DT 926 M46 UC-NRLF II; I i II II ' $C 177 440 THE LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA GIFT OF Estate of Ernst and Eleanor van LBben Sels PEACE OR WAR IN SOUTH AFRICA A. M. S. METHUEN. m ENGLISH EDITIONS FIFTY-SEVEN THOUSAND. METHUEN & CO., LONDON ONE SHILLING (Twenty-four Cents). American Edition (Reprint) By CHARLES D. PIERCE, Consul General Orange Free State, 136 Liberty Street, - - - New York. PRICE, TEN CENTS. ACKNOWLEDGMENT. This is a reprint of a book written by Mr. A. M. S. Methuen, senior member of the publishing house of Methuen & Co., of London, England, whose object was to procure an extended circulation in England and the English Colonies of the facts therein contained for the purpose of influencing English public opinion against the prolongation of the war in South Africa. The truth of his state- ments must appeal to every person not blinded by national prejudice. We reprint ithe book, with acknowledgement to Mr. Methuen, for the purpose of backing up the public opinion he wishes to create in England, with a sturdy American senti- ment against an infamous attempt to deprive a free people of their liberty and independence. The solution of the South African question offered by Mr. Methuen in chapter IX., along the line of what seems to him the "wisdom of compro- mise," is not in accord with the sentiment of the Boers themselves or their sympathizers in America. What they desire is not "compromise," but independ- ence. Their fealty to England cannot be purchased with any such "mess of pot- tage" as therein concocted. May this book accomplish in Amer ica what those who love the Boer cause most ardently desire — the cooperation of American sentiment and English opinion against the continuance of a war which never had the shadow of a real excuse for its beginning. \%ai£u &.\J)jUbc£> % Consul-General Orange Free State, Trustee and Treasurer Boer Relief Fund, 136 Liberty Street, New York City. November 1, 1901. LOAN STACK GIFT 5 • 3 IPS" A&Oj. '*-> o 2 o> • Li. - >— 1 4 X M Q < o "S- p. X CD O o t- LU o Z3 O Li. X t- 00 .So 00 H C6 >> at O rrjo Q. < z o &l z 1- < S c — ) ►'o/.yjb' o — a> CJ o ll CD BD ■a a P ► CD o Z !Z * 3 CO o iv PREFACE TO THE ORIGINAL EDITION. direct result of the political errors which have prolonged the war beyond all reasonable neces- sity. But I hope I have not dwelt on them overmuch. They are things which later on we had better hide in decent oblivion. It is difficult in the treatment of such a problem as this to write or to speak in terms so moderate as to win the approval of one's opponents, but I trust they will believe that I have endeavoured to do justice to views which are honestly, though, as I think, erroneously held. I cannot hope that those who still advocate hostilities d outrance will accept the arguments or the proposals contained in this book, but I beg them if they be tempted to call me a Pro- Boer, 1 and my policy a policy of cowardice, to remember that Lord Kitchener is opposed to "a fight to a finish," that He is in favour of offering reasonable terms to the Boers and an amnesty to the Cape rebels, and that of his own initiative he has offered such terms. It is clear, therefore, that if the advocates of conciliation are guilty of cowardice, they possess this unfortunate defect in common with the Commander-in-Chief in South Africa. Those who obstinately oppose the wishes of the one man who is acquainted with the position in South Africa must bear a terrible responsibility. I hope that many readers who may not agree with my treatment of the origin and conduct of this war may be ready to consider with attention the dangers of continued warfare and the arguments which I have advanced for a policy of peac,e. However divergent our views on the past may be, we are all bound to frame our policy in the interests of our own country. I have written neither as a Conservative nor as a Liberal, nor as a sentimentalist, but as an Englishman who believes that the time has come when all reasonable and moderate men should attempt to. save their country from the costly humiliations that await her if our Min- isters pursue their present path. Of one thing I am sure : if the Government is allowed to follow its policy of mingled drift and violence, the result will be disaster. In a book which covers a period of time so long and so full of important episodes, it is probably impossible to avoid errors of fact or inference. I can only say that I have endeav- oured to be accurate in my facts and fair in my conclusions. A. M. S. M. May 28th, 1901. In the second, third, fourth, and fifth editions of this book I have made many additions and a few corrections. June 14th, 1901. July 12th, 1901. June 2gth, iooi. August $th, 1901. The sixth and seventh editions of this book have been again enlarged by the addition of many references and of an index. For these I am indebted to the kindness of a friend. I owe thanks also to the numerous correspondents who have written to me on various points in the controversy. I am glad to say that in no case have I been called a "traitor" or a "criminal." August 30th, 1901. September 15th, 1901. PREFACE TO THE CHEAP EDITION. In answer to very numerous requests I have determined to issue a cheap edition of this book. October \oth, 1901. 1 This term seems to bear a double meaning. On the one hand it may describe a man who admires the splendid patriotism of the Boers and who believes that the war was unnecessary. In this respect I am a Pro-Boer in common with millions of my fellow-countrvmen. This term is also used abusively to denote a man who wishes to see his country beaten and humiliated, and who is infected by the virus of antipatriotism. There are not many thousands of such men, and I am not one of them. CONTENTS. INTRODUCTION. PAGE 1775 AND 1899: A PARALLEL TO THE AMERICAN REVOLUTION . . .1 CHAPTER I. THE NATION, 1895-1900 . . . . . . 13 CHAPTER II. f SOUTH AFRICA TO 1 896 . . . . . . . 15 CHAPTER III. SOUTH AFRICA, 1896-1899 ... . . . . . .25 CHAPTER IV. THE CAMPAIGN .......... 36 CHAPTER V. THE ENEMY ...... CHAPTER IX. PEACE, OR GOVERNMENT WITH CONSENT . 54 CHAPTER VI. THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTH AFRICA . . . . . .60 CHAPTER VII. SIR A. M1LNER ......... 62 CHAPTER VIII. UNREST, OR GOVERNMENT WITHOUT CONSENT . . . . -67 75 CHAPTER X. THE CONCLUSION OF THE MATTER . . . . . . .81 APPENDICES. A. Agriculture in South Africa. B. A- Convention concluded between Her Majesty the Queen, etc., and the South African Republic. "In South Africa two races — the English and the Dutch — have to live to- gether. At the present time the Dutch are in a majority, and it is therefore the duty of every statesman, of every well-wisher of South Africa, to do all in his power to maintain amicable relations between the two races. In our own Cape Colony the Dutch are in a majority. There are tens of thousands of Dutchmen in the Cape Colony who are just as loyal to the throne and to the British connec- tion, as, let me say, our French-Canadian fellow-subjects in the Dominion of Canada. But, at the same time, these Dutch fellow-subjects of ours very naturally feel that they are of the same blood as the Dutchmen in the two Republics, and they sympathise with their compatriots whenever they think that they are subject, or are likely to be subject, to any injustice, or to the arbitrary exercise of force." Mr. Chamberlain, April, 1896. PEACE OR WAR IN SOUTH AFRICA. INTRODUCTION. 1775 AND 1899 : A PARALLEL. HISTORICAL parallels are often fanciful, and it is unwise to press them severely. But history is the best teacher of the present, as it is the best prophet of the future ; and, though there are many and important points of difference, the most casual student of history cannot fail to notice the painful resemblance between the situation, both military and political, of ' 1775 to 1783 and the situation of to-day. The cause of the war of 1775 may be stated in a few words. The King and his Ministers claimed the right of sovereignty over the American Colonies. From this they deduced the right of taxing those colonies for Imperial purposes. The Americans, admitting the abstract right of sovereignty, denied the right of taxation by an English Parliament in which they were not represented. The English Ministers were determined to maintain, defend, and test this right; the Colonists were equally determined to resist its practical exercise. The English, believing that the Americans would yield to pressure, proceeded to coercive measures ; and in six years England was defeated, and her American Colonies were lost. It may not be uninteresting or unfruitful to examine in some detail the political and social conditions which preceded and caused the crisis. The middle years of the eighteenth century were years of gross and material prosperity. The moral and intellectual aims of the day were low ; the ideal was languishing; wealth and the influence of wealth were growing; and most of the population were plunged in torpor and indifference to any but material concerns. With prosperity came a jealous insolence in the public spirit, a brutality of ambition which could brook no rival, and a hopeless vulgarity in political thought. All classes were pervaded by it, from the King to the cobbler. The wealth which had followed the great conquests of Chatham in Asia and America during the last years of George II. brought with it extravagant habits of life ; and with them came the necessity for making money fast, and the temptation to make it corruptly. The standard of financial morality was steadily sinking lower, and society was vulgarised by ambitious parvenus from the East and West Indies. The old and respectable ideals of commerce were rejected in favour of swifter and more ques- tionable ones. Men and women in the highest ranks of society thought it no shame to consort with vulgar millionaires who had fattened on war contracts, with stock-jobbers who had made vast fortunes by dishonest means, with speculators and slave-drivers and usurers. Serious observers, who saw the frantic and suc- cessful efforts which the over-gorged and bloated "peculators of the public gold" 1 The War of the Revolution in America. 2 PEACE OR WAR. made to enter high society, felt something of the indignation which inspired Juvenal's burning satire. The increasing luxury and the rise in the price of the necessities of life drove our public men to seek sources of revenue which their forefathers would have scorned. The sale of public offices, of seats in Parliament, and of influence, had created a system of jobbery so gigantic that it is to-day almost impossible to appreciate its far-reaching effects. The Paymaster of the Forces thought it no disgrace to use hundreds of thousands of pounds of the public money for private ends; Ministers did not shrink from open bribery, from receiving fees and per- centages, and from sharing the profit on contracts of every kind. The picture is not an exaggerated one. The memoirs, letters and novels of the day paint it in even stronger colors, and there is no reason to doubt that in 1770 public morality and public spirit were at their lowest ebb. On the other side of the Atlantic a new race, sprung from the same stock, was making for itself a very different social scheme. The American Colonists, in whose blood the stern love of civil and religious liberty which inspired Crom- well's 'troopers had lost none of its strength, had passed through long and bitter struggles. They had emerged from the first phases of colonisation. The New England States were beginning to show signs of prosperity and of an ordered civilisation. Agriculture was flourishing, public schools and libraries were being established in every town, and in 1775 the population of the Colonies was not less than two millions.* The character of the American Colonists has been drawn for us in its main, and, it may be added, in its most pleasing, features by Burke. The dominant note of the American character was a fierce love of freedom, a love so strong that it ill bore any restraint, and would brook no coercion. The Colonists were, in many cases, descendants of men who had left their homes in England because they would not suffer the persecution of the Church and Monarchy. That stubborn spirit, which gave them the courage to brave tempestuous seas and the perilous unknown, .they bequeathed to their heirs, together with a religious creed which, hard and narrow, was yet a source of strength, an inspiration, and a vital force. They had, through their provincial assemblies, practically acquired the right of self-govern- ment and self-taxation. Living at wide distances from one another, they gained the strength and self-reliance which isolation often brings. Life on their farms and the chase of wild animals gave them vigour and a sturdy spirit, while in the Southern States the possession of large bands of slaves made them haughty and impatient of control. Travellers in America were unanimous in their eulogy of American hospitality, kindliness and simplicity. The extremes of wealth and poverty were, in most States, absent. Every one seemed comfortable, courteous and dignified. The defects of the Americans were the defects of their qualities. They were stubborn, litigious, and bitterly suspicious. Strenuous and active in their daily lives, they made no allowance for the temptations of a civilisation which was some centuries older than their own. They were adepts at driving hard bargains, and their methods were not always consistent with the highest commercial honour. They yielded with a bad grace, and could not bear defeat. In a word, they were not an easy or pleasing people in their business dealings, and they were a most dangerous people with whom to embark on a political dispute. There could be little sympathy between such men and the English Ministers. To the officials who had been sent to America because their debts or their amours made England too hot for them, their austerity was odious and ridiculous. To them the Colonists appeared as did the Roundheads to the Cavaliers — canting, hypocritical, and cowardly. The Colonists, on their side, chafed under the unsympathetic hands of the English Governors ; they were repelled and shocked by a profligacy and want of principle to which they were unaccustomed, and they were angered by the constant, if petty, invasions of rights which they held dear. INTRODUCTION. 