1039-A "BUHR STORAGE S. HRG. 98-908 SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE B 1,122,801 HEARINGS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE NINETY-EIGHTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION ON S. 2346 A BILL TO AMEND THE FOREIGN ASSISTANCE ACT OF 1961 AND THE ARMS EXPORT CONTROL ACT TO AUTHORIZE DEVELOPMENT AND SE- CURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1984 AND 1985, AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES Y4. 76/2 :S.hrg. 98-908 S. 2347 A BILL TO ESTABLISH A LONG-TERM FRAMEWORK TO BUILD DEMOCRA- CY, RESTORE PEACE, AND IMPROVE LIVING CONDITIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA, TO AUTHORIZE ASSISTANCE FOR THE FISCAL YEARS 1984 THROUGH 1989, AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES S. 2321 A BILL TO FURTHER AMEND THE PEACE CORPS ACT S. 2416 A BILL TO PROVIDE FOR INCREASED PARTICIPATION BY THE UNITED STATES IN THE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION, AND FOR PARTICIPATION BY THE UNITED STATES IN THE INTER-AMERI- CAN INVESTMENT CORPORATION FEBRUARY 22, 29, MARCH 7, 8, 20, 21, 22, AND 27, 1984 Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Relations UNIV. of ICH. LIBRARIES OUT O 8 1987 PBUHR STORAGE Documents Center OCT 08 1984 DEPOSITED BY THE TED STATES OF AL S. HRG. 98-908 SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE HEARINGS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE NINETY-EIGHTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION ON S. 2346 A BILL TO AMEND THE FOREIGN ASSISTANCE ACT OF 1961 AND THE ARMS EXPORT CONTROL ACT TO AUTHORIZE DEVELOPMENT AND SE- CURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1984 AND 1985, AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES S. 2347 A BILL TO ESTABLISH A LONG-TERM FRAMEWORK TO BUILD DEMOCRA- CY, RESTORE PEACE, AND IMPROVE LIVING CONDITIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA, TO AUTHORIZE ASSISTANCE FOR THE FISCAL YEARS 1984 THROUGH 1989, AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES S. 2321 A BILL TO FURTHER AMEND THE PEACE CORPS ACT S. 2416 A BILL TO PROVIDE FOR INCREASED PARTICIPATION BY THE UNITED STATES IN THE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION, AND FOR PARTICIPATION BY THE UNITED STATES IN THE INTER-AMERI- CAN INVESTMENT CORPORATION FEBRUARY 22, 29, MARCH 7, 8, 20, 21, 22, AND 27, 1984 es Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Relations U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 34-045 0 WASHINGTON : 1984 COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS CHARLES H. PERCY, Illinois, Chairman HOWARD H. BAKER, JR., Tennessee CLAIBORNE PELL, Rhode Island JESSE HELMS, North Carolina JOSEPH R. BIDEN, JR., Delaware RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana JOHN GLENN, Ohio CHARLES MCC. MATHIAS, JR., Maryland PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland NANCY L. KASSEBAUM, Kansas EDWARD ZORINSKY, Nebraska RUDY BOSCHWITZ, Minnesota PAUL E. TSONGAS, Massachusetts LARRY PRESSLER, South Dakota ALAN CRANSTON, California FRANK H. MURKOWSKI, Alaska CHRISTOPHER J. DODD, Connecticut PAULA HAWKINS, Florida SCOTT COHEN, Staff Director GERYLD B. CHRISTIANSON, Minority Staff Director (II) CONTENTS Hearing days: February 22, 1984....... February 29, 1984....... February 29, 1984 March 7, 1984..... March 8, 1984..... March 20, 1984..... March 21, 1984 ...... March 22, 1984.... March 22, 1984 March 27, 1984...... March 27, 1984....... Page 1 113 229 353 447 563 1053 1211 1323 1371 1521 63 FEBRUARY 22, 1984–SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE Statement of: Shultz, Hon. George P., Secretary of State, accompanied by Hon. William Schneider, Jr., Under Secretary of State for Security Assistance, Sci- ence and Technology; Hon. M. Peter McPherson, Administrator, Agency for International Development.... Insertions for the record: Text of S. 2346, S. 2347, S. 2416 and S. 2321 Prepared statement of Hon. George P. Shultz.. Forced recruitment Drug eradication ...... State Department's responses to additional questions submitted by Sena- tors Boschwitz and Hawkins 3 69 104 107 110 114 138 172 165 FEBRUARY 29, 1984—IDA VII REPLENISHMENT Statement of: Danforth, Hon. John C., a U.S. Senator from Missouri. Debs, Richard A., president, Morgan Stanley International, and manag- ing director, Morgan Stanley & Co., on behalf of the Chamber of Commerce of the United States, accompanied by Kathryn Young, direc- tor, International Economic Development Policy, U.S. Chamber of Commerce Fried, Edward R., the Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C. Lipscomb, Most Reverend Oscar H., Archbishop of Mobile, on behalf of the U.S. Catholic Conference, Washington D.C... Phillips, Hon. Christopher H., president, the National Council for United States-China Trade, Washington, D.C.... Regan, Hon. Donald T., Secretary of the Treasury Richards, John C., vice president, M. W. Kellogg Co., Washington, D.C....... Sewell, John W., president, Overseas Development Council, Washington, D.C....... Strauss, Hon. Robert, Akin, Gump, Strauss, Hauer & Feld, Washington, D.C........ Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. John C. Danforth Prepared statement of Donald T. Regan Prepared statement of Richard A. Debs. Prepared statement of Hon. Christopher H. Phillips..... Prepared statement of John C. Richards.... Prepared statement of the Most Reverend Oscar H. Lipscomb 155 119 161 175 131 116 120 143 158 162 169 OC (III) Page IV 180 Prepared statement of John W. Sewell.... Letter to Secretary Shultz from Senators Percy, Mathias, Glenn, and Dodd, dated November 3, 1984, regarding the size of the seventh replen- ishment of IDA........... 222 253 260 243 229 FEBRUARY 29, 1984—SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE Statement of: Gast, Lt. Gen. Philip C., Director, Defense Security Assistance Agency, Department of Defense... Kirk, Hon. Roger, Senior Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of Interna- tional Organization Affairs, Department of State McPherson, Hon. M. Peter, Acting Director and Administrator, Agency for International Development.... Schneider, Hon. William, Jr., Under Secretary of State for Security As- sistance, Science and Technology, Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. William Schneider, Jr Prepared statement of Hon. M. Peter McPherson... Prepared statement of Lt. Gen. Philip C. Gast...... Foreign assistance budget summary. Economic need for concessional financing Security assistance allocations-1983 to 1985. Justification of U.S. naval bombardment. Countries receiving ESF Tax structure in Central America State Department's responses to additional questions submitted by Sena- tor Percy.......... AID's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Percy AID's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Pell AID's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Kassebaum. Defense Department's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Pell. Defense Department's response to an additional question submitted for the record ...... Appendix: Executive summary--Report of the Commission on Security and Econom- ic Assistance Statement of Armistead I. Selden, president, American League for Ex- ports and Security Assistance, Inc., Washington, D.C Statement of Harry J. Shaw President's budget-foreign assistance summary ....... MARCH 7, 1984–EUROPEAN AFFAIRS 233 247 256 264 265 272 282 286 295 ... 297 206 317 324 326 327 329 332 337 342 354 429 425 Statement of: Burt, Hon. Richard R., Assistant Secretary for European Affairs, Depart- ment of State, accompanied by Richard Haass, Deputy for_Policy (Bureau of European Affairs) and Special Cyprus Coordinator, Depart- ment of State ....... Cardiges, Peter H., president, American Hellenic Educational Progressive Association, Washington, D.C. Hart, Hon. Parker T., former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey, former Assist- ant Secretary of State for the Near East and South Asia..... Lomis, Prof. Dean C., chairman, American Hellenic Institute Public Af- fairs Committee, Inc., Washington, D.C., accompanied by Eugene T. Rossides, Esq., special counsel.. Manatos, Andrew E., on behalf of the United Hellenic American Con- gress and the American Hellenic Alliance, Washington, D.C.... Perle, Hon. Richard N., Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy ...... Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. Richard R. Burt...... Prepared statement of Richard N. Perle .... Soviet noncompliance with arms control agreements. U.S. military installations in Greece...... 417 435 360 355 363 369 370 V Page Insertions for the record—Continued Letter from the Helsinki Watch Committee, dated Feb. 24, 1984, regard- ing human rights issues Prepared statement of Prof. Dean C. Lomis Prepared statement of Hon. Parker T. Hart Prepared statement of Peter H. Cardiges.... Prepared statement of Andrew E. Manatos.. 414 420 428 432 438 MARCH 8, 1984-NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS 472 447 495 Statement of: Langmaid, Bradshaw, Jr., Deputy Assistant Administrator for the Near East, Agency for International Development Murphy, Hon. Richard W., Assistant Secretary for the Near East and South Asia, Department of State Staples, Eugene S., Deputy Assistant Administrator for Asia, Agency for International Development Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. Richard W. Murphy Prepared statement of Bradshaw Langmaid, Jr Prepared statement of Eugene S. Staples.... Deliveries of major weapons to the Near East and South Asia by the major arms suppliers, 1980-83. Arab development funds ..... Coptic Pope Shenouda III .... State Department's responses to additional questions submitted for the record ....... 449 474 495 517 518 533 554 673 772 790 825 564 776 846 660 572 1008 MARCH 20, 1984—WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS Statement of: Beckington, Hon. Herbert, Inspector General, Agency for International Development.. Dagata, Martin, Mission Director in El Salvador, Agency for Internation- al Development Goodfellow, William C., deputy director, Center for International Policy, Washington, D.C...... Hehir, Rev. J. Bryan, U.S. Catholic Conference, Washington, D.C. Ikle, Hon. Fred C., Under Secretary for Policy, Department of Defense. Kasun, Jacqueline R., Ph. D., professor of economics, Humboldt State University, Arcata, Calif...... Leonard, Jerris, Esq., Washington, D.C.... Morris, Hon. Jay F., Deputy Administrator, Agency for International Development... Motley, Hon. Langhorne A., Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Af- fairs, Department of State ...... Phillips, Howard, the Conservative Caucus, Vienna, Va Plunket, John T., president, Association of American Chambers of Com- merce in Latin America, Washington, D.C Smith, Wayne S., senior associate, Carnegie Endowmnent for Internation- al Peace, Washington, D.C... Waters, Alan Rufus, professor of economics, Wake Forest University, former chief economist, Agency for International Development, Win- ston-Salem, N.C... White, Hon. Robert, Warburg Professor of International Relations, Sim- mons College, Boston, Mass.... Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. Fred C. Ikle Prepared statement of Hon. Langhorne A. Motley ... Prepared statement of Hon. Jay F. Morris Agrarian reform in El Salvador, a report from the Inspector General, AID..... El Salvador's reforms ...... El Salvador civilian deaths attributable to political violence Guerrilla prisoner release policy. Comparison of tonnage provided guerrillas and ESAF Percentages of Salvadoran guerrillas ammunition infiltrated. Prepared statement of Jacqueline R. Kasun 788 804 782 988 566 573 661 674 756 759 761 762 763 778 VI Page Insertions for the record_Continued Prepared statement of Alan Rufus Waters ... 784 Prepared statement of William C. Goodfellow 793 Prepared statement of Wayne S. Smith 807 Prepared statement of Rev. J. Bryan Hehir 829 Prepared statement of Jerris Leonard together with attachments. 849 Prepared statement of Ambassador Robert White ..... 992 State Department's responses to additional questions submitted by Sena- tor Hawkins ....... 1020 AID's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Hawkins...... 1024 Ms. Kasun's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Helms...... 1028 Appendix: Statement of Henry L. Walther, executive vice president, U.S. Defense Committee, Fairfax, VA ........ 1037 Statement of William C. Doherty, Jr., executive director, American Insti- tute for Free Labor Development... 1041 MARCH 21, 1984–INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL Statement of: DiCarlo, Hon. Dominick L., Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of Inter- national Narcotics Matters, accompanied by Clyde D. Taylor, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of International Narcotics Mat- ters; and James Van Wert, Executive Director, Bureau of International Narcotics Matters... 1066 Kimball, Frank B., Counselor, Agency for International Development 1174 Korb, Hon. Lawrence J., Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manpower Installations and Logistics 1095 Logan, William R., Director, Office of Investigations, U.S. Customs Service 1114 Mullen, Hon. Francis M., Jr., Administrator, Drug Enforcement Adminis- tration ...... 1055 Yost, Rear Adm. Paul A., Jr., Chief of Staff, U.S. Coast Guard...... 1103 Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. Dominick L. DiCarlo....... 1071 Prepared statement of Hon. Lawrence J. Korb..... 1097 Prepared statement of Rear Adm. Paul A. Yost, Jr..... 1105 Prepared statement of William R. Logan. 1120 Prepared statement of Frank B. Kimball...... 1175 Description of crop substitution project in Pakistan. 1183 DEA's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Biden 1183 State Department's responses to additional questions submitted for the record ....... 1185 AID's responses to additional questions submitted for the record 1205 U.S. Customs Service's responses to additional questions submitted by Senator Hawkins. 1207 1258 1304 1244 1212 MARCH 22, 1984–EAST ASIAN AND PACIFIC AFFAIRS Statement of: Greenleaf, Charles W., Jr., Assistant Administrator, Bureau for Asia, Agency for International Development.... Kasun, Jacqueline R., professor of economics, Humboldt State University, Arcata, Calif.... Kelly, Hon. James A., Deputy Assistant Secretary, Department of Defense Melcher, Hon. John, a U.S. Senator from Montana.. Wolfowitz, Hon. Paul D., Assistant Secretary for East Asia and Pacific Affairs, Department of State...... Insertions for the record: Letter from Senator John Melcher to Philippine President Ferdinand E. Marcos, dated January 19, 1984, and President Marcos' response dated February 11, 1984, regarding aid to the Philippines China-Philippine agreement to enhance joint commitments Prepared statement of Hon. Paul D. Wolfowitz Prepared statement of Hon. James A. Kelly Prepared statement of Charles W. Greenleaf, Jr 1221 1213 1217 1224 1246 1259 VII Page 1300 1305 1308 .. Insertions for the record-Continued Prepared statement of the Lawyers Committee for International Human Rights, New York, N.Y.. Prepared statement of Jacqueline R. Kasun Letter to Ambassador Jeane J. Kirkpatrick from Rafael M. Salas, Execu- tive Director, U.N. Fund for Population Activities, dated April 2, 1984, regarding Ms. Kasun's testimony... Letter to Prof. Theodore W. Schultz from Rafael M. Salas, Secretary, Committee for the U.N. Population Award, concerning Professor Schultz' letter of July 18, 1983....... State Department's responses to additional questions submitted for the record ........ Appendix: Statement of Werner Fornos, president of the Population Institute, Wash- ington, D.C...... Statement of Kevin F. Owens, political affairs representative, Movement for a Free Philippines.... 1309 1311 1315 1317 MARCH 22, 1984–PEACE CORPS AUTHORIZATION Statement of: Ruppe, Hon. Loret M., Director, the Peace Corps, accompanied by Thomas Wilson, Director, Office of Financial Management...... 1341 Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Thomas J. McGrew, on behalf of the Committee of Returned Peace Corps Volunteers 1325 Note with sorrow-a tribute to Senator Paul Tsongas 1341 Prepared statement of Hon. Loret M. Ruppe 1343 Peace Corps' responses to additional questions submitted for the record..... 1363 MARCH 27, 1984-IDA VII REPLENISHMENT Statement of: Bergsten, C. Fred, director, Institute for International Economics, Wash- ington, D.C.... 1408 McNamara, Hon. Robert S., former president, World Bank and Interna- tional Development Association, Washington, D.C...... 1372 Rich, Bruce M., on behalf of the International Project, Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., Washington, D.C........ ...... 1427 Insertions for the record: Prepared statement of Hon. Robert S. McNamara... 1375 Letter from Mr. McNamara to Dr. Henry A. Kissinger, dated September 12, 1983, regarding assistance to Central America 1407 Prepared statement of C. Fred Bergsten 1414 Prepared statement of Bruce M. Rich.. 1431 MARCH 27, 1984-SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE Statement of: Tower, Hon. John, a U.S. Senator from Texas .. 1521 SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 22, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:07 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Charles H. Percy (chairman of the committee) presiding. Present: Senators Percy, Baker, Helms, Lugar, Mathias, Kasse- baum, Boschwitz, Pressler, Hawkins, Pell, Biden, Zorinsky, and Dodd. The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Shultz, we welcome you this morning as the committee's lead witness on the President's foreign assist- ance request. And knowing that you have a regular meeting with the President at 12:30 on Wednesdays, we will excuse you by 12:15 so that you can make that meeting. This year the committee will consider several major bills. The $8.4 billion Central America legislation, the fiscal year 1985 re- quest, and the World Bank's IDA VII replenishment. The proposal includes a $1.1 billion supplemental for fiscal year 1984, of which $860 million is in economic aid. The overall fiscal year 1985 foreign aid request is $15.2 billion, of which $9.4 billion is economic aid. Let me say at the outset of the hearing that I am determined to enact a foreign-aid authorization this year, and I believe that Chairman Fascell feels the same way. We have not done that since 1981, and I have advised the administration that when this com- mittee puts the number of hours that it does into preparing author- ization bills, only not to have them enacted, it is just an unaccept- able procedure. The majority leader is very appreciative of our concern. He has promised that we will have early scheduling for floor action, early in April. We are aiming for April 2. We have 4 days of markup scheduled: March 27, 28, 29, and 30. We plan to put the total pack- age into one bill, an omnibus bill, to facilitate its passage. Certainly, doing this means that we must avoid developing legis- lation which cannot meet the test on the Senate floor, because it will all be in one package, and I urge my colleagues to keep this in mind as we proceed with consideration of this legislation. We must be prepared on those 4 days, March 27 through March 30, to work long hours because we have a time set for floor action early in April as indicated by the majority leader. Mr. Secretary, there are many important issues in this legisla- tion which this morning we hope you can address. First, conditions (1) 2 for aid to El Salvador. Conditionality has been a strong position of this committee and certainly is of the Kissinger commission. I was pleased to see that it was emphasized strongly there. Second, proposed aid reductions in the administration's request for Israel, Cyprus, Tunisia, the international organizations, and the World Bank. Third, a new foreign military sales (FMS) concessional loan pro- gram. Fourth, higher military aid request for Turkey, despite that country's recognition of the Turkish Cyprus unilateral declaration of independence. Fifth, a new economic cash-grant proposal for Egypt. Sixth, higher military aid levels for the Philippines. Seventh, a new aid program for Micronesia. And finally, a new and much needed development-assistance effort to prevent starvation in Africa. And despite the unpopularity of foreign aid programs with the general electorate, as I went from one end of the State to the other in Illinois over the recess, I have had nothing but sympathetic reac- tions when the facts are presented on what is going on and what would likely happen to Africa unless we stepped in and helped. The humanitarian attitude of the American people does come through in times of crisis, and this is such a time, I think. I would like to note at the outset that this year's aid request places the FMS financing program on budget. I have been asking for this for 2 years. I could not be more gratified than to see the suggestion adopted by the administration. I think we all believe in it and it will be a good program. [Text of S. 2346, S. 2347, S. 2321, and S. 2416 follow: 3 98TH CONGRESS 20 SESSION S. 2346 To amend the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 and the Arms Export Control Act to authorize development and security assistance programs for fiscal years 1984 and 1985, and for other purposes. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES FEBRUARY 27, 1984 Mr. PERCY (by request) introduced the following bill; which was read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations A BILL To amend the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 and the Arms Export Control Act to authorize development and security assistance programs for fiscal years 1984 and 1985, and for other purposes. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 SHORT TITLE 4 SECTION. 1. This Act may be cited as the “Internation- 5 al Security and Development Cooperation Act of 1984". 4 2 1 TITLE I_MILITARY SALES AND RELATED 2 PROGRAMS 3 FOREIGN MILITARY SALES CREDITS AUTHORIZATION AND 4 AGGREGATE CEILINGS 5 SEC. 101. (a) Section 31(a) of the Arms Export Control 6 Act is amended by striking out “$800,000,000 for the fiscal 7 year 1982 and $800,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983” and 8 inserting in lieu thereof “$5,070,000,000 for the fiscal year 9 1985". 10 (b) Section 31(b)(1) of such Act is amended by striking 11 out “$800,000,000 for the fiscal year 1982 and 12 $800,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983” and inserting in lieu 13 thereof “$5,070,000,000 for fiscal year 1985". 14 (c) Section 31(b)(3) of such Act is amended to read as 15 follows: 16 “(3) Of the aggregate total of credits (or participa- 17 tions in credits) extended under section 23 of this Act, 18 not less than $1,400,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 19 shall be available only for Israel, and Israel shall be 20 released from its contractual liability to repay the 21 United States Government with respect to such credits 22 (and participations in credits).”. 23 (d) Section 31(b)(5) of such Act is amended to read as 24 follows: 5 3 1 “(5) The principal amount of financing provided 2 under section 23 at or above the current average inter- 3 est rate for United States Government obligations of 4. comparable maturity, or under section 24(a), with re- 5 spect to Greece, Korea, the Philippines, Portugal, So- 6 malia, Sudan, and Turkey, shall (if and to the extent each country so desires) be repaid in not more than 7 8 twenty years, following a grace period of ten years on repayment of principal.”. 9 10 (e) Section 31(b)(6) of such Act is amended- 11 (1) by striking out “$465,000,000 for the fiscal 12 year 1984" and inserting in lieu thereof 13 “$1,175,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985”; and 14 (2) by striking out the last sentence. 15 (f) Sections 31(b)(7) and 31(c) of such Act are repealed. 16 CHARGES FOR TRAINING 17 SEC. 102. (a) Section 21(a)(3) of the Arms Export Con- 18 trol Act is amended by striking out “sold to a purchaser who 19 is concurrently receiving assistance under chapter 5 of part 20 II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961". 21 (b) Section 21(g) of such Act is repealed. ADMINISTRATIVE BURCHARGE 22 23 SEC. 103. Paragraph (1)A) of section 21(e) of the Arms 24 Export Control Act is amended by inserting “(excluding a 6 4 1 pro rata share of fixed base operation costs)" immediately 2 after “full estimated costs". 3 CATALOG DATA AND SERVICES 4 SEC. 104. Section 21(h) of the Arms Export Control 5 Act is amended 6 (a) by inserting “(1)” immediately after “(h)"'; 7 (b) by striking out “(1) in connection with” and 8 inserting in lieu thereof “(A) in connection with”; 9 (c) by striking out “(2) in connection with” and 10 inserting in lieu thereof “(B) in connection with"; and 11 (d) by adding at the end thereof the following: "(2) In carrying out the objectives of this section, the 12 13 President is authorized to provide (without charge) cataloging 14 data and cataloging services to the North Atlantic Treaty 15 Organization or to any member government thereof, if such 16 Organization or member government provides such data and 17 services in accordance with an agreement on a reciprocal 18 basis, without charge, to the United States Government.”. 19 SALES CREDITS 20 SEC. 105. Section 23 of the Arms Export Control Act 21 is amended to read as follows: 22 "SEC. 23. SALES CREDITS.-The President is author- 23 ized to finance procurement of defense articles, defense serv- 24 ices, and design and construction services by friendly foreign 25 countries and international organizations, on such terms and 7 5 1 conditions as he may determine. The President shall charge 2 interest at a rate he shall determine and shall require repay- 3 ment in United States dollars within a period not to exceed 4 twelve years after the loan agreement is signed on behalf of 5 the United States Government, unless a longer period is spe- 6 cifically authorized by statute for such country or interna- 7 tional organization.”. 8 REPORTING REQUIREMENT 9 SEC. 106. (a) Section 25(a) of the Arms Export Control 10 Act is amended in the text above paragraph (1) by inserting 11 “or, in the case of paragraph (4), no later than April 1 of 12 each year” immediately after “each year”. 13 (b) Section 25 of this Act is amended by striking out 14 subsection (a)(4) and inserting in lieu thereof the following: 15 “(4) an estimate of the sale and delivery of weap- 16 17 ons and weapons-related defense equipment by all major arms suppliers to all major recipient countries in the developing world during the preceding calendar 18 19 year;". 20 GUARANTY RESERVE FUND 21 SEC. 107. (a) Chapter 3 of the Arms Export Control 22 Act is amended by adding the following new section immedi- 23 ately after section 31: 24 "SBC. 31A. There are authorised to be appropriated to 25 the President for the fiscal year 1985 $274,000,000 to main- 8 6 1 tain adequate reserves in the Guaranty Reserve Fund against 2 defaults and rescheduling of outstanding loans guaranteed 3 pursuant to the provisions of section 24(a) of this Act.”. 4 (b) Section 24 of such Act is amended by striking out 5 the second sentence of subsection (c) and inserting in lieu 6 thereof "Funds made available pursuant to section 31A of 7 this Act shall be credited to such reserve, shall be merged 8 with the funds in such reserve, and shall be available for any 9 purpose for which funds in such reserve are available.”. 10 (c) Section 31(a) of such Act is amended by striking out 11 "this Act” in the first sentence and inserting in lieu thereof 12 “the provisions of section 23 of this Act”. 13 INCREASE IN CRIMINAL PENALTIES FOR CERTAIN 14 VIOLATIONS OF THE ARMS EXPORT CONTROL ACT 15 SEC. 108. (a) Section 38(c) of the Arms Export Control 16 Act is amended by striking out “not more than $100,000 or 17 imprisoned not more than two years, or both” and inserting 18 in lieu thereof "for each violation not more than $1,000,000 19 or imprisoned not more than ten years, or both”. 20 (b) Section 38(e) of such Act is amended by adding at 21 the end thereof the following: “Notwithstanding Section 22 11(c) of the Export Administration Act of 1979, as amended, 23 the civil penalty for each violation involving controls imposed 24 on the export of defense articles and defense services under 25 this section may not exceed $500,000.". 9 7 1 (c) The amendments made by this section apply with 2 respect to violations occurring after the effective date of this 3 section. 4 OFFICIAL RECEPTION AND REPRESENTATION EXPENSES 5 SEC. 109. Section 43 of the Arms Export Control Act 6 is amended 7 8 (a) in subsection (b) by inserting “and official re- ception and representation expenses" immediately after “administrative expenses”; and 9 : 10 (b) by adding at the end thereof the following new 11 subsection: 12 "(c) Not more than $72,500 of the funds derived from 13 charges for administrative services pursuant to section 14 21(e)(1)(A) of this Act may be used each fiscal year for offi- 15 cial reception and representation expenses.". 16 MILITARY ASSISTANCE 17 SEC. 110. Section 504(a)(1) of the Foreign Assistance 18 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “not to exceed 19 $238,500,000 for the fiscal year 1982 and not to exceed 20 $238,500,000 for the fiscal year 1983" and inserting in lieu 21 thereof "not to exceed $652,500,000 for the fiscal year 22 1985". 23 WAIVER OF NET PROCEEDS OF SALE OF MAP ITEMS 24 SEC. 111. Section 505(f) of the Foreign Assistance Act 25 of 1961 is amended by adding at the end thereof the follow- 84-045 0-84-2 10 8 1 ing: “In the case of defense articles delivered more than five 2 years prior to the President's determination, the President 3 may waive the requirement that such net proceeds be paid to 4 the United States Government if he determines that to do so 5 is in the national interest of the United States.". 6 STOCKPILING OF DEFENSE ARTICLES FOR FOREIGN 7 COUNTRIES 8 SEC. 112. Section 514(b)(2) of the Foreign Assistance 9 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “$130,000,000 for 10 the fiscal year 1982 and $125,000,000 for the fiscal year 11 1983” and inserting in lieu thereof “$248,000,000 for the 12 fiscal year 1985". 13 SECURITY ASSISTANCE ORGANIZATIONS 14 Sec. 113. Section 515(c)(1) of the Foreign Assistance 15 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “For the fiscal year 16 1982 and the fiscal year 1983” and inserting in lieu thereof 17 “Pakistan, Tunisia, Yemen, Lebanon, Sudan, El Salvador, 18 Honduras, Venezuela". 19 INTERNATIONAL MILITARY EDUCATION AND TRAINING 20 SEC. 114. Section 542 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 21 1961 is amended by striking out "$42,000,000 for the fiscal 22 year 1982 and $42,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983” and 23 inserting in lieu thereof “$57,010,000 for the fiscal year 24 1985". 11 9 1 EXCHANGE TRAINING 2 SEC. 115. Chapter 5 of part II of the Foreign Assist- 3 ance Act of 1961 is amended by adding at the end thereof the 4 following new section: 5 "SEC. 544. EXCHANGE TRAINING.—In carrying out 6 this chapter, the President is authorized to provide for at- 7 tendance of foreign military personnel at professional military 8 education institutions in the United States (other than Sery- 9 ice academies without charge, and without charge to funds 10 available to carry out this chapter (notwithstanding section 11 632(d) of this Act), if such attendance is pursuant to an 12 agreement providing for the exchange of students on a one- 13 for-one, reciprocal basis each fiscal year between those 14 United States professional military education institutions and 15 comparable institutions of foreign countries and international 16 organizations.". 17 TRAINING IN MARITIME SKILLS 18 SEC. 116. (a) Chapter 5 of part II of the Foreign Assist- 19 ance Act of 1961 is further amended by inserting the follow- 20 ing new section: 21 “SEC. 545. TRAINING IN MARITIME SKILLS.— The 22 President is encouraged to allocate a portion of the funds 23 made available each fiscal year to carry out this chapter for 24 use in providing education and training in maritime search 25 and rescue, operation and maintenance of aids to navigation, 12 10 1 port security, at-sea law enforcement, international maritime 2 law, and general maritime skills."; and 3 (b) Section 660(b) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 4 is amended 5 (1) by striking out "or" at the end of clause (1); 6 (2) by striking out the period at the end of clause 7 (2) and inserting “; or”; and 8 (3) by adding the following new clause: 9 “(3) with respect to assistance, including training, in 10 maritime law enforcement.”. 11 AUTHORIZATION FOR PEACEKEEPING OPERATIONS 12 SEC. 117. Section 552(a) of the Foreign Assistance Act 13 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$19,000,000 for the 14 fiscal year 1982 and $19,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983” 15 and inserting in lieu thereof “$49,000,000 for the fiscal year 16 1985". 17 PEACEKEEPING OPERATIONS EMERGENCIES 18 SEC. 118. (a) Section 552 of the Foreign Assistance Act 19 of 1961 is amended 20 (1) by inserting in subsection (c) the number "(1)" 21 immediately after “the President may’’; 22 (2) by inserting in subsection (c) immediately 23 before the period at the end of the subsection“; and 24 (2) in the event the President also determines that such 25 unforeseen emergency requires the immediate provision -- 13 11 1 of assistance under this chapter, direct the drawdown 2 of commodities and services from the inventory and re- 3 sources of any agency of the United States Govern- 4 ment of an aggregate value not to exceed $25,000,000 5 in any fiscal year”; and 6 (3) by inserting at the end thereof the following 7 subsection: 8 “(d) There are authorized to be appropriated to the 9 President such sums as may be necessary to reimburse the 10 applicable appropriation, fund, or account for commodities 11 and services provided under subsection (c)(2) of this section.”. 12 (b) Section 652 of such Act is amended by inserting 13 ", 552(c)(2),” immediately after “under section 506(a)”. 14 TITLE I-ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND 15 AUTHORIZATION OF APPROPRIATIONS 16 SEC. 201. (a) Section 531(b)(1) of the Foreign Assist- 17 ance Act of 1961 is amended by striking out 18 “$2,623,500,000 for the fiscal year 1982 and 19 $2,723,500,000 for the fiscal year 1983” and inserting in 20 lieu thereof “$2,797,500,000 for the fiscal year 1985”. 21 (b) Section 535 of such Act is amended- 22 (1) by striking out “1982" and inserting in lieu 23 thereof “1985''; and 24 (2) by striking out “and up to $75,000,000 for 25 the fiscal year 1983". S 2346 IS 14 12 1 TITLE HI-DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE 2 DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE POLICY 3 SEC. 301. Section 102(b) of the Foreign Assistance Act 4 of 1961 is amended by adding the following new paragraphs: 5 “(13) United States encouragement of policy reforms is 6 necessary if developing countries are to achieve economic 7 growth with equity. 8 “(14) Development assistance should promote private 9 sector activity in open and competitive markets in developing 10 countries as a cost effective way to achieve long-term eco- 11 nomic growth. 12 “(15) United States cooperation in development should 13 recognize as essential the need of developing countries to 14 have access to appropriate technology in order to improve 15 food and water, health and housing, education and employ- 16 ment, agriculture and industry. 17 "(16) United States assistance should focus on establish- 18 ing and upgrading the institutional capacities of developing 19 countries in order to promote long-term development. An im- 20 portant component of institution building involves training 21 not only to build physical infrastructure but to expand social 22 infrastructure.". 23 AGRICULTURE, RURAL DEVELOPMENT, AND NUTRITION 24 SEC. 302. Section 103(a)(2) of the Foreign Assistance 25 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “$700,000,000 for 15 13 1 the fiscal year 1982 and $700,000,000 for the fiscal year 2 1983” and inserting in lieu thereof “$682,751,000 for the 3 fiscal year 1985”. 4 POPULATION AND HEALTH 5 SEC. 303. Section 104(g) of the Foreign Assistance Act 6 of 1961 is amended by striking out paragraphs (1) and (2) of 7 the first sentence and inserting in lieu thereof the following: 8 “(1) $235,002,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to 9 carry out subsection (b) of this section; and 10 "(2) $118,138,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to 11 carry out subsection (c) of this section.". 12 EDUCATION AND HUMAN RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT 13 SEC. 304. Section 105(a) of the Foreign Assistance Act 14 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$103,600,000 for the 15 fiscal year 1982 and $103,600,000 for the fiscal year 1983" 16 and inserting in lieu thereof $124,833,000 for the fiscal year 17 1985". 18 ENERGY, PRIVATE VOLUNTARY ORGANIZATIONS, AND 19 SELECTED DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES 20 SEC. 305. Section 106(e)(1) of the Foreign Assistance 21 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “$147,200,000 for 22 the fiscal year 1982 and $147,200,000 for the fiscal year 23 1983” and inserting in lieu thereof “$152,175,000 for the 24 fiscal year 1985”. 16 14 1 PRIVATE SECTOR REVOLVING FUND 2 SEC. 306. Section 108(b) of the Foreign Assistance Act 3 of 1961 is amended by striking out “in fiscal year 1984, up 4 to $20,000,000” and inserting in lieu thereof “for each of 5 fiscal years 1984 and 1985, up to $20,000,000 per year”. 6 SAHEL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM 7 SEC. 307. The third sentence of section 121(c) of the 8 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 is amended by striking out 9 “$86,558,000 for the fiscal year 1982 and $86,558,000 for 10 the fiscal year 1983" and inserting in lieu thereof 11 “$97,500,000 for the fiscal year 1985”. 12 PRIVATE AND VOLUNTARY ORGANIZATIONS AND 13 COOPERATIVES IN OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT 14 SEC. 308. Section 123(e) of the Foreign Assistance Act 15 of 1961 is amended- 16 (1) in the first sentence by inserting on which it 17 is determined” immediately after "prior to the date”. 18 (2) in the third sentence by striking out "such 19 date" wherever it occurs and inserting in lieu thereof 20 “a decision is made to continue such support”. 21 HOUSING GUARANTY PROGRAM 22 SEC. 309. (a) Section 221 of the Foreign Assistance Act 23 of 1961 is amended 17 15 1 (1) in the first sentence, by striking out "require- 2 ments are” and inserting in lieu thereof “, including essential urban development services, is"; and 3 4 (2) in the rest of the section, by striking out 5 “housing" wherever it occurs (other than in the section 6 title) and inserting in lieu thereof “shelter". 7 (b) Section 222(a) of such Act is amended 8 (1) in the first sentence, by inserting “the Federal Financing Bank and" immediately before the phrase 9 10 “eligible investors"; 11 (2) in the second sentence, by striking out 12 "$1,718,000,000" and inserting in lieu thereof 13 "$1,958,000,000"; 14 (3) by adding the following new sentence immedi- 15 ately after the second sentence: “Commitments to guarantee loans are authorized for any fiscal year only 16 17 to such extent or in such amounts as provided in ap- 18 propriation acts."; and 19 (4) in the third sentence, by striking out “1984” 20 and inserting in lieu thereof “1986". 21 (c) Section 222 of such Act is amended to add the fol- 22 lowing: 23 "(d) Prior to issuing any guaranties under this section, 24 the agency primarily responsible for administering this part 25 shall obtain the concurrence of the Secretary of the Treasury 18 16 1 with respect to the timing of issuance, interest rate, source of 2 financing, and substantial terms and conditions of the guaran- 3 teed obligation. The Secretary of the Treasury shall ensure 4 to the maximum extent feasible that the timing of issuance, 5 interest rate, source of financing, and substantive terms and 6 conditions of the guaranteed obligation will have the mini- 7 mum possible impact on the capital markets of the United 8 States, taking into account other Federal direct and indirect 9 securities activities.". 10 AGRICULTURAL AND PRODUCTIVE CREDIT AND SELF-HELP 11 COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 12 SEC. 310. (a) Section 222A(c) of the Foreign Assistance 13 Act of 1961 is amended by adding the following new sen- 14 tence at the end thereof: "Commitments to guarantee loans 15 are authorized for any fiscal year only to such extent or in 16 such amounts as are provided in appropriations acts.”. 17 (b) Section 222A(h) of such Act is amended by striking 18 out "1983" and inserting "1985" in lieu thereof. 19 DISADVANTAGED CHILDREN IN ASLA 20 SEC. 311. Section 241(b) of the Foreign Assistance Act 21 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$2,000,000" and insert- 22 ing in lieu thereof “$3,000,000”. 19 17 1 TITLE IV-ECONOMIC POLICY INITIATIVE FOR 2 AFRICA 3 ECONOMIC POLICY INITIATIVE FOR AFRICA 4 SEC. 401. Part I of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 5 is amended by adding the following new chaptér: 6 "CHAPTER 4-ECONOMIC POLICY INITIATIVE FOR 7 AFRICA 8 “SEC. 401. POLICY AND GENERAL AUTHORITY. The 9 Congress finds that the problems of inadequate growth rates 10 in food production and agricultural exports, and widespread 11 poverty, hunger, illiteracy and disease in sub-Saharan Afri- 12 can countries threaten the region's economic stability. In rec- 13 ognition that sustained economic growth and development of 14 sub-Saharan African countries continues to be important to 15 the economic and security interests of the United States, and 16 that the economic policy framework of such countries is criti- 17 cal to maintain financial stability and to accelerate growth, 18 the President is authorized to furnish assistance, on such 19 terms and conditions as he may determine, in order to pro- 20 mote growth-oriented policy reforms in sub-Saharan Africa. 21 Assistance provided under this chapter shall be used to assist 22 countries that are pursuing or have shown a willingness to 23 pursue policy reform in such key sectors as food and agricul- 24 ture, education, health and family planning, as well as to 20 18 1 strengthen institutional and skilled manpower capacities to 2 implement such reforms. 3 “SEC. 402. AUTHORIZATION.- There are authorized to 4 be appropriated to the President for the purposes of this 5 chapter, in addition to funds otherwise available for such pur- 6 poses, $75,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985, which are au- 7thorized to remain available until expended.”. 8 TITLE V-MISCELLANEOUS PROVISIONS 9 AMERICAN SCHOOLS AND HOSPITALS ABROAD 10 SEÇ. 501. Section 214(c) of the Foreign Assistance Act 11 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$20,000,000 for the 12 fiscal year 1982 and "$20,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983” 13 and inserting in lieu thereof “$10,000,000 for the fiscal year 14 1985". 15 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND PROGRAMS 16 SEC. 502. Section 302(a)(1) is amended by striking out 17"$218,600,000 for the fiscal year 1982 and $218,600,000 18 for the fiscal year 1983” and inserting in lieu thereof 19 “$191,800,000 for the fiscal year 1985”. 20 INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL 21 SEC. 503. Section 482(a) of the Foreign Assistance Act 22 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$37,700,000 for the 23 fiscal year 1982 and $37,700,000 for the fiscal year 1983” 24 and inserting in lieu thereof “$50,217,000 for the fiscal year : 25 1985”. 21 19 1 NARCOTICS REPORTING REQUIREMENT 2 SEC. 504. Section 481(b) is amended to read as follows: 3 "(b) Not later than forty-five days after the date on 4 which each calendar quarter of each year ends, the President 5 shall transmit to the Speaker of the House of Representa- 6 tives, and to the Committee on Foreign Relations of the 7 Senate, a report summarizing the major financial activities 8 undertaken pursuant to this chapter, including new agree- 9 ments signed during the preceding quarter, and the program- 10 ing and obligation, on a calendar quarter basis, of funds under 11 this chapter prior to such date.”. 12 INTERNATIONAL DISASTER ASSISTANCE 13 Sec. 505. Section 492(a) of the Foreign Assistance Act 14 of 1961 is amended by striking out "$27,000,000 for the 15 fiscal year 1982 and $27,000,000 for the fiscal year 1983" 16 and inserting in lieu thereof “$25,000,000 for the fiscal year 17 1985". 18 ANTITERRORISM ASSISTANCE PROGRAM 19 SÉC. 506, Section 575 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 20 1961 is amended by striking out "$5,000,000 for the fiscal 21 year 1984” and inserting in lieu thereof “$5,000,000 for the 22 fiscal year 1985". 22 20 1 COMPLETION OF PLANS AND COST ESTIMATES 2 SEC. 507. (a) Section 611(a) of the Foreign Assistance 3 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “$100,000” and in- 4 serting in lieu thereof “$500,000”. 5 (b) Section 611(b) of such Act is amended by striking 6 out the phrase “the procedures set forth in the Principles and 7 Standards for Planning Water and Related Land Resources, 8 dated October 25, 1973, with respect to such computations" 2 9 and inserting in lieu thereof “the principles, standards and 10 procedures established pursuant to the Water Resources 11 Planning Act (42 U.S.C. 1962, et seq.) or Acts amendatory 12 or supplementary thereto". 13 PROHIBITIONS AGAINST ASSISTANCE TO THE PEOPLE'S 14 REPUBLIC OF CHINA 15 SEC. 508. Section 620(f) of the Foreign Assistance Act 16 of 1961 is amended 17 (a) by striking out the period at the end of the 18 first sentence of the subsection and adding at the end 19 of that sentence "listed in this subsection."; 20 (b) by striking out in the third sentence of that 21 subsection the phrase ", but is not limited to,”; and (c) by striking from the list of countries set forth 22 23 in that subsection the words "People's Republic of 24 China." and "Tibet.". 23 21 1 STREAMLINING OF REPROGRAMING REQUIREMENTS 2 SEC. 509. (a) Section 634A of the Foreign Assistance 3 Act of 1961 is amended 4 (1) by inserting “(a)” immediately before “None”; 5 (2) by inserting "or the Arms Export Control Act” immediately after “disaster relief and rehabilita- 6 7 tion)" and immediately after “this Act” the second 8 place it appears; 9 (3) by inserting “, provided that such notification 10 shall be required for funds appropriated to carry out 11 the purposes of chapter 1 of part I only. if the obliga- 12 tion will be in excess of the amount justified by more 13 than 10 percent” immediately after “such obligation"; 14 and 15 (4) by adding at the end of the section the follow- 16 ing new subsection: 17 “(b) The notification requirement of this section does not 18 apply to the reprograming of less than $25,000 for use under 19 chapter 8 of part I or for use under chapter 5 of part II, for a 20 country for which a program under that chapter for that 21 fiscal year was justified to the Congress.”. 22 (b) Section 653 of the Foreign Assistance Act is amend- 23 ed- 24 22 1 (1) by inserting in subsection (a) "or the Arms 2 Export Control Act" immediately after "sections 451 3 or 637)”; 4 (2) by striking out subsection (b); and 5 (3) by redesignating subsection (c) as subsection 6 (b). 7 (c) Section 36(a)(5) of the Arms Export Control Act is 8 amended by striking out the word "cash" and the phrase 9 ". credits to be extended under section 23, and guaranty 10 agreements to be made under section 24". 11 (d) Section 36(a)(6) of the Arms Export Control Act is 12 amended by striking out the word "cash" and the phrase 13 "and credits expected to be extended". 14 PROVISIONS ON USES OF FUNDS 15 SEC. 510. (a) Section 636(a)(14) of the Foreign Assist- 16 ance Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “the Foreign 17 Service Act of 1946, as amended (22 U.S.C. 801 et seq.)” 18 and inserting in lieu thereof “the Foreign Service Act of 19 1980 (22 U.S.C. 3901 et seq.)”. 20 (b) Section 636(c) of such Act is amended by striking 21 out “not to exceed $3,000,000 of the”. 22 (c) Section 636(d) of such Act is amended by striking 23 out "Not to exceed $2,500,000 of funds available for assist- 24 ance" and inserting in lieu thereof “Funds available". 25 23 1 (d) Section 636 of such Act is amended by inserting the 2 following at the end thereof: 3 “C)(1) Notwithstanding any other provision of law, no 4 earmark shall be required to be applied to any funds appro- 5 priated, or authority made available, to carry out the pur- 6 poses of this Act or the Arms Export Control Act by any law 7 making continuing appropriations, in excess of the amount 8 which is the lesser of: 9 "(A) the amount of the earmark, or 10 “(B) the amount representing that proportion of 11 the total funds appropriated to, or authority made 12 available for, an appropriation account, which the amount of the earmark represents of the total amount 13 14 authorized, appropriated, or made available for the 15 same appropriation account in the law which estab- 16 lished such earmark. “(2) For the purposes of this subsection, an earmark is a 17 18 statutory requirement that a minimum or definite amount of 19 the total funds appropriated to, or authority made available 20 for, an appropriation account be obligated, or used, only for a 21 specific country or purpose.". 22 TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM 23 SEC. 511. Section 661(b) of the Foreign Assistance Act 24 of 1961 is amended by striking out “$6,907,000 for the fiscal 25 year 1982 and $6,907,000 for the fiscal year 1983” and in- 84-045 0-84_3 26 24 1 serting in lieu thereof “$21,000,000 for the fiscal year 2 1985" 3 OPERATING EXPENSES 4 SEC. 512. Section 667(a)(1) of the Foreign Assistance 5 Act of 1961 is amended by striking out “$335,600,000 for 6 the fiscal year 1982 and $335,600,000 for the fiscal year 7 1983" and inserting in lieu thereof “$398,097,000 for the 8 fiscal year 1985”. 9 ILLEGAL EMIGRATION FROM HAITI 10 SEC. 513. Notwithstanding the limitation of section 660 11 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, funds made available 12 under such Act may be used for programs with Haiti, which 13 shall be consistent with prevailing United States refugee poli- 14 cies, to assist in halting significant illegal emigration from 15 Haiti to the United States. 16 REPEAL OF PROVISIONS 17 SEC. 514. The Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 is 18 amended as follows: 19 (1) Section 106(b)(1) is amended by striking out 20 “(A)” and by striking out subparagraph (B). (2) Section 110 is amended by striking out “(a)" 21 22 and by striking out subsection (b). 23 (3) Section 113(c) is repealed. 24 (4) Section 306 is amended by striking out “(a)" and by striking out subsection (b). 25 27 25 1 (5) Section 496 is repealed. 2 (6) Section 497 is repealed. 3 TITLE VI-AMENDMENTS TO OTHER ACTS 4 PRESERVATION OF STATUS AND BENEFITS 5 SEC. 601. Section 2106(e)(2) of the Foreign Service Act 6 of 1980 is amended by inserting "or section 625(e) of the 7 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961" immediately after the "For- 8 eign Service Act of 1946". 9 PARTICIPANT TRAINEE GRANTS 10 SEC. 602. Section 1441(c) of the Internal Revenue 11 Code of 1954 is amended by striking out subsection (6) and 12 inserting in lieu thereof the following: 13 “(6) SCHOLARSHIPS, PER DIEM, ETC. OF CER- 14 TAIN ALIENS.-No deduction or withholding under 15 subsection (a) shall be required in the case of amounts 1 16 of scholarships or fellowship grants, or per diem for subsistence paid by the United States Government (di- 17 18 rectly or by contract) to any nonresident alien individu- 19 al who is engaged in any program of training in the 20 United States under the Foreign Assistance Act of 21 1961, as amended.”. 28 26 1 TITLE VII—FISCAL YEAR 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL 2 AUTHORIZATION 3 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND PROGRAMS 4 SEC. 701. In addition to amounts otherwise authorized 5 for the fiscal year 1984 to carry out chapter 3 of part I of the 6 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, there is authorized to be 7 appropriated for the fiscal year 1984 $1,636,000 to carry out 8 such chapter, for payment to the International Atomic 9 Energy Agency. 10 STOCKPILING OF DEFENSE ARTICLES FOR FOREIGN 11 COUNTRIES 12 SEC. 702. The value of additions to stockpiles in foreign 13 countries shall not exceed $125,000,000 for the fiscal year 14 1984 for the purposes of section 514(b)(1) of the Foreign As- 15 sistance Act of 1961. 16 FOREIGN MILITARY SALES FINANCING 17 Sec. 703. Section 31(b)(5) of the Arms Export Control 18 Act is amended by inserting “Korea," immediately after 19 “Greece,”. 20 HOUSING GUARANTY BORROWING AUTHORITY 21 SEC. 704. Section 223(e) of the Foreign Assistance Act 22 of 1961 is amended- 23 (1) by inserting “(1)” immediately after “(e)”, and 24 (2) by adding at the end thereof the following new 25 paragraph: 29 27 1 “(2)(A) In order to meet obligations incurred for the 2 payment of claims pursuant to loan guaranties described in 3 subsection (d), the Administrator of the agency primarily re- 4 sponsible for administering part I may, to the extent that 5 reserve are not sufficient, borrow from time to time from the 6 Treasury such sums as may be necessary, provided that the 7 Administrator may exercise the authority to borrow under 8 this paragraph only to such extent or in such amounts as are 9 provided in appropriations acts. 10 "(B) Any such borrowing shall bear interest at a rate 11 determined by the Secretary of the Treasury, taking into ac- 12 count the current average market yield on outstanding mar- 13 ketable obligations of the United States of comparable matu- 14 rities. The Secretary of the Treasury shall make loans under 15 this paragraph and for such purpose may borrow on the 16 credit of the United States in accordance with subchapter I of 17 chapter 31 of title 31 of the United States Code.". 18 TITLE VII 19 AUTHORIZATION FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 1986 20 SEC. 801. There are authorized to be appropriated for 21 the fiscal year 1986 such sums as may be necessary to carry 22 out programs and activities for which appropriations for the 23 fiscal year 1985 are authorized by this Act. 30 28 1 EFFECTIVE DATE 2 SEC. 802. (a) Sections 102 and 108 of this Act shall 3 take effect upon enactment or October 1, 1984, whichever 4 date is later. 5 (b) Title VII of this Act shall take effect upon enact- 6 ment. 7 (c) All other sections of this Act shall take effect on 8 October 1, 1984. 31 98TH CONGRESS 2D SESSION S. 2347 To establish a long-term framework to build democracy, restore peace, and improve living conditions in Central America, to authorize assistance for the fiscal years 1984 through 1989, and for other purposes. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES FEBRUARY 27, 1984 Mr. PERCY (by request) introduced the following bill; which was read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations A BILL To establish a long-term framework to build democracy, restore peace, and improve living conditions in Central America, to authorize assistance for the fiscal years 1984 through 1989, and for other purposes. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 SHORT TITLE 4 SECTION 1. This Act may be cited as the “Central 5 America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act 6 of 1984". 32 2 1 TITLE I_STATEMENT OF POLICY 2 SEC. 101. (a) The Congress finds that the building of 3 democracy, the restoration of peace, and the improvement of 4 living conditions in Central America are important to the in- 5 terests of the United States and the community of American 6 States. The Congress further finds that the interrelated issues 7 of social and human progress, economic growth, political 8 reform, and regional security must be effectively dealt with to 9 assure a democratic and economically and politically secure 10 Central America. 11 (b) The achievement of democracy, human rights, peace, 12 and equitable economic growth depends primarily on the co- 13 operation and the human and economic resources of the 14 people and governments of Central America. The Congress 15 recognizes that the United States can make a significant con- 16 tribution to such peaceful and democratic development 17 through a consistent and coherent policy which includes a 18 long-term commitment of both economic and military assist- 19 ance. This policy should be designed to support actively de- 20 mocracy, political reform and human rights; to promote equi- 21 table economic growth and development; to foster dialog and 22 negotiations to achieve peace based upon the objectives of 23 democratization, reduction of armament, an end to subver- 24 sion, and the withdrawal of foreign military forces and advis- 25 ers; and to provide a security shield against violence and 33 3 1 intimidation. It is the purpose of this Act to establish the 2 statutory framework and to authorize the appropriations and 3 financing necessary to carry out the policy described in this 4 section. 5 TITLE II-ECONOMIC AND HUMAN 6 DEVELOPMENT 7 FINDINGS 8 SEC. 201. (a) The Congress finds that lagging economic 9 growth and widespread poverty continue to plague most of 10 the nations of Central America, and that inadequate and de- 11 clining opportunities for economic betterment seriously un- 12 dermine the peace and security of the region. Although the 13 causes of the economic decline are several, the Congress be- 14 lieves that equitable economic growth can be achieved based 15 on the following principles, which shall guide the furnishing 16 of assistance under this title: 17 (1) development and implementation by the coun- 18 19 tries of Central America of appropriate, growth- oriented, economic policies that foster increased pro- duction, investment, trade, and regional cooperation; 20 21 (2) increased participation and promotion of the 22 private sector, including cooperatives, in development; (3) creation and improvement of private and 23 24 public sector institutions in order to expand the access 34 4 1 of the people of the region to the knowledge and tools 2 for development; and 3 (4) recognition that the problems of hunger and 4 malnutrition, health deficiencies, infant and child mor- 5 tality, population growth, illiteracy and skill deficien- 6 cies, underemployment and unemployment, and finan- cial instability are each related to the other, and each 7 8 must be addressed if equitable economic growth is to 9 occur. 10 (b) AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT.—Increased devel- 11 opment of the region's agricultural sectors will be required in 12 order to expand employment opportunities, diversify and 13 expand agricultural production, and increase incomes in areas 14 which contain the majority of the region's poor. To achieve 15 these purposes, assistance is required for agricultural devel- 16 opment activities in Central America. Such activities may 17 include: The provision of credit to make possible the purchase 18 of land and necessary farm equipment and other inputs by 19 small farmers; the distribution of land through comprehensive 20 agrarian reform programs; the expansion of research and ex- 21 tension services; and promulgation of more production- 22 oriented agricultural pricing policies; agricultural export pro- 23 motion activities, and the expansion of roads, storage facili- 24 ties, rural electrification, and other rural infrastructure. 35 5 1 (c) EDUCATION.-Improvement in the availability and 2 quality of educational opportunities is necessary if the people 3 of the region are to acquire the technical skills and informa- 4 tion needed to increase productivity, solve health problems, 5 and integrate the poor into the development process. In order 6 to achieve these purposes, assistance is required for education 7 activities in Central America. Such activities may include: 8 Expanded programs of secondary level technical and voca- 9 tional education; primary education programs; training of 10 professionals in public administration, scholarship programs; 11 and university strengthening programs in Central America. 12 (d) HEALTH AND POPULATION.--Universal access to 13 primary health care, reduction of infant mortality, and popu- 14 lation growth rates are important aspects of economic devel- 15 opment in the Central America region. In this context, assist- 16 ance is required for health and population activities in Cen- 17 tral America. Such activities may include: Expansion of pro- 18 grams of oral rehydration and immunization; control of 19 vector-borne diseases; training of primary health care work- 20 ers, nurses, dental assistants and personnel in allied health 21 skills; and family planning programs, consistent with section 22 104(f) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. 23 (e) HOUSING.-With urbanization throughout Central 24 America rapidly transforming the character of the region, na- 25 tional and local governments must be able to meet the social 36 6 1 and economic strains attendent to such significant movements 2 of people into urban areas. This trend has far outpaced the 3 growth of shelter and the ability of governments to provide 4 such basic services as water, sanitation, electricity, and 5 public transport. In order to meet these requirements, assist- 6 ance, or the provision of guarantees is required for infrastruc- 7 ture and housing activities in Central America. Such activi- 8 ties may include: Construction of urban housing and infra- 9 structure, support for housing banks and other financial asso- 10 ciations, and extension of housing guarantees. 11 (f) ECONOMIC STABILIZATION.—Reduced revenues due 12 to a combination of price declines for exports and oil price 13 increases (compounded by inadequate availability of indig- 14 enous energy resources), increased spending as a result of 15 rapid expansion of governmental programs and public-sector 16 enterprises, spiraling interest rates, and severe external debt 17 problems are several factors which have had serious detri- 18 mental effects on the economic and political stability of the 19 region. In order to assist the countries of the region to under- 20 take the economic adjustments necessitated by these condi- 21 tions, assistance is required for economic stabilization pro- 22 grams in Central America. 23 (g) HUMANITARIAN RELIEF.--Assistance is required to 24 provide humanitarian relief and rehabilitation assistance for 25 refugees and displaced persons in Central America. 37 7 1 (h) INVESTMENT INSURANCE.- Additional investment 2 is critical to improved economic conditions in Central Amer- 3 ica. The Overseas Private Investment Corporation, therefore, 4 consistent with its statutory mandate should make every 5 effort to support projects in the region. 6 DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE 7 SEC. 202. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 8 for such purposes, there are authorized to be appropriated to 9 the President for Central American countries- 10 (1) $10,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 11 $69,800,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the provisions of section 103 of the Foreign Assistance Act 12 13 of 1961; 14 (2) $5,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 15 $15,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the 16 provisions of section 104(b) of the Foreign Assistance 17 Act of 1961; 18 (3) $18,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 19 $40,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the 20 provisions of section 104(c) of the Foreign Assistance 21 Act of 1961; 22 (4) $10,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 23 $64,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the provisions of section 105 of the Foreign Assistance Act 24 25 of 1961; 38 8 1 (5) $30,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 2 $84,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the provisions of section 106 of the Foreign Assistance Act 3 4 of 1961; 5 (6) $10,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 for pur- 6 poses of the fund established by section 223 of the 7 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961: Provided, That funds 8 made available for such purposes shall be available for 9 expenditure in discharge of guaranties extended prior 10 to enactment of this Act; and 11 (7) $2,489,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and 12 $6,016,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the provisions of section 667 of the Foreign Assistance Act 13 14 of 1961. 15 (b) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 16 authorized to remain available until expended. 17 ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND 18 SEC. 203. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 19 for such purposes, $290,500,000 is authorized to be appro- 20 priated to the President for the fiscal year 1984 to carry out 21 the provisions of chapter 4 of part II of the Foreign Assist- 22 ance Act of 1961 for Central American countries. 23 (b) In addition to amounts otherwise available for such 24 purposes, $640,600,000 are authorized to be appropriated to 25 the President for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the provi- 39 9 1 sions of chapter 4 of part II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 2 1961 for Central American countries. 3 (c) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 4 authorized to remain available until expended. 5 PEACE CORPS 6 SEC. 204. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 7 for such purposes, $2,000,000 are authorized to be appropri- 8 ated for the fiscal year 1984 to carry out the purposes of the 9 Peace Corps Act for Central American countries. 10 (b) In addition to amounts otherwise available for such 11 purposes, $18,200,000 are authorized to be appropriated for 12 the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the purposes of the Peace 13 Corps Act for Central American countries. 14 (c) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 15 authorized to remain available until expended. 16 UNITED STATES INFORMATION AGENCY 17 SEC. 205. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 18 for such purposes, $7,000,000 are authorized to be appropri- 19 ated for the fiscal year 1984 to carry out for Central Ameri- 20 can countries international information, educational, cultural, 21 and exchange programs under the United States Information 22 and Educational Exchange Act of 1948, the Mutual Educa- 23 tional and Cultural Exchange Act of 1961, and Reorganiza- 24 tion Plan Numbered 2 of 1977, and other purposes author- 25 ized by law. . 40 10 1 (b) In addition to amounts otherwise available for such 2 purposes, $36,400,000 are authorized to be appropriated for 3 the fiscal year 1985 to carry out for Central American coun- 4 tries international information, educational, cultural, and ex- 5 change programs under the United States Information and 6 Educational Exchange Act of 1948, the Mutual Educational 7 and Cultural Exchange Act of 1961, and Reorganization 8 Plan Numbered 2 of 1977, and other purposes authorized by 9 law. 10 (c) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 11 authorized to remain available until expended. 12 MIGRATION AND REFUGEE ASSISTANCE 13 SEC. 206. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 14 for such purposes, $15,000,000 are authorized to be appro- 15 priated for the fiscal year 1985 for the Department of State 16 to carry out for Central American countries the authorities, 17 functions, duties, and responsibilities in the conduct of the 18 foreign affairs of the United States and other purposes au- 19 thorized by law for “Migration and Refugee Assistance". 20 (b) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 21 authorized to remain available until expended. 22 HOUSING GUARANTY PROGRAM 23 SEC. 207. In addition to amounts otherwise authorized 24 for such purposes, $40,000,000 of loan principal are author- 25 ized to be guaranteed under sections 221 and 222 of the 41 11 1 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 for Central American coun- 2 tries for the fiscal year 1985. 3 ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 4 SEC. 208. Chapter 1 of part I of the Foreign Assistance 5 Act of 1961 is amended by inserting after section 116 the 6 following new section: 7 "SEC. 117. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE.-(a) Not- 8 withstanding section 660 of this Act, the President may fur- 9 nish assistance to countries and organizations, including na- 10 tional and regional institutions, in order to strengthen the 11 administration of justice in Central American countries and ! 12 the countries of the Caribbean. Assistance under this section 13 may include: Support for specialized professional training, 14 scholarships, and exchanges for continuing legal education; 15 programs to enhance judicial, prosecutorial, investigative and 16 enforcement capabilities, and to provide protection for par- 17 ticipants in judicial cases; strengthening professional organi- 18 zations, to promote services to members and the role of the 19 bar in judicial selection, enforcement of ethical standards, and 20 legal reform; increasing the availability of legal materials and 21 publications; seminars, conferences, training and educational 22 programs to improve the administration of justice and to 23 strengthen respect for the rule of law and human rights; and 24 revision and modernization of legal codes and procedures. 84-045 0-84- 4 42 12 1 “(b) Not more than $20,000,000 of the funds made 2 available to carry out this chapter and chapter 4 of part II 3 for any fiscal year shall be available to carry out this section, 4 in addition to amounts to amounts otherwise available for such 5 purposes.”. 6 TRADE CREDIT INSURANCE PROGRAM 7 SEC. 209. Chapter 2 of part I of the Foreign Assistance 8 Act of 1961 is amended by adding at the end thereof the 9 following new section: 10 "SEC. 224. TRADE CREDIT INSURANCE PROGRAM.— 11 (a) Of the funds authorized to be appropriated for chapter 4 of 12 part II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, there are 13 authorized to be made available such sums as may be neces- 14 sary for payments by the Agency for International Develop- 15 ment to discharge guarantees of liabilities incurred by the 16 Export-Import Bank of the United States under guarantees 17 and insurance approved under the Export-Import Bank Act 18 of 1945 (i) covering risks of loss or nonpayment under short- 19 term trade credits for the purpose of financing goods and 20 services for the use of the private sector in Central American 21 countries and (i) which do not in the judgment of the Board >> 22 of Directors of the Export-Import Bank of the United States 23 offer reasonable assurance of repayment as required under 24 section 2(b)(1)(B) of the Export-Import Bank Act of 1945. 25 Such short-term credits shall be repayable within a period ; 43 13 1 not to exceed one year. Amounts appropriated under the au- 2 thority of this section shall not be used to discharge guaran- 3 tees of liabilities incurred by the Export-Import Bank of the 4 United States under guarantees and insurance approved 5 under the Export-Import Bank Act of 1945 after September 6 30, 1989. . 7 "(b) Commitments to guarantee or insure under subsec- 8 tion (a) of this section are authorized only to the extent and 9 in the amounts provided in appropriations Acts, not to exceed 10 $300,000,000 in the fiscal year 1985. 11 "(c) Recoveries, after deduction for expenses related 12 thereto, accruing under guarantees and insurance authorized 13 under subsection (a) of this section shall be deposited in the 14 Treasury as miscellaneous receipts.”. 15 LAND REFORM PROGRAMS 16 SEC. 210. Section 620(g) of the Foreign Assistance Act 17 of 1961 is amended by inserting the following sentence at the 18 end thereof: “This prohibition shall not apply to monetary 19 assistance made available for use by a government or politi- 20 cal subdivision or agency of such government to compensate 21 nationals of that country in accordance with a land reform 22 program, if the President determines that monetary assist- 23 ance for such land reform program will further the national 24 interests of the United States.”. 44 14 1 CENTRAL AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION 2 SEC. 211. (a) The Congress finds that participation by 3 Central American countries in an effective forum for dialog 4 on, and the continuous review and advancement of, Central 5 America's political, economic, and social development would 6 foster cooperation between the United States and Central 7 American countries in furthering the purposes of this Act. 8 (b) It is the sense of Congress that- (1) the President enter into negotiations with 9 10 those countries receiving assistance authorized by this 11 Act in order to establish a Central American Develop- 12 ment Organization, and 13 (2) the establishment of the Central American De- 14 velopment Organization be based upon the following 15 principles: (A) Participation in the organization be open 16 17 to the United States, other donors, and those 18 Central American countries that commit them- 19 selves to, among other things, progress on human 20 rights, building democracy, and encouraging equi- table economic growth through policy reforms. 21 22 (B) The organization be structured to include 23 representatives from both the public and private sectors, including representatives from the labor 24 25 and business communities. 45 15 1 (C) The organization meet periodically to 2 carry out the functions described in subparagraphs 3 D and E of this paragraph and should be support- 4. ed by a limited professional secretariat. (D) The organization make recommendations 5 6 affecting Central American countries on such mat- 7 ters as- 8 (i) political, economic, and social devel- 9 opment objectives, including the strengthen- 10 ing of democratic pluralism and the safe- guarding of human rights; 11 12 (ii) mobilization of resources and exter- 13 nal assistance needs; and 14 (ii) reform of economic policies and 15 structures. 16 (E) The organization have the capacity for monitoring country performance on the recom- 17 18 mendations issued in accordance with subpara- 19 graph D of this paragraph and for evaluating 20 progress toward meeting such country objectives. 21 (F) For each fiscal year after that in which 22 the President has completed negotiations and 23 agreed to participate in such organization, the dis- 24 bursement of 25 per centum of the economic funds authorized by title I of this Act and allo- 25 *: 46 16 1 cated by the United States directly for each Cen- 2 tral American country be deferred until the 3 United States and the organization have both ap- 4 proved disbursement. 5 (G) The President encourage other donors 6 similarly to designate a percentage of their direct 7 economic assistance for Central American coun- 8 tries for joint approval with this organization. 9 (c) The President is authorized to participate in the 10 Central American Development Organization. The Adminis- 11 trator of the agency primarily responsible for administering 12 part I of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, or his designee, 13 shall be the chairman of the Central American Development 14 Organization. The Administrator shall carry out his functions 15 in that capacity under the continuous supervision and general 16 direction of the Secretary of State to the end that United 17 States participation in the Central American Development 18 Organization is fully integrated with the foreign policy of the 19 United States. 20 ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE 21 SEC. 212. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 22 for such purposes, there are authorized to be appropriated to 23 the President, for the purpose of furnishing nonmilitary as- 24 sistance for Central American countries, $1,200,000,000 for 25 each of the fiscal years 1986 through 1989, to remain availa- 47 17 1 ble until expended. The President is authorized to transfer 2 funds authorized by this section for obligation in accordance 3 with the authorities of part I of the Foreign Assistance Act of 4 1961 (including chapter 4 of part II of such Act), the Peace 5 Corps Act, the Migration and Refugee Assistance Act of 6 1962, the United States Information and Education Ex- 7 change Act of 1984, the Mutual Educational and Cultural 8 Exchange Act of 1961, the National Endowment for Democ- 9 racy Act, and the State Department Basic Authorities Act of 10 1956, as amended. 11 (b) In addition to amounts otherwise authorized for such 12 purposes, $40,000,000 of loan principal are authorized to be 13 guaranteed under sections 221 and 222 of the Foreign As- 14 sistance Act of 1961 for Central American countries for each 15 of the fiscal years 1986 through 1989. 16 (c) In addition to amounts otherwise authorized for such 17 purposes, $200,000,000 of loan principal are authorized to 18 be guaranteed or insured for Central American countries for 19 the fiscal year 1986 under section 224 of the Foreign Assist- 20 ance Act of 1961. 21 TITLE MI–MILITARY ASSISTANCE, SALES, AND 22 RELATED PROGRAMS 23 FINDINGS 24 SEC. 301. The Congress finds that the restoration of 25 peace in Central America is essential to economic and hu- 48 18 1 manitarian progress in that region. The Congress believes 2 that restoring peace and stability will require a combination 3 of social and political reforms, economic advances, diplomatic 4 efforts and measures to enhance security, based upon the fol- 5 lowing principles: 6 (1) military measures are needed to shield eco- 7 nomic and social programs and are an essential adjunct 8 to a diplomatic solution to conflict in the region; 9 (2) military measures will only aid in restoring peace if they are complemented by political, economic, 10 11 and social programs and reforms; 12 (3) assistance for military purposes should be fur- 13 nished predictably, in amounts and over a period of 14 time adequate to carry out a humane and effective 15 antiguerrilla strategy; 16 (4) assistance for military purposes should be em- 17 ployed actively to foster human rights objectives, par- ticularly the goals of free elections, freedom of associ- 18 19 ation, the establishment of the rule of law and an effec- 20 tive judicial system, and vigorous action against those guilty of crimes and the prosecution of past offenders; 21 22 and 23 (5) a diplomatic solution must be found that will 24 stop the killing in the region and nourish freedom and 25 progress. 49 19 1 MILITARY ASSISTANCE 2 SEC. 302. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 3 for such purposes, $259,050,000 is authorized to be appro- 4 priated to the President for the fiscal year 1984 to carry out 5 for Central American countries the provisions of chapter 2 of 6 part II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. 7 (b) In addition to amounts otherwise available for such 8 purposes, $222,000,000 are authorized to be appropriated to 9 the President to carry out for the fiscal year 1985 the provi- 10 sions of chapter 2 of part II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 11 1961 for Central American countries. 12 (c) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 13 authorized to remain available until expended. 14 MILITARY EDUCATION AND TRAINING 15 SEC. 303. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 16 for such purposes, $3,900,000 are authorized to be appropri- 17 ated to the President for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out for 18 Central American countries the provisions of chapter 5 of 19 part II of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. 20 (b) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 21 authorized to remain available until expended. 22 FOREIGN MILITARY SALES FINANCING 23 SEC. 304. (a) In addition to amounts otherwise available 24 for such purposes, $30,000,000 are authorized to be appro- 25 priated for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out for Central - 50 20 1 American countries the purposes of section 23 of the Arms 2 Export Control Act. 3 (b) Amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are 4 authorized to remain available until expended. 5 REPORTING REQUIREMENT 6 SEC. 305. (a) Not later than July 31, 1984, and no later 7 than the end of each six-month period thereafter, the Presi- 8 dent shall submit to the Speaker of the House of Representa- 9 tives and the chairman of the Committee on Foreign Rela- 10 tions of the Senate a detailed report fully describing the poli- 11 cies of the Government of El Salvador for achieving political 12 development, economic development and conditions of secu- 13 rity. The report shall also include the President's detailed 14 assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of such policies 15 in meeting the objectives, described in section 101, which 16 United States policy is designed to support, including the 17 specific goals of human rights, free elections, freedom of asso- 18 ciation, dialog and negotiations to achieve peace, the estab- 19 lishment of the rule of law and an effective judicial system, 20 the curtailment of extremist violence by both the left and the 21 right as well as vigorous action to prosecute those guilty of 22 crimes and the prosecution to the extent possible of past of- 23 fenders. This report shall also review comprehensively the 24 factors contributing to the political, economic, and security 25 situation in that country, including such factors as human 51 21 1. rights, land reform, the economy of the country, refugees and 2 displaced persons, the military situation and guerrilla 3 activity. 4 (b) The President shall ensure that assistance authorized 5 by title III of this Act is provided to the Government of El 6 Salvador in a manner which fosters progress of that Govern- 7 ment toward the objectives of political development, econom- 8 ic development and security. To this end, the President in 9 every appropriate instance shall impose conditions on the fur- 10 nishing to the Government of El Salvador of assistance au- 11 thorized by title III of this Act in order to achieve these 12 objectives, including the goals identified in subsection (a) of 13 this section. 14 TITLE IV-MISCELLANEOUS PROVISIONS 15 DEFINITIONS 16 SEC. 401. For the purposes of this Act, including 17 amendments to the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 made by 18 this Act, the term "Central American countries" shall be 19 deemed to include Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guate- 20 mala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama, and regional programs 21 which benefit such countries. 22 TRANSFER AUTHORITY 23 SEC. 402. Whenever the President determines it to be 24 necessary for the purposes of this Act, in each of the fiscal 25 years 1984 and 1985 not more than a total of $50,000,000 52 22 1 from funds made available for provisions authorized by this 2 Act may be transferred to, and consolidated with, funds made 3 available for provisions authorized by title II of this Act. 4 COORDINATION 5 SEC. 403. Under the direction of the President, the Sec- 6 retary of State shall be responsible for the continuous super- 7 vision and general direction of programs undertaken to carry 8 out the purposes of this Act. 53 98TH CONGRESS 2D SESSION S. 2321 To further amend the Peace Corps Act. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES FEBRUARY 22 (legislative day, FEBRUARY 20), 1984 Mr. PERCY (by request) introduced the following bill; which was read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations A BILL To further amend the Peace Corps Act. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 That section 3(b) of the Peace Corps Act (hereinafter the 4 “Act”) is amended by amending the first sentence thereof to 5 read as follows: "There are authorized to be appropriated to 6 carry out the purposes of this Act not to exceed 7 $105,800,000 for the fiscal year 1985 and such sums as may 8 be necessary for the fiscal year 1986.". . 9 SEC. 2. Section 7(a)(2) of the Act is amended by amend- 10 ing that part of the first sentence thereof which precedes 11 clause (A) to read as follows: "The President may utilize 12 such authority contained in the Foreign Service Act of 1980 1 54 2 1 relating to members of the Foreign Service and other United 2 States Government officers and employees as the President 3 deems necessary to carry out functions under this Act, except 4 that, with respect to United States citizens". 5 SEC. 3. Section 15(a) of the Act is amended by adding, 6 at the end thereof, the following sentence: “Technical publi- 7 cations produced by the Peace Corps may be sold at cost in 8 furtherance of the purpose of this dil, invi 9 such sales may be credited to the currently applicable appro- 10 priation of the Peace Corps, notwithstanding subsection 11 3302(b) of title 31 of the United States Code.”. 55 II 98TH CONGRESS 2D SESSION S. 2416 To provide for increased participation by the United States in the International Development Association, and for participation by the United States in the Inter-American Investment Corporation. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES MARCH 13 (legislative day, MARCH 12), 1984 Mr. BAKER (for Mr. PERCY) (by request) introduced the following bill; which was read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations A BILL To provide for increased participation by the United States in the International Development Association, and for partici- pation by the United States in the Inter-American Invest- ment Corporation. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 TITLE I-INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT 4 ASSOCIATION ACT AMENDMENTS 5 SEC. 101. The International Development Association 6 Act, as amended (74 Stat. 293; 22 U.S.C. 284 et seq.), is 7 further amended by adding at the end thereof the following 8 new section: 56 2 1 "SEC. 18. (a) The United States Governor is hereby 2 authorized to agree on behalf of the United States to pay to 3 the Association $2,250,000,000 as the United States contri- 4 bution to the seventh replenishment of the resources of the 5 Association: Provided, however, That any commitment to 6 make such contributions shall be made subject to obtaining 7 the necessary appropriations. 8 “(b) In order to pay for the United States contribution 9 provided for in this section, there is hereby authorized to be 10 appropriated, without fiscal year limitation, $2,250,000,000 11 for payment by the Secretary of the Treasury.”. 12 TITLE II—INTER-AMERICAN INVESTMENT 13 CORPORATION ACT 14 SEC. 201. This title may be cited as the “Inter-Ameri- 15 can Investment Corporation Act”. 16 ACCEPTANCE OF MEMBERSHIP 17 SEC. 202. The President is hereby authorized to accept 18 membership for the United States in the Inter-American In- 19 vestment Corporation (hereinafter in this title referred to as 20 the “Corporation”) provided for by the agreement establish- 21 ing the Corporation (hereinafter in this title referred to as the 22 “agreement”) deposited in the archives of the Inter-Ameri- 23 can Development Bank. 57 3 1 GOVERNOR AND ALTERNATE GOVERNOR 2 SEC. 203. The Governor and Executive Director of the 3 Inter-American Development Bank, and the alternate for 4 each of them, appointed under section 3 of the Inter-Ameri- 5 can Development Bank Act, as amended (72 Stat. 299; 22 6 U.S.C. 283 et seq.), shall serve as Governor, Director, and 7 alternates, respectively, of the Corporation. 8' APPLICABILITY OF BRETTON WOODS AGREEMENTS ACT 9 SEC. 204. The provisions of section 4 of the Bretton 10 Woods Agreements Act, as amended (59 Stat. 512, 22 11 U.S.C. 286b), shall apply with respect to the Corporation to 12 the same extent as with respect to the International Bank for 13 Reconstruction and Development and the International Mon- 14 etary Fund. Reports with respect to the Corporation under 15 paragraphs (5) and (6) of subsection (b) of section 4 of that 16 Act shall be included in the first and subsequent reports made 4 17 thereunder after the United States accepts membership in the 18 Corporation. 19 RESTRICTIONS 20 SEC. 205. (a) Unless authorized by law, neither the 21 President nor any person or agency shall, on behalf of the 22 United States- 23 (1) subscribe to additional shares of stock of the 24 Corporation; 34-045 0-845 58 4 1 (2) vote for or agree to any amendment of the agreement which increases the obligations of the 2 3 United States, or which changes the purpose or func- 4 tions of the Corporation; or 5 (3) make a loan or provide other financing to the 6 Corporation. 7 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AS DEPOSITORIES 8 SEC. 206. Any Federal Reserve bank which is request- 9 ed to do so by the Corporation shall act as its depository or 10 as its fiscal agent, and the Board of Governors of the Federal 11 Reserve System shall supervise and direct the carrying out of 12 these functions by the Federal Reserve banks. 13 SUBSCRIPTION OF STOCK 14 SEC. 207. (a) The Secretary of the Treasury is author- 15 ized to subscribe on behalf of the United States to five thou- 16 sand one hundred shares of the capital stock of the Corpora- 17 tion: Provided, however, That the subscription shall be effec- 18 tive only to such extent or in such amounts as are provided in 19 advance in appropriations Acts. 20 (b) There is authorized to be appropriated, without fiscal 21 year limitation, for payment by the Secretary of the Treasury 22 of the subscription of the United States for those shares, 23 $51,000,000. 59 5 1 (c) Any payment of dividends made to the United States 2 by the Corporation shall be deposited into the Treasury as a 3 miscellaneous receipt. 4 JURISDICTION OF UNITED STATES COURTS 5 SEC. 208. For the purposes of any civil action which 6 may be brought within the United States, its territories or 7 possessions, or the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, by or 8 against the Corporation in accordance with the agreement, 9 the Corporation shall be deemed to be an inhabitant of the 10 Federal judicial district in which its principal office within the 11 United States or its agent appointed for the purpose of ac- 12 cepting service or notice of service is located, and any such 13 action to which the Corporation shall be a party shall be 14 deemed to arise under the laws of the United States, and the 15 district courts of the United States, including the courts enu- 16 merated in section 460 of title 28, United States Code, shall 17 have original jurisdiction of any such action. When the Cor- 18 poration is a defendant in any action in a State court, it may 19 at any time before the trial thereof remove the action into the 20 appropriate district court of the United States by following 21 the procedure for removal provided in section 1446 of title 22 28, United States Code. 23 EFFECTIVENESS OF AGREEMENT 24 SEC. 209. Article VI, section 4(c), and article VII, sec- 25 tions 2 to 9, both inclusive, of the agreement shall have full 60 6 1 force and effect in the United States, its territories and pos- 2 sessions, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, upon ac- 3 ceptance of membership by the United States in the 4 Corporation. 5 SECURITIES ISSUED BY THE CORPORATION 6 SEC. 210. (a) Any securities issued by the Corporation 7 (including any guarantee by the Corporation, whether or not 8 limited in scope) in connection with the raising of funds for 9 inclusion in the Corporation's resources as defined in article 10 II, section 2 of the agreement, and any securities guaranteed 11 by the Corporation as to both principal and interest to which 12 the commitment in article II, section 2(e) of the agreement is 13 expressly applicable, shall be deemed to be exempted securi- 14 ties within the meaning of section 3(a)(2) of the Securities 15 Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 770) and section 3(a)(12) of the Secu- 16 rities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. 78c). The Corpora- 17 tion shall file with the Securities and Exchange Commission 18 such annual and other reports with regard to such securities 19 as the Commission shall determine to be appropriate in view 20 of the special character of the Corporation and its operations 21 as necessary in the public interest or for the protection of 22 investors. 23 (b) The Securities and Exchange Commission, acting in 24 consultation with such agency or officer as the President 25 shall designate, is authorized to suspend the provisions of 61 7 1 subsection (a) at any time as to any or all securities issued or 2 guaranteed by the Corporation during the period of such sus- 3 pension. The Commission shall include in its annual reports 4 to Congress such information as it shall deem advisable with 5 regard to the operations and effect of this section and in con- 6 nection therewith shall include any views submitted for such 7 purpose by any association of dealers registered with the 8 Commission. 9 TECHNICAL AMENDMENTS 10 SEC. 211. (a) The seventh sentence of paragraph 7 of 1 11 section 5136 of the Revised Statutes of the United States, as 12 amended (12 U.S.C. 24), is further amended by striking out 13 "or" after “the Asian Development Bank” and inserting in 14 lieu thereof a comma, and by inserting “or the Inter-Ameri- 15 can Investment Corporation,” after “the African Develop- 16 ment Bank”. 17 (b) Section 51 of Public Law 91-599, as amended (84 18 Stat. 1657; 22 U.S.C. 276c-2), is amended by striking out 19 “and” after “the African Development Fund," and inserting 20 "and the Inter-Aạerican Investment Corporation,” after 21 "the African Development Bank,". 62 The CHAIRMAN. Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I join in welcoming the Secretary and his colleagues here. I congratulate you, too, on your efforts in getting FMS loans on budget, which is a good step in the right direction. You are right, in that the aid program is not a popular program. Parts of it can be explained, as you have, in the Sahel or in other areas of drought-stricken Africa. But in general, there is no pro- gram in the Government, I think, that is more unpopular or more difficult to sell than the aid program. As we move into this hear- ing, I know we will get good arguments as to why it should be con- tinued and increased, as the administration proposes, and also we will hear some good reasons why it would be diminished or kept as is. This hearing occurs against the backdrop of continuing crisis in Lebanon, and as we witness the departure of the British and Ital- ians from Beirut, and as we see the American marine withdrawal begin, the question arises in all of our minds-not just those of us in this room, but across the length and breadth of our land—was our sacrifice in vain? After 17 months in Beirut and the tragic price of 264 American military dead, what have we gained, what have we accomplished, and, amidst the disintegration of the Lebanese Army that we trained and the Gemayel Presidency that we supported, what can we salvage. These are questions that are being asked not just here, but across our country. In Central America, where we still funnel millions of dollars to the Salvadoran military, the estimates of guerrilla strength contin- ue to climb. We pour millions of dollars worth of covert assistance to the Nicaraguan Contras, or our terrorists, or our guerrillas, or whatever you want to call them, seeking to overthrow the Sandi- nista regime in Managua, while at the same time we expand our military presence in neighboring Honduras far beyond that con- templated by Congress. In terms of aid, the administration is seeking an additional $2.5 billion for this next fiscal year as part of the $8.4 billion in mul- tiyear aid recommended by the Kissinger commission. Like many Americans concerned about our budget deficits, I wonder, will the infusion of $8.5 billion in additional economic aid buy peace and stability in that region? Can we accomplish our objectives without deepening our own in- volvement, and ultimately without the direct involvement and in- troduction of American troops? Finally, Mr. Secretary, you come here this morning to testify on behalf of the administration's request, our President's request, for a $15-billion aid program for fiscal year 1985. This represents an increase above the current levels of funding and maintains a trend of higher security assistance for most regions of the world. If the fiscal year 1985 request is enacted, overall aid will have grown 46 percent since the present administration took office, and the military aid component will have doubled. And I want to em- phasize this point. Many of us believe that economic aid should 63 perhaps increase, but not military aid, and the administration is going in the opposite direction. Two questions occur to this particular Senator when contemplat- ing such increases: Can we afford them, and does it work? Here the public has a certain healthy skepticism about the whole aid pro- gram. That is what we see on the hustings. I know in my own State of Rhode Island, as I said in the beginning of this statement, there is no more unpopular program, and we need more ammunition with which to sell it. Thank you. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Senator Pell. Secretary Shultz, I have just received a note from Senator Helms indicating that he is chairing a hearing of the Agriculture Commit- tee. He will complete that just as quickly as he can. He apologizes for not being here to greet you but will be here before you leave so that he can ask a few questions and greet you. Also, we will, with your understanding, whenever we have 10 Senators present, a live quorum, we will break in for just a moment to have a rollcall vote on the nominations pending before the committee. We could not get a live quorum yesterday at our business meeting because too many Senators were not in Washing- ton. It will just take a moment, I believe, to do that. We would be happy to hear from you now. STATEMENT OF HON. GEORGE P. SHULTZ, SECRETARY OF STATE, ACCOMPANIED BY HON. WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, JR., UNDER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR SECURITY ASSISTANCE, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY; HON. M. PETER MCPHERSON, ADMINISTRA- TOR, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Secretary Shultz. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate your opening comments and the opening comments of Senator Pell. They presage a lively hearing. Last year when I appeared before this distinguished committee, I addressed the important relationships between our foreign policy objectives to promote growth and stability in the international economy, to safeguard peace and security, and extend the benefits of democracy and freedom. Since then, two Commissions of citizens and Members of Con- gress have examined our foreign assistance programs. I might say, those Commissions were put forward in large part at the sugges- tion of Members of Congress when questions very similar to those raised by Senator Pell were very much in being. The Commission on Security and Economic Assistance, headed by Frank Carlucci, reviewed our overall program. The National Bi- partisan Commission on Central America reviewed our national goals and needs for assistance in Central America. More than two dozen Members of Congress served with these two Commissions in various capacities. We are indebted to these Mem- bers and all Commission participants for their excellent work. We are particularly gratified that these citizens-Republicans, Democrats, liberals, conservative, businessmen, labor leaders, and academics—reached a clear consensus on the importance of foreign assistance. The Carlucci commission concluded: "On balance, it is 64 the judgment of the Commission that U.S. assistance programs make an indispensable contribution to achieving foreign policy ob- jectives.” In other words, these programs operate in the interest of the United States and need to be judged by that standard, and that is the standard by which the President has judged them. Both Commissions concluded that economic and military assist- ance are equally servants of our national interests. Economic growth contributes to security. Security contributes to economic growth. I think one of the powerful lessons, if we did not know it already, that has come from the Commissions and has been part and parcel of the discussions that we have had in this committee many times is that it is quite artificial to look on troubled areas solely in eco- nomic terms, solely in political terms, solely in security terms. The only sensible way to look at them is in terms of the complex of remedies that are needed. Both Commissions believe that current levels of foreign aid are inadequate. The Carlucci Commission states: "To meet U.S. foreign policy objectives, significant increases in real levels of assistance will be required.” Of course, in the Commission report, as you know, it traced out the fact that real levels of assistance have de- clined substantially over the last 10 to 15 years. Mr. Chairman, my full statement, which I would request be put in the record-it is a lot longer than what I will read. The CHAIRMAN. Your full statement will be incorporated in the record. Secretary SHULTZ. Thank you. My full statement builds on the foundations laid by the Carlucci and Bipartisan Commissions. It describes the U.S. security and eco- nomic interests which our fiscal year 1985 program seeks to serve in each region. I will not read the full text today, but I will in my opening remarks describe briefly our overall request and then focus on our proposals for Central America, Africa, and the Middle East. The foreign assistance program for fiscal year 1985 totals $15.8 billion, of which $1.5 billion is multilateral aid and $14.3 billion is bilateral aid. This includes $9.4 billion in economic assistance and $6.4 billion in military assistance. For fiscal year 1984 we are seeking supplemental funds, as you noted in your opening statement, of $1.1 billion. Our economic aid in fiscal year 1985 will focus on increasing food production and reducing hunger, improving health, especially re- ducing infant and child mortality, reducing population growth, spreading education and literacy, and improving host country fi- nancial structures. In military assistance, we have made a significant change so that we can lower interest rates on loans to poor or debt-burdened coun- tries. Over the past decade, military assistance has increasingly been provided as off-budget loans with interest rates equivalent to the cost of money to the Treasury. As a result, as the Carlucci commission reports, 21 countries re- ceiving substantial military and economic assistance in 1982 were charged an effective rate of approximately 9 percent for military assistance, against only 1 percent for economic assistance. This has 65 meant that in some countries military assistance repayments have become a large fraction of these countries' debt service, consuming foreign exchange needed for growth. In response, we have moved all military assistance on-budget, a step which Congress and you personally, Mr. Chairman, have long urged and, I might say as a former budget director, which I totally support. By so doing, we are able to provide military assistance loans either at a concessional rate or at the cost of money to the Treasury, depending on the condition of specific countries. This de- cision is a key step toward more efficient and effective manage- ment and integration of our military and economic assistance pro- grams. Mr. Chairman, I will now turn to Central America, the Caribbe- an and South America. The National Bipartisan Commission con- cluded its study-and I think this is a very important finding by this bipartisan group, which started its work with a wide variety of opinions about Central America. “Persuaded that Central America is both vital and vulnerable, the United States cannot afford to turn away from that threatened region." Now, once you have inhaled that finding, and if you agree with it, as the Bipartisan Commission did, consisting of Democrats, Re- publicans, and people of a great variety of persuasions, then a great deal follows from that. It does not mean that there are no agruments left, but it does mean that the option of just walking away is not there. We must pay attention to our neighborhood gen- erally and this particular part of our neighborhood. The Commission emphasized that Central America is in midpas- sage from the predominantly authoritarian societies of the past to what, with determination and help, can become predominantly plu- ralistic and democratic societies in the future. That passage is marked today by warfare, poverty, and political extremism from the left and right. It creates conditions which Cuba and the Soviet Union seek to exploit for their own strategic and political purposes. The United States has a profound interest in helping the people of Central America move from these travails to a future of greater economic and social justice. Our interests will be served by helping to alleviate economic grievances in the region. We have a vital in- terest in helping our friends block the Soviet Union from consoli- dating a foothold in Central America. And, most basically, progress in this hemisphere means the advancement of our fundamental values: Democracy and the rule of law. President Reagan earlier this month quoted Senator Henry Jack- son's remarks when he recommended establishment of the Biparti- san Commission: "Whatever policy options might be available to us,” Scoop said, "ignoring threats to the stability of Central Amer- ica and refusing to engage ourselves in the problems of the region are not among them.” The Commission recommended, and we concur, that our engage- ment in the region should be comprehensive, a mix of developmen- tal, political, diplomatic, and security measures. Our largest com- mitment of resources will be for economic reconstruction and revi- talization. Of the supplemental funds we are requesting for Central Amer- ica in fiscal year 1984, $400 million or 61 percent are for emergen- 66 cy economic assistance. In addition, we are proposing a 5-year, $8 million program for economic stabilization, reconstruction, and long-term development. These funds will support agricultural development, education, health services, export promotion, land reform, housing, and hu- manitarian relief, as well as trade credit insurance and aid for small businesses. The Commission also recognizes that economic aid and support for demoractic reform are not by themselves sufficient. Therefore, it recommends significantly increased military aid for El Salvador. To see only indigenous social upheaval in that country, for exam- ple, is as shortsighted as to recognize only the rule of Cuba and the Soviet Union. Our aid supports the moderate center. If we give inadequate help, it will be the moderates who will be the victims. And I might say, it is the human rights of the citizens of El Salvador that will be the victims. In the words of the report: “The worst possible policy for El Salvador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it successfully.' We endorse the Commission's proposal to establish a Central American Development Organization (CADO], including represent- atives from the Central American countries themselves. Its inde- pendent recommendations will affect our determinations on the level and structure of our economic assistance. In the vital task of strengthening democracy, we are proposing aid to democratic educational and cross-cultural institutions, as well as increased funding for scholarships, leadership training, and educational exchange. Mr. Chairman, the President's program for Central America is ambitious and comprehensive, consistent with the challenges we face. We urge your support. I turn now to Africa, which faces a much different, although per- haps equally serious, crisis. Drought is widespread. As some Members of Congress-most re- cently Senator Danforth-have eloquently reported, starvation stalks the continent. In response, the United States has committed nearly 200,000 tons of food from our emergency title II reserve. But requests from African governments for about 280,000 addi- tional tons are either in hand or expected later this year. We are therefore requesting Congress to approve an additional $90 million in Public Law 480 title II for Africa for fiscal year 1984. When people are dying, common decency compels us to respond. Africa's difficulties have longstanding origins. Food production per capita has fallen by over 20 percent since the 1960's. That is a stunning number. Over the past decade, the national product of 15 African countries declined. A primary cause of this decline is that many African countries have followed policies which do not produce growth. Pervasive state controls, bloated state enterprises and bureaucracies, overval- ued currencies, and disincentives for agriculture all stifle the pri- vate sector and individual initiative. Because of these problems, a number of countries in Africa are undertaking policy reforms. To encourage this process, the Presi- dent is proposing, beginning in fiscal 1985, an economic policy initi- ative for Africa. This effort has three components: 67 First, we are proposing a 5-year, $500 million program, beginning with $75 million for 1985, as an additional fund specifically to assist African countries establish and implement growth-oriented economic policies. We will give particular attention to reforms which increase food production. In other words, let the farmer get a price that covers his cost, then he will produce food. It is really so simple, but not observed. Second, we are working with other donors, particularly the World Bank, to coordinate donor aid efforts better and provide more unified support for policy reform in Africa. Third, we will continue to direct our ongoing development assist- ance to helping build the skills and institutions needed to carry out better policies effectively. With more effective policies and continued investment by Afri- cans, the United States and other donors, Africa can resume the progress which marked its first 50 years of independence. A grow- ing Africa will not only provide for the welfare of its citizens, but also be a positive force in the whole world economy. We now turn to the Middle East and surrounding regions, an area where security has become the predominant concern. Parts of this area are rife with threats to peace, not just regional but world peace. About half of our total fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request is directed to promoting our national interests in this area-inter- ests which also can profoundly affect Western Europe, Japan, and the rest of the free world. Our highest priority continues to be a just and lasting peace in the Middle East. Israel and Egypt, at peace now for almost 5 years, have thus far been our principal partners. Our programs with these states have three aims: Nourishing the economic growth which underpins their security; sustaining their military forces; and in the process, providing the confidence and security they need to continue their support for the peace process. We have made significant changes in military assistance for Israel and Egypt. To reduce debt servicing burdens, the administra- tion is recommending that all military assistance to these two countries in fiscal year 1985 be grants. Because grants are more valuable than loans and because of the cash flow requirements of these programs, we have reduced our military assistance requests for both countries below the levels made available in recent years. We have discussed these proposals with Israel and Egypt, and there is general agreement that these levels and terms support our mutual goals. The measures the President recently outlined reorient U.S. Polit- ical and military resources in Lebanon to strengthen our ability to sustain our efforts. The United States will remain fully engaged, although obviously the situation there has been changing rapidly and we have to adapt ourselves to it. We will continue our efforts to bring all sides to the bargaining table. We will continue to press the Lebanese Government and the opposition alike to move toward political accommodation. Consistent with our policy, we will focus on ways to strengthen the Government's armed forces as a key element in a stable Leba- 68 non. The funds we have requested in the current budget are part of that continuing program. The oil-production states in Southwest Asia are vulnerable to outside threats and internal subversion by externally supported elements. I might say, the refrain of state-supported terrorism is a refrain that we are going to hear more and more about in this com- mittee as we discuss foreign policy problems and developments. Some of their neighbors, such as Sudan and Somalia, face in ad- dition the inherent instabilities which arise from poverty and ethnic divisions. Our programs in these areas seek to alleviate these instabilities. At the same time, we are supporting countries that provide access to the facilities and cooperative security ar- rangements which our forces would need in order to operate in the area should that ever be necessary. The Middle East and environs are a cauldron of instability. Vital United States and Western political, strategic, and economic inter- ests are at stake. Our security and economic assistance programs in that region are a fraction of a fraction of what we spend for na- tional security through the defense budget, but they are no less critical to the security and welfare of each American citizen, and I believe that is a statement with which the Secretary of Defense fully concurs. There are other important parts of our program which I describe in my full statement. We continue to support Turkey's recovery from its economic dif- ficulties of the late 1970's. We propose funds to continue military modernization in Turkey, Spain, Portugal, and Greece. We continue to support Asia's healthy economic growth and shore up the security of Thailand and Korea, as well as provide support for our bases in the Philippines. Assisting Asia's rapid growth has provided and will provide direct benefits for the United States in terms of markets for exports and for investment. We also continue strong support for the multilateral develop- ment banks as a cost effective means of providing capital for growth in developing countries. Mr. Chairman, the Carlucci commission concluded that the for- eign aid program is vital to our national interests. My brief re- marks today and my full statement try to show why this is so region by region. A world of stability and progress cannot be built by the United States alone. Therefore, strengthening our friends must be a cen- tral component in our foreign policy in both the economic and secu- rity dimensions. There is always a temptation to cut corners here and there in the foreign assistance budget. It is unwise to give in to this tempta- tion. It is pennywise and pound foolish. Strengthening our friends is generally an effective way to avoid major problems down the road, problems that could end up costing us much more in re- sources and sacrifice. We urge Congress to endorse the work of both the Carlucci and Bipartisan Commissions by supporting and passing the budget re- quest which we have made. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Secretary Shultz' prepared statement follows:] i 69 PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. GEORGE P. SHULTZ Last year when I appeared before this distinguished Committee, I addressed the important relationship between our foreign policy objectives to promote growth and stability in the international economy, to safeguard peace and security, and to extend the benefits of democracy and freedom. In the intervening months, two Commissions of citizens and Members of Congress have examined our programs. The Commission on Security and Economic Assist- ance, headed by Frank C. Carlucci, reviewed our total foreign assistance program. The National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, headed by Henry A. Kis- singer, reviewed our national goals and needs for assistance in Central America. More than two dozen Members of Congress served with these two commissions as members, ex-officio members, or senior counselors. We are indebted to these Members and all commission participants for their ex- cellent work. We are particularly gratified that these citizens-Republicans, Democrats, liber- als, conservatives, businessmen, labor leaders, and academics-reached a clear con- sensus on the importance of foreign assistance. The Carlucci Commission concluded: “The instrumentalities of foreign assistance are potent and essential tools that advance our interests. ... On balance, it is the judgment of the Commission that U.S. assistance programs make an indispensable contribution to achieving foreign policy objectives. Both Commissions concluded that economic and military assistance are equally servants of our national interests. The Carlucci Commission notes that rising stand- ards of living in the Third World are vital to internal stability and external defense. Conversely, threats to stability impede development. In a similar vein, the Bipartisan Commission characterizes the problems of Cen- tral America as a "seamless web” which can't be defined solely in economic, politi- cal, social or security terms. Both Commissions believe that current levels of foreign aid are inadequate. Ac- cording to the Carlucci Commission, “in real terms . U.S. assistance expenditures over the last five years have averaged some 21 percent below those of a comparable period ten years ago.” The Commission states: “To meet U.S. foreign policy objec- tives, significant increases in real levels of assistance will be required. The Bipartisan Commission, having focused on the problems of one region, also concludes that significantly more resources are needed to meet our national inter- ests there. In my testimony today, I want to build on the foundations laid by these two Com- missions. Our foreign assistance program serves four U.S. interests: Our interest in a growing world economy which enhances the well-being of citi- zens in both the developing and the industrialized world. Our interest in security-protecting our vital interests abroad, strengthening our friends, contributing to regional stability, and backstopping our diplomatic efforts for peaceful solutions to regional problems. Our interests in building democracy, and promoting adherence to human rights and the rule of law. Our humanitarian interest in alleviating suffering and easing the immediate con- sequences of catastrophe on the very poor. A world of stability and progress cannot be built by the United States alone. Therefore, strengthening our friends must be a central component of our foreign policy in both the economic and security dimensions. There is always the temptation to cut corners here and there in the aid budget; it is unwise to give in to this temp- tation—it is penny wise and pound foolish. Strengthening our friends is generally an effective way to avoid major problems down the road-problems that could end up costing us much more in resources and sacrifice. 1 I. OVERVIEW OF 1985 BUDGET AND 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL The foreign assistance program for fiscal year 1985 totals $15.8 billion, of which $1.5 billion is multilateral aid and $14.3 billion is bilateral aid. This includes $9.4 billion in economic assistance and $6.4 billion in military assistance. Chart A ap- pended to this statement shows the relative proportions of economic and military assistance in the foreign aid program since 1974. For fiscal year 1984, we are seeking supplemental funds of $1.1 billion, including $400 million for emergency economic assistance to Central America and $259 mil- lion for military aid to the region. 70 Our economic aid in fiscal year 1985 will focus on increasing food production and reducing hunger; improving health, especially reducing infant and child mortality; slowing population growth rates; spreading education and literacy; and improving host-country financial structures. Chart B shows how our economic assistance will be distributed geographically in fiscal year 1985. In military assistance, we have made a significant change so that we can lower interest rates on military assistance loans to poor or debt-burdened countries. Over the past decade military assistance has increasingly been provided as “off-budget” loans with interest rates at cost of money to the Treasury. As a result, the Carlucci Commission reports that the 21 countries receiving substantial military and eco- nomic assistance in 1982 were charged an effective interest rate—including both grants and loans--of approximately 9 percent for military assistance and 1 percent for economic assistance. This discrepancy has meant that in some countries military assistance repayments have become or threaten to become a large fraction of total debt service. For others, repayment of military assistance loans takes up foreign ex- change needed for economic growth. In response, we have moved all military assistance “on budget”—a step which Congress has long urged. By so doing, we are able to provide military assistance loans either at a concessional rate or at the cost of money to the Treasury depend- ing on the economic situation of individual countries. You will note on Chart Cap- pended to my statement how we have increased the concessionality of military as- sistance in fiscal year 1985 compared to previous years. This decision is a key step toward one of our critical goals—the more effective management and integration of our military and economic assistance. II. CENTRAL AMERICA, THE CARIBBEAN, AND SOUTH AMERICA Mr. Chairman, the National Bipartisan Commission concluded its study as fol- lows: "persuaded that Central America is both vital and vulnerable and that what- ever other crises may arise to claim the nation's attention, the United States cannot afford to turn away from that threatened region. Central America's crisis is our crisis." The Commission emphasized that the countries of Central America, our neigh- bors, are in mid-passage from the predominantly authoritarian societies of the past to what-with determination and help can become predominantly pluralistic, democratic societies in the future. That passage is marked today by warfare, pover- ty, and political turmoil, which breed extremism and violence from the left and the right. It creates conditions which Cuba and the Soviet Union seek to exploit for their own strategic and political purposes. The United States has a profound interest in helping the people of Central Amer- ica move from these travails to a future of greater economic and social justice. Our interests will be served by helping alleviate economic grievance in the region. We have a vital interest in helping our friends block the Soviet Union from consolidat- ing a foothold in Central America. And most basically, progress in this hemisphere means the advancement of our most basic values: democracy and the rule of law. This is the kind of world we want our children to inherit. President Reagan earlier this month quoted Senator Henry Jackson's remark when he recommended establishment of the Bipartisan Commission: “Whatever policy options might be available to us, ignoring threats to the stability of Central America and refusing to engage ourselves in the problems of the region are not among them." The Bipartisan Commission recommended, and we concur, that our engagement in the region should be comprehensive: a mix of developmental, political, diplomat- ic, and security measures. Because many of Central America's problems are rooted in poverty, our largest commitment of resources will be for economic reconstruction and revitalization. Of the supplemental funds we are requesting for Central America in fiscal year 1984, $400 million-or 61 percent-are for emergency economic assistance. In addi- tion, we are proposing a 5-year $8 billion program for economic stabilization, recon- struction, and long-term development. This includes $6 billion in direct appropria- tions and $2 billion in insurance and guarantee authority. These funds will support agricultural development, education, health services, export promotion, land reform, housing, and humanitarian relief, as well as trade credit insurance, and aid for small businesses. We endorse the Commission's proposal to establish a Central American Develop- ment Organization (CADO] composed of representatives from the Central American 71 countries themselves. Its independent recommendations will affect our determina- tions on the level and structure of our economic assistance. We will also follow through vigorously on the Commission's conclusion that the United States must support the strengthening of democracy in the region. We are proposing aid to democratic, educational and cross-cultural institutions, as well as increased funding for scholarships, leadership training, and educational exchange. The Commission also recognizes that, in the case of El Salvador, economic aid and support for democracy are not by themselves sufficient. It recommends significantly increased military aid for El Salvador. To see only indigenous social upheaval in that country, for example, is as short-sighted as to recognize only the role of Cuba and the Soviet Union. Our aid supports the moderate center against extremists of both the left and right. If we give inadequate help, it is the moderates who will be the victims. In the words of the Commission Report, "the worst possible policy for El Salvador is to pro- vide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it successfully.” At the same time, the Commission concludes, and we agree, that without contin- ued progress on human rights and democratic reform in El Salvador, as well as else- where in Central America, our policies will not succeed. We agree that U.S. military assistance should be conditioned on this progress. Salvadoran leaders have been made aware of this fact repeatedly; we are submitting periodic reports to the Con- gress on the human rights situation in that country. We also believe, however, that any legislation which imposes absolute and inflexible restrictions on the President's ability to protect national security interests would jeopardize our efforts to bring about lasting improvement in the observance of human rights. Finally, there is a consensus between the Commission and the Administration on another integral part of our strategy in Central America: support for the efforts of the Contadora countries to bring peace to the region. The Contadora objectives are in Central America's interest and in ours. Mr. Chairman, the President's program for Central America is ambitious and comprehensive-consistent with the challenges we face. We urge your support. I have talked at length today about Central America. But it would be truly wrong to ignore the same kinds of interplay between economic growth, security, and de- mocracy elsewhere in Latin America and the Caribbean. What we found in Grenada, for example, demonstrates how indigenous grievances can be misappropriated for strategic ends and turned against the people. Earlier this month, I had the pleasure of joining the celebration of the tenth anniversary of Grenada's independence. It was joyful-a rebirth of freedom and economic hope. It underscored that freedom and economic progress depend on an environment of secu- rity. The enemies of democracy and development are the violent extremes of the left and right. The task of blunting these extremes takes not only efforts to strengthen democracy and promote economic growth, but also requires professional security forces and a system of collective security which can protect people and the rule of law. Our security assistance—as our economic assistance-is vital to building a hemisphere which is self-reliant and able to fulfill the aspirations of its people. Your support for these programs serves the fundamental interests of all the citizens of this hemisphere-our neighbors' and our own. III. AFRICA I turn now to Africa, which faces a much different, although perhaps equally seri- ous, crisis. Drought is widespread. As some Members of Congress—most recently Senator Danforth—have eloquently reported, starvation stalks the continent. In response, the United States has committed nearly 200,000 tons of food from our emergency Title II reserve. But we now have requests from African Governments for an addi- tional 150,000 tons, and expect further requests for 130,000 more tons this year. We are, therefore, requesting Congress to approve an additional $90 million in P.L. 480 Title II for Africa for fiscal year 1984. When people are dying, common decency compels us to respond. Drought may be the immediate cause of the food crisis, but Africa's difficulties have deeper origins. Food production per capita has fallen by over 20 percent since the 1960's. Over the past decade, the national product of 15 African countries de- clined. For much of Africa, export earnings are down, import prices are up; exces- sive debt burdens many African countries. There are many reasons for Africa's economic problems, but a primary cause lies in Africa itself. Briefly put, many African countries have followed policies which don't produce growth. 72 Pervasive state controls, bloated state enterprises and bureaucracies, over-valued currencies, and disincentives for agriculture have all had the effect of stifling the private sector and individual initiative. The requisites for economic growth in Africa are many. But Africa needs to re- place policies that won't work with those that will. There is increasing recognition of this fact in Africa and a number of countries are undertaking policy reforms. To encourage this process, the President is proposing, beginning in fiscal 1985, an Economic Policy Initiative for Africa. This effort has three components: First, we are proposing a 5-year, $500 million program, beginning with $75 million for 1985, as a new program specifically to assist African countries establish and im- plement growth-oriented economic policies. We will give particular attention to re- forms which increase food production. Second, we are working with other donors particularly the World Bank-to co- ordinate donor aid efforts better and provide more unified support for policy reform in Africa. Third, we will continue to direct our ongoing development assistance to helping build the skills and institutions needed to carry out better policies effectively. Continued economic crisis in Africa can generate or amplify security problems. Libya continues its efforts to subvert governments and install puppet regimes in Chad and elsewhere. There are the continuing conflicts in southern Africa which we and our allies are seeking to resolve through negotiations. However, unlike Central America, the security problems in Africa to date require only modest military assistance from the United States. The prime need there is to reinvigorate economic growth. There is no reason to despair about the future. Sever- al African countries have made progress. With more effective policies and continued investment by Africans, the United States, and other donors, Africa can resume the progress which marked its first years of independence. IV. THE MIDDLE EAST AND SURROUNDING REGIONS; SOUTHERN EUROPE We now turn our attention toward an area where security has become the pre- dominant concern. A line on the map from Spain and Portugal in the West to Paki- stan in the East passes through or near: the straits of Gibraltar, the Mediterranean, Libya, the Suez Canal and Egypt, the State of Israel, the Persian Gulf oil fields, and the southwestern border of the Soviet Union. There is no area so pregnant with threats to peace-not just regional peace, but world peace. Peace is not yet achieved between Israel and all its neighbors; Iran and Iraq remain at war; the Soviet Union is occupying Afghanistan. About half of our total fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request is directed to promoting our national interests in this area-interests which also can profoundly affect Western Europe, Japan and the rest of the free world. Our highest priority continues to be a just and lasting peace in the Middle East. Israel and Egypt, at peace now for almost 5 years, have thus far been our principal partners. Our programs with these two states have three aims: nourishing the eco- nomic growth which underpins their security; sustaining the military forces they need for defense; and in the process, providing the confidence and security they need to continue their support for the peace process. We have made significant changes in the military assistance programs for Israel and Egypt this year. To reduce the debt service burden associated with heavy de fense requirements, we are recommending that all military assistance to these two countries be grants, not loans. Because grants are more valuable than loans and be- cause of the cash flow requirements of these programs, we have reduced our mili- tary assistance requests for both countries below the levels made available in recent years. We have discussed these proposals thoroughly with Israel and Egypt and there is general agreement that these levels and terms support our mutual goals. In Lebanon, as the President said, the bloodshed we have witnessed has demon- strated the length to which the forces of violence and intimidation are prepared to go to prevent a peaceful reconciliation process. The measures the President has outlined reorient U.S. Political and military re- sources in Lebanon to strengthen our ability and sustain our efforts. The United States will remain fully engaged. We will continue our efforts to bring all sides to the bargaining table. We will continue to press the Lebanese government and the opposition alike to move toward political accommodation. Consistent with our policy, we will focus on ways to strengthen the government's armed forces as a key element in a stable Lebanon. The funds we have requested in the current budget are part of that continuing program. 73 Our program for the Middle East focusses also on Jordan, whose role will be cru- cial in taking the next major step toward peace. Most of the funds we propose for Jordan in fiscal year 1985 will go for military assistance to help that country meet its defense needs. The Kingdom of Jordan is a moderate Arab government that has long been a friend of the United States. It now faces a severe challenge from Syria and other radical forces, precisely because of its constructive policies. The oil producing states in Southwest Asia are vulnerable to outside threats and internal subversion by externally supported elements. Nearby in Africa, Sudan and Somalia face also the threats of instability which arise from poverty and ethnic grievances. Our programs in these areas seek to reduce these pressures and instabil- ities. At the same time, we are supporting countries that provide access to the facili- ties which our forces would need in order to operate in the area should that ever be necessary. There is no disputing the importance of Persian Gulf oil to Western economic and strategic interests. The best way to protect these interests is to work with countries in the region to help them build their economies and to support their efforts to pro- vide for their own security. Our NATO allies, Turkey, Greece, Spain, and Portugal, provide a shield both for the Mediterranean and the southern flank of Europe, as well as a bridge to the Middle East and Southwest Asia. U.S. security assistance is essential if these coun- tries are to meet their Alliance responsibilities. We propose in 1985 about $1.8 billion to support on-going military modernization programs in Turkey, Spain, Portugal, and Greece. Greece, Turkey and Portugal lag behind other NATO countries in military strength and urgently need moderniza- tion. These countries all offer U.S. access to important facilities. There has been en- couraging progress in Turkey which occupies a strategic position. The infusions of aid from the United States and Europe in the past few years have helped Turkey recover from its near bankruptcy in the late 1970's. The Ozal government has an- nounced reforms to encourage market forces and competition to increase exports. These should further enhance Turkey's prospects. Our interest lies in continuing to support Turkey's growth, and we propose $175 million in ESF for fiscal year 1985. We signed a new base agreement with Greece in 1985 providing for continued United States use of the important facilities in that country. Security assistance is an integral part of our defense cooperation in Greece. Our principal objectives in the security assistance program for Portugal are to support the continuing consolidation of its democratic institutions, to help Portugal modernize its military, and to assist Portugal as it confronts continuing economic problems. U.S. rights to use critical Portuguese facilities in the Azores were ex- tended in December 1983. The Azores base is pivotal if the United States is to react effectively to military challenges in Europe or to threats to Western security outside the NATO area. Spain, a NATO ally since 1982, provides the United States access to vital air and naval facilities which will be crucial in the event of a European con- flict. By contributing to Spanish military modernization, U.S. assistance strengthens the common defense and encourages an institutional role for the Spanish military similar to that of the military in other Western democracies. VI. ASIA The pictures I have been painting in this rapid tour around the globe brighten when we turn to Asia. Despite skyrocketing oil prices and the weak economic performance of the indus- trialized countries this past decade, the economies of non-Communist Southeast Asia continued to display remarkable vitality. Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia all experienced annual growth rates in the 6-7 percent range during the 1970's . For some 20 years, the East Asian countries have sustained higher growth rates than any other part of the world. South Asia, where the majority of the world's poor live, has also seen reasonable improvement, particularly in agricultural production. There are some dark spots. In recent years, the Philippines has increased its ex- ternal debt and growth has lagged. Sri Lanka suffered a setback in 1983 following communal violence. But, assuming continued inflows of capital, sound policies, and a good "pull" from restored economic health in the West, economic growth will con- tinue in Asia. And what do we learn from this record of progress? We learn that growth im- proves well-being for those at the low end of the income distribution spectrum. For instance, according to a World Bank estimate, absolute poverty in Thailand has dropped from 57 percent in the early 1960's to 30 percent in the mid-1970's. More 84-045 0-84-6 74 over, available evidence suggests that where economic growth is rapid, the lowest 40 percent of income earners have moderately increased their share of total income over time. The Asian experience provides lessons for countries in Africa and other parts of the world. We have found the benefits to lower-income groups from growth to be greatest where the following conditions obtain: (1) growth is broadly based and agricultural prices favor producers rather than consumers; (2) productive investment is labor-in- tensive; (3) government interference in markets and prices is minimized; and (4) population growth rates are low and educational attainment levels are better than average. And we have also learned how rapid growth in Third World countries benefits us both as producers and consumers. The East Asian countries now account for about one-sixth of world trade. U.S. investment in the region now exceed $26 billion and is growing The population of Asia (even excluding China) exceed that of Africa, the Near East and Latin America combined. Continued growth there will be an enormous contribution to world prosperity and stability. Our development aid programs in Asia are concentrated in South Asia and Indonesia. They emphasize technical assist- ance in fields such as agriculture research. Whether we speak of this aid as simply an investment in the future or more pointedly as an investment in an immense future market, we will reap great returns from continuing to assist growth in the region. Precisely because the stakes are so high both in economic and strategic terms, and because serious threats remain, we continue to provide military assistance in the region. Our aid to Thailand and Korea deters direct military threats to these countries from, respectively, Vietnam, which now has the world's third largest standing army, and North Korea, which spends over 20 percent of its GNP on its military. In addition, the Soviet Union has greatly increased its military presence in the region. Our assistance to the Philippines helps maintain the U.S. bases there which undergird our strategic position in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Our rela- tionship with ASEAN is an important pillar of stability in Southeast Asia. VII. THE MULTILATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS (MDBS) In fiscal year 1983, lending by the World Bank and its regional counterparts to- taled $20.4 billion, up from $16.8 billion in fiscal year 1982. That this lending pro- gram was sustained with a paid-in contribution from the United States of $1.5 bil- lion testifies to the advantages of using the multilateral development banks to share the burden of providing aid. These institutions are also leaders in providing advice on sound market-oriented economic policies. We consider our participation in the multilateral development banks as a crucial part of our assistance policy. I want to stress in particular the important role played by the International Development Association in promoting development in the poorest countries. We have just completed negotiations for the seventh replenishment of IDA's re- sources. In our judgment, this replenishment provides a basis for a strong IDA pro- gram in Sub-Saharan Africa to work in conjunction with our Africa initiative. We are requesting the final $150 million for IDA VI in our fiscal year 1984 supplemen- tal proposal and $750 million for IDA VII in our fiscal year 1985 budget proposal. Our pledge to IDA VII has been widely discussed in the Congress and should enjoy broad support here. VIII. CONCLUSION Mr. Chairman, you and the other members of the Carlucci Commission concluded that the foreign aid program is vital to our national interests. I have tried to show why this is so region by region. You also recommended improvements in the program, particularly more effective integration of military and economic assistance and development of means to speak to the Congress about the program as a whole rather than its individual parts. I have reviewed all your recommendations and have asked for immediate follow-up on most. Many were already on this Administration's agenda of improvements. I did not agree with the Commission's recommendation for a new Mutual Devel- opment and Security Administration because I felt that the Commission's main aims-better integration of our assistance programs and a more unified voice in rep- resenting these programs to the Congress-could be achieved within our existing 75 structure and without the disruptions of a major reorganization. I have asked the appropriate offices to prepare a plan for doing this by early March. The Carlucci Commission produced a bipartisan consensus as to the value of our foreign assistance program. We will do our part to improve the program as recom- mended. We hope Congress will respond in kind by supporting and passing the budget requests which we have made. 1 I ! 1985 1 1 CHART A Military (Constanı Dollars) 1984 Military (Current Dollars) 1983 Economic (Current Dollars) 1982 Economic (Constant Dollars) U.S. Foreign Economic Assistance and Military Assistance In Current and Constant Dollars FY 1974-FY 1985 1980 Fiscal Year 1979 1 1978 1977 . 1976 1975 + Billions of Dollars 10 1974 1 1 8 9 2 0 1 76 CHART B A.I.D. Economic Assistance By Aegion FY 1985 Billions of Dollars 2.0 1.8 - 1.6 1 Via Development Assistance BAW! Economic Support Fund PL 480. Tiite 1 PL 480 Title II 1.4 - 1 - 1.2 1.0- ! 0.8 i 0.6 - 1 0.4 0.2 - 1 0 Africa Asia Latin American & Caribbean Near East & Europe Central Programs LL CHART C Military Assistance Concessionality 1981 Actual 1983 Actual Other Concessional 2.6% Israel 16.0% Other Concessional 7.2% Israel/Egypt 21.4% Non-Concessional 81.4% 1985 Proposed Non-Concessional 71.5% Israel/Egypt 43.5% Other Concessional 23.0% Non-Concessional 33.5% 78 The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Mr. Secretary. I presume when you leave at 12:30 that Peter McPherson and Secretary Schneider can stay on if there are further questions from the committee. We will direct our questions to you first, and keep the record open so that you can expand any of those that you would like to amplify on. We will proceed with a 10-minute limit. My first question pertains to economic aid levels for three coun- tries for whom the Congress has clearly indicated to the adminis- tration that increased economic assistance is justified, but for whom the administration has sought reductions. I mean Cyprus and Tunisia and Israel. All of them are under tre- mendous pressure right now, economic pressure. Would you com- ment in those three cases, please. Secretary SHULTZ. First of all, let me speak about our aid to Israel, and I will divide it basically into two components and then add some points beyond that. We have talked at great length with the Israelis about our military assistance program and have, as you know, converted it from a loan to a cash grant program, and we discussed the appropriate levels in great detail with Prime Minis- ter Shamir and Defense Minister Arens when they were here last December, recently I think I can say that we came to agreement on what was an ap- propriate level. We feel that what is requested will do the job, and they have said to us that they feel that way as well. Naturally, we are talking about a budget that starts next Octo- ber and goes through the following year, so it is an unwise person who thinks he can predict everything that is going to happen in the Middle East in that period. But on the basis of what we know, the best judgments of both of us, that was the number that we set- tled on. نمد As far as economic assistance is concerned, I would just tell you my personal view. We have a proposal in there for the Congress to consider. We feel and the Israelis feel that there are lots of things that need to be done to improve the performance and health of their economy. They have a very high rate of inflation, their for- eign exchange position is not good, and their growth rates have been lagging. There is no reason why, in such a dynamic country, this needs to be so. So our stance is, we want to be helpful to Israel in getting its economy onto a strong and the kind of healthy track that it should be on. They are working at it very hard. Basically what we have said is, here is an economic aid number, and it is hard for us to discuss whether it is too high, too low, or about right. We think it is about right. But what we would like to see is what you think you want to do in your economy, and then we need to fit our help into that. We have had some discussions back and forth. We have had visits from their economic team. We have constructed a Govern- ment economic team here. We have also gotten four outstanding private economists, which Israel has welcomed, to take part in this examination. And as things unfold, it may be that we will make some changes or want to suggest some changes. 79 But in the meantime, our basic stance is that we want to be help- ful, but we need to see more of what it is that they want to under- take before we can say ourselves precisely how to go about that. Now, in the meantime there are some other steps. For example, they have been very anxious to develop the concept of a free trade area with Israel. We think that is an excellent idea, to have a free trade area with the Common Market in Europe. And so we are in the process of trying to negotiate that out. Some hearings were held in the Finance Committee on that. We have had I think two meetings, Ambassador Brock leading that. There are some real difficulties, mainly having to do with subsi- dies. But at any rate, I think this is something that could be very healthy, and in that and other ways we are trying to be as con- structive as we possibly can be. Insofar as Tunisia is concerned- The CHAIRMAN. Excuse me. Before you go on to that, I would just like to comment that I have talked with the Finance Minister a number of times about the free trade area. It is Israel's preference and my strong preference that we do everything we can to expand their trade efforts, rather than aid. It is far more lasting and per- manent. Second, I strongly support the efforts of the Israeli Government to impose an economic austerity program. It is an exercise in self- discipline that only they can impose upon themselves, and I com- mend them for doing it. Please continue. Secretary SHULTZ. Thank you, sir. With respect to Tunisia, we think that we are in a posture to be helpful to the Tunisians. We responded to some urgent requests here recently. The amounts involved are small, relatively speaking to some other countries, but nevertheless we think adequate. On the other hand, certainly, Mr. Chairman, we are most inter- ested to hear the views of Members of Congress about the composi- tion of this package. It seems sensible to us. In the case of Cyprus, which you asked about, that is a subject of great controversy and delicacy. We have opposed very strongly the unilateral declaration seeking to establish a part of Cyprus as an independent state, and at the same time we have been in close con- tact with both sides of that and also with the Greek and Turkish Governments directly. We have our people in the Department working on that, and I might say Ed Derwinski, whom many of you know personally and who has many connections there, has been taking a leading hand in trying to help move that in a constructive direction. We have been basically supporting the efforts of the United Nations and the Secretary General, a man who has had considerable experience in the area personally, and we are in close touch with him. So I think within that framework the proposals that we have made are appropriate. We think that the programs proposed for Turkey are extremely important, that they have an essential role to play in the NATO picture, and that the modernization that is contemplated in the assistance programs for Turkey are very much needed, and that Turkey itself seems to be engaged in the kind of economic reform effort that we like to see. 80 I might say also, Turkey has emerged in a more democratic di- rection, and that also is very much to be encouraged. The CHAIRMAN. I asked about Cyprus also. You used the phrase, pennywise and pound foolish, which I think applies in the case of Tunisia, considering the pressure that they are under from Qadaffi these days. There is a big difference between the $3 million re- quested by the administration and the $5 million Congress has sup- ported in the past. For Cyprus, $3 million is in the administration request; we have Sup pwould ask that you expand your comments regarding those countries, and also respond to this final question: The administration's Central American bill says in effect that the President should determine the conditions for aid to El Salva- dor. What conditions would be placed on such assistance, and if Congress chooses, as it has in the past and may likely again, to expand its own role in setting conditions, what constructively can we accomplish together? Secretary SHULTZ. Well, I think that most of the important ques- tions are agreed. We all agree, and I have testified in this very committee on several occasions, that a diminution and end to death squad activities, the construction of a judicial system that provides an operating rule of law, those things are essential ingredients over the long period to the sustenance of aid from the United States, and it is just a matter of our own values and what we are ready to support. Clearly, it is important for us, as we work with the people of El Salvador on their problems, to make that point and make it force- fully. The only question is, what is the best method of doing so, and I might say that the best method is not always the same at all times. It is the preference of the administration that we highlight this issue, that we report regularly to the Congress about it, that we undertake a strong program, as we are, to bring about reform, but that we not set these periodic moments of time when an all or nothing kind of cutoff is called for. There are a number of reasons for that, and I think that beyond the notion of your attitude toward a country's internal running of their own affairs, the setting of a date like that itself produces things. Sometimes it produces good things, and we would like to think that over a period of time it has helped to produce the many good things that have happened in El Salvador. It can also produce bad things, in that the opposition can use that date to cause turmoil and reactions to the turmoil in such a way as to make the situation perverse in the time period before the date. We have had a period now in which the pressure for reform has been strong, but there is not any congressionally imposed date. And in that environment the Vice President, I, others, many Mem- bers of Congress have gone and talked very strongly, and I think we have seen some positive results from that. So it may be that there are times when a congressionally imposed date is a good thing, but maybe it is also wise occasionally to change the ap- proach and do it a little differently. 81 But I would emphasize to you, Mr. Chairman, that this question of assuring ourselves that we make the maximum effort to bring about the kind of democratic and rule of law conditions that are in accord with the sort of international values that we subscribe to, that the strongest possible effort should be made to fulfill those conditions. And we are prepared to work with the Congress and try to work this problem out. We do not think that the arguments are open and shut on either side of the question. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Mr. Secretary. Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Having you with us is a wonderful occasion, Mr. Secretary, be- cause we can talk about policy with you and also with your col- leagues and get into more details. But when it comes to policy, what is our policy with regard to the shelling of the portions of Lebanon controlled by Syria? One branch of the administration said that that firing is not linked to specific incoming fire against the Marines at the airport. On the other hand, the White House said whatever we do is in support of the Marines. Obviously, from a factual viewpoint some of the firing is not in support of the Marines. What is your understanding of our policy with regard to the shelling of villages and targets in Syrian-controlled Lebanon? Secretary SHULTZ. Our policy is simple. We are an invited pres- ence, and when we are fired on, the local commanders have the au- thority to defend themselves and fire back at the sources of the fire on us. Now, there are many, I will say, tactical aspects of that, but that is the basic concept. I would say this as well. You mentioned the Marines. I do not stand back to anybody in my admiration for the Marines, but they are not the only American people in Lebanon. We have an ambas- sador, we have a residence that is practically a headquarters, we have an embassy, we have other people there. They are also people whose safety deserves to be attended to, and so our rules of engagement, so-called, within the concept that I have mentioned go beyond the Marines at the airport to the other people. Senator PELL. I concur with everything you said and I think most American citizens would agree. But then am I correct in saying it is not our policy to shell the Syrian parts of Lebanon in support of the Lebanese Armed Forces or the Lebanese Government solely? Secretary SHULTZ. Our approach is as I said it. We do not have the rules of engagement that say that independent of any threat to our own personnel we have a military objective independent of that that we are supporting. There are instances within the frame- work of the concept I mentioned where we have fired in support of the LAF An example is Suq al Gharb, as a place that overlooks the air- port and which it was determined that if that fell into hands that were unfriendly to our Marines occupying the airport and others that it would endanger their safety. So we fired at that area in sup- port of the holding of it by the LAF. Similarly, we have people who have been scattered in and around Beirut. And so when there is shelling of Beirut, you cannot 82 wz always say exactly who it is shelling at, but we have sought to try to stop that as a safety matter for our Forces, for our people. So we have undertaken that as well in our rules of engagement. Senator PELL. Understood. But then, is it your understanding that it is not our policy to shell targets unless it is in support of or in the defense of our own people? Secretary SHULTZ. That is our concept. There is no other concept, I believe, that is consistent with the congressional resolution, and that if we were to undertake support outside of that we would not be consistent with the spirit of the congressional resolution. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. I have one further question. Do we have any idea or concept of the civilian casualties that have resulted from our shelling? Do you know the cost to the Lebanese? Secretary SHULTZ. I do not have a number on that, but we have been very careful about that, as careful as we could be. And we have said that if we have fire coming from an area where there is a heavy civilian population, we have preferred not to fire back at that emplacement. Now, to a certain extent that invites people to go there and use the civilian population as a hostage, and under those circumstances one can readily argue that if you have a unit belonging to a certain group and it locates itself in a civilian area and fires, then you ought to fire back at it at some place that is not in that civilian populated area, so that you do respond, but you do it in a manner that is as absolutely considered as you possibly can of the potential civilian casualties. I might say, the tactic of using civilians as a shield for a military operation, and which you see done, is not a very admirable tactic, I do not think. Senator PELL. Thank you. Now I would like to touch again on the question of Cyprus. De- spite the fact that Turkey recognized the Turkish Cypriot unilater- al declaration of independence, the administration again has re- quested that the Congress increase military aid to Turkey, expand- ing the concessional component of that aid while slashing economic aid to Cyprus. Also, you propose to deviate from the 7-to-10 ratio in aid to Greece and Turkey. Does not this give an incorrect signal to the Turks that we are not truly, as you put it, opposing very strongly their action in Cyrpus? Secretary SHULTZ. We oppose the action of the Turkish portion of Cyprus and we certainly opposed any recognition of that. We have not only opposed it ourselves, but we have been very active in our diplomacy in going out to other countries and pointing out to them, or at least letting them know our views and our reasoning for that. Insofar as our aid to Turkey is concerned, we believe it should stand on its feet as something that is important to our general NATO commitment and the development of that key ally, whose forces are very much in need of modernization. In the meantime, we are, as I said, working on the Cyprus question. The Secretary General of the United Nations we think properly should take the lead on that. We do not want to interfere in any manner with that, but we also have made it clear to the Secretary no... winner L! ...rden: 83 General, to all of the parties concerned, that we are active and that we want to be helpful and that we have various things that we can do. They know that, and I think on the whole we have been helpful. Senator PELL. Would you not concur that a sharper signal, not simply a tap on the wrist or mere criticism of Turkey's action, would be to maintain the present formula? When we change the formula between Greece and Turkey to the advantage of Turkey, I would think you would concur that that does give the wrong signal to Turkey. Secretary SHULTZ. We think the aid levels put up for Turkey and Greece are good aid levels and are needed and justifiable in their own terms, as distinct from signal sending. And we do not think that it would be helpful in our efforts on the Cyprus problem, for that matter, to use the aid levels at this point as some sort of at- tempted lever. We think we are moving along reasonably effective- ly the way we are and we would like to leave it this way. Senator PELL. Thank you. I guess we will just have to agree to disagree. Let me go to Nicaragua for a moment, and let us say they have a fair election, even with the franchise down to the age of 16, and the present regime gets returned. Would we continue to seek the over- throw of that regime by force, which is really what we are doing now, or would we accept the results of that election? Secretary SHULTZ. That regime is resisted because of the things it is doing, because it betrayed the revolution and because of the kind of government it is running. I hope it does hold a fair election. We are very much in favor of fair elections. I do not know of any country-and I do not claim to be an expert on this, but I have never heard of anybody having a voting age of 16. That is an interesting little wrinkle. I wonder why they have done that. But beyond that, it is obviously so that a fair election reflects a whole host of things that take place before the election is held, in- cluding the opportunity for rival political groups to form them- selves and to have access to people, to have the right of assembly, to have access to the media, able to spread their views around, and so on; and beyond that, of course, to have an election that is con- ducted in a fair way. I have a feeling there are going to be more observers in El Salva- dor than there are voters. It is going to be swarming with people, and that is OK. But I think we ought to have a good look at what goes on in Nicaragua as well. But I think an election, if it is properly conducted-and we have very little information on the way the election is going to be con- ducted, and it is something that is being called on very short notice, really, under all the circumstances. It remains to be seen what we would think of that. But basically, the internal problem of Nicaragua is something that they are producing themselves and not us. Senator PELL. My time has expired, but as I understand it, your answer to my question is what we might accept the results of an election if we thought the conditions were fair. 84 1 She'... Secretary SHULTZ. The election is one thing, of course. I think there are many aspects of Nicaragua's behavior that are simply not compatible with peace and stability in Central America, and their efforts to upset regimes in neighboring countries by force of arms are simply not compatible with the kind of world we would like to see down there. Senator PELL. Thank you. My time has expired. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. Senator Lugar. Senator LUGAR. Mr. Secretary, just for my own information, in your testimony you mention that we moved all military assistance to "on-budget," a step which Congress has long urged. Specifically what does this mean? Where were the funds before? How was the procedure changed in the so-called on-budget procedure? Secretary SHULTZ. Well, the funds before, as I understand it, were authorized. They were then borrowed, in effect borrowed by the Treasury, or the full faith and credit of the United States stood behind, in effect, a borrowing to finance military purchases in this country. And the terms included a long, but variable, period of for- giveness in which no repayments had to be made, but the rate of interest was the borrowing cost of the Treasury, and it did not show up on the books of the budget, as is the case with loan pro- grams of that kind. I suppose that is one of the reasons that people propose loan pro- grams. It is a way of getting it off the budget and you can sort of hide it. It is not good budget practice, and I do not think any budget director really wants it. I know sometimes when I was budget director that took place. It was not because I wanted it; it was because that was the way it was done. But I think on the whole this is a good move, just to get all the money up front where you can see it. In terms of impact on the U.S. economy, it does not make that much difference, because one way or another what you are talking about is a call on the resources of the U.S. economy. But it is put on the budget, and from the standpoint of management of the funds it gives us an opportunity-by “us” I mean you and the ad- ministration together as we work out the programs—to tailor rates of interest to the conditions that we see, rather than simply going on the basis of the borrowing rate of the Treasury. I might say that some of the credits that were given in past years, when interest rates were much higher than they are now, present quite a carrying burden as the time passes and the forgive- ness period ends. So you see in many countries a debt repayment schedule that they simply cannot carry. Senator LUGAR. I appreciate that point. By so doing we are able to provide military assistance loans either at a concessional rate or at the cost of money to the Treasury. The point that I want to make is that earlier you had pointed out the Carlucci Commission findings that the effective interest rates, including grants and loans, were approximately 9 percent for military assistance and 1 percent for economic assistance. It sug- gests that all of this is somewhat less than the prime rate of inter- est in this country presently. : : 85 In another forum this morning, Peter Grace has been testifying, and one of the striking figures in his testimony is that the Federal Government is now owed $764.6 billion. He makes not only that point, but that the Federal Government is not very good at collect- ing the money Now, there is a very real political problem domestically in this. For example, with student loans and various other loan programs recently, many students and many other citizens feel, as a matter of fact, that these were as good as grants. They resent the fact that there is any collection going on at all. When it comes to foreign loans, clearly it has been the policy of this country to lend money concessionally. But how are we to weigh this? How do you weigh it? Given the cost of money to people in this country for the normal purposes of life versus the value in terms of our foreign policy of making loans at half of that rate or 1 percent, or in providing grants, is there not a general pre- sumption that we ought to be charging the same rate of interest to everybody? Secretary SHULTZ. Well, we have to ask ourselves, what is our ob- jective; what are we trying to achieve? If we are trying to achieve an additonal measure of security for ourselves by improving the ca- pacity of some other country to secure itself or to provide us with bases which we could not otherwise get, or in some other manner to improve our security, that is an objective and we find that we have to pay something for it. Then the question is, What is the best way to go about that? And some mixture of grant and loan money or concessional money is the way to go about it. If you say, here is Israel, let us say, and it is overburdened with debt right now, but yet we have some principle that we should charge the prime rate on everything, and we think that we should do the things necessary to help provide their securi- ty, those two things are not going to fit together. And so what we have said is, let us put this on budget and let us look at these repayment conditions in terms of the problems that we see and judge it that way. Senator LUGAR. Why should we not just simply make grants, as opposed to concessional loans? If there is a presumption the money is going to be given, in terms of the budget, then should grants not be the way we do it from the beginning, as opposed to loaning money at 1 or 2 or 3 percent? Does this not misrepresent, in es- sence, the cost to the American people of the aid that is being given? Secretary SHULTZ. Well, of course, the two numbers that are mentioned in my testimony in the Carlucci commission, 9 percent and 1 percent, are averages . There are a lot of zeroes in there and there are a lot of higher rates. One percent is not a typical number, but again I think it is not necessarily so. There are countries that say, we do not have the money in hand pay for this, but we believe that our economic conditions are such that we can generate it and we want to borrow the money and will pay it back. So that is a very perfectly good approach, and I think it is highly desirable. And countries prefer to stand on their own feet that way in many cases. The same on economic matters. 86 Of course, as you moved toward a nonsubsidized rate, then, of course, you are in the private market and government has nothing to do with it. Do not forget, the Treasury borrowing rate is a subsi- dized rate from the standpoint of most other countries and of any private borrower, because the Treasury borrowing rate has the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government behind it, so there is abso- lute total risk-free security, assuming that Congress keeps passing debt ceiling increases. Senator LUGAR. Obviously, I appreciate the point you are making and I do not want to be tedious about it. But we are getting into two sorts of binds here. The first is that American businessmen are coming to us and saying, Congress and the administration are making concessionary loans for economic development and all sorts of facilities and products now are being produced, and there is a component of subsidy in this. So then you are assailed, as is the Secretary of the Treasury and the President, by the people who want tariffs or quotas, things that damage our economy, on the basis of something we were doing, albeit for very humanitarian, developmental purposes in foreign aid. It seems to me we get caught betwixt and between, particular- ly on the development side, on interest rates that have a differen- tial from our own. Second, even countries with full intent of repaying, may find that this debt becomes a part of a very large debt that that country is attempting to reschedule. Maybe we have done a favor, but I am not certain. In other words, conceivably bookkeepingwise we should have made it a grant or not made it at all, as opposed to contributing to a further crisis in international repayments. Secretary SHULTZ. I think you have to separate out different cat- egories. Security assistance needs to be separated from economic assistance in this sense. Security is something that is an essential thing for everybody to have. You cannot get along without it. And borrowing for that purpose, if a country has a repayment prospect, and some subsidy, I think there is no conceptual problem with that. We are not competing with ourselves at all. In fact, from the standpoint of U.S. suppliers, they are very anx- ious to see this kind of program, because all this money comes back into the United States in the form of purchases of U.S. equipment in one form or another. When it comes to economic assistance and project assistance to one kind or another, you do run into certain anomalies. For exam- ple, there is no doubt about the fact that there is an excess of steel capacity around the world right now, and the result of that is great tensions in the trading system. We all know about them. It is ironic that there is also competition among countries where there are firms that produce the equipment that goes into a new steel mill to get those sales, and in order to get those sales they turn to their government to get a subsidized rate of interest on a loan. So there is that competition. The competition comes from the companies that want to sell the equipment. And we have gone around and tried to say to some of our friends: Look, this does not make sense. Can we not get some sort of a mor- atorium on this. 87 There are anomalies of the kind that you have mentioned, and they have to be administered on a careful basis. On the whole, when it comes to industrial-type development, my own private bias is always against subsidies and let the market prevail. But there are countries that are poor, that are trying to develop, and then there are many categories of things that are essentially not strictly in the commercial area. And if you looked at the list that I read in my testimony of the things that we are trying to sup- port, they go to such matters as health and so on that are of a dif- ferent category. Senator LUGAR. Thank you. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Lugar and Senator Biden, if you would not mind yielding for just a moment, it might be appropriate, given that George Shultz served as Director of the Budget, to report to him on this problem which Senator Lugar cited from Peter Grace's testimony. I was astounded when I learned of our inability to col- lect our debts. The best way, it seems to me, to be paying down our own debt is to collect the debts that people owe the Government. Secretary SHULTZ. Collect the debt and also collect the taxes. We have huge amounts of taxes that-well, you do not have to change the law at all. Just collect the taxes that are owed under the law. The CHAIRMAN. Well, we did have deficiencies in the law with re- spect to debt collection. We as a Government could not ask for a social security number when someone applied for a' Government loan; no bank would ever loan money without knowing the borrow- er's social security number. We lost track of debtors and we could not even use IRS to find them. We could not garnish wages, even of Federal employees who had never repaid their student loans; 65,000 Federal employees were in default on Federal loans. And we could not report to a credit bureau and we could not hire a private collector. Secretary SHULTZ. But you know why all those things are so, do you not? They are all in a law somewhere. The CHAIRMAN. I sponsored remedial legislation, I think, with the support of every Senator who is here. It has now been in law for about a year. We have already collected $5 billion. Doctors from prestigious institutions like Harvard Medical School who never paid their debts back are now having to pay back their Govern- ment loans. We have been able to seize their foreign-built cars and garnish their wages and do whatever we can do. Secretary SHULTZ. What medical school are you talking about? The CHAIRMAN. Harvard. Secretary SHULTZ. Harvard. The CHAIRMAN. Harvard. It was one of the worst. They are now down from 26 percent delinquent, I believe, to 5 percent. So we have collected $5 billion since the bill became law. Senator Biden. Senator BIDEN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. For some reason we did not go after Chicago and I am not quite sure why, Mr. Secretary. [Laughter.] The CHAIRMAN. The University of Chicago had an excellent record. 88 Senator BIDEN. That is right, they always do. And they have an excellent representative here. [Laughter.] One of my dearest friends in the Senate, who happens to be on this committee, slipped me a note and it said on the front “Biden”, and when opened up it says "no eruptions.” I am not sure what he is referring to. I guess he knows the subject I am about to speak to and that I would like to ask you about. And I just have some calm questions about a portion of your testimony. Secretary SHULTZ. I feel like I am being set up here. [Laughter.] Senator BIDEN. Well, I am just going to try like hell to do that. [Laughter.] Because I think we have been set up on the portion of the for- eign aid bill that relates to Turkey. As will come as no surprise to you, I find myself in some disagreement with the administration's proposals, and I would like to pursue a little further what already has been discussed. In answer to Senator Lugar's question about how you make your judgments about whether it be concessional aid, a loan, or straight FMS, or a grant or so on, you mentioned security as one of the con- siderations, which I think is not only a reasonable but the only and most appropriate answer that can be given. Sometimes we have to pay for our security and sometimes we do it in ways that end up in the eyes of the American public looking like we are doing a favor for someone that we would not do for our own citizenry. And in fact we are doing a favor, but I hope we are hardheaded enough to do it out of our own naked self-interest, which I would argue is the case for most of the aid program you have put forward here, except I do not understand Turkey. Let me be more specific. We are talking about a net change here that is significant. In 1984, FMS [foreign military sales, loans were $585 million and in 1985 they are $275 million. But then grant MAP (military assistance programs] was $130 million in 1987 and grant MAP in 1985 was $230 million. It is up $100 million. And there is one additional feature, $250 million for FMS, which essentially is taking the loan program from last year and making half of it concessional, a little less than half. Then you go in ESF [economic support funds] from $138 million to $175 million. Now, when we were dissatisfied with Zimbabwe and how they were voting in the U.N., now I may be mistaken, the administra- tion chastised them and we cut aid. When we were more satisfied with the conduct of Argentina, we increased it. In my 11 years in the Senate, through three Republican and one Democratic Presidents, we have tended to not only consider the se- curity requirements but to consider the compatibility of the activi- ty and actions of the country which was the recipient of the aid with our overall foreign policy objectives. The only country in the world to the best of my knowledge, unless something happened in the last 2 days, that has recognized an illegitimate government in Cyprus is Turkey. No one else has done it. Turkey has had a history of being not the single most reli- able ally in the NATO alliance. If you go back for the past 50 years, Turkey is a worthy and I think a useful ally. They are on that eastern flank of the NATO alliance. But I would like you to tell me a little more about why 89 the security requirements of the United States are so clearly served by what I consider to be a significant increase, in difficult budgetary times, in the face of an irrational action on the part of the Turkish Government of recognizing and being the de facto au- thority for the illegal occupation and declaration in Cyprus. Is not the bulk of the program new aircraft? If I am not mistaken, F-16's. They are not going to be delivered until 1987 or beyond. Why are we doing what we are doing, and why is Turkey so, not- withstanding the fact they have gone in and out of a phase of mili- tary dictatorships and democracies, and military dictatorships and democracies, why are they such an incredibly important ally that we would run upstream like this in light of their actions in the recent past? Secretary SHULTZ. I think to a certain extent, Senator, you have answered your question in pointing out their location as a very strategic place in the world. I think it is also the case that the quality of equipment available to their armed forces has lagged, and so they very much are in need of modernization, and the secu- rity assistance part of the request is designed to bring that about or help bring that about. In terms of their economy, they are undertaking the kind of eco- nomic reform that is in the general direction we think is likely to work. As far as their political system is concerned, they have been moving in a democratic direction and we think that that is very positive. So all these things together—the need for modernization, the type of efforts they are making in their economic development, and the political movement of things-are all positive. We oppose their recognition of what we regard as the illegit- imate declaration of independence on Cyprus, and we have said so in no uncertain terms. And at the same time, we have been work- ing with the Turks and the Greeks and the people on all sides on Cyprus to try to help get that situation moving in a better direc- tion. Senator BIDEN. Do we have any indication from the Turks, in light of your effort to work with them, that they appreciate the di- lemma and are likely to do anything to ameliorate the situation on Cyprus? Is there any hopeful sign you have? Secretary SHULTZ. It depends upon what you consider hopeful. But I think they have made some moves, such as the statement 2 or 3 weeks or so ago-my memory slips exactly when-particularly on Verosha. And that was immediately rejected by the Greek side. But on the other hand, it represents a development and I hope the Secretary General can work with that. It is not by any means the answer and not enough was put there, but it was a move. And I think the way to get something going and settled is to try to follow a step with a step. And we believe that the Secretary Gen- eral, when he decides to move in there, is well positioned to work with all parties. He is experienced, and we believe we can help him, and we have said we would and we have made some very able manpower available. Senator BIDEN. What I do not understand, Mr. Secretary, is, it was but 6 months ago, 8 months ago, that probably the single most able negotiator that I have come across in any administration, who 34-045 0-84—-7 90 is now in Lebanon, was spending his time trying very hard to put together a base agreement with Greece. And we found ourselves in a very ticklish situation. And some argued that then, because of prior actions and activi- ties, and the recalcitrance of the Papandreou government, I might add, we found ourselves in a spot where our interests in having those facilities available to us were at least mildly in jeopardy be- cause of events that were beyond the bilateral relationship between Greece and the United States. And now we have a civilian government back in Turkey, a civil- ian government that I would argue is totally incapable, if it wants to stay out of jail and/or in power, either one, of taking any step that would move in the direction of ameliorating the situation in Cyprus. The one thing I would, were I a political adviser, which would be presumptuous of me to suggest, but were I a political adviser to the present Turkish Government, I would say the last thing you want to say is you want to see some movement in Cyprus, other than movement in the direction that makes it all Turkish. I mean, the one thing short of that, that you better just be very quiet. Now, it seems to me when we go forward with a significant aid program—which no administration has ever agreed to, I acknowl- edge-breaking the 7-to-10 ratio, and coming forward with a sub- stantial increase, that we literally lock any democratically elected government in Turkey into a position where we cannot do any. thing. They cannot do anything on Cyprus. The only thing they could do is argue that if we do not make some movement, if we do not have to ameliorate the situation, we have a problem with the Americans and we need their help, we need their money, we need their facilities. And now it seems to me we have taken that play away. At any rate, you have answered the question. I want to warn you—it will be no surprise to you-I, I assume among others, will be trying very hard to prevent this aid to Turkey from going for- ward. Secretary SHULTZ. I can only say, Senator, that they did make a move, perhaps not enough of a move, but a slight move. Now, far be it for me to act optimistic about a settlement on Cyprus. But I don't think the situation is without hope, just as it is not without movement. It is something to be worked out. Senator BIDEN. Well, if they moved one step forward on Verosha, I would argue that they moved five steps backward by recognizing the government. Thank you very much, Mr. Secretary. We will have plenty of time to argue about this again. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Senator Biden. Senator Baker, we appreciate your coming to help us reach a quorum. Do you have any comments or questions for the Secre- tary? Senator BAKER. That is usually all I am good for now, making a quorum. [General laughter.] 91 No, Mr. Chairman, I am really delighted to be here and to see the Secretary, and to participate in the deliberations of this com- mittee. It is one of my real regrets that the leadership of the Senate on both sides, that is, both the majority and minority leaders, have what is essentially an administrative job instead of a legislative job. By this I mean that we are so busy trying to keep the Senate running, to keep the agenda on track, that there is very little time to attend committee meetings. So, it is with real regret that I have so very little time to attend the meetings of this committee or of the other committees of which I am a member. But at the chairman's urging, I chose to remain on this committee, and I am happy to make whatever minor contribu- tion that I can. I am glad to see Secretary Shultz here today. I think George Shultz has been and will continue to be one of the truly historic Secretaries of State we ever have had. I had breakfast at his house the other day, on Sunday, when he was on one television program and I was on another, and I had an experience, Mr. Chairman, that I have never had before. I have known a lot of Secretaries of State in my time, but I never have had one serve me breakfast before. George Shultz, may I say, is not only a great diplomat, but he is a pretty good waiter as well. [Gen- eral laughter.] I have a high regard and admiration for him and I am happy to be here to participate in this occasion. The CHAIRMAN. You will be interested in knowing, Senator Baker, that Secretary Shultz will be in the most important area of the world tonight, in the heartland of America, Peoria, which is a suburb of Pekin, Ill. Senator BAKER. Which was Everett Dirksen's hometown, a place for which I have a great reverence. The CHAIRMAN. I want to thank you for being here and continu- ing to be a member of this committee. At the beginning of this hearing I did announce that because of your scheduling problems we are going to work on March 27, 28, 29, and 30 to mark up an omnibus foreign assistance package and report it out so that we can take it up as you have scheduled on April 2. We appreciate being scheduled that early. Thank you very much, indeed. We now have 10 members present and therefore have a quorum. Mr. Secretary, if we could suspend this meeting for just a moment, we will have a very brief business meeting. [Whereupon, at 11:34 a.m., the committee recessed, to reconvene immediately in a business meeting.) [Whereupon, at 11:41 a.m., the committee resumed its hearing on foreign assistance.] The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Shultz, thank you for your patience during our brief business meeting. I believe we are in the midst of our questioning and I believe Senator Mathias was next. Senator Mathias. Senator MATHIAS. We are not ready to let him go yet, Mr. Chair- man. Thank you! 92 Mr. Secretary, the President's recommendation for fiscal year 1985 for the foreign assistance program calls for $1.5 billion for multilateral aid and $14.3 billion for bilateral aid. In light of the experience that multilateral aid leverages equal or even greater sums from other sources, wouldn't we be better off to devote a higher proportion of our resources to multilateral assist- ance programs? Secretary SHULTZ. I think it is a good question, and I personally am a supporter of the multilateral lending institutions. It seems to me that you have to keep the following consider- ations in mind. First of all, a substantial fraction of the total is security assist- ance which, of course, has no role in the multilateral lending insti- tutions. Second, in our programing and use of our assistance, we see the necessity for combining economic and security assistance and, for that matter, combining it with our political objectives so that when we have it on a bilateral basis, we are better able to do that. So, I think that leads you to the kind of numbers that we have. Now, finally, the biggest number, of course, is the proposed sub- scription to IDA VII. That is at a level of $750 million per year. It is the judgment of the administration that that is about the right number, and I would say that it is also the judgment of the administration that this is a sum that the Congress will support. There has been a great deal of controversy over the years about administrations going out and making pledges for these various IDA subscriptions and then coming back and arguing with the Con- gress that we have made a commitment on behalf of the United States and now you have to endorse it. President Reagan decided that he would go about it the other way and would consult very closely with people in the Congress and recommend a number that we feel will be supported widely, and recommend a number that we can say in World Bank circles we will deliver on this promise. Now we are not going to make a promise on which we cannot deliver. That happened, unfortunately, with IDA VI. It has been a continuing struggle. I think, though, that to a certain extent it is about what the traffic will bear. Senator MATHIAS. But, of course, if you set a target which is short of the goal and don't reach it, then whatever you put into it is going to go down the drain. We have a worldwide recession. We are fortunate in the United States that we are ahead of the curve. But in many parts of the world the recession is still underway. I think it is a general feeling that this won't change until eco- nomic growth resumes in various parts of the world. IDA VII is pegged at $9 billion. IDA VI orginally was programed for $12 billion. In light of the really serious economic conditions that persist, is $9 billion going to be enough to stimulate a resump- tion of economic growth? Secretary SHULTZ. Let me answer that question but first precede it by a comment. I think that the IDA VI pledge, being an ambitious one, let us say, but one on which the United States did not deliver its pledge, 93 caused a great deal of problems, because it made it impossible for other countries to plan and when you can't plan and when the bank can't plan, it is hard to administer the program in a reasona- ble way I do not think that subscribing to a number on which you do not deliver in the name of ambition is a good approach in this case. Insofar as the contribution to recovery from the recession is con- cerned in that argument, there is merit in that argument. It is cer- tainly true that many of the countries that would be recipients of aid under IDA are, by definition, in very tough straits, and it would be helpful to them. But I don't think that this is even close to being what is the most important thing in countering the world recession. It is, quite to the contrary, the expansion in the United States, and, ironically, while we don't like it because of the financial flows to the United States, the dollar is very highly valued and the result of that is a huge imbalance in our trade. To put it in another way, we are shipping our expansionary ten- dencies out all over the world, to the tune last year of some $70 billion and probably more this year. That is what will contribute something to world recovery far beyond anything in IDA VII. I am not arguing, in other words, that it is not important. But it is dwarfed, absolutely dwarfed, by the impact of the expansion of the U.S. economy, and particularly by-and, as I say, ironically, and it can't last and it shouldn't-the huge trade imbalance that we happen to have this year, in 1983, and probably, undoubtedly, will have in 1984. Senator MATHIAS. I agree with you absolutely about the impact of a failure of the United States to meet commitments. I think that would be disastrous. I hope you are equally right about your outlook on the effect of the U.S. influence on the world economy. Let me shift now to the Middle East. In your prepared testimony you say the we have made significant changes in the military as- sistance programs for Israel and Egypt. To reduce the debt service burden associated with heavy defense requirements, we are recom- mending that all military assistance to these countries be grants and not loans. Now the same thing, of course, is true as far as economic assist- ance is concerned, is that not so, that where we require significant paybacks, it diminishes the value of the assistance? Secretary SHULTZ. Of course, a grant is more valuable than a loan. Senator MATHIAS. Do you have at hand the amount of payback that will be expected from Israel and Egypt during fiscal year 1985, or could you supply it to the committee for the record? Secretary SHULTZ. I am sure I can supply it. We may even have it right here. Senator MATHIAS. Those are very significant figures. Secretary SHULTZ. Yes, sir, for both countries. Senator MATHIAS. For instance, Egypt anticipates $750 million in ESF. Secretary SHULTZ. Excuse me, Senator? 94 1 Senator MATHIAS. Egypt expects about $750 million under this budget in ESF, and that will be reduced by the amount of the pay- backs, which will make it a fraction, really, of that figure. It is an illusion. The same is true for Israel in terms of the impact on those civilian economies. I think it would be valuable to have the payback schedule so that we can look at what is really the net economic assistance that those two countries are going to receive. Secretary SHULTZ. Yes, sir. Of course, when you understand a loan, you undertake to pay back the loan. That means that you have a repayment schedule and the bills come due. So they are coming due in the case of the FMS program. If you look at it currently, it is a very large number. Secretary Schneider informs me that the payback schedule for fiscal year 1985 for Egypt would be $540 million. You can place that up against the ESF number. Senator MATHIAS. That means the economic aid really will be worth only about $200 million to them. Secretary SHULTZ. Well, economic aid is worth its full amount. However, there is a big debt repayment schedule, so they are going to have to cope with that problem, and it does have the effect of reducing it. In the case of Israel, it is about $1 billion. It is this consideration, among others, that led us to feel that the FMS program, which is causing countries to incur huge debts, is moving in a direction in many countries that simply is not sustainable. That is why we have suggested to the Congress that we change it for fiscal year 1985. This result, you see, is the result of what has happened in the past, just rolling around. Senator MATHIAS. I agree completely that some change has to be contemplated here, and I hope we can continue to discuss this as we move through the legislative process. Secretary SHULTZ. We will be glad to discuss it because it is a terrific burden. It has been a matter of great concern to us, not only with these countries but with some others. On the other hand, there are countries that can pay and should pay, and which want to pay, for that matter. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Senator Mathias. We have 24 minutes left and three Senators to go, and Secretary Shultz must leave at 12:15. Senator Helms. Senator HELMs. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will try to be brief. First of all, Mr. Chairman, I have a letter addressed to the Secre- tary from the able Senator from Idaho, Mr. Symms, with some questions which he would like to have you answer. The CHAIRMAN. It will be entered into the record at this time. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [The questions referred to follow:] 1 95 U.S. SENATE, Washington, D.C., February 21, 1984. Hon. GEORGE SHULTZ, Secretary of State, Department of State, Washington, D.C. DEAR GEORGE: Thank you for the State Department response of January 4, 1984, to my letter to the President of November 4, 1983, requesting an answer to some questions on the Kennedy-Khrushchev Agreement of 1962. I appreciate the State Department's careful attention to my speech and questions on the Kennedy-Khru- shchev Agreement, but I would like to have specific answers to each of my original questions. In addition, I request answers to the following further questions: (1) Have 3 more Soviet MIG-27 Flogger nuclear-delivery capable fighter-bombers recently reported in the press been delivered to Cuba? (2) How many Soviet MIG-27 Floggers are presently in Cuba? (3) Are all Soviet Floggers deployed against NATO in the Warsaw Pact considered nuclear delivery capable according to Page 63 of "Soviet Military Power” (Defense Department, March 1983)? (4) Are recent press reports of Soviets MIG-27 Flogger nuclear-delivery "toss- bombing" maneuvers being practiced in Cuba accurate? (5) Does this practice of maneuver, which is only used for nuclear delivery, indi- cate the Soviet intention and capability to use Floggers for nuclear delivery? (6) Are recent press reports of a Soviet nuclear-powered Victor III torpedo subma- rine deployed at Cienfuegos accurate? (7) Are recent press reports that the Victor III class is being equipped with the nuclear warhead tipped SS-N-21 long-range cruise missile accurate? (8) What are the implications of Soviet basing of Victor III class submarines with SS-N-21 cruise missiles in Cuba? I am thanking you in advance for you prompt answer to these original and fur- ther questions, and look forward to your reply. With warmest personal regards, Sincerely, STEVE SYMMS, U.S. Senator. [The answers to the above stated questions are classified and are being retained by Senator Symms. Senator HELMS. Mr. Secretary, let me address myself to an ancil- lary matter that may be important. It is my understanding that when Roberto d'Aubuisson applied for a visa a number of weeks ago to come to the United States, he was refused that visa on the grounds that he was connected to so- called "Right Wing Death Squads." Is that correct? Secretary SHULTZ. He was refused the visa, but we did not make any statements about the reasons for doing that. I might say that I had the opportunity to meet all of the candi- dates for President of El Salvador at a luncheon a week or so ago that President Magana gave. Mr. d'Aubuisson came to that lunch- eon. We had a good conversation, both individually and in the luncheon as a whole. I made the point there and publicly that the United States is not neutral when it comes to the electoral process. We want a fair, full, electoral process. We are neutral as far as the result is concerned, and we will sup- port the choice of the people of El Salvador. Senator HELMS. Will you tell me why you declined the visa to D'Aubuisson? Secretary SHULTZ. I would prefer not to go into that. But I think, on the whole, that it probably was a good decision at the time. Senator HELMS. Are you saying to me that you don't want to do it in open session? 96 Secretary SHULTZ. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. I don't know whether Mr. d'Aubuisson has par- ticipated in anything down there, but I am a bit concerned about the appearance of our participating in the tilting of the election down there. Now either you have evidence on Mr. d'Aubuisson or you don't. Am I correct that all of the other candidates have been granted visas? Secretary SHULTZ. I couldn't tell you whether they literally have been, but I would imagine that they have been. Senator HELMS. I think my information is correct and, as a matter of fact, I believe four of them already have come to this country Mr. Secretary, again I emphasize that I have no knowledge of what Mr. d'Aubuisson has done or has not done. But I have checked around, and my information, which I consider to be reli- able from within your Department and other agencies, is that the only thing presented against Mr: d'Aubuisson are the charges by former Ambassador White, whose credibility I do not subscribe to particularly myself. Now I have repeatedly asked-in a formal sort of way-the State Department and intelligence sources for this information, and I have not been given one bit of evidence about Mr. d'Aubuisson. My question to you is—and maybe you will want to answer this in a closed session-don't you believe that the Congress ought to know the visa to a candidate was denied? Secretary SHULTZ. I personally have a great deal of trouble with denying visas. I am a great believer in an open society and feel that, as far as the United States is concerned, we can take all comers. We do have certain restrictions on people that I accept, but I am always reluctant about turning down people for visas. Senator HELMS. Your having said that emphasizes the point I am trying to make because it is an extraordinary thing. Here you have a candidate for president. Now I am not lobbying for him; I just think that there ought to be fair play in terms of the impact it could have on the political process down there. You said that you talked with D’Aubuisson while you were there. Did you achieve any degree of satisfaction one way or another about the charges that Mr. White has made? Secretary SHULTZ. My conversation with him was in a group at the cocktail session, prior to the luncheon. He sat across the table from me at luncheon and there was no opportunity to get into that discussion Senator HELMS. I see. Secretary SHULTZ. The charges of Mr. White have been gone into. The Department has responded on that subject, and that material is available to you. I don't really want to get into a discussion of it for the very reason that you have propounded here, and I went out of my way in El Salvador to make the statement which I think we must be- lieve if we believe in the electoral process, that you abide by the results of that process, assuming that it is a fair process. Senator HELMS. Well, let me try another way, then. 97 You said that you did not like the business of denying visas-per- sonally. That is your personal position, you said, across the board. Secretary Shultz. Yes, but I have a problem because I am Secre- tary of State and one of the things I am supposed to do is to deny visas to people. Senator HELMS. So it was not your recommendation? Secretary SHULTZ. No, sir. I take responsibility for it. Senator HELMS. I understand that. I am trying to find out where the recommendation came from. Secretary SHULTZ. Well, you have to start with me. Senator HELMS. It started with you? Secretary SHULTZ. It didn't start with me, but it came to me. Senator HELMS. Now I understand the principle, Mr. Secretary, of “the buck stops here.” It stops here in my office, as well. But there is a contradiction in what you are saying. You said on the one hand that you did not like the business of denying visas. On the other hand you are saying that you take the responsibility for it. Somewhere in between is what I want to find out. Mr. Chairman, I respectfully request that a closed meeting of this committee be held so that I, for one, can understand why we are singling out one candidate against whom there is no credible evidence that I know about or have been able to learn about. If he is guilty, then fine. Secretary SHULTZ. I would appreciate the opportunity, Mr. Chair- man, to visit with you about it and I will tell you everything I know about it. Senator HELMS. Very well. The CHAIRMAN. Would you want to do that in closed session? Secretary Shultz. I would just as soon come and call on the Sen- ator and give him the information. You don't have to hold a hear- ing about it. Senator HELMS. That would be fine. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you. Senator Kassebaum. Senator KASSEBAUM. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Secretary, I think we would all agree with the basic thrust of policy which you outlined so very well this morning. I heard you say in the Budget Committee yesterday, as well as today, that we should not be pennywise and pound foolish. I certainly would agree with that. Many times I think we here may tend to be a bit penny- wise and pound foolish. We also have a responsibility to be poundwise, and I would point out to you that on equal terms, counting FMS, "on-budget" as well as "off,” the foreign aid budget has increased by 25 percent from 1981 through 1985. I would grant you that, as a matter of fact, we have not kept up with the administration's requests. But we have made some dra- matic increases. I think our responsibility here is to make sure we spend well. I would like to start with Africa for a moment. I know that Mr. McPherson has spent a great deal of time and emphasis on our Af- 98 rican aid. I am proud of the meager amounts that we get for Africa because I think they have been used relatively well. But I would say two things. I think we need the emergency sup- plemental moneys for food immediately if it is to do any good. I think we have to make sure that transportation and storage are handled adequately as should be coordination with other donor countries. Maybe Senator Boschwitz will go into that more. Second, on the Economic Policy Initiative (EPI), which is a new program funded in the 1985 budget for $75 million, this will be under AID. I think at the risk of not wanting to throw out the baby with the bath water, we do have to ask some critical questions about our aid programs, again, to make sure that the money is being wisely spent. I particularly like your emphasis that we will be working with other donor nations. But what guidelines have been drawn up for the EPI program? You mentioned that we want to make sure that we are working with growth-oriented economic policies. Yet, one of the saddest things occurring there, as you mentioned, is per capita agricultural production is declining. This is a continent that should have great agricultural wealth. Of course, the people have faced great drought conditions. I have been critical of some of our AID emphasis which, in the past, have gone to big projects and have really not worked. For instance, are we going to maintain that these countries have to adhere to IMF guidelines? Have we developed any guidelines? Secretary SHULTZ. Let me make a comment and then I will ask Director McPherson to make a comment. First, on the overall budget question, in our calculation, the fiscal year 1985 request is about 10 percent above the CR level, and it is 2.2 percent above the fiscal year 1984 level, including supple- mental requests. So it is not quite as extravagant as it may look just in the figures, as such. You mentioned the Africa initiative. That is one reason. The movement of funds from "off-budget" to "on-budget" is a reason. The big push on Central America is a third reason that makes these numbers go up. Senator KASSEBAUM. Well, I was counting the "off" and "on" budget on equal terms. Secretary SHULTZ. Insofar as the aid to Africa is concerned, obvi- ously what we want is for countries to adopt economic programs that we think will give them productivity. That is what they are lacking. In agriculture, there are many things, but certainly a prime one is to allow a farmer to get a price for his product that is larger than the cost of producing it. Senator KASSEBAUM. Our own farmers would wish that, too, Mr. Secretary. Secretary SHULTZ. Right. It is a very simple thing. Chuck Percy used to teach that at the University of Chicago in economics. It is the first principle for getting production. But yet, the dynamics of many countries is they feel they just must hold those prices of food way down. What they do, ironically, is reduce the supplies. And since these economies are very heavily agricultural economies and their poor are in agriculture, the great 99 irony is that in the interest of the poor you hold down the prices and the people that you thereby penalize are the poor. It is a very bad set of policies. Senator KASSEBAUM. I agree. But I wondered what specifically we were going to do to try to change that tilt. Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, we have a number of ideas that need to go into the determinations as to what countries get money. We are looking particularly at prices paid to farmers. We are looking at the marketing boards which so often monopolize and tend to be a blanket, on the whole, structure. We expect to have money to go to approximately five countries, but no more than ten-closer to five-a year. We have not tried to quantify or set up exact guidelines because I think it varies from country to country and situation to situation. But clearly factors, such as IMF agreements, really sizable move- ments on prices paid to farmers, moving toward market levels, et cetera, are the kinds we would have in mind. Now we also expect that these moneys, before disbursements would be made, that there would be a consultation process with the pertinent committees and that you simply would not be writing us a blank check. There really is a need there. We think the guide- lines set ahead would be too inhibiting, but at the same time, clear- ly, Congress needs to have some ongoing involvement and role here. I can perhaps make my point by indicating countries that we might give money to today if this fund were in existence. Madagas- car has made some very sizable economic reforms. We have, really, almost no program there. But yet, frankly, it is an interesting place and is taking the kind of steps that we need to see. Senator KASSEBAUM. And to think that they are doing it on their own, without us. Mr. McPHERSON. Yes; they are doing it on their own. That is the best way. The real part of this economic reform is it is not because of us that they should be doing it. It is because of and for their own people, their own progress. Senator KASSEBAUM. I would like now to ask about the moneys for El Salvador and Central America. We have given approximately $1 billion to El Salvador since 1980 both in economic aid and military assistance. My question to Dr. Kissinger when he was testifying was, Have we analyzed where that money has really gone and why it hasn't seemingly been more effective? I have grave concerns about contributing $178 million, for in- stance, in military assistance between now and September to El Salvador if, indeed, we are really not sure that it can be effectively used I think if we are going to be successful there, we are going to have to analyze better the programs that have already used the money, why these Salvadoran Armed Forces have seemingly not been able to prove that they are better able to have taken advan- tage of the work that we have done with them. 100 It is not true, Mr. Secretary, that a large number of arms that the Salvadoran guerrillas are using are from our own aid to the government's forces? Secretary SHULTZ. In broad terms, I think the answer to the question is that the Government of El Salvador has faced a guerril- la activity that has been well supplied from outside, and has man- aged to cause a very large amount of destruction to the basic infra- structure of the country, and that has brought its gross national product way down, and has posed a very big challenge to its mili- tary capability. Now, on the economic side, we have sought to just help in a direct way and in a balance of payments way so that their economy can keep going, and in the President's recommendations, in which he is basically accepting the bipartisan commission and the Kissin- ger commission's report, really, what you are talking about is building that economy back up to where it was at the time that all of this started. Now, insofar as the military is concerned, I think that whatever criticisms may be made of their military, and they have rear- ranged, and certainly there are lots of things that you can say about that, but we have managed to so structure the flow of securi- ty assistance to them as to maximize the uncertainty in their minds about what they can plan on. It is very difficult to operate any kind of organization, let alone a military organization, facing the uncertainties of all that, when you do not know when your ammunition is going to run out or your supply lines are going to run out. That is very much the case right now, as the levels provided have contingencies on them that are not going to be possible for fulfillment until May at the earli- est, mean that the level of resources being provided is substantially less, substantially less than the year before. Now, how are you going to fight a war under those circum- stances? That is their problem. Senator KASSEBAUM. I have run out of time, and I have some- thing else, if I might. Would you yield a minute to me, Rudy? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Sure. Senator KASSEBAUM. I guess I should ask Senator Dodd if he would yield a minute of his time. I agree with what you are saying. I am just hoping that if, indeed, we provide additional military as- sistance, it is not going to end up in the hands of the guerrillas. We continually see stories that have seemingly sound verification of this fact. Did I understand you to say regarding conditionality, that per- haps a change in approach could be done, and you might look at it a bit differently? Now, as an original coauthor of the certification process, I have come to believe that it is not working successfully. Are you open to looking at some different changes and ways that we might deal with that? Secretary SHULTZ. We want to work out something that is going to be satisfactory all along, and we think that just following the same approach continuously is not necessarily the best way to go about it. It may be that we got some mileage out of the certifica- tion process. We think at this point that it may be better to go 101 1 about it a different way, and there is a certain amount of evidence in the last couple of months with the impact that the Vice Presi- dent in particular made there that perhaps it is more effective to proceed with reports and with an effort, but without these direct datelines that come into play. But there is no argument whatever about the importance of the subject. I do not think anybody has any doubt about that. Senator KASSEBAUM. Well, I would agree with you, and would suggest that maybe we might consider the possibility of Congress doing the certification. The President could send forward his report, and then we would have to vote up or down on the certifica- tion. Secretary SHULTZ. Oh, my. Senator KASSEBAUM. I knew that would cause you heartburn. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. Secretary SHULTZ. Heartburn. It causes me mindburn as well. [General laughter.] Senator KASSEBAUM. But I think it is worthy of looking at differ- ent approaches. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Senator Kassebaum. Secretary Shultz, I had said that you would be able to leave at 12:15 to meet with the President at 12:30. I will just leave it to you. We have two Senators who have not asked questions yet. Secretary SHULTZ. I will try to take their questions. I will try to be brief, and will let people know there that I will be a little bit delayed. The CHAIRMAN. Fine. Thank you very much. Senator Boschwitz. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Secretary, is Senator Dodd before me? Senator DODD. That is all right, Rudy, go ahead. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Thank you. Mr. Secretary, I want to ask you three quick questions, one about the PLO and our apparent contacts with them, a summary on Syria, then the moving of the Embassy to Jerusalem. I will not be here at tomorrow's hearing on the subject. I listened to my colleagues talk about the Caribbean and Central America, I would hope that we would approach that in a more bi- partisan spirit. The next question of Senator Dodd is going to be one of the key factors in that, both he and his very able staff are important in that regard. I hope I will play a role in that as well, because I think that the chances of succeeding there will be much heightened if we approach it on a bipartisan basis. The problems in Lebanon certainly were exacerbated through the lack of bipartisanship here on the committee and here on the Hill, and I know there is enough blame in that regard to go around for everybody. The problem, however, is basically with the Syrians, their intimidating tactics and with their desire for hegemony in the region. I think very frankly, Mr. Secretary, we may be some- what clumsy in our withdrawal. I wonder if you would comment briefly on what you see as the next steps there, and what is our role in those next steps. Secretary SHULTZ. Are you speaking about Lebanon? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Yes. 102 Secretary SHULTZ. First of all, we will carry out the redeploy- ment that the President has called for, and in the meantime we will continue our efforts to urge a broader based government, to urge a cease-fire, and to bring about the evacuation of foreign forces from Lebanon. It seems like a long way away. However, we will continue to work at it, and to exert as much diplomatic skill as we possibly can in doing so. Senator Boschwitz. The meetings with the PLO, Mr. Secretary, certainly were surprising to me, especially the large number of them. I would like to ask if they are going on today, and if you feel they are consistent with our relationship with Israel. Do you be- lieve that negotiations, even if desirable, with the PLO, would be productive when they would not accept and would not bargain during a period of relative strength from the standpoint of their or- ganization. Is there a purpose to dealing with them now in any event, now that they are in a much weakened position? Are those contacts continuing today? Are they consistent with the relation- ship with Israel? What is your judgment and opinion with respect to that? Secretary SHULTZ. Well, there is nothing, as has been described in the papers, going on today. As I have looked at the record of those meetings, what was talked about in private was identical with what was talked about in public, and if it proved anything, it was that the constant refrain we hear that if only we would sit down with the PLO and talk with them, everything would start falling into place is simply not the case. Of course, there are numerous discussions. That is, practically every Arab leader that comes to the United States or that you run into has a message and wants to carry a message, and so on, and the volunteers not only in this field but in every field of diplomacy, we have thousands of volunteers who will conduct things, so the problem is not with the communications system. There is lots of communication. The problem is in the content, and I feel, before any discussions with the PLO should take place, that content should change as we have specified. