are we to think of the theory of gravitation, which has been built up without the least regard to it? 26. The Gravitational Strain of a Revolving Planet. It is stated by Sir Oliver Lodge that the force with which the Moon is held in its terrestial orbit would be great enough to tear asunder a steel rod 400 miles thick with a tenacity of thirty tons per square inch. The present writer ques- tioned this conclusion, asserting the sufficiency of a rod *0utlines of Astronomy, p. 412. tSmith. Kept. 1902. pp. 177-8. ISmith. Eept. 1908, pp. 115-138. iGravitation, by Wm. B. Taylor, from Smith. Kept. 1876. IINature, 81, 98. 0n the Ether of Space, ,1 lecture at the Royal Institution, London, Feb. 21, '08. 32 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION L26 6.5 miles in diameter, instead of 400.* The former estimate is based on the theory that it is the mass of the revolving body that determines the strain upon the restraining rod, the latter on the theory that it is the weight of the revolv- ing body that determines this strain. Briefly expressed, it is MV 2 versus WV 2 ; and though the latter formula, owing to its novelty and contravention of accepted views, may seem preposterous at first, it is not at all without evidence to support it. The mass of a body is generally considered to be invar- iable wherever placed; but its weight depends entirely upon its circumstances. If the strain upon the Moon's retaining rod be determined by the Moon's mass, then that strain will be 3600 times as great as it would be if it were determined by the weight of the Moon at the Moon's distance, as com- pared with its weight upon the Earth. This is a question regarding the strength of gravity which it seems worth while to solve if we can; and more especially as it appears to be a matter of immense significance in the future stages of cosmical evolution, as glimpsed in the almost inconceivable orbital velocities implied in the molecules of radiant matter. (See Art. 198). , At the Earth's surface, weight is primarily used to de- termine mass, or quantity of matter. If a body weighs so much, we say it contains so much substance: if it weighs half as much, the substance it contains is only half as much; and so on. Work done is also based on weight. If we raise a pound weight one foot, we use one "foot-pound" as a meas- ure of the energy expended. Now at the Earth's surface, let us swing a pound weight vertically in a sling three feet long. Then, from the lower- most point of the swing to the uppermost point, the pound weight has been raised 6 feet; implying an amount of work done, or strain on the string, of 6 foot-pounds. Then if we similarly swing the same body in the same sling, through the same angle, 1600 miles above the Earth's surface, that *Nature, 80, 276. 26] THE LAW OF GRAVITATION 33 body will weigh only half a pound, owing to the increased distance from the Earth; and the work done by, and con- sequently the tension on, the string will be only a half pound multiplied by 6 feet, or 3 foot-pounds. The body in the sling is raised against gravity in both cases; but the lessened work in raising it at the higher elevation necessarily implies a diminished strain upon the string. Again, let a pound ball revolve at the end of a string 4.5 feet long on a horizontal plane at the Earth's surface, with a velocity of 3 feet per second. This implies that the ball is drawn from the tangent to its momentary path a distance of 1 foot in each second; and this foot-pound movement rep- resents the work or strain which the string withstands each second owing to the revolution of the ball in the sling. Let the same ball in the same sling be revolved on a horizontal solid plane with the same velocity 1600 miles above the Earth's surface. Then the ball will weigh only half a pound. This half pound will be drawn from the tangent to its mo- mentary path 1 foot in each second, and why should not this half-foot pound movement represent the strain which the string withstands each second owing to the revolution of the ball in the sling, in a manner exactly similar to the first case? In fact, will not a spring balance placed as a link in the spring register just half the strain in the latter case as in the former? By the same reasoning, weight also affects inertia. If a man and a cannon-ball were removed to a place where the cannon-ball weighed no more than a feather does at the Earth's surface, will not the man's strength be less taxed to raise the ball than it would be to raise it where it weigh- ed 100 pounds? The man's strength, like that of a spring balance, remains the same, and it is only plain common sense that a man's strength will accomplish most where it is re- sisted least by the forces of Nature. If a man were carried to the Moon, could he not jump higher than on the Earth? or, if carried to the Sun, could he jump as high as here? And why should not change of weight similarly affect the 34 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [26 strain suffered by the string, or bond, holding the Moon in its orbit? Prof. Young states* "The attraction of the sun for the earth expressed as tons of force (ot tons of mass of course) is 3,600,000 of millions of millions of tons (36 with seventeen ciphers annexed)". Now how did Prof. Young obtain this result? He took the Earth's 6X10 21 tons of weight over to the Sun's surface (about 440,000 miles from the Sun's center), where he multiplied it by 27.5, the ratio of grav- ity upon the Sun to gravity upon the Earth, making the Earth's weight there 165 XlO 21 tons, where it would require a velocity of 270 miles per second to balance the solar grav- ity of 444 feet in one second. So in removing the Earth to its solar orbit, 92,000,000 miles away from the Sun, where the velocity is about 19 miles per second, to obtain the at- tractive strain there he had to dimmish 165 XlO 21 tons by (19/270) 2 owing to change of velocity and by 440,000/92,- 000,000 owing to change of distance; which gave him about 36 XlO 17 tons, just as he states. Now in taking the Earth over to the Sun's surface, he did not forget at all to increase the Earth's weight to correspond with the greater solar grav- ity existing there; but when he removed the Earth back again to its solar orbit, he forgot entirely to diminish the Earth's weight to correspond with the smaller solar gravity there, modifying it with regard to change of velocity and distance alone; although the orbital strain is certainly mod- ified by weight just as well as it is by distance and velocity. This may not be the exact method employed by Young to de- termine the Earth's gravitative strain in its solar orbit; but it must be equivalent to it because it arrives at the same result. Why did Prof. Young allow for the change of the Earth's weight in the one case and not the other ?t A more general application of the theory of gravitation to the case of a simple unit of the Solar System, consisting of three bodies, may next be considered. Though neces- sarily involving a great deal of detail and apparently a rath- *Gen Astron., Art. 436. tSee also Arts. 198, 211, 218, 238, 249e. 26] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 35 er complex problem, only the simplest mechanical princi- ples are really involved, and all of it seems easily within the comprehension of the average high school graduate. CHAPTER II THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES It is questionable whether it can be safely said that the motion of the moon cannot be completely accounted for by the law of gravity. . . . We cannot fully explain these motions by Newton's law of gravity. ORMOND STONE. You state that I have misinterpreted my results, and it looks as though you believe my views to be unsound. Your arguments are those of an eminent scholar. For years 1 po|ndered, so TO speak, day and night over books, and filled my head with sound views very sound ones indeed those of others. But I could not get to practical results. 1 then began to work and think independently. Gradually my views became unsound, but they conducted me to sound results. NIKOLA TESLA. There is growing to be an unspoken, rather than a clear- ly formulated admission, that we know little of the order of nature, and nothing at all of the "laws" of nature. . . . 'If any opinion,' says Priestly, 'in all the modern doctrine con- cerning air be well .founded, it is certainly this, that nitrous air is highly charged with phlogiston. If I have completely ascertained anything at all relating toi air, it is this.' . . . Those who are capable of being instructed or warned by the history of human thought may, then, ask what kind of a guar- antee are we to have for any other 'fact' of our new knowl- edge. May not all these 'facts' be gone like the baseless fab- ric of this vision before another hundred years are passed? . . . The lesson for us is that we must not consider that anything is absolutely settled or true. . . How many doc- trines of our own day will stand the light of the next cen- tury? . . . But let me repeat what I have said elsewhere, that the truths of the scientific church are not dogmas, but something put forward as provisional only, and which her most faithful children are welcome to disprove if they can. Re- member it is the same human nature which judged that evi- 36 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [27 dence then that judges this evidence now, and remember that, however rapidly science changes, human nature remains very much the same, and has always u good conceit of itself. PKOF. S. P. WANGLE Y. 27. Data of the Problem. The most familiar instance of the problem of three bodies is that of the Earth, the Sun, and the Moon. Let us consider this celebrated problem once more using these bodies for a special case. For brevity, the Earth, the Sun, and the Moon may be designated by their initial letters, E, S and M, respectively; also E will be taken at its mean distance, or about 92,000,000 miles from S, and M at a point between full and new Moon 54 44' distant from the latter and at its mean distance, or about 240,000 miles from E; with the apogee of the lunar orbit at, or nearly at, new Moon. The object of taking M at the given point of its orbit around E is' that, at this point, the perturbing forces upon M are supposed to be balanced, are, in fact, said to be tangential to the orbit, so that the latter body has no ten- dency to recede from, or approach towards, its primary. According to Sir John Herschel the distance of the given point from new Moon is 64 14',* but Prof. R. A. Proctor maintains that the balancement takes place at the point first given f; and this point is selected here briefly because it is the less favorable to the purpose here to be served. At the given point, M would be some 140,000 miles nearer to S than E is, and, taking the Moon's apogeeal distance from the Earth at about 259,000 miles $, M will yet approach S about 119,000 miles before it reaches syzygy, the point at which it is called new Moon. And as the synodic period of M around E is about 29.5 days, the time required to traverse the arc of 54 44' will be about 4.5 days, and therefore the average approach per second of M towards S between the given point and the apogeeal point at syzygy will be 119,000/4.5X24x60X60, or about 0.3 mile. 28. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to the Sun's *Outliites cf Astronomy, Art. 676. tThe Moon, p. 81, Note. JNewcomVs Popular Astronomy, p. 312. 28] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 37 Distance-Variation. Now at the given point we may read- ily find, according to the law of gravitation, that the force of the attraction of S upon M will be of such value as to cause the latter to fall towards S a distance of about 0.01 ft. in one second. But since at the given point the radial forces upon M are supposed to be balanced, we may assume that this attraction of S upon M is wholly antagonized by the centrifugal force of the latter in its solar orbit. At the end of the first second after leaving the given point, how- ever, M will have approached S a distance of 0.3 mile; and consequently, by the law of gravitation, the attraction of S upon M will be greater than 0.01 ft. in one second by a quantity x, as indicated in the following proportion: (91,860,000-0.3) 2 : (91,860,000) 2 == 0.01 : 0.01 + x; from which the value of x is found to be about 6X10- 11 ft. At the end of the second second, the approach of M towards S would be twice as great, or 0.6 mile, and consequently x, or the incrcease of the attraction of S, would be twice as great, or 12XlO- n ft. And so on. The increase of attrac- tion in the first second, if not counteracted, would obviously urge M at the same rate in all subsequent seconds; and similarly with the increment of attraction in the second, third, etc., second; so that the rate of fall of M towards S in any second owing to these momentary increments of solar attraction upon M would be equal to the sum of all the falls in that and the preceding seconds up to the start- ing point. Thus, In the 1st second, the fall is 6X10- 11 ft. In the 2nd second, the fall is (12+ 6)X10- 1X ft. In the 3rd second, the fall is (18+18) X10- 11 ft. In the 4th second, the fall is (24+36) X10- 11 ft. In the 5th second, the fall is (30+60) X10-" ft. In the 388800th second, the fall is 4 1 /& ft. Now since the orbital forces are balanced upon M at the given starting point, so that it has no tendency to recede from, or approach towards, E, the foregoing series of mo- mentary increments of solar attraction obviously constitute a perturbing force pulling M away from E towards S; and we see that, if left to itself, the effect of this perturbing- force 38 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [29 for the 4.5 days, or 388,800 seconds, during which M moves from the given point to the apogeeal point at new Moon, is such as to generate a velocity of M directly toward S of not less than 4.5 feet per second at the latter point; which is more than a thousand times greater at that point than the effect of E's restraining attraction in the same time. There- fore, unless some other equal and opposite perturbing force, or forces, are generated at the same time, it is very obvious that, in accordance with the theory of gravitation, M would be carried rapidly inwards to S, instead of actually away from S to the opposite side of E. Let us inquire, then, what other perturbing forces upon M can possibly arise between the two points in accordance with the present theory. Starting from a point where the radial forces are in equil- ibrium, as in the present instance, there are only two classes of perturbing forces that can possibly arise as the revolving body leaves that point, namely, those arising from variations of distances from attracting centers and those arising from variations of orbital velocity around these centers. Now there are only two attracting centers concerned in this prob- lem, or E and S; and these two give rise therefore to four perturbing forces upon M, and no more. These perturbing forces are (1) that due to the distance-variation of M from S, (2) that due to the distance-variation of M from E, (3) that due to velocity-variation of M around S, and (4) that due to velocity-variation of M around E. The first of these has just been determined; we may now proceed to discuss the others. 29. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to the Earth's Distance-Variation. It has already been stated that at the first given point of M's orbit, that body is at its mean distance, or 240,000 miles, from E, at which the value of E's attraction is about 0.0044 feet per second; and that at the second given point, or the apogee of M's orbit at new Moon, the distance of M from E is 259,000 miles. Between the two points, therefore, M has receded from E, owing to the tangential perturbing force, as already mentioned, a distance of 19,000 miles, or about 0.049 mile per second; and it follows 30] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 39 that, in every second after leaving the given point, E's at- traction upon M would become less and less owing to this increase of the distance at which it acts. To find this dim- inution of E's attraction in the first second, we have the following proportion, similar to that of the preceding article: (240,000+.049) 2 : (240,000) 2 = 0.0044 : 0.0044-x; where x is found to be 17XlO- 10 ft. In the second second the recession being twice as great, x would be twice as great, or 34XlO- 10 ft. In tht third second the recession would be three times as great, and x would therefore be 51X10- 10 ft. And so on. These diminutions of E's attraction upon M would obviously cause corresponding excesses of M's cen- trifugal force around E, which consequently would urge M away from E and towards S. In the first second, the excess would urge M away from E a distance of 17XlO- 10 ft., at which rate it would, of course, keep moving in each subse- quent second, if not prevented by some other cause. In the second second M would be urged a distance of 34X10- 10 ft., which, like the first, and every succeeding impulse, would also continue through subsequent seconds. So that the total fall in any second, owing to these series of impulsions, would thus have a common difference of the second order of 17XlO- 10 ft.; according to which the fall in the last second owing to this series is about (388800) 2 X 17XlO- 10 /2, or 128 ft. 30. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to Varia- tion of Its Velocity Around the Sun. The two series of per- turbing forces arising from distance-variation being thus found to act in unison, we turn to the perturbing forces which may be due to variations of velocity. We may first consider those due to such variation around S. As M leaves the given point, it moves inwards to S, and also its motion around E is opposite in direction to its motion around S, and the latter is therefore diminished by a very considerable portion of the former. The mean velocity of M around S is about 18.3 miles per second. If the velocity is variable and the distance constant, the centrifugal force varies di- 40 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [30 rectly as the square of the velocity and inversely as the dis- tance. At the given starting point, M is some 190,000 miles in advance of E in its solar orbit, and 4.5 days, or 388,800 seconds, afterwards, M is exactly between E and S. This would involve a diminution of M's velocity around S of near- ly 0.5 mile per second. But M's velocity has been diminish- ing ever since last quarter. This last point is in advance of the given point with respect to M's solar orbit, about 50,- 000 miles; and it required about. 250,000 seconds for M to move from last quarter to that point; which involves a dim- inution of velocity of about 0.2 mile per second before the given point was reached. This reduction of velocity pre- ceding the arrival at the given point, was presumably one of the circumstance required for the equilibrium of the radial orbital forces at that point; and it is necessary therefore to deduct it from the rate of reduction after the given point was passed in order to compare M's velocity at that point with its subsequent velocity. Deducting 0.2 mile from 0.49 mile leaves 0.29 mile, which is the comparative rate of dim- inution after leaving the given point. Now since M's actual velocity at that point is some 18.3 miles per second, then to find the diminution of M's centrifugal force around S cor- responding to this diminution of velocity we have the follow- ing proportion: (18.3) 2 /91,860,000 : (18.3-0.29) 2 / (91,860,0000.3) = 0.01 : 0.01-x; whence x is found to be 0.0003 ft. And since the diminution of velocity in each second after leaving the given point is about the same, and that of the distance from S at all times comparatively inconsiderable, the diminution of the centrifu- gal force around S in each subsequent second will also be about the same. Now the diminution of M's centrifugal force around S obviously leaves an equivalent portion of the attraction of S in excess upon M in each second, which, like the other perturbing forces, would of course draw M away from E and towards S. In each second the pull in this di- rection is 0.0003 ft., which, as in the other series, is effective 32] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 41 also in all subsequent seconds. And therefore the rate of fall in the last second is 0.0003 ft. X 388,000, or 116 ft. 31. Perturbation of the Moon's Motion Owing to Varia- tion of Its Velocity Around the Earth. There now remains to consider only the variation of M's velocity around E. Since all the perturbing forces already determined tend to draw M towards $, that is, somewbat indirectly in the di- rection of M's orbital motion around E in the period con- sidered, it is obvious that the velocity of that motion would gradually increase for this reason after M leaves the given point. This would evidently increase M's centrifugal force around "E and the increase of this force would constitute a perturbing force which, between the given points, would also urge M towards S and therefore in unison with the other perturbing forces. 32. Back-Action of the Earth's Attraction. But there is one circumstance which, it is alleged, would diminish M's velocity around E between the given points. At the start- ing point, the distance between the two bodies was stated to be about 240,000 miles, while at new Moon, where the apogee of M's orbit is assumed to be situated, the distance between the two bodies is 259,000 miles. Between the two points, therefore, M recedes from E a distance of 19,000 miles. In consequence of this the orbital motion of the former is somewhat oblique to the direction of E's attraction, instead of at right angles to it, so that a portion of E's attraction is thus brought to act in opposition to M's motion, and the latter is consequently diminished. In a pretty thorough discussion of this problem some thirty-five years ago, between the present writer, and a Pro- fessor of the Mass. Institute of Technology, this was the sole cause assigned by the latter to maintain the Moon's po- sition against the perturbing forces acting upon it. It is true that the actual motion of M around E is dimin- ished between the given point and new Moon. But that is not the question. The problem is How is this decrease of M's velocity compatible with the theory of gravitation? The radial components of M's orbital forces were just bal- 42 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [33 anced at the given point. But immediately after passing that point, according to the theory of gravitation, several perturb- ing forces are seen to arise, which tnd to increase M's ve- locity instead of to diminish it; and the farther M moves beyond the said point towards new Moon, and the farther it recedes from E, the stronger these forces become, and con- sequently, the greater would become M's velocity around E. The recession of M during any second after passing the given starting point can not possibly occasion a diminution of M's velocity around E; but would, on the contrary, nec- essarilly imply an acceleration of that velocity and consequent increase of M's centrifugal force. The ground for this con- clusion is that, in the absence of recession, M's path would be at right angles to E's attraction. A perturbing force then acts upon M, causing it to recede from its rectangular path. This external perturbing force acts with the force that maintains M's velocity, and not in any degree against that force; therefore, the former cannot possibly diminish the latter. And moreover, the perturbing force causing the recession is clearly more powerful than any internal or op- posing force, because, in spite of the latter the perturbing force causes M to recede, thus asserting its superiority. It is therefore absurd to suppose that any body urged by two forces in the same direction will move with a less velocity than when the body is acted on by one' of the forces only. And this argument applies, not to any particular second or number of seconds, but obviously to every second during which recession takes place. There is, therefore, no rational theoretic ground for grav- itative back-action in this case, for the theory not only ab- solutely precludes such action, but furnishes instead several powerful opposite, or front actions. 33. Front-Action of the Sun. In fact this back-action is only a part of the theory of such actions. After M passes new Moon, its path in reality begins to incline forwards towards E's attraction; and the latter, acting indirectly in the direction of M's motion, is theoretically supposed to ac- celerate M's motion, the same as before new Moon it was 34] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 43 supposed to retard it. So that, by the theory, front-action is just as effective as back-action. Now between the given point and new Moon, there would not only be a theoretic back action, but also a theoretic front action, both at the same time. The front action is chat of S, towards the direction of whose attraction M's path is in- clined even more than that path is inclined from the di- rection of E's attraction; and moreover the attraction of S is more than twice as powerful as that of E between the giv- en points. So that, if such actions were applicable to the case, the front action of S would far more than counter-bal- ance the back action of E. It is true that the attraction of S is opposed and nearly balanced by M's centrifugal force around S, but exactly the same thing happens in the other case; E's attraction on M being opposed and fully balanced by M's centrifugal force around E. It is therefore wholly unnecessary and superfluous to consider here thjs back ac- tion more in detail, for it is quite apparent that, if such ac- tion could possibly operate in the given case consistently with the given theory, it would furnish a far more powerful force, aside from the other perturbing forces, to draw M away from E rather than towards it, and so to conspire with the per- turbing forces already considered. 34. Direct Contradiction of the Theory by the Facts. From all points of view, then, we find that, according to the theory of gravitation, apparently all of the perturbing forces upon the Moon, in the given case, tend to draw that body away from the Earth and towards the Sun; which tendency rapidly increases as new Moon, or the apogeeal point, is approached. At the given starting point the orbital forces upon the Moon around the Earth are so adjusted that there is no perturbing force whatever, tending to draw the latter either from, or towards, the former. Prof. Proctor says that at the given point the perturbing force is wholly tangential, i. e., tending to draw the Moon along the tangent to its orbit around the Earth, and therefore in a direction at right angles to that of the Earth's attraction. The Moon is also assumed to be at its mean distance from the Earth at this 44 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [35 point, so that the Earth's attraction and the Moon's cen- trifugal force are about balanced. In fact we know that at the given point the orbital forces upon the Moon at least do not urge that body towards the .Earth, because we actu- ally observe that the Moon moves away from the Earth af- ter leaving the given point. Now after leaving the given point, new perturbing forces are seen to arise, which would urge the Moon away from the Earth; and these forces con- tinually increase in amount as the Moon's distance from the point increases, until at new Moon these perturbing forces become thousands of times more powerful than all other orbital forces upon the Moon combined. Therefore, unless there should exist some perturbing force or forces which would all along counteract these perturbing forces so as to prevent them from getting such headway, it is manifest that the Moon's motion according to the theory of gravitation, would be little better ordered than those of the moon of Mr. Artemus Ward. Yet, after a diligent search for such perturbing forces in every conceivable quarter, there has been found instead only still greater and more powerful forces conspiring to derange the Moon's motions still more. So that the returning of the Moon backwards around the Earth and from the Sun, which we actually observe to take place, would be a physical impossibility in accordance with that theory. 35. Possibility of the Given Case. In concluding tne discussion of this problem a few words may be said regarding the possibility of the given case. It is, of course, a well known fact that the apogee of the Moon's orbit is not a fixed point, with respect to the Earth or to the Sun, but a point which itself moves around in the orbit, although more slowly than the Moon. Its rate of motion is, in fact, nearly 41 per annum; so that the periods between successive conjunctions of apogee with the Sun is about nine years.* During every such period, then, the apogeeal point moves slowly from new Moon around through every point of the Moon's synodic or- bit back again to new Moon. If further evidence were nec- *Herschel's Outlines of Astronomy, p. 266. 36] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 45 essary to show that the apogeeal point may lie at new Moon, we have it in the fact of annular eclipses of the Sun. Solar eclipses happen at new Moon; and ordinarily the distance of the latter from the Earth is such that the Moon's disc will totally cover and hide the Sun from the view of an ob- server in the line of the Moon's shadow. But when the apogee of the Moon's orbit is at new Moon, and the conditions are such that the latter will pass over the Sun's disc at that time, the distance of the Moon from the Earth is so great that only the central portion of that disc will be covered by the Moon and the outer portion of the rim of the Sun will be visible all around the lunar disc; whence the name, an- nular eclipse. Those annular eclipses prove, therefore, that the Moon's apogee, or point of greatest distance from the Earth, occasionally lies at new Moon, as has been assum- ed in the given case, because it is only the Moon's greatest distance at new Moon that can cause such eclipses. This and the balancement of the orbital forces upon the Moon at the given starting point are the essential points of the case. The given distance of the Moon at that point is not an essen- tial element; as any other possible distance at that point would not appreciably change the results obtained. As to the equilibrium of the orbital forces at the given point, it may be stated here that only the normal components of the perturbing forces upon the Moon, that is, those com- ponents which cause the Moon to recede from, or approach towards, the Earth are said to be balanced at that point. The tangential components of the perturbing forces, that is, the components which retard or accelerate the Moon's motion around the Earth, are stated by both Herschel and Proctor to be nearly at a maximum at that point. It is very mani- fest, however, that this condition of things is by no means unfavorable to the conclusions here arrived at. 36. Previous Discussions of the Problem. It may appear strange to the reader that no computation of the perturb- ing forces upon the Moon by other authorities has here been referred to. But where, it may be asked, are such compu- tations to be found? Inquiries regarding this subject have 46 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [36 been sent to various observatories and scientific journals and the answers received to these inquiries indicate that no such computations are anywhere in existence. As a sam- ple of such answers I may quote from Mr. G. W. Hill of the Naval Observatory, Washington, D.* C., upon this subject: "I do not know any more accurate values of the quanti- ties you ask for than those given by Mr. Proctor. They do not particularly interest the mathematical astronomer as he has no use for them. Hence, they have never been computed with the last degree of precision. Their com- putation is sufficiently laborious . . . and two months' work would be necessary to get them with all possible ex- actitude. "No exhaustive treatise on the lunar theory exists in the English language. Perhaps the translation of Laplace's Mecanique Celeste by Dr. N. Bowditch comes the nearest to it." Laplace and Mr. Proctor, however, treat only of the gen- eral problem and do not discuss the perturbing forces upon the Moon in detail. Newton gives the mean value of the solar perturbing force upon the Moon as 1/638,000 of gravity at the Earth's surface, or 1/179 of the principal force which holds the Moon in its orbit. Herschel gives the ratio of the solar perturbing force to the central force holding the Moon in its terrestial orbit for three positions of the perturbed body, or full Moon, last quarter, and new Moon, as 1 : 90, 1 : 179, and 1 : 89, respectively. He also represents by means of lines of various lengths the values of the perturb- ing forces at intermediate positions. But he makes no at- tempt to compute the continuous effect of these values of the perturbing force. And Mr. Proctor, one of the most re- cent authorities on the subject, and in a volume devoted wholly to our satellite, follows very closely in the footsteps of Herschel and Newton. All these authorities appear to notice only one of the perturbing forces upon the Moon, name- ly, that due to the distance-variation of the perturbed from the perturbing body. The more powerful factors due to the distance-variation of the Moon from the Earth and to the variation of the Moon's velocity around the Sun are ignored, and no reference whatever is made to any work where these ignored factors are discussed, or where the continuous effect 36] THE PROBLEM OF THREE BODIES 47 of the factor, the separate values of which are given, is car- ried out consecutively and cumulatively through the suc- cessive time-units during which it acts.* In contrast with this there may be inserted here the fol- lowing from Prof. Young's General Astronomy, Art. 438: "But while the general problem of three bodies is thus in- tractable, all the special cases of it which arise in the con- sideration of the moon's motion and in the motion of the planets have been solved by special methods of approxima- tion. Newton himself led the way; and the strongest proof of the truth of his theory of gravitation lies in the fact that it not only accounts for the regular elliptic motions of the heavenly bodies, but also for the irregularities, of these motions.". *The lunar theory is also discussed by Airy in his Gravitation. Hugh Godfrey has published a brief 'elementary book, and Prof. John N. Stockwoll a larger volume, upon this subject. But these works, like those of Laplace, Newton, Herschel and Proctor, treat only the general problem and do not attempt to give the cumulative effect of all or any portion of the perturbing forces here considered for the entire periods of their action. Probably the best treatises on the subject are in French, German' and Latin. Some of them are: by Plana, Theorie du! Mouvement de/ la Lime, 1832 ; by Delauney, Theorie du Mouvement de la Lune, Tomes xxviii and xxix, of the Memoirs of the Paris Acaae- my of Sciences; by P. A. Hansen, Fundamenta Nova Investigations Or- bitae quam Luna Perlustrat, 1834; and by the same author, Darlegung,-. etc., 1864. Jt is a strange commentary that these earlier works should have at least fully as complete a theory of the lunar forces as those most re- cently published. CHAPTER III THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES In respect, however, merely of philosophic thought, we must feel that Daniel Bernouilli was right; we can conceive the sun attracting Jupiter and Jupiter attracting the sun without any intervening medium, if they are ordered to do so. But the question remains Are they so ordered? LORD KELVIN. Can gray hair make folly venerable? JUNIUS. Another lump of ignorance (which had enabled the old generalization to exist) was removed, and a new generaliza- tion, that of universal gravitation, was afterwards formed. But it is probable that this law is only conceived of as true through our ignorance; nay it is certain that belief in its truth presents the gravest difficulties. EDWARD CARPENTEK. 37. The Law of Equal Areas in Equal Times. In the last chapter the back action of the Earth's attraction when the Moon was receding, and the front action of the same attrac- ion when the Moon was approaching, were mentioned as the current regulator of the Moon's motion in its terrestial orbit. There is, however, another regulator assigned for such motions, especially in the case of the planets; viz., the second law of Kepler; which is that the radius vector of a planet's orbit sweeps over equal areas in equal times. The famous astronomer, John Kepler, finding it impossible to rec- oncile the actual positions of the planet Mars with the idea of circular planetary motion, which was then generally ac- cepted, tried elliptic motion with varying velocity and the Sun at one focus. This fitted the observed facts so well in the case of both Mars and the Earth that he became con- vinced of the correctness of his first two laws (regarding elliptic orbits and equal areas in equal times) for all plan- etary motions. 37] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 49 The thought occurs here that, if the back and front ac- tions of the central attractions could account for the elliptic motions of the Moon and of the planets, the law of equal areas would be uncalled for, or vice versa; for both are giv- en to explain the same phenomena, and, it seems, in view of the conclusions arrived at in the last chapter, that the one cannot be implied by, or involved in, the other. Now it is true that the radius vector of a moving body under certain circumstances will describe equal areas in equal times; and these circumstances are: uniform circular motion with respect to the center of revolution and uniform rectilineal motion with respect to a fixed point outside of the line of motion. The radius vector of the moving body in the former case gives the base of a triangle of which the velocity of the body gives the perpendicular height; and to obtain equal areas in equal times it is necessary that as the radius vector increases or diminishes in a unit of time, the perpendicular height must diminish or increase, respectively, in the same time in exactly the same ratio; or vice versa. In the case of elliptical motion with a varying radius vector, e. g., this law of equal areas requires not only a variation of the angular velocity, but of the absolute velocity, of the moving body, 'the latter in exact inverse correspondence with the variations of the radius vector. Bearing this in mind, let us examine the explanations of the law of equal areas given by three principal scientific authorities, to which nearly all other authorities merely refer. Prof. R. A. Proctor* says: "The law of equable discription of areas indeed is true for a body moving around a center attracting according to any law, since it simply implies that there is no force perpen- dicular to the radius vector. . . . Hence under a force not tending to change at any instant the rate of the moving body's perpendicular departure from the radius vector, the areas swept over in equal times will be equal. But a cen- tral force acts always in the direction of the radius vector and is therefore a force of the kind supposed. Accordingly a body traveling around an attracting center will move so that the radius vector sweeps over equal areas in equal times." *Ency. Britt., Art. "Astronomy." 50 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [37 Unfortunately for this explanation, Prof. Proctor confined his attention to change of perpendicular height of the area only, apparently ignoring change of the radius vector itself. It is obvious that the area of a triangle depends just as much on the base (radius vector) as on the vertical height (veloc- ity) ; and it is equally obvious that with an attracting center "varying according to any law,'* which appears to imply a variable radius vector, and with a constant vertical height which is Proctor's proposition we cannot have equable de- scription of areas. A perturbing force is just as apt to act along the radius vector as vertically to it; in which case, if the velocity or vertical height be unaffected, there would be elliptic motion but without equal description of areas in equal times. It seems really strange to see so lame an ex- planation from so high an authoritiy. Sir John Herschel, having occasion to speak upon the subject* says: "As an abstract dynamical proposition, the reader will find it demonstrated by Newton, in the first proposition of the Principia, with an elementary simplicity to which we really could add nothing but obscurity by amplification, that any body, urged toward a central point by a force continually directed thereto, and thereby deflected into a curvilinear path, will describe about that center equal areas in equal times. . . . It is a property of orbital rotation under the influ- ence of central forces generally, and, as such, we daily see it exemplified in a thousand familiar instances. A simple experimental illustration of it is to tie a bullet to a thin string and, having whirled it round with a moderate velocity in a vertical plane, to ... allow it to coil itself round a cylindrical rod held very firmly in a horizontal position. The bullet will then approach the center of motion in a spiral line; and the increase of its angular velocity, and the rapid diminution of its periodic time when near the center, will express, more clearly than words, the compensation by which its uniform description of areas is maintained under a constantly diminishing distance." But the increase of the bullet's angular velocity, and the rapid diminution of its periodic time, do not necessarily ex- press the compensation by which its uniform description * Outlines of Astronomy, p. 324. 37] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 51 of areas is maintained under a constantly diminishing dis- tance. The expression of such compensation involves more than an increase of angular velocity and a diminution of per- iodic time. Jt involves, in fact, an increase of the bullet's absolute velocity; and not only an increase of its absolute velocity, but of the tangential component of its absolute ve- locity. For a uniform velocity of the bullet involves, under diminishing distance, both an increase of angular velocity and a diminution of periodic time, as well as an increase of absolute velocity; but it does not involve an increase in the vertical component of the absolute velocity, and consequently does not involve a uniform description of areas in equal times. This is sufficiently obvious from what has already been said. The familiar illustration which Herschel gives of the law of equal areas in equal times turns out, therefore, to be no illustration of that law at all. An essential element is lacking the necessary increase of the tangential com- ponent; and this element the illustration does not involve, nor is it even mentioned by the illustrious author. We turn, then, to Newton's Principia, where Herschel assures that we shall find a simple demonstration of the law in the first proposition of that work, and this is what we find: "PROPOSITION I. "T)he areas which revolving bodies describe by radii drawn to an immovable center of force do lie in the same immov- able planes, and are proportional to the times in which they are described. "For, suppose the time to be divided into equal parts, and in the first part of the time let the body by its innate force describe the right line AB. In the second part of that time the same would, (by Law 1)* if not hindered, proceed di- rectly to c, along the line Be, equal to AB; so that by the radii AS, BS, cS, drawn to the center, the equal areas ASB, BSc, would be described But when the body is arrived at B, suppose that the centripetal force acts at once with a great impulse, and, turning aside the body from the right line Be, compels it afterwards to confine its motion along the right line BC. Draw cC parallel to BS, meeting BC in C; and at the end of the second part of time, the body (by *LAW 1. Every body perseveres in a state of rest, or uniform mo- tion in a right line, unless it is compelled to change that state by forces impressed thereon. 52 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [37 Cor. 1. of the Laws*) will be found in C, in the same plane with the triangle ASB. Join SC, and, because SB and Cc are parallel, the triangle SBC will be equal to the triangle SBc, and therefore, also to the triangle SAB. By the like argu- ment, if the centripetal force acts successively in C, D, E, etc., and makes the body, in each single particle of time, to describe the right lines CD, DE, EF, etc., they will all lie in the same plane; and the triangle SCD will be equal to the triangle SBC, and SDE to SCD, and SEF to SDE. B And therefore, in equal times, equal areas are described in one immovable plane; and, by composition, any sums SADS, SAFS, of tnese areas, are one to the other as the times in which they are described: Now let the number of these *COR. 1. of the Laws. A body by two forces conjoined will describe the diagonal of a parallelogram, in the same time that it would describe ihe sides, by these forces apart. 87] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 53 triangles be augmented, and their breadth diminished ad in- finitum; and (by Cor. 4, Lem. Ill)* their ultimate perimeter ADF will be a curve line; and therefore the centripetal force by which the body is perpetually drawn back from the tan- gent of this curve, will act continually; and any described areas SADS, SAFS, which are always proportional to the times of description, will, in this case also be proportional to these times. Q. E. D. "Cor. 1. The velocity of a body attracted toward an im- movable center in spaces void of resistance, is reciprocally as the perpendicular let fall from that center on the line that touches the orbit. For the velocities in these places A, B, C, D, E, are as the bases AB, BC, CD, DE, EF, of equal triangles, and these bases are reciprocally as the perpendic- ulars let fall upon them." It will be seen that, from the law of equal areas, the cor- ollary (Cor. 1) necessarily follows that the tangential veloc- ity of a revolving body incrceases as its distance from the center diminishes. This is the essential point of which we have all along been trying to find some explanation in har- mony with the present theory. Newton's explanation is in- deed clear and simple and admirable verbally; but logically and mathematically it may do no harm to examine it closely, especially with regard to two important particulars. The first of these is changing the periphery of a polygon into a curve line, which is effected as follows: "Let the number of these triangles" (forming the polygon) "be aug- mented and their breadth diminished ad infinitum and their ultimate perimeter will be a curve line." This is true if by infinite subdivision a magnitude can be annihilated, for that is, in plain words, what it means. Otherwise it can not be true. A curve is a line no part of which is a straight line. If the straight lines which form the bases of the tri- angles of a polygon become by infinite subdivision a curve, then the ultimate base of each division of such triangles must have become something less than a straight line must have become a mere point, which has no magnitude. Thus the original sides of the polygon would each have become changed *LEMMA III. The same ultimate ratios are also ratios of equality when the breadths AB, BC, CD, etc., of the parallelograms are unequal and are diminished ad infinitum. COR. 4, and therefore these ultimate figures (as to their perimeters) are not rectilinear, but curvilinear lim- its of rectilinear figures. 54 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [38 into an infinite number of points having no magnitude have, in fact, become annihilated, for reversing the process and multiplying the ultimate point, or no magnitude, by infinity, we still have no magnitude. Nothing taken even an infinite num- ber of times is still nothing. Would a square mile, or the solid Earth, be reduced to an infinite number of points of no magnitude if infinitely subdivided? and if a surface or a volume cannot be thus annihilated, what right have we to take the liberty of entertaining such notion solely with regard to a linear entity? And besides there is the objection of time. To some minds the process of infinite subdivision seems to be: Poly- gon divided ad infinitum: Presto change: There's your curve! While to other minds the process could not take place in all eternity, because infinite means without end. 38. Supra-Rational Mathematics. It is true that we teach this instantaneous annihilation in our mathematical text- books that any finite quantity or number divided by infin- ity equals nothing. We also teach the direct contrary of this that the product of the divisor and the quotient equals the dividend. Either one or the other must be wrong; which is it? We also have mathematical "axioms" which are not al- ways axiomatic. For example, that equals multiplied or di- vided by equals are equals; also that like powers and roots of equals are equals. By the use of such "axioms," we may, and do, have all sorts of absurd equations. For example, let x = the reader's age and y = the age of Methuselah, and let s = the sum of both. Then x+y = s, and (x+y) (x y = s(x y) ; whence x 2 y 2 = sx sy; whence x 2 sx y 2 sy; whence x 2 sx+s 2 /4 = y~ sy+s 2 /4; whence, extracting roots, x=y, or the reader is just exactly as old as Methuselah! By in- troducing the factor x y into both sides of the equation, the value x=y was introduced, and after the extraction of the roots, the solution is confined to this value alone. This is a common practice in algebraic operations, and often in important physical investigations. Textbooks nearly always urge dividing an equation through by x to simplify the ex- c8] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 55 pression when possible, though by doing so one possible value of x, namely, x = 0, is thus eliminated. Again, let x 1 = 2. Multiplying by x 5, then x 2 6x+5 = 2x 10. Subtracting x 7. then y* 7x+12 = x 3. Divid- ing by x 3, then x 4 = 1; whence x = 5, though in the first equation x = 3. In multiplying by x 5, the value x 5 was introduced and in dividing by x 3, the value x 3 was lost out. Hundreds of such illustrations, known to the writer, many of them known for centuries, might be given. Prof. Huxley's warning is certainly apropos: "Mathe- matics is like a mill and what we take out of it depends en- tirely on what we put in." We have in our mathematics even an infinite variety of infinities; an infinity of serial numbers, an infinity of even numbers, an infinity of prime numbers, an infinity of per- fect numbers, an infinity of terms in each of an infinite number of infinite series of an infinite variety of common differences and ratios. The difference between the infinite series 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, etc, and the infinite series 2, 4, 6, 8, etc., is another infinite series 1, 3, 5, 7, etc., and all three are equal in the sense that as a divisor each gives the same quo- tient for any finite dividend. The infinite series 1, 3, 9, 27, etc., is one-third of the infinite series 3, 9, 27, 81, etc., term for term, or the former exceeds the latter by unity; take your choice. Passing over Bishop Berkeley's "ghosts of departed quan- tities, >' and Sydney Lupton's "opprobrium of mathematics," a few quotations from other excellent authorities on this subject may not prove unedifying. "What has given great force to certain principles of phys- ics and mechanics has been the very complicated mathe- matical apparatus in which they have been wrapped. Every- thing presented in an algebraic form at once acquires for certain minds the character of indisputable truths. The most perfect sceptic willingly attributes a mysterious virtue to equations and bows to their supposed power. They tend more and more to replace in teaching, reason and experience. These delusive veils which now surround the most simple principles only too often serve to mask uncertainties. It is by lifting these that I have succeeded more than once 56 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [39 in showing the frailty of scientific beliefs, which for many scholars possess the authority of revealed dogmas."* "In mathematics, as in other sciences, conviction comes from many quarters, and one might almost say that where higher mathematics enters into the work of the physicist or the engineer, the conviction that comes from the logical consistency of a mathematical demonstration is less import- ant than the conviction that is due to insight into the phys- ical facts and to the perception of the correspondence between the mathematical representation and the data of experi- ment.''! "At various times differences of opinion have existed among mathematicians giving rise to controversies as to the valid- ity of whole lines of reasoning, and affecting the results of such reasoning: a considerable amount of difference of opinion of this character exists among mathematicians at the present time. ... It has been shown that results which were once supposed to have been fully established by demonstrations are, in point of fact, affected with error. . . . It is" clear that the idealist may build whole super- structures on a foundation which the empiricist regards as made of sand."$ "The tendency to hide ignorance under the cover of a mathematical formula had already appeared, but was not openly advocated. " "Mr. Bertrand Russell was right in saying that 'mathema- tics is the science in which one never knows what one is talking about nor whether what one says is true'."|| The object here is to show the looseness of some of our mathematical conceptions, even today, of which Newton's ex- pression above is one example. It was necessary for the proof of his propositions that a polygon should be transformed into a curve; and though the process he used seemed, and still seems to the vast majority even today, perfectly inno- cent and legitimate, it none the less appears to others noth- ing else than a species of mathematical anarchy, or nihilism. 39. The Parallelogram of Forces. But the most fatal objection to Newton's demonstration, because directly ap- *M. Le Bon, The Evolution of Forces; Nature, 79, 122. tDr. George A. Gibson, Professor of mathematics, University of Glas- gow; Nature, 82, 110. JProf. E. W. Hohson; Address Sec. A. B. A.. Sheffield, 1910. Prof. Arthur Schuster; Nature, 87, 375. IIC. J. Keyser, Science, No. 904, p. 640. 9] THE PROBLEM OP TWO BODIES 57 plica ble to his main argument, is his assumption that the body would move in any unit of time in the path produced of the preceding unit of time. He does not make this as- sumption directly; in fact he bases such impulsion of the body upon his first law of motion. But the assumption cer- tainly seems not the less clearly involved in his argument. "For suppose the time to be divided into equal parts," he says, "and in the first part of that time let the body, by its innate force, describe the right line AB. In the second part of than time the same would (by Law 1), if not hindered, proceed directly to c along the line Be, equal to AB, so that by the radii AS, BS, cS, drawn to the center, the equal areas ASB, BSc, would be described." Here liesi the error. In the second part of the time the body would proceed directly to c, along the line Be. Similarly in the third part of the time, the body would proceed directly to d along the line Cd; in the fourth part, directly to e along the line De; and so on. The assumption is clearly implied here that each of the lines ABc, BCd, CDe, DEf, are right lines. Indeed if they were not right lines, the geometrical theorem which Newton em- ploys, and on which the whole argument depends (namely, that triangles on equal bases and between the same paral- lels are equal), could not apply. It is certain also that this argument is employed with respect to motion in a curve, for eventually these same right lines are by a process of infin- ite division alleged to be reduced to a curve line. The ul- timate curve line would certainly pass through the points A, B, C, D, E, F, etc. The lines AB, BC, CD, DE, EF, etc., would therefore be chords of the curve line; and the lines Be, Cd, De, Ef, in which Newton assumes the centrifugal force would impel the body, would be continuations of these chords. But such impulsion is impossible and inconceivable. Newton employs the law of the parallelogram of forces to prove the law of equal areas. In one unit of time the body would move in the diagonal of the two forces and in the following unit of time, if not acted on by the central force, it would move in the continuation of this diagonal . But under no conceivable circumstances can a body revolving 58 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [39 round a center do this; neither in a circle, an ellipse, nor even in a polygon, as a whole. It can be done by a moving body acted on by two forces, not revolving round a center. But angular motion necessarily intplies tangential projection, the direction of which as well as of the diagonal of the parallelogram formed by the tangential projection with the central force consequently changes in every unit of time. This is not a case of limiting values. The objection is of a different kind, due to a faulty diagrammatic construc- tion. The real triangles involved in the parallelograrnic representation of a planetary orbit have the radius vectors extremely long, the tangential side of the parallelogram (representing the velocity per second) being much shorter (about 1/5,000,000 of the radius vector, in the case of the Earth), and the other side of the parallelogram, represent- ing the value of the Sun's attraction in one second, more minute still (only 1/10,000,000 of the tangential side), with the tangential side always very nearly at right angles to the radius vector. When we represent these conditions as accurately as we conveniently can, we find that the moment- ary paths of the planet are each and all inclined to one an- other, and that the diagonal of one parallelogram, produced, can not possibly form the tangential side of the next paral- lelogram, as Newton assumes, because that diagonal, being in fact a chord of the ultimate curve, if continued, would nec- essarily project outwards across that curve, in which the planet actually moves; i. e., the assumed path of the planet would cross its actual path. Newton's assumption that the tangential force would im- pel the body, not in a tangent to its curved path, but in a continuation of a chord of that path, is, therefore erroneous. The line Be must be supposed to unite angularly with the line AB at the point B. The triangles ASB and BSc are not, therefore, between the same parallels, and, being on equal bases, they can not be equal. Consequently Newton's dem- onstration has not a particle of foundation to rest upon, and in the absence of any assignable physical cause for the es- sential acceleration of absolute tangential velocity which 40] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 59 the law of equal areas involves, it certainly appears that that essential acceleration, and consequently that law, still re- mains undemonstrated. 40. Contradiction of Kepler's Second and Third Laws. B'.it perhaps the most fatal objection to Kepler's law of equal areas in equal times is that it is directly contradicted by Kepler's third law. The latter may be stated as follows: The squares of the times of revolution of two planets,- are in the ratio of the cubes of their mean distances. Let the distance of one planet be D, its period P, and let the distance of a second planet be D', and its period P'. Then according to Kepler's third law, D 3 : D' 3 = P 2 : P' 2 . But P = 2^-D/V and P' = 2 7r D'/V, where V and V are the velocities of the planets in whatever unit of time chos- en. Substituting these values of P and P' in the foregoing equation, we have D' 3 4 7r a DVV^=D 3 4 fl . 2 D'VV /2 , or DV 2 = D'V' 2 ; that is, the product of the planetary distances by the squares of the velocities of the respective planets at these distances are constant. For example, the distance of Neptune, that of the Earth being unity, and its velocity in miles per sec- ond are respectively 30.0543 and 3.36; of Uranus 19.18338 and 4.20; of Saturn 9.5399 and 5,95; of Jupiter 5.2028 and 8.06; of Mars 1.5237 and 14.99; of the Earth 1 and 18.38; of Venus 0.723 and 21.61; of Mercury 0.387 and 29.55*. And the prod- ucts of the distance and velocity squared of each planet are 339, 338, 338, 338, 342, 338, 337, and 338, respectively; none of which varies much from the Earth's average value of 338. Now, by Kepler's second law, if a planet's orbit were so perturbed as to expand it outwards, no matter how far, the planet's velocity would become diminished, in order that equal areas would be described by the radius vector in equal times. Let it be supposed, then, that Mercury's orbit were so perturbed that it occupied the orbits of all the planets from the innermost to the outermost in succession. At its own distance of 0.387 and velocity of 29.55, the area described by its radius vector in one second is 5.7. Then, as it arrived *Newcomb's Popular Astronomy. 60 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [40 at the orbit of Venus, the area it would describe would of course be the same, according to Kepler's second law. But Venus itself with its distance of 0*.723 and velocity of 21.61 describes an area of 7.8 in one second, or nearly two-fifths more than it should be according to Kepler's second law. Arriving at the Earth's orbit, Mercury's area per second would still be 5.7, while that of the Earth itself is 9.2. Continuing outwards, Mars' area per second is 11.4, Jupiter's 20.9, Saturn's 28.4, Uranus' 40.3, and Neptune's 50.5; while, by the law of equal areas in equal times, Mercury's described area at each of these positions would still be 5.7, or just half what it should be at Mars and little more than one-tenth what it should be at Neptune. It cannot be objected here that Mercury's orbit could not be perturbed so much, because no limit has been assigned to the action of perturbing forces, and because comets are ac- tually supposed to describe equal areas in equal times in just such orbits. Besides, if instead of the planets of the Solar System, there existed a swarm of meteorites extend- ing outwards in the Sun's equatorial plane like the Aster- oids, or the alleged constituents of the ring of Saturn not one of these meteorites could describe the same area in the same time as another meteorite, if the radius vectors of the two differed^by as much as a foot, or an inch, for the reason that each of these bodies must conform to the law of inverse distance squares, which is, in other words, Kep- ler's third law, and which is entirely different from the law of equal areas in equal times both as to velocity and gravity- fall per second for equal radius vectors. And yet it is cur- rently assumed, in direct contradiction of this, that a re- volving body can sweep outwards or inwards millions of miles from an average distance and continually conform to the law of inverse squares, or Kepler's third law. Since the two laws are thus found to be contradictory, which are we to accept for our guidance? There is, however, no question of the truth of Kepler's third law. It admits of proof by actual observation, and has been so proved; while the second law appears to be merely theoretic and never to 41] THE PROBLEM OF TWO BODIES 61 have been proved at all nothing more than an adjunct nec- essary to the law of gravitation. After discovering his three laws, Kepler is said to have exclaimed "O God, I think Thy thoughts after Thee!" It would seem more in keeping with wisdom to ask God's pity and help in rightly thinking hardly anything. 41. The Increase of Absolute Velocity. It is admitted that, when a body revolving about a center moves inwards to that center, its absolute velocity is generally increased because the diagonal of the tangential force and the central force is generally greater than the tangential side of the parallelogram of the two forces. But the component of this increased absolute velocity which is vertical to the radius vector and which determines the area swept over by it is not increased but remains exactly as before; so that, with a changed radius vector, the areas described would be chang- ed correspondingly. Prof. Young* says that a resistance ac- celerates a comet's speed. "It is accelerated," he states, "by being thus allowed to drop nearer to the sun and gains its speed in moving inwards under the sun's attraction.'* The diagonal motion (with possibly a slight degree of ap- plication of the law of falling bodies) might increase the velocity so long as the falling inwards continued. But just as soon as the inward motion should stop, the diagonal in- crease of speed would stop, and, owing to the supposed re- sistance, the tangential velocity would be really less than before the inward motion began; so far, at least, as any physical cause appears to the contrary. The same diagonal velocity would increase even if the body were projected out- wards from the Sun, instead of inwards, for exactly the same reason, and would continue until the outward motion stop- ped, the tangential velocity, though not of course the angular velocity, always remaining unchanged. If the perturbing force acts along the radius vector, as is here supposed, what physical cause can possibly be im- agined to cause a change in the rate of motion in a direction perpendicular to the radius vector? Some such cause, acting *Gen. Astron., Art. 710. 62 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [42 along the tangent, such as the resistance supposed, or the perturbing action of some external body, must be assigned before change of tangential velocity* can take place. But in the absence of such tangential perturbance, the mere motion inwards or outwards cannot be regarded as a physical cause for such change of velocity as the law of equal areas re- quires. It seems to exist as such only in imagination, be- cause apparently demanded by the exigencies of the case. And without such real, physical cause producing a change in the tangential component of the absolute velocity, there cannot be equable description of areas with a changing ra- dius vector, as in elliptic motion. 42. Instability of a Two-Body System. Since there ap- pears to be no real foundation for the law of equal areas in equal times, it is manifest that it would be quite impossible for even a single body to circulate around a central body attracting according to the law of gravitation. The law of equal areas constituted the machinery whose function it was to slacken the tangential speed of the body as it moved outwards, so as to prevent the further tendency to move outwards; and it. was the function of the same law to in- crease the speed of the body as it moved inwards, in order to prevent its further tendency to move inwards and thus maintain the stable equilibrium which is actually observed. But with the law of equal areas discredited and without real existence in fact, as has just been found, apparently from all points of view, even the simplest two-body astronomical unit sometimes called Roche's Problem could not, accord- ing to the theory of gravitation, maintain a stable equilib- rium for a moment, and the present arrangement of the Solar and Sidereal Systems would be impossible. The human mind will, no doubt, naturally revolt against such a conclusion when no other apparent natural cause ex- ists to prevent the universe from falling into utter disorder and anarchy. Nature, however, though coy regarding her motives, resorts to no miracles or fictitious agencies, but as 43] THE TIDES 63 we may see later on, employs only the simplest means m the simplest possible, yet beautifully efficient, ways to ac- complish her ends. CHAPTER IV THE TIDES If we should come to a case in which the evidence is plainly against the theory we are examining, we must give up the theory at once. For one case of discordance does more to destroy a theory respecting association between such and such phenomena, than a hundred cases of agreement would do in the way of affirming it. JUDGE N. T. CARR. Wherefore if we would philosophize in earnest and give ourselves to the search of all the truths we are capable of knowing, we must, in the first place, lay aside all our preju- dices; in other words, we must take care scrupulously to with-hold our assent from the opinions we formerly admit- ted, until upon new examination we discover that they are true. DES CARTES. It was declared to be inexpugnable, and put away and labeled "hands off" among the most sacred achievements of astronomy. It is now in our schoolbooks, and copied from textbook to textbook, and so impregnable that, if any fact were quoted against it, then so much the worse for the fact. PROF. J. A. PATTERSON. 43. The Tidal Tiheory. According to this theory the Moon is the chief tide-producer; and the alleged cause of the tides, at least according to Newton and most other au- thorities, is the difference between the Moon's attraction at the center of the Earth and at the two points of the Earth's surface which is nearest to, and farthest from, our satellite. Thus on the side of the Earth nearest to the Moon, the Moon's attraction would be greater than at the Earth's center be- cause the distance in the former case is less than in the latter; and therefore the water on that side of the Earth would be drawn away from the Earth's center, thus causing 64 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [44 the tide. Also the Moon's attraction would be less upon the the farthest side of the Earth from the Moon than upon the Earth's center, because the distance in the former case is greater than in the latter; and therefore the Earth's center would be drawn away from the water on that side, which would thus bulge away from the Earth's center and cause the antitide. At a first glance this theory may seem plaus- ible, but closer examination shows that it has enormous dif- ficulties to surmount. 44. The Tide-Raising Force Directly Opposed by Terres- trial Gravity. One of these difficulties is the attraction of the Earth itself upon its surface waters. By Newton's own computation, this attraction holds these waters to the Earth's center with a force or power more than twelve million times greater than the alleged force would pull them away from the Earth's center. Does it not really seem, even to the most casual reader, that it would be utterly impossible for this very minute force to pull the waters away from the Earth's center, in direct opposition to the immensely more powerful force holding the waters to that center? And does it not really seem, also, that this impossiblity is a vital objection to the current tidal theory? This impossibility appears to be so self-evident and ax- iomatic, that it is really difficult to present the objection in plainer words. If, however, we suppose that twelve million horses were pulling a car in one direction and a single horse pulling it in the other direction, it would be very plain to us that the car would not move in the direction of the single horse. Nor would the case be altered in the least, if we should suppose that a physical obstruction, aside from the single horse, prevented the car from moving in the di- rection in which the many horses pulled it, with no ob- struction whatever, aside from the many horses, to prevent it from moving in the direction of the single horse. In this last case, it is just as obvious that the millions of horses would hold the car against the obstruction, from which, therefore, it would be quite impossible for the single horse 45] THE TIDES 65 to pull it away in his own direction. Now the car repre- sents the water on the Earth's surface; the twelve million horses pulling the car in one direction represents the Earth's attraction pulling the water towards the Earth's center; the one horse pulling the car in the opposite direction is the difference of the Moon's attraction upon the central mass and upon either side of the Earth in the line of the two bodies, pulling the water from the Earth's center; and the obstruc- tion which prevents the many horses from moving the car in their direction represents the solid surface crust of the Earth, which prevents the falling of the water towards the Earth's center. Is it reasonable, then, that the one horse-power can raise the water in the least degree away from the Earth's center in direct opposition to the united pull of the twelve million horse-power towards the Earth's center? This ap- pears to be an extremely simple mechanical problem. Yet, apparently in the face of all reason and experience, the the- ory of gravitation alleges that the one horse-power actually pulls the water from the obstruction against which the unit- ed strength of twelve million horse-power is continually holding it. The reasonable view of the case would seem to be that the one unit of power pulling away from the Earth's center would counteract the effect of one of the twelve million units of power pulling in the opposite direction, thus leaving a balance of 11,999,999 units of power pulling towards the Earth's center. But while this would diminish the pull upon the water towards the latter point in a very slight degree, yet very obviously the water would still be held almost as strongly as ever towards that point with nothing at all now to pull it away therefrom. 45. The Tides Not Raised Where the Alleged Tide-Rais- ing Force Is Applied. While the absurdity of the gravita- tional theory of the origin of the tidal wave is thus shown is clearly, it seems, as anything can possibly be made, yet this absurdity appears still more glaring owing to the well- 66 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [45 known fact that the actual tidal wave rarely, if ever, is rais- ed, or appears, directly upder the Moon, but generally at a portion of the Earth's surface 90 from that at which the Moon is in the meridian. Prof. G..H. Darwin says:* "If we consider the moon as revolving round the earth, the water assumes nearly the shape of an oblate spheroid with the minor axis pointed to the moon. . . In fact observa- tion shows that it is more nearly low water than high water when the moon is on the meridian. . . . An observer carried round with the earth . . . will have low water twice in the lunar day, somewhere about the time when the moon is in the meridian, either above or below the horizon; and high water half way between the low waters. v Some authorities cannot but remark on the incongruity of this undoubted fact with the theory. One Reviewer (of "Moxley's Theory of the Tides," by J. F. Ruthven) says:| "The author seems to labor under some misconception of the dynamical theory in thinking, for instance, that it implies impossible ocean currents and that the tidal crest must be 90 behind the moon." And another says:$ "It is perhaps disappointing to gather" (from Sir G. H. Darwin's "Scientific Papers") "that we cannot yet with any confidence make any wide generalizations as to the nature of the tide-wave in the open ocean." How the Moon's attraction can thus raise the waters in a direction at right angles to its own and where no tide- raising force whatever theoretically applies, is simply in- explicable. It would seem that if it were the Moon's attrac- tion that raised the tidal wave directly towards, or indirectly from, itself, in the open sea at least that tidal wave would be directly underneath the Moon's orb, and that, if for any reason, the wave were delayed a considerable distance behind that position, it would gradually die out, simply on account of the friction it has to encounter and the absence of any cause to sustain it in its displaced position. But, wonderful to *Ency. Britt., Art. "Tides." fNature, 87, 478. JNature, 87, 449. 46] THE TIDES 67 relate, we have it on the authority of the theory of gravita- tion that the tidal wave generated by the transit of a tide- producer over a certain meridian of the tide-bearer may not itself arrive at that meridian until some one or two days have elapsed after the transit which caused it! "The inter- val of time between the transit of the moon which originates a tide and the appearance of the tide itself, is called the age or retardation of the tide. . . The age of the tide is, from the times, 391-2 hours, from the heights, 421-2 hours.''* 46. The Oceanic Tides Obliterated by Tides in the Earth's Interior. Another vital objection to the present theory of the tides is that, according to the generally received physical condition of the Earth, there would be no tides at all. Strange as this may appear, it is nevertheless true, as the following considerations go to prove. It is a well-known fact that the temperature of the Earth's crust increases about 1 for every 50 to 60 feet below the surface. This uniform increase of temperature with depth is found at all points of the surface without respect to the sea-level, and is therefore a general characteristic of the Earth's crust. This temperature gradient obviously implies a constant transfer of heat from warmer inner strata to cooler outer strata by conduction; according to which, difference of temperature would soon disappear by the warmer strata cooling off if there were not a con- stant supply of heat within the Earth. And this proves that the rise of temperature thus maintained for untold millions of years is not merely superficial, but continues to a very great depth. Now this rate of increase implies a temper- ature of about 1,500 at a depth of 15 miles; a temperature sufficient to reduce to a fluid state about all of the known ma- terials which form the solid crust of the globe. The appar- ently solid Earth on which we live is therefore a comparative- ly thin shell of solid matter inside of which is inclosed the vast bulk of the Earth in a molten or gaseous state. Many facts are observed to corroborate tfiis conclusion; among which are boiling springs, earthquakes, and volcanoes; the torrents of melted rock or lava from the latter for thousands *Orray Taft Sherman. Prof. Pap. U. S. Sig. Ser., No. XI, p. 28. 68 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [47 of years clearly testifying to the molten condition of the Earth's interior. But how is this state of things to be reconciled with the present theory of the tides? If the mterior of the Earth is in a molten state, it is very clear that, in accordance with the theory of gravitation, a tidal swell would be caused there just as well as at the surface of the crust. This tidal swell would cause the thin crust to be successively elevated and depressed; and these successive bendings of the crust would neutralize the effects of the ocean tides because the bottom of the sea would be raised almost, if not quite, as much as its surface, and the depth of the sea would thus remain un- changed, and consequently no tide would be observed. 47. Another Tidal Theory. A comparatively new theory, and entirely different from the static theory of Newton, is given by Sir Oliver Lodge, (Pioneers of Science, p. 364) and is also mentioned by Hastings and Beach,* and possibly by others. The former says: "Now consider the earth and moon revolving round each other. . . . It" (the Earth) "revolves around the common center of gravity of the earth and moon. This is a vital point in the comprehension of the tides; the earth's center is not at rest, but is being whirled round by the moon, in a circle about 1/80 as big as the circle which the moon describes. . . . The effect of the revolution is to make both bodies slightly protrude in the direction of the line joining them. . These elongations or protuberances constitute the tides." Dr. Lodge ought to have been aware that his second last statement above is directly contradicted by Sir G. H. Darwin, as we have just seen; the actual protrusion of the tides being generally in a line at right angles to that joining the Earth and the Moon. Moreover his new theory described above he himself directly contradicts when he says (p. 357): "The prime cause of the tiftes is undoubtedly a vertical elevation of the ocean, a tidal wave or hump produced by the attraction of the moon." His new theory does not depend on the Moon's * General Physics, p. 52. 47] THE TIDES 69 attraction at all, but on the centrifugal force of the Earth's surface around the Earth-Moon center of gravity. Another statement which Dr. Lodge makes (pp. 369-70) is "the moon swings the earth round once a month, the sun swings it around once a year. The circle of swing is bigger, but the speed is so much slower that the protuberance pro- duced is only one-third of that caused by the monthly whirl; i. e., the simple solar tide in the open sea, without taking momentum into account, is but a little more than a foot high while the simple lunar tide is about three feet." The "speed" to which Dr. Lodge refers above is probably the angular speed, for the actual velocity of the Earth around the Sun is about a thousand times its velocity around the Earth-Moon center; moreover, the centrifugal force (which is the tide-raising agency in Dr. Lodge's theory) of the Earth's motion around the Sun is about seventy times that of the Earth's motion around the Earth-Moon center; so that, by his theory, the solar tide should be seventy times that of the lunar. Absurd as this theory appears to be, it may be worth while to examine it further. The Earth-Moon common center of gravity would be about 7,000 miles from the farthest, and 1,000 miles from the nearest, side of the Earth from the Moon; the respective circles of swing being, therefore, 44,- 000 and 6,286 miles, in which the respective speeds per sec- ond would be about 0.02 and 0.0026 mile. And the respective 'tide-raising 1 forces (according to Dr. Lodge) implied by these speeds and distances would be (0.02)714,000 and (0.0026)Y 2,000, or 0.0001584 ft.,and 0.0000185 ft. per second, the former being over eight times as great as the latter. It is true that these tide-raising forces, if real, would be vastly greater than Newton's; but just the same they would be directly counteracted by the Earth's attraction, which is some 100,000 times greater than the larger. However, if the particles of the Earth's surface be supposed to be loose and independent of one another, like an aggregation of me- teorites, then a particle at d (in diagram) would be urged away from c 0.0001584 ft. in one second, as previously found. 70 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [48 But at e, midway between d and a, a particle would move away from c some 41 feet in each second. The velocity per second at e around the Earth-Moon center at b would be about 0.013 mile, and if this be directed at right angles to the radius vector, be, as in other circular motions, the mo- mentary path would incline some 38.5 upwards from the horizon, and the vertical component of the 0.013 mile would be 0.0078 mile, or 41 feet which certainly would be some tide. At f, however, the conditions would be reversed, the momentary path, being at right angles to bf, now points in- wards to c, so that at the point f, by Dr. Lodge's theory, the water particles would b depressed 41 feet per second. Here would be some prolateness, though in a direction at right angles to that stated by Dr. Lodge. One immense tide and one immense depression in each lunar day, compared with which all other tides and depressions would sink into in- significance. Not even terrestrial gravity itself could cope with such a tide-raising force and so we leave it in the sole charge and guidance of its sponsors. 48. The Solar Tide. Of all doctrines now or hitherto ever taught of which there remains any record, probably none has been so universally received and accepted as that the Moon is the chief cause of our terrestial ocean tides. And no wonder, for the tides always follow the Moon's mo- tion around the Earth. In the words of Prof. Young:* "The average interval between successive high waters be- ing 24h. 51m., which is precisely the same as the average in- terval between two successive passages of the moon across the meridian. This coincidence maintained indefinitely, of *Gen. Astron. Art. 462. 48] THE TIDES 71 itself makes it certain that there must be some casual con- nection between the moon and the tides. As some one has said, the odd 51 minutes is the' moon's 'earmark.' " What, then, must be thought of the statement here to be made that, although the casual connection of the Moon with the tides is admitted, the Sun is the chief tide-producer and not the Moon? Yet incredible as this statement may seem, and however inconsistent with the theory of gravitation, there is not a little evidence in favor of it. There would no doubt be a great deal more evidence in favor of it, if such were not probably considered as worthless because con- tradictory of a doctrine universally accepted as true. Much of the evidence here advanced must have seen the light by mere accident. (See analecta, chapter XI, part II). If the Moon is the chief cause of the ocean tides, why is it not the chief cause of the aerial tides? We know from actual observation that there are two maxima and two min- ima of barometric pressure, the former at about 10 a. m. and 10 p. m. and the latter between these, all over the Earth's torrid and temperate zones; and these variations of pressure are due solely to the Sun. Dr. Julius Hann* quotes this pass- age from "Herschel's Meteorology," p. 163: "Colonel Sykes remarks that among many thousand obser- vations taken personally by himself on the plateau of the Deccan (1825-1830), there was not a solitary instance in which the barometer was not higher at 9 or 10 a. m. than at sunrise and lower at 4 or 5 p. m. than at 9 or 10 a. m., whatever the state of the weather might be." Dr. Hann also quotes from Humboldt:f "This regularity is such that, in the daytime especially, we may infer the hour from the height of the column of mer- cury without being in error on an average more than 15 or 16 minutes. In the torrid zone of the new continent I have found the regularity of this ebb and flow of the aerial ocean undisturbed either by storm, tempest, rain or earthquake, both on the coasts and at elevations of nearly 13,000 feet above the level of the sea." Now it cannot be the Sun's heat during the day and the *Smith. Kept., 1877, p. 394. tTome I, p. 308. 72 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [49 absence of the Sun's heat during the night that cause these aerial tides because the effects in the day and in the night are almost exactly aHke, having a^ maximum and a minimum in each, and because in the Arctic and the Antarctic regions where the days and nights are months long, it occurs with the same regularity. There is a small factor attributable to to the Sun's heat, but it is easily separable from the other factor. M. A. Angot of the French Meteorological Office has done this; but the main part remains either unaccountable or attributable to the Sun.* The amplitude of the solar diurnal tide is given by Mr. R. A. Curtis t as one-tenth inch in the tropics, gradually de- creasing to 1/30 inch in the British Isles and similar lati- tudes* while the maximum amplitude of the lunar tide is given by M. Boquet de la Grye as 1/50 inch at Brest! and by Prof. F. A. R. Russel as 0.003 to 0.004 mch. It is unnecessary to go into further detail to show that the aerial tide ascribable to the Sun is considerably greater than that ascribable to the Moon. The subject will be fur- ther considered with the new tidal theory, Art. 147. 49. Inland Sea and Lake Tides. Upon lakes and inland seas, tides would be produced by only one of the two tide- producers when they are about 90 apart, because the area of the water surface is so small that when one body would be in a position to produce a tide upon it, the tide-raising effect of the .other body would be shut out by the land surface surrounding the water. If the Moon were the chief agent in raising the tides on the waters of the Earth, it should be an easy matter to prove it in these cases. Let us see what really happens. M. Heraud read a paper before the Paris Academy of Sciences, Aug. 8, 1887, on "The Tides of the Tunisian Coast," partly as follows: * Nature, 41, 449. tNature, 61, 119. tNature, 51, 516. Smith. Miscel. Coll., No. 1072, 49] THE TIDES 73 "The observations made during the hydrographic survey of the coast have enabled the author to study the tidal move- ment, the existence of which on the Gulf of Gabes and on the adjacent seaboard has long been demonstrated. These tides appear to be the most regular and important in the whole Mediterranean basin. > . . They continually in- crease in magnitude as far as Gabes, where they acquire a maximum of 2 metres at the mean spring tides, thence de- creasing to 1 metre at Zarzis on the Tripoli Coast. The tidal wave appears to come from the east, the mean period being apparently about 24 hours. All the observed circumstances would seem to show that the relation of tine lunar to the solar wave is less than the absolute actions of the sun and; moon."* Regarding the tide in the great lakes, some writer in the Milwaukee (Wis.) Sentinel of Aug. 17, 1892, says of the tides at Green Bay, Wis.: "The tides come in the morning and evening and are high- est at 7 a. m. and 7 p. m. From 3 until 7 in the morn- ing the tide gradually comes in. After that time it begins to recede and is at its lowest between 11 and 2:30. At the latter hour the evening tide commences and it rises contin- ually until 7 m the evening, when it begins to recede. The height of the tide varies at times a trifle, but it is never less than 5 inches and seldom over 8 inches under ordinary cir- cumstances. . . . The tide comes night and morning, whatever the direction of the wind and whether the water is high or low . . . Green Bay is shaped not unlike the Bay of Fundy, where the tides on the Atlantic rise to enor- mous heights. It is not unreasonable to suppose that a tide from a half inch or an inch from the wide stretch of waters east and west, reaching several hundred miles from Georg- ian Bay across Lake Huron, through the wide straits of Mackinac, across the foot of Lake Michigan and up the long, narrow bay, would be compressed so as to be at least per- ceptible." An answer to this, two or three days later, stated that scientists also had observed the tide on Lake Michigan, but said not one word about its daily occurence. Tides also appear sometimes in under-ground waters. "A self-recording gage was set up in an unused well" (near Tokio, Japan). "This showed that the water in the well rose and fell 1-4 to 1-2 inch twice every 24 hours. "t And *Nature, 36, 383. tJchn Milne, Nature, 53, 182. 74 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [49 Dr. O. Hoist of the Geological Survey of Sweden states that "one of the Australian geologists" found a tidal action of the ground water in the sandy regions of the interior of Australia. "The water rises and falls at regular daily inter- vals and the oscillations appear to be too great to be explain- ed as resulting from the daily variations in atmospheric pressure."* Even in the open ocean "the relative part played by the sun and moon, as deduced from gravitational formulae does not quite agree with the observed phenomena of the daily tides. It is believed by many that the ordinary lunar tide affecting mainly the oceanic envelope, is complicated by the presence of a terrene tide largely influenced by the sun, and that the earth does to an appreciable extent yield twice in the twenty-four hours to the deforming force of solar gravita- tion."! And still another witness, the humble polyp, Alcyonium, appears to tell the story of the Sun as the chief arbiter of his ocean home. "During the first two or three days after Al- cyonium is placed in the tank, it contracts completely with tolerable regularity twice in every twenty-four hours. . . . These experiments seem to prove that Alcyonium contracts normally twice in every twenty-four hours, and that the rythm of these contractions continues for some time after it is removed from the action of the tides."* See also Art. 153 for further evidence in this connection. *Nature, 57, 86. tThos. W. Kingsmill; Nature, 47, 30. JS. J. Hickscn; Phil. Soc. Cambridge, Feb. 22, 1892. CHAPTER V AMOUNT AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUN'S HEAT Knowest thou the ordinances of heaven? Canst thou set the dominion thereof in the earth? JOB, 38, 33. Any given generalization from observatioin may be true, within the limits of our powers of observation at a given time, and yet turn out to be untrue when these powers of obser- vaion are directly or indirectly enlarged. Or, to put the mat- ter in another way, a doctrine which is untrue absolutely, may, to a very great extent, be susceptible of an interpretation in accordance with the truth. PROP. HUXLEY. I think in that respect he is of my mind, that we are all liable to error, but that we love truth, and speak only what at the time we/ think to be the truth; and ought not to take offense when proved to be in error, since the error is not in- tentional; but be a little humbled and so turn the correction of the error to good account. FAKADAY. 50. Temperature of the Sun's Surface. The theory of gravitation teaches that the Sun's heat and light and force of attraction radiate out equally in all directions in space, diminished only as the inverse square of the distance. The quantity of solar heat which would be intercepted by the Earth, therefore, would be such a part of the whole heat radiated from the Sun as the apparent angular area of the Earth as viewed from the Sun's center is of the area of the whole sky. Now the angular diameter of the Earth, as it would be seen from the Sun is only about 17 seconds; and as similar areas are to each other as the squares of their di- mensions, the angular area of the Earth, viewed from the Sun, will be to that of the whole sky as (17) 2 is to 2(180X 60X60) 2 , or about as 1 to 2,900,000,000;* so that only about 1/2,900,000,000 of the heat radiated from the Sun falls upon *Dr. J. R. Mayer in his Beitrage xur Dynamik des Himmela makes the amount of solar heat intercepted by the Earth 1/2,300,000,000 of the whole amount radiated into space. Tyndal makes it the same as Mayer, Fragments of Science, "On Force." 76 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [50 the Earth. Then as the Sun's angular diameter from the Earth is about 31 minutes of arc, the Sun's area as compared with that of the Earth will be about as (31X60) 2 to (17) 2 , or about as 12,000 to 1. Therefore the heat radiated from a certain area of the Sun, as a square inch or a square yard, is 2,900,000,000/12,000, or about 240,000 times greater than that which is received from the Sun upon an equal area on the Earth. The Earth's temperature is supposed to be about 300C. above absolute zero,* and, as the heat from an equal area on the Sun is about 240,000 times greater, the Sun's temperature ought to be about 300X240,000 or 72,000,000C. above absolute zero. This is about the same reasoning as Newton's regarding this subject; and the result above ob- tained is of the same order as Newton's result. This would make the immediate neighborhood of the Sun so extremely heated that all known substances traversing it would be re- duced to vapor. Therefore, when the comet of 1680 passed so close to the Sun, as to almost graze its atmosphere, New- ton was very much surprised indeed when that body, which remained in the immediate neighborhood of the Sun for many hours, brushed around the great luminary without un- dergoing the slightest noticeable change, although, according to his own computation, the comet must have been subjected during that time to a degree of heat 2,000 times that of red- hot iron. Whether this circumstance staggered his belief in the extremely elevated temperp.ture which, according to his the- ory, he had deduced for the Sun, or not, it, together with many other circumstances, certainly staggered others in that belief, and as a consequence there are today probably a score of different estimates of the Sun's temperature from several million degrees down to as low as 3,000. On this subject, Prof. J. Norman Lockyer says: "The values that have been suggested by various men of science vary between 18,000,000 and 3,000". You may take your choice. The fac* is I think, that we are not yet in a position to find out the very best method of determining the *Prof. J. H. Poynting, Address B. A. 1904. 51] AMOUNT AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUN'S HEAT Tl temperature and thus marking it down in a perfect manner, for the reason that the more one knows about the problem, the more one sees how terribly complicated it is."* In the Scientific American Supplement, No. 259, p. 4132, Mr. Robt. Ward summarizes in chronogical order of publi- cation the solar temperatures in degrees centigrade found by various investigators as follows: "Newton, 1,669,300; Pouillet, 1,461; Zollner, 102,200; Secchi, 5,344,840; Ericsson, 2,726,700; Fizeau, 7,500; Wa- terston, 9,000,000; Spoerer, 27,000; H. St. Claire Deville, 9,500; Soret, 5,801,846; Vicaire, 1,398"; Violle, 1,500; Kos- etti, 20,000. . . . There probably does not exist in science a more astonishing contradiction than is revealed in these figures."! To overcome the difficulty, a law bearing the name of Stefan's, was published about 1881, which assumes that ra- diation increases as the fourth power of the tempera ture.J This would make the Sun's temperature about 5,000 or 6,000' centigrade above absolute zero, which from the spec- troscopic evidence of variations of wavelength and width of spectral lines in varying temperatures, is probably not far from the fact. But what is the physical justification of Stefan's law? Apparently nothing more than that the single instance of the Sun's radiation seems to demand it. The radiation of heated bodies upon the Earth's surface appears to be strictly accord- ing to Newton's law; and why, or where, a change should take place between the Earth and the Sun from the one law to the other, no cause whatever is assignable. 