LC /L1”, 13/if : TB - 7'/705$ Issue Brief CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH senvuce THE LIBRARY “ > n\|I\\wiii‘Tii“IIII1y\“ji 010- 3 souri a mm II mfi1i”IIiiiIi 860859 % % P1 4 . '~ ,1‘-,_‘/' h “ a _ ‘;‘_;';$-_,gg¢,;;_wo—;7-;‘;<_-_r;~_~.-_-_ -; ‘,1...’ -.‘ :{'..'.l4', .. .15‘ .B-1;} HEALTH CARE EXPENDITURES AND PRICES ISSUE BRIEF-NUMBER IB77066 AUTHOR: Price, Richard James Education and Public Welfare Division Lundy, Janet Pernice Education and Public welfare Division THE LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE MAJOR ISSUES SYSTEM DATE ORIGINATED 05/03/77 DATE UPDATED 11/12/82 FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CALL 287-5700 lll2 CRS- 1 IB77066 UPDATE-ll/12/82 ISSUE DEFINITION National health expenditures have increased for decades. By 1981, total health spending in the United States had reached $286.6 billion, or about 9.8% of the Gross National Product. The price of medical care as measured by the Consumer Price Index has also increased rapidly. These factors have focused increasing congressional attention on costs in the health sector, particularly on hospital costs. This issue brief provides background data on health care expenditures and prices, including data on hospital expenses and utilization. BACKGROUND AND POLICY ANALYSIS a. National Health Expenditures National health expenditures have increased for over 50 years in aggregate terms, on a per capita basis, and as a percent of the Gross National Product (GNP). The growth in national health expenditures is shown in the following table. TABLE 1: Aggregate and per capita national health expenditures, and percent of Gross National Product, selected years, 1940-1981 National Health Expenditures Calendar Total amount Per capita Percent year (in billions) % increase amount of GNP 1940 $ 4.0 NA $ 30 4.0 1950 12.7 NA 82 4.4 1960 26.9 NA 146 5.3 1965 41.7 NA 211 6.0 1970 74.7 NA 358 7.5 1971 83.3 11.5 394 7.7 1972 93.5 12.3 438 7.9 1973 103.2 10.3 478 7.8 1974 116.4 12.8 535 8.1 1975 132.7 14.0 604 8.6 1976 149.7 12.8 674 8.7 1977 169.2 13.1 755 8.8 1978 189.3 11.9 836 8.8 1979 215.0 13.6 938 8.9 1980 249.0 15.8 1075 9.5 1981 .286.6 15.1 1225 9.8 Source: Gibson, Robert M. and Daniel R. waldo. National Health Expenditures, 1981. Health care financing review, September 1982: 1-35. . . V; EM. I...‘ gu. , I I9 av‘ 4"’-7‘. St: -.1 - 1 L. G‘ r\ _‘. I \ A It .4’ 1.: ;.- CRS- 2 IB77066 UPDATE-ll/l2/82 National expenditures for hospital care and for physicians’ services have exceeded expenditures for all other health services. Hospital care expenditures are the major component of the Nation's health spending (representing 41.2% of total health spending in 1981), and have risen annually at "double-digit" rates for an entire decade. During 1965 (the year prior to the beginning of the Medicare and Medicaid programs), national expenditures for hospital care amounted to $13.9 billion. By 1981, annual expenditures had reached $118.0 billion, more than eight times the 1965 amount. Physicians‘ services, which represented 19.1% of national health expenditures in 1981, experienced more than a six—fo1d increase from 1965 to 1981. TABLE 2. National expenditures and % increases for hospital care and physicians’ services, selected years 1940-1981 National Health Expenditures (billions) Hospital care Physicians‘ services 7 Amount % increase Amount % increase 1940 31 $ 1.0 NAt $ 1.0 NA 1950 3.9 NA 2.7 NA 1960 9.1 NA 5.7 NA 1965 13.9 NA 8.5 NA 1970 27.8 NA 14.3 NA 1971 30.8 10.8 15.9 11.1 1972 34.9 13.3 17.2 8.2 1973 38.7 10.9 19.1 11.0 1974 44.8 15.8 21.2 11.0 1975 52.1 16.3 24.9 17.5 1976 59.9 15.0 27.6 10.8 1977 67.8 13.2 31.9 15.6 1978 75.7 11.7 35.8 12.2 1979 86.1 13.7 40.2 12.4 1980 100.4 16.6 46.8 16.4 1981 118.0 17.5 54.8 16.9 Source: Gibson, Robert M. and Daniel R. waldo. National Health Expenditures, 1981. Health care financing review, September 1982: 1-35. 