3 For England and the King, as the impersonation of all that was highest and best in the English character, the Colonists entertained a warm and pathetic affection. They had been oftentimes willing to shed their blood, to give their money and their time, for the Imperial interests of England. They did not under- stand, and they could not believe, that the policy which was so fast making them into rebels proceeded from the King's obstinate character, and they discriminated between the King and his officials. From such a body of men, so simple and yet so shrewd, so fierce and yet so affectionate, with all its crude qualities so attractive, the United States of America have sprung ; and what soon will be the mightiest nation on earth was lost to the English Crown by the perversity of a foolish King and the obstinacy and ignorance of an English Cabinet and English officials. The war between England and her American Colonies was the culmination of a discontent which might be traced back at least eighty years.. America had long fretted under the regulations of the English Parliament. Whether these regulations were justifiable or not, is beside the question; they were vexatious, and they bore no fruit but irritation. The Colonists complained that their trade was crippled by the Mother Country, that customs and duties were forced upon them, that they were expected to maintain a large number of English troops, and that they were charged with the salaries of English Governors and officials. The imposition of the Stamp Act of 1765 was received by the Americans with an indignation which found vent in serious riots, and though this Act was repealed in 1766, the good effect of the repeal was soon nullified by the imposition of new duties on the import from Great Britain of various articles of commerce, including tea and glass. The duties were both irritating and barren. The Colonists quickly found means of evading the imposts, either by legal methods, in which their skill was supreme, or by declining to allow the import and use of the articles on which the duties were laid. The English officials were forced to retire dis- comfited from the unequal contest, and their defeat begat in the minds of the King and his Ministers the conclusion that force was the only remedy. The earnest protests of the Colonists were received with little consideration. • They were not in accord with the temper of the time, and the King regarded them as a derogation of his sovereign power. He saw in the action of the Colonists the misconduct of rebellious and forward subjects. He read in their irritation a desire to break away from the British Empire. He was told that a great conspiracy was on foot, and that the leaders of American opinion were definitely aiming at complete freedom from English control. Unwise counsellors assured him that the repeal of the Stamp Act and a policy of magnanimity had already created a danger- ous insolence among the Americans, and that if he did not decide to stem the rising waters of insubordination, America would be lost to the Empire. There were a large number of Colonists who were unwilling to oppose the King's policy, either from a sentiment of pure loyalty or because they were political opponents of the champions of American rights. These men were called Loyalists, and their counsel was for stern measures. They assured the Ministers that they had only to be firm to conquer, that the "traitors," haughty as they were in speech, were cowards at heart, and that chastisement with a high and unsparing hand was the only cure for an intolerable position. In vain did Benjamin Franklin warn the Ministers that it was dangerous to place too great a strain on the loyalty of the Americans. He was heard before the Privy Council, and was answered and attacked by Wedderburn with studied inso- lence. The Privy Councillors shook in their seats with laughter. Franklin said not a word, but stood composed and erect. He wore a full dress suit of velvet, and the next time he wore that suit was when, in 1778, he signed the treaty with France which gave to the United States the rank of an independent nation. The decay of public morality and public spirit is generally accompanied by the decay of Parliament. The authority of the House of Commons was at a low 4 PEACE OR WAR. ebb; and the Ministry, backed by a powerful and submissive majority, did not ponceal their contempt for the representatives of the people. The fortunes of England were in the hands of her King. George III. had become not only King of England, but the absolute ruler of his Ministers. They were his servants, trained to execute his decrees, and to sink their will in his. North, who had become Prime Minister after the retirement of Grafton in 1770, was a man of considerable parts and of a kindly nature. He was uneasy about the King's policy, and the most respectable members of his own Cabinet had similar misgivings. But North's char- acter was fatally weak. In the House of Commons he was constantly asleep, and, gifted though he was with clearness of vision and common sense, he was too proud or too indolent to assert his own will. Such men are not rare in our political history, and their tenure of office has not infrequently been a time of national disaster. They yield their own prudence to the rash obstinacy of a stronger and less refined will. The dangers, which they foresaw, approach, the storm rises, and the rocks appear ; they wring their hands, the rudder slips from their grasp, and the ship is wrecked. Rigby, Wedderburn, and Thurlow, the three chief advocates of the Ministerial policy, were men of great ability, considerable force of character, and absolutely unscrupulous methods. Wedderburn's career was typical of the political standards of the day. He was an apostate from the Whigs because he saw among the Tories higher hopes of success. He soon justified his promotion by his violence. His tongue was as bitter as his character was corrupt. Master of lucid and incisive speech, he was able to dominate a weak House of Commons and to hide his ambitions under the mask of patriotism. He had no sense of political morality. To him the highest form of Parliamentary success was to browbeat those whose arguments he could not refute, and to denounce as traitors men whose characters were, as compared with his own, as white as snow. He had not even the excuse of ignorance. Before his apostasy he had been a determined opponent of that de- testable policy of which he was now the champion, and the speeches which he had in his saner days delivered against this policy would have formed a com- plete armoury for the Opposition. His own party feared as much as they admired him: his opponents hated him: no one trusted him. In the bitter phrase of Junius, there was something about him which even treachery would not trust. A determined and united Opposition would have prevented the approach of the crisis. But in 1773 the Whigs were divided by jealousies and disheartened by constant defeat. It requires a high degree of moral courage to stand up night after night in the House of Commons in opposition to a powerful Ministry, when that Ministry is unscrupulous, and when it has the enormous advantage of being able to say that any opposition is unpatriotic and a direct incentive to war. We need not be surprised, therefore, that the Opposition was languid and impotent. Rockingham and Richmond were men of the highest honour; but they withdrew in despair from the hopeless contest. They confessed that nothing would restore common sense to the country "except the dreadful consequences which must follow from the diabolical policy of the Government." Horace Wal- pole, in a pungent sentence, disposes of the charge that Colonists were strengthened •in their resistance by the Whigs. "The cruellest thing that has been said of the Americans by the Court is that they were encouraged by the Opposition. You might as soon light a fire with a wet dish-clout." Burke in vain attemped to rouse both the Opposition and the public from their apathy. He advocated the assertion of the great principles of liberty and justice which had brought England to her present supremacy. The people, he said, were asleep or intoxicated ; they were not answerable for their supine acquiescence ; God never made them to think or act without guidance. But the guides were cowed into silence. There were, indeed, noble exceptions. Chatham, the most splendid and generous of our Ministers, was beloved by the Americans as the incarnation of all that was great in the English character ; and though by the irony of fate the INTRODUCTION. 5 Ministry of which he was the nominal head imposed the duty which was the penultimate cause of the rebellion, he continued to advocate their claims to our sympathy, to attack with fierce eloquence and scathing irony the Ministers who were drifting nearer to ruin, and to denounce the use of German mercenaries and Indian savages against an Anglo-Saxon people. He defended the action of the Americans. "I rejoice that America has resisted," he said; and his brave words were received with a torrent of abuse by the Ministerial party and by the petty scribblers of the day. But Chatham was undaunted. Again he attacked the policy of the Ministers. It would be "an impious war," he said, "with a people contending in the great cause of public liberty. All attempts to impose servitude upon such men — to establish despotism over a mighty continental nation — must be vain and futile. We shall be forced ultimately to retract; let us retract when we can, not when we must." Two years after the war had begun, he used words which came naturally from the mouth of a noble and chivalrous Englishman: "If I were an American, as I am an Englishman, while a foreign troop was landed in my country, I never would lay dorvn my arms — never — never — NEVER." Burke, the wisest of our political writers and the greatest of English orators, was equally outspoken. He defended the right of the Colonists to resist an attack on their liberties, and inveighed against the "impious" demand of the Ministers for "unconditional submission." In two speeches which contain the very essence of political wisdom, he laid down the rules which should govern our relations with our Colonies, rules which must remain for all time the basis of our Imperial system. With that clear insight into the phenomena of the moment which dis- tinguished him, he saw that the Americans were fighting the battle of civil liberty all over the world ; and two years after the war had begun he dared to say that he could not wish the Colonists to be subdued by arms. He knew that such a sub- jugation could only be effective by maintaining a great body of standing forces, and perhaps of foreign forces. He foresaw the growth of military influence with results fatal to English interests and English liberty. Charles James Fox spoke with a voice as clear and vigorous. Brushing aside the cheap fallacy that any opposition to the Ministry of the day is unpatriotic, he attacked the insane policy that was leading England into a dis- astrous war. He did not hesitate to express his admiration of the American leaders, and to compare their resolute and heroic struggle for liberty with the fatuous mixture of violence and weakness which was dignified by the title of the Ministerial policy. These great men, refusing to prophesy smooth things to a blinded public, and courageous to hold their own country in the wrong, were shouted down in Parliament, and assailed with every form of virulent abuse by the supporters of the war, who had few facts to bring forward and no arguments to interpret those facts. They were called "traitors," "friends of the Americans," * "enemies to the King," "enemies of England," and "emissaries of the enemy." It is too true that these violent counsels were popular both in high social circles and among the body of the people. The English public was intensely irritated by what it considered a purely vexatious resistance on the part of the Colonists. The average mind has no means of testing the statements of inter- ested officials ; the newspapers of the day gave little guidance ; and what guidance they did give was in the direction of a "strong" policy. The most potent cause of political error is ignorance. Involuntary ignorance is comparatively harmless, and can be cured ; but wilful ignorance, the ignorance