51. Unvarying Quantity of Solar Heat at Various Dis- tances from the Sun. Another serious conflict of actual observation with the theory is found in the cons/tancy of the amount of solar heat which falls upon the Earth at various distances from the Sun. It is well-known that the Earth is some three millions of miles nearer to the Sun in January than in July. According to the theory of gravitation, it is shown by Sir John Herschel that "the least variation of *Nature, 33, 402. fA similar summary is given by Prof. Young, Gen. Astron., Art. 351. tNature, 51, 33 78 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [52 temperature under such circumstances which can be reason- ably attributed to the actual variation of the Sun's distance is 23 F."* The summers of the Southern Hemisphere, there- fore, should be at least 23 hotter than ours on the average, and the winters of the Southern Hemisphere colder than ours by the same difference. Yet Sir William Thomson tells us| that "neither at the equator nor in the southern or northern hemisphere has this difference been discovered by experience or general observation of any kind." This is certainly vital evidence, and it goes remarkably direct against the theory of gravitation. 52. Amount of Solar Heat Falling Upon Either Pole of the Earth During Its Summer Season Greater Than That Upon a Point at the Equator. In still another instance is the amount of sunheat which would be received upon the Earth in accordance with the theory of gravitation, glaringly at variance with the observed facts. That the temperature of the North Frigid Zone during our summer is a great deal lower than at the Equator, is so commonplace a fact that It seems puerile to mention it. Yet we have it upon the author- ity of Dr. Zenker, in a work which has been awarded a prize by the Paris Academy, that, "leaving the air out of account, as has usually been the case, . . . the heat received by the Pole on a summer day is greater than that which falls on a point at the equator. Thus, taking as unit the heat re- ceived during twenty-four hours by a place at which the sun is in the zenith, the North Pole receives an amount of heat represented by 0.397, and a point at the equator an amount represented by 0.292."J In other words, there would fall upon the North Pole, ac- cording to the present theory, an amount of solar heat great- er by over one-third than that which would fall upon a point at the Equator! Paradoxical as this may at first Bight ap- pear, it readily admits of a simple explanation. For, during *Outlines of Astronomy, Art. 369 a. tNature, 35, 29'/. JNature, 37, 552. 52] AMOUNT AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUN'S HEAT 79 our summer season, the Sun's rays are at no time perpen- dicular to the Equator, the average inclination of these rays to a point upon the equatorial surface while exposed to the ^olar heat being considerably more than half as great as the average inclination to the polar surface; and also the equator- ial surface receives the Sun's rays for half of every twenty- four hours, while the polar surface receives the Sun/s rays during the entire summer without intermission. V/hy, then, is it not warmer at the polar regions than at the equatorial regions, to correspond with the greater amount of solar heat which theoretically falls upon the former place? Some are inclined to think that the reason is, the Sun's rays, which fall upoi. the Pole, having the greater inclination, and consequent- Jy having to pass through the greater thickness of atmos- phere, would be more absorbed by the air before reaching that surface. But this view is open to the objection that the absorption and accumulation of the solar heat by the atmos- phere is the very thing that raises the temperature at the Earth's surface; for if there were no atmosphere at all to absorb and retain the Sun's heat, the temperature of the Earth's surface would be some hundreds of degrees below zero, even under a vertical Sun. An excellent authority on this subject says : "Although the actual solar radiation is thus largely in- creased, yet the temperature of the Earth's surface is not due principally to this direct radiation, but to the quality of selective absorption in our atmosphere, without which the temperature of tW,e soil in the tropics under a vertical surf would probably not rise above 200 C. Nearly all the 215 or more degrees of difference between this and the actual mean temperature of the planet's surface is due to this se- lective absorption, which accumulates the heat, though in a manner which has not been hitherto correctly understood. It should be understood that these researches have had a practical bearing of great consequence. The temperature of this planet, and with it the existence not only of the hu- man race, but of all organized life on the globe appears, in the light of the conclusions reached by the Mount Whitney expedition, to depend far less on the direct solar heat than 80 OBJECTIONS TO THJE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [52 on the hitherto too little regarded quality of selective ab- sorption in our atmosphere which we are now studying."* From this it seems quite clear, then, that the greater the amount of heat which was absorbed by the amosphere of a region, the warmer the temperature of that region ought tt be. For the same writer adds : "Generally speaking, the radiation that we see enter, we see escape within the utmost limit ol the known solar spectrum"; according to which the radiation which the atmosphere absorbs and stores up is all that remains and is very obviously that to which almost alone the surface temperature is due. Still another explanation of the low temperature of the polar regions as compared with the temperature of the equatorial regions, in spite of the greater amount of solar radiation and atmospheric absorption at the former which the theory implies is that, in these regions, the ice and snow reflect the heat falling upon them to a much greater extent than the land surface of the equatorial regions does. It is unnecessary to discuss all the objections that could be made to this explanation. An insuperable objection to it is in- volved in the single question If there is a greater solar ra- diation and atmospheric absorption at the polar regions, than there is at the lower temperate and tropical latitudes, as Dr. Zenker apparently shows, why is not the snow and ice melted away at the former place as it is in the latter upon the approach of the summer season? In latitude 40, e. g., tracts of country fully as large as Greenland are frequently covered with ice and snow; yet a very few warm days of spring, not to mention summer at all, is sufficient to melt it all away; while the ice and snow of Greenland, where the amount of solar radiation is theoretically much greater, scarce- ly melts at all! It is true that a considerable amount of ice and snow accumulate in the Arctic regions during our winter; but it is equally true that, if all the ice and snow of Green- land were removed down to latitude 40 and spread over that country to the same depth, it would all melt away during *Prof. S. P. Langley. Researches on Solar Heat, Prof. Papers No. XV, U. S. Sig. Service, p. 215. 53] AMOUNT AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUN'S HEAT 81 a single month of summer* ; and yet according to the current theory, a much less amount of solar heat is available to melt the ice and snow in latitude 40 than in northern Greenland. 53. The Sun's Heat on Mars. By the theory of gravita- tion, Mars should receive only two-fifths as much solar heat as the Earth. And we have it on the authority of Prof. Newcombf that a "diminution of the solar heat by one- fourth of its amount would probably make our Earth so cold that all the water on its surface would freeze." This "means that if the earth were now 15.5 per cent farther away from the sun, there would be no water and no life, only ice." But Mars is more than 50 per cent farther from the Sun than the Earth is, and therefore ought to be, by the theory of gravitation, much colder still than if only 15.5 per cent farther. Yet we read that its temperature is equal to, if not higher than, that of the Earth, and its polar snows melt per- iodically to a far greater extent than on our planet. $ "The observation left no doubt on my mind that Mars had an atmosphere like our own; that its temperature did not vary many degrees from our own; that there were land surfaces and water surfaces; clouds and very obvious cloud drift; polar snows which melted with marvelous rapidity as the perihelion sun made its full strength felt." Much more might be given from the writings of Prof. Very and Percival Lowell, the latter having made the study of this planet specially his own; how they discovered water- vapor lines in the Martian spectrum; have seen the blueness of the water issuing from the rapidly melting polar ice-fields; and the appearance of canals and change of color due to consequent upspringing vegetation and foliage. Prof. Very *Langley computes from his researches that the^ solar heat upon the outer limits of our atmosphere is such as would melt an ice-sheet 178 feet thick annually over the entire surface of the Earth; and he further finds that only one-third of this heat is absorbed by the atmosphere from a vertical Sun. Of course then, a much greater thickness of ice would actually be melted at the Equator during even a single summer, because the temperature there is much above the average temperature of the Earth's surface; and, theoretically, a still greater thickness should be melted at the Pole daring the same time because a greatei amount of solar radiation theoretically falls and is retained there. tPopular< Astronomy, p. 523. JM. Flammarion; Nature, 38, 263. ,T. Norman Lockyer; Nature, 46, 445. 82 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [54 says:* "Mars has a rather rare atmosphere but a climate of the continental type giving it warm summers." But as we have just seen in the preceding article, the rareness of the atmosphere is a very great handicap to a warm temper- ature, the warmth of the planet existing, not because of it, but in spite of it. It is true that Prof. Alfred Russel Wallace, Prof. Camp- bell of Lick Observatory, and a few others, question, to some extent, the results of the investigations of Lowell and Very. This, however, is only natural when these results are so astoninshingly at variance with the generally accepted the- ory. But, nevertheless, the great preponderance of scientific authority cannot but support the conclusions of Lowell, how- ever contradictory of the current theory. The melting of 1,600,000 square miles (a tract about as large as India) of polar snow-fields in 33 days, observed by Prof. Pickering at the opposition of 1892, t together with the seasonal regularity of the snow-caps' dissolution, one alternating with the other invariably at about the same intervals, just as on the Earth, could not but impress the fact of even a warmer climate upon Mars than that of the Earth, on most unbiased minds, regard- less of the fact that not one logical reason can be assigned to alleviate the apparently fatal contradiction of the theory of gravitation by these actually observed facts. Many minds are only stupefied and dumfounded by this hopeless contra- diction, and keep silent regarding it, though naturally, of course, still clinging to the old theory which is so signally discredited by it. 54. Direct Contradiction of the Theory by the Facts. It follows, therefore, that both the temperature of the Sun's surface and the distribution of the solar radiation, which the current theory clearly involves, is emphatically contradicted by actual observation. The degree of heat at the Sun's sur- face which that theory undoubtedly implies is, in the first place, almost inconceivably great; in the second place, it is belied by the presence of black spots on the Sun's surface, *Science, 37, 952. t Nature, 81, 337. 54] AMOUNT AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUN'S HEAT 83 which are generally admitted to be formed by the down-rush of cooled, solid particles, whereas the theoretical temper- ature of the Sun is such as would almost instantly dissolve all known substances into vapor, even at a distance of mil- lions of miles from the Sun's surface; in the third place, it is belied by the impunity with which the comet of 1680 passed through the immediate neighborhood of the Sun; in the fourth place, it is belied by comparison with known tem- peratures upon the Earth's surface; in the fifth place, the distribution of the solar heat which the theory involves is belied by the utter absence of those very considerable differ- ences of temperature upon the Earth, which should theoret- ically accompany its varying distances from the Sun; in the sixth place, the theoretical distribution of the solar heat over the Earth's surface is almost diametrically the opposite of that which we actually observe; and in the seventh place, Mars, which by the theory should have a temperature of less than 30 C C., is actually observed to have a temperature probably warmer even than the Earth itself. CHAPTER VI THE NEBULAR HYPOTHESIS Every hypothesis is bound to explain, or, at any rate, not be inconsistent with, the whole of the facts which it professes to account for; and if there is a single one of these facts which can be shown to be inconsistent with (I do not merely mean inexplicable by, but contrary to) the hypothesis, the hypothesis falls to the ground; it is worth nothing. PROF HUXLEY. The nebular theory ... is emphatically a specula- tion; it cannot be demonstrated by observation or establish- ed by mathematical calculation. Yet the boldness and splen- dour of the nebular theory have always given it a dignity not usually attached to a doctrine which has so little direct evi- dence in its favor. SIR ROBERT STAWELL BALL. The theory of Laplace, in the form in which it was pre- sented, cannot be maintained by any one acquainted with the laws of physics. . . . The theory that* the star- clouds, or any of them, are external galaxies has received a death- blow. This is not saying that it was not dead before. The blow may be such a one as Falstaff gave the dead Percy; but no one can mistake its force. With this new wound the theo- ry has no longer even the semblance of life, and will possi- bly disappear ere long from those cemeteries for defunct theories, the textbooks. PROF. R. A. PROCTOR. 55. Various Modifications. Having now glanced over the minor phenomena in the field of the theory of gravitation, the whole domain of its operation may here finally be sur- veyed. Taking the Solar System as a whole, there obviously must have been some primordial state from which the pres- ent arrangement naturally arose. The first theory regarding its evolution was that by Laplace, called the "nebular hy- pothesis." It began with a homogeneous globe of vapor of extreme rarity extending on all sides of the Sun far beyond the orbit of Neptune. In conjunction with the theory of grav- itation, however, the nebular hypothesis meets with numerous 55] THE NEBULAR HYPOTHESIS 85 insurmountable difficulties; and as, of course, the former could not be questioned, doubt and suspicion were cast upon the latter; so much so that Sir J. Norman Lockyer and others published a new and different theory, the "meteoritic hypoth- esis," which has a still more recent "planetesimal" variant. Instead of a homogeneous vapor, "the meteoritic theory of the universe supposes that in the beginning space was filled by an innumerable multitude of . . . little stony masses moving in all directions with immense velocities the colli- sions of which originate systems such as the Solar System. As meteorites have invariably the appearance of fragments torn from larger bodies by collisions or explosions, Dr. Croll supposes the existence of countless dark stars of enormous velocities primordially colliding, and so, by his Impact The- ory, giving origin to all the various forms of matter seen in the heavens."* Now with all deference to the ability and genius of the originators and supporters of this meteoritic hypothesis, many of whom are among our greatest scientific investigators, it cannot be said thai their theory appeals to the mind as a treatment of first principles. These meteoritic stones clearly must have been derived from a preceding state, or indeed sev- eral successive states. We might just as well commence with the worlds we now see about us as to commence with frag- ments which, their own internal evidence shows, have been derived from just such worlds; and which, even after we as- sume them, appear, with regard to their evolution into the present state, to be subject to just as insuperable difficulties as are met with in the nebular hypothesis. Indeed the latter is the only logical theory which treats of absolutely primor- dial conditions; and from what has already in the preceding chapter been learned of the theory of gravitation, which is supposed to govern the operation of the nebular hypothesis, the suspicion very naturally arises that the difficulties which block our progress may not be owing to the latter theory at *William Kingdon Clifford, Humboldt Library of Science, No. 166, pp. 26 32. 86 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [55 all, but to the former itself, which has really furnished all the evidence against the other. The very best character can be impeached by a false witness when the evidence of that witness is unquestioned. In any case the nebular hypothesis, being the most logi- cal theory and the most generally accepted, will now be con- sidered in connection with the theory of gravitation in order that the difficulties of its operation may be pointed out and traced to their source, if possible, with a view to their event- ual removal later on. CHAPTER VII NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION There has been of late a growing trend of opinion, prompted in part by general philosophical views, in the di- rection that the theoretical conceptions of physical science are largely factitious, that instead of presenting a valid image of the relation of things on which further progress can be based, they are still little better than a mirage. SIR J. LARMOR (quoted by Sir Oliver .Lodge, Address B. A. 1913.) The cause of science is more truly served, even by the denial of what may be a truth, than by the indolent accept- ance of it on insufficient grounds. Such denials drive us to a deeper communion with Nature, and, as in the present in- stance, compel us through severe and laborious inquiry to strive after certainty, instead of resting satisfied, as we are prone to do, with mere conjecture. JOHN TYNDALL. In our glorification of the Newtonian system we are apt to overlook some obvious facts which the law of gravitation fails to explain. One of these is the rotational velocity of our solar system and of many stellar systems, which cannot be self-generated. Unless we threw our laws of dynamics overboard, or imagine the rotation to have been impressed by creation, we must conclude that some outside body or system of bodies is endowed with an equal and opposite angular momentum. What has become of that outside body, and how could it have parted company with our solar system, if at- tractive forces only were acting? PROF. ARTHUR SCHUSTER. 57] NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION 87 56. TKe Primal State of Matter. The most general con- ception involved in the nebular hypothesis is "that of a nebulous matter dispersed in masses throughout the im- mensity of the heavens." This appears to be the postulate of Kant, Huyghens, Sir W. Herschel, Laplace, and, more recently, Herbert Spencer. It is not, however, the most general conception; for Anaxagoras, Democritus, Descartes, Newton, and, it seems, Sir W. Thomson, believed that there primordially existed a universal homogeneous medium, or "primitive fluid," as Sir W. Thomson calls it which certain- ly appears to be the true starting-point of cosmical evolution. But this universal medium may be considered as a grander type of a systemic nebulous mass; and the same reasoning will then apply to both. Suppose, then, a vast nebulous mass, employing it as the representative of any nebulous mass down to, and including, the dimensions of the Solar System. And regarding the phenomena likely to arise in such a mass, we may examine here chiefly the views of Mr. Herbert Spencer, which appear to be the most logical and also, approximately, those of the most eminent scientists on this subject. 57. Atomic Attraction and Repulsion. "Given a rare and widely-diffused mass of nebulous matter having a diameter, say as great as the distance from the Sun to Sirius, what are the successive changes that will take place in it? . . . Mutual gravitation will approximate its mass; . . . The approximation will be opposed by atomic repulsion." Now here, right in the start, is something that seems very curious. The atoms attract one another and they repel one another at the same time; the clashing of their action caus- ing "the evolution of heat." To use plain language, this idea seems no more conceivable than if it were said that the atoms (in the words of the Greek philosopher Empedocles regarding these two tendencies) both loved and hated one another at the same time. If any two atoms were materially connected, such opposite actions might be intelligible, for, while gravitation would pull them together, the material con- 85 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [59 nection might hold or push them apart. But, there being no material intermedium, how the two atoms can push-pull or pull-push one another as above intimated, appears to be en- tirely beyond the power of the human mind to grasp. 58. Cooling and Precipitation of tihe Primordial Vapor. "As fast as this heat partially escapes by radiation, fur- ther approximation will take place, followed by further evo- lution of heat, and so on continuously. When a certain amount of heat and pressure is thus attained, some of the atoms will suddenly enter into chemical union." But another difficulty occurs here ; for Prof. William Crookes and others maintain that gravitation can exist, or operate to approximate primordial atoms, only after their union has already taken place.* "When radiation has adequately lowered the temperature, these newly-formed primary atoms will precipitate . . will aggregate into flocculi, as water precipitated from air forms clouds." These flocculi, acted upon by gravitation, "must not only be drawn to their common center of grav- ity, but also toward neighboring flocculi. Hence the whole assemblage of flocculi will break up into subordinate groups, each group concentrating toward its local center of gravity." In very large nebulae, these groups would become stars and systems. 59. Rotation by Precipitation of Irregular Flocculi. The flocculi would have irregular shapes, somewhat like snow- flakes, and, in consequence of this, their motion through the rarer substance of the nebulae towards the center would not be in straight lines, but spiral or oblique. "What now must result when a flocculus having such oblique movement encounters in its progress a medium that is always denser on the side towards the center than on the side away from it? There must perpetually be caused a deflection by the difference of pressure, which will tend to bring the flocculus to one side or other of the common center of gravity. . . . Each flocculus, in describing its spiral *Nature, 34, 432. G9] NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION 89 course, must give motion to the rarer medium through which it is moving. . . . The probabilities are infinity to one against all the motions thus impressed on the rarer medium balancing each other. . . . The inevitable result must be a rotation of the whole mass of the rarer medium in one direction. . . . Preponderating momentum in one di- rection . . . must gradually arrest such flocculi as are moving in opposition, and impress its own motion upon them; and thus there will ultimately be formed a rotating medium with suspended flocculi partaking of its motion." Mr. Spencer's object here is chiefly to show how a rota- tion arises in a riebuluous mass, such as the original solar spheroid. Now, let it be granted that gravitation will approx- imate the mass-atoms; that compound flocculi will consequent- ly be formed; that the flocculi will be of irregular shape; that the central rarer medium will be most dense; and that the direction of motion of the flocculi towards the center will therefore be spiral or oblique all of which are quite open to debate it is still impossible that rotation of the mass as a whole can consequently arise. If, at any distance from the mass-center, flocculi should be drawn towards that center, it is clear that the rarer med- ium through which the flocculi moved would also be attracted towards that center; and although the rarer medium would not have actually approached to the center so much as the floc- culi, yet it would be held to that center firmly by the agency which carried the flocculi inwards. Therefore, from the ut- most distance at which a flocculus would move inwards to the center, the rarer medium through which it moved would be- long to the central mass towards which the flocculus was attracted. In fact, the rarer medium would be the so-called atmosphere of the central mass, and would always appertain and adhere to that mass at least unil the formation of the first vapor-ring. In that case, then, how can any motion of the mass as a whole ever arise? Do not the motions and the irregularities of the motions of the flocculi all arise in the mass itself? And would it not be as rational for us to hold that we could accelerate the Earth's rotation by sliding a large rock down SO OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [59 I he inclined east side of a mountain, or that we could increase the speed of a vessel by blowing upon its sails from a bellows placed in the stern, as to hold that any spontaneous, internal motions of the components of a mass will cause motion of that mass as a whole? Indeed, it is a well-known law the third law of Newton that action and reaction are always exactly equal and opposite. Applying this law to special cases it means that a gun, e. g., when fired, has precisely the same quantity of motion, or momentum, backwards in the recoil as the bullet has forwards, or that the rock which has rolled down the inclined side of a mountain conveys precisely the same amount of motion to the earth at the foot of the moun- tain, in one direction, as it has conveyed to the mountain it- self in the opposite direction during its descent; or, which is a precisely analogous case, that the flocculus in its irregular descent towards the mass-center will transmit just as much and no more motion to the central mass in one direction as it has transmitted in its descent in the opposite direction to the rarer medium through which it fell. The supposed re- sistance offered by the rarer medium to a flocculus on the side next to the center can be nothing more than the mere displacement of the atoms or particles of that medium in one direction simultaneously with the deflection of the flocculus in the opposite direction. The flocculus may, for this illus- tration, be taken to be a solid body, like a marble or ball, which is falling through a vast number of smaller marbles or balls freely suspended in space. The large ball, as it starts upon its downward journey, will, it is supposed, strike against one of the small balls of the rarer medium, and so suffer deflection from its central course. But the small ball is also deflected; and, by the third law of motion, the mo mentum of each ball away from the radius would be precisely equal and opposite; and since every subsequent collision of the large ball with the small balls must be precisely similar in this respect to the first collision, as well as that other flocculi must also be similar in the same respect to this par- 60] NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION 91 ticular flocculus it clearly follows that however much denser may be the central medium, and however irregular may be the downward motion of the flocculus, there can never arise the slightest motion one way or the other that would tend to rotate the gaseous spheroid as a whole. It may be, as Mr. Spencer states, that the probabilities are infinity to one against all the motions impressed upon the rarer medium by the falling flocculi balancing each other. It is equally improbable also that all the motions impressed upon the central mass thereby will balance each other. Ac- cording to Mr. Spencer's theory, therefore, there would be, in all probability, a rotation of the rarer medium and a rotation of the central mass. But what is fatal to this theory is that the third law of motion teaches that the one rotation must be precisely equal to the other. If by mutual friction the two rotations should counteract one another, there would be no preponderance whatever to rotation of the whole mass in any direction; and it would remain in a state of complete rest as respects axial rotation. And, on the other hand, the the- ory of the co-existence of the two rotations is emphatically denied by the uniform direction of the orbital motions of the planets and the axial rotation of the Sun. Mr. Spencer's the- ory seems, therefore, utterly untenable. It wholly fails to as- sign a possible cause for the rotation of the original solar spheroid. And without such rotation, the separation of vapor- rings is, of course, absolutely precluded by the law of gravi- tation. 60. Rotation by Nebular Collisions. Now, if it be impossi- ble that rotation of a vast nebulous mass can arise owing to internal agency, there is yet one, and only one, cause to which such rotation may be ascribed, namely, external agen- cy. Certain scientists hold that rotation would very proba- bly arise in this way; and the premises involved may be ex- amined to see what conclusion may be derived therefrom. (a) Density of the Primordial Vapor. The true ultimate postulate of cosmic evolution, as already intimated, is the one universal medium. This medium, in some way or other, is 92 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [60 supposed to have eventually segregated into the nebulous masses of matter postulated by Laplace. Now, according to current views, no cause for such segregation is conceivable save the attraction of gravity drawing the surrounding mat- ter towards local centers or nuclei; whence would result the nebular masses of which Laplace speaks. One of these mass- es was originally our Solar System, and others became the fixed stars and nebulae of the Sidereal System. Now the interval between the Solar System and the nearest star or nebula is about twenty billions of miles, (the distance of Alpha Centauri), or about seven times the radius of the known Solar System. Assuming that the primordial vapor of the Solar System and of the contiguous systems have contracted at about the same rate, we have half the distance of cur nearest sidereal neighbors, or about three and one-half times the distance of Neptune, as the probable primitive limit of the homogeneous solar substance. To find the corresponding primordial density, we have, then, the total mass of all the principal bodies of the Solar System, about 324,873, and their total volume, about 1,285,833, the Earth being the unit of both mass and volume; consequently, the average densitv of the matter of our system today is 0.2526, the Earth's den- sity being unity. But since the Earth's density is said to be 5.66 times that of water; and since the density of water is 773.28 times that of air, then the present average density of the matter of the Solar System with reference to air is about 1107.* Since volumes vary as the cubes of their like dimen- sions, and the radius of the present total volume, as above, of the Solar System, being about 430,000 miles, and of the primordial solar spheroid about 9,700,000,000 miles, then the present and primitive volumes of the Solar System will be to each other as (43) E and (970,000) 8 , respectively. The original density is, therefore, (43) 3 X1107/(970,000) 3 , or about 10- 1U , that of air being unity, or thirty times less than the most perfect vacuum produced by the Gaede atomic airpump exhausting *Compare Amiuaire du Bureau des Longitudes, 1881. 60] NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION 93 to 1/300,000,000 of an atmosphere; which would be equal to about 1/700,000 of a grain per cubic yard. (b) Conditions of Nebular Condensation. This, according to present ideas, would be the probable density of the original universal medium. And by the attraction of gravitation (if in such a medium a center of attraction is conceivable) this medium began to concentrate around local centers or nuclei. Slowly and gradually the interval between the borders of the contiguous nebulae widened. Having such extreme rarity, the periphery of a nebula would concentrate at equal rates upon all sides ; and this would continue until the interval be- tween neighboring nebulae was very great. How, then, is it possible that motion of a nebula, as a whole, can arise? Con- densation of a nebula towards its center can not surely cause a translation of that nebula in space; and neither can it cause the separation and translation in space of any portion of that nebula. Yet Prof. Alexander Winchell states* that "the most plausible conception of the forming process of nebulae rep- resents them as falling together and acquiring of necessity a rotary motion from an early stage of their existence"; and again he states that owing to these collisions "the chances of the causation of rotary motion are nearly as infinity to unity." And even Sir William Thomson maintained the prob- ability of these collisions, t In another place, J in a statement of an original theory of his own, Prof. Winchell says: "The universal world-stuff is scattered generally through boundless space. Perhaps, as Macvicar and Saigey have sug- gested, this primordial stuff in an extreme state of attenuation is the ether, the medium whose vibrations, according to Dr. Young, striking the retina, produce the sensation of light. Out of this semi-spiritual substance germinates, then, the molecules of common matter. ... It may be, on the other hand, only a highly attenuated condition of ordinary matter, or matter in a state of ultimate dissociation. This characteristic world-stuff, born out of ether, in the depths * World-Life, p. 170. tNature, 35, 299. JWorld-Life, pp. 65-6. 94 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [61 of space, or however born, strewn through the depths of space, is acted upon by forces of attraction and probably of repulsion. The material particles, either as atoms, or less probably as molecules, are drawn by mutual attraction into groups and swarms." This is essentially the same view of nebular evolution as that just described in the preceding pages, and in logical ac- cordance with which it is wholly incomprehensible how "the collisions of nebular masses," which Prof. Winchell so con- fidently postulates, can arise. It is somewhat strange that Prof. Winchell did not attempt to explain the cause of these collisions, although he states that the difficulty of nebular rotation which he sought to explain by them "has often balked belief in the nebular theory of the origin of the solar system." It certainly is no explanation of nebular rotations to say that they are caused by still more inexplicable nebular collisions. Such attempts at explanation may be consistent with the idea of "the ever-present activity of an intelligent personality con- trolling and effectuating all the operations of nature;"* but it hardly seems consistent with the idea of natural causation. 61. Rotation by the Attraction of Distant Masses). Two other external causes of nebular rotation may be noticed, namely, the attraction of distant masses upon amorphous neb- ular forms and the attraction of distant masses upon precip- itating nebular particles. With respect to the first, it may be said that such amor- phous forms are themselves incompatible with the theory of gravitation. How vapor of such extreme tenuity, condensing on all sides upon an attracting center, could assume an ir- regular form can not be explained. Moreover we have no certain proof that such forms exist. The apparent irregular forms of nebulae may be entirely owing to their immense dis- tance from us, coupled with our own feebleness of vision. With respect to the other alleged cause of nebular rotation it may be said that the external masses which would influence a falling particle are so very distant from, and so nearly uni- formly distributed around, the Solar System, that the prepon- *World-Life, p. 94. 62] NEBULAR ROTATION AND TRANSLATION 95 derance of attraction, if any at all existed, must be so infin- itesimal as to require almost an eternity to deviate the path of a particle a single hair's-breadth. Moreover, if we only enter into the details, we shall find that there really can not exist any preponderance of external attraction tending to ro- tation of a nebula. For, granting that an external attraction did exist, which measurably deflected the path of a falling particle towards the center from which this perturbing force emanated, it is manifest that the tailing particles in the op- posite hemisphere of the nebula would be acted upon with precisely the same energy and effect by this perturbing at- traction. And the particles being equally deflected towards the same point, and moving in opposite directions, just what the deflection of the particles of one hemisphere tended to rotate the nebula in one direction, just so much precisely would the deflection of the particles of the opposite hemi- sphere tend to rotate it in the opposite direction, and both tendencies would exactly balance. And similarly also with all other external attractions, so that not even an infinitesi- mal preponderance of perturbing attraction could exist avail- able for nebular rotation. Yet Sir Robert Stawell Ball says: "There is no difficulty in conceiving how a nebula, quite independently of any in- ternal motion of its parts, shall also have as a whole a move- ment of rotation."* 62. Discordance of the Theory with the Facts. But never- theless, nebular rotation is a fact a fact which it is not at all attempted here to deny; for it is simply endeavored to be shown that the current theory does not furnish any rational explanation of it. Moreover, nebular rotation is not an ul- timate or final fact like the existence of matter or of force, any more than rotation of the Earth is an ultimate fact. If the idea of rotation were applied to the material universe as a whole, the claim would then logically apply that this rota- tion was an ultimate, and therefore an inexplicable, fact. But it seems really absurd to claim that the rotation and trans- *Ency. Britt. Art. "Astronomy." 96 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [62 lation of discrete masses of matter, such as the solar spher- oid and the innumerable similar masses in the Sidereal Sys- tem, are ultimate facts in the case of each body. Such a lavish application of the idea of finality is simply an indi- cation of poverty of knowledge of the proximate facts of Na- ture in the theory which unavoidably resorts to it, and the same remarks equally apply to nebular collisions; but, as al- ready intimated, such collisions, in the early stages of neb- ular evolution, should be regarded as very improbable, to say the least. It seems far more probable that the Solar System, stars, and nebulae have each a proper orbital motion and that their' relative distances are generally invariable beyond cer- tain limits, much like the planets of our own system a mod- ification of the views of Kant, Herschel, and Laplace. These two facts of nebular translation and nebular rotation must surely have had a natural cause; that is, they must have been brought about by the action of natural forces precisely in the same manner as other natural phenomena, with which we are familiar. And the action of these forces in producing such simple effects in such a multitude of cases ought not to be beyond our comprehension in the case of a nebula a whit more than in the case of more familiar phenomena, if only the in- investigation takes place equally in each case upon a basis of facts. CHAPTER VIII PROJECTION OF PLANETRINGS Even the great Newton pretended to see the finger of God in the tangential or lateral motion of the stars; and Laplace himself could not refrain from exclaiming "O philos- opher, show me the hand which has thrown the planets on the tangents of their orbits!" BUCHNER. Berzelius laid down the following principle: The test of the truth of a theory is that it should harmonize the par- ticular instance with the whole system of science; for the laws of nature are always consistent with one another. Now if you advance a principle which makes an exception of what was before consistent with scientific ideas, logic pronounces against you. R. MELDOLA. Obstinate adherence to things antiquated and irreconcil- able with advancing knowledge and thought, may repel, and forever, how many, I know not; how far, I know still less. Avertat omen Deus. DEAN MILMAN. 63. Modification of the Radial and the Tangential Forces by Contraction. But let us assume the existence of nebular rotation. In defense of such assumptions it is sometimes claimed, as already intimated, that we always arrive sooner or later at Questions of origin, which must for the time being remain unanswered. But the validity of this defense, except in the case of a proved ultimate fact, ought not to be allowed, as has just been shown. And neither should it be allowed, according with Prof. A. Winchell, e. g., that "many different modes of action, for the production of a particular result are possible''; but choose rather to hold that there can be but one correct explanation and one possible cause of any par- ticular phenomenon, and that all other explanations of it are precluded by the true one. It is not meant that a combination of effects, such as determine the Earth's orbit, may not have a combination of causes, some of which, from their small- ness, may remain for a time undetermined. But the simple fact of the Earth's orbital motion (or the equally simple fact 98 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [63 of nebular rotation) can obviously have but the one true gen- eral explanation. But merely for the sake of examining the nebular hypoth- esis a few steps further, let the tatement of Helmholtz be conceded, that nebular rotation "must be assumed." Taking the case of the original solar spheroid, and supposing either, with Laplace, that it consists of a brilliant and dense nucleus surrounded by a rare nebulosity or atmosphere, or, with M. Faye, that it consists of a globular nebula gradually increas- mg in density from circumference to center; and granting its axial rotation, let us see if, according to current scientific views, the alleged vapor-rings could possibly be generated. Evidently the centrifugal tendency at the equator of the spheroid, owing to its axial rotation, must have been less than the power of the central attraction prior to the genesis of the first ring. If this be granted, as, in fact, it must be and is by every supporter of the nebular hypothesis, then it can be shown that the more the spheroid contracts its volume, the less relatively to the central attraction will become the cen- trifugal tendency, thus making the projection of a vapor-ring an impossibility. Suppose, for illustration, that the initial velocity of the spheroid's equatorial surface was one mile per second; and suppose that subsequently the spheroid con- tracted to about one-third of its original diameter, or to the orbit of Neptune; then, by the law of gravitation, the central attraction at the smaller radius would be nine times as power- ful as at the original radius; and, not only this, but at the smaller radius the surface is only one-ninth what it was at the larger radius; so that nine times the attraction upon the original surface, is, after contraction, concentrated upon one- ninth of that original surface, and therefore the central attrac- tion upon a unit of the contracted surface is eighty-one times as great as upon an equal unit of the original surface.* The centrifugal tendency would also become more powerful, but in a much smaller ratio; for the absolute velocity of the equatorial surface, as we have seen (Art. 41), would still be *J. Homer Lane, Am. Jour. Sci., July, 1870; A. Winchell, WorlcU Life, p. 84; Newcomb's Pop. Astron., p. 520. 64] PROJECTION OF PLANET-RINGS 99 no greater than one mile per second. And as the centrifugal force varies as the square of the velocity divided by the ra- dius, it follows that, while the central attraction becomes eighty-one times as powerful owing to this shrinkage of the spheroid, the centrifugal or ring-making tendency becomes only three times as powerful. In other words, the central attraction increases as the fourth power of the radius dimin- ishes, while the centrifugal tendency increases simply as the first power of the radius diminishes. And even if all that the current theory claims in this respect be granted, the cen- trifugal tendency would increase only as the square of the radius diminishes. Thus it is clearly seen that, whatever the radius of the spheroid would be, the central attraction is al- ways in excess of the centrifugal tendency. And the greater the concentration of the spheroid, the less powerful relatively to the central attraction becomes the centrifugal, or ring-pro- ducing, force. This appears to dispose of the theory of gravitation com- pletely as accounting for the projection of rings from the original spheroid. According to that theory, the central at- traction increases as the square of the radius of the spheroid diminishes; and the centrifugal tendency increases at the same rate as the central attraction. Then where is the force that causes the projection of the ring, since both of the prin- cipal forces increase at the same rate? If there were no other consideration than this alone, the projection of rings would be quite inexplicable by the theory. But, as just seen, the central attraction increases, not, as the square of the ra- dius diminishes, but as the fourth power of the radius dimin- ishes; and it appears also that the centrifugal force would increase only as the first power of the radius diminishes. 64. T,he Generation of a Repulsive Force, or Heat, by Con- traction. It is sometimes assumed that a third force acts upon an equatorial particle of a spheroid a force of repulsion urg- ing the particle from the center. The difficulty of conceiving how this force of repulsion for the particle can emanate from 100 OBJECTIONS TO VHE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [64 sister particles from which in the same moment emanates a force of attraction for the particle, has already been refer- red to. Prof. Simon Newcomb, speaking of the Sun's heat, says: "As his globe cools off it must contract, and the heat gen- erated by this contraction will suffice to make up almost the entire loss."* Speaking of a gaseous body, he again says: "The more heat such a body loses the hotter it will be- come. By losing heat a gaseous body contracts, and the heat generated by the contraction exceeds that which it had to lose in order to produce the contraction. "f This doctrine is known as "Lane's Law." In plain words, it means that cooling causes contraction and contraction causes heat; or, briefly, cooling causes heat. In fact a little cooling causes a great deal of heat. In a gaseous body, ac- cording to Prof. Newcomb, the loss of heat to cause contrac- tion is less than the gain of heat which that contraction gen- erates ; from which it would seem that the more a body cooled, the hotter it would get; and from which, if any conclusion whatever is allowable from such apparently absurd premises, it would follow that such a body could never cool, and there- fore never contract, at all. Yet in view of all the insurmount- able difficulties here pointed out, Sir William Thomson, Pres- ident of the Royal Society of Edinburgh, communicated a paper, March 7, 1887, to that Society, stating that in the light of thermo-dynamical principles Laplace's theory is seen to be, not a mere plausible theory, but a statement of actual fact. He has not, indeed, committed himself to the foregoing view of Prof. Newcomb and others, for in a lecture upon the Sun's heat} he assumes that his hearers are no longer misled by such a delusion. Still he maintains that the heat generated by the Sun's contraction owing to cooling differs so little from, as to be practically equivalent to, the heat that is radiated *Pop. Astion., 6th! ed. p. 519-20. tlbid. J Royal Institution, London, Jan. 21, 1887. f,5] PROJECTION OP PLANET-KINGS 101 from the Sun at the same time.* But this view appears to be only a little more logical, or rather a little less illogical, than the other. For if the gain and the loss of heat at the Sun's surface are practically equivalent, how can fhe Sun cool at all so as to admit of contraction? Now if it be held that the gain of heat generated by con- traction does not exceed the loss of heat necessary to cause that contraction (which is the view of Thomson, Siemens, Lockyer, Helmholtz, Williams, etc.), then it obviously follows that the force of repulsion (or the heat) after contraction is no greater than it was before contraction; which for the pres- ent purpose wholly eliminates this agent as a factor in the generation of planet-rings upon the bosom of the solar spher- oid. And therefore the tendency to the projection of such rings from the contracted surface of that spheroid as com- pared with the tendency to non-projection of such rings, or adherence of all matter to the spheroid itself, remains as de- termined by the centrifugal force of rotation and the central force of attraction; that is, as the first power of the con- tracted radius is to its fourth power, in favor of the latter, supposing that the tendency to projection and to non-projec- tion were equal, or balanced, at the original surface. 65. Conflicting Theories of Ring-Projection. In further illustration of the chaotic confusion to which the nebular hy- pothesis, subject to the law of gravitation, leads, it may be remarked that Sir David Brewster approved a calculation by M. Babinet that when the solar spheroid had contracted to the present orbit of the Earth, its period of rotation, accord- ing to the nebular hypothesis (assuming the accepted solar density and equal angular velocity of all parts) must have been 3,181 years! although the Earth itself, which by the same hypothesis was but a portion of the solar surface at that time, performs its annual revolution in one year! Mr. Herbert Spencer disapproved of such calculations, and remarked upon *Macmillan's Magazine, March 1862. and Thomson and Tait's Natur- al Philosophy, Appendix E 102 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [65 "the extreme difficulty, if not impossibility, of subjecting the nebular hypothesis to mathematical treatment."* M. Faye, disbelieving the possibility of ring-projection ac- cording to the conceptions of Laplace, says: "By the intervention of heat and the play of centrifugal force, Laplace caused to be produced a totally different dis- tribution of the mass and of its movements. This corre- sponds, to a certain extent, with what we see. But thia in- tervention of heat is itself pure hypothesis. To justify it we must suppose, with Poisson, that there are in the universe regions with very different temperatures, and that the prim- itive globe, by virtue of its motion of translation, had passed into one of the hottest." f But he assigns no cause whatever for such ring-projection according to the somewhat different conceptions from that of Laplace which he himself entertains of the solar spheroid. He gets over the difficulty thus: "If, then, trains of matter somewhat circular, in a word, rings like those of Saturn, become finally established in the bosom of the nebula" with- out attempting to assign the slightest physical cause of their becoming so established. Another view by Phillip Spiller is that the planets are pro- jected out from a liquid Sun by the centrifugal force of ro- tation and a tidal swell caused by another body; that Saturn was projected by the tidal swell caused by Uranus; that Ura- nus was projected by the tidal swell caused by Neptune.$ But the projection of Neptune itself is not accounted for; and it is moreover disputed by modern astronomers that even now the Sun has attained a liquid condition. And Prof. R. A. Proc- tor expressed his belief upon the subject as follows: "No one who applies the laws of physics, as at present known, to the theory of the simple contraction of a great neb- ulous mass formerly extending far beyond the orbit of Nep- tune, till, when planet after planet had been thrown off, the sun was left in his present form and condition in the center, will fail to perceive enormous difficulties in the hypothesis. *First Principles, p. 365. tComptes Rendus, March 22, 1880. $Prof. Gr. H. Darwin held a nearly similar view concerning the re- tirement of the lunar mass from the semi-fluid Earth. 66] PROJECTION OF PLANET-RINGS 103 . , . Has it ever occured, I often wonder, to those who glibly quote the nebular theory as originally propounded, to inquire how far some of the processes suggested by JLaplace are in accordance with the now known laws of physics?"* And what is Prof. Proctor's improvement upon the Laplac- ean conception? Simply the addition of accretion to contrac- tion, and an assumption of a central nucleus and subordinate nuclei with independent motions! an assumption which, al- though apparently countenanced by men of such eminence as Kant, Sir W. Herschel, and Herbert Spencer, is so manifestly improbable that it need not here be discussed. As already stated, the theory of Laplace is the one now generally accepted. M. Wolf in his Cosmogonic Hypotheses shows that, as completed by the labors of M. Roche and other savants, that theory still answers best to the conditions re- quired of a cosmogonic hypothesis. These criticisms, as al- ready intimated, are not directed at it, but almost entirely to the application thereto of the theory of gravitation. 66. Discordance of the Theory With the Facts. From all points of view, then, the nebular hypothesis, as subject to the theory of gravitation, seems rationally unapproachable. If we ask how the nebular primordial rotation originated, we find that every assignable cause eludes rational conception. Whether it be the centerward spiral movement of irregular flocculi through a rarer atmosphere, the collisions of nebular masses, or the various attractions of distant nebular masses either upon the concentrating particles of a nebula, or upon amorphous nebular forms each such assignable agency, when ultimately analyzed, proves to be entirely visionary. Yet it is undeniable that such rotation must actually have existed. And, for the moment, granting the existence of primordial rotation as an ultimate fact, when we inquire how this rota- tion became accelerated so as to project the planets outwards from the solar spheroid, we are met by equally unsurmount- able difficulties. For, if we assume the agency to be con- traction of the spheroid, we find that such contraction in- *Humbcldt Library cf Science, III, 351. 104 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [66 creases the central attraction much more rapidly than it does the tangential, or ring-producing, force; if we assume the generation of a repulsive force, or Jieat, by such contraction, it leads us to the self-contradictory conclusion that the cooling of the solar spheroid engendered a more intense degree of heat than that which existed before the cooling began. While we know that nebular rotation, translation, and acceleration of the tangential velocity of rotation must have taken place and muse have* had physical causes, it seems that all our in- quiries after such causes are utterly baffled by some ever- present preconception which enters the fabric or our thoughts, or upon which our inquiries are based; and this ever-present premise is evidently none other than the theory of universal gravitation. There really can be scarcely a doubt of the truth of the nebular hypothesis. Sir Robert S. Ball himself admitted that, "if the direction of movement" of all the bodies of the Solar System "were merely decided by chance, the probability against such an arrangement" (the present arrangement) " is represented by the ratio of unity to a number containing about eighty figures." Yet the only explanation of the pres- ent arrangement is furnished by the nebular hypothesis or some near modification of it. But we know the nebular hy- pothesis lies in inextricable difficulties at the present time and we know moreover that the only company it has kept is the law of gravitation and a few subordinate laws dependent thereon. CHAPTER IX THE IDEA OF FORCE Matter is not that "mere empty capacity which philoso- phers have pictured her to be, but the universal mother who brings forth all things as the fruit of her own womb." BKUNO. We can thus, by a touch, call into action at will an in- definite number of stresses, and put them again out of ex- istence as easily. This, of itself, is a very strong argument against the supposition that force in any form can have ob- jective reality. PROF. P. G. TAIT. All our experience, without a single exception, enforces the proposition that no body moves in any direction, or in any way, except when some other body in contact with it presses upon it. The action is direct. In a letter from New- ton to his friend Bentley, he says: "It must not be forgotten that energy is not a simple factor, but is always a product of two factors: a mass with a velocity, a mass with a temper- ature, a quantity of electricity with a pressure, and so on. One may sometimes meet the statement that matter and energy are the two realities; both are spoken of as entities. It is much more philosophical to speak of matter and motion; for in the absence of motion there is no energy, and the en- ergy varies as the amount of motion; and furthermore, to understand any manifestation of energy one must inquire what kind of motion is involved." PROF. E. A. DOLtfEAR. The aim and effort of science is to explain the unknown in terms of the* known. Explanation, therefore, is condition- ed by knowledge. . . . Instead of introducing light into our minds, this hypothesis considered scientifically increases our darkness. You do not in this case explain the unknown in terms of the known, which as stated above, is the method of science, but you explain the unknown in terms of the more unknown. JOHN TYNDALL. 67. Force and Gravity. This part of the present work was commenced by asking What is the law of gravitation? and it may fittingly be closed with another question What is gravity ? 106 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OP GRAVITATION [67 According to the theory of gravitation, gravity is an en- tity called force. What is force? We understand the term when applied to denote a mode, such as strength or violence of action or impact; but as an entity, a thing, we really have no conception of it. It seems to be merely a, cloak with which to cover our ignorance; nothing more. The entity, force, is supposed to be something that ema- nates from bodies as a sort of spiritual aura or atmosphere which extends outwards in all directions into space whether empty or full of matter, and so causing these bodies to act where they themselves do not exist. But all our experience tarnishes no analogue of this and therefore it is quite beyond our comprehension. Even Newton himself, in his Bentley Letters, emphatically disavows this idea. In his third letter he says: "That gravity should be innate, inherent and essential to matter so that one body may act upon another at a distance through a vacuum without the mediation of anything else, by and through which their action and force may be con- veyed from one to another, is to me so great an absurdity, that I believe no man who has in philosophical matters a competent faculty of thinking can ever fall into it." Before the British Association, Sept. 8, 1876, Prof. Tait said : "Why two masses of matter possess potential energy when separated, in virtue of which they are conveniently said to attract one another is still one of the most obscure problems in physics." So also Prof. Challis: "Actio in distans does not admit of being explained by any previous or concomitant knoledge, but if it be a reality, must forever remain incomprehensible."* "But no scientific theory is final until its ultimate postu- late is inconceivable. . . . For if the successively deeper interpretations of nature which constitute advancing knowl- edge are merely successive inclusions of special truths in general truths, and general truths in truths still more general, it obviously follows that the most general truth, not admitting *Phil. Mag., 1859, 13, 451. 67 J THE IDEA OF FORCE lOT of inclusion in any other, does not admit of interpretation. Manifestely as the most general cognition at which we can arrive can not be reduced to a more general one, it can not be understood. The deepest truth which we can get at must be unaccountable."* It is indeed true that continued explanation will at length bring us to the inexplicable; but this does not appear to be a sufficient reason why we should permit our imagination to multiply inexplicables unnecessarily. There must of ne- cessity be one thing that is incomprehensible, but it by no means follows from this that there must be two. Yet the ultimate nature of matter is inexplicable, and here is added to it the inexplicable entity, force. Now master is some- thing which we know to exist, if we know anything; and no one has yet observed, or even conceived the idea of, force separate from matter. Prof. P. G. Tait says: "Till we know what the ultimate nature of matter is, it will be premature to speculate a"s to the ultimate nature of force." t We know that matter exists. We do not know that matter is incapable of performing all the functions ascribed to force, because we do not know the ultimate nature and capabilities of matter at all. It is not explanation and it is not science or logic to endeavor to explain a certain entity or action by the supposi- tion ot another entity, not only less certain, but even incon- ceivable. "In physics we should banish the practice of explaining phenomena by chimerical principles more obscure than those presented for investigation. "$ It is far more in accordance with the law of parsimony, everywhere manifested throughout Nature, that this inex- plicable and superfluous idea of force should be abandoned. Many brilliant students of Nature have endeavored to do this, even Newton himself as we have just seen in his third Bently letter. "Maxwell established the mathematical validity of the way *Horbert Spencer, First Principles, (Second Edition) p. 73. tNorth British Review, Feb. 1864. JJohn Bernouilli, Oper Omnia, sec. 32. p. 288. 108 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [67 in which Faraday was accustomed to represent to himself the mechanical interactions across space."* "In 1845, Lord Kelvin was already mathematically formu- lating with most suggestive success^ continuous elastic con- nections by whose strain the fields of electric currents .. . would be illustrated. And so also Prof. Tait, to whom, as every one knows, or should know, we owe the first clear demonstration of the dogma that force has no objective ex- istence."t But after all, the old so-called Newtonian idea of attractive force is the accepted idea today. Newton himself in later years returned to it "as if driven back from every assault to the only retreat which in earlier years he had stigmatized as 'so great an absurdity' that no competent thinker could 'ever fall into it.' "J Lord Kelvin also confessed that gravi- tation "was a fundamental fact behind which it was impossible to get." And Wm. B. Taylor, after summarizing various theories, says : "Gravitation, therefore, is not a motion; nor is it thte product of any motion. We are forced to the conclusion, how- eveit 'unable to conceive' the fact, that it is really an actio in distans, and that infinitum; that it is a force, a faint re- flex of its Author, instantaneously omnipresent." And, later, after a thorough discussion of all the views on gravitation of about all the philosophers of modern times, he says || that the usual statement of the law of gravitation "after two centuries of busy thought and daring specula- tion, still remains the largest, . clearest, surest, yet attained by man; and with each revolving year new demonstrations of its absolute precision and of its universal domination serve only to fill the mind with added wonder and with added con- fidence in the stability and the supremacy of the power, in Wihich has been found no variableness, neither shadow of turning, but which is the same yesterday, today and forever." Some one has said that the more absurd and inexplicable, if not even ridiculous, a doctrine appears to be, the more ad- *Nature, 46, 62, 463. fNature, 46, 98 $Wm. B. Taylor. Gravitation, p. 5; Smith. Kept., 1876. Royal Society, London; Dec. 17, 1900. Nature and Origin of Force; Smith. Rept., 1870. H Smith. Rept., 1876. 67] THE IDEA OF FORCE 109 herents it usually receives. Mr. Taylor says:* "It may be a fact of natural law that everything 'acts where it is not' . . and certainly there is no difficulty in believing it." Yet he quotes exactly such difficulty in the cases of many of the greatest intellects of the scientific world! There is some excuse, however, for reluctance in giving up the theory of gravity. Its propounders and supporters are among the greatest leaders of human thought; it has long been generally accepted; and there appears today not even a straw to cling to if it were cast away. But after all, this only serves to emblazon all the more the honor and respect we owe the few who preferred to drift with their conscience wherever it might lead, rather than to grasp and lean upon a doctrine which they felt morally cer- tain was baseless and without foundation in fact. Several such have already been quoted. This is an honor to which every one of them is justly entitled; and a fitting conclusion to the first Part of this work is the quotation of a few more. "In all cases where physical motion is involved, however, I would have a medium sought for; it may not be matter, but it must be something; there must be a connecting link of some kind, or transference cannot occur. There can be no attraction across really empty space; even when a mate- rial link exists, so that the connection is obvious, the explan- ation is not complete, for when the mechanism of attraction is understood, it will be found that a body really only moves because it is pushed by something from behind." f "For mathematical purposes it has sometimes been con- venient to treat a problem as if one body could act upon an- other without any physical medium between them; but such conception has no degree of rationality, and I know of no one who believes in that as a fact. If this be granted, then our philosophy agrees with our experience, and every body moves because it is pushed, and the mechanical ante- cedent of every kind of phenomenon is to be looked for in some adjacent body possessing energy that is, the ability to push or produce pressure." $ "Smith. Eept., 1876. tDr. Oliver Lodgf. Discourse, Royal Institution, London, Feb. 21, 1908. JFrof. A. E. Dolboar, Nature, 55, &6. 130 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [67 " 'The very idea of attractive force/ as Prof. Brucke re- marks, 'includes that of action at a distance/ No principle will ever be generally received that stands in opposition to the old adage, 'A thing cannot act where it is not,' any more than it would were it to stand in opposition to that other adage, 'A thing cannot act before it is, or when it is not.' . . . The attraction theory is also in opposition to the principle of the conservation of force, as has been shown I think clearly by Faraday.* ... If the force of gravity does not sustain any loss as work is performed by it, what then is it that is supposed to sustain the loss? Some form of energy must diminish as work is performed: and if it be not gravity, it must be something else."f '.'I admit that two bodies separated by an absolute void cannot act on each other; that action takes place only by contact, the play of forces following the laws of ordinary mechanics. "$ "It may be said that force like this (pressure of sunlight) must alter our ordinary ideas of gravitation. " "Though the term attraction may have been occasionally used in the above to denote the tendency of bodies to ap- proach, the line of conclusions here indicated tends to argue that there is no such thing as attraction in the sense of a pulling force, and that two utterly isolated bodies cannot in- fluence one another." "The usual idea of force implies direct action at a distance. . . . This idea of gravity appears to me to ignore entirely the principle of the conservation of force. . . For my own part, many considerations urge my mind towards the idea of a cause of gravity which is not resident in the particles of matter merely, but constantly in them and in all space. I would much rather incline to believe that bodies affecting each other by gravitation act by lines of force of definite amount, by an ether affecting all parts of space, than admit that the conservation of force could be dispensed with."|| "I cannot but suspect that his speculations on this mys- terious action at a distance contributed not a little to the leading of the great English mathematician into the obscure labyrinth of mystic dreams and theistic superstition in which he passed the last thirty-four years of his life. We find him * James Croll, L. E.D. Phil. Mag., 1867, 34, 450-1. tlbid, Loc. Cit., 1376, 2, 242. JM. Lecoq de Boisl>adron, Comptes Rendus, 49, 703. Prof. Wm. Crookes, Quarterly Journal Sci., April, 1876, p. 254. Prof. Frederick Guthrie, L. E. D. Phil. Mag. 1870, 40, 354. HProf. Michael Faraday, L. E. D. Phil. Mag., 1857, 13, 228. 67] THE IDEA OF FORCE 111 at the end, giving metaphysical hpotheses on the predictions of Daniel and on the paradoxical fantasies of St. John."* "Let us confine ourselves to the bodies we meet with on the surface of the earth. Every one admits that these would tall downward, unless they were supported. Now the question turns on the real cause of this fall. Some say it is the earth wttiich attracts these bodies, by an inherent power natural to it: others that it is the aether, or some other subtile or invisible matter, which impels the body downward, so that the effect is nevertheless the same in both cases. This last opinion is most satisfactory to those who are fond of clear principles in philosophy, as they do not see how two bodies at a distance can act upon each other if there be nothing between them. . . . Let us suppose that before the cre- ation of the world, God had created only two bodies, at a distance from each other; that absolutely nothing existed be- tween them, and that they were in a state of rest: would it be possible for the one to approach the other, or for them to have a propensity to approach? Whence could arise the de- sire of approaching? These are perplexing questions. But if you suppose that the intermediate space is filled with a subtile matter, we can comprehend at once that this matter may act upon the bodies by impelling them. The effect would be the same as if they possessed a power of mutual attrac- tion. Now as we know that the whole space which separates the heavenly bodies is filled with a subtile matter called aether, it seems more reasonable to ascribe the mutual at- traction of the bodies to an action which the aether exer- cises over them, though its manner of acting may be un- known to us, than to have recourse to an unintelligible prop- erty. ... As the idea of all occult qualities is now ban- ished from philosopny, attraction ought not to be considered in this sense. : 't "If there is anything certain in the world, it is that mole- cules of bodies and bodies themselves are not really self- attractive; it is that attraction is not an intrinsic but a de- veloped force; it is that notwithstanding everything occurs as though bodies mutually attracted each other, it is in- contestably true that bodies do not so attract. Newton, as Eu- ler as every philosopher worthy of the name has seen in nature but two things, inertia and motion. . . . And it is with these two great facts of inertia and movement that advancing science shall ultimately explain all the phenomena of the physical world. "J *Prof. Ernst Haeckel, The Riddle of the Universe, p. 217. tLeonard Euler, Letters, Letter 68, Oct. 18, 1860. JMarc Seguin, as interpreted by Abbe Moigno, Cosmos, Vol. 1, pp. 693-4. 112 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION [68 68. Summary of Part I. In the beginning of this investi- gation of the theory of gravitation, it was found that, strangely enough, scientific authorities were about equally divided be- tween two different statements of e^en the main principle of that theory, the law of gravitation; and, stranger still, that upon close examination, either statement of that law leads to self -contradictory and irrational results. According to this law, doubling the Moon's mass, or doubling the Earth's mass, has precisely the same effect on the mutual attraction ot these bodies; or even doubling an atom has the same mu- tual attractive effect as doubling the rest of the universe. Its assumption of a location at the center of spheres for the starting-point of its influnece is mathematically shown to be untenable. Its assertion that gravity should decrease beneath the Earth's surface is contrary to the results of actual obser- vation. It annihilates half the path of a body falling towards the Earth's center to form its theory of elliptic motion. It wholly fails to account for the great velocities of the "run- away stars", which it is its province to govern. The amount of heat to which it restricts the Sun in past ages does not, from its own view-point, account for a tenth of the period of the Earth's encrusted development. The gravitative effect it is supposed to exert upon a revolving planet or satellite to maintain it in its orbit is much greater than appears to be needed for that purpose; its requirement being based upon the mass of the revolving body, whereas it apparently should be based upon its weight. It assigns no physical cause for the enormous changes of climate upon the Earth's surface implied by the Carboniferous and Ice Ages. It alleged its complete explanation of all the anomalies of planetary and lunar motions, while at the same time it was entirely unaware of the powerful perturbing agency of sunlight pressure. In the problem of three bodies it breaks down so completely that only the most fragmentary explanation of this problem has ever been attempted by its exponents; the motion of the Moon in its orbit around the Earth being absolutely impos- 6&1 THE IDEA OF FORCE 11H sible in accordance with its sway. Its subordinate law of equal areas in equal times, by means of which it presumes to govern the planetary motions, was found to be without founda- tion in fact; so that even the simple problem of two bodies is wholly inexplicable by it. The tides in the aerial ocean and upon isolated lakes and seas repudiate its claim as a chief causal agent; and the mode of its causation of the .ocean tides is seen to be wholly at variance with mechanical principles. The temperature it assigned to the Sun is shown by actual observation to be vastly exaggerated. The distribu- tion of the solar heat which it prescribes for the whole of the Earth's surface at aphelion and perihelion, and for portions of the Earth's surface at all times, is indisputably at variance with the observed facts ; and the amount of heat it should send out to the planet Mars is far exceeded by the heat which act- ual observation of that planet predictates. In the evolution of the Solar System it affords no explanation of the rotation of the solar spheroid, and, even if this rotation were granted, it absolutely precludes all separation of planetary rings and, consequently, all development into the present systemic com- plexity. And, finally, from inquiry into the nature of the agent itself the force of gravity by means of which the the- ory of gravitation is supposed to act, it was found to be wholly incomprehensible; emanating from a body through empty space to indefinite or even infinite distances and acting there without any intervening material connection; ceaselessly ac- complishing work, it matters not how much or how little, yet ever without the least diminution of its energy and power, without the least regard to the law of the conservation of energy; infinite and eternal; a lawless philosophical dream; a stupendous scientific miracle; a Creator! Goethe, one of the greatest of poets and an indefatigable student of Nature in all her fields, is quoted by Dr. Shoepfer in a lecture in Berlin as follows: "In whatever way or manner may have occured this busi- ness, I must still say that I curse this modern theory of cos- monogy, and hope that perchance there may appear in due 114 OBJECTIONS TO THE THEORY OF GRAVITATION rfig time some young scientist of genius who will pick up courage enough to upset this universally disseminated delirium of lunatics. The terrible thing in all this is that one is obliged to repeatedly hear the assurance that all the physicists ad- here to the same opinion on this Question."* There are, indeed, portions of the phenomena of Nature to which the law of gravitation apparently applies with per- fect fitness, namely, the action of gravity on, and to some extent above, the Earth's surface, and to certain relations, considered by themselves, of the motions of planets and sat- ellites around their primaries; and these phenomena are so conspicuous and common in our daily experience, and they appear to corroborate the law so well, that it to a large de- gree excuses the centuries of faith in its credibility. But now, when we see how completely it fails to account for the ordinary phenomena in these same fields in other relations, as shown in the preceding pages, we surely are justified in suspecting its veracity, and replacing it, if possible, by some substitute which will not only account for all that it appears to account for, but also for all that it does not account for. To accomplish this will be the aim and purpose of the following pages. And this accomplishment will be attempted wholly without the aid of any attractive or repulsive force, or any force-entity whatsoever, or action at a distance, or occult quality of any kind. The basic elements to be em- ployed are simple and familiar to all matter, motion, space, and time, of which alone all the phenomena of Nature, with- out exception, appear to be built up. *Scientific American Supplement, No. 121, p. 1927. PART II THE CONNECTIVE THEORY In Nature's infinite book of secrecy, a little I can read. SHAKESPEARE. CHAPTER I PREMISES AND PRINCIPLES Clausius suggested* that the atoms or groups of atoms constituting a molecule revolve around one another similarly to planets, and are sometimes nearer to and sometimes far- ther from each other. The difference between the infinitely great and the infinitely little is only one of degree. The motions of the solar system and that of a molecule of water are similar. These motions are imparted to and transmitted by the ether, and they are again taken up by matter. One kind of waves gives us light, another radiant heat, another magnetism and electrification. They move at a rate of 192, 000 miles per second. MR. W. H. PREECE. It seems to me that just as atoms may be structures built up of sub-atoms of some kind, and just as molecules of gases are built up of atoms variously linked together, it is reasonable to conceive that molecules might combine to form aggregates, particularly when constituting solids; that as the sub-atoms may be conceived to have a combining valency and the atoms are already accredited with this property, and in addition, as is supposed with Thiele's partial or Werner's auxiliary valencies molecules may have valencies also whereby to combine into molecular aggregates. PROF. A. SEN1ER. Valency is that property by which an atom attracts to itself other atoms, or radicals, and its numerical value is deduced from the structural formulae of compounds in which the atom occurs. Glaus seems to have been the first to rec- *Pogg. Ann., CLVI, 618. 116 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [70 ognize that this attraction between two atoms is not a con- stant, but depends on the nature of the other atoms or radi- cals in the molecule. . . . Valency may, therefore, vary from compound to compound; it is known to alter under the influence of change in temperature, as, for example, when carbon dioxide or phosphorous pentachloride undergoes ther- mal dissociation. PROF. W. P. WYNNE. 69. Molecular Bonds. When one elementary substance unites chemically with another, the union generally takes place between certain proportions of each element. One atom of chlorine, e. g., unites with a single atom of hydrogen, one atom of zinc with two of hydrogen, one of boron with three, one of silicon with four, one of phosphorous with five, atoms of hydrogen; which substances are consequently called monad, dyad, triad, tetrad, or pentad, respectively. One atom of a monad can combine with but one atom of another monad; one atom of dyad can combine with one atom of another dyad, or with two monad atoms; one atom of a triad with onu atom of another triad, with one atom of a dyad and one monad atom, or with three monad atoms; and so on. There are var- iations of this rule owing to change of temperature and other causes; but there always remains a certain degree of fixity in it. The number of these "atomic bonds", or "units of af- finity", possessed by an element profoundly affects not only its combining value, but also the photo-electric effect of light upon it, the amount of its specific heat, the quantity of elec- tricity each of its atoms yields in a galvanic battery, and many other physical properties. These bonds appear to ap- ply to molecules as well as to atoms; and the supposition here to be made is that such bonds are material and extend, not only Detween atoms, sub-atoms, and molecules, but also be- tween all naturally and regularly derived bodies. 70. Molecular Motion. As early as 470 B. C., Democritus taught that "the atoms, which are infinite in number and form, constitute the visible universe by their motions, impact and consequent revolving motion." Marc Seguin in 1824 also taught that the molecules of bodies "circulate around one an- other so that each body, though it appears at rest, has really 70] PREMISES AND PRINCIPLES 117 a certain quantity of motion, whose measure will be a func- tion of the mass and the velocity of the molecules in mo- tion."* Mendelieff, who has elaborated this idea on the solid basis of chemistry says: "This dynamic hypothesis of the constitution of matter is now revived and the world of atoms is regarded as like the universe of heavenly bodies, with its suns, planets, and met- eors, endued with everlasting force of motion, forming mole- cules as heavenly bodies form systems, like the solar system, which molecules are only relatively indivisible, in the same way as tne planets of the solar system are indivisible, and stable and lasting as the solar system is lasting." And, more recently still, this dynamical molecular structure is borne in upon us with irresistible conviction by the phe- nomena of radiant matter, wherein X-rays and alpha and beta particles are shot out of atoms and molecules with velocities approximating that of light. The origin of matter seems utterly beyond our grasp, be- cause it appears to be a necessary limitation of our being that one underlying and ultimate fact must remain inexplic- able. The origin of motion seems easier of comprehension and possibly admits of explanation. It may be possible that matter could exist without motion, but it would not be possi- ble to conceive this of all matter, for though we can con- ceive of a condition of absolute zero of temperature, which means a state devoid of all minor motions of matter, concep- tion itself implies mental action, which can exist only by means of molecular motion. As a matter of fact we know of no matter free from motion, any more than we know of mo- tion free from matter, and there are worlds of motion which until recently have been wholly unknown to us. There art, motions of almost inconceivable minuteness of range, of ap- parently inscrutable complexity, and of almost incomprehen- sible velocity, all lying hidden in the commonest objects around us. The book lying upon the table, the stone resting upon the ground, are each a volume of motions of marvelous intricacy, minuteness, and speed; and only by the different *The Edinlmrgh Phil. Jour., Oct. 1824; 10, 280-2. 118 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [71 motions of each are we able to distinguish them as to color, taste, smell, or touch. Even our own bodies are only aggre- gates of still more complex system^ of motions by means of which only are we able to distinguish the different kinds and properties of matter. Our Solar System, yea even our Sider- eal System, seems but little more intricate in structure and in the maze-like number of its constituent bodies and sys- tems, than the molecule and the atom. The spectrum of the simplest element, hydrogen, consists of not less than 1600 lines* each of which, no doubt, represents a systemic motion of different magnitude existing within the domains of every atom of the gas.t A new universe is here opening before us of which even the foremost intellects have as yet but the faintest conception. 71. Planetary Bonds. Now if these minor aggregates and sub-aggregates of matter have orbital motions like the planets, and have units of affinity, or material bonds, holding them to the primaries or suns of their systems, it seems only reason- able to suppose that the planets also have similar material bonds holding them to the Sun, or primary of the planetary system, in the same manner. Probably, to most readers, this idea of planetary material bonds may seem extremely airy and inept, even incredible. But really what is the difference except magnitude, between the chemical elements, or molecules and atoms, and the cosmical elements, or heavenly bodies? and why should not the latter have connecting bonds by means of which they would remain attached in a cosmical molecule or system, just the same as the former do in a chemical molecule? If plan- etary bonds were familiar to us and atomic bonds unknown, belief in the latter then would no doubt have the same inertia to overcome as in the former now. We cannot say that we have no evidence of these plane- *Nature, 39, 370. tThis at least appears to be the view of the majority, though there are a few who hold that the different lines of the spectrum of a sub- stance may be due to different atoms of that substance. The invariable uniformity cf elementary spectra under uniform conditions of temper- ature and pressure is, however, strongly against the latter view. 72] PREMISES AND PRINCIPLES 119 tary bonds, because there are too many phenomena in the heavens of the nature of which we confessedly know nothing. The tails of comets, which increase in magnitude as they ap- proach the Sun, are not at all unlikely to be accumulations upon the comets of the bond-substance which extends between them and the Sun. The zodiacal light which extends from the Sun in one fixed direction (the astronomers say two di- rections, at least, see Art. 137) far out into the starry system may it not be the bond connecting the Sun with its primary system? Approximately at right angles to this direction also lies the solar apex, the point in the heavens towards which, astronomers say, the Solar System actually moves. And the solar corona, which stretches in great streamers outwards from the Sun's surface to great distances, and which very slowly revolve around the Sun at various speeds between one solar eclipse and another apparently in exact correspondence with the movements of the planets may these not be the inner ends of the bonds connecting the Sun with the revolv- ing planets? All these hitherto mysterious phenomena cer- tainly seem, at least at a first glance, to be exactly similar to such appearances as we should expect such planetary bonds to make. 72. Designation and Essential Principles of the New The- ory. Now this is the main principle of the theory here ad- vanced that every regular heavenly body, of whatever size, is connected with its neighboring heavenly bodies by real, ethereal bonds. This and one other principle, derivable from the first, namely, that all bodies have ethereal atmospheres in connection with their ethereal bonds, constitute the basic elements of the theory which are new; and these in connection with the elements of motion, space, time, and the ordinary physical laws, appear to be all that is necessary to account for all the phenomena of which the human organism, as now known, is capable of taking cognizance. The chief principle of the new theory being the existence of material bonds, or connexions (as they will henceforth be 120 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [73 termed), between all regularly derived bodies, the theory may be designated by the special name, connective theory. These principles are not asserted here as facts, but only . as premises or assumptions for temporary guidance, to be ultimately accepted or rejected according to their agreement or disagreement with the phenomena of cosmical evolution, as these phenomena are investigated in connection with them. With this brief statement of the premises now before us, the argument from the rational investigation of cosmical evo- lution will be next in order; after which the conclusion will be left to the reader himself. And the same primitive stage of evolution may here be commenced with that was considered in connection with the theory of gravitation. CHAPTER II EVOLUTION OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM Truth cannot speak with two voices, and the laws of nature cannot give contradictory results. SAMUEL LAING. We must deal strictly with the facts in accordance with the rules of philosophizing; i. e., we must never have a com- plicated explanation until we are perfectly certain that a simple explanation will not do, and the simplest explanation of all is that which occurs most frequently in the region of facts. J. NORMAN LOCKYER. For the law of logic which Sir William Hamilton called the law of parsimony or the law which forbids us to assume the operation of higher causes when lower ones are found sufficient to explain the observed effects this law consti- tutes the only logical barrier between science and supersti- tion. GEORGE J. ROMANES. 73. The Original Solar Spheroid. The primary concep- ceptions of the new theory are little different from those of the nebular hypothesis. These conceptions are that the Solar System was once a vast rotating spheroid of vapor, nearly or quite homogeneous, the equator of which probably extended 74] EVOULTION OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 121 outwards on all sides nearly to Neptune's orbit; and that this vapor was made up of minute, but distinct, component parts having some material connexions with one another by virtue of which the vapor would cohere within certain limits, and its component parts, if unrestrained, would tend to lessen the distance between them. This tendency of the component parts to approach one another may seem not unlike the at- raction of gravity; but the two are not necessarily identical. There are other agencies that cause approximation of parts besides gravity, such, for example, as magnetism, electricity, and loss of heat. The connexions here premised between the ultimate parts of the vapor, and tending to hold or approximate them to each other, are supposed to be highly elastic, and, in support of this view, it may be mentioned here that New- ton and Faraday have thought that gravitation itself would find its true explanation by means of some such material agency as is here conceived. As to whether the original solar spheroid was intensely heated, or even heated at all in the ordinary sense of that word, seems uncertain. Heat is a mode of motion, and there appear to be many degrees, or different modes, of such motion, forming a regular series, similar to the wavelengths of the solar spectrum, of which the modes that are sensible to us may be comparatively few, and belonging perhaps to the middle portion. It may not be impossible, therefore, that, if the processes by which bodies become to us intensely heated were further intensified to a certain de- gree, the resulting mode "of motion would no longer be sensi- ble to us as heat, and it may even be possible that, if the intensification of the heating process were sufficiently great, the resulting mode of motion would not be sensible to us at all. It seems not improbable that this last condition would be that of the original solar spheroid, its density being prob- ably far below that of the most perfect vacuum that man can produce. 74. Surface Contraction and Development. Our premises, then, once more, are a vast rotating spheroid of vapor, nearly or quite homogeneous, and made up of minute parts having 122 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [74 connexions between them, by virtue of which the mass co- heres, and, under certain circumstances, the parts may ap- proach one another. From these premises it would follow that those parts situated on the surface of the sphere would have the greater liberty of action, because they are not in- fluenced by other parts upon their outer sides, while the sub- jacent parts are thus influenced on all sides. For this reason, these parts would tend to approach their subjacent neighbors and form with them a closer union. What the nature of this union would be, cannot be stated with certainty at present; but it may be supposed that the two adjacent layers of sur- face parts would eventually join together in forming consoli- dated groups of component parts, which may be designated by the term sub-atom, each sub-atom being connected with its neighbors, much in the same manner as the primordial parts, save that the connexions of the former may be more complex. This change in the structure of the two surface layers from approximate homogeneity to comparative heterogeneity would allow to the third layer a greater liberty of inward motion; and this layer, or some of its component parts, would tend to approach the fourth layer of component parts, though per- haps more slowly than the parts of the first layer. Thus would be formed a second layer of sub-atoms; and in much the same way would be formed a third, a fourth, a fifth, layer of sub-atoms; though quite probably each successive layer, owing to the influence of the outer heterogeneous layers, would require a much greater time to form than the preceding layer. Now the same causes that made the original surface components approach their subjacent neighbors would also operate upon the surface sub-atoms. These would approach the second layer of sub-atoms and form with them a layer of units still more compound, having still more complex re- lations with the simpler sub-atoms and with one another. And so also a third and a fourth layer. In the same manner would also be formed still more compound units, eventually arriving at the atomic and the molecular stages; and we ap- parently have no reason to suppose that this process would 75] EVOLUTION OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 123 not continue, or to draw a line beyond which, if left to it- self, it would cease. These views are corroborated and further illustrated by the following instructive extract from the presidential ad- dress of Prof. William Crookes at the fifty-sixth annual meet- ing of the British Association: "In the course of time, some process akin to cooling, prob- ably internal, reduces the temperature of the cosmic protyle to a point at which the first steps in granulation take place; matter as we know it comes into existence, and atoms are formed. As soon as an atom is formed out of protyle it is a store of energy, potential (from its tendency to coalesce with other atoms by gravitation or chemically) and kinetic .(from its internal motions). To obtain this energy, the neighboring protyle must be refrigerated by it, and thereby the subsequent formation of other atoms will be accelerated. But with atomic matter the various forms of energy which /require matter to render them evident begin to act; and, amongst others, that form of energy which has for one of its factors what we now call atomic weight. Let us assume that the elementary protyle contains within itself the poten- tiality of every possible combining proportion or atomic weight. Let it be granted that the whole of our known ele- ments were not at this epoch simultaneously created. The easiest formed element, the one most nearly allied to the protyle in simplicity, is first born. Hydrogen or shall we say helium? of all the known elements the one of simplest structure and lowest atomic weight, is the first to come into being. For some time hydrogen would be the only form or matter (as we know it) in existence, and between hydrogen and the next formed element there would be a considerable gap in time, during the latter part of which the element next in order of simplicity would be slowly approaching its birth- point; pending this period we may suppose that the evolu- tionary process, which soon was to determine the birth of a new element, would also determine its atomic weight, its affinities, and its chemical position. "In the original genesis, the longer the time occupied in that portion of the cooling down during which the hardening of the protyle into atoms took place, the more sharply defined would be the resulting elements ; and, on the other hand, with more irregularity in the original cooling we should have a nearer approach to the state of the elemental family as we know it at present." 