NCREASE OF POPULATION IN THE UNITED STATES 1910-1920 -y INCREASE OF POPULATION IN THE UNITED STATES 1910-1920 A STUDY OF CHANGES IN THE POPULATION OF DIVISIONS, STATES, COUNTIES, AND RURAL AND URBAN AREAS, AND IN SEX, COLOR, AND NATIVITY, AT THE FOURTEENTH CENSUS BY WILLIAM S. ROSSITER CENSUS MONOGRAPHS I GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 1922 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE HERBERT HOOVER, Secretary BUREAU OF THE CENSUS . W. M. Steuart, Director EARTH SCIENCES UBRARy NOTE BY THE DIRECTOR OF THE CENSUS. The text of the main reports of the Fourteenth Census is for the most part limited to such explanatory matter as was deemed necessary for a correct understanding of the statistical tables. This limitation was de- cided upon in order to expedite the publication of the main reports and with a view to the preparation of a series of supplementary monographs analyzing and interpreting some of the more important subjects covered by the census inquiries. While the adoption of this policy marks a departure from usual census procedure, it is clearly a long step in ad- vance in the effort to make the decennial census of as much practical value to the Nation as possible. I have pleasure in adding that the decision of the bureau to publish this series of monographs is in line with the policy long urged by individuals and scientific organizations interested in the widest use of census returns and in the highest effi- ciency of the bureau. The first of this series is submitted herewith. To Mr. William S. Rossiter, of Concord, N. H., long an official of this bureau, chairman of the advisory committee to the Director of the Census and president of the American Statistical Association, was assigned the task of preparing a study of the increase of population as shown at the last census. His knowledge of the bureau and his previous work in the field of population analysis were believed especially to qualify him for this undertaking. Having but limited time available, Mr. Rossiter was fortunate in secur- ing the assistance of Mr. Willard L. Thorp, instructor in Social and Eco- nomic Institutions at Amherst College, of whose untiring and invaluable assistance in preparing data and writing much of the text he desires me to make full and grateful acknowledgment. Mr. Rossiter also expresses keen appreciation of the expert aid ren- dered by Mr. Le Verne Beales of this bureau, who supervised the prepara- tion of tables, edited manuscript, and contributed sections here and there which have greatly aided in strengthening this narrative of population change. It is appropriate that the first of this new series of census publications should deal with population increase as recorded by the historic decen- nial census of the United States. Accordingly, in the following pages is presented an orderly but not over-detailed narrative, which it is hoped will be found to gather interest and significance as it proceeds, of the increase of the Nation from 1910 to 1920, with some analysis of the changes which occurred during that period in the composition and residence of the population. 3 858?-2!2 CONTENTS. Pace. Introductory survey 9 Chapter I. — An historic decade: 1910-1920 15 Chapter II. — Growth of population in the United States before the I'our- teenth Census 21 Chapter III. — Increase of population in Nation and states 27 Chapter IV. — States which increased but slightly, or decreased, in popula- tion 37 Chapter V. — County increase or decrease 6a Chapter VI. — Rtu"al and urban increase or decrease 73 Chapter VII. — Increase or decrease of population considered by sex, nativity, and color S4 Chapter VIII. — Native whites of native parentage 87 Chapter IX. — Numerical importance of descendants of white persons enu- merated at tlie First Census 95 Chapter X. — Native whites of foreign or mixed parentage and foreign-born whites 1 03 Chapter XI. — Negro population 123 Chapter XII. — Indians, Chinese, and Japanese 133 Chapter XIII. — Influence upon population increase of changes in age, marital condition, and birth and death rates 139 Chapter XIV. — Influence uixtn population increase of development of agri- culture, maniifactures, and mining 155 Chapter XV. — Outlying possessions, exclusive of Philippines and Virgin Islands ; 171 Chapter XVI. — Summary and conclusion 180 APPENDIXES. Appendix A. — Estimates of the native white stock: 1900, 1910, and 1920 187 Appendix B. — Rate of natural increase in foreign white stock: 1900-1920 197 Appendix C. — Estimation of net immigration 199 Appendix D. — Fertility of native whites 205 Appendix E. — Construction of Tables 62, 63, and 64 207 Appendix F. — Computation of average numbers of children per native and foreign white mother 213 TEXT TABLES. Table i. — Population of the United States, with decennial increase: 1790- 1920 -21 Table 2. — Growth of population in area enumerated in 1790, with growth in remainder of continental United Stales: 1 790-1920 24 Table 3. — Increase of population, by divisions and states: 1910-1920 29 Table 4. — Increase or decrease of population in Maine : 1 790-1920 38 Table 5. — Ntunber of cities, towns, and other civil divisions in Maine show- ing increase or decrease in population, by coi^ties: 1920 41 Table 6. — Increase of population in Delaware: 1790-1920 42 Table 7. — Increase or decrease of population in New Hamjjshire : 1790-1920 ... 43 Table 8. — Towns and cities in New Hampshire classified by size, 1920, and by increase or decrease, 1910-1920, by counties , 45 Table 9. — Increase or decrease of population in Vermont: 1 790-1920 48 5 6 CONTENTS. Page- Table io. — Increase or decrease of population in Nevada: 1860-1920 53 Table ir. — Increase or decrease of population in Mississippi: 1800-1920 56 Table 12. — Increase or decrease of jK>pulation in Iowa: 1840- 1920 59 Table 13. — Number of counties, number decreasing in population, and aggre- gate population of decreasing counties, with per cent of United States total: i860, 1880, 1900, and 1920 63 Table 14. — Number and aggregate population of coimties or equivalent divi- sions whose population decreased during preceding decade, for the North and West in comparison with the South: i860, 1880, 1900, and 1920 65 Table 15.— Increase of rural and urban population: 1900-1920 75 Table 16. — Summary- of urban communities: 1920 78 Table 17. — Population of cities having, in 1920, 250,000 inhabitants or more, with increase and rank : 1920 and 1910 79 Table 18. — Growth of New York City in comparison with remainder of state: 1900-1920 80 Table 19. — Growth of cities in New York State having over 25,000 inhabitants, exclusive of New York City, in comparison with smaller commu- nities: 1900-1920 80 Table 20. — Summary of population in cities of 25,000 and over in 1920, and population outside such cities: 1920 and 1910 82 Table 21.— Growth of the white and colored elements of the population: 1790- 1920 85 Table 22. — Increase in total white population and in native whites of native parentage: 1860-1920 87 Table 23. — Increase of native whites of native parentage in comparison with increase in total population in cities of 100,000 inhabitants or more : 1900-1920 91 Table 24. — Native white population of native parentage, distributed as urban and rural : 1910 and 1920 92 Table 25. — Distribution of population and rate of increase by race and nativity : 1920 and 1900 100 Table 26. — Per cent distribution of foreign-bom whites and native whites of foreign or mixed parentage, by geographic divisions: 1920 and 1910 104 Table 27. — Foreign-bom white population of the United States, by country of birth : 1920 and 1910 113 Table 28. — Immigrants from specified coimtries, by decades: 1840-1920 114 Table 29. — Countries ranked according to number contributed to foreign-bom white population of the United States, as enumerated in specified census year: 1920, 1910, and 1900 117 Table 30. — Number of white Canadians, other than French, by geographic divisions: 1920 and 1910 119 Table 31. — Dominant nationalities among foreign-bom whites in cities having, in 1920, over 250,000 inhabitants: 1920 and 1910 121 Table 32. — Negro population and increase in Negro population of cities hav- ing, in 1920, more than 25,000 Negro inhabitants: 1920, 1910, and 1900 128 Table 33. — Indian population, by divisions and states: 1920, 1910, and 1900. . 134 Table 34. — Chinese population, by divisions and states: 1920, 1910, and 1900. . 136 Table 35. — Japanese pojjulation, by divisions and states: 1920, 1910, and 1900. 137 Table 36. — Proportions of children under 15 years of age and of persons 45 years of age and over in the total population: 1920, 19 10, and 1900. . . . 141 CONTENTS. Page. Table 37. — Summary of the marital condition of the population of the United States: 1920 and 1910 146 Table 38. — Per cent married in total number of males and females at specified ages: 1920 and 1910 148 Table 39. — Increase in total population of the United States, by decades, 1790-1920, with estimated increase which would have occurred diu-ing each decade had there been no immigration nor emigration in that decade, 1820-1920 152 Table 40. — Comparison of agriculture with manufactures and production of minerals on basis of^ number of persons engaged and value-prod- uct, by geographic divisions: 1919 156 Table 41. — Per capita value of products: Agriculture, manufactiu'es, and mining: 1919 157 Table 42. — Urbanization of population in comparison with industrial devel- opment, by geographic divisions: 1920, 1910, and 1850 160 Table 43. — Increase in population in comparison with increase in industrial activity, by geographic divisions: 1910-1920 168 Table 44. — Racial composition of the population of Alaska: 1920 and 1910. . . . 172 Table 45. — Population of Hawaii, by race, with per cent of increase: 1920 and 1910 174 Table 46. — Population of Porto Rico, by color or race and nativity: 1920 and 1910 177 Table 47. — Population of Guam, by color or race: 1920 177 Table 48. — Population of American Samoa, by race: 1920 178 Table 49. — Population of Panama Canal Zone, by color or race and nativity: 1920 179 DETAILED TABLES. Table 50. — Number and aggregate population of counties or equivalent divi- sions whose population decreased during preceding decade, by divisions and states: 1920, 1900, 1880, and i860 2 16 Table 51. — Urban population, classified in three groups, according to size of cities, 1920, with per cent of increase, 1910-1920 220 Table 52. — Population in cities having 25,000 inhabitants or more in 1920, and outside such cities, with increase or decrease, by divisions and states: 1920 and 1910 223 Table 53. — Increase in population, by color, nativity, and parentage, by divi- sions and states: 1910-1920 224 Table 54. — Urban and rtu-al population, by color and nativity, for divisions and states: 1920 and 1910 226 Table 55. — Native whites of native parentage in total, urban, and rural popu- lation, by divisions and states: 1920 and 1910 234 Table 56. — Proportion native white of native parentage in population of cities having, in 1920, 100,000 inhabitants or more: 1920 and 1910. . . 240 Table 57. — Per cent of increase by nativity and according to whether bom in division or state of residence, 1910-1920, and per cent distribu- tion by age and marital condition, 1920 241 Table 58. — Distribution of total population by nativity and of native popu- lation according to whether bom in division or state of residence : 1920 and 1910 242 Table 59. — Distribution of population according to color, nativity, and whether bom in state of residence, with ratio of increase in each class to total increase, for selected states: 1920 and 1910 244 CONTENTS Pace- Table 6o. — Per cent of increase according to color, nativity-, and whether bom in state of residence, 1910-1920, and per cent distribution of whites and Negroes by age and marital condition, 1920, for selected states 246 Table 61. — Proportions of children under 15 years of age and of persons45 years of age and over in total population, by divisions and states: 1920, 1910, and 1900 247 Table 62. — Number of persons engaged and value produced or added, for agriculture in comparison with manufactures and production of minerals, by divisions and states: 1919 248 Table 63. — Urbanization of population in comparison with industrial develop- ment, by divisions, 1920, 1910, and 1850, and by states, 1920 and 1910 249 Table 64. — Increase in population in comparison with increase in industrial activity: 1910-1920 253 Table 65. — Areas other than states enumerated at each census: 1 790-1920 254 Table 66. — Elements of population estimated by different methods: 1900 and 1920 25s Table 67. — Years of admission of states to Union 255 MAPS AND DIAGRAMS. Comparison of rate of increase in total population with rate of change of immi- gration: 1850-1920 23 Growth of population in area enumerated in 1790 25 Rate of population increase in the United States, by divisions: 1900-1920.. . 30 Rate of increase or decrease in total population, by states: 1910-1920 32 States which increased slightly in population, or decreased: 1910-1920 33 Maine — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920 39 Maine — Towns showing decrease: 1910-1920 40 Delaware — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920 ^2 New Hampshire — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920. . . 44 New Hampshire — Towns showing decrease: 1910-1920 47 Vermont — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1 900-1920 49 Vermont — Towns showing decrease: 1910-1920 51 Nevada — Increase or decrease in population of coimties: 1 900-1920 54 Mississippi — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920 :;8 Iowa— Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920 60 Missoiu"! — Increase or decrease in population of counties: 1900-1920 67 Counties in which population decreased: 1880 -1920 70 Counties in which population decreased: 1910-1920 71 Urban and rural population : 1890-1920 73 Increase in luban population, by classes of cities: 1890-1920 78 Color or race, nativity', and parentage, by divisions: 1920, 1910, and 1900 S6 States showing increase in foreign-bom white: 1910-1920 icg Foreign-lx)m population, by principal countries of birth: 1920 and 1910 117 States in which increase in Negro population was more than 1,000 and was at a higher rate than increase in total population: 1910-1920 126 Distribution of population by age periods: 1890-1920 140 Value of agricultural products, l;y states: 1919 158 Value of mimufactured products, by states: 1919 159 States which produced 3 per cent or more of total value of manufactured or agricultural products rcjjurted for the United States: ioiq 1(1 Per cent of increase in population, 1910-1920, and in manufactures, 1909-1919. . 1O9 Per cent of increase in population and agriculture : 1910-1920 169 INTRODUCTORY SURVEY. Four quarto volumes comprise the tabular presentation of the detailed returns of population at the Fourteenth Census of the United States. Within these volumes can be found all facts usually collected by the Government as a statistical record of the people. They form the basis for reaching decisions in innumerable official and private transactions, but for the average citizen, who in the end bears the responsibility and expense of the enterprise, they possess little real interest. Although the census volumes are available to all and are to be found in the principal libraries, the size and tabular character of the volumes deter the ordinary inquirer from attempts to learn the significance of census returns. In consequence, the popula- tion census, decade after decade, has been of interest principally to students of statistics, political economy, and government. The full public usefulness of these tabular records is seldom realized by Nation, state, or community, because much of the significance of the returns is not properly brought out by consistent and ade- quate analysis. Heated controversies, indeed, have arisen and writers have been subjected to criticism merely because accurate interpretation of census figures led to public knowledge of un- pleasant civic truths. An attempt is here made to present a statistical picture of national progress. Anyone M^ho desires to read the history of the United States in terms of changing numbers, racial strains, and places of residence, during a decade crowded with epoch-making events, may do so in these pages. It is especially the hope of the Director of the Census and of the author that this narrative, though deaUng solely with the results of the census returns, will be so illuminated by the vast national changes which the census records that the element of human interest will be ever present. Beyond all interest to individuals, however, is the possibility that clear presentation of the facts of population change may be of real help to some of the states or smaller subdivisions of the Union, where local problems of increase or decrease of inhabitants or change in race proportions may have become imsettling influences. Upon such matters it is generally the case that the Federal census alone offers authoritative information. 9 10 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The purpose of this monograph is primarily to describe the location and the group characteristics of the men, women, and children who composed the increase which took place from 1910 to 1920 in the population of the United States. This increase was 13,738,354 and represented the excess of inhabitants in the Nation enumerated by the Fourteenth Census, 1920, over the number enumerated at the Thirteenth Census, 19 10. Clearly enough, these persons were not in existence or not in the United States April 15, 1910, the enumeration date of the Thirteenth Census. This increment, however, represented but approximately one-half of the actual change which took place in the American people. The population of the United States at the Thirteenth Census was 91,972,266. How many of these persons were again enumerated at the Fourteenth Census, 1920? The answer to this question proves exceedingly interesting, since "increase of popu- lation" is commonly considered to represent merely the excess shown at a given enumeration over the last preceding enumeration. Between the taking of the Thirteenth Census and that of the Fourteenth, a scant 10 years (April 15, 19 10, to January i, 1920) elapsed. During that period the estimated number of deaths of persons enumerated in 19 10 was 11,240,000,^ hence the survivors of the Thirteenth Census available for enumeration at the Four- teenth Census, if in the United States, numbered only 80,730,000 on January i, 1920. Not all these persons, however, were in this country on that date. The decade was unusual for the great number of departures of aliens and foreign-bom and native-bom citizens to take part in the World War or to participate in hospital or other activities connected with it. The number of survivors, in 1920, of the emi- grants who left the United States between 1910 and 1920 has been estimated at 2,280,000.^ Hence, the survivors in this country of the Thirteenth Census, as previously specified, were further reduced ' Davis and Foudray, U. S. Census Bureau, 1922. This estimate was made from United States Life Tables, 1910, for both sexes and all races (p. 16), and the annual mortality rates for the death-registration area (Mortality Statistics, 1919, p. 9). ^ Emigration of aliens, April 15, 1910, to December 31, 1919, 2,070,000; emigration of citizens, July i, 1917, to December 31, 1919, 130,000 (not recorded prior to July i, 1917); excess of citizens departing (including nonemigrants) over citizens arriving (assumed to represent returning nonemigrants), April 15, 1910, to Jmie 30, 1917, 240,000; estimated total emigration, 2,440,000; estimated mortality to January i, 1920 (included in total mortalit>', 11,240,000, among persons enumerated in 1910), 160,000; estimated survivors January i, 1920, of emigrants diiring decade, 2,280,000. INTRODUCTORY SURVEY. U by that number, leaving 78,450,000.^ Therefore, instead of there being some 90,000,000 persons to enumerate again, together with the normal decennial increase, as might be supposed, the number of persons to be counted at the Fourteenth Census who had been counted before at least once did not greatly exceed the population enumerated 20 years before, 76,000,000. It remained for the Nation, when the count was made in 1920, to have made good by births and by immigration, first, the shrink- age noted from the population returned at the previous census, and second, having replaced the losses, to supply additional numbers to represent a normal increase over the total shown 10 years before. This replacement and increase were accomplished about as follows : Natives under 5 years of age, 1920 11,528,000 Natives from 5 to 9 years of age, inclusive, 1920 11,228, 000 Total natives under 10 years of age 22, 756, 000 Survivors of natives bom between January i and April 15, 1910 630, 000 Surviving natives bom since April 15, 1910 22, 126, 000 Surviving immigrants^ 5,345,000 Total additions (stated as a multiple of 10,000) 27, 470, 000 Survivors of the Thirteenth Census 78,450,000 Estimated population, 1920 105, 920, coo The close similarity between the total thus estimated and the number actually enumerated at the Fourteenth Census (105,710,- 620) constitutes credible evidence of the substantial complete- ness of the Foiuteenth Census enumeration. Moreover, it is pos- sible, or even probable, that the difference of only 210,000, or one- fifth of I per cent, between the total as estimated and as enu- merated is due in large part to an error in the estimated mortality. ' The actual number of Thirteenth Census survivors in this coimtry was somewhat larger, for the reason that the 2,280,000 survivors of the emigrants diu-ing the decade 1910-1920 included an indeterminate number of persons who had immigrated to this countrj' within the same decade. The error resulting from tlie assumption that all the emigrants during the decade were persons who had been enumerated in 19 lo is, however, offset by the assumption that all the survivors of the immigrants during the same decade were in the United States in 1920. 2 Total immigration, April 15, 1910, to December 31, 1919, 5,775,000; estimated mortality between arrival in the United States and December 31, 1919, 430,000; siu"- vivors, 5,345,000. 12 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. It is clear that vast changes in the composition and distribution of the population of the United States must have occurred in this brief period of lo years, involving the reclassification of a much larger number of persons than the 13,700,000 representing the net increase of population at the Fourteenth Census. By the act of Congress providing for the taking of the Thirteenth Census of the United States (1910) the date of enumeration was set as of April 15. This act broke the long-estabHshed precedent of taking the census as of June i of the census year. It also made impossible the comparison of exact decennial periods. The Thirteenth Census, in consequence of this change, fell one and one-half months short of covering a full decade. As the Fourteenth Census approached, the law providing for it again involved a change, setting January i of the census year as the date of enumeration. Thus another decade was "short," this time three and a half months less than a full decade, while the enumeration fell five months less than 20 years after the Twelfth Census. In all of the computations employed in this monograph it has been impossible to take these fractional shortages into account. Since the labor involved would have been prohibitive, the two periods specified have in general been accepted as full decades, and all calculations have been made on that basis. Nevertheless, these shortages are of some consequence statis- tically. In delicate computations, the differences involved might prove important. If the Thirteenth Census had been taken June I, 1910, instead of April 15, 1910, and a full decade covered, the result would have been approximately as follows: Estimated population June i, 1910 92,149,155 Actual population June i, 1900 75-994.575 Estimated lo-year increase 16,154,580 Increase during official census period 15, 977- 691 Difference , 176,889 Estimated 10-year per cent of increase 21.3 Official per cent of increase 21.0 There is a difference, for the short period of 45 days, of 177,000, or three-tenths of 1 per cent. If a corresponding estimate be maile INTRODUCTORY SURVE;Y. , ; ; ' 'i , 1' ! '.'. ; '' • ' fs' to cover a full decade from the census of 1910 to that of 1920, the following result appears: Estimated population April 15, 1920 106, 123,3.60 Actual population April 15, 1910 91,972,266 Estimated 10-year increase 14, 151, 094 Increase during official census period 13, 738, 354 Difference 412 , 740 Estimated 10-year per cent of increase 15. 4 Official per cent of increase 14- 9 For the shortage of tliree and a half months here involved, a marked difference appears of over 400,000, or five-tenths of i per cent. If, however, these changes prove in the end to be of service in leading to the permanent adoption of the best date for census taking, the temporary inaccuracies here noted will be of little consequence. To analyze the growth of population from 19 10 to 1920 most effectively, it is advisable, first, to sketch the economic back- ground , describing very briefly the changes and the forces at work from 1 9 10 to 1920 which might influence population increase as recorded at the Fourteenth Census, and second, to summarize concisely the results of previous censuses and the changing rates of national growth. With the economic condition of the nation and the facts of previous population change clearly before the reader, it is then possible to sketch the increase or decrease recorded in 1920 of the nation as a whole and of its geographic divisions, states, and smaller subdivisions, and then to analyze the population by its racial elements, with continual references to the more vital and significant changes and tendencies of the decade. Discussion of actual increase or decrease and accompanying changes naturally ends here, but no study of this character would be complete for 1920 without some reference, more or less detailed, to the influence upon population of changes in the family, in marriage, birth, and death rates, and also in manufactures and agriculture during a decade when they exerted unwonted influence upon population. William S. R-ossiter. I. AN HISTORIC DECADE 1910-1920. The Fourteenth Census of the United States was taken at the close of a decade which future historians are likely to regard as of far-reaching importance in the life of the Nation. The early part of this lo-year period witnessed important but peacefid economic changes, most of which were the result of con- tinuing national development. In the summer of 1914 the sudden outbreak of the great war in Europe began at once to affect the nations not involved, especially the United States. As the decade advanced, nation after nation entered the conflict, still further in- fluencing the economic condition of the United States, imtil this country in turn concentrated all its vast available resources, human and material, upon the task of winning the war. So great had been the effort to organize and dispatch abroad huge armies, and to concentrate man power arbitrarily at certain points upon the production of supplies and means of transporta- tion, that by January i, 1920, a year after the armistice, the read- justments necessary to restore the Nation to normal conditions were far from completed. It is, indeed, to be doubted whether those population tendencies which were in evidence as the decade opened and which were rudely disturbed a few years later by exciting world events will ever be fully resumed. Before considering actual changes in the population and in its racial and geographic distribution which occurred in this lo-year period, it is necessary to an unusual degree to have clearly in mind as a general background some of the principal economic changes which occurred during the decade, many of which directly affected the increase or decrease of population. Two composite views of the United States, one a picture of the Nation in 19 10, the other a picture taken in 1920, would show extraordinary differences — differences far greater than similar composites at other and corresponding periods, except perhaps in i860 and 1870. Comparison of social and economic conditions at the beginning of the decade with those at the end would surely reveal surprising differences. A normal development was to have been expected, but beyond this normal rate of expansion an external force, the World War, entered into the situation, revolutionizing 15 t6' INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. and reorganizing industrial and social life and making the decade one full of abnormal changes. Thus an orderly analysis of the growth of population in the United States from 1910 to 1920 proves of especial interest and importance, since in addition to those facts connected with increase or decrease which a census always records, the returns of the Fourteenth Census reflect many of the population changes produced by the war. No period of serious business depression occurred during the entire decade. By 1 910 the coimtry had quite recovered from the severe effects of the depression of 1907, and business continued fairly steady and undisturbed until the depression of early 191 4. This depression was intensified by the outbreak of the World War, but from the middle of 1915 the demand for agricultural and man- ufactured products which grew out of the war sent the industries of the Nation by 1916 to entirely new levels. Extreme activity and somewhat artificial prosperity continued until the end of the decade. This period was interrupted in the beginning of 191 9 by a decided slowing up of business immediately after the signing of the armistice, but the downward mov^ement was soon checked, and the year 1920 began with a favorable outlook. The decade, there- fore, from the standpoint of business, was an unusual one. That there would have been marked expansion, even without the war, is probably true. Markets were being extended in foreign countries, natural resoiu-ces were being opened up, new sources of power dis- covered, new methods of production introduced, and scientific management and efficiency engineering were becoming factors in business organization. Capital equipment had greatly increased, and the development ot electric railways, the automobile, tele- phone, wireless, and parcel post made the decade exceptional; while the creation of the Federal Reserve and Federal Farm Loan Systems facilitated industrial and agricultural development. With the outbreak of the war, a demand arose for manufac- tured products such as the country never before had been called upon to meet. An average* of index numbers of volume of pro- > The arithmetical arerage of four Index Numbers of Physical Volume of Produc- tion is as follows: 1910. 1918. E. E. Day. 93 "3 W.W. Stewart. 95 134 Carl Snyder. 91 139 W. I. King. 89 "3 Averaec. 9' I30 AN HISTORIC DECADE. 17 duction stands at 92 for 19 10 and 120 for 191 8, an increase of over 30 per cent. These figures indicate the physical volume of products quite apart from their value. This exceptional develop- ment, from its ver}^ nature, must not only have affected the growth of population but also have caused some redistribution within the country. The war also changed the relative importance of various indus- tries. Many readjustments were necessary, based on a "war" scale of values, since production for military needs bears little relation to production for normal requirements. Moreover, com- modities which had been in limited demand were suddenly required in large quantities. Many other industries were indi- rectly, but greatly, stimulated. Some, indeed, were actually created, such as the manufacture of certain chemicals and dyes. Mining operations, especially those relating to copper, zinc, and lead, were expanded to their utmost capacity, drawing many thousands of people to areas hitherto sparsely settled. These changes resulted in considerable redistribution of population. Cities doubled in size, and entirely new towns sprang up to accom- modate workers in shipbuilding and other plants. A Federal Housing Corporation was organized which constructed towns at short notice. Great numbers of Negroes migrated from their homes in the South to industrial cities of the North in response to the insistent demand for unskilled labor. Although it is true that, in the main, the industries so magnified had begun by 1920 to swing back toward prewar conditions, yet when the census was taken the effect of this tremendous readjust- ment was still visible. Certain industries in early stages of development in 19 10 grew abnormally during the decade. Doubtless they would have grown to large production had the period been entirely peaceful, but the war added artificial stimulus. The number of telephones in tlie country more than doubled. The motion- picture industry grew to surprising importance. The production of automobiles jumped over 1,200 per cent in 10 years. To the motor industry almost exclusively can be attributed the achievement of the city of Detroit in more than doubling its population, reaching prac- tically a million inhabitants, and the great increase during the decade in the number of persons gainfully employed in the entire state of Michigan. 107°— 22 2 18 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Although the automobile, by reducing the isolation of rural life, made the farm more attractive, there is no clear evidence that it retarded the movement from country to city. It is equally significant that the motor truck and farm tractor reduced the amount of labor and time necessar}'^ for the cultivation of farms and thereby made it possible for the number of persons engaged in agriculture to be reduced without material change in crop production. Agriculture during this period, however, was subject to many forces other than the introduction of the automobile and tractor. The development and application of scientific methods, the exten- sion of Government projects of irrigation and homesteading, the creation of the Federal Farm Loan System, and the technical developments of the period, all made greater crop production a possibility. But far beyond these in its influence was the abnor- mal demand for agricultural products, due to the eUmination by the war of certain European agricultural areas as sources of supply. The "war garden" movement in the cities was sympto- matic of the movement for greater production which appeared everywhere in the United States. Powerful forces were at work during the decade for the develop- ment of cities. The war called insistently for a greater variety and larger volume of products. This greater volume of output could be obtained either by more rapid work and longer working days by those already employed or by an increase in the number employed. Industrial establishments were located principally in cities, and so cities everywhere offered work to all at high wages and under improved working conditions. An increased number of workers, in turn, required more people to ser\'e them. Changes in population during the decade, however, were by no means confined to those arising from agriculture and other lines of industry; immigration and emigration, as well as internal migra- tion, were important factors. These also were greatly influenced by the war or were the direct result of it. Immigrants entering the country during the first five years of the decade averaged about 900,000 per aimum; during the last five years, 1915-1919, they averaged only a quarter of a million per annum, less than one- third as many. This sudden check in the number of immigrants affected definitely the population increase for the decade ; in fact, it was one of the largest factors limiting population growth. AN HISTORIC DECADE. 19 Emigration in the decade from 1910 to 1920 had a considerable effect on population. At the call of their native countries, large numbers of the foreign bom left the United States. These men were principal!)^ residents of eastern cities. The influence of this factor is clearly seen in the reduced percentages of increase for most cities in spite of the great influx of the rural element. Over 4,000,000 men, most of whom were withdrawn from agri- cultiu-e and other industries, entered the military and naval services in 191 7 and 191 8. These men were taken for a consider- able period from their homes and plunged into an entirely new enwonment. Out of an approximate total of 4,000,000 men under arms, more than 2,000,000 were transported to Europe. A large number never returned. The extent to which this phase of the war reduced the birth rate and caused permanent change of residence is not yet fully apparent. The increased demand for labor, arising from the expansion of industr}', while at the same time the available supply of labor was reduced, afforded opportunity for many women to become wage earners under exceptionally favorable conditions. Old prejudices against women's capacity as industrial workers abated. The importance of this change is not yet evident, but such increasing activity on the part of women in industr}' must effect definite results in family life, and thereby influence future population changes. To those who l^elieve that conditions of living and working are factors affecting population growth, the decade offered a number of interesting developments, namely: The Federal child -labor law; the general decrease in the length of the working day; the movement toward safety and accident prevention; the develop- ment of community and welfare work; the attempts to meet the housing problem in systematic fashion; and finally a period of unusually general employment, high wages, and business activity. Until 1900 the flow of population was mainly westward. From that census it appeared that the current had slackened, and changes of population became more dependent upon isolated developments in different sections of the countn,-, such as irriga- tion, the settlement of Oklahoma, orcharding in the far North- west, and the mining and oil discoveries of the vSouthwest, The Central states and the South grew in industrial importance. The eddies and currents of population tended increasingl}'' to follow changing industrial development. This naturally led to an ac- 20 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. celerated increase in urban population. It remained for the decade rnider consideration to record an aggregate population in the 68 cities of 100,000 inhabitants and over, so great that they comprised more than one-quarter of the entire population of the United States. This tendency has, as suggested, kept pace with the industrial development — in fact, has been guided largely by it. But the tendency of the American people to concentrate in cities was stimulated b}' the war, and economically is probably the most important development indicated by the Fourteenth Census. II. GROWTH OF POPULATION IN THE UNITED STATES BEFORE THE FOURTEENTH CENSUS. The population of the United States in 1920 was 27 times as great as that returned at the First Census, 130 years before. This record of remarkable increase has been discussed fully in census reports and by many statisticians and others interested in the growth of the Nation. Some reference, however, to past rates of growth is essential in order to make possible an intelligent consideration of the rate of increase between 19 10 and 1920. Tabi,e I. — Population of thb United States, with Decennial Increase: i 790-1920. CENSUS YEAR. 1790 1800 181O 1820 1830 1840 1850 i860 1870 1880 1890. 1900 I9IO 1920. Population. 3,929,214 5.308.483 7,239,881 9,638,453 12,866,020 17,069,453 23,191,876 31.443.321 '39,818,449 50. 15s. 783 62,947,714 75.994.575 91,972,266 105, 710,620 Total decennial increase. 1,379,269 1,931,398 2,398,572 3.227,567 4.203,433 6, 122,423 8,251,445 '8,375,128 ' 10.337.334 12,791,931 13,046,861 15.977.691 13.738,354 Per cent of increase. 35.1 36-4 33-1 23'S 32-7 35-9 35-6 26.6 26.0 25-5 20.7 21.0 14.9 ' Estimated correction for error in census of 1870. The first 70 years of census taking in the United States (1790 to i860) disclosed a fairly uniform increase in population of about one-third every 10 years. This uniformity created an impression which became quite general, especially among those unfamiliar with the factors limiting population change, that a one-third increase per decade was a "natural" or normal rate of growth for the United States, and could be confidently expected to continue. Even so thoughtful a student of national affairs as President Lin- coln fell into the error of regarding this long-continued and roughly 22 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. uniform increase as a safe proportion by means of which to project the growth of the country's population well into the future. This subject evidently deeply impressed Mr. Lincoln. In his first annual message he said : ' ' There are already among us those who, if the Union be preserv^ed, will live to see it contain 250,000,000." In his second annual message he predicted 187,000,000 inhabitants in the United States in 1920.^ The uniformly high rate of increase during the period 1790 to i860 was the direct result of the expansion of a new nation by an extremely virile and fertile race. At the First Census, 1 790, chil- dren under the age of 16 averaged almost exactly three per white family.- This surprisingly high proportion demonstrates without need for further proof the unusual fertility of the so-called native stock, which apparently continued with little diminution until the end of this period. Prior to i860 the United States was practi- cally in the pioneer stage; land was plentiful, agriculture was the general occupation, life was simple. Economic conditions, ways of living, and the natural inclinations of a plain people made the family the most important institution of the time. The rearing of large families was the normal and proper objective of life. But the Civil War brought this early period to a close, and was followed by an era of readjustment and a great industrial awaken- ing. This was stimulated by new inventions and the wider application of such earlier ones as the steam engine, by develop- ment of technical methods, and by the rapid construction of railroad systems. Coincidentally with the development of in- dustry and the great accumulation of wealth, came many so- cial changes. Old ideals tended to yield to new ones. Increas- ing complexities of life and more alluring opportunities for personal gratification appeared and multiplied while at the same time the urgent need for large families steadily decreased. These and many other factors contributed after i860 to bring about the continued decline in the rate of population increase. It was not until after the Civil War that there was a large inllux ' Richardson, Messages of the Presidents, VI, pp. 58, 138. - The average number of children under 16 per family, for all classes of the jxjpu- lation, in 1920 was a trlHe less than 1.5. (The corresponding average for white families in 1920 has not been computed.) Census " families " differ somewhat from natural families, in that the former include certain economic groups, such as boarders or lodgers in hotels, boarding houses, and lodging houses, and inmates of institutions, who are not related by blood. GROWTH BEFORE FOURTEENTH CENSUS. 23 of immigrants whose racial antecedents differed from those of the people who constituted the great bulk of the population at the time of the First Census. The increased numbers of foreigners who sought the United States seemingly should have tended to raise the percentage of population increase; instead, the rate of increase actually declined. As the industrial life of the Nation developed and as living became more complicated, especially in rapidly growing cities, still further declines in the per cent of increase of the national population appeared from decade to decade, with one exception. The Thirteenth Census showed a Comparison of Rate of Increase in Total Population with Rate of Change OF Immigration: 1850-1920. \ LPOPULATIDM 1\ T ^ slight increase over the rate shown for the previous census. This was the direct result of the great influx of immigrants from 1900 to 1 9 10 — a number in the aggregate so large as to raise the rate of population increase shown in 19 10 and thus to be capable of overcoming for the decade the general tendency toward a declining rate of growth. The narrative of population growth in the United States prior to 1920 is hardly complete without reference to the effect of territorial expansion. Although the total area of the United States in 1790 was 867,980 square miles, the First Census, taken 24 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. in that year, covered only 417,170 square miles/ the remainder being so sparsely populated that it was impracticable to canvass it. In this area of a little more than 400,000 square miles — scarcely equal to the combined areas of California and Texas — which contained practically the entire population of the country in 1790, there were enumerated 45,379,381 persons in 1920, as com- pared with a total of 60,331,239 in the remainder of the country, consisting of 450,000 square miles belonging to the United States in 1790 but not enumerated, together with over 2,100,000 square miles added since 1790. Table 2. — Growth of Population in Area Enumerated in 1790, WITH Growth in Remainder of Continental United States: 1790T1920. CENSUS YEAR. POPULATION OF AREA ENUMERATED IN 1790. POPULATION OP REMAINDER OP CONTINENT.^. UNITED STATES.' Number. Per cent of increase. Number. Per cent of increase. 1790 3,929,214 5.247.355 6,779.308 8,293,869 10,240,232 11,781,231 14,569,584 17.326,157 19,687,504 23.925.639 * 28, 188,321 33.553.630 39.930.335 45.379.381 1800 33-5 29.2 22.3 23-5 15-0 23-7 18.9 13-6 21. 5 17.8 19.0 19.0 136 61,128 460,573 1,344,584 22,625,788 * 5,288,222 8,622,292 14, 117, 164 18,870,867 26,230,144 34,759.393 42,440,945 52,041,931 60,331.239 181O 653-5 191. 9 95-3 101.4 63.0 63-7 33-7 39-0 32-5 1820 18^0 1840 1850 i860 1870 1880 1800 1000 lOIO 22.6 15-9 1020 1 Area belonging to the United States but not enumerated in 1790, together with area added since 1790. ' Including 5,318 persons stationed abroad, in the naval service of the United States. * Including 6,100 persons stationed abroad, in the naval service of the United States. * The population of Indian reservations, first enumerated in 1890, is here included with that of the areas in which located. Inspection of Table 2 shows that the percentages of increase of population in the area covered by the First Census and in the remainder of the country, which percentages at earlier periods bore no resemblance to each other, tended toward similarity as the added area was developed and populated, and that at the census of 1920 they differed less than at any previous census. The increase during the last decade in the original area was slightly less than the increase for the entire country, while that for the added area was slightly larger. ' This area now comprises Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia, West Virginia, Nortli Carolina, South Carolina, Ken- tucky, Tennessee, and part of Georgia. GROWTH BEFORE FOURTEENTH CENSUS. 25 The record of population change during the 1 30 years of American census taking indicates remarkably steady growth for the first 70 vears, followed by a lower but equally steady rate of increase for 30 years (from i860 to 1890), a still lower rate during the next two decades, and a sharp decline in the rate from 1910 to 1920. Indeed, were the decrease in the rate of increase shown in 1920 as compared with 19 10 to be repeated in 1930, the increase at the Fifteenth Census would be but 8.8 per cent; and if it continued to sink as sharply after that year, increase would cease and decrease begin before 1950. This serves to illustrate the marked change which occurred in the percentage of increase from 19 10 to 1920 in comparison with those of earlier decades. If, however, due allowance were made for the effect of immigration, the decline in the rate for 19 10 to 1920 as compared with the rates for preceding decades would be less pronounced, as will be seen from Table 39 (p. 152), which shows for each decade the rate of naturalincrease due to excess of births over deaths, except to the extent to which ■ the widening of the area of enumeration at certain censuses was a factor. Growth of Population in Area Enumerated in 1790, with Growth in Remainder of Country: 1790-1920. 26 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. It is reasonable, therefore, to expect that future censuses will continue to show moderate rates of increase characteristic of rather fully settled countries.* ' The rates of increase in population for England, Belgium, France, Italy, and Ger- many for the latest normal lo-year periods for which figures are available were as follows : England . . Belgium . . France . . . Italy Germany . Period. 1901-1911 1900-1910 1901-1911 1901-1911 1900-1910 Per cent of increase. 10. s 10. 9 1.6 «6.6 IS» I Adjusted to apply to exact lo-year period. Rate for lo years, 4 months, 6.8 per cent. III. INCREASE OF POPULATION IN NATION AND STATES. From 1 910 to 1920 the number of inhabitants of the United States increased 13,738,354. Great as this increment was, that which occurred from 1900 to 1910 exceeded it, being the largest decennial increase so far attained, nearly 16,000,000. Fourteen millions, however, the increase in round numbers from 1910 to 1920, exceeded all previous increases except that shown in 1910, and suggests the immense proportions to which the population of the United States has attained. So great, indeed, is it that the net additions to the Nation over deaths and departures for the last lo-year period averaged nearly 4,000 persons per day. PERCENTAGE OF NATIONAL INCREASE. The mere increase from 1910 to 1920 was greater than the entire population of the Republic in 1830; it was equal to more than twice the total population of New England in 19 10; it almost equaled the aggregate population of 21 of the 48 states in 1920. And yet, although the figure denotes a population growth of such dimensions, its significance lies not in the fact that it was so large but rather in the fact that it represented the smallest per- centage of increase ever reported by a Federal census. From 1900 to 1 910 the rate of increase was 21 per cent; from 1910 to 1920 but 14.9 per cent; and this low record compares sharply with the previous low rate, 20.7 per cent, shown for the decade 1890 to 1900. The extremely low rate of population increase for the last decade was a continuation of the tendency previously pointed out as having become marked since 1870 but which had never before been so pronounced. The decline in immigration was, of course, one of the chief causes which lowered the rate of increase. Had the average an- nual immigration and emigration throughout the entire decade been the same as for the five-year period ended June 30, 1915,* ^ That is, the period of five fiscal years which most closely approximated the first half of the period between the Thirteenth and Fourteenth Census dates. 27 28 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 191Q-1920. the population enumerated in 1920 would have been nearly 108,000,000 instead of 105,710,620, and the rate of increase would have been a little more than 17 per cent instead of 14.9 per cent. Thus the decline in immigration during the period from the out- break of the war to the taking of the Fourteenth Census was an influential factor in the lowering of the percentage of increase; but even had immigration continued at a record rate throughout the decade, the percentage of the national population increase still would have been lower than that shown by any previous census of the United States. Another method by which to examine the influence of immigra- tion upon increase of population is to eliminate fluctuation by taking some such decade as 1890 to 1900 as a standard and by calculating the rates of increase for succeeding decades on the basis of a net immigration which would contribute the same propor- tion of population increase that it actually did contribute between 1 890 and 1 900. Thus adjusted, the combined rate of increase would have been 20. 7 per cent for 1 890 to 1 900, 1 8 per cent for 1 900 to 1 9 1 o, and 15 per cent for 1 910 to 1920; and of the increase during each decade a trifle less than three-fourths would have been due to excess of births over deaths among the population enumerated at the beginning of the decade, and slightly more than one-fourth to excess of immigration over emigration plus excess of births over deaths in the families of the immigrants after arrival in this country. That is to say, during 1890 to 1900 the natural increase in the population would have been 15.2 per cent and the increase due to immigration would have been 5.5 per cent; between 1900 and 1 910 the two sources of increase would have yielded 13.2 per cent and 4.8 per cent, respectively; and between 1910 and 1920, 1 1 per cent and 4 per cent, respectively. Both these computations go to show that were immigration either less fluctuating or were it even increased to the highest rate yet known, still the percentage of national increase would tend downward. Hence the percentage of increase for the last decade (14.9) takes on much significance, since it indicates a definite slowing down in the rate of national population increase. The results of immigration restriction if continued throughout the next decade, coupled with a continua- tion of the tendency already recognized toward lessened increase of the American people, suggest that the Fifteenth Census will show a rate of increase probably even lower than that brought out by the Fourteenth Census. INCREASE IN NATION AND STATES. 29 Table 3. — Increase of Population, by Divisions and States; 1910-1920. POPULATION. DIVISION AND STATE. United States. Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central . West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central . West South Central. Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania E.^t North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Colimibia. Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi We.st South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Orecon California Number. 105, 710,620 7, 400, 909 22, 261, 144 21,475.543 12,544,249 13,990,272 8,893.307 10, 342, 224 3,336,101 =;,s66,87i Per cent of total. Number. 91,972, 266 7.0 21. 1 20.3 11.9 13-2 8.4 9-7 3-^ S-3 6,552,681 19,315,892 18,250,621 11,637,921 12, 194,895 8,409,901 8, 784, 534 2,633,517 4,192,304 768,014 0.7 742,371 443,083 0.4 430,572 352,428 0-3 355,956 3,852,356 3-6 3,366,416 604,397 0.6 542,610 1,380,631 1-3 1,114,756 0,385,227 9.8 9,113,614 3,155,900 3-0 2,537,167 8, 720,017 8.2 7,665, III 5,759,394 5-4 4,767,121 2,930,390 2.8 2, 700,876 6,485,280 6.1 5,638,591 3,668,412 3-5 2,810, 173 2,632,067 2-5 2,333,860 2,387,125 2-3 2,075,708 2,404,021 2-3 2,224,771 3,404,055 3-2 3,293,335 646,872 0.6 577,056 636,547 0.6 583,888 1,296,372 I. 2 1,192,214 1,769,257 1-7 1,690,949 223,003 0. 2 202,322 1,449,661 1.4 1,295,346 437,371 0.4 331,069 2,309,187 2. 2 2,061,612 1,463,701 1-4 I, 221, 119 2,559,123 2.4 2,206, 287 1,683,724 1.6 1,515,400 2,895,832 2.7 2,609, 121 968,470 0.9 752,619 2,416,630 2-3 2,289,905 2,337,885 2. 2 2, 184, 789 2,348, 174 2. 2 2,138,093 I, 790,618 1- 7 1,797,114 1,752,204 I- 7 1,574,449 1,798,509 1-7 1,656,388 2,028,283 1.9 1,657,155 4,663,228 4.4 3,896,542 548, 889 o- 5 376,053 431,866 0.4 325,594 194, 402 0. 2 145,965 939,629 0.9 799,024 360,350 0.3 327,301 334,162 03 204,354 449, 396 0.4 373,351 77,407 0. I 81,875 1,356,621 1-3 1,141,990 783,389 0.8 672.76s 3,426,861 3-2 2,377.549 Per cent of total. 19-8 12.7 13-3 9.1 9.6 2.9 4.6 j 0.8 o-S 0.4 3-7 0.6 9.9 2.8 8-3 2-3 2.4 3-6 0.6 0.6 2.4 1.6 2.8 0.8 2.4 2-3 2.0 O. 2 0.9 0.4 0.7 a. 6 increase.' 1910 to 1920. Number. 13,738,354 848,228 2,945,252 3,224,922 906,328 1,795,377 483,406 1,457,690 702, 584 1.374,567 25,643 12,511 -3,528 485,940 61,787 265,87s 1,271,613 618,733 1,054,906 992, 273 229,514 846,689 858,239 298, 207 311,417 179,250 no, 720 69,816 52,659 104, 158 78, 308 20,68i 154.315 106,502 247,575 242, 582 352,836 168,324 286, 711 215,851 126,725 153,096 210,081 —6,496 l77f75S 142, 121 371,128 766,686 172,836 106, 272 48,437 140, 605 33,049 129,808 76,041; —4, 468 214,631 110,624 1,049.31- Per cent. 12.9 IS- 2 17-7 7.8 14.7 5-7 16.6 26. 7 32.8 3-S 2.9 — I.O 14.4 II. 4 23-9 14.0 24.4 13-8 20.8 8.5 iS-o 30.5 12.8 150 8.1 3-4 12. 1 9.0 8.7 4.6 9.8 —0.4 "■3 8.6 22.4 19.7 46.0 32.6 33-2 17.6 10. I 63- 5 20.4 -5- 5 18.8 16. 4 Per cent of in- crease,' 1900 to 1910. 17. a 23.0 14-2 12. S 16.8 II. 4 34-5 57-3 73-5 6.9 4.6 3-6 20.0 26.6 22. 7 25.4 34-7 21.6 14.7 7-3 16.9 16. I 11.8 18. s —0.3 6.0 80.8 45-4 II. 8 iS-o 10. 2 9-S II.9 32-2 9.0 18.8 12. ri.2 19.9 16.0 27.4 16.5 n. I 13.1 II. 28.7 i 17-7 1 42-4 6.6 8.1 16.9 IS- 8 20.0 19.9 109.7 27-8 54- S 101.3 57- 7 48.0 67-6 66.2 34-9 93-4 120-4 62.7 60. I ' A minus sign ( — ) denotes decrease. 30 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. INCREASE BY GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIONS. Upon advancing the analysis of population increase from the Nation as a whole to geographic divisions, it appears from Table 3 that from 1910 to 1920 the general migration of population westward decidedly slackened and that population changes dur- ing the decade were irregular, showing less evidence of a well- defined geographic tendency than was shown in the previous dec- ade. In general, they were dependent on industrial development. Rate of Population Increase in the United States, by Divisions: 1900-1920. PER CENT 40 UNITED STATES GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIONS PACIFIC HPH MOUNTAIN EAST NORTH CENTRAL WEST SOUTH CENTRAL MIDDLE ATLANTIC SOUTH ATLANTIC NEW ENGLAND WEST NORTH CENTRAL CAST SOUTH CENTRAL 1910 TO 1020 EZ2Z^SI800 TO 1910 The Mountain and Pacific divisions continued to show higher percentages of increase than did other sections of the country, but for the decade 1910 to 1920 these rates were sharply reduced as compared with the preceding decade. WTiereas at the previous census 10 of the 11 states in these two divisions showed rates of increase more than twice the average for the entire country, at the recent census only 5 of the 1 1 could be so classified. The division of most significance is the East North Central, consisting of Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, and Wisconsin. This division alone, of the nine into which the country is divided, showed a rate of increase from 1910 to 1920 higher than for the previous decade. It is much more than a coincidence that within this same area occurred the notable industrial expansion of the period. In contrast with the rapid growth in the East North Central group was the very low rate of increase reported by the East South Central division. A considerable northward migra- tion of Negroes from the South during the war naturally increased the rate shown in the one region at the expense of the other. INCREASE IN NATION AND STATES. 31 RATE OF INCREASE BY STATES. Of the 48 states which compose the Union, 45 reported increases of population from 1910 to 1920. The percentage of increase in 20 states exceeded that for the United States. Eight of these lay east of the Mississippi and 12 west of it. Twelve states, or one-quarter of all, reported increases exceeding 20 per cent. They were : Arizona 63. 5 Montana 46. o California 44-1 Wyoming 33. 2 Idaho 32. 6 Michigan 30. 5 Florida 28. 7 New Jersey 24. 4 Connecticut 23. 9 Oklahoma 22. 4 Ohio 20. 8 Utah 20. 4 At the other extreme, the 12 states which either showed the lowest percentages of increase, or actually decreased, were: Increase. Louisiana 8. 6 Indiana 8. 5 Iowa 8. 1 Tennessee 7. o Kentucky 5. 5 Kansas 4. 6 Maine 3. 5 Missouri 3. 4 New Hampshire. ... 2. 9 Decrease. Mississippi o. 4 Vermont i. o Nevada 5. 5 With two exceptions, Indiana and Iowa, the 12 states recording the lowest percentages of increase, or decrease, show declines, in most cases considerable, in rate of growth during the past decade. Taken as a group, the 12 states registered an increase of approxi- mately 1,000,000 in 1920, as against 1,500,000 in 1910. With the exception of the three northern New England states, long nearly stationary in population, and Nevada, traditionally dependent on mining as the result of the recurring discoveries of precious metals, the states showing loss or extremely low per- centages of increase form an irregular group in the central and southern parts of the United States. In all the states in this group the rural areas tended to decrease in population, and no doubt contributed, from communities and industries not stimu- lated by war conditions, to those, especially in the great central industrial states near by, which urgently called for both skilled and unskilled labor. In Louisiana, for example, much of the shrinkage from the 19.9 per cent of increase from 1900 to 19 10 to the 8.6 per cent shown in 1920 was due to the conversion of a Negro increase of 63,000 in the earlier decade into a loss of over 13,000 in the later period. This, like similar losses in Negro population reported by other Southern states, and elsewhere more fully discussed, resulted directly from the exceptional con- ditions appearing in the decade from 19 10 to 1920. D o < O H - r- „ o a T3 So 2^ 8 8 « ^ i a s s s ^ -5 h w O O O ^ >► ^ wi -t-t w ■*-- C >■ O ,42 S g S DliPS 32 1 i / * / i i } i d ' I / i — 1 — ' / ^ o 1 i i ^'^ y -l i. ^ ^ \t, M CI W 107°— 22- 33 34 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The five states which show the highest percentages of increase from 1910 to 1920 were all in the West. With the exception of California each of these states had a small population, so that its rate was sharply affected by a numerical increase small in com- parison with the increases shown by many of the larger states. The general causes for these high rates of growth in the five states specified were evident. Irrigation, for example, added to the farms of Arizona over 147,000 acres of fertile soil, or approximately 46 per cent. This figure is of especial significance because of the fact that nearly 66 per cent of the improved farm land in Arizona is subject to irrigation. Still greater irrigation projects were undertaken during the decade in other states, and exerted a decided influ- ence upon population increase. California, with 1,555,000 acres added during the decade to its improved farm land by new irriga- tion enterprises, and Idaho, with 1,058,000 acres, showed the greatest developments along these lines. Nevada, the one western state in which an actual decrease in population took place, and in which 94.4 per cent of all improved farm land is irrigated, showed a decrease in irrigated acreage of 140,000, or 20 per cent. During the decade over 35,000,000 acres in Montana and more than 18,000,000 in California were taken up on original homesteading grants. These agricultural developments may also be raeasiu-ed in other terms. The increase in the number of farms in the entire country was 1.4 per cent. In comparison with this figure the number of farms in Montana increased by 1 20 per cent, wliile in Wyoming the increase was 43.3 per cent, in Idaho 36.7 per cent, and in CaHfornia 33.4 per cent. The increase in mere number of farms, however, is not always significant. The number of farms in Arizona, for example, increased 8.1 per cent, but the number of acres in the farms increased 365.4 per cent. The agricultural resources of the West continue to be developed, but depend less and less upon mere cultivation and more upon scientific assistance such as irrigation. There was considerable growth in the western cities, Los Angeles being the striking example, with an increase of over a quarter of a million persons during the decade. This increase was drawn largely from distant states, and doubtless entailed no unwonted drain upon rural California. INCREASE IN NATION AND STATES. 35 While the first five states in order of rate of increase from 1910 to 1920 are in the Far West, the next four are all east of the Mississippi River, being, in order, Michigan, Florida, New Jersey, and Connecticut. The expansion of population in these states was in all cases well above that of the country as a whole. The growth of Michigan resulted in the main from the automobile industry. Florida developed its possibilities as an agricultural state, although a considerable part of its growth appeared in Jacksonville, Tampa, and Pensacola. Moreover, Florida un- doubtedly benefited by the change in the date of enumeration from April 15 in 19 10 to January i in 1920. The states of New Jersey and Connecticut both declined somewhat in agriculture, but expanded in population because of the war demands for munitions, ships, and manufactured products. NUMERICAL INCREASE. In analysis of population changes it is customary to utilize the percentage as the conclusive measure of increase or decrease. Such measurement, however, reflects merely what has happened in relation to a given base. If that is small, population increase may bulk large in percentage and very small in actual numbers. Thus in 1920 some of the largest percentages related to numerical increases scarcely noticeable in the national increase. Hence mere percentage measurement may prove extremely misleading. Is the percentage of state increase a just measurement of popu- lation change within the Union? After all, it has come about that in the broadest sense states are but geographic districts of a great and united Nation. Are not those who study the returns of the Federal censuses as throwing light upon national development more concerned with actual numerical increase or decrease, and especially the distribution of the 14,000,000 additional inhabitants recorded in 1920, than with mere percentage fluctuations ? If this be granted, it will be profitable to consider in some detail numerical increase. Some states may be conspicuous in both classifications, but it is to be expected that great centers of population, however low their percentages of increase, will con- tribute the greater part of the total increase shown by the Nation. 