that results from prejudice and passion and foolish pride, has generally been the parent of grave national dis- aster. The ignorance which despises every other nation, which closes its eyes to 'Burke was even called "an American" (Letter to the Sheriffs'). There was apparently no use of "pro-" then. 6 PEACE OR WAR. every danger, which refuses to receive warning or advice, was the direct cause of the disaster of 1775. The King and the Ministry knew nothing of the temper of the American Colonists ; and all their information was derived from officials. These officials were either the victims of the grossest illusions or guilty of the grossest falsehood. The language in which they described the character^of the Colonists, their disloyal ambitions, their dishonesty, their hypocrisy, and the certainty of their submission at the first stroke of the whip was both ludicrous and tragical. An English officer wrote : "As to what you hear of their taking arms, it is mere bullying, and will go no further than words. Whenever it comes to blows he that can run fastest will think himself best off. Any two regiments here ought to be decimated if they did not beat in the field the whole force of the Massachusetts province, for though they are numerous, they are but a mere mob without order or discipline, and very awkward in handling their arms." According to General Gage, the Bostonians were "sly traitors" and "turbulent puritans," "scoundrels," "ruffians," and "cowards," "the worst of subjects," and the most "immoral" of men. With that extraordinary facility for saying the wrong thing which always distinguishes the foolish ruler, he issued a Proclamation against Hypocrisy : a characteristic example of the tact and consideration of the English Colonial Governor of that day. In vain did those who knew the American spirit and character warn the public and the Ministry of the dangers of their policy. General Lee wrote that (there were 200,000 able-bodied men, hardy, active, ready to encounter every danger Ifor their liberty. The Government, ignorant and self-complacent, sent 10,000 men to Boston, reinforcements numerous enough to irritate the Colonists, but absurdly inadequate to hold down a district so vast and a people so valiant. The King readily believed what he wished to believe; the Ministry followed his wishes ; and the public received its instructions from the Ministers. Many of the English officials were men of high character and ability. But they were utterly deficient in common sense and imagination and they took their ideas from the Loyalists, whose violence and folly saw in a "strong policy" the only cure for political trouble. Of the English Governors and officials Franklin wrote : "Their office makes them insolent ; their insolence makes them odious ; and, being conscious that they are hated, they become malicious. Their malice urges them to continual abuse of the inhabitants in their letters to Admin- istration, representing them as disaffected and rebellious, and (to en- h courage the use of severity) as weak, divided, timid, and cowardly. Gov- ernment believes all ; thinks it necessary to support and countenance its officers. Their quarrelling with the people is deemed a mark and conse- quence of their fidelity. They are, therefore, more highly rewarded, and this makes their conduct still more insolent and provoking." Ignorance so enormous, misinformation so wanton, miscalculation so gross and so disastrous, have probably been displayed by a political party only at one other period of English history. Meantime, the temper on both sides was rising fast. The Ministers were discussing preambles when they should have thought of conciliation, and logic when they should have looked to facts. In Parliament coercive measures were passed by large majorities, strong bodies of troops were despatched to America, and the King and Ministers were determined to teach the Americans "a sharp lesson." On the other hand, the Colonists, threatened by penal and coercive meas- ures, lost neither their dignity nor their courage. They recognised that their choice must lie between submission with its infamy and ruin, and resistance to the enormous power of an Empire which had beaten every rival. Boston, with her 5,000 citizens able to bear arms, did not take long to make her choice. Quietly, but firmly, she prepared for what seemed to her the inevitable conflict. The various townships of the Colony were not slow to promise their assistance, and the other States, under stress of common menace, prepared to take their stand with INTRODUCTION. ph'ies which BX#« ha „ a He could count on only a Washington's difficulties were enormous He ~«W^co ^ ^ section of the American population, at leas on <^ al1 bootless, his His numbers continually sank from 15,00c to ^ 5,000, *g™ hifd man as Washington's, and finally pr j»ved ata 1 The ; bore ^ between large It was at one time and in one dist net a r ^uiar w f At another bodies of troops, and according to the XTature of aVuerilla war waged by time and in another district 1 .partook of the ^^Y 6 ^^ ^ small and mobile columns of he enemy against a foe ^om X ^^ R to defe tV ffi£Tit£^^ to these minor opera ; ,s possible that the Americans ° we ° ™ as the persistent onset of tions. Nothing so quickly dishea ^ s -^/^^ the JJ de li V ers a swift 1SST2 'Sfifi with' e^alTapfdity, leaves his unwieldy enemy impotent - d SfflStt Army ^l^^^^i^VS^^, its frequent reverses. Officers and 1 ^P 8 ^Jg ated and maddened by the the set rules of war se Jdo jm knei de ^J^e rr {armers They elusive tactics a^.W^Sit the Colonists were a rabble !l l d been ,^ d ot a s n hoot ey that their roTps were mere bands of marauding mis- bloody experience of Bunker s ^1, and the ^«nde r g , § ^ ^.^ S? ^yt^SZt^ * their politicians, and Thf^^w^onSeTwHh'the greatest rigour, and menacing proclama- tion,™' ™cl£e^^^ The English Ministers, alarmed at the long 8 PEACE OR WAR. continuance of the war and the entry of France into the struggle, sent a Peace Commission to America. But it was now too late, and terms which a year ago might have been accepted were declined by the Colonists. In revenge for this rebuff, the Commissioners flew to violence. The Colonists were described as an "infatuated multitude" who ''affected" to fight against the royal troops. Those who, even at the eleventh hour, were wise enough to desert their "mis- guided leaders" would be pardoned by their royal Master; but for the leader themselves the proclamations held out no hopes of mercy. If, on the other hand, the Colonists neglected "the forgiveness offered by a considerate monarch," it would be necessary for his generals to devastate America, and to render it useless both to the Colonists and their allies. The brutal and deliberate policy of devastation, by which the Government attempted to intimidate a foe whom they could not conquer, was supported by the Tories on the ground of "military exigencies." Even the clergy and bishops, degenerate servants forgetful of the precepts of their Master, approved these barbarous methods. There were indeed two noble exceptions — the Bishops of Peterborough and St. Asaph. The former attacked the barbarous and cruel policy of the Government and the generals. "It is principally owing to the mild influence of Christianity that every nation professing the belief of it, as it were by common consent, set bounds to the savage fierceness of revenge and cruelty. Shall we, then, be the first among the nations of Europe to forget so very essential a part of its excellence as the humanity and benevolence it inspires? Shall we, I say, be the first to establish desolation upon system? And, to gratify an impotent resentment, deal fruitless destruction on the wives and children of an enemy we cannot conquer, and of friends we can no longer protect?" And again — "If such is the Christianity we are to propagate among the natives, it is better for their teachers, and better for themselves, that they should live and die in ignorance. If they are to be involved in our guilt, take not from them their plea for mercy. Let them still have it to urge at the Throne of God that they have never heard the name of Christ." Two years before the same wise Bishop had pointed out the folly of the Ministers, who hoped to hold in subjection a race so stubborn as the Americans. "Experience must surely have convinced us that it is not a single battle or campaign that, as among the effeminate inhabitants of Asia, is to decide the fate of the Western world. The vanquished must fly, but they will rally again; and while the love of liberty remains, there will be some sparks of courage ever ready to take fire on the slightest occasion. The cities must be burnt, the country laid waste, and many a brave man must perish, ere the miserable remnant is brought to absolute submis- sion; and when that is done what advantage can we expect?" Such a policy deserved to fail, and it did fail. 1 It is needless to say that the sight of their burning farms and ruined villages inspired the Americans with a hatred more bitter and a determination more stubborn. They wreaked their vengeance on those unfortunate Loyalists who, confiding in the ultimate success 1 "Indeed, our affairs are in a bad condition. I do assure those gentlemen who have prayed for war and obtained the blessing they sought that they are at this instant in very great straits. The abused wealth of the country continues a little longer to feed its dis- temper. . . . But America is not subdued. Not one _ unattacked village which was originally adverse throughout that continent has yet submitted from love or terror. You have the ground you encamp on and you have no more. The cantonments of your troops and your dominions are exactly of the same extent. You spread devastation, b.ut you do not enlarge the sphere of authority." Edmund Burke. (Letter to the Sheriffs of Bristol, 1777.) INTRODUCTION. 9 of England, had refused to join the ranks of the Colonists. The position of these men was a difficult and a painful one. On the one hand, if they aided the English army they were liable to be shot by the Americans, and on the other, if they assisted the Colonists they were liable to be hanged by the English. At home it was necessary to sustain the fast-waning interest of the public. The most atrocious calumnies were spread abroad concerning the conduct of the war by the Colonists. They were said to be cruel to their prisoners, and to break the rules of honourable warfare. It was asserted that poisoned bullets had been found in the pouches of the rebels. The Ministry went so far as to publish in the London Gazette an official statement that the Americans had scalped the wounded. 1 The condition of the American Army was represented to be hopeless, and the most sanguine reports were laid before the English Ministry. It was stated on the authority of the English generals and Governors that the Colonial troops were discontented and ready for mutiny; that they could secure no recruits; that their army was perishing of starvation and fatigue; that they had few supplies, and that for these they were obliged to pay ir. depreciated paper money. The public were regularly and constantly assured that the war was practically over; that the Colonies were awaiting an opportu- nity to submit to the King's authority; that it was only with the greatest difficulty that Washington was able to prevent his officers and his army from deserting to the royal troops, and that the desire for peace was universal. The real position of the English Army was carefully concealed from the public. The awful wastage which a long and indecisive campaign in a distant country always brings, the fever, the fatigue, the heart-sickness, were producing their inevitable effect on the unhappy English forces. Ministers were obviously uneasy, and it was difficult to obtain from them either precise information or a general estimate of the military situation. Where they had no comfortable news to give, it seemed to them an impertinence that the Opposition should demand facts. In September, 1780, the English Parliament was suddenly dissolved; and though the resentment of the country at the mistakes of the politicians and the prolongation of the war was considerable, the Opposition was still weak. The Ministers demanded that their hands, in view of the dangers which threatened England, should be strengthened, and the Ministerial party was returned by a slightly increased majority. The Ministers regarded their victory at the polls both as a condonation of any mistakes they might have made and as a mandate for the vigorous prosecution of the war. In vain the Opposition pleaded for a return to common sense and for the opening of negotiations with a foe whom they could never hope to conquer. Fox's motion of conciliation was rejected bv a large majority, and the Ministers proceeded on their policy of violence and drift. „ But in their very hour of triumph the crisis was approaching. It is possible that neither the Ministry nor the public appreciated the enormous difficulties against which the English generals had to contend, difficulties which were, in fact, insuperable, and which made success almost impossible. In the first place, the English were fighting against the most dangerous foe whom they had hitherto met, a foe of their own blood, of the same stubborn spirit, and with the same unconquerable love of freedom. Though there were many cowards and incapables among the Colonists, it is certain that, man for man, they were superior to the English soldiers in intelligence, in physique, in skill with the rifle, in knowledge of the country, and in a passionate and individual devotion to their cause. They had, too, the enormous advantage which the English Army did ' As a matter of fact, the English officers and privates who had been taken prisoners by the Colonists, loudly praised the tenderness and care with which they had been nursed by their "savage" enemy. io PEACE OR WAR. not, and could not, possess; they were fighting in their own country and for their freedom; they were filled with an enthusiasm which was not only patriotic but religious, and which made the struggle bear in their eyes the character of a Holy War. The English Army, though of a considerable size, was scattered over a vast district, with bad roads, and sparsely populated. It was obliged to operate against an elusive foe and among a hostile population. It was difficult to bring the enemy to decisive action; the capture of an important town, which in a land of higher development would have been a blow at the heart of the country, had no lasting effect; and the English were quite unable to follow up their, successes. The great towns of the Colonists fell one by one into the hands of the English, but the struggle continued, and the Americans hung still at the very gates. Great tracts of country submitted to the English troops, but, on their retire- ment, fell away from their allegiance. The English could not effectively occupy the country, and where that is impossible, ultimate success is impossible. Above all, the labour of* feeding a large army in scattered positions at great distances from their bases and depots was a task of supreme difficulty.