75. Surface Rigidity and Ring-Formation. The sphere Is premised to have a rotatory motion; and this motion would 124 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [75 have some effect upon the molecules. These bodies, owing to the approach of their constituent parts, would obviously be much denser than the original vapor; and it is well known to us that in a revolving mass, whjen the constituent particles have freedom of motion, the denser of them will invariably seek the circumference. Moreover, there would be a move- ment of the molecules towards that portion of the circum- ference having the greatest amount of motion; i. e., the equa- tor of the spheroid. For if we are to judge from analogy, the connexions of the primordial molecules and atoms would be readily transferable from one to another, even more so than in the case of gases and vapors upon the Earth. So that these developed molecules would glide slowly over their subjacent neighbors towards the more swiftly rotating equa- torial regions. In course of ages a ring of compound par- ticles would thus aggregate near the equator; and, at the same time, the surface development would be continually pro- gressing, both inwards into the sphere and into greater and greater complexity of surface structure. As already intimaf ed, there does not appear to be any reason whatever for as- signing any particular limit to this development. And it seems evident that its uninterrupted continuance would event- ually result in a rigidity of the surface matter, particularly at the equator, where the developed structure would be much the thickest. The rigidity would spread slowly from the equa- tor to the poles; the internal development still going on, and the equatorial flow of compound molecules taking place on the inside of the rigid structure. The rigidity, increasing with increasing thickness, would eventually resist further contraction at the equator; the less rigid polar regions still following the contracting body of the sphere, in obedience to its connexions with that body. But the rigidity would continually spread towards the poles, thus gradually forming a solid ring concave to the sphere, the concavity being filled with partially developed original vapor. At this stage, probably, as the sphere contracts its vol- ume, a space would be formed between it and the ring. The 76] EVOLUTION OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 125 molecular connexions between the two would become elong- gated and refined in the vast laboratory; their tension, as the space widens, being relieved by the addition of the gaseous atoms or molecules of the sphere. 76. Ring-Separation. It seems probable that the polar regions, having previously become rigid, but having the weak- er crust, would eventually begin slowly to fracture and bend inwards owing to the continual strain upon their connexions with the sphere; and at the same time the equatorial portion of the ring would slowly move outwards owing to its rota- tion, thus gradually stretching itself to a greater diameter and depth and lessening is thickness. Both the fracture and the expansion might at first be extremely slow far more so, perhaps, than the gradual sinking or elevation of certain por- tions of the Earth, which geology brings to our notice; and which is generally no greater than an inch or two in a cen- tury. But the process would continue; and in the course of a very great lapse of time, the ring would have separated wholly from the sphere, save for the inchoate connexion or bond of attachment between the two bodies. Before the sep- aration of the ring from the sphere, but during the process in which the separation culminated, the polar regions of the orig- inal crust, still adhering to the surface of the sphere, would approach more and more towards the equator as the equator- ial portion continually recedes by the continual tension of the ring itself and the increasing contraction of the sphere. So that, at the point of separation, the ring would be a broad and flat body lying in the sphere's equatorial plane; in which its thickness would be about double the thickness of the or- iginal crust; the greatest material thickness of the ring being obviously at the outer edge, where the crust was originally the thickest. The following quotation illustrates the earlier stages of this ring-separation: "The restriction of the fiord areas to high northern and southern latitudes gives a clue to the cause of the fiord move- ments. They may be explained as a deformation of the earth 126 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [78 which is more marked in the polar than in the tropical zones. If a flexible circular band be rotated about its axis, it be- comes oval, and the radial movement is greater on the flat- tened polar sides than on the raised equatorial zone. The deformation of the earth which produced the fiords caused greater vertical movements in the polar and circumpolar regions than in the tropics, and the fiords are characteristic of higher latitudes."* 77. Disruption of the Ring Into the Planetary Form. It may chance that some sudden violence of the polar fractures of the crust, as the projection of the ring proceeds, would cause the collapse of the whole equatorial crust upon itself; upon itself partly because the molecular connexions generated in the developed structure of the crust would reasonably be much more powerful than the connexions between the crust and the undeveloped sphere; and partly for reasons to be noticed farther on. If any violence of the polar fractures does not occur to disrupt it (which it seems would generally be the case owing to the extreme slowness of their occur- ence), the ring would continue to expand its circumference, diminishing its depth and thickness; and it might maintain its equilibrium in this state for a very long period indeed. But obviously such expansion could not last forever. Event- ually some irregularity, either in the structure or in the ex- pansion, or in both, would suddenly destroy its balance; the disruption of the ring would quickly ensue, and (owing to the superior strength of its own molecular connexions) its sub- stance would aggregate into . a sphere in some point of its circumference. The ring's connexion with the original sphere, which had been continually fabricated and supplied as the separation of the two bodies proceeded, would follow the fractured por- tions of the ring, and finally, upon the spherical formation of the latter, would aggregate into a cylindrical bond between the new-born planet and its parent. 78. Corroborative Evidences. (a). Of Initial Solidification at the Surface. Let us here *Prof. J. W. Gregory, Lecture, Midland Institute, Birmingham. Jan. 22, 1912. 78] EVOLUTION OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 12? pause tor a moment. It would be a very unusual thing in- deed if such novel ideas as these would not be received with doubting hesitation, or even emphatic incredulity, especially in the case of grizzled veterans of science who have all their lives accepted unreservedly diametrically opposite ideas. But and the appeal is directed particularly at these same veter- ans what idea in the foregoing articles is it that can be re- garded as specially unworthy of our credence? Apparently it cannot be the equatorial flow of the denser molecules, for that seems undeniable on the ground of terrestial analogies. It is well known that when bodies of different densities are mechanically mixed in an inclosed space and then caused to rotate with a speed sufficient to overcome gravity, their parts having liberty of motion, the denser will always move towards the circumference. It is true that, if the attraction of gravity were supposed to operate upon the newly formed molecules, in accordance with the law of inverse squares, their equator- ial flow would not then be indisputable: although, indeed, it may be remarked, as illustrating the confusion to which the assumption of such an atraction leads, that the most eminent physicists are by no means agreed as to where solidification really would begin. While some (among whom are Sir Will- iam Thomson, Prof. G. H. Darwin, Newcomb, Hopkins, and Mallet) hold that it would begin at the center, others (among whom are Leibnitz, Descartes, Delaunay, Hennesly, Scrope, Babbage, and Airy) hold that it would begin at the surface; and the question still remains unsettled. In a work by T. M. Keade, entitled "The Origin of Moun- tain Ranges", in which he attacks the theory of central solid- ification, the following quotation is given* from Captain Dut- ton, of the U. S. Geol. Survey: "The line of argument which is relied upon to maintain a cooling globe proves, when pushed to its consequences, that the great interior of the Earth has not, as yet, undergone any sensible amount of cooling. The only cooling which that argument admits of has been located in a thin external shell. . . . In short, the cooling would be only skin deep, while the nucleus would be as hot as ever." *Page 126, Note. 128 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [78 Mr. Herbert Spencer also shows* the rational superiority of the view that liquefaction and solidification would first take place upon the Sun's surface, while its internal regions would be still gaseous. M. Folie pointed out before the Paris Academy of Sciences f that the astronomical consid- erations which led Sir William Thomson and others to the belief that the Earth was centrally solid, proves, on the con- trary, beyond doubt, the fluid state of the interior of the globe, surrounded by a relatively thin outer crust. And an editorial in NatureJ, speaking of the "supposition made by Sir W. Thomson as to the way in which the Earth cooled", says: "There have been people bold enough to think that in making this supposition, a great master of physics for once lent his name to an hypothesis which is in itself, physically not very probable." Yet, of course, the attraction of gravi- tation is premised by these authorities; while in the present work that attraction would be profoundly modified (diminish- ed) by other circumstances; as will be explained more fully farther on. A fact which seems to be a general principle of matter, and which furnishes a valuable corroboration of the position here taken is that, even when subject to gravity, matter in the solid form, such as ice, type-metal, iron, glass, melted rock and earth, etc., will float upon the same matter in a liquid or molten state. In any case, therefore, it is hardly to be doubted that solidification from processes akin to cool- ing would begin on the surface of the globe and gradually extend downwards. (b). Of Ultimate Crust Rigidity. The ultimate rigidity of the crust can hardly be a ground for incredulity for the reason that we cannot assign any proximate limit to the mole- cular development, and because, if the ultimate rigidity be denied, no conceivable cause can be assigned for the projection of the ring from the contracting spheroid (see Art. 63.). *Recent Discussions in Science, p. 2 9 ?. tJan. 3, 1887. J35, 861. Nature, 16, 23; Am. Jour. Sci.. Ill, 8, 287; Nature, 26, 138; Scrope, Volcanoes, pp. 84, 487; Chemical News, 18, 191. 78] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 129 The same idea, in a somewhat cruder form, has been indors- ed by good scientific authorities. As far back as 1862, the late Rev. O. Fisher "suggested that, when according to Sir G. H. Darwin's view, the moon broke away from the earth and com- menced an independent existence, the scar left by the great catastrophe forms now the basin of the Pacific Ocean. The same idea was elaborated five years later by Prof. Pickering (Jour, of Geol., vol. 15, No. 1, 1907).* Also Prof G. K. Gil- vert in his address to the Philosophical Society of Washing- ton, D. C., 1892, gave it as his theory that the Earth was at one time attended by a ring similar to that which encircles the planet Saturn, and that this afterwards "gradually coal- esced, gathering first around a large number of nuclei and finally all uniting in a sphere,' the moon." "If the material which now constitutes the moon was in any way detached from the earth, the matter so detached cannot have coalesced into a single sphere until Roche's limit was reached, which would be 2.44 of fhe earth's radii from its center. During this initial stage of the moon's existence the nearest analogy seems to be found in Saturn's rings. Hut the difficulty remains why the matter detached should not have fallen back again."! "There is some evidence to show that the actual materials that once formed part of our globe were transferred to our satellite, and this probability is strengthened by the agree- ment between the density of the moon and that of the super- ficial rocks of the earth. Indeed, as the author reminds us, there are not wanting those who can point to the exact spot where the catastrophe occurred that in times past tore from the earth the eightieth part of its mass."$ (c). Of the Equatorial Crust Expansion. It may be thought that the circumferential expansion of the solid ring away from the sphere's center is a doubtful assumption; but it should be borne in mind that this expansion is supposed to take place very slowly and gradually, requiring, especially at first, a vast period to produce scarcely a measurable re- sult. However small the centrifugal strain upon the ring, *Nature, 92, 714. tO. Fisher; Nature, 93, 214. JReviewer; Nature, 87, 3. 130 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [78 as it is not supposed to be counteracted by the ordinary attrac- tion of gravity, and falling upon its connexion with the sphere, some yielding of that connexion would take place, which would certainly have a tendency to expajid the ring. Even though the strength of the ring-connexion be quite sufficient at first to withstand the centrifugal strain, another consideration sug- gests that the strain would gradually become more and more powerful, and, falling upon the ring-connexion, must cause it to elongate. This consideration is that the ring and the parent spheroid would probably continue to rotate at about the same rate of angular velocity. The parent spheroid, being continually contracting its volume, owing to continual surface development, would thus continually but gradually increase its angular velocity. A portion of this increase of angular velocity would be transmitted by the intervening connexion to the ring, and the absolute velocity of the latter would thus be increased at the obvious expense of the ab- solute velocity of the spheroid. It is quite possible that this increase of angular velocity of the spheroid would take place contemporaneously with a diminution of its absolute velocity. The absolute velocity of the ring would thus continually in- crease; and the consequent centrifugal tension upon it, trans- ferred gradually through its molecular connexions to the ring- connexion, would eventually become so great that that must yield and elongate. Moreover it is undeniable on other grounds that however rigid a ring of such vast diameter may be, the strain, if long continued, would not be without an effect. Prof. Tyndall has shown us ("Forms of Water") that vast rivers of solid ice actually flow in their beds or channels. He has measured the motion of the Mer de Glace and found it to be quite similar to that of water, only much more slow. And there is no end of evidence transmitted down from the great Ice Age proving the tremendous power of glaciers in grinding and polishing the rocky sides of the valleys through which they flowed, and in piling up the vast moraines or heaps of detritus which they deposited where they terminated in the ocean. The influence that causes the ice to flow is the 78] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 131 attraction of gravity, exerted upon the ice in an almost level bed. The power of the strain which causes it thus to move nearly horizontally may be very small indeed; but it is un- varying and continual and so eventually produces very per- ceptible effects. Yet ice is, in a degree rigid. It is not so rigid as some other substances; but all the forms of matter appear to be rigid only in a degree, and not absoluetly so. Glass is more rigid than ice, and steel is more rigid than glass. But even steel is far from being perfectly rigid. Sir William Thomson states* that if the Earth were as rigid as steel, the amount of is yielding to tidal action would be one- third of the tidal effect upon a yielding globe. In other words if the Earth were a globe of solid steel, the effect of the Moon's attraction upon it would be to cause a tide about nineteen inches in height. These views are almost generally concurred in by other authorities. Prof. J. W. Juddf joins in the belief of Scrope and Darwin, that the solid rock mass- es of the globe under certain conditions actually flowed like viscous lavas; and mentions that this belief is fully corrob- orated by the experiments of MM. Tresca and Daubree. And if further evidence be required, we have it in the actual equa- torial expansion of the Earth itself, in precisely the same manner as the planetary ring has been supposed to expand outwards from the solar spheroid. The Earth's equatorial regions have already expanded outwards from the center to a distance of thirteen miles on every side; and the cause which everybody assigns for this extension, is nothing else than the Earth's rotation, even though it is supposed at the same time, that the centrifugal force generated by his rota- tion, is directly opposed by the vastly more powerful terres- trial attraction. Therefore, if the Earth's rotation, subject to such powerful opposition is supposed to have projected the equatorial regions away from the center to a distance of thir- teen miles, it will hardly be denied that the rotation of the solar spheroid, theoretically subject to much less opposition, *Phil. Trans. 1863, p. 574 fAddress to the Geological Society, London, Feb. 18, 1887. 132 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [78 is quite capable of projecting the solar ring outwards from, its parent into complete isolation and eventual disruption. (d). Of the Connective Bond. With regard to the assump- tion of molecular connexions, and especially that the mole- cular connexions may be elongated by addition of atoms or molecules into the planetary connexions, it seems, so tar, to involve nothing unreasonable. It is everywhere admitted, that some connection exists between every portion of matter by means of which actions and interactions are supposed to take place. Usually such connection is designated a force; but as already stated, the very propounders of that force liave been driven to the belief that the true explanation of it will be found to involve some such material mechanism as is here assumed. The inchoate planet is held by its molecular connexions upon the bosom of the parent sphere. When the increasing rigidity of the former and the continual development and con- traction of the latter, necessitates a separation of the bodies, is it not reasonable that these molecular connexions, being thus subjected to a gradual strain, would be elongated con- formably to it? and, as the tension becomes great, that it would draw either upon the connexions of the surface mole- cules of the sphere, or upon these molecules themselves, or upon both, to relieve the strain by addition to the connexion? Indeed nothing seems more reasonable. As already stated the connexions of developed molecules would be stronger than those of atoms or undeveloped molecules; the connex- ions subtending between the developed crust and the con- tracting spheroid would be stronger than the interconnexions of the comparatively undeveloped molecules of the spheroid's surface; and these last would in turn be stronger than the subjacent atomic connexions. The tension falling slowly upon the surface molecules would not cause their connexions to sunder because there are weaker connexions beneath them. Yet they would absorb a portion of the strain, the remainder falling upon adjacent molecules still less developed, or per- haps, down even upon the primary components. Thus would 79] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 133 the tension be distributed, and evidently the more it is dis- tribued the less likely is any disjunction to take place. The tension falling upon the surface molecules and their connex- ions would slowly absorb some of them into the strained con- nexion, where they would themselves be strained into a new form. These would be followed by others and still others, and thus would a main connexion be formed between the planet-ring and the spheroid. As the ring becomes farther and farther removed from the latter, owing to the causes al- ready assigned, it seems probable also that connexions would be formed between adjacent portions of the ring itself, which, would also suffer stress by the continual ring-expansion. In the final disruption of the ring these would accelerate the approach of the disjoined parts to one point. At the same time the central connexion would follow the falling parts, and when these parts finally join in forming the spherical planet, the corresponding portions of the connexion would naturally coal- esce into cylindrical conformity. In all this there appears nothing unreasonable or improbable; indeed, from approxi- mate terrestial analogies, it appears to be the only thing that could naturally happen. 79. Comparison of the Old and the New Ideas. If these views are contrasted with the current views, they will be seen in a still more favorable light. For, according to the latter, an increase of absolute tangential velocity of the axial rotation of the spheroid is necessary to the projection of the ring; yet no such increase of velocity before or during the ring-period is rationally assignable (see Arts. 63, 66). And after the ring is precipitated into the planet-sphere it is sup- posed to be held to the original spheroid by means of some immaterial thing admittedly unaccountable in its nature, in its origin, and in its operation. Even then it became neces- sary to introduce some substance into the interplanetary re- gions, and so it was imagined that these regions were filled wih a highly volatile fluid called ether. But by what means this ether came to occupy or abide in these regions still re- 134 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [80 mains inexplicable. This is the present theory, and it does seem that, if we cast aside all bias, the comparison of the two theories is, so far, not at all unfavorable to the new one. 80. Results of the Ring-Disruption. (a). Loss of Acquired Development. In the precipitation of the planetary ring into the spherical form, there are sev- eral things which require careful consideration. First of these is that, in general, all the development of the ring would be lost in its collapse, so that the resulting planet would be in tl^e same state of vapor as the original spheroid. We are impelled to this conclusion by the consideration that, if a very little development were preserved by each new-born planet more than was possessed by its parental sphere at its birth, then, obviously, in a vast number of generations, the structure of a new-born planet would be highly developed, and as the original spheroid of our system may itself have been the descendant of many preceding generations, and as that spheroid is supposed in the premises to have been in a state of extremely rare and nearly homogeneous vapor, it appears that no other conclusion is admissible. Moreover, the conclusion is far from improbable. The vast mass of solid matter in the ring, and the vast distances through which the greater portions of the mass would fall, must engender an amount of heat quite sufficient, in accordance with current estimates, to reduce the colliding masses to their primordial state. (b). Axial Rotation of the Planet. A second result to be considered, which arises from the precipitation of the ring, is the axial rotation of the resulting planet. In the premises has been accorded to the original spheroid of our system some axial rotation, and it is obvious that this rotation would be imparted to the ring at the time of its gradual separation from the spheroid, and, after its disruption, changed into the planet's orbital motion. Now, in the ring-collapse, one portion of the ring would move with this original motion, and the other portion would 80] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 135 move against it, towards the point of aggregation. The por- tion moving with the original rotation would, therefore, have a greater absolute velocity around the spheroid than the oth- ers. This greater velocity, owing to the increased centri- fugal tendency which it generates, would cause this portion to move farther outwards from the spheroid than the others, so that while this part would approach the central point of ag- gregation far away from that point, the diametrically opposite portions, owing to their diminished absolute velocity, and consequently diminished centrifugal tendency, would ap- proach it from the opposite direction at a comparatively smaller distance; the obvious result being an axial rotation of the planet in the same general direction as the original spheroid. (c). Recession of the Planet. It seems probable that the falling velocity of both parts of the ring, especially when near the point of aggregation, would be much greater than the velocity of the original rotation; in which case the planet would be bodily carried outwards to a considerably greater distance from the center of the spheroid than that of the ring just prior to its disruption. The connexion of the plan- et, being highly elastic and capable of adding to its length, as already indicated, would permit such removal, but would also slowly hinder it and finally overcome it. This subject will be further considered in the next section of this article. (d). Cause of t)he Different Absolute Velocities of the Planet's Orbital Motion and of the Rotation of the Spheroid. Why is it that the absolute velocity of Neptune in its orbit is about three miles per second, while the absolute rotational velocity of the Sun's equator, even now, after the repeated accelerations which, as we shall shortly see, would take place in the several ring precipitations which have taken place since Neptune's time, is only little more than one mile per second? and this when it is taught by the new theory, as by the old, that it is the rotational velocity of the Sun from which Neptune's orbital velocity has been derived. In answering this question, the first thing to be noticed 136 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [80 is that the planet-ring, just at the point of separation from the Sun, would probably have the same angular rate of rotation as the other portions of the Sun, owing to the friction of the crust with the internal solar substance; and, being a broad, flat body, this would involve a much greater absolute ve- locity of the ring than of the equatorial surface, which it leaves behind. A second thing to be noticed is that the con- nexion of the ring with the Sun, being grosser in the earlier stage, would tend to maintain the same angular rate of the ring and the Sun for a considerable time after the separation. What absolute velocity the ring would gain by this means would obviously be lost by the Sun; and thus would the ab- solute velocity of the ring, compared with that of the Sun, be doubly increased, the increased velocity of the ring being, of course, transmitted to the subsequent planet. Prof. Young has much the same idea:* "A ring would revolve for a while as a whole, but in time it would break and the material would collect into a single globe. Laplace supposed that the ring would revolve as if it were solid, the outer edge, therefore, moving more swiftly than the inner. If this were so, the mass formed from the collection of the matter of the ruptured ring would neces- sarily rotate in the same direction as the ring revolved." In this greater absolute velocity of the ring we have a further cause of the recession of the planet; for the centri- fugal tendency which the ring possessed just prior to its dis- ruption would be greater than the elasticity of the connective bond could withstand after the spherical aggregation of the ring. Before the breaking up of the ring, the cohesive strength of the ring-substance would withstand a consider- able portion of the centrifugal strain. After this cohesive strength was destroyed, the entire strain would fall upon the newly-formed planetary bond, which consequently would very probably yield, permitting the planet to move outwards until the centrifugal strain and the elasticity of the connexion were balanced. *Gen. Astron., Art. 969 80] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 137 (e). Increased Axial Rotation of the Sun. Another thing to be noticed in the ring-disruption, is an increased axial ro- tation of the Sun. For, as already stated, one part of the ring has a much greater absolute velocity with respect to the Sun's center than the other. Owing to this greater ve- locity, its connexion would be in greater tension, and this tension would be transmitted to the surface molecules of the Sun; pulling them in the direction in which that portion of the ring was moving. Since the opposite portion of the ring has a smaller absolute velocity, the strain of its connexion upon the Sun's surface would be correspondingly weak; and so would not balance the greater strain upon the other side. And the obvious consequence would be an in- crease of the Sun's absolute rotatory velocity. Here, then, is a very simple explanation of a phenomenon hitherto inexplicable. We now find a cause for the greater absolute velocity of the inner planets as compared with the outer, which the theory of gravitation is incapable of furnish- ing. For the force of gravity is supposed to act with pre- cisely equal strength whether it acts upon another body or not. One body is supposed to attract another directly as its mass, and inversely as the square of the distance between them. It is true that, in conformity with this tneory, the re- ceding portion of the ring would attract the Sun; but its recession, instead of increasing the strain upon the Sun's sur- face, would diminish it. While, upon the other side of the Sun, the slow-moving portion would be the nearer, and so its attraction or strain upon that side would be the greater. Thus in accordance with the theory of gravitation, if any variation of the Sun's rotation would take place, it would be in the direction of retarding, rather than in accelerating that rota- tion. (f). Origin of Comets and Meteorites). Yet another thing to be noticed in the disruption of the ring, is the origin of comets, planetoids, and meteorites. In the light of the new theory, the comets and meteorites are nothing else than frag- ments of the planet-ring, which by some irregularity in the 138 THE CONNECTIVE TH.EORY [82 tremendoug crash, are hurled outwards with such violence as to break the connexions, both with the Sun and the new- born planet; whence they wander through space until their career has been arrested by colksion with some other sun or planet. This, together with the various peculiarities of comets, will be more fully discussed farther on. 81. Genesis of a Second Planet. The surface of the Sun would still continue to contract in volume and to develop in structure as before, with the exception of the single circum- stance of being subject to the influence of the planet's con- nexion. The effect of this circumstance, however, would probably be nothing more in this respect than slightly to hasten the equatorial movement of the developed molecules. The same progressive steps as before would ensue, the same structural development, the same ring-formation with its evolving connexion, the same polar fractures and equatorial expansion of the ring, the same eventual disruption generat- ing the new axial rotation and again increasing that of the Sun. And thus, as a result of almost an eternity of evolution, comes the dissolution; and out of the dissolution arises a sec- ond new-born planet, with perhaps a comet or two and a shoal of meteorites. As the second planet-ring became separated from the Sun, different parts of It would be temporarily in the connexion of the first planet, serving for the time, as a part of that connexion ; and the two connexions mingling to- gether between the ring and the Sun. In the collapse of the ring, its own connexion would follow it to the point of aggre- gation; the connexion of the first planet joining behind the falling portions of the ring, and so remaining intact. 82. Genesis of a Secondary Connexion. But the connexion of the first planet would not all stay behind the precipitating ring. A portion of it, it is reasonable to suppose, would ad- here to the ring-substance and would form a connexion be- tween the two planets. This secondary connexion quite probably would differ materially from the primary connexion with the Sun being more refined and rarer, agreeable to the functions it or rather the remainder of the connexion has 84] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 139 to perform. In support of this difference in the nature of the two connexions, it may be urged in the first place that the Sun, being by far the greater mass, would naturally claim the greater share of the first planet's connexion; whence the share falling to the second planet would be comparatively attenuated. And in the second place, those portions of the connexion which perform the office of holding the first planet in its orbit, and transmitting to it heat and light, may reason- ably be supposed to be sufficiently fixed in that office to resist removal; so that the less necessary (that is, the less gross, or more volatile), portion only of the first connexion would fall to the second planet. 83. Mutual Planetary Accelerations and Retardations. Owing partly to the increase of the Sun's axial rotation in the breaking up of the first ring, the orbital periods of the two planets would differ; that of the inner being the shorter. The inner planet would therefore move away from the first planet between conjunction and opposition,* and would approach it between opposition and conjunction. The interplanetary con- nexion would therefore be subjected to a long-continued ten- sion; the substance for its elongation being supplied from the atmospheres of the two planets. Evidently when the con- nexion between the two planets is thus strained, the outer planet would be accelerated and the inner planet retarded. But after opposition, the reverse would occur; for whatever resistance was offered by the amospheric molecules in elong- ating the connexion may be supposed to be compensated by their mutual affinity when the tension is removed. So that the acceleration and retardation of each planet would be ap- proximately equal. 84. Systemic Complexity. Each planet, being at its birth a globe of vapor similar in all respects except magnitude to the original solar spheroid, would contract its volume by sur- face development and pass through the same generative stages as the parent; the eventual result of which would be *Conjunction of two planets here means that both are on the same side of the Sun; and opposition, that they are on opposite sides of the Sun. 140 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [84 the birth of satellites in the same manner as the planets. The satellites would be connected primarily with the parent plan- ets and secondarily with the Sun and with sister satellites; and the action of the secondary connexions upon the satellites would be similar to, though less in magnitude than, their ac- tion in the case of the planets. It seems unnecessary in this place to follow the details of the genesis of each of the other planets and satellites. The generating process of each planet is but a repetition of the steps involved in the generation of its predecessors, with the exception of an increasing complexity of interplanetary con- nexions, as every successive planet would be connected with every preceding one. This complexity becomes mazelike, even if there were no greater number of connected bodies than is comprised in the Solar System at its present stage. But when we consider that our Sun is but a planet of a still great- er system, having its own proper connexions with its sun and sister planets nay, when we consider, as according to the new theory we must, that our Sun is but a satellite a sat- ellite of the tenth or twelfth order of descent from a grand but vastly remote parent; when we consider the vast number of other suns, planets and satellites necessarily involved be- tween us and that parent, with each of which our own little world is quite probably connected truly the highly intricate plexus of connexions thus approximately indicated is apparent- ly not very far removed from the current idea of universal ether after all. But there is this difference: There is a system in the former, while the latter is a mere chaotic homo- geneity; a natural and rational derivation for the one, while the other has no other basis than mere assumption. It would be equally impossible and unnecessary to trace out all the connexions involved in our system and their various effects upon each other and upon the bodies they connect. It seems that if the moving equilibrium of any three bodies can be demonstrated to be stable according to this connective the- ory, that of a greater number need not, perhaps, be considered. For the addition of a fourth, or a fifth, or any number of other 84] CORROBORATIVE EVIDENCES 141 bodies in a regular manner, while increasing the complexity, apparently involves no new or greater difficulty than is found in the simple system of three bodies. The grand Complexity appears to be but a repetition and combination of simple uni- ties compounded and recompounded in time, in space and In motion. When a planet, or a satellite, would impinge upon some other connexion than its own, the latter would part its molec- ular attachments and fix them upon the entering body. Dur- ing the passage, the latter would practically form a part of the connexion; and when the body would pass through it, the molecules of the connexion, following its contour and succes- sively attaching themselves to the different portions, would fi- nally close up behind it and unite together as before. The con- nexion of the one body would pass through that of the other much upon the same principle except that the lateral molec- ular connexions of both planetary bonds, instead of the longi- tudinal molecular connexions of one only, would part, those of each to admit the longitudinal connexions of the other; these lateral connexions joining together after the passage in the same manner as the longitudinal connexions during the passage through them of a heavenly body. CHAPTER III * EVOLUTION OF THE SIDEREAL SYSTEM The question is so vast that the researches of our great- est astronomers have done little more than lead us to the top of Pisgar and show us from afar the promised land; but every newly ascertained fact, or even confirmation of old ones, is a valuable contribution towards the general stock of knowledge which is Demg gradually accumulated; out of which, perhaps, the genius of some future Newton may evolve some general law. HOWARD PAYN. Unfortunately, whatever progress we may make in pho- tography or in optics, whatever penetrating and sensitive power we may hope to give to our instruments, it is evident that we shall never succeed in seeing the most distant stars, and that, at whatever limit we may arrive, there will always be beyond it an infinity of others lost in the profundity of the heavens which will always escape our knowledge; but it is by photography and the scientific study of negatives that we shall be able to go further than by any other means. ADMIRAL MOUCHEZ. I not believe that the great Architect With all these fires the heavenly arches decked Only for show, and with these glistening shields To amaze poor shepherds watching in the fields; I not believe that the least flower which flanks Our garden borders, or our common banks, And the least stone that in her warming lap Our mother earth did covetously wrap, Haih some peculiar virtue of its own, And that the glorious stars of heaven have none. JOSHUA SYLVESTER (1593-1(518). 85. The Original Sidereal Spheroid. If the solar spheroid with which we started, instead of being the parent of the Solar System, were considered as the parent of the Sidereal System, still the same premises would apply, and the same results of the process of subdivision or segregation, would evi- dently be arrived at. Planet after planet would be continually given out from the spheroid in the equatorial plane of its ro- tation, its still remaining nucleus constituting the center 86] EVOLUTION OF THE SIDEREAL SYSTEM 143 around which all these bodies revolve. Each of these grander planets would in their turn give forth sub-planets and consti- tute a sub-system of which the still remaining nucleus of the planet would be the immediate governing center. Each sub- planet in turn would subdivide in a similar manner, the sub- divisions of which would also become the centers of a still inferior order. And so on down to the present stage. In cor- roboration of this, we observe that the bodies of the Sidereal System are distributed principally in one plane, that of the Milky Way, which would thus be determined as the equatorial plane of the Sidereal System; this, it may be added, being also in accordance with the views of nearly all eminent philoso- phers and astronomers. And in still further corroboration, it is observed that the greatest degree of subdivision, as man- ifested in the nebulae, has taken place in the peripheral parts of the Sidereal System, in the older sub-systems, just where we should reasonably look for it. 86. The Sidereal System and What It Includes. It has been thought probable by many astronomers that the nebulae are other galaxies, or sidereal systems, at distances propor- tionately as great from ours as the distances of the fixed stars are greater than the planetary distances. And they were not unnaturally led to this view; for, gazing at these nebulae, they looked through and beyond the countless stars of the Milky Way, and they saw nothing beyond them but the perfect black- ness of the heavens. But the nebulae, though probably be- yond the visible stars of our galaxy, can hardly be at such almost infinite distances. For, if the distance of the neb- ulae from the Sidereal System were about a million times that of the fixed stars from us, as the stated supposition im- plies, it would inevitably follow that the telescopic power re- quired to resolve these remote galaxies into stars must be in- comparably greater than that required to resolve our own gal- axy into stars. But this is not the case, as it is well known that the same telescopic power by which many of the stars certainly belonging to our galaxy are barely visible, will clear- ly resolve many of the nebulae into distinct and separate stars. 144 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [87 And it seems far more reasonable to suppose that the stars of our own galaxy and the starlets of the nebulae, both of which are barely discernible separately in the most powerful telescopes, are both about the same distance from us, than to suppose that the starlets of the nebulae are each a million times greater than the stars of the Sidereal System. It is not here contended that there are no other galaxies or firmaments beyond our own, but only that if such really exist, they must be invisible to us, owing to the remoteness of our relationship with them and to our immense distance from them. From the present state of our knowledge it seems nothing less than presumption either to assert the existence of other firmaments than ours, or to deny that our firmament may even be a constituent atom of an eye beholding but a tittle of the Cosmos. 87. Arrangement of the Sidereal System. According to the telescopic researches of Sir William Herschel, our little world is situated nearly in the plane of the Galactic Circle which passes through the Milky Way, but somewhat eccen- trically, being apparently nearer to the southern than to the northern portion of that circle. In, or very nearly in, this plane, which differs only about 40 from that of the Solar Sys- tem, the vast majority of the heavenly bodies lies, and, as we recede from it, the number of stars in equal areas of the sky rapidly diminishes up to the Galactic Poles. Had the evolu- tion of every successive body of the Sidereal System been reg- ular, all the stars and planets, according to the new theory, would lie in this plane. But as the evolution of the Solar System has not all been regular, the motions of some bodies being at very great inclinations to the plane of the Sun's equa- tor, it might reasonably be expected that the same irregular- ities would occur in the Sidereal System in the same propor- tion. The stars which we observe in high galactic latitudes furnish, therefore, no greater objection to the common origin of all the bodies of our firmament than the great inclinations of the orbit planes of the satellites of Neptune and Uranus 88] EVOLUTION OF THE SIDEREAL SYSTEM 145 furnish to the common origin of all the bodies of the Solar System. It may be incidentally remarked that, although apparently numberless, the visible bodies of our firmament are in all prob- ability few compared with the number of those, equally large, which are totally invisible to us. Beyond the puny limits of our own Solar System, we observe, even with the most power- ful telescopes, probably none but incandescent bodies shin- ing by their own proper light. Around many of them and receiving their light and heat, are revolving other bodies which of themselves give forth no light, just as we find the dark planets circling our own Sun. Occasionally, indeed, we ob- serve bright planets revolving round their primaries, as in the case of periodic, binary and multiple stars; but those planets themselves are theoretically of recent origin and in an incan- descent state. As not more than two or three such may rea- sonably be supposed to exist among the many dark bodies of the Solar System, we may safely presume that in snniiar sys- tems a similar state of things prevails. And even in the sys- tems in which the incandescent planets are observed, it is quite probable that they are not always unaccompanied by more developed sister planets (see Art. 139). 88. Probable Number of the Heavenly Bodies and of Their Successive Generations. To gain some idea of the number of successive generations of heavenly bodies which would have taken place from the original spheroid of the Sidereal System down to the present time, let us assume that heavenly bodies of all magnitudes are equally prolific; i. e., that suns, planets, satellites, etc., have on the average (to use a familiar phrase) the same period of gestation. The actual number of stars visible to the naked eye, including all down to the 7th magni- tude, is about 6,000; and the number telescopically visible down to the 13th magnitude is about 43,000,000. Let us put the whole number of heavenly bodies, from those of the first magnitude down to those which are barely visible in the most powerful telescopes, both inclusive, at one billion; and let us further suppose that the number of dark bodies in the Sider- 146 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [88 eal System which are wholly invisible to us, is about ten times as great as the number we observe; and, finally, to the sum thus obtained let us add, for accidental contingencies, enough to make one hundred billions, and call this the number of bodies regularly derived (excluding meteorites and most com- ets, which are not supposed to generate new bodies), of which the Sidereal System now consists. From these various facts and assumptions it follows that the number of generations from the primordial spheroid of the Sidereal System down to the present time, is about thirty-three; a generation in this case being the time elapsing between the birth of a heavenly body and the birth of the next heavenly body from the same parent. In the following table, let S represent the primordial spheroid of the Sidereal System, and let the horizontal col- umns represent the orders of descent of the heavenly bodies, and the diagonal columns the orders of their generations in time; then the figures in these columns will denote the num- ber of oodies of each order of descent, in each order of time down to the 12th. TABLE OF SIDEREAL GENERATIONS In the first order of time, the spheroid would give birth to one body of the first order of descent. In the second order of time, the latter would give birth to one body of the second 88] EVOLUTION OF THE SIDEREAL SYSTEM 147 order of descent, and the spheroid would give birth to another body of the first order of descent. In the third order of time, there would be one of the first order of descent from the spher- oid, two bodies of the second order of descent from the two previously existing bodies of the first order of descent, and one body of the third order of descent from the previously ex- isting body of the second order of descent. And so on; the numbers of the bodies of the various orders of descent, in any order of time, forming the co-efficients of the terms of a sim- ple algebraic binomial raised to a power denoted by the num- ber less one of that order. Thus the numbers of the bodies of the various orders of descent, from the first to the seventh inclusive, in the seventh order of time, are 1, 6, 15, 20, 15, 6, 1, respectively; these numbers being also the co-efficients of the respective terms of (a+b) e fully expanded. It is also to be observed that the number of all bodies of all orders of de- scent in any order of time, is just twice the number in the preceding order of time; so that the sums of all the bodies in the successive orders of time, form the terms of a geomet- rical progression of which the ratio is 2. And finding the sum of 33 terms of such a series, the first term being one, we have a number larger by half than the number of bodies of which we assumed the Sidereal System to consist. It would follow from this consideration, then, that the Sidereal System is composed of some thirty-two or thirty- three consecutive principal systems; and also that the Solar System, if its original spheroid were regularly derived from the primordial spheroid of the Sidereal System, (as seems probable in comparison with the supposition of its being a comet) and supposing Neptune to be its first planet, and the Asteroids temporally equivalent to another planet would probably be a member of the tenth of these consecutive sys- tems from the sidereal center; which appears to be strongly corroborated by actual observation. CHAPTER IV THE UNIVERSE The density of stars in the Sidereal System gradually diminishes until the limit of stellar matter would be reached at about 30,000 light-years. Nature, 78, 234-7. If the universe is infinite, the number of stars would be theoretically four times greater for each fainter magnitude, but, as observed, it was only three times greater. The hy- pothesis that light is absorbed by material particles would apparently explain the discrepancy. PROF. H. H. TURNER. In all the various realms of sense-perception, there will always be that which lies beyond, and which can only be con- jectured, or at best reasonably inferred, but which can never become immediately perceived by human senses. Surround- ing the expanding island of the visible world will be the bound- less sea of the invisible. GEORGE TRUMBULL LADD. 89. Other Sidereal Systems. Does the Sidereal System comprise ail there is the entire Cosmos the Universe? There appears to be no ocular evidence today that there is anything beyond it. It was once thought the irresolvable nebulae were other systems similar to the Sidereal System but at a vastly greater distance. However when new stars of considerable magnitude Avere seen suddenly to blaze out in these nebulae, it was impossible to believe that these new stars could be of such immense size as to make them thus vis- ible at distances millions of times greater than the utmost lim- its of the Sidereal System. Therefore the belief seemed nec- essary that these nebulae were within the confines of our own system, and that their irresolvability was owing to the com- parative smallness of their constituent units rather than to their greater distance. So that, if there really be anything outside of the Sidereal System, we have no visual evidence of it; nothing but the dense, mysterious blackness of the Beyond. But there are other and stronger reasons for refusing to 90] THE UNIVERSE 149 believe that the universe is confined to just all that puny mart is able to behold. Some of these are noticed in the follow- ing article. But whether the Sidereal System 'be the entire Cosmos or not, the idea of an original spheroid which has already been considered would apply just the same; the sole difference be- ing that in the primordial spheroid of the whole Cosmos, ax- ial rotation cannot be assumed. 90. The Origin of Motion. In all of the new theory that precedes, axial rotaion has been assumed; and from the axial rotation, orbital revolution in all its phases naturally follows. It seems necessary to believe that matter always existed in some form or other; but it does not seem necessary to be- lieve either that motion is matter, as some do (such as Kighi, Ostwald, Einstein, and Planck),* or that motion is eternal the same as matter is. It seems more natural to suppose that motion in some way or other arose out of matter, and such a supposition seems not inconceivable. In the cosmical spheroid, as in the others, the ultimate components upon the surface of the spheroid would be differ- ently circumstanced from those beneath them; from which the same process of surface consolidation as before is infer- able. But in the absence of rotation, this process would eventually culminate, not in an equatorial ring, as before, but in a hollow spherical shell. This shell would be held to the central spheroid by a primary connexion just as was the ring, and the molecules of the shell would have intermolecular con- nexions just as those of the ring had. Continual development would cause rigidity of the shell as of the ring, which would prevent it from following the contracting spheroid within it; and, in its final collapse, the intermolecular connexions, being stronger than the primary connexions with the spheroid, would draw the fractured portions of the shell together chief- ly in its own plane until a falling velocity was acquired which would balance the elasticity of the central connexion. It is not likely, however, that all of such a shell would coalesce at *Nature, 91, pp. 3, 27. 150 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [90 one point. There would no doubt be several points of aggre- gation, at each of which the aggregating matter would be cer- tain to acquire axial rotation because all the impacts of the falling portions at each point of aggregation cannot be sup- posed to have balanced one another; and there would also be orbital motions of the several aggregated masses (which mo- tions could be obviated only by all of the shell aggregating at one point, in which case there would be no orbital motion, though there could be axial rotation, just as in the other case) and these orbital motions would necessarily be in various di- rections. If the number of bodies resulting from the shell were great, their orbital motions would be inclined to each other at many angles ; but if the collapse of the shell resulted main- ly in two principal bodies, then the orbital revolutions of these two would be in one plane and in opposite directions; and these directions would determine the equator of the re- sulting system; from which subsequent smaller bodies would extend in diminishing density towards the poles. It is some evidence in favor of the view that the entire Cosmos is co-extensive with "the Sidereal System that these two motions are actually within it in the galactic circle and that the stars diminish in number towards the galactic poles in the proportion of about fifty at the former place to one at the latter.* "The great mass of the stars are distributed in a lens- or bun-shaped system, in which our sun occupies a central posi- tion; round this and in the same plane are coiled the clusters which make up the Milky Way. In the central parts of this the stars form two great streams moving in opposite direc- tions: this is most easily explained as being the result of two more or less independent systems of stars having become intermingled, 'f "Seven years ago Prof. Kapteyn, at the scientific congress of the St. Louis Exposition, introduced his now~ well-known hypothesis that the visible universe consists of two great intermingling streams moving in opposite directions. The *J. Norman Lockyer, Nature, 60, 618. ' fA. E>. Eddinton, Nature, 87, 468. 90] THE UNIVERSE 151 direction of one he called the 'vertex,' which he fixed at K. A. 6h. 4m., decl. + 13. Quite recently Eddington of the Greenwich Observatory, with the same hypothesis . . . found for this vertex R. A. 6h. 16m., decl. + 12."* There are other considerations, however, which compel the belief that the Sidereal System cannot be commensurate with the Cosmical System, and that the present stage of cosmical evolution cannot be the primordial stage. It will appear lat- er that the present highly developed molecular mechanism must have been derived from a previous stage, possibly from many previous stages, of cosmical evolution. And it seems not improbable that the two opposite stellar streams could result from a system derived from, and subordinate to, the Cosmical System, and possessing an axial rotation, though at a rate so slow that the resulting ring would not be greatly different from the spherical shell. But whatever the dimensions of the Cosmical System as compared with the Sidereal System, and however remote the primordial stage of cosmical evolution as compared with the present, motion could still arise in the manner indicated from the collapse of the spherical shell of the motionless primordial cosmical spheroid. *G. A. Miller, Am. Assoc. Adv. Sci. 1911; Science, 35, 221. Sea also F. W. Dyson, Nature, 82, pp. 11, 12, 13. CHAPTER V COSMICAL GRAVITATION If we found an agreement between the results of the ap- plication of our theory to special problems and the solutions of the corresponding problems as worked objectively in na- ture, we should have reason to believe that our hypotheses agreed with the facts, or, in other words, that they were true, and we should then raise them to the dignity of natural laws. It is on evidence of this kind that our acceptation of all natural laws is based. If our conclusions were inconsistent with natural phenomena, our system of dynamics would be an abstract, instead of a natural, science if, indeed, it might be called a science at all and would be valuable merely as intellectual exercise. WILLIAM GARNETT. This energy, in the interval between its departure from the sun and its arrival at the earth, must be in the space be- tween them. Thus this space must contain something which, like ordinary matter, can store up energy, which can carry at an enormous pace the energy associated with light and heat, and can, in addition, exert the enormous stresses necessary to keep the earth circling round the sun and the moon around the earth. SIR J. J. THOMSON. Nature is generally more simple than our conceptions thereof; we begin with very complicated theories and end with the most simple. DU PREL. 91. The Ball-and-String Hypothesis. After this rapid gen- eral survey of cosmical and systemic evolution, we may now proceed to the consideration of that evolution more in detail, and observe what corroborative or contradictory evidence the new theory meets with in the various phenomena involved. Of the first importance in this direction is the phenomena of cosmical gravitation and a comparison of the actions of the planetary connexions in producing these phenomena with that of the force of gravity. The theory of gravitation seems by no means a flimsy one which may be lightly considered and passed over. The attraction by means of which bodies fall 91] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 153 to the Earth's surface, when extended outwards to the Moon in accordance with the law of inverse squares, almost exactly accounts for the fall of that body towards the Earth in each second of time. If the Earth's surface attraction be extended outwards to the Sun in the same manner and then compared with that of the Sun upon the Earth, it is found that the ef- fect of the latter is some 328,000 times more powerful than the former. And when this value of the Sun's attraction is similarly extended from the Sun outwards to each planet of the Solar System successively, it is found to account for the fall of these bodies in each second with the same exactness that the Earth's attraction accounts for that of the Moon. Here is a basis for the theory of gravitation, the apparent so- lidity and strength of which seems to be completely impreg- nable; and truly it is not to be wondered at that the intellect of a Newton should place great reliance upon it. But that he did not place as great reliance upon' it as some of his re- cent disciples do, sufficiently appears from the fact that he regarded it as the greatest of absurdities to imagine "that one body might act upon another through a vacuum without the mediation of anything else by and through which their action and force may be conveyed from one to another." And Sir William Thomson says that we must be temporarily satisfied to explain capillary attraction as intensified Newtonian at- traction "until we see how gravity itself is to be explained, as Newton and Faraday thought it must be explained, by some continuous action of intervening or surrounding matter."* It is this continuous action of surrounding and all-pervading matter which constitutes the essential feature of the new the- ory we are now considering; and the wider operations of which we are now to examine more closely. But how can the phenomena, which so strongly corroborate the theory of gravitation, be accounted for on the basis of the material connexions which the new theory postulates? How can this material medium explain the fact that the fall per second of every body, belonging to any particular system, *Nature, 34, 271. 154 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [92 is related to that of any other body of the same system in the precise ratio of their square distance reciprocals? that, in fact, in any particular system, the fall per second of each of its members towards the center of motion, may be regarded as a uniform function of the distance from the center? Yet, strange as it may at first glance appear, the material cord which, according to the connective theory, joins the planet to its primary and causes the former to fall towards the lat- ter, involves exactly the same distance function of that fall that is involved in the theory of gravitation. What there is between the sun and the planets that makes each of them pull the other, Newton did not know; nobody knows to this day, and all we are now able to assert positive- ly is that the known motion of the planet is precisely what would be produced if it were fastened to the sun by an elastic string, having a certain law of elasticity. Now observe the nature of this discovery, the greatest in its consequences that has ever yet been made in physiral science: 1. It begins with an hypothesis, by supposing that there is an analogy between the motion of a planet and the motion of a ball at the end of a string. 2. Science becomes independent of the hypothesis, for we merely use it to investigate the properties of motion, and do not trouble ourselves further about the cause of it."* "By the thrust of an incompressible pole, energy is trans- mitted from butt to tip. . . So also the pull of gravitation may be (and pro tern. I believe is) transmitted by an in- compressible (or nearly incompressible) ether." t May it not be, indeed, that, in the former quotation, science has become too independent of the hypothesis that, in fact, it might be well for it to trouble itself with an earnest and humble inquiry into the real operation of this ball-and-string theory? The elastic string, by the new theory, is the primary connexion of the planet, and the law of its elasticity we may now proceed to investigate. 92. The Factors of Cosmical Gravitation. It may be re- garded as axiomatic that the strength of the various connex- *Prof. William Kingdon Clifford. Discourse at the Royal Institution London. Humboldt Library of Science, 6, 281. tProf. Oliver J. Lodge, Nature, 47, 293. 92] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 155 ions would vary with the different circumstances attending their evolution. It may be well to consider the most import- ant of these, whether they may be found to affect the strength of the connexion or not. These circumstances are: (a), the rotational velocity of the primary body; (b), the structural development of the connexion, and (c), the density of the con- nective atmosphere upon the surface of the primary body. (a). Rotational Velocity of the Primary Body. This fac- tor would have the least value in the case of the first planet of a system, and would gradually increase in value for each subsequent planet, as already shown (Art. 80, e). While the planet-ring was extending outwards from the primary, and the primary connexion was forming between the two, the extra strain which the greater rotational velocity involves in the inner or more subsequent ring-formations would produce some effect, either upon the connexion or the ring itself. But here we must bear in mind that the ring i j a solid body firmly held together by molecular attraction or cohesion. This cohesion would evidently be more powerful than the centrifugal tend- ency of the greater rotational velocity of the ring, at least until the planet was formed and the connexion matured. In fact the cohesive attraction and the centrifugal tendency would be directly opposed to one another; and it would seem that the former would receive the full brunt of the latter, so that the forming connexion would be left unaffected by this cause. The sole effect of this factor, therefore, would appear to be to hasten the expansion of the ring, and so diminish the generative planetary period. So that, so far as the rotational factor is concerned one planetary connexion would appear to differ in no respect from another. (b). The Structural Development of the Connexions. For the consideration of this factor, we may take the case of the Earth and the Moon. When the Earth was in the first stage of its planetary existence as a globe of fiery vapor, not only would its surface be vastly enlarged, in comparison with its present surface, but all its present surface development would be absent. Nothing but the primordial vapor existed on its 156 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [92 surface, and this in the full and fiercest energy of its molec- ular heat-motion. Can we, then, avoid the belief that the structural development of the surrounding connective atmos- phere would correspond to that of the Earth's surface at that time? And does it not seem equally probahle that, as the development of the Earth's surface advanced, the development of the connective atmosphere would advance correspondingly? According to this view, then, the Earth's connective atmos- phere would increase in development as the Earth contracted. Without attempting here to show how the mechanism by which the greater central development of the Earth's connec- tive atmosphere would cause bodies to fall towards the Earth's center, it seems tolerably evident that a body possessing a certain degree of development would be moved (by means of its secondary molecular connexions, or connecting-rods, with the molecules of the connective atmosphere) in that direction in which the atmospheric molecular motions were most in harmony with its own. Now as the Earth contracts in vol- ume subsequently to the formation of the Moon, and its sur- face development proceeds, the Moon's connexion must be elongated or spun out over the interval which the Earth has contracted; and as the connective atmosphere itself undoubt- edly furnishes the material for this elongation, it clearly fol- lows that the connexion would be possessed of the same struc- tural development at every successive stage as the Earth's connective atmosphere. Here, then, is a circumstance that would modify a plan- etary connexion so as to enable it to act in a manner similar in some degree to that prescribed by the law of inverse squares. But, on the other hand, it does not account for the distance-variation of the planetary falls per second; for the reason that each planetary connexion would be almost an exact repetition of its predecessors in this respect. The pri- mary body immediately after the birth of each successive planet would obviously be in the same state of surface devel- opment. About the same degree of development would beget the planetary ring in each case, and the ring would in every 92] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 157 case appropriate the developed crust of the primary down to the same degree of development. So that after each ring-sep- aration, the remaining* degree of development of the primary would be the same. And so the crust development of the pri- mary and the corresponding development of the connective atmosphere would be similar in kind and degree after the birth of each planet. Therefore, while this factor applies to an individual connexion, modifying it in accordance with the varying structural development to which it is subject, it does not apply to two connexions so that the one will differ in any degree from the other. Indeed it may be objected, perhaps, that even in the case of a single connexion, the varying struc- tural development of the primary crust would fail to produce a measurable change of the structural development of the con- nective atmosphere. For, subjected to the most intense de- gree of destruction which man can produce, the function of the connective atmosphere now upon the Earth's surface, and which, according to these views, would now be highly devel- oped, remains precisely the same as under ordinary circum- stances. A body appears to weigh none the less when cast into the fiercest furnace, although the connective atmosphere ourrounding it at that time is subjected to a very intense de- gree of heat. But in answer to this objection it may be remarked that the puny furnaces of man are quite incomparable to the vast and grand catastrophes of Nature. The greatest and fiercest conflagration possible with man would scarcely be a drop in the ocean of the Earth's connective atmosphere; so that the structural development of so minute a portion of it as would thus be affected by our fires might easily be maintained by that of the general atmosphere surrounding it; whose molec- ular motions we know are capable of being transmitted near- ly 200,000 miles in a single second of time. If the entire sur- face of the Earth were simultaneously subjected to an intense degree of heat the effect of which would extend for thousands of miles beyond the surface, then we would have something comparable to the operations of Nature; and which in all 158 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [92 probability would diminish in a degree the weight of every body subjected to it. The nearest we can approach an in- stance wherein the whole of a body's connective atmosphere would be affected is by way of analogy. A magnet, if sub- jected to a certain degree of heat, loses its power of attrac- tion in a degree; and even, if the heat be sufficiently intense, will lose that power wholly. Yet, without undertaking here to prove that the connective atmospheres of the magnet and of the Earth are similar with respect to the mechanism of their function of attraction, it seems tolerably plain that the loss of that function in the heated magnet is due to the de- struction of some such molecular arrangement or development as, in the case of its larger analogue, the new theory implies. The question is not entirely a one-sided one. Prof. W. M. Hicks in his presidential address to the British Association, 1895, says: "The effective mass of any atom is not composed of that of its core alone, but also of that portion of the surounding ether which is carried along with it as it moves tnrough the medium. ... In this explanation the density of the mat- ter composing an atom is the same for all, whilst their masses depend on their volumes and configurations combined. Now the configuration alters with the energy, and this would make the mass depend to some extent at least on the temperature. However repugnant this may be to current ideas, we are not entitled to deny its possibility, although such an effect must be small or it would have been detected." Also Prof. William Crookes:* "It must be remembered that we only know the force of gravity between bodies such as they actually exist, and we do not know what this force would be if the temperatures of the gravitating masses were to undergo a change." But still the action of the planetary connexions as a whole exhibit no trace of conformity to the law of inverse distance squares upon which the theory of gravitation fundamentally rests. There is yet remaining, however, a circumstance which, as we shall now see, fully harmonizes the action of the connexions with that law. *Quarterly Journal of Science, 6, 254 92] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 159 (c). The Density of the Connective Atmosphere Upon the Surface of the Primary Body. Let us in imagination extend the volume of the Sun outwards again to its primordial limits, or nearly to Neptune's orbit. The Sun's surface would thus be vastly enlarged; and it is equally obvious that the density of the solar connective atmosphere on that surface would di- minish in the precise ratio that the surface increased. It is also an elementary geometrical truth that the surface of the Sun would vary in the direct ratio of the square of its distance from the Sun's center. From all of which it mani- festly follows that the density of the connective atmosphere upon the Sun's surface varies inversely as the square of the distance from the Sun's center, or precisely in accordance with the distribution of the supposed force of gravity in the theory of gravitation. Let us suppose now that the Sun has contracted in volume, that a developed crust has been formed, and that this crust is about to separate from the Sun to form the Neptune-ring. The inchoate planetary connexion would be evolved out of the Sun's connective atmosphere, which at that time possessed a certain degree of density; and it seems very evident that the density of the forming connexion would be similar to, or at least modified in conformity with, that of the connective at- mosphere out of which it was spun. It seems unquestionable, from the view we are now able to take, that the connexion would be evolved out of the connective atmosphere of the pri- mary body. And since the centrifugal tendency of the ring's rotation affects the forming connexion to a merely infinitesi- mal degree, if at all, being primarily directed against the co- hesive attraction of the ring itself and bringing about its even- tual disruption no conceivable reason seems assignable why the density of the connexion should be either greater or less than that of the material out of which it was formed. From this it clearly follows that the primary connexion of the planet Neptune, or so much of it as was formed up to the time of the rupture of the Neptune-ring, would have a consti- tution precisely conformable in degree of densiy, strength, and 160 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [92 elasticity to that of the connective atmosphere of the Sun in the period in which ftie ring existed. After the rupture of the ring, as the Sun contracted in volume, and as the density of its connective atmosphere consequently increased, the newly formed portions of the planetary connexion would partake of the increased density of that atmosphere, and would therefore be stronger than the portion of it that was first formed. But a connexion, in common with everything else, can not be stronger than its weakest part; so that, whether the planet moves outwards or inwards from the place of its ring-exist- ence, the portion of its connexion formed in that place would for all subsequent ages determine the strength and elasticity of the entire connexion as such. Let the Sun still farther contract in volume, and let a sec- ond planet-ring project outwards from its surface. At this period the connective atmosphere upon the Sun would obvious- ly be denser than in the period of Neptune in the ratio of the inverse squares of the Sun's radii at these periods, as al- ready shown. The density of the connexion of the second planet would, therefore be greater than that of the first con- nexion beyond the second planet in the same ratio that the surface density of the connective atmosphere was greater at the later time. And the greater strength and elasticity thus conferred upon the second connexion would regulate its ac- tion as a whole for future ages, just as in the case of the first connexion. Still farther contraction of the Sun would beget a third ring and a density and consequent strength and elasticity of the connective atmosphere and therefore of the planetary connexion formed out of it, which would be greater than in the preceding periods in the same ratio as before. And so on, in the case of every subsequent planet-ring and planetary connexion in the Solar System. Had we commenced with any other system, the reasoning would have been exactly the same. The Saturnian System was evolved in precisely the same manner, but more rapidly, owing to the greater rotational velocity of the original spher- oid of that system. And the Terrestrial System was similarly 93] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 161 evolved, only the comparative slowness of the Earth's rota- tion causes the generative period to be much greater. And similarly also, no doubt, in the cases of those systems which are superior to the Solar System, even up to the Sidereal Sys- tem itself. 93. Difference Between the Actionsi of Gravitation in the Two Theories. Here, then, in the case of the attraction of gravitation, is the general law of inverse squares exemplified in the connective theory of cosmical evolution precisely the same as in the theory of gravitation. The restraining strength of a planetary connexion is seen to vary inversely with the square of the distance at which it acts, just the same as in the case of the force of gravity Where, then, it may be asked, is the difference between the restraining ac- tion of a connexion and the supposed force of the present theory? A moment's consideration will suffice to make this clear. For in the case of a primary connexion, the restraining energy is constant, whether the planet moves outwards from, or inwards towards, its primary. The absolute velocity of a planet in its orbit would also be invariable (in the absence of external agencies, of course, and aside from mutual accelera- tions and retardations caused by the secondary connexions and possibly one other cause to be considered later on) for the reason that there is nothing conceivable to which any change of it is assignable (see Art. 41) ; although its angular velocity, owing to various causes, may vary considerably. Therefore, since the restraining power of the connexion, and also the absolute velocity of the undisturbed planet are con- stant, it is manifest that if the planet, owing to any ordinary disturbing cause, should move beyond its normal distance, the centrifugal tendency would diminish, owing to the diminu- tion of the planet's angular velocity involved in the outward movement. It is very plain, therefore, that the outward move- ment would not continue very long subject to a continually diminishing centrifugal tendency and a constant restraining power. And it is equally obvious that if the planet would move inwards to less than its normal distance, the centrifugal 162 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [93 tendency would increase, owing to the increased angular ve- locity accompanying the inward movement; and that this in- ward movement could not long continue subject to a contin- ually increasing centrifugal tendency and a constant restrain- ing power. By the connective theory, then, it would be a physical im- possibility lor a planet to move beyond a limited range of its normal distance from its primary in consequence of the or- dinary perturbations to which it is subject, such as the ac- celerations and retardations of the secondary connexions. But compare this now with the supposed force of gravity. As the planet would move outwards, the restraining force, in- stead of remaining constant upon it like the elasticity of the connexions, would continually diminish in power; so that, in order that the planet may not fly entirely away from the Sun, it becomes necessary to suppose that the absolute velocity of the planet becomes less as it moves outwards, and the cen- trifugal tendency thus diminished in just the _same ratio as the supposed restraining force. Similarly as the planet moves inwards, the power of the supposed restraining force would increase upon it; so that, in order to prevent its falling upon the Sun, it becomes necessary to suppose that the planet's ab- solute velocity is increased, that the increased centrifugal tendency thus generated may balance the increased radial force. And this necessity of some means of thus maintaining the balance of the two opposing tendencies appears to be the sole justification for supposing that such a change of the planet's absolute velocity would take place; as no other ade- quate means of maintaining that balance, in accordance with the theory of gravitation, is conceivable. We thus see that even the very foundation stones of the theory of gravitation are readily, and even advantageously, replaceable by the material of the connective theory; and, if it be granted that the law of equal areas has no foundation in fact, as our investigations so far seem to prove, then the theory of gravitation has really no foundation at all, and 94] COSMICAL GRAVITATION 163 stands condemned by the very phenomena which have hitherto been regarded as furnishing its main support. 94. Action of the Secondary Connexions. With respect to the action of such connexions as those of the planets with one another and those of the Sun with the satellites, its na- ture does not at the present stage of the inquiry appear to be determinable. These connexions would evidently differ from the primary connexions in their function and consequently in their materiality. As already indicated, the former would be more refined, and would therefore possess less strength. Consequently their action would be characterized by less en- ergy and power. But what diminution of energy and power of action would be attributable to these causes does not seem to be ascertainable owing to the quanitative vagueness of the causes themselves. The secondary connexions would certain- ly cause considerable effects upon the motions of the bodies between which they subtend. In fact their actions would con- stitute the ordinary causes of planetary perturbations. In the case of two planets thus connected, the connexion would at certain times retard the orbital motion of one and accelerate that of the other, while, at other times, these actions would be reversed; thus causing the chief anomalies of planetary mo- tions which we observe. Similarly in the case of the Moon, the secondary connexion of that body with the Sun would at times accelerate its motion round the Earth and at other times retard it; thus no doubt giving rise to the wider pecul- iarities which the lunar motion is observed to possess. The Moon's connexions with the other planets would also produce noticeable effects upon its motion. But none of these effects appears to be calculable at the present time. In corrob- oration of this the most recent authorities on this subject are compelled to admit that, from actual observation, the various peculiarities of the lunar, and even of the planetary motions, are yet by no means all accounted for. And in still stronger corroboration, it has been pointed out by Poincaire (Report to the International Congress in Physics, 1900) that "the mass of Jupiter as derived from the orbits of its satellites, as de- 164 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [95 rived from its perturbations of the large planets, and as de- rived from its perturbations of the small planets, has three different values."* 95. Accurate Prediction of 'Astronomical Events. It may perhaps be wondered how such accurate prediction of astro- nomical events, such as eclipses, conjunctions, transits, etc., can be made in connection with such imperfect knowledge ot the causes affecting the. lunar and planetary orbits. But it is to be observed that such astronomical events are not pre- dicted from our knowledge of these causes themselves, but from our knowledge of their effects, as ascertained from act- ual observation. From long-continued observation of the act- ual anomalies of the motions of the heavenly bodies, we are at length enabled to foretell with a high degree of accuracy the orbital positions of any or all of these bodies at any particular time, providing it be not too remote. But this does not ap- pear to involve any knowledge whatever of the real causes which produce these phenomena. The computation of future events seems to be grounded almost entirely upon the obser- vaions of similar events in the past; upon the observed ef- fects of certain causes and conditions similar to those to which the future event is known to be subject; in fact upon a practical rather than upon a theoretic basis. "The eccentricities of the planetary orbits are partly de- duced from observation, and partly from the law of the equa- ble description of areas. The inclinations of the orbits; and, of course, all elements relating to the planets' own globes, their dimensions, compression, inclination, rotation, and so on, are obtained by telescopic observation and measure- ment.''! "In general all the data of astronomy are determined in this way, and the same may be said of such subjects as Tides and Meteorology. Isothermal Lines, Lines of Equal Dip or Intensity, Lines of No Declination, the Connection of Solar Spots with Terrestial Magnetism, and a host of other phenomena . . . are thus deducible from Observation merely." J *Nature, 97, 401. f Prof. R. A. Proctor, Ency. Britt., Art. Astron. ^Thomson and Tait's Elements of Natural Philosophy, p. 111. 96] COSMTCAL GRAVITATION 165 96. Ethereal Atmospheres. It has been observed that, by the new theory, solar gravitation upon a new planet consisted in the elasticity of the primary bond between planet and Sun. [t was noticed also that this planetary bond, owing to the con- traction and development of the planet's surface, becomes correspondingly developed in structure and density as it ap- proaches the planet's surface. Such also would, no doubt, be the case with all of the planet's connexions all around it. There would also be a reserve ethereal atmosphere around each planet. The approaches and departures of heavenly bodies to and from each other implies accretion and drain of ethereal bond-substance upon each at different times; but the drains would often be supplied from the primordial vapor of the newly born planets, because that vapor would be more simple in structure and therefore more yielding to the strain, than the connective atmosphere upon a developed planet; so that on the latter there would always be a surplus of accre- tion over depletion of bond-substance constituting an ethereal atmosphere appertaining to it. Indeed it appears to be a characteristic of all bodies, great and small, to possess such ethereal atmospheres; the greater density of the ether at and near a body's surface accounting for several common phenomena. A good conductor of elec- tricity has such an atmosphere which is always the seat of the transmission of an electric current along it, which barely if at all, penetrates the surface of the conductor. Contact electricity is also explained by such atmospheres, as also the diffraction of light, sonorous sand, etc. Gases adhere to such surfaces with such tenacity that they can hardly be driven away without melting the substance. "The neighborhood of gross matter seems also to render the ether more dense. It is difficult to suppose that It can really condense an incompressible fluid, but it may load it, or otherwise modify it, so as to produce the effect of Increas- ed density. In iron this density reaches its highest known value, and in all substances the density or inertia per unit volume of their ether may be denoted by m, and called their magnetic permeability."* *Sir Oliver J. Ledge, Nature, 38, 389. 166 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [97 "It appears, therefore, that the dielectric strength of a thin stratum of air (near a conductor) is much greater than that of a thick one. It is very difficult to understand why this should be so. 'Is it possible that the air very near to the surface of dense bodies is condensed, so as to become a better insulator?' "* 97. Terrestrial Gravitation. It is such an ethereal atmos- phere as this that is the seat of what is called the attraction of gravity upon the Earth's surface, and upon the surface of every heavenly body. Both the structural development and the density of this atmosphere would vary approximately as the inverse square of the distance from the Earth's center. Smaller bodies would have less dense atmospheres and there- fore weaker gravitational action., A body suspended in this atmosphere would be drawn in all directions, but mostly tow- ards the Earth's center because the density is greater on that side. And if an opening extended downwards through the Earth's crust, this atmosphere would continue inwards and be of greater density there than at the surface, if only from mere geometrical concentration. This explains the otherwise surprising result of Airy's gravitational experiment at the bot- tom of Harton colliery, where the effect of gravity was found to be considerably greater than at the surface, though by the current theory it should be less; and it also explains why the great mass of the Himalaya mountains have no effect on the plumbline, in direct violation of the law of gravitation (see Art. 21). The mechanism of the attraction would reside in the sec- ondary molecular connexions. These would act in a manner similar to the function of the sidebars on the driving wheels of a locomotive engine; communicating motion from one at- om or molecule to another. While these secondary connex- ions become easily detached from one revolving component and united with another, there would still be some strain ex- erted along them between the two components they unite; and *Prof. George Chrystal, Ency. Britt., 9th ed., 8, 61. The last quo- tation is from Maxwell's Elec. and Mag., 1. 57. See also in same con- nection Prof. F. E. Nipher, Pres. Add., Am. Assoc., 1891, and Dr. Young, Phil. Trans., R. S. 92, 21 97] OOSMICAL GRAVITATION 167 this strain it is that draws the body downwards. The effect of any one connexion would be extermely small, but the di- mensions of the orbit al'motions involved being extremely mi- nute much more so than those of the motions of heat and light and therefore their number so inconceivably great, their differential effect downwards would not be inconsider- able. Chemical action, the conduction of heat, and the trans- mission of light admit of easy explanation by this theory; these different manifestations of energy being simply differ- ences of atomic or molecular orbital velocities and magni- tudes, which are transmitted from one atom or molecule to adjoining atoms or molecules by means of these secondary connecting-rods. How far this ethereal atmosphere would extend above a planet's surface is not easy to determine, but probably not many times farther than the aerial atmosphere. How far it extends below a planet's surface would be determined by the thickness of the developed crust, probably attaining its great- est density not far from the middle of that thickness. At least this planetary attraction is of an entirely different nature from the agency holding the planet in its orbit; for though the ethereal atmosphere of a primary body once ex- tended outwards to planetary distances, yet when that pri- mary contracts its volume, the ethereal atmosphere would con- tract with it, leaving only the various connexions behind. These connexions would be the seat of the so-called planetary gravitation, which would be constant for each planet, as just seen (Art. 92, c) ; while the ethereal atmosphere would be the seat of the so-called attraction of gravitation as we know it on the Earth's surface, which, with some modifications, would vary inversely as the square of the central distance. CHAPTER VI COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT As Prof, Young observes, "perhaps we assume with a little too much conffdence that in free space radiation does take place equally in all directions," and he asks whether the con- stitution of things may not be such that radiation and trans- fer of energy can take place only between ponderable masses ; and that too, without the expenditure of energy upon the transmitting agent (if such exists) along the line of trans- mission, even in transitu. If this were the case, then the sun would send out its energy only to planets, meteors, and sis- ter stars, wasting none in empty space; and so its loss would be enormously diminished, and the time scale of the planetary system would be correspondingly extended. SAMUEL LAING. The fact is that neither the corpuscular nor the undula- tory, or any other system which has yet been devised, will furnish that complete and satisfactory 1 explanation of all the phenomena of light which is desirable. Certain admissions must be made at every step, as to modes of mechanical action, where we are in total ignorance of the acting forces; and we are called on, where reasoning fails .us occasionally, for an exercise of faith. SIR JOHN HERSCHEL. There is no absurdity so palpable but that it may be firmly planted in the human mind if you only begin to incul- cate it before the age of five, by constantly repeating it with an air of great solemnity. For, as in the case of animals, so in that of man, training is successful only when you begin in early youth. ARTHUR SCHOPENHAUER. 98. The Connective Theory of Heat Distribution. By the popular theory, the Sun's heat and light is equally diffused outwards in all directions from that body; diminishing at any point in the same ratio that the square of its distance from the heat and light source increases. The confusion resulting from this view, regarding the actual temperature of the Sun, has been already noticed (Art. 50) ; and it is significant that this view makes the Sun to be much hotter than is found to be the case from actual observation. 98] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 169 Now the teaching of the new theory with respect to solar heat is, it may be said, almost the reverse of Newton's theory. Instead of the Sun's heat being diffused outwards from the Sun equally in all directions, it would be distributed trom that body in a comparatively small number of lines or connexions ; which being chiefly with bodies vastly smaller than the Sun, the heat instead of being diffused outwards to these bodies, would rather be concentrated upon them. But it is far from being contended here that, on this account, the Sun's surface temperature is less than that we receive on our hottest sum- mer day. We really do not know what the Sun's temperature is, and can as yet assign to it only a probable value. The un- known factors which render the real value uncertain are nu- merous and important; but it does not appear impossible that at some future day we may determine them all, and so ascer- tain the actual temperature. In the first place, we have no apparent means of knowing what portion of. the actual solar heat is imparted to the con- nective substance at the Sun's surface. In the second place, we cv.uiot say how the transmission through the connective substance affects the unknown portion thus imparted. In the third place, we possibly are not quite certain of the effect of our own upper atmosphere upon the unknown portion thus transmitted to it. And there are still other unknown factors of minor importance. We cannot reason here from analogy because we have no analogue. We are surrounded on all sides by a connective atmosphere made up of an unknown number of individual connexions of an unknown number of kinds; and we cannot separate with certainty the effect or in- fluence of any one from the effect or influence of the others. Heat is a species of motion; but it is not certain whether some other species of motion, which is not heat, may or may not generate heat motion in certain substances, or vice versa. By the new theory, hear, is but a degree of an essential, if not indeed the essential, property of all matter; and we know not yet how many degrees are mutually interchangeable. We may, therefore, leave the discussion of these questions for the 170 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [99 present, until at least we see what light the examination of cosmical evolution in its future processes may cast upon them. 99. Comparison of the Two Theories. The new theory places us apparently in no greater dilemma, in this respect, than we are now in, for the same difficulties (together with several others more important) are met with in the present theory also, as the following quotations show: "If we had a thermometer so long that we could dip the bulb into the sun and read the degrees on the stem here, we should find out what observers would like very much to know, and at present are disposed to quarrel about. The difficulty is not in measuring the heat, but in telling what temperature corresponds to it, since there is no known rule by which to find one from the other."