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Were the meetings of the type that took place consistent with our expressed understanding with Israel? Secretary SHULTZ. As I understand, the understandings that we had with Israel about that, this was not inconsistent with it, al- though no doubt it is surprising to everybody. I think, however, that the episode is one that perhaps everyone can learn a little bit from in terms of what was accomplished and what was not accom- plished. Senator BOSCHWITZ. The lack of accomplishment? Secretary SHULTZ. The lack of accomplishment. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Secretary, I believe tomorrow we will have hearings on the Jerusalem issue and I do not know if you are going to be here for them or not. Secretary SHULTZ. I spend all my time in hearings. If I am not in this committee, I am in some other committee. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Perhaps in the Budget Committee. But I knew I would see you here today. I would like to ask you about the proposal to move our Embassy to Jerusalem. 103 Secretary SHULTZ. I believe Ambassador Eagleburger will be tes- tifying about that. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Do we have relations with any country other than the State of Israel where that country has stated that its cap- ital is this city and where we say, no, no, we cannot have our Em- bassy there, but it must be in another city. Is there any other ex- ample of that in the world? Secretary SHULTZ. I do not believe there is. On the other hand, this is a special case, and you are very familiar with it, I know. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I am very familiar with it, but it seems to me that one of the essential acts of sovereignty is not only protect- ing one's own borders, but also choosing the site of a capital city. It is not quite clear to me why we should not recognize the choice that the Israelis have made-that this is their capital city, instead of making a different choice for them, in effect. What is the rationale? And are we going to continue to pursue that rationale? Or will we recognize that the Israelis have a right to make such a choice? Secretary SHULTZ. I think the rationale is that Jerusalem is a city that is occupied by Israel as a result of the war way back in 1967, and the U.S. position historically has been right from the outset that the status of those territories should be determined by negotiation, and therefore until there is a negotiation that settles the matter, we prefer to have our Embassy where it is in Tel Aviv. I might say that is the choice of most other countries as well. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I understand that. On the other hand, the Is- raelis might be very willing to negotiate, but they have no negoti- ating partner. Are they therefore being held hostage, or are those negotiations being perhaps even prevented by our saying that we are waiting for the negotiations to occur, until after they occur? What is the purpose of negotiating in that case? Secretary SHULTZ. There are all sorts of reasons why we do not have the kind of negotiations going on that we would like to see going on. I have become all too familiar with those reasons. They fundamentally have to do with the opposition of Syria to what we think of as the peace process, and their ability to influence others, and at the same time we do have one country that has negotiated a peace treaty with Israel, Egypt. We have another that negotiated an agreement, not a peace treaty, with Israel; namely, Lebanon. And I believe that is an agreement that we should stand by. If the parties wish to do some- thing different with it, that is their business, but as far as we are concerned, it is a worthy agreement, and we would like to see King Hussein enter the peace process, and we, of course, have been struggling hard to bring that about. But Jerusalem, as we all know, is one of the most important and most sensitive issues in any such negotiation. I might say that we hold that there should be a unified Jerusalem, not a divided Jeru- salem. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Secretary, I know that you have time constraints, and so I would yield to Senator Dodd. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. I understand that Secretary Schneider and Mr. McPherson will be able to stay on, Senator Dodd. 104 1 Senator Dodd. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I apologize for running late, but I assume most of my questions have already been covered in earlier questioning. However, let me run over a couple in par- ticular. One has to do with the statistics we have been reading regarding reenlistment rates in El Salvador's army. The statistics, at least as they have been reported, are fairly low for reenlistment-particu- larly among the troops that we have trained. They may be lower. I do not know what has been happening. But apparently, of the sol- diers we trained in 1981, only 15 percent remain today. And of those trained in 1982, only 50 percent are still serving. Of the ones we trained in 1983, the numbers are very unclear-in the neighbor- hood of 10 to 15 percent are no longer serving. Are those numbers accurate? I read them over and over again, but I would rather hear from a government source whether they are correct or not. Secretary SHULTZ. I would like to give you an answer for the record. I do not have information on that right in my head. Obvi- ously, reenlistment rates reflect a lot of things, including the rela- tive rates of pay that people can get, and so on, but let me give you an answer for the record if I may. [The information referred to follows:) DOD notes that the figures cited for 1981 are roughly accurate. But, to insure ac- curacy in the response, DOD is carefully researching the statistics for all 3 years. We will provide a detailed answer as soon as it is available. Senator Dodd. There was also a report in the press a couple of weeks ago that "Hundreds”-and I am quoting.--"Hundreds of young people have been pressed into the Salvadoran army this month after being stopped by military patrols in the northeastern part of the country.” Is that a fact? Do you know? Secretary SHULTZ. I could not hear you. Senator Dodd. I am sorry. I have a terrible cold. This is the story, the report: Patrols are literally going out and picking up younger people, virtually pressing them into military service. There were several press accounts of that going on in the north- eastern part of the country. I wonder if that was also accurate. Secretary SHULTZ. Not that I know of, but again I will check that out carefully, and will give you a considered answer. [The information referred to follows:) FORCED RECRUITMENT There have been a number of reports in the Salvadoran and international press that the Salvadoran army and guerrilla groups are forcibly recruiting Salvadoran youths. As some of the press accounts have noted, the new constitution specifies that all young men in El Salvador are subject to military service. In the absence of specific legislation governing military conscription, it is our understanding that exemptions are to be granted to those who are only sons, are the sole means of support for their families, or are attending school. In the case of Army recruitment, local authorities may have been overzealous in attempting to reach recruitment targets ahead of schedule. The Salvadoran Government and military have themselves expressed concern over such actions and are seeking to improve the existing decentralized recruitment procedures that apparently have allowed abuses to take place. I cannot address what plans the guerrillas may have with regard to continued forced recruitment. I do not have any specific information regarding the number of men who may have been improperly recruited. 105 Senator DODD. Senator Moynihan, the ranking minority member on the Intelligence Committee, was quoted the other day as saying that a minimum, 30 percent of American military aid has landed in hands of the insurgents. Is that correct? Secretary SHULTZ. I think that is way high, from all that I have seen. Senator Dodd. Would you also give us your most up-to-date infor- mation on that? Secretary SHULTZ. I will dig into that. [The information referred to follows: Our best estimate is that this is an inflated figure. We will be pleased to develop fuller, classified data and make it available as soon as ready. Senator Dodd. My last question for you has to do with the Tyler report on the death of the churchwomen. Are you familiar with the Tyler report? Secretary SHULTZ. Yes. Senator DODD. It was the investigation, as you know, of the 1980 slaying of four American churchwomen. The report indicates, al- luding to press accounts, that National Guard authorities endeav- ored to cover up the murders, and that the present Minister of De- fense, General Casanova, who was then the commander of the Na- tional Guard, was aware of or-at least for a time-acquiesced in the coverup Now, Judge Tyler said he sees no reason why that report cannot be made public, but there has been a decision, I gather, to classify this report. In fact there is one press account that one member of each of the churchwomen's families would be allowed to see the report, provided they sign a document saying they would not dis- cuss it with any other members of that particular family. Can you enlighten us as to what is going on with this, and why the report should be classified? Secretary SHULTZ. Yes, I can. I know. Judge Tyler feels that it could be released, and there are many attorneys who feel that way, but there are other attorneys in El Salvador and elsewhere who feel that if the report were released before the trial, it would have a prejudicial effect, and might be a basis on which the defense could get the trial set aside. Now, all I can say as a nonlawyer is that I observe that lawyers have a divided opinion on the subject. It has taken so long, and it has been so difficult to get that case to its present state that I per- sonally see no advantage whatever in releasing the report and taking that chance. So it was my decision to say, let us keep it the way it is. Now, the families and attorneys wish to have access to the report, and that presents problems of security clearances which we are trying to solve. We are working at it so that they might have access to the information. But there is a tremendous tangle of Gov- ernment regulations involved here, and we are trying to find our way through that thicket in a way that gives people who have a special concern access to the information. But I am responsible for the decision ultimately on classification, and the reason is that I just do not see any reason to take one ! 34-045 0-84-48 106 more chance, to give one more device to those who have been very successful in prolonging this process. Senator Dodd. Could you give us some assurance that at the con- clusion of the trial, the report would be released? Secretary SHULTZ. Yes, sir. Senator DODD. Fine. Mr. Chairman, I know the Secretary has been here for a long time. Again my apologies to you, Mr. Secretary, for arriving late this morning. I do appreciate your willingness to provide us with some responses to the questions on reenlistment. That will be help- ful. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Senator Dodd. Senator Hawkins. Senator HAWKINS. Mr. Secretary, no threat strikes America more savagely and frequently than that of elicit drugs. Its deadly impact is felt in every corner of our neighborhood, whether it is de- fense, violent crime, education, et cetera. It is my belief that we should tie foreign aid to the countries of origin who are producing the elicit drugs—90 percent of all elicit drugs coming into the United States come from foreign countries. In that belief, the Senate passed, as you know, 96 to zero my amendment which linked foreign aid to the eradication of elicit drugs at their source. The President signed that bill November 22, 1983, and as I am looking at this sheet given out dated February 9, 1984, I am struck by the different countries, such as Jamaica. Jamaica produces 10 percent of the marihuana smuggled into the United States, and during the past year increased their smuggling from 2,000 tons to 2,460 tons. Belize is listed on here as a recipient for aid. It is a major drug transshipment and money laundering center, and during the past year their marihuana production increased 300 percent. Colombia, as we all know, is a sore spot on the total horizon. The south Florida task force in south Florida alone last year interdicted $12 billion of Colombian cocaine, marihuana, and quaaludes. Now, my question to you is-We all know that Peru and Bolivia together produce over 90 percent of all the elicit cocaine smuggled into the United States, and we all know that their production in- creased last year even with the threat of the linkage of eradication with the amount of their foreign aid. What have any of these coun- tries done to merit increased aid in light of the Hawkins amend- ment? Secertary SCHULTZ. First of all, I agree with you on the severity of the problem. Second, I agree with you that it is very important for us to be able to work with these countries to get as best we can the production and distribution process under control and eliminat- ed insofar as we possibly can. We do have a very active program. I cannot tell you country by country off the top of my head, but I will be glad to supply that information, what our programs are in each one of these countries and others around the world. There are many others. The information referred to follows:) 107 DRUG ERADICATION Peru began eradicating coca in April 1983, under an agreement through which the Department supplies narcotics control assistance and AID supplies development assistance. While the eradication component of this program was delayed by the Pe- ruvians, they have changed project management and initiated the several steps re- quired under our agreement. The projection is that 4,000 hectares will be eradicated in 1984 and that the Upper Huallaga Valley coca cultivation will be eliminated by 1987. Meanwhile, the Guardia Civil has, despite terrorists attacks on its police sta- tions, continued to improve its interdiction and enforcement efforts. There are active discussions on the planning of additional projects in other growing areas of Peru, including projects to be funded by the United Nations. Program agreements were signed with Bolivia in August, 1983, with the objective of eliminating illicit coca cultivation in that country by 1987. The first task under these agreements is to assist the Bolivians in establishing law and order in the Cha- pare growing region, an absolutely essential prerequisite to achieving control of nar- cotics production. Troops have been recruited, trained and outfitted now for this mission. Progress in varying dimensions was made in numerous countries in 1983, as noted in the International Narcotics Control Strategy Report which the Department has just submitted to Congress. The Committee will have an opportunity to explore these and related issues in more detail on March 21 when the Committee conducts its hearing on international narcotics control. We will continue to utilize the aggregate of our economic and political influence on drug source countries to achieve progress in eliminating drug production and ex- ports. However, it would not seem advisable to adopt, as a basic foreign policy, the subordination of all U.S. national interests to one objective. Secretary SHULTZ. The problem is compounded by the fact that the drug trade is so profitable that it produces in effect often a gov- ernment within a government that has a tremendous amount of money to spend, has no scruples about murder, kidnapping, or any other device of intimidation, and so it is not the easiest thing in the world for a government to deal with. So we want to work energetically and forcefully and do every- thing we can. I think it has become more and more apparent to our governments that this situation is as bad for them as it is for us, because it produces within their own country something that goes totally out of their control. Now, having said all of that, I believe that the heart of the prob- lem is in the consumption of drugs, and if you have something that is in very high demand, you are going to have one awfully hard time getting control of the supply when it is not difficult to produce these drugs. It can be done all over the world. It is rela- tively easy. So, working on the problem of consumers of drugs here in this country, and I know we work very hard on it, is really at the heart of the issue, but I do not say that to in any way diminish the im- portance of the efforts that we must make internationally to try to bring the production and distribution process under better control. Senator HAWKINS. Well, there are countries that have cooperated with us. Turkey is a great example, and they have stayed drug free since President Nixon put the heat on them. In my mind, they de- serve a lot of credit. Secretary SHULTZ. I think most of the countries are quite cooper- ative. Senator HAWKINS. The statistics prove otherwise. I hope that you do not rely on this report called International Narcotics Control Strategy Report to this Committee on Foreign Relations, prepared by the Bureau of International Narcotics Management, dated Feb- 108 1 ruary 1, 1984, because they dismiss it with one page for all of Latin America, and I can prove to you that those are Alice in Wonder- land numbers. In your experience, have we ever used foreign aid in trying to control the illicit drugs in a foreign country? Secretary SHULTZ. We discuss it regularly. Maybe Mr. McPher- son can add something more specific. Senator HAWKINS. Have we actually ever executed that? Has any assistance ever been withheld? Mr. MCPHERSON. Yes, in Bolivia. In the case of Bolivia. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Hawkins, would it be possible, so long as Peter McPherson will stay over, to defer your question and to take only those questions that require Secretary Shultz' presence? Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. Maybe Mr. McPherson will supply the answer also then. Secretary SHULTZ. He is a good man, and he has lots of answers. Senator HAWKINS. I have some other questions. I know Senator Boschwitz and I are interested in the question of Stinger sales, and Senator Percy, perhaps we can submit questions to the Secretary in writing. Secretary SHULTZ. I would be glad to have them. Senator BOSCHWITZ. We would like to ask the Secretary about the Stinger sales to Jordan and possibly to other countries, but we will submit those in writing. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Pressler. Senator PRESSLER. Thank you. Mr. Secretary, when I was home during the recess, I met with a large group of church-related people who had been to Nicaragua, some very sincere people. I do not know if they got bad informa- tion, but there are large numbers of these people traveling down there for 2 weeks. Maybe the church pays their way. I do not know how they get there exactly. Maybe they pay their own way. But they argued to me, and I was pretty much supporting the administration's policy, that we are driving Nicaragua further into the arms of the Soviets, and that we are really on the wrong side there. They seemed like they were solid, middle-class people who had gone down there. Are these people being brainwashed on these trips? I mean, if you just go for 2 weeks, why, you can reach any conclusion. But I am not in any way trying to put you on the spot. I am just telling you there were some ministers in the group, some of them were businessmen, some of them were former Peace Corps people. They seemed like solid, middle-class people who had gotten a com- pletely opposite point of view. I was just wondering if they are on the wrong track, or if Nicaragua is running tours that mislead people, or what is happening. Secretary SHULTZ. Of course, I cannot speak for those people and what they did or saw, and so on. But as a general proposition, I think you will find that Nicaragua's neighbors regard Nicaragua as a threat to their security without exception. Now, it is also impres- sive that the members of the bipartisan Kissinger Commission came to that same conclusion. They investigated it rather thor- oughly. 109 So, from the standpoint of the treatment of the church, since you mentioned churchmen, I think that the treatment has been very poor, so the information that I have and the evidence that I have had suggests that Nicaragua is very much on the wrong track from our standpoint. Insofar as the business of us driving them into the hands of the Soviets is concerned, as you know, we supported the Sandinista revolution, and we supported the OAS resolution in 1979, I believe it was, and what we find is that the Sandinista government has be- trayed their own revolution, that the Contras basically have been produced as a result of that fact, and that they are basically a threat to the region. Senator PRESSLER. I have some additional questions on Central America, but I do have one other subject that I will ask you about now, and if you have covered it already, please cut me off. I know that Iran's and Syria's recent activities have increased the concern about state-supported terrorism, and around the Capitol we are very well aware of that. Maybe you cannot say this in an open session, but is there evi- dence that some of these countries are engaging in, supporting, or encouraging terrorism in our country? Are there any new adminis- tration legislative proposals regarding this whole subject? Secretary SHULTZ. I believe the President will be submitting, as he said in the state of the Union message, some additional legisla- tion basically being managed by the Justice Department. We do have some money in our budget, a small amount, for working with other countries on antiterrorism matters. Of course, in the Department and around our Government build- ings, both here and abroad, we are examining every measure we can take to look to their security, and it is not always the easiest thing in the world to do, and of course Government buildings are there to be used. They are not to be sealed off. So you have always that compromise to make. Beyond that, I think there is a great deal of evidence that there really is such a thing as state-supported terrorism. It is like a weapon. It is not like a rifle or a machine gun, but something a lot more lethal than that. And it is used by countries, and we know about training activities and things of that kind. So, it is a phenomenon that is very important. I said earlier that I think this is a subject we are going to wind up discussing in this committee quite a great deal as time goes on. Senator PRESSLER. I suppose a country such as ours is in a diffi- cult position to retaliate, or does not want to retaliate because of our traditions. Maybe we will have to give the FBI and CIA more authority to look into some of these groups. Is the terrorism that we are apparently protecting ourselves from around this building and in the Capitol area largely inspired by foreign sources? Secretary SHULTZ. I would not try to make any such definitive statement as that. There are all kinds of groups that produce a ter- rorist act. But I understood your earlier question to be, is there evi- dence that there is such a thing as state-supported terrorism. The answer to that question is yes. Senator PRESSLER. That is all the questions I have. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Senator Pressler. 110 Mr. Secretary, thank you. You are excused. If you would care to, please come and exit through the back door here. It is less crowded. Senator Pell, you will be recognized first. Senator Hawkins, do you have some questions for the other two witnesses? Senator HAWKINS. I will submit my question to Mr. McPherson at our followup hearing next week. Pause. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Pressler, do you have any further ques- tions? Senator PRESSLER. No, I do not. The CHAIRMAN. Very well. Since there are no further questions, we will adjourn this meeting. [Additional questions and answers follow:] STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATORS BOSCHWITZ AND HAWKINS Question 1. According to press reports, the Administration proposes to go ahead with the sale of a large number of Stinger anti-aircraft missiles to Jordan. Do you believe King Hussein, who was in Washington earlier this month, is likely to enter the peace process soon? Answer. Jordan, under King Hussein's leadership, has sought a path toward mod- eration and conciliation. The timing of Jordanian entry into the peace process will be affected by the King's perception that he will be able to count on the necessary support, particularly from the moderate Arab states and the United States, to counter opposition from Syria and other Arab rejectionists. We support his efforts to find a way to begin negotiations with Israel. Question 2. Some Administration officials contend that Jordan needs Stingers to protect against possible attack from Syria if it enters the peace process. How many years will it take before the Stingers are delivered? Answer. As now written, the delivery of grip-stocks and first shipment of missiles is scheduled for 29 months from the time the LOA is signed. However, excess manu- facturing capacity exists. If the Syrian threat should intensify to the point where Jordan would require Stingers more rapidly, arrangements could be made to deliver the weapons in 6 months or perhaps less. In addition, 600 Stinger systems are sched- uled to be delivered to the Special Defense Acquisition Fund (SDAF) supply during the last quarter of 1985. Any time after that, an emergency delivery of Stingers to Jordan could be made from the SDAF. Question 3. Does the Administration also propose to sell the Stingers to Saudi Arabia? Is Iran considered the main potential threat? Is it true, as reported in the press, that Iran has only a relative handful of jet fighters-perhaps 40 still operating? Answer. Yes, the Administration intends to sell Stinger missiles to Saudi Arabia. Iran is in fact the main potential threat at this time, although threats have come from Iran and South Yemen in the past. However, the Iranians possess more than a handful of high performance aircraft, perhaps as many as 85. The capability of these aircraft, in combination with the Iranian naval and commando threat, does pose a serious danger to Saudi Arabia, especially in view of the recent escalation of fighting in the strategic Gulf area. Quite recently, in fact, we have received informa- tion that the Iranians were planning to use light aircraft filled with explosives as suicide bombers against Gulf shipping and Gulf state facilities. The provision of Stinger to Saudi Arabia will serve to deter any further expansion of the scope of the war and represents an excellent counter-weapon to suicide bombers. Question 4. If Jordan and Saudi Arabia are so vulnerable to external attacks from radical regimes, aren't they also vulnerable to pressures to use their weapons, or make them available to others, in the event of a wider Arab-Israeli war? Answer. We do not agree that vulnerability to attacks from the outside by radical regimes implies a similar vulnerability to internal radical pressure. Since 1967 Jordan has not succumbed to radical pressure to use its weapons, or make them available to others for use against Israel. In 1970, Jordan prevailed against a severe radical threat. Jordan has also scrupulously maintained the security of its borders with Israel. 111 The external danger posed by Syria, however, is troubling. Syria has a 9–1 mili- tary superiority over Jordan and has publicly stated that it would not permit “an- other Sadat” on its southern border. In 1980, Syria massed troops on Jordan's border to intimidate the GOJ. Thus, Jordan requires our military assistance so as to be able to approach the peace process, not enter a new war. Saudi Arabia has also withstood internal radical pressures, but like Jordan, faces an external threat—Iran. Saudi Arabia has had Redeye in its inventory for several years and has always maintained proper security of the weapons. The Historical record of the past 16 years does not, therefore, support the assertion that either Saudi Arabia or Jordan can be pressured into using their weapons aggressively or letting their weapons be used by others against Israel. Question 5. What kind of meaningful assurances would we have that the weapons would not be used in this manner or fall into terrorists' hands if the existing gov- ernments are overthrown or infiltrated? Answer. The record of Jordan and Saudi Arabia on keeping sensitive equipment, such as Redeye missiles, secure and out of the hands of terrorists has been spotless. Nonetheless, Jordan and Saudi Arabia (among other countries) have agreed to ex- traordinary safeguards for the use and storage of Stingers in their possession. For example, the safeguards now applied to Redeye, such as special requirements re- garding construction facilities, guards, lighting and fencing, will also be applied to Stinger. In addition, new safeguards have been developed for the Middle East region and elsewhere to make theft by terrorists even more difficult. Chief among these are separate storage of key components and random U.S. access to inventory the missiles. Question 6. We also read in the press that the Administration is reviving its ef- forts to win funding for the so-called Jordanian Rapid Deployment Force. Does this, in essence, involve giving military equipment to another country for possible use in a third country? If so, does it not have foreign policy implications? In that case, why is the Administration apparently not willing to discuss it openly with the Foreign Relations Committee? Answer. (Deleted.] [Whereupon, at 12:45 p.m., the committee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (IDA VII REPLENISHMENT) WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 29, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY OT THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:02 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Charles McC. Ma- thias (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senators Mathias, Helms, and Biden. Senator MATHIAS. The subcommittee will come to order. The Subcommittee on International Economic Policy has been exploring the theme of the stresses and strains of the international financial system. In pursuit of that effort we held a number of hearings during 1983. It was certainly my personal conclusion—and I believe shared by other members of the subcommittee that these hearings rein- forced the case for congressional approval of the International Monetary Fund [IMF] quota increase legislation, and I believe con- tributed to a broader understanding throughout the Congress of the need for additional fund resources and contributed to the final passage of the legislation. Today, we are looking at another aspect of the same general theme. We are considering another multilateral institution which is making a contribution to global economic recovery—the Interna- tional Development Association (IDA). Clearly the restoration of growth in the OECD [Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development] countries and in the United States in particular remains a prerequisite if we are to have a global recovery. Although our economy is growing we have omnious budget deficits. Moreover the global economy is closely interrelated, so that recovery here may not be sustainable unless it encompasses the developing as well as the developed world. The world recession hit the developing countries with particular force. Debt payments rose rapidly, commodity prices plunged down- ward and hardest hit were those who were least able to cope. The International Development Association has played and con- tinues to play a vital role in assisting the world's poorest nations. It provided 35 percent of all multilateral assistance dispersed in 1981, and its contributions to development have been significant. Since it was founded in 1960, 27 countries have graduated from (113) 114 IDA. The United States has a very proud record of support for IDA's effort. So at the outset I would state that I regret the position the United States has taken in the seventh replenishment negotia- tions—that IDA VII should be 25 percent lower than IDA VI, that it should be $9 billion instead of $12 billion. Now of course the rationale for this position was that Congress would not accept a higher U.S. participation. I am not sure just how this estimate of congressional sentiment was reached. Last year I went on record with a number of other Members of the Senate in calling for a higher figure. I think we all know as a matter of experience that any form of foreign assistance is a function not only of congressional preference but of the degree of commitment and support that the executive branch is prepared to give the request that it submits for both au- thorization and appropriation. So I start these hearings with some sense of regret that there is not a stronger degree of support for this institution, which serves both our interests and the needs of the very poorest nations of the world. We are honored to have as our first witness the distinguished Senator from Missouri, Mr. Danforth. STATEMENT OF HON. JOHN C. DANFORTH, A U.S. SENATOR FROM MISSOURI Senator DANFORTH. Mr. Chairman, thank you very much. I am delighted to be here. I have a prepared statement which I will not read, if that is all right with you, but submit it for the record. Senator MATHIAS. It will be inserted in the record. Senator DANFORTH. I thank you. My reason for being here, Mr. Chairman, is to suggest that the Congress remove any doubt as to whether or not it is the villain in this matter and that we take a position which would be, I think, a heroic position. I think what we should do-and I have some proposed language to do it is to increase the authorization for U.S. participation in IDA for the seventh replenishment from the present level that has been suggested by the administration of $750 million a year to $1 billion a year, or $3 billion for the entire 3-year period of time. Mr. Chairman, the situation is as follows. IDA VI, which spanned that period from 1981 to 1983, is a $12 billion program. The United States, by agreement with other participants in IDA, contributes $1 for every $3 that the other contributing countries put in. The result of this is that in IDA VI we were supposed to contribute $3 billion over a 3-year period of time and the rest of the countries were supposed to contribute $9 billion, for a total of $12 billion. In fact, what we did was welch on our commitment by spreading the 3-year commitment over a 4-year period of time. But in any event, IDA VI remained a $12 billion program due to the participa- tion of other countries and it did provide great assistance to the de- veloping world. The American proposal for IDA VII is that we reduce our com- mitment from the $3 billion we made for IDA VI to $2,250 million. 115 This would have the effect-because of the 3 for 1 match which other donors make-of reducing the entire program from $12 bil- lion, in 1981 to 1983, to only $9 billion from 1984 to 1986. Now, Mr. Chairman, if we were to adjust the $12 billion commit- ment for IDA VI for inflation, just to keep up with the same real level of activity for IDA, the program for IDA VII would have to be $15 billion. I do not know that anyone is suggesting that it be in- creased to $15 billion, however, that is what it would have to be just to keep even. But it seems to me that the last thing we want to do is to reduce IDA VII from $12 billion to $9 billion because a reduction to $9 bil- lion in real terms is a 40-percent reduction in IDA. I would just add a couple of other points, Mr. Chairman. I am going to have the privilege of testifying before the African Subcom- mittee of the Foreign Relations Committee tomorrow on my trip to Africa which I made in January. I spent 2 weeks in Africa with a particular focus on my trip, which is the problem of hunger on that continent and it is clear to me that if people's lives are going to be saved, the United States is going to have to have a continuing com- mitment to emergency food aid. But emergency food aid is simply a matter of keeping people alive who are presently facing starvation. Emergency food aid does nothing to solve the long-term problem. The long-term problem can only be solved by putting Africa in a position where it can produce more food for itself, and this cannot be done without developmental assistance. For example, I was in the Sahel in Senegal. They have not had any rain for a year. They have not had much rain for the last 3 years. Agriculture requires rainfall. If rain is not falling from the skies, the only other way to get water that I know of is to irrigate; irrigation costs money. Similarly, in Somalia, flying at a low level in a small aircraft over the river valleys, it is apparent, at least to my untrained eye, that there is considerable room for development of the river valleys in Somalia. That cannot be done without developmental assistance. That is what IDA is. I would submit that IDA is the best form of developmental assist- ance, first because every dollar that the United States contributes leverages $3 from other contributors. That is a pretty good deal. And, second, an international program, multinational program, such as IDA, can do something that the United States by itself cannot very well do, and that is it can condition its activities on policy changes within the recipient country. If the United States were to embark on a very heavy-handed effort to try to change domestic policies within recipient countries, we would be viewed as the ugly American. But when the interna- tional community as a whole does so, then I think real changes can be put into place, and that is what is needed in a lot of these coun- tries. Some of these countries in Africa need developmental assistance. They also need, for example, to move from a state farm system, which a lot of them got into when they got their independence, to a greater effort on private agriculture. 116 1 I think that the IDA program could do a better job of bringing about those changes than could any unilateral effort on the part of the United States. So in short, Mr. Chairman, I think this is a very important matter. I think that the position that has been taken of reducing our commitment to only $750 million a year is shortsight- ed and I would hope that this committee would begin the process of increasing of least the authorization. That does not mean that we are going to spend the money neces- sarily. It just means that it will be there; Congress will have spoken. It will have been authorized, and if it appears—I think it will appear-that this is absolutely necessary, particularly for the survival of Africa, then the administration would be in a position to act. [Senator Danforth's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. JOHN C. DANFORTH Mr. Chairman, I am grateful for the opportunity to appear before the Committee to advocate a more forthcoming American position with respect to our commitment to the International Development Association's seventh replenishment. Thirty-three donor nations including the United States-contributed $12 billion for IDA's sixth replenishment from 1981 to 1983. If the seventh replenishment simply were to keep up with inflation it ought to be increased from $12 billion to about $15 billion. More- over, the recent addition of the People's Republic of China as a recipient country would require an upward adjustment to about $20 billion to maintain IDA funding on a per capita basis. But the United States has steadfastly refused to go beyond an initial offer of $750 million annually. Since the U.S. share of IDA is now 25 percent, this would establish IDA VII at a 3-year level of $9 billion which--adjusted for infla- tion-is a 40 percent reduction from IDA VI. To say that this is a penny wise and pound foolish decision is an understatement of grand proportions. Each dollar that the United States pledges to IDA is willingly matched threefold by the remaining donors. Virtually every one of our Western allies recognizes IDA as the single most important and effective source of develop- ment assistance for the world's least developed countries. IDA's success at leveraging policy reforms as a condition of assistance is a matter of record. Donor countries freely concede that the World Bank is by far the best equipped to secure difficult economic policy changes through conditional lending. Under U.S. guidance, IDA has increased emphasis on promoting private sector ini- tiatives and market-oriented policies in the Third World countries. IDA projects consistently have shown an average rate of return of around 18 per- cent, approximately the same as the average rate of return on World Bank loans. This success can be credited in part to the high standards of project preparation, appraisal, management, and review required by IDA. Some 27 countries which formerly borrowed from IDA have developed sufficiently that they have "graduated" from IDA and are now deemed credit-worthy to borrow from the IBRD or other more conventional sources. This proven track record is why all of the donor nations were astonished and angered at the decision of the United States to reduce the seventh replenishment in real dollars by 40 percent. In effect, we have isolated ourselves from our allies and from the 131 nations who are mem- bers of IDA. We are abdicating the lead role that we always have played in the de- velopment of the world's poorest nations. And we are doing so at a time when the need is very great. Mr. Chairman, I have just returned from sub-Saharan Africa. My purpose in going there was to assess starvation on the continent and the extent of the area's need for development assistance. My brief visit hardly qualifies me as an expert, but I would like to state for the record that I found existing starvation facing hundreds of thousands of people in Mozambique. Shocking as that fact is, even more shocking is the fact that a starvation time bomb is ticking away throughout the Sahel and in many of the countries in southern Africa. A catastrophe of the most unimaginable proportions is about to happen. The causes of this situation are no mystery. Drought is a part of it. But grinding poverty is the greatest part of it. Emergency food aid may get us over the immedi- ate crisis. Even so, literally millions of people will die. But the fact of the matter is that we-the developed world-must begin the much longer process of pumping up 117 Africa's productive capacity. That is what IDA is all about. That is what America ought to be about. And that is what our parsimony is about to put at dire risk. Make no mistake, a reduction of IDA's resources in real terms by 40 percent during the next 3 years will fall most heavily on the poorest nations of Africa. It will fall on them at a time when the pending food crisis and post-colonial economic failures have created a very favorable climate for policy reform. Without external develop- ment assistance to leverage such reform we will miss a golden opportunity to in- crease productivity, create freer markets, and reduce food subsidies. On January 1, 1984, IDA had 157 projects pending in sub-Saharan Africa involving investments of $2.8 billion. A 40 percent real cutback jeopardizes this potential significantly. And the United States, a prime mover in IDA's very creation, stands alone in its desire to accomplish this result. Mr. Chairman, I realize that too much water has flowed under the bridge to expect a U.S. pledge or appropriation higher than $750 million to IDA VII this year. I deeply regret this situation. However, I believe that--when all the evidence is in regarding the adverse impact of cutting IDA back 40 percent in real terms—we will change our decision next year. Virtually every religious group, every private volun- tary organization, every donor country, and all of our allies are urging us to get the IDA replenishment up at least to 1983 levels. The late Terence Cardinal Cooke wrote the following to President Reagan several weeks before he died last Septem- ber: As a Nation known for its compassion, the United States has accomplished so much through the years in advancing the cause of international justice and peace through its programs of economic assistance to the less fortunate peoples of the world ... I respectfully suggest that consideration be given this year to maintaining and even increasing our Nation's support of IDA's effective work. The entire free world is awaiting our return to leadership. I would like to suggest an amendment to this Committee. It is a compromise, but it does hold out the possibility that the United States might change its mind during the 3 years that IDA VII will run. The amendment would allow this country to pro- vide additional resources to the International Development Association which-I am confident-would then be matched by other countries. My amendment would authorize, in addition to the $2.25 billion, a further supple- mental contribution to IDA of $750 million. However, this authorization would leave the initiative with the Administration. It would come into force if, and only if, the President should find, and report to Congress, that the seriousness of the economic conditions in the recipient countries, particularly those in Africa, warrant such a supplemental contribution. This compromise is eminently fair. It leaves intact the Administration's proposal—while at the same time it offers a small glimmer of hope to those who are in such great need. The United States would thus have the freedom and the flexibility to act expedi- tiously in the event that conditions in sub-Saharan Africa and elsewhere worsen. I would like to believe that they will not, but my experience leads me to a more pessi- mistic conclusion. I am sure of one thing, however, and that is that this great coun- try of ours, given the flexibility to act, will do so. We have always been a leader in responding to the needs of others; I hope we will continue to lead at a time when our help is so desperately needed. Senator MATHIAS. I, of course, welcome your testimony and I agree with the points you make. You mentioned leverage. Leverage is extremely important. You testified that for every dollar we invest we leverage $3 from other sources and that, it seems to me, is a critical principle that should be recognized. Now if you take our total foreign assistance program as it is re- flected in the President's budget for the coming year, there is just short of $16 billion requested, but of that sum only $1.5 billion is in multilateral programs, and, therefore, the great preponderance of what we are doing is on a bilateral basis where there is very little opportunity to get any leverage. think that your point here is extremely well made. It does not only apply to IÑA but to other programs as well. Senator DANFORTH. I would like to say this, too, Mr. Chairman. On the question of leverage and the participation by other coun- 118 tries, if the United States starts cutting back on programs such as IDA, how are we going to ask the rest of the world to participate? I mean, they are going to say to us, look, first of all, the United States has done a better job of recovering from the world recession than we have. Second, you are maintaining by your policies the high value of your dollar, which is negatively affecting our econom- ic situation. We have urged you to act on that and you have not, and now you have the gall to come to us and ask us to fill the breach which you have opened up. It seems to me that this approach of trying to cut back to $750 million from $1 billion annually is to take the position that, well, the United States really is not interested in world leadership any more. So I would think it is a matter of national pride and national standing and leadership, as well as doing what is right. Senator MATHIAS. I am glad you made the suggestion that you have that we ought to increase that authorization above the re- uested level. I do think we have to face squarely the fact that some of our colleagues will say, what are you doing with our money. You are throwing it down a well. IDA is not important. Foreign assistance is just a giveaway. And the facts, of course, are otherwise—that in the years since World War II, when development programs began in a major way, per capita incomes in the developing world have increased-not enough, but they have gone up. Life expectancy has gone up. Health standards have gone up. Educational standards, have risen. The basic benchmarks of civilizations have reflected that the in- vestment made by the industrial world and the developing world has been a success. It seems to me that on that record you and I have some reason to hope that we could achieve a higher authori- zation. Senator DANFORTH. I would also say this. Just from the stand- point of national self-interest I spend a lot of my time on interna- tional trade matters. I am the chairman of the International Trade Subcommittee of the Finance Committee. If America is going to do business in a world community, we need a healthy world community in which to do business, just as the private businessperson would not want to do business in an im- poverished neighborhood if he can do business in a prosperous neighborhood. The same is true with Americans doing business abroad. Senator MATHIAS. I think we have to admit very candidly as well, that there is an element of self-interest here. One of the most dramatic examples or illustrations of that was the fall off in Amer- ican exports to Mexico when the Mexican economy got into trouble. Americans lost jobs because the Mexican economy was in a decline. American factories lost business. And that is just one illustration of a general principle that oper- ates around the world--that our customers are better customers if they are in a position to buy. I very much appreciate your being here and I do appreciate your suggestions. Senator DANFORTH. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. Our next witness is the distinguished Secre- tary of the Treasury, Mr. Donald T. Regan. 119 Mr. Secretary, you have the floor. STATEMENT OF HON. DONALD T. REGAN, SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY Secretary REGAN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I am appearing today in strong support of the administration's legislative proposals for the multilateral development banks (MDB's]. This year the President has recommended participation in the seventh replenishment of the International Development Associa- tion, known as IDA VII, and U.S. membership in the Inter-Ameri- can Investment Corporation (IIC). These legislative proposals are consistent with the policy conclu- sions contained in the administration's '1982 assessment of the MDB's. The recommended programs will stress support for activi- ties and policies which buttress sound economic growth in the de- veloping countries while bearing in mind the budgetary constraints which our government faces. Now the International Development Association, the conces- sional assistance affiliate of the World Bank, is the single most im- portant development institution for the world's poorest countries- those with a per capita income of $795 or less. It is the centerpiece of our MDB legislative request this year. At the very beginning of this administration we conducted a thorough review of our participation in the multilateral financial institutions in general and of IDA in particular. That review pro- vided a basis for continued measured support for IDA, a position which I wish to reaffirm here today. We are committed to an effec- tive, high-quality, project-oriented IDA which can act as a catalyst in the process of economic development. In deciding on a recommended funding level of $2.25 billion for IDA VII the administration undertook an extensive process of formal and informal consultations. Our final recommendation re- sults from three basic considerations: one, a funding level that is adequate to maintain IDA as an effective instrument for the pro- motion of economic development; two, a funding level that is realis- tic in light of previous difficulties in obtaining IDA appropriations; and, three, a funding level that is sensitive to our overall budget- ary situation. Our first concern was the desire to provide IDA the funds neces- sary to maintain its effectiveness as a multilateral development in- stitution. While the scale of its operations has grown dramatically in recent years, it was not obvious to us that such growth rates needed to be continued in order to maintain its effectiveness. In many respects, the chief strength of IDA is not the financial resources which it provides but the potential impact of its market- oriented economic policy advice and of its institution building and technical assistance efforts. Here is where multilateral assistance can be most effective and here is where we have sought to direct IDA's attention relatively successfully. Economic development is overwhelmingly a question of mobiliz- ing local human and financial resources. The objective is to find the right policies which encourage individuals to work, save, and invest. To the extent that IDA can help countries find and imple- 120 ment these policies, it has been and will continue to be successful, and it is primarily on that basis that we support it. Mr. Chairman, I am going to truncate a lot of my prepared re- marks and jump for a few minutes to the IIC. Senator MATHIAS. Your full statement will appear in the record. Secretary REGAN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. As far as the Inter-American Investment Corporation is con- cerned I have been impressed by the very substantial economic progress in the Latin American and Caribbean region over the last two decades. The Inter-American Development Bank [IADB] has played a major role in this process. The creation of the Inter-American Investment Corporation in my view will fill an existing gap in the development activities of the Inter-American Development Bank. The IIC is designed to invest, through loans or equity participations, in private sector firms. In light of the potential requirements of the private sector in Latin America and the Caribbean and given the limited resources that will be available to the IIC, it was decided early in the discus- sions among interested IDB member governments that the objec- tive and intended beneficiaries would have to be well targeted. In this regard, there has been a general consensus among member governments that the IIC should concentrate its efforts on small and medium-sized firms--those typically finding it difficult to obtain capital. The IIC will be limited to making loans and equity investments in firms majority owned and controlled by the domestic private sector. With a small staff experienced in doing business in Latin America and the Caribbean, the IIC will also provide advisory serv- ices to these firms in order to nurture a strongly self-reliant and market-oriented approach to commerce, industry, and agrobusiness. In conclusion, Mr. Chairman, the United States has joined with almost 30 other countries in the hope that the IIC may play an im- portant role in the region's economic development. The U.S. par- ticipation is essential for that hope to be realized. We appreciate your strong leadership, Mr. Chairman, and those of other members of this committee in support of the U.S. partici- pation in the multilateral development banks and I hope the com- mittee will favorably and expeditiously report the administration's proposed legislation and that by working together we will be able to obtain early enactment. Thank you, Mr. Chairman [Secretary Regan's prepared statement follows:) PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. DONALD T. REGAN Mr. Chairman, I am appearing before you today in strong support of the Adminis- tration's legislative proposals for the multilateral development banks (MDBs). This year, the President has recommended participation in the seventh replenishment of the International Development Association (known as “IDA VII”) and U.S. member- ship in the Inter-American Investment Corporation (or the "IIC”). These legislative proposals are consistent with the policy conclusions contained in the Administration's 1982 assessment of the MDBs. The recommended programs will stress support for activities and policies which buttress sound economic growth in the developing countries, while bearing in mind the budgetary constraints which our government faces. 121 IDA VII will provide direct and vital assistance to the poorest countries in Sub- Saharan Africa and South Asia. This program is important for our foreign economic policy goals in these regions and deserves solid, bipartisan support. The IIC will emphasize support for the private sector in Latin America and the Caribbean-our neighbors and partners in development. We expect that the Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors of the Inter-American Development Bank in late March will adopt a resolution recommending establishment of the IIC. For the coun- tries of the Hemisphere, I think it's the right program at the right time. I hope you will agree. INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION-SEVENTH REPLENISHMENT The International Development Association (IDA), which is the concessional as- sistance affiliate of the World Bank, is the single most important development insti- tution for the world's poorest countries, those with a per capita income of $795 or less. It is the centerpiece of our MDB legislative request this year. Through its policy advisory and institution building roles, IDA can make an im- portant contribution to the process of economic development. Many of the poorest countries have limited access to capital markets. In these countries, IDA, together with other official flows, provides a significant portion of investment funds and an important supplement to domestic savings. Our legislative request is for a 3-year authorization totalling $2.25 billion for IDA VII. IDA was founded in 1960, largely at the initiative of the United States, and we remain by far the largest contributor to its resources. IDA disburses its funds in the form of 50-year credits at a zero rate of interest (but with a 0.75 percent annual service fee and with a 10-year grace period on repayment of principal). For more than a decade, IDĂ has been the most controversial element of the U.S foreign economic assistance effort, and the past several years have been no excep- tion. In public discussions and within the U.S. Government there have been fre- quent debates over the appropriate funding levels for IDA and over the direct and indirect impact of its operations on recipient countries. Consequently, at the very beginning of this Administration, we conducted a thorough review of our participa- tion in the multilateral financial institutions, in general, and of IDA, in particular. That review provided the basis for continued but measured support for IDA, a posi- tion which I wish to reaffirm here today. We are committed to an effective, high- quality, project-oriented IDA which can act as a cataylst in the process of economic development. In deciding on a recommended funding level of $2.25 billion for IDA VII, the Ad- ministration undertook an extensive process of formal and informal consultations. Our final recommendation results from three basic considerations: (1) a funding level that is adequate to maintain IDA as an effective instrument for the promotion of economic development, (2) a funding level that is realistic in light of previous dif- ficulties in obtaining IDA appropriations, and (3) a funding level that is sensitive to our overall budgetary situation. Our first concern was the desire to provide IDA the funds necessary to maintain its effectiveness as a multi-lateral development institution. While the scale of its op- erations has grown dramatically in recent years, it was not obvious to us that such growth rates needed to be continued in order to maintain its effectiveness. In many respects, the chief strength of IDA is not the financial resources which it provides, but the potential impact of its market-oriented economic policy advice and of its in- stitution building and technical assistance efforts. Here is where multilateral assist- ance can be most effective, and here is where we have sought to direct IDA's atten- tion relatively successfully. Economic development is overwhelmingly a question of mobilizing local human and financial resources. The objective is to find the right policies which encourage individuals to work, save and invest. To the extent that ĪDA can help countries find and implement these policies, it has been and will con- tinue to be successful, and it is primarily on that basis that we support it. Of course, a certain level of financial resources is an important complement to the implementation of policies in a number of countries. Exactly what that number should be, however, is not at all obvious. But we are satisfied that, given the poten- tial large benefits from the pursuit of sound economic policies, a U.S. contribution of $750 million a year for a 3-year period is adequate to achieve our objective of an effective institution. As a result of the IDA VII negotiations with other countries, a 3-year replenish- ment totalling $9 billion was formally agreed to on January 13. In the absence of any additional contributions by other donors, this implies that IDA should be able to commit about $3 billion a year over the next 3 years. This would be about only 6 34-045 0-849 122 percent less than IDA's actual yearly average commitments in dollars over the past four years, and certainly belies the notion that IDA runs the risk of being "crip- pled” by a shortage of funds. Our second major consideration in deciding on an IDA VII funding recommenda- tion was to select a level that was realistic in light of previous difficulties in obtain- ing IDA appropriations. Such difficulties have not been unusual in the history of IDA, but they came to a head with the sixth replenishment. Although IDA VI negotiations were completed in early 1980, efforts to enact im- plementing legislation in the Second Session of the Ninety-Sixth Congress were in vain. Reintroduced in the First Session of the Ninety-Seventh Congress, the legisla- tion might still have failed passage, if the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act in August 1981 had not provided a relatively safe vehicle for enactment. The price we paid, however, was high: IDA VI was stretched over a fourth year. I worked hard over the last 3 years to obtain the IDA VI authorization legislation and the associated annual appropriations. The President repeatedly lent a hand at crucial times. When our fiscal year 1984 supplemental request for $150 million is enacted, we will have fulfilled our commitments under IDA VI. But please make no mistake; we do not want a repetition of IDA VI, nor do our fellow donors, nor do IDA recipients. As you well know, Mr. Chairman, many Members of Congress have supported higher replenishment levels. Other Members have expressed significant doubts about the emphasis placed on IDA as a primary vehicle to support development in the poorest countries in view of its poor record in certain instances. Still other Members have stressed that budgetary resources should be husbanded to meet other pressing domestic and foreign policy needs or to contribute to a reduction in future budget deficits. The proposed funding level and our continuing initiatives on IDA policy issues try to meet the concerns of as broad a cross-section of the Membership as possible. I hope and believe that our proposal will obtain broad Congressional support. As I have already stressed, U.S. credibility in the eyes of other IDA members would not benefit from a repetition of the delays and frustrations experienced under the sixth replenishment. The third consideration, which I have already alluded to, and which is clearly on the minds of every Member of Congress, is the magnitude of overall budget expendi- tures, and the resulting deficit. When our fiscal year 1984 supplemental request for IDA VI is enacted, the United States will have contributed $1,095 million to IDA in the current fiscal year. Our proposal of $750 million a year for the next 3 fiscal years reflects the budget constraints under which we are operating. I would like to turn to several related issues involving IDA. The first of these is burden-sharing with other donors. Controversy over sharing the costs of multilater- al development bank funding has been persistent over the years. In accordance with the Sense of Congress expressed in Public Law 95-481, the Administration success- fully negotiated a reduction in the United States share to 25 percent of the seventh replenishment. This provides a reduction of 2 percentage points compared to the U.S. share of the sixth replenishment. Other major donor countries have also reduced their share in the seventh replen- ishment: the United Kingdom by 3.4 percentage points and Germany by 1 percent- age point. On the the other hand, Japan has increased its share by 4.1 percentage points, France by 1.2 percentage points, Italy by about one-half of a percentage point and Canada by two-tenths of a percentage point. Overall, the seven major industrialized countries will provide 77.3 percent of the seventh replenishment compared to 77.8 percent of the sixth replenishment. A second issue is the question of the overall balance between bilateral and multi- lateral aid. Despite the widespread belief that there has been a shift toward some what more bilateral economic aid in recent years, I think you will find that in terms of program support there has really been very little change. The fact is that both forms of assistance are indispensible elements in our foreign economic policy. In our bilateral aid programs, particularly in Africa, we work closely with World Bank and IDA staff in coordinating our activity and in working with recipient governments on potentially helpful policy changes. As a third issue, we frequently encounter the perception that the multilateral de- velopment banks, including IDA, have a prominent role to play in coping with the current debt servicing problems of some developing countries. I should like to em- phasize that IDA is not-either by design or aptitude-a balance of payments lender, but rather a project oriented, long term lender. IDA credits typically are dis- bursed over an 8- to 10-year period, and thus have only a very marginal role to play in short term balance of payments problems. 123 Finally, we have been working vigorously, both in the replenishment negotiating process as well as in policy and lending discussions at the IDA Board, on making the use of IDA resources more effective. Our basic objective has been to increase the developmental impact of every dollar of taxpayer resources that goes to IDA. The process of economic development is exceedingly complex, and, over time, the policies pursued at the microeconomic level can have a significant impact on growth rates. To strengthen IDA lending policies, we have emphasized the importance of lending to countries which are pursuing sound economic policies that can make the best use of scarce concessional lending resources and the maximum use of individ- ual incentive and market forces. We have been willing to back up our efforts with "no" votes on credits when the situation warranted. We have stressed the importance of concentrating lending on the poorest coun- tries that lack the creditworthiness to borrow on harder terms, but which have rela- tively effective economic policies in place. And here we are seeing some positive re- sults. When countries achieve the economic strength to establish improved creditworthi- ness, we should witness a gradual but steady process of increasing reliance on lend- ing from the hard window of the World Bank. Several countries, such as India and Kenya, have relied on the IBRD for an increasing proportion of World Bank devel- opment assistance. A number of countries, such as Cameroon and the Congo, have matured to full reliance on the hard window in recent years. In addition, Guyana and Papua New Guinea are not expected to receive credits beginning with IDA VII. We welcome these evident indicators that IDA lending criteria are being refined and look forward to the continued progress of other countries in the future. Finally, on the issue of regional allocation of IDA resources, we have made our position quite clear. Historically through mid-year 1983, IDA devoted 26 percent of its lending program to the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. In the seventh replen- ishment, we have vigorously urged a greater share of IDA for this region in recogni- tion that IDA is the single most important development institution in that part of the world and that Sub-Saharan Africa contains the largest number of countries lacking the creditworthiness to borrow on market-related terms. The proposal for IDA VII now records a general agreement among donor countries that the highest priority should be given to IDA flows to Sub-Saharan Africa. INTER-AMERICAN INVESTMENT CORPORATION In recent years, I have been impressed by the very substantial economic progress in the Latin American and Caribbean region over the last two decades. The Inter- American Development Bank has played a major role in this process. Substantial investments in infrastructure and economic services are now in place and will permit further growth in many countries. The population and natural resources base in many countries of the region offers enormous possibilities for solid economic progress. The creation of the Inter-American Investment Corporation (or the “IIC”), in my view, will fill an existing gap in the development activities of the Inter-American Development Bank. The IIC is designed to invest, through loans or equity participa- tions, in private sector firms. It has become increasingly clear that the lack of long-term investment capital for private enterprises has seriously constrained the region's development. Recent un- stable economic conditions in Latin America have also seriously impeded the growth of the private sector and placed domestic financial systems under a strain. The key to future growth lies with the revitalization of the private sector, sound economic policies, greater reliance on market forces and continued adjustment on both the macroeconomic and microeconomic levels. In a recent study, the IDB concluded that, with the exception of the largest firms, private enterprises in Latin America and the Caribbean are chronically undercapi- talized. The financial sector in most countries is not able to provide sufficient long- term financing let alone risk capital—for private investment. Even in those finan- cial intermediaries most inclined to make equity investments, there is a shortage of managerial, advisory and technical services needed to help new ventures succeed. In light of the potential requirements of the private sector in Latin America and the Caribbean and given the limited resources that will be available to the IIC, it was decided early in the discussions among interested IDB member governments that the objectives and intended beneficiaries would have to be well targeted. In this regard, there has been a general consensus among member governments that the IIČ should concentrate its efforts on small and medium sized firms—those typically finding it difficult to obtain capital. 124 The IIC will be limited to making loans and equity investments in firms that are majority owned and controlled by the domestic private sector. With a small staff experienced in doing business in Latin America and the Caribbean, the IIC will also provide advisory services to these firms in order to nurture a strongly self-reliant and market oriented approach to commerce, industry and agro-business. Balanced, non-inflationary economic growth with employment creation is one of the most important objectives that the IDB should be pursuing. I believe the IIC- directly through its project activities and indirectly through its spin-off effects on IDB programs-can make a productive contribution to this objective. Although an independent organization with its own articles of agreement, staff and voting process, the IIC will be more like a "window" of the IDB than a totally new institution. The IDB will provide administrative and logistical support and will serve as a source of information on broad economic developments in member coun- tries. I would like to assure the Members of the Committee that we will review very carefully the IIC's projects and programs. We will also make every effort to assure that its resources are used in a catalytic fashion. The initial concept for an independent, private sector oriented institution for the IDB was put forward by Venezuela about three years ago. During negotiations over the last twelve months, more than twenty Western Hemisphere members of the IDB and eight industrialized countries from outside the region have indicated their in- tention to be founding members of the institution. The initial capitalization of $200 million will be fully subscribed by participating countries. It is important to note that all contributions will be in freely convertible currencies. The Latin American and Caribbean borrowing countries will provide about $110 million, which is 55 percent of the capital shares and the eight nonre- gional industrialized countries will subscribe to $39 million (or 19.5 percent of the capital). After consultations with Members of Congress from both Houses, the Ad- ministration has indicated its readiness to provide $51 million, thus giving us 25.5 percent of the capital shares. The leg tion which I will be submitting shortly will authorize U.S. membership in the IIC and will accord the IIC the same status under U.S. law as other develop- ment banks enjoy. The Administration believes that the primary engine of regional economic devel- opment will be the private sector. The IĪC will help meet the substantial long-term capital needs of the region's small and medium sized enterprises. We believe that IIC investments will encourage additional private investment flows from abroad and act as a catalyst for equity flows. The United States has joined with almost thirty other countries in the hope that the IIC will play an important role in the region's economic development. United States participation is essential for that hope to be realized. CONCLUSION I am certain you appreciate more than I that any Administration legislative pro- posals for the development banks tend to be controversial and can be difficult to enact. I want to assure you that this Administration strongly supports the institu- tions and funding levels represented in this legislation, and will be working very closely with this Committee to ensure enactment this year. We greatly appreciate your strong leadership, Mr. Chairman, and those of the other Members of this Com- mittee in support of United States participation in the multilateral development banks. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. We appreciate the leadership that you have exercised in supporting the international development programs. I think there is a major element of self-interest in this because for every foreign aid dollar that we contribute to these internation- al multilateral institutions there is money spent in this country. Many of the goods that are sent-farm machinery, for example, sent to distant parts of the world to assist in the improvement in agriculture—are purchased from American manufacturers. Many of the technical services-engineering, health services, and other services—that are required in these programs come from U.S. sources. 125 So we are not just squandering this money in the wind. It is being invested in American goods and American services which then go abroad to improve the quality of life in the developing world. One of the concerns that I have-and it was also reflected in the testimony this morning of Senator Danforth-is whether or not we are doing enough. If you apply an inflationary factor to the pro- gram, comparing IDA VII with IDA VI, it would appear that in- stead of $9 billion there ought to be a $15 billion program simply to keep track with inflation. And if you contemplate the addition of the People's Republic of China as a participant there should be a further increase, so that the $9 billion figure that is recommended for IDA VII is substan- tially below what would be required if we were to stay even, if we were to have a level program. Secretary REGAN. Let me comment on that, Mr. Chairman, if I might. We gave this much consideration in the administration before coming up here, both from a formal point of view and in informal discussions with Members of Congress-both Houses and both par- ties. We have had the experience of the last 3 years with IDA, com- mitted as we were to the previous administration's commitment to the just over $3 billion IDA VI replenishment share. As you know, we suffered in 1981 and again in 1982 from stretch- outs that damaged our credibility in these organizations, and it threw off the schedules as far as the administration of IDA and on the programs that IDA was contemplating. So as a result we deter- mined this time that whatever we would agree to, we would have to be reasonably well assured that the Congress would go along with it. So we came up with the figure of $750 million. Now in talking with the other nations of the world, they wanted to come up with $12 billion. That seemed to be the figure they were coalescing around instead of the $9 billion that we later ended up with. But I would like to point out a few things on that, Mr. Chair- man. In spite of the fact that most nations wanted $12 billion, IDA has not been fully subscribed to for the $9 billion. First of all, many of the nations have said they were only going to contribute their na- tional currency and they want to do it on a blended exchange rate with the dollar, not the current value of their currency against the dollar. Instead, they wanted to use an average of the exchange rate over the last 6 months, which means they will be giving less than if they were to take the current valuation of their currency vis-a- vis the dollar. Second, there are subscriptions open. About 3.5 percent of the fund is not subscribed to and very few, if any, are rushing in to pick that up. Now this is a clear indication to me that the $9 bil- lion is about the maximum that the world, let alone the United States, would be willing and can afford to put up at this particular time, considering the budgetary restraints of all of the nations of the world, including the industrialized ones. Now, this is going to make it difficult on the administration of IDA for the World Bank people. Our suggestion to them is that many of the large recipients in bygone years be graduated to the 126 hard-loan window, that they do not necessarily need a 50-year no- interest loan, that they can afford to either borrow directly from the World Bank or in the world markets. And we think that by judiciously changing the mix of loans from the previous years they can accomplish as much as they did with the previous amount, even though it is a reduced amount. Senator MATHIAS. First of all let me say that I have great respect for your judgment and experience in the field of measuring the level of congressional support. You and the President both threw yourselves into the breach in the IMF quota fight and you did it successfully. It was not what I would call a landslide, but you got it passed, and I know that was a very difficult fight. It took a lot of resistance and a lot of just sheer hard work to maintain the commitment of the United States to the IMF quota. So, having that experience behind you I know has had a some- what sobering effect on just how much the traffic will bear. At the same time, there was some sentiment in this committee for a higher level at IDA. So I am interested in what you have just told us about what your feeling is on the level of participation that could be expected from other countries. In other words, you are saying that you think had we kept it at the $12 billion figure, which was the level in IDA VI, that it might not have been subscribed? That the leverage which we have tradi- tionally enjoyed of about 3 to 1 on American investment would not have been successful this time? Secretary REGAN. I think it would have been very difficult to get the $12 billion, even though many nations would deny that in ret- rospect. Just based on the experience of trying to get the $9 billion and falling short leads me to suspect that the $12 billion would have been an even more difficult amount to achieve. Senator MATHIAS. Well, let us assume for the moment that that is correct. What are going to be the implications for the old custom- ers? I had a cousin who used to be a salesman. He was a pretty good salesman. He used to say, do not ever be so avid for new busi- ness that you forget your old customers. Secretary REGAN. But he was selling. He was not just giving away his product. You have to remember that in IDA we are giving away something, and to me the touchstone has to be which nations are the ones that truly have been shut out from world borrowing or find it very difficult to get money from any other source other than IDA and on these very concessional terms. Sub-Saharan Africa to us is the area where most of the emphasis should be placed. We decided this early on in our review in 1982 and in 1983, looking ahead to the discussions we would be having in 1983 with the rest of the world and how we would define where we thought IDA was needed. Indeed, that is the recommendation to the IDA Board, that they concentrate on sub-Saharan Africa. Now, this means that the old countries, such as India, will probably be disappointed. Senator MATHIAS. What about new countries, such as the billion people in the People's Republic of China? Secretary REGAN. Again, in discussions with the People's Repub- lic of China we have repeatedly told them that we did not think 127 they could come in for as much as they perhaps would wish to get from IDA; that there would be plenty of money to borrow as far as the hard window is concerned, plenty of money to borrow in the open markets. China has a surplus in its trade. China is building up reserves, and I am talking about the People's Republic now. They are not from that perspective an extremely poor country. Of course, on a per capita basis, when you have 1 billion of anything you are going to have a very low per capita income, and they do. But I suspect that the majority of the projects that the People's Republic would want to put into effect could be financed at the reg- ular World Bank window or in the private sector. Senator MATHIAS. Now, you mentioned India. The 1980 per capita income in India was $240, which is not very much. Do you suggest that India may be in a position to require less lending? If you adjust that 1980 per capita income, it does not leave much squeezing that is likely to be done. Secretary REGAN. Well, the sub-Saharan African nations have even less than that. In 1983, I believe India got 32 percent of all of IDA's resources. If together India and the People's Republic were to get 40 percent of IDA's funds, I would think that that would be about the maximum that they could expect, because, again, they could borrow and the sub-Saharan African nations cannot borrow in the open market or in the hard window. Senator MATHIAS. What you are really suggesting is that we ought to graduate some of the old customers. Secretary REGAN. And even some of the new customers, if they are indeed not as impoverished as some of the other potential re- cipients. Senator MATHIAS. But then the question becomes, on what basis do you graduate them? What kind of standard do you apply to say that these are countries that now should move on? Secretary REGAN. I think it is the general credit standing of a nation who can borrow in the world markets, who can borrow from the hard windows. What is the status of their balance of payments? What is the situation regarding their own internal economy? What is the extent of their external debt? There are many questions that go into whether or not a country is creditworthy or not. If it is creditworthy in some of the other areas and does not have to be the recipient of aid, which indeed IDA is, to the extent or that they would like, I would suggest that these hard choices are going to have to be made by the executive directors of IDA and by the board. Senator MATHIAS. Well, I think they will be hard choices. Secretary REGAN. Very hard. If you compare India and Bangla- desh as examples, I do not think Bangladesh could borrow very much. Therefore, a Bangladesh should have a little precedence over an India. Senator MATHIAS. But you have to be careful with those stand- ards in applying them to see exactly what the result would be. As I understand the suggestion you have made, Brazil would become eli- gible as an IDA customer. 128 Secretary REGAN. No, because Brazil has just demonstrated it can borrow in the open market. It has just borrowed an additional $6 billion in the marketplace. Senator MATHIAS. So that would become, as a part of your stand- ard, a disqualification for the IDA window? Secretary REGAN. Yes, I would look at whether or not a country has other resources or other potential resources. Senator MATHIAS. Well, in developing other resources do you think IDA has played a role, let us call it a disciplinary role if you like, comparable to that which the IMF has played in a different sphere? Secretary REGAN. To a great extent, IDA has been a very good influence on nations as far as getting them to concentrate on what are their better projects, ones which will offer the better rates of return, and to make them think through their own priorities within their country. I think IDA from that point of view has done well Obviously, IDA has had some failures. It has had some things that could have been improved. That book that they put out on IDA, “IDA in Retrospect,” indicates that they have had a lot of success, but some failures. But by and large, I would think that IDA has to be congratulated as having been an organization that has bettered many nations as a result of what it has done in encouraging their infrastructure and project loans. Senator MATHIAS. In your review of this general situation, I am sure you have looked at the comparisons in operations between the bilateral American programs and the multinational programs. Have you observed any instances in which you felt that we were working against ourselves or instances in which the bilateral pro- grams counteract some of the multinational goals? Secretary REGAN. Offhand, I cannot think of anywhere our bilat- eral aid has impeded multilateral assistance or vice versa. I am trying to think and I cannot think of any. Let me check with my staff. [Pause.] Secretary REGAN. They say there is usually pretty good coordina- tion among the programs of the regional banks, the World Bank, and our bilateral programs. Senator MATHIAS. If you were in a position to alter and amend the practices and procedures of IDA, would you have any sugges- tions? Secretary REGAN. Of IDA? Senator MATHIAS. Yes. Secretary REGAN. I think one of the things that IDA very defi- nitely will have to be very sensitive to—and it is a very neat bal. ancing act; I will try to shorten this answer, but it is a complicated question is this: Many of the developing nations want to start projects that have repercussions on the industrialized nations, either because they involve the same type of products that the in- dustrialized nations have to sell or they would preclude the indus- trialized nations from selling to those countries. For example, in the metals area there are many nations that have deposits of metals which they might like to exploit in order to 129 obtain foreign exchange. On the other hand, we know that many metals are in surplus currently in the world. The question here is: Should IDA try to help a nation, an impoverished nation, start a metal extraction industry? Should it try to encourage it to expand its textile industry, be- cause again in these impoverished nations that is the obvious first thing you start with, textiles. We did it ourselves when we were a new nation, in New England and then later in the South with tex- tiles. As we matured, we gradually reduced our concentration on textiles. Now, these other countries are going through that same revolu- tion. Nevertheless, every industrialized country has a surfeit of tex- tiles at this particular moment and most are setting up or have set up protection against it. I think the executive directors of IDA have quite a problem here in trying to figure out, what do you do in these metals and textiles areas and the like over the next sever- al years as to, (A) helping the beneficiary country and at the same time, (B) not harming the donors. Senator MATHIAS. I know that you can get into serious problems of that sort. I remember many years ago when I first came to the Congress the United States donated a modern meatpacking plant to Argentina, many millions of dollars. It was the most modern meatpacking plant in the world. About the time the plant construction was nearing completion, the U.S. beef industry heard about it, with the result that there was very quickly an embargo placed on all beef from this plant. So we give the Argentines, in that instance, a totally unusable, uneco- nomic asset, which was just a white elephant sitting down there, because nobody had really looked into the future as to what the real factors were going to be in the use of this particular item of aid. That does require some use of the crystal ball, as well as a lot of good judgment. Secretary REGAN. Well, we have it today in such things as copper and steel. It is very sensitive, and it is something that IDA has to think through. Now, obviously if a textile plant is to be funded through IDA and is designed strictly for domestic consumption, so be it. I mean, that to me would be a good thing to do. But to pour more textiles into the industrialized world, that is something else again. Senator MATHIAS. To some degree, this hearing is anticipatory, because we have not yet actually received the IDA legislation which the administration will recommend. Can you give us any idea of when that legislation might be expected on the Hill? And I ask this question because, as you know, we have a rather short working period in this election year and we will have our work cut out to get it through. Secretary REGAN. We will be forthcoming on the legislation. We actually are preparing it now, but we have been held up because of an internal problem with the World Bank as far as—and here I am also being anticipatory—the relationship between the distribution among donors to IDA and the distribution among donors to the se- lective capital increase for the World Bank, which will be forth- coming next year. 130 What has happened, Mr. Chairman, for the record is that a nation such as Japan has agreed that it will step up its participa- tion in IDA VII from a little over 14 percent to a little over 18 per- cent, provided that when shares in the selective captial increase are given out in the World Bank they are recognized as being number two there, also. At the same time, Japan is not acting like a number two nation as far as its financial markets are concerned and the like, which is very troublesome to us. So how these things are going to play out we do not exactly know. We were just discussing India and that country does not want to be cut back on its participation in the selective capital increase. Yet it would have to be, if Japan is going to be pushed up. Can a compromise be arranged there? We think so. But until that is ar- ranged and until a selective capital increase is more or less ce- mented and we see what the Japanese are going to do, for example, we are in no position to say, OK, this is the final document and we are ready to sign. We are urging them to do that quickly, and at the same time we are up here on the Hill working with Members of Congress and with the staffs trying to tell them what the selective capital in- crease is all about, because we are going to have to come back with that later on. Senator MATHIAS. Well, I know I do not have to put you on notice, because you are thoroughly familiar with the problem. But for all those parties who may be less familiar with the American political system and who want to see us meet our commitments in 1984, I think it is necessary that we get on with this because the clock will run out very fast. Secretary REGAN. I agree Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much for being here today. Secretary REGAN. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. Our next witnesses are: Ambassador Strauss; Mr. Richard Debs, president of Morgan Stanley International; Jack Richards, vice president of M. W. Kellogg Co.; and Christopher Phillips, president of the National Council for United States-China Trade. [Pause.] Senator MATHIAS. The Chair has been looking out over the audi- ence and, seeing the members of this panel, with some fear and trepidation, having some appreciation for the fact that the meter was running on all of these highly compensated witnesses while they were sitting mute, and feeling that this was a great waste of talent, I am wondering, Senator Biden, if we should not start out by asking Ambassador Strauss, who is reputed to be a Demo- crat- Senator BIDEN. He is a Democrat. He is a great Democrat. Senator MATHIAS [continuing). If he wants to analyze the New Hampshire primary. Senator BIDEN. I can do that for him. Pat Caddell called this 21/2 months ago. He hit it right on the button. I have a 60-page memo on my desk showing how it all happened. But he might want to tell you that. 131 Ambassador STRAUSS. Well, I suspect that Pat Caddell, Mr. Chairman and Senator Biden, did call it and I think he probably had a good deal to do with it. I did not listen to him quite as care- fully as I possibly should have, because he also told me 10 days before the election in 1980 that it looked like the Democrats had it. Senator BIDEN. Well, sometimes he is wrong. (Laughter.] He is right on the important ones. He is right in New Hampshire and wrong in 1980. Ambassador STRAUSS. Well, my problem is I was with him at the wrong time and against him at the wrong time. Senator BIDEN. Welcome to the committee, by the way. Ambassador STRAUSS. Thank you. Senator MATHIAS. Senator Biden, do you want to make any state- ment before we hear this panel? Senator BIDEN. No, I do not. But I do have a couple of questions when the appropriate time comes. Senator MATHIAS. Well then, we will ask Ambassador Strauss to lead off for the panel. STATEMENT OF HON. ROBERT STRAUSS, AKIN, GUMP, STRAUSS, HAUER, AND FELD, WASHINGTON, D.C. Ambassador STRAUSS. Yes, Mr. Chairman, I will. And I may have to leave a bit early. I hope you will forgive me. I do not know that I will contribute a great deal to the discussion anyway, but I am. pleased to be here. Senator MATHIAS. We are very grateful to you for being here, and we understand the time pressures you have. Ambassador STRAUSS. I have had other commitments, as you know, and I shifted them as much as I could, but there were some that I could not change. I will stay for as long as I can. I thought I might begin by saying that the story you told has a flip side to it. In the exchange between you and the Secretary of the Treasury, I am reminded also when I think of this funding of another story. When I was growing up in west Texas in rather dif- ficult times, we used to have a story there about the old farmer who worked his horse. He needed his horse. The problem was it was just too expensive, and he thought the best thing he could do was train him not to eat and therefore he would be able to get the use out of him and would not have the expense, much as we think in terms of IDA. Now, it worked almost. He damn near had the horse broken of the habit, so the story goes, when he starved to death. And that could be the same thing happening, it seems to me, with respect to some of these countries. It just is not a one-way street. Some could starve to death if we are not careful about pro- viding the right funding. I personally am pleased to have the opportunity to be here with you for a few minutes to comment on this seventh replenishment of IDA and specifically with respect to the appropriate level that our country should contribute in this regard. It would be foolish for me with either you or Senator Biden here to try to travel under false colors. You know that I am not here as an expert on IDA or on foreign aid generally, although I have fol- 132 lowed it in generality and with some considerable concern and in- terest. So I guess I am here as a private citizen who is concerned about international relationships. Senator MATHIAS. But your experiences have given you an oppor- tunity to see the interaction of trade and aid and development as- sistance and what it does to trade patterns. Ambassador STRAUSS. That is exactly why I came here and was pleased to be here, Senator Mathias. I do believe that, and I believe that those of us whọ then go into the private sector have a respon- sibility to retain those interests, and whatever light we might pos- sibly shed based on those experiences, that we should do so. And I think that this does directly impact on our international relationships, as well as our country's resources. Large as those re- sources are, Í know that nonetheless they are limited, and I know it and I know the difficult problems that the administration, and specifically the Secretary of the Treasury has, as do the members of this committee and others in the Senate. But it is important that we see that those resources are utilized in the most appropriate manner to preserve peace and enhance human wellbeing around the world. As you commented, I did serve as Special Trade Representative in the Carter administration and later I was in the Middle East for approximately a year. In those capacities, I came, I think, in a very sensitive and I think in a very sensible and responsible way to ap- preciate and understand the kind of contributions that this Nation of ours can make in the very vital stake—we talk about our vital interests but we have a very vital stake in improving the economic conditions in other countries in whatever way we can. You and I together just finished a little task on the Kissinger Commission on Central America, and I suspect Senator Biden and your other members who are not here today have some general fa- miliarity with the work and the report of that Commission. For the record, among those recommendations was a strong opinion on the part of most, and I daresay probably all, of the Commission mem- bers that the United States should significantly increase its bilater- al foreign assistance to Central America. I concurred in those recommendations and I think, as I recall, that you did. However, I just do not believe that increasing our bi- lateral foreign aid in areas such as this necessarily implies a reduc- tion in our commitment to multilateral aid institutions such as IDA. I keep reading from time to time that there seems to be some conflict there, that they are mutually exclusive. Now, I followed the renegotiation of IDA and the proposal that this country supports funding at an annual level of $750 million. Now, the interesting thing is, in the past it has been the executive branch, as I recall, that has always favored increased commitments to multilateral lending and it has been the Congress that has dragged its feet. This time it seems to me that the tables have been turned. My judgment is—and you do not need any political advice from me, but my judgment is therefore that we are in trouble trying to increase this above the levels that the administration comes in with, because it is the kind of program that needs administration leadership and administration thrust. Based on the testimony 133 today and what I have previously heard, we are not going to get that. Senator MATHIAS. We saw that in the IMF situation. Ambassador STRAUSS. Exactly. Senator MATHIAS. If the President had not thrown himself into that thing wholeheartedly, it would not have passed yet. Ambassador STRAUSS. And let me say, Mr. Chairman, there are a lot of us in the out party who threw ourselves wholeheartedly in that and worked hard to help that out. I worked with the Treasury Department on that. Senator MATHIAS. There are a couple of Democratic Members of the House that have warm personal letters from the President to prove their participation. Senator BIDEN. Which we are all going to read in this election year, I can assure you. [Laughter.] Ambassador STRAUSS. And I will read the warm letter that I re- ceived, too, thanking me for my support. [Laughter.] But in any case, politics aside, I suspect that the views that I rep- resent and my judgment is that you represent based on your ques- tioning today, Mr. Chairman, are not the majority view in the Senate today and they are not going to be unless you get some thrust at it, and they are probably not even the majority view in the country. Now, that does not mean they are wrong, but that means that they need to be more effectively expressed. And that is why hear- ings such as this I think are important and why I hope you will have the same kind of dogged determination on this that you do on other things that you feel strongly about. I think, very simply, that this country ought to be very wary about weakening its commitment to multilateral lending. I think it is important that we are not just talking here, and the country has to know, about these issues, about phrases like bailing out banks and contributions to nations such as Brazil and others that you mentioned. What we are talking about is aid, primarily in the form of loans, for the purchase of really the barest necessities of life for people. By that I mean education, housing, fertilizer. And I think the re- cipient countries we are talking about are the very poorest and weakest nations of the world. Now, we can disagree in this country about a lot of things, but I do not think we can disagree over the need to help people on the brink of starvation. Mention was made of sub-Saharan Africa or Chad or Bangladesh or some of these other countries. Now, there are some reasons, and we tried to contrive some other reasons, why this type of aid serves our national interest. Some reasons are good and some, of course, I suspect are not so valid. But be they foreign policy objectives or national security con- cerns, in my opinion overriding all else it comes down to this: We must contribute to IDA because these countries are in the direst straits of any countries of the world, and helping them is a moral imperative and this Nation has never failed to assume its moral imperatives. 134 Senator BIDEN. If I may interrupt to ask you a question at that point, I would appreciate it. I know you will have to leave, and I will have to leave in a moment. Mr. Chairman, I just came from a Budget Committee hearing. Chairman Volcker was up there talking to us. Now, I am not being facetious when I say I know you probably understand better than any witness we have or will have the political ramifications of what I believe is an extremely meritorious case. The problem is, we are going to have all we can do to keep for- eign aid from being drastically cut beyond even what the President is suggesting. This is viewed by the public as part of that foreign aid. Now, the reason I ask you this question, Ambassador Strauss, is that you are uniquely positioned to respond to it from not only a position of having some expertise in both areas and having worked in both, but also from a political perspective. I have a feeling as a practical matter that we are going to get down to having to make a priority judgment about whether or not we are going to come up with $750 million to $1 billion worth of aid that is essentially directed to the sub-Saharan region and south Asia or we are going to be able to go to Latin America. Now, perhaps we should do both, but I just do not see it in the cards that that is going to happen. And I am going to ask you the toughest of all questions and I will not blame you if you beg the question. I know you want both, but given the choice of one or the other, where do you see the greater moral and/or political and/or strategic imperative? Where do you go? Ambassador STRAUSS. Well, that is really a Hobson's choice. Senator BIDEN. Oh, it is. Ambassador STRAUSS. And I think it is a choice that you may very well have to make. But I do not think that you ought to have to make that choice, Senator Biden. But that gets into an altogeth- er different subject for another day. It has to do with how you run a nation. It has to do with not whether you are taxed too much or too little or are you properly being taxed and how are you being taxed. It has to do with spending strategies that go across a whole spectrum here. I guess I am a conservative Texan politically. I look more liberal down there sometimes and sometimes maybe more conservative up here. I do not know. But it has nothing to do with philosophy or ideology in my judgment, is what I am trying to say. It gets into a lot larger question. I guess if I were going to talk about vital interests right now, vital interests, I would think that I might have to look first at the substantial part of the recommendations of the Kissinger Commis- sion. Those things again would be subject to conditionality and some other aspects of it that I have not even seen spelled out. Hell, I would not spend any money down there if there were not strong- er conditionality than the administration is going to call for in its legislation, in its proposed legislation. I would strap those condi- tions on them. You cannot answer your question with a simple answer. That is the reason I just cannot answer that question. Senator BIDEN. It is kind of an unfair question in the sense that it does not lend itself to a single yes or no answer. But as a practi- cal fact of life, it is the kind of question that Mac Mathias and the 135 Senator from North Carolina, Mr. Helms, and Mr. Biden are going to have to vote on fairly soon. I will not interrupt your testimony any more. You have an- swered the question and that is something that we will have to grapple with. Mr. Chairman, I apologize. I am going to have to leave for 15 minutes. I will be back, hopefully in time to ask this panel some questions, and if not the next panel. But I thank you, Mr. Ambassador, for allowing the interruption. Ambassador STRAUSS. Thank you. I have no futher statement to make. I think I have covered ev- erything I know and maybe a little bit more that I know very well. Senator Helms, glad to see you today, sir. Senator MATHIAS. Let me ask the other members of the panel if they will object to our putting another two questions to Ambassa- dor Strauss before they leave. [No response.) Senator MATHIAS. Do you have any questions? Senator HELMs. No; not now. Thank you. Senator MATHIAS. You talked about the relationship between bi- lateral and multilateral aid, and that is a critical factor right now. The administration's general scheme for foreign assistance, as I mentioned earlier to Secretary Regan, is just short of $16 billion, which may be more than the traffic will bear in this election year, and I think we have to face that very realistically. Ambassador STRAUSS. That is the reason that I made the political point that I did. Senator MATHIAS. But that breaks down to $1.5 billion in multi- lateral and almost $14.5 billion in bilateral. Is that tilted too far in the bilateral direction? Ambassador STRAUSS. I think it is. It would be in my judgment- now, I said I am not an expert on this. But the administration does not look with great favor on multilateral funding. You know that. They like bilateral better. Bilateral brings forth problems, and I would break it out, I sus- pect, in different percentages, although maybe when you look at it case by case—well, you just have to see what you are doing. I was amazed to see those figures, that that was the way it broke down. Has it done that in the past, been anywhere in that range? Senator MATHIAS. I think this is probably a sharper delineation. Ambassador STRAUSS. That is what I thought; yes, sir. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, when you get down to the bottom line of the political issue, it is going to depend to some extent on our ability here to persuade our colleagues and through them the people of this country that this is in fact an investment, that this is not a giveaway, that it will affect our ability to trade; that if the developing world is not developing, then they are not very good customers. Ambassador STRAUSS. There is no question about that. The great tragedy, Mr. Chairman, is the number of people in this country who believe--and this of course is in my judgment—that assistance to certain of these developing countries are handouts. They really do not understand how many jobs depend upon those people being able first to eat, then to work, and in turn to buy 136 from us. And at a time when we are facing the problems we are facing right now, it is a matter of serious concern. So I think this is not a handout, although it has some aspects of charity in it and it is certainly concessional. But I think it comes back to us in many ways, including the very indirect way which feeds into everything else, and that is this Na- tion's role as a leader of the free world. We cannot ever get away from that or we will lose the ability to spread democracy as we should. Senator MATHIAS. I am going to put into the record, unless the point is made by other witnesses before the end of the hearing, an analysis of just what the economic impact on the United States is of a dollar spent in foreign assistance and through the multination- al institutions, because I think politically that is an essential fact to have in mind. But let me yield for a question to the Senator from North Caroli- na. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And Bob, good morn- ing. Ambassador STRAUSS. Good morning, sir. Senator HELMS. You mentioned conditionality. Were you refer- ring specifically to Central America, to El Salvador, or were you talking in general? Ambassador STRAUSS. I was answering his question in general about that Central American aid, specifically about that. Senator HELMS. Well, I have serious problems with the report of the Kissinger Commission. For example, with respect to the advo- cacy of the land reform and that being made a condition. The Western Hemisphere Affairs Subcommittee of this committee has studied this subject a great deal. I think this land reform that we have thrust upon El Salvador has caused a lot of the violence down there. I do not know how it is in Texas, but in North Carolina, particularly eastern North Caroli- na, if you move in there and say, we are going to take your land here and give it to these folks there, you would have some bloody altercations in North Carolina. I think it depends on the conditions, and I just wondered if you had any opinion on the land reform. Ambassador STRAUSS. I learned a great deal about land reform that I did not know. I used to think I knew a good deal about it and found out that I knew very little about it, Senator Helms. I learned it is not nearly as simple as I thought it would be to break up the oligarchy of a handful of families who controlled all of the land in the country and took advantage of all the rest of the popu- lation. Well, I learned it is not easy while reforming to feed a country, to have products for exports. I learned how difficult it is to put a program in effect and make it work, despite all of your good ef- forts. But I also learned one more thing, that unless we get some kind of ownership in the hands of people there we are really never going to be able to stop this unrest and spread of Marxist-Leninist philos- ophy. I really believe that is one way to stop it. 137 What I also learned is, when those folks get paid for that land with money, they take what portion they get in money and they ship it into Miami and they go and live over in Miami, and they send money back over to fund death squads to go kill the poor devils who have gotten the land, so that they are scared to work it and the first thing you know it reverts back to them. There is no one there to work it. Now, that is a part of the problem, too. It is a very complex prob- lem, and whatever side you come down on philosophically you do not have all the answers. Senator HELMS. You are wrong. Ambassador STRAUSS. That is exactly right, you are just partially wrong at the very best, and it is just that simple or that complex. Senator HELMS. Well, they are not really paying for the land, so there is not really shipping of money. They are giving them notes. Ambassador STRAUSS. They are giving them notes and markers, but they are giving them some money, and they are taking that money. Now, it is not my opinion, Senator Helms. It is an historical fact, a provable fact, that money is exported from Central America, from El Salvador and others, directly into Miami and goes and feeds right back down there into those death squads. My judgment is, since we are talking about this, is that the FBI will prove that, now that they have gone to work on it. Senator HELMS. The FBI? Ambassador STRAUSS. Yes, sir, and others. And if they do that, if they prove those cases, if they do the right kind of investigative ef- forts—and I assume they will—they will make those cases and then we will see just how bad that situation is. Senator HELMS. Well, if that can be shown that would be some- thing. What I am saying, Bob, in response to what you said, is that the evidence has not yet been made available to me. Now, we have inquired of the FBI, we have inquired of the CIA, and we have in- quired of various agencies. What I want to know is the truth. Today I followed up a conversation that I had with the President on this very matter. I have suggested to him and urged him that whatever the facts are to lay them out for the American people, and let us not have all of this hearsay, because if this guy or that guy is involved in death squads, forgive me, but to hell with him. Ambassador STRAUSS. Yes, sir. I completely share your views, sir. And let me say, there is a hell of a lot more heat than there is light about what is going on down there. A lot of heat has been generated. Senator Mathias, I think, shares my view. Now, we heard evidence. We heard from people in whom I would place confidence, and we heard it from everybody at all levels there, from church people to labor leaders to business people to po- litical leaders, that that is exactly what is taking place. Now, there seems to be little question. Proving it, of course, is another matter. I think we can do it. Senator HELMs. I see the chairman has the gavel in hand and he may want me to speed this up. Senator MATHIAS. Well, I thought we ought to get back to multi- national financial institutions. 34-045 0-84-10 138 Ambassador STRAUSS. Senator Helms asked the questions. I only answered them, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. I did not want to interrupt in that important dialog. Ambassador STRAUSS. Thank you very much, and I am sorry that I took so much time. Senator, it is very nice to see you. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you. Mr. Debs. STATEMENT OF RICHARD A. DEBS, PRESIDENT, MORGAN STAN- LEY INTERNATIONAL, AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, MORGAN STANLEY AND CO., ON BEHALF OF THE CHAMBER OF COM- MERCE OF THE UNITED STATES, ACCOMPANIED BY KATHRYN YOUNG, DIRECTOR, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOP- MENT POLICY, U.S. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE Mr. DEBS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I might say I am appearing today on behalf of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. I am the Chairman of its Task Force on Internation- al Economic Development, and I am accompanied by John Rich- ards, sitting on our right, another member of the task force and vice president of the M. W. Kellogg Co., and Kathryn Young of the Chamber, who is sitting behind us. We very much welcome this opportunity, Mr. Chairman, to testi- fy in support of IDA. Over the years the Chamber has supported sustained and adequate funding for IDA and we do so because of its I might say, Mr. Chairman, that I have a written statement which I would like to submit for the record. I will try to summarize it. Senator MATHIAS. It will be included in the record. Mr. DEBS. Thank you. As we heard, for the forthcoming seventh replenishment, the ad- ministration has taken the position that the U.S. contribution should be decreased from existing levels, which would have the effect of reducing the overall worldwide IDA program substantial- ly. The chamber's position is that we would have preferred to see the U.S. contribution maintained at existing levels. However, in the circumstances we support the administration request of $750 million a year over the 3-year period as the minimum desirable level to fund IDA programs. We are not sure how this procedurally will work out. As you pointed out this morning, the bill is not in yet and there are other events that might happen. If, for example, during the course of this replenishment a supplemental funding program for IDA is put into place by the World Bank, the chamber would support participation by the United States to the extent necessary to restore IDA to its present levels. It is our understanding--as I say, there are many questions up in the air, but it is our understanding that a total of about $950 mil- lion per year by the United States would enable IDA, assuming in- creased shares by other donor countries, to restore its programs to close to existing levels. 139 The chamber has long supported multilateral development insti- tutions in which the United States is a participant. U.S. involve- ment advances, we believe, our overall economic, political, security, and humanitarian interests. This kind of assistance, we believe, is in the long-term interest of the United States. It provides a stabiliz- ing influence to help avoid political and social disruption and cre- ates long-term foreign markets for U.S. goods, services, and invest- ments. A very important consideration when we look at multilateral in- stitutions is the fact that we are the major shareholder in them. Our controlling interest provides us with a very strong influence over their policies and programs, and based on that position, as you mentioned this morning, Mr. Chairman, it gives us very strong le- verage in terms of our consideration. It enables us to get much more effectiveness for every dollar we put in. As you mentioned, for every dollar for IDA in particular, the other countries contribute about $3. Being a banker, I think this is a very good leverage position to be in. We certainly get a lot of bang for our dollar. I think, as the discussion came up earlier with Senator Biden and Bob Strauss in terms of looking at the playoff between, say, Central America and the IDA programs, one factor to keep in mind is that under the IDA programs we will contribute $1 and the rest of the world will contribute substantially more. Senator MATHIAS. There is a supplementary statistic which is an estimate of the economic activity generated in the United States by every IDA dollar, and I wonder if you happen to have that figure. Mr. DEBS. We do not have it in those forms, but we do have some figures on various elements that would go into that. But I will check. We certainly have a lot of data in here. I am not sure we can produce it in that fashion, but we would be glad to submit it for the record. Senator MATHIAS. I think that is an important element of this picture that should be before the Congress as it considers the IDA replenishment. Mr. DEBS. We would be happy to follow that up. [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] Mr. DEBS. In terms of U.S. policy interests and what we, through these multilateral development institutions, are trying to achieve, we are all familiar with the strategic importance and the social and humanitarian considerations. I would like this morning to focus a bit more specifically on the economic interests of the United States and the impact on the U.S. business community. There are several points, some of which have been made. First of all, of course, IDA helps to expand United States and world trade in general. As you know, the developing countries over the past few years have been the United States' fastest-growing export markets. In 1982 they accounted for close to 40 percent of total U.S. exports, and in the period from 1970 to 1982, exports to developing countries grew from about $11 billion to about $83 bil- lion. Although the current IDA recipient countries account for only about 15 to 20 percent of total U.S. exports, they should be looked 140 to for their potential as well. As we know, a specific objective of the IDA program, and one which has been met in many cases, is to graduate these countries from IDA, to expand their economies suf- ficiently so that they are no longer dependent on purely concession- ary financing. I think one of the leading examples that demon- strates the case very well is Korea. Korea is one of the IDA gradu- ates. As we know, without sustained economic growth developing countries would be unable to increase their imports which would have a negative effect on U.S. jobs and the U.S. economy in gener- al. Clearly, we have a direct interest in seeing that these countries are able to feed themselves and beyond that to produce, and take part in the world economy. This point has been eloquently covered by Robert Strauss. Second, a rather specific point that I think is important is the way IDA has developed in recent years a focus on promoting the private sector and free market economic initiatives. Current IDA efforts are emphasizing their economic policy dialog with member countries. The chamber is very pleased to see this kind of effort being made on behalf of IDA Both IDA and the World Bank, and in conjunction with the IMF and its programs of conditionality, have worked and been success- ful in opening the oil sector, for example, in India to foreign bid- ding. They have convinced China to accept market pricing princi- ples, helped reduce subsidies and price controls in many African countries, liberalized import policies in India, Pakistan, and China and several other countries where they have had high tariff bar- riers. And it is our understanding that many of these countries that have accepted this kind of approach, especially India, have done so on the assumption that these concessional flows will continue. It is a part of a program that they see, and they rely on this kind of flow for the future. In these ways, IDA is helping to build free market economies which offer potential future opportunities for U.S. investment, something which the chamber and I think, in general, the Ameri- can public is very much interested in seeing happen as a result of our foreign aid programs. Third and of very immediate impact is that the IDA program does provide procurement opportunities for U.S. companies. These are direct benefits that come out of it. Actually, as of last year, very roughly speaking, U.S. companies received close to 14 percent of total IDA procurement up until that point. That compares unfa- vorably, actually, with what the U.S. contribution has been to IDA, which at the present time is about a 25-precent portion of total IDA contribution. Other countries have done much better. That is, companies of other countries in competing for IDA procurement have done better. The chamber is concerned about this. As we look at it, we think it is a disappointing showing. We are undergoing a study of it and will be working on this to see how we could raise our U.S. participation. But this is a problem that goes quite beyond IDA. It really has to do with U.S. export inducements, help by our Government, and so forth. I might say that the United States does dominate procure- ! 141 ment in the energy and transportation sectors, and there are other areas that U.S. companies have done well in. There are also coun- tries where there are blended problems which combine IDA and World Bank loans and where the opportunities for U.S. companies are much better. We have statistics on those in the written state- ment. Basically, the idea again with this graduation program is to work toward a level where these countries are at that stage and where our U.S. procurement experience has been much better. I might say, in a very general way I am echoing some of the points made this morning by Senator Danforth in particular. The replenishment, the whole program, is really based on compelling immediate needs of these countries. Now is not the time to cut back. We are all emerging from a severe recession. A lot of it can be laid on our doorstep in terms of the policies that we have had to follow ourselves: The high dollar, high interest rates, and all, which have a domestic justification, but nevertheless which have had a real impact on the rest of the world. And whatever the cause of the problem, the problem certainly has been there. And now to cut back substantially on an IDA program we feel is neither wise nor just. In terms of impact on the budget, the U.S. Chamber, as I am sure you know, Mr. Chairman, is deeply concerned about control- ling U.S. Government expenditures, about the budget deficit in general, and is very reluctant to recommend any actions that would have an adverse impact. However, in the case of IDA, the expenditures required are relatively modest within our overall aid program, as discussed a few minutes ago, even as part of that mul- tilateral aid program. More importantly, these benefits that we see far outweigh the costs. In addition, the impact of the cost of an IDA program is much less than one might think at first glance. U.S. contributions are not given out in a lump sum. Instead, they are stretched out over a period of time. These funds have generally taken about 10 years to be disbursed. So the budgetary impact is definitely ex- tended over a longer period of time. Again, in terms of budgets and looking at the dollar, I think myself that this leveraging impact is a very important factor. It really gives us what we want to accomplish in terms of foreign policy objectives in a much more cost-efficient way. As I mentioned, there are some studies going on about the impact of a lower program on the recipient countries. I understand that the World Bank is working on the possibility of a supplemen- tal fund. That may be one of the mechanisms that may be pursued to increase the amount of the IDA program overall. If there is a supplemental fund, we think that would be particu- larly important to U.S. businessmen because there could be pro- curement restrictions placed on this supplemental fund if the United States does not contribute to it. And we have an experience from the past where U.S. businessmen were restricted from bidding on programs as a result of a supplemental fund in which the United States did not participate. 142 As I say, we do not know how this will work out, but we clearly do support as a minimum the administration request, and beyond that we would also support the level of U.S. participation that would maintain the overall IDA program at more or less existing levels. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Mr. Debs' prepared statement follows:] 143 STATEMENT on the INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION before the SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS for the CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES by Richard A. Debs February 29, 1984 I am Richard A. Debs, President of the investment banking firm of Morgan Stanley International, and Managing Director of Morgan Stanley and Co. Prior to joining the firm in 1976 I was First Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. I am chairman of the task force on International Economic Development of the Chamber of Commerce of the United States, on whose behalf I am appearing today. Accompanying me is John C. Richards, Vice President, Government Affairs, The M.W. Kellogg Company, and Kathryn Young, Director, International Economic Development Policy at the U.S. Chamber Mr. Richards, who also serves on the task force, represents a major construction and engineering company directly involved in international development worldwide. The Chamber welcomes the opportunity to testify in support of the International Development Association (IDA), a member institution of the World Bank group. Over the years, the Chamber has supported sustained and adequate funding for IDA because of its importance to U.S. interests. For the forthcoming seventh IDA replenishment, the Treasury Department has taken the position that the U.S. contribution should be decreased, which would have the effect of reducing the overall worldwide program substantially. Al though the other donor countries would have been prepared to maintain current levels of IDA funding at about $12 billion over the three year replenishment period, because of the U.S. position, the new agreement reduces the amount to about $9 billion. The resulting V.S. contribution is approximately $750 million a year for three years, as opposed to a U.S. contribution of about $950 million which would have been sufficient to maintain funding at existing level s. The Administration request represents a 30 percent reduction (46 percent in real terms) in the U.S. contribution. 144 1 ! I : While the Chamber would have preferred to see the U.S. contribution maintained at existing levels, we support the Administration request of $750 million per year over a three year period as the minimum desirable level to fund IDA programs and we urge prompt and favorable Congressional action on the request. If during the course of this replenishment, a supplemental funding program for IDA is put into place by the World Bank, the Chamber would support participation by the United States to the extent necessary to restore IDA to its present level. This would imply an additional U.S. contribution of up to $200 million per year over a three year period. The Chamber has long supported multilateral development institutions in which the United States participates. U.S. involvement in these organizations advances our overall economic, political, security and humanitarian interests in an increasingly interdependent world. Such assistance is in the long-term interests of the United States in promoting economic development, providing a stabilizing influence to help avoid political and social disruption engendered by economic hardship, and creating 1 ong-term foreign markets for U.S. goods, services and investment. An important consideration in supporting these institutions is the fact that the United States is the major shareholder. Controlling interest by the United States provides us with strong influence over the policies and programs of these institutions, and, based on that position, enables us to leverage the value of our contributions to obtain much greater effectiveness in achieving our own policy goals. For example, in the case of IDA, for every $1 the United States contributes, other countries contribute approximately $3. The Chamber strongly endorses IDA's current efforts to engage in economic policy dialogue with its member countries. In addition to IDA'S project financing and technical assistance, this policy approach is timely and practical, particularly when it assists countries in making difficult economic adjustments and fosters pro-growth, market-oriented strategies. 145 IDA Replenishment - The Need The Chamber's support for an adequate replenishment of IDA is based on the compelling argument of immediate need for sustained concessional assistance to the least developed countries as well as the fact that such assistance is in the long-term interests of the United States. Now is the wrong time to cut back capital flows to these countries, just when the world is emerging from its worst recession in forty years, with economic development having been brought virtually to a halt in the third world, and with international bank lending curtailed significantly. Faced with declining growth rates, deteriorating trade and rising poverty levels, the near-term outlook for most of these developing countries is bleak. The World Bank estimates that even with an optimistic 3.0 percent growth rate, the number of people in traditional IDA recipient countries would number 730 million in the year 2000. When China is added, this increases to close to two billion people. For many of these countries we are looking at a per capita GNP of less than $1 per day. Most IDA countries have little choice in financing their development alternate sources of funds simply are unavailable. Few of these countries are attractive for commercial bank lending or private foreign investment at this stage of their development. The terms attached to World Bank programs make 31 of IDA's recipients i neligible for World Bank 1 oans. Without a dequate and sustained concessional assistance, these countries face close to insurmountable odds in trying to accelerate their economic growth and alleviate conditions of poverty. Looking to the future, it is clear that much needs to be done to regain development momentum in the third world. Countries must make the necessary internal structural adjustments to generate growth, they must better manage existing debt, attract foreign investment, expand foreign exchange earnings to raise their debt-service capacity, and restore their creditworthiness. But they cannot do it all on their own. The United States has a responsibility to 146 work to maintain a strong open global trading system and continue a sustained flow of official concessional assistance to help them reverse course, recover and grow. The International Development Association The International Development Association was created in 1960 as the soft-1 oan affiliate of the World Bank. It makes highly concessional loans to 1 ow-income developing countries. More than 90 percent of IDA loans go to countries with a per capita income of less than $410, with the remainder to those with incomes between $411 and $731. Three principal criteria are used to determine a country's eligibility for IDA funds: (1) poverty - measured by per capita income, 2) creditworthiness - measured by ability to borrow from conventional sources, and 3) economic performance - including ability to make use of resources and the availability of suitable projects. Loans are for 50 years, with a grace period of 10 years. While there is no formal interest rate associated with the loans, there is an annual service charge of 0.75 percent on the loan and 0.5 percent on the undisbursed portion of each credit. Approximately 90 percent of IDA monies comes from its contributing members, seven percent from the World Bank's profits and the remainder from repayments from IDA borrowers. Currently there are 131 IDA member countries, 33 of which are contributing members. Approximately 50 countries are at present recipients of IDA assistance. Contributions are replenished on a three year cycle. Among the multilateral development agencies, IDA is by far the largest provider of concessional assistance. Over time, its share of official development assistance to developing countries has risen dramatically, from 3 percent in 1966, to 8 percent in 1970 to nearly 14 percent in 1981. In 1981, IDA flows represented 35 percent of total multilateral assistance. Since its inception IDA has committed $29 billion to more than 1,300 projects in 79 countries. The majority of its 1 oans have gone for agricultural and rural development and basic infrastructure including transport, energy and communication projects. IDA uses the same criteria as the World Bank in selecting projects for its loans. 147 Recently IDA has become involved increasingly in economic policy discussions with recipient countries. This "policy dialogue" has been supported with related financing through sector loans and structural adjustment lending. Unlike IDA's traditional lending, these loans do not finance specific projects, but rather are disbursed as the country makes necessary structural adjustments to reduce balance-of-payments problems. Working in conjunction with the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other donor countries, this dialogue is important in engendering the type of economic changes and long-term stability needed to attract other private financial flows in the future. IDA - Serving U.S. Interests Support for IDA is important in meeting U.S. interests, both from a long-term perspective and in achieving short-term objectives. It is essential that we as a nation understand the important role of multilateral development institutions such as IDA. Economic development is, by definition, long term, requiring an ongoing commitment by both donor and recipient countries. It is a complex and delicate process, not easily achieved even in well-established or advanced industrial environments. In the more tenuous economic environment of the developing countries, the resources and expertise of multilateral development institutions such as IDA are essential to the process. United States participation should be considered an investment in our future and in the future of half the world's population having few other recourses to development. Specifically, IDA serves the following essential V.S. foreign policy and U.S. business interests: Ensuring Political/Strategic Objectives IDA lends to several key countries which are of strategic importance to the United States. These include: Somalia and Kenya in the horn of Africa; Sudan, which borders Libya, Chad and Egypt; North Yemen in the Arab Peninsula; Pakistan, which is now a front-line state in South Asia; Zimbabwe, which is a key country in the Angola, Mozambique, South Africa mosaic; and to Haiti and the Eastern Caribbean in the Western Hemisphere. Together these countries account for nearly 15 - 20 percent of IDA 148 lending. All of these economies are very fragile. Further strains could cause major political difficulties which could lead to the destabilization of pro-Western governments and their possible replacement by less sympathetic regimes. IDA has lent large amounts in these countries for projects aimed at reducing rural and urban poverty, meeting infrastructure needs, expanding industrial output, increasing agricultural productivity, raising literacy rates and extending life expectancy. The stabilizing influence provided by IDA and other multilateral organizations is an important precondition to U.S. business involvement in these countries. Meeting Humanitarian Needs Sub-Saharan Africa and Bangladesh which account for close to half of total IDA allocations - remain in a precarious economic situation. As the case of Bangladesh demonstrates, IDA can be invaluable in shoring up a country's economic foundations. IDA played a crucial role in coordinating and organizing donor assistance which has done much to ensure Bangladesh's survival. Al though still very poor, Bangladesh has made considerable economic strides in the last decade: GNP per capita has increased from $90 in 1981 to over $150 in 1983 (in 1980 dollars), literacy rates and life expectancy have increased, agricultural output has grown steadily at a rate of 3 percent annually and industry at over 10 percent annually since 1970. Africa, however, is another story with sustained declines in per capita income and increases in levels of population growth which have negated any increases in output. Africa's infrastructure has deteriorated and its dependency on food imports risen dramatically. Without continued concessional aid, the prospects of reversing these trends are discouraging. Expanding U.S. and World Trade In recent years, the developing countries have been the fastest growing export markets for the United States. In 1982, they accounted for close to 40 percent of total U.S. exports. From 1970 to 1982, exports to developing countries grew from $10.8 billion to $82.7 billion. 149 Al though countries currently qualified as IDA recipients account for only about 15-20 percent of total U.S. exports, these countries should be looked to for their potential as future viable trading partners. A specific objective of IDA's approach is to "graduate" countries from IDA to help expand their economies sufficiently so that they are no 1 onger dependent on purely concessional assistance programs. Some of our current major LDC trading partners, as in the case of Korea, have "graduated" from needing IDA assistance. Without sustained economic growth, developing countries will be unable to increase their imports, with a resulting negative impact on U.S. exports and the U.S. economy. Recent deteriorating economic and financial problems throughout much of the developing world have had a predictably adverse impact on our trade with these countries. In recent years, U.S. exports to IDA countries declined steadily, from $9.1 billion in 1980 to $7.9 billion in 1982. For the January November 1983 period, U.S. exports to these countries slipped even further to $6.6 billion, an 11 percent decline from the $7.4 billion registered in the corresponding period in 1982. Cumulatively, this $2.5 billion fall in V.S. exports has meant less U.S. production and fewer new jobs. If world trade is to expand and if the U.S. economy is to benefit, the countries on the lower end of the development scale must continue to grow. Our country has much at stake to ensure an economically advancing developing world. Decline and stagnation there means an erosion in our own economic recovery. Promoting Private Sector and Free Market Economic Initiatives - The Chamber is pleased to see IDA's increased emphasis on promoting private sector initiatives and market-oriented policies in the countries where it operates. For example, IDA and the World Bank, in conjunction with the IMF, worked to open the oil sector in India to foreign bidding; convinced China to accept market pricing principles, and helped reduce 150 elaborate subsidy and price control mechanisms in virtually all the African countries in which IDA operates. Its policies in agricultural development stress reliance on small private farms and on small entrepreneurs in the industrial sector. IDA's policy efforts have been successful in liberalizing import policies in India, Pakistan, China and several other major countries which had high tariff walls and trade barriers. It is our understanding that many of these countries, especially India, have opened their economies on the assumption that reasonable flows of concessional assistance would continue. By laying the groundwork for sustained economic development, IDA is helping to build free market economies which offer potential future opportunities for U.S. investment and expanded areas for V.S. financial and service activities. To the extent these countries can be integrated as productive members of a stable world trading and financial system, U.S. business and employment will benefit. Providing Procurement Opportunities for U.S. Companies Of immediate and direct benefit to V.S. companies are procurement opportunities associated with IDA project contracts. As of June 30, 1983, U.S. companies had secured a total of $1.5 billion in IDA contracts, which is approximately 14 percent of total IDA procurement. Since the inception of IDA the United States has contributed $9.6 billion, or 39 percent of total IDA funds. At the present time the U.S. share of the total is about 25 percent. In either case, on a percentage basis the procurement figure for V.S. business is not particularly noteworthy. Japanese, German, U.K. and French companies all have fared better, with procurement shares having exceeded commitment shares. The United States does dominate procurement in the energy and transportation sectors and U.S. consultants have been successful in providing technical advice financed by IDA. In addition, IDA projects often provide an entry for U.S. firms to explore non-IDA financed opportunities in the recipient country. 151 In those countries where there are "blended" programs combining IDA credits and World Bank 1 oans and in countries where only the World Bank operates, procurement opportunities are greater. For example, in FY 1983 (July 1, 1982 - June 30, 1983), U.S. companies benefited from $174 million out of a total IDA procurement of $2.6 billion, while receiving $699 million in World Bank contracts out of a total procurement of $6.8 billion. It is therefore in the direct interest of U.S. business to help the least developed countries served by IDA to graduate, expand their economies, and move to procurement based on non-concessionary financing. Because the Chamber is concerned with the disappointing showing of U.S. companies in obtaining IDA procurement in the past, we are undertaking à thorough analysis of the reasons for the low figure and plan to develop recommendations to improve the situation for our companies. Next month in conjunction with the World Bank, we are coordinating a major seminar in New York to inform V.S. companies about business opportunities provided by the World Bank group and to advise them about how best to take advantage of these opportunities. We are confident that both these efforts will yield results for U.S. companies. Effectiveness of IDA Programs On the question of the overall effectiveness of IDA, in its 1982 review of the role of the United States in multilateral development banks, the Treasury Department concluded that, by and large, these banks have been effective in contributing to U.S. global economic and financial objectives. The report found that the soft-1 oan windows are particularly effective in contributing to U.S. humanitarian objectives, by alleviating poverty and improving material well-being in the poorest countries. In response to outside criticism that multilateral banks provide loans which promote irresponsible policies and that they sometimes discriminate against the private sector, the Treasury study found instead that most of the projects are economically sound and there is little evidence that the banks' loans discriminate against the private sector. The Chamber is interested in the extent of IDA's support for the indigenous private sector and we will be 1 ooking into this matter further. 152 One demonstration of the fact that IDA does work is the experience of several countries which received large amounts of IDA assistance in the 1960s and 1970s and have now graduated from IDA. Many of these "graduates" have been of key political and economic interest to the United States. They include: Korea, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Egypt, Morocco, Turkey, Jordan, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic and Ecuador. Al together, over 27 countries which formerly received IDA funds have now graduated. In many of these cases, IDA was instrumental in ensuring their economic survival and contributing to their eventual growth. Budgetary Impact The Chamber is deeply concerned about controlling U.S. government expenditures and is reluctant to recommend actions that would have an adverse impact on the U.S. budget deficit. However, in the case of IDA, the expenditures required are relatively modest within the context of our overall foreign assistance program. (Proposed expenditures on IDA are only five percent of the Administration's FY 1985 request for foreign assistance. ) More importantly, the benefits, both immediate and 1 ong term, far outweigh the costs, In addition, the impact of the cost of IDA on the U.S. budget is much less than might seem the case. U.S. contributions to IDA are not allocated to the World Bank in a lump-sum, single payment, but instead are stretched out over time, Payouts of IDA credits for individual projects generally are extended over a ten year period. The Bank draws on the obligated funds from the Treasury over the life of a project as need arises. This is usually between one to two percent in the first year with the heaviest spending coming in the fourth to seventh years. We would note again that U.S. contributions to IDA are highly leveraged. The leveraging means that our development dollars, when channeled through multilateral organizations such as IDA, can be stretched further and accomplish more, lessening the direct aid burden on the United States, while at the same time, achieving our foreign policy objectives by virtue of our controlling interest in these organizations. 153 Impact of Reduced Resources for IDA The impact of the proposed reduction in resources available to IDA is currently being evaluated by World Bank officials. At a minimum, the reduction is likely to aggravate present economic difficulties experienced by many of the IDA recipient countries. The entry of China into IDA further complicates the competition for scarce funds. For illustrative purposes, the Bank has prepared an analysis of the impact of reduced funding on India, a major IDA recipient. It shows that even if all other factors were favorable, if IDA allocations were cut proportionately across all beneficiaries, the growth rate of India's GNP per capita would fall by more than 10 percent (from 2.6 percent per annum to 2.3 percent). This scenerio would return India to the pattern of slow growth that it has so long struggled to leave behind. Progress would still be made in reducing poverty but the absolute poor would number 240 million in 1995 rather than the 180 million that would exist with a larger IDA-VII allocation. Such a reversal of growth would be unfortunate. .. Di sappointed by a $9 billion level rather than the hoped for $12 billion replenishment, World Bank management is pursuing efforts to secure supplemental resources for IDA. If such a supplemental can be put in place, the Chamber would urge Congressional endorsement, to the extent that such funds did not exceed $200 million per year over a three year period. Added to the annual replenishment of $750 million, a total of $950 million per annum would enable IDA, with increased shares by other donor countries, to restore its programs to close to existing levels and permit it to meet the urgent needs of its members. U.S. participation in any supplemental fund is particularly important to business because of the possibility of procurement restrictions on such funds. In 1982, the World Bank found it necessary to create a $2 billion supplemental fund to make up for a short-fall caused by the U.S. decision to stretch its commitment to IDA-VI over four years, instead of the usual three year period. A portion of that fund was restricted to procurement only to donor country companies. Since the United States did not participate in the supplemental, our companies were ineligible to bid on related projects. To date, U.S. firms have been excluded from bidding on approximately $540,000 worth of contracts from this special fund. 34-045 0-84-11 154 Conclusion As a minimum, we request that this committee approve the Administration's request to support U.S. contributions to the seventh IDA replenishment at the level of $750 million over a three year period. Economic development is a long-term process, requiring a long-term and sustained commitment. Maintaining an ongoing flow of concessional development assistance is crucial to the low-income countries of the world to help secure development, alleviate poverty, encourage economic adjustment and expand world trade. To advance our own interests and those of the world economy, Congress should continue to exercise responsible economic and political leadership by maintaining an adequate level of support for IDA. 155 Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Mr. Debs. Ambassador Phillips, it is a great personal pleasure to welcome you to this committee. STATEMENT OF HON. CHRISTOPHER H. PHILLIPS, PRESIDENT, THE NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR UNITED STATES-CHINA TRADE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Ambassador PHILLIPS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is a great pleasure to be here this morning to contribute what I can to these important hearings. Mr. Chairman, I have submitted a more complete statement to the committee for the record and, recognizing that time is of the essence, I will try to boil that down. Senator MATHIAS. Your full statement will appear in the record. Ambassador PHILLIPS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would like to say at the outset that I endorse the World Bank's IDA program for China for two basic reasons: First, because of the commercial opportunities that the program offers to American ex- porters; and second, because I believe that this program serves our broad national interests as they relate to China's orderly economic development. Now, the IDA program in China, of course, is only one part of a comprehensive World Bank program for that country. For exam- ple, through its teaching arm, the Economic Development Institute, the bank has trained hundreds of Chinese planners, managers and economists. It has also encouraged the Chinese to experiment with completely new economic institutions, such as the China Invest- ment Bank, which we feel should increase China's ability to allo- cate economic resources more efficiently. The World Bank program in China is, of course, not restricted to IDA loans. Although China, contrary to some statements made ear- lier in these hearings, is in fact a very poor country, the bank and the Chinese have agreed that China should accept substantial loans from the World Bank's normal loan window, where interest rates are based on the World Bank's cost of money. This results in an interest cost to borrowers of about 11 percent. I am aware, of course, that there are those who criticize the IDA program in China. Some say that China is not a poor country. Others argue that China should not be eligible because of its large foreign exchange. reserves. Finally, some are concerned that IDA is making loans that would be more appropriate for commercial bank lending. I would like to comment very briefly on each of those three issues. The IDA portion of the World Bank program is available for countries whose per capita GNP is less than $790. The Chinese per capita GNP of around $300 is clearly well below that amount. Anybody who has traveled extensively in that huge and diverse country also knows that many regions in China are significantly poorer than others. The IDA program is primarily aimed at help- ing those Chinese who live in China's poorest areas. China currently holds foreign exchange reserves of at least $14 billion. This is exclusive of their gold reserves. But that is likely to 156 be a temporary situation. It is well to remember that other coun- tries have had similar experience in the past. India, for example, also a major IDA recipient, accumulated large foreign exchange reserves in the late 1970's, but those de- clined rapidly as India accelerated its development programs. Simi- larly, China will clearly not be able to generate sufficient foreign exchange to meet its capital needs during the next couple of dec- ades. Another key concern is that the IDA program is competing with commerical bank lending to China. IDA credits already extended to China or those planned for the future are allocated for very long- term infrastructure projects which neither generate foreign ex- change revenues nor provide immediate rates of return that would interest private bankers. In fact, the World Bank program, by in- troducing China to the benefits of private foreign capital, will have the effect of stimulating commercial bank opportunities in that country. Now, Mr. Chairman, let me turn to the main reason for my testi- mony this morning: The commercial opportunities that IDA offers to U.S. firms, which Mr. Debs has already touched upon briefly. Under the recent agreement for the seventh replenishment of IDA, we estimate that IDA will make future annual commitments of some $600 million a year to China. In addition to IDA funding, China is expected to borrow a similar amount each year from the IBRD. Thus, the World Bank's total lending program to China during the latter part of the 1980's is likely to be between $1.0 and $1.5 billion a year. This program therefore presents substantial opportunities for American companies. The IDA and the IBRD programs are aimed at upgrading China's basic economic infrastructure. These include areas such as education and scientific research, large-scale com- mercial agriculture and forestry, transportation projects, and energy resource development. Significantly, those are areas in which American firms are among the world's technological leaders and they are competitive in price. As a result, the IDA and the IBRD projects in China have stimu- lated substantial interest among American companies. We estimate that on the first four IDA projects more than 50 American compa- nies have tendered bids. Many others have expressed their strong interest to us in projects for which bids have not yet been invited. So far, American companies have done very well in the bidding for these projects. Overall, U.S. firms have won orders for about $100 million, or roughly 50 percent of the total amount tendered to date. Contracts were awarded to:34 American firms valued at $58 million, for such things as computers, scientific instruments, and other laboratory equipment, under the two programs to modernize China's educational system. In the statement I submitted to the committee you will find, Mr. Chairman, a list of some of those com- panies, as well as others, such as Deere and Caterpillar from the agriculture and construction machinery industries, which have won bids for projects in those sectors. We believe that American companies will continue to do well in IDA and other World Bank projects in China because most, as I 157 have said, are concentrated in those sectors in which the U.S. com- petitive position is relatively strong. Because of the success we have had to date in winning IDA con- tracts, I am concerned, as others have been today, by the recent de- cision of the administration not to support higher IDA funding levels. As I understand the situation, nearly all the other donor countries were prepared to allocate additional funds for an expand- ed IDA program. I think it is reasonable to assume that many of these countries will simply redirect their economic assistance into their own bilat- eral aid programs. The result will be fewer marketing oppotunities for American companies, because, of course, it is much easier for U.S. companies to win contracts through IDA than under foreign assistance programs from other countries. While economic assistance is generally not supposed to be tied to the exports of the donor countries, it would be naive to believe that there was not a close link between a country's economic assistance program and its commercial goals. Certainly in the case of China, our experience is that other countries are aggressively using their foreign aid programs to promote their own commercial interests. Senator MATHIAS. That is known as do well by doing good. Ambassador PHILLIPS. Precisely, Mr. Chairman. The two con- verge. In my prepared statement, you will find examples of bilateral aid programs which provide concessionary financing on sales to China. For all practical purposes, these preclude bidding by U.S. compa- nies. And, of course, the United States provides no concessionary financing of its own to help our companies meet the competition from other countries which do. Mr. Chairman, my main theme this morning is that many U.S. companies have concluded that the IDA projects do serve their own commercial interests. But the World Bank's efforts in China also indirectly benefit American firms in other important ways. They do so by increasing China's involvement in the international eco- nomic community. This is not only desirable from the point of view of companies, but is also consistent with our more general foreign policy objectives. The World Bank advises China, as we at the National Council do, that China will derive significant economic advantages from fur- ther opening its economy to foreign trade and investment. The bank believes, and we agree, that China would be wise to take much greater advantage of international capital markets. Use of foreign capital in any form has been a significant break from China's previous policies. As little as 6 years ago, long-term capital assistance of any kind was prohibited. Now the Chinese are utilizing not only the World Bank's IDA no-interest loans, but IBRD funds which, as I have mentioned, have a floating rate cur- rently around 11 percent. Now, that is a very significant step toward utilizing foreign capital on commercial terms for China. Finally, the World Bank projects introduce the Chinese to new ideas, institutions and techniques that not only will be helpful to them, but will also provide commerical opportunities for American firms. 158 These are not my ideas alone. The Chinese themselves have reached similar conclusions. On the question of China's future cap- ital needs, China's leaders have publicly stated that their current large foreign exchange reserves is—and I quote a Chinese official who made this statement—"a very temporary phenomenon. They have told us that the development of China's energy re- sources, its transport and communications systems and other prior- ity sectors will require huge capital inflows during the late 1980's and the 1990's. Inevitably, this will necessitate increasing reliance on international capital markets. Only last month, Bu Ming, Presi- dent of the Bank of China, announced plans to raise foreign ex- change from commercial sources for the development of nuclear power plants, open pit coal mines, and offshore oil exploration and development. And, on the more basic question of the role of the World Bank to act as a bridge in bringing Western practices and institutions to China, it is interesting to note that an official Chinese spokesman recently stated: “The important thing is not the money alone in working with the World Bank, but that China is also introduced to trends and ideas in international economic cooperation and finan- cial management.” I heartily endorse that observation. To conclude, Mr. Chairman, I believe the World Bank IDA pro- gram is important. It is providing American business with signifi- cant additional commercial opportunities in a very difficult and a very tough market. But even more important in the long term is the impact that the World Bank's total China program will have on encouraging the Chinese to participate to an increasing extent in the international economy. This is clearly in the interests of the Chinese, of the U.S. Government, and of our own private companies. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Ambassador Phillips' prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. CHRISTOPHER H. PHILLIPS Mr. Chairman, I am pleased to be here this morning to participate in these hear- in on the seventh replenishment for the International Development Associa n. As suggested I will focus my remarks on the China dimension of the program. I endorse the World Bank IDA program for China for two basic reasons: First, because of the commercial opportunities IDA offers to American exporters and, second, because I believe this program serves our broad national interests as they relate to China's orderly economic development. 1. THE IDA PROGRAMS IN CHINA The IDA program in China is, or course, only one aspect-although perhaps the most critical part-of a comprehensive World Bank program for China. We should remember that the World Bank program in China is based on the most comprehen- sive economic study ever made of China. This study has identified important weak- nesses in China's economic infrastructure and planning. In addition, the World Bank through its teaching arm, the Economic Development Institute, has trained hundreds of Chinese planners, managers, economists and other officials. The World Bank has also encouraged the Chinese to experiment with completely new economic institutions such as the China Investment Bank which should increase China's abili- ty to allocate economic resources efficiently. II. COMMERCIAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR U.S. FIRMS At the present time, the World Bank has committed or is preparing about 30 loan projects to China with a total value of $2.7 billion. Of this total we estimate that 159 roughly $1 billion are IDA loans. Under the recent agreements for the seventh re- plenishment of IDA, we estimate that IDA will make annual commitments of $600 million per year to China. This would be roughly equivalent to one-half of the World Bank's total lending program to China which is likely to be on the order of 1 to 1.5 billion per year. This program therefore presents substantial opportunities for U.S. business. The IDA and IBRD programs are aimed at upgrading China's basic economic infrastruc- ture. The bulk of the loans will go to four key sectors: education and scientific re- search, large scale commercial agriculture and forestry, transportation projects and energy resource development. These programs fit China's current economic needs and priorities perfectly. Significantly, these are areas in which U.S. firms are among the world's technological leaders and are competitive in price. As a result, the IDA and IBRD projects in China have stimulated substantial in- terest among U.S. firms. We estimate that on the first four IDA projects (two in education and two in agriculture), more than 50 U.S. companies have tendered bids. Many others have expressed to us strong interest in projects for which bids have not yet been invited. But the World Bank program in China is not restricted to IDA loans. Although China is an extremely poor country, the World Bank (IBRD) and the Chinese have agreed that it is appropriate for China to accept substantial loans from the World Bank's normal loan window. The interest rate for IBRD loans is based on the World Bank's cost of money, and currently cost the borrower 11 percent per annum. My testimony this morning will focus primarily on the IDA program in China but we should not forget that the rest of the World Bank's program for China also bene- fits U.S. exporters and U.S. interests generally. I am aware, of course, there are those who criticize the IDA program in China. Some say that China is not a poor country. Others argue that China should not be eligible because of its large foreign exchange reserves. Finally, some are concerned that IDA is making loans that would be more appropriate for commercial bank lending. Let me deal with those issues right now. The IDA portion of the World Bank Program is available for countries whose per capita GNP is less than $790. The Chinese per capita GNP of around $300 is well below this amount. Standard measures of economic development such as the number of people in agriculture, the number of telephones per capita and the calor- ic intake per day also rank China among the world's poorer countries. Anyone who has traveled extensively in that huge and diverse country also knows that many regions in China are significantly poorer than others. The IDA program is aimed predominantly at helping those Chinese living in China's poorest areas. China currently holds foreign exchange reserves of at least $14 billion. However, this is a temporary situation. It is instructive to remember that other countries have had similar short term situations. India, also a major IDA recipient, experi- enced a similar surge in reserves in the late 1970's, but these declined as India ac- celerated its development program. Similarly, China will in no way be able to gener- ate sufficient foreign exchange to meet its capital needs in the next two decades. Another key concern is that the IDA program is competing with commercial bank lending to China. IDA credits already extended to China or planned for the future are allocated to very long-term infrastructure projects which do not generate foreign exchange revenues nor do they have immediate rates of return that would interest private bankers. In fact, I will argue later that the World Bank program in China will introduce China to the benefits of utilizing private foreign capital and, in the long run, will stimulate commercial bank opportunities in China. Now, let me turn to the main reason for my testimony this morning-the com- mercial opportunities that IDA offers U.Ş. firms. So far U.S. companies have done very well in the bidding on the first five IDA projects. Overall, U.S. firms have won orders for about $100 million, or roughtly 50 percent of the total amount tendered to date. Thirty-four U.S. firms were awarded contracts valued at $58 million for computers, scientific instruments and other labo ratory equipment under the two programs to modernize China's educational system. Among the winning companies were Honeywell, FMC, Gould Electronics, ÉG&G, John Fluke, Jarrell-Ash, Digital Electronics, duPont, Bausch and Lomb, AMPEX, American Hospital Supply, Hewlett Packard, Beckman, Nicolet, Crimenco, Perkin Elmer, Varian and Finnegan. As one would expect, competition from Japan, Germa- ny and other European countries was intense. U.S. producers of agricultural and construction machinery fared even better on a project to introduce large scale commercial farming to China's Heilongjiang prov- ince. The John Deere and Caterpillar Corporations won two-thirds of the awards for equipment to be procured under this loan. 160 sources. But China is also short of the necessary investment funds to develop these Although our companies have been very successful in winning contracts for the IDA supported projects, they have experienced some difficulties with the detailed procedures for finalizing and implementing their contracts. These are too detailed to discuss in this forum and they do not alter companies' support for IDA's programs in China. However, I do hope that the World Bank and the Chinese will carefully consider the opinions of the participating companies with a view to improving the future implementation of this program. U.S. companies should continue to do well on IDA and on other World Bank projects in China because most are concentrated in those sectors in which the U.S. competitive position is relatively strong. In view of our success to date in winning IDA contracts, I am concerned by the recent decision of the administration not to support higher IDA funding levels. As I understand the situation, nearly all other donor countries were prepared to allocate additional funds for an expanded IDA program. I think it is reasonable to assume that many of these countries will simply redirect their economic assistance into their own bilateral aid programs. I believe that the result will be fewer marketing opportunities for U.S. companies because it is far easier for U.S. companies to win contracts through IDA than under foreign assistance programs from other coun- tries. While economic assistance is generally not supposed to be tied to the exports of the donor countries, it would be naive to believe that there is not a close link be- tween a country's economic assistance program and its commercial goals. Certainly in the case of China, our experience is that other countries are aggressively using their foreign aid programs to promote their own commercial interests. Japan is the leader in bilaterial aid to China. In the past 5 years Japan has made available through its Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund 1.3 billion US dollars at 3 percent over a 30-year period with 10-year grace periods. $910 million, or 70 per- cent, of this, was in effect tied to Japanese export because bidding was limited to companies from less developed countries and Japan. Japanese firms naturally won most of the business since few less developed countries had the technology needed for the aid projects. According to one official source, Japanese concessional financ- ing to China will total an additional $4.7 billion through 1988. The aid program to China of other countries are smaller but they are also closely related to the commercial goals their private firms are pursuing. Denmark has given millions of dollars in long term interest free loans which the Chinese have used primarily to purchase Danish Dairy production equipment. Belgium provides an annual interest free loan of 300 million francs (or $6 million) toward the pur- chase of Belgian products. The economic aid programs of Australia and Norway are actively supporting their companies efforts to win hydropower and cement projects. III. THE WORLD BANK PROGRAM: A "BRIDGE" TO GREATER CHINESE INVOLVEMENT IN THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC COMMUNITY Mr. Chairman, my main theme this morning is that many U.S. companies have concluded that the IDA projects serve their own commercial interests. However, I think that the World Bank's efforts in China will also indirectly benefit U.S. firms in other important ways. These World Bank programs will generally increase China's involvement in the international economic community, which is not only de- sirable from the point of view of U.S. companies, but is also consistent with our more general foreign policy objectives. Improved ports will have a direct bearing on improving China's capacity to expand foreign trade. The educational projects and the World Bank's training pro- grams for Chinese enterprise managers, bankers, economists and planners will strengthen China's decision making and ultimately make China more accessible and predictable for our business people. Second, the World Bank's advice to China is similar to our own. Namely, that China will derive significant economic advantages from further opening its economy to foreign trade and investment. The World Bank believes, and I agree, that China would be wise to take much greater advantage of international capital markets. China is a country with enormous energy potential, raw materials and human re resources. Use of foreign capital in any form has been a significant break from China's previous policies. As little as 6 years ago, long term capital assistance of any kind was prohibited. Now the Chinese are utilizing not only the World Bank's IDĂ no interest loans but IBRD funds which, as I have mentioned, have a floating rate currently around 11.0 percent. This is a significant step towards utilizing foreign capital on commercial terms. 161 Finally, the World Bank projects introduce the Chinese to new ideas, institutions and techniques that not only will be helpful to them but will also provide commer- cial opportunities for U.S. firms. These are not just my ideas. There is evidence that the Chinese themselves have reached similar conclusions. On the question of China's future capital needs, China's leaders have publicly stated that their current large foreign exchange reserves is a "temporary phenomena." They have emphasized that the development of China's energy resources, transport and communications systems will necessitate significant capital inflows during the late 1980's and 1990's. Just last month, Bu Ming, Presi- dent of the Bank of China, announced plans to raise foreign exchange from commer- cial sources for the development of a nuclear power plant, open pit coal mines and offshore oil exploration and development. And, on the more basic question of the role of the World Bank to act as a "bridge” in bringing Western practices and insti- tutions to China, it is interesting to note that an official Chinese spokesman recent- ly stated that "The important thing is not the money alone in working with the World Bank, but that China is also introduced to trends and ideas in international economic cooperation and financial management." I heartily endorse this observa- tion. CONCLUSION Mr. Chairman, the World Bank's IDA program is important. It is providing U.S. business with significant additional commercial opportunities in a very difficult market. But even more important in the long term is the impact that the World Bank's total program of advice, institution building and infrastructure projects will have on encouraging the Chinese to participate, to a greater and greater degree, in the inter- national economy. This is in the interest of the Chinese, the U.S. Government and our private companies. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much, Ambassador Phillips. Mr. Richards. STATEMENT OF JOHN C. RICHARDS, VICE PRESIDENT, M. W. KELLOGG CO., WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. RICHARDS. Mr. Chairman, I am Jack Richards with the M. W. Kellogg Co., and I am always very quick to point out that we are not the cornflakes company; we are an engineering construc- tion company. But in that context, and following Chris Phillips of the United States-China Trade Council, I might mention that in China, where we have built 16 fertilizer plants since 1973, the name Kellogg is synonymous with food because of the increased production resulting from fertilizers. Our company is well known in the oil and petrochemical indus- try and has been internationally operative for many years going back to the 1920's. I am here joining with Richard Debs of the chamber of commerce urging strong support for IDA. We have had a long and successful experience in working with IDA and other MDB's and I would like to tell you briefly of our past and current experience. În the 1970's, in the early part, we were awarded a contract by the Indonesian Government owned fertilizer company, PUSRI, for a large ammonia plant to be erected in South Sumatra. This project, known as PUSRI II, had a soft window financial support from IDA and lines of credit from other MDB's and the AID. In considering this project for financial support, we were im- pressed by the thorough study made by the World Bank personnel of the economic and technical feasibility of the project. In fact, we learned that when the Bank places a seal of approval on a project other MDB's come on board without hesitation. 162 On completion of the project, we also sensed the important impact made on the Indonesian economy in increasing food grain yields and in the approach to the achievement of country self-suffi- ciency in fertilizer production. The project was so successful that Kellogg was awarded PUSRI III and IV at the same site, resulting in a urea fertilizer capacity increase from 300 to 4,900 metric tons per day. PUSRI II included IDA funds, as I have said, along with other MDB funds, including ADB, and Japan's OECF, along with AID funds. At the time of PUSRI III and IV, the Indonesian economy had improved sufficiently to allow a graduation from IDA's soft window funds to a joint funding by IDRB and the Saudi Arabian Development Fund. In my opinion this graduation, along with that of 20 other countries in the early 1970's, is at the very least a measure of the beneficial effect of the IDA programs in fostering economic growth and prosperity in developing countries. In our experience, we also found that IDA-supported projects produce a multiplier effect in creating ongoing business in the engi- neering and construction industry. For example, our introduction to Indonesia in 1971 with the PUSRI projects led later to the award of two other fertilizer projects at Kalimantan and Java, as well as a very large aromatics plant that we are working on in Sumatra. It is important also to note that these large projects resulted in increased exports of manufactured goods that comprise something like 60 percent of the total project cost. When American contrac- tors are successful in these projects, it is most likely that a large proportion of the equipment selection will be from U.S. suppliers. We have completed or are currently working on IDA-supported fertilizer projects in Multan, Pakistan, and in the Bombay high gas fields of India. We are today anxiously awaiting the results of an- other IDA-funded ammonia urea project bidding competition in Bangladesh. The future points to many other potential projects in developing countries of Africa, Latin America and the Far East, particularly in the PRC. In most of these countries, IDA and other MDB support will be required. To summarize, our industry is convinced of the effectiveness of IDA in sustaining the long-term economic growth and improve- ment of the lower income developing countries. The programs expand world trade, leading to improved exports of U.S. goods and services. Additionally, the IDA programs assume an important role in fostering and furthering the strategic and foreign policy inter- ests of the United States. For these reasons, I am pleased to add my enthusiastic support to the U.S. Chamber request that this committee provide early fa- vorable endorsement of the U.S. contributions to the seventh re- plenishment of IDA at the minimum level of $750 million over a 3- year period. I thank you for your attention. [Mr. Richards' prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF JOHN C. RICHARDS I am Jack Richards, vice president of The M.W. Kellogg Company, a subsidiary of The Signal Companies. For some of you who may think the name Kellogg is associ- 163 ated only with breakfast cereals, I must quickly identify us as the design, engineer- ing and construction Kellogg. Kellogg is known worldwide in the oil and petrochemical industry, and our major engineering and construction activities are in oil refineries, in fertilizer plants, where we have built more than half of the world's nitrogen capacity, and in build- ing large liquefied natural and petroleum gas processing facilities. We have operat- ed internationally since the late 1920's when we designed and erected the first oil refinery units at Abadan in Iran for the old Anglo-Iranian Oil Company. Currently more than half of our business is overseas with a large proportion being undertaken in the developing world where we work extensively with leading agencies such as the World Bank. I welcome this opportunity to join with Richard Debs before this Committee in urging strong support for IDA. My company has had a long and successful experi- ence in working with IDA and other multilateral development banks' (MDB's) pro- grams, and I would like to tell you briefly of both this past and current experience. In the early 1970s, we were awarded a contract by the Indonesian government owned fertilizer company, PUSRI, for a large ammonia plant to be erected at Pa- lembang in South Sumatra. This project, PUSRI II, had 'IDA "soft loan” financial support along with lines of credit from AID and other MDB's. In considering this project for financial support, we were impressed by the thorough study made by World Bank personnel of the economic and technical feasibility of the project. In fact, we learned that when the World Bank places a seal of approval on a project, other MDB's come on board without hesitation. On completion of the project, we also sensed the important impact it made on the Indonesian economy in increasing food grain yields, and in the approach to achievement of country self-sufficiency in fertilizer production. The project was so successful that Kellogg was awarded PUSRI III and IV at the same site resulting in a urea fertilizer capacity increase over five to six years from 300 to 4900 metric tons per day. PUSRI II included IDA funds along with funds from AID, ADB and Japan's OECF. At the time of PUSRI III and IV, the Indonesian economy had improved suf- ficiently to allow a "graduation" from ÍDA "soft window" funds to a joint funding by IBRD and the Saudi Arabia Development Fund. I believe this "graduation" along with that of more than twenty other countries in the 1960–70's is at the very least a measure of the beneficial effect of the IDA programs in fostering economic growth and prosperity in developing countries. In our experience, we have found that IDA supported projects produce a “multi- plier effect” in creating on-going business in the engineering and construction in- dustry. For example, our introduction to Indonesia in 1971 with the PUSRI projects led later to the award of other fertilizer projects at Kalimantan and Java and a large aromatics plant in Sumatra. It is also important to note that these large projects result in increased exports of manufactured goods that comprise up to sixty percent of the total project cost. When American contractors are successful in these projects, it is most likely that a large proportion of the equipment selection will be directed to U.S. suppliers. Kellogg has completed and is currently working on IDA supported fertilizer projects in Multan, Pakistan and in the Bombay_high gas fields of India. We are today anxiously awaiting the results of another IDA funded ammonia urea project bidding competition in Bangladesh. The future points to many other potential projects in developing countries of Africa, Latin America and the Far East, particu- larly in the PRC. In most of these countries, IDA and other MDB support will be required. In summary, our industry is convinced of the effectiveness of IDA in sustaining the long-term economic growth and improvement of the lower income developing countries. The programs expand world trade leading to improved U.S. exports of goods and services. Additionally, the IDA programs assume an important role in furthering the strategic and foreign policy interests of the United States. For these reasons, I am pleased to add my enthusiastic support to the U.S Cham- ber request that this Committee provide early favorable endorsement of the U.S. contributions to the seventh replenishment for IDA at a minimum level of $750 mil- lion over a three year period. Your kind attention to this Statement is appreciated. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Mr. Richards We could have a long discussion of this, but we have another panel waiting in the wings and I do not want to hold them up too much longer. Let me ask a few very brief questions. 164 Mr. Debs, we appreciate your being here and speaking on behalf of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, because I think that could be an influential factor. And you have heard, sitting here, the doubts that have been expressed as to whether or not we will be able to carry even the reduced level of the seventh replenishment. So it is going to take some hard work on everybody's part to make this case. I am wondering what the chamber is prepared to do in the way of public education on this subject. Mr. DEBS. Mr. Chairman, once we have made this decision, based on our judgment of what is right, we are here in support of this program and the chamber will be doing what it has done in the past in supporting those positions which it thinks is right for the country, and that involves a rather broad approach to our constitu- ency and through that constituency to a rather broad segment of the country. Senator MATHIAS. The chamber has formidable lines of communi- cation and educational facilities. This is a subject that really needs that kind of support. I would hope that through the various televi- sion shows and written communications that the chamber will be able to lay out the facts. I think the facts will support the issue, but the important thing is to get enough people to become well ac- quainted with the facts. Mr. DEBS. You are right, it is a very complex subject. The facts do support it, but the facts need explaining. I might say, Mr. Chair- man, that we would be delighted if we could have you join us on the chamber's television network, which we use as a vehicle to get the educational program out. Senator MATHIAS. If I can acquire enough wisdom as a result of these hearings to have something to say, I would be happy to do that. Mr. DEBS. We would be delighted, and we will do our best. Senator MATHIAS. Ambassador Phillips, you have talked about the needs of China and you have also heard the doubts that have been expressed this morning about the limitations on the total sums that are going to be available. What would you guess the Chi- nese would hope to draw from IDA in the immediate future? Do you have any kind of ballpark figure in mind? Ambassador PHILLIPS. Mr. Chairman, I cannot speak for the Chi- nese on this, obviously, but it has been assumed by knowledgeable circles in the bank and elsewhere that, if the IDA VII replenish- ment goes through as planned, that China would receive an aver- age of $600 million a year for the duration of that replenishment period, which I think is 4 years. Senator MATHIAS. And in effect, that comes out of the hide of old customers who then will not have as much? Ambassador PHILLIPS. My understanding is that the intention of the World Bank would not be to take it out of the hide of other countries, particularly the poorest countries in Africa, but that there would be some kind of division of the pie with India, that therefore it would become a question of what proportion of the total amount heretofore allocated for India would go to China. Senator MATHIAS. The point I am making is, any illusions that we are providing some sort of gilt-edged program should be dis- 165 pelled very quickly; that there are going to be very hard choices to be made. Ambassador PHILLIPS. This is the reason, Mr. Chairman, that we in the National Council would have been very pleased to have the administration come out with a somewhat larger U.S. contribution, to enable a larger total program. The needs are perfectly obvious You are quite correct in saying that this substantially reduced program will create problems and will not be helpful from the more limited point of view of our own commercial interests. Senator MATHIAS. Mr. Richards, you have referred to the Kellogg Co.'s long experience in this field. Do you have any records as to the volume of business you do with multilateral financial institu- tions or as a result of funding by multilateral financial institu- tions? Mr. RICHARDS. I do not have any at hand. I can certainly supply these to you. I can say, for example, that the World Bank funded projects that we have undertaken in Indonesia in combined serv- ices, materials and equipment, which we were responsible for on three fertilizer plants that I referred to, is on the order of $300 or $400 million in 1970 to 1975 dollars. Senator MATHIAS. Would you supply whatever documentation you have, either on your own company or on American companies in general? I think that would help to support the thesis that I have maintained, that this is not totally an eleemosynary effort, that there is a legitimate self-interest here, and that we are not just throwing this money out. Mr. RICHARDS. Absolutely. I would just like to make one other point for the record, and that is that in China there is a tremen- dous volume of future business for not only engineering construc- tion but for suppliers, and we as engineering constructors generate the business for U.S. equipment suppliers. I am sure that there will be for China in addition to World Bank and other MDB funds, Export-Import Bank funds from various export banks such as Exim here, COFACE in France and Hermes in Germany, and others. So there will be a stimulus by IDA and IDRB and other banks to provide funding. Senator MATHIAS. Gentlemen, I am very grateful to you for being here today. Your testimony will be very helpful in making this case. If you have further information that you want to add to the record, we will be glad to have that. Thank you very much. Our last panel this morning will consist of: John Sewell, Presi- dent of the Overseas Development Council; Mr. Edward Fried of the Brookings Institution; and the Most Reverend Oscar Lipscomb, Archbishop of Mobile, U.S. Catholic Conference. Gentlemen, we not only appreciate your being here but we ap- preciate your patience in sticking with us for so long. Archbishop, would you please lead off? STATEMENT OF THE MOST REVEREND OSCAR H. LIPSCOMB, ARCHBISHOP OF MOBILE, ON BEHALF OF THE U.S. CATHOLIC CONFERENCE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. I would be happy to, Mr. Chairman. I come on behalf of the U.S. Catholic Conference, the public policy 166 agency of the Catholic bishops of the United States, to address this question, and I appreciate the opportunity to present testimony on the foreign aid program and, specifically, on this item that deals with the International Development Association, the soft-loan window of the World Bank, which lends money to the poorest of developing countries. The U.S. Catholic Conference has consistently supported the series of replenishments of IDA in the past. It does so, Mr. Chair- man, again today. You are familiar perhaps with the pastoral letter of the Catholic bishops. I don't think anybody is unfamiliar with it, as we went through that process entitled "The Challenge of Peace: God's Prom- ise and Our Response." Most people zero in on the nuclear question and weapons policies, but I would like to call your attention to an- other section of the pastoral, entitled “Shaping a Peaceful World." In that section the pastoral notes that “the political needs and the moral challenge of our time require a positive conception of peace, based on a vision of a just world order" and "the fundamen- tal premise of world order in Catholic teaching is a theological truth: The unity of the human family." Quite obviously this is not unique to Catholic teaching. It is rather widespread, I think, in the world today. In the letter we also noted this "theological principle of unity has always affirmed a human interdependence, but today this bond is complemented by the growing political and economic interdependence of the world." We live in an interdependent world in which one of the major issues is the deepening chasm between the living standards of the industrialized world and the standards of the developing world. While Catholic teaching acknowledges internal causes of poverty in the poor countries, it also concentrates on the way the larger inter- national economic structures affect the poor nations. The Catholic bishops stated in their pastoral letter of last May that- Papal teaching has, by word and deed, sought to promote multilateral forms of cooperation toward the developing world. The United States capacity for leadership in multilateral institutions is very great. We urge much more vigorous and creative response to the needs of the developing countries by the United States in these insti- tutions. We need to build upon the spirit of generosity present in the United States public, directing it toward a more systematic response to the major issues affecting the poor of the world. Obviously, Mr. Chairman, I am speaking from a rather different perspective than those who have hitherto addressed the committee. At this point I would like to di- gress from my text, and I will shorten some of it because much of what I have to say obviously has been researched and said before. But just on the question of public support and the concern on the part of the ad- ministration and others, a real concern that we would not be able to even meet the more modest proposal presented for the seventh replenishment, a statistic that is, I think, rather significant today-released in mid-February by the United Way of America-shows a startling rise of 9.5 percent in private philanthropy through United Way in 1982. This was a very hard year; and yet the American public, sens- ing the need, responded. I think what the last panel and you yourself just said concerning information and making the need a reality to our people will prompt a similar response in support of this issue. I know it will not be popular. I recognize some of the political realities- though not all of them but I think the facts are there, and that when the Ameri- can people see starving people, they will respond to starving people. The always have. 167 Obviously against such a background I will not take up your time by developing the argument in the presentation that the Catholic Conference does urge and speak for an amount of $1 bil- lion over the next 3-year period—$1 billion a year-instead of the current administration request for $750 million. While it is good, we think it is inadequate. Secretary Regan noted the administration rejected the figure $1 billion on the grounds that $9 billion is all the world donors would subscribe and that the Congress would not appropriate more than $750 million in fiscal year 1985. They did in the rather austere year of 1984 appropriate $945 mil- lion, and perhaps the economy might be better in 1985. At any rate, I think it is something we ought to try to challenge people to do. It was very telling when one of your colleagues—I think Sena- tor Danforth-said the money could at least be there, whether it is used or not. That is important. We believe it is tragic that the United States should be the Nation chiefly responsible for reducing the funds available to the poorest countries. IDA was established in the early 1960's largely because of U.S. initiative to provide financial support on more gen- erous terms to countries that had difficulty in borrowing commer- cially. At the beginning, the United States provided 42 percent of IDA's total, a percentage that has been scaled down gradually to today's 25 percent. As you know, IDA lends only to the poorest countries. More than 80 percent of its credits go on highly concessional terms to coun- tries with per capita incomes of under $400 per annum. In 1983 more than one-third of these funds went to the sub-Saharan Afri- can countries, and I will have a little bit more to say to that just shortly. We make our recommendation for the increased figure in the light of previous testimony by representatives of the Catholic bish- ops of the United States before many committees of the Congress. It has consistently recognized the reality of an interdependent world in which poverty is an international problem that requires a multinational strategy to address it. The fact of global interdependence evident in several dimensions of international relations is open to moral analysis. It raises the questions of what specific obligations exist among nations, as well as among citizens of different nations, in the face of obvious pover- ty and injustice. Interdependence affects most directly U.S. relations with the de- veloping countries—something we often call North-South relations. In our view, the problem of poverty in the Third World poses an issue of social justice. The teaching of the Catholic Church has con- sistently called for fundamental reforms in international economic relations between rich and poor countries. Within the developing countries the life of the church has in- volved it in ministries designed to address the internal structural reforms necessary for authentic human development. In industrial- ized countries, the church's ministry demands that it address the internal and external policies that are required if we are to re- spond to the needs of the world's poor. 168 In the United States, the church is uniquely challenged to ad- dress these needs. The reasons are clear. First, the United States, at least in aggregate terms, benefits in a major way from the present international order. I did not realize until I heard some of the preceding testimony just how much we benefit from this world order Second, the United States is the Nation most capable of influenc- ing the operation of the present international economic order. Senator MATHIAS. Excuse me, Archbishop. I do not know whether we could say that was bread cast upon the waters. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. I appreciate any way in which the bread comes home, and it is a very good point-a remarkable, telling point. But I, for one, had not been aware of the extent to which this kind of, as you said, doing well by doing good, clearly helps us. It is a point, obviously, that cannot be neglected in a process such as we enjoy and in which we are engaged, hopefully with regard to obtaining these funds. Senator MATHIAS. We might wish that we did it all for the most pure motives. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. Oh, not at all. There is a legitimate bit of human self-interest. That is not sin. [Laughter.] We are certainly in a position as leaders in the world to help the economic order in the direction of helping these developing nations. We do not have a simple answer to injustice, misery, and poverty in the world, but the church feels obliged to use all of the resources of faith and reason and experience to bring every aspect of social justice under examination. When all is said and done, development is about people, about each person's opportunity for full human growth in the human faimly. The church is called to address these questions because mil- lions of people, all of them created in the image and likeness of God, are increasingly deprived of the chance for a full human life because they lack the minimum material goods to transform a ma- terially interdependent world into a morally interdependent com- munity In light of these basic principles we believe that concessionality is most urgently needed for the 40 or so developing countries with a combined population of 1.5 billion people I think this was obvi- ously computed before China was added—where poverty is perva- sive and growing. These are the countries that IDA helps. Over the years, IDA has become a major and effective source of concessional aid to these poorest of countries. Moreover, under one aspect IDA is a bargain for the United States. I have never met Senator Danforth, and I do not know him personally, but I heard him speak on a talk program down in Ala- bama recently, describing some of the effects of his visit to the sub- Sahara region and the starvation he found there. It was startling. It certainly got my attention. This food crisis has certainly caught the attention of the entire world. But even if the immediate food requirements are met by the international community-and we are not sure that this can be done; possibly it will not-the longer term problems of required structural change in those countries will need attention. 169 The U.S. administration has asked Congress for $75 million in fiscal year 1985 as the beginning of a 5-year, $500 million economic policy initiative for the region. This is just in view of the present problem. If the United States instead of proposing this bilateral program had simply added the $75 million to IDA it would have generated an additional $225 million in other donor contributions. Of the total $300 million that would thus be generated for the poorest countries there would be 38 percent—that is Africa's cur- rent share of IDA allocations-or $114 million for sub-Saharan Africa, plus another $186 million for other poor countries. If this amount were slightly more than tripled—this is the rec- ommended additional $250 million for IDA VII-the funds then available for Africa alone would be increased by nearly $380 mil- lion a year. Let me repeat. Poverty today is an international problem that re- quires a multinational strategy to address it. Although bilateral programs are important, we believe that multilateral institutions, and especially the World Bank and IDA, are particularly pertinent and should serve as a channel for an increasing portion of our de- velopment assistance. In contrast to bilateral aid, assistance provided through the mul- tilateral banks, including IDA, is more likely to be free from politi- cal considerations and is at least equally effective in promoting eco- nomic development. Second, the size of the financial support from banks as well as their multilateral character offers greater opportunity to affect in- ternal policy decisions, especially in the poorer countries where such funding often represents a substantial share of total invest- ment. Third, it results in a more equitable sharing of the costs of eco- nomic assistance among donor countries. The U.S. share, as we said, is only 25 percent, or roughly so. Fourth, the banks, including IDA, have built up considerable expertise over the years in han- dling the problems of the least developed countries. While I do not wish to suggest that the U.S. Catholic Conference is not interested in other aspects of the foreign aid program, I do want to emphasize our strong support for ID, and urge that con- sideration be given to increasing the share of the United States in this seventh replenishment of IDA to $1 billion per year. [Archbishop Lipscomb's prepared statement follows:) PREPARED STATEMENT OF THE MOST REVEREND OSCAR H. LIPSCOMB Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I testify today on behalf of the United States Catholic Conference (USCC), the public policy agency of the Catholic bishops of the United States. I appreciate this opportunity to present testimony on the United States foreign aid program. While the Conference is interested in all aspects of the administration, I intend to confine my remarks before this Committee to the subject of the Interna- tional Development Association, the "soft-loan window" of the World Bank, which lends money to the poorest developing countries. The United States Catholic Confer- ence has consistently supported the series of replenishment of IDA in the past, and it does so again today. I know that you are familiar with the Pastoral Letter of the Catholic bishops of the United States on war and peace which was issued last May, "The Challenge of Peace: God's Promise and Our Response.” While public attention focused primarily upon the sections of that letter dealing with nuclear weapons policies, I would like 34-045 0484--12 170 to call your attention to another section of that pastoral letter entitled “Shaping a Peaceful World." In that section of the pastoral letter, the bishops said that "the political needs and the moral challenge of our time require a positive conception of peace, based on a vision of a just world order," and the "fundamental premise of world order in Catholic teaching is a theological truth: the unity of the human family.” As the bishops noted, this “theological principle of unity has always affirmed a human interdependence, but today this bond is complemented by the growing political and economic interdependence of the world.” We live in an interdependent world in which one of the major issues is the deep- ening chasm between the living standards of the industrialized world and the stand- ards of the developing world. While Catholic teaching acknowledge internal causes of poverty in the poor countries, it also concentrates on the way the larger interna- tional economic structures affect the poor nations. The Catholic bishops stated in their pastoral letter of last May that “papal teach- ing has, by word and deed, sought to promote multilateral forms of cooperation toward the developing world. The U.S. capacity for leadership in multilateral insti- tutions is very great. We urge much more vigorous and creative response to the needs of the developing countries by the United States in these institutions." We "need to build upon the spirit of generosity present in the U.S. public, directing it toward a more systematic response to the major issues affecting the poor of the world.” Against this background, I feel somewhat ambivalent coming before you today to support the administration's request for $750 million per year for 3 years for the International Development Association. We do support this request, but we do not believe that it is large enough. The U.S. contribution represents 25 percent of the IDA total of $3 billion per year for 3 years. The total for this seventh replenishment is therefore $9 billion. This is 25 percent less than the current (sixth) replenishment of $12 billion, of which the U.S. share was 27 percent. The administration's decision to hold its contribution to IDA-7 at $750 million per year is an unfortunate one for millions of poor people in the developing countries of the Third World. We understand that the World Bank and other donors, as well as potential recipients, originally wanted this seventh replenishment to be $16 billion for the 3-year period-an increase over IDA-6 roughly equivalent to the increase of IDA-6 over IDA-5. The Bank, after “testing the market, then proposed (and every country except the United States agreed to) a 3-year total of $12 billion, which would have required a U.S. contribution of $1 billion per year for the 3 years. The administration rejected this figure on the ground that the Congress would not ap- propriate more than $750 million in FY 1985, and this despite the fact that for FY 1984 the Congress appropriated $945 million and is considering a supplemental re- quest for $150 million to complete the U.S. pledge to IDA-6, 1 year late. We believe that it is tragic that the United States should be the nation chiefly responsible for reducing the funds available to the poorest countries. IDA was estab- lished in the early 1960's, largely because of U.S. initiative, to provide financial sup- port on more generous terms to countries that had difficulty borrowing on the com- mercial market. At the beginning, the United States provided 42 percent of IDA's total, a percentage that has been scaled down gradually to today's 25 percent. As you well know, IDA lends only to the poorest countries. More than 80 percent of its credits go, on highly concessional terms, to countries with per capita incomes under $400 per annum. In 1983, more than one-third of these funds went to sub- Saharan African countries, the poorest in the world, many of which are now suffer- ing from the most serious hunger and malnutrition in their history. On behalf of the United States Catholic Conference, I would urge that the Con- gress approve a replenishment of IDA of $1 billion per year—the level agreed upon by the other donor countries-rather than the $750 million proposed by the admin- istration. In doing so, the Congress would be expressing its conviction that the role of the United States in the international community warrants this higher contribu- tion to the major multilateral program that focuses on the needs of the poorest countries. We make this recommendation in the light of previous testimony by representa- tives of the Catholic bishops of the United States, before many committees of the Congress, that has consistently recognized the reality of an interdependent world in which poverty is an international problem that requires a multinational strategy to address it. The fact of global interdependence, evident in several dimensions of international relations, is open to moral analysis. It raises the questions of what specific obligations exist among nations, as well as among citizens of different na- tions in the face of obvious poverty and injustice. 171 Interdependence affects most directly U.S. relations with the developing coun- tries, something we often call North-South relations. In our view, the problem of poverty in the Third World poses an issue of social justice. The teaching of the Catholic Church has consistently called for fundamental reforms in international economic relations between rich and poor countries. Within the developing coun- tries, the life of the Church has involved it in ministries designed to address the internal structural reforms necessary for authentic human development. In indus- trialized countries, the Church's ministry demands that it address the internal and external policies that are required if we are to respond to the needs of the world's poor. In the United States, the Church is uniquely challenged to address these needs. The reasons are clear: first, the United States, at least in aggregate terms, benefits in a major way from the present international order, while many other nations do not do so; second, the United States is the nation most capable of influencing the operation of the present international economic order in the direction of justice for the poor in the developing countries. We do not have a simple answer to the injustice, misery, and poverty in the world. But the Church feels obliged to use all the resources of faith and reason and experience to bring every aspect of social justice under examination. When all is said and done, development is about people, about each person's opportunity for full human growth in the human family. The Church is called to address these questions because millions of people, all of them created in the image and likeness of God, are increasingly deprived of the chance for a fully human life because they lack the minimum of material goods to transform a materially interdependent world into a morally interdependent commu- nity. In the light of these basic principles, we believe that concessional aid is most ur- gently needed for the 40 or so developing countries, with a combined population of a billion and a half people, where poverty is pervasive and growing. These are the countries that IDA helps. Over the years IDA has become a major and effective source of concessional aid to the poorest countries. About 80 percent of IDA loans go to countries with per capita incomes of under $400 dollars. IDA's credits account for about one quarter of all industrialized-country aid to the poorest developing coun- tries, and its loans are directed primarily to programs and projects intended to ben- efit the very poor. Moreover, IDA is a bargain for the United States. Let me illustrate this point very specifically. The food crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa has caught the attention of the world. But even if the immediate food requirements are met by the internation- al community (and this is by no means a certainty), the longer-term problems of required structural change in those countries will need attention. The U.S. adminis- tration has asked the Congress for $75 million in fiscal year 1985 as the beginning of a 5-year $500 million "economic policy initiative" for the region. If the United States, instead of proposing this bilateral program, had simply added this $75 mil- lion to IDA, it would have generated an additional $225 million in other donor con- tributions. Of the total $300 million that would thus be generated for the poorest countries, there would be 39 percent (Africa's current share of IDA allocations) or $114 million for Sub-Saharan Africa, plus another $186 million for other poor coun- tries. If this amount were slightly more than tripled (which the recommended addi- tional $250 million for IDA-7 would do), the funds available for Africa alone would be increased by nearly $380 million per year. Poverty today is an international problem that requires a multinational strategy to address it. Although bilateral programs are very important, we believe that mul- tilateral institutions--and especially the World Bank and IDA-are particularly pertinent and should serve as a channel for an increasing portion of our develop- ment assistance. In contrast to bilateral aid, assistance provided through the multi- lateral banks, including IDA, is more likely to be free from political considerations and is at least equally effective in promoting economic development; second, the size of the financial support from the banks, as well as their multilateral character, offers greater opportunity to affect internal policy decisions (especially in the poorer countries where such funding often represents a substantial share of total invest- ment); third, it results in a more equitable sharing of the costs of economic assist- ance among donor countries (the U.S. share, at roughly 25 percent, is considerably less than a decade ago); fourth, the banks, including IDA, have built up considerable expertise over the years in handling the problems of the least developed countries. While I do not wish to suggest that the United States Catholic Conference is not interested in other aspects of the foreign aid program, I do want to emphasize our 172 strong support for IDA and urge that consideration be given to increasing the share of the United States in this seventh replenishment of IDA to $1 billion per year. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much, archbishop, and let me say to you and to Mr. Fried and Mr. Sewell that your full state- ments will appear in the record, so if you summarize portions of them, they will not be lost. I appreciate very much your support, archbishop. I think you bring a special focus to this problem and suggest that this is a way to enjoy a modern version of the loaves and the fishes, that by coming together through the multinational institutions, we can find, if not plenty, at least adequacy in situations where there would otherwise be hopelessness. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. Mr. Chairman, I once heard the loaves and fishes described as having your cake and eating it, too. I think IDA sort of does that as well. [Laughter.] Senator MATHIAS. That is the way it should be. Mr. Fried. STATEMENT OF EDWARD R. FRIED, THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. FRIED. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for the invitation to par- ticipate in this discussion. I think it is an important one, but in view of the hour I will try to keep my comments brief. I think the sad fact that we face is that the request your commit- tee is considering means that IDA VII will be reduced in nominal terms by 25 percent from what was negotiated in 1980 and perhaps 35 percent in real terms. This reduction, which came about solely at U.S. insistence, in my view, represents a misalignment of U.S. national priorities and is contrary to U.S. national interest. I would like to tell you briefly of the factors that lead me to this conclusion. First, to begin with-and as you point out in your open- ing statement, Mr. Chairman-many of the world's poorest coun- tries have been hard hit in the past few years by the deterioration of the entire international economic environment, which can in no sense be considered their fault. The oil price shock of 1979 and the world recession that followed meant that their terms of trade were depressed and their export prospects that much more limited. Interestingly, China, India, and Pakistan were less affected by these circumstances, partly because of some special offsetting factors, and still managed to achieve fairly good results. Bangladesh and some other poor countries in South Asia, howev- er, did very poorly, and sub-Saharan Africa suffered the most, ex- periencing a decline over the past few years of 5 percent in per capita income, an occurrence which has made the countries of this region that much more vulnerable to chronic disease and to the famine that is now in evidence. This, therefore, has to be viewed as a most inopportune time to cut back on IDA, which is the largest single source of concessional assistance specifically directed toward helping the poorest coun- tries turn their economies around. Nor can the reduction in IDA VII be justified on the basis of IDA's performance. To the contrary, I believe-and I can talk on 173 the basis of 3 years experience as U.S. Executive Director to the World Bank and to IDA-that the organization has been an out- standingly successful experiment in international economic coop- eration. IDA credits have helped to bring about virtual agricultural self- sufficiency in India, and they have pioneered ways of improving urban shelter and water supply and to expand health and primary education. What it has done, in short, has been to expand physical infrastructure and to improve human capital, without which sus- tained improvement in the poorest countries would simply be im- possible. Now as a general matter, projects such as these are inherently risky, and some of those that IDA financed have failed. Nonethe- less, IDA's results, on average, have been excellent. The reason is that despite their highly concessional terms, IDA credits are ex- tended only if the projects they are to finance meet the same rigor- ous standards as apply to the World Bank hard loans. It is not surprising, therefore, that the economic returns they have achieved or seem to have achieved on the basis of sample sur- veys that have been made are about the same as the high results achieved by Bank loans themselves-an average economic rate of return of 18 percent a year. Furthermore, IDA's influence in promoting economic efficiency adds substantially to these returns. Mr. Debs dealt with some of the factors leading to this earlier. But essentially what it means is that IDA funds give the World Bank a great deal more leverage to persuade governments to reform economic policies, to move toward greater reliance on market incentives, to adopt technical innova- tions, and to achieve improved economic efficiency generally. These are objectives which the United States has consistently supported. Hence, the multiplier effects achieved by the IDA pro- gram. The reduction in IDA VII will necessarily weaken the Bank's influence in these respects. Then, third, Mr. Chairman, there is the question of how this re- duction in the IDA program affects U.S. national interests and values. To gain perspective here it is useful to look at how IDA funds are invested geographically among the 51 countries eligible for such assistance. Roughly 40 percent, looking at the figures for 1983, go to India and China together. Formerly, that proportion went to India alone. These two countries contain 1.6 billion people, more than one-third the world total. Their economies as well as their industrial base are large, but they are still among the poorest countries in the world, as you were told this morning. Per capita income in India is estimated at about $250 per year, and in China $300 per year. So, in effect, the IDA program in these two countries represents an international commitment to partici- pate-even in a comparatively small way-in the drive to alleviate poverty in a very large portion of mankind. Another third goes to the 32 countries in sub-Saharan Africa con- taining almost 200 million people. And in some respects, I think this is the heart of the problem we presently confront. These coun- tries have experienced economic stagnation and worse for two dec- ades. 174 On present trends, per capita income is likely to be no higher in sub-Saharan Africa as a whole by the end of the century as it was in 1970. This would be an almost certain prescription for economic disaster and, in my view, for chronic political turmoil. Senator MATHIAS. A very cruel outlook. Mr. FRIED. Until now, IDA has been playing an increasingly im- portant role in the attempt to revive these economies. It is itself a substantial source of investment capital. It helps to mobilize for- eign capital from private as well as governmental sources, and it is becoming the major force, if it is not already the major force, on the continent for institutional and policy reform. The cut in IDA VII will adversely affect each of these contributions. The final 25 percent of IDA money goes to some 17 countries ranging from Bangladesh and Pakistan in South Asia to Haiti and Dominica in the Caribbean. In each country, IDA's role is some- times crucial, with a general emphasis on supporting agricultural production and rural development and improving the quality of economic management. Thus, IDA is in no sense-in no sense-an international entitle- ment program. Rather, in Tom Clausen's words, it is "a hard- headed investment in international trade, economic growth, and greater global stability and cohesion.” And as such, it is a highly cost-effective means for advancing U.S. national interests-politi- cal, economic, security, and humanitarian. For this reason, the U.S.-imposed cut in IDA VII cannot be rec- onciled with U.S. national priorities. Conceptually at least, Mr. Chairman, budgetary authorizations should be of equal value to the Nation at the margin. In the 1985 budget, $305 billion is requested for national defense and $21 billion for international affairs. The authorizations for international affairs specifically, and those for national defense by implication, are designed to serve, in the words of the President's budget-and I quote—"predominant U.S. interest in promoting a world order that fosters peace, securi- ty and prosperity, in which individuals may enjoy political and eco- nomic freedom. I submit that an increase of $250 million a year in the U.S. au- thorization for IDA VII, which would result in an increase of three times that amount from other countries, would have a far greater value in achieving that kind of world order than would be lost from a reduction of the same amount in virtually any other mili- tary and international economic program now in the budget. Nonetheless, we face the fact that the negotiations for IDA VII have been concluded at the reduced level of $9 billion for the next 3 years rather than the $12 billion program that every donor coun- try other than the United States supported. Could anything be done now to restore the larger program? First, I recommend quick approval of the present request for a U.S. contribution of $750 million a year to IDĀ VII. Second, I would urge passage of a sense of the Congress resolu- tion calling for the United States to propose a supplementary con- tribution to IDA VII of $3 billion for 1985-87, all of which would be added to funds for sub-Saharan Africa. As in the present program, the United States would contribute one-fourth of the supplemental amount. 175 In negotiating IDA VII-again as you pointed out in your state- ment-the administration argued that the Congress would not be willing to appropriate more than $750 million a year for IDA. Per- haps that is true. But it should be tested. Passage of such a resolu- tion would remove that constraint. The record of the negotiations also indicates that other donor countries would support a supplementary appropriation of that size, and concentrating the additional funds in sub-Saharan Africa would offer the possibility at least of reversing the desperate future that now faces that region. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much. Mr. Sewell, you are a veteran of this committee. Please proceed. STATEMENT OF JOHN W. SEWELL, PRESIDENT, OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. SEWELL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I have the added advan- tage of being the cleanup hitter, I suppose, and therefore not having to track over what have been a series of very excellent and provocative presentations, among which, I must say, the degree of unanimity seems to be quite striking, with the exception of your second speaker. Let me begin by stating my personal position. The current pro- posal that our contribution to IDA VII be $2.25 billion over the 3 years, leading to the $9 billion seventh replenishment of IDA, does not reflect either the very real needs of the developing countries or the long-term economic and political interests of the United States. Support for the World Bank at this level is an abdication of the leadership that we have historically exercised in this particular area. . Senator MATHIAS. Let me interrupt you just to ask, would you agree with the analysis that I made, that this is about a 40-percent reduction in the face of a substantial escalation in need? Mr. SEWELL. Exactly, and therefore I recommend strongly that the U.S. contribution be increased to at least $3 billion, thus, as others have said, activating contributions by other donors that would result in an IDA VII or $12 billion. I think it is important to understand, as your speakers have said, that the additional funds certainly are needed, both in our inter- ests and those of the LDC's-less developed countries--and I would argue in the course of my brief remarks that they could be ob- tained by switching priorities within our current U.S. aid program, because, as you know better than I do, Congress, as Senator Biden said so eloquently, faces a series of very tough choices in terms of the Federal budget. I have laid out my testimony in a series of nine statements or assertions, which I will not run through in great detail because most of them parallel those of your other witnesses. But I want to expand on one or two of them in terms of how I see the U.S. inter- est in IDA. First, it is clear that the prospects for development in the Third World are not promising, and it is going to be very difficult to regain the growth rates of the past. The Third World in general 176 has adopted a series of adjustment measures that have been very tough, and that have caused a great deal of pain. They have adjust- ed on their own about as much as they can, and asking them to take additional steps alone would be costly to them and to the international economy. The prospects for the low-income countries, the primary users of IDA, are even less favorable, and whether one looks at the esti- mates of the World Bank or of other institutions, there is a una- nimity that the low-income countries are in an even less favorable position than the rest of the Third World. The third proposition, as other speakers have said, is that among the low-income countries the problems of sub-Saharan Africa demand special attention. They started out further behind and they have further to go. They have had a two-decade record of very low economic growth, and almost no per capita growth. They have been faced with a series of disasters, most notably drought beginning in the late 1960's and continuing in the last several years in southern Africa, which have put them even further behind. Given their prospects, and those of other low-income countries in general, and adequate level of resources for IDA VII is essential. Nine billion dollars is much too low, $12 billion is barely ade- quate. I would argue, as others did at the beginning of the discus- sions for the replenishment, that a total of $15 to $16 billion is probably what is needed. Obviously at this moment this higher level is politically impossible. The next assertion, which is consistent with Ed Fried's state- ment, is that there is no question that IDA is an effective institu- tion. It has undergone three evaluations in the past several years, one by the U.S. Treasury at the beginning of the Reagan adminis- tration; one by the World Bank, a massive internal study; and one by my own organization, looking particularly at the poverty-orient- ed programs of the Bank of the last 13 years. The conclusion of all of them was that IDA is cost effective. Its return on its projects was very good. It has learned a great deal and was probably the most effective provider of development assist- ance in the world. The conclusion therefore is not that IDA cannot be improved. It certainly can be improved. But when you are talking about much less resources for the same programs, it is feckless to talk about changes that might be made in the institution. It is a very efficient institution. What I would really like to do is turn to some of the questions that have been raised in the course of this morning's discussion. First, whether we can afford a higher IDA; and second, where do our interests lie. Are they economic interests, political interests or overall foreign policy interests? There is no doubt, of course, that budgetary resources are going to be very scarce in the period ahead, given the size of the project- ed deficit and the competing demands on budgetary funds for do- mestic and international programs. However, one has to look at the overall aid program to see what we are using it for. U.S. aid, of course, has grown considerably over the past several years, even during the period of high domestic recession. In fiscal 177 year 1983 total foreign aid, according to the budget figure, was about $9.3 billion. By 1985 it will be $15.2 billion. But that growth has masked a great shift of priorities within the aid program. First of all, there has been the shift from multilateral aid to bilateral aid. My colleague on my right led the way with the Peterson Commission report more than a decade ago, which em- phasized the importance of multilateral aid to the United States. That shift, which goes back to the Nixon administration, has been reversed and we are now putting a much greater emphasis on bi- lateral aid I think even within the bilateral aid program it is very interest- ing to look at the budgetary figures, which we took out of the pres- entation to Congress which was just sent up. These numbers show dramatically what emphasis we are putting on security-related aid. According to the budget figures, what is known as international se- curity assistance-ESF and military aid financing-jumps from $4.6 billion in 1983 to over $10 billion in 1985. In the same period, U.S. AID's bilateral development accounts, which as you know go for health, education, agriculture population programs, go from $1.9 billion to $2 billion. Total economic and financial assistance is projected to go from $4.7 billion to $4.9 billion, compared with the jump in international security assistance, from $4.6 billion to $10 billion. That is a consid- erable jump. That trend will continue in the future, particularly if new programs for Central America come into operation. Now, if our contribution to IDA was increased to $1 billion a year for a total of $3 billion, that is a $750 million increase over the 3-year period. This is a miniscule cost relative to the shifts that have gone on in security aid. This increase of $750 million over 3 years would represent 0.00025 of our total Federal budget proposed for fiscal year 1985. Now, no sum can be deemed insignificant given the budgetary difficulties, but certainly over the longer run it would well serve U.S. economic and security interests. I would like to digress for just one second on the question of public support. It is worth noting that in 1982—and I am doing these off the top of my head-contributions by Americans, volun- tary contributions by Americans to groups working overseas, both secular and religious, were about $1.2 billion. That, according to my quick figuring, is about two-thirds of what we are providing in fiscal year 1983 through AID's bilateral development account. So Americans are giving voluntarily, a considerable amount of money compared to what we are giving on official accounts through U.S. AID, and I think it does indicate that there is public support for these kinds of programs that go to meeting human needs. I would argue very strongly that our economic interests in the developing world would be adversely affected by the decision to keep IDA at such a low level. As you well know, Senator, the growth record of the Third World over the sixties and seventies was remarkable, and as a result some of these countries are now big markets for the United States. They are major participants in the international financial system. They provide us with a whole range of low-cost consumer goods and raw materials. 178 You can see the negative side of that, of the importance of the Third World to us, in the results of the global recession. We have the preliminary results of a study at my organization about what the costs of the recession are to the United States. One indication, for instance, is that probably over a million actual or potential jobs have been lost in the United States due to the recession in the Third World. That is about 12 percent of the 9 million •Americans currently unemployed. That is a considerable impact on our own domestic well-being. And I would argue, of course, that the developing countries in general have the potential to be the future frontier of economic growth in the world. We have reaped the benefit of increased trade in the past with what are known as the middle-income countries and the newly industrializing countries. But under any reasonable assumptions of growth most of the low-income countries can participate in the international economic system, only with the help of the kind of long-term investment that comes through IDA. This investment can move them into a posi- tion where they can benefit themselves and the United States. And I would argue strongly in economic terms, as other wit- nesses have, that IDA and the World Bank have led the way in em- phasizing use of market forces and economic efficiency. To pull back funding at this time, after most of the developing world has been persuaded to follow those prescriptions, would be a disaster, it seems to me. My next point is that the United States has a series of political interests in the low-income countries that are not going to be fur- thered by retrenching on IDA. Now, no one can come here and per- suade you that development is going to be a peaceful process. We all know that the process of development is going to give rise to a series of instabilities and tensions. We are going to have to face the fact that there is going to be a great deal of instability in the Third World. The question is how to minimize it. And it seems to me that any steps that decrease resources available to the Third World in this situation is inevitably going to lead to further retrenchment by those countries with, as Ed Fried said, a potential for increased unrest. It is very interesting. We looked at the IDA recipient countries since 1979. In those countries there have been by our count 28 re- ported coups or attempted coups since 1979, and I think a good part of the problem can be traced to the economic situation that they are facing. Finally, I would argue that our leadership in the world is affect- ed by our stance on IDA, as well as by the current U.S. attitude on multilateral institutions in general. The United States needs to re- alize that it cannot be a world leader and be a free rider. In the first place, the Third World is coming to despair of our leadership on a variety of issues, whether it is the Law of the Sea, in the United Nations, an initially recalcitrant stance on the Inter- national Monetary Fund, and now IDA. And this is becoming par- ticularly true, I must say, when we are urging a greater reliance on use of market forces, but are no longer willing to provide the financial wherewithal to back up that commitment. 179 It is also worth pointing out that the U.S. attitude on IDA is just one more irritant in the relations with our partners in the Atlantic Alliance, an issue you spend a great deal of time on. Most of the Europeans wanted IDA to be at a higher level because they see those programs as being very much in their own economic and po- litical interests. A stance such as the U.S. administration is now taking, I would argue over the longer run, could well lead the Eu- ropeans and others to make arrangements outside of IDA, such as the kind of relationship that the Europeans have through the Lome Agreements, a special fund within IDA or under the auspices of the World Bank without U.S. participation. All of which would lead to a kind of regionalism that I would argue is not in the long-term interests of the United States and is a variation from our historic foreign policy. So for all of those reasons, Senator, I believe that the current proposals to restrict the U.S. support of IDA to $750 million a year are inadequate and contrary to our interests. Now, there are many outside of Congress who maintain that Congress will not support an adequate level of participation in IDA. Frankly, I would be insulted by that assertion until they can prove it. I think the record indicates otherwise. Congress historically has supported IDA and the other multilateral programs because it has identified this country's long-term interests in the development of the Third World. And I hope you will take action to reverse the administration's stance and to increase the U.S. commitment to insure an IDA VII of at least $12 billion. Thank you very much. [Mr. Sewell's prepared statement follows: 180 STATEMENT OF JOHN W. SEWELL PRESIDENT, OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL before the SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE Washington, D.C. Wednesday, February 29, 1984 MR. CHAIRMAN, I am very pleased to have been asked to testify with res- pect to U.S. participation in the Seventh Replenishment of the World Bank's International Development Association. The subject is one of considerable importance, both for the developing countries and the United States. My testimony is in the form of nine statements with brief explana- tions. In addition, I have attached a copy of a chapter from U.S. Foreign Policy and the Third World: Agenda 1983, the ninth in the Overseas Develop- ment Council's annual assessments of American relations with the developing countries. The chapter, entitled "Bridging the Crisis: The World Bank and U.S. Interests in the 1980s," was written by ODC's Vice President Richard E. Feinberg The views expressed in this testimony are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of my colleagues at the Overseas Development Council or its Board of Directors. Let me begin by clearly stating my personal position on the question of U.S. participation in the World Bank's International Development Associa- tion, The current proposal that the U.S. contribution to IDA VII be $2.25 billion over the next three years (thus leading to a Seventh Replen- ishment which totals $9 billion) does not reflect either the very real needs of the developing countries, or the long-term economic and political interests of the United States. Support for the World Bank at this level is an abdication of the leadership that the United States has historically 181 exercised in regard to the development process. I recommend strongly that the U.S. contribution be increased to at least $3 billion, thus activating contributions by other countries which would result in an IDA VII of $12 billion. I realize, of course, that the large projected budget deficits and the very tough decisions facing you in the Congress, between competing programs will make it difficult to add additional funds above the Admin- istration's request. However, I think it is important to understand that additional funds are needed, both in the interests of the developing coun- tries and of the United States, and that they could be obtained by switching priorities with the current U.S. aid program. I would like to illustrate that statement by making the following brief points on which I will expand subsequently. 1. The prospects for development are not promising. In the absence of changed policies by both rich and poor coun- tries, the developing countries will not easily regain their previous growth paths. 2. The prospects for the low-income countries, which are the primary users of IDA, are even less favorable. 3 . Among the low-income countries, the problems of sub-Saharan Africa demand special attention. 4. Given the prospects for the low-income countries, an adequate level of resources for IDA VII is essential. The total of $9 billion now under discussion is much too low; $12 billion, the level of IDA VI, is barely adequate; probably a total of $15-$16 billion will be necessary to address the pressing needs of the low-income countries. 182 The high figure, however, is probably out of the question politically, but the middle figure is essential. 5. IDA has proven its role as an effective instrument for meeting the needs of the low-income countries. 6. The United States can "afford" a contribution to IDA higher than the $750 million a year currently proposed. There is no lack of resources, even in the current U.S. aid program. However, these programs now are focused on areas and programs thought to be of security interest. 7. The United States has economic interests in the developing world which will be adversely affected by the decision to keep IDA at such a low level. 8. The United States has political interests in the low-income countries which also will not be furthered by retrenching on IDA. 9. U.S. leadership in the world is affected by our stance on IDA as well as by the current U.S. attitides on multilateral institutions. The United States needs to realize that it cannot be a world leader and a free rider. C 183 1. The prospects for development are not promising. In the absence of changed policies by both rich and poor countries, the developing countries will not easily regain their previous growth paths. a. The concern over the global "debt problem" has diminished somewhat as we understand its dimensions better and have a better sense of how to deal with those twenty-odd countries that account for most of the world's debt. However, the international economic system is far from out of danger. It is generally agreed that the developing countries have gone about as far as possible in adjusting on their own. They have cut their imports and drastically reduced government ex- penditures. They have very little room to make further adjustments without paying several economic, social and political costs. b. The current guarded optimism over the ability of govern- ments to deal with the liquidity problems of the major debtors should not be allowed to obscure the longer- term nature of the development crisis now facing almost all of the Third World. Having started at a lower level of progress, the events since 1979 have not only led many countries to a standstill, but have caused some to actual- ly slide backward. Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa, 184 for instance, suffered declines in per capita income; and some countries are worse off now than they were in the 1970s. For the developing countries in general, the average annual growth in GDP dropped from 6 percent in 1960-1973 to less than 2 percent in 1982, not enough to keep even with population growth. C. Prospects for the future are uncertain and there is no agreement among the major organizations that forecast economic developments in the developing countries. Many are very pessimistic. The United Nations, for instance, argues that "the outlook for the developing countries is bleak." Only the World Bank's projections seem moderately optimistic. The 1983 World Development Report, for instance, believes that the average growth for developing countries will, under its most optimistic assumptions, return by the end of the decade to the 6 percent annual increase in GDP that marked the period 1960-1973. Even under relatively adverse circumstances, the Bank projects that growth in the period 1985-1995 will return to the level achieved during the 1970s. d. All predictions, however, are hazardous because there are several unanswered questions that will be crucial in determining the growth rates of the Third World in the 185 period ahead. These are (1) These are (1) whether the cause of lower growth rates is simply recession or structural changes both within the industrial and the Third worlds; (2) whether trade will continue to follow the historic í pattern and grow faster than output; (3) whether the developing countries can continue to increase their share of world trade; and (4) whether the developing countries can finance debts that are much larger than at any time in the past. These prospects for the de- veloping countries will depend very much on the answers to these four crucial questions. e. These dry statistics should not obscure the human costs of recession and low growth prospects in the Third World. In Brazil income per person fell by 4 percent in 1981 and 2 percent in 1982; in Chile per capita income fell by 15 percent in 1981; and in Costa Rica real income may have fallen by one-third. The U.N.'s Food and Agriculture Organization has analyzed the impact of global recession on people in the Third World. Their analysis indicates that the proportion of the world's population living without adequate food, water, health care, and education will remain approximately the same throughout the end of the century. However, the absolute number of malnourished 84-046 0-84-18 186 children will increase by 30 percent by the year 2000. Thus, if current trends continue, there may be 650 million malnourished people in the world by the turn of the cen- tury--more than double the current population of the United States. 2. The prospects for the low-income countries, which are the primary users of IDA, are even less favorable. a. These countries have historically grown at a slower rate than the middle-income countries of the Third World. They started farther behind and their progress has been slower. b. They generally do not participate in world trade to the same degree as the more rapidly growing countries, and have received only a small share of the benefits of trade over the past decade. In addition, they were not able to tap private credit markets to the same extent as the middle- income countries. C. Nevertheless, Some low-income countries also have serious debt problems in relationship to their earning capacity. For instance, Senegal, Sierra Leone, and Zambia have debt/service ratios that are just almost serious as the major debtor countries in Latin America. 187 d. They receive an inadequate share, particularly of bi- lateral development assistance, from the OECD countries. According to the World Bank, 70 percent of the develop- ment assistance provided by bilateral agencies goes to the middle-income rather than low-income developing countries. e e. If their current slow growth continues, real per capita income in the low-income countries could be only about $10 higher in 1990 than 1980; while in the industrial world per capital income could increase by nearly $3,000. f. It is important, however, to realize that there are differences within the low-income group. India and China have maintained somewhat higher growth rates, even during the recession. The reason for this better record is probably because they depend less on the international economy and therefore have been less affected by recession in the industrial world. 3. Among the low-income countries, the problems of sub-Saharan Africa demand special attention. a. Twenty of the thirty least developed countries are in Africa; by almost any indicator --per capita income, 188 life expectancy, infant mortality, or literacy--the entire region is extremely poor. b. Africa's medium-term prospects for growth are worse than any other region. Even under the World Bank's most optimistic projections, low-income sub-Saharan Africa will not regain its 1970 per capita income by 1995. C. A variety of economic, environmental and policy con- straints have caused food production in Africa to grow at a slower rate than its population. By the year 2000 Africa may need to import 35 million tons of food as opposed to the 24 million tons imported in 1981. d. Finally, the region remains even more dependent than other low-income countries on concessional aid. The region depends on commodities which have slower growth prospects, thus hampering Africa's ability to partici- pate in world trade. In addition, African countries have limited creditworthiness. 189 4. Given the prospects for the low-income countries, an adequate level of resources for IDA VII is essential. The total of $9 billion now under dis- cussion is much too low; $12 billion, the level of IDA VI, is barely ade- quate; probably a total of $15-$16 billion will be nececessary to address the pressing needs of the low-income countries. The high figure, however, is probably out of the question politically, but the middle figure is essential. a. The low-income countries do not have the same recourse as the middle-income countries for sources of finance other than official development assistance. They are limited in their ability to borrow from commercial sources; they do not participate in the world trading system to the same degree; and they are not attractive locations by and large for private investors. b. The World Bank and the International Development Associa- tion have a growing set of demands on their limited re- sources. They are deeply involved in adjustment lend- ing; the needs for increased investment in energy will grow; and particular attention needs to be focused on sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean. C. The need for funds directed at poverty alleviation will increase. For Africa alone, the Bank's report indicates 190 that progress will depend upon doubling official develop- ment assistance in the period ahead. d. China, the world's most populous poor country, is now a member of the Bank and is a claimant on funds under IDA VII. As India, the other large, populous IDA recipient, has traditionally received about 39 percent of the funds, China's entry will pose new demands on IDA's scarce re- sources. e. The level of U.S. participation, which has led to a $9 billion IDA, was based on a certain set of assumptions concerning financial flows to the developing countries. These assumptions, spelled out in the Treasury Report on the MDBs, are not likely to take place. Therefore, the total of $750 million clearly is inadequate. 5. IDA has proven its role as an effective instrument for meeting the needs of the low-income countries. a. In the past several years, IDA has undergone three sep- arate evaluations. The first was conducted by the U.S. Treasury (United States Participation in the Multi- lateral Development Banks in the 1980s); the second . 191 was done by the Bank itself (IDA in Retrospect); and the third was done by the Overseas Development Council (Banking on the Poor, by Robert Ayres). b. Each of these studies has concluded that IDA is cost- effective; that it is an efficient deliverer of re- sources; and (in the case of the ODC and Treasury studies) that continued support of IDA is very much in the interest of the United States. c. In evaluating the Bank's recent record, the ODC study concluded: "'The Bank did not throw overboard its tradi- tional lending for projects of basic infra- structure. Its poverty-oriented projects were congruent with its longstanding em- phasis on economic growth. The rates of return on poverty-oriented projects were generally satisfactory. The allocation of Bank funds was, broadly speaking, in both the economic and political interests of American foreign policy. Market-oriented systems tended to be encouraged and social- ist-oriented ones urged to consider market solutions. The Bank's macroeconomic policy advice was still very much in the neoclas- sical mode and dealt with poverty allevia- tion in largely subsidiary fashion." d. IDA, of course, can be improved. However, the most immediate need is for adequate resources. In their absence, discussions of change are irrelevant. 192 6. The United States can "afford" a contribution to IDA higher than the $ 750 million a year currently proposed. There is no lack of resources, even in the current U.S. aid program. However, these programs now are focused on areas and programs thought to be of security interest. a. There is no doubt that resources are scarce, particu- larly given the projected size of the U.S. budget deficit and the competing demands for resources. Legislators, therefore, face choices in balancing very real interests. b. However, U.S. aid has grown considerably over the past several years, even during the recession. In FY 1983 total foreign aid was $9.3 billion; in FY 1985 it is estimated to be $15.2 billion. C. This overall growth has masked a considerable shift in priorities within the U.S. aid program. d. Bilateral aid has been given preference over multi- lateral programs, reversing a pattern which was established at least as far back as the Nixon Admin- istration. 1 193 e. Within the bilateral program, emphasis is now given to security-related aid. International security assis- tance (ESF and military aid financing) will jump from $4.6 billion in 1983 to over $10 billion in 1985. In the same period, the U.S. Agency for International Development's bilateral development accounts (which go for health, education, agriculture, and population) will have grown from only $1.9 billion to $2 billion. Total economic and financial assistance is projected to grow from $4.7 billion to $4.9 billion. This trend is projected to continue into the future, particularly as new programs now proposed for Central America come into operation. f. If U.S. participation were to be increased from $750 million to $1 billion a year, our contribution would trigger commitments by other donors which would make IDA VII $12 billion. The additional cost would be only $750 million over a three-year period. (An amount equivalent to .00025 of the federal budget proposed for FY 1985!) This may not be a small sum in budget terms, but over the longer run U.S. economic and security interests would be well served by increas- ing U.S. participation to that level. 194 7. The United States has economic interests in the developing world which will be adversely affected by the decision to keep IDA at such a low level. a. The growth record of the developing countries in the 1960s and 1970s was remarkable. As a result, they be- came major markets for U.S. exports, important suppliers of low-cost consumer goods and raw materials, and im- portant participants in the international financial system. b. Their importance to the United States can be seen in the costs to the United States of the current global recession. Because most developing countries had to cut expenditures and imports, U.S. exports dropped precipitiously. A forth- coming ODC study indicates that over a million actual or potential jobs were lost due to recession in the developing countries. This total is about 12 percent of the 9 million Americans currently unemployed. In addition, losses of income from investments overseas were considerable. C. The developing countries have the potential to be the future frontier of economic growth in the world. Cur- rently, the major impact comes from the middle-income countries. (The 40-odd fastest-growing developing countries accounted for about 25 percent of the growth 195 in world output from 1973-1979, equal to the con- tribution of Germany and Japan combined.) In the future, the low-income countries should, under reasonable assumptions of growth, become important parts of a Third World engine of growth. However, it will take long-term investment, such as that pro- vided by IDA, to support that development. d. The United States benefits directly from procurement from the World Bank and from IDA. The Treasury Depart- ment study reports that MDB procurement of U.S. merchan- dise exports show a return of $1.10 for every U.S. dollar actually paid into the banks. e. The United States has a considerable economic interest in changed LDC policies emphasizing economic efficiency and the use of market forces. Under the urging of the World Bank, among others, many developing countries are making moves in this direction, but financial support will be needed to make these difficult changes. Fewer resources available from IDA will make that job more difficult and could abort policy changes urgently needed. 196 8. The United States has political interests in the low-income countries which also will not be furthered by retrenching on IDA. a. Stability in the developing countries will be affected by the decline in resources available from the World Bank. Development inherently is an unstable process; and it is necessary for the United States to learn to live with that instability. But rapid and equitable de- velopment will lessen incidences of instability, and ultimately societies that are meeting the needs of their peoples will be less prone to unrest and therefore will provide fewer opportunities for outsiders to meddle. b. Given the current economic, social and politifal crises in the low-income countries, any steps that decrease the resources available to them will inevitably lead to further retrenchment with a potential for increased unrest. C. The impact of the recession on the Third World can be seen by the fact that in IDA-recipient countries alone there have been 28 coups or attempted coups since the recession began in 1979. d. The long-term interests of the United States will be more secure when the governments of the developing countries 197 have the resources to meet the needs and aspirations of their peoples. 9. U.S. leadership in the world is affected by our stance on IDA as well as by the current U.S. attitudes on multilateral institutions. The United States needs to realize that it cannot be a world leader and a free rider. a. The Third World is coming to despair of U.S. leadership. Our general status of opposition to international organi- zations--Law of the Seas, the United Nations, the Inter- national Monetary Fund, and now IDA--has led to a growing questioning of our intent and our political will. This is particularly true when we have urged greater reliance on the use of market forces, but are no longer willing to provide the financial wherewithal necessary to back up that commitment. It also comes at a time when most of the Third World has come to see the U.S.S.R. as irrelevant to their future. b. The United States' attitude on IDA also is now one more irritant in our already troubled Atlantic Alliance. Most Europeans wanted IDA to be at a higher level because they very much see IDA programs as being in their economic and political interests. The current U.S. attitude on IDA 198 could well lead to the Europeans and others making arrangements outside of IDA, such as the so-called "Special Fund" proposed in IDA VI, or to a strength- ening of the already existing trends toward regional relationships between Europe, let us say, and the countries of Africa. In the long run, this kind of regionalism is not in the interest of the United States. * * * * * * For all of the above reasons, I believe that the current proposals to restrict U.S. support of IDA to $750 million a year are inadequate and con- trary to the interest of the United States. There are many outside Congress who maintain that Congress will not support an adequate level of U.S. participation in IDA. I believe the record indicates otherwise. Congress historically has supported IDA and the other multilateral programs because it has identified this country's long-term interests in the development of the developing countries. I hope you will take action to reverse the Administration's stance and increase the U.S. commitment to ensure an IDA VII of at least $12 billion. Thanks you very much for the opportunity to testify. 199 Reprinted with permission from John P. Lewis and Valeriana Kallab, eds., U.S. Foreign Policy and the Third World: Agenda 1983 (Published for the Overseas Development Council by Praeger Publishers, 1983), pp. 139-61. Overseas Development Council. с CHAPTER 6 Bridging the Crisis: The World Bank and U.S. Interests in the 1980s Richard E. Feinberg The World Bank is experiencing the most turbulent period in its history. It is under pressure from a host of sources to meet a widening variety of needs. The poorest countries would like a significant increase in highly concessional re- source flows to offset the deterioration in world commodity markets. The more advanced developing countries want the World Bank to provide more loans so that they will be less dependent upon commercial sources. The commercial banks themselves would like the Bank to provide coverage against political risks. The Reagan administration wants the Bank to influence countries to adopt more market-oriented economic policies. These objectives are not necessarily con- tradictory, but they do add up to a ballooning demand for Bank resources and talent. How has the World Bank been responding to these mounting demands? Can the Bank adopt policies which will use resources more efficiently and enable it to accomplish more of these objectives simultaneously? What decisions are pending regarding future funding levels? And what is at stake for the United States? Responses to the New International Environment Throughout its history, the World Bank has continuously altered its programs in response to changes in the international environment. In the years following its establishment at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944, the Bank concentrated NOTE: Portions of this chapter draw upon a report draned by the author for the U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Banking. Finance, and Urban Amairs, Subcommittee on International Development, institutions, and Finance, The Future of the Multilateral Development Banks (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1982). 139 200 its energies on contributing to the reconstruction of war-lom Europe-hence the Bank's original name, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Develop- ment (IBRD). In the 1950s, in keeping with the expressed needs of its clients in Latin America and Asia, and with the then conventional theories of develop- ment, the Bank built roads, hydroelectric power facilities, and ports. In 1961, the soft-loan window- The International Development Association (IDA) was opened for the purpose of lending to poorer developing countries, especially in South Asia, that could not afford the near-market interest rates charged by the IBRD. In the 1970s, under the leadership of Robert McNamara, the Bank recognized that the benefits of growth were not "trickling down to the poor majority in many developing societies, and devoted a rising proportion of its resources to projects aimed directly at poverty alleviation. The publications of its large research staff became key reference materials in both the North and the South, and the Bank earned the reputation of being the world's preeminent development agency. Thus throughout its history the Bank has succeeded in adjusting to new challenges as they arose. Never before, how. ever, has il confronted so many challenges, in such rapid succession, as it faces in the early 1980s. In the 1970s and early 1980s, a series of shocks profoundly altered the international economy, as Chapter I of this volume describes in some detail. The oil price hikes, sharp movements in commodity prices, and increasingly sluggish growth rates in the industrial countries resulted in large and chronic imbalances in the current accounts of the oil-importing developing countries. For many developing countries, adjustment was no longer a matter of correcting temporary aberrations resulting from faulty fiscal policies or momentary swings in the prices of one or two commodity exports, but a painful and at best gradual alteration in basic economic structures. The adjustment process was made easier for many countries by the sudden expansion of private capital markets as com- mercial banks stepped in to finance a large portion of the collective developing- country deficit. But the rate at which private lending expanded could not be sustained, and oil-importing countries needed to invest heavily in their own energy resources and to seek other means of adjusting to the new interational environment. By the carly 1980s, the commercial capital markets--the savior of the 1970s were themselves becoming a destabilizing element as interest rales rose precipitously and commercial bank lending first soared and then retrenched in individual countries and in the Third World as a whole. The dependency of the development process on the availability of external finance was highlighted more starkly than at any time since World War II. 'IBRD and IDA commitments to low-income countries incroased from 37 por cont of the total program during the years before 1968 to 58 per cent in the current five-year londing cyclo (fiscal 1979-83). The share of lending for projects more directly benefiting large numbers of poor people roso from 5 per cont in 1968 to 30 por cont in 1980 See World Bank, Annual Report, 1982 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1982). p. 35 For a generally sympathetic analysis of these programs see Robert Ayros, Banking on the Poor: The World Bank and World Poverty (Cambridge: The MIT Press. 1983); for an alternative critical appraisal see Cheryl Payor. The World Bank: A Critical Analysis (New York: Monthly Roview Press, 1983) 140 201 In response to this changed international economic setting, the World Bank has been experimenting with several new programs. Departing from its tradition of normally funding only specifically designated projects, the Bank inaugurated in 1980 a 'structural adjustment lending" program providing general balance- of-payments support. The institution concluded that the altered nature of the adjustment process required that it cooperate more fully with its Bretton Woods sister, the Iniemational Monetary Fund (IMF). In response to the heightened role of private capital markets in funding development and to the instability of these markets, the Bank has increasingly sought to “co-finance'' projects, melding Bank resources with commercial loans. It also has increased ils lending to the energy sector to assist countries in coping with the higher costs of fuels. And, facing a new and less certain international financial environment, it has reviewed its own financial practices. Taken together, these new directions may well aller the Bank's behavior at least as dramatically as did the the previous decade's cmphasis on poverty alleviation. Structural Adjustment Lending. In the 1970s, the World Bank authorized "global sector" loans to countries whose foreign exchange position was so tight that export industries, lacking requisite imported inputs, were forced to work at well below capacity. In Zaire and Jamaica, lines of credit were extended to cnable export-oriented sectors to obtain the foreign exchange to purchase inter- mediate parts. The balance-of-payments crises of Zaire and Jamaica had seemed to be exceptionally severe. By 1980, however, it became clear that the growth rates and export potentials of many developing countries would be constrained by their balance-of-payments difficulties. In an increasing number of countries, shortages of hard currency were forcing cutbacks in investment, including prior- ity projects in which the World Bank was involved. With the second round of oil price hikes in 1979, the fall of commodity prices, the rise in interest rates, and the stagnation of export markets, the major constraint on developing country development became the deterioration of their balances of payments. The World Bank concluded that it should go beyond its traditional project support in assisting countries to meet payments problems. In 1979, the Bank's management decided to build on its experience with global sector or program" loans and to institute "structural adjustment loans." These loans are meant to help countries overcome current account deficits in three ways. First, the loans provide immediate, quick-disbursing balance-of-payments support. Countries can continue to impont essential items needed to maintain levels of production and to finish investment projects. Second, structural adjustment loans enable countries to expand exports by providing foreign exchange for inputs needed in export-oriented industries. Finally, the loans require that a country outline a broader adjustment program aimed at adapting the economy to the new inter- national conditions. The adjustment program negotiated between the World Bank and the bor- rowing government aims at adapting the structure of production to recent chan- ges in international prices. For example, measures are often required to conserve 84-045 0-84-14 141 202 3 imported fuel and increase the output from domestic energy sources. Raising producer prices and expanding investment in agriculture are measures frequently advocated to boost food production. But structural adjustment loans typically have gone beyond the adjustment of energy and agricultural prices to inter- national market conditions to embrace policies the World Bank has long ad- vocated. The loans have encouraged reducing lariffs and other trade barriers, strengthening the finances of public enterprises, rationalizing budget subsidies, and allowing interest rates to rise to markel-oriented levels.? Structural adjustment loan arrangements have encountered several difficull- ies. By the end of the Bank's 1982 fiscal year, only thirteen of the Bank's some seventy-five active borrowers had negotiated such a structural adjustment loan. Structural adjustment represented 5.8 per cent of the Bank's total commitments in FY 1981 and 8.2 per cent in FY 1982. Although the expansion of such arrangements has been impressive given the program's short life span, the number of countries in need of structural adjustment programs is much greater than the thineen initiates. One constraint has been the decision of the Bank's executive directors that structural adjustment loans not exceed 10 per cent of total commitmenis. A second constraint has been the inability or unwillingness of some govemments to prepare a comprehensive adjustment program. Some reluctant governments may have feared that a loan for the purpose of adjustment would substitute for project authorizations rather than result in additional re- sources, Bank economists and borrowing governments are just beginning to learn how to design structural adjustment programs. It is not entirely clear what "structures' need adjusting. As the term was originally used by Latin American "structuralists" in the 1950s and 1960s, land tenure, dependence on imported technology, and the concentration of expons in one or two unstable commodities were deemed to be important structural obstacles to development. The World Bank, however, has identified constraints on market mechanisms and prices as the key structural obstacles to growth. The early “structuralists" had argued that altering prices would often be insufficient to correct problems deeply embedded in technology, industrial structure, or asset ownership. In theory, structural adjustment loans were conceived to address a wide range of constraints on development. As the first programs were designed, however, they often seemed to be more a repackaging of traditional approaches to development than a fresh mix of ideas appropriate to the problems of the 1980s. The Bank's researchers and country economists must grapple with the complex, dynamic interaction between an unstable interational environment and national economic management, between monetary variables and real (supply-side) activity, and between price mechanisms and institutional struc- apierro M Landell-Mills, "Structural Adjustment Londing: Earty Experience." Finance and Develop moni, Docombor 1981. DO 17.21. World Bank, Annual Report, 1982, op. cit., pp. 39-41. *mond., p. 41. 142 203 tures. It is to be expected that time and experimentation as well as greatly expanded resources— will be required if adjustment loans are to fulfill their original promise. Being medium-term adjustment programs designed to improve the overall balance of payments of a country, structural adjustment loans overlap in purpose with a new program of the International Monetary Fund-The Extended Fund Facility. Traditional IMF adjustment programs, or standbys, lasted one year and required countries to restore their external and intemal accounts to equilibrium in relatively short order. But as the aggregate current account deficits of the oil- importing developing countries grew large and chronic in the 1970s, it became evident that many developing countries could not adjust their economies rapidly to the new circumstances, at least not without great dislocations and loss of production. The IMF concluded that since the deficits were neither temporary nor simply due to excess demand, the traditional standby formulas were not appropriate. Nor could economies easily erase their current account deficits through a devaluation, since there were limits to their ability to reduce imports of oil and other essentials, and since markets for exports frequently were not sufficiently elastic. The IMF reasoned that adjustment would have to be gradual and that attention would have to be paid to domestic supply, especially in energy and agriculture. Investment in these sectors would not always be immediately forthcoming, and in any case would require some years to bear fruit. IMF financing therefore would be needed for an interim period. The Extended Fund Facility (EFF) was established to provide funds over three years and in larger amounts than had been available under earlier programs. The EFF would con- tinue to focus on traditional demand matters and on avoiding restrictions in trade and capital flows while also addressing investment policies in particular sectors. The structural adjustment loans of the World Bank and the Extended Fund Facility of the IMF should be mutually reinforcing. Increasingly they have been undertaken in conjunction with each other-in Guyana, Jamaica, Kenya, Sen- cgal, Turkey, and elsewhere. Indeed, the question arises as to whether the iwo facilities might be partially merged. Each facility does have a somewhat dif- ferent emphasis: an EFF retains the IMF's traditional emphasis on monetary and fiscal management, while a structural adjustment loan concentrates on supply- side investment. The repayment periods of the iwo types of loans diſſer radically, and, therefore, if the adjustment assistance is intended to improve the borrower's repayment capacity, the structural adjustment loans can facilitate more time- consuming adjustments than can the EFF. But to the extent that both programs are living up to their potential, they are both looking at supply and demand factors, at macroeconomic and microeconomic variables, al immediate and longer-term needs. Certainly the country teams that work on the EFF and adjust- ment loans should consult closely to be certain that their programs are consistent. Thus recommandation is included in North-South Roundable. "The OISO Declaration." Summary Report of the Fourth Annual Session of the North-South Aoundtable, Tokyo/Oiso, Japan, October 22-24. 1982 (Washington, D.C.: North-South Roundtable, 1982). p. 7. 143 204 In fact, it has become increasingly common for World Bank missions to have an IMF staff member present and for the World Bank staff to keep in touch with their IMF counterparts. Such cooperation is desirable and can be deepened. In designing and implementing medium-term adjustment programs, it makes sense for the staff of the iwo institutions not only to be aware of their counterpans' activities, but also to coordinate their policy recommendations. Co-Financing. From its inception, the World Bank has considered the stimulation of private foreign investment to be an important part of its mission. Given the Bank's own limited resources, it has looked 10 private markets as a senior partner in development. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) is the World Bank affiliate that specializes in encouraging private investment by placing its own equity in enterprises located in developing countries. Further- more, many IBRD and IDA projects contribute indirectly to an environment conducive to private investment. For example, physical infrastructure (roads, ports, telecommunications) is a prerequisite for private investment in man- ufacturing and commerce. Also, bank advisory missions can counsel member countries on ways to create a more positive business climate. Traditionally the World Bank had concentrated on stimulating equity invest- ment. In the 1970s, however, commercial banks replaced direct investors as the major avenue whereby privale capital was transferred from the North to the South. Accordingly, the World Bank gave new attention to another method of encouraging the flow of private capital to developing countries, co-financing. The Bank had long been sharing the financing of projects with other official lending agencies, including bilateral aid programs and export pro- motion agencies such as the U.S. Export-Import Bank. In the mid-1970s, as the ratio of private to official financial flows to developing countries rose dramatically, the World Bank began to see commercial banks as another potential font of cooperative finance. Only in 1980, however, did the Bank begin to pursue private co-financing vigorously; the number of co-financed projects jumped from thineen in 1979 to twenty in 1980, involving $1.8 billion in private co-financing (see Table 1). When A. W. Clausen left the Bank of America to become president of the World Bank in 1981, he brought with him a strong interest in co-financing arrangements." He urged the World Bank staff to generate more "bankable" projects and initiated an information campaign to make bankers in the United Slales, Westem Europe, and Japan more aware of co-financing opportunities. World Bank officials argued that co-financed projects offer commercial lenders several advantages. The World Bank can locate, develop, and assess a project, as For a discussion of the relationship bonwoon the World Bank and the Eximbank. soo Richard E. Feinberg. Subsidizing Success The Export-Import Bank in the U.S Economy (Cambridge: University Press, 1982). Chapter 3 Soe also Aogor S. Loods, co-financing for Development. Why Not More?. Dovelopment Paper No. 29 (Washington, DC: Overseas Dovelopment Council, 1980). 'For example, see A. W Clauson, "The World Bank and Iniomalional Commercial Banks: Pannars for Development." remarks before the international Monetary Conferenco, Vancouver, Canada, May 25, 1982. 144 205 Table 1. World Bank Co-Financing Operations with Privato Sources (5 millions) Number of Projects Amount from Private Sources Fiscal Year 1974 2. 84.7 1975 1 5 1976 1977 1978 55.0 272.5 549.9 9 162.2 8 13 1979 20 1980 1981 1982 513.9 1,772.9 1.806.2 2,752.7" 18 16 'Tontalive higuro excludes $500 million in private co-financing, for which spocific projects have yet to be identified. SOURCE: World Bank data. well as provide the longer-term maturities that commercial lenders hesitate to extend. Moreover, the presence of the World Bank reduces the likelihood that the borrowing government-which guarantees all World Bank projects will dare to default. Despite these efforts to pursue co-financing, only sixteen World Bank projects were coupled with private co-financing in FY 1982—four less than in FY 1980. The volume of private co-financing in FY 1982 reached $2.8 billion, or $1 billion more than in either of the two previous years, but most of the increase was accounted for by a single project, a petroleum refinery in the Ivory Coast. Private co-financing associated with the World Bank remains a small fraction of total private bank credit extended to developing countries: under 2 per cent of the $123 billion in new short-, medium-, and long-term credits dis- bursed in 1981.* Moreover, World Bank-associated co-financing remained small compared to the volume of private loans co-financed or guaranteed by national expont promotion agencies. The U.S. Eximbank alone supported projects with private co-financing of an estimated $2.8 billion in FY 1981 and insured $7.4 billion in private trade credits. The growth of World Bank co-financing was retarded by certain attitudes of cach of the parties involved—the World Bank, the commercial banks, and the "Calculated by Gary Huldavor. "Doos Private Colinancing Make a Difference?" The Future of the Multilateral Development Banks, U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Altairs, Subcommittee on International Development, Institutions, and Finance (Washing. lon, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1982). pp. 219.34 'U.S. Export-Import Bank. Export-Import Bank Annual Repon, FY 1981 (Washington, DC.: Export- Impon Bank, 1982). Prvate co-financing was estimated as being equal to 90 per cent of the export value of projects supported by Eximbank loans, minus Eximbank loan authorizations. 145 206 borrowing countries. The World Bank sometimes argued for a reduction in interest rate spread on co-financed loans, to the displeasure of the commercial banks. World Bank officials argued that since there was less risk in a project that had been carefully assessed and that enjoyed World Bank backing, the interest charge should be lowered. The commercial banks responded that interest mar- gins were already narrow enough and that the World Bank was neither directly guaranteeing the private loan nor even willing to sign a mandatory cross-default clause. The voluntary cross-default clauses left the World Bank with the discre- tion not to call in its own loan if the borrower defaulted against the private creditor. The World Bank feared that mandatory cross-default clauses would compromise its independence, associate it too closely with its co-creditors, and potentially drag it into reschedulings. The World Bank felt that its record of never having rescheduled a loan was important for maintaining its superior bond rating. Neither the World Bank nor the developing countries were very en- thusiastic about direct guarantees, since the Bank's chaner requires that such guarantees be fully charged against loan authority; thus guarantees would sub- stitute for concessional loans. The World Bank has also encountered problems in locating projects which the private sector would not undertake on its own, but which with co- financing—are “bankable." The commercial banks tend not to be interested in projects in the poorer, less "creditworthy" developing countries, and they complain that the World Bank takes too long to design and approve projects. For their part, the developing countrics' enthusiasm for co-financing is sometimes offset by the fear that private participation will simply replace the Bank's more concessional lending instead of being additional. Finally, in 1982 another factor dampened the immediate interest in project-related co-financing: the global recession had created excess capacity in many developing country industries, rendering investments in them less interesting to commercial bank lenders. Believing that commercial banks continue to offer a large pool of potential resources that can enable the World Bank to improve its effectiveness significan. ily, the Bank in early 1983 announced several new instruments designed 10 attract more interest in co-financing. On an experimental basis, and in response to the instability evidenced in private capital markets in 1981-82, the Bank will guarantee the later maturities of co-financed loans, and will stabilize debe service on commercial loans by offering a contingent commitment to compensate for rises in market interest rates. The new program that has received the most altention, however, is the so-called "B" loan scheme. The borrower would enter into two separate loan agreements for the "A" and "B" loans. The "A" loan would be a standard IBRD loan. The "B" loan would be a syndicated loan including both IBRD and commercial financing. The IBRD share in the "B" loan would be made at the same variable rate basis as the commercial co-lenders' portion. The IBRD could, however, take the later maturities. The "B" loan scheme involves several risks for the World Bank. By entering into a syndication with other creditors, the Bank might lose its preferred creditor status and find it more difficult to avoid participating in reschedulings. It might find itself forced to 'declare a borrower in default and to accelerate pay. 146 207 ments of a loan-a practice the World Bank has eschewed. As it experiments with the "B" loan scheme, the Bank presumably will try to safeguard itself as securely as possible against such risks. At the same time, the Bank will want to be as sure as it can be that further co-financing nicets the additionality" fest, so that it does not simply substitute for lending that would have been extended in any event, whether to the particular project or to another purpose in the same country, or in another developing country. The objective of co-financing is to increase the flow of resources from the banking community into the Third World. Devising a test to ensure additionality is a difficult exercise. As a U.S. Treasury official candidly informed a congressional committee: Additionality is a very hard thing to prove, among other things, because some of the interested parties, ... depending upon the circumstances, say that a multilateral development bank had nothing to do with (the arrange- ment) or was totally responsible . . Al Treasury we are often skeptical about certain projects .. Clearly, there is some additionality, and I think probably we cannot do much, at least with present information, (besides) examining the trends over time and seeing that cofinancing is increasing proportionally and there is clearly some additionality. But I think a lot more work needs to be done to prove whether the cofinancing is, in fact, additional. "O The World Bank and the U.S. Treasury have been working to devise more systematic ways of ensuring a high degree of additionality. Suggested means include: (1) increasing the number of banks participating in co-financing, (2) stimulating banks to lend in the less creditworthy nations, where private lending is not yet substantial or has recently been in retreat, and (3) bringing long-term institutional investors (pension funds and insurance companies) into co-financing in the more creditworthy countries." Despite its difficulties, co-financing, like structural adjustment loans, is an appropriate response to the problems of the 1980s. Indeed, events that have occurred since the inception of both efforts have increased their importance. The depth of the global recession has rendered the problems of adjustment even more acule, just as the heightened nervousness of the financial markets has increased the need-even as it has made the task more difficult--for the World Bank to encourage private capital to invest in the Third World. Energy. In 1978, in the wake of the sharply increased cost of energy, the World Bank moved to expand assistance for energy development. As de- veloping-country consumption of costly energy rose, energy imports became a major constraint on growth. If developing countries are to be able to manage their balances of payments and continue to grow, their energy investments must Future of Multilateral Dovelopment Banks, op. cit., p. 309. "Those suggestions were offered by Nicholas Roy and John Niehuss of Merrill Lynch White Word Capital Markots Group, in Future of Multilateral Development Banks, op. cit., pp. 264-85. 147 208 more than double in real terms over the course of a decade to reach a level of 12 $40-$.50 billion per year. The World Bank has traditionally financed electric power projects, but it has now added the task of developing oil and gas resources. The Bank is financing development project loans as well as pre-development programs." including seismic surveys, exploratory drilling, and the hiring of consultants to strengthen the institutional frameworks of state energy agencies. Lending for oil, gas, and coal projects has jumped from negligible amounts to $766 million in FY 1982, and, together with lending for electric power generation, accounted for 25.8 per cent of total Bank lending.") The Bank believes that it could double the size of its energy program to finance projects with justifiably high rates of retum. The executive directors, however, are of the view that they cannot significantly increase energy lending beyond current levels without unacceptable cuts in the lending 10 such other high-priority sectors as agriculture and direct poverty alleviation." Accordingly. in FY 1981, the joint World Bank-IMF Development Committee endorsed the idea of establishing an energy affiliate that would enable the World Bank to augment energy lending without subtracting from other programs. The Reagan administration, however, has blocked this proposal, arguing that existing World Bank energy programs "displace" private investment by supporting national oil companies," thereby giving Third World governments the means to avoid coming to terms with international oil companies financed by private lending institutions. The Bank, on the other hand, has argued that its energy projects, like many of its activities, are intended to act as catalysts rather than as competitors in stimulating the private sector. In energy development as in other programs, it sometimes is difficult to son out just how much "additionality" Bank activities actually generate. One study of World Bank activity in oil and gas confirmed the Bank's claim that it is playing a catalytic role in energy developmeni." The Bank has financed in- frastructure (as in Tunisia and Bangladesh), has provided an umbrella against political risk by serving as an impartial mediator and consultant, and has reduced tensions between host authorities and international oil companies (in Madagas- car). The study did find, however, that the Bank has funded some state energy agencies, notably in India, that could have sought financing from commercial Sensitive to this criticism, and concerned with maximizing the impact sources. 17 'World Bank data, as ciled in Edward A. Frod, "The Multilateral Development Banks and the World Economy." teslimony before US. Congress, Joint Economic Committee, May 27, 1982. "World Bank, Annual Report, 1982, op. ch., p. 38. "Ibud. "SUS. Treasury. An Examination of the World Bank Energy Londing Program Washington, D.C.: U.S. Treasury. July 28, 1982); and Wall Street Journal, August 4, 1981. 16 Theodore Moran, "Does the World Bank Belong in the Oil and Gas Businoss?" Columbua Journal of World Business, Vol. 17. No. 1 (Spring 1982). pp. 47-52. "While valid in particular cases, this criticism cannot be applied without qualifications. It may be true thal at a given moment in lime a single slale agency may have had access to commercial financing: Out over a longer period of time, it all of a country's slalo agencies that were initially creditworthy repeatedly conllacled private debi, individually and as a group (10., the country). they could bump up against lenders credit coilings. 148 209 of its financial contribution, the Bank has indicated that it plans to continue to shift toward a catalytic role by identifying "bankable" investment opportunities through project preparation and appraisal, helping to develop financially sound and technically capable national institutions, and assisting in mobilizing external financing." 18 Poverty Alleviation. The World Bank's recent emphasis on structural ad- justment, co-financing, and energy keep it on the cutting edge of the develop- ment agenda. At the same time, questions arise as to whether these new direc- tions will not jeopardize the Bank's ability to meet its commitment to poverty alleviation. The Bank's poverty focus could be diluted either by the changing allocation of the Bank's own resources or by the growth and efficiency emphases of its macroeconomic and sectoral adjustment programs. On the first point, the institu- tion has decided to devote 25 per cent of its resources to energy and up to 10 per cent to structural adjustment loans, neither program being directly oriented toward the poor. Furthermore, projects co-financed with commercial lenders must be "bankable”'; while poverty-oriented projects are sometimes profitable. the private rate of retum, especially when weighed against the risk and the lengthy payback period, often will be too low to attract private lenders, even if the social rate of return promises to be high. Extensive private co-financing could introduce a bias against at least some types of basic needs projects. The resources that are being devoted to these new directions have been capped so as not to overwhelm poverty-oriented programs. As a major Bank study on IDA underscored, the Bank wants to continue to give priority to poverty alleviation." Nevertheless, in FY 1982, the percentage of loans authorized by the IBRD and IDA together for the main poverty-oriented sectors-agriculture, education, urbanization, and water supply-all declined significantly from FY 1981 levels; the agricultural sector share fell from 30.6 per cent to 23.7 per cent of total authorizations. For IDA alone, the percentage of loans authorized for these four sectors dropped from 53.5 per cent to 40.4 per cent. The second potential threat to the Bank's poverty focus comes from the policy effects of its structural adjustment program. To the extent that the struc- tural adjustment loans emphasize adjustment through market mechanisms, equity may suffer. The impact on income and wealth distribution of removing govem- ment controls will depend on which groups were previously benefiting from them. Where upper and middle classes were the primary recipients of official subsidies, removing subsidies may actually enhance equity. But to benefit fully from more open markets, individuals need access to credit and information, and the opportunity to acquire education and productive assets-advantages many poor people lack. Steps can be taken to minimize these potential threats to a poverty focus. The Bank can maximize the share of resources available for direct attacks on "World Bank. "The Financing of large scale Energy Projects in Latin America: The World Bank Exponence," June 9, 1982 (mimoo). "World Bank, IDAM Aotraspoct (New York: Oxford University Press, 1982). 149 210 poverty by improving the retum on its other programs: the design of structural adjustment loans can be gradually refined; co-financed loans can generale a higher ratio of additional funds; and energy projects can be catalytic. Funher- more, even if projects directly oriented toward the poor receive a somewhat lower percentage of Bank resources, Bank analysts can design “non-poverty" projects in ways that provide indirect benefits to the poor, or at least avoid damaging their interests. After all, not just projects that are labeled "poverty. oriented" have an impact on poor people. Moreover, when it is considered necessary to take measures that will adversely affect the poor-such as removing certain subsidies on food or electricity-the Bank can recommend ways of targeting the remaining subsidies toward the poor. In the 1970s, the Bank's impressive research staff devoted considerable time to investigating the relation- ship between various development programs and equity. In the future, it will be important for the Bank to pay even more attention, in its research and operations, to the distributional aspects of all of its programs. This extra effort will be required if the Bank is to maintain its orientation toward poverty elimination while taking on the additional challenges of the 1980s. The Demand for Resources The Bank's decision to use its resources to assist countries making structural adjustments, to stimulate private capital flows, and to promote energy develop- ment came at a time when Bank resources were subject to a seemingly endlessly expanding set of demands. Different regions of the world were pressing the World Bank for help. China, with its billion people, joined the Bank in 1980 and announced its intentions to make full use of Bank resources. The Bank itself has expressed alarm at the "dramatic indicators of economic trouble" facing the majority of the population in Africa.20 At the urging of the United States, in the late 1970s, the Bank began to devote more resources to the small states of the Caribbean Basin, hard-hit by adverse movements in their terms of trade. Most recently, the newly industrializing countries-suddenly facing tighter inter- national capital markets-have turned to the World Bank for renewed support. The demands on World Bank resources are mounting at a time when the Reagan administration has called for a slowing of the expansion of the multi- lateral development banks in general and the World Bank in particular.21 The administration has advocated a lowering in real terms of the loan volume of IDA; it has expressed suppon for continued expansion of the hard-loan IBRD, but at a reduced level. The administration agreed to honor the commitment it inherited to the sixth replenishment of IDA, but at a slower disbursal rate. During the Carter ad- World Bank, Accelerated Development in Sub-Saharan Alca: An Agonda tor Acbon (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1981). p. 3. "Soo Department of the Troasury. Unnod Slates Parucipation in the Multilateral Dovolopmont Banks in the 1980s (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Govommont Pnnling OHICO, 1982) for the Reagan administration's comprehensive policy statement. 21 150 211 ministration, the exccutive branch committed the United States, subject to con- gressional approval, to appropriating $3.24 billion for IDA VI. The funds were to be made available to the World Bank Juring FY 1981-83 in three annual installments of $1.08 billion each. Instead, the Reagan administration proposed graduated contributions, with payments in the first year to be only $540 million, rising to $1.85 billion in the third year. Congress appropriated $500 million in FY 1981 and $700 million in FY 1982. As might have been anticipated, Con- gress balked at the high figure proposed for the third year, and finally ap- propriated $700 million in a continuing resolution for FY 1983. Thus U.S. contributions to IDA VI most probably will not be completed until FY 1985. The failure of the United States to fulfill its pledge in a timely fashion resulied in a sharp reduction in IDA lending levels. Whereas IDA authorized $3.8 billion in credits in FY 1980, it could approve only $2.7 billion in FY 1982 (see Table 2). The decline would have been even sharper had some Bank members not agreed to relax the pro-rata rule and release their installments as originally envisaged. Other donors shared the U.S. sentiment that the growth rates of multilateral lending should slow and that the ratio of multilateral to bilateral lending had swung too far; IDA's commitment authority rose at about 8 per cent a year in real terms between 1965-80, and the share of official develop- ment assistance from DAC members going through multilateral agencies climbed from 12 per cent in the early 1960s to 34 per cent in 1980.22 The United States Tablo 2. World Bank Londing Lovola (5 billions) Fiscal Year IBRD Loan Amounts' IDA Credit Amounts 1.4 1.1 1.6 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1.7 2.1 3.2 4.3 5.0 5.8 6.1 7.0 7.6 1.3 2.3 3.0 3.8 3.5 2.7 1980 1981 8.8 10.3 1982 'Excludos loans bo IFC of SAO million in FY 1973. $110 million in FY 1974, 550 million in FY 1975, $70 million in FY 1976. $20 million in FY 1977. $100 million m FY 1981, and $390 million in FY 1982. Inchidos amounts i FY 1976 and FY 1977 bont on third window" torms SOURCE: World Bank, Arua Aoport, 1982 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1982). p. 10. World Bank, IDA in Aotrospect, op. cit., p. 14. 151 212 was alone, however, in unilaterally undercutting the agreements reached during the negotiations on the IDA VI replenishment. The United States justified its position primarily on grounds of budgetary stringency. Although U.S. contributions to the multilateral development banks are a very small percentage of federal outlays, the U.S. Treasury emphasized that: “Reductions in ſederal expenditures over this time period represent a vilal pan of the President's program for economic recovery. Consequently, this ad- ministration's commitment to budget stringency must be a factor in decisions on funding levels for the MDBs (multilateral development banks)."23 The administration further warranted its budgetary preſerences on the grounds that the World Bank could make better use of its existing resources by more rigorously enforcing the principles of maturation and graduation, and by leveraging its loans in behalf of policy reform. Besides, private capital markets would continue to provide developing countries with substantial new nei Nows of resources, and the World Bank could do more to promote such Nows. These proposals were not new to the World Bank. Indeed, they were for the most part already considered to be official policy. Al issue was the manner and timing of their implementation and the degree to which these policies, even if successfully implemented, could substitute for Bank resources. Maturation and Graduation. Underdevelopment should be a transitional state. As nations' economics progress, their dependency on concessional assis- tance can decline. The World Bank has a long-standing policy of gradually limiting recipient nations' access to concessional aid as they climb the develop ment ladder. Highly concessional assistance from IDA is available to the poorest countries. As countries grow, they are expected to "mature" gradually out of complete dependence upon the sofi-loan windows and to receive a blend of soft and hard loans. Eventually, they fully mature out of eligibility for the soft-loan windows. Finally, a country "graduates" from its access to hard-loan windows and must rely on investment capital generated intemally and on the private capital markets. Since 1961, IDA has phased out twenty-two countries entirely. It is now maturing recipients with a per capita income above $500 from the status of borrowing only highly concessional moncy; many of those governments will, however, continue to receive a blend of IDA and IBRD monics. The Reagan administration argued that IDA should take into account, in addition to per capila income, such criteria as access to private capital markets, economic perform- ance, and the country's natural resource base. 24 India by far the largest IDA - was clearly at the top of the administration's list of countries which, despite their very low per capita income, should nevertheless rely more on IBRD and private Nows and less on near-grant IDA resources. India's share of the xth IDA replenishment was cut to 27 per cent, down from 35-40 per cent. user- suntod Stalos Participanon in the Mutolateral Development Bantas, op. cit., p. M. Yound., Chapter 5. 152 213 .25 According to World Bank guidelines, a country becomes a candidate for graduation from IBRD lending when per capita GNP reaches $2.650. Seven countries have graduated since the 1BRD formulated its policy in 1973. Ten additional countries, however, have crossed the per capita income threshold without yet having been graduated. The Reagan administration has argued that the IBRD should implement its graduation policy more deliberately and sys- lematically. The World Bank, while reiterating its adherence to the principle of graduation, has responded that its implementation should be "both llexible and fair, and sensitive to each country's individual circumstances. The Reagan administration listed ten major IBRD borrowers as candidates for graduation during the 1980s: Argentina, Romania, Portugal, Yugoslavia, Algeria, Brazil, Chile, Korea, Malaysia, and Mexico. Candidates who have been less demanding of IBRD resources include: the Bahamas, Barbados, Cyprus, Oman, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Costa Rica, Fiji, and Panama. 26 Certainly the World Bank's resources and counsel are most needed in the poorer developing countries. The principles of maturation and graduation are therefore sound, and they are widely accepted. At issue is the question of timing. Many developing countries are currently carrying a heavy debt service burden. This is therefore a difficult time for them to forego foreign concessional assis- lance. In the adverse international economic environment of the 1980s, many countries are likely to stagnate or even fall backward. Already it appears that a number of countries in Central America, as well as Egypt, Bolivia, and Cam- croon, were prematurely deprived of access to IDA. Countries hard hit by international factors beyond their control not only need World Bank resources but also can bencfil greatly from the knowledge and advice of Bank experts as they seek to adjust their economies to novel and complex global realities. The administration argued that private capital markets could gradually substitute for concessional flows as countries shift upward on the development charts. As the Reagan administration was undertaking its intemal review of World Bank policy, observers of the financial markets were warning that private lenders were becoming more cautious in expanding their exposure in many developing countries. They pointed to the large accumulation of foreign debt by many developing countries, to the rising ratios of outstanding debt and debt service to export earnings, the uncertain international economic environment, the large existing exposure of many banks, and the banks' weakened capital posi- tions. The administration nevertheless maintained an optimistic view of future lending, concluding that the concern that major money-market banks had be- come too highly leveraged and overexposed was "overstated." The administra- tion argued: Banks will continue placing funds in LDCs with less ideal creditworthiness, given sufficient pecuniary incentives. The Euromarket will adjust by dif- zWorld Bank, Annual Roport, 1982, op. cit., p. 35. United Statos Participation in the Murulateral Development Banks. op. cit., p. 71. 153 214 ſerentiating terms, increasing margins and shortening maturities for certain countries. Many banks are nearing internal limits on certain borrowers, but these limits may prove quite flexible, and other LDC borrowers may be able to achieve high rates of growth in borrowing from these banks. In addition, new capital is continually being injected into the international banking system via entry of new institutions. Second-lier banks are comparatively "underlent" relative to their capital base, and new Arab banks are likely to expand international lending to the LDCs. Thus, we project that inter- national bank lending will continue to increase in real terms up through 1985, and the LDC share in international bank lending will not deteriorate. 31 Specifically, the administration predicted that net bank flows to the developing countries would grow by about 10-11 per cent a year in nominal terms over the period 1981-85, or 3-4 per cent in real terms. By late 1982, it had become clear that these projections were much too optimistic, at least for the near term. Especially erroneous was the prediction that second-lier banks would increase their role in international lending; many of them instead preferred to reduce their exposure. The larger banks were willing to stay in countries where they were already deeply committed but hesitated to risk much new exposure. Thus countries such as Brazil, Mexico, and Yugoslavia lop candidates for graduation--suddenly faced growing difficulties in the private markets and looked to the World Bank for a continuation and even an increase in lending. In current circumstances, World Bank lending, especially when coupled with a structural adjustment program and possibly an IMF presence, can play an enhanced role in encouraging private flows. Bank programs give private lenders greater assurance that measures are being taken to attain sustainable extemal and internal balances and that resources are being efficiently channeled toward pro- ductive projects. Structural adjustment loans provide this assurance at the mac- roeconomic and sectoral levels, while co-financing arrangements offer more safety at the project level. Today, perhaps even more than in the past, far from being substitutes for one another, World Bank and private financing can comple- ment and reinforce cach other. Until more prosperous times arrive, the gradua- tion of many countries ought to be postponed. Conditionality. In its comprehensive study of the multilateral development banks, the administration urges them to use their financial leverage to advance particular economic policies in recipient countries. The 1982 Treasury report recommends that “lending policies and programs should increasingly emphasize attention to market signals and incentives, to private sector development, and to greater financial participation by banks, private investors, and other sources of private financing." 28 Countries that fail to meet these criteria should receive less funding, and egregious violators are candidates for exclusion. ??101d., p. 146. 2 Houd., p. 7. 154 215 Certainly many governments could improve their economic management. The question is, how much more can and should the World Bank do io foster such improvements? Critics of the World Bank have accused it of advancing centralized social- ism in the Third World.29 While it is true that the Bank has been willing to support public sector enterprises, it has been a persistent advocate of market processes and decentralized modes of economic organization. The Bank has, for example, long advised members to use a realistic exchange rale to promote exports and allocate imports, to reward agricultural producers with market- related prices, and to make public sector enterprises more self-financing. The Bank also has been a strong supporter of private investment, both domestic and foreign. The Bank cannot therefore suddenly increase the efficiency of Third World economies by announcing a new doctrine. It can keep on promoting its message as it has been doing, but change generally will continue to occur, if at all, at the margin. Another controversial issue has been how hard the World Bank ought to press cenain ideas. World Bank membership includes several countries, notably China and Romania, that sharply limit the role of the private sector. The World Bank cannot be a truly global institution if it pushes preference for the private sector too far. As a witness pointed out to a congressional committee: Presumably we want these institutions to have a policy influence on all of the economies of the world in a way that will promote on a global scale noninflationary world economic growth. That I think requires an ability to work with countries, regardless of the pattern of ownership of the means of production. It is the efficiency of economic management and adherence to the international economic rules of the game that seem to me to be the important considerations in the giving of policy advice by these insti- lutions. 30 The World Bank would risk its image as a truly global, multilateral institu- tion if it were perceived as being a purveyor of a particular ideology. Moreover, in any particular country, if it sought to penalize non-conforming behavior by cutting off lending, it would risk losing all influence. A more pragmatic, techni- cal approach that works for gradual improvements often will be more successful than a confrontational, ideological one. The Treasury report itself recognized that in some cases the market is not an adequate distributor of resources. In the presence of “public goods," "ex- ternalities," and other market failures," government intervention may well be necessary if welfare is to be optimized."' It is often difficult to determine just when these exceptions are present. Partly as a result, most economies are already complex mixtures between private and public sectors, between market and *For a reton 10 such criticisms, see Robert Ayres, "Breaking the Bank." Foreign Policy. No. 43 (Summer 1981). 20Statement by Cathorine Gww. Future of Mutilateral Development Banks, op cit, p. 197. "United States Participation in the Mullateral Development Banks, op cil. pp 8-13 155 216 command structures. The particular mix is the outcome of historical processes and political choices. No international institution can easily and fundamentally alter the chosen mix; nor should ideological biases cause an institution to try. Furthermore, candid development economists recognize that their branch of the social sciences still poses more questions than it has answers. The new, more difficult interational economic environment has advanced an additional series of quandaries that require study. International institutions, like development econ- omists, need to approach their tasks with the humility that comes from an honest awareness of their own limitations. In summary, the administration's emphases on maturation graduation, the encouragement of private capital Nows, and fostering efficient economic man- agement are a reaffirmation of widely accepted ideas. They are not new to the World Bank, although the Bank might be able to implement them with greater vigor in some instances. But each policy has its limitations, especially in the current economic environment. Maturation and graduation is a policy more appropriate for periods when countries are growing steadily. Increasing reliance on private capital flows is more attractive when real interest rates are modest and capital readily available. Efficient economic management is always equally desirable and in short supply, and will be made more difficult by the complex, adverse interational environment facing policy makers. In short, these policies are not convincing substitutes for real resources. Future Funding. To make up for the shonfalls triggered by the delay in U.S. contributions to IDA VI, the World Bank accepted a French proposal to establish a Special Fund to augment IDA resources during FY 1983 and FY 1984. The Special Fund, to which donations are voluntary, will be administered by IDA, but procurement will be open only to contributing countries (as well as borrowing members) and countries which have fulfilled their IDA VI obligations in the original schedule. That is, the United States, which does not plan to contribute, will not be able to bid for supplier contracts on projects financed by the Special Fund. The Special Fund, if a necessary expedient, violates the basic principles of negotiated burden-sharing and untied aid that are central to multi- lateralism in foreign assistance. The Bank also agreed to establish an interim account for FY 1984 to which donors can contribute and which will be administered by normal IDA criteria. Donors (other than the United States) are expected to contribute in sum between one quarter and one third of their IDA VI contributions to the Special Fund and the FY 1984 account. This will allow IDA to authorize about $3.3 billion in FY 1983 and between $2.9-$3.6 billion in FY 1984, while the seventh replenishment is being negotiated. However, the Europeans wamed the United States that in the future they will not be as willing to take extraordinary steps that abandon the principles of burden-sharing and honoring negotiated replenishment arrange- ments. As the Bank struggles to complete IDA VI, negotiations have already begun on IDA VII; the intention is to reach agreement in time for the Bank Fund annual 156 217 meetings in Fall 1983. Negotiations on the funding levels for IDA VII are likely to be intense. For resource flows to be maintained in real terms during the IDA VII triennal (FY 1985-87), the replenishment will have to amount 10 about $15 billion. Bank management would like to see some positive real increase in resource transfers. The Reagan administration's position, as expressed in the Treasury study, is for U.S. contributions to decline by 30-45 per cent in real terms; even if countries are matured rapidly out of IDA, so that lending is reserved for the poorest countries, concessional lending to IDA-only countries would experience little or no growth in real terms. Limitations on future IDA resources can be partially compensated for in two ways. First, the tems of IDA lending can be allered. Loan conditions could be differentiated among borrowers, with the more creditworthy borrowers accepting shortened maturities and modest interest charges. (IDA credits currently are for fifty years, with no interest and a ten-year grace period before repayments begin.) The poorest borrowers might have their maturities shortened to twenty- five to thirty-five years. While not significantly augmenting resources in the near term, this reform would gradually increase the volume of reflows and allow for higher authorization levels in future years. The second way to offset IDA stringency is to speed up the next Generai Capital Increase for the IBRD-not scheduled until FY 1987-lo allow for more lending authority to be devoted to "blend countries" that receive both IDA and IBRD loans. IBRD loans to countries with potential debt servicing problems might include an interest subsidy. The advantage of a General Capital Increase (GCI) is that the proportion of capital that donor governments have to actually pay in is small-only 7.5 per cent for the last GCI. It is easier to extract "callable" capital guarantees than immediate outlays from the U.S. Congress. The IBRD could also increase its lending capacity by altering its gearing ratio-the ratio of exposure outstanding to total capital, including callable and paid-in capital. Currently, the IBRD's charter limits its exposure to an extremely conservative 1:1 ratio lo total capital. Commercial banks may risk an exposure of 25:1 or more of their capital base. As the IBRD has gained in resources, experience, and reputation, it can consider a more expansive policy. Raising the gearing ratio would permit the IBRD 10 borrow more heavily in private markets without having to ask donor governments for large budgetary appropriations or fully offsetting callable capital guarantees. An effort to alter the gearing ratio would face several obstacles. Holders of existing bonds could file suit to enjoin the IBRD from issuing new bonds that diluted the security of previous issues. More generally, it is uncertain how the bond markets would receive securities no longer fully backed by callable capital. However, the expansion of the gearing ratio could be gradual, rising slowly to a still conservative 2:1.32 A final roadblock lies in the need to amend the IBRD's "Tho Brandt Commission recommended a doubling of the gearing ratio. The Independent Com. mussion on International Development Issues, North-South. A Program for Survival (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 1980), p. 255. 84-045 0-84-15 157 218 charter, which would require action by member governments and, in the case of the United States, by Congress. The amendment process could be time- consuming, and could inadvertently expose other sections of the charter to review. Despite these potential pitfalls, altering the gearing ratio offers an attractive means for substantially expanding IBRD resources and should be carefully considered. The IBRD has already taken measures to improve its financial position. A front-end fee of 1.5 per cent on new loan commitments was introduced in January 1982, although it has since been reduced to 0.25 per cent. Most impor- tant, the IBRD first raised its interest rates on the basis of a guideline that provided for a spread of 0.5 per cent above the cost of borrowing and then abandoned fixed-rate lending altogether. By moving to a variable-rate regime, the IBRD protects its own financial position and gains the ability to issue short-term instruments. Borrowing nations benefit from having the Bank on a firmer financial footing, but will now have to bear the risk of future interest rate fluctuations. Many developing countries are more advanced than they were when the IBRD and IDA first established their lending terms, so that movement toward somewhat harder terms is justifiable. It is also justifiable from the Bank's legitimate institutional perspective. Nevertheless, harder-lemm lending will ren- der the development process that much more difficult. Moreover, the hardening of terms comes at a time when large debt burdens, high interest rates, and other adverse interational developments have dramatically increased the need for concessional resources. U.S. Interests and Policy In its comprehensive assessment of the multilateral development banks, the Reagan administration found that the banks, and most especially the World Bank, had well served important U.S. economic, commercial, and political objectives. The report stressed that the banks contribute to U.S. global economic objectives by encouraging developing countries to participate more fully in an interational system based on liberalized trade and capital Nows. The relatively non-political character of the banks makes them more effective than bilateral programs in encouraging goverments to use market mechanisms and to rely more on intemational trade. U.S. commercial objectives are served, the report found, by expanded opportunities for U.S. exports, investment, and finance. U.S. political and strategic objectives are advanced by the banks' contribution to steady economic growth, which reduces the likelihood of political instability. Moreover, the country allocation of bank loans generally has been compatible with U.S. forcign policy preferences. The administration's assessment also noted that the United States has been able to accomplish these objectives at relatively low cost through the banks hecause of their resource leveraging nature. In the hard-loan windows, one dollar of U.S. direct budgetary outlays supports 40-60 limes that amount in resource transfers. 158 219 As noted above, the World Bank is being called upon to fulfill important additional roles in the 1980s. Structural adjustinent, co-financing, energy, and poverty alleviation will all draw upon Bank resources. Regions of the world that are of economic and strategic interest to the United States from the Caribbean to China will be seeking external finance. In the 1970s, the commercial banks stepped in to provide the developing countries with extemal resources when official agencies failed to respond rapidly enough to global shocks. The cominer- cial banks will remain important in the 1980s, but they will be looking more to official agencies—both to provide a higher percentage of resource flows and to provide for a more stable environment within which to operate. The Reagan administration initially argued that the International Monetary Fund did not need a large and rapid infusion of funds: the debt crises of Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil convinced the administration otherwise. It agreed that a substantial expansion in IMF quotas should be effective by 1984. While the short-term balance-of-payments crises demanded immediate attention, the longer-term development problems of the Third World are no less real. As the administration negotiates IDA VII and begins to ponder the next expansion of the IBRD, it will want to reconsider whether U.S. interests in the 1980s are compati- ble with a diminished World Bank. The administration is correct to argue that the executive branch should not promise more in replenishment negotiations than Congress will ultimately au- thorize. It is also true that many members of Congress follow the administra- tion's lead on foreign assistance, which is often of little direct concem to their constituents. An administration willing to take the lead and devote some political capital to passing World Bank legislation can have an important influence on congressional opinion. Most important, the United States should avoid allowing the World Bank to become another area of friction in the Western alliance. Reaching a negotiated agreement with our allies should itself be a priority objective in future World Bank discussions. The establishment of the Special Fund was a lamentable necessity that should not be repeated; it reflects deep divisions in NATO-country attitudes, and it undermines several of the principles that have made the World Bank such an important and successful multilateral institution. If the World Bank has served U.S. interests in the past, its potential for doing so is even greater in the future. The World Bank could play a significant role in the 1980s in helping to stabilize the unsettled international economy and to promote development in the Third World. It is in the U.S. interest for the Bank to assist structural adjustment programs and to stimulate co-linancing and energy investment. It is also in the U.S. interest for the Bank to remain active in the newly industrializing countries, to maintain its concern with equily, and to continue to serve as a communicator between the developed and the developing countries. The United States should therefore encourage the Bank 10 pursue the following policies: • The Bank should devote both financial and human resources to improving structural adjustment programs--rather than he discouraged by some of their 159 220 early disappointing results--since conceptually these programs are the proper response to the new international economic environment. The Bank should try to persuade the IMF to make a greater eſſon to build concem for employment and investment into its stabilization models. Co-financing has taken on increased importance. Official agencies will have to assume responsibility for assuring that commercial lenders do not suddenly and sharply reduce their exposure in the Third World. As A.W. Clausen has noted, "It is essential, both for the developing countries and for the stability of the international financial system, that net levels of financing, both commercial and official, be--at the very least-maintained in real terms. . . . This is a moment for prudence by commercial banks, but certainly not for retreat."*33 World Bank activity can complement and stimulate private Nows. But the Bank must intensify its search for systematic ways of ensuring a high degree of additionality from co-financing programs. • Despite the recent fall in oil prices, investment in energy resources will remain a high priority for developing countries. The demand for energy will continue to rise once growth resumes, and it will absorb a major share of developing country savings. The World Bank can employ its resources effi. ciently by playing a catalytic role in identifying. preparing, and co-financing energy projects. • While a sound idea in principle, graduation is out of sync with current international economic trends, which have made World Bank activities more, not less, critical for many upper-income developing countries. Graduation ceremo- nies will have to wait until the advent of better times. • While lending criteria cannot be totally neutral politically, loan conditions should be as ideologically unbiased as possible. Otherwise, the Bank will lose the good will it has built up in the Third World and will become less effective. As The Economise warned, “If the developing countries feel the Bank has become a Reaganite wolf in sheep's clothing, they will treat its advice with as much indifference as they can. Policy advice that is offered quietly, sen- sitively, and humbly is more likely to be well-received than preachy slogancer. ing. • All of the Bank's programs, but especially its structural adjustment loans, need to be attentive to their impact on income distribution. In a constrictive, chaotic economic environment, goverments find it increasingly difficult to monitor the relationship of economic programs to equily objectives. Indeed, it is often hard to predict what that impact will be. But if the World Bank, hard- pressed with stability concems, fails to maintain an interest in equity, the poor in many countries are likely to suffer. Some of the World Bank's programs and directions could jeopardize the positive image it gained in the Third World during the McNamara years. Closer Aomarks bolore the Council on Foreign Ablalons, Now York City. September 23, 1982 (mimoo). D. 7. The Economist, September 4, 1982. p. 12. 160 221 relations with commercial banks and the IMF (identified more with developed- country interests) could endanger the Bank's role as a financial and intellectual bridge between North and South. The Bank can avoid this fate by working 10 make the IMF more responsive to developing country structural peculiaritics and development objectives, and by not merely protecting commercial bank exposure but instead helping to increase it. If the Bank is perceived to be playing an active role in its new associations, it can continue to mediate potential conflicts in the global economy It is difficult to imagine how the Bank can adequately address all the above requirements without a substantial increase in resources. The Bank needs to be adaptive, innovative, and willing to take some risks—but it cannot be effective without more funds. Al a time when capable institutions for coping with an unbinged international economy are sorely lacking, it would be pure folly not to take advantage of a dynamic institution already in place. 161 222 Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much, Mr. Sewell. Your com- ments and the comments of the panel recall to my mind the words of Senator Henry Jackson at the time he and I introduced the reso- lution that brought about the appointment of the Kissinger Com- mission. President Reagan has very properly recognized Senator Jackson's leadership in that effort and has given great weight to Senator Jackson's position. But I think it also has to be recalled that Senator Jackson said at that time that any military effort would crumble, the military shield would crumble, unless there were social and economic progress. And if that is true for Central America, I think it is true for other developing areas of the world. And that is a situation, a critical situation with which the United States must cope, and there is no assurances that other parts of the world that are similarily situated will not face the same kind of problems. Mr. Fried, you suggested that we test the waters with the Con- gress. I would like to insert in the record a letter dated November 3, 1983, addressed to the Secretary of State, signed by Senator Percy, Senator Glenn, Senator Dodd, and me, in which we urged that the waters be tested at that time, before the U.S. position was frozen on the $9 billion mark for IDA VII. And I regret that that was not done, or at least to my knowledge that kind of testing of congressional opinion was not done at that time. [The letter referred to follows: U.S. SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C., November 3, 1983. Hon. GEORGE P. SHULTZ, Secretary of State, Washington, D.C. DEAR MR. SECRETARY: We are writing you with respect to negotiations currently in progress concerning the size of the seventh replenishment of the International Development Association (IDA VII) and specifically with respect to the appropriate level of the U.S. share in this replenishment. We understand that the Executive Branch representatives to the negotiations have suggested to other potential IDA VII donors that the U.S. Congress will only support funding at an annual level of $750 million. We respectfully disagree with this judgment. Support in the Congress for higher annual contributions to IDA VII exists provid- ed the Executive Branch is prepared to exercise leadership in this area. We might note that the Congress has in the past appropriated higher funding levels for IDA than are now being contemplated for IDA VII. The world recession is greater now than at those times, and we need to encourage recovery in those countries that di- rectly benefit the United States. We are persuaded that a majority of our colleagues, when fully informed of the serious implications for the furtherance of our foreign policy and national security interests of a sharply reduced IDA VII, would be ready to approve more adequate U.S. participation in this replenishment. We believe that U.S. economic and foreign policy objectives would not be met by an annual U.S. contribution of $750 million. We stand ready to assist in the determination of an appropriate level for U.S. con- tributions to IDA VII and in insuring Congressional support for that level. Sincerely, CHARLES H. PERCY. CHARLES McC. MATHIAS, JR. JOHN GLENN. CHRISTOPHER J. DODD. 223 Senator MATHIAS. Let me ask just one or two specific questions. Archbishop, one of the reasons that has been given for not making IDA VII larger is that, notwithstanding the desperate situation in sub-Saharan Africa, that area has a limited absorptive capacity and that simply to throw money at it would not relieve the prob- lems of the area. Do you have any comment, or does any member of the panel have a comment, on the absorptive capacity theory? Archbishop LIPSCOMB. Mr. Chairman, I would hesitate to speak from personal knowledge, as I have never been to sub-Saharan Africa and I well know that oftentimes money used just for the sake of plowing it in to solve a problem will exacerbate the prob- lem. I cannot buy the assumption, though, that given the right param- eters of making the funds available for the right reasons, that the funds would not go a long way toward solving the problems that presently confront sub-Saharan Africa. I think it was Senator Danforth who mentioned the problems of drought and irrigation. Now, it might be economically unfeasible to dig a well where you might get some rainwater, but I cannot see how, no matter how economically unfeasible it may be, digging a well where you are otherwise not going to get any water at all rep- resents a counterproductive measure; nor would I think just in that one instance that nations would be loath to apply for that specific kind of assistance. But I am not that familiar with absorption in that area of the world. Senator MATHIAS. Mr. Fried. Mr. FRIED. Let me reply on two levels. First, sub-Saharan Africa relies for net investment to the tune of almost 50 percent on exter- nal capital of one sort or another, of which IDA is an important component. Now, this fact, it seems to me, reflects in the first in- stance dire poverty. The margin between output and what is re- quired at a minimum for current consumption is necessarily very narrow and uncertain. It also implies bad economic policies. There is a lot of waste. It seems to me that the possibilities of turning this situation around depend on the ability both to influence policy so as to improve it and to provide capital and technical resources that can help carry out the job. That is what increased resources from IDA could do. A second way of answering your question is to cite assurances I have had from World Bank people that there are a large number of projects they consider to be cost-effective and to have high poten- tial rates of return, which they will not be able to undertake be- cause of the lack of funds. I am confident that doubling the amount of IDA funds going to Africa would pose no absorptive problem. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you. Mr. Sewell. Mr. SEWELL. Senator, Africa, of course, poses really the most dif- ficult challenge, but I would argue very strongly that the question of absorptive capacity in the first instance is governed by how you provide aid. We have to look for new ways of how to provide aid, to get local costs out of government that cannot affort it, and to pro- mote investment in very long-term aspects such as training of 224 human capital to provide the infrastructure which is terribly im- portant to Africa. There are just not enough trained people to run the system Second, the current environment in sub-Saharan Africa is ex- tremely favorable for policy change. You have a had major report by the Bank on sub-Saharan Africa. You have had the African gov- ernments themselves generate a response in the Lagos plan of action. There is more openness now to policy change than at any time that I have seen in the past 10 years, and this is the time to take advantage of that opportunity. Third, you are faced with a situation of what costs are you pre- pared to pay. I spent a week up in the Senegal River Basin, where I think Senator Danforth was. This is an area where traditionally agriculture is pursued after the flood. The river flood comes down, and as the water goes down they plant and they plant very well and grow a fair amount of crops. There was no flood this year at all, just zero, and you can walk across and see miles of dust flats, which I gather now are getting worse since I have left as the winds come. To put irrigation in that area is very expensive. What choice do you have, however? Are you going to move the people off the land? Are you going to give up on that part of the world, or are you going to treat it as the Imperial Basin in California was treated? That is just an area you have to irrigate. If the cost per hectare is very high, you have got to look at that cost as to the social alternatives of moving people off the land and giving up on the area. And that is why it is important to treat the question of absorp- tive capacity very carefully in sub-Saharan Africa, because when you change your priorities or change the way you are doing things you find you can use a lot more money. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, another concern is that the situa- tion may slip below the marginal point of being able to grab hold of it. Simple things like the shortage of firewood, which has become more and more critical. Fewer and fewer people have a cooked meal on a regular basis because there is simply no source of energy left. All of these problems would tend, it seems to me, to cause us to move in the direction of loading the system a little more than it will bear, rather than to take the chance of not pushing it as far as it can be pushed. Does that panel have any view on how we are going to exercise the wisdom of Solomon as between China and India? That probably is what we will have to do or the managers of IDA will have to do. To cut the baby in half, is that it? Archbishop LIPSCOMB. No; I was not going to suggest that Solo- mon-like decisions would always work in our century. Perhaps, though, we could use a few.more. Is that not, though, perhaps one of the advantages of having a multilateral fund? Senator MATHIAS. Absolutely. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. That it does not rest on us to come up with the Solomon-like decision, and that once we have done our best in the world order to make these funds available and a true community of nations exercises stewardship over them in such a 225 way that whatever results in the end is not the United States di- recting it, but the community of nations saying to one or the other that you can or can not have this much. It certainly seems to me it would be both equitable and would get us off the hook as having to be the arbiter of perhaps who starves and who does not. Mr. FRIED. I agree with the archbishop's point that it is not up to us to decide and should not be, except insofar as the United States has a voice in the decision as an important member of the institu- tion. I think it would be wrong to make the decision in allocating funds as between China and India, to simply split it in half. I think that you have to look at the circumstances that now prevail, and those circumstances suggest that China is in a considerably more favorable position to finance a large program at the present time, even though it will probably run into difficulties later, than is India. That factor should certainly be taken into account. Senator MATHIAS. I think this panel already has addressed the issue of the relative merits of bilateral and multilateral assistance, and I take what you have said very much to heart on that. I only wish that we had a greater ability to influence that in this year's program, because it does seem to me that a multilateral foreign as- sistance program of $1.5 billion and a bilateral program of $14.5 billion is substantially out of balance. But that is going to be diffi- cult to alter in any substantial way this year. Gentlemen, I am extremely grateful to you for being here and for sticking with us to the end of the day. I think your testimony will be material help in persuading our colleagues on the commit- tee and our colleagues in the Congress to make this investment. Thank you very much. Mr. FRIED. I hope you renew that notion of testing the winds, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. We certainly will do that, and I would think from Senator Danforth's testimony this morning that he is pre- pared to put his finger up in the wind. Mr. FRIED. You have from the testimony this morning the sup- port of two organizations, the chamber and the archbishop. Senator MATHIAS. And I will lay on Archbishop Lispcomb the same burden that I did on the U.S. Chamber, that after all the Catholic Conference of Bishops has at its disposal formidable edu- cational facilities, and I am sure that the bishops will make every effort to make sure that the people of the United States under- stand really what the facts are. I do not think you have to persuade. I think just to educate is the role. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. If I might, Mr. Chairman, it seems to me you have hit a very pivotal point, that if a citizen of the United States sees someone starving, sees someone really in need, I think all the questions of economics will be largely lost on him. Excuse me for saying this, but we are talking about what we would call the person in the pew. If they see people in need the way Senator Danforth described them, they will certainly be behind and increased replenishment. And I think we do a mistake, I think the administration does a mistake not to challenge the Con- 226 gress. I think the Congress does a mistake not to challenge the 1 Nation. We just finished in the Archdiocese of Mobile, if I could give a little grassroots example, a remarkably successful annual giving field drive for Catholic charities. In what was a very difficult year, we had set a goal of $1.2 million. We have only got 61,000 Catholics, so that is pretty substantial, but we still hedge our bets. Last year we had $1,343,000 pledged, so we were still under. We thought we might go to $1.4 million. We went over $1.5 million, $1,542,000 in pledged effort. Now, this represents to me kind of a grassroots realization from people who have weathered the storm that they are willing to help others weather it. And I think that that represents what is best in this Nation, and I would at least like to see it tested, not only in Congress, perhaps, but across the country. Senator MATHIAS. I am sure that you were able to convey the sense of need. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. Yes. Senator MATHIAS. And then you were able to convince the donors that the Catholic Charities was an appropriate vehicle for meeting the need. I think that is perhaps where we have the problem here. The need exists. People see it on their television news shows, they see it in the press. But there is not the same confidence in the foreign assistance program, or perhaps not the same acquaintance-maybe that is the weakness-acquaintance with the foreign assistance programs and the multinational institutions, that there is among your parishion- ers with Catholic Charities. Now, that is the challenge that I guess you have laid before us. Archbishop LIPSCOMB. We have a 50-year track record of this in Alabama. This is the 52d year of Catholic Charities. People can see all around them what we are doing and where the money is going. But as I said, this is an educational process for me, because I have learned more about IDA and what the World Bank is doing just in preparing for and listening to this testimony. And I think if the people of the United States could get some sense of what is being done-do you know what distresses people most when they see starving people on the television? It is, what can I do about it? And they are helpless because they cannot feel that they are doing anything. Here we find that not only this Nation, but other nations of the world, have a sensitivity toward this and are involved in an effort. I think you have a magnificent track record. The secret is to let it be known somehow. And we would do what we can in the Conference, through the parishes and through the diocese, in this kind of an educational effort. Mr. SEWELL. May I say, Senator, that the Senate Foreign Rela- tions Committee, with the Biden-Pell amendment to the Foreign Assistance Act of a few years ago to enable the spending of money through American organizations to educate Americans on the prob- lem of hunger, took precisely the right kind of step. That was the first time we were able to make Federal funds available for those kinds of programs. I gather more is being re- 1 227 quested this year, and AID is taking a very active role. That kind of support is going to multiply educational programs through a va- riety of grassroots educational organizations that is certainly needed Senator MATHIAS. I think if we all bend our efforts in this direc- tion we can perhaps make an impact. We thank you all for being here. The committee will stand in recess subject to the call of the Chair. [Whereupon, at 12:52 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 29, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:25 p.m., in room SD- 419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Charles H. Percy (chair- man of the committee) presiding. Present: Senators Percy, Helms, Pell, and Sarbanes. The CHAIRMAN. I want to apologize to our distinguished witnesses today and to our audience for the delay in getting started. The floor action necessitated this delay and we will now move our hear- ing right along. We are very happy to have before the Foreign Relations Commit- tee this afternoon, witnesses who will continue our hearings on the President's foreign aid request. We have with us today the Honorable William Schneider, Jr., Under Secretary for Security Assistance, Science and Technology of the Department of State; the Honorable Peter McPherson, Ad- ministrator of the Agency for International Development; Lt. Gen. Philip C. Gast, Director of the Defense Security Agency; and the Honorable Roger Kirk, Senior Deputy Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of International Organization Affairs, Department of State. We would be happy to have our witnesses make any opening statements that they would care to make, and then we will go right to questions. . STATEMENT OF HON. WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, JR., UNDER SECRE- TARY OF STATE FOR SECURITY ASSISTANCE, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Mr. SCHNEIDER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is a privilege to appear before this committee once again. I have the usual lengthy statement which, with your permission, I would like to submit for the record, but I will read an abbreviated version. The CHAIRMAN. Your full statement will be incorporated in the record. Mr. SCHNEIDER. Thank you. Secretary Shultz and others have described the overall balance in our foreign assistance proposal. I am here today to discuss the security assistance component of the foreign assistance budget. There are three difficult, but vitally important, issues facing our security assistance program this year. (229) 230 .. i The first is in our own hemisphere, where Soviet and Cuban backed insurgents continue to exploit decades-old social and eco- nomic tensions. Their efforts to undermine the governments of Central America jeopardize the democratic and economic reforms being made by every one of our aid partners in Central America. The battle in El Salvador against outrageous acts by both the left and right is far from over, but the trend is clearly toward pluralis- tic and democratic institutions. U.S. assistance is essential to the continuation of this trend, not only in El Salvador, but elsewhere in Central America. The Nation- al Bipartisan Commission on Central America has described the strategic importance of this region and recommended significant increases in both economic and security assistance. Both are essen- tial if either is to succeed. Second, recent events in the Middle East make it clear that the tensions remain acute. Crisis in the region threatens United States and Western interests. While the costs to the United States already are high, we cannot waiver in our efforts to promote a broader peace in the region. Our decision to provide all military assistance for Israel and Egypt on a grant basis in fiscal year 1985 reflects our determination that the costs of military preparedness and vigilance in these countries not come at the expense of their economic well-being. Third, a less visible, but equally serious, crisis looms in the grow- ing debt burdens of many developing countries. The Commission on Security and Economic Assistance focused on this problem. It noted that many countries borrowed heavily for de- velopment during the 1970's, mistakenly assuming rising world prices for their commodity exports. Thus, now they face dangerous- ly high debt levels. The increased economic assistance that we are proposing is not, on its own, sufficient. Many of these countries, including such important security as- sistance partners as Turkey, Sudan, Morocco, and Tunisia, face a Hobson's choice: Either military preparedness at the cost of more debt and economic insecurity or fiscal conservatism with its price of heightened military vulnerability. Either alternative threatens U.S. interests. The Carlucci Commission recommended that more of our securi- ty assistance be offered at concessional terms. The administration proposal to place all FMS [foreign military sales] loans on-budget is also a step recommended by many in Congress. In previous years, the money for FMS loans was off-budget. Treasury borrowed the required amounts and made the funds available to the Federal Financing Bank (FFB] which made the loans at market rates. These loans were then guaranteed by the Department of Defense. The impact on overall Federal military assistance activity and the effect on the credit markets were the same as they would have been if the loans had been financed on-budget. Our proposal to place FMS loans on budget will thus bring into the open what has heretofore been partially obscured by depending on the off-budget FFB mechanism, and most importantly, will allow us to offer lower, concessional rates of interest to selected countries. 231 Because concessional loans are more "valuable" in an economic sense than market rate loans, we have been able to reduce country programs proposed in fiscal 1985, by approximately $500 million, compared to the fiscal 1984 baseline. The administration is requesting $15.8 billion for foreign assist- ance, of which $9.8 billion is security assistance, both military and economic. Security assistance provides direct benefits to the United States. First, the United States cannot afford to maintain a force struc- ture and capabilities to defend the free world alone. We must depend upon the allies to deter local and regional threats to our common interests. At a minimum, this gives the United States time to consider and prepare and appropriate alternative response to aggression. Second, we factor the capabilities of our allies into our planning and procurement, resulting in economies for both our allies and for us. Third, because the military assistance programs [MAP] are man- aged by the Department of Defense in conjunction with U.S. pro- curement, both the United States and the foreign buyer reap the benefits of consolidated planning and economies of production. Fourth, since almost all military assistance is spent on U.S.-man- ufactured items there is a direct benefit in jobs for American work- ers. Finally, security assistance also provides direct strategic benefits to the United States. Some of our largest programs, such as Israel and Egypt, help countries deter aggressive neighbors. Other large programs go to countries, such as Portugal and the Philippines, with which we have concluded vital base rights, transit, and access agreements for our Armed Forces Ninety-one percent of the military assistance recommended in the fiscal 1985 budget is for countries in these categories. The administration's emergency request for supplemental funds for Central America for fiscal 1984 is $659.1 million. As the Kissinger Commission noted, the roots of Central Ameri- ca's troubles lie in social inequity, unrepresentative politics, weak legal institutions, disrespect for human rights, and other problems of societies in urgent need of reform. These problems have been compounded by the international economic shocks of the past sev- eral years. Over 60 percent of the total supplemental assistance requested for Central America is for economic assistance. ESF [economic sup- port fund) assistance will be used to help reverse the sharp declines in the gross domestic product (GDP), per capita consumption, and employment, as well as financing crucial imports of raw materials and spare parts. Local currency generated by ESF will fund credit programs for the private sector and projects in housing, health, education, and agricultural development. Our nonproject assistance will be condi- tioned on the implementation of reforms crucial to the effective- ness of our assistance, and to the establishment of policies which will insure sustainable economic growth. The Commission warned that without enhanced security, eco- nomic assistance and diplomatic efforts will be undermined; but 232 the Commission stressed that “the worst possible policy for El Sal- vador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it successfully." We, therefore, are requesting $250 million in supplemental mili- tary assistance program funds for fiscal 1984. Honduras also faces an incipient insurgency movement and is rightly concerned about the massive military buildup in neighbor- ing Nicaragua. We, therefore, are requesting that Honduras receive $72.5 million in ESF assistance to complement its IMF agreement and cushion the economic adjustments it is making, as well as for $37.5 million in military assistance. Twenty-five million dollars would be designated for the Regional Military Training Center (RMTC) established in Honduras in 1983. Training is one of the most important aspects of our Central Amer- ica military assistance program. The RMTC is a valuable low cost way to provide larger training to Honduran and Salvadoran troops, and possibly other forces in the region in a realistic environment. As the Bipartisan Commission noted, Central American problems will not be overcome overnight, and in fiscal year 1985 we will expand our economic effort in Central America. Military assistance relative to economic assistance for that area will decline, assuming the supplemental passes, and the ratio of economic to military aid will be more than four to one. FMS is the largest of the five security assistance programs for which the administration is requesting $5.1 billion. Thirty-nine per- cent, or $1.9 billion, would be provided at the Treasury rate of in- terest to 10 countries. Another $538 million, or 11 percent, would be provided to 16 countries at concessional rates of interest. Economic need and the ability of a country to repay will be the primary criteria in determining who receives concessional FMS in- terest rates, just as it is in determining who receives grant military assistance. Countries that we are proposing for concessional rates include Turkey, El Salvador, Jordan, the Philippines, and Morocco. In fiscal 1985, all FMS financing for Israel and Egypt would be forgiven. In both countries, debt payments, including especially FMS repayments, are a major economic constraint. By shifting to an all grant program, we slow the spiraling increase in FMS repay- ments and can actually reduce the program size without affecting its integrity. The other large program is the ESF program, which comprises approximately 35 percent, or $3.4 billion, of our total program for fiscal 1985. In the face of tight credit markets, low commodity prices and high debt service requirements, ESF promotes political and economic stability in countries of special economic, political, or security interest to the United States. The military assistance program provides grant funding for pur- chases of defense articles and services. We are requesting $925 mil- lion for countries which would otherwise find it difficult to repay. The international military education and training program [IMET) provides grant funds for professional military training. At $60.9 million, IMET represents less than 1 percent, only a small fraction, of our fiscal 1985 request. Nevertheless, it is one of our most cost-effective programs. 233 The small peacekeeping operation account provides support for multilateral peacekeeping efforts in the Sinai, Cyprus, and Grena- da. We are requesting $49 million for this purpose for fiscal 1985. In addition to the programs in Central America and Israel and Egypt that I already have discussed, there are a number of others also important to our own defense preparedness and national secu- rity objectives. I will not repeat Secretary Shultz' description of our security objectives now, except to reiterate that our programs con- tinue to be directed at promoting stability in the Middle East; to countering Soviet encroachment through Afghanistan and Libyan subversion in North Africa; to facilitating negotiation of military access and transit rights for U.S. forces in Southwest Asia and base rights agreements in Europe; to assisting military modernization and economic stability in Europe; to protecting the frontline states of Korea and Thailand from threats posed by North Korea, Viet- nam, and the Soviet Union; to promoting negotiation and peaceful resolution of conflict in Africa; and to helping the Caribbean coun- tries to meet the challenge of independence at a time when they face the worst economic recession the area has experienced since the 1930's. Also, for fiscal 1985, we are proposing a few new legislative pro- posals, together with certain proposals not acted upon over the past 2 years. We have attempted to limit the number and scope of legis- lative proposals to those most important to the effective operation and administration of the programs. These proposals are impor- tant. I appeal to the committee for their adoption. In conclusion, today I have touched on the highlights of our fiscal 1984 Central America supplemental and our fiscal 1985 secu- rity assistance program. Mr. Chairman, the administration has attempted to implement the recommendations which you and other members of the Car- lucci Commission made with regard to security assistance. We believe that a better mix of economic and military assistance has been achieved in the overall foreign aid program proposals for this year. The administration also has responded to the concerns of the Kissinger Commission about security and economic needs in Cen- tral America. We hope that Congress will give both the fiscal 1984 supplemen- tal and the proposed fiscal 1985 program full support. That concludes my statement, Mr. Chairman. [Mr. Schneider's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, JR. INTRODUCTION Mr. Chairman, members of the committee, Secretary Shultz has provided an over- view of the President's proposed fiscal year 1984 Supplemental Budget Request and fiscal year 1985 Foreign Assistance Budget. He highlighted the balance we have struck between security and economic assistance. Peter McPherson has provided de- tails on the economic assistance portion of the foreign assistance budget. I am here today to provide a more comprehensive description of the security assistance compo nent. There are three difficult, vitally important issues facing our security assistance program this year: 84-045 0484--16 234 First, in our own hemisphere Soviet and Cuban-backed insurgents continue to ex- ploit decades old social and economic tensions. Their efforts to undermine the gov- ernments of Central America jeopardize the democratic and economic reforms being made by every one of our aid partners in Central America. The battle in El Salva- dor against outrageous acts by both the left and the extreme right is far from over, but the trend is clearly toward pluralistic, democratic institutions. U.S. assistance is critical to continuation of this trend, not only in El Salvador, but elsewhere in Cen- tral American countries. The National Bipartisan Commission on Central America has described the strategic importance of this region and recommended significant increases of both economic and security assistance. Both are essential if either is to succeed. The Administration concurs in the importance the Commission placed on the region and in the Commission's recommendations. Even though appropriations for other worldwide programs were cut below requested fiscal year 1984 request levels, we are limiting our request for supplemental fiscal year 1984 security assist- ance to Central America where the need is greatest and timeliness most critical. In addition, we propose significant increases for Central America in fiscal year 1985, particularly in economic assistance. The ratio of economic to military assistance for Central America in fiscal year 1985 will be over 4 to 1. Second, recent events in the Middle East, an area that has received the largest proportion of our security assistance over much of the past decade, make clear that tensions remain acute. The crisis in the region is a clear threat to United States and Western interests. While the costs to the United States already are high, we cannot waiver in our efforts to promote a broader peace in the region. It is far less costly to continue to support our friends in their efforts to thwart terrorism and exported revolution than to try to untangle the wreckage that comes with war. Our decision to provide all military assistance for Israel and Egypt on a grant basis in fiscal year 1985 reflects our determination that the costs of military preparedness and vigi- lance to these countries not come at the expense of their economic well-being. Third, a less visible, but equally serious, crisis looms in the growing debt burdens of many developing countries. The Commission on Security and Economic Assist- ance focused on this problem. It noted that many countries borrowed heavily for de- velopment. They assumed mistakenly rising world prices for their commodity ex- ports in the 1970's. Thus, now they face dangerously high debt levels. The increased economic assistance that we are proposing is not, on its own, sufficient. Many of these countries, including such important security assistance partners as Turkey, Sudan, Morocco and Tunisia, face a Hobson's choice: either military preparedness at the cost of more debt and economic insecurity or fiscal conservatism with its price of heightened military vulnerability. Either alternative threatens U.S. interests. The Carlucci Commission recommended, therefore, that more of our security as- sistance be offered at concessional terms. The Administration is proposing that all FMS loans be placed on-budget in fiscal year 1985 which will allow us to offer concessional terms when appropriate. This step is also one recommended by many in Congress. It will enable us to tailor terms of assistance to the individual require- ments of recipients. Because concessional loans are more "valuable” than market rate loans, military assistance levels will actually decline by $177 million in fiscal year 1985 from the fiscal year 1984 request. For many countries, particularly in Africa and Central America, the economic need is so great that we propose all-grant programs. ܚ. ܢ VALUE/PURPOSE OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE The Administration is requesting $15.8 billion for foreign assistance of which $9.8 billion is security assistance, both military and economic. Security Assistance provides direct benefits to the United States: The United States cannot afford to maintain a force structure and capabilities to defend the free world alone. We must depend upon allies to deter local and regional threats to our common interests. At a minimum, this gives the United States time to consider and prepare an appropriate response to aggression. It is important to realize that our military programs only provide the equipment and training; eco- nomic assistance often is needed to ensure the growth of stable domestic political and economic institutions necessary to make this strength credible. We factor the capabilities of our allies into our planning and procurement, result- ing in economies for both our allies and for us. I estimated last year that it would cost $60,000 to equip and maintain one U.S. soldier in Turkey, should that be neces- sary; it costs only $9,000 for one Turkish soldier. Thus, security assistance is cost effective in manpower terms. Because the military assistance programs are man- aged by DOD in conjunction with U.S. procurement, both the United States and the 235 foreign buyer reap the benefits of consolidated planning and economies of produc- tion-thus lowering U.S. defense costs. Since almost all military assistance is spent on U.S. manufactured items, there is a direct benefit in jobs for American workers. Finally, security assistance also provides direct strategic benefits to the United States. Some of our largest assistance programs help countries which have aggres- sive neighbors to maintain a credible deterrent. Our security assistance programs to Israel and Egypt are two good examples. Israel shares a common border with a hos- tile, Soviet-supported regime in Syria, while Egypt must contend with, and defend itself against, the expansionist designs of its Libyan neighbor. Other large programs go to countries, such as Portugal and the Philippines, with which we have concluded vital base rights, transit and access agreements for our own armed forces. These ar- rangements are critical to our defense posture worldwide. Over 47 percent of the military assistance requested in 1985 is for countries in these two categories. FISCAL YEAR 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL In the aggregate, the Continuing Resolution level is roughly comparable to the Administration's fiscal year 1984 request. Nevertheless, because the Continuing Res- olution added significant amounts above the original budget request for Israel and Egypt, the cuts suffered in other areas of the world are obscured. Rather than seek to restore these cuts, however, the Administration has decided to seek fiscal year 1984 supplemental security assistance only for Central America. This emergency re- quest, totalling $659.1 million, is needed to begin implementing the recommenda- tions of the Bipartisan Commission. The Kissinger Commission report concluded that “Central America's present suf- fering is to an important degree the product of internal conditions." The roots of Central America's troubles lie in social inequity, unrepresentative politics, weak legal institutions, disrespect for human rights, and other problems of societies in urgent need of reform. These problems have been compounded by the international economic shocks of the past several years. As a result, over 60 percent of the total supplemental Central American assist- ance request of $659.1 million is for economic assistance; $290.5 million of this is Economic Support Fund (ESF) assistance. This amount will be used to help reverse the sharp declines in GDP, per capita consumption, and employment, and to finance crucial imports of raw materials and spare parts. Local currency generated by ESF will fund credit programs for the private sector and projects in housing, health, edu- cation and agricultural development. At the same time, I know there are concerns about absorption and accountability. Our non-project assistance will be conditioned on implementation of reforms crucial to the effectiveness of our assistance, and to the establishment of policies which will ensure sustainable economic growth. The 12 Democrats, independents and Republicans on the Bipartisan Commission agreed that the acute crisis in Central America endangers fundamental security in- terests of the United States. The Bipartisan Commission warned that without en- hanced security, economic assistance and diplomatic efforts will be undermined. We are therefore requesting $259 million in supplemental Military Assistance Program (MAP) grants for fiscal year 1984. Almost 69 percent, or $178 million, of this supplemental MAP is proposed for El Salvador where leftist insurgents are attempting to prevent the emergence of demo- cratic government and destroy the economic infrastructure. Urging increased levels of military aid to El Salvador, the Bipartisan Commission stressed that "the worst possible policy for El Salvador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it successfully.” Supplemental MAP grants would be used to expand the size, proficiency and mobility of the Salvadoran Armed Forces. In order to achieve this capability, these funds will be expended to purchase training and such key equipment as artillery, patrol boats, and communication and radar equip- ment, and ammunition. El Salvador also plans to acquire fixed wing and rotary air- craft for observation and transport purposes. MAP grants will also provide a vitally needed military medevac capability. Neighboring Honduras suffers a deteriorating economy. To complement the IMF agreement with Honduras, and to help cushion the economic adjustments Honduras is making, we will be providing $72.5 million in ESF assistance. Honduras also faces an incipient insurgency movement and is rightly concerned about the massive mili- tary build-up in neighboring Nicaragua. We are requesting that Honduras receive $37.5 million or about 14 percent of the MAP supplemental request to counter this threat. These funds would provide needed training and equipment and allow for an expansion of the Honduran ground force by one infantry battalion. 236 Twenty-five million dollars would be destined for the Regional Military Training Center (KMTC), established in Honduras in 1983. One of the most important aspects of our Central America military assistance programs is training. The RMTC is a valuable low-cost way to provide larger-scale training to Honduran and Salvadoran troops, and possibly other forces from the region, in a realistic environment. The construction of more permanent facilities would improve the administrative and operational efficiency of the training. Lesser amounts of supplemental MAP would be provided to Costa Rica and Panama. These supplemental funds are critical to further the development of democracy, restore peace, and improve living conditions in Central America. FISCAL YEAR 1985 REQUEST As the Bipartisan Commission noted, Central American problems will not be over- come overnight, and in fiscal year 1985 we will expand our economic effort in Cen- tral America. Military assistance relative to economic aid will decline, assuming the supplemental passes, and the ratio of economic to military aid will be more than 4-1. On-Budget Financing.-In addition to the importance of Central America in the fiscal year 1985 request, a major new departure this year for the U.S. military as- sistance program is our proposal to bring the entire Foreign Military Sales [FMS] financing program on-budget. The Carlucci Commission found that the external debt of several countries impor- tant to U.S. interests has grown to the point where they are in danger of defaulting on repayment of loans. The Commission also noted that, for a few countries, U.S. foreign assistance loans represent a substantial portion of their foreign debts. In- creasingly, developing countries in need of security assistance face legally mandated cut-off of aid because of their payment arrearages. Congress has repeatedly ex- pressed concern about the mounting debt problems of many developing countries. Placing FMS on-budget will make concessional rate loans possible and allow us to design a comprehensive security assistance program which reflects the reality of a country's financial situation. Such a step is a logical outgrowth of our 3-year effort to improve the complementarity of economic and military assistance. It should be emphasized that the United States also derives substantial benefits from placing FMS on-budget. On-budget financing, enables us to provide a program of greater economic value to the recipient while at the same time reducing overall military assistance levels in the U.S. budget. In fact, fiscal year 1985 country totals are over $450 million less than those proposed in fiscal year 1984. Economic need and the ability of a country to repay will be the primary criteria in determining who receives concessional FMS interest rates just as it is in deter- mining who receives grant military assistance. We now plan to provide these conces- sional loans at a 5 percent interest rate, to be reviewed at the time funds are allo- cated. The Security Assistance Programs.-Military assistance in fiscal year 1985 totals $6.359 billion. Budget authority and outlays obviously will rise from fiscal year 1984—due to the shift of FMS on-budget-but overall, military assistance will fall. Our Economic Support Fund request totals $3.438 billion, a $250 million increase over fiscal year 1984. This is almost entirely related to additional requirements for Central America. There are five security assistance programs for which the Administration is re- questing funding in fiscal year 1985. The largest of the five programs is the FMS financing program which facilitates the purchase of U.S. military equipment, spare parts and training. The total FMS direct credit request for fiscal 1985 is $5.1 billion for 26 countries. Thirty-nine percent, or $1.99 billion, would be provided at the Treasury rate of interest to ten countries. Another $538.5 million or 11 percent, would be provided to 16 countries at concessional interest rates. Those countries we are proposing to receive concessional rates include Turkey, El Salvador, Jordan, the Philippines and Morocco. Another significant new element is that all FMS financing to Israel and Egypt would be forgiven. Israel would receive 27 percent, or $1.4 billion, of the total FMS financing request. Egypt, the second largest recipient after Israel, would receive 23 percent, $1.175 billion. (See Chart A.) For over a decade these two programs have received the largest single share of our FMS financing program. The need is no less great in fiscal year 1985. Yet in both countries debt payments are a major economic constraint, consuming more than $0.35 of each $1.00 in export earnings. FMS fi- nancing payments are a significant fraction of that sum. By shifting to all grant -- 237 programs, we slow the spiraling increase in FMS repayments and can actually reduce program size without affecting its integrity. Another major security assistance program is the Economic Support Fund (ESF) which comprises approximately 35 percent, or $3.44 billion, of our total program for fiscal year 1985. ESF provides loans or grants to promote political and economic sta- bility in countries of special economic, political or security interest to the United States. Egypt/Israel 43.5% + OS . *** . 1441 Central America & Caribbean 4.6% Military Assistance By Category 1985 Proposed All Other 4.4% Front Line/ Military Access 16.0% Base Rights 31.5% 238 The Military Assistance Program (MAP) provides grant funding for purchases of defense articles and services. We are requesting $924.5 million for countries which are truly needy but would find it difficult to repay. International Military Education and Training (IMET) provides grant funds for professional military training. At $60.9 million IMET represents less than 1 percent only a small fraction of our fiscal year 1985 request. Nevertheless, it is one of our most cost-effective programs. The small Peacekeeping Operation (PKO] account provides support for multilater- al peacekeeping activities in the Sinai, Cyprus, and Grenada. We are requesting $49 million for the PKO for fiscal year 1985. REGIONAL PROGRAMS Chart B indicates that overall our military assistance is focussed primarily on countries of major strategic importance to the United States such as Israel, Egypt and Pakistan. It also centers, however, in countries with which we have security agreements necessary to ensure our ability to move forces overseas when needed, such as Korea and the Philippines. The following is a description, region by region, of our security assistance objectives and the programs that we have proposed for fiscal year 1985. 239 Military Assistance Concessionality 1981 Actual 1983 Actual Other Concessional 2,6% Israel 16.0% Con Other Concessional 7.2% Israel/Egypt 21.4% Non-Concessional 81.4% 1985 Proposed Non-Concessional 71.5% Israel/Egypt 43.5% Other Concessional 23.0% Com 23.0% 1 Non-Concessional 33.5% 240 ! Central America. -As recommended by the Bipartisan Commission, an increased level of resources for Central America needs to be provided predictably, beginning immediately and extending over the next 5 years, to support a balanced and mutu- ally reinforcing mix of economic, political, diplomatic and security activities to be pursued simultaneously. We support this comprehensive approach to the promotion of democratization, economic growth, human development and security in Central America. We are therefore proposing a multi-year commitment for non-military as- sistance programs beginning in fiscal year 1985 to build upon the proposed fiscal year 1984 supplemental. The provision of military assistance also needs to be predictable and responsive to urgent needs. We are not requesting multi-year military assistance. Nevertheless, in order to provide a shield to protect political, economic and social development in Central America, the only major increase proposed for our world-wide security as- sistance funding levels for fiscal year 1985 is for Central America. Over 70 percent of proposed fiscal year 1985 security assistance for Central Amer- ica is ESF assistance in order to address the severe economic crisis which I have already out-lined and which has been so.cogently described by the Bipartisan Com- mission. We plan to devote 25 percent, or $222 million, to MĂP grants to help sup- port democratic forces in Central America. Another $30 million in FMS concessional credits is planned along with $3.9 million in IMET. Following the recommendations of the Kissinger Commission, the largest amount of fiscal year 1985 Central American military assistance, or $132.5 million, is pro- posed for El Salvador. In addition to IMET, MAP funds would be used to purchase badly needed training and equipment. We propose $210 million in ESF to provide the foreign exchange necessary for the importation of raw materials and intermedi- ate goods by industry and business. Honduras would receive 28 percent, or $61.3 million, of MAP funds proposed for Central America in order to continue the implementation of the Honduran program of selective modernization and expansion of its armed forces. $75 million in ESF would provide fast-disbursing non-project assistance indispensable to the stabiliza- tion of the economy and the resumption of economic growth. Additionally, we propose $160 million in ESF for Costa Rica and $20 million for Panama for balance of payments support. We are proposing lesser amounts of mili- tary assistance for the Regional Military Training Center in Honduras, and for Belize, Costa Rica and Panama. We also propose $10 million in FMS concessional credits, $300,000 in IMET and $35 million in ESF for Guatemala. Disbursal of these funds would be contingent on continued progress in returning to elected democratic processes and improved human rights performance. Near East.--One of our highest priorities continues to be the furtherance of the Middle East Peace process. There are no quick and easy solutions for achieving peace and stability in this volatile region. Our security assistance funds play a crucial role in the quest for peace. Egypt and the principal participants in the peace process, remain the two largest single recipients of our proposed fiscal year 1985 security assistance. U.S. assistance is aimed at ensuring their security and economic well-being as they continue to play their respective roles in the pursuit of the goals foreseen at Camp David. Because our proposal to forgive all FMS loans provides greater financial value than the mix of past years, funding levels for Israel and Egypt can decrease without harming pro- gram quality. There is general agreement that the new levels and terms will achieve our common goals. Israel and Egypt would also receive $850 million and $750 million respectively in ESF assistance to assist in strengthening their econo- mies. Clearly, peace in the Middle East cannot be achieved in the face of continuing unresolved conflict in Lebanon. We have reached a critical point. We have been training and equipping the Lebanese Army so that it can become an effective in- strument in the Lebanese Government's struggle to regain sovereignty over its ter- ritory and to restore stability. The future of our program there is unclear and our modest fiscal year 1985 request is contingent on improvement in the situation. We seek $15 million in FMS financing at Treasury rates, $20 million in ESF and $800,000 in IMET. Jordan is also an important factor for stability in the Middle East. Our proposed fiscal year 1985 program is designed to help Jordan meet the threat from its poten- tially aggressive neighbor, Syria. Syria's military strength has increased substantial- ly as a result of infusions of Soviet military aid. The requested $117 million in secu- rity assistance is intended to help modernize Jordan's armed forces, to bolster its out-numbered and out-gunned air and ground forces, and to support economic devel- opment activities. Of that total we are proposing $95 million in FMS financing at 241 both concessional and Treasury rates, $2 million in IMET and $20 million in ESF assistance. We are also requesting $35 million to help carry out the highly important Peace Keeping Operations (PKO) of the Multinational Force and Observers in the Sinai. North Africa/Indian Ocean.-The Persian Gulf constitutes a major source of energy for the free world. This region is simultaneously threatened by Soviet En- croachment through Afghanistan, Libyan subversion in Northern Africa, and by radical forces from within. Through our security assistance, we help to improve the security of these countries and to facilitate negotiation of military access and transit rights for U.S. forces necessary to protect these crucial oil supplies in times of crisis. Our security assistance program for Pakistan is a tangible demonstration of U.S. support for Pakistan's firm stand as it faces the continuing Afghan crisis and Soviet efforts to weaken Pakistan's resolve. Additional U.S. security assistance is directed to Oman, strategically situated on the Gulf of Hormuz, to improve its defense forces, and to the Yemen Arab Republic with its strategic location on the Bab El-Mandeb Straits and the Southwest border of Saudi Arabia. Yemen is threatened by a Marx- ist-led insurgency supported by South Yemen and Libya. Kenya and Somalia, located along the Indian Ocean littoral, are important to U.S. security interests on the Horn of Africa, but these two countries have large debt burdens. Thus we propose all grant assistance designed to help them to develop de- fense capabilities, while avoiding undue burdens to their fragile economies. In the same region, Sudan on the Red Sea, and Morocco and Tunisia in North Africa face threats of subversion or aggression derived from or supported by Libya's Mu'ammar Qadhafi. U.S. security assistance helps these countries in their efforts to maintain stability in the face of these threats. For several of these countries, grant ESF is a major component in support of their IMF standby programs without which the programs could not proceed. Europe and NATO.-Europe's southern flank is a critical part of NATO, vital to hopes for peace and security in neighboring regions. Greece and Turkey lag behind other NATO countries in military strength and their armed forces are in urgent need of modernization. A new agreement for continued use by the U.S. of military facilities in Greece was signed last year. This agreement and our security assistance provide the basis for maintenance of our bilateral defense cooperation with Greece in support of NATO objectives. Military assistance proposed for Turkey will help to upgrade defense capabilities, and to meet security needs and NATO modernization and force goals. The proposed level is critical to permit continuation of the effort to modernize major equipment lines, in particular the F-16 fighter aircraft purchased last year. Turkish armed forces continue to suffer from serious equipment obsolescense, and would have diffi- culty confronting a Warsaw Pact threat. We are also proposing ESF assistance for Turkey. Although Turkey's economy is continuing its recovery from near bankrupt- cy, the speed of that recovery has slowed in the past year. Portugal, a charter member of NATO, is a strategically important and reliable ally. U.S. rights for the use of critical Portuguese facilities in the Azores were ex- tended under a new Mutual Defense Agreement signed in December of 1983. The objectives of the security assistance program for Portugal are to support the con- tinuing consolidations of its democratic institutions, to help Portugal modernize its military and to assist as it confronts continuing economic problems. A NATO ally since July 1982, Spain provides the United States with access to vital air and naval facilities. Our security assistance underlines our support for Spain's progress in reinforcing democratic institutions and helps Spanish Armed Forces meet NATO modernization standards. In addition to ESF assistance to Cyprus to continue the scholarship program initi- ated in fiscal year 1981, we are also proposing to continue our support of the United Nations forces in Cyprus. Asian Security.- Past investments in the economies and security of our East Asian and Pacific friends have resulted in stability and economic growth in much of the area. But the picture is not entirely bright and some countries of great strategic importance to the United States, the Philippines for example, are suffering from a slowing of economic growth and burdensome external debts. The vitality and progress of others are threatened by the heavy military buildup of the Soviet Union, North Korea and Vietnam. Our security assistance helps to protect the front-line states of Korea and Thai- land. It sustains our treaty relationships with Korea, the Philippines and Thailand. Security assistance also facilitates continued use of military bases and facilities in the Philippines. .. 242 For fiscal year 1985 we plan to allocate some 92 percent of our East Asia/Pacific regional security assistance to Korea, the Philippines and Thailand to enhance the strategic posture of the United States and threatened friends. Africa. ---As in fiscal year 1984, the security assistance programs that we are pro- posing for Africa are all grant. Much of Africa faces a continuing economic crisis, compounded by drought. For this reason, we plan to devote $391.5 million in EFS to 15 programs in sub-Saharan Africa. The administration is also initiating in fiscal year 1985 an Ecomomic Policy Initiative for Africa, which is a special, 5-year pro- gram utilizing development assistance funds to provide special assistance to a few African nations undertaking extensive economic reforms to promote production and free market pricing. The prolonged economic crisis in Africa can magnify or precipitate security prob- lems. The Soviet Union and its proxies continue to exploit regional conflicts to ad- vance their position in the area. Libya has twice invaded Chad. In Southern Africa, there are continuing conflicts which we and our allies are attempting to resolve through negotiations. Other Security Interests. The Eastern Caribbean area is also of strategic impor- tance to the United States. These islands are hard-pressed to meet the challenge of independence at a time when they face the worst economic recession the area has experienced since the 1930's. As illustrated by recent events in Grenada, these small States confront both internal and external security challenges. The Cuban presence on Grenada has been removed through the efforts of the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States, Barbados, Jamaica and the United States. However, continued peacekeeping operations assistance to the Caribbean Peace Force (CPF) is required. Additional assistance, primarily economic, is needed throughout the Caribbean area to assist in creating an environment of political and economic stability and growth. We are requesting $5 million for CPF, as well as $20 million in ESF, $5 million in MAP, and $300,000 in IMET for the Eastern Caribbean. Other areas of the Caribbean and South America are also included in the fiscal year 1985 request. Many of those countries have long-term economic problems and as Hemispheric neighbors, are important to U.S. security interests. They need to up- grade antiquated defense establishments to deal with real security concerns. The major proposed recipients are the Dominican Republic and Jamaica. FISCAL YEAR 1985 LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS For fiscal year 1985 we are proposing only a few new legislative proposals, togeth- er with certain proposals not acted upon over the last 2 years. We have attempted to limit the number and scope of legislative proposals to those most important to the effective operation and administration of the programs. We believe that those which we have proposed are significant and urge their adoption. I trust that the Committee will consider favorably, as it did last year, those proposed changes that seek to improve the management and execution of the security assistance program. New Proposals. First, we have proposed a new Section 23 of the Arms Export Control Act (AECA), which authorizes the provision of FMS direct credits. The President's fiscal year 1985 budget proposes to shift the entire FMS financing pro- gram on-budget and proposes that direct credits for selected countries be provided at a concessional rate of interest. Both aspects of this proposal can be implemented under current authorities once Congress appropriates the funding requested. The suggested amendments, however, would adjust these authorities to reflect more clearly and accurately the changed nature of the FMS direct program and allow the program to be managed more efficiently. We also propose to amend the AECA to encourage IMET training in maritime search and rescue, the operation and maintenance of aids to navigation, port securi- ty, at-sea law enforcement, international maritime law, and general maritime skills and to exempt such training from the general prohibition on law enforcement train- ing. This grows out of an initiative of the committee last year. Another proposal would add Korea in fiscal years 1984 and 1985, and Portugal and the Philippines in fiscal year 1985 to the countries which are now authorized extended repayment terms of 10 years grace and 20 years repayment of principal on FMS guaranteed loans. Countries would be authorized such terms only on direct Treasury rate credits in fiscal year 1985, not on credits provided at a concessional interest rate. Proposals Resubmitted. We regard the proposal to eliminate the multi-tier price structure on the sale of foreign military training to be particularly important. We would substitute a single price for all FMS-sold training. Such action would reduce confusion, be more equitable, and reduce over-all administrative costs. 243 Several other proposals which we are resubmitting this year would improve the management of our security assistance. In the late 1970's a long overdue reduction in the number of overseas military personnel took place, responding to lessened needs. Now, however, many programs have grown in size and importance. We are requesting specific statutory authorization to increase the number of overseas mili- tary personnel by adding eight new countries to the 12 currently authorized by stat- ute to have more than six uniformed U.S. personnel. These include Pakistan, Tuni- sia, Yemen, Lebanon, Sudan, El Salvador, Honduras and Venezuela. Current law requires that countries that sell or dispose of U.S. equipment granted directly by the United States under the MAP program return the proceeds to the United States. As a result, countries maintain obsolete equipment in their invento- ry, spending scarce resources on costly repairs. We are proposing to add a waiver authority that would allow the President, on a country-by-country basis, to permit countries to keep the proceeds of sales when it is in the U.S. national interest to do so. All applicable legal and policy controls on third country transfers would contin- ue to apply to any sales of this equipment. Other proposals we are once again requesting for fiscal year 1985 include: Reciprocal provision, without charge, of catalog data and services to NATO. Removal of certain prohibitions against assistance to China. Streamlining of reprogramming requirements. Proportional application of earmarks. Permitting reciprocal no-cost exchange training on a one-to-one basis. Other Provisions. -We are also requesting $274 million for fiscal year 1985 in order to maintain adequate reserves in the Guaranty Reserve Fund against defaults and rescheduling of outstanding loans guaranteed pursuant to AEČA provisions. This will enable the fund to maintain fiscal integrity. Another proposal seeks to amend the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 to establish a ceiling of $248 million in fiscal year 1985 on the aggregate value of additions made in fiscal year 1985 to overseas stockpiles of defense articles. We are also requesting a supplemental authorization to permit stockpile additions of $125 million in fiscal year 1984. These defense articles are those other than in NATO countries which are designated as war reserve stocks for allied or other foreign forces. CONCLUSIONS Today I have touched on the highlights of our fiscal year 1985 security assistance program and related legislation that will permit the more effective and efficient management of these programs. Mr. Chairman, the Administration has attempted to implement recommendations which you and other members of the Carlucci Com- mission made with regard to security assistance. We believe that a better mix of economic and military assistance has been achieved in the overall foreign aid program proposals for this year, while permitting us to reduce the security assistance portion to a lower level than would have been the case under previous practice. This has been facilitated by the decision to place FMS financing on-budget and extend FMS concessional loans to needy countries. The administration has also responded to the concerns of the Kissinger Commis- sion about security and economic needs in Central America. We hope that Congress will give both the 1984 supplemental and the proposed 1985 program full support. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Secretary Schneider. We are happy to welcome Senator Pell and Senator Sarbanes to this hearing. Our next witness is Administrator Peter McPherson. Mr. McPherson. 1 STATEMENT OF HON. M. PETER MCPHERSON, ACTING DIRECTOR AND ADMINISTRATOR, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVEL- OPMENT Mr. McPHERSON. It's nice to be here again, Senator. Mr. Chairman, I have held this position of Administrator of AID for almost 3 years now-I guess it's over 3 years-and have had really a very productive relationship with the committee. It seems to me that perhaps I might enter my full statement in the record . 244 and give a few observations overall as to what has gone on in that period of time and some of the things that I think we can work on. The CHAIRMAN. The full statement will appear in the record. I would just like to say that ours has been very much a partner- ship for these 3 years. It has been one of the finest relationships that this committee has had with an AID administrator. Mr. McPHERSON. Thank you, sir. In that period of time, I believe, Mr. Chairman, there have been a number of things in which the committee has been interested that I know we have pursued productively. For example, some members of the committee have been very interested in AID get- ting back into the area of crop substitution, in connection with drug eradication. Frankly, a few years ago, my Agency's position was really that we should resist doing that to the extent that we could. I think that position was wrong. I think narcotics are too much of a problem in America, and, accordingly, we now have, to various degrees of effectiveness, projects around the world in this area. And, we intend to continue to really push and work hard on these. Members of this committee have also been deeply interested, as have I, in the drought situation in Africa. As I think all of you know, we have a food aid supplemental for Africa before Congress and are vigorously pursuing approaches to the drought problem on many fronts. This committee, as well, has been interested in family planning. I think this is a program-being certain that we avoid abortion-re- lated programs and very careful about how this program is admin- istered-that continues to be strong; our request for fiscal 1985, bears this out. Mr. Chairman, you have been deeply interested in women in de- velopment programs, and we have approached this differently than has historically been the case. Essentially, we have tried to inte- grate that program into all of AID's activities, instead of having it segregated as its own program off to one side; and, I think, it is having much more of an impact. We appreciate your help on that. The Biden-Pell provisions on education in connection with devel- opment issues has been a program which has been steadily expand- ed. I think it is an important program, and next year we propose a $2.4 million funding level for the program. Environmental issues have become a steadily greater focus of the AID program, and I think very properly so. To give economic as- sistance, on the one hand, and then take it away, long-term, with environmental degradation just does not make economic sense. The basic thrust of the economic assistance approach that we have taken in the last few years has been to reconcile some of the interpretations of basic human needs with a growth strategy. I think that these two concepts are consistent, and I believe we really have gone a long way toward reconciling them. Incidentally, the Carlucci Commission, really without dissent, thought that the approach that we have been taking, to achieve basic human needs has been a proper approach. This approach em- phasizes what we have called the "Four Pillars," of policy dialog, science and technology, the private sector and institutional build- ing 245 Let me make a few comments about each one of those pillars. First is policy dialog. I suspect that the deepest and broadest impact of changes that we have implemented in the last few years has been in the policy dialog area. It is absolutely clear that governments' policies, budgets and pro- grams in developing countries are more important than outsiders can realize. We have pursued and I think, done, a great deal with that. We think, for example, that in the Central America program which Bill was just discussing, we simply have to have economic policy changes or else, a large program will be of no real value. We believe that this is important. In various countries of Central America we have held firm against disbursing economic assistance unless and until real progress was made on several fronts. The Africa Economic Policy Initiative emphasizes the fact that we have to have changes in agricultural production policies such as paying farmers market price levels for their product. Otherwise, governments are de facto discriminating in favor of urbanites, the relatively better off people in many countries in Africa and against the poorest people, namely, the farmers. Donor coordination, in connection with policy dialog, is the area with which I personally have spent a lot of time. We have to have the donors—the French, Germans, English, us, and others-coordi- nate efforts to have a better impact upon these policies. We have pushed hard and, I believe, are making some real progress in asking the World Bank to take a broader leadership role in this co- ordination. They have the position, they have the money, they have the political impartiality that is needed in many cases to take a key leadership role. We are proud of what we have done in this area. As I emphasize again, a Central America program that does not carry policy changes with it fundamentally will not achieve the long-term basic human needs and economic aims that we have. The science and technology area, then, is the second major pillar. When we look at our own country, I think we can see that techno- logical changes have been a key to real economic change and growth. Accordingly, in developing countries it is desperately needed. I looked at the money that, several years ago, AID put into oral rehydration-the simple solution of sugar, salt, and water that can so effectively deal with dehydration and deaths related to it in chil- dren. That money was a relatively small amount when compared to the millions of children that we are now in the process of being able to save. The same thing is true of the malaria vaccine that we have put a lot of money into in recent years. I think a successor Administrator will probably say, "Goodness, what a smart investment that was. This is because we are not that far away from innoculating against at least some strains of malaria. In the agricultural area, the “Green Revolution" of the late 1960's was fertilizer and water intensive. We now need to break the same kind of ground in the areas of dryland and rainfed agricul- ture. 246 We do not yet have the technology for the Sahel. We do not have miracle millet and sorghum, the crops of the poor in that part of the world. But we are working hard on creating higher yielding varieties. So this pillar, the science and technology emphasis, in my mind is so much of a key, Mr. Chairman, to all that we are trying to do. The next pillar is that of the private sector or market forces. I have come to refine my views in this area quite a lot in the last couple of years. Initially, I tended to think of it in terms of making loans to pri- vate businesses to do a variety of things. Now, I more and more have come to think of it in terms of it being a means of utilizing market forces to achieve the basic human needs that are referred to in the Foreign Assistance Act. For example, in family planning, the most effective way, in many cases, to distribute contraceptives is not through government health centers but, rather, through subsidized sales of contracep- tives; subsidies which, incidentially, are reduced over time. In Bangladesh, for example, we are distributing far more contra- ceptives through such social marketing than we are through gov- ernment outlets, and we are going to do more and more of that all around the world. In short, market forces, the private sector, is a key way to reach many of these people. If you go out into a typical LDC, outside of the major cities, there are virtually few government services. Fundamentally, what you have is the provision of some level of law and order and few rudi- mentary services, such as some schools. But, what is lacking is a governmental structure to deliver the services that we think about in terms of AID programs. Hence, I am pushing hard to move away from government-to-gov- ernment programs and move toward government-to-nongovern- ment activities, through PVO's-private voluntary organizations- and market forces, and so forth. The CHAIRMAN. Amen. We certainly are supportive of that. Mr. McPHERSON. I have just a few last points, Mr. Chairman. We have legislation enacted this last year dealing with mixed credits. Of course, we are pursuing the full range of that legisla- tion. As we think over mixed credits, those programs will use AID money to, in effect, market U.S. goods by a type of interest sweet- ener approach such as is used by the Eximbank. Now, I think we have to be very careful in this area. I think we need to advance U.S. interests in a variety of ways and we are doing that, such as through an expanded trade development pro- gram. But, frankly, Mr. Chairman, I think that mixed credits are what I would call the tiger in our house, and not just in ours, but in almost every donor's in the world. If we and other donors were to essentially have second Eximbank kinds of programs, we'd run the risk of losing the basic developmental thrust we pursue. We should not, however, sit over here and play pure, totally. What we basically have to do is develop a program where we get other donors to be serious about this problem which I consider to 247 be a major one. Fundamentally, it is the most serious threat, in my judgment, to the foreign aid program we have had historically. Mr. Chairman, those are my comments today. As I said at the beginning, it is a pleasure to be here again. [Mr. McPherson's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. M. PETER MCPHERSON Mr. Chairman, it is a pleasure to be here once again to present the Administra- tion's annual proposal for foreign economic assistance. I want to express my appre- ciation to the Committee for its past support of the foreign assistance program. I look forward to our continued cooperation under your leadership. Mr. Chairman, foreign assistance has been and continues to be in the best inter- ests of the United States. For that reason, it has been supported by your Committee and continues to be an important part of the Administrator's foreign policy. The historical trend has been to broaden the statutory mandate for foreign assist- ance, since its inception with the Marshall Plan. Successive accretions include post- war reconstruction, food for peace, and basic human needs. I have pursued an integrated approach to foreign assistance, combining growth with equity as an operational goal. My philosophy is to help others to help them- selves. Foreign assistance is a limited resource. There is no substitute in the long run for development that is broadly-based and self-sustaining. Such development is not simply economic. Development requires inter alia spreading knowledge and the promotion of flourishing institutions as well as growing economies. We have set forth four pillars or means to implement our programs. They are as follows: (1) Policy Dialogue and Reform.—This brings to the fore the notion that long-term equitable growth depends clearly on the nature of policies followed by developing countries. We seek to achieve agreement with host country governments on the nature of key policy constraints to basic development and on practical changes that can be addressed. (2) Institutional Development.—We have come to recognize that faulty institution- al frameworks can impede development and that increased centralization and bu- reaucratization can be major obstacles to progress. Our approach, thus, has been modified to include the idea that what is sometimes required is "building down" in- stitutions, decentralizing and encouraging greater reliance on private and volun- tary, rather than public institutions. (3) Technology Transfer.-In this area, we are seeking dramatic breakthroughs in such areas as biomedical research, agriculture and family planning. Our emphasis is on finding solutions to age-old problems through inexpensive methods that can be widely disseminated. AID intends to be a leader in supportive new technologies. (4) Greater Use of the Private Sector.-We are also stressing the contributions that the private sector can make to solving key development problems, based on the con- viction that there are many things government cannot do, or cannot do well. For example, we are testing pilot efforts for indigenous private sector involvement in areas such as the distribution of agricultural inputs and the manufacture and mar- keting of inputs for health and population programs. The past 3 years have involved change as well as continuity in our foreign assist- ance. And there is progress to report: AID and the Department of State have worked closely to integrate our foreign assistance and our foreign policy to relate our assistance efforts more directly to foreign policy interests. This coordination is reflected not only in the details of our budgetary requests but also in the reports of the Commission on Security and Eco- nomic Assistance (Carlucci Commission) and the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America. I shall say more about these reports in later pages of this state- ment. AID has followed through on the initiatives of President Reagan at the Cancun Conference. Presidential Task Forces have been sent to several countries, and their reports have helped guide ensuing policy dialogues. The Caribbean Basin Initiative has been launched, and its importance for our relations with that strategic region is now widely recognized. Public Law 480 has been more fully integrated into our development program- ming without diminishing its humanitarian character. Title II commodities, for ex- ample, are being used to develop cooperatives in India, to promote agriculture in Jamaica, and to help reforestation in Peru. . 248 Congress has increased our flexibility in responding to crises and opportunities. Particularly noteworthy is the new revolving fund which will allow AID to develop new financing mechanisms and increase its support of private sector activities. We have made a good start in this direction through the authority provided to us this year. AID's voluntary family planning programs are increasingly using private sector marketing. The market reaches out to customers and localities which are not reached by governmental programs. And the private sector also competes successful. ly with governmental programs that are free-of-charge, for example, in Bangladesh. The net effects are an increase in individual choice, a decrease in governmental sub- sidies, and an improvement in program effectiveness. AID has taken the lead in the dissemination of Oral Rehydration Therapy. This simple therapy promises to reduce substantially the millions of deaths of infants and small children. We recently sponsored an international conference on this ther- apy, and we are introducing it in social marketing systems--private as well as public-in several developing countries. AID continues to support research on an anti-malarial vaccine. This pioneering effort is increasingly successful. Clinical testing with human subjects is expected to begin in 1985. And, if all goes well, distribution should begin in 1990. We have recognized the extraordinary needs of sub-Saharan Africa and Central America. New initiatives to meet those needs are outlined in later pages of this statement. Those initiatives reflect the input of members of this Committee as well as the Commission on Security and Economic Assistance and the National Biparti- san Commission on Central America. AID has broadened and deepened its relations with corporations as well as univer- sities in the United States. Corporate expertise has proven to be particularly helpful in recommending remedies for the environmental impact of some industries in de- veloping countries. AID and universities are increasing their cooperation with the new Memorandum of Understanding and Joint Career Corps. A major effort is now underway to expand the involvement of historically black colleges and universities in our programs. AID has increased its training of students from developing countries in the United States. We sponsored almost 8,000 students in fiscal year 1982, over 9,000 in fiscal year 1983, and over 10,000 (projected) in fiscal year 1984. This reverses a trend of the 1970's. A strategic planning process was initiated two years ago, to give a sense of direc- tion not only to our regional bureaus but also to the entire Agency. The preliminary results of that planning process are reflected in later pages of this statement. The final results are to be shared in the coming weeks with your Committee, Mr. Chair- We are establishing an early warning system with the international development banks, and we are pressing in a variety of fora for more coordination with other donors. This effort recently bore fruit with the adoption of its first guidelines for donor coordination by the Development Assistance Committee of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. I am pleased to have been able to report progress in these areas, Mr. Chairman. Let me now turn to a review of the current situation. man. WORLD ECONOMY During the past year, there have been important developments which affect our program for fiscal year 1985. First, the international economic picture is changing, with both positive and less encouraging aspects. Second, two major commissions have issued reports making important recommendations on certain aspects of our foreign assistance effort. I would like to address each of these points briefly. At the time of my appearance before this Cominittee last year, I testified that na- tions around the world, particularly those in the Third World, were confronting se- rious economic problems brought on by the global recession. They had experienced a sharp decline in demand for their exports, compounded by high interest rates which increased the cost of borrowing to meet their rapidly growing balance of payments deficits. The result was rising levels of debt and debt servicing burdens and a de- cline in the level of private lending. For many of these developing countries, prob- lems were aggravated by their own inappropriate economic policies. Today, the situation has begun to stabilize and some of these same countries are showing hopeful signs of recovery. A number have undertaken adjustment pro grams, often in conjunction with the IMF, aimed at achieving a sustainable balance of payments position. For some, recovery is due in part to policy reforms which we 249 and other donors have helped to put in place through policy dialogue efforts in the development arena. Several recent events offer hope of sustained improvement in LDC economic per- formance. First, the developing countries themselves are increasingly recognizing the value of sound economic policies and the importance of adjustment programs to their long term economic prospects. Second, economic recovery led by the United States and other developed countries began to take hold during the latter part of 1983. We can expect it to continue and spread in 1984. Third, interest rates have fallen significantly, world market oil prices have declined, and LDC commodity prices have experienced some increases. As a result of these positive trends, aided by a significant cutback in LDC imports, the balance of payments situation of the developing countries as a whole improved last year. The LDC's total balance of pay- ments deficit, though still significant, was about one-third less than a couple of years ago. The worldwide economic recovery, as it strengthens and spreads, will be impor- tant to the economic prospects of the developing countries-particularly the middle and higher income developing countries with a greater capacity to adjust and re- spond to the economic opportunity provided by the recovery in the developed coun- tries. Even with the improvement in economic conditions, though, many developing countries, particularly the poorest, will continue to face serious economic difficulties and will continue to require substantial foreign assistance. For many of them, recov- ery has yet to blossom. Even in those which have begun appropriate adjustments, the first step has often required substantial reductions in domestic credit, in govern- ment development expenditures and in imports needed for investment. All of this constrains economic performance, particularly over the short run. For the low income countries facing severe economic problems, with limited ca- pacity to attract or service private flows, and with extremely limited human, physi- cal and institutional infrastructure needed to address their basic development prob- lems, development assistance will remain critically important. Economic assistance will also be critical in helping countries avoid serious economic and political disrup- tion while needed stabilization and adjustment programs are being undertaken. Indeed the challenge we face is to assist the developing world to address its current economic problems while at the same time assisting in laying the foundation for long term sustainable development. In short, there is cause for hope, but the job is far from over. Assisting developing countries to confront these massive economic problems effec- tively, with the limited resources available, requires a carefully thought-out foreign assistance program, and greater support from the public than has been the case in recent years. It was for that reason that Secretary Shultz last year called for cre- ation of the Commission on Security and Economic Assistance. He charged it with the task of reviewing the foreign assistance program and making recommendations for improving its focus and administration, and for increasing its public support. The Commission, on which you and members of your Committee served, Mr. Chairman, has served a very useful purpose in focusing greater attention on the ne- cessity for a strong foreign assistance program. I need not take time here to review in detail the findings and recommendations of the Commission, since members of this Commission played a very active part in their formulation. I would like to cite, however, a few of the ways in which we are moving to implement those recommen- dations. The Commission called for increases in the foreign assistance budget to help meet our foreign policy objectives. It also pointed out the need for carefully integrated programs in sub-Saharan Africa, the Caribbean and Central America. In response to these recommendations as well as those of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, we are proposing new initiatives entailing significant increases in funding for both of these regions. I will go into that in more detail in just a moment. Consistent with the Commission's affirmation of the importance of a total country approach to program development, over the past 3 years we have developed and im- proved upon an integrated budget process to allocate resources in each country so as to ensure the best mix of overall assistance to meet foreign policy interests. And we are following the recommendations of the Commission to increase emphasis on policy reform, institutional development, technology transfer and involvement of the private sector as means of fostering development. We also are taking steps to respond to the Commission's call to increase the flexi- bility of the Development Assistance program and to maintain that of the Economic Support Fund. We have also sought to increase the use of Public Law 480 to meet 34-045 0-84-17 250 development objectives. And we are looking at other ways in which we can follow-up on the Commission's recommendations. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Another major concern has been the tremendous challenge to stimulate strong growth in Africa. Measured by almost any indicator of development-income, infant mortality, literacy, malnutrition or life span—the situation in Africa is more serious than elsewhere. During the past decade the economic performance of the region has been particularly poor-15 countries recorded negative growth rates. And sub-Saha- ran Africa is the only region in the world where per capita food production has de- clined over the last 20 years. Moreover, the poor economic performance has been exacerbated recently by severe drought, seriously affecting food production, causing growing food shortages continent wide and widespread hunger and malnutrition. The FAO has identified 24 countries which are most seriously affected and in need of urgent emergency food aid. To help respond to the worsening situation in Africa, we are taking several steps. One, we are allocating a larger share of our current year program to African coun- tries—to date we have provided 218,000 metric tons of Public Law 480 Title II food aid valued at $85 million (including ocean freight costs) in response to emergency requests. Two, because of the magnitude of the problem, we are requesting a fiscal year 1984 Public Law 480 food aid supplemental of $90 million to augment current allocations. These steps will respond positively to today's emergency. But we also wish to address long term problems. Thus, as part of our fiscal year 1985 request for the Development Assistance program we are seeking Congressional approval of a new Economic Policy Initiative for Africa. The Initiative is planned as a 5-year, $500 million fund. For fiscal year 1985 we are requesting authorization and appropriation of $75 million. The purpose of this new Initiative is to foster economic policy reforms which are essential to any reversal of the current downward trend in many African countries. The resources of this special fund will be used to bolster those countries which are prepared and able to establish a comprehensive economic policy framework conducive to growth and long-term development. Resources will be used to support implementation of the reform package once promulgated. Assist- ance from this fund will be tied to major policy reform measures and focused pre- dominantly on the agricultural sector. We expect that such a fund will help signifi- cantly to strengthen the policy dialogue between donors and recipients and to im- prove coordination among donors. CENTRAL AMERICA Another major development has been the recent release of the much-awaited report by the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, chaired by former Secretary of State Kissinger. By now, many of you are familiar, I am sure, with the essentials of the Commission's findings, so I will touch on them only briefly at this time. Confirming the widely held perception of a crisis of acute proportions in a region of fundamental importance to the United States, the Commission calls for a program to meet basic human needs, help achieve peace, and promote democ- racy. It proposes a comprehensive approach to economic development in the region and reinvigoration of the Central American Common Market, all tied to major policy reforms. It has recommended mounting a large scale, long-term assistance program to help stabilize the Central American economies, rebuild infrastructure, provide trade credits and encourage rescheduling of multilateral debt. And the Com- mission has proposed a new organizational structure to administer a portion of the proposed program. In response to the Commission's recommendations, we are requesting authoriza- tion of a major new program of assistance to Central America. The program's strat- egy concentrates on four fundamental elements: economic stabilization, creation of a basis for long-term growth, promotion of equity, and strengthening democratic insti- tutions and respect for human rights. Accordingly, the program's major goals are, first, to end the downward spiral of production in the region by next year. Second, over the course of the program we want to help the countries of the region achieve an annual ecomomic growth rate of at least 6 percent, creating more than 250,000 new jobs each year through export-led growth. Third, we seek to foster an increase in agricultural production of 4 percent per year by 1989, generating an additional 80,000 jobs and increasing food availabil- ity and agro-industrial exports. Fourth, we want to see substantially greater bene- fits of economic growth accrue to all sectors of the populace, to better meet their basic human needs-increased primary school enrollment, reduced infant mortality, 251 greater availability of modern family planning services, increased low-income hous- ing, and better access to clean water and sanitation facilities. And we want to foster the strengthening of democratic institutions, and progress toward participatory de- mocracy and legal systems which respect human rights. To achieve these goals, we request authorization of an $8.3 billion program of eco- nomic assistance and guarantees for Central America, to be made available over the next six years. For the first phase of its implementation, we are requesting a supplemental ap- propriation of $400 million in fiscal year 1984, including $290 million in ESF, $73 million in Development Assistance, $25 million in Public Law 480 commodities, and $12 million for other agencies and for increased AID operating expenses. For fiscal year 1985 we are requesting an appropriation of $1.12 billion, consisting of $641 million in ESF, $272.8 million in Development Assistance, $10 million for Housing Guaranty reserves, $120 million in Public Law 480 commodities, and $77 million for other programs and AID operating expenses, plus $600 million in guar- anty authority to support private lending to the region. As the Bipartisan Commission recommended, the assistance would be provided on a collaborative basis. Our program would be closely tied to commitments for eco- nomic and social reforms by the recipient governments. I know that there is a major question in the minds of some with respect to the capacity of the Central American countries to absorb productively the level of assist- ance which we are proposing. Let me assure the Committee that this is a matter which we have considered carefully in our planning, and I would like to share with you our thinking on it. While our program is ambitious, I am convinced that it is both essential and feasi- ble. I believe, in fact, that a more modest program might be undercut by the politi- cal uncertainty, insurgency, low commodity prices and economic depression that now characterize the region. First, with respect to the overall size of the program, the assistance we are pro- posing for fiscal year 1985 represents less than 5 percent of the region's GNP and is less than the $1.5 billion shortfall in export earnings which have resulted from lower coffee and sugar prices and higher costs for imported oil. We have provided higher levels of aid relative to GNP in other parts of the world, like South Korea and Taiwan, and much larger amounts during the Marshall Plan. On the issue of the management capacity of the Central American government, while we recognize that serious deficiences do exist, we are taking several steps to prevent such programs from limiting our impact. For one thing, the largest part of the assistance will go to the private sector rather than to government programs. For another, as part of our effort we will provide substantial technical assistance and training for government officials to streamline operations and increase efficiency. Third, significant capacity for expansion is already in place since government in- vestments and social programs have been dramatically cut back as a result of the region's financial problems. With regard to specific bottlenecks, we recognize that aid expansion has been hin- dered in some areas by such problems as clogged ports or shortages of trucks to move commodities. This is simply not the case in Central America, where produc- tion has artifically shrunk as a result of economic depression. For the next several years, considerable excess capacity will exist. Over the longer term, where we can make plans to address potential bottlenecks before they arise, the need for invest- ment is enormous. Physical infrastructure is undeveloped, health and education sys- tems need expansion, and investment in productive capacity is essential to employ the region's growing labor force. These all require resources. Finally, I would note that our own past experience with assistance programs in the region suggests that we can build up a larger program, given the kind of com- mitment to economic, social and political reform that we will seek as a precondition to such assistance. We have found that our programs have tended to be implement- ed fairly quickly in Central America compared to other regions of the world. Less than 20 percent of our pipeline of undisbursed funds was obligated more than 3 years ago and some of this was for projects where long lead time were foreseen in project design. I believe that the central determinant of absorptive capacity is government poli- cies. Policy reforms are crucial to effective use of our funds, and those of host coun- tries. The key is to avoid subsidizing inefficiency and to create opportunities and incentives for private sector investment. In agriculture, adequate prices and access to land with secure titles will stimulate investment and production by the people who understand best how to do this--the individual farmers. In industry, good poli- cies will mobilize individual entrepreneurs to make the right decisions concerning 252 increased employment and production. Our support for a Central American Devel- opment Organization can be a vehicle for assuring that our assistance is indeed tied to good performance on the whole range of policies--economic, social and political- essential for the success of the Central America program. The stakes are high in Central America, and the success of this effort is vital to our foreign policy interests. For it to succeed, the proposed program will require strong bipartisan Congressional support. We will welcome the opportunity to discuss with the members of this committee and others in Congress the details of the pro- gram as they are fleshed out, and to seek your guidance as to how it can best be implemented. Let me not turn to the overall AID program. GENERAL STRATEGY Our programs should be aimed at overcoming the basic problems of hunger, illit- eracy and lack of training disease and premature death. We cannot, of course, assist developing nations to achieve such standards through our programs alone. Indeed, the principal impetus for surmounting these problems must come from the develop- ing countries themselves. And the programs of other donors are a critical element in achieving progress. There are essentially six key development areas on which we are focusing AID resources. These are: first, attacking hunger; second, addressing health problems, es- pecially the high levels of infant and child mortality in the Third World; third, ad- dressing high rates of population growth; fourth, increasing literacy, education and training opportunities; fifth, reducing unemployment and underemployment; and sixth, improving host country financial structures. Many of these are a continuation of past efforts, but we are striving to give better focus to our efforts and to establish a clearer vision of what this Agency is, and should be concerned with. Moreover, we are emphasizing as basic means of implementation the four pillars of Agency policy: policy reform, technology transfer, institutional development, and greater use of the private sector. Through policy dialogue, we seek to achieve agreement with host country govern- ments on the nature of key policy constraints to basic development and on practical changes that can be made. Right policies are essential to achieve development progress. Institutional development, through which we strive to help create and improve the institutional capacities of the peoples of the developing countries, has been part of AID's approach since its beginnings. Over time we have come to recognize that faulty institutional frameworks can impede development and that increased central- ization and bureaucratization can be major obstacles to progress. As a result, our approach to institutional development has been modified to include the idea that sometimes what is required is decentralizing institutions rather than centralizing them, and encouraging greater reliance on private and voluntary--rather than public-institutions. In this regard, we will continue to strengthen our partnership with U.S. private and voluntary organizations and draw on their unique capacities in such areas as small scale enterprise, health delivery systems and community de- velopment. We are also stressing the contribution that the private sector and the use of market power can make to solving key development problems. We believe there are many things that government cannot do, or cannot do well. In particular we plan to test pilot efforts for private sector involvement in areas where government has often been unsuccessful—such as distribution of agricultural inputs. And we will be testing the capabilities of indigenous private sectors to manufacture and market inputs for health and population programs. In the area of technology transfer we hope to achieve dramatic breakthroughs in such areas as biomedical research, agriculture and family planning. "New technol- ogies” frequently connote complex, expensive applications to solve esoteric prob- lems. But technology also may be used to find solutions to age-old problems through inexpensive methods that can be disseminated to people everywhere. An example is the breakthrough in oral rehydration therapy, which I mentioned earlier. AID intends to be a leader in supporting the development and dissemination of such new technologies. Sustained development requires an indigenous capacity to adopt, create and apply a continuing stream of appropriate technologies to the prob- lems of health, population growth, hunger, illiteracy, unemployment and labor pro- ductivity. Moreover their dissemination and actual utilization requires that they be economically and financially sound, capable of withstanding the test of the market. 