* These bases were 3,000 miles from England: the lines of communication were imper- fectly held, and were liable to interruption by a mobile foe at any moment. It was beginning to be seen, even by the King's advisers, that to conquer such a country was almost beyond their power, while to hold in subjection a land so vast, so thinly populated, where more than half of the fiercer spirits of the population would be permanently disaffected, would require an immense army, and would entail the greatest dangers and an enormous expense. They were anxious for peace, and for any honourable means of escape from an impossible position. But the Americans could accept nothing less than independence, and this the King refused to grant. The English Commander-in-Chief, Sir Henry Clinton, saw at last that the operations of his troops at great distances from the sea were involving him in serious difficulties. In the autumn of 1781 he recalled Cornwallis, who, at the head of 7,000 troops, had been laying waste Virginia with fire and sword, and ordered him to retire to the sea and fortify himself in York Town, where it was hoped that the British fleet would be able to co-operate with him. To York Town Cornwallis retreated, followed by Lafayette, who, later on, was joined by Washington with a considerable body of troops. The end was near. Corn- wallis was invested from the land side, and from the sea he was blockaded by a powerful French squadron, which had been able to forestall the English fleet and to take up its position at the mouth of the harbour. Against such odds it was impossible long to struggle, and, on October 19, 1781, after a siege of 21 days, 6,000 English troops and 100 guns surrendered to Washington. The disastrous news of the surrender of York Town reached England a month after the event. When the intelligence was taken to North he burst into an agony of grief. "It is all over," he cried. The Ministers and the public recognised that it was indeed "all over," and the Opposition redoubled their efforts and assailed the Ministry with the utmost violence. The King himself displayed a courage which it is impossible not to admire. He would never yield to America or encourage the traitors who formed the Opposition. To acknowl- edge the independence of America was to acknowledge that the sun of England had set for ever. We should be humiliated in the sight of the whole world, we should lose the West Indies and our Indian Empire, we should sink to the state of a third-rate Power, and be confined within our own shores. But the King could find no one to support him against facts so stubborn and so overwhelming. He accepted the resignation of North's Ministry, and a Whig Ministry was formed. Negotiations were opened with America, and, after the signature of * So it is in South Africa. INTRODUCTION. n preliminaries of peace, a final peace was signed in 1783 by which the independ- ence of the American Colonies was fully recognised. The defeat of the English had been ascribed to many causes. The Min- isters attributed it to the incapacity of the generals, and the army to the mistakes of the politicians. The English generals were, indeed, men of inferior capacity, and deserved North's pathetic reproach: "I do not know whether our generals will frighten the enemy, but I know they frighten me whenever I think of them." As Pitt said, the war was "a series of ineffective victories or severe defeats." Carlisle, in 1778, speaking of the great scale of everything in America, wrote:* "We have nothing on a great scale with us but our blunders, our misconduct, our ruin, our losses, our disgraces, and misfortunes." But the army might have retorted with equal justice that never had generals been so badly supported by Government. The Ministers made nearly every mistake which it was possible for Ministers to make. They had hopelessly underestimated the strength and determination of the Colonists. They sent out incapable generals, and they failed to feed the army with a constant flow of rein- forcements. They conducted their peace negotiations as though they were certain of military success, and their warfare as though peace were a matter of to-morrow. No estimate or prophecy was fulfilled by events, and they seemed inspired by a weak and incurable optimism which always saw in the coming week a decisive victory and the end of the war. The partial loss of the command of the sea was a disastrous blow to Eng- land. It was difficult enough to feed and reinforce a great army at such a distance; but when a foreign fleet could interrupt our supplies and blockade our troops, the position became almost untenable. We must not, however, assign too high an importance to the intervention of France. The essential difficulties of the situation were enormous, and though the entry of France and Spain and Holland into the struggle undoubtedly hastened the end, the ultimate failure of England was certain. It is true that Washington's army was in the last stage of exhaustion, and it is possible that if England could have raised and despatched another army, and had been willing to continue hostilities for one or two years more, the submission of the Colonists might have been secured. But such a submission could only be temporary. From the day when the first blood was shed at Lexington, America was lost to England. It was impossible to hold America without the consent of the Americans. In any case the weariness of the public forbade the prolongation of the struggle. At its beginning and in its first stages the war was popular, but the supply of volunteers had soon ceased, and the hire of German mercenaries and Indian auxiliaries, and the cruel devastations of the English geenrals, had given to the struggle an odious character in the eyes of the English people. A very different spirit indeed was seen when France and Spain entered the lists. The whole country rose in loyalty; and the men who would not volunteer for service in America came forward in tens of thousands to defend their country against their hereditary foes. The English people had at least awakened from its apathy. It was disgusted by the miscalculations and the falsified prophecies of its leaders. It had been told, day after day, that the conquest of America was practically complete, and the disappointment was bitter and overwhelming. Six years of war, of ever- increasing debt, 1 of shocking loss of life, of a never-ending series of disasters, and of increasing dangers from our continental rivals, had completely weaned the public mind from its early affection for the war. It saw, too, that a tem- porary victory at the cost of further sacrifices would be unavailing. It saw that * History repeats. 'The war cost England over £100,000,000. The cost of the war against the Boers has been over $1,000,000,000, and the end is not yet. 12 PEACE OR WAR. to hold America in subjection it would be necessary to maintain there a large standing army amid a hostile population, nursed in bitter hatred of our rule, 3,000 miles from England: a population waiting silently but eagerly for the moment when European complications might bind our hands. A rebellion raised at such a time it would be impossible to resist, and Great Britain would be obliged to retire in defeat and in a humiliation more bitter and more costly than the humiliation of the present peace. Thus ended the most unhappy war that England had ever undertaken. It was a war which in its inception and its conduct owed most of its disasters to the obstinacy and incapacity of its King and his Ministers.* Their first mis- take was to insist on the enforcement of a right which was both vexatious and unfruitful. Their second error was to trust to the advice of ignorant and preju- diced officials. The third mistake of the Ministers was to present to the Ameri- cans the alternative of starvation or rebellion, of unconditional submission or a war of extermination. Their final folly was the failure to recognise that they had wholly misjudged the character and resources of the Americans. They had raised a problem which, deficient as they were in imagination and common sense, they were unable to solve. They were unwilling to face stubborn facts, and to proportion their policy to their strength; they were, therefore, compelled to continue a policy of drifting impotence, of which the end was disaster. * A parallel case is the war with the Boers. CHAPTER I. THE NATION, 1895-I9OO. WITH the close of the nineteenth century England seemed to many observers to be entering on a period of decline. From every quarter and in every society the same ominous tale was told. Some lamented an England of little men; the overgrowth of Cabinet rule; the decay of represen- tative institutions; a Parliament of mediocrities; a Ministry of blunderers, likely to perish by virtue of its very size; an Oppostion weak, timid, and divided; the absence of efficiency in the public service; a growing expenditure and a lessen- ing trade; a declining birth-rate; an army unequal to its task. Others lamented an England no longer supreme in Asia, threatened on the seas by France and Russia, in its commerce by Germany and America. They foresaw graver troubles in the future: constant retreats and constant rebuffs, India threatened by Russia, China absorbed by the same devouring colossus, Germany cold, France hostile, and England isolated and hated by every nation. The weary Titan was becom- ing conscious of his burden. A disquiet, indefinite but profound, haunted the minds of men. By the idealist a similar decay was discerned in the moral sphere. The material side of life was victorious; religious faith was weakening. Money had brought luxury and enervation, and the desire of money was gratified by crooked paths. The vast wealth of cosmopolitan speculators was spreading everywhere its influence, sometimes by open bribery, often by methods more subtle but not less dangerous. The golden calf was openly set up in the temple, and the high-born thronged to worship. The standard of political life had declined. It was no longer held ignoble for politicians to traffic in contracts, and the sensitiveness which felt a stain like a wound was out of favour. Great nobles thought it no humiliation to sell their titles for gold, and thousands of men and women were decoyed into ruin by the glamour of a great name. Gambling and betting were the amusement of multitudes and the business of not a few. Things were seen in false perspective. The education which was to be a source of refinement seemed rather to have brought the capacity to admire wrongly; and the cheap journalist corrupted and degraded whatever he touched. Hence sprang the worship of the violence which masquerades as strength: of the vulgarity which passed for native force. In our eagerness to be sincere we had thrown off the conventions which redeem life from half its grossness. It was in politics as in literature, in social life as in international intercourse. The sober ideals and decent modesty of our forefathers were to us mere cant and sentiment. The simple formulae of life which sufficed for them were not good enough for us. Force was held the only remedy: material success the only standard. We saw the other nations pressing at our heels: we must be up and doing. A. restless and suspicious egotism possessed us; the dignity and self-control and proud patience of the English seemed lost gifts. Hence came the neurotic excitement of our crowds, the hysteria of the music hall, the sensations of the cheap paper, the violence of our fashionable politicians. Hence, too, came our impatience