* "The energy of vibrational radiations is a transformation of the heat of a hot body, and can be again frittered down into heat, but in the interval of its passage through space, devoid of tangible matter, or even while passing unabsorbed through tangible matter, it is not necessarily heat."t Also Prof. W. K. Clifford states : "There is no reason why the vibratory motions of the ether should not be transformed into other kinds of ethereal motions." And many other phys- icists might be quoted to the same effect. That heat in certain cases is transformed into other kinds of energy, is now a commonplace of the school-books. One instance of this transformation is that, in the powerful fric- tion caused by boring iron, as in the making of cannon, the enormous amount of heat thus generated disappears at once, as such, when the iron operated on is strongly magnetized. But whether or not similar transformations take place in our own amosphere, or in the solar atmosphere, in the region be- tween me two, or in all three, is equally an unknown factor in either theory. But although these uncertainties are common to both the- ories, none of the more serious objections, which the present theory involves, is applicable to the new theory. We certain- ly would not infer from the latter, as is unavoidably infer- able from the former, that the Sun's temperature would be *Prof. S. P. Langley, Century Magazine, Dec. 1884. tProf. P. G. Tait. 99] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 171 several millions of degrees ; that the temperature of the Earth ought to be much higher during our winter than during our summer; or that more solar heat would be received at the North Pole during our summer than would be received at the Equator (see Arts. 50-1-2-3). With respect to this last inference, the old theory assumes that equal areas at right angles to the solar beams receive the same amount of sunheat, whether at the Pole or at the Equator; whereas, the new theory implies, on the contrary, that the amounts of sunheat which fall upon equal areas at right angles to the solar beams on different portions of the Earth's surface are not equal, but vary directly about as the Earth-masses directly behind such areas from the Sun; because the density of the tension- or heat-rays of the solar connexion reasonably depends upon the mass rather than upon the surface to which it is distributed; and because the amount of solar radiation obviously would vary directly as the density of these connexion-rays transmitting it. In other words, the heat falling on a certain area normally exposed to the solar beams on dinerent portions of the Earth's sur- face varies approximately as the portion of the ray's path pro- duced included between the opposite surfaces of the Earth; varies, i. e., as the cosine of the Sun's zenith distance. But as the actual surface of the Earth directly behind the area perpendicular to the solar rays (i. e., the area of the shadow of the latter) varies as the sine of the Sun's zenith distance, we have, at the equinoxes, the relative solar heat upon a cer- tain area on any portion of the Earth's surface having the Sun in its meridian approximately determined by the quotient of the cosine, divided by the sine, of the latitude. Thus accord- ing to these circumstances the Sun's zenith distance would be very great near the Poles and very small near the Equa- tor (or equal to the latitudes of these places at the equinox es) ; and therefore its cosine would be very small at the for- mer and very great at the latter place. Also the sine of the Sun's zenith distance is very small near the Equator but very great near the Poles. The relative amount of heat at the 172 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [101 Poles would therefore be represented by the very small cosine divided by the very large sine, while at the Equator it would be represented by the very large cosine divided by the very small sine. Thus the actual solar heat falling upon a unit area near the Equator would be refatively much greater than by the current theory, while that received upon a unit area near the Poles would be much smaller than by that theory; which appears to agree precisely with the observed facts and accounts fully for the low temperature of the Frigid Zones as compared with that of the Torrid Zone. 100. Heat Transmission by the Secondary Connexions. It is reasonably supposable that, in accordance with the new theory, a greater degree of heat would be trasmitted from the Sun through the primary connexions with the planets than through the secondary connexions with the satellites and oth- er bodies. This would naturally follow from the supposed comparative grossness, density, and strength of the former connexions. It appears probable also that the solar connex- ions with remoter bodies, such as the fixed stars, and per- haps some comets, transmit little or no heat. By the new theory the planet Saturn would at the present time be ap- proximately in the same physical state as the Sun; i. e., an intensely heated gaseous body; yet as our connexion with it gives no evidence of such heat, we are left to conclude that little or no heat is transmitted by such connexions. More- over it is likely that heat transmitted through even the pri- mary connexions would be chiefly, or perhaps wholly, in one direction, or from the primary to the derived body. And final- ly it would be almost self-evident that as the Sun contracted its volume and its crust became hard and cold, the heat-sup- ply to the primarily connected bodies would be very pro- foundly modified accordingly. 101. Connective Theory of Light Distribution. In our in- vestigations regarding light, much the same preliminary re- marks apply as in the phenomena of heat. The light energy would travel only in the connexions; and that of the primary would be somewhat concentrated upon the derived body in 101] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 173 the same manner as the heat energy. Of the actual amount of light at the surface of a neavenly body, however, tne quan- tity we receive from it would not (at least yet) be any indi- cation whatever; and for the same reason that the amount of heal we receive from it is no indication of its actual heat. The effect of the solar light rays as well as the amount or solar heat would be greater from a zenith Sun; but the same rate of diminution towards the edges of the solar connexion would quite probably not apply to light as to heat. Different altitudes of the Sun do not appear to cause the same varia- tions in the solar light as in solar heat., Our winter days are about as bright as our summer days, though the latter are much the colder; and similarly there seems to be nearly as intense a degree of daylight in the middle of the forenoon as at mid-day, although the latter is usually by far the warm- er. Also there' are times when clouds entirely cut off direct sunlight for days, during which the amount of daylight is not proportionately diminished. Our atmosphere evidently mul- tiplies the light effects of the solar energy to a much greater extent than it does the heat effects of it; and this greater multiplication of light effects in our atmosphere manifestly causes an approximately equable light distribution over the day hemisphere. But probably the chief reason for this equa- ble distribution of light is that the light rays are not con- centrated like the heat rays, towards the center of the solar (or any) connexion, but are more equally distributed through- out its entire section are, perhaps, nearly as dense at the bor- ders of the connexion as at its center. Heat or tension rays very probably vary as the mass to which they extend, because their function necessarily requires it. But the light rays, having a very different nature, would consequently have an entirely different function, having more to do with surface than with mass; and are therefore more uniformly mingled among the other rays throughout the whole connexion. As for the necessary geometrical relations of space, they of course remain wholly unaffected by any theoretic deduc- tion. The apparent angular size of a body, e. g., would still 174 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [102 be primarily modified by its distance from the observer; but it may also be secondarily modified by tM quantity or den- sity of the light rays issuing from it to the observer. It is well known that none of the so-called fixed stars presents any disc whatever, but a mere point of* light. This may not, how- ever, be altogether owing to the great distance, or to the smallness of these bodies. It is true that the distances of the fixed stars are comparatively vast, as is evidenced by their annual parallax (or rather its absence) as indicated by the diameter of the Earth's orbit. But it may be that the paral- lax is itself underestimated, owing to our approximately cen- tral position in the Sidereal System, and the absence or in- visibility of all bodies beyond its confines. Our sensations within terrestrial limits would again be no criterion for the interpretation of our sensations within celes- tial limits. Owing to the approximate constancy and uniform- ity of the terrestrial connective atmosphere, the law of in- verse squares, with reference to light upon the Earth's sur- face, holds, at least in most cases, with a tolerable degree of exactness; in most cases, and with a tolerable degree of exactness, because in some cases the law does not appear to account for the facts at all; as in the case of the glimmer of a taper being visible in the darkness for many miles, and even for a time apparently diminishing in intensity as the light is approached; and because in other cases there is only a par- tial accordance, as in the case of an object appearing only about four-fifths as large above our heads as on a level with our eyes.* 102. Horizontal Enlargement of Visual Objects. This phe- nomenon, in the case of heavenly bodies, such as the Sun and Moon, has puzzled astronomers and physicists from the time of Alhazen, who observed it in the eleventh century, down to the present day; but it still remains inexplicable. By the new theory the explanation of this fact would be simply that the horizontal rays of the connective atmosphere are more nu- merous at any time, or at any point of the Earth's surface, *Bcll. Astron., Aprii. 1885. 104] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 175 than the vertical rays are. This would follow, partly at least, from the overlapping in the Earth's atmosphere of rays ex- tending in opposite horizontal directions. The solar rays would communicate their light-action directly to other rays of the connective atmosphere which are parallel with them; and thus, in effect, the density of the solar rays would be in- creased by these parallel rays and the visual effect would consequently be enlarged, for the same reason that it is en- larged by the greater density of the rays in the focus of a lens. The same reasonng also applies to any other object as well as to the Sun, Moon, or stars. The greater number of horizontal than of vertical connexion rays transmitting its light causes a corresponding enlargement of the horizontal, as compared with the vertical, object 103 Question Raised by the New Theory. In general, as already stated, the necessary space relations mainly govern the apparent size of the heavenly bodies as viewed from any particular one. Thus we know that the Sun, Moon, and plan- ets are apparently smaller at their greater than at their smaller distances from us. But the question raised by the new theory is this: Does the light transmitted to us by all classes of heavenly bodies indicate their real relative dimen- sions, or their real relative distances as determined from their apparent dimensions? If Jupiter and an equal volume from the Sun and another equal volume from a fixed star, each shining by its respective light-rays, as we now see it, were all placed at the same distance from the Earth, would they appear to us of the same size? Or, if placed where their apparent sizes were equal, would their distances from us be alike? If the new theory be the true one, it seems probable that they would not. For the remoter connexions are sup- posed to differ very materially from the less remote, the dif- ference varying probably with the remoteness; and with such variation of the connexion, a corresponding variation in the character and quantity of light transmissible by it may rea- sonably be posited. 104. Dark Transits of Jupiter's Satellites. A fact which 176 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [104 probably lends support to the connective theory of light trans- mission is furnished by Jupiter's satellites. The third and fourth of these satellites, and especially the latter, are frequently seen to cross the disc of jthe planet as dark objects, although tneir sunny sides are turned towards us at the time. At other times, the satellites are seen to cross the planet's disc as bright objects; and the inner satellites, it appears, nearly always cross it as bright objects. By the popular theory this phenomenon is explained as follows : "The perpetual whiteness of the second satellite, and the darkened tints of the others during transit (not to sny in explanation of the casual appearances strange and un- usual reported at other times) is due to differences in their relative albedo, as compared with that of Jupiter." And al- bedo is defined as the "relative capacity for reflection of d.t- fused light from equal areas."* As the fourth and third satellites from the planet arc- sometimes bright and sometimes dark as they pass over the planet's disc, it is assumed that the sides of them presented to us in the latter case have a much greater capacity for re- flecting the sunlight than the other sides. This explanation fceems plausible, and it may be the correct one. It is liable to some objections, however, which seem to make it rather doubtful. It is shown that the albedo of the edges of Jupiter s disc is much smaller than that of its center. In consequence of this, the first, third, and fourth satellites some times ap- pear bright on the edges of the disc and dark on its center, while in every transit the second satellite is always bright. Now one objection to this is that if the difference of albedo at the edges and at the center of the planetary disc be such as to cause any body to appear bright on the former and dark on the latter, it ought to cause some such effect during the transit of every body; which, however, we have in any degree failed to observe in every transit of the second satellite, and in many transits of the first and third. It would seem also "Edmund J. Spitta, Monthly Notices R. A. S.. 48, No 1, Nov 1887, V. 32. 104] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 177 that if the albedo of one side of a satellite, the third, e. g., is so small as to appears black on the planetary disc, and that of the other side so great as to appear bright on that disc (Miraldi observed this satellite in transit as a dark spot, April 4, 1707, and as a white spot during the next transit, April 11) the black and the white transits ought to occur with about equal frequency; which again is not the case, as the dark transits of some satellites appear to be much less frequent than the bright ones. And still another objection seems to be that the albedo of any of the satellites should at any time be so much greater than that of the planet as to cause the for- mer to appear white upon the latter. The edges of the sat- ellites' discs should, of course, have a smaller albedo than their centers, similarly to the planet's disc. Yet these edges or the satellites' discs appear whiter than the center of the planetary disc upon which they pass, which, as a matter of fact, seems to contradict the actual measurements of these relative values of the albedos which would reasonably be ex- pected under the circumstances. The following explanation of these facts is suggested by the new theory. The third and fourth satellites have the planes of their orbits inclined to the plane of the planet's orbit. This circumstance, together with greater distance from the planet, permits them occasionally to pass outside of the planet's con- nexion with the Sun as they revolve in their own proper or- bits; at which time they appear to us as dark objects upon the planet's disc. If Jupiter and the Earth revolved round the Sun in the same orbit-plane, obviously it would be impossible for us to see any of Jupiter's satellites pass across that plan- et's disc outside of the planet's connexion with the Sun, ex- cept for a few moments on the eastern or western side of the connexion when Jupiter was near quadrature. But .the plane of Jupiter's orbit is somewhat tilted to that of the Earth, so that the latter when about in conjunction with the former is nearly always either above or below Jupiter's connexion. Therefore, when the Earth and a satellite are both upon the upper or the lower side of that connexion, it is quite possible 178 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [105 that the three bodies would be in a straight line, at which time the satellite would appear as a dark spot upon the plan- et's disc. At other times the satellite would pass through the planet's connexion, and receiving its full effect of light and heat together with its own, it would appear about of the same, or even greater, brightness than that of the planet. The third satellite, being less distant, and its orbit less inclined, would pass outside of the planet's connexion at rarer inter- vals; and the second and first satellites not at all for the same reasons. According to this view, each of the satellites would appear black upon the planet's disc, except when it passed through the planetary connexion during the transit; and the peculiar grayish or ashen hue frequently observed would be owing to the passage of the satellites through, or partially through, the edges of the connexion. This appearance in the case of the first satellite, whose inclination is so small that it would about always pass through the center of the planetary con- nexion during its front transit may possibly be owing to its being viewed when the Earth and Jupiter are separated by a considerable heliocentric angle, so that it would pass over a portion of the planetary disc after it had passed through, or before it entered, the main part of the planetary connexion. 105. Sunlight and Earthlight on the Moon. The illumina- tion of the Moon's surface next to the Sun is not necessarily opposed to this view. Jupiter's satellites invariably appear bright to us when not crossing behind, or in front of, the planet's disc; and this brightness can not always be due to the primary light of the planet. These satellites, therefore, appear bright by the Sun's secondary light just as in the case of the Moon. And we appear to have no evidence whatever that, to an observer on Venus, the Moon in its occasional transit across the Earth's disc does not appear at times as a dark object, and at others as a bright object, as it passed re- spectively to one side of, or through, the Earth's solar con- nexion; just in the same manner and for the same reasons that Jupiter's satellites appear so to us. The solar illumination 105] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 179 of the Moon does not appear to be very intense. There is, in fact, no reason for believing that the solar illumination of the Earth would not quite probably appear more intense from the Moon than that of the latter does to us; and a slight defi- ciency of solar light upon one body as compared with another over whose disc it was passing would cause the former to appear comparatively dark. Now, besides being illuminated by direct sunlight (and possibly also by its own inherent light), the Moon would also be illuminated by earthlight. This earthlight would probably at the present time consist chiefly of reflected sunlight. But it may also consist partly of light inherent in the Earth itself. We know as little of the ultimate riature and transformations of light as we do of heat. As the latter may be manifested in the transformation of en- ergies which are not heat, so the former may possibly be man- ifested in the transformation of energies which are not light. It seems not impossible, therefore, that along with the toler- ably certain component of the earthlight upon the Moon (i. e., the reflected sunlight), there may also co-exist a component consisting of a light originating on the Earth. The light re- flected from the Earth to the Moon should obviously be much greater than the light reflected from the Moon to the Earth. Even by the current theory the former should be at least twelve times the latter. Yet, while we know that the Earth is very considerably illuminated by moonlight, the Moon at the most favorable conjuncture, as at or near new Moon, is little more than barely visible to us by earthlight. In fact Mr. Frank W. Very "finally concludes that in round numbers the earth shine (on the Moon) at new moon has an intrinsic brightness of about 1/1600 of moon light of average quality, such as is re- ceived shortly before first quarter."* This is just about 1/20,000 as much as it should be, supposing the albedo of the Earth and of the Moon to be equal. And there certainly appears no reason to think that the albedo of the Earth, which is mostly covered with clouds, water, or *Astron. Nach., No. 4696. 180 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [105 snow, should be less than that of the brown rocks or soil of the Moon's surface; so that, by the current theory, this com- parative dimness of the earthshine upon the Moon remain; 1 unexplained. By the new theory this fact would be explained by the structure of the Moon's primary connexion. It has already been intimated that heat would travel chieftly in the primary connexions, and almost wholly in a direction from the primary to the derived body. One reason for this is that the primary body was in a state of intensely heated vapor while yet the derived body was a ring of highly developed crust material; so that heat naturally traveled from the hotter to the colder body, and, once started that way, would so continue. Light, however, embraces a higher range of phenomena; so that one kind of light might be transmitted by a connexion in one di- rection, while a different kind or degree of light might be transmitted by it at the same time in the opposite direction. But it seems very difficult to conceive that the same connec- tive substance would at the same time transmit the same kind of light in opposite directions; for -the reason that the same connective lines or rays would be required for such trans- mission; and if these rays transmitted the light in one di rection, it appears impossible that they could at the same time transmit that light in an opposite direction also. Now it is only reasonable to suppose that the Moon's primary con- nexion is continually transmitting light (and probably heat also) from the Earth towards the Moon; and, for the reason just stated, little or none of this light (and heat) could be transmitted back again to the Earth. While at the same time the solar light falling on the Moon, being supposably of a different kind, is readily transmitted Earthwards by that con- nexion. There is no evidence whatever by the popular theory that the solar light reflected from the Moon would be pre- cisely similar to the light reflected from the Earth. And by the new theory we have good grounds for believing that the solar light transmitted by the secondary connexion of th? Moon is different both in quantity and kind from the solar 107] COSMICAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT AND LIGHT 181 light transmited by the primary connexion of the Earth. Therefore, we seem to be quite justified in assuming that, of the light transmitted from the Earth to the Moon, very little, or none whatever, would be transmited in a backward direction; which obviously explain the faint visibility of "the old Moon in the new Moon's arms." 106. The Moon's Sunlight on the Earth. At the time of a lunar eclipse, the lunar connexion with the Sun falls upon the Earth, which thus receives for the time the full benefit of the heat and light of this connexion, in addition to that of its own. As already intimated, the ratio or relation .which the one con- nexion bears to the other is not determined. But, if upon no other consideration than that of mass, the Moon's solar con- nexion would be only about one-eightieth of the Earth's; and, by virtue of its secondary character, it would probably be much less than this. The additional amount of light and heat which at that time would be transmited to us would there- fore be scarcely perceptible unless special pains were directed to determine it. And it is from such determination that the quantitive and qualitative relations of the solar connexions of the two bodies will, in all probability, eventually be ascer- tained. If only the Earth could eclipse an outer planet, we would then, by the new theory, receive about double the ordinary solar heat and light. Such an event would last for a few hours; but it would be difficult to predict, and might easily pass unobserved if not specially looked for. 107. The 'Aberration of Light. In a Report to the British Association, on "Optical Theories", by R. T. Glazebrook, it is stated that Stokes "has given us an explanation of aberration by showing that we may suppose the Earth to move through space carry- ing the ether with it, the ether at some distance from it being at rest; provided that the motion thus produced in the ether be irrotational, all the known phenomena of aberration will follow."* *Nature, 33, 19. 182 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [107 This, however, would hardly be the case according to the cur- rent theory, for if the ether for a certain distance should be carried along with the Earth in its orbit, it would hardly tail also to be carried along with the Earth in its axial rotation. But by the new theory it is just wriat would actually happen. The planetary connexions and the ethereal atmosphere upon the Earth are of course carried along by that body in its an- nual revolution, while they in no degree rotate with it about its axis, but are relatively fixed while the Earth rotates with- in them. And the ethereal interplanetary connexions sub- tending between other heavenly bodies, through which the Earh passes in its annual motion, would of course be at rest ^relatively to that motion. CHAPTER VII ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM We must at once put the comets out of view. . . . We do not know whether the comets are really indigenous to the solar system or whether they may not be merely imported into the system from the depths of space. R. S. BALL. The tails of comets, however they may be viewed, wheth- er as regards their immense length, both in degrees and in miles, the separation of some into two or more parts in the direction of their lengths, their great breadth and curvature, the rapidity of their formation, their deviation from the line of the radius vector, frequent formation of a tail towards the sun, the black stripe through the center of some, and its absence in others, their chemical composition, and, above all, the source and nature of the force that throws back from the sunny side of the coma a train of unimagined extent in one instance 200,000,000 miles in length and 15,000,000 in breadth are among the most inscrutable of the marvels which the vis- ible universe presents for our contemplation and study. No explanation has ever been propounded that will satisfactorily account for a single one of these phenomena. PROF. LEWIS SWIFT. Perhaps there is no object upon which it is easier to ex- ercise the imigination than upon Saturn. And there is prob- ably no orb in reference to which more errors in detail have been made. . . . As a matter of fact it is an extremely difficult point to distinguish between real and imaginative features on Saturn. The tremblings of the image, its faint- ness under high power, or its smallness under low power, encourage much fictitious detail which every observer cannot regard as illusory. . . . Enke's division in the outer ring- is a doubtful, or probably a very variable feature, which at certain times appears to be missing altogether. W. F. DENNING. 108. The Saturn iah Ring. There are many curious and hitherto inexplicable anomalies in the Solar System which furnish the strongest possible corroborative evidence of the new views here advanced. The planet Saturn and its ring- are very remarkable instances, the evidence of which alone 184 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [108 is almost sufficient to establish the truth of the new theory. There is, properly speaking, no explanation of the curious phe- nomenon of Saturn's ring by the current theory. There are quite a number of alleged explanations, none of which, how- ever, are tenable. The most common view is that the ring is composed of discrete particles of dust or tenuous vapor, sim- ilar to the substance of a comet's tail or of the zodiacal light. This view is now accepted by the highest living authorities on the subject. The planet itself, on the other hand, is sup- posed to be an ice-covered solid body.* How the planet be- came solidified out of the original vapors while the ring, which had, to say the least, an equal chance to solidify, yet remains almost in the original state, is of course wholly inexplicable. Prof. Keelerf by photographing the spectrum of Saturn's ring and noting the relative displacements of the spectral lines, has obtained, according to Doppler's principle, what he regarded as proof that the outer portion of the ring revolves more slowly than the inner portion; which appears to con- firm the meteoric hypothesis of the ring's constitution put forth by Maxwell in 1856. Prof. Keeler's work has been re- peated and corroborated by Dr. W. W. Campbell of Lick Observatory.:}: Doppler's principle is now generally accepted as authori- tative in such cases, and there is not much room for doubt that in some cases it leads to correct results. But the displace- ments of the spectral lines of a body owing to its recession or approach upon which the principle depends are extreme- ly small in nearly all cases and requires very accurate com- parison with the same spectral lines of a stationary body. In Newcomb's Astronomy, (ed. 1893), the diameter of the planet Saturn is given as 70,500 miles, the distance of the inner edge of tlyi bright ring from the planet's center, 58,280 *The ultra- Jovian planets "are globes of solid ice, inclosing cores of rocky material and wrapped in vapor-laden atmospheres.' 1 Prof. A. Winchell, World-Life, p. 473. tAstrophysical Journal, May 1895, p. 416. lAstrophysical Journal, Aug. 1895, p. 127. 108] ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 185 miles, that of the outer edge, 83,557 miles, and the gravity-fall at the planet's surface in one second, 19 feet. Now, if it be granted that the ring consists of a swarm of meteorites, it is found from the foregoing data that, according to the variation of gravtiy-fall inversely as the square of the distance, a veloc- ity of 12.55 miles per second would be required to balance the gravityrfall at the inner edge of the ring, and a velocity of 10.4 miles per second to balance the gravity-fall at the outer edge of the ring; giving a velocity-difference of 2.15 miles per second at the inner and outer edges of the ring. Now this difference is alleged to be detected by the spectroscope in the v/idth of the ring, or a space of less than six seconds of arc; and moreover, since this difference can only be ob- served when the plane of the ring is tilted considerably to the line of sight, the real velocity-difference with respect to our instruments would, for this reason, be considerably less than two miles, probably about one and a half miles, and the conditions of observation extremely difficult besides. When has so small a velocity-difference been spectroscop- ically observed before under similar circumstances? The nearest approach to it appears to be the velocity of the Sun's rotation, attempts at the Spectroscopic determination of which by vailous observers have recently been made, the results varying around two kilometres, or about one and one-fourth mile per second at the equator. This makes a velocity-differ- ence of about two and a half miles between the opposite edges or the Sun's disc, which, by using a very high dispersion spec- troscope, gives a total line displacement of only one-tenth of a millimetre, or about 1/250 inch. And though the observa- tions were made under the most favorable circumstances, and the velocity-difference much larger than in the case of Sat- urn's ring, the variations in the results, both by the different observers and by the lines of different substances, were such that the question is still left with six different institutions for settlement.* The following from an excellent authority refers to the same difficulties: *See Publication 2106, Smithsonian Institution, p. 260. 186 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY "It may be worth while to indicate the accuracy necessary in such measurements. The velocity of rotation of the sun's equator is approximately 2km. per second, while the velocity of light is 300,000 km. per second. According to Doppler's principle, the corresponding change in wavelength should be 1 : 150,000 a quantity too small* to be 'resolved' by any prism or grating then in existence. But by a sufficient num- ber of careful micrometer measurements of the position of the middle of a given spectral line, the mean value of two such sets of measurements would show the required shift. It is clear, however, that if such radial velocities are to be de- termined with any considerable degree of accuracy, nothing short of the highest resolving power of the most powerful gratings should be employed."* Now if such observers as Huggins and Vogel were unable to determine spectroscopically the velocity-difference of the Sun's rotation in opposite directions, it may easily be im- agined how much more difficult and uncertain would be the determination of the smaller velocity-difference of the inner and outer edges of Saturn's ring under the far more difficult circumstances of observation. (See W. F. Denning's quota- tion under heading of this chapter). Does it not seem barely possible that this current view of the constitution of the Saturnian ring is somewhat of the na- ture of reasoning in a circle, or of a leading question suggest- ing its own answer? According to the theory of gravitation, the ring could not possibly revolve as a solid whole, if com- posed of ordinary crust material. This suggested the meteor- itic hypothesis of its constitution, which appears to have no other evidence or reason whatever in its favor; after which the theory of gravitation necessitated variable velocity, and has it not occured before? unconscious bias towards a uni- versally accepted theory molded doubtful instrumental ob- servations accordingly. We know that several other causes besides difference of velocity in the line of sight displaces spectral lines, and we know moreover that in many such cases some lines are dis- placed more than others; for which reasons some authorities reject Doppler's principle as untrustworthy. (See Nature, *Dr. A. A. Michelson, Nature, 88, 363. 108] ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 187 79,431). There are others who have investigated this question spectroscopically, and who differ from Keeler, not considering this kind of evidence as a proof of the meteoritic nature of the ring.* "Sir W. Herschel concluded that the matter of the ring is no less solid than that of Saturn as it casts a strong shadow upon the planet. The light of the ring is generally brighter than that of the planet." f A. Mascari observed per- manent bright spots on the ring July 25 to August 6, 1895, $ which is not easy to explain on the meteoritic theory. Bessel determined the mass of the ring as 1/118 of that of the planet, while its volume, adopting Bond's value of 40 miles for its thickness, is only 1/400 of the planet's volume. Prof. Asaph Hall reduced Bessel's value to 1/1180; while the mass per- missible by Maxwell's meteoritic hypothesis is only 1/120,000 of the planet's mass. But by far the strongest reason for believing that the ring is solid is its extreme thinness, as compared with its width, and the clear definition of its edges and of its shadow upon the planet. It is wholly inexplicable and inconceivable that a swarm of meteorites could dispose themselves in a plane ring of about 170,000 miles diameter, 30,000 miles width, and of a uniform thickness of only 1/750 part of its width. The most natural form of a ring composed of a loose swarm of meteor- itic bodies would seem to be one of an approximately cir- cular section, thinning in density towards the outside surface, and therefore of blurred or fading definition at the edges. There is no conceivable agency which would compress a me- teoritic swarm into a pancake form of such extreme thinness relative to width and of such perfect definition; just as if it were pressed between immense rollers. The only rational view seems to be that the ring is solid and that it had its ori- gin in the manner indicated by the new theory. Its width would thus be determined by the quadrant of the planet's sur- *M. H. Deslandres, Nature, 52, 144. fProf. R. A. Proctor, Ency. Brit., 9th ed., 11, 811. JAstron. Nach., 3318. Nature, 33, 303. 188 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [108 face and its thickness by double that of the original crust; both of which, however, would now be less than at first owing to the expansion which the ring has already undergone. Some authorities are agreed that the ring is getting con- tinually smaller in diameter, and will continue to grow in- wards ; * while others hold that the diameter of the ring-sys- tem is continually increasing at the rate of about 29 miles annually from the time of Huyghens,.f Prof. C. A. Young states that "the most recent micrometric measures have failed to confirm Struve's suspicion that the rings are contracting on the planet." The ring is, in all probability, continually receding from the planet, therefore expanding in diameter; and, being thus subjected to an increasing centrifugal strain, it will yield eventually at some point and collapse into a satellite. There is little further to .add to this explanation. Regarding the real attraction of the planet upon the ring by the new theory, it may be stated that it would supposably be very small. The crust of the planet as it separated into its present ring-form would carry with it a portion of the structurally developed connective atmosphere in which the function of attraction lies; the remainder of which on the planet's surface would supposably conform itself structurally, and therefore function- ally with respect to gravitation, to the different conditions supervening there after the crust's removal (see Art. 92 b). The same change in the connective atmosphere of the ring would take place during its precipitation into the spherical form. Notwithstanding the general belief that the ring is multiple, or made up of two or three separate rings, there is no real evidence whatever that such is the case. There are indeed striations and bands of different colors ; but this would quite supposably arise from the manner in which the ring is here conceived to have been derived, without involving any actual breach of continuity. Mr. Asaph Hall of Washington *A. Winchell, Woild-Ljfe, p. 483; Otto Struve, Astron. Nach., No. 2948. fRay's Elements of Astronomy. 108] ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 189 Observatory has especially examined the planet Saturn and. its ring during the fourteen years 1875-89. Following are the results of his observations so far as they relate to this point: "Although a careful examination was made to find if a notch could be seen in the outline of the shadow of the ball upon the ring, no such phenomenon was recorded. Of the prin- cipal rings, no division was recorded in the inner ring. The Cassini division gave the impression 'of not being a complete separation, or that small particles of matter remain in this partly dark space.' The Encke division of the outer ring, although specially looked for, could not be definitely stated as a 'real and -permanent division,' although a slight marking was seen at times."* The transparent inner portion of the ring (the crape ring), which we observe to be precisely analogous in substance to the coronal rays, the zodiacal light, and the tails of comets, is, by the new theory, nothing else than the ring's primary connexion with the planet, mixed, perhaps, near the ring, with some aqueous and other vapors. The main body of the ring is certainly solid enough to cast an unbroken shadow upon the planet, and also to receive the shadow of the latter upon the side farthest from the Sun. The outline of this latter shadow, minutely scrutinized with powerful telescopes, has led astronomers to believe that the outer edge of the ring is rounded in form; precisely as the new theory would lead us to expect. Changes appear to be taking place in the ring's sructure, owing, no doubt, to its continual expansion. M. Stuyvaert of the Royal Observatory, Brussels, from drawings made February 8 and 15, 1887, and presented to the Royal Bel- gian Academy, shows that the black band corresponding to the Cassinian division, is encroaching on the outer portion of the ring, in a remarkable series of indentations. Another portion is broken up into a series of bright white spots, by a number of dusky patches. Also there were observed three or four "large re-entering angles, like the teeth of a saw", on the inner margin. These observed changes have led to the belief that the matter composing the ring is at present much less evenly distributed than usual. And, in fact, we really know *Nature, 43, 65. 190 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [109 not at what moment a serious break may occur which would precipitate the awful catastrophe terminating the existence of the ring as such, and transforming it into another Saturnian satellite. 109. Comets. If the privilege of witnessing this grand catastrophe the crashing together of billions upon billions of cubic miles of solid rock and earth, separated by about 170,- 000 miles, or about three-fourths the distance of the Moon from the Earth if the rare privilege of gazing with our mortal eyes upon this convulsion of a world in the throes of a planetary birth be granted us, it may be that other bodies besides the off-spring will be seen to engage our attention. In the extreme violence of the collisions, vast fragments would probably have their parental connexions severed, and with a portion of these severed connexions clinging about them as an infant robe, these fragments would speed to distant worlds and systems as messengers bearing tidings of the na- tivity. These, although apparently wandering in all direc- tions, yet would have their determined, definite courses which they must pursue. The agents determining the comet's course would probably be one of the secondary connexions which yet remain attached to it. Some one of these connex- ions would lie more nearly in the direction of the comet's orig- inal projection than the others, and this one the body would follow. The leading connexion would thus become continually shorter, its substance accumulating upon the body; and, ow- ing to the swift motion of the one and the material inertia of the other, it would fall behind the comet and form the "tail." This tail would of course increase in magnitude, ow- ing to the continual accumulation of the connexion as the connected body was approached. Sometimes one or more subordinate tails are observed to exend from the body in dif- ferent directions; but quite probably these are only other secondary connexions carried by the comet, and into which a part of the accumulating connective substance finds its way, thus making them visible to us. Now the chances would be almost infinity to one against the original projection of the 109] . ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 191 comet exactly in the direction of the connected body towards which the comet would move. The direction of projection would, in fact, be more or less to one side or other of that body. The comet, therefore, would not move directly towards the body approached, and as it moved past that body a gradual strain would come upon the connexion between the two, by means of which the former, in the course of several hours or days, would be swung around the latter until its motion was nearly in line with some other connexion which it carried and which it would afterwards follow. The substance of the tail, in obedience to its material co- hesion and momentum, would also move round with the com- et; and as the latter was more directly detained by the con- nexion, the former (whose momentum would be comparative- ly unchecked) would generally swing round to the side far- thest from tHe other body. Thus the normal position of the tail would usually be away from the Sun or other body around which the comet was moving. But this position of the tail is not an essential feature of the phenomenon. In fact, exact opposition of the tail to the Sun would rarely be the case. Indeed one comet at least has been observed whose tail point- ed almost directly towards the Sun.* And although one prominent authority! says ocmets' tails never point to the Sun, at least four others have been observed to do so very approximately,! and many others in various directions. In this manner the comet would recede much in the same way that it approached; the connexion with the first body now elongating itself from the accumulated connective sub- stance upon the body of the comet, just as the Earth's con- nexions with the planets become elongated when the Earth recedes from them. After the comet rounded this second body, it might return again to the first, or it might, subject to the guidance of still another secondary connexion which *Nature, 41, 255. tDr. Oliver J. Lodge, Pioneers of Science, p. 343. JViz., 1888, c (Nature, 40, 255); 1895, IV (Nature, 54, 600); 1910, a (Nature, 87, 21) ; and 1911, b (Nature, 87, 257) 192 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [109 it would carry, move towards a third body, and then even towards a fourth, coming back by way of one or more of these, or perhaps directly to the first; or it may be that it would never return to the first, but would continue circulat- ing round some others. In its wanderings it would suffer a continual loss of motion from the friction of the connective medium through which it passes; and in all probability a plunge into the body towards which finally it would thus move, is the ultimate fate which would terminate its career. All the peculiar and hitherto mysterious phenomena of these bodies thus fall in apparent harmony with the new the- ory. But in still further confirmation of the new views, it has been observed that the substance forming the tail seems to rise in a continual stream from the side of the approach- ing comet nearest to the Sun; and, after ascending a certain distance, apparently sweeps behind the body. "It flows past the nucleus", says Dr. Huggins, "on all sides, still ever ex- panding and shooting backwards until a tail is formed, in a direction opposite to the Sun. This tail is usually curved, though sometimes rays or extra tails are also seen." This curvature of the tail, regarding which so many different the- ories have been invented, would, by the new view, be owing simply to the motion of the comet in a direction different from that in which the leading connexion lies; the inertia of the connective substance and the comet's motion giving to the connective particles the observed resultant path. If the comet moved directly towards the Sun, or exactly in the direction in which the leading connexion lies, the tail would suppos- ably be exactly straight during the approach of the comet. It has been supposed by Siemens, Proctor, Langley, Huy- ghens, and others, that the activity above noticed on the side nearest the Sun would be caused by the extreme solar heat driving occluded gases out of the solid nucleus; and then repelling them in a manner similar to electric repulsion. But Prof. Stokes has observed that this activity is just as pro- nounced in the cases of comets which have approached the Sun no nearer than our Earth does, or not so near; and these 110] ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 193 bodies, having no proper atmosphere, and subject, therefore, according to Prof. Langley and others, to a temperature sev- eral hundred degrees below zero, such a theory, under such circumstances, can hardly be regarded as tenable. Moreover the evidence of the spectroscope goes to show that there is almost an exact similarity of composition and matter in comet's tails, the coronal streamers, the zodiacal light, and the aurora borealis. Euler was led by observation to put forward the theory "that there is a great affinity be- tween these tails, the zodiacal light, and the aurora borealis." And similar views were entertained by Angstrom, Otto Struve, and Prof. R. A. Proctor. The latter believed it "far from be- ing unlikely that these long-vexed questions the nature of the aurora, and that of the zodiacal light, and that of comet's tails will receive their solution simultaneously." During the last appearance of Halley's comet, the Earth appears to have passed through the tail. This passage was due on May 1$, 1910, and at 2h 15m a. m. of that day two tails were seen, one in the east and one in the west; both remaining visible to 3h 5m a. m. This observation was made on the sea near Naples. After passing through it, the tail seemed shorter and brush-, or aigrette-shaped (Nature, 83, pp. 487, 534). Yet though the Earth evidently passed through the comet's tail at that time, and no doubt absorbed a good portion of its substance, judging by the abbreviated appear- ance of the tail afterwards, not the slightest effect could with any probability be atttributed to this fact; which clearly demonstrates the extreme tenuity and ethereal nature of this substance. It was supposed at the time that the tail must have been electrically repelled by the Earth's atmosphere (Nature, 84, 163); but the contrary conclusion seems to have been clearly proved by the subsequent appearance of the tail, as intimated above. 110. Meteorites. Meteorites would differ from comets in no respect whatever but their size. They would originate at the same time and in the same manner; the larger frag- ments being comets, the smaller being meteorites. The lat- 194 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [HO ter would circulate in the same manner as the former, and often, no doubt, round the same bodies. Indeed it has re- cently been observed that comets are nearly always accom- panied by immense streams of nteteorites. Owing probably to their smallness alone these bodies are invisible to us, except upon very close approach; but each of them is, no doubt, accompanied by a minute tail or connective atmos- phere in the same manner as a comet. If we are in need of further evidence, we have it in the bodies themselves, which we see with our eyes and handle with our hands. Many meteorites, or aerolites, or comets, whichever we choose to call them, fall annually upon the surface of the Earth. We see them fall: we dig them out of the earth in which their momentum has buried them; and we place them in our mu- seums. What are they? They are simply pieces of rock, about in all respects similar to the rocks of our own world. "It has now been shown that meteoric stones sometimes contain pieces of essentially different rocks fused together and pieces of detritus the wearing down of older rocks. Thus, as we know that sandstone is made of compacted sand, and sand itselt was in some still earlier time part of rocks worn down by friction when it is shown, as it has been by M. Meunier, that a sandstone with threads of copper in it (like some of our Lake Superior formations) has come to us in a meteorite, his conclusion that these stones may be part of some other world is one that, however startling, we cannot refuse to consider."* "When sixteen years ago I published the last edition of my work 'The Plurality of Inhabited Worlds' I did not expect to see the speedy confirmation that the progress of astronomy was to give to my essay, by allowing us, so to speak, to put our finger on the manifestation of planetary life. On the one hand those samples of other worlds the aerolites have brought us, in their composition, certain ele- ments which play a very extensive role in life such as oxy- gen, hydrogen, chloride of sodium, and carbon. The aero- lite which fell at Orgueil (Tarn-et-Garonne) in 1864, brought us coaly matter carburets that are due, like peat, to vege- table remains; the one which fell at Lance (Loire-et-Cher) in 1872, brought us salt. They had already brought us water in the form of hydrated oxide of iron. The worlds whence *Prof. S. P. Langley, Century Magazine, Jan. '87. 110] ANOMALIES OP THE SOLAR SYSTEM 195 these fragments come, do not differ then essentially from our own."* Another meteorite which fell at Mighei, in Russia, June 9, 1889, has been examined by M. Stanislaus Meunier, with the following result: "About 85 per cent of the rock was found to be attacked by acids, the portion so attacked being shown by analysis to consist mainly of a silicate of magnesium and iron having the composition of peridote. On the remaining 15 per cent being treated in a current of dry oxygen gas, it readily took fire and burnt very brilliantly. The products of combustion, which were allowed to pass through the usual absorption tubes containing pumice and sulphuric acid and potash, showed that the meteorite contained nearly 5 per cent of organic matter." f The subject is of sufficient interest to justify a few fur- ther quotations of the same tenor. "The commonest kind of meteoric stone consists of a mix- ture of iron and various rocks, and contains a number of small, globular bodies, which has obtained for these bodies the name of chond rites. These chondrites are sometimes quite black and contain amorphous carbon and bituminous sub- stances, probably products of decomposition of organic com- pounds. According to Dr. Hahn, they are nothing more than a mass of tissue of animals or plant-animals of the lowest kind, such as sponges, crinoids, corals, etc. According to Dr. Weiland ("Ausland", 1881, p. 302) they are remains of corals belonging to the family of the favostima, which on earth are found only as fossils in the very oldest strata; in chrondrites they are of liliputian size as compared with their terrestrial relatives. "I "The diamonds exposed (in a meteoric iron from Albu- querque, N. M.) were small and black; . . . the presence of such in meteorites having been unknown until 1887, when two Russian mineralogists discovered traces of diamond in a mixture of olivine and bronzite." "It is said that the diamond is a direct gift from heaven conveyed to earth in meteoric showers." *Camille Flammarion, Sci. Am. Suppl., No. 175. fNature, 41, 232. JBuchner, Force and Matter, p. 137. Prof. G. A. Koenig, Nature, 45, 180. A. Mcydenbauer, Chemical News, 66, 209. 196 THfi CONNECTIVE THEORY [110 "In 1,846 a meteorite fell in Hungary ("Ava Meteorite") which contained diamonds; in 1886 one fell in Russia contain- ing about one per cent, of carbon in light grey grains having the hardness of diamonds and burning in oxygen to carbonic acid. In Arizona over an area five miles in diameter are scattered thousands of masses of metallic iron from half a ton weight down. Near the center of the tract, where most of the meteorites lay, is a crater three-quarters of a mile in diameter, with raised edges, and about 600 feet deep, which has exactly the appearance which would be produced by a mighty mass of iron, or falling star, striking the ground and burying itself deep under the surface. These Canon Diabolo meteorites about all contain black and transparent dia- monds."* "The Farmington meteorite contained metallic veins, which, on our planet, are usually deposited by water in the open fractures of rock."t "Spectrum analysis shows in cometary nebulae the four or five lines characteristic of hydro-carbons. Cosmic matter must then contain compounds of carbon of the substances that are especially typical of organic chemistry. Besides, carbon and a sort of humus have been found in several meteorites. "J Now all these remarkable facts are wholly inexplicable by the present theory. They are, indeed, so utterly at var- iance with the genesis of worlds, according to that theory, that prominent scientists, as the easiest way of avoiding the contradiction, strenuously deny that meteorites contain any organic traces whatever ; or, if they undeniably contain or- ganic traces, deny their meteoric origin. Up to the present time, the most reasonable theory of the origin of meteorites is that of J. Norman Lockyer and G. H. Darwin; which is that they are mere isolated condensations of the primordial vapor in the extreme cold of interplanetary space, and brought into their present state by innumerable collisions with one another in meteoritic swarms. Of course this the- ory utterly precludes the existence of any vegetable or or- ganic substance in these bodies. *Prof. W. M. Crookes, Royal Institution, London, June 11, 1897. fNature, 63, 290. JProf. A. Dastre, Smith. Rept., 1902, 395. Nature, 34, 533. Transactions, Astron. and Phys. Soc., Toronto, 1898, p. 121. Ill] ANOMALIES OP THE SOLAR SYSTPIM 197 The theory of their origin which is advanced in the pres- work is, on the contrary, completely in harmony with that oi M. Sanislaus Meunier, of which a Commission of the Paris Academy said that he was justified in concluding "that all these masses once belonged to a considerable globe like the earth, having true geological epochs, and that later it was decomposed into separate fragments under the action of caus- es difficult to define exactly, but which we have more than once seen in operation in the heavens themselves."* So also Prof. Win. A. Pickering,! who ventures so far as to suppose that the fracture of the Earth's solid crust gave origin to the stony meteorites though not to the iron meteorites. He says: "This implies a solid crust for the earth at the date of birth of the moon, which previous investigations of the place of origin of that body seems to justify." 111. Discrepancies of the Planetary Masses and Motions. It is probable that in the collapse of each planet-ring, sev- eral comets and numberless meteorites would come into ex- istence. It seems possible even that in the extraordinary violence of the falling masses, almost the whole ring might thus occasionally be broken up into such separate fragments. It is a reasonable geometrical deduction that the mass of each planet-ring should bear a definite ratio to the space through which the Sun contracted during the crust-formation, or, approximately, the space between the orbit of the result- ing planet and that of the next preceding. According to this view, the outermost planets should be vastly larger than the iimermost; and, in general, this is the fact. But still there are great discrepancies. Uranus and Neptune ought to be much larger than Saturn or Jupiter, whereas they are much smaller. Mars again should be larger than the Earth, where- as it is little more than a tenth as large. And the united mass of the Asteroids should be second only to that of Jupi- ter, whereas it is less than a millionth of Jupiter's mass. By the present theory these discrepancies are unaccountable. *Prof. Holden, Account of Progress in Astronomy, in 1881, p. 28. fPop. Astron., May, 1909. 198 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [HI By the new theory they are reasonably attributable to the dissipation of the ring-substance in comets and meteorites. In corroboration of this view, we observe that it is in those cases in which the mass-discrepancy is most marked that we meet with other irregular phenomena. For example, the axis of rotation of Neptune, Uranus and Mars vary the most from the perpendicular to the orbit-plane; which clearly indicates that these bodies are but larger residual fragments of the parent-rings, the axes of which have been tilted in the part- ing shocks of the portions ejected as comets and meteorites. However great the violence of the ring-disruption, if only the whole mass of the ring would aggregate into the resulting sphere, there could be no variation of the axis of rotation of this sphere from the perpendicular to the orbit-plane. It is not impossible that very large masses might be ejected from the resulting sphere without changing the inclination of its axis. But it is quite evident that when the axis of rotation is in- clined from the axis of orbital revolution, an ejection of por- tions of the planet-ring as comets and meteorites is certainly indicated. Of course after the axis of the new sphere becomes once tilted, "it always remains so; and the succeeding satel- lites would have their axes of revolution at the same inclina- tion. This would obviously be the case with Neptune and Uranus, the orbit-planes of whose satellites are almost per- pendicular to the planes of the planetary orbits. Another hitherto inexplicable irregularity of which this cometary ejection is a very plausible explanation is the ex- traordinarily small period of revolution of the recently dis- covered Martial satellites; that of the inner one being less than one-third the rotation period of Mars. Of this very unusual phenomenon the probable explanation is that the sat- ellite is comparatively a small fragment of the satellite-ring, the ejected portions of which, by their final impact, impressed upon it a certain amount of motion in a backward direction; and hence the body was drawn inwards by the elasticity of its connexion until its increased angular velocity generated a, centrifugal force balancing the elasticity of the connexion. 112] ANOMALIES OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM 199 it seems quite probable that the structure of the planet- and satellite-rings would differ very considerably; the sub- stance of some being hard and elastic, while that of others would be soft and pliable, according with the various con- ditions to which their formations would be subjected. To the former class evidently would belong the anomalous plan- ets here considered, together with their satellites. It is also probable that, owing to their fragmentary nature, some of this class of planets and satellites, especially the smaller bodies, might at their origin have retained a portion or nearly all, of their structural development, much the same, in fact, as the nuclei of comets. Upon this assumption, the two sat- ellites of Mars may be blocks of solid rock. In such bodies the genitive process, if it existed at all, would be exceedingly slow; the more so on those in which the greater degree of development was retained. 112. The Minor Planets. According to the current the- ory, the minor planets or Asteroids, may have been owing to a stratification of the parent ring from which "it is quite conceivable that numerous planets might result."* Or the ring might have persisted until excess of perturbation "brought it into contact with the planet Mars,"t by which collision it was broken up into the Asteroids. Or Olber's theory of an exploded planet might be the correct one,$ t;pon reviewing which array of "contingencies," Prof. A. Win- ehell confidently remarks: "The possibilities of the nebular theory, therefore, deprive of all force any objection based upon the existence of a group of asteroids." As the superior genius of its more recent supporter would lead us to expect, the last theory (of which Prof. Winchell mentions his rejection merely in a footnote) comes the near- est to the explanation which appears to be the true one. The "grotesque" conception of a body liquifying, and even solid- ifying, around a gaseous nucleus, which Mr. Spencer "sets forth", is in exact accordance with the views here advanced. *A. Winchell, World-Life,, p. 176. tB. Pierce, Gould's Astron. Jour., 2, 18; G. Hinnicns, Am. Jour. Sci., II, 39, p. 54. JHerbert Spencer, Westminister Review, 70, 113. 200 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [113 Had he only extended his conception a little further to the equatorial projection and eventual separation of such a solid- ified crust, and its final fracture and falling together through many millions of miles, Mr. Spencer would have arrived at precisely the same explanation of these bodies that is here offered with only this exception: He had the solidified crust upon the planet, while the new theory would have it upon the Sun. If the substance of such a solidified planet- ring be supposed to be peculiarly brittle and elastic, in which supposition there appears to be nothing unreasonable, the vio- lence of its collapse through such an immense space would amply account for the fragments which alone remain to tell the story. These are but the few the violence of whose ejec- tion from the center of aggregation chanced to be only suffi- cient to separate their mutual connexions without severing those with the primary. The vast majority, having wholly severed their parental connexions (and probably their frater- nal connexions also), had become wanderers among other and distant worlds. 133. Comets from Satellite Rings. Would these wanderers ever return to the place of their birth? Probably not; for their family connexions would all, or nearly all, be severed; and therefore they would have no inducement to retrace their path. It would probably be otherwise, however, with the fragments escaping from the satellite-rings. These, while severing their primary connexions with the planets, might still retain their secondary connexions with the Sun and some other planets; in the direction of some one of which they might perhaps be projected and so circulate around the Sun and that one planet. The following quotation is strongly con- firmatory of this view: "The Pons-Brooks comet of 1883-84 is extremely interest- ing, as presenting the first instance (excepting Halley's comet of course) of one of the Neptunian family of comets return- ing to perihelion. There are six of these bodies, with per- iods ranging from sixty-eight to seventy years. Halley's comet, the only large one of the group, has made many returns, and is due in 1910. Pon's comet, first observed in 1812, has now returned; Giber's comet of 1815 is due in 1889, and three 114] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 201 others, all of them small, in 1919-20 and 1922. I have spoken of them as Neptunian comets, i. e., their presence in our sys- tem is known to be due in some way to this planet. The now generally received theory is that they have had their orbits changed from parabolas into their present shape by the disturbing action of Neptune. Mr. Proctor has pointed out certain unquestionable, though I think, inconclusive, ob- jections to this view, and he proposes, as an alternative, the startling and apparently improbable hypothesis that they have been ejected from the planet at some time past by some- thing like volcanic action."* But although Mr. Proctor's hypothesis after all comes re- markably near to what has every appearance of being the fact, yet it seems certain that a comet could never return to the primary from the ring of which it was first ejected, and with which all its connexions are broken. CHAPTER VIII INTE PLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER What are the fewest assumptions, which being granted, the order of nature as it exists would be the result? What are the fewest general propositions from which all the uni- formities existing in nature could be deduced? J. S. MILL. In matters of evidence, as in all other human things, we neither require, nor can attain, the absolute. We must hold our strongest convictions with an opening left in our minds for the reception of facts which contradict them; and only when we have taken this percaution have we earned the right to act upon our convictions with complete confidence when no such contradiction appears. J. S. MILL. The true test of theory, in physical science, is to bring it face to face with the facts of nature, to see if it is consist- ent with these facts, and if it can help us to explain them. GERALD MOLLOY. 114. Classification of Connexions. According to the con- nective theory, every planet of the Solar System is connected with the Sun by a primary bond, with every other planet *Frof. C. A. Young, Nature, 35, 117. 202 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [114 by a secondary bond, and with other heavenly bodies by bonds of various degrees of kinship. Also these planetary bonds, or connexions, are in every case material and highly elastic, though very probably decreasing in material density with the remoteness of relationship of the bodies between which they subtend; and though even the densest or primary connexions may be quite as tenuous as entities now regarded as immaterial. Now the Earth must be profoundly affected by material connexions of such immense magnitude exending outwards on all sides of it to all known bodies. As our planet circu- lates annually around the Sun, it alternately approaches and recedes from each of the other planets, as well as the Sun itself; and these alternate approaches and recessions involve, according to the new theory, alternate accumulations and drains of the connective substance in our atmosphere. How- ever tenuous and ethereal this substance may be, the accu- mulations and drains of such enormous quantities of it in our atmosphere cannot but profoundly affect the elements or processes naturally existing therein the barometric pressure, the atmospheric electricity, precipitation, etc. Ana if there really should be found changes of these atmospheric elements corresponding to these accumulations and drains of connec- tive substance, extending over a great period of time with scarcely a single exception what a beautiful and wonderful and indisputable corroboration of the new theory it would be! It is however an extremely laborious undertaking, of very great magnitude and difficulty. But it is not an impossible task and is surely well worth the effort. The necessary data for this calculation is the actual amount of the drain or ac- cumulation of the connective substance upon the Earth for each month of a period of years sufficient to deter- mine the relation, if such there be, between the assigned cause and the actual phenomena. At a first glance, the vast number and various kinds of connexions which, according to our premises, would fall upon the Earth appears amazing; and the reduction to order and 114] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 203 the determination of their variations seem utterly impossible. Moreover, to determine the relative amount of connective variation due to any body with which the Earth is connected, the relative mass of the body is an indispensable datum; >et this datum is ascertainable at the present time only for the bodies primarily, and for a portion of the bodies second- arily, connected with us. Fortunately, however, it is not necessary for the present purpose to determine the relative quantitive variations of the Earth-connexions of every order. In fact we need only con- sider such variations in the case of primary and secondary connexions, or just in those cases alone in which it is now possible to do so. Connexions more remote than the second- ary, and even a few secondary connexions themselves, are with bodies so distantly related to us that their masses, mag- nitude, and often, perhaps, their existence are absolutely un- known to us. All these connexions will, therefore, be grouped in one class, which will be designated the sidereal class or factor; and as both the period and the linear amount of var- iation is almost mathematically identical for every member of this class, it is only necessary for us here to consider their quantitive difference upon opposite sides of the Earth, and regard this difference as if it were owing to a single heavenly body. All the connexions which fall upon the Earth's sur- face may, therefore, be included in three groups primary, secondary, and sidereal. The primary group consists of only two members, or that with the Sun and that with the Moon. The secondary group may be divided into two sub-groups, or those connexions which extend towards the bodies which are immediately de- rived from the Sun and those which extend towards the bodies from which the Sun itself is immediately derived. But the latter of these is really included in the sidereal fac- tor, and, therefore, does not require a separate consideration for the present purpose. It may subsequently receive at- tention, however, in connection with another subject. So that there is thus finally arrived at four different factors to 204 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [114 which the supposed connective variations in the Earth's at- mosphere would be due, viz., the sidereal, the solar, the lunar, and the planetary. Now there is one thing that distinguishes the planetary and the lunar factors from the other two, viz., the incommen- surableness of their periods with the year. The sidereal and the solar factors each go through a complete cycle of vari- ations in almost precisely one year; whereas each planet- ary variation goes through a complete cycle only in the syn- odic period of its respective planet with the Earth; and the lunar variation has a period of thirteen and three-fourths days each of which is incommensurable with the Earth's period. The effect of the former two factors, therefore, would be almost exactly alike in each succeotuve year; where- as the effects of the latter two would not be alike in every year, but only in successive periods or cycles of years. The latter are, therefore, independent of the former so far as these periods of years are concerned; and once these periods are determined, they remain almost wholly unaffected by the other factors. The lunar factor, although of some consequence in small portions of time, such as a day, would have scarcely an ap- preciable effect on a table of monthly values. Although its period is incommensurable with the year, yet that period is such that, in any particular month, its algebraic effect is comparatively small; so that the main characteristics of the longer periods of connective variations upon the Earth, as ascertained from the planetary factor alone, will not be meas- urably affected by this any more than by the other two fac- tors. This will subsequently be shown more in detail. From this preliminary examination, then, it is found that the planetary factor is almost the only portion of the whole body of connective variations upon the Earth which would cause one year to differ from another, and so cause ordinary yearly periods, with respect to such variations. We may, therefore, conveniently begin with this factor of the connec- tive variation in our atmosphere in order to ascertain these 115] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 205 yearly periods of these variations, and afterwards the effects of the other factors may be added to modify the results thus determined. 115. Factors of the Planetary Connexion-Variations. The current relative masses of the seven planets with which the Earth is here .assumed to be connected are sufficiently ac- curate for the present purpose. It is to be observed first that, whatever the magnitude of the planet may be, the con- nexion joining it with the Earth will manifestly have the same sectional area at the Earth's surface as the Earth itself; and second, that the mass-values for equal linear units of this uniform sectional area obviously depend upon the mass-val- ues of the bodies to which the connexions respectively ex- tend. Commencing with the planet Mercury, the linear variation of its connexion with the Earth would be 71,500,000 miles, or the diameter of Mercury's orbit; and also this variation takes place in 58 days, or half its synodic period with the Earth. To obtain the volume-variation corresponding to this linear variation, the latter is to be multiplied by 49,000,000, or the sectional area of the Earth in square miles. Then to obtain the mass-variation, this last is to be muliplied by the mass- value of the planet. This will give the relative mass-varia- tion of this connexion with respect to that of some other planet, obtained in the same way. If the absolute mass-var- iation were to be obtained, the relative mass-variation of the connexion would have to be multiplied by the mass-value of the connexion itself, as compared with that of an equal vol- ume of some known standard substance. But, at the present time, this absolute mass-value of a connexion is wholly un- known. It seems certain that the connective substance must be extremely attenuated, so much so, in fact, that it would be quite independent of the attraction of gravity, and there- fore would possess, as such, no degree whatever of the pecul- iar property which is called weight. The mass-value of one connexion with respect to, or in terms of, that of another may be determined. But this appears to be the limit of our 206 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [115 present knowledge in this respect. As to how many grains of substance there are in a cubic yard, or a cubic mile, of any particular planetary connexion if it were all changed into some form amenable to gravity,, nothing is known. There- fore, since only relative mass-values of the planetary connex- ions must be employed, and since Mercury is the smallest of the seven planets, its mass may be taken as unity; that of any other planet being greater than unity as its mass is great- er than that of Mercury. The mass-variation of Mercury's connexion, then, since the density of that connexion is taken as the standard, will be just the same as its volume-variation. The linear variation of the Earth's connexion with Venus is 133,500,000 miles, or the diameter of the latter's orbit, and it takes place in 292 days, or half the synodic period of Venus with the Earth. The volume-variation is obtained just as in the case of Mercury; and to obtain the mass-variation, the volume-variation is multiplied by 12, that being the relative mass-value of Venus as compared with that of Mercury as unity. The linear variation, and consequently the volume- variation, of each of the outer planets is numerically the same; the former, in the case of each of these planets, being TABLE I. Planetary Connexion-Variations With Respect to the Earth.* , C3 TJ o S !l ai o ' PH 3 ' $ 0} T-J p 1 .2 ' S 2 ^ * j| > & ^ s ~ II K S ,* <5 5 fc JJ " c K* ^ ^* C ^ * * !* g i 111 cc Z a v i I 111 J>.2 13 '- ^ K*" '^ O S^ S ' C> S .S o Mercury . . . 58 71,500,000 3.500X10 1 1 35X10 1 * 6XlO' a Venus 292 133,500,000 6,500X10' 12 78X10' S 27X10" Mars 390 186,000,000 9,114X10' 1.5 14X10 1& 4X10" Jupiter .... 199 186,000,000 9.114X10 1 4,771 43,483X10' a 21,851X10" Saturn .... 189 186,000,000 9,114X10' 1,428 13.015X10 15 6,886X10" Uranus .... 185 186,000,000 9.114X10 1 221 2,014X10' 1,089X10" Neptune . . . 184J186, 000,000 9,114X10' 258 2.351X10 15 1,278X10" *The masses, periods, and distances of the planets here. employed are those given by Prof. Simon Newcomb in his Popular Astronomy, sixth edition. 116] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 207 186,000,000 miles, or the diameter of the Earth's orbit. The half-synodic period, the linear, volume-, and mass- variations, and the mass-value for each of the seven planets are given in table I on the preceding page; a sixth column being added in which is given, for purposes of comparison, the mass-variation of each planet for one day. As for the less important members of the Solar System with which the Earth is secondarily connected, such as the satellites, minor planets, and perhaps some comets, even their aggregate mass, so far as known, would be comparative- ly small; and besides, these bodies are always distributed on all sides of the Earth, so that their quantitive excess on one side as compared with the opposite side is all that would really operate to affect connective variation upon the Earth. And this excess, in view of the extremely small individual masses of the bodies, and their comparatively small aggre- gate mass, is quite safely negligible. Indeed, a glance at the last column of table I shows us that the same is true also of the three smaller of the major planets; the variations in equal times due to all but the tour outermost of which sink into comparative insignificance. In fact we observe that Neptune, the most distant planet, is nearly fifty times more effective than Venus, the nearest. So that, dividing the value of each body in order that the val- ue of the greatest may be represented by three figures for convenience in tabulating, all the three inner planets together drop below unity, and therefore out of the calculation. 116. Amount of the Planetary Factors. Now it is possible that all of the four outer planets may be nearly in conjunc- tion, or have nearly the same heliocentric longitude; and the drains or accumulations of their respective connexions may, therefore, affect the Earth's atmosphere all at the same time. Summing up the values of the average variations of the connexions of these bodies in the last column of table I, taking half the sum for the variations caused upon these bodies themselves, and multiplying by three to allow for the maximum rate of variation owing to the curvilinear path in 208 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [117 which the Earth moves, we have, possibly, about 5 X 10" cubic miles of connective substance either drawn out of, or accu- mulating in, our atmosphere in a single day. This tremen- dous volume is about twenty million times that of our atmos- phere, estimating its height at five hundred miles. But, on the other hand, the outer limits of our atmosphere, and especially of the connective atmosphere, must be far more distant than five hundred miles. Moreover the least density, that of Mercury's connexion, is taken as the stand- ard, the density of Jupiter's connexion being some 4,800 times greater. Also the connective substance, or ethereal fluid, which is thus supposed to ebb and flow in our atmos- phere, is really imponderable matter matter not subject to the attraction of gravity because it is matter similar to that whose molecular motions really constitute the attraction of gravity and thus does not admit of comparison with matter as we are sensible of it. The most perfect vacuum attain- able with a Gaede molecular pump has a density of only about 1/300,000,000 of an atmosphere; yet the density of this vacuum must be immensely greater than that of a planetary connexion, for the reason that the" former possesses still the undiminished density of the Earth's connective atmosphere, to which each of the innumerable terrestial connexions com- posing it must contribute but a minute degree. It is contended here simply that an increased pressure or density of the connective substance in our atmosphere, man- ifested, perhaps, in the phenomena of earth-currents and auroras, may induce the transformation of a portion of the imponderable fluid into ponderable forms, affecting baromet- ric pressure and atmospheric precipitation; and also that an extensive drain upon the connective fluid in cur atmosphere may induce transformation of sensible gases and vapors back again into the imponderable state and have opposite meteor- ological effects. 117. Monthly Variations of the Planetary Factor. Divid- ing the mass-values of the connective variations as given in the fifth column of table I by 10", so that the figures may 117] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 209 be conveniently tabulated, gives 435 for the value of that due to Jupiter, 130 for that due to Saturn, 20 for that due to Uranus, and 24 for that due to Neptune, in the respective half synodic periods of these planets with the Earth. The TABLE II. Monthly Variations of the Planetary Connexions Upon the Earth, 1888-91. >> >> FH 3 ,Q h S3 ,0 1 L 3 3 V a 03 g -s 1 o eS I > 0) a -s 1 3 W> $ 1 OQ ,Q O O I 3 1888 Jupiter 88 uw 199 W9 88 60 11* 38 76 94 94 76 38 "11 Saturn *0 15 25 31 29 21 7 8 24. 33 33 24 Uranus Neptune .... 5 4 4 6 1* 6 1 4 4 2 5 2 5 4 6 6 4 2* 2 | 1889 Jupiter 60 88 99 88 60 12* 39 76 94 94 76 38 Saturn 8 7* 21 29 31 25 15 16 30 34 30 . * 1 Uranus Neptune o 4 ; 6 1 6 A 4 : 2 2 4 6 6 4 2* 2 1890 Jupiter 50 83 103 97 69 25* *, 25i 69 97 103 83 Saturn 16 if 15 25 31 29 21 7 8 24 33 33 Uranus 5 4 ] *1 4 5 5 4; 1 *1 4 5 Neptune 4 6 6 4 2* 2 4 6 6 4 2* 2 1891 Jupiter . . . . 50 38 76 94 94 76 38 11* 60 88 99 Saturn ...... 24 g *7 21 29 31 25 15 16 30 34 Uranus 5 4 1 2 5 6 5 2 2 5 Neptune ..... 4 6 6 4 2 2 4 6 6 4 2* 2 values of the connective variation of the other planets in their respective half synodic periods are each less than unity of this scale, and are, therefore, disregarded. Between opposition and conjunction* of these planets with the Earth, the intervening connective substance would accu- mulate in our atmosphere, and, between conjunction and oppo- sition, it would be drawn out. The times of these conjunctions and oppositions are, therefore, to be ascertained in the case of *If they could conveniently be avoided, these terms would not be employed, as they must be used here in a sense directly opposite to that usually given them. Throughout these pages two planets are regarded as being in conjunction when they are together on one side of the Sun, or have the same heliocentric longitude; and they are regarded as in opposition when they are on opposite sides of the Sun, or are 180 of heliocentric longitude apart. On the contrary, a planet is usually re- 210 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [117 each planet, plotted down in the horizontal lines rep- resenting years, each divided into twelve spaces represent- ing months; and in the monthly spaces are to be placed the figures denoting the values of the, connective variations due to the respective planets, based on their respective distance variations for that month. Figures denoting approach of the Earth and a planet, or accumulation of their connective sub- stance in our atmosphere, are given in full-faced type, and those indicating the contrary conditions are given in Roman type. Table II on the preceding page gives these values for the four great planets during the years 1888-91, inclusive. By table II, Jupiter was in conjunction with the Earth May 28, 1888; in opposition with it December 11, 1888; again in con- junction June 24, 1889; again in opposition January 12, 1890; again in conjunction July 30, 1890; again in opposition Febru- ary 22, 1891 ; and again in conjunction September 5, 1891. Fol- lowing conjunction up to opposition, the full value (435) of Jupiter's periodic variation is distributed among the interven- ing months in approximate accordance with the versed sine approaches towards the planet for each month. The plain type in which these figures are given indicate recession of the two planets and consequent diminution of their atmospheres. Following opposition up to conjunction, the full value of the periodic variation of Jupiter's connexion is distributed in a similar manner, but in full-face type indicating approach of the bodies; and consequent accumulation of their respective atmospheres. Saturn was in conjunction with the Earth January 23, 1888; in opposition with it July 25, 1888; in conjunction February 5. 1889; in opposition August 15, 1889; in conjunction Feb- ruary IS, 1890; in opposition August 27, 1890; in conjunction March -1, 1891; and in opposition September 10, 1891. The garded as being in conjunction when it lies in a straight line passing from the observer through the Sun, whether the planet be on this side or the other of that luminary, and it is regarded as in opposition when it lies in a continuation of the same line from the observer outwards from the Sun. In the former sense the Sun is regarded as the center; in the latter the Earth is so regarded, and some of the planets conse- quently have no opposition at all. This view, however, is unsuitable to the considerations here involved, and, therefore, the employment of the terms in the first sense is necessary, if they are employed at all. 118] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 211 full value of its periodic variation (150) is distributed among the intervening monhs, as in the case of Jupiter. And sim- ilarly also with Uranus and Neptune. 118. Deductions from These Variations. It will be ob- served that in any particular month the Earth is approaching some of the planets, while from others it is receding; the figures denoting the former being positive with respect to the Earth's atmosphere, and those denoting the latter, negative. The quantitive effect of all four planets upon our atmos- phere in any month will, therefore, be the algebraic sum of their individual values for that month. Following are the figures for the same four years, these sums in the case of each month having been obtained; a thirteenth column being added, in which is placed the algebraic sum of all the month- ly sums of each year: Monthly and Yearly Sums of the Planetary Connexion-Varia- tions Upon the Earth, 1888-91. o> 1 1 s 1 X 3 a 1 i 2 t> rt !>> fcfi ft 1 > O 2 h 2 * a ^ rj p 0) o CD fe ^ <^ S 1-8 << 02 O fc H >< 1888 89| 82 58 24 24 62 84 84 65 38 11 38 65 1889 69 78 73 54 23 16 55 74 73 59 36J 5 21 1890 17 48 63 73 60 37 1 3 30 56 68 64 1 47 36 1891 25 6 26 51 61 60 49 24 7 40 54 62 89 It is seen from these results that in 1888 the Koman fig- ures, extending from April to November, indicate a relative drain upon our atmosphere during that time, and, according to the theory here advanced, a consequent relative deficiency of atmospheric electricity and precipitation. In 1889 this de- ficient or dry season extends from May to the folowing Jan- uary, and the next extends from July 1890 to February 1891. The figures for the remaining months of 1888, 1889, 1890, and from January to September 1891, indicate relative accumula- tion of connective substance in our atmosphere and conse- ouent relative increase of electricity and precipitation. It. is further to be observed that the algebraic sums of the 212 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [119 monthly figures for 1888 arid 1889, as given in the thirteenth column, indicate that the drain upon our atmosphere, on the whole, has been in excess in these years, and that conse- quently they were comparatively dcy. The annual results for 1890 and 1891, similarly obtained, indicate that the accumu- lation in our atmosphere has been in excess, and that con- sequently these years were comparatively wet;. And, finally, it is to be observed that the indicated change in the year column from dry to wet occurs about the time of sunspot minimum. This coincidence in just the one instance might of course have arisen out of mere chance; but if in carrying the calculation back some forty or fifty years and forwards some thirty or forty years more, from, that date, it be found not only that this change from dry to wet years takes place at, or very nearly at, sunspot minimum, but also that the opposite change of wet to dry years always takes place at, or very nearly at, sunspot maximum or, in other words, that the longer periods of the planetary connective varia- tions which are now on the point of being determined are almost exactly coincident with the sunspot periods it is absolutely unthinkable that from mere chance such exact parallelism of the two phenomena could happen for so long a period. 119. Monthly and Yearly Variations of the Planetary Fac- tor for the Period 1840-1923. We proceed at once to this test. The times of opposition and conjunction of each of the four greater planets with the Earth have been ascertained for the period 1840-1923, inclusive, in precisely the same man- ner as has been done for 1888-1891.* The negative or the positive value of each planet has been determined for every *For the earlier work, the writer is indebted to the late Mr. G. W. Hill of the Nautical Almanac Office, Washington, D. C., for kindly fur- nishing the dates of the oppositions (i. e., conjunctions here) of Jupiter and Saturn, each with respect to the Earth, for the period 1726 to 1891, inclusive. From this up to 1904, for these planets and also for Uranus and Neptune for the period 1840-1904, the times of opposition and con- junction have been computed by means of synodic periods of the planets with respect to the Earth, and by giving rough values to the equation of the center. The maximum error by this method cannot exceed three or four days; which, in the case of the two smaller of the four planets, and in a table of monthly results, is safely negligible. For the present work Prof. W. S. Eichelberger of the U. S. Naval Observatory has kindly furnished the necessary data of oppositions and conjunctions of all four planets for nearly all the rest of the greater period. 119] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 213 month of this period, the algebraic sum of these for each month obtained and tabulated, and the algebraic sum of these monthly sums found for each year and placed in the year column. A fourteenth colum'n is added in which is given the maxima and minima of sunspots, and a fifteenth column in which is shown the maxima and the minima of the con- nective variations upon the Earth. Following are the results: TABLE III. Monthly and Yearly Sums of the Planetary Connexion-Varia- tions Upon the Earth for the Period 1840-1923. January K L ft 9 (=( | 5 C p< * & * > 3 1 February ,d g 03 9 fe o> a 1 bo S H Sunspots Connexion Variation. |529| i [6091 1858 98 122 123 96 36 31 86 116 124 89 62 1 34 531 531 1859 63 108 128|123 83| 26| 40 90 120 125 102 54 I |549 1860 6 67 109 131 119 83 34 34 92 129 134 107 53 Max. 554 550 1861 58 21 88 116 123 111 73 18 41 96 128 130 97 Max. 543 538 1862 99 49 32 74(116 127 110 67 12 44 97 125 124 525 517 1863 127 90 42 30 83 113 121 101 60 9 49 97 116 518 502 1864 120 119 84 49 33 84 112 116 96 57 4 50 80 489 472 1865 96 119|112 78 34 25 77 105 112 94 54 5 33 466 1866 58 90 111 101 75 31 26 75 100 108 90 58 9 465 434 1867 8 48 78 105 89 77 37 15 61 89 94 84 83 Min. 442 ' 397 1868 58 41 22 65 80 93 81 48 8 41 74 94 89 381 362 1869 88 60 24 19 44 74 82 73 52 18 25 65 100 362 3391 1870 81 79 61 35| 6 30 62 77 1 76 58 36 5 72 337 J325 ! 1871 43 61 89 74 51 14 25 53 71 76 62 38 7 Max. 1 324 1872 1 36 60 77 80 52 18 16 45 68 76 65 54 Min. 322 330 1873 43 9 26 54 76 79 .62 33 1 34 62 76 105 338 347 1874 74 61 30 22 53 79 84 69 38 2 32 63 87 358 376 1875 79 81 68 35 19 53 82 90 77 48 7 30 83 402 438 1876 67 j 92 95 78 40 21 77 89 97 86 55 13 66 |442 1877 31 73 99 105 90) 44 9 61 93 108 102 69 461 481 1878 19 39 82 108 114 93 45| 16 70 101 116 106 53 Min. 508 |544| 1879 71 28 47 84 123 129 106 55 11 69 114 131 120 ! 543 544 1880 118 81 19 32 89 123 130 111 59 5 72 112 127 556 579 j 1881 128 132 76 31 37 98 130 137 109 68 4 70 138 572 575 1 1882 114 139 127 90] 28 40 101 136 138 105 55 14 63 Mar. 119] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 215- TABLE III. (Continued). K 3 a February c p. "3 1-3 1 < September October November December I {x Sunspots Connexion Variation. |555| 1 15411 1883 70 117|131 116 81 26 38 98|124 126 100 55 Max. |536 1884 14 90 122 131 110 66 3 55 97)117 119 92 56 523 j 521 1885 43| 24 90 117 124 101 65 6 56 93 114 108 101 |478 1 446 1886 72 29| 26 70 101 104 88 53 4 47 91 106 101 1439 408 1887 100 70 25 27 74 | 95 95 76 41 1 48 1 79 85 381 357 1 1888 89 82 58 24 24! 62 84 84 65 38 1 38 65 336| 318| 1889 69) 78 73 54 23 16 55 74 73 59 36 5 21 Min. 1 301 1890 17 48 63 731 60 37 3| 30 56 68 64 47 36 290 ij J277i 1 1891 25 61 26 51| 61 60 49| 24 71 40 54 62 89| Min. I |280 12911 1892 561 45 16 18 42 57 62! 61 40 11 22 47 105 316| |345 1893 68 74 65 37 3 33 62 80 79 61 26 4 98 356 1894 45 65 83 86 57 20 1 25 57 85 91 79 44 25 Max. 384 I I4J4 1895 3 47 80 97 94| 65 31 22 62 98 108 95 26 4511 1468 1896 59| 7 47 92|113J10fj 80 j 30 27 71 106 115 83 |485 { 501 1897 100 68] 8 47 91|116|114 90 43 32 81 120 102 507 | 524 1 1898 123 99 52| 7 65J107|128|115 81 21 45 94 111 1 |532 538 1899 127 125 96 45 7| 6211071129 121 86| 26 52 93. | 538) 548 I 1900 102(132 128 95 39| 22j 78 113 127 113 79 16 52 Max, 1543 1901 49 100 124|128j 98 44 21 81 114 126 111 78 12 Min. 539J 5251 1902 8 59 102 121|117| 90 36J 23 87 120 128 103 56 519 I I |516 1903 58 3 60 105 122 114 81| 31 32 91130122 93 506 493 1 mf'nA 1904 94 47 13 70 107 116 102 62 23 24 67 103 158 463 |462| 1905 115 | 93 61 14 40 85 109 105 73 36 17| 65 111 425 407 1906 97 1001 86 53 7, 42 85 96 92 65 27 20 44 Max. I 403 1366 1907 51) 84 1 91 83 54 20 26 65 84 88| 67J 36 17 216 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY TABLE 111. (Concluded). [120 1 February ,=3 I fe I 1 "M September October November December 1 Sunspots Connexion Variation. 