36 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The 12 states which made the largest numerical contributions toward the increase of nearly 14,000,000 reported in 1920 were as follows, in the order of numbers contributed: Total 8, 979, 772 New York 1,271, 613 Pennsylvania i, 054, 906 California i, 049, 312 Ohio 992, 273 Michigan 858, 239 Illinois Texas New Jersey. . . . Massachusetts. . Oklahoma North Carolina. Minnesota 846, 689 766, 686 618, 733 485, 940 371.128 352, 836 3". 417 These states, therefore, supplied about 9,000,000 of the entire increase occurring from 19 10 to 1920. Thus one-quarter of the states contributed about two-thirds of the total population growth. These obviously were the main sources or channels of national increase. IV. STATES WHICH INCREASED BUT SLIGHTLY, OR DECREASED, IN POPULATION. In the preceding analysis 1 2 states have been specified as the most liberal numerical contributors toward the national increase in 1920. The 12 states at the other extreme must, of course, include the three which reported actual decrease in population during the decade. The list which follows is thus grouped in two parts: states showing low numerical increase, and states showing decrease. Increase. ' Decrease. Utah 76,045 North Dakota .... 69, 816 Delaware 20, 681 j Mississippi 6. New Hampshire. . 12, 511 | Rhode Island 61, 787 South Dakota. ... 52, 659 Wyoming 48,537 New Mexico 33, 049 1 Vermont 3, 528 Maine 25, 643 Nevada 4, 468 Of those states in the group which showed increase, the highest, Utah, contributed but 76,000; and the lowest, New Hampshire, less than 13,000. The entire group of 12 states made a net con- tribution of less than 400,000 persons to the increase of 14,000,000 added to the national population from 19 10 to 1920. It is thus of much interest to observe at one extreme a group of 12 states which together contributed nearly two- thirds of all the national increase and at the other extreme a group of states equal in number which together contributed but one thirty-sixth of the total in- crease during the decade. Had the latter 12 states returned an aggregate increase at the percentage shown by the Nation as a whole from 19 10 to 1920, their numerical increase, instead of being less than 400,000, would have approached 1,000,000. . Attention is invited to the changes during the decade in the three states showing the smallest increase, and in the three which decreased. STATES SHOWING SMAI.I. INCREASES. Maine. Since i860 the highest rate of increase in Maine, 6.9 per cent, was that for the decade 1900 to 1910. 37 38 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. There are i6 counties in the state. Of these, 5 decreased in population from 1910 to 1920. They are located along the coast from Lincoln County, which borders on the Kennebec River, to the Canadian border. The decline in this coast region is but the continuation of a tendency which has been manifesting itself for a considerable period. Two of these counties, Lincoln and Waldo, have decreased at each census since 1850; Hancock and Knox have decreased during each decade since 1880; and Washington has decreased at both of the last two censuses. In i860 these five counties had an aggregate population of 179,314, as compared with 135,619 in 1920. At the latter census they contained but 5 cities and 3 towns with more than 2,500 inhabitants, the largest being Rockland , 8 , 1 09 . This is the oldest settled area in the state and has long been a shipping and fishing center. The other counties have, in the main, shown consistent increase in population, except Sagadahoc, which decreased 8.6 per cent during the decade from 1900 to 1 9 10, This is the next county southwest of the group which has so steadily decreased. Table 4. -Increase or Decrease of Population in Maine: 1790-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Percent. 1800 55. 179 76, 986 69, 630 lor, 120 102, 338 81,376 45, no 57-2 50-7 30-4 33-9 25.6 16. 2 7-7 1870 — 1.364 22, 02r 12, 150 33. 380 47. 905 25. 643 — 0. 2 181O i88o 3-5 1.9 50 6.9 3-5 1820 1800 18^0 1900 184.0 I9IO i8so TQ20 i860 Aroostook alone, of all the counties, showed an increase in im- proved farm land, whereas the state as a whole showed a loss in this respect of 383,328 acres, or 16.2 per cent. The growth in this county is a continuance of the expansion due to the discovery that its soil was particularly favorable to the raising of potatoes. This one county alone produced 2 1 ,33 1 ,934 bushels of potatoes in 19 1 9, at a yield of 252 bushels per acre, and was the leading county in the United States in potato production. STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 39 In 1900, 33.5 per cent of the inhabitants of the state were urban; in 1910, 35.3 per cent; and in 1920, 39 per cent. Although the rural population in the entire state decreased by nearly 12,000, in five counties it showed increases— Aroostook, Franklin, Penobscot, Piscataquis, and York. Maine — Increase or Decrease in PoPLn,ATioN op Counties: 1900-1920. I I Increase both 1910 and 1920 Decrease 1910; increase 1920 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 BSB Decrease both 1910 and 1920 Movement toward large towns and cities was as evident in Maine as elsewhere in the Nation. Most of the cities in the state showed gains during the decade, Portland leading with an increase of over 10,000. Bath, with 56. S, had the highest per- centage of increase. This is probably due to war-time expansion, because of the fact that the only steel shipbuilding industry in the state is located there. The six principal cities of the state together contributed more than the entire increase in population reported by the state in 1920. Maine — Towns Showing Decrease: 1910-1920. f-^r-i-^' I'^cj^io - "^ IS; ^i.:^^;p" Shaded areas show decrease. No population reported. iS^ ^^v STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 41 Decreases in rural population are found to be so general that the smallness of the aggregate increase in the state as a whole is readily accounted for. The following table presents, by counties, the number of cities and organized towns in the state, dis- tributed as increasing or decreasing: Tabi,e 5. — Number of Cities, Towns, and Other Civil Divisions IN Maine Showing Increase or Decrease in Population, by Counties: 1920. Total . Androscoggin Aroostook . . . Cumberland . Franklin Hancock Kennebec. . . Knox Lincoln Oxford Penobscot. . . Piscataquis. . Sagadahoc . . . Somerset .... Waldo Washington . York Total number of cities, towns, etc.' 14 no 26 40 43 30 20 89 75 67 26 62 28 Number increasing in population. Number decreasing in population. 438 3 70 9 7 3 4 16 33 34 5 25 5 19 ID 40 16 34 23 17 IS 35 56 41 6 41 21 43 17 ' Includes all townships, gores, plantations, islands, grants, tracts, and surpluses reporting any popula- tion in either 1920 or 1910. ^ Includes three civil divisions with no change in population. ' Includes one civil division with no change in population. From this table it appears that of the 712 cities, towns, and other civil divisions, 438, or nearly two-thirds, decreased in population. In 15 of the 16 counties a majority of the towns reported decreases, and in Hancock County four-fifths of the towns decreased. Delaware. Of the three states reporting very low numerical increases, Delaware alone contributed about the same increment as in previous censuses, and actually slightly increased it over that returned in 19 10. In one respect, however, the population record of Delaware in 1920 was exceptional. 42 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Tabi,b 6. — ^Increase of Popui^ation in DeIvAware: i 790-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CE.NSUS YEAR. INCREASE SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1800 5.177 8, 401 75 3,999 1,337 13-447 20, 684 8.8 13- I 0. I 5-5 1-7 17.2 22. 6 1870 12,799 21,593 21,885 16, 242 17, 587 20, 681 II. 4 17-3 14.9 9.6 9-5 181O 1880 1820 1890 1870 1900 I9IO 1840 i8?o 1920 i860 Delaware — ^In'Cre.\se or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. 1 1 Increase both 1910 and 1920 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 Decrease both 1910 and 1920 The state, having small geographic area, consists of but three counties, Kent, New Castle, and Sussex. The first and last are essentially rural, differing sharply from New Castle, which includes STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 43 the city of Wilmington and which contains almost exactly two- thirds of the population of the state. Very nearly one-half of the state's inhabitants were enumerated in Wilmington alone. Since i860 Kent County has three times shown a decrease: in 1890, 1 9 10, and 1920. During the same period Sussex has reported but one decrease, in 1920. While this small state has grown slowly but with singular uniformity for 30 years, and actually increased fractionally its percentage of increase from 1910 to 1920 as compared with those for the last two preceding decades, nevertheless this increase for the first time came exclusively from New Castle County, and in reality almost entirely from the city of Wilmington; while the remainder of the state, comprising Kent and Sussex Counties, recorded a decrease of population amounting to more than 4,000. Thus the increase in Wilmington offset the loss elsewhere and contributed practically the entire increase shown by the state. At no previous census has the rural area of Delaware shown a net decline in population. New Hampshire. New Hampshire was among the first of the American colonies to become generally settled. Although during the 130 years of census -taking its population more than trebled, this growth, in comparison with the expansion of the entire United States to practically 27 times its 1790 population, was extremely deliberate. Table 7. — Increase or Decrease of Population in New Hampshire: 1790-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1800 41, 973 30, 602 29, 701 25, 167 IS. 246 2,?,, 402 8,097 29. 6 16.6 13-8 IO-3 5- 7 II. 7 2- 5 1870 1880 1890 1900 IQIO -7.773 -2.4 28, 691 9. 20, KXQ 8. C 181O 1820 iS^io 35. 058 18, 984 12,511 9-3 4.6 2.9 1840 i8t;o 1920 i860 There are 10 counties in the state, of which 5 increased and 5 decreased during the decade. The 5 decreasing counties con- stitute the central area of the state, and include the lake and mountain region. The greatest increase was shown by Coos County in the extreme north, and a fairly consistent increase was shown also by the counties in the south. That these tend- 44 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. encies are not entirely the result of temporary causes is sug- gested by the past records of the two counties showing the great- est increase and the greatest decrease during the decade 19 lo to 1920; namely, Coos County, with an increase of 17.4 per cent, and Carroll County, which decreased 8 per cent. The popula- tion of these two counties since 1880 has been as follows: COUNTY.' 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 Coos 18, 580 18, 224 23,211 18, 124 29, 468 16, 895 30. 753 16,316 36,093 15.017 Carroll These opposite tendencies are especially interesting, since the two counties border on each other. New Hampshire — Increase or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. i J Increase both 1910 and 1920 Decrease 1910; increase 1920 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 fZ^ Decrease both 1910 and 1920 STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 45 Of the remaining counties in the state, the only ones that showed any considerable change during the last decade were Hills- borough and Sullivan, which reported increases of 7.5 per cent and 8.2 per cent, respectively. Hillsborough includes the largest two cities in the state, Manchester and Nashua, and their develop- ment and expansion as manufacturing centers have resulted in large numerical increases within the county. In 1920 it con- tained more than three-tenths of the entire population of the state. On the other hand, Sullivan, with no cities and with only one town having more than 5,000 inhabitants, increased at a slightly greater rate than Hillsborough. Moreover, Sullivan's rate of increase advanced from 4.1 for the decade 1890 to 1900 to 7.4 for 1900 to 1910 and 8.2 for 1910 to 1920, whereas for Hills- borough the rate declined during the same three decades from 20.8 per cent to 11.9 per cent and 7.5 per cent. The most interesting feature of population change in New Hampshire, however, has been not the county developments but rather those within the minor civil divisions, that is, in the cities and towns. In this respect the experience of New Hampshire is not exceptional but rather indicates a tendency present in many states. TaBI^E 8. — ^TOWNS AND CiTlES IN NEW HAMPSmRE CLASSIFIED BY SiZE, 1920, AND BY Increase or Decrease, 19 10-1920, by Counties. New Hampshire . Belknap. Carroll . . Cheshire . Coos ' . . . Grafton . Hillsborough . Merrimack . . Rockingham . Strafford Sullivan Per cent of increase or de- crease; 19 10 to 1920. 2.9 -0.6 -8.0 I. o 17.4 -2.6 7-5 -2.9 0.6 — I. o To- tal. 179 NUMBER OF TOWNS AND CITIES GROUPED BY SIZE. Decreasing. Un- der Soo 71 500 to 1,000 66 1,000 to 2,500 32 2,500 to 5.000 Over 5,000 Total. 72 4 3 4 19 II 9 5 II Increasing. Un- der 500 500 1,000 to to 1,000 2,500 25 to 5,000 Over 5,ooo . . . I 2 I I I ' Eleven minor civil divisions in Coos County returned no inhabitants in both 1910 and 1920. From the table above it is possible to analyze the minor civil divisions, in terms of size groupings, with regard to increase or decrease of population. It is significant that in general the smaller 46 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. towns show decreases and the larger towns increases sufficient to result in a small net increase for the state as a whole. Of the 167 subdivisions having fewer than 1,000 inhabitants, 137, or approx- imately 82 per cent, showed actual losses in population. If Coos County be eliminated from consideration, in the rest of the state, which includes all but the extreme northerly section, out of 137 such towns there were only 15 which increased. If a group be formed of towns having from 1,000 to 5,000 inhabitants, here again the number decreasing predominated, though by no means so decidedly. Of the 70 in this group, 40, or 57 per cent, decreased. The group of towns and cities reporting over 5,000 inhabitants, however, showed just as definite a trend toward increase as the smaller towns showed toward decrease, 12 of the 14 such com- munities reporting actual increases in population. The two de- creases occurred in Strafford County, but the single increase in this group in the same county was more than three times as great as the sum of the two decreases. The only county in which the number of towns increasing exceeded the number decreasing was Coos. All the other counties showed an excess of towns decreasing. Some, such as Cheshire, showed increases in population, even though most of their minor civil divisions registered decreases during the decade. In 1900, 55 per cent of the population of New Hampshire was urban; in 1910, 59.2 per cent; and in 1920, 63.1 per cent. The rural districts probably distribute their losses to all parts of the country as well as to the local urban centers, while the urban centers gain not only this addition but nearly all newcomers to the state, both native and alien. The significance of this change is emphasized by the census of agriculture, which showed that in 1910 there were 27,053 farms in New Hampshire, and in 1920 only 20,523. This is a decrease in number of approximately one-fourth. It was not the result of consolidation, for the number of acres of land in farms decreased by almost two-thirds of a million, and the improved land in farms decreased from 929,185 to 702,902 acres, or by 24.4 per cent. This is not a new tendency. The number of acres of improved farm land in the state has decreased during every decade since i860, and is now less than one- third of the figure for that year. With the increasing trend toward the large town and city, the problem of states such as New Hampshire and Vermont appears to lie in maintaining the small town in a condition of reasonable prosperity. New Hampshire — Towns Showing Decrease: 19 10-1920. W:<:'^ ■ - ":-^fmmi^/ ^ vA /:'->s g y pf 4 \/ ST^AJTOROS J / p '" N G H > »y Shaded areas show decrease. ♦ No population reported. •/" 47 48 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. STATES SHOWING DECREASES. During the first 70 years of American census-taking, every state reported an increase of population at each successive census. Since i860 there have been 8 decreases reported (disregarding those due to detachments of territory), and 3 of these appeared in 1920. The following statement shows the states in which these decreases occurred : I860-I870 I87&-I880 I 880-1 890 1890-1900 1900-1910 1910-19:0 Maine. New Hampshire. Nevada. Nevada. Iowa. Vermont. Nevada. Mississippi. Of the 8 decreases in state population, 3 were shown by Nevada, though that state returned in 1920 nearly double the population returned in 1900. The 3 states which reported decreases in 1920 were located at geographic extremes — South, West, and East. The causes of their decline in population were in general dissimilar. Vermont. Of the three states which recorded decrease in population at the Fourteenth Census, Vermont presents problems in some respects the most serious. The population in 1910 was 355,956; in 1920, 352,428. Tabi,e 9. — Increase or Decrease of Population in Vermont: 1 790-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE (— ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1800 69,040 63.430 18,086 44.671 11,296 22, 172 978 80.8 41. 1 8.3 18.9 4.0 7.6 0-3 1870 1880 15.453 1.735 136 11,219 12.315 -3.528 4-9 0-5 3-4 3-6 — 1.0 1810 1820 i8qo 18^0 IQOO 1840 . . IQIO i8<;o 1Q20 i860 < Less than one-tenth of i per cent. In the case of Mississippi the decrease in total population from 1910 to 1920 resulted from the departure of large numbers of Negroes under the lure of high wages in northern cities during a STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 49 period of unusual industrial pressure, but conditions in Mississippi in the future are likely to revert to those existing in earlier periods. In the case of Nevada, population was first attracted to the state by the discovery of gold and silver; it promises to become increas- ingly stable with the development of agriculture by irrigation. Vermont — Increase or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. and 1920 increase 1920 increase 1910 1910 and 1920 Vermont population changes are due to different causes. It is true that the great migration toward industrial centers arising from war activities affected Vermont unfavorably. In the case of nearly all the other states a considerable part of the movement from country to city found its objective in the larger communities within the same states. In Vermont, small in area, having few cities and no large ones, lying at the door of the great industrial centers, an unusually large proportion of those citizens who deter- 107°— 22 4 50 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. mined to seek larger communities went beyond the boundaries of the state. But the changes thus described have been in progress in Vermont for a long period. The population has increased little in the last 50 years. Of the 14 counties in the state, those border- ing on the Connecticut River, Windham, Windsor, Orange, Cale- donia, and Essex, considered as a group, recorded an almost continuous decrease for 70 years, their population in 1920 being 113,762, as compared with 122,923 in 1850. The group of lake counties, Rutland, Addison, Chittenden, Franklin, and Grand Isle, showed a moderate but nearly continuous increase until 19 10, but reported a decrease of 1,826 from 1910 to 1920; while the midland counties, Washington, Lamoille, and Orleans, together showed a decrease of about 3,000 from 1910 to 1920. It is not in the county figures, however, that the far-reaching change which has taken place in the rural population of Vermont appears most strikingly. There are in the state 251 cities, towns, and other di\'isions having some population in 1920 or 1910.^ Some of them began to decrease as early as 1830. One-sixth, indeed, of all the towns showed some decrease at that census, but this pos- sessed little significance, since there was much shifting and adjust- ment of population in settling wilderness areas. In 1 850 fewer than 100 towns showed decreases. This number had increased to 1 40 in 1880, but the movement to the West and to the cities culminated for the nineteenth century in 1890, when 188 towns showed decreases. This total of decreasing towns declined in 1900 and 1910, but showed a sharp increase again in 1920, when 188 towns, or nearly three-fourths of the entire number, recorded decreases. Had the population change in Vermont been along slow but con- tinuous lines of increase, a large number of towns should have shown their maximum population at the last census, but, as a matter of fact, the maximum had been reached by 1 29 towns (or more than one-half of all in the state) in or before 1850.^ Conse- quently a minority of the to-wois have recorded maximum popula- tion within the last 70 years. Vermont is thus peculiarly the victim of the population trend of the times. It withstood in the earlier periods of economic change in New England the strong tendency toward industrial development and has clung with a persistence which is noteworthy, and, indeed, in our time Avorthy of more admiration than is accorded it, to agricultural interests and farm life. But the tenac- ' In addition, there are 3 gores and i township having no population in cither 1920 or J910. ^ American Statistical Association Quarterly, March, 191 1, p. 412. Vermont-Towns (Shaded) Showing Decrease: igi 910-1920. ,^ > WATtRBOl No population reported for Avery's gore and Warren gore, l*wis township, and Warner's grant, in Essex County, nor ior Aver>''s gore, in Franklin County. SI 52 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. ity of purpose of the population in general has not prevented the drain, evident all over the Nation, although more pronounced in the Eastern states than elsewhere, of the rural areas for the benefit of the cities and the Far West. Outside the lo large towns and cities in Vermont the population was smaller by approximately 30,000 in 1920 than in 1850. In these towns and cities the increase in 70 years was approximately 65,000; hence on these communities fell the burden of making good the loss and furnishing whatever net increase in the state's population occurred, about 38,000. The rural population continues largely of the native white stock. It is a strong, sturdy, self-contained element, which has still within itself the seeds of possible readjustment and increased prosperity. It is quite consistent with the American character that the rather discouraging population tendencies above outlined have been carefully considered by the thoughtful citizens of the state with a view to improvement of conditions and future growth along progressive Unes. It has happened that by their small increase in population, or by actual decrease, shown at the Fourteenth Census, the three north- em New England states have been among those inviting separate analysis in these pages. Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont con- tain in reality a distinct population class. They have contributed mightily of the highest quality of manhood and womanhood to the upbuilding of the Nation, not only to the industrial East but to the agricultural Middle West and the Far West. These three northern states have thus accomplished a great work in national develop- ment. All three possess a severe climate and limited natural re- sources compared with many other states. Therefore, because of the attractions of mild climate and rich soil to be found elsewhere in the United States, the northern New England states have had rather restricted opportunity for agricultural and industrial development, so that it is not remarkable that as the years have passed they have tended to falter in population growth. Scrutiny of population changes in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont, as revealed in their minor civil divisions, leads to the presumption that somewhat the same economic conditions prevail throughout northern New England. The similarity, indeed, of rural decline throughout the north country suggests that the problems of agriculture, manufacturing, transportation, and general business may be more or less alike in Maine, New Hamp- shire and Vermont, and that the task of meeting phases of these STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 53 problems which tend to restrict population growth and retard material progress might well be made the subject of concerted action. No statistical measurement of changes which have occurred in these three states would be complete, however, without taking into consideration their increasing popularity as centers of summer rest and recreation. In these respects they are almost unique, so that by 1920 both population and agriculture were being distinctly influenced by the magnitude of the resort interest. The rapid growth of great cities, not only in the eastern but in the central states, seems likely to increase the numbers of persons annually seeking the Maine coast and woods and the mountains of New Hampshire and Vermont. Entertainment of summer visitors has not been classed as an occupation, and would hardly be so regarded elsewhere, but in these three states it can not be over- looked as an important means of support for many of the resident population. Nevada.' The state of Nevada nearly doubled in population from 1900 to 1910, but it reported a decrease of 5.5 per cent (81,785 to 77,407) from 1 9 10 to 1920. This was not the first decrease of population which the state had experienced. In 1880 Nevada had a population of 62,266, but returns for the censuses of 1890 and 1900 showed decreases of 23.9 and 10.6 percent, respectively. Tabi^E 10. -Increase or Decrease of Popui^ation in Nevada; 1860-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE (— ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1870 35.634 19.775 -14,911 519-7 46.5 -23-9 1000 — 5,020 39.540 -4,468 1880 IQIO 93-4 -5-5 1800 1920 . . . Population changes in Nevada have followed very closely the fluctuations in the mining industry of the state. The mining of precious metals reached a high state of prosperity in the late seven- ties and then began to decline. Population showed correspond- ing fluctuations. New gold and silver deposits were discovered in 1900, and as a result the population between that year and 54 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. 1 910 nearly doubled. The production of precious metals from these new fields, however, reached its peak in the year 1915, when 11,883,700 ounces were mined, but production dropped to 4,659,- 100 in 1 91 9. History is apparently repeating itself, for this de- cline in one of the two major industries of the state since 191 5, coupled with the disturbances which doubtless arose from the war, so reduced the population as to record an actual net de- crease for the lo-year period. Nevada — Increasb or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. ' ' increase both 1910 and 1920 r)jcrcase 1910; increase 1920 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 BS9 Decrease both 1910 and 1920 Nevada, the sixth largest state in the Union, consists in the main of mountain and desert. Because of extreme aridity, agriculture can be carried on for the most part only by means of irrigation. Crops so raised show very high per acre returns, but the state con- tinues to depend principally upon its mineral wealth. Extending STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 55 from central California southeast along the dividing line between that state and Nevada, and thence past the Colorado River into Arizona, is one of the richest mineral belts in the world. The exceptional population problems in Nevada are made more evident by analysis of county returns. There are two counties, Eureka and Storey, which have returned decreases for two dec- ades. These are the two counties in which the early discoveries of rich mineral deposits were made. The Comstock lode with the Great Bonanza mine was located in Storey County, and by 1882 the mines in Eureka County had produced over $60,000,000 of precious metals. These two counties, which together contributed nearly 40 per cent of the state's entire population in 1880, have both shown decreases at each of the foiu- censuses since that year, until in 1920 they contributed but 3 per cent of the entire population of the state. The other great mining fields in Nevada were not discovered until 1900, and their growth is reflected by the figm-es of the 1910 census. In 1900 rich deposits of gold and silver were discovered in Nye County, and the Tonopah district grew to 4,000 inhabitants in three years. In 1902 the Goldfield district in Esmeralda County was opened up, and 8,000 inhabitants entered in a period of three years. These were followed by the discovery of gold in Bullfrog and Manhattan, both districts of Nye County. In 1907 Esmeralda and Nye led in gold production, and Nye and Churchill in silver. But from 1910 to 1920 both of these counties showed an actual decrease in population. Apparently they are following the tendencies of those other areas which prospered during the earlier mining period. The known gold fields appear to be becoming exhausted, and a diversion of the population in such locahties to new regions naturally is taking place. Agricultural changes in Nevada have shown no resemblance to the fluctuations which have attended mining. Systematic increase in irrigation during the decade resulted in an increase in the number of farms in Nevada from 2,689 to 3,163, or 17.6 per cent. Indeed, the counties which are best suited to agriculture showed few popu- lation decreases from 1910 to 1920. Washoe, WTiite Pine, and Lyon reported increases, and Douglas and Elko showed but slight decreases. In 1920, 48.7 per cent of all persons born within the state of Nevada, and still alive, were residing outside the state boundaries. This figiu-e is higher than that for any other state in the Union. 56 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The history of Nevada as it is read in the decennial population returns seems to indicate that in the increasing importance of agriculture, with the invariable accompaniment of stability, lies the solution of the problem of population decline. Mississippi. From 19 lo to 1920 Mississippi showed a decrease in population from 1,797,114 to 1,790,618, or four-tenths of i per cent. Table ii. — Increase or Decrease of Population in Mississippi: 1800-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR Di;CREASE (— ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECRE.\SE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 181O 1820 31.502 35.096 61,173 239.030 230,875 184,779 356-0 87.0 81. 1 175-0 61.5 30.5 i 1870 36,617 1880 ■301 -ffye 4.6 36.7 14.0 20.3 15-8 -0.4 18^0 1890 IQOO 158,003 261,670 245.844 — 6,496 1840 l8i;o 1910 IQ20 i860 The principal factor in bringing about the decline in popu- lation shown in 1920 was the migration northward of large num- bers of Negroes during the war. In 1910 Negroes contributed to the state's population 1,009,487, or 56.2 per cent. In 1920 the number of Negroes within the state was 935,184, or 52.2 per cent of the total population. The Negro population of Mississippi decreased by approximately 74,000 during the decade. The whites, on the other hand, increased 68,000, but this increase was not quite sufficient to offset the decline in Negro population. The great demand for labor in the North served as an over- whelming inducement to the Negro farmers and farm workers to leave their traditional southern environment and go to the North to earn, to them, almost incredible wages. Special trains ran between points in Mississippi and northern ihdustrial centers, taking on the appearance of holiday excursions. Many localities, recognizing their dependence upon Negro labor, took steps to prevent action on the part of any individual which might encourage the migration of the Negroes. This was only partially successful. It has been estimated that during the decade there was a net migration of more than 400,000 Negroes from the South to the North and West. In consequence, while the rate of increase for STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 57 the Negroes in Mississippi during the decade 1900 to 1910 had been exactly equal to the rate of increase for Negroes in the entire country, the Fourteenth Census revealed a marked change. The state of Mississippi showed an actual decrease in Negro population of 7.4 per cent, while the total Negro population of the United States increased 6.5 per cent. Although the decrease in the total population of Mississippi was due to Negro migration, the whites also showed a decided slackening in rate of increase during the decade. From 1900 to 1 910 the rate of increase for native whites in the entire Nation was 20.8 per cent. The corresponding figure for the state of Mississippi was 22.6, somewhat above the national figure. From 1 910 to 1920, however, the Nation's rate of increase for native white population was 18.6 per cent, but that for Mississippi fell to 8.9 per cent. This reduction in the rate of increase for native whites to a point far below the rate for the entire country is a factor which must also be considered in any adequate anaylsis of the causes for the decrease of population in the state. No such reduction appeared in the neighboring states of Alabama or Georgia, both of which states returned increases of native whites corresponding very closely to that for the entire Nation. An examination of the county figures for ]\Iississippi shows that the population reduction was not localized. In most of the 82 counties of the state the rate of increase from 1910 to 1920 was lower than that for the previous decade, or the rate of decrease was greater, or an increase between 1900 and 1910 was followed by a decrease during the next decade. The northeastern, southeastern, and central northwestern areas of the state registered considerable increases in population. Of these three districts, the northeastern and southeastern are predominantly white, but in the northwestern district over 80 per cent of the population consists of Negroes. Apparently the migration of Negroes drew especially those from the upland regions of the state. Most of the counties in the northwestern area, where the larger part of the Negro population was concentrated — being an alluvial plain and unusually fertile — showed actual increases in Negro population. It is probable that since the taking of the Fourteenth Census some of the Negro migrants have returned to the South. This is to be expected, because the unusual demands for labor in northern cities arising from war conditions have ceased. Such a return 58 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. current will, of course, exaggerate the normal increase in the Negro population of the Southern states concerned during the decade 1920 to 1930, but may thereby advance them to approximatelv the position which they would have reached without any such dis- turbance, although it is to be expected that some portion of this Negro migration will remain in the North. Mississippi —Incrbasb or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. L--J Increase both 1910 and 1920 Decrease 1910 ; increase 1920 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 BZBI Decrease both 1910 and 1920 STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 59 REPLACEMENT OF DECREASE BY INCREASE. Iowa. At the census of 1910 the state of Iowa achieved some promi- nence as the only state in the Union recording a decrease in popula- tion. In 1920, however, the slight decrease shown at the previous census was replaced by a moderate increase. This record of decline and recovery possesses both interest and significance. From 1840, in which year the state was first enumerated, until 1 9 10 the population of Iowa showed a declining percentage of increase from census to census, the rates since 18S0 ha\'ing been below those for the country as a whole. The population of the state in 1900 was 2,231,853, and in 1910 it was 2,224,771, a decrease of 7,082, or three-tenths of i per cent. Table 12. -Increase or Decrease of Population in Iowa: 1840-1920. CENSUS YEAR. INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. 1 INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — SINCE PRRCeomG CENSUS. rRN.-^irs; year. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1850 i860 1 149,102 1 345-8 482 , 699 2 5 1 . 1 519,107 76.9 430.595 ' 36.1 1 1890 287,683 1900 319.556 1910 —7,083 17-7 16.7 1870 -0-3 8.1 1880 1020 i7o,2';o The returns for 1920, therefore, proved of great interest. The Fourteenth Census recorded the population as 2,404,021, an increase of 179,250, or 8.1 per cent, over the previous census. Instead of having the lowest rate of increase, Iowa then outranked in this respect 9 other states, including the 3 that showed decreases. The slight decrease of the decade 1900 to 19 10 combined the effects of a sluggish growth of cities and an actual decrease of pop- ulation in the rural area. It will be remembered that at this pe- riod immense tracts of land in western Canada were being made available for settlement. For these 10 years the rate of urban increase in Iowa was 19.9 per cent, as compared with 34.8 per cent for the total urban population of the country. On the other hand, the total rural population of the country increased 11.2 per cent, while that of Iowa actually decreased 7.2 per cent.' This rate of ' These percentages are based on the population, in 1910, of the areas treated as urban and asriu-al, respectively, in 1020. 60 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. decrease in rural population exceeded that for any other state during the decade. Since rural population constituted more than two-thirds of the entire population of the state, its considerable decrease was sufficient to offset the increase in the urban popula- tion and to result in a decrease for the state as a whole. Both the urban and rural rates for Iowa recorded great improve- ment in the decade 1 910 to 1920. The rural population of the state increased seven-tenths of i per cent, while the Nation 's rate had dropped to an increase of 5.4 per cent. Instead of leading the other states in rural decrease Iowa recorded an actual, though slight, gain in the population of the territory treated as rural in 1920. On the other hand, the rate of urban growth increased to a considerable degree. From the figure for the previous decade, 19.9 per cent, it increased to 24 per cent, while that for the entire country fell from 34.8 to 25.7 per cent.^ Hence the actual gain in the population of the state was due to urban development. The largest four cities, Des Moines, Sioux City, Davenport, and Cedar Rapids, increased from an aggregate population of about 210,000 to 300,000. The total urban increase was 169,000, and the rural increase about 10,000. Iowa — Increase or Decrease in PoPULAtioN of Counties: 1900-1920. ' I Increase both 1910 and 1920 V////A Decrease 1910 ;iucrtase 1920 ^388 Decrease 1920; increase 1910 EBB Decrease both 1910 and 1920 ' These percentages are based on the population, in 1910, of the areas treated as urban and as rural, respectively, in 1920. STATES SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE, OR DECREASE. 61 It is interesting to note the change in population by counties. During the decade 1890 to 1900 every county but one within the state increased in inhabitants. During the decade 1900 to 19 10 only 28 out of 99 counties continued to increase, the remaining 71 showing positive decreases. During the lo-year period 19 10 to 1920, 72 counties increased while 27 decreased. Although the counties which decreased during the decade 1900 to 19 10 were widely distributed throughout the state, those which decreased between 19 10 to 1920 were located along the Mississippi River boundary or in the southern part of the state. The record of Iowa is of especial significance because it is in many ways the leading agricultural state in the United States. The fertility of its 28,607,000 acres of improved farm land is such that the value of the total farm crop for the state is greater than that for any other state save Texas. The total value of such land alone represents a sum greater than that for any other state. This agricultural development is not a recent one, like that of the more western states, for Iowa had a population of well over a million in 1870, and in 1900 the density was 40 persons per square mile. V. COUNTY INCREASE OR DECREASE. Hitherto analysis of increase of population has dealt in the main with the Nation, tlie 9 geographic divisions, and the 48 states. Broad geographic areas permit, for the most part, only- interesting generalizations. Obviously, as the inquiry advances to the county, the comparison of changes during the decade becomes much more signiJQcant. No standard of county size, however, exists. Counties vary widely in area in different states and within the same state. There were 3,065 counties in the United States in 1920, and the average size was approximately 1,000 square miles. Even in New England, however, the county areas differ greatly, the average being 1,868 square miles in Maine and only 574 in Massachusetts. In diminutive Rhode Island, 5 counties are crowded into 1,067 square miles, with an average of 213 for each county. In California the average size per county is 2,684 square miles; in Oregon, 2,656; in Iowa, 561; in Georgia, 379; and in Texas, 1,037. In general the Southern states tend to division into many counties and hence to small county areas, but there are sharp exceptions. Georgia has 155 counties with 59,000 square miles, but the adjoining state of South Carolina, with half the area, has only 46 counties. Variation in size, while interesting — illustrating, for example, the independence of the states in deciding internal affairs for themselves — ^really possesses no special significance. The essen- tial fact is the subdivision of the entire area of the 48 states into more than 3,000 parts. Except in the old settled states, county boundaries have been subject to continual change. Obviously these changes were more general and marked at earlier censuses, so that it is extremely difficult to secure even rough comparability for a considerable period of time. In Table 50 an attempt has been made to follow the changes which took place during the 70-year period from 1850 to 1920, the comparison being limited to the first, tliird, fifth, and seventh decades of tliis period. These statistics are sum- marized in Table 13, on the opposite page. 62 COUNTY INCREASE OR DECREASE. 63 Table 13. — Number of Counties, Number Decreasing in Popula- tion, AND Aggregate Population of Decreasing Counties, with Per Cent of United States Total: 1S60, 1880, 1900, and 1920.^ CENSUS YEAR. i860 1880 1900 1920 POPULATION. Total for United States. 31,443,321 50.155.783 75.994.575 105,710,620 Aggregate in decreasing counties. 2,201,019 I. 711.453 5.823,383 18,527.979 Total number. 2,078 2.S92 2.836 3.065 Number decreasing since preceding census. 136 82 368 1,086 Per cent which population in decreasing counties formed of total for United States. 7.0 3-4 7-7 17-5 ' In preparing this table, it has been necessary in certain cases, in order to avoid treating as decreasing counties those in which decreases in population were due to reductions in area, to combine two or more counties whose areas were increased or reduced during the decade by transfers of territory from one to another, and in other cases to combine counties formed during the decade with those from whose original territory they were formed. The average population per county in the United States, as shown by the census, was 15,132 in i860, 19,350 in 1880, 26,796 in 1900, and 34,490 in 1920. The total number of counties in the United States increased 47.5 per cent from i860 to 1920, in part by subdivision and in part by organization of new counties. During the period of 60 years here included, the population of the Nation considerably more than trebled, while the average popu- lation per county, affected by increases in the number of counties due to the formation of new counties from older ones or from un- organized territory, somewhat more than doubled. Of real signifi- cance is the wide view which this table permits of the movement of population into and out of the 2,000 counties, increasing to 3,000 during the period under consideration, in a broad sense seeking for larger advantages in agriculture, mining, or manufacturing. In i860, just before the beginning of the Civil War and in a period when much of the national development, with relation both to the soil and to industry, was yet to be undertaken, 7 per cent of the population resided in counties decreasing in population. These counties, curiously enough, were located principally in the South and Southwest, and it is not improbable that they reflected the read- justments which foreshadowed the Civil War, such as the move- ment of slave population from certain states, as Virginia, to other states farther south. Even in New England, however, at that early date the proportion of population in decreasing counties was larger than the average for the United States, rising in Ver- mont to 60.5 per cent. 64 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. In 1880, out of approximately 2,600, but 82 counties, contain- ing an aggregate of only 1,711,000 population, or 3.4 per cent of the entire population of the Nation, showed decline. Thus scarcely more than one- thirtieth, or proportionally but a little more than one-half as many as at the census of i860, were comprised in the area of decreasing population. Here again New England showed a much larger percentage of population in the area of decrease than the other states, while for the Southern states the percentages were almost negligible. In the South, how- ever, the increases are exaggerated and the decreases are under- stated for the decade 1870 to 1880 as a result of the defective enumeration of 1870 in that section of the country. ' In 1900 there appeared a marked increase in the number of counties showing decline. The population in that year residing in the 368 decreasing counties represented nearly 8 per cent of the total for the country and numbered nearly 6,000,000. The unen- viable prominence of New England disappeared at this census and was replaced by that of the West North Central group of states, which contributed about one-third of all the declining counties. In 1920, however, the most marked change occurred. One-third of all counties in the United States showed declines. These counties comprised more than one-sixth of the entire popu- lation, or 17.5 per cent. The areas most directly involved were the Northern Central states and the Southwest, and here appears definitely for the first time that influence which is to be referred to so frequently in this analysis, the general effect of the movement of population from the rural districts to the urban centers. Table 14, which follows, has been prepared to make clear the trend of county population decrease when two great sections of the Nation are contrasted — the North and West, considered together, and the South. * "The census of 1890 shows, in the Northwest, many counties in which there is an absolute or a relative decrease of population. These states have been sending farmers to advance the frontier on the plains, and have themselves begun to turn to intensive farming and to manufacture. A decade before this, Ohio had shown the same transi- tion stage. Thus the demand for land and tlie love of wilderness freedom drew the frontier ever onward. * * * Mobility of population is death to localism, and the western frontier worked irresistibly in unsettling population. The efTcct reached back from tlie frontier and affected profoundly tlie Atlantic coast and even the Old World." — Turner, The Frontier in American History, pp. 22, 30. COUNTY INCREASE OR DECREASE. 65 Table 14. — Number and Aggregate Population of Counties or Equivalent Divisions Whose Population Decreased During Preceding Decade, for the North and West in Comparison with THE South: i860, 1880, 1900, and 1920. Total population. Total number of counties. COtTNTIES DBCRBASINO SINCE PRECEDING CENSUS. Percent which popula- CENSUS YEAR AND SECTION. Number. Aggregate population. tion of decreas- ing counties formed of total popula- tion. i860. United States 31,443,321 20,309,960 11,133,361 50.155.783 33,639,215 16,516,568 75.994.575 51.471,048 24.523.527 105,710,620 72,584,817 33,125,803 2,078 1,078 1,000 2.592 1.389 1,203 2,836 1,560 1,276 3.065 1,674 1. 391 136 41 95 82 72 10 368 284 84 1,086 627 459 2,201,019 991,662 1.209,357 1. 7". 453 1.589.033 122,420 5.823.383 4.701.590 1,121,793 18.527.979 11,490,508 7.037.471 7.0 4.9 10.9 3-4 4-7 0.7 7-7 9.1 4.6 17-5 15.8 31.2 The North and West. . . The South 1880. United States The North and West. . . The South 1900. United States The North and West . . . The South 1920. United States The North and West. . . The South In 1920 the population of decreasing counties was propor- tionally small in the North and West and large in the South. This showing corresponded to that of i860. Twenty years later, in 1880, the decrease was almost all to be foimd in the North and West ; ^ and in 1900, while it appeared to some extent in the South, the percentage for that section was only half as great as that shown by the remainder of the country. It is probable that the rough similarity of the conditions shown by this table for i860 and for 1920 arose from the shifting of Negro population, though this shifting was due to radically dif- ferent causes. During the decade 1850 to i860 to some degree the decreases arose from the transfer of slaves, while during 1910 to 1920 they were caused by voluntary migration in search of more lucrative employment. ' As ah-eady explained (p. 64), the decrease in the South during the decade 1870 to 1880 was understated as a result of the defective enumeration of 1870. 107°— 22 5 66 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. County decreases of 60 years ago represented but a small frac- tion of the land area; in 1920, however, the aggregate of areas showing decreases was 900,000 square miles, or nearly one-third of all the national domain. In 1 1 states the area of decrease ex- ceeded one-half of the total area, and in 2 of the 1 1 it exceeded three-quarters of the state area, Missouri showing decreases in 78.2 per cent of the total area, Delaware in 77.9 per cent, Nevada in 73 per cent, Indiana in 68.4 per cent, Vermont in 60.8 per cent, and New York in 61.2 per cent. Twenty-two states reported one- third or more of their area as decreasing in population. Missouri, among all the states, presents perhaps the most striking illustration of county decrease. In 1920 almost four-fifths of the area of the state, considered by counties, decreased in popu- lation. As the factors which influenced such extensive declines in Missouri undoubtedly were influential elsewhere, it will be profita- ble to consider in some detail the changes which occurred in that state, and which thus may be accepted as typical of those occur- ring in states adjoining or resembling it. DECREASING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI. Missouri had a population in 1920 of over 3,000,000, a figure ap- proximately equaling that of California. Among the states west of the Mississippi it was exceeded in population only by Texas. Since the area of the state is by no means as great as that of most of the Western states, the density of population, which was 49.5 persons per square mile in 1920, was greater than that for any other state west of the Mississippi. Perhaps in this very fact lies much of the explanation of the recent retardation of the popu- lation growth of Missouri. Since 1870 its rate of population increase has been less than that for the country as a whole — the unusually small rates of the last two decades, namely, 6 per cent and 3.4 per cent, being of particular note. Its ranking of forty- fifth among the 48 states in terms of population growth for the decade 1900 to 19 10 was but little bettered during the last decade, when it ranked forty-fourth. Missouri has 114 counties and one independent city, St. Louis. Of these, 89 decreased in population in 1920. Of the 114 coun- ties, 66 have no urban population whatsoever. That is, in 66 of the 114 counties, or 57.9 per cent, there is no city, town, or village of 2,500 or more inhabitants. Of the remaining 48 counties, 41 have less than half their population urban. In the remaining COUNTY INCREASE OR DECREASE. 67 counties, but 7 in number, more than one-half the population is urban. This would lead to the belief that Missouri is an extremely rural state. As a matter of fact, 46.6 per cent of its population is urban. Such a concentration is unusual, for in the face of the fact that 46.6 per cent of the population is urban, still only 6 per cent of the counties have a majority of their population urban. Approximately three-fourths of this urban population is in three cities — St. Louis, Kansas City, and St. Joseph. Moreover, Missouri has an unusually large number of counties. Missouri — Increase or Decrease in Population op Counties: 1900-1920. I I Increase both 1910 and 1920 ^^ Decrease 1910; increase 1920 tSSSS Decrease 1920; increase 1910 fggg Decrease both 1910 and 1920 In a state which is primarily rural in nature, having but a few large cities, the greater the number of counties the less the area which each city may dominate, and, therefore, the greater the representation of the rural area. A combining of counties within Missouri, resulting in a smaller number, would have little effect upon the number of urban counties but would cut decidedly into the number of rural counties. Thus the urban population 68 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. of the state is highly concentrated, to such a degree, indeed, that 94 per cent of the counties have the majority of their f>opulation rural and in nearly 58 per cent the population is wholly rural. Other states have even greater urban concentration than Missouri. In South Dakota 79.4 per cent of the counties have no urban population; in North Dakota, 77.4 per cent; in Nebraska and Virginia, 71 per cent; and in eight states between 60 and 70 per cent of the counties are wholly rural. On the other hand, other states also had a greater rural decrease. Nevada lost 9.3 per cent of its rural population; Maryland, 8.1 per cent; New Hamp- shire, 6.2; and Indiana, 6.1 per cent. But it remained for Mis- souri, high in the Hst in each particular, so to combine these two factors as to have the greatest area in decreasing counties. The Fourteenth Census reported a decrease in the rural popula- tion of Missouri, from 1910 to 1920, of 4 per cent. This was not a new tendency, for the decade 1900 to 1910 reported a corre- sponding decrease of 4.2 per cent. Such a decrease, however, was not Missouri's problem alone. It proved to be a general tendency throughout that section of the country, for Indiana, IlUnois, and Kansas showed similar decreases. NATlONAIv TENDENCIES REFLECTED IN COUNTY CHANGES. The extension of population decrease to so many counties, the wide distribution of areas involved, and the number of instances in which entire states were seriously affected naturally create some concern. To a Umited degree, it is justified. The county decreases begin to register in some detail the extent to which men and women are turning from isolated farms or small villages to larger communities. This tendency is no recent development. It was coincident with the development of the factory system and the necessary concentration of man power in small areas. The move- ment gained momentum steadily as wealth, population, and in- dustrial activity increased. By 1900, 40 per cent of the popu- lation of the United States Uved in cities having 2,500 inhabitants or more; by 1910, 45.8 per cent; and by 1920, 51.4 per cent. The war greatly increased the tendency toward urbanization.' There has appeared already some evidence of subsidence here ' The growth of the cities was reduced by emigration and the decline in immigra- tion, so that during the last decade the rise in the percentage urban was slightly less than during the decade 1900-1910, despite the increase in the movement from rural to urban communities. COUNTY INCREASE OR DECREASE. 69 and there, especially where the tendency was of more recent origin and thus possibly the result of temporary war conditions. Another census will begin to supply interesting statistical measure- ments of this reverse movement and of its permanence. It must be remembered that in all newly settled areas it is the American way to rush in and start boom communities without much regard to the ability of the region itself to afford permanent support. Hence in county returns at every census signs of pop- ulation readjustment have appeared; considerable initial popula- tion here and there, subsidence, and later a tendency toward slow increase, doubtless on a more solid basis. It is unlikely, in spite of the rather general settlement of all the states, that the shifting and readjustments in newly developed county areas are yet near completion. The decrease of population in 26 out of 77 counties in Oklahoma during the last decade no doubt illustrated, in part, this action-and-reaction tendency. It also clearly reflected the war call toward the cities and the changing demands upon agriculture, which for some counties lessened and for others increased the profitable production of their specialties. At the census of 1920 the 2,000 counties which increased in population for the most part included either large cities, industrial areas, active mining developments, or rich agricultural regions, the products of which continued to prove profitable or lent them- selves to organized marketing or specialization. On the other hand, more than i ,000 counties declined in popu- lation. They either were distinctly rural or had not natural resources capable of affording the particular profits encouraged by war operations. So it came about that from 900,000 square miles many thousands of citizens departed and flocked into the remaining 2,000,000 square miles to contribute their numbers and initiative toward fiu-ther increasing the prosperity of already prosperous areas. In some cases the newcomers no doubt overburdened the com- munities to which they migrated. The next census will then re- cord the resulting readjustments. But in general the move- ment tended toward the further rapid development of cities and of the favored agricultiu-al counties, at the expense of those regions where profits come more slowly and life is harder. Ill o o o ^ ^ y// /////////////^^^^^ ?BAN W/////A RURAL Unfortunately, it is extremely difficult to measure urban growth in Europe, since the enumeration of population, except in Great Britain and France, has been systematic and fairly accurate for only a relatively brief period. In fact, it is difficult to compare even the present population of large cities in all European countries, since census taking in some of them may not be accurate, and there is no uniformity in the dates of enumeration. There are in Europe, exclusive of Russia, 291 cities having more than 50,000 inhabitants. Their aggregate population at the most recent census taken of each (ranging from 191 2 to 1920) was 63,279,417. The aggregate population of these cities formed approximately 20 per cent of the total population of the countries to which the figures pertain. In the United States the corre- sponding percentage in 1920 was 31. 73 74 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. In the United States, however, the statistical record is practi- cally complete. In 1790 this Nation was substantially all rural in the sense that no large cities existed. Industrial enterprises were unknown. Almost the entire population supported itself from the soil. The largest city was Philadelphia (including sub- urbs), with 42,000 inhabitants. One hundred and thirty years later more than one-half the Nation's inhabitants resided in com- munities of 2,500 or more, and nearly one- third in cities of 50,000 or more. In 1790 there were but 6 cities having 8,000 or more in- habitants; in 1920 the 6 had multipHed to 924, and the number of commimities with more than 2,500 inhabitants was 2,787. The record of the diverging growth of the rural and urban areas of the United States proves extremely interesting as it shows the great centers of population gathering momentum from decade to decade and accumulating man power by drawing both from the rural areas and from the great volume of immigration, to develop manufacturing enterprises which yielded a total value of products in 19 1 9 exceeding $60,000,000,000. Meantime, with much slower population increase and with many areas showing decreases, but aided by the constant development of labor-saving agricultural machinery, the rural areas have contrib- uted the necessary suppHes of food to maintain the more rapidly in- creasing population in urban centers. The tendency thus out- lined was greatest during the decade from 1900 to 1910; but, in view of the slackening in general population increase, it was more noteworthy during the recent decade. War demands from 191 4 to 191 7, becoming even greater with the entrance of the United States into the conflict, stimulated the movement from country to city to such an extent as to offset in some measure the effects of emigration and the decline in immigration, so that the increase, long under way, in the urban proportion of the population was practically unchecked. As recently as 1880, only 28.6 per cent of the population was urban and 71.4 per cent rural. Rapid changes from decade to decade left the proportions 45.8 per cent urban and 54.2 per cent rural in 1910, representing a shift of 5.8 per cent in the increase of urban and decrease of rural since 1900; but between 1910 and 1920 another transfer of 5.6 percent took place, so that for the first time the census recorded more per- sons residing in communities having 2,500 or more inhabitants than in communities having less than that number (51.4 per cent as compared with 48.6 per cent). RURAL AND URBAN INCREASE OR DECREASE. 75 Recalling again that the national increase from 1910 to 1920 was 13,738,354, what proportion of this increase appeared in the rural areas of the Nation, and what proportion in the urban areas, as classified by the Federal Census? The increases in the rural and urban population for the decades 1910 to 1920 and 1900 to 1 910 are shown in the following table: Table 15. — Increase of Rural, and Urban Population : 1900-1920. CENSUS YEAR. RURAL. URBAN. PER CENT 0* INCREASE. ' Total. Increase. '■ ToUl. Increase.' Rural. Urban. 1000 45,614,142 49 , 806 , 146 51,406,017 1 30,380,433 42,166,120 54,304,603 IQIO 4,192,004 I. 599. 871 11.785.687 12,138,483 9.2 3-2 38-8 28.8 1020 ' The increase figures in this table are somewhat misleading, since they represent the growth of the rural and urban populations, respectively, disregarding the fact that the growth of the urban population took place in an increasing area while that of the rural population took place in a decreasing area. This is be- cause, as their population increases, small incorporated places pass from the rural to the urban class, thus continually increasing the urban territory and decreasing the rural territory. The increase, during the decade 1910 to 1920, in the population of the total territory which was treated as urban in 1920 was 11,111,419, or 25.7 per cent; and the increase during the same decade in the population of the territory which in 1930 was treated as rural was 2,626,935, or 5.4 per cent. Because of a change in the classification of certain towns in Maine, Vermont, and Connecticut, no exactly comparable figures for the decade 1900 to 1910 are available; but, on the basis of the former classification of the towns in question, the increase between 1900 and 1910 in the territory treated as urban in 1910 was 11,013,738, or 34.8 per cent; and the increase during the same decade in the territory treated as rural in 1910 was 11. 2 per cent. In absolute figures, the urban increase for 1910 to 1920, as shown in Table 15, in the face of a considerable shrinkage in total national increase, is greater than that for 1900 to 19 10, while the rural increase during the recent decade was less than two-fifths as large as that for the preceding one. In considering the percentage of increase, lower for both classes of the population, the effect of the slackened national growth should not be overlooked. Had the population increased be- tween 1 910 and 1920 at the rate shown for 1900 to 1910, the increase of total population in 1920 would have been over 19,000,000, instead of less than 14,000,000. Hence, with the total growth what it actually was, the urban group, to have repeated the increase of 38.8 per cent recorded for the decade 1900 to 1910, would necessarily have made a numerical gain greater than the total population increase shown for the United States in 1920. The percentages, less for both classes, reflect in the rural a lessen- ing of the increase beyond that proportionate to the national slowing down, and in the urban an acceleration of the increase represented by a larger absolute number than appeared in 19 10. 