9 In P 3 .._.... M.” 3 «Q .6 I. . . L .. .; .,. ..._ .. . .-. . . . .4 N ... .... I U .. .4 m... . E : .8. .. .... - H. ..._ . 0.. _.s.... ...; ,.... . m . . .1 .2. n: .f I .8 c. .. .9. , L, , A. ., . .1 -. .r V. .. .3 M . m... ..e . .... .1 .. .r.. , . flu .. 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O ’ (*1. o P .' - :1 9 ~4 st dv L '1 L. .5- : ‘ pi & Q. ‘'7 .1 .‘ I yd I CRS- 3 IB77066 UPDATE-ll/12/82 Unlike other goods and services for which the consumer pays the provider directly, health care payments are often made by other entities including private health insurance and public programs which act as insurers. The following table shows the major sources of national health expenditures including private sources, such as private health insurance and direct consumer payments, and public sources, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs and other Federal, State and local governmental sources of funds. In 1940, the percentage allocation of national health expenditures from private and public funding sources was 80.0% private and 20.0% public. By 1981, the distribution was 57.3% private and 42.7% public, with 29.3% of total national health expenditures coming from Federal sources. TABLE 3. National health expenditures by major source of funds, selected years, 1940-1981 National Health Expenditures (in billions) Public expenditures Private expenditures Total Federal State/local 1940 $ 3.2 $ .8 -- -- 1950 9.2 3.4 1.6 1.8 1960 20.3 6.6 3.0 3.6 1965 30.9 10.8 5.5 5.2 1970 46.9 27.8 17.7 10.1 1971 51.6 31.7 20.3 11.3 1972 58.1 35.4 22.9 12.5 1973 63.9 39.3 25.2 14.1 1974 69.3 47.1 30.4 16.6 1975 76.5 56.2 37.1 19.1 1976 86.7 62.9 42.6 20.3 1977 99.1 70.1 47.4 22.7 1978 109.8 79.5 53.9 25.7 1979 124.4 90.6 61.0 29.5 1980 143.6 105.4 71.1 34.3 1981 164.1 122.5 83.9 38.6 Source: Gibson, Robert M. and Daniel R. Waldo. National health expenditures, 1981. Health care financing review, September 1982: 1-35. _ _ _ , _, b NM; .... I .1 , u.:..~.. m.dA . . , ¢ . . .. t. .,‘H , 4 9 . . . a . . ) . . . . . _ ' . f D . ., . M .. 5. . L; r. . . 5. 4 I. .. .. . C a.., 4 .. xi. « I» § . a . .. .. .. ,. . . . . ..a . .v ... .. V 4.. -. C. +. . , . .. 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The Price of Health Care, as Measured by the CPI Until recently, increases in the price of health care, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), consistently exceeded price increases in the rest of the economy. A major exception in this trend occurred during the Economic Stabilization Program (August l97l-April I974 for health) when medical care prices increased at lower rates than general price levels. After these controls were lifted, medical care prices increased faster than all consumer prices. TABLE 4. Annual rates of change in consumer price index(l) and selected medical care components, selected periods, June l959 - June I982 Economic Post stabilization controls program period 6/59-6/66 6/66-8/71 8/71-4/74 4/74-6/82 CPI, all