1351 1908 6 41 70 83 78 53 20 21 58 76 79 65 52 325 334 1909 26 13 34 63 76] 75 50 23 16 50 66 75 101, 343 293 1910 62 57 17 38 61 69 62 47 16 8 30 53 66 292 I 285 1911 60 61 51 29 30 53 61 59 50 30 2 21 63; Min. |316 308 1912 51 61 63 75 40 5 35 55] 68 67 62 21 13 314 1913 14 41 58 70 70 48 13 24 53 74 81 62 20 Min. 321 340 1914 27 10 43 64 74 78 54 17 27 58 79 90 59 356 391 1915 76 26 7 46 72 87 83 63 33 4 51 82 152 410 421 1916 101 101 71 4 51 86 93 92 63 32 8 55 85 455 484 1917 93 110 101 70 18 39 S0|107 114 99 45 14 78 502 527 1918 70 104 122 111 71 10 54 98 125 123 93 34 39 Max. 533 1919 32 78 111 121 107J 65 19 40 93 121 125 103 51 539 539 1920 57 7 70 114 132 119 82 15 48 102 127 125 80 1 Max. 542 522 1921 98 42 2 77 113 128 115 77 10 55 101 123 ioa 536 519 1922 121 93 43 17 63 105 121 111 74 28 35 91 136 534 481 1923 119 124 107J 58 3J 61 105 119 113 66 14 42 31 120. Connection of the Periods of Variation of the Plan- etary Factor with the Sunspot Periods. A glance along the thirteenth and fourteenth columns of the foregoing table shows us at once the almost exact accordance for the entire period of the indicated changes of the wet and dry years with the sunspot changes. Taking excess of accumulation of con- nective substance upon the Earth (indicated in the table by the heavier figures) to mean excess of precipitation, etc., in our atmosphere, we observe in the year column that all the years in the entire 84-year period which are included in a forward direction from the maxima to the minima of sunspots are in- 120] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 217 ciicated to be dry, with the exception of five; and all the years included in the same direction from the minima to the max- ima of sunspots are indicated to be wet, WITHOUT A SIN- GLE EXCEPTION. In other words, the actual change from drain to accumulation of the planetary bond-substance in our atmosphere, as indicated by its algebraic sums for the different years, occurs almost exactly at the time of sunspot minimum, with the sole exception of the minimum of 1856, which was three years behind the change; and every sunspot maximum without exception takes place at the change from accumulation to drain of the supposed bond-substance in our atmosphere, similarly indicated. Besides, the year 1856, in which the discrepancy does occur, is itself anomalous, as there were but very little less spots on the Sun during that year than during the three or four years immediately preced- ing it. This remarkable coincidence alone, if there were no other evidence whatever in its favor, is really quite sufficient to establish the reality of inter-planetary bonds, which is the principal factor of the connective theory. Now these are the longer periods of the connective var- iations upon the Earth which we have been in search of, and which, as alerady stated, stand independent of, and unaffected by, any of the other connective factors but the lunar; and the evidence which they furnish in support of the truth of the essential supposition of the new theory is sur- prisingly strong and clear. The most fastidious critic would hardly contend that, for a period of eighty-four years, the changes from excess to deficiency in our atmosphere of a supposed connective substance, extending in bonds or cords between our world and the other planets, would occur at sun- spot maximum, and the changes from deficiency to excess at sunspot minimum all out of mere chance; for the probabil- ities appear to be vastly against such chance coincidences in this case,. There must be a real connection between the quantitive changes of the supposed material inter-planetary connexions and the sunspot changes with which they are thus seen to coincide. This is undeniable. And not here only but 218 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [121 in other fields as well shall we find equally valuable and incontrovertible evidences supporting this conviction. 121. Coincidence of the Variations of the Planetary Facxor with the Periods of Atmospheric Precipitation. In the first place it may be well to show that there is an actual deficiency of atmospheric electricity and precipitation in the indicated dry years, and an actual excess of these elements in the in- dicated wet years, when a certain amount of lag of the actual after the indicated weather is taken into consideration. It is some forty years now since inquiries were started in this department of Nature, and the evidence they yield appears to be no less voluminous than it is valuable and conclusive. Prof. Balfour Stewart, reviewing the results hitherto ar- rived at, dealt extensively with a supposed connection be- tween the height of rivers and the number of sunspots. He found that the Nile agrees with European rivers and exhib- its a maximum at about the time of maximum sunspots.* Now the tabular wet years are indicated as following mimi- mum sunspots; and if (for reasons presently to be considered) we estimate the lag of the actual precipitation after the time indicated as between two and three years on the average, the wet periods predicated by the tabular figures would almost precisely correspond to the periods in which the spots were in excess, and the actual dry periods to those in which the spots were deficient. Dr. Meldrum, from a comparison of Wolfe's sunspot num- bers with the rainfall at Madras, 1816-1877; Edinburgh, 1824- 1872 ; and Paris, 1824-1872, concludes that there is an intimate connection between sunspots and rainfall. He shows that in a great many places there is a greater rainfall during years of maximum than during years of minimum sunspots, and that this phenomenon repeats itself from one cycle to another. Mr. Henry Blanford, in the course of a general investiga- tion of the rainfall of India t especially considers the Car- natic province, consisting of the plain below the Eastern *Nature, 25, 237; 25, 269; 26, 448-9. flndian Meteorological Memoirs, Vol. III., Part I; Nature, July 7. 1887. 121 J INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 219 Ghauts, occupying the southeast of the peninsula, and ex- tending from Cape Comorin to the mouth of the Kistna. Its area is about 72,000 square miles, with the town of Madras situated nearly midway along the coast. The data are fur- nished by the registers of this and thirty-nine other stations pretty evenly distributed; most of the records extending back to 1864, This province is partially relieved from the local vicissitudes of rainfall characterizing the summer months of Central and Northern India; so that the annual fluctuations ot the Carnatic rainfall often differs widely from that of other provinces in the peninsula. The results arrived at by Mr. Blanford are as follows: "The rainfall reached a minimum in 1867" (year after sunspot minimum), "then rose steadily to a maximum in 1872," (one year after sunspot maximum), "and after a drop in 1873, and partial recovery in the following year, fell rapidly to a second minimum in 1876" (two years before sunspot minimum). "From 1877 to 1881, it oscillated considerably, but thereafter rose again, steadily, to a second maximum in 1884" (one year after sunspot maximum), "drop- ping again in 1885 to something below the average." And this, he justly concludes, "affords, at least, a very high prob- ability that the apparent undecennial fluctuation is no chance phenomenon." Prof. Cleveland Abbe says: "If in general the rainfall is above the mean in the years of sunspot maxima, and be- low the mean in years of sunspot minima, then we must have the following equation: S s./s' S = R r/r' R, where large S is the mean value of the sunspot frequency for the whole period under investigation; small s is the mean value for the period during which the sunspot frequency is below the mean; small s' is the value for the period during which the sunspot frequency is above the mean; R, r, r', the corresponding rainfall for these years for which S, s, s', hold good. That the frequency of sunspots has a simple ratio to the rainfall is now evident from the fact that the above equa- tion holds good approximately for fifty-four stations in Great 220 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [122 Britain, and thirty-four in America for the interval 1824 to 1867. During this interval the rainfall was in excess when the spots were in excess, and deficient when the spots were deficient. The excess was .90 of an inch in England and 1.13 inches in America; and the deficiencies were .75 inch in England and .94 in America."* Prof. Cleveland Abbe shows us then that the wet periods which the movements of the planets and their connexions predicate, according to the new theory, are actually wetter than the average, and that the dry periods, similarly predi- cated, are actually drier than the average in England and America from 1824 to 1867. Also in Nature, 88, 449, almost exactly parallel curves of sunspots and rainfall are given for the period 1841 to 1910. 122. Relation of the Periods of Variation of the Planetary Factors to the Periods of Atmospheric Pressure. With re- spect to the lagging of the actual weather after the planetary and solar phenomena which indicate it, Mr. Frederick Cham- bers, summarizing the sunspot studies of Charles Chambers, Brown, Hill, Archibald, Blanford, and Meldrum, and extend- ing their investigations in still greater detail, finds that the epochs of maximum and minimum barometric pressure lagged behind the corresponding epochs of minimum and maximum solar-spotted area at an interval varying from about six months to two and a half years. His conclusions in this respect are briefly (1) that variations of the solar-spotted area are succeeded many months afterwards by corresponding abnormal barometric variations, and (2) that abnormal baro- metric variations in the tropics travel at a very slow rate from west to east, ariving at westerly stations several months before they reach more easterly ones.f From this and from the researches of Prof. Balfour Stewart and others, it appears that the lag of the weather after its indications is by no means constant, but varies at different times and places. The foregoing results arrived at by Mr. *Account of Progress in Meteorology in 1879-81, p. 52 tNature, 23, 84-110; Cleveland Abbe, Account of Progress in Meteor- ology in 1882, p. 80. 123] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 221 Frederick Chambers show that, when alowance is made ror the lag, the maximum barometric pressure corresponds to the minimum of sunspots, or the lowest ebb of connective sub- ttance in our atmosphere, and the minimum barometric pres- sure to the maximum accumulation of connective substance in our atmosphere. The probable explanation of this (as subsequent considerations furnish excellent grounds for be- lieving) is that the excess of connective substance in our atmosphere enables the rarer vapors and gases to ascend therein to a greater elevation, where the attraction of gravi- tation is less; and that, when the excess is withdrawn and the connective atmosphere sinks below its normal density, the vapors and gases descend where gravitation is more powerful and so cause a maximum barometric pressure. Here, then, is a complete parallelism of the indicated wet and dry years, not only with the sunspot changes, but with the actually observed periods of excessive and deficient pre- cipitation and the periods of maximum and minimum baro- metric pressure. This is additional incontrovertible evidence of the existence of material interplanetary connexions, on the basis of which alone these indicated wet and dry periods have been determined. 123. Coincidence of the Periods of Variations of the Plan- etary Factor wit|h the Periods of Atmospheric Electricity. But the parallelism may be pushed still further. We know that there is an almost complete correspondence between the number of auroras and the relative extent of black spots on the Sun as far back as reliable observations extend, the curve of the one being almost exactly parallel with that of the other for more than a hundred years.* And as to the nature of the aurora, Mr. W. S. Jevons, after describing the five auroras of August, 1882, says: "I venure to make the suggestion that these ocrruscations arise from highly tenuous matter (in what Mr. Crookes calls the radiant state), projected through the higher part of the atmosphere. My belief is that during the auroras described, puffs, as it were, of radiant matter were discharged at great elevations above the earth's surf ace." t *Frof. Balfour Stewart, Nature, 23, 252. tNature, 23. 149. 222 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [121 H. Fritz, in a very complete summary of our present knowl- edge regarding the aurora,* quotes from Cramer that the auroras change themselves into clouds, the whole heavens being covered with them if the aunoras last for a sufficiently long time. Also that Stevenson at Dunse, Scotland, found the annual frequency of cirrus clouds to run parallel with the frequency of auroras; that Winnecke, from observations at Pulkowa, concludes that the cirrus must be considered as the agent of the aurora phenomena; that Weber and Klein and others give data to show that the times of greatest frequency of auroras and sunspots are also the times of greatest fre- quency of polar bands; that similar parallelisms connect the | sunspots with the height of rivers, the rainfall, and numerous other phenomena; that, in fact, the parallelism between svery form of atmospheric, phenomena and the solar spots, shows the connection to be a real one, although the rationale of the connection is not yet made clear, f It is known further even that the constitution of the ai- mosphere is variable, higher percentages of some ingredients being present at certain times than at others; and Regnault suspected rightly when he declared it deceptive to regard the air as of a constant constitution and a fit standard for the specific gravity of gases. J 124. The Wet and the Dry Seasons of the Year. Still an- other feature of table III is the wet and the dry seasons of the year. In 1848, e. g., the first half of the year is indicated to be dry and the latter half wet. In subsequent years the dry season pushes more and more towards the latter half of the year, and the wet into the first. In 1858 the first half of the year is again dry and the last half wet. In 1866 these seasons again change places. And so on; a complete revo- lution of a wet or a dry season from a certain portion of the year back again to the same portion, taking, on the average, nearly twelve years. It may be noticed also that the interval *Das Polarlicht, Leipsic, 1881. fProf. Cleveland Abbe, Account of Progress in Meteorology in 1879-81, pp. 80-81. jSee Jolly's investigations, Zeitschrift Oesterreichischen Gessell- schaft fur Meteorologie, 14, 228. 125] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 223 during which a certain half of the year changes from wet to dry, corresponds to a dry period of years, and that the inter- val from dry to wet is contemporary with a wet period of years. The wet and the dry periods of years are, therefore, dependent on, and derived from, the wet and the dry seasons. If, however, observations corroborating these indicated wet and dry seasons, as in the case of the indicated wet and dry periods of years, are looked for, little, if any, will be found lor the following reasons: First, as already intimated, the precipitation indicated for a certain time may lag behind that time for several months, the period being various at various times and places. Sec- ond, present observations cover but a very small portion of the Earth's surface (a mere fraction of even these being easily accessible to one person), and this portion is mainly removed from the tropics, within which the indicated vari- ations would theoretically occur more regularly. Third, both regular and iregular causes, such as wind and ocean currents, and position with respect to mountain ranges and elevation, would, to a very great extent, smooth down the differences of such short periods in most places where observations are made. And, fourth, the effects of the other factors of the connective variations upon the -Earth. Indeed, the most pow- erful factors of the connective variations upon our planet yet remain to be considered. But as already stated, the effects of these, with the single exception of the lunar factor, go through a complete cycle in almost exactly one year; so that, while they alone completely mask the indicated plan- etary factor, they produce no measurable effect whatever upon the planetary periods. The nature and effects of these factors will now very shortly be considered. 125. Lagging of the Actual Weather. With regard to the first of the foregoing reasons, it may be said that the cause of the lagging of the actual weather behind the indicated weather would very probably be that the withdrawal or ac- cumulation of a certain amount of connective substance would be required to effect a change of the normal atmospheric 224 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [126 conditions. These normal conditions are indicated in the table for any month or year by a cipher, or zero. Then, if we suppose that, in this normal state of the atmosphere, it required a withdrawal or an accumulation of a quantity of connective substance denoted by about 200 on the scale of the figures of table III to effect a corresponding measurable change in the actual weather, we observe that this quantitive accumulation or withdrawal would require, in the case of the seasons, from three to four months, and in the case of the periods, from three to four years; more being required in such years as 1871 than in 1884. The probable reason why such a quantitive variation of the connective substance would be necessary to produce an appreciable effect on the actual precipitation is that, during the first part of the season or period of accumulation, the capacity of the atmosphere to hold vapors in suspension would increase up to a certain limit, owing to the increased volume and quantity of connective substance it contains; and that, during the first part of the period of drain, the capacity of the atmosphere would diminish in this respect down to a certain limit, owing to the diminution of its connective sub- stance. So that, from the normal amount of connective sub- stance in the atmosphere up to the one and down to the other, the normal precipitation would be likely to prevail. 126, T|he Solar Factor of the Connective Variation. The other factors of the connective variation upon the Earth, which yet remain to be considered may now be computed. As already stated in article 115, it was necessary for the determination of the longer periods of the connective varia- tions that the planetary factor should alone be computed; the consideration of the other factors being left for a subsequent occasion. This occasion is now at hand; and the variations of the remaining connexions upon the Earth are to be de- termined as nearly as practicable. Taking first the Earth's primary connexion with the Sun, there is, from the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit, a linear variation of about 3,000,000 miles in a period of six months. 126] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 225 This multiplied by the sectional area of the connexion at the Earth's surface, in order to obtain the volume-variation, and also by the relative density of the connexion, obtains the mass-variation in the period. But what is the relative den- sity of a primary with respect to that of a secondary con- nexion? At the present stage of our inquiry this question cannot receive a definite answer. The best that can be done is to assign a probable value, less than which the density of the solar connexion upon the Earth, with respect to that of its secondary connexion, can not be. According to the connective theory, as well as to the neb- ular hypothesis also, the outermost planets were the first born of the solar family. Each of the planets as they suc- cessively came into existence, appropriated from the Sun a primary connexion, the sectional massiveness of which, it may reasonably be supposed, depended upon the masses of the respective planets between which and the Sun the con- nexions extended; and each planet also appropriated a cer- tain portion of the primary connexion of each of the pre- viously existing planets for a secondary connexion between the two. What this portion is, is the point to be determined; and the limit which it cannot reasonably exceed may be rep- resented by the fraction having the mass of the appropriating planet, for the numerator and that of the Sun for the denom- inator. Several reasons might be assigned for a smaller value of this portion of the previously existing solar con- nexions which the new-born planet appropriates such as that the restraining functions of the solar connexions would re- quire, and, therefore, retain a proportionately greater share of their substance thanjrtie functions of the portions forming the secondary connexion between the planets would require, the latter being of a far lighter nature; but there appears to be no reason whatever for assigning a greater value to it. Thus, when the Earth first separated from the bosom of the parent Sun, it would have a solar connexion, the sectional density of which would be to that of Jupiter's solar connex- ion, e. g., as the Earth's mass is to that of Jupiter; and it 226 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [127 would also appropriate a portion of the solar connexion of Jupiter not greater, at most, than 1/326,800 of its entire sub- stance, the mass of the Earth having a ratio to that of the Sun of 1 to 326,800. Now, if we call the Earth's mass unity, Jupiter's mass will be about 312,and the sectional massive- iiess of these solar connexions, at equal distances from the Sun, will also be in the same ratio, respectively. At the Sun's surface the sectional density of the Earth's solar con- nexion is, therefore, 1, and of Jupiter's solar connexion, 312. Then the sectional density of the portion of the latter con- nexion which the new-born Earth would appropriate for a secondary connexion between the two planets would be 1/326,800 of 312, or 1/1048 of the density of the Earth's solar connexion. It may therefore be concluded that, for equal lin- ear units, the density or mass of the connexion between the Earth and the Sun is at least a thousand times greater at the Earth's surface than that of the connexion between the Earth and Jupiter. Thus the mass-variation caused in our atmosphere by the solar connexion in a period of six months would be 3,000,000 X 49,000,000X1,048 154 XlO 15 cubic miles, or rather one-half of this, as the Sun's atmosphere would also be affected like that of the Earth; while the mass-variation caused by the Earth's connexion with Jupiter is half of 186,000,000X49,000,- 000X1=9 XlO 15 cubic miles in a period of 199 days. So that, in equal units of time, the influence of the Sun upon the con- nective variation in our atmosphere is about eighteen times as powerful as the influence of Jupiter. Had this value of the solar connective variation been placed in table III, the to- tal value of all the planetary connective variations would sink almost into comparative insignificance. But as the period of this solar variation is almost precisely one-half of a calendar year, every year would be exactly the same so far as this disturbing factor is concerned; and the peculiarities of the table, with the exception of the wet and the dry seasons of the year, would remain wholly unaffected. 127. The Lunar Factor of the Connective Variation. Here again is met a difficulty similar to that met in determining 128] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 227 the relative density of the Earth's primary connexion. What is the relative density at the Earth's surface of the Moon's primary connexion with respect to that of the Earth's pri- mary connexion? It will, perhaps, suffice here to suppose that the actual work which a connexion performs affords a trustworthy indication of its actual strength or material den- sity. The Moon's primary connexion draws the Moon from the tangent to its orbit about 0.0045 ft. in one second, and the Earth's primary connexion draws the Earth from the tangent to its orbit about 0.0096 ft. in one second, which is 2. 335 as far as the Moon is drawn in the same time; and, the Earth being 80 times heavier than the Moon, the strain on its connexion would thus be 2.135X80, or about 171 times greater than on the Moon's connexion; so that the strength or material density of the former connexion (that of the Earth's primary connexion being 1048 times that of its con- nexion with Jupiter see preceding Art.) will be about 6. Now the average linear variation of the Moon's primary con- nexion is about 26,000 miles, or the difference of the Moon's distance at apogee and perigee. So that, to obtain the mass- variation of the lunar connexion, we have 26,000X49,000,000 X6 = 77X10 11 cubic miles. The period of this variation is the average time required by the Moon to pass from the perigee of its orbit to the apogee, or nearly 14 days. The standard density here used is that of Jupiter's secondary con- nexion with the Earth, and to reduce this to the standard used in table III, the above result must be multiplied by 4771; which gives 77 X 10" X 4771, or about 37X10 15 , or about 2/5 of unity on the basis of table III, and half of this must le assigned to the variation on the Moon itself. Also, since there are, on the average, some 2.033 lunar variation period's in a month, there would remain but 1/30 of 1/5 of unity to affect any monthly value in table III; so that not a single figure of that table would be affected by the insertion of this factor. 128. The Sidereal Factor of the Connective Variation. It might be supposed, at a first glance, that, as the Earth 228 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [128 swings from one side of the Sun, to the other, the accumu- lation of the connexions with the heavenly bodies beyond the Solar System, from one direction, would be about bal- anced by the withdrawals from the opposite direction. But this, in all probability, is not ttfe case, for the reason that our world is not situated in the center of the Sidereal Sys- tem, but considerably to one side of that center. One reason we have for believing this is that, in examining the sky with our telescopes, in one direction we see comparatively few stars, and generally the individual stars are clearly projected upon the general blackness of the heavens; while, looking in the opposite direction, the number of the stars is greatly increased and their magnitude so reduced that they appear to terminate in a completely irresolvable nebulosity. So that, in the words of Sir John Herschel* "Whatever other conclusions we may draw, this last must anyhow be regarded as the direction of the greatest linear extension of the ground plane of the galaxy." In the same paragraph, Herschel places this greatest linear extension of the starry sphere in the constellation Scorpius, which is situated nearly in the intersection of the planes of the ecliptic and the Milky Way, and through which the Earth passes in the first half of June. According to the new theory, then, the Earth, during the six months of the year preceding, would be approaching the greater portion of the sidereal sphere and leaving behind the lesser portion of it; so that, the accumulation of connective substance, owing to this cause, upon the front of the Earth during that time would be in excess of the drain in its rear. Also, during the following six months, the drain would be in excess of the accumulation. Again allowing a lag of about three months, this would cause a comparative excess of precipitation from about the middle of March to the mid- dle of September, and a deficiency from the middle of Sep- tember to the middle of March. It will thus be observed that the wet season of the year, owing to this cause, almost exactly coincides with the dry *Outlines of Astronomy, Art. 798. 129] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 229 season, owing to the solar factor. For the Earth is at peri- helion, or at the least distance from the Sun about the first of January; and allowing three months of lag, as before, the solar dry season would be from March to October, while the sidereal wet season, as just found, extends from the middle of March to the middle of September. Thus one factor coun- teracts the effects of the other, so that, if the two factors were of equal value, scarcely any effect whatever would be assignable to either at the present time. But the actual weather appears to be in very close conformity to the the- oretical effects of the sidereal factor. For from an examin- ation of rainfall statistics over the Earth's surface, it is found that, in the winter season of the northern hemisphere, the amount of precipitation is decidedly less than in the summer season. 129. Connection of the Sidereal Factor and the Wet and Dry Seasons. The Signal Service records of the United States show undeniably that this is the case in that country.* As far back as these records extend, with respect to ten principal Atlantic cities, viz., Eastport, Boston, New York, Wilmington, Charleston, Savannah, Jacksonville, Key West, New Orleans, and Galveston, they show that the average monthly precipitation in all is 4.35 inches; that November, December, January, February, March, April, and May are below the mean, the middle month of the period, February, having a maximum deficiency of just one inch ; and that June, July, August, September, and October are above the mean, the middle month, August., having a maximum excess of about an inch and a half. Also in Professional Papers, No. X, of the U. S. Signal Service may be found the average precipitation of each month of the year at seventy-two stations scattered over the whole country, as deduced from all the records at the respective stations. Summing up all of these, the average monthly mean is found to be 3.60 inches for the whole area. The precip- itation is in excess of this in March, April, June, July, and *See also American Weather, pp. 139-144. 230 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [130 August, and below it in September, October, November, De- cember, January, February, and May. It is noticeable also that the nearer we approach to the tropics, the more exact is the correspondence. Thus, at the oceanic station, Key West, Florida, in latitude 28 ISfc, the Signal Service records give six months of excessive precipitation or May to October inclusive, and six months of deficient precipitation, or No- vember to April inclusive. 130, Coincidence of the Actually Wet and Dry Periods of Years With the Indicated Wet and Dry Planetary Periods. The correspondence of the actual precipitation at the last- named station with the theoretic deductions holds, not only for these sidereal seasons of the year, but, what is more re- markable, it holds fairly well also for the wet and dry plan- etary periods of years indicated in the 13th column of table III. Thus, for the period of years 1870 to 1913, inclusive, the mean annual precipitation at this station is 39 inches, and the actual variation from this mean for each year is as fol- lows, the theoretical results from table III for the same years being placed in the third and sixth columns for comparison (full-face figures denoting excess and the plain figures de- noting deficiency) : Annual Precipitation at Key West, Florida, 1870-1913, Inclusive YEAR Actual Excess or Deficiency. Inches. Theoretic Excess or Deficiency. | YEAR Actual Excess | Theoretic or | Excess or deficiency. (Deficiency Inches. 1 1870 30.69 (ex.) j 72 (ex.) 1892 14.09 (def.) 105 (ex.) 1871 4.32 (def.) 7 (def.) 1893 17.00 (def.) 98 (ex.) 1872 .7.23 (def.) 54 (def.)l 1894 3.34 (ex.) 25 (ex.) 1873 6.25 (def.) 105 (def.)| 1895 9.81 (def.) 1 26 (def.) 1874 6.25 (def.) 87 (def.)| 1896 13.28 (def.) 83 (def.) 1875 2.63 (def.) 83 (def.) 1897 7.46 (ex.) (102 (def.) 1876 1 1.05 (def.) 68 (def.) 1898 4.39 (ex.) Ill (def.) 1877 | .85 (def.) (def.) 1899 9.45 (def.) 93 (def.) 1878 | 10.03 (ex.) 53 (ex.) 1900 9.81 (ex.) 52 (def.) 1879 19.54 (ex.) | 120 (ex.) 1901 1.98 (def.) 12 (ex.) 1880 5.59 (def.) 127 (ex.) 1902 .39 (def.) 56 (ex.) 1881 14.10 (ex.) 138 (ex.) 1903 8.64 (def.) 97 (ex.) 1882 2.86 (ex.) 63 (ex.) 1904 1.02 (def.) |158 (ex.) 1883 9.24 (ex.) (ex.) 1905 2.84 (ex.) Ill (ex.) 1884 5.95 (def.) 56 (def.) 1906 9.53 (ex.) 44 (ex.) 1885 4.97 (def.) 101 (def.)| 1907 12.35 (def.) 17 (def.) 1886 8.97 (def.) 101 (def.)| 1908 .17 (def.) 52 (def.) 1887 4.62 (ex.) 85 (def.)| 1909 17.35 (ex.) 101 (def.) 1888 | 3.42 (def.) 65 (def.)| 1910 10.57 (def.) 66 (def.) 1889 | 13.67 (ex.) 21 (def.) 1911 3.33 (def.) 63 (def.) 1890 3.87 (ex.) 36 (ex.) 1912 4.45 (ex.) 13 (def.) 1891 .75 (ex.) 89 (ex.) 1913 9.04 (def.) 20 (ex.) 131] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 231 As shown by the U. S. Signal Service records for the 44 years given in the preceding table, the actual annual excesses of precipitation agree with the theoretic excesses for 11 years, and the actual annual deficiencies of precipitation agree with the theoretic deficiencies for 18 years, leaving a disagreement of theory and fact in 15 years of the period; or nearly two eases of agreement to one of disagreement. As illustrating the effects of local disturbances, it may be mentioned that the three years of most pronounced disagreement (1892-3 and 1S09) all actually agree with the theory at each of several other stations in the same locality (e. g., Clermont and Hypo- luxo) ; that is, the first two years show actual excesses at these stations instead of large deficiencies, and the other year shows a deficiency instead of a large excess. As we go northwards to New York and Boston, however, this cor- respondence becomes less and less distinguishable, although it still appears to be distinctly traceable over the entire country. Similar correspondences could be given for similar stations in the East Indies, Asia, South Africa, and Australia. The season* of heavy precipitation at Key West are coincident with the seasons of cyclones and typhoons of the entire equa- torial belt, at which seasons all portions of the Earth's sur- face accessible to the influence of these storms have a max- imum amount of precipitation. But much greater accordance of theory and fact would no doubt be found, if statistics were available, from within the Torrid Zone itself, owing to the much greater precipitation occuring therein. "We take from M. Lemstrom's pages the following concise table, strongly corroborative of Edlund's theory, showing the dependence upon latitude of storm-frequency: Mean annual number of storms between and 30, 52; between 30 and 50, 20; between 50 and 60", 15; between 60 and 70, 10; about 70, 0."* 131. Relative Amounts and Effects of the Several Factors. Of course it is not possible at the present time to compute the actual amount of variation of the sidereal connexions, as *Prof. H. E. Armstrong, Nature, 35, 596-7. 232 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [132 has been done with the planetary and the solar connexions. The relative efficiency of the former with respect to the lat- ter cannot, therefore, be determined. But if the reasoning is correct in other respects, it mast obviously follow that the sidereal variation, from the preponderating effects correspond- ing to it, must certainly be greater than the solar and the planetary variations. Since the relative efficiency of the solar' and the sidereal factors of the seasonable weather changes cannot be com- puted, neither can be computed the relative efficiency of the effective difference between the two and the planetary fac- tor, the value of which is given in table III. It may be that the planetary factor is nearly as powerful as the excess of the sidereal factor over and above the solar factor, or it may be that the latter is the more powerful. Subsequent inves- tigations may determine this point. In the meantime it may in any case reasonably be 'supposed that, when a planetary wet or dry season coincides with a similar sidereal season, an in the periods 1879 to 1883 and 1891 to 1894, more than the ordinary intensity of precipitation and drouth will char- acterize our summers and winters, respectively, of these years; and that when the dry season of the one nearly coin- cides with the wet seanson of the other, as from 1884 to 1890 and from 1895 to 1900, less than the ordinary intensity of precipitation and drouth which characterize our summer and our winter seasons respectively, may be looked for. Much less than the usual lag would take place in these cases for the reason that, in the first case, normal conditions would always accompany an approximately even balance of the fac- tors. 132. Incompleteness of Our Meteorological Data. But a great deal undoubtedly yet remains to be known regarding the effect upon precipitation of the drains and accumulations of connective substance in our atmosphere. The views here offered are simply those which, from a consideration of the facts so far as they are known, have appeared the most reasonable. Other facts, however, may yet come to light 133] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 233 which may considerably modify these views. Moreover, our present system cf meteon lomcal observations is very incom- plete. In the comparatively few observations made, most nations appear to act independently of each other; and of course no observation whatever is made with reference to the theory here advanced. So that there is not only no digest of the observations of the world as a whole, but there ap- pears to be, in most cases, no digest even of the observations of a single country as a whole. Maps and charts are usually given showing the actual precipitation over the different por- tions of a country, and the variations of this from the mean monthly or annual precipitation for each particular locality. (Also this mean or standard amount of precipitation itself appears to vary from year to year, whereas an invariable standard should be adopted, at least for a considerable per- iod of years). But if the mean monthly or annual precipita- tion, and the actual monthly and annual variations there- from, for the country as a whole, are desired, the inquirer himself must generally perform the almost herculean labor of reducing these data from the raw statistics of each individ- ual locality. Nor can even these be always obtained at one head office; some of the statistics are usually out of print, and various different places must be searched for the rnanu- script records. It is urgently needed that a more extensive and complete system of meteorological observations should at once be adopted by all nations, and the general results from each country sent to one office for more complete generalization. Indeed comparatively little in the important department of weather prediction can be accomplished until the maze of in- tricate agents and complex disturbing factors are brought into some such general system. 133. Application and Value of These Weather Indications. Finally, it must be borne in mind that the weather indicated by means of the variations of the terrestrial connexions of all kinds apply, not to any particular locality or country, but to the Earth's surface as a whole. It may not infrequently 234 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [134 happen through local disturbing causes (which, however, may sometime not improbaly be pre-determined) that in certain localities extreme drouth prevails while over the Earth's surface as a whole, the precipitation is excessive; or there is excessive precipitation in certain localities while ex- treme drouth generally prevails. But the instances of this discordance would obviously be comparatively rare; and the indications would necessarily hold good in the great majority of cases, even if the effects of the local disturbing forces could not be foretold. With respect to the wet and the dry periods of years, the lag is more regular than in the wet and the dry seasons, and the effects of the disturbing factors are largely eliminated by inclusion of them in nearly equal amounts and kinds in each period. It appears to be a safe deduction from the new views here advanced that from the second year of a tabular dry period to the second year of a tabular wet period (such as are given in table III), the precipitation will be compara- tively deficient generally over the Earth's surface, and that from the second year of a tabular wet period to the second year of a tabular dry period, the precipitation will be com- paratively excessive. There appears to be no doubt of the theoretic correctness of this conclusion, and being also strong- ly corroborated by actual observation, as we have just seen in this chapter, it ought to prove of no small value to us, from the -facility with which these periods may be computed for immediate future years. 134. A Probable Basis for the Flood Legend. It has been observed that a solar wet or dry season is almost exactly cne-half of a sidereal year. The difference between the two less than two and a half minutes is very small indeed. But small as it is, it may prove to be of considerable theo- retical importance. 'The length of a solar wet and a solar dry season together is the period of time during which the Earth passes from the aphelion of its orbit around to the same point of its orbit again; and this period does not exactly correspond in length either to the sidereal or the tropical 134] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 235 year. A sidereal year is the period of time during which the Earth passes from a straight line joining a so-called fixed star and the Sun around to the same line again; and this period exactly includes a sidereal wet season and a sidereal dry season together and no more. If the line which joins the perihelion and the aphelion of the Earth's orbit were as fixed, or rather moved as slowly, as that joining the Sun and the star, the sidereal and the solar seasons would be exactly sim- ilar in length. But this line, the line of apsides, is not fixed. It has an extremely slow direct motion of nearly 12" per annum from the star-line; so that the Earth's perihelion makes a complete revolution, from a certain fixed star around to the same star again in about 109,830 years. Now the longitude of the Earth's perihelion at the pres- ent times is 100 30', and that of the point of greatest linear extension of the sidereal sphere is about 262. The line of apsides has, therefore, traversed over 198 since the time when perihelion and the point of greatest extension of the Leavens were coincident; which movement has taken place in a period of nearly 60,000 years. At that time, then, the sicfereal and the solar seasons exactly coincided, wet with wet and dry with dry; so that instead of the one antagonizing the other, as at present, both factors would unite in producing a wet season of tremendous precipitation and a dry season in which the Earth's surface would be extremely parched. Sixty thousand years ago these conditions would supervene with a maximum degree of intensity; and they would con- tinue with slowly diminishing intensity for some 25,000 years longer. After this more than half of the one factor would be counteracted by the other, and this degree of counterac- tion would gradually increase down to 4,500 years ago, when it would have been at a maximum, or the two factors would be completely antagonistic. At this time, therefore, the sea- sonal intensity would be at a minimum. It is now increasing and, in some 50,000 years, will be again at a maximum. These are the theoretical deductions, but perhaps they are not entitled to implicit reliance. The revolution of the 236 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [134 line of apsides may possibly be irregular, and such irregular- ities might very considerably modify the times of theoretic maximum and minimum seasonal intensity. t is true that such irregularities are as yet unknown; but the periods are so vast compared with the period of recorded observations, that it might be premature to assume, amidst the maze-like intricacies of Nature, that such irregularities did not exist. Still the coincidence of the solar and the sidereal seasons would certainly have taken place sometime in the past, and, if the new theory be true, this coincidence would as cer- tainly be accompanied by extreme drouths and deluges. The question now occurs May not these seasonal deluges be the origin of the legends of the Flood? If man was con- temporary with the great Ice Age, as apparently reliable tes- timony goes to prove, he would have had ample opportunity to witness and experience the tremendous floods ascribable to this cause; as the most conservative estimate of the per- iod since glaciation is more than 30,000 years, while by far the greater number and the most eminent of geologists place it at six times this duration. It is undeniable that the the- ory thus furnishes a possible and even plausible scientific explanation of the diluvial legends. (In any event a compar- ison of this explanation with that of collision of the Earth with a comet's tail that of Kant and William Whiston and about the only other is certainly not unfavorable to the newer view. The same explanation would also apply to the periods of excessive erosion of the Earth's surface, which the testimony oi' the rocks so clearly indicates, and which geologists find so inexplicable, especially in the later geological periods. No more probable explanation of this excessive erosion, fol- lowed again by quiescent periods of deposition can scarcely be imagined than the alternate extreme drenchings and parchings of the Earth-crust continued for many thousands of years and followed again by an equally long period of comparative elemental equilibrium and quiescence, as implied 135] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 237 by the foregoing deductions from the connective theory. (See also Art. 141), 135. Connection of the Orbital Period of Jupiter With the Indicated Wet and Dry Periods of Years and With the Sun- spot PeriodsL A tabular dry season and wet season together usually aggregate about thirteen months, and generally a year is indicated to be wet or dry according as all of the wet or all of the dry season is included in it. Pushing this in- quiry further in the same direction, it is observed that the synodic period of the great planet Jupiter is also thirteen months, and that the indicated dry seasons of the year very closely correspond to the times of the Earth's recession from, and the indicated wet seasons to the times during which the Earth is approaching, that planet. It is found, then, that, in general, a year is indicated to be dry or wet according as the planet Jupiter comes in conjunction with the Earth in the first half or in the last half of the year; as in the former case, all the recession from, while in the latter case all the approach towards, that planet would be included with- in the year. The time of maximum sunspots, which, as already seen, is the time of theoretic change from wet to dry years, would thus correspond to the time in which the planet Jupiter comes into opposition* with the Earth about the middle of the year, and the time of sunspot minimum corresponds to that in which it comes into conjunction with the Earth about the same time. Thus, in the sunspot maxima of 1907, 1895, 1883, 1871, 1860, 1848, 1837, the times of Jupiter's opposition were July ID, July 29, July 6, July 3, July 27, July 23, and August 19 respectively; and in the sunspot minima of 1913, 1902, 1890, 1878, 1867, 1856, 1843, 1833, the times of Jupiter's conjunction were July 4, July 1, July 25, July 24, August 25, September 26, August 15, and October 23, respectively; all of which are not far from the middle of the year except the last. Before discussing a possible explanation of ttiis, let us glance one more at the figures of table III. Taking the in- dicated dry season of 1840 and adding its monthly values to- *See footnote p. 209. 238 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [135 gether, they are found to aggregate 549, which sum is placed over the last monthly value of that season. The same is done with the succeeding wet season and with each follow- ing season in succession. In 1851 the minimum seasonal sum of 266 is obtained, after which these gradually increase to a maximum of 554 in 1861, decrease to a minimum of 324 in 1872, increase to a maximum of 575 in 1882, decrease to a minimum of 277 in 1891, and so on. A moment's consid- eration suffices to show that the cause of these seasonal maxima and minima is the relative bunching and scattering of the four planets. If the four planets were all in the same longitude with respect to the Earth, the latter would recede from, or approach towards, them all at the same time, and the aggregate valuei of a dry or of a wet season would then be a maximum. But if the planets were so evenly distributed around the Earth that the recession upon one side of it was balanced as nearly as possible by the approaches On the other, then the aggregate value of a dry or a wet season would be the smallest possible. The dry and the wet periods of years, as given in table III, are therefore determined solely by the movements of the planets around the Earth, principally by the movement of the planet Jupiter; these movements deter- mining the seasonal changes on which, in turn, the wet and dry periods of years depend. Now here is a promising explanation of the sunspot per- iods, because, when the planets are bunched with respect to the Earth, they are so to a great extent with respect to the Sun also. But on closer inspection the explanation fails, because, from a comparison of the 14th and 15th columns of table III, it is seen that the yearly periods of the sun- spots and of the connexion variations upon the Earth are Quite incommensurable, and so cannot have the same cause. While the rotation, in the successive years, of the seasonal changes, as determined by the planetary movements, which causes the wet and dry periods of years, gives a relation between the planetary movements and the sunspot periods, because these wet and dry periods of years and the sunspot 135] INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND WEATHER 239 periods coincide for nearly a century,, yet the manner of der- ivation of the wet and dry periods of years is independent of the seasonal maxima and minima, so that a maximum sea- sonal variation does not at all correspond with a maximum yearly variation; the latter being only the algebraic sum of a wet and a dry season within the limit of a calendar year; which sum may be about as great in the case of a seasonal minimum as in the case of a seasonal maximum.* *This, however, has reference only to the principal 11-year sun- spot period. The minor sunspot periods of 4, 8, and 14 years, which Prof. Schuster is said to have found (See Prof. H. H. Turner, Address sec. A, B. A. A. S., 1911), appear to harmonize, to a certain extent, with the planetary connexion variations. From the last column of tahle III, it is seen that the period between successive maxima of the seasonal planetary variations which correspond to the comparative bunching of the planets upon one side of the Sun, and which, therefore, by the new theory, should have some effect upon the formation of sunspots is about 19 years; which very approximately equals 44-14 and 8-|-ll years. For various conflicting views on these minor sunspot periods, see Nature, 87,293; 90,454; 92,411. CHAPTER IX INTERPLANETARY CONNEXIONS AND SUN- SPOTS, THE ZODIACAL LIGHT, AND THE SOLAR CORONA. In the corona at minimum sunspots, we have a well-devel- oped, regular equatorial elongation; at maximum spots, all this is changed and we get streamers and their separating rifts very irregularly distributed. J. NORMAN LOCKYER. The attenuated cosmical matter of which the zodiacal light is probably composed extends all around the sun, in the form of a very flattened ellipsoid of revolution, to a distance well beyond the earth's orbit in the plane of the sun's equa- tor. E. MARCHAUD. Yet all these were when no Man did them know, Yet have from wisest Ages hidden beene; And later Times thinges more unknown shall show. Why then should witlesse Man so much misweene That nothing is, but that which he hath seene? (?) 136. The Maxima and Minima of Sunspots and Their Causes. If maximum sunspots coincided with the grouping of the planets upon one side of the Sun, and minimum sun- spots coincided with the even distribution of the planets all around the Sun, it would furnish a beautiful explanation of the phenomena of sunspots, because the grouping upon one side of the Sun of the primary planetary connexions would in effect increase the density and elevation of the solar con- nective atmosphere on that side; which would enable the heated vapor to ascend higher therein and so cool, condense, and fall back again upon the Sun to form the spots; while the even all around distributiion of the planets would imply a uniform height of solar atmosphere and consequent min- imum opportunity for such vapor cooling and condensing. That something like this is really the mechanism of sun- spot formation is abundantly verified by the researches of nearly all investigators of this subject. Prof. J. Norman Lockyer quotes from Dr. Peters and Rev. S. J. Perry to show 136] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 241 that sunspots almost invariably commence life as little dots, which accumulate in larger and larger groups until full spot maturity is attained, usually in five or six days; and that the last act in their history is their invasion and extinction by taculae. These faculae are enormous upheavals of heated vapor which occur only in the neighborhood of spots and in- variably arise subsequently to their appearance. In other words, a facula is the fire and vapor of a burning sunspot. Prof. Lockyer says: "We can see that it is the most natural thing in the world to suppose that in an atmosphere like the sun's, seeing that there is enormous radiation and therefore cooling of the ex- terior, there must be a descent of solid particles into the in- terioir heated region. Now can we associate this with spot phenomena? "Yes, we can, and we are absolutely driven to it. We have already seen that the spot, when it travels over the limit, is a hollow. We also find when we examine a spot * T itih the spectroscope that certain vapors get very much denser, as if they were being crushed together into a certain limited region either by an up thrust or a downfall. Which? Well, the spectroscope answers that question for us perfectly because it shows that the vapors are absorbing, and therefore that they are cooler than the photospheric material imme- diately underlying them, and that they have not an excess of radiation, as they would have if they came up from below; the vapors there are cooler, as they should be if they came from a cooler place; they are denser, as they should be, if they are descending rapidly into a place which is more or less confined; and, more than all, the change of the refran- gibility of certain lines enables us to determine roughly the rate at which these descents take place. A very common velocity is thirty miles a second."* Elsewhere he also states: "Above latitude 30 3 , as a rule, we have no spots, because . . . the atmosphere is of lower elevation, so that there is not sufficient height of fall to give the velocities required to bring down the material in the solid form."f It has already been observed that the giant planet, Jupi- ter, largely determines the wet and the dry seasons, as well as the wet and the dry periods of years; and that for nearly *Nature, 33, 470. fNature, 34, 255. 242 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [137 a century, the times of sunspot maximum closely coincide with the times this planet comes into opposition with the Earth about the middle of the year, and the times of sunspot minimum coincide with those in which this planet comes into conjunction with the Earth about the middle of the year. Now it is generally admitted that the Sun itself is but a greater planet revolving slowly round some distant central body or system. By the new theory the Sun would be pri- marily connected with that distant central system just as Jupiter and its system is with the Sun. The material con- nexions of the Sun with each member of its parent system would, in their totality, be much more dense and voluminous than any of the planetary connexions, just as the Earth's primary connexion is more dense and voluminous than that of the Moon; also it would lie about in the plane of the solar equator for precisely the same reasons that the planetary con- nexions lie in that plane. About every twelve years, there- fore, the primary connexion of Jupiter and the Sun's primary connexion would coincide upon one side of the Sun, and so form the comparatively elevated atmosphere there which, as has just been seen, would facilitate the rapid formation of sun spots. And the fact that maximum sunspots actually oc- curs when Jupiter is on the opposite side of the Sun from the Earth in the middle of the year, points unmistakably to the conclusion that the solar connexion lies in the direction of Jupiter at that time, and that the Earth passes through it in December and January. 137. The Zodiacal Light and Its Connection With the Sun- spot Periods. Is there any evidence corroborative of this conclusion? Indeed there appears to be a splendid and in- controvertible corroboration of it in the phenomenon of the zodiacal light. This phenomenon, hitherto inexplicable, in- terpreted by the connective theory, is nothing else than the Sun's primary connexion with the central parent system of which the Solar System is an immediate member; and it ex- tends precisely in the indicated direction. Regarding the zodiacal light, the peculiar misconception 137] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 243 apparently everywhere prevails that it is lenticular-shaped and extends equally around the Sun's equator, or at least in two opposite directions from it. But that it extends only in one direction from the Sun is clearly shown by the fact that for about six months of the year (from about August 1 to January 31), it is seen in the east just before daybreak, and that, for a somewhat longer season, (from the end of Octo- ber to about the middle of June), it is visible in the west after sunset. So that for about eight months of the year, it is visible only in the evening or in the morning, that is, on only one side of the Sun; in the month of July, it is -not visible at all, being then behind the Sun: and in November, December, and January, or while the Earth is passing through it, it is visible both in the evening and in the morning of each day. And, moreover, just before the Earth enters it in November, it attains its greatest brilliance in the east, and just after the Earth passes out of it in January, it attains its greatest brilliance in the west. If the light really extended equally in all directions from the Sun's equator, or even in two opposite directions from it, why should it not be visible in the month of September, for example, after sunset as well as before daybreak? One re- cent authority answers: "The reason it cannot be well seen in the summer and autumn evenings is, that in our latitudes the course of the ecliptic m the southwest is, during those seasons, so near the horizon that the light in question is extinguished by the great thickness of the atmosphere through which it has to pass."* Here evidently is another instance of judgment biased by a prepossessed erroneous notion; for he entirely forgets that the same great thickness of the atmosphere would preclude its appearance in the southeast in the morning as well as in the southwest in the evening when in the same paragraph he adds: "It may also be seen rising from the eastern hor- izon just before daybreak in the summer and autmun." The error regarding this phenomenon, apparently enter- tained by every astronomer without exception, is so strangely *Newcomb's Popular Astronomy, p. 416. 244 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [137 and palpably at variance with the obvious facts, that it will perhaps excuse here the following lengthy description of it, from a memoir on La Lumiere Zodiacale, by P. Marc Dechev- rens, S. J., who made at Zi-Ka-Wei, near Shanghai, China, regular observations of the zodiacal light from September 1, 1875 to September 1, 1879 : (a) "The observatory stands in the middle of an immense plain about twenty-five miles from the sea, and in no direc- tion is its horizon broken by the slightest irregularity of the country; moreover, the observatory is isolated and the few neighboring buildings do not render the air impure or inter- fere with the most delicate astronomical observations. (b) "When its two branches (the east in the morning, the west in the evening) have the same length not exceed- ing 80 or 90 p the zodiacal light assumes the same shape on either side of the horizon; it is that of a lance-head or of half a lens a Ititle flattened. But when its length reaches 90, 100, and beyond, it is rather a long band of light of nearly constant width, whose splendour does not sensibly di- minish even to its extremity, which it is frequently difficult to find among the brilliant stars. Sometimes near the hori- zon the band appears as if it were to be enwrapped near its base in an envelope yet more luminous. (c) "The luminosity always appears quite steady and motionless. Its color is always pure white, like to the Milky Way. * * * (d) "The luminosity participates in the apparent diurnal motion of all the stars ; this fact has been noticed by all who have observed the phenomena and is opposed to all theories which designate the terrestial atmosphere as the place of the zodiacal light. .(e) "The general features already described are not de- rived alone from the observations made at Zi-Ka-Wei; they have been admitted by the earliest observers and are gener- ally adopted by all servants. (f) "The following details, undescribed as far as I know by any author, stand out prominently in the whole series of observations. (g) "The two branches of the zodiacal light, the eastern in the morning, the western in the evening, neither appear on, nor disappear from, the horizon at the same time; but their maximum of elongation takes place at the same mo- ment. (h) "The total duration for their appearance is six months for each branch. (i) "The first luminosity in the east appears in the early days of August, and the last dies out at the end of January. 137] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 245 On the western sid6 the zodiacal light is first observed about the end of October, and entirely disappears in June. (j) "Thus, during November, December, and January, in the morning before dawn, and in the evening after twilight, there can be viewed these two luminous bands among the stars, making in that part of the sky an angle of nearly 60 with the Milky Way, whose brightness and purity they rival especially in parts nearest the Sun. (k) "The eastern branch (in the morning) slowly elong- ates from its first appearance; on the contrary, the western branch (in the evening) rapidly develops, and in a month can reach its maximum of elongation. Inverse phenomena prevail in its disappearance; that is to say, the morning lu- minosity grows faint in a short time after the epoch of its greatest elongation, while in the evening the opposed limin- osity varies very slowly, and disappears almost insensibly. (1) "As to the brightness of the two branches the max- imum not coinciding with the greatest elongation was ob- served in November for the eastern and in February for the western branch."* Through all this description there evidently runs in the mind of the observer the idea that there are two separate branches of the zodiacal light; whereas, according to the description itself, there can have been but the one branch. The side of the Sun which becomes first visible in the morn- ing and from which the zodiacal light projects, say in Sep- tember, is the opposite side to that which last disappears be- neath the horizon in the evening and from which the oppo- site branch of the luminosity would be seen to project if there were such a branch. But no such branch has ever been seen at that time. It is equally obvious that, if, for sim- plicity, the Sun be regarded as stationary on its axis, the side of it which first becomes visible in the morning from the first of August to the last of October and from which the morning branch is seen to project, is precisely the same side which last disappears in the evening from the first of February till June and from which the evening branch is seen to project, This follows so manifestly from the Earth's motion round the Sun that it were superfluous to dwell upon it further. Therefore, according to the observations from July to November and from January to July, the zodiacal *Report of the Chief Signal Officer U. S. Army, 1881, pp. 908-9. 246 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [137 light is observed to extend only from one side of, or rather in one direction from, the Sun; and so there could be pred- icated from these observations but^one branch of the lumi- nosity. Then as to the three months during which the lu- minosity is visible both in the evening and in the morning of each day, nothing seems plainer, if the luminosity occupies an angular space of some 90 on one side of the Sun,* than that, when the Earth passed into the angular space thus oc- cupied, the luminosity would become visible on both sides of the horizon. Paragraph (k) of the above description really proves that this is the case. The rapid development of the western branch, occupying only a month from its first appearance to its maximum elongation, finds its only explan- ation in the passage of the Earth suddenly into the midst of the luminosity; and the equally rapid decadence of the eastern branch from its maximum elongation to its extinction is explicable only by the sudden passage of the Earth out of the midst of the luminosity. Precisely the same thing happened when the Earth passed through the tail of Halley's comet in 1910, when two tails were seen, one in the east and one in the west during the time of passage. This phenomenon is thus somewhat elaborately discussed on account of its great importance in the new theory and also on account of the singular misconception alluded to, which seems to be generally inculcated regarding it In the light of the connective theory, it furnishes the most complete explanation of the sunspot periods, compared with which the configurations of the planets alone play but a very subordinate part. The maxima of sunspots occur when Ju- piter's primary connexion is about in the last stage of its coincidence with the "zodiacal light", or as it may now be termed, the Sun's connexion with its primary and sister suns; which at the present time, and for about three-quarters of a century back, would happen when that planet is on the side *This does not necessarily contradict paragraph (b) of the foregoing description. The "long band of light" there mentioned may be only the central and densest portion, the rest, that is, the secondary components of the light, being too tenuous to be visible. 138] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 247 of the Sun where the Earth is in January and February. In the first part of the period of coincidence of the two great connexions, the solar vapors and gases would be ascending, so that the maximum of descent of cooled material would occur in the latter part of that period, or even just after co- incidence was over and the elevation of the solar atmosphere on that side was at a maximum rate of reduction down to the general average. And the time of the sunspot minima (though thus less regularly determined) would, in general, occur when the two chief connexions were as far apart as possible, or when Jupiter occupies that side of the Sun where the Earth is in July and August. It is very obvious also that the maxima and minima of the spots would not be suddenly, but slowly and gradually attained, as the two connexions (modified, of course, by the other connexions also) moved gradually, in the course of five or six years, into, or out of, coincidence. These theoretic deductions appear to be strongly corrobo- rated by actual observation. Assuming for the present (what will shortly be more fully shown) that the long streamers or rays of the corona are really portions of the Sun's con- nexions with the planets and other heavenly bodies, the fol- lowing quotation clearly shows the connection of the spots with the movements of the connexions : "The coronal streamers follow the spots by which 1 mean that the corona and the coronal streamers put on their great- est intensity, according as the spots have moved nearer the equator. When we have the minimum sunspot period, you can hardly call that equatorial extension a streamer at all, because it is so dim."* When the spots move nearer to the equator, it is about the time of maximum sunspots, and this, we are told, is the time v-hon the coronal streamers put on their greatest in- tensity, in precise accordance with the theory, f 138. Explanation of Anomalous Sunspot Periods. But *.T. Nci man Lockyer, Nature, 34, 44. iTho vaiicus peculiarities of sunspots, such as their equatorial drift- ing ar.d t'uir gi eater angular velocity in the U wer latitrdt-s e over two millions of millions of miles (about 800 times the distance of Neptune); and, by analogy, the distance of the next system inwards would be so much greater that the theoretically smaller bodies there "would be beyond our tel- escopic vision. And as for the sister suns whose motions would disturb the distribution of the Sun's principal connex- ions, and whose parallaxes would evidently be greater than any yet discovered, they may be dark bodies and invisible for that reason. Of the principal planets and satellites of the Solar System not one is self-luminous according to the present theory; and by the new theory, not less than nine out of every ten would be invisible to us if not illuminated by some other body. The same conditions may supervene in the larger system of which the Sun is a planet; and the cen- tral body or sun of a system is just as likely to be dark, from surface development, as the other principal members. The subject is a vast one, and this explanation is offered as a mere conjecture. But the observed fact that the zodi- acal light diminishes in density and elongation contempora- neously with the irregularity and diminution of the sunspots, evidently points to some such relationship of the phenomena concerned. In any case, the maxima and minima of sunspots are determined, according to the new theory, by the conjunc- tions and oppositions of Jupiter, principally, witn respect to the zodiacal light. Conjunction of these two factors has co- incided with maximum sunspots and opposition with mini- mum sunspots lor nearly a century past; both coincidences have the appearance of continuing for many years to come; and, so tar as known, when one of the two factors is weakened in intensity or individuality, the sunspot phenomena become correspondingly irregular, or almost entirely disappear. This is not the first time that the movement of the planet Jupiter (and of other planets also) has been suspected of bearing a definite relation to the sunspot periods. But owing to the disparity of the two periods that of Jupiter being 11.86 years, while the sunspot cycle is about 11.2 years the theory has not been generally accepted. By the new theory 140] CONNEXIONS, SUNSFOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 251 this disparity is modified by the actions of the three other outer planets and, at the present time, very probably also by the angular variations of the zodiacal light. 140. Sidereal Connexions and Sunspots. Still another difficulty has, no doubt, oceured to trip reader. The zodiacal light, or the Sun's primary connexion, extends from that lu- minary in one direction, but the line of greatest sidereal extension is almost exactly in the opposite direction; and since trie greatest amount of solar connexions must lie in this last direction, how can it be that, when Jupiter's connexion coincides with it, there is a minimum of solar atmospheric elevation and, consequently, of sunspots? The new theory meets this with the answer that, as already intimated on several occasions, it is not the quantity of the connexions which affects the solar, or any other, atmosphere so much as the kind. The sidereal connexions on the one side are about all with distantly related bodies. They have been sifted again and again from the secondary connexions of the successive orders of the sidereal sub-systems down to the Solar. At every sifting the stronger components of the con- nexions were, in all probability, left behind, and the more superfluous, least used, and weaker components taken up. So that when the Sun, as it separated from its parent sun, took up its due proportion of the already more than thrice- blown sidereal connexions of that body, the very faintest, weakest, and literally most useless components must have fallen to its share. And these are the connexions which, though comparatively i^reat in quantity, owing to the comparative greatness of their number, extend from the Sun in the opposite direction to that of its primary connexion. The latter, on the contrary, is in its pristine strength, and, together with the next most im- portant connexions in this respect (with the exception of the primary connexions of the planets), namely, the secondary connexions with the Sun's sister planets, it serves as a sup- port, in and around which the surrounding solar atmosphere may collect and up-climb. The Sun's primary connexion is 252 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [141 also in a state of strain, owing to its function of restraining the Sun in its orbital motion, and this strain would, of itself, serve to elevate the solar atmosphere within it; .whereas the shlere.il connexions have no su:h^ restraining function, ara too refined even to transmit heat-motion, -md serve onJ\, to convey a faint amount of light, and even this possibly con- sisting of the most refined components of lif.ht-motion. All this is also implied in the application of the connective the- ory to the cosmical distribution of heat and light, and to the aerial and the oceanic tides, and is further elucidated in the discussion of these subjects. 141 Connective Variation Upon the Earth by the Sun's Primary System. The variation upon the Earth of its con- nexions with the Sun's primary system has already been included in the sidereal factor, because both have practically the same period. At the present time, however, these two factors are almost diametrically opposed. In effect It amounts to the same as if the sidereal factor had been found less powerful, or the solar factor more powerful, by the amount of the factor now considered. The annual results and indica- tions of table III are wholly unaffected by it for reasons al- ready stated. And, at the present time, it appears to be of theoretical importance as corroborating the Flood legends al- ready referred to. Since the Sun's parent is presumably much larger than the Sun itself, the value of the variation of this component can not be much less than that of the solar factor. Indeed, if we should assume that the former were as much larger than the Sun, as the latter is larger than the Earth, then the density of the Earth's connexion with the Sun's primary might be no less than that of the Earth's con- nexion with the Sun itself; in which case it would be some GO times more powerful than the solar factor, because its linear variation is that much greater. Now as the Sun very slowly revolves around its primary, this factor, instead of being in opposition with the sidereal factor, as both it and the solar factor now is, would eventually be brought into conjunction with the sidereal factor, and so cause much more 142] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 253 intense periods of precipitation and drouth than the conjunc- tion of the latter with the solar factor. And if the period of the Sun's orbital revolution be only 25,000 years, such conjunction would have happened some 12,500 years ago. This period is less than one-fourth the greater period of the solar factor; so that approximate conjunction of all three factors would take place at rarer intervals. This obviously would modify the age of the Earth as determined from the present rate of denudation and deposition. The last remaining significant factor of the connective variation in our atmosphere has now been considered, The almost geometrically diminishing massiveness of the con- nexions with the arithmetically diminishing relationship of the bodies they connect (owing partly to the smallness of the derived, as compared with the primary, bodies) would render the value of any individual connexion between bodies related beyond the second degree of kinship, too small to affect perceptibly the results already obtained. 142. The Solar Corona. Since, in the crepuscular light of the dawn and the twilight, there is faintly observable the Sun's primary connexion, or at least a portion of what we suppose to be the Sun's primary connexion, extending out- wards to its parent system, the question arises Why are we not able to observe the planetary connexions at the same time? The answer is that the planetary connexions are sup- posably much less voluminous and massive than the solar connexions; and that, consequently, the former, if visible at all, would be so only in the immediate neighborhood of the Sun, where, perhaps, extremely rare gaseous constit- uents arising from the Sun itself might contribute to their visibility. But, at the time the "zodiacal light" is observed, the immediate neighborhood of the Sun is, of course, below the horizon. There are, however, certain rare occasions when the face of the Sun is hid from, while its immediate neighborhood is exposed to, our view: and these occasions furnish us the strongest possible evidence confirmatory of the existence of 254 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [142 these connexions, as above surmised. When the Sun is eclipsed by the Moon, rays, or streamers, are seen to pro- ject outwards from the solar surface in various directions and to various distances. Prof. Langley stated that, in the eclipse of 1878, the streamers could be traced to a distance of 14,000,000 miles. The effects of fore-shortening would probably add considerably to this value. These streamers appear perfectly steady and permanent so long as circum- stances permit them to be seen at one time; but between one eclipse and another, they vary their positions; so that, in two eclipses separated by some five or six years, their positions are not at all alike. What are these rays or streamers of the Sun's corona? The most eminent students of solar phyics tell us frankly that they do not know. "The sun is doubtless surrounded by a gaseous atmos- phere of a certain extent, but there are a number of reasons why ihe corona should not be regarded as a prolongation of this atmosphere. A gas even a hundred or a thousand times lighter than hydrogen, at the height of the corona, would, at the sun's surface, be heavier than metals; a state of things which spectroscopic and other observations show can not be the true one."* The same scientist also speaks of "the relative perma- nency of the coronal forms during several weeks", and states further: "If the forces to which the corona is due resides in the sun, the corona ought, of course, to revolve with it; but if the corona is produced by causes extraneous to the sun, it may be otherwise." The fact is that the corona does not revolve with the Sun, as its "relative permanency during several weeks" indubitably attests. But that it has a pecul- iar revolution of its own, the following extract from an ex- cellent authority sufficiently proves: "If the photographs taken during eclipses in the past twenty years are compared with each other, it will be seen that the corona varies in a regular way with the state of the sun's surface, although there are irregular minor changes. At the sunspot minimum, the corona is much more regular *Dr. Huggins, Royal Institution, Feb. 20, 1884. 142] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 255 than at the sunspot maximum. At the maximum there is practically no regularity at all; the long streamers go up sometimes in one direction and sometimes in another, and this last year (1882), near the sunspot maximum, there was absolutely no symmetry in the appearance of the corona."* This, as well as the quotation from Lockyer (Art. 137), is in precise accordance with the theoretic conclusion just discussed regarding the relative aggregation of the principal connexions at maximum sun-spots and their more equable diffusion on all sides of the Sun at sunspot minimum. By the new theory, the coronal phenomena are understood at a glance to be nothing more than the Sun's connexions with the heavenly bodies. The solar connexions with certain bodies would, at times, owing to the varying positions of these bodies, lie in about the same direction from the Sun, and thus would become visible to us as a "ray", or "stream- er", or "radial glory." The visibility could not extend very far, however, as the connexions diverge as they proceed out- wards from the Sun, and thus the density of the "ray" is diminished. It also becomes intelligible that the positions of the "streamers" do not vary during the time of any one eclipse, but that, during the far greater period between eclip- ses, remarkable changes in their positions take place; all of which observation shows to be the case. Another signifi- cant feature is described by Lockyer as follows: "At both the poles, north and south, there is a wonderful curving, right and left; this out-curving having been one of the most exquisite things wnich it is possible to imagine. "There is further evidence indicating that the equatorial extension on the photograph may only, after all, have been a part of a much more extended phenomenon, one going to almost incredible distances considering it as a solar atmos- phere from the sun iself. "It has already been stated that at that eclipse one ob- server took exterme precautions to guard his eyes from being fatigued by the light of the inner corona, which sometimes is so bright that observers have mistaken it for the limb of the sun itself. What this gentleman, Prof. Newcomb, did was to erect a screen which covered the moon and a space 12' high around it. The result was, that as soon as he took his station at the commencement of totality, he saw a *Prof. Edward S. Holden, Account of Progress in Astronomy in 1883. 256 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [143 tremendous extension of the sun's equator on both sides of the dark moon, the extension being greater than that recorded in the photograph. It does not follow that the photograph gives us the totality of the extension; it may be that the extended portions may have bee.n so delicately illuminated, that they would not impress their image on the photographic plate in the time during which the plate was exposed, or that the light itself was poor in blue rays. So considerable was this extension, amounting to six or seven diameters of the dark moon, which practically may be taken to be the same as that of the sun behind it, that Prof, Newcomb had at once suggested to him the zodiacal light . . . The drawing made in 1867 gives us the same result. We again get the equatorial extension east and west, and the wonderful outcurving right and left from the sun's poles."* As all the members of the Solar System, and also in all probability the Sun's primary and sister system's lie very nearly in the plane of the Sun's equator, this "tremendous extension of the corona in the direction of the solar equator", as well as "the wonderful outcurving right and left from the sun's poles", become at once intelligible by the new theory, and serve moreover as a wonderful corroboration of it By this theory all other bodies of our system have a corona, as well as the Sun. But as the latter is a central body and vastly larger than any of them its corona would there- fore be far more dense, and so more likely to be visible to us. 143. Relative Visibility of the Various Solar Connexions, and their Real Direction^ as Viewed in the Rays of the Corona. But a further question arises If some of the plane- tary connexions are visible at the time of a solar eclipse, ought not the solar connexion, or the zodiacal light, owing to its greater density and prominence, to be much more con- spicuously visible, and to a vastly greater distance? To which the reply is, that while the solar connexion would for this reason be more conspicuously visible and, in general, very probably is so it would not reasonably be expected to be seen to a much greater distance owing to the much greater amount of sunlight in the air during an eclipse than at the time it is viewed as the zodiacal light. As the real position-angles of the coronal streamers *Nature, 34, 42-3. 143] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 257 have not in the past been very systematically observed, it is extremely doubtful that the real positions of the planets could be deduced from the apparent positions of the coronal rays observed in past eclipses. But one eclipse, that of July 29, 1878, observed on the summit of Pike's Peak, Colorado, from the minute details of it given in the Report for 1880 of the Chief Signal Officer, U. S. Army, who, with several other distinguished observers, was personally present, appears strikingly to show the two principal connexions in opposition with each other (it being the year of sunspot minimum), the solar connexion extending outwards in the background be- yond the Sun, and that of Jupiter extending in the direction of the Earth, the two planets being then almost exactly in conjunction. These two great streamers and their apparent- ly direct opposition to one another, are the only prominent characteristics of the corona observed on the Peak itself, and they are the most prominent characteristics in the twenty- seven sketches of the eclipse at different places which accom- pany the Report,. "The positions of the rays or beams seen by the different observers all agree with each other within the limits of accuracy of the sketches. However various may have been the impressions received by the observers, yet each failed to see and record any material change during the two or three minutes that the corona was visible to him. We thus have twenty-five little intervals of two or three minutes each, many of which overlap each other so that in effect there is a continuous line of testimony to the permanence of the corona." (p. 922). A casual glance at the streamers (as observed on the Peak by H. H. C,. Dunwoody, for instance) does not, indeed, give the impression that one of them extends towards the observer and the other beyond the Sun; for both apparently extend at right angles to the line of sight. But this would obviously be the case Ijpwever small the inclination to the line of sight (the Earth was 4^ in advance of Jupiter at the time, and, it being about 4 o'clock P. M., local time, Jup- iter's connexion would therefore appear to extend from the upper left-hand corner of the Sun), for the same reason that the rays of a lighted candle, which really enter the nearly 258 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [144 closed eye of the observer, appear to him to extend from the flarne in opposite directions almost at right angles to their real direction. It is therefore a matter of some difficulty to determine the real drections in which the coronal streamers extend; and too much, perhaps, is assumed when the two principal connexions in the sketches alluded to are regarded as in opposition. But the prediction is here ventured that, with more systematic observations in the future with respect to this special subject, the directions of the coronal rays will be found to coincide exactly with those in which the bodies lie to which they respectively extend; and two of these bodies will be Jupiter and Saturn, while one or more will lie beyond the planetary limits and belong to th Sun's parent system.* Indeed, only nine years after this prediction was first published, there appeared the following corroboration of it: "In the picture of the solar corona in the eclipse of Aug. 9, 1896 presented here by Nicolaus Kaulbars (Lieutenant- Gtneral and Chief of Staff Finland Miltiary District) of Solar Eclipse Expedition, Russian Astronomical Society, Jupiter's streamer is seen extending to the right to just about the position of that planet as seen from the Earth at that time.f 144. Summary of Results from Planetary Connexion Va- riatons. The inquiry into the connection between the plane- tary motions and the phenomena of precipitation in our atmosphere, spots on the Sun, the zodiacal light, the solar corona, etc., is now completed; and while no evidence what- ever, going to disprove such connection has been met with, many valuable evidences have been found which go to prove that such connection really exists. The principal portions of these evidences may be here briefly recapitulated. According to the principal assumption of the connective theory that the planets are connected with the Sun and with one another by material cords or connexions, the relative *The present writer, during a visit to one of the most prominent ob- servers of solar eclipses, personally appcalvd to him to make a special object of determining the real directions of the coronal streamers in fu- ture eclipses, with special reference to the positions of the principal planets. He expressed his belief at first that these extended in all direc- tions from the Sun, and it was extremely difficult to make him compre- hend the effect of foreshortening, as explained above; but he finally admitted it. However, after many years of waiting, subsequent inquiry by letter elicited no response whatever regarding this point. fNature, 55, 298. 144] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 259 variations of the supposed connective substance in the case of each principal planet of the Solar System were computed, and these bodies which, other things equal, produced com- paratively insignificant variations, were disregarded. Cal- culating the variations for each of the remaining bodies for each month of a period of nearly a century, and obtaining the algebraic sum of the results, both for each month and for each year, the first evidence in favor of the existence of such interplanetary connexions was brought to light in the fact that the periods of years during which the quantity of the connective substance in our atmosphere would be below the average and above the average, were found to be almost precisely parallel with the periods of years during which the area of black spots on the Sun was below the average and above the average, respectively; the chance occurence of such a parallelism for so long a period on any other basis being deemed improbable in the highest degree. The second evidence for the existence of material inter- planetary connexions was the equally exact coincidence of the periods during which the connective substance in our atmosphere would be above the average with those periods during which the auroras and the quantity of atmospheric precipitation were actually observed to be in excess of the av- erage; and also with those in which the barometric pressure was observed to be below the average; the most reasonable view being that a considerable excess of the connective sub- stance in our atmosphere would cause a corresponding excess of auroras (which would be merely streams of the connective fluid itself), and of atmospheric precipitation (which would, in part, be simply a condensed form of the connective fluid) ; the diminution of pressure accompanying the excess of con- nective substance being due to the high elevation, or region of diminished attraction of gravity, which the rarer atmos- pheric vapors are, in consequence of the more elevated con- nective atmosphere, enabled to attain,* *In autumn, the Earth approaches the Sun and also the Sun's primary two of the principal sources of connective variation upon the Earth. It has occurred to the writer that one form of precipitation due to the accumulation of connective substance then taking place in our atmosphere owing to this cause, may be the otherwise mysterious gossamer, or 260 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [144 The third evidence supporting the material planetary con- nexions was the correspondence of the deductions derived from them to the views of modern astronomers, according to which our world is situated considerably to one side of the center of the Sidereal System. 'Agreeably to this view, the connective substance would accumulate on the Earth while it was moving towards the point in which the greatest linear ex- tension of the heavens from the Earth lies, and would be drained away while moving in the opposite direction. The former movement occurs in the first half of the year, imply- ing, when necessary allowances are made, more than the average precipitation during our summer season; and the lat- ter occurs in the latter half of the year, equally implying less than the average precipitation in our winter season all of which is in accordance with actual observation. The fourth evidence found in support of material plan- etary connexions was the simple manner in which the sun- spot periods admitted of explanation by means of them. It was found that the sunspot maximum nearly always occurred when the great planet, Jupiter, was in a certain longitude with respect to the Sun, or in the neighborhood of the great stars Aldebaran, Capella, Sirius, Alpha and Beta Orionis, Procyon, Pollux, and Regulus all of which are of the first magnitude and form such a splendid galaxy as no other area of the heavens can nearly approach. Pushing the inquiry further it was found that the vast luminous band called the zodiacal light extended precisely in this direction, and occu- pied approximately the same heliocentric angle as the group of stars just named. It became evident, therefore, that the so-called zodiacal light is nothing else than the material con- nexions uniting our Sun with bodies not very distantly re- "Marien-faden" (our Lady's winding-sheet), which appears usually at this time of the year, and consists of tufts of very light, white material, like spider-web, floating in the air. The usual explanation assigns it as the product of some insect; but the writer has frequently observed it in clear, frosty weather forming over a whole field of newly ploughed soil, each freshly turned furrow being covered in a few minutes with a net- work of extremely fine, tense lines, like spider-lines, visible only at a certain angle with the rays of the Sun, and no insect whatever, or any other apparent cause, visible either in earth or air. Indeed, it seems not improbable that various kinds of connexions accumulating in our atmos- phere, under various conditions, would occasion various forms of precip- itation. 145] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODICAL LIGHT, CORONA 261 lated to these stars and others in this neighborhood. And the sunspot maximum would be due to the aggregation upon one side of the Sun of Jupiter's primary connexion and the Sun's connexions with these bodies. For, by means of this aggregation of connexions on one side of the Sun, the solar vapors would be enabled to ascend to comparatively great elevations, where they would cool, condense and fall to form the spots, in exact accordance with the ob- servations and deductions of all modern students of solar physics. This view was further corroborated when it was found that the sunspot minima corresponded, with about equal exactness, to the times during which the planet Jupiter lay in the direction from the Sun opposite to that which it occupied at maximum sunspots. And the fifth and last principal evidence in favor of the existence of material planetary connexions is that we actually see them with t|he naked eye, not only in the zodiacal light, but also in the streamers of the corona. It is possible that these streamers and coronal rays are not material connexions extending outwards from the Sun to neighboring heavenly bodies; but they certainly present the exact appearance which such material connexions would make on every occa- sion of their observation; and they certainly have remained for all these centuries up to the present time confessedly inexplicable on any other basis. And the same remark also applies to the sunspots, the zodiacal light, and the known variations of the numbers of the auroras and the amounts of atmospheric pressure and precipitation. 