253 Research thus takes on added importance and AID intends to give greater empha- sis to it as a fulcrum of technological transfer. We have identified four critical re- search areas that will receive major AID attention in the coming years: agriculture, health, family planning, and fuelwood production and utilization. The developments I have just outlined have had a major part in shaping our pro- posed program for fiscal year 1985 and will influence the way in which that pro- gram is carried out. Let me turn now to the details of the fiscal year 1985 request. REQUEST For fiscal year 1985 we are proposing a program of $8.9 billion for foreign econom- ic assistance, including amounts we are requesting as part of our overall proposal for Central America. In addition, to respond to several pressing requirements this year, we are requesting several fiscal year 1984 supplemental appropriations. These include an urgent Public Law 480 Title II food aid supplemental for Africa to re- spond to the dire food shortage in that region, $320 million in supplementals for the multilateral banks, and a $400 million supplemental for Central America. The Central America supplemental consists of $290.5 million for ESF, most of which is for urgently needed balance of payments support; $73 million for Function- al Development Assistance and a total of $11.5 million for AID operating expenses, the Peace Corps and U.S. Information Agency. The fiscal year 1985 request for bilateral assistance includes $2.2 billion for Devel- opment Assistance, $3.4 billion for the Economic Support Fund, $21 million for the Trade and Development Program, and $1.3 billion in budget authority for the Public Law 480 Food for Peace program. Our Development Assistance request includes $1.6 billion for the Functional De- velopment Assistance accounts. Of this amount, $20 million would be allocated to the Private Enterprise Revolving Fund. The DA request also includes $97.5 million for the Sahel Development Program, $75 million for the new Economic Policy Initia- tive for Africa which I mentioned earlier, $10 million for support of American Schools and Hospitals Abroad, $25 million for the International Disaster Assistance program and $404 million for AID operating expenses. And it includes $34 million for the Foreign Service Retirement Fund, for which funding is already authorized. I would like to point out that, with respect to our Development Assistance re- quest, we are proposing a reduction in the minimum loan level required for alloca- tion within our Functional accounts. This will give us needed flexibility in the pro- gramming of our resources and avoid the possibility of having a provide loans to any of the least developed countries such as has been required this year in Bangla- desh as a result of the current loan floor. The Economic Support Fund, consistent with the program of the past several years, has over half of its resources allocated to Israel and Egypt to continue our support for the search for peace in the Middle East. The request also includes ex- panded assistance to the Caribbean Basin countries to restore economic growth to this troubled region, support for continuing efforts to stem the spread of economic and political disruption in Africa, and to advance our security and development-ori- ented programs in Pakistan and the Philippines. For multilateral assistance in fiscal year 1985 we are requesting a total of $1.5 billion. This includes $1.2 billion for U.S. contributions to the multilateral develop- ment banks. The request also includes $242 million for International Organizations and Programs, of which $50 million is for support of the International Fund for Ag- ricultural Development and $192 million is for voluntary contributions to U.N. de velopment programs, including $120 million for the U.N. Development Program and $27 million for the U.N. Children's Fund. I look forward to working with the Committee in carrying out our proposals. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Mr. McPherson. General Gast, we are ready to receive your statement. STATEMENT OF LT. GEN. PHILIP C. GAST, DIRECTOR, DEFENSE SECURITY ASSISTANCE AGENCY, DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE General Gast. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I, too, have a statement for the record, that I would like to submit, if I may, and summarize it. The CHAIRMAN. It will be incorporated in full in the record. General Gast. Thank you. 254 I first would like to subscribe to the comments of Secretary Schneider and then expand on them in a few places, representing the Secretary of Defense. First, is the linkage between security assistance and national de- fense. Our programs help us accomplish many strategic objectives by maintaining foreign bases to improve power projection capabili- ties, to gain and retain access to foreign air and port facilities abroad, strengthen our coalition war fighting capability with friends and allies, help friendly countries cope with Soviet or Soviet-supported forces in nurturing foreign policy objectives, such as the Middle East Peace progress. Secretary Schneider described the President's request for the fiscal year 1984 supplement for Central America and I only want to add that these funds would continue the practice of concentrating our efforts on economic assistance. The security assistance funds for El Salvador are especially urgent. Without these funds, a stale- mate of the conflict will continue and most likely will be perpetuat- ed. Our funding request in the supplemental and for fiscal year 1985 would provide most of the resources for implementation of the na- tional campaign plan, which is designed to help the Salvadoran armed forces take the offensive against the insurgents. Now, for the 1985 request, a major initiative in the 1985 request is to place all security assistance programs on-budget. We in DOD very strongly support that initiative. Some countries would receive Treasury market rates, some concessional interest rates, and Israel and Egypt would receive grants or have credits forgiven. A key reason for the on-budget proposal is to avoid compounding the debt servicing burden of countries receiving market rate loans. We will still have to come to grips, however, with the debt pay- ment problem of countries who still must pay their past and present FMS loans. Moving to the legislative initiatives on which we received favor- able ruling by your committee last year, in addition, I would like to express appreciation for that and to discuss a few of them. The first is the single price training under FMS. The proposal seeks to standardize the price structure for FMS training. It would substitute a single, uniform price for all FMS training for the cur- rent multitiered price structure, remove some of the price inequi- ties under the current pricing system, and charge countries only the costs they incur by receiving the FMS purchased training and nothing more. It would correct what we believe have been excessive charges to certain countries and restore the principle that countries should only pay for the additional cost to the United States for providing that training to them. In regard to our security assistance organizations (SAO's), a second proposal seeks to increase the number of those SAO's abroad authorized more than six personnel to manage in-country security assistance programs. There are now 12 SAO's with this authority, a significant decline from more than 30 with this authority in fiscal year 1977. The countries and number of personnel have been revised be- cause of our discussions with Congress last year. Worldwide we 255 would be increasing our 'total overseas management strength by only 11-I repeat, 11-people, a fraction of 1 percent of the current authorized worldwide strength. In regard to professional military training, another initiative on military exchanges seeks to improve military contacts with other countries. This initiative would authorize reciprocal professional military exchanges between military schools in the United States and equivalent professional schools in other countries. Many coun- tries cannot afford to purchase exchange training. The proposal will expand our contracts abroad and convey to participating coun- tries our willingness to engage in equal and reciprocal exchanges with them. We have submitted an initiative to resolve conflicting provisions in sections 21 and 43 of the AECA [Arms Export Control Act] over the appropriate cost to recover in sales of defense articles and serv- ices. Language that was worked out last year was satisfactory, and I accept that as it is. The initiative I want to talk about from last year's package is our request for authorization to use FMS administrative funds to supplement MAP funds for the representational activities. We esti- mate now that 30 to 40 percent of these representational funds are borne by our personnel from their own pockets. Hence, our proposal would not require any additional appropria- tions over and above that which has been appropriated from the MAP account in the future, but would add to it from the FMS sur- charge. In regard to extended payment period for Korea, Portugal, and the Philippines, we would add those to the list of countries already within the statute. I would like to mention our request for additional obligational authority for the Special Defense Acquisition Fund (SDF). We were delighted that the fiscal year 1984 CRA included some $225 million in addition to obligational authority for the SDAF. This brings the total authority to $475 million over the past 3 fiscal years. Most of the funds available in the past years have been placed on contract, and many of the items procured under the SDAF will soon be available for sale to foreign countries should that be neces- sary. We are asking for an additional $325 million in obligational au- thority for fiscal year 1985. None of these funds being requested comes from the pockets of the taxpayer. Finally, I want to mention our request to replenish the Guaran- tee Reserve Fund (GRF] by some $274 million. This amount will help insure that there are adequate reserves against defaults and rescheduling of existing loans. Our 1985 on-budget proposal for more grants and greater conces- sional loans would help alleviate the growth of additional debt servicing burdens among FMS loan recipients. But many countries are still obliged to pay back loans signed in the past, particularly at times especially when interest rates were so high. The amount requested would help us through this difficult period by not allow- ing the fund to fall to precariously low levels. . 256 Mr. Chairman, that concludes my comments. [General Gast's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF LT. GEN. PHILIP C. GAST INTRODUCTION Thank you Mr. Chairman. Secretary Schneider has just provided the committee a detailed and comprehen- sive review of the President's request for a fiscal year 1984 supplemental for Central America and the fiscal year 1985 program for security assistance. We, in the De- fense Department, support these requests. I will concentrate my remarks on what Defense believes are the major strategic objectives underlying the program recom- mendations. Then, I will discuss, in some detail, some of the legislative initiatives that are being proposed by the administration to improve the management of the security assistance program. Our position in DOD has always been that the security assistance and arms sales programs represent the overseas counterparts of our own defense efforts and are no less an investment in U.S. national security than the programs for the Department of Defense. These programs reap high returns in security and good will, yet they are not a drain on the U.S. taxpayer. STRATEGIC RATIONALES In order to better understand how we program country funds, let me review the principal strategic rationales behind our request. I should mention first that our programs are not based on some altruistic motive or made in a vacuum. Rather, they are developed with careful consideration of country military requirements and with U.S. strategic and foreign policy goals in mind. To illustrate the point, our programs are designed to: 1. Provide assistance to those countries which have agreed to retain U.S. bases on their territory. These agreements not only give the United States an ability to project power far from our shores, they also enhance our ability to operate with the armed forces of other countries. Last year, we signed base agreements with Portugal, Spain, Greece, and Philip- pines and we have an important agreement with Turkey that did not come up for renewal. The mutual defense cooperation epitomized by these base agreements is re- flected in the security assistance we provide to these countries. 2. We also have arrangements with a number of other countries to permit our military use of their air or port facilities. These arrangements enable us to sustain operations abroad and help improve our power projection capabilities. Arrange- ments with Oman, Somalia and Kenya exemplify the benefits we derive from our international assistance programs. 3. Our security assistance programs also are intended to assist friendly countries threatened by Soviet, Warsaw Pact or Soviet-supported forces. Many of these coun- tries have turned to the United States—or to other Western nations—to cope with threats to their independence and sovereignty. Major recipients in this category in- clude Pakistan, Korea, Turkey, El Salvador, Honduras and several others. 4. Our assistance, in general, helps countries make better use of their own re- sources in deterring regional threats to their stability or coping with internal threats that may be inspired or supported by outside forces. Typically, the threats require efforts exceeding their ability or resources, especially as they attempt to make parallel progress in economic growth and social development. Some of these countries include Sudan, Morocco and the Caribbean nations. 5. In addition to these defense and security-related motives for security assistance, our programs also support major foreign policy goals such as the pursuit of peace in the Middle East. This objective is so important that we continue to recommend the largest country assistance levels for Israel and Egypt. Security assistance on its own, of course, cannot bring about peace or remove the origins of regional instability or even hold back threats from Soviet or Soviet-sup- ported forces. It can, however, shape conditions in such a way that diplomatic and political efforts can take place. 6. Security assistance and arms sales also bring modest domestic benefits to the U.S. economy. Though not a major reason for our overseas programs, these pro- grams do add an indirect support to our total defense planning effort. For example, we estimate that foreign military sales have saved the military serv- ices some $3 billion between fiscal year 1978 and 1982, primarily from economies of 257 scale and various recoupments of sunk costs. We estimate that more than half a million jobs are sustained by the FMS program alone and that over the past 3 years the program has brought some $30 billion into the U.S. Treasury. PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT The proposals in the supplemental for Central America and the fiscal year 1985 annual request are the result of extensive preparation and careful thought. So, too, are the legislative initiatives we are proposing. The annual security assistance rec- ommendations take more than 9 months of sustained effort and involve several Gov- ernment agencies both here in Washington and in the field. Our proposals for legis- lative change result from years of experience in administering the program and adapting to changes over time as circumstances shift. Hence, our country proposals do not contain unnecessary extras and are tailored to known country requirements; our legislative initiatives build upon our proposals from the past 2 years when we did not get authorization bills. The most important factor shaping the President's security assistance request is our judgment on how best a specific program furthers U.S. foreign policy and securi- ty interests. Contrary to some beliefs, most foreign leaders do not make exorbitant requests or unreasonable demands on the United States. Most are sensitive to their ability to absorb new equipments or defense articles and almost all are aware of their abilities to repay the loans we provide. Some countries, though, have security interests which are so paramount and national security issues so pressing, or have choices that are so limited that they opt for the high interest loans and stiff repay- ment terms we offer. Very few countries outside the developed nations and a few affluent developing countries have sufficent resources of their own and must look to us--or others--to assist them in meeting their military and security requirements. THE FISCAL YEAR 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL FOR CENTRAL AMERICA The President has submitted a supplemental request for Central America. This request parallels closely the recommendations of the National Bipartisan Commis- sion on Central America and we believe that additional resources are essential if established governments are to develop their ability to counter terrorism, subver- sion and aggression in the region. The security assistance proposals represent a small portion of the overall request since most of the funds being sought for Central America will be for economic as- sistance. This would continue our practice in the past when our economic assistance levels surpassed those for military assistance. Needless to say, security and econom- ic development complement one another. The latter can best take place in an envi- ronment free from violence, terror and turmoil. On the other hand, security without real progress in economic, political or social development would be equally unrewarding to the United States and to the people in Central America. In El Sal- vador, we have made our concerns for human rights and political reforms very clear and feel confident that the human rights record there will continue to improve. It is not in our interest or in the interest of the people of the region to resolve their issues at the point of a gun or to have totalitarian governments substitute for reform already underway. The fiscal year 1984 supplemental request includes military assistance program (MAP) funds for El Salvador ($178.9M), Honduras ($37.5M) Costa Rica ($7.85M), Panama ($10M) and the regional military training center ($25M) totaling $259.05 million. More than half the request is for El Salvador because the situation there is most serious. We agree with the Bipartisan Commission that the threat to the United States from Central America is real and that we ought to act quickly and decisively to cope with the crisis in the region. If we delay much longer, the morale of the Salvadoran forces will be undermined, the delivery of critical ammunition and equipment will be stretched out even further, the image of the fighting capacity of the armed forces will be weakened and the stalemate in the civil war may well be perpetuated for some time. THE FISCAL YEAR 1985 REQUEST I want to express my appreciation to the Congress for its support of the adminis- tration's security assistance requests over the past years. I believe the United States is far more secure because of these actions. Last November, the Congress approved funding levels close to those requested by the President and left most of those funds 258 without earmarkings. This helped assure our friends abroad that they could count on the United States to assist them. The fiscal year 1985 security assistance request continues previous year progress with no major country increases, apart from those we are requesting for Central America. The major new initiative in this year's request is the proposal to shift FMS credit financing from "off-budget” to “on-budget.” This would give us greater flexibility in charging lower interest rates to countries beleaguered with U.S. debt payments, while helping them to meet their military requirements. The on-budget proposal would result in an FMS credit program composed of: Credits let at Treasury market rates for some countries ($1,987M); Low interest concessional loans ($539M); and Grants or forgiven credits for Israel and Egypt ($2575M). There are additional funds in the grant MAP ($925M) and IMET training ac- counts ($61M) The proposal, if enacted, would require a shift of some $4.3 billion in budget au- thority over the fiscal year 1984 request; however, the estimated outlay impact in fiscal year 1985 would be closer to $1.6 billion. The total military assistance request for fiscal year 1985 equals $6.4 billion, if the request for peacekeeping organizations ($49M) and for replenishing the Guaranty Reserve Fund ($27M) are added in; with- out the latter two, the fiscal year 1985 request is actually less than the fiscal year 1984 CRA total. The on-budget initiative therefore provides us the needed flexibility to adjust secu- rity assistance programs to the economic needs and abilities of recipient nations through a mix of grants, concessional loans and near market rate financing. It is a step in the direction of easing the debt-servicing requirements of countries which will be repaying past and present FMS loans. I should also note that the fiscal year 1985 foreign aid request would retain the same 60:40 ratio of economic to military assistance as in the past few years. This relative balance between economic ($9.4B) and military ($6.4B) assistance is appro priate and we, in DOD, support this division in the overall foreign aid request. Before discussing our package of legislative initiatives for fiscal year 1985, I want to say a word about the special defense acquisition fund (SDAF) and the Guaranty Reserve Fund (GRF). Last year, the appropriations committees added some $225 million in obligational authority to the SDAF, bringing the total authority through fiscal year 1984 to $475 million. The SDAF is now capitalized at about $600 million and the authorized ceil- ing is at $900 million for fiscal year 1984. We are asking for an increment of $325 million in obligational authority. None of these funds come from the U.S. taxpayer; they are made available to the SDAF account from receipts collected from prior FMS sales. Previously obligated funds have been used to procure high demand items and these items will soon be available for sale to foreign countries. These items have been documented in both the annual procurement plans and annual report to the Congress on the SDAF. We have requested $274 million to replenish the Guaranty Reserve Fund which has been drawn down to cover country reschedulings and late payments. This re- quest is being submitted to ensure the Fund does not fall to an unacceptably low level. LEGISLATIVE INITIATIVES Now, I'd like to discuss some of the changes in legislation being proposed in the fiscal year 1985 bill. Most of the initiatives have been submitted in the past but, because there were no bills, we failed to get final action. We have worked closely with the Department of State on these initiatives and are submitting only those changes we feel necessary for improving the conduct of security assistance. I want to personally express my appreciation to this committee for its favorable report on the set of initiatives submitted last year and hope that it will give an equally favorable report this year. Let me mention a few of the initiatives being pro posed. One proposal seeks to eliminate the inequities in the variable pricing structure for sales of foreign training. In place of the multi-tier pricing system which now exists, this proposal would substitute a single price for all FMS training. Enactment would mean we would have only two pricing systems for foreign training-one for FMS and one for IMET. It would require all countries to pay the same FMS price for identical training they purchase from the United States. It would correct what we believe has been excessive charges to selected countries and restore the principle 259 that a purchasing country should pay only those additional costs to the United States of providing services. Another proposal would amend section 515 of the Foreign Assistance Act to in- crease the number of security assistance organizations (SAO's) abroad that author- ized more than six uniformed personnel. Based on discussions with the Congress last year, we revised the list of countries and reduced the number of additional person- nel we are requesting. Specifically, we are requesting this authority for eight coun- tries: Tunisia, Lebanon, Yemen, Pakistan, Sudan, Honduras, El Salvador and Ven- ezuela. There are now 12 countries under the statute where we have more than six authorized military personnel in the SAO; in fiscal year 1977, there were 33 SAO's with this authority. We are requesting this authority only for those countries with the most urgent program management requirements. Program implementation needs abroad have grown in each of these countries and this proposed change would merely adjust overseas manpower levels to changing in-country program require- ments. Worldwide, our overseas combined personnel strength--civilian, military and local--would only increase by eleven, or a fraction of one percent. We are also seeking authority for reciprocal one-for-one military exchanges be- tween our senior and intermediate education schools and equivalent schools in other countries. The benefits of the program are easy to cite. It increases the exchange of United States and foreign military doctrine, strategy and tactics, broadens the types of military contacts and augments the military experiences of our senior and inter- mediate level officers. As it now stands, we can not reciprocate when other govern- ments offer senior level training on a tuition-free basis. This proposal was reported out favorably by both the House and Senate committees last year. It would add no new costs to the U.S. Government. There are other legislative proposals designed to improve the administration of the security assistance program. One proposed change would resolve the many con- flicting provisions in the Arms Export Control Act (AECA) on the calculation of the administrative surcharge we add to foreign military sales to cover the cost to the U.S. Government of managing the program. We believe we should recoup only those costs incurred for the benefit of the foreign purchasing governments. This issue is very important to the integrity of the FMŠ program and we believe that the admin- istration's proposal for true cost recovery is sound and necessary. Another legislative change seeks authority to authorize the use of FMS adminis- trative funds for representational purposes. These funds, if approved, would aug- ment MAP appropriated funds and would mean that our representatives overseas would not have to use their own resources to meet the social obligations inherent in their professional duties. We estimate that between 30 percent and 40 percent of the costs of representational functions are paid from personal funds. This proposal would not require any additional budget outlays since it would be funded from FMS proceeds. Our representational funds have been declining in recent years while costs have risen, requirements have increased and the visibility of our security assistance programs have grown. It is unfair to require our overseas personnel to use their own funds when representing the U.S. Government. Approval would be a big morale booster to our representatives in the field and would signal that their services are appreciated and valued. One of the initiatives being submitted was proposed last year by Senator Pell. It would exempt foreign training in maritime skills from the prohibitions against law enforcement training in section 660 of the Foreign Assistance Act. It also would permit the use of international military education and training (IMET) funds for such training. Finally, I want to draw your attention to one new initiative in the fiscal year 1985 package. This would extend the repayment terms for Portugal and Philippines for loans offered to them at Treasury market rates. We are also resubmitting a similar request from last year for Korea. We would add these three countries to the States now authorized the 10-year grace, 20-year repayment of principal terms. Extended terms would ease the burden of repaying future FMS loans in the near term and defer them to a time when they will be better able to meet their obligations. CONCLUSION Mr. Chairman, let me conclude by saying that we derive many tangible and intan- gible benefits from our security assistance program. Secretary Schneider and I have touched on a number of these. The major contribution of security assistance from a defense perspective is that it enables other countries to cooperate with the United States in developing working and viable collective security arrangements, in sharing the collective burden of defense and in furthering our mutual security interests. 260 These programs are low cost investments in U.S. security and to a lesser degree, in the U.S. economy. Short of stationing U.S. forces abroad, the security assistance pro- grams provide the most visible assurance of continued U.S. readiness to stand by our friends and allies. I know that I reflect the views of the Secretary of Defense when I urge the com- mittee to give favorable consideration to the administration's security assistance proposals for fiscal year 1984 and fiscal year 1985. We have worked closely with the Department of State in developing the supplemental request and in formulating the fiscal year 1985 annual recommendations. This also includes the legislative propos- als to improve program management. This concludes my statement. I would be pleased to respond to any questions you may have. Thank you. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, General. We appreciate your statement. Senator PELL. Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Pell. Senator Pell. If you would permit me to interrupt, I have to leave at this point. But I have eight specific questions which I hope would be asked for the record and answered by the witnesses. The CHAIRMAN. They will, and they will be inserted into the record at the appropriate point. We thank you very much for being with us. We are sorry that you have to leave. Senator PELL. Thank you. The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Kirk, we are happy to have your testi- mony. STATEMENT OF HON. ROGER KIRK, SENIOR DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY, BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION AF. FAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE Mr. KIRK. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. In the interest of saving the committee's time, I will not have a prepared statement for the relatively small portion of these funds for international programs and organizations. Let me simply state that our fiscal 1985 request to support these voluntary funded organizations, excluding IFAD, is some $191.8 million. This is an increase of $1.8 million over the amount re- quested last year. These programs we feel play an important part in our multilat- eral diplomacy, a part of our diplomacy which we think is extreme- ly important and which is one part, albeit only a part, of our total relationship with the rest of the world. We feel that the amount that we have requested for these multi- lateral programs represents a good compromise between the needs for budgetary and fiscal restraint and the obligations and opportu- nities presented by these multilateral organizations which we take very seriously. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Kirk, I have to step out of the room for just a moment to take a quick phone call. I would appreciate your going right ahead without me. Senator Sarbanes, would you chair for just a moment, please. Mr. KIRK. Thank you. That had concluded my statement. Senator SARBANES (presiding]. You know, you missed your chance. You should have done that just a few seconds sooner. 261 Let me ask if Secretary Newell is occupied today. Mr. KIRK. Secretary Newell is out of the country. He is in Mexico at the present time. Senator SARBANES. You don't know how many times Secretary Newell has been before the committee since he was confirmed, do you? Mr. KIRK. I do not, Senator. But I certainly can find out for you. Senator SARBANES. Would you, and would you supply that to the committee? Mr. KIRK. I certainly will do that. Senator SARBANES. Thank you. [The information referred to follows:) Mr. Newell attended hearings before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on both of the times he has been invited since his confirmation. The dates were Febru- ary 25, 1983 (International Organizations and Programs) and March 9, 1983 (Depart- ment of State Authorization). Senator SARBANES. Secretary Schneider, I want to try to get these figures into perspective, if I can. What is the foreign assistance figure in the continuing resolution for 1984? In other words, what is the figure you are working with? Is it $13.8 billion? Mr. SCHNEIDER. It is $13.78 billion, Senator. Senator SARBANES. What is the figure you are seeking for next year? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Well, the two figures are not strictly comparable because of the change in technique of budget presentation. But the number that we are proposing in this fiscal year is $15.2 billion. The reason they are not comparable is under the continuing resolu- tion, we had the foreign military sales guarantee program carried off-budget, that is, it was not displayed in the budget; whereas, in fiscal 1985, it is counted as an on-budget figure. Senator SARBANES. How much is that figure? Mr. SCHNEIDER. FMS guarantees in fiscal 1985 are $5.1 billion, compared to fiscal 1984 in the continuing resolution, where they are $4.4 billion. Senator SARBANES. But that suggests that they are carried in both places. Mr. SCHNEIDER. They are in the same appropriations bill. It is just that the way in which they are presented is not strictly compa- rable. Senator SARBANES. Now I am going to get this moving target to stop so that we know exactly what we are talking about. The foreign aid figure this year in the continuing resolution is $13.8 billion; is that correct? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That's correct. . Senator SARBANES. What is the figure that you are requesting for the next fiscal year? Mr. SCHNEIDER. It is $15.2 billion. Senator SARBANES. All right. So that is the comparable figure. It is a 10-percent increase; is that correct? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That's correct. Senator SARBANES. Could you break those two figures out into their component parts-ESF, MAP, FMS, and so on? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. 262 In fiscal 1985, the request for the military assistance program is $924.5 million. The request for peacekeeping operations-- Senator SARBANES. What is that figure in the continuing resolu- tion? Mr. SCHNEIDER. In the continuing resolution, it is $510 million. Senator SARBANES. So that is an increase of how much, about 80 percent? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That's correct. Senator SARBANES. All right. Please continue. Mr. SCHNEIDER. The peacekeeping operations are $49 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $56.2 million in the fiscal 1984 continuing resolution. The international military education and training program is $60.9 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $51.5 in the continuing resolution in 1984. In the foreign military sales credit program, it is $1.3 billion in the continuing resolution, compared to $5.1 billion in fiscal 1985. This reflects the difference in budget presentation, that particular figure. The FMS guarantee program in the continuing resolution is $4.4 billion, compared to zero in fiscal 1985, again reflecting that change in budget presentation. The guarantee reserve fund-we did not make a contribution for that in fiscal 1984-but in fiscal 1985 we have proposed $274 mil- lion. Antiterrorism assistance is $2.5 million under the continuing res- olution in fiscal 1984, and $5 million in the fiscal 1985 proposal. Senator SARBANES. Now what lies behind the contribution of $275 million to the reserve fund? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The fund is intended to be kept at approximately the $750 million level. As the fund gets drawn down or is in danger of being drawn down, we are obliged, from time to time, to replen- ish it. General Gast, of the Defense Security Assistance Agency, who manages the fund, can provide more detailed comments, sir. Senator SARBANES. In other words, it is either a failure to pay back or the need to reschedule the payment back of debts that has made necessary a further contribution to the fund? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That's correct. General Gast. It is largely rescheduled debt payments up until now. But it would be forecasts in the future. I mean multilateral rescheduling. Senator SARBANES. Now what about the economic side of these comparisons? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Taken as a total, the economic assistance propos- al for fiscal 1985 is $8.9 billion net of receipts. That includes a fairly long list of accounts. The multilateral development banks are funded at the $1.2 billion level in fiscal 1985, compared to $1.3 bil- lion in fiscal 1984. The internationl organizations are funded at $241.8 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $314 in fiscal 1984. AID development assistance is funded at $2.2 billion in fiscal 1985, compared to $1.9 billion in fiscal 1984. 263 AID miscellaneous trust funds is $15 million in both years. The trade and development program is $21 million in fiscal 1985, and $16 million in fiscal 1984. The Public Law 480 program and its various components is a total of $1.3 billion in fiscal 1985, but was approximately $1 billion in fiscal 1984. The Peace Corps is $124 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $115 million in the continuing resolution. Refugee assistance is $341 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $337.6 million in fiscal 1984. The Inter-American Foundation is approximately $12 million in fiscal 1985, compared to $13 million in the continuing resolution. The African Development Foundation is funded at $3 million in both years. International narcotics control is $50.2 million in fiscal 1985, and $41.2 million in fiscal 1984. A new program dealing with Micronesia, to fund the Microne- sian Compact of Free Association, is $295 million in fiscal 1985. There was no comparable program in fiscal 1984. Senator SARBANES. Is the chart that you are reading from a part of your longer prepared statement? Mr. SCHNEIDER. No, this one is not in the longer statement. This is part of my backup. I can have the chart put into the record if you would find that useful. Senator SARBANES. Would you do that, please? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Sure. [The chart referred to follows: 264 POREIGN ASSISTANCE BUDGET SUMMARY BUDGET AUTHORITY (in thousands of dollars) -FY 1984- FY 1982 ACTUAL FY 1983 ACTUAL -FY 1985- AMEND. CON. RES. SUPP. REVISED PRRS. BUD. REVISED ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE Multilateral Development Banks Interaational Organizations... 1,261,712 215, 438 1,537.024 269,502 1,324, 365 3.4.164 319,616 1,643,981 3,686 317,850 1,235,558 241,800 1,235,558 241,800 AID Dovolopment Assistance... AID Miscellaneous Trust Funds. Bcodonic Support Pund. 1,880, 496 15,000 2,919,300 1,831,604 15,000 2.962.250 1,902,942 15,000 2,903,250 87,874 1.990,816 15,000 290,500 3,193,750 2,075, 058 15,000 3,067,500 166,416 2.241,474 15,000 370,600 3,438,100 Trade & Development Progra... 6,907 10,500 16,250 16,250 21,000 21,000 PL 480 Title I (Program) Titio I Receiptı. 832,144 -347,444 25,000 859,000 -481,000 872,000 -470,000 897,000 -470,000 985,000 -316,000 36,000 1,021,000 -316,000 Titl. I (BA). Titl. II. 484, 700 $15,302 378,000 650,000 402,000 650,000 25,000 90,000 427,000 740,000 36,000 669,000 650,000 705,000 650,000 Total BA. 1,000,002 1,028,000 1,052,000 115,000 1,167,000 1,319,000 36,000 1,355,000 9.000 2,000 14,650 Peace Corps . Refugee Assistance. Intor-American Poundation.... African Development Foundation Internat'l Narcotics Control.. Compact of Proc Association... 105,000 423,000 12,000 (2,000) 36,700 109,000 395,000 12,000 (2.000) 36,700 115,000 323,000 13,000 3,000 41,200 117,000 337,650 13,000 3,000 41,200 115,000 341.450 11,992 3,000 50,217 295,490 124,000 341,450 11,992 3,000 50,217 295,490 Subtotal. Offsetting Receipts 7,875,555 -439,702 8, 206, 580 -533,589 8,023,171 -494,618 833, 326 8,856,497 -494,618 8,792,065 -495,751 582,016 9,374,081 -495,751 TOTAL ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE.. 1,435,853 1,672,991 7,528,553 833,326 8.361,879 8,296,314 582,016 8.878,330 259,050 SECURITY ASSISTANCE military Assistaace Program. Peacekeeping Operations Internat'1 mil. Ed. & Training Poroigo Military Sales.. FMS Guarantees (off-budget) Guarantee Reserve Pund., Anti-Torrorism. 178,512 145,700 42,000 800,000 3,269,500 383,325 31,100 46,000 1.175,000 3,931,500 510,000 56,200 51,532 1,315,000 4,401,250 769,050 56,200 51,532 1,315,000 4, 401, 250 800,000 49,000 60,910 5,115,000 124,500 924,500 49,000 60,910 -15,000 5,100,000 274,000 5,000 274,000 5,000 2,500 2.500 Subtotal. off setting Roceipts (PMS). 4,435,712 -178,781 5,566,925 -136,732 6,336,482 -126,000 259,050 6,595,532 -126,000 6,303,910 -117,000 109,500 6,413,410 -111,000 TOTAL SECURITY ASSISTANCE. 4,256,931 5,430, 193 6,210,482 259,050 6,469,532 6, 186, 910 109,500 6,296,410 1 SESSE 255̼ 23:35 TOTAL BCONOMIC & SRCURITY ASSIST 11.692,784 13,103, 184 13,739,035 1,092,376 14.831,411 14,483,224 691,516 15,174,740 PPC/PB 3/5/84 #1742B - 265 Senator SARBANES. The concessionality that you are proposing in the military sales is on what terms? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Five percent. Senator SARBANES. And, without concessionality, what would the terms be? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Well, that is dependent on the cost of money to the Treasury. It is now in the 11- to 12-percent range. Senator SARBANES. How much are you proposing to offer at 5 percent? Mr. SCHNEIDER. $538 million. Senator SARBANES. Is there a chart in your testimony that indi- cates where that will go? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, we have a list. There are 16 countries that would be the recipients of that. Let me see if I can identify that for you. Basically, the theory of the distribution was that the poorest countries would receive assistance on a grant basis; the richest countries would receive money at the cost of money to the Treas- ury. There is also a group of intermediate countries, those who can afford to repay the loans, even though they cannot carry them at the cost of money to the U.S. Treasury. This group of 16—I'll call them middle income countries—are the recipients of the conces- sional assistance. Senator SARBANES. What is the standard by which you are defin- ing these terms-poorest, intermediate, and richest? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Economic criteria are used. The criteria involve income per capita and the financial condition of the country re- flecting its ability to repay. Senator SARBANES. Are they spelled out somewhere? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The criteria? Senator SARBANES. Yes. Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. We have a detailed description of the eco- nomic criteria being applied. Senator SARBANES. Where is that? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That has been in our congressional presentation document. We have, at various times, briefed on it and provided ad- ditional details as individual members and staff were interested. Senator SARBANES. In response to this question, would you submit that particular material for the record? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, sir. [The information referred to follows:] ECONOMIC NEED FOR CONCESSIONAL FINANCING There are a number of criteria which are used to determine the level of conces- sionality we offer in making funds available to a country under our foreign assist- ance programs. Criteria for concessionality in certain programs are set by law; in other programs they have evolved from agency experience. The following is a review by program of the criteria used to determine concessionality in aid terms. DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE Whether a country receives Development Assistance in the form of a loan or grant depends upon a number of factors, chiefly the nature of the project financed and the country's ability to repay. For AID's Development Assistance programs, Congress has determined that not less than 30 percent of the funds appropriated would be made available in the form of loans (Section 134 of the second continuing resolution for fiscal year 1983, Public 34-045 0-84-18 266 Law 97-377, as made applicable to fiscal year 1984 by Public Law 98–151, the second continuing resolution for fiscal year 1984.) Minimum interest rates for such loans are set by FAA Section 122(b); the minimum interest rate on AID loans is 2 percent during the grace period of not to exceed 10 years, and 3 percent during the repay- ment period. Rates may be set higher, based on such factors as the recipient's abili- ty to repay, the nature of the activity funded, etc. For example, in AID's new pri- vate sector loan projects, interest rates closer to market rates are planned, along with shorter grace periods. The repayment period for Development Assistance loans is determined by the GNP level of the recipient, based on cut-off levels set in the annual Foreign Assist- ance Appropriations Act-most recently Section 134 of the fiscal year 1983 Second Continuing Resolution (Public Law 97–377). The terms for the most concessional (40- year) loans routinely have been tied to the World Bank's GNP cut-off for IDA eligi- bility. The IDA cut-off normally is reset annually in July (although last year it was delayed until October) in the Bank's internal “Per Capita Income Guidelines” memorandum. The threshold for least concessional (20-year) loans routinely has been based on a level set by AID each year roughly proportional to the increase in the IDA cut-off. The fiscal year 1984 Continuing Resolutions incorporate the “terms and condi- tions” set in the fiscal year 1983 Act. Those terms are: Per Capita GNP—$795 or below: 40-year loans; $796 to $1,284: 25-year loans; $1,285 or above: 20-year loans. PUBLIC LAW 480, FOOD FOR PEACE Under Section 111 of the Agricultural Trade Development and Assistance Act of 1954 (Public Law 480) as amended, 75 percent of the food aid provided under Title I in each fiscal year must be allocated to countries which meet the poverty criterion established by the World Bank's soft-loan affiliate, the International Development Association (IDA), unless the President certifies to Congress that the food is needed elsewhere for humanitarian purposes, or that the full 75 percent cannot be used ef- fectively in IDA eligible countries in a given year. Allocation of the remaining 25 percent is made case-by-case, based again on multiple criteria including: demon- strated food need, existence of balance of payments problems that prevent a country from importing needed food through commercial transactions, and per capita income. Current law requires that at least 15 percent of Title I funds be made avail- able in grant form in Food for Development Programs under Title III; eligibility re- quirements for such grant aid are set by law (Section 302(b), Public Law 480 as amended), and include eligibility for IDA loans as a poverty criterion. Title II grant food assistance serves a number of purposes. Some of our Title II programs, as required by Section 201 of Public Law 480, provides “famine or other urgent or extraordinary relief requirements.” Other, development-oriented grant aid programs, distributed by voluntary agencies, are designed to "promote economic and community development in friendly developing areas," again in accordance with Section 201 requirements. For the most part, both attempt to target food aid on the poorest segments of a country's population, for people who cannot afford to buy food. While we do not limit our operations under Title II to countries with the lowest average per capita incomes-targetting, instead, the poorest wherever they may be found-in general our programs are concentrated in ĪDA eligible countries. ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND Here, too, criteria for concessionality are varied. Specific statutory requirements often determine whether funds under a program are to be made available in grant form. Absent such a provision, determinations as to whether a program will be grant or loan, and if a loan, the terms of repayment, are made on a case-by-case basis taking into consideration the economic situation of the recipient, as shown by: per capita income; debt service as a percentage of earnings on export of goods and services (current and projected); and current account deficit in relation to GNP. A second factor used in determining program terms is the nature of the activity funded, as is the case in determining Development Assistance program terms. MILITARY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM/FOREIGN MILITARY SALES FINANCING Decisions on whether we request grant military assistance, concessional financing under FMS, or a mixture of the two are made on a country-by-country basis. The primary considerations which go into the decision are economic, based on the recipi- ent country's economic need and its ability to repay. To determine economic need, 267 each country is judged by a combination of economic criteria, the most important of which are per capita income, debt service burden as a percentage of export earn- ings, and the general direction of and prospects for economic growth. We are re- questing MAP grants for countries which have particularly severe economic needs, and/or for which the United States has pledged to undertake to make best efforts to provide such assistance. In the case of FMS programs, we plan to offer several kinds of terms: forgiven loans for Israel and Egypt; loans to be repayed at either Treasury (market) rates (plus one-eighth percent administrative charge); or loans which carry concessional interest rates. Congress authorized that FMS loans granted to Egypt and Israel in fiscal year 1983 and fiscal year 1984 be partially forgiven; the Administration has requested that fiscal year 1985 FMS financing to these countries be provided entire- ly as forgiven loans. For all other country programs proposed to receive FMS financing in fiscal year 1985, we have proposed either Treasury rate financing, concessional rate financing or a combination of the two based on the same economic considerations cited above. We plan to provide all loans made at concessional rates at 5 percent interest, with 5 years grace on repayment of principal and with an additional 7 years to repay. Terms for loans at Treasury rates will vary from country to country; in a few cases as much as 10 years grace and an additional 20 years to repay will be granted. How- ever, so-called “10/20" repayment terms require a specific by-country authorization of eligibility by Congress. We do not intend to propose a loan agreement which com- bines a concessional rate of interest with 10/20 terms. In deciding which economic criteria to use to calculate a country's economic need for concessional FMS financing, we examined the various criteria utilized by other international lending organizations, such as the World Bank. While per capita income is a salient and perhaps overall the most useful determinant, to rely upon it exclusively would lead in certain cases to distortions in which we would be forced to provide concessional assistance when it was not really justified. Thus while we give great weight to per capita income in deciding who will get concessional FMS, we balance that by looking at the other factors we have already mentioned above-as we do in providing other kinds of assistance as previously noted-in order to produce a complete picture of a country's needs and repayment ability. Senator SARBANES. Where are the countries listed that receive this concessional aid, and the amounts? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The countries receiving concessional assistance are Jordan, Turkey, the Dominican Republic, Morocco, Pakistan, Tunisia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Botswana, Cameroon, Colom- bia, Ecuador, and Peru. Senator SARBANES. How much concessional FMS does Ecuador get, for instance? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Ecuador gets $2 million. Senator SARBANES. Two million? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. Senator SARBANES. And how much regular FMS does Ecuador get? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Two million dollars. Senator SARBANES. Well, you have some pretty finely calibrated economic criteria at work here, don't you? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. The idea, Senator, is by having these three different instruments of assistance--grant assistance, cost of money assistance, and concessional assistance—we can arrive at a blend of assistance to certain countries to provide an interest rate that is compatible with their particular economic circumstances. In the absence of having this instrument, we would be obliged, in most cases, to provide the countries with the higher cost of money, which is the cost of money loaned, which has been part of the eco- nomic problem they have been obliged to face in the past several years. 268 Senator SARBANES. I understand that. You are telling me that the "blender” you have working is geared to these economic criteria. It is almost like a recipe, is that right, that a housewife would have in her kitchen when she was using her blender. You are factoring in these economic criteria, and on the basis of that, when you put your MAP and your conces- sional and your regular FMS in there, it all comes out the same. Is that correct? Mr. SCHNEIDER. No, it does not come out the same in the sense that the effective interest rate is altered, depending upon the mix of these terms. To use the same metaphor, you will get a product with a slightly different flavor as a consequence of the character of the blend. Senator SARBANES. I understand that. But if I take the economic criteria and apply them to the blending that you are doing, do I find it being done in an objective way in each instance, so that it all comes out at the same point? Is that correct? Mr. SCHNEIDER. I am not sure what you are referring to as the same point. The effective interest rate will not be the same, as be- tween countries. It will not necessarily be the same. Senator SARBANES. If you factor in the income per capita of the country, then, in effect, it will be the same. Mr. SCHNEIDER. Well, yes, to the extent that precision is possible in this kind of calculation. Senator SARBANES. And the exercise has been gone through with respect to each country? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. Senator SARBANES. Is there material that you can submit on that which shows this process? Mr. SCHNEIDER. We will provide descriptive material on how we have arrived at these calculations. 1 Senator SARBANES. Now, the $538 million is that the total con- cessionary? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. Who are the largest recipients of that, and in what amounts? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Pakistan is $100 million; Tunisia is $25 million; Jordan is $47.5 million. The largest recipient is Turkey, with $250 million. Also, Indonesia is $20 million. Those would be the largest recipients. The Philippines is $30 million. Senator SARBANES. On the MAP, which has gone from $510 mil- lion to $925 million, do you have those countries? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. I should make one point about the MAP, Senator. In addition to the amount that we received under the continuing resolution as a consequence of the recommendations by the Bipartisan Commission on Central America, there is a supplemental proposal of approxi- mately $250 million. So, the total request for fiscal 1984, adding the continuing resolution to the supplemental request, would be about $760 million or so. See pages 272-274. . 269 In the MAP program itself, the major recipients are Portugal and Turkey in the NATO area. Senator SARBANES. How much for Portugal? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Portugal is $70 million and Turkey is $230 mil- lion. Senator SARBANES. What did they get this year in the CR? . Mr. SCHNEIDER. In the CR, Portugal got $60 million and Turkey got $130 million. Senator SARBANES. So you are increasing Portugal from $60 mil- lion to $70 million in MAP, and Turkey from $130 million to $230 million? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That is correct. Senator SARBANES. What else is there? Mr. SCHNEIDER. In Central America we have a number of small programs in fiscal year 1985: the Dominican Republic, $3 million; eastern Caribbean countries, $5 million; Jamaica, $5 million. In Southwest Asia-Kenya, $23 million; Morocco, $40 million; So- malia, $40 million; Sudan, $69 million; Tunisia, $15 million; and North Yemen, $10 million. In the Pacific and East Asian region: the Philippines, $25 mil- lion; Thailand, $5 million. And Africa: Zaire, $15 million; Botswana, $4 million; Malawi, $1 million. In West Africa: Chad, $5 million; Guinea, $3 million; Liberia, $15 million; Niger, $5 million; Senegal, $3 million. In Latin America-- Senator SARBANES. How many countries are we going to be giving grant military assistance to in your proposal for next year? Mr. SCHNEIDER. I would have to look at that. (Pause.) Mr. SCHNEIDER. Thirty-one countries, including the Regional Military Training Center in Honduras. Senator SARBANES. Thirty-one? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. Senator SARBANES. How many did we give it to this year in the continuing resolution? Mr. SCHNEIDER. About 25. Senator SARBANES. At one point we were phasing out the MAP program. Do you recall at what point we reached the lowest figure in terms of the number of countries receiving MAP, and how many countries was that? Mr. SCHNEIDER. In fiscal year 1981 it was down to about four countries. Senator SARBANES. Four countries? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. This was before the debt problem was a con- spicuous one. Senator SARBANES. So in fiscal year 1981 we were giving four countries MAP, and now you are proposing for fiscal year 1985 to give grant military assistance to 31 countries? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. How many countries are receiving FMS, non- concessional FMS? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Seventeen countries. 270 Senator SARBANES. And how many of them are receiving conces- sional FMS? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Nine. Senator SARBANES. Pardon? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Nine. These are countries that are receiving both the concessional and nonconcessional. Senator SARBANES. Let me put the question in a different way. How many countries in terms of military aid are receiving only nonconcessional FMS, or receive FMS but do not receive conces- sional FMS in your proposal, or do not recieve grant MAP? Mr. SCHNEIDER. It would be a small number. It looks like about six or eight. In Europe, for example, Spain and Greece receive only nonconcessional FMS. I do not believe they receive MAP or conces- sional terms in fiscal year 1985. Korea and Malaysia also. [Pause.] Mr. SCHNEIDER. It looks like that is about all. I will refine those figures for the record. [The following information was supplied for the record: There are six countries receiving, in military aid, only market rate FMS in our proposed FY 1985 security assistance budget. They are Korea, Malaysia, Lebanon, Oman, Greece and Spain. Senator SARBANES. Just those four? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Those are all I can identify for the moment. Senator SARBANES. All right. How many countries in total re- ceive military assistance of one sort or another, either MAP, concessional FMS, or straight term FMS? Mr. SCHNEIDER. I presume you want to exclude ESF from this calculation? Just MAP? Senator SARBANES. ESF is the next area I might want to ask questions about. I guess we are giving it to so many countries it is hard to come up with a quick answer to the question. Is that correct? Mr. SCHNEIDER. No, that is not correct. This is in the interest of getting an accurate count. The number is around 40; 47, including the Regional Military Center in Honduras. We are just trying to be more accurate. Senator SARBANES. Forty-seven or 48 countries receive military · assistance in some form or other? General GAST. Setting aside IMET. Senator SARBANES. Would you say that a country that was not receiving military assistance from us could question how friendly we were toward them? Mr. SCHNEIDER. No. The notion for providing military assistance relates to a security interest in that particular country. There are many countries in many areas of the world in which we do not have a security interest or, alternatively, countries that are able to cope with their own security problems without financial assistance from the United States. Security assistance in that sense is an exceptional tool for specif- ic diplomatic purposes. Senator SARBANES. Could you .provide us a table that shows all the countries that receive some form of military assistance, and the military assistance that you have requested for fiscal year 1985, 271 and the amounts that you are seeking, and compare that with the amounts, if any, that they are receiving under the continuing reso- lution in fiscal year 1984. Mr. SCHNEIDER. Sure. We will include the supplemental request also, so that you will get a full display of our 1984 numbers for comparsion. Senator SARBANES. Well, as long as the supplemental is put in a separate column and is not lumped in, so it is separated out. Mr. SCHNEIDER. I understand. [The material referred to follows:) + 07-Mar-83 SECURITY ASSISTANCE ALLOCATIONS--1983 TO 1985 FY 1983 FINAL FY 1984 REQUEST FY 1984 CR FY 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL FY 1984 TOTAL FY 1985 REQUEST ESF MAP FMS ESF MAP FMS ESF КАР FMS ESF MAP FMS ESF MAP FMS ESF MAP FNS-T FMS-C FMS-TOT EAST ASIA 25.0 185.0 Indonesia Korea Malaysia Philippines Thailand S. Pacific 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 50.0 230.0 12.5 50.0 94.0 0.0 50.0 76.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 5.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 5.0 0.0 45.0 230.0 10.0 50.0 94.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 5.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 45.0 230.0 10.0 50.0 94.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 5.0 0.0 20.0 230.0 10.0 30.0 98.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 230.0 10.0 60.0 98.0 0.0 0.0 REGIONAL TOTAL : 00.0 14.0 340.0 55.0 5.0 436.5 56.1 5.0 429.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.1 5.0 429.0 101.0 30.0 388.0 50.0 438.0 NEAR EAST Egypt Israel Jordan Lebanon Morocco Daan Pakistan Sri Lanka Tunisia Teren M. E. Regional 750.0 785.0 20.0 150.0 0.0 15.0 200.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8 1.0 0.0 1325.0 1700.0 51.5 100.0 75.0 30.0 260.0 0.0 87.0 750.0 785.0 20.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 225.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 15.0 0.0 1300.0 1700.0 115.0 15.0 60.0 15.0 300.0 0.0 90.0 0.0 0.0 750.0 910.0 20.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 225.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 4.0 0.0 1365.0 1700.0 115. U 15.0 26.8 40.0 300.0 0.0 87.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 750.0 910.0 20.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 225.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 1365.0 1700.0 115.0 15.0 26.8 40.0 300.0 0.0 87.0 0.0 0.0 750.0 850.0 20.0 20.0 15.0 20.0 200.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.5 15.0 0.0 45.0 225.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 1175.0 1400.0 47.5 0.0 10.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 1175.0 1400.0 95.0 15.0 10.0 45.0 325.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 272 0.0 15.0 0.0 REGIONAL TOTAL 1937.5 39.8 3632.5 1817.0 95.0 3625.0 1942.5 52.0 3648.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1942.5 52.0 3648.8 1893.0 65.0 357.5 2757.5 3115.0 EUROPE 15.0 0.0 15.0 0.0 Cyprus Greece Poland Portugal Spain Turkey 0.0 20.0 12.0 295.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.5 0.0 110.0 0.0 280.0 0.0 52.5 400.0 290.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 12.0 175.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 230.0 0.0 500.0 0.0 45.0 400.0 525.0 U. V 500.0 0.0 45.0 400.0 585.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 130.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 12.0 138.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 130.0 0.0 500.0 0.0 45.0 400.0 585.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 80.0 12.0 175.0 40.0 12.0 138.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0 0.0 230.0 0.0 500.0 0.0 55.0 400.0 275.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 250.0 0.0 500.0 0.0 55.0 400.0 525.0 REGIONAL TOTAL 332.0 147.5 1022.5 230.0 290.0 1170.0 205.5 190.0 1530.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 205.5 190.0 1530.0 270.0 300.0 1230.0 250.0 1480.0 AFRICA 10.0 5.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 Botswana Cameroon Chad Civic Action Djibouti Gibon Guinea Kenya Liberia 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 8.5 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 32.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 34.2 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 12.0 12.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 34.2 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 12.0 12.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 55.0 45.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.0 3.0 23.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.U 0.0 42.0 35.0 2.0 23.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 273 07-Mar-83 SECURITY ASSISTANCE ALLOCATIONS--1983 TO. 1985 2 FY 1983 FINAL FY 1984 REQUEST FY 1984 CR FY 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL FY 1984 TOTAL FY 1985 REQUEST ESF MAP FRS ESF MAP FMS ESF MAP FMS ESF КАР FMS ESF MAP FNS ESF MAP FMS-T FNS-C FNS-TOT 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 Madagascar Malawi Mauritius Niger Ruanda Senegal Seychelles Somalia Sudaa laire laabia lababve S. Africa Reg. 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 21.0 82.3 5.0 15.5 60.0 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 43.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 40.0 60.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 35.0 120.0 10.0 20.0 75.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 35.Ů 120.0 8.0 20.0 40.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 32.0 45.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 35.0 120.0 8.0 20.0 40.0 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 32.0 45.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 15.0 2.0 35.0 120.0 15.0 20.0 15.0 37.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 40.0 69.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 REGIONAL TOTAL 286,2 79.5 37.7 409.0 156.0 36.5 338.2 119.5 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 338.2 119.5 28.5 391.5 190.5 0.0 10.0 10.0 AMERICAN REPUBLICS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.0 8.0 11.0 0.0 140.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 55.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.0 0.0 Belize Bolivia Coloabia Costa Rica Domainican Rep. E. Caribbean Ecuador El Salvador Guatemala Guyana Haiti Honduras Jaaaica Panana Peru RATC kocap Surinare L.A. Reg. 33.5 7.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 6.0 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0 40.0 25.0 0.0 120.0 40.0 0.0 5.0 40.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 53.0 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 40.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 30.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.5 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0 34.0 25.0 0.0 120.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 40.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.9 2.5 7.0 0.0 223.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 77.5 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.5 7.0 0.0 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 40.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 178.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.5 0.0 10.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.0 9.8 3.0 5.0 0.0 116.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 61.3 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 130.0 34.0 25.0 0.0 210.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 112.5 55.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 6.0 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 160.0 45.0 20.0 0.0 210.0 35.0 0.0 5.0 75.0 70.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 136.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.5 0.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 REGIONAL TOTAL 351.4 67.9 73.8 398.0 109.0 98.0 351.0 101.3 49.0 290.5 259.1 0.0 641.5 360.4 49.0 782.6 238.3 11.0 46.0 57.0 MAF COSTS General Costs 506 tai rei burse. Finance Adj. U.U 0.0 0.0 39.8 2.5 -7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.0 50.0 -4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.7 0.0. -5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.7 0.0 -5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.6 S0.0 -5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Iransfer to PRO Democracy Initiative Vaallocated 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 274 SECURITY ASSISTAKCE ALLOCATIONS--1983 TO 1985 3 07-Mar-03 FY 1983 FWYAL FY 1904 REQUEST FY 1985 REQUEST FY 1984 CR FY 1984 SUPPLEMENTAL FY 1984 TOTAL НАР FMS-TOT FNS-C ESF FMS ESF FMS ESF FMS-T MAP ESF HAP FMS FMS КАР FHS MAP ESF MAP ESF 383.3 290.5 3438.1 1986.5 3113.5 2967,3 5106.5 2949.0 747.0 2903.3 5716.3 259.1 0.0 5716.3 924.5 5100.0 S656.0 510.0 3193.8 769.1 TOTAL (NOTE: Egypt and Israel FMS numbers include loans as well as forgiven credits in FY 1983 and FY 1984.) 275 Senator SARBANES. The supplemental is in what amount? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The total supplemental is about $1 billion, but most of its is economic assistance. Senator SARBANES. How much of it is economic? Mr. SCHNEIDER. About the only military assistance in the supple- mental is the Central America request. Senator SARBANES. So that is $260 million in MAP? Mr. SCHNEIDER. $259 million. Senator SARBANES. And $290 million in ESF? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, $290 million in ESF. Senator SARBANES. What is the balance of it? Mr. SCHNEIDER. It is in the multilateral development banks, which is $319 million. Then we have smaller amounts in Public Law 480, title II, in the African food initiative, in AID operating expenses, in small supplemental requests, for the International Atomic Energy Agency of $3.6 million, and the foreign service re- tirement fund. Those are relatively small amounts. They are dominated by the Central America request and the MDB's. Senator SARBANES. And the military supplemental goes where? Mr. SCHNEIDER. To Central America. Senator SARBANES. In what amounts? Mr. SCHNEIDER. $259 million, of which $178.7 million is for El Salvador, $7.8 million is for Costa Rica, $37.5 million is for Hondu- ras, $10 million for Panama, and $25 million for the regional mili- tary training center. Senator SARBANES. Which is where? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Honduras. Senator SARBANES. What is the appropriation this year for the regional military training center? General GAST. There were none specifically for that. That came from the accounts of the assistance given to El Salvador and Hon- duras last year. Senator SARBANES. How much did that amount to? General GAST. It amounted to around $5 million, I believe, that has been spent for June to December 1983, primarily from fiscal year 1983 security assistance funding. But about $149,000 came from fiscal year 1981 Honduran FMS credit. Senator SARBANES. $5 million? General Gast. Yes, sir; for last year. Senator SARBANES. And you are now seeking $25 million in sup- plemental? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. Senator SARBANES. What is that for, this regional military train- ing center in Honduras? General GAST. Due to the interest, the very valid interest, shown by Congress last year on the various kinds of things that we were requesting for Central America, and because of the importance of training outside of El Salvador, we elected to group the funds ac- cording to what they were. We had in the regional military train- ing center training for El Salvadorans and Hondurans. But it has been a very poor arrangement, in the sense that we have tents out there. Well, it is quite all right for the people being trained in those conditions, but we need a bit more of a permanent 276 structure in there for the trainers. For example, the tents continue to rot out, so we need structures which are more permanent. Right now we are replacing tents only after a couple of classes. What we are trying to do is put up plain wooden structures with covers over them and screened sides. We also need a better firing range and so forth. For the ease of the Congress in keeping track of the expenditures associated with RMTC, we decided to wrap it up into one account. Senator SARBANES. But that would provide us, as it were, with a permanent training facility in Honduras. General Gast. Not for us so much as for the El Salvadorans, Hondurans, or whomever else from the region that might want to come to train there. It would belong to them. It would not be ours, but theirs. Senator SARBANES. Where is that going to be located in Hondu- ras? General GAST. Where the current one is located at Puerto Cas- tillo. Senator SARBANES. So the training center that is there, it is the intention now to make it a permanent training facility? General Gast. To permanentize it in the sense that we need addi- tional construction on the firing range and so forth. The instruc- tors there will not be ours. Exclusively. It will not be our equip- ment; it will be those of the various countries in the region that might train there. Senator SARBANES. But I see that you are asking for $25 million in the supplemental for the purposes of this permanent training fa- cility. General Gast. That also would include the cost of its operations, yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. And then $20 million in next year's budget, is that right? General Gast. Yes, sir. That is for completion of the construction and the cost of operating it. Senator SARBANES. You would expect that figure, then, to be an ongoing procedure in subsequent budgets? General GAST. We would hope that it would be reduced in the outyears, as we would for all of the program, if we received our re- quest for both 1984 and 1985. Senator SARBANES. As I understand it, it is to become a perma- nent training facility at about the level of $20 million or $25 mil- lion a year, is that correct? General GAST. Yes, sir; it will be a permanent facility, but we expect to have only operational and maintenance costs in future years. A lot of that would be costs associated with training and equipping the people that are trained there as well. The CHAIRMAN (presiding). Thank you very much, Senator Sar- banes. I appreciate your stepping in, but inasmuch as the floor may call me back-my amendment is being debated there right now-I will proceed as quickly as I can. Senator Kassebaum had wanted to be here at this hearing to ask you her questions directly, but she is not able to appear, and we will submit those to you for the record and keep the record open for your responses. 277 Secretary Schneider, I have seen reports that the administration may provide emergency military aid to El Salvador within the next few weeks. Is this so? If so, how much, and what authority is being used to provide such assistance? Are you concerned that it may have some adverse effect, if the amounts are substantial, on the deliberations and approval that we get from this committee for a delicately balanced package? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Mr. Chairman, we are monitoring the situation in El Salvador. You may recall that when the continuing resolution was passed last November, there was an expectation that the Kis- singer Commission report would be made in January and a supple- mental request would be submitted soon thereafter, which is what has been done. But it appears that congressional action will be delayed, probably until July or August, on the supplemental. Unfortunately, the con- tinuing resolution provided only about 50 percent of our fiscal year 1984 request, on the reasonable expectation that there would be a fiscal year 1984 supplemental. Because the supplemental will be long delayed in terms of con- gressional action, it creates a potential problem of the supply of combat consumables in El Salvador. We are monitoring the situa- tion, but no decision has been made about whether funding should be requested, and if so what vehicles should be used to make such a request. Existing law does have authority in it for emergency use under some circumstances, and those are at least legally feasible routes for providing funding, but they are not the only means, and we are looking into the entire situation, trying to establish what the re- quirement is, when it would emerge. And all of this would be done, if it is done at all, in the context of full consultation with the Con- gress. The CHAIRMAN. Inasmuch as no decision has been made, could we have your assurance, as you approach the time that a decision may be made, that there could be consultation with this committee so that we could advise you of the consequences it may have here on an ongoing very important program? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes, you can be sure we will have full consulta- tion. The CHAIRMAN. We appreciate that very much. General Gast, I wonder if you could give us the military situation and what may warrant or justify such emergency military assist- ance that exists right now. General Gast. Yes, Mr. Chairman. The problem that we have today in El Salvador is one of countering the insurgents, which if anything, are gaining strength, by assisting the El Salvadoran Armed Forces with a major realinement of command and control. We are attempting to do this, by bringing leadership in retraining. This means we must take people out of the field if not out of the country in order to train them to be more effective. Obtaining the funds to meet the high costs, the reasonably high costs of retraining and equipping newly created units, is one of great concern to us; and with the upcoming elections there is a psy- chological effect, of course, of being able to demonstrate to the 278 GOES that they will receive ammunition and training in a depend- able and timely fashion. As a result of this realignment, restaffing, selection of new com- manders, and general decentralization of control, the Salvadorans are making considerable progress in improving their ability to re- spond. I think this has resulted in increased effectiveness and con- fidence on their part, although they continue to have setbacks. The financing that we have been able to provide over the last year or two has given them a modest capability. The question now, as a result of the work that they have done, is whether we will be able, working with Congress and others, to insure these resources continue. I think that their test is going to come in the March time period and immediately afterward. In order to assure the security of the elections they are going to be forced to divert a lot of their assets. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. Mr. McPherson, I do not know of anything that would under- mine American support faster and erode it for economic assistance for Central America than the kind of reports that have been coming out now about waste, duplication, corruption, siphoning off of funds, and so forth. We went through a period of remarkable American support, public support for the Marshall plan. I am sure there was some waste in the program someplace, but it was for the most quite effi- ciently and effectively utilized. It was not a matter of headlines day after day as it was used. It was put to good use. I trust that the countries of Latin America, particularly El Sal- vador, will get a strong signal from us that they are really betray- ing the trust, not only of the American people and their own people, but the possibility of continuing these programs, unless they clean up their act and do something about it. And we have to focus much more attention on it, I am afraid. In the view of many experts, controls over the U.S. cash transfers in Central America have been very weak. What is going to be re- quired of us and the recipient govenments by way of institutions and trained manpower to insure that the $3.1 billion planned for economic stabilization in Central America will not be mismanaged, misused, or diverted? Mr. McPHERSON. Mr. Chairman, I think those reporters who have in recent times gone into some of these matters have funda- mentally misunderstood the situation. For many years, the U.S. Government has provided balance of payments support to countries such as Israel, Jamaica, Liberia, and many others. For some 15 countries right now, in fact, we provide balance of payments of one type or another. What the reports have suggested is that when you have a bal- ance of payments program you should know precisely what goods the moneys that you provide to a country purchase. It would be as if we would suggest that the IMF in their structural readjustment programs—when they supply moneys for such an effort-would know exactly where those moneys go. It really astonished me, frankly, that various people, some of whom are reasonably sophisticated, tried to characterize this as a situation of not knowing where the money goes. It is just the 279 nature of the tool—the balance of payments program-not to at- tempt to require a precise record of what is purchased. To do so would move in the direction of a projectized or commodity pur- chase effort, and that would make the money much more slowly disbursing Frankly, it almost seems as if those who first got involved in looking at this situation wished almost to find problems. I think in the last 2 weeks, however, that we have broadly persuaded people that to do as was first suggested would be to eliminate a very im- portant tool of U.S. foreign policy and economic development. It would be almost as if we were going to try to limit the type of ap- proach used by the IMF altogether. Now, having said that, there obviously in an ongoing effort to strengthen these programs in the countries where we have them. We need to make sure, for example, that the price-checking unit in the El Salvador Central Bank is a strong one. The bank there asked the Arthur Young firm-and we paid for it-to make a study of how to strengthen that bank. Their recommendations are to do several things and the bank is in the process of doing them. We are working with them and we think that needs to be completed. We will address some of the concerns, some of the really legiti- mate concerns involved here. Other reports have been done on pro- grams in Honduras, Costa Rica, and so forth. In every case, the re- ports were provided by the Inspector General of AID at the request of the mission and the government; it included going in and look- ing at programs and making recommendations. We then follow up on those recommendations and close them upon completion. In short, I believe that this program is largely one that is doing what it is supposed to, but there is always room for improvement and strengthening and we are doing that accordingly. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you. Secretary Kirk, the administration wants to increase conces- sional military assistance at a time when it proposes reductions for programs such as the U.N. Development Program and the U.N. Children's Fund and the World Bank. Why are those programs pro- posed for a reduction? Mr. KIRK. Our requests for those programs, Senator, are largely the same as our request for those programs last year, albeit a re- duction from the amount that was appropriated for them for this year. It is our feeling that the amounts we have requested, given our overall problems of need for fiscal and budgetary restraint, are sufficient to enable us to maintain a position of leadership in those organizations and in the multinational field. We feel that our requests, in a very tight budgetary and fiscal situation, are sufficient to do the minimum that needs to be done by those organizations. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. McPherson, you mentioned your strong sup- port for the private voluntary organizations and the channeling of funds through them for the most effective expenditure of those funds. Could you discuss the measures which have been taken by AID to implement the Pell-Percy amendment requiring a minimum of 12 percent and a target of 16-percent, of AID's budget to be channeled through PVO's? 280 Mr. McPHERSON. In fiscal year 1983, Mr. Chairman, we have pro- vided some 13 percent of our assistance through PVO's. In fiscal year 1984, it will be some 14 percent. In fiscal year 1985 we project roughly 14.3 percent. We continue to work at this and, among other things, we are exploring the possibility of broadening the use of PVO's in the family planning area. When you take away the loan money, and of course you do not make any loans through PVO's, you have some 18 percent of the grant money that is, in fact, going through PVO's. That is not what the amendment refers to, so I am not suggesting that we have reached the 16-percent goal of the statute. But, pursuant to your wishes and the law, we continue to work at this. The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Schneider, the Greek Government be- lieves that the administration promised them concessional military aid as a part of the base agreement. Let me just read from the U.S. letter associated with the agreement, which states that it is the in- tention of the United States "to make available such financing on terms particularly favorable to Greece." What is your interpretation of that promise that we have made to Greece? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The promise that we made to Greece was to pro- vide the most favorable terms that were made available to other security assistance recipients, but not those that were offered to the poorer countries. What we have provided in the increase in the security assistance program for Greece, which went from $280 mil- lion to $500 million annually, is that. We offered the terms extended on a basis of 10 and 20. That is, a 10-year grace period with 20 years to repay. That is the most favor- able credit term that we offer apart from those that are offered on purely economic criteria to poor countries. The CHAIRMAN. General Gast, I wonder if you could assess for us the strategic importance of Greece and of Turkey to the NATO alli- ance and to U.S. interests in the Middle East. General Gast. I would like to address each independently, be- cause I think one should look at it independently. Of course, the importance of each of them is in the strategic location, on the southern flank of NATO. We have important strategic interests, not only in shoring up that particular region against a Soviet threat, but also in maintaining the security of our sea lines of com- munication in the Mediterranean, for just to the south lies that vast land mass, with its people and resources that are critical to our national interests. Much of their resources must come through the Mediterranean to reach us. In looking at the situation in Greece, we have acknowledged in the context of our recently concluded base rights agreement that there is considerable modernization required. We look upon them to carry out their role in the southern flank of NATO through the acquisition of modern aircraft for their air force and improvements in their navy as well as their army. The Greeks are now considering the purchase of tanks for their army. They are looking at their navy to see what they might do to upgrade them, and they are making some progress, but as of yet have not made a determination, as you know, as to the type and 281 number of aircraft they wish to procure, and how many, if any, from the United States. We feel that the level of $500 million plus whatever national funds that they might wish to contribute themselves is certainly well justified for defense of their northern border and for partici- pating in the NATO arena. They are a country that has mountain- ous terrain and a good bit is required to defend from the north. When one looks at Turkey, one sees similarities in the sense that Turkey has a very important role in NATO. There are some 1,500 miles from its far eastern border with the Soviet Union right on up through Bulgaria, if one includes the Black Sea, which of course is accessible to the Soviet Union. And of course there are extensive mileages on its south where it has not too friendly neighbors today, but where it has reached an accommodation, at least for the time being. We looked upon Turkey's location not only from the NATO aspect, but, if one looks at the map, as a potential land passage for a Soviet thrust toward the Persian Gulf or the Arabian Gulf. De- pending upon your approach to things, Turkey could play an im- portant role as a deterrent to such action or as a blocking force should deterrence fail. No one can speak for Turkey as to what they might do in that regard, but obviously a strong Turkey serves not only our interest as a deterrent in NATO, but also as a deterrent against any mis- chief or adventurism that the Soviets might be contemplating in the Persian Gulf. Neither the size nor the terrain of either of the countries can really be compared, nor can their mission, except to say that both of them are very important to us, and both are very important to NATO. We believe that the funds that are in the legislation before you and the need for those funds are well justified. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. I am very pleased that Senator Helms is here and can stay on. That would enable me to complete my questions and go back to the Senator floor to work on my amendment. You can concisely answer these and we will leave the record open for you to expand upon any points that you would like to. With respect to the Middle East, Mr. McPherson, could you com- ment on Egypt's request for cash grant economic aid? Is it feasible to earmark a portion of economic aid to Egypt for a targeted cash grant in which the Egyptian Government would agree in advance to use the U.S. dollars for particular development purposes? Mr. McPHERSON. We have before Congress a reprograming re- quest, a deobligation/reobligation request, for some $103 million. That came largely because of the political relationship between Egypt and the United States and stems from a visit by President Mubarak here several months ago. In this case, it might be feasible to agree to a general area or a general type of activity that the money might be used for. Several committees of Congress, including this one, have ex- pressed some concerns. I would like to emphasize that the $103 mil- lion reprograming-reobligation, to use the technical term-is not being requested because of economic reforms that the Egyptians 34-045 0484—19 282 had undertaken but, rather, because of the political relationship between our two countries, stemming from Camp David. Now, as to a portion of the fiscal year 1985 funds becoming a kind of cash transfer, we would really be against that because we think that, to the extent possible, we need to have economic reform in Egypt. During the 3 years that I have had this job, I have seen a marked change in attitude by the Egyptian leadership as to the im- portance of economic reform. And, the first small steps have been taken, but no really large economic reforms have yet been under- taken. We have argued from the beginning with Egypt that, if those programs seriously begin, then we could begin to move into faster disbursing types of assistance. I think, however, that your question is largely directed at the $103 million proposal before Congress at this time. In this case, it might well be possible to structure it so that we essentially knew what the money was going to be going for, but the assistance re- mained in the form of cash. We are anxious to work with the Con- gress and with the Egyptian Government to do something of mutual satisfaction. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you. General Gast, could you concisely give us what you believe to be the U.S. naval bombardment/security assistance role in Lebanon today, given the rapid change in the political situation? General Gast. Mr. Chairman, I will really have to plead igno- rance on that. I am not updated on that particular aspect, and I would like to provide that for the record if I may. I do not see a relationship between security assistance and what we have provid- ed, and I am just unable to comment on that. I regret that very much. The CHAIRMAN. What I am trying better to understand, since we just pulled out our own forces there, the justification of yesterday's naval bombardment in Lebanon. General Gast. I am sorry, I cannot answer that. Mr. SCHNEIDER. I am sorry, Mr. Chairman. I do not have any- thing to add to that. We will get an answer for you during the day. I will call you with it if necessary. The CHAIRMAN. I would appreciate it. The material referred to follows:) JUSTIFICATION FOR U.S. NAVAL BOMBARDMENT As the President has made clear, the United States continues to be a member of the Multinational Force in Lebanon. Even though the redeployments announced by the President on February 7 have been completed, various U.S. personnel remain in the Beirut area and on ships offshore. They need to be protected. U.S. reconnaissance flights assist in ensuring the safety of these personnel, as well as that of our naval units stationed off Lebanon. These flights have been fired on in recent days. Moreover, long-range artillery shelling of Beirut from Syrian-con- trolled areas of Lebanon obviously endangers those U.S. personnel who live and are stationed in various parts of the city, as well as our diplomatic facilities, whether or not they are the specific targets of an attack. Our Ambassador's residence has been shelled and taken direct hits. The President's directive authorizes the commander in the area to make an in- formed judgment as to when responsive fire is necessary to meet these threats. We believe this is consistent with Congress' intent and essential to ensure the welfare of our people in Beirut. 283 The CHAIRMAN. Mr. McPherson, let me go back to the subject of development programs just once more. The administration has not specifically identified the recipients of its economic policy initia- tives for Africa. We have discussed that somewhat. What will be the criteria for countries receiving this aid and how will this pro- gram be used to complement short-term efforts to stop starvation in Africa? Mr. McPHERSON. The starvation in Africa today has as its imme- diate cause the drought. But it is noteworthy that those countries which have pursued weak economic policies are perhaps particular- ly vulnerable to the drought. So, you cannot really look at the short term without realizing that there is also a long-term need. Fundamentally, what is involved is that countries need to allow their farmers to get market rates, or at least near-market rates, for the goods they produce. So what this economic initiative does--and frankly, I think it is especially exciting, and it is being well re- ceived by our allies, the other donors, the World Bank, et cetera- is to say we will give money programed or not in various ways, to countries that make major policy changes, at least primarily in ag- riculture. Policy problems will probably focus around two areas: Prices paid to farmers and government marketing boards that mo- nopolize and smother farm production and marketing. We do not have a set criteria, just because the situation is not such that you can really decide that criteria carefully in advance. But, we expect to consult with Congress as the program goes for- ward. The CHAIRMAN. We have a vote on the floor. We are just going to try to figure out in what order we will go over to vote. [Pause.] The CHAIRMAN. Senator Helms will go over to cast his vote, and by the time he returns I will be finished here. So this way we will not lose any of your time. Thank you very much. Senator Helms. Secretary Schneider, on arms transfer policy, the President's 1981 conventional arms transfer policy states that we will not en- courage allied and friendly nations “to assume burdens for which their economies are ill prepared.” What we are finding, however, is that military debt is becoming an increasing problem for our allies, and we all know that. We are all deeply concerned about the grow- ing size of that debt. Part of the problem is that advanced fighter aircraft is very expensive and often has a greater capacity than friendly countries need What is in mind? How do you assess the future of the FX, the F- 20, and the F-16/79? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Mr. Chairman, the first part of your question, about the impact of military debt, this is indeed something we are very concerned with as well, and it was this concern that animated the budget proposals that we have made to you this year. The Department of State did an internal study of trying to get a good understanding of the current shape of the foreign debt prob- lem in the countries with whom we have a security assistance rela- tionship. The short summary of that effort showed that there are only two countries for whom military debt is a predominant compo- nent of their international debt, that is, Israel and Egypt. 284 There are other countries that have very serious debt problems, in some cases overwhelming debt problems, but it is not the conse- quence to a major extent of their military debt. Nevertheless, we are concerned about even adding in small ways to the debt burden, and this is why we have gone, or at least in part why we have gone, to this proposal of moving the off-budget loans on-budget, so that we could provide some concessional assistance. With respect to the fighter aircraft policy, in the first instance we have a policy of offering for sale abroad U.S. military equip- ment that supports U.S. foreign policy. These sales are made not for commercial purposes, although if we were doing so for commer- cial purposes our sales could be much greater than is currently the case. We have policies in the world that are directed to supplying friendly countries with the aircraft that is appropriate to their ability to absorb it, their economic ability to cope not only with the acquisition of it but the operating cost as well, and to be compati- ble with the threat in the region. And the sales of the advanced aircraft that we have made to date I think reflect that policy. The CHAIRMAN. Secretary Schneider, we were debating over on the floor a little earlier the perceived problems that we have in the Philippines now. Do you think that the U.S. aid program to the Philippines is perceived as U.S. support for President Marcos, rather than the Philippine people? What should be done to encourage President Marcos to ensure that the upcoming elections are actually or are at least perceived to be free, fair, and open? Mr. SCHNEIDER. In the first instance, our assistance program to the Philippines is mainly tied to a matter of crucial national im- portance to us, namely access to the facilities in the Philippines for our armed forces, Subic Bay and Clark Field. These are principally what has animated our assistance program to the Philippines. We provide a variety of types of assistance, including economic assistance as well as assistance to the Philippine armed forces. We think that the longstanding association we have had with the Phil- ippines and our encouragement of the diplomatic processes, and indeed our participation in efforts to achieve that end, are well un- derstood by the Philippine people, and we expect this perception to be continued. The CHAIRMAN. I will have to recess this hearing for just a few minutes, until Senator Helms returns. Senator SABARNES. Mr. Chairman, may I ask a couple of ques- tions? The CHAIRMAN. Have you voted already? Senator SARBANES. No. The CHAIRMAN. Why do you not go right ahead, then, and vote? Senator Helms is coming right back. I have to go and protect my side of the floor on Dixon's and my amendment right now. Thank you very much. I will submit the balance of my questions to you for answering in the record. Thank you. Senator SARBANES (presiding]. Secretary Schneider, would you agree that once we give a country ESF or MAP, or any assistance, it is extremely difficult to lower that amount or to eliminate it, be- cause that is always taken as a signal; and that it is hard to do 285 that related to objective factors, because it is always taken as a signal of diminishing U.S. friendship or commitment or support? Would you not say that is generally the perception? Mr. SCHNEIDER. That is frequently the case, but we can cite cases in our own budget requests, say for Turkey, where we have dimin- ished our ESF request over time because of the ability of Turkey to cope with its economic assistance. Senator SARBANES. Actually you are asking for an increase there over what is currently being provided. Mr. SCHNEIDER. But a decrease from the request that we had made. That is the benchmark against which the recipient govern- ments tend to calibrate American foreign policy. Senator SARBANES. Recognizing that, I am looking here at Dji- bouti. You went from $3 million to $3.5 million in ESF. What is the rationale for that? Mr. SCHNEIDER. First, we have a security interest in Djibouti owing to its location on the Red Sea and as a consequence astride an important sea line of communication. Second, the economic circumstances that Djibouti faced in the past couple of years owing to the worldwide recession has made it desirable, in order to support our security assistance there, that we provide a modest increase in assistance to their local economy. Senator SARBANES. So we have just ratcheted in another million for them, half a million in ESF and half a million in MAP right? Mr. SCHNEIDER. Yes. Senator SARBANES. What about Niger? You are taking them from $5 million to $7 million in ESF and $2 million to $5 million on MAP. So we are ratcheting another $5 million for Niger, is that right? Mr. SCHNEIDER. The autopilot analogy that you seem to be using, as you call it the ratcheting in, I think tends to overlook the securi- ty interest that has arisen in this area. As you recall, last year the Libyan forces invaded Chad and have posed a direct threat to neighboring countries. Rather than face the circumstance that we faced in Chad, with the subsequent military and political turmoil associated with the Libyan invasion, the prospects of a modest amount of economic and military assistance that we have proposed providing in fiscal year 1985 may tend to suppress that. Senator SARBANES. What about the $2 million, then, that the Seychelles are getting? Mr. SCHNEIDER. In the case of the Seychelles, there are a couple of issues there. First, it is an area where the Soviets have shown considerable interest and in fact have deployed naval vessels from time to time. Second, we have the benefit of a potentially useful relationship with the government in power there. The possibility that the Sovi- ets might exploit opportunities to win a high order of influence that could be used as a base to link up through the coupling of maritime, air, and submarine presence in that region of the world could pose a grave threat to the sea lines of communication from the Persian Gulf southward through the Indian Ocean to Western Europe. 286 Senator SARBANES. Do you know how many countries are receiv- ing ESF? Mr. SCHNEIDER. I would have to check. Senator SARBANES. I have to go and vote, and I cannot wait for you to do the count again, as we did before for the 47 or 48 getting military. But if you could let us have that for the record, I would appreciate it. The material referred to follows: COUNTRIES RECEIVING ESF Chad .. In fiscal year 1985, 37 countries will receive ESF. We also propose to provide ESF to six regional programs. The attached table lists the countries which will receive ESF assistance in fiscal year 1985. Economic Support Fund-fiscal year 1985 (in thousands of dollars) Region/country Proposed Africa: Botswana 10,000 10,000 Djibouti ... 3,500 Kenya ....... 55,000 Liberia....... 45,000 Mauritius.... 2,000 Niger 7,000 Senegal......... 15,000 Seychelles ...... 2,000 Somalia 35,000 Sudan 120,000 Zaire ...... 15,000 Zambia 20,000 Zimbabwe 15,000 Southern Africa regional .... 37,000 Subtotal..... 391,500 Asia: Pakistan....... Philippines Thailand ... Subtotal ... 200,000 95,000 5,000 300,000 Latin America and Caribbean: Belize....... Costa Rica....... Dominican Republic ...... El Salvador... Guatemala........ Haiti ...... Honduras.. Jamaica..... Panama. Caribbean regional LAC regional Central America regional (ROCAP) 4,000 160,000 45,000 210,000 35,000 5,000 75,000 70,000 20,000 20,000 2,000 136,600 Subtotal........ 782,600 Near East: Cyprus.. Egypt.. Israel Jordan Lebanon Morocco.. 3,000 750,000 850,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 287 Oman..... Portugal Spain Tunisia ..... Turkey Middle East regional 20,000 80,000 12,000 3,000 175,000 15,000 Subtotal... 1,963,000 Other: Oceanographic research 1,000 Subtotal......... 1,000 Total .... 3,438,100 Senator SARBANES. I would just close with this observation. I think you are the closest thing we have in our Government to Father Christmas. How does it feel being able to sit there and dis- pense these moneys in military and economic aid and military grant, concessional or straight terms? There must be well in excess of 50 countries. Mr. SCHNEIDER. Actually it is depressing, because Mr. McPherson in AID is able to dispense assistance to 61 countries and I have about half that number in the security assistance arena or two- thirds that number. The fact is, the United States has worldwide interests, and the notion of employing various instruments of foreign policy, includ- ing foreign assistance, to help advance those interests is the reason why we seek a consensus with the Congress about the level of re- sources that we should extend. Senator SARBANES. I understand all that. But the thing I do not see reflected here is any effort to exercise restraint. I do not see any judgments being made to move things in some instances up and in other instances down. They only seem to go in one direction, and that is up. You have a 10-percent increase in the overall budget, an 80-per- cent increase in military grant, a 20-percent increase in ESF, at a time when we are confronting other budgetary fights in the Con- gress involving our own people where we are told, well, they cannot be any increase or in fact there is going to be a cut, or you are going to get a 2-percent increase and you ought to be thankful for that. I do not see any of that attitude reflected here. I will put the committee in recess until Senator Helms returns. [Recess.] Senator HELMS [presiding.] The committee will come to order, such as it is. Hello again, gentlemen. It is good to see you. We will conclude this hearing as rapidly as possible. Mr. McPherson, what is the amount called for for Zimbabwe? Is it $15 million? Mr. McPHERSON. It is $30 million-$15 million ESF and $15 mil- lion DA. Senator HELMS. It is $15 million for ESF. Mr. McPHERSON. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. I believe it was $40 million in 1984. Mr. McPHERSON. That is correct. Senator HELMS. What was it in 1983? Mr. McPHERSON. $75 million. 288 Senator HELMS. $75 million? Mr. McPHERSON. You will remember that we asked Congress for $75 million in 1984. Congress gave us something less than the total budget we had requested, and Zimbabwe was an adjustment to that budget. There were a number of factors, as you recall from various accounts, that entered into the consideration of that adjustment. Senator HELMS. Now our Ambassador, Mr. Keely, according to information provided me by staff, was quoted in the African press not long ago to the effect that the recent cuts in aid to Zimbabwe were not the result of any dissatisfaction with the situation in Zim- babwe but, as he put it, were due entirely to fiscal restraints in the United States. I think I am quoting him exactly. In all seriousness, Mr. McPherson, are we satisfied with the situ- ation in Zimbabwe? Mr. McPHERSON. In terms of the level of assistance, I believe the Secretary of State has commented that we have an overall relation- ship with the Zimbabwe Government and, in that relationship, we have had concerns about votes at the United Nations and other fora, and those were taken into consideration as we moved forward in our relationship. I do not remember exactly what the Ambassador said, but I do recall that the Secretary of State made comments along the lines that I just reviewed. There are both some positive things and some things that we are interested in improving in Zimbabwe. Some things are positive in the sense that, for example, elemen- tary education is doubling almost every year and agricultural pro- duction is being worked on in a number of ways. In some ways ag- ricultural policies, the types of price policies that I was talking about earlier, are better in Zimbabwe than thay are in a number of other countries. But we are concerned about some other matters as well. We have some concern about human rights. We have concerns about the democratic process. These are issues that we talk about with the Zimbabwe Government, and as does the British Government, I might add. Senator HELMS. Let us pinpoint things a little bit there. There are at least four prominent political leaders in Zimbabwe in addi- tion to Mugabe. Mr. Mugabe has declared that he wants a one- party state. Are we satisfied with that? Mr. McPHERSON. We think that a pluralistic political system is the route the government should pursue. Senator HELMS. Now one of the four, Mr. Nkomo, was forced into exile at a time when thousands of his people were being killed by Mugabe's security forces. I am surely not satisfied about that. Mr. Sithole is now in exile in London, unless he has gone home in the last 24 hours. He has not gone home because he knows what will happen when he gets home. And Mr. Smith, who was here in Washington about 1 year ago was harassed and searched and placed under house arrest when he returned. A very fine gentleman whom I know personally-a Methodist bishop who was converted to Christianity by a lady who is now re- tired in North Carolina and who was taught English by this lady, former Prime Minister Muzorewa, has been under arrest without charges for months. 289 Now in all seriousness do these actions by the Mugabe govern- ment fall into line in the spirit of the Lancaster House Agree- ments? Mr. McPHERSON. I think it is important for me, as a non-State Department person, not to get too far into commenting upon some of these issues. But, just let me say again that we see some positive things in Zimbabwe. I mentioned some of them. We see some roles in Zimbabwe in terms of the whole southern African political situation. At the same time, we clearly have some concerns and I know we continue to pursue those concerns, and you certainly have put your finger on a number of issues that America should and must be concerned about. Senator HELMS. The point is this—and I do not mean to cut you off-Mugabe is an acknowledged Marxist. Now I have been sitting here trying to imagine what the reaction of the U.S. press and radio, and television would be if these conditions were to exist in an anti-Communist country-for example, El Salvador. I could just see the headlines in the New York Times and the Washington Post and all the rest, and CBS would be crying croco- dile tears and so forth, but nobody is worried about these guys. I think it is a fair question to ask why we are sending any money at all over there until they get their act straight. I probably feel personally about it because I know Muzorewa, and I think he was treated unconscionably by this government. He was elected and look what happened to him. Let me move now to our own hemisphere. In the report of the Kissinger Commission the theme of the private sector development is repeatedly invoked, and this theme has been rather constant in the rhetoric of the administration. I want to address its role in AID programs in Central America. According to information available to me in country after coun- try, Central America AID officers, including those responsible for economic development in the private sector, profess profound unfa- miliarity with economists who espouse the free market approach to development. I read a report the other day that indicated that many of the AID people will say they never even heard of Milton Friedman. Some of them say they have read about him, but they never read any of his works nor are they familiar with the works of Peter Bauer, Melvin Krauss, Michael Novak, who was right here before this committee not long ago, nor George Gilder. Without being adversarial, how do you go about teaching your people about the spirit of the free market system that the Presi- dent of the United States is identified with? Mr. McPHERSON. Mr. Chairman, my people in Washington and the field, I suppose, are not so much economic philosophers as they are practical practitioner types. And I believe, as we work through our programs, that the concepts of many of those men that you have just mentioned are in fact in practice. I happened to have Peter Bauer in to talk to my senior staff a few months ago to make sure, in that case, that they were exposed to some of Dr. Bauer's thinking. But I would point to the private enterprise policy papers-actually there have been two of them- 290 that have been drawn up by AID in the last couple of years and distributed as guidelines, as policies for our program to follow. I think that we just recently are in the final process of going through putting together our regional strategy paper for each part of the world, including Latin America, and that policy paper for Central America rests very substantially upon private enterprise. I think it is fair to say that AID provided much of the analysis and the backup for the economic side of the Kissinger Commission report and, as you have just suggested, our thoughts and ideas are reflected there, where again and again they talk about private en- terprise. We think that this emphasis in the Caribbean Basin Initi- ative (CBI) essentially means you satisfy basic human needs by giving people an opportunity for income, by providing jobs, real jobs, as a critical component of progress in Central America. A substantial portion of the money going to the Central America Initiative, in fact, will go for balance of payments, which will be used for imports for businesses, whether it be fertilizer, machinery parts, or whatever. I think, Senator, that in fact our efforts in Hon- duras, Costa Rica, and El Salvador have a very, very private sector orientation to them. Take Honduras. Now, we say to Honduras they have to reform their exchange rate before we can disburse. They have to come to an agreement, more or less, with the IMF before we can disburse the remainder of our 1983 moneys. That exchange rate is a critical component of exports and growth. I honestly think, Senator, that your staff—which I know has been very interested in this is not fully informed about the in- depth private sector orientation in which our programs are operat- ing. My people may not always use exactly the right terms, but the substance of those programs is that we have to export, and exports are done by the private sector. We also have to pay farmers more. As a result, market prices, market forces, will bring about economic growth in Central Amer- ica. Senator HELMS. Now you are saying that, Mr. McPherson, but what do your people on the ground say? Do they ever do any mis- sionary work about the land reform program? I know that this Government is thrusting upon El Salvador a so-called land reform program that if it were implemented in North Carolina, Texas, or Virginia or any other State, blood would run in the streets in those States as well. I know jolly well in eastern North Carolina if you start taking one man's land and giving it to somebody else you will have vio- lence. Now maybe my staff assistance has not been up to par, as you suggest it has not, but the best way to prove that a stick is crooked is to lay a straight one beside it. I would just like for you to tell me what your people are doing as missionaries for the free enterprise system which Ronald Reagan represents and which he was elected on. Mr. McPHERSON. Well, we can talk about the region as a whole and, as I was suggesting a moment ago, the thrust of what we are trying to do is to create private enterprise jobs. That is the center- piece of our proposal for economic growth in Central America. 291 We suggest that there are 250,000 new jobs that are necessary every year in Central America, and there is no way to get those but by utilizing programs such as the CBI and getting jobs going. You have to have exchange rate reform and you have to make a number of other moves which will at least make exporting neutral and not impose a tax on it. If you talk to my mission directors one by one in Honduras, Costa Rica and so forth, I know that you will find that that is what they believe. Curt Winsor, a man known to you, for example, the Ambassador to Costa Rica, was in to see me yesterday, telling me what an outstanding mission director we had there, that he was promoting private enterprise and how strongly he felt about it. And your people might want to talk to Curt, because I know he is a man known to you. Let us talk about land reform in El Salvador. I have seen land reform-and I realize that we have not always seen it in exactly the same way, and I certainly respect that view—but we have seen land reform as a means, as a fundamental tool, to combat the in- surgent movement in El Salvador. And, in fact it has been a very critical tool for addressing some 500,000 people and 20 percent of the land, and it has effectively worked for that purpose. Now I would ask you, Senator, to think carefully about what I am now arguing. I would suggest that land reform has come along far enough so that it is time to look at some efforts to strengthen it. At first, in some ways, it was almost a political movement or force, but, as I suggested to the President of El Salvador a few months ago and as we are continuing to discuss with the El Sal- vador Government-there are some things that need to be looked at. I think that over a period of time you have to be able to sell land. The peasant has to be able to sell land to another peasant without holding it for 30 years, as the current rule would require. I would suggest that the cooperatives need to have title to their land, instead of being effectively owned by the government. And, when cooperatives begin to be owned by the peasants, history shows that there begins to be all kinds of things that happen, there is much more of a private sector kind of structure. Right now if a peasant dies who holds title III land, it can be inherited by his heirs; but, sale of the land cannot take place until the mortgage is paid off. Senator HELMS. It is a farce. Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, I do not think it is a farce. I think the central theme of changing the social and economic structure of El Salvador has been substantially achieved and these improvements, these strengthenings, are necessary and I believe the El Salvador Government will move toward them. I think what we want to do is strengthen a structure that has been very important in the history of that country, and very impor- tant, Senator, as a deterrent against the insurgents. I would sug- gest that if we had not had land reform that we would be in much deeper trouble. The land reform, almost more than anything we have done in El Salvador, has been the spokesman for an American foreign policy that is perceived as truly wanting reform, in the minds of the El 292 Salvadoran people. I think that that has been a very important purpose. Senator HELMS. Well, you are doing the best you can with what you have in terms of your argument. Almost thou persuades me, but not quite.. Aside from that, let us look at the arithmetic of it. Is agriculture production up or down in El Salvador? Mr. McPHERSON. Are you talking about in the land reform areas? Senator HELMS. Yes. Is it down, is it not? Mr. McPHERSON. It is down, but it is down in all areas. It is down in both land reform areas and other areas. It is down because, frankly, there is a lot of combat, particularly in the East. Whole areas of the East are not being cultivated. There is a suggestion—the Checci consulting firm's report, which has been thought to have done a good job by a lot of people that production, except for cotton and in some places sugar, on an acre- by-acre basis where cultivation was taking place under title I land, it was a bit higher than it was pre-reform. Now I am not going to try to say that that is absolutely the case, but I think that production has not fallen, that it has more or less stayed stable-unlike, for example, in Bolivia in the 1950's, where there was a land reform and a massive fall in production. In this case, we went in with credit and agricultural extension help that has improved production so that it has been better than what the historical precedent was. I think, Senator, that you and I would basically see things in a similar fashion. We need to take advantage of individual initiative, individual motivation, to strengthen agricultural production. I grew up on a farm. I know what it means to own your own land and be able to obtain gains by working hard and I also know that we have not yet fully released, under the current structure in El Salvador, the forces of motivation. Senator HELMS. What if your father had died and somebody had taken away your land and given it to somebody down the road? Mr. McPHERSON. Oh, my people hold their land dear; there is no question. Senator HELMS. The nationalization of the export system, is that good? Is that what we want to advocate? Is that what AID thinks is a good thing to sell in terms of the free enterprise system? Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, the expropriation of the coffee market- ing board and the banking system were done before we got there. Senator HELMS. I understand that. Mr. McPHERSON. We have never endorsed that. Senator HELMS. OK. Mr. McPHERSON. We have never endorsed that. In fact, Senator, earlier you perhaps heard me comment on the Africa policy initia- tive, and I said that one of the principal things we need to do in Africa is help these countries dismantle their State marketing sys- tems. I think, Senator, that probably the key change that I have made in AID since I have been here is to say that the policies, programs and budgets of recipient countries are more important than the 293 level of assistance. That is what Krauss argues, for example. That is what a lot of people argue. The facts are that we are putting emphasis upon policy changes in these countries as has never been done before at AID. You will not agree with everything we have done, but I would like very much an opportunity to talk to you country-by-country. For example, we think Tanzania is a good country and that they play an important role in that part of the world; but the facts are that they are not making the policy changes we feel are necessary and, therefore, see a very modest program in Tanzania. Senator HELMS. All right. We have been up and down this road personally and privately a number of times. Mr. MCPHERSON. I would like to do it again, Senator, because I think I have a good picture to show you. Senator HELMS. Well, I think you perceive the point that I am trying to make, which is now we have talked about the confiscation of land and that is what it is. We have talked about the national- ization of the exports, and you say well, we have not had anything to do with that. We have talked about the nationalization of banks. Do you think the sitting President of the United States favors this kind of governmental action as a matter of philosophy? Mr. McPHERSON. I think the President of the United States thinks that it is very important to stop the foreign-armed insurgen- cy in El Salvador, and I think that he sees land reform as an im- portant tool in that effort. Now I am sure that if he had the oppor- tunity and the time to look at it carefully in the depth that I know you have that he would have some concerns. Senator HELMS. Precisely the point I was going to make. Mr. McPHERSON. He would have concerns about being able to sell land, land inherited by your children. He would have concerns of a nature that I was expressing to you earlier and that I, in fact, have expressed to the President of El Salvador. Senator HELMS. Now here is the point I was going to make, Pete. How can we expect a President, any President-Democrat or Re- publican-to make a responsible judgment if the people on the ground doling out the money do not say to the President look, here is what is going on and this is, in the case of Ronald Reagan, for- eign to everything that you have ever stood for. And my understanding is-and correct me if I am wrong-that there has never been one scintilla of a suggestion by any of your people through you or by you in that regard. Now, of course, if he gets the pablum that we believe in this and we believe in that and land reform is working—which it isn't then those ships pass in the night because he has 10,000 things to worry about. But what I am asking you is do you not feel some re- sponsibility to have a fire drill among your people and say look, this is the policy of the President of the United States and we ought to adhere to it in our advocacy, both there and here? You do not feel any obligation in that regard? Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, you know I do. You know that, in fact, what I am really saying is that I think the President's program and policy in El Salvador is to prevent and work against the insur- gency that has formed, and I think-and I believe a lot of people think-that land reform has been an important part of that. 294 Now the question is how do we strengthen land reform. I do not mean turn it upside down; I mean strengthen it so as to take ad- vantage of the motivation that every man and woman has when they can gain something of their own. As I suggest, that is the kind of thing that I have talked to the President of El Salvador about, and I think if you had been sitting in that room when I argued the case about how we have to look at how long a peasant should hold land before he can sell or mortgage it, et cetera, you would believe what I am saying now, and what I did say then. I think, in short, that the policy of the President of the United States, as I best can interpret it and as I understand it-and, as you know, I was working with the President for 21/2 years before he was elected-I believe that he would be comfortable with what we are doing. Incidentally, Senator, there is a key component in this land reform program--and this is probably not the time and place to go into it in depth-that needs to be considered carefully, and that is the compensation issue. Now, frankly, I do not think that before compensation legislation came up here that you were as personally involved in some of those discussions as you should have been. But I would argue that, just as you suggest my father would not want his land taken away without compensation, it is important to figure out what the politi- cal stability and the equity of the people involved calls for-how to move in the direction of some kind of compensation. And I hope that since you have been so deeply interested in this issue that we can discuss further how we might look at that cur- rent situation. Senator HELMS. Do you know what I think the problem is? I think this is just a flyspeck on the wall in terms of the awareness of the people in this city, and in terms of the media's understand- ing of it. We had a witness this morning who was talking about the enormous amounts of money that were collected by the people whose land was taken and shipped into Miami and then shipped back to do thus and so. Now in the first place this is a very responsible man and I like him. He is erudite. He is more knowledgeable than most, but he has this fiction in his mind that there has been an enormous trans- action when there has been none at all. Mr. McPHERSON. Do you mean moving money out of El Salvador to Miami? Senator HELMS. I am talking about payment for the land. There has not been any payment. Mr. McPHERSON. Well, there has been some. It has been very modest, but there has been some payment for phase III, but it is a modest part of the total requirement. Senator HELMs. Now I am not criticizing Bob Strauss. He is a friend of mine and I like him, but he has that fiction in mind and he so stated it for the record this morning. I said to him you have it mixed up, but I did not press him because he has read it some- where or heard it somewhere and it was coupled in with some other stuff about El Salvador. 295 Well, I will not keep you here any longer on that subject. Henry Kissinger was very candid the day he was here about his study of the economies of the countries of Central America. He said that the Commission had not taken the time to analyze in any depth whatsoever the internal structures affecting economic growth in any of the countries affected by the plan. That is almost a direct quote. Has AID taken the time to do this? Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, we have spent an enormous amount of time looking at these economies. The Commission had a very senior economist with a bank in Chicago who did a lot of their work, but over the last couple of years we have spent a lot of time on it. We think that these economies can absorb a large foreign aid program. Such a program is only about 5 percent of GNP for the period of years covered. There was a much larger program, as a portion of GNP, for Korea and Taiwan when those programs were building and working. We have looked at our pipeline. We have looked at a number of other issues and think that the way we are structuring-namely building and anticipating major policy changes-we have to have those exchange rate changes. We have to have those economies move toward market economies, and if they do we think that this foreign aid program can do the job. Senator HELMS. Now nobody can disagree with what you are saying in the broad sense. But what I am talking about specifically is this: Have your people suggested to these governments that they change their tax structures, for example—these structures that pu- nitively impose taxes on exports needed for foreign exchange? Mr. McPHERSON. Absolutely. I think that taxes on exports is one of the worst things that countries can have and, incidentially, a bad exchange rate system is in effect a tax on exports. Senator HELMS. How about having somebody drop me a note and tell me precisely what are some examples? You know, I may be way behind you on this. Mr. McPHERSON. I would like to do that, Senator, and we will do that. Let me point out probably the best current example. We have not disbursed all of the ESF to Honduras, a close friend and ally, for fiscal year 1983, because Honduras has not yet worked out its arrangement with the IMF and one of the key things they have not worked out is their exchange rate, which currently is, in effect, a tax on exports. Senator HELMS. Yes, and they are artificial and they invite cor- ruption, bribery, and all that sort of stuff. Mr. McPHERSON. We would like to get that to you. What I am saying, of course, Senator, is that this is a real test of our dedication. [The information referred to follows: TAX STRUCTURE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AID has been successful in encouraging Central American governments to make several policy reforms in the areas of export taxes and access to foreign exchange. This policy dialogue is conducted in various ways, ranging from the provision of technical assistance for actual drafting of new legislation (e.g. the new Export In- centives Law in Honduras) to conditioning disbursements under our ESF programs to specific reforms or the successful negotiation of agreements with the IMF. Specif- 296 ic examples of policy reforms which have resulted from this on-going dialogue are as follows: HONDURAS An Export Incentives Law, prepared with the assistance of AID-financed consult- ants, was recently approved by the Honduran Congress. This law provides for GOH issuance of a tax certificate for up to 15 percent of the value of non-traditional ex- ports, which is the approximate amount of indirect taxes paid in the production process. In addition to passage of the Export Incentives Law, the GOH has approved the establishment of a one-stop center for government approvals in order to expedite private investment and exports. The Ministry of Economy, with short term assist- ance from AID, has reduced the steps and time needed for approval of investment, and investment incentives. AID-financed assistance is now being provided on devel- opment of a new Industrial Incentives Law, which should be ready for GOH review later this month. EL SALVADOR In accordance with its strategy for promoting progressively greater use of the par- allel foreign exchange market, AID has encouraged the Government of El Salvador to transfer cotton transactions (the second largest foreign exchange earner) to the parallel market. For the 1983 cotton crop that has just been harvested for export in 1984, the Central Bank has agreed to permit the liquidation in the parallel market of $10 million, or 30 percent of the total estimated cotton exports for the year. Based on recent negotiations, the GOES has agreed to measures which will permit ap- proximately 50 percent of the 1984/1985 cotton export crop to be liquidated at the parallel market rate. The GOES reduced the export/production ratio required of non-traditional pro- ducers for entry into the parallel market from 25 percent to 10 percent. This ratio refers to the proportion that the value of a firm's exports to outside the Central American Common Market bears to the total value of its production in order for the firm to be allowed to dispose of its export proceeds at the parallel market rate. AID feels that this reduction of the percentage will help encourage the entrance of more small businesses into the non-traditional export market and we intend to keep pressing on this subject as part of our overall strategy for exchange rate unification. COSTA RICA Fiscal year 1983 ESF assistance to Costa Rica was conditioned on compliance with an IMF Standby program, which was successfully concluded on December 19, 1983. Largely as a result of this approach, and the successful renegotiation of foreign debt, Costa Rica's multiple exchange rates were unified and the exchange rate stabi- lized in addition to other improvements in the overall economic outlook. Disbursement of fiscal year 1984 ESF funds, while also conditioned to a formal agreement with the IMF for calendar year 1984, will be subject to monthly reports submitted by the Costa Rican Central Bank on its rationale for adjusting or not ad- justing the exchange rate, which in the past has served as a de facto export tax. This requirement will serve to maintain a policy dialogue and to permit AID to react when it seems indicated. AID was instrumental in the creation of the Ministry for Export and Investments and continues to provide it with budgetary support for a number of activities, in- cluding: the development of an Export Contract (which would simplify and guaranty adequate ground rules) and the creation of a One Stop Export and Investment Pro- motion Center. On January 30, 1984 the Costa Rican Legislative assembly passed a modification to the existing Free Zone Law, which has been submitted for consideration by the Ministry of Investment and Exports. The revised legislation both permits designa- tion of existing industrial installations as free zones and permits establishment of a free zone area in the meseta central where basic infrastructure is concentrated. Senator HELMS. All right. I know that you feel that I am badger- ing you Mr. McPHERSON. Oh, no. I enjoy it, frankly. It is good to be here. Senator HELMS. Let me give you a very modest proposal. I will give you an offer that you cannot refuse, and that is for AID to in- 297 struct its officers on the ground in each Central American country to do a study of the internal economies there and to submit those reports to Congress-in our case, it would come to my subcommit- tee-and have that as a prelude to consideration hereafter on in- creased amounts of aid. Mr. McPHERSON. Senator, we are prepared to do that right now, and we certainly have no problem doing it in the future. Senator HELMs. All right. Then you have yourself a deal and I will get off your back. Mr. McPHERSON. As a matter of fact, I think it is a real mistake to have a substantial foreign aid program in Central America unless we insist—and I am not saying by legislation-but unless the administration insists that those economic policy changes occur. I am very afraid that unless we are quite careful we are going to move into having an economic assistance program for Central America without requiring those market-oriented changes. And I, for one, intend to do my best to make sure that the kind of thing you are talking about occurs in connection with our program. Senator HELMS. Well, we certainly would not inhibit what you say you are trying to do, and I am pleased that you would agree. Now as you know we are scheduling some oversight hearings and I suppose I will be chairing them later on this month in the second or third week for the AID package for Central America. A key target of that package is the AID mission in El Salvador and the director of that mission is Mr. Martin Degata. Could I ask your cooperation in arranging for him to appear per- sonally to testify and help us on this? Mr. McPHERSON. Of course. Senator HELMS. Thank you. We will be in touch with you on that. That is all that I have to say. Do you have anything else? Mr. McPHERSON. Nice to be here, Senator. Senator. HELMS. All right, then, I guess it is time for us all to sing a hymn and depart. Thank you very much, all of you, for your patience. We stand adjourned. [Additional questions and answers follow:] STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR PERCY The Administration's requests for several programs in the International Organiza- tions and Programs account are significantly lower than levels that have been sup- ported by Congress in recent years. Question 1. Please explain the reductions requested for the U.N. Development Program, UNICEF, and the U.N. Environmental Program. Answer. The Administration's fiscal year 1985 request levels for voluntary contri- butions to the U.N. Development Program (UNDP), the U.N. Children's Fund (UNICEF), and the U.N. Environment Program (UNEP) are identical to the fiscal year 1984 requests. While below the fiscal year 1984 Continuing Resolution funding level, the fiscal year 1985 request should be sufficient to assure our continued inter- ests and leadership in UNDP, UNICEF, and UNEP councils. The overall Interna- tional Organizations and Programs (IO and P) account request reflects our effort to strike a balance between the need for budgetary restraint in the face of rising defi- cits and advancement of our interests in these multilateral fora. Question 2. Do these reductions reflect policy decisions by the Administration with regard to the merits of these programs? 34-045 0-84-20 298 Answer. The fact that our request levels for UNDP, UNICEF, and UNEP are below levels appropriated last year does not reflect any dissatisfaction resulting from evaluations of these programs. We remain staunch supporters of them. Our belief is as firm as ever that the programs sponsored by these organizations serve important U.S. political, economic and humanitarian interests in the developing world. However, we feel the request levels are the most appropriate, given the need for budgetary restraint in the face of rising deficits. Question 3. Why is no funding requested for the Food and Agriculture Organiza- tion/World Food Program? Answer. Ninety-eight percent of U.S. contributions to UN/FAQ/WFP are made in terms of commodities, and of money to finance at least 50 percent or more of the costs of shipping these commodities, which, by law, must be in U.S. bottoms. The United States additional cash contribution under the IO&P account has been made to cover a further portion of the shipping costs for United States donated commod- ities. During the last few years, cash provided by other donors, along with miscella- neous earnings, have resulted in a relatively favorable WFP cash position. The re- duced need for United States cash, coupled with the need to control U.S. budgetary expenditures, led us to decide not to request a cash contribution under the account. Question 4. Combined with the U.S. notification to withdraw from UNESCO, and a reduced level of contribution to the next replenishment of the World Bank's Inter- national Development Association (IDA), do these reductions indicate a general ero- sion of U.S. support for multilateral programs? Answer. No. The Administration continues strongly to support multilateral pro- grams. The overall International Organizations and Programs account request re- flects our effort to strike a balance between advancement of our interests in these multilateral fora and the need for budgetary restraint in the face of rising deficits. Question 5. If Congress approves the fiscal year 1984 supplemental and fiscal year 1985 aid requests in full, El Salvador will have received a total of $1.85 billion since fiscal 1980. What specific results can you point to, after the infusioin of such large amounts of U.S. aid? Answer. The provision of economic and military aid to El Salvador is designed to shield and nurture the development of a friendly, stable democracy which is not sus- ceptible to the influence of the Soviet Union or any Soviet surrogate. The military assistance which we have provided El Salvador over the past three years has provid- ed a shield for the country's emerging democratic process. Since 1980 we have seen remarkable political development in El Salvador. This ongoing democratic process, endorsed by 80 percent of the Salvadoran electorate in the 1982 elections, has seen the selection of a multi-party Constituent (now Legislative) Assembly, the drafting of a new Constitution, and impending elections for a constitutional President. Fur- thermore, U.S. assistance was instrumental in enabling the Salvadorans to turn back a guerrilla assault intended to prevent the 1982 elections from taking place, an assault which may be repeated this year. More importantly, our assistance to El Salvador has thwarted the continuing guerrilla attempt to seize power via armed revolution and to impose upon the Salvadoran people a government and system not of their choosing. American aid also has served to heighten the capabilities and professionalism of the Salvadoran armed forces. U.S. training and equipment continues to allow the Salvadoran military to match the capabilities of a sophisticated, and externally well-supported guerrilla movement. Those Salvadoran troops who have received U.S. training (perhaps 20 percent of the army's total strength), conduct themselves in combat with a professionalism and effectiveness unknown three years ago. More- over, our training, particularly counter-insurgency doctrine and rules of engage- ment, has been beneficial in improving the conduct of Salvadoran troops, thereby reducing the incidence of human rights abuses on the part of the military. Our economic assistance program is intended to reverse the economic decline caused by the dislocations of internal conflict and external economic conditions, to realize economic stabilization and, in the longer term, to achieve economic growth. Economic recovery in El Salvador has been difficult to achieve. Much of our effort since 1980 has been aimed at ameliorating the economic decline, which has amount- ed to about a 20-25 percent drop in economic activity during the period. Prelimi- nary reporting for 1983 suggests that El Salvador experienced a small measure of economic growth after 4 years of decline. Our balance of payments support in par- ticular has been vital in helping to maintain essential imports for productive activi- ties in the face of insurgent destruction of infrastructure, declining private invest- ment and private capital inflows, and shortage of foreign exchange. It was also in- strumental in allowing the Salvadorans to reach an agreement with the Interna- tional Monetary Fund. Both balance of payments and project assistance have helped 299 the Salvadoran government maintain essential public services and deal with the in- creasingly severe humanitarian problems produced by the continuing conflict. More- over, without our economic assistance it is doubtful that the Salvadoran government would have had the capacity to devote resources to maintaining the agrarian reform program. Question 6. This year's aid requests include a significant increase in military aid for Turkey, doubling the concessional component of that aid, and a substantial re- duction in economic aid to Cyprus. In light of Turkey's sole recognition of the illegal unilateral declaration of independence by the Turkish Cypriots don't these aid deci- sions send the wrong signal at the wrong time? Answer. Our request for Turkey is keyed to that country's security assistance needs within its NATO role. The terms of the assistance reflect economic realities in Turkey-a society beginning to work its way back to democracy and economic sol- vency. The question of “signals” would not seem to arise as both sides have reiterat- ed their goal of an eventual federal solution. As for assistance to Cyprus, the Administration is requesting the same amount as requested last year. We consider $3 million adequate to keep the popular Cyprus America Scholarship Program thriving. In no way should the relatively modest amount of assistance for Cyprus be interpreted as an indication of our interest in promoting diplomatic progress; rather, the level testifies to the robust state of the Cypriot economy. Question 7. In recent months there have been published reports concerning the growing U.S. military presence in Honduras, on a permanent basis-including the stationing of several hundred U.S. military personnel, the construction or expansion of airfields near the Nicaraguan border, and the possible construction of a naval base in Puerto Castillo. What has been the nature of your considerations with Con- gress on this expanded U.S. military role in Honduras? Answer. In the first place it should be stressed as the Administration has stated before--that the United States has no plans to establish permanent U.S. military facilities in Honduras. Similarly, we have no intention of stationing U.S. military personnel there permanently, other than those already assigned to security assist- ance management and U.S. Embassy duties. Our expanded military role in Hondu- ras has centered around exercises. Facilities constructed to support these exercises have been intended for temporary use in that context. We are interested in continu- ing to review Honduran facilities, including Puerto Castillo, with a view toward ac- quiring access as needed. No decision to seek additional access has been made. As to Congressional consultations, officials of the Departments of State and Defense have periodically briefed members on aspects of our military activities in Honduras. Most recently senior officials of both departments circulated to several members our plans for the post-Ahaus Tara II phase of activities beginning in February. Question 8. Could you assess for us the damage that would be done if the United States loses access to Clark Air Force Base and Subic Bay in the Philippines? Answer. Most operations currently undertaken in the Philippines could be trans- ferred to other locations, but it would take considerable time and money, and in the end we would have less capability for more money than we have now. One alternative would be to develop new facilities at Palau. While this represents the best option, it is far from satisfactory. Palau lacks the infrastructure and the labor force to support anything more than a small installation. We face the same problems at Guam and Tinian, although to a lesser extent. Guam and Tinian, how- ever, are far removed from the central strategic location enjoyed by the Philippines. Several years would be needed from the time a decision was made to move else- where in the Pacific in order to reconstruct the facilities required by U.S. forces. About $2-3 billion would be required to construct facilities at alternate locations. However, in order to maintain military operations in the western Pacific and the Indian Ocean at the current level, and at the same time not increase the tempo of operations for the individual units, we would probably be required to procure addi- tional ships and aircraft. Some additional air refueling and strategic lift assets would also be required. In addition, if the ship repair work carried out at Subic were done in Japan or Guam, it would cost considerably more. Finally, the reloca- tion of forces now in the Philippines to other locations in the Pacific would aggra- vate problems already faced at these bases, such as overcrowding, tours without families, and urban encroachment. In addition, the political aspects of such a move must be considered. It has also been suggested that consideration should be given to dispersing the various jobs now done in the Philippines throughout the western Pacific. While this approach is feasible, it overlooks one of the major assets of our current facilities; they complement each other and taken together provide an integrated system un- 300 surpassed in the region and perhaps anywhere overseas. Now, when a carrier ar- rives at Subic to undergo maintenance and repair at the ship repair facility, its air- craft pilots can train at the sophisticated Crow Valley weapons range at Clark. Overall, geographic separation of the functions would lessen the readiness and flexi- bility of U.S forces and cost more. Although the Pacific Command could continue to perform its mission in the Pacif- ic and Indian Ocean areas without the use of Philippine facilities, all of the prob- lems cited above-time, distance, training, money, and less capacity--would result in a general degradation of U.S. military capabilities. Relocation of the functions performed by these facilities would seriously restrict operational readiness of combat and support units and greatly reduce U.S. force flexibility. In particular, the U.S. capability to employ forces in the Indian Ocean and southwest Pacific would be significantly impaired. In addition, our capability to fulfill our obligations under various mutual security arrangements without allies in the region, including the Philippines, would be seriously reduced. Logistic support for contingency operations in the Middle East would be austere, and some capabilities which are geographically sensitive, such as communications, would be severely degraded. Finally, the political impact of our Pacific friends, allies, and our potential adver- saries of the removal of the U.S. military presence in the Philippines would be very significant. The installations constitute the only major U.S. presence in southeast Asia and represent an effective, visible American contribution to peace and stability in the region. Question 9. The Administration is requesting an increase of some 65 percent in bilateral assistance programs for the Philippines, from $151 million in fiscal year 1984 to nearly $231 million in fiscal year 1985. How is such a large increase justified? How was the balance between economic and security assistance determined? Answer. The fiscal year 1985 proposed security assistance level of $180 million consists of: $95 million in Economic Support Fund (ESF); $25 million in Military As- sistance (MAP); and $60 million in Foreign Military Sales Credits (FMS). This amount corresponds to the first year segment of a total security assistance package of $900 million over 5 years discussed with the Philippines at the time of review of our Military Bases Agreement in 1983. At the conclusion of the review, President Reagan transmitted a letter to President Marcos conveying the pledge of the Executive Branch to make its best efforts to provide $900 million in security assistance during the five fiscal years beginning October 1, 1984. The figure of $900 million was reached after consideration of the Philippine Government's economic development needs, its defense modernization goals, our current assistance efforts in the Philippines, and the decline in the real purchasing power of our assistance levels since the Military Bases Agreement was last amended in 1979. Subject to the authorization and appropriation of funds by the Congress, the intention of the Exec- utive Branch is to provide more than half of the $180 million for fiscal year 1985 in Economic Support Funds. We are meeting with the Philippine Government to devel- op new ESF projects and programs. We expect that some of the funds will be used to improve the social and economic conditions of areas adjacent to the bases, while most of the funds will be used on a nationwide basis in support of Philippine eco- nomic development priorities. The other security assistance components for fiscal year 1985 are military: $25,000,000 in MAP and $60,000,000 in Foreign Military Sales credit guarantees. This assistance would enable the Philippine military to address seriously its mod- ernization efforts, which this year have been affected adversely by Philippine Gov- ernment budgetary constraints, specifically the reduction of the budget by approxi- mately 36 percent in real monetary value, if currency devaluation is considered. We are committed to seek from the Congress FMS credits having a 10-year grace period, and repayment over 20 years. In addition to security assistance, the fiscal year 1985 request includes $39.0 mil- lion in development assistance, which is roughly the same amount authorized in fiscal year 1984. The $10 million in Public Law 480, Title II assistance requested represents a decrease as compared to the previous year. IMET would increase from $1.3 million to $2.0 million. Question 10. The administration has pointed out that the aid package for the Phil- ippines has been carefully designed to help the country cope more effectively with its difficult economic and security problems. Could you describe in greater detail some of the programs and explain how they will benefit the Filipino people? Answer. The U.S. assistance program is directed at generating more productive rural employment in especially poor regions of the country. The program empha- 301 sizes increasing agricultural productivity in rainfed areas, encouraging private en- terprise development in rural areas, improving local control over resource mobiliza- tion and allocation, and reducing fertility and infant mortality. Rainfed resources activities address problems of poor upland farmers and coastal fishermen through the development of farming systems and technologies which will increase their income. Efforts to generate off-farm employment focus on improving small and medium enterprise access to important inputs such as management, tech- nology, credit, and marketing resources. We continue to provide financial support for the Philippines' family planning program. Health activities aim to reduce the costs of adequate primary health care by promoting greater efficiencies in service delivery. ESF-funded activities emphasize improving the social and economic conditions of the areas contiguous to the U.S. military facilities as well as supporting selected de- velopment activities throughout the country. Projects seek to: (a) support municipal infrastructure and revenue-generating activities in towns adjacent to the Clark and Subic military facilities; (b) improve market operations and construct and rehabili- tate local market facilities; (c) fund high priority infrastructure activities in prov- inces adjacent to the military facilities; (d) support non-conventional energy activi- ties based on the production of fast growing fuel wood; and (e) strenghten ongoing rural development projects of the World Bank and Asian Development Bank. Question 11. What has the administration done to persuade President Marcos that the perception of the Philippines would be greatly enhanced if the upcoming elec- tion were free, open, and fair? Answer. As early as June 1983, a ranking State Department official pointed out during a Congressional hearing the importance of a fair election in moving the Phil- ippines toward a more open political system. We have since gone on record repeat- edly to the effect that a free and fair electoral process in which Filipinos can place their confidence is the key to resolution of the political problems left in the wake of the Aquino assassination. In private conversations and in public statements in Manila and Washington, we have called upon President Marcos and other responsi- ble Philippine leaders from the government, the opposition, and the private sector to make the extra effort needed to turn this election into a genuine milestone in the political normalization process. We have stressed that it is up to the Filipinos them- selves to make the hard decisions necessary to restore confidence at home and · abroad, to resolve the current problems, and to enable economic growth to continue. This message, which parallels similar views expressed variously by the Philippine and international business community, the church, opposition groups, concerned citizens, and within the Marcos government by Philippine Government officials, has been heard in the Philippines, and there has been significant forward movement. Question 12. How would you judge the prospects for the election? Answer. We are hopeful about the prospects for a fair election as a result of vari- ous changes in electoral and related procedures that have taken place in recent months. The changes, though not meeting all the demands for reform raised by the opposition and various citizens' groups, have apparently been sufficient to cause sev- eral important opposition parties to announce their intention to field a full slate of candidates in the election. Both Cardinal Sin and Mrs. Corazon Aquino, the former Senator's widow, have come out for participation. A new Philippine election law passed on February 27 incorporates virtually all of the safeguards for the integrity of the voting process in the forthcoming May 1984 parliamentary elections lobbied for by citizens groups and opposition political par- ties. The law provides for the representation of various political parties in the citi- zens election committees which run the elections at the local level and for official inspectors from registered political parties and civic organizations. It bars military and police formations from the vicinity of polling stations and from the counting and safeguarding of ballots and preparation and reporting of returns. Designated op- position parties will be given the key to one of three padlocks securing each ballot box and will be present at every stage. Political parties are able to form coalitions and present common candidates. They may nominate candidates not belonging to a party. Changing of party affiliation is permitted. The law further confirms that presidential detention orders without warrant may not be issued for alleged elec- tion-related offenses. Reasonable bail is to be set in cases of arrests with warrants from a civil court. The improvements effected by the new law supplement actions taken earlier by the Marcos Government in response to demands from opposition and civic leaders, including an improved presidential succession arrangement and a new countrywide voter registration, scheduled for March. Of those opposition demands directly relat- ed to the election that remain unfulfilled, the most significant include unimpeded 302 access to the media and the selection of several new members of the Commission on Election acceptable to interested civic and opposition groups. These issues continue to be the subject of discussion. As a result of these improvements in the election process, several important oppo- sition parties, including UNIDO, PDP-LABAN, and the Social Democratic Party, have now announced their intention to campaign in the election with a national slate of candidates. Public interest in the elections appears to be high, and a lively contest is anticipated, with the opposition providing stiff competition in various parts of the country. Nevertheless, other groups, which earlier had laid down as a condition for their participation in the May election changes related to unqualified political normaliza- tion and the termination of the marital law powers retained constitutionally by the President after the lifting of martial law in 1981, continue to advocate boycott of the elections. Although President Marcos has indicated informally that some of these issues might be legitimate subjects for consideration by the new parliament after the election, he shows no inclination to concede on these demands now. The extent to which the boycott movement is likely to appeal to the electorate and thereby to lessen opposition hopes to make substantial inroads upon the Government's current overwhelming majority is still not clear. Question 13. The administration has asked for softer terms for FMS loans to Korea. Why did the administration agree that such terms are necessary for Korea? Answer. ROK need for funding continues: We have seen no evidence that North Korea has discontinued its massive buildup of arms, which began in the early- 1970's. The indigenous military balance between the two Koreas clearly favors the North-the North has more men under arms (including an 80,000–100,000 man com- mando force) and twice as much armor and artillery, much of it positioned near the DMZ. Their brutal attack in Rangoon indicates that North Korea has not aban- doned force in its confrontation with the South. Korea spends some 6 percent of its GNP on defense, and I do not believe it could spend a much greater percentage without jeopardizing the development of its civil- ian economy. These defense expenditures absorb money that could be used else- where to further the development of Korea's economy. In addition, FIP II will re- quire an expenditure of $9.1 billion over the next 5 years (almost half this amount will be spent in the United States). I think that FMS credits, while constituting only a small part of Korea's defense outlays, provide a margin that will greatly assist the ROKG in fulfilling its Force improvement goals, thereby narrowing the military im- balance with the North, while maintaining a healthy economy. Korea, in fiscal year 1984 spent more money on repayment of principal and inter- est on past FMS loans than it received in new credits. The net outflows from re- serves through payment of principal and interest on past loans also contribute to balance of payments pressures on Korea. The more generous terms will ease some of these pressures during a time when, as I have indicated earlier, there is a press- ing need to devote all available resources to upgrading and enhancing ROK defense abilities. For these reasons, I believe that 10 years grace, 20 years repayment terms for Korea are amply justified. Question 14. Thailand has expressed an interest in purchasing the F-16 from the United States. What would be the impact upon other ASEAN countries of selling the F-16/100 to Thailand? What other ASEAN countries have shown interest in purchasing the F-16A? Answer. An F-16/100 sale to Thailand would strengthen the interest of other ASEAN states in pursuing purchase of the same plane. Indonesia and the Philip- pines have already stated interest in the F-16/100. Singapore, which has asked to buy F-16/79's, is also likely to be encouraged by a decision to sell F-16/100's to Thailand. Question 15. Does Thailand need the F-16 to counter the threat facing it? Answer. Thailand faces a sophisticated, military threat, posed by a well experi- enced, well-equipped superior force on its eastern border. The totality of Vietnam's military capability is impressive. The addition of the F-16/100 to Thailand's air force would give Thailand a significant deterrent to further Vietnamese aggression. Thailand is looking only for a deterrent; it is not seeking to match Vietnam, plane for plane or gun for gun. Question 16. Has the United States made a decision as to whether to sell the air- craft to Thailand? Answer. The United States has not yet decided to concur in the sale of F-16/100's to Thailand. The Thai request is under review. 303 Question 17. Would such an expensive purchase detract from Thailand's ability to meet its other military needs? Answer. Purchase of the F-16/100 would impact significantly upon Thailand's de- fense budget, but Thai leaders have assured us that an F-16/100 purchase would not starve other budgetary needs. Question 18. Is Thailand seeking the F-16/100 or F-16/79 one of the approved-for- export advanced fighters? Answer. Thailand is seeking to buy only the F-16/100, not one of the FX fighters. Question 19. The “Carlucci Commission made a number of recommendations de- signed to improve on the effectiveness of U.S. foreign aid programs. Does the Ad- ministration plan to act on the recommendation to fold AID's functions into a new Mutual Development and Security Administration? Answer. The Administration is very pleased with the work done by the Carlucci Commission and with its thoughtful and insightful recommendations. In particular, the Administration supports the concept and spirit of the Commission's recommen- dations on the establishment of the MDSA, especially its aim of providing a unified voice before Congress for the U.S. foreign assistance program. The Secretary of State has asked AID State/T and State/SP, as well as other in- terested agencies, to examine ways to meet the Commission's main aim of more closely integrating our assistance programs and budget requests. This examination, however, will take place within the context of existing organizational structures. This decision by the Secretary accepts the rationale of the MDSA recommendation, but puts the specific organizations suggestion aside. This decision, incidentally, also allows time to take into account decisions on the Kissinger Commission's recommen- dation for the establishment of a Central American Development Organization (CADO). It is important to remember that AID, State and DOD already meet to produce an integrated foreign affairs budget submission to the Congress. As a result of the Car- lucci Commission recommendation, however, we will be exploring ways in which to increase and improve the level of integration of this budget and the programs it supports. Question 20. How do you think our anti-terrorism laws should be improved to help fight state-sponsored terrorism? Answer. There are two international conventions on terrorism which the Senate has approved but which the United States has not implemented: the Montreal Con- vention on aircraft sabotage and the New York Convention on hostage-taking. Nei- ther is directly related to the state-terrorism problem, but both are related to our credibility when we talk to other countries and seek their cooperation on dealing with state supported terrorism. For various reasons, implementing legislation sub- mitted by the previous Administration on the Montreal Convention has not been approved. The Senate approved the New York Convention in 1981. This Administra- tion intends to submit implementing legislation for both Conventions during the current session. We could also contribute to an overall effort to curb state supported terrorism, e.g. by making it illegal for American persons and entities to assist states that engage in terrorism by providing training and equipment for these states to use to conduct terrorist activity. The Administration intends to submit legislation that will help U.S. law enforcement agencies prohibit such assistance. As a general matter, the control of state terrorism will require a vigorous and concerted effort by the international community. The United States can make a contribution by supporting the international community on measures it has pro- posed to control terrorism generally, and by taking steps to control better the activi- ties of persons in the United States who assist terrorism abroad. Question 21. There have been repeated reports that the Salvadoran Army is doing poorly in the field. In view of this assessment, it seems that the Administration is seeking to substitute U.S. money for Salvadoran will and capability on the battle- front. How do you respond to charges—that the Salvadoran Army is doing poorly on the battlefield? What are the Salvadoran Army's principal weaknesses at present? Answer. The Armed Forces of El Salvador have gone through monumental changes since 1979. Since then, they have tripled in strength and had to fight an increasingly well trained and equipped guerrilla force. The armed forces began with little experience or training, and the increase in size has not been matched by an increase in the size of the officer corps. Nevertheless, the military has come a long way. Of particular note were the com- mand and organizational changes of late last year. At that time, the guerrillas ap- 304 peared to have the military initiative. I think if you look at the situation today, you will see that the military has taken the initiative back through continued, aggres- sive operations. There have been no devastating defeats for the guerrillas, but they are certainly unable to take advantage of the nine-to-five attitude that once pre- vailed among the military. The military's operations have been virtually non-stop since the beginning of the year, and there has been little rest for the guerrillas. In fact, there are an increasing number of cases of guerrillas' entering villages to loot them for food. Guerrillas have also been turning themselves in, with their weapons. The preliminary signs are that the government's continuous operations have been effective in wearing the guerrillas down and denying them the opportunity for rest and resupply. At the same time, the military's newly-found aggressiveness appears to have had a very good effect on morale within it. But while these signs are positive, the military is not yet in a position to deny the guerrillas the ability to attack selected, underdefended targets at will. In order to strengthen the military further, our continued assistance is necessary. Of most im- mediate concern, aggressive operations are causing the military to run out of am- munition. Without resupply, and at the current level of operation, they would de- plete their ammunition stocks as early as April. This probably will not happen; rather than deplete stocks, the military would more likely plan around this and assume a strictly defensive posture in order to conserve resources. This hands the initiative right back to the guerrillas. In the longer run, the military needs contin- ued training, both of soldiers and of a larger professional officer corps. This is the best way to ensure discipline, effectiveness and respect for the rights of noncombat- ants. The military is in very bad shape in terms of transportation and tactical com- munications. If a patrol is ambushed, it is lucky to have a radio to call for help; luckier still if there is some way to send reinforcements. Because there is virtually no medevac capability, one soldier dies out of every three wounded in battle. In Vietnam, the ratio was one out of ten. Aside from the obvious problems, these fac- tors also bear on troop morale. These resource and training problems reflect the principal weaknesses of the military. They are also the focus of our proposed mili- tary assistance. Question 22. Recently the intelligence community increased its assessment of the number of guerrillas in the field from 5,000-7,000 to 10,000-12,000. The Salvadoran Army (excluding Treasury Police and National Guard) is presently 27,500 strong. How can the army possibly win against the guerrillas if the guerrillas strength is increasing at such a dramatic rate? Answer. Any figures offered by the intelligence community are based on the best information we have available at the time. The total number of guerrillas and sup- porters has not increased. Rather the guerrillas' part-time militia forces and camp followers are now better trained and armed-and integrated into the guerrillas fighting units. Therefore, we have revised our estimate of the number of guerrillas who are able to engage in combat. The Salvadoran Armed Forces can indeed defeat the guerrillas if they have the training, weapons, ammunition, and mobility to do the job. Question 23. There have been allegations in the press that up to 30 percent of U.S. military assistance finds its way to guerrilla organizations. Is this figure accurate, and if not, what portion of U.S. equipment has been lost to the guerrillas? Is there any truth to the allegations that the guerrillas acquire U.S. equipment through trading on an active black market in El Salvador? Who supports this blackmarket? Are any members of the Salvadoran Armed Forces involved in blackmarketing weapons and/or ammunition? Answer. Part of the guerrillas' current propaganda initiative in the United States and Europe is that the Salvadoran Armed Forces (ESAF) are near collapse, that there are wholesale defections from the government ranks, and that Salvadoran sol- diers are selling their own weapons to the guerrillas. This is simply not the case. While the guerrillas have captured weapons from the ESAF, the figure of 30 per- cent of U.S. assistance finding its way to the guerrillas is way out of line of what we believe to be the case. Some of the guerrillas' weapons are purchased on the international blackmarket. We do not believe that there is a significant blackmarket in El Salvador which is selling U.S. military equipment to the guerrillas. While we cannot state categorically that no Salvadoran soldiers are selling weap- ons or ammunition on the blackmarket, we have no evidence that any significant amount of equipment is being sold on the blackmarket. We will be glad to arrange a classified briefing for you on this topic. Question 24. Tunisia recently suffered severe bread riots and shows other signs of economic and internal problems. Yet the Administration repeatedly brushed aside 305 Congressional efforts to provide ESF funds in recent years. This year you are pro- posing only $1.5 million. Was that figure originally proposed in the budget process before the recent difficulties? Why did the Administration strongly object to Con- gress' past efforts to provide ESF for Tunisia? Answer. Tunisia is a moderate Arab nation with a long history of friendship with the United States, and we want to do what we can to assist that country. We provid- ed $10 million in Public Law 480 Title I in fiscal year 1982 and fiscal year 1983 and $15 million in fiscal year 1984. (After the bread riots, we raised the fiscal year 1984 Title I allocation by $5 million to a total of $15 million.) Our decision initially not to request ESF for Tunisia in fiscal year 1984 was based on the severe reduction in overall budget levels for ESF and because it was felt that Public Law 480 is also a very useful means of providing economic assistance to Tunisia. However, after a review of our policies toward Tunisia in preparation for the Secretary's travel there in early December (several weeks before the disturbances), and taking into consider- ation Congressional interest, we allocated $1.5 million ESF to Tunisia. For fiscal year 1985, the Administration is proposing $3 million ESF. Question 25. According to press reports, the Administration proposes to go ahead with the sale of a large number of Stinger anti-aircraft missiles to Jordan. Do you believe King Hussein, who was in Washington earlier this month, is likely to enter the peace process soon? Answer. We believe King Hussein's statements that he wants to enter the peace process and that he is working to achieve the necessary support from Arabs and Palestinians to do so. We encourage his efforts, and we urge all parties to support him. We do not know if the necessary conditions can be achieved in the very near future. We hope they can. In addition to having the necessary support for his nego- tiating on the future of the occupied territories and their inhabitants, however, Hus- sein must have the ability to withstand pressure and threats from radical elements and rejectionist states. Jordan's security is rightly a top priority for Hussein, and for the United States. That is true with or without progress on the peace process. Our commitment to Jordan's security, our shared concerns for the stability of the strategic Gulf region, and our shared interest in the stability of the longest frontier with Israel, make the security enhancement of our longstanding friendship with Jordan a sensible foreign policy and defense goal of the United States. Question 26. Some Administration officials contend that Jordan needs Stingers to protect against possible attack from Syria if it enters the peace process. How many years will it take before the Stingers are delivered? Answer. As now written, the delivery of gripstocks and first shipment of missiles is scheduled for 29 months from the time the LOA is signed. If the Syrian threat should intensify to the point where Jordan would require Stingers more rapidly, there are basically two options: Diversion from current Stinger production destined for U.S. forces or withdrawal from U.S. forces' stockpiles. However, 600 Stinger sys- tems are scheduled to be delivered to the special defense acquisition fund (SDAF) supply during the last quarter of 1985. Any time after that, an emergency delivery of Stingers to Jordan might be possible from the SDAF-if they have not already gone to another claimant. Question 27. We also read in the press that the Administration is reviving its ef- forts to win funding for the so-called Jordanian Rapid Deployment Force. Does this, in essence, involve giving military equipment to another country for possible use in a third country? If so, does it not have foreign policy implications? In that case, why is the Administration apparently not willing to discuss it openly with the Foreign Relations Committee? Answer. We are prepared to discuss fully the United States-Jordan Joint Logistics Planning (JLP) program with any interested members or committees of the Con- gress. Since this program remains classified, however, we are obliged to restrict our discussions of this important and cost-effective proposal to closed sessions. If the pro- gram is subsequently declassified, we will be able to discuss it fully in open sessions. Question 28. What role does U.S. assistance to our NATO allies Greece and Turkey play in the ability of each of these countries to fulfill their NATO missions? Answer. U.S. assistance is indispensible if Greece and Turkey are to fulfill their important NATO commitments. Both countries play critical roles in defense of the Alliance's southeastern flank, controlling Soviet access to the Mediterranean Sea, and must be able to defend against antagonists well-armed with the most modern weapons. Bordering on Bulgaria, Greece would block any Warsaw Pact thrust south- ward toward the Mediterranean through Thrace, and would join Turkey in resisting any Soviet effort to seize control of the Turkish Straits. Anchoring the Southeastern flank of the Alliance, Turkey shares borders with the Soviet Union, Bulgaria, as well as Syria, Iran and Iraq, and must defend the Anatolian land mass as well as 306 the Straits. The Eastern Mediterranean also serves as a bridge across Europe link- ing the Atlantic to the Middle East and Southwest Asia. Both countries control im- portant air and sea lanes in the Eastern Mediterranean, and Turkey abuts key inva- sion routes into the Middle East and Southwest Asia. U.S. assistance, then, is an important strategic investment for the United States, directly contributing to our security and that of NATO by enhancing the efforts Greece and Turkey are making to meet these important responsibilities. Turkey suf- fers from serious obsolescence in its major lines of military equipment, and U.S. as- sistance will assist it in modernizing its forces in order to defend successfully against well-equipped Warsaw Pact forces. Greece has significant programs under- way to improve its forces, with the most critical needs focused on advanced fighter aircraft, communications and radar equipment, maritime patrol aircraft and heli- copters, and upgrading of land combat forces. Aside from contributing to these modernization efforts, U.S. security assistance also helps Greece and Turkey to achieve NATO force goals and to enhance rational- ization, standardization and interoperability (RST) within NATO. Our assistance ef- forts with these two allies also encourages continued procurement of U.S. equip- ment, and provides incentives to join coproduction programs with other NATO countries. Question 29. Is there realistic hope of progress now on the Cyprus issue, or is the Turkish Cypriot secession a fait accompli? Answer. Both sides in the Cyprus question have expressed their desire to see a solution found which would create a unified country in which the rights of all Cyp- riots are respected. The declaration of statehood by the Turkish Cypriot community does not rule out such a solution. We are encouraged by Mr. Denktash's January 2 "goodwill measures” and by President Kyprianou's January 11 “framework for a comprehensive settlement" proposals. The U.N. Secretary General is presently working with these two packages in an attempt to find common ground for progress. In that effort we fully support Mr. Perez de Cuellar. We continue to urge both sides to respond positively to the proposals of the other and to cooperate with the SYG. AID's RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR PERCY Question 1. AID's Bureau for Private Enterprise (PRE) has been operational for three years now. Could you discuss the Bureau's chief accomplishments since its in- ception? How many new private sector projects have been generated through the efforts of PRE? Answer. During a period somewhat less than 3 years, PRE has acted as a catalytic element of AID's private sector initiative. While all of AID is directed to use a pri- vate sector approach where appropriate, PRE has, despite its small budget, made a particularly important contribution to the initiative. The Committee is fully familiar with the operations of two of the offices which are included in PRE: The Office of Housing and the Office of Small and Disadvan- taged Business/Minority Resource Center. As I believe your question goes to PRE's newer activities, I will direct my answer to those matters. PRE has attempted to draw on lessons learned from Third World "success sto- ries.” It has also attempted to do an effective job within its limited resources (less than $30 million for fiscal year 1984). PRE's four-part strategy includes: (a) the re- moval of constraints to the development of private enterprise in host countries; (b) the provision of credit to intermediate institutions; (c) support for the development of agribusiness and health; and (d) support to USAID Missions in carrying out their own private sector activities. PRE's successes have been both tangible and intangible. To date, PRE has made 11 loans in a total amount of approximately $20 million. All attempt to achieve sig- nificant development goals. These loans are unique in AID because most are to pri- vate borrowers, for medium-time periods and are at near-market rates of interest. In addition, PRE has retained a group of prominent U.S. businessmen to provide counsel on its loan program. We believe it is a success that PRE is dealing with business on a businesslike basis, providing for economic development and achieving a good return for the U.S. taxpayer. (The new Revolving Fund will assist in this process.) The Siam Commercial Bank and Kenya Commercial Bank projects are the farthest advanced of PRE's loan projects and have been particularly successful. Some of PRE's grants have been in support of loan projects (generally less than $200,000). Others are to important U.S. organizations which are quite well suited to AID's private sector activities. These include the International Executive Service Corps and the Joint Agricultural Consultative Corporation. We believe that both of 307 these are significant successes as they demonstrate ways in which AID can obtain dynamic U.S. business participation in economic development in the Third World and provide direct benefits to U.S. business as well. PRE's feasibility study program has also been a successful enterprise to date. PRE has also attempted to institutionalize the private sector approach in AID. The establishment of a “Private Sector Liaison Council” of top AID management has been one success in this regard. Work with USAID Missions has also in- creased—from five Missions helped in fiscal year 1982 to 20 Missions in fiscal year 1983. In general, we find that AID's receptivity to a private sector approach has in- creased and is evidenced by new private sector projects and we believe that PRE can take some credit for this success. PRE, moreover, has taken the lead on privatiza- tion of government-owned business, capital market development and certain tech- nology transfer matters, in addition to providing assistance in local currency pro- gramming These are some of PRE's successes. We believe, however, that as the initiative of the private sector approach builds, PRE's successes will grow as well. Question 2. How do you address the charge of critics who say that AID's private sector emphasis ignores the basic human needs thrust of our development assistance legislation? Answer. AID believes that the Private Enterprise initiative is fully consistent with the BHN mandate of the Foreign Assistance Act. The Private Enterprise approach is neither "trickle down" development nor mere resource transfers. Rather, it relies on market forces to achieve sustainable econom- ic development. The Congress took note of the compatibility between Private Enterprise and BHN in its amendments to last year's authorizing legislation for the Revolving Fund. AID fully intends to comply with those amendments. Other AID Private Enterprise projects are also directed toward assisting the poor majority through increased employment and income. This is true for regional bureau projects, not just those of the Private Enterprise Bureau. A particularly ef- fective activity is the revised Productive Credit Guaranty Program undertaken by PRE (which expired on September 30, 1983, for lack of legislative extension). Finally, AID sees the development and use of the indigenous private sector in LDC's to provide employment and services in agriculture, health and family plan- ning as one of the four pillars of our program. As such, private enterprise is an ap- proach that is implemented in a large number of AID's projects and will continue to be emphasized. Question 3. How much of PRE's work is involved in developing markets for U.S. business and how much is involved in developing the indigenous private sector in developing countries? Answer. The focus of PRE's efforts is “to provide support for the establishment and growth of indigenous private enterprises in less-developed countries.” (Fiscal year 1985 Congressional Presentation, Annex V, p. 134). All of PRE's projects are directed toward that objective. PRE nevertheless believes that U.S. business can be a substantial contributing force in that effort, and PRE therefore works closely with U.S. business. PRE's grants have been to both U.S. business and LDC entities; the largest single grant is to the International Executive Service Corps. PRE has been working with USAID Missions to assist them in their private sector programs, including their coordina- tion with U.S. business. PRE's eleven loans to date total approximately $20 million. Of these, two loans directly assist U.S. business investment; all permit U.S. business participation through exports. PRE strongly believes that U.S. business can make a major contribution to pri- vate sector development in the Third World and it intends to continue to draw on that resource in a productive partnership. Question 4. Please discuss what is being accomplished through the Private Sector Revolving Fund. Answer. The Revolving Fund was enacted through the current Continuing Resolu- tion in November 1983. The Bureau for Private Enterprise is working to conclude administrative arrangements to make the Revolving Fund operational and, to that end, has been utilizing the services of Price Waterhouse. The first two Revolving Fund projects are virtually complete and ready for obliga- tion. One is for an export trading program for the Dominican Republic ($2.0 mil- lion), and the second is for a meat processing facility for Thailand ($2.5 million). Both will provide employment and foreign exchange for those two countries and will include the transfer of U.S. technology. 308 there has been no economic improvement in the Sahel and no progress toward the Pending projects under consideration for fiscal year 1984 include health activities for Indonesia and Sudan, a shrimp activity for Pakistan, several agribusiness activi- ties in Costa Rica and Honduras as well as other activities. AID intends to obligate approximately $15 million for Revolving Fund projects in fiscal year 1984. The Revolving Fund mechanism is already strengthening and tightening PRE's project review and project management procedures, and it will clearly revise the way in which AID conducts some of its activities. Question 5. How much of an effort is made to reach out to private businessmen in this country who are interested in investing in developing countries? Answer. AID has communicated its private enterprise initiative to the American business community through a variety of media-including newspapers, magazines, joint AID/OPIC conferences and AID speeches. AID, including the Bureau for Pri- vate Enterprise (PRE), is committed to working closely with American private busi- ness, keeping in mind the lead role of OPIC in working with U.S. business investors in developing countries. While the focus of PRE efforts is "to provide support for the establishment and growth of indigenous private enterprises in less-developed countries” (fiscal year 1985 Congressional Presentation, Annex V, p. 134), PRE believes that U.S. business investors have a role to play in that effort. To date, two American business invest- ments have resulted directly from the first 11 PRE loans. U.S. business investments have also directly and indirectly benefited from PRE's initial grants. We anticipate that future PRE loans under the Revolving Fund will include projects cofinanced by U.S. business investors. PRE currently has joint programs with Business International, the International Executive Service Corps, the Joint Agricultural Consultative Corporation and the Young Presidents Organization. Question 6. AID's strategy for women-in-development efforts has been to move them from programs which specifically benefit women to those which fully integrate women into AID's mainstream programs. Would you provide us with some examples of what you have been doing? Answer. The Agency's current strategy for the implementation of Section 113 of the Foreign Assistance Act emphasizes programs and activities which address women's economic roles and contributions in AID's larger integrated field projects. Recent accomplishments by the Agency's Women in Development Office toward im- plementing this strategy include: Providing technical assistance to 12 missions and funding placement of 20 techni- cal assistants (i.e., economists and social scientists) for major AID projects in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean; Participating in CDSS reviews on Bolivia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Haiti, Jamaica, Peru, Philippines, India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal, Kenya, Zaire and Morocco. At the end of the CDSS cycle, the WID Office will assess the extent to which women in development concerns have been integrated to recommend mecha- nisms to ensure integration in the next round; Instituting cost sharing mechanisms with various missions and AID/W bureaus for the inclusion of women in development issues in field projects ongoing in Peru, Ecuador, Haiti and Jordan, among others: Awarding a grant to the Harvard Institute for International Development (HIID) to produce 10 case studies of AID-funded projects to provide training to senior level AID personnel. These workshops have and will continue to provide Agency staff with the conceptual and analytical skills necessary to implement the Agency's women in developnient strategy. Question 7. The House is considering a bill which would provide $10 million and some local currency to build a Clement J. Zablocki Memorial Outpatient Facility at the American Children's Hospital in Krakow, Poland. Does the Administration support this effort? Answer. We are supportive of the House in its efforts to establish a memorial to the late Chairman Zablocki. The American Children's Hospital is the best medical facility open to the public in Poland and has provided vital treatment to countless Polish children. As a demonstration of American concern for the Polish people, a new facility at this hospital would be a fitting memorial to the late Committee Chairman. However, any additional ESF funding for this project would exceed our budgetary ceiling for the year. For this reason, we cannot support the bill if the source of proposed funding is Economic Support Funds. Question 8. What is AID's reaction to the recent Club du Sahel report finding that goal of food self-sufficiency since the mid-1970's? 309 Answer. Having been one of the leading proponents of the Club's taking an objec- tive assessment of the status of the Sahel, AID quite naturally supports the Club's report, adding, however, that without the infusion of AID and other donor assist- ance the Sahel would have been in a more serious plight than is now the case. Nev- ertheless, the goal of regional self-sufficiency has been most certainly stymied due largely to: A recurring regional drought the magnitude of which equals or in some countries surpasses that of the early 1970's; Many Sahelian countries having phased down agriculture extension efforts in order to comply with IMF conditions governing levels of public service workforce; The non-viability of dryland agricultural technical packages upon which much of the expected improvement in Sahelian agricultural productivity had been predicat- ed; Increasing population growth which continues to outpace increased food produc- tion. In view of the above, AID will: Increasingly support irrigated agriculture activities which offer the only added hope to overcoming future adverse climatic patterns in the region: Encourage Sahelian countries to focus agricultural extension efforts principally upon target groups, areas and technology which are respectively: (1) more respon- sive to innovation/risk; (2) are accessible and have significant production potential; and (3) for which the technical packages have been proven viable; Redouble our efforts in dryland agricultural research to develop primarily new varieties which have greater yield potential and pest resistance; Pursue the introduction of family planning activities in conjunction with its pri- mary health care projects. It is noteworthy that during the previous six years the Sahel did not have the benefit of governmental policies favorable to farm production. Through program as- sistance we have just begun to stimulate policy reform which will shortly provide an environment more conducive to expanded farm production. AID also expects to en- courage increased policy reform through the regular program, Public Law 480 and, in selected cases, through the Economic Policy Initiative. Question 9. Although a growing number of aid recipients are moving from the status of LDC to "middle income country” the developmental needs of these coun- tries continue. What policies and strategies has AID developed to address the devel- opmental needs of middle income countries? Answer. At the heart of AID's approach to the middle income countries is the rec- ognition that AID assistance and programs should be geared to the economic situa- tion and constraints faced by the individual developing country. Since the develop- ment problems faced by each individual developing country are in some respects unique and the mechanisms for AID to address specific development constraints are determined by a variety of country specific factors including AID's comparative ad- vantage in specific activities or sectors, the role of other donors, the size of our pro- gram, etc., there is no standard middle income program or approach applicable to all middle income countries. Nonetheless, the middle income countries as a group do have different economic characteristics from those of most low income countries and this fact is taken into account in the development of AID programs in these countries. For example, in most middle income countries the human, physical and institutional infrastructure is more developed; there is a higher degree of urbanization and manufacturing plays a far larger role in total economic activity. Thus, while AID's program in most middle income countries remains focused on rural poverty and agriculture and on human resource development, in individual country circumstances, we may place in- creased emphasis on addressing specific problems of urban poverty, rural employ- ment generation and non-farm production, and on science and technology relation- ships. This last item is viewed as particularly important in establishing long term institutional relationships which can continue even as the country develops and AID's role is reduced. Question 10. How do the programs and projects developed for the "middle income” countries meet the goals outlined in the “Targeted Aid” amendment to the Foreign Assistance Act? Answer. The basic objective of U.S. economic assistance, whether provided to low or middle income countries, remains to increase the economic well-being and earn- ing capacity of the poor. While economically more developed with a larger economic base and more developed physical, economic and human infrastrucutre, the middle income countries continue to face significant poverty problems. While specific AID programs and projects in the middle income countries need to address the specific 310 problems of the country and may at times differ from those in low income countries, they continue to be intended and structured to assist these countries in increasing the economic potential of the poor. The overall incidence of poverty in these countries is usually lower than in low income countries where poverty is more of an economy-wide phenomenon. Further- more, the urban poor are more likely to represent a larger part of the poverty prob- lem in middle income countries and their problems may in some cases be more in- tractable. Given the generally smaller relative size and different characteristics of the poor in the middle income countries a basic tenent of our economic assistance efforts in these countries is to carefully target the assistance to ensure that it im- pacts on the poor. Question 11. In developing its foreign assistance strategy, how does the United States take into account the large external debt and recurring balance-of-payments problems experienced by many developing countries? Answer. We do not believe that the debt and balance of payments problems that some developing countries are now experiencing can be viewed in isolation. Instead we believe they should be viewed within the context of the process of adjustment to disinflation that the world is undergoing. The economic recovery which is under- way, the existing arrangements for dealing with debt problems, and the recent in- crease in the usable resources of the International Monetary Fund provide the basic elements of the international community's effort to address the debt problem. We thus believe that our present approach which tailors our assistance to the specific circumstances of respective LDCs is appropriate. While our emphasis in using our DA resources is on addressing the basic develop- ment constraints faced in the developing world, including the removal of bottle- necks to efficiency and productive capacity, our approach does provide for balance- of-payments assistance in the form of ESF in situations where countries face serious liquidity problems and where at the same time the United States has strong politi- cal and security interests. This support is often undertaken in conjunction with an IMF program aimed at addressing the underlying economic problems. Thus, through our development projects and our support of the implementation of appropriate eco- nomic policies, we endeavor to strengthen the operation of market forces and in this manner address the need to restrain demand while at the same time contributing to an expanding aggregate domestic supply. We believe that this approach not only will enhance prospects of LDCs meeting their debt service payments, but as well to attaining self sustaining growth. Question 12. Can you give examples of particular aspects of our foreign policy that is a result of debt considerations? Answer. Where developing countries have faced severe balance of payments and debt problems we have in specific cases provided quick disbursing balance of pay- ments assistance through our ESF program. In addition, food aid provided through the U.S. Public Law 480 program can provide quick disbursing balance of payments help. Where the United States provides ESF balance of payments assistance in re- sponse to severe balance of payments problems the country is also typically involved in an IMF stabilization program and frequently an IBRD structural adjustment as well. These programs are aimed at removing some of the fundamental policy distor- tions and reestablishing a sustainable balance of payments position. The United States in providing ESF balance of payments assistance seeks to assure that our as- sistance is not inconsistent with the programs and efforts of the IMF and IBRD and in some cases U.S. assistance has been specifically conditional on the developing country negotiating and staying in compliance with an IMF stabilization agreement. The fundamental thrust of our assistance program has not been changed by the debt situation. We believe that our mission remains one of assisting the LDCs to address their basic development constraints thereby improving efficiency and diver- sifying the production structures of their economies. The debt experience of LDCs over the past few years has however served to reinforce our belief that we must strengthen our efforts to influence LDC economic policies. One of our major ele- ments has been to encourage LDC governments to remove the disincentives and dis- tortions under which the private sector is forced to operate in a number of coun- tries. The tight budget situation in these countries in recent years has also provided increased opportunities for us to encourage action on state owned enterprises that, through their inefficient operations, drain away resources needed for development priorities. Question 13. Despite loan rescheduling and some lowering of interest changes, LDC's paid back $21 billion more than the banks had loaned them in 1983. The World Bank has warned that such a negative flow of funds could impede long-term 311 economic growth in the Third World. How has AID taken this situation into account in structuring its development assistance program. Answer. AID on a case by case basis attempts to tailor its assistance to the needs of countries experiencing balance-of-payment problems. We believe that the most important step that LDCs can take to bring about an increase in the net flow of resources from private banks is that of adapting and implementing adequate adjust- ment programs, and through these programs enhance the perception of their credit- worthiness. As a result, an important element of our overall assistance effort is to engage in a policy dialogue with the developing country and to encourage the devel- oping countries to undertake needed policy reform which will affect not only their capacity to address their immediate balance of payments problems but also increase their longer term development prospects. We look to the IMF as the principal source of balance-of-payments support and expect it to play a critical role in bringing about the adoption of appropriate eco- nomic policies by LDCs. Increasingly in recent years we have used our ESF re- sources to support, reinforce or complement the IMF stabilization and World Bank structural adjustment programs for those countries with severe economic problems. This reflects our view that the adjustment process by LDCs is likely to require both an expanding aggregate domestic supply and a restraining of demand. Thus through our development projects, that make use of our DA resources, and our support of the implementation of appropriate economic policies, we endeavor to address the need to restrain demand while at the same time contributing to an expanding ag- gregate domestic supply. As a development organization AID's emphasis has been and essentially remains on efforts to increase an LDC's productive capacity. Question 14. The Administration contemplates $500 million over 5 years to sup- port sub-Saharan African countries willing to adopt economic policy reforms, but authorization for only the first year ($75 million) is being sought. Recipients have not been identified. Why isn't a multi-year authorization being requested for the proposed Economic Policy Initiative for Africa as it is for the Administration's new program for Central America? Answer. The concept of the Economic Policy Initiative is to provide a catalytic approach to leverage other donors to join in an effort to provide increased assistance to African governments who are willing to undetake policy reforms which foster eq- uitable development opportunities. Since the approach is a pilot effort to test the receptivity of donors and host gov- ernments, our initial effort is limited to an annual authorization and appropriation of funds on a no-year basis. Depending on the initial reception, we may seek a multi-year approach in the future. Question 15. With only a l-year authorization what kind of assurance of a longer- term U.S. commitment can we give African countries which are adopting often diffi- cult policy changes? Answer. That no-year funding aspect of the EPI will allow us to set aside funds for future support of a reform process. Thus, in a 2-year reform package to which we might anticipate contributing $20 million, the initial $10 million could be obli- gated and disbursed at an early stage of the process, with the remaining $10 million made available as the process continues into the second year. In general recipient countries understand the nature of the foreign assistance budgetary process whereby we incrementally fund activities. The 1-year authoriza- tion will not pose an impediment to encouraging reform. Question 16. What makes the goals of the proposed EPI different from those of our regular economic assistance programs in Africa? Answer. The broad goals of the EPI do not differ from those of our regular eco- nomic assistance program. The difference is in the type of constraint attached. The EPI differs in that it focuses directly on and highlights the policy constraints to eq- uitable development. Some part of the regular economic assistance programs also focuses on policy issues but is more generally concerned with the longer run human resources, institutional and technical constraint hindering development. Question 17. Since the recipients are not known, can you tell us what specific po- litical and economic criteria will be used in selecting them? Which countries, if any, are unlikely to receive funding, and why? Answer. In considering how to proceed in implementing the Economic Policy Initi- ative, the selection process for determining which countries best qualify for assist- ance is of primary importance. There are 45 countries in Africa from which a much smaller set must be selected. While we have no rigid number of countries in mind, we believe that in the first year participation by four to six countries would be optimal 312 The following is a tentative set of criteria to be used in the selection process: (1) It is unlikely that largest recipients of U.S. assistance would be selected. These are countries where the policy dialogue is already well advanced and additional EPI monies would be marginal. These are Sudan, Kenya, Somalia and Liberia. (2) It is also unlikely in the first year of the EPI that we would select countries where we have no aid program or only a very small one. AID management capacity is therefore, an important criteria. (3) The country must be undertaking sound macroeconomic policies. This may be in the context of an IMF program but does not have to be if the situation has not warranted it. (4) A generally sound and practical investment/development program. This is more easily demonstrated where the IBRD has approved the program in a Consulta- tive Group (CG) context. But again, there will be countries with sound programs where no formal World Bank approval has taken place. (5) Within this overall framework, the country will have made basic decisions on principal sectoral policies and structure conducive to growth and to a widespread distribution of benefits. Emphasis will be on policies which create incentives to in- crease production-primarily via greater use of market mechanisms. Increasing pro- duction and incomes of small farmers and tradespeople will improve equity and help meet basic human needs requirements. The agriculture sector is particularly important, but the education, health and other sectors can also be considered. (6) There should be an indication of political leadership's commitment to these policies. Evidence would include personal high-level leadership in approving policies and in mobilizing political support for them, actions to implement policies overrid- ing vested interests when necessary, appointment of competent persons in key eco- nomic and development posts, etc. (7) Substantial international support for the country, and substantial consensus among donors that the country is meeting criteria 3 to 6 above. Evidence would in- clude a CG mechanism, or other donor coordination at least in key sectors. (8) An indication that policy improvements will lead to economic improvements. In some countries technical or other nonpolicy constraints may be so overwhelming, that policy changes, while necessary in the long run, may make only a marginal difference, in the near term. (9) An indication that additional resources would make a difference. Evidence could include the inability to reform or decentralize parastatals or development in- stitutions because of transition costs and the need for technical assistance for insti- tutional changes or an inability to import basic necessities, such as fertilizer or spare parts, for sectoral programs. There should also be political/psychological bene- fits from the additional assistance from EPI; e.g. as the capstone for making a CG effective, backing the country leadership in explaining and selling difficult reforms, or in mobilizing additional donor support. Question 18. Although AID has established and publicized the importance of policy reform in sub-Saharan Africa, a 1983 GAO report found that at the country mission level there is often no ongoing effective program in place which recognizes the inherent difficulties in realizing policy reform and the potential long term effort involved. What actions has AID taken to insure that its mission in Africa are undertaking effective policy reform programs? What has AID done to insure that its missions have the capability to undertake such programs? Answer. It is unrealistic to expect that AID will undertake policy reform pro- grams in all or even a majority of African countries. Of the 44 countries in Africa that receive some form of U.S. assistance only 17 have AID missions with staffs that are of a sufficient size to become heavily involved in policy reform programs. In a few others the size of the AID staff may allow substantial policy reform analysis. Given this caveat, AID has initiated several major actions to expand our policy reform agenda. (1) Policy reform has been accorded highest priority in the Africa Bureau's overall strategy. This alerts Missions to the importance to be given policy. (2) The Economic Policy Initiative for Africa directly addresses agricultural policy issues. (3) The Africa Bureau is supporting at least 15 projects in Africa which di- rectly address one or more aspects of agricultural policy reform and in at least 10 cases program assistance (mostly Public Law 480) is aimed clearly at reform. More importantly for the longer term the Bureau is supporting 25 ongoing projects in 13 countries that are primarily concerned with agricultural planning and policy analy- sis and an additional six projects are in the design stage. (4) The Bureau is in the process of establishing Indefinite Quantity Contracts (1QCs) with outside organiza- tions to provide additional policy analysis capability on short notice. (5) In Sudan, Kenya and Somalia, our three largest programs, several million dollars of ESF have 313 been set aside for policy analysis. (6) New agricultural sector assessments will be done in Senegal and Somalia this year. (7) The Africa Bureau has approved a $3 million strategic studies project which will investigate such Africa-wide policy relat- ed issues as food supply and demand by the end of the decade and the importance of economic returns to agriculture at the farm family level, and (8) the Africa Bureau has increased its number of economist positions to improve its policy analysis capa- bility. Those positions will all be filled within the next 4 months. Question 19. The GAO report noted that many missions are not coordinating their efforts with the major bilateral and multilateral African aid donors. Please com- ment. Answer. Donor coordination and communication with host governments on policy reform as well as project development matters has improved substantially over the past few years. This has occurred at headquarters as well as at field levels. An important element of AID's efforts to improve multilateral coordination is the Early Project Notification System that we implement with the World Bank. Under this system, U.S. field missions have an opportunity to comment on IBRD projects at early stages of development and raise important policy as well as technical issues. Both missions and headquarters work together to insure full discussion of these issues. The United States is also very active in Cooperation for Development in Africa (CDA), an organization of the seven major Western donors active in Africa, whose purpose is to improve coordination at the sectoral level in terms of actual project development and implementation. Among other activities, CDA is assisting selected countries to develop forestry sector plans based on a coherent analysis of country needs and designed to address crucial policy questions. Recently, as a follow-up to the policy meeting of the OECD's Development Assist- ance Committee, where the need for improved policy coordination was a major topic of discussion, I directed the principal African missions to contact their OECD coun- terparts in order (a) to initiate joint discussions on important policy issues if this were not already being done and (b) to raise the key policy issues with host govern- ment officials as appropriate. It is important to recognize that some host govern- ments are wary of such donor activities, which they sometimes view as "ganging up.” The Club du Sahel, U.N.