with all that is not born of strength, our scorn of the ideals which inspired our fathers and made possible the splendid activities of a past genera- 14 PEACE OR WAR. tion. Hence came our contempt for the rights of small nations whom once it was our pride to defend, our irritation with the stubborn race who turned a deaf ear to our counsels and demands. We could not bear to find a little nation in our path: self-conscious and irritable, we saw in them only vermin to be exterminated from the face of our earth. On them was vented the resentment which we had been bearing within our bosoms since first our pre-eminence was questioned by our rivals. Such is the picture which men painted as their own special fears affected them. It is needless to say that it was too dark. That there were grave symptoms in the social organism and the political outlook of 1895-1900 is true. But each man exaggerates his own particular hopes or fears, and in the main England is as sound to-day as she was fifty years ago. Our worst enemies can- not deny that we bore the first disasters of this war with a self-control which did honour to our race. To see things as alarmists see them is to lose proportion. If the perfectly good man or the perfectly wise nation does not exist, yet experi- ence tells us that the majority of mankind are passably good and moderately sensible, that they do not consciously act from wrong motives, and that, where they err greatly, they err through ignorance. The English people have always been an honest, a shrewd, and a generous people; and at the worst the fault which has been at the root of the troubles of the last two years is the fault from which we have suffered and recovered before. We have been weakened by a certain lassitude, born of past energy, and, it may be, of too much prosperity: a good-natured indifference which did not permit us to examine with intelligence the statements and the counsels of our advisers, and which has left us the easy victims of hare-brained adventurers. It is an old tale, and will be told again when another century has passed away. A nation lives by successive periods of strength and weakness, of energy and languor. The costly results of our error we are now beginning dimly to see, and we shall quickly become again the England which after 1781 arose from its sleep: the England alert, strong, silent, and self-controlled, which was able. after countless humiliations, to save herself by her exertions and Europe by iier example. CHAPTER II. SOUTH AFRICA TO. I896. THE history of South Africa is in the main the history of the antagonism of the English and the Dutch and of the dealings of the two races with the natives. From the interconnection of these two causes have sprung nearly all the troubles which have made South Africa the despair of statesmen and the grave of reputations, and which seem likely for many years to make it a land of racial unrest. The first discoverers of South Africa were the Portuguese, who, neglecting the healthier districts of Cape Colony, made their settlements on the southeast coast in a district which they still hold. In the middle of the seventeenth century a Dutch crew, who had been shipwrecked in Table Bay, bore to Hol- land a glowing description of the great advantages of such a port as a half-way house to the East Indies. The Dutch East India Company sent out a body of settlers who raised a fort, and in 1689 the number of the colonists was increased by three hundred French Huguenots who were flying from the persecutions which seemed to await them in France. The Dutch and the Huguenots soon blended by intermarriage, and the whole body of settlers, casting off those ties of home and blood which bind most emigrants to the mother country, formed a new nation with individual characteristics and a patriotism of its own. They were a pastoral people, not given to agriculture in the strict sense of the word, but living isolated lives, and journeying in their waggons from spot to spot with their flocks and herds. They became rearers of cattle and great hunters, and they developed not only the qualities of self-reliance and courage which were necessary to their lives, but also that stubborn love of freedom which has given them both a stamp of individuality, and an impatience of control, and has made them the most difficult of subjects. They became known as Boers; i. e., farmers or peasants, and though they were ruled by a Dutch governor, they were continually at issue with their rulers until, during the Napoleonic war, an English force was in 1806 landed at Cape Town, and in 1814 the Colony became a part of the British Empire. It does not appear that during the early years of the British occupation the Dutch were treated with harshness, but in the years from 181 5 to 1836 constant disputes arose, caused in the main by a misunderstanding nf the Dutch character and by an unwillingness on the part of the English to frame their- policy in reasonable accordance with the prejudices and wants of the governed. The emancipation of the slaves 1 throughout the British Empire, a measure framed with the best intentions, was worked in South Africa without discretion and without fairness. There was a general willingness there to abolish slavery ; * and measures were voluntarily taken to extinguish it by making all female children free at birth. But our officials aimed rather at coercion than at persua- sion! The crowning evil was that of the inadequate sum allotted to the compen- sation of slave-owners at the Cape — £1,200,000, instead of the £3,000,000 to 1 It may be noted that when the British first sought the lordship of the Cape they promised to maintain slavery, as against the French, who were then proposing to abolish it. Comp. Theal's "History of South Africa," ii. 293-4, 314-5; iii. 79; and his "History of the Boers," 1887, p. 64. 1 Theal, "History of the Boers," p. 64. *° PEACE OR WAR. which they would have been entitled at market rates— only a fraction was really paid, by reason of the utterly unjust method of payment. All claims had to be presented in England, so that every claimant was obliged to forfeit a large proportion to agents and speculators, and many never received anything, some disdaining later to accept the fractions offered them. The whole process of agriculture was upset and paralysed by the act of emancipation, and most of the natives refused to do any further work. The Dutch found themselves deprived of the labour that was necessary for the rearing of their cattle, and they were threatened with ruin. 1 Within a period of a few years nearly ten thousand Dutch left Cape Colony to seek a new home in an unknown land. Many of them perished by the way of fever or starvation or at the hands of natives. The greater number crossed the Orange River, passed through the great plains of the land which became afterwards the Orange Free State, and advanced northward until they came in contact with the Matabele. With this brave and savage tribe they had many a battle, finally defeating and driving them beyond the Limpopo River, where they set up a new kingdom which lasted until its destruction in 1893 by the British South Africa Company. Of the territories thus left vacant by the Matabele, territories now known as the Transvaal, the Boers took possession. Another body of Boers, under the guidance of Pieter Retief, made a trek into the southeast of the country now known as Natal, and established there a Dutch republic. But this action, which gave the Dutch a dangerous command of the sea, alarmed the Govern- ment at Cape Town, and the English drove the Boers from these districts and proclaimed them a British Colony. 1 The Boers who dwelt between the Orange River and the Vaal River, and those who made their homes between the Vaal and the Limpopo, gradually came to form two separate communities, each composed of still smaller commu- nities united by the slender tie of mutual protection. The Southern Boers who bordered on the British territory of Cape Colony were of weaker fibre than their northern kinsmen, and were unable to keep order among the natives who surrounded them. The English Governor held that their weakness was a menace to the peace of Cape Colony, and he annexed their land to the British Empire in 1848, under the name of the Orange River Sovereignty." But the annexation brought little peace, and, not wishing to be troubled by refractory subjects, the Government in 1854 guaranteed the inde- pendence of the country, to which the name of the Orange Free State was given.' The history of this State up to 1899 was one of peaceful progress. It was fortunate in securing as its first President a man of great tact and prudence; and it has been always distinguished by the purity of its administration and the excellence of its institutions. The Boers north of the Vaal were of a more warlike and determined char- acter, and the English Government, unwilling to increase its responsibilities, determined to allow them also to work out their destiny alone. In 1852 the Sand River Convention was concluded, by which the British Government guar- anteed independence to the Transvaal Boers. Their history is chequered. Jealousies arose among them; and in 1852 they were divided into four communities or republics. But self-interest and the necessity for common action were gradually forming these communities into * 1 Comp. Theal, "Hist, of South Africa," iii. 413 sq.; Cloete, "Hist, of the Great Boer Trek," ed. 1900, pp. 35-58 ; Theal, "History of the Boers," pp. 60-70. 2 Of this episode a full and apparently fair narrative is given in "The Great Boer Trek," by Cloete. Comp. Theal's "History of the Boers." ch. v. * Theal, "History of South Africa," vol. iv. ch. xlvi. 4 This policy was only after long dispute decided on by the British Government. See Theal, iv. 491. It was strongly opposed by many of the Cape Dutch. Id., p. 534. SOUTH AFRICA TO 1896. 17 one; and in 1864 M. W. Pretorius was chosen as President of the South African Republic, while a body of law and a constitution were drafted and adopted by the Volksraad. The white population of the South African Republic in 1864 was about thirty thousand; and the ties that bound the population together were somewhat loose. It was difficult and almost impossible for the central Government to collect taxes and to carry on the administration of the country. In 1872 Pretorius was obliged to resign his office, and was succeeded by Mr. Burgers, a Cape Dutchman, a man of upright life but of little force of character. The financial position of the country was becoming deplorable; there was little trade; and the Kaffirs at various points menaced the sparse population with invasion. The welfare of the Boers of the two Republics was naturally a matter of concern to the Dutch population of Cape Colony. The Boers were in many cases their brothers and sisters or sons and daughters, and the claims of blood and race are paramount. On the other hand, the English population of Cape Colony regarded them with unconcealed dislike. The Loyalists, as those of English birth were called, formed the smaller section of the inhabitants of the Colony, and they had not been long enough resident in Africa to acquire a local patriotism. They were therefore still in close touch with English politicians. There had always been a rivalry, tacit or expressed, between the English and the Dutch, and this rivalry gradually became rather political than racial. On the whole it may be said that the Loyalist party consisted of townsmen engaged in trade, while the Dutch were the country gentry and the agricultural population. Thus to the cleavage of race there was added a divergence of life and occupation, and it is necessary to bear in mind these essential differences, for they go far to explain the unhappy rivalry which has brought ruin on South Africa. The difficulties of the Boers were purposely exaggerated by those colonial politicians who had for some time seen in the straits of the Boers a ground for intervening in their affairs and annexing their land. While Shepstone is charged with telling the Boers that if he "too_k his hand from the Zulus" the latter would overwhelm them, he has put on record, by way of disproof of the charge, the statement that the Boers, to his knowledge, had no fear of the Zulus, consid- ering themselves perfectly able to defeat any native attack. And as it is certain that no considerable body of Boers ever petitioned for annexation, the summing-up of history must be that the achievement of that process by Sir Theophilus Shepstone, with the reluctant and bewildered consent of President Burgers, was a result of the sheer lack of organisation incident to the first stages of a pastoral community with an unpractical and unpopular head, and was due neither to the absolute needs nor to the avowed wishes of the people. The annexation of the Republic in April, 1877, was scarcely noticed in Eng- land, and though it was resented by the Dutch in Cape Colony, it seemed likely that its results would be those which had followed a hundred similar actions, and that our new subjects would accept the situation and the privileges of English citizenship. But the fatal ignorance that has generally dogged the steps of English statesmen in their dealings with South Africa did not permit the English Ministry to see that the Boers preferred freedom and their own constitution to the most civilised government in the world. A series of mis- takes resulted in a dangerous outbreak. The Transvaal Boers were indignant that their Republic should have been annexed without their consent and against their will. Their indignation increased when they were refused the representa- tive institutions which Sir T. Shepstone had definitely promised; 1 and, moved by a destiny which seems omnipotent and omnipresent in our dealings witR 1 See the admissions of Sir Bartle Frere in a letter of April 20, 1879. "Life of Sir Bartle Frere," 1895, ii. 311. Comp. p. 306. i8 PEACE OR WAR. South Africa, the English Government had chosen as administrator of the Transvaal a military officer who may have had admirable qualities in his own profession, but who was, from his want of sympathy and of adaptability, totally unfit to rule men of the temper and character of the Boers. 