145. Possible Objections to the New Theory. These are strong, apparently incontrovertible evidences in favor of the connective theory. What are the evidences against it? Will it be adduced as an evidence against it that the opposed force-theory has been long established and is generally ac- cepted? Perhaps so; but against such evidence argument is useless. One serious objection, and apparently the only one which, so far, seems assignable, is the various effects upon terrestrial heat, light, and gravitation which the deduced various quant- 262 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [145 ities of connective substance in our atmosphere might be supposed to predicate. Thus the solar connexion is probably as dense for equal volumes as any other which falls upon our planet. How is it, then, that on the side of the Earth upon which this connexion falls, the attraction of gravitation is not measurably increased, since it is upon the density of this connective atmosphere that the attraction is held chiefly to depend (Art. 97) ? In other words, why does not an ob- ject weigh more during the day than it does during the night? Also the enormous accumlations and drains caused by the. predominant sidereal connexions would not they also be accompanied by corresponding variations in the light, heat, and gravitation manifested upon our Earth, since it is upon the quantity of the connective atmosphere that these phe- nomena also depend? Precisely similar questions might be asked of the present theory also, and not wholly without reason; for at mid-day an object at the equator is not only about 8000 miles nearer the Sun than at midnight, but the opposing centrifugal force around the Sun is less at the former than at the latter by double the velocity of the Earth's axial rotation; the attrac- tion of the latter being the same in both cases. According to the law of gravitation, a pound weight should, for this reason, be about 1/3 of a grain less in the night than in the day; a quantity easily within our ability to measure, if it existed. And a similar difference would be caused also by the Moon. According to the new theory, it may be stated first that, as already intimated, the connective atmosphere of the Earth is made up of innumerable individual connexions connexions not only with all the heavenly bodies visible to the naked and the telescopic eye, but also with countless others of which the eye or the telescope furnishes no evidence. It seems reasonable to suppose, therefore, that the density of an atmosphere thus constituted would not be affected by the addition or withdrawal of any one connexion, even that with the Sun, to any sensible degree. Owing to the eccentric position of the Earth with regard to the celestial sphere, there 145] CONNEXIONS, SUNSPOTS, ZODIACAL LIGHT, CORONA 263 would obviously be a greater number of connexions, and therefore a possibly denser connective atmosphere on that side of the Earth on which the greater portion of the sidereal sphere was situated. But granting that the connective atmos- phere on one side would be very considerably increased ow- ing to this cause, or a combination of similar causes, it is also true that the supposed change of density would take place slowly, and, as the movements of the free or reserve con- nective substance in our atmosphere is much more rapid, is, in fact, literally as quick as lightning, there would be ample time for the free connective substance to move from the side of greatest pressure to the opposite side, and thus continually maintain a very approximate uniformity of density on all sides of the Earth. Of course it is not implied here that greater elevation of the connective atmosphere does not occur on one side of the Earth than upon the other. Such greater elevation of the connective atmosphere (accompanied no doubt by greater aerial elevation) would be owing to the location of principal primary connexions on that side, and would, therefore, of itself, tend to equalize the distribution of connective density and pressure. A further consideration is that the connective atmosphere itself does not revolve with the Earth in its diurnal rotation. It is, indeed, bodily carried along with the Earth around the Sun; but it is absolutely fixed with respect to its axial rota- tion. Therefore, an equable distribution of pressure or den- sity, once attained, would be unaffected by an accumulation or drain from any particular direction. If it be objected that the density (and consequently the functions) of the connective atmosphere, as a whole, changes, from time to time, with the variations of its connective sub- stance, it may be replied that the connective atmosphere of the Earth is vastly more extensive than the limits either assigned or assignable to its aerial atmosphere. Thus the influx or the efflux of the enormous volumes of connective substance involved by the variations of the terrestrial con- nexions has a correspondingly inferior effect on the connect- ive density. And another consideration in this respect is 264 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [145 that an increase of connective pressure and consequent den- sity above the normal, even if it did exist to some extent in particular localities, would quickly be relieved by precipita- tion of the surplus connective substance into some form amenable to the attraction of gravity, and therefore no longer contributing to the sum of that attraction. The converse of this is equally true. A deficiency of connective pressure and density would be relieved by transformation of previously precipitated forms into the original state. So that, very prob- ably, no perceivable variation of connective substance could exist in our atmosphere owing to this cause. But supposing that variations in the density and functions of the connective atmosphere did actually exist; that, for instance, the absolute effect of the attraction of graviy is really variable within tolerably wide limits it might be in- quired in turn how we could ever become conscious of such a variation. We never could detect it by means of the bal- ance, for obvious reasons. And if it be replied that the variation might still be detected by means of the elastic strength of springs, or by means of muscular sense and strength, the inquiry at once occurs Is any one really pre- pared to demonstrate that the elastic strength of springs, and even the energy of muscular action, and the resistance to the motion of a pendulum, would not be affected in pre- cisely the same manner as the attraction of gravity? May not every molecule of the spring, and of the muscle, and even of the perceiving brain, have a proper connective atmosphere of its own (as Helmholtz and others have suggested), upon the density of which the energy of their action depends, and the density and energy of which are in turn dependent on the density and energy of the general atmosphere? CHAPTER X GENERAL METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA. At altitudes above 100 kilometres there is supposed to be no trace of anything but the lighter gases, especially hydro- gen (and geocoronium, if it exists). C. CHREE. It can be argued on the hydrodynamic or vortex theory of matter, as well as on the electrical theory, that every atom of matter has a universal, though nearly infinitesimal, prev- alence, and extends everywhere, since there is no definite sharp boundary or limiting periphery to the region perturbed by its existence. DR. OLIVER J. LODGE. The diurnal oscillations of the barometer occur alike over the open sea and over the land surfaces of the globe. The atmosphere over the open sea, as already shown, rests on the floor or surface subject to a diurnal range of temperature so small as to render that temperature practically a constant day and night. This consideration leads to the vital and all- important conclusion that the diurnal oscillations of the ba- rometer are not caused by the heating and cooling of the Earth's surface by solar and terrestial radiation and by the effects which follow these diurnal changes in the tempera- ture of the surface, but that they are primarily caused by the direct and immediate heating by solar radiation, and the cool- ing by nocturnal radiation to the cold regions of space, of the molecules of the air, and of its aqueous vapor. These changes of temperature are instantly communicated through the whole atmosphere from the lowermost stratum resting on the earth's surface to the extreme limit of the atmosphere, which the flight of meteors prove to be not less than 500 miles. A. BUCHAN. (Meteorology, Ency. Brit.) (Let the reader endeavor to harmonize this last explana- tion, which is just as good as any in the textbooks, with the actual facts. The almost exact similarity of barometric phe- nomena in the day and in the night, even in the polar regions, where the nights and days are months long, seems to be en- tirely lost sight of.) 146. Atmospheric Extension. It has been noticed (Arts. 136-7) that the solar atmosphere extends to very great dis- tances from the Sun's surface, and that this atmospheric ex- 266 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [147 tension is greater, at times, in certain directions than in oth- ers. From analogy, the same condition of things in the Earth's atmosphere as a whole may also be deduced. It was once thought that the height of the atmosphere was 5 miles; then, later on, 45 miles. The various appearances of meteor- ites indicate today a height of from 300 to 500 miles. Indeed "It would be a very bold proposition to assign a limit to the atmosphere within 1000 miles."* There is reason for believing, however, that atmospheric ail 1 would not increase in tenuity and height to an indefinite distance, and neither would the connective atmosphere, ex- cepting the individual connexions. The connective atmos- pheres of smaller bodies are observed to be of comparatively minute extension; and there appears to be no reason why the Earth should be an exception to this rule. 147. Aerial Tides and Barometric Pressure. For the reasons already stated (Arts, 140-1), the two primary connex- ions upon the Earth, or those connecting it with the Sun and Moon, have a profound influence upon the atmosphere of our globe; piling it up at certain places and times, in waves called tides, while at other times they absorb its rarer gases out- wards to greater distances from the planet's surface. Owing to the diurnal rotation of the Earth, all portions of its sur- face are successfully swept over from east to west by these connexions; which, being material, would tend, in a degree, to drag the floating atmospheric particles through which they move along with them, and so give rise to the aerial tides. The existence of these aerial tides would be indicated by the barometer, an instrument for measuring the pressure, and therefore, supposedly, the quantity or mass of air, at invar- iable distances, vertically above it; and that they are indica- ted by it, is now generally accepted. What is remarkable about these aerial tides, however, is that the solar tide is much greater than the lunar tide, and this apparently not because of the Sun's heat or any other solar influence, but due solely to the Sun as a tide-producer. A few quotations on this subject from the best authorities, *I'roC. A. R. Russel, Smith. Miscel. Coll., No. 1072. 147] GENERAL METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA 267 is well worthy of perusal, if only as illustrating their non- plussed predicament regarding this matter: "For the British Isles the barometric pressure has two maxima and two minima each day the first minimum early in the morning, the second in the afternoon, the first max- imum in the forenoon and the second about 10 o'clock in the evening. In the tropics the amplitude of the oscillation amounts to about one-tenth inch; in the British Isles and all similar latitudes, this gradually decreases to about 3/100 inch."* "Lunar air-tides can, according to M. Bouquet de la Gyre, be distinctly traced in the records of barometric pressure col- lected at insular stations . . . where there are no power- ful disturbances to obscure them . . . The maximum amplitude at Brest is about 1/4 inch of water or 1/50 inch of mercury, which though small, is well within the limits of accurate measurement."! "If we examine the facts as recorded by the barometer, we find . . . the semi-diurnal oscillation extremely regular in amplitude for places in the same latitude and in phase for places in the same longitude. The first thing that suggests itself is that this is a tide caused by the Sun's attraction; but the corresponding lunar tide ought to be more marked, whereas, actually, the lunar tide is almost absent . Lord Kelvin was the first to suggest that the semi-diurnal tide was a temperature effect. The daily variation of tempera- ture is not harmonic, and when it is analyzed there is a defin- ite component with a half day period. The objection to attributing the semi-diurnal pressure variation to this is that the latter is extremely regular, while the temperature varia- tion changes considerably with the locality. "$ "After having given the mean range for each month and for the year, he has calculated the amplitudes and phases of the first four simple harmonic oscillations into which the complex oscillation of the barometric diurnal range may be resolved, and which may be considered as the resultant of the superposition of two waves of different origin and char- acter. One of these, which the author terms the thermic wave, is of a more or less complicated form in appearance, and is easily explained as being produced by the diurnal *Mr. R. H. Curtis, Nature, 61, 119. t Nature, 51, 516. JProf. Horace Lamb, British Association, 1908. M. A. Angot, of the French Meteorological Office, who has publish- ed in the Annales of that Office a very careful discussion of the diurnal range of the barometer, based upon the best available data for all parts of the globe. 268 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [147 variation of temperature, and by the differences that these variations present between neighboring stations. The other, the principal semi-diurnal wave, for which he has given the numerical law, presents a much more simple form, and is not at all affected by local conditions. It is possibly pro- duced by the calorific action of the Sun upon the upper strata of the atmosphere; but, as the author states, this is still only an hypothesis, and the theory of this part of the phenomenon remains to be established."*, "Somehow or other this protuberance remains fixed with regard to the sun, at which it indirectly points, while the solid earth revolves beneath it. Whatever the cause of this effect, obviously cosmical, and attributed to the sun, . . . it is now accepted as one of the fundamental facts of meteor- ology.''! From these extracts it will be noticed that the solar tide is just about as much larger than the lunar tide as, according to the present theory, the lunar tide should be larger than the solar tide. Of course this fact remains so far without the slightest tenable explanation; but with the new theory, it fits perfectly hand-and-glove. There are over the greater portion of the Earth's surface, two maxima and two minima of air-pressure every 24 hours. The two daily maxima are in the morning and in the evening, about from 8 to 10 A. M., and from 8 to 11 P. M., and the two daily minima are intermediate, or at about 2 to 4 A. M. and 1 to 4 P. M. The observations made by the Challenger Ex- pedition in the Antarctic Ocean, and those made by the Nor- wegian Expedition in the North Atlantic, show only one max- imum and one minimum in the 24 hours, the maximum occur- ring in the day and the minimum during the night. This is another fact which is wholly inexplicable by the current the- ory, but is exactly what the new theory requires. According to the connective theory, the morning and the evening maxima would correspond to the passage of the east and the west edges of the solar connexion, or bond, over the Earth's surface; the rays or filaments of the bond, being at- tached to the atmospheric particles as well as to the land and ocean particles, would have a tendency, as they were success- *Nature, 41, 449. tDr. W. N. Shaw, Address British Association. Dublin; Nature, 78. 429. 148] GENERAL METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA 269 ively transferred from one set of particles to another, to pile them up somewhat upon one another at those portions of the Earth's surface where the strain of the connective filaments operated at right angles to terrestrial gravity, and where the only resistance, therefore, to such piling up would be the mutual friction of the atmospheric particles. The two minima, being about midway between the maxima, would evidently correspond to the center of the solar connexion, where the connective strain would be directly opposed by gravity, and where the rarer vapors ascend, and to the side of the Earth diametrically opposite to the center of the solar connexion, upon which no connective strain whatever is exerted. The single maximum of the higher latitudes, with respect both to the Sun and to the Moon, at about the middle of the respect- ive day of each, just as obviously corresponds to the north and the south edges of their respective connexions, the cen- tral or denser portions of which pass but once daily over any place, and which would cause a slight movement of the air particles in latitude, as the east and the west edges did in longitude; and the single minimum would likewise correspond to the opposite side of the Earth upon which were no solar or lunar connexion. And the solar tide is the greater for the simple reason that the strain on the Earth's solar connexion is greater than on the Earth's lunar connexion in the exact ratio observed, or about as 5 to 2. Here the new theory and the phenomena of Nature fit to- gether so perfectly that it were superfluous to dwell longer upon the subject. It may be noticed, however, that, in ascend- ing from middle to higher latitudes, the phase, or time of maximum or minimum barometric pressure would not be the same at all places along any meridian, as it should be by the present theory, but would lag and advance at northern and southern stations as compared with middle localities, in accordance with the circular contour of the edges of the con- nexions. This too appears to be fully borne out by actual observation. 148. Cloud Zones. In further corroboration of the gen- eral theory, it may be noticed that the barometric pressure 270 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [149 is somewhat greater within the tropics, and that the clouds are distributed in zones parallel to the Equator. M. L. Teis- serence de Bort has shown, by charts based on observations made at 500 stations, and on an immense number of observa- tions collated by the Meteorological Office in Paris, "(1) that there is a marked tendency in all months towards a distribution of cloud in zones parallel to the equator; (2) when disturbing influences are eliminated, it is seen that there is a maximum amount of cloud near the equator; that there are two belts of slight nebulosity from 15 to 35 of north and south latitude, and two zones of greater cloudiness between latitudes 45 and 60, and that beyond this (so far as can be judged from observations in the northern hemis- phere) the sky appears to become clear towards the Poles; (3) these zones have a tendency to follow the march of the sun's decimation; they are transferred towards the north in spring and towards the south in summer.* It would also be inferred from the new theory that the upper currents of the equatorial belt would tend continually to follow the movement of the primary and planetary con- nexions over the Earth's surface that is, from east to west; or, in other words, tend to remain stationary among the com- paratively fixed connexions while the Earth revolves from west to east beneath them; and this, according to the best authorities, is now admitted to be the fact. In this connection, E. Douglas Archibald, of the Krakatao Committee, says: "Theory is naturally, perhaps, though still somewhat sing- ularly, silent as to what is supposed to be the motion of the air in the upper regions of the belt bunded by 15 on either side of the equator. Ferel's equations are' not very satisfac- tory for this place. . . . That the wind there, however, still maintains its westward component under the normal conditions which accompany the north and south trades is plain both from Mr. Abercomby's and other observations.! 149. Sky-Glows. An extraordinary terrestrial phenom- enon seems to have placed this westerly equatorial current beyond dispute. On the 26th day of August, 1883, occurred a frightful eruption of the volcano Krakatao, on the island of Java, in which 50,000 people lost their lives. Enormous vol- *Nature, 36, pp. 15-16. tNatur*, 36, 153. 149] GENERAL METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA 271 umes of smoke, dust, and ashes were ejected upwards into the air. for a distance of many miles. Almost immediately afterwards appeared in the surrounding region the peculiar sunset glows which afterwards became so prominent nearly all over the world. Here is the sequence of the first appear- ance of this phenomenon in different parts of the world, as given by Mr. Ralph Abercromby: "On August 26, the day of the eruption, ashes, lofty haze, or red twilights, are reported south of the equator, nearly 20 of longitude west of Java, from one station in Sumatra, just north of the line, and from near Formosa. "Next day, the 27th, similar phenomena were reported from many stations in the Indian Ocean, south of the equator, as far west as Mauritius and the Seychelles, while north of the line strange appearances were reported for the first time in Borneo and Ceylon. "On the 28th, the haze and abnormal glows had extended to Natal on one side and Japan on the other. "No important extension of the area is reported on August 29; but by the 30th unusual coloration of the sky is reported from various parts of the South Atlantic and Guiana, and, what is especially noticeable, from about the Cape Verde islands, north of the equator. "On the 31st, another station in Brazil, and also a West Indian island, report a strange look about the sun or sky; while on September 1 the same was noted at Guayaquil, on the coast of South America; and in a quite unexpected local- ity, far away from there New Ireland. "September 2 was characterized by an outburst of colored suns all over the northern provinces of South America; while between the 3rd and fourth of the same month the glows ex- tended across the Pacific, both north and south as far as the Society and Gilbert Islands, and were reported from two sta- tions in New Britain. "By September 5 the Sandwich Islands were reached while the outburst of glows in Southern India did not commence till about the 6th to 8th of the same month. "The northward extension of the dust all this time was very small and not widespread. Isolated phenomena are re- ported from Formosa on August 26, and from Japan on the 28th, but I am unable to say whether the glows which ap- peared in the Sandwich Islands on September 5, had come via Japan, or across South America. "Thus the general system of the dust-flow appears to have been very simple. The great dust-stream was carried for the first twenty-four hours by the normal easterly upper currents over the south-east trade, at the extraordinary rate of about 120 miles an hour, but hardly extended north of the line. Three days after the eruption we find the products of Krak- 272 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [149 atao in Guinana, the South Atlantic and also north of the line in the Cape Verde Islands. Just to the south of the lat- ter we know that the south-east trade with its attendant upper currents, crosses the equator. Then all the north of South America was invaded; and six or seven days after the first outburst, the Pacific Islands south of or on the line were also overshadowed. "In fact we may say, that the great streams of Krakatao dust was carried nearly round the world by the usual upper winds of the south-east trade, in which the dust was first ejected, at a rate of about 120 miles an hour, and that the dust spread very slowly either north or south of the main cur- rent."* The most serious objection that has been offered against this explanation of the sky-glows of 1883-4, is the enormous velocity with which the volcanic ejecta must have been car- ried round the world; a greater velocity, in fact, than had ever before been observed in atmospheric currents. A partial explanation of this was that the velocity of atmospheric cur rents near the Equator was shown by observation to increase with the elevation. But of this fact of greater aerial velocity at greater elevations there seems to have been no explanation offered, as Mr. Archibald in the foregoing quotation has ob- served. By the new theory, however, the explanation is ob- vious at a glance. The rarer and more volatile aerial fluids which ascend to the greater elevation are more easily de- tained by the nearly stationary connexions of the Earth. As our planet performs its diurnal rotation, the connexions fall- ing upon it remain absolutely fixed so far as that rotation is concerned. The lower and grosser strata of air freely permit the passage through them of this connective substance, but the higher and higher strata, becoming more and more ten uous and of less and less momentum, would more easily suffer detention by the connective substance, until, at very great elevations, the aerial tenuity would almost approximate that of the connective substance itself, and so suffer complete de- tention. Thus while the Earth revolved from west to east in every 24 hours, the upper aerial regions remaining nearly or wholly stationary (but gradually partaking more and more *Nature, 36, pp. 86-7. 149] GENERAL METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA 273 of the Earth's rotation as the Earth's surface is approached) would seem to an observer near the Equator to be moving with great velocity from east to west. And;, therefore, when the equally tenuous and volatile smoke and dust of Krakatao were ejected into these slowly moving or nearly stationary upper regions of the connective atmosphere, they would be partially retained therein, and the Earth's surface would revolve under them towards the east until, in the course of a few days, it had gained an entire revolution upon the ejected substance. Thus the extremely rapid apparent westward movement of the ejecta appears to be fully account- ed for, while the north and south movement of the same would just as obviously require a much longer period because it would be accomplished only by diffusion and occasional local currents. Here, then, are additional important phenomena which are confessedly wholly inexplicable by the current theory, but which are explained perfectly by the new theory. The same explanation may also apply to some epidemic diseases such as influenza, cholera, the black plague, etc., (the ma- terial cause of which may possibly be, partly, the accumla- tion in our atmosphere of some peculiar substance from inter- planetary spaces), which occasionally appear to be trans- mitted over the Earth's surface almost precisely in a similar manner. CHAPTER XI THE OCEAN TIDES The waves which forever disturb the surface of the sea demand much study. The greater of these, and the most reg- ular, is the tidal wave. On this many powerful intellects have been brought to bear, but it still presents many un- solved anomalies. . . . In some places there is but one appointed tide in the day: in others this phenomenon only occurs at particular periods of each lunation, while in the majority of cases it is the movements of each alternate tide only that appear to have much to do with one another. CAPTAIN W. J. L. WHARTON. The great danger which besets all men of large speculative faculty is the temptation to deal with the accepted facts in natural science as if they were not only correct but exhaust- ive; as if they might be dealt with deductively, in the same way as propositions -in Euclid may be dealt with. In reality every such statement, however true it may be, is true only relatively to the means of observation and the point of view of those who have examined it. So far it may be depended upon. But whether it will bear every speculative conclusion that may be logically deduced from it, is quite another ques- tion. PROF. HUXLEY. The human intellect, in those things which have once pleased it, (either because these have been received and be- lieved, or because they delight) draws also all other things to vote with and consent to these and though the weight and multitude of contrary instances be the greater, yet either it does not observe them, or despises them, or draws distinc- tions, and so removes and rejects them not without great and pernicious prejudice in order that the authority of those previous conclusions may remain unshaken. LORD BACON. 150. Comparison of the Two Theories. The same general explanation applies to the ocean as to the aerial tides. The two tidal waves would correspond to, and, on the open ocean, would nearly always accompany, the east and the west edges of the lunar or the terrestrial primary connexion. And the two tidal troughs or depressions would correspond to, and 150] THE OCEAN TIDES 275 generally accompany, the central meridian of the connexion (where the tide-raising force was directly opposed by grav- ity) and the opposite meridian upon which the connexion did not act. Owing to the far greater density of the water, and the ease and rapidity of its wave transmission, these tidal waves and depressions would quickly assert themselves over the entire ocean surface contiguous to each connexion border, and so largely overwhelm or mask the minor single wave which, but for this circumstance, would alone take place in the higher latitudes, as in the case of the aerial tide. According to the popular theory of the tides, the tidal wave is raised by the attraction of the Sun or the Moon upon the central meridian directly beneath its orb, where it is directly opposed by the twelve million fold more powerful terrestrial gravity (Art. 44) ; whereas, by the new theory, the tidal wave is raised at the east and the west borders of the Earth as viewed from the tide-producer, and where the tide- raising force is at right angles to, and therefore wholly un- opposed by the Earth's attraction. According to the popular theory, tidal waves and depressions are nearly always delayed for relatively great periods after their causes; the "establish- ment" or "age of the tide," that is, the interval of time be- tween the transit over a meridian of the body which origi- nates a tide and the appearance of the tide itself at that mer- idian, being supposed to vary at different places from a few hours to several days. While, strangely enough, the "tidal interval," or difference between the time of high water and that of the transit of the tide-producer immediately pre- ceding the tide, is known rarely to exceed seven hours; the average "tidal interval" being about six hours. Thus the "age" of the tide on the east coast of the United States is held to be about a day, and in Cumberland Sound, British America, nearly two days; while the new theory would make the age of the tide at both places about six hours; correspond- ing with the actual observed angle of separation of the tidal wave from its producer. As for the ports upon a western continental coast, such as London, they would by the new theory have no proper tide at all, but simply a branch or 276 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [151 secondary wave spreading outwards from the proper tidal wave in accordance with well-known hydro-static laws. 151. The Greater Tidal Wave Due to the Sun and the Lesser to tine Moon. Now if the new theory be the correct one, the solar tide ought to be nearly two and a half times as great as the lunar tide because the strain of the solar connexion upon the Earth is about that much greater than the strain of the lunar connexion. It has already been noticed that this is actually the case with respect to the aerial tide; which very obviously is in direct opposition to the current theory and in favor of this view. In any event, this is just what the new theory teaches, not only with respect to the aerial tides, but also with respect to the oceanic tides. The greater tidal wave would be owing to the Sun, and the lesser to the Moon. The terms of the ratio of the two tides would be almost precisely the same (though very differently de- rived) in the one theory as in the other, but the new theory takes the reciprocal of the old for the new ratio. The pull of the Earth's connexion with the Sun is such as to deflect the Earth from a tangent to its orbit about 0.01 ft. in one second of time. The pull of the Moon's connexion with the Earth is such as to deflect the Moon from a tangent to its orbit about 0.00447 ft. in one second. These pulls by the new theory represent exactly the tide-raising values of the con- nected bodies respectively upon the Earth, and, therefore, the solar tide-raising power is more than twice as great as the lunar tide-raising power, or the two have just about the same ratio as the actual tides. Now the angular difference between the solar and the lunar tide at no time exceeds six hours, according to either theory. But, what is of the utmost importance in this con- nection, it will also be observed that the angular difference of the effective directions in which the tide-raising powers of the two theories act, is also just six hours. From which it clearly follows that a change from the adoption of the central meridian of the Earth's hemisphere next to the tide-producer to the adoption of the east and west edges of that hemisphere as the lines of application of the tide-raising power must 152] THE OCEAN TIDES 277 necessarily involve the adoption of the supposed lunar tide as being due to the Sun, and of the supposed solar tide as being due to the Moon. In other words, if the lunar and the solar tides are on the average six hours apart, and if an error of just six hours is shown to be involved by the present theory in the origin of each tide, a correction of the error would put the lunar tide exactly in the place of the solar tide, and vice versa. But the new theory does involve a difference of just six hours in the place of origin of each tide, as indicated by the present theory; and, therefore, it follows that the adoption of the former instead of the latter theory involves the sub- stitution or transposition of each tide in the one theory as an effect of the producer of the other tide in the other theory. 152. Possible Objections. No doubt it will be at once objected to this view that the tide now ascribed to the Moon can not be assigned to the Sun for the reason that the two bodies do not travel at the same angular rate around the Earth, and, therefore, the Sun would not keep pace with the tide, as it ought to do if the new theory were correct. Now it is a fact that the tidal wave approximately keeps pace with, the Moon. The latter body comes to the meridian of any place about 49 minutes on the average later on any particular day than on the preceding day, and the tide also appears at any particular place in approximate parallelism with the Moon's meridian passage at that place; while, of course, the Sun comes to the meridian of any place once in every 24 hours, and, therefore, out of all conformity to the appearance of the tides. In reply to this apparently very serious objection, we may first note that there is only one tidal wave upon a hemisphere of the Earth at one time and but one also upon the opposite hemisphere at that time. In other words, any place upon the Earth has no more than two high tides and two low tides in any 24 hours; and this although, according to either theory, there are two tide-producers each of which would cause two nigh tides and two low tides in about that time. It is to be borne in mind that a tidal wave due to any tide producer 278 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [152 would cover nearly a whole oceanic hemisphere of the tide- bearer at once. We know this from the fact that at any par- ticular place it requires about five Jiours for any tide to flow and about six hours for it to ebb,. Now since there are two tide-producers each of which alone would cause two tidal waves, it follows that the utmost angular distance between the crest of one wave and that of some neighboring wave would not exceed 90; and even at this maximum distance, the one would lap considerably over the other. In fact, it appears that, even at this maximum distance, the crest of each wave unites with that of the other at some intermediate point to form one compound tidal wave with a single apex at that point; and thus it happens that, with the two tide- producers, there are but two tidal waves. In the more ele- gant words of Sir John Herschel "The actual tide-day, then, or the interval of the occur- rence of two successive maxima of their superposed waves, will vary as the separate waves will approach to or recede from coincidence; because when the vertices of the two waves do not coincide, their joint height has its maximum at a point intermediate between them." Also Prof. Tait "The joint effect of the sun and moon is practically the resultant of the effects which they would separately pro- duce/' * Here, then, is the explanation of the nonconformity of the tidal wave with the Sun's apparent motion. The wave does not, as a matter of fact, conform generally either to that of the Sun's apparent motion or to that of the Moon: it nearly always conforms only to the apparent motion of a variable point either between the two bodies or between their tides,. Let us suppose for illustration that the Sun and the Moon are together; in which case the tidal wave obvious- ly conforms to the position of both bodies. Suppose now that the Moon moves some 30 in advance of the Sun; then the apex of the tide would also move in advance of the Sun conformably to a point between the two bodies. This would *Ency. Brit., 9th ed., 15, 687. 152] THE OCEAN TIDES 279 obviously cause a lagging of the tide behind the Sun at any particular place upon the Earth. If the Moon moves 90 in advance of the Sun, then the apex of the tide also moves still farther in advance of the Sun, and there would be still further lagging of the tide behind that body. As the Moon moved away from the Sun, the height of the tidal wave continually diminished; so that when the former was 90 in advance of the latter, the tide, as such, would be at its minimum hieght. After the Moon's distance from the Sun exceeded 90, the former apex, still advancing, would continue to sink still lower, and a new apex would form still farther in advance in conjunction with the opposite solar tide. This new apex would increase in height and advance rapidly with the Moon at first, but more slowly as the Moon's distance from the Sun neared 180; at which positions the tide would be again at its maximum height, and its apex would again conform to the positions of both bodies. Thus, between conjunction and opposition of the two tide-producers, there is a continual advance of the tidal apex from the Sun, and therefore a continual lagging of the tide behind the Sun at any particular place upon the Earth. In fact, in half a synodic revolution of the Moon or in about 15 days, the tidal apex advances from west to east around the Earth a distance of 180, or just the same distance that the Moon moves around it; so that the Moon and the tide, while not maintaining an exactly parallel con- formity throughout, yet move around the Earth at precisely the same rate on the average. From opposition back to con- junction, the same reasoning would apply; and just the same movement of the oposite tidal wave around the Earth would take place as that of the one we have considered. Many circumstances would modify the general result, however, such as the varying distances of the tide-producers, implying: their various angular velocities around the Earth, and conse- quently various strains of their connexions upon the waters causing various heights of the tides. Generally, according to this theory, the greater amount of lagging of the tides behind the Sun would be at the Moon's 280 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [153 quadrature, or when the tide is at its minimum height, and the least amount of lagging of the tide would be at the syzygies, or when the tide is at its maximum. The amount of lag would thus theoretically vary from a few minutes to about two hours in a period of "twenty-four hours ; which appears to be fully borne out by actual obsevation, 153. Corroborative Evidence from Inland Sea Tides. It is only on the ocean surface, however, that, at great angular distances, the crests of the lunar and of the solar tides would always blend into one common apex. Upon lakes and inland seas, tides would be produced by only one of the two bodies when they are about 90 apart, because the area of the water surface is so small that when one body would be in a position to produce a tide upon it, the tide-raising effect of the other body would be shut out by the land surface sur- rounding the water. Thus, under these circumstances, the tide of one body would be isolated from that of the other, and if the new theory be the correct one, the solar tide would be the larger of the two, and would occur regularly every twen- ty-four hours. Now, upon most lakes and inland seas the tides are so small, owing to their smiall areas, as almost to escape detec- tion. This, however, is not the case on the western end of funnel-shaped Green bay, a western arm of Lake Michigan; where it has already been shown (Art. 49) how morning and evening tides of considerable size regularly occur. It has also been shown in the same place how much greater daily tides occur on the Mediterranean Sea, and how the gravita- tional formula of the tides fits so badly with the facts that it becomes necessary to assume a terrene tide responding "twice in the twenty-four hours to the deforming force of solar gravitation." To these instances may be added the fact that the Severn Bore occurs regularly every evening and morning "at about 7:30 to 9 o'clock A. M. and P. M."* The height of this river tide is three to four feet, and it is best seen about one day after new or full Moon. *Vaughan Cornish, Nature, 62, 126. 154] THE OCEAN TIDES 281 It is also a well-known fact that the average semi-diurnal aerial tide is observed to be one-tenth greater at the time of perihelion than at the time of aphelion,* and that, although the theoretically more powerful lunar tide ought to be 49 per cent, greater at perigee than at apogee, f the actual difference of the aerial tide owing to this cause is so minute as almost to escape detection. It has already been observed that the freedom with which wave motion is transmitted over the ocean surface permits the masking of the single tidal wave in each day which other- wise would appear in high latitudes, in correspondence with the single diurnal aerial tide actually observed there. But the "singular misbehavior of the sea, which does not main- tain a constant level, its fluctuations being due, according to Prof. Darwin, to the irregular melting of ice in the polar re- gions," J indicates that in some localities, or on some occa- sions, the single diurnal wave of the polar regions is not always wholly obliterated. How many other observations, similar to those described in the abstracts given in Art. 49 and elsewhere, have been made and failed to receive publicity because directly con- tradicting a universally accepted theory, is left to the reader to imagine. The wonder is that even these have been brought to light when either they or the current tidal theory, being directly at variance with each other, must be absolutely er- roneous. See again the analect quoted from Lord Bacon at the head of this chapter. 154, Discordance of Present Tidal Theories. The larger phenomena of the tides, both aerial and oceanic, are thus seen to harmonize perfectly with the gene/al principle of the new theory; and there seems little room for doubt that the minor details will fit equally well. There appears to be no objection whatever to the application of the new theory to account for the actual facts obesrved; while the old theory, on the contrary, has always been, and is today, a jumble of *Alexander Winchell, World Life, p. 349. tNature, 43, 586. JNature, 62, 488. 282 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY j 154 inextricable contradictions. There is no present theory of the tides which answers all the requirements of tidal phenom- ena. The Wave Theory of Sir G." B. Airy fails in its appli cation to the open ocean. The Dynamical Theory of La- place fails in its application to shallows, estuaries, and rivers. And the Equilibrium Theory of Newton and Bernoulli! is pronounced simply "contemptible" by Sir G, B. Airy.* *Prof. Alexander Winchell, World-Life, p. 225. I. CHAPTER XII TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM In the Journal de Physique, Nov. 1899, M. A. B. Chauveau discusses the diurnal variations of atmospheric electricity, to explain which no less than about thirty different theories have been proposed. Nature, 61, 136. As to the causes of the secular change, various hypoth- eses have been advanced,. Thus in the early part of the last century, Halley considered the change was chiefly caused by a terella with two poles. . . . rotating within and independently of the outer shell of the earth. . . . the axes of the two globes being inclined to one another, but hav- ing a common center. Again, Hansteen at the beginning of the present century concluded that there are four poles of attraction, and computed both the geographical positions and the probable period of revolution of the dual system of poles . around the terrestrial pole. In later years Sabine considered the secular change to be caused by the progres- sive translation of the point of attraction at present in North- ern Siberia, this point of attraction resulting from cosmical action. Walker also agreed with Sabine as to the cosmical origin of the change, Later still, Balfour Stewart gave rea- sons for attributing the secular variation to the result pf so- lar influence of a cumulative nature. Keeping in view these hypotheses and recalling the results of observation during recent years, how do they accord? Observation generally points to the fixity of the magnetic poles. . . in respect to the geographic poles. E. W. CREAK. A series of articles on the origin of the earth's magnetic field have appeared in Terrestrial Magnetism during the last two years from the pen of the editor of that journal, Dr. L. A. Bauer. The subject has been recently dealt with by Prof. Schuster in his address to the Physical Society of London and by Dr. W. F. Swann in the July number of the PJiil. Mag. The conclusion to which each examination leads is that none of the present theories offers a satisfactory explanation of the earth's magnetic state. Nature, 90, 287. 155. The Idea of an Immaterial Substance. Examining 284 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [156 mjore closely the conception of the Earth which the new the- ory implies, it is seen that our globe revolves annually around the Sun in what is called the plane of the ecliptic; and that it also rotates diurnally upon an axis which is inclined from a perpendicular to this plane at an angle of about 23.5. The present theory is that the Earth is substantially isolated from all other heavenly bodies; that it is held to the Sun by an entity called force; an immaterial thing which is cap- able of acting upon it through millions of miles of perfectly empty space; and that the heat of the Sun and the light of the Sun and stars, which are diffused equally in all directions, are transmitted to it by the vibrations of an imaginary and unaccountable universal etherial medium, which the re- searches of recent years have compelled a belief in as an indispensable vehicle for the transmission of heat and light phenomena. It seems quite impossible for the mind to grasp any conceivable mechanism which would serve as a basis for such conceptions; and, as an apparent consequence, they lead to a great deal of mental confusion. It may be, as Prof. Huxley says, that "an immaterial substance is perfectly conceivable", and "may have any conceivable properties"; which proposition, he says, "may be affirmed with. complete dialectic safety inasmuch as they cannot possibly be dis- proved,." But whatever may be the "dialectic safety" of their affirmation, their essential elements seem utterly to elude the grasp of the intellect. An immaterial substance appears to be about as intelligible or conceivable as a cold heat, a void plenum, or a black white; each of which is, in plain words, a contradiction in terms, and cannot, therefore be regarded as conceivable in any proper sense of that word. But such are nevertheless, the so-called conceptions by means of which many phenomena are sought to be inter- preted, and such appears to be that in the popular theory regarding the Earth's connection with the Sun, 156. Differentiation of the Earth's Connexions. Accord- ing to the new theory, the Earth is the center of a very great number of material connexions, or bonds, with other heavenly bodies. These envelope it on all sides in what may be termed 156] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 285 a connective atmosphere, which, as far as the daily rotation of the Earth is concerned, remains fixed, and in which the body of the Earth, with the atmosphere proper, or the air, performs its daily rotation. The connective atmosphere, as already intimated, is much rarer than the air; so much so, indeed, that when the air is about all extracted from a space near the Earth's surface, it is said to be an empty space or vacuum, although all of the connective atmosphere which the space originally contained still remains in it. There- fore, the friction which the rotation of the Earth in the connective atmosphere would engender, would reasonably be very small indeed; but still, the connective atmosphere being material, there is supposably a certain amount of friction. Now the individual connexions which make up this connec- tive atmosphere are supposed to differ materially from one another, and the degree of difference very probably corre- sponds to the degree of relationship of the connected bodies with the Earth, Thus the grosser connexions would be those with the Sun and the Moon, which are respectively the pa- rent and offspring of our world, the next in grossness would be those with sister planets and our grand-sun, then those with our grand-grand-sun, sister suns, and the satellites, and so on back to the remote bodies of the Sidereal System, and perhaps even to innumerable other sidereal systems But, as already intimated elsewhere, although the connex- ions are supposed thus to differ materially from one another, it is not implied in this that any individual connexion is comiposed of a form of matter uniformly different from that of any other connexion. On the contrary it is reasonably supposable that each connexion, and especially each of those with the bodies nearly related to us, is made up of many dif- ferent forms of matter having different degrees of gross- ness. These forms we may designate by the term rays, such as tension rays, heat rays, light rays, etc. The supposition involves only that the grossest rays have a tendency to di- minish with diminished degrees of relationship, until there would be in the connexions with very distant bodies ex- tremely little, if any, of such rays, and chiefly, or only, those 286 THE CONNECTIYE THEORY [157 more delicate rays which transmit to us light, or even still more delicate kinds of motion, of the existence of which we have no conception whatever. The most delicate rays may exist in the grossest connexion, but not so the grossest rays in the most distant connexions. Another probable circumstance is that the nature of the connexions changes rapidly with the degrees of relationship, and especially with the nearest degrees; so that the Earth would be profoundly affected, at least with respect to other phenomena than light, only by the nearest related bodies. Now all of the bodies nearly related to the Earth, such as the members of the Solar System, or of its sister systems, or the primary around which the latter immediately revolve, are all supposed to lie in, or very nearly in, the plane of the ecliptic. The Earth, in its diurnal rotation, is continually swept by the connexions of these bodies, and reasons will shortly be found for believing that it is to the variations of these connexions, or of certain elements of them, or to some influence clearly attributable to them, that the hitherto mys- terious phenomena of terrestrial magnetism are due. And this not only on theoretic grounds, but also from the actual observations of the most eminent students of the subject 157. Relation of the Magnetic Poles to the Planes of the Earth's Motion. If a straight line perpendicular to the plane of the ecliptic should pass through the Earth's center, it would pierce the Earth's surface in the Northern hemis- phere 23.5 on one side of the geographic pole, and the Southern Hemisphere 23.5 on the opposite side of the geo- graphic pole. Now when it is well-known from actual ob- servation that this is almost exactly the position of the Earth's magnetic axis, the north pole of which is near the Arctic Circle in North America, and the south pole of which is near the Antarctic Circle south of Australia it seems un- equivocably to refer the cause of the Earth's magnetism to the plane of the ecliptic, in which, as we have seen, those connexions lie to which, by the new theory, the electric fluid is supposed to be attributable. Without further preface, the explanation of terrestrial 157] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 287 magnetism suggested by the new theory is as follows: The connexions of the bodies mentioned are continually varying in quantity upon the Earth, owing to continual variations of the distances of these bodies from the Earth, and, to a cer- tain extent, perhaps, to other causes. The connective fluid of these connexions penetrates the Earth-crust to an indef- inite depth; and, if aggregating upon the Earth, it would be liberated in that crust, and flowing at first in the direction of least resistance, directly away from the ecliptic plane in which the pressure is exerted upon it, would thus give rise to the observed earth-currents. Away from the ecliptic plane means either north or south of it; and it really would make little practical difference which direction is taken, but the path, being once determined, would be easier to follow thereafter than a new path. In the case of the Earth, either all or the greater portion of the fluid at first appears to have traveled northwards; and thus, perhaps by mere chance, be- came permanently established in this direction. As the con- nective fluid continually pours inwards upon the Earth and northwards through the crust, and as it approaches the far- thest point of that crust from the ecliptic plane, it becomes concentrated owing to the curvature of the Earth's surface, and partially escapes from the crust into the atmosphere. This partial escape of the fluid would continue and grad- ually increase in amount until the farthest point of the crust was reached, where the remaining and relatively greater por- tion would escape, and thus establish the North Magnetic Pole. The atmosphere at the north becoming saturated, the fluid would find its way southwards on all sides of the Earth, and, crossing the Equator, would be again concentrated by the Earth's curvature, and therefore would partially escape into the Earth's crust, and so establish the South Magnetic Pole* The earth-currents again flowing northwards tow- ards the North Magnetic Pole, the circuit would be complete. If the connective fluid be leaving the Earth, instead of ar- riving upon it, the connexion suffering the tension would be supplied from the earth-currents, just as in arriving it was supplied to them. This explanation, following as a nee- 288 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [158 essary consequence from the main principle of the new the- ory, has certainly the advantage of great simplicity; and, moreover, as it is examined further, it is thought that it will be found to correspond exactly with, and fully explain, the observed facts. It appears to be the belief at the present time that the electric fluid ascends at the Equator and there divides into north and south streams which descend into the crust at the Poles.* Actual observation, however, appears to contradict this view. From the Report of the magnetic results of the Challenger Expedition, it is found: "(1) That in islands north of the magnetic equator, the north-seeking end of the needle is generally attracted verti- cally downwards, and horizontally towards the higher parts of the land; (2), south of the magnetic equator the opposite effects are observed, the north-seeking end being repelled: in both cases by an amount above that due to the position of the island on the earth considered as a magnet. "f This seems clearly to show that, if north of the Equator the currents are ascending, south of it they must be descend- ing, in order to produce the observed opposite effects upon the needle. 158. The Earth a Magnet. In fact the Earth is a magnet, and its electric currents are apparently the perfect analogues of those of a magnet. If a common bar magnet is placed un- der a sheet of paper or glass upon which are sprinkled pro- miscuously some iron filings, upon tapping the sheet the filings will be observed to arrange themselves in beautiful curves or semi-ellipses extending from pole to pole. These are the "magnetic curves" which, Professor John Tyndall tells us, so fascinated Faraday "that the greater portion of his life was devoted to pondering over them. He invested the space through which they run with a kind of materiality; and tne probability is, that the progress of science by connecting the phenomena of magne- tism with the luminiferous ether, will prove these 'lines of force', as Faraday loved to call the magnetic curves, to rep- *See Prof. S. P. Thomson's Electricity and Magnetism, p. 145. fNature, 41, 106. 158] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 289 resent a condition of this mysterious substratum of all rad- iant action."* , Evidently this is just what the new theory does, except that, instead of an imaginary luminiferous ether, there is the substance or fluid of the Earth's connexions. The ground- currents of the Earth flowing northwards and escaping into the air chiefly about the North Magnetic Pole manifest them- selves in the "auroral circle." The Northern Lights would, therefore, be the electric currents of the Earth ascending into the air preparatory to their journey southwards in that element Their visibility would be owing to their concentra- tion in the north by the Earth's curvature; but as they move southwards, they spread over a greater area, become more diffused, and so become invisible^ It is this electric flow southwards through the air that would determine the di- rection of the magnetic needle; which is simply another mag- net almost exactly similar to the Earth, having similar elec- tric currents circulating northwards through Its surface, from which they escape and pass southwards to the opposite hemi- sphere, or pole, of the needle, and so complete the circuit. The atmospheric currents of the needle would evidently be disposed to arrange themselves parallel to the atmospheric currents of the Earth, as this arrangement offers the least resistance; and this parallelism of the needle to the electric currents of the Earth, throughout their length and their var- ious positions will be seen, from a cursory study of the "magnetic curves", to determine both the dip and the declin- ation of the needle. According to Werner Siemens, all bodies are filled with such circular currents, and magnetic bodies differ from non- magnetic bodies only inasmuch as the number or quantity of circular currents present in the unit volume is niuch greater in the first case than in the second, f This might ac- count for the attraction by the magnet of non-magnetized substances, such as soft iron. But perhaps other causes may *Humboldt Library of Science, 4, 20. tPhil. Mag., April, 1885 ; Journal of Physics, September, 1885. 290 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [159 be found for this attraction when the molecular mechanism of these phenomena is more closely examined,. 159. Irregular Cours.es of the Terrestrial Magnetic Lines. As the magnetic poles of the*Earth do not coincide with the geographic poles, so neither will the magnetic meridians and equator coincide with the geographic meridians and equator. Therefore, the course of the atmospheric electric currents to the South Magnetic Pole would be somewhat an- omalous, geographically considered. But whatever direction these electric streams would take, the magnetic needle ad- justs itself parallel to them, and points in the direction whence the currents come. As the currents move southwards over the Western Hemisphere, since the pole towards which they move is situated in the Eastern Hemisphere, they would be deflected both eastwards and westwards, in somewhat diagonal courses, towards their destination. East of this place of divergence, the needle would point westwards; west of it, the needle would point eastwards; and in it, the needle would point due north. Similarly in the Eastern Hemisphere, there would be a confluence of the previously divergent cur- rents, along the line of which the needle would point due north, east of it, eastwards, and west of it, westwards. These lines of divergence and confluence would be the lines of no declination. Their courses are not straight, but veer irreg- ularly eastwards, especially the line in the Eastern Hemi- sphere. These irregularities in their courses would be ow- ing probably to the equatorial protuberance of the Earth, to various irregularities of the land surface, such as mountain ranges and elevated plateaus, and also to the nature and di- rection of the air-currents through or in which the electric currents move. The eastern line passes southeastwards through the White Sea, eastern Russia, the Caspian Sea, Persia, the Arabian Sea, then veers eastwards through the Indian Ocean, pass- ing southwards through the western part of Australia to about the Antarctic Circle,. A strong corroboration of this material current theory is here met with in the effect which the lofty plateaus and mountain ranges have upon their sup- 160] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICTY AND MAGNETISM 291 posed course. The present eastern line of no declination avoids these obstructions and after passing around them along the low-lying regions veers suddenly eastwards about to its proper position. More than a century ago, the line passed on the eastern side of these mountains and plateaus; but as it moved gradually westwards, it became divided by the obstruction and passed around it in both directions. There remains even today an isolated oval area of western magnets, including the Japan Empire and portions of east- ern Asia; which would evidently be owing to the downward sweep of currents from the west which had been deflected upwards into the cirrus regions by the lofty mountain ranges. This isolated region is continually decreasing in size; and as the line moves farther westwards, will event- ually disappear. Indeed over all this region, the deviation of the needle is very slight; so that from the Caspian Sea to the Japan Sea, the needle points almost due north. That is, the direction of the needle is chiefly determined by the elec- tric currents originating in these regions themselves. There seems to be every reason for believing, then, that if the whole of Asia were as low as its northern portion, the line would pursue its normal southeastern course unaccompanied by any peculiarity of loops or isolated ovals, and that the Earth would be about equally divided into two hemispheres of eastern and western magnets. 160. Height of the Aurora. In offering this view of the deflection of atmospheric electric currents, it is of course not unknown that the height of these currents is held by many eminent observers to be much more elevated than the highest range of mountains on the globe. M. Flogel calcu- lated the height of several aurorae which appeared in the au- tumn of 1870, and concluded that only the very lowest parts of the aurora came at all within the limits of the atmosphere : he gave the actual limits as 150 to 500 kilometres. M. Rei- mann found a height of from 800 to 900. kilometres for an aurora on October 25, 1870; and Baron Nordenskiold came to the conclusion that the mean height of the aurora was about 292 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [160 200 kilometres, or more than twenty times the height of the highest mountain on the Earth,. The opinion is here ventured, however, that some error may possibly have vitiated these calculations. In support of this it may be stated that the more recent observations give much smaller values to the heights of the' electric cur- rents. From observations made at Godthaab, by M. Paulsen, and near Cape Farewell, in 1885, by MM. Garde and Eberlin, the heights of the aurorae were found to range from 0.6 to 67.8 kilometres, and from 1,6 to 15.5 kilometres, respectively. And the Swedish International Expedition at Spitzbergen found the extremes of these heights tobe 0.6 and 29.2 kilo- metres, M. Paulsen gives accounts of several appearances of aurorae beneath the clouds and the summits of moun- tains ; * and M. Hildebrandsson has seen aurorae in a com- pletely clouded sky.f But perhaps the most conclusive observation confirma- tory of a low elevation for the electric currents is the fol- lowing : "Arsuk Fiord is in 61 15' north latitude. This fiord is 2 miles wide by 25 miles long, and its shores are steep, rocky cliffs, from one to four thousand feet high,. Midway of its length, on the south side, lies Ivigtut. At this station the aurora light begins with a development in the west over the north of the fiord, and as it progresses eastwards follows the direction of the fiord, sometimes covering its entire length, and having outliers over the smaller arms of the fiord; but ordinarily the western part of this auroral band disappears before the development has extended to the east- ern end and new bands of light come again from the western end eastward. The phenomenon is best developed at two hours after sunset, and appears then to be near the Earth's surface, occasionally only 1000 feet above sea-level." $ In fact, the electric currents of the atmosphere are here observed to have their courses modified by elevated ob- structions in a manner precisely similar to that which the ir- regular course of the eastern line of no declination has led *Royal Danish Academy, February, 1889. tlbid. JZeitschrift der Oesterreichischen Gesselschaft fur Meteorologie, XVIII, p. 320; Prof. Cleveland Abbe, An Account of Progress in Meteor- ology in the Year 1883, p. 70. 161] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 293 us deductively to expect. There appears to be a certain ele- vation or density of the atmosphere that offers the least re- sistance to the movement of the electric currents. Indeed it is well-known that in a very rare atmosphere no electric current whatever can take place,. Prof. S. P. Thompson says: "It is possible to exhaust a tube so perfectly that none of our electric machines or appliances can send a spark through the vacuous space, even over so short a distance as one cen timetre, ... A perfect vacuum is a perfect insulator."* It would be in regions far below such a density as this, however, that the bulk of the aerial electric streams would i find the most favorable conditions for their transmission; and evidently not at the place of greatest density either; for although the electric currents permeate all of the lower at- mospheric strata, yet, as we ascend from the Earth's surface, the voltage increases very rapidly. 161. Diurnal Variation of the Magnetic Needle. There are four different kinds of variation of the magnetic needle, the diurnal, the annual, the irregular, and the secular. And on the basis of the foregoing views, each of these readily admits of an explanation which seems really beautiful in its simplicity. It has already been noticed how the edges of the Sun's connexion would originate two aerial waves or tides between which would be two aerial troughs or depressions; and also how this is shown to be the actual fact by the barometer. It may now be pointed out that the diurnal variations con- form exactly to these aerial waves and depressions. The barometric maxima are from 8 to 10 A. M. and 8 to 11 P. M., and the minima are about equi-distant from these hours. Now M. Arago, from a careful series of observations of the mag- netic elements, deduced the following results: "At about eleven at night the north end of the needle be- gins to move from west to east, and having reached its greatest easterly excursion at about a quarter past eight in the morning, returns to the west to attain its greatest west- erly excursion at a quarter past one. It then moves again *Electricity and Magnetism, p. 298. 294 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [161 to the east, and having reached its greatest easterly excur- sion at half past eight in the evening, returns to the west, and attains its greatest westerly excursion at eleven, as at starting."* A moment ago we noticed liow the electric currents are prone to follow the low-lying, and therefore denser portions of the atmosphere by avoiding the elevated mountain ranges and plateaus of central Asia. We now notice a similar tend- ency of the electric currents to follows the denser aerial waves or tides, rather than the rarer aerial depressions. At about midnight We are in the middle of the aerial depres- sion; but the morning aerial tide is advancing in the east, into which the electric currents have collected in the far north, and from which they spread out laterally on both sides of the wave on their way southwards. From about midnight to 8. A. M., therefore, the needle would point more and more eastwards into partial parallelism with these branch cur- rents. At 8 A. M., when near the center of the tide the eastward deflection is at a maximum. Then the center of the wave passes, and the needle points westwards towards parallelism with the lateral currents issuing from its eastern side. At about midday the needle is again in an aerial de- pression; but the evening tide is advancing in the east, tow- ards which the needle again turns. Near the center of this wave, or at about 8 P. M., there is another maximum of easterly declination. After which the needle again follows the wave westwards to about midnight as before. This remarkably direct evidence in favor of the views here advanced, is also strongly corroborated by the phenomena of aurora and atmjospheric electricity. When the aerial tide is over a place, the aurora are at a maximum. At Cum- berland Sound, N. A., the greater number of aurorae always occur at about 6 A. M. and 10 P. M.f And the maxima of electricity in the air, as determined from six months' ob- servation at the observatory of Lausanne, are approximately at 7 A. M. and 9 P. M. ; and the minima are at 3 to 5 P. M. *Prof. R. A. Proctor, Humboldt Library of Science, 2, 8. fOrray Taft Sherman, Professional Papers U. S. S. S., No. 10, p. 199. 162] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 295 and 3 to 4 A. M. * It should be borne in mind that the tidal wave does not occur at different places on the same geo- graphical meridian at the same time except during the equi- noxes. Hence arise the slight differences in the hours of the occurence of auroral and electric maxima at places hav- ing the same longitude. When allowance is made for this circumstance, the maxima of the aurorae and atmospheric electricity appear to correspond exactly to the passages of the aerial tidal waves, In still further confirmation of these views, it is observed that, in accordance with the single diurnal maximum of high latitudes i. e., the midday aerial tide caused by the pulling southwards or northwards of the particles of the air by the northern or the southern edges of the Sun's connexion, and the midnight depression corresponding to the absence of this connexion we have, from the observation of aurorae at Godthaab by Prof. Kleinschmidt in 1865 to 1880, a southward movement of the auroral zone during the day and a northward movement during the night.f Moreover, although it is the chief agent, it is not the Sun alone that affects the terrestrial magnetic and electric ele- ments; for Sabine has discovered that the Moon also (as by the new theory we should naturally expect, and in about the ratio which that theory assigns) has a distinctly traceable and similar connection with them; the lunar effects in the lunar day being the analogues of the solar effects in the so- lar day.J 162. The Annual Variation of the Magnetic Needle. The annual variation of the magnetic needle is chiefly a modifi- cation of the diurnal variation. Thus, in the summer season of the Northern Hemisphere, the daily variation is about twice as great as in the winter season. This is evidently accounted for by the solar connexion sweeping more directly over this hemisphere at this time. The maximum tidal effect of the connexion is at the edges; but it is the aerial tides of the east and the west edges that would chiefly carry the *Prof. H. Dufour, Zeitschrift der Oesterreichischen Gesselschaft fur Meteorologie, 19, 129. tProf. Sophus Tromholt, Om Ndrdlysets Perioder; Ibid, 18, 306. JProf. R. A. Proctor, Humboldt Library of Science, 2, 10. 296 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [163 electric currents, because the direction of the electric cur- rents and these edges approximately coincide. In our sum- mer these edges of the solar connexion are chiefly in the Northern Hemisphere, and therefore we have there a maxi- mum diurnal variation. In our winter these edges are chiefly in the Southern Hemisphere, and therefore the maximum di- urnal variation is then in that region, and we have our min- imum diurnal variation. It has already been observed (Art. 123) that there are maxima and minima of aurorae corresponding to the maxima and minima of sun-spots and of the planetary factor of the connexion-variations upon the Earth. But as the sidereal factor of the connexion-variations upon the Earth is shown, by the phenomena of atmospheric precipitation, to predomi- nate over all the other factors, it would seem that there should also be a maximum and minimum of atmospheric electricity corresponding to the variation of this factor also; that is, a maximum sometime in the first half of the year and a minimum in the last halt And this appears to conform precisely to the facts so far as they are known. Thus it has been found by P. F. Denza from twelve years' observation six times daily at Moncalieri that "the daily variations show themselves clearly in the winter and summer, having two maxima after sunset and sunrise. The yearly variations attain their maximla at the end of February, the minima at the end of September,"* But while the observations thus generally accord with the theory, it should be borne in mind that many causes (some of which are known and many of which are probably unknown) would modify the actual maxi- ma and minima of atmospheric electricity; and moreover our system of observation of the phenomena involved is, to say the least, very incomplete. 163. The Irregular Variations of the Magnetic Needle. The irregular variations of the magnetic elements are such as break in suddenly, and often with great violence, upon the quiet regularity of the others. There is scarcely a doubt, even among the ablest exponents of the present views upon *Prof. Cleveland Abbe, An Account of Progress in Meteorology in 1879-81, p. 88. 163] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 297 the subject, that many, if not all, of these irregular vari- ations are owing to some disturbances taking place on the Sun. How such disturbances could be transmitted, they frankly admit their inability to explain. But they have ob- served the disturbances take place upon the Sun; they have noticed that these disturbances were almost immediately fol- lowed by violent disturbances of the Earth's magnetic and electric elements; and therefore the connection of the two disturbances was undeniable. Such instances need not here be particularized as they are generally well-known. Their explanation seems sufficiently simpley As just stated, it is known from observation that tremendous convulsions occur upon the Sun. Enormous masses of gas and flame are hurled with frightful energy upwards into its outer atmosphere. If such eruptions occur upon the side of the Sun next to the Earth, the disturbance is at once communicated to the con- nexion between the two bodies, by the elastic medium of which it is conveyed as an enormous wave or pulse towards our planet. This pulse is transmitted to the earth-currents, and by the earth-currents northwards to the atmospheric cur- rents, where it becomes manifest as the aurora, and the intensity and momentum of which drives the aerial currents, and consequently the magnetic needle, from their ordinary courses, often to the comparatively great extent of several degrees, Thus would the disturbance originating on the Sun be transmitted to the Earth's atmosphere. "Nay," in the words of Prof. Proctor, which appear to be at least half the truth, "it is even probable that every flicker and cor- ruscation of our auroral displays correspond with similar manifestations upon every planet which travels round the Sun." It may not be the amount of connective fluid trans- mitted to the Earth by this solar wave that wholly causes the terrestrial perturbation. The more probable causes are the violent energy of its transmittal, its simultaneity over the entire hemisphere next to the Sun, and the convergence of the rays of the solar connexion as they approach the Earth. But even its amount is far from insignificant, as the solar 298 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [164 eruption sometimes continues for hours, even days, shooting upwards among the planetary connexions. 161 The Secular Variation of the Magnetic Needle. (a) The Earliest Observations. The earliest observations of the secular variation are probably those taken at Paris. At that city, about the year 1541; the needle pointed 7 east; and about 1580, 11.5 east, being the maximum eastern declina- tion. The needle then began to move westwards, and about 1663 had returned to the meridian, The declination then be- came westerly, and continued to increase until, about 1814, it attained its maximum, 22 11' west of north. It is now gradually moving eastwards. In London, the declination of the needle, about the year 1576, was 15 11' east; about 1657, due north; about 1700, 9 40' west; about 1778, 22 11' west; about 1819, nearly 25 west; and about 1843, 23 8' west. At Boston, the decimation about 1708 was 9 west; about 1807, 6 5' west; about 1840, 9 18' west. (b) Explanation of the Observations at London and Paris. In explanation of these various positions of the mag- netic needle, it may be well to reconsider some things already noticed. The two lines of no declination are about on op- posite sides of the Earth. The one now in the Western Hemisphere is theoretically the line of divergence of the electric currents; and that in the Eastern Hemisphere, the line of confluence of these currents. And, it being granted that the needle points in the direction whence the electric currents come, it follows that the maximum eastern or west- ern declination at any place, will be, other things equal, when it is midway between the two lines of no declination; western, if east of the line of divergence, eastern if west of it. The motion of the aerial electric currents is principally southward and at the two lines of no declination is wholly so. The divergence close to the western line would be slight, but farther away from it the angle would increase; but beyond a certain limit the angle would decrease, as the opposite line of convergence was approached,. Now, according to this theory, Paris, about the year 1580, 164] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 299 must have been nearly midway between the two lines, and west of the line divergence, as the declination was easterly. But the line of divergence was slowly advancing westwards over the Earth (the cause of which will shortly be discussed), and the divergent angle of the currents consequently di- minishing, the needle would begin to move westwards, and so continue. After eighty-three years, or about 1663, the line of divergence would have advanced westwards to the city, and the needle pointed due north. Still, after this, the needle would keep moving westwards into parallelism with the east- ern divergent currents, until some 151 years after the passage of the line, or about 1814, the city was again nearly midway between the two lines, but east of the line of divergence. After this the needle would begin to move east, in obedience to the gradually diminishing angle of divergence of the cur- rents as the line of confluence advanced westwards. This eastern movement still continues to the present time, the line of confluence being yet advanced only as far as the Caspian Sea. The magnetic history of London is similar in about all respects, save the dates. This city is about 3 north and 2 west of Paris, and what is chiefly remarkable in the magnetic history of the two cities is that the divergent line of no de- cimation advanced to London about 6 years before it arrived at Paris. In London the needle pointed due north about 1657; in Paris it did not point due north until about 1663. But here again we see the effect of mountain ranges in de- flecting the electric currents. Over the low-lands of Russia and Germany the magnetic line advanced at an approximately uniform rate, but farther south the advance of the line was delayed by the apparent obstruction of the European Alps and the elevated regions surrounding them, so that it prob- ably formed a loop extending eastwards around these regions, as about a century later the opposite line formed a loop around the Asiatic ranges and plateaus. Thus it may have been that the magnetic meridian appeared at London before ft appeared at Paris, southeast of London. Paris would 300 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [164 have been simply inside the loop surrounding high Europe, and London just outside of it on the north. In further support of this view, we further observe that the maximum western decimation occurred at Paris about the year 1814, while at London, on the contrary, it occurred about the year 1819, or about the time it was normally due. In the formter year at Paris, the effect of the obstruction would have been to check the western movement of the line (and therefore the variation of the magnetic needle) to a later time than if the obstruction had not interfered; while in the latter year, after the line did overcome the obstruction, its progress was comparatively rapid with respect to that locality, and fully made up for its previous delay; whereas London, being farther removed from the obstruction, would have a more uniform variation of the magnetic lines. (c) The Southeastern Direction of the Lines of no De- clination. Another remarkable peculiarity to be noticed is the southeastern direction in which the lines of no declina- tion extend, the southern portion lagging behind the northern. This may be attributed, partly at least, to the tenacity with which the electric currents apparently cling to the land sur- face in preference to wide and deep bodies of water. In con- firmation of this view, it may be mentioned that the intensity of the magnetic elements is much greater over the land, and especially the island surfaces, than over the ocean surface.* (d) Explanation of the Observations at Boston. About the year 1657, the needle pointed due north at London, as we have already noticed. But in what direction the north end of the line of no declination extended from London at that time we appear to have no record. About fifty-one years after- wards, however, or in 1708, the decimation at Boston was re- corded to have been 9 west. This evidently goes to show, according to this theory, that in 1657, or shortly thereafter, the line of no decimation extended almost due west from Southern Europe across the Atlantic Ocean, passing north- wards to the west of Boston and perhaps recurving again *See paper On Local Magnetic Disturbances in Islands Situated Far from a Continent, by Staff-Commander E. W. Creak, R. N., F R. S., Royal Society, Jan. 28, 1886; Nature, 33, 404. 164] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 301 northeastwards parallel to the northeastern coast. There is nothing particularly remarkable in this; indeed an instance very similar to it occurs in the Indian Ocean at the present day. But what seems strange is that, for the next hundred years, or up to 1807, the western declination at Boston con- tinually decreased; whereas, according to analogy and theo- retical deduction, it ought to have continually increased. Of this curious phenomenon, the following explanation is suggested by the new theory. The western extension from Europe of the divergent line of no declination in the latter part of the 17th cetury, took place probably in a compara- tively short time. The southern end of the line yet, and for many succeeding years, clung to southwestern Europe and Africa. Now this diagonal southeastern extension of the line would have a tendency to reduce the eastern declination and increase the western declination upon the western and eastern sides, respectively, of the line. Thus we observe that at both London and Paris, about the year 1580, the min- imum eastern declination was only about half what the min- imum western declination wsfe about 240 years later at the same time and places, while evidently, if the line of no de- clination extended north and south, the eastern declination would be very approximately equal to the western. Similarly at Boston in 1708, the western declination was greater than it would be if the magnetic lines were parallel to the geo- graphic meridian, instead of being at a comparatively great angle to it. But about this time the southern end of the divergent line freed itself from the hold of the Eastern Con- tinent and was making relatively rapid strides across the southern Atlantic (which has few islands) to the Western Continent. This rapid western movement of the south end of the line, while the north end moved at a much slower rate, tended to straighten the whole line, and therefore to dimmish the western decimation at Boston and other places north and east of the line in its anomalous position,. So that in the period from 1708 to 1807, during which the straightening took place, the declination was reduced at these places nearly 3, or from 9 west to 6 5' west. After the line had touched 302 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [164 South America, the western secular movement of the southern end of the line slackened to about a parity with the rest, the western declination again increased at Boston owing to the western movement of the whole divergent line, and so con- tinues at the present time. (e) Explanation of the Secular Variation. It now only remains to inquire into the cause of this continual western movement of the magnetic meridians and poles. And, with- out further preface, the simple answer is The eastern rota- tion of the Earth on its axis. It has already been noticed that the connective fluid set free in the earth-currents tended to escape from the plane of the ecliptic where the fluid is most dense; and this movement away from the ecliptic plane would, owing to the inclination of the Earth's axis, be to- wards some point of the polar circles, which would be a mag- netic pole. The electric currents, becoming once estab- lished in certain routes in the Earth's crust, would have a tendency to follow such routes more readily thereafter;* so that, although the rotation of the Earth carries the magnetic axis out of its natural position of perpendicularity to the ecliptic plane, the resistance offered to this wrenching of the axis is small compared to that offered by the Earth's crust to the continual establishment of new momentary routes per- pendicular to the ecliptic, the magnetic axis remains prac- tically permanent in any place, and it is thus rotated east- wards around the geographic axis once in every twenty-four hours. But although the resistance offered to the wrench- ing of the magnetic axis out of its vertical position with re- spect to the ecliptic, is comparatively small, yet it is con- stantly maintained; and although its effect is practically in- appreciable in any one rotation, yet in the course of a year it accumulates so as to become quite perceptible. Taking the magnetic axis (or the general electric earth-current) in its vertical position to the ecliptic plane, and following it eastwards around the Earth's axis of rotation, we observe *Even in air, "where once a spark has passed, it is easier for a second one to follow on the same track. Probably the first spark pro- duces chemical dissociations in its path which do not instantly pass away." Prof. S. P. Thompson's Electricity and Magnetism, p. 298. 164] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 303 that, during the first half of the rotation, the tendency of the former would be to return westwards to the vertical position; but, during the last half of the rotation, the tendency of the magnetic axis to adjust itself to the vertical would urge it eastwards, as the nearest way to that position then lies in that direction But the tendencies of the magnetic axis in these opposite directions do not balance each other for the reason that the Earth's rotation favors the one tendency and opposes the other. A much greater and more effective force or pressure is manifestly exerted by the electric fluid when tending to regain its vertical position to the ecliptic diagonal- ly backwards against the Earth's rotation, than when tending to regain that position diagonally backwards with the Earth's rotation; just in the same manner that a much greater pres- sure is exerted by the current of a river upon a boat moving diagonally against it than upon a boat moving diagonally with it. And this greater pressure of the electric fluid against the Earth's rotation exists, not for half the time of a rotation only, but is constantly maintained during the whole rotation. For the currents are continually flowing northwards upon all sides of the Earth, and therefore there is a balance of pres- sure exerted against the Earth's rotation for every moment It does not apply here that the electric fluid flowing north- wards from the Equator and partaking of the swifter rota- tional motion at that place, would tend to preserve it as it moved northwards and thus tend to move eastwards instead of westwards first, because the magnetic fluid is supposed to issue chiefly from the neighborhood of the South Mag- netic Pole, rather than from the Equator; and second, be- cause, as will shortly be found, the electric flow is incom- parably more rapid than the Earth's rotational motion,. The explanation of the terrestrial secular variation, then, is sim- ply that this continual balance of pressure of the magnetic earth-currents westwards over the Earth, slowly and grad- ually changes their course (and therefore that of the mag- netic axis) towards this direction. Other causes may con- tribute; but evidently this is the primary cause. The varia- tion does not take place at an equal rate all over the Earth, 304 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [164 or even at neighboring localities; but lags behind in some areas and shoots forwards with comparative rapidity in others. The magnetic meridians and equators are invar- iably distorted and twisted intd unsymmetrical forms; all of which clearly refers to an unevenly resisting crust medium through which the electric currents are slowly effecting a change of their courses. Indeed, precisely the same explanation has recently been offered by no less an authority than Prof. Arthur Schuster, as follows : "If electricity behaves like a body possessing inertia, the rotation of a body through which currents pass should affect the flow of these currents in the same manner as the earth's rotation affects the direction of currents of air. If the earth's magnetism is due to electric currents, it is interesting to see if the effects of inertia can explain the secular varia- tion. The investigation shows that a magnetic precession of the character of the secular variation would be produced, but that the precession would be very much slower than the variation actually observed, . . . The calculated period of a cycle comes out as 7X10 14 years. If the currents are confined to a thin slice of the earth, the time would be reduced to about 14X10 6 years."* Prof. Rucker congratulated the author of the foregoing for his attempt to solve the problem of terrestrial magnetism. The date of the paper, however, was nearly ten years after the same explanation had been given by the present writer. Moreover, it is hard to see how such an immense period could have been obtained for the secular variation. The currents would travel in the Earth-crust probably to a depth of ten miles, and it seems not very easy to calculate the resistance of the unknown strata down to that depth. (f) Period of the Secular Variation. According to the new theory, the period is between 600 and 650 years. At London the needle pointed due north in 1657, and about 1819 it was at its maximum westerly declination of 25. At the first of these dates, the city was just in the line of diverg- ence, and at the latter date it would be half-way between the line of divergence and the line of convergence, which last *Physical Society, London, December 14, 1900; Nature, 63, 194. 165] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 305 was approaching from the east. This means that the former line had traveled westwards from the city about one-fourth of the distance around the Earth between these dates; for there would be two periods of western magnets and two per- iods of eastern magnets for every complete revolution; one of each for each of the two lines. From 1657 to 1819 is 162 years, and four times this is 648 years. The corresponding dates for Paris are 1663 and 1814, giving 151 years for the quarter period, or 604 years for the entire period. The aver- age of these is 626 years, and the half-period, or the time be- tween two successive north magnets at one place, is 313 years; so that at London the needle will be due to point north again about the year 1970, when the line of convergence will arrive westwards to that city . Of course the resistance would vary at different places and with different circumstances; and the above is only a roughly approximate estimate from the slender data as yet available. 165. Corroborative Evidences. In conclusion of this chapter, it may be well, perhaps, to notice a few observations out of hundreds of similar ones that have been made by other inquirers in this department of Nature, which seem thor- oughly to corroborate the general theory of terrestrial mag- netism here offered. On the morning of March 30, 1886, a violent earth-current storm occurred in London, stopping all telegraphic work. During the same time, strong earth-currents were reported in the Medeterranean, Bombay, and Madras, the Madras and Penang, and the Java, China, and Japan, cables; causing all work over them to be stopped. In the evening, brilliant aurorae were observed in Donegal and Kingstown in Ireland, at Konigsberg in Prussia, and no doubt at many other places from which no reports were made . * This evidently goes to show that there is an intimate connection between the earth-currents and the aurorae, as the theory postulates. In an article on terrestrial magnetism in the 9th edition of the Encyclopedia Britannica, Prof. Balfour Stewart endeavors to show two things : *The Electrician, April 2. and August 6, 1886; Nature, 34, 408. 306 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [165 "(1) That of all the various hpyotheses which have been started with a view of explaining the solar diurnal inequali- ties of terrestrial magnetism, the most probable is that which considers these inequalities to be caused by electric currents in the upper regions of the Earth's atmosphere. (2) That in the neighborhood of the North Pole (judging from observa- tions discussed by Sabine) such currents have in all prob- ability horizontal components flowing in from all sides to- wards that pole, so that on one side of the pole this component will have a direction the reverse to that which it has on the opposite side of the pole." This is just what the new theory teaches, except that, in- stead of the aerial currents flowing in from all sides towards the North Magnetic Pole, they radiate in all directions away from it; unless obstructed by great elevations of land, or by extreme cold, or other cause. The same authority, before th.e London Physical Society, April 10, 1886, after reviewing various other theories and hypotheses, says: "We seem, therefore, compelled to seek for the cause of the variations in the upper atmospheric regions, and we cannot imagine such a cause to exist in any other form than that of a system of electric currents. That currents may, and act- ually do, exist at great heights is shown by the aurora, which is unquestionably an electric current, and manifests a close connection with the phenomena of terrestrial magnetism."* M. Faye, before the Paris Academy of Sciences, April 19, 1886, "deals with the important series of diagrams appended by the Astronomer Royal to the volume of Greenwich Observations for 1884, embodying the diurnal variations in horizontal direc- tions and intensity of the terrestrial magnetic force for the thirty-six years ending in 1876, inclusive. As a general re- sult it would appear that the magnetic curves, as exhibited in the 430 diagrams of Sir G. B. Airy's series, contract and expand periodically in direct agreement with the greater or less prevalence of the solar spots, and also with great regu- larity according to the seasons, the summer curves being invariably greater than those of winter." t This is exactly in accordance with what the new theory has already predicated in the greater accumulation of con- nective substance in our atmosphere at these times. (See Arts. 120, 124.) *Nature, 33, 620. tNature, 33, 622. 165] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 307 Dr. Weinstein, before the Meteorological Society of Berlin, March 2, 1886, spoke on the subject of earth-currents as fol- fows: "A course precisely analogous to that of the earth-current was manifested by the earth's magnetism, the connection of which with the electricity of the earth attracted attention from the very beginning, when disturbances made themselves observable. To demonstrate with perfect precision the co- incidence of the two phenomena it was necessary to take for the purpose of comparison, not a single magnetic element, but the earth's total magnetism. The earth's electricity and the earth's magnetism showed, moreover, in their regular daily course, their affinity, by the simultaneity with which their disturbances occurred. This simultaniety was so pre- cise that in one case the distance between Berlin and Wil- helmshaven could be determined from the time when the dis- turbance of the earth's current made itself felt in Berlin, and the time when the magnetic disturbance occurred in Wil- helmshaven. This simultaniety of disturbances at distant points of the earth pointed to a cosmical cause. Thus, in August, last year, at the very time when in Paris the emerg- ence of an altogether unusual protuberance was observed, a magnetic disturbance was registered in Petersburg, and a disturbance of the earth's current in Berlin. The earth's current and the earth's magnetism showed further in com- mon the periods of eleven years which coincided with those of the solar spots. In respect of the earth's current, the period could not indeed be demonstrated to a certainty, see- ing that the regular observations made respecting it were yet of too recent date; but the regular course of the oscillations warranted the conclusion of a like period being drawn. With reference to the question which phenomenon was the primary, the earth's current or the earth's magnetism, oppo- site views were entertained."