76 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The census classification of urban and rural is not entirely sat- isfactory. Indeed, no classification of this subject has been found that meets all requirements. As population increases it expands necessarily in two directions: it increases existing com- munities and creates new ones. Hence the older towns and vil- lages tend constantly to pass the 2,500 limit — which, according to the census classification, separates rural from urban communi- ties — into the urban class, while the rural element (below 2,500) is recruited by the newly established communities, the increase of small existing settlements which still have fewer than 2,500 in- habitants, and the increase in the farm population. Thus the units of increase in the urban class are comparatively large and those in the rural class must be comparatively small. Accepting, however, the classification as it exists, 474 rural villages and towns became urban communities. Each of them, as long as its population numbered 2,499 or less, was rural, but as soon as the total population reached 2,500 it became urban. This resulted in each case in an actual subtraction from the rural and addition to the urban group of 2,500 persons, or a total urban growth of approximately 1,185,000 due to accretion. These 474 newly listed urban communities also added to the urban popula- tion any subsequent growth. The rate of natural increase in urban population, due to excess of births over deaths, has been estimated at approximately 10 per cent. This would signify a growth of about 4,500,000 (allowance being made for the natural increase within the increment due to accretion and migration) , which, added to the 1,185,000 due to accretion, would give a total of 5,685,000 resulting from these two causes. Subtracting this number from the total increase in urban population, approximately 12,140,000, leaves, in round figures, 6,450,000 as the growth due to migration. This ex- ternal contribution consisted in part of foreign born coming to the country, especially during the first half of the decade, and in greater measure of domestic migrants, largely native whites of native parentage and Negroes.' These analyses, however, are of value principally in permitting broad views of changes which, perhaps, may be termed economic and which undeniably are occurring. The population of small cities and towns, classed by the census as rural, in many instances * The above analysis of the growth of urban population was suggested by Joseph A. Hill, Assistant Director of the Census, in a paper, "Some Results of the 1920 Census of Population," prepared for the American Statistical Association. RURAL AND URBAN INCREASE OR DECREASE. 77 is increasing; 474 communities, as has been pointed out, actually passed from the rural to the urban class between 19 10 and 1920. The movement from rural to urban continued to be greatest in the areas in which it began — the industrial Northeastern and North Central states. The New England, Middle Atlantic, and East North Central groups, which together form the great indus- trial section of the Nation, record a rural population (for many- years smaller than the urban) stationary from 1900 to 19 10 and slightly decreased from 19 10 to 1920, while all the liberal total increase appears in the urban class. In the West North Central group of states, for the most part agricultural, the rural element is much larger than the urban, but even here the rural increases were surprisingly small, and nearly all the increase reported for this group was confined to the lu-ban class. In the three southern divisions, which long have been regarded as constituting the rural stronghold of the Nation, the increase between 19 10 and 1920 in the population of the territory treated as rural in 1920 was approximately 1,400,000, but the urban in- crease was nearly 2,300,000. In the Pacific states, in which the urban element predominated in 1 9 10, the urban increase was much greater than the rural in- crease. It remained for the Mountain group (Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Utah, and Nevada) to offer the only exception; here the rural element, larger in 19 10 than the urban, showed a decidedly greater increase from 19 10 to 1920 than that recorded by the urban class. During the lo-year period from 19 10 to 1920, 474 cities and other communities, formerly rural, passed, because of population increase, into the class of cities having 2,500 to 25,000 inhabitants; and during the same period 59 cities moved upward into the 25,000-100,000 class, while 18 left this class for the one comprising cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more. These changes resulted in increasing the number of cities in the 2,500-25,000 class from 2,085 to 2,500, in the 25,000-100,000 class from 178 to 219, and in the class 100,000 and over from 50 to 68. This procedure makes precise comparison difficult, but does not impair the general significance of the steady population growth of cities. Table 51, on page 220, presents a classification of the urban population in 1920, with reference to these three groups of cities, for the geographic divisions and individual states. This classifi- cation of urban population is summarized, for the United States, in Table 16. 78 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table i6. — Summary of Urban Communities: 1920. CtASS OP COMMtJNITY. Total 2,500 to 25,000. . 25,000 to 100,000 100,000 and over Number. 2,787 2,500 219 68 POPULATION. Number, 1920. 54,304,603 16,534,489 10,340, 788 27,429,326 Per cent of increase: 1910-1920.' 25-7 23.0 330 24.9 ' The percentages of increase in this summary relate to the several groups of cities as c(msliluUd in iq20. Thus each percentage represents the growth within an unchanged area, but not the difference between the population living in the specified group in 1910 and in the corresponding group in 1920. To illustrate: The number of cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more in 1910 was 50, and in 1920, 68. The combined population of the 68 cities increased by 24.9 per cent between 1910 and 1920, but if the rate of increase had been based on the population in 1910 of the 50 cities which had 100,000 inhabitants or more in that year it would have been 35.1 per cent. In the diagram below the percentages of increase relate to groups which comprised different cities at different censuses. Increase in Urban Population, by Classes of Cities: 1890-1920. PER CENT O 20 40 60 80 TOTAL "™*" WMMMM^ ^ ».0«, ANO OVER ^^^^^gfc;^^ 26 ,000 TO 100.000 100.000 TO 250,000 260.000 TO 600.000 600.000 AND OV^R ^^^SS ^JB^^^^, ^zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzm l^H^ 1910 TO 1920 KZZQQI 1900 TO 1910 V/y/Z/Z^A lfi9Q TO 1900 Classification of cities by geographic areas brings out from another angle the urban strength of the eastern and central industrial states. These groups, comprising New England and the Middle Atlantic and East North Central states, contributed 38 of the 68 cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more in 1920, with approximately 19,500,000 population in an aggregate of 27,500,000, and 144 of the 219 cities having 25,000 to 100,000 inhabitants, with 6,500,000 population in an aggregate of 10,340,000. Of the 25 cities having 250,000 or more inhabitants in 1920, only 4 retained the same rank in that year as in 19 10, while 10 improved their position and 11 fell behind. These changes merely indicate the readjustments which of necessity occur in the population of a group of great cities scattered throughout the country during a period of general and large increase. RURAL AND URBAN INCREASE OR DECREASE. 79 The following table presents in detail the changes in this group : Tabi,e 17. — Population of Cities Having, in 1920, 250,000 Inhabit- ants OR More, with Increase and Rank: 1920 and 19 10. New York Chicago Philadelphia. . . Detroit Cleveland St. Louis Boston Baltimore Pittsburgh Los Angeles Buffalo San Francisco . . Milwaukee Washington Newark Cincinnati New Orleans. .. . Minneapolis .... Kansas City, Mo Seattle Indianapolis. . . . Jersey City Rochester Portland, Or eg. . Denver POPULATION. 5,620,048 2,701,705 1.823,779 993.678 796,841 772,897 748,060 733.826 588,343 576,673 506,775 506,676 457.147 437.571 414.524 401,247 387,219 380,582 324,410 315.312 314.194 298, 103 295.750 258,288 256,491 ,766,883 ■185,283 , 549 , 008 465,766 560,663 687,029 670,585 558,485 533.905 319,198 423.715 416,912 373.857 331.069 347 . 469 363.591 339.075 301,408 248,381 237.194 233.650 267.779 218, 149 207,214 213.381 increasb, 1910-1920. Number. 853.165 516,422 274,771 527,912 236,178 85,868 77.475 175.341 54.438 257.475 83 , 060 89,764 83,290 106,502 67.055 37-656 48,144 79.174 76,029 78,118 80,544 30,324 77,601 51.074 43.110 17.9 23.6 17.7 42. 1 12.5 II. 6 31-4 10.2 80.7 19.6 21-5 22.3 32.2 19-3 10.4 14.2 26.3 30.6 32.9 34-5 II-3 35-6 24.6 20.2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 23 24 25 3 9 6 4 5 7 8 17 16 14 13 15 18 19 25 28 27 The changing relations of the two great sections of the Ameri- can people, divided according to rural and urban residence, are assuming extreme economic importance. Thus far the analysis has developed a tendency so general and pronounced that it ex- tends to all states in the Union. It will be of great interest, there- fore, to make a somewhat more detailed analysis for the state which not only has the largest total population but also contains the largest city and is preeminently urban in character. rural and urban changes in new YORK STATE. The State of New York reported practically its entire generous increase from 19 10 to 1920 in the growth of New York City and the other cities having 25,000 inhabitants or more. New York City has contributed for a long period two-thirds or more of the decen- 80 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. nial increase in the population of the state, so that by 1910 the city overtook and passed the remainder of the state, reporting more than half the total population of New York state in that year. The gap widened in 1920, when the city returned 54.1 per cent of the state's inhabitants, as against 45.9 per cent outside the city. Tabi^e 18. — Growth of New York City in Comparison with Remainder of State: 1900-1920. CENSUS YEAR. 1900 I9IO 1920 NEW YORK CITY. Total population. 3,437,202 4,766,883 5,620,048 Number. 939,788 1,339,681 853.165 Per cent. 37-1 38.7 17.9 REMAINDER OP STATE. Total population. 3,831,692 4.346,731 4.765.179 Increase. Number. 335.932 515.039 418,448 Per cent. 9.6 13-4 9.6 It is important to remember, however, that New York outside of New York City is a large and very populous state. Shorn of the city. New York, with 4,765,179 inhabitants remaining, would still rank fourth among the states in population. This great total includes 21 cities having more than 25,000 inhabitants and ranging from that figure up to half a million. Three cities, Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse, together returned nearly 1,000,000 inhabitants. The aggregate population of the cities in New York having 25,000 inhabitants or more, exclusive of New York City, and the increases which have occurred in their population during the past three decades are shown in the following tabulation in compari- son with smaller communities, including rural districts: Table 19. — Growth of Cities in New York State Having over 25,000 Inhabitants, Exclusive of New York City, in Comparison with Smaller Communities: i 900-1 920. CITIES OVER 25,000, EXCLUSrVB OP NEW YORK CITY. coMMimrriBs iwder 35.000. CENSUS YEAR. Num- ber of cities. Combined population. Increase since preceding census. Combined population. Increase or decrease ( — ) since preceding census. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. 1900 I9IO 1920 II 20 21 1,019,831 1,564,688 1,942.859 373.717 544,857 378,171 57-8 53-4 24.2 2,811,861 2 . 782 , 043 2,833,330 -37.785 -29,818 40,377 -1-3 — I.O 1.4 RURAL AND URBAN INCREASE OR DECREASE. 81 Here is shown in most striking fashion the trend toward large cities in the state which in a population sense is overshadowed by the metropolis of the country. New York City increased 17.9 per cent from 19 10 to 1920. The 21 other cities having more than 25,000 inhabitants in 1920 increased 24.2 per cent, while the population of smaller communities outside these cities, amount- ing to nearly 3,000,000, increased only 40,277, or slightly more than I per cent, recording, in fact, a practically stationary con- dition although these smaller communities included many small cities and large villages. It is possible to go further with the analysis of New York State conditions. In 19 10, 15 counties, or one-quarter of all in the state, reported loss of population. These losses totaled but 19,000. In 1920, 13 of the 15 counties previously decreasing again retiuned decreases, but instead of only 15 counties report- ing loss as before, the number grew to 32, or two-thirds of all the nonmetropolitan areas in the state, and the aggregate loss was 87,000. These 32 counties were scattered all over the state. In fact, the decreasing counties appeared so generally that it is impossible to indicate any definite geographic trend. Advancing the analysis to cities and towns (corresponding to townships in most sections of the country), of which there are approximately 1,000 in the state, it is found that three-quarters of the entire number declined in population — to be exact, 743 in 1920, as compared with 632 in 1910. The 738 towns and 5 cities reporting decreases had an aggregate population of 1,625,886 in 1910, as against only 1,431,836 in 1920. Thus they lost during the decade 194,050 inhabitants, or 11.9 per cent. The apparently gratifying increase in population which has been in progress in the state of New York from 1910 to 1920 was secured from three sources: First, the city of New York; second, the group of 21 other cities having more than 25,000 inhabitants in 1920; and third, from among the 36 cities having from 10,000 to 25,000 inhabitants in 1920. The population of the remainder of the state, taken as a whole, remained stationary. There are many of the more urban states in which the popula- tion changes resemble those here described, but New York is conspicuous because it contains the largest city in the country and also a very large urban population outside the metropolis, so that its urban increase proves to be especially interesting and impressive. 107°— 22 6 82 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. INCREASE OF SMALLER CITIES. The movement which has been in progress during the past decade from countn^ to city is perhaps more vividly illustrated by the figures presented in Table 52 (p. 222) than by any of the tabulations presented in the preceding pages. This table separates the population of each state into two groups; one, cities of 25,000 and over; and the other, the smaller cities, villages, and rural communities. The purpose of the analysis in this form is to show the predominating influence, both as to absolute figures and increase, of communities having in excess of 25,000 inhabitants. Cities of 25,000 population and over are found in 41 out of the 48 states. In 1920 they contributed to the total population approx- imately 38,000,000 inhabitants. The following summary indi- cates the disparity in increase : Table 20. — Summary of Population in Cities of 25,000 and Over in 1920, and Population Outside such Cities: 1920 and 1910. anes op 25,000 and over in 1920 (287 atiEs). ALL OTHER COMMtJNITIES. CENSUS YEAR. Total population. Increase. Percent of in- crease. Total population. Increase. Percent of in- crease. 29,746,272 37,770,114 62,225,994 67,940,506 1020 8,023,842 27.0 5. 714. 5" 9.2 Reference to the table from which this summary is derived shows that in each of the 41 states except 4 — New Jersey, Kentucky, Montana, and Colorado — the percentage of increase for the cities of 25,000 or more was greater, and in most cases very much greater, than the percentage of increase shown by the rest of the state. Indeed, the contrasts in some instances were almost start- ling. It is significant also that in most of the Southern states, to which attention has already been called as being the stronghold of the rural element and of rural growth in the past, the increase in population of the cities grouped as indicated was large, reaching a maximum of nearly 80 per cent in Oklahoma. Kentucky and Louisiana were the only Southern states in which the rates of in- crease were low. Five states in the South showed more than 50 per cent increase in the population of cities over 25,000. On the other hand, the increase in those portions of the states outside such cities was confined to the narrow range of from 4 to 2 1 per cent. RURAL AND URBAN INCREASE OR DECREASE. 83 This analysis of rural and urban increase from various points of view makes evident the unprecedented trend of increasing numbers of persons during the past 20 years away from country life until, in the imwonted events of 19 10 to 1920, the great increase in city population led to a majority of the so-called urban population in the entire Nation, and a rather definite arrest of rural increase. In the great movements of humanity here and there across the continent, there are likely to appear relatively less and less violent population changes as settlement and development of natural resources tend to become complete; hence, succeeding censuses no doubt will reflect a slowing down of the urban movement. VII. INCREASE OR DECREASE OF POPULATION CON- SIDERED BY SEX, NATIVITY, AND COLOR. Consideration thus far of population changes from 1910 to 1920 has been confined to mere quantitive increase or decrease. Distinct from these changes wrought in the population as a whole, such as increase or decrease shown by states or smaller areas, or the general tendency to migrate from country to city, are other and equally important changes affecting the composi- tion of the population itself — changes in regard to sex, nativity, and color. These in turn, as proved to be the case with the popu- lation as a whole, assume added significance when considered by geographic areas. CHANGES IN THE PROPORTION OF THE SEXES. Natiu*ally the first advance from the consideration of the pop- ulation merely as individuals must be classification by sex. The following statement shows the sex distribution of the population of the United States for 1900, 19 10, and 1920: CENSUS YEAR. Male. Female. Males to 100 females. 38,816,448 47,332,277 53,900,431 37.178.127 44, 639, 989 51,810, 189 104.4 106. IQ20 104. The number of males in continental United States in 1920 con- siderably exceeded that of females. This excess has appeared at every census since 1820, when for the first time the returns indicated the sex of every person enumerated, free or slave. In 1920 the numerical excess of males was more than 2,000,000, larger than at any preceding census except that of 1910, when it reached nearly 2,700,000. But tlie proportionate excess in 1920 was less than it had been for 40 years; in other words, the sexes were more nearly balanced numerically in 1920 than in any of the 3 preceding census years. In each 10,000 of the population of 1910 there were 293 more males than females, and in 1920 only 198. This decrease of 95 per 10,000 in the excess of males may be compared with the decrease of 120 per 10,000 between i860 and 1870, the only other decade since 1820 marked 84 INCREASE BY SEX, NATIVITY, AND COLOR. 85 by a sharp decrease in the excess of males. Both changes were due to the effects, direct or indirect, of the two wars, the Civil War and the World War. The decrease of more than 600,000, or about 22 per cent, in the excess of males during the decade 19 10 to 1920 was due to several influences combined — the greater mortality of males resulting from the war, the emigration of more males than females, the check upon immigration, which normally brings in about 55 per cent of males, and perhaps an increase in the pro- portion of females among the immigrants who did arrive. Exam- ination of the figures by race and birthplace shows that almost three-fifths of the decrease in the excess of males is among the foreign-bom whites, although they constituted only 13 per cent of the total population. This shows that the main influences at work were the decrease in immigration and the increased emigra- tion of the foreign bom, as noted above. INCREASE BY NATIVITY AND COLOR. The changing rates of increase for the white (subdivided as native and foreign) and colored population are shown in Table 21, which follows. Tables 53 and 54 will also be found of interest in connection with increase and distribution. Table 21. — Growth of the WmTE and Colored Elements oe the Population: 1790- 1920. TOTAL WHITE. CENSUS YBAR, POPULATION. Total. Native. Foreign bom. Number. Per cent of in- crease Number. Per cent of in- crease Number. Per cent of in- crease Number. Per cent of in- crease Number. Per cent of in- crease 1790 1800 . . 3,929,214 5, 308, 483 7, 239. 881 9. 638, 453 12, 866, 020 17, 069, 4S3 23, 191. 876 31,443,321 «39. 818,449 50, 15s. 783 62,947, 714 75.994.575 91, 972, 266 105.710,620 35-1 36.4 33-1 33-5 32.7 35-9 35-6 26.6 26. '24.9 20. 7 21. 14.9 3, 172,006 4, 306, 446 5, 862, 073 7.866,797 10,537.378 14, 195, 80s 19. 553. 068 26, 922, 537 '34.337.292 43,402,970 55, loi, 258 66, 809, 196 81.731.957 94, 820, 915 7S7, 208 1, 002, 037 I, 377, 808 1. 771.656 2, 328, 642 2, 873. 648 3,638,808 4, 520, 784 25,481,157 6, 752, 813 7, 846, 456 9. 185,379 10, 240, 309 10,889,705 35.8 36. 1 34-2 33-9 34-7 37-7 37-7 27- 5 26.4 3 26. 7 21. 2 22-3 16. 32.3 37- S 38.6 j8io J830 1840 31-4 23.4 26.6 24-9 21. 3 33.3 3 16. 2 17. I II. 5 6.3 1850 i860 J870 1880 J890 1900 1910 1930 17.312,533 22. 825, 784 228,843,580 36, 843, 291 4S. 979. 391 56, 595. 379 68, 386, 412 81, 108, 161 31.8 26. 4 27.7 '24. S 23- I 20.8 ta6 2, 240, 535 4, 096, 753 5,493.712 6. 559. 679 9, 121, 867 10, 213, 817 13, 345, S4S 13. 71a. 754 82.8 34- I 19.4 '39. 1 12. 30.7 2.8 • Negroes, Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. 2 Estimated corrected figures ; census of 1870 incomplete. 'In computing this percentage of increase, the returns from the special enumeration of Indian Terri- tory and Indian reservations in 1890 were excluded from the total for that year. 86 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Color or Race, Nativity, and Parentage, by Divisions: 1920, 1910, AND 1900. PER CENT ) 7ZZZ1 1620 UNITED STATES i9io 1900 GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIONS 1820 NEW ENGLAND MID.ATLANTIC E.NaCENTRAL W NO, CENTRAL 80. ATLANTIC E. 80.CENTRAL MUdO^ENTRAL PACIFIC f///////A NATIVE WHITE. NATIVE PARENTAGE ^SSJUdSm NATIVE WHITE. FOREIGN OR MIXED PARENTAOe ir^yy^ F0REIQN>BORN WHITE ■m NEGRO AND ALL OTHER The increase of population from 1 910 to 1920, distributed accord- ing to color or race, was as follows : White, increase, 13,088,958; Negro, increase, 635,368; Indian, decrease, 21,246; Chinese, de- crease, 9,892 ; Japanese, increase, 38,853; all other, increase, 6,313. The white population of the United States has shown a higher rate of increase than the total population at every census ex- cept that of 1 8 10. Classification merely as white, however, has only a general interest, for the stream of immigration entering the country in great volume after 1840 supplied a distinct element, the foreign bom, 99 per cent of which was white and which early began to form a considerable proportion of the total white population. One step removed from this element, and derived from it, was the class "native white of foreign or mixed parentage," a group which began to assume large proportions by 1880. Thus in 1850 and i860 the census divided the whites into "native" and "for- eign," but in 1870 and thereafter added the subdivisions "native whites of native parentage," " native whites of foreign parentage," and "native wliites of mixed parentage." VIII. NATIVE WHITES OF NATIVE PARENTAGE. Table 53, which appears on page 224, presents the increase of the population of the United States from 19 10 to 1920 classified by nativity, as previously defined. From this table it appears that the increase contributed by each class was as follows: Native white — Of native parentage 8 , 933 , 382 Of foreign parentage 2 , 778, 228 Of mixed parentage 1,010, 139 Foreign-bom white 367 , 209 Total white increase, 1910 to 1920 13,088,958 More than two-thirds of the entire white increase from 1 910 to 1920 was contributed by the natives of native parents. Since this element formed more than one-half of the total population of the United States in 1920, and more than three-fifths of the white population, it will be first considered. Tabi,e 22. — Increase in Total White Population and in Native WmTES of Native Parentage: 1860-1920. 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 1900-1910 1910-1920 Increase in total white Ix)ptilation. 17,414,755 1 9,065,678 2 11,580,920 11,707,938 14,922,761 13,088,958 INCREASE IN NATIVE WHITES OF NATIVE PARENTAGE. 5,049, 112 25,789,924 6,473,646 8,539.213 8,933.382 Per cent of total white increase. 55-7 50. o 55-3 57-2 68.3 1 Estimated corrected figures; census of 1870 incomplete. ' Exclusive of Indians in Indian Territory and on Indian reservations, not enumerated prior to 1890. The proportion which the increase in native whites of native parentage formed of the total white increase affords an interesting glimpse of the influence of the foreign element. Undoubtedly at the Second Census, had data corresponding to those in the above tabulation been seciu-ed, the proportion of the entire white in- crease contributed by the natives of native parentage would have been very high, perhaps in excess of 95 per cent. This propor- tion decreased as the tide of immigrants swelled and the foreign 87 88 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. born and the native whites of foreign parents began to appear as factors in the population growth. By 1840 the proportion of native whites of native parentage had no doubt appreciably lessened, and in 1850, when the census returned two and a quarter millions of foreign bom, the proportion of the increase in the white population contributed by the native whites of native parentage was probably 65 per cent. By 1880 it had fallen to 56 per cent, and 10 years later, in 1890, another reduction set the proportion at the low limit of 50 per cent. The next three censuses showed advances. During the decade 19 10-1920 the native white population of native parentage registered, for the first time in half a century, more than its proportionate share of the total white increase. This was due, however, to the fact that the foreign-bom white population, probably for the first time in nearly a century, was only a trifle larger at the end of the decade than at its beginning. In fact, each of the three subclasses of the native white population — those of native parentage, those of foreign parentage, and those of mixed parentage — ^increased at a higher rate than the white population as a whole. The proportion which the increase in the native whites of native parentage formed of the total white increase during the last decade, 68 per cent, was probably similar to the corresponding proportion for the decade 1 840-1 850, but the native whites of native parentage are no longer descended almost entirely from Revolutionary and pre- Revolutionary stock, as they were 70 years ago, and the increased contribution of the third generation of the foreign stock — namely, the grandchildren of foreigners — is now an important factor in the increase of the native white population of native parentage. It will be observed from Table 53 (p. 224) that the increase of nearly 9,000,000 between 19 10 and 1920 for the United States as a whole was unevenly contributed by the states. New England returned a very slender increase, and a rate of increase below the national average was contributed by the Middle Atlantic, West North Central, and East South Central groups of states; but, on the other hand, the rate of increase was considerably higher than the national average in the other geographic divisions, rising, indeed, to nearly 37 per cent in the Pacific division. These divisional proportions, however, prove too general to be of es- pecial value. It is only when the changes shown by the native whites of native parentage are considered by individual states that the degree of increase or decrease begins to assume importance. New NATIVE WHITES OF NATIVE PARENTAGE. 89 England proves to be one of the interesting groups for considera- tion. Of these six states, Connecticut showed considerable increase, followed closely by Massachusetts. These advances are likely to have reflected the industrial activity during the war period of the two states preeminently industrial. In Maine the native whites of native parentage were practically stationary, an increase of less than i,ooo being shown. In New Hampshire a comparatively heavy reduction occurred, the state losing nearly 5,000 of this population class. Vermont lost about 1,000. Thus in the three northern states of New England the natives of native parentage suffered a net reduction of approximately 5,000 during the decade, while in the three lower New England states, no doubt in large measure for the reason suggested in the case of Connecticut and Massachusetts, the increase amounted to nearly 195,000. Considerable reinforcement, however, must have been contributed by the offspring of natives of foreign parentage in the three states which have always returned a conspicuously large foreign-bom element. In the Middle Atlantic states considerable increases are recorded in the native element, amounting in round numbers to 440,000 in New York, 530,000 in Pennsylvania, and 200,000 in New Jersey. The highest rate of increase, however, appears for New Jersey. In New York the influence of the third generation of the foreign stock was probably more marked than in Pennsylvania, and in the former state the native stock increased at a slightly greater rate than in the latter. In the East North Central group, consisting of the industrial states of Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Micliigan, and Wisconsin, the increase varied from 9.4 per cent in Indiana to 38.2 per cent in Wisconsin, but a per cent of increase in Michigan almost as large as in Wisconsin represented a much larger numerical increase than in the latter state. In Michigan the development of the automobile industry exerted great influence upon the industrial life of the state diuing the decade and tended, of course, to attract a large number of high-grade mechanics, electricians, and other experts, and thus increased the number of persons bom in other states who became residents of Michigan, swelling the number of natives of native parentage reported in 1 920. This group of states showed a larger numerical increase than any other group. Clearly it did not result so much from fertiHty within the group as from the general movement of population during the decade to the great industrial centers of the Nation. 90 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. In the West North Central group liberal increases were reported except in Missouri and Kansas, the rate of increase varying from 6.2 per cent in Missouri to 43.9 per cent in Minnesota. In this geographic division the indirect influence of the foreign element through grandparentage was undoubtedly very considerable. In the South Atlantic group the effect of natural increase tending normally to expand the population has always been more in evi- dence than elsewhere. Here the increases tend to be more uniform. Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia showed a fairly uniform increase averaging about 18 per cent. The exceptional increase in Florida may be due in some measure to the fact that the census was taken as of January i , and thus at a season when large numbers of winter residents were in the state, some of whom no doubt claimed it as their "usual place of abode," though residing during the greater part of the year in other states. The conditions in the East and West South Central states re- sembled those in the states of the South Atlantic group, since there were few foreigners, except in Texas, where the foreign-born white population increased 50.2 per cent during the decade, and the native stock in most of the states tended to retain its increase within the state borders. In consequence the percentage of in- crease in these geographic divisions ranged from 9.2 in Mississippi to 28.1 in Oklahoma, averaging approximately 16 per cent. The variations which occurred in the Mountain and Pacific regions were not significant of normal increase. Here, in the largest degree, appeared the drift of natives from other localities arriving for purposes of business or residence. This is a process which, while it increases the proportion of the native element in the state of settlement, reduces at the same time the percent- age which the native element contributes to the total increase in the state of birth. The irregularities here shown are illustrated by the percentages of increase, which range from 2.7 in Nevada to 83.3 in Arizona. URBAN TENDENCY OF THE NATIVE WHITE ELEMENT. Of the total increase of 9,000,000 native whites of native parent- age in 1920 shown in Table 53, more than three-quarters was re- ported for urban communities. The increase in population of American cities which has been so marked during the last 30 or 40 years has been the effect in part NATIVE WHITES OF NATIVE PARENTAGE. 91 of the continued influx of immigrants and also of the increase of the second generation of the foreign stock. There has been a continuous increase, of course, somewhat irregular, drawn from the element "native whites of native parentage," not only from those persons in this class born within the cities but from migration of natives of native parentage from rural areas and smaller cities. Up to 1 910 the increase derived from this source had been com- paratively small, so that the proportion formed by the natives of native parentage in the . aggregate population of cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more in 1900 was less than one- third and was approximately the same in 19 10. In 1920, however, the 50 cities which had 100,000 or more inhabitants in 19 10 showed an increase in natives of native parents 50 per cent greater in amount than that shown in 19 10 for the same cities, thus indicating an obvious movement of the native element, affecting all parts of the United States, from rural to urban environment. It must be re- membered, however, that many of the cities extended their bound- aries between 1900 and 19 10 and between 19 10 and 1920, and therefore that the absolute increases during the two decades are not strictly comparable. Nevertheless, the very considerable difference between the amounts of the increase during the two decades is perhaps the most significant fact which appears in con- nection with the natives of native parentage, coupled with the varying degrees of increase which have been previously pointed out. It will be profitable to extend the analysis of this increased trend of the native element to cities. The following table indicates the relation between increase in total population in cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more, and in the native element in the same communities: Table 23. — Increase of Native WmTES of Native Parentage in Comparison with Increase in Total Population in Cities of 100,000 Inhabitants or More: 1900-1920. Num- ber of cities. TOTAL POPULATION. NATIVE WHITES Ot NATIVE PARENTAGE. CENSUS YEAR. Number. Increase. Percent of in- crease. Number. Increase. Per cent of in- crease. 1900 I9IO 1920 38 68 14,208,347 20,302,138 27,429,326 4.254.817 6,370,088 9.852,391 6.093.791 7,127,188 42.9 35-1 2,115,271 3,482,303 49-7 54-7 92 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The figures in the foregoing table relate to 38 cities in 1900, 50 cities in 19 10, and 68 cities in 1920. The increases, therefore, are greater than those which would be obtained from a comparison of the combined population, in different census years, of a definite and unchanging group of cities. Nevertheless, the table serv^es fairly well the purpose for which it is presented, namely, a com- parison of the rates of increase, during the past two decades, of the total population and of the native white population of native parentage in the large cities. A distinct check occurred in the rate of growth of total popula- tion in these cities from 19 10 to 1920 as compared with 1900 to 19 10, but the rate of increase in the native whites of native parent- age, almost 50 per cent during the early decade, showed a fur- ther advance to 54.7 per cent for the recent decade. Between 1900 and 19 10 the increase in native whites of native parentage in this group of large cities was slightly more than one- third, but between 1910 and 1920 it was nearly one-half, of the total increase. Table 55 (p. 234) presents by states the distribution of native whites of native parentage in 19 10 and 1920 as urban and rural. This table may be thus summarized for the United States : Table 24. — Native White Population op Native Parentage, Distributed as Urban and Rural: 19 10 and 1920. Native white of native parentage Per cent of total population Urban native white of native parentage Per cent of total urban Rural native white of native parentage . Per cent of total rural Total urban population Per cent urban in total population 49,488,575 53-8 17,621,230 41.8 31,867,345 64.0 42, 166, 120 45-8 58,421.957 55-3 24,556.729 45-2 33,865.228 65-9 54, 304, 603 Si-4 Inspection of the table shows that while the total population in 1920 became slightly more urban than rural, the native wliites of native parentage continued to maintain a strong rural majority. But this was due entirely to the result of earlier tendencies, for while the rural whites of native parentage increased about 2,000,000 (contributing, indeed, more than the total increase in the general rural class), the urban section of the native ele- NATIVE WHITES OF NATIVE PARENTAGE. 93 ment increased almost 7,000,000. This increase and its distribu- tion prove perhaps the most significant change revealed by the distinctly native white element at the Fourteenth Census. In New England, where the native whites of native parentage constituted but little more than one-third of the total population, but one-third in turn of this class itself remained rural, and while the urban native whites of native parentage increased from 19 10 to 1920 about 250,000, the corresponding rural class decreased about 60,000. Similarly, in the group of states extending from New York to Virginia, although the proportion of native whites of native parentage slightly exceeded that shown by New England, the increase of 1,500,000 in the urban group contrasted with a decline of 40,000 in the rural group. In the South, where the urban native whites of native parent- age have heretofore constituted a comparatively small proportion of the total population, an urban tendency similar to that shown elsewhere manifested itself in 1920, and the growth of the lu^ban element actually slightly exceeded numerically that of the rural element. In all the more important groups of states the same tendency is disclosed, as inspection of Table 55 reveals geographically the urban absorption of 7,000,000 of the 9,000,000 increase from 19 10 to 1920 in the number of native whites of native parentage. Of the 68 cities having 100,000 or more inhabitants in 1920, 55 showed a distinct increase in the proportion contributed by the native whites of native parentage. This significant tendency appears in cities of all sizes and located in all parts of the country. The three leaders in population, New York, Chicago, and Phila- delphia, showed rather marked increases, and two of the three, Chicago and Philadelphia, reversed the tendency to decrease the proportion native of native parentage, shown from 1900 to 1910. More than half their total population was reported by 26 cities as native white of native parentage, an increase over the correspond- ing number in 19 10. Three cities reported over 70 per cent of all their inhabitants as native whites of native parentage. Of these, Reading, Pa., led with 75.2 per cent. At the other extreme New Bedford and Fall River returned less than one-fifth of their population in the native- parentage class. 94 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Thirteen cities were exceptions to the general tendency and showed decreases in the proportion of their native whites of native parentage, and in all but three of them similar decreases appeared between 1900 and 19 10. Six of these cities were in New England — three in Massachusetts and three in Connecticut. In nearly all the large communities in these two industrial states the native element has declined to low proportions in the total population. Here is indicated, broadly, perhaps, one of the most significant changes revealed by the Fourteenth Census. It is the response made by millions of persons of native American stock to the call of the cities, north, east, west, and south, for workers to serve in factories and shops where education and skill were required. IX. NUMERICAL IMPORTANCE OF DESCENDANTS OF WHITE PERSONS ENUMERATED AT THE FIRST CENSUS. Analysis thus far has dealt with the entire element of the white population classified by the census as natives of native parentage. This class, comprising nearly 60,000,000 persons, is far from homo- geneous. It clearly consists of two sections, the descendants of the original white element enumerated at the First Census, and descendants in at least the third generation of persons arriving in the United States after 1 790. What part of this so-called native element of 58,000,000 in the United States in 1920 was de- scended from the 3,000,000 whites enumerated in 1790? It is clear that, having reached even an approximate figiire, the differ- ence must represent the contribution by those persons who settled in this country subsequently to 1 790. This subject has long offered one of the most interesting statis- tical problems considered by students of population change in the United States. The importance of analyzing the origin of the population of the United States was first publicly recognized 100 years ago. As Congress took up the task of framing the law authorizing the Second Census, 1800, the Connecticut Academy of Arts and Sciences, by Dr. Timothy Dwight, its president, memo- rialized the Senate concerning the scope of the census. The memorial contained this rather prophetic suggestion . "To present and future generations it will be highly gratifying to observe the progress of population in this country, and to be able to trace the proportion of its increase from native Americans and from foreigners immigrating at successive periods. ' ' ^ Unfortunately, the Senate did not heed the memorial and did not provide for the return of the foreign bom at the census of 1800. It was half a century later, in 1850, that foreign-born persons were first enumerated separately. » Garfield 's Report on Ninth Census, H. R., Forty-first Congress, second session, Vol. I, No. 3, p. 36. 95 96 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Analysis of the increase of population by nativity requires some reference to the probable increase of the distinctly native element. A brief census study of this subject in 1909/ in connec- tion with a review of the statistics obtainable at an early period, established three methods of determining what had been the contribution of the native element to the total white population. These methods were: (i) Elimination of foreign stock from the native element; (2) estimate of growth of the native white stock based on the rate of increase shown by the Southern states ; ^ and (3) estimate of growth of the white population of native stock measured by the proportion of persons in Massachusetts having native grandparents. The third method of computation was made possible by the fact that in 1905 the state census of Massachusetts attempted an inquiry, the nativity of grandparents, which had never been attempted by any other census, state or national, in the United States. The result of that inquiry was not altogether satisfactory. It was generally regarded as being rather inaccurate, but it seems reasonable to conclude that the inaccuracy related more to those elements foreign or recently foreign than to the native element, since nearly all Americans of native stock can answer unhesitatingly that their grandparents were bom in the United States, though in many instances they might not be sure as to the state in which born. The first of these methods yielded an estimate, for 1900, of 35j5oo,ooo as representing the native white stock whose foreign- born ancestors arrived in this country not later than 1790; the second computation gave 35,640,000; and the third, 33,730,000. The average of the three estimates was very nearly 35,000,000. This figure was assumed to represent the numerical equivalent of the native white stock in the United States in 1900; that is to say, it was considered as equal to the sum of the number of persons of pure native ancestry since 1 790 plus a number representing the amount of native stock in those persons of mixed native and foreign stock. For example, the amount of native stock in four persons each of whom had one foreign-bom grandparent and three native ' A Century of Population Growth in the United States, 1790-1900. U. S. Census, 1909. ^ In making the estimate by this method it was assumed that the rate of natural increase of the native white stock prior to 1870 was the same for the country as a whole as for the Southern states, and that subsequently to 1870 the rate for the re- mainder of the country was equal to one-half that for the Soutli. DESCENDANTS OF WHITES ENUMERATED IN 1790. 97 grandparents of pure native ancestry would be equivalent to the amount of native stock in three persons of pure native ancestry. (See Appendix A, p. 187.) Twenty years elapsed from the Twelfth Census to the Four- teenth. The population of the nation in that period increased about 40 per cent. What has been the contribution of the native stock during the two decades? It can not, of course, be claimed that methods of approaching this subject are exhausted when those above described have been utilized. There are, indeed, many ways of approaching it, but it probably will be agreed that the most satisfactory method elimi- nates in some manner the foreign increment, which has been grow- ing in importance and numbers, especially since 1845. To this end a careful study has been made in the Bureau of the Census and a simple mathematical formula has been utilized. It is the confi- dent belief of the census experts who have worked over the figures that the procedure outlined at length in Appendix A of this mono- graph is more likely to yield accurate results than any of the others which have been considered. The conclusion, in fact, was reached that the second method employed in the previous census study represented considerable obvious inaccuracy, and that the third method, while extremely valuable if it could have been brought up to date, reflected conditions which might have been outlived by 1920, so that the percentage used to determine native stock in 1900 became in 1920 an arbitrary and rather uncertain one. If the method thus suggested as preferable, of computing the contribution of the original stock to the population of the United States in 1920 by eliminating the effect of immigration (p. 191), be accepted, the numerical equivalent of the native white stock in 1900 was 37,290,000; in 1910, 42,420,000; and in 1920, 47,330,000.^ (For estimates for 1820-1890, see p. 195.) ' Were the second method of estimating native white stock utilized — a computation based on the increase shown in Southern states — ^the result would have been 46,250,000 for 1920. But, as suggested, this method can not be regarded as being especially- reliable or satisfactory. The third method, tliat of utilizing the proportion of native grandparentage secured from the Massachusetts census of 1905 (79.1 per cent of the native whites of native parentage), if applied to this element of the white population in 1920, would yield a total of 46,200,000. The similarity here shown suggests that possibly the proportion formed by persons of native grandparentage may be some- what more nearly constant than students of statistics would have been inclined to admit. (See Table 66 and also conclusion of footnote, p. 195.) 107°— 22 7 98 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The 47,330,000 estimated as representing the amount of native white stock in 1920 may be considered as the number of white persons who would have been enumerated in that year had there been no immigration nor emigation since 1790 and if, nevertheless, the rate of natural increase had been what, historically, it appears to have been. The total number descended, in whole or in part, from white persons enumerated in 1790 was, of course, consid- erably larger because of the intermingling of native and foreign stock. In fact, it would be theoretically possible for the total number of native white persons enumerated in 1920, except those having both parents foreign bom, to have descended in whole or in part from white persons enumerated in 1 790. There is at least one possible flaw, though a minor one, in the calculation employed in making the recent estimates. It is found in the assumption that the same rate of natural increase was present in both the native and foreign elements. An attempt to ascertain the ratio between the two rates of increase led to the unexpected discovery that the marriage rates are considerably lower among the native whites of foreign or mixed parentage than among the native whites of native parentage. This is true for tlie United States as a whole and also for urban and rural communities separately. Thus, on the one hand, while the birth rate in the families of the foreign- bom whites is higher than for the native whites, on the otlier hand the marriage rate is considerably lower for American-bom white persons having foreign-bom parents than for the native whites of native parentage. It can not be assumed, therefore, that the third generation of foreign white stock is relatively any more numerous than the contemporary generation of native white stock. The expansion of the native white stock in 20 years is repre- sented by the advance from 37,290,000 in 1900 to 47,330,000 in 1920, an increase of 10,040,000, or nearly 27 per cent. The rate of increase in the native whites of native parentage during the same period was 43 per cent. The difference between these rates is due to the fact that the native whites of native parentage are recruited in part by the children bom to native whites of foreign or mixed parentage, that is to say, by the grandcliildren of tlie foreign-bora whites. The total increase in the native whites of native parentage is, tlierefore, greater than the natural increase, since in the case of the families in which the parents are native whites of foreign or DESCENDANTS OF WHITES ENUMERATED IN 1790. 99 mixed parentage the births increase the class of native whites of native parentage, whereas' the deaths of the parents do not de- crease that class. It is not possible to apportion among all the states the increment of 10,040,000 in the native white stock. One separation, however, is possible and proves of some interest. Certain Southern states have been affected to a very slight degree by the great tide of immigration. Kven at the last census, though the foreign bom and the children of foreign parentage in this area showed a slight increase, the absolute figures were negligibly small. Hence the increase of white natives of native parentage in at least 9 Southern states was practically that of distinctly native stock, and may be regarded as a part of the 10,040,000 aggregate increase just shown to have occurred in 20 years. These 9 Southern states are Virginia, North CaroHna, South CaroHna, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Together they retiumed 9,700,592 white natives of native parentage in 1900. In 1920 the total was 13,061,286. This was an increase of 3,360,694, or nearly 35 per cent, in 20 years, in comparison with the national increase ot 43 per cent in native whites of native parentage and 27 per cent in estimated native white stock. Withdrawing this number of persons from 10,040,000 leaves 6,680,000 as the approximate increase contributed by the remain- ing 39 states and the District of Columbia. In these states the estimated native white stock in 1900, after deduction of the total number of native whites of native parentage in the 9 specified Southern states, was 27,590,000. Hence the increase of the native white stock outside the excepted group of 9 Southern states was 24.2 per cent in 20 years. The difference here indicated between the in- crease shown for certain Southern states and that attributed to the remainder of the Union is in line with imdoubted tendencies. It is well known that the South has contributed a generous increase to the native stock, while it has long been the general beHef among statisticians that the contribution to the native stock by the rest of the country was not large and differed widely among tlie states, being in many very small. In some Eastern states, indeed, it has seemed probable that a loss was being recorded. The increase of population for the 20-year period 1900 to 1920 may now be thus interestingly divided, as shown in Table 25. 100 INCRE.\SE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 25. — Distribution of Population ant> Rate of Increase by Race and Nativity : 1920 and 1900. Total. Number. 105, 710, 620 Per cent of total. Number. 75.994,575 Per cent of total. 100. O Native white 81, 108, 161 Native stock (estimated). '47,330,000 Nine Southern states.! ^j^^q^j 286 All other states (esti- j mated) 134,270,000 Foreign stock (esti- ' mated) , '33, 780, 000 Foreign-bom white 13, 712, 754 Negro j 10, 463, 131 Indian, Chinese, Japanese,' etc I 426, 574 76.7 44-8 12.4 .32.4 32.0 13.0 9.9 0.4 56, 595, 379 * 37, 290, 000 - 9, 700, 592 ' 27, 590, 000 ' 19, 300, 000 10, 213, 817 8, 833, 994 351,385 74-5 49. I 12.8 3^-3 25-4 13-4 II. 6 0-5 Per cent of in- crease. 1900- 1930. 39- I 43-3 26. 9 34-6 24. 2 75- o 34-3 18.4 21.4 1 Numerical equivalent. ' Native white of native parentage; approximately same as pure native white stock. The addition of nearly 14,500,000 to the foreign white stock of native birth during the 20-year period, representing an increase of 75 per cent, is derived from two sources: First, the increase of the foreign white stock of native birth present in 1900 (equivalent to 19,300,000); and second, the sur\nvors, in 1920, of the children bom in the United States since 1900 to foreign white parents. While the first of these two sources is properly designated as natiu-al increase, the second is not, since births in the United States to foreign parents increase the class under consideration, while the deaths of the parents do not decrease it. (See Appen- dix B, p. 197.) From the standpoint of historic interest and of influence on the development of the Nation, the distinctly native stock in the population of the United States has, of course, been the over- shadowing element. There has long been an impression on the part of students of population statistics that this element, begin- ning with an unusually large percentage of increase, has been slackening in growth to the point where it was almost a question whether any increase at all was occurring — especially in certain localities. The late Francis A. Walker, Superintendent of the Tenth Census, whose contributions to scientific population analysis are DESCENDANTS OF WHITES ENUMERATED IN i790. 101 of the highest order, advanced the theory that the reduced in- crease of the native stock was the result of contact and competi- tion with the foreign element, beginning about the middle of the last century. This theory has been vigorously opposed and as a complete explanation has not been accepted, but in one respect it is certainly true. The coming of the foreign element into the life of the Republic stimulated industrial activity, railroad construction, manufacturing, and development of all kinds. These great economic changes in turn tended to make over the social conditions of the Nation, and in the complexities arising in that direction is undoubtedly to be found the principal cause of decreasing increase of a stock originally so prolific. Thus General Walker's theory may be accepted as reasonably correct, though perhaps in a roundabout way. The analysis presented in the foregoing pages seems to make it evident that the distinctly native stock, by which is meant the de- scendants of those persons who were enumerated at the First Cen- sus, has not ceased to increase as a whole, but that this increase is being contributed unequally by different parts of the country. Such a change may be accepted as natural and normal. In those states more or less fully settled and in which the incentive to pop- ulation increase no longer is urgent, it is not to be expected that radical changes in any element will appear from census to census. The racial characteristics of the original stock are such that the innate yearning to achieve develops a decided tendency to seek other fields of activity where opportunities for advancement are greater than in older and more populous communities. Thus, quite naturally, while this element of the population tends to become stationary or even to decline in New England, in those areas where the call is still urgent for increased population, where chances are many for individual advancement, the de- scendants of the original stock continue to increase. In the South and in certain of the Northern Central and Western states, without question the representatives of the early stock are con- tributing with reasonable liberality to the increase of population. This analysis indicates that the native white stock is increasing in the entire Nation at the rate of about ii or 12 per cent per decade. Thus in a broad sense the early or Revolutionary stock is continuing to increase at a rate which rather closely approxi- mates the increase shown as an average by the nations of Europe somewhat allied to it in characteristics, primarily England and 102 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Scotland. It is not to be expected, if modem statistics of popu- lation growth are to be accepted as indicative, that a nation having reached maturity will increase at a much faster rate than an average of lo per cent per decade. Therefore, it is reasonable and normal that the oldest element in the population of the United States and thus the one which is reasonably comparable with the population of the nations of Europe should continue to increase at a rate roughly corresponding to the European rates. X. NATIVE WHITES OF FOREIGN OR MIXED PARENTAGE AND FOREIGN-BORN WHITES. NATIVE WHITES OF FOREIGN OR MIXED PARENTAGE. The native whites of foreign parentage form what may be termed an intermediate group in the census classification by nativity. The white immigrant is classed as "foreign-bom white." His children by his foreign-bom wife then become ' ' native whites of foreign parentage," and their children, the grandchildren of the immigrant, become a part of the principal element numerically of the nation, the "native whites of native parentage. ' ' The marriage of a white person of foreign birth to one of native birth necessi- tates for the children resulting from such marriage, bom in the United States, the additional classification "native whites of mixed parentage." The class of native whites of foreign parentage is dependent for its existence upon the number, ages, and marital condition of the foreign-bom whites in the countr)\ If an absolute check were placed on immigration the foreign bom would gradually disappear, while the number of native whites of foreign parentage would linger one generation longer and then also become nonexistent. As the number of foreign bom within the country increases, the number of their children increases. In the half century from 1870 to 1920 the native whites of foreign parentage increased from 10.8 per cent of the entire population to 14.8 per cent, and during the same period the native whites of mixed parentage increased from 3 per cent to 6.6 per cent. The increase in native whites of foreign parentage for the decade 191Q to 1920 was 2,778,228, representing excess of births over deaths and emigration. The increase in the native whites of mixed parentage for the same decade was 1,010,139. The total number of children under 10 years of age, and therefore having been bom since January i, 19 10, who were enumerated at the 1920 census as native white of foreign or mixed parentage was 5,901,905. Reducing this number by 162,000, representing the estimated number of children bom between January i and April 103 104 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. 15, 1910 (the Thirteenth Census date), and sur\'iving on January i, 1920, leaves, in round numbers, 5,740,000 children bom between the Thirteenth and Fourteenth Census dates and sur\'iving on the latter date. The difference of approximately 1,952,000 be- tween this number and the net increase of 3,788,367 in the two classes under consideration represents the number of persons in those classes who were enumerated on April 15, 1910, and who died or emigrated before January i, 1920. In accordance with the general trend thus far observ^ed, the urban rate of increase of the natives of foreign parentage has far exceeded the rural rate of increase. In lurban communities this group increased 30 per cent during the past decade, while in rural areas it increased but 4 per cent. As might have been expected, the distribution of native whites of foreign or mixed parentage conforms in general to the distribu- tion of the foreign born. The following table shows the propor- tions for the last two census years : Table 26. — Per Cent Distribution of Foreign-born Whites and Native Whites of Foreign or Mixed Parentage, by Geographic Divisions: 1920 and 1910. GBOGRAPHIC DIVISION. United States New England Middle Atlantic East North Central. . West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central . . West South Central. Mountain Pacific Foreign-bom white. 100. o 13.6 35-8 23-5 10. o 2.3 0-5 3-3 3-3 7-5 Native white of foreign or mixed parentage. II. 6 3'^-3 26. I 14.9 2.4 0.9 3- I 3-3 6.3 Foreign-bom white. Native white of foreign or mixed parentage. 100. 100. 13-6 36.2 23.0 12. I 2. 2 0.7 2.6 3-3 6.5 10. 9 29. 