items 1.5 4.5 5.3 9.0 CPI, all services b 2.5 «6.l 5.1 I 10.5 Medical care, total 2.9 s.7~ 4.3 10.4 Medical care services 3.5 7.9 4.9 10 7 Hospital room(2) 6.1 l4.7 5.7 13.7 Physicians‘ services 3.0 6.9 4.0 ' 10.4 Medical care commodities(3) -0.5 0.9 0.7 8.3 (1) 1978-1981 CPI data are from the CPI for all urban consumers. (2) Prior to 1/78 included only semi—private room charge. (3) Prior to 1/78 included only drugs and prescriptions. Source: CPI, various publications. In 1979, the increase in health care prices as measured by the several medical indexes of the CPI indicated in Table 5, except for the hospital room index, began to rise less rapidly than the overall CPI. In 1981 and the first three quarters of I982, the increases in all of the medical care indexes indicated in the following table were higher than the rate of increase in the CPI. The following table illustrates the trends since I965: CRS- 5 IB77066 UPDATE-11/12/82 TABLE 5. Percent change in selected components of CPI(1), 1965-1981 annual averages, and quarters ending in 1982 over same quarters in 1981 CPI, all Medical CPI items less care Hospital Physicians‘ all items medical care Total room services 1965 1.7 1.5 2.5 5.6 3.6 1966 2.9 3.0 4.4 10.0 5.8 1967 2.9 2.4 7.1 19.8 7.1 1968 4.2 4.1 6.1 13.6 5.6 1969 5.4 5.4 6.9 13.4 6.9 1970 5.9 5.8 6.3 12.9 7.5 1971 4.3 4.1 6.5 12.2 6.9 1972 3.3 3.3 3.2 6.6 3.1 1973 6.2 6.4 3.9 4.7 3.3 1974 11.0 11.1 9.3 10.7 9.2 1975 9.1 8.9 12.0 17.2 12.3 1976 5.8 5.5 9.5 13.8 11.3 1977 6.5 6.2 9.6 11.5 9.3 1978 7.7 7.6 8.4 11.0 8.3 1979 11.3 11.4 9.3 11.4 9.2 1980 13.5 13.6 10.9 13.1 10.6 1981 10.4 10.3 1078 14.8 11. 1982 1st qtr. 7.6 7.1 12.0 16.7 10.8 2nd qtr. 6.8 6.5 12.0 16.6 9.9 3rd qtr. 5.8 5.5 11.4 15.8 9.1 (1) CPI index for all urban consumers, unadjusted figures. Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, various publications. CRS- 6 IB77066 UPDATE-11/12/82 c. Hospital Expenses The American Hospital Association (AHA) compiles detailed measures of expenses of the Nation's community hospitals, which are defined as all non-Federal short-term general and other special hospitals (excluding after 1971 hospital units of institutions) whose facilities and services are available to the public. The following table shows historical expense data for community hospitals from the AHA's National Hospital Panel Survey. The Survey is a monthly survey of a randomly selected sample of about 1,800 of the approximately 5,800 community hospitals. For community hospitals, total expenses in 1981 were $94.2 billion, which is over ten times greater than the 1965 amount of $9.2 billion. The average cost of a day of hospital care in 1981 was $299, which is more than seven times the 1965 figure of $41. Increases of similar magnitude have occurred in community hospital expenses per admission, or "cost-per-case," which has risen from $315 in 1965 to $2,155 in 1981. Generally, the four measures of hospital expenses shown below in Table 6 indicate that the rate of increase in hospital expenses rose from 1965 until 1970 or 1971. During the period of economic controls under) the Economic Stabilization Program (1971-1974), hospital expense increases declined. The rate of increase in expenses jumped upward in 1974 and continued to rise through 1975 Or 1976. During the period 1976 through 1978 or 1979, hospital expense increases again declined, which some claim was due perhaps in part to the initiation in 1978 by the American Hospital Association and other health organizations of a Voluntary Effort to control health care costs. Hospital expense increases rose again in 1979, 1980, and, in. 1981 generally reached the highest levels since 1975 or 1976. xv A F. E .: . . .. 