1 The new Liberal Ministry of 1880, though they had opposed the annexation of the Transvaal, found themselves in a difficult position. They sought the advice of the South African officials, and were assured by them that the discon- tent in the Republic was factitious and of no account. The Dutch, they were told, were prone to patriotic meetings, but were quite unwilling to fight; and a little timely severity and the parade of a few hundred British troops would soon bring them to their senses. The Boers, therefore, were told that the annexation of their Republic could not be annulled. But the English Government did not know with what men they had to deal. In December, 1880, the Boers chose three leaders, M. W. Pretorius, Paul Kruger, and P. Joubert, and proclaimed the revival of the South African Republic. The Boer farmers rose to a man in support of the triumvirate, and the isolated bands of British troops were soon defeated or besieged. Sir George Colley, the Governor of Natal, raised a body of troops and marched to the border, but he was defeated by Joubert at Laing's Nek, and later on at Ingogo. On February 26th our forces were completely routed on Majuba Hill, and Colley himself was killed. The British Government despatched considerable reinforcements and appointed Sir Frederick Roberts as Commander-in-Chief. What the final issue would have been, if the campaign had been allowed to proceed, it is difficult to say. The British troops were numerous, their commander was a skilful and successful soldier, and the Boers were few in number and not used to regular warfare. But, in spite of their detractors, they were splendid fighters, admirable marksmen, filled with the fire of patriotic and religious fervour, and they were fighting in a country of which they knew every inch. 2 It is almost certain that they would have been assisted by their brothers of the Orange Free State; and they would undoubtedly have received the passive, if not the active, assistance of their kinsmen in Cape Colony. The English Ministry, faced by such a resistance, realised that the annexation of the South African Republic had been undertaken in ignorance and through imperfect information. They recognised that the temporary conquest and submission of the Boers would inevitably lead to permanent disaffection in the Transvaal, to another rising in ten or twenty years, and to a dangerous resentment among the Dutch in Cape Colony. They accordingly determined that a policy of "magnanimity" was both more prudent and more honourable than the policy of crushing the Boers with an overwhelm- ing force. An armistice was arranged, and a fortnight later preliminary terms were settled by which the Transvaal State recovered its independence under the suzerainty of the British Crown. These terms were formally inserted in the Convention of Pretoria of 1881. The effects of this act of "surrender" are somewhat difficult to estimate. The supporters of Mr. Gladstone's policy have always pointed to the danger of 1 See the admissions made by Mr. J. S. Fitzpatrick in "The Transvaal from Within," ed. 1900, pp. 14, 21, 25. 2 "It has been proved to us that the Boers are at all events brave soldiers ; that they are skilled in the use of arms: that they are physically at least a match even for English sol- diers. The Transvaal is a country as large as France — a wild and difficult country — and it is perfectly evident to every one that if we are to hold it down by force we must perma- nently maintain a number of troops at least equal to the number of our possible opponents. Well we know also that the Orange Free State, which is a neighbouring territory, would make common cause with their co-religionists and men of the same nationality in the Transvaal ; and therefore I say that it is perfectly certain that not less than from 15,000 to 20.000 English troops must be permanently stationed there if we are to hold the country by force against the will of the inhabitants." Mr. Chamberlain, 1881. SOUTH AFRICA TO 1896. 19 a racial conflict which the Convention removed; while the opponents of the Convention have deemed it a proof of weakness, a loss of prestige, and a direct cause of all the troubles which have clouded the history of South Africa during the last twenty years. 1 There is much to be said for either view. On the one hand, England, both by tradition and sympathy, has generally protected the rights of free communities; and it was contrary to her ideal that she should annex a free nation against the declared wishes of a vast majority of the popula- tion. Four facts, which confront us to-day, support the practical side of the "surrender" policy: the extraordinary strength of the Boers in war, the support of the Orange Free State, the undisguised sympathy of the Cape Dutch, and the difficulty of holding a vast and disaffected district. On the other hand, the Loyalists and their supporters in England held that England had forfeited her high place among nations by submitting to the dis- grace of Majuba; that the Boers would not appreciate a policy of magnanimity; and that every concession would increase in the Boer minds the sense of their own importance and their contempt for their English neighbours. The bitterness of this mortification has remained to the present day; and it has been turned to account with fatal effect by the South African Press in their support of a policy of "firmness." It is the duty of a cool observer to attempt to disentangle facts from preju- dices, to allow sentiment its due weight, and above all things to let common sense be the basis of decision. That the policy of the British Government was a proof of its weakness is scarcely true. It is too often assumed that the Ministry did not think of negotiating with the Boers until after the disaster at Majuba, and that the policy of generosity was born of defeat. This is incon- sistent with the facts. The fault of the Gladstone Ministry was that it accepted too implicitly the assurances of Sir Owen Lanyon; but when the Boers rose in revolt and it was certain that the Boers were in earnest in their desire for inde- pendence, the Government were at once committed by their pledges at the General Election to a policy of compromise. Negotiations had begun even before Laing's Nek, and the negotiations after Majuba were not the beginning of a new policy but the continuation of an old. It would have been far easier for the Ministers to continue the war, to yield to the pressure of the Loyalists in Cape Colony and of the war party at home. They chose the more difficult part, and the one which would almost certainly bring upon them the greater unpopularity. On the whole, it seems that in very difficult circumstances, and where the wisest could scarcely forecast the future, they arrived at the more prudent decision. This opinion at the present moment may be an unpopular one; but it is probable that, when the history of the last two years comes to be written, our embarrassments will justify the unwillingness of the Gladstone Ministry to continue a policy which threatened to embroil the whole of South Africa. The history of the South African Republic during the next few years is chiefly concerned with attempts on the part of Boer adventurers to enlarge the territory of the Transvaal and to seek an outlet to the sea — attempts which were in every case successfully opposed by the British authorities. It was held to be necessary that the Transvaal should not be permitted to annex territory which might give her a seaport and enable her, in union with a European Power, to become a serious menace to British interests. In 1884 a deputation of Boers came- to London to secure a modification of the Convention of 1881. Their representations were successful; and Lord Derby, the Colonial Secretary, drew up, in concert with them, a new Convention which is known as the Convention of London of 1884. In this treaty the 1 It is instructive to remember that the repeal of the Stamp Act was regarded by the foolish counsellors of George III. as a cause of the American rebellion. 20 PEACE OR WAR. Articles of the Convention of 1881 were replaced by a new set of Articles, in which the declaration of the control of Great Britain was considerably modified. The most important point, and the one which bears most directly upon the diplomacy precedent to the present war, is the omission of the word "Suzerainty" which appeared in the preamble to the Convention of 1881. It is certain that Lord Derby absolutely omitted that preamble and replaced it by a new preamble. In the draft of the Convention which is now in the possession of the Transvaal Government, and a facsimile of which was printed in a despatch from the State Secretary, Lord Derby's ipsissima verba are quoted. He says that the preamble of 1881, being enclosed "within a black line," is proposed to be omitted. Moreover, the following words in the preamble of 1881, "subject to the Suzerainty of Her Majesty, her heirs, and successors," have been crossed through by Lord Derby's pen. 1 This evidence is clear, and it seems to be an unanswerable refutation of Mr. Chamberlain's argument, in his despatch of October, 1897, that Her Majesty's Suzerainty still existed, and that it justified the action of Great Britain and her refusal to submit the questions at issue to arbitration. It is necessary to lay stress on this matter, for a study of the despatches will make it quite plain that the claim of Suzerainty and the consequent fear and suspicion which such a claim engendered among the Boers were a powerful obstacle in the path of a friendly compromise, and of a peaceful issue to the negotiations. In 1885 occurred an event of cardinal importance in the history of South Africa. The gold beds of the Witwatersrand were discovered, and the immigra- tion of aliens made enormous strides. Within ten years from this date there were nearly one hundred thousand men, women, and children of European or American birth at Johannesburg and other mining towns, while the Boers — men, women, and children — hardly numbered seventy thousand souls.' An influx so overwhelming was not welcome to President Kruger and to the ruling class, while the pastoral Boers looked upon the new-comers with undisguised dislike. They were men of various nationalities, - shrewd, keen, and pushing. It would be extravagant to expect a high code of social or financial morality among the inhabitants of a new mining town; and the men who were fast making of Johannesburg the greatest and richest town of South Africa were, it must be allowed, a somewhat motley crew. The greater number of them were British subjects, a fact which in itself was sufficient to alarm the Boers, while those who came from other countries were in many cases men of questionable antecedents. Those of the new-comers who seemed likely to gain the greatest influence and the greatest wealth were Jews. The Boers quickly found that their officials and the members of their parliamentary assembly were being cor- rupted by the money of the new-comers, and they viewed with alarm the time when the aliens should secure the franchise and completely outvote the old citizens of the Transvaal. They could not prevent or delay immigration, and they took in self-defence the only step which seeemd to them possible. Altera- tions were made in the franchise, and the term of years which had been neces- sary to qualify for this franchise was gradually extended until it was impossible for a stranger to acquire the full rights of citizenship before he had been in the country fourteen years. The inevitable results followed. The Outlanders, as they were called, resented a legislation which was obviously aimed at them, and they were irritated by a number of vexatious restrictions and petty grievances, of which, though the individual item might be small, the aggregate effect was serious. 1 See the reduced facsimile of the alterations. 1 According to the census of 1890 — imperfect, but the chief source of knowledge — the white population of the whole Republic then was only 119,128, of whom 66,498 were men, and 52,630 women. Johannesburg had only 70,000 — i. e., men, women, and children. Mr. Cham- berlain puts it at that figure in a despatch of January 15, 1896. SOUTH AFRICA TO 1896. 