6 27. o 17.0 2-3 I. I 3-2 3-3 5-6 During the last decade the native whites of foreign parentage increased by 21.5 per cent, a higher rate than that for any other group of the white population. The New England, Middle Atlantic, and Pacific states all show increases of over 30 per cent, while the East South Central was the only geographic division to record a decrease — 6.8 per cent. All the states reporting de- FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 105 creases for native whites of foreign parentage also showed de- creases in number of foreign-born whites, though the reverse is not true. It is worthy of note that in the state of New Hampshire, in which the native whites of native parentage decreased nearly 5,000 and the foreign-bom whites decreased more than 5,000, the native whites of foreign parentage and the native whites of mixed parentage together increased more than 22,000, and thereby kept the state from returning a net decrease for the decade. Connecticut, with an increase of 45.8 per cent, and New Jersey, with 43.9 per cent, are illustrations of the attraction which in- dustrial centers have for the native whites of foreign parentage. One other state merits especial attention. Although the foreign- born whites in North Dakota decreased 15.8 per cent during the decade, the native whites of foreign parentage increased 13.3 per cent and the native whites of mixed parentage increased 35.6 per cent, and the combined increase in these two native classes was greater numerically than the increase in the native whites of native parentage. In Wisconsin, Minnesota, Idaho, Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah decreases in the foreign-born whites were also accompanied by increases in the native whites of foreign or mixed parentage, but in these states the increases in the native whites of native parentage were greater than the combined increases in the other two native white classes. FOREIGN-BORN WHITES. The decade 1900 to 19 10 witnessed the entrance of about 8,000,000 foreigners into the United States and a net increase of 30.7 per cent in the foreign-bom white population. At the close of the period immigrants were entering the country at the rate of 1,000,000 per annum. The chief restrictions at that time were those based on physical disability, moral turpitude, and the immi- grant's ability to support himself. In 19 10 the number of foreign- bom whites in the country was 13,345,545, or 14.5 per cent of the entire population. Had the increase for the decade 19 10 to 1920 continued at the rate of the previous period, the foreign-bom white population of the countr}^ would have reached seventeen and one-half millions in 1920. As a matter of fact, the census of 1920 showed a foreign-bom white population of 13,712,754, an increase of 367,209, or 2.8 per cent, over the corresponding 106 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. figure for 1910. For the previous decade, the rate of increase of the foreign-born whites was nearly one-half greater than that for the total population, while for the lo-year period 19 10 to 1920 it was less than one-fifth that for the total population. In the sense of permitting more thorough assimilation, this slackened increase has proved fortunate. The decrease in the rate of increase for the foreign-born whites effected a decrease in the proportion of the total white population which was foreign born. This pro- portion dropped to the lowest point reached since 1850, or 14.5 per cent of the entire number of white persons enumerated. Such a figure, however, is inadequate as an expression of the foreign-born element. "We obtain a more significant measure of the relative impor- tance of the immigrants if we consider the percentage which they form of the adult population, or, taking a figure which is con- veniently accessible in the census reports, the percentage which they form of the total male population 21 years of age and over. It is a percentage which would be startling if we had not become familiar with it, or if it were announced for the first time in the history of census taking. In 19 10 — to take first the earlier and more sensational percentage — 24.6 per cent, or practically one- fourth, of the male population 21 years of age and over consisted of immigrants. The percentage has now declined to 22. i , which is still over one-fifth of the total. Of course, much higher per- centages are reported in certain sections of the country'. In the Middle Atlantic states (New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania) 35.4 per cent of the male population 21 years of age and over is foreign bom; in the New England states, 38.2 per cent; in Massa- chusetts, 41.9 per cent; in Boston, 46.3 per cent; and in New York City, 53.4 per cent." ^ Such proportions of foreign bom within the United States make any decrease in the rate of increase sig- nificant and deserving of more intensive examination. Practically all the foreign born are whites, the proportion wliite being 98.6 per cent, as compared with 88.4 per cent for the natives. While the foreign-bom population can be increased only by immi- gration, there are two forces constantly at work decreasing their number, emigration and mortality. Importunately fairly compar- able data on all three subjects are available. On April 15, 1 9 10, the number of foreign-bom whites in the United States, as shown by the Tliirteenth Census, was 13,345,545. ' Dr. Joseph A. Hill, Assistant Director of the Census, before the American Statis- tical Association, Pittsburgh, Dec. 27, 1921. FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 107 Between that date and January i, 1920, the excess of white immi- gration over white emigration was approximately 3,350,000. (See Appendix C, p, 203.) The addition of the estimated net white immigration of 3,350,000 to the 13,345,545 foreign-bom whites enumerated in 19 10 gives a total of approximately 16,695,000 as the number of foreign- bom whites who would have been present in the United States on January i, 1920, had there been no mortality in this class between the Thirteenth and Fourteenth Census dates. The number actually enumerated was 13,712,754. This would indi- cate, assuming the census figures and the immigration and emi- gration figures to be correct, a mortality of about 2,980,000. The mortality actually recorded in the death-registration states ^ indicated, for the entire United States, assuming the death rate for the foreign-bom white population to be the same for the country as a whole as for the registration states, a foreign white mortality of only 2,415,000 for the period from April 15, 1910, to January i, 1920. This discrepancy of 565,000 — equal to about 4 per cent of the entire number of foreign-born whites enumerated — probably results in the main from three causes: First, that the mortality returns, although satisfactorily near completeness in most states in the registration area, are not absolutely complete and do not cover the entire United States, so that any estimate for the country as a whole is subject to some margin of error; second, that the deaths of some foreign-born persons, although registered, may have been erroneously reported as deaths of natives; third, that undoubtedly a considerable number of foreign born, in the period of excitement just following the war and because of the antagonisms and prejudices aroused by it, may have represented themselves to the census enumerators as natives. In this study of the foreign bom, considered as a general group, regardless of sex or nationality, it is important to review the changes in distribution which have occurred during the lo-year period. Since there was little actual net increase during the period, any considerable increase or decrease which took place in a given state or city must have been attended by a corresponding * This group of states, with 76.6 per cent of the total foreign-bom white population of the United States in 1910, was enlarged from year to year and in 1919 was estimated to contain 90.6 per cent of the total foreign-bom white population of tlie country. 108 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. decrease or increase in other areas. This does not necessarily imply a migration from one area to another. Approximately 5,500,000 foreign-bom whites entered the country during the decade, and an almost equal number either emigrated or died. It is, therefore, possible for the distribution to have been changed quite violently during the period with practically no interstate migration. Considerable redistribution actually did take place in this manner. The races which decreased during the period were relatively quite general in their distribution throughout the country, while those which increased tended to concentrate in New England, the Middle Atlantic, and the East North Central groups of states. Consequently the changing proportions between 1910 and 1920 led to increased concentration in the Eastern states. The shut- ting off of the stream of immigrants brought about a demand for other persons to take their places in the industrial centers. The incoming foreign bom have a definite status in our economic labor supply, and there was great demand for the type of labor which they customarily furnish. This tended to attract such foreign bom as arrived during the decade to the industrial centers and to retain them there. The redistribution which occurred from 19 10 to 1920 greatly affected certain areas. The West North Central division, which in 1 9 10 possessed a foreign-bom white population of 1,613,231, or 13.9 per cent of its entire population, actually showed for the lo-year period a foreign-bom white decrease of 241,270, or about 15 per cent. This area, being mainly agricultural, was neither able to compete with the demand for labor from the in- dustrial states nor to attract those immigrants who came to the United States during the decade. The East South Central division also showed a decrease in total foreign bom, but such a change is not of especial significance, as the foreign bom in the southern districts have always been few in number. The increases oc- curred in the main in the industrial sections, in the Atlantic Coast states, and along the Mexican border. Massachusetts, Connecti- cut, New York, New Jersey, Ohio, Illinois, and Michigan all in- creased in foreign-bom white population. Because of the increase in Mexicans alone, the states of Texas, Arizona, and California also bulked large in the total. o w o OJ 109 110 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The increase in practically all the Southern Atlantic states is worthy only of passing notice, Florida being the only state in this group to show a foreign-bom white increase of over 5,000. The percentages of increase in these states showed marked advances because of the small actual numbers on which based. Increases in three states, Michigan, Texas, and CaHfomia, ag- gregated more than the net foreign-bom white increase shown by the entire country. INCREASE OF FOREIGN BORN IN CITIES. The tendency of the foreign-bom white population toward con- centration in cities and large towns has long been manifest. In 1890, 61.8 per cent of the foreign-bom whites were numbered in the urban population. This proportion increased to 71.4 per cent in 1 910, and by 1920 the foreign-bom white population of the United States had become 75.5 per cent urban. Thus at the Fourteenth Census three out of every four foreign-bom white per- sons in this country lived in communities of 2,500 inhabitants or over. On the other hand, during tlie decade the number of foreign-bom whites in rural districts decreased 12 per cent. It is probably true that this apparent urban movement of the foreign bom does not represent actual migration to any consider- able extent. Certainly during the decade under survey the migra- tion of the foreign bom to the cities was not as great as that of the native whites or of the Negroes. Apparent migration is due largely to the replacement of nationalities. The GeiTnans, English, and Scandinavians, races which decreased during the decade, have always contributed much lower proportions of their total numbers to the population of cities tlian have the Italians, Russian Jews, and other races which showed increases during the decade. A change in the proportions of these races witliin tlie coimtry would naturally result in an apparent urbanization movement. By tak- ing out a number of Germans and replacing them witli Russian Jews, although the number of foreign bom within the comitry might be exactly the same, the percentage urban would be made higher. For example: During the last decade the foreign-bom white population of rural communities in the East North Central division decreased 165,000, while the foreign-bom white popula- tion of urban communities increased 320,000. And yet this was only partly a matter of urban migration. It was principally the result of such a redistribution of nationalities, since during the decade the number of persons of German birth witliin this division FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. Ill decreased about 280,000 and the number of Scandinavians about 30,000, while on the other hand the Poles (using "mother tongue" to distinguish Poles for 1910) increased by 85,000, the Austrians and Hungarians (using the prewar boundaries) 80,000, the Ital- ians 55,000, and the Russians 110,000. What such a substitution means can be realized readily by refer- ence to the results of the 1910 census, wliich showed that while the Germans in the United States were 67 per cent urban and the Scan- dinavians 53 per cent, the Russian Jews, on the other hand, were 87 per cent urban, the Austrians and Hungarians 74 per cent, and the Italians 78 per cent. These figULres represent the tendency of each nationality to congregate in cities. Any change such as that which took place in the East North Central division, replacing the less urban nationalities with those more urban in tendency, would result in an apparent cityward migration. It is important in this connection to keep constantly in mind the fact that the accumulation of immigrants in cities is not a fair test of their tu-ban tendencies. Cities are the natural points at which immigrants arrive ; they are the points at which a living of some sort can usually be secured. The dispersion of the foreign bom to smaller communities and to rural districts is at best a slow process. In a period of rapid immigration, the cities choke up with immigrants. When immigration slackens the dispersion of newly arrived foreigners to other parts of the country can better keep pace with the number entering the various ports. One other factor should be considered. The native white was traditionally migratory. The war demand for city workers was able to sweep him into industrial centers. The Negro was also easily attracted to the cities. These influences did not so easily affect the rural foreign bom. They had come to this country in the main for economic betterment, had gone by choice to the rural commimities, and had striven for and in general had reached positions of comparative independence. They had not been in the United States long enough to become as restless as v/ere the native whites, even had they possessed by inheritance so great an instinct for change. They were quite contented with their rural life. If these foreign-bom persons had been by nature city dwellers, they would not have chosen rural life when they entered the United States. So it is not surprising that the actual migration of this element from country to city was of little numeri- cal consequence. 112 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. There was a certain type of migration from the country which must be mentioned, and that was the movement of foreign-born persons back to their native lands for military service. Pre- sumably, however, this movement was of greater consequence from the larger cities, where nationalities congregate and where enthusiasm could be more easily aroused, than from the rural districts. INCREASE AND DECREASE OF FOREIGN-BORN WHITE BY NATIONALITY. Up to this point the discussion has dealt with the foreign born mainly as similar units. Such a discussion is fruitful from certain viewpoints, but changes in nationalities press for analysis. It is especially important to consider proportions of nationality, since the Fourteenth Census period is noteworthy as the apparent close of slightly restricted immigration and the beginning of an era of restriction. The method chosen for applying the new policy is based on the numerical strength of national groups within the country. For the purpose of examining the foreign-bom white population in 1920 and of comparing it with that of 19 10, Table 27 has been prepared. There was an obvious difficulty with regard to the enumeration of the foreign born at the census of 1920, arising from the transfer of territory from one country to another and the formation of new countries in Europe. This table has been compiled, so far as possible, in such a way that similar areas are made comparable. To obtain a figure for 1910 comparable to that shown for Poland for 1920, the numbers of Austrians, Rus- sians, and Germans who in 19 10 claimed Polish as their mother tongue have been subtracted from the totals for Austria, Russia, and Germany, respectively, and combined. Alsace-Lorraine was tabulated separately for 1920, but not for 1910, and therefore for comparison it was included with Germany. The area in central Europe was made comparable only by comparing the 1920 aggre- gate for Austria, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and Jugo-Slavia with the 1 910 aggregate for Austria-Hungary, Serbia, and Montenegro. No adjustments have been made, however, in regard to the transfers of territory from Russia and Austria-Hungary to Ru- mania, from Austria-Hungary to Italy, from Germany to Den- mark, from Bulgaria to Jugo-Slavia and Greece, and from Turkey in Europe to Greece. FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 113 Table 27.— Foreign-Born White Population of the United States, by Country oe Birth: 1920 and 1910. COUNTRY OP BIRTH. All countries Europe Northwestern Europe ' England Scotland Wales Ireland Norway Sweden Denmark Netherlands, Belgium, Luxem- burg Switzerland France : . . Central Europe ' Germany and Alsace-Lorraine . . Austria, Hungary, etc Poland Eastern Europe ■ Russia, Lithuania, and Finland Rumania, Bulgaria, Albania, and Turkey in Europe Southern Europe ' Greece Italy Spain and Portugal Other Europe Asia America Canada French Newfoundland Other Mexico Other America Other continents or islands 13.712,754 11,877,991 3.794.555 812,828 254,567 67,066 1.037.233 363.862 625,580 189,154 207,037 118,659 118,569 4,365,181 1,720,423 -1,504,780 I. 139.978 1.809,573 1.685,381 124, 192 1,902,781 175.972 1,610, 109 116,700 5. 901 110,450 1,656,801 ,117,878 307,786 13. 242 810,092 478.383 47,298 67.512 13.345.545 11,787,878 4.237.373 876,455 261,034 82,479 1.352. 155 403.858 665,183 181,621 172.518 124,834 117,236 4,600,073 2,311,085 ^1,351,104 937,884 1 . 423 . 645 1,314,051 109,594 1.523.934 101,264 1,343,070 79,600 2,853 64.314 1,453, 186 Increase ( + ) or decrease (— ). I, 196,070 385.083 5.076 810,987 219,802 32.238 40, 167 +367.209 + 90.113 -442,818 — 63,627 - 6,467 - IS. 413 —314,922 - 39.996 - 39.603 + 7.533 + 34.519 - 6.175 + 1.333 -234,893 - 590.662 + 153.676 -1-202,094 +385.928 +371.330 + 14.598 +378.847 + 74.708 +267.039 + 37.100 + 3.048 + 46,136 +203,615 - 78, 192 - 77,297 -I- 8, 166 - 895 +258,581 + 15.060 + 27.345 1 Because of the inclusion of Alsace- Lorraine with Germany, and of Albania in Eastern Europe, in order to obtain figures comparable with those for 1910. the totals for Northwestern, Central, Eastern, and Southern Europe, as given in this table, are different from those which appear in the Fourteenth Census reports. ' Austria, Hungar>', Czechoslovakia, and Jugo-Slavia. ' Austria-Hungary, Serbia, and Montenegro. 107°— 22 8 114 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. From Table 27 it appears that the increase received from Europe was about 90,000, from Asia 46,000, and from America 204,000. It is of interest to note that the number of whites in the United States bom in Africa, included under " Other continents or islands," totals 5,222. Asia showed the highest rate of increase, contributed almost entirely from Armenia and Syria, the extreme western part of the continent. (It must be remembered that the figures in Table 27 relate only to the foreign-bom white population.) IMMIGRATION FROM EUROPE. Europe and America were the largest two contributors to the foreign -bom population of the United States. From 1 910 to 1920 America for the first time surpassed Europe in the net number of foreign born which it contributed. Europeans in the United States increased from 1900 to 1910 by almost 3,000,000, or 33 per cent, but from 1910 to 1920 their increase was less than a tenth of a million — less, indeed, than i per cent. The World War had greatly reduced immigration from Europe and had drawn heavily for military service upon the foreign bom already in this country. England, Ireland, Scandinavia, and Germany lost numerically, and Austria- Hungary, Poland, Russia, and Italy gained. From Table 27 it is possible to compare the foreign-bom white population in 1920 with that returned in 19 10. Such a table affords the most recent inventory of the change in the composi- tion of the foreign bom within the country. Before examining it in more detail the general currents of immigration to the United States should be indicated. Inspection of the following table will show the tendency of immigration for 80 years. Table 28. — Immigrants from Specified Countries, by Decades: 1840-1920.^ nUCADE. Ireland. Germany. Italy. Russia. I840-I850 780, 719 914, 119 435, 778 436,871 655. 482 403, 496 339. 065 M5. 937 434, 626 951,667 787, 468 718, 182 I. 452, 970 543,922 341.498 143. 945 1,870 9,231 11,728 55. 759 307, 309 61:5, 604 656 I, 621 igro— i860 4,536 52,254 26=;, 088 1870-1880 1880-1890 COJ. 70-J 2, 04!;, S77 I. CQ7. J06 I, 109, 524 921,957 • Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1920, Table 6S. The Irish and Germans were the first foreign born other than British to come to the United States in any great numbers. In FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. lis 1850 the Irish constituted 42.8 per cent of the total foreign bom in this country. In i860, with a total foreign-bom population of 4,138,000, the Irish numbered 1,611,304 and the Germans 1,276,000, indicating that these two nationalities formed about 70 per cent of the total. Their numbers continued to increase until in 1890 there were in the United States nearly 2,000,000 Irish and 3,000,000 Germans. The great influx from these two nationalities began to slacken by the Twelfth Census, 1900, and the total number of either nationality entering the country as immigrants during the 20 years from 1900 to 1920 failed to reach half a million. Although the Germans still maintained the position which they first reached in 1880 as the nationality predominating among the foreign born in the United States, Ireland, first in 1870, descended to third position in 19 10 and was sixth in 1920. Paralleling the reduction in the number of Irish, the number of Germans in this country has decreased by approximately i ,000,000 in the last 20 years. Although during the 10 years 1900 to 19 10 the decrease was only about 11 per cent, it amounted to over 25 per cent for the decade 19 10 to 1920. It must be remembered that restrictions recently imposed will make impossible the arrival of any great number of immigrants, at least for half the decade. The decrease in the number of German- bom, in general, has been uniform throughout the Nation. There seems to be very little net migration of this class between the states. The cities, to be sure, show a higher rate of decrease than the rural districts, but the presumption is that the bulk of those who returned to Germany for military service in the earl}^ years of the war were drawn from the cities. The national feeling is more easily maintained and aroused when the national atmosphere is to some extent developed in a racial group of considerable size, such as is found only in cities. Here are the rates of decrease shown by Germans in some of the larger cities: DECREASE. CITY. DECREASE. Number. Per cent. Number. Per cent. New York 83, 983 70,001 25, 045 30. 2 38.4 38.6 Philadelphia St. Louis Detroit 21,714 17,677 14,437 35-3 37- 32.3 Chicago Milwaukee 116 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. With the rate of decrease for the larger cities so much above the general average of 25 per cent, it is necessarily true that the rate of decrease in smaller cities or in the rural districts must be lower. In 1870, 87 per cent of the total German-bom population of the United States resided in three geographic divisions — the Middle Atlantic, East North Central, and West North Central. It is interesting to note that in 1910 there were still 84 per cent of the Germans in the same area, and in 1920, 83 per cent. The two races which have shown the greatest increases in the last decade are the Italians and the Russians, the Italians having increased 267,039 and the Russians 371,330, the latter principally of Jewish blood. This is a continuation of an immigration which has been rapidly growing since 1880. During the decade 1900 to 19 10 the Italian immigrants outnumbered, more than four to one, the Italians already in the United States at the beginning of the decade. Over 80 per cent of the Russians and 85 per cent of the Italians are in the New England, Middle Atlantic, and East North Central states. In 40 years the number of Italians in the United States has multiplied 36 times, that of Russians 39 times. The tendency of these two races toward urban life is thus very marked. In the vState of New York, for example, of the 545,000 Italians present in 1920, over 440,000, or 81 per cent, were in cities having 100,000 inhabitants or more. New York City alone contained 72 per cent of all the Italians in the state. The Russians show an even greater tendency to concentrate in cities than the Italians, nearly nine-tenths of the Russians in 1920 being massed in urban communities. The foreign bom in the United States, at first almost entirely from northwestern Europe and Germany, at recent censuses have shown increased proportions from the southern and eastern parts of the Continent. Upon the classification of the principal countries contributing to the foreign-bom element in the population of the United States, according to numerical strength at the last three censuses, 1900, 19 10, and 1920, the following changes appear: FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 117 Table 29. — Countries Ranked According to Number Contributed TO Foreign-born White Population of the United States, as Enumerated in Specified Census Year: 1920, 1910, and 1900. Rank, 1920. Rank, 1910. Rank, 1900. I. Germany. I. Germany. I. Germany. 2. Italy. 2. Russia. 2. Ireland. 3. Russia. 3. Ireland. 3. Canada. 4. Poland. 4. Italy. 4. England. 5. Canada. 5. Canada. 5. Sweden. 6. Ireland. 6. Austria. 6. Russia. 7. England. 7. England. 7. Austria. 8. Sweden. 8. Sweden. 8. Italy. 9. Austria. 9. Himgary. 9. Norway. 10. Mexico. 10. Norsvay. 10. vScotland. The steady advance of Italy and the gradual retirement of Ireland are the two outstanding features of this table. The fol- lowing diagram presents in graphic form the principal nativities present in the foreign-born population, for 1920 and 1910: Foreign-born Population by Principal Countries of Birth: 1920 and 1910. GERMANY AND 1920 ALSACE-LORRAINE 1910 ik HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS S 10 16 x/y///y>y//yyy>//./^y/^-^^y/yy^^^^ RUSSIA, LITHUANIA, AND FINLAND ITALY AUSTRIA , HUNGARY , ETC.* NORWAY , SWEDEN , AND DENMARK POLAND IRELAND 1920 1910 1920 1910 1920 1910 1920 1910 1920 1910 y//////^///////////////^//////////^^^^ w////J///y'///J//y////)//y////}///////>/M V/////^///y>/y>/^///////)///////}///y'///)//A ENGLAND, SCOTLAND, 1920 AND WALES '910 CANADA AND '920 NEWFOUNDLAND '9'0 1920 1910 v/y/y/////////// //////}///////^////////. v/////}/////y/}///////>/////A I '//////>///////}///////>///////>///'///?i '//y//^/^//y'/^/y>///////////////y>/777m ^//////?///////.>///////////////////7777;^^ ♦Includes, for 1920, Austria, Huncary, Czecboslovakia, and Jugo-SIavia, and, for 1910, Austria-Hun- gary, Serbia, and Montenegro. 118 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. IMMIGRATION OF MEXICANS AND CANADIANS. In America there is constant interchange of population with the two countries bordering on the north and south, Canada and Mexico. There is considerable uncertainty with regard to the permanent residence of many Mexicans in the United States at the census date. Although in the past there have been certain waves of emigration from the United States to Canada, the tendency toward the warmer climate on the whole strongly pre- dominates. There is at present, however, little emigration of Americans to Mexico. Of all the nationalities which have been added in recent years to the population of the United States, the Mexican increase since 1900 is especially worthy of note. In the decade 1900 to 1 910 the number of Mexicans in the United States more than doubled, increasing 115 per cent. This number, 219,802, in turn doubled during the lo-year period 1910 to 1920, reaching the total of 478,383, an increase of 118 percent.^ The influx centered mainly in three states, Texas, California, and Arizona. Texas received nearly 50 per cent of the increase, or 125,414. Oil and agricultural developments in the United States and un- settled poUtical and economic conditions in Mexico are probably in the main responsible. In 1920 practically one-quarter of a million of the population of Texas were of Mexican birth. Adding Arizona and California to Texas accounts for about 80 per cent of the in- crease of Mexicans. The fact that these three states reported this noteworthy influx during the decade placed them before all the other states in rate of increase of foreign born from 19 10 to 1920, the foreign-born white of Arizona increasing 67 per cent, of Texas 50 per cent, and of California 32 per cent. The immigration of Mexicans during the previous decade to the same three states represented also about 80 per cent of the increase of that nation- ality in the United States. Because of the shortness of the period under investigation, and of the extremely abnormal conditions .prevailing in Mexico near and after the end of the Diaz regime in 1 911, up to the end of the decade, the permanence of such a movement can not be determined. Table 30 shows the distribution, by geographic divisions, of the British Canadians in the United States, as enumerated at the censuses of 1920 and 19 10. * It is probable that many Mexicans of mixed white and Indian blood, in whom the Indian strain predominated, were improperly classed as white. FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 119 Table 30. — Number of White Canadians, Other Than French, by Geographic Divisions: 1920 and 1910. GEOGRAPHIC DI\nsIO>f. Total New England Middle Atlantic. . . . East North Central . West North Central South Atlantic . . . . East South Central . West South Central Mountain Pacific 810,092 233.971 120,049 222,213 69.785 12,059 2,967 8,105 30.185 110,758 810,987 245.859 119.959 223,672 84.055 7.725 3,096 7.509 30,896 88,216 The British Canadians in the United States showed practically no change in number, and apparently there was little migration of British Canadians within the United States ; New England and the East North Central states still maintained the majority and re- tained it in similar proportion. The French Canadians, on the other hand, have not proved as stable but have shown a decided decrease. This was not a new tendency on their part. During the previous decade they decreased 9,378, or 2.4 per cent. This tendency, so slight in that decade, increased to considerable proportions between 1 9 1 o and 1920, during which period the number of French Canadians in the United States decreased by 77,297, or 20 per cent. Michi- gan, New York, and New England are the areas reporting the largest numbers of French Canadians. In 19 10 over two-thirds of this class of the foreign-born population were concentrated in New England, half of them being in the single state of Massa- chusetts. The decrease, however, was not proportionally as great in this group of states as in the rest of the country, New England with two-thirds of the French Canadians bearing only one-half of the decrease. The states which lost most heavily were New York, Michigan, and Minnesota. The decrease for New England was low enough to indicate a reduction due mainly to mortality. The rate for the rest of the country, however, was so high as to raise the presumption that a considerable return to Canada had taken place. 120 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. AGE CHANGES AMONG TllE FOREIGN BORN. Considerable light on age changes during the decade is found by a comparison of age distribution of the foreign-bom whites in the United States as returned in 1910 and 1920. PER CENT DISTRIBUTION. 1920 1910 Under 18 years 6.2 54-3 39-5 8.1 18—44. vears 57.6 34-3 4C vears and over The checking of immigration during the last five years of the decade resulted in the changes of age distribution noted. There is a decided increase in the proportion over 45 for 1920 at the ex- pense of the younger groups. If there were no immigration, in 45 years obviously 100 per cent would be over 45 years of age. It is necessary for immigrants to arrive continually in order to main- tain an unchanged age distribution. The decade developed an- other cause of change in age proportions, the emigration of men to their native lands for military service, which drew only from the younger adults. This "growing old" among the foreign born as a whole is exactly the process that has been going on for 40 years among the Irish and Germans — a decrease in immigration and a correspondingly larger and larger proportion in the older age groups. Since the average age is higher, the mortality rate must be higher. It is worthy of note that the Irish have shown the greatest rate of decrease, by and large, in the districts in which they are fewest, the average rate of decrease being 23 per cent and that for the five agricultural districts, exclusive of the Pacific division, averaging 33. The three industrial groups of states showed a lower aver- age rate, 23 per cent, while the Pacific division, with a rate of 14, demonstrated either a migration to that division or that a younger group of Irish with a lower death rate resided there. CHANGES IN PREDOMINATING NATIONALITIES IN LARGE CITIES. It remains to point out the changes which occurred from 19 10 to 1920 in dominant nationalities in the principal urban, and hence foreign-bom, centers. The foreigners upon entering the country tend to concentrate in certain cities, where their countrymen are FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. 121 numerous and where their previous European environment can to some extent be reproduced. The decade from 1 900 to 1 9 1 o showed very few changes in the nationalities predominating within cities. Below is Table 31 , making comparison of the same cities in 19 10 and 1920. Were the comparison to include 1900, the decade 1900- 19 10 would show but 9 changes in the leading two nationalities for the 19 cities here considered. Table) 31. — Dominant Nationalities Among Foreign-born Whites IN Cities Having, in 1920, Over 250,000 Inhabitants: 1920 and 1910, 1920 1910 First. Second. First. Second. Baltimore Russians. Irish. Poles. Poles. Germans. Poles. Canadians. Italians. Mexicans. Germans. Swedes. Italians. Russians. Italians. Russians. Germans. Germans. Italians. Russians. Germans. Canadians. Germans. Germans. Russians. Htmgarians. Poles. Irish. Canadians. Poles. Norwegians. Germans. Italians. Russians. Irish. Poles. Russians. Germans. Irish. Germans. Irish. Germans. Germans. Germans. Austrians. Germans. Germans. Germans. Germans. Swedes. Italians. Russians. Germans. Russians. Germans. Germans. Germans. ' Irish. Russians. Boston Canadians. Buffalo Canadians. Chicago Austrians. Cincinnati Hungarians. Cleveland Germans. Detroit Canadians. Jersey City Irish. Los Angeles Canadians. Milwaukee Russians. Minneaf)olis Norwegians. New Orleans Germans. New York Italians. Newark Russians. Philadelphia Irish. Pittsburgh Russians. St. Louis Russians. San Francisco Irish. Washington Germans. The decade 1910 to 1920 shows changes in 13 of the 19 cities. Some, however, are due to the introduction of Poland as a nation- ality, and may not signify much change in the predominance of nationalities. The remaining six cities maintained the same two nationalities in the same order of rank in both 1910 and 1920. In Boston the Irish still hold first place and the Canadians second, but the latter show a considerable decrease for the decade and are closely followed by the Russians and Italians. Minneapolis, New Orleans, New York City, St. Louis, and Philadelphia all reported no change during the decade, but the Italians in Phila- delphia lacked less than 1,000 of exceeding the Irish, increasing in number as the Irish decreased. Los Angeles alone of all large cities showed two foreign-bom American nationalities predomi- nating — Mexicans first, Canadians second. 122 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. A cross section the other way proves equally interesting. In 1 910 Germans predominated in 12 of the 19 cities and were second in three. In 1920 the number of cities in which Germans pre- dominated had dropped to 4, while those in which they held second place had increased to 5. In 6 cities the German element had dropped out of the first two places entirely. Arising to take the place of the Germans were the Itahans and the Russians, each having achieved primacy in 4 cities, although Italy led in but i and Russia in but 2 in 1910. Poland, a country which may have been represented by Austrians, Russians, or Germans in the 19 10 list, led in three cities and was second in three others in 1920. This analysis has made it clear that there was in progress during the decade 19 10 to 1920 a continued and increasing de- cline of the German and Irish races in urban leadership and a marked increase in the number of Italians, Russians, and Poles. In practically every large city the Irish bom and German bom, so long dominant, are yielding to the foreign bom of southern Europe and depending in part for their influence in the com- munity upon those modifications of national temperaments and behefs which appear in the partially Americanized natives of German and Irish parentage. The new immigration restrictions will tend to alter conditions, and it remains for the next census to point out the part which these foreign nationalities are to play in the United States. XI. NEGRO POPULATION. The original centers of Negro population within the United States, as determined by the First Census in 1 790, were the states of Maryland, Virginia, and the Carolinas. These four states re- turned, at that time, nearly 87 per cent of the total number. They were employed almost exclusively in the cultivation of tobacco and as household servants. With the development and expansion of cotton growing in the South and Southwest, and with the embargo of 1808 against the importation of slaves, it was found advantageous to increase the labor resources of the lower South in connection with the increasing cultivation of cotton. From a study of the census statistics for the period prior to the Civil War it is found that in the more northerly states of the South the slave population was proportionally smaller and increased less rapidly than in the far South, and that in general in the more newly settled of the far Southern states the slave population increased more rapidly than the white population. The census returns therefore reflect the economic facts that slave labor was most valuable in the lower South, and that with the development of newly opened areas in that section the tendency to employ slave labor increased.^ In i860 the states which now constitute the South Atlantic, East South Central, and West South Central divisions contained 92 per cent of all the Negroes in the United States. The Civil War released the bonds which required the Negro to remain in any specific part of the country, but it is significant that at the end of a period of 50 years, during which the number of Negroes in the United States more than doubled, the census of 1 9 10 found 89 per cent of this race still resident in the Southern states. Until 19 10 there seems to have been no force sufficient to bring about any considerable and rapid shifting of the Negro popu- lation. Such a force was suppHed by the World War and the accompanying demands for unskilled labor during the decade 19 10 to 1920, resulting in a marked, though perhaps temporary, redis- tribution. Tliis developed in two ways: first, a considerable 'A Centnr>'^ of Population Growth, p. 133; Brown, Lower South in American History, p. 23. 123 124 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. breaking up of the concentration of Negro population in the Southern states, with a wider distribution; and second, the move- ment of a surprisingly large number of indi\'iduals of a race historically agricultural toward urban communities. These changes, coupled with the sharp decline in the rate of increase, are of sufficient importance to justify examination in some detail. The following statement shows the percentages which the Negro population of the Southern states formed of the total Negro popu- lation of the United States in i860, 1890, 1900, 19 10, and 1920, and gives certain other percentages of interest in this connection: CENSUS VEAK. Per cent of Negro popula- tion in Southern states. Per cent of native Negro population of United States remaining in state of birth Per cent urban in Negro pop- ulation of United States. Percent rural in Negro popula- tion of United States. i860 1890 1900 1910 1920 92. 2 90-3 89.7 89.0 85.2 85.2 84.4 83-4 80. I (') 19.8 22. 7 27.4 34- o 0) 8a2 77-3 72. 6 66.0 ' No data available. ^ Relates to total colored population, including Indian, Chinese, and Japanese; not computed sep- arately for Negro population. In 1920 the Negro population of the United States numbered 10,463,131. This represented a lo-year increase of 635,000, or 6.5 per cent, the lowest thus far recorded. In consequence of this slow numerical progress the proportion formed by Negroes in the total population declined from 10.7 per cent in 1910 to 9.9 per cent in 1920. The liighest proportion, 19.3 percent, was recorded in 1790. One hundred and thirty years later, at the census of 1920, the proportion had shrunk to slightly more than half its original size. At the census of 18 10 Negroes showed the greatest per- centage of increase, 37.5, derived from a numerical increase of 375,000, or more than one-half that recorded 1 10 years later. The decennial increases from 1850 to 1910 ranged from 765,000 to double that number, and thus the increase for 19 10 to 1920 was lower than for any previous decade since 1 840. The Negro increase was greater at each of the last two censuses before emancipation than at a census taken more than half a century after that event. For about a century the growth of the Negro population in the United States has been derived almost exclusively from natural NEGRO POPULATION. 125 increase — that is, the excess of births over deaths — whereas white increase has been assisted at every census by immigration. Tables 59 and 60, to be found on pages 244 and 246, present some interesting comparisons of increase of whites and Negroes in states in which large proportions of the population are Negro. Marked tendencies toward interstate migration and concentra- tion in cities are significant changes shown for Negroes by the Fourteenth Census. In 19 10, 89 per cent of the Negroes resided in the area comprising the South Atlantic, East South Central, and West South Central states. Their rate of increase in this area during the following decade was 1.9 per cent, and in the East South Central division an actual decrease took place. The remainder of the country, the North and West, which in 19 10 had returned 1 1 per cent of the Negro population, showed a very large relative increase. The census returns for 1920 make it evi- dent that the Negro increase was not extensive in the districts which already were well populated with that race, but rather in those in which Negroes had never been numerous. Clearly this was a readjustment not resulting from changing birth and death rates but due to migration. In the analysis of population change in Mississippi, reference was made to the considerable migration of Negroes northward during the war. One of the results of this migration is found in the fact that in the 9 states in which in 1920 Negroes formed more than one-fourth the total population the increase of white population was greater from 19 10 to 1920 than that of the Negro population, so that in these states, strongholds of Negro population, the proportion of Negroes decreased as compared with that of the whites. As a tendency, however, this is not altogether a develop- ment of the Fourteenth Census. With the exception of a slight increase in 1880, the proportion of Negroes in the South Atlantic division has been decreasing from census to census since 1850, when it stood at 39.8 per cent, until in 1920 it was only 30.9 per cent; while in the West South Central division the proportion of Negroes decreased from 39.2 per cent in 1850 to 20.1 per cent in 1920. This is the result in part of northward Negro migration and in part of slow Negro increase as compared with that of whites, and also in some measure, especially in the West South Central division, to migration of whites southward. The increased tendency of Negroes to move from rural to urban communities is largely a development of the recent decade. The 136 NEGRO POPULATION. 127 Negro has generally been regarded as most effective and useful in agricultural callings. In 1910 the number living in communi- ties having 2,500 inhabitants or more constituted only 27.4 per cent of the total Negro population; but during the decade which followed, the great demand for unskilled labor and the restlessness characteristic of the times drew Negroes to cities in large numbers. From 1910 to 1920 the Negro population of urban communities increased one- third, while that of rural communities decreased. At the time of the taking of the Fourteenth Census over one- third of the entire Negro population had become urban. Nearly 235,000 Negroes removed to cities in the South Atlantic division, and nearly the same number to cities in the East North Central states. Certain of the Northern states having small urban Negro populations in 19 10 showed astonishing proportional increases. Michigan, for example, increased its urban Negro population 352.5 per cent, though the actual numerical increase was only 42,000. In the East South Central group of states, although each state lost Negro population, this loss was wholly rural, for the urban Negro population in the entire division in- creased over 62,000, or 12 per cent. Mississippi, the state with the greatest decrease, in spite of a total decline of nearly 75,000 in Negro population, showed an urban Negro increase of 3.4 per cent. The migration of Negroes, however, tended principally to the large industrial centers of the North. The Negro population of Chicago increased from 44,103 in 1910 to 109,458 in 1920; that of Detroit increased from 5,741 in 1910 to 40,838 in 1920; and Cleveland, with 8,448 Negroes in 1910, reported 34,451 in 1920. The increase in cities was not confined to those in the Northern Central states. New York City, having 91,709 Negroes in 1910, showed an increase to 152,467 by 1920. In practically every large city in the country there was a marked growth in the Negro element. The extent to which the Negroes have become dwellers in large urban communities, together with the increase in this tendency between 1900 and 1920, is strikingly indicated in Table 32, on page 128. It is seldom, indeed, that the returns of the Federal census reflect such a wide and general racial movement. It will be observed that for the decade 1900 to 19 10 the rate of increase in the combined Negro population of the 24 cities for which figures are presented in Table 32 was only about two 128 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. and one-half times as large as the rate of increase in the Negro population of the entire country (11.2 per cent), whereas the recent decade shows for these same cities a rate of Negro increase six and one-half times as large as that for the Negro population of the country as a whole. During the earlier decade the increase Table 32. — Negro Population and Increase in Negro Popula- tion OF Cities Having, in 1920, More than 25,000 Negro In- habitants: 1920, 1 9 10, AND 1900. Total New York, N.Y.. Philadelphia, Pa.. Washington, D. C Chicago, 111 Baltimore, Md ... New Orleans, La. . Birmingham, Ala . St. Louis, Mo Atlanta, Ga , Memphis, Tenn. . , Richmond, Va Norfolk, Va Jacksonville, Fla. . Detroit, Mich Louisville, Ky. . . . Savannah, Ga Pittsburgh, Pa.... Nashville, Tenn... Indianapolis, Ind . Cleveland, Ohio. . . Houston, Tex Charleston, S. C. . . Kansas City, Mo . . Cincinnati, Ohio. . NEGRO POPULATION. 1,508,061 1,060,510 825,364 152,467 91,709 134.229 84,459 109, 966 94,446 109,458 44,103 108,322 84, 749 100,930 89,262 70, 230 52,305 69,854 43,960 62,796 51.902 61,181 52,441 54.041 46, 733 43-392 25,039 4I,S20 29, 293 40, 838 5,741 40,087 40, 522 39.179 33.246 37,725 25.623 35,633 36,523 34. 678 21,816 34.451 8,448 33.960 23,929 32.326 31.056 30,7'9 23,566 30,079 19,639 60,666 62,613 86, 702 30, ISO 79, 258 77,714 16,575 35,516 35,727 49,910 32,230 20, 230 16, 236 4, III 39. 139 38,090 20, 355 30.044 15.931 5,988 14,608 31.522 17.567 14,482 INCREASE IN NEGRO POPULATION. Number. Per cent. 447,551 60,758 49, 770 15,520 65.355 23, 573 11,668 17,925 25,894 10, 894 8,740 7.308 18,353 12, 227 35.097 —435 5-933 12, 102 —890 12,862 26,003 10,031 1,270 7.153 10,440 42. 2 66.3 58.9 16. 4 13- I 34-3 58.9 21. O 16.7 15-6 73-3 41.7 611. 3 — I. I 17.8 47.2 —2.4 59.0 307.8 41.9 4. I 30. 4 53-2 Number. Per cent 235. 146 31.043 21,846 7.744 13.953 5,491 11,548 35,730 8,444 16,175 2.531 14. 503 4,809 13.057 1.630 1,383 5.156 5.268 6,479 5.885 2,460 9.321 —466 5.999 S.IS7 28.5 SI- 2 34-9 8.9 46- 3 6.9 14.9 2IS-6 23.8 45-3 5- I 45.0 23.8 80.4 39-6 3-5 18.4 25.9 21. 6 36.9 it.t 63.8 — i-S 34- I 35-6 in the number of Negroes residing in large American cities was merely in harmony with the general tendency sho^^'n by both whites and Negroes; but the increase during the war decade of Negroes in the large cities to a number nearly 50 per cent larger than that reported in 19 10 affords perhaps the most vivid statis- tical picture yet revealed of the call of the great centers of industry NEGRO POPULATION. 129 and commerce for more and yet more unskilled labor, and of the systematic attempt in all quarters of the country to substitute the Negro worker for the unskilled foreigner who had suddenly ceased to arrive in America. It is significant that of these 24 cities only 2 showed decreases in Negro population during the last decade and only i showed a rate of increase less than the average rate for the Negro popu- lation of the entire country, while the rates for the remaining 21 cities ranged from twice to 94 times as high as that for the Negro population of the country as a whole. The distinctly northern cities seem to have recorded the largest increases in Negro popu- lation. That is, those cities farther away from the historic areas of Negro residence benefited most largely by the widespread urban tendency of the race. This extremely interesting table suggests a question of much future economic importance: Were foreign immigration to be resumed in the future on a scale commensurate with immigra- tion from 1890 to 1900 or during the period immediately pre- ceding the war, it is reasonable to suppose that the Negro, less in demand because of greater labor supply, would tend to drift back to his former environment. But immigration, for the first time in Federal history, has been restricted, and if this restriction continues, and unskilled labor in prosperous times becomes again at a premium, is the Negro to respond to the demand as during the war and continue to increase in urban centers during the present and subsequent decades at rates resembling those shown for the war period ? Should this prove to be the case the effect upon the labor supply in the South (and thus upon southern industry and agricultmre) and upon the Negro race itself will be very marked. This readjustment of Negro population was a direct response, on the one hand, to the need for labor arising from the checking of the incoming immigration and the departure of foreigners, leaving work to be done and few to do it, and on the other, to the growing demand for labor resulting from increased activity in all industries because of war stimulation — an increase occurring just as the normal supply of foreign-born laborers had been de- pleted. Whether the Negroes who migrated to cities in response to these highly abnormal conditions will continue to prefer urban environment, or will tend to return to their original homes or seek rural life elsewhere, will be revealed at later censuses. 107°— 22 9 130 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The census returns for 1920, so far as they relate to Negro population, have been analyzed by Prof. Walter F. Willcox, of Cornell University, well known as an authority on statistics of Negroes and author of the first comprehensive analysis of Negro statistics, made just after the Twelfth Census (1900). Prof. Willcox reaches some interesting conclusions : ^ "The remarkable fall in the rates of Negro increase and the rapid distribution of Negroes over other parts of the country than the South are the striking changes revealed by the census figures. How is the fall in the rate of increase to be explained? Has it any connection with the growth of interstate migration? To get light upon these questions we turn from the census figm-es of Hving population to the registration figures of births and deaths. Since 1900 the United States has been developing toward a national system of vital statistics by voluntary cooperation between the Federal Government and the governments of the states and cities. For five years, 19 15 to 19 19, inclusive, the births and deaths of Negroes have been recorded in a number of Northern states, including the New England states, New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota, and for a shorter period the same facts for several other Northern and a few Southern states are known. The figures for the Northern states are as follows : Births and Deaths of Negroes in Northern States: 191 5-1 91 9. Births. Deaths. Natural decrease. Deaths to 100 births. Total New England states New York Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota 56,142 8.634 19,088 24,924 2,971 525 64.587 9, lOI 20,342 30,786 3.488 870 8,445 467 1.254 5.862 517 345 114 105 106 130 "7 165 "In each of these divisions Negro deaths outnumbered Negro births by between 5 and 65 per cent, and in consequence the increase of Negroes in all these states has been entirely due to migration. ' "Distribution and Increase of Negroes in the United States," a paper read by Prof. Walter F. Willcox, of Cxjmell University, before the American Eugenics Con- gress, New York, September 21, 1921, amplifying his earlier article, "Negro, "in a new volume of the Encyclopaedia Britannica (1922). NEGRO POPULATION. 131 "In the Southern states the following compilation of all available figures shows results wliich are widely different: Total. Maryland District of Columbia. Virginia Kentucky North Carolina South Carolina Years covered. Births. 196,487 1916-1919 1915-1919 1917-1919 1917-1919 1917-1919 1919 25,418 I I , 042 57.244 12,460 67,724 22,599 Deaths. 156,140 25.407 13,280 42,971 17,410 42,633 14.439 Natural increase or decrease ( — ). 40,347 Deaths to 100 births. 79 -2,238 14.273 -4.950 25,091 8,160 100 120 74 140 62 64 White deaths to 100 births. 52 68 81 48 51 41 39 "In every one of the Northern states Negro deaths outnumber births; in the Southern states, in general, the conditions are reversed. "The difference between city and country is at least as influ- ential upon race increase as the difference between South and North, which in this case closely parallels it. Throughout the North and in the cities of the South Negro deaths are more nu- merous than Negro births; in fact, southern cities are even more unfavorable than those of the North to natural increase. "Between 1910 and 1920 the number of Negro children under 5 years of age in the United States decreased by nearly 120,000 (i 19,425) , or almost 10 per cent, and the number of white children increased by more than 1,000,000 (1,051,007), or more than 11 per cent. In 1920 for the first time the proportion of white children to white women exceeded that of Negro children to Negro women, the difference being 42 per 1,000. For each race the birth rate as thus roughly meastu-ed fell; but among the Negroes the fall was 17 per cent, among the whites it was 2.5 per cent. In the South the number of Negro children under 5 years of age decreased between 1910 and 1920 by nearly 150,000 (148,521), or 12.7 per cent; and the number of white children increased by 134,000 (134,036), or 4.7 per cent. At the present time, the proportion of children to women among southern Negroes is only about five-sixths of what it is among southern whites. "These changes will doubtless prove to be closely connected with the rapid urbanization of Negroes between 19 10 and 1920. The rural Negro population of the United States decreased in that decade by nearly one-fourth of a million (239,308) , or 3.4 per cent; while the urban Negro population increased by seven-eighths of a million (874,616), or 32.7 per cent. In the rural districts, the proportion of Negro children in 19 10 was 7 per cent greater and in 1920 it was 5 per cent less than the proportion of white chil- 132 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. clren. Under these conditions the swarming of Negroes into cities North and South and the sharp fall in the increase of all Ameri- can Negroes are related almost as cause and effect. "If the rate of increase between 1900 and 1920 be projected through the rest of the century without change, it would yield at its close about 20,500,000 as the maximum limit of Negro popu- lation. It also seems reasonable to anticipate that the Negroes, who at the census of 1790 were over 19 per cent, or nearly one- fifth, of the population of the country' and now are about one- tenth, are likely b\' the end of the century to be not more than one-twentieth. " XII. INDIANS, CHINESE, AND JAPANESE. The total population of the United States in 1920 included the following: Indians, 244,437; Chinese, 61,639; Japanese, 111,010. In the preceding pages of this analysis no consideration has been given to these three racial stocks. Each, however, forms an appreciable part of the total population, and is entitled to discussion. Each presents in turn peculiar problems to the Nation; although but one, the Japanese, has shown a tendency to increase for a considerable period. INDIANS. The North American Indian seems to be slowly merging into the national population, or, where this is not occiuxing, to be declining in numbers. The decrease during the last decade may, however, be more apparent than real. The returns for Indians are subject to some degree of uncertainty because of the practice of treating as In- dians all persons having any trace of Indian blood. Such persons in some cases can not be distinguished by their appearance from pure-blooded whites, and as a result some of them have doubt- less been reported as white at one census and as Indian at another, since the enumerators are not always able to interview directly the persons whom they enumerate but are obliged to secure information regarding them from other persons. More- over, at the census of 19 10 a special effort was made to secure a complete enumeration of all persons having any perceptible amount of Indian blood, for the purpose of preparing a special report showing tribal relations, purity of Indian blood, etc. It is prob- able that this resulted in the enumeration of a considerable number of persons as Indians who would ordinarily have been reported as whites. For these reasons the changes indicated by the returns of the last foiu* censuses may not altogether corre- spond to the facts.* A large proportion also of the Indians included in the census total are persons having more or less Negro blood. Especially ^ Color or Race, Nativity, and Parentage, Vol. II, Fourteenth Census Reports, p. 17. 133 134 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. in Oklahoma, intermarriage with Negroes has been frequent; and in consequence, in that state and elsewhere, the number of persons of mixed racial characteristics has undoubtedly increased to a marked degree, while the number of Indians of pure blood has materially decreased. Table 33. — Indian Population, by Divisions and States: 1920, 1910, AND 1900. DIVISION AND STATE. United States., 244.437 Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central. . . West North Central . . South Atlantic East South Central. . . West South Central . . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont ^Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan I 5,614 Wisconsin ! 9, 6ir West North Central: Minnesota ' 8,761 I. 71S S.940 IS. 69s 37. 263 13.673 1.623 60.6IS 76, 899 31. o" 839 28 24 sss no IS9 S.S03 100 337 151 125 194 265,683 Iowa Missouri North Dakota. South Dakota. Nebraska Kansas 529 171 6. 2S4 16.384 2,888 2, 276 2, 076 7. 717 18,255 41, 406 9.034 2, 612 76, 767 75. 338 32.458 8q2 284 152 6,046 168 1.503 127 279 188 7.519 10, 142 9. 053 471 3^i 6,486 19. 137 3.502 2.444 ^37.196 1,600 6,959 15.027 42,339 6,585 2. S90 65. 574 66, 155 30, 367 798 22 5 587 35 153 5.257 63 1,639 42 243 16 6,354 8.372 9, 182 382 130 6,968 20, 225 3.322 2, 130 DIVISION AND STATH. South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Colimibia. . , Virginia West Virginia , North Carolina South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Alexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California 32 37 824 7 II, 824 304 125 S18 57 56 405 1, 105 106 1,066 57.337 2, 109 10, 956 3.098 1.343 1.383 19.512 32.989 3, 711 4.907 9,061 4.590 17.360 5 55 68 539 36 7.851 331 95 74 234 216 909 1.253 460 780 74. 82 s 702 10, 745 3.488 1,486 1,482 20, 573 39, 201 3.133 5. 240 10, 997 5. 090 16,371 5. 687 131 19 3S8 101 108 177 3, 203 66 593 64,44s 470 11.343 4, 326 1,686 I. 437 13. 144 36,480 3,623 5, 3t6 10,039 4.95' 15.377 In 1920, persons of Indian blood were enumerated in every state in the Union, though Delaware reported but 2 and West Virginia 7, The changes in the Indian population during the last two decades possess some statistical interest, but they should be ob- INDIANS, CHINESE, AND JAPANESE. 135 served with full knowledge of the changing composition, already referred to, of the population classified as Indian. It is probable, indeed, that the 244,437 Indians, so termed, enumerated in 1920 contained in the aggregate decidedly less North American Indian blood and decidedly more white and Negro blood than did the 237,196 Indians enumerated in 1900, and that in consequence in the aggregate they possessed somewhat less marked Indian characteristics than were evident 20 years earlier. Almost half of the states show increase in Indian population from 1900 to 1920. All the Atlantic states except Massachusetts and Delaware showed increase in the number of Indians; though such increase was small except in the case of North Carolina, where the largest number of Indians in any Eastern state (5,687 in 1900) considerably more than doubled in 20 years. The 14 states having an Indian population in 1900 exceeding 5,000 were, in descending order: Oklahoma, Arizona, South Dakota, Cali- fornia, New Mexico, Montana, Washington, Minnesota, Wisconsin, North Dakota, Michigan, North Carolina, New York, and Nevada. This number became 13 in 1920, in which year 6 of these states showed increases, in some cases rather marked, in Indian popu- lation for the 20-year period, while South Dakota and Oklahoma registered pronounced decreases. More than half of all Indians continue to be located in four states. The inference from the changes here noted is that the extinction of the North American Indian at no distant date, which so long has been confidently predicted, has been averted by increasing intermarriage ; and that while possibly Indian tribal relations and customs may disappear, a considerable strain of Indian blood will remain, especially in the 13 states having an appreciable Indian population in 1920, where the reservation system continues to make segregation possible. CHINESE. Chinese immigration took place between i860 and 1890, but since then, as the result of legislation restricting immigration of this race, the Chinese population in the United States has decreased. Of the 61,639 Chinese in this country, only 7,748 are females, and the increase of Chinese by birth is, therefore, small. Although at the outset most of the Chinese in this country were located on the Pacific coast, there has been a constant tendency to extend their places of residence to other states ; and in consequence 136 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. the proportion of this race in California, which in 1880 was 71.2 per cent, was reduced by 1920 to 46.7 per cent. There are a few Chinese in every state in the Union, the smallest number, 11, being found in Vermont. It should be added that the Chinese in the United States are distinctly urban, four-fifths of them residing in cities and \il- lages of 2,500 inhabitants or m.ore. Considerable numbers live in San Francisco, Oakland, and Los Angeles, while New York leads all other eastern cities as a center of residence for the Chinese. Table 34. — Chinese Population, by Divisions and States: 1920, 1910, AND 1900. DIVISION AND STATE. United States. Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central. . . West North Central . . South Atlantic East South Central. . . West South Central . . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas 61, 639 3.60a 8,812 S.043 1,678 1,824 54a I. 534 4.339 34. 265 161 9S II ».544 22s 566 S. 793 I, 190 1.829 941 »83 2,776 792 2SI 508 835 412 124 14a 189 68 3.499 8, 189 3.4IS 1.19s 1.583 414 1.303 5.614 46. 320 108 67 8 2,s8a 37a 462 5. 266 I. 139 1, 784 569 276 2, 103 241 226 275 97 S3S 39 121 iia 16 89,863 4.203 ic, 490 2,533 1.13s I. 791 427 1.555 7.950 59. 779 119 112 39 2,968 366 599 7.170 1.393 1.927 371 207 1.503 240 213 166 104 449 32 16s 180 39 DrvisioN and state. South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia. . . Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolina Georgia. Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada P.\cific: Washington Oregon California 43 371 461 278 98 88 93 211 181 63 57 59 364 "3 387 361 773 873 S8S 253 291 171 I. 137 34a 6S9 2.363 3.090 28,813 30 378 369 154 90 80 57 333 191 52 43 62 257 62 507 139 595 1.28s 859 346 373 348 1.30S 371 937 3. 709 7.363 36, 348 5t 544 455 243 S6 51 67 204 130 57 75 58 237 6a 599 58 836 1.739 1.467 461 599 341 «.4>9 573 >.3S3 3.639 10,397 45. 753 INDIANS, CHINESE, AND JAPANESE. 137 JAPANESE. Immigration from Japan is restricted, but the influx of persons of this nationality has not suffered an absolute check ; so that, as the number in the country is small, the percentage of growth has been high. Table 35. — Japanese Population, by Divisions and States: 1920, 1910, and 1900. DIVISION AND STATE. United States. Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central . . . West North Central. . South Atlantic East South Central . . . West South Central . . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Peimsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Centilal: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas 347 3, 266 927 I, 21S 360 35 578 10. 792 93. 490 191 35 102 2,686 2SS 8S 38 804 52 272 1.643 482 1,000 156 26 428 10,447 57. 703 151 33 I. 247 2C6 190 76 38 285 590 107 24. 326 446 126 223 5.107 18, 269 354 52 148 division and state . South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia . Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Ix)uisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California 8 29 103 56 67 449 .074 .569 . 194 .464 251 550 .936- 754 .387 . 151 .952 31 48 340 1.585 1.363 1.596 2,300 258 864 12, 929 3.418 41. 