* In a subsequent communication to the same Society, April 6, respecting the disturbances which had occurred January 9, and March 30, 1886, Dr. Weinstein states: "On March 30, the disturbances were so great that in the course of the forenoon telegraphic communication in Germany was stopped. Even with currents of 60 Daniells no signs could be forwarded by the telegraph wires. The magnetic elements in Wilhelmshaven showed great simultaneous dis- turbances, and from the direction of these magnetic disturb- ances it was inferred that the disturbance of the earth's elec- tricity were the primary, the oscillations of the earth's mag- netism the secondary. "f *Nature, 33, 624. tNature, 34, 24. 308 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [165 This precisely agrees with the theory; the incoming dis- turbing wave of connective fluid first appearing in the elec- tric currents of the crust, and subsequently affecting the mag- netic elements, just as theoretically deduced. From autographic records of the magnetic storms of 1880, August 11-14, at Pavlosk, Kew, Zikawei, and Melbourne, Prof. H. Wild concludes that "the disturbance of all three elements, decimation and hori- zontal and vertical intensity, began and ended simultaneously. . . . The magnitude of the perturbation for each element, especially the intensity, and for each day, shows a diurnal period closely coinciding with normal daily variations." The same scientist, from magnetograph records of the magnetic weather of January 30-February 1, 1881, at eleven places in America, Europe, China, India, and Australia, finds that "the perturbations began everywhere simultaneously, so far as the time scales enabled the moments to be determined. . . . The times of occurrence of maxima and minima, and the amplitudes, especially of the variations in declination, corres- pond very closely to the distance of the stations from the auroral circle surrounding the north magnetic pole, as lately defined by Baron Nordenskiold."* Also from observations of earth-currents made upon buried telegraph cables in the neighborhood of the observatory of Pavlosk up to September 1883, he draws the following con- clusions : "The earth-currents appear not like currents of uniform intensity, but as alternating stronger and weaker currents. "Only by taking the mean of the twenty-four term days during the year do we find traces of slight diurnal change whose amplitude corresponds nearly to 0.0008 volt. The diurnal change of the earth current is therefore not the cause of the diurnal change in the magnetic elements. "As soon as the earth currents in both lines become strong, the magnetic instruments deviate from their ordinary posi- tions, and these perturbations increase with the strength of the earth currents, but not in any regular proportion. "The changes in the south-to-north line preceded by about five minutes the changes in variation of declination, so that *Prof. Cleveland Abbe, An Account of Progress in Meteorology in 1883, pp. 66-68. 1651 TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 309 the earth currents would appear as the primary cause. He concludes that the earth currents are the primary cause of many perturbations, but not the cause of the periodic varia- tions in the magnetic elements."* Now all this is very obviously in perfect harmony with the connective theory. The simultaneity of the disturbances of the magnetic elements over the whole Earth points unmistak- ably to a cosmical cause of them. The small time-interval of five minutes between the appearance of the disturbance in the earth-current at Pavlosk and its reappearance in the aerial currents as affecting the magnetic needle, indicates the extreme velocity of the terrestrial electric currnts; and the correspondence of the times of maxima and minima of the variation of the magnetic elements at various places to the distances of these respectively from the north auroral circle,- indicates clearly the course which the electric currents take and their mode of distribution. We read also that the mag- nitude of the magnetic perturbation shows a diurnal period coinciding with the diurnal barometric variations. This shows that a proprtionately great amount of the distributing fluid (as well as of the ordinary currents) appearing at the polar regions is gathered into the aerial tides theoretically shown to account for the diurnal variations. And still an- other discovery by Prof. Wild that furnishes a very strong confirmation of the theory, is that there is no appreciable variation of the earth-currents corresponding to the diurnal or other periodic changes in the magnetic elements. This certainly goes far to prove that the atmospheric tides caused upon the Earth by the solar connexion is the sole cause of these changes, as the theory predicates. That there is ap- parently no regular proportion between the irregular per- turbations of the earth-currents and the immediately follow- ing disturbances of the magnetic elements, may very reason- ably arise from the infinitesimalness of the observed portions, of these currents, the great bulk of which is probably deep- seated in the Earth's crust. It may be added here that, in perfect harmony with the *Prof. Cleveland Abbe, Account of Progress in Meteorology in the Year 1884, pp. 111-112. 310 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [165 new theory, the intensity of the disturbances of the magnetic elements, or of the atmospheric electricity, varies directly with the magnetic latitude; being 'most intense at the "auroral circle" surrounding the Magnetic Pole.* This is the strong- est possible corroboration, not only of the solar origin of these phenomena, but also of the connective-bond theory of their transmission to us from the Sun; for the solar disturbances would very obviously be best transmitted when situated near tlie center of the Earth-Sun connective bond than when near its edges; and not at all when on the other side of the Sun. (See Art. 101) . There appears to be a strong connection too between the electric currents, cirrus clouds, and precipitation. Change 'of weather almost invariably accompanies unusually brilliant aurorae. The electric tension of the air is also profoundly modified by precipitation ; and lightning seldom occurs except during, or in connection with, rain. At this stage of the inquiry, it is not easy to determine whether the electric fluid itself is directly converted into the precipitated water, or water vapor, or merely accompanies the fluid which, in the lightning flash, is so converted. That the lightning flash is a manifestation of connective substance in some form or transformation, and even disturbs the magnetic needle, there is, however, no doubt. The following suggestive extract re- garding the connection of thunderstorms, aurorae, and solar disturbances may fitly close this chapter: "As a result of the extended series of observations de- scribed, it has been found that in general whenever groups of faculae, with or without dark spots, are appearing by rotation or are bursting forth upon the earthward side of the sun, there is an immediate increase of thunderstorms in the lower latitudes, and probably auroras in the higher latitudes. If, however, the aurora becomes visible near the equator at such times, there is an immediate, though, per- haps, themporary decrease in thunderstorms, as though the aurora had taken their place. In short, the aurora and *Nature, 90, 37; 33, 614-5. Also, according to the investigations of Mr. J. A. Brown, Mr. Arthur Harvey, Mr. E. W. Maunder, and the Ger- man magnetician, Dr. Schmidt, the terrestrial magnetic variations have also a period corresponding to that of the Sun's rotation; 27% days by the three first mentoned and about 30 days by Dr. Schmidt. See Dr. C. Chree, Nature, 83, 354-5-6; 91, 495; 97, 511. 165] TERRESTRIAL ELECTRICITY AND MAGNETISM 311 thunderstorms appear to have a common origin, and in cer- tain localities, at least, a reciprocal relation to each other. "The relation between the various phenomena is such, that if an increase of thunderstorms or auroras is noted, faculae coming into view by rotation or bursting forth else- where upon the sun may be looked for with confidence. On the other hand the appearance upon the sun of bright fac- ulae betokens an immediate increase in the electrical phe- nomena attending the storms which may be prevailing at the time anywhere on the face of the earth, unless the au- rora should intervene, as has already been noted. "In general the disturbed solar and terrestrial conditions, increase or diminish in like ratio. The curious fact has been noted, however, that a single disturbance occupying the sun's disc alone seems to have a more marked effect than a suc- cession of such disturbances, as though variability of ten- sion were most concerned in the production of the phenomena in question."* *M. A. Veeder, The Electrical World, Vol. 10, No. 9 ; Monthly Weath- er Review (of the U. S. Signal Service), July, 1887, p. 206. An article on the same subject by Henry C. Maine also appeared in Frank Leslie* a Illustrated Newspaper of Aug. 31. 1889. CHAPTER XIII GEOLOGICAL CLIMATIC CHANGES From the point of view of the physicist, a theory of matter is a policy rather than a creed; its object is to con- nect or coordinate apparently diverse phenomena, and above all to suggest, stimulate, and experiment. It ought to fur- nish a compass which, if followed, will lead the observer further arid further into previously unexplored regions. Whether these regions will be barren or fertile, experience alone will decide; but at any rate one who is guided in this way will travel onward in a definite direction, and will not wander aimlessly to and fro. PROF. J. J. THOMSON. In Middle and Upper Eocene times, great palms and other plants flourished in Europe whose nearest relatives now ex- ist in tropical Africa, India, and Australia. The most north- ern point which has plant impressions is Grinnell Land, N. A., 81 45' N. Its present mean temperature is 4 F. ( 20 C . ) . The plants evidenced by its impressions required a mean annual temperature of 46 F. A still warmer climate is indicated by the fossil flora of Greenland and Spitzbergen, N. Siberia, and Alaska: indicating a difference of about 49F. between those times and the present at these places. This cannot be accounted for by distribution of land or of marine currents. Apparently the only possible explanation is a dis- placement of the pole coupled with an actually warmer cli- mate in Tertiary times. In the Himalaya and the Karakorum were enormous glac- iers as well as in the neighborhood of the equator in S. America. It was long doubtful whether the glaciation of the northern and southern hemispheres took place simulta- neously; but there is no longer any doubt that such was really the case. With our present knowledge, any explanation is quite impossible. We must content ourselves with recognizing that the cooling was simultaneous, and, as far as research has yet gone, extended over the whole globe. It is then obviously impossible to attribute it to a displacement of the pole, for in that case a part of the earth must have expe- rienced an increase of temperature; and, in addition to this, we certainly cannot suppose any considerable change in the position of the pole within so comparatively short an interval as separates us from the Glacial epoch. The uniform ex- tension of the phenomena excludes all these attempted ex- 166] GEOLOGICAL CLIMATIC CHANGES 313 planations which appeal to geological or geographical changes of the earth's surface, a different distribution of land and sea, changes in the ocean currents, etc., and all point to some agency, external to the earth, and therefore acting on it as a whole. . If we follow the march of these vicissitudes of temper- ature, evidently determined by some cosmical agency, we find at the beginning of Tertiary times a moderately warm climate; then a rise during' the Eocene, and then a gradual cooling, interrupted possibly by some oscillations, down to a degree nearly corresponding to that now prevailing, at the beginning of the Pleistocene epoch. Then the cooling continued below the present temperature, to a minimum at the time of the greatest glaciation of the land; then a re- warming in the interglacial period nearly up to the present temperature; after which the cold and glaciation regained the upper hand, finally to give way to the present conditions, which are about midway between the greatest warmth of the Tertiary age and the greatest cold of the Pleistocene. . Just as little can we determine at present by what agency all these vicissitudes are brought about; most plausible and simple would it certainly be were the sun a variable star that at different periods emits different quantities of heat; but for this or any other assumption there is no proof forth- coming. This enigma, like so many others, will some day be solved by man's searching intelligence, but, like all other acquisitions of science, this goal can be won by assiduous and patient labor. Haply the triumph may not be for our generation; but what we may certainly accomplish is to pre- pare the way for it, by an accurate and critical collection of the facts. DR. M. NEUMAYR.* 166. Geological Periods. Having now examined the gen- eral phenomena of cosmical evolution and gravitation, plan- etary light and heat, aerial and oceanic tides, and terrestrial magnetism, in their relation to the new theory, and invariably finding apparently perfect and unquestionable harmony of that theory with the f^cts let us now turn into a different department of scientific inquiry and see if the same harmony is manifested there also. Having tested the theory by the various manifestations above and upon the Earth's surface, let us now test it by the manifestations beneath the Earth's surface, or the testimony of the Earth's crust itself. This crust upon which we temporarily have our being, has cer- tainly been subjected to vast changes both of form and sur- *Lecture before the Society for Dissemination of Natural Science, Vienna, Jan. 2, 1889. 314 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [167 rounding conditions; and, if the new theory be in the main the true one, it will even yet be subjected to changes com- pared with which the past changes, the evidence of which the crust affords, are utterly insignificant. However, it is the record of these past changes that are here to be ex- amined, and though perhaps they are relatively insignifi- cant, we shall nevertheless find them vast enough for the con- sideration of our puny faculties. The time since the appearance of the human race upon the Earth is apparently but a moment of the Earth's his- tory. There is some evidence that man existed shortly prior to the great Ice Age, but the highest scientific authorities are of the opinion that the earliest traces of Paleolithic man is to be found in river drifts deposited after the vast glaciers began to melt away. Now the duration of the great Ice Age is said to be double that of the period since, and yet the Ice Age and the period since together are supposed to be, on the most probable basis, but a fraction of one per cent, of the period since the formation of the present crust upon the Earth. 167. The Age of Ice. For hundreds of thousands of years, then, probably before the first appearance of man, vast sheets of ice covered the temperate regions which we now inhabit, and perpetual winter reigned half way to the Equator. But still prior to this, for a far longer period, the climate of the same regions was extremely torrid, and per- petual summer reigned as far north as the Pole. Of these vast changes of the Earth's climate in the past, there is no question whatever among scientific men. The evidence is abundant and unmistakable, and carries conviction at once to the mind of the student of Nature. But if the scientist be asked how these changes of climate came about, practically no answer is received. He does not know. He has, or rather he had, theories regarding these climatic changes, but they are all untenable, and so obviously so that they are about all practically rejected and laid aside. The late Mr. Searles V. Wood, in a summary of the possible causes of the succession of cold and warm climates, enumerates no less 168] GEOLOGICAL CLIMATIC CHANGES 315 than seven different theories, which have met with more or less acceptance. And Sir J. William Dawson, in his inaugural address at the fifty-sixth annual meeting of the British Asso- ciation, justly exclaims that "nearly every cause available in the heavens and in the earth have been invoked to account for these astounding facts." The theory of Dr. James Croll, as elaborated in his works "Climate and Time," "Climate and Cosmology," etc., was prob- ably the ablest as well as the most widely accepted. But after a critical examination of it by Dr. Woeikof,* not to mention former criticisms of it by Simon Newcomb and others, there remains little else than a series of erroneous assumptions. In the words of J. Norman Lockyer "His whole system of estimating temperature breaks down when seriously tested, the errors being enormous, in some cases upwards of 100 F., or greater than the difference of annual temperature between the equator and the North Pole. His hypotheses, although brilliant and fascinating, can not be accepted, the main points on which they rest being op- posed to the most certain teachings of meteorology, and the whole fabric, in its explanation of glaciation and geological climates generally, being entirely fallacious."* 168. The Causes of the Climatic Changes. By the new theory, however, the explanation is simple and obvious at a glance. As already intimated some pages back, the Earth, after its transformation from the solar ring into the spherical form, at once began to contract its volume and form a crust upon itself, in all respects similar to the solar crust out of which it originated; and also, at the same time, a similar process took place upon the Sun. It appears that this gener- ative process upon the Sun in this case required less time than it did upon the Earth. In other words, the solar crust first matured and brought forth the planet Venus, before the Earth had been delivered of its satellite. The evidence of this solar priority lies in the fact that in the same period during which the Earth gave birth to only one body, the Moon, the Sun gave birth to two bodies, Venus and Mercury. * American Journal of Science and Art, March 1886. *Nature, 34, 40. 316 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [168 A partial reason at least for this solar priority would be that the generative process upon the Sun was supposably some- what advanced while the Earth-ring was yet extending out- wards from its parent, and preparing itself for its aggrega- tion into the planetary form. But no doubt the chief reason of the priority would be the greater centrifugal tendency of the Sun's equatorial surface. In any event, it appears tolerably plain from the new theory that, after the Earth, the next in order of generatioin of the three bodies subsequently begotten was Venus, then the Moon, and lastly Mercury. Now it is a corollary reasonably following from this the- ory, and is practically self-evident, that when the Sun's sur- face cools and contracts into a solid crust, a much smaller solar heat will be distributed outwards to the planets of the Solar System, than when the Sun's crust is in a gaseous form. From these premises it follows that, at the birth of the Moon, the Sun was tolerably well advanced upon Mercury. By the time the present crust of the Earth was sufficiently formed to support vegetable life, the solar crust would have been in a still more advanced stage, and so would furnish less heat to the Earth than it at present receives. Perhaps this consideration does not with equal probability apply to the Sun's light; which, for aught that we can assign to the contrary, may have remained practically undiminished. At this time of comparative solar frigidity, the light and possibly the heat of the Moon, owing to its recent formation, might also be relatively great. But the chief source of heat, in all probability, would be the Earth itself. It is certain that at this period the Earth-crust would be generously warmed over its whole extent by the Earth's internal heat; and with light either from the Sun or the Moon, or from both, the Earth's surface would have been one great hot-bed, and the favorable condition for vegetable growth would be unsurpassed. This would be the Carboniferous Era upon the Earth, in which the vast coal beds were deposited; the comparative thinness of the crust affording relatively frequent opportunities for its upheaval or subsidence. And at the same time the tepid wa- ters would support more gigantic and a greater number of 1691 GEOLOGICAL CLIMATIC CHANGES 317 animals than with either a greater or less amount of heat. But the Earth-heat would gradually diminish at the sur- face. After hundreds of thousands of years, the temperature would fall upon the land and in the water; the Sun would afford a minimum of heat; the climate would gradually be- come frigid the water would congeal into snow and ice; and excepting probably a strip bordering on either side of the Equator, preserved by the remnants of solar heat, the whole Earth would be one vast sheet of glaciers and snow. But another change was beginning to daw upon our planet. When its internal heat had become greatly reduced at the surface, and the Sun also had cooled by encrustation so as to furnish but a minimum quantity, the solar crust began to part and the gaseous interior would gradually be exposed to view; affording to our world once more the life-restoring heat. This process of crust separation would continue and the heat would increase in intensity until the ring wholly separated from the body of the Sun. This would be the sec- ond or post-glacial tropical period. After a time the first intensity of the solar heat would wear away, and this gradual diminution would have continued down to the present day; in which, according to the new theory, the solar surface is just in the inceptive stage of its solidification in the process of generating another planet. By the new theory, then, the sequence of geological cli- mates, so far as the present Earth-crust is concerned, is as follows: First, very hot, corresponding to the original heat of our globe the gradual tempering of which produced the magnificant flora and the gigantic fauna of the Coal Meas- ures; second, very cold, corresponding to the cooling and more advanced solidification of the Earth's, the Moon's, and the Sun's, surface; third, very warm, corresponding to the sep- aration of the Sun's solidified crust; and fourth, a gradual reduction of the heat of this last period down to the present day. It is scarcely necessary to state that this sequence is almost precisely similar to that deduced by geologists from the evidence of the crust itself. 169. The Supposed Subdivisions of the Ice Age. There 318 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [169 is, indeed, one apparent discrepancy; which, however, may quite possibly be owing to the extraordinary and . incorrect causes which the confusion of previous theories compelled scientists to assign for the facts. The view involving this apparent discrepancy is that, very generally received among geologists, which regards the great Ice Age as divided into several portions, separated by interglacial periods. This view, if true, would not be absolutely inconsistent with the theory here advanced, as the interruption by various causes of the cooling process upon the Sun can by no means be said to be impossible. But the great probability appears to be that this view is erroneous. Leaving out of consideration the astronomical grounds upon which Dr. Croll and others based the subdivisions of the Ice Age, as having been quite suf- ficiently criticised by other inquirers, one ground, of a very different character, for a belief in such subdivision may be noticed. Archibald Geikie, in his "Geological Sketches," describes what he thinks is probably the oldest portion of land surface on our globe, in the northwest part of Scotland. A some- what extensive platform of old gneiss had first been "buried under several thousand feet of red sandstone. The area was then further submerged until the vast pile of sediment was deposited out of which the Highlands had been formed, that these sedimentary accumulations how many thousand feet thick we cannot yet tell were subse- quently over the Highland area crumpled and metamorphosed into crystalline schists, and that towards the west the ancient platform of gneiss was once more ridged up and gradually bared of its superincumbent load of rock, until now at length some portions of it have been once more laid open to the air." What is strange about the old gneiss platform thus laid bare is the peculiar bossy, hummocky appearance which it presents, which is not presented by the later formations re- maining above it, and which, "if they were found in a recent formation, would without hesitation be ascribed to land ice." The overlying formations are marked by parallel striations and bands of rocky terrace, but are far from exhibiting such energy of glacial action as in the older gneiss. Moreover the peculiar smooth, bossy character of the latter can be 169] GEOLOGICAL CLIMATIC CHANGES 319 traced under the recent formations and under patches of breccia or moraine which have been left standing by recent erosions. From this the inference clearly follows that an earlier period of glaciation existed, which was separated from the recent period of glaciation by the immense interval of time required for the deposition of the red sandstone and overlying schists, and their submergence, crystallization and subsequent elevation. Regarding this inference as true, the new theory would still regard the two periods, however distant, as the inceptive and final stages of one grand period of glaciation. Accord- ing to this view, the old gneiss was, in the first place, sub- jected to the action if the glaciers during a comparatively great time in the beginning of the Ice Age; that then it was submerged, water intervening between it and the ice, and had deposited upon it the sandstone and schists by the action of the glaciers and the overlying waters; that subsequently, with its overlying burden it was upheaved and again sub- jected to the action of the uninterrupted, but diminished ice, suffering denudation of its overlying deposits in the closing and more moderate period of the Ice Age, and by continued elevation and denudation, itself a second time polished and striated by ice-action. There is nothing certainly known regarding these alleged interglacial periods. Geologists are by no means agreed either upon their existence or their number. ''Opinions differ as to the number of glacial and interglac- ial epochs, many holding that we have evidence of only two cold stages, and one general interglacial stage. .... While some observers are of opinion that there are only two epochs of general glaciation, others, as for example, M. Tar- dy, find what they consider to be evidence of several such epochs. Others, again, as M. Falsan, do not believe in the existence of interglacial stages, although they readily admit that there were great advances and retreats of the ice during the glacial period."* This last, in which Dr. N. O. Hoist also agrees, t is pre- *Prof. James Geike, Presidental Address to the Geological Section, British Association, 1889 ; Nature, 40, 491. tNature, 97, 247. 320 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [169 cisely the view here entertained, except that, instead of ad- vances and retreats of the ice, upheavals and subsidences, various in number in various places, are substituted. CHAPTER XIV COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE Like the wife of Ulysses, who undid at night what her industrious fingers had wrought by day, Nature amuses her- self with an eternal building up and destroying, the beginning of which is like its end and the end like the beginning. Thence, as Spiller thinks, by a "continual perfecting in the aggregation of atoms (as actually occurs on the earth) there might possibly arise an improvement in organization and in the conditions of life" which would enable us to imagine that a gradual progression from the imperfect to the perfect and from the lowlier to the higher . . . would take place within definite periods in the never-ending regions of the universe. BUCHNER. And what is this world in the immensity which teems with them, and what are we who occupy it? The universe at large would suffer as little in its splendour and variety by the destruction of our planet, as the verdure and sublime magnitude of a forest would suffer by the fall of a single leaf. The leaf quivers on the branch which supports it. It lies at the mercy of the slightest accident. A breath of wind tears it from its parent stem, and it lights on the stream of water which falls underneath. In a moment of time an oc- currence so insignificant to the eyes of man . . carries with it to the myriads which people the little leaf an event as terrible and as decisive as the destruction of a world. Now, on the grand scale of the universe, we, the occupiers of this ball which performs its little round among the suns and the systems that astronomy has unfolded we may feel the same littleness and the same insecurity. We differ from the leaf only in this circumstance, that it would require the operation of greater elements to destroy us. But these elements exist. DR. THOMAS CHALMERS. This sea of fire, like the first abyss, will cover the face of the whole earth, make a kind of second chaos, and leave a capacity for another world to rise from it. ... Let us reflect . . on the variety and transient glory of all this habitable world; how by the force of one element break- 170] COSMJCAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 321 ing loose upon the rest, all the varieties of nature, all the works of art, all the labors of men are reduced to nothing. . Where are now the great empires of the world and their imperial cities? Their pillars, trophies, and monu- ments of glory? . . . What remains, what impressions, what difference or distinctions do you see in this mass of fire? 170. Significance of the Sunspots. It is apparent from what has already been observed, that the evolution of the Solar System, according to the new theory, is still far from completion is, in fact, even now going on and will continue to go on. It has been noticed when discussing the facts of geology that the Sun is now continually cooling; and there are grounds for regarding the spots which are observed upon its surface as incipient attempts at solidification of that surface. These sunspot phenomena may now be examined more in detail. Nearly all scientific authorities regard the solar spots as solid, and as cooler than the rest of the surface. According to Zollner, the Sun was a white-hot body, and its spots were scoriaceous products of local cooling. Zollner's theory, as elaborated by M. Schulz, sixteen years later, was, that a cer- tain gas, escaping from tremendous pressure in the lower regions of the photosphere into the upper regions of the solar atmosphere, would dilate and cool sufficiently to con- dense into the liquid and then into the solid state, and thus fall in showers upon the photosphere. When the shower is a light one, a "pore" would be the result; when it is heavy and long-continued, groups of slag islands would form, around which the photospheric clouds would arrange themselves into the characteristic funnel shape of the penumbra, at the bot- tom of which is the obscure, solid nucleus. Prof. Balfour Stewart states: "It has been pointed out by the Kew observers that the bottom of a spot is blacker, because it is colder than the general surface, and they have likewise brought forward evi- dence to show that this diminution of temperature has prob- ably been produced by the down-rush of comparatively cold mjatter from above, a conclusion which has since been con- clusively verified by spectroscopic observation. . . . We 322 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [171 have ... in the faculae the necessary reaction of this, or the up-rush of comparatively hot matter from below." And also Dr. J. Norman Lockyer says: "We have seen, in fact, that one chief point about the sun is that it is cooled on the outside; that masses of gas going up to tremendous altitudes eventually arrive where the atmosphere is cold and quiet, and where they again take on the solid or liquid form, when they begin to go down again." These are representative current views from the highest authorities on the subject; and, while they differ somewhat in detail, yet they essentially agree with each other, and with .the deductions from the theory here advanced. 171. The Equatorial Movement of the Sun&pots. The chief peculiarities of sunspots with respect to motion and locality, which have hitherto remained unexplained, is readily and reasonably accounted for on the basis of the connective system of evolution. It has been observed that the spots near the sunspot minimum, appear generally about latitude 30 north or south of the solar equator. Here they seem to rotate round the Sun in a period of some 26^ days (slightly greater south, and slightly less north of the equator). But, during the succeeding years up to about the next sunspot minimum, the spot-zone gradually approaches towards the equator; where their rotation-period around the Sun's axis is only about 25 days. It may be remarked here, as conceded by nearly all authorities on the subject, that the equatorial regions of the Sun are hotter than the higher latitudes. And another fact which should be borne in mind is that the sun- spots which we ordinarily see are not all the spots which form upon the Sun's surface by the descent of cooled material from above; that, in fact, such spots are continually formed upon the entire solar surface. Upon this point, Prof. Bal- four Stewart may be quoted once more: "What we have on a large scale in the spots and faculae we have on a small scale all over the Sun's disc. When viewed with a powerful telescope the brightness of his disc is found to be far from uniform, the whole surface being made up of bright and dark patches existing side by side. This mottled appearance was first noticed by the elder Her- schel, who considered the pores, as he termed them, to be 171] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 323 small spots a conclusion which has since been abundantly verified by the spectroscope."* Now these spots thus forming over the entire surface of the Sun, being solid bodies formed by the descent of cooled material from the upper regions of the solar atmosphere, are obviously denser than the heated ocean on which they float. And as the Sun has a comparatively great velocity of axial rotation^ we know from analogy that these denser bodies, having freedom of motion, would tend, owing to the centrifu- gal force generated by the rotation, to approach the solar equator just as we have noticed would be the case with the original solar spheroid. But, as, in obedience to this tend- ency, the incipient crust-fragments move equatorwards, they encounter the greater heat in these lower regions, and are therefore gradually dissolved. At all times, ho doubt, there falls by far the greater amount of cooled material in the equatorial regions, and smaller and smaller amounts on equal surfaces as the poles are approached, owing to the decreasing height of the solar atmosphere in these directions. But at the same time, the greater heat of the former prevents the aggregation of this cooled material into spots (except when the precipitation is comparatively great in amount, as at sunspot maximum), just as the paucity of the falling material in the polar regions has the same effect. So that, other things equal, the first appearance of the spots would most probably be at the latitudes between the polar and the equa- torial regions. This would approximately be the case at the time of sunspot minimum when the planetary connexions are about evenly distributed over the Sun's equatorial surface. But towards the sunspot maximum, the connexions become bunched in certain directions upon the Sun's equatorial sur- face; the solar atmosphere, ascending in these aggregated connexions, would become elongated outwards from the equator, and consequently would be of still less elevation over the polar regions. Moreover, the ascending vapors rising higher in the elongated equatorial atmosphere, the showers of cooled matter would descend in still greater profusion upon *Nature, 33, 36. 324 THE CON/TECTIVE THEORY [172 the equatorial regions; and thus, owing both to the dimin- ished precipitation in the higher latitudes and the increased precipitation in the lower, the 'spot-zone moves towards the equator between minimum and maximum of sunspots. After maximum, however, up to minimum again, we might expect a poleward movement of the spot-zone to the place of beginning. But this return is precluded by the premised circumstances. For as the solar connexions are moving out of conjunction, the regions where they are intermingled and where the elevated density of the connective atmosphere is consequently maintained, become smaller and smaller, until they finally disappear at the equator. Thus the wave of spots would continually approach the equator as the con- nexions moved out of angular coincidence; until finally the previous condition of approximate uniformity of the con- nective density was restored, and another wave would begin in the intermediate latitudes as before. 172. The Greater Angular Velocity of Sunspots at the Equator. Regarding the more rapid equatorial rotation of the spots, the reasonable supposition may be made that the different parts of the Sun, including all but the outer portion of its atmosphere, revolve axially at the same angular rate. This is what happens an the case of our own world, so far as we know; the atmosphere, except in the extreme upper re- gions, revolving approximately in the same time as the Earth itself; and it seems proper to reason that what happens in our own world happens also in other worlds in analogous cases. From this approximately equal angular velocity of all parts of the Sun in equal times, it follows that the middle regions of the solar atmosphere (in which probably most of the ascending vapors are cooled) would revolve with a con- siderably greater absolute velocity than the proper surface of the Sun, where the spots are formed. Now, as the heated vapors ascend into these atmospheric regions, they gradually acquire the absolute velocity of these regions; and when they become cooled, and fall again to the solar surface in a denser and more compact form, they would take with them a portion, at least, of the increase of velocity thus acquired; so that the 172] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 325 spots which they form would really have a greater angular and absolute velocity of rotation than the general surface on which they float. Also, it is clear that the equatorial atmospheric regions of the Sun would have a greater absolute velocity of rotation, and that this velocity continually dimin- ishes up to the poles of the Sun, where it is nothing. And besides, as the equatorial atmospheric regions extend out- wards to a far greater distance from the Sun's center than those in higher latitudes, the absolute velocity of the former would have a greater ratio to that of the latter than the absolute velocity of the proper equatorial surface would have to that of the proper solar surface of the higher latitudes. Therefore, the cooler matter which falls upon the equatorial regions would not only have a greater absolute velocity, but also a greater angular velocity than that which falls in higher latitudes; and so the period of rotation of the former would be less than that of the latter, in accordance with actual ob- servation. The equatorial movement of the spots would partly coun- teract this; but this movement is so slow, and the existence of an individual spot, whether large or small, is so short (about ten or twelve days on the average, rarely so high as fifty days) that the effect of this counteraction is relatively insignificant. The same remark also applies to the friction of the solar surface with the spots ; which, if the period of ex- istence of individual spots were much greater, would reduce their angular velocity down to that of the supporting solar surface.* But the friction of a solid body floating upon the solar surface, whether gaseous or liquid, would probably be so small that, during the brief life of a spot, its effect would be to dimmish, rather than to overcome, the extra velocity. It follows, then, from these considerations, that the period of the Sun's rotation would be somewhat greater than those of the spots, by which it has hitherto been determined; and that the greater spot-period the most closely approximates to it. *It is to be borne in mind that a sunspot is being continually con- sumed from below, and continually renewed from above. 326 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [173 Thus, then, does the secular cooling of the Sun proceed; and thus would it, in all probability, continue until, in succeed- ing ages, and after countless catastrophic interruptions, one solid and continuous crust would eventually cover the Sun's entire surface. And this crust would expand outwards at the equator, separate into the ring form and precipitate into a planet with a display of comets and meteorites, just as the first crust did upon the original solar spheroid; this again to be followed by secular cooling of the new and diminished Sun, by sunspots and succeeding crusts and planets, almost infi- nitely repeated through the seeming eternity of the future. 173. Present Crust-Development Upon the Earth. On our world we find the development much more advanced than it is upon the Sun; which is scarcely to be wondered at when we recollect that, since the birth of our planet, two crusts have matured upon, and separated from the bosom of the Sun, while the Earth has given birth to just one. But it is only natural that the parent should be more prolific than the offspring in the earlier period of the latter's existence, even though the former did not possess the more powerful rotation and ring-producing energy. The Earth is not yet greatly behind in the matter of progeny; and probably long before the Sun gives birth to another planet, the Earth will be de- livered of a second satellite. The Earth-crust upon which we have our being has long since become cold and firm at the outer surface. It has long since commenced to bulge outwards at the equator, and this bulging now amounts to thirteen miles from the center all around the Earth. This equatorial expansion, being ab- stracted chiefly from- the polar regions, no doubt leaves these regions with a thinner crust than that of the lower latitudes; which also implies a warmer climate there than would other- wise prevail. We appear to have every reason for believing that this equatorial and expansive movement of the Earth-crust is now taking place, and will continue to do so. It is slow and almost imperceptible; but the evidences of its existence are clear and unmistakable. When we examine the Earth-crust 173] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 327 closely we find that it is in a state of continual tremor; indi- cating, no doubt, the continual strain to which it is sub- jected. Prof. G. H. Darwin has investigated these Earth- tremors, and the results at which he has arrived are best stated in his own words in the Fortnightly Review. "Within the last fifteen years it has been discovered that the earth's surface is being continually shaken by tremors, so minute as to remain unsuspected without the intervention of the most delicate instruments. In every country where the experiments have been tried these tremors have been detected, and not merely at certain periods, but so incessantly, that there is never a second of perfect rest. The earth may fairly be said to tremble like a jelly. The pioneer in this curious discovery was Father Bertelli. His experiments relate only to Italy, but that which has been found true also of England, France, Egypt, Brazil, and a solitary island in the South Pacific Ocean, probably holds good generally, and we may feel sure that earth-tremors or 'microseisms' are not confined to countries habitually visited by the grosser sort of earthquakes." It is probable that as the Earth rotates in the heart of the great connective atmosphere surrounding it, and as the indi- vidual connective rays pass from molecule to molecule of the Earth-crust, this alternate tension and relief would occasion vibrations of the parts something like those observed. In support of this view, it has been observed that earthquakes and Earth-tremors are more frequent during our winter in both hemispheres, at which time the strain of the solar con- nexion upon the Earth is most intense. M. Perrey has also shown that there are more earthquakes when the Moon is nearest the Earth, and more when she is on the meridian than in any other position; all of which is obviously explic- able by the undeniably greater strain of the lunar connexion upon the Earth-crust in these positions. But the strain of the Earth-connexions upon the Earth- crust, would not alone be the cause of the observed tremors. There is also the centrifugal strain caused by the Earth's rotation, which in turn produces a slow and gradual tendency of the crust to move towards the Equator or place of greater motion. In obedience to this strain the crust is continually moving irregularly upwards and downwards and towards the 328 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [174 Equator. Quoting again from Prof. Darwin in the same article : "Rossi has made some interesting experiments with the microphone on microseisms. . . . As long as the micro- phone is still, nothing is heard; but on the occurrence of the slightest tremor a noise is audible . . . The instrument can be made so sensitive, that a fly may be heard to walk near the microphone with a loud tramp. . . . Rossi placed the microphone on the ground, in a cavern sixty feet below the surface, on a rocky part of Rocca di Papa, an extinct volcano not far from Rome, whilst he listened with his tel- ephone at the surface of the earth. He then heard the most extraordinary noises, which, as he says, revealed 'natural telluric phenomena'. The sounds he describes as 'roarings, explosions, occurring isolated or in volleys, and metallic or bell-like sounds'. They all occurred mixed together and rose and fell in intensity at regular intervals. He found it impossible by any artificial disturbance to a microphone to produce the greater number of these noises. The microphone is especially sensitive to vertical movements of the soil, whereas the tronometer fails to reveal them. Nevertheless, there was more or less accordance between the agitations of the two instruments. In order, then, to determine the noises corresponding to various oscillations, he transported his microphone to Palmieri's Vesuvian Observatory, where mild earthquakes are almost incessant; here he discovered that each class of shocks had its characteristic noise. The ver- tical shocks gave the volleys of musketry and the undulatory shocks gave the roarings." 174. Variation of Terrestrial Latitudes. Prof. Darwin continues : "Astronomers are much puzzled by slight changes in the level of their instruments, and they meet this inconvenience by continually reading their levels and correcting their re- sults accordingly. Of course they also take average results. These troublesome changes are probably earth tremors, with so slow a motion to and fro that the term tremor becomes inappropriate. This kind of change has been called a dis- placement of the vertical, since the plummet moves rela- tively to the ground. Thus we found at Cambridge that as the pendulum danced it slowly drifted in one direction or the other. There was a fairly regular daily oscillation, but the pendulum would sometimes reverse its expected course, for a few minutes, or for an hour. During the whole time that we were observing, the mean position of the pendulum for the day slowly shifted in one direction; but even after a voyage of six weeks the total change was still very small. How far this was a local effect, and how far general, we had no means of determining. 174] COSMTCAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 329 "This is a subject which M. d'Abbadie, of the French Insti- tute, has made especially his own. Notwithstanding his systematic observations, carried on during many years in an observatory near the Bay of Biscay, on the French side of the Spanish frontier, hardly anything has been made out as to the laws governing displacements of the vertical. He has, however, been able to show that there is a tendency for de- flection of the vertical towards the sea at high tide, but this deflection is frequently masked by other simultaneous chang- es of unexplained origin." It has long been known also that earthquakes are pre- ceded by tremors leading by a gradual crescendo to the de- structive shocks, these shocks being, by this theory at least, partly due to the sudden adjustment of parts of the crust to accumulated centrifugal stresses. According to this view, then, the displacement of the Earth-crust should, on the whole, be in a direction towards the Equator; and, as a matter of fact, this appears to be borne out by actual observation. "An examination of observations made at a number of Northern observatories during the past seventy-five years Konigsberg, Milan, Naples, Paris, Pulkowa, and Washington appears to confirm the existence of such changes. At Pul- kowa, which furnishes the most careful series of observations, a dimunition of the latitude of 0.23", equivalent to about 23 feet, is indicated between the years 1843 and 1872; but in all these cases the variations are small, and we must be extreme- ly cautious in ascribing them to actual changes of latitude."* It does not seem, however, that 23 feet in the time stated is so very small a movement of the Earth-crust towards the Equator after all; and although we certainly ought to be cautious of accepting it as a fact, it would just as certainly be very imprudent to regard the evidence of our own eyes with undue suspicion, because its acceptance would so pro- foundly modify the existing doctrines. Speaking of this subject, Prof. C. A. Young says: "As regards the earth's form and dimensions, it has be- come quite certain that Bessel's ellipticity (1/300) is too small. Clarke's value of 1/294 is now admitted and em- ployed on the U. S. Coast Survey with a decided improvement of accordance. A slightly larger value even is suggested by the most recent pendulum observations, and 1/292 is now *Sir William C. Winlock, An Account of Progress in Astronomy in the Year 1885, p. 61. 330 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [174 adopted in Europe. . . . At the same time it is becom- ing increasingly evident that very little is now to be gained by endeavoring to find a spheroid fitting the Earth's actual form more closely. It will be best simply to adopt some standard (say that of Clarke, but it makes very little difference what), and to investigate hereafter the local deviations from it. These deviations seem to be larger and more extensive than used to be supposed, the station errors in latitude and longi- tude being at least quantities of the same order as the vari- ations of elevation."* The subject is so important and its evidence in favor of the teaching of the new theory is so direct and so unanimous that the insertion here of a few further quotations regarding it from more recent authorities may be pardoned. "The determinations of the latitude of Greenwich made from the time of Flamsteed (1693) to now nearly two cen- turies indicate a very appreciable diminution. "f "Progressive diminution of latitude at Washington, 1845- 1883, 0".31; Paris, 1825-1891, 2". 05; Milan, 1811-1871, 0".51; Naples, 1820-1871, 1".22; Konigsberg, 1820-1843, 0".15; Green- wich, 1838-1856, 0".51. A similar tendency is shown by the observations of Peters, Gylden, and Nyren at Pulkowa, also by my own observations at Bethlehem, Pa., since 1875."$ "The latitude of Natal Observatory has decreased steadily from 1885 to 1890 at the rate of 0".27 per annum." "He (Sir George Darwin) accepted as worthy of consider- ation Prof. Hecker's explanation of the remarkable absence of symmetry in the path of the vertical. . . . The earth has much greater rigidity east-west than north-south. Lord Kelvin introduced the idea of gyroscopic rigidity, that is, of greater rigidity east-west due to rotation." "Prof. Turner, in his Astronomical Discovery, states that, apparently, earthquakes are more numerous at the time when the vibration is greatest. . . . The severe earthquakes of 1906 occurred soon after the time of maximum activity of the Pole." || As soon as the secular variation of terrestrial latitudes was discovered, various periods were assigned to it, from *Nature, 35, 67. tProf. Geo. C. Comstock, Am. Assoc. Adv. Sci., 1891. JProf. C. L. Doolittle, Am. Assoc. Adv. Sci., 1893. Nature, 51, 327. Nature, 81, 427. ||C. G. Abbot, Smith. Kept. 1906, pp. 167-171 175] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 331 about 10 months up to 12 years. The late Prof. S. C. Chand- ler, who was a pioneer in this investigation assigned a period of 427 days and also one of 12 years. He supposed that its effect was to periodically increase the latitudes of places on one side of the Earth by 30 or 40 feet and simultaneously di- minish those on the other side by the same amount. Some assign a periodical movement of the axis of rotation as its cause, while others deny this agency. Prof. Newcomb as- cribed it to local precipitation of ice and snow and to the effect of winds*, and Lord Kelvin "considers that the rain falling on the land and the soil transported with it to distant places would displace the earth's axis so as to account for the observed variation of latitude."! More recently three prominent Japanese scientists have resolved the variation into three components, one of which, however, still remains unexplained. This is very strong confirmatory evidence of the theory here advanced; especially the continual diminishing of ter- restrial latitudes, the greater susceptibility of the Earth to north and south perturbances, and the concurrence of maxi- mum variation of latitude with severe earthquakes all of which clearly and unmistakably suggest the real cause of the variation. The observations, very apparently, are not direct- ed by any recognized guiding principle or system; but never- theless they could hardly be in more complete harmony with the principles assigned by the connective theory. 175. Ring-Projection of the Earth-Crust. It appears, therefore, both from theoretic deduction and from actual ob- servation, that our world is at the present time continually changing its form and its dimensions; continually, but with extreme slowness, propelling its surface crust towards the Equator, thus diminishing its polar and increasing the equa- torial diameter. Have we any grounds for believing that this change is to have a period and will eventually cease? On the contrary, the new system indicates that the change will continue into the future, and that, instead of ceasing, it will gradually increase in energy. For, owing to the in- *Natnl. Acad. feci., New York, Nov. 18, 1896. fNature, 47, 110. 332 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [176 creased equatorial diameter, the absolute rotational velocity of the equatorial regions will be increased on the basis of the observed equal angular rate of rotation of all terrestrial parts, and this increased absolute velocity of the equatorial regions will in turn increase the centrifugal tendency by which the expansion of the equatorial diameter takes place. By this system of evolution then, we have no alternative but to regard the changes now taking place in the Earth- crust as mere steps in the general cosmical evolution, sub- sequent steps of which will be the projection of the crust into an Earth-ring, and the disruption of this ring into a second terrestrial satellite. 176. The Primary Connexion of the Earth-Crust. It may, perhaps, be profitable to glance at the various steps of this process of change which will take place in the Earth-crust, even though at the expense of some repetition. Premising, as in the case of the original spheroid, that atoms are con- nected with contiguous atoms, and that molecules formed from such atoms will also be connected with similar con- tiguous molecules by bonds stronger and more complex than those of atoms, as the molecules themselves are more com- plex than the atoms, we can comprehend how the particles of the initial fragments of crust (the earthspots, as they may be termed) would firmly cohere, and how the connexions between such crust fragments and the heated vapor under- neath (which hold the two together) would diminish in com- plexity and strength from the fragments down into the va- por. And after the crust became continuous, as it is at present, we can conceive that its particles are still held to- gether by their molecular connexions, as well as to the va- por underneath the crust by the graduated connexions of that vapor. As each particle of the crust originally lay upon the bosom of the vapor, and so had its independent connexion with it, and as the coalescence of particles reasonably in- volves the coalescence of the connexions of these particles with the vapor, it follows that however piled up and aggre- gated the crust particles eventually become, each would still have substantially its own original connexion with the vapor, 177] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 333 although really the individual connexions of a mass of par- ticles may be joined into a complex bond, as the mass itself is a complex body of molecules. So that between the pres- ent Earth-crust and, the internal vapor we may posit the ex- istence of a bond of union which is equal to the aggregated bonds of all the individual particles of the entire crust. As the crust moves equatorially, it would evidently be accom- panied by a similar movement of the bond; and when the crust separates from the Earth in the ring form, the undi- minished bond would still unite the ring with the Earth's equator, and would elongate by additions (probably to its inner end) as the ring expanded outwards. 177. Gravitation Upon the Expanded Earth-Crust. It has been already intimated that the attraction of gravitation varies not only with the law of inverse squares, but also in accordance with the surface conditions. The present crust of the Earth being of a highly developed structure, the molec- ular motions of the Earth's connective atmosphere are cor- respondingly complex; but as the connective atmosphere passes inwards or downwards through the crust and into the heated central vapor, its molecular motions would grad- ually diminish in complexity until, when the vapor is reached, its molecular motions are reduced to their simplest form. Assuming that this complexity of molecular motions of the connective atmosphere, which would invariably accompany crust development, would cause bodies of a similar devel- opment with the crust to approach or fall towards it, and bodies of a dissimilar development to be repelled from it it can be understood that the resistance to the outward ex- pansion of the crust by the attraction of gravitation would thus be very materially diminished. As the crust moves equatorially, and eventually separates from the Earth, the connective atmosphere surrounding it would still maintain the complexity of its molecular motions, until its final dis- ruption, when all the acquired complexity of motion would be lost. But the connective atmosphere remaining upon the Earth would evidently correspond in the simplicity of its 334 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [179 motions to the primordial state of development there pre- vailing. This consideration by itself implies, therefore, that a body of a similar development to that of the ring, if placed be- tween the ring and the Earth, would gravitate to the for- mer, rather than to the latter. But how much this factor of gravitation would be antagonized by the density factor, there does not appear to be sufficient data to determine. It seems probable, however, that the resistance to the outward movement of the ring would arise chiefly from the molecular connexions of the ring itself, and from the tension of the primary connexion with the Earth. And when the ring would eventually fracture at some weak point, the developed at- mosphere which still surrounds it would draw the separated parts to the point of aggregation, perhaps with nearly as great an energy as it now exerts on falling bodies. 178. Inner Fringe of the Earth-Ring. As the crust would continue to expand at the Equator, the crust at the Poles would become more and more attenuated; and eventually, as the expansion proceeds, the polar crust would fracture down even to the original vapor. As this polar fracture con- tinues to widen, the equatorial expansion would become com- paratively more rapid, as one of the hindrances to such expansion, the molecular connexions of the crust itself, is thus to a great degree overcome. In the wake of the borders of the polar fractures as they move towards the Equator, would follow an inceptive crust of a liquid or scoriaceous nature, which would form through the cooling influence of ocean and air upon the exposed sea of vapor; and when the borders of the two polar fractures finally met upon the Equator to form the inner edge of the solid ring, this neo- plastic crust would form, as the ring expanded outwards, an inner fringe, thinner and thinner towards the inner edge, until it finally dissolves into the ring-connexion. 179. The Higher Forms of Life as Affected by These Changes. In this process of the evolution of our world, there does not appear to be any indication of sudden and serious catastrophes, at least until the stage of the ring-disruption 179] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 335 is arrived at. Violent shakings and snappings would char- acterize the equatorial movement of the crust in the future, just as in the present and in the past, and very likely with even more disastrous results; but these quakings and snap- pings would evidently occur in those regions with great thickness and extent of solid rock, and the disastrous ones only where this rock exists near the surface. For in those regions where the solid rock is wanting in the crust, the yielding would evidently be so slow and gradual as to be imperceptible; and where it is deep down beneath softer material, the jar would be about absorbed by the latter be- fore arriving at the surface. After the polar fractures had taken place, there would be geysers and volcanoes and earth-trembling for a time prob- ably on a much grander scale than at present; but this would take place far from the abodes of man; and the most probable ultimate effect of the increased seismic activity at the Poles, would be the amelioration of the frigid climate now prevailing there. But long prior to the separation of the crust in the ring form, gradual changes in the quality of the atmosphere, arising out of these disturbances, would presumably take place; and these changes might fatally af- fect, or at least depauperate, the higher forms of animated existence. And after the separation of the crust, the dis- tribution of air, water, heat, and gravitation upon it would evidently change to such an extent as to make the extinction of the higher forms of life no longer improbable. For the air that we now breathe would certainly not all appertain to the crust in the ring form but probably such a part of it as the mass of the ring is of the mass of the entire globe; and the same remark would also apply to the connective at- mosphere; so that both air and gravitation would be very greatly modified upon the Earth-ring. Moreover the extreme heat to which all but the outer edge of the ring would be subjected from the fiery globe of the Earth, together with the probability that the remnant of the waters not gasified and thus retained upon the Earth, would seek the outer edge of the ring and there form an ocean all these probable cir- 336 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [180 cumstances confirm the belief that the essential conditions of all but the lowest forms of life upon every part of the world would be entirely subverted. What remained of the labors of our hands from the cruel erosion of the winds and the waters would be the sole mementos alas! not mementos, but mere material and unrecognized remains of our race; and these would presumably endure through the dreary and sterile ages of the ring-expansion. 180. Disruption of the Earth-Ring. But the continual ex- pansion of the ring would not forever be compatible with its stability as such. It must sooner or later yield to the ever-increasing centrifugal strain upon it. The final crash must come; and all the development which ages of ages have accumulated would pass into its original vapor. All the arts and sciences which we have been at such infinite pains to perfect; all our vast literature and almost perfected intel- lectual culture; all our grand monuments of architecture and engineering; our inventions, our plans, our hopes, our fears, our loves, our memories all melt away forever! Not the least vestige or trace would remain to tell the story of our being, our wealth, our magnificence, our intelligence! From the vapor out of which we arose, to that vapor shall we re- turn; and in that vapor shall all our achievements be buried and our memories be eternally forgotten! It may indeed chance that a very slight trace of us would survive the awful convulsion. The fragments which by the tremendous energy of the crash are hurled outwards to wan- der through space, may bear some marks of our inscriptions and our handiwork. Prof. Langley, speaking of the same sub- ject from a different standpoint, gives utterance to the same thought in referring to the possibility of "a meteorite bring- ing to us the story of a lost race in some fragment of art or architecture of a lost world." At least the rocks in which are buried the solid remains of the lowest organic forms these may partly escape destruction; and as they wander through space in after ages, they may fall upon some remote inhabited planet and convey to the beholder the intelligence that other worlds than his own, somewhere in the realms of 181] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IX THE FUTURE 337 space, have been peopled with creatures not greatly different from those of his own world. The eminent geologist, Dr. Hahn, has a few years ago completed a series of investigations upon some huge me- teoric stones which fell from the sky in Hungary during the summer of 1866. Thin laminae of these bodies, subjected to examination under a powerful microscope, have been found to contain what was supposed to be coralline and spongeous formations, and to reveal unmistakable traces of the lower forms of vegetation. The writer is aware that these alleged discoveries of Dr. Hahn are almost entirely discredited by men of science. But how far this may be owing to the totally different views on the origin of meteorites which these scien- tists entertain (by the most generally accepted of which such formations and traces would, of course, be impossible), it is not for the writer to say, particularly as he has never examined Dr. Hahn's drawings. The latter's conclusions, however, are in direct accordance with the new system; and not only his, but those of others also who have impartially examined the subject. Such traces as these are all that would remain of us and our surroundings ; and apparently they can remain in no other manner. In all probability, then, the meteorites are our most permanent monuments ; and alas ! even they are but transient. 181. Pre-Lunar and Other Races of Mankind. After all, our fate is but the fate of other races of mankind which have, in all probability, preceded us; and will be the fate of others that will, in all probability, follow us. There appears to be no reason to doubt that our world was inhabited while yet the Moon laid upon its bosom. All the conditions which now supervene, in all likelihood supervened then; the same genial warmth of the Sun interrupted for a time by an ice age, prior to the birth of Venus, as in our own epoch it has been just prior to the birth of Mercury;, the same atmosphere, only somewhat more dense, perhaps; the same moisture, and the same ages on ages of crust-development. And these condi- tions would leave nothing to be desired more than we enjoy, 338 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY to bring forth the successive steps of the ascending organic development up to the highest order of human intelligence; which may, indeed,* have been higher than we have even the capacity to imagine. The time for such development had surely been ample, as, no doubt, it will be with ourselves. But this prelunar race, with all its supposable perfectness, has dissolved away forever; and it may indeed be that an- other, but a different race, will arise from its ashes, which, in its turn, will suffer a similar fate. We can as- sign no valid reason why the Sun, and even the Moon, should not eventually be inhabited. It is true that there is little or no evidence of the existence of air upon the latter at the present time; and in any event the air upon the Moon would be less for equal areas than upon the Earth, because the surface of the former is greater relatively to its mass than the surface of the latter is to its mass. But while this would evidently tend to modify organic beings as we know them, we have no right to suppose that it would render the existence of all organic beings impossible. It is also true that we see upon the lunar surface not the least sign or trace of water, and only a slight trace of its vapor in the lunar at- mosphere. But it is to be remembered that the Moon's crust at the present time may, in accordance with the new system of things, be so little cooled from its original state as to render the existence of water upon it impossible. If this should really be the case, as indeed apparently undeniable changes in the craters of the lunar volcanoes seem to indi- cate,! the lunar gravity being so small, and the lunar air so thin, the most probable form in which the bulk of the wa- ter could be supposed to exist there is in a gaseous state, or state of dissociation into its elements; in which it would not only be invisible to us, but would also very likely have little or no effect in refracting the rays of light which pass through it. The Moon is a planet and the Earth is its sun. It evi- dently does not receive as much heat from the Earth at the present time as the latter does from the Sun; but it may re- * Judging from the present savage exhibition by some of our most civ- ilized nations. fSee Prof. R. A. Proctor, The Moon, pp. 266-72. 182] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 339 ceive more heat today from the Earth than it does from the Sun, owing to the differentiation of the connexions which has already been sufficiently discussed (Arts. 100, 105). The Sun also is a planet with respect to its sun; and its surface con- ditions may eventually be nearly the same, with respect to the existence of life, as now obtains upon the Earth. 182. Continued Evolution and the Limit at Which the Process of Subdivision Would Cease. The same process of evolution in various stages of advancement appears to be gen- eral. The Sun, the Earth, the planets, the Moon, the sat- elites each is continually becoming colder at the surface and developing its crust; and as each has more or less of axial rotation, a centrifugal strain and an equatorial move- ment of the crust inevitably ensues; this eventually culmi- nating in the separation of the crust in the ring form, and in the precipitation of the ring into a new and independent body. And then the new bodies and the old begin the same pro- cess over again. The question now arises Where is this process of evo- lution to end? .for surely it would not be logical to assume that it could continue in one changeless cycle forever. In the first edition of this work, the limit assigned to this pro- cess of subdivision was the atom. But twenty-five years have not gone by without resulting additions to our knowledge, and today it is known that the atom itself is a vast and complex system containing thousands of components, each more com- plex than the atom, according to our former conception of it. It is necessary, therefore, to assume that the process of plan- etary subdivision which we now see going on about us, must be gradually carried down, step by step, not only to the atom, but even to the smallest ultimate component of the atom; for, according to the new theory, it is only by this very pro- cess of subdivision that the smallest ultimate component of the atom has been, or can be, obtained. This is undoubtedly a very large conception to be at once comprehended. Besides the mind is naturally much hamp- ered by the necessary grossness of the ideas which hitherto have nearest approached this conception. We have become 340 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [182 so accustomed to the present order and condition of things that we unconsciously regard them as permanent. We do, indeed, conceive the planets and the Sun to have a beginning, but of their end, if we have any conception at all, it is a very flimsy and visionary one. Radiant phenomena, recently discovered, have forced an expansion of our previous ideas of the ultimate element of matter, the atom; have indeed opened up the latter before our mental eyes as an extremely complex microcosm, seething with orbital motions having velocities ranging around that of light. There is, however, a hesitation to foresake beloved old ideas and accept radi- cally different ones instead. We are unconsciously very an- thropomorphic; we judge phenomena both great and small, actual and potential, as regards their nature and even tneir existence, largely by our own sensations; and we naturally grope with reluctance in the slackness of Nature where our senses no longer guide and direct us. This is not at all to be wandered at ^ben we hava no conception whatever of the origin or causation of the new phenomena which we dimly endeavor to perceive. And now when we are about to be carried much farc.-ier into the depths of the unknown, where the structural complexity is beyond anything of which wo httve hitherto dreamt and where the speed of orbital motion may be millions of times greater even than that of Jight-- how cnn frail human mentality help an almost irresistible aversion to such a plunge? Yet such a step the connective theory now compels us to take. But we are not to take it wholly in darkness. Our patn will be lightened by a glimpse of the continuous and regular process of Nature leading into these domains the one grand chain of causation of which a few great philosophers have dreamt as connecting all phe- nomena, and showing the consecutive derivation of every phe- nomenon at any time from preceding phenomena in the past, in the present, and in the future. There appears no alternative. The process of evolution we now see going on around us must continue to go on until all matter is reduced to its proximately ultimate divisions. And this applying to the universe as well as to any particular 184] COSMICAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 341 system, we thus finally arrive at the same state of things With which we started a universal spheroid of approxi- mately homogenous vapor; which in turn develops a surface crust, and repeats over again the same grand evolutionary round of division and segregation. 183. Glimpse of the Successive Stages of Cosmical Evo- lution. It seems utterly beyond the power of the human in- tellect to follow the various and apparently innumerable stages of this Grand Round of physical evolution from the present down to the atomic stage. And yet, in order to ob- tain a true understanding of the phenomena of our environ- ment, some glimpse of these various stages appears to be absolutely necessary. For, if the new system be the true one, these phenomena are results which have been deter- mined by similar cosmic rounds of evolution in the ages of ages of the past. Heat, light, gravitation, magnetism, and life, being now acknowledged on all hands as various forms of atomic or molecular motion, it behooves us to trace if pos- sible the successive stages of evolution which lead down to atomic and molecular phenomena in order that we may right- ly comprehend the mechanism by, or in, which they exist. Imperfect as we can only hope to perform a labor of such magnitude, yet some general deductions may be arrived at which will be, perhaps, near approximations to the truth, and therefore valuable for our guidance. 184. Expansion of Evolving Systems. As already inti- mated, the orbit of Neptune probably extends outwards con- siderably beyond the primordial limits of the solar spheroid; and similarly, perhaps, with the Moon's orbit with respect to the primordial limits of the Earth, and with the orbits of sub-satellites, sub-sub-satellites, etc., with respect to the original limits of their respective primaries. But evidently the amount of recession of the bodies immediately arising from the parent of a system would considerably depend upon the original velocity of rotation of that parent (Art. 80, c, d) ; that system in which the rotational velocity of the parent was the greatest obviously having the greatest amount of recession. In the Solar System the original rotatory veloc- 342 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [185 ity of the solar spheroid has been such as to cause a certain amount of recession; but in other systems of a similar order this velocity may have been comparatively small, so that little recession would take place* and in still others it may have been comparatively great, so that a much greater amount of recession would take place therein than in the Solar System. In the Solar System the recession appears to be so great that the similar recession of the bodies in the planetary systems of which it is composed, is not likely ever to inter- fere with the proper motions of these systems. For ex- ample, the utmost reasonable expansion of the Earth-system, or of the various sub-systems which would eventually com- pose it, can hardly be supposed to exceed 13,000,000 miles from the Earth's center, or about half of the least distance that ever separates us from the nearest planet, Venus. And what is true of the Solar System in this respect would evi- dently be true of sister systems in which the original rota- tional velocity was as great or greater. 185. Eventual Interference of Evolving Systems and the Results. But in a system in which the original velocity was comparatively very small, and in which the recession of the bodies arising from its original spheroid was small in con- sequence, this, it appears, would not be the case. For in such a system the component systems would be situated close to- gether, and as these component systems were eventually sub- divided into lower and lower orders of systems, which might ultimately expand outwards, just as in the Solar System,* the obvious consequence would seem to be an eventual clashing of the motions of the component planetary, or sub- systems. In this clashing of the bodies of neighboring sys- tems, several things are to be considered: (1) it would likely take place at first between the two outer sub-systems, be- cause these are the older and their evolution consequently more advanced; (2) the bodies would collide from opposite *The planetary, or lunar, rotations in the system of a slowly rotating primary may be just as rapid as the similar rotations in the system of a rapidly rotating primary, as these rotations appear to have no connection or dependence whatever upon the rotations of their respective original spheroids. 186] CObMTCAL EVOLUTION IN THE FUTURE 343 directions with respect to their motions in all orders of sys- tems lower than the planetary, because the planetary sys- tems, of which they are the peripheral components, revolve in the same general direction, and thus about all sensible motion of the colliding bodies would cease, except their prop- er planetary motion; (3) the colliding bodies would be re- duced to their original vapor, as the violence of their colli- sion would probably be even greater than that of the aggre- gating matter in the disruption of a planetary ring; and (4) the gaseous matter thus resulting would gravitate inwards to the centers of their respective planetary systems, owing to the destruction of about all their motion around these and probably other subordinate centers; and as the products of the collisions were falling into the center of each planetary system, each of the other bodies which revolves around this center would impinge upon and impart to them a portion of its own motion, so that, as the center was more and more approached, the rotation thus imparted to the vapor would be more and more accelerated. And endless varieties of these phenomena, depending upon the systemic order and the endless variations of the masses and motions of the colliding bodies, would obviously take place. 186. Effects of the Irregular Motions of Comets and Me- teorites. But these varieties are but a moiety of the cosmic phenomena of this nature. The comets and meteoritic streams, which no doubt appertain to every other system as to our own, and which, quite possibly, form the greater por- tion of it, would continually fall at all inclinations upon the plane of rotation of the system and so expand it into a globu- lar form. Even in our own Solar System, and in every system which had an equal or greater amount of primordial rotation,, the agency of comets and meteorites would ultimately produce the same effect. For as the various subdivisions of the sys- tem continually subdivided and expanded, the probability of collision with the cometary and meteoritic bodies would be- come greater and greater, and every collision, by expanding the colliding bodies to still greater dimensions, would still 344 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [186 further enhance the probability of such collisions in the fu- ture. So that, whatever system we may start with, great or small, or swiftly or slowly rotating, we ultimately arrive at the same result at about the same state of matter as that with which we began a rotating spheroid of vapor. CHAPTER XV THE NEBULAE Lift up your eyes on high and behold who hath created these things. ISAIAH. The real presumption I may almost say the real blas- phemy in this matter is in the attempt to limit the inquiry into the causes of the phenomena, which is the source of all human blessings, and from which have sprung all prosperity and progress; for, after all, we can accomplish comparatively little; the limited range of our own faculties bound us on every side the field of our powers of observation is small enough, and he who endeavors to narrow the sphere of our inquiries is only pursuing a course that is likely to produce the greatest harm to his fellowmen. All human inquiry must stop somewhere; all our knowledge and all our investigation cannot take us beyond the limit set by the finite and re- stricted character of our faculties, or destroy the endless unknown, which accompanies, like its shadow, the endless procession of phenomena. So far as I can venture to offer an opinion on such a matter, the purpose of our being in existence, the highest object that human beings can set be- fore themselves is not the pursuit of any such chimera as the annihilation of the unknown; but it is simply the un- wearied endeavor to remove its boundary a little farther from our little sphere of action. PROF. HUXLEY. With us, heretical opinions do not perceptibly gain or even lose ground in each decade or generation. They never blaze out far and wide, but continue to smoulder in the narrow circle of thinking and studious persons, among whom they originate, without lighting up th.e general affairs of mankind with either a true or deceptive light. ... A convenient plan for having peace in the intellectual world, and keeping all things going on therein very much as they do already. But the price paid for this intellectual pacification is the sac- 187] THE NEBULAE 345 rifice of the entire moral courage of the human mind. A state of things in which a large portion of the most active and inquiring intellects find it advisable to keep the genuine principles and grounds of the convictions within their own breasts, and attempt, in what they address to the public, to fit as much as they can of their own conclusions to premises which they have virtually renounced, cannot send forth the open, fearless characters, and logical consistent intellects who once adorned the thinking world. JOHN STEWART MILL. 187. The Regular Nebulae. Glancing at the Sidereal Sys- tem, we can not fail to observe thousands of instances con- firmatory of this conclusion to which the new theory has deductively led us. Here we find systems in all stages of subdivision and development, just as the theory has led us to expect. There are regular and irregular, resolvable and ir- resolvable, nebulae, in almost endless variety; and the Milky Way, which the theory indicates to lie in the equatorial plane of rotation of the Sidereal System, appears to be an intimate mixture of all these, together with innumerable stars of all orders of magnitude. We may briefly examine these various phenomena to see what interpretation of them the new theory furnishes. Regarding the Sidereal System as originally consisting of a rotating gaseous spheroid in all respects, except that of magnitude, similar to the solar spheroid, from which all of its present members have descended as the result of the continued process of evolution in the past we shall reason- ably expect to find among these members some in which, owing to their primogeniture, the process has been carried to a much greater degree of subdivision than in our Solar System; and this, to the number of many thousands, is just what we observe. Basing our judgment on all available evidence, the ir- resolvable nebulae are instances where this cosmical commi- nution has been carried nearly to its ultimate stage. These nebulae are either globular (called planetary nebulae), or oval. Planetary nebulae are regarded as very extraordinary objects, presenting round or slightly oval discs, in some cases terminating sharply, in others bordered with softened 346 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [187 haze. Their light varies from perfect equability to a mottled or curdled appearance, and from a faint white to a deep blue. These colors imply a physical condition nearly similar to that indicated by the spectroscope to prevail upon the white stars, a few of which approach to a faint blue. The spectra of the planetary nebulae are of the discontinuous kind, and consist of a few bright lines, and their light is shown by Huggins and Lieut. J. Herschel to be monochromatic, or nearly so; which are the accepted indications of an incan- descent gas. The oval nebulae are of all degrees of eccentricity from moderately oval forms to ellipses so elongated as to appear almost linear; the latter, no doubt, edge-views of still-flat- tened systems. These nebulae evidently correspond to those systems in which the centrifugal tendency of the original rotation, and therefore the amount of expansion or recession, was great; while the globular or planetary nebulae corre- spond to those in which the centrifugal tendency and con- sequent recession was small. The elliptic nebulae are rarely resolvable. In all of them the density increases towards the center, and generally, so far as can be judged by their telescopic appearance, their internal strata approach more nearly to the spherical form than their external strata. Such of these as admit of resolution give a continuous spectrum, showing light of various degrees of refrangibility, and indi- cating incandescent solids or liquids; while those that are irresolvable give the bright line spectrum characteristic of the planetary nebulae. Evidently by the new system of evolution the irresolv- able nebulae are the oldest, in which the process of subdi- vision has been carried nearly to its ultimate limit; while the more and more resolvable nebulae are those in which the process of subdivision has been less and less advanced; the least resolvable of which therefore consists of innumerable starlets or planetoids which are individually so small as to be barely discernible in telescopes of the highest power. Of this latter kind is the elliptic nebula in the girdle of Androm- eda which in a reflecting telescope of 18 inches aperture 188] THE NEBULAE 347 is quite irresolvable; but which with the exquisite defining power of the great achromatic at Cambridge, U. S., though not itself clearly resolved, was found to be thickly sown over with visible minute stars so numerous as to allow of 200 be- ing counted in a field of one-third of a degree in diameter. By the current cosmogony, the irresolvable nebulae are the youngest portions of the Sidereal System portions in which the primordial "world-stuff" is just aggregating by gravitation into the parent spheroid of some future solar system; and the resolvable nebulae are somewhat older members in which the process of aggregation is more ad- vanced the elliptic form and innumerable minute bodies of which they are composed thus of course remaining unac- counted for. 188. The Irregular Nebulae. Besides these nebulae of regular form there are other nebulae of forms that seem to us very irregular. These are noted for their very great extent, and they have also this one important characteristic in common a location in, or very near, the borders of the great Milky Way. Now since the Milky Way is supposed to be in the equatorial plane of the Sidereal System, we might expect to meet with innumerable nebulae together with stars of all orders of magnitude, just as in the equa- torial plane of the Solar System we meet with the great bulk of the regular bodies which it contains. And this is just what we find. The stars are indeed numerous here, and the vast majority are both comparatively small and distant; indicating that the process of subdivision has been carried on at the periphery of the Sidereal System to a greater de- gree than at the central regions, just as, according to our theory of sidereal segregation, it should be. And in still further confirmation of this view we observe that beyond all of these stars are situated the irregular nebulae. Sir John Herschel, after observing one of these nebulae through his telescope, says: "The conclusion can hardly be avodied that in looking at it we see through and beyond the Milky Way, far out into space, through a starless region." Beyond, or rather in the outskirts of, the Milky Way, the nebula un- 348 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [188 doubtedly lies; but its relative farness and its starless en- vironment, while they are suggested naturally enough by the utter darkness of the regions beyond, are in all probability imaginary. Moreover these irregular nebulae are found chiefly in groups, which also accords with the theory; for it is those systems first originating in the Sidereal System in which the nebulae would chiefly appear; and these would occupy separate spots in the equatorial plane of the solar rotation. The remaining feature of irregularity of form may be assignable to two apparently sufficient causes; first, the vast number of these superposed upon one another in the line of sight, and second, their immense distance from us which prevents our seeing them in all their completeness. With regard to the first cause, Sir John Herschel, speaking of the Magellanic Clouds, or the nubeculae major and minor, visible to the naked eye in the Southern Hemisphere, and which are probably nothing more than irregular nebulae in a less distant region from us, says: "When examined through powerful telescopes, the consti- tution of the nubeculae, and especially of the nubecula major, is found to be of astonishing complexity. The general ground of both consists of large tracts and patches of nebulosity in every stage of resolution, from light irresolvable with 18 inches of reflecting aperture, up to perfectly separated stars like the Milky Way. . . . But besides those, there are also nebulae in abundance, both regular and irregular; globu- lar clusters in every state of condensation; and objects of a nebulous character quite peculiar, and which have no analogue in any region of the heavens. Such is the concentration of these objects that in the area occupied by the nubecula ma- jor not fewer than 278 nebulae and clusters have been enu- merated, besides 50 to 60 outliers." It is this grouping together in the immensity of space to which the irregular forms of all such nebulae may be chiefly ascribed. For, however regular may be each individual neb- ula, yet these to the number of many hundreds and possibly thousands, may be so arranged naturally as to present a fan- tastic or capricious appearance just as the configuration of the planets of the Solar System may never have a regular form, as a whole, although each planet is itself of regular 189] THE NEBULAE 349 form and has a regular motion around a common central body. Another circumstance also which would tend to render nebulae amorphous, and especially such as are of a resolvable nature (as the irregular nebulae almost invariably are in whole or in part), is that many of their component bodies or planetoids must, at their extreme distance, be invisible to us. Annular nebulae, e. g., are probably systems in which the peripheral sub-systems, owing to their expansion, as al- ready noticed, have collided together, the resulting vaporous mass becoming self-luminous, and having so little cohesion as to be distributed over the entire path of these sub-sys- tems; while the inner sub-systems composed of planetoids which are not self-luminous, remain invisible. The spiral nebulae are readily derivable from the annular, when sufficient time is allowed for many collisions of the component sub-systems and for the slow gravitation inwards of the resulting vaporous annuli in the manner already de- scribed. Nebulous stars would result from a still longer continuation of this process, when the vapors would nearly all have aggregated at the center. And besides these it may be added that the irregular action of cometary bodies would obviously constitute a third cause of the anomalous forms which nebulae so frequently present. 189. Observed Changes in Nebular Forms. In further confirmation of these views, various changes of appearance have been suspected in the irregular nebulae which seem to be clearly attributable to such relative motions of the com- ponent parts as the theory here predicates. Owing to their great distance from us, the theoretical slowness of their an- gular motions, and the invisibility of all but their incandes- cent and larger components, only small and almost imper- ceptible changes in their appearance are to be looked for; and these, even in comparatively short periods, we have good reasons for regarding as actually taking place. The Magel- lanic Clouds, according to Sir John Herschel, have under- gone important changes during a lifetime.* The great neb- ula in Orion is now generally admitted to be in process of *PM1. Trans., 1811. 350 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [189 change. The great nebula surrounding the variable star, Eta Argus, is also subject to great changes. And probable move- ments are shown by Prof. Holden to take place in the Omega nebula.* Prof. Holden says: "These drawings show that the western end of this nebula has moved relatively to its contained stars from 1832 to 1862, and again from 1862 to 1875 and always in the same direction." And several other instances of this kind could be mentioned. Besides these changes of nebular form, movements of neb- ulae as wholes take place. "Several objects observed as nebulae are now missing from the heavens." "There are cases in which a nebula, undoubtedly such, have either dis- appeared and reappeared in the same place, or has under- gone some remarkable changes of brightness; or, lastly, has been observed as a conspicuous object in a part of the heav- ens so well known as to make it exceedingly improbable that it should have escaped all previous observation. "f These, as well as nearly similar phenomena among the stars, are very probably owing, at least in part, to the proper mo- tions of our own system and of the systems containing these bodies. Aside from the rotation of the Sidereal System as a whole (in which, however, every member probably has a different angular and absolute velocity) nearly every body which that system contains has an indefinite number of minor rotations as members of the various sub-systems of which the Sidereal System is composed; and by virtue of one or several of these rotations, some of which are of very great amplitude, the bodies and ourselves are continually either approaching towards, or receding from, each other. The approximations obviously causing the new appearance, or the greater bright- ness, of the bodies, and the recessions causing their disap- pearance, or diminished brightness. These phenomena are commonly ascribed in the current theory to practically the same causes. *Am. Jour. Sci. and Art, III, XI, 341-61 tSir John Herschel, Outlines of Astronomy, Mote (K). CHAPTER XVI TEMPORARY AND VARIABLE STARS Time whose tooth gnaws everything else is powerless against truth. HUXLEY. The strange star, Eta Argus, . . . ranges all the way from zero magnitude (in 1843) . . . down to the 7th magnitude, which is its present brightness and has been ever since 1865. Between 1877 (when it was observed . as of the 4th mag.) and 1800, it oscillated in brightness, so far as we can judge from the few observations extant, be- tween the 4th and 2nd mags. About 1810, it rose rapidly in brightness, and between 1826 and 1850 it was never below the standard first mag. When brightest in 1843 it was giving more than 25,000 times as much light as in 1865. A singular fact is that the star is in the midst of a nebula which ap- parently sympathizes with it to some extent in its fluctua- tions. YOUNG'S ASTRONOMY. A possible explanation of most of the new and variable stars is to be found in the meteoritic theory; the innumerable components of one group of meteorites colliding with those of another group would be component to give out light sufficient to make the whole appear as a star. J. N. LOCKYER. 