21 Though the limitation of the franchise was in no way a contravention of the Articles of the Convention, 1 it was an unfortunate policy, and the President would have been better advised if he had allowed the inhabitants of Johannes- burg to elect some members to the Volksraad. It is not difficult, however, to appreciate the reluctance of the Boers to admit new-comers to the franchise. They distrusted the English, who had conquered their ancestors and driven them out into the wilderness, who had annexed their country and had closed them in from the sea. They believed, and honestly believed, that England was on the watch to absorb the Transvaal Republic, and they were unwilling that it should be absorbed either by arms or by the slower but no less sure process of legislation. The difficulties of the situation increased, and the leaders of the mining industry, for the most part rich German Jews, endeavoured to secure by bribes that which they could not secure by constitutional methods. Transvaal officials were corrupted, and the natural slowness of a primitive community to effect reforms in sanitation and changes in its laws was sought to be overcome by financial pressure of all kinds. As a matter of fact, reform after reform was car- ried; and it has been avowed by many Outlanders that the Transvaal laws for the control of natives were substantially in the interest of the mine-owners, and that the much-debated liquor law was, on the whole, as well worked during the last two years as the difficult circumstances permitted. But other grievances of various sorts remained. The Outlanders complained of heavy taxes, of the dynamite monopoly, of the unjust railway charges, and of a system of State education which made inadequate provision for the teaching of the English language. 2 The agitation was at first confined to the middle class of the Outlanders, nor did the great capitalists, until 1895, take any open part in it; while it is doubtful whether the English miners ever felt any enthusiasm for the franchise or much resentment against their Boer rulers. In 1895, however, the leaders of the mining industry began to be alarmed by the growth of a movement which was causing a dangerous unrest in their industry. The rapid increase of mining profits and the growing hope that the future would disclose even greater sources of wealth, induced them to throw in their lot with the agitators, to endeavour to reduce the burden of taxation, and particularly to secure such regulations for the control of native labour as would ensure both a plentiful supply and a lower rate of payment. It is easy to see that the second reform was in the eves of the capitalists far more important than the other, and it is natural that this should be so. It was calculated that by a judicious application of force the natives might be obliged to work for such low wages as to increase the profits of one of the great companies by at least two millions a year. The mine-owners took advantage of the growing quarrel between England and the Transvaal to urge upon the English Ministry the necessity of an unyielding attitude. Their motives were obviously and naturally selfish. Their only ambition, in a word, was to increase the profits of the mines. The leader of the financial group said openly that he "did not care a fig" for the franchise. Mr. Hays Hammand's utterance in London on November 18, 1899, is significant," and Mr. Rudd, a colleague of the above gentleman, took no pains 'As to this, it has to be noted that a new franchise law, effecting a restraint, was passed as early as 1882, under the first Convention, and that no objection was ever made to this by the "Suzerain" power. 1 No English children were forced to be taught in the Dutch language. * "There are in South Africa millions of Kaffirs, and it does seem preposterous that we are not able to obtain 70,000 or 80,000 Kaffirs to work upon the mines. . . . With good government there should be an abundance of labour, and with an abundance of labour then will 'be no difficulty in cutting down wages, because it is preposterous to pay a Kaffir the present wages. He would be quite as well satisfied — in fact, he would work longer — if you 22 PEACE OR WAR. to conceal the policy of the capitalists, a policy which was practically a system of slavery. 1 We may, therefore, without injustice, regard the wages question as the most powerful motive of an agitation which involved the Transvaal in the calamity of the Jameson Raid in 1896 and in the South African War of 1899. The leaders of the capitalist party had intimate relations with Mr. Cecil Rhodes, who was Prime Minister of Cape Colony, Managing Director of the British South Africa Company, and a Director and a large shareholder of one of the great mining and finance companies of the Rand. Mr. Rhodes was apparently encouraged by many Imperial officers in South Africa, and, it has been persistently stated, by the English Colonial Office. He obtained permission from the Colonial Secretary to incorporate a corner of Bechuanaland into the territory of the Chartered Company; and this position was chosen as the head- quarters of a body of troops raised by the Company and under the command of English regular officers. It was arranged that the capitalists should gather together and arm a force of volunteers in Johannesburg, and that on the ground of a possible danger to the peaceful inhabitants an invitation should be sent to the Imperial troops. A particularly nauseous element in the conspiracy was the concoction of a letter some weeks before the proposed outbreak, signed by the principal conspirators, imploring help for the sake of the defenceless women and children. This letter, cunningly calculated to appeal to the credulity and pity of the English public, was placed in the hands of the leader of the Imperial troops to be dated and published when occasion should serve. A touch of comedy was given to the tragic event by its premature publication in an English paper. On a given day the English troops were to start from Pitsani, ride rapidly across the Transvaal, and arrive at Johannesburg at the moment when the Outlanders had arisen in rebellion. A coup d'etat would then be effected, the Boer oligarchy would be taken by surprise, and the conspiracy would meet with immediate success. It is unnecessary to relate the circumstances which led to a ludicrous but well-deserved fiasco — how the troops started before the Outlanders were ready: how they were met at Krugersdorp by a small body of Boers, defeated in a few hours, and taken prisoners; how the Outlanders, who had little courage and no discipline and were torn by internal dissension, were forced to surrender their arms. Their leaders were arrested, tried, convicted of treason and sentenced to very moderate punishment; while the troopers themselves, by the exercise of a clemency on the part of the Boer President no less magnanimous than diplo- matic, were handed over to the English authorities on the understanding that they should receive a trial and the proper punishment for their misconduct. They were conveyed to England, and after a trial the rank and file were acquitted and the officers sentenced to short terms of easy imprisonment from which they were soon relieved. The sympathy of the public with the ill-starred expedition made it practically impossible for the Government to impose any other than a nominal penalty. An inquiry into the origin and conduct of the Jameson Raid was made by the Cape Parliament, and it was proved that Mr. Rhodes, in spite of his position as Prime Minister of Cape Colony, had, without the knowledge gave him half the amount. His wages are altogether disproportionate to his requirements." 1 "If they could only get one-half the natives to work three months of the year, it would work wonders. He was not pleading for the mines, or urging the views of capitalists, but from the point of view of progress, agriculture, public works, mines, and the general pros- perity of the country. They should try some cogent form of inducement or practically compel the native, through taxation or in some other way, to contribute his quota to the good of the community, and to a certain extent he would then have to work. ... If under the cry of civilisation we in Egypt lately mowed down 10,000 or 20,000 Dervishes with Maxims, surely it cannot be considered a hardship to compel the natives in South Africa to give three months in the year to do a little honest work." SOUTH AFRICA TO 1896. 23 of his colleagues, made arrangements for the invasion of a friendly country. Another inquiry was instituted by the British Parliament, but little new evidence was discovered; and various documents, which might have thrown light on the movements of the organisers of the Raid, were withheld in spite of the protests of some of the members of the Parliamentary Committee. The result of the inquiry was profoundly unsatisfactory. It was felt by every one that facts of supreme importance were hidden from sight ; and dissat- isfaction was increased when Mr. Chamberlain, who had concurred in the condemnation of Mr. Rhodes's treachery, rose in the House of Commons to deliver a eulogy on that gentleman which was inconsistent with the verdict of the Committee and was apparently unnecessary. It was asserted at the time, and the assertion has been persistently repeated, that the Jameson Raid was arranged with the cognisance of some of the officials of the Colonial Office 1 and not without the support and sympathy of august members of English society. It was stated that Mr. Rhodes's friends had threatened to make known the complicity of the Colonial Office unless Mr. Chamberlain consented to whitewash Mr. Rhodes in the House of Commons and to reinstate him in the position which he formerly occupied in the regard of the British public. It is impossible to separate facts from fiction in a mystery so dark; but one thing is certain. There was a secret which it was deemed impolitic to expose, and its concealment had the worst possible effect in increasing the suspicion and resentment of the Transvaal people. Probably no event has ever wrought such mischief in South Africa as the Jameson Raid of 1896. Its immediate effect was the fall of Mr. Rhodes from power, the resignation of his English Ministry, and the alienation of Dutch support and sentiment. For some years previous to this event the two races had been slowly but surely drawing together, 2 and Mr. Rhodes, with a prudence and a tact which his subsequent error throws into strong relief, had taken every means to conciliate the Dutch and to secure the support of the Afrikander Bond to his political measures. English and Dutch, though still in some measure distinguished by differences of temperament, arising out of different modes of life, were learning to respect one another, and most observers thought it not too sanguine to look forward to the time when the races would be united in common political aims and would consent to work together for the prosperity of South Africa. In a moment the whole edifice of conciliation was cast to the ground; and like a storm from a summer sky, the sinister episode of the Raid fell upon a quiet land. Every bitter suspicion, every fear, every feeling of jealousy, which the events of the last few years had apparently laid to rest, was reawakened in Cape Colony. The Orange Free State, which had for some time consistently urged reforms upon President Kruger, and which was before this date more in sympathy with the progressive policy of Cape Colony than with the policy of the Transvaal Ministry, put aside all its hesitation and concluded a defensive alliance with the State which had been so treacherously invaded. In the Transvaal the Progres- sive party, which had long advocated the adoption of moderate reforms, was silenced by the unwarrantable attack on the liberties of their State. Mr. Kruger believed, and the majority of the burghers were of his opinion, that the Jameson Raid was the indirect, if not the direct, outcome of British policy. He saw in it the preliminary to a stronger and more dangerous onslaught, and he determined that, come what might, any future attack should find the Boers united, ready and strong. Fortifications were built, immense quantities of arms 1 Miss Flora Shaw's evidence at the inquiry apparently favours this theory. 'This is admitted by Mr. Fitzpatrick, ed. cited, p. 48. 24 PEACE OR WAR. were imported, and from the beginning of 1896 till the declaration of war in 1899 the Transvaal was arming with quiet determination. 1 It cannot be denied that such preparations were both prudent and reason- able. The Boers were justified in their suspicion, for no impartial man who remembers that the Jameson Raid was organised by the Prime Minister of an English colony; that Imperial officials of high rank in South Africa were directly implicated; that the troopers of the Chartered Company were under English regular officers, and had encamped on land which had been granted by the Colonial Office to Mr. Rhodes for this special purpose; that the good-will, if not the collusion, of the Colonial Office had been secured; that the troopers haa been pardoned and the officers had been punished with nominal penalties; that the instigator of the conspiracy had been welcomed with effusion by English society and defended with unction from his place in Parliament by the Colonial Secretary — no reasonable man can deny that a chain of circumstances so strong must inevitably engender in the minds of the Boers the fear that England had designs upon their independence. That this fear was much exaggerated is true. The British Government, as a whole, had no wish to attack the independence of the Transvaal; but that Mr. Rhodes and the English in South Africa, sup- ported by a powerful body of opinion in England, were watching the opportu- nity to annex to the Empire the Transvaal with its gold mines, is equally true. Thus the two powerful and fatal motives of hatred and suspicion were at work; and every advance or proposal made by the British Government was regarded by the Transvaal rulers as either a piece of hypocrisy or a veiled attempt upon their independence. These suspicions proved the most potent cause of the misunderstandings which have borne their fruit in the war of 1899. 