-led donor Roundtables, and Consultative Groups are es- tablished mechanisms which can lend themselves to policy discussions. The United States has intervened with the World Bank to argue for the Bank's sponsorship of an increased number of Consultative Groups, where policy discussions are often the most successful. Innovative developments in donor coordination include the formation, in several countries, of ongoing donor committees whose general purpose is to continue discus- sion of major development issues in between formal meetings. A Joint Monitoring Committee charged with tracking the progress of the economic recovery investment plan is in operation in Sudan. Groups have been created in Kenya and Zaire subse- quent to CG meetings for those countries. In Senegal, we are encouraged by the progress made to-date in our ongoing meetings with France and the World Bank, where we have been able to engage in broad based discussions of sectoral policy issues. In Mali, donor efforts have been instrumental in assisting in a restructuring of cereals price policy. Furthermore, since the announcement of the Economic Policy Initiative, a number of donors including the EEC, the U.K., Canada, and Germany have contact- ed us to express interest in cooperating with the United States in this program. To sum up, AID's involvement in coordination of policy and project initiatives in Africa is substantial. There is a lot of room for improvement, and each country must be treated on a case-by-case basis: some governments are more receptive to joint donor activities than others and the level of donor representation also varies by country. Given limited resources and staffing in many cases, AID is encouraging African missions to respond to the recognized need for improved donor coordination by the most appropriate means at their disposal. Question 20. What steps has AID taken to promote better integration of the views of the Departments of Agriculture, State and Treasury into its policy reform pro- grams? Answer. AID, jointly with the State Department, created an interagency working group on the economic crisis in Africa. Better known as the “Wheeler Group" its purpose is to bring together all concerned U.S.G. agencies to exchange views and information on the current economic situation in selected African countries. Among 34-045 0484-21 314 the agencies represented are, AID, State, Treasury, Agriculture, National Security Council and the U.S. Executive Directors to the IMF and IBRD. The Wheeler Group is currently concerned with Sudan, Kenya, Somalia, Zaire, Zambia, Senegal, Liberia and Nigeria. We believe that the Wheeler Group has served to provide a more coordinated U.S. approach to these countries' problems. For example, AID benefits from other views as it prepares for an IBRD sponsored Consultative Group as we believe Treasury does as it prepares for debt rescheduling meeting. Question 21. I have been very supportive of the Administration's initiative with regard to the food emergency in Africa. What steps are you taking to assure that not only are the required amounts of food aid being provided to Africa, but that this food aid will be of the proper type and will be properly managed? In particular, I hope that we can make the best possible use of bagged fortified and processed prod- ucts so that we do not have a repeat of the situation 10 years ago when we appar- ently had large amounts of whole grain piled up on open docks and in inadequate warehouses. Answer. AID Missions work with other members of the donor community to ana- lyze host government requests for food aid and to determine the type and quantity of food each donor can provide. An affected country might sometimes need more food aid than it can adequately store, transport and deliver. Large amounts of emer- gency assistance might also contribute to disincentives on production and marketing of domestically grown food. In these cases, the AID Mission requests less food aid than it would under optimum conditions. Through discussions among private and voluntary agencies, AID Missions, host governments, and AID/Washington, the elements necessary for the proper manage- ment of food programs are analyzed and reinforced if called for. Before the Develop- ment Coordinating Committee (DCC) approves an emergency program, it must be assured that proper accountability systems are in place and that personnel are ca- pable of adequately implementing and monitoring the programs. As the program is implemented, Missions survey storage facilities and monitor other donor shipments to avoid congestion. Food monitors are hired when appropriate to verify that food is being distributed as planned. The type of food provided as food aid reflects the kind of programs it will be used in. Maternal child health programs and on-site feeding programs, focussing on vul- nerable groups such as children under five years of age, benefit more from high-cost fortified and processed commodities than do general free distribution programs or monetization programs. Whole grains and oil are more appropriate for the latter programs. In developing their proposals, Missions and voluntary agencies recommend the form of commodity packaging. The type of port and transport facilities available are a major factor in determining whether bagged or bulk commodities are more appro- priate. Question 22. What is being done to assure proper management and logistic sup port, including hiring logistic specialists or contractors? With regard to our food aid programs generally, are we making the best use possible of the various processed products that we have here in the United States? As I understand it, on occasion, we may be shipping products that require further processing and packaging abroad before they can actually reach those in need. Are we taking every opportunity to ship processed, fortified and bagged products in our food aid programs? Answer. Before approving food programs our overriding concern is assessing the capability of the cooperating organization to provide food aid to the intended recipi- ents. This is done both in the field and in Washington. Resources are available from development assistance funded Outreach and Program Support & Management ac- tivities in the FFP program to assist PVOs to develop their logistical capabilities, improve their management and extend their outreach efforts. Fortified and blended foods are particularly valuable in child nutrition programs; in Maternal/Child Health programs run by voluntary agencies, and in food-for-work programs. Voluntary agencies work closely with AID Missions and FFP/Washington to determine the most appropriate commodities for their programs. PVOs are en- couraged to include fortified and blended foods in their commodity ration. We are making a major effort to have all processed foods packaged in the United States before shipment overseas. Bulk shipments of cereals are largely confined to emergency programs and those where significant cost savings can be realized for the program. Question 23. I understand that over 85 percent of our Public Law 480 Title I pro- grams worldwide are in wheat and rice. I also know that products such as soybean 315 oil are badly needed. Are we doing everything possible to assure a balanced mix of commodities in these programs? Answer. In fiscal year 1983, the commodities financed for Title I (including Title III) were as follows: (Dollars in millions] Commodity Amount Percent Wheat ........ Flour..... (Wheat and flour) Rice........ (Wheat, flour, and rice)... Vegetable oil .......... Feedgrains....... Cotton .... Beans... $414.8 107.5 (522.3) 121.1 643.4 101.8 38.5 10.2 2.1 52.1 13.5 (65.6) 15.2 (80.8) 12.8 4.8 1.3 0.3 Total ....... 796.0 100.0 Very careful attention is given to getting a balanced mix of commodities in these programs, both from the overall point of view of the U.S. agricultural situation, and of the U.S. agricultural market development, humanitarian, economic development, and foreign policy interests in each country with which a Title I or Title III agree- ment is negotiated. The Washington agencies charged with administering the Title I program and our field missions overseas work together to get a balanced commodity mix that will promote all the objectives of the program. Question 24. Going back to the issue of proper management of our emergency and other programs, I certainly hope that some of these funds for these programs will be applied to direct management and logistic control of the resources that we are making available. I think the last thing we want is to authorize large shipments of food and then see that they cannot be moved or effectively handled once they arrive. Is additional management assistance of this type being contemplated? Answer. In programming the Public Law 480 emergency reserve, we meet logistic and management costs with funds from the Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA), the Refugee Program, voluntary agencies, the World Food Program and host governments as well as by monetizing Public Law 480 commodities in selected cases. In addition to these funding sources, we are exploring whether additional re- sources might be-required to fund inland transport of Public Law 480 commodities in conjunction with the proposed supplemental appropriation. OFDA will send mis- sions to evaluate the logistical and management requirements of proposed emergen- cy food aid programs in the early stages of developing an appropriate response to emergency requests. Question 25. Have we made it any easier for U.S. firms interested in joint venture arrangements or some type of private sector involvement in Africa to assist in infra- structure development in areas such as food storage and handling, inland transpor- tation, port facilities, etc.? Answer. This administration has undertaken a number of specific efforts directed at encouraging broader participation of U.S. firms in Africa. For example, one of the first decisions made by Peter McPherson after being named Administrator of the Agency for International Development was the creation of a bureau for Private Enterprise (PRE). The direct mandate of this bureau is to seek out and encourage opportunities for U.S. firms in those countries where AID is active. The Africa Bureau established a new Office of Private Enterprise Development in December, 1983 which will work with AID missions in Africa to promote new invest- ments and joint ventures with U.S. companies. The priority areas will be agricul- ture and agribusiness including food marketing, storage and handling. This office also represents AID in a new InterAgency Group on Private Sector Activities in Africa whose current task is the review of country strategies aimed at facilitating U.S. private investments in Africa. In addition, renewed emphasis has been given to the activities carried out by our Trade and Development Program, which with OPIC works to help U.S. companies find and develop investment opportunities overseas. OPIC and PRE have organized and led investment missions to a number of African countries. The financing of fea- 316 sibility studies when such investment opportunities appear promising is also possible. AID has helped to organize trade fairs overseas where U.S. companies are invited to explore export markets and seek out opportunities for joint ventures and co-fi- nancing. Recent trade fairs in Africa have been held in Zimbabwe and Somalia. Question 26. What has AID done with the Section 416 program since it received management authority 6 months ago for this activity from the Department of Agri- culture? How many projects have you approved and where are they? In addition, do you think it would be a good idea to expand Section 416 authority to other products that are in CCC inventory? We certainly have a number of products in U.S. Govern- ment storage beyond just dairy products. Would it be useful to be able to make those products available for various purposes? Do you favor some limited resale of 416 commodities? Answer. Since the transfer of Section 416 authority to AID in August 1983, 14 pro- grams have been approved, involving 113,750 MT of commodities. Then additional programs, that will need another 25,188 MT, are in stages preceding approval. Coun- tries where one or more programs have been approved are Poland, Brazil, Chile, Haiti, Mexico, Peru, Mauritania, Mozambique, Tanzania and Sri Lanka. Expansion of Section 416 authority to include other commodities in CCC invento- ry would be beneficial in that a more nutritional and complete food package could be provided to needy recipients. Offering a selection of surplus cereal products that enjoy world wide acceptability and are easier to store than dairy products would make the program more attractive. Then addition of other commodities also would make 416 more effective for emergency feeding. We believe the sale of 416 commodities in recipient countries, i.e., "monetization”, would make sense in certain situations, and would help achieve the law's objective. The most basic need for monetization comes from recipient countries which, in many instances, do not have the resources to fund distribution to the needy. If a portion of the 416 commodities could be processed and sold the proceeds would serve to allevi- ate this problem. Question 27. I understand we donate about $250 million in commodities and serv- ices to the World Food Program every 2 years. How much of this is in the processed and fortified products I referred to earlier? What steps does the United States take to encourage the World Food Program to use these products in their project activi- ties? Answer. In fiscal year 1983, 35 percent of the commodities donated under the reg- ular pledge to WFP were blended and processed foods. Fiscal year 1983 actual shipments to WFP (140,425 MT) Percent Blended foods-Corn/soy milk, instant corn/soy milk, corn/soy blend, wheat/soy blend and wheat/soy milk 5 Soy fortified foods—Flour, bulgur, oats, sorghum, grits and cornmeal..... 1 Other processed—Wheat flour, bulgur and cornmeal.......... 19 Vegetable oil ..... 3 Nonfat dry milk 7 The USG reviews WFP projects to assure that the donation of commodities will be appropriate for the maximum nutritional supplement. Regular discussions are car- ried on with WFP officials in Rome on how USG blended foods can enhance the nutritional balance of project food baskets. AID field mission staff collaborates with the WFP country representative in developing program proposals. FFP/WFP offi- cials also meet periodically with representatives of the blended and processed food industries to discuss how these products can best be utilized, especially in the Mother/Child Health and at-risk group projects. Question 28. Do we provide only food to the World Food Program? What about providing funds to assist them in proper management of these foods when they arrive in the recipient country? Is providing just commodities enough, or should we be concerned about assisting them also with funds for in-country management and logistic support? Answer. The USG pledge to the World Food Program for the 1983–1984 biennium is broken down as follows: $250 million pledged; $188 million in commodities; $59 million for freight; and $3 million for WFP Administration. In addition an average of 125,000 MT/year of commodities are donated to WFP under the International Emergency Food Reserve. In order to improve food management in recipient countries WFP meets 50 per- cent of in country commodity transport costs from their own cash resources. Recent- 317 ly WFP has been able to improve the management of field programs by expanding their field staff with funding from increases in their administrative budget. In special cases such as the refugee program in Somalia and the Food for Work program in Bangladesh the USG has also contributed to the costs of internal trans- port. The USG's support of the WFP consists principally of food commodities. We are the major supplier of commodities to WFP. For other donors who are not major food exporters, we urge that they contribute cash to the WFP to help finance manage- ment and logistical support. Question 29. This year is the 30th anniversary of Public Law 480. What is AID doing to make the public and others aware of this event and its importance to our- selves both domestically and internationally? Are you working with any private or- ganizations or foundations to coordinate and commemorate this event? If so, I would be very interested in learning more about who these groups are, what their plans are, and the schedule of events. It would seem to me that some of the groups that would be particularly interested in commemorating this event would be those here in the United States that have benefitted from this program such as our commodity and agribusiness organizations, labor organizations that are involved in various in- dustries such as the food processing industry, and the transport industry, and others. Are you developing any plans to coordinate the various interests of these groups in this major program which has meant so much to us and people through- out the world? Answer. The Agency for International Development in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), private voluntary organizations and the private sector will commemorate the 30th anniversary of the Food for Peace program with a series of events beginning in the summer of 1984. The program will be conducted at national, state and local levels and will be designed to build and strengthen awareness among leaders at all three levels of the problem of world hunger and the role that Food for Peace and other development activities have played in reducing hunger. The events will include conferences, workshops, televents, and a variety of cere- monial events. In planning these events AID will work very closely with several PVOs and foun- dations. Grant proposals have been received and are under review at this time. AID will also work closely with groups such as commodity and agribusiness orga- nizations, labor organizations, food processors and the transport industry. As indi- cated in your statement, these groups have benefitted from the programs. Several firms have been contacted and they have already expressed interest in participating fully in a number of events. AID believes that a world without hunger would be a more stable world. The 30th anniversary of Food for Peace is an appropriate time to educate the public about world hunger and explore ways that both the private and public sectors can work to eliminate it. AID's RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR PELL Question 1. Current law requires AID to channel a fixed percentage of its program level budget through private voluntary organizations (PVO’s). How well is AID com- plying with that provision of law, and what plans do you have for enhancing the AID/PVO relationship in the fiscal 1985 program? Answer. For fiscal year 1985, we estimate AID support for PVO's at 14.3 percent. This figure is consistent with assistance levels from fiscal year 1984 and is nearly a full percent higher than fiscal year 1983. Past experience shows that additional PVO activities funded in the operational year could raise this percentage by 1-2 percentage points. Many PVO proposals are received too late to be included in the annual budget planning cycle, which is 18 months in advance for the Operational Year Budget (OYB). For example, in the fiscal year 1984 CP we projected 13.1 percent for PVO activities; the current fiscal year 1984 estimate is 14.4 percent. Over the coming year, we will continue to explore ways in which the AID/PVO partnership can be strengthened. This will include encouraging PVO participation in AID's country programming process to help target programs on country-specific development needs and priorities; increasing the emphasis on cost-sharing in PVO grant relationships to protect their independent and voluntary nature; establishing a centralized information coordination and dissemination capability to ensure AID awareness of PVO strenghts and characteristics and PVO knowledge of AID sectoral 318 and country priorities; and continuing consultation with the Advisory Committee on Voluntary Foreign Aid on issues of mutual concern. In the last decade, AID support for PVO administered development programs has increased more than fourfold from less than $50 million in fiscal year 1973 to over $244 million projected in fiscal year 1985. Question 2. The President's fiscal 1985 AID request includes an expanded budget for the Biden-Pell development education grant program. How well has that pro- gram gone in the past 3 years, and what have these grants accomplished, in your view? Answer. Approximately 20 grantees funded, over the past 2 years are now provid- ing a wide range of development education activities for population groups in towns and cities throughout the United States. Information from project progress reports indicates that initial activities have been quite successful. In terms of accomplishments over the past 3 years, we are: Providing funds to PVO's through a competitive, cost-shared grant program which supports their efforts to increase public awareness of issues relating to hunger and poverty. We are currently in our 3rd cycle of grant awards and expect to complete our fiscal year 1984 selection process by July. . Introducing curricular material into the U.S. school system and encouraging the leadership of national educational associations to recognize the value and signifi- cance of global issues for public school curricula. We intend to continue our support of the production and dissemination of curricular materials through 1985. Encouraging increased coverage through Media roundtables designed to increase the quality and quantity of media attention to issues pertaining to world hunger and development. We are also exploring innovative ways to use media to educate a TV viewing audience. A series of "Televents," blending entertainment and factual data on development, is being tested in five U.S. cities. We expect to continue our support of this initiative through fiscal year 1985. We recently commissioned the services of an independent evaluator to undertake a more in-depth review of the program. The review will: (1) determine how effective the Program has been in carrying out the objectives of the Biden-Pell Amendment; (2) get a sense of the Program's actual and potential impact on individuals, institu- tions and communities across the United States; (3) clarify criteria for assessing the Program's current and future effectiveness and impact; and (4) develop evaluation objectives, guidelines, and concerns that can be incorporated into the evaluation strategies for all grants. The analysis of the data from this preliminary study will generate two reports; Effectiveness and Impact of Development Education Project Grants, and Evaluation Guidelines for Development Education Project Grants. Both these reports will be available later this year. Question 3. The Foreign Assistance Act contains various provisions governing the environmental impact of U.S. AID projects in the developing countries. (1) What are AID's planned and current efforts in the environmental field, and (2) how many country-level environmental profiles have been prepared by AID? Answer. (1) The following table contains information on the current and planned funding levels for Agency activities in Forestry, Environment and Natural Re- sources which was provided to Congress in the 1985 CP. As we explained in that document, these figures are the result of the development of a new and improved reporting system which includes all projects that deal substantively with the sound management of productive renewable natural resources such as agricultural land, forests, water and rangelands. It does not include traditional production oriented ag. ricultural projects. thousands of dollars] Fiscal years— Type of activity 1983 1984 1985 Agency total ......... $145,020 $125,643 $108,889 ...... Forest management......... Integrated land and multiple resource management. Soils management...... Rangeland management Water resources management. 34,281 47,997 40 15,774 33,487 15,319 66,791 911 875 17,121 23,365 6,170 750 1,100 12,510 to 319 Fiscal years- Type of activity 1983 1984 1985 Pollution control ............ Other environmental 262 13,199 15,000 9,626 4,994 In addition, for the first time, a "water quality improvement” category invest- ment by the Near East Bureau on construction and rehabilitation of water and sew- erage systems. The totals for this category are: [In thousands of dollars] Fiscal year — Type of activity 1983 1984 1985 Water quality improvement $119,456 $47,619 $3,504 (2) The Agency is very actively assisting host governments in the planning and preparation of country-level environmental profiles or other similar analytical and policy-oriented documents such as National Conservation Strategies or Natural Re- source Sector Assessments. The table below shows the countries where such studies are completed or underway as well as those where we have active plans to prepare them. Region/country Type of study Completed/ underway Planned Tbd......... Х DisPro ...... X ........... X X Х Tbd.......... Tbd........... Tbd.......... CEP ............ NRSA ....... NRSA CEP ......... X ......... X X X ....... CEP ......... NCS........... NCS........ NCS........ X X X X ..... Africa: Cameroon......... Kenya Niger Rwanda ........ Senegal........ Somalia....... Sudan Upper Volta Zaire ......... Asia: Indonesia ........ Nepal....... Philippines Sri Lanka ....... Latin America and Caribbean: Belize ....... Bolivia Costa Rica ........ Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador ....... Guatemala Haiti Honduras Panama Paraguay ... Peru....... Central American Regional. Near East: Egypt........ Turkey ....... CEP ......... CEP ......... CEP ..... CEP ...... CEP ....... CEP CEP ....... ..... CEP ........ CEP ....... CEP.... CEP ..... CEP ...... Tbd......... X ....... х X X Х X X Х Х X X X ..... X X CEP CEP P...... Х All (number) 18 10 1 Tod=to be determined; DisPro=District Profiles; NRSA=Natural Resource Sector Assessments; CEP=Country-Level Environmental Profiles; NCS=National Conservation Strategies. 320 Question 4. Senator Dodd, Bingham and I sent you a letter two weeks ago con- cerning published reports of the misuse of Public Law 480 Title II food donations in El Salvador. What is the status of your investigation into these allegations, and have you asked the AID Inspector General to undertake a full review of the uses, and possible misuses of our bilateral aid to El Salvador? Answer. I replied to your question in a letter dated February 28. Copies were sent to Senators Dodd and Bingham. A copy of that letter is attached for your informa- tion. U.S. INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT COOPERATION AGENCY, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, Washington, D.C., February 28, 1984. Hon. CLAIBORNE PELL, U.S. Senate, Washington, D.C. DEAR SENATOR PELL: Thank you for your letter of February 3, 1984 conc ncerning the alleged sale of Public Law 480, Title II food on the local market in various depart- ments of El Salvador. I can assure you of our continued concern on this matter and report the following developments. Immediately following the January 31 article in the New York Times, I sent Charles Gladson, our Deputy Assistant Administrator of the Bureau for Food for Peace and Voluntary Assistance, and a senior Food for Peace officer to El Salvador to do a survey of the Title II distribution areas mentioned in the article. Their visit, closely coordinated by our Mission in San Salvador, was comprehen- sive and included visits to San Vicente and Cojutepeque, two cities referred to in the Times' article. Additional visits were made to the key distribution localities of Son- sonate, Santa Tecla, San Miguel and Usulutan. Assisted by Government of El Salva- dor (GOES) officials, the team conducted indepth interviews with distribution work- ers, civil leaders, military commanders and, in the case of San Vicente, four women arrested and held with Title II commodities which they had been selling. Visits to the displaced persons encampment there included verification of receipts, recipient cards, as well as discussions with numerous Title II food recipients. Conferences were held with high level GOES officials, among them Minister of Interior Manuel Sermeno, the Directors of Conades and Dideco, the two Govern- ment of El Salvador distributing agencies, the Governor of San Vicente, the military commanders of San Vicente and the province of Cuscatlan, and the Inspector Gener- al of the GOES armed forces Colonel Louis Amaya. Also participating in the field visits and meetings were the directors of the World Food Program, Acting Directors of Catholic Relief Services (CRS) and the Red Cross. These organizations have oper- ational programs in these localities. A close review was also made of the displaced persons program food control system from arrival at port to distribution points, as well as existing controls on the borrowing of Title II commodities among ongoing programs. Finally, a close study was made in San Vicente of the CRS and Conades distribution mechanisms at the local level. In summary, the assessment of the survey team was that the reported diversions and misuse of Title II food were minor in scope, minimum in quantity, and originat- ed from a small number of individual displaced persons. Furthermore, the sales oc- curred on a small scale at specific market stalls and were confined to several one- gallon cans of vegetable oil and a few bags of bulgur. Numerous U.S. Title II sacks filled with grain were seen behind small individual sales stalls, but were found to have been refilled with local and legitimate products. The sacks had been obtained gratis and empty, and had simply been re-used. The bags also were utilized for a number of other purposes, as sand bags at protective points guarding the GOES military headquarters. Field visits to six other market places throughout the country were completed Friday, February 10. They uncovered no recurrence or pattern of petty sales, as had been recorded in San Vicente and Cojutepeque. These observations were confirmed independently by the leading commercial dis- tributor of salad oil in El Salvador. Consultations with the company's regional sales managers confirmed to the team that instances of market sales of one-gallon cans of Title II vegetable oil had been seen in only two localities-San Vicente and Sensun- tepeque, and in very small quantities. The Mission visited Sensuntepeque and found no further trace of Title II misuse. 321 These findings are preliminary and the review is being continued. However, the team is convinced that the existing distribution program is basically sound and that no suspension or reallocation of ongoing distribution is advisable or necessary. The team feels, however, that the intensified program of supervision and monitoring at the local end use level, initiated in August 1983 by Conades in 6 departments, should be expanded. The team reviewed with the Mission the plan for a comprehen- sive audit which had been arranged in consultation with the Inspector General/ Washington staff. The team also discussed the creation of a cadre of training field inspectors to review the Title II programs and report to USAID. GOES officials appear amendable to the concept, and it is to be further developed in the near future. At this time, we feel that the prompt and vigorous action taken by civic and mili- tary officials and its ample publicity will serve to reinforce the adequate controls now in place. The AID Inspector General has communicated with the El Salvador Mission Di- rector concerning the authorization of a local audit of the Title II program, which will be undertaken shortly. I appreciate very much your concern and will keep you informed of further devel- opments. If I can provide you with further information, please let me know. Sincerely, M. PETER MCPHERSON. U.S. SENATE, Washington, D.C., February 3, 1984. Mr. M. PETER MCPHERSON, Administrator, Agency for International Development, Washington, D.C. DEAR MR. McPHERSON: We are deeply concerned about reports that food provided on a grant basis by the United States under Public Law 480, Title II is being sold in local markets in various Departments in El Salvador. According to an article in the New York Times of January 31, vendors are selling wheat, corn, rice, and cooking oil from bags and containers stamped “Not to be sold or exchanged.” According to sources cited in the article, donated foodstuffs have been sold in the market in San Vicente and in the Department of Usulutan. We are especially concerned with this situation in light of AID's participation in the Salvadoran Government's recently initiated National Plan, designed to "win the hearts and minds” of the people of the Departments of San Vicente and Usulutan. The sale of American food, originally intended as an important demonstration of United States desire to help the beleaguered people of El Salvador, raises serious questions regarding United States economic assistance in that country. We are par- ticularly disturbed by this development because it tends to further erode public con- fidence in our foreign assistance program. Furthermore, we believe that this kind of illegal diversion of our aid resources raises doubts about the ability of USAID, and the Salvadoran government to properly monitor and implement an expanded aid program there. As Members of the Senate with important responsibilities for helping determine U.S. policy in Central America, we request that the AID Inspector General under- take an immediate, and comprehensive review of this, and similar problems of di- version or misuse of our economic assistance to El Salvador. We are also considering a request the GAO review this issue. We hope that you agree that any adequate review of the President's fiscal 1984 and 1985 request for aid to Central America must first concern itself with how well we are managing existing aid resources. Sincerely, CLAIBORNE PELL. CHRISTOPHER J. DODD. JEFF BINGAMAN. Question 5. In fiscal year 1982, the Congress provided $350 million in what was then described as a one time only emergency infusion of economic aid to the coun- tries of the Caribbean Basin. Now, in the fiscal year 1985 request, we are presented with a 5-year $8.4 billion economic plan designed to improve the stagnating econo- mies of the region. What concrete economic gains were realized by the CBI emer- gency aid? Answer. The fiscal year 1982 funds provided as part of the original CBI legislation were emergency funding for an immediate problem in the Caribbean Basin. It was aimed at helping to restore confidence and stability in the face of a precipitous drop 322 in essential export earnings from sugar, bananas, bauxite, tourism and the like. These funds were disbursed as rapidly as possible, subject to policy conditions, and largely achieved their purpose of preventing economic collapse and buying time for countries to adjust to the severe economic problems they were facing. The $8.4 billion economic package proposed for Central America by the Bipartisan Commission on Central America seeks a comprehensive solution to a set of serious and deep rooted problems. It addresses the very broad objectives of peace, stability, long-term economic growth and democracy. These are extremely ambitious goals, given the political turmoil and social unrest in the region. As the Bipartisan Com- mission indicates in its report, solution of these problems will require a massive effort by the Central Americans themselves, and the proposed assistance can only play a supporting role. If the goals can be achieved, however, the money will have been well spent. Question 6. Has AID done a preliminary analysis of the impact of the CBI on the beneficiaries of the program? Answer. AID is participating in an interagency CBI Committee that is now ana- lyzing this issue. That report is not yet completed, but contains AID's preliminary analysis of its CBI activities to date, including the uses of the CBI Supplemental Appropriation. We will be happy to provide a copy of the report when it is available. Question 7. The President's fiscal 1985 request would, if adopted, reduce economic aid to Israel by $60 million from the levels approved by the Congress last November. What was the rationale for this reduction in aid to Israel? Answer. The Administration's request level for economic assistance to Israel is $850 million, $65 million more than the fiscal year 1984 request. Moreover, because of the shift to grant FMS, the interest saved on FMS loans brings the net value of this year's proposal very close to last year's Congressional appropriation. As in fiscal year 1984, $785 million would be a cash transfer for balance of payments sup- port. The remaining $65 million would provide one-time endowments for four United States-Israeli foundations. The level and terms of our assistance proposal were determined after careful and thorough review. As in the past, the level of pro- posed assistance was influenced by our own tight budgetary ceiling and the need to assure that the level of assistance to Israel within the ceiling does not force reduc- tions in other programs vital to U.S. security and cause misperceptions among our other friends and allies. I would also note that Israel's economic problems can only be resolved if the Is- raeli Government and people are willing to undertake a far reaching economic sta- bilization program and implement it consistently over an extended period of time. Additional ESF assistance-whatever the level-will not get at the basic problems that beset the economy. Question 8. To what extent were factors such as Israel's 200 percent inflation rate, or its heavy debt burden to the United States taken into consideration when making the decision to reduce aid? Answer. In determining the proposed terms of our ESF and FMS programs we took Israel's debt service burden into account. Our economic assistance to Israel helps it to finance its non-defense balance of payments deficit without relying unduly on high cost commercial borrowing or drawing down foreign exchange re- serves. We considered all components of the balance of payments, including debt service, in the process of deciding upon an appropriate ESF level to propose. Israel's high inflation rate is a serious problem, but not one which is amenable to solution by increasing the aid level. Question 9. Although economic aid to Israel was reduced in the President's budget, ESF to Egypt was not. What factors influenced the decision to maintain Egyptian economic aid while reducing Israel's? Answer. As indicated previously, the Administration's request for economic assist- ance to Israel is $65 million higher in fiscal year 1985 than it was in fiscal year 1984, not lower. Question 10. Last autumn the AID Administrator (Mr. McPherson) sent Congress a program change notification to reobligate $103 million in project funds as a cash grant transfer to assist Egypt with its balance of payments problem. What is the current status of that request? Answer. AID continues to believe that the $103 million deobligated from previous year programs should be reobligated as a cash transfer. We propose doing a cash transfer to indicate our support for the important political relationship between the Government of Egypt and the United States. We feel that this use of the deobligated funds will enable us to test the effectiveness of a cash transfer without setting a precedent for how we program our annual ESF program. 323 We have received word from our Mission in Cairo that a letter has been received from the Government of Egypt requesting that approximately $1.1 million be de- linked from the $103 million and reobligated as an amendment to the CIP. This amount must be either reobligated by the end of the month or returned to the U.S. Treasury. Based on this request, we plan to notify Congress of our intent to reobli- gate the approximately $1.1 million as a Commodity Import Program. We continue to support the reobligation of the remainder as a cash transfer. Question 11. Since that request was made, the Egyptian Government has asked that $200 million of the annual $750 million ESF program for Egypt be made as a cash grant transfer. What is the administration's position on this issue? Do you believe that an IMF agreement should be in place before the United States makes this kind of change in its aid program? Answer. The Administration has not proposed that a $200 million cash grant be part of the annual $750 million ESF program for Egypt. We are ready to consider cash transfers to Egypt, as we do elsewhere, in the context of demonstrable need and significant efforts by the Government of Egypt to deal with its economic diffi- culties. The magnitude and timing of such transfers can only be determined in this context. The Administration does not expect an IMF agreement to be in place prior to a cash transfer program. To the extent that the availability of AID resources assists a country conclude an IMF agreement, if needed, we are prepared to consider a cash transfer as part of an overall package. However, the key factor in AID's determina- tion to the appropriateness of a cash transfer is the seriousness and pace of the re- cipient government's own structural reform efforts. Question 12. What progress has been made in reducing the large Egyptian aid pipeline which had reached $2.7 billion last year? Answer. I am pleased to say that program implementation improved dramatically in fiscal year 1983 over prior years' performance. Expenditures exceeded new obligations for the first time since the resumption of U.S. assistance in 1974. Whereas fiscal year 1983 obligations were $750 million in ESF and $266.8 million in public law 480, ESF expenditures in fiscal year 1983 to- talled $856 million and total expenditures, including public law 480, were over $1 billion. For the first time, therefore, growth of the pipeline was reversed. From a peak of nearly $2.7 billion at the end of fiscal year 1982, it dropped to a little under $2.5 billion at the end of FY 1983. We expect the program momentum to continue, reflecting a project portfolio under full-scale implementation and increased attention to project management. Question 13. In several cases, notably Zimbabwe and Pakistan, the fiscal 1985 re- quest has shifted economic aid from all ESF to a Development Assistance/ESF divi- sion. What was the rationale for providing some of our economic aid as develop- ment, rather than ESF, assistance? Answer. Zimbabwe. For fiscal year 1985, $15 million each in ESF and DA is re- quested. The $15 million DA is requested to support the ongoing Basic Education and Skills Training project and to provide the final tranche of funding for the Child Spacing and Fertility project, which is assisting the Government of Zimbabwe in ad- dressing their population problem. DA funding is appropriate for these ongoing human resources and population activities. We believe the program in Zimbabwe can now begin moving to development assistance. The $15 million ESF will provide final funding of $11.3 million for the Agriculture Sector Assistance program, as well as $3.7 million for the ongoing Basic Education and Skills Training project. Pakistan. When assistance to Pakistan was resumed in 1981, there was consider- able discussion whether to use ESF or DA. Favoring ESF, we were supporting a country which, since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, had become important to U.S. security interests. On the other hand, some of the types of projects we dis- cussed with the Pakistan Government were strongly developmental in character, similar to DA projects elsewhere. At the time we resumed a program in Pakistan, Congress determined that assistance should be provided as all-ESF. There are valid reasons for returning to a portion of DA funding in fiscal year 1985—as your com- mittee encouraged us to do so. The primary reason is that many of these projects qualify for DA funding, in terms of substance, and it is our wish to recognize this the way the program is funded. 324 AID'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR KASSEBAUM Question 1. Please provide a list of those countries likely to encounter difficulty in meeting their debt obligations to the U.S. Government and to U.S. commercial insti- tutions this year to the extent that rescheduling is seriously contemplated. What AID and State programs contained in this year's request are intended to directly address this issue? What are the projections of the impact of these programs? To what extent will additional U.S. loans to these countries add to the seriousness of this problem? Answer. The following countries have made a request to the Paris Club, the inter- national mechanism for the renegotiation of official and officially guaranteed debt, for rescheduling of their debt services payments: (1) Dominican Republic; (2) Ivory Coast; (3) Madagascar; (4) Nigeria; (5) Philip- pines; (6) Poland; (7) Sudan; (8) Uganda; (9) Yugoslavia; (10) Cuba; and (11) Argenti- na. We anticipate that the following countries will make a similar request over the next few months. (1) Togo; (2) Zambia; (3) Jamaica; (4) Costa Rica; (5) Mozambique; (6) Bolivia; and (7) Guyana Of these 11 countries that have already, requested Paris Club rescheduling of their debt service payments, 6 (Ivory Coast, Nigeria, Poland, Yugoslavia, Cuba, and Ar- gentina) are not currently AID recipients. The 5 remaining countries have or are in the process of negotiating a stabilization agreement with the IMF. In the case of the Dominican Republic, Philippines, and Sudan the AID program request for fiscal year 1985 calls for ESF allocations of $45 million, $95 million, and $120 million, re- spectively, in direct balance of payments assistance. In addition, development assist- ance totaling almost $101 million is planned for these 5 countries to support projects designed to address basic development constraints and production bottlenecks in their economies. These assistance efforts should enhance the prospects of their at- taining a sustainable balance of payments position over the medium term and longer term. Of the seven countries that are expected to request Paris Club rescheduling of their debt service payments, two are not currently AID recipients. (Mozambique and Guyana). Three of the five remaining countries, Zambia, Jamaica, and Costa Rica, would receive balance of payments support in the form of allocations of ESF in the amounts of $20 million, $70 million, and $160 million, respectively. The five coun- tries together would receive $83 million in development assistance. The international community, including the IMF and the IBRD, through their stabilization and structural adjustment programs, can play a key role in increasing the developing countries' ability to reduce debt arrears and resume the servicing of their debt obligations in an orderly and timely manner. Much will depend, however, on continued adequate financing in support of their adjustment programs and sus- tained world economic recovery. We do not believe the additional loans we plan to extend to these countries in FY 1985 and over the years ahead will add to the debt problems. It should be noted that five of the countries experiencing debt problems—Madagascar, Sudan, Uganda, Togo, Zambia-are programmed to receive AID assistance only in the form of grants. The other five countries will receive about two-fifths of their assistance ($498.4 million in total) from AID in the form of loans. The most stringent loan terms will carry a 20-year maturity, including a 10-year grace period, with interest at 2 percent during grace period and 3 percent during amortization. Given this mix between loans and grants, and the concessional element and grace period of loans it is unlikely that additional prudent lending to these countries will contribute to their debt problems. Question 2. Is it correct that an AID contract for South Africa black student schol- arships to American institutions provides for $550,000 in overhead to administer only $400,000 worth of student grants? Is this a typical situation? Can you cite a privately funded scholarship program that allows $1.38 in overhead for each $1.00 in scholarship awards? Answer. In June 1983 AID entered into a contract with the Small Business Ad- ministration for the services of a minority business firm to provide AID with techni- cal and advisory services to place and support approximately 20 South African stu- dents in U.S. colleges and universities. The contract budget provided $435,290 for scholarships, $521,307 for administrative costs, and $43,141 for the fixed fee, for a total of $999,728. Included in the amount for administrative costs was $187,031 for overhead, at the provisional rate of 101.94 percent of direct labor costs ($183,472). 325 Thus, the overhead cost was 43 percent of the scholarship costs, while the total of the administrative costs plus the fixed fee was 130 percent of the scholarship costs. The amount of scholarships excludes tuition, in the expectation that most of the training institutions would waive the tuition. If tuition were added to the scholar- ship costs, the ratio for administrative costs would be reduced somewhat. Further, the overhead rate has been reduced to 51 percent, reducing further the ratio for ad- ministrative costs. Question 3. What portion of the dollar value of AID contracts is awarded on the basis of lowest price bidder? Answer. For the last 3 fiscal years, an average of 5 percent; 3 percent in fiscal year 1981, 4 percent in fiscal year 1982, and 8 percent in fiscal year 1983. Question 4. Do you have plans to increase that portion? Answer. No. Question 5. If not, why not? Answer. Awards solely on the basis of lowest price bid are for formally advertised, fixed-price contracts. Such contracts are suitable when the work to be performed can be precisely defined, and is of such a nature that a fixed-price can reasonably be established-a minimum of variables and unknown's and maximum specificity as to time and requirements. This is most often the case when items of hardware are being purchased. AID contracts are mostly for technical services for which cost-re- imbursement contracts are more appropriate. Cost-reimbursement contracts are suitable when the work to be performed cannot be precisely defined, and the cost of the work cannot reasonably be fixed. In awarding cost-reimbursement contracts, the proposed cost should not be the controlling factor, since such advance estimates may not accurately reflect final, actual costs. To award cost-reimbursement contracts primarily on the basis of lowest estimated cost might encourage submission of unrealistically low estimates, and increase cost overruns. However, cost-reimbursement contract awards are analyzed to ensure that the costs are fair and reasonable. The majority of AID's technical assistance pro- grams for developing nations require use of cost-reimbursement contracts, based on Government-wide regulations governing selection of contract type (41 CFR 1-3.405 and 48 CFR 16.3). AID follows Government-wide standards for evaluating and awarding cost-reimbursement contracts (41 CFR 1-3.805 and 48 CFR 15.6). Question 6. Why, for instance, does not AID award contracts to land grant univer- sities that submit the lowest bid rather than to those with very high overhead rates? Answer. Our contracts with land grant universities are cost-reimbursement con- tracts for research or technical services. As discussed above, such contracts are not awarded on a low-bid basis. Further, most of the universities with which AID does business are tax-supported public non-profit institutions. They have indicated that they do not believe price bidding contests are necessary or proper when procuring professional services from among them. Accordingly, competition among them is based on professional capabilities rather than price. Finally, overhead rates are only one among many elements making up a cost estimate. University overhead rates are normally negotiated for Government-wide use in accordance with OMB Circular A-88, by a representative team of U.S. Government contract specialists and audi- tors, who determine a reasonable rate for the specific university in accordance with Government-wide cost principles (OMB Circular A-21). Question 7. Your budget presentation requests $404 million for AID operating ex- penses in 1985, an increase of 22 percent over 1982 actual expenses. What is the cause for this increase? Why have you not been able to hold your administrative costs down? Answer. Most of the $73.1 million increase between 1982 and 1985 falls in the areas of U.S. Direct Hire salaries and benefits and the cost of operating our overseas missions. As a result of general pay increases, lifting the ceiling on Federal salaries two times, increasing the cap on post differential pay and benefit changes resulting from the FAA, the cost of U.S. Direct Hire salaries and benefits has increased about $28.1 million. These are costs over which the Agency has no control if we are to maintain an adequate workforce level. During the past several years, prices overseas have been increasing at an average rate of 11 percent per year, which would equate to an increase of about 37 percent from 1982 to 1985. Through our various cost saving efforts, including efforts to in- crease local currency contributions from host governments, we have been able to hold the increase in appropriated funds for overseas missions to $25.3 million, an increase of only 23 percent. 326 The impact of overseas inflation is also the primary reason for the increase in the cost of Foreign Affairs Administrative Support provided by the Department of State, which will be $6.2 million higher in 1985 than in 1982. The other primary areas of increased costs during the past 3 years are rental charges for office space in Washington, with an increase of $2.8 million; staff train- ing costs, primarily to improve the language capabilities and implementation skills of our employees, at $2.1 million; costs associated with providing improved physical security for our overseas employees, which shows a $1.6 million increase; and in- creased costs for data and word processing equipment of about $3.6 million, which is required if we are to properly manage our resources with our reduced staff levels. I would like to add that $1.5 million of this later increase is to upgrade our central computer facility, which was last upgraded in 1977. This leaves about $3.4 million for all other costs, such as expansion of IG audit coverage, general housekeeping costs in Washington, support of dependent education, construction and purchase of overseas property, Washington travel etc. We have made efforts in the past to control costs, and will continue these efforts in the future. Our success can be seen in the fact that Washington costs, even in- cluding salaries, benefits, and office rents, has increased only 16 percent over the 3- year period, less than the U.S. inflation rate over the same period. Some of the cost control efforts overseas include office consolidations and the pur- chase of property for residential and office space, a very cost effective program. The impact of these two activities in combination over the period in question can be seen in the fact that residential and office rental costs have only increased 13.5 percent over the 3-year period from 1982 to 1985, much less than the effective price increase of 37 percent during the period. Question 8. Does AID supplement its operation expenses with funds from counter- part currencies generated by ESF Commodity Import Program or Public Law 480 commodity sales? If so, please provide us with the full value of AID operating ex- penses provided under these programs or others of a similar nature. Answer. Yes, as authorized by Sections 625(h) and 636(h) of the FAA we do supple- ment our operating requirements with Trust Funds provided by cooperating coun- tries. In 1982 host country governments contributed $9.1 million in local currencies to offset a portion of the operating expense costs of our overseas missions. In 1983 contributions were $12.4 million. We are encouraging our overseas units to negotiate agreements with host country governments to increase current contributions or begin contributions in those coun- tries not now contributing. Since a number of Trust Fund arrangements are in the process of negotiation, we do not know the exact amounts which will be made avail- able during fiscal years 1984 and 1985. However, we do expect that the contribu- tions will increase by about 25 percent per year. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR PELL Question 1. Many knowledgeable people returning from visits to Honduras are raising questions that the U.S. military activity is establishing a permanent pres- ence that the exercises will continue for some time to come and that many of the facilities being constructed, ostensibly for the joint maneuvers, will remain in Hon- duras permanently. (a) What is the rationale for this military activity in Honduras? (b) How do you respond to those who fear that this activity will deepen a U.S. military commitment and role in Central America? Answer. (a) The purpose of the military exercises in Honduras is twofold. First they provide valuable, realistic training to U.S. military personnel and units. During the Ahuas Tara II Exercise, which terminated on February 8, many units were able to practice for the first time the missions they would be called upon to perform during an actual conflict. Second, the exercise underscores our commitment to the democratic nations of the region. We are assisting the military forces of friendly nations to develop the capability to defend themselves from external threats as well as from internal insurgencies. (b) Our recent military exercises in the region have been at the request of the host nations reflecting their concern for their own defense from the threat posed by the military buildup in Nicaragua and the externally supported insurgencies. Our increased military activity is part of the security shield described by President Reagan during his April 1983 address to Congress. This shield is designed to provide 327 the atmosphere in which progress in development and democratization can take place. Question 2. What plans exist for the expansion and modernization of the air and port facilities at Puerto Castilla. What is the purpose of such a facility? Has the U.S. negotiated a base access agreement with the Honduran government? Answer. The Department of Defense currently has no plans to construct any fa- cilities at Puerto Castilla. The Honduran government, however, is making major port improvements at that location. We presently have an access agreement with the Government of Honduras for use of selected facilities. This agreement is an annex (May 6, 1982) to the 1954 Bilateral Military Assistance Agreement between the Government of Honduras and the Government of the United States. Question 3. Are there plans to make the Regional Military Training Center at Puerto Castilla a permanent training facility? Is this destined to eventually replace the School and other facilities in Panama? Answer. We have requested security assistance funds in the fiscal year 1984 sup- plemental and in fiscal year 1985 budget to assist the Hondurans in constructing permanent facilities at the Honduran Regional Military Training Center. This is a Honduran facility which will serve as their primary training center. Third country personnel can be trained at this center only if invited by the Hondurans. The Gov- ernment of Honduras has opened the center to third country personnel, and we sup- port the regional nature of the center. The RMTC is not designed to replace other facilities in Panama. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSE TO AN ADDITIONAL QUESTION SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Fiscal year: Question. Why is the Department of Defense asking for almost twice as much WRSA transfer authority in fiscal year 1985 ($248M) as for fiscal year 1984 ($125M)? Answer. The amount of transfer authority requested annually by DOD is based on Service estimates of the stocks they have or will have available to apply against the outstanding WRSA deficiencies. Most stocks become available due to U.S. modern- ization programs which make some existing stocks excess to U.S. requirements. The history of the program reflects the large differences which often exist between transfer authority requests from year to year. Millions 1976/7 ...... $96.75 1977 ..... 125.00 1978... 270.00 1979 90.00 1980 .... 95.00 1981 .... 85.00 1982 .... 130.00 1983 125.00 1984 proposed 125.00 1985 proposed 248.00 [Whereupon, at 4:50 p.m., the committee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] APPENDIX EXECUTIVE SUMMARY-REPORT OF THE COMMISSION ON SECURITY AND ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE In supporting the economic and security capabilities of friendly countries, the United States seeks to further free, humane and open societies in a secure, prosper- ous world. Our efforts are directed to assuring our national security, promoting the democratic rights and ideas upon which our society is based and fostering our eco- nomic and commercial interests. BACKGROUND Concerned with the lack of popular and legislative support for foreign assistance, declining real resource levels and widespread skepticism regarding program effec- tiveness, the Secretary of State created the Commission on Security and Economic Assistance. Noting that international political, economic and security concerns are increasing in number and complexity, he charged the Commission with examining all aspects of U.S. foreign assistance programs and proposing ways these programs can make a greater contribution to meeting national objectives in the 1980s. The Commission members were drawn from both the Congress and the public, and represent a broad bipartisan cross-section of views. Functional task forces were organized to examine specific objectives and programs. Testimony was heard from specialists and generalists, from both within and outside the government. The major findings and recommendations of the Commission follow: FINDINGS Support for foreign assistance has broken down and polarized, as greater numbers of advocates for military or economic programs oppose rather than support each other. This friction has been exacerbated by budgetary limitations, which have forced difficult trade-offs among domestic and international programs. As a result of widespread misunderstanding regarding the nature and objectives of specific mutual assistance programs, the general public no longer perceives these efforts as coher- ently serving valid national interests. Moreover, because of a decline in confidence between the executive and legislative branches over the conduct of foreign policy, program management authority over foreign assistance has become increasingly encumbered by legislative requirements. Recent efforts to integrate security and economic assistance policy and programs, while representing progress, still fall short of the mark. It is the judgment of the Commission, however, that the instrumentalities of for- eign assistance are potent and essential tools that advance our interests. Combined in well-integrated mutually reinforcing programs, they can achieve great success; witness the Marshall Plan, Korea and Taiwan. Evaluation of the effectiveness of specific programs is conceptually difficult, par- ticularly since these programs serve multiple objectives. Moreover, because the weighing of objectives is necessarily subjective, differences in values among observ- ers will generate differences in conclusions. That is unavoidable. The keystone to our recommendations is the conclusion that economic and mili- tary assistance must be closely integrated. Economic growth and rising standards of living are vital to internal stability and external defense. Threats to stability impede economic development and prosperity. The current fragmentation of pro- gram policy, design, implementation and evaluation is detrimental to both effective- ness and public support. The future effectiveness of the mutual assistance program rests on the concept that security and growth are mutually reinforcing and that both are fundamental to the advancement of U.S. interests. This truth is best illus- trated by two regions that loom large in our future: the Caribbean Basin-including Central America-and Africa. The first is an immediate security challenge with an 34-045 0-84-22 (329) 330 important economic dimension, while the second is a situation of economic crisis that may well heighten security concerns. On balance, it is the judgment of the Commission that U.S. assistance programs make an indispensable contribution to achieving foreign policy objectives. On a global level, threats to security and prosperity are increasing. The military power of the Soviet Union and its surrogates has been expanding rapidly. The world faces severe economic problems, including huge debts in some countries, intractable development problems in others and serious problems of poverty and hunger. U.S. foreign assistance as a whole has been declining. In real terms (when adjust- ed for inflation) U.S. assistance expenditures over the last five years have averaged some 21 percent below those of a comparable period ten years ago. Military assist- ance, at least in terms of its "grant element,” has fallen disproportionately. In 1975, the proportion of concessional economic and military assistance was roughly equal. By 1983, five dollars of economic assistance was given on concessional terms for every dollar of grant military assistance. Aside from support to Israel and Egypt, most of our military assistance is now provided at the cost of money to the U.S. Treasury, yet there are friendly countries with legitimate security needs that simply cannot afford to borrow for necessary military equipment and services on these terms. The Commission recognizes that the balance between economic and security as- sistance continues to be one of the most divisive issues affecting the foreign assist- ance program. The debate has become sterile and unproductive at best and damag- ing to U.S. interests at worst. The Commission returned repeatedly to the conclu- sion that the optimum mix of programs could only be reached on a country-by-coun- try basis where local conditions and U.S. interests would determine requirements. While Economic Support Fund programs have grown-largely to Israel and Egypt-both Development Assistance and Public Law 480 have declined in real terms as has our overall economic program. Furthermore, while ESF is highly flexi- ble and is being used in a variety of ways meeting both U.S. and recipient needs, legal and administrative rigidities hamper the effectiveness of Development Assist- ance. These result, in part, from legislative “barnacles” and a defensive posture by foreign assistance administrators. Many other donor country assistance programs promote exports by combining commercial and subsidized credits and projects that support their domestic industri- al interests. These programs are effective; our commercial interests are suffering significant losses. We have attempted for seven years, without success, to negotiate an agreement to limit these practices, but they continue to increase. The Commis- sion concludes that defense of legitimate U.S. commercial interests with a similar program is inevitable if diplomatic efforts to reverse this trend are not successful. The countries of the world are highly interdependent and continue to become more so. In this setting, we cannot escape the importance of international lending, trade relations, collective security and mutual assistance. Charting a course for U.S. leadership is fraught with more dangers than ever before. Because our mutual as- sistance efforts must respond to a changing environment that threatens American security and prosperity in every part of the world, we offer the following recommen- dations. ESTABLISH BIPARTISAN LEADERSHIP SUPPORT The Commission urges that the Congressional leadership and the President issue a joint statement endorsing the conclusion that foreign security and economic coop- eration programs are mutually supportive and interrelated, and together constitute an essential and integral part of the foreign policy of the United States. PROMOTE A CITIZENS' NETWORK To assure that the public is adequately informed, the Commission recommends the creation of a citizens' network. To foster its development, the Commission sug- gests that the President, with the support of bipartisan leadership, call for a White House conference on the subject of United States security and economic assistance. CONTINUE SUPPORT FOR DEVELOPMENT EDUCATION The Commission recommends that the Administration and Congress continue and broaden their efforts to inform the American public on development issues and in- clude all elements of our mutual assistance programs. 331 INCREASE ASSISTANCE LEVELS To meet U.S. foreign policy objectives significant increases in real levels of assist- ance will be required. Any new initiatives will necessitate further budget increases. ADOPT A COUNTRY APPROACH TO PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT Foreign assistance programs should contain an overall mix of security and eco- nomic assistance resources that best serves U.S. national interests. That is best de- termined through development of an integrated program for each recipient country. The Commission believes that this principle should be the primary policy guiding the development of the overall program. ENSURE CAREFULLY INTEGRATED PROGRAMS FOR SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA AND THE CARIBBEAN REGION INCLUDING CENTRAL AMERICA Special challenges face the United States in the foreseeable future in sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean region, including Central America, where there are seri- ous economic and security conditions. The Commission recommends particular at- tention be given to careful construction of integrated security and economic assist- ance programs. recognizing that increased resources may be needed. SUPPORT POLICY REFORMS The Commission recommends that programs contribute to the evaluation of poli- cies that will result in open, self-sustaining and democratic societies. To achieve re- cipient country policies that are conducive to growth and development, the pro- grams and policies of the several contributors must be properly coordinated. Given its prominence and experience, the World Bank should take a leading role in pro- moting policy reform and better coordination among all participants. It would be desirable for the World Bank's executive board to hold regular review meetings to focus on the recipient country's policies and program coordination relative to bank assistance. Not only would such discussions facilitate coordination, they would be useful in their own right. EXPAND HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT AND INSTITUTION BUILDING The Commission endorses greater program emphasis on human resource develop- ment and institution building. These are essential to development and security. U.S. knowledge and experience can contribute substantially to meeting the needs of de- veloping countries, as can training and education programs, both civilian and mili- tary. INCREASE PROGRAM EMPHASIS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY The Commission recommends greater programming emphasis be given to science and technology-related development assistance that would also be available, on a mutually cooperative basis, to middle-income and newly industrialized countries. PROMOTE THE PRIVATE SECTOR The Commission endorses the use of our bilateral and multilateral cooperation programs to promote and encourage the growth of indigenous private sectors and U.S. private sector contributions to the development process. The strengthening of free trade unions and the promotion of employment-oriented development strategies in an environment conducive to free enterprise, are integral to sound long-term growth and security. Both bilateral and multilateral programs should be used to achieve appropriate policy reforms and to support these objectives wherever feasi- ble. IMPROVE EVALUATION We recommend the development of a comprehensive evaluative mechanism that assesses the secondary as well as primary impacts of U.S. mutual assistance efforts, interrelates the projects and expresses a judgment on their effectiveness. Such com- prehensive evaluative capacity is needed to improve planning efforts and more ade- quately inform the public. 332 MAINTAIN ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND FLEXIBILITY The Commission believes that the flexibility of the ESF program must not be im- paired by imposing specific goals or requirements on it. However, where possible, ESF should be programmed to further economic development and U.S. commercial objectives. INCREASE FLEXIBILITY IN THE DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE ACCOUNT The Commission urges greater flexibility in the administration of the Develop- ment Assistance account to ensure that long-term development needs are met in ways consistent with the short-term economic and financial constraints that are facing many developing countries, particularly in Africa. SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES OF PUBLIC LAW 480 Requirements for Public Law 480 assistance will continue, particularly in Africa. The Commission recommends that special attention be given to those needs. When- ever possible, Public Law 480 resources should be used in connection with other forms of economic assistance to maximize development impact. INCREASE CONCESSIONALITY IN MILITARY ASSISTANCE The Commission believes that the U.S. Government should consider the same eco- nomic factors in determining the concessionality of military assistance as it consid- ers in determining the concessionality of economic assistance and provide the level appropriate to conditions in each recipient country. ESTABLISH A MUTUAL DEVELOPMENT AND SECURITY ADMINISTRATION The Commission concludes that the most effective means to achieve program inte- gration, a country approach to program development, an improved evaluative system and increased public support is to consolidate certain aspects of current pro- grams under a new agency, reporting to the Secretary of State. This organization would be responsible for the integration of economic and security assistance and direct control over economic assistance and ESF program operations. ESTABLISH A NEW CONSULTATIVE GROUP The Commission believes that executive-legislative consultation through existing channels should be strengthened, and an additional mechanism should be estab- lished for consultation between the branches that will afford greater cohesion and effectiveness in the decisionmaking process. STATEMENT OF ARMISTEAD I. SELDEN, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN LEAGUE FOR EXPORTS AND SECURITY ASSISTANCE, INC., WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee, on behalf of the American League for Exports and Security Assistance, or ALESA, I would like to express our apprecia- tion for this opportunity to present our views on the proposed security assistance program for FY 1985. Most of the year our attention tends to be caught up in day to day crises in Third World countries. The hearings on international assistance in general, and security assistance in particular, encourage us to step back and look at our longer range objectives and experience with respect to helping developing coun- tries with their social, economic, and security concerns. At the outset, let me briefly state for the record that ALESA is a labor-manage- ment organization currently consisting of five national and international unions, and thirty-three U.S. corporations employing hundreds of thousands of workers. A list of our membership is attached to our formal statement. ALESA's principal goal is to encourage the export of American goods and services in consonance with the security and economic goals of the United States. ROLE OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE Since World War II, each Administration and each Congress has recognized the increasingly important economic and security interests of the United States in the developing countries. Our development and security assistance programs have been one response to those interests. I would like to focus my attention today on the secu- rity aspects of those programs. 333 Developing countries suffer from both external threats to their security, and from internal political instability. These problems can often become entwined, as we see in Central America today, when regional and non-regional countries take sides in the internal struggle for power within a country. External economic shocks over which a country has no control, such as increases in oil prices or recession in the industrial countries, can also increase the strain on political systems. U.S. security assistance is intended to assist friendly countries provide for their own defense against hostile neighbors, and to deal with externally supported internal strife. Through the ESF program, it can also provide short term financial assistance to help reduce the impact of needed adjustment to changing economic circumstances. Such assistance can have several benefits for the United States. First and fore- most, it can reduce the overall need for U.S. expenditures and manpower. Particu- larly in countries around the rim of the Soviet Empire, strong local military estab- lishments should decrease the probability of Soviet or Soviet sponsored aggression, or in a worst case, allow a country which is subjected to such aggression to tie down large numbers of invading troops. Such local forces are far less costly to equip and maintain than equivalent numbers of American troops. Thus modest expenditures on security assistance programs should help offset the need for considerably larger expenditures on U.S. forces. Furthermore, well trained local forces, which have the general backing of their own populace, are far more effective in meeting external and internal threats than any outside force can be. Second, security assistance programs can build tangible and intangible assets for use by U.S. armed forces if that should become necessary. In some cases, security assistance is provided in exchange for the actual use of bases in a developing coun- try or the expansion of local facilities as a contingency base for U.S. forces in the case of specific emergencies in the region. The contacts between U.S. uniformed and non-uniformed personnel and their counterparts in developing countries which take place as a byproduct of administering programs and providing training can enhance mutual understanding and establish human contacts that have important long term benefits. These relationships over time can be very important in helping us under- stand and influence political and economic decisions in a country. For that reason such security relationships with Third World countries are avidly sought by both our allies and our adversaries. Finally, the United States can also benefit economically from security assistance programs. Most such assistance is used to purchase U.S. equipment and services. In the short run, this provides immediate employment in the United States, and over the longer run helps establish long term markets for additional U.S. equipment and parts. In the case of military hardware, purchases by foreign countries of equipment also used by the U.S. military can result in lower unit costs and hence reduce the budget requirements for our own defense needs. Given these factors, it would seem to us that there is some tradeoff between secu- rity assistance and the expenditures made on our own armed forces. For fiscal year 1985 the Administration has requested budget authority of roughly $5.9 billion in military assistance and an additional $3.1 billion in ESF. It is also requesting $313 billion in expenditures for U.S. defense. One might well ask how much larger that $313 billion figure might be if the Turkish and Greek military contribution to NATO were reduced, if the Korean armed forces were weaker, if we were unable to maintain bases in certain countries in Southeast Asia and Africa, and if the only options in Central America were insertion of U.S. troops or the collapse of friendly governments to unfriendly forces. The bottom line is that the security assistance program is not simply a give-away program sponsored by the United States for purely philanthropic reasons. It is a hardheaded investment in our own security-a cost effective way to avoid risking American lives and material, a means of increas- ing American influence, and a useful stimulus to our own economy. SECURITY ASSISTANCE VERSUS DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE The critical question about security assistance is not so much whether it has a legitimate role to play in the spectrum of U.S. foreign policy instruments, but rather how much is enough and how it should be balanced against development as- sistance. To take the latter question first, security assistance and development as- sistance should not be seen as competing instruments, but rather as complimentary mechanisms aimed at accomplishing the same long term goals—the encouragement of democratic governments and the stimulation of economic growth which benefit the entire population. The relationship between economic growth, political stability, and expenditures on defense is certainly complex. We have examples of countries such as Korea and 334 Taiwan, which devote a large share of their GNP to defense expenditures, which also have enjoyed among the highest rates of sustained economic growth in history. We also know that a number of Sub Saharan African countries have historically had very low military budgets, but have also suffered from negative economic growth rates in recent years. Of course there are also examples of countries with large defense expenditures and stagnant economies. There simply do not seem to be any facile generalizations that can be made respecting expenditures on security and economic growth. Similarily, if any conclusion can be drawn about the relationship between eco- nomic assistance and security assistance, it is that it must be determined on a case- by-case basis. Some countries need neither, some need both. Likewise, aggregate levels of security assistance and economic assistance for the entire U.S. program will shift relative to each other from year to year. Nonetheless, there has been some criticism that the FY 1985 budget proposal gen- erally puts too much emphasis on security assistance as opposed to development as- sistance. There are at least three cautionary notes that should be made about any such generalization. First, as already noted, totals reflect a summation of specific country programs, each of which meets very different requirements. If we look at only military assistance for example, and calculate U.S. military assistance on a per capita basis for each recipient country, we get an idea of just how wide a variation there is between one country and another. For example, for fiscal 1984, the United States will provide around $1 of military assistance for each Kenyan and Philippino, $3 per Pakistani, $13 per El Salvadoran, $15 per Turk, $30 per Egyptian, $51 per Greek and $415 per Israeli. To put these numbers in perspective, the fiscal year 1984 appropriation for U.S. Defense Department procurement works out to $373 per American. Obviously per capita assistance is only one way to measure assistance levels, and all kinds of reservations can be made about such a measure. But it does highlight the wide variation in our military support. I might also note that the highest levels per capita in fiscal year 1984 went precisely to those countries which received close Congressional scrutiny and, in most cases, specific earmarkings. The lowest num- bers are often not the result of country by country analysis, but rather the result of what happens when additions are made to specific country programs while cuts are made from the total amounts. The second problem with using the notion of a ratio between security assistance and development assistance is the growing role played by the Economic Support Fund. While this program is included under the rubric of security assistance, it is used in practice for economic development and adjustment purposes. Such purposes include specific development projects supervised by AID or voluntary organizations, program loans to help a country develop a specific aspect of its economy such as agriculture or transportation, and commodity import programs, which allow a coun- try to import U.S. made goods which have a high development priority. As you are aware, the latter program cannot be used to pay for military goods. Finally, ESF can be used as general balance of payments support for countries facing extreme economic difficulties. Excluding the $850 million Israeli program from the total, which is all used for balance of payments assistance, we find that of the rest of the program planned for fiscal year 1985 less than 30 percent is intended for balance of payments programs; all the rest is intended for activities directly related to develop- ment. Third, the country programs for Israel and Egypt, which have grown rapidly in recent years to support the Camp David Peace Initiative and meet the major eco- nomic and security requirements of these countries, account for 28 percent of the entire fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request, and economically distort any aver- ages. For example, security assistance (military assistance plus ESF) accounts for about 60 percent of the fiscal year 1985 request; if Israel and Egypt are excluded from the numbers, the percent drops to 47 percent. Military assistance is about 40 percent of the total package, but excluding Egypt and Israel, the percentage drops to 33 percent. By contrast with the total foreign assistance programs of previous ad- ministrations, 33 percent represents one of the lower percentages dedicated to mili- tary assistance. FOREIGN ASSISTANCE LEVELS The question which should give us all greater pause is that of the overall level of our foreign assistance program. We have an anomalous situation in which as the importance of the Third World to the United States has steadily increased over the past three decades, the resources devoted by the United States to affecting the eco- 335 nomic, political and security climate in those countries have steadily decreased. In real terms our aid programs are about half the size they were in the fifties, and as a percentage of GNP and of the federal budget, about one-quarter that of the fifties. It is interesting to note that the Soviet Union currently provides more resources in subsidies to Cuba than the Administration is requesting for economic and military assistance for the whole of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa in FY 1985. The sharply increased levels of debt which most developing countries have amassed in the past few years, combined with the drop in demand and price for their exports, have made it very difficult for many developing countries to service their current debt. This would seem to argue that they need to be most cautious about undertaking additional debt, whether private or official. Thus where the United States identifies real security problems, it would seem at this point that ad- ditional grant or concessional assistance would make more sense than increased lending at near commercial rates. We, therefore, strongly support the Administra- tion's request for a concessional FMS lending program. This is also consistent with the findings of the Carlucci Commission on Security and Economic Assistance. USES OF FOREIGN MILITARY SALES CREDITS While we certainly support the idea of providing FMS loans at concessional rates of interest, there is one concern which I would like to bring to the Committee's at- tention. Recently Presidential and Congressional actions have allowed FMS credits to be used for such unconventional purposes as payment for research and develop- ment of foreign weapons systems and for procurement of goods and services pro- duced offshore. There have also been increased pressures to include offset arrange- ments in contracts financed by FMS credits. ALESA is concerned that such uses of FMS credits can lead to: an inefficient use of limited resources; the transfer of American jobs overseas; the establishment with taxpayers' dollars of foreign defense industries which will compete with American products in third country markets; a decrease in commonality of weapons systems among our allies; an inducement for other FMS recipients to ask for similar treat- ment, and a loss of political support for out security programs. Therefore, ALESA strongly urges that the Congress and the Executive Branch consider the following policy suggestions: FMS credits should be limited to the purchase of U.S. military end items and services. Any exceptions to this policy should be extremely rare and relate to specifically defined U.S. security requirements or to clear cost reductions. The U.S. Government should not accede to demands for offsets related to sales of defense equipment that are financed by grants or forgiven loans. In principle, any use of U.S. financial assistance to develop, produce, or purchase foreign weapons systems should be conditioned on the beneficiary country agreeing not to compete against U.S. producers with that system in third country markets. The U.S. Government should refuse to license third country transfers of any U.S. technology or components involved in such systems under the above circumstances. EFFECTIVENESS Finally, we need to take a look at the effectiveness of our foreign assistance pro- grams. This is not an easy task, as results tend to be long term in nature, and there is little agreement as to precisely what constitutes a success. What perhaps can be said is that the overall record of United States efforts in the Third World is reason- ably good. In the fifties we concentrated much of our assistance in East Asia, which today contains some of the fastest growing economies in the world in countries which are generally quite firmly wedded to the Western world. In the sixties we turned our efforts to the larger Latin America countries through the Alliance for Progress and our security assistance programs. Because we took this initiative, Cas- tro's efforts to spread revolution throughout Latin America during this period were thwarted. As Chairman of the House Subcommittee on Inter-American Affairs during most of the 1960's, I was deeply involved in that successful effort. Today we have swung our efforts to Africa, the Caribbean, and Southwest Asia. The Soviets by contrast over the same period suffered enormous reverses in Indonesia, China, Egypt, South Korea, and Chile. Their only advances, other than Cuba and Nicara- gua, have been in countries which are among the poorest dozen countries in the world-Vietnam, Cambodia, Loas, Ethiopia, and now Afghanistan. This experience should tell us several things. First, the United States can be suc- cessful in the Third World, and the Soviets can fail. Second, we need to take a much longer view than we do in designing our programs. We have, for example, historical- 336 ly ignored Latin America until some catastrophic event captured our attention. Kennedy's Alliance for Progress, coupled with increased security assistance, came after the rise to power of Castro and the failure of the Bay of Pigs. And it has taken the Sandinistas and El Salvadorian rebels and death squads to remind us that Cen- tral America is a region with deep social and economic problems that is vital to the security of the United States. Finally, when one takes a short run view, the costs tend to be much higher in the end. Had we committed the resources in Central America in the seventies that we are now talking about for single fiscal years in the eighties, we might well have avoided the problems we are now facing. In sum, Mr. Chairman, we believe that the Congress needs to scrutinize the Ad- ministration's request for fiscal year 1985 on a country-by-country basis, looking at the economic, humanitarian and security requirements of each, as well as at our interests in helping each country. We believe the result of such an examination is likely to be a program, in both the development and security assistance areas, which is larger, rather than smaller than the Administration's request. But we must also ask ourselves what the long term costs to our country will be, both in money and in lives, if we do not help meet these problems now. American League for Exports and Security Assistance, Inc. ARMISTEAD I. SELDEN PRESIDENT AND GENERAL MANAGER 475 L'ENFANT PLAZA, S.W. SUITE 4400 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20024 PHONE (202) 554-1107 (202) 554.1 108 GEORGE C. AXTELL VICE PRESIDENT, SECURITY AFFAIRS JOEL L. JOHNSON VICE PRESIDENT, ECONOMIC AFFAIRS WILLIAM H. HULSE CHAIRMAN JAMES B. BOOE VICE CHAIRMAN ALESA MEMBERSHIP COMPANIES Aerojet General Corporation American Hoist and Derrick Company Avco Corporation Beech Aircraft Corporation The Boeing Company Ducommun Incorporated EDO Corporation Elexco International, Inc. Emerson Electric Company FMC Corporation Frost and Sullivan, Inc. Garrett Corporation Gould Inc. Harsco Corporation Hughes Aircraft Company Hughes Helicopters Lear Siegler, Inc. Lockheed Corporation LTV Aerospace and Defense Company AM General Division Sierra Research Division Vought Aero Products Division Vought Missiles and Advanced Programs Division Martin Marietta Aerospace The Mead Corporation Napco Industries, Inc. Northrop Corporation Pneumo Corporation Raytheon Company Rockwell International Rohr Industries, Inc. Sears World Trade, Inc. The Singer Company Teledyne, Inc. United Technologies Corporation UTL Corporation Westinghouse Electric Corporation UNIONS Communications Workers of America, AFL-CIO International Brotherhood of Teamsters, Chauffeurs, Warehousemen and Helpers International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America Marine Engineers Beneficial Association, AFL-CIO United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America, AFL-CIO 337 STATEMENT OF HARRY J. SHAW Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee on Foreign Relations, I welcome this opportunity to share with you again insights gained over 16 years of intensive in- volvement in the executive branch with security assistance policies and programs. This involvement spanned for years from my participation in a 1965 reappraisal of the military assistance program for Secretary McNamara to my retirement in 1980 from the Office of Management and Budget where I had been Chief of the Interna- tional Security Affairs Branch (earlier the Military Assistance Branch) for thirteen years. In the course of my duties in Defense and OMB, I visited some 26 different countries receiving security assistance around the world, many of them on several occasions. During the last months of the Carter Administration, I was a consultant to the Deputy Secretary of State on an integrated review of all the foreign affairs budgets. During the last 3 years of teaching foreign affairs at the University of Virginia I have been a somewhat more detached but no less interested observer of our security assistance program. My basic views, consistent with those expressed before this sub- committee three years ago, were set forth in an article in the Spring 1983 issue of Foreign Policy. In the interest of brevity I will not repeat the arguments set forth in my article except as they seem to be especially important to the issues posed by the Reagan Administration's security assistance proposals for 1985. Again, I appear before you as a private citizen, representing no agency of the gov- ernment, no think tank, no special interest group. As many citizens are, I am pro- foundly concerned about what seems to be an overly-militarized foreign policy and the role that security-related foreign aid plays in that foreign policy. Moreover-and this is only partly a consequence of my budget background—I am equally disturbed about the enormous increases in the federal budget deficits of these last three years. If there were but one point I could make to you, it would be that budget control- reduction of the deficit-begins at home! By that I mean that if the Congress is to do its part in eliminating these horrendous deficits then each committee must do its part by ruthlessly eliminating all but the most critical elements of the programs for which it is responsible. You have before you a request for nearly $10 billion in secu- rity assistance. A reduction of $1 billion would constitute one two-hundredth of the likely deficit for 1985. Two hundred such tough decisions would eliminate the defi- cit. There is no other way to get there. I cannot but believe that the administration's proposed $10 billion security assist- ance program could be cut by as much as $1 billion without serious harm to the security of the United States or to its foreign relations. I have watched with dismay and disbelief as this program has grown over the last 3 years from $5.5 billion in 1981 to the $10 billion level in 1984 and 1985. What indeed has changed in the world to justify increases of this magnitude? No wonder our budget is out of control. While security assistance has grown by 80 percent since 1981, development aid has increased only modestly from $4.5 billion in 1981 to $5.4 billion in 1985 as pro- posed by the Administration, a 20 percent increase. This undoubtedly understates the actual development assistance contribution since the Economic Support Fund (ESF) is used where possible for development purposes. Nevertheless, the bias toward security-related foreign aid in this Administration cannot be denied. There are, in my judgment, three principal reasons for the excessive growth of the security assistance program. First, is that the largest element and the one that accounts for most of the growth, Foreign Military Sales Financing, has been off- budget. This program surely would not have been increased from $2.9 billion in 1981 to $5.7 billion in 1984 if it had been on-budget where its budget authority and out- lays had to be counted in budget totals. The second cause for increased security assistance lies in the growth of the quid pro quos offered to allies for military base agreements. All of the base agreements negotiated by this administration--for Spain, Turkey, Greece, Philippines, Portu- gal-have entailed large increases over assistance levels agreed to in previous rounds of base negotiations. Having been involved in the intense interagency de- bates over assistance levels to be offered for bases during my years in OMB, I am well aware of how difficult it is to keep these offers within bounds. Only a strong OMB willing and able to do battle with State, Defense and the NSC staff, and acting in advance with the President's backing can keep base quid pro quos under control. Moreover, it is essential that the prevailing sense in the executive branch be that Congress will not underwrite major increases in overall program levels. Under these conditions there will be strong countervailing pressures elsewhere in the foreign aid community to resist parochial arguments for increasing particular country pro- grams lest these commitments preempt limited future funding levels. 338 The Reagan Administration let this matter of base agreement commitments get out of hand. Once one country sees another country get a substantial increase over the last time, it will demand equal treatment when its own base agreement comes up for renegotiation, and the problem snowballs. The Reagan Administration, unfor- tunately, scrapped the new commitments procedures adopted by Presidents Ford and Carter which grew out of procedures reaching back to the NSC 1550 directive of the Eisenhower Administration. The Ford and Carter directives, signed by the Presi- dent, required their personal approval in advance of any future commitments beyond approved budgets, that approval to be obtained through the Director of OMB. As I have suggested, the Congress has played an essential though indirect role in restraining these multi-year commitments which preempt whatever funds are avail- able in future years and increase pressures for increasing overall program levels. When the Congress is perceived as likely to go along with increased commitments, as I believe it has been rightly perceived in this administration, overall security as- sistance levels are bound to be levered up. I urge the committee to consider ways in which it can prevent the executive from preempting the Congress and future budg. ets in this manner. The third reason for the excessive growth of security assistance since 1981 is that the Congress has not exercised the restraint it formerly imposed on security assist- ance. Unless you have worked in the executive branch you may not realize the criti- cal role such restraint plays in executive branch programming and budgeting. The pressures for more aid to grease the wheels of diplomacy, to encourage the sale of American arms abroad, to fill in pressing gaps in client states' foreign exchange re- sources, and to serve a host of other purposes, both worthy and unworthy, are inces- sant. From experience I can assure you that without some sense that a stern and skeptical Congress will challenge every dollar requested, OMB and the few allies it may find in resisting pressures for more security assistance will be overwhelmed. As for specific areas in which security assistance should be cut, the grant military assistance program (MAP) would be first on my list. MAP, the oldest and for a long time the principal element of security assistance, was virtually eliminated by the end of the Carter Administration in a phased reduction as directed by the Congress. However, the program has since been resurrected, initially by the Congress as an offset to the high costs of FFB financing rather than providing more direct (on- budget) FMS credits. Now the program has gained a new lease on life as a means of providing weapons and equipment on a grant basis quite separate from the question of FMS terms. From four country programs in 1981, which was to be their last year, and a funding level of $170 million, MAP will grow to $775 million for 30 countries in 1984 if the Administration's supplemental is approved and to $930 million in 1985. If approved, this would be the highest level of grant MAP since 1966. I urge the committee to cut back severely on MAP funding and not let it once again become a major element of the security assistance program. It may be neces- sary for countries engaged in active hostilities or temporarily in severe economic straits, but MAP can too easily become a crutch and take on a life of its own. I believe over the long run most countries should be expected to pay for their own defense, at least with only concessional loans. MAP encourages them to maintain larger forces that they can support over the long haul and skews their internal deci- sion processes in favor of their military establishments. In many of these countries the principal threats are internal-economic, social, political-rather than of an ex- ternal military nature. Their security from larger and potentially threatening neighbors cannot be provided by their own forces, and we do them no favor encour- aging them to try to do so with MAP. The proposed FMS financing program of $5.1 billion as the largest of the security assistance programs offers the best opportunities for cuts. However, I urge that any cuts be real and not be achieved by converting elements of the program to off- budget FFB financing. Here, I heartily endorse the Administration's proposal to put the entire FMS credit program on budget. This is the most significant reform put forward for security assistance programs in some years. I will not repeat all the rea- sons for my support today as they are amply set out in my Foreign Policy article. I could not urge you more strongly to support this proposal to put the FMS fi- nancing program on a sound straight-forward basis where it will have to compete openly with the other foreign aid programs and where the dollars going into FMS can be seen by the public. If you reject this reform you will not be saving the public a nickel. Rather you will be hiding the true cost of FMS and perpetuating a system that encourages uncontrolled growth of security assistance and the accompanying dangerous increases in the debt burdens of the recipient countries. 339 The Administration's prime motivation in putting FMS financing on budget is to achieve greater flexibility in the interest rates charged than is possible for loans fi- nanced by the Federal Financial Bank. I support the request for more flexibility in FMS credit terms, but, like most good things, the availability of concessional credits must be limited. The Administration's professed policy is to base its determination of the need for concessional credits on economic grounds. But, unless there is a tight ce ng on such loans, there will be great pressure to allocate concessional credit on political grounds. As for the amount of concessional financing to be provided, that can only be de- termined on the basis of country-by-country analysis. The proposal for $500 million in addition to the $2,575 million of forgiven credit for Israel and Egypt seems rea- sonable. The amounts for Israel and Egypt, though somewhat reduced, actually rep- resent increases over recent levels as the entire amount is to be forgiven-in short, a grant. For the reasons set forth in my article, I believe the levels of security as- sistance to Israel and Egypt are excessive and that we have created two client states with no plan, no hope that their dependency can be ended in the foreseeable future. The degree of concessionality to be offered in FMS credits is defined by the inter- est rate charged. The Administration proposes a single rate of 5 percent rather than a sliding rate that might go even lower. Given the current cost of money to the Treasury, 5 percent seems concessional enough and I would not go lower. I recom- mend that both the amount of concessional credit and the minimum interest rate be either prescribed in legislation or at least established in the legislative record. The Congress should also consider limiting the repayment period for FMS financ- ing. As a general rule countries should not be allowed to stretch out repayments for extended periods of 20 to 30 years that greatly exceed the life of the weapons and equipment bought with the loans. Such extended repayments encourage countries to make current purchases without adequate regard for the future debt service bur- dens they are building. As we are learning, there comes a day of reckoning for those who live on credit. Finally, with regard to the Administration's security assistance proposals, I find it difficult to divine the logic of the relationship between grant MAP and concessional FMS financing. MAP grants are, of course, the ultimate in concessionality. Why, for example, should Portugal receive $70 million in grant MAP and $55 million in non- concessional FMS credit. Turkey would receive a mix of all three: $230 million MAP, $275 million in non-concessional FMS, and $250 million concessional FMS, not to mention $175 million in ESF, also a mix of grants and loans. Otto Passman used to rail against the various foreign aid "spigots.” Surely this administration has turned on all spigots. CARLUCCI COMMISSION Next, I should like to turn to the report of the Commission on Security and Eco- nomic Assistance--the Carlucci Commission. On the whole, the Report is disappoint- ingly vague and unconvincing. I recognize that the purpose of the exercise was es- sentially to bolster the public case for more foreign aid and that, accordingly, the Commission was not likely to dig very deeply into the questionable aspects of for- eign aid. The Commission's report is the quintessential American response to a problem. Instead of dealing with deep-seated deficiencies of the product, it is declared to be good, it is asserted that more should be bought, and the recommended solution is to gear up a public relations campaign and reorganize. I don't think this will sell. I certainly wouldn't buy it. I believe the Administration and the members of the Congress who participated have missed an opportunity to take a fresh look at what we are doing with foreign aid. Even the Commission report admits it could not go into the specifics of country programs, in short into the essence of the problem. I don't mean to suggest that either the chairman or the many members of the Commission who are genuinely concerned about the direction of our foreign aid program were unaware of the limi- tations of their effort. The whole climate in which the Commission worked was not conducive to a critical appraisal. The staff was largely made up of advocates and lacked the breadth-perhaps even the mandate to confront honest criticisms of our foreign aid. The report, consequently, has to be taken largely on faith. The one major proposal of the Commission—to create a Mutual Development and Security Administration-is constructive in its intended purpose of bringing about greater integration of various foreign aid programs. I strongly support this objective, especially as I had some role in efforts in past administrations to bring about great- er program integration. Unfortunately, based on that experience, I believe creation 340 of the MDSA as conceived by the Commission would be a step in exactly the wrong direction. The basic flaw in the proposed MDSA is that it would combine in one person, the director, the functions of (1) providing policy direction and budget control over the various components of mutual assistance (development assistance, Economic Sup- port Fund, military assistance, Pub. Law 480, and transfers a multilateral develop- ment banks) and (2) operational control over the economic aid programs (DA and ESF). If I understand the proposal correctly, MDSA would subsume the functions now assigned to AID and the essentially defunct IDCA, the Under Secretary of State for Security Assistance, Science and Technology (those functions related to security assistance), and the Politico-Military Bureau (for security assistance). I submit that this arrangement would not work and would be a step backward. My assessment is based in part on what happened in the 1960s when the Director of AID had delegated to him the functions assigned by the Foreign Assistance Act to the Secretary of State to provide continuous policy direction and control over mili- tary assistance and to determine whether military aid should be provided to a par- ticular country and the amount thereof. The AID Director could not be the principal spokesman for and manager of economic aid, on one hand, and the Secretary of State's man to ride herd on military aid, on the other. Because these roles were not compatible, the AID Director had to give primary attention to his economic aid role and effective policy direction over military aid passed to the Secretary of Defense during the period. It was only with the revocation of that delegation in 1968 and reassignment of the Secretary's responsibilities for military aid to the Politico-Mili- tary Bureau that State began to carry out its central policy direction function for military aid effectively. I believe the proposed MDSA would founder on the same rock. My belief that the proposed MDSA is a step in the wrong direction is also rein- forced by experience with the integrated review of all foreign affairs programs con- ducted by the Secretary of State in the last year of the Carter Administration. This Foreign Affairs Budget Review (FABR) came about when OMB, with the President's blessing, requested that the Secretary of State review all the separate foreign affairs program budget requests and provide to the President, through OMB, his recom- mendations as to how these disparate programs should be funded within an overall aggregate foreign affairs budget ceiling. The Secretary's recommendations were to be submitted with decision packages-program increments-placed in priority order above and below the aggregate ceiling. The individual agency and program budget requests were not cut off by this extra review by the Secretary of State; they were transmitted to OMB and reviewed and defended there in the normal manner. How- ever, the final reviews and appeals were conducted within the FABR framework and the Secretary's recommendations were given great weight. Several aspects of the FABR process are instructive. First, the approach taken might be described as "trickle down." The Secretary was given both responsibility and requisite authority to conduct the review by the President and OMB with the cooperation of the NSC staff. The consequences of these steps were then allowed to flow down through the community. No new agencies or large staffs were required. The small FABR staff created in State and reporting to the Deputy Secretary con- sisted of four professionals, one of them available only part-time. The process allowed for full play by the advocates of the various agencies and by the bureaus of State. But because the FABR staff worked for the Deputy Secretary, who gave them his firm support, they could not be bypassed within State and with OMB, NSC, and the President in firm support, there was no way to get around the Secretary, although agency head appeals were allowed as is normal. The most important aspect of the FABR exercise was that it involved all the re- sponsible policy officials—the state country directors, heads of state bureaus, other agency heads, the undersecretaries of state, and finally the deputy and the secre- tary. Most fundamentally, the integrated review recognized that in the final analy- sis all of these programs-economic aid, military aid, ICA (USIA), Export-Import Bank, State's own budget, contributions to international organizations, Peace Corps-serve political, that is, foreign policy purposes. The underlying premise was that the official short of the President best qualified to establish priorities among these programs is the Secretary of State. I do not believe a detailed description of the FABR exercise is necessary here but would be glad to submit a more comprehensive report if the committee would like to know more about it. Now, you may ask, just what does the 1980 integrated budget review have to do with the Carlucci Commission's recommendation to create a new Mutual Develop- ment and Security Administration. The Commission's concept proceeds from the C 341 premise that to achieve better integration of the several foreign aid programs the integration function should be performed by a senior official who heads a new semi- autonomous agency. This is the exact opposite of the premise of the FABR exercise that the review must be performed by the senior officials who are responsible for the conduct of our foreign policy. I believe the head of MDSA would soon find him- self isolated much as the head of IDCA did. Behind the MDSA and IDCA concepts probably lies the notion that if these pro- grams can be isolated from the corrupting influence of political considerations they can be purified, integrated, and rationalized. But, if these programs are ultimately political in their purposes, should not the officials charged with directing foreign policy bear the principal responsibility for ensuring that the several foreign affairs programs are properly integrated in the service of the foreign policy? I certainly would not claim that State officials have adequately met these responsibilities over the years. But moving the responsibility away from them is not going to make things better, it will only create more bureaucratic conflict and delay the time when State faces up to its responsibilities. In sum, with respect to the Commission's organizational recommendation, I would continue the Agency for International Development as the agency responsible for operational control over the economic assistance programs (development and eco- nomic support) with its head expected to be a strong advocate for development aid as in the past. The International Development Coordination Agency (IDCA) should be eliminated as recommended by the Commission. Consideration should be given to more closely integrating Washington level AID staffs with the State Bureaus. Maybe there is no need for a separate AID, but the advantages and disadvantages of complete integration with State should be more thoroughly analyzed. The function of providing policy direction and budgetary control over security as- sistance must continue to be performed by a senior State official who interacts close- ly with both AID, as the operating agency for economic supporting assistance, and Defense, as the operating agency for military aid. I question that it is advisable for the same official who performs these functions for State to also have responsibility for integrating and providing overall policy direction to both development and secu- rity assistance. This responsibility probably should reside in the Deputy Secretary who is also in the best position to integrate the foreign aid programs with the other foreign affairs programs along the lines of the FABR exercise. However, further study of these options is required. I do support the Commission's call for greater attention to the longer run aspects of foreign aid, for a multi-year planning framework, and for an integrated country approach. However, these desirable characteristics of program planning and budget- ing have long been advocated and are not likely to be achieved by mere organiza- tional changes. A deeper study of the difficulties and the reasons for past failures to remedy these problems needs to be undertaken before we can adopt specific reforms with confidence. If the Commission's report does not offer any ready answers to our foreign aid problems, it at least may help by identifying those problems and thus serve to pro- vide an agenda for further study by both the executive branch and the Congress. And the coming budget crunch under the impact of $200 billion annual deficits may provide the impetus to some serious reform. Often we can only overcome the inertia of old ways when disaster threatens. 342 TABLE 1.-PRESIDENT'S BUDGET-FOREIGN ASSISTANCE SUMMARY (Budget authority in thousands of dollars] Fiscal year 1984 Fiscal year 1985 Continuing resolution Supplements Revised Presidents budget Amendment Revised 319,616 3,686 108,874 166,416 1,324,365 314,164 1,902,942 15,000 2,893,250 16,250 Economic assistance: Multilateral Development Banks International organizations AID development assistance AID miscellaneous trust funds. Economic support fund Trade and development program Public Law 480 Title program. Title I receipts. Title I budget authority. Title 11 1,643,981 317,850 2,011,816 15,000 3,187,750 16,250 294,500 1,235,558 241,800 2,075,058 15,000 3,067,500 21,000 - 985,000 - 316,000 1,235,558 241,800 2,241,474 15,000 3,448,100 21,000 380,600 25,000 36,000 ... 872,000 -470,000 897,000 - 470,000 1,021,000 - 316,000 36,000 402,000 650,000 25,000 90,000 427,000 740,000 669,000 650,000 705,000 650,000 Total budget authority 1,052,000 115,000 1,167,000 1,319,000 36,000 1,355,000 9,000 3,000 14,650 Peace Corps Refugee assistance. Inter-American Foundation. African Development Foundation International Narcotics Control Compact of Free Association. 115,000 323,000 13,000 3,000 41,200 118,000 337,650 13,000 3,000 41,200 115,000 341,450 11,992 3,000 50,217 295,490 124,000 341,450 11,992 3,000 50,217 295,490 Total 8,011,171 859,326 8,872,497 8,792,065 592,016 9,384,081 259,050 124,500 ....... Military assistance: Military assistance program Peacekeeping operations International military education and training Foreign military sales credit. FMS guarantees Guarantee reserve fund Anti-terrorism assistance 510,000 56,200 51,532 1,315,000 4,401,250 769,050 56,200 151,532 1,315,000 4,401,250 800,000 49,000 60,910 5,115,000 924,500 49,000 60,910 5,100,000 - 15,000 274,000 5,000 274,000 5,000 2,500 2,500 343 TABLE 1.-PRESIDENT'S BUDGET-FOREIGN ASSISTANCE SUMMARY-Continued (Budget authority in thousands of dollars] Fiscal year 1984 Fiscal year 1985 Continuing resolution Supplements Revised Presidents budget Amendment Revised Total 6,336,482 259,050 6,595,532 6,303,910 109,500 6,413,410 1,118,376 701,516 Gross economic and security assistance Offsetting receipts (AID DA) (FMS). Total economic and security assistance 14,349,653 - 460,489 — 126,000 15,468,029 - 460,489 - 126,000 15,095,975 - 463,143 - 117,000 15,797,491 –463,143 -- 117,000 13,763,164 1,118,376 14,881,540 14,515,832 701,516 15,217,348 TABLE 2.-FISCAL YEAR 1985 SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS 1 BUDGET AUTHORITY [Dollars in thousands] FMS financing Economic support fund MAP (grants) IMETP (grants) Peacekeeping operations Total Treasury rate Concession Grants Loans East Asia and Pacific: Brunei. Burma Fiji Indonesia Korea. Malaysia Papua-New Guinea Philippines Singapore Solomon Islands Thailand Tonga 0 0 0 20,000 230,000 10,000 0 30,000 0 0 98,000 0 0 0 0 20,000 0 0 0 30,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 95,000 0 0 5,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25,000 0 0 5,000 0 30 300 80 2,700 2,000 1,000 50 2,000 50 30 2,400 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 300 80 42,700 232,000 11,000 50 182,000 50 30 110,400 30 Regional total 388,000 50,000 100,000 0 30,000 10,670 0 578,670 344 Ooo OOO OOO Near East and South Asia: Algeria... Bangladesh Egypt. India Israel Jordan Lebanon Maldives Morocco Nepal. Oman Pakistan Sri Lanka Tunisia 0 0 0 0 2 1,175,000 0 0 0 2 1,400,000 47,500 47,500 15,000 0 0 0 10,000 0 0 45,000 0 225,000 100,000 0 0 25,000 25,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 750,000 0 850,000 13,000 20,000 0 15,000 0 5,000 160,300 0 3,000 0 15,000 0 0 0 7,000 0 0 0 0 15,000 39,700 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40,000 0 0 0 0 15,000 10,000 0 0 50 250 2,000 300 0 2,000 800 25 1,700 100 100 1,000 150 1,700 1,500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0. 0 0 0 0 35,000 50 250 1,927,000 300 2,250,000 117,000 35,800 25 66,700 100 65,100 526,000 150 69,700 11,500 15,000 35,000 Yemen...... Middle East regional . Multinational Force and observers Regional total 357,500 2,757,500 1,831,300 61,700 65,000 11,675 35,000 5,119,675 ************************* ************* > O Europe: Austria Cyprus Finland Greece Iceland Portugal Spain Turkey Yugoslavia. U.N. forces in Cyprus. 0 0 0 500,000 0 55,000 400,000 275,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 250,000 0 0 0 3,000 0 0 0 80,000 12,000 90,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 70,000 0 230,000 0 0 60 0 60 1,700 25 3,000 3,000 4,000 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9,000 60 3,000 60 501,700 25 208,000 415,000 934,000 150 9,000 0 Regional total 1,230,000 250,000 185,000 85,000 300,000 11,995 9,000 2,070,995 Africa: Benin Botswana Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde. OOO OO 0 5,000 0 5,000 0 0 10,000 0 0 0 OOOO 0 4,000 0 0 0 50 300 90 200 60 OOOOO 50 19,300 90 5,200 60 345 TABLE 2.----FISCAL YEAR 1985 SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS 1 BUDGET AUTHORITY - Continued [Dollars in thousands] FMS financing Economic support fund MAP (grants) IMETP (grants) Peacekeeping operations Total Treasury rate Concession Grants Loans 34-045 0-84--23 0 Africa-continued Central African Republic. Chad... Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Gabon Gambia. Ghana. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OOOO 0 10,000 0 3,500 0 0 0 0 O O OOO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Guinea....... Guinea-Bissau..... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oo 0 0 0 0 Ivory Coast. Kenya Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali. Mauritania. Mauritius Niger Rwanda Senegal Seychelles. Sierra Leone Somalia 0 5,000 0 2,500 0 0 0 0 3,000 0 0 23,000 15,000 0 1,000 0 0 0 5,000 0 3,000 0 0 40,000 69,000 0 0 0 55,000 45,000 0 0 0 0 2,000 7,000 0 15,000 2,000 0 35,000 120,000 0 0 OOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO 100 150 50 100 60 100 60 325 100 75 75 1,800 1,200 50 200 125 50 0 200 60 500 50 50 1,250 1,700 50 75 75 100 150 1,400 0 100 15,150 50 6,100 60 100 60 325 3,100 75 75 79,800 61,200 50 1,200 125 50 2,000 12,200 60 18,500 2,050 50 76,250 190,700 50 75 75 100 150 31,400 20,000 0 0 0 0 0 Sudan... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Swaziland Tanzania. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 oc Togo. Uganda. Upper Volta Zaire. Zambia 0 0 15,000 20,000 O O OO 0 0 0 15,000 0 OOOOOO 346 . Africa-continued Zimbabwe Civic Action South African regional OOO 0 0 0 15,000 0 37,000 0 0 0 5,000 0 150 0 0 0 0 15,150 5,000 37,000 Regional total 0 10,000 391,500 0 190,500 11,130 0 603,130 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 50 0 0 4,000 0 0 4,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,000 0 0 100 50 0 0 0 3,100 50 8,900 900 0 0 2,000 5,000 0 2,000 0 20,000 0 45,000 0 0 3,000 5,000 0 750 300 700 0 0 0 53,750 25,300 4,700 American Republics: Bahamas Belize 1 Bolivia Brazil Colombia Costa Rica 1 Dominican Republic Eastern Caribbean Ecuador El Salvador 1 Guatemala 1 Guyana Haiti. Honduras 1 Jamaica Mexico. Panama 1 Paraguay Peru Suriname. Trinidad-Tobago Uruguay Venezuela PACAMS Caribbean peacekeeping LAC regional. 0 0 0 0 0 5,000 0 0 0 300 50 450 0 0 50 5,750 0 0 0 0 5,000 0 65,000 0 5,000 0 250 250 0 0 75,250 250 0 5,000 0 0 0 0 0 5,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 850 80 50 60 50 6,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5,000 0 50 10,850 80 50 60 50 6,000 5,000 2,000 o 0 0 0 0 0 Regional total 11,000 16,000 32,000 110,000 16,300 10,990 5,000 1 201,290 49,000 18,573,760 Total country programs 1,966,500 3,083,500 2,539,800 256,700 601,800 56,460 ******* Nonregional: General costs Oceanographic research 0 0 0 0 0 1,000 0 0 ó 50,700 0 550 0 0 0 51,250 1,000 1 TABLE 2.---FISCAL YEAR 1985 SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS 1 BUDGET AUTHORITY—Continued [Dollars in thousands) FMS financing Economic support fund MAP (grants) IMETP (grants) Peacekeeping operations Total Treasury rate Concession Grants Loans 0 0 0 0 50,000 0 0 50,000 Section 506(a) reimbursement. Total nonregional 0 0 1,000 0 100,700 550 0 102,250 Total budget authority 1,986,500 3,083,500 2,540,800 256,700 702,500 57,010 49,000 8,676,010 1 This interim document does not contain the allocations for six Central American countries—Costa Rica, Belize, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Panama-nor do aggregate totals for the security assistance programs reflect these allocations. The final version of this document will include these allocations when decisions on levels are made. 2 Payment waived. TABLE 3.-ECONOMIC AND MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO CENTRAL AMERICA: FISCAL YEARS 1983-85 (By fiscal year in millions of dollars) 347 1983 actual 1984 continuing resolution 1984 supplemental request 1984 total 1985 request Belize: Economic Military. 10.0 16.7 .075 4.0 0.6 14.0 0.6 10.0 0.6 Total 16.775 4.6 10.0 14.6 10.6 ***** Costa Rica: Economic Military. 211.9 2.625 105.1 2.15 75.0 7.85 180.1 10.0 208.0 10.0 Total 214.525 107.25 82.85 190.1 218.0 ******** El Salvador: Economic Military 245.5 81.3 198.6 64.8 134.0 178.7 332.6 243.5 341.1 132.5 Total 326.8 263.4 312.7 576.1 473.6 348 Guatemala: Economic Military 27.5 13.6 20.0 33.6 96.4 10.3 27.5 Total 13.6 33.6 20.0 106.7 Honduras: Economic Military 102.7 37.3 84.4 41.0 84.5 37.5 168.9 78.5 139.0 62.5 140.0 125.4 Total 122.0 247.4 201.5 Panama: Economic Military. 7.2 5.45 12.3 5.5 34.2 10.0 46.5 15.5 40.3 20.0 12.65 17.8 44.2 62.0 Total 60.3 19.4 12.1 Regional programs: Economic. Military (RMTC) Total 30.8 25.0 42.9 25.0 198.6 20.0 19.4 12.1 55.8 67.9 218.6 11.5 11.5 Miscellaneous: Economic 86.6 Total: Economic. Military 630.9 126.75 430.1 114.05 400.0 259.05 830.1 373.1 1,120.0 255.9 757.65 Total 544.15 659.05 1,203.2 1,375.9 349 TABLE 4.-AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BUDGET AUTHORITY TRENDS: FISCAL YEARS 1982-85 [By fiscal years in thousands of dollars) 1984 1985 1982 actual 1983 actual Continuing resolution Supplemental 1 Revised President's Budget Amendment Revised 700,000 211,000 133,405 103,550 705,000 211,000 133,405 103,550 715,107 240,000 125,000 116,477 10,000 5,000 18,000 10,000 725,107 245,000 143,000 126,477 738,871 245,032 135,558 130,743 13,680 4,970 22,580 58,090 752,551 250,002 158,138 188,833 30,000 57,480 137,200 10,000 140,288 10,000 140,288 10,000 170,288 10,000 178,695 (2) 236,175 (2) 73,000 156,800 Functional development assistance: Agriculture, rural development and nutrition Population planning Health Education and human resources development Energy, private voluntary organizations and selected develop- ment activities Science and technology Subtotal, functional accounts 3 Sahel development program Economic policy initiative for Africa Private enterprise revolving fund 4 American schools and hospitals abroad Housing guaranty reserve International disaster assistance. Operating expenses Foreign Service Retirement Fund 6 Total, AID development assistance Economic support fund ? 1,295,155 93,758 1,303,243 93,757 1,346,872 103,000 1,419,872 103,000 1,428,899 97,500 75,000 (20,000) 10,000 (20,000) 30,000 (20,000) 30,000 20,000 20,000 1,585,699 97,500 75,000 (20,000) 10,000 10,000 25,000 404,113 34,162 10,000 5 107,000 331,000 33,583 25,000 344,938 36,537 25,000 361,533 36,537 10,979 3,895 25,000 372,512 40,432 25,000 398,097 40,562 6,016 -6,400 1,880,496 2,919,300 1,823,475 2,962,250 1,902,942 2,903,250 87,874 290,500 1,990,816 3,193,750 2,075,058 3,067,500 166,416 370,600 2,241,474 3,438,100 Total, Agency for International Development 4,799,796 4,785,725 4,806,192 378,374 5,184,566 5,142,558 537,016 5,679,574 Includes proposed supplemental for Central America and pay supplemental for operating expenses and Foreign Service Retirement Fund. 2 Included within selected development activities account. 3 Includes $10 million for cargo preference in fiscal year 1985, and comparable levels in prior years. * Funded from functional development assistance. 8 Excludes $8.1 million in functional account funds made available for operating expenses. 8 Fiscal year 1985 budget amendment proposed for later transmittal. ? Fiscal year 1984 continuing resolution level includes $10 million transferred to peacekeeping operations. 350 TABLE 5.-DISTRIBUTION OF AID FUNDS 1984 1985 Change DA estimate ESF estimate Public Law 480-1 estimate Public Law 480-11 estimate Total DA proposed ESF proposed Public Law 480-1 proposed Public Law 480-11 proposed Total Asia. AID program levels: Africa . Latin America and Caribbean Near East and Europe Central program Functional accounts. SAHEL countries. 349,479 384,502 372,889 50,255 386,242 1,436,748 106,619 338,950 284,200 640,500 2,191,440 11,100 3,448,190 18,000 132,500 170,000 173,000 293,000 128,500 123,367 194,709 62,206 57,896 301,822 944,296 1,033,411 1,248,595 2,592,591 827,664 4,884,938 124,619 355,199 447,000 460,300 52,000 368,700 1,585,699 97,500 391,500 300,000 792,600 1,963,000 1,000 3,416,100 32,000 148,500 191,000 210,000 275,000 196,500 83,187 177,428 56,726 34,149 298,510 978,386 1,115,428 1,519,626 2,324,149 864,710 5,001,799 129,500 34,000 82,017 271,031 (268,442) 37,046 116,861 4,881 1,543,367 3,466,190 Total allocation 897,000 740,000 6,646,557 1,683,199 3,448,100 1,021,000 650,000 6,802,299 155,742 Program total 1,543,367 3,466,190 897,000 740,000 6,646,557 1,683,199 3,448,100 1,021,000 650,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 126,474 274 0 126,474 274 0 25,000 ....I Unallocated. Disaster assistance. Miscellaneous prior year accounts..... Lebanon supplemental Italian relief and rehabilitation African Initiative. HIG Reserve Fund ASHA FSR & DF Operating expenses AID Total TDP OPIC (101,474) (274) 0 0 75,000 25,000 0 0 0 75,000 10,000 10,000 34,162 407,763 0 0 10,000 30,000 40,432 376,127 10,000 30,000 40,432 376,127 75,000 10,000 10,000 34,162 407,763 (20,000) (6,270) 31,636 3,466,190 897,000 740,000 3,448,100 1,021,000 650,000 7,364,224 134,360 2,126,674 16,250 7,229,864 16,250 0 2,245,124 21,000 Grand total 2,142,924 3,466,190 897,000 740,000 7,246,114 2,266,124 3,448,100 1,021,000 650,000 351 TABLE 6.-MULTILATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS AND INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND PROGRAMS [Budget authority in thousands of dollars] 1983 actual 1984 request 1984 continuing resolution 1984 supplemen- tal 1985 CP 126,042 945,000 62,423 221,677 109,721 1,095,000 58,001 113,623 79,721 945,000 38,001 80,423 30,000 150,000 20,000 72,500 109,721 750,000 58,001 72,500 20,000 MDB's: IBRD........ IDA......... IDB FSO ....... FSO/IIC ........ IFC ............ Asian Development Bank Asian Development Fund. Asian Development Fund 11 African Development Bank ...... African Development Fund 248 131,634 13,233 147,116 13,233 100,000 47,116 13,233 14,116 130,000 17,987 50,000 17,987 50,000 17,987 50,000 50,000 Total: MDB's ......... 1,537,024 1,604,681 1,324,365 319,616 1,235,558 (33,760) (25,000) (38,000) (26,000) 3,686 140,000 42,500 14,500 15,500 7,850 2,300 2,000 2,000 120,000 27,000 18,500 15,500 3,000 2,300 2,000 120,000 27,000 20,500 15,500 3,000 2,000 2,000 DI!!!!! UNFPA........... International organizations and programs: UNDP ......... UNICEF...... IAEA............ OAS/DAP.... UNEP WMO/VC program.. U.N. Cap. Dev. Fund FAO/WFP U.N. Dec for Women.. U.N. E&TS Africa ........ CITES U.N. Namibia UNTF S. Africa U.N. Fellows....... UNITAR UNIDO......... JPO/AED..... IDD ........ PAHO ............ IFAD......... 160,000 52,500 14,814 15,500 10,000 2,300 2,000 2,000 500 1,000 150 500 343 449 422 500 1,000 150 500 1,000 200 1,000 138 500 343 449 422 100 1,686 50,000 40,000 50,000 50,000 Total: 10&P....... 269,502 239,950 314,164 3,686 241,800 Total ........... 1,806,526 1,844,631 1,638,529 323,302 1,477,358 SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (EUROPEAN AFFAIRS) WEDNESDAY, MARCH 7, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON EUROPEAN AFFAIRS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. c. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:22 p.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Richard Lugar (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senators Lugar, Helms, Pell, Biden, Sarbanes, and Tson- gas. Senator LUGAR. This hearing of the European Affairs Subcom- mittee of the Foreign Relations Committee is now called to order. This afternoon we will be discussing fiscal year 1985 foreign assist- ance levels proposed by the administration for southern Europe. The Chair would observe that increases have been requested for southern Europe in general and for several of the countries in par- ticular that we will examine this afternoon. Clearly, we want to ex- amine the rationale for foreign assistance to those countries. Budget constraints abound in this area, as they do everywhere. We need to look carefully at these requests to make sure that they are consonant with American national interests. We will hear initially from two witnesses from the administra- tion: Mr. Richard Burt, Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs, who is accompanied by Mr. Richard Haass, the Special Cyprus Coordinator; and Mr. Richard Perle, Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy. Then, following the testi- mony of this panel, we will hear from a panel of public witnesses that I will introduce in due course. Mr. Burt has time constraints. We are grateful for his presence, and I will call upon him first; then upon Mr. Perle, and we will then proceed with questions from committee members. But first I would like to call upon the distinguished ranking member of the committee, Senator Claiborne Pell of Rhode Island, for his opening statement. Senator PELL. Thank you, I have no statement. Let us get on with the hearing. Senator LUGAR. Do any other Senators have opening comments or statements? [No response.] Senator LUGAR. If not, we will proceed to you, Mr. Burt, and we appreciate your coming. (353) 354 STATEMENT OF HON. RICHARD R. BURT, ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR EUROPEAN AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE, ACCOMPA- NIED BY RICHARD HAASS, DEPUTY FOR POLICY (BUREAU OF EUROPEAN AFFAIRS) AND SPECIAL CYPRUS COORDINATOR, DEPARTMENT OF STATE Mr. Burt. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will make just a few brief opening remarks. Then I know that Richard Perle, Richard Haass, and of course I will be happy to answer your questions. Despite some very important recent accomplishments within the NATO alliance, particularly our successful implementation of the December 1979 decision on intermediate range nuclear force de- ployment in the face of a severe Soviet challenge, the NATO alli- ance does face major challenges in the years ahead, and in some cases our allies will require U.S. assistance to meet those challeng- es. There are four very important allies on the northern shore of the Mediterranean which in particular will need U.S. help in the years ahead: Portugal, Spain, Greece and Turkey. These four countries constitute the bulk of NATO's so-called southern flank. They form an integral part of our strategy for European defense and the de- fense of the central front in Europe. But they also constitute a bridge linking the Atlantic through Europe to Southwest Asia and the Middle East, which as you know is a region of increasing centrality to United States and Western security. We think that the story of these four countries on the northern shore of the Mediterranean constitutes an impressive suc- cess story for U.S. foreign policy over the last decade. In Spain, we have seen movement from the Franco regime and isolation to democracy, Spain's membership within NATO, a new base agreement, and growing economic vitality. In Portugal we also see a movement away from an old regime, colonial practices, a flirtation in the middle seventies with Euro- communism, to a firm democracy, again a new base agreement re- cently concluded late last year, and signs of economic improve- ment. In Greece we see movement from a military rule again to democ- racy, full integration into NATO's military system, and the first base agreement that we have signed with Greece since the 1950's. And finally Turkey, which is perhaps the most impressive suc- cess story: Movement from near-chaos and then military rule, eco- nomic bankruptcy, and strained ties with the United States, to movement toward resurrecting democracy and civilian rule, im- pressive economic improvements, and an expanded closer bilateral relationship that we in the Reagan administration have worked very hard to establish. A key element in these four success stories has been U.S. securi- ty assistance, both to assist military modernization and economic performance, and to underline the important relationship between these countries and the United States. We believe that we must continue security assistance to all four of these countries or see the successful record that we have accomplished over the last decade- and it is a bipartisan record-jeopardized. 355 You have the details of our proposals. In the cases of Greece, Spain, and Turkey, we are requesting overall levels the same as last year. For Turkey, we are easing the economic impact of our assistance, and for Portugal we are slightly raising military aid and similarly easing the financial terms of that aid. More specifi- cally: For Spain we are asking for $400 million in foreign military sales [FMS], $12 million in economic support funds (ESF), and $3 million in international military education and training (IMET); For Portugal, $80 million in ESF, that would be for grant; $55 million in FMS; $70 million for military assistance programs [MAP], and $3 million again for IMET; Greece is $500 million FMS, $1.7 million IMET; And for Turkey, $175 million ESF, approximately half grant, half concessional loan, $230 million MAP, $525 million in FMS, $250 million of which is concessional, and $4 million in IMET. Thus, in all four cases we have proposed assistance programs which go toward meeting military needs on terms consistent with the economic means of the recipient. Finally, Mr. Chairman, we have asked for $3 million in ESF for Cyprus. We believe this promotes educational opportunity and con- stitutes an important symbol of U.S. interest in this country's wel- fare. At the same time, the key element of the United States- Cyprus relationship is not security assistance, but efforts that the U.S. Government undertakes, along with other parties, to promote a settlement on that island. My prepared statement will go into considerable detail on the current diplomatic state of play on Cyprus. I would just add this: We are concerned about the situation in Cyprus. Our diplomacy on Cyprus has been very active in recent weeks. As you know, the State Department counselor Edward Derwinski has visited that region recently. Our Special Cyprus Coordinator Richard Haass has also paid a visit to that region and talked to the leaders in Cyprus, as well as in Greece and Turkey. I have been dealing on an almost daily basis with the Greek and Turkish Am- bassadors here in Washington on that question. I was able during a recent trip to Eastern Europe to meet with Perez de Cuellar, the Secretary General of the United Nations, to discuss the Cyprus problem. As you know, he has a mandate to deal with this problem. We are hopeful that we will make progress on the Cyprus question, and we are working very hard in discus- sions with the various parties involved to make progress. We believe that actions taken by the Congress can help facilitate a settlement. We also believe that actions taken by the Congress can make a settlement more difficult. With that, Mr. Chairman, I want to thank you very much, and I will be happy to take your questions. [Mr. Burt's prepared statement follows:) PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. RICHARD R. BURT It is a pleasure to have this opportunity to speak to you today on behalf of securi- ty assistance requirements for the European region in fiscal year 1985. Although the countries of the Atlantic Alliance weathered in 1983 a major challenge to their unity, we must accept the fact that 1984 and future years will bring additional chal- 356 ficulties in the midst of a stringent austerity program set up by agreement with the lenges. Fortunately, the vast majority of our European friends and allies possess the capacity to fulfill their responsibilities and help us meet these challenges without any direct U.S. assistance; a few, however, cannot, and need our help if they are to be able to do their share in safeguarding United States and Western interests. The four allies who do require special assistance are to be found along the north- ern edge of the Mediterranean. These four allies-Spain, Portugal, Greece and Turkey-constitute much of NATO's southern flank. This region is critical for the defense of the central front and Europe more generally. At the same time, the southern flank is uniquely important for another reason-as a bridge across Europe linking the Atlantic to the Middle East and Southwest Asia. As NATO foreign and defense ministers regularly note, Western interests outside the formal treaty area can and do affect the well-being of every Alliance member. The countries of the southern flank, by virtue of their location along major East-West air and sea routes, have the potential to make a special contribution to this increasingly important di- mension of Western security. It is U.S. assistance programs which can turn this po- tential into reality. But in speaking of the future, we ought not overlook the accomplishments of the recent past. Over the past decade, each of these four countries has made a difficult but crucial transition toward democracy. Each has strengthened its association with the values and institutions of the West. Each has negotiated a major base agree- ment with the United States. And in each and every case, I believe that U.S. securi- ty assistance programs have constituted an integral part of this evolution. Our eco- nomic and military assistance programs have proven to be an essential foreign policy instrument. Let me address each of the proposed security assistance programs in turn. I would then like to say a few words about our policy toward Cyprus, after which all of us-- Richard Perle, Richard Haass, and myself—would be willing to answer any of your questions. A charter member of NATO, Portugal is a long-time, steadfast and reliable ally of the United States. The Portuguese Government actively supports Western policies in international fora, most notably on Iran, Afghanistan and Poland. Portugal holds a strategic position of great importance for NATO reinforcement/resupply and other, including, non-NATO contingencies. The Lajes air base is critical to these missions. Although concerned that expanded United States use of their facilities for non-NATO purposes could expose Portugal to increased military and economic risks, Portugal has been highy cooperative in allowing use of its bases, provided that their relatively modest military and economic needs can be taken into account. A new mutual defense agreement signed in December 1983 provides the United States con- tinued access to the critical Lajes facilities and reaffirms the strength and vitality of our security relationship. Portugal has come a long way in establishing a working democracy since the 1974 revolution. Portuguese political parties, both in government and in opposition (with the exception of the Communists) are pro-Western and agree that Portugal should make a more substantial, active military contribution to NATO. The country's Sta- linist Communist Party, meanwhile, has been thoroughly discredited and, while con- trolling almost 20 percent of the electorate, has no chance of participating in the government. We support Portugal's increased participation in NATO along with other Alliance partners, and want to help in the long-range Portuguese military modernization effort. Military modernization has a long way to go, however, since until the 1974 revolu- tion the Portuguese armed forces were largely a colonial force, heavy on foot-sol- diers and light arms. The army has been re-structured to more modern proportions, and the process of acquiring modern equipment has begun, in accordance with NATO force goals. It is nevertheless clear that Portugal will not be able to bear the burden alone. In recognition of this, we and other NATO partners are cooperating in an ad hoc committee of NATO to coordinate assistance efforts. Portugal is one of the poorest NATO members, experiencing serious economic dif- PORTUGAL IMF. In addition, the country is facing a major adjustment as it prepares to enter the EC. It is in our best interest to provide increased levels of ESF grants to support the Azores and the mainland economies, and sufficient amounts of MAP grant as- sistance to help Portugal achieve NATO readiness and fulfill its obligations in Europe and the Atlantic. 357 For FY 1985 we have requested an ESF grant of $80 million, a MAP grant of $70 million, and FMS credits of $55 million along with $3 million IMET funds. This level would help Portugal to obtain U.S. equipment for three ASW frigates (partial- ly fulfilling our commitment to help modernize the Portuguese navy), provide funds to complete the acquisition of a second squadron of A-7P aircraft, vital electronic warfare equipment for the NATO-dedicated brigade, and military personnel train- ing. The ESF is intended to provide vital budget support for the economically pressed Azores as well as economic assistance to the mainland. In addition, it will help finance the establishment of a Luso-American Development Foundation, in- tended to be a clearing house for technical assistance to Portugal after the phase out of current AID operations. SPAIN Since the death of Franco in 1975, Spain has successfully established a fully func- tioning democracy, while working to integrate more fully with the West, including membership in NATO and the EC. In conjunction with a democratic Portugal, Spain's remarkable progress in establishing a free society and in reducing the Com- munists to only a marginal political force has helped to secure NATO's southern flank and enhanced Alliance strength. The United States-Spanish bilateral security relationship dates back to 1953 and has been confirmed through a series of agreements regarding the United States use of Spanish military facilities and U.S. assistance for Spanish military moderniza- tion. Since Spain's entry into NATO and its peaceful transition to democracy, it has also become an important Alliance partner. The basis for our security cooperation has thus been broadened. Modernization of the Spanish military forces, which strengthens the common defense as well as encourages an institutional role for the military similar to that played by the military in other Western democracies, has gained new importance. Our security assistance relationship has thus become even more significant. Following national elections in Spain in 1982, the newly elected Socialist govern- ment, in the face of considerable popular sentiment against NATO, “froze” the proc- ess of military integration into the Alliance pending a popular referendum. No date for a referendum has been set, but the authorities are now evaluating membership and military integration partly in terms of what benefits they offer the Spanish military's modernization effort. While we consider the ultimate decision to be a matter for Spain alone to decide, it is important that our assistance effort make clear the value of NATO participation. Under the 1983 Agreement on Friendship, Defense, and Cooperation, Spain pro- vides the United States continued access to vital air and naval facilities which will be crucial in the event of a European conflict. The agreement also establishes an institutional framework-the United States-Spanish Council and the various com- mittees which operate under its aegis--for the development and implementation of our broad political, economic, cultural, and scientific cooperation with Spain. We, in turn, are pledged to “best efforts" in assisting Spain to upgrade its military equip- ment, modernize its forces, and bring them up to NATO standards. At a minium, it is vital that we maintain our current “best efforts” commitment for FY 1985, which would be to continue at FY 1984 assistance levels of $400 million in FMS credits, and $12 million in ESF grants, and to seek $3 million in IMET. The ESF grant would fund scientific/cultural exchanges and programs designed to coun- terbalance the large military component of our relations. The IMET program is aimed at the professional development of the Spanish military. FMS guaranteed credits are scheduled to fund air defense and missile systems, continued funding for purchase of F-18 fighter aircraft, cargo/transport helicopters, Harpoon missiles, ship construction, and other weapons systems. GREECE The strategic importance of Greece is well-recognized. Bordering on the Warsaw Pact, Greece would block any Pact thrust southward toward the Mediterranean through Thrace and would join with Turkey in resisting any Soviet effort to seize control of the Dardanelles. At the same time Greece is in a position to control the sea and air lanes of the Eastern Mediterranean, and is one of the several countries controlling access to the Middle East. Greece is thus a key ally on the southern flank of NATO. In addition to these strategic interests, our defense relationship with Greece must be placed in the broader context of a traditional friendship which is very important to the United States. It is our intention to work to deepen the understanding be 358 tween our two countries. While at times we have significant differences with Greece, these must be considered in the larger context of relations between two democratic allies whose perspectives can differ but also coincide. The most important development in our defense relationship last year was the conclusion of the new Defense and Economic Cooperation Agreement. The Agree- ment was formally signed September 8 and entered into force December 20 follow- ing Greek parliamentary approval. The Congress helped make this Agreement possi- ble by indicating its willingness to increase our security assistance program to Greece in the context of a defense relationship reaffirmed by conclusion of a satis- factory agreement. This accord provides for the continuation of the activities previ- ously conducted in Greece on a mutually agreeable basis. The Agreement will be valid until terminated by written notice by either side, which can be given at the end of 5 years or thereafter. This arrangement is comparable to agreements we have with other allies. We believe this Agreement strengthens NATO, as well as benefitting the United States and Greece. The security assistance we are requesting for Greece is an integral part of a close defense relationship which includes our common membership in NATO as well as United States use of military facilities in Greece. U.S. assistance is needed to im- prove capability to carry out its assigned tasks under NATO. Greece has made con- siderable progress in recent years, utilizing its own foreign exchange resources as well as U.S. loan guarantees. The Greek percent of GNP devoted to military expend- itures is among the highest in NATO. However, U.S. assistance continues to be needed. Like other European allies, Greece is suffering from inflation, unemploy- ment, and a balance of payments problem. The repayment terms for our military assistance loans to Greece are the best available to any nation under our non- concessional FMS program. For Greece, we propose to maintain the level of FMS funds at $500 million as was allocated for FY 1984 to permit the purchase of military equipment, ammunition and spare parts including aircraft, communications and radar equipment, and mis- siles. We also propose $1.7 million for international military education training (IMET) which is important to the Greek armed forces at both the professional and technical levels. TURKEY Our assistance program for Turkey remains one of the largest in the world, re- flecting both that country's importance and its potential. We are proposing a pro- gram for Turkey identical in size to last year's proposal, but doing so recognizing that it will leave significant shortcomings, both in terms of Turkish needs and what we would like to see occur there. Nonetheless, it is a program which will permit us to continue to assist the Turks with major military modernization programs and provide an important element of assistance to their imaginative economic reforms. Although Turkey's strategic importance has been reiterated many times to this Committee, I would like to mention it once again briefly. Turkey, with both land and sea frontiers with the U.S.S.R. and Bulgaria and holding the key to Soviet access to the Mediterranean, is the anchor of the Southeast flank of NATO. In addi- tion, Turkey shares borders with Iran, Iraq and Syria and is exploring a new, more active role in Islamic affairs. Given the impact of all three countries on current unrest in the Middle East, Turkey's potential role takes on added significance. Our dialogue and cooperation with Turkey on Middle East issues has increased signifi- cantly, based on the good and productive bilateral relationship we have developed. Security assistance remains an important basis of that relationship. Turkey's political system is undergoing a positive transformation toward full par- liamentary democracy. The government elected in November 1983 is actively devel- oping and carrying out new and innovative policies. Municipal elections scheduled for March 25 will include all legal political parties, a further indication that move- ment toward full democracy remains on schedule. Having supported Turkey during the past few difficult years, as it struggled to overcome political chaos and economic bankruptcy, it is important that we continue to strongly support the new govern- ment and the return to full democracy. Turkey's economic recovery in recent years is justly lauded as an example of how international cooperation and a committed country can overcome staggering finan- cial problems. At the same time, the economy remains fragile and requires outside support for the next year or two. This year will be especially important. Repayment of previously rescheduled debt will add significantly to short-term debt service; and the important economic reforms announced by the new government, which ulti- mately should increase the economy's productivity and competitiveness, will also 359 put short-term pressure on the balance of payments. Our economic support funds assistance to Turkey has decreased dramatically in recent years, but it is very im- portant that we not decrease it further at this critical juncture. For Turkey, our request is for $755 million in military assistance ($230 in MAP, $250 in concessional FMS loans and $275 in FMS guarantees), $175 million in eco- nomic support funds and $4 million in international military education and training funds. Some of our military assistance will continue to provide maintenance and support of aging equipment which cannot yet be replaced. The greater portion will be used for modernization of Turkish armed forces' equipment. Major programs in- clude M-48 tank upgrade, helicopter acquisition, naval weapon procurement and continuation of the important F-16 program begun in FY 1984. These are key pro- grams which will make major strides in helping Turkey meet NATO commitments which, in turn, contribute directly to U.S. national defense. They fall far short, how- ever, of enabling Turkey to overcome all of its equipment shortcomings in a reason- able timeframe. CYPRUS The United States enjoys a cordial and mutually beneficial relationship with the people and Government of Cyprus. However, the de facto partition of the island be- tween Greek and Turkish communities represents a continuing threat to that good · relationship and to relations between Greece and Turkey, two important NATO allies. This Administration thus places a high priority on achieving progress toward a just and lasting Cyprus settlement. We are fully committed to that goal, for as long as Cyprus is divided and its status uncertain, it constitutes not only a humani- tarian concern but remains a barrier to stability in the Eastern Mediterranean. In this context, we have strongly supported efforts involving the two Cypriot com- munities designed to promote a fair and final settlement. We have also worked to prevent steps which would make a diplomatic settlement more distant. We thus con- demned the November 15 declaration of statehood by the Turkish Cypriots and sup- ported United Nations Security Council Resolution 541, passed November 18, which called for reversal of the Turkish Cypriot action. In January, we welcomed new pro- posals by both the Turkish Cypriots and by the Government of Cyprus. We viewed elements of Turkish Cypriot leader Denktash's group of goodwill measures as con- structive, as we did the Government of Turkey's announcement of the removal of 1,500 troops from Cyprus. We responded favorably as well to President Kyprianou's proposed framework for a comprehensive settlement, noting that it contained posi- tive elements. The Administration is now actively encouraging both parties to react to the other's proposals in a way which can stimulate progress toward a solution to out- standing issues. During this period, the President, the Vice President, Secretary Shultz, and other senior Administration officials have personally worked with the parties, urging progress toward a solution. Counselor Derwinski has visited the region, most recently in early February, for high level discussions, and Deputy for Policy and Special Cyprus Coordinator Richard Haass has just completed discussions with senior officials in Ankara, Athens and Cyprus during his February 15–23 visit to the region. We are in close contact with the U.N. Secretary General, who we be- lieve must continue to play a key role in seeking a solution. He has greatly stepped up the pace of his consultations, meeting in recent weeks with Cypriot President Kyprianou, Turkish President Evren, and Turkish Cypriot community leader Denk- tash, using his good offices in an attempt to bring the parties closer to a settlement. The $3 million requested for Cyprus would be applied to the existing Cyprus America Scholarship Program (CASP) which provides American university educa- tions to young Cypriots of both communities. Cyprus is without universities of its own and CASP provides a very popular alternative to Soviet bloc study. We believe this to be a modest but significant demonstration of continuing American interest in the welfare of the people of Cyprus; as such, it constitutes a worthy complement to our diplomatic endeavors. Senator LUGAR. Mr. Perle, would you proceed at this point, and then we will have questions for both the administration witnesses. 360 STATEMENT OF HON. RICHARD N. PERLE, ASSISTANT SECRE- TARY OF DEFENSE FOR INTERNATIONAL SECURITY POLICY Mr. PERLE. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Like my col- league, I will submit my prepared remarks for the record and will summarize just a few points. There are increases proposed this year, as you know. I would only call attention to one of the reasons why we have felt that nec- essary, despite difficult economic circumstances even at home, and that is most, indeed all, of the purchases made by the recipients of this assistance are made in dollar terms. And in the last couple of years there has been a steady strengthening of the dollar, which has meant that for practical purposes the aid we make available will purchase some 25 to 27 percent less equipment than would have been the case under the previously prevailing exchange rates. Second, I would point out that there are critical military mis- sions performed by each of the allies we are discussing in the NATO context, missions that cannot be performed by U.S. forces alone. We do not have the capacity to bring those forces to bear effectively and in a timely fashion. It is therefore a singularly efficient method of meeting the NATO defense plan to assist those allies in the southern region to mount a credible defense in pursuant of their NATO missions. I will not repeat the points that Rick Burt has made with respect to the two countries on the Iberian peninsula, because I think they are largely noncontroversial. But let me say a little bit about the aid we are requesting for Greece and Turkey, which is a good deal more controversial. We have concluded, as you know, a base agreement with Greece. Greece has an important requirement to modernize its forces. They are in the process now of deciding how to modernize their air force in particular, and the $500 million of credits that we have proposed will be necessary to a successful modernization program for Greece. The benefits of American-Greek security cooperation adhere to both parties, to NATO, and to the stability in the Aegean, and we think this aid program is important and important to the most crit- ical part of the southern region of NATO. Finally, let me say a little bit about Turkey. Turkey is well on the path to democratic rule. It is a remarkable achievement, and those of you who have been in Turkey recently I am sure share the impression of many of us in the executive branch who have had an opportunity to visit Turkey that a really quite extraordinary politi- cal transformation is underway. It is something that the United States has been urging. It was the subject, as I recall, of discussion on this same occasion last year, when the absence of democratic institutions in Turkey was referred to as one of the reasons why we ought to be skeptical about aid to Turkey. Those democratic institutions are now well in the process of res- toration, and it seems to me that if we are to be even minimally consistent with the view that was expressed last year, that progress ought to be recognized and indeed rewarded. Militarily, Turkey anchors the critical southeastern flank of NATO. The Turkish forces, as I have had occasion to say previous- 361 ly, perform what is probably the single most critical military mis- sion for the southern region, and that is preventing the egress of the Soviet Black Sea fleet into the Mediterranean. If we are unable to hold these straits, if we are unable to keep that massive maritime capability bottled up in the Black Sea, the balance of power in the eastern Mediterranean in a conventional war could and almost certainly would shift against the United States and its allies, with catastrophic consequences for us and for friends in the region, including, most obviously, our friends in Israel and among the moderate Arab States. The overwhelming majority of the aid that we provide to Turkey is intended to enable them to carry out that mission. Moreover, the Soviets have massive forces deployed in the trans-Caucasus and these pose a constant threat of intimidation and potential aggres- sion in a vital area. Those are the forces that almost certainly would be moved south to exploit chaos in the upper gulf. And if there is anything that we can be sure about, it is that there is now and will likely continue to be chaos in the upper gulf, and the current offensive under way between Iran and Iraq should remind us all of the importance of being sure that the Soviets do not have an easy method of exploitation of that instability in order to strike a blow against vital American and European interests. Turkey is making a valiant effort to keep equipment operational that in any other military service would have been dropped long ago. Almost all of her major items of equipment are obsolete or nearing obsolescence. This includes weapons systems such as tanks, ships, and aircraft, as well as communications and support equip- ment. In the army, almost all of the tanks are 90 millimeter tanks with limited effectiveness, and are gas-powered with short range. Only 3 percent of critical antitank weapons are modern weapons, the rest dating back to World War II and the Korean war. Eighty-nine per- cent of Turkish short-range air defense weapons are 1940 vintage or earlier, and 93 percent of their military communications radios, FM radios, are no longer supportable. In the navy, all destroyers are ex-U.S. World War II ships, and 75 percent of their submarines are over 35 years old and well beyond the end of their useful operational life. In the air force, 75 percent of their fighter aircraft are pre-1970 vintage. There is no modern ground air defense for bases. Obsolete equipment not only reduces combat effectiveness, but also imposes an enormous operational and maintenance burden on what is al- ready a severely strapped force. I am happy to report that with the funds that were approved last year, although they were not all that we asked for, we have begun the important process of assisting Turkey to modernize its forces. We have concluded an agreement with Turkey that will begin the process of acquisition and some coproduction of F-16 aircraft. This provides the basis for the long-range modernization of the Turkish Air Force. In the army, we have moved forward with the tank upgrade pro gram, in which M-48 tanks are being fitted with a 105-millimeter gun, diesel engines, and improved fire control systems. In the navy, 34-045 0-844-24 362 we are continuing to assist in the fitting out of German-designed and German-supplied frigates. These programs, important as they are, are capable only partial- ly of addressing Turkey's urgent requirements. If we are to meet even the most urgent of them, we require every bit of the assist- ance that has been requested by the administration, and indeed that level, which reflects economic realities, is insufficient to do the task. In this regard, the FMS credits that we are seeking at conces- sional rates are of special importance. Let me say unmistakably that this program has been designed and developed with a number of considerations that I know are important to this committee in mind, including perhaps most importantly the stability in the Aegean. And the analyses that are available to us and I believe to the committee as well indicate that in the Aegean area there is, if anything, a balance that favors the forces of Greece rather than the forces of Turkey. We are attempting to assist Turkey in implementing agreed NATO force goals and thus to enhance its ability to perform its NATO missions. Moreover, a strengthened Turkey would be an ex- traordinarily effective deterrent to possible Soviet expansion into areas that are of vital interest to us and our allies. Senator BIDEN. Excuse me. Would you repeat that last part, please? Mr. PERLE. It would be an important deterrent to the use of Soviet forces in a manner threatening to us and our allies. Senator BIDEN. In a manner threatening to us and our allies? Mr. PERLE. I do not know if those were my exact words, but that was was my point. Senator BIDEN. I am sorry. I just could not hear you. Mr. PERLE. I am sorry. I do have a bit of a cold. I would like to conclude with a quote from a June 1982 report prepared by the staff of the Foreign Relations Committee. As an old staffer, I think these things ought to be recognized in public every once in a while. Chapter 7 of that report dealt with Greek- Turkish issues and implications for the United States and NATO. It reads as follows: Given its longstanding ties to both Greece and Turkey, the United States contin- ues to find itself in a difficult position politically in any effort to reconcile outstand- ing bilateral differences between and two countries. The United States believes that Greece and Turkey each have important roles to play in NATO and in furthering the interests of peace and stability in the eastern Mediterranean. At this juncture, it is critical that the United States be patient, judicious, and evenhanded in its efforts to maintain good relations with both of our allies. It would be a mistake to presume that current differences in perspectives between Greece and Turkey cannot be worked out through creative diplomacy. In the end, it is in the best interest of Greece, Turkey, the United States and NATO to approach all issues discussed above with an open mind. Through this ap- proach, the prospects for resolving the longstanding questions at dispute are most likely to be advanced. I believe that this assessment continues to be a correct one and that any notion of taking punitive action in the field of security as- sistance against Turkey or, for that matter, Greece with respect to their bilateral differences would be at best counterproductive, against the interests of the United States, NATO, and most clearly 363 a setback to the prospects for a peaceful negotiated resolution to the Cyprus dispute. We have a long history of punitive action and it has not worked very effectively. We have at the moment an opportunity to try the other approach, which is to meet urgent and justified requirements and to encourage diplomacy in a positive and not a negative spirit. The programs we are proposing will not solve all of the security problems we face on NATO's southern flank, but they will, howev- er, assist these strategically situated allies to acquire the essential equipment and training that will lessen some of their more urgent deficiencies and contributes to the stability of the area. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Mr. Perle's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. RICHARD N. PERLE Mr. Chairman, I am pleased to appear before the subcommittee once again this year to discuss security assistance for four of our allies on NATO's southern flank- Turkey, Greece, Spain, and Portugal. The fundamental reasons why we continue to place such importance on security assistance remain unchanged. The recovery from the world economic recession, the volatile situation in the Middle East and the con- tinuing Soviet military buildup and adventurism underscore the importance of U.S. security assistance to NATO's southern flank. Each of these countries have specific needs and NATO missions and differing capabilities of fulfilling these missions. Ade- quate fulfillment of these responsibilities cannot be financed through national re- sources alone. These allies look to the United States for assistance to augment their own contributions to Western security. The ability of the United States to provide needed and additional support to enhance the military capabilities of these coun- tries to meet their NATO assigned missions is directly tied in the minds of their officials and people to the validity of their participation in the alliance. At the same time the United States is limited in its ability to allocate resources and we are en- couraging greater efforts on the part of our allies. Security assistance is among the most prudent-and most efficient-form of national defense expenditures. It con- tributes substantially to U.S. national security interests and to world peace. Security assistance is often loosely termed "foreign aid,” which implies a give- away. Security assistance is seldom recognized for the invaluable strategic invest- ment that it is. Much of the security assistance we provide is in the form of guaran- tees for loans at market rates of interest. This year we are also recommending loans at concessional rates of interest. In both instances, these dollars are spent to buy goods and services from U.S. firms. These goods and services are priced in dollars; therein lies another difficulty for our allies. Over the past year alone the average value of southern European currencies (Portuguese, Spanish, Greek, Turkish) has declined an aveage of 27 percent against the dollar, further reducing each country's capability to modernize its armed forces. In return for our assistance we receive multiple benefits. Certain missions that we consider important to the security of the United States can be performed more effi- ciently and less expensively by an ally. Obtaining the strategic cooperation of our allies is another vital benefit of our security assistance. In the past several years we have concluded some form of base agreement with each of the nations we will dis- cuss here today. Each of these agreements is different and has a different objective. What they all have in common is that they all produce a valuable addition to the capabilities of U.S. forces and were forged in the context of security assistance. There are few other programs that return as much for each dollar invested as security assistance. Funds allocated for international military education and train- ing (IMET) are an excellent example. For a relatively modest cost, we have the op- portunity to expose the military elite of our friends and allies to U.S. military values and traditions, systems and procedures. Experience has shown that this rela- tively low-cost program provides enormous benefits for the future as the foreign military trainees mature and assume leadership positions in their respective mili- tary services. This aspect of security assistance deserves much greater attention and funding. As many members of this committee have so importantly pointed out in their advocacy of exchange programs—there can be no greater investment in future relations and understanding between peoples than such exchanges. This is the case 364 with the IMET program, which brings Greek, Turkish, Spanish, Portuguese and other allied military officers to the United States. I would like to turn now to the specific proposals to assist our southern flank NATO allies. The administration is proposing $400 million in credits for Spain, the same amount authorized for Spain for fiscal year 1984. These credits, which will help our Spanish allies take steps to modernize their armed forces, are important in the over- all United States-Spanish security relationship, of which the July 1982 U.S. base rights agreement is also part. In the course of arranging for our use of several valu- able bases in Spain, the United States Government pledged its best efforts to help Spain obtain credits needed to purchase U.S. military goods and services. Through the present proposal, we aim to continue to fulfill that pledge. In this coming fiscal year, Spain will use these funds for F-18 fighter attack aircraft and ship board equipment for FFG-7 frigates. For Greece, the administration is requesting $500 million in military assistance, the same amount we requested in fiscal year 1984. Last year, we concluded a de- fense and economic cooperation agreement with the Papandreou government. Imple- mentation of that agreement is proceeding and Greece continues to need timely help to modernize her forces. This administration prizes our country's deeply-rooted amity and long history of cooperation with Greece. The benefits of United States- Greek security cooperation to both parties, to NATO, and for stability in the Aegean are large and evident. We need now to build upon our success in negotiating the defense and economic cooperation agreement. This year's military assistance is an important step. Our military aid request for Portugal is $125 million for fiscal year 1985. As the subcommittee knows, we have just concluded the renewal of the Azores base agree- ment after more than a year of talks. We are now assured of conducting essential military missions from the Azores, including rapid long-range airlift from the United States to Europe and beyond. Included in the agreement is a commitment from Portugal to let us establish a satellite tracking site on the mainland of Portu- gal. Portugal's balance of payments has fallen into serious deficit in recent years, and as a result, the government has taken tough austerity measures. We believe it is essential that we maintain a very positive and helpful posture toward Portugal, as we have since the 1974 revolution. Grant assistance must continue to constitute the bulk of our assistance. The level for fiscal year 1984 was $60 million and for fiscal year 1985 we are proposing $70 million, a modest increase. FMS credits have only recently begun to be used by the Portuguese and their critical balance of payments situation poses an additional obstacle to our intentions of moving the Portuguese toward greater use of credit. In order to make the use of credits more attractive for the Portuguese, we propose a $10 million increase in FMS credits for fiscal year 1985 to $55 million. We are seeking your support for legislation on repayment terms similar to the terms in effect for Egypt and Israel (10 years grace, 20 years repay- ment). The specific high priority projects that U.S. security assistance will help Por- tugal with are acquisition of (i) a second squadron of A-7 aircraft, (2) U.S. equip- ment to be installed on three new frigates, and (3) equipment for an air-transporta- tion light infantry brigade. Lastly, I would like to discuss Turkey. Turkey, which has recently returned to ci- vilian democratic rule with the election of Prime Minister Turgut Ozal occupies a unique geostrategically important area and clearly continues to have great need of our help. Turkey anchors the critical mission of preventing the egress of the Soviet Black Sea fleet, which, if left unimpeded, could tip the military balance in the Medi- terranean. Turkey also abuts potential lines of Soviet advance through northeastern Iran toward the Persian Gulf. The volatility of this region is well understood. What is not adequately understood is the assistance that Turkey will and could provide for important U.S. objectives. The recently signed Transit Terminal Agreement for sup- port of the U.S. contingent of the multinational force in Lebanon is an example. The Soviets have massive forces deployed in the Transcaucasus, posing a threat of intimidation or aggression in the area. The steady modernization of the Warsaw Pact forces facing turkey, which I noted in my testimony last year, continues una- bated. Our help and that of our allies remain crucially important to correcting this dangerous situation. In this regard, we are pleased to call attention once again to the efforts of the Federal Republic of Germany in assisting the modernization of Turkish armed forces. Needs for modernization should be considered in light of Tur- key's outstanding record in bearing the burden of defense. Turkey has maintained one of the highest rates of real increase in defense spending over the last 10 years of any NATO nation (109 percent). 365 Turkey is making a valiant effort to keep equipment operational. Almost all major items are obsolete or nearing obsolescence. This includes weapons systems such as tanks, ships and aircraft as well as communications and support equipment. In the army almost all tanks are 90MM with limited effectiveness and gas-powered with short range. Only 3 percent of critical anti-tank weapons are modern; 89 per- cent of short-range air defense weapons are 1940 vintage or earlier and 93 percent of FM radios are unsupportable. In the navy all destroyers are ex-U.S. World War II ships and 75 percent of submarines are over 35 years old and at the end of their operational usefulness. In the air force 75 percent of fighter aircraft are pre-1970 vintage. There is no modern ground air defense for bases. Obsolete equipment not only reduces combat effectiveness but also increases operations and maintenance costs. I am happy to report that with the urgently needed increase in security assistance that Congress approved for fiscal year 1984, we have started the meaningful mod- ernization of Turkish forces. We have concluded an agreement with Turkey for co- production of the F-16 aircraft. This provides a basis for the long range moderniza- tion of the Turkish air force. In the army we have moved forward with the tank upgrade program in which Turkish M-48 tanks are fitted with a 105MM gun, diesel engines and improved fire control systems. In the navy we are continuing to assist in the fitting out of four German designed frigates. These important programs are only partially addressing Turkey's requirements. If we are to meet even the most urgent of these requirements we must have the full administration security assist- ance request for Turkey. The FMS credits we are seeking at concessional rates are of great importance in this regard. Our proposed program was devised with many considerations in mind, including the importance of stability in the Aegean. It will accomplish several things which are of direct benefit to the United States. We will assist Turkey in implementing agreed NATO force goals and thus enhance Turkey's ability to perform its NATO missions. A strengthened Turkey would be an increased deterrent to possible Soviet expansion into the Middle East and Southwest Asia. In concluding my remarks about Turkey I would like to quote from a June 1982 report by the bipartisan staff of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee entitled “NATO Today: The Alliance in Evolution.” Chapter 7 "Greek-Turkish Issues: Implications for the United States and NATO”. The quote reads as follows: “Given its long-standing ties to both Greece and Turkey, the United States contin- ues to find itself in a difficult position politically in any effort to reconcile outstand- ing bilateral differences between the two countries. The United States believes that Greece and Turkey each have important roles to play in NATO and in furthering the interests of peace and stability in the eastern Mediterranean. At this juncture, it is critical that the United States be patient, judicious, and even-handed in its ef- forts to maintain good relations with both of our allies. It would be a mistake to presume that current differences in perspectives between Greece and Turkey cannot be worked out through creative diplomacy. In the end, it is in the best interests of Greece, Turkey, the United States, and NATO to approach all issues discussed above with an open mind. Through this approach, the prospects for resolving the long-standing questions at dispute are most likely to be advanced.” I believe that this assessment continues to be a correct one and that any notion of trying to take punitive action in the field of security assistance against Turkey or Greece with respect to their bilateral differences would be at best counter-produc- tive, against the interest of the United States, NATO, and a setback to any pros- pects for a peaceful negotiated resolution to the Cyprus dispute. The programs we are proposing will not solve all the security problems on NATO's southern flank. Our program will, however, assist these strategically situat- ed allies to acquire the equipment and training that will help lessen some of their more urgent and serious deficiencies and contribute to the stability of the area. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Mr. Perle. If I may have the unanimous consent of my colleagues, we will proceed on a 10-minute rule for the first round of questioning. If there are additional questions from Senators, we will have 10 min- utes on the second round, until of course all questions have been asked. I will call now upon my colleague, the Senator from North Caro- lina, Senator Helms, to commence the questioning. I have no ques- tions at this time. 366 Senator HELMS. Mr. Chairman, thank you very much, I welcome all three of our witnesses. We do not get to see much of you around here since you became a bureaucrat, but we particularly enjoy your work. Mr. PERLE. You have that in common with my family, Senator. Senator HELMS. Mr. Burt, let me enlarge the focus of what we are all interested in. I would like to know if you, the Secretary of State, the Soviet Union and others are involved in any sort of in- terim arms control treaty discussions and discussions about the possibility of a Reagan-Chernenko summit. Senator BIDEN. In Cyprus? (Laughter.] I am sorry, Jesse. Mr. BURT. Senator, we maintain diplomatic contacts with the Soviet Union, but I am not personally aware of any discussion of a so-called interim treaty. Senator HELMS. You do not know anything about any such situa- tion? Mr. BURT. No; I do not. I do not know of any such negotiation. Senator HELMS. Joe, I think this is relevant. Senator BIDEN. I apologize, Jesse. Senator HELMs. Oh, that is all right. I have been putting up with you for 10 years. Senator BIDEN. And hopefully it will be another six. Senator HELMs. Both ways. [Laughter.] Please understand that I just want your answers for the record. On January 13, 1984, did you make a statement in a press back- ground briefing-and let me quote what is attributed to you: I might say that in one particular area the Soviets made clear that they did not feel obliged to adhere to the SALT II Treaty, and that was on the obligation to reduce down to 2,250 strategic nuclear delivery vehicles. Is that a statement approximately what you said? Mr. BURT. I think it is. I think it is actually public knowledge that that is their position, that when the Carter administration an- nounced that it was not going to seek the ratification of the SALT II Treaty, but that it was going to continue to adhere to those terms, that the Soviet Union announced that it did not feel bound to undertake the reductions down to the SALT II levels of 2,250. Senator HELMS. Would you pull your microphone a little closer to you, please. Did the United States ever agree that the Soviets were not re- quired to reduce their forces under SALT II? Mr. BURT. I am not aware of having agreed to anything along those lines. As I said in my previous answer, I think this was a statement that the Soviets made to the Carter administration, and this is not an issue that at least I personally have addressed. Senator HELMS. I want to ask you if it is correct that the Soviets have over 2,700 delivery vehicles, compared to what, about 1,950 for the United States? Is that your understanding? Mr. BURT. I would not know; 2,700? It would depend on counting rules, I assume. Senator HELMS. I would ask Mr. Perle if he knows. Mr. PERLE. That sounds approximately correct, Senator. Senator HELMS. Let me ask both of you, is that consistent with the Jackson amendment to SALT I? 367 Mr. PERLE. The Jackson amendment required-or urged that in any future treaty between the United States and the Soviet Union, the United States not be limited to a level of strategic interconti- nental nuclear forces inferior to the level provided the Soviet Union. I believe those are the exact words of the resolution. Senator HELMS. So the answer then is it is not consistent with the Jackson amendment? Mr. PERLE. Well, the balance as it now exists is certainly not. Senator HELMS. Mr. Burt, Dr. Kissinger on a number of occa- sions, and on one occasion in particular as I recall, said the possi- bility always exists that the Soviets will treat the Moscow agree- ments—and he is talking about SALT I-as they have sometimes treated earlier ones, as just another tactical opportunity in the pro- tracted conflict. If this happens, the United States will have to re- spond. If this agreement were being circumvented, obviously we would have to take compensatory steps in the strategic field. Can we agree that the Soviets, since SALT I, have circumvented and violated just about all of the most important provisions of not only SALT I, but SALT II, by which we are voluntarily abiding? Now, I wonder what happened to that pledge by Mr. Kissinger. Was that just a pledge that he made or was it one on behalf of this Government? How does the administration feel about it now? Mr. BURT. I do not know. In fact, I am vaguely aware of the statement that you just mentioned, but I could not answer for Dr. Kissinger. We are certainly sensitive to both the violations which have oc- curred under the agreements you mentioned, as well as the circum- ventions that have occurred, and I think we are willing to take whatever steps are necessary in the military field and other fields that are necessary to maintain our interests and to protect the strategic balance. Senator HELMS. We are willing to take? Mr. BURT. Sorry? Senator HELMS. That we are willing to take, you say? Mr. BURT. Yes. Senator HELMS. Let me tell you why I got into this line of ques- tioning. I was almost on that KAL 007 plane. It just so happened that because of another commitment I caught another plane out of Los Angeles. I have been in contact with the grandmother of two little girls who were on that plane and whom I met in Anchorage. In a letter that she wrote to me, she raised the question what happens when this Government, our Government, does nothing? Now you may say she is overreacting, but anybody who will say that she is overreacting has never been a grandfather or a grand- mother. I do not believe I could handle it if it had been my grand- children. I think she has done extremely well. But she raised a question: If there are no penalties, if there is no reaction, will not the Soviets continue to violate arms control trea- ties? You tell me what to say to her. Mr. BURT. I think that that is a wise question. Senator HELMS. That is the reason I wanted to raise this line of questioning with you, because I have the feeling, as I read the arti- cles from the Washington Post, the New York Times, and all the เ 368 rest, that we must not do anything to rock the boat. And yet, there are people out there who remember what has been said in the past, who have some vague awareness, if not specific awareness, of com- mitments made or pledges made vis-a-vis the Kissinger statement that I read to you, and they are wondering what is going on. I kind of apologize to you for bringing this up, and I apologize to Joe Biden. But I think it is relevant, and I want to get some dialog going between this committee and the State Department and the administration to find out the answer to the question that the grandmother of two little girls who went down on that plane in a deliberately calculated murder of 269 people, asked. Now, I wish you would think about it. I am not going to put you on the spot and ask any further questions. But I would like for you to think about it and drop me a memorandum and advise me of what I should do and what I should say when people raise ques- tions like this, because all I hear about is peace, peace. There was a patriot who said, there is no peace. I want to know what we are doing to protect the American people, before we give it all away through negotiations or through apathy or through doing nothing. Mr. Chairman, thank you. I have no further questions. Senator TSONGAS. Would it be possible for the rest of us to get a copy of that memorandum when you do it? Mr. BURT. Certainly. And if I could be permited, Mr. Chairman, to make just a brief statement to the Senator, I think that on the questions of both arms control compliance and the KAL tragedy, that neither the State Department nor the administration has any. thing to be ashamed about. I think that on the KAL tragedy, the President of the United States, the Secretary of State, and other officials spoke out on that issue, and led the international response to that problem. We cer- tainly have not forgotten about it, and it has told us a great deal about the problems of doing business with the Soviet Union. We certainly cannot be accused of sweeping that issue under the rug. Senator HELMS. I did not say you had. Mr. BURT. On the question of arms control compliance, this is the first administration that has raised the issue publicly, has done a thoughtful study of the problem, has reported to the Congress, and has addressed the issue publicly. Senator HELMS. I did not say you had anything to be ashamed of. If you will recall my question--and I can have the stenographer read it back to you I want you to tell me what to say to the lady. Mr. BURT. That is what you want as the subject of this memo? Senator HELMS. Yes. You can say that we spoke out, and you did. But the administration also opposed seven specific proposals, all of which were realistic, and the Senate rejected them because the ad- ministration opposed them, in response to the KAL tragedy. But that is another subject for another day. I do not say you have anything to be ashamed of, but I do want to know what you are proud of. [The following information was subsequently received for the record:) 369 Soviet NONCOMPLIANCE WITH ARMS CONTROL AGREEMENTS As the President stated in his letter transmitting to the Congress the Administra- tion's report on Soviet Noncompliance with Arms Control Agreements: “The United States will continue to press its compliance concerns with the Soviet Union through diplomatic channels, and insist upon explanations, clarifications, and corrective actions. At the same time, the United States is continuing to carry out its own obligations and commitments under relevant agreements. For the future the United States is seeking to negotiate new arms control agreements that reduce the risk of war, enhance the security of the United States and its Allies, and contain effective verification and compliance provisions.' The United States is committed to policies which enhance the prospects for peace and reduce the risks of war. The U.S. believes that equitable arms reductions agree- ments with effective verification and compliance provisions will, if complied with, enhance security at substantially reduced, equal levels of forces on both sides. In this way, such agreements can make a major contribution to international security and stability. Such agreements can be designed to help deter future violations. We should recognize, however, that enforcing compliance with arms control agree- ments is a central problem in arms control which has not yet been solved. Better verification and treaty drafting will help, most fundamentally, the Soviets must take a responsive attitude toward resolving compliance concerns. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Senator Helms. Before I call upon Senator Pell, without objection, so that the committee might have as complete a record as possible, I would insert in the record at this point a copy of a study by the Congres- sional Research Service of the Library of Congress entitled "United States Military Installations in Greece." This study reviews the status and nature of military installations in Greece utilized by the United States, the United States-Greek defense relationship, and the defense agreements that govern United States use of Greek military installations. This study is one of a series of reports on U.S. military installations in NATO's southern region. Forthcom- ing are reports on U.S. installations in Turkey, Spain, and Portu- gal. [The material referred to follows:] 370 Report No. 84-24 F UNITED STATES MILITARY INSTALLATIONS IN GREECE Richard F. Grimmett Specialist in National Defense Foreign Affairs and National Defense Division 1 February 16, 1984 UG 400 C CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE THE LIBRARY OF CONGRESS 371 ABSTRACT This paper reviews the status and nature of military installations in Greece utilized by the United States, the U.S.--Greek defense relationship, and the defense agreements that govern U.S. use of Greek military installations. (This study is one of a series of reports on U.S. military installations in NATO's Southern region. The report on installations in Italy has already appeared as Report No. 84-12F. Forthcoming are reports on installations in Spain, Turkey and Portugal.) 372 U.S.--Greek Defense Relationship: The Political Military Context The United States developed a close political-military relationship with Greece during the years following the Second World War. The U.S. pro- vided military and economic aid to Greece through a special assistance program beginning in 1947. Subsequently, in 1952, Greece joined the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Over the years, Greece has provided various military installations and facilities for use by the United States and NATO. In the past decade, however, Greek-U.s, political-military relations have been strained. One source of this strain has been the belief among many Greeks that the United States was at least complicit in the April 1967 coup that installed a military junta in Athens, and that it tacitly supported the junta during its years in power. A further source of strain has been Greek-Turkish animosity, aggravated by the Cyprus problem. When Turkey intervened militarily in Cyprus in the summer of 1974, resulting in partition of the island, Greece held the United States and NATO principally responsible for not preventing the Turkish action. Although Congress imposed an arms transfer embargo on Turkey from 1975-1978 for its intervention on Cyprus, there is a strong belief among Greeks that the United States has a bias toward Turkey in the area of defense cooperation, and that as a result the U.S. will not seriously pressure Turkey on issues related to Cyprus. Many Greeks also believe that Turkey poses a serious security threat to it one more serious than that posed by the Warsaw Pact or the Soviet Union. This perception is not shared by the United States. But because of it, American efforts to upgrade Turkey's military forces through sales and grants of new equipment are viewed with serious concern in Athens. 373 CRS-2 The underlying suspicions about the United States among many Greeks were effectively exploited in the 1981 Greek general election by Andreas Papandreou, the charismatic leader of the nationalistic Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK). During the 1981 campaign, Papandreou and PASOK through the party platform called for the removal of U.S. military bases from Greece and for Greek withdrawal from NATO. After his election on October 18, 1981, however, Prime Minister Papandreou moved slowly in dealing with the issue of the U.S. bases in Greece. Finally on October 27, 1982, the first round of discussions on a revised U.S.-Greek base agreement was held in Athens. After months of arduous negoti- ations a new five-year Defense and Economic Cooperation Agreement was concluded on July 15, 1983. This agreement was formally signed on September 8, 1983 and was ratified by the Greek Parliament on November 8, 1983. For the near term, the conclusion of the Greek base agreement has resolved a particularly conten- tious issue affecting the U.S.-Greek defense relationship. Details of this base agreement will be discussed below. Greece and NATO Relations between Greece and NATO over the last decade have also been troubled. A major source of the difficulties has been the bitterness engendered in Greece by the successful military intervention of Turkey in the Cyprus crisis of 1974. The 1974 Cyprus conflict brought down the Greek military junta and led to the return of civilian leadership under Constantine Caramanlis. Because of the anger in Greece that NATO members seemed to have done nothing to prevent or end the Turkish military intervention in Cyprus, Prime Minister Caramanlis di- rected the removal of Greek Armed Forces from the NATO integrated military struc- ture. Greece remained in the political wing of the alliance, but did not parti- cipate in the NATO Defense Planning Committee or assign troops to NATO commands. 374 CRS-3 Eventually, Greece worked out a special relationship with NATO whereby Greek military forces remained under national command and control but would be deployed in support of NATO in certain situations. The major obstacle to full military reintegration into NATO remained the question of command and control over defense of the Aegean airspace. Before Greece withdrew its military from NATO in 1974, defense of the Aegean was the responsibility of the commander of the 6th Allied Tactical Air Force (SIXATAF)--an American based at Izmir, Turkey. He had three subordinates, one Greek and two Turks. The Greek officer had operational control of the ai rspace from the Greek western coast to the Athens-Istanbul FIR (Flight Information Region) demarcation line, which roughly follows the outer edge of the Turkish territorial sea. Consequently, prior to the summer of 1974, Greece was responsible for controlling air defense over most of the Aegean. Turkey never fully agreed to the 1964 NATO decision that established the NATO air defense line coincident with the Athens-Istanbul FIR. But that is where matters stood when the Cyprus crisis broke in 1974. 1/ In July 1978, after the Greek withdrawal from the NATO military command, the position of commander of SIXATAF was given to a Turkish general. This action further complicated Greek reintegration problems as the Greeks were unwilling to accept control by a Turkish commander over Greek national forces especially in light of the heightened state of tension between the two countries. Various formulas were advanced by NATO's Supreme Allied Commanders from the late 1970s onward to resolve the Aegean command and control issue. These efforts proved to no avail as either the Greek or Turkish side 1/ U.S. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations. Turkey, Greece, and NATO: The Strai ned Alliance. Committee Print, 96th Cong. 20 sess. Washington, U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1980. pp. 57-61. 375 CRS-4 found fault with a key element of the proposals. Finally, on October 22, 1980, Greece returned to NATO's integrated military command structure under a proposal advanced by NATO Supreme Allied Commander, General Bernard Rogers. This arrangement left the question of NATO command and control for the Aegean to be resolved between the military authorities concerned at a later date. At the same time, Greece rejoined the military wing of NATO. 2/ Although Greece is once again participating in the NATO military scheme, despite the continuing disagreement over the Aegean command, this participation has not mitigated long-standing disputes between Greece and Turkey. Indeed, with the rise to power of Prime Minister Papandreou and PASOK in Greece, content- iousness may well have increased. This is due in part to the more vigorous foreign policy rhetoric of Papandreou. He has argued that Turkey poses a greater threat to Greece than does the Warsaw Pact or the Soviet Union. During the December 1981 NATO Defense Planning Committee (DPC) meeting, Papandreou called for a NATO security guarantee of Greece's eastern borders with Turkey. This led to a bitter dispute between Greece and Turkey at the conference with the result that for the first time in NATO history a communi que was not issued after a DPC meeting. The United States and other NATO states contend that a guarantee such as that sought by Papandreou 18 unwarranted, and that granting one formally to Greece would be interpreted as an inappropriate affront to Turkey. 3/ In late September 1983, the continuing dispute over Aegean airspace and security issues with Turkey led Greece to withdraw from participation in NATO military exercises in the Aegean. The principal concern stated by Greece 2/ Ibid. U.S. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations. NATO Today: The Alliance In Evolution. Committee Print, Apr. 1982, 97th Cong., 2d sess. Washington, U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1982. p. 88. 3i Senate Foreign Ric?ions Committee, NATO Today, p. 88. 376 CRS-5 in justifying its non-participation was the failure to include the Greek island of Lemnos in the exercises. Turkey had objected in the past to including the island in NATO exercises because of a Greek-Turkish dispute over Greek rights to militarize the island. Historically, NATO had avoided exercises in- volving Lemnos so as not to be drawn into the bilateral dispute. But, in 1983, the initial plan was to include the island in the exercises. When Greece re- acted by characterizing the decision as a diplomatic victory over Turkey, NATO cancelled the planned Lemnos exercise after a strong Turkish protest. 41 Prime Minister Papandreou has also taken the position that the existing American bases in Greece do not serve NATO interests, but only those of the United States. The new bilateral Defense and Economic Cooperation Agreement (DECA) between Greece and the United States, signed on Sept. 8, 1983, is notable for its lack of specific reference to NATO in its preamble of purpose. Nearly all mu tual security arrangements with other NATO states make direct reference to the fact that they are in implementation of the purposes of the North Atlantic Treaty. 5/ The independent stance within NATO of Greece under Papandreou is further evidenced by the Prime Minister's strong opposition to the deployment of American Pershing II and cruise missiles as part of NATO'S INF (Intermediate Nuclear Force) modernization program. Papandreou has argued that the deployment will further exacerbate the arms race and has called for more negotiations with 4/ Washington Post, Sept. 29, 1983, p. A29.; GREECE, The Week in Review, Embassy of Greece, Oct. 3, 1983. p. 1-2; FBIS, Western Europe, Oct. 3, 1983. p. 52-55. 5/ New York Times, Jan. 25, 1983. p. A12; FBIS Western Europe, Feb. 7, 1983. p. 52-54; GREECE, The Week in Review, Embassy of Greece, Sept. 12, 1983. p. 3; Agreement on Defense and Cooperation, Sept. 8, 1983. text released by U.S. Department of State. 377 CRS-6 the Soviets before deployment. He has continued to press this line of approach even though deployments have begun and his view is clearly in the minority within NATO. 6 The relationship of Greece to NATO is still evolving. Papandreou's independent stances within NATO meetings have appealed to nationalist senti- ment within Greece. At the same time, they have annoyed other members of the alliance who feel that NATO is not the proper place to air bilateral grievances that exist between allied nations. For the near term, it appears that Greece will remain in NATO, despite Papandreou and PASOK's election statements in 1981. NATO membership provides a major international forum for Papandreou's foreign policy views and a vehicle for restraining Turkey's influence within the alliance. Were Greece to withdraw from NATO, Alliance leaders could well decide to expand Turkey's role in NATO to compensate for the military assets lost in Greece. Western Europe. Dec. 5, New York Times, Oct. 23, 1983, Sect. IV. p. 2; FBIS. 1983. New York Times, Dec. 10, 1983. po 4. P. Si. 34-045 0484-25 378 CRS-7 MAJOR MILITARY INSTALLATIONS IN GREECE Because of its location in the eastern Mediterranean, Greece is able to provide military facilities, on the Greek mainland and on the island of Crete, that strengthen the capabilities of the United States and NATO forces that operate in the area. Greek facilities help guard the Aegean Sea approach to the Mediterranean, provide important communication links between U.S. and NATO military forces, provide staging centers and supply depots for United States and NATO air and naval forces, and permit surveillance and monitoring of activities of the Soviet Union's military forces in the eastern Mediterranean area. The major military installations utilized by the United States in Greece are Hellenikon Air Base near Athens; Nea Makri Communications Station on the Greek mainland near Marathon Bay; and Iraklion Air Station and the Souda Bay complex on the island of Crete. Other U.S. communications facilities, various U.S. and NATO support sites, and nine NATO NADGE (NATO Air Defense Ground Environment) stations are spread throughout Greece. // 71. U.S. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations. Subcommittee on United States Security Agreements and Commitments Abroad. United States Security Agreements and Commi tments Abroad: Greece and Turkey. Hearings 91st Cong., 2d se88., Part 7, June 9 and 11, 1970. p. 1781, 1803-1804. Ibid., United States Security Agreements and Commitments Abroad: United States Forces in Europe. Hearings, 91st Cong., 2d sess., Part 10. p. 2029, 2291-2292; U.S. Air Force. Inventory of Air Force Military Real Property Overseas. U.S.A.F. Headquarters, Sept. 30, 1982; U.S. Navy. Navy Facilities Engineering Command. Inventory of Military Real Property, Navy, vol. 2. NAVFAC. P-77. U.S. Navy, Sept. 30, 1982; Communications data on DCS sites provided by Defense Communications Agency, Department of Defense. NADGE data provided by U.S. Department of Defense. Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, Manpower, Reserve Affairs and Logistics. Official Correspondence, Sept. 27, 1983; Air Force Magazine, v. 59, May 1976. p. 82-83; Air Force Magazine, v. 63, May 1980. p. 78, 79, 173; Lewis, Jesse W., Jr. The Strategic Balance in the Mediterranean. Washington, American Enterprise Institute for Public (continued) 379 CRS-8 Major military missions served by installations in Greece Foremost among the major Greek facilities is the Souda Bay complex located on the Northwest side of the island of Crete near Canea (Khania). Souda Bay is an important support center in the eastern Mediterranean. It houses POL (petroleum, oil, lubricants) used by the U.S. Navy's 6th Fleet, and stores ammunition for NATO wartime purposes. Souda has a fine naturally protected anchorage, with good holding ground, which is nearly large enough to accommodate the entire U.S. 6th fleet. The port itself has one long pier capable of handling supply ships or small combatants. It lacks, however, indigenous ship repair facilities. 8/ The Souda Bay complex has associated with it an excellent airfield which is used for maritime patrol operations and general support purposes by U.S. forces. Souda's ai rfield can accommodate any U.S. Navy or Air Force tactical aircraft as well as Air Force C-141 cargo planes. Also associated with the (continued) Policy Research, 1976. p. 23, 24, 28; U.S. Congre88. House. Committee on Foreign Affairs. Special Subcommittee on Investigations. Greece and Turkey: Some Military Implications Related to NATO and the Middle East. Committee Print, 94 th Cong., 18t sess. Washington, U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1975, passim; U.S. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations. Turkey, Greece and NATO: the Strained Alliance. Committee Print, 96th Cong., 2d sess. Washington, U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1980. p. 7, 9. U.S. Congress. Senate. The Alliance Committee on Foreign Relations. NATO Today: In Evolution. Committee Print, Apr. 1982, 97th Cong., 2d sess. Washington, U.S. Govt. Print. Off., 1982. 88-89. Air Force Magazine, v. 66, May 1983. P. 88–89, 113, 187. U.S. Department of State Press Release, Sept. 8, 1983. Agreement on Defense and Economic Cooperation between the Govern- ment of the Hellenic Republic and the Government of the United States of America. p. 8/ Ibid. 380 CRS-9 Souda Bay complex is the NATO Air Missile Firing Installation (NAMFI) where military training and testing exercises are conducted by U.S. forces and those of other NATO member states. 9/ Iraklion Air Station is located on the north central coast of Crete. Iraklion's primary mission 18 electronic surveillance. A sophisticated passive collecting station located near Iraklion at Gournes is responsible for monitoring military activities of the Soviet Union in the eastern Mediterranean, and other activities of interest to U.S. military planners. 10 Hellenikon Air Base, located at Athens, is used as a headquarters and support installation for other United States Air Force, Europe, (USAFE) facilities in Greece. This base serves as an important staging point for air transport operations of USAFE and as a support installation for U.S. Military Airlift Command (MAC). It has limited but important maintenance facilities to service transient ai rcraft. Electronic reconnaissance missions are also conducted by U.S. aircraft deployed from the air base. 11/ A major military communications complex is centered at Nea Makri Communica- tions Station, situated near Marathon Bay, 27 miles northeast of Athens. Nea Makri is the largest of several communications sites in Greece and is very important in 6th Fleet communications. Nea Makri and associated communica- tions facilities such as those at nearby Kato Souli are part of the global U.S. 9/ Ibid. 10/ Ibid. 11/ Ibid. 381 CRS-10 Defense Communications system (DCS). Use of Nea Makri and Kato Souli makes it possible for U.S. military forces to communicate with other DCS stations in Italy, in Spain, throughout Greece, as well as U.S. forces afloat. 12/ Defense agreements affecting the use of Greek installations by the United States After Greece entered NATO in 1952, it concluded a military facilities agreement with the United States on October 12, 1953 (TIAS 2868). This agree ment authorized the construction, development, use, and operation of "military and supporting facilities" in Greece in "implementation of, or in furtherance of, approved NATO plans." United States military activities at Greek facilities were subsequently governed by "technical" implementing arrangments reached bet- ween the Greek and United States Governments. Nearly all of these "technical" agreements or arrangements are classified. In the period following the Cyprus crisis in 1974, the Greek Government made it known to the United States that it wished to re-negotiate the 1953 military facilities agreement. Negotiations regarding this new base-use agree- ment continued from 1976 until 1983, with the question of American bases in Greece becoming a significant political issue in that country during this period. A new base agreement, formally called the "Agreement on Defense and Economic Cooperation" (DECA), was finally signed by Greece and the United States on September 8, 1983 in Athens. This agreement was ratified by the Greek Parliament on November 8, 1983. No Congressional action on the matter was necessary because it was concluded as an executive agreement. 12/ Ibid. 382 CRS-11 Under the terms of the 1983 DECA, the United States is authorized by Greece to "maintain and operate military and supporting facilities" within Greece and to engage in missions and activities at these installations "for defense purposes" in accordance with the provisions of the agreement (Article II). Article I states that the intent of the agreement is to "restructure" defense and economic cooperation between Greece and the U.S. based on "existing bilateral arrangements and multilateral agreements. There is no statement that the agreement is intended to implement defense cooperation pursuant to the North Atlantic Treaty. The agreement provides for a Joint Commission to handle and attempt to resolve questions that might arise concerning the "interpretation and imple- mentation" of the agreement. Issues that cannot be resolved by this commission are to be dealt with by higher levels of the U.S. and Greek Governments (Article VI). Article VII states that nothing in this agreement shall be "in derogation" of the inherent right of Greece to take all "appropriate restrictive measures to safeguard its vital national security interests in an emergency." Should Greece decide that such an emergency exists, the "appropriate Greek and United States au thorities" are to "immediately enter into communication concerning such measures." Article XI of the DECA provides that all "terms and conditions" relating to use of the Greek facilities under arrangements that existed when the DECA entered into force will "continue in force until modified or terminated by agreement. This is true to the extent that such existing agreements are consistent with the new DECA and its Annex. Article XI also provides for a review of "previous bilateral arrangements" related to the new agreement by 383 CRS-12 the Joint Commission at the initiative of either government. Such review 18 to be completed within one year after September 8, 1983, although if the two governments wish, the review period may be extended. In Article VIII, the United States indicates that "consistent with its constitutional procedures" it shall aid in the "modernization and maintenance" of Greece's defense capabilities "through the provision of defense support. This U.S. assistance is to be "guided by the principle" in United States law calling for preservation of the "balance of military strength in the region." In a letter associated with the DECA, the United States refers to Article VIII and to section 620 c(b)(4) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, as the context for requesting $500 million in Foreign Military Sales (FMS) financing for Greece for fiscal year 1984. The duration of the 1983 Greek-U.S. DECA is addressed in Article XII. The English text states that after the agreement "enters into force" (which occurred on December 20, 1983), it "18 termi nable after five years upon written notice by either Party...." This notice 18 to be given five months prior to the date the termination is to take effect. If the agreement is ended through this process, the United States is given a period of seven- teen months to complete the withdrawal of its property, personnel and equip- ment from Greece. During this withdrawal period, the "terms and conditions" of the agreement remain in force. It is necessary to note that there are important differences between the United States and Greece on certain provisions in the 1983 agreement. The 1983 Greek-U.S. DECA states that the duplicate texts of the agreement (one in Greek, the other in English) are "equally authentic. This is a standard element of such bilateral agreements. However, in the case of this agreement, the English and Greek texts clearly diverge in the use of language in Article XII relating nam 384 CRS-13 to the duration of the agreement. Both governments signed the agreement knowing this language difference existed. While the English text states that the agree- ment "is terminable" after five years, the Greek text translates into English as the agreement terminates after five years (emphasis added). The U.S. language could permit continuation of the existing agreement after five years without renegotiation while the Greek language would not. In both versions any termination requires the five months written prior notice. While the specific wording of the DECA regarding duration of U.S. base rights is an important objective difference in the agreement, there are other interpretive differences of articles where the translations are the same. Two of these are worthy of mention because they highlight the political side of the agreement, and how it reflects the attitudes of the Papandreou government toward Greek-U.S. defense cooperation. After the 1983 DECA was initialed in July, Prime Minister Papandreou pub- licly asserted that "for the first time" in an agreement, the U.S. recognized that aid to Greece should be "enough to maintain the balance of military power in the area. He further stated that the United States now had a "contractual obligation to preserve the balance of military power" in the region and because of this contract Greece had the "right to abrogate the agreement if in (the Greek Government's) judgment, there is an attempt to upset the balance in favor of Turkey." Finally, he stated that the United States had committed itself "to maintain the 7 to 10 ratio" of military assistance to Greece and Turkey respectively. These statements were reasserted by the Greek Government in September 1983 after the DECA was formally signed. 