356 2, 44t I. 291 393 48 8 281 417 5.617 2, 501 10, 151 The Japanese in the United States in 1880 numbered only 14S, but in 1920 had increased to more than 100,000. The increase from 1 910 to 1920 w^as 54 per cent, which was the lowest rate for any decade during which the Japanese have been coming to the United States, the lowest rate for any previous decade 138 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. ( 1 900-1910) having been about 200 per cent. It should be ob- served, however, that if Japanese women alone were considered, the increase during the 10 years from 1910 to 1920 would be over 300 per cent. In 1910, 57.3 per cent of the Japanese in the United States resided in California, but in 1 920 this proportion had increased to 64.8 per cent. From the brief reference here presented to the returns for the Indians, Chinese, and Japanese, it appears that tlie only- definite change of consequence relates to the problem which for some time has been giving concern to the white inhabitants of California. The returns clearly indicate the manner in which the Japanese have concentrated in tliat state, and while their numbers are so small that if scattered about the United States their pres- ence would scarcely be noticed, their concentration in one state has tended to make the local problem an embarrassing one. XIII. INFLUENCE UPON POPULATION INCREASE OF CHANGES IN AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, AND BIRTH AND DEATH RATES. Age has been an important inquiry at every decennial census of the United States, and statistics as to marital condition have been published for the last four censuses. The birth rate, like the mortality rate, is computed by the Census Bureau from data secured for registration areas, and thus is not covered by the decennial enumeration. These three inquiries are significant principally as together revealing causes of changes in the rate of population increase, and, therefore, can not be overlooked. Age is in itself not a cause (except as it becomes a factor in the decline of some com.m.unity at length losing its vitality), but rather is a result of conditions produced by other factors. Nevertheless, age is interwoven with both marital condition and birth rate, and consequently must be at least briefly considered. AGE. The per cent distribution of the total population by age groups in 1 910 and 1920 was as follov/s: AGE GROUP. 1920 1910 Total 100. 100. Under 5 years 10. 9 20.8 47- 3 20.8 II. 6 ■; to 14 years 20. 5 48.9 13.9 1 1; to 44 years 45 years and over * Why did this decided drop during the decade occur in the pro- portion of those under 5 years of age, and why the noteworthy redistribution of those 1 5 years of age and over, in which a decrease in the proportion from 15 to 44 years is more than offset by an increase in the proportion for those in the oldest group? It is clear that the same forces which influence the increase or decrease of the population are able also to influence the character- 139 140 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. istics of the population. These forces must be immigration, emigration, birth, and mortality. Approximately 80 per cent of all immigrants fall within the age group 15 to 45. A large pro- portion of the emigrants returning to Europe during the decade 1 910 to 1920 must also have fallen within this group, especially those who returned to their native lands for military serx-ice. The checking of immigration and the stimulation of emigration, one by withholding additions to the 15-44 group and the other by actually effecting withdrawals, brought about a proportional reduction of the group. Distribution of Population by Age Periods: 1890-1920. TOTAL POPULATION NATIVE WHITE, NATIVE PARENTS NATIVE WHITE, FOREIGN OR MIXED PARENTAGE FOREIGN-BORN WHITE NEGRO 1620 1910 1600 1890 1920 1910 1900 1890 1920 1910 1800 1890 1920 1910 1900 1890 1820 1910 1900 1890 UNDER OVER 15 YEARS PER CENT 15 YEARS 40 20 20 40 60 ?a!»««55:<<<^««j«<»»Nvyv^yxy 8585S!>K5X-M.:.:^^S*555^VXyyy'Xy J85Bfi5S:>^x♦:«*:^^^»^^^^'x••>■x>'. S656«S->K;555!X:?;ji^^fJJ^'^XXX^Xy' J55585!S^X J555«Sj;5>K«Wft%^SS5«««5^yxyxy/' e55«s>s<«?>;««!55»5^>^5'vxyyyy aSfifi«K55555«SS5»iS&«KX/f/XX/r t%kA^^ 222 8g8a8gJ5*!:8K««3*55«5»55^'X/XyV^/ ^BfisaaKissssss^sssi'^ii^^^j^yyx/yy-,: mTZA 80 100 ^^UNDER 5 ^SSas TO 14 ^^15 TO 24 BZ2Z325 TO 44 46 TO 64 C5 AND OVER But the 15-44 group included also the Nation's childbcaring element. Since the check to its growth did not come until the latter half of the decade, the proportion of children over 5 at the taking of the 1920 census was not thereby reduced. The shift in proportion occurred during the last few years of the decennial pe- riod, and expended its effect on the number of children under 5 years of age found by the census enumerators. The proportion of children in this particular age group dropped from 11.6 to 10.9 per cent, a very considerable decrease. There were at least two AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 141 probable factors besides immigration and emigration which influenced this low figure — the withdrawal of many men from their homes to enter military or naval service, and the migration of great numbers of men to temporary city residence because of the great industrial activity of this exceptional period. The proportional increase in the group of persons 45 years of age and over was due in part to the proportional reduction in the 15-44 group resulting from the checking of immigration and the stimulation of emigration, and in part to the influenza epidemic, which took its toll mainly among persons under 45 years of age. Table 36.— Proportions of Children Under 15 Years of Age AND of Persons 45 Years of Age and Over in the Total Population: 1920, 19 10, and 1900. [For state figures see Table 6i.] GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. PER CENT UNDER IS YE.\RS OP AGE. PER CENT 45 VEARS OF AGE .\ND OVER 1920 1910 1900 1920 1910 1900 United States 31.8 32.1 34-4 20.8 18.9 17.7 New England 28.5 29.8 29.4 31- I 36.5 37-1 36.5 33-2 25. 2 27. 2 29. 29-5 31-9 37-5 38.1 38.8 31- 1 24-3 27.4 30. 6 32.5 35-4 39- 39-7 41-3 33- "^ 27.9 24. 6 21.7 22.5 21. 7 17. 6 17.9 16.3 18.8 25.1 23.0 19.8 21. 2 19-3 16. 2 15- 9 14.4 17.0 21.5 22.5 19-3 19. I 17. I 15-7 15- 13-5 15-7 20.5 Middle Atlantic East North Central West NortJi Central South Atlantic East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific A comparison of urban and rural age distribution affords further insight into the developments of the decade. The following tabulation records the urban and rural age distributions for 1920: AGE- GROUP. Urban. Rural. Total 100. 100. Under 5 years 9-7 j 12-3 17.9 24.0 50- 9 43- 5 21. x 20. 2 1; to 14. vears I j; to 4-d vears 45 years and over ' 1 Of the riu-al population, 45.9 per cent were under 20 years of age, while for the urban population the corresponding percentage, 35.8, was less than four-fifths as large. Since the average longe\-ity of the rural population is greater than that of urban dwellers, migra- 142 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. tion from country to city must be the explanation of these varying proportions. Migration apparently does not take place until about the age of 20, at which age the niral proportions show a decided drop and the urban proportions a corresponding gain. Consistently, the census reveals a greater dechne between 19 10 and 1920 in the proportion of rural children than in the proportion of urban children. Analysis, however brief, of age distribution leads to the con- clusion that the population of the United States, as a whole, was slightly older in 1920 than it was at the census of 1910, and that the rural districts, strongholds heretofore of population increase, have declined slightly in their proportion of children, because of the response from, rural areas to the lure of opportunity in the large cities. It is one more result, added to the many already noted, of war influences in a nation not yet returned to normal when the census of 1920 w^as taken. MARITAL CONDITION. Information secured through Federal census returns concerning the number of persons of each sex single, married, or widowed was first tabulated and published at the census of 1890. Comparative figiu-es are therefore available for only 30 years. Changes during this period in the proportion married among all adult males and females are, of course, of great interest and also of vital importance to the welfare of the Nation ; nevertheless the most extreme com- parison possible from census records necessarily covers economic and social conditions within the recollection of a large part of the adult population in 1920. Such a comparison affords no striking picture of the marriage proportions existing in one distinct eco- nomic period as contrasted with another. The entrance, for exam- ple, of women into practically all gainful callings — previously filled almost exclusively by men — is a recent development of great importance. This far-reaching economic change doubtless is now affecting family life, and its influence may be expected to increase rather than diminish. It is still too early to measure the effect, if any, that the readjustment of ideals on the part of a great number of women may have upon the marriage rate itself and thus of course upon population. A century or more ago practically no women were employed in gainful callings outside of domestic service. Marriage and mater- nity commonly were accepted as the woman 's natural sphere of AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 143 responsibility and activity in life. Clearly the possession, were they obtainable, of reasonably reliable statistics showing, for some early period, the proportions married and widowed among adult women would prove of great value because it would permit comparison of our own exceptional period with one reflecting those social conditions which prevailed prior to the so-called industrial revolution. Is such a comparison impossible ? Are the exact proportions, during the colonial period of American history, of women single, married, and widowed among adult females of that period past finding out in our time? Fortunately there exists one colonial enumeration which throws some light upon this subject. The royal governors of the British North American colonies, from 1635 to 1775, made in all 30 counts, or more ambitious enumerations, of population.^ A variety of statistical informa- tion, in addition to the mere count of inhabitants, was recorded at many of these enumerations. In but three, however, do any facts relating to marriage appear : In the colonial censuses of New Hampshire, taken in 1767 and 1773, and in the Connecticut census of 1774. The Connecticut census gives the number of each sex married "under 20, ' ' "from 20 to 70, ' ' and " over 70, ' ' but ignores widows. Fortunately the New Hampshire colonial enumerations furnish practically all the information desired to set up what appears to be a reasonably accurate marriage rate for females as it existed a century and a half ago. To secure this rate it is only necessary to make one fully warranted adjustment. At the enumeration of 1773 ^ the following facts concerning white persons were secured : MALES. Total 36,739 Under 16 18, 334 Over 60 I, 538 Unmarried, 16-60 6, 263 Married, 16-60 10, 604 FEMALES. Total 35,684 Unmarried 22, 228 Married 11, 887 Widowed i, 569 Thus, curiously, the only information concerning women secured at both New Hampshire enumerations related to marital condi- dition, but the inclusion of all female children with single adult females leaves both census returns without a record of the number of unmarried women. On the other hand, the marital statistics ' A Century of Population Growth, pp. 4-7, 149-185. ^ The Colonial census of 1767 records the same information but for only 91 towns. The census of 1773, for 141 towns, is therefore utilized. 144 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. for males supply the number married between i6 and 60 but omit the number married over 60 and also the number of widowers. The omissions for males can not be supplied, but it is possible to determine approximately the number of unmarried women, and hence to complete the proportions single, married, and "widowed among all adult females. What was the number of girls imder 16, and hence, by subtrac- tion, the number of unmarried women? The number of boys under 16 was 18,334. The number of girls must have been about the same. Normally boys slightly outnumber girls. In 1920 the distribution of males and females among the native white of native parents was as follows: All ages. IS and under. Males 29, 636. 781 28, 785, 176 103.0 II, 105,994 10,815,226 Females Males to 100 females 102. 7 The tabulation for the population of New Hampshire as enu- merated in 1773 showed an identical ratio of males and females for the total population, namely, 103 to 100. Since the sex ratios for the total population are the same, it is reasonable to presume that the sex ratios for persons under 16 will at least be similar. It is, therefore, possible to apply the kno^vn ratio of 102.7 to 100 to the known number of males under 16 in New Hampshire, 18,334, and thus to estimate the number of females under 16. Such a calculation gives 17,852 as the estimated number of females under 16, and the subtraction of this number from the total leaves 17,832 women 16 years of age and over. Assmning that all those married and widowed were over 16 years of age, the number of unmarried women over 16 must have been 4,376. It is now pos- sible to estimate the proportions single, married, and widowed in comparison with the corresponding proportions for 1 920 : MARITAL CONDITION OP WOMEN 1773. per cent (New Hampshire). 1920. PER CENT (united states). 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. Native white. Total population. Single 24- s 66.7 8.8 28.8 60. 4 '10.7 25. 4 Married 62. 2 Widowed ' 12. 2 ' Includes divorced. AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 145 This comparison is, of course, qualified as to its reliability by the fact that the scope of the earlier inquiry was decidedly limited. Examination of the proportions presented above demonstrates a decided variation between the marital-condition proportions for women in 1773 and in 1920. The proportion of women married decreased during the period, with corresponding increases in the single and widowed groups. The decided differences appearing between the proportions for native white and those for the total population in 1920 are due to the very high percentage single among native white women of foreign or mixed parentage and the very low percentage single among foreign-bom women. A direct com- parison between the New Hampshire census and the 1920 figures is perhaps best obtained, however, by using the native white group for 1920, since the total population includes the negro and the foreign-bom elements, both of which groups introduce new factors into the problem. Making the comparison in this manner, if the proportion had been the same for the United States in 1920 as for New Hampshire in 1773, the number of unmarried native white women in the country would have been a million less than that shown by the census returns. This increase in the proportion single is presumably due to the increased opportunities for self- support, as suggested before, and to the change in the social status of the unmarried woman. The proportion widowed likewise appears much higher for 1920 than for 1773. Although the inclusion of the divorced with the widowed for 1920 has some effect upon the result, it can not be used as a complete explanation of the difference, since the total number of divorced women in the country in 1920 repre- sented but eight- tenths of i per cent of all women 16 years of age or over. The increase in the proportion of women widowed, in the face of a decrease in the proportion married, indicates a decided change from the condition existing before the Revolution. Although it is possible that the relative ages of husband and wife were more nearly equal or that the expectation of life for males and females differed less in the earlier days, the probable explanation is that the marital relationship was held to be more desirable in that period, and conditions were such as to make it more difficult for widowed women to maintain an independent existence. The rather marked changes in the marital condition which have taken place during recent decades are worthy of analysis. 107°— 22 10 146 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 37. — Summary of the Marital Condition of the Population OF THE United States: 1920 and 1910. SEX AND CENSUS YEAR. Both sexes: 1920. . . . 1910. . . . Male: 1920 1910 Female: 1920 1910 Total population 15 years of ac and over. 72,098, 178 62,473,130 36,920,663 32,425,80s 3S>I77,SIS 30,047,325 Number. 22,584,467 21,483.299 12,967, 565 12, 550. 129 9,616,902 8,933>170 Per cent of total. 31-3 34- 4 35- I 38.7 27-3 29. 7 Per cent of total. Number. 43.168,159 59-9 5i 67s. 933 7-9 So8. S88 35.777.2S7 57.3 4,647,618 7.4 341,230 DIVORCED. Per ^^f Number. total. 21,849,266 59-2 1,758,308 18.092,600 55-8 1,471,390 21,318,933 60.6 3,917,62s 17,684,687 58.9 3, 176,228 Per cent of totaL 235-284 156, 162 273.304 185,068 o. 7 o-S 0.6 c-5 0.8 0.6 The proportion married in the total population 15 years of age and over increased, and a corresponding reduction appeared in the proportion remaining single. The proportion of married males increased sharply, while the proportion of married females also increased, but at a slower rate. The number of married men ex- ceeds that of married women. This excess of a little over half a million represents, in general, those immigrants whose wives are in foreign countries. The ratio of males to females among the foreign bom in the country, as recorded by the 1920 census, was approximately 122 to 100. The increase in the proportion married is by no means peculiar to the last census. The proportions from 1890 have been as follows : Per Cent Married in Population 15 Years of Age and Over: i 890-1 920. CENSUS YEAR. 1920 I9IO 1900 1890 Both sexes. 59-9 57-3 55-7 55- 3 Male. 59-2 55-8 54-5 53-9 Female. 60.6 58-9 57- o 56.8 The tendency toward increase in the proportion married may be, to some degree, a logical development of the changing age dis- tribution noted in the previous section. The proportion of the population 21 years of age and over is increasing, not only with AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 147 reference to the total population of all ages but also with reference to the total population 15 years of age and over, and therefore, since most marriages do not take place until the husband at least is at or above the age of 2 1 , the proportion of married persons in the total population 1 5 years of age and over Vvould naturally show some increase. Thus the tendency noted throughout this 30-year period may result in some measure from changed age distribution. This, however, is not sufficient to explain the entire increase in the proportion of married persons which occurred during the decade 1910 to 1920. Certain conditions were present in the country which doubtless stimulated the marriage rate. It was a decade of business prosperity. Wages were high, unemployment was rare, the demand for labor was steady, and general business activity prevailed. Such conditions in some degree tended to lift certain economic restraints on marriage. The result was, natu- rally enough, an increase in the marriage rate; but perhaps the most important contributing cause was the influence of the war. There is a strong presumption that the war increased the number of married persons -wathin the country. Doubtless some marriages v/ere contracted in order to procure exemption from military serv- ice, but marriages induced by the war were in general those has- tened by the entry of the male into military or naval service. Such tendencies probably account to some extent for the changed proportions recorded by the 1920 census. The number of persons remaining single showed in 1920 an excess of males over females amounting to 3,350,663. Such a figure, while less than that for 1910 (3,616,959), continues to be of interest. The reduction here noted was somewhat influenced by the marked reduction (635,332, or 26.7 per cent) in the excess of males over females 1 5 years of age and over which characterized the close of the decade 1 910-1920. After all, however, the dis- crepancy between unmarried males and unmarried females, far beyond the actual difference between the numbers of the two sexes, is to be found principally in the different ages at which men and women marry, the excess of unmarried males over unmarried females being offset in considerable measure by the excess of widows over widowers. The census of 1920 revealed a marked increase in the proportion of maiTied persons am.ong the younger element of the population. The proportion of persons married for the ages over 45 actually showed decreases, but the reverse was true of the younger age 148 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. groups. For each year of age from 15 to 34, for both sexes, an increase appeared in 1920 in the proportion married as compared with 1 910, the change being especially noticeable for the younger ages. For the ages 35 to 44, inclusive, considered as a group, there was also an increase during the decade, but less pronounced, especially in the case of women. Such a change should exert a marked influence on both the family life and the future increase of population in the Nation. Table 38. — Per Cent Married in Total Number of Males and Females at Specified Ages: 1920 and 19 10. Total 1 5 years and over 15 years 16 years 17 years 18 years 19 years 20 years 2 1 5'ears 22 years 23 years 24 years 25 years 26 years 27 years 28 years 29 years 30 years 3 1 years 32 years 33 years 34 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over 59-2 0.3 55.8 0.8 0.4 2.7 6.5 1.4 3.8 12-5 8.6 21.0 16.2 28.4 23.8 35-8 32.3 42.3 39-2 48.8 45-5 54-2 59-7 63-3 68.3 Si.o 56.6 60.0 66.3 68.4 65.6 72.9 71.9 72.9 71-3 75-7 76.9 75-1 75-9 79.8 81.0 79.2 81.5 77-9 64.7 79.0 65.6 60.6 1.4 4-2 9.8 19.2 28.6 38-4 45-8 52-9 59-2 64.2 67.8 71.4 74-4 75-9 78.4 76.6 81. 1 80.2 82.2 81.7 80.3 74.0 61.2 33-9 58-9 I, 3' 8. 17' 25' 36. 43 ■ 50 ■ 57' 62. 65-7 69.9 72.9 74-4 77.6 74.7 80.7 79-4 81.5 80.9 80.1 74.8 62.3 35-0 It is not until the age of 35 is passed that the proportion of males married at any particular age equals that of females; and such ages as 20 years, for example, are striking in that the proportion married is very much greater for females than for males. The fact that females marry at younger ages naturally results in a greater number of single men than of single women. AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 149 This same condition — early marriage of females — also accounts in part for the greater number of widows tlian widowers. Table 3 7 reveals the disparity. The number of widowed and divorced women was more than twice as large as the number of widowed and divorced men. Other causes of this disparity are found in the tendency of the wife to outlive the husband, even though of the same age, and in the fact that men remarry to a greater ex- tent than women. Of all men over 65, 64.7 per cent are married, as against only 33.9 per cent of all women. The following tabu- lation shows, for 1920, the percentages married and the percent- ages widowed or divorced for men and women in specified age groups: 35 to 44 years. . . 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over Total married, widowed, ordivorced. 83-7 87.8 90. I 92.4 Married. 79.8 81.0 77-9 64.7 Widowed or divorced. 3-9 6.8 12.2 27.7 Total married, widowed, ordivorced. 88.6 90-3 91-5 92.7 Married. Widowed or divorced. 80.3 74.0 61.2 33-9 8.3 16.3 30-3 58.8 Although the proportions of men and women who have passed into or through the married state are approximately the same for the age groups from 55 upward, nevertheless, of those over 65, nearly two-thirds of the men are still married, while only one-third of the women have husbands living. The distribution of the widowed has several interesting features. The states showing, for 1920, the highest proportions of widowers are Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont, while the smallest proportion appears for the state of Utah. These high and low pro- portions are partially accounted for by the varying age distribution. Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont show larger proportions of men 65 years of age and over — among whom the number of widow- ers is, of course, relatively larger than among men below that age limit — than are found in any other state, while the corresponding proportion for Utah is relatively small, although there are a few states in which it is still smaller. The distribution of widows establishes the fact that the largest proportions are found in the two resort states in the country, Florida and California, while North and South Dakota, states of a distinctly different type, have the smallest proportions of widows. The proportion of women in 150 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 19I0-I920. the higher age groups is large in California but not in Florida, and is small in North Dakota but not in South Dakota. It appears, therefore, that the relationship between the proportion widowed and the age distribution is much less noticeable in regard to women than in regard to men. The figure for persons divorced can not be used as an indication of the total number divorced, but merely shows the number of divorced persons who had not remarried at the time the census was taken. THE BIRTH AND DEATH RATES. The birth rate in the United States appears to have been de- clining gradually for a considerable period, although reductions in infant mortalit}^ are sufficient to offset this tendency in some degree. That it is not being completely offset, however, is indi- cated by the age distribution over a longer period than the past decade. In 1 790, 49 per cent of the white population of the country were under 16 years of age. In 1880 but 37.1 per cent were under 15 years of age, and the 1920 census records only 31.5 per cent so classified. The numbers of white persons 20 years of age and over — that is, of self-supporting age — to i ,000 white children under the age of 1 6 in continental United States in 1790, 1850, 1900, and 1920 were as follows : 1790 782 1850 1,118 1900 1 . 583 1920 1 ,801 Thus among the whites there were about 5 children under 1 6 to 9 adults 20 years of age and over in 1920, as compared with 5 chil- dren to 4 adults in 1790. Is the United States tending toward a condition where the younger group will be so small that it will serve only as a replacement ? Birth statistics were not systematically collected by the Federal Government until 191 5; and although mortality statistics are available from state and insurance records further back into the past, they can be of little assistance without statistics of births. Hence it is impossible to determine for any length of time the natural rate of increase by a direct calculation. If any method be employed, it must consist in determining how much of the increase is due to external contributions, and then subtracting that from the actual increase, thus obtaining a remainder which should represent the increment resulting from natural increase. AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 151 The Federal immigration statistics were begun in 1820, and they are available from that time. Emigration figures, however, are available only since 1907 and for all previous years must be esti- mated. Such estimates have been made, based on the fact that the difference between the increase in foreign born and the number of immigrants during any census period must represent the aggre- gate of persons dying or emigrating during the period. From such data as were available, a rough approximation v/as made of the number who presumably died. The remainder were emigrants.' On the basis of such a computation the net immigration from 1 82 1 to 1920 has been estimated as follows: DECADE.' Estimated net immigration. DECADE.' Estimated net immigration. 182I-183O 137,000 558,000 1,599,000 2.663.000 187I-1880 2,530,000 4,273,000 3,239,000 5.558,000 3,467,000 183 I— 1840 1881-189O 184I— 1850 189I — 1900 185I-1860 I9OI— I9IO 1861-1870 2 . -J ;6. 000 I9II-I92O ' Adjusted to correspond to census dates. The subtraction of the net immigration for a certain period from the actual increase for the period, however, will not give the natural increase, for there still is present in the remainder a small incre- ment, the excess of births over deaths in the families of the immi- grants arriving during the period. To determine this increment for a given decade, the assumption was made that the rate of natural increase was the same for the immigrant families as for the total population. No separate birth statistics for the native and foreign elements in the popu- lation have been compiled until recently, and so no actual check is possible. Although the birth rate for immigrant families is high, the in- fant-mortality rate is also high. Moreover, the proportion of married persons among immigrants, not including men who have left their wives in their home countries, is relatively low. It is possible, therefore, that the rate of natural increase among immi- grants, especially during the first few years after arrival in this country, may correspond rather closely to that for the total popu- lation. At any rate, this assumption appears as tenable as any other, and it has accordingly been made. Considering the immi- gration to have been uniformly distributed throughout the period, ' For a detailed explanation, see Appendix C. 152 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. the average length of time elapsing between the arrival of the im- migrant and the end of the decade would be five years. There- fore, the natural increase, during the decade of arrival, within the group represented by the net immigration is estimated to be equal to five times the annual increase in a normal population group of the same size. With these two figures, the net immigration and the natural increase within the net immigration, it is possible to obtain the natural increase of the population per decade. Table 39. — Increase in Total Population of the United States, BY Decades, i 790-1920, with Estimated Increase Which Would Have Occurred During Each Decade Had there been NO Immigration nor Emigration in That Decade, 1820- 1920. [The rates in this table have been estimated by methods identical with those employed in estimating the corresponding rates for the white population, described in Appendix A. For description of method employed in estimating emigration, see Appendix C] 1790-1800 1800-1810 1810-1820 1820-1830 1830-1840 1840-1850 1850-1860 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 190O-1910 191O-1920 ACTUAL INCREASE. Number. 1.379.269 I. 931. 398 2,398.572 3.227,567 4.203,433 6, 122,423 8,251,445 '8,375,128 10.337,334 12,791,931 13,046,861 15.977.691 13.738.354 35-1 36.4 33' 33- 32. 35' 35' 26. 26 25-5 20.7 21.0 14.9 ESTIMATED INCREASE H.\D THERE BEEN NO IMMIGRA- TION NOR EMIGRATION DUR- ING DECADE. 3,065,000 3,564,000 4,319,000 5,288,000 5,817,000 7,566,000 8,175,000 9 , 568 , 000 10,031,000 10, 117,000 Per cent. 31-8 27.7 25-3 22.8 18.5 19.0 16.3 15-2 13.2 10.9 ' No data for years prior to 1820. > Estimated corrected figures; census of 1870 incomplete. These rates represent the difference between the birth and death rates in the country. If the difference were zero, the changes in population from one census to another would be due entirely to immigration and emigration. Such a table, demon- strating as it does the declining rate of increase in the United States, is one which should be most carefully considered. It represents a continuous tendency and one which has shown no signs of slackening. The United States, as intimated in a preceding chapter,' has reached a point in native population ' See p. loi. AGE, MARITAL CONDITION, BIRTHS, AND DEATHS. 153 growth, by a process of continuous shrinkage in per cent of in- crease, which in 1920 was about abreast of European increase. Continuation of this reduction to 1930 would indicate an ex- tremely serious tendency. The next census, therefore, is likely definitely to align the United States either with old settled coun- tries having normal increase, or with abnormal France. The results of the Fifteenth Census, in so far as they reveal a check to decreased rate of increase or the projection of a long-standing tendency over the danger line, should be awaited with intense interest by all who are concerned with the national welfare. It is possible to check to some extent the figure for the last decade by means of the birth and death rates which are now avail- able. These figures have been collected from continually in- creasing birth-registration and death-registration areas, which in 1 91 9 contained nearly 60 per cent and more than 80 per cent, respectively, of the total population of the country. 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 Birthrate. 25-1 25.0 24.7 24.6 22.3 Death rate. 13-6 14.0 14-3 18. 1 12.9 Excess. "•5 II. o 10.4 6-5 9.4 Of these years, 191 5 and 191 6 are generally considered to be normal. Since 1916 the epidemic of influenza and the war con- ditions of Uving have been such as to cause possibly misleading fluctuations. Inspection of the tabulation presented above sug- gests that the result reached by the elimination of the increase due to the foreign bom, at least for the recent decade, is approxi- mately correct, since it corresponds so closely with the result achieved by utilizing birth and mortality returns for the years accepted as normal, 191 5 and 191 6. Some data as to the average number of children per mother are now available from the birth-statistics reports. These data show the following averages for those white mothers in the birth- registration area who gave birth to children during the calendar year 1 9 1 9 : ^ Average number of children ever bom : Per native white mother 3.2 Per foreign white mother 4.0 Average number of surviving children : Per native white mother 2.8 Per foreign white mother 3.4 * See Appendix F. 154 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 19I0-I920. The birth-registration area in 191 9 inchided only five Southern states, Mar}dand, Kentucky, Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Thus the proportion which the Southern states in the registration area formed of the total area was considerably less than the proportion which the South as a whole forms of the entire United States. The average number of children per native white mother, computed for the registration area, is therefore pre- sumably somewhat smaller than the corresponding average for the entire United States, since the average for the South is higher than for the rest of the country. SUMMARY. From this brief survey of changes in age, marital condition, and birth and death rates, summed up, what influences do they ap- pear to have exerted upon population ? The age of the American people, as a whole, is probably slightly greater than in 1910. This is the result of slackened increase of population — due in part to the country-wide migration of whites and Negroes, more or less interrupting the family relation — and of the departure of great numbers of the younger foreign bom. The actual expectation of life of the population, at birth or at any given age, may also be slightly higher than in 19 10. The number married proportionately increased among both sexes, and marriages in the younger age groups sharply increased. The birth rate declined, but the apparent natural increase of about 10 or 12 per cent, without alien assistance, and the averages of 2.8 surviving children per native white mother and 3.4 per foreign white mother, shown for the birth-registration area in 1 91 9, indicate that if these rates are maintained the United States has no cause for especial concern. XIV. INFLUENCE UPON POPULATION INCREASE OF DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. Historically, agriculture has been regarded as the most important factor in increasing or limiting population growth. It remained for manufactures to demonstrate at a later period an even greater influence on the number of inhabitants and their places of resi- dence. In a decade conspicuous for manufacturing, agricultural, and mining activity and prosperity, what effect did these great forces have on the American people, as shown at the Fourteenth Census ? In the United States population is always alert to follow manu- facturing or mining development. The American people, adven- turous and unbound by tradition, are especially ready to redis- tribute themselves within the wide domain of the Republic according to the expansion or contraction of industrial activity and the corresponding return available to tliem in a given area. A brief analysis is here presented of the relationship existing in the United States between industrial growth, whether agriculture, manufactures, or mining, and population change from 1910 to 1920. The census makes use of nine subdivisions in its classification of occupations. These subdivisions and their importance, in the sense of number of workers in each, at the census of 1920 are indicated by the following tabulation: Agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry 10, 953 , 158 Extraction of minerals i , 090, 223 Manxifactures and mechanical industries 12 ,818, 524 Transportation 3 , 063 , 582 Trade 4,242,979 Public service (not elsewhere classified) 770, 460 Professional service 2 , 143 , 889 Domestic and personal service 3 , 404 , 892 Clerical 3, 126,541 Total 41,614,248 The first three groups, agriculture, mining, and manufactures, represent the basic occupations, and upon the location of these industries depends the location of the other six groups. If manufacturing settles in a particular center, transportation, 155 156 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. trade, public, professional and domestic service, and clerical workers distribute themselves accordingly. In a large sense their work is really accessory to one or the other of the three groups named. Consequently, these three basic activities are here con- sidered as typical of industrial development and distribution throughout the country. The distribution, by geographic divisions, of the total number of persons engaged and the value-product for agriculture in comparison with manufactures and production of minerals, is given in Table 40. Table 40. — Comparison of Agriculture With Manufactures and Production of Minerals on Basis of Number of Persons Engaged and Value-Product, by GEOGRAPmc Divisions: 19 19. [For state figures, see Table 62.] PERSONS ENGAGED IN — Value of agricultural products. 2 Value added by GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. Agriculture. Manufactures and produc- tion of minerals. ' manufacture plus value of products of mineral industries. > United States . . . 10,636,826 11,893,558 $20,933,487,000 $28,206, 165,000 New England 221, 162 633 . 664 1,586,291 1,664,919 2, 114, 586 1,782,628 1,781,389 414,009 438.178 1.543.095 3,816, 142 3,091,676 708,772 1,073, 132 480, 570 413.863 222,382 543.926 463, 106,000 1,497,641,000 4.323.955.000 S. 540. 245, 000 2,509,661,000 1,722,324,000 2,702, 169,000 914, 787,000 1,259, 599,000 3,249,884,000 9,287,921 ,000 7.596,274.000 1,690,804,000 2 , 2 1 1 , 62 5 , 000 846 ,211, 000 1,220, 595,000 634,264,000 1,468, 587,000 Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific ^ Including production of oil and gas. ^ Total value of crops plus total value of live-stock products and domestic animals sold or slaughtered on farms; includes some duplication representing value of crops consumed by live stock. There are two units by which the activity of industries may be measured, value of products and physical volume of production. Value of products is here used, because data are available for a much earlier period than if volume of production were sought, and the value rather than the volume of the product is that which influences population increase. A first inspection of Table 40 creates an impression of similarity between persons engaged and value produced for each of the two groups there listed. This impression, however, is not entirely correct, as the following per capita analysis indicates. This per capita proportion is of service only as a means of determining how constant the ratio is in the different divisions. It obviously can not be used as a basis of comparison between agriculture and AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. 157 manufacturing, or for comparison within a single group, because such a comparison would rest only on the assumption that all the value produced in the industry was distributed to labor. The return here pictured as per capita gives no indication of the actual return in the industry. Table 41. — Per Capita Value of Products: Agriculture, Manu- factures, AND Mining, 19 19. PER CArlT.\ VALUE OF PRODUCTS FOR PERSONS ENGAGED IN — GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. PER CAPITA VAtUE OP PRODUCTS FOR PERSONS ENG.\GED IN — GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIOK. Agricul- ture. Manufac- turing and mining.' Agricul- ture. Manufac- turing and mining.' United States. . . 1,968 2,372 West North Central. South Atlantic .... East South Central . West South Central. Mountain Pacific 3.328 1,187 966 I. 517 2,210 2.875 2.386 2,061 1,761 2,949 2,852 2,700 New England Middle Atlantic .... East North Central. . 2,094 2,363 2,726 2,io6 2,434 2.457 ' Including production of oil and gas. This analysis reveals the fact that the similarity is not as great as at first appeared. However, if the extraction of minerals is separated from manufactures, the Western states tend to con- form more nearly to the Eastern, and in the case of manufactures a fairly constant ratio is discovered. The lack of any constant ratio for agriculture is made evident by a comparison of the West North Central with the East South Central group. The three southern groups, in fact, show ratios much lower than those for the remainder of the country. The Negro element in the agri- cultural group in the South is doubtless responsible in large measure for this situation. In both groups the lowest per capita is that for the East South Central division, which is the heart of the black belt. The South Atlantic is next in all particulars. Another cause of the difference in this respect between the North and the South is to be found in the fact that in the northern states much of the agricultural work— in particular, the harv^est- ing — is performed by casual laborers. Such laborers, however, were largely in cities on the Fourteenth Census date (January i, 1920) and were accordingly enumerated as engaged in nonagri- cultural occupations. This resulted in an exaggeration of the per capita value-product for agriculture in the North. That there is a close relationship between value added and number ot workers in manufacturing seems to be here suggested. Such relationship is emphasized by further consideration of the subject. Q O c^ < D -4 U 2 o < 158 IS9 160 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The following table of proportions (a summary of Table 63, p. 249) advances the analysis: Table 42. — Urbanization of Population in Comparison with Industrial Development, by Geographic Divisions: 1920, 1910, AND 1850. GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION AND CENSUS YEAR. United States: 1920 1910 1850 New England: 1920 1910 , 1850 Middle Atlantic: 1920 , 1910 , 1850 East North Central 1920 1910 , 1850 West North Central 1920 1910 , 1850 South Atlantic: 1920 , 1910 1850 East South Central 1920 1910 1850 West South Central 1920 1910 , 1850 Mountain : 1920 1910 1850 Pacific : 1920 1910 1850 PER CENT OF TOTAL COM- PRISING VALUE OF AGRI- CULTURAL PRODUCTS, VALUE ADDED BY MANU- FACTURE, AND VALUE OF PRODUCTS OF MINERAL INDUSTRIES.' Agricul- tural prod- ucts. 42.6 45-8 71-5 Value added by manu- facture. 51-0 47-4 26.5 Mineral prod- ucts. 6.4 6.9 1.9 12.5 iS-5 37-1 87.0 83.3 61.4 13-9 16.5 55-5 78.2 74.3 41.8 36.3 42.6 85.3 59-7 51-7 14.0 76.6 77-5 83-5 19-5 18.3 15-6 53-2 56.0 85.1 39-4 37-4 14.0 67.1 67.8 93-7 25-9 27.6 6.1 68.9 18.6 74.8 93-2 21.0 6.8 59-1 48.1 92.8 20.2 20.6 7.2 46.2 48.2 8.8 47-3 42.7 7.6 1.2 1-5 4.0 5.6 0.7 71 4.6 0.2 4.1 20.8 31.2 6.6 9.2 83.6 PER CENT OP TOTAL PER- SONS ENGAGED IN AGRI- CULTURE, MANUF-\C- TURES, AND PRODUCTION OF MINERALS.* Agricul- ture. Manu- fac- tures. 47.2 58.4 48.0 12.5 18.4 e) 14.2 47-2 e) 33-9 47-4 ih 70.1 76.4 e) 66.3 74.8 e) 78.8 85.5 81. 1 88.4 (') 65.1 64.9 (') 44.6 S7-0 87.0 80.3 77.6 67.9 e) 61.7 46.6 e) 27.0 19.6 e) 29.2 21.6 (') 16.9 II. 6 e) 15-5 10.3 (=•) 21.0 16.6 e) 52-5 37-7 Produc- tion of miner- als. 4.8 Per cent urban in total popu- lation. 51-4 45-8 17.9 Per cent of jjopula- tion in cities of 100,000 and over and their adja- cent terri- tory.' 0-5 79.2 76.3 j 42.6 8.2 74-9 "•3 71.0 26. 1 4.4 60.8 6.0 52.7 9-3 2.9 37-7 4.0 33-3 10.9 4.4 31.0 25-4 II. 6 4-3 22.4 2.9 18.7 3-7 3-4 29.0 ei^ 22.3 14.0 18.4 36-4 36.0 6.6 2.9 63.4 56.8 14.3 34-9 29.4 58.9 48.9 {') 63.0 5f7 39-6 31.6 h 19.6 16.6 (') 16.3 12. 1 (=•) 12.3 10.6 (') 10.8 4.2 13.3 9.1 47.1 43-4 ' Relates to calendar year preceding census year. Mineral products include oil and gas. 'The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within approximately lo miles beyond the boundaries of the central city. ' Data incomplete. * Less than one-tenth of i per cent. w 6. H OJ Q O 6} « 2 " w W o W 107°— 22- -11 i6i 162 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. In this table are revealed the proportions which the numbers of persons engaged in agriculture, manufacturing, and mining con- stituted of the total of the three and also the corresponding pro- portions for the value of products in the case of agriculture and mining, and for value added in the case of manufacturing. Ignor- ing absolute values, the state or division is judged by the propor- tions which manufacturing, agriculture, and mining represent within its boundaries. In 1920 the proportions as represented in the table were, for the entire cotmtry, such that in agriculture 47.2 per cent of the per- sons in the three groups engaged produced 42.6 per cent of the total value produced by the three groups; in manufacturing, on the other hand, 48 per cent of the total persons engaged ^ produced 51 per cent of the total value; while in mining 4.8 per cent of the total workers ^ were responsible for 6.4 per cent of the value- product. In general, there is throughout the various divisions and states, except in the case of the mining group, a fair degree of similarity between the proportions of persons engaged and the value pro- portions. In terms of these proportions, the order of the divisions was: Agriculture. GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. West Nortli Central . West South Central , East South Central . Mountain South Atlantic Pacific East North Central . Middle Atlantic . . . New England PERSONS ENGAGED. VALUE OF PRODUCTS. Rank. Per cent. Rank. Per cent. 3 70.1 I 76.6 I 81. I 2 68.9 2 78.8 3 67.1 5 65.1 4 59- I 4 66.3 5 53-2 6 44.6 6 46. 2 7 33-9 7 36.3 8 14.2 8 13-9 9 12. 5 9 12.5 ^ The terms "persons engaged" and "workers" are used s>Tionymously throughout this chapter and include clerks, salaried officials, etc., as well as wage earners. All proportions of the total workers and total value of products are stated as percentages of the respective aggregates for the three groups of industries under consideration, not 0/ the aggregates for all industries combined. AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. 163 Manufachires. GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. New England Middle Atlantic . . . East North Central . Pacific South Atlantic East South Central . Mountain West North Central West South Central PERSONS ENGAGED. Rank. ! Per cent. 87.0 77.6 61. 7 52-5 29. 2 16. 9 21. O 27.0 15-5 VALUE ADDED BY .M.\NJFACTURE. Per cent. 78.2 59-7 47-3 39-4 25-9 20. 2 19-5 18.6 Mining {including production of oil and gas). GEOGRAPHIC DIVISION. Mountain West South Central Middle Atlantic . . . South Atlantic East South Central Pacific East North Central West North Central New England PERSONS ENGAGED. 14. O 3-4 8.2 4- 4 4-3 2.9 4-4 2.9 0-5 VALUE OF PRODUCTS. Rank. 20.8 12. 5 7-9 7- 5 7- I 6.6 4.0 3-9 o- 5 The relation of the value proportion and the worker propor- tion is even more clearly displayed by an examination of these relationships for states. Three groups of states have been pre- pared for examination, the 10 leading in proportions of persons engaged in agriculture, the 10 in manufactiu'ing, and the 10 in mining. The figures for the leading 5 Northern and leading 5 Southern agricultural states, as determined by proportions of persons en- gaged, are as follows: States Having Largest Proportions of Agricultural Workers: igng. STATE. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value of products. STATE. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value of products. NORTH. North Dakota . . . South Dakota . . . Nebraska . . . 94-4 91-5 79.1 77-9 73 5 96. I 94-4 87.1 78.7 85-5 SOUTH. Mississippi .... Arkansas Texas 88.5 86.6 837 82.7 80.7 79-5 79-5 74-7 75-4 70-5 Idaho South Carolina . Georgia Iowa 164 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. It will appear from the above separation into groups that the two columns bear entirely different relationships to each other in the two parts of the country. In every Northern state, the value proportion is higher than the worker proportion ; in every Southern state the worker proportion is higher than the value propor- tion. A more striking instance of this situation in the South- em states is that of Louisiana, where 70.2 per cent of the workers create 44.9 per cent of the total value. Presumably this difference in ratio is due to three causes: First, the extent of Negro labor in the South, where Negro laborers are gener- ally recorded as agricultural workers, yet are perhaps not the equivalent of the same number of agricultural workers in the Northern states; second, the more extensive use of machinery in the Northern states, which increases the value proportion without affecting the number of workers; third, the fact that much of the northern agriculture is carried on by casual labor — the harvesting, for example. These men on January i, 1920, when the census was taken, were in cities, but during the summer became agricul- tural workers. Therefore, the figure for agricultural workers in the Northern states would have a tendency to be too low. This table would tend to substantiate the first general state- ment made as a result of the examination of Table 4 1 , that the number of workers in agriculture was not closely related to the value of agricultural products. A similar investigation into the states which lead in manu- factures results in the following : States Having Largest Proportions of Workers in Manufactures: 19 19. STATE. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value added by manufacture. STATE. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value added by manufacture. Rhode Island — 95-3 96.2 94.0 94.5 90.7 91. I 90. 2 90 . 6 8^ I Ra 1 New Hampshire . . Ohio 77.6 68.1 68.0 65-4 64.3 77-9 67.4 New Jersey Connecticut Pennsylvania. . . . Delaware Michigan 67.8 71.7 69.0 A remarkable similarity is here indicated between the propor- tions, especially for the states which are predominantly manu- facturing. Naturally, as the proportions decrease, they are more affected by the proportions for the other groups within the states. AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. 165 Unlike the proportions shown in connection with agriculture, the proportions of the total persons engaged and value added for manufacturing show a striking similarity. The extent to which manufactures overshadows agriculture in the leading five states is worthy of note. Mining as an industry within the country does not assume the same proportions as agriculture or manufactures. The leading lo states are : States Having Largest Proportions of Workers in Mining (including production of oil and gas): igig. STATB. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value of products. STATE. Per cent of total persons engaged. Per cent of total value of products. West Virginia . . . Nevada 34-2 28.8 26.9 23-4 18.0 45-2 35-5 50.2 28.1 17.9 Montana Utah 14-5 14.0 II. 4 II. I 10.4 21.2 23.6 II. 9 18.2 26.2 Arizona Colorado New Mexico. .. . Oklahoma Wyoming Pennsylvania... . Since in no state in the Union does mining assume proportions larger than both agriculture and manufactures, it is difficult to determine its exact relation to population. It is evident that the proportion which the value of its product forms of the total value of products is greater than the proportion which the number of its workers constitutes in the corresponding total. This, of course, represents a greater per capita return in mining than in the other branches of industry. It is interesting to note that Pennsylvania, which is made eligible for this group because of the vast amount of coal mined within its boundaries, is the only state of the group in which the relationship just noted does not hold true. That mining plays no important part in the actual popu- lation distribution is evidenced by a comparison of the size of the proportions returned for each of the three groups. For the 5 Northern and 5 Southern states leading in agriculture, the aver- age proportion of persons engaged in that particular branch of industry was 83.9 per cent; for the 10 states leading in manufac- turing, the average was 79.7 per cent; for the 10 states leading in mining, the average was 19.3 per cent. Mining, obviously, is a much less important factor than either of the other two branches of industry. The relationship of these industrial groups to the urban and rural distribution of the population requires little comment. From 166 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. the very nature of the industry, agriculture necessitates rural life, whereas manufacturing requires the grouping of individuals together in cities or large communities. The columns in Table 63 which give, for the purpose of comparison, the proportion of the area which is urban are significant. The 10 agricultural states have an average proportion of 23 per cent urban; the 10 manu- facturing states have an average proportion of 73 per cent urban, while the first 5 manufacturing states have an even higher urban proportion, or 85 per cent. This is even further emphasized by a consideration of the population in cities of over 100,000 and their adjacent territory (referring to the area lying within approximately 10 miles of the boundaries of the central city). Among the first 5 states in which manufacturing predominates, 75 per cent of the total population were in this urban classification. Among the 5 Northern and 5 Southern states leading in agriculture, 5 per cent of the population were in such communities. It remains to discuss the changes which have taken place in both population and industry during the decade. In any com- parison between different censuses the change in the census date must be kept in mind, since a change from April 15, the date of the 1910 census, to January i, the date of the 1920 census, neces- sarily affects the number engaged in agriculture. As early as 1850 the relationship between the proportion of urban population and the nature of the industry within the area was clearly indicated. Indeed, with the country as little developed as it was in 1850, the relationship was even more marked than it is at the present time. In 1920 the leading four urban divisions were the leading four manufacturing divisions, and were also those having the lowest four proportions for agriculture. Apparently, however, cities were not as dependent upon manufacturing in 1920 as they were in earlier years, while the rank of the state in terms of agriculture is not necessarily the converse of its rank in manufacturing. A definite change in the position of agriculture and manufac- turing has been going on for years. In 1850 agriculture produced 71.5 per cent of the total value for agriculture, manufacturing, and mining. By 19 10, although the number of persons engaged in manufacturing was less than the number in agriculture, the value added by manufacture was greater than the value of agricultural products. This ascendency of manufactures continued during the AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. 167 decade, and the 1920 census recorded a slightly greater proportion of wage earners in manufactures and a value added by manu- facture nearly 20 per cent greater than the value of agricultural products. During the last decade, mining lost ground in both categories. The urban development of the country- paralleled the development of manufactures and passed the 50 per cent mark between 19 10 and 1920. The tendency of the last decade has been largely to bring the proportions for value and for workers together. In 19 10 the discrepancy for agriculture was 12.6 per cent; for manufactures, I I.I per cent. These variations were reduced in 1920 to 4.6 per cent for agriculture and 3 per cent for manufactures. This same tendency toward a closer similarity can be traced in most of the divisions and states. The three southern divisions were those in which the 19 10 census found the greatest diversity in propor- tions. In each case the census of 1920 recorded changes resulting in more similar proportions. In two divisions, the East and West South Central, the high proportion for value added by manufac- ture decreased, while the low proportion for workers increased. It is probably true that there is a certain equilibrium which will eventually be reached, although the varying use of capital in the two groups may result in different proportions for the value of products and for the number of workers. The division showing the greatest change in characteristics dur- ing the period from 1850 to 1920 was the East North Central. Classed in 1850 as one of the agricultural areas, it has since reached third place among industrial areas. Such rapid changes as that of the state of Michigan, from an agricultural state to an industrial state, have been factors in this development. With the industrial change has come a decided expansion in population. In order to compare the changes and developments during the decade. Table 64 has been prepared, a summary of which will be found as Table 43, page 1 68 . This table states the per cent which the increase or decrease in any particular division or state formed of the total increase or decrease in the United States. An examination of the figures for the geographic divisions shows that the columns which bear a strildng resemblance are those for increase in population, increase in value added by manufactures, and increase in persons engaged in manufactures. The columns depicting increase or decrease for agriculture and mining show 168 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. little apparent relation to each other or to other groupings in the table. Even a casual inspection makes it evident that manufac- turing development for the decade controlled the distribution of population increase. Tabi^E 43. — Increase in Population in Comparison with Increase in Industrial Activity, by Geographic Divisions: 1910-1920. [The division percentages in this table are based, respectively, not on net increase or decrease in the country as a whole, but on the total increase in those divisions in which increases took place or on the total decrease in those divisions in which decreases took place. Thus the percentages of total increase and the f>ercentages of total decrease ( — ) in each column totahze separately to loo.] GSOGRAFHIC DIVISION. United States . . . . New England Middle Atlantic East North Central . . . West North Central. .. South Atlantic East South Central . . . West South Central... Mountain Pacific PER CENT WHICH INCREASE OR DECREASE IN DIVISION FORMED OF TOTAL INCREASE OR DECREASE IN UNITED STATES — In popu- lation. 6. 21. 6. 13- 3-5 10.6 5-1 10. o In value of agri- cultural products. 1.9 6.6 19.9 24.9 12.8 7-9 14.5 4-7 6.8 In value added by manufac- ture. In value of mineral products. In num- ber of r>ersons engaged in agri- culture.' In num- ber of persons engaged in manu- facturing indus- tries.' In num- ber of persons engaged in produc- tion of miner- als.' 100. 12, 33' 29. 5' 7- 2. 2, 5-7 0.1 -3-1 10.3 25.2 12.7 7.8 -8.6 -12.7 -8.2 27.9 35-0 5.6 12.8 6.9 23.1 -25-9 -25-5 -16. 1 5-9 2-5 3-2 6.1 5-4 44-8 1.4 8.3 -8.0 -44.6 -15-6 -18.8 20.6 27.8 51-5 -7-5 -5-4 ' Percentages based on figures for agriculture and animal husbandry, as shown by occupations report. 2 Percentages based on totals shown by manufactures repwrt. ' Percentages based on totals shown by mines and quarries report. Mineral products include oil and gas. It is interesting to note that, whereas the changes in location of persons engaged in manufactiu'es have corresponded very de- cidedly with the changes in the value added by manufacture, the same relationship does not hold for agricultiu-e or mining. The factors guiding the changes in manufacturing proportions are such as to keep them in much closer relationship than those in agriculture. In the first place, the return in manufactures is related much more closely to cost of production than that in agriculture. Consequently a change in value is reflected in wages much more readily in manufactures than in agricultiu-e, and this would result in a redistribution of individuals much more rapidly than where there was no wage change. AGRICULTURE, MANUFACTURES, AND MINING. 169 Likewise, the relationship between production and price is much closer in manufacturing than in agriculture. The farmer produces, with no knowledge whether his crop will be a profit or Per Cent of Increase in Population, 1910-1920, and in Manufactures, 1909-1919. POPULATION URBAN RURAL MANUFACTURES ESTABLISHMENTS (NUM^gR) WAGE EARNERS (avERAQE NUMBER) CAPITAL WAGES COST OF MATERIALS VALUE OF PRODUCTS VALUE ADDED BY MANUFACTURE a loss, since the price is far beyond his control ; however, he does produce. The manufacturer, on the other hand, is much more closely in touch with his market and is able to adjust his pro- duction to the return therefrom. Per Cent of Increase in Population and Agriculture: 1910-1920. 60 PER CENT 100 ISO 200 1 ■ ■i "** **"' "'"' m __ ^^^^ 1 — 1^ Bl PER CENT 100 POPULATION URBAN RURAL AGRICULTURE NUMBER OF FARMS ALL LAND IN FARMS IMPROVED LAND IN FARMS VALUE OF ALL FARM PROPERTY LAND AND BUILDINGS LAND ALONE BUILDINGS IMPLEMENTS AND MACHINERY LIVE STOCK ^" I 1 ■ I ^™ JJ™ ^™ ™ ^^ ^^ ^^ ^^* L__ ._ ^^H ^* - ^^^ ___ ^^^^^^^ ^^* ^^H ^ ■B Further, manufacturing represents a more mobile group of workers than those in agriculture. They are less bound by ownership, or by tradition, to remain in any particular locality. They are urban dwellers and, as such, can move to other cities 170 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 19l(>-1920. with much less difficulty than is involved in any change on the part of the agricultural population. Finally, the decade was a manufacturing decade. The last 5 years were years of manufacturing predominance. Consequently manufacturing was able to outbid agriculture, and therefore any changes occurring during the decade would be in accordance with the industrial developments. From this discussion two generalizations may be drawn: (i) The fact that manufacturing, rather than agriculture, is the determin- ing factor in effecting marked population changes; and (2) the tendency of the proportions for value of products and workers toward increasing similarity. XV. OUTLYING POSSESSIONS, EXCLUSIVE OF PHILIPPINES AND VIRGIN ISLANDS. With the First Census of the United States, and at every succeeding census, there have been enumerated geographic areas which were not states of the Union. These areas, observed from census to census, form a striking picture of organization of new territory and its rapid development to a degree of population strength which justified entrance into the Union of states. Since 1 91 2, when Arizona and New Mexico were admitted to the Union, there have remained as territories only Alaska, Hawaii, and Porto Rico. There began also to appear other outlying areas enumerated at the decennial census: Guam, American Samoa, and the Panama Canal Zone. Thus at the census of 1920 the nonstate areas, which at previous censuses had included territories within the continental area of the Nation, comprised only the District of Columbia, Alaska, the Panama Canal Zone, and various islands in the Atlantic and Pacific. Table 65, which appears on page 254, presents a list of nonstate areas enumerated at each census. It is appropriate that there should be included here some reference to the population of outlying areas enumerated at the Fourteenth Census. These areas, with their population in 1920, are as follows: Alaska Territory 55 , 036 Hawaii Territory 255,912 Porto Rico Territory i , 299 , 809 Guam 13.275 American Samoa 8, 056 Panama Canal Zone 22 , 858 AIvASKA. Between 1910 and 1920 the population of Alaska decreased from 64,356 to 55,036, that is, by 9,320, or 14.5 per cent. This decrease was the result of less profitable mining and fishing operations and the consequent departure from the territory of persons whose sole interest was in these enterprises. The first census of Alaska was taken in 1880, 13 years after the purchase by the United States from Russia of this vast northern territory. The population doubled from 1S90 to 1900, the period of greatest mining excitement, and remained practically stationary until the census of 1910, covering the period of pro- 171 172 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. duction. The census of 1920 suggests the general tendency to "clean up" and the failure to develop further spectacular dis- coveries. It is not, however, from the finding and feverish mining of precious metals that permanent prosperity and popu- lation are secured, if the history of California and Nevada mining communities afford fair examples; and, since it is now agreed that Alaska offers great opportunity for future development in agri- culture, lumber, coal, and fisheries, it is likely that future censuses will record solid and gratifying increases, the first signs of which appeared in 1920 in the growing equality of the sexes, in the face of a sharp decrease in total population. The decrease, moreover, was largely among the foreign bom. With the native Americans decreasing at a comparatively slow rate and establishing famihes, the future of the territory, it is to be hoped, is now being laid on more secure foundations. There is but one town in Alaska which the Census Bureau would class as an urban community — Juneau, in the southern district, with 3,058 inhabitants. Four other towns have more than 1,000 inhabitants each: Ketchikan, 2,458; Anchorage, 1,856; Sitka, 1,175; ^iid Fairbanks, 1,155. In 19 10 there were 7 towns instead of 5 having more than 1,000 inhabitants each. An interesting example of the collapse of boom expansion is Nome, which had 12,488 inhabitants in 1900, 2,600 in 1910, and only 852 in 1920. There are in the territory a total of 17 incorporated towns, 151 unincorporated villages, 5 unincorporated towns, 5 forts, 5 islands, and 2 stations. Among them some had as few as 16 or 18 inhabitants. Table 44. — Raciai, Composition of the Population of Alaska: 1920 AND 1910. COLOR OR RACE. Total population White Native Foreign-bom Indian Chinese Japanese Negro Another 55.036 27.883 16,286 ".597 26,558 56 312 128 99 64,356 36,400 18,426 17.974 25.331 1,209 913 209 294 PER CENT OP TOTAL. 