190. Temporary Stars. But other phenomena are cur- rently attributed to other causes than those that are here indicated; among which are temporary stars and variable stars of regular periods. Temporary stars are those which have appeared from time to time in different parts of the heavens, blazing forth with extraordinary luster; and after remaining awhile apparently immovable, have died away and left no trace. According to Humboldt, twenty-one such stars were recorded during the interval 134 B. C. to 1848 A. D. Such stars are recorded to have appeared, one, 125 B. C., visible in the daytime; another, 389 A. D., remaining for three weeks as bright as Venus and eventually disappearing entire- ly; others 945, 1264, and 1572; the last in Cassiopoeia, studied by the celebrated Danish astronomer, Tycho Brahe, surpassing both Sirius and Jupiter, when brightest, and being 352 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY ]19Q visible at midday. It began to dimmish in December of the same year, and in March, 1574, had entirely disappeared. Also in October, 1604, a star of this kind and not less brilliant, burst forth in the constellation of Serpentarius which con- tinued visible till October, 1605. In May, 1866, one appeared in the Northern Crown exceeding the second magnitude in brightness. This star was spectroscopically investigated, and, according to Huggins, "the spectrum indicated two dis- tinct sources of light, each producing a separate spectrum. One was a continuous spectrum crossed by dark lines similar to that yielded by the Sun and most of the stars. The other consisted of four brilliantly bright lines. The first spectrum showed a photosphere of cooler vapors giving rise by absorp- tion to the dark lines. The other spectrum showed the pres- ence of an intensely luminous gas which was apparently hydrogen at a higher temperature than existed in the photo- sphere of the star.* Now these phenomena correspond precisely with those of a ring-disruption upon some sun in a distant region of the Sidereal System. Prior to the disruption, the ring itself and its parent body would be invisible to us owing to the distance, comparative smalmess, remoteness of relationship, or possib- ly all three; but after the disruption, much of the ring-sub- stance would be reduced to its original vapor, which aggre- gating into one mass of intense heat and luninosity, would very reasonably become visible to us. This is clearly indi- cated by the two spectra above described; the gaseous spec- trum of bright lines obviously belonging to the newly vapor- ized ring-substance, and the spectrum of dark lines belonging to the original sun upon which the ring was generated, and partly, perhaps, to comets and meteorites originating in the ring-collapse. These latter bodies, as already intimated, may contain by far the greater portion of the ring substance, and so may give rise to a separate spectrum of their own, to which that of the sun might also contribute. To the abstraction of these bodies from the general aggregated mass and their wandering apart into distant regions (together with the com- parative smallness of the bodies) would also be reasonably * Alexander Winchell, World-Life, p. 514. 190] TEMPORARY AND VARIABLE STARS 353 attributable the gradual waning away of the new star. The cometary velocities, while really great, would yet owing to their distance, require months, and perhaps even years, to separate so widely as to dissipate into invisibility; while, when the individual bodies were apparently close together, though really separated perhaps by planetary distances, the whole would be visible in one glare as if produced by a single body at a distance not so great. It was formerly thought that these stars entirely disappeared; but, as a further con- firmation of the new views, "it is now maintained that none of the temporary stars are new originations, and that none of them have disappeared from existence, if even from visibility. That occurring in the Northern Crown is still telescopically visible; and it is maintained that the new stars of Tycho and Kepler may still be seen;"* exactly as the new theory predi- cates. The explanations usually given of these "temporary stars" are, (1) Collision of planets precipitated inwards with their suns. This, if possible, would certainly account for the sud- den blazing forth of the planetary and solar substance into vapor. But a very apparent and fatal objection to it is the brief duration of the phenomenon; as, in the absence of com- etary and meteoric abstractions, a pair of united worlds thus made incandescent would obviously require a much greater time for the dissipation of their heat. (2) Eruptive action on an encrusting globe, just as volcanic eruptions take place upon our own world. But this is clearly inadequate. In the first place, either as lava or as gas, it could hardly be sup- posed to take place over the entire surface of a world at once; and in the second place, the two spectra observed are thus entirely unexplained, as only one solid body surrounded by a luminous gas is implied; which accounts for only one of the observed spectra. (3) Collision of a darkened star with a cometary body. But this is open to the same objection as explanation (1), and both explanations (1) and (3) are open to the second objection to explanation (2) as accounting for one half of the observed phenomena. (4) Collision of two *Alexander Winchell, World-Life, p. 515. 354 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [192 meteoritic streams; which, however, hardly accounts for the continuous, dark-line spectrum. 191. Double, Triple, and Multiple Stars. Moreover we have in other regions further evidence supporting the views here advanced. The double, triple, and multiple stars are simply incandescent members of minor systems, the remain- ing members of which are invisible. Double stars are fre- quently observed, numbering between 4,000 and 5,000, while triple and multiple stars are rare, numbering only about 53 in all. The former would evidently be composed of a cen- tral sun and a new planet of recent origin revolving around it, several of them having been traced through complete revolu- tions, and some of their periods or years varying from 36 to 1,200 pf ours. The triple and the multiple stars similarly imply the nearly contemporary origin of bodies corresponding to both planets and satellites in the same system, which seems to be fully corroborated by the extreme minuteness of all but one or two sun and planet of the component bodies. 192. Variable Stars of Short Period. We are thus natur- ally brought round to the phenomena of the periodical stars, which in all probability will be found to have their true ex- planation based upon the same facts. These stars alter- nately increase and diminish in brilliancy, the changes hav- ing fixed periods varying from two days to about a year. The star Algol, or Beta Persei, e. g., is usually visible as a star of the second magnitude and continues so for 2 days 13 % hours, when it suddenly begins to diminish in splendour, and in about 3^ hours is reduced to the fourth magnitude at which it continues about 15 minutes. It then begins to in- crease and in 3% hours more is restored to its usual bright- ness, going through all its changes in 2 days 20 hours, 54.7 seconds. Goodricke, the discoverer of these changes, took the view that they were caused by the revolution round some star of some opaque body which, when interposed between us and the star, cut off a large portion of its light. This ex- planation does not appear to incur any serious objection, and is quite in harmony with the new theory. If it be the true one, however, the velocity of the opaque body around Algol 192] TEMPORARY AND VARIABLE STARS 355 must be very great, or the real dimensions of Algol and of its opaque planet comparatively small. Another explanation suggested by the new theory seems to account for it equally well, or perhaps better. This explanation is that, instead of an opaque body revolving round a self-luminous star, the two bodies are self-luminous, the smaller revolving round the larger in an orbit the plane of which is coincident with the line of sight. Two minima and two maxima would thus occur in each revolution, the former occurring at each con- junction of the revolving body with the Earth, and the latter at each quadrature. The distance between the bodies in the latter case, though really great, perhaps, would appear so minute, owing to the distance of the observer, that the two bodies at their greatest angular distance apart would be in- distinguishable one from the other. So that the effect of their separation from one another in the line of sight would be in effect to increase the magnitude of an apparently single body. The short minimum of 15 minutes, the long maximum of some 61 hours, and the comparatively short periods of waning arid brightening, each 3^ hours, appear to be thus fully accounted for, all in a semi-revolution; the waning and brightening periods being so short because the motion of the revolving body to and from minimum is at right angles to the line of sight, and therefore apparently rapid, and the maxi- mum period so long because the motion of the body at that time is nearly parallel to the line of sight, and because the amount of apparent separation or approximation of the bodies with respect to that line is imperceptibly small, except in comparatively short times at the beginning and closing of each semi-revolution. The same explanation also applies to Delta in the constel- lation Cepheus, its period being 5 days, 8 hours and 47 2/3 minutes, of which the interval between minimum and maxi- mum is only 1 day and 14 hours. The periodical star Beta Lyrae, appears to admit of no other explanation but this, as it has two minima and two maxima, owing evidently to a con- siderable inclination of the orbit-plane of the revolving body to the line of sight, so that the latter approaches near, but 356 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [193 not to, the disc of the central star. Its period was formerly stated at between 6 and 7 days, as its light certainly under- went a remarkable diminution" and recovery in that time. But the more accurate observations of M. Argelander have led him to conclude the time-period to be 12 days, 21 hours, 53 minutes, 10 seconds, in which a double maximum and min- imum takes place.* 193. Secular Variation of Periodic Stars. In addition to this subdivision of the whole interval of change (correspond- ing to an entire revolution) into two semi-periods (corres- ponding to semi-revolutions), we are presented, not only in the case of this star, but in the case of about every period- ical star, with another instance of slow alteration of period, which has all the appearance of being itself periodical. This alteration is the gradual lengthening of the period, slow at first, then much more rapid, then slow again, followed by a dimunition of the period in all probability through the same gradations. In the case of the last mentioned star, the per- iod of variation was increasing from 1784, the epoch of its discovery, to the year 1840, after which it began to diminish. In the case of Algol, a comparison of the earlier with the more recent observations indicates a dimunition of the per- iodic time, not uniformly progressive, but "actually proceed- ing with accelerated rapidity, which, however, will probably not continue, but, like other cyclical combinations in astron- omy will by degrees relax and then be changed into an in- crease according to the laws of periodicity which, as well as their causes, remain to be discovered." It seems strange that the simple explanation of this slow alteration suggested even by the analogous phenomena of the Solar System, has not previously occurred to investiga- tors of this subject. All astronomers are aware that no body in the whole visible heavens is at rest. Observation has demonstrated the occurrence of movements even of the fixed stars in directions at right angles to the line of sight, and the spectroscope reveals to us even the actual rate of their motions in that line; which appears to be quite comparable *Astron. Nach., Nos. 417, 455, 472. 194] TEMPORARY AND VARIABLE STARS 357 with that of the Earth around the Sun. Now granting that the variable stars are approaching towards, or receding from, us, in virtue of the proper motions of these bodies, or of the Solar System, or both together the light which travels be- tween us and them at the rate of about 190,000 miles per sec- ond would come to us more slowly when they are receding than when they are approaching. For every 190,000 miles they recede from us, the duration of their phenomena would apparently, though not really, lengthen one second, and for every 190,000 miles they approach, the same would be simi- larly diminished. We know this to be the fact in the case of the transit-periods of Jupiter's satellites, which are found to lengthen slowly and gradually when the Earth recedes from, and to dimmish slowly when it approaches towards, that planet; the total variation of all the transit periods oc- curring between opposite points of the Earth's orbit, or in the course of about six mouths' time, being about 17 minutes. And there appears no reason whatever to think that the slow alterations of changes of the periodic stars (in the case of which, however, the velocity of the motion causing the varia- tion is not so great as that of the Earth's motion around the Sun) are not attributable to the same cause. 194. Variable Stars of Long Period. There are some per- iodic stars the phenomena of which, however, can not be due to the revolution of one incandescent body around another; these in every instance being comparatively long periods. The most remarkable of these is the star Omicron in the con- stellation Cetus, or Mira Ceti, its period being 331 days, 8 hours, 4 minutes, 16 seconds. At its greatest brightness it is sometimes equal to a star of the second magnitude. After about a fortnight, it begins to decrease in luster, and at the end of five months becomes invisible to the naked eye, in which state it remains about five months more, finally bright- ening up as before in the remainder of the period. It does not always return to the same degree of brightness, however, nor increase and diminish by the same gradations. Of these phenomena there appears to be little or no explanation, other than that they are, as the name Mira implies, strange and 358 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [194 wonderful. In the light of the new theory, they are clearly referable to a system nearly in its ultimate stage of evolu- tion. The collisions which we have already noticed as tak- ing place between the expanding sub-systems into which any particular system would be divided, would, in their initial stage, very probably not occur at one time only, but at many successive times; and at each collision a portion of the col- liding systems would be vaporized. The resulting incan- descent vapor, while it was collected at one spot, would be brightly visible to us; but as it was dissipated between the paths of the colliding bodies (in which it would ultimately appear, after many reinforcements, as an annular nebula), it would become less and less apparent and would finally dif- fuse and dwindle into invisibility. This theory appears to explain fully the facts of the case; and no other theory ap- pears to be tenable. A falling planet, or colliding comet, is manifestly precluded by the regularity of the occurrence; and Zollner's theory of rotation of a body having sides of different degrees of luminosity, while it provides for the regularity of the occurrence, is in turn precluded by the brief duration of brightness as compared with the long period of invisibility, as well as by the suddenness with which max- imum brilliance is attained, while the waning of that bril- liancy requires nearly half of the entire period. Goodricke's theory of occultation by an opaque body revolving about an incandesc'ent star is, for the same reason, entirely inadmis- sible. The most reasonable and by far the best supported by spectroscopic and other evidence, is the explanation (very similar to the one here suggested) offered of these phenomena by J. Norman Lockyer in a series of papers in volumes 39 and 40 of Nature. In these papers he accounts for the phe- nomena of periodic stars by collisions with meteoric swarms. The regularity would thus be owing to the passage of the body presenting the changes through a swarm of meteorites, whose orbit intersects its own, the collisions with the meteor- ites at the point of intersection causing the evoluion of in- candescent vapors to which the brightness is due. This 194] TEMPORARY AND VARIABLE STARS 359 explanation, with little exceptions, is about the same as the new theory suggests. The periodicity -by the latter would be determined by the synodic period of an expanding usb- system of planetoids with a neighboring expanding sub-sys- tem around a common center of revolution; the collisions occurring when the inner sub-system would overtake the outer. The explanation of meteoritic swarms appears, how- ever, to be open to one or two slight objections from which the latter is free. In the first place, the number of meteor- ites encountered during every passage of the body through their orbit would not reasonably be the same, and, as in the case of our own world passing . through the orbits of the August and November swarms, it is even probable that at times, scarcely any meteorites whatever would be encoun- tered. Thus the maximum brightness of the body would vary from the minimum up to the highest magnitudes, and the intensities of any two maxima would be hardly ever alike. And in the second place, it can hardly be regarded as prob- able that the orbital paths of the swarm and of the body would continue to intersect one another for such long periods of time; for as the two would probably belong to different systems of some order or other, they would obviously part company owing to the divergence of the wider motions of the different systems to which they would belong. CHAPTER XVII ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE AND VELOCITY All the various kinds of matter, all the various so-called chemical elements, may be built up in some way of the same fundamental substance (protyle). . . . "It is ever the desire of the human mind to see all the phenomena of nature bound by one connecting chain, and the forging of this chain can be realized only gradually and after great labor in the laboratories of science." THOMAS PRESTON. Not only the great thought of the original unity of the Cosmos and the development of all phenomena out of the all- pervading primitive matter found expression in Anaximander, but he even enunciated the bold idea of countless worlds in a periodic alternation of birth and death. Many other great philosophers of classical antiquity, especially Democritus, Heraclitus, and Empedocles, had, in the same or an analog- ous sense, a profound conception of this unity of Nature and God. . . . Also the famous Roman poet Lucretius Carus in his poem "De Rerum Natura." PROF. ERNST HAECKEL, If we imagine very minute rapidly-spinning fly-wheels or gyrostats spread through the medium, they will retain their motion forever, in the absence of friction on their axles, and they will thus form a concrete dynamical illustration of a type of elasticity which arises solely from inertia; and this illustration will be of great use in realizing some of the pe- culiarities of a related type, which I believe can be thorough- ly established as the actual type of elasticity transmitting all radiation, whether luminous and thermal or electrical for they are all one and the same through the ultimate medium of fluid character of which the vortices constitute matter. DR. JOSEPH LARMOR. Every atom is a standing miracle and endowed with such qualities as could not be impressed upon it by a Power and Wisdom less than infinite. ADDISON. 195. Nature of the Ultimate Subdivisions of Matter. Now these processes of subdivision which are taking place in the nebulae and the periodic stars are but continuations of the processes which are taking place in our own Solar Sys- 195] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 361 tern. The latter will be reduced by the continuation of the process now going on, to the nebular stage; the nebulae will be still further comminuted, expanded, and amalgamated, until finally we have a universal nebula silimar in all respects save magnitude and density to the planetary nabulae which we now see in the heavens and similar in all respects to the universal nebula with which we started. Thus briefly and very imperfectly has been traced the segregation of any particular original spheriod having a cer- tain amount of axial rotation into subordinate spheroids each revolving round the nucleus of the original spheroid in the plane of its equator; the segregation of each of these in a similar manner into smaller spheroids revolving round both the subordinate spheroids and the genetic spheroid; and so on until a stage is arrived at nearly like that with which we began. Now if this process had taken place in a regular manner, without interference from neighboring parts, or from erratic bodies, the motions of the ultimate components of the ultimate spheroid would be of a very complex nature. But obviously even in this case, all of the ultimate components would not possess the same number of motions or velocity of rotation. For, in general, the central components being the most recently formed would have comparatively simple mo- tions (i. e., around only a few different centers), the velocity of which, however, would be comparatively great; while the peripheral components, being the older, would have motions of greater complexity (or round many different centers), but of a less degree of velocity. But it does not seem probable that, in a spheroid thus reduced to its ultimate constituents, motions of very great complexity would be permanent. The intricate network of connexions would undoubtedly resist complicated movements of parts having such extremely small masses; and would eventually resolve itself into comparatively simple bonds be- tween contiguous components and between contiguous groups of components. For, as the subdivision continued, the mass (and therefore in general the momentum) of each component would decrease while at the same time the massiveness of 362 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [195 the connexions through which the components have to move would increase (owing to the continual formation of new ones) ; and thus would a more and more powerful brake be put upon complex motions of the parts as the subdivision proceeds. The result, then, would be an arrest of motions around distant subordinate centers; the arrested motions probably going to augment the equal angular rotation of the resulting spheroid as a whole. The connexions of the arrested com- ponents would perhaps be appropriated in part by the con- nexions and the connective atmospheres of neighboring com- ponents. But these disused connexions would chiefly exist, in all probability, as an independent and special form of mat- ter; consideration of which' belongs in the domains of elec- tricity and magnetism, which itself would require almost an entire volume. The lowest ultimate component thus arrived at would be a primary body incapable of further subdivision with the rate of rotation which it then possesses, and one or more bodies connected with it and circulating round it. Higher forms of ultimate components also might consist of a similar central body around which circulates a second sim- ilar body which is itself a center for a third circulating body, or even with one or more of these bodies themselves com- pound. That the circulating motions of these components would be arrested by the connective substance would not follow from the same causes that arrested the motions round more distant centers, for the reason that whereas the latter would be resisted by a multitude of connexions subtending between all bodies among which they moved, the former would be re- sisted by only the few connexions between its own primary and the neighboring primaries. If instead of a system in which no interference by expan- sion of component parts, or action of erratic bodies, was sup- posed to take place, we consider the case of a system in which expansive interference would occur, it will be seen that the same motions would be arrested by it as by the eventful resistance of the connective substance, and no other. In the 195] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 363 collision of an inner with an outer sub-system revolving around the same center, the orbital revolution of the latter would be increased and that the former diminished; while it is always the wider of the revolutions in the colliding sub- systems themselves that would be thus destroyed. So that, in either case, we arrive at the same result an accelerated, equable rotation of the resulting spheroid as a whole; and a simple, together with some slightly compound, systemic motions of its ultimate components. And considering also the agency of erratic bodies, such as comets and meteorites, we can still ascribe nothing to them that would seriously interfere with the same result. As for the resulting spheroid as a whole, as these bodies would fall upon it about equally from all directions, they could influence it in any particular direction but little, while the larger intermediate motions would suffer at least partial arrestation. And as for the motions of the ultimate com- ponents, they can only be met and arrested by the motions of bodies of a magnitude similar to their own, and even then, perhaps, but rarely, if ever. The collisions of masses of matter, if they occur with the tremendous energy implied by planetary velocities, would indeed, not only arrest the motions of a portion of the elemen- tary systems, but also give rise to their motion in a reversed direction with a still greater energy; while the motion of another portion would not suffer arrest, but acceleration wholly. In mechanical collisions of any kind there can be but comparatively an extremely small number of elementary bodies be brought to rest; first, because it is highly improb- able that the velocity of the colliding masses would be exact- ly equal to that of the bodies of the elementary systems; and, second, because even if the velocities were exactly equal, it is equally improbable that the direction of the collision and that of the elementary rotation would be exactly opposite. And the very few elementary bodies which might be thus brought to rest would be again immediately started in motion by their connexions with the accelerated adjoining bodies. Thus the result arrived at by the regular process of cosmical 364 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [196 segregation remains practically unaffected by the various accidental contingencies, such as systemic interference, com- etary and meteoritic impacts, ring-disruptions, etc., to which that process may be subject. The ultimate element of matter in its simplest form at which we have thus arrived would consist of a central body, a secondary body revolving around it, a primary connexion joining the two, and various secondary connexions joining the bodies to neighboring elements. Moreover, each of the two bodies, according to analogy, would have a connective atmosphere which would permit the expansion of the element when the velocity of revolution of the secondary body was increased; and finally each of the elementary bodies would also have a certain amount of axial rotation. This axial rotation of the primary body, if it should be the remnant of an originally large spheroid, would be extremely rapid; and the more rapid the rotation of the primary body, caeteris par- ibus, the more rapid would be the revolution of the derived secondary body also. What it is that performs this rotation and revolution, we do not know and may never know, nor even conceive or imagine; and it seems as yet only futile to speculate about it. The ultimate nature of the elementary connexions seems equally as inscrutable as that of the elementary bodies. To both entities the name of matter or substance may properly apply; but the connexion, though not theoretically any more indivisible than the body, may, perhaps, be regarded as perfectly homogeneous, whereas its analogue, the planetary connexion, can only be regarded as composed of simple and compound elements. 196. The Cosmic Chain of Causation Kepler's Third Law. But though nothing can be premised of the nature of the stuff of the ultimate elements, something can be deduced from the present stage of cosmical evolution regarding their dimensions and the speeds of their motions, and this, as inti- mated some pages back, is to be the final and perhaps the severest test of the new views here advanced, as well as of intellectual integrity and loyalty regarding them. "In a lecture delivered at the Royal Institution last May 196] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 365 (1889), Prof. Mendeleef attempted to show that there existed an analogy between the constitution of the stellar universe and that of matter, as we know it on the surface of the earth, and that from the motions of the heavenly bodies down to the minutest interatomic movement in chemical reactions, the third law of Newton's holds good."* It is not the third law of Newton that is to be applied here, however, but the third law of Kepler. There is no question of this law as governing the motions and distances of the planets; and what is now to be done is to carry it, according to the idea of one grand chain of causation connecting all the phenomena of the universe, from the present motions and dimensions of the Solar System down to the motions and dimensions of the molecule and the sub-atoms. According to the third law of Kepler, the squares of the periods, P and P', of two planets vary as the cubes of their distances, D and D', respectively. That is p 2 : p' 2 D 3 : D' 3 But P 2^0 /V and P' = 2 V D'/V', where V and V are the respective velocities of the two planets in their orbits. Whence, from the preceding equation, 4 7r 2 D 2 D' 3 /V 2 = 4 7r 2 D' 2 D 3 /V' 2 , or D'V /2 = DV 2 and V == WD/D'. Sir William Thomson calculated that if a drop of water were expanded to the size of the Earth, the atoms in it would appear of a size somewhere between that of small shot and that of a cricket ball; which would make the radius of an atom about 10- 8 cm. Now let Kepler's law be carried inwards through the innumerable successive intermediate generations to this atomic distance from the center in the case of each principal body of the Solar System. It will be convenient to take the radius of a planet (in round numbers) for the distance D, and for V such a velocity as will balance by cen- trifugal force the planet's attraction (or, according to the new theory, the elastic strength of the planet's primary connexion) at this distance. D' will be the atomic radius, 10- 8 cm., or 62X10- 15 mile, which will be the same in each case; and V, the result sought, will be the velocity which Kepler's third *Wm. Anderson, Nature, 40. 509. 366 THE CONNECTIVE TH.EORY [196 law requires with the given atomic radius vector. Following are the results: D V D' V Miles. Miles per sec. Miles. Miles per sec. Mercury, 1500 2 62X10- 15 3X10" Venus, Earth .... 4000 5 13X10 8 Mars, 2300 2.28 " 4X10 8 Jupiter, 45000 26 " 221 XlO 8 Saturn, 38000 15 117 XlO 8 Uranus, 17000 8.8 46 XlO 8 Neptune, 19000 9.3 51 XlO 8 Sun, 440000 270 7200 X 10 s Moon, 1000 1 1X10 8 We see from this that the ultimate velocity decreases with the size of the body started with, and also that the least velocity thus arrived at is 500 times that of light, while the greatest velocity is 4,000,000 times that of light; the ve- locity derived from the Sun being about 100 times greater than the average derived from the planets and that from the Moon 50 times less; with an almost infinite variety of slower and slower motions inferable from sub-satellites, sub-sub-sat- ellite, etc., systems. But the ultimate atomic radii of revolu- tion are no doubt as variable as the ultimate velocities; so that, instead of the uniform radius above mentioned, the atom itself must be penetrated far within into the domains of the electron; involving still greater velocities (in some cases) and still more minute radii of action. Do these extreme velocities at these almost infinitesimal distances seem absurd and incredible? They are truly as- tounding; but, when certain modifications are taken into consideration, they are not only not incredible, but apparent- ly demanded by the actual facts. One of these modifications is the fact that the molecular velocities here calculated are not those which exist now, but only those which will exist for the next grand round of cosmical evolution. One grand round or cycle extends from one phase of cosmical evolution to the next similar phase from one universal spheroid of homogenous vapor down through all the stages of systems, suns, planets, satellites, etc., to a state of homogenous vapor similar to that with which the cycle began; which would 196] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 367 constitute the beginning of the next grand round. And, so far as can now be seen, the sole product and effect of this cyclical process, this seeming eternity of consolidation, seg- regation, and grinding of matter back again to its ultimate elements, constituting one grand round is nothing more than a gain of MOTION, with probably a correspondingly greater degree of comminution, or fineness, of the resulting ele- ments. The ultimate velocities existing today are the result, not of the present cycle of evolution, but of the preceding cycles. There are many circumstances to consider in deter- mining the difference between the present velocities and those figured out above for the next cycle. It will here be merely assumed that the former, while considerably less, are yet not immensely different from the latter. That there must be today extreme molecular velocities coupled with ultra-microscopic radii of revolution is manifest from various phenomena. We know that electrons are some- times shot out of atoms with velocities approximating that of light; and electrons themselves, being thousands of times smaller than atoms, must contain much more rapid motions. We know also that the spectrum of a single atom more correctly, perhaps, simply the spectrum of the simplest of the many different elements consists of some 1600 lines of different refrangibilities (Art. 70e) ; each line ,no doubt, rep- resenting a motion of a different magnitude and velocity. How else is it possible or conceivable to account for spectral phenomena except in this way? And though the speed of light is the greatest of which we now have any conception, yet even the speed of light depends upon wavelength and frequency; which generally implies a still smaller amplitude of oscillation, which last, in the light of the new theory, would be the orbital diameter of the revolving particle whose oscillations give rise to light. Now the wavelength of yel- low light is 0.0005895 millimetre, and the frequency of the oscillation is some five hundred millions of millions per second; the product of these two factors being the velocity of light, or about 190,000 miles per second. Now, by Kepler's third law, having the period of atomic 368 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY , [196 revolution, 5X10- 14 second, as just stated, we may find a cor- responding distance by using any other heavenly body whose mass and dimensions are known. Each different body, how- ever, will give a different value to this distance. The Sun, for example, gives us D = 440,000 miles, P = 1000 sec- onds (=the Sun's circumference divided by 270, the velocity in miles per second required to balance the Sun's attraction at distance D), and P' = 5X10-" second; which gives D' by simple proportion, according to Kepler's law, equal to 0.023 cm. It is obvious, however, that this value of the radial distance corresponding to this atomic period is much too large, being some 400 times the wavelength; whereas the latter should be at least twice as great as the former. Ap- parently the phenomena of yellow light could not, therefore, have been derived in a direct line from such body as the Sun. Taking next the Earth, D = 4000 miles, P = 5000 sec- onds, and P' = 5X10-" second, as before; which gives D' = 0.00039 cm., a radius still some seven times greater than the wavelength. Next, for the Moon, D may be taken at 1000 miles, P at 6300 seconds, and P' 5X10- 14 second; giving D' z= 0.00008 cm., which is still larger than the wavelength. Finally, taking a body some 300 miles in diameter and of such mass that the period of a particle at its surface is 10,- 000 seconds, we have D = 150 miles, P = 10,000 seconds, P' = 5X10- 14 second; giving D' = 0.000008 cm., which is only about one-seventh of the wavelength, and gives the velocity of light for that of the revolving atomic particle at this radius and the given atomic period. This may interpreted that the speed of revolution is transmitted by one revolving particle to a neighboring one, by means of the secondary connexions between them; the ratio of the amplitude (= twice the radius) to the wave- length indicating that, in this particular instance, the distance between the centers of the revolving units is between three and four times their dimensions. As the radius becomes smaller and smaller than this, the period would also become smaller and consequently also the wavelength, and the fre- 196] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 369 quency would be greater; thus apparently preserving the same velocity for light-phenomena of various wavelengths and frequencies, at least within limits. But the extreme ve- locities derived linearly from such bodies as the Sun, when brought down to atomic dimensions, would be incommensur- able with light phenomena and apparently would not be transmitted by them. Of some such nature would probably be the X-rays, which are "harder" and more penetrating than light motions. The indications are, however, that many of these motions are absolutely beyond us; are wholly out of tune with the mechanism of our organization, and more lost to our ken even than light is to the totally blind. There would also be many slower motions, derived from the smaller laterally descended heavenly bodies in apparently endless variety. Possibly some of these would merge down into the phenomena of sound, taste and smell, as some certainly do into those of heat; but undoubtedly many, probably most, of these motions, especially the finer and most rapid, would be, in varying degrees, incommensurable with our mental- ity. Here the idea expressed in Buchner's quotation at the head of chapter XIV applies with peculiar fitness. It will be observed that the atomic radius at which the velocity of light was above arrived at is considerably greater than that assigned by Sir William Thompson for the atom. Of course the new theory implies much smaller unit dimen- sions than those of Sir William Thomson. But the fact that a radius of some 10- 5 cm. may possibly account for the phe- nomena of light suggests that it may not be impossible that the size of the atom has been underestimated. As some corroboration of this, the Brownian movement was recently observed with the ordinary eye-piece of a microscope replaced by another complete microscope, giving thus a linear mag- nification of over 20,000. "Under these conditions the Brownian movement proved to consist of a double motion: the first with an amplitude of the order of a micron, the other about l/50th of this."* This at least indicates how molecular structure is com- posed of motions of various orders of magnitude, as the new *F. Bourieres, Nature, 92, 521. 370 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [197 theory suggests. It must not be forgotten that all of these deductions are subject to the imporant modification men- tioned in this article. 197. The Theory of Gravity and Atomic Velocities. If the law of gravitation governed the subsequent stages of cos- mical evolution, these atomic velocities would, of course, be impossible. And the general acceptance of the theory of gravity may not improbably thus account for the present ap- parently unphilosophical kinetic view that atoms merely os- cillate or vibrate linearly, instead of circularly, like a planet. According to that theory, as the central body around which the planets revolve continually decreased in mass through con- tinual subdivision, the central restraining force would contin- ually diminish, at the same time that the centrifugal force con- tinually increased through diminished distance and increased velocity. The geometrically diminishing planetary distances inwards would, in a degree, compensate the decreasing mass of the central body, if it were not itself compensated by the greater centrifugal force generated in the smaller orbit, aside from the greater absolute velocity implied by Kepler's third law. Even with the aid of the law of equal areas in equal times, the theory of gravity r'equires a practically constant central mass or attraction; whereas in this case the central mass is continually diminishing from planetary magnitudes down to the almost infinitesimal magnitude of an electron. Also according to the theory of gravity, the diminishing size of the planets themselves, as the process of subdivision con- tinued, would make no difference in the power of the cen- tral force necessary to restrain them. This is not the case with the connective theory, in which the restraining force is the elasticity of the bond which holds the revolving planet to its sun; which itself depends upon the magnitude of the revolving body. In other words, the connective theory has the advantage that the diminishing mass of the central body does not diminish the restraining power, as in the theory of gravity, because, in the former, the strength of the bond is determined largely by the mass of its planet and the 198] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 371 amount of the very strain which it is required to withstand In its formative stage. Unless molecular orbital motions at such velocities be denied entirely, these phenomena also constitute a serious objection to the theory of gravity along with the many others mentioned in the first part of this work; the phenom- ena and the theory being certainly inconsistent. For, ac- cording to that theory, the radial strain upon the revolving body does not depend upon the mass of the latter, but on the mass of the central body which is entirely inconsistent with atomic phenomena; whereas, by the new theory, the radial strain does depend upon the magnitude of the revolving body and not upon that of the central body which is in harmony with the observed facts. 198. Weight or Mass, the Measure of Energy. Here again arises the question Is it really the mass of a planet which determines its centrifugal strain or its weight? It will be remembered this subject was referred to before (Art. 26), and the arguments there employed ned not be repeated here. They seem plainly to show that weight is the main factor in determining centrifugal strain rather than mass. Just one further argument will here be referred to. The energy of a moving mass, in absolute units, is said to be equal to half the mass multiplied by the square of the velocity; or, as it is commonly written, MV 2 /2. Now con- sider a pound mass falling with a velocity of 100 feet per second at the Earth's surafce. This, according to the above formula, would be equal to 5000 absolute units of energy. Then consider the same mass as falling with the same ve- locity at the Sun's surface. Instead of one pound, this mass would now be 27 pounds, and according to the formula MV 2 /2, the 27 pounds multiplied by 5000 would exactly equal the one pound multiplied by 5000; in other words, the 27 pounds weight striking a solid obstruction on the Sun would give exactly the same amount of heat or any other kind of energy as the one pound weight striking a solid obstruction on the Earth with the same velocity! If this be true, then MV 2 is the true formula; if it be not true, then WV 2 is the correct 372 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [199 formula for general use, and MV 2 is only locally applicable. We know that there are molecular motions the velocity of which is of the same order as that of light, because elec- trons are projected with this v*elocity out of molecules and atoms; and it is now conceded by excellent authorities that the phenomena can only be accounted for by an orbital mo- tion around some central entity in the system from which it has been projected. And the tremendous centrifugal force ascribable to even the velocity of light, confined in orbits so extremely minute, seems explicable only on the assumption that the strain of the revolving body diminishes with its di- minishing weight owing to the decreased mass of the central body around which it circulates ; so that, though weight could never disappear entirely, it ultimately would become so small as to fully compensate the enormous mechanical forces otherwise implied by the velocities of molecular and atomic systems. By the new theory, the centrifugal strain would be diminished not only by the diminishing mass of the re- volving body but also by the diminishing weight of that mass in consequence of the diminishing mass of the central body. 199. Results of a Grand Round of Cosmical Evolution. It may now be said that we have taken a panoramic view (though undoubtedly an extremely incomplete one) of one Grand Round of cosmical evolution. How many similar Rounds the Cosmos had previously undergone we probably can never tell, any more than we can tell how many may take place in the future. It does not now seem conceivable that the ultimate elements of matter could have been evolved out of a perfectly homogeneous magma wholly without parts or divisions in such a cosmical process as is now taking place, because there would be lacking the individual components which, in the surface-contractions, are to approach one an- other. In fact it appears we have now arrived at the "most general conception" in which all other conceptions must be in- cluded and which, therefore, must itself remain inexplicable at least until we know somewhat more about the universe than- we do at present. The nature of the process by which Mat- ter first became subdivided into component elements is just 199] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 373 as inscrutable as the nature of the stuff of which the ele- mentary bodies and connexions consist. These are the pres- ent limits of our knowledge a Universal Whole of nearly homogeneous vapor, made up of distinct component parts, and the Sub-Atom, or ultimate component part itself. Beyond either of these limits, our intellect cannot soar, for nothing there appears to render it support or rest. But premising these limits, we can trace with a tolerable degree of clearness the processes which would naturally take place until almost an eternity of evolution brings us again to a state of things apparently similar in all respects to that with which we started. This vast cycle of evolution, how- ever, would surely cause some change in the pre-existing state of things. As already intimated, some results would be thus attained, which would be more and more enhanced by succeeding cycles. What, then, are these results? From what we have already gone over we can, with a fair degree of confidence, deduce the following: first, either an original rotation, or an acceleration of the previous rotation, of the Whole (Art. 90) ; second, an expansion of the Whole out- wards into space owing to this increase of its axial rotation (Art. 80, c) ; third, an acceleration of the rotation of the ul- timate primary components of the Whole (Art. 80, e) ; fourth, greater subdivision and fineness of the ultimate primary com- ponents owing to acceleration of their rotation; and fifth, an accelerated revolution of the secondary components around the primary components owing to accelerated rotation and finer subdivision of the latter, according to Kepler's third law. This acceleration of the previous rotation of the Whole, mentioned in the latter portion of the first result, would naturally follow from the intermediate stages leading to the third and fifth results. These, then, are our most general deductions. The sole pro- ducts of the myriads of ages of evolution and dissolution, de- velopment and destruction, pleasure and pain, life and death, of any one Round of cosmical segregation are a mere gain of Motion in Time and an increased encroachment of Matter 374 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [200 upon Space as compared with these elements in the pre- ceding Round. 200. The Constitution of Matter. We are thus led by the new theory in one consecutive process from suns and planets down to the domains of the molecule and the electron. There now open before us the" phenomena of heat, light, electricity, magnetism, sensation, and even life itself. The grosser phe- nomena of the universe are seen to blend gradually into its most refined phenomena; and Prof. Huxley's words apply here with peculiar fitness : "Living matter differs from other matter in degree and not in kind; the microcosm repeats the macrocosm; and one chain kind; the microcosm repeats the microcosm; and one chain of causation connects the nebulous origin of suns and plan- etary systems with the protoplasmic foundations of life and organization."* For obvious reasons, it will be impossible here to follow the new theory into these various branches of microsmic phe- nomena. The treatment of even the grosser phenomenon thmselves could not be entred into fully, but merely suffi- ciently indicated to give an intelligent idea of them. It may be remarked, however, that the constitution of mater accord- ing to the new theory is really not so easy to comprehend as it may at first sight seem. , The almost inconceivably great velocities in ultra-microscopic orbits, no doubt, have powerful effects which we can yet hardly fathom because we cannot imitate either the magnitudes or the motions. The gyro- scope has revealed to us some curious effects of circular motion, which were absolutely unknown to us be- fore. But the molecules and the sub-atoms are gy- roscopes of almost infinitely more rapid rotation of almost infinitely various magnitudes and bound to one an- other by both real and potential connections. We can dimly imagine how the smaller gyroscopes may fit in among the larger, and be held there in a firm structure by virtue of their rapid rotations. We can conceive how bodies composed of very small gyroscopes with the most rapid rotations, on the average, would be the harder and more permanent; while *Humboldt Library of Science, 6, 352. 200] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 375 those composed of the wider and slower rotations would be more easily decomposed to unite again with different con- stituents of other bodies in chemical combinations. We can understand how certain kinds of light rays having motions conmmensurable with those of certain bodies can affect the constitution of these bodies by changing some of their mo- tions. And we can faintly comprehend how a body composed of many different units of many different rates and ranges of motion, compressed and locked together by virtue of their gyroscopic properites, may sometimes be so delicately bal- anced that a small disturbance by an external commensurate motion may unlock the combination which holds the con- stituents together, and the tremendous energy bound up in the expelled and the expelling components become partially manifst as an explosion. It is still easier to idealize the heat of chemical change as a modification of pre-existing molec- ular motions, which in turn modifies the molecular motions of thermometers or of the organs of sensation; and the con- duction of heat as an approximation of the planes of molec- ular motions into coincidence with a certain direction, while no heat would be transmitted in a direction perpendicular to the plane of rotation. We can conceive that heat and light are both mere differences of pre-existing motions faith- fully transmitted by the ethereal molecular rotations; either accelerations with wider range of slow laterally derived ro- tations, or retardations with wider range of rapid linearly derived rotations. And we can conceive of no other way of explaining the enormous number of lines in each of the various spectra than that each line repersents a circular motion of different mag- nitude and velocity, and therefore of different refrangibility. "It was the orbital movement of the electrons in the atoms to which . . . Storey attributed in 1891 the spectral lines and their various singularities."* By this theory, it is not differences of intrinsic material qualities which determine the differences between the ele- mentary substances, but differences of degree and complex- *Nature, 87, 51. 376 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [200 ity of motion. What it is that moves, wo do not know, only that it possesses some mass and inertia; motion is all the rest. A drop of water, if it has sufficient speed, will pene- trate a steel plate. Straws and feathers, driven by cyclonic storms, have been known to pierce the bark and trunks of trees. A swiftly spinning round sheet of paper acts like a circular saw, and discs of soft iron in rapid rotation cut the hardest steel. A flexible chain, twisting rapidly around its length becomes rigid and stands on end like a pole. And Lord Kelvin constructed a spring balance of nothing but rigid bodies in spinning motion. A sling, revolved slowly, permits the passage through its plane of rotation of small projected bodies practically with- out hindrance, but if revolved with sufficient rapidity, would reflect back a bullet, or even light. The same thing pre- cisely is true of molecular motions. The breaking of a piece of iron is caused by the rupture of the primary and second- ary molecular connexions along the break. Myriads of mole- cules and sub-molecules are still spinning with inscrutable velocities along the boundaries of the fragments, to which alone their hardness, color, etc., is due; and only by modify- ing these motions, to the limited extent which is possible for us, can we change these properties. Light is composed of a multitude of different motions, the most rapid of which is occasionally commensurable with some of the atomic motions of matter and modifies the latter motions so much as to cause the ejection of electrons; and it has been shown that the shorter the wavelength causing the ejection, the greater the velocity of the ejected electron, just as according to theory it should be. X-radiation, how- ever, causes the ejection of much greater numbers of elec- trons having still greater speeds; and the reason why this radiation can penetrate bodies impervious to light is that the more rapid motions and smaller radii of the former are more commensurable with the motions of ordinary opaque bodies than light motions and radii are. The recent "quantum" theory of energy is readily explicable by the circular atomic motions, each rotation yielding a certain quantity of energy 200] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 377 separable from the preceding or the following rotation, just like the motion of a piston. The more recent dynamical theories of the constitution of matter are very nearly in harmony with these views. Lar- mor, having extended Sir William Thomson's vortex-ring hy- pothesis into "orbital motions of electrons in the atom," Prof. Tait objected that such theories reduce phenomena to mere difference-effects, "thereby implying the presence of stores of energy abso- lutely gigantic in comparison with anything hitherto ob- served, or even suspected to exist in the universe; and there- fore demanding the most delicate adjustments, not merely to maintain the conservation of energy which we observe, but to prevent the whole solar and stellar systems from being in- stantaneously scattered in fragments through space."* But the objection really proves the theory; for such "in- stantaneously scattered fragments through space," on a small scale, (in the form of explosions) actually transpire occa- sionally, and requires such stores of energy to explain them just as much as if such instances were more general; are indeed wholly inexplicable by any other theory because noth- ing less than such gigantic stores of energy can account for them. Moreover there are gigantic stores of such energy still untapped, which are not so delicately adjusted, but, on the contrary, firmly bound; which some day, however, we may become intelligent enough to be able to unlock and draw upon for our comfort, convenience, and power. The following extracts from a recent resume of modern ideas on the constitution of matter, by Jean Becquerel, are exactly in harmony with the ultimate results to which the connective theory has led us: "The volume of an atom is sufficient to contain billions on billions of electrons, but as its mass indicates that it con- tains at most a few thousands, it is certain that the electrons are at enormous distances from each other in comparison with their dimensions. We might liken them to a swarm of gnats gravitating about in the dome of a cathedral. . "We know today that radio-active substances undergo an evolution in which there appears a whole series of more or less ephemeral bodies whose duration of existence may be as *Properties of Matter, London, 1885, Art. 164. 378 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [200 small as a few days, or even a few seconds, as in the case of the emanation of actinium. All these bodies are new ele- iments. "These transformations are* veritable transmutations. They are not qhemica! decompositions. They appear to be independent of temperature; they bring into play a consid- erable amount of energy; for instance, the emanation of ra- dium is, as a matter of fact, capable of setting free 2,500,000 times as much energy as the explosion of a mixture of hy- drogen and oxygen of equal volume. . "Sir William Ramsay at present is carrying out some re- markable experiments. He has announced the transmuta- tion of copper into potasium, sodium, and helium under the action of the concentrated energy which the radium emana- tion brings to bear upon them. In some recent experiments, which appear to be beyond criticism, he has attained the transmutatioin into carbon of silicon, titanium, zirconium, lead, and thorium. All these bodies belong in the same col- umn in Mendelejeff's table. ... "It is probable that all matter is undergoing a process of evolution. The slowness of the transformation, however, or the rarity of conditions favorable to quick change gives an illusion of stability."* That 2,500,000 times the energy manifested in the explo- sion of oxygen and hydrogen is given out by an equal vol- ume of radium admits of no other conceivable explanation than the extreme velocities of molecular orbital motions de- ductively arrived at by the new theory. But, nevertheless, much of the mechanism of matter we cannot as yet hope to fathom, because two essential elements of this mechanism extremely great velocity coupled with extremely minute mag- nitude lie wholly beyond our experience. As to whether the density of the ether, or connective at- mosphere, is very small, according to Sir William Thomson and Mendelejeff, or comparable to that of ordinary matter, as others hold, the preponderance of evidence appears to point to the former view. That the ethereal density is mil- lions of times that of lead or platinum, as recently taught by Dr. Oliver Lodge, seems to be absolutely precluded by the Earth carrying the ether along with it in its orbital mo- tion, as well as by the phenomena of refraction and resist- ance. *Publication 2024, Smith. Tnst., pp. 288-9. 201] ULTIMATE CONCEPTIONS OF MAGNITUDE, ETC. 379 201. Connective Resistance to the Motions of the Heaven- ly Bodies. There is but one thing further that will here en- gage our attention, and that is the resistance which the con- nective substance must surely offer in some degree or other to the motions of the heavenly bodies. Of course the re- sistance would not be greater in the case of the connective substance than in would be in the case of the ethereal me- dium of the present theory. In either case friction of some kind seems unavoidable when a body passes through a mate- rial medium. It is true that dense bodies sometimes pass through other dense bodies with surprising velocity and much less friction than would naturally be expected such as rings of colored water shot through a tank of clear water with a velocity of about two metres per second; maintaining at the same time their form and orientation even in passing through thin textures suspended in the tank.* Also a vacuum ap- pears to offer no resistance to a moving body, though the density of the ethereal substance within it is still undimin- ished. Nevertheless, it is difficult to conceive a body moving through even an ethereal substance without some friction, however small. And though all the planetary motions seem unabated by it during all recorded time, still its existence ap- parently cannot logically be denied. But if the friction cannot be denied, then it remains to be accounted for; and one seemingly not impossible way of ac- counting for it is as follows: It is generally conceded that the cord which confines a revolving body to a circular path does not affect the motion of the body in that path. But, as a matter of fact, does not the action of the cord quantitively modify the actual path which the circulating body pursues? It is true that a pull acting upon a body at right angles to the direction in which it is moving would neither increases nor diminish the quan- tity of its motion in that direction. But since the pull changes the direction of the motion, it seems to follow from this very fact that, in the case of rectangular motion, the path of the body in a unit of time, would be greater in the *Nature, 88, 464-5. 380 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [201 changed than in the unchanged direction. If the projectile motion of the body in a unit of time were such as to make it describe the path a b, and tne body were subjected to a pull which, during that time, would cause it to move a dis- tance a d, at right angles to a b, then does it not clearly follow, from the composition of forces, that the body would describe, in the same unit of time, the path a c, or the diag- onal of the rectangle of which a b and a d are the sides? And if the inward pull upon the body has thus caused it to describe a longer path in a unit of time than it would de- scribe in the absence of that pull, has not that pull, as a matter of fact, actually increased the absolute velocity of the body? In fact would not the a b of the second unit of time, be greater than the a b of the first unit, in consequence? And since the inward pull operates upon the body contin- ually, it would thus follow that the absolute motion of the body in its circular path, other things being equal, would be continually increased. And the explanation here suggested is that approximately what the resistance of the medium diminishes the absolute motion of the body, the radial pulling of the cord increases it. In corroboration at least of an appropriate equivalence of the two opposing tendencies, it is to be observed that while 202] RETROSPECT 381 an outer planet moves in a less dense medium than an inner planet, its radial pull, on the other hand, is also less; and the inner planet moving through the greater density has a relatively great radial pull to compensate for the greater density of the medium. Of course this greater radial pull on the inner planet would not fully compensate for the greater density of the medium, if the resistance of the latter varies as in gross matter, or matter as we are sensible of it. In other words, an increase of density of the connective sub- stance does not necessarily imply a proportional increase in the resistance it would offer to moving bodies. The resist- ance would obviously be greater in the greater density, but very probably in a smaller ratio. And thus, perhaps, even the exact equivalence of the resistance offered by the con- nective medium to the absolute motion of a planet and the as- sistance of that motion by the radial pull may in all cases be continually maintained. 202. Retrospect. To summarize the results of this in- vestigation, as it has been carried out, would be little less than a repetition of what has already been said. Only the more important results have been given, and these in the briefest possible form which would convey them to the read- er's mind. The entire work is little more than a summary of the more detailed investigations necessarily implied; and a summary would be scarcely more than a mere recapitula- tion of the subjects discussed. Even such a summary, how- ever, being possibly of some value in calling to mind once more the salient facts discussed, may now close this inves- tigation. In the first place, then, a cursory survey has been made of the progress of physical inquiry in the past, from the crudest fancies of the savage to the highly abstract con- ceptions of Newton and Laplace. And from this it was ob- served that the history of physical astronomy is merely a recital of the general belief in some conception of the mech- anism of the heavens, the more careful examination of this conception after a time proving it to be erroneous, and of its consequent rejection and replacement by a new concep- 382 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [202 tion, in turn generally received, in turn eventually rejected like its predecessor, and in turn replaced by still another con- ception. The last of this series of conceptions is that of Newton as modified by Laplace; and, in accordance with precedent, this conception has been examined much in the same manner that each of its predecessors has been exam- ined. Commencing with the main principle of the Newtonian theory, it was found that even the statement of this princi- ple was without logical or rational foundation. Its appli- cation was found to be inconsistent with and repugnant to the interaction of two or more particles; the conservation of energy; the theoretic location of gravity at the center of a sphere or spherical shell; the strength of gravity beneath the Earth's surafce; motion in an elongated ellipse; the run- away stars; the pressure of sunlight; the temperature of the Sun and of Mars; the strain of a revolving body upon its cen- ter of motion; the problem of three bodies, or even of two bodies; nebular rotation, translation, contraction, subdivi- sion, and development into the forms in which the Solar System, or the Sidereal System, now exists; the Sun's heat upon different portions of the Earth's surface, and upon the whole Earth at different distances from the Sun; and the phenomena of the tides in the Earth's atmosphere and upon its ocean surface. The law of equal areas in equal times having been found without logical proof or support, even di- rectly contradictory of the third law of Kepler, the theory of gravitation, largely grounded on this law, was found to be wholly inadequate in every conceivable instance, except an apparent conformity with some facts upon and near the Earth's surface. On the other hand, the new theory of material interplanetary bonds was found to offer a rational explanation of all these phenomena, and moreover was seen to harmonize with the sunspot periods and their related phenomena for nearly a hundred years; with the solar corona; and with the zodiacal light. The Saturnian ring, the comets, the meteorites, are unimpeachable witnesses in its favor. The hitherto silent 202] RETROSPECT 383 and mysterious movements of the magnetic needle, mani- fested in its diurnal, annual, irregular, and secular varia- tions, have for the first time found a voice apparently as true to that theory as that needle to its pole. Even the tes- timony of the rocks, the Coal Measures, and the great Ice Age, which time has engraved upon the Earth-crust and which has heretofore remained undecipherable, is clearly interpreted by means of the guiding principle which this the ory furnishes; and, in turn, further elucidates and exempli- fies it. Even when we ascend to the remotest bodies of the Sidereal System, the new, the variable, and the periodical, stars and the various nebular forms, the light which they shed from the almost infinite depths of space, but illustrates the harmony of the theory with their various manifesta- tions. And finally, when the connective theory is applied as orie great consecutive process of cosmical evolution, from planets and suns down to the domains of the molecule and the electron, the motions and magnitudes which are thus arrived at are found, so far as can be seen, to be fully corroborated by the phenomena of heat, light, radiant emissions, and ma- terial structure, so far as they are known. Thus, while the present Force-theory seems to be square- ly confuted and discredited by many very important phenom- ena, and apparently not contradicted by comparatively few, every phenomenon of Nature, without exception, appears to be consonant and of a piece with the new connective system here advanced. But a word of caution may not here be amiss. Although apparently so excellent and so agreeable with the facts, it can hardly be expected that the new theory could be per- fect. Even though it be regarded so meritorious as to be generally accepted in preferance to any other, there are many considerations which lead to the belief that it must contain errors, and that it may be just as erroneous in comparison with a still more radical and exhaustive theory as its pred- ecessor is in comparison with it. We apparently have no right, at the present rtage of our development, to assume that we have attained to perfection in anything; and espe- 384 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [202 cially is this true in the case now under consideration, of which past records show but successive acceptance of er- rors, each of which is only less gross than its predecessor. But though we cannot yet claim perfect conception of the mechanism of natural phenomena, our duty now, as in the past, is none the less to cleave to those conceptions of them which appear to be the nearest to perfection, and willingly to reject all others. Whether we may or may not ultimately arrive at perfect knowledge of these things, we seem at the present time to have not sufficient grounds for deciding; but if ever we shall attain to such perfection, however great the genius or the prestige or the material interests by which op- posing conceptions may have been or is maintained, the ready acceptance of the less erroneous conceptions is the only road which leadeth in that direction. CHAPTER XVIII CONCLUSION Twenty years ago, the system of theoretical physics seemed so complete as to justify the opinion, not infre- quently expressed, that it was probable that the great dis- coveries in physics had all been made, and that future ad- vances were to be looked for in the sixth place of decimals. And yet, in the very midst of these predictions, came the an- nouncement, made just 18 years ago this week, of Roentgen's discovery which showed that there were great mines of phys- ical gold as yet unworked. Since that time discoveries of fundamental importance have followed one another with such amazing frequency that one who is at all familiar with the history of physics will scarcely challenge the statement that the past 15 years is quite unparalleled in the number and the significance of its advances. PROF. R. A. MILLIKAN.* What mathematicians and physicists have long consid- ered as well established is now being uprooted and replaced by non-Newtonian mechanics based on the principle of rela- tivity. . . . Scientific thought, Prof. Ogg described as so plastic nowadays that the most cherished tenets of the last generation of men of science are being abandoned. f , The true observer is, above all things, an amateur, using the word in that splendid sense to which Prof. Hale recently introduced us. There have been many attempts to define an amateur. One was given by Prof. Schuster in his eloquent address to this section at Edinburgh in 1892: "We may perhaps best define an amateur as one who learns his science as he wants it and when he wants it. I should call Faraday an amateur." We need not quarrel with this definition, and certainly not with the noble instance with which he points it. But after all I prefer the definition of Prof. Hale (Month- ly Notices, 68, 64) : "According to my view, the amateur is the man who works in astronomy because he cannot help it, because he would rather do such work than anything else in the world, and who therefore cares little for hampering traditions, or for difficulties of any kind." PROF. H. H. TURNER. J *Address Am. Assoc. Adv. Sci., Dec., 1912. tC. F. J. on Dr. A. Ogg^s Address, South African Assoc. Adv. Sci., Kimberly, 1914; Nature, 93, 672. JAddress, B. A. 1911; Nature, 87, 296. 386 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [203 I speak as my understanding instructs me, and mine hon- esty puts it to utterance. SHAKESPEARE. How long? Ask our respected friends President X and Professor Y and Dr. Z Editor P and Director Q, who sit at the gates of science and scrutinize the tickets, and exclude every man who does not spell according to their Moham- medan way. In the name of the Prophet phigs! O. E. WHITE.* 203. A Final Inference. There is one further argument in favor of the views advanced in this work. The first edi- tion of 1000 copies was published twenty-six years ago, and contained nearly all the principal arguments of the present work. Of the 1000 copies, 150 were sent to the press and various scientific authorities for reviews and nearly all of the remainder was eventually disposed of practically as waste paper. Uniformly favorable, though not really critical, no- tices were received from the lay press; but not one criticism worthy of the name came from scientific sources (See Ap- pendix B). This is not a complaint, nor merely a bit of naked history. Judging from the past, if the views here set forth are true, no other treatment was to be expected; and that such treatment has been received 'is, therefore, some indica- tion that the views advanced are true. This argument may not be so convincing as some in the preceding pages, but it is not entirely without weight. The writer has seen more than one work, apparently of much less merit than this one, whose arguments were torn to shreds at considerable pains by a Reviewer in one of the great scientific journals; while, about the same time and in the same journal, the first edi- tion of this work received an absolutely colorless notice of only twelve lines. But that was twenty-six years ago, and today better things are to be expected. The principles discussed are cer- tainly of prime importance in physical science. If the con- clusions arrived at regarding them are true, it will not be conducive to any one's reputation or honor, nor to the pub- lic welfare, to ignore them, however great may be the pri- vate convenience and the material profit; and if they are not true, the sincerity, good intention, and perseverance of * Science, 36, 74. 203] CONCLUSION 387 the author over so long a period, seems to deserve at least that his errors should be pointed out. There is undeniably an extreme reluctance to surrender long-cherished ideas, however apparently wrong, and accept in their stead original and novel ideas, however apparently right. This reluctance appears to be much more prevalent than is realized by leaders in the various departments of in- tellectual and social activities, and from which even science is not at all entirely free. It is due largely, no doubt, to easy- going acceptance of current views, but occasionally assumes curious forms. Some eighteen years ago the present writer published in Notts and Qurtes one or two of the principal ob- jections to the theory of gravitation given in* the first part of the present work. A long editorial on these objections, entitled "Removing a Landmark," appeared in a leading news- paper, admitting the probable correctness of the criticisms and the apparent error and absurdity of the theory criti- cised. Yet the editorial concludes as follows: " "We are by no means sure that the intelligent world will care to part with its faith in the long-accepted law of grav- itation even in the face of these apparently unanswerable arguments. The trouble is that when one lets go of a thing of that sort a precedent is established which may lead too far."* This strange utterance may, however, be much in the same line of thought as Prof. Schuster's idea: "We all want to be right rather than to be wrong. But it is better to be wrong than to be neither right nor wrong." What appears to be meant is that it is far more conducive to our attainment of eventual intellectual perfection to entertain even a wrong theory than to have no theory at all, because the former implies intellectual activity and eventual progress, while the latter implies only intellectual stagnation. Had the writer of the editorial consulted the new views in this volume, as he had a portion of the criticisms of the old, and had found the new views as true as the old were found to be erroneous, then surely he would not have expressed hesitation in part- ing with the latter, because there would then be something *The Detroit Free Press, Oct. 1, 1896. 388 THE CONNECTIVE THEORY [203 still to cling to when the old were given up. And the pres- ent writer may state here his emphatic judgment that, strong as are the arguments presented iiere against the old theory, the arguments presented in favor of the new theory are at least ten-fold stronger. The writer is not one of those who has wholly lost faith in the generosity and intellectual hospitality of present-day men of science. The following is an astounding utterance by one who, though himself a leader in science, had to fight for many years for the original truths he had discovered: "You may.be right I will not undertake to say about that but you will find that astronomers are a very prejudiced and a very lazy set of men, and are shiftlessly inclined to accept Newton's law because it saves them the trouble of doing any more thinking. Then, too, the acceptance of your views would spoil the whole existing body of astronomical literature, which would be a pity, even if it is all wrong. I am ashamed to make these admissions."* It is hard to believe that such a condition of things can be true. As to the present writer's own experience, it may be said that, while he has many times sought for expression of his views In scientific journals, and even for private opinion regarding them, and almost as often been refused, he does not fail to see that, in these busy days, such revolutionary views, by an unknown amateur, could hardly be expected to receive any other treatment. But he hopes and believes that the same treatment will not apply to his publications ex- tended over more than a quarter of a century. His best ef- forts have been given to the subject for the greater portion of his life; he has as much confidence in the results of his investigations here presented as any one, practically alone, possibly can have; he has such faith in the honor and in- tegrity of his contemporaries that he cannot for a moment entertain the belief that a studied ignoring today of important physical truths, from whatever source, is possible; he ap- *Prof. Seth C. Chandler, Editor Astronomical Journal, in a letter to the author dated March 31, 1897, declining for publication a paper on the theory of gravitation. 203] CONCLUSION 389 peals on these grounds to the intellectual world for a fair and imparital consideration of his work; and he has implicit trust that, in this day and age, he will receive what he de- serves: he asks no more. APPENDIX A. Further investigation is just what is wanted. No one can expect others to accept his word for an entirely new fact, except as establishing a prima facie case for investi- gation. . . . What we know is as nothing to that which remains to be known. This is sometimes said as a truism; sometimes it is doubted. To me it seems the most literal truth, and that if we narrow our view to already half-conquered territory only, we shall be false to the men who won our freedom, and treasonable to the highest claims of science. DR. OLIVER J. LODGE. An increasing and unfaltering search for truth, with a belief in the betterment of humanity through knowledge, is the ethical basis of science, and none other. ROBERT THORBURN AYTON INNES. On all hands of us there is the announcement, audible enough to those who have ears to hear, that the old empire of routine is ended, and that to say a thing has long been is no reason for its continuing to be. CARLYLE. 204. During the year 1915, as stated in the Preface, this work has been submitted for critical examination to the phys- ical department heads of two of the principal colleges and two state universities in the western United States. The result from one of the latter was entirely nil, the work hav- ing been returned after six weeks' time without a single comment of any kind. Two of the other three responded with criticisms consisting of about three and eight typewrit- ten pages of the first chapter only; while the remaining one made an extensive review of portions of the whole work, con- sisting of some ninety typewritten pages, with much subse- quent discussion besides. It is freely conceded here that each of the three gentlemen responsible for these examinations was actuated therein by nothing else than the deep interest which they have in sci- ence; and that their perfect sincerity and kindly intentions, as well as their absolute confidence in all their findings, is clearly apparent and indubitable. 392 APPENDIX A [204 The results of the first and second examinations, with the replies thereto, were all submitted in the examinations fol- lowing. As the last of the examiners thought the publication of his comments undesirable because it might be understood in a controversial sense, the writer thought it best to accord the same treatment to all three and therefore refer to them anonymously as Dr. A, Dr. B, and Dr. C. The criticisms of the first two are given in full, while, for the reason stated, only as many brief quotations are made from Dr. C's com- ments as were necessary to make the answers thereto in- telligible. Although one was promised, no reply to the answers made to the first two criticisms of the work has been offered, with the exception that Dr. A, after reading Dr. B's criti- cism and the answer thereto, again kindly advised that the work should not be published "because of erroneous conclu- sions." He further stated "I believe that any physicist to whom you may wish to refer our criticisms will declare them valid." The strength of this position is undeniable. It does not necessarily follow, however, that the strength of Dr. A's position with respect to the great majority of physicists proves the strength of his argument. On the contrary, the writer has much more confidence now than ever before that his own views are correct because he feels morally certain that not one valid argument has been made against them. The issue is a large but not very difficult one, and the decision is left entirely to the impartial reader of today and of all future ages. CRITICISM BY DR. A. 205. January 30, 1915. Dear Sir: I at last took time to read with considerable care portions of your book, especially those relating to the subject of physics. In view of the great amount of time and thought that you have devoted to the subject it is with sincere regret that I must say that I do not find your con- tentions well upheld in many instances. I infer that you desire my candid opinion of the work rather than a few vague statements of approval or disapproval. I trust that you will appreciate the improbability that the thousands of scientists of the past and present have uniformly overlooked the er- rors which you think to point out. I judge from reading the manuscript that you have not had the advantage of advanced training in mathematics and physics which seems to me in- dispensable in handling the collosal subject you have in hand. I find the manuscript well worded and clearly presented, so that it could be easily read by any one interested. For this reason I believe it would be a serious mistake, and an injustice to yourself as well as to the public, to have the man- uscript published without its first securing the approval of a competent physicist, a competent astronomer, and a com- petent geologist, as these three phases of scientific endeavor a*re most involved. Large portions of the manuscript seem to me very inter- esting reading and might in my judgment, perhaps, be util- ized in the makeup of a book; but the conclusions in many instances which I have looked into do not seem to be well grounded. I may say that I have not seen any theory of gravitation which seems to me at all plausible; but I should prefer this state of mind to the acceptance of various fantas- tic theories which I have heard promulgated. The tre- mendous amount of force necessary to hold the earth and sun together because of the centrifugal force is so great as to stag- 394 APPENDIX A [206 ger the imagination. I fail to see, however, that we make the matter easier to understand by supposing that there exists be- tween them a bond manufactured out of the atmosphere which seems to have no tenacity. In 'this connection I may add that your question as to whether centrifugal force should be expressed by MVVR or WV 2 /R, should not arise. You real- ize, I trust, that under all circumstances the centrifugal force is equal to the centripetal force. The latter varies, as I be- lieve you concede, in accordance with the inverse square law which you quoted in various places. For this reason, considering the fact that a body weighs 27 times as much at the sun as here you can easily compute the weight of the earth with regard to the sun. This force you will see must necessarily be equal to the centrifugal force acting upon the earth, and you can very soon determine whether MV 2 /R or WV 2 /R must be used to check this force. While many of the matters which you are considering cannot be treated by experiment, some of them can, and it would seem to me highly advisable to have this tested. One case which I shall especially point out occurs in Section 18. I shall now take up in detail some of the points which seem to me to be erroneous in the various sections. I have en- deavored in most cases to point out the error in such a way that I believe you will upon careful reading be willing to concede it. 206. (18) You should change E 2 /80 to E 2 /80D 2 , in which D is the distance between the earth and the. moon. Doubling the earth's mass would produce exactly the same effect upon the mutual attraction as would doubling the mass of the moon. This is not an absurdity, and could be proved, I am sure, by the use of magnets of different strengths. Suppose, e. g., that we have two strong magnet poles A and B and two weak magnet poles a and b. I am sure that it would be found that the attraction between A and a and b placed side by side at a distance D from A, would have exerted upon them the same force as it would from a if placed at the same dis- tance D from A and B placed side by side. This equality of the force in these two cases would be in complete accord 209] CRITICISM BY DR. A 395 with the inverse square law as applied to magnets, and its verification by experiment would support the application of the inverse square law as applied to gravitation. 207. (19) Gravitational attraction is not energy, hence there is no conflict with the law of the conservation of en- ergy in assuming that there is an attraction between each mass particle and each other mass particle of the universe. To be sure two bodies have potential gravitational energy when separated by a distance, and if they fall toward each other they develop kinetic energy. 208. (20) Your demonstration that a hollow gravita- tional sphere does not act upon a body outside of it as though its mass were concentrated at the center is not at all conclusive. Indeed, by showing that the first pair (that is the area on the near side and the similar equal area on the far side from the outside point in question) gives a higher value, and the second pair of areas a lower value than if situated at the center, you have proved the probability or at least the possibility that the average effect would be the same as if the mass were all concentrated at the center of the hollow sphere, since you show conclusively that one pair would give too high a value and the other too low. A rig- orous demonstration of the fact that such a shell would be- have as though all of its material were at the center would require a very thorough knowledge of the integral calculus as the integration here involved would be quite difficult. I believe, however, that a fairly good proof for the similar case of electrical attraction of a hollow sphere is given in Had- ley's "Electricity and Magnetism," which volume is in the library. 209. (21) A very elementary proof may be given that the attraction inside of a hollow gravitational shell is zero. See Hadley's "Electricity and Magnetism" for this proof as applied to an electrically charged hollow sphere. Please note that the inverse square law applies to electro-static as well as to gravitational attraction. I may state that the observed increase in gravitational attraction in deep mines shown by the decrease in the period of a pendulum is what might rea- 396 APPENDIX A [211 sonably be expected. For, with the "shell" removed, the earth would then be smaller to be sure, but the deep portions of the earth might consist of material of enough greater den- sity than the surface portions to more than offset this. If it were possible to descend into the earth a great many miles a decrease in weight would undoubtedly be shown, the weight becoming zero upon reaching the center of the earth. At this point the gravitational pull would be exerted equally in all directions and, of course, give a result at zero. 210. (22) Near the close of this section a very serious error occurs in supposing that the slight horizontal motion of the body in question would make an appreciable difference in its path through the earth. In this connection it should be emphasized that the earth attracts bodies which are sit- uated outside of it as though its mass were concentrated at the center. If the earth were homogeneous, or rather of the same density throughout, the weight of the body would con- stantly decrease until it became zero upon reaching the cen- ter of the earth. If now the gravitational attraction of the earth behaves for bodies within its volume as though its mass were all concentrated at its center, then the body, if given a slight horizontal motion, would pass down and around the center of the earth in a greatly elongated ellipse with the center of the earth as one of its foci. If a hole were bored along the axis of the earth a body dropped in would pass back and forth between the north and the south poles. If the hole were bored at the equator then the falling body would strike against the east side of the hole because of the slower rotation toward the center of the earth. 211. (26) Unquestionably the mass, not the weight, is involved in centrifugal force. Prof. Young's calculations seem to be correct. For, making use of the data you give, and computing them in a somewhat different way than he does, I obtain the same result for the total pull that is given by him. To begin with, let us note that the centrifugal force MV 2 /R is equal to the centripetal force (the pull of the sun upon the earth). If M is the mass of the earth in pounds, V its velocity in feet per second and R the distance between 211] CRITICISM BY DR. A 397 the earth and the sun in feet, then the centrifugal force will be in poundals not pounds. Disregarding for the present the units involved but using the same for the earth in its orbit and the earth at the sun's surface, we make the fol- lowing computations. Call the centrifugal force X (earth in its orbit). Call the centripetal force Y (earth in its orbit). Then X Y. (Note that X and Y are not in tons, pounds, or poundals, but merely in an arbitrary unit of force the val- ue of which could be found, but its value does not interest us in the present consideration) . If the earth were revolving about the sun just above its surface we wo,uld have according to your data, for the centrifugal force MV 2 /R = (270/19) 2 X 92,000,000/440,000 X X = 42,500X. In this position the pull on the earth (that is, the centri- petal force) in accordance with the inverse square law would be (92,000,000/440,000) 2 X Y = 44,500Y. That is, both the centrifugal and the centripetal forces have been increased by the same amount, namely about 44,000- fold. The difference between 42,500 and 44,500 is due either to errors in my calculation or in the assumed data, or per- haps in both.* Perhaps it would be of interest to you should I give some numerical calculations. Assuming the mass of the earth to be 6 X 10 21 tons, its weight at the sun would be 27.5 X 6 X 10 21 , and, in accordance with the inverse square law, the pull of the sun upon the earth when in its orbit would be 27.5 X 6 X 10 21 X (440,000/92,000,000) 2 = 37 X 10" tons. (1) Note that (19/270) 2 = 440,000/92,000,000, so that Prof. Young virtually multiplies 165 X 10 21 by (440,000/92,000,000) 2 , as I have done. Note as above stated that the centrifugal force MV 2 /R is in poundals (32.2 poundals equals one pound). If V is in feet per second, R in feet, and M the mass in poundals, then the centrifugal force (Fc) exerted outward by the earth when *The error is chiefly in 19,- the Earth's orbital velocity in miles per second, which is too large, 18-525 being the velocity corresponding with the given distance. The Author. 398 APPENDIX A [212 in its orbit is given by Fc = (6X10 21 X2000X19 2 X5280 2 /92,000,000 X5280X32.2)lbs. = 38.2X10" tons.* (2) ! Note that equations (1) and (2) give concordant results considering that the computations are made roughly on the slide rule with rough data. Thus, for example, 19 miles per second, 92,000,000 miles, etc., are but rough approximates. 212. While I am not attempting to go into the criticisms of the astronomical side of your work with which I am not familiar, I will state that I believe that your criticisms of Kepler's second law seems to arise from a misapplication of that law. The areas swept out by the radius in unit time is a constant for a given planet, but a different constant for each planet, being greater for the more distant planets. I sincerely hope you will take these criticisms in the spirit in which they are given, and trust that you may take the advantage of the criticisms of competent astronomers also. With best regards and with fullest appreciation of the great amount of labor the work has been to you, I am, Sincerely yours, *The why, or wherefore, of this curious poundal equation is certainly not apparent. The ordinary method of determining centrifugal force is by means of the ratio of two distances and the ratio of the squares of two velocities ; while the poundal method eliminates one of the two dis- tances and the square of one of the two velocities. The latter method does not appear to get true results for the Earth at the Sun's surface, or for the Moon, or for any of the planets other than the Earth, in their proper orbits ; and that it gives an approximately true result in the case of the Earth appears to be merely an accident. The Author. REPLY TO DR. A'S CRITICISM February 5, 1915. Dear Sir: I am under great obligation to you for your examination of a part of my work, and for the seven or eight pages of Criticisms of it which you enclosed with the re- turned MS. Your reading of the latter was no doubt very cursory, and your criticisms hurriedly conceived and very briefly consid- ered; and I sincerely hope you will pardon me if I do not agree with them and point out to you the reasons why. 213. You say that, in Art. 18, I should change E 2 /80 to E 2 /80D 2 ; but this would not alter the conclusion arrived at in the slightest degree. The total mutual attraction of the Earth and the Moon is E 2 /80, or E 2 /80D 2 , or E 2 /80D 4 , which may be even more accurate still. Doubling the Moon's mass, we have E 2 /40, or E 2 /40D 2 , or E 2 /40D 4 , and doubling the Earth's mass, we have precisely the same values as when the Moon's mass is doubled. This is the absurdity, that doub- ling the Moon's mass produces precisely the same effect, ac- cording to the theory of gravitation, as doubling the Earth's mass. This absurdity you do not explain, nor does it appear to admit of explanation, either by magnetism or any other phenomenon. 214. Your reference to Art. 19, that "Gravitational at- traction is not energy, hence there is no conflict with the law of the conservation of energy," is certainly extraordinary and seems wholly inadmissible. If the action of the Sun in hold- ing the planets in their orbits and in causing bodies to fall towards its surface is not a manifestation of energy, then it is clear that energy must be defined anew and quite differ- ently from the conception of Faraday, Tait, and Kelvin. 215. With regard to the attraction of a spherical shell upon an external particle, P, (Art. 20) you suggest that the 400 APPENDIX A [215 greater attraction of the diametriaclly opposite equal ele- ments in the line CP m