13/ 13/ FBIS. Western Europe. July 18, 1983. p. Sl-S3; GREECE Information, Embassy of Greece, July 15, 1983, FBIS. Western Europe. September 12, 1983. p. 56-57; GREECE, The Week In Review, Embassy of Greece, September 12, 1983. 385 CRS-14 The Reagan Administration has consistently rejected the Greek interpre- tation of the DECA regarding a "contractual obligation" to provide aid at a specific level or face the legal penalty of the agreement's abrogation. A careful review of the DECA's Article VIII language makes it clear that it contains no clause permitting abrogation of the agreement if a specific amount of military aid to Greece is not provided or a 7 to 10 ratio between Greek and Turkish assistance levels is not maintained. The DECA's letter from the United States, which specifically refers to Section 620 C(b)(4) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, does not support the Greek Government's contention regarding assis- tance levels. This section of U.S. law reads as follows: The United States will furnish security assistance for Greece and Turkey only when furnishing that assistance is intended solely for defensive purposes, including when necessary to enable the recipient country to fulfill its responsibilities as a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and shall be designed to ensure that the present balance of military strength among countries of the region, including between Greece and Turkey, is preserved. Nothing in this paragraph shall be construed to prohibit the transfer of defense articles to Greece or Turkey for legitimate self defense or to enable Greece or Turkey to fulfill their North Atlantic Treaty Organization obligations. The above language gives policy guidance that assistance to Greece and Turkey shall be designed "to ensure that the present balance of military strength...in- cluding between Greece and Turkey, is preserved.' The judgment as to how to do this is left to American policymakers in the executive and legislative branches. Significantly, the last sentence of Section 620 C(b)(4) stipulates that "Nothing in this paragraph shall be construed to prohibit the transfer of defense articles to Greece or Turkey... to enable Greece or Turkey to fulfill their North Atlantic Treaty Organization obligations" (emphasis added). 386 CRS-15 This sentence leaves the ultimate decision to the United States Government as to how to structure security assistance to Greece or Turkey if its purpose is to help either nation fulfill its NATO obligations. On a second but related question, Prime Minister Papandreou stated in July 1983 that the DECA had been "completely dissociated from the concept that the bases serve the NATO interests, that they are NATO bases, or that they serve the mutual defense interests of the two countries. He argued that the "idea that the bases served NATO purposes" had weakened Greek claims for aid from the United States. There had been, heretofore, "no direct link between the bases and defense aid," Papandreou said. The United States, however, has continued to view the bases in Greece as supportive of NATO interests, and of Greek and U.S. bilateral defense interests. In the State Department announcement on September 8, 1983 that the DECA had been signed, the United States asserted that the agreement would continue the U.S.-Greek "bilateral defense relationship on mutually acceptable and beneficial terms, and will contribute to the strength of NATO...." 14/ Moreover, the United States, while not linking the agreement with the provision of aid to Greece under any mechanistic formula, has historically related the aid it has given to the contributions that aid can make to Greece's security, the security of NATO, and that of the United States. The Greek Government evidently sees an important and continuing need to cooperate with the United States on defense issues. However, in light of campaign statements 141 Ibid. · U.S. Department of State. Press release, Sept. 8, 1983, on Defense and Economic Cooperation Agreement with Greece. 387 CRS-16 by Papandreou about the American bases, this cooperation, as represented in the DECA, must be rationalized to elements of the Greek electorate critical of it. 15) The divergence between American and Greek interpretations of the DECA could become sources of conflict during the lifetime of the agreement. Use of Greek installations by the United States for missions outside the NATO area Because of the emphasis placed by the Papandreou government on limiting U.S. use of Greek military installations to operations noted in the 1983 DECA, it is unlikely that the United States could expect permission to be granted by Greece to conduct missions beyond those presently authorized. This is a position consistent with general Greek policy toward use of the bases. In 1973, Greece remained neutral in the Arab-Israeli war and made it clear that its bases were not available to facilitate the U.S. effort to resupply Israel. More recently, the Greek Government denied American requests to use Greek installations to resupply both U.S. forces serving in the Multinational Force in Lebanon as well as those of the Lebanese Government. The Greek Government noted that its action reflected its desire to avoid involvement, however indi rect, in a Lebanese civil war because to do so would "upset its friendly relations with the countries in the region. Greece, in recent years, has placed 15/ See testimony of Assistant Secretary of State Richard R. Burt in U.S. Congress. House. Committee on Foreign Affairs.. Subcommittee on Europe and the Middle East. Developments in Europe, August 1983. Hearing. Aug. 1, 1983, 98th Congress, 1st sess. Washington, U.S. Gov't. Print. Off., 1983. p. 25-31. 388 CRS-17 a priority on maintaining good relations with the Arab world in part because of its dependence on Arab oil. Thus, future U.S. requests to use Greek bases for missions involving Israel would almost certainly be denied. 16/ 16/ U.S. Congress. House. Committee on Foreign Affairs. Subcommittees on Europe and the Near East and South Asia, United States-European Relations and the 1973 Middle East War, Hearings, Nov. 1, 1973 and Feb. 19, 1974, 93d Cong., 2d sess. p. 31-32, 36-44, 47-54, 56-59; U.S. Department of State Bulletin, vol LXX, "The Impact of the Middle East Crisis on the Atlantic Alliance, Mar. 18, 1974. p. 279-283; U.S. General Accounting Office, Airlift Operations of the Military Airlift Command During the 1973 Middle East War (LCD-75-204), Apr. 16, 1975, p. 9; Baltimore Sun, Sept. 21, 1983, Washington Post, Sept. 22, 1983. p. 25; Washington Times, Sept. 28, 1983. p. 2; p. 6. 389 CRS-18 REECE MAJOR UNITED STATES MILITARY INSTALLATIONS IN GREECE PASOS 20 24 28 BULGARIA Black Sea YUGOSLAVIA Istanbul e Sea of Marmara ALBANIA 40 40 LEMNOS G TURKEY LESBOS EUBOEA Aegean Sea Izmir Nea Makri Athens Corinth Hellenikcha SAMOS Piraeus ao f CYCLADES Ionian NO DODECANESE Sea 3 wa 8 Rhodes 36- -36 RHODES Souda Bay (Crete) to Sigonella (Sicily)(458 nm by air) Sea of Crete + Souda Bay Khania Iraklion CRETE KARPATHOS Mediterranean Sea 28 Airfield Naval facility 32 32 Intelligence facility Communications complex City LIBYA 25 50 75 Miles EGYPT 50 75 Kilometers Locations of symbols are approximate. 20 Boundary representation is not necesswily authoritative. 24 390 GREEN CRS-19 SELECTED MAJOR UNITED STATES MILITARY COMMUNICATIONS FACILITIES IN GREECE 20 24 28 BULGARIA Black Sea YUGOSLAVIA Istanbul СЕ Sea of Marmara ALBANIA THASOS Mt. Hortiatis 40 40 LEMNOS TO ITAL TURKEY LESBOS Levkas EUBOEA Kata Souli Aegean Sea 3 Izmir Mt. Parnis Nea Makri Corinth CAthens MA Patoris SAMOS cych CYCLADES Ionian POE DODECANESE Sea ays 2 Rhodes 36 -36 RHODES M Sea of Crete Souda Bay Mt. Ehedri Iraklion CRETE Khania KARPATHOS A Mediterranean Sea 28 Terminal 32 City 32 LIBYA 76 Miles EGYPT 25 75 Kilometers Locations of symbols are approximare. 20 24 391 CRS-20 NATO NADGE EARLY WARNING SITES IN GREECE 20 24 28 BULGARIA Black Sea YUGOSLAVIA Xanthi Komotini Ismaros СЕ E Istanbul e Sea of Marmara Florina ALBANIA Thessaloniki Vitsi ASOS DOS THASOS M. Hortiatis 40 RE 40 GR LEMNOS Larissa Pilion TURKEY LESBOS Levkas EUBOEA Aegean Sea Izmir Mt. Parnis Athens SAMOS Corinth vo CYCLADES Ionian D votes DODECANESE Sea OD 8 8 8 Rhodes 36 -36 RHODES Sea of Crete Souda Bay 2 Khania KARPATHOS Moustakos fraklion CRETE Ziros Mediterranean Sea 28 NATO NADGE early warning site 32 32 City LIBYA EGYPT 0 25 50 75 Mitos EGYPT 0 Boundary representation is not necessarily authortative. 25 50 75 Kilometers Locations of synibols are approximate. 20 24 392 Senator LUGAR. Now I would like to call upon Senator Pell of Rhode Island for questions. Senator PELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Following up on the study that you just put into the record about Greece, I am wondering if, one, the administration had left the 7- to-10 ratio, which to my mind was a pretty good ratio, which pro- vided for a degree of balance in that part of the world; and also, along the same line, are any efforts being made to continue to punish or to admonish Turkey for the fact that they are using American weapons in the occupation of Cyprus? This is a question that has bothered me. I realize that there was an embargo, which has been lifted. But do we just accept this viola- tion of the agreement they made in taking those weapons and accept the fact that American weapons are being used to occupy another friendly nation and ally? Mr. BURT. Senator, first of all, it is my understanding that no major U.S. weapons systems supplied since 1978 are used by the Turkish military on Cyprus. More broadly, you asked a question about our opposition to the 7- to-10 ratio. I will try to be brief, and I would ask Mr. Perle to also address this. But I think there are two or three major reasons. I think the first is, obviously, we use and view security assistance as a tool of U.S. national security policy, and a mechanical ratio that sets a relationship between two different countries, with dif- ferent requirements, and remembering that requirements can change over the years based on differing circumstances, is not in our view a way to spend taxpayers' money in an efficient nd thoughtful way. We do not think that ratios, particularly in security assistance, reflect the overall military situation between the two sides-one country may have the capacity to buy weapons on the open market; the other country may be more strapped for resources and be forced to depend for most of its military modernization on secu- rity assistance. That is in fact the case with Greece and Turkey, given Greece's larger per capita income and its financial capabili- ties contrasted to those of Turkey. A 7-to-10 ratio does not, after all, necessarily lead to a military balance. We support the concept of a military balance and, as Mr. Perle stated in his opening testimony, if anything, the current balance tends to favor Greece, not Turkey. But in addition we must recog- nize that there are a number of variables that go into calculations of the military balance—the fact, for instance, that Turkey borders on the Soviet Union and has to face military threats emanating from there; the fact on another border, Iraq, there is a war under way with a neighboring state; the fact on another border, in Syria, you have a growing Soviet military presence. Obviously, military requirements change, and the same ratio ap- plied in a mechanical fashion year after year is not in our view the way to make policy. I would just make one final point. Locking in U.S. security assist- ance in a mechancial ratio denies the United States and, by the way, denies you the capacity to influence policies. If countries know that, regardless of what happens, they are going to be as- sured a certain level of assistance just by virture of the fact that 393 there is such a ratio, then we lose the capacity to have some influ- ence on that country, to use it as a tool of American policy. And after all, that is what security assistance is. It is like a por- tion of the defense budget, if you will. It is a way in which U.S. national security interests are protected, and obviously those inter- ests change over time, and we need the flexibility to change our assessments on a year to year basis. Senator Pell. Thank you. Mr. Perle, did you wish to comment on that subject? Mr. PERLE. I think Rick has adequately covered it. It just makes no military sense whatever to distribute security assistance by an arbitrary formula, whether it be 7 to 10 or some other level. The fact is, Senator, that our security-yours, mine, and that of our allies--depends vitally on the ability of critical allies in the southern region to perform their NATO missions, and nowhere is it written that those missions can be performed only at a ratio of 7 to 10 in security assistance expenditures with respect to Greece and Turkey. It is military nonsense. Senator LUGAR. Let me just mention that Mr. Burt does need to leave. We appreciate your testimony, Mr. Burt, and your coming today. We understand that you have other assignments that call you at this point. Senator BIDEN. I will get you later. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Chairman, is Mr. Burt going to come back? Senator LUGAR. No; Mr. Burt will not be returning. Senator SARBANES. Today? Senator LUGAR. No. Senator SARBANES. How about on a subsequent day? Mr. BURT. I will be happy to. Senator LUGAR. If there is a need for another hearing, Mr. Burt will be invited and will be available. Senator SARBANES. Well, I assume there are some questions re- lating to diplomatic developments, to which he alluded and Mr. Perle did not, with which he is familar and Mr. Perle is not. Would that be a fair assumption? Mr. BURT. See, you have me back already. Senator SARBANES. That is all right. We will bring you back an- other day. Mr. Burt. Senator, I will be happy to return to discuss the diplo- matic side. I would just point out that Mr. Haass, who is our Spe- cial Cyprus Coordinator, is more than able to deal with questions concerning the diplomacy. But again, I am at your service. I regret the fact that I have to go downtown for a very important meeting. Senator SARBANES. We understand those demands. We experi- ence them ourselves. So I am not making an issue of that. I only wanted some assurance that if we felt it necessary we could have you back Mr. BURT. Absolutely. Senator SARBANES. Good. Thank you. Mr. BURT. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Please proceed, and this will not come out of Senator Pell's time. We will reverse the clock back to where we were. 34-045 0-84-26 394 Senator PELL. Thank you very much. To follow up a little bit about Cyprus, where I know Mr. Haass has been and on which he is well informed, I notice the administra- tion is requesting $3 million to continue the scholarship program that I initiated in 1981. As you know, as a rule we have overruled you and voted for $15 million. But I would be interested in hearing once again the reasons for knocking down the $15 million that we would usually prefer to $3 million. And I would also like to know, how is the scholarship program proceeding which I did initiate? Mr. Haass. Senator, we are aware of the pattern in recent years where the administration, not simply this one, has come in with a $3 million request and on more than one occasion the Congress has come back with a $15 million authorization and appropriation. The reason is our assessment: First, of the specific needs of Cyprus, in this case the scholarship program, as well as our assess- ment of the refugee situation; and second, our perspective not simply of Cyprus per se, but Cyprus in a global context. We came to the conclusion-and by "we" I mean not simply the State Department, but also working with OMB and Treasury—that $3 million was a fair and reasonable sum to request fo the Govern- ment of Cyprus. Let me just add a point that Mr. Burt made in his testimony: That in no way should the sum of money under the se- curity assistance account for Cyprus in any way be equated with the level of this administration's interest in seeing a settlement on Cyprus. There is no relationship between the two. On the substance of the scholarship program, I understand that it is being conducted fairly and well. As you know, it is one of the tragedies of Cyprus that there is no university on the island where Greek Cypriots or Turkish Cypriots can get an education. The idea that many of them, for example, are forced to go to universities in Eastern Europe, I for one find a rather unfortunate circumstance. So the idea that money would be used toward that end I think is a very, very good investment for us and for them. Senator PELL. The $3 million will provide how many scholar- ships, roughly? Mr. HAASS. I am sorry, Senator, I cannot give you a specific figure, but if you like I can get you that number. [The material referred to follows:) Based on past years' experience, I estimate the $3 million will buy us 40 to 50 full scholarships plus some technical training and partial grants. Senator PELL. I think it may be around 100. How does that divide between Greeks and Turks? Mr. HAASS. I understand that there is a committee with repre- sentatives of the Greek community and the Turkish community, and that it is divided-well, I couldn't give you a specific ratio, but there is a ratio on which it is divided that roughly corresponds to population. Senator PELL. Thank you, and I would appreciate getting that figure from you, too. Let me move to Portugal for a moment. In the new mutual de- fense agreement regarding our use of those facilities, I think it was in December of 1983—for how long is that agreement and what 395 portion of the fiscal year 1985 request will be allocated to the Azores? Mr. PERLE. I believe the agreement, Senator, runs for something like 7 years. I would be glad to check the exact date for you. Senator PELL. That would be better than previous ones, longer than previous ones. Mr. PERLE. With respect to the percentage used for the Azores, that is a matter for the Portuguese to decide. The money does not go to the Azores as such. The funds are used for equipment pur- chases in the United States. Senator PELL. But is there not an understanding that some por- tion of that will be spent in the Azores, helping in their recovery from the earthquake? Mr. PERLE. We will be spending money in the Azores with re- spect to the improvement of facilities, which has a beneficial impact on the economy of the Azores. With respect to the ESF that may go for the Azores, I would want to leave that to my State De- partment colleagues. But I may have the figures with me, in which case I will give them to you when I have looked them up. [Pause.] Mr. PERLE. We can supply those for the record. [The material referred to follows:) The Administration is requesting $80 million in ESF for Portugal in fiscal year 1985. Although it is the Portuguese Government which allocates the funds, we expect about $40 million to go to the Azores. Senator PELL. My final question reverts to Greece. Papandreou came into office campaigning against every American position that we had, practically: no bases, no this, no that. And yet, apparently his bark was a good deal worse than his bite. How do you see our relations with Greece and particularly with the Papandreou government proceeding? Mr. Haass. I think, as you yourself pointed out, there has been from our point of view a fortunate difference between some of the possibilities that might have occurred and what has actually hap- pened. This is the first base agreement, for example, that we have had with Greece in over 30 years, which I think is a cardinal ac- complishment. At the same time, Greece continues to function as a full-fledged member of the Atlantic Alliance, and again that is ter- ribly important. At the same time, I would be less than honest if I did not point out that we have had our differences, whether, for example, on the INF question in Europe, on the nature of the Western response to the Korean airliner tragedy that was discussed before, and so forth. We have also had in the past certain differences in the manage- ment of the base relationship. I think on balance it is a relationship that serves both our inter- ests, and in my recent talks with senior Greek officials they made very clear to me their interest in improving the relationship, which of course I reciprocated. So on balance, I think the relationship has worked out fairly well, and I for one am optimistic that it could actually begin to work out even better in the future. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. I have no further questions. Senator LUGAR. Thank you, Senator Pell. 396 The Chair will now recognize Senator Joseph Biden of Delaware. Senator BIDEN. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Perle, I will resist my inclination to pursue in detail the line of questioning that Senator Helms did, except I do have one ques- tion along those lines, because I would like to clear the record. Given the assessment of the Soviet treaty compliance made by the administration, have the Joint Chiefs of Staff recommended any weapons programs which would constitute a U.S. violation of the provisions of arms control agreements because we feel they are necessary? Mr. PERLE. I am unaware of any, Senator. Senator BIDEN. So am I. I do not know of any. I just wanted that on the record. To put it another way, is there anything that, in terms of weap- ons systems, that you will want that SALT II, even though it has not been ratified, but is being complied with, is preventing you from being able to acquire? Is there anything out there that you would like? Mr. PERLE. Not in the period covered by the treaty. Senator BIDEN. Thank you. Now, let me go to Greece, Turkey, and other questions. Mr. Perle, you said at the portion of your statement that I asked you to repeat, which you were kind enough to repeat, about Turkey's mili- tary capability helping inhibit Soviet ambition. I am not sure that was the word. I thought it was. Soviet aggression or something along those lines. Were you meaning that in the context of NATO or also unilater- ally? In other words, are the Soviets inhibited moving into Iran be- cause of a strong Turkey, which is not within the purview of NATO? Mr. PERLE. Senator, the weakness of the Turkish forces, in east- ern Turkey in particular, means that we are not obtaining the po- tential deterrent value of a stronger position in eastern Turkey that we believe would result from a strengthening of those forces. Senator BIDEN. What would that value be? Mr. PERLE. Well, if you were a Soviet commander Senator BIDEN. And thank God, I am not. Mr. PERLE (continuing]. And were placed in charge of a campaign to drive to the gulf, and you faced the vacuum that is presently faced in eastern Turkey, you could plan on moving those forces rel- atively unencumbered. If we are successful cooperatively with Turkey in strengthening the Turkish position in eastern Turkey and in developing, as we propose to do and have begun to do, air bases in eastern Turkey that would be colocated operating bases-that is, available for the use of the United States and potentially other NATO allies in a NATO contingency-a Soviet commander with the same mission would have to think twice about freely moving those forces south- ward to the gulf. So it is a major element of our policy, worked out in close col- laboration with Turkey, to try to strengthen Turkey in its eastern region. 397 Senator BIDEN. So a strong Turkey in the eastern region could be the difference between the Soviets deciding to move to the gulf or not more to the gulf militarily? Mr. PERLE. It would significantly increase the risks associated with such a Soviet move and therefore, we hope, would add to the deterrence of such a move. Senator BIDEN. And you are confident we have an absolute com- mitment from Turkey that if the Soviets wished to do that they would in fact engage the Soviet Union, not in the context of NATO, because it would not be? Mr. PERLE. No, we do not have an absolute commitment from Turkey, or from anyone else, that they would engage Soviet forces in any contingency. What we do have is an agreement with Turkey according to which bases are being established in eastern Turkey that would be available to the United States in the NATO context. Senator BIDEN. In the NATO context? Mr. PERLE. In the NATO context. Senator BIDEN. Would this fall within the NATO context? Mr. PERLE. That would be a matter for NATO to determine at the time. Senator BIDEN. They have pretty well determined that it would not, have they not? Mr. PERLE. I believe, Senator, that wartime will turn out to be quite different than peacetime, and that in the event of a major or even a conventional war, Senator, in the event of a major Soviet thrust in the gulf, with all that would portend for the security of the alliance, the alliance may well decide that those countries in a position to respond should do so with an alliance blessing Senator BIDEN. Is Turkey, though, clearly signing on to a bilater- al attempt to prevent the Soviet Union from moving to the gulf if they were so inclined? Mr. PERLE. No. What Turkey has agreed to do is establish two bases in eastern Turkey that would be colocated operating bases, and has further agreed to assign its own operational aircraft to those bases. We in turn have designated U.S. Air Force units that would be dispatched to those bases under circumstances where they might add to the deterrent capability of the alliance as a whole. We think that is a step forward. Senator BIDEN. Do they have a veto right? Let us assume they did not want to go and we did. Could they prevent us? I mean, we found that occurrence with other of our NATO allies relating to matters outside the purview of NATO, like the Middle East. I guess they would not be able to veto us? We would have abso- lute access there? Mr. PERLE. No. As I am sure you understand, none of our allies, even our most trusted and reliable--and I would put Turkey in that category-is going to give the United States a blank check to operate from its territory in circumstances that cannot be defined. Senator BIDEN. But we do have specific treaty language with those other allies as to how we will jointly move. Now, what you are telling me with regard to Turkey is that we have no treaty cov- ering the contingency you are protecting against. Mr. PERLE. No. The only treaty commitment of the kind that I think you have in mind, to which our allies have subscribed, our 398 European allies, is the commitment that an attack against any one ally would be an attack against all. Šenator BIDEN. Yes. That is a big one, a very fundamental one. Mr. PERLE. That is very fundamental commitment and one to my knowledge that has been violated only once, and that was by the United States. Senator BIDEN. I am not arguing with you. Now, you are telling me that we do not have that kind of commitment. Mr. PERLE. Yes; Turkey subscribes to that same commitment, along with all our other allies. Senator BIDEN. But if they are going through Turkish space or around Turkish space in Iran, Turkey has not signed on to do any- thing about that. And if you want to talk about record, the Turkish record is not one which you would call exemplary when it comes to standing up for the West and U.S. interests over the past five decades. I do not think it makes sense to talk about previous wars and whose side they were on and things like that, but the fact of the matter is you have no treaty agreement that would either allow us access even if they did not want to play, and you have no alliance agreement that would cover Turkey being required to be involved in an effort to prevent Soviet troops moving toward the gulf in Ira- nian space along the Turkish border, do you? Mr. PERLE. None of our allies has given us that kind of assur- ance. Senator BIDEN. That is right, as it relates to moving to the gulf. Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator BIDEN. Right. So you are suggesting that you still be- lieve, or I assume you do, because you would not be asking for all this money, that you believe that Turkey would in fact respond, be- cause you obviously said that we need this to inhibit Soviet action and activity. And you gave me the example of the Soviet command- er who might be emboldened to move but for us proceeding along the lines you are suggesting. I find that, based on historical record, past performance or stabil- ity or lack thereof of Turkish governments in the recent past, a very, very unlikely occurrence. Now, if all of our NATO allies sign on, and you know-you and I both know, because I have heard you speak of it—that the way in which that is likely to occur is not the Soviets saying, here we go, folks, we are on our way to the gulf. The way it is likely to occur—and I heard you; you are brilliant in the way you present it-is the way it will be done, incrementally if it is done, and that is that there will be some excuse to move into northern Iran, and that excuse will be taken advantage of-and the yellow light is about to save us both-and they will move on down. Now, I cannot fathom Turkey-and I will come back to this in the second round-whatever pretext the Soviets use to move into northern Iran, if they were to do it, saying: Count on us, United States. We are with you. You have really built us up here. Come use the air bases. We will help you stop them. I think that is preposterous, to believe that that will happen. But I will get back to that. And therefore, I think your proposal is one that should not be bought. 399 Now, I do not want to stop you from commenting on that, but I will be back with more questions later. Mr. PERLE. I would like to comment, if I might, and then we can come back to it in the other round. I am afraid I have to disagree with you in your assessment of Turkey as a reliable ally. It is pointless to refer to the last World War unless one wants to reflect adversely on some of our most reli- able allies today, some of whom were on the other side in the last war. If one looks at the period in which Turkey has been a NATO ally, given the fact that it is far more exposed to an immediate threat than the United States, or indeed virtually any of our other NATO allies, I think Turkey has behaved with great courage and great consistency and reliability in sending forces to Korea who fought extraordinarily well, and in backing and supporting the United States on virtually every occasion, despite the immediate jeopardy in which Turkey always exists, given its location. So I have great confidence. Senator BIDEN. For the record, I am not suggesting that Turkey is not a reliable ally. What I am suggesting is that Turkey, because of its proximity, is not likely, absent a specific requirement to do so, to do something that the rest of NATO or the world would be uninclined to do, merely because the United States has increased their eastern military capability. That is what I am suggesting, not that they are an unreliable ally. You have no treaty requirement with them. They would not be violating any alliance if the Soviets moved into northern Iran and they did nothing. They would be violating nothing. They would be a totally reliable ally to say: Sorry, United States, it has hap- pened on your watch. Mr. PERLE. I assume, Senator, that Turkey in a wartime situa- tion will, like all countries, act in its own interest. Senator BIDEN. But that is not a wartime situation necessarily, is it? Mr. PERLE. If one believes that the war only begins when hostile and threatening forces are on one's own territory, then in that sense it is not a wartime situation. Senator BIDEN. I believe that Mr. PERLE. But the threat to Turkey- Senator BIDEN (continuing). It's wartime in United States-Soviet relations. But do you subsume that automatically? Are you telling me, if chaos erupts in Iran and the Soviets for whatever reason move, even incrementally, into Iran that all of NATO would be prepared to declare on the Soviets? Mr. PERLE. No; I certainly do not believe that, and there are a number of NATO allies who would not go anywhere near it. But Turkey would be far more immediately threatened by any imminent Soviet move into the gulf than any of our other allies, and I think the likelihood that they would share our concern is far greater than that of any of our other allies. Senator BIDEN. Fair enough. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Thank you, Senator Biden. 400 The Chair would recognize now Senator Paul Sarbanes of Mary- land. Senator SARBANES. Secretary Perle, has Turkey been permitting Soviet overflights in order to rearm Soviet-allied countries in the Middle East? Mr. PERLE. Senator, there have been overflights by Soviet air- craft overflying Turkish airspace. Under normal circumstances, Turkey does not impose restrictions on the crossing of its airspace by noncombatants. Senator SARBANES. And those flights have involved the rearming, for instance, of Syria, is that correct? Mr. PERLE. I would have to look at the cargo manifests, Senator, but it would not surprise me if Turkey has refrained from shooting down Soviet aircraft resupplying Syria. Senator SARBANES. You make a point in your written statement of the Soviet forces deployed in the trans-Caucasus as posing a threat of intimidation or aggression in the area. Is it not correct that the Turkish forces are very heavily deployed in western Turkey? Mr. PERLE. They are indeed. Senator SARBANES. Would you say that some of them, as you look at them, are in fact deployed against Greece? Mr. PERLE. No; I do not believe they are deployed against Greece. Senator SARBANES. What about the ships in the Izmir area? What is you view of that? Mr. PERLE. I am not sure that I understand your question. Senator SARBANES. Well, the landing craft, for one thing, the heavy concentration of landing craft in Izmir. What is their pur- pose? Mr. PERLE. I have heard the issue of the Turkish landing craft discussed before and so I took advantage of a recent visit to Turkey to look into this question of Turkish landing craft, and have dis- cussed it in NATO as well. I believe, Senator, that the Turkish landing craft are not only consistent with, but are called for by, the operational plan that SAC/EUR has developed in conjunction with Turkey and other NATO members for the defense of the straits. I do not believe that Turkey possesses landing capability greater than that required for defense of the straits, and in fact I believe they are deficient in this category. Senator SARBANES. You are making that representation with re- spect to the Turkish landing craft located in Izmir, in the Izmir area? Mr. PERLE. I think that the total Turkish landing craft capability is consistent with, but inadequate- Senator SARBANES. That is not my question, Mr. Secretary. The question is the location of the landing craft in the Izmir area. Mr. PERLE. The location of a ship of any kind at any moment in time is not particularly revealing about its mission, and I do not think there is a heavy concentration there. Senator SARBANES. I can see you do not intend to answer the question, so I will press on. I take it from your previous statement that you regard the 7-to- 10 ratio as—I think the term you used was ridiculous? Mr. PERLE. I think I said military nonsense. 401 Senator SARBANES. Mr. Haass, Secretary Burt said with respect to the approval by Greece of the Defense and Economic Coopera- tion Agreement-and this is at the top of page 358 of his state- ment—that the Congress helped to make this agreement possible, you will note. Last year in the report of this committee on the International Security and Development Cooperation Act of 1983 the committee said: The committee believes that it should be the policy of the United States that the current military balance between Greece and Turkey should be retained through the 7 to 10 military assistance ratio for Greece and Turkey, and that similar steps should be taken to maintain the qualitative military balance between the two coun- tries. The committee therefore intends that the military assistance levels for the two countries be distributed as follows for fiscal year 1983 and fiscal year 1984. And then there is a table setting out that distribution, which I know you are familiar with. The committee then went on to say: In providing increased amounts for these countries, the committee is proceeding on the expectation that each country will provide the United States with continued and adequate access to military facilities in each country. The committee antici- pates that, should this expectation not be fulfilled, the administration will, in con- sultation with the Congress, re-examine the aid levels to determine appropriate levels. Do you regard that language of the committee as having been helpful in helping to bring about this agreement? Mr. HAASS. I think it was helpful to the extent that in the case of Greece, the Greek Government felt confident that security assist- ance would be forthcoming. Now, obviously it is impossible to sepa- rate the availability of security assistance from the willingness of a country such as Greece, or for that matter any other country, to enter into a base agreement with us. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Perle, do you regard the conclusion of a defense and economic cooperation agreement between the United States and Greece as an important contribution to American secu- rity interests? Mr. PERLE. I do indeed, Senator, and I worked hard to see that it came about. Senator SARBANES. Well, you seem by some of your previous an- swers now to be placing that arrangement in some jeopardy. Mr. PERLE. I do not believe I have said anything that would do that. I think it is possible, in short, to be both pro-Greek and pro- Turkish in the interests of the alliance that we share membership in. Senator SARBANES. Well, in a balanced fashion, which you have just, of course, labeled as nonsense. Mr. PERLE. I do not think the notion of balance is nonsense. I think the notion that balance is achieved by imposing a 7-to-10 ratio on military assistance to those two countries is military non- sense. Senator SARBANES. That was not the premise of that statement which Mr. Haass has said was helpful in bringing those negotia- tions to a successful conclusion to those negotiations, which I think did represent an instance of some fairly effective cooperation be- tween the executive and the legislative branches. 402 You talked about military aid, assistance to Turkey, and in your statement on page 365 you detailed a lot of military needs. The F- 16's are just coming along, is that correct? Mr. PERLE. They have just been contracted for. The first deliv- eries will not take place for some time yet. Senator SARBANES. And that is in the amount of how much? Mr. PERLE. Are you asking for a dollar amount or the number of aircraft? Senator SARBANES. The dollar amount. I do not think any of the aircraft have actually been reported to the Congress. It is just training and parts, is it not, some $4 billion? Mr. PERLE. The total program over many years for the purchase of 160 aircraft will involve something on the order of $4 billion. Senator SARBANES. How much are those aircraft per copy? Mr. PERLE. I would have to give you a precise figure for the record, but they are somewhere in the vicinity of $18 million or $20 million a copy. Senator SARBANES. In view of the fact that that is now beginning, and in view of the fact of the needs that you set out on page 365, what do you think the request for military aid to Turkey will be next year and the year after, and the following year? Mr. PERLE. Taking the whole of the modernization program into account-and we have worked very closely with the Turkish Gener- al Staff to examine their requirements and to make our own judg- ments about them we would expect assistance on the order of a billion dollars a year. Senator SARBANES. How much? Mr. PERLE. On the order of a billion dollars a year. Senator SARBANES. A billion dollars. So your projected program would be to jump the $750 million figure provided this year to over a billion dollars? Mr. PERLE. When one looks at the whole of the modernization, it will take about a billion dollars a year in assistance to accomplish that modernization. Senator SARBANES. Over how many years? Mr. PERLE. Over several years, the better part of the remainder of this decade. Senator SARBANES. In other words, over a 5-year period? Mr. PERLE. In fact, into the next decade. But it is very difficult to make judgments about the outyears. Senator SARBANES. Well now, in the plan that has been laid out, I assume in consultation with the Turkish military, what is it that you project there? Mr. PERLE. Senator, as you know, we have been unable to give the Turkish Government any long-term commitment because of the nature of our constitutional processes. When I say a billion dollars a year, that is our estimate of what a sensible modernization pro- gram would cost. Senator SARBANES. And that would be each and every year into the next decade? Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Chairman, we are going to have another round, I assume? Senator LUGAR Yes; thank you, Senator Sarbanes. 403 The Chair would like to recognize Senator Paul Tsongas of Mas- sachusetts. Senator TSONGAS. We have a very formal introduction, Mr. Chairman. And the Senator from Massachusetts thanks Senator Richard Lugar from Indiana for recognization, and he thanks the Senator from Maryland, Senator Paul Sarbanes, for the suggestion of thanking the chairman. [Laughter.] Now that my time is half over and I have not asked any ques- tions, I had better get going Let us deal with the issue of Turkey as a reliable ally. I think the term used was "military nonsense." You said to Senator Sar- banes that the term you used was not "ridiculous,” but was “mili- tary nonsense. Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator TSONGAS. Well, I happen to agree with you at least in that particular case. When we had the bombing of the Marine barracks in Lebanon, did the United States request the use of Turkish landing facilities to bring our wounded there for treatment? Mr. PERLE. Senator, I do not know whether we did in that specif- ic instance. I do not think so, because I think the decision was made to evacuate those wounded to hospitals elsewhere in Europe. Senator TSONGAS. So there was no request made of Turkey at that time for any assistance as far as you know? Mr. PERLE. I have no direct knowledge of it. Senator TSONGAS. Mr. Haass, do you know? Mr. HAASS. No, sir, I do not know, nor do I have any direct knowledge of that. My understanding is the decision was made by the Department of Defense to refer all casualties to hospitals large- ly in West Germany. Senator TSONGAS. Can you check into that and report back to the committee? Mr. HAASs. Yes, sir. [The material referred to follows:) made only one request of Turkey in the aftermath of the Beirut bombings. That request was for clearance for a medevac aircraft already in Turkey on other business to continue on to Beirut to assist in the rescue effort. The Turkish Govern- ment granted that request promptly. The small USAF hospital at Incirlik Installation is inadequate to deal with the number and kind of trauma injuries involved in that incident. We did not call on the Turks for use of hospitals or other assistance basically because no nearby Turk- ish facilities were appropriate. The logical decision was made, therefore, to send ma- rines to civilian facilities in Cyprus or U.S. military hospitals in Germany, Focusing on Turkey's positive contribution to our policy in Lebanon, the Turkish Government has agreed to permit use of a military facility to transship personnel and materiel destined for the U.S. contingent of the multilateral force in Lebanon. That facility is intended to supplement the current, very effective support of the MNF we now carry out through Larnaca. Senator TSONGAS. Going back to the time when we were trying to get our hostages out of Iran, what requests were made to Turkey at that time and what were the responses by Turkey? Mr. PERLE. I cannot answer that, Senator. I was not involved at the time. Senator TSONGAS. Mr. Haass, you have a strong background in the region specifically. Do you know the answer to that? 404 Mr. Haass. I am flattered by your confidence in me, but I will have to get back to you. [The material referred to follows:] Turkey was among those countries of which we asked assistance during the period we were trying to get our hostages out of Iran. The Turkish Government was most helpful in providing us with timely, accurate information on events in Iran at that time. Turkey did not, however, engage in an embargo on trade with Iran during that period. We believe that the Turkish Government was in communication with the Algerian Government during the latter's successful negotiation for the release of the hostages. The Turkish Government granted the necessary overflight and landing permission for refueling the Algerian aircraft carrying the hostages in Ankara en route from Tehran to Germany. In the event, it was not necessary to refuel. Senator TSONGAS. Well, you think that Turkey is such a great ally. I would think you would know what the answer to these ques- tions would be. Turkey refused to allow us to use these bases last year to supply our people in Lebanon and the Lebanese Army; is that correct? Mr. PERLE. We now have, Senator Tsongas, an agreement with the Government of Turkey according to which some Turkish facili- ties are available to us in support of the peacekeeping. . Mr. PERLE. I believe that from time to time, in the absence of agreements covering the use that we might wish to make of Turk- ish facilities, there have indeed been denials. And the remedy to that problem was to establish an agreement under which it is now permitted. Senator TSONGAS. “From time to time" means those times we asked? Mr. PERLE. No; we have not always been turned down. I think if you look at the record, wherever possible the Turks have been ac- commodating. There is a difference between being an ally and being an extension of the United States. Senator TSONGAS. I could not agree more. Do you know whether the Turkish Government ever condemned the Ayatollah for holding our hostages? Mr. PERLE. I do not. Senator TSONGAS. Could you give us that one, too. [The material referred to follows:] Because of the many attacks against its diplomats, the Government of Turkey ac- tively denounces terrorism in any form. During the hostage crisis, Turkey strongly denounced the action of the Government of Iran. Senator TSONGAS. Do you know whether the United States ever requested that Voice of America and Radio Free Europe antennas be allowed to operate in Turkey to counter Soviet jamming of broadcasts? Mr. PERLE. I believe that we have made such a request and it is under consideration by the Turkish Government. Senator TSONGAS. Has that request recently been made? Mr. PERLE. Quite recently. Senator TSONGAS. In exchange for all of this money, is that such an undue request in your mind? Mr. PERLE. The money, Senator, is the most effective way we know to protect the United States of America by bottling up the Soviet fleet in the Black Sea. 405 Senator TSONGAS. I guess the concern is, if Turkey will not take on Soviet airwaves, whether they would take on the Soviet Air Force. Mr. PERLE. I think the question of whether to grant the United States permission to build a facility is really quite independent on how Turkey would see its defense requirements in wartime. I believe, by the way, Senator, that we are having some consider- able difficulty at the moment retaining our present facilities for broadcasting from Greece, and I would not regard that as an indi- cation that Greece would be an unreliable ally in wartime. Senator TSONGAS. Well, it seems to me that, given what has hap- pened with the United States buildup of Turkey, I can understand why Greece is as sensitive as it is. In the 1973 Middle East war, did Turkey refuse American over- flights and allow Soviet overflights? Was that the issue that you raised, Senator Biden, or were you talking about the recent resup- ply? Well, no matter. Take us back to 1973. What happened at that point? Mr. PERLE. This is a bit of history into which I have inquired, and I have been unable to get a clear answer, despite a correspond- ence with then Secretary of State Henry Kissinger on the matter. I believe there may have been some denials of overflight rights. And I feel bound to say, if I may, that so long as Turkey is as exposed and vulnerable as it is, and as long as the reliability of the United States as Turkey's ally is subject to question, we cannot expect the Turks to take significant risks with their own security. Senator TSONGAS. Well, let us take a significant risk. When the Soviets downed the Korean civilian airliner about which you had conversation earlier with Senator Helms, virtually the entire world condemned that. What did Turkey do? Mr. PERLE. I am unaware of what statements were made by Turkish officials. Mr. HAASS. Turkey joined with us in ICAO [International Civil Aeronautics Organization), and joined in condemning the Soviet action. Senator TSONGAS. Turkey did condemn the Soviet action? Mr. HaAss. In the context of ICAO, it did, Senator. Senator TSONGAS. How long after the incident was that? Mr. HaAss. I do not have a date with me of the ICAO vote, but it was probably within 1 or 2 months of the event. Senator TSONGAS. So they waited. Mr. HAASS. Well, it was decided by many states, as well as indi- viduals, that this was the appropriate forum for an international response. It was also the appropriate forum through which to look for various remedial actions. Senator TSONGAS. That was not what we decided to do. We spoke up immediately, did we not? Mr. Haass. Pardon me? Senator TSONGAS. We spoke out immediately against the act. Mr. HAASS. The United States did condemn the attack. The United States then did focus the bulk of its diplomatic efforts, after an initial period in the United Nations Security Council, into ICAO. 406 Senator TSONGAS. Let us talk about strategic probabilities for the moment. Mr. Haass, you served, I believe, in Turkey, if I remember corectly, or Greece. Did you not serve in one of those two? Mr. HAAss. I am afraid I have not. Senator TsonGAS. Well then, that may make it easier for you to answer my question. Do you think it is more probable that Turkey will have a conflict with Greece or with the Soviet Union? Mr. HAAss. I would like to think that the probabilities for con- flict with either are fairly small, Senator. To weigh those kinds of imponderables I find somewhat impossible. Senator TSONGAS. Let me ask you this: Is it not true that most people in Greece and most people in Turkey feel that if they are going to be at war it will be against each other, rather than against the Soviets? Mr. Haass. I think that because of more than 500 years of a rather bitter history, there is an awful lot of—to use an informal word, baggage in both those countries—an awful lot of mistrust and at times bitterness, at times because of personal experience and at times simply because of historical reading. That is one of the interesting things I noted in my recent trip to the region; that is, particularly in Turkey, there was rather less of a preoccupation with events to the west and, quite understandably, a rather increased preoccupation with events to the south and east. Senator TSONGAS. If you were a Turkish official who had en- dorsed the UDI on Cyprus, which the United States condemned, and in the next budget that comes out the United States not only increases the aid to Turkey, but breaks the 7-to-10 ratio and in- creases the concessionary terms of that aid, would you not conclude that, despite the rhetoric, the United States has endorsed the Turk- ish endorsement of the UDI? Mr. HAAss. I think the Turkish Government is under no illusions of our opposition to what happened on November 15, through our condemnation, both by ourselves as well as in the Security Council, and through our efforts to try to convince other states not to recog- nize this new political entity. I think that they are also watching what is going on in the Con- gress and therefore understand full well the implications of their recognition, but more important the events of November 15 them- selves, for the United States-Turkish relationship. I think at the same time they look at the relationship and they realize that the United States-Turkish relationship benefits the United States as well as Turkey, and they would see the security assistance program as reflecting that. Senator TSONGAS. If I had a staff person who was not performing and called him in to say, “I just do not like what you are doing. You are doing a very poor job.” On the way out I said, “By the way, here is a 15-percent raise.” Do you think that staff person would really believe that I was upset about his or her perform- ance? Mr. PERLE. Senator, a more appropriate analogy, if I may suggest it, would be to say to the staffer with whose performance you are unhappy that you are going to remove his typewriter and his chair, and ask that he deliver his speeches on time in the future. 407 We are talking about providing Turkey not with goods and equip- ment for the benefit of Turkey as such, but in order to enable them to carry out our NATO missions and to protect our security. And your whole line of questioning reflects the sense that military as- sistance to Turkey is somehow a gift to Turkey. It is not that at all. Senator TSONGAS. Well, if your Soviet commander, who is going to think twice about coming south because of Turkey, gives it three thoughts as opposed to two he is going to be removed from office because of incompetence. [Laughter.] Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Senator Sarbanes. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Chairman, I would like to review the amounts and terms of the aid packages that you are proposing in the eastern Mediterranean. I take it, at least as far as the military component and maybe even the economic component as well, that emanates out of your shop; is that right? Mr. PERLE. The alchemy by which these figures are arrived at, Senator, is probably as mysterious to me as it is to you. There are protracted discussions between the Departments. The principal effort in this regard originates with the Defense Security Assist- ance Agency, which does a great deal of work costing the various programs that we have previously concluded are in our mutual in- terest. There are then deliberations with the Office of Management and Budget and the Department of State, at the end of which a number that may or may not approximate our real requirements emerges Senator SARBANES. Well, now, what is being provided in this fiscal year in terms of military assistance to Turkey and to Greece, under the action of the Congress last year? Mr. PERLE. The figure for Greece was $500 million in credits which will be expended depending on decisions the Greeks have not yet made for the acquisition of equipment of American manu- facture. In the case of Turkey, the final figure, I believe, was $715 million. Senator SARBANES. So it is $715 million for Turkey and $500 mil- lion for Greece on the military side. Now, what were the terms of that assistance? Mr. PERLE. If you mean the repayment terms, there was a grace period of I believe 7 years, followed by a 20-year repayment at market rates of interest. Senator SARBANES. What would those be, market rates of inter- est? Mr. PERLE. I think last year it was about 11 percent. I would like the opportunity to correct any of these numbers for the record if I have it wrong. Senator SARBANES. Now, that is the $500 million to Greece? Mr. PERLE. That applied both to Turkey and to Greece, I believe, the terms. Senator SARBANES. Well, that is not my recollection. Is that cor- rect? Mr. PERLE. I could be wrong. [Pause.] Mr. PERLE. Excuse me. It was 10 years, not 7. 408 Senator SARBANES. And that applied to the $715 million going to Turkey? Mr. PERLE. No, not to all of the $715 million. To that portion-- Senator SARBANES. Let us take the $500 million to Greece. What are the terms of that $500 million this fiscal year? Mr. PERLE. Do you mean the previously appropriated funds? Senator SARBANES. Yes. Mr. PERLE. I believe they are, as I have described them, with a 10-year grace period followed by a 20-year repayment. Senator SARBANES. Twenty-year repayment at 11 percent inter- est? Mr. PERLE. I believe 11 percent interest. Senator SARBANES. Now, the $715 million going to Turkey? Mr. PERLE. That was broken down into some military credits on the same terms that I have just described. Senator SARBANES. And how much of the $715 million was on those terms, 10-year grace, 20-year repayment, market rates of in- terest which are 11 percent? Mr. PERLE. If I recall correctly, it was on the order of $255 mil- lion. For fiscal year 1984, I will run down the figures if you like. The credits were $585 million, the MAP program or grant aid, which was radically cut back by the Congress in the end, was $130 mil- lion. Senator SARBANES. So of the $715 million, $130 million was a grant? Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator SARBANES. And $585 million of it was on the same terms as the $500 million we have just been discussing for Greece? Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator SARBANES. What is your proposal for this year on mili- tary? Mr. PERLE. For what? Senator SARBANES. For both countries. Mr. PERLE. $500 million again for Greece. Senator SARBANES. In other words, for Greece it is the same figure as last year? Mr. PERLE. Correct. Senator SARBANES. On what terms? Mr. PERLE. The same terms as last year. Senator SARBANES. Ten-year grace, 20-year repayment? Mr. PERLE. Correct. Senator SARBANES. And market rates of interest, is that still at 11 percent? Mr. PERLE. I am not sure, Senator. I think there is a problem as to the date on which the credits are actually exercised. Senator SARBANES. But I assume it would be roughly in that area. Now, on Turkey? Mr. PERLE. On Turkey the request for this year is $500 million in credits, on the same terms as the $500 million for Greece; $255 mil- lion in MAP or direct grant. Senator SARBANES. But those figures do not sound right to me, Mr. Secretary. I think you have another piece of paper coming. 409 [Pause.] Mr. PERLE. I am sorry. It is $230 million in MAP Senator SARBANES. First of all, what is the total? Mr. PERLE. $755 million. Senator SARBANES. So you are going from $715 million up to $755 million, is that correct? Mr. PERLE. That is correct, although I believe last year we re- quested $755 million and it was reduced to $715 million. Senator SARBANES. Now, how is that $755 million going with re- spect to its terms? Mr. PERLE. That is broken down into $275 million on the same terms as Greece, $250 million on concessional terms. The conces- sional term is a 5-year grace period rather than a 10-year grace period, and 7-year repayment period rather than a 20-year repay- ment period. Then the advantage that the concessional terms have over the nonconcessional is that the rate of interest is 5 percent rather than the market rate. Senator SARBANES. That is a pretty big advantage. Mr. PERLE. Depending upon whether your problem is a cash flow problem or a foreign settlements problem, it may or may not be ad- vantageous. Senator SARBANES. If you had your pick, which one would you take? Mr. PERLE. It would depend on whether I was concerned about repaying the principal within 7 years or whether I needed the 30 years. It is not by any means obvious that these concessional terms are in every case the preferable terms. They may or may not be. Senator SARBANES. And the balance of it? Mr. PERLE. The balance, which is $230 million, is in MAP. Senator SARBANES. So you are taking the amount of Turkish military assistance up from $715 to $755 million, the amount of grant from $130 to $230 million? Mr. PERLE. To $230 million, that is correct. Senator SARBANES. And providing concessional of $250 million at 5-percent interest, and then $275 million at market rates? Mr. PERLE. That is correct. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Chairman, Senator Biden has to go and I will defer to him. Senator BIDEN. I would like to ask one question, if I may. I have to leave for an appointment and hopefully will be able to come back. Thank you, Paul. Mr. Perle, you talked earlier about being able to bottle up the Soviet fleet. I thought there was a treaty agreement that precluded Soviet aircraft carriers from coming out into the Mediterranean, and I was under the impression that the Turks were sort of the guardians of that. Have there been any Soviet aircraft carriers that have traversed the straits to threaten our 6th Fleet in the Mediterranean? Mr. PERLE. There is a dispute over what constitutes the carrier under the convention in question, but I believe there have been air- craft carriers, as we have defined them, that have traversed the straits. Senator SARBANES. And the Turks have a different point of view than we have? They have allowed it to occur? ! + 34-045 0-84-27 410 ! Mr. PERLE. I think the Turks have discovered, Senator, that trea- ties are not always enforceable when one is weak. Senator BIDEN. I see. Thank you. And thank you, Paul. Senator SARBANES. Now, on the economic side of this assistance, because there is a proposal to send $755 million in military assist- ance with this tripartite arrangement on terms-grant, at 5-per- cent interest, and at market interest—what is being provided to Turkey and Greece with respect to economic support funds? Mr. HAASs. The only request for economic support funding in fiscal year 1985 would be $175 million for Turkey. Senator SARBANES. $175 million for Turkey and nothing for Greece? Mr. HAASS. No, sir. Senator SARBANES. What was provided this year pursuant to con- gressional action for Turkey? Mr. HAASS. I believe the final outcome was $138.5 million for Turkey. Senator SARBANES. $138.5 million, So you are proposing to raise that by about $36.5 million? Mr. HaAss. Well, again, the differential is not due to a changed administration request. The differential is due to congressional action. Senator SARBANES. Yes; that is what they are getting this year. We are working off the reality. Is that correct, it would be a $36.5 million increase? Mr. HAASS. Right. Senator SARBANES. What are the terms of that? Mr. Haass. The terms of the $175 million that we have proposed would be $90 million in grant and the remaining $85 million in loans, the terms of which are 5 percent interest, 5-year grace, 20- year repayment. Senator SARBANES. Five-year grace, 20-year repayment, at 5 per- cent interest? Mr. HAASS. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. And $90 million of it on a straight grant? Mr. HAASS. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. What are the terms of the $138.5 million that is being received this year? Mr. HAASS. I am not sure I have the specific financial terms of that with me, but I can get that for you. I do not have the figures with me of whether the fiscal year 1984 moneys were grant or loan. Senator SARBANES. Was any of it grant that you recollect? Mr. Haass. I am sorry, Senator. I do not want to mislead you. I would rather get that for you. [The material referred to follows:] The terms of the $138.5 million in ESF for FY 1984 are $75 million in grant, and $63.5 million in loans at 5 percent interest, with 5-year grace on principal and 20- year repayment. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Haass, you all issued a very strong state- ment on the UDI declaration and the Turkish recognition of it. You have already been asked some questions along that line and you said in effect, that the action enormously complicates the ef- 411 forts to resolve some of the pressing situations in that area of the world. Yet in the end, despite the rhetoric, the United States has significantly increased this package in absolute amounts and also in its terms. I do not quite understand how you can then assert that there are no illusions about it and that it is fully understood what the impli- cations of that UDI and the subsequent action would be on United States-Turkish relationships. Mr. HAASS. Senator, let me just make a few points if I may. The terms of our assistance are not meant to send a politicial or politi- cio-military signal of any kind. The terms of U.S. security assist- ance are based almost exlusively on economic criteria, on per capita income and so forth. So the fact that the terms of security assistance for Turkey have been improved is simply an economic judgment on the administration's part. Senator SARBANES. Has the economic situation in Turkey wors- ened this year over last year? Mr. Haass. The economic situation over the last year has basical- ly stayed the same. The pattern of improvement over the last few years leveled off. The new government of Mr. Ozal has instituted a host of political and economic reforms, intended basically to liberal- ize the economy, and it is too soon to really see what effect they will have. Senator SARBANES. You do not have a worsened economic situa- tion this year compared with last year, yet you do have a signifi- cant improvement in the amount and in the terms of the assist- ance. I mean, to respond to the point--- Mr. HaAss. If I may clarify, one aspect of the economic situation which has gotten worse is the degree of Turkey's debt. Over the last 12 months, as I understand it-although again I would have to get the specific figures for you-that the degree of Turkish indebt- edness, foreign debt that is, has gone up, which is one of the par- ticular concerns and was one of the things which motivates the bal- ance of support payments that we are giving through the ESF pro- gram. Senator LUGAR. Senator Sarbanes, Senator Pell has one question. Senator PELL. Why do you not take your time. Senator SARBANES. No; you go ahead. I will come back to this. Senator Pell. Thank you. I would like to return for a moment to the Montreaux Conven- tion. My recollection is that it says that warships are permitted to go through. Is that not the reason we send our own warships into the Black Sea every so often to show the flag? Mr. PERLE. I believe that is correct. There are requirements for prior notification. Senator PELL. That is right, but with notification it does not matter if it is an aircraft carrier or a submarine or a surface vessel? Mr. PERLE. I believe there are limitations, Senator Pell, on the movement of aircraft carriers. Senator PELL. I am just curious, because when was the Mon- treaux Convention signed? In the early twenties, and we did not have aircraft carriers then. 412 Mr. PERLE. I think it is not under the Montreaux Convention, but under subsequent international agreement. Senator PELL. Between who and who? Mr. PERLE. How multilateral that agreement is I am not certain, but I would be glad to supply that for the record. Senator PELL. Because under the Montreaux Convention, it pro- vided, I thought, for innocent passage, although not for fleet pas- sage, which as you know means when the submarine is submerged. Mr. PERLE. I believe that is correct, submarines must transit the straits on the surface. For that, there must be prior notification. The Soviets have recently adopted a pattern of making advance notification which is not always then followed up by the transit of the ships in question. Senator PELL. When did we last send one of our destroyers or vessels in there to show the flag? Mr. PERLE. I would have to supply that for the record. [The material referred to follows:] The U.S. Navy destroyer Radford conducted operations in the Black Sea from 30 August to 6 September 1983. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. Senator LUGAR. Mr. Perle, as a part of the questioning that has been proceeding, I have been adding up the figures that Senator Sarbanes has been reviewing. It would appear that Turkey is going to receive in grants under the administration proposal $230 million plus $90 million in ESF. Now, information that I have indicates that Turkey must repay in fiscal year 1985 the U.S. Government in principal and interest on previous ESF, FMS, and Public Law 480 loans some $381 million. I just want to know if the administration took that into consideration in making this proposal. It would appear that if in fact the Turkish financial condition has worsened substantially, then under the program that we are proposing it is going to worsen somewhat more, because, although there are some grants proposed, the requirements for repayment are substantially more severe than the cash flow in. Mr. PERLE. That is correct. That is why I tried to make the point earlier that the concessional terms are not necessarily advanta- geous, and if one faces a near-term repayment problem then the longer repayment period associated with nonconcessional loans may in fact be preferable. But it is in recognition of Turkey's heavy obligations, not only to the United States but to other countries, that we arrive at these figures. Senator LUGAR. Senator Sarbanes. Senator SARBANES. Is the MAP available for repayment pur- poses? Mr. PERLE. No; it is not. The MAP is for new acquisitions. Senator SARBANES. So the increase in the MAP does not contrib- ute in any way to the problem that Senator Lugar has just had ref- erence to? Mr. PERLE. The increase in the MAP contributes to the modern- ization of the Turkish Armed Forces. Senator SARBANES. But not to the repayment? Mr. PERLE. That is correct. 413 Senator SARBANES. Now let me ask this question. How much in the future does that repayment figure increase in subsequent years, the $381 million figure that was just cited? Mr. PERLE. I think my colleague has the figures. Senator SARBANES. What are the Turkish repayment figures in subsequent years? Mr. Haass. Senator, based on our estimates—and these are rough, because obviously it would depend upon what type of aid programs we actually have in the future-we are estimating that in fiscal year 1986 the repayment would be just over $300 million, and by the end of the decade, if the proposed kinds of terms, the combination of MAP and other forms of grant and concessionality, are enacted, that the repayment requirements will fall to some- thing like $240 million a year. That, by the way, is one of the purposes of MAP. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Perle, I was not intending to bring the subject up, but in view of some of the statements you made it seems to me we have to do it for the sake of a clear record. You spoke in very, very positive terms--not just positive terms, which I think would have had some warrant-about the movement in Turkey toward democracy and the recognition of important human rights questions and so forth. Are you familiar with the report and the statement of the Hel- sinki Watch group which has been monitoring compliance with the human rights provisions of the Helsinki Final Act? Mr. PERLE. I am not sure, Senator. There is more than one Hel- sinki Watch Committee and they have made many reports. Senator SARBANES. Well, they have written all of the Members of the Senate expressing real concern about human rights in Turkey: “I would like to request your serious attention to the human rights violations by the Government of Turkey,” the letter begins and then makes reference to political prisoners, to torture, and prison conditions, denial of access to the International Red Cross. Are you familiar with those questions? Mr. PERLE. I am aware that from time to time there are indica- tions from a number of sources that the Turkish record on human rights is not everything one would desire it to be. I believe the im- provement, and in particular the recent improvement, in the Turk- ish record is really quite striking, and the extraordinary restora- tion of movement in a direction that I think we would agree is the right direction. Senator SARBANES. Let me just read a paragraph from here. And Mr. Chairman, I would ask that the Helsinki Watch letter be in- cluded in the record. Senator LUGAR. Without objection, it is so ordered. [The letter referred to follows:] 414 : HELSINKI WATCH, New York, N. Y., February 24, 1984. DEAR SENATOR: The Helsinki Watch is a citizens organization which monitors compliance with the human rights provisions of the Helsinki Final Act. I would like to request your serious attention to the issue of human rights violations by the Gov- ernment of Turkey as you consider U.S. foreign assistance in the coming weeks. Helsinki Watch has closely monitored human rights in Turkey following our mis- sion there in September 1983. Since that time, the Turkish people voted in the first civilian parliamentary elections since the military coup of 1980. (All major political parties, office holders and politicians from the pre-coup period were excluded from participation.) Martial law remains in place, which includes severe restrictions on political participation, press censorship, arbitrary arrests and preventive detention, and the use of military courts for violations of martial law decrees. The Helsinki Watch is particularly concerned about the following human rights issues: 1. Political prisoners. --According to figures released by the Government of Turkey in July 1983, there are 21,121 political prisoners in Turkey, though unofficial esti- mates the Helsinki Watch received during our mission there ranged from 40,000 to 100,000 political prisoners. According to the State Department Report on Human Rights Practices for 1983, “Of the total of 21,121 persons sentenced, charged, or under investigative detention 2,332 were identified by the Government as "right- ists,” 11,508 as “leftists,” 4,273 as "separatists” (mainly Kurds), and 3,108 of “uncer- tain political orientation.” The Helsinki Watch has no way of knowing how many of those currently incar- cerated are serving legitimate sentences for acts of violence and how many are being detained because of their political beliefs. Among those imprisoned because of their political views are 23 members of the Turkish Peace Association who were sentenced on November 14th, 1983. The Turkish Peace Association, like the U.S. Helsinki Watch Committee, was founded in response to the 1983 Helsinki Accords. Those receiving 5 and 8 year sentences include the president of the Turkish Medical Association, a diplomat, university professors, 3 former members of Parliament, journalists, the wife of the former mayor of Istanbul, the Dean of the University of Istanbul Political Science faculty, a medical doctor and professor of medicine, and several engineers and artists. Among those currently undergoing trial are 85 mem- bers of the Turkish Labor Confederation (DISK). 72 of the defendants face the death penalty if sentenced. 2. Torture. According to the State Department Country Reports on Human Rights Practices for 1983, "Complaints of torture, especially in cases concerning po- litical prisoners, continue to be filed. Both Amnesty International, in a report issued in April 1983, and foreign newspaper correspondents have reported numerous state- ments made in court by prisoners that they had been beaten or tortured by security officials in attempts to obtain confessions or other information." On February 15th, 1984, Amnesty International called upon the head of the Turkish armed forces to account publicly for 7 prisoners reported to have died in Diyarbakir Military Prison in January of this year. During our mission to Turkey in September 1983, Helsinki Watch representatives met with several recent victims of torture who bore marks of bruises from beatings, and described sexual abuse, electric shock, and deprivation of food, sleep, sanitation, and medical care. 3. Prison conditions.-In addition to torture and abuse of prisoners while in prison or police stations, conditions of detention are notoriously poor. Last summer, several thousand prisoners went on hunger strike to protest torture and poor prison condi- tions. In particular, they protested the denial of visiting privileges and the humiliat- ing and unnecessary practice of strip searches of prisoners before and after visits, even though the prisoners were separated from their visitors during interviews. Prisoners at Diyarbakir Military Prison have begun their second hunger strike in 6 months to protest the alleged resumption of torture in the prison and the withdraw- al of concessions granted during a previous hunger strike. 4. Denial of access to International Red Cross.—The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has repeatedly offered its services to the Government of Turkey to visit political prisoners and has been repeatedly refused. In November of 1983, the ICRC met with officials at the U.S. Department of State to request U.S. assistance in encouraging the Turkish Government to allow the ICRC to visit politi- cal prisoners. To date, the Red Cross has not received permission to visit the prisons or police stations. (This information was provided to Helsinki Watch by the ICRC on February 21, 1984.) I respectfully urge you to include a strong expresssion of Congressional concern about continuing human rights problems in Turkey in this year's foreign aid legisla- 415 tion. The Turkish Government needs to be aware that the Congress' legitimate con- cern about Turkish security does not mean that the above-described human rights violations are acceptable. With the advent of a new civilian government, albeit with limited powers, there is a possibility that martial law may be lifted and some politi- cal prisoners released. Active monitoring of human rights in Turkey and frequent representation on behalf of tortured, jailed or silenced Turkish citizens can strengthen those within the Turkish Government who wish to improve human rights conditions. I hope that such representation in the language of the foreign aid bill will be a priority during legislative mark up next week. Thank you for your consideration. Sincerely, HOLLY BURKHALTER, Washington Representative. Senator SARBANES. The Helsinki Watch has no way of knowing how many of those currently incarcerated are serving legitimate sentences for acts of violence and how many are being detained be- cause of their political beliefs. Among those imprisoned because of their political views are 23 members of the Turkish Peace Associa- tion, who were sentenced on November 14, 1983. The Turkish Peace Association, like the U.S. Helsinki Watch Committee, was founded in response to the Helsinki accords. Those receiving 5- and 8-year sentences include the president of the Turkish Medical Association, a diplomat, university professors, three former members of parliament, journalists, the wife of a former mayor of Istanbul, the dean of the University of Istanbul political science faculty, a medical doctor and professor of medi- cine, and several engineers and artists. Now, second, Amnesty International has just within the last 2 or 21/2 weeks called on the head of the Turkish Armed Forces to ac- count publicly for seven prisoners reported to have died in a mili- tary prison in eastern Turkey in January. Are you familiar with this situation? Mr. PERLE. I am not familiar with the latter situation; no. Perhaps it would be useful to say, Senator, that I have no inde- pendent capacity as I sit here now to judge the report of the Hel- sinki Watch Committee. Neither I nor the U.S. Government would for a moment condone the holding of individuals in incarceration for their political beliefs. Senator SARBANES. This exchange was only prompted by the ex- travagant language that you used to describe developments in Turkey. I think some movement in a positive direction has oc- curred, but to describe it in the extravagant terms which you did, in light of assertions of this sort and the fact that they have not fully restored democracy—they are under some sharp attacks in the Council of Europe and so forth-seemed to me an overstate- ment and I thought the record ought to reflect that. Mr. PERLE. I do not mean to overstate it. As I said, I cannot evaluate whether the Turkish Peace Association members who were referred to were guilty under Turkish law and under the norms of Western standards of human rights or not. I am simply not in a position to do that. Senator SARBANES. I am reminded of an exchange that we had at an earlier hearing in which I contrasted Secretary Weinberger's visit to Turkey-in the period of full-scale military dictatorship, with a whole range of things taking place and his comments after visiting there, with those made by the German Foreign Minister, 416 Mr. Genscher, who visited there within 2 or 3 weeks after Secre- tary Weinberger. Neither of them, of course, undercut the relationship that they perceived as being important. Mr. Genscher had certain concerns about some human rights questions and the people who were being jailed, and so forth and so on. It seems to me we need to keep those in mind. Mr. PERLE. I think we share those concerns where violations of human rights occur. If my language was extravagant, it was perhaps in recognition of the contrast between the situation one observes in Turkey today and the tribulations of that country as it went through a period of uncontrolled terrorism, in which 20 to 30 people a day were dying as a result of more than half a million individuals possessing and using firearms fairly freely, which presented an obvious and funda- mental threat to the most basic of human rights. They have managed to cope with that situation and to restore constitutional rule to the point where, much to the surprise of a lot of people, the recent elections produced a government that was not to the liking of the Turkish general staff, who it was presumed would control that election. Senator SARBANES. Some of those people in prison may some day be important people in the government, and it seems to me we ought not to forget that. There are some of us in the Congress who were very sharply crit- ical of the colonels' junta in Greece at a time when democracy was snuffed out there, and hoped for the day when it would be restored. It seems to me some of that support that came from the United States to the antijunta people stood us in good stead subsequently. Mr. PERLE. I believe that the patience of Congress in that period of Greek history was well justified, and I believe that patience in the evolution of Turkish democracy is equally well justified. Senator SARBANES. Mr. Haass, you were in the area from the 15th to the 23d of February? Mr. HAASS. Approximately those dates. Senator SARBANES. What do you have to report on that? Mr. HAASS. What in particular would you like me to report on, Senator? Senator SARBANES. Well what are the prospects? You have said that there were some prospects. Now, we have been hearing some pessimistic reports, and I see that Denktash, on the 27th of Febru- ary, said, I will go to New York to warn de Cuellar, but not to give up Varosha. Mr. HAASS. What I found in all three capitals and in the case of Nicosia on both sides of the green line was not surprising: that in principle everybody wanted to move ahead on progress toward Cyprus. Obviously, as is often the case, the devil was in the details. Everybody had very much their own idea about why more progress had not been realize to date, and everyone had their own idea about how we ought to move from here on. I think, though, there was general agreement that in the near term the most promising avenue probably would involve moving ahead on the so-called Varosha track, whereby Mr. Denktash's offer of January 2, in which he offered to return part of the city of 417 Varosha to U.N. auspices under U.N. administration, would take place. It is hoped then that that would lead to resettlement. Senator SARBANES. Well, who is talking to whom? Mr. Haass. Over the last 6 weeks or 2 months, virtually everyone has been talking to everyone, but not necessarily directly. Senator SARBANES. Is Denktash talking to de Cuellar? Mr. Haass. Mr. Denktash within the last 10 days or 2 weeks said that he would like to meet with the Secretary General. The Secre- tary General has repsonded that he would indeed like to have that meeting, and it is my understanding that the meeting could take place as soon as next week in New York. Senator SARBANES. I see. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Senator Sarbanes. And thank you, Mr. Perle and Mr. Haass, for your testimony today. You are dismissed and we will proceed now to the public panel. Mr. PERLE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. HaAss. Thank you, sir. Senator LUGAR. Our next panel will consist of: Professor Dean Lomis, chairman of the American Hellenic Institute Public Affairs Committee, Inc.; former Ambassador Parker Hart, our former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey and former Assistant Secretary of State; Mr. Peter Cardiges, president, American Hellenic Educational Pro- gressive Association; and Mr. Andrew Manatos, representing the United Hellenic American Congress and American Hellenic Alli- ance. Gentlemen, would you come to the witness table, please. [Pause.] Senator LUGAR. Gentlemen, we very much appreciate your coming here today and we appreciate your patience with this ex- tensive hearing. We look forward to your comments. You have each prepared statements, which will be made a part of the record in full. I would ask you to proceed in the order that you were intro- duced, namely Professor Lomis first, then Ambassador Hart, Mr. Cardiges, and Mr. Manatos, and to the extent that it is possible to summarize your comments, please do so. If that is not possible, please feel free to give the full argument. But at this point we will proceed, and then, after each of you has been heard, questions will come to you from the committee. Professor Lomis. STATEMENT OF PROF. DEAN C. LOMIS, CHAIRMAN, AMERICAN HELLENIC INSTITUTE PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE, INC., WASHINGTON, D.C., ACCOMPANIED BY EUGENE T. ROSSIDES, ESQ., SPECIAL COUNSEL Mr. LOMIS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the sub- committee. I appreciate the opportunity of being with you today and to present views before the subcommittee on behalf of the American Hellenic Institute Public Affairs Committee on the for- eign aid authorization legislation for fiscal year 1985 affecting 418 Turkey, Greece, and Cyprus. Accompanying me is Eugene Rossides, special counsel to our committee. The administration proposed $934 million in military and eco- nomic aid for Turkey, in terms we have already heard of, $500 mil- lion for Greece for military sales, and $3 million for aid for Cyprus. We oppose as contrary to the best interests of the United States the amounts and type of aid for Turkey and the lack of conditions precedent to that aid, particularly the removal of all Turkish occu- pation troops and colonists from Cyprus. We oppose grant and concessional aid to Turkey. Whatever value Turkey is to the United States and Western in- terests is minimized as long as the Cyprus problem remains unset- tled: 1984 marks the 10th year of Turkey's invasion and occupation of northern Cyprus. Fundamental to the settlement of the Cyprus problem is the re- moval of all Turkish occupational troops, estimated at over 25,000, and colonists from Cyprus. The continued failure to put these con- ditions precedent on aid to Turkey_has sent the wrong signals to Turkey and made Turkey and the Turkish Cypriots more intransi- gent. The illegal unilateral declaration of independence by the Turkish Cypriots on November 15, 1983, just hours after President Reagan signed the 1984 foreign aid bill into law, and Turkey's immediate recognition of that illegal act are just the latest examples of Tur- key's and the Turkish Cypriots' disdain of the Congress and lack of good faith in negotiating a settlement of the Cyprus problem in ac- cordance with normally accepted democratic principles. As we interpret the 1978 Foreign Assistance Act, aid should cease because of the Turkish Cypriot and Turkish actions. These events make it clear that conditions precedent to aid to Turkey must be based on objective, verifiable criteria. We support fully the Feighan bill, H.R. 4505, and urge enactment of a similar bill in the U.S. Senate, and that it be strengthened to include conditions on economic aid as well as military aid to Turkey, and the removal of all Turkish colonists as well as all Turkish occupation forces, esti- mated at over 25,000 troops. We urge full incorporation of these provisions as an amendment to the foreign aid amendment of 1985. We note the 7-to-10 ratio debates of recent years. Any true 7-to- 10 ratio should provide that the terms be identical and that eco- nomic aid be part of that equation. We believe it is preferable that aid to Turkey and Greece be on at least a 1-to-1 basis, including military and economic. To achieve this ratio, we call for the reduction of the administration's $930 million proposal to $500 million and that the terms be identical. In view of our budget deficit, we call for a further reduction of $350 million in aid to Turkey to a maximum of $150 million, as we do not believe Turkey is of much significant value strategically and, based on her historical record, Turkey is of doubtful reliabil- ity. Mr. Chairman, the policy of this and previous administrations re- garding aid to Turkey has not worked and has cost the American taxpayer billions of dollars and added substantially to our annual debt service costs. We urge all those who have supported that policy to review their previous position and support meaningful 419 and objective conditions precedent on aid to Turkey as in the best interests of our Nation. Mr. Richard Perle, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Interna- tional Security Affairs, has stated to a Turkish newspaper that Congress will not impose any meaningful conditions on Turkey. Prove him wrong, gentlemen, for his comments are counterproduc- tive. We believe that a full reevaluation of United States-Turkey rela- tions is long overdue. Turkey's flagrant violation of the rule of law, human rights, international treaties, bilateral agreements, and the United Nations Charter is a matter of record. Yet, the executive branch's policy of attempting to appease Turkey through large amounts of military and economic aid has failed. The more Turkey demands, the more we give. The more we give, the more Turkey demands. The Turkish Government has repeatedly declared that it will not abide by any decision enacted by Congress. Such tactics by Turkey against American good will and tolerance for nearly a decade now must be treated in the same manner as the American reply to the XYZ similar blackmail affair of nearly two centuries ago, but in up-to-date figures. Billions for defense, but not a cent for tribute. History has proved that we cannot buy friendship. In the case of Turkey, we have invested billions of dollars, every penny of it as shaky as the Turkish lira on the international market. The past three administrations, including the present, have re- peatedly referred to Turkey as "our faithful ally.” It is high time that we lay this myth-and a myth it is—to rest. Turkey's long history of oppression against Armenians, Greeks, Jews, Kurds, Turks themselves, and now Cypriots is well docu- mented in the annals of history. I have documented for your review five pre-World War II heinous international crimes and abrogated treaties by Turkey and another 20 since 1973. Due to the limitation of time, I leave this to your own reading. However, I wish to say a few words about Cyprus, a country under Turkish occupation for nearly a decade now, a country which has provided unlimited and unrestricted access to the United States in our Middle East interests. During the terrorist attack against our marines in Beirut, it was Cyprus and only Cyprus that opened its airfields and its hospitals, although the latter were not used, to assist in the evacuation of the dead, the dying, and the wounded from the carnage of that unfortunate city. Cyprus continues to this day to offer unrestricted use of its free territory to the United States for the evacuation of Americans and other nationals from the ruins of Beirut. Yet, the Turkish daily Cumhuriyet in its February 12, 1984, issue quotes Rauf Denktash criticizing that the Greek Cypriots were openly cooperating with the United States by opening their ports to U.S. ships and their airport to U.S. planes. He alleged that the Greek Cypriots were providing fuel and logistic facilities to the United States. He said: "The Americans use the Greek Cypriot sector as one uses a base.” He added: "Our suspicion is that the Greek Cypriots might have concluded secret agreements to provide many facilities to the United States and others in return for their support on the Cyprus problem." 420 President Reagan's January 24, 1984, bimonthly report on Cyprus should be declared null and void. Rather, President Reagan should be instructed to practice the rule of law in accordance with his January 23, 1984, state of the Union address: “Responsible members of the world community do not threaten nor invade their neighbors, and they restrain their allies." The policies of the past three administrations, the present includ- ed, disregarding the rule of law and our policy against aggression have resulted in a weakened U.S. security posture in the eastern Mediterranean. The Turkish occupation of Cyprus, now in its 10th year, achieved with U.S.-furnished aid, has exacerbated historic an- tagonisms between Turkey and Greece and alienated Greece from her longstanding traditional friendship with the United States. We can no longer afford to waste billions of American taxpayers' dol- lars without commitments to collective security and to the rule of law. Accordingly, the Congress of the United States, the conscience and the voice of our Nation, must enact and fully support legisla- tion which calls that no assistance be provided, no credits be ex- tended, and no guarantees be issued to Turkey under the Arms Export Control Act, until: One, the Government of Turkey has withdrawn its recognition of the so-called Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus; Two, the Government of Turkey has taken all necessary steps to reverse the illegal declaration of an independent state in Northern Cyprus; Three, the negotiations under United Nations auspices for resolv- ing the Cyprus conflict have resumed and significant progress has been made in settling that conflict based on internationally recog- nized democratic principles of majority rule and full minority rights; And four, all Turkish military forces in excess of those permitted by the 1959 Treaty of Alliance are withdrawn from Cyprus. In addition, suspension of economic aid must be added to suspen- sion of military aid until Turkey complies with the rule of law. Before closing, I would like to refute the testimony provided by Mr. Haass regarding the action of Turks in the shooting down of the Korean airliner. According to the Washington Post of Septem- ber 13, 1983, the Turks responded by saying: "We are tied by the Montreaux Convention, by bilateral agreements with the Soviet Union that prevent our participation in retaliation against the su- perpower.” Gentlemen, the eyes of the world are upon the United States. Let us exercise a moral foreign policy expected of America, and Cyprus is a good place to begin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and members of the subcommittee. [Professor Lomis' prepared statement follows:) PREPARED STATEMENT OF PROF. DEAN C. LOMIS Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee, I appreciate the opportunity to appear before the Subcommittee on behalf of the American Hellenic Institute Public Affairs Committee, Inc., and present views on the foreign aid authorization legisla- tion for fiscal year 1985 affecting Turkey, Greece and Cyprus. Accompanying me is Eugene T. Rossides, Esq., Special Counsel to our Committee. 421 The Administration proposed $934 million in military and economic aid for Turkey ($759 million military composed of $230 million MAP military grant, $250 million FMS military sales with concessionary terms, $275 million FMS military sales with conventional terms, $4 million military training, and $175 million ESF economic grants and loans); and for Greece, $500 million FMS military sales with conventional terms and $1.7 million military training; and $3 million for Cyprus. We oppose as contrary to the interests of the United States the amounts and type of aid for Turkey and the lack of conditions precedent to the aid, particularly the removal of all Turkish occupation troops and colonists from Cyprus. We oppose grant and concessional aid to Turkey. Whatever value Turkey is to the United States and Western interests is mini- mized as long as the Cyprus problem remains unsettled. 1984 marks the tenth year of Turkey's invasion and occupation of northern Cyprus. Fundamental to the settle- ment of the Cyprus problem is the removal of all Turkish occupation troops, esti- mated at over 25,000 and colonists from Cyprus. The continued failure to put these conditions precedent on aid to Turkey has sent the wrong signals to Turkey and made Turkey and the Turkish Cypriots more intransigent. The illegal unilateral declaration of independence by the Turkish Cypriots on No- vember 15, 1983, just hours after President Reagan signed the 1984 foreign aid bill into law, and Turkey's immediate recognition of that illegal act, are just the latest examples of Turkey's and the Turkish Cypriots' disdain of the Congress and lack of good faith in negotiating a settlement of the Cyprus problem in accordance with normally accepted democratic principles. As we interpret the 1978 Foreign Assistance Act, aid should cease because of the Turkish Cypriot and Turkish actions. Unfortunately, on the recommendation of the State and Defense Departments, President Reagan certified progress in his January 24, 1984, report, thus allowing aid to continue to Turkey despite the illegal actions of the Turkish Cypriots. These events make it clear that conditions precedent to aid to Turkey must be based on objective, verifiable criteria. We support fully the Feighan bill H.R. 4505 and urge enactment of a similar bill in the U.S. Senate and that it be strengthened to include conditions on economic aid as well as military aid to Turkey, and the re- moval of all Turkish colonists as well as all Turkish occupation forces, estimated at over 25,000 troops. We urge full incorporation of these provisions as an amendment to the foreign aid bill of 1985. We note the 7 to 10 ratio debates of recent years. Any true 7 to 10 ratio should provide that the terms be identical and that economic aid be part of the equation. We believe it is preferable that aid to Turkey and Greece be on at least a one to one basis including military and economic. To achieve this ratio we call for the re- duction of the Administration's $930 million proposal to $500 million and that the terms be identical. In view of our budget deficit, we call for a further reduction of $350 million in aid to Turkey to a maximum of $150 million as we do not believe Turkey is of signifi- cant value strategically and, based on the historical record, Turkey is of doubtful reliability. Mr. Chairman, the policy of this and previous Administrations regarding aid to Turkey has not worked and has cost the American taxpayer billions of dollars and added substantially to our annual debt service costs. We urge all those who have supported that policy review their previous position and support meaningful and ob- jective conditions precedent on aid to Turkey as in the best interest of our Nation. Mr. Richard Perle, Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Af- fairs, has stated to a Turkish newspaper that Congress will not impose any mean- ingful conditions on Turkey. Prove him wrong! His comments are counterproduc- We believe that a full reevaluation of United States-Turkey relations is long over- due. Turkey's flagrant violation of “the rule of law,” human rights, international treaties, bilateral agreements, and the United Nations Charter is a matter of record. Yet, the Executive Branch's policy of attempting to appease Turkey through large amounts of military and economic aid has failed. The more Turkey demands, the more we give; the more we give, the more Turkey demands. The “sick man of Europe” has become the “extortionist of the Middle East.” The Turkish government has repeatedly declared that it will not abide by any de- cision enacted by Congress. Such tactics by Turkey against American goodwill and tolerance for nearly a decade now must be treated in the same manner as the American reply to the XYZ similar blackmail affair of nearly two centuries ago, but in up-to-date figures: "Billions for defense but not a cent for tribute.” tive. 422 History has proved that we cannot buy friendship. In the case of Turkey we have invested billions of dollars, every penny of it as shaky as the Turkish lira on the international market. The past three Administrations, including the present, have repeatedly referred to Turkey as "our faithful ally.” It is high time that we lay this myth-and a myth it is—to rest. Turkey's long history of oppression against Armenians, Greeks, Jews, Kurds, Turks themselves, and now Cypriots is well documented in the annals of history. Turkey is guilty of having committed the first heinous international crime in this century, the first “holocaust,” with their genocidal annihilation of nearly 2,000,000 Armenians. When in 1936, at the beginning of Hitler's "solution to the Jewish prob- lem," he was asked what would the world say about the extermination of Jews, Hit- ler's reply was: “What did the world say when the Turks exterminated Armenians!” During World War I, Turkey joined and fought with Central Powers against the Allies and, therefore, against the United States. Hours before the German attack on Greece in World War II, Turkey broke a de- fensive alliance with Greece, declaring neutrality, leaving Greece to fight alone. This was a repeat performance by Turkey to its earlier abrogation of a similar treaty with France. Greece's very significant role as an important ally is clearly de- scribed in "Background Notes," Greece, Department of State Publication 8198. In 1942, the United States initiated a "lend-lease" program to Turkey which re- mained in effect for the duration of the war. As it is reported in the Twenty-Third Report to Congress on Lend-Lease Operations, Turkey received $27 million. At the same time, however, Turkey provided Nazi Germany with abundant supplies of chromium, the important alloy needed to make steel to produce bombs, thus pro- longing the war, bringing death to millions of people and to thousands of American soldiers. It was not until 1944 under direct American and British pressure "to stop the country's entire export of chrome and other materials to Germany" that Turkey finally complied. I submit to you now Turkey's modern track record toward the United States which shows no improvement: 1. In 1973, during the Middle East war, Turkey permitted the Soviets to overfly her territory and permitted overland convoys to supply the Arab countries at war against Israel whose security the United States had vowed to support. Turkey re- fused the U.S. overflight rights. 2. In like manner, Turkey permitted Soviet overflights to support Ethiopian insur- gents, who eventually took over that country and established a pro-Soviet regime. 3. In July and August of 1974, against the United States-Turkish bilateral agree- ment of July 1, 1947, the London-Zurich Agreement of 1959, the Foreign Military Assistance Act of 1961, the Foreign Military Sales Act of 1961, the United Nations Charter, international laws and treaties, Turkey illegally used American-supplied arms and equipment to invade and conquer 40 percent of the independent island- nation of Cyprus. Since then, Turkey has disregarded the "rule of law” by refusing to adhere to all these, and to the subsequent United Nations resolutions repeatedly calling for the removal of Turkish troops from the island in respect to the country's independence, territorial integrity, and international recognition. In the process of that invasion, the Turks moved into and took over the NATO military base in Adana, Turkey, from where they staged their air attacks on Cyprus and refueling and re-arming of their-aircraft for follow-up attacks. 4. As it is documented by then-Prime Minister Sir Harold Wilson, in his 1979 book: "Final Term, the Labour Government 1974-1976," on the evening of July 24, 1974, 2 days after a cease-fire was arranged to provide for representatives of Britain, Greece and Turkey to meet in Geneva to repair the damage, the Turks informed the British that they were about to break the cease-fire by bombing the Nicosia airport, manned by United Nations Forces. A strong protest from the British, first resisted by then-Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit which would have caused the British to "not hesitate to order our fighters to shoot down his aircraft," prevented what Sir Wilson considered, "the nearest that Britain came to war with another nation since 1945." Henry Kissinger's repeated failure to take part in the Geneva negotiations was harshly criticized by Sir Wilson as: “Once again the intervention of the United States was missed.” 5. During the early years of the Carter Administration, when a SALT treaty seemed within reach, Turkey refused to agree to permit American use of Turkish territory for verification of Soviet conduct, unless, as Turkey bluntly told us, "the Soviets did not object.” So much, therefore, for Turkish loyalty. 6. In 1978, contrary to the Montreaux Convention of 1936, Turkey permitted the Soviet aircraft carrier KIEV to sail through the Dardanelles and into the Mediterra- 423 nean Sea. The Montreaux Convention excludes "aircraft carriers from transitting the straits, though such ships may enter at the invitation of Turkey." How accom- modating America's “faithful ally Turkey” is to our chief adversary, the Soviet Union! 7. In 1980, Turkey refused to permit the United States to use the NATO base at Diyabarkir in eastern Turkey for about 450 mile helicopter flights to Tehran to free the American hostages, compelling our government to attempt a suicidal mission from over 900 miles away. 8. The January 20, 1981, New York Times wrote that the Turks were not in favor of “the United States using Turkish bases for conflicts not affecting Turkey.” This was substantiated two years later when in the Spring, 1983 issue of Foreign Policy magazine Harry Shaw pointed out that Turkey is unlikely to become involved, or allow U.S. forces to use Turkish territory in a Middle East war that does not threat- en her territory directly. This was further substantiated by Ali Karaosmanoglu of the Turkish Foriegn Policy Institute in Ankara in his article, “Turkey's Security in the Middle East," in the Fall, 1983 issue of Foreign Affairs magazine. On page 168, he writes, on several occasions Turkish officials, have declared that Turkey has no intention of taking part in the RDF” (Rapid Deployment Force). He adds em- phatically that: “Turkey will make no formal strategic commitments outside the NATO framework." 9. During the time of the holding of the American hostages in Tehran, the Wash- ington Post reported that Turkey was “attempting to maintain a rapport with America's (at that time) most bitter enemy, the revolutionary theocracy of Ayatolla Rudollah Khomeini.” 10. It was during that same period that Morton Kondracke wrote in the New Re- public, “There is no one to give a Turkish defense, if there is one. Given their record, it is very hard to love the Turks." 11. Recently, the Turks refused an American request to install antennas in Turkey for eleven transmitters whose broadcasts would have been beamed primarily to the Soviet Union and to the East European countries. As reported in the July 22, 1983, issue of Newsweek, the initiative by the U.S. State Department sought to im- prove reception of programs broadcast by Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty, and the Voice of America, now constantly jammed by the Soviet Union. With the installa- tion of these antennas, the Soviet jamming activities would have been greatly over- come. So much, therefore, for Turkish efforts for collective security. 12. On June 23, 1978, Turkey signed pacts of “non-aggression and expanded trade” with the Soviet Union in exchange for $1.6 billion for the next year, thereby threatening to change the East-West balance of power in the Middle East, unless the United States ended its arms ban on Turkey,' as reported in the 1981 Readers Digest Almanac. 13. Turkish disrespect for human rights is a sore spot in the eyes of the free world and an embarrassment to the United States. Recently, an organization of Turkish workers in Germany rejected efforts to be repatriated back to Turkey on the grounds that they would face "lack of human rights and security in Turkey." Yet, our Administration believes that Turkey will return to real democracy. 14. During the Session on Human Rights at the State Department Foreign Policy Conference on April 6 and 7, 1983, the officer lecturing from "background notes stated, “What do we do with Turkey to return that government to democractic rule, given the fact that Turkey's bad history on human rights is well known?” Turkey's abominable human rights record, even against her own minorities of Greeks, Arme- nians, Kurds, Jews, and political adversaries is well documented and condemned in the most recent Amnesty International Report, 1982 and clearly documented with calls of concern in the October 1982 United States Congress Staff Report on the HUMAN RIGHTS SITUATION IN TURKEY 15. On May 16, 1983, the Turks permitted the Soviet aircraft carier NOVORO- SIISK to sail through the Dardanelles and into the Mediterranean Sea. This was the second time in five years that the Turks breached the Montreaux Convention which forbids such penetration of the Straits. The presence of this carrier in the Mediter- ranean, with its 25 fighter-bomber aircraft and its 16 helicopters, and with speed of 30 knots, poses a formidable threat to the U.S. Mediterranean Sixth Fleet. 16. Contrary to international law, Turkey has been colonizing northern Cyprus with colonists from the Turkish mainland, taking away properties belonging to Greek Cypriots, thus creating what Christopher Hitchens, Washington correspond- ent of The Nation has so-correctly termed: "an unprecedented development in the 424 last quarter of the 20th Century, the creation of a colony by a country” which calls itself “European. 17. Turkey is the fifth largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid since the end of World War II, during which she remained a pro-Nazi neutral. Currently Turkey is the third largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid. Yet Turkey, which has not fought a war in over 60 years, is constantly “broke” and begging and getting. Our country is now called upon to give Turkey $1 billion in aid per year for the next ten years. Why should the American taxpayers be burdened for Turkey's irresponsible fiscal poli- cies, compounded further by her illegal occupation of 40 percent of Cyprus? The "sick man of Europe” is now the "beggar of the Middle East.' 18. Turkey is receiving American foreign aid as a NATO Member for defensive purposes to guard its common border with the Soviet Union. Yet, the Turks have created the "Aegean Army" of some 130,000 troops, with landing craft, opposite the Greek Islands on the Aegean Sea. This has forced the Greeks to place a substantial number of their forces on their islands. In addition, there are between 25,000 and 30,000 Turkish troops stationed as occupying forces in Cyprus against “the rule of law.” Why, then, should the United States be spending over $1.5 billion to Greece and Turkey for nearly 200,000 troops facing each other or occupying another coun- try and not be stationed on the borders which they are financed to guard? 19. Also, Turkey, that "faithful ally" of ours, is the largest recipient of Soviet aid outside the Soviet bloc, having accepted from the Soviet in the past twenty years about $4 billion-a sum larger than such countries as Syria, Iraq, Egypt, and India. Where do Turkey's commitments lie? How can our nation place any credibility upon Turkish promises? 20. Last (but only due to time limitation) a few words about Cyprus, the country under Turkish occupation for nearly a decade now, the country which has provided unlimited and unrestricted access to the United States in our Middle East interests. During the recent terrorist attack against our marines in Beirut it was Cyprus, and only Cyprus, that opened its airfields--and its hospitals, although the latter were not used-to assist in the evacuation of the dead, the dying and the wounded from the carnage of that unfortunate city. Cyprus continues to this day to offer unre- stricted used of this free territory to the United States for the evacuation of Ameri- can and other nationals from the ruins of Beirut. Yet, the Turkish daily Cumhur- iyet, in its February 12, 1984, issue quotes Rauf Denktash that the Greek Cypriots were openly cooperating with the United States by opening their ports to U.S. ships and their airport to U.S. planes. He alleged that the Greek Cypriots were providing fuel and logistic facilities to the United States. He said: “The Americans use the Greek Cypriot sector as one uses a base.” Denktash added: "Our suspicion is that the Greek Cypriots might have concluded secret agreements to provide any facilities to the United States and others in return for their support on the Cyprus problem.” Asked if he were referring to the U.S. press reports last year about the United States-Cyprus Government agreement on use of the Cyprus ports for troop move- ment to Lebanon, Denktash replied, that there was more to the actual agreement than those reports. President Reagan's January 24, 1984, bimonthly report on Cyprus should be de- clared null and void. In accordance with Public Law 95-384 enacted under pressure from the Carter Administration, the President is to report “progress” in his bi- monthly reports. The unilateral declaration of independence by the Turkish Cypri- ots and the immediate acceptance of that globally-declared illegal act which has made mockery of our policies by being proclaimed only hours after President Reagan signed the nearly $1 billion aid to Turkey, regresses the situation on Cyprus and, if anything, under the law, should automatically reinstate the embargo on Turkey, i.e. no aid until Turkey is in compliance with our laws and that there has been substantial progress towards a Cyprus settlement. President Reagan should be instructed to practice “the rule of law” in accordance with his January 23, 1984, State of the Union Address: “Responsible members of the world community do not threaten or invade their neighbors and they restrain their allies.” The policies of the past three administrations, the present included, disregarding the rule of law and our policy against aggression, have resulted in a weakened U.S. security posture in the Eastern Mediterranean. The Turkish occupation of Cyprus now in its tenth year, achieved with U.S. furnished aid, has exacerbated history an- tagonisms between Turkey and Greece, and alienated Greece from her long-standing traditional friendship with the United States. We can no longer afford to waste bil- lions of American taxpayers' dollars without commitments to collective security and to the rule of law. Accordingly, the Congress of the United States, the conscience and the voice of our nation, must enact and fully support legislation which calls that no assistance be provided, no credits be extended, and no guarantees be issued 425 to Turkey under the Arms Export Control Act until: (1) the Government of Turkey has withdrawn its recognition of the so-called “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus”; (2) the Government of Turkey has taken all necessary steps to reverse the illegal declaration of an independent state in northern Cyprus; (3) the negotiations under United Nations auspices for resolving the Cyprus conflict have resumed, and significant progress has been made in settling that conflict based on internationally recognized democratic principles of majority rule with full minority rights; and, (4) all Turkish military forces in excess of those permitted by the 1959 Treaty of Alli- ance, are withdrawn from Cyprus. In addition, suspension of economic aid must be added to suspension of military aid until Turkey complies with “the rule of law.” The United States should call on the NATO Alliance to "guarantee" the borders of all its members from any force stemming from outside or within the Alliance. In this manner, the Turkish "fear"-unwarranted as it is—that "Cyprus is a dagger to the side of Turkey,” expressed by the recently installed new Prime Minister of Turkey, will be eliminated. For the guarantee to be effective, however, the Turks will have to evacuate their forces from Cyprus and return that country to its legal and internationally-recognized elected government. The eyes of the world are upon the United States. Let us exercise a moral foreign policy expected of America, and Cyprus is a good place to begin. Thank you Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Professor Lomis, for your statement and likewise for your summary of the remarks. As I mentioned earlier, all of them will be made a part of our record. The Chair would like to recognize now Ambassador Parker Hart, retired, former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey. Ambassador Hart. STATEMENT OF HON. PARKER HART, FORMER U.S. AMBASSADOR TO TURKEY, FORMER ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR THE NEAR EAST AND SOUTH ASIA Ambassador Hart. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the courtesy of this subcommittee in having me testify before it again. My interest in appearing here today stems from many years in the U.S. Foreign Service. I do not come here representing anybody. I have specialized in the Middle East and in working on U.S. stra- tegic problems in that area over many years. This experience cul- minated in my posting as Ambassador to Turkey in 1965 to 1968 and my brief period as Assistant Secretary of State for Near East and South Asia from 1968 to 1969. Since my retirement from Government in 1969 and my close af- filiation with our National Defense University at Fort McNair, I have followed with great concern the problems of the southeast wing of NATO. These have been deeply affected by episodic ten- sions between our allies Greece and Turkey over Cyprus and over bilateral issues in the Aegean seabed and in the air above it. Our security problems were deeply aggravated by the action of our Congress in 1975 when it placed an embargo on arms to Turkey, against the publicly expressed judgment of President Ford. That action dealt a severe blow to the capability of Turkey to per- form its role designated by the Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. That role is crucial to the defense of NATO's southeast region. To me and to many other close observers of the region, that was a most irresponsible action, and I come here today to urge that it not be repeated. I further urge that the administration's request for military assistance to Turkey not be cut or diluted. In fact, I strongly recommend that, as in the case of Egypt and Israel, the military aid be entirely grant. Unlike these two coun- 34-045 0-84. 28 426 tries, Turkey has a direct exposure to the Warsaw Pact of well over 1,000 miles of land and closed-sea frontier. Turkey's table of organization and equipment is far below the degree of modernization and readiness which is absolutely essential to deter and to tie up in time of crisis the massive superiority of ground, air and sea forces which face NATO's flank from the Čau- casus, the Black Sea, and Bulgaria. When I was Ambassador to Ankara, Bulgaria alone had as many standing divisions as Turkey, roughly 13 with considerable mecha- nization and air cover. The U.S.S.R. had several times that strength in the Caucasus, not to mention the Ukraine. The Warsaw Pact is estimated to have 75 divisions, with huge air and sea power, which could be directed at once against Turkey and the straits from many angles. Even with the help of a NATO quick reaction force from Europe, it has been clear that Turkey would at once be engaged in a desperate struggle by its 740,000-man stand- ing army, second largest in NATO, to keep its footing and to close the straits. Turkey's mission is to bottle up the enemy so as to protect NATO-South from a massive Soviet submarine and missile-bearing surface presence in the eastern and central Mediterranean. It still relies on the M-47 and M-48 tank of Korean war vintage. Its F-5 aircraft, delivered while I was there in 1966, are obsolescent and must be replaced by the F-16, already delivered by us to Egypt and Israel. It will be co-produced in Turkey, but deliveries for use by the Turkish Air Force will not occur before 1987. Turkey's pilots are excellent, as is the quality of its service per- sonnel generally, Turkey's resources, however, are stretched very thin. Its GNP, while improving dramatically since my service time in Ankara, is still the lowest in NATO; yet the 5.8 percent of GNP it spends on defense is the highest in the alliance. Even that 5.8 percent does not represent the full cost, as Turkish soldiers get pocket money only. Their families must send funds. You have heard that our Government estimates that it would cost $60,000 to outfit and place one American soldier in Turkey. It costs the Turks $9,000. I need not emphasize to this body what it would do to NATO's central front if the Warsaw Pact, already preponderant on the ground and in the air, were able to polish off quickly Turkey's de- fense capability. There is a converse to all of this. The embargo of 1975 did abso- lutely nothing to solve the Cyprus problem, but it did lasting damage to NATO interests and also to the foundation of trust which underpins United States-Turkish relations. The Turkish Government of the day, an elected one, had to react and it shut down our listening posts directed toward the U.S.S.R. They were reopened after the embargo was repealed, just in time for us to witness the permanent loss of those we had built and used in Iran. A renewed closure of the posts in Turkey is not something we and NATO can afford. The Turkish-American relationship cannot endure a third body blow after the Lyndon Johnson letter on Cyprus of 1964 and the embargo of 1975. Mr. Chairman, a fair and impartial solution to the Cyprus prob- lem is very much in our interest, and it will not be easy to attain, 427 as the tortured history of intercommunal talks, begun in 1968, clearly shows. I have followed this quarrel for 26 years. Neither side has demonstrated much virtue or statesmanship. Both have simply shown that they can no longer live comingled, as they did for 82 years under British rule and earlier for 400 years under the Ottoman Empire. A settlement would make unnecessary any large Turkish military presence on the island, but it would not restore Greek Cypriot rule over Turks. But, Mr. Chairman, Cyprus.of itself by no stretch of the imagina- tion can compare with Turkey or Greece as a NATO, and therefore a United States, security imperative. Cyprus is at best a nonalined state with a population about the size of that of the District of Co- lumbia. Its Nicosia government is dependent on an alliance with AKEL, the strongest Moscow-dominated party in the eastern Mediterrane- an. The policy of AKEL is to remove the British sovereignty bases and to attack any semblance of military use of Cyprus soil by the United States. Not a day goes by without an AKEL press attack on the United States and NATO and without praise for the U.S.S.R. Mr. Chairman, we cannot afford to mortgage NATO again to this very parochial quarrel. It is likely to go on for quite a while, at least until we leave it alone and let Peres de Cuellar handle it. Punishing Turkey will not advance a Cyprus settlement one iota. Demanding that Turkey withdraw its troops before protection of the security and of the right to group equality of the Turk Cypriot community is assured is to ask the impossible. No Turkish Govern- ment is going to abandon that community to a repeat of the treat- ment it suffered from EOKA extremists from the period 1963 to 1974. Whether we find it logical or not, Turkish Cypriots will not accept minority status under Greek Cypriot rule. Any federation or confederation agreed upon will have to provide full local autonomy and the capacity for local defense. Cooperation between Turkey and Greece in NATO is essential to United States security. There is no American or Western European substitute for this on-the-ground manpower, equipment and train- ing. Together they share guardianship of the straits and its ap- proaches. For either to be seriously weakened is to impose an im- possible defense burden on the other and, as has been pointed out by Mr. Averoff, former Defense Minister of Greece, Turkey is es- sential to the security of Europe, including that of Greece. I might add that Turkey is also the principal rock of stability in a very uncertain Middle East and since its return to elected gov- ernment it sets an example favorable to our interests in the region as a whole. It is the only parliamentary government functioning successfully in the Islamic world. In my view, its diplomacy in the Middle East has been far more sophisticated and effective than our own in recent years. I therefore appeal to the subcommittee to place the higher United States and NATO interests in first priority as it reviews the military aid program proposed by our administration for Turkey and for Greece, and not to bind ourselves by ratios such as 10 to 7, by unacceptable conditions, or by outright cuts responsive to the wishes of certain domestic pressure groups in this country. 428 [Ambassador Hart's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF AMBASSADOR PARKER T. HART Mr. Chairman, my interest in appearing here today stems from many years in the U.S. Foreign Service, specializing in the Middle East and in working on U.S. strate- gic problems of that area. This experience culminated in my posting as Ambassador to Turkey, 1965-68, and my brief period as Assistant Secretary of State, 1968–69. Since my retirement from Government in 1969 and my close affiliation with our Na- tional Defense University at Ft. McNair, I have followed with great concern the problems of the Southeast Wing of NATO. These have been deeply affected by epi- sodic tensions between our allies Greece and Turkey over Cyprus and over bilateral issues in the Aegean seabed and in the air above it. Our security problems were deeply aggravated by the action of our Congress in 1975 when it placed an embargo on arms to Turkey against the publicly expressed judgment of President Ford. That action dealt a severe blow to the capability of Turkey to perform its role designated by the Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. That role is crucial to the defense of NATO's Southeast region. To me and to many other close observers of the region that was a most irresponsible action and I come here today to urge that it not be repeated. I further urge that the Administration's request for military assistance to Turkey not be cut or diluted. In fact, I strongly recommend that, as in the case of Egypt and Israel, the military aid be entirely grant. Unlike those two countries, Turkey has a direct exposure to the Warsaw Pact of well over 1,000 miles of land and closed-sea frontier. Turkey's table of organization and equipment is far below the degree of modern- ization and readiness which is absolutely essential to deter--and to tie up in time of crisis—the massive superiority of ground, air and sea forces which face NATO's flank from the Caucasus, the Black Sea and Bulgaria. When I was Ambassador in Ankara, Bulgaria alone had as many standing divi- sions as Turkey, roughly 13, with considerable mechanization and air cover. The U.S.S.R. had several times that strength in the Caucasus, not to mention the Ukraine. The Warsaw Pact is estimated to have 75 divisions with huge air and sea powers which could be directed at once against Turkey and the Straits from many angles. Even with the help of a NATO quick reaction force from Europe it has been clear that Turkey would at once be engaged in a desperate struggle by its 740,000- man standing army, second largest in NATO, to keep its footing and to close the Straits. Turkey's mission is to bottle up the enemy so as to protect NATO-South from a massive Soviet submarine and missile-bearing surface presence in the Eastern and Central Mediterranean. It still relies on the M-47. and M-48 tank of Korean war. vintage. Its F-5 aircraft, delivered while I was there in 1966, are obsolescent and must be replaced by the F-16, already delivered by us to Egypt and Israel. It will be co-produced in Turkey, but deliveries for use by the Turkish Air Force will not occur before 1987. Turkey's pilots are excellent as is the quality of its service per- sonnel generally. Turkey's resources are stretched very thin, however. Its GNP, while improving dramatically since my service time in Ankara, is still the lowest in NATO; yet the 5.8 percent of GNP it spends on defense is the highest in the alli- ance. Even that 5.8 percent does not represent the full cost, as Turkish soldiers get pocket-money only. Their families must send funds. You have heard that our Gov- ernment estimates it would cost $60,000 to outfit and place one American soldier in Turkey. It costs the Turks $9,000. I need not emphasize to this body what it would do to NATO's Central Front if the Warsaw Pact, already preponderant on the ground and in the air, were able to polish off quickly Turkey's defense capacity. There is a converse side to all of this. The embargo of 1975 did absolutely nothing to solve the Cyprus question, but it did lasting damage to NATO interests and also to the foundation of trust which underpins United States-Turkish relations. The Turkish Government of the day, an elected one, has to react and it shut down our listening posts directed toward the U.S.S.R. They were reopened after the embargo was repealed just in time for us to witness the permanent loss of those we had built and used in Iran. A renewed closure of the posts in Turkey is not something we and NAPO can afford. The Turkish-American relationship cannot endure a third body- blow after the Lyndon Johnson letter on Cyprus of 1964 and the embargo of 1975. Mr. Chairman, a fair and impartial solution to the Cyprus problem is very much in our interest and will not be easy to attain, as the tortured history of intercom- munal talks, begun in 1968, clearly shows. I have followed this quarrel for 26 years. Neither side has demonstrated much virtue or statesmanship. Both have simply 429 shown that they can no longer live co-mingled, as they did for 82 years under Brit- ish rule and earlier for 400 years under the Ottoman Empire. A settlement would make unnecessary any large Turkish military presence on the Island, but it would not restore Greek-Cypriot rule over Turks. But, Mr. Chairman, Cyprus of itself by no stretch of imagination can compare with Turkey or Greece as a NATO and therefore a U.S. security imperative. Cyprus is at best a non-aligned state with a population about the size of that of the District of Columbia. Its Nicosia government is dependent on an alliance with AKEL, the strongest Moscow-dominated party in the Eastern Mediterranean. The policy of AKEL is to remove the British Sovereignty bases and to attack any semblance of military use of Cyprus soil by the United States. Not a day goes by without an AKEL press attack of the United States and NATO and without praise for the U.S.S.R. Mr. Chairman, we cannot afford to mortgage NATO again to this very parochial quarrel. It is likely to go on for quite a while, at least until we leave it alone and let Peres de Cuellar handle it. Punishing Turkey will not advance a Cyprus settlement one iota. Demanding that Turkey withdraw its troops before protection of the secu- rity and of the right of group equality of the Turk-Cypriot community is assured, is to ask the impossible. No Turkish Government is going to abandon that community to a repeat of the treatment it suffered from EOKA extremists of the period 1963 to 1974. Whether we find it logical or not, Turk-Cypriots will not accept minority status under Greek-Cypriot rule. Any federation or confederation agreed upon will have to provide full local autonomy and the capacity for local defense. Cooperation between Turkey and Greece in NATO is essential to U.S. security. There is no American or Western European substitute for this on-the-ground man- power, equipment and training. Together they share guardianship of the Straits and its approaches. For either to be seriously weakened is to impose an impossible de- fense burden on the other; and, as has been pointed out by Averoff, former Defense Minister of Greece, Turkey is essential to the security of Europe, including that of Greece. I may add that Turkey is also the principal rock of stability in a very uncer- tain Middle East and since its return to elected government, it sets an example fa- vorable to our interests in that region as a whole. It is the only parliamentary gov- ernment functioning successfully in the Islamic world. In my view, its diplomacy in the Middle East has been far more sophisticated and effective than our own in recent years. I therefore appeal to this Subcommittee to place the higher United States and NATO interests in first priority as it reviews the military aid program proposed by our Administration for Turkey and for Greece and not bind ourselves by ratios such as 10-7, by inacceptable conditions or by outright cuts responsive to the wishes of certain domestic pressure-groups in this country. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Ambassador Hart. The Chair will next recognize Mr. Peter Cardiges, president, American Hellenic Educational Progressive Association. Please proceed. STATEMENT OF PETER H. CARDIGES, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN HELLENIC EDUCATIONAL PROGRESSIVE ASSOCIATION, WASH- INGTON, D.C. Mr. CARDIGES. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee. I have submitted my statement and would like to summarize my remarks. I appreciate this opportunity to present the views of the Ameri- can Hellenic Educational Progressive Association (AHEPA], an American organization whose membership is composed primarily of Americans of Hellenic descent. In presenting the administration's foreign aid proposals for fiscal year 1985, Assistant Secretary of State Richard Burt has testified that the Mediterranean is a success story for U.S. policy and that our foreign assistance is a key element of that success. As evidence, he points to the fact that each of these four allies—Turkey, Greece, 430 Spain, and Portugal-has in the last few years negotiated a major base agreement with the United States. A successful foreign policy, however, cannot be measured solely by the signing of base agreements. When we examine the political dimension of our foreign policy in the region, it becomes much harder to label it a success. Although Mr. Burt has noted that "our economic and military assistance programs have proven to be an essential foreign policy instrument," these programs alone will not bring stability to the region. The current tensions between Turkey and Greece over Cyprus and the Aegean already undermine the basic ability and de- termination of the Alliance to act collectively in order to meet the Alliance's classical objectives of deterrence and defense. Regardless of the amount of aid we provide to either Turkey or Greece, unless progress is made toward resolving their bilateral disputes, NATO's southeastern flank will remain in disarray and unable to fulfill its assigned tasks. Cyprus is a major issue of contention between Turkey and Greece and, because of the questions it raises, it is also a very im- portant issue for the international community and the United States. It, however, needs to be examined as a separate issue, rather than as an appendage of U.S. policy toward Turkey and Greece. For the international community, Cyprus represents the failure of treaty law and depicts the impotency of the United Nations as a force for peace. Cyprus also demonstrates NATO's impotency as a force for peace and implies that the Alliance is not concerned with aggression perpetrated by its members. The Cyprus issue is both simple and complex. It is simple be- cause it is nothing less than an invasion and occupation of a sover- eign nation, the Republic of Cyprus, by a foreign power, the Repub- lic of Turkey, in violation of the 1960 Treaty of Guarantee. It is complex because the shadows of violence have loomed larger with the passage of time. The passage of time serves to consolidate the de facto partition, and it has become clear that a solution must be found now. The involvement of the U.N. Secretary General and the continuing con- cern expressed by the United States and the international commu- nity are very important. But, the only country which has the power to influence progress toward a settlement is Turkey, which maintains approximately 25,000 occupation troops on Cyprus. This year aid to Turkey presents a larger dilemma than in previ- ous years. Administration officials have stressed both privately and publicly that we should not attempt to pressure Turkey by linking U.S. aid to progress on Cyprus. The administration's definition of “pressure” precludes asking that Turkey abide by U.S. laws gov- erning the terms under which U.S. assistance is made available. The administration's definition of "pressure" also precludes asking that Turkey does not undermine our basic policy in the region. How, then, is it possible to assert that our aid programs help imple- ment our policy? The administration's insistence on viewing all issues through the prism of East-West relations, which has inflated Turkey's strategic value, is being successfully played back by Turkey to its own ad- 431 vantage. While we clearly desire to work with Turkey for our common defense, Turkey has questioned its desire to work in con- cert with the United States. The Turkish Government has stated publicly that it may cancel a recent agreement granting facilities used to supply men and ma- teriel to the United States peacekeeping force in Lebanon. Turkish officials have also warned that congressional action to reduce aid to Turkey could provoke counteraction, such as a revision of the United States-Turkish base agreement. Consequently, while Turkey is effectively putting pressure on us not to tamper with aid and complaining that the proposed levels are already too low, we are dissuaded from discussing measures and incentives that could be used to encourage Turkish coopera- tion. We find ourselves being held hostage by our own aid pro- grams. We not only give aid, but we also allow the recipient nation to place conditions on our assistance. The last 10 years have been marked by a deterioration in United States-Greek relations. I do not seek to either endorse or condemn any Greek Government's policies, but I feel that in general we are more prone to criticize the present government because it repre- sents a socialist ideology. In the last year, there has been a marked improvement in United States-Greek relations, evidenced by the signing of a new defense and cooperation agreement. Americans of Hellenic descent and the AHEPA, in particular, hope to contribute to the renewal of the traditional friendship between Greece and America. A Cyprus settlement will immeasurably enhance United States-Greek rela- tions. U.S. policy in the eastern Mediterranean faces an even greater challenge this year. We must use all available resources to bring stability to the region. We cannot afford to score short-term geo- strategic gains at the risk of damaging our long-term interests in the area. A sense of urgency and a sense of decency demand that we actively pursue a Cyprus settlement. The defense of NATO's southeastern flank is based on Greek and Turkish forces working in concert in the air, on land, and on sea. Progress toward a Cyprus settlement will ease the tensions be- tween Turkey and Greece, and create a positive environment for the resolution of other bilateral disputes. Until these tensions are defused, no amount of aid to either country can insure the protec- tion of our security interests in the region. I respectfully recommend and urge this subcommittee to take ap- propriate actions and to send a strong message to Turkey that, al- though it is a valuable friend and ally, the United States is deeply concerned with its violations of the international rule of law and its policy regarding Cyprus. To date, three bills have been intro- duced in the House of Representatives seeking to restrict aid to Turkey–H.R. 4400, 4505, and 4749. We sincerely request that simi- lar language be considered by this subcommittee during its delib- erations. The cost of maintaining the Turkish occupation troops on Cyprus is approximately $225 million per year, based on Under Secretary of State William Schneider's estimated cost of $9,000 per year per Turkish soldier. This figure is equivalent to $230 million in grant 432 aid that Turkey is to receive under the proposed military assist- ance program for fiscal year 1985. I believe that these moneys should be authorized contingent upon certification that Turkey has commenced a systematic with- drawal of its occupation forces from Cyprus. The United States cannot afford, either politically or economically, to use its foreign aid to subsidize the subversion of its own foreign policy. I also urge this subcommittee to maintain aid to Cyprus at the current level of $15 million and that the subcommittee direct that this aid be used for projects which foster mutual understanding and cooperation between the Greek Cypriots and the Turkish Cyp- riots. I believe that your decisions will be based on our security inter- ests as well as our traditions of respect for the sovereignty of exist- ing states, the rights of all people to self-determination, freedom and majority rule with full minority rights. I do not suggest that we should use our foreign aid to dictate policy to any nation. But, I do believe, that we have the right to ask that our aid is used in the furtherance of our foreign policy goals and not in violation of our own laws and principles. I thank you. [Mr. Cardiges' prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF PETER H. CARDIGES Mr. Chairman, members of the Subcommittee, I appreciate this opportunity to present the views of the American Hellenic Educational Progressive Association, AHEPA, an American organization whose membership is composed primarily of Americans of Hellenic descent. In presenting the Administration's foreign aid proposals for fiscal year 1985, As- sistant Secretary of State Richard Burt has testified that the Mediterranean is a success story for U.S. policy and that our foreign assistance is a key element of that success. As evidence, he points to the fact that each of these four allies—Turkey, Greece, Spain, and Portugal-has in the last few years negotiated a major base agreement with the United States. A successful foreign policy, however, can not be measured solely by the signing of base agreements. When we examine the political dimension of our foreign policy in the region, it becomes much harder to label it a success. Our foreign policy failed to dissuade the Turkish Cypriots from their declaration of statehood and then failed to prevent recognition of the Turkish Cypriot secession by Turkey. Although Mr. Burt has noted that “our economic and military assistance pro- grams have proven to be an essential foreign policy instrument" these programs alone will not bring stability to the region. This Administration, in particular, needs to be reminded that aid is a tool to implement U.S. policy; it is not a policy in itself. Appropriating millions of dollars in foreign aid based simply on the recipient's geostrategic location does not make either military or diplomatic sense. Other fac- tors must also be taken into consideration-for example, the recipient's political ori- entation, human rights record, economic system, trade relations, and its relations with neighboring countries--thus aid to Turkey must be considered within its full context, including Turkey's relations with Greece. Assistant Secretary of Defense Richard Perle has stated that if we reduce or con- dition aid to Turkey, we would damage our own security by weakening the NATO Alliance. But, the current tensions between Turkey and Greece over Cyprus and the Aegean already undermine the basic ability and determination of the Alliance to act collectively in order to meet the Alliance's classical objectives of deterrence and defense. Regardless of the amount of aid we provide to either Turkey or Greece, unless progress is made toward resolving their bilateral disputes, NATO's southeast- ern flank will remain in disarray and unable to fulfill its assigned tasks. 433 CYPRUS Cyprus is a major issue of contention between Turkey and Greece, and because of the questions it raises, it is also a very important issue for the international commu- nity and the United States. It needs to be examined as a separate issue rather than as an appendage of U.S. policy towards Turkey and Greece. For the international community, Cyprus represents the failure of treaty law and depicts the impotency of the United Nations as a force for peace. Cyprus also demonstrates NATO's impo- tency as a force for peace, and implies that the Alliance is not concerned with agres- sion perpetrated by its members. The Cyprus issue is both simple and complex. It is simple because it is nothing less than an invasion and occupation of a sovereign nation, the Republic of Cyprus, by a foreign power, the Republic of Turkey, in violation of the 1960 Treaty of Guar- antee. It is complex because the shadows of violence have loomed larger with the passage of time. It is complex because the intercommunal negotiating process has often been disrupted. It has recently become more complex since Turkish Cypriot leader Rauf Denktash illegally declared the Turkish-occupied sector Cyprus an inde- pendent state. The passage of time serves to consolidate the de facto partition, and it has become clear that a solution must be found now. The involvement of the United Nations Secretary General and the continuing concern expressed by the United States and the international community are very important. But, the only country which has the power to influence progress towards a settlement is Turkey, which maintains approximately 25,000 occupation troops on Cyprus. To support their argument that reducing, conditioning, or suspending aid to Turkey will not work, Administration officials point to the fact that the arms embargo did not work in 1975. At the same time, they neglect to mention that Congress lifted of embargo in 1978 because of assurances that this act would stimulate Turkish cooperation in seeking a Cyprus settlement. Lifting the embargo—as a catalyst for progress on Cyprus-has not worked either. TURKEY This year aid to Turkey presents a larger dilemma than in previous years. Turkey is regarded as a strategic asset on two levels: manifestly, as a partner on the south- eastern flank of NATO, and latently, as an access point to the Middle East. In light of Turkey's growing ties with the Arab nations, it would be unrealistic to assume that access would be permitted for non-NATO related activities. Administration officials have stressed—both privately and publicly—that we should not attempt to "pressure" Turkey by linking U.S. aid to progress on Cyprus. The Administration's definition of “pressure” precludes asking that Turkey abide by U.S. laws governing the terms under which U.S. assistance is made available. The Administration's definition of "pressure” also precludes asking that Turkey does not undermine our basic policy in the region. How then, is it possible to assert that our aid programs help implement our policy? The Administration's insistence on viewing all issues through the prism of East- West relations, which has inflated Turkey's strategic value, is being successfully played back by Turkey to its own advantage. While we clearly desire to work with Turkey for our common defense, Turkey has questioned its desire to work in concert with the United States. The Turkish government has stated publicly that it may cancel a recent agree- ment granting facilities used to supply men and materiel to the U.S. peacekeeping force in Lebanon. Turkish officials have also warned that congressional action to reduce aid to Turkey could provoke counter-action, such as a revision of the U.S.- Turkish base agreement. Consequently, while Turkey is effectively putting pressure on us not to tamper with aid and complaining that the proposed levels are already too low, we are dissuaded from discussing measures and incentives that could be used to encourage Turkish cooperation. We find ourselves being held hostage by our own aid programs-we not only give aid, but we also allow the recipient to place conditions on our assistance. The Administration maintains that if we show our friendship to Turkey-by giving it almost $1 billion in aid—then Turkey will respond in kind. On November 14, 1983, President Reagan signed the foreign aid bill for fiscal year 1984 which con- tained more than $800 million worth of friendship; hours later, Turkey responded by recognizing the Turkish Cypriot secessionist state, although the State Depart- ment had repeatedly made it clear that such action was contrary to U.S. policy and would subvert the U.N. Secretary General's efforts to stimulate a Cyprus settle- ment. 434 GREECE The last ten years have been marked by a deterioration in U.S.-Greek relations. I do not seek to either endorse or condemn any Greek government's policies. But, I feel that in general we are more prone to criticize the present government because it represents a “socialist” ideology. Actually the Greek government's position on nu- clear proliferation, which is often used as an example of Greek opposition to U.S. policies, is no different than that of the British Labor Party or that of several U.S. Presidential candidates. Unfortunately, the Greek government--and the Greek people--are genuinely con- cerned with a possible Turkish attack against Greece, particularly against Greece's Aegean islands. A NATO guarantee raffirming the borders of both countries would eliminate this concern. In the last year, there has been a marked improvement in U.S.-Greek relations, evidenced by the signing of a new Defense and Cooperation Agreement. Americans of Hellenic descent, and the AHEPA in particular, hope to contribute to the renew- al of the traditional friendship between Greece and America. A Cyprus settlement will immeasurably enhance U.S.-Greek relations. CONCLUSION U.S. policy in the Eastern Mediterranean faces an even greater challenge this year. We must use all available resources to bring stability to the region. We can not afford to score short-term geostrategic gains at the risk of damaging our long- term interests in the area. A sense of urgency-and a sense of decency-demand that we actively pursue a Cyprus settlement. The defense of NATO's southeastern flank is based on Greek and Turkish forces working in concert in the air, on land, and on sea. Progress towards a Cyprus set- tlement will ease the tension between Turkey and Greece and create a positive envi- ronment for the resolution of other bilateral disputes. Until these tensions are de- fused, no amount of aid to either country can ensure the protection of our security interests in the region. I respectfully recommend and urge this Subcommittee to take appropriate actions to send a strong message to Turkey that although it is a valuable friend and ally, the United States is deeply concerned with its violations of the international rule of law and its policy regarding Cyprus. To date, three bills have been introduced in the House of Representatives seeking to restrict aid to Turkey-H.R. 4400, H.R. 4505, and H.R. 4749. We sincerely request that similar language be considered by this Subcommittee during its deliberations. The cost of maintaining the Turkish occupation troops on Cyprus is approximate- ly $225 million per year, based on Under Secretary of State William Schneider's es- timated cost of $9,000 per year per Turkish soldier. (Testimony of the Under Secre- tary of State for Security Assistance, Science, and Technology_before the Subcom- mittee on International Security and Scientific Affairs, House Foreign Affairs Com- mittee, February 21, 1984.] This figure is equivalent to the $230 million in grant aid that Turkey is to receive under the proposed Military Assistance Program for fiscal 1985. I believe that these monies should be contingent upon certification that Turkey has commenced a sys- tematic withdrawal of its occupation forces from Cyprus. The United States can not afford-either politically or economically—to use its foreign aid to subsidize the sub- version of our own foreign policy. I also urge this Subcommittee to maintain aid to Cyprus at the current level of $15 million, and that the Subcommittee direct that this aid be used for projects which foster mutual understanding and cooperation between the Greek-Cypriots and the Turkish-Cypriots. Beyond symbolizing America's continuing concern for the Cyprus problem, this aid is a gesture of appreciation for the Republic of Cyprus' as- sistance during the past year in helping the United States meet important policy goals in the Middle East. Congress, and particularly the members of the Senate Foreign Relations Commit- tee, have repeatedly expressed their concerns about Cyprus and the Eastern Medi- terranean. I believe that your decisions will be based on our security interests as well as our traditions of respect for the sovereignity of existing states, the right of all peoples to self-determination, freedom, and majority rule with full minority rights. We do not suggest that we should use our foreign aid to dictate policy to any nation. But, I do not believe that we have the right to ask that our aid is used in the furtherance of our foreign policy goals, and not in violation of our laws and princi- ples. Thank you. 435 Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Mr. Cardiges The Chair now recognizes Mr. Andrew Manatos, United Hellenic American Congress and American Hellenic Alliance. Please pro- ceed. STATEMENT OF ANDREW E. MANATOS, ON BEHALF OF THE UNITED HELLENIC AMERICAN CONGRESS AND THE AMERICAN HELLENIC ALLIANCE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. MANATOS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will also be repre- senting today the views of Mr. Phil Christopher of the Pan-Cypriot Association, in addition to the two groups that you mentioned. As a person who spent over a decade on the staff here on the Hill and remembering my chairman at the end of the public wit- nesses section, I feel guilty to proceed at all. Therefore, I will submit my views for the record and try to just make a couple points if I might. One is that Greek-American organizations such as those that are here today, it should be understood, are first and foremost Ameri- cans. I know that you know of your Greek-American community in Indiana and there are no more patriotic people. What we say here today, we say out of the interests, the long-term interests of our country, the United States. The points I think that are essential for you to understand as chairman of this subcommittee and for the subcommittee to act on this year are that, although our community shares the interest of helping Turkey protect its flank of NATO, protect against the neighbors that it has, that are unique in the world, with the Rus- sians to the north, the Ayatollah to the east, and Iraq and Syria, that we must take into serious consideration what are the ramifica- tions of that activity that exists. If one looks at the de facto policy toward Greece and Cyprus that results from our policy toward Turkey, one must only conclude that it can be interpreted to be very anti-Greek, anti-Greek Cypri- ot, and that is certainly the way that it is being interpreted in those countries. We have a lot to lose in that part of the world if this perception of American policy continues. Let me make just a couple of points that I am sure have been verified in Indiana. In the early 1900's, Greeks loved everything American, so much that literally one out of four male Greeks came to this country and became citizens. That has been the tradition of Greece up until just a little more than a decade ago, and there was no country in the world, as has been stated earlier, that was more pro-American. But let us take a look at American policy toward Greece since that time, and it might help us understand some of the things that are going on in Greece and in Greek Cyprus about attitudes toward the United States. The United States gave recognition to a military junta in Greece that arrested 6 percent of the population. That was a repressive junta, and it began a great deal of questioning of its ally, the United States. The next act was the invasion of Cyprus with American arms and American guns. It could not have happened without our aid. 436 We had foreknowledge of that invasion and we stood by idly. And I could tell you from the experience of the people in our communi- ty—and if I might put a little parentheses in here, this is one area where the Greek American community far surpasses anything the Government is able to do, and that is in knowing the public opin- ion of the people of Greece and the people of Cyprus. We literally have thousands of conversations each year, in-depth conversations, and we have been able to predict where public opinion is going in those countries. It is not a good picture and it is very disturbing to the people in our community. After the junta, after the invasion and our taking no action, each year when aid is increased to Turkey, when it is common knowlege that there are landing craft on the shore of Turkey opposite Greek islands, and when it is publicly stated by Turkish officials that Greek islands should be theirs rather than Greece's, one can easily understand the bewilderment of the Greek citizens and the difficulty that those citizens have in maintaining their pro-American attitude. Now, make no mistake, Mr. Chairman. There is still a great deal of pro-American feeling in Greece and in Greek Cyprus. But there is also a growing and disturbing mentality, one might call it, in Greece and in Cyprus that has become very suspicious of this coun- try, and that suspicion enables these people to even begin to be- lieve things that the United States is not guilty of, but that people in Greece and in Cyprus would like to have that population think that we are guility of. It is a ball that is rolling in the wrong direction. It is a ball that I am afraid and many people in our community are afraid will con- tinue rolling unless our Government addresses this problem. And frankly, Mr. Chairman, it does not have to be addressed in what is a major, catastrophic way. This country need only start sending signals, and really, a lot of proposals are not major signals. If one takes a look at all of the dollars that we have given the Turkish Army over the last 5 years, all of the aid, to suggest that simply reducing that aid this year by a few hundred million dollars would in some way immediately jeopardize NATO's eastern defense, I frankly do not believe any- body would agree to. When I went downtown as Assistant Secretary of Commerce, I learned that my suspicions from the Hill were correct and that any agency you go to and tell them any program that they have, that you are going to cut it by a certain percentage, they will tell you that that is going to be the end of the world. In fact, it has been my experience that I have yet to find a pro- gram or an agency that could not be cut and still survive and, frankly, not have the kinds of catastrophic proposals that have been suggested. And a lot of people in our community are just asking the Congress to do that this year, to let Turkey understand that to continue the course that they are continuing is not only in the best interests of Greece, not in the best interest of Cyprus or the United States, but it is not in their best interest, either, and that their aid will be injured. The new Prime Minister Ozal made this point himself in a New York Times interview. He said: 437 We must be good calculators, because our foreign policy could affect the aid we get from the United States, and we are very dependent on that aid and we must be very careful with what we do. And frankly, Mr. Chairman, it really is that simple. We must send a message to Turkey. People at this table would, I think, many of them if not all, would be very happy to be here supporting stengthening of our NATO wing, and if we can get some progress on the Cyprus problem, hopefully in a year or two we can come back and be in that position. So frankly, it is in the hands of this committee and we would en- courage you to do so. Because, as I said earlier, the ball is rolling, I am afraid, in the wrong direction in these countries that are great allies of ours, and if we feel we have problems in the eastern Medi- terranean now, if that ball were to roll too far in the next decade in Greece or in Cyrprus we would find that our problems would be not insubstantial. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Mr. Manatos' prepared statement follows: 438 PREPARED STATEMENT OF ANDREW E. MANATOS Mr. Chairman, I appreciate this opportunity to appear before you today as you consider foreign assistance to Greece, Cyprus and Turkey. Much of what I will say here today repre- sents the views of the United Hellenic American Congress and its Chairman, Andy Athens, the views of the Hellenic Development Alliance and its Chairman, George Livanos anú my own views as an American who has been involved in the details of this issue for nearly a decade. The organizations I mentioned are in communication with citizens in literally every state and con- gressional district in the country. The people that I represent are Americans whose views are shaped by the best interests of the United States. They are as red-blooded and patriotic as any other category of people in the United States. If you have any question about this, simply take the time to inquire on this subject with any of your con- stituents who are Americans of Greek descent. Because our origins are from Greece, and some of our extended families still live in Greece, and many of us visit Greece, we maintain a particular interest and particular ex- pertise on this subject of the relations between the United States and Greece. When we discuss popular opinion in Greece 439 or predict Greece's future public policy, our opinions are i based on literally thousands of indepth conversations between Greek-Americans and their family and friends in Greece. It is the considered opinion of many in our community that the United States is seriously jeopardizing its southern flank 1 of NATO by following such a defacto anti-Greece/Cyprus policy. It is a myopic course charted for our country by the Executive Branch. That course, stated simply, maintains that because Turkey has such truly frightening neighbors Russian military divisions and planes to the north, the Ayatollah and Irag to the east and south, and Syria at its southern border, the United States should supply Turkey with nearly a billion dollars worth of military and economic assistance regardless of what Turkey might choose to do with that assistance to its neighbors, Greece and Cyprus. Those charting this course for the United States would, of course, have preferred that Turkey had not: used American arms in 1974 to kill 4,000 Greek Cypriots and capture 15 American citizens who happened to be on Cyprus and who have not been heard from since the invasion; made public statements ; indicating that Turkey should own some Greek islands off its coast opposite which Turkey keeps the majority of its fleet and landing craft backed-up by American arms; called for an "Is- lamic strategy against Israel" at the Islamic summit meeting last month; stood alone in the world endorsing the illegal 440 declaration of independence by Turkish Cypriots (yet another step away from solving the Cyprus problem); and maintained, and continue to maintain, between 18,000 and 30,000 troops as an occupation army on the island of Cyprus. The problem is, Mr. Chairman, that although the people in the Executive Branch who are charting this course would rather that these things did not happen, they have made it very clear that they will not exercise the leverage afforded to the United States behind our nearly $1 billion worth of aid to influence Turkey in the direction of changing any of these matters. They will suggest politely that Turkey should stop occupying the Republic of Cyprus. But they will not take advantage of the reality that even Turkish Prime Minister Ozal said in a New York Times interview that Turkey will shape its foreign policy in a way to assure American assistance. Amid this nearly decade-old Executive Branch tilt toward Turkey there are some recent bright spots of opportunity for moving Turkey on the subject of its illegal occupation army. Those spots, however, have not been adequately supported and the probability of their success is therefore in doubt. Setting aside legality, justice and the human rights as- pects of the Cyprus issue, which I might add, a proper leader 441 of the free world should not set aside, let's just focus on the practical impact this policy has on the southern flank of NATO. The people of Greece and Cyprus follow closely American foreign policy toward Greece, Cyprus and Turkey. Our policy is making it very difficult for Greek and Cypriot citizens who want to continue providing the kind of help that they have throughout history. A few short years ago, the citizens of no other country in the world liked America and everything American more than the people of Greece. In the early 1900's one out of every four Greek males moved to this country aná became a a U.S. citizen. In WWII, literally thousands of Greeks were executed by the occupying German forces because they were hiding other Allied forces. Greece has been with the United States in every war. Imagine the bewilderment of these people when they saw the nation of Turkey, using American supplied arms, invading the island of Cyprus with the foreknowledge of the United States who stood idly by without even trying to stop the invasion as President Johnson had stopped it a few years before. Imagine the bewilderment of the Greek people as they saw such actions rewarded by the Executive Branch of the United States govern- ment as it attempted to continue the aid program to Turkey re- gardless of these Turkish actions. Imagine the bewilderment of the Greek people last month when they saw the Executive Branch 34-045 0484-29 442 reward Turkey with a couple of hundred million dollar increase from the taxpayers pocket to Turkish aid as a result of the giant step Turkey took away from solving the Cyprus problem by illegally endorsing the unilateral declaration of independence of that part of Cyprus which is occupied by Turkish troops. Mr. Chairman, the public opinion in Greece today has the potential of being extremely dangerous for the United States as a result of our blatant and obvious tilt toward Turkey at Greece's expense. Some people who a few years ago would have given their friend, America, the benefit of any doubt, are today skeptical and suspicious of the United States. They are extremely disappointed in the various things we have done. And more importantly, many of them are developing a mind set which makes them vulnerable to believing things we have not done, but are accused of doing by forces and interests which would like 1 i to see all American influence in Greece removed. Mr. Chairman, : ask any Greek-American who has visited Greece of late if what I have said is true. The people who lovea America are now extremely vulnerable to misinformation being intentionally planted about us. I don't know how long our friends in Greece, in all their political parties, can hold out as we pile up example after example proving our friends wrong. Once this ball starts rolling against the United States, it is very difficult to turn it around. 443 The Executive Branch has an extremely bad record in pre- dicting the future of public opinion in Greece relative to the United States. For nine years, our community has been predict- ing events with extraordinarly accuracy because of our infor- mation gathering network which I explained earlier. What I am about to say springs from that expertise and I do not say it unadvisedly. If the American foreign policy toward Greece and Cyprus continues on the course outlined above there is a good chance that within the next decade Greece could become part of the Warsaw Pact. If this happens to the cradle of Democracy, it would be a symbolic and practical tragedy from which the free world may never recover. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Mr. Manatos. Let me just ask one question of you, following up the general thrust of your testimony. Obviously, the plea being made, I think, by you is that leverage of some sort would be effective. In other words, you have suggested that a cut in the aid, accompanied by a message that the cut is directly related to displeasure by the United States with Turkey would lead to changes in Turkish for- eign policy, and I think you even suggest there would be changes that would be helpful with regard to Cyprus. I suppose this is the question of judgment that members of the committee and members of the Senate have to weigh, and that is, first of all, whether there is such leverage: to what extent, as Mr. Perle discussed earlier, are we talking about foreign policy commit- ments that are of value to us principally and secondarily to the Turks, or is in fact the leverage the other way around? And honest men and women have differed on this issue for sever- al years in these hearings. What leads you to optimism that if a cut of any sort was made, and it was made explicitly with the ra- tionale that this indicates displeasure by the Senate or by the Con- gress if the House were to go along, that there would be favorable results? Mr. MANATOS. I have two reasons that I would offer, Mr. Chair- man. One is, although a lot of people will say during the arms em- bargo that it was ineffective and did nothing for us, I can tell you from having worked up here during that time that after the arms embargo was in place for a little while and the reports started coming back that spare parts problems were occurring in the Turk- ish Army I can tell you, the representatives of the Turkish Embassy came into this very building and sat down with maps with us and said: OK, where should the lines move? What do you want? How should 444 it be done? Soon thereafter they disappeared with these maps and we could not get them to come back. We later found out that around that time in fact spare parts were moving into Turkey through NATO, even though we thought we had an embargo in place. That is the first reason. The second is Mr. Ozal's own interview in the Times. I think he exposes what we pick up informally from Turkey, and that is that they are extremely dependent on our aid. We fear the Russians coming down and their neighbors that can be described as horrible. But my golly, they fear them worse than we do. They are very dependent on our aid. He made that very public, and he indicated that they had to be careful in their foreign policy so that they did not interrupt this aid. And I might add, I guess, Mr. Chairman, that since the embargo has been lifted and these promises of concessions that were to be forthcoming have been lifted, we have given Turkey all that it has wanted, and we have seen not a step on Cyprus. So obviously that approach-and I think a lot of your colleagues sincerely believed that if they lifted that embargo there would be progress, and it has been a number of years now since we have tried that option. Senator LUGAR. That is certainly quite true. I can recall a brief- ing by Mr. Clark Clifford at the White House with President Carter at hand suggesting that a bipartisan group ought to help. I can remember calls from President Carter to me at home asking for support on the issue. So it has been a bipartisan quest and per- haps evaluation. I raise the question not out of criticism of your commentary, but simply because I think it is the obvious question—that is, what types of changes might be effected in bringing about some of the goals that are suggested here today. Senator Sarbanes, do you have questions of these witnesses? Senator SARBANES. Mr. Chairman, I have no questions, but I have one comment I would like to make on yours, and I need to straighten out a matter of fact with Ambassador Hart. I think that this is a very complicated and multidimensional sit- uation. It seems to me that the action the committee took last year did contribute to helping to get a base agreement with Greece, which was important to American interests in the area. The concern which this committee and the Congress have shown toward Cyprus over the years established an important basis or ra- tionale or environment for the forthcoming response of Cyprus to problems America faced in the Lebanon situation. If there was any country that responded promptly and forthrightly, it was the gov- ernment of the Republic of Cyprus, and that was very important to us in a whole host of respects. It did not involve trying to negotiate some arrangement, as was referred to here earlier now with the Turks. So a policy that is per- ceived to be and is in fact more evenhanded or fairer amongst the parties in the area may in fact bring significant benefits to Ŭ.S. in- terests, and I think we have to keep that in mind. It may or may not produce a response in the area about which you questioned, but it clearly has produced responses in other areas which were very important to American interests. We are in 445 a situation in which the southeastern flank of NATO includes both Greece and Turkey. The United States has relationships with both countries and important interests with respect to both countries. I think that has to be kept very much in mind. I am also of the view that we need a skilled application of the enormous amount of money going to Turkey-now proposed by the administration to be $943 million. Mr. Perle obviously indicates that his desire is that it should go well over a billion dollars. There is a whole range of matters, it seems to me, on which Turkey could be of help in resolving some problems well short of completely solv- ing them. But there has been none of that, and the consequence has only been to complicate the situation. Ambassador Hart, the one fact that I wanted to try to get straight is this. You say that the 5.8 percent of GNP that Turkey spends on defense is the highest in the Alliance. Ambassador HART. As a percentage, I understand that that is true. Senator SARBANES. I need to know where that comes from. Ambassador HART. I will try to furnish that for the record. [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] Ambassador HART. It came from Defense Department people. Senator SARBANES. I have a Department of Defense report on allied contributions to the common defense, a report to the U.S. Congress. This one is dated March 1982, I do not have the one dated March 1983, which would cover the next year. In this one, Greece was at the top of the list of the NATO coun- tries at 5.63 percent and Turkey was fourth at 4.29 percent. Where did the 5.8-percent figure come from? Ambassador HART. It came from military sources and it was used in a seminar which we recently had on the importance of Turkey in NATO. I will get the substantiation for that figure, which I am sure is correct, from the Defense Department people. Senator SARBANES. If you could do it, and particularly if it could be done in the context of a common measurement, as this report does, we would appreciate it. This is Secretary Weinberger's report to the Congress and therefore it reflects a common measurement. I do not want a figure that it is based on some other scale and does not provide you the comparative basis. Obviously this figure that you have asserted, does not jibe with the report that was given to the Congress by the Secretary of De- fense. This is total defense spending as a percent of gross domestic product, and it is a Department of Defense report on allied contri- butions to the common defense. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Gentlemen, we thank you all very much for your thoughtful testimony, your time, and your preparation for your presentation here today. This hearing is adjourned. (Whereupon, at 5:06 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS) THURSDAY, MARCH 8, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:19 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Rudy Boschwitz (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senators Boschwitz, Mathias, Biden, and Sarbanes. Senator BOSCHWITZ. At this morning's hearing, we are going to consider the administration's foreign assistance proposal for the Near East and South Asia for fiscal year 1985, We welcome, again, Gen. Edward L. Tixier, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Near East and South Asia, Department of Defense, who has not been here since a briefing yesterday; also, Ambassador Murphy; Mr. Langmaid who is Deputy Assistant Administrator for AID for the Near East; and Mr. Staples, who is Deputy Assistant Administrator for AID for Asia. Ambassador Murphy, why don't you begin? STATEMENT OF HON. RICHARD W. MURPHY, ASSISTANT SECRE- TARY FOR THE NEAR EAST AND SOUTH ASIA, DEPARTMENT OF STATE Ambassador MURPHY. Mr. Chairman, I am pleased to be here today before the committee to testify in support of our fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request for the Near East and South Asia. I have submitted a fairly lengthy statement for the record and, assuming that you would rather not have me read the 23 pages, I would like to make a few points drawn from that statement. First, our foreign assistance program's support objectives which are vital to U.S. interests in the Middle East and South Asia are for a just and lasting Middle East peace; the maintenance of unim- peded access to the crucial oil resources of the Persian Gulf; resto- ration of a sovereign, independent, and unified Lebanon; the return of peace to an independent Afghanistan with the withdrawal of Soviet military forces. That cites four of our principal interests. If we are to advance our major international interests, we have to provide the resources commensurate with the need to strengthen the economies and de- fense capabilities of key countries in this vital area of the world. (447) 448 Our highest priority continues to be furthering the Middle East peace process, to bring a just and lasting solution to the Arab-Israe- li conflict through negotiation as proposed by President Reagan in his initiative of September 1, 1982. Israel and Egypt remain our principal partners in the quest for peace. They would be the largest recipients of our proposed assist- ance, and we have carefully examined their needs. Our fiscal year 1985 request included, for the first time, an all- grant FMS [foreign military sales] program for Israel and Egypt. This is a change to respond to the negative impact of the debt serv- ice burden on both countries. Another priority area is the Southwest Asia-Gulf region. This im- portant source of energy is threatened by the expanding intensity of the Iran/Iraq war. Our assistance program is directed at bolster- ing the security of countries in the region and en route to it. The security and stability of Pakistan is a key element in the se- curity of this region. Our assistance request for Pakistan reflects the important role that it plays in opposing Soviet aggression in Afghanistan. In South Asia we want to encourage, through our economic as- sistance, the growth of stable and independent states living in peace with one another. Mr. Chairman, I would be pleased to answer any questions you may have at this time. [Mr. Murphy's prepared statement follows:) 449 STATEMENT OF RICHARD W. MURPHY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT OF STATE BEFORE THE SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE ON NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS THURSDAY, MARCH 8, 1984 Mr. Chairman, Members of the Subcommittee: I welcome the opportunity to testify today in support of the Administration's proposals for Fiscal Year 1985 economic and security assistance for the Near East and South Asia. The Administration's proposal reflects the realities of our foreign policy and national security objectives in this vital region. In each country, our' assistance programs are intended to nurture relationships of mutual interest and trust and to assist these governments in strengthening their security and furthering their economic progress. Our programs support objectives in the region which are vital to our own peace, security and well-being : We are actively pursuing a just and lasting Middle East peace. We are engaged in maintaining unimpeded access to the crucial oil resources of the Persian Gulf. 450 --Qur assistance to Lebanon aims to help the Lebanese Government restore peace and regain sovereignty over the country. We are working with friendly countries to safeguard our vital interests in North Africa, Southwest and South Asia and the Persian Gulf. We are searching for peace in Afghanistan which would include the withdrawal of Soviet military forces and the restoration of Afghanistan independence. In our efforts to advance the Middle East Peace process and to promote the resolution of conflicts elsewhere in the region, we recognize that the spirit of accomodation can grow more readily if friendly states feel confident of their ability to provide for their own security and for the economic and social needs of their people. An important change that the Administration is proposing for the Fiscal Year 1985 Foreign Assistance involves a shift of the FMS financing program to "on budget", thus requiring authorization and appropriations of funds for the entire program. We are seeking this change so that we will be able to offer FMS credits at concessional rates as an alternative to market rates to avoid exascerbating the debt burden of many of 451 our friends. As part of this proposal, the fiscal Year 1985 request would provide Israel and Egypt all their FMS credits on a forgiven or grant basis. We also propose that Jordan, Tunisia and Morocco receive some of their FMS credits at concessional rates. The levels and terms of our proposed assistance have been carefully developed within the constraints of our budget stringencies and the President's economic program, and are the amounts needed to meet essential requirements of the countries to this region. Our fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request for the Near East and South Asia will fund six major programs: $3,160 million in Foreign Military Sales Credits (FMS) including $2,575 million in forgiven credits for Israel and Egypt $65 million in grant Military Assistance Programs (MAP) $11.9 million in International Military Education and Training (IMET) $1,928 million in Economic Support Funds (ESF) $327,5 million in Development Assistance (DA) and 452 $620.2 million in PL480 food assistance. Middle East Peace: Our highest priority continues to be furthering the Middle East Peace process to bring a just and lasting end to the conflict and turmoil which has disturbed this area for so long. There are no quick and easy solutions for peace in the region. However, we will persevere with our efforts and with the President's Middle East Peace initiative of September 1, 1982. Our assistance plays an important role in furthering the peace process. Ten years ago we helped negotiate the disengagement of Egyptian and Israeli armed forces. They have not clashed since. Five years ago a peace treaty ended thirty years of war between Egypt and Israel. Israel and Egypt remain our principal partners in the quest for peace, and these two nations are the largest recipients of our proposed foreign assistance for Fiscal Year 1985. This assistance is aimed at ensuring their security and strengthening their economies, both essential to their continuing on the path to a broader peace settlement. Similar programs, although smaller in amounts, are planned for Lebanon and Jordan, also important participants in our quest for a Middle East peace. Lack of progress toward a more peaceful, stable Lebanon will erode the chances for peace and stability elsewhere in the region. In its quest for 453 reconciliation, Lebanon needs our support, both moral and material. Jordan requires our continued support to build the necessary confidence to join the peace process. Our program also seeks to improve the quality of Palestinian life in the West Bank and Gaza, and to encourage economic and social cooperation in the region. Individual program reviews follow: Israel: The United States has a historic commitment to Israel's security and economic well-being extending over the past three decades. Our assistance provides a tangible demonstration of the strength and durability of that commitment, and seeks to give Israel the confidence to take the risks necessary to pursue the peace process. To assist Israel in maintaining its qualitative edge in military capability over potential aggressors, a $1.4 billion FMS credit level is requested. For the first time, this FMS request would consist exclusively of forgiven credits, i.e., grant funds. This change is being proposed to respond to the negative impact of the increasing burden of debt service on the Israeli economy. The overall level of FMS credits proposed for Israel would decline from levels appropriated in previous years because of the greater financial value of an all grant program. . Israel's military needs have been analyzed by both 454 governments, and we each agree that the terms and level of the Fiscal Year 1985 FMS request for Israel will achieve our mutual goals. The proposed $850 million ESF program also is to be all grant. The major portion will be provided on cash transfer basis to support Israel's balance of payments; these funds permit Israel to import essential civilian goods and services without drawing down its foreign exchange reserves. In addition, $65 million of the request will be used to augment endowments for four existing U.S.-Israeli binational foundations. These foundations (Binational Industrial Research and Development Foundation, Binational Science Foundation, Binational Agricultural Research and Development Fund, and the U.S.-Israeli Educational Foundation) undertake a variety of programs in education and research which contribute to the technological base upon Israel intends to build its future growth. It has, however, become increasingly clear that helping Israel to restore its basic economic strength and balance is not and cannot be solely a function of the level of U.S. assistance. In other words, a somewhat higher level of ESF, as the Congress legislated last year in the continuing Resolution, while welcomed by Israel because every dollar helps, will not 455 address the basic problems that beset the Israeli economy. What is needed instead is our steadfast encouragement to the Israeli Government as it devises economic programs that can rid the country of the twin perils of high inflation and an increasingly difficult external accounts situation. Our total assistance, when we take into account the interest savings associated with a shift to all grant FMS program, is almost equivalent to what the Congress appropriated last year for Israel. In addition to its economic benefit, it serves as a political statement of our strong support for Israel and, particularly in the endowments proposed, directly addresses our concern for Israel's future. Egypt: Egypt is key to our regional political and strategic policies. Egypt is an active partner in the Middle East Peace process and continued Egyptian support is crucial to its ultimate success. The Mubarak Government publicly and actively supports the Camp David Accords and the President's September 1, 1982 peace initiative as well as our efforts to foster restoration of stability in Lebanon. During the past year, Egypt has been helpful in deterring radical destabilization efforts directed at neighboring countries, such as Sudan and Chad. Egypt's importance as a stabilizing force continues to increase as tensions remain high elsewhere in the region. 456 Cooperating directly with the United States, participation in U.S.-Egyptian military exercises have served to enhance both countries' ability to preserve stability in the region. The recent trend toward improved relations between Egypt and moderate Arab states is evidence of Egypt's importance as a bulwark against radical forces which reject the idea of a negotiated settlement with Israel. Our sustained assistance reinforces the accomplishments made through the Camp David process and supports regional stability, The request for $1.175 billion in forgiven FMS credits for Fiscal Year 1985 reflects our commitment to a long-term military supply relationship with Egypt to help it modernize its forces and replace obsolete Soviet-supplied equipment. Our military assistance relationship with Egypt is a key part of our efforts to maintain the regional balance of forces which has been in danger of shifting in favor of Soviet-supplied radicals like Libya and Syria. The change to an all-grant program has been made in recognition that military modernization will not benefit regional stability if it is accomplished by amassing debts which could undermine Egypt's ability to sustain economic growth. FMS for Fiscal Year 1985 will be devoted mainly to progress payments on F-16 and E-20 aircraft, tanks, armored personnel carriers and air defense radars as well as to follow-on support for U.S. equipment supplied over the past few years. 457 Our economic assistance helps maintain the continued economic growth which is essential to Egypt's stability. Our program is designed to support economic policies which address the existing constraints on development. Over the past year, the Egyptian Government has moved deliberately toward economic reform, raising prices and liberalizing foreign exchange regulations. Our proposed economic aid program includes $243 million in PL-480 food assistance and grant ESF of $750 million. The ESF program consists of a $ 300 million Commodity Import Program, which will enable Egypt to import U.S. manufactured goods and commodities, and $450 million in project and sector assistance. Emphasis will be on rehabilitation and expansion of urban water and sewer systems, increasing agricultural and industrial production, and institution building. Lebanon: Although we are watching the situation in Lebanon closely, it is still difficult to predict how events will evolve. We remain committed to the achievement of long-term stability and believe that U.S. economic and military support, properly channeled, can assist in the attainment of this goal. We do not intend to abandon either the people or the Government of Lebanon; security and economic assistance are an important element of our policy toward Lebanon. 34-045 0-8430 458 Our military assistance consists of FMS credits and IMET. The Fiscal Year 1985 request is for $15 million in FMS credits This is a minimum level for follow-on support for U.S. origin equipment, When the situation in Lebanon stabilizes, more funds may be needed to assist the Lebanese Government in its efforts to continue the expansion and modernization of the Lebanese Armed Forces. Given the rapidly evolving situation in Lebanon, it is impossible to state at this time what additional assistance may be needed. $800 thousand in IMET monies is required to provide training to bolster the Lebanese Armed Forces, The ESF request of $20 million for Fiscal Year 1985 assumes that the $150 million appropriated as no-year funds in Fiscal Year 1983 will be fully obligated. The Fiscal Year 1985 ESF program will be concentrated on three sectors: housing, health and government revenue generation. Jordan: A stable and secure Jordan is essential to further the President's Middle East Peace initiative. Our security and economic assistance encourages King Hussein's confidence in the U.S. commitment to the security of Jordan as he seeks a formula to enable him to join peace negotiations. 459 The proposed Fiscal Year 1985 assistance program for Jordan consists of $95 million in FMS credits, $20 million in ESF, $87,000 in PL480 Title II and $2 million in IMET. Jordan has a growing need for more modern armament as the result of the massive Soviet arms transfers to Syria. FMS financing assets Jordan to acquire those weapons most. critical to its legitimate self-defense needs. In view of Jordan's economic problems coupled with reduced levels of aid from Arab oil exporters, half of the proposed FMS credits would be provided at concessional rates. The training funds under IMET enhance the professional capability of Jordan's Armed Forces and assists Jordan in continuing its training and advisory role in the region. Our ESF programs will stress technology transfer and technical assistance in the areas of rainfed agriculture and renewable energy sources. Work will continue on important water development projects. Middle East Regional Program: The Regional Program request for Fiscal Year 1985 consists of $15 million in ESF, $3 million in Development Assistance and $2.29 million in PL480 Title II. 460 The ESF proposal furthers the Middle East peace process by addressing objectives that cannot be met through conventional bilateral programs. This grant assistance will finance two major activities: $9 million will be used for development projects in the West Bank and Gaza. By financing these projects which are implemented by U.S. private voluntary organizations, the U.S. seeks to improve the quality of Palestinian life in these territories. $5 million will support the Regional Cooperation program which consists of a variety of joint projects involving Israeli and Egyptian participation. We seek to use these funds in a manner that promotes contacts between Israeli universities, government ministries and private organizations and their counterparts in Egypt. Cooperative projects help promote relationship between Israelis and their Arab neighbors, thus helping to break down barriers between people. $3 million in development assistance funds will finance six ongoing regional projects as well as project design and evaluation. Southwest Asia/Persian Gulf/North Africa: The Southwest Asia/Persian Gulf/North Africa region, a critical source of 1 461 energy to the free world, is simultaneously threatened by Soviet encroachment through Afghanistan and by radical forces from within. About 40 % of the free world's oil imports originate in the Persian Gulf. Through our assistance, we help to improve the security of these countries and to maintain the availability of these vital oil supplies. Our programs are directed at supporting those countries in the region which provide important access to military facilities as well as other nations which provide transit rights into the region for U.S. forces to be used in time of crisis. In addition to the security concerns which these countries face, some of them, i.e., Morocco and Yemen, have very serious economic problems. Oman: Oman, strategically located at the entrance to the Persian Gulf, is cooperating closely with the U.S. in our common objective of maintaining security and stability in that vital area and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and its approaches. Oman's agreement to permit access to its facilities represents a major contribution to American force projection capability in Southwest Asia and an important public expression of local support for our presence in the region. The military supply and training relationship between the two countries contributes to Oman's continued willingness to cooperate with the U.S. in security matters. 462 In an effort to broaden our relationship with Oman beyond its security aspects, the U.S. -Oman Joint Commission was established in 1980 in conjunction with the facilities access agreement. ESF assistance funds the U.S. contribution to this Joint Commission which provides technical assistance for the development of infrastructure and the non-oil sector of Oman's economy Our Fiscal Year 1985 request for Oman includes $45 million in FMS credits, $20 million in ESF and $100 thousand in IMET. The military equipment purchased from the U.S. through the FMS program helps Oman strengthen its defense in the face of threats from Soviet-supplied South Yemen and from Iran. The small IMET program will provide advanced training for officers in the Sultan's Armed Forces. $15 million of the $20 million in ESF will be used for school construction; the remainder will fund feasibility and design studies, technical assistance and training. Yemen: The proposed Fiscal Year 1985 assistance program for the Yemen Arab Republic (YAR) is necessary to strengthen a bilateral assistance program which offers a visible alternative to Yemen's present heavy dependence on Soviet assistance. The strategic location of the Yemen Arab Republic, its porous 463 border with Saudi Arabia, and the large numbers of Yemenis working in the oil states of the Peninsula underscore the importance of Yemen in regional stability and, hence, to U.S. interests in the area. Furthermore, the YAR is a "buffer" between the Marxist People's Democratic Republic of Yemen and Saudi Arabia. For Yemen, our Fiscal Year 1985 request consists of $30 million in development assistance, $10 million in MAP, $1.5 million in IMET and $5 million in PL480 Title I. This strategically located country is one of the poorest and least developed in the Middle East. We are proposing a small increase in development assistance in recognition of Yemen's increasingly severe economic situation due to a decline in Arab donor assistance as well as a decrease in worker remittances. The YAR Government has also had to cope with a devasting earthquake in December 1982 which left up to 400,000 homeless. Our projects are concentrated in the agriculture, education and health sectors. MAP funds will be used to fund follow-on support for U.S. origin military equipment as well as to purchase ammunition. We are requesting grant assistance because Yemen has been financially unable to draw on credits for the past two years. 464 The IMET program seeks to expose as many Yemeni military personnel as possible to training in the U.S., although some training, in particular English language instruction, takes place in country. Morocco: Morocco is of key strategic importance to the U.S. and has a longstanding record of cooperation and friendship. Morocco has consistently taken moderate, constructive positions on issues of mutual concern. Over the past three years, the U.S. and Morocco have reaffirmed the closeness of relations with the establishment of Joint Economic and Military Commissions, the agreement of King Hassan to provide transit access and numerous exchanges of high level official visitors. Morocco is in severe financial straits and is again confronting a drought disaster. As part of an 'IMF economic reform package, the Moroccan government has begun a program of austerity measures designed to bring its balance of payments into equilibrium by 1987. For Morocco, the Administration is requesting $19 million in development assistance, $15 million in ESF and $52.5 million in PL480 food assistance. These different forms of economic assistance were intended to assist Morocco in this period of economic austerity and budgetary stringency. If the present drought continues, more assistance may be needed. 465 Development assistance will be focused on agriculture, population and energy. The ESF will be used to increase water supplies through continuation of a snowpack augmentation project as well as for quick dispersing assistance to the agricultural sector which is suffering from acute drought. The PL480 assistance will provide balance of payments support. As a key country in North Africa, it is in our interest to see Morocco maintain a suitable level of military preparedness. An increase of MAP to $40 million and some concessional FMS credits are being proposed in recognition of Morocco's severe economic problems. MAP and FMS credits will aid the Moroccan government in its maintenance and modernization programs, including air surveillance equipment and anti-armor weapons. $1.7 million in IMET funding will provide training for Moroccan military personnel in communications, logistics and maintenance. Tunisia: A longtime friend of the U.S. and an Arab moderate, Tunisia looks to the U.S. both for security assistance in meeting Libyan threats to its security and for support for continued Tunisian economic development. As a sign of our support for Tunisian stability following the early January riots over higher bread prices, we offered the Tunisian Government an additional $5 million of PL480 food assistance. 466 These disturbances were a reflection of the increasingly difficult economic situation that Tunisia now faces, as it is squeezed by declining receipts from exports and tourism, mounting external debt, continued drought and a persistently high unemployment rate. The proposed ESF of $3 million for Fiscal Year 1985 is needed to fund an ongoing program for Tunisian graduate students in the U.S.,as Tunisia seeks to reorient its technical sector from French to U.S. products and technology $5.85 million in PL480 food assistance is being requested to assist Tunisia in coping with the impact of the drought. For military assistance, the FY-1985 request includes: $50 million in FMS credits, $15 million in MAP and $1.7 million in IMET. $ 25 million of the FMS credits would be provided at concessional rates of financing. The FMS credits and MAP are needed to enable Tunisia to complete its purchases under a three year security assistance package, begun in fy 1982, which includes F-5 aircraft, Chaparral missiles and M60 tanks. Fiscal Year 1985 security assistance will also be used for the purchase of necessary tank support equipment. Payments will begin on two C-130 transports. IMET funding will permit professional training for Tunisian officers as well as technical training required to support recently acquired U.S. equipment. 467 Pakistan: The multiyear program for which we are again seeking your support is designed to bolster Pakistan as it confronts the challenges resulting from the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The continuing implementation of the program remains key to Pakistan's ability to pursue its courageous and principled opposition to Moscow's brutual attempt to subjugate the Afghan people. The cost of Pakistan's opposition to the Soviet occupation has been high. Besides the burden of 2-3 million refugees, Pakistan has been bombarded by aircraft and artillery from Afghanistan (most recently on January 27, when 45 people were killed and 60 wounded), and Soviet-supported terrorists have carried out sabotage, assassinations and an aircraft highjacking. Our assistance program for Pakisan also has goals apart from meeting the threat from Soviet-controlled Afghanistan. ву addressing some of Pakistan's security concerns and demonstrating the long-term reliability of the U.S. as a security partner, we hope to help remove the underlying incentive for the possible acquisition of a nuclear weapons capability. Our economic assistance ($200 million in ESF, $50 million in development assistance and $54 million in PL480 food aid) is designed to stimulate economic and social development as well as to provide balance of payments support. Our 23 ongoing and planned development projects are heavily concentrated in 468 the agriculture, population, health and energy sectors. Our economic assistance also supports Pakistani efforts to suppress opium production and to interdict narcotics trafficking. Our FY-85 military assistance request includes $325 million in FMS credits and $1 million in IMET; it aims to help modernize Pakistan's well trained but poorly equipped armed forces, FMS credits will be used to purchase F-16 aircraft, M48A5 tanks, helicopters, APC's, artillery and anti-ship missiles. SOUTH ASIA: U.S. objectives in South Asia remain essentially unchanged from previous years. We want to encourage the growth of stable, strong, independent states which live in peace with one another free of outside interference. We seek to contribute to the efforts the governments of South Asian countries are making to develop themselves economically and to bring about higher living standards for their people in a region which is among the world's poorest and most populous. U.S. interests, as well as the interests of the recipient countries themselves, are well served by the carefully-designed mix of our programs in South Asia. India: The largest and most powerful nation in South Asia, India plays a pivotal role in determining the prospects for 469 peace and stability in the region. With its accession to the leadership of the Non-Alignment Movement, it has enhanced its role in international affairs. In the past few years, India has moved in the direction of liberalizing imports and decontrolling private sector activity, with a view to upgrading domestic technology and injecting new vigor into the economy. With economic liberalization in India, new opportunities have opened up for an expansion of our bilateral relations in the areas of trade, investment and scientific exchange. The United States is currently about even with the Soviet Union as India's number one trading partner. We have made efforts to further improve our relations through an exchange of high level visits, the heightened activities of the Indo-U.S. Joint Commission and an expansion of cultural, educational and scientific exchanges. The centerpiece of this latter effort is a proposed $110 million binational endowment, which is designed to conserve our dwindling supply of U.S.-held excess rupees by setting up an interest bearing facility to fund joint study and exchange programs. For Fiscal Year 1985, we are requesting a program in India consisting of $87 million in development assistance, $125 million in PL480 and an IMET Program of $300 thousand. Development assistance funding will be focussed in several 470 areas: irrigation, agricultural research, forestry, family planning, health and nutrition. The PL480 Title II program provides urgently needed food supplies to contribute to feeding some of the Indian population which falls below th nutrition-based poverty line. The IMET funds will provide for sending military officers to intermediate and senior staff colleges in the U.S. and for training in a number of technical fields. Bangladesh: The U.S. pursues policies aimed at achieving the interrelated goals of political stability and economic development in Bangladesh as in South Asia as a whole. Besides helping to meet our humanitarian concern for the people of Bangladesh, U.S. food and development assistance constitute the major means by which we can work toward these objectives. As a developing country which has undertaken a number of bold economic self-help measures, Bangladesh has earned and deserves our continued support. 0.$. assistance presently supports the Bangladesh Government's development strategy in priority areas such as agriculture, rural development and family planning. Our proposed program for Fiscal Year 1985 consists of $8.2 million in development assistance, $97.9 million in PL480 food and commodity assistance, and $250 thousand. for IMET. 471 Nepal: The aim of u.s. assistance in Nepal is to promote economic and political development, with a view to contributing to stability in Nepal and thereby in the region as a whole. Nepal's geographic position between China and India inakes the maintenance of its domestic stability particularly important in a regional context. Nepal continues to face economic difficulties. Rapid population growth, limited natural resources, and increasing environmental degradation continue to inhibit the Nepalese economic development effort. For Fiscal Year 1985, we are requesting $15 million in development assistance, $1.1 million in PL480 Title II grants through the World Food Program, and $100 thousand for IMET. Our development assistance program is concentrated on the priority areas of rural development, resource conservation, and health and family planning. Sri Lanka: A parliamentary democracy, Sri Lanka has maintained its democratic traditions despite a serious outbreak of communal violence last year. Sri Lanka is committed to a moderate, non-aligned foreign policy. It plays a constructive role in the U.N. and the Non-Aligned Movement. 472 An important goal of our economic assistance is to demonstrate our continued support for Sri Lanka as it seeks to restore communal harmony (which is key to its political stability and economic progress), and our confidence in the wisdom of the development policies of the government. For Fiscal Year 1985, we are proposing for Sri Lanka $41.5 million in development assistance, $32.1 million in PL480 and $150 thousand in IMET. In summary, we consider our FY 1985 submission to be consistence with programs which the Congress supported in previous years, justifiable in terms of the multifaceted political, economic and security requirements of the Middle East and South Asia, and realistic in the context of our budgetary constraints. Senator BOSCHWITZ. General, do you have an opening statement? General TIXIER. No, sir; I do not. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Langmaid, would you please proceed? Mr. LANGMAID. Mr. Chairman, I also have a long statement. I would be glad to go directly to questions if you prefer, or I could summarize a few of the highlights. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I would appreciate it if you would summa- rize it. Mr. LANGMAID. I would be glad to, sir. STATEMENT OF BRADSHAW LANGMAID, JR., DEPUTY ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR THE NEAR EAST, AGENCY FOR INTERNA- TIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. LANGMAID. I am also pleased to be here today to support the President's request for economic assistance to countries in the Near East. The President is requesting $1.745 billion, consisting of $1.693 billion in economic support funds and $52 million in devel- opment assistance funds for this area of the world. Attached to my statement which I am submitting for the record is a table which summarizes the administration's request. Under a separate appropriation, $301 million in Public Law 480's title I and II is also planned for countries in the Near East region. For Egypt in fiscal year 1985, we are requesting $750 million under the economic support fund (ESF), the same level as in fiscal year 1984. In addition, $238 million is planned under Public Law 473 480; $225 million under title I and $12.8 million under the bilateral title II program. We propose that the ESF resources be made available as grants, continuing a policy set by Congress in fiscal year 1981. Public Law 480, title I, will be provided on a loan payable over 40 years, includ- ing a 10-year grace period. In the past, this committee, as have other committees of the Con- gress, has been concerned with the rate of implementation of our program in Egypt. I am glad to be here today to be able to say that that rate has improved measurably over the past few years. Expenditures for the first time have exceeded new obligations Since the resumption of aid to Egypt in 1974, ESF expenditures in fiscal year 1983 total- Senator Boschwitz. That is a remarkable statement, that it took you 10 years to get to that point. How much is now in the pipeline? Mr. LANGMAID. The pipeline this year is approximately $2.4 bil- lion. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Langmaid, we give this aid not for the purpose of putting it into the pipeline, as you may know, but for the purpose of implementing the objectives that the aid is supposed to bring about. We trust that it will not take you another 10 years to come back and tell us that you are now up to a point where the implementation of the program matches the scope of the program. Mr. LANGMAID. I trust also that the rate of expenditure that we have achieved now can be sustained in the years ahead so that each year the pipeline should be diminished. A pipeline of something like 2 years of aid is not unusual, given the nature of the requirements in terms of the obligation of projects. The construction of powerplants sometimes runs from 3 to 5 years, and that is a large part of this program. It is also useful to note that with a rate of expenditure that size, a number of programs are coming to the point where they are making a meaningful impact on the situation of the people of Egypt. The development decentralization portfolio, one of our largest in the program, has completed or has underway some 4,700 local in- frastructure and service activities touching the lives of an estimat- ed 32.5 million people in Egypt. Public awareness of family planning has grown, and the use of modern contraceptives has increased, with the result that there is beginning to be a decrease in the overall population growth rate. Major power plants are coming onstream, the total capacity of which exceeds the capacity of the Aswan Dam. Major cement plants are also coming onstream which, in total, should provide adequate supplies of cement to Egypt to the year 1990. These are but a few of the concrete achievements that are begin- ning to be realized with this program. As far as Israel, the largest recipient of economic assistance in this region is concerned, our fiscal year 1985 request is for $850 million in grants from the economic support fund, of which $785 million is for balance of payments support, and $65 million is to strengthen four United States-Israeli binational foundations. With that, sir, I would just as soon go to your questions. Those are the highlights of our program. [Mr. Langmaid's prepared statement follows:] 34-045 -84- .31 474 STATEMENT OF BRADSHAW LANGMAID, JR. ACTING ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR BUREAU FOR THE NEAR EAST AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE ON NEAR EASTERN AND SOUTH ASIAN AFFAIRS THURSDAY, MARCH 8, 1984 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to be here today to support the President's request for economic assistance to countries in the Near East. The President is requesting $1,745 million, consisting of $1,693 million in Economic Support Funds and $52 million in Development Assistance funds. Attached to this statement, which I am submitting for the record, is a table which summarizes the Administration's request. Under a separate appropriation, $301 million in Public Law 480 Titles I and II is also planned for countries in the Near East, . . 