4.... -... . 3 .. N. . 9.. X .. . . . ..<. Y. .1. . .,.. 2.. . i ..L .. V a ., u 3 1 3. .,,. ‘ . . . 9 .... s. ....._ , . .. E. .. . .. c. .... n\p— “V ~ (IA . .1} L ... . 1. 3%” : w . 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J. . n .2 ..< 1.. , .... . .. . \ L .. . .. u . ..\ .; . . .. .. 9 9 .,_1. 9 .2. ,. . . q \ .,.. _ H, . .fi ,, . “ .3. 2. .1 S U ,... . . ., .. W .{J Rm 2» . fl ...: ...- 3 . ..._. . . . y M... , .. «L n. « .. . _. .. . . .3 T 2. ,z. ..R 3 A S. S ..,.n .;.. .. . 7 at .1 , .. J , ...L 0 .2. _d .W... .3 .3. ., . . rm. 9 1. ...a. L... L 2. _ . M c. L 3 . . ,;, _..L ._ ..., I T. .. E W d 3 . .. L ..t I A , .. ... 3 _ . ..u. 3 . _ n... __ .1: ..... . 3 N «H. u . .” . d ..t , . us. . . . . .... . U M5 3 T” ..... Kw ._ ¢ . ...\.J . .. . . . . .... ... Y 5 m.. f .. H _. .4, . . .1... . ,. .....‘ w.\ .J Km. . a .. .. Q . .4. ..¢ . . ... 2 .0 . n.. .. - 3.. _..J 2.. .. A. , ... .» 3 _. 9 9 T 9 Md L‘) 1.. a I A ‘. 54 c I .. -.. U ... H“ X .3 ,. .. .. L. 4 1 4... .r.. 3 .04. .1 3 C 3 . .3 . .1. G. E .. U L .0; 3. G. ..... u .... : u _. . .2. W . .. an - ..... . I. ... .. . a I as .7 -, _ . M; a. .uz.. w. ._... . _ .. . 9 .. . .3 . ‘ W .3 .3 . u. 3 ... J 9 4 .u .z. N . G .. .L. 3 ... L. Q 5 .1. .0 . K. 7 . ‘I u» . .. .4 . 6.! . L L» . 8 » ,.. .. .. 1 1 J- ‘ s ¢=. ' ‘- E.‘ ’-n 31 0": .,_; A 1.3 I. 1 v 4* e «.2 ' * .3 .. ~ . -‘, . c. 12' E 5;: .A ‘ :3 " 2:.» 3.} .-‘ It r‘\‘ U H . W 3 ‘V: O: . Isl -A ' .. A N’ Al I F ‘A H r\ 1 ‘ u‘ .1 1 K 6 .2 . 3 3 .3. .. r .. L ,4 J _ O I. 9 .1 f_. 4. O . 3 _ 1 Q ‘ T .. 3 .1 J? 5 ‘Y -=.- F! 9-": I- Q CRS- 7 IB77066 UPDATE-ll/12/82 TABLE 6. Selected community hospital expense data, totals and percentage increases, 1965-1981.1 Adjusted(l) expenses per Adjusted(2) expenses per Inpatient Year Total expenses inpatient day admission expenses Amount % Amount % Amount % Amount % (billions) Chg. Chg. Chg. (bi11ions)Chg. 1965 $9.220 8.6 $41 7.5 $315 8.1 $8.414 8.7 1966 10.497 13.8 46 11.4 356 13.1 9.611 14.2 1967 12.624 20.3 53 15.3 425 19.1 11.551 20.2 1968 14.720 16.6 59 11.5 482 13.4 13.371 15.8 1969 17.247 17.2 68 15.5 551 14.5 15.635 16.9 1970 20.261 17.5 78 13.7 608 10.3 18.328 17.2 1971 22.496 11.0 87 12.3 670 10.1 20.269 10.6 1972 25.223 12.1 96 10.3 729 8.8 22.622 11.6 1973 28.248 12.0 105 9.2 784 7.5 25.173 11.3 1974 32.759 16.0 118 12.3 873 11.4 29.077 15.5 1975 38.492 17.5 138 16.4. 1,017 16.5 33.971 16.8 1976 45.842 19.1 158 15.0 1,168 14.8 40.321 18.7 1977 53.006 15.6 181 14.3 1,312 12.3 46.437 15.2 1978 59.802 12.8 203 12.1 1,466 11.8 52.131 12.3 1979 67.833 13.4 226 11.5 1,618 10.4 59.060 13.3 1980 79.340 17.0 256 12.9 1,836 13.5 68.962 16.8 1981 94.187 18.7 299 16.9 2,155 17.4 81,651 18.4 (1) Adjusted to account for the volume of outpatient visits. Source: National Hospital Panel Survey, American Hospital Association. The rate of increase in measures of community hospital expenses in 1982 is as follows: TABLE 7: Percent change in selected community hospital expense data, 1982 1982 Percent change over same month previous year Jan. Mar. May July Sept. Nov. Dec. Total expenses» 15.2 18.4 16.4 15.6 Adjusted expenses (1) per inpatient day 19.7 16.1 15.9 17.1 Adjusted expenses(1) per admission 18.3 16.2 15.2 18.1 Inpatient expenses(2) 15.1 18.0 16.2 15.3 (1) Adjusted to account for the volume of outpatients visits. (2) Used by the AHA to track the Voluntary Effort. Source: National Hospital Panel Survey, American Hospital Association. ,. r. _\) /,1 , _ \ K d /I.