1 Some arming there was shortly before the Raid, the "Drifts" question having had a serious aspect, and the Boer Executive having reason to apprehend some outbreak; but the main process of armament occurred later. See p. 32 and p. 45. See also Mr. Fitzpatrick's final admissions, "The Transvaal from Within," p. 98. CHAPTER III. SOUTH AFRICA, 1896-1899. IN 1896 the horizon seemed to be clearing. In Cape Colony the only serious point at issue between the Dutch and the Ministry in England was the atti- tude of Great Britain towards the two Republics. On all other points the Dutch were devoted subjects and good friends; and the future of Cape Colony and South Africa depended entirely on the willingness of the English Ministry to take up a conciliatory attitude towards the Transvaal, and to avoid every suspicion of an encroachment on its rights. The Dutch saw that the Loyalists in South Africa were open advocates of a coercive policy which might lead to annexation, and they were suspicious of the attitude of the English officials; but, though the Colonial Secretary was in no favour, they had complete con- fidence in the noble character of the Queen and in the honour of the English Ministry as a whole. The situation of the English Ministers was a difficult one. It was believed, and honestly believed, that the Transvaal was too weak to resist pressure con- tinuously and firmly applied; and Mr. Chamberlain determined that, though it would be injudicious and ungracious 1 at such a moment to insist on a reorganisa- tion of Transvaal methods, he would lose no opportunity of pressing reforms on the Boers. Lord Rosmead retired in 1896, and with the cordial approval of both political parties in England, the Colonial Secretary appointed Sir Alfred Milner to be Governor-General of Cape Colony and High Commissioner of South Africa. It is not known, and it probably never will be known, what instructions were given to the new Governor-General. He was probably instructed to acquaint himself with the salient facts of the situation, to find out how strong were the feelings of the Loyalists, and how far the English Government could safely go on a path of coercion. He was probably told that it was time now for the English Government to cease from ineffectual criticism and protest, and to take its stand on its rights under the Convention as the paramount power in South Africa. In the Transvaal the storm had apparently subsided. The failure of the Johannesburg conspiracy and the punishment inflicted on the ringleaders pre- vented for some time any further extension of the capitalist agitation. But fierce fires were burning under the quiet surface. The financiers who controlled the gold mines of the Rand were not inclined to overlook any means which might make their industry more profitable. Armed conspiracy had proved a dangerous method, and they now turned to two other courses, which were in the end fatal to peace. They determined to secure the support of the South African Press and with it of the English Press, and to obtain the sympathy and influence of the new Governor-General of Cape Colony, and, through him, of the English Ministry. The financial leaders of Johannesburg were men not only of considerable business capacity: they were absolutely unscrupulous. They were determined to gain their ends by any means within their power, and, though it would be * As a matter of fact, Mr. Chamberlain cabled to Sir H. Robinson (Lord Rosmead) on January 7, 1896, that the Ministry were considering the advisability of sending considerable forces to South Africa. 26 PEACE OR WAR. ungenerous to accuse them of indifference to the loss of thousands of human lives, it is certainly true to say that the risk of a terrible war did not affect their calculations. Most of them were cosmopolitan financiers, and, being men of no country, it was natural that they should not regard with much compunction the risk of a war which might involve the ruin of the whole of South Africa, and might plunge England into a struggle, the end of which no one could foresee. The control of the South African Press gave the capitalists an enormous advantage. It was the policy of Mr. Rhodes and the Rand leaders to buy -up the established newspapers in Cape Colony, Natal, and the Transvaal, or to found others, in order that their political views might be promulgated. Editors were appointed and instructed to press for reforms, especially for the removal of the present burden of taxation and for the better regulation of native labour. In order that these demands might be supported and that the public both in Eng- land and in South Africa might be informed of the enormities of the Transvaal Government, every grievance was exaggerated, and petty acts of misconduct on the part of the Boers were magnified into gross outrages on British subjects. It is not too much to say that during the nine months before the outbreak of the war the South African Press became a manufactory of outrages. No story was too absurd or too improbable to be printed with an appropriate com- mentary; and passions were excited to a dangerous point. It is also to be noticed that the editors of the newspapers owned by the capitalists were in many cases the South African correspondents of the great London newspapers. Each outrage, therefore, served a double purpose. It inflamed public opinion in South Africa, and it was telegraphed over, with indignant protests, by the South African editors to the English Press, where its recital prepared the minds of the public for Mr. Chamberlain's diplomacy. The next development of the situation was the successful attempt of the mining leaders to secure the adhesion of the Imperial officials in Cape Colony. In many cases such support had been long secured. There is probably no country in the world in which "influence" plays so powerful a part as in South Africa. The natural instinct of loyalty and nationality, the resentful memory, still acute, of the "surrender" of 1881, and the social power which can be exerted by rich men who will allow no obstacle to frustrate their ambitions, were sufficient to predispose the English officials in favour of the demands of the capitalists. The latter were able to employ all the arguments of patriotism to support the claims of finance. They painted in strong colours the intolerable grievances of the Outlanders, the growing contempt of the Boers, the dangerous unrest of the Transvaal, which would certainly bring in its train a corresponding disquietude in the surrounding colonies. Their editors pictured an England of waning pres- tige, flouted by a Dutch Republic of 100,000 souls, and exposed to the jeers of a, scornful world. The negotiations which had been passing between Mr. Chamberlain and the Boer Government since the Jameson Raid had therefore little practical result. Suspicion and misunderstanding were rife on both sides. In 1897 the Colonial Secretary made a false step which had the most fatal results. In answer to a despatch from the Transvaal Government, offering to submit the various points at issue to arbitration, he claimed that it was impossible that a Suzerain Power should submit to arbitration matters at issue between herself and her vassal. 1 To those who remember the negotiations' which preceded the annulment of the Convention of 1881 in favour of the Convention of 1884, the general claim of Suzerainty must appear preposterous, and it is difficult to understand by what arguments Mr. Chamberlain could justify the assertion of such a claim. Nothing can be clearer than that Lord Derby cancelled the 'Bluebook C. 8,721, No. 7, October, 1897. * See Note, pp. 19-20. SOUTH AFRICA, 1896-1899. 27 preamble of 1881 in which the statement of Suzerainty occurred. The word itself was crossed through by his pen, and the whole preamble was definitely omitted. For Mr. Chamberlain to reclaim Suzerainty in the face of such evidence of its withdrawal was to convict himself either of ignorance or of insin- cerity. It was, as Sir Edward Clarke declared, a claim "made in defiance of fact, and a breach of national faith." Driven from this position, Mr. Chamberlain claimed that Suzerainty was. though not mentioned in the Convention of 1884, carried over from the Conven- tion of 1881 into the second Convention. Such a claim. can be justified only by a quibble which to the ordinary mind seems not only foolish but dishonest. Even if the claim of Suzerainty could be sustained, it is guite clear that such Suzerainty related only to the power of the Republic to make treaties with foreign nations, and that its power is limited by the fourth article of the second Convention. Even if the word "Suzerainty" had occurred in the preamble of the second Convention (and as a matter of fact it was care- fully eliminated by Lord Derby), its use would have afforded no justification for any interference with the internal politics and arrangements of the Trans- vaal, and the British Government in several despatches expressed their opinion that it possessed no such right. 1 The Colonial Secretary, finding that the assertion of this claim had pro- duced a most unfortunate effect, and finding also that it was impossible to sustain it in international law, did not press it. But the effect remained, and it was to the Boers another proof of the intention of the English Ministry to interfere with their Government and to undermine their independence. For some time the public heard little of the new Governor-General, and it was hoped that the grievances of the Outlanders and the suspicions of the Boers were being allayed by mutual consideration. Sir Alfred Milner, to whom the friends of peace looked with eager hopes, returned to England in 1898, and his interviews with Mr. Chamberlain evidently resulted in instructions from the British Government to take strong measures and to insist with firmness and, if necessary, with menace, on the removal of grievances and the necessity of reform. When Sir Alfred Milner returned to South Africa it was easy to see that his new instructions were likely to be carried out to the letter. He seemed like a man determined to provoke a quarrel. His attitude to the Dutch in Cape Colony became critical and even unfriendly.* Soon he threw himself, without reserve, into the arms of the Loyalist party. He listened to their advice, and in his despatches quoted their journals as oracles of colonial wisdom. He eagerly snatched at the tittle-tattle of officials and Loyalists, and embodied their gossip in his letters to the Colonial Office. Sir Alfred Milner's "diplomatic" correspondence with the Transvaal Ministry was becoming more embittered, and in the beginning of 1899 the situation was evidently one of tension and growing danger. On the one hand, the Cape Dutch resented the partisan attitude of the Governor-General, while the Transvaal Boers held firmly to the belief that he was, in conjunction with the capitalist conspirators of Johannes- burg, preparing new methods of sapping the independence of the Transvaal. On the other hand, the English in Johannesburg were humiliated by the failure of the Jameson Raid, and irritated by the non-removal of their grievances; while the Loyalists in Cape Colony and Natal, moved by sympathy with fellow- 1 See Mr. Chamberlain's express statements in his speeches of February 13 and April 12, 1896. Even under the first Convention Lord Kimberley declared that "entire freedom of action will be accorded to the Transvaal Government" apart from the rights "expressly reserved to the Suzerain power." * Comp. the letter of the Cape Town correspondent of the Daily Chronicle, published July 27, 1899, and the statement by Mr. James Molteno, M.L.A., as to Sir Alfred's avowed determination to "break the dominion of Afrikanderdom." These words the Governor has officially repudiated, but they express his clear and declared policy. 28 PEACE OR WAR. Englishmen, suspicious of Dutch ambitions, and maddened by the ferocious incitements of the capitalist newspapers, were urging Sir Alfred Milner to make fresh and stronger demands. They assured him and the English Ministry that the Boers had become lazy and effete, that their military system was antiquated and useless, that their older men had forgotten and their younger men did not know how to handle the rifle. The Boers, they repeated, would yield to pressure, and certainly to a display of force. They were cowards and corrupt, and at the firm touch of Mr. Chamberlain's hand the whole rotten edifice of Transvaal misgovernment would fall to the ground. At the beginning of 1899 Sir Alfred Milner had openly undertaken the cham- pionship of the Outlanders, and in March a petition was presented to the Queen, through him, signed by over 21,000 British residents, reciting their grievances