475 THE NEAR EAST The Administration's primary objective is to help bring a just and lasting peace to this crisis-torn area. In this context, our economic assistance programs are designed to support the efforts of those governments which are undertaking risks on the road to peace by addressing some of the pressing economic and long term development problems faced by these countries. Certain of our programs are directed at helping those countries which provide important access or transit facilities into the region for U.S. forces and support their deployment in time of crisis. Through our support of long term economic and social development as well as economic stabilization, and through support of emergency reconstruction efforts in Lebanon, A.I.D. helps strengthen the recognition that the U.S. is dedicated to the security and well-being of all friendly states in the area. EGYPT For Egypt in fiscal year 1985, we are requesting $750 million under the Economic Support Fund, the same level as in FY 1984. In addition, $238 million is planned under PL 480 $225 million under Title I and $12.8 million under bilateral Title II programs. We propose that the ESF resources be made available as grants, continuing a policy set by Congress in FY 1981. PL 480 Title I would be provided as a loan payable over 40 years, including a ten year grace period. Interest on the loan would be two percent during the grace period and three percent thereafter. 476 The program of economic assistance to Egypt continues to be built around three central objectives: stability, productivity, and equity. The main components of the Economic Support Fund program are: A $300 million Commodity Import Program to help assure the availability of essential materials and capital goods for Egyptian Industries, and for development programs and consumer items needed by the populace. $220 million to continue the rehabilitation and modernization of the country's infrastructure. This includes $200 million for the high priority water and wastewater rehabilitation and expansion programs in Cairo and Alexandria, and $20 million to continue improving the electricity distribution system, $110 million to help increase production and productivity in industry and agriculture. $75 million to enhance the provision of basic services at the local government level through the Decentralization Sector Support program. $45 million to strengthen essential social infrastructure in areas such as family planning, science and technology, and training, and to support feasibility studies and private voluntary activities. f The proposed FY 1985 program responds to Egyptian requests for balance of payments support, the rehabilitation and expansion of Egypt's major urban water and sewerage systems, and for its decentralization, production, and 477 population objectives. The proposed program is consistent with the Government of Egypt's five year plan. The program avoids investments in areas where they might impact negatively on the pace of needed economic reforms. The proposed FY 1985 assistance builds upon our ongoing program, which is performing well. The program is moving forward and increasingly is making itself felt in Egyptian life. Evidence of this includes: Program implementation improved dramatically in FY 1983 over prior years' performance. Expenditures exceeded new obligations for the 1 first time since the resumption of U.S. assistance in 1974. ESF expenditures in FY 1983 totalled $856.3 million against a projected level of $866.7 million, and total expenditures including PL 480 were $1,129 billion. For the first time, growth of the pipeline was reversed. From a peak of nearly $2.7 billion at the end of FY 1982, it dropped to a little under $2.5 billion at the end of FY 1983. By the end of FY 1983, the Decentralization Sector Support program had completed or had under way some 4,700 local infrastructure and service activities touching the lives of an estimated 32.5 million people out of a total Egyptian population estimated at 46 million people. Public awareness of family planning has grown and the use of modern contraceptives has increased. As a result, the population growth rate has declined from 3 percent in 1980 to 2.7 percent in 1982, according to Government of Egypt statistics. 478 Our investments in telecommunications are resulting in improved telephone service in Cairo. The first new telephone exchange began service in December 1983 and three additonal exchanges are expected to begin service during succeeding three to four month intervals. The Suez cement plant is completing its shakedown and will begin full-scale production within the next few months. The Quattamia cement plant will be completed within a year. These plants will increase Egypt's domestic cement production by as much as 60 percent, and together with other plants under construction should satisfy domestic demand for cement through 1990. In addition to the 300 megawatts of power now being generated by the A.I.D. financed Talka/Helwan generators, this year the first and second units at the Ismailia power station were completed, adding another 300 megawatts of electrical generating capacity. The construction of the 945 megawatt Shoubra power plant is ahead of schedule and the first unit will begin operation in January 1985. Over the past year, major construction contracts were signed and contractors have mobilized under the Low Income Housing project, Safaga Grain Silos, Cairo Water, Cairo Sewerage, Canal Cities Water and Sewerage and Alexandria Wastewater. Preliminary rehabilitation work in Alexandria and Cairo is already reducing sewerage overflows and flooding. 479 There are two reasons for the marked improvement in delivering U.S. assistance to Egypt. First, the project portfolio has matured to the point where capital projects in all major investment areas have passed the design and contracting stages and have reached full-scale construction. Second, A.I.D. and the Government of Egypt have taken several measures to improve program management: - A.I.D. and the Government of Egypt conduct joint, semi-annual portfolio reviews to focus additional attention on "problem projects" which are off their implementation schedules by more than a year, still face unresolved implementation problems, or face redesign decisions. These same reviews identify projects for attention which are showing early signs of falling behind. The Cairo Mission reports monthly on actions being taken to put "problem projects" back on track. Using a new authority provided by Congress during FY 1983, A.I.D. and the Government of Egypt deobligated $103.2 million from 13 projects and eight CIP agreements. The new authority provides a powerful tool for taking corrective action on slow-moving projects. While all program management problems have not disappeared, they have been reduced considerably. As of September 30, 1983, only ten projects in the active portfolio of 85 projects were identified by A.I.D. and the Government of Egypt as still facing significant implementation problems. These projects 480 have an unexpended pipeline of less than $80 million. We will continue to work with Egyptian government officials to resolve outstanding issues. Turning from our assistance program to Egypt's economic situation, there were both positive and negative aspects to Egypt's economic performance over the past year. It is encouraging, however, that the positive elements were largely the result of actions taken by the Egyptian Government rather than of fortuitous events, as has sometimes been the case in the past. The sharp deterioration in the balance of payments current account that occurred the previous year was slowed in the Egyptian fiscal year ending June 30, 1983. The current account deficit nevertheless grew by $100 million, reaching $2.2 billion, as the trade deficit, which had been eased by lower import prices the year before, jumped by $675 million. The increase in the trade deficit was due largely to a continued drop in the price of exported petroleum and increases in the price of imports. The trade deficit would have been been even larger if the government had not taken measures to restrain imports. Perhaps the most important of these measures was to require government agencies and public companies to buy foreign exchange at the free market rate rather thar. the government rate. This amounted to a de facto partial devaluation. It raised the local currency cost of imports by about 30 percent and therefore discouraged public sector imports. Much of the increase in the trade deficit was offset by a higher level of remittances from Egyptian workers abroad after public sector banks were allowed to pay near free market rates to attract them. Again, this was a de facto partial devaluation. 481 Despite the somewhat larger current account deficit, the overall balance of payments showed a surplus of $640 million, as compared to a deficit of $540 million the previous year. Part of the improvement is accounted for by higher disbursements of official loans and grants, especially those of A.I.D. Egypt's debt service ratio is probably close to 30 percent, a heavy but not unmanageable burden. We estimate that Egypt's debt service will increase by about $250 million in the current fiscal year, with half of that increase attributable to FMS. The increase in the debt service in the next few years is likely to amount to $300 - 400 million annually, but 400 million annually, but FMS will contribute very little to the increase if the Administration's proposal for all grant funding beginning in FY 85 is accepted. Without further policy changes, none of Egypt's foreign exchange resources can be expected to grow to cover this increased debt service. In fact, rapidly rising domestic consumption of energy driven by low domestic energy prices is likely to cut into oil exports. It is therefore urgent that steps be taken to encourage exports and to restrain demand which is both reducing the availability of goods for export and increasing imports of consumer goods. The Egyptian government is well aware of the extent and significance of its balance of payments and fiscal problems. On the one hand, it is making economic reforms to correct the causes of its problems. On the other hand, it is searching for additional free foreign exchange, including cash transfers from the United States. As A.I.D. Administrator McPherson said two years ago, A.I.D. is prepared to make a cash transfer to Egypt to help alleviate the dislocations which could accompany major economic reforms, but without basic 482 structural changes, particularly in pricing and subsidy policy, U.S. resources will continue to be more effectively utilized in projects which address social needs and promote increased economic productivity. In conclusion, I believe that the economic assistance program to Egypt has turned the corner. Project implementation is now moving well. Improved management systems are in place to tell us quickly when projects are in trouble and how efforts to resolve problems are proceeding. The program is focussed on the highest priorities of Egypt's five-year development plan. Most importantly, the program is having an increasingly tangible impact on a large portion of the Egyptian people. ISRAEL Our fiscal year 1985 request is for $850 million in grants from the Economic Support Fund, of which $785 million is for balance of payments support, and $65 million is to strengthen four U.S.-Israel binational foundations. ESF resources Combined with the proposed FMS program provide a strong demonstration of V.S. support for Israel and one which is intended to provide Israel with the security needed to take the risks associated with further steps toward peace in the Middle East. As in the past, the ESF balance of payments support grant will be implemented on the assurance that Israel will continue to import non-defense goods from the U.S. in an amount at least equal to the grant level, and that Israe? will follow agreed procedures for selecting dry bulk carriers to ship grain. These procedures were developed with a view toward assuring a share of the market for U.S. flag carriers. 31.12. 483 Israeli economic performance in 1983 was disappointing. Performance in exports, which have contributed some 40% to Israel's gross domestic product, was poor. While recession in Western Europe and North America had been a principal contributing factor to Israel's poor performance in 1982, continuation of the export slump is attributable to the Israeli policy of maintaining an overvalued exchange rate. High defense expenditures, continued efforts to maintain a high level of social services and economic security, and cheap imports combined to sustain domestic demand at high levels despite poor GNP growth performance. Buoyant domestic demand also added to inflationary pressures and reduced the economy's ability to export. Gross domestic product expanded by only about 1% in 1982 and 2% in 1983. However, per capita consumption grew by over 4% in 1983. The inflation rate increased to 190% (a record rate) compared to 132% in 1982 and 102% in 1981. Exports of goods and services declined by one percent in dollar terms while merchandise imports grew by 4%. The non-defense goods and services deficit for 1983 was about ܙ ؛ $3.9 billion, as compared to $3.2 billion in 1982. The enlarged current account deficit and amortization of external debt was financed by slight increases in bond sales and net foreign investment in Israel, somewhat larger increases in commercial borrowing and U.S. economic assistance, and a small drawdown of foreign exchange reserves. Israel's basic economic problems persist. These problems are triple-digit inflation and disequilibrium in the balance of payments. The challenge is to resolve these problems without undue sacrifice to the economic well-being of the people. Achievement of these objectives requires giving priority to export expansion, constraining budget deficits, monetary expansion and private consumption to hold growth in domestic demand, and careful scheduling of military equipment purchases so that they do not unduly exacerbate existing economic pressures. 484 In addition to balance of payments support, A.I.D. also proposes to provide, on a one-time basis, $65 million for endowment of four U.S.-Israeli binational foundations: the Binational Industrial Research and Development Foundation ($25 million); the Binational Science Foundation ($20 million); the Binational Agricultural Research and Development Fund ($15 million); and the U.S.-Israeli Educational Foundation ($5 million). These foundations need additional funding in part because their original endowments have shrunk in real terms because they were invested at interest rates below the rate of inflation. The additional funds requested will also make it possible to fund larger programs. Funds will be provided to the foundations only upon successful negotiation of changes designed to strengthen their financial condition. The activities of these foundations constitute important contributions to Israel's longer term objectives in the areas of science-based and high-technology production. JORDAN In fiscal year 1985 we are requesting $20 million under the Economic Support Fund for Jordan, of which $13 million will be grants and $7 million will be loans with maturities of 20 years, a five-year grace period, and five percent interest. These resources will be used to support priority development programs in a country which is a moderate voice in the Arab world and which seeks to play a positive role in responding to President Reagan's September 1, 1982 peace initiative. While Jordan's level of per capita income places it in the ranks of the middle-income countries, its need for external resources is significant. Jordan continues to be highly dependent upon foreign assistance to finance its ambitious development plans, and, with the declining price of 485 oil, some Arab donors have slowed or reduced their assistance to Jordan. Remittances from Jordanian workers abroad have also leveled off. In 1982 Jordan's overall balance of payments was in deficit for the first time in over five years, while the expansion of gross domestic product was 5.5 percent, well below recent growth rates. With meager natural resources, Jordan's successes are due to government policies which encourage a dynamic private sector, and to a skilled and hard working labor force. The fiscal year 1985 program will continue A.I.D.'s emphasis on technical assistance and technology transfer projects which stress institution-building involving both the public and private sectors, as the best means to make a qualitative American impact with a relatively small assistance program. In support of Jordan's five-year plan to stimulate more geographically balanced growth and subject to feasibility analysis, A.I.D. will help increase agricultural production in the highland rainfed regions, and will initiate a pilot effort to encourage the development of small enterprises in rural areas. Another major new initiative is the Jordanian-American Scholarship fund, which will be set up to help finance Jordanians wishing to study in the United States. LEBANON For fiscal year 1985 we request $20 million in grant funds under the Economic Support Fund, a substantial reduction from the FY 1983-84 supplemental request of $150 million. This reduction has been envisioned since FY 1983, when we decided to infuse a large amount into reconstruction of the beleaguered Lebanese economy. By this effort, we had hoped to attract other donor 486 contributions to Lebanon while providing highly visible, quick-disbursing reconstruction assistance. While the ongoing hostilities have slowed the inflow of aid, our future assistance will be important to demonstrate support for Lebanon during the difficult period of political reconciliation and reconstruction.' In FY 1983, we were able to accomplish a great deal despite constant security threats and the April 18th attack on our Embassy. AID maintained a full Mission in Beirut until September 1983. In September, the security situation deteriorated very seriously and all of our Beirut staff has since be withdrawn. Most important among our accomplishments were the design of a $150 million reconstruction program, the establishment of productive working relationships with the Lebanese responsible for reconstruction, and a significant statement, by our very presence, of U.S. support for a unified and peaceful Lebanon. In the remainder of FY 1984 with a competent local staff coming to work every day, we will continue to implement some projects and obligate additional funds for these projects as the security situation allows, We already have request from international and private voluntary agencies to fund emergency relief activities. It is very likely these will be financed from last year's supplemental. However, we are unable to precisely estimate these requirements at this time. In point of fact, the fast changing situation on the ground in Lebanon may require redesign of the FY 1985 program. Events have already required us to reallocate, for emergency relief and support for American-sponsored educational institutions in Beirut, part of the funding requested last year 487 for our supplemental $150 million reconstruction program. We will probably have to make further reallocations after, of course, prior consulation with the Congress. Thus, some or all of the new $20 million request may be used to replenish the funds already taken from the reconstruction program. The program we propose for FY 1985 focusses on three sectors: housing, health, and national income generation. These sectors have been selected as those in most need following two years of investing in capital infrastructure repair. The proposed activities include: housing reconstruction: to be carried out by two private voluntary organizations (PVOs) through complementary programs of training in building skills and credit to the low income homeowner for home repair or reconstruction; health care improvement: to finance the first stage of decentralizing a terribly over burdened Health Ministry so that health care in Lebanon can move from its current orientation toward curative, hospital care to preventative clinic care which is both more accessible and affordable; and government revenue generation: to provide technical assistance to Lebanon's Finance Ministry and Central Bank in planning and establishing national mechanisms for improving and collecting government revenues. 488 MOROCCO For fiscal year 1985 we are requesting $19 million in Development Assistance funds and $15 million under the Economic Support Fund for Morocco. In addition, under a separate appropriation, we are requesting $40 million under PL 480 Title I and $9.7 million for the Title II program, The substantially increased level of requested economic assistance reflects the fact that Morocco, as a long-standing friend of the U.S., continues to face a deteriorating economic situation marked by large budget and trade deficits, rapidly increasing service costs on external debt, and other difficult domestic economic problems. Since the late 1970s Morocco has been struggling to overcome declining demand for its principal export, phosphates, and growing competition and protectionism that have limited agricultural exports. These negative export trends have coincided with dramatic increases in Morocco's import bills for energy and food, but the persistent decline in phosphate prices since 1975, the global recession of the past three years, and stagnation in domestic agricultural production have limited the impact of the GOM's adjustment efforts. In July, 1983, the Moroccan Government adopted a broad program of austerity measures and reduced or eliminated subsidies (thereby raising prices) on consumer goods, water, electricity and petroleum products. The Government of Morocco's 1983 operating and investment budgets were revised downward to curtail persistent budget deficits. In September, 1983, Morocco entered into a new 18-month stand-by arrangement with the IMF for: $315 million. Moreover, the Government agreed to remove a further number of controls on prices, thereby reducing the subsidy burden in the budget. Other important elements vr*.*".'' 489 of the program are a sharp reduction in Government hiring, introduction of a value-added tax, trade liberalization measures, and continuation of a flexible exchange rate policy which included a devaluation of 10 percent in August 1983. Morocco is also presently engaged in a rescheduling of its official and commercial debt repayments. Nevertheless, even with successful debt reschedulings, Morocco will still require over $700 million in financing from the donor community through the end of calendar year 1984 to meet its obligations. Active U.S. participation in a collaborative effort to provide additional support through increased levels of ESF and P.L. 480 Title I, together with CCC credits, is critical to Morocco's success in filling this gap. Morocco's overall balance of payments problems, its requirement for a high level of wheat imports, the stagnant agricultural sector, and extensive underemployment, have led A.I.D. to a strategy which concentrates on three priorities increasing food production on rainfed lands, reducing the rate of population growth, and reducing energy costs. A.I.D.'s agricultural strategy combines Development Assistance funding, PL 480 Title I local currency sales proceeds, and Economic Support Funds in an integrated program to promote investment in agricultural production. The principal component of A.I.D.'s population strategy is to help the government to deliver on a broad scale basic health services combined with family planning education and commodities. In the energy sector AID will continue to assist the Government of Morocco to improve its energy planning and policies, and to identify and exploit domestic sources of conventional and renewable energy, and thus to reduce energy imports. 84-045 0-84-32 490 A.I.D. also provides modest levels of support for a participant training program both at U.S. universities and in-country, for central, regional, and local government personnel. OMAN In fiscal year 1985 we are requesting $20 million under the Economic Support Fund for Oman, of which $5 million would be in grants and $15 million in loans. The loan funds are repayable in twenty years with a five-year grace period and five percent interest. In 1980 the United States agreed to establish a Joint Commission with Oman through which modest levels of economic assistance would be channeled to respond to the Omani desire to broaden our bilateral relationship beyond mutual security concerns in the area. Oman's high per capita income is based almost entirely on its oil wealth and obscures the fact that the overall level of economic development is low. The modernization process is only 14 years old and the country has spent large sums of money on creating the basic physical infrastructure upon which to launch effective development programs. Oman will require technical assistance for many years to implement development programs which will meet the needs of its people. The fiscal year 1985 grant funds will support the work of the Joint Commission in performing feasibility studies and technical assistance, and provide more funding for the participant training project, which began in fiscal year 1983. The $15 million loan will be used to support further expansion of the schools construction project which the Joint Commission initiated in fiscal year 1983. 491 TUNISIA For Tunisia, we are requesting $3 million in ESF grants to extend the scholarship program, which under the Technology Transfer project funds graduate-level education for Tunisians at U.S. universities. The investment will support A.I.D.'s phaseout process while giving evidence of continued U.S. interest in Tunisia's economic progress and helping build linkages between Tunisian and U.S. institutions. YEMEN ARAB REPUBLIC We are requesting $30 million in Development Assistance grants for Yemen in fiscal year 1985 and, under a separate appropriation, $5 million in PL 480 Title I to finance rice and wheat imports. Despite several years of rapid domestic economic growth, Yemen still ranks as one of the world's poorest countries, particularly in terms of quality of life Indicators. Beginning in the latter half of the 1970s, real gross domestic product expanded between 5 and 9 percent per annum, fueled primarily by the growth of remittances from Yemenis working abroad and by foreign assistance, principally from Arab donors. The world-wide recession, declining demand for Arab oil, and the Iran-Iraq war have caused sharp declines in worker remittances and Arab donor assistance. Official estimates are that remittances declined from a high of about $1.3 billion in 1979 to $1.0 billion in 1981, but were up 10% in 1982 and in 1983 are expected to reach $1.2 billion. Declining or stagnant remittances and rapidly increasing imports (up 50% during 1979-82 and up sharply in the first quarter of 1983) have caused the external current account balance to deteriorate from a $300 million 492 surplus in 1977 to a $600-$700 million deficit during 1980-1982. The deficit may exceed $800 million in 1983. These economic trends, coupled with a devastating earthquake on December 13, 1982 in Dhamar Province, which reportedly killed or injured 5000 people and left up to 400,000 homeless, strongly suggest that the Government of Yemen will not be able to implement } its ambitious development schemes as previously planned. Aside from some agricultural potential, Yemen's natural resources are meager. Yet there is a reasonable prospect that by building up the physical and human infrastructure, creating and strengthening institutions, mobilizing human resources and further encouraging a dynamic private sector, it will be possible to achieve substantial improvements in the quality of life for Yemeni citizens. In this context, the A.I.D. strategy places particular emphasis on institutional and human resource development and appropriate technology transfer, while other donors, particularly the Arabs, emphasize capital construction projects. Our strategy is manifest in our portfolio of projects, which address a wide range of agricultural problems through a long term, U.S. University, Title XII endeavor with the Ministry of Agriculture; a similar collaborative assistance project in education which will improve primary education and teacher preparation; and a broad-based participant training project to introduce needed technical and managerial skills into governmental and private institutions. The portfolio also includes significant projects addressing health service delivery in the Tihama, the poorest area of the country, village-based development activities particularly rural water -------- supply projects and a new effort to train health care workers in family + planning education. All elements of the A.I.D. program are heavily focussed on the technical assistance and training which will help Yemen to achieve self-sustaining development and address some of the basic needs of its people. 493 REGIONAL ACTIVITIES In addition to these country programs we are requesting $3 million in Development Assistance grant funds and $15 million in grants under the Economic Support Fund for projects which impact primarily on the Near East. The Development Assistance funds will finance project design and evaluation work (about $800,000) for Near East development assistance programs, and six continuing projects (about $2.2 million). These include: a Science and Technology Information Transfer project, a project to stimulate private enter- prise development, a legal education for human rights project, a program of small projects in collaboration with the Peace Corps, a regional environmental protection project, and family planning activities. ESF funds amounting to $500,000 will also support regional population activities. The balance of our request under the Economic Support Fund will support development efforts in the West Bank and Gaza ($9 million) which are implemented in large part by American voluntary agencies and address needs in such areas as vocational and higher education, community development, land reclamation, improved water storage, and agricultural cooperative marketing. In addition, $5 million is requested to finance cooperative scientific, technical and other activities of mutual interest to Israel and its Arab neighbors, and $500,000 is required for project development and support activities, primarily project design and evaluation services, related to the development of ESF country programs. Under a separate appropriation $2,288,000 in PL 480 Title II is requested for programs in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. 494 SYRIA No new funds have been requested for Syria since FY 1979. Uncommitted balances in the pipeline were frozen in 1983 as U.S.-Syrian relations deteriorated, and in November, 1983, laws were enacted prohibiting A.I.D. from making any further payments or delivery of goods and services to the Government of Syria under A.I.D.-financed projects. The laws require that all undisbursed funds be deobligated except for those funds required to complete the training of Syrian students in the U.S. and needed to meet contractors' legitimate obligations and termination expenses. A.I.D. has begun implementing this legislation, and we expect that all funds not required for the forgoing purposes will be deobligated during FY 1984. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would be pleased to answer any questions that you and members of the Committee may have. NEAR EAST PROGRAM SUMMARY (In millions of dollars) FY 1983 FY 1984 Actual Estimated 750.0 750.0 FY 1985 Request 750.0 Egypt ESF Israel ESF 785.0 910.0 850.0 Jordan ESF 20.0 20.0 20.0 Lebanon ESF 150.0 11 20.0 Morocco ESF 7.0 15.0 DA 11.2 19.0 19.0 Oman ESF 15.0 15.0 20.0 Tunisia ESF 5.0 1.5 3.0 Yemen DA 28.1 27.5 30.0 Regional DA 4.4 3.8 3.0 ESF 12.5 14.0 15.0 NEAR EAST TOTAL 1/ 1781.2 1767.8 1745.0 ESF 1737.5 1717.5 1693.0 DA 43.7 50.3 52.0 1/ Supplemental appropriation covering FYs 1983 and 1984 495 Senator BOSCHWITZ. Mr. Staples, I see that you, too, have an opening statement. Mr. STAPLES. Yes, sir. I have some very brief remarks that will take about a minute, if I might. STATEMENT OF EUGENE S. STAPLES, DEPUTY ASSISTANT ADMIN- ISTRATOR FOR ASIA, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOP. MENT Mr. STAPLES. In terms of basic human needs, the South Asia region contains the world's single largest concentration of extreme- ly poor people, and it also, as Ambassador Murphy has noted, con- tains one country-Pakistan-whose immediate neighbor-Afghan- istan-is partly, if not very successfully, occupied by Soviet troops. In South Asia our economic assistance programs concentrate on a small number of critical basic problems. These include increasing food production, helping in efforts to slow population growth, work- ing on basic health care systems, and improving the management of natural resource systems. Our programs are very important sources of support in such subjects as agriculture and forestry re- search, and throughout the region we continue to be a major factor in basic institution building. As concerns economic policy, most observers believe that over the past several years of world recession, the South Asian govern- ments, by and large, have managed their economies well. None has been in danger of default. All are moving in the direction of eco- nomic liberalization, with increased emphasis on private sector growth and export performance. We believe their economic and social development programs are eminently worthy of continued U.S. support both for the basic human needs at stake and because of the essential soundness of their economic development policies. I also would be pleased to respond to any questions you may have. [Mr. Staples' prepared statement follows:] 496 STATEMENT BY EUGENE S. STAPLES DEPUTY ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR, BUREAU FOR ASIA AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: Thank you for the opportunity to testify on behalf of the Asia Bureau's request for Fiscal Year 1985, with emphasis on South Asia. Our request for South Asian countries includes $276 million in Development Assistance for Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Nepal; $200 million in Economic Support Funds for Pakistan; and $311 million in P.L. 480 assistance under Titles I, II, and III. This represents nearly two-thirds of the total Asia Bureau economic assistance, and five-sixths of the food aid. This allocation recognizes the political importance of these countries to the United States, including Pakistan's status as a front-line country, and its efforts to stem production of illicit narcotics. Also, the great majority of the world's poor people live in South Asia. Many health and other quality of life indicators in South Asia are well below those elsewhere in the underdeveloped world. Increasing food production and decreasing population growth rates continue to be pressing needs, although important successes have been achieved in recent years. 497 South Asian countries were hard hit by the oil price increase of the early 1970s. There were considerable economic improvements in the late 1970s and early 1980s, despite the worldwide recession. Agricultural performance improved in the late 1970s due to good weather, improved policies, and the cumulative effects of development investment in that sector. Workers' remittances also made a difference. Thus, the countries of South Asia started the 1980s desperately poor, but remarkably resilient economically, due in considerable measure to wise economic management. A.I.D. PRIORITIES Poverty alleviation remains the underlying purpose of A.I.D. programs in South Asia. Economic growth in the context of equitable social and economic policies is essential to this goal. Our approach encourages sound economic policies, supports indigenous scientific capability and the development of technology, and stimulates private institutions critical to the economic development process. Policy dialogue is essential. In all of our cooperating countries we work with host governments to improve economic and development programs and priorities, and remove obstacles to development that 498 may be posed by inefficient policies. A good example is the shift in Bangladesh fertilizer sales to the private sector. We support the application of effective technologies and institutional frameworks, in which the United States is relatively strong; thus technical assistance is a large part of the program, although availability of grant funds may be a limiting factor. But capital assistance, carefully linked to technical assistance and training, will also be needed to demonstrate institutional and technical solutions to complex problems, and to increase effectiveness of policy dialogue. Private enterprise programming requires strong and creative efforts in policy dialogue, institutional strengthening, development finance, training, and information exchange. The private sector is an important dinension of development, and we can be helpful in this area. The large and very poor countries of South Asia remain the region's, and perhaps the world's, major development challenge. We have helped to lay the foundations for sustained growth and development in the subcontinent. We must ontinue a significant contribution to the development effort of these countries. 499 BANGLADESH For FY 1985, we are requesting $82 million in DA (a 4% increase over 1983), $75 million in Title I/III, and $23 million Title II for Bangladesh. The A.I.D. program expresses our humanitarian concern for one of the world's poorest countries. In addition, the United States has an interest in working effectively with countries which are adopting sound economic policies in pursuit of development. A.I.D. will continue to support policy reform in Bangladesh. During 1983, a slight increase in GNP and per capita income was evident. Remittances from Bangladeshis working abroad were unexpectedly strong, although 1984 may see slower growth in this There was a partial recovery in the demand for jute, and area. harvests were excellent, thanks to good weather and increased irrigation use. Government policy reforms instituted in 1982 to reinstate fiscal discipline, mobilize domestic resources and encourage private sector involvement in economic development continued to have a positive impact on the economy. Nevertheless, the country remains in a recession. Despite vigorous efforts to promote private investment, the industrial sector lagged. Though modest overall growth was achieved in 1983, Bangladesh remains extremely poor; its GNP per capita is estimated at only $142. Agricultural production increases were mostly absorbed by the high 500 continuing rate of population growth. At 1,600 people per square mile, Bangladesh is the most densely populated agrarian country in the world. A progressive relaxation of the more rigorous aspects of martial law and a gradual transition to a more open style of government took place during 1983. The Martial Law Administration has; from the outset, pledged itself to a return to representative constitutional government. Presidential and parliamentary elections have been scheduled for May and November 1984, respectively. A.I.D. assistance strategy is aimed at reducing human fertility, increasing foodgrain production, and supporting rural industries and energy development in ways which facilitate agricultural production and employment for the growing population. In accordance with Bangladesh's own development priorities, A.I.D.'s primary development objective is the reduction of fertility. There has been a significant increase in knowledge about family planning methods since the early 1970s. For example, the percentage of women knowing about oral contraception more than doubled to 95 percent. Use of contraception by married women has increased from 7.7 to 18.6 percent since 1975. There is evidence to indicate that there is still a considerable unmet demand for family planning services. In 501 areas where high quality family planning services are readily accessible, contraceptive prevalence rates have reached up to 40 percent. In FY 1985, A.I.D. will continue to support the Bangladesh family planning effort with commodities, participant training, local cost financing for voluntary sterilization, a wide range of community-based family planning projects of non-governmental organizations, and a highly successful contraceptive retail sales program. In the agricultural sector, the A.I.D. program will promote improved access to credit for agriculture and rural industries, increased farmer access to agricultural inputs such as fertilizer and irrigation equipment, and improved on-farm research. Greater private sector participation in the distribution of inputs will be encouraged, and improved agricultural policies affecting foodgrain pricing and marketing will be sought. The latter is the target of PL 480 Title III and the Development Assistance effort. A Food for Work III project will expand the rural roads system begun under ito: predecessor projects, and include the construction of small bridges and culverts to enhance the developmental value of the roads. The program will remain A.I.D.'s primary vehicle for providing seasonal off-farm employment. 502 INDIA In FY 1985 we are requesting $87 million in Development Assistance and $125 million in P.L. 480 Title II food assistance through the voluntary agencies. These represent a slight decrease from the FY 1983 Development Assistance level, and a four percent increase in P.L. 480 Title II. India is a major economic and political force in Asia - a critical factor in the peace and stability of the region. Our overall policy toward India (reinforced by Mrs. Gandhi's 1982 trip to the United States) is to conduct a cordial high-level dialogue on issues of regional and global concern. Our objective is to enhance understanding in areas where our views differ, and develop channels for cooperation in areas of mutual interest, such as economics and commerce, science and technology, and education, and culture. The A.I.D. program represents U.$. commitment to India's continued progress in economic development, with emphasis on improving conditions for the poor majority. Overall, India has enjoyed a decade of steady economic growth and a well managed economy. Following a difficult year in 1982-83 due to poor monsoon rains, projections for economic growth are again rising. The potential for growth, however, is hampered by . 503 continuing power shortages which are adversely affecting agricultural production and industrial growth, and holding down net gains in GNP. The dramatic 50% increase in domestic oil production (in 1981-82 over the previous year), combined with lower international oil prices, eased the pressure on India's balance of payments. It helped offset the adverse impact of the world recession on exports, and of the poor nonsoon rains which gave rise to increased food imports. The Indian economy seems to be making up the ground lost last year. Population pressures and growing resource scarcities pose fundamental policy choices for the Government of India. In response, it is gradually liberalizing its economic controls to mobilize the private sector and generate greater economic growth. recent promising sign was the loosening of import restrictions on essential technology in certain key areas, a development which A should facilitate Indo-U.S. trade. Through long-term efforts, India has reduced its population growth rate to 2.2% and its crude birth rate to 36 per thousand. However, the Government of India recognizes that further efforts are needed to keep the population growth rate from wiping out development gains. The Government is vigorously expanding its primary health care system, including family planning services, and support for indice... 504 other factors influencing adoption of a small family norm, such as raising rural employment, better water and sanitation, and elementary education. U.S. assistance programs are designed to help India overcome its persistent poverty through technological and institutional change. The FY 1985 program emphasizes: --Improved management of irrigation systems, support for water management institutions, and emphasis on agricultural research, all to increase agricultural production. The combination of better use of water, increased food production and enhanced rural employment are the keys to poverty reduction in India. These efforts are the centerpiece of A.I.D.'s program, and will account for the majority of the proposed FY 1985 DA funding; --Expansion of rural energy supplies and strengthening of institutions and community efforts to protect forestry resources; --Marketing and commercial dissemination of family planning supplies; --Biomedical research and other science and technology approaches to development problems; 505 --Upgrading nationwide nutrition programs, including those using U.S.-donated food under P.L. 480; and --Use of P.L. 480 Title II commodities to PVOs to increase food supplies to children and other nutritionally vulnerable groups, and to promote agricultural development. PAKISTAN For fiscal year 1985 we are requesting $200 million in Economic Support Funds, $50 million in Development Assistance and $50 million in P.L. 480 Title I food aid. This represents the fourth tranche of 1 the package of economic and food aid for the period FY 1982-87, which we negotiated with the Government of Pakistan in 1981. In view of Pakistan's location on the Persian Gulf and its borders with Afghanistan, China and India, the country occupies an important place in U.S. strategic considerations. Pakistan has taken a major role in responding to the 1979 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan on the diplomatic front and in providing a haven for over two million Afghan refugees. While Pakistan's economy has enjoyed impressive growth and declining inflation over the past six years, its immediate economic prospects depend on a number of key factors: 34-045 0-84-33 506 --A precarious balance of payments situation is the most serious and immediate problem facing the country. Though IMF support and high levels of overseas workers' remittances have helped to narrow the current account deficit, the growth of remittances has slowed dramatically over the past year. The limited potential for export earnings, the continually rising import : bill, and a sharp increase in debt service payments are key factors affecting Pakistan's balance of payments. I 1 --While an input-based agricultural growth strategy is yielding some results, Pakistan must address fundamental problems of agricultural pricing, marketing and research. --Continued growth in the industrial sector depends upon a 1 revival of private sector confidence stimulated by deregulation and investment incentives. --Pakistan's population growth rate of three percent is among the highest in the world. It offsets gains from productive investment and undermines political stability. The objectives of our assistance program are to provide Pakistan with short-term balance of payments support and to stimulate the country's long-term economic and social development. Our 23 ongoing and planned development projects are designed to assist Government 507 of Pakistan policy formation in the agriculture, population, health and energy sectors, with special emphasis upon private sector development and narcotics reduction. The main beneficiaries of our assistance are the rural poor, who will gain from increases in agricultural production and higher rural incomes, improved rural health services, reduced population growth rates, and increased energy production. Narcotics suppression is a priority U.S. program objective in Pakistan, A.I.D.'s Gadoon-Amazai Area Development Project is designed to transform Pakistan's principal opium poppy growing area into an area with a more diversified agricultural economy, with alternative sources of income for farmers currently engaged in poppy cultivation. In 1983, just prior to the project's inception, the Gadoon-Amazai area accounted for roughly half of the opium poppy produced in Pakistan. A.I.D. is also working closely with the Government and other multilateral and bilateral donors to implement a Special Development and Enforcement Plan for the complete eradication of all opium poppy production in Pakistan. As noted earlier, Pakistan's population growth rate of three percent continues to be a major constraint to Pakistan's development. Fewer than five percent of Pakistani couples have ever used modern means of contraception, and only 20 percent know how to obtain them. : 508 A.I.D. is in accord with Government strategies for population planning Our short-term approach is to help Pakistan improve delivery of family planning services through the private sector as well as through public sector health programs. However, we realize $ that broader socio-economic factors determine the demand for family planning, child-spacing and overall fertility reduction. Decreased infant mortality, increased female education and improvements in female employment and social status are important conditions for -- increased use of family planning and. eventual declines in population growth rates. We view our entire project portfolio as a means of bringing about changes in these socio-economic factors. SRI LANKA For FY 1985 we are requesting $41.5 million Development Assistance and $26 million P.L. 480 Title I and $6 million Title II. These figures are 10% below the FY 1983 level. We also anticipate the use of $ 15 million in Housing Guarantees. Sri Lanka is one of the poorer countries in Asia ($300 per capita GNP), but has one of the best records on meeting the basic human needs of its people. It is 1 committed to development with equity, and has taken major steps to liberalize its economy and place increasing reliance on the private sector. We commend and support Sri Lanka for its commitment to democracy. Unfortunately, the Government's economic liberalization LE 509 and divesture actions have slowed recently because of inflation and recession, and major political and communal problems, which the Government is working to resolve. 1983 was not a good year for the Sri Lankan economy. The real GD growth rate, having already slowed to 5.1% in 1982 from the 6% average achieved in 1979-81, was expected to fall to about 4.2% (an 18% drop from 1982). This was due partially to the serious communal disturbances of July 1983, and partially to a drought, which The lack of severely affected the Yala rice crop and the tree crop. rainfall also resulted in daily two-hour power cuts during the last quarter of 1983, which continue. Tea production is at its lowest tea levels since 1965, but due entirely to record tea prices earnings are at an all time high. The The 1983 inflation rate was higher than anticipated at 15%. debt service ratio, which stood at 25% of merchandise exports in 1982, is expected to continue to rise over the next several years. The present debt service burden is large considering the recent and prospective export performance. The Sri Lanka's 1984 capital budget is programmed to be 8% less than last year's, and the projected budget deficit is down by 23%, but even these reduced levels are considered too high by the IMF and the World Bank. "The Finance Minister did pave the way in his budget presentation for continued devaluation of the overvalues rupee. Major structural problems in 510 the economy continue to be the slow growth of exports (both traditional and non-traditional), excessive protectionism and an inelastic tax base. The Government of Sri Lanka remains committed to the basic policies of economic liberalization and an opening up of the economy. However, it must deal with these structural imbalances and budgetary constraints to maintain the support of the aid and international banking communities and to regain the track to self-sustained growth. 1 Socio-economic indicators on education and mortality levels show continued progress and improvements. The school enrollment rate has gone up from 79.1% in 1979 to 91.5% in 1981. The literacy rate improved from an estimated 78.5% to 86.5% during the same period. Due to the extensive health care system in the country, the crude death rate has dropped from 7.8 in 1976 to 6.1 per 1,000 population in 1981. However, the health care system focuses extensively on 1 curative rather than preventive health care with resultant high costs, and is faced with a large shortfall in the number of trained medical personnel. While these measures speak generally about the achievements in the area of socio-economic development, they also indicate the growing socio-economic demands in the years to come. Sri Lanka's population .: Bari I 511 will continue to expand, bringing the total population to at least 20 million by the year 2000, an increase of about 5 million or one-third of the existing population. A.I.D.'s program in FY 1985 will continue to stress the expansion of food production, increasing employment and incomes, and human productivity. The program concentration in agriculture continues, with new projects in Mahaweli Agriculture and Rural Development, Irrigation Systems Management, and Development Training and Support. Additional funds will be provided for the large Mahaweli Basin Development II Project. A new project in Preventive Health and Family Planning Services will particularly benefit infants, mothers and malnourished children. Funds also will be provided for two significant environmental health projects, Malaria Control and Water Supply & Sanitation. Through P.L. 480 Title I loans and technical assistance, A.I.D. is ! encouraging a major long-term plan for investments in food, agriculture and nutrition. The focus of the Title II program is on malnourished children and supplemental food for pregnant and lactating mothers. 512 : NEPAL For Nepal, we are requesting $ 15 million in Development Assistance, nine percent more than in FY 1983. King Birendra's December, 1983 visit to Washington provided an opportunity for joint discussions on Nepal's major development concerns, its commitment to deal effectively with those concerns, and approaches to maximize the effectiveness of A.I.D. resources. It is clear that Nepal values our assistance highly , and supports our basic development strategy. Nepal's economy continues stagnant. Agricultural production was seriously affected by the weather over the past two years. Resulting production shortfalls were upward of 20 percent of "normal" years' production. These shortfalls affected agricultural processing industries, and exports declined accordingly. Gains continued to be made in other productive sectors, but the share of non-agricultural sectors in terms of GDP is less than 10 percent. Inflation continues at a level of 12 percent, reflecting continued high demand pressure, and imports continued to increase as exports fell. The balance of payments current account deficit rose from $96 million in 1981 to $200 million in 1983. Prospects for 1984 are improving as agricultural production appears to be recovering from the previous years' drought conditions. (Way ***** 513 The A.I.D. program in Nepal is directed to humanitarian and development needs, keyed to Nepal's priorities as set out in its Sixth Five-Year Plan. Very special attention is given to protection of Nepal's natural resources, a problem that has captured the attention of the world. Existing projects focus on agricultural and rural area development, environmental degradation in the hill areas, family planning and health, and teacher training. All projects incorporate institution building, technology transfer, and manpower training elements. In FY 1985, we will start a new agricultural research and production project to exploit gains being made in adaptive research on higher yielding varieties of grain crops. We will move into the second phase of an effort to create a high-caliber agricultural institution (Institute of Agriculture and Animal Sciences) through a joint project with the World Bank. On-going rural development and resource conservation efforts will be made more effective by incorporating conclusions reached in mid-term evaluations of two projects in these areas. A new project in female education will test alternative approaches to increasing girls' participation in the school system, and evaluating possible incentives for their longer retention in the system, By providing increased and longer educational opportunities 514 for girls and women, a heightened awareness and motivation for family planning is expected to contribute to reduction of population growth rates. We will continue addressing the service delivery aspects of the population problem through our integrated rural health and family planning project. CONCLUSION This summarizes the U.S. assistance request for South Asia for FY 1985. We are working on some new approaches while holding to our basic purpose of helping countries meet the basic human needs of their citizens. I appreciate this opportunity to appear before you today, and am ready to answer your questions. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Let me ask you-any one of you-this ques- tion. As you know all of the FMS loans, as well as the grants, of course, are to be on budget this year. It is not clear to me, now that they are on budget, what the terms of the concessional loans will be. Ambassador Murphy, or General Tixier, are you familiar with this? What will the terms of the loans be? Ambassador MURPHY. It is my understanding, Mr. Chairman, that the terms of the loans-well, there is no one answer to that. There is a difference in grace periods, for instance, on these loans but the interest rates will vary between 3 and 5 percent. I believe that each one is looked at case by case. Senator BOSCHWITZ. So they will be truly concessional at the 3- to 5-percent range. Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir. That is about 9 percent, I guess, maximum below the commercial rates. Senator BOSCHWITZ. None of you alluded to the debt problem, except perhaps Mr. Staples, who says that the economies are doing well in his neck of the woods, but I notice in a number of nations, countries like Morocco, Tunisia, Israel, and others are having great repayment problems. In the case of at least one-Tunisia—the amount of their aid does not even come near their repayment obli- gations. Some of these countries have very high interest rates attached to their loans. It would seem to me that the loans, as they are refi- nanced in this country, certainly are not refinanced at the rates that we are charging them. Has there been any examination of the possibility of adjusting some of those rates from earlier loans? Would you need legislation? . 515 I don't believe that we have been approached for legislation on that. Can it be done administratively? Ambassador MURPHY. Would this be principally the FMS, Mr. Chairman? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Sure. It is principally the FMS. General TIXIER. Sir, we are looking at that, and we are aware of that problem. It is now under study between DSAA and State De- partment to see what can be done. Several of those countries have asked for that; Egypt in particular has asked for some relief, and that is being studied to see what we can do about that. Ambassador MURPHY. Mr. Chairman, did you mention Tunisia as a case in point where they were not getting assistance in a sum greater than what they are expected to repay? Senator BOSCHWITZ. That is correct. Ambassador MURPHY. My understanding is that we, in making a request for, I believe, $75 million, are above the repayment level, considerably above that, if we put together the concessional rates, loans, the MAP assistance, Public Law 480 title I and Public Law 480 title II. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, not all of those things are purposeful. Why don't you just call them loan repayment grants? Besides, as I see all of that, there is a total of about $24 or $25 million in grants, including MAP which is $15 million, IMET which is $1.7, and Public Law 480. What are they going to do—repay us in wheat? And it looks like their obligations this year are somewhat larger, about $30 million; 1985 gets considerably worse. To return for a moment, General Tixier, to that problem, be- cause I do not think we should leave it so rapidly, do you have the authority to change the loan rates? You say you are looking at it. General TIXIER. That is what we are studying now, sir, to see how we can do that. I do not know if we have that authority or not, right off the top of my head. I know that we are looking at what we can do in order to solve or help solve the problem. Of course, one step is by going to the grant program. That doesn't help the people right now, not at all, because that will be in the outyears. Their immediate problem is meeting the interest payments schedules that they have now. Senator BOSCHWITZ. And principal. General TIXIER. Yes; and principal. But for so many of them, the principal is delayed. They will have a grace period before they start repaying the principal. Senator BOSCHWITZ. These grace periods, in many instances, are evaporating. They are coming to an end. General TIXIER. Yes, sir; that is correct. And that is the problem that we are trying to figure out how to resolve. Senator BOSCHWITZ. When they make loans, and during the peri- ods of particularly high interest rates in this country when the FFB rates were 13, 14 points and some of these loans were made at that rate—the loan rate was locked in for a 30-year period or whatever the period of the loan was. I presume that we did not go out and borrow that money for 30 years at that rate. 516 I Are you familiar with how the Government debt was structured with respect to that? I presume we are turning it over into lower rates. I do not see why we cannot pass on those lower rates. General TIXIER. As I understand it, sir, when the loan is made, when the money is committed, the rate was the going rate at that time. Senator BOSCHWITZ. That is correct. General TIXIER. And there was no provision to lower those rates. What has happened in several of those countries is, things-you know, with the oil situation, with the lack of revenues that they had thought were coming in, combined with urgency on their part to buy some of the things that they needed to enhance their securi- ty, I think that was something that fell through the crack. Senator BOSCHWITZ. We certainly did not go out and borrow the money for 30 years--the U.S. Government at those rates-or I sure hope we did not. As a result, it would seem to me that we could more equitably reflect the actual rates at which we borrow. May I ask this other question? In the event some of the moneys that we committed—I didn't want to say “obligated”—but that we committed-have not been used I presume that the interest rate at the time they are used will govern, and not at the time they were committed? General TIXIER. That is correct. Yes, sir. I was just passed information that they, in fact, did borrow at the market rates. We are now locked into those. Senator BOSCHWITZ. For 30 years? General TIXIER. And we cannot refinance it. Senator BOSCHWITZ. For 30 years? I am not familiar that the U.S. Treasury goes out and does that. General TIXIER. It is for whatever the term of loan was at that time, for however long they had the money. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I would like your colleague to check that out, and we will as well. General TIXIER. We will provide that for the record. Senator Boschwitz. That would seem to me to be a way to give some relief. I am not sufficiently familiar with the financing of the Federal debt to know whether or not 30-year obligations have been under- taken, but I cannot believe that, at the top of the market rates, they went out and borrowed for 30 years. General- TIXIER. I believe, sir, that the rates are not necessarily for 30 years. There is a time period to pay back. I am not sure that they are all for 30 years. Some might be for 10 years for repay- ments. Senator BOSCHWITZ. You mean some of the loans that we made? General TIXIER. Yes, sir. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I agree with that. General TIXIER. We will provide that information to you for the record. [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] Senator BOSCHWITZ. We ought to take a look at that together, to see whether or not some relief can be given in that regard. *77* ---- ***TI* .1993 517 .......... Many people say that the arms that we are selling into that area and into the Middle East area are just contributing to a regional arms race. I wonder, Mr. Ambassador, if you could review a list of major sales made into the region, not only by ourselves, but the Soviet Union, Great Britain, France, and China in the last couple of years. Ambassador MURPHY. The one figure, Mr. Chairman, that I have in mind, other that our own sales, is that of the Soviet Union to Syria in the period following the summer of 1982. We estimate that was in excess of $2 billion. I do not have for ready reference the figures on France, China, and Britain, but I will be happy to supply those for the record. Senator BOSCHWITZ. That would be just fine. [The information referred to follows:) DELIVERIES OF MAJOR WEAPONS TO THE NEAR EAST AND SOUTH ASIA1 BY THE MAJOR ARMS SUPPLIERS, 1980-1983 Supplier United States U.S.S.R. France United Kingdom PRC Italy Others2 1,700 2,660 4,965 2,790 3,200 5,115 60 335 485 145 90 140 480 470 145 20 110 280 1,410 8,330 440 3 Ground Force weapons: Tanks and self-propelled guns. Artillery ......... Light armor Air Force weapons: Supersonic combat aircraft ..... Subsonic combat aircraft4 Helicopters 5 ......... Other military aircraft 220 5 255 5 5 20 1,125 65 515 125 150 45 220 20 60 5 15 20 100 40 60 335 100 25 Naval weapons: 3 4 3 13 2 24 Major surface combatants? Minor surface combatants 8 Submarines ....... Missile patrol boats........... Air defense missiles: SAM'S 9 17 17 ..... 5 17 19 2 12 100 1 12 6 ...!! ....ii.. 2,160 5,490 830 180 20 4,800 1 Nations included in this region are: Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait , Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Nepal, Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sri Lanka, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, North Yemen, and South Yemen. ? "Other" arms suppliers include the FRG and the smaller industrialized nations of Western Europe, the non-Soviet members of the Warsaw Pact, and emerging arms makers such as Brazil. Although they do not produce the full range of modern arms, these suppliers have in many cases carved out niches for themselves in the new-weapons market, for example, Swiss turboprop training planes, or Brazilian wheeled light armor. In many cases, "other" suppliers retransfer used arms produced elsewhere (e.g., Egyptian transfers of Soviet-supplied weapons to Iraq). Light armor includes wheeled and tracked armored personnel carriers, armored reconnaissance vehicles, and armored infantry combat vehicles. Typically armed with machine guns, but some carry light cannon. Subsonic combat aircraft means primarily jet trainers, most of which can be configured with rockets, guns, bombs or air-to-air missiles to perform limited combat roles. Two-place trainer" versions of supersonic combat aircraft , however, are counted in that category. * Embraces both transport helicopters, light observation/communications helicopters, and armed attack helicopters, the former type predominating. 8 Primarily military.cargo transports, or dual-use passenger and utility aircraft if delivered to regional defense ministries or armed services, but also includes maritime patrol/surveillance aircraft and propeller-driven primary flight trainers. ? Major surface combatants are warships of frigate and larger size, whether gun- or missile-armed, and the larger amphibious support ships such as tank landing ships, underway replenishment ships, and fleet oiters. 8 Includes gun- or torpedo-armed patrol boats, infantry or tank landing craft, yard auxiliaries, and such smaller naval units. 8. Embraces all categories of ground or naval based surface-to-air missiles, from shoulder-fired types (which predominate in this category) to mobile and fixed SAM Systems. SĂM launchers are not included. Senator BOSCHWITZ. As I look at the situations that exist in some of the Arab countries, once again mentioning Tunisia and also Mo- rocco, perhaps to some degree Yemen, I wonder what aid these countries are receiving from some of their more affluent Arab brethren. Ambassador MURPHY. We can put that together for you, Mr. Chairman. 518 + As best we know, the loans, the assistance is not always made public, but we can make a stab at that. The information referred to follows:] ARAB DEVELOPMENT FUNDS In recent years, Tunisia has received increased assistance from the Arab develop- ment funds, in particular from the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Develop- ment, the Saudi Fund for Development and the Kuwait Fund. New commitments from these funds to Tunisia in 1982 totalled $119 million. According to the Tunisian Government's capital budget figures, drawdowns on previously extended OPEC donor loans amounted to about $14.3 million in 1982 and $13.7 million in 1983. There were no grants accorded to Tunisia by Arab countries except for a $10 million special allocation from Saudi Arabia for disaster relief. Our current information for Morocco derives from the activities of the donor group which met in early November 1983 to discuss Morocco's balance of payments financing gap. The Moroccan Government's estimate of assistance from Saudi Arabia in 1983 was $170 million; this figure does not include security assistance which is believed to be sizeable. Other Arab donors in 1983 included Kuwait ($20 million) and the United Arab Emirates ($55 million). In 1982 various Arab develop- ment funds made commitments to Morocco of $207 million. Lending to Yemen varies considerably from year to year. Arab donors do not pub- licize amounts given for budgetary support. The following is our best estimate of donors and amounts. Saudi Arabia is by far Yemen's largest donor. The Saudis pro- vide direct budgetary support of at least $100 million per year. Yemen also receives assistance from Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. In 1982, the Arab develop- ment funds made commitments to Yemen of $160 million. One of these funds, the Saudi Fund has lent Yemen almost $200 million since 1975. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Perhaps you can outline it a little bit. Cer- tainly, our obligation does not run deeper than the obligations of the Arab counties. For instance, in the case of Morocco, what type of aid are they receiving in a general way and from whom? Mr. LANGMAID. Mr. Chairman, in the case of Morocco, they re- ceive-probably the largest donor is Saudi Arabia. The second larg- est donor is the World Bank. The third probably is the French. We are probably the fourth largest donor in the case of Morocco. My recollection is that the Saudis are providing several hundred million dollars a year to the Moroccan Government for their devel- opment effort. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Is that grants or loans? Mr. LANGMAID. I believe most of that is grants. In the case of Jordan- Senator BOSCHWITZ. Pardon me. Why don't you continue with Morocco just for the moment? You see, the World Bank—that, of course, would be in the form of loans. Mr. LANGMAID. That is in the form of loans at standard World Bank terms. Senator BOSCHWITZ. And that is also a large amount you say? Mr. LANGMAID. That has been in the past over the $100 million level; yes. They consider Morocco one of their principal effort coun- tries in the area. Senator BOSCHWITZ. And France? Mr. LANGMAID. France is a combination of budget payments, in the sense that the French provide substantial funding for teachers and the education system in Morocco, as well as grants for techni- cal assistance. But it is a combination of items-loans and grants. 519 There are also a number of the Arab donor funds which I distin- guish from the Arab country contributions. Those funds are also provided on a loan basis, also concessional. Senator BOSCHWITZ. The Moroccans receive aid from France, but are effectively blocked from shipping some of their agricultural goods to the Common Market, I believe. Mr. LANGMAID. I was not including that in the aid figures, but it is correct. There are a number of French credit arrangements with the Moroccan Government for the sale of grain. Senator BOSCHWITZ. The Moroccans were here, Mr. Ambassador. I presume that you spoke to them at some length, and the Prime Minister very forcefully stated his case. He was a very forceful fellow in general. He pointed out that the needs of Morocco were great, and that some countries that did not extend the same friendship, base rights, whatever, were treated more generously than they are. How do you respond to that? Ambassador MURPHY. In preparation for the Prime Minister's visit, we made a very careful review of our aid assistance program for Morocco. We did find it possible to supplement the program by $20 million in Public Law 480. What the Prime Minister took up in particular was what he felt was an insufficient attention on the part of the world, of potential foreign donors, to the 10 years of drought in his country; that had gone largely-not unnoticed, but unmeasured as to the devastation that it brought to the economy. The country has suffered, of course, from the low prices in the world market for the phosphate produc- tion from Morocco. We do value that relationship very much indeed, and I think that the Prime Minister's visit-and he brought with him five members of the Moroccan cabinet-was a very valuable one. It made for a very valuable exchange between Washington and Rabat on the realities of the Moroccan economy and the prospects for that economy I believe that, while we were not able, given this point in the current fiscal year, to be more forthcoming with him, we will be looking very hard at the prospects for additional assistance for Mo- rocco in the coming fiscal years. He is a very businesslike man and, as you say, Mr. Chairman, a very forceful man, indeed, in laying out the country's economic dif- ficulties. We think that the Moroccan Government is making a very serious effort in its program to stabilize the economic situa- tion and trying to deal with the grievances of the Moroccan people. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, they have had their problems in that regard. I notice that their debt repayment schedule is very large in relation to their economy. I see that they are going to require over $700 million in concessional financing through 1984, just to meet the repayment obligations. I also note that they have had 10 years of drought, but that we give them no Public Law 480 aid. Why is that? Mr. LANGMAID. I am not sure of the figures that you are refer- ring to. We have been providing over $25 million a year in Public Law 480 title I, and approximately $10 to $15 million in Public Law 480 title II. The addition that the Ambassador referred to was an 520 : $ increase in Public Law 480 of another $20 million, so we are talk- ing about something approaching $45 million this year and another $40 million next year in Public Law 480 food aid. In addition, it is useful to mention, although it is not carried as AID, under the Department of Agriculture blended credit program, we are providing over $250 million in financing for agricultural ex- ports to Morocco. Senator BOSCHWITZ. You are quite correct. Pardon me. That was not on my summary page. Let me turn for a moment to Israel which, as you know, is having also its share of problems. All these countries are having their share of problems with respect to repayment. It is very likely that we are going to increase in this committee, as has occurred in the House, the amount of aid. It is a question of how much in the case of Israel. I wonder, Mr. Ambassador, if you would assess some of the re- forms that they are making with respect to their budget and whether or not you feel that will alleviate the current economic crisis they are facing. Ambassador MURPHY. We did have the opportunity, Mr. Chair- man, in that last week to exchange views with the Finance Minis- ter of Israel, Mr. Cohen-Orgad. He laid out the plans in terms of the budget submitted to the Knesset by the Israeli Government. We regard it as a good first step. It is a program which, if the Knesset accepts it, will certainly move the Israeli budget into a more austere phase. It is going to have to be supported by monetary and wage policy measures which are always difficult to apply. But we feel that the administration's submission to the Congress of, I believe, $850 million of economic supporting funds is a significant political economic contribution- excuse me policy decision, economic contribution to the Israeli economy. We are concerned on the broader issue as aid is increased above the proposed level of the effect of crowding out programs in many other countries around the world. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, we will increase the number overall. We are concerned about that crowding out, too. We advised the State Department that they should not come to us with an unreal- istic figure, because then the crowding out would occur, and then the State Department would talk to us and say the crowding out is occurring, even as they knew it would. So this year apparently, we are just going to add to the overall figure, which perhaps will make the whole bill more difficult to cope with legislatively. But we agree that the crowding out should not occur. Pardon me for interrupting you, Mr. Ambassador. Had you con- cluded your comment? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes. We are continuing in very close con- tact with the Government of Israel on the issue of both the level of our assistance and the need for long-term planning of the economy. With the adoption of appropriate economic policies, we are con- vinced that the Israeli economy can be turned around, that it can be put into a healthier condition. And the Finance Minister did ex- plain in great detail, both to our experts in the Department and to 521 some outside economic consultants, his plan. I think all agreed it is a good first step. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Let me return to a line of questioning that I began earlier, and then we moved away from it after we moved away from Morocco. That is, the aid that is being extended to the Arab States by their wealthier brethren. I think Mr. Langmaid, you began to speak about Jordan, and I did not want to leave the subject of Morocco at that moment. Would you proceed with the extent of aid? Mr. LANGMAID. Yes; I had mentioned Jordan after I had finished with Morocco, as another country which is a major recipient of funds from its Arab brethren. In the case of Jordan, there was an agreement several years ago which involved a number of Arab countries to provide support to Jordan, which totaled something approaching $1.1 or $1.2 billion. Unfortunately, the levels provides under that agreement have never really fulfilled the terms of the agreement and the levels are somewhat less. But in the last year, I believe Jordan received some- thing over $500 or $550 million, principally from Saudi Arabia, but from others also. My understanding is that that is all on grant terms. Senator BOSCHWITZ. What about the other countries? Tunisia? Mr. LANGMAID. Tunisia I am less informed on. My sense is that there are fewer grants in that relationship. But the Arab funds are active in Tunisia, such organizations as the Kuwaiti Fund, the OAEP Fund, et cetera. That would be on loan terms. In the case of Yemen, with which I am somewhat more familiar, there are sizable grants from Saudi Arabia as well as concessional development loan projects from the Arab funds. Those clearly exceed several hundred million dollars. Saudi Arabia is probably the largest donor in the case of Yemen. In the case of Egypt, there are virtually no funds from any of the Arab States. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Does that look like it might change? That is, the Arab help to Egypt? Ambassador MURPHY. Arab help to Egypt, sir? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Yes. mbassador MURPHY. I would not expect a public change in the immediate future. but we have some reports of private funds moving into the Egyptian economy, investments and some arrange- ments on loans which are sort of quasi-official. But I think open programs of economic assistance, probably not in the immediate future. As Egypt moves back into a closer relationship with the Arab world, I think that that possibility certainly is going to come much nearer. Senator BOSCHWITZ. As I indicated earlier, Mr. Langmaid, there was a great deal of talk about your programs in Egypt. Certainly, here in the committee, we have sometimes expressed our dismay about their pace. Apparently, there is $103 million that was deobligated and is now going to be reobligated, and the Egyptians are anxious to have that in cash to assist them in their payments problems. They also are seeking a couple of hundred million dollars of the ESF funds in 34-045 0-84-34 522 cash for the purpose of assisting them in their repayment prob- lems. What is the attitude of the Department, Ambassador Murphy, and of AID with respect to that? Either one of you can respond. Ambassador MURPHY. On the $103 million requested, that that be in the form of a cash transfer, we would favor it. The basic ra- tionale would be that we would see it as support for economic reform measures and for steps, very positive steps, taken in terms of increasing democratic participation in the Egyptian Govern- ment. We see the present Egyptian Government as clearly committed to economic reform. I would cite in that regard the fact that, for the first time in 10 years, you have had a very rapid series of steps, measures taken to raise energy prices in Egypt for the consumers. This is not an easy political decision, and yet the Egyptian leader- ship has faced that, and they have raised in five separate bites the cost of energy provided. The President of Egypt publicly has addressed the need for eco- nomic reform. He does not mince words with his own people about the difficulties that that is going to cause for the ordinary citizen, but he accepts and has mobilized the government behind him. He accepts the need for a drive on economic reform. This is all, of course, as in any country, going to be influenced by the leadership's judgment on how fast you can move without upset- ting stability. But we certainly want to record our appreciation of his leadership in that area. Mr. LANGMAID. Mr. Chairman, with regard to the $103 million of deobligated money which is up for reobligation that the Ambassa- dor refers to, I think it is also worthwhile to note that these funds came from a number of agreements going back over several years. And in considering making them available rapidly to the Egyptian Government, we took that into account. This is money that they had expected for some time. I think it is also a function of their strong urging and our political relationship that we wanted to go ahead and provide this as a cash transfer for the $103 million. With regard to the other half of your question as I understood it, the request for $200 million-- Senator BOSCHWITZ. Excuse me. Before you leave that half of the question, did you just say that the $103 million will be transferred to them in cash to apply to their financial obligations, their inter- est payments to us? Mr. LANGMAID. Their request to us, which we have acceded to and presented to the Congress in the form of a notification was for a cash grant of $103 million. That is correct. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Now, the other half of the question. Mr. LANGMAID. As for the other half of your question, sir, in terms of the $200 million, we have had a request from the govern- ment that in their future program, which we understood to be starting with the fiscal year 1985 program, they would like $200 million of that provided as a cash grant. Our response has been that in the current context, we do not be- lieve there is a basis for providing that kind of cash as part of the program; that in terms of the development objectives we have, we 523 would prefer maintaining the program as a project program, so that we can be sure the funds are spent on activities which we can defend before you and the people as being economically defensible in the Egyptian context. We have also said, however, that were there to be a reform effort, whose success depended upon rapidly disbursing aid, we vould be delighted to change our minds and look at the issue more carefully in providing grants of cash in the future. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I gather from those statements that the State Department and AID are at opposite poles. Ambassador MURPHY. I should have added, Mr. Chairman, that in saying that we favor it, we would favor it if tied to certain basic economic reform measures and if tied into an IMF economic reform program. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Are you going to give them the money or not? Ambassador MURPHY. I am sorry, sir? Senator BOSCHWITZ. I did not follow that altogether. Ambassador MURPHY. Well, our attitude, when I said that we would favor the transfer in the form of the cash transfer, there is a condition there that it would be tied to further basic economic reform measures. Mr. LANGMAID. I am sorry, Mr. Chairman. I may have misunder- stood the Ambassador. I thought his original statement referred to the $103 million, and I was making a distinction. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I thought his statement referred to $200 mil- lion. Ambassador MURPHY. $200 million was the amount that I took. Mr. LANGMAID. I see. Thank you. Senator BOSCHWITZ. So what are you going to do? Are you going to give them the money or not? Ambassador MURPHY. We are going to resolve our dispute, Mr. Chairman Senator BOSCHWITZ. Would you get back to me on that? Ambassador MURPHY. I will, sir. Senator BOSCHWITZ. As I look at the repayment schedule for the Egyptians, I note that they are now repaying only interest, $370 million a year, and they have not even gotten to the principal part. The Israelis, too, have a very substantial repayment, almost entire- ly of interest as well. I think it is really essential that we examine the rates under which these loans have been made and see whether or not they have been refinanced in our own country at lower rates. In the event that they have, then we perhaps can either legislatively or administratively, as the case may be, make some changes so that we can lower the rates of interest if our own payments are at a lesser rate. Senator MATHIAS. Is the chairman referring to ESF funding? Senator BOSCHWITZ. I am referring, Senator, to some of the loans, principally FMS loans, that were made to the countries in question at a time when rates were extremely high at 13, 14 percent, and those rates are locked in for a 30-year period. I cannot believe that the Treasury has gone out and borrowed at 13 or 14 percent for the entirety of the 30 years. They may have 524 made a short-term loan, and if they refinance that loan at a lower rate, perhaps we can pass that lower rate on to the nations in- volved. Senator MATHIAS. I hope I am wrong, but the day may come when a 13-percent loan would look pretty good. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, I trust that you are wrong. Senator MATHIAS. You may want to grab all that 13-percent money you can get. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Economic history would not seem to support your rather dour prediction. Senator MATHIAS. I sincerely hope that those fears are ground- less. Senator BOSCHWITZ. As you may know, in the history of our country, those kinds of rates have not existed except in wartime oc- casionally, and then again in the late 1970's and early 1980's. I have been questioning the witnesses for some time, so I would yield to Senator Sarbanes. Senator SARBANES. I will defer to Senator Mathias. Senator BOSCHWITZ. He defers to you, Senator, in the event that you have some questions. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you. I met, as you did, with the Finance Minister of Israel within the past several weeks, and I understand the concern that is felt not only by the Finance Minister himself, but by his government over the economic burdens that Israel not only is carrying, but will carry, as the chairman's question just now suggests. I know when Secretary Shultz was here recently, he suggested that some of the military programs, the security programs, would be grant programs to relieve this very problem of the service of the debt. Is the administration considering, both in the case of Israel and in the case of Egypt, making some portion of the ESF funding cash grant? Mr. LANGMAID. Senator, in the case of both Israel and Egypt, ESF is all grant. In the case of Israel it is all cash grant. Senator MATHIAS. And in the case of Egypt it is also? Mr. LANGMAID. No, sir. In the case of Egypt it is all grant, but it is provided principally as projects, both technical assistance and major project grants, but not cash grants. Senator BOSCHWITZ. If I may comment on that, Senator, we were discussing that prior to your coming in, because the Egyptians have requested that some of the ESF be made to grants. Senator MATHIAS. Cash grant as opposed to project grant? Senator BOSCHWITZ. That is correct, because their interest repay- ment obligations are approximately $400 million, slightly less this year on earlier loans. Ambassador MURPHY. I had better correct the record now. Mr. Chairman, I was misinformed on that. We are not in favor of the $200 million item. I apologize for my error. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, then, pardon me, Senator. The State Department does not want to make any of the ESF into cash grants but the Egyptians will receive $103 million of earlier AID money that is being reobligated in cash grants that they could apply to their debt payment. 525 Senator MATHIAS. I am slightly confused as to the difference in the way the ESF grants are treated as between Israel and Egypt. If you have already discussed that, I can refer to the record. Mr. LANGMAID. Senator, in the case of Israel, for a number of years now, the ESF has been provided as a cash transfer payment on grant terms. That is, a direct grant transfer to their central bank account in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. For several years, we provided it on a quarterly basis, so the money was divided into four branches and disbursed over the entire fiscal year. This past year, we provided the full $910 million appropriated as a cash transfer early in the fiscal year. I believe the transfer took place late in December. In the case of Egypt, we have never provided that kind of assist- ance directly. In the early years, we provided our assistance as loans and grants, much of it for reconstruction in the Suez Canal area that had been damaged. In the later years, we have been pro- viding it partly as a commodity import program, where the funds are provided directly for purchase of U.S. goods and services as well as a number of large capital projects and technical assistance and training activities. Does that help you, sir? Senator MATHIAS. Í think that helps me to clear out the cobwebs and see what is happening. Now, beginning, say, in 1983, the two accounts were about equal, were they not? Mr. LANGMAID. The Eygptian account has always been some $30 or $40 million below. I think the original levels in that sense were $785 million for Israel and $750 million for Egypt. I am talking only about ESF, sir. Senator MATHIAS. That is right; that is what I am asking about. Then, in this budget, you have requested $850 million ESF for Israel. And what has been requested for Egypt? Mr. LANGMAID. In the case of Egypt, we are requesting $750 mil- lion. Senator MATHIAS. Is that going to create any problems? Mr. LANGMAID. The request in our judgment maintains the rela- tionship because the $850 million includes $65 million for the fi- nancing of four binational foundations which were started several years ago under different appropriations. We are proposing to re- capitalize those with $65 million. For the core program, the request is still for $785 million. The $65 million for the foundations is addi- tional, and is required only once. Senator MATHIAS. We have not only been visited by the Finance Minister of Israel, but also by the President of Egypt. As I am sure I do not have to tell you, there is some sensitivity about some rough equivalence between the two accounts, which at least in the Egyptian perception is contemplated by the Camp David agree- ments. I am just interested if you have had any adverse reaction to the differential. Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, Senator. There has been a pretty long standing dispute on what exactly was promised in the context of Camp David, and equivalent treatment, comparable treatment, did that mean precisely the same amounts of money? It is our position 526 that that was not so committed, but equivalent and comparable treatment was the approach. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, if you look at the other side of the coin, on the repayment schedule, as I understand it, in fiscal 1985 we will expect Israel to pay about $1 billion, whereas the Egyptian repayment schedule will be about $500 million. Are those roughly accurate figures? Mr. LANGMAID. They are roughly accurate, Senator. Yes. Senator MATHIAS. Are they not only roughly accurate, but are they realistic in the light of the kind of economic conditions that prevail in both Israel and Egypt? Mr. LANGMAID. Yes, Senator, I believe they are. In the case of Egypt, their debt-service ratio is still in a manageable range. It is difficult, but manageable. The Egyptian balance of payments has in fact been running a surplus for the last year. The way they manage their economy they look at their debt as being a budgetary cost, and their principal concern has been that the budget is under very tight pressure. The foreign exchange is available were they to purchase it in the open market, which is also legal in Egypt, but they have chosen not to because of the higher budgetary cost that would imply. The situation is a little bit different than in the case of Israel, where debt service is a heavy burden. But if we look at Israeli export ca- pacity, and their demonstrated track record of being able to gener- ate a high increase in exports when necessary, we believe that the debt burden is manageable. Senator MATHIAS. Higher ability to earn foreign exchange? Mr. LANGMAID. They have been a major exporter both to the United States and to the European Community for a number of years, and have until recently been able to generate 8-, 10-, or 12- percent increases in export earnings per year. Senator MATHIAS. Very briefly, what is the historical reason for the Israeli repayment schedule being twice the size of the Egyp- tian? Is it because of the years of lending that have accumulated? What is the reason? Mr. LANGMAID. I believe that is so. If you look at the length of programs, there were much higher FMS levels to Israel in the ear- lier years. Sentor MATHIAS. And they extended over a longer period? Mr. LANGMAID. Yes, and extended over a longer period. The Egyptians had no military assistance levels or loans until the re- sumption of aid in 1975, and the economic aid provided Egypt prior to the 1967 war was all on AID's most concessional terms, which have been 40 years and 3 percent. Senator MATHIAS. I was responding somewhat facetiously to the chairman's question on interest rates, but let me return to that question, because I am not sure that we really disposed of it. He is talking about refinancing at current rates, which we hope some day will be lower. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I presume that we did not obligate ourselves through the Treasury for 30 years at 13 or 14 percent, and that we are now turning over that debt at lower rates. Whether or not we are affording those lower rates to other countries is what I want to find out. 527 Senator MATHIAS. Whether we are passing on that method or whether there is a disposition to pass it on. Ambassador MURPHY. We did undertake, Mr. Chairman, to give you a more detailed answer on this. I am informed that legislative actions which would change the interest rate would need new ap- propriations to pay penalties associated with retiring old loans. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I am not sure I understood the answer. We need new appropriations for what? Ambassador MURPHY. We need new appropriations if you retired an old loan at that high rate of interest to pay the penalties associ- ated with that, so I think that reinforces what General Tixier was saying, that we are locked in without legislative action to the rate of interest that was originally agreed to. Senator MATHIAS. I have just one further question, Mr. Chair- man. I see the red light is on, but if you and Senator Sarbanes do not mind, I will ask this. Let us turn to Lebanon. As I understand it, there are now substantial unobligated funds in the Lebanon ac- count. Is that correct? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir. Senator MATHIAS. Over $100 million? Mr. LANGMAID. My understanding, Senator, is that of the $150 million that was appropriated, approximately $120 million remain unobligated. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, we all wish that the situation in Lebanon would improve rapidly, and that stability will be restored, and the normal kind of operations can be continued, but if that seems to be delayed, I am wondering if any consideration is being given to purposes that would be very much in the interest of the United States of America, purposes that perhaps would not be adopted specifically in a normal period of time, but which might very well just fit the present contingency. I am thinking of Ameri- can institutions in Lebanon which could well use additional fund- ing, which need additional funding under any circumstances, but which could get an infusion of funds at this moment, given the cir- cumstances, given the funding opportunity. I am thinking of the American University in Beirut, the Ameri- can University Hospital, the International College. These are all institutions which represent the best face of America that we can present anywhere in the world, but particularly in the Middle East. They are highly respected in the Middle East. They have a record of positive and constructive service in the Middle East. They would convey a message of concern by the American people in a unique way and in a nonpolitical way. I am wondering if there might be some access to these unobligat- ed funds for purposes of this sort. Mr. LANGMAID. Senator, I gave you the technical answer in terms of the obligations. I did not mention reservation of funds. There are a number of activities within that remaining balance of $120 to $125 million which have been reserved for important pur- poses, for example, emergency relief and disaster assistance in the current context. We have already reserved $5 million. We may have to reserve more for that purpose. We also have reserved funds for AUB and BUC as well as other institutions to deal with both this year and possibly also with fiscal year 1985. 528 1 ; Senator MATHIAS. I am aware of those reservations, but I am thinking of something beyond just the minimum stipend that is necessary to keep the doors open this year, whether this is an op- portunity to make a demonstration of America's genuine commit- ment to improving the lives of people in the Middle East, and to do it in such a substantial way that it will be understood that it is not just keeping going for a year, but that we are making a commit- ment which will guarantee, say, that American University will be there for the next generation. I do not know that we can guarantee beyond a generation in the human course of events. I wonder if there has been any thought given to that kind of pro- gram. Ambassador MURPHY. We are aware of the very serious financial position of the university, Senator, and the administration and anyone who has ever traveled or served in the area knows that your words are right on the mark about the value of the universi- ty, of the hospital, of the International College in terms of symbol- izing American concern for the region and transmitting American values. They have been for a century, in the case of the university more than a century, our best advertisement in the whole region. It would indeed be a nonpolitical gesture to find a way to help pre- serve that institution over the next generation. Let us look at it. There is an allotment, I believe, this year of $12 million for the university, but they have suffered heavily in terms of damage to the installations, and they do need buildup on their endowment. There is no question of that. Senator MATHIAS. I think if you would look at it, and I hope sym- pathetically, I cannot imagine anything that would be more con- structive at this moment. There have been a lot of bombshells in Lebanon in recent years, and this would be another kind of bomb- shell. If they knew that American interest was not only going to be continued, but guaranteed for some years in the future, I think it would convey a message that nothing else we could do would suc- ceed in transmitting. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Senator Sarbanes. Senator SARBANES. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Secretary Murphy, I wanted to pursue for just a moment, before I come back to the aid figures, this question of the implementation of the provisions of the Camp David Accords. I understand that there is an Israeli Ambassador in Egypt. Is that correct? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, Senator. Senator SARBANES. But not an Egyptian Ambassador in Israel? Ambassador MURPHY. No, sir. The Egyptian Embassy is under a Chargé in Israel. Senator SARBANES. Leave to one side for the moment whether the equivalent or comparable treatment language in the Camp David agreements presumed equal figures on assistance. You indi- cated that it was your view that it did not, as I understand it-is that correct? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. Would not a premise of Camp David be that both parties are seeking to implement it in equal measure? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir. منعنعنع. من يهتم العمل يضم نان تسخیرا محتملمع شوبسایت , قشم اعلام 529 Senator SARBANES. Well, that has not been happening, has it? Ambassador MURPHY. Senator, we have heard from both parties on this issue of violations of Camp David. I would say as a basic comment that Camp David is very much alive and well. I know the words are used about a "cold peace," a "freezing." The fact is, the last shot was fired 10 years ago, and the treaty has been in effect for 5 years. You can witness a number of exchanges, high-level ex- changes between the two governments outside of the routine ex- changes carried out by their respective embassies. You have had one Cabinet Minister, as I recall it, last summer visiting from Israel, and the visit by the Director General of the Foreign Ministry of Israel returned by his counterpart from the Egyptian Foreign Minister. In the next couple of days, I under- stand the Israeli Minister of Trade will be present for the opening of the Cairo Trade Fair. There is a whole fabric of relationships which are alive and well. I think that this is also witnessed in the large number of Israeli tourists going to Egypt. I know there have been sticking points in carrying out some of the undertakings in Camp David, but I think we should be very careful not to knock what has been achieved there and what is going on. With all of the frustrations, it brought an evolution in Arab-Israeli relations, and I would say that it is a very strong platform for the relationship, and is continuing to be built upon. Senator SARBANES. That is a very measured answer. I appreciate it, but I come back to the fact that with respect to a very symbolic manifestation of the relationship, there is not an Egyptian Ambas- sador in Israel. This point has been made not just to you, but to some of the visitors to whom reference has been made earlier. Now, there is a very significant increase proposed here, is there not, in terms of the improvement of the terms of aid for Egypt? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir, for both Egypt and Israel. Senator SARBANES. Let's examine that for a second. In terms of the terms this year compared with last year to both countries, the Egyptians go from what, $465 million in grant to $1.175 billion in grant? Ambassador MURPHY. That is FMS only, Senator. Senator SARBANES. That is an increase of what percentagewise? Ambassador MURPHY. About 2.5, Senator, about a 2.5, 292 times increase. Senator SARBANES. And what is the Israeli increase? General TIXIER. The Israelis, sir, have also gone to an all-grant figure. Their all grant is $1.4 billion, and that is up from last year it was $750 million for 1983. From 1984 it was $850 million. Senator SARBANES. So they are getting about a 1-for-1 increase, and the Egyptians are getting a 2.5-to-1 increase in grant aid on the FMS. Is that correct? General TIXIER. Yes, sir, but the total figures, I might add, are still quite a bit different, and over the years they have been main- tained at quite a bit higher for Israel than they have for Egypt in that grant aid. Senator SARBANES. That is quite true, but this whole arrange- ment that we are talking about is post-Camp David, is it not? There is considerable support, I think, for trying to move this proc- ---- 530 1 I | ess along. In fact, I recall one hearing at which Senator Boschwitz and I spent the entire hearing trying to press AID to move the pipeline faster with respect to Egyptian aid, and I notice here that for the first time in a number of years, the amount in the pipeline has dropped by about $200 million. Is that correct, Mr. Langmaid? Mr. LANGMAID. That is correct, Senator. Senator SARBANES. That is the first time it has not been bigger? In other words, you are finally getting the stuff out the other end? Mr. LANGMAID. That is correct, Senator. Senator SARBANES. Although there is still a lot in there. What is it, over $2 billion? Mr. LANGMAID. $2.5 billion, Senator. Senator SARBANES. $2.5 billion still in the pipeline. But the thing that concerns me a bit here is the marked improvement of the terms. I do not object to that in and of itself, but when I relate it to the Camp David accords and the movement on the peace treaty and come smack up right at the outset against the fact there is still not an Egyptian Ambassador in Israel, it gives me a good deal of concern. Ambassador MURPHY. Senator, I know you are as familiar as I with the history of what happened there, but if I might just reca- pitulate for a moment, the Ambassador to Israel was withdrawn as a minimum gesture that the Egyptian Government felt it could make in the wake of the Sabra-Shatila tragedy in 1982, and I think that underlined that. Egypt, its president, its leadership, and I say its people remain committed to Camp David. Camp David cannot flourish in isolation as a purely bilateral accord. It needs an environment to achieve its full potential, and the invasion of Lebanon upset that environment. The return of the Ambassador to Egypt has been proposed on terms of once Israeli withdrawal is achieved, withdrawal from Lebanon. There have been other propositions, such as progress on the Taba dispute. But I think the basic fact is that while we, Israel, and Egypt are dedicated to Camp David and to the fullest possible achievement of its potential, it simply cannot achieve that potential in isolation from events elsewhere in the area. Senator SARBANES. Even if one concedes something to that argu- ment, the fact remains that you have significantly improved these terms in a context in which, at least in my perception, the arrange- ments and the relationship presupposed in the Camp David accords have not significantly improved. Senator MATHIAS. If the Senator would yield on that point. When President Mubarak was here, I raised these very concerns, because I share them with you, and I expressed them to President Mubarak very much in the terms in which you have expressed them here this morning. I do not know that it is fair for me to quote in detail his re- sponse, because we were having a private conversation, and I do not want to violate any confidence. But I think it is fair to charac- terize his response as positive, and I would not be totally pessimis- tic that we are not going to see some improvement in that situa- tion, which I would welcome as much as you. But that argument was made very forcibly to President Mubarak while he was here. 531 Ambassador MURPHY. And he has been left in no doubt about the position of the administration on that, either, Senator, I can assure you. Senator SARBANES. Secretary Murphy, let me ask you this ques- tion. Senator BOSCHWITZ. If you would yield for just a moment on that, Senator, as well, to me, I have listened to your entire line of ques- tioning. Are you going to pursue that line still further? Because I think it is particularly important now that a second agreement that has been reached between Israel and one of its neighbors, Leb- anon appears to have been or is in the process of being abrogated. I would not like to think that some of Israel's neighbors would feel that having one such treaty abrogated, that they should bring pres- sure upon Egypt to abrogate or compromise its treaty, so, the im- portance of the Ambassador at this time, I think, is heightened due to the unfortunate circumstances regarding the May 17 agreement. Thank you, Senator. Senator SARBANES. Secretary Murphy, would you say that once we take an aid figure up, or significantly sweeten or improve its terms, it is very difficult to bring it back down without that being read in the tea leaves as a negative message? Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir, I would. Senator SARBANES. In effect, you have racheted this program up without the things actually happening out there, and you are now in a posture where even if they do not happen you cannot bring it back down. Ambassador MURPHY. If I may say, Senator, things are happen- ing out there. There is an ongoing performance of treaty obliga- tions. I recognize the very high symbolic importance of the Ambas- sador's return. Senator SARBANES. I do not think it would serve any purpose for me to try to detail all the rest of it. Do you assert that there is in fact a greatly improving relationship in the context of which this question of the Ambassador is just some kind of exception or aber- ration? Ambassador MURPHY. I think there are a number of other prob- lems. I think the issue of the Ambassador has gotten a particularly high profile, but there are other questions, and to be honest, I would have to say that we hear complaints from both sides. Now, we have taken the position, and it is largely accepted by the par- ties, that when you have a complaint about the treaty, go at it in the other fellow's capital. Go at it directly. That has been one of the benefits of the treaty, that they have done so with exchanges of letters between presidents and prime ministers. They are hearing their disagreements and their different interpretations, and I think it is a steady and ongoing process of making that treaty work. Senator ŠARBANES. Well, my position, put very simply, is that if you were going to engage in this kind of significant improvement of the aid package, it should have been in the context of an im- provement taking place in the Camp David accord relationship-in other words, that those two things should have been moving in tandem rather than having merely expectation which might either be realistic or simply a vain hope. 532 Mr. Chairman, could I go on for a couple more minutes? I see that the red light is on. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Certainly. Senator SARBANES. What are the criteria you are using to allo- cate military assistance between grant, concessional, and regular terms? General TIXIER. Are you talking now about Egypt and Israel or generally? Senator SARBANES. Just generally. General TIXIER. Generally, sir, we are concerned, of course, about the country's capability to pay. We are in the grant business. The majority of the grant money goes to Israel and Egypt. Regarding concessional terms, we have asked for them again, or we have at- tempted to explore that avenue again because of the inability of the countries to meet these higher priced terms. Senator SARBANES. Are the concessional terms the same? Is there a standard concessional term that you are using? General TIXIER. Concessional terms are about 5 percent as op- posed to FMS, which is the going rate to the market. Senator SARBANES. If you indicate that a country is receiving concessional terms, are those terms the same in all the different countries, or do the concessional terms themselves vary from coun- try to country? General TIXIER. I am told that they will vary from country to country, yes. Senator SARBANES. What I see happening is almost like a sort of Santa Claus at work. We are struggling to find out here what the criteria are that you are using. They are given this much grant, this much concessional, and this much straight FMS, and now I am told that even if you decide to offer the concessional it is not one category, but could be a whole range of categories. You know, let . us give them 7 percent, or 5 percent, or 3 percent, or whatever. I think we need a statement that explains how these judgments are reached, and particularly whether any sort of objective stand- ard is applied in reaching these judgments; how they work out in the particular, or whether it is simply whatever strikes one's fancy, particularly keeping in mind the response that I got from Secre- tary Murphy to a previous question that once you undertake a level or certain terms, to do less than that in future years always carries with it an extra interpretation in terms of the relationship, an interpretation that may, in fact, not be intended. I have just two other questions. General TIXIER. Sir, if I may make one comment, I was misin- formed. The concessional rates are straight across the board. Senator SARBANES. They are the same for everybody? General TIXIER. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. So, if you say a country is receiving conces- sional rates, they are the same in every country? General TIXIER. Yes, sir, the same. Senator SARBANES. I need to know exactly what those rates are, and then the criteria that are used in deciding grant, concessional or straight FMS, and how you put that mix together. General TIXIER. Yes, sir. We will provide that. 533 [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] Senator SARBANES. Secretary Murphy, the Coptic Pope Shenouda continues to be held under house arrest, as I understand it. Do you know what the intentions of the Mubarak government are with re- spect to Pope Shenouda? Ambassador MURPHY. Senator, I will investigate that and report back to you. I do not have a recent reading on the situation of the Pope. Senator SARBANES. This question regarding the status of the Coptic community there, in part represented by the difficulties which Shenouda is confronting, seems to me a matter that should be of some concern to the State Department. Ambassador MURPHY. Yes, sir. Senator SARBANES. Will you give us a report on that? Ambassador MURPHY. I will, sir. [The information referred to follow:] COPTIC POPE SHENOUDA III Coptic Pope Shenouda III has remained in government-enforced seclusion at a monastery for over two years. Though Pope Shenouda's legal status is an issue before Egypt's courts, in two interviews in late 1983, President Mubarak spoke of the eventual return of Shenouda to his papal duties. The Egyptian Government has eased restrictions on the Pope, allowing him to travel to other monasteries and pro- viding greater latitude for visitors. Though some Copts have expressed concern that a resurgence of Islam in Egypt might undermine minority rights, the government has made it clear that Egypt is a secular state governed by civil law which protects the rights of all citizens. We have made it clear to the Egyptian Government the interest of the American people in religious freedom and our hope that Pope Shen- ouda will be able to resume public life soon. We are encouraged by President Mu- barak's success in diminishing sectarian tensions in Egypt. Senator SARBANES. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Senator Biden. Senator BIDEN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Gentleman, I apologize for not being here for your testimony and for the questions of my colleagues. Unfortunately, and in the minds of many it is unfortunate, I am the ranking member of the Judici- ary Committee. Senator MATHIAS. You were making trouble in another place. Senator BIDEN. That is right. I was making trouble in another place. Mr. Meese would rather me be there than here, because his nomination is up in executive session, and since I am the chief spokesman for this administration on those matters. General laughter.] Senator BOSCHWITZ. How much longer do you think he will be up there? Senator BIDEN. I think it might be another week. In any case, gentlemen, I do apologize, because notwithstanding my responsibil- ities there, there is nothing of greater interest and concern to me than what we are about here today. Let me, with the permission of the chairman, pursue a couple of issues, and if, in fact, anything that I will raise has been raised by any of my colleagues, or was covered in your testimony, just refer me to that fact, and I will not keep you on that subject. I will check the record. 534 There is a development, some would suggest a bit of a phenome- non occurring in our foreign aid, particularly the foreign military aid, where we are moving more and more over the last several years from FMS sales to direct credits, grants, and that holds true almost across the board, it seems, especially in this function. Let us see. I spend too much time in the Budget Committee. I mean, in this area. Senator SARBANES. May I just add something? Senator BIDEN. Go ahead. Senator SARBANES. In the report that we asked for, I would be interested in knowing the basis for arriving at the concessional terms that are being used. In other words, I am told it is 5 percent. I guess it could have been 6 percent. It could have been 4 percent. It could have been 7 percent. All of that would be concessional, and would represent a significant improvement over the standard FMS. I would like to know what the rationale is that led to the selec- tion of those particular terms. This is a very big departure taking place here, and I think it has some rationale, but we need to know exactly what the thinking is that has gone into it—what the terms are, how you apply them, what kind of standards are being used, and so forth. Senator BOSCHWITZ. May I pursue that for a moment, Senator, by pointing out that earlier, prior to your coming in, the concessional terms were delineated as 3 to 5 percent, and I noted that you, Gen- eral Tixier, in answer to the Senator said something else. General TIXIER. I said 5 percent. We will come up with a figure. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I think Ambassador Murphy said 3 to 5 per- cent. Senator SARBANES. That just underscores my point. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Yes, it does. Senator BIDEN. Well, again, I guess that teaches me to look at the figures. Now, all kidding aside, the point that both my col- leagues have made and which Senator Sarbanes has been pursuing here is that there is a change. Now, I am not being critical of change at this point, but it is distinctive. It is obvious. I would argue that in the case of Egypt and Israel, for example, because of their present economic circumstances, it is unrealistic not to talk in terms in my view of grants. Once you get beyond the strategic requirements that we have, and making that judgment as to who gets how much, we could argue about that, whether it should be more or less for each country, but when you get down to what is the change that has taken place over the last several years in this committee, moving from loans, concessional loans, direct loans, and to grants, we are talking about major movements. Just to pick a few, in the case of Israel and Egypt, and again, at some point I will argue about the dollar amounts there, but none- theless, the economies dictate that. I think it is unrealistic to kid the American people and call it a concessional loan or a loan when you do not know how it is going to be paid back, and if it is in our security interest to do it, we have to do it. But let me move now to Jordan. The dollar amounts are not nearly as big, but we have gone from zero in FMS military aid, in direct credit we have gone from zero in 1983 or 1984 to a proposed 95 for 1985, and guarantee, we have gone from 51 to 115 to zero, 535 and obviously, although the total number is less, the terms are much more favorable going the route you have chosen in the mili- tary. Is Jordan's economy in such shape that it could not sustain the approach that we have used in the past? Now, I will ask you questions about why we need it at all, but assuming we make that judgment and we are in agreement, what is the rationale for moving to direct credit? Mr. LANGMAID. Senator, in the case of Jordan, although they have a long-term, demonstrated history of being really superb eco- nomic managers with very little resources to work with, in the last couple of years they have had a number of problems. They have a very low export base. Much of their earnings in foreign exchange comes from worker remittances, Jordanian workers working in the Gulf area. That has not been a growth market in the last few years. They have had to cut back severely their development budget. So, I would say yes, they have had some economic problems. I do not want to put them in the same category as some of the other countries in the area, because of the severity of those problems, but they nevertheless are very real to Jordan. Senator BIDEN. Again, is the rationale for the movement in that direction economic considerations on the part of the receiving coun- try, or is there another reason for it? Is there a diplomatic, politi- cal, military reason for it? Do you understand the thrust of my question? Ambassador MURPHY. I think, Senator, in the case of Jordan it does come down to the economic rationale. They have had difficul- ty on the FMS, on our military assistance programs, in repaying, in meeting their former obligations. Senator BIDEN. Now, I would ask any of you to respond who wishes. Let us get more to the substance, and the need encom- passed in the Jordanian request. I am advised that the $220 million requested for the Jordanian rapid deployment force now, given the euphemistic label of the Jordan logistics program-I think that is correct. Is that right? General TIXIER. Sir, that is a classified program. Still, if you want to address that program, I would be glad to do so in another forum. Senator BIDEN. All right. I just asked the staff that, and they told me this was all public, but let me withhold, and I will do that, if not now, at a later date, with you, General. How about this issue? There are some classified aspects to this, but there are also some public aspects of the sale of Stinger antiair- craft missiles to Jordan and Saudi Arabia. Will any of these mis- siles be paid for with FMS funds? Ambassador MURPHY. Senator, to the best of my knowledge, Jordan has not determined the source of the funding, whether to use FMS or not, assuming the sale goes through. General TIXIER. They have not determined how they are going to pay for that LOA. Senator BIDEN. Can you tell me once again why, General or Mr. Secretary, why you feel there is the need for these missiles, and why you do not think they may be counterproductive in the sense that they might be able to be used against Israel, a nation we are 536 also obviously finding it in our interest to make some significant financial commitment to? General TIXIER. Sir, we have the security of Israel primarily in mind in the sale of these missiles to Jordan. I know that is not nec- essarily a universal view, but it is certainly our view. Right now there is maintained a very long secure border between Israel and Jordan. The Jordanian Government is working very hard to keep that at peace. However, at the same time Jordan is faced with a tremendous threat, as we briefed yesterday in closed session, from Syria, and they are concerned about the imbalance and the threat posed by Syria. They feel they need, and we feel they need protection against that threat. The advent of Stinger into the area does not bring a new weapons system per se-there are literally thousands of Redeye and SA-7's in that area-but it does give them an addition- al capability to meet that Syrian threat. That is the threat. I think that is also a threat to Israel. A strong and secure Jordan is going to be a benefit to Israel, and we are concerned about that. In our dealings with any of those Arab countries, that is always one of the things that is first and foremost in our mind. That is the overall picture. No. 1, is it a benefit to the United States? No. 2, how does it help the friend we are trying to help? And No. 3, how does it impact the other friends we have in that area, whether we are talking about Israel or whether we are talking to the Arabs? Senator BIDEN. Let me pursue that again. It is hard to quarrel with the stated rationale for how the decision was arrived at, and I am not sure I want to quarrel about anything. Up to now, I, at least, as one Senator, have been critical of the attitude of the last administation and this administration, both of them, as to what I believe has been a naive assumption, that not- withstanding the fact that King Hussein is a reasonable man, and I believe he is, notwithstanding the fact that King Hussein would, I think, like to reach an accommodation with the Israelis, and not- withstanding the fact that it is better to have Jordan, from an Is- raeli perspective and, I would argue, a U.S. perspective, where it is, in control of its own territory, that it is impossible for Hussein to act with any degree of independence because of his need to be reli- ant upon Saudi backing financially and Palestinian tolerance. And what seems to be happening, and this was reported in the New York Times today, is that the thrust of the administration at this point seems to be that you all are devising what might be characterized or at least the Times characterizes it as a new Mid- east strategy of closer ties with Jordan, closer ties with Israel, and closer ties with Jordan and Israel that will promote closer ties be- tween the two nations. Now, my first question, stemming from what you said, General, is that true? Whether or not it is a new strategy or an old strategy, is that part of the rationale that underpins the aid programs we are talking about here for both Jordan and Israel? Second, if it is, how do you assess the Saudi reception of this, and how do you assess the Palestinian acquiescence in this if there is one? Maybe, General, that is more appropriate for Secretary Murphy to respond to, although I do not want to keep you from responding. 537 fire away. General TIXIER. Being a fighter pilot, and not a diplomat, I will let him answer it. Senator BIDEN. I think we sometimes get more direct answers from fighter pilots than we do from Senators, myself included, and diplomats, so maybe I would rather you answer. But, Ambassador, Ambassador MURPHY. OK. I will stay out of FMS terms. It cer- tainly is not, as you point out, Senator, a new policy to have the closest possible relations between Washington-Amman and Wash- ington-Israel. That is very long standing. With all respect to the New York Times, there is no new strategy under development. When the talks broke off last April between the King and Mr. Arafat, they broke off because Arafat could not get the backing of his executive committee in Fatah for an arrangement with the King. The King did look then as today for several moves in the area, developments in the area which would allow him to move into the peace process. His assessment was, that he could not move in the face of a threat to Jordan economically, since his is a small country without many indigenous resources. If he were going to risk a break in the lines of support that had been there for several years from the oil states, then this would be a risk that he would have to measure very, very carefully. Where else would he find the wherewithal to maintain and develop the kingdom? Senator BIDEN. But you acknowledge that it is a risk that he has to consider? Ambassador MURPHY. Oh, yes, it is a risk. He looked at the situa- tion of Egypt coming to the Camp David Accords. In terms of the Palestinian support, he has always felt he could not speak for the Palestinians without their acquiescence and having credible Pales- tinians join with him in a delegation to meet with the Israelis. Without trying to quantify just how important the PLO is in that equation, how much it represents or does not represent the Pales- tinian people, it is a factor that he has to take into account. He is working on that. The first round of talks with Chairman Arafat was concluded in February. We understand they will be resumed. We understand no agreements have been reached as yet. But the King has felt for some time now that time is running out. As he looked at the situation on the West Bank, he wanted to move, but he has to have firm backing to move, both from Washington, a firm sense from Israel of what the results will be in moving, and the other two factors of Palestinian support and the support of the oil states. He is assessing those prospects. Senator BIDEN. I assume that you, and when I say you I mean the administration, from the President on through, that you have concluded that there is some prospect for a favorable, from a Jorda- nian perspective, favorable response from the oil states and from at least portions of the Palestinians? Ambassador MURPHY. We think that the circumstances of that meeting, that set of meetings that took place in Amman, you had a number of West Bank leaders visiting Amman at that time, giving their input, according their hopes that they want to see something move forward. Yes, there is a prospect. There certainly is a hope, and as we look at the map, where else are we going to find hope in terms of another move in the Middle East? It is in Jordan. 84-045 0-844-35 538 Senator BIDEN. I agree that that is a source of the hope, but this is not, I guess, the place to debate our Middle East policy in any detail or anything other than detail but our overall Middle East policy, but my criticism has been that there has not been a coher- ent policy from the way in which we took 3 years to figure out, in my view, what our relationship with Israel was. We have, in fact, bounced around on that, in my view, going from one extreme of having difficulty with a memorandum of agreement that we could not determine what it meant straight through to now, us making Israel-the President claiming Israel is a strategic ally, which I be- lieve it is, but a pillar of our position in the region. And so, while this policy is developing and has been developing- and these are my characterizations. I do not expect you to agree with this. I would be flattered if you did, but I do not expect it. I find that here we are, moving off on a military arm sales program to Jordan that is designed to allow the King some freedom of politi- cal movement and independence whereby he would be able to be in a position to take care of himself if things began to fall away. In fact, my fear is, we will find that is an expectation that is too extreme. Not many of us wish to appear in the second edition of "Profiles in Courage," and I do not think that the King of Jordan is looking for that. There are very few Sadats in the world, Ameri- can, Egyptian, Jordanian, or otherwise, in my view, and I would say that King Hussein's record to date has been one of a decent and honorable man, as I said before, but-understandably from my prospective-a decent, honorable, and cautious man. Ambassador MURPHY. It is a region where caution tends to abound. Senator BIDEN. I agree. I think that caution tends to impact on longevity. Consequently, I think, in the name of helping Jordan, we may be putting Jordan in a hole more than pulling it out of a hole, but again, there will be plenty of time to debate that notion. Maybe I could close this portion out, and I thank the chairman for allowing me to go over my 10 minutes' time, by saying this. Tell me again why there seems to be at least an added degree of opti- mism about the potential flexibility of the Jordanians and King Hussein. What has happened that makes you think that there is that added dimension of flexibility now that was not there before? Ambassador MURPHY. Senator, as I say, there is no new, factory- fresh strategy at work here and no appreciation-I do not want to hype this situation at all. The factors that led to the stalemate last April are still in play. His expectations of what sort of deal can be reached with the PLO unproven, what the willingness and recep- tivity for his overture to come to the talks would be, what the re- ceptivity would be in Israel, what this degree of support from Washington Senator BIDEN. Let me put it another way, and maybe this will help, or perhaps even confuse things a little more. Without going back into the arguments again and again, it is to none of the gen- tlemen at this table that I have spoken about this before, so I am not casting aspersions on any of you, but the Senator from Minne- sota will recall that there was an optimism, a clear optimism stated by high-ranking members of the administration as far back as 2 years ago and as recently as 1 year ago about things such as 539 the real deep-seated feeling on the part of the high-ranking offi- cials that the Syrians would move if the Israelis agreed to move. I mean, we were specifically told that. We did not have to infer that. That was specific. There was an optimism about the first introduc- tion of the Reagan peace plan. Again, we were told privately and publicly that we thought Hussein was ready to go now. Senator BOSCHWITZ. In 48 hours. Senator BIDEN. Yes, I did not want to be too harsh, but that is true. Now, let me be very blunt. We were told not that there was a mild optimism. It was stated to us when asked specifically by this Senator and by the Senator from Minnesota, and several others, questions relating to the likelihood of Syria pulling back, the likeli- hood of Hussein stepping up to the ball, the likelihood of a whole series of events I will not go into. We were told, without naming names, we were told by various high ranking officials such things as, well, I believe it, they told me, or we are confident that that will happen, we cannot say that publicly because we do not want to do that, but you know, we can tell you, Senators, that it is immi- nent. In one case it was supposed to be 48 hours. And we all are wrong. Who knows, if my view on the Middle East for the past 6 years had been followed, we may have been worse off. Why, it is easy for me to look at Carter, to look at Reagan, and say, look, you have not gotten anywhere, and if you had gone my way, we would be better off, which was different from theirs. Who knows. If we had done it, maybe we would be worse off. It is easy to Monday morning quarterback about what would have happened, but there is no Monday morning quarterbacking from the Senator from Minnesota and the Senator from Delaware and others up here in the Senate. We did not say anything until after it was over. I mean, we disagreed with the policy as it was going along. Well, not we. Me, Joe Biden. Now, what worries me a little bit is that we seem to be engaging in what I would characterize, absent knowing any more facts than are now at my disposal, and maybe the only place to go into more detail is in closed session, but absent more facts, I do not see any- thing that has changed that makes it any more likely that the Reagan peace plan or version thereof, all of which has been contin- gent all along on the Jordanian portion of the puzzle being fit into the puzzle, I do not know of anything that enhances the prospect of that. And consequently we are setting off on a course that I would argue, and I hope I am wrong, and I mean this sincerely when I say I hope I am wrong, that is counterproductive rather than pro- ductive. Again, General, I am not joking when I say that I have no doubt about your sentiment and your intentions. That is, what is A, you are approaching in the exact correct way in my view. What is in the interest of the United States of America, first, and above all else. General TIXIER. That is right. Senator BIDEN. And second, what impact does it have on the re- cipient nation, and what impact does it have on our friends who are not the recipient nation in the area. I have no doubt that you are approaching it in that way. General TIXIER. That is right. 540 Senator BIDEN. I welcome a response if you want to make one, though I am asking you a question, but I just want to caution you and go on the record here by saying that I think that the policy is based upon fairly naive assumptions about what the parties in the area are likely to be able to do, not what they want to do, but what they are likely to be able to do. I do not see any reason why we can expect any real change in willingness to make that leap. Now, that is not to say you should not try. That is not to say you should not hope for it. But it is to say that I am extremely doubtful, and I think this, the military portion of the Jordanian package and the composition of some of the things that we are contemplating, is, I think, a serious mistake. With regard to Lebanon, again, I am worried about what the aid portion reflects in terms of policy. We have now resumed limited training of Lebanese troops which are now almost exclusively Christian. That is a slight exaggeration, but there is not a whole lot of confessional concession in the military right now. But the de- cisions have been deferred on any major rebuilding of the Lebanese Army, and under the circumstances which we would be able to resume shipping major items like tanks and armored personnel carriers, we do not know quite where that is. I sense in your policies, and your budgets are policy statements, I suggest in your budgetary approach that you are reflecting the di- lemma that you face, and that is that you want to do something to keep the Lebanese Army in place and built up, so you are continu- ing to train them and provide funds for that on the one hand, and on the other hand you know there is a need for major hardware, and this is my reading, and I want to correct my reading if it is wrong. But it seems as though you are acknowledging by a decision not to make major hardware transfers, which I think we would all agree are needed by the army, your worry is that you do not know where it is going to go, you do not know what is going to happen. So, on the one hand you have the problem of wanting to keep essentially the Christian Army in place, and on the other hand you know if you give them major weapons materials you may, in fact, impact upon the political dynamics in that country so that it turns out to be counterproductive. Is that a correct reading of your budget statement? Ambassador MURPHY. We welcome you to the State Department analyst group at any time, Senator. That is part of the dilemma, yes. Just on that particular point, I might say, and the General can speak to the question of deliveries, that we are not interested in supporting any one faction over the other if it is possible to find a way back to a reconstituted national army, again, looking at events as they unfold. Senator BIDEN. Again, I want to make it clear that I am not being critical here of the Army, the Navy, the Air Force, or the military in this. I say that not because I am afraid of you guys, which I am, and that is only a joke. [General laughter.] But I say it because I think you have been right all along. I will not go back into that, into who struck John on that, but I would also argue that some of you folks at the State Department and maybe some of you people at this table have also been right. I think if we had listened to the professionals on this little adventure 541 rather than to those others, we might not have ended up where we are, but we are now in a situation where we have a problem, and I would like to know what efforts have been made to reacquire, and I emphasize reacquire, U.S.-supplied tanks and trucks which fell into the hands of the Phalangists and which they reportedly refused to turn over. How much U.S. equipment has been lost by the Leba- nese Army? Could you give us an assessment of what factions now control what portion of what has been lost? General TIXIER. To give you the details, I would have to provide that for the record. I can do that. Senator BIDEN. I appreciate that. [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] General TIXIER. I can tell you that with the help of the Israelis out of the Fourth Brigade area, and geographically that is in the south, down in the south, the Fourth Brigade, equipment, a good portion of it as I remember, 12 to 14 tanks, and do not hold me to those figures—I will provide accurate figures-were returned to the LAF up at Genai, which is the port to the north. Some of them did fall into other hands. We are not really sure. We figure the Druze got some, probably the Phalange have some. We have been making an attempt to get that back. Senator BIDEN. Again, I will not pressure you on that, not be- cause you are not being candid, but because you do not have the figures in front of you. I would be anxious to have as detailed a response to that question as I could, General. General TIXIER. Yes, sir. Senator BIDEN. To the gentlemen from the State Department, Lebanon has now canceled the May 17 agreement with Israel. What is our official position on that action taken by the Gemayel government? Ambassador MURPHY. We very much regret the cancellation, and as the Secretary said, those who were responsible for bringing it about have the responsibility for replacing that agreement in terms of security arrangements on the Israeli border. Senator BIDEN. I am sorry. Would you say that again for me? Ambassador MURPHY. Those who were responsible for bringing about the cancellation of that agreement are now to bear the re- sponsibility for replacing it if they want to get the Israeli forces out of Lebanon. Senator BIDEN. To translate that, does that mean the Syrians are responsible for it, and now it is on their hands? Is that what you say? Ambassador MURPHY. The Syrians and certain Lebanese factions as well. Senator BIDEN. OK. Do any of you expect that in light of the can- cellation, the Israelis are going to move south of their border, that they are going to say, "well, it is over, and we are out anyway?' Ambassador MURPHY. We understand there is total unity in Israel on the question of insuring the security of that border, and they have not decided how they are going to do it. Senator BIDEN. Do you see any need to readjust aid figures, mili- tary aid figures for Lebanon and/or for Israel in light of the cancel- lation of the agreement? Does that have any impact? 542 Ambassador MURPHY. I do not think the agreement in its incep- tion, when it was negotiated, had any bearing on the military bal- ance, Senator. While its cancellation is deeply regretted, in direct relationship, no. Senator BIDEN. So there is no direct relationship between the military and economic aid figures either to Lebanon and/or to Israel based upon the cancellation of the agreement? Ambassador MURPHY. As far as Lebanon, I think we just have to say that the whole situation is under study, and we cannot reach any decision about the shape of our programs or the size of our pro- grams until we are further down the road. Senator BIDEN. Do I have any more time? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Please go right ahead. Senator BIDEN. May I have another 5 minutes, if I could? Senator BOSCHWITZ. Certainly. Senator BIDEN. Two years ago I introduced an amendment which passed by a single vote, and which we later determined should not be pushed on the floor of the Senate in light of some changed cir- cumstances, not the least of which is the Israeli Defense Force. The Israeli military had moved into Lebanon, and public opinion began to change here in this country, but that amendment related to the question of our economic aid to Israel and our military aid. I am one who believes that we would have been better off under both administrations to say, hey, look, we want to be friendly with everyone, but it begins and ends, if it has to, it begins, and if it has to, it ends with our closest friend and ally in the region, and that is Israel. I say that strictly from the standpoint of what I think, in the Machiavellian sense, is in the interest of the United States. I am not asking you to agree with that, because I know, officially you could not, and privately you probably do not, but to that end, I have concluded after 1142 years in this place that the greatest threat to our security in the region is the threat to Israel's econom- ic security. I think Israel is in bad shape economically. And I do not know how Israel can, in fact, maintain its defense require- ments and at the same time maintain the payback schedule to the United States that is underway. And so I introduced an amendment that said, look-and was cal- culated based on just looking down the road at the repayment schedule the Israelis have to make, I mean, just if we stopped right now what that repayment schedule would be, and I said that-this amendment said that we would not ask Israel as a matter of princi- ple to pay back in any 1 year any more than they were receiving in aid. The irony would be that we were getting to the point where the aid package we gave to Israel was being exceeded by their re- payment schedule. If we are going to do that, it would be better not even to transfer the funds. You have to pay back $925 million this year, and you are getting $850 million, so you send us the differ- ence. And so I introduced that, and it passed here by one vote. The ra- tionale, again, for that, and the reason I am bringing it up is, I am considering doing it again this year, and I do not ask for a position now. At least, I would ask you to withhold taking a position. But I would like you to consider whether or not the rationale for such an amendment, whether there is any rationale from your perspective. 543 What I would like an answer to is this. To what extent do you believe the Israeli debt ratio is able to be sustained in light of their economic situation today? I mean, how much more of our largesse can they stand from an economic standpoint? Mr. LANGMAID. I was just going to look quickly, Senator, at the figures that dealt with the military debt service in terms of the total debt service to the United States. You also have Israeli pay- ments on Israeli bondholders in the United States, which is a dif- ferent kind of situation than the military debt. Let me, if I may, Senator, answer the basic question that you are raising. The con- cept of bilateral balancing of aid levels versus debt service implies the concept that we never expect to have any of our loans repaid. We have problems with that as a general concept. There obviously are individual country situations, but earlier I think there were several questions that dealt with Tunisia in somewhat the same context. When we look at the country's economic situation and its capac- ity to service the loans which we are providing, we take into ac- count their debt service. We do not necessarily take into account their debt service to us. We take into account their total debt sery- ice as part of an overall balance of payments, in the context of the earnings they have to generate to service that debt. We do that very carefully with most of the countries where we have major aid programs. In fact, I would say in the case of all countries where we have major aid programs. Where there are smaller programs, it is a different kind of consideration. In the case of Israel, we have looked very carefully at the eco- nomic situation, their foreign exchange situation, as well as their internal economic situation. If you look at the problems Israel has had, say, in the last 3 years, they have been primarily problems of a budgetary nature, and of a total domestic demand nature, not so much of a foreign exchange nature. I am talking about relative degree of difficulty now. There is no question that their economy is in worse shape than either they or we would like, and it is worse this year than last year. It is worth noting, however, that although their gross national product has increased only marginally in the last couple of years, their private and public consumption rates have exceeded the growth of gross national product by several percentage points. Pri- vate consumption has been growing at 5 or 6 percent. GNP in the last year or so has grown only 1 to 2 percent. That kind of budgetary and private demand pressure is not sus- tainable over a long period of time. It is those problems that really are high priority to bring under control. Israel cannot bring their balance of payments problems under control in the sense of divert- ing more resources to exports, more resources into foreign ex- change earning industries until they can bring the domestic situa- tion under control. Senator BIDEN. That is my point, and with that domestic situa- tion the way it is in servicing the debt that they must service, I do not know how the Israelis can take on much more in terms of loans, concessional or otherwise, from the United States. That gets back to the General's point about what is in the U.S. interest, and we find ourselves, if you look at what I would consider to be conces- 544 sional loans, an area that I deal with more than the Middle East is NATO, and if you calculate the total amount of money that the United States is spending to sustain its interest, and I argue we must, because it is in the interest of the United States. Some critics would suggest that we are protecting Germany and Holland and France, et cetera, but we are protecting the United States. Nonetheless, we are more direct about that when we talk about NATO in terms of our direct expenditures, not just as relates to placement of troops, but in terms of the underpinnings required to keep that going. I just would ask you to consider and maybe submit for the record, rather than take the time now, your assessment of the ability of the Israeli economy and what we see it doing this year, next year, and the next several years to sustain the repay- ment schedule that they now find themselves on. What I do not want to be faced with, nor do you, I know, is in effect, finding that we have in our own interest burdened them in a way that they cannot continue to protect that interest. I want to make clear that I believe they are protecting U.S. interests. I be- lieve every dollar we send militarily has a direct relationship to U.S. interests, and not a moral obligation. At any rate, do you think you could do that for me? Mr. LANGMAID. We would be glad to submit such a report, Sena- tor. Senator BIDEN. I have one more question, if I may. The fiscal year 1985 aid request reduces economic aid to Israel, I believe, by $60 million. Has this already been asked? Senator BOSCHWITZ. No; but you are correct in that figure. Senator BIDEN. Given the economic problems that I think we all acknowledge beset Israel right now, what is the rationale and justi- fication for this reduction? Mr. LANGMAID. I think in part the answer, Senator, is, it depends on which end of the tube you are looking at. From our perspective, in terms of the administration request, the level is the same as we requested in prior years. Senator BIDEN. I know that, and by the way, I think that is accu- rate. That is what you did request. I think last year that was the request, was it not? Senator BOSCHWITZ. That is right. It is the same request. Senator BIDEN. So I guess what you are saying is, you did not feel there was a need to go to $910 million last year? Mr. LANGMAID. That is correct, Senator. Senator BIDEN. And therefore you do not think there is a need this year? Mr. LANGMAID. We again, as we have each year, looked very carefully at their economic situation, and have concluded that from our judgment, in terms of what we have discussed with the Israelis and what their plans are and their current situation, the request we are making would ensure the economic vitality of that country. It is very important; it is our, as it is your, principal preoccupation with the aid program. Senator BIDEN. Thank you. As a closing comment, let me say that I would suggest, gentlemen, that in determining the direction of our peace initiatives in the Middle East, when we consider what is needed from the Jordanian portion of the equation, that we not + 2 545 put too much of a burden on Jordan to do things which are unreal- istic for them to do, and I would suggest to you that maybe an ele- ment of the test as to whether or not they can sustain their part of the bargain, if you will, will be the degree to which they believe that they can continue to have sustained support from Saudi Arabia. I would argue that one of the ways to determine whether or not the Saudis mean what they say, and they have helped a great deal in Jordan, and they are good folks—I am not being critical of the Saudis, but the degree to which they feel they can take the chance to be more involved, you might use-to use the phrase that the President used a lot during the AWACS sale, what the litmus test might be whether or not you could get the Saudis to pay for what you are proposing the Jordanians need rather than us, and they are doing a lot of that now. Ambassador MURPHY. If I may make one comment, Senator. Going back in history, the September 1st initiative in the Hussein- Arafat talks last year, it was not-or if it was—let me start that way-if it was naive on our part, it was a very widely shared naive- te. And, outside of this country, in the region, that was considered in April of 1983 to be a deal nearly struck, and there was consider- able disappointment, not only on the part of the King, but in the region. They thought it was coming. Senator BIDEN. Maybe "naive" is the wrong word. But I think you are right; you are not the only folks who thought it was going to happen. There are a lot of others. But I would argue that Senator Boschwitz and I were among those who thought it would not happen, and I am not suggesting that that means that you should listen to us from this point. But I would argue that the reasons why some of us thought it would not happen related to some of the requirements that were needed to be a part of the ingredient. All I am asking you to do is to look very closely, to see whether or not any of the mix has changed, not whether the expectation has changed, not whether the verbal assertions have changed, but what, in fact, has changed that would make us now believe that they could do what they could not do before. And, from where I sit looking at it, it seems that not only has it not been a change that would enhance the prospect, but I would argue that there has been a change that diminishes the prospect and not enhances it. So, rather than go on, that is the conventional wisdom. And, again, I am being critical, but not in a pejorative sense. I think it was reasonable for reasonable men to assume what you assumed. And I was moving as much in my gut regarding human nature ind how politicians function—and he is a politician and I am a politi- cian-how they function, rather than on what people were saying And, as I look at the situation now, I see no reason why Saudi Arabia and no reason why Jordan would be willing to be any more courageous-nor would I, were I they, by the way—than they have been in the past, notwithstanding the fact that there is an in- creased concern about Syria and an increased concern about Iran for some of the same and very different reasons, both. 546 But I find the modus operandi, looking back as one student of the region for 20 years and one participant in the policies, or com- mentator at least on the policies for the last 12, I find that what adds up to a Westerner concluding that now is the time to take the chance usually adds up to the opposite for the Mideasterner. So I just want to say this for the record, and I want you to mull this around. As I am one guy who has a different view, I would agree that increased danger brings about increased caution. God bless the Saudis; they are fine people. But in terms of their foreign policy, they remind me of the Mexicans in this hemisphere. Mexico, in my view, buys its internal stability with support of ex- ternal radicalism in the region. Everybody says, “why doesn't Mexico speak out and join with us more?'' Well, the reason why is they want to stay in power, they do not want a revolution in their country. That is why. I can under- stand that. I am not critical of that. I would argue that the Saudis have a similar problem. I see noth- ing to change that, nothing at all. And I see nothing to change the Jordanian part of the equation, and I am anxious-if it not be on the record or off the record, or do it in any form you want to do it with me--for you to tell me and, I suspect, others on the committee what are those elements that make you think the way you do. Now, I know you are not hyping this. You are not saying this is going to happen in 48 hours, and you are not saying you are posi- tive this is going to work. But obviously, part of the program here is, you think it is a step, or to quote unnamed officials—The New York Times has 27 unnamed officials on retainer, I guess-but to quote them, it says "Officials were generally pessimistic about any- thing concrete happening this year, particularly in the year of con- gressional opposition in an election year to certain arms for Jordan. But they said the plan was a sensible, long-term strategy. Said one senior official: "I am optimistic, but I know we've had several strategies before, and they didn't work either.” Now again, I am not asking you to say whether this is a new strategy, and you say it is not. All I am saying is that there is the notion here that this is part of a long-term effort to bring about, I assume, to create the set of circumstances that allows Hussein to do what I believe he wants to do; that allows the Saudis to do what I believe they are inclined to do. And I do not want to damn them by suggesting they are reasonable, because who is viewed as a strong supporter of Israel saying he likes the Jordanians and Saudis probably makes the Jordanians and Saudis suspect. But is seems to me that is what you are trying to build, and I do not know what the reason-if there is reason for this changed cir- cumstances that makes you think it makes sense, I would like to know them. And maybe the place to find them out is in a closed session, rather than here. Ambassador MURPHY. We would be happy at any time for a ses- sion, Senator Just on Stinger, if I may make one last comment from this side. We will be making that presentation to the Congress in the coming days, and I would say today only that it will stand as a justification on its own, quite apart from the peace process or setting the stage 547 for the thing. We think it fills a very legitimate defensive need in their inventory. Senator BIDEN. I appreciate that and I thank you very much. I am sorry to take so long, Mr. Chairman. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Not at all, Senator. Before I go on, I do not want Mr. Staples to think that his trip up to the Hill was in vain. We will get to the Southeast Asian region, but probably after you leave, Senator. But I share the frustrations that you have been speaking about in the Middle East. And a little earlier, Ambassador Murphy spoke about the fact that the various players—and I think you mentioned the Saudis, the Jordanians, and the PLO-and that there was some hope of their coming together in some fashion. That is a story that is no longer new to either Senator Biden or me. They allegedly have been coming together for some time. I share his frustration with all of the players over there, and I also share the thought that, if they have conservative instincts sur- rounding their instincts of self-preservation, they are less likely to be of a risk-taking mind at the present time with what is going on there in the Middle East. I also express some frustration, I must say, about what I consider to be great equivocation in respect to our relationship with the Is- raelis. I know that that relationship has improved greatly in recent years, perhaps even in recent months. Yet, it is always a push. The relationships improve, but then something is happening in the Defense Department that the memorandum of understanding cannot go forward. And then something is happening in the State Department that prevents implementation of other forms of agree- ments between the countries. There seems to be an equivocation because there seems to be this underlying feeling that the Israelis are the underlying problem in the area, because of the Palestinian issue, despite the fact that the Iraqis are invading Iran and then being reinvaded by their neighbor, and that the Syrians are always at odds with the Iraqis no matter what is happening, that the Liby- ans are at odds with the Tunisians, that the Algerians and the Mo- roccans do not get along well together, and there is internecine warfare between North and South Yemen. Yet, there seems to be a feeling-and I have had it expressed to me by an American Ambassador-that, really, the underlying issue continues to be the Palestinians, and if we could only solve that, all would be well in the Middle East, and therefore, this equivocation with respect to our relationship with the Israelis must continue. That is extremely frustrating to me as I look back over history and the time when those Palestinians became refugees and why they became refugees, why they responded to the call of their own leaders to depart so that the invading Arab armies could throw the Israelis into the sea, and that they could return and have their land and the land of the Israelis as well. I think that of all the ref- ugees that existed, many of them in Southeast Asia during that time, almost all of them have been resettled, all of them have been graduated from the status of displaced persons; more have come into Israel from these Arab countries that now treat their own people as refugees still, after 35 years or something. It is shame- less. 548 Yet, time and again, I have the feeling and the perception from the State Department and, more recently, from the Defense De- partment, that we have to keep Israel at arm's length, that if we do not, we are in some way going to embarrass ourselves or create greater problems with the Arabs. Of course, that breeds the sense among Israel's neighbors that they can play on that, and I believe they do. So I have that frustration, that we are relying on people who are not going to move—the Jordanians, the Saudis. I would like to be pleasantly surprised but the internecine type of activities between Those nations are so severe that you could solve the Palestinian problem tomorrow and they would still be shooting at one another. It is a frustration to think that now we might once again heighten the arms race in the area, because we are hopeful that the players will come to the table and negotiate. Maybe it is the only hope we have in the area, but one of the other hopes, in my judgment, is that there be no equivocation with respect to our relationship with Israel. The chips, in my judgment, might be stirred up a little bit, but then they will settle and people will understand. I do not have to have an American Ambassador coming to me and explaining to me that it is the Israelis who are to blame in this area. That is not the sentiment, at least of Senator Biden or myself. Senator BIDEN. Of at least two of us. Senator BOSCHWITZ. It is a cause of friction between the Congress and the State Department, and it is something that should be laid to rest. I think if it is, then indeed perhaps progress that has not been made in the Middle East will be possible to be made. Senator BIDEN. If the Senator will yield on that point, that is not to say that if I were in your position, the Israelis would not drive me crazy. They would drive me out of my tree, just like the British do. The British bug me, and the French-my God, I am part French-my middle name is Robinette-they are our ally. And, God, if we say black is black, they say it is white. If we say the Moon is made of green cheese, they say it is cheddar cheese. If we say we should move left, they say right. I guess that is part of my problem. It is in my blood. But the difference is, we treat-we understand that frustration and tolerance when we talk about the British. We understand that frustration and tolerance when we talk about the almost-schizo- phrenia of the Germans. I mean the Germans want us to do more, but less. They want to be in, but out. They want to lead, but they don't. I understand why, and I am a great fan of the Europeans, and I do not think there is anybody in this Congress—that is a very self-serving statement—who is more supportive, who speaks out more for and is more in front on needing the strength with NATO and move with NATO, et cetera. I mean I am supposedly a liberal Senator who wrote the report to deploy nuclear weapons in Europe. I feel strongly about that. We must. And so on. I am the guy that fights Ted Stevens every time he gets up on the floor and starts talking about removing troops. But we deal with that like it is a family, which it is. But when it comes to the 549 Israelis, we deal like it is our next-door neighbor, not family; like it is somehow different. And I would suggest-and this is a heck of a thing to subject you guys to here, the two of us who essentially lecture you, or give you our view of the world. It reminds me of, in my case at least, a less articulate version of what Henry Kissinger used to do every time he would come to testify. We would get his view of the world. We never found anything out, but we would get his view of the world. But it seems to me, Senator, that one of the problems is that there are a whole lot of people who still exist in this country and the State Department and Defense Department, in the Senate, in the Congress, that really essentially are trying to do something they know they cannot do. And that is, they believe we made a bad bargain in 1948. We picked the wrong team. There are 60 million or more of them, and they have all the oil, and they have all these other things, and what did we end up with-these few little folks sitting along the Mediterranean with no natural resources. I think that is part of it. So what happens now is, there is an attempt to modify a funda- mental decision, and so we all are constantly half-pregnant; and I compliment the administration on deciding to become fully preg- nant. It decided I will not use the analogy that would be appropri- ate, but we have been made pregnant. And now they are saying, OK, Israel is a strategic ally, and so on and so forth. I think the sooner we do that—that does not mean you are not friends with the rest of that region. The sooner we say: "Bang, this is it,” it allows two things. It allows us, in my view, to diminish the expectations of those among the Arabs who are preventing what I believe to be a majority of the Arab world willing to compromise, willing to move, willing to recognize Israel. It gives them more credibility and say: “Look, you can't keep tweaking these Ameri- cans, you can't keep doing it. It's not going to work. So there. So let's face it.” And the second thing I would argue it would do, I have the facili- ty, as you may have observed by now, to alienate everyone. The Is- raelis, on the other hand, would have their anxiety diminished, and they would get over this thing that the Israelis have which, I argue, with some good reason up to now—that, well, they are changing policy again. Here they go. Remember the joke 2 years ago, General, gentlemen? You may remember in Israel, at least the people of my generation in Israel, it was well, what can you expect from the Americans? And the answer was “a life jacket.” Now, that was not official Israeli policy, but that was the night- club humor that was going around. I think cartoonists in America and humorists in other countries tell you more about what is hap- pening in those countries than we politicians. At any rate, I just want to underscore the point that the Senator made; that I really think and I hope that the administration be- comes fully pregnant, and I think we may give birth to peace in that way. That is to say, here we stand; this is our relationship with Israel; you ain't going to move it; it is immutable. Now we will go from there. 550 And my argument is that the transfer of additional weaponry to other nations in the region does two things: It sends a signal that is not immutable in terms of what the Arab world can or cannot do, and it increases anxiety on the part of the Israelis. You say well, why should they be anxious? I think the reason why Begin did some of the stupid things he did—and I know that is a terrible thing to say about a head of state, but I think some of the Begin policies were absolutely counterproductive. And, as the Senator from Minnesota knows, I told Mr. Begin that in a direct conversation, which was characterized as a confronta- tion. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Yes; in this room. Senator BIDEN. So I am not reluctant to be critical of Israel, but I think we have to understand what makes them move in looking at our own interests. We do that with the British. I do not know how many people tell me, as former chairman and now ranking member of the European Affairs Subcommittee- Senator BOSCHWITZ. And, God willing, it will remain that way. Senator BIDEN. That is right, God willing. God willing for the British, because if I become chairman of this committee, let me say they are in a whole world of hurt when it comes to Ireland. My mother's maiden name is Finnegan, and I will tell you, they have an absolutely stupid policy toward Northern Ireland. Look what happens here. Every time we say-any of us Irish-American Sena- tors say: "You speak to them, they say: "Look, wait a minute. They are allies. I mean they are important. You may be right, but let's not fight that out in the open.” That is what is said. Now, how can we adopt that attitude about England, God bless them? And, by the way, I am an Anglophile. I make no bones about it. To the chargrin of my mother, I am. I am the guy that intro- duced the resolution of support for the Falkland Islands. The first phone call I got was from Jean Finnegan Biden: “Joey, what are you doing?" Do you understand the point I am trying to make? I do not know why I am doing it even, except to put it on the record. Anyway, I expect support from you on my Irish policy when things get going here, Rudy. [Laughter.] Senator BOSCHWITZ. Senator, let me comment by saying that you say you have aggravated everybody at one time or another. I might tell you that it took me quite some time to adjust to your political party, and then it took me a little time with the Irish business, and I have made those adjustments. But now French, too? [Laughter.] As the Assistant Secretary knows, I am a great believer in con- stancy in foreign policy. I think we probably are two of the more flexible members of this committee, and as the Senator has just said, he perhaps will take chances at his caucus, and I will take chances that my caucus will not necessarily agree with. It is con- stancy in foreign policy that you, Mr. Ambassador, and I have talked about in the past, and that constancy applies to many things. Senator BIDEN. And I have been known to be constantly wrong, too. [Laughter.] Senator BOSCHWITZ. That's OK, as long as you are constant. 551 Gentlemen, we really have gone a little longer than had been an- ticipated, and I do not want to overlook parts of this subcommit- tee's jurisdiction that have not just a few million people, but hun- dreds of millions of people. So I want to direct some attention there as well, and pardon me, as it does not express a lack of interest at all. As you know, the political/military focus of the world luckily is not in your part of South Asia, Mr. Staples. But before we leave the Middle East, there is $20 million that is proposed in ESF aid to Lebanon, ESF and perhaps some military aid. Are there still funds left in the direct grant part of the aid pro- gram and the military aid to Lebanon, or has that all been used up? We know that about $120 million of the ESF is not used up. General TIXIER. Sir, there are $15 million in fiscal year 1984 FMS credit being held by State, and $31 million in reallocation credit being held by the Senate Appropriations Committee as of right now. Senator BOSCHWITZ. It seems perhaps not purposeful to propose another $20 million of ESF grants or military grants. Perhaps the Department or AID can reassess those funds, and maybe they can be moved elsewhere to some of our friends, to Morocco or Tunisia, that we have talked about this morning. Also, we are expanding the Public Law 480 funds, and perhaps we can do more with respect to some of our friends in that regard as well. It seems to me we are expanding them rather substantially for fiscal year 1985. So perhaps we can see that some of our friends obtain more funding in this regard, Mr. Langmaid. That is more of a comment than a question. Also, before we leave that area, we would note that the Washing- ton Post-and I do not like to make foreign policy on the basis of what I read in the paper-but it says that helicopters have been used in the chemical warfare that is being conducted, or at least that is suspected of being conducted. And in this subcommittee, we talked a good deal about transferring helicopters, and we were told that they were for crop dusting, and that they were light, and that they carry less than five people. And now I note that Iraq reported- ly delivered the mustard gas it allegedly used almost exclusively by helicopters and transport planes, the kinds of things that we have been selling to them. That issue is something that we will continue to talk about as well. Mr. Staples, I wanted to ask you about the aid to Bangladesh, most specifically that we are providing significant amounts of rice to Bangladesh, and apparently they want wheat or they want vege- table oils. Why don't we supply more wheat? And I might add to that, that Minnesota produces wheat and vegetable oils-no rice. And so, of course, I have a more parochial interest in that as well. But appar- ently that is what they want. Mr. STAPLES. Senator, for the last 2 years, we have supplied some rice as part of the Public Law 480 program to Bangladesh. The major food grain shipment continues to be wheat, and we are also supplying vegetable oils. have the exact quantities jotted down here, if you would like them in just a minute. 552 Senator BOSCHWITZ. Yes; if you would review them briefly. It is my understanding that we are trying to push the rice, and they want the wheat, and that the wheat is more directed at the poorest people there. Mr. STAPLES. Well, of course, basically the Bangladeshis are rice consumers. It is traditionally a rice-consuming society. They have in recent years begun to use rather significant amounts of wheat. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Have they not been self-sufficient in rice, however? Mr. STAPLES. No, sir. They are about 142 million tons short of their overall food grain requirements, and we supply rather large amounts of food grains under the Public Law 480 program. They also get rice from a good many other donors—I think both the Jap- anese and the Thais. They have bought rice, I think, from both Thailand and Burma. The title I figures for fiscal year 1984 were $31 million of wheat, $15 million of rice. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Was that 15? Mr. STAPLES. Yes; $15 million; $9 million in vegetable oil and $10 million in cotton. The year before we supplied Senator BoscHWITZ. What is the other $27 million--not $27 mil- lion, but $33 million? Mr. STAPLES. I think that is correct for 1984. In 1985 it is $75 mil- lion. The figure is going up this year. Senator BOSCHWITZ: 1983 is $93.426 million? 1984 is $87 million, and 1985 is $97 million, $98 million? Mr. STAPLES: I think those figures include title II, sir. These are title III. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Are you talking about title II or title I? Mr. STAPLES. Title I, which in Bangladesh is title III. Senator BOSCHWITZ. The economic aid that I have on my sheet is title I or II. What is the $97 million? Is that title II grants? Mr. STAPLES. The $93 million is the total Public Law 480 figure for 1983. Senator BOSCHWITZ. How much of that is title I and how much is title II. Mr. STAPLES. For 1983, the title I total was $60 million, and title II total was $33.5 million, roughly. Senator BOSCHWITZ. What are the terms on the $60 million? Are they able to pay it back, or are we just creating a situation there where they cannot pay it back? Mr. STAPLES. No. sir. In Bangladesh, it is the title III program, which means that- Senator BOSCHWITZ. Is title III a different one again? Mr. STAPLES. No, sir. Title III is, in essence a version of title I, under which, if the government carries out certain agricultural reform measures which are agreed to by that government and our Government, the amount becomes a forgiven loan. They are not re- quired to pay it back. And that is the case in Bangladesh. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I notice that we also are giving a large amount to India, and I also note that the U.S. assistance accounts for less than 10 percent of India's external assistance. Does that 553 mean other nations, in the form of aid or grant aid, are providing nine times as much as we provide? Mr. STAPLES. Yes, sir, although by far the major factor is the World Bank. Senator BOSCHWITZ. That is in the form of loans. Mr. STAPLES. It has mostly been IDA loans until recently. As you probably know, recently the portions are beginning to shift from ĪDA toward IBRD loans in the India case. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Are the figures, Public Law 480 figures for India, mostly eventually grants, too, because of the utilization of the title III or Public Law 480? Mr. STAPLES. No; The food aid in the India case is Public Law 480, title II. Senator BoscHWITZ. Which are outright grants? ? Mr. STAPLES. Yes, sir. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Why do we give a country like India, with which we have so many problems and which seems to be recalci- trant about nuclear proliferation-more grants than we give to Bangladesh? And besides which, they are an exporter of wheat. Mr. STAPLES. India, by and large, is not an exporter of wheat. Senator BOSCHWITZ. India has been an exporter of wheat in the last few years. I am not quite sure if it was in the last year. Mr. STAPLES. India has been, occasionally, an exporter of rice. I am not aware of exports of wheat. Basically, India is not yet, in our view, entirely self-sufficient in food grain production. Their production has increased a great deal over the last 20 years or so. When they have bad monsoons, which they have every 3 or 4 years, or so, they drop below the line of self- sufficiency. Actually, they imported wheat from the United States commer- cially in 1983. They imported 4 million tons of wheat to build up their food reserves. Senator BOSCHWITZ. One of those years I thought they exported wheat. I may be wrong. Do you include rice as a feed grain, a food grain? Mr. STAPLES. Yes, sir. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Do you? We talk about feed grains, and so I sometimes confuse the terms. Mr. STAPLES. In the case of Bangladesh, our entire program has been a grant program. This year, in fiscal year 1984 Senator BOSCHWITZ. Through the utilization of title III? Mr. STAPLES. No, sir. The development assistance program has been an all-grant program. Senator BOSCHWITZ. I thought you said Public Law 480. Pardon me. Please go ahead. I interrupted you. Mr. STAPLES. I was simply going to make the point that Bangla- desh has been treated by the U.S. Government as a least developed country, which means that to the extent possible, the entire pro- gram, both development assistance and Public Law 480, is given on grant terms. Senator BOSCHWITZ. Well, I would hope that as we see the addi- tional funds that are available through the Public Law 480 pro- gram through all three titles, that we would direct them at Bangla- desh, that we would direct them at Sri Lanka, that we would direct 34-045 0-84-_-36 554 them at Pakistan. Perhaps the Indians do not find the program adequate with their large population-however, their policies are also difficult for us to cope with, and if we are to in some way grease them, whatever the purpose of this aid of $200-odd million is, to gain their friendship, it is not working. And as a result, I would hope that increased aid would be direct- ed at countries such as I have mentioned, who are carrying quite a burden as in the case of Pakistan, and are not being apologists, as the Indians are, for the Russians and Afghanistan, quite aside from their willingness to proliferate on nuclear matters which, I think, hold very alarming types of consequences for the world at large. I should include as well Nepal in our efforts, as a country that has been extremely cooperative with us. It would be my hope that we would be able to help it as well with the new amounts of aid that we are increasing through Public Law 480 Do you have any other comments that you think the subcommit- tee should make a part of the record with respect to this, to these countries? Mr. STAPLES. In regard to the uses of Public Law 480 in India, it is important to note that a considerable amount of the Public Law 480 is used directly in either school feeding programs or in support of some really very imaginative programs, aiming at the nutrition- al problems of poor children and pregnant and lactating mothers. This is a very carefully worked out program which is being car- ried out by American voluntary agencies in cooperation with vari- ous of the Indian state governments. The other major part of Public Law 480 in India is also being used for a very imaginative program to help the formation of coop- eratives for vegetable oil production, because India is an enormous deficit producer of vegetable oils. The Nepal program in fiscal year 1985 actually provides for a moderate increase in development assistance funds for Nepal, which was agreed to during the King's visit this past year. Senator BOSCHWITZ. We thank you gentlemen for coming. You have been very patient. This session is ended. [Additional questions and answers follow:] STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Question 1. Ambassador Murphy, what is the impact of Lebanon's abrogation of the May 17 Israeli withdrawal agreement on Lebanon and the military balance in the region? Answer. The May 17 Agreement provided for the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanon and security arrangments for the protection of Israel's northern border. Cancellation of the unratified May 17 Agreement is obviously a step back- ward from these goals. Those responsible for rejection of the proposed Agreement now bear responsibility for making new arrangements to achieve these goals which ratification of the Agreement would have achieved. It is still too early, however, to measure what impact, if any, cancellation of the Agreement will have on the mili- tary balance in the region. Question 2. In recent months we have seen the abrogation or freezing into a “cold peace" of the two major agreements Arab countries have signed with Israel, the May 17 Lebanese-Israeli agreement and the Egyptian-Israeli Camp David Treaty. What impact do you think this will have on future efforts to negotiate agreements between Israel and the Arab countries? 555 Answer. The Middle East is a region of vital importance to the United States and our friends and allies. We have never believed that facilitating a peaceful settle- ment would be an easy task. We know the price of our effort in Lebanon. With regard to Egypt and Israel, we see the structure of the peace treaty as intact and we are working on behalf of a warmer relationship. We should be under no illusions that there are many in the Middle East and else- where whose interests would not be served by settlement and who will work to un- dercut our efforts. it is our responsibility, both in the Executive Branch and the Congress, to provide the necessary support for those willing to take the very real risks which come with entry into the peace process. If we are to play the construc- tive role necessary to achieve peace between Arabs and Israelis, we will have to demonstrate to all concerned that the United States can be depended upon to deliv- er on its commitments and to stand by its friends. Question 3. Israeli Finance Ministry officials estimate that their foreign exchange current account deficit will be about $1.3 billion. Is the Israeli figure about right? Answer. The Israelis are projecting a "financing gap"-not a current account defi- citof $1.3 billion. The gap represents the deficiency in projected resources needed to finance the current deficit and debt amortization after taking into account pro- jected inflows from commercial and concessional non-U.S. Government sources. The accuracy of the estimate depends on a number of assumptions concerning domestic Israeli economic policy, the level of international economic activity, and availability of various sources of financing. Our own assistance proposal reflects our belief that with appropriate Israeli economic policy decisions the need for economic assistance should be considerably less than the $1.3 billion projected. Question 4. Do you believe the Israeli economy is in better or in worse shape than it was a year ago? Answer. The balance of payments deterioration evident in 1982 continued in 1983. International factors were exacerbated by the GOI policy of maintaining an over- valued shekel in the hope of dampening inflation. Not only was inflation unaffected, but the overvalued exchange rate limited Israeli exports and encouraged imports. In August the government tacitly abandoned its exchange rate policy via a modest 7 percent devaluation. The continued adverse developments in both prices and exports combined with uncertainties in the period following Prime Minister Begin's resignation to produce a run on the dollar which, in view of the need to liquidate assets to obtain currency for exchange, ultimately also led to a collapse of share prices. On October 11 the government announced a devaluation of some 18 percent and a 50 percent increase in the price of government controlled basic commodities. Despite the deterioration in the external accounts and an increase in the rate of inflation (which reached a new high of 191 percent) domestic consumption and in- vestment expanded briskly. Private consumption increased by about 6.5 percent, boosted by an average real wage increase of about 5 percent. Public consumption of domestic goods and services increased over 6 percent. In fact, one of the characteris- tics of Israeli economic performance in recent years has been consumption increases which continually outstrip growth in the economy in general. The investment in- crease was particularly driven by the relative cheapness of imports--the result of an overvalued currency. Capital machinery and equipment imports increased by 23 percent in 1982 and 32 percent in 1983. Question 5. When Secretary Shultz testified before the Committee on February 22, he said the $850 million ESF figure seemed appropriate. He seemed to indicate the Administration was willing to keep an open mind on the matter. Is that a fair im- pression? Answer. The Administration supports its proposal for $850 million in Economic Support Funds. We remain convinced that additional grant cash transfer assistance at this point is not the appropriate means of helping Israel cope with the economic realities with which it is faced. The Secretary indicated our strong desire to be of help to Israel as they move to develop economic policy approaches. As in the past we are particularly concerned about budgetary changes which have the impact of reducing the amounts of assistance available for other critical areas. Question 6. The Israeli Government has proposed some reforms and a 9 percent budget cut in an effort to alleviate the current economic crisis. What is the Admin- istration's view of these measures including your assessment of the domestic Israeli social impact in such areas as unemployment? Answer. The Israeli Government recently presented to the Knesset a budget for Israeli fiscal year 1984 which is in real terms slightly below fiscal year 1983 levels. Although it had originally hoped to devise a budget containing a 9 percent across the board budget cut, the Cabinet Interministerial Economic Committee rejected 556 such an approach in early January. The Finance Minister, therefore, negotiated sep- arate budget reductions with each of the concerned ministries. The introduction of this budget is a useful first step. But the correction of Israel's economic imbalances will require the implementation of budget reductions and the development of appropriate wage and monetary policies. Although the Israeli Gov- ernment has indicated an intention to follow “restrictive monetary policy,” we have heard no details on the implementation of such a policy and note that the budget itself continues to call for large injections of new money via Bank of Israel money creation. Question 7. Can increased economic assistance be useful in helping Israel mitigate the impact of the current period if austerity measures are implemented? What is your long range view of the Israeli economy? Answer. Increased U.S. assistance will not be useful in the absence of a thorough- ly developed, well thought out Israeli program. With appropriate domestic economic policies and a reasonably strong internation- al economy, the Israeli economy should return to a pattern of export growth. Do- mestic.economic measures will be vital to stemming triple digit inflation and re- turning to a sounder balance between consumption and investment in the economy. There is every reason to believe that Israel, with its abundance of human talents, can take the necessary action. The longer term development of the Israeli economy will depend on utilizing its human talent and resources for further development in areas such as high technology and science based industry. Our own assistance pro- posal seeks to directly address these concerns of the Israeli Government via new en- dowment funds for the four existing binational foundations whose programs directly contribute to achievement of these goals. Question 8. In the past, U.S. officials have estimated that Israel was spending about $400 million a year on West Bank settlements and development. Some Israeli budget analysts say the new budget indicates a cutback or perhaps even a freeze. Do you have any assessment? Answer. The Israeli Finance Minister reported recently to the Knesset that GOI expenditures on settlements were about $400 million per year. It is not possible to determine precisely from public budgetary data the total budgetary cost of the set- tlements because the information is not contained in separate line items. For the same reason it is difficult to be precise about the exact impact of the new budget proposals on settlement activity. Expenditures on settlements might de- crease somewhat in view of an overall reduction in planned capital expenditures. At the same time settlement activity is not a separate line item within that budget and the exact impact on settlement activity will depend on the implementation of the overall reduction. Question 9. How long do you believe it will be before tangible agreements are reached with the Israelis on the security cooperation issues discussed during Prime Minister Shamir's visit last December? Do you believe anything definitive or sub- stantial will result from the proposals for prepositioning of some U.S. equipment in Israel, maintenance contracts or other measures which might assist the Israeli econ- omy? Answer. At the conclusion of Prime Minister Shamir's visit to Washington late last year President Reagan announced our intention to undertake enhanced politi- cal-military cooperation with Israel. The Joint Political Military Group (JPMG) was formed as the mechanism for carrying out this enhanced cooperation. The first meeting of the JPMG was held in Washington January 26-27. There will be follow- on JPMG plenary sessions on a regular basis, normally every 6 months. Although it is too early in the process of our ongoing consultations to say when tangible agree- ments will be reached, the JPMG is considering subjects such as combined planning, joint exercises, and requirements for prepositioning of U.S. equipment in Israel. The Governments of Israel and the United States agree that the primary purpose of political-military cooperation is to address areas of mutual security interest, with priority attention being given to the threat posed by Soviet and Soviet backed ac- tions in the Middle East region. The United States assists the Israeli economy through a number of programs such as the four existing binational foundations, ESF and FMS assistance, and cooperation agreements with numerous USG agencies including the 1979 MOA on defense procurement. If elements of our political-mili- tary cooperation assist the Israeli economy, then so much the better; but this is not the primary objective. Question 10. When President Mubarak and several Egyptian Cabinet Ministers were here recently, they suggested that perhaps Egypt's debt repayment burden could be eased by refinancing some of the old FMS loans which were made when 557 interest rates were higher than they are now. We were told the Administration was exploring the idea. Is this proposal feasible? Please provide any analysis. Answer. During their visit last month, Egypt's Ministers of Economy and Interna- tional Cooperation proposed that one way we could reduce the economic burden of FMS loans would be to refinance the ones made when interest rates were high at today's lower rate. FMS loans were made at a rate which covered the cost of bor- rowed money to the U.S. Government. We never intended to make money from these loans. Therefore, agreeing to look into the feasibility of refinancing FMS loans is consistent with the rationale behind the FMS loan program. An interagency group is presently looking into the legal, budgetary and policy implications of refi- nancing. We have not yet reached any conclusions. We are of course prepared to consult fully with Congressional committees as appropriate. Question 11. The Egyptians apparently will benefit considerably from the Admin- istration proposal to provide $1.175 billion FMS on an all grant basis. Last year they received $1.3 billion in FMS of which $465 million was cash grant. The Egyptians have requested that the overall amount be restored to $1.3 billion to cover proposed arms purchases. What has been our response? Answer. We continue to believe that the proposed all grant FMS program of $1.175 billion for fiscal year 1985 is sufficient to enable Egypt to meet the cash flow requirements of its planned military modernization program. We have made our po- sition clear to the Egyptians. Question 12. We understand that some military specialists who have served in Egypt believe that Egypt may have bought some weapons systems which are too ex- pensive for their needs. They mention the four E-2C “Hawkeye" radar planes for $1.5 billion and the latest model F-16C and D jets. Is it true that these concerns were raised within the U.S. Government? Answer. There has been no serious question among U.S. military specialists about Egypt's legitimate military need for E-2Cs and advanced models of the F-16. There was some concern expressed initially about Egypt's ability to absorb such complex systems into its existing military organization, but the Egyptian armed forces are adapting well to the technical demands of the systems and should be able to use them effectively Incidentally, the total projected cost of the E-2C program of four aircraft and sup- port systems is less than $1 billion, spread over 7 years. Question 13. A number of American business firms interested in investing in Egypt are discouraged by the red tape. Is any progress being made in alleviating this situation? Answer. Potential investors continue to report encountering bureaucratic obsta- cles/red tape in Egypt. The problems are relatively minor in some areas, such as the petroleum sector, but discouraging in other cases. We are working with private sector organizations and firms in identifying and informing the Egyptian Govern- ment of regulations and practices which discourage investors. The Egyptians are in- terested in attracting investment and have acted on some of the issues we have helped bring to their attention. For example, the period for review of investment proposals has been shortened. Question 14. King Hussein last April declined to enter negotiations with Israel after failing to receive a green light from the PLO and Saudi Arabia. Nevertheless, the fiscal year 1985 Congressional Presentation Document prepared earlier this year suggested the support was forthcoming, saying "Jordan is essential to the Presi- dent's Middle East initiative. King Hussein continues active support for our shared objectives.” Could someone tell us what tangible evidence you can cite of King Hus- sein's "active support” for President Reagan's initiative? Answer. King Hussein's efforts for our shared objectives, including supporting President Reagan's peace initiative, have been demonstrated in diplomacy and lead- ership within the Arab World to create the necessary conditions of support for his entry into the peace process. These include: Calling for decisions by majority rule instead of consensus which effectively grants a veto to radical views. The appeal of this approach was demonstrated in the recent Islamic conference which helped to reintroduce Egypt into the Arab family of nations. Urging cooperation among Egypt, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan to strengthen the voice and further the development of moderation in the region. Publicly suggesting that, should the current disarray result in Syrian domination of the PLO, the PLŐ would cease to be the "sole legitimate representative" of the Palestinians, and Jordan would act accordingly. And by restoring the Jordanian Parliament. Although primarily intended to satis- fy public desire for greater political participation, the restoration had a range of ef- 558 fects. It created a way for moderate Palestinians to express themselves, and it pro vides the inhabitants of the West Bank with a forum. This is important because we know many West Bank leaders strongly support Hussein's entry into the peace process and they have urged Hussein and Arafat to reach agreement which would permit that entry. Jordan wants to and must be a party to any effort to produce progress towards peace in the Middle East. Hussein's support for President Reagan's initiative is clearly on the record. Question 15. The King was in Washington recently and later met in Amman with Arafat. Do you have any evidence that Hussein is about to enter the peace process? Answer. As you have seen from King Hussein's New York Times interview of March 15 and his Face the Nation appearance March 18, Hussein has said that under the current circumstances, he does not envision participation in the peace process and suggests the possibility that we take another look next year. He said he would continue his talks and efforts to avoid polarization of the region and he ex- pressed his frustration with developments in the Middle East over the course of the last 2 years. Among these were the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in which Israel con- tinues to maintain troops, the United States August veto of a UNSC resolution con- cerning continuing Israeli settlement activity in the occupied territories, the U.S. strategic alliance with Israel, which Hussein argues diminishes the United States ability to act as an intermediary rather than as an ally to one of the disputing par- ties, and the United States apparent withdrawal of support for Lebanon, which Hus- sein argues diminishes the credibility and reliability of the United States. He also expressed frustration over our inability or unwillingness to help Jordan meet its le- gitimate defense requirements. In addition, Hussein attributes to the Arabs an in- ability to act. Finally, Hussein is of the opinion that Israeli rejection of President Reagan's initiative is unalterable and the continuing settlement activity in the West Bank, to Hussein, is evidence of Israel's intention not to withdraw from the occu- pied territories. In his view then, negotiations on the basis of the principle of ex- change of territory-for-peace, as embodied in UNSC Resolution 242, would not be fruitful. While we understand much of Hussein's point of view, we disagree with many of his assessments and take encouragement from the possibility that we can reassess with him the situation next year. Question 16. According to recent U.S. Government estimates, Jordan will have to repay in fiscal year 1985 to the U.S. Government in principal and interest on previ- ous ESF, FMS and Public Law 480 loans more than $95.4 million. Did the Adminis- tration take this into consideration before making the budget request? Answer. The Administration requested ESF and FMS funding levels for Jordan using criteria relevant to Jordan's development assistance and defense needs. Jor- dan's overall economic situation is taken into consideration when the Administra- tion requests funding levels. One element of the economic health of a country is its ability to manage its external debt. The Administration is aware that Jordan will face large debt repayments in fiscal year 1985. The substantial deceleration in Jordan's economic growth may make debt repayment more uncomfortable than previously foreseen. Nonetheless, the Jordanians maintain an excellent international credit rating. The Central Bank holds almost $1 billion in foreign exchange reserves, or 10 times the expected debt repayment burden for 1985. Because of the fundamental health of the Jordanian economy and the strong foreign exchange position of the Central Bank, we have every confidence in the Government's ability to manage its economic affairs prudently, as it has done in the past. Question 17. How much aid to Lebanon is being held up because of the current situation? Please furnish a breakout of how much has been obligated of the $150 million authorized last year for reconstruction and how much of the remainder is being considered for obligation? In view of the situation, why do you really need another authorization in fiscal year 1985? Answer. Of the $150 million appropriated to Lebanon in fiscal year 1983 for recon- struction and relief, $24.7 has been obligated. We have begun consultations with Congress on the reprogramming of another $40 million for Grenada. That leaves roughly $85 million in unobligated fiscal year 1983 Lebanon ESF funds, of which another $30 million is firmly committed for relief, hospitals, and support for Ameri- can educational institutions in Beirut. Although the situation in Lebanon remains very fluid, Lebanon's reconstruction needs remain very large. Assuming a greater degree of political accommodation and stability than was evident in recent months, Lebanon should be able to resume its rebuilding efforts. 559 Flexibility on our part is needed to assist once stability returns. A rapid accelera- tion of the U.S. assistance program will also serve as a catalyst to other donors. We have had to use some of our current funds for unanticipated relief needs and sup- port of U.S. educational institutions like AUB. The $20 million requested for fiscal year 1985 will replenish the funds needed for the rebuilding efforts. We believe it is prudent to leave this request intact. Question 18. How much are you providing in refugee assistance? Answer. Out of the $5 million set aside for relief for displaced persons in fiscal year 1983, $2.5 million has already gone to a variety of private voluntary and inter- national organizations to assist the Lebanese who have been displaced by the fight- ing. Furthermore, we have agreed to provide an additional $.5 million to the U.N. Trust Fund, $1 million to the ICRC, and upwards of $1 million to United States and indigenous private voluntary organizations. Since additional requests for emergency relief funds are coming in, we will soon seek Congressional approval to allocate additional relief funds from the $150 million appropriated last September. Question 19. What are the plans for assistance to the American University and its hospital? Considering the political situation in Beirut, what are the University's long term prospects? Answer. AUB has already received $5 million this fiscal year from our American Schools and Hospitals Abroad (ASHA) account. In addition, it received one half of the $7.6 million in ESF funds promised it for this year. It will receive the remainder shortly. AUB continues to be an important symbol of U.S. commitment to higher educa- tion in the Middle East, and of U.S. presence in general. Many influential persons throughout the Arab World have benefitted from an American style education at AUB. We believe firmly that future generations should also benefit. Despite the vio- lence in Beirut and its direct effect on AUB, the institution is highly regarded by Lebanese of all factions and by the cultural elites of other Arab countries as well. Therefore, we remain strongly committed to an American University of Beirut which is economically viable and dedicated to academic excellence. Question 20. Isn't the American University of Beirut a likely target for Islamic extremists? Answer. As we have learned through tragic experience, it is always dangerous to underestimate the extremes to which terrorists will go. Unfortunately, one cannot assume that any institution is automatically immune from terrorist attacks. Never- theless, neither we nor the Lebanese can allow ourselves to be intimidated by such potential threats nor allow education to be held ransom to fanaticism. In this regard, the militia leaders of both the Druze and the Shia Amal have assigned spe- cial priority to preventing further infringements on the security of the AUB campus. Question 21. Tunisia is facing a debt service problem. According to U.S. Govern- ment estimates, Tuinisia will have to repay to the United States Government in principal and interest on previous ESF, FMS, and Public Law 480 loans more than $58.1 million in fiscal year 1985. This is more than the Administration is requesting for military and economic aid to Tunisia. How does this new resource flow from the Tunisian Government to the United States Government help stability and economic development in Tunisia? Was the debt servicing question considered before submit- ting the aid request? Answer. The total fiscal year 1985 security and economic assistance proposals for Tunisia is $76.349 million, which is larger than the fiscal year 1985 repayments the GOT must return to the U.S. Government. The fiscal year 1985 figure includes $69.7 million for security assistance, of which a significant portion, $15 million, is grant military assistance (MAP), and another portion, $25 million, is FMS credit at conces- sional rates. This level of concessionality greatly enhances the financial value of this aid while not excessively adding to Tunisia's external debt. Our on-going securi- ty assistance is at a level that will enable Tunisia to continue its military modern- ization program and help to provide Tunisia with a deterrent to external aggression. The bulk of fiscal year 1985 economic assistance proposals for Tunisia is for Public Law 480 food aid. Annual assistance proposals are formulated by taking many fac- tors into consideration, including a country's debt servicing position. Question 22. In fiscal year 1984, the Administration proposed $90 million in guar- anteed FMS loans (market rate) and $50 million in grant military aid. Because of Congressional reductions in the Administration's requested funding they are now scheduled to receive $87 million in guaranteed loans and $18 million in grant mili- 560 tary assistance. Why was Tunisia the country which suffered the single largest cut from the Administration's requested level of grant military aid? Answer. Our requests for Tunisia are geared to the payments schedule for U.S. military equipment which the Tunisian treasury must meet. These payments peaked in fiscal year 1984. We are proposing aid levels in fiscal year 1985 which will permit Tunisia to finance the acquisition of the equipment to be acquired and permit it to begin the procurement of new items. The final proportion of FMS to MAP credits that ultimately emerged in the fiscal year 1984 proposals reflected the best mix that was possible, given the level of assistance necessary, the limited funds available for grant aid, and the great demand for these resources. Question 23. In most cases when a country is severely cut from requested levels, the Administration attempts to compensate the following year. In the case of Tuni- sia, however, the Administration has further reduced the requests. Why is this the case? Answer. Security assistance to Tunisia rose sharply after fiscal year 1981 in order to finance initial large military equipment purchases associated with Tunisia's effort to modernize its military structure and develop a credible deterrent to possi- ble Libyan aggression. Tunisia's military modernization drive was initiated as a result of a 1980 Libyan-backed insurrection in the Gafsa military garrison. The Ad- ministration did not envision that our extraordinary response for security assistance in the post-Gafsa period, enabling Tunisia to finance initially large equipment pur- chases, would establish a new baseline for security assistance. Compared to the fiscal year 1981 FMS level of $15 million, our fiscal year 1985 program represents a substantial quantitative and qualitiative improvement. Our concern for Tunisia's se- curity and territorial integrity continues. Fiscal year 1984 security assistance, while not at the level originally proposed to the Congress, was sufficient for Tunisia to make scheduled payments for equipment previously ordered, as well as to begin new orders. Fiscal year 1985 proposals will allow further additional equipment to be pur- chased. Question 24. Why is Public Law 480 aid to Tunisia being reduced from $15 million to $5 million? Were the bread riots taken into consideration? Answer. As a result of the bread riots, we were able to raise fiscal year 1984 Public Law 480 Title I food assistance from $10 million to $15 million. This was done both to provide additional grain, primarily corn, to Tunisia in a time of eco- nomic difficulty, and to help Tunisia financially through budgetary support meas- ures. Fiscal year 1985 Public Law 480 requests were submitted prior to the bread riots and reflect the overall economic assistance reduction originally decided upon in 1981 because of Tunisia's steady growth in the 1970's. We recognize the economic difficulties Tunisia has encountered in the last several years, and we will monitor the situation closely to ensure the appropriateness of our aid levels. Question 25. Senator Percy and Senator Boschwitz have supported continued eco- nomic aid to Tunisia. Following the Administration's decision to cut off economic aid, the Committee earmarked $5 million in ESF for Tunisia in fiscal year 1982 and fiscal year 1983. Last year, Senator Percy and Senator Boschwitz wrote to the Secre tary requesting that the program be continued. Why did you choose not to agree to their request? Answer. Our decision initially not to request ESF for Tunisia in fiscal year 1984 was based on the severe reduction in overall budget levels for ESF and because it was felt that Public Law 480 was also a very useful means of providing economic assistance to Tunisia. However, after a review of our policies toward Tunisia in preparation for the Secretary's travel there in early December, and taking into con- sideration Congressional interest, we allocated $1.5 million ESF to Tunisia. This funded the scholarship program which was the specific concern the Senators ex- pressed to the Secretary. For fiscal year 1985, the Administration is proposing $3 million ESF Question. 26. A slight increase is proposed for the regional cooperative programs, involving primarily Egypt and Israel. Is the program still being supported at the Egyptian working level? Some U.S. officials have suggested that the program could be broadened to go beyond the purely scientific area, to allow for programs such as education and cultural exchanges. Would the Administration have any objections? Answer. Egyptian officials at all levels continue to support trilateral development programs undertaken with the United States and Israel. As for expansion of such programs, we are prepared to look carefully at any regional cooperation proposal that is submitted to us and is supported by the parties. We have tended to take a broad view of the type of regional cooperation programs we could support and have funded a number of activities which are not in the science and technology fields. We 561 believe that the current legislative language is adequate to support a wide variety of regional projects consistent with AID's developmental mandate. [Whereupon, at 1:07 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS) TUESDAY, MARCH 20, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS, OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:38 p.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Jesse Helms (chair- man of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senators Helms, Murkowski, Pell, and Zorinsky. Senator HELMS. The committee will come to order. Today the Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs will hear administration testimony and two panels of public witnesses on the administration's request for aid to Latin America, including special legislation for increased aid to Central America. The first panel includes: Under Secretary of Defense Dr. Fred Ikle; Assistant Secretary of State, Ambassador Langhorne Motley; AID Deputy Administrator Jay Morris; and AID Inspector General Herbert Beckington. Gentlemen, the committee welcomes you and we invite you to begin with your opening statements as soon as the distinguished minority ranking member of the subcommittee has spoken. Senator Pell, do you have a statement? Senator PELL. Yes, I do. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I join you in welcoming the adminis- tration and public witnesses to discuss the aid request for the region. I look forward to hearing their testimony and responses to questions, especially with respect to the aid package for Central America, largely based on the recommendations of the Kissinger Commission. I disagree with a good many of the political and security pre- scriptions of the Kissinger report, which supports to my mind a policy placing an emphasis on military solutions. I do not believe the administration's request for about $400 million in military as- sistance over the next 2 years to El Salvador is the best way of achieving a peaceful solution to the conflict there. The United States continues to funnel millions of dollars to our guerrillas, the Contras, in Nicaragua. We are spending many more millions in El Salvador. In Honduras, the United States is estab- lishing a permanent presence which has many implications for our Central America policy. (563) 564 On the economic side, there is much merit to the proposal of the administration, but I am concerned with the magnitude of the eco- nomic assistance request-$8.5 billion over the next 5 years. I, as other Americans are, am concerned about our budget deficits and I ask, as I did of Secretary Shultz in February: Will the infusion of $8.5 billion in additional economic aid buy peace and stability in that region? And can we accomplish this objective without deepen- ing our own involvement and ultimately without the introduction of American troops? Responses to these and other questions raised at these hearings will benefit us as we go to markup next week. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Senator Pell. The Chair would note that at 3 o'clock there will be a vote in the Senate. However, that vote will run for 45 minutes, to take care of Senators coming and going. So we will not have that time pressure, at least. Dr. Ikle, please proceed. STATEMENT OF HON. FRED C. IKLE, UNDER SECRETARY FOR POLICY, DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Dr. IKLE. Mr. Chairman, thank you for inviting us to testify on this critical issue of United States policy toward Central America, particularly our assistance to El Salvador. I shall focus on the mili- tary aspects. My colleagues here will address diplomatic, economic, and other aspects United States military assistance to El Salvador has been singled out for particular criticism by some Members of Congress. In fact, in 1981, 1982, and 1983 Congress consistently approved much less military assistance than the President had asked for, about only half of what the President requested. Today, Mr. Chairman, another specific request for economic and military assistance is before Congress, based on the recommenda- tions of the Bipartisan Commission on Central America that the President established in response to congressional suggestions. The assistance is three-fourths economic and only one-fourth military. Over half of this military assistance is for El Salvador, in particular, $178.7 million as a supplemental for this fiscal year. But the regular authorization and appropriation process is not taking account of the urgency for the additional security assistance for El Salvador. Hence, the administration is asking your support, not only for the regular 1984-85 requests for economic and military assistance for the region, but also for a $93 million emergency allo- cation of security assistance to El Salvador. As I see it, Mr. Chairman, this emergency allocation will give Members of both Houses time to consider the comprehensive pro- posal and to cast their vote on it without the question having been prejudged by the Salvadoran army running out of critical supplies. Note that the $93 million emergency request amounts to scarcely more than half of the full supplemental requested for the remain- ing 6 months of the fiscal year, and yet, some are apparently pro- posing to cut this portion in half again. 565 I am reminded of a city council that could not agree how to build a bridge across a nearby river, so it commissioned a group of ex- perts. But then the council did not like the expert advice it had purchased and cut the recommended budget in half. Yet, the city council did not have the courage to cancel the project. It appropri- ated funds sufficient only to build a bridge halfway across the river. Mr. Chairman, if Congress were to cut the President's proposed military assistance in half, this would be like deciding to build a bridge halfway across the river. Moreover, by denying the neces- sary military assistance, Congress would assume considerable re- sponsibility for a protracted military stalemate in El Salvador. Such a cut in military aid would perpetuate the violence, frus- trate economic recovery, prevent the consolidation of democracy, prolong a situation in which human rights violations cannot be eliminated. Military strength, democracy, and peace reinforce each other. Democracy strengthens the conditions for peace. Peace permits de- mocracy to take root. And in environments such as in Central America, we need military strength for the survival of democracy. Mr. Chairman, I propose to submit the rest of my opening state- ment for the record, so as to provide more time for you and your colleagues for questions. Senator HELMS. The entire statement will be made a part of the committee record. Thank you, Dr. Ikle. [Dr. Ikle's prepared statement follows:] ! 566 Statement by Fred C. Ikle Before Committee on Foreign Relations US Senate March 20, 1984 Mr. Chairman, Thank you for inviting us to testify on the critical issue of US policy toward Central America, particularly our assistance to El Salvador. I shall focus on the military aspects; my colleagues here will address diplomatic, economic and other aspects. US military assistance to El Salvador has been singled out for particular criticism by some members of Congress. In fact, in 1981, 1982, and 1983, Congress consistently approved much less military assistance than the President had asked for. Overall, Congress approved about only half of what the President requested. Today, Mr. Chairman, another specific request for economic and military assistance is before Congress, based on the recommendations of the Bipartisan Commission on Central America that the President established in response to Congressional suggestions. The assistance the President requested for the region in the FY 1984 Supplemental and for FY 1985 is three fourth economic, only one fourth military. Over half of the military assistance is for El Salvador, in particular $ 178.7 million as a Supplemental for this Fiscal Year. 567 2 But the regular Authorization and Appropriation process is not taking account of the urgency for additional Security Assistance for El Salvador. Hence, the Administration is asking your support, not only for the regular 1984-1985 requests for economic and military aid for the region, but also for an $93 million emergency allocation of Security Assistance for El Salvador. This emergency allocation will give members of both Houses time to consider the comprehensive proposal and to cast their vote on it without the question having been prejudged by the Salvadorian Army running out of critical supplies. You should note that the President's requests follows the recommendations of the Bipartisan Commission. Please also note that the $93 million emergency request amounts to scarcely more then half of the full Supplemental requested for the remaining months of this Fiscal Year. And yet, some are apparently proposing to cut this portion in half again. I am reminded of a City Council that could not agree how to build a bridge across a nearby river, so it commissioned a group of experts. But then the Council did not like the expert advice it had purchased and cut the recommended budget in half. Yet, the City Council did not have the courage to cancel the project: It appropriated funds sufficient only to build a bridge halfway across the river. Mr. Chairman, if Congress were to cut the President's proposed military assistance in half, this would be like deciding to build a bridge halfway across the river. Moreover, by denying the necessary military assistance, Congress would assume considerable 568 3 responsibility for protracted military stalemate in El Salvador. Such a cut in military aid would perpetuate the violence, frustrate economic recovery, prevent the consolidation of democracy, prolong a situation in which human rights violations cannot be eliminated. Respect for human life and protection of human rights are values which cannot be properly promoted during prolonged violent warfare. Military strength, democracy, and peace reinforce each other. Democracy strengthens the conditions for peace. Peace permits democracy to take root. And in today's world, the democracies need military strength for their survival. Democracy cannot take hold, unless a nation is able to shield itself from those who use force to destroy the democratic process by burning voter registration lists and ballot boxes, by destroying the economic basis of any elected government. For El Salvador, President Reagan seeks to provide enough military assistance so that this onslaught of violence can be ended. Clearly, the President is not "militarizing" his approach some have alleged. The economic aid recommended for the next five years exceeds the military aid. And the Soviet military involvement in the Caribbean region has been much larger than the US involvement. The value of Soviet military shipments to the region is almost seven times larger than the value of US shipments. Also, they have sent far more military advisors than the United States. In a region that has known so much violence, it is an arduous task to nurture a fledgeling democracy and to strengthen 569 4 task is difficult enough in peacetime. It is doubly difficult when a determined, well-armed enemy wages war against the very structure of democracy, as is now happening in El Salvador. This is not to say that we can postpone a major effort to ensure that human rights are safeguarded. Even during the current violence of war, we must press for the elimination of all human rights abuses that are properly attributable to the Government we support. To this end, the Reagan Administration has instituted several programs. For example, in our training of Salvadoran soldiers, we provide extensive indoctrination on human rights. The Administration also wants to provide training to police forces, both to instill respect for human rights and to improve the 'will and capability to apprehend those participating in death squads. The Administration has therefore proposed that Congress remove a prohibition from the Vietnam years against US training of police forces. It seems to me, Mr. Chairman, prohibiting such training while professing concern about death squads is a bit like prohibiting the training of teachers while complaining about illiteracy. Some argue that negotiation should be a substitute for, a level of military assistance sufficient to break the military stalemate. This is a dangerous illusion. While negotiation can--and must--complement adequate military efforts, it cannot be a substitute for military strength. In Central America--as in any other part of the world-- negotiation in and by itself cannot stop those who are determined to use military force to seize power. Negotiation can play a 34-045 0–84—37 570 5 useful role in facilitating an end to violence. Negotiations should bring about the participation of all those who are willing to compete in the democratic process, by addressing their grievances. The Reagan Administration continues to pursue the benefits of negotiation vigorously. But the hard core Communists, those who are resolved to use vialence until they secure the monopoly of power, cannot be converted through negotiation. These are dedicated and determined people--dedicated to destroy democracy, determined to succeed by all means at their disposal. Once these dedicated people are armed and organized, democracy cannot be defended without military power. If we deny military assistance to those whom we ask to advance democracy and human rights, their totalitarian enemies-- lavishly supported from the outside--are bound to win. And once such a totalitarian regime has taken over, the fate of people in that country is beyond American influence. We may have to witness helplessly a massive, cruel deterioration in human rights. Recall that in 1975, Congress terminated all military assistance in behalf of South Vietnam and Cambodia. Remember, thereafter, the repression in South Vietnam, the concentration camps, the boat people, the genocide in Cambodia. If totalitarian Communist regimes should become entrenched in Central America, it would be a disaster not only for democracy and human rights, but also for our national security. We know from long and bitter experience that such regimes, almost always, will try to impose their type of dictatorship on 571 6 neighboring countries, either by promoting subversion; or through open aggression where they expect little resistance. The Soviet Union, North Korea, Communist Vietnam, and Cuba all have done this. We do not face an isolated insurgency in El Salvador. A harbinger of things' to come is the support and direction Nicaragua currently provides for the insurgents in El Salvador. This at a time when the Sandinista regime has neither fully consolidated its grip on Nicaragua, nor completed its military build-up. It takes an extraordinary degree of foolishness to expect that a vastly more powerful Sandinista regime would suddenly turn into a more peaceful neighbor. Costa Rica, one of Nicaragua's neighbors, is the oldest democracy in Central America. It has no army, only a small militia. What would the United States do if within a few years, Costa Rica were attacked and asked for our help, say under the Rio Treaty? To refuse effective help to an ally so close to us would devastatingly damage our ability to deter aggression against Israel, Japan, or NATO. But to become involved at that late stage, when Nicaragua would have acquired powerful military forces backed by Cuba, would result in a major military confrontation. Isn't it better to maintain an adequate program of military assistance to avoid such an out- come? The Defense Department does not want to deter aggression against democratic nations in Central America by having to station large military forces there--as we now do in Korea and Central Europe. The Reagan Administraton, I can tell you, does not seek to increase US military presence in Central America. It would be a tragedy if we ever had to divert major military resources to that region. With an adequate effort today, we can avert the need for a much more costly, much more painful effort tomorrow. 572 Senator HELMS. Mr. Motley. STATEMENT OF HON. LANGHORNE A. MOTLEY, ASSISTANT SEC- RETARY FOR INTER-AMERICAN AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE Ambassador MOTLEY. Mr. Chairman, seeing that you have four panelists here and that you have a vote at 3 o'clock, what I would like to do is just submit for the record my prepared statement and pass on, to give you more of an opportunity for questions. I will pass on any comments at this time. Senator HELMS. Without objection, your full statement will be made a part of the record. [Ambassador's Motley's prepared statement follows:) 573 PREPARED STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE LANGHORNE A. MOTLEY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR INTER-AMERICAN AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE MARCH 20, 1984 Mr. Chairman, the Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984 is vitally important to the future of Central America. The exhaustive report of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America and the President's endorsement of its recommendations make it possible to forge a comprehensive and national program of action meeting immediate operational needs within the compass of a long-term strategy. The actions proposed by the Bipartisan Commission and approved by the President will help to stabilize economies and societies plagued by injustice and violence. by injustice and violence. At the same time, they will enable us to take the offensive against poverty, to foster democratic development and respect for human rights, and to help bring lasting peace to this troubled region so close to the United States. The President urges prompt Congressional action in support of this program. As you know, the President will implement by Executive action those commission recommendations not requiring new legislation. The bill he transmitted to the Congress on February 17 embodies the recommendations made by the Bipartisan Commission that do require legislation. I. The Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984 Mr. Chairman, in Central America communism, violence and dictatorship feed on misery and a dismal history of injustice. It is a destructive dynamic that oppresses the people of Central America and will, unless altered, increasingly endanger the rest of the hemisphere. To break this destructive dynamic will require immediate and persistent action in support of democratic self-determina- tion, economic and social development that fairly benefits all, and cooperation in meeting threats to the security of the region. That was the consensus reached by the Bipartisan Commission. It is also the basis of the President's legislative proposals. 574 -2- The Bipartisan consensus. The Commission's discussions with Central and Latin American leaders eliminated the screens created by distance, paperwork, and partisan preconceptions and exposed its members to the region's realities. They saw for themselves what is happening in El Salvador anà in Nicaragua and throughout the isthmus. The Commission found that Central America's problems are complex, severe and deeply rooted. It concluded that there are no quick fixes or shortcuts to solving them. The U.S. interests involved, it pointed out, are both moral and strategic. And they And they are threatened both by human rights abuse and economic misery and by Cuban and Soviet intervention. The Commission's recommendations are as direct as its analysis. The Commission concluded unanimously that the long-term will be far less manageable if we fail to deal with existing challenges. It called for U.S. support for regional diplomacy like Contadora, adding that the United States has a special responsibility to contribute actively to the economic, security, and political conditions, reguired for Contadora to succeed. And it concluded that we are not doing enough to protect our interests. It recommended that the Administration and the Congress cooperate to provide the resources we and our Central American friends need to attain a lasting peace built solidly on democracy and equitable development. The President's proposals. To implement the recommendations of the Bipartisan Commission, the President proposes: A. Economic Assistance During the last several years, per capita GDP has fallen by 35% in El Salvador, 23% in Costa Rica, 14% in Guatemala, and 12% in Honduras. In four years, El Salvador has lost fifteen years of economic development. To halt such economic deterioration and the social and political unrest it engenders, the Bipartisan Commission recommended an additional $400 million this year for emergency stabilization to set the stage for long-term development. The President has requested these funds in the form of a supplemental for FY 1984. To make possible a comprehensive strategy to promote democratization, economic growth, human development and security, the Commission recommended almost doubling our projected economic aid to roughly $8 billion over the next five years. The President's implementation plan for FY 1985-1989 calls for a total of $5.9 billion in appropriated funds and 575 -3- off-budget authorities to allow for $2 billion in insurance and guarantees, the latter including housing investment guarantees and a Trade Credit Insurance Program (TCIP) to be administered by the Export-Import Bank. For FY 1985, his program calls for $1.1 billion in appropriated funds and $600 million in insurance and guarantees. Depending on country performance, we estimate that the major beneficiaries of direct, bilateral aid in FY 1985 would be El Salvador ($341 m.), Costa Rica ($208 m.), Honduras ($139 m.), and Guatemala ($96 m.). Although other countries would receive more on a per capita basis, El Salvador, which has suffered over $800 million in guerrilla destruction, would be the largest single recipient. This FY 1985 proposal includes: About $550 million in balance of payments support to finance the import of critical goods by the private sector. 1 $120 million in Public Law 480 food assistance, with local currency proceeds used to reinforce programs in, for example, education and health. Major labor-intensive construction of infrastructure and housing. - Significantly increased support for education, including literacy and teacher corps, training and scholarships. Major funding to develop commercial agriculture, the backbone of the Central American economies, including assistance to broaden ownership patterns and to increase the availability of credit. Funds to strengthen the administration of justice in the region as the surest way to safeguard individual liberties and human rights. Support for the Central American Common Market and its companion Central American Bank for Economic Integration to revitalize intra-regional trade and restore economic production and employment. B. Military Assistance Without security, the best economic programs and the wisest diplomacy will be unable to stop the opponents of democracy in Central America. 576 -4- The Bipartisan Commission unanimously recommended that the United States provide to El Salvador "significantly increased levels of military aid as quickly as possible, so that the Salvadoran authorities can act on the assurance that needed aid will be forthcoming (emphasis in the report). It also noted that there is "no logical argument for giving some aid but not enough. The worst possible policy for El Salvador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going but too little to wage it successfully." The President's proposal is as follows: - For El Salvador: To break the military stalemate as soon as possible and provide a firmer basis for economic recovery and democratic national reconciliation in El Salvador we seek $178.7 million in FY 1984 supplemental assistance and $132.5 million for 1985. Added to the $64.8 million available under this year's continuing Resolution, the FY 1984-85 program for El Salvador would total $376 million. -- To protect the elections and sustain progress on the ground, $92.75 million of the $178.7 million supplemental for FY 1984 is needed before this summer. These funds will maintain operating capacity (such as ammunition) and improve basic performance (such as training, medical supplies and communications equipment), or both (such as helicopters for tactical mobility and medical evacuation.) --- 'For the rest of Central America: $80.35 million in FY 84 supplemental military assistance and $123.4 million for FY 1985. The lion's share would be allocated to Honduras, a democracy that still faces frequent violations of its national territory by Salvadoran guerrillas seeking refuge and using Honduras as a supply route, as well as by Honduran guerrillas infiltrated from Nicaragua. Honduras also faces a direct military threat from Nicaragua, which has built up armed forces at least five times larger than Somoza's National Guard and has received more than $250 million in military assistance from the Soviet bloc since 1979. Conditionality. There is agreement among the Executive, the Congress and the Commission that human rights progress is essential in El Salvador to ensure a successful outcome of the war and to protect U.S. security and moral interests. There is also a consensus that U.S. assistance should actively be used to achieve these objectives. The Commission recommends that military aid to El Salvador should, through legislation requiring periodic reports, be made contingent upon demonstrated progress toward human rights 577 -5- objectives, including free elections and elimination of death squad activities. The Executive Branch and the Congress have not always seen eye to eye on how best to achieve this shared goal. We must now find a means to condition our assistance in ways that work. In our view, effectiveness will require flexibility to respond to specific circumstances as they exist at a given moment. Progress during the last three months demonstrates that there are effective alternatives to the previous statutory formula requiring determinations on an "all-or-nothing" basis at pre-set intervals. Such a formula is not required to spur Executive action, may actually trigger increased hostile action by guerrilla forces, and can focus attention on the certification process rather than on the underlying problems and their remedies. The Administration is prepared, however, to accept conditions requiring that the Government of El Salvador demonstrate progress on specified issues of common concern. The only provisions unacceptable to the Administration are ones that prejudge the situation on the ground or that create a presumption that aid should be cut off. We are, in sum, ready to work closely with the Congress to ensure continuing human rights progress while preserving the President's ability to pursue an effective foreign policy. C. Central American Development Organization (CADO) The Commission recommended creation of a Central American Development Organization (CADO) to give multilateral form and substance to economic development efforts. The President's proposal sets forth principles to guide the negotiations for establishing this new institution in conjunction with the Central American countries and other donors. The President intends to respect the principles set forth in the legislation, both in his negotiations and in subsequent U.S. participation in CADO. In line with these principles: CADO would serve as a broadly-based forum for an open dialogue on Central American political, economic and social development and a continuous review of local policies and of the uses to which foreign assistance is put. 578 -6- Participation would be open to the U.S., other donors, and those Central American countries that commit themselves to, among other things, peace and mutual security, maintaining or making progress toward human rights development, building democracy, and encouraging economic growth through policy reforms. CADO would include the public and private sectors, the latter including representatives from both labor and business. It would be supported by a small professional staff. CADO would evaluate country performance and progress in meeting objectives. It would then make recommendations on political, economic and social development objectives, mobilization of resources and external resource needs, and economic policies and structures. Disbursement of 25% of economic assistance funds authorized under this Act and allocated for each Central American country would be deferred until both the United States and CADO have approved. Consistent with the Constitution, ultimate control of U.S. aid funds would remain with Congress and the President. D. Multiyear Funding years. To ensure effective planning and predictability, the President's proposal departs from the conventional practice of seeking economic assistance authorizations for only one or two We are seeking an authorization that will extend through FY 1989. We are also requesting that appropriations under this authorization be made available beyond a single fiscal year. The reason for this innovation is that the bill represents a five-year program. This is what was developed by the Commission, and it is supported by our own analysis. This approach has the fundamental virtue of enabling everyone concerned both in the United States and in Central America to know what could become available if performance standards are met. II. Policy. Implementation and Timing The scope and importance of the President's proposals to implement the Bipartisan Commission's recommendations have understandably led to many questions. Let me address a few of the major ones. 579 -7- A. Are we asking for too much or for more than Central America can usefully absorb? No. The sums requested are modest in relation to need. The proposed appropriation of $1.12 billion for FY 1985 is less than 15 percent of our proposed global economic aid budget. for FY 1985 and less than 5% of the Gross Domestic Product of the region. Relative to GNP, this is less than the aid previously made available to some other parts of the world, including South Korea and Taiwan. The total proposed program of $8 billion over five years is much smaller than the Marshall Plan, which in less than four years provided $42 billion at today's prices. One useful measure of the ability of Central America to absorb is the shortfall in export earnings export earnings from coffee and sugar due to lower world prices and higher costs for imported oil. This net hard currency loss amounts to about $1.5 billion per year the same general magnitude as the proposed assistance. i Moreover, as the Bipartisan Commission underlined, the need for external assistance is enormous. Physical infrastructure needs to be rebuilt, health and education systems need expansion, and investment in productive capacity is essential to employ the region's growing labor force. considerable excess capacity exists to generate increased employment and output. Private firms need working capital and imported inputs. In the public sector, high priority investment programs that have been suspended or cut back because of austerity programs could be reactivated. B. Will the assistance be used effectively? Yes. We will not subsidize inefficiency. First, the largest part of the assistance will be balance of payments assistance channeled to the private sector, rather than to government programs. Second, we will provide substantial technical assistance and training for government officials to streamline operations and increase efficiency. Third, local policy reform will be required to receive and ensure effective use of our funds. We will seek improved opportunities and incentives for private sector investment. In agriculture, adequate prices and access to land with secure titles will stimulate investment and production by the people who understand best how to do this the individual farmers. 580 -8- In industry, good policies nobilize individual entrepreneurs to make the right decisions concerning increased employment and production. A key objective of CADO will be to engage the private sector to identify activities that will most increase productivity at the cutting edge of local production. In addition, we are encouraged by progress on two important sourcess of inefficiency: Capital flight was a serious problem for 3-4 years beginning about 1979. Recently, however, the Central Banks of the region have greatly reduced such outflows. Our A.I.D. Missions also are providing useful advice and technical assistance to help Central American monetary authorities meet the challenge. Corruption has long been a problem in the region. But recent media reports of abuse of u.s. assistance funds have been exaggerated. And most were stimulated by our own internal audit procedures. It is ironic indeed that our very ability to detect corruption and identify administrative deficiencies should become an argument against aid. C. Are we seeking a military solution in El Salvador? No. As President Reagan said a year ago, "the real solution can only be a political one," with the Salvadoran people deciding their own destiny through free and fair elections. That is not a military solution. We are requesting military assistance to enable the Salvadoran armed forces to break the current stalemate. To ask for less would be tantamount to prolonging the war and decreasing incentives for the FDR/ FMLN to enter into serious discussions with the Salvadoran Peace Commission about a political settlement through elections. Passage of our proposed economic and military assistance package could be a deciding factor in ensuring participation of important elements of the far left in the 1985 municipal and legislative elections. So long as the guerrillas receive external assistance, however, U.S. military aid must provide a defensive bulwark behind which elections, reform, and recovery can proceed. And the fact is that progress has been substantial. The guerrilla forces have carried out some spectacular raids, but the army has been doing what counts: protecting major population centers and defending the harvest. It is now defending the elections and maintaining strict neutrality among the candidates in the hotly contested nationwide presidential campaign. 581 -9- Violence against civilians continues to decline. Civilian deaths from all political causes for the month of February totalled 68 the lowest since the guerrilla war began in 1980. And this is despite the upsurge of killings from the left, such as recent assassinations of conservative deputies and the deaths of civilian train passengers. ------ Cur emergency request for $92.75 million of the proposed $178.7 FY 1984 supplemental military assistance for El Salvador must be seen in this context, and against the probability that funding from the supplemental will not be available before July. As the Bipartisan Commission emphasized, assurance of adequate supplies is indispensable to maintain confidence as well as the tempo of operations. Finally, the amount of military assistance requested for El Salvador should also be kept in perspective: total FY 1984 military assistance for El Salvador (that provided in the Continuing Resolution plus the Supplemental request) is 3.6% of our worldwide military assistance, and the FY 1985 request for El Salvador is 2.1% of the global figure. These are not large amounts, either in terms of our important interests in Central America or of our worldwide responsibilities. D. Shouldn't increased economic aid accompany or follow an overall regional settlement? If we want to give peace a chance, we must begin now to rebuild the economies of Central America to create the climate for peace. There is no question that economic aid would be more effective if there was peace. But the relevant question is whether withholding economic aid produce peace. The answer obviously, is no. Withholding aid until the war is over would simply provide an additional element of leverage to the guerrillas, who already exercise a veto over prospects for peace. The search for peace must reflect operational realities. The economies of Central America, fragile from the beginning, have been subjected to the stress of economic crisis and violence. The economic assistance which we are requesting is essential support for any negotiated settlement. With our support, the five Central American governments have agreed last September to negotiate a peace agreement based on à 21-point Document of Objectives. We support this Document of Objectives because in accepting it, Nicaragua has agreed to negotiate an agreement that could, if implemented on a verifiable and reciprocal basis, meet our concerns in Nicaragua. If a regional peace agreement is signed, even with the best intentions of all the parties, it will not succeed if the nations of the region are suffering from economic collapse. 582 -10- E. Will these additional resources solve the problem? Resources alone will not solve the Central American crisis. But the Bipartisan Commission was absolutely right in faulting our policy for not providing an adequate level of resources. Moreover, resource predictability can enable our diplomacy to take more effective advantage of the interplay between different policy instruments to channel events toward peaceful solutions, including negotiated solutions wherever possible. What is needed, in addition to the provision of adequate levels of economic and military assistance, is demonstration by the U.S. of a long-term commitment, the adoption by Central American governments of appropriate economic, political, and social policies/reforms, and an active diplomacy for peace. III. Conclusion The crisis is acute. Our neighbors in Central America urgently need the help of the only country capable of making the difference. We have a responsibility rooted in the history of our own involvement in the area. U.S. moral and strategic interests are both engaged. Doing nothing, or doing too little, are not responsible alternatives. There are some who are inclined to support only economic assistance. Others are inclined to support only military assistance. There is, however, no realistic alternative to the balanced approach in the President's proposals. Our initiative is based on sound analysis. It is based on the consensus judgment that the area's problems have both indigenous and extra-regional causes. Our goals are realistic. The region's most progressive, à emocratic forces strongly believe that we can work together successfully to strengthen the moderate center in Central America. These same people are convinced that our active participation will serve both to defeat communism and to bolster respect for human freedom in this critical part of our hemisphere. The approach is right. Effective action must include a mix of developmental, political, diplomatic and security elements. There is no such thing as a wholly "economic," a wholly "political" or a wholly "military" solution to Central America's problems. These elements must be pursued 583 -11- simultaneously, equitably and humanely. Economies must be protected as well as developed. Governments must be worth defending. Home-grown poverty and Cuban-directed guerrilla warfare are allies of each other; our policies must take aim at both. The approach proposed by the Bipartisan Commission and adopted by the President calls for a constructive involvement in Central America that addresses underlying causes of conflict in the long term while preventing a guerrilla victory in the short term. This kind of involvement now will eliminate the need for greater involvement later. Finally, I hope that your consideration of the Bill will be infused by the Bipartisan Commission's unanimous conclusion, a conclusion that guided its preparation and which is worth quoting in full: "The Commission has concluded that the security interests of the United States are importantly engaged in Central America; that these interests require a significantly larger program of military assistance, as well as greatly expanded support for economic growth and social reform; that there must be an end to the massive violation of human rights if security is to be achieved in Central America; and that external support of the insurgency must be neutralized for the same purpose." Thank you. . 584 DEPARTMENT OF STATE BRIEFING PAPER CENTRAL AMERICA UPDATE El Salvador: The pace oi election activity has intensified as the Salvadoran Presidential campaign moves into its final week, with major contenders vying for the large undecided voter bloc. Christian Democratic candidate (and former President) Napoleon Duarte appears to have a healthy lead over his nearest rival, ARENA's Roberto D'Aubuisson, with former Minister of the Presidency "Chachi" Guerrero, candidate of the National Conciliation Party, holding onto third place. It appears, however, that no party will draw the absolute majority needed to win in the first round, necessitating a run-off in late April or early May. The total number of countries sending observers to the elections now stands at more than 20, considerably more than in 1982. All Western Hemisphere countries except a handful (Mexico, Brazil, Nicaragua and a few Eastern Caribbean countries) have agreed to send official observers to the elections. There will be a large US delegation. On the European side, the British, Dutch, West Germans, Italians, and Belgians have accepted the observer invitation. A large number of individual observers and representatives of international organizations (OAS, Christian Democratic International, etc.) will also be p:esent. The military is actively pursuing guerrilla groups in several provinces to keep them off balance. The Salvadorans expect some major guerrilla attacks this week and again before the run-off election as well. Despite promises to the contrary, the guerrillas clearly intend to create an atmosphere of terror during the elections period. Three members of the Legislative Assembly have been assassinated since January, with the guerrillas claiming two of the murders as a "response" to the elections. These left-wing death squad assassinations, although probably perpetrated by the clara Elizabeth Ramirez Metropolitan Front, allegedly a breakaway group from the FPL guerrilla organization, have also been vindicated by the FMLN umbrella guerrilla group's Radio Venceremos as "executions" resulting from "the people's repudiation" of the Salvadoran Legislative Assembly. These murders by far left groups stand out all the more given the overall decline in civilian deaths. February 1984 saw 68 press reported deaths, the lowest level since our Embassy began keeping records in October 1980. The guerrillas have also threatened reprisals against villagers who engage in electoral activity and in recent days have begun a campaign of terror within the capital city, setting off bombs, burning buses and destroying gas stations. On March 6, the guerrillas attacked a clearly marked Red Cross ambulance, killing two Red Cross workers. March 19, 1984 585 - 2 - Nicaragua: The Nicaraguan government is moving to prosecute and convict leaders of the armed opposition in absentia. According to a March 9 press report, 22 opposition leaders have been charged with crimes ranging from assault to assassination and will be summoned to court in Nicaragua. The purpose of the trials clearly is to foreclose on the armed oppositions' participation in the elections, particularly the candidacy of such charasmatic leaders as Eden Pastora who enjoy wide name recognition in Nicaragua. At the same time, the democratic opposition, including parties that have been allied with the Sandinistas, has withdrawn from the Council of State's discussion of the draft law to regulate the November 4 elections, protesting the Sandinistas' unwillingness to incorporate their views in major provisions of the law. The Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) ridiculed the walkout, saying the law would be approved with or without the opposition and charging the democratic parties with being afraid to face the Sandinistas in an election. Many key electoral issues, including the rights of political parties and media access, still have not been addressed by the Council. ---- Guatemala: . : The Guatemalan National Revolutionary Union (URMG), a prominent guerrilla group, has threatened to regionalize the Marxist-Leninist insurgency because of attacks by anti- Sandinista groups on Nicaragua and has published a press release deriding the electoral process in Guatemala and El Salvador as comedies. In its press statement, the guerrillas claimed that they see the Marxist insurgency in Guatemala as part of a greater "Central American revolution." Chief of State General Mejia has promised his government's full cooperation in the formation and mission of a National Peace Commission proposed by the rector of Guatemala's San Carlos University. The Commission, whose mandate will be to promote national reconciliation through dialogue leading to full participation in elections, will include participants Contadora The three Working Commissions on political, security, and economic issues, established by the January 8 Resolution of Principles, continue their efforts to translate the 21-point Document of Objectives into a comprehensive, verifiable treaty. The Commissions will have extensive consultations throughout April to meet the April 30 deadline for presentation of recommendations to the Foreign Ministers. A US team established to support the core Four on Contadora security matters recently traveled to the region to discuss difficult security issues including means of inventorying arms and troop levels, elimination of foreign security advisers, and verification of security provisions. The President has nominated Amb. Harry Shlauieman as his Special Envoy to advance our efforts to promote diplomatic solutions. 34-045 0-84-38 586 THE SITUATION IN CENTRAL AMERICA CHARTS U.S. Department of State 587 EL SALVADOR DISTRIBUTION OF FARMLAND : 1971 11% RENTED, SHARECROPPED 15% LARGE PLANTATION OVER 1,200 ACRES 1% OF THIE POPULATION OWNED 40% OF THE LAND SOURCE: 1971 AGRICULTURAL CENSUS 588 POPULATION DENSITY – 1982 600 (582) (530) 500- 400- ICHAEITAKTS PER SQUARE MILE 300 as when ini (252) 1xWire . -- 200- (121) 100- (63) EL SALVADOR COSTA RICA INDIA FRANCE U.S.A. DECLINE IN GDP OF CENTRAL AMERICAN COUNTRIES FROM PEAK YEAR THROUGH 1983 GDP PEAK YEAR GDP PER CAPITA PEAK YEAR EL SALVADOR HONDURAS COSTA RICA GUATEMALA NICARAGUA -- 25% 2% -15% 7% 1978 1981 1980 1981 1977 -35% -12% - 23% 14% -- 38% 1978 1979 1979 1980 22% 1977 SOURCE: REPORT OF THE NATIONAL BIPARTISAN COMMISSION ON CENTRAL AMERICA (JANUARY 1984) J'MIMI.P01 DISK J5 M2 590 GDP & PER CAPITA GDP (REAL): 1978-1983 14 13,285 13,059 13 11.894 12 11,322 GDP 10.754 10,186 10.186 10 4,000 8,679 10.186 9 BILLIONS OF COLONES (1983 PRICES) 8 6,983 PER CAPITA 3,000 1 3,100 5,014 2.890 2,972 PER CAPITA GDP - COLONES (1983 PRICES) 6 2.552 2.660 2.203 2.140 2,375 2,368 1 5 2,000 1.976 2,080 GOP 3 1.000 2 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 591 TOTAL ARMED FORCES THOUSANDS 50 + 48,800 45 40 35 30 .. 24,650 25 - 21,560 20 · 14,200 14,300 15,200 15 10 7,100 7,100 5 10 NIC. HOND. GUAT. EL SALV. NIC. HOND. GUAT. EL SALV. 1977 1983 SOURCE: THE MILITARY BALANCE, INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES 592 TOTAL ARMED FORCES PER 1000 PEOPLE 1977 NICARAGUA 3.1 ! HONDURAS 4.3 GUATEMALA 2.3 EL SALVADOR 1.6 1983 NICARAGUA 17.4 HONDURAS 3.7 GUATEMALA 2.8 EL SALVADOR 5.1 :) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 SOURCE: THE MILITARY BALANCE, INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES 593 --- ASSESSMENT OF WAR-RELATED DAMAGES TO THE SALVADORAN ECONOMY 1979-1983 353.5 U.S. MILLION DOLLARS 300 252.9 200 120.5 100 99.1 AGRICULTURE INFRASTRUCTURE COMMERCE & INDUSTRY DIVERTED GOVERNMENT SPENDING SOURCE: U.S. EMBASSY ESTIMATE 594 "LAND TO TIE TILLER" PETITIONS AND TITLES (CUMULATION) 75,967 PETITIONS FILED 10,000 60,000 - 55,287 PROVISIONAL TITIE GIANTED 50,000 - 10,000 - 30,000 - 20,000 - 10,000 - 5.1956 FINAL TITIT GRANII! DEC. NA JIINF R1 DEC. 81 JUNE 82 Dr.C. 02 JUNE 03 DEC 03 595 "LAND TO THE TILLER" - BY DEPARTMENT - % OF ELIGIBLE WHO HAVE FILED AS OF NOV 9, 1983 100 90- PEACEFUL ZONES SOMEWITAT CONFLICTIVE ZONES UN CONFLICTIVE ZONES 80 70 - 60 - PERCENT 50 40 30- 20 10 - AHUACHAPAN SONSONATE SANTA ANA LA LIBERTAD LA PAZ CABANAS LA UNION SAN SALVADOR CUSCATLAN USULUTAN SAN VICENTE SAN MIGUEL MORAZAN CHALATENANGO 596 AVENAGE OIATUS PIN MONTI EL SALVADOR CIVILIAN DEATHS ATTRIBUTABLE TO POLITICAL VIOLENCE (SIX MONTH AVERAGES) 1,600 1.548 JUN 01 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 AVERAGE OF VARIED SALVADORAN SOURCES" 1.100 1,000 - 900 DEC 81 ACCORDING TO REPORTS IN THE SALVADORAN PRESS 000 700 600 514 JON 82 500 380 DEC 02 JUN 83 400 OEC. 03 300 200 101 100 • SOCONAO JURIDICO CONES UCA 101EIA TEORI 597 MILITARY AND ECONOMIC FUNDING FOR EL SALVADOR - FY 1980-84(CR) :) MILLION DOLLARS 260 243.7 240 ECONOMIC 220 MILITARY 195.5 200 182.2 160 140 www. 120 113.6 100 82.0 81.3 80 ناتناكت مامان جلد 64.8 57.8 viwie ..., 60 35.5 40 20 5.9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 C.R. 1 MILITARY ASSISTANCE MILLIONS $ U.S. 110 136.3 130 LjCPO REQUESTS - SUPPLEMENTALS & REPROGRAMMINGS AUTHORIZED BY THE CONGRESS 120 117.0 110 1 | AUTHORIZED SUBJECT TO ACTION ON CHURCHWOMEN, LAND REFORM SECTION 506 EMERGENCY DRAWDOWNS 100 90 86.3 82.0 81.3 80 598 10 64.0 60 50 10 35.5 35.5 45.36 30 20- 27.0 10 - 6.0 3.1 3.1 0 0 0 6.0 10.5 .6 1977 1978 1979 1900 1981 1982 1983 1981 599 1 INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL PROGRAM Fiscal Summary by Appropriation Limitation ($000) Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 I. Country Program 28,608 32,600 40,550 4 II. International Organizations 2,150 2,575 2,817 III. Inter-Regional Programs 3,349 3,400 4,050 IV. Program Development and Support 2,427 2,625 2,800 TOTAL 36,534 41,200 50,217 600 FY 1985 International Narcotics Control Program Fiscal Summary ($ 000) Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 I. COUNTRY PROGRAM LATIN AMERICA $ $ Bolivia Brazil Colombia Ecuador Mexico Peru Latin America and Caribbean Regional $ 1,720 250* 3,490 75 7,835 1,824 888* 5,740 0 3,490 25 8,500 3,025 650 5,500 250 10,300 0 8,900 3,500 1,000 TOTAL 16,082 21,430 29,450 EAST ASIA Burma Thailand East Asia Regional 4,995 3,410 121 4,500 2,500 170 5,000 2,800 300 8,526 TOTAL 8,10 7,170 8,100 SOUTHWEST ASIA Pakistan Turkey Southwest Asia Regional 2,900 1,000 100 2,900 1,000 100 2,000 900 100 TOTAL 4,000 4,000 3,000 TOTAL COUNTRY PROGRAMS 28,608* 32,600 40,550 601 ---- ---- ---- 3 34-045 0-84-39 Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 II. INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Colombo Pilan UN Fund for Drug Abuse Control $ 150 2,000 $ 75 2,500 75 2,742 TOTAL 2,150 2,575 2,817 III. INTER-REGIONAL PROGRAMS Demand Reduction DEA Training Customs Training INM EOP Training 200 2,019 1,010 120 250 1,975 1,000 175 400 2,200 1,150 300 TOTAL 3,349 3,400 4,050 IV. PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT AND SUPPORT 2,427 2,625 2,800 TOTAL INM PROGRAM 36,534* 41,200 50,217 * President's budget reflects $36;183,000 in obligations of which $ 28, 258,000 was for country programs. Amounts reflected in this budget include actual obligations made but not reported in time for inclusion in Treasury reports. 602 4 INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL PROGRAM Country Funding Summary By Project ($000) Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 COUNTRY AND PROJECT TITLE LATIN AMERICA BOLIVIA Narcotics Control (DNSP-Police) Coca Production Control Program Development & Support 280 1,200 240 $ 1,935 3,275 530 $ 1,800 2,770 930 TOTAL 1,720 5,740 5,500 BRAZIL Enforcement Assistance (DPF) 250* 0 250 COLOMBIA Narcotics Control-National Police Narcotics Control-Customs Program Development & Support 2,700 100 690 2,750 0 740 9,500 0 800 TOTAL 3,490 3,490 10,300 ECUADOR Program Development & Support 75 25 0 TOTAL 75 25 0 603 5 Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 $ MEXICO Aviation Procurement and Operations Aviation Maintenance Field Support Program Development & Support Opium Survey $ 0 6,870 350 415 200 $1,450 6,500 0 550 0 1,000 6,900 350 650 0 TOTAL 7,835 8,500 8,900 PERU Peruvian Investigative Police (PIP) Guardia Civil Coca Production/Control Customs Service Program Development & Support 300 450 730 100 244 450 730 1,300 0 545 500 1,000 1,400 100 500 TOTAL 1,824 3,025 3,500 888* 650 1,000 LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN REGIONAL TOTAL LATIN AMERICA PROGRAMS 16,082* 21,430 29,450 604 6 Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 EAST ASIA BURMA Enforcement Assistance Program Development & Support $ 4,950 45 $ 4,320 180 $ 4,820 180 TOTAL 4,995 4,500 5,000 THAILAND Narcotics Enforcement Assistance Customs Improvement Crop Production Control Drug Abuse Intervention ONCB Project Program Development & Support 2,120 190 435 150 90 425 950 130 680 120 150 470 1,300 0 1,000 0 0 500 TOTAL 3,410 2,500 2,800 EAST ASIA REGIONAL 121 170 300 TOTAL EAST ASIA PROGRAMS 8,526 7,170 8,100 605 7 Actual FY 1983 Estimate FY 1984 Request FY 1985 SOUTHWEST SOUTH ASIA $ $ $ PAKISTAN Enforcement Assistance PNCB Crop Production Control Demand Reduction Project Program Development & Support 550 2,000 0 350 800 1,500 100 500 750 625 25 600 TOTAL 2,900 2,900 2,000 TURKEY Enforcement Assistance 1,000 1,000 900 SOUTHWEST ASIA REGIONAL 100 100 100 TOTAL SOUTHWEST ASIA PROGRAMS 4,000 4,000 3,000 TOTAL COUNTRY PROGRAMS 28,608* 32,600 40,550 606 8 INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL PROGAM BY FUNCTIONAL ACTIVITY ($000) Actual FY 1983 % of Total Planned FY 1984 % of Total Request FY 1985 % of Total ENFORCEMENT ASSISTANCE AND INTERDICTION 19,232 52 19,275 47 23,480 46 CROP CONTROL ERADICATION 12,375 34 16,255 39 20,695 41 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS CONTRIBUTIONS 2,150 6 2,575 6 2,817 6 INTERNATIONAL DRUG DEMAND REDUCTION 350 1 470 1 425 1 ! 2,427 PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT AND SUPPORT 7 2,625 7 2,800 6 36,534 TOTAL PROGRAM 41,200 50,217 607 U.S. EFFORTS TO ACHIEVE PEACE IN CENTRAL AMOI CA Report Submitted pursuant to Section 109(E) of the Intelligence Authorization Act : Fiscal Year 1964 March 15, 1984 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction.. ...1 Background on Regional Peace Efforts. ..2 The Contadora Process. 4 Direct U.S. Efforts. ..7 Contadora and the OAS.. .12 Summary of Diplomatic Efforts... .12 Other Dimensions of the U.S. Search for Peace. .13 Conclusions and Recommendations.. ..16 Appendices 1 A. B. C. D. E. P. G. 8. San Jose Pinal Act Cancun Declaration President's Letter of July 21, 1983 Contadora 21 Point Document of Objectives Contadora Resolution, January 8, 1984 FDR/FMLN Statement of January 31, 1984 ARDE Declaration of February 18, 1984 FDN Declaration of February 21, 1984 608 U.S. EFFORTS TO ACHIEVE PEACE IN CENTRAL AMERICA Report Submitted Pursuant to Section 109 (E) of the Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1984 The achievement of genuine, lasting peace in Central America is the paramount goal of United States policy toward the region. It constitutes a central component of a series of closely inter-related U.S. national objectives. These include: the strengthening of democratic institutions, economic development and improved living standards for the peoples of the region, and security for the countries of Central America from external threats and foreign-sponsored subversion! Our interests in the area are critical, as spelled out clearly in the report of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, and the Administration has pursued an active search for means to end conflict and bring about a reconciliation within and among the Central American nations. Section 109 of the Intelligence Authorization Act of 1984 requested that the President report to the Congress on U.S. efforts to achieve peace in Central America. Under Section 109, the President was encouraged to take several steps in pursuit of this goal, specifically: to seek a prompt reconvening of the Seventeenth Meeting of Consultation of Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Organization of American States for the purpose of reeva- luation of the compliance by the Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua JU (1) with the commitments made by the leaders of that Government in July 1979 to the Organization of American States; and (2) with the Charter of the Organization of American States. 1 . to vigorously seek actions by the Organization of American States that would provide for a full range of effective measures by the member states to bring about compliance by the Government of National Reconstruction of Nicaragua with those obligations, including verifiable agreements to halt the transfer of military equipment and to cease furnishing of military support facilities to groups seeking the violent overthrow of governments of countries in Central America. : to use all diplomatic means at his disposal'to encourage the Organization of American States to seek resolution of 609 - 2 - the cor.flicts in Central America based on the provisions of the Final Act of the San Jose Conference of October 1982, especially principles (d), (e), and (g), relating to nonintervention in the internal affairs of other countries, denying support for terrorist and subversive elements in other states, and international supervision of fully verifiable arrangements. to support measures at the Organization of American States, as well as efforts of the Contadora Group, which seek to end support for terrorist, subversive, or other activities aimed at the violent over throw of the governments of countries in Central America. This report, submitted in response to Section 109(f) of the Act, is intended to inform the Congress of the efforts taken by the countries of the area and by the United States to promote peace in Central America, and to put these in the perspective of other major developments in the area. BACKGROUND ON REGIONAL PEACE EFFORTS A prominent conclusion of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence in the report and legislation cited above was that there must occur marked changes in behavior by the Government of Nicaragua in order for peace to be possible in Central America. We concur with that report and with the report of May 13, 1983 and the Staff Report of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Evaluation of the same committee of September 22, 1982, that the Government of Nicaragua bears a heavy burden of responsibility for the tragic situation that confronts us in Central America today. Specifically, the May 1983 report said: "the Sandinistas have stepped up their support for insurgents in Honduras" and that Cuban and Nicaraguan aid for insurgents constitutes "a clear picture of active promotion 'for revolution without frontiers' throughout Central America by Cuba and Nicaragua. The committee also reiterated its earlier finding that the guerrillas in El Salvador "are well trained, well equipped with modern weapons and supplies, and rely on the use of sites in Nicaragua for command and control and for logistical support. The intelligence supporting these judgments provided to the Committee is convincing." This conclusion, which remains valid today, is also shared by Nicaragua's immediate neighbors, all of which perceive themselves directly threatened by the Sandinista regime and its Cuban sponsors. Since Cuba began its most recent expansionist efforts in 1978, peace has been a much sought after, but elusive; goal in Central America. To achieve this goal, the United States has worked diligently in recent years to implement a four part mlieu toward the region: 610 - 3 - 1. 2. 3. Sport for cemocracy and human freedom; Support for improved living conditions and economic development in the region; support fo: legitimate self-deiense capabilities against subversion and the threat of aggression; and Support for dialogue and reconciliation between and within the countries of the region. The u.s. has given vigorous and sustained support to regional efforts to resolve disputes in Central America. The complex, multilateral nature of the region's political and security problems cross-border support for guerrilla groups, competition in arms and military force levels, the presence of foreign military advisers, and the contagious appeal of political and economic justice rules out piecemeal or bilateral solutions. What is clearly required is a comprehensive, verifiable regional settlement. Based upon its charter, the OAS normally would be, as the House Intelligence Committee described it, "the proper and most effective means of dealing with threats to the peace of Central America, of providing for common action in the event of aggression, and of providing the mechanisms for peaceful resolution of disputes among the countries of Central America." In practice, however, efforts to engage the OAS constructively in the current conflicts have not been effective. Nicaragua, a principal protagonist in the area, is strongly opposed to OAS treatment of these issues, alleging that the institution is too supportive of u.s. interests (although the OAS was instrumental in helping the Sandinistas to power in 1979). Accordingly, many other Member States are reluctant to become involved in Central America, preferring to rely on the Contadora mechanism. Recognizing this fact, the OAS, at its 13th General Assembly in November 1983, applauded the Contadora peacemaking initiative and "urged(d) it to persevere in its efforts." A number of states believe it would be helpful at some point to pressure the Sandinistas for changes by formally holding them to account in the OAS for their broken promises. However, sufficient backing does not exist today for effective OAS action. Nicaragua was also uninterested in pursuing the potential for regional negotiation offered by the October 1982 San Jose Final Act. This was an effort of concerned hemisphere denocracies Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Jamaica, Colombia, the Dominican Republic and the United States to set forth for the first time the essential conditions for peace in Central America. Nicaragua refused to receive the Costa Rican Foreign Minister, whom the regional states had appointed as their representative for discussing the San Jose Final Act with Nicaragua. - 611 - 4 : recognicior. o: che failure of inicial efforts to find a 3:1320:0:y eicis i. wice to pursue a settlement, the key regional natio..s active i: the search beçan in early 1983 to sees :i::e:en: -s 3.0.3 formulas that woulâ address the obstacles to peace in the region, notably Nicaraguan ot:ansigence. The resul: was Contadora. The Contadora Process By April 1983 responding to external and internal pressures Nicaragua agreed to join El Salvador, Honduras, Guatemala, ani Costa Rica in regional negotiations under the auspices of what became known as the "Contadora Four" (Mexico, Panama, Colombia, and Venezuela). Initially, much of the region's leadership was guarded in its opinion of the Contadora gooup's prospects recalling that Nicaragua had already backed away from the OAS and the San Jose Final Act. But pressures on Nicaragua to end the growing conflict and the skillful diplomatic efforts of the other regional countries allowed the new process to develop momentum. 1 The first operational issue treated by the Contadora Group occurred in spring 1983 resulting from Nicaraguan interference with Costa Rican use of navigation rights on the San Juan river, the capture by Nicaragua of five Costa Rican guardsmen, an incursion into Costa Rican territory by a Nicaraguan military unit and the capture of a Costa Rican sport fishing vessel by Nicaraguan patrol boats in Costa Rican waters. On May 6, the Government of Costa Rica requested that an OAS peacekeeping force be sent to patrol the border. The Contadora Group, however, asked that the OAS defer action on the request until it had had an opportunity to consider how to deal with the border incidents. Costa Rica agreed to the deferral, and on May 13, the Contadora Four Foreign Ministers met in Panama aad agreed to create a Border observer Commission, composed of civil and military representatives from each of the Contadora Four countries, with responsibility for monitoring the border and making recommendations for preventing incursions and keeping peace. The border observer force began its work May 22, 1983 and, after consultations in both capitals and on-the-ground inspections, reported to the May 28 - 30 meeting of the contado a group. By April 1983 Nicaragua had begun to participate in the Contadora process. However, it still sought to avoid the concept of regional negotiations, preferring to deal individually and bilaterally with its neighbors from what it. saw as a position of strength. Only on July 19, 1983, did Nicaragua accept Contadora's multilateral framework for On that date, Nicaragua head of state Daniel Ortega announced a six point Sandinista Front diplomatic 612 . 5 - 2:03csal. Although it recognized the need for an end to arms Supplies to the Salvaco:an guerrillas, it also called for an ens to security assistance to the Salvadoran government; while i: called for an end to foreign military bases in the region, it studiously ignored the issues of foreign military advisers anė Nicaragua's militarization. It said nothing about democratization, and had no provisions for effective verification. The U.S. urged Nicaragua to follow up its proposal in the contado a group. On July 17, chiefs of state of the Contadora Four met for the first time and signed the Cancun Declaration on Peace in Central America, which proposed that the Central American states undertake a series of commitments for peace. The chiefs o: state transmitted the text of their declaration to their counterparts in the United States and other countries "with interests in and ties to the region" including Cuba. The text of the Cancun Declaration is appended to this report. the President responded by letter to the four chiefs of state on July 21, reiterating u.s. adherence to the four Sundamental principles for peace in Central America. As the official Contadora chronology described it, his letter ....signalled that (the United States ] government has consistently expressed strong support for the Contadora group and that the Declaration of Cancun, by articulating the critical issues which must be treated to reach an effective and enduring resolution of the Central America conflict, is an izportant contribution to advancing that process." A text of the President's letter is appended to this report. :) The Contadora process continued intermittently through the summer of 1983, achieving an important milestone on September 10, 1983 when all participants, including Nicaragua, agreed on a 21 point Document of objectives which addressed all of the major concerns of the countries of the region and of the United States. This document represented a major breakthrough in the Central American peace process in the form of a written commitment to an agreed set of objectives, which included political, economic and security concerns. In the security field, the Document of objectives called, inter alia, for steps to end support for external subversion, reductions in the numbers of foreign military and security advisors, a halt to illegal arms trafficking, and controls on armaments and troop levels. The socioeconomic objectives eaphasized the need for greater regional cooperation and called for assistance to,' and the voluntary repatriation of, Central Azerican refugees. Democratization, national reconciliation, and respect for human rights are prime elements of the political objectives, which call for establishment throughout the region of democratic, representative, and pluralistic - 613 - 6 - systems that ensure fair and regular elections. While there is need for specizic a... verifiable undertakings on a range of sensitive issues beyond 22. agreement of principles, this was key first step for Coutaicra. A text of the Document of Objectives is appeaces to this report. a Although Xicaragua billed itself as the first state to sign the Document of Objectives, the Sandinistas were clearly uncomfortable with many of them, particularly those calling for respect for basic human rights and national reconciliation through democratic pluralism. Consequently, the Sandinistas, while unwilling to accept the opprobrium for scuttling Contadora, have repeatedly sought to undercut the process by. pushing their own agenda elsewhere. In particular, they have sought to involve the United Nations in Central American issues, anticipating a friendlier hearing in 'this forum than in contadora or the OAS where the Sandinistas' record works against them. In October 1983, for example, Nicaragua introduced the Central American issue before the U.N. Security Council --where it was discussed inconclusively--breaking an explicit commitment to the Contadora group that it would not do so. The other Central American nations, the Coatadora Four and the U.s. all prefer that the issues be treated in a local forum of those most directly concerned rather than entering the highly politicized arena of 0.N. debate. 1 1 In late October, Nicaragua tried another tack, presenting, first to the contadora group (through Mexico), and then to the U.S. four draft peace treaties. The treaties covered four areas: Honduran-Nicaraguan relations; U.S. - Nicaraguan relations; relations between the five Central American_ countries; and the conflict in El Salvador. Although the treaties acknowledged the need for an end to support for all guerrilla groups, and said that each state should not take steps to thieaten or to attack the others, the treaties stepped back from the position adopted by the signatories to the Contadora Document of Objectives. For example, they ignored the contadora objective of establishing democratic institutions, reflecting instead the Nicaraguan position that democratization is not susceptible to treatment in iaternational agreements. They also sought to diminish legitimacy of the elected government of El Salvador by treating is as simply one of two belligerent parties to an internal conflict; dis:egarded the objective of restoring military balance among the Central American states; and made no serious proposals for verification and control. (Although Nicaraguan Foreign Minister Miquel D'Escoto affirmed that the treaties provided for "on-site verification," the treaties contained no such language.) The Nicaraguan draft treaties.deferred treatment of foreign advisers and arms build-up, and failed to 614 - 7 acizess -.e Contadora objectives dealing with refugees. In sor:, they cis:egardec Jany of the 21 points, and renewed the Sandinista push for bilateral and piecemeal agreements. Thus, wile paying lip-service to the aims of Contadora, the Sandinistas were still fa: from eager participants, and actively sought to change the direction oi the process. Direct U.S. Efforts In his April 27, 1983 address to a joint session of Congress, the President announced his intention to nominate a personal representative to facilitate Central American negotiations - both talks between the states and dialogue within countries to heal fragmented societies. Although the United States and the regional governments agreed that direct U.S. participation in Contadora would not be helpful, all parties recognize the strong and legitimate U.S. interest in the process and the need for our support and involvement. On May 26, 1983, Senator Richard B. Stone was appointed by the President as Ambassador at Large for Central American aegotiations to fill this role. Beginning with his trip to the nine participating Contadora countries in early June 1983, Ambassador Stone's initial consultations focused on ways to promote multilateral negotiations within the Contadora process and on initiating contact between the Salvadoran Peace Commission, established in February 1983, and the FDR/FMLN guerrilla front. The succeeding months were characterized by a series of consultations among the Central Americans and the Contadora Four. Ambassador Stone soon became a principal supporting actor in these ongoing discussions, albeit not a direct participant in the Contadora process. During this period, he also began to set the stage for possible talks between the Government of Nicaragua and its armed opposition. Progress came first on bringing the Salvadoran guerrillas to the table with the Peace Commission. On July 30, 1983, Ambassador Stone made preliminary contact with representatives of the FDR/FMLN guerrilla groups. In August, they met for the second time. These efforts were instrumental in arranging direct contacts between the Government of El Salvador and these guerrilla groups. on August 297 19837 the Peace Commission of the Government of El Salvador and representatives of the FMLN/FDR guerrillas held their first direct meeting. That meeting represented an important step by the Salvadoran Government toward implementing the September 1983 Contadora Document of Objectives which called for, "pluralism and its various manifestations, .... full play for democratic institutions, ...and the aeed for political accommodation in order to bring about dialogue and understanding. At the second meeting with the FDR/FMLN in Bogota September 21, the 615 - 3 - Peace Commission offerethe opportunity to discuss electoral 92:antees. The FDR/FMLN rejected the offer and insisted instead, as in the past, on formation of a new provisional governmen: in which they would be included prior to a "national cebate“ and elections. In their latest proposal, 'dated January 31, 1984, and publicized in a Mexico City news conference on February 9, 1984, the FDR/FMLN leaders again proposed the formation of a provisional government. The measures proposed by the querrillas include abolishing the 1983 constitution, iegitimizing the power of the insurgents, purging the army, dissolving the security forces, banning the ARENA party, and juiging and punishing civil and military personnel involved in alleged political crimes. The formation of the provisional government would be brought about through a negotiation which would include mediators nominated by the various parties to the talks and international witnesses. The process would culminate with the organization of a single national army made up of the insurgents an: the purged GOES forces, both of which would retain their weapons. A copy of the FDR/FMLN statement of january 31 is appended to this report, While refusing to participate in elections, the guerrillas had said that the voting scheduled in El Salvador for March 25, 1984 *would not be the object of direct military attacks." Their recent actions and comments in their propaganda radio broadcasts make it clear, however, that they have not wavered in their violent opposition to the elections and that their čestructive activities will continue before, during and after the balloting. On January 27, a guerrilla group assassinated Legislative Assembly Deputy Arnoldo Phol of the ARENA party, calling the murder a "response" to the elections. on February 24, PAISA deputy Roberto Ayala was murdered, bringing to four the number of Assembly members killed by leftist violence. Although no group has yet claimed the Ayala murder, it is almost certainly the work of the Clara Elizabeth Ramirez Front (CERF), a leftist urban terrorist group which took responsibility for the assassination of Pohl and another ARENA deputy. In addition to these attacks on politicians, the çuerrillas persist in other attacks against the population and the economic infrastructure aimed at creating conditions that would make it iapossible to carry out elections. These have included the murder of an American woman, the destruction of an iaportant bridge, the bombing of a civilian train, the burning of a coffee processing plant that employed 400 people in an area that has suffered significant economic hardship at the hands of the FLN, and two attacks on an agrarian reform co-op in which nine innocent co-op members, including 3 children were killed. Nevertheless, the GOES has publicly reiterated, as recently as February 2, 1984, that the door cemains open to dialogue. The United States, through Ambassador Stone, also 616 - 9 - coniirmed thai i: :emains ready to further sincere taiks. This escort will be resumed after the March 1984 presidential elections, looking toward legislative and municipal voting in 1935. 30th the Nicaraguan Democratic Force (FDN) and the Revolutionary Democratic Alliance (ARDE) have made known their interest in returning to a Nicaragua in which the original promises of the Sandinista revolution were observed. ARDE had issued a declaration of necessary conditions for its return on December 16, 1982; its leader, Eden Pastora, stated that ARDE would begia military operations against the government on April 15, 1983 if the conditions were not met. The government brushed aside the declaration, and ARDE commenced guerrilla operations in April 1983. The FDN, which had been conducting military operations against the government since early 1982, issued its conditions for an end to fighting on January 16, 1983. The Nicaraguan government similarly ignored this declaration. In late 1983, Ambassador Stone began consultations with the various Nicaraguan arded opposition groups to promote a process of national reconciliation that would complement his efforts to support the parallel efforts toward reconciliation in El Salvador. Although the various groups were initially divided on what terms were acceptable for an end to the fighting, they agreed to discuss a common platform and to meet with Ambassador Stone in Panama from November 30 to December 1, 1983. Following that meeting, the FDN, and MISURA (the Miskito, Suno, and Rama indian opposition group), supported by ARDE, offered to hold a direct or indirect dialogue with the Nicaraguan government on ending the fighting in return for full democratization. ARDE and the FDN issued further detailed statements on this subject on February 18, 1984, and February 21, 1984, respectively (copies of these statements are appended to this report). A comparison of their positions with that of the leftist Salvadoran rebels clearly indicates that the Nicaraguan opposition is prepared to accept a democratic outcome, while the Salvadoran FMLN is insisting even more rigidly on a power-sharing formula, without early elections. Nevertheless, the Nicaraguan government has spurned negotiations with its armed opponents, and the Nicaraguan Minister of Justice affirmed on March 9, 1984, that the government would try some of the armed opposition leaders in absentia. These efforts to stimulate the overall process of dialogue within the region have offered both the FMLN/FDR and the Nicaraguan government a peaceful and democratic way to end the fighting. . Unfortunately, neither side has seized the opportunity. As noted, the FMLN/FDR reject elections in favor of immediate power-sharing. The Nicaraguan government appears 617 - 10 - so have rüleč out negociacions with the arnes opposition and shows no signs of changing iis political system in a way tha: nou?: allow the opposition the right to compete for power. Si..ce Deceabe: 4, 1933, 23:agua has ofered safe conduct, under some concitions, to certain members of the armed opposition, but it has excluded participation in this program by the armed oppositior. leadership, thus denying them the ability to contest the election scheduled for November 4, 1984. Although the unaraed, legal opposition will be allowed to participate in those elections, there are numerous obstacles to a true contest for power as will be seen below. es While Ambassador Stone was promoting internal dialogue, the U.S. also actively pursued a program of clarifying and building support for the multilateral Contadora process and its 21-point Document of Objectives. On October 7, Secretary of State Shultz met with Central American Foreign Ministers and UN Ambassadors at the UN Geaeral Assembly. They discussed the need to move forward simultaneously on all points elaborated in the Document of Objectives and emphasized internal democracy in all Central American couatries as an essential method to ensure enforcement of all commitments. The Secretary and the Foreign Ministers of Costa Rica, Eonduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala followed up this discussion with a November 16 meeting on the margins of the OAS General Assembly and again in Caracas in January 1984 during the Venezuelan presidential inauguration. During this same period, Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs Langhorne Motley made two trips to Central America to discuss all aspects of the conflict. On his first trip in September, Ambassador Motley hoped to include Nicaragua, and the Nicaraguan Government initially welcomed his visit. However, shortly before his scheduled arrival in Managua, the Sandinistas cancelled his appointments with senior officials. Assistant Secretary Motley postponed his visit, and the Nicaraguan Government later invited him for talks on October 13. In his discussions in Managua, Motley encouraged the Nicaraguans to implement the original principles of their · revolution through sincere negotiations based on the 21 points. In the meantime, we were active in pursuing these issues both in this hemisphere and with our European allies, most of whom backed the concept of a regional peace effort, but lacked first hand information on the dynamics of relations in the region and of contadora. In a series of visits and consultations, Ambassador Stone and other senior officers explained to European and other hemispheric governments how the groundwork had been prepared for agreement in the Document of Objectives and the reasons for strong u.s. support. We confirmed the belief of nany Europeans that only a comprehensive and completely verifiable treaty could bring about peace in Central America. 84-045 0-84-40 618 - 11 - During lovebe: ani December 1983, the contadora group considered several proposals for converting the Document of cojectives in:0 such a viable and verifiable final treaty. The Contadora FC::, Xica:agua, and the othe: Central American states all presented suggestions for the content of a final agreement. À Vice :inisterial Technical Commission attempted to reconcile the proposals, but it became clear that only the nine Foreign Ministers could decide on the next steps to take. On December 22, after consulting with Ambassador Stone, the President once again publicly reaffirmed our strong support for the peace process undertaken by the Contadora group. The President said, "I want to reiterate my support and commitment to (Ambassador Stone's] delicate but crucial mission." Ambassador Stone traveled again to the region prior to the January 7-8 Foreign Ministers meeting, to suggest means of facilitatiag discussion of the various peace proposals and to reiterate our strong conviction that contadora's momentum srould be maintained. In his January meetings in Managua, mbassador Stone emphasized to the Sandinistas that Nicaragua could respond to all u.s. concerns by sincere negotiations to' tuon the Docs-eat of objectives into a comprehensive, operational, and verifiable agreement. He also urged the Sandinistas to open a dialogue with the armed opposition groups, noting those groups' offer to lay down their weapons in exchange for democratization. In these and other meetings we have made clear to the Sandinistas our four policy objectives vis-a-vis Nicaragua: (1) implementation of the Sandinistas' democratic commitments to the OAS; (2) termination of Nicaragua's support for subversion in neighboring states; (3) removal of Soviet/Cuban military personnel and termination of their military and security involvement in Nicaragua; and (4) the reduction of Nicaragua's recently expanded military apparatus to restore military equilibrium among the Central American states. At the January 1984 Foreign Ministers' meeting, the Contadora group reached a second important milestone in the peace negotiations, an agreement on procedures and guidelines for translating the 21 objectives into verifiable commitments. A text of the January Final Resolution is appended to this report. The Contadora Four and the Central Americans charged three working commissions to refine proposals on political, security, and socioeconomic issues. They agreed that the Commissions would formally constitute themselves by January 31, would prepare work plans by February 29, and would present recommendations to the Foreign Ministers by April 30. Ву 619 12 establishing working groups ard a series of benchmark dates, the Contadora group make clear that progress in all three areas is essential if a formal peace agreement is to be attained. The group since has aet the first two benchmark dates. For its part, the United States.sent a team of security specialists to Central America in February-March to provide expertise to friendly governments in this phase of the process and to underline our own strong commitment to its success. At the most recent meeting of the Contadora group, held in Panama on February 29, the working Commissions agreed on agendas to guide their work until April 30. They agreed to caucus again with the Vice Ministerial Technical Commission on April 2-4 and 24-28, before meeting with the Foreign Ministers. In moving from the conceptual stage to actual drafting of language which could form the basis of a Central American peace treaty, the Contadora process has entered a labor-intensive phase. A verifiable agreement to implement the 21 points would address our concerns with Nicaragua behavior, would meet the interests of the other Central American states, and would give Nicaragua a concrete framework for peaceful political and economic cooperation with its neighbors. Contadora and the OAS The United States and other members of the OAS have respected the efforts of the Contadora group by supporting the peace process it has fostered. In an effort to move the process forward, we have not invited more direct OAS involvement at this time, although we have been careful to leave open that possibility. The OAS role in other regional disputes has been very constructive. Future OAS involvement could be appropriate and highly desirable, depending on the circumstances that arise. We could for see circumstances where the organization could play a useful role in helping to further develop or implement the terns of an agreement in Central America. At this stage, however, countries inside and outside the region, as well as those involved in the Contadora process, · would interpret a U.S. effort to shift the negotiating process into the OAS as a vote of no-confidence in Contadora that would greatly reduce its effectiveness. Others would see it more simply as a U.S. effort to sabotage the peace process. Therefore, the U.S. so far has attempted to achieve its goals, including those mentioned in Section 109 of the Act, through support for the contadora process rather than by more direct and immediate involvement of the OAS or attempting to revive the San Jose concept. Summary of Diplomatic Efforts As stated above, 0.5. support for the peace process has been manifested by various actions : high-level public 620 • 13 - sce:ements ci u.s. backing or the contadora process; meetings sy she Secretary of Stace with Latin merican leaders on this issue; a continuous process of consultations in the region: Private dese:ches to so:e:...ents in Latin Serica and Wester: 2wzope asking thea to lead diplomatic assistance to these regional negotiations; dispatch of a security-experts team, and the efforts of the President's special envoy who over the the past eight months has made 12 trips to Central and South America to carry out his mission of furthering regional dialogue. Through all of these efforts, the Administration has actes in full accord with the spirit of Section 109 of the Act. The President has reiterated the continued, dedicated support of the United States for the negotiating process and the cause o peace in Central America. His prompt nomination of Ambassador Earry Shlaucenan to succeed Ambassador Stone is a sign of the dininistration's intention to remain fully engaged in this process. ctie. Dinensions of u.s. Search for Peace As implied in our four-point policy toward Central America, the u.s. has contributed to the search for peace by providing aeeded economic and security assistance to democratic countries in the area, in order to reduce vulnerability to externally supported insurgencies and to provide needed confidence to facilitate participation in regional peace discussions. Ву proposing significant increases in future U.S. assistance to the region, as recommended by the Bipartisan National Com ission on Central America, the President has demonstrated our vital interest in this area and strong commitment to peaceful development and the prompt resolution of regional disputes. As outlined above, an essential factor behind the progress to date in Contadora has been Nicaragua 's willingness--albeit çrudging--to participate in the process. While the shift in Nicaragua's posture appears due in part to tactics and to a desire not to be blamed for failure, it is clear that on a more basic level, the Sandinistas have moved from a prior position o unyielding obstructionism to their present stance as a direct result of pressure from its neighbors, the U.S., other governments and international bodies, and the armed Nicaraguan cpposition. · The U.S. has attempted to bring economic and diplomatic pressure to bear on Nicaragua precisely because it had become clear that without it Nicaragua would be unwilling to aodify its aggressive policies and non-democratic system of iaternal controls. The U.s. has not been alone in taking such steps: Western European and Latin American countries have iasor med Nicaragua that additional economic assistance will depend upon iaproving its attitude toward political pluralism. 621 - 14 :the sade time, the ardei opposition in Nicaragua has 3:8:ped up its activities, cenonstrating clearly to the world he extent to which the Sicaraguan Revolutionary Government's :::::e to respect its internal and external commitments has les zo popular discontent. These actions have imposed a stiff Price on the sandinistas and offer an incentive to explore Situal acconsocation. Although our relations with the Nicaraguan Government are st:ained, the United States has kept open its direct channels of communication to the Sandinistas. Initial attempts to engage Nicaragua bilaterally were unsuccessful. Nicaragua did not respond ia a positive, substantive manner to two U.S. proposals made in August 1981 and in April 1982 to resolve te..sions in the region. Through these proposals, the U.S. ais:essed Nicaraguan's stated concerns about alleged U.S, ise:vention and the activities of Nicaraguan exile groups in the U.S., as well as Nicaragua's support for guerrilla groups, militarization, the presence of foreign military advisers, the need for decccratization, tre possible resumption of U.S. economic assistance to Nicaragua, and international veri:icatior.. More recently, in addition to Ambassador Stone's conversations with Nicaraguan leaders, including four meetings wita junta coordinator Ortega, Assistant Secretary of State for I.ate:-Americaa Affairs Ambassador Langhorne A. Motley visited Sice:agua in October 1983. Later that month, Ambassador Motley received Nica:aguan Foreign Minister Miguel d'Escoto. In late Noveaber and early December of 1983, as the Nicaraguan araed opposition intensified its attacks, the Sandinistas took several actions that suggested they might be willing to address in a more serivus manner the concerns of Nicaragua's neighbors and of the United States. These actions iacluded announcing preparations for elections, now scheduled for November 1984, an amnesty program for certain Miskito Iadians, a safe-conduct program for some members of the armed opposition, relaxation of press censorship, hints that certain Cuban civilian advisers were leaving Nicaragua (which conformed to previous rotation schedules), and assertions that some Salvadoran guerrilla leaders had been asked by the Nicaraguan gove:nment to leave the country. The Nicaraguan government also reiterated its support for an end to all foreign support for guerrilla groups in the region, a regional arms freeze collowed by ans negotiations, and reciprocal bans. on foreign iiitary bases and foreiga military advisers. In December 1983, the Secretary of State noted the positive acture of these gestures, but stressed that it was important Er the United States to see what reality lay behind the rhesoric. The United States made clear, through public statements, cipionatic channels to the Nicaraguan government, 622 • 15 - 2.c in conversations with other governments, that it was willing to respond in ki... to concrete and genuine steps from che 'icaraguan governaent. Thus far, nowever, that government has not taken actions that would affect its basic policies of military expansion, cepenċence on a substantial number of foreign military and security personnel, and continued material support for guerrilla groups in the region. In fact, a detailed look at tae hints of noderation proved discouraging. Although 2,000 Cuban teachers left Nicaragua on normal rotation, about 1,000 may return this month, leaving the Cuban civilian presence at 4,500 to 6,500 and the Cuban military and security presence at about 3,000 persons. In addition, the Soviet Union and other Soviet bloc countries maintain about 100 military advisers. While some civilian leaders of the Salvadoran guerrillas left Vicaragua, the Salvadoran guerrilla military personnel remain. Nicaraguan support for the Salvadoran guerrilla command-and-control centers, training facilities, and arms sipents has continued. Likewise Nicaragua continues to receive heavy arms from the Soviet bloc, building an arsenal at dismays and alars its neighbors. S The Nicaraguan military and security forces number at least 75,000 (including regular troops, reserves, and organized zilitia), compared with about 43,000 in Guatemala, 22,000 in cnduras, 40,000 in El Salvador, and about 8,000 civil and rural guards and police in Costa Rica. In September 1983, Vicaragua instituted universal draft registration, placing it in a position to maintain and to expand its military force. The GRN's tentative moves on the domestic front have similarly lacked substance. The amnesty program for Miskitos was ill-received by the Miskito people, 1,200 of whom fled to Honduras in December 1983, claiming mistreatment and torture by Nicaraguan authorities. Likewise, the safe-conduct program for the armed opposition appears to have few it any takers among the insurgents, who remain highly skeptical .of Sandinista intentions. Although the Sandinistas finally announced a date for elections, a first step to potentially fulfilling its 1979 pledge to the OAS, the Nicaraguan opposition remains convinced at the Nicaraguan electoral system now being devised will not perait a true contest for power to occur. For example, there has been no resolution of the issues of meaningful access to 32x-controlled media, or political parties' ability to organize and conduct a political campaign free from intimidation and 2::assment, or Sandinista access to State resources. Sandinista leaders have said that armed opposition leaders will aot be allowed to run for office and it now appears possible that the state of emergency (in effect since March 1982) will 623 - 16 - :.00 be lisces or a long enough period to allow the opposition a :21: chance - compete. A possible cice as to the type of election plan es by the Sardinistas came from a comment of iste: ci panning Feary Ruiz on February 3, 1984, when he said the Nicaraguan people had a right to "pluralism, but with a Sandinista kese-cny. Meanwhile, the Nicaraguan government periodically offers vivid rerincers that despite occasional relaxation, press censorship reazins very much in effect. New crackdowns led the independent newspaper La Prensa not to publish on three cccasions in January ană February of 1984. Nor has the government relaxed its control over news programming by the remaining independent radio stations. Conclusions and Recommendations 1 In the foregoing history, two themes emerge the persistent efforts to achieve peace by the United States and most regional governments, and the obstructionist response to these efforts by the Government of Nicaragua. As noted, there recently has been some movement by the Sandinistas away from their basic iatraasigence, but we have nct yet seen any real change in their goals of spreading revolution or consolidating thei: rule. Rather, it appears that as the Sandinistas have beccae increasingly isolated and pressured at home and abroad, they have respcnded by giving out public hints and signals, accompanied by some grudging tactical shifts. On the basis of performance to date, their aim seems to be to adopt de minimis changes sufficient only to reduce internal and external pressure to modify their basic system. In the meantime, they have taken no steps that are not instantly reversible, as they proved when they cracked down with new intensity on La Prensa in January and February 1984. consequently, while the United States and Nicaragua 's neighbors believe strongly that pressure is working--and indeed has proven to be the only effective inducement to the Sandinistas --we believe that it should only be reduced or removed when Ficaragua undertakes the real changes in its external and internal policies that will contribute to regional peace. It is worth noting that ten of the twelve members of the National 3i partisan Commission on Central America, chaired by former Secretary of State Kissinger, concluded ".. we do not believe it would be wise to dismantle existing incentives and pressures on the Managua regime except in conjunction with demonstrable progress on the negotiating front." 3i partisan congressional support for U.S. policy toward Cent:al America renains an important goal of this Administration. There are several areas in which future congressional support is essential to meeting our objectives in 624 - 17 17 - .1: s area. First, proapt congressional approval of the Central --:ica Democ:ac!!, ?eace, auc Development Initiative is an ius:tan: first step. Inis proposal is proof of U.S. recognition of its vital interests in the area and the need to assis :a. ovative -223:35 to ceal with the complex situation. 2:00pt approval woulc signal continued bipartisan interest and support in the United States for peaceful, democratic change in time area. To not approve it or to dilute it significantly wculd be read throughout the area as a sign of U.S. unwillingness to shoulder its responsibilities in Central Azerica. That would only weaken our friends' confidence in their ability to help maintain security and democracy, and proaote economic growth under terms of any negotiated settlement -- or even to negotiate successfully. Second, early Senate confirmation of Ambassador Harry Shlaudeman as Special Presidential Envoy for Central American Negotiations is also highly desirable. The third area is adequate and timely Ending for programs authorized by the Intelligence Authorization Act. Representatives of the executive branch have discussed this with appropriate committees of the Senate a... the House. We have found conclusively, that the broad a::ay of incentives, both positive and negative, that currently exists in the area plays a very important role in reassuring ou: allies, and in convincing those who oppose them that the U.S. will stand by its friends and its commitments. To hamper U.S. ability to maintain these incentives would delay rather than advance our efforts and those of other countries to achieve peace in Central America. 625 Bulletin Reprint Declaration on Democracy in Central America October 1982 United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Washington, D.C. Following are texts of the Department • National reconciliation in a statement and summary of October 5, democratic framework; 1982 and the Final Act of the Meeting of Respect for the principle of Foreign Ministers of Countries Inter- nonintervention; ested in the Promotion of Democracy in • An end to arms trafficking and Central America and the Caribbean of foreign support for terrorism and October 4, 1982. violence; • Limitation of armaments; DEPARTMENT STATEMENT, • Control of frontiers under OCT. 5, 1982' reciprocal and verifiable conditions in- cluding international supervision; Yesterday in San Jose, Costa Rica, there • Withdrawal under effective condi- was a meeting of foreign ministers of tions of reciprocity of foreign troops and courtries interested in promoting military and security advisers; and democracy in Central America and the • A halt to the importation of heavy Caribbean. The meeting was attended by offensive weapons. the Prime Minister of Belize, who con- The conference also established a currently holds the foreign minister forum for peace and democracy that portfolio, and five other foreign would analyze within the framework of ministers--Colombia, El Salvador, Hon- the declaration the different peace pro- duras, Jamaica, and Costa Rica. Assist- posals and initiatives that emerged and ant Secretary for Inter-American Af- transmit the results to other interested fairs (Thomas 0.) Enders attended as a states. The conference also resolved to special representative of the Secretary create an office to provide technical elec- of State, and Panama and the Domin- toral assistance to those countries desir- ican Republic designated special ing to hold free and honest elections. observers. The Government of the United The final act of the meeting empha- States believes that this initiative of sized the importance of representative these regional democracies marks an im- democracy and pluralism to the peoples portant step forward in the promotion of of the region and as an essential element representative democracy and the in bringing about peace in Central resolution of regional tensions within a America. It also set forth certain other peaceful framework. We hope other conditions and actions to achieve peace governments in the region will seriously in the region: address the concepts set forth in the final act of the conference. They provide a blueprint for peace in the region. 1 Read to news correspondents by acting Department spokesman Alan Romberg. 626 3 FINAL ACT, OCT. 4, 1982 FINAL ACT OF THE MEETING OF FOREIGN MINISTERS OF COUNTRIES INTERESTED IN THE PROMOTION OF DEMOCRACY IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN The representatives of the Governments of the Republics of Belize, Colombia, El Salvador, the United States of America, Hon- duras, Jamaica, and Costa Rica, and the observer representative of the Government of the Dominican Republic, convinced that direct dialogue among democratic countries is the appropriate way to review the situation in their states and, therefore, to search for solutions to common problems, met in San Jose, on October 4, 1982, represented as follows: BELIZE His Excellency George Price Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs COLOMBIA His Excellency Rodrigo Lloreda Caicedo Minister of Foreign Affairs His Excellency Carlos Borda Mendoza Ambassador of Colombia in Costa Rica Ambassador Julio Londono General Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ambassador Luis Carlos Villegas Under Secretary for Economic Affairs Mr. Julio Riano Ve dia Deputy Chief of Protocol EL SALVADOR His Excellency Fidel Chavez Mena Minister of Foreign Affairs His Excellency Carlos Matamoros Guirola Ambassador of El Salvador in Costa Rica His Excellency Oscar Castro Araujo Director General of Foreign Policy Mr. Alvaro Menendez Leal Director General of Culture and Communica- tions UNITED STATES OF AMERICA His Excellency Thomas 0. Enders Assistant Secretary of State for Inter- American Affairs His Excellency Francis McNeil Ambassador of the United States in Costa Rica Advisers Mr. Arthur Giese Deputy Director, Central American Affairs Mr. Ronald Godard First Secretary, Embassy of the United States in Costa Rica Mr. Scott Gudgeon Legal Adviser, Department of State Mr. Donald Barnes HONDURAS His Excellency Edgardo Paz Barnica Minister of Foreign Affairs His Excellency Ricardo Arturo Pineda Milla Ambassador on Special Mission His Excellency Jorge Roman Hernandez Alcerro Ambassador on Special Mission His Excellency Herminio Pineda B. Charge d'Affaires a.i. of Honduras in Costa Rica JAMAICA His Excellency Neville Gallimore Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade His Excellency Louis Heron Boothe Ambassador of Jamaica in Costa Rica His Excellency Neville Clark Consul General of Jamaica in Costa Rica COSTA RICA Mr. Fernando Volio Jimenez Minister of Foreign Affairs and Worship Mr. Ekhart Peters Seevers Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs and Worship Mr. Alvar Antillon Salazar Senior Director General of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Worship DOMINICAN REPUBLIC His Excellency Jose Marcos Iglesias Inigo Ambassador of the Dominican Republic in Costa Rica 1. They expressed their conviction that it is the ineludible task of governments that have been legitimized by the will of the peo- ple, expressed at the polls, to defend, pro- mote, and develop a democratic, representa- tive, pluralistic, and participatory system, and that the time has come to define the con- ditions that will permit the reestablishment of a lasting and stable peace in Central America; 2. They recognized the challenges facing the democratic institutions of our countries, and the unavoidable duty to face them firmly; 3. They likewise recognized that it is necessary and desirable to establish organiza- tions to help maintain and improve demo cratic institutions; 4. They noted that democratic institu- tions, in addition to serving as a means of ex- pressing the sovereignty of the people, should contribute to the strengthening of peace and solidarity among peoples and the promotion of economic development, freedom, and social justice; 5. They reaffirmed the fundamental im- portance of respect for international law and treaties as the basis of regional cooperation and security; 6. They stated that the maintenance of peace and democratic institutions requires respect for the fundamental values of human dignity emanating from the Supreme Being, and the elimination of existing conditions of social injustice; 7. They stressed the need for the preven- tion and solution of conflicts between states to be channeled through the mechanisms for peaceful settlement recognized by interna-. tional law, and emphasized that it is the duty of governments to use such mechanisms and, if necessary, to create special mechanisms to achieve that end; 8. They noted that the current world economic crisis produces phenomena such as disproportionate foreign indebtedness, a deterioration of the international financial system, and an increasing imbalance in the terms of trade among states; 9. They considered that such phenomena result in unemployment, inflationary trends, serious financial problems, and political, economic, and social conflicts which are ex- ploited by totalitarianism for the purpose of destabilizing the democratic way of life and government; 10. They noted the objective enunciated this year by the Chiefs of State and Govern- ment on the occasion of the inauguration of the President of Honduras, Dr. Roberto Suazo Cordova, on January 27; of the Presi- dent of Costa Rica, Mr. Luis Alberto Monge, on May 8; of the President of Colombia, Dr. Belisario Betancur, on August 7; of the Presi. dent of the Dominican Republic, Dr. Salvador *The Panamanian observer at this meeting did not sign the final act. The opening session was held in San Jose at 9:30 a.m. and was attended by the Presi- dent of the Republic of Costa Rica, Luis Alberto Monge, who delivered the inaugural address. In order to have a moderator for the discussions, the meeting of Ministers unanimously elected Mr. Fernando Volio Jimenez, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Worship of Costa Rica, as Chairman. The participants agreed on the following points as the final result of their delibera- tions: 627 Summary of the Final Act In this final act, the democratic states of the region, for the first time, set forth the conditions they regard as essential to achieve peace in Central America. These conditions include: • An end to foreign support for ter- rorist and subversive elements operating toward the violent overthrow of other countries; • An end to arms trafficking; • A ban on the importation of heavy weapons and limitations on all arma- ments and forces to those required for defense; • Withdrawal of all foreign military and security advisers and troops under fully verifiable and reciprocal conditions; • Respect for the principle of nonin- tervention and peaceful solution of disputes; • Respect for human rights, in- cluding fundamental freedoms such as freedom of speech, assembly, and religion and the right to organize political parties, labor unions, and other organizations; and Jorge Blanco, on August 16; and in the Joint Communiques of the Presidents of Costa Rica and El Salvador of June 17, of the Presidents of Honduras and El Salvador, of June 10, and of the Presidents of Costa Rica and Panama, of September 26, of this same year, and that such objectives point to the adoption of measures for the achievement of peace, democracy, security, development, freedom, and social justice. THEY THEREFORE DECLARE: 1. Their faith in and support for the prin. ciples of representative, pluralistic, and par. ticipatory democracy which, when properly understood, constitutes a way of life, of thinking, and of acting which can accom- modate within its scope different social and economic systems and structures having a common denominator, which is respect for life, for the security of the individual, for freedom of thought, and for freedom of the press, as well as the right to work and to receive proper remuneration, the right to fair living conditions, to the free exercise of suf- frage, and of other human, civil, political, economic, social, and cultural rights. II. Their concern about the serious deterioration of the conditions of the present international economic order and interna. tional financial system, which gives rise to a process of destabilization, anguish, and fear, affecting, in particular, those countries that have a democratic system of government. In this regard, they appeal to the industrialized democratic countrtes to step up their coopera- tion with the democratic countries of the area by implementing bold and effective initiatives to strengthen the recovery and economic and social development efforts of the various in- terested countries in the area. As part of this cooperation, the initiative of the President of the United States of America with regard to the Caribbean Basin is especially urgent and should be encouraged and fully implemented as soon as possible. Likewise, those present recognize the economic cooperation and assistance efforts undertaken by the Govern- ments of the Nassau Group: Canada, Colom- bia, Mexico, the United States, and Venezuela They support current efforts towards subregional economic integration, including the Central American Common Market and the Caribbean Community and point out the urgency of updating and improving those in. tegration processes which are now in trouble in order to place them in an appropriate political, economic, juridical, and institutional framework. LII. Their conviction that, in order to pro- mote regional peace and stability, it is necessary to support domestic political understandings that will lead to the establish- ment of democratic, pluralistic, and par- ticipatory systems; to the establishment of mechanisms for a continuing multilateral dialogue; to absolute respect for delimited and demarcated borders, in accordance with existing treaties, compliance with which is • Establishment of democratic, rep- resentative, and participatory institu- tions through free and regular elections in an atmosphere of political reconcilia- tion within each state. The final act called on each state of the region to implement these condi- tions, which will be presented to other interested countries as indispensable to the establishment of a lasting peace. The final act also established a Forum for Peace and Democracy to analyze pro- posals for ending the conflict in Central America against the overall framework of these essential conditions and author. ized the Costa Rican Foreign Minister to transmit the results of the conference to other states of the region. The participating states noted that legitimately elected democratic govern- ments have a responsibility to defend and develop democratic values. One im- portant step toward the promotion of democracy in the region is the par- ticipants' resolve to create a body for democratic electoral assistance, available on request to advise countries wishing to hold democratic elections. the proper way to prevent border disputes and incidents, observing, whenever ap- plicable, traditional lines of jurisdiction; to respect for the independence and territorial integrity of states; to the rejection of threats or the use of force to settle conflicts; to a halt to the arms race; and to the elimination, on the basis of full and effective reciprocity, of the external factors which hamper the con- solidation of a stable and lasting peace. In order to attain these objectives, it is essential that every country within and without the region take the following actions: a) Create and maintain truly democratic government institutions, based on the will of the people as expressed in free and regular elections, and founded on the principle that government is responsible to the people governed; b) Respect human rights, especially the right to life and to personal integrity, and the fundamental freedoms, such as freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, and religious freedom, as well as the right to organize political parties, labor unions, and other groups and associations; c) Promote national reconciliation where there have been deep divisions in society through the broadening of opportunities for participation within the framework of democratic processes and institutions; d) Respect the principle of non- intervention in the internal affairs of states, and the right of peoples to self-determination; e) Prevent the use of their territories for the support, supply, training, or command of terrorist or subversive elements in other states, end all traffic in arms and supplies, and refrain from providing any direct or in- direct assistance to terrorist, subversive, or other activities aimed at the violent over. throw of the governments of other states; f) Limit arms and the size of military and security forces to the levels that are strictly necessary for the maintenance of public order and national defense: g) Provide for international surveillance and supervision of all ports of entry, borders, and other strategic areas under reciprocal and fully verifiable arrangements; h) On the basis of full and effective reciprocity, withdraw all foreign military and security advisers and forces from the Central American area, and ban the importation of heavy weapons of manifest offensive capabili- ty through guaranteed means of verification. The preceding actions represent the essential framework that must be established in each State in order to promote regional peace and stability, The signing countries call on all the peoples and governments of the region to em- 628 1 brace and implement these principles and conditions as the basis for the improvement of democracy and the building of a lasting peace. They note with satisfaction the efforts be- ing made in that direction, and deem that the achievement of these objectives may be reached more fully through the reestablish- ment of the rule of law and the organization of election processes that will guarantee full participation of the people, without any discrimination whatsoever. The representatives expressed their ap- preciation to the Government of the Republic of Costa Rica for the courtesies it extended to them, which made possible the successful completion of their deliberations. Signed at San Jose, Republic of Costa Rica, on October 4, 1982. For Belize For El Salvador For Honduras For Costa Rica For Colombia For the United States of America THEY RESOLVE IV. To create a democratic organization to provide development assistance and advisory services for elections, the purpose of which organization will be to maintain the electoral system and to develop, strengthen, and stim- ulate its utilization in the inter-American area, providing advice to countries that re- quest it about its practice and implementa- tion. The organization will operate either autonomously, sponsored by the countries represented in the meeting and by other in- terested countries, or as & section or branch of the Inter-American Institute of Human Rights, since suffrage is an essential part of the theory and practice of human rights. To request the Minister of Foreign Af- fairs and Worship of Costa Rica, Mr. Fernando Volio Fernandez, to prepare an ap propriate document, containing the comments of the participants in this meeting and of the representatives of other democratic countries and to circulate it among them and imple- ment it as soon as possible. V. Lastly, they agree to participate in a Forum for Peace and Democracy, the pur- pose of which will be to contribute to the implementation of the actions and the attain- ment of the objectives contained in this docu- ment, and, within the framework of this declaration, to study the regional crisis and analyze the various peace proposals or ini- tiatives aimed at solving it. The Forum may be broadened by the inclusion of the col- laboration of other democratic States. The Forum may entrust specific tasks to representatives of given participating coun- tries, who will report on the results; and will transmit the final act of this meeting, so that comments and opinions deemed advisable, may be presented to the Forum. The representatives requested the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Worship of Costa Rica, on behalf of the participating governments, to transmit this declaration to the governments of the region and other in. terested governments, and to obtain their views on the principles and conditions for peace that it contains. They agreed to convene a new meeting as soon as possible, in order to evaluate the development of the objectives of the declara- tion. VII. The Plenary Session in this meeting of Foreign Ministers noted with pleasure the presence of Panama and the Dominican Republic as observers. For Jamaica True copy of the original. Alvar Antillon S. Director General of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Worship of Costa Rica For the Dominican Republic I Published by the United States Department of State · Bureau of Public Affairs Office of Public Communication . Editorial Division · Washington, D.C. · December 1982 Editor: Colleen Sussman This material is reprinted from the Department of State Bulletin of December 1982. It is in the public domain and may be reproduced without per- mission; citation of this source is appreciated. Bureau. of Public Affairs United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 Postage and Fees Paid Department of State STA-501 3 Official Business It address is incorrect please indicate change. Do not cover or destroy this address label. 629 Souce: Letter to tie ?:esident 6:0.tinė ?:::::::.:s i coicbia, Mexico, Pa..2:2, an Venezuela, JHO: 1983. CC: ST2WDXT CX CENTRAL AMERICA:: 72.CZ FACED WITH THE INCREASING CONFLICT IN CENTRAL AMERICA, NE TE HEADS CE STATE OF COLOMBIA, SELISARIO BETANCUR, MEXICO, AND VIGUEL DE LA MADRID, PANAMA, RICARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA, VENEZUELA, LUIS SERRERA CAMPINS, DECIDED TO MEET IN CANCUN, MEXICO, CN JULY 17th, 1983. WE ANALYZED THE CR-TICAL CENTRAL AMERICAN SITUATION AND CONCURRED IN OUR DEEP CONCERN FOR ITS RAPID DETERIORATION IN THE DST OP AN INCREASING HAVE. OF VIOLENCE, THE PROGRESSIVE INTEN- S:FICATION OF ENSIONS, BORDER INCIDENTS AND THE THREAT OF AN MED CONFLICT WHICH COULD BECOME GENERAL, . IN ADDITION TO ALL TEIS, THE ARMS RACE AND FOREIGN INTERFERENCE CONFORM A DRAMATIC PICTURE WHICS AFFECTS TE POLITICAL STABILITY OF THE REGION, IN ZICH THE INSTITUTIONS CORRESPONDING TO DEMOCRACY, FREEDOM, SOCIAL JUSTICE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CAN NOT ADVANCE AND CONSOLIDATE. THE CONFLICTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA PRESENT TO THE INTERNA- TIONAL COMMUNITY WITE TEE ALTERNATIVE OF SUPPORTING AND REINFORCING DECISIVELY THE PATH OF POLITICAL UNDERSTANDING THROUGH CONSTRUCTIVE SOLUTIONS, OR TO PASSIVELY ACCEPT THE INTENSIFICATION OF THOSE FACTORS WHICH COULD LEAD TO MORE_DANGEROUS ARMED CONFRONTATIONS. THE USE OF VIOLENCE AS AN ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION DOES NOT ESCLVE, BUT WORSENS TO UNDERLYING TENSIONS. PEACE IN CENTRAL YRICA WILL ONLY BECOME A REALITY IN AS MUCH AS THE FOLLOWING FONDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF UNDERSTANDING AMONG NATIONS: NON-INTER- VEXTION AND SELF-DETERMINATION OF NATIONS, EQUALITY AMONG NATIONS, COOPERATION FOR ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL PROGRESS, PEACEFUL SETTLEMENT 0: CONTROVERSIES, AND THE FREE AND AUTHENTIC EXPRESSION OF POPULAR HILL, BE OBSERVED. 630 - 2 - THE CREATION 0: FAVOLE CO:DITIONS TO PEACE IN THE 33:ON, BASICALLY DEPENDS ON THE ATTITUDE AND SINCERE, DISPOSITION COMOS DIALOGUE ON ME PART OF T CENTRAL AMERICAN SCOLARIES, OBICS CORRESPOND THE PRIM-.RY RESPONSIBILITY AND THE GREATEST EFFORT IN SEARCE FOR AGREEMENTS TO ASSURE THE COEXISTENCE: IN THIS RESPECT, IT IS INDISPENSABLE THAT THE POLITICAL WILL F08 UNDERSTANDING, ALREADY MANIFESTED IN THE FIRST MEETINGS 07 TO CONTADORA GROUP, WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLEARLY EXPRESSED THE IN TSE PROGRESS OF OUR WORK TOWARD PEACE, SO THAT IT CAN BE TRANS- LATED INTO SPECIFIC ACTIONS AND COMMITMENTS. IT IS ALSO NECESSARY THAT OTSER STATES WITH CENTRAL NERICAN INTERESTS AND TIES, CONTRIBUTE WITH THEIR POLITICAL INFLUENCE TO REINFORCE TE AVENUES OF UNDERSTANDING AND AGREE. TO SUPPORT, WITHOUT RESERVES, THE DIPLOMATIC ALTERNATIVE FOR PEACE. TIE EFFORTS OF THE CONTADORA GROUP HAD MADE POSSIBLE, UP TO NOW, TEL INITIATION OF A DIALOGUE INCLUDING THE PARTICIPATION OF ALL CENTRAL AMERICAN GOVERNMENTS, THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A SYSTEM 02 CONSULTATIONS, AND THE DEFINITION, BY GENERAL AGREEMENT, OF AN AGENDA EMBRACING THE MOST RELEVANT ISSUES OF THE REGIONAL CONFLICT. THESE ACHIEVEMENTS, ALTHOUGH STILL INSUFFICIENT, HAVE. 32EN ENCOURAGED BY THE SUPPORT OF NUMEROUS COUNTRIES, SEVERAL ORGANIZATIONS, AND A DIVERSITY OF INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION GROUPS. ALL OF THEM COINCIDE IN THAT THE ACTIVITIES OF THE CONTADORA GROU? FAVE CONTRIBUTED TO ABATE THE DANGER AND REDUCE THE RISKS OF GENERALIZED CONFLICT, AND ITS ACTION HAS ALLOWED THE IDENTIFICATION OF THESE PROBLEMS AND CAUSES OF AN ESCENARIO THAT IN OUR DAYS IS OF FEAR AND CONFLICT. 631 3 THIS GENEROUS SIT PORT OF THZ INDERATIORAL COMMUNITY DEVOS PERO DE CONTINUE IN OUR ENDEAVOR AND MAKE TEE NECESSARY 2:20RTS IN FR10R 02. GORI, WHICH NOBLE PURPOSE COMPENSANTES ANY FOSSISLE LACK OF UNDERSTANDING, ENCOURAGED BY TSE WIDE SPIRIT OF SOLIDARITY OF OUR COUNTRIES WITE THE SISTER NATIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA, WE BELIEVE IT IS NECESSARY TO ACCELERATE THE PROCESS THAT WILL TRANSLATE THE DESIRE FOR PEACE IN PROPOSALS WHICH, DULY DEVELOPED, WILL BE ABLE TO EFFECTIVELY CONTRIBUTE TO THE SOLUTION OF THE CONFLICTS. FOR THIS PURPOSE WE HAVE AGREED UPON THE GENERAL GUIDE- LIVES OF A PROGRAM TO BE PROPOSED TO CONTRAL AMERICAN COUNTRIES. THIS IMPLIES THAT. BESIDES THE STRICT FULFILLMENT OF THE FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, THE NEGOTIATION OF AGREEMENTS AND POLITICAL COMMITMENTS, WHICH WOULD LEAD, IN THE REGIONAL REALM, TO AN EFFECTIVE CONTROL OF THE ARMS RACE, THE WITHDRAWAL OF FOREIGN ADVISERS, TEE CREATION OF DE-MILITARIZED ZONES AND THE PROHIBITION O: THE USE OF THE TERRITORY OF ONE STATE TO PLAN MILITARY OR POLI- TICAL ACTIVITIES WHICH WILL CAUSE INSTABILITY IN OTHER STATES, THE ERADICATION OF THE TRAFFIC OF ARMS AND THE PROHIBITION OF OTHER. FORMS OF AGGRESSION, OR INTERFERENCE IN THE INTERNAL AFFAIRS OF ANY · COUNTRY OF THE REGION. 0 TO ENSURE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THIS GENERAL PROGRAM, IT IS REQUIRED TO NEGOTIATE AGREEMENTS OUTLINING THE POLITICAL COMMITMENTS TSAT WILL GUARANTEE THE REGIONAL PEACE. .THESE AGREEMENTS COULD INCLUDE: 632 1 TO PUT AN END TO ALL EXISTING BELIGERANT SITUATIONS. 20:32:23 THE CURRENT LEVEL OF OFFENSIVE WEAPOXS. - TO IITIAZE NEGOTIATIONS TO CONTROL AND REDÉCE THE PESEXI ARSEXES AND THE CREATION OF TSE APPROPRIATE MOCSANISMS OF SUPERVISION. • TO ZAN TE EX:STENCE OF FOREIGN MILITARY BASES IN TAIR TERUITORES. TO INFORM IN ADVANCE ON TEL MOVEMENT OF ANY TROOPS IN BORDERING ZONES, WHEN THE SIZE OF THE DETACHMENT EXCEEDS TEE NUMBER ALLOWED BY THE EXISTING AGREEMENT. TO ESTABLISS, ACCORDING TO THE SITUATION, JOINT BORDER PATROLS, OR TELE INTERNATIONAL SUPERVISION OF BORDERS 38 OBSERVERS SELECTED AMONG THE INTERESTED PARTIES BY COMMON AGREEMONT. TO CREATE SECURITY JOINT COMMISSION TO PREVENT OR RESOLVE BORDER INCIDENTS. - TO ESTABLISE INTERNAL MECHANISMS OF CONTROL TO AVOID THE TRAFFIC OF ARMS FROM THE TERRITORY OF ANY COUNTRY OF THE REGION TO THE TERRITORY OF OTHERS. TO PROMOTE A DISTENTION AND CONFIDENCE ATMOSPHERE IN TE AREA, AVOIDING STATEMENTS OR OTHER ACTIONS WHICH WILL ENDANGER THE NECESSARY CLIMATE OF POLITICAL TRUST, . TO COORDINATE SYSTEMS OF DIRECT COMMUNICATION AMONG GOVÈRNMENTS, IN ORDER TO PREVENT ARMED CONFLICTS AND GENERATE AN ATMOSPHERE OF RECIPROCAL POLITICAL TROST. IN TEE SAME MANVER, WE CONSIDER TELAT SIMULTANEOUSLY TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS GENERAL PROGRAM, THE TASK OF CTING THROUGE SPECIFIC DIFFERENCES AMONG COUNTRIES SHOULD BE OXITIATED WITS TEE SIGTING OF MEMORANDA OF UNDERSTANDINS, AND E CREATION OF JOINT COMMISSION THAT WILL ALLOW THE INTERESTED PARTIES TO DEVELOP COMYON ACTIONS GUARANTEEING TEE EFFECTIVE COXTROL 0: THEIR TERRIZORIES, ESPECIALLY IN BORDERING ZONES. 633 **SE MASURES, GEARED TOWARDS THE ELIMINATION OF 183 THE 3 ::070?S :S28:3 IG PEACE THE REGION, SHOULD BE ACCOMPANIED : ; G73:: 1:33SZ ESCRS, TO RESTRENGHTEN THE DEMOCRATIC :52:TUTIONS, OD TO GUARANTEE THE OBSERVANCE OF HUMAN RIGHTS. IN TEIS REGARD, IT IS NECESSARY TO PERFECTIONATE THE SOSIEMS O: POPULAR CONSULATIONS, ENSURE FREE ACCESS OF THE DI?:3RONT OPINION VECTORS TO THE ELECTORAL PROCESS, AND PROMOTE TEE FUL PARTICIPATION OF THE CITIZENS IN THE POLITICAL LIFE OF TEDIS COUNTR:E. TEE STRENGETENING OF DEMOCRATIC POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS IS CLOSELY TIED TO THE EVOLUTION AND ACHIEVEMENTS BROUGHT ABOUT BY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND SOCIAL JUSTICE. IN FACT, THEY ARE TO JIMENSIONS OF THE SAME PROCESS WHICH, ULTIMATELY, ARE DIRECTED TO THE FUL:ILMENT OF SASIC HUMAN VALUES. WITH THIS' PERSPECTIVE, IT SEOULD BE FACED THE ECONOMIC 17DERDEVELOPMENT, WEICS IS AT THE ROOT OF REGIONAL INSTABILITY AND IMMEDIATE CAUSE OF MANY OF ITS CONFLICTS. TO REINFORCE MECEANISMS OF INTEGRATION, TO INCREASE INTER- REGIONAL COMMERCE AND TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR INDOS- TRIAL COMPLEMENTATION, ARE SOME OF THE MORE URGENT ACTIVITIES TO NEUTRALIZE THE EFFECTS OF THE WORLD ECONOMIC CRISIS. HOWEVER, THE SELF EFFORT SHOULD BE COMPLEMENTED BY THE SU??ORT OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY, ESPECIALLY OF THE INDUS- TRIALIZED COUNTRIES, THROUGH LOANS · FOR DEVELOPMENT, PROGRAMS C: COOPERATION AND OPEN ACCESS FOR CENTRAL AMERICAN PRODUCTS TO 2:3 MARKOTS. 34-045 0-84_41 634 - 6 1 : THE GOVERNMENT OF THE COUNTRIES MEMBERS OF THE CONTADORA C?...? REITERT: 32:3 DECISION TO CONTINUE PROGRAMS OF COOPERATION FAVORING TE SUB-REGION AND TO OFFER "EZIR COMMON EFFORTS TO CEANEL ERNATIONAL SUPPORT TOWARDS THESE GOALS OF ECONOMIC REVITALIZE.IOO; IN BASE TO TEESE. GENERAL GUIDELINES, WE HAVE ENTRUSTED O OUR MINISTERS OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS TEE ELABORATION OF SPECIFIC PROPOSALS WEICH WILL BE PRESENTED TO TEE CONSIDERATION OF CENTRAL RICAN COUNTRIES IN THE OCCASION OF THE NEXT MEETING OF CEANCELLO. : WE MAKE AN APPEAL TO ALL MEMEBRS OF THE INTERNATIONAL COM MINITY, ESPECIALLY TO THOSE WEICH HAVE EXPRESSED THEIR SYMPATHY TO TE EFFORTS OF THE CONTADORA GROUP, AS WELL AS TO THE SECRETARY GE- NERAL OF THE UNITED NATIONS AND TELE PRESIDENT OF THE PERMANENT COUNC of me ORGANIZATION OF AMERICAN STATES, TO CONTRIBUTE WITH THEIR EX- 22:ENCE AND DIPLOMATIC ABILITY TO THE SEARCH FOR PEACEFUL SOLUTIONS TO CENTRAL AMERICAN PROBLEMS. 1 BECAUSE OF ALL THESE CONSIDERATIONS WE HAVE ADDRESSED OUR- SELVES TO TEE BEADS OF STATE OF THE AMERICAN CONTINENI, SEARCHING :OR THEIR NECESSARY SOLIDARITY. THE HEADS OF THE STATE OF COLOMBIA, MEXICO, PANAMA, AND VENEZUELA RESTATE THE COMMON POURPOSES WHICH BRING THEIR GOVERN- MENTS MONES TOGETHER, IN THE TASK OF PIELPING TO BUILD A JUST AND LASTING PEACE DESIRED BY THE PEOPLES OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ISSTED IN CANCUN, MEXICO, ON JULY SEVENTEEN, NINETEEN IGZTY TERES. MIGUEL DE LA MADRID H. PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC O: MSXICO BELISARIO BETANCUR PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF COLOMBIA CAPDO DE LA ESPRIELLA PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC LOIS HERRERA CAMINS PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC 635 SS:DET'S ENTE? OF JULY 21, 1983 TO TYE CONTADORA PRESIDENTS Dear M. ?residen:: hank you for the letter which you and the Presidents of coroabia, Hexico, and venezuela have sent to me concerning the meeting held in Cancun on July 17, to review the current situation in Central America. : I would like to congratulate you on the efforts which the Contadora Pour are making to promote dialogue among the countries of Central America. My government has consistently expressed strong support for the Contadora process. The Cancun Declaration by articulating the crucial issues which must be treated to reach an effective and enduring resolution of the Central American conflict, is an important contribution to advancing that process. I continue to believe that a solution to the crisis in Central America must encompass four basic priaciples: Pirst, it is essential that democratic institutions be established and strengthened as a means to resolve political differences within the central American states. Only by ensuring free and open participation in the Democratic process can the peoples of Central America achieve reconciliation within their societies. 636 -2- Second, there must be respec: For the principle of acr-intervention, inciucing a ban on support for subversive elements that seek :) cestabilize other countries, Third, the conflict in Central America must be removed from the context of an East-West confrontation, through such aeasures as the verifiable withdrawal of all foreign military and security advisers, and a certifiable freeze on the acquisition of offensive armaments, And finally, the countr es of Central America must work among themselves and with their neighbors to achieve and sustain a level of economic growth that will guarantee the basic aeeds of their people. I am pleased that the Cancun Declaration recognizes the importance of these fundamental principles. These issues are inextricably iater-related, and must be addressed on a comprehensive, regional basis which treats simultaneously the coaceras of all the states affected by the Central American conflict. An attempt to resolve these issues sequentially, or on a pieceneal basis, will not achieve the goal we all share of a lasting peace for all of Central America. Equally important is the : need to ensure that all undertakings assuned by the Central American states be fully 637 reciprocal and subject to comprehensive, fully adequate verification. Clearly, no initiative can bring true peace to Central America if one state is permitted to take unjust advantage of its neighbors through failure to abide by peace conditions which bind the others. The Charter of the Organization of American States makes clear that it should be the purpose of the OAS to either prevent unjust acts committed by one state against another, or to provide for common action on the part of the members in the event of difficulties. I believe the OAS, as this hemisphere's regional forum, 18 the appropriate mechanism to ensure that those who make coraitments, comply with them. The problems of Central America are complex, and their solution demands untiring efforts. The activities which you and your colleagues in the Contadora Group have undertaken are proof of your sincere dedication to the goal of a -genuine and lasting peace throughout the region. My own efforts in this regard have been to dispatch my special emmissary to the region and establish a bipartisan commission to exanine the problems o: Central America and to propose solutions. You have my 2:3yers and chose 0% y count:ynen as you continue your work. Sincerely, Ronald Reagan 638 CONTADORA 21 POISIS incat of bec: VSS Considering: The situation prevailing in Central America, which is characterized by an atmosphere of tension that threateas security and peaceful coexistence in the regions and which requires for its solution, observance of the principles of intamational Law governing the actions of States, especially: The well-determination of peoples, Abn-interventions. The sovereign equality of States the peaceful settlement of disputas, Retsaining from the threat of use of forces Respect for the territorial categrity of states Pluralia in its various panifestations, mell support for democratic Institutions, The promotion of social justice; Intestational cooperation for developments Requct for and promotion of human rights me prohibition of terrorise and subversions The daise to reconstruct the Central American homeland through prograine Latogration of its economic, legal and social. Institutions; The need for economic coopxation among the states of Central dverica so to make i fundingntal contribution to the development of their peoples and the strengthening of their independences The undertaking to establish, promote or revitalize caprenentativa, democratic wysties la all the countries of the region, che unjust economic, social and political structure which exacerbate the conflicts in Central America, 639 The urgent need to put an end to the tensions and lay the foundations for understanding and solidarity among the countries of the areas The amas race and the growing and traffic in Central America, which aggravate political relations in the region and divert economic resources that could be used for development, The presence of foreign advisers and other forms of foreign military interference in the zone: The risks that the territory of Central American States may be used for the purpose of conducting military operations and pursuing policies of destabilization against others, The need for concerted political efforts in order to encourage dialogue and understanding in Central America, avert the danger of a general spreading of the conflicts, and set in motion the machinery needed to ensure the peaceful coexistence and security of their poopies, Declare their intention of achieving the followirs obrestives: To promote détente and put an end to situations of conflict in the area, refraining from taking any action that might jeopardize political confidence or prevent the achievement of peact, security and stability in the regions To ensure strict compliance with the aforementioned principles of international Law, whose violators will be held accountables To respect and ensure the exercise of human, political, civil, economia, social, religious and cultural rights, To adopt measures conducive to the establishent and, where appropriate, Laprovenert of democratic, representative and pluralistic systems that will guarantee effective popular participation in the decisior-making process and ensure that the various currents of opinion have free access to fair and regular elections based on the full observance of citians' rights, To promote national reconciliation offarts wherever deep divisions have taken place within society, with a view to fostering participation in democratic political processes in accordance with the Law; to create polltical conditions intended to ensure the international security, integrity and sovereigaty of the States of the region, To stop the arms rac. in all its forms and begin negotiations for the control and reduction of current stocks of weapons and on the number of armed troopa, To prevent the installation on their territory of foreign military bases or any other type of foreign military interference, 640 a To conclude agreements to reduce the presence of foreign military advisers and other foreign elements involved in military and security activities, with a view to heir @limination, To establish internal cont:ol machine:0 prevent the traffic in arms Eran the territory of any country in the region to the territory of another ; To eliminate the traffic in urms, whether within the region or from outside it, intended for persons, organizations or groups seeking to destabilize the Governments of Central American countries, .. To prevent the use of the own territory by persons, organizations or groups ain seeking to destabilize the Governments of Central American countries and to return to provide them with or peonit them to receive military or logistical support, To refrain from inciting or supporting acts o£ terrorien, subversion or sabotage in the countries in the areas. To establish and coordinate direct carwmunication systems with a view to preventing os, where appropriate, settling incidents between States of the region, to continin himanitarian aid almed at helping Central American refugees who have been displaced Crow their countries of origin, and to create suitable conditions for the voluntary repatriation of such refugees, la consultation with or with the co-operation of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (HQ) and other international agencies deemed appropriatas o undertake economic and social development programes with the aim of promoting well being and an equitable dietribution of wealth, o revitalize and restore economic integration machinery in order to attala sustained development on the basis of solidarity and autual advantages to negotiate the provision of external monetary resources which will provide additional means of financing the renumption of inter-regional trade, meet the serious balance of payments problas, attract funds for working capital, support programmes to extend and restructure production systems and promote medium and long-term investment projects, to negotiate better and broader secars to international markets in order to increase the volume of trade between the countries of Central America and the rut trade practices, the elimination of tariff and other barriers, and the achievement of price stability at a profitable and fair level for the products exported by the countries of the region, do establish technical cooperation machinery for the planning, programming and implementation of multi-sectoral Investment and trade promotion projects. 641 Me ininters ice Porziga airs of the Cent:alimerican count:123, with the participation of the countries in the contadora Group, have begun negotiations with the aim of preparing for the conclusion of the agreements and the establishment of the machinery necessary to formalize and develop the objectives contained in this document, and to bring about the establishment of appropriate verification and donitoring systras. to that end, account will be taken of the initiatives put Corvard at the meetings convened by the Contadora Group. Panama City, 9 September 1983 Source: United Nations Security Council document S/16041, October 13, 1983. : 642 CORTADOR; RESOLUTION OF JANU: 8, 1984 Measures for Carrying out the Commitments Made in the Document of Objectives The Governments of Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua, whereas: . 1. In September 1983, the five governments approved the *Document of Objectives, the frame of reference for the , regional peace agreement; and 2. Measures must be taken to carry out the commitments contained in that document, 643 -2- Have resolved: I. Tc take the following steps immediately: 1. Security Matters (a) Preparation of a detailed register or inventory of military installations, weaponry, and troop strength by each Central American state in order to establish the criteria for a policy of control and reduction of the above that would place a ceiling on their numbers and provide for a seasonable balance of forces in the region. (b) Preparation of a census in each country and adoption of a timetable for the reduction, with a view to their elimination, of foreiga military advisers and other foreign participants in military or security activities. (c) Identification and elimination of all forms of support, encouragement, financing, or toleration of groups or irregular forces engaged in the destablization of Central American governments. : (a) Identification and eradication of groups or irregular forces participating from or through the territory of one Central American state, in activities to destabilize the government of another state in the region. (e) Identification of areas, routes, and means used for unlawful arns trafficking in and outside the region so that such trafficking can be eliminated * 644 - 3- () Establishment of direct communication systems in order to prevent and resolve incidents between the states. 2, 3olitica! Hatters (a) To promote national reconciliation founded on the principles of justice, liberty, and democracy and, to that end, establish the mechanisms for creating a dialogue in the countries of the region, (b) to guarantee full respect for human rights and, for such purpose, honor the obligations contained in the pertinent international legal texts and constitutional provisions. (c) To promulgate of amend electoral laws with a view to elections that guarantee effective participation by the people. (d) to create independent electoral bodies that will establish a reliable electoral register and ensure the impartiality and democratic nature of the process. le) To draw up ofī as necessary, update provisions guaranteeing the existence and participation of political parties representative of the diverse currents of public opinion. () To set a timetable for elections and adopt measures that will ensure the participation of the political parties under conditions of equality. ! 645 -4- ig) To encourage actions aimed at establishing genuine coizical ::ust among the governments of the region with a view to the celaxation of tensions. 3. Economic and Social Matters (a) to increase programs to aid Central American refugees and facilitate their voluntary repatriation through the cooperation of the governments concerned and in conjunction or coordination with national humanitarian agencies and competent international organizations. (b) TO cooperate fully with the Central American (Economics Integration Bank, CEPAL, the Action Committee for Supporting Central American Economic and Social Development and SIECA. (c) To work together to obtain foreign resources that will make it possible to revitalize. Central Americin integration processes. (d) To improve intraregional trade and promote more and better access to international markets for Central American commodities. (e) To encourage joint investment projects. (f) no introduce economic and social structures that strengthen a true democratic system and allow the people .... 646 -5- :ull access to the right to work, education, health, and culture. II. To authorize the Technical Group, the advisory body for the. Joint Meeting of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Central America and tie Contadora group, to follow-up on the actions envisioned in this document with respect to security, political, and economic and social matters. The Technical Group will report to the Ministers' meeting regarding progress in carrying out such measures. III. To create, within the framework of the Contadora Group, three working commissions responsible for preparing studies, legal drafts, and recommendations pertaining to security, political, and economic and social matters, as well as to proposals for the verification and monitoring of compliance with the measures agreed upon. The working commissions shall be governed by the following provisions: (a) They shall be made up of representatives of the Central American governments. Each country may appoint: up to two advisors per commission, (b) The Contadora Group shall convene the meetings and participate in them so that it can continue to cooperate actively in an examination of the topics assigned and in the preparation of the agreements. 647 -6- ic) Foreign advisory services, whether the; involve persons on an individual basis or representatives of international organizations, must be approved upon by consensus in advance. (d) The working commissions shall be set up by January 31, 1984, at the latest. The participating governments shall the efore appoint their representatives and adivsors and duly inform the Ministry of Foreign Relations of Panama of such appointments, (e) Each commission shall prepare and submit its timetables and work schedules before February 29, 1984. The commissions shall carry out their work within the franework established by the Document of Objectives and the Technical Group shall coordinate their work. They shall present this studies, legal drafts, and recommendations to the joint meeting of the Ministers of Poreign Affairs by April 30, 1984, at the latest. Panama, January 8, 1984 : Source: Letter to the vaited Nations Secretary General from the Panamanian Mission to the United Nations, January 9, 1984. 648 - FMLS/FDR PEACE PROPOSAL OF JANUARY 31, 1984 (Text) A. Iatroduction for some years, the FDR and the FMX have been struggling to achieve the definite Liberacion of our people. Conviaced that the effort to achieve peace with justice should be shared by the largest possible number of Salvadorans, we have proposed several Uternatives for solving the current crisis, because only a powerful and speedy effort can Lift our country from the ruins in which it has been submerged by the : elogarchic regine and the U.S. Government's intervention. We are facing a complex pacional and laternational situador. The old oligarchic society and the state which served it have soaked their own fate in blood. They are unable to provide solutions to the demands of thousands of Salvadorans and have created a repressive, exploitative apparatus, carrying out polidcel maneuvers aimed at covering up their determination to seek & military solution. 649 ia adiicioa, cte Reagan adaizistration's increasingly Interventionist role has extended :he war and beatens to :e:ealize the conflict. We insist that the achievement of peace in our country requires a process that includes the widest possible participation :: polisical and social forces ad which makes viable a solution based on climinating ose factors - because they are the source of this conflict. ence, the FML-SDR propose che creation of a broad-based provisional government to ca: cuc a poczated pla::c2a sutlindring all the necessary tasks. We must take on chese tasks in order to overcome the present critical situation and allow our people to cuarioue with their process of social, political, and economic changes towards a truly usi society. B. The Broud-based Provisional Government de proposal to create the broad-based provisional government is a result of the developments achieved by the FDR and the Salvadoran people in the political and military sector. The broad-based provisional government will be a government in which so force will prevail; it will be the expression of the broad participation of political and social forces – ready to eliminate the oligarchic regime and rescue the national sovereignty and ladependence. Likewise, the existence of private ownership and foreign vestments will aot be contrasy to our social interests. The proposal !o: the establishment of a provisional government is the result of h cevelopment of the people's democratic, revolutionary forces in the political and litary areas. i: l be a broad-based provisional government whose duration will be determined by the fulfillment of its basic objectives, according to what is agreed upon between the pares and based on the understanding that this will aot be a long-term government. Tae basic objectives of the broas-based provisional government are as follows: Rescue the sacional independence and sovereignty. ' 2. Destroy the oppressive apparatus and establish the bases for a true democracy with full compliance with buman rights and political freedom which seeks to fully implement the people's participation to achieve definite pesce. . 3. ; Attend to the people's 2050. urgent and med lace paedo and adopt: basic economic aad social seasures to change these structurus 4. Establish the necessary practical conditions to resolve the present stage of war 5. Prepare and hold general elections. The broad-based provisional government will have a structure simplified to its highest level. It will consist of the following: - government junta, ministerial ubines, advisory state council, and aupreme court of justice. The provisional government will be comprised of representatives of workers, peasants, teachers, employees, profussional collegus, universities, political parties, aad business sectors, the FILV-EDR, and the national Army duly: purged. The government organizations will Laclude this broad representation, excluding the oligarchy and sectors and persons opposed co achieving the objectives of the provisional governmeat and who advocate a dictatorship. - 84 015 0-84 650 C. Government Placior mis platfora es:abilsizes the basic guidelines and necessary meusures to be adopted by che road-based ::cöisicaal zoveel, with the contribucions and advice of several organizacions, ses:s:, and c::::.S. It will become a scuemment program that seeks so'ntions to the scst 'uzzent ceselorrent problems in this country, 1:5: of all, we propose a package ci'measures to be appiied immediately. Second, there are some reasures and guidelines to enchance the broad-based provisional government's acsica during ics administration. ediace measures: 1. Dissolution of the 1983 Constitucion and its replacement by a constitucional decrec regulating the broad-based provisional government's activities. 2. Dissolution of the state of siege and all the decrees issued since 1980 which violate indvidual and social liberties. 3. Freedom for ul political prisoners and missing persons and the annulment of all sentences issued based on repressive and special decrees. Full guarantees !or the exercise of collective and individual democratic rights ud freedoms, À provisional statute should be issued to regulate agrarian, livestock, and state workers' rights to organize labor unions. The unions will be indemified for damage done to theii property through repression since 1979. The organization of the people's power will be legitimized; this was created during the war in various zones of che country. 5. Elimination of security corps, death squads, and their political arm, the ARENA Nacionalist Republican Alliance) party. Creation of a civil police corps under the iacerior Ministsy. 6. Wichdrawal of C.S. or any other countries' military advisers, latervention, and silitary aid; an end to all supplies of weapons. 7. Purging of the government dived Forces. Once this is achieved, its leaders should be orgmized wichia che broad-based provisional government's structures. 8. Lavestigation and trial of civilians and military officers responsible for genocide, political crines, corture, disappearancès, and the Hlégal deprivacion of individual Liberties. The death of FMLN fighters and of Army soldiers and officers in combat does not constitute a crime. 9. The Supreme court of justice would investigace and pass judgment on crimes against humit rights. It must also purge and reorganise the judicial branch. Non government hunan rights orgroizations, which have defended the people during the dictatorship's regint; would be usked to cooperate in this cask. 10. The return of endles and refugees and the implementation of an emergency program co reintegrace and care for returning refugees, those who have been disabled by the war, those who burve been dismissed from the Armed Forces, and the families and persons who, as a result of the war, bave been left without protection. The broad-based provisional goversent will request the cooperation of internacional agencies and nor.governmeat orguizations for chese casks. Implementation of an emergency program to reconstruct the economic, educacional, and healch infrastructures, which have been either destroyed or damaged by the war. 651 The establishment oi a 2:3:0r20 on debts to benefit all and middle businessmen. Mis sulc include a sapic asic concei; finance program to icnefit the industrial and the ar::..::a! ar.c es:-ck sec:s-- as to promote econcic :eactivacion, ?:ice las and corros*: mies ccnsurec by RC people co i prove the people's reai scores. The 22:kecii ad cisiribuer. of staples ist also be reorganized and :::..les. 2. Penegociatior of the foreign cest, acknowledgiig the financial commitments acquired 57 p:ericus sovereats. 15. The reestablisiment of the autonomy of the National University of El Salvador and de location of sufficient rescurces for its reorganization and operation. The uni- versity campus wouid be put at the disposal of its legitimate authorities immediately. :6. There would be a massive literacy campaign and an adult training program in the areas of health, education, agricultural and livestock production, and community organization. 27. development of a massive employment program through the promotion of state and ace savestmeat chose sectors that produce jobs. An emergency program would be Seceased co acquire the raw material and tools necessary for economic reactivation. Procucers would be guaranteed adequate marketing channels and frameworks. 18. The prodot:CR ad ceve-opent of a popular organization program through the organi- za:9= d consolida::on nicipalities, communities, and state institutions, which so participate in the piano:26, elementation, and evaluation of programs that bene- ::: de comunica, 1 19. de development of a massive comunicacions program, with the creation and use of 25sive popular copricacica jeans for local consumption. 20.. he creation of an elec:cral organization that, on the basis of an agreement among ise concerned parties, would prepare free general elections and a reliable electoral :eg siy. Escuoc and Social Refors 1. The establishmect of the requirements for the full implementacion of the agrarian reios program, ensuring the free participation of farmworkers la this implementacion. The cevelopaeat of a cooperatsrecozaaization program that would involve individual sall farn owners. 2. The establishseat of the requirements for the full nationalization of the country's saks and financial system co piase boch credit and finance organizations at the service of the surority, 3. mehe establisest of the foundations for a complete reorganizacion of our foreiga izace, iacluding the controi of primary export products: coffee, cotton, sugarcane, in products, and meat. This would also include control-of-the-import of raw çesials, laput producis, spare parts, and technology needed for our national sduc:10a. The establishaeat of the foundations for an adequate solution to the housing prob- les of low-lacose sectors; ; che progressive expansion of social security services; and e reorientation o. foreiga Lavescants for an effective. Contribution to the fulf111- : of social needs. 652 Here:s Policy Se sroad-based provisional goverzent would develop its foreign policy on the basis :: e..silosing criteria: 1. the broadcased provisional goverraent would pursue a policy of world relations for :43:, in opposi:10: s rasă ass buildup and ruciear weapons. It would defend the principies of peace::i coexisteace, self-determination, and nonintervencion; thus, ::: jota the smal?znes Loveeat and, consequently, carry out a struggle against coloniaiism, ceocoloniai.sal, Zloris, racial discrimination, and apartheid. It would es:aclish diplomatic relations with ocher countries regardless of their social systems so he basis of tatlonal Interests. it would comply with pledges undertaken at inter- national organizacions and would encourage active participation at international srs for che discussion and solstos of problems arising from economic relations between countries. Is would reafiis its Bolivarian traditions and would consequently seek to promote and participate in regional forums that could strengthen the Latin Azerican countries' position on regional political, diplomatic, financial, and social probles. 2. Is regard to ts relations ish the United States: i. I: would propose that agreedets be concluded that guarantee both countries' national sec: 108. Thus, the broadbased provisional government would pledge aot to permit the 3:aation of foreiga military jases and/or missiles in its cerritory. Also, the 3.5. Hvernment agens: pledge that it will not carry out, procote, or encourage actions o sestabilization against the broad-based provisional government or the government that es eiec:ed du:1.8cbis process. che Salvadoran Government would not endanger its ::0-: territory och act:vitses seeking to destabilize governments in neighboring cuies, aoz vould it allow the movement of weapons and foreign troops through its ::::y. It would promote the cosclusion of pacts of nonaggression and noninterven- to: la the uus's Esternal affas. 3. The Salvadoran Government's relations with the United States and Central America seuld be reoriented and based on incondicional respect for the rights of self- de::cination, ladependence, and cicaal sovereignty, and on mutual cooperation and Lierdependence. Thus, it would seek to achieve Morazan's ideal of Central American vaisy and would strive to free our region of foreign military forces. It would not participate in silita y alliances; consequently, it would withdraw from the CONDECA Cesszal aerican Defense Council;. it would actively participate in the promotion and development of regional organizations that can guarantee political solutions to Asterasional controversies with the conclusion of agreements that promote economic, social, and political unity. Procedures out I. order to carry this proposal, it is aecessary that a process of dialogue: aeger-acion be initiated that wou'd deal with the following aspects: .. In regard to the participants: 1. the parties in conflict: s. an M-FDR delegat 08. Å Salvadoran Government and added Forces delegation, and the U.S. ambassador for Cez::11 aperia or anotter U.S. Government representative. 653 1 veslators without power of resolucion, appointed with the parties' approval. :. ternationai "iscesses, such as representatiöes of the Contadora Group and other cesso:a::: governzeass. ase 1: 3:es: and unconditio:a: cialogue, organized by ore cr several mediators ... e:: con la a't or at the request of the parties, which would achieve sub- siaative negociar-cas, with the ageada for those regotiations and the specification sisaesses and procedures. Phase 2: Direct negociacions between the parties la conflict, with the mediators ac: a8 as soderators at the meetings, and with the attendance of ambassadors, appointed bereits de governmeats, as witnesses. C. Pledzes: The F-FDR state their willingness to negotiate a cease-fire once che process of dialogue and negociatica has begun and when it has reached an advanced Scage. Once the agreedeats are dran, the document would be signed by the parties la ccllc:, by the witaesses in their role of guarantors, and by the mediators. isedately afterwards, the agreements would be complied with in terms of the 23:eec-ca dates, ters, and order. his process will end with the organization of a siagée national army consisting of FLV and government Armed Forces and duly purged. Cachea, both aes would retain their own we &pons. :sised] General Command of the FLY, Executive Comittee of the FDR :3a:ed] El Salvador, 31 January 1984 : Source: Foreiga Broadcast Information Service, Volume VI Sumber 029, February 10, 1984. . 654 REVCI tar CIDE UNIDAD. SANDINISTA DE MISKITOS, SUMOS Y RAMAS (MISURASATA. viiv ARDE MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRATICO NICARAGUENSE (M.D.N.) FRESTE REVOLUCIONARIO SANDINO (F.A.S.) DINO FRENTE SOLIDARIDAD-DE:MOCRATA CRISTIANO (F.S.D.C.) Soiidaridad de Trabajadores Democraticos Nicaraguenses (S.T.D.V.) Directorio Revolucionario FOR PEACE AND DEMOCRACY IN NICARAGUA On the eve of his death, General Augusto Cesar Sandino, symbol of ar natiaality, deplored the high cost that we would have to continue to pay to achieve peace and social justice. Fifty years after his sacrifice, his fears have been fully confirmed. Nicaragua has undergone a drama of vast proportions in this half century, the social contradictions and causes of which are still present. For this reason, we, Nicaraguans, must think first and foremost of or country, to minimize the high cost in human lives that we are paying for ar political tragedy. ARDE has declared that its differences with the FSLN derive from the anti-democratic system that has been imposed by that government in our country. We have proposed in mumerous occassions the necessity to search for political solutions with the hope to put an end to the national arisis. However, the lack of response to ar initiatives has compelled us to take up weapons. On this occasion, we wish to stress ar position on the electoral process to the people of Nicaragua, to the democratic sectors within the FSLN and to the International caim odty. We are nationalist revolutionaries. We believe in consolidating the achievements of the revolution within a democratic framework that would guarantee authentic and effective plura listic participation. Only in this context, the different political tendencies of the nation could participate in facing ar multiple problems. 655 UNIDAD SANDINISTA DE MISKITOS, SUMOS Y RAMAS (MISURASATA). Crv -OVIMIENTO DEMOCRATICO NICARAGUENSE (M.D.N.) ARDE FRENTE REVOLUCIONARIO SANDINO (F.R.S.) Daca FREK'TE SOLIDARIDAD-DEMOCRATA CAISTIANO (F.S.D.C.) SATIES Diretorto Revolucionario We insist on this last point, because an electoral process that excludes the exdled democratic forces, would only serve to exarcebate the national contradictions and to frustrate the expectations for peace and regional secrides. On the basis of these and other considerations that have been pointed out by ar alliance, we present the following basic conditions that might render an electoral process trustworthy: 1. The point of departure tid put an end to the violence, that afflicts. the nation is for the FSLY -3 agree to an electoral compranise that would permit the participation, without exceptions, of all representative forces and their leaders in our country. 2. The FSLN must-denonstrate a gerudine caudament to democracy, and must end the superimposition of government functions over those of the party, and must pardalarly separate the army's functions from those of the party in powers. 3. The electoral process. should take place within a climate of national reconciliadan, under the supervision of a Latin American instance, with the appropiate legal. Instruments guaranteeing that legal procedures and aboration are applied throughout. 4. Ale public Liberties must be restored and appropiate measures should be created to guarantee the political activities of all opposition forces, tirétigh the creata of favorable conditions for all political party. actvides, . 5. The nules of the electoral process must be clearly defined. The basic guidelines for our parties must be established, and it must be pledged, publicly and formally, that the electoral results will be respected, even if they are adverse to the FSLN. 656 REVOL OLUCIO UNIDAD SANDINISTA DE MISKITOS, SUMOS Y RAMAS (MISURASATA). ANZA MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRATICO NICARAGUENSE (M.D.N.) ARDE FRENTE REVOLUCIONARIO SANDINO (F.A.S.) FRENTE SOLIDARIDAD DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO (F.S.D.C.) Direccorio Revolucionario 6. The various forms of institutionalized repression must be eliminated and the internationalists and foreign military officers who are playing roles that rightly belong to Nicaraguans must be sent away. If the FSLN, pledges to take and then does take specific steps to implement these legismate demands of those who are struggling for the restoration of the revolution's original program, ARDE would suspend military activities, under a priori guarantees by countries that have renained neutral in the conflict: We are not demanding power-sharing with the FSLN. We are only claiming the right of all Nicaraguans to participate in the electoral contest in equal conditions with the party in power. The FSLV has the historic opportunity to prove to the international community, that its electoral thetoric is based on its concern for saving the nation from wer and crisis. It should place the national interest before the interest of the party. We once more declare that we are willing to seek a dignifled and the soludia to ar national conflict. We thus render homage, on this soth sufversary, to Sandino's aspirations, who said that the highest duty of every good Nicaraguan citizen is to procure peace in Nicaragua. Sarapiqr, Department of Rio San Juan, Nicarague, February 18, 1984. San Jose, Costa Rica, February 20, 1984. Directorio Revolucionario De ARDE 657 DECLARATION OF THE NICARAGUAN DEMOCRATIC FORCE OF FEBRUARY 21, 1984 Nicaraguan Democratic Force (FDN), after carefully weighing our historic national reality and our current problems; and faced with the responsibility of finding a solution to the Nicaraguan civil was and providing for the peaceful coexistence of all nicaraguans in freedom and democracy, addresses itself to the ruta of the Government of National Reconstruction and requests that the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Contadora Group, in their meeting of February 27, 1984, take this document under consideration. The Nicaraguan conflict, which threatens the political and socio- economic stability of the Central American: region, is due both to Lotemal factors and to extracontinental agression it is at the same time the immediate and principal cause of the regional crisis. A bloody war is being waged within Nicaragua at a very high cost in human lives. This makes essential the search for formulas for peace, as was done La Jone of 1979 through the good offices of the Organization of American States. (OAS). In order to end the bloodshed and prevent the prolongation of this conflict, which contindes to disturb the peace of this continent, we propose the following PLAN FOR PEACE AND NATIONAL CONCILIATION, developed on the basis of the Resolution of the XVII Conference of Consultation of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Organization of American States, that will facilitate a durable and peaceful solution to the Nicaraguan problem: | 658 :: me imediate substinction of the Sardinista resine. 2) Installation in Nicaraguan territory o: 2 Democ:2tic Provisiona: Government o Jat:cual conciliatica, which should include the main denoc:atic coups representative of the opposition to the Scuoza and Sasciista seçimes, and which should select the free will of the Vicaragizo people. 3) Guarantees for the respect of human rights of all nicaraguaas without exception. 4) The initiation within one year of an authentic electoral process, conducted in liberty and surrounded by guarantees before, during and aites the casting of the vote that culminates in the election of national authorities. The process should be supervised by groups of actions such as Contadora and institutions the likes of the Organization of American States and the United Nations. For the initiatico add the implementasion of this plan, it is ingezztive that there exist & state of freedom and full observance of the civil and political sights of citizens, among which must be included the followiac measures: بع The immediate with cawat o£ foreiga (cuban, soviet, buiçarian, no coreai, palestinian, east german r etc.) military and security forces that bave established themselves as a toue occupa beton cury in Nicaragua. At the same time, withdrawal of all in- ternational mercencies involved in public administration, includ ing those gives nicaraguan citizenship after July 19, 1979. 5) he mediate separation from the Sandinista Armed Forces and other repressive organizations of individuals responsible for cines against their own people and against humanity. c) Suspension of the state of emergency which suspends the civil and political rights of Nicaraguan citizens. Promulgation of a genuine amnesty Iaw, covering political offenses 659 e) Derogation ci laws which violate internationally acceptec stancazė: o: human righes, such as Decree 48, the General Law on Communica- tions Media; Decree 1327, the Law on Patriotic Military Service; Decrees 759 ans 760 which violate the right to private property; and others :) dezagation of laws. sestricting freedom of labor unions; reestablish ment of the right to strike, the right to bargain collectively, and respect for interational labor agreements to which Nicaragua is a party. g) Establishment of the rule of law, througte the distribution of the powers af tice State among tree independent and complementary powers: the Legislativer the Judicial wd the Executive. 5) The establishment of the cigans at the state as true national organizations, apart from all political and ideological sec- tartani.ser and the total separation of the Sandinista party Esou the political and politary agencies of the State. · 1) As end to the persecutior and exterdination of sectors of the Nicaraguans population, especially that unleashed against those of Miskito. Suma and Rama origin. 3). Ad immediate end to religious persecution, and a total separation of the State and the so-called "Popular davrch". k) Repatriation of alI Nicaraguans with full guarantees of their rights as citizens. 1) Restoration to the Judiciary of its full functions, jurisdiction, and autonomy. 660 Senator HELMS. Mr. Morris. STATEMENT OF HON. JAY F. MORRIS, DEPUTY ADMINISTRATOR, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. MORRIS. Mr. Chairman, I would like to echo the sentiments of my colleague from the State Department. Knowing your famili- arity and the committee members' familiarity with the subject matter, I would prefer to submit my statement for the record, so that we can spend our time on a dialog. [Mr. Morris' prepared statement follows:] 661 PREPARED STATEMENT OF THE HONORA BLE JAY F. MORRIS DEPUTY ADMINIST RATOR AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. Chairman, I am pleased to appear before you to testify on the vitally important Central Ame rica Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984. Central America is in crisis. As the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America has documented, the economic, political and social turmoil of the region poses a serious threat to U.S. national interests. Immediate action is essential. This request embodies an action program to attack the fundamental economic, social and political problems of the region identified by the Bipartisan Commission. A separate request has been prepared to address the military and security issues facing the United States in the region. This request proposes a four-pronged program of stabilization, growth, equity and democratization measures to add ress the underlying problems identified by the Bipartisan Commission. Because aid alone cannot produce development, the assistance proposed here would be conditioned on demonstrations by the Central American governments of their commitment and ability to undertake fundamental economic and social reforms. THE REGION'S PROBLEMS Economic and social de velopment has been made most difficult by the presence of military conflict within the Central American region. Even we re this conflict to disappear, however, the region would still face four severe problems : economic instability, poor economic growth, economic and social inequity, and weak political and legal systems. Let me describe them. 1. Economic Instability. The combination of the 1979-1980 oil price increases and the commodity price declines between 1980 and 1983 opened up a gap of $1.5 billion in the region's balance of payments. The establishment of a Marxist government in Nicaragua and internal strife in El Salvador exacerbated this economic problem, leading to cutoffs of commercial credit, 662 · 2 - capital flight, and a dropoff in foreign investment. The financial difficulties left the countries unable to make payments for their Central American trade, resulting in a collapse of the intraregional payments system and a sharp contraction of intraregional trade. 2. Poor Growth Prospects. Sustained economic growth is the only mechanism over the long haul that can fundamentally change the reality of widespread poverty in the region. Yet prospects are poor for the traditional agricultural sectors, such as coffee, sugar and bananas, which in the past have fueled growth spurts. Opportunities for import substitution industries have been exhausted. Structural change is urgently needed to allow for diversification of production and exports and to increase productive employment opportunities for the region's rapidly growing labor force. Economic and Social Inequity. Though vastly different, three of the countries Guatemala, El Salvador and Nicaragua have limited capacity or willingness of government institutions to address the issues that are at the core of the development process. Unless the governments of these countries have the incentive and the means to come to grips with basic equity, social justice and participation issues in a manner that addresses the concerns of all sectors of their societies, their political stability and therefore that of the entire region will continue to be threatened. Honduras, the poorest country in the region, has so far managed to avoid the divisive internal conflicts of the three countries mentioned above. However, it needs improvements in the quality of life to prevent the emergence of such a situation. Weak Political and Legal Institutions. Related to the lack of equity in some of the countries is the lack of strong legal systems, the existence of unrepresentative political systems and an overall lack of concern for basic human rights. Costa Rica demonstrates that democratic political systems are indeed possible in the region and that they can play a crucial role in maintaining political stability and promoting broad development goals. Representative systems cannot be built overnight, nor can they be imposed from outside. But outside assistance can support indigenous efforts in this area. MULTIYEAR GOALS AND FUNDING REQUEST The funding requested here includes two elements: authorization of $8.3 billion in economic assistance and guarantees for Central America, to be available over the next six years; and a supplemental appropriation of $400 million in 663 - 3 - FY 1984 and a request for a $1,120 million appropriation in FY 1985, representing the first phase of implementation of this program. In the face of large federal deficits and urgent domestic priorities, such a request requires compelling justification. We believe that the report of the Bipartisan Commission provides this. The situation is so alarming, the Commission concluded, that "whatever the short-term costs of acting now, they are far less than the long-term costs of not acting now. If the proposed assistance can capture the imagination and energies of the people of Central America, we believe that it can support a dramatic turnaround in the development situation of the region and eliminate a potentially serious threat to U.S. national security. Our major goals for the five-year program are the following: an end to the downward spiral in production by 1985; -- achievement of an economic growth rate of at least 6% per year in the region within six years, producing more than 250,000 jobs annually through export-led growth; -- agricultural production increasing by 4$ per year by 1989, generating 80,000 jobs per year and increasing both food availability and agroindustrial exports; -- substantially greater participation of all sectors of the Central American population in the benefits of economic growth, including: -- -- an increase in primary school enrollments to 95% of the school-aged population by 1989 from the current 84%; a reduction in the rate of primary-level grade repeaters by 50% in all countries, and an increase in the primary level completion rates from 40% to 80% in Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador, and from 80% to 95% in Costa Rica, Panama and Belize by 1990; a reduction in infant mortality from the current rate of 65 per thousand to 55 per thousand by 1989; provision of modern family planning services to almost 600,000 couples, increasing contraceptive usage by 50% by 1989 and reducing birth rates by 1% each year; an increase of 25% in the rate of construction of low-income housing; and a 25% increase in the coverage of water and sewerage services by 1989. -- i i 664 -- a strengthening of democratic institutions in countries where they already exist, and achieving substantial progress toward participatory democracy and legal systems that respect individual human rights in the others. As proposed by the Bipartisan Commission, the assistance to Central America would be provided as part of a multiyear and collaborative approach in which our aid would be closely tied to commitments for economic and social reforms by the recipient governments. Our procedures will reflect flexibility, greater collaboration with governments and private groups in the region, and streamlined administration. A Central American Development Organization (CADO), consisting of highly experienced and respected representatives of Central America and the United States, will monitor and assess country performance against both economic and political goals. This approach follows the conclusion by the Bipartisan Commission that an integrated program attacking the four major problems of economic instability, poor economic growth, poor equity performance, and weak political and legal systems is essential. the area We propose that the full amount necessary for this entire program be authorized in FY 1984 to provide our friends with the assurance necessary to take difficult actions to meet the crisis. Our supplemental appropriation request in FY 1984 includes: 1 - 1 1 - $290 million of Economic Support Funas (ESF); $73 million in Development Assistance (DA); $ 25 million in P.L. 480 commodities; ang $12 million in other agency programs and increased operating expenses. In FY 1985, we are seeking appropriation of: - - 1 $641 million of ESF; $273 million in DA; $120 million in P.L. 480 commodities; $77 million for other programs and operating expenses; and $600 million in guaranty authority to support private lending to the region. PROGRAM STRATEGY Our Central American program strategy concentrates on four fundamental elements: economic stabilization, creation of a basis for long-term growth, promotion of equity, and strengthened democratic institutions and respect for human rights. 665 . - 5 5 - - A. Stabilization The immediate priority will be to achieve economic stabilization by eliminating unfinanced balance of payments and fiscal gaps through large-scale balance-of-payments assistance, conditioned on steps by governments to increase exports and conserve on imports for consumption to restore external balance, and to correct fiscal imbalances through increased taxes and spending controls. To assure this we will seek to operate within the framework of International Monetary Fund (IMF) stabilization programs. We expect this phase to require three to five years and $3.1 billion in U.S. Government assistance. This will include $2.5 billion in appropriated ESF, $0.1 billion in P.L. 480 commodities, and $0.5 billion in private trade credits guaranteed by the U.S. Government. The bulk of the funds will be provided bilaterally, but a portion will be channeled through Central American regional institutions to promote restoration of intraregional trade. The assistance will enable the region to increase imports of needed raw materials and capital goods to increase production and employment over the near term. Local-currency generations from this dollar assistance will be used in most cases to support other A.I.D. economic assistance goals, e.g., production credit, labor-intensive construction of economic infrastructure and the most pressing basic human needs in health, education and housing. B. Laying the Basis for Long-Term Growth The second element of our strategy is to lay the basis for self-sustaining growth that will provide productive employment for the people of the region. Rapid growth in productive job opportunities is the key to promotion of self-sustaining economic growth and to steadily rising incones, Our program for growth promotion through productive employment stresses reform of government economic policies, promotion of industry and agriculture, and creation of economic infrastructure. We believe that our approach can restore relatively rapid economic growth to the region (6% real growth per year) within five years. We propose funding of $3.9 billion for this purpose, including $1.7 billion in appropriated funds ($0.9 billion ESF, $0.4 billion DA, and $0.4 billion P.L. 480), $0.8 billion in local currency counterpart generations from economic 34-045 0-84-43 * 666 - 6 - stabilization assistance, and up to $1.3 billion in guarantees and insurance. The latter will include trade credits provided through A.I.D. and the Export-Import Bank and increased insurance coverage by the overseas Private Investment Corporation. 1. Policy reform. Increased employment is essential to achievement of long-term growth and equity goals. In the past, import-substitution policies have often discriminated against labor-using activities by making machinery artificially cheap. Such practices include interest rates that are negative in real terms, overvalued exchange rates, and very high tariff walls that encourage production of capital-intensive commodities. Eliminating such approaches would encourage more labor-intensive production methods and stimulate increased exports of both traditional and new products. Experience suggests that this policy approach offers the best prospect for creating the large-scale employment needed by the region's rapidly growing labor force while permitting steady growth in productivity and per capita incomes. In turn, this rapid growth in incomes and exports should permit an equally rapid growth in the imports of raw materials and other products needed to provide the productive employment that can support a higher living standard for the people of the region. 2. Industrial Employment. If the people of the region are to have the employment opportunities needed to increase their incomes substantially the industrial sector will need to play a major role. Over the medium term only the export market is iikely to provide the market potential needed to spur rapid industrial growth. Exports of nontraditional products from the region have in fact been growing rapidly over the past two decades (with annual growth of manufactured exports to the United States averaging about 30% per year), but they are still a small share of total production or exports. The implementation of the Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI), providing duty-free access to the U.S. market over the next 12 years, should provide a favorable environment for suct, ar expert strategy. U.S. assistance will directly assist in financing this effort through such activities as providing credit for imports of machinery for industry and technical assistance in investment promotion, product development and export marketing, and improved production methods. Increased activity by the International Executive Service Corps will be one vehicle for this. We expect the private sector to be willing to undertake much of the necessary financing itself where policies provide the proper incentives, while our assistance will be aimed at encouraging such policies. 667 - 7 3. Agricultural Production. Half of the region's labor force still works in agriculture. Experience indicates that small farmers are the most productive users of land resources, yet they lack adequate access in several of the countries of the region to credit, modern technology and marketing services that would unleash this capacity. We believe that agricultural production can be increasing by 4$ per year by the end of the five-year period. This would increase food availability internally and generate exports of nontraditional agricultural and agroindustrial products, besides providing about 80,000 new jobs per year. Our program includes credit for small farmers and dissemination of improved technology both directly and through promotion of private and public mechanisms, including cooperatives. Our policy dialogue will focus on price and marketing reforms to provide better incentives to farmers. 4. Economic Infrastructure. Our strategy also proposes substantial Funding for economic infrastructure. In the relatively less-developed countries of the region, provision of basic economic infrastructure roads, communications, urban services can be important in facilitating increased production of manufactured and agroindustrial products. Moreover, financing of such infrastructure is likely to increase economic activity and, by using labor-intensive techniques, increase employment relatively quickly. Of course, the multilateral banks will continue to be the main source of financing for infrastructure projects. C. Equity and Broad Participation in Development The third element of the strategy is aimed at improving the quality of life of less advantaged groups. Access to employment and other sources of productivity growth, such as modern agricultural technology and improved inputs, have already been mentioned above because they provide a means of achieving equity goals in a manner that also stimulates rapid economic growth. Altogether, we propose a total of $3.1 billion in assistance in direct support for our equity goals. This figure inciudes $1.7 billion in dollar funds appropriated for this purpose (including $1.4 billion in DA, $0.1 billion in P.L. 480 Title II commodities, and $0.2 billion in programs administered by the Peace Corps and the State Department), $0.2 billion in Housing Guaranty funds, and $1.2 billion in local currency counterpart funds from ESF and P.L. 480 assistance provided for balance-of-payments support. In addition, the $3.9 billion provided to support long-term growth could be included in this 668 - 8 - category because it supports the productive jobs and increased incomes that are the most powerful vehicle in the long term for meeting basic needs. The principal direct equity-oriented measures being supported include the following: 1. Education. We propose to support primary education, expansion of skills training and vocational education, and higher education in the United States. At the primary level, we propose to expand access to the system to nearly 100% of the school-aged population and to increase the relevance and quality of the education to reduce grade repetition and dropouts. Major program elements will include school construction, teacher training, and production and distribution of textbooks and educational materials. The efforts in the literacy field will include both support for indigenous public education institutions and for use of Peace Corps volunteers to supplement their efforts. We also propose to provide 10,000 scholarships over the next five years for study in the United States. We have found that those Latin American government officials who are most effective in promoting development in the region and in promoting democratic values are quite often the product of past U.S. Government-financed participant training. Moreover, scholarships to communist-bloc countries are apparently available in much greater number than those for u.s. study. In some countries, this had led to cadres of bloc-trained professionals in government ministries. Our scholarship assistance will address this challenge, in addition to augmenting the number of high-level professionals necessary for the accelerated development effort and to increasing the understanding by Central Americans of U. S. values. The scholarship program will be administered by A.I.D. and the United States Information Agency (U.S.I.N.). 2. Health and Nutrition. We will support increased action to improve health conditions, particularly in rural areas, where government programs are inadequate. Control of Talaria and other vector-borne diseases, dissemination of oral renyaration therapy, and training of health workers will be major elements of our program. We will expand our technical assistance and education efforts for nutrition improvement, and expand our food aid programs. The Peace Corps will cooperate in inplementing our health and nutrition programs, and U.S.I.A. will help in translating and disseminating educational materials. 669 - 9 1 3. Family Planning. Despite a significant reduction in birth rates in Central America over the past decade, the rate of population growth in Central America remains around 3% per year. Such high growth rates strain countries' capacities to provide adequate nutrition, education, health care, and employment opportunities for their populations and result in serious soil erosion and other environmental degradation in many areas. Access to contraceptives and to accurate family planning information is essential if poorer people are to have the opportunity to limit family size. Studies have shown that lack of information is an obstacle to increased contraceptive use, and that young children in large poor families in the region tend also to suffer from malnutrition. We will empahsize private institutions in our approach. 4. Access to Land. Improved access to land may be the most rapid way to provide opportunity to poor groups in some of the countries of the region. Colonization of new lands can provide part of the solution, but some form of land reform may be a necessary element of a program in this sector. This would be the case particularly in Guatemala where access to land in the central highlands, where the bulk of the Indian population lives, is a severe constraint to improved living standards. Our program will support efforts to increase land availability for poor rural families through support for colonization, through legal reforms needed to increase security of land titles, and through long-term financing for land purchase. 5. we can Shelter. Much of the population of the isthmus lives in substandard housing which lacks water, sewerage ana electricity services. Although remedying this problem will require both decades and massive financial resources, make progress through support for institutional improvements in housing finance mechanisms and by innovative programs such as "sites and services" projects that can mobilize the labor resources of beneficiary families at low cost. Our Housing Guaranty program will be used to channel private funds toward the solution of the severe shortage of low- and moderate-income housing while it generates substantial employment. 6. Refugees and Displaced Persons. The tragedy of forced dislocation due to political violence has exacerbated the poverty of many. Central Americans. In some cases this has led to the spillover of migrants to other countries, including the United States. In El Salvador and Guatemala it has resulted in the internal dislocation of hundreds of thousands of people now living in deprived circumstances. We propose to expand our program of assistance for displaced persons to meet their cash income, health, nutritional, and educational needs 670 - 10 10 - in the near term and to assist in relocation or return to their homes as conditions permit. The State Department will be responsible for administering the refugee program, while A.I.D. will assist the displaced persons. D. Democratic Institutions and Human Rights The ultimate purpose of economic development is improved human well being. If we succeed in generating economic growth in the region without broadening the respect for basic human values we not only will fail to achieve our purpose but will be sowing the seeds of a future crisis when internal conflict again becomes violent revolution. It is important to realize, however, that we cannot determine the path chosen by the people of the region. But we can provide our moral and financial support to those elements and those countries which choose democratic processes and which respect human rights. As a key element in providing the economic assistance under this program, we propose to take into account the situation in each country that responds to commitments regarding free elections, independence of the judiciary system, and respect for individual rights. We also plan specific activities in several areas to support this element of our strategy. First, we will support strengthening of the administration of justice through technical assistance, training and material support for the courts, criminal investigative agencies, public prosecutors and defenders, justice ministries, law schools and bar associations. Second, we will provide assistance to improve the administration of elections. Third, we will foster democratic leadership development, and international collaboration of democratic forces. Finally, as discussed in the section dealing with education, broader understanding of democratic values will be pursued through scholarships and educational materials on democracy and democratic institutions provided by the U.S.I.A. Since funding for each of the countries in the region will be affected by performance with respect to democracy and respect for human rights, the entire $8.3 billion we propose for the region will support our objectives in this area. In specific projects, we propose $340 million in funding for democracy and human rights initiatives. IMPLEMENTATION In order to carry out this ambitious program, we propose several departures from past practices. 671 - il First, we intend to encourage the establishment of an organization representing the public and private (including business and labor) sectors of participating Central American countries to serve as a forum for a frank and open dialogue on Central American political, economic and social development. CADO would not, as we envision it, be a large bureaucracy but would meet periodically and contain a minimum number of staff necessary to achieve the purposes set out below. CADO would also be structured so as to have labor representation. While the specific makeup and functions of CADO will need to be developed in consultation with the Central Americans, our current view is that it should: Li establish goals and targets for economic, political and social development; recommend country performance criteria; evaluate external assistance needs, and recommend resource mobilization actions; measure country performance against goals and targets, and recommend corrective action where countries fall short; and be influential in affecting the level and structure of U.S. bilateral assistance for Central America. -- Second, we believe that greater flexibility is needed with respect to use of the funds than has existed in the past. The requirement that all funds appropriated in each fiscal year be obligated in the same year can require us to make difficult choices between approving programs where a recipient government has not yet taken needed steps or of losing the funds entirely. The earmarking of funds by country has reduced our ability to encourage governments to take necessary policy reforms. We therefore request that the Congress provide two-year appropriations for this program and that appropria- tions not be made with country-level earmarkings. The implementation of the program will also require an increase in support costs for A.I.D. This includes additional direct-hire employees, plus increased operating expenses associated with the program. We propose additional funding of $2.5 million in FY 1984 and $6 million in FY 1985 to support this program. Third, we seek to increase the role played in the development process. by private voluntary organizations to the maximum extent feasibie. In implementing the CBI we have developed closer relationships with these organizations than previously and have provided substantial funding to them. We intend to continue this effort. 672 - 12 12 - Absorptive Capacity Finally, I want to make a few comments on the capacity of the Central American countries to absorb productively the proposed assistance. While our program is ambitious, I am convinced that it is both feasible and essential. I believe that a more modest program might be undercut by the political uncertainty, insurgency in some countries, low commodity prices and economic depression that now chacacterize the region. Let me address the principal concerns. Overall size is the first issue. The proposed appropriations of $1.12 billion for FY 1985 for economic assistance represents less than 5% of the region's GNP, and less than the $1.5 billion in short fall in export earnings from lower coffee and sugar prices and higher costs for imported oil. Our initial effort is to stop the region's spiraling economic decline, and get economic growth back into a positive range. In this situation, the depressed state of the region's economy and the existing excess capacity make potential bottlenecks of little immediate concern. As the world economy recovers, our aid should make possible a positive rate of economic growth but the essential point is that our aid is only reducing scarcity of resources, not providing abundance, I would also note that we have provided higher levels of aid relative to GNP to other parts of the world. The limited implementation and management capacity of the Central American governments is a second concern. Serious deficiencies do exist as one would expect in poor countries, but they have not created unusual implementation problems in the past. We are taking several steps to minimize such problems as the aid level rises. First, the largest part of the assistance will go to the private sector (including private voluntary groups) rather than to government programs, particularly during the early years. Second, we will provide substantial technical assistance and training for government officials to streamline operations and increase efficiency. Third, governnent investments and social programs have been dramatically cut back as a result of the region's financial problems, so significant capacity for expansion is already in place. Finally, I consider government policies on an equal par with good management in determining effective absorptive capacity. Without policy reform to assure effective use of our funds, we may end up subsidizing inefficiency or policies that benefit only a few. CADO plays a crucial role in such reforms. We see it as a vehicle for assuring that our assistance is indeed tied to action on the whole range of policies economic, social, and political. Thank you. 673 Senator HELMs. Very good. My distinguished colleague says, won- derful. You are all gaining in popularity by the minute. Does that put any pressure on you, Mr. Beckington? STATEMENT OF HON. HERBERT BECKINGTON, INSPECTOR GENERAL, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. BECKINGTON. Yes, it does, Mr. Chairman. I do not have a statement. [The Inspector General's report on agrarian reform in El Salva- dor follows:] 674 AGENCE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT THE INSPECTOR CENERAL AGRARIAN REFORM IR EL SALVADOR A REPORT ON ITS STATUS AUDIT DEPORT NC. 1-519-04-2 JANUARY 13, 1994 Kroatia Generalforucit 675 AGRARIAN REFORM IR EL SALVADOR A REPORT ON ITS STATUS AUDIT REPORT NC. 1-519-34-2 JANUARY 13, 1964 Under extremely difficult conditions, the Government of El Salvador initiated a large-scale Agrarian Reform Program. Much has been accomplished. The program has redistributed over 200,000 hectares of land to cooperatives and individuals. Yet, the three phases of the Agrarian Reform, which have received about $200 million in AID assistance, have have had mixed results. Most Phase I cooperatives are not financially viable. Their future seems bleak without additional assistance. Implementation of Phase II has not been initiated. Phase III has had some limited success but it has many significant problem problem areas with less than one-half of the eligible recipients applying to purchase the property to which they are entitled. 676 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page No. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY i I. INTRODUCTION Background to the Agrarian Reform Program i II. PURPOSE AND SCOPE 4. III. U.S. FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO EL SALVADOR'S AGRARIAN REFORM PROGRAM 5 IV. AID'S INVOLVEMENT IN INITIATING THE EL SALVADORAN AGRARIAN REFORM 7 V. ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF THE THREE PHASES OF THE AGRARIAN REFORM PROGRAM 8 Phase I Phase II Phase III 8 24 25 VI. REVIEW OF THE AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT BANK (BFA) 28 VII. COMPLIANCE WITH FUNDING RESTRICTIONS 36 677 GLOSSARY AID Agency for International Development BCR Banco Central de Reserva (Central Reserve Bank) BFA Banco de Fomento Agropecuario (Agricultural Development Bank) CPA Certified Public Accountant DI ECRA la Desarrollo Integral de Empresas de Reforma (Integrated Development of Agrarian Reform Enterprises) Agraria FAA Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 as Amended FEDECRE DI TO Federacion de Cajas de Credito (Credit Union Federation) FEDECACES Federacion de Asociaciones Cooperativas de Ahorro y Credito de El Salvador (Savings and Loans Cooperative Associations Federation of El Salvador) FESACORA Federacion Salvadorena de cooperativas de la Reforma Agraria (National Federation of Agrarian Reform Cooperatives) FINATA Finance Financiera Nacional de Tierras Agricolas ( (National Office for Phase III Agrarian Reform Lands) GOES Government of El Salvador ISTA Instituto Salvadoreno de Transformacion Agraria (Salvadoran Institute for Agrarian Transformation) MAG Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganaderia (Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock) OAS Organization of American States 678 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The El Salvadoran agrarian reform program was initiated in March 1980. The originating decrees provided reform plans which called for expropriating and redistributing all landholdings of 100 hectares or more. The reform program consists of three phases. Phase I concerns land holdings of over 500 hectares. Phase II concerns landholdings of 100 to 500 hectares. Phase III concerns land worked by renters or sharecroppers (Land to the Tiller). Only Phases I and II I have been implemented so far. We reviewed the agrarian reform program to determine its status and to verify uses of selected AID funding. Our field work was conducted during May-October, 1983. We found that large amounts of land have been made available to peasants and numerous cooperatives have been established for increased agricultural production under the agrarian reform program. These changes have taken place during a time of civil disorders, without a full public consensus about all aspects of land reform and with limited institutional capability to implement the program. Considerable progress has been made under these difficult condi- tions. Over 200,000 hectares of land has been redistributed to an estimated 500,000 peasants (including family members). Continued progress under this program is, however, heavily dependent upon further financia? and other support by the Government of El Salvador. It should be noted that during the course of this review we found a broad consensus of opinion amongst both V.S. and El Salvadoran participants, plan- ners and observers of the agrarian reform program that the existence of the program represents a remarkable break with the historical tradition of land- holdings and use in El Salvador. Further, the consensus seemed to view the break with the past to be essentially irreversible. AID's funds have been used directly, and indirectly through supporting project activities, to achieve project objectives. In some cases, however, the funds have been used for purposes that were contrary to agreements between the two countries. Phases of the Agrarian Reform Program Phase 1, by the fall of 1983, had reached a number of the program's goals. Yet it is clear that substantial additional effort and support is vital if the gains to date are to be preserved and progress toward the goals of this phase of the program is to be maintained. Under the difficult conditions existing in El Salvador throughout the three-and-one-half year history of this phase the responsible agency, the Institute for Agraian Transformation (ISTA), is still striving to accomplish a number of key program elements. (See page 8.) Phase II has not been initiated by the Ei Salvadoran government (see page 24.) - i 679 Phase III had reached approximately the half way point in its stated goal of providing land to the tiller. About one-half of the eligible recipients of land under this phase had applied by April 1983 for the property they are entitled to under this program. Our statistical sample indicated that somewhat less than half of those who had applied were actually working the property at the time of our survey. The El Salvadoran Agency (FINATA) responsible for implementing this phase is enthusiastic about the program and has made concerted efforts to fulfill its functions. Yet, the security situation, resistance by resistance by numerous landlords, and ambivalence within the military have limited program accomplishments. (See page 25.) The future success of the agrarian reform program largely depends upon action to (1) make Phase I cooperatives financially viable operations; (2) effectively implement Phase II reforms, and (3) facilitate the application, registry, transfer of ownership, and use of Phase III farm lands. Agricultural Development Bank The El Salvadoran Agricultural Development Bank (BFA) plays a vital role in the reform program by providing agricultural credit. BFA's financial con- dition has been precarious due to the inability of many of its clients (pri- marily Phase I cooperatives) to repay loans obtained from the Bank. The added responsibilities of about 100 Phase I cooperatives and the Phase III recipients assigned to BFA under the agrarian reform program have overtaxed BFA'S re- sources, weakened its capital structure and have led to a break down in its internal controls system. (See page 28.) BFA has used the equivalent of about $1.4 million of AID funds for unallow- able activities. AID must recover that amount. (See page 32.) Mission Comments The Director, USAID Mission to El Salvador, responded to a draft of this report on December 7, 1983. The Director said that the report failed to adequately recognize the accom- plishments of the agrarian reform program in the real world context in which it has taken place. He said the report treated Phase I ongoing processes as no accomplishments at all. The Director agreed that the financial viability of the Phase I coopera- tives was the major obstacle to the success of the reform program. He said that management and restructuring of the debt were: needed to establish finan- cial viability of the cooperatives. He said the debt load of the cooperatives must be restructured before they can reasonably be expected to be financially successful. He said the key to restructuring the debt was legislation which would separate the equating of the cooperatives' agrarian reform debt with the compensation paid to former landowners. The Director did not consider the cooperatives poor land quality and excessive memberships as major reasons for the financial problems. The Director also criticized the mentodology we used in projecting the results of our examination of selected Pnase I cooperatives and Phase III beneficiaries. . ii. 680 With respect to the BFA, the Director agreed that at the outset of the agrarian reform program, the Bank was neither administratively nor financially prepared for the task. He said, however, that improvements have been made and that the BFA was stronger today than it was prior to inception of the program. The Director did not offer any comments about compliance with the restrictions placed on AID funds. The Director's comments were considered in preparing the final report. -iii- 681 1. INTRODUCTION 1 In October 1979 civil violence culminated in a coup d'etat under which a group of military officers seized control and established a five-member civil- ian/military Junta. That Junta issued an Armed Forces Proclamation which set forth the purpose of the coup d'etat and the objectives of the new government. The proclamation condemned the abuses of past regimes and announced a National Emergency Program for accomplishing major changes in political, economic and social structures. Among other things, the proclamation called for a major agrarian reform program. In early 1980, the Government of El Salvador (GOES) requested AID assis- tance on such a program. The GOES advised AID that plans were incomplete but the program would be guided by the following principles: The structure of land ownership would be fundamentally altered in favor of the campesino (rural peasants) sector. - The program would be national in scope and would cover all crops. to special crops, 0 No exceptions would be made for lands devoted including coffee. The program would be carried out with and for the campesinos with the government actively supporting the development of rural organizations, cooperatives, unions, communal associations, and whatever other forms of institutions the campesinos decided upon. The program would not attempt to provide a small parcel for each cam- pesino and the concern for productivity would necessitate some crite- ria for minimum units of production. The GOES in April 1980, modified this principle to allow for Phase III of the program. Background to the Agrarian Reform Program Land tenure is an important social, political, and economic issue in El Salvador. In an attempt to deal with the land tenure issue, the Government of El Salvador in 1932 established an agrarian reform agency in the aftermath of a large scale revolt which resulted in the death of about 10,000 campesinos. From 1932 to 1975, government agencies reportedly acquired 67,711 hectares 1/ of land. About 80 percent of that land reportedly was adjudicated to 10,700 families over a period of 43 years. Between 1932 and 1975, the agra- rian reform agency went through several changes of name, organizational struc- ture, and operational methods. The present organization, created on June 6, 1975, is called the Salvadoran Institute of Agrarian Transformation (ISTA). ISTA'S general objectives are to raise the social and economic level of the small farmer by providing land, technical assistance, credit and other bene- fits as well as to increase agricultural production and productivity. 17 One hectare = 2.47 acres. . 1 . 34-045 0-84-444 682 Government Decrees Nos. 153 and 154 dated March 5, 980 are the legal bases of the new agrarian reform program. These Decrees established the para- meters of the reform, the initial plans for implementing Phase I, and assigned responsibility for implementing the program to the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAG) and ISTA. On April 28, 1980, the GOES issued Decree No. 207 which is the legal basis for Phase III. The Decree also contains the initial plans for implementing Phase III. ISTA did not have the resources to implement both Phase I and Phase III. To resolve this problem, the GOES issued Decree No. 525 on December ll, 1980. That Decree created a new organization called the National Finance Office for Agrarian Reform Lands (FINATA). FINATA was charged with implementing Phase III (Land to the Tiller). FINATA's objectives for Phase III were the same as those assigned to ISTA. Phase I The GOES began implementing Phase I (expropriation and distribution of landholdings in excess of 500 hectares) on March 6, 1980. On that day, ISTA, in coordination with various elements of the El Salvadoran government began presenting legal expropriation documents to owners of properties containing more than 500 hectares of land. As of March 31, 1983, ISTA had acquired ap- proximately 426 17 properties under Phase I authority. These properties were organized into approximately 317 17 production units called coopera- tives. The cooperatives' members and ISTA co-manage the units. Phase I cooperatives are classified according to who financed their pro- duction and investment credits. One classification of cooperatives consists of those who receive production credits from the quasi governmental agricul- tural development bank (BFA). BFA is the single largest provider of produc- tion and investment credits to these cooperatives and AID provided funds go through BFA to 94 Phase I cooperatives. The remaining Phase I cooperatives receive their credits from one or more of the various commercial banks that provide funds for agricultural purposes. Financing from the commercial banks for Phase I cooperatives is referred to as mixed bank financing. Phase II Phase II was to have dealt with the expropriation and distribution of landholdings from 100 or 150 hectares (depending on the classification of the land) to 500 hectares. This phase has not been initiated. Phase III This phase was initiated on April 28, 1980. At that time, the GOES esti- mated that about 160,000 persons were eligible to receive land under Phase III 1/ These figures are estimated because neither USAID/El Salvador nor ISTA was certain what the exact totals were on any given date. - 2 - 683 authority. Subsequently, they reduced the estimated number to 117,000. The implementation period of Phase III has been extended three times and is due to expire on June 30, 1984. As of March 31, 1983, about 50,000 individuals, or less than half of the 117,000 eligible, had filed applications requesting approvai to purchase land. 17 1/ Prior to issuance of this report, FINATA reported that as of December 25, 1983, they had received 75,967 applications from 60,733 individuals. - 3 - 684 II. PURPOSE AND SCOPE The Office of the Regional Inspector General for Audit/Latin America reviewed the agrarian reform program in El Salvador. The review was made in the United States and in El Salvador during May to October 1983. We sought to answer these questions: 1) How much funding has AID provided for the program? 2) What was AID's involvement in initiating the program? 3) How well, is the program working? 4) Has BFA used AID funds properly? 5) Has AID complied with funding restrictions? To answer these questions, we reviewed pertinent files and interviewed officials in AID/Washington, USAID/El Salvador, the U.S. Embassy in San Salvador and various GOES organizations. We examined pertinent books and records in BFA's central office in El Salvador and selected branch offices in various parts of the country. We visited beneficiaries under Phase I and Phase III of the program and made such other tests and reviews as we con- sidered necessary under the circumstances. Our field work was limited by the war to secure areas in El Salvador. . The secure areas varied from day to day. Incomplete, inaccurate, and at times non-existent records hampered formation of definitive conclusions. - - 4- 685 III. U.S. FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO EL SALVADOR'S AGRARIAN REFORM PROGRAM Since fiscal year 1980, AID has provided over $200 million in support of the agrarian reform program. As of March 31, 1983, about $29 million of AID funds had been provided to the Agricultural Development Bank (BFA). BFA used these AID funds to provide production and investment credits to Phase I and Phase III recipients. The remaining AID funds were provided to various activities in support of ongoing reform activities. U.S. Assistance to El Salvador in Support of the Agrarian Reform Program 5000) FY 1983 Through 3/31/83 FY 1983 Planned Through 9/30/83 FY 1980 FY 1981 FY 1982 Total Title Devevelopment Assis- tance Projects !! $14,400 $10,273 $18,625 $ $34,050 $77,348 Economic Support Projects (ESF) 7,577 1,600 400 1,600 11,177 Subtotal $21,977 $10,273 $20,225 $400 $35,650 $88,525 P.L. 480, Title I Direct 2,880 8,800 5,500 11,176 N/A 28,356 Indirect 21 5,575 9,000 4,563 N/A 19,138 Economic Support Funds Direct 20,000 N/A 20,000 Indirect 3/ 36,200 20, 100 N/A 56, 300 Subtotal $2,880 $34,375 $50,700 $35,839 N/A $123,794 Total $24.857 $44.648 $70, 925 $36,239 $35,650 $212.319 1/ Indirect AID development assistance to the Agrarian Reform sector has been channeled through various ongoing projects. These projects are briefly described on page 6. 2/ GOES-owned funds generated under sales of P.L. 480, Title I commodities, but agree- ments between AID and the GOES required their use for agrarian reform support. 31 ESF generations were used in support of GOES 1982 and 1983 Fiscal Monetary Program which included Colones 90.6 million ($36.2 million) in 1982 and Colones 50.2 ($20.1 million) in 1983 for support of support of the operational needs of the agrarian reform program. (U. S. $1.00 = 2.5 colones). • 5 - 686 The Small Producer Development Project (No. 519-0229) is providing $9.750 million (loan $9 million; Grant $750,000) for technical and training assis- tance. Also this project is providing capital to FEDECACES and FEDECREDITO (local credit union federations) for relending to individuals and cooperatives. FEDECREDITO is currently servicing 18 Phase I cooperatives and many small farmers participating in this project will be Phase III beneficiaries. The Public Sector Employment Project (No. 519-0256) is financing irrigation systems, rural water reservoirs, reforestation and soil conservation activities in rural areas which in many cases, include the agrarian reform sector. AID assistance to this project through March 31, 1983 has totaled $40.505 million. The Small Farm Irrigation Systems Project (No. 519-0184) is providing $2.3 million in tandem with the Public Sector Employment Project to finance the construction of irrigation subprojects in the agrarian reform sector. Twenty- one subprojects have been completed to date. Eight are underway and an addi- tional eight are in the planning stage. The Rural Small Enterprise and cooperative Development Project (No. 519- 0286) is providing about $1 million in support to strengthen farm cooperatives and enterprises, primarily in the agrarian reform sector, and to develop the newly formed Salvadoran Federation of cooperatives of the Agrarian Reform (FESACORA). - 6 - 687 IV. AID'S INVOLVEMENT IN INITIATING THE EL SALVADORAN AGRARIAN REFORM One of the questions we sought to answer was whether AID was actively involved in initiating the current agrarian reform program. From our review of the record, it is clear that AID had no advance notice of the October 1979 coup d'etat or the new government's intention to initiate major agrarian reforms. In the Spring of 1976, USAID/El Salvador attempted to develop a project to support the then newly created ISTA in its land acquisition and redistribution program. In late 1976, however, ISTA announced that it planned to expropriate some 56,000 hectares of good land in the Usulutan area. Following that an- nouncement, resistance developed against ISTA's plan and the GOES legislature terminated ISTA's legal expropriation powers. AID at that point stopped act- ively promoting an agrarian reform program. With no advance notice of the new government's land reform program, AID nevertheless moved quickly to plan a program to support the effort and signed its initial project agreements to this end in July of 1980. - 7 - 688 V. ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF THE THREE PHASES OF THE AGRARIAN REFORM PROGRAM The agrarian reform program has succeeded in dividing dividing over 200,000 hectares of land among an estimated 500,000 (including family members) of the peasant class, many of whom previously were without land. Over 300 agricultural cooperatives have been created with the objective of establishing viable, self-sufficient, participatory family businesses for many peasants. These changes have taken place in the midst of cevere civil strife, less than complete public support for the reform movement, and with the inherent institutional limitations of a developing country. Notwithstanding these accomplishments, the future of Phase I cooperatives seems bleak without further substantial reforms. Most Phase I cooperatives are not producing sufficient income to be viable organizations. Income is deficient in part due to the poor quality of lands and excessive membership in the cooperatives. Most Phase I cooperatives have little chance to recover on their own. Phase II has not been started. Phase III appears to be moving ahead but less than half of the eligible recipients have filed applications for property transfers. Phase I The GOES pre-implementation planning for Phase I was limited. Both the GOES and AID were in the difficult position of dealing concurrently and on a continuing basis with the development of a rational planning process and with implementation problems resulting from lack of prior planning. The GOES announced the new agrarian reform program concurrently with the coup d'etat of October 15, 1979. Although the coup apparently was well planned and implemented, it was evident that little preplanning had taken place for implementing the agrarian reform program. The precipitous manner in which the Junta announced its intentions to initiate the program left AID without a policy statement, strategy, or plan of assistance at that time. The lack of preplanning documentation greatly hindered our evaluation of agrarian reform activities. There was no agreed to baseline data, no specific targeted data, or pre-established required inputs to accomplish program goals: In an attempt to obtain data on preplanning and implementation plans, we interviewed the Minister of Planning, the Minister of Agriculture and the Directors of ISTA and FINATA. These officials said that the Decrees were the only preplanning documents and detailed plans the program available. There were, for example, no pre-established numbers on the amount of land involved overall or in each phase, nor the amount of funding required for compensation. no on were con- The GOES' general objectives for the agrarian reform program were tained in Decree No. 153 of March 5, 1980. Decree No. 154 of March 5, 1980, initiated Phase I. Parts of the