100. 50.7 29.6 21. I 48.3 O. I 0.6 0.2 0.2 56.6 23 28.6 II . 27.9 35- 39-4 +4- 1.9 95- 1-4 65- 03 38. o-S 66. Percent of decrease or increase ( + ) 1910-1930. 14.5 OUTLYING POSSESSIONS. 173 This table brings out the decrease in population among the foreign-bom white, which accounts for 68.4 per cent of the total decrease shown by Alaska in 1920. A further analysis of the foreign-bom decrease in terms of nationality results in the following tabulation : COUNTRY OF BIRTH. 1930 I910 COUNTRY OP BIRTH. 1920 1910 2, 169 1,716 1,688 843 2,597 2,208 2,717 1,550 Finland 794 601 562 329 976 Ireland 1,157 England 1,023 Italy 744 Three nationalities — Norwegian, Swedish, and Canadian — were largely in the majority among the foreign bom. The decreases of these nationaHties have apparently been proportionally less heavy than those of the others. The decrease in persons gainfully employed in Alaska exceeded the decrease in the total population, the loss in population being 9,320, while the decrease in persons gainfully employed was 13,276. One factor in bringing about this curious result was the tendency during the decade toward more nearly normal proportions between the sexes. Such a redistribution is of great importance, especially in shifting the number of persons actually wage earners and in determining the natural rate of increase. The figures are as follows: SEX. 1920 1910 Male 34,539 20,497 45,857 Female 18,499 There were, in 1910, 247.9 males for every 100 females, which figure w^as reduced in 1920 to 168.5 males for every 100 females. Such a change also resulted in a decided increase in tlie proportion of married males. The percentage of males over 15 years of age who were married increased from 30.9 in 1910 to 39.2 in 1920, while there was practically no change in the proportion of females married. The decrease in persons gainfully employed was distributed throughout all the occupational groups save agriculture. The greatest decreases occurred in the mining and manufacturing groups, indicating a decided falling off in those forms of industrial activity. 174 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. HAWAII. The Hawaiian Islands, nine in number, were acquired by tlie United States in 1898 and were organized as the territory of Hawaii in June, 1900. The Federal censuses since that time have reported considerable increases in population. The number of inhabitants in 1900 was 154,001; in 1910, 191,909; and in 1920, 255,912, the increase during the last decade being 64,003, or 33.4 per cent. The entire population of Hawaii which might be termed urban resides in two cities, Honolulu and Hilo. Honolulu, much the larger, is on Oahu Island, and recorded in 1920 a total population of 83,327, an increase of 59.7 per cent over the number of its inhabitants in 1910. Hilo had a population of 10,431 in 1920, having increased slightly more than 50 per cent during the decade. The census figures which have aroused the most interest are those dealing with race and color. They are given in the following table : Table 45. — Population of Hawaii, by Race, with Per Cent of Increase: 1920 and 1910. Total 255,912 Hawaiian Caucasian-Hawaiian . Asiatic-Hawaiian. . . . 23.7^3 11,072 6,955 Caucasian : Portuguese 27,002 Porto Rican 5 , 602 Spanish I 2 , 430 Other Caucasian j 19, 708 Chinese I 23 , 507 Japanese | 109,274 4,950 Korean . Filipino . Negro. .. . All other . 2 1 , 03 1 348 310 191,909 26,041 8,772 3,734 22,301 4,890 1,990 14,867 21,674 79-675 4,533 2,361 695 376 PER CENT OF TOTAI,. Per cent of increase or de- crease (—). 33-4 9-3 4-3 2.7 10.6 2.2 i.o 7-7 9 42. 1, 13.6 4.6 1.9 II. 6 2-5 1.0 7-7 "•3 41-5 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 -».9 26.2 86.3 14.6 22. 1 32.6 8.5 37-1 9.2 790.8 -49.9 — 17.6 The racial classification is rendered somewhat complex by the number of intermarriages between natives and immigrants. The native and mixed native and foreign groups are as follows: Ha- waiian, pure native stock; Caucasian-Hawaiian, a mixture of Caucasian and Hawaiian stock, largely a development from the OUTLYING POSSESSIONS. 175 Spanish settlement of the island; and Asiatic-Hawaiian, repre- senting a mixture of Asiatic and Hawaiian stock. The large proportion of Japanese and relatively small number of Caucasians, other than Portuguese, are significant. Of the 19,708 persons classed as ''Other Caucasians" — of which num- ber nearly 11,000 were born in continental United States — 12,670, or approximately two-thirds, were located in the city of Honolulu alone. Of the actual increase among the Japanese, 8,000 were males and 22,000 were females. The men are employed mainly in agriculture, while the women are employed either on sugar farms or as domestic and personal servants. It is interesting to note that nearly 85 per cent of the foreign bom enumerated at the 1920 census who had immigrated within the preceding 10 years were Japanese. Because of the widespread discussion in continental United States concerning the number of Japanese in the states and the limitation of the number migrating to this country, secured by agreement with Japan, comparison with the unrestricted migra- tion of Japanese to Hawaii is of much interest. Here are the changes which have occurred in the number of persons of this race in continental United States and in Hawaii : ^ 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 Hawaii. 86 12, 360 61, III 79. 67s 109, 274 The figures for Hawaii for 1880 and 1890, as shown in the above table, are taken from reports published by the then Hawaiian Gov- ernment. (It will be remembered that the Hawaiian Islands did not become a territory of the United States until 1898, and ap- peared for the first time in the reports of the census of 1900 as a part of this country.) Obviously the Japanese were not attracted either to Hawaii, then an independent kingdom, or to the United States as early ' The figures in this statement include the American-bom (or Hawaiian-bom) descendants of Japanese immigrants, in addition to the immigrants themselves. 176 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. as 1880. But by 1890 Hawaii had apparently been discovered as a desirable country to which to emigrate, and in that year also the first suggestions of emigration to the United States appeared. During the following decade occurred the heaviest movement of Japanese to Hawaii, together with a marked increase in the number coming to the United States. Thereafter appears a rather interesting equalization of numbers. Immigration of Japanese to Hawaii slackened from 1900 to 19 10, the increase in Japanese population for the 10 years amounting to less than 20,000, as against nearly 50,000 for the preceding decade ; but the number coming to this country was so great that the total Japanese population of continental United States in 19 10 tended to approach the number in the territory of Hawaii. In 1920 the increase shown for continental United States was con- siderably greater than for Hawaii, and for the first time the number of Japanese in continental United States slightly exceeded that in the island territory. PORTO RICO. The island of Porto Rico was formally surrendered by Spain in October, 1898, and was ceded to the United States by the treaty of Paris, signed December 10 of the same year. The population of Porto Rico, as recorded by the census of 1910, was 1,118,012. This number increased during the decade from 1910 to 1920 by 16.3 per cent, resulting in a total of 1,299,809 in- habitants at the taking of the 1920 census. The average number of inhabitants per square mile in 1920 was 378.4, as compared with 325.5 in 1 910 and 277.5 i^ 1899. This represents a density 10 times as great as that for continental United States. The decade has shown a slight increase in the proportion of urban population. In 1920 the urban population, according to the customary census classification, constituted 21.8 per cent of the total population, as compared with 20.1 per cent in 19 10. There were, in 1920, 16 cities or towns having more than 5,000 inhabitants, the largest being San Juan and Ponce. San Juan had 71,443 inhabitants in 1920, having increased about 50 per cent during the decade. Ponce, with a population of 41,912, had increased but 19 per cent. The following table indicates the racial distribution. The Census Bureau classes as native all those bom in continental United States or any of its outlying possessions. It is interesting to note how nearly completely the population is made up of natives. OUTLYING POSSESSIONS. 177 Tabi,e 46. — Population of Porto Rico, by Coi,or or Race and Nativity: 1920 and 19 id. KUMBER. PBR C8NT OP TOTAL. 1920 1910 1920 1910 Total 1,299,809 I, 118,012 100. 100. White Black 948,709 49,246 301,816 32 4 2 1,291,642 8,167 732,555 50,245 335.192 12 8 73-0 3-8 23.2 (') 99.4 0.6 65-5 4-5 30.0 (') Mulatto Chinese Japanese All other Native I, 106,246 I I , 766 98.9 I . I Foreign bom ' Less than one-tenth of i per cent. Since the number of foreign bom is so slight, and since 99.8 per cent of the natives were actually born on the island, it would appear that the increase is almost entirely internal — that is, due to excess of births over deaths. The experience of Porto Rico is especially interesting because of the unusual density of popula- tion, and of the fact that the island is self-supporting. Some geographic concentration by race can be observed, the blacks and mulattoes being found mainly in the northern and eastern parts of the island, about San Juan. The decrease in both these groups, as compared with the increase in the white population, is very marked. GUAM. Guam is the largest and southernmost island of the North Pacific group known as the Marianne or Marianas Islands. It is located 5,053 nautical miles southwest of San Francisco, 3,337 nautical miles west by south of Honolulu, and i ,506 nautical miles east of Manila. The island is about 30 miles in extreme length and from 4 to 8^ miles in width, its estimated area being 225 square miles. On December 10, 1898, Guam was ceded to the United States by Spain. Table 47. — Population of Guam, by Color or Race: 1920. COLOR OR RACE. Number. Per cent of total. COLOR OR RACE. Number. Percent of total. All races 13.275 100. Japanese 2IO 74 42 38 29 1.6 0.6 0-3 0. 2 Chamorro 12,216 92.0 396 3.0 280 2 . r Mixed Filipino Black White Not reported 0.2 107°— 22- -12 178 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The island of Guam has little attraction for population, its importance centering about the naval station there located. In 1920 the total population was 13,275, an increase of 1,469, or 12.4 per cent, over the number enumerated in 1910. This 1920 figure is lower than had been forecast by the early years of the decade, because of an epidemic of influenza which swept the island in October and November of 1918. In those two months there were 858 deaths, and the death rate for the fiscal year ended June 30, 1 91 9, was 72.3 per 1,000 of population. The population is made up mainly of natives, called Chamorros, a hybrid race with the Malayan strain predominating. AMERICAN SAMOA. American Samoa comprises six islands, namely, Rose, Manua, Olosega, Ofu, Tutuila, and Aunuu. Tutuila, the largest and most important of these islands, lies 4,160 nautical miles southwest from San Francisco, 2,263 nautical miles south-southwest from Honolulu, and 2,354 nautical miles northwest from Sidney, Australia. The United States took formal possession of American Samoa February 19, 1900. Table 48. — Population of American Samoa, by Race: 1920. KACE. N-ber. P--' RACE. Number. Per cent of total. All races Polynesian 8,056 100. Mixed Whitp 233 >6 2. q 0. I 7.776 965 ' Another ' Comprises 3 Japanese, i Chinese, and 2 Negroes. Prior enumerations made by the governor of the islands since the United States took possession recorded a population of 5,679 in 1900, 5,563 in 1901, 5,888 in 1903, 6,780 in 1908, 7,251 in 1912, and 7,550 in 1916. The population of American Samoa consists almost entirely of native Polynesians. The few inhabitants of mixed blood are for the most part the children of white fathers and Polynesian mothers. PANAMA CANAL ZONE. The Panama Canal Zone was acquired by the United States November 18, 1903, by treaty with the Republic of Panama. In OUTLYING POSSESSIONS. 179 accordance with the terms of this treaty, Panama granted to the United States "in perpetuity the use, occupation, and control of a zone of land and land under water" of the width of lo miles for "the construction, maintenance, operation, sanitation, and pro- tection" of a ship canal across the Isthmus of Panama. The cities and harbors of Panama and Colon, which are included within the boundaries of this zone, were, however, expressly excluded from the grant. In the period between 1903 and 1920 a number of censuses were taken under the supervision of the Isthmian Canal Commission, the sanitary department, and the police. The census of 1920 was the first Federal decennial census at which the Canal Zone was enumerated. In 1904 the first census taken by the Isthmian Canal Commission indicated a population of approximately 10,000. In 191 2 this had increased to 60,000, the increase consisting mainly of laborers working on the canal construction. The first Federal census, that of 1920, recorded a population of 22,858 persons. That there has been such a wide fluctuation is by no means strange. In the first place, the number of persons employed in the construction of the canal has varied widely between these dates. In the second place, there was a considerable decrease in 1 9 1 2 due to an Execu- tive order, known as the depopulation order, which demanded the departure of native landowners and squatters, either into the two cities of Panama and Colon or to points outside the Canal Zone. Table; 49. — Population of Panama Canal Zone, by Color or Race AND Nativity: 1920. COLOR OR RACE AND NATTVITV. Total population White Negro Other colored Native white Native parentage Foreign or mixed parentage . . . Foreign-bom white Native Negro Foreign-bom Negro 22,858 12,370 10,429 59 10.753 7.734 3.019 1,617 2,757 7,672 17.964 7-711 10,207 46 6,660 4.771 1,889 1,051 2,719 7,488 MILITARY AND NAVAL. 4.894 4,659 222 13 4.093 2,963 1,130 566 38 184 XVI. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION. The greatest of all wars will make the lo years from 1 910 to 1920 conspicuous among all census periods. The conflict itself and the suspense and uncertainty which were finally terminated by the Versailles treaty together extended from i9i4to 1919. Therefore, normal influences, such as existed, were massed at the beginning of the decade, but even in neutral lands had been largely swept away by the close of this period. In consequence, almost all the population changes shown by the Fourteenth Census reflected the influences of the Great War. Although the period of active warfare by the United States was extremely short, in an economic sense participation in the conflict began in the early part of 1915. Entirely commercial, it was nevertheless very real, but it differed from the war activities of the militant nations in that supplies and munitions furnished from America were purchased and paid for by European countries unable to manufacture in sufficient volume for themselves. But the man power, which in other nations was of necessity divided between armies and factories, in the United States was concen- trated, so far as unusual opportunities for profit accomplished that end, upon specialized manufactures and agriculture. The Fourteenth Census was taken a little more than a year after the armistice was declared. Evidences were still present on all sides of the vast economic readjustment and effort which this Nation had made, first, to fill the orders of belligerents for muni- tions and supplies, and second, to concentrate the entire resources of the country upon the task of winning the war after the United States had at length entered the conflict. War influence is seen at each successive step of the analysis which appears in this volume: In reduction in the rate of national population increase; hi the changes which occurred in states, counties, cities, and smaller communities; and finally, in the pro- nounced readjustments which took place among the different ele- ments of the population. The persistent influence of the war alone is likely to make the Fourteenth Census conspicuous among Federal censuses, even long after it has passed into history. There are, however, two other causes for prominence. If succeeding censuses show a return to a 180 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION. 181 more liberal percentage of increase, the census of 1920 will be note- worthy for the sharp depression which it showed in population growth. On the other hand, should the low rate of increase con- tinue, or should the rate tend to decline still further, then the Fourteenth Census will prove to be noteworthy as marking the be- ginning of a distinct slowing down in national growth. Finally, the Fourteenth Census records the effect (caused directly by the war) of an unsettlement of family relations, probably more widespread than corresponding changes during any previous decade covered by American census-taking except that of the Civil War. Millions of able-bodied men, a considerable proportion married, repaired for longer or shorter periods to centers of industrial activity or went to training camps or abroad with the colors. The degree of this suspension of family relations can not be measured, because by 1920 many persons had returned to their previous places of residence and were there enumerated as though never absent. The number thus long absent but having returned must have been great, yet in spite of this partial readjustment the census everywhere gives evidence of an unusual proportion of changes in residence. This characteristic of the decade in the aggregate must have been an important factor in retarding population increase. From 1 910 to 1920 the population of the United States increased 14,000,000, a considerably smaller absolute number than that sho\^^l by the census of 1910, but larger than the increase sho\\Ti at any previous census. This increase was contributed unequally. A dozen states were responsible for nearly t^vo-thirds of it, and at the opposite extreme 3 states returned a decrease, and 9 other states an increase of about 400,000. As might be expected, in view of war iniluences, tlie increase of population in the United States from 1 910 to 1920 was largely confined to the industrial states, and within those states to areas principally urban. For the first time in the history of the Nation persons residing in urban environments exceeded in number those living in rural communities. The former increased at a rapid rate, approximating 25 per cent; but the increase of the latter was much slower — a rate little more, indeed, than 5 per cent. In all American census-taking but eight instances of decrease of state population have occurred.* Three of these appeared at the ^ These eight decreases do not include that showTi by Virginia for the decade iSCc- 1870, due to the detachment of West Virginia. 182 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. census of 1920. These three states — Nevada, Vermont, and Mississippi — were conspicuous among those having small urban population, while the 9 states which showed at the census of 1920 very small increase were also composed largely of rural communities. This noteworthy change was emphasized even more strongly by the counties. There are over 3,000 counties in the United States. Of this number, one-third declined in population. The declining counties comprised over 900,000 square miles, or almost one-third of the area of the United States, and contained 19,000,000 people, or more than one-sixth of the entire population. The counties which decreased were largely rural, and thus sharply reflected the tendency of the decade and the effort of large numbers of persons to readjust themselves to greater advantage during the penod of immense industrial and agricultural activity. In New York — which, possessing a greater population than any other state in the Union, affords an important example of extreme urban increase with contrasting conditions in the rural commu- nities — New York City, with more than half the entire popula- tion, showed 17.9 per cent increase, as compared with 9.6 per cent for the remainder of the state. The latter increase in turn was practically all contributed by 21 cities of 25,000 or more. Three- fourths, indeed, of the 1,000 minor civil di\'isions of the state of New York lost population during the decade. When the increase of population at the Fourteenth Census is considered by nativity and color it appears that the whites in- creased by more than 13,000,000 and the Negroes by less than 700,000. The white increase was thus 16 per cent and the Negro but 6.5 per cent, marked decreases in the percentages for both elements. The whites of native parentage, in the 13,000,000 increase, numbered about 9,000,000; and this number in turn was composed of two elements, the equivalent of those derived from the original or native stock and those native bom of native parents descended from persons who immigrated after 1 790 but at dates sufficiently early to permit the existence of grandchildren bom in this country. Computations by census experts seem to indicate the equivalent of about 47,000,000 persons as descended from the original or native stock. (The term "equivalent" is necessarily employed, because persons of absolutely pure native ancestry — that is, persons having no foreign-boni ancestors who came to this country subsequently to 1790 — represented a much SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION. 183 smaller number, so interwoven have the native and foreign' ele- ments become during the passage of more than a century.) The importance of this computation as to the present theoretical strength of the descendants of the original stock is found in the fact that it appears to be evident that this blood strain in the popu- lation is not disappearing, but is increasing at a reasonable and rather normal rate, ranging somewhere between lo and 12 per cent, an increase contributed by different parts of the country in widely varying percentages. The native element migrated to the cities much more generally during the last decade than in previous decades. In the past this element has been found in much larger proportion in rural than in urban communities, but at the census of 1920 the proportions showed a marked change, since in almost all of the large cities native whites of native parentage manifested a decided tendency to increase. This change may prove to have been merely an evidence of the readjustments forced by war conditions, but it is likely to persist at the next census. The increase in foreign bom shown at the Fourteenth Census was extremely small. Analysis of the changes which occurred in the foreign element make it evident that, obedient also to the con- ditions prevailing during the decade, large numbers of foreigners left the United States in response to calls to the colors from their native lands. Those who departed were largely residents of cities, so that those who entered the United States and remained in the cities were not sufhcient in number in many cases to make good the losses. The demand thus occasioned for labor attracted to the cities many of the native element, and accounts for the readjust- ments already referred to which occurred in connection with that great body of the population. The percentage of increase in the number of Negroes was much less than that shov\'ii at any previous census. It is necessary, indeed, to go back 80 years — to the census of 1840 — to find an absolute decennial increase in the Negro population less than that shown in 1920. As in the past (since 18 10), this increase was derived almost exclusively from births. Among the colored popu- lation a remarkable movement was in progress during the decade. This also was the result of war conditions. The Negroes are essentially a rural element. Such increase of tlie Negro race as is shown by the census comes exclusively from the rural districts, but the call of the cities during the war period for additional labor, skilled and unskilled, proved an irresistible attraction to 184 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. many Negroes in the Southern states, and large numbers of them, beginning in 191 5, drifted toward the northern and western cities, and, to a lesser extent, toward southern cities also. Two dis- tinct changes were thus brought about by the Negro migrants: They shifted a considerable percentage of their numbers from rural to urban communities, and they removed many of their race from that environment in which their number tended to increase to a new environment in which they were not reproductive. It is probable that some readjustments, both as to residence and as to increase, began to occur shortly after the close of the decade under consideration, in which event the percentage of increase for the Negroes at the next census may show some improvement. Whether the urban tendency of the Negro race has been checked by the return to normal conditions probably depends on the de- mand for unskilled labor, governed in large measure by immigra- tion legislation. From this brief summary of the changes revealed by analysis of the Fourteenth Census returns, the direct or indirect influence of the war is apparent. In total population, in the readjust- ments of the native white population, in the decreased proportion of foreigners, and in the greatly reduced increase and the read- justments of the Negro population, the economic conditions which controlled the decade are clearly evident. Because of the influence of the war, many of the tendencies which proved of statistical importance in 1920 may not continue, but when the returns of the next census are available for com- parison, may turn out to have been merely temporary conditions, readjusted as the Nation began to swing again into the paths of peace. Yet, withal, it is difficult to point to a decade of more absorb- ing interest statistically than that of 1 910 to 1920. The analysis of Fourteenth Census returns presented in these pages passed quickly into an atmosphere of impressive changes. It dealt with population massing on a vast scale, with decrease in a thousand counties and in many thousand rural communities in order to increase population in areas more directly concerned with the great task which confronted the Republic. The detailed infor- mation now so accurately secured by the Federal census makes it possible to say in a very real sense that the social and industrial history of the United States during the war decade was written in the returns of the Fourteenth Census. APPENDIXES 185 Appendix A, ESTIMATES OF THE NATIVE WHITE STOCK: 1900, I9IO, AND 1920. The numerical equivalents of the native white stock and the foreign "wdiite stock which together constituted the white population of the United States in 1900, 19 10, and 1920, estimated as explained herein, together with the proportions which the two kinds of stock formed of the total white population, were as follows: Total -white population. NATIVE WHITE STOCK. FOREIGN WHITE STOCK. CBKSUS YBAR. Number. Per cent of total white. Number. Per cent of total white. 1000 66,809, 196 81.731.957 94,820,915 37,290,000 42,420,000 47,330,000 55-8 519 49.9 29,520,000 39,310,000 47,490,000 44.a 48.1 50.1 lOIO 1020 The estimates for the native white stock also represent the numbers of white persons who presumably would have been living in the United States in the years specified if there had been no immigration nor emigra- tion since 1 790 and if the rates of increase for the white population had been the same as the rates representing the natural increase, due to excess of births over deaths, which took place in the white population as it ac- tually existed. DEFINITION OF "NATIVE WHITE STOCK." The term "native white stock" as here used refers to white persons who were living within any area now a part of continental United States at the time that area was first enumerated, and to the descendants of such persons. By far the greater part of the native white stock is descended from persons enumerated in 1 790 in the New England states, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, North Caro- lina, South Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky, and Tennessee; but a small pro- portion is made up of persons whose ancestors were living, or who were themselves living, in other areas when those areas were first enumerated. The original populations of such new areas, however, were very sparse. Moreover, the inhabitants of these added areas consisted in part of migrants from the original area of the United States, or the descendants of such migrants, so that it would be impossible to estimate separately the French and Spanish stock. It has been necessary, therefore, to define native white stock as explained above, with no further subdivision. It would, of course, be utterly impossible to determine the number of white persons enumerated in 1920 or any other recent census year who iSr 188 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. were of absolutely pure native stock — that is, all of whose foreign -born ancestors came to this country prior to 1790. A very considerable but indeterminable number of persons classed by the census as native v/hites of native parentage are of mixed native and foreign stock. These per- sons would not have existed had there been no immigration, but in their place there would have existed a smaller number of persons representing approximately the same amount of native stock unmixed with foreign blood. For example, if each of four natives of native parentage had one foreign-bom grandparent and three grandparents of pure native ances- try, the four persons together would represent the same amount of native stock as would exist in three persons of pure native ancestry. All that can be estimated, therefore, is the numerical equivalent of the ainount of native white stock in the country, stated in terms of units repre- senting the amount of native white stock in one person of pure native white ancestry. The actual number of persons whose native blood is included in this total is, of course, much larger, inasmuch as any person who had at least one white ancestor enumerated in 1 790 has in his veins some native white blood. For example, it is possible that not more than, say, 20,000,000 persons in this country are of absolutely pure native white stock, while the remaining 27,000,000 of the total of 47,000,000 estimated as the numerical equivalent of the native white stock might be made up of varying proportions of native stock in 45,000,000 persons (native whites of native parentage or of mixed native and foreign parentage). Moreover, it would be theoretically possible for every native white person of native parentage in the United States in 1920 to be of mixed native and foreign stock. BASIC DATA. In making these estimates the following data were employed : (i) Foreign stock, roughly estimated at ^00,000, included in native white poj?iilation of native parentage in 1853. — The number of foreign-bom v/hite enumerated in 1850 was 2,240,535. In the Compendium of the Seventh Census (1850) the number of the foreign bom and the progeny of foreigners arriving after 1790 was estimated at 3,000,000 or 3,200,000 in 1853.^ On the basis of this approximation (made at a time when a reason- ^ ' ' Estimating the survivors in 1850 of the foreigners who had arrived in the United Statessince the census of 1790 upon the principle of the English life tables, and making the necessary allowances for the less proportion of the old and very young among them, andforreemigration, etc., theirnumber is stated in the abstract of the census published in 1853, p. 15, at 2,460,000. From this, a deduction is then made of 10 per cent, on account of the greater mortality of emigrants and their lower expectation of life, which brings the actual survivors very nearly to the figiires of the census. The deduction of 10 per cent seems hardly sufhcicnt and does not accord with tlie deduc- tions that are generally made in the reasoningsof vital statisticians. It would be safer to assume 15 per cent than 10, which would reduce the survivors to a little more thim 2.000,000. To this add 50 per cent for the living descendants of foreigners who have come into the country' since 1790 (observing that nearly four-fiftlis of the number have arrived since 1830, and could not have both children and grandchildren bom in the country, and more than half have arrived since 1840 and must have had comp:iratively few native bom children, it would not be safe to add any more), and tlic number of foreigners and their descendants in 1853 is not likely to exceed 3,000,000 or 3,300,000." Compendium of the Seventh Census, p. 119. ESTIMATES OF NATIVE WHITE STOCK. 189 able approximation should have been possible) , the descendants of white immigrants arriving subsequently to 1790 and prior to 1853 must have numbered about 1,000,000 in the latter year. Since the majority of the immigrants prior to 1850 had arrived in this country during the decade 1 840- 1 850, it is practically certain that not more than one-half of this number were native whites of native parentage, that is to say, were grandchildren of immigrants. The remaining 500,000, consisting of native whites of foreign or mixed parentage, were, in the main, very young and therefore presumably did not contribute to any great extent to the native white population of native parentage prior to 1870. The survivors of these 500,000 native whites of foreign or mixed parentage were, of course, included in the native whites of foreign or mixed parentage in 1870 (infra). The omission of the contribution of this group to the native whites of native parentage prior to 1870 is probably approximately counterbalanced by the liberality of the estimate of 500,000 as the con- tribution by the immigrants to the native whites of native parentage prior to 1853.^ (2) Native whites of foreign of mixed parentage, 1870, equivalent to 4,745,683 native whites of foreign parentage. — ^This number is made up of 4,167,098 native whites of foreign parentage and one-half of the 1,157,170 native whites of mixed native and foreign parentage and represents the amount of foreign white stock in the first group plus the foreign white stock derived from the foreign parents of the second group. (The native parents of the second group who were wholly or in part of foreign stock are assumed to have been included in the 500,000 native whites of native parentage in 1853 who were descended from immigrants arriving subse- quently to 1790.) (3) Foreign-born white persons enutnerated in i8jo, 5,493,712. (4) Excess of white immigration over white emigration ^ from 1870 to 1920, as follows — 1871-1880 2,395,000 188 1— 1890 4, 192 ,000 1891-1900 3 , 143 , 000 1901-1910 5,365,000 19 1 1— 1920 ^ 3,600,000 (The above figures have been adjusted so as to make them relate as closely as possible to the exact periods elapsing between census dates.) (5) Total white population in igoo, 66,809,196, and tn 1920, 94,820,915. RATES OF INCREASE. In estimating rates of natural increase, due to excess of births over deaths, it has been assumed that these rates have been the same for both the native and the foreign white stock. ^ This assumption may at first ' A Century of Population Growth, p. 87. - For method of estimating white emigration, see Appendix C. ^ Estimated net white immigration and progeny surviving on January i, 1920. * This assumption was suggested by Miss Elbertie Foudray, of the division of vital statistics, Bureau of the Census, who made a careful study of the subject. 190 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. seem improbable and contrary to the generally accepted belief that the foreign stock is the more prolific. It is true that in the immigrant families in this country the average number of children is larger than in the native families, but the difference is probably less than it is commonly believed to be. A computation made from the returns from the birth-registration area in 19 19 yielded the following results, which relate only to those mothers who gave birth to children during the calendar year 19 19. The birth -registration area in that year comprised 22 states and the District of Columbia, whose aggregate population was estimated at 58.6 per cent of the total population of the United States. Number of children ever bom per native white mother 3.2 Number of children ever bom per foreign white mother 4.0 Number of surviving children per native white mother 2.8 Number of surviving children per foreign white mother 3.4 In view of the fact that the birth rate for the native white population is undoubtedly somewhat higher in the Southern states, of which only five were included in the birth-registration area in 19 19, than in the remainder of the country, it is almost certain that the figures given above show a somewhat greater difference between average numbers of children per native and foreign white mother than would appear if the figures had been based on returns for the entire United States. Moreover, it appears from the census reports that the proportions of married persons are considerably smaller among native whites of foreign or mixed parentage than among native v^^hites of native parentage. This is true not only for the United States as a whole but for urban and rural communities considered separately, so that the explanation is not to be found wholly in the fact that a much larger proportion of the native whites of foreign or mixed parentage than of the native whites of native parentage live in urban communities, where the marriage rates are lower than in rural communities. Thus, while the birth rate among the foreign-bom whites is somewhat higher than among the native whites, a factor opposite in effect is found in a lower marriage rate for the native white population of foreign parentage than for the native whites of native parentage. As there are no statistics in regard to the number of children born to the native whites of foreign or mixed parentage who do marry, there is no definite basis for an assumption that the third generation of tlie foreign white stock is relatively any more numerous than the contemporaneous generation of the native white stock. For these reasons it is believed that the most logical and defensible method of estimating the native and foreign white stock is that based on the assumption that their rates of natural increase are the same, considering not only the first but subsequent generations. (See Appen- dix B for expansion of discussion.) ESTIMATES OF NATIVE WHITE STOCK. 191 In calculating these rates the net white immigration during each decade is assumed to have been distributed uniformly throughout the decade, so that the average length of time elapsing between arrival in the United States and the end of the decade was five years. Thus the natural increase among the immigrants arriving during a given decade would be equal to one-half the natural increase among the same number of persons present at the beginning of the decade; that is to say, one-half the decennial rate for the white population at the beginning of the decade could be applied to the net white immigration as a whole, or the entire decennial rate could be applied to one-half the net white immigration. Hence the total natural increase — in other words, the total increase less the net white immigration — represents a rate based on the total white population enumerated at the beginning of the decade plus one-half the net white immigration arriving during the decade. This rate can therefore be easily calculated by the following method: Deduct net white immigration during decade from total numerical increase in white population and divide remainder by white population enumerated at beginning of decade plus one-half net white immigration. (For a description of the method employed in estimating net immigra- tion, see Appendix C.) To illustrate : The numerical increase in the white population between i8go and 1900 was 11,707,938. Deducting the net white immigration during the decade, 3,143,000, from this increase leaves 8,564,938 as the increment due to natural increase in the population enumerated at the beginning of the decade and in the immigrant population arriving during the decade. The white population enumerated in 1890 was 55,101,258. Adding to this number one-half the net white immigration gives a total of 56,672,758 as the base on which to compute the percentage of increase; and the division of this number into the 8,564,938 representing the natural increase gives a rate of 15. i per cent. Thus computed, the rates of natural increase in the white population during the 10 decades from 1820 to 1920 were as follows: Per cent. 1820-1830 31-9 1830-1840 28. 7 1840-1850 25. 1 185O-1860 22.8 I860-I870 1 18.3 I870-I880 ' 18.8 I880-I800 16.5 I890-I900 15. 1 1000-19 10 13.8 1910-1920 ^11.6 ' Estimated corrected total for white population in 1870 used in computing rates for 1860-1870 and 1870-1880. 2 Calculated as explained in Appendix C. 192 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. The rates of natural increase for the several foreign-white-stock groups under consideration, to 1900 and to 1920, have been calculated as follows, the result in each case representing i plus the rate: White pofnclaiion derived in igoo and ig20 from native whites of native parentage in 1833 representing foreign stock. — The increase in this group for the period 1 853-1 860 is assumed to have been seven- tenths of the increase for the entire decade. The rate of increase during this 7-year period would therefore be seven- tenths of 22.8, or 16 per cent; i plus the rate for the period 185 3-1 900 would be 1.16X 1.183X 1.188X 1.165X 1. 151, or 2.186; and i plus the rate for 1853-1920 would be 2.186X 1.138X 1. 116, or 2.776. White population derived in 1900 and ig20 from native whites of foreign or mixed parentage in 1870 and from foreign-horn whites in 1870. — For the period 18 70- 1900, i plus the rate of increase for these groups would be equal to 1.188X 1.165X 1.151, or 1.593; ^^^ i plus the rate for the period 1870-1920 would be equal to 1.593X 1.138X 1.116, or 2.023. White population derived in igoo and ig20 from net white immigration since 1870 — * Net immigration during decade 1870-1880, to 1900 — 1.094X 1. 1 65 Xi. 151, or I. 467 Net immigration during decade 1 870-1 880, to 1920 — 1.467X 1.138X I.I 16, or 1.863 Net immigration during decade 1880-1890, to 1900 — 1.0825X 1.151, or I. 246 Net immigration during decade 1880-1890, to 1920 — 1.246X 1. 138 X 1. 1 1 6, or I. 582 Net immigration during decade 1890-1900, to 1900 i. 0755 Net immigration during decade 1890-1900, to 1920 — 1.0755X 1.138X 1.116, or I. 366 Net immigration during decade 1900-1910, to 1920 — 1.069X I.I 16, or I. 193 (Survivors of net white immigration, and progeny, for decade 19 10- 1920 have been estimated by a different method, explained in Appendix C.) APPUCATION OF RATES TO BASIC DATA. White population derived from native whites of native parentage in 1853 representing foreign stock — In 1900 — 5cxD,oooX2.i86, or 1,093,000 In 1920 — 500,000X2.776, or 1,388,000 White population derived from native whites of foreign or mixed parentage enumerated in 1870 — In 1900 — 4,745,683X1-593. or 7, 560,000 In 1920 — 4,745,683X2.023, or 9,601,000 White population derived from foreign-born white population enumerated in 1870 — In 1900—5,493,712X1.593. or 8,751,000 In 1920 — 5,493,712X2.023, or II, 114,000 ' As already explained, the rate of natural increase applicable for a given decade to the immigrants arriving during that decade is assumed to be equal to one-half the rate applicable to the same number of persons present in the country at tlie bcgiiming of the decade. ESTIMATES OF NATIVE WHITE STOCK. 193 White population in i goo derived froimiet white immigration since 1870 — 1870-1880 — 2,395,oooXi.467, or 3,513,000 1880-1890 — 4, 192, 000X1.246, or 5,223,000 1890-1900 — ^3, 143,000X1. 0755, or 3,380,000 Total 12 , 1 16 , 000 White population in ipso derived from, net white immigration since 1920 — 1870-1880 — 2, 395,000X1. 863, or 4,462,000 1880-1890 — 4, 192, 000X1.582, or 6,632,000 1890-1900 — 3, 143,000X1-366, or 4, 293,000 1900-1910 — 5, 365, 000X1-193, or 6,400,000 1910-1920 — survivors and progeny (estimated as explained in Appendix C) 3,600,000 Total 25,387, 000 TOTALIZATION OF ITEMS. Foreign white stock, igoo — Survivors and progeny of native whites of native parentage, 1853, representing foreign stock 1,093,000 Survivors and progeny of native whites of foreign or mixed parentage enumerated in 1870 7 , 560, 000 Survivors and progeny of foreign-bom whites enumerated in 1870 8,751,000 Siu-vivors and progeny of net white immigration, 1870 to 1900. . 12, 116,000 Total 29,520, 000 Native white stock, igoo — Total white population 66, 809 , 196 Deduct foreign white stock 29, 520, 000 Native white stock (in round tens of thousands) 3 7 , 290 , 000 Foreign white stock, ig2o — - Survivors and progeny of native whites of native parentage, 1853, representing foreign stock 1,388,000 Survivors and progeny of native whites of foreign or mixed par- entage enumerated in 1S70 9,601,000 Survivors and progeny of foreign-born whites enumerated in 1870 II, 114,000 Survivors and progeny of net white immigration, 1870 to 1920.. 25,387, 000 Total 47 , 490 , 000 Native white stock, ig2o — Total white population 94,820,915 Deduct foreign white stock 47 , 490 , 000 Native white stock (in roimd tens of thousands) 47 , 330, 000 107°— 22 13 194 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. ESTIMATE FOR 1910. The estimates for the native white stock in 1900 and 1920 having been made, it was possible to calculate the corresponding one for 19 10 in a very simple manner, as follows : The estimate for the native white stock in 1900, 37,290,000, was multiplied by 1.138 (i plus the rate of natural increase in the white popu- lation during the decade 1900-1910); the corresponding estimate for 1920, 47,330,000, was divided by 1.116 (i plus the rate of natural increase in the white population during the decade 1910-1920) ; and the two results, 42,436,000 and 42,410,000 (the difference being due to the fact that the percentages of increase were not computed to a greater number of decimal places), were averaged to the nearest ten thousand, giving 42,420,000 as the estimated native white stock in 1910. TEST BY ALTERNATIVE METHOD. The results obtained by the foregoing method have been tested to some extent by the employment of an alternative method. Both the original and alternative methods were based upon the same fimdamental assump- tion, namely, that the rates of natural increase in the native and the foreign white stock are the same; but the difference between the two is such that the results of the test are of value as indicating the substantial accuracy of the census data as to foreign white stock in 1853 and 1870, used in the foregoing calculations. The test was made by roughly estimating the population derived in 1820 from white immigration between 1790 and 1820, deducting this from the total white population enumerated in 1820, and applying to the remainder the rates of natural increase from decade to decade, estimated as already described. (See p. 191.) The immigration for the period 1790 to 1820, the first year in which the immigration was recorded, was estimated on the assumptions that it had gradually increased from 4,000 in 1790 to 8,000 in 1820; that the naitural increase during each decade in the total white population enu- merated at the beginning of the decade was one- third; and that the natural increase during each decade in the families of the immigrants arriving during that particular decade was equal to one-sixth of their total number. During the seven years from 1S20 to 1826, inclusive, the immigration, beginning with 8,385, fluctuated wathout showing any pronounced upward movement, but after 1826 it increased much more rapidly, although irregularly, from year to year. It seems probable, therefore, that there had been no sharp increase during the few years or the decade inmiediately preceding 1820, but ratlier that there had been a slow and irregular increase between 1790 and 1820. For the purposes of this calculation, however, it has been assumed tliat the increase was steady. If the several assumptions above set forth were substantially 1890 32 ,410.000 IQOO 37,300,000 1910 42,450,000 1920 47,370,000 ESTIMATES OF NATIVE WHITE STOCK. 195 correct, the population derived in 1820 from the net white immigration between 1790 and 1820 was approximately 275,000, or 2,% per cent of the total white population in 1820. This estimate, of course, is really nothing more than a guess; but, in view of the small proportion which the pppulation derived from immigration since 1790 constituted of the total population in 1820, the margin of error is necessarily very small in comparison with the total native white stock. The subtraction of the estimated 275,000 foreign white stock from the total white population enumerated in 1820, 7,866,797, leaves approxi- mately 7,590,000 as the estimated native white stock in that year; and by applying to this number, in series, the estimated decennial rates of natural increase in the white population from 1820 to 1920 (see p. 191) there are obtained the following estimates of the native white stock : ^ 1820 7, 590,000 j 1880 27,820,000 1830 10,010,000 1840 12,880,000 1850 16,120,000 i860 19 , 790 , 000 1870 23,420,000 The differences between the estimates made by the two methods for the years 1900, 1910, and 1920 are remarkably slight. Of course, if the basic theory, namely, that the rates of natural increase have been the same for both the native and the foreign white stock, is erroneous, the error in the results of both sets of estimates would be the same in kind ^ The following excerpt from the Abstract of the Seventh Census, page 131, is of interest in this connection: ' 'According to Doctor Seybert, an earlier writer upon statistics, the number of foreign passengers from 1790 to 1810 was, as nearly as could be ascertained, 120,000; and from the estimates of Doctor Seybert and other evidence, Hon. George Tucker, author of a valuable work on the census of 1840, supposes the number, from 1810 to 1820, to have been 114,000. These estimates make, for the 30 years preceding 1820, 234,000. If w^e reckon the increase of these immigrants at the average rate of the whole body of white population during these three decades, they and their descend- ants, in 1820, would amount to about 360,000. " It has been assumed that this estimate is unduly liberal, since it would imply an average annual immigration, during the 30 years from 1790 to 1820 (which included the period of the War of 1812), slightly larger than the average for the five years from 1820 to 1824, inclusive, as shown by the immigration reports for those years. Fiuther- more, these early records, which relate to incoming alien passengers , not to immigrants alone, overstate somewhat the actual immigration. If, however, the estimate of 360,000 persons of foreign white stock in 1820 were accepted as substantially correct, the estimated native white stock in 1820 would be 7,510,000 instead of 7,590,000. This reduction of i.i per cent would reduce the estimates for 1900, 1910, and 1920 in the same proportion, that is, to 36,890,000 for 1900, 41,980,000 for 1910, and 46,850,000 for 1920. 196 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. and approximately the same in degree. Thus the test supplies no cor- roboration of this basic theory. But the original estimates were based on census data as to the foreign white stock present in the United States in 1853 and 1870 and on the net white immigration from 1870 to 1920, whereas the test estimates took into account the net white immigration from 1820 to 1920 but made no use of any census data except for the total white population. The test, therefore, corroborates the original estimates so far as the substantial accuracy of the census data in question is concerned. Appendix B. RATE OF NATURAL INCREASE IN FOREIGN WHITE STOCK: 1900-1920. The natural increase between 1900 and 1920 in the foreign white stock of native birth (that is, the total foreign white stock less the foreign-bom white) may be estimated by deducting the number of surviving persons bom in this country during the 20-year period to foreign parents, together with a suitable proportion of those having mixed parents, from the total increase in the foreign white stock of native birth during the 20-year period. The numerical equivalents of the foreign white stock in 1900 and in 1920 were 29,520,000 and 47,490,000, respectively (Appendix A). Deducting the numbers of foreign-bom whites enumerated in those years (10,2 13,81 7 in 1900 and 13,712,754 in 1920) leaves, in round tens of thousands, 19,310,000 and 33,780,000 as the numerical equivalents of the foreign white stock of native birth as constituted in 1900 and 1920, respectively. The natural increase in this class of the population between 1900 and 1920 is represented by excess of births (native whites of native parentage) over deaths. The total increase, however, includes all natives of foreign parentage, together with a proper proportion of natives of mixed parent- age, bom between 1900 and 1920 and surviving in 1920. In order to obtain the natural increase, therefore, this group must be deducted from the total increase. The number of native whites of foreign parentage under 20 years of age in 1920, and therefore bom since January i, 1900, was 7,424,449; and the number of native whites of mixed parentage under 20 years of age in 1920 was 3,246,874. Reducing these two numbers by the estimated numbers of persons born between January i, 1900, and June i, 1900 (the Twelfth Census date), leaves 7,310,421 and 3,185,942, respec- tively, as the numbers bom between the Twelfth and Fourteenth Census dates and surviving on the latter date. The total number of native whites of foreign parentage represents foreign white stock ; but only an indeterminate proportion of the native whites of mixed parentage repre- sents foreign stock. If each of the native parents were of pure native stock, the numerical equivalent of the amount of foreign white stock in the native whites of mixed parentage would be exactly one-half of the total number; but as a matter of fact many of the native parents are of wholly foreign stock, others are of mixed native and foreign stock, and still others are of pure native stock. For the purposes of this 197 198 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. calculation it is arbitrarily assumed that the numerical equivalent of the foreign stock in the native parents of the native whites of mixed parentage is equal to one-half the total number of native parents. This is a larger proportion than the corresponding one for native whites generally, but it is reasonable to assume that the proportion of foreign stock in the native whites who marry foreign whites is somewhat larger than the average. On the basis of this assumption, the amount of foreign stock in the native whites of mixed parentage born between the Twelfth and Fourteenth Census dates would, therefore, be three-fourths their total number (one-half from the foreign parents and one-fourth from the foreign stock in the native parents), or 2,389,455. The addition of this number to the 7,310,421 native whites of foreign parentage in the same age group gives a total of 9,699,876, or approximately 9,700,000, as the numerical equivalent of the foreign white stock in the native whites of foreign or mLxed parentage bom between the Twelfth and Fourteenth Census dates and surviving on the latter date. The sub- traction of this number (representing persons whose parents were not included in the foreign white stock of native birth) from the total increase of 14,470,000 between 1900 and 1920 in the foreign white stock of native birth leaves 4,770,000 as the natural increase within the foreign white stock of native birth as constituted in 1900. This represents a rate of 24.7 per cent, which is less than the estimated rate of natural increase, due to excess of births over deaths, in the total white population of the country during the 20-year period, 27 per cent. (Rates for 1900- 1910, 13.8 per cent, and 1910-1920, 1 1.6 per cent, compounded; see table, p. 191.) Appendix C. ESTIMATION OF NET IMMIGRATION. [Data used in computing rates of natural increase in population: See Table 39 and Appendix A.) NET IMMIGRATION, 182O TO I910. Immigration, 1820 to igio. — The earliest immigration records are those for 1820. For the period from October i of that year to December 31, 1867, the figures relate to incoming alien passengers, and for the subse- quent years, to immigrants. Prior to July i, 1898, alien arrivals were not recorded by race or people, but the records of the Bureau of Immigration show arrivals by country of last permanent residence since 1820. In order, therefore, to approxi- mate the white immigration, the number of immigrants from Asia, Africa, and the Pacific Islands was deducted from the total for each decade to June 30, 1900; and for the subsequent period the white immigration was obtained by deducting the numbers of Africans, Chinese, Japanese, Koreans, and Pacific Islanders from the total. Emigration, 1820 to 18 jo. — Until July i, 1907, emigration was not recorded ; and, as the foreign-bom population was not separately reported at censuses prior to 1850, no data are available on which to base an estimate of the emigration which took place during the first half of the nineteenth century. It may be safely assumed, however, that the emi- gration up to 1850 was negligible; and an examination of the census statistics and of the immigration statistics for the period from 1850 to 1870, due account being taken of mortality, indicates that the emigration between 1850 and 1870 was also negligible. The total immigration from 1820 to 1870 has, therefore, been treated as the net immigration. During the succeeding decades, however, considerable emigration took place, and it is therefore necessary to estim.ate it in order to secure an estimate of the net immigration. Emigration, 18 jo to igio. — In order to expedite the work, the white emigration was assumed to represent the total emigration during the decades from 1870 to 19 10, the difference being so slight that the resultant error was deemed negligible. The estimate was made by adding the number of white immigrants during the decade to the number of foreign- bom w'hite persons enumerated at the beginning of the decade, deducting the estimated mortality, subtracting from the remainder the number of foreign-bom white persons enumerated at the end of the decade, and treating the result as representing the number of survixang foreign- born white emigrants. The numbers of foreign-bom white persons were ascertained from the census reports, and the numbers of white immigrants were estimated as explained above. There is no way of estimating the am.ount of native emigration for the decades prior to 1910, but such emigration was probably so small as to be negligible for the purposes of these calculations. 199 200 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Death rate of foreign-born white. — The following statement shows the death rates per i,ooo for the foreign-bom white population and the total white population for 19 19 (the year which terminated on the day preced- ing the Fourteenth Census date), 19 10, 1900, and 1890: YBAR. Foreign- bom •white. Total ■white. Area. 17-5 17-2 I9-4 19.4 12.4 14-6 17-3 19. I in nonregistration states. Do. Registration area. Do. Since the death rate for the foreign-bom white population in 1890 was only slightly higher than that for the total white population, it has been assumed, for the purposes of these calculations, to have been the same as the rate for the total white population in earlier years. The rate for the total population of the registration area in 1880, 19.8 per 1,000, was assumed to represent the rate for the white population; and for 1870 the death rate for the white population was estimated at 20.3 per 1,000, this estimate being based on the mortality records of ]\Iassachusetts. Estimate of mortality dtiring given decade among foreign-born white population enumerated at beginning of decade. — In making this estimate account must be taken of the increase in the average age of the group during the decade, and of the decrease from year to year in the number to which the rate is applied. During the decade the younger element is depleted only slightly by death, whereas the older element is depleted much more rapidly. Moreover, while the minimum age of the group advances by 10, the maximum age remains practically unchanged. It may be assumed, therefore, for the purposes of this calculation that the average age of the group increases by about 5 during the decade. The Life Tables * show that, on the average, the death rate for the foreign-bom white population at a given age is about 30 per cent greater than that at the age five years younger. (Of course, the increase in the rate from one year of age to another through the various quinquennial periods is far from uniform and is greater at the older ages than at the younger. No attempt was made to work out an exact ratio of increase applicable to the average death rate for the foreign-bom white population of all ages, for the reason that the element of uncertainty in the entire calculation is necessarily so great that the resort to an exact method in order to determine this one factor would not increase the accuracy of the ' Compiled by Prof. James W. Glover, of the University of Michigan. The tables used in this calculation arc based on the mortality in 1909, 1910, and 1911 in the "original registration states," namely, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massiichu- setts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Indiana, Michigan, and the District of Columbia. ESTIMATION OF NET IMMIGRATION. 201 result to a sufficient extent to justify the labor involved. It was esti- mated, therefore, after a careful inspection of the rates for each fifth year of age from 15 to 70, that the increase in the general rate for the entire foreign-bom population during a period in which the average age advanced by 5 would be about 30 per cent.) If the rate was 30 per cent greater at the end of the decade than at the beginning, the average rate for the entire decade may be assumed to have been 1 5 per cent greater than the rate at the beginning of the decade. The decrease during the decade in the total number to which the rate was ap- plied was approximately one-fifth, and therefore the average was approxi- mately nine-tenths of the number at the beginning of the decade. Thus, in order to obtain a decennial rate applicable to the foreign-bom white population enumerated at the beginning of a decade, the normal rate should be increased by 15 per cent to account for the effect of the advance in age, and the result should be decreased by 10 per cent to account for the effect of the reduction in number. This would yield a net increase of only 3.5 per cent (i. 15 X 0.90= 1.035) in the decennial rate applicable to the number enumerated at the beginning of the decade.^ Estimate of viortality during given decade among white immigrants arriving within that decade. — To obtain a rate applicable to the total number of white immigrants arriving during the decade, the normal annual death rate for the foreign-bom white population was multiplied by 5, it being assumed that the immigration was distributed uniformly throughout the decade and that therefore the average length of time elapsing between arrival in this country and the end of the decade was five years, and the result was arbitrarily reduced by one-fourth to ac- count for the lower average age of immigrants than of the entire foreign- born population. Final calculation. — The remainder of the process was as follows: The estimated number of survivors, at the end of the decade, among the white ' A subsequent estimate of the mortality, diiring the 10-year period beginning Apr. 15, 1910, among the foreign-born whites enumerated in 1910, based on the age distribution as showTi by the Thirteentli Census and the death rates as shown by the Life Tables, indicates a decennial rate of 178 per 1,000 applicable to the number enumerated at the beginning of the decade, as against an average annual rate of 16.4 per 1,000 for the years 1909, 1910, and 191 1. The decennial rate was thus 8.5 per cent, or about one-twelfth, greater than 10 times the average annual rate for 1909, 1910, and 1911. The death rate for the total white population of the registration area in 1919, however, showed a decline of about 12 per cent, or nearly one-eighth, as compared with the average for 1909, 1910, and 191 1. If it be assumed that the rate for the foreign- bom white population, disregarding the effect of advancing age, also declined by ap- proximately one-eighth between 1910 and 1919, and if it be further assumed that this indicated a decline of one-sixteenth , or about 6 per cent, in the average annual rate for the decade, the net excess of the decennial rate applicable to the foreign-bom white population over 10 times the average annual rate at the beginning of the decade would be 2 per cent. (Increase due to advancing age, 8.5 per cent. Decrease dx:e to general reduction in rate, 6 per cent. 108.5 P^^ ^^"^ reduced by 6 per cent — that is, 1.085 X 0.94 — equals 102 per cent.) 202 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. immigrants arriving during the decade was added to the estimated num- ber of survivors among the foreign-bom whites enumerated at the begin- ning of the decade. The result represented the estimated number of foreign-bom whites who would have been present in the country had there been no emigration during the decade, and the difference between this number and the number actually enumerated represented the reduction due to emigration — in other words, the number of surviving white emigrants. It was assumed that the emigration was uniform throughout the decade, and that therefore the average length of time elapsing be- tween emigration and the end of the decade was five years. Accord- ingly the normal annual death rate for the foreign-bom white population, expressed as a percentage, was multiplied by 5 and the product was sub- tracted from 100 per cent, leaving a percentage representing the propor- tion which the number of surxdvors at the end of the decade formed of the total number emigrating during the decade, and this percentage was divided into the estimated number of surviving emigrants. (The divnsor used for the decades prior to 1900 was 0.9, and for 1900-19 10, 0.909.)^ NET IMMIGRATION AND ITS EFFECT ON POPULATION INCREASE, 191O-1920. The estimate of the net white immigration between April 15, 19 10, and December 31, 19 19, was made in the following manner: From the total number of white immigrants (5,153,489) who arrived in the United States during the period from July i, 19 10, to June 30, 19 19, there was subtracted the estimated number of white emigrants (2, 02 3, 000) who departed during the same period, leaving approximately 3,130,000 as the excess of white immigration over white emigration during the 9-year period in question. The number of white emigrants was estimated by adding to the number of white alien emigrants, as shown by the immi- gration reports, the estimated numbers of native and naturalized emi- grants. The numbers of such emigrants who departed prior to July i, 1917, are not given in the reports of the Bureau of Immigration; but the excess of departures over arrivals of citizens during the period from July i , 1 9 10, to June 30, 191 7, has been assumed to represent the number of citizens who emigrated during that period. The immigration reports do not show, by months, the arrivals and de- partures of citizens nor the arrivals and departures of aliens classified according to race. Accordingly, the net immigration during the periods from April 15 to June 30, 1910, and from July i to December 31, 1919, was estimated as follows: For the period from April 15 to June 30, 1 9 10, one-half the total excess of immigrants over alien emigrants during ' According to the reports of the Bureau of Immigration, the average annual alien emigration during the 7 years ended June 30, 1914 — the only nonnal years for which emigration figures are available — was 281,967. If this average be accepted as fairly representative of the decade iqoo-1910, it would indicate a total alien emigration (all races) of approximately 2,820,000. The estimate made by the method described above gives 3,058,000 as the number of white emigrants, both naturalized citizens and aliens. ESTIMATION OF NET IMMIGRATION. 203 April was added to the corresponding excess during May and June. This gave a total of 258,962. (The excess of citizen departures over citizen arrivals was disregarded, since, for so short a period, it might not supply a trustworthy approximation of the actual number of citizen emigrants.) For the 6-months period from July i to December 31, 1919, there was a slight excess, 3,329, of alien emigrants over immi- grants. The number of citizen emigrants during this 6-months period was estimated at 31,000, approximately one-half of the total number of such emigrants during the fiscal year ended June 30, 1920. The net white immigration from April 15, 19 10, to December 31, 19 19, thus estimated, was 3,355,000, or in round fifties of thousands, 3,350,000 (3,130,000-1-259,000-3,000-31,000 = 3,355,000). The net immigration of all races was estimated by adding to the net white immigration the difference between the total nonwhite immigra- tion and the total nonwhite alien emigration. (Beginning with July, 1907, the reports of the Bureau of Immigration show emigration by race or people.) In estimating the effect of immigration on population increase during preceding decades it has been assumed that the net immigration was distributed uniformly throughout the decade, so that the average length of time elapsing between arrival in this country and the close of the dec- ade would be five years, and the rate representing the natural increase in the families of the immigrants during that time, expressed as a decen- nial rate, would be equal to one-half the decennial rate applicable to the population present in the United States at the beginning of the decade. Such an assumption is not justified, however, in the case of the decade 19 10-1920, inasmuch as about three-fourths of the immigrants who came to the United States betw^een April 15, 1910, and January i, 1920, arrived prior to July i, 1914. Accordingly, the natural increase in the net white immigration of 3,350,000 was roughly estimated at 250,000, or a trifle more than two-thirds the natural increase which would have taken place if the entire 3,350,000 persons had been present in the United States at the beginning of the decade; and for the net immigration of all races, estimated at 3,470,000, the natural increase was roughly estimated at 260,000, or 10,000 more than that for the net white immigration. Thus the white population resulting in 1920 from immigration between 1910 and 1920 was approximately 3,600,000; and the population of all races resulting in 1920 from immigration during the decade was approxi- mately 3,730,000. In calculating the rate of natural increase in the population of all races, the net immigration plus its estimated natural increase was sub- tracted from the total population increase and the remainder (represent- ing the increase which would have taken place if there had been no immigration nor emigration) was divided by the number of persons of all races enumerated in 19 10; and a similar method was employed in calculating the rate of natural increase in the white population. 204 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. NET WHITE IMMIGRATION IN RELATION TO INCREASE IN FOREIGN-BORN WHITE population: 1 9 10-1920. The estimate of the net white immigration to this country between the Thirteenth and Fourteenth Census dates, 3,350,000 (originally made for the purpose of determining the effect of immigration on the total white population, not on the foreign-bom white population alone), by including emigration of native citizens, understates somewhat the net addition to the foreign-bom white population resulting from excess of immigration over emigration. On the other hand, the emigration figures as given in the reports of the Bureau of Immigration may be somewhat incomplete, for the reason that during the war certain naturalized foreign whites may have left the country to escape compulsory military servnce, naturally departing in such a manner as to leave no actual record of their going. Moreover, citizens of enemy countries may have left in order to take part in the war under the flags of their native countries. In view of the impossibility of evaluating these uncertain factors, it is reasonable to assume that the possible understatement of alien emigration in the official records is offset by the inclusion of native emigrants in the estimate. NET immigration, ALL RACES, AND NET WHITE IMMIGRATION: 1820-192O. The statement below shows the estimated net immigration of all races and the estimated net white immigration for the decades from 1 820 to 1 920. As previously explained, the total immigration of all races and the total white immigration were assumed to represent the net immigration of all races and the net white immigration, respectively, for the decades prior to 1870; for the decades from 1870 to 19 10 the net immigration of all races was estimated by deducting the estimated white emigration (as- sumed to represent the total emigration) from the total immigration, and the net white immigration was estimated by deducting the esti- mated white emigration from the white immigration; and for the decade 1 9 10- 1 920 the estimates were made in the manner described under the head "Net immigration and its effect on population increase, 1910-1920." 1820-1830. 1830-1840. 1840-1850. 1850-1860. 1860-1870. 1870-1880. J880-1890. 1890-1900. 1900-1910. 1910-1930. Net immiKration, all races. 137.000 558,000 I, 599,000 I, 663,000 1, 356, 000 1. 530, 000 4, 373,000 3, 339,000 5, 558, 000 3, 467, 000 Net TPhite immigrat^pn. 137,000 558, 000 1. 599. 000 3, 631, 000 3, 391, 000 2. 395. 000 4, 193, 000 3. 143, oco 5, 365. 000 3. 355. 000 > Adjusted to correspond to census dates. Appendix D. FERTILITY OF NATIVE WHITES. By dividing the number of native white children under lo years of age, excluding those of foreign parentage and one-half those of mixed par- entage, enumerated in a given division or state, by the average number of native white persons in the same division or state during the decade (that is, a simple average of the numbers enumerated at the beginning and end of the decade), roughly comparable rates can be established for the native white element for the decade 19 lo to 1920. These rates prove to be as follows for the various divisions: Per cent. New England 13.6 Middle Atlantic 15.5 East North Central 18.8 West North Central 20. 7 South Atlantic 26.3 East South Central 26.7 West South Central 26.3 Mountain 24.1 Pacific 17.2 Average, United States 20. 3 The foregoing percentages do not represent birth rates, since they refer to the numbers of children bom between the Thirteenth and Four- teenth Census dates and surviving on the latter date. The total numbers born would, therefore, represent somewhat higher birth rates. Neither do they represent rates of increase, since deaths of persons bom prior to the Thirteenth Census date are not taken into account. As might be expected from the knowm trend of increase, the New England states showed the smallest proportion of children bom to native whites, while the southern divisions showed the largest proportions, a fact also widely recognized, since the native white stock has continued to increase at a relatively rapid rate in the South, this great area as yet not having been invaded to any degree by the foreign element. Considered by states, the northern New England states, Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont, show proportions of 17, 14, and 17 per cent, while for each of the three lower states, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut, the proportion is distinctly smaller, 13 per cent. In general, the proportions for the agricultural states, even in New England, are higher than those for the distinctly industrial states. For example, the proportion for New York is the same as that for Massachusetts and Connecticut, namely, 13 per cent, while Ohio shows 19 per cent, 205 206 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Wyoming 24 percent, and California 16 per cent. Some light is tliro\vTi upon the reduced proportions sho\\Ti by the industrial states, in which the numbers of native whites of foreign or mixed parentage are relati\ely large, by the fact that the proportion of such persons who laarry is dis- tinctly lower than the corresponding proportion for native whites of native parentage. Appendix E. CONSTRUCTION OF TABLES 62, 63, AND 64. The number of persons engaged in agriculture and the value of agri- cultural products, as shouTi in Table 62, were used in the compilation of the corresponding percentages in Table 63. The number of persons engaged in manufactures and production of minerals, and the value added by manufacture plus value of products of mineral industries, as shown in Table 62, were obtained by appropriate combinations of the items on which were based the percentages in Table 63. URBAN POPULATION. The urban population for 1920 and 19 10 was taken from the census reports. The urban population for 1850 was estimated in the following manner : All towns having 2,500 inhabitants or more in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island were treated as urban, in accordance with the present practice. Because of this practice the urban popula- tion of these three states in 1850 was overestimated to an extent some- what greater than that to which it was overstated by the recent census figures, for the reason that in 1850 the population actually rural in the to^\^lS having 2,500 inhabitants or more formed a considerably larger proportion of the total population than was the case in 19 10 or 1920. It seems logical, however, to apply the same rule for 1850 as for 19 10 and 1920. All pla.ces which in the 1850 report were shown separately from the townships or other minor civil divisions in which they were located and which in that year had 2,500 inhabitants or more were treated as urban, regardless of whether they were or were not incorporated. Probably nearly all such places were incorporated; and even if they were not, they were urban in character. In most cases, however, the 1850 report did not show the smaller cities and villages separately from the minor civil divisions in which they were located. In each such case the place was assumed to have had a separate existence as an urban community in 1850 if shown sepa- rately in 1870 and if, from a comparison of the 1870 and 1920 popula- tion figures, it appeared that the population in 1850 was 2,500 or more. The proportion which the urban population formed of the total for the minor civil division was almost invariably larger in 1920 than in 1870, 207 208 INCREASE OF POPULATION- 1910-1920. and it was assumed that the increase in the proportion between 1850 and 1870 was two-fifths as large as the increase between 1870 and 1920. For example, if the urban population formed 50 per cent of the total in 1870 and 60 per cent in 1920, it was assumed to have been 46 per cent in 1850. In a few cases, where it appeared that extensive additions of terri- tory had been made to the urban area since 1870, the proportion was assumed to have been the same in 1850 as in 1870. For a very few places no separate figures for 1870 were given, and accordingly it was necessary to project the proportion through 1880. In cases where an entire minor civil division — such as Watervliet town, Albany County, N. Y. — has been incorporated since 1850, its total population in that year, if 2,500 or more, was treated as urban. Where the name of a place had disappeared since 1850, but where it was obvious that the place had been annexed to some city — for example, Williamsburgh, Kings County (Brooklyn), N. Y.— the population in 1850, if 2,500 or more, was treated as urban. A large part of the population of Philadelphia County, Pa., in 1850 was enumerated in territory outside the city of Philadelphia. Between 1850 and i860, however, the city limits were extended to include the entire county. Accordingly the population of every minor civil divi- sion in the county in 1850 which had 2,500 inhabitants or more in that year was treated as urban. Population of cities of 100,000 and over and their adjacent territory. — The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within a distance of approximately 10 miles beyond the boundaries of the central city. In cases where the city boundaries were extended between 19 10 and 1920, the boundaries of the district as a whole were correspondingly extended. Accordingly the 19 10 population shown for a given district in the census report for 1920 is not in all cases the same as the population shoAvn for that district in the 19 10 report, since the figures in the 1920 report relate to the area as constituted in 1920. The 1910 figures used as a basis for the percentages in Table 63 are taken from the 19 10 report and of course relate to the areas as constituted in that year. The total for 1920 (36,886,961) represents the population of 58 districts comprising 68 cities of 100,000 or more and their adjacent territory, and the total for 1910 (27,020,818) represents the population of 44 districts comprising 50 cities of 100,000 and over and their adjacent territory. The 1920 distribution by states for those districts which lie in two or more states was made from the data on pages C5 to 71 and 73 to 75, Volume I, Fourteenth Census Reports. The 1910 population figures for the various minor civil divisions comprised in the districts as constituted CONSTRUCTION OF TABLES 62, 63, AND 64. 209 in ig20 were readily available, but no such figures were readily available for the districts as consHhited in igio. Accordingly, the 1910 distribu- tion by states for each district lying in two or more states was made on the assumption that the proportions in the several states were the same for the 1910 population of the area as constituted in 1910 as for the 1910 population of the area as constituted in 1920. VALUE OF PRODUCTS. Agricultural products. — For 19 19 and 1909 the total value of agricultural products was obtained by adding together the value of all crops, the value of all live-stock products (dairy products, eggs and chickens, wool and mohair, and honey and wax), and the value of domestic animals sold or slaughtered on farms. The total thus does not include forest products of farms nor products of greenhouses and other floral products. A con- siderable but indeterminable amount of duplication results from the feed- ing of crops to live stock, and some duplication also arises from the sale of domestic animals by one farmer to another and the subsequent resale or slaughter of such animals by the purchaser during the census year. The value of agricultural products for 1 849-1 850 (12 months ended May 31, 1850) was determined by calculating average unit values from Tables CLXXXVI and CXC, pages 174 and 176, Compendium of the Seventh Census, and applying these values to the amounts of those agricultural products which were reported in quantity units. The total for each state was then ascertained by adding together the various items in Table CLXXXV, beginning with "Value of animals slaughtered," page 171, but omitting "Home-made manufactures." There are also included estimates for poultry, milk, and eggs, for which no reports were made in 1850. The poultry estimate was made by distributing the $13,000,000 estimate for the United States given in Table CXC among the states on the basis of the distribution in 1840. The $5,000,000 estimate for eggs made in Table CXC was distributed among the states on the assumption that the value of the egg product in each state was five- thirteenths as great as the value of the poultry product. The $7,000,000 estimate for milk made in Table CXC, which was equal to approximately one-eighth the combined value of butter and cheese, was distributed among the states on the assumption that for each state the value of milk was equal to one-eighth the combined value of butter and cheese. Follo^ving are the various items which made up the 1 850 total : Crops — Barley, buckwheat, cane sugar, clover seed, cotton, flax, flaxseed, grass seed (other than clover), hay, hemp, hops, Indian com, maple sugar, market- garden products, molasses, oats, orchard products, peas and beans, potatoes (Irish), potatoes (sweet), rice, rye, tobacco, wheat, wine. 107°— 22 14 210 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Other products — Animals slaughtered, beeswax and honey, butter, cheese, eggs, milk, poultry, silk cocoons, wool. As the net result of various exclusions, adjustments, and corrections made in order to bring the figures into harmony with those for recent censuses, the amount used as representing the total value of agricultural products in 1850, $974,387,000, is less by about $325,000,000 than the total given in Table CXC of the Compendium for 1850. The most impor- tant exclusions and adjustments were the following: (i) The exclusions of the items "Live stock, over i year old — annual product, $175,000,000," and "Cattle, sheep, and pigs, under i year old — $50,000,000." Such items are not now included as part of the total annual agricultural product. (2) The substitution of $111,703,142 as the value of animals slaugh- tered, w^hich is given in Table CLXXXVI and represents the sum of the several state items, for the item "Animals slaughtered, $55,000,000," in Table CXC. (3) The exclusion of "Residuum of crops, not consumed by stock, com fodder, cottonseed, straw, rice flour, and manure (Patent Reports), $100,000,000." No reliable apportionment of these items among the states could be made. Value added by maniijaciure. — The items under this head for 19 19 and 1909 were taken from the manufactures reports for those years. For the year ended May 31, 1850 (the 12-month period covered by the report for 1850), the figures were calculated from the Digest of the Statistics of Manufactures. The state totals for cost of raw materials and value of products (Table 4 of the Digest) were reduced by subtracting from them the sums of the corresponding items lor the following industries (Digest Tables i and 2) : Blacksmiths, bleachers and dyers, carpenters and builders, chrome mining, coal mining, dyers, fisheries, flour and grist mills, gold mining, iron mining, lumber (sawing and planing) , millstones, millstones (burr), slate quarries, stone and marble quarries, timber hewers, timber and wood, wood cutting and cording. (The "flour and grist mills" items doubtless included the output of some mills which would now be treated as merchant mills and included as manufacturing estab- lishments, but probably the greater part of the output of this group of mills in 1 849-1 850 represented custom mills, which are not now treated as manufacturing establishments.) The revised state totals for cost of raw materials were subtracted from the corresponding totals for value of products in order to obtain the value added by manufacture. This, rather than the value of products, has been used in comparison with the value of agricultural products and the value of mineral products, for the reason that the cost of the raw materials represents a much greater part of the total value of products in the case CONSTRUCTION OF TABLES 62, 63, AND 64. 211 of manufacturing industries than in the case of agricultural or mineral industries. Mineral products. — The total value of mineral products was obtained by totalizing the following items in Tables i and 2 of the Digest of the Statistics of Manufactures for 1850: Chrome mining, coal mining, gold mining, iron mining, millstones, millstones (burr), slate quarries, stone and marble quarries. PERSONS ENGAGED IN INDUSTRIES. Agriculture. — The numbers of persons engaged in agriculture in 1920 and 1910 were obtained from the occupations reports. The number for each state was calculated by deducting the following items from the total for the group "Agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry": Farmers, turpentine farms; farm foremen, turpentine farms; farm laborers, turpentine farms; florists; greenhouse laborers; landscape gardeners; fishermen and oystermen; foresters, forest rangers, and timber cruisers; foremen and overseers, log and timber camps; inspectors, scalers, and surveyors; managers and officials, log and timber camps; owners and proprietors, log and timber camps; teamsters and haulers, log and timber camps; other lumbermen, raftsmen, and woodchoppers. The 1850 occupations data are not comparable with those for 19 10 and 1920, as the earlier figures relate only to males 15 years of age and over and do not include slaves. Manufactures. — The numbers of persons engaged in manufactures in 1 9 19 and 1909 were taken from the manufactures reports for those years. Data for 1 849-1 850 are given in the report for that year, but have not been used because of the lack of corresponding figures for agri- culture. Production of minerals. — The numbers of persons engaged in the pro- duction of minerals in 19 19 and 1909 were taken from the mines and quarries reports. As in the case of manufactures, data are available for 1 849-1850, but have not been used because of the lack of corresponding figures for agriculture. (The number of persons engaged in the produc- tion of minerals in 1909 was taken from Table 8, Vol. XI, Thirteenth Census Reports. The United States total was reduced by deducting 974, representing certain persons who could not be distributed by states.) COMPUTATION OF PERCENTAGES IN TABLE 64. In compiling this table, two sets of percentages, one for increases and one for decreases, have been computed for each set of items for which some divisions or states showed increases and others showed decreases during the decade 1 910-1920. It would be impossible, of course, to compute, from a decrease in a given division or state and an 212 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. increase in the United States as a whole, a percentage representing the proportion which the decrease in the giv^en division or state formed of the increase in the United States. Moreover, it would have been bad practice to base the percentages for those divisions and states which showed increases on the net increase for the United States as a whole, since if this had been done the sum of the percentages of increase would have been more than loo. Accordingly, the division percentages of increase and decrease are based, respectively, on the total increase in those divisions in which increases took place and the total decrease in those divisions in which decreases took place; and the state percentages of increase and decrease are based, respectively, on the total increase in those states in which increases occurred and the total decrease in those states in which de- creases occurred. Thus the percentages of increase and the percentages of decrease total separatel}' to approximately loo. A percentage for a given division does not, however, necessarily represent the sum of the percentages for the states composing that division, since in some cases certain states mthin a division show increases and others show decreases, so that the net increase or decrease for the division does not represent the sum of the increases for those states which showed increases, or of the decreases for those states which showed decreases. IMoreover, the United States totals on which the division percentages are based are not the same as those on which the state percentages are based, so that, even if all the states in a division show increases or all show decreases, the sum of the state percentages is not necessarily the same as the division percentage, which has been computed on a different base. To illustrate: Suppose that in half the states the number of persons engaged in agri- culture increased, the aggregate increase being 1,000,000, and that in the remaining states there were decreases aggregating 2,000,000. The state percentages for increase and decrease would, therefore, be computed on the bases of 1,000,000 and 2,000,000, respectively. Suppose, further, that the states which showed increases were so grouped that in, say, five divisions the increases were exactly offset by decreases, while in the re- maining four divisions there would be aggregate decreases of 1,000,000 with no increases. In this event the division percentages for decrease would be based on i ,000,000 and would refer to only four of the divisions, while for the remaining five there would be no percentages for either increase or decrease. Appendix F, COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE NUMBERS OF CHILDREN PER NATIVE AND FOREIGN WHITE MOTHER. The average numbers of children per native and foreign white mother in the birth-registration area, calculated for those mothers who gave birth to children in 1919, are as follows: Average number of children ever bom: Per native white mother 3.2 Per foreign white mother 4. o Average number of surviving children: Per native white mother 2.8 Per foreign white mother 3. 4 The data employed in the calculation of these averages have been taken from the Census Bureau's annual report, Birth Statistics, 19 19. The figures relate to the birth-registration area, which in that year com- prised 22 states — Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, Wis- consin, Minnesota, Kansas, Utah, Washington, Oregon, California, Mary- land, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Kentucky — and the District of Columbia, with nearly three-fifths of the total population of the United States. AVERAGE NUMBER OF CHILDREN EVER BORN PER NATIVE WHITE MOTHER. Total births to native white mothers in 1919 912 , 792 Deduct number in connection with which no data as to total num- ber of children ever bom were given 47 , 041 Number of births in connection with which total number of chil- dren ever bom was stated 865 ,751 Divide by 1.0122 to account for plural births ' 855, 316 Total number of children ever bom to these mothers 2 , 722 , 296 Average number of children ever bom per native white mother (2,722,296-^855,316) 3.2 AVERAGE NUMBER OF SURVIVING CHILDREN PER NATIVE WHITE MOTHER. Total births to native white mothers in 1919 912 , 792 Deduct number in connection with which no data as to total num- ber of children now living ^ were given 70, 707 Number of births in connection with which total number of chil- dren now living was stated 842 , 085 Divide by 1.0122 to account for plural births ' 831,935 Total number of children ever bom to these mothers and now living^ 2,363,396 Average number of surviving children per native white mother (2 -363. 396-^83 1, 93 5) 2.8 ■ In 1919 plural births averaged 12.2 cases per 1,000 mothers in the registration area, for all races; not computed by race and nativity. As exceedingly few c;ises are of triplets, quadruplets, etc., tliere is only a very slight departure from accuracy in the assumption that the number of children bom is 1.0122 times the number of mothers. ^ The phrase "now living" refers to the time at which the last birth occiured. 213 214 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. AVERAGE NUMBER OF CHILDREN EVER BORN PER FOREIGN WHITE MOTHER. Total births to foreign wliite motliers in iqiq 354.95*^ Deduct number in connection with which no data as to total number of children ever born were given 47.4i<> Number of births in connection with which total number of chil- dren ever bom was stated 307 , 540 ■ Divide by 1.0122 to account for plural births ' 303.833 Total number of children ever born to these mothers 1,226,471 Average number of children ever bom per foreign white mother (1,226,471-^-303,833) 4-0 AVERAGE NUMBER OF SURVIVING CHILDREN PER FOREIGN WHITE MOTHER. Total births to foreign white mothers in 1919 354. 95^ Deduct number in connection with which no data as to total number of children now living- were given 56,323 Number of births in connection with which total number of chil- dren now living was stated 298 , 633 Divide by 1.0122 to account for plural births ' 295,031 Total number of children ever bom to these mothers and now living 2 1 , 008 , 689 Average number of surviving children per foreign white mother (1,008,689-^-295,031) 3-4 1 In 1919 plural births averaged 12.2 cases per 1,000 mothers in the registration area, for all races; not computed by race and nativity. As exceedingly few cases are of triplets, quadruplets, etc., there is only a very slight departure from accuracy in the assumption that the number of children bom is 1.0122 times the number of mothers. 2 The Dhrase "now living" refers to the time at which the last birth occurred. DETAILED TABLES 215 216 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 50.- -NUMBER AND AgGHEGATE POPULATION OF CoUNTIES OR EQUIVALENT Divisions and States: DIVISION AND STATE. 1920 Per cent Counties in which popu- lation decreased dur- popula- tion of de- Total ing decade 1910-1920. Total population. number of creasing counties counties. Number. Aggregate population. formed of total popula- tion. 105,710,620 3,005 1,086 18,527,979 17.5 7,400,909 67 22 553,909 7.5 22,261,144 150 56 1,988,767 8.9 21,475,543 436 224 4,660,425 21.7 12,544,249 619 242 3, 643, 191 29.0 13,990,272 558 134 1,837,007 13.1 8,893,307 364 163 3, 015. 458 33.9 10, 242, 224 469 162 2,185,006 21.3 3,336,101 269 48 327,413 9.8 5, 566, 871 133 35 316, 803 5.7 768,014 10 5 135,619 17.7 443,083 10 5 167, 083 37.7 352,428 14 8 192,436 54.6 3,852,356 14 3 33,839 0.9 604,397 5 1 24,932 4.1 1,380,631 10,385,227 8 62 32 1,336,299 12.9 3,155,900 21 3 77,250 2.4 8,720,017 67 21 575,218 6.6 5,759,394 88 39 967,760 16.8 2,930,390 92 64 1,238,271 42.3 6,485.280 102 56 1,163,8,H1 17.9 3,668,412 83 48 962,357 26.2 2,632,067 71 17 328, 156 12.5 2, .387, 125 86 9 16S, 826 7.1 2, 404, 021 99 27 514, 739 21.4 3, 404, 055 1115 89 1,565,036 46.0 646, 872 53 10 118,218 18.3 636,547 68 17 116,010 18.2 1,296,372 93 33 392,441 30.3 1,769,257 105 57 767,921 43.4 223,003 3 2 74,764 33.5 1,449,661 324 12 257,995 17.8 4.37,571 2, ,309, 187 1 •120 36 457, 585 19.8 1,463,701 55 15 231,263 15.8 2,559,123 100 11 107. 590 4.2 1,683,724 46 1 21.710 1.3 2,895,832 1,55 45 505,455 17.5 968,470 54 12 180.639 ia7 2,416,630 120 01 918,339 38.0 2, 337, 885 95 37 638, 1,53 27.3 2,348,174 67 21 571,961 24.4 1,790,618 82 44 887,005 49.5 1,7.52,204 75 25 438,500 25.0 1,798,509 64 27 462, 484 25.7 2,028,283 77 26 4.39, 5N0 21.7 4,663,228 253 84 M4,442 18.1 548, 8,89 51 4 37,200 6.8 431,866 44 1 18,092 4.2 194, 402 '22 3 18, 973 9.8 939, 629 63 15 87, 851 9.3 360, 3,50 29 12 119, 167 33.1 334. 162 449, 396 14 29 1 9,871 2.2 77,407 17 12 36,259 46.8 1,3.56,621 39 13 153.994 11.4 7s;{, 3N9 36 s 59, 562 7.6 3,426,861 58 14 103,247 3.0 United States.., Geographic division.s: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central. West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central . West South Central . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine , New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts , Rhmle Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York , New Jersey , Pennsylvania , East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois , Michigan Wisconsin , We.st North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska , Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware , Maryland District of Columbia Virginia West Virginia North CaroUna South Carolina , Georgia Florida East South Central : Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Missis.sippi We.st South Central: Arkansas Louisiana , Oklahoma , Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming , Colorado , New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Wa.sliington , Oregon , California • Inchides independent city of St. Louis. ' Includes independent city of Baltimore. • Includes 20 independent citlc-s. * Includes lSiiidoi)endciit cities. DETAILED TABLES. 217 Divisions Whose Population Decreased During Preceding Decade, by 1920, 1900, 1880, and 1860. 1000 DIVISION AND STATE. Total population. Total number of counties. Counties in which popu- lation decreased dur- ing decade 1890-1900. Per cent which popula- tion of de- creasing Number. Aggregate population. counties formed of total popula- tion. United States 75,994.575 2,836 368 5.823,383 7.7 Geographic divisions: New England 5,592,017 15, 454, 678 15,9,S,5,581 10, 347, 423 10,443,480 7, .547, 757 6,532,290 1,674,6.57 2,416,692 67 149 435 594 .520 350 400 189 126 15 39 62 127 42 22 20 27 14 331,080 1,. 321, 320 1,371,077 1,528,861 .549, 549 389,089 ia3, 155 64,543 81,709 5.9 8.5 East North Central 8.6 West North Central 14.8 South Atlantic 5.3 East South Central 5.2 West South Central 2.8 Mountain 3.9 Pacific 3.5 New England: Maine 694,466 411,588 343,641 2,805,346 428,556 908,420 7, 268, 894 1,883,669 6,302,115 4,157,545 2. 516, 462 4.821,550 2,420,982 2,069,042 1,751,394 2,231.853 3,106,665 319,146 401,570 1,066,300 1,470,495 184,735 1,188,044 278. 718 1, 854. 1.S4 958,800 1,893,810 1,340,316 2,216,331 528, 542 2,147.174 2,020,616 1,828,697 1,551,270 1,311,564 1,381,625 6 790,391 3,048,710 243,329 161,772 92,531 539,700 195, 310 122,931 276,749 42,335 518, 103 413,536 1,485,053 16 10 14 14 5 8 61 21 67 88 92 102 83 70 82 99 1115 39 64 90 105 3 '24 1 M18 55 97 40 1.37 45 119 96 66 75 75 59 6 23 243 «24 21 7 14 57 19 13 27 14 36 33 57 4 2 6 2 111.501 36,421 127,803 30,832 16.1 New Hampshire 8.8 Vermont 37.2 Massachusetts 1.1 Connecticut 1 22 1 16 22 14 6 19 1 24,523 845,285 34,507 441,528 566,030 229,666 99.156 453,506 22,719 2.7 Middle Atlantic: New York 11.6 New Jersey. 1.8 Pennsylvania 7.0 East North Central: Ohio 13.6 Indiana 9.1 Illinois 2.1 Michigan 18.7 Wisconsin. . 1.1 West North Central: Iowa 1 20 54,610 393,002 2.4 Jlissouri 12.7 North Dakota South Dakota 16 35 55 77,037 492.529 511,683 19.2 Nebraska 46.2 34.8 South Atlantic: Maryland 3 71,295 6.0 18 195,710 10.6 North Carolina 9 145, 881 7.7 Georgia 9 3 10 8 1 3 4 6 99,816 36,847 160, 466 180,395 13,206 35,022 66,899 80,602 4.5 Florida 7.0 East South Central: Kentucky 7.5 Tennessee 8.9 Alabama ... . 0.7 2.3 5.1 Louisiana 5.8 Texas 10 35,654 1.2 Idaho 3 1 15 1 8,733 369 37,975 3,158 5.4 Wyoming 0.4 Colorado 7.0 New Mexico 1.6 Utah Nevada 7 2 1 11 14,308 6.163 4,151 74,395 33.0 Pacific: Washington 1.2 1.0 Cahfomia 5.0 ^ Includes population of Indian Territory (392,060). ' Exclusive of Indian reservations. ' Includes Yellowstone National Park. 218 Table 50.- INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. -Number and Aggregate Population of Counties or Equivalent Divisions and States: 1920, 1880 DIVISION AND STATE. Total population. Total number of counties. Counties in which popu- lation decreased dur- ing decade 1870-1880. Percent which popula- tion of de- creasing Number. Aggregate population. counties formed of total popula- tion. 50, 155, 783 2,592 82 1,711,453 3.4 Geographic divisions: 4, 010, 529 10, 496, 878 11,206,668 6, 157, 443 7, 597, 197 5,585,151 3,334,220 653, 119 1,114,578 67 148 424 .531 495 351 357 119 100 14 9 26 10 4 5 1 10 3 458,788 351,488 562,423 172,899 34,889 85,792 1,739 30,709 12, 726 11.4 Middle Atlantic 3.3 East North Central 5.0 West North Central 2.8 0.5 1.5 West South Central 0.1 4.7 Pacific 1.1 New England: 648,936 346, 991 332, 286 1,783,085 276, 531 622,700 5, 082, 871 1,131,116 4,282,891 3,198,062 1,978,301 3,077,871 1,636,937 1,315,497 780, 773 1,624,615 2,168,380 36,909 98,268 452, 402 996,096 146,608 934,943 177,624 1,512,565 618,457 1,399,750 995, 577 1,542,180 269, 493 1,648,690 1, .542, 3.59 1,262,505 1,131,597 802, 525 939,946 16 10 14 14 5 8 60 21 67 88 92 102 > 79 63 78 99 2 115 21 45 69 104 3 <24 1 MIO 54 94 33 137 39 117 94 66 74 74 58 7 263,958 40.7 4 2 123,617 35,624 37.2 2.0 1 8 35,589 307, 818 5.7 Middle Atlantic: 6.1 1 1 4 9 1 11 2 5 1 43,670 20,074 67, 533 183,230 2,565 289,021 4,514 109,293 26,534 1.0 East North Central: Ohio 0.6 3.4 Illinois 6.0 0.2 22.0 West North Central: 0.6 6.7 Missouri 1.2 North Dakota South Dakota. . 1 203 0.2 1 32,355 3.2 South Atlantic: Maryland Virginia 1 10,292 0.7 3 24,597 1.6 Florida ... East South Central: Kentucky 2 1 2 12.499 7.269 66,024 0.8 Tennessee 0.5 Alabama 5.2 West South Central: Texas 1,591,749 39, 159 32,610 20,789 194,327 119,565 40,440 143, 963 62,266 75,116 174,768 864,694 225 11 13 7 31 12 7 23 15 25 23 52 1 1 2 1,739 2,537 3,683 0.1 6.5 Idaho 11.3 New Mexico 1 11,029 9.2 Utah 2 4 3,046 10,414 2.1 Nevada 16.7 Pacific: Washington . California 3 12.726 1.5 * Includes 1 unorganized county. » Includes independent city of St. Louis. » Dakota territory. * Includes indopendont city of Baltimore. ' Includes 11 ludopeudeut cities. DETAILED TABLES. 219 Divisions Whose Population Decreased During Precedino Decade, by 1900, 1880, and 1860— Continued. 1 1860 DIVISION AND STATE. Total population. Total miml)er of counties. Counties in which popu- lation decreased dur- ing decade 1850-1860. Percent which popula- tion of de- creasing Number. Aggregate population. counties formed of total popula- tion. United States 31,443,321 2,078 136 2,201,019 7.0 Geographic divisions: 3,135,283 7, 458, 985 6,926,884 2, 169, 832 5,364,703 4,020,991 1,747,667 174,923 444,053 67 146 403 349 459 305 236 31 82 13 9 17 326,670 229, 871 421, 8'<2 10.4 3. I 6.1 Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic 48 43 4 1 1 558, 363 613, 818 37, 176 9,849 3,390 10.4 15.3 2 1 East South Central West South Central Mountain 5.6 0.8 Pacific New England: Maine 628, 279 326, 073 315,098 1,231,066 174,620 460, 147 3,880,735 672,035 2,906,215 2,339,511 1,-350,428 1,711,951 749, 113 775, 881 172,023 674,913 1,182,012 \ 3 4, 837 28,841 107, 206 112,216 687,049 75,080 8 1,219,630 7 376,688 992,622 703,708 1, 057, 286 140, 424 1,155,684 1, 109, 801 964,201 791,305 435, 450 708, 002 16 10 14 14 5 8 60 21 65 88 92 102 63 58 64 97 113 1 3 7 2 36, 698 88, 735 190,740 10, 497 5.8 27.2 60.5 0.9 Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: 8 216, 818 5.6 New Jersey Pennsylvania 1 15 2 13,053 392,991 28, 891 0.4 16.8 2.1 East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota Nebraska 34 41 3 <22 1 6 98 50 86 30 132 37 109 84 52 60 55 48 Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia Virginia 15 2 5 4 21 1 17 14 6 6 155,058 28,448 43, 412 121,128 210,234 83 181,679 222,008 128, 783 81,348 12.7 7.6 4.4 17.2 19.9 0.1 15.7 20.0 13.4 10.3 West Virginia North CaroUna South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentuckv Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana 4 37, 176 5.3 Oklahoma Texas 604,215 133 Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado 8 34,277 93, 516 New Mexico 11 1 9,849 10.5 Arizona Utah 40,273 6,857 11,594 52, 465 379,994 17 3 19 19 44 Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California i 3,390 0.9 « Exclusive of 50 counties taken to form West Virginia between 1860 and 1870. Independent cities counted as parts of counties in which located. ' Fifty counties taken from Virginia to form West Virginia between 1860 and 1870. 8 Population for area organized in 1861 as Colorado territory but included in 1860 in territories of Kansas. Nebraska, New Mexico, and Ctah. 220 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 51. — Urban Population, Classified in Three Groups, According [The percentages of increase given in this table relate to the several group'! of cities as cormtiiuled in 19S0. increased by 24.9 per cent between 1910 and 1920, but in DIVISION AND ST.4TE. United States . . . Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central . West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central . West South Central . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Centr.^l: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia. Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana , Idaho Wyoming , Colorado New Mexico , Arizona , Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington , Oregon , California total territory urban in 1920. PLACES OF 100,000 OR MORE IN 1920. Num- ber of places. Population. 292 604 1586 322 1273 1 169 1 260 117 165 25 27 14 169 27 30 121 314 148 93 171 93 82 59 81 63 12 14 31 62 4 18 1 39 35 55 32 59 30 51 47 39 32 41 38 63 119 17 20 8 26 12 15 17 2 35 23 107 54. 304, 603 5, 865, 073 16,672,595 13, 049, 272 4, 727, 372 4, 338, 792 1,994,207 2,970,829 1,214,980 3,471,483 299, 569 279, 761 109, 976 3,650,248 589. 180 936,339 8,589,844 2,474,936 5,607,815 3,677,136 1,482,855 4, 403, 1.53 2,241,560 1,244,568 1,0.51,593 875, 495 1,586,903 88,239 101, 872 405,306 617,964 120, 767 869, 422 437,571 673, 984 369, 007 490, 370 293, 987 727, 859 355,825 633,543 611,226 509,317 240,121 290,497 628, 163 .539, 480 1,512,689 172,011 119,037 57, 348 4.53, 2.'J9 64,960 117,527 215, .584 15,254 748, 735 391,019 2,331,729 H'te- 25.7 16.6 19.3 33.6 19.7 a3.9 19.2 41.9 24.4 39.8 13.1 9.1 10.7 15.5 11.8 29.7 18.7 24.2 18.1 35.9 27.9 24.0 66.2 21.6 20.6 24.0 14.0 29.1 33.7 2,-.. 2 21.2 24.4 31.0 32.2 35.8 42.4 40.1 22.2 27.8 52.9 25.5 28.5 12.9 25.8 18.8 59.0 52.1 23.6 41.9 31.9 14.4 24.5 60.2 23.0 14.1 20.8 22.2 51.1 Population. 27, 429, 326 2,203,306 10,549,599 6, 775, 993 2,131.833 1,769.625 694.390 952,332 374, 601 1,977,647 1,521,583 237,595 444,128 6,807,810 1,084,100 2,657,689 2,171,635 314.194 2,701,705 1,131.312 457, 147 615, 280 126, 468 1, 097, 307 191,601 101, 177 110,168 733.826 437.571 287,444 200. 616 234, 891 280, 693 178,806 387, 219 565,' i is" 256,491 118,110 419,749 258,288 1,299,610 Percent of in- crease. 24.9 15.5 17.6 36.9 20.0 33.0 1.5.8 38.6 22.4 37.0 12.9 ,5.9 32.7 18.9 16.3 15.1 38.1 34.5 23.4 95. 2 22.3 19.2 46.4 17.3 22.6 22.9 26.0 31.4 32.2 45.0 4.9 15.4 34.8 14.2 62.5 20.2 27.3 22.6 21.1 46.3 1 The total number of places in certain cla,s.ses for tho United States as a whole is loss than the sum of the numbers shown for the inilividual states or divisions, for the rea.son that each of three cities lies in two adjoining states and oiu; in two divisions. Each of these cities is counted in each state and ouch division. For full explanation, see note 1, Table 31, p. 50, Vol. 1, Fourteenth Census Koports. DETAILED TABLES. 221 TO Size of Cities, 1920, with Per Cent of Increase, 1910-1920. For example, the combined population of the 68 cities which had 100,000 inhabitants or more in 1920 1910 only 50 of these cities had 100,000 inhabitants or more.] DIVISION AND ST.\TE. United States. Geographic pmsiONS: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central. West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central. . West South Central. Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Jf assachusetts Rhode I.sland Coimecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia. Virginia West Virginia North CaroUna South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mount.un: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon CaliJomia places of 25,000 to 100,000 IN 1920. Num- ber. 219 Population. 10,340,788 1,699,018 2,3.53,654 2,681,461 733, 831 1,119,452 367, 926 607,225 176,623 601,598 127,041 106,763 1,028,383 167,406 269,425 755,097 718,899 879,658 535,822 5.59,351 700,310 583, 309 302,669 9.8,917 285,053 147, 472 25,202 54,948 122, 239 57,901 201,907 173, 862 156, 609 105,481 219,920 203,772 127,972 135,713 104,241 94,012 43,874 193,647 275, 692 41,611 73, 155 29, 053 32,804 150, 194 '45i,'404' Per cent of in- crease. 20.2 24.3 43.5 23.2 43.5 22.6 65.2 16.9 47.5 15.9 11.1 19.0 21.3 31.4 20.6 30.0 23.2 46.6 42.6 29.0 78.5 25.4 26.1 30.7 1.9 78.8 25.0 27.2 51.0 42.3 51.4 54.7 22.7 26.3 64.4 6.3 51.0 16.3 33.2 56.6 79.9 70.8 6.2 160.9 28.2 PLACES OF 2,.500 to 25,000 IN 1920. Num- ber. >2,500 246 541 1513 301 1242 1158 1243 110 147 22 25 14 142 22 21 147 100 294 1127 181 154 79 73 56 74 58 12 13 29 59 3 15 13.1 '64.2' 132 31 51 30 54 26 47 143 36 32 139 36 60 1109 16 20 8 23 12 14 15 2 30 22 95 Population. 16, 534, 489 1,962,749 3,769,342 3, .591, 818 1,861,708 1,449,715 931,891 1,411,272 663, 7.56 892, 238 172, .528 172,998 109,976 1,100,282 184, 179 222,786 1,026,937 671,937 2,070,468 969,679 609,310 1,001,138 526,939 4»1,752 337,396 463,974 342,124 88,239 76,670 158, 757 394,548 10,599 77,695 184,633 195, 145 333, 761 188,506 307,323 152,0.53 270,680 194,820 226,270 240, 121 196,4.85 197,070 34.5, 8:53 671,884 130,400 119,037 57, 343 123,613 64,960 .88, 474 64,670 1,5,254 178,792 132,731 580,715 Percent of in- crease. 23.0 14.7 21.0 21.6 18.1 28.3 2a 5 3.5.8 27.7 41.4 11.1 7.8 10.7 16.0 11.8 22.1 16.4 32.4 20.0 26.4 14.2 24.8 19.2 18.8 21.7 15.5 9.7 29.1 23.4 28.6 19.1 9.6 16.0 18.3 35.3 34.1 22.0 27.7 39.8 16.5 26.5 30.0 12.9 22.6 21.8 49.3 38.4 30.4 41.9 31.9 19.8 24.5 42.2 13.5 14.1 23.7 24.4 53.0 222 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 52. — Population* ix Cities Having 25,000 Inhabitants or More in 1920, States: 1920 DmaON AND STATE. United States. Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central.. "West North Central . South Atlantic East South Central.. West South Central. Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island , Connecticut , Middle Atlantic: New York , New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana lUinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia. Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolina Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West south Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California cities of 25,000 AND OVEB. 1920 37,770,114 3,902,324 12,9a3,2,T3 9, 457, 454 2, 865, 6&4 2,889,077 1,062,316 1,559,557 551,224 2,579,245 127,041 106,763 2,549,966 405,001 713, 553 7,562,907 1,802,999 3,537,347 2, 707, 457 873, 545 3,402,015 1,714,621 759,816 714, 197 411,521 1,244,779 2.-1, 202 246, 549 223, 416 110,168 791,727 437, 571 489, 351 173. 862 156,609 105, 481 420,536 203,772 362. 863 416, 406 283,047 1910 29,746,272 3,319,991 10,863,102 6,817,514 2,371,982 2,110,337 899,744 1,054,553 457,195 1,8.51,854 109, 621 96,068 2,212,358 362,329 539,615 6,354,006 1,485,380 3,023,716 1,937,855 625,839 2,732,354 906,317 615, 149 594,618 304,514 1,080,087 14,094 200,204 178,465 87,411 596,831 331,069 340, 175 114,838 101,224 8.5, 9-17 328,908 123,934 344,3.57 333,045 222,342 94,012 431,093 193, 647 840,805 41,611 329,646 29,0.V1 150,914 569, 943 258, 288 1,751,014 70, .599 367,090 107,665 509,199 39,165 Increase: 1910-1920. Number. Per cent. 8,023,842 288,539 11,1.34 118.. 3.57 475,233 213,251 1,163,370 582,333 2,040,151 2,639,940 493,682 778, 740 162, 572 505,004 94,029 727,391 17,420 10,695 337,608 42,672 173,938 1,208,901 317,619 513,631 769, 602 247,706 669, 661 808,304 144,667 119,579 107,007 164,692 11,108 46,345 44,951 22,757 194,896 106,502 149, 176 59,024 55,385 19,534 91,628 79,838 18,506 83, .361 60,705 23,413 64,003 8.5,982 331,606 2,446 41, 107 17,919 32,557 94,710 45,037 587,644 27.0 17.5 18.8 ,38.7 20.8 36.9 18.1 47.9 20.6 39.3 15.9 11.1 15.3 11.8 32.2 19.0 21.4 17.0 39.7 39.6 24.5 89.2 23.5 20.1 ;i.5.1 15.2 78.8 23.1 25.2 26.0 32.7 32.2 43.9 51. 4 54.7 22.7 27.9 64.4 .5.4 25.0 27.3 33.2 17.4 79.9 6.5.1 6.2 14.2 160.9 27.5 II'. 9 21. 1 50.6 ' A minus sign ( — ) denotes decrease. DETAILED TABLES. 223 AND Outside Such Cities, with Increase or Decrease, by Divisions and AND 1910. more in /.wo, and to those cities having under 25,000 inhabitants !rt /S^O, together with the rural territory itants or more in 1920 was greater than the combined population of the cities which had 25,000 inhab- 1910 and 1920.1 DIVISION AND STATE. United States. Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central . , West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central . . West South Central . Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central: Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia. Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South Carolmti Georgia Florida East Solith Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California cities under 25,000 and rural communities. 1920 67, 940, 506 498, 585 357, 891 018, 089 678, 585 101, 195 830,991 682,667 784,877 987, 626 640, 973 336, 320 352, 428 362,390 199,396 667,078 822. 320 352, 901 182, 670 051,937 0.56, 845 083, 265 953, 791 872, 251 672, 928 992, .500 1.59, 276 646, 872 611, 345 , 049, 823 , 545, 841 112, 835 657, 934 819, 836 289, 839 402, 514 578, 243 475,296 764, 698 0.-)3, 767 921, 479 065, 127 790,618 658, 192 367, 416 834,636 822,423 507, 278 431,866 194, 402 609,983 360, 350 305.109 298, 482 77,407 786,678 .525, 101 ,675,847 1910 62, 225, 994 3, 232, 690 8, 452, 790 11,433,107 9, 265, 939 10, 084, 558 7, 510, 157 7, 729, 981 2, 176, 322 2. 340, 450 632, 750 334,504 355, 956 1,154,0.58 180, 281 575, 141 2,759.608 1,051,787 4,641,395 2, 829, 266 2,075,a37 2, 906, 237 l,903,a56 1,718,711 1,481,090 1,920,257 2, 213, 248 577, 056 .569, 794 992, 010 1,512,484 114,911 698, 515 1,721,437 1,106,281 2,105,063 1,429,4.53 2, 280, 213 628, 685 1,945, ,548 1,851,744 1,91.5,7.51 1,797.114 1,503,850 1,289,298 1,549.490 3, 387, 343 336, 888 325,594 145, 965 510, 485 327, 301 193, 220 254,994 81,875 666, 757 4.59. 514 1,214,179 Increase or decrease: ' 1010-1920. Number. 5, 714, 512 Per cent. 265, 895 905,101 584, 982 412,646 1,016,637 320,834 952,686 008, 555 647, 176 8,223 1,816 -3, 528 148, 332 19, 115 91, 937 62, 712 301.114 .541, 275 222, 671 -18,192 177,028 49, 935 1.53, .540 191,838 72,243 -53, 972 69, 816 41,551 .57, 813 33, 357 -2,076 -40,581 98,399 183,558 297, 451 148, 790 19.5,083 136,013 108, 219 69, 735 149, 376 -6,496 1.54, 342 78, 118 285, 146 435,080 170.390 106, 272 48,437 99,498 33,049 111,889 43,488 -4,468 119,921 65.587 461,668 9.2 8.2 10.7 5.1 4.5 10.1 4.3 12.3 28.0 27.7 1.3 0.5 -1.0 12.9 10.6 16.0 2.3 28.6 11.7 7.9 -0.9 6.1 2.6 8.9 13.0 3.8 -2.4 12.1 7.3 .5.8 2.2 -1.8 -5.8 5.7 16.6 14.1 10.4 8.6 21.6 5.6 3.8 7.8 -0.4 10.3 6.1 18.4 12.8 .50.6 32.6 33.2 19.5 10.1 57.9 17.1 —5.5 18.0 14.3 38.0 224 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 53. — Increase ix PopuLATioNf, by Color, Nativity, [A minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.! DrVTSION AND STATE. United States... Geographic divisions: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central.. West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central.. West South Central.. Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East North Central Ohio Indiana Illinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Central: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia Virginia AVest Virginia North Carolina South Carohna Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas I>ouisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain : Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon Caliiornia. total increase. Number. 13, 738, 354 848,228 2, 945, 252 3, 224, 922 906, 328 1, 795, 377 483,406 1, 457, 690 702,584 1, 374, 567 25,643 12, 511 —3, 528 485,940 61, 787 265, 875 ,271,613 618, 733 ,054,906 992, 273 229, 514 846,689 858, 239 298,207 311,417 179, 250 110, 720 69, 816 52, 659 104, 158 78,308 20,681 154, 315 106,502 217, 575 242, 582 352, 836 168, 324 286,711 215, 851 126,725 153,096 210, 081 -6,496 177, 755 142, 121 371, 128 766,6)J6 172,836 106, 272 48, 437 140,605 33,049 129,808 76, 045 - 1, 468 214,631 110,624 , 049, 312 Per cent. 14.9 12.9 15.2 17.7 7.8 14.7 5.7 16.6 26.7 32.8 3.5 2.9 -1.0 14.4 11.4 23.9 14.0 24.4 13.8 20.8 8.5 15.0 30.5 12.8 15.0 8.1 3.4 12.1 9.0 8.7 4.6 10.2 11.9 32.2 12.0 19.9 16.0 11.1 11.0 28.7 5.5 7.0 9.8 -0.4 11.3 8.6 22.4 19.7 46.0 32.6 33.2 17.6 10.1 63.5 20.4 -5.5 18.8 16.4 44.1 NATIVE white OF NATIVE parentage. Number. 8, 933, 382 189,730 1, 168, 051 2,038,402 951, 861 1, 438, 211 640,290 1, 192, 336 535,884 778, 617 873 -4, 719 -1,057 127, 344 13, 732 53,557 437,941 202,766 527, 344 635,863 199,456 466,008 445,606 291,469 252,546 225,027 149, 101 45,505 62,946 114, 989 101, 747 12,067 126, 461 72, 777 209,256 190, 750 279,485 137,448 251, 639 158,328 175, 940 178, 151 216, 670 69,529 149, 183 165, 137 368,704 509,312 113,676 90,653 42,188 127, 905 17,708 68,677 74,118 959 126,320 80,875 571,422 Per cent. 7.3 13.8 20.9 14.6 19.6 11.7 20.7 36.5 36.9 a2 -2.0 -0.5 11.5 8.6 13.5 13.6 20.1 12.5 21.0 9.4 17.9 36.4 38.2 43.9 17.3 6.2 28.0 25.6 17.9 8.4 9.4 16.4 43.7 15.8 18.3 18.8 20.8 18.1 42.3 9.4 10.8 18.4 9.2 13.8 21.3 28.1 19.6 70.1 44.5 52.3 26.9 6.9 83.3 43.2 2.7 21.6 19.4 61.6 native white of foreign parentaob. Number. 2,778,228 445,775 1, 284, 875 593,677 23,423 79,192 -8,431 51, 767 81,123 226,827 Per cent. 21.5 30 5 31.2 17.2 1 1 23.9 -6.8 14.2 21.9 34.5 12,695 17.3 13, 438 19.9 2,593 6.6 246, 438 29.1 38,390 26.6 132,221 45.8 602,246 26.9 253,047 43.9 429,582 33.2 166,976 24.9 16,058 7.6 234,881 19.1 163,969 26.8 11,793 1.6 40,666 6.1 -18, 831 -4.8 -11.963 -3.8 23,919 13.3 -1,704 -1.2 -2, 722 -1.2 -5,942 -3.5 5,722 32.6 12,882 9.9 8,607 32.5 8,901 41.2 21,218 59.9 1,851 47.6 1,266 22.0 3,139 23.7 15,606 77.5 -10, 592 -13.8 -149 -a 7 1,924 10.9 386 4.2 643 3.5 -1,373 -2.0 3,206 6.4 49,291 21.7 33,312 48.6 7,!»45 19.6 5,483 27.8 15,312 13.3 4,455 30.9 13,417 51.4 1,918 2.6 -619 -5.0 39,773 22. 7 16, 491 20.8 170^563 42.i DETAILED TABLES. 225 AND Parentage, by Divisions and States: 1910-1920. [A minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.] DIVISION AN'D .ST.\TE. United States. Geogr.vphic divisio.n's: New England Middle Atlantic East North Central.. West North Central. South Atlantic East South Central.. West South Central. Mountain Pacific New England: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut Middle Atlantic: New York New Jersey Pennsylvania East Nqrth Central: Ohio Indiana lUinois Michigan Wisconsin West North Centr.vl: Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas South Atlantic: Delaware Maryland District of Columbia.. Virginia West Virginia North Carolina South CaroUna Georgia Florida East South Central: Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi West South Central: Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain: Montana Idaho Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah Nevada Pacific: Washington Oregon California native white of mixed parentage. Number. Percent 1,010,139 143, 792 222,066 223,102 139, 752 34, 569 -3, 720 39, 559 59,122 151, 897 14,916 9,031 1,318 73,332 13, 892 26,303 108,155 5t,95o 58,956 32,705 2,050 67,091 75,694 45,562 73,343 16,631 -4,156 25,330 12, 371 12,872 3,361 1,334 4,752 5,151 5,786 3,616 775 316 1,420 11, 419 -3,466 -460 900 -694 1,839 -1,.328 4,869 34,179 24,716 9,413 4,020 7,368 1,493 6,612 6,220 -720 35, 715 17,&40 98,642 15.9 24.3 15.0 13.5 12.6 20.9 -4.1 16.4 23.9 38.3 FOREIGN-BORN WHITE. Number. Per cent. Number. 24.3 25.4 3.7 24.2 27.6 3a 7 14.1 27.2 11.5 9.3 1.5 13.6 21.4 14.2 26.8 7.0 -2.0 35.6 10.6 10.0 2.8 16.1 7.7 27.8 35.4 16.3 15.6 5.9 11.4 72.8 -7.2 -2.6 6.1 -6.7 lai -3.0 11.0 25.4 64.7 26.8 31.5 11.0 12.5 41.2 10.8 -8.3 33.2 31.4 42.4 367, 209 56,268 86,396 156, 059 -241, 270 25, 365 -14,918 110,574 16, 315 172, 420 -2,784 -5, 325 -5, 335 26,484 -4,526 47,754 56,840 80,425 -50, 869 81, 452 -8,454 4,391 131,111 -52, m -56,846 -47, 837 -42, 870 -24, 655 -IS, 237 —26, 213 -24,612 2,390 -1,997 4,197 4,157 4,834 1,157 347 1,114 9,166 -9, 273 -2, 981 -1,294 -1,370 -2,934 -6,911 -116 120,535 1,976 -1,464 -1,863 -9, 897 6,423 31, 275 -6, 938 -3, 197 8,858 -850 104, 412 8.1 1.8 5.1 -15.0 8.7 -17.2 31.7 3.7 20.0 -2.5 -5.5 -10.7 2.5 -2.5 14.5 2.1 12.2 -3.5 13.6 -5.3 0.4 22.0 -10.2 -10.5 -17.5 -18.7 -15.8 -18.1 -14.9 -18.2 13.7 -1.9 17.2 15.6 8.5 19.5 5.7 7.4 27.1 -23.2 -16.1 -6.8 -14.6 -17.4 -13.3 -0.3 50.2 2.2 -3.6 -6.9 -7.8 28.4 66.8 -10.9 -17.8 3.7 -0.8 31.8 635,308 12, 745 182,313 213, 718 35,8.59 212, 632 -128,981 79,153 9,334 18,595 -53 57 -1,049 7,411 507 5,872 64,292 27,372 90,649 74,735 20,490 73, 225 42,967 2,301 1,725 4,032 20,789 -150 15 5,553 3,895 -846 12,229 15,520 18, 921 22,172 65,564 28,876 29,378 20,818 -2.5, 718 -21, 330 -7, 630 -74,303 29,329 -13,617 11,796 51,645 -176 269 —860 -135 4,105 5,996 302 -167 825 652 17,118 Per cent. 6.5 19.2 43.6 71.0 14.8 5.2 -4.9 4.0 43.5 63.7 -.3.9 10.1 -64.7 19.5 5.3 38.7 47.9 30.5 46.7 67.1 34.0 67.1 251.0 79.3 24.4 26.9 13.2 -24 3 1.8 72.2 7.2 -2.7 5.3 16.4 2.8 34.6 9.4 3.5 2.5 6.7 -9.8 -4.5 -0.8 -7.4 6.6 -1.9 8.6 7.5 -9.6 41.3 -38.5 -1.2 252.1 298.5 26.4 -3-2.6 13.6 43.7 79.1 107°— 22- -15 226 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 54. — Urban and Rural Population, by Color and [The percentages of increase in this table represent the grow th of the urban and rural population, respective- for the reason that certain places, by reason of the growth or decline in their population, passed from the between 1910 and 1920 in the total territory urban in 1920 w as 25.7, and the corresponding percentage for [A minus sign ( — ) denotes decrease.] UKBAN POPULATION. DIVISION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. Total.i White. Negro. Native. Foreign-born. United States: 1920 54,304,603 42, 166, 120 28.8 40,283,101 29, 846, 561 34.9 10,356,983 9,532,733 8.6 3. .559, 473 1910 2,684,797 Per cent of increase 32.6 GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIONS. New England: 1920 5,865,073 4,998,082 17.3 16,072,595 13,723,373 21.5 13,049,272 9,617,271 35.7 4,727,372 3, 873, 716 22.0 4,338,792 3,092,153 40.3 1,994,207 1, 574, 229 26.7 2,970,829 1,957,456 51.8 1,214,980 947,511 28.2 3,471,483 2,382,329 45.7 4,147,230 3,363,394 23.3 11,901,974 9,324,444 27.6 10,080,910 7,192,361 40.2 3,903,214 3,074,396 27.0 2,969,600 1,989,234 49.3 1,374,153 1,006,808 36.5 2,208,154 1,378,925 60.1 1,009,436 750,960 34.4 2,668,430 1,766,039 51.1 1,641,728 1,573,954 4.3 4,239,681 4,049,477 4.7 2,511,626 2, 189, 291 14.7 607,384 631,696 -3.8 222,488 191,756 16.0 48,407 57,932 -16.4 220,460 136,808 6L1 181,439 173,331 4.7 683,770 528,488 29.4 71,416 1910 56,445 26.5 Middle Atlantic: 1920 517,432 1910 339, 246 Per cent of increase 52.5 East North Central: 1920 448,873 1910 230,542 Per cent of increase 94.7 West North Central: 1920 212,591 1910 164, 301 Per cent of increase 29.4 South Atlantic: 1920 1,144,371 1910 909,520 Per cent of increase 25.8 East South Central: 1920 571, 316 1910 509,097 12.2 West South Central: 1920 535, -282 1910 435,838 22.8 Mountain: 1920 16,678 1910 15,446 Per cent of increase 8.0 Padflc: 1920 41,514 1910 24,362 ^0.4 New England. Maine: 1920 299,569 262, 248 14.2 279,761 25.5,099 9.7 109,976 98,917 n.2 3,650,248 3,125,367 16.8 589, 180 524, 654 12.3 936,339 731,797 2}-;.o 239,156 203,508 17.5 207,774 179,490 15.8 91, 597 77,337 18.4 2,558,510 2,078,565 23.1 407,412 339,000 20.0 642, 781 484.888 32.6 59, 152 57,826 2.3 71,429 75, 174 -5.0 18,146 21,239 -14.6 1,045,106 1,008,581 3.6 171,685 175,405 -•2.1 276,210 235,729 17.2 766 1910 792 -3.3 New Hampshire: 441 1910 356 Per cent of increase 23.9 Vermont: 1920 220 1910 326 Per cent of increase -32.5 Massachusetts: 43,624 1910 35, 243 Per cent of increase 23.8 Rhode Island: 1920 9,710 1910 9,055 Per cent of increase 7.2 Connecticut: 16,655 1910 . . ... 10, 073 Per cent of increase 56.0 > Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. DETAILED TABLES. 227 Nativity, for Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910. ly, but do not represent the actual increase In the population of urban and rural areas axcom-tituUd in 19!0, rural to the urban or from the urban to the rural class between 1910 and 1920. The percentage ofincrease the total territory rural in 1920 was 5.4. (See Table 39, pp. 60 and 61, Vol. I, Fourteenth Census Reports.)) [A minus sign ( — ) denotes decrease.] DIVISION, STATE, AND CENSVS YEAR. United States: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. GEOGRAPHIC DIVISIONS. New England: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. Middle Atlantic: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. East North Central: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. West North Central: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. South Atlantic: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. East South Central: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. "West South Central: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. Mountain: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. Pacific: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . New Englank. Maine: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . New Hampshire: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . Vermont: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . Massachusetts: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . Rhode Island: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . , Connecticut: 1920 1910 Per cent ofincrease. . . RURAL POPULATION. Total.! 51,406,017 49,806,146 3.2 1,535,836 1,554,599 -1.2 5, 588, 549 5,592,519 -0.1 8,426,271 8,633,350 -2.4 7, 816, 877 7, 764, 205 0.7 9,651,480 9,102,742 6.0 6, 899, 100 6,835,672 0.9 7,271,395 6,827,078 6.5 2,121,121 1,686,006 25.8 2,095,388 1,809,975 15.8 468, 445 480, 123 -2.4 ia3,322 175,473 -6.9 242,452 257,039 -5.7 202, 108 241,049 • -10 2 15,217 17,956 -15.3 444,292 382,959 16.0 White. Native. I Foreign-born. 40,845,060 ! 38, 539, 851 6.0 1,298,195 1,302,734 -0.3 4,827,291 4,729,829 2.1 7,634,673 7,668,041 -0.4 6,950,212 6,663,994 4.3 6,363,420 5,791,814 9.9 4,921,455 4, 660, 661 5.6 5, 448, 240 4,993,807 9.1 1,750,238 1,332,585 31.3 1,051,336 1,396,386 18.3 419,190 426,354 -1.7 143,324 153,858 -6.8 215,694 227, 100 -5.0 167,480 195,311 -14.2 13,069 14,861 -12.1 339, 438 285,250 19.0 3,355,771 3,812,812 -12.0 228,926 240,432 -4.8 672, 894 776, 702 -13.4 711,653 877,929 -18.9 764, 577 981,535 -22.1 93,432 98,799 -5.4 23,532 28,925 -18.6 238, 873 211,951 12.7 271,786 263, 579 3.1 350,098 332, 960 6.1 48, 197 52,307 -7.9 19,804 21,384 -7.4 26,380 28,622 -7.8 32, 428 42, 469 -23.6 1,814 2,620 -30.8 100,303 93,030 7.8 Negro. 6,903,658 7,142,966 -3.4 7,635 9,861 -22.6 82,751 78,624 5.2 65,681 70,294 -6.6 65,930 78,361 -15.9 3,180.749 3,202,968 -0.7 1,952,216 2,143,416 -8.9 1,528,297 1,548,588 -1.3 14,123 6,021 134.6 6,276 4,833 29.9 544 571 -4.7 180 208 -13.5 352 1,295 -72.8 1,842 2,812 -34.5 326 474 -31.2 4,391 4,501 -2.4 1 Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. 228 " INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 54. — Ukban and Rural Popxtlation, by Color and [The percentages of increase in this table represent the growth of the urban and rural popuZo^ion, respective- for the reason that certain places, by reason of the growth or decline in their population, passed from the between 1910 and 1920 in the total territory urban in 1920 was 25.7, and the corresponding percentage for [.\ minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.] DIVISION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. Middle Atlantic. New York: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase New Jersey: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Pennsylvania: 1920 1910 Per cent of Increase East North Central. Ohio: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Indiana: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Illinois: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Michigan: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Wisconsin: 1920 1010 Per cent of increase West North Central. Minnesota: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Iowa: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Missouri: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase North Dakota: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase South Dakota: 1920 1910 •. Per cent of increase Nebraska: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Kansas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase ■ Includes URBAN population. Total.i 8,589,844 7,185,494 19.5 2, 474, 936 1, 907, 210 29.8 5, 607, 815 4,630,669 21.1 3, 677, 136 2, 665, 143 38.0 1, 482, 855 1,143,835 29.6 4,403,153 3, 476, 929 26.6 2, 241, 560 1,327,044 1, 244, 568 1,004,320 23.9 1,051,593 850,294 23.7 875, 495 680, 054 28.7 1,586,903 1,398,817 13.4 88,239 63,236 39.5 101,872 76, 673 32.9 405, 306 310,8.^)2 30.4 617,964 493, 790 25.1 White. Native. Foreign-born. 5, 809, 720 4, 578, .556 26.9 1,752,736 1,291,286 35.7 4,339,518 3, 454, 602 25.6 2, 949, 461 2, 105, 641 40.1 1,291,795 983, 630 31.3 3, 191, 148 2,390,991 33.5 1,663,124 967, 108 72.0 9S5, 382 744,991 32.3 801,114 598, 280 33.9 769. 731 579, 682 32.8 1,303,223 1,119,759 16.4 71,497 47, 596 50.2 89,139 63, 572 40.2 333, 195 246. 732 35.0 535,315 4 IS, 775 27. H 2,585,350 2,482,487 4.1 628, 402 5-19, 274 14.4 1,02.5,929 1,017,716 0.8 570,449 476,502 19.7 118,813 111,396 6.7 1, 046, 677 997,890 4.9 521,554 347, 078 50.3 254, 133 256,425 -0.9 241,463 245,042 -1.5 90,019 90,353 -0.4 148,813 173, 795 -14.4 16, 161 15, 169 6.5 12,150 12, 498 -2.8 59, 346 57, (Xi5 4.1 39, 4.32 37,8<>4 4.3 Negro. 18.1,212 117,486 57.6 92,328 65,427 41.1 239,892 156,333 53.4 155,975 82,282 71,813 48,425 48.3 161,728 85,538 89.1 55,006 12. 156 352.5 4,351 2,141 103.2 8,250 6,518 15,345 9,786 56.8 134, 167 104, 462 2S.4 272 306 -11.1 340 412 -17.5 12, 121 6,621 83.1 42,096 36, 19t) 16.3 Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. DETAILED TABLES 229 Nativity, for Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910 — Continued. ly, but do not represent the actual increase in the population of urban and rural areas cm constituted in 19S0, rural to the urban or from the urban to the rural class between 1910 and 1920. The percentage of increase the total territory nu-al in 1920 was 5.4. (See Table 39, pp. 60 and 61, Vol. I, Fourteenth Census Reports.)] [A minus sijgn (— ) denotes decrease.] DmSION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. Middle Atlantic. New York: 1920 1910 Percent of increase New Jersey: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Pennsylvania: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase East North Central. Ohio: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Indiana: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Illinois: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Michigan: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Wisconsin: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase West North Central. Minnesota: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Iowa: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Missouri: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase North Dakota: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase South Dakota: 1920 1910 P«r cent of increase Nebraska: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Kansas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . .' ' Includes RURAL POPXnjlTION. Total.! 1, 795, 3S3 1, 928, 120 -6.9 680,964 629, 957 8.1 3,112,202 3, 034, 442 2.6 2, 082, 258 2, 101, 978 -0.9 1, 447, 535 1, 557, 041 -7.0 2, 082, 127 2, 161, 662 -3.7 1, 426, 852 1, 483, 129 -3.8 1, 387, 499 1, 329, 540 4.4 1, 335, 532 1, 225, 414 9.0 1, 528, 526 1,544,717 -1.0 1, 817, 152 1, 894, 518 -4.1 558,633 513, 820 8.7 534,675 507,215 5.4 891,066 881,362 1.1 1,151,293 1, 197, 159 -3.8 White. Native. Foreign-born. 1, 576, 195 1, 659, 017 -5.0 545, 738 496,420 9.9 2, 705, 358 2, 574, 392 5.1 1, 943, 736 1,952,011 -0.4 1,406,408 1, 497, 009 -6.1 1, 901, 234 1,983,411 -1.7 1,211,868 1, 222, 615 -0.9 1, 171, 428 1, 062, 995 10.2 1, 081, 658 917, 937 17.8 1, 388, 803 1, 356, 025 2.4 1, 735, 795 1, 786, 277 -2.8 436,954 366,101 19.4 447,617 399, 571 12.0 796, 372 757, 696 5.1 1, 063, 013 1, 080, 387 -1.6 200,762 246,785 -18.6 110,211 108, 914 1.2 361,921 421,003 -14.0 108,248 120,743 -10.3 .32, 055 47, 926 -33.1 160,274 204,670 -21.7 205,081 248,446 -17.5 205,995 256,144 -19.6 244,701 297,968 -17.9 135, 628 183, i:ji -25.9 37, 213 55, 101 -32.5 115, 342 140,989 -18.2 70,241 88,130 -20.3 90,306 118,830 -24.0 71,146 97,386 -26.9 Negro. 13,271 16,705 -20.6 24,804 24,333 1.9 44,676 37,586 18.9 30, 212 29,170 3.6 8,997 11, 895 -24.4 20, .M6 23,511 -12.6 5,076 4,959 2.4 850 759 12,0 559 566 -1.2 3,660 5,187 -29.4 44,074 52,990 -16.8 195 311 -37.3 492 405 21.5 1,121 1,068 5.0 15,829 17,834 -11.2 Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. 230 INCREASE OF POPULATION; 1910-1920. Table 54. — Urban* and Rural Popilation, by Color and [The percentages of increase in this table repre^-ient the growth of the urban and rural p')j:tUation,Tespcctiye- tor the reason that certain places, by reason of the growth or decline in their population, pas^d from the between 1910 and 1920 in the total territory urban in 1920 was 25.7, and the corresponding percentage for [.V minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.] DIVTSION, STATE, AND CENSUS TEAR. SotJTH Atlantic. Delaware: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Maryland: i920 1910 Per cent of increase District of Columbia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Virginia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase West Virginia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase North Carolina: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase South Carolina: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Georgia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Florida: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase East South Central. Kentucky: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Tennessee: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Alabama: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Mississippi: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase West South Central. Arkansas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Louisiana: i 1920 1910 Per cent of increase 1 Includes urban population. Total.i 120, 767 97,085 24.4 869,422 658,192 32.1 437,571 331,069 32.2 673, 984 476, 529 41.4 369,007 228,242 61.7 490,370 318, 474 54.0 293, 987 224, 832 30.8 727,859 538,650 35.1 355,825 219,080 62.4 633,543 555,442 14.1 611,226 441,045 38.6 509,317 370, 431 37.5 210, 121 207,311 15.8 290,497 202,681 43.3 628,163 496, 516 26.5 White. Native. 90,919 71,843 26.6 656, 770 477. 984 37.4 298,312 211,777 40.9 445,247 304, 478 46.2 326,671 197, 130 65.7 330,852 199, 342 66.0 173, 142 119,045 45.4 442,170 301,848 46.5 205, 517 105, 787 94.3 506,508 418,602 21.0 429,189 277,833 54.5 301, 227 203,145 4S.3 137, 229 107, 228 28.0 211, 251 137, 272 53.9 4(M,612 301,918 34.0 Foreign-born. 16, 815 14,060 19.6 87,740 80,598 28,548 24,351 17.2 19,226 13,681 40.5 19,755 15,653 26.2 4,239 3,090 36.9 4,224 4,044 4.5 12,432 11,758 5.7 29,509 24,515 20.4 21,561 30,125 -28.4 11,48-1 12,598 -8.8 11,183 10,611 5.4 4,179 4,598 -9.1 5,590 6,054 -7.7 32,609 33,257 -1.9 Negro. 12,992 11, 157 16.4 124,509 99,230 25.5 109,966 94, 446 16.4 209,134 158, 218 32.2 22,484 15,380 46.2 155,165 115,975 33.8 116, 439 101,702 14.5 273,036 224,826 21.4 120,596 88,586 36.1 105,393 106,631 -1.2 170,464 150,506 13.3 196,833 156,603 25.7 98, 626 95, 357 3.4 73, 592 59, 147 2-1.4 190, 413 160,845 lit. 4 Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. DETAILED TABLES. 231 Nativity, for Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910 — Continued. ly, but do not represent theactual increase in the population of urban and rural areas as amstituUd in 192G, rural to the urban or from the urban to the rural class between 1910 and 1920. The percentage of increase the totaltcrritory rural in 1920 was 5.4. (Sec Table 39, pp. 60 and 61, Vol.1, Fourteenth Census Reports.)] [A minus sign ( — ) denotes decrease.] DI\aSION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. South Atlantic. Delaware: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . Maryland: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . District of Columbia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . Virginia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . West Virginia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . North Carohna: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . South Carohna: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . Georgia: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. . . Florida: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . . , RURAL POPUXATION. Total.i 102,236 105, 237 -2.9 580,239 637,154 -8.9 White. Native. 81,886 81,839 0.1 445,790 480,481 -7.2 Foreign-born. 2,995 3,360 -10.9 14,437 23,576 -38.8 Nogro. 17,343 20,024 -13.4 119,970 133,020 -9.8 East South Centr.\.l. Kentucky: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Tennessee: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase , Alabama: 1920 1910 , Per cent of increase Mississippi: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase West South Central. Arkansas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . Louisiana: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . ,635,203 ,585,083 3.2 ,094,694 992,877 10.3 , 068, 753 , 887, 813 9.6 , 389, 737 , 290, .568 7.7 , 167, 973 ,070,471 4.7 612, 645 533,539 14.8 783, 087 734,463 2.8 726, 659 743, 744 -1.0 .833, 857 767,662 4.0 550,497 589,803 -2.5 461, 707 371, 768 6.6 170,346 159, 872 0.9 1, 141, 877 1, 058, 703 7.9 988,653 902,615 1, 445, 828 1, 295, 227 11.6 638,995 5.54,062 15.3 1, 230, 758 1, 114, as2 10.4 389,628 304,005 2S.2 1, 643, 272 1, 569, 296 4.7 1, 441, 326 1, 415, 140 1.9 1, 128, 143 1, 006, 731 12.1 708, 714 669,494 5.9 1,054,531 976, 845 8.0 647,128 587,386 10.2 11,559 12, 947 -10.7 42,151 41, 419 1.8 2,860 2,846 0.5 2,177 2,010 8.3 3,754 3,314 13.3 13,499 9,327 44.7 9,219 9,928 -7.1 3,994 5,861 -31.9 6,479 8,345 -22.4 3,840 4,791 -19.8 8,385 10,855 -22.8 12,262 18,525 -33.8 480,883 512, 873 -6.2 63,861 48,793 30.9 608,242 581,868 4.5 748,230 734, 141 1.9 933, 329 952, 161 -2.0 208,891 220,083 -5.1 130,545 155,025 -15.8 281, 294 322,532 -12.8 703,819 751, 679 -6.4 836, .553 914, 130 -8.5 398, 628 383,744 3.9 509,844 553,029 -7.8 ' Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. 232 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 54. — Urban and Rural Population, by Color and {The percentages of increase in this table represent the growth of the urban and rural populaiion, respective- for the reason that certain planes, by reason of the growth or decline in their population, passed from the between 1910 and 1920 in the total territory urban in 1920 was 2.5.7, and the corresponding percentage for [A minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.] DIVISION, ST.^TE, AND CENSUS YEAE. West South CENXRAi^-Continued. Oklahoma: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Texas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. MOUNTAIN. Montana: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Idaho: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Wyoming: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Ck)lorado: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. New Mexico: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Arizona: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Utah: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . Nevada: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase . Pacific. Washington: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. Oregon: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. California: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase. URBAN POPtJLATION. Total.' 539,480 320,155 68.5 1, 512, 689 938,104 61.2 172,011 133,420 28.9 119, 037 69, 898 70.3 57,348 43,221 32.7 453,259 404,840 IZO 64,960 46,571 39.5 117, 527 63,260 85.8 215,584 172,934 24.7 15,254 13,367 14.1 748,735 605,530 23.6 391, 019 307, 060 27.3 2, 331, 729 1, 409, 739 58.6 White. Native. Foreign-bom. 472, 154 267,292 76.6 L 120, 137 672,443 66.6 136,933 95,875 42.8 106,426 59,123 80.0 47,449 33,202 42.9 383,167 330,458 16.0 57,484 41,498 38.5 84,629 43,166 96.1 181, 159 137,490 31.8 12,189 10,148 20.1 579,856 450,599 28.7 322,583 240,025 34.4 1, 765, 991 1,075,415 64.2 14,211 11,406 24.6 168,050 86,091 95.2 32,763 34,656 -5.5 11,124 9,481 17.3 8,437 8,242 2.4 59,626 63,698 -6.4 5,665 4,090 38.5 28,910 17,189 68.2 32,311 33,394 -3.2 2,603 2,581 0.9 149,686 139,582 7.2 61,508 57, 070 7.8 472, 576 331,836 42.4 Negro. 47,904 36,982 29.5 223,373 178,864 24.9 1,270 1,455 -12.7 645 426 51.4 833 1,041 -20.0 9,364 9,359 0.1 861 795 8.3 2,631 1,310 loas 1,006 959 4.9 68 101 -3Z7 6,782 4,699 23.0 1,844 1,264 45.9 33,888 18,399 84.2 > Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. DETAILED TABLES. 233 Nativity, for Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910 — Continued. ly, but do not represent the actual increase In the population of urban and niral areas as constituted in 19S0, rural to the urban or from the urban to the rural class between 1910 and 1920. The percentage of increase the total territory rural in 1920 was 5.4. (See Table 39, pp. 60 and 61, Vol. I, Fourteenth Census Reports.)) (A minus sign (— ) denotes decrease.) DIVISIOK, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. West South Central— Continued Oklahoma: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Texas: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Mountain. Montana: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Idaho: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Wyoming: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Colorado: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase New Mexico: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Arizona: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Utah: 1920 1910 Pct cent of increase Nevada: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase PAcmc. Washington: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase Oregon: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase California: 1920 1910 Per cent of increase RURAL POPtnJinON. Totai.i 1,488,803 1, 337, 000 11.4 3, 150, 539 2, 958, 438 6.5 376, 878 242, 633 55.3 312, 829 255,696 22.3 137, 054 102, 744 33.4 486, 370 394, 184 23.4 295,390 280, 730 5.2 216, 635 141,094 53.5 233,812 200,417 16.7 62,153 68,508 -9.3 607,886 536,460 13.3 392, 370 365, 705 7.3 1, 095, 132 907, 810 20.6 White. Native. 1,309,072 1, 137, 155 15.1 2, 437, 509 2, 292, 421 6.3 303,707 173, 061 75.5 280,279 219,671 27.6 117,442 79,998 46.8 423,982 326,106 30.0 248,112 240,442 3.2 128, 721 81, 478 58.0 204,287 165,700 23.3 43,708 46,129 -5.2 489,866 417, 315 17.4 344,412 312,064 10.4 817,058 667,007 22.5 Foreign-born. 25,757 28, 678 -10.2 192,469 153,893 25.1 60,857 56,988 6.8 27,839 30,946 -10.0 16, 818 18 876 -10.9 57, 328 63,153 -9.2 23,412 18,564 26.1 49,189 29,635 66.0 24,144 29,999 -19.5 12,199 15, 418 -20.9 100,369 101, 615 -1.2 40,643 45,931 -11.5 209,086 185,414 12.8 Negre. 101,504 100,630 0.9 518,321 511, 185 1.4 379 2.4 275 22i 22.2 542 1,194 -54.6 1,954 2,094 -6.7 4,872 833 484.9 5,374 699 668.8 440 185 137.8 278 412 -32.5 1,101 1,359 -19.0 300 228 3U6 4,875 3,246 50.2 ' Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. 234 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 55. — Nattv^e Whites op Native Parentage in Total, Urban, DmSION, STATE, AN'D CEV3U3 YEAR. COMBINED TTBBAN AND RCRAL POPULATION. Total. Native white, native parentage. Number. Per cent of total. 105,710,620 91,972,266 58,421,957 49,488,575 55.3 53.8 7,400,909 6,552,681 2,803,149 2,613,419 37.9 39.9 22,261,144 19,315,892 9,631,012 8,462,961 43.3 43.8 21,475,543 18,250,621 11,790,370 9,751,968 54.9 53.4 12,544,249 ll,a37,921 7,475,548 6,523,687 59.6 56.1 13.990,272 12,194,895 8,779,416 7,341,205 62.8 60.2 8,893,307 8,409,901 6,092,782 5,452,492 68.5 64.8 10,242,224 8,784,534 6,959,785 5,767,449 68.0 65.7 3,336,101 2,633,517 2,002,508 1,468,624 60.0 55.7 5,566,871 4,192,304 2,887,387 2,108,770 51.9 50.3 768,014 742,371 495,780 494,907 64.6 66.7 443,083 430,572 225,512 230,231 50.9 53.5 352,428 355,956 228,325 229,382 64.8 64.4 3,852,356 3,366,416 1,230,773 1,103,429 31.9 32.8 604,397 542,610 173,553 159,821 28.7 29.5 1,380,631 1,114,756 449, 206 395,frJ9 32.5 35.5 10,385,227 9,113,614 3,668,206 3,230,325 35.3 35.4 3,155,900 2,537,167 1,212,675 1,009,909 38.4 39.8 8,720,017 7,665,111 4,750,071 4,222,727 54.6 55.1 United State.-;: 1920 1910 GEOGRAPHIC DR^ISIONS. New England: 1920 1910 Middle Atlantic: 1920 1910 East North Central: 1920 1910 West North Central: 1920 1910 South Atlantic: 1920 1910 East South Central: 1920 1910 West South Central: 1920 1910 Mountain: 1920 1910 Pacific: 1920 1910 New England. Maine: 1920 1910 New Hampshire: 1920 1910 Vermont: 1920 1910 Massachusetts: 1920 1910 Rhode Island: 1920 1910 Connecticut: 1920 1910 Middle Atlantic. New York: 1920 1910 New Jersey: 1920 1910 Pennsylvania: 1920 1910 DETAILED TABLES. 235 AND Rural Population, by Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910. UKBA>f POPULATION. RiniAL POPULATION. Per cent urban in total pop- ulation. Native white, native parentage. Native white, native parentage. Total. Total Number. Per cent of total. Number. Per cent of total. 54,304,603 42, 166, 120 24,556,729 17,621,230 45.2 41.8 51,406,017 49, 806, 146 33,865,228 31,867,345 65.9 64.0 51.4 45.8 1 2 5,865,073 4,998,082 1,867,235 1,619,070 31.8 32.4 1,535,836 1,554,599 935,914 994,349 60.9 64.0 79.2 76.3 3 4 16,672,595 13,723,373 5,976,653 4,718,463 35.8 34.4 5,588,549 5,592,519 3,654,359 3,744,498 65.4 67.0 74.9 71.0 5 6 1.3,049,272 9,617,271 5, 970, 956 4,014,669 4.5.8 41.7 8,426,271 8,633,350 5,819,414 5,737,299 69.1 66.5 60.8 52.7 7 8 4,727,372 3,873,716 2,627,908 1,984,327 55.6 51.2 7,816,877 7, 764, 205 4, .847, 640 4,539,360 62.0 58.5 37.7 33.3 9 10 4,338,792 3,092,153 2,559,203 1,675,819 59.0 54.2 9,651,480 9,102,742 6,220,213 5,665,386 64.4 62.2 31.0 25.4 11 12 1,994,207 1,574,229 1,231,225 856,826 61.7 54.4 6,899,100 6,835,672 4, 861, 557 4,595,666 70.5 67.2 22.4 18. 7 13 14 2,970,829 1,9.57,456 1,904,3^86 1,142,636 6-t.l 58.4 7,271,395 6,827,078 5,055,399 4,624,813 69.5 67.7 29.0 22.3 15 16 1,214,980 947,511 695,078 491,829 57.2 51.9 2,121,121 1,680,006 1,307,430 974, 795 61.6 57.8 36.4 36.0 17 18 3,471,483 2,382,329 1,724,085 1,117,591 49.7 46.9 2,095,388 1,809,975 1,163,302 991, 179 55.5 54.8 62.4 56.8 19 20 299,569 262,248 153,986 137,519 51.4 52.4 468, 445 480, 123 341,794 357,388 73.0 74.4 39.0 35.3 21 22 279, 761 255,099 112,873 104,701 40.3 41.0 163,322 175,473 112,639 125,530 69.0 71.5 63.1 59.2 23 24 109,976 98,917 59,302 49,623 53.9 50.2 242,452 257,039 169,023 179,759 69.7 69.9 31.2 27.8 25 26 3,650,248 3,125,367 1,116,638 962,238 30.6 30.8 202, 108 241,049 114,135 141, 191 56.5 58.6 94.8 92.8 27 28 589,180 524,654 163,733 147,938 27.8 28.2 15,217 17,956 9,820 11,883 64.5 66.2 97.5 96.7 29 30 936,339 731,797 260,703 217,051 27.8 29.7 444,292 382, 959 188,503 178,598 42.4 46.6 67.8 65.6 31 32 8,589,844 7,185,494 2,487,080 1,955,409 29.0 27.2 1,795,383 1,928,120 1, 181, 186 1,274,916 65.8 66.1 82.7 78.8 33 34 2,474,936 1,907,210 837,624 639,962 33.8 33.6 680,964 629,957 375,051 369,947 55.1 58.7 78.4 75.2 35 36 5,607,815 4,630,669 2,651,949 2,123,092 47.3 45. S 3,112,202 3,034,442 2,098,122 2,099,635 67.4 69.2 64.3 60.4 37 38 236 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 55. — Native Whites of Native Parentage in Total, Urban, and DIVISION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAB. CX3UBINSD UEBAN AND BUBAL POPULATION. Total. Native white, native parentage. Per cent of total. East Nobth Centbal. Ohio: 1920 1910 Indiana: 1920 1910 Illinois: 1920 1910 Michigan: 1920 1910 Wisconsin: 1920 1910 West Nobth Centbal. Minnesota: 1920 1910 Iowa: 1920 1910 Missouri: 1920 1910 North Dakota: 1920 1910 South Dakota: 1920 1910 Nebraska: 1920 1910 Kansas: 1920 1910 South Atlantic. Delaware: 1920 1910 Maryland: 1920 , 1910 District of Columbia: 1920 1910 Virginia: 1920 1910 West Virginia: 1920 1910 North Carolina: 1920 1910 South Carolina: 1920 1910 Georgia: 1920 1910 Florida: 1920 1910 ,759,394 , 767, 121 , 930, 390 , 700, 876 ,485,280 ,638,591 ,668,412 , 810, 173 ,632,067 ,333.860 387,125 075,708 404,021 224, 771 404,055 293,335 646,872 577,056 636,547 583,888 ,296,372 , 192, 214 , 769, 257 .690,949 223,003 202,322 ,4-19,661 ,295,846 437,571 331,069 300,187 061,612 468, 701 221,119 559, 123 206,287 683, 724 515, 400 895, 832 609, 121 968, 470 752,610 3,669,122 3,033,259 2,329,544 2,130,088 3,066,563 2,600,555 1,670,447 1,224,841 1,054,694 763,225 827,627 575,081 1, 52<<, 553 1,303,526 2,536,936 2, 387, 835 207,966 162, 461 308, 598 245,652 757,064 642, 075 1,308,801 1,207,057 139, S76 127,809 893,088 766,627 239,488 166,711 1,534,494 1,325,238 1,2:52,S.''>7 1,042,107 1,765,203 1,485,718 799,418 061,970 1.642,697 1,391,058 532. 295 3r3,967 63.7 63.6 79.5 78.9 47.3 46.1 45.5 43.6 40.1 32.7 34.7 27.7 63.6 58.6 74.5 72.5 32.1 28.2 48,5 42.1 58.4 53. 9 74.0 71.4 62.7 63.2 61.6 59.2 54.7 50.4 66.5 64.3 84.2 85.3 69.0 67.3 47.5 43.7 56.7 5.1.3 .^l. 49.7 DETAILED TABLES. 237 Rural Population, by Divisions and States: 1920 and 1910 — Continued. URBAN POPtn,ATION. RURAL POPULATION. 1 Percent i urban in totalpop- . ulation. Total. Native white, native parentage. Total. Native white, native parentage. Number. Per cent of total. Number. Per cent of total. 3,677,136 2,665,143 1,996,363 1,360,068 54.3 51.0 2, 082, 258 2, 101, 978 1, 672, 759 1,673,191 80.3 79.6 63.8 55.9 1 2 1,482,855 1, 143, 835 1,043,866 775,755 70.4 67.8 1,447,5.35 1, 557, Ml 1,285,678 1,354,333 83.8 87.0 50.6 42.4 3 4 4,403,153 3,476,929 1,583,665 1, 122, 044 36.0 32.3 2, 082, 127 2, 161, 662 1,482,898 1,478,511 71.2 68.4 67.9 61.7 5 6 2,241,560 1,327,044 902, 177 470, 803 40.2 35.5 1,426,852 1,483,129 768,270 754,038 53.8 50.8 61.1 47.2 7 8 1,244,568 1,004,320 444,885 285,999 35.7 28.5 1,387,499 1,329,540 609,809 477,226 44.0 35.9 47.3 43.0 9 10 1,051,593 850,294 356,046 248, 321 33.9 29.2 1,335,532 1,225,414 471,581 326,760 35.3 26.7 44.1 41.0 11 13 S75, 495 680, OM 552, 275 395, 577 63.1 58.2 1, 528, 526 1,544,717 976, 278 907,949 63.9 58.8 36.4 30.6 13 14 1,586,903 1,398,817 949, 293 768,923 59.8 55.0 1, 817, 152 1, 894, 518 1, 587, 643 1,618,912 87.4 85.5 46.6 42.5 15 18 88,239 63,236 36,448 23,814 41.3 37.7 558,633 513,820 171,518 13S,647 30.7 27.0 13.6 11.0 17 13 101, 872 76,673 58,251 39,523 57.2 51.5 534,675 507,215 2.50,347 206,129 46.8 40.6 16.0 13.1 19 20 405,306 310, 852 225,605 160,880 55.7 51.8 891,066 881, 362 531,459 481, 195 59.6 54.6 31.3 26.1 21 22 617,964 493, 790 449,990 347,289 72.8 70.3 1,151,293 1, 197, 159 858,814 859,768 74.6 71.8 34.9 29.2 23 24 120,767 97,085 63,747 51,323 52.8 52.9 102,236 105,237 76,129 76,486 74.5 72.7 54.2 43.0 25 26 869, 422 658,192 482, 491 333,781 55.5 50.7 580,239 637,154 410,597 4.32,846 70.8 67.9 60.0 50.8 27 28 437,571 331, 069 673,984 476, 529 239,488 166, 711 54.7 50.4 100.0 100.0 29 30 413, 778 283,140 61.4 59.4 1,63.5,203 1,585,083 1,120.716 1,042,098 68.5 65.7 29.2 23.1 31 32 369,007 228,242 288,802 170, 675 78.3 74.8 1, 094, 694 992,877 944, a55 871,432 86.2 87.8 25.2 13.7 33 34 490, 370 318, 474 324,229 194, 816 66.1 61.2 2,068,753 1,887,813 1,440,974 1.290,902 69.7 68.4 19.2 14.4 35 36 293,987 224,832 164,425 111,531 55.9 49.6 1,389,737 1,290,568 634,993 550,439 45.7 42.7 17.5 14.8 37 38 727, 859 538,650 419, 1&3 282, 493 57.6 52.4 2,167,973 2,070,471 1,223,514 1,108,565 56.4 53.5 2.5.1 20.6 39 40 3.>5, 825 219,080 163,060 81,349 45.8 37.1 612,645 533,539 369,235 292,618 60.3 54.8 36.7 29.1 41 42 238 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 55. — Native Whites of Native Parentage in Total, UrbaK, and Drv-ISION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAB. COMBINED imBAN AND BtntAL POPULATION. Total. Native white, native parentage. Number. Per cent of total. 1 East South Central. Kentucky: 1920 2,416,630 2.289,905 2.337.885 12,184,789 2.348.174 2,138,093 1.790.618 1,797,114 1,752,204 1,574,449 1,798.509 1,656.388 2,028.283 1.657,155 4,663,228 3, 896, 542 548,889 376,053 431.866 325,. 594 194.402 145,965 939.629 799,024 360,350 327,301 334, 162 204,354 449,396 373.351 77,407 81,875 1,356.621 1.141,990 783,389 672,765 3.426,861 2,377,549 2,039.134 1,863,194 1,832.757 1,654,606 1,394,129 1.177.459 826.762 757.233 1.226,692 1,077,509 941,724 776,587 1.679,107 1,310,403 3,112.262 2,602,950 275.803 162, 127 294.252 203,599 122.884 80,696 603.041 475. 136 273,317 255,609 151,145 82,468 245,781 171,663 36.285 35,326 711,706 585,386 497,726 416,851 1,677.955 1,106,533 84.4 81.4 78.4 75.7 59.4 55.1 46.2 42 1 70.0 68.4 52.4 46.9 82.8 79.1 66.7 66.8 50.2 43.1 68.1 62.5 63.2 55.3 64.2 59.5 75.8 78.1 45.2 40.4 54.7 46.0 46.9 43.1 52.5 51.3 63.5 62. 49. 46.5 ?, 1910 3 Tennessee: 1920 4 1910 f) Alabama: 1920 6 1910 7 Missis.sippi: 1920 8 1910.. 9 West South Central. Arkansas: 1920 in 1910 n Louisiana: 1920 . 1? 1910 13 Oklahoma: 1920 14 1910 . . . 15 Texas: 1920 . . 16 1910 17 Mountain. Montana: 1920 18 1910 19 Idaho: 20 1910 ?1 1920 ?? 1910 ?3 Colorado: ?4 1910 05 1920 26 1910 V Arizona: 2>S 1910 ?9 Utah: 1920 30 1910 31 Nevada: ^? 1910 33 Paqfio. Washington: 1920 34 1910 , 35 Native and foreign-born Negroes not tabulated separately by age groups. * Includes persons born in United States, state of birth not reported; persons bora in outlying possessions, or at sea under United States fiag; and persons of foreign birth whose parents were American citizens tem- porarily absent from the United States. 5 Less than one-tenth of 1 per cent. 107°— 22- -16 242 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 58. — Distribution of Total Population by Nativity and of Native 1920 AND [In tliis table the divisions and states are arranged in descending order, the position of each division or In it, as shown GEOGEAPIIIC DIVISION AND STATE. TOTAL POPULATION.! | 1 POPULATION BORN AKD LIVING IN SPECIFIED DIVISION OR STATE. 1920 1910 1920 1910 105,710,620 91,972,266 77,906,515 66,746,379 Pacific . 5,566,871 3,336,101 10,242,224 22,261,144 21,475 543 12, 544, 249 7,40>),909 13,990,272 8,893,307 105,710,620 4,192,304 2,633,517 8,784,534 19,315,892 18 250, 621 11,637,921 6,552,681 12,194,895 8,409,901 91,972,266 2,137,746 1,520,606 7, 658, 879 15,949,575 15, 7%, 227 8,893,937 5,040,243 12,718,854 8,190,448 71,071,013 1,501,287 1,101,006 6,347,452 Middle Atlantic . 13,461,446 13,402,685 West North Central 7,608,996 4,338,452 South Atlantic 11,292,714 East South Central 7,692,342 United States 61,185,305 Montana 548,889 431,866 2,028,283 1,356,621 194,402 646,872 3,426,861 334, 162 939,629 630,547 7S3,3£9 449,396 3,668,412 3,155,900 1,380,631 2,387,125 1,296,372 3,852,356 604,397 4,663,228 968,470 6,485,280 1,463,701 2,632,067 1,769,257 10,38.5,227 8,720,017 5,759,394 437,571 2,404,021 77,407 2,559,123 1,752,204 300,350 2,34.8,174 2,895,832 1,083,724 2,930,390 1,798,509 1,449,661 2,309,187 3,404,055 2,337,885 2,416,630 223,003 708,014 443,083 1,790,618 352,428 376,053 325,594 1,657.155 1,141,990 145,965 577, 056 2,377,549 204,354 799, 024 583, 888 672,765 373,351 2,810,173 2,537,167 1,114,756 2,075,708 1,192,214 3,366,416 542,610 3,896,542 752,619 5,638,591 1,221,119 2,333,860 1,690,949 9,113,614 7,665.111 4,767,121 331,069 2,224,771 81,875 2,206,287 1,574,449 327,301 2,138,093 2,609,121 1,515,400 2,700,876 1,656,388 1,295,346 2,061,612 3,293,335 2,184,789 2,289,905 202,322 742,371 430,572 1,797,114 355,956 172,818 148,028 819,229 410, 175 48,982 304,679 1,268,243 109, 776 317,506 303,260 295,723 314,006 2,223,333 1,693,459 756, 212 1,392,176 735, 442 2,265,287 324,792 3,306,311 560, 103 4,090,918 1,113,343 1,852,574 967,838 6,634,469 6,564,988 4,079,758 160, 109 1,624,606 24,761 2,391,258 1,196,930 209, 234 2,055,273 2,595,423 1,505,791 2,209,448 1,522,615 1,107,290 1,978,940 2, 382, 282 1,994,. 580 2,134,989 142,963 598,345 257,074 1,595,136 250,538 99,314 90,225 515,212 262,694 31,782 North Dakota 197,847 California 903,996 78,949 Colorado 233,516 South Dakota 225,125 Oregon . 225,102 Utah 243,054 1,761,085 1,344,164 Connecticut 607,074 Minnesota 1,121,376 595,551 Massachusetts 1,861,820 Rhode Island 267,116 Texas 2,730,757 Florida 463,003 3,406,638 West Virginia 931,077 Wisconsin 1,558,455 823,628 New York 5,647,063 Pennsylv^nift , .5,a-5><.263 hio. .". 3,546,991 District of Columbia 139,351 Iowa 1,416,584 Nevada 21,640 Nnrlh Carnlinq 2,a89,728 Arkansas l,a'>5,940 New Mexico 184,749 1,857,916 Geor^a 2,361,349 South Carolina 1,431,028 Indiana 2,031,345 Louisiana 1,4(15,936 Maryland 1,026,355 Virginia 1,843,152 Missouri 2,222,925 Tennessee 1,873,227 Kentucky 2, Ml. 385 Delaware 137,131 578,739 New Hampshire 24.8,629 Mississippi. 1,563,839 Vermont 250,480 • Includes persons horn in the T^nilod States, slate of birth not reported; persons born in outlvinRros- sessions, or at .sen under \Tnltcd Stitcs flaR; and persons of foreign birth whoso p.irenls were Ammc.in citizens temporarily ab.sont from tlic I'nitod States. DETAILED TABLES. 243 Population According to Whether Born in Division or State op Residence: 1910. state being determined by the rale of increase between 1910 and 1920 in the population born and living in Table 57.] GEOGRArmC DIVISION AND STATE. POPULATION BORN IN OTHER DIVISIONS OB STATES. FOREIGN-BORN POPULATION. PER CENT WHICH POPU- LATION BORN AND LIVING IN SPECIFIED DIVISION OR .STATE FORMED OF TOTAL P(JPULATION LIVING THEREIN. 1920 1910 1920 1910 19-20 1910 United States 13,438,948 11,349,040 13,920,692 13,515,886 73.7 72.6 2,237,089 1,315,787 2,066,629 1,264,649 2,367,738 2,216,017 449,015 909,047 612,977 20,274,450 1,691,505 1,057,610 2, 045, 529 948, 939 1,700,645 2,3.52,472 363,636 576,944 611,760 16,910,114 1,130, .561 467,620 464, 828 4,960,418 3,232,141 1,375,653 1,885,945 330,537 72,989 13,920,692 955, 809 453,322 352, 192 4,851,173 3,073,766 1,616,695 1,825,110 299. 994 87,825 13, 51.5, 886 38.4 45.6 74.8 71.6 73.6 70.9 68.1 90.9 92.1 67.2 35.8 Monntain 41.8 West South Central Middle Atlantic 72.3 69.7 East North Central West North Central 73.4 65.4 66.2 South Atlantic 92.6 East South Central United States 91.5 66.5 Montana 274, 877 240, 313 1, 155, 880 662, 451 116,830 204, 092 1, 363, 951 137, 573 492,079 247, 194 374, 292 73, 999 697, 365 711,531 241, 805 499, 584 402,676 487, 242 102, 790 968,382 349, 624 1,156,685 283, 552 309, 809 681, 185 865, 523 744, 254 983,017 244,222 543, 565 35, 734 157, 990 533, 148 119,877 269,981 279, 246 109, 369 561,0.58 223,013 236, 134 293, 493 821,375 322, 329 247, 732 59,045 58, 475 91,9.50 183, 405 54, 748 177, 783 190,063 1,092,844 608, 226 84,269 216, 996 863, 236 74, 699 430, 264 254, 762 329, 538 60, 655 436,326 525,075 174,680 402, 137 414,056 434, 104 94,710 907,908 244,836 997, 189 229, 925 256, 529 722,968 686,616 569,204 607, 352 164,623 524, 774 39,700 108,605 494,075 117,9,54 257,031 221, 545 76,996 501,420 190,309 161,783 188,886 822, 738 286,419 215, 517 47, 285 50,009 82, ,562 218, 768 52, 165 95, 591 40,747 40, 432 265, 292 26,567 131,863 757,625 80, ,566 119,138 82, 534 107,644 59,200 729,292 742, 486 378,439 486,795 1.50,665 1,088,548 175, 189 363, 832 53,864 1,210, .584 62, 105 460, 485 110,967 2, 825, 375 1, 392, 557 680, 452 29, 365 225, 994 16,003 7,272 14, 137 29. 808 18,027 16,564 6, 582 151,328 46, 427 103, 179 31,705 186,835 15,648 30,906 19,901 107,814 91, 397 8,408 44,558 94,713 42, 578 40.442 256, 241 29,020 156,654 586, 432 48, 765 129, 587 100, 790 113, 136 65, 822 597, 550 660, 788 329, 574 543, 595 176,662 1,0.59,245 179, 141 241,938 40,633 1, 20.5, 314 57,218 512, 865 135,450 2,748,011 1,442,374 .598, 374 2-i f'f^? 273; 765 19, 691 6,092 17,046 23. 146 19,286 15.477 6,179 1.59,603 52, 766 104, 944 27,0.57 229, 779 18,607 40, 162 17, 492 110,562 96,667 9,770 49,921 31.5 34.3 40.4 30.2 2.5.2 47.1 37.0 32.9 33.8 47.6 37.7 69.9 60.6 53.7 54.8 58.3 .56.7 58.8 53.7 70.9 57.8 63.1 76.1 70.4 54.7 63.9 75.3 70.8 36.6 67.6 32.0 93.4 68.3 58.1 87.5 89.6 I 93.0 75. 4 t 84.7 1 76.4 ! 85.7 : 70.0 85.3 88.3 64.1 77.9 1 58. 89.1 71.1 26.4 Idaho 27.7 31.1 Washinirton 23.0 21.8 North Dakota 34.3 CaUfornia 38.0 38.6 Colorado 29.2 South Dakota 38.6 33.5 Utah 65.1 Michigan 62.7 New .lerscv 53.0 Connecticut 54.5 54.0 Nebraska 50.0 Massachusetts 55.3 Bhode Island 49.2 Texas 70.1 Florida 61.5 60.4 West Virginia 76.2 Wisconsin 66.8 Kansas 48.7 New York 62.0 73.6 Ohio 74.4 District of Columbia Iowa 42.1 63.7 Nevada 26.4 North CaroUna 94.7 67.1 56.4 Alabama 86.9 Georgia 90.6 South Carolina ff4.4 Indiana 75.2 84.9 Marvland 79.2 Virginia 89.4 Missouri 67.5 Tennessee 85.7 Kentucky 8a7 Delaware 67.8 Maine 78.0 New Hampshire 57.7 Mississippi Vermont 87.0 70.4 244 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 191(>-1920. Table 59. — Distribution of Population According to Color, Nativity, and Class to Total Increase, for (The states for which figures are given in this table are those in which Xegroes constituted 5 per cent or being determined by the rate of increase in the white STATE AND CENSUS TEAR. Olclahoma: 1920 1910 Florida: 1920 1910 Texas: 1920 1910 West Virginia: 1920 1910 Alabama: 1920 1910 South Carolina: 1920. 1910 North Carolina: 1920 1910 Arkansas: 1920 1910 Louisiana: 1920. 1910. Georgia: 1920 1910 District of Columbia 1920 1910 Virginia: 1920 1910 Missis^pi: im.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'. Maryland: 1920 1910 Tennessee: 1920 1910 Missouri: 1920 1910 Kentucky: 1920 1910 Delaware: 1920 1910 Total population. 2,028,283 1,657,155 %8,470 752,619 4,663,228 3, 896, 642 1,463,701 1, 221, 119 2,348,174 2,138,093 1,683,724 1,515,400 2, 559, 123 2, 206, 287 1,752,204 1,574,449 1,798,509 1,656,388 2,895,832 2,609,121 437, 571 331,069 2,309,187 2,061,612 1,790,618 1,797,114 1,449,661 1,295,346 2,337,885 2,184,789 3,404,055 3, 293, 335 2,416,630 2,289,905 223,003 202,322 Total white population.2 1,321,194 1, 444, 531 638,153 443,634 3,918,165 3, 204, 848 1,377,235 1, 156, 817 1,447,032 1, 228, 832 818, 538 679, 161 1,783,779 1,500,511 1,279,757 1,131,026 1,096,611 941,086 1,689,114 1,431,802 326,860 236, 128 1,617,909 1,389,809 853,962 786,111 1, 204, 737 1,062,639 1,885,993 1,711,432 3, 225, 044 3,134,932 2,180,560 2,027,951 192,015 171, 102 White population born and living in specilied state. 702, 130 403,005 342,353 284,455 2,650,041 2,127,423 1,079,987 903,885 1, 213, 217 1,017,267 718,524 609,677 1,665,379 1,418,606 885,648 759,647 887,092 762,369 1,471,937 1,267,017 113,486 98,843 1,360,807 1, 219, 171 732,695 662, 897 910,534 824, 742 1,628,768 1,479,902 2,280,498 2,112,820 1,933,612 1,797,734 122,524 114,463 Whit« population born in other states. 1,068,052 994,338 250,440 143,503 886,806 825,846 231,288 193,320 213,626 190,952 92,445 62,878 109,612 75,073 375,105 349,789 160,368 122,163 198, 469 145,649 181,813 111,452 223,106 142,251 111,921 112,279 189,777 131,896 238,751 208,647 746, 767 777,207 213,855 187,998 49,445 38,884 Foreign - born white popula- tion. 39,968 40,084 43.008 33,842 360,519 239,984 61,906 57, 072 17,662 18,956 6,401 6,054 7,099 5,942 13,975 16,909 44,871 51,782 16,186 15,072 26,548 24,351 30,785 26,628 8,019 9,389 102, 177 104,174 15,478 18,459 186,026 228, 896 30,780 40, aw 19,810 17,420 * Includes Indians, Chinese, Japanese, etc. » Includes native white persons for whom state of birth was not roporlod, and white persons born In outl>'iug possessions. DETAILED TABLES. 245 Whether Born in State op Residence, with Ratio of Increase in Each Selected St.\tes: 1920 and 1910. more of the total population in 1920. The states are arranged in dc-;ccnding order, the position of each id 1' ■ ■ ■ population born and living in it, as shown in Table CO.] Total Negro popula- tion. a Negro popula- tion born and living in speci- fied state. Negro popula- tion born in other states. RATIO (PER CEirr) OF INCREA.SE IM SPECTFIED POPULATION CLASS TO INCREASE IN TOTAL POPULATION: 1910-1920. Total white popula- tion. White popula- tion born and living in speci- fied state. White popula- tion born in other states. For- eign- born white popula- tion. Total Negro popula- tion. Negro popula- tion born and living in speci- fied state. Negro popula- tion born in other states. 149,408 137,612 64,079 45,976 83,941 90,420 } 101.5 80.6 19.9 0) 3.2 4.9 (.*) 1 329,487 308,669 217,229 198,496 99,079 101,278 } 90.1 36.1 49.5 4.2 9.6 8.7 0) 2 741,694 690,049 655,065 602,761 81,246 81,8.S3 } 93.0 68.2 8.0 15.7 6.7 0.8 (*) 3 86,345 64, 173 33,347 27,160 52,220 36,573 1 90.9 72.6 15.7 2.0 9.1 2.6 6.5 4 900,652 908, 282 841,668 839,821 56,309 65,981 1 103.9 93.3 10.8 (0 0) 0.9 (*) 5 864,719 835,843 847,026 821,058 16, 827 14,008 1 82.8 04.7 17.6 0.2 17.2 15.4 1.6 6 763,407 697, 843 714,449 66.3,394 47,963 33,392 } 80.3 69.9 9.8 0.3 18.6 14.5 4.1 7 472, 220 442, 891 311,247 296,040 157,935 144,065 1 83.7 70.9 14.2 («) 16.5 8.6 7.S 8 700,257 713,874 634,353 642, 733 62,567 68,022 1 109.4 87.8 20.9 0) 0) (0 (*) 9 1,206,365 1,176,987 1,123,394 1,097,257 80,682 75,821 1 89.7 71.5 18.4 0.4 10.2 9.1 1.7 10 109,966 94,446 46,569 40,459 62,305 53,058 1 85.2 13.7 66.1 3.9 14.6 5.7 N.7 11 690,017 671,096 617,324 623,472 70,301 46,570 \ 92.1 57.2 32.7 1.7 7.6 (.*) 9.0 12 935,184 1,009,487 861,340 899,690 71,401 106,436 } (.') (") (=•) (') (') (') (--) 13 244,479 232, 250 196,729 201,594 46,255 29,769 \ 92.1 .35. 6 37.5 (0 7.9 (*) 10.7 14 451,758 473,088 365,769 393, 173 83,546 77,705 1 114.0 97.2 19.7 (*) 0) (*) 3.8 15 178,241 157,452 101,702 109,949 74,396 45,299 } 81.4 151.4 (*) (') IS. 8 (*) 26.3 16 235,938 261,656 201,335 233,454 33,839 27,462 1 120. 4 107.2 •-0. 1 («) («) («) 5.0 17 30,335 31,181 20,438 22,668 9,589 8,399 1 104.0 .39.0 51.1 D.O <*) 0) 5.8 18 3 Includes native Negroes for whom state of birtb was not reported, Negroes born in outlying possessions, and foreign-bom Negroes. < Decrease in class. » Decrease in total population. 246 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 60. — Per Cent of Increase According to Color, Nativity, and Whether Born in State of Residence, 1910-1920, and Per Cent Distribu- tion OF Whites and Negroes by Age and M.^rital Condition, 1920, for Selected States. [The states for which percentages are given in this table are those in which Negroes constituted 5 per cent or more of the total population in 1923. The states are arranged in descending order, the position of each being determined by the rate of increase in the white population born and living Init.) PER CENT or INCREASE OR DECREASE (— : 1910-1920 STATE. In total white popula- tion. In white popula- tion born and liv- ing in specified state. In white popula- tion born in other states. In foreign- born white popula- tion. In total Negro popula- tion. In Negro popula- tion born and living in speci- fied state. In Negro popula- tion born in other states. 26.1 43.8 22.3 19.1 17.8 20.5 18.9 13.2 16.5 18.0 38.4 16.4 8.6 13.4 10.2 2.9 7.5 12.6 74.2 29.5 24.6 19.5 19.3 17.9 17.4 16.6 16.4 16.2 14.8 11.6 10.5 10.4 10.1 7.9 7.6 7.0 7.4 74.5 7.4 19.6 11.9 47.0 46.0 7.2 31.3 36.3 63.1 56.8 -0.3 43.9 14.4 -3.9 13.8 27.2 -0.3 27.1 50.2 8.5 -6.8 5.7 19.5 -17.4 -13.3 7.4 17.2 15.6 -14.6 -1.9 -16.1 -18.7 -23. 2 13.7 8.6 6.7 7.5 34.6 -0.8 3.5 9.4 6.6 -1.9 2.5 16.4 2.8 -7.4 5.3 -4.5 13.2 -9.8 -2.7 39.4 9.4 8.7 22.8 0.2 3.2 7.7 5.1 -1.3 2.4 15.1 -1.0 -4.3 -2.4 -7.0 -7.5 -13.8 -9.8 -7.2 Florida Texas. -2.2 -0.8 42.8 Alabama -14.7 19.6 4;$. 6 Arkansas 9.6 -8.0 Georgia 6.4 17.4 51.0 -32.9 55.4 7.5 64.2 23.2 14.2 AGEl and marital condition of native negroes: 1920. WHITES AND OF TOTAL Native whites. Totai Negroes.' STATE. Per cent under 15 years. Per cent 15 to 44 years. Per cent 45 years and over. Per cent married in pop- ulation 15 to 44 years. Per cent under 15 years. Per cent 15 to 44 years. Per cent 45 years and over. Per cent married in pop- ulation 15 to 44 years. Oklahoma 38.2 35.7 37.6 39.2 40.0 39.1 39.9 .39.7 37.9 38.3 21.7 36. 38.9 32.0 37.1 31.5 36.4 31.8 46.1 41.5 47.2 43.7 44.2 45.2 43.4 43.8 46.7 45.3 55. 4 45.1 41.3 46.9 44.5 47.0 44.4 4.5.1 15.6 19.6 1.5.0 16.9 15.8 15.6 16.6 16.4 15.2 16.4 22.5 18. 8 16.6 21.1 IS. 4 21.4 19.1 22.9 60.7 58.5 56.8 57.6 59.3 56.5 56.9 60.8 55.0 58.5 4.5.3 54.3 57.3 52.9 58.6 5.5.7 58.4 56.1 35.8 32.8 34.9 29.3 38.3 42.7 41.8 35. 6 35.9 39.0 1 22.4 1 36.7 38. 3 i 30. 5 33.1 22.2 28.1 28.8 48.0 50.6 49.6 56.0 44.7 44.1 43.6 47.7 48.3 45.6 57.9 46.0 45.7 50.2 48.1 56.1 49.3 40.2 15.9 16.1 15.3 14.2 16.8 13.1 14.4 16. 4 15.6 15.3 19.3 17.1 15.8 19.0 1.8.5 21.3 22.4 21.2 57.8 Florida 59.8 Texas 57.3 58.8 56.2 South Carolina 56.9 54.8 60.4 58. 8 58.7 District of Columbia 54.9 Virginia 54.1 Mississippi 59.8 Maryland 55.6 Tennessee 57.1 Missouri ^ 57.0 Kentucky 55.4 Delaware 53.4 ' Percentages for age based on total population of spocined diss, including a small number of persons of unknown age. • Native and foreign-born Negroes not tabulated separately by ago groups. DETAILED TABLES. 247 Table 61. — Proportions of Children Under 15 Years of Age and of Persons 45 Years of Age and Over in Total Population, by Divisions and States: 1920, 1910, and 1900. PER CENT UNDER 15 FEARS. PER CENT 45 YEARS AND OVER. DUnsiON AND STATE. 19-20 1910 1900 1920 1910 1900 31.8 j 32.1 34.4 20.8 18.9 17.7 Geographic division.s: 28.5 29.8 29.4 31.1 36.5 37.1 36.5 .33.2 25.2 27.2 29.0 29.5 31.9 37.5 38.1 38.8 31.1 2-1.3 27.4 30.6 32.5 35.4 39.0 39.7 41.3 33.6 27.9 24.6 21.7 22.5 21.7 17.6 17.9 16.3 18.8 25.1 23.0 19.8 21.2 19.3 16.2 15.9 14.4 17.0 21.5 22.5 Middle Atlantic 19.3 East North Central 19.1 V.'e-st North Central 17.1 South Atlantic 15.7 East South Central 15.0 West South Central 1.3.5 15.7 20.5 New England: 28.2 27.0 28.5 28.0 28.8 30.0 27.8 30.2 32.1 28.6 29.0 29.2 29.9 31.2 31.2 29.9 29.4 38.9 34.7 32.0 31.2 28.8 29.7 20.6 35.8 37.2 40.4 40.9 38.3 33.4 35.2 36.1 39.1 38.4 38.3 36.2 37.6 35.4 32.6 35.3 31.3 29.9 37.1 3:5.3 37.8 24.8 27.4 27.2 23.7 27.4 20.2 27.6 27.0 27.6 27.8 27.3 29.1 30.9 28.2 29.5 29.5 29.6 32.2 31.8 30.9 31.0 \7 34.3 32.8 31.8 28.9 30.9 23.2 37.0 36.7 40.5 41.6 39.8 35.7 35.9 37.0 39.8 40.2 39.4 38.4 39.0 38.6 27.2 33.3 26.9 28.5 36.8 31.7 37.1 20.8 26.4 25.7 22.8 27.3 2.5.9 27.6 27.4 28.1 28.0 29.1 30.7 32.4 30.9 32.3 32.9 31.9 35.8 36.4 34.0 34.8 39.3 38.5 36.4 34.9 31.4 33.1 25.0 38.3 38.3 41.3 42.7 41.4 38.6 37.6 38.8 41.1 41.9 41.5 40.5 41.3 41.6 29.2 .36. 4 30.6 30.3 38.8 32.9 40.9 25.5 30.5 30.5 26.3 28.1 28.5 28.5 24.2 23.3 22.2 22.5 21.1 20.9 23.2 24.8 21.6 21.7 22.1 20.7 23.4 23.1 1.5.9 18.0 20.5 22.4 2.3.7 22.3 22.8 18.5 17.0 16.1 14.4 16.0 19.4 19.9 18.6 16.4 16.3 16.7 16.1 16.2 16.2 18.4 18.3 16.2 21.9 17.1 16.2 16.6 2.3.8 22.7 24.4 26.1- 27.1 27.1 27.0 21.9 20.8 21.6 20.6 19.4 19.1 22.3 22.5 19.3 22.5 20.5 18.4 21.4 19.7 13.5 16.5 18.7 20.3 22.4 20.5 21.5 17.3 15.5 15.7 13.5 14.6 14.9 17.7 16.8 15.0 13.7 14.7 14.2 14.2 14.4 16.2 16.2 14.0 19.2 16.1 1.5.6 15.1 21.2 18.5 20.9 23.1 26.5 26.4 Vermont 26.6 21.0 20.6 21.8 Middle Atlantic: 20.2 19.1 18.4 East North Central: Ohio 20.4 19.7 17.3 20.7 18.2 We.st North Central: 15.8 18.5 16.9 12.6 South Dakota 15.9 16.2 18.6 South Atlantic: Delaware 20.2 18.6 District of Columbia 20.9 16.7 West Virginia 15.0 15.6 South Carolina 13.6 14.1 Florida 14.0 East South Central: 16.0 15.6 14.7 13.4 West South Central: 13.9 13.9 Oklahoma 12.9 Texas 13.3 Mountain: 14.2 Idaho 1.5. 2 12.8 In. 7 15.8 16.0 Utah 14.4 24.7 PAcmc: Washington 16.6 19.3 22.2 248 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 62. — Number of Persons Engaged and Value Produced or Added, FOR Agriculture in Comparison with Manufactures and Production of Minerals, by Divisions and States: 1919. (Sec Appendix E.) PERSONS engaged IN— Value of agricultural products .1 Value added by DIVISION AND STATE. Agriculture. Manufactures and produc- tion of minerals. plus value of products of mineral industries. United States 10,636,826 11,893,5.58 $20,933,487,000 1 $28,206,165,000 Geographic divisions: 221, 162 633, 064 1,586,291 1, 064, 919 2,114,586 1,782,628 1,781,389 414,009 438, 178 1,543,095 3,816,142 3,091,676 70S, 772 1, 073, 132 480,570 413,863 222,382 543, 926 463, 106, 000 1,497,641,000 4,323,955,000 5,540,245,000 2,509,601,000 1,722,324,000 2, 702, 169, 000 914, 787, 000 1,259,599,000 3,249,884,000 Middle Atlantic 9,287,921,000 East North Central 7,596,274,000 West North Central 1,690,804,000 South Atlantic 2,211,625,000 846,211,000 West South Central 1,220,595,000 Mountain 634,264,000 Pacific 1,468,587,000 New England: Maine... . 61,034 25, 312 41,724 49,839 7,337 35,916 302,702 56,796 274, 166 356,065 291, 493 375,354 271,379 292,000 291,967 325, 601 391, 574 119, 779 116, 880 186,745 232, 373 17,326 90,164 779 291,529 118,869 468,640 418,483 601, 595 107, 201 391, 392 395, 232 497,627 498, 377 402,070 278, 766 313,081 787,472 81,696 67,235 2.5, 556 98,673 54, 034 35, 397 42,974 8,444 100, 4.57 78,615 2.59, 106 100,377 91,089 42,084 814,437 156, 433 338,675 1,533,227 608,456 1,674,459 939,670 358,883 889,064 582, 271 321,788 166,240 117,473 262,097 7,087 10,914 49,262 95,699 33, 102 171,985 14,116 154, 715 204, 015 177, 531 87, 368 143,620 86,680 131, M7 128,750 155, .521 s 64, 452 62,275 '118,618 79, 169 153,801 38,037 19,027 18, .368 63, 2.31 14,253 27, 178 33, 865 8,423 155, 876 68, 852 319, 198 141,927,000 45, 892, 000 92,873,000 98,452,000 12, 008, 000 71,954,000 713,513,000 127,647,000 656,481,000 922,025,000 767,680,000 1,281,889,000 590,691,000 761,670,000 723,257,000 1,440,942,000 935, 449, 000 367, 663, 000 410,446,000 783,042,000 879,446,000 31,238,000 152, 181, 000 477,000 400, 236, 000 157, 470, 000 580, 689, 000 475,476,000 616,01.5,000 95,879,000 495, 067, 000 470, 240, 000 363, 876, 000 393, 135, 000 410,297,000 231,890,000 7a3, 772, 000 1, 356, 204, 000 140,784,000 179, 220, OCX) 67,975,000 278, 586, 000 74, 768, 000 59, 676, 000 87, 403, 000 26,375,000 295, 178, 000 20:i, 2!2, 000 761,189,000 204,076,000 169, 245, 000 Vermont. .^ 81,490,000 Massachusetts 1,754,644,000 Rhode Island 332, 286, 000 Connecticut 708,143,000 Middle Atlantic: New York 3. 947, 889, 000 New Jersey . . 1,414,430,000 Pennsylvania 3,925,602,000 EA.ST North Central: Ohio 2, 322, 879, 000 Indiana . . 776,642,000 Illinois , 2,115,648,000 Michigan 1,650,815,000 Wisconsin... 730, 290, 000 West North Central: Minnesota .. 465, 439, 000 Iowa 243, 706, 000 Missouri 572, 870, 000 North Dakota 14,812,000 South Dakota 24, 499, 000 Nebraska 115,561,000 Kansas 253,917,000 South Atlantic: Delaware 79,884,000 Maryland 334, 297, 000 37,903,000 Virginia 301,334,000 West Virginia 496,637,000 North Carolina 419,639,000 South Carolina 154,818,000 Georgia 257, 490, 000 Florida 129,623,000 East Sotrrn Central: Kentucky 258,431,000 Tennessee 234,778,000 Alabama 251,933,000 Mississippi ... '101,069,000 West South Central: Arkansas 105,90.5,000 Louisiana -284,802,000 Oklahoma 370,68,5,000 Texas 459,203,000 Mountain: 94,437,000 Idaho 48,402,000 Wyoming 81,124,000 ColoradoT 151,969,000 New Mexico 29, 003, 000 Arizona 116,602,000 Utah 88,290,000 Nevada 24,437,000 PAcmc: Washington 379, 774, 000 162. 462, 000 California 920, 351, (KK) 1 Total value of crops plus total value of live-stfiok products and domestic animals sold or slaught orod on farms; includes some duplication representing vuluc of crops consumed by live slock and vahK" of iiniinuls sold and subsc PRODUCTION OF MINERALS.' Agricul- ture. 47.2 58.4 (») 12.5 18.4 (») 14.2 47.2 (') 33.9 47.4 (') 70.1 76.4 (') 66.3 74.8 («) 78.8 85.5 « 81.1 88.4 (') 65.1 64.9 (') 44.6 57.0 (') 37.8 44.5 21.7 28.6 49.8 50.6 5.8 9.1 4.5 8.0 9.6 16.1 Manu- fac- tures. 48.0 36.3 87. 80.3 (') 77.6 67.9 (') 61.7 46.6 (') 27.0 19.6 (») 29.2 21.6 (') 16.9 11.6 (») 15.5 10.3 (') 21.0 16.6 « 52.5 37.7 (5) 61.5 53.9 77.6 70.1 46.3 40.1 94.0 90.3 95.3 91.4 90.2 83.3 Produc- tion of minerals. 4.8 5.4 (») 0.5 1.3 (') 8.2 11.3 (') 4.4 6.0 (') 2.9 4.0 (») 4.4 3.6 (') 4.3 2.9 (•) 3.4 1.3 (') 14.0 IS. 4 (') 2.9 5.3 (') 0.7 1.6 0.7 1.3 3.9 9.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.7 Percent urban in total popu- lation. 51.4 45.8 17.9 79.2 76.3 42.6 74.9 71.0 26.1 60.8 52.7 9.3 37.7 33.3 10.9 31.0 25.4 11.6 22.4 18.7 3.7 29.0 22.3 15.1 36.4 36.0 6.6' 62.4 56.8 14.3 94. f 92.! 67.) 65. ( Percent of pop- ulation in cities of 100,000 and over and their adja- cent terri- tory.' 34.9 29.4 (•) 58. 9 48.9 (») 63.0 5.8.7 (») 39.6 31.6 (•) 19.6 16.6 (») 16.3 12.1 (») 12.3 10.6 las 4.2 (') 13.2 9.1 (') 47.1 43.4 7.7 7.2 78.4 69.1 87.3 86.5 58.0 34.2 1 Relates to calendar year preceding census year. 2 The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within approximately 10 miles beyond the boimdaries of the central city. s Data incomplete. 250 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 63. — Urbantzation of Population in Comparison With Industrial Development, by Divisions, 1920, 1910, and 1850, and by States, 1920 and 1910— Continued. [See Appendix E.] DIVISION, STATE, .\.ND CENSUS YEAR. PER cent of total COM- PRISING WKLUE or AG- RICULTURAL PRODUCTS, VALUE ADDED BY MAN- LTACTtniE, AND VALUE OF PRODUCTS OF MIN- ERAL INDUSTRIES.! PER CENT OF TOTAL PER- SONS ENGAGED IN AG- RICULTURE, MANUFAC- TURES, AND PRODUCTION OF MINERALS.' Percent urban in total popu- lation. Percent of pop- ulation in citiesof 100.000 and over Agricul- tural prod- ucts. Value added by manu- facture. Mineral prod- ucts. Agricul- ture. Manu- fac- tures. Produc- tion of minerals. and their adja- cent terri- tory.' Middle Atlantic. New York: 1920 15.3 1S.0 8.3 11.9 14.3 16.2 28.4 35.9 49.7 55.0 37.7 40.9 26.4 38.8 51.1 50.0 00.8 59.4 85.5 85.3 02.0 62.6 90. 1 97.1 94.4 93.2 87.1 87.1 77.0 82.0 2S. 1 36.5 31.3 33.2 1.2 2.0 84.2 81.3 91.1 88.4 67.8 62.8 67.4 58.1 46.9 40.7 57.0 53.6 69.0 50.4 48.2 48.0 28.2 27.8 13.4 12.7 35.8 32.7 3.4 2.6 4.4 3.4 12.8 12.8 14.4 14.0 71.7 62.0 m.7 03.7 98.7 97.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.7 17.9 21.0 4.1 0.0 3.4 3.7 5.3 5.4 4.0 10.8 0.7 1.5 11.0 12.8 1.1 2.0 2.2 4.7 0.5 0.3 1.2 3.4 (') 0.1 8.0 4.0 0.2 1.5 2.0 3.2 16.5 23.2 8.5 IS. 4 14.1 19.9 27.5 41.5 44.8 57.8 29.7 40.7 31.8 50.0 47.6 57.4 03.7 69.2 73.5 78.2 59.9 67.5 94.4 96.2 91.5 93.1 79.1 80.2 70.8 79.0 34.4 47.9 34.4 44.7 5.2 8.7 83.1 75.9 90.7 82.1 68.0 57.0 08.1 52.2 50.8 36.9 03.6 51.4 64.3 . 42.8 51.8 41.4 32.2 26.0 23.8 17.4 37.6 27.7 4.8 3.1 7.1 3.9 20.8 13.6 23.5 15.8 05.4 60.7 03.3 51.9 94.7 91.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.6 18.0 23.1 4.4 6.3 4.4 5.3 0.7 7.9 3.9 6.6 0.0 1.3 4.1 4.9 2.7 4.4 2.5 4.8 0.7 0.7 1.5 3.0 0.1 0.2 5.7 5.3 0.3 1.4 2.3 3.4 0.1 82.7 7a 8 7&4 75.2 64.3 60.4 63.8 55.9 50.6 42.4 67.9 61.7 61.1 47.2 47.3 43.0 44.1 41.0 36.4 30.6 46.6 42.5 13.6 11.0 16.0 13.1 31.3 26.1 34.9 1 29.2 54.2 I 48.0 ' 60.0 50.8 1 100.0 1 100.0 73.4 1910 69.9 New Jersey: 1920 77.3 1910 69.3 Pennsylvania: 1920 45.4 1910 41.6 East North Central. Ohio: 1920 . . 49.2 1910 36.3 Indiana: 1920 19.1 1910 14.9 niinois: 1920 49.4 1910 44.5 Michigan: 1920 37.0 1910 . . .. 23.9 Wisconsin: 1920 20.8 1910 18.9 West North Central. Minnesota: 1920 28.5 1910 27.5 Iowa: 1920 8.2 1910 .... 1.6 Missouri: • 1920 30. 5 1910 32.0 North Dakota: 1920 1910 South Dakota: 1920 1910 Nebraska: 1920 . . 10.1 1910 14.4 KaiLsas: 1920 7.4 1910 0.3 South Atlantic. Delaware: 1920 61.6 1910 Maryland: 1920 1910 District of Columbia: 1920 1910 60.0 55.9 100.0 100.0 ' Relates to calendar year preceding census year. 2 The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within approximately 10 miles beyond the boundaries of the central city. ' I>csi than one-tenth of 1 per cent. DETAILED TABLES. 251 Table 63. — Urbanization' of Population' in Comparison With Industrial Development, by Divisons, 1920, 1910, and 1850, and by States, 1920 and 1910— Continued. [See Appendix E.] DIVISION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAR. PER CENT OF TOTAL COM- PRISING VALUE OF ag- ricultural PRODUCTS, VALUE ADDED IIY MAN- UFACTURF., AND VALUE OF PRODUCTS OF MIN- ERAL INDUSTRIES.! PER CENT OF TOTAL PF.R SONS ENGAGED IN AG- RICULTURE, MANUFAC- TURES, AND PRODUCTION OF MINERALS.' Per cent urban in total popu- lation. 1 Percent of pop- ulation in cities of 100,000 and over Agricul- tural prod- ucts. Value added by manu- facture. Mineral prod- ucts. Agricul- ture. Manu- fac- tures. Produc- tion of minerals. and their adja- cent terri- tory.* South Atlantic— Contd. Virginia: 1920 57.0 57.7 24.1 31.4 58.0 63.1 75.4 75.9 70.5 73.0 42.5 42.3 65.7 62.9 66.7 67.4 59.1 65.4 79.5 79.2 79.5 76.7 44.9 47.5 65.5 82.5 74.7 79.9 59.9 44.4 78.7 71.7 4.5.6 70.7 64.7 46.9 38.8 38.7 30.7 32.6 41.7 36.4 24.3 23.5 29.0 25.5 53.5 48.5 21.2 33.5 30.0 28.0 31.2 24.9 20.5 20.8 18.9 20.9 47.4 48.9 8.3 7.6 16.5 18.0 18.9 16.9 16.1 16.7 26.3 7.5 23.4 27.6 4.2 3.6 45.2 36.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 4.0 9.2 13.1 3.6 3.3 4.7 9.7 9.7 65.3 71.6 36.8 50.9 72.5 81.5 82.7 86.4 80.7 85.5 5.5.3 02.4 74.8 81.5 75.4 81.3 76.2 85.2 88.5 92.2 86.6 88.9 70.2 79.2 79.8 91.1 1 S3. 7 91.0 68.2 60.1 77.9 80.0 1 58.2 66.6 60.9 58.0 31.2 24.8 29.0 22.7 27.1 18.1 17.1 13.2 18.9 14.0 42.8 34.5 16.0 14.3 21.6 15.4 18.5 10.6 11.5 7.8 12.5 9.9 28.3 20.5 9.8 4.7 13.9 8.3 17.3 15.4 18.9 14.3 18.4 9.2 27.6 23.5 3.5 3.6 34.2 26.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.9 3.1 9.2 4.2 2.9 3.3 5.3 4.2 29.2 23.1 25.2 18.7 19.2 14.4 17.5 14.8 25.1 20.0 36.7 29.1 26.2 24.3 26.1 20.2 21.7 17.3 13.4 11.5 16.6 ! 12.9 i 34.9 ; 30.0 i 1 26.6 19.3 32.4 24.1 i 31.3 35.5 i 27.6 i 21.5 29.5 1 29.6 j 48.2 I 50.7 24.1 1910 10.0 West Virginia: 1920 1910 North Carolina: 1920 1910 South Carolina: 1920 1910 Georgia: 1920 9.G 1910 8.0 Florida: 1920 1910 East South Central. Kentucky: 1920 17.5 1910 15.5 Tennessee: 1920 15.9 1910 14.5 Alabama: 1920 ! 12.4 1910 9.9 Mississippi: 1920 0.3 1910 0.2 West South Central. Arkansas: 1920 1910 Louisiana: 1920 1.6 2.4 7. 7 3.6 26.2 9.9 8.8 2.0 21.2 38.6 5.2 11.6 28.1 21.8 11.9 25.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 0.3 10.4 4.1 2.4 0.7 14.5 24.5 3.2 5.7 23.4 24.3 11.4 18.5 0.4 0.4 23.3 22.2 Oklahoma: 1920 1910 Texas: 1920 14.6 1910 Mountain. 1920 Idaho: 1920 1910 Vi yoming: 1920 Colorado: 1920 30.8 1910 30.0 'Kelates to calendar year preceding census year. ., , , . 2 The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within approximately 10 miles beyond the boundaries of the central citv. 252 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 63.— Urbanization of Population in Comparison With Industrial Development, by Divisions, 1920, 1910, and 1850, and by States, 1920 and 1910— Continued. [See Appendix E.) DrVTSION, STATE, AND CENSUS YEAE. PER cent of total COM- PRISING V.VLUE OF AG- RICULTURAL PRODUCTS, VALUE ADDED BY MAN- UFACTURE, AND VALUE OF PRODUCTS OF MIN- ERAL INDUSTRIES. I PER CENT OF TOTAL PER- SONS ENGAGED IN AG- RICULTURE, MANUFAC- TURES, AND PRODUCTION OF MINERALS.! Percent urban in total popu- lation. Percent of pop- ulation in citiesof 100,000 and over Agricul- tural prod- ucts. Value added by manu- facture. Mineral prod- ucts. Agricul- ture. Manu- fac- tures. Produc- tion of minerals. and their adja- cent ferri- torj-.i Mountain — Continued . New Mexico: 1920 72.1 70.6 33.9 20.4 49.7 41.6 51.9 32.1 43.7 46.8 55.6 63.8 45.1 44.9 9.8 13.3 16.0 26.1 26.6 28.3 12.6 8.9 54.3 48.2 43.9 35.2 45.2 42.1 18.2 16.0 50.2 53.5 23.6 30.1 35.5 59.0 2.0 4.9 0.5 1.0 9.7 13.0 79.1 85.9 56.6 50.5 55.9 59.0 50.1 49.0 39.2 52.6 53.3 68.7 44.8 55.5 9.7 6.2 16.5 16.7 30.1 22.4 21.1 15.2 58.7 43.3 46.1 30.2 51.4 37.3 11.1 7.9 26.9 32.8 14.0 18.6 28.8 35.8 2.1 4.1 0.6 1.1 3.8 7.2 18.0 14.2 35.2 31.0 48.0 46.3 19.7 16.3 55.2 53.0 49.9 45.6 68.0 61.8 1910 Arizona: 1920 1910 Utah: 1920 1 33.4 1910 1 Nevada: 1920 1 1910 1 Pacific. Washington: 1920 i 39.2 1910 ! 36.1 Oregon: 1920 ' 39.3 1910 i 36.4 California: 1920 52.0 1910 4S.S » Relates to calpndar vear preceding census year. , „ ., , . , i The term "adjacent territory" refers to the area lying within approximately 10 miles beyond the boundaries of the central city. DETAILED TABLES. 253 Table 64;. — Increase in Population in Comparison with Increase in Industrial Activity: 1910-1920. [See Appenduc E.] PER CENT which INCREASE OR DECREASE ( — ) IN DIVLSION OR STATE FORMED OF TOTAL INCREASE OR DECREASE IN UNITED STATES. DrVISION AND STATE. In popu- lation. In value of agri- cultural products. In value added by manu- facture. In value of mineral products. In persons engaged in agri- culture. In persons employed in manu- facturing indus- tries. In persons em- ployed in pro- duction of min- erals. United St.^tes 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Geographic divisions: New England 6.2 21.4 23.5 6.6 13.1 3.5 10.6 5.1 10.0 1.9 6.6 19.9 24.9 12.8 7.9 14.5 4.7 6.8 12.3 33.0 29.9 5.1 7.7 2.2 2.9 1.1 5.7 0.1 2.5.2 12.7 7.S 12.8 6.9 23.1 6.1 5.4 -3.1 -8.6 -12.7 -8.2 -25. 9 -25.5 -16.1 5.5.2 44.8 10.3 27.9 35.0 5.6 5.9 2.5 3.2 1.4 8.3 8 Middle Atlantic East North Central.. . 15 6 West North Central -18.8 20 6 South Atlantic East South Central 27 8 West South Central 51 5 Mountain 7 5 Pacific 5 4 New England: Maine 0.2 0.1 -24.3 3.5 0.4 1.9 9.2 4.5 7.7 7.2 1.7 6.2 6.2 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 0.8 1.8 1.8 2.6 1.2 2.1 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 -44.8 1.3 1.0 2.7 5.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 -30.8 1.6 0.8 7.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3 (') 0.3 3.0 0.5 3.1 4.3 3.4 5.5 2.7 4.0 3.6 6.7 4.1 1.3 1.8 3.6 3.9 0.1 0.7 0) 2.0 0.7 3.3 2.6 2.9 0.4 2.2 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.1 3.9 7.4 0.6 1.0 0.3 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.5 1.0 4.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 6.6 1.3 2.9 14.6 5.9 12.5 9.5 2.9 7.1 7.4 2.9 1.3 0.8 1.9 (■) 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.3 0.1 1.1 0.8 1.9 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 (■) 0.1 0.2 0) 1.6 0.7 3.4 -2.0 (') 0) (') 0) 0) 0.6 (') 24.3 3.7 1.6 5.3 1.9 0.2 3.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 -9.4 -0.2 3.7 -2.3 0.2 (') 1.1 11.4 0.1 (') 0.1 0) 4.5 0.5 1.8 (') 0.2 »1.7 13.3 7.7 -42.5 0.2 1.6 0.3 0.7 2.8 1.0 -43.7 0.1 (') 5.2 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.8 -0.2 -0.5 -3.5 -0.9 -4.0 -3.2 -2.7 -3.7 -2.7 -0.2 9.8 -1.5 -3.3 -O.G -0.4 -0.8 -2.2 -0.3 -1.0 C-) -3.1 -2.2 -7.2 -5.0 -6.3 -0.5 -3.3 -3.7 -8.8 -9.3 -3.4 -3.0 -1.9 -7.5 20.2 8.5 0.6 10.3 -0. 6 9.8 4.2 (=) 2.2 (') 34.5 0.3 0.2 (') 5.4 1.1 3.3 10.3 7.4 10.3 11.5 3.6 7.8 8.9 3.3 1.4 0.9 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.3 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 O.S 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 (') 2.2 1.1 5.0 1 New Hampshire 0.5 Vermont 3 4 Massachusetts 1 1 Rhode I.sland 2 Connecticut 0.7 Middle Atlantic: New York 3.8 New Jersey 1.3 Pennsvlvania 33.4 East North Central: Ohio 3 7 Indiana 1 5 lUinois 1 3 Michigan 5 4 Wisconsin —1.6 West North Central: Minnesota 6 Iowa 4 7 Missouri 9 7 North Dakota ''\, South Dakota Nebra.ska -0.2 Kansas 0.5 South Atlantic: Delaware —0.3 Maryland 1 3 District of Columbia 1.2 Virginia West Virginia 2tj.2 North Carolina 0.6 South Carolina -0.6 Georgia -1.0 Florida 1.3 East South Central: Kentucky 23.3 Tennessee -2.1 1.9 Mississippi 1.6 West South Central: Arkansas Loui.siana » 4.7 23.8 Texas 14.5 Mountain: Montana -2.7 Idaho -0.7 Wyoming 1.2 Colorado -5.0 New Mexico 1.4 Arizona 2.6 Utah —0.6 Nevada -0.8 Pacific: Washington —1.4 Oregon -0.3 California -3.0 ' Less than one-tenth of 1 per cent increase. 2 Less than one-tenth of 1 per cent decrease. • Mississippi included with Louisiana. 254 INCREASE OF POPULATION: 1910-1920. Table 65.— Areas Other Than States Enumerated at Each Ceksus: 1790-1920. [At some of the early censuses the eaameration did not cover the entire areas of certain territories. The references to areas included apply only to those covered by the enumeration.] CENSUS YEAR. 1 Nonstate areas enumerated . CENSUS YEAR. Nonstate areas enumerated. 17901 Vermont (independent republic). 1860 Nebraska territorv. including part of Territory south of River Ohio, includ- (Contd.) present area of Wyoming. ing present area of Tennessee. Kansas territory. Colorado territory (organized in 1861). 1S District of Columbia. Nevada territory (organized in 1J«1), Indiana territory, comprising present comprising part of present area of area of Indiana, Illinois, W isconsin, state. and part of Michigan. Part of Territorv Northwest of Ohio 1870 District of Columbia. River, now Ohio and part of Mich- Utah tenitory. igan, remaining after organization New Mexico territory. of Indiana territory. Arizona territory-. Mississippi territory, now southern Mississippi and Alabama. , Washington territory. Idaho territory. Montana territory. 1810 « District of Columbia. Wyoming territory. Indiana territory, comprising present Dakota territory, comprising present area of Indiana and part of lUinois. area of North and SoiiUi Dakota. Illinois territory, comprising part of Colorado territory. present area of Illinois and present area of Wisconsin. 1880 District of Columbia. Michigan territorj'. Utah territory. Mississippi territory, comprisiiig pres- New Mexico territory. ent area of Mississippi and Alabama. Arizona territory. Part of Louisiana territory, now Mis- Washington territory. soin"i and Arkansas. Idaho territory. Orleans territory, now part of Louis- Montana territory. iana. Wyoming territory. Da'kota territory', comprising present 1820 District of Columbia. area of North and South Dakota. Miciiigan territory, including present : Alaska territory. area of Wisconsm. 1 Missouri territorj'. 1890 District of Columbia. Arkansas territory. Utah territory. New Mexico tcrritorj-. 1830 District of Columbia . Arizona territory. Michigan territory', including present area of Wisconsin. Oklahoma territory and Indian Terri- tory (combined in 1907 to form state Arkansas territory. of Oklahoma). Florida territory. Alaska territory. 1840 District of Columbia. 1900 1 District of Columbia. Florida territory. 1 New Mexico territory. Wisconsin territory, including small 1 Arizona territory. part of present area of ilinnesota. Iowa territory, including greater part Oklahoma territory and Indian Terri- torv (combined in 1907 to form state of present area of Minnesota. of Oklahoma). Alaska territory. 1850 District of Columbia. 1 Hawaii territory. Minnesota territory. Utah territory. 1910 District of Columbia. New Mexico territory. New Mexico territory. Oregon territory, including present Arizona territory. t area of Washington. Alaska territory. Hawaii territory. Porto Rico territory. 1860 District of Columbia. Utah territory. 1920 District of Cohunbia. New Mexico territory, including pres- Alaska territory. ent area of Arizona. Hawaii territory. Washington territory, including pres- Porto Rito territory. ent area of Idaho and parts of Mon- Guam. tana and WyoniinR. American Samoa. Dakota territory (organized in IhGl), Panama Canal Zone. comprising present area of North and South Dakota and parts of Mon- tana and Wyoming. 1 Maine, although a part of Massachusetts, and Kentucky, although a part of Virginia, shown separately In census rer)oris. 2 Maine, although a part of Massachusetts, shown separately in cen.sus reports. DETAILED TABLES. 255 Table 66. — Elements op Population Estimated by Different Methods: 1900 and 1920. WHITE population: 1900 ELEMENT. FIRST computation: Elimination of foreign stock from native element. SECOND computation: Growth of native stock estimated on basis of rate of increase for Southern states.' third computation: Growth of native stock measured by proportion of persons in Massachusetts having native grandfathers. Average. Total white 66,809,196 66,809,196 66,809,196 66,809,196 Native element' 43, 495, 762 37,290,000 6,210,000 23, 313, 434 29,520,000 43,495,762 35,640,000 7,&50,000 23,313,434 31,160,000 43,495,762 33,730,000 9,770,000 23,313,434 33,080,000 43,495,762 35, 550, 000 7,940,000 23,313,434 31,250,000 Native stock Foreii^n stock Foreign element 3 Total foreign stock ' WHITE population: 1920 ELEMENT. FIRST computation: Elimination of foreign stock from native element. second computation: Growth of native stock estimated on basis of rate of increase for Southern states.' Average. Total white 94,820,915 94,820,915 94 820 915 Native element^ 61,960,586 47, .330,000 14,630,000 32,860,329 47, 490, 000 01,960,586 46,250,000 15, 710, 000 32,860,329 48,570,000 Native stock 46,790,000 15 170 000 Foreign stock Foreign element 3 32 860 329 Total foreign stock * 48,030,000 1 In making the estimate by this method it was assumed that the rate of natural increase of the native white stock prior to ks70 was the same for the country as a whole as for the Southern states, and th.ir sabsequently to ls70 the rate for the remainder of the country was equal to one-half that for the Sou;h. - All whites of native parentage plus one-half of all whites of mixed parentage. ' .Vll whites of foreign parentage ]ilus one-half of ail whites of mixed parentage. * Foreign element plus foreign stock in native element. Table 67. — Years of Admission of St.\tes to U.vion. state. Year of admission. state. Year of admission. state. Year of admis- sion. Alabama 1819 ' 1912 i 1836 is.:o 1876 ('I (•) 1845 (') 1890 1818 1 1816 1846 1861 1792 1812 1820 (') (') 1837 1858 1817 1821 1889 1867 1864 (') (■) 1912 (') (') 1889 Ohio 1803 Arizona Maryland.. 1907 -Vrkansas Massachusetts Michigan 1S59 California Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota (') (') 1889 Colorado Connecticut Delaware Missouri Florida 1795 Oeorgia Nebraska Texas 1845 Idaho Utah 1898 Illinois New Hampshire Vermont 1791 Indiana Virginia (I) Iowa 1889 Kansas New York North Carolina North Dakota West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming 1853 184S Louisiana 1R90 ' One of the Original Thirteen States. ADDITIONAL COPIES OF THIS PtJBUCATlON MAT BE PROCURED FROM THE SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D. C. AT $1.00 PER COPY V 14 DAY USE ' RETURN TO DESK FROM WHICH BORROWED EARTH SCIENCES LIBRARY This book is due on the last date stamped below, or on the date to which renewed. Renewed books are subject to immediate recall. ^i££j2-^Meee" 1 1 i T r. oi Ar,„. r. •f\r. General Library /i^I^n^X\l7R University of California (P43088l0)476 Berkeley K ,< I. i.i! .'.'lil 'M).|:: i'i';.'n; ;.ij. I ' ' I . , , ' i ; r. a! 1 )') I '■ Hi" ' /if ■ ('l -U ,>^^'.■!;i'!J•i;'' t ' i.1 •i! ^l/' Mm l:« , ••i.'i-u-.ii: /.III .M ' • [v.\ I MM' ,1;, 'I'V "ii l-'lfl