\ _ . T l. w _ .. _ 7 , , . . . _ , fl , ., ,, .4 _ .. , ,. _ . ,_ _ , \ _ _ , W _. W _ W _ 4 w . . . o . .. CRS- 8 IB77066 UPDATE-ll/12/82 d. Hospital Utilization A number Of indices are reported as measures Of hospital utilization: admissions, patient days, outpatient visits and hospitals beds per 1,000 population; average length of stay in days; and occupancy rates. The data for Tables 8-10 are from the American Hospital Association's most recent Annual Survey of Hospitals, a yearly survey of the approximately 7,000 AHA-registered hospitals, with responses received from approximately 6,400 hospitals in 1980. Admissions, patient days, outpatient visits and hospital beds per 1,000 population provide measures of hospital utilization adjusted for changes in the size of the population. From 1965 to 1980, admissions per 1,000 population increased by approximately 16%. increased 13% during the same period. Patient days per 1,000 population Growth in outpatient utilization was more dramatic. Since 1965, community hospital outpatient visits per 1,000 population have increased 86%. Hospital beds per 1,000 population have increased 13% since 1965. TABLE 8. Admissions, patient days, and outpatient visits per 1,000 population--community hospitals selected years 1965-1980 Inpatient Outpatient Hospitals Year Admissions days visits beds 1965 138 1,073 A 483 3.9 1970 145 1,198 662 4.2 1971 148 1,188 727 4.2 1972 149 1,174 788 4.3 1973 152 1,191 832 4.3 1974 157 1,217 901 4.4 1975 158 1,219 . 902 4.5 1976 160 1,224 945 4.5 1977 160 1,215 925 4.5 1978 159 1,211 933 4.5 1979 161 1,214 910 4.5 1980 160 1,211 897 4.4 Source: Hospital Statistics, 1981 Edition, American Hospital Association. The average length of stay increased in the years immediately following enactment of the Medicare and Medicaid programs, but has declined since 1968. It has remained the same since 1977: CRS- 9 IB77066 UPDATE-11/12/82 TABLE 9. Average length of stay in days-—community hospitals selected years 1965-1980 Year Average length of stay, 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ~J\l\1\]CI)(I)\] mmmmqqmmtoowoo xix)-J\]\] 00000 Source: iHospita1 Statistics, 1981 Edition, American Hospital Association. The occupancy rate provides a measure of the average percentage of beds filled throughout the year. The occupancy rate increased in the 1965-1970 time period, declined through 1978, and increased in 1979 and 1980. SOUFCE: TABLE 10. Occupancy rate--community hospitals selected years 1965-1980 Year Occupancy rate 1965 76.0 1970 78.0 1971 76.7 1972 75.4 1973 75.7 1974 75.6 1975 75.0 1976 74.6 1977 73.8 1978 73.6 1979 73.9 19807 75.6 Hospital Statistics, Hospital Association. 1981 Edition, American CRS-lO IB77066 UPDATE-ll/12/82 ADDITIONAL REFERENCE SOURCES American Hospital Association. Hospital statistics, 1981 edition. Chicago, 1981. 236 p. U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services. Health Care Financing Administration. National health expenditures, 1981 [by] Robert M. Gibson and Daniel R. waldo. [Washington] Health care financing review, September 1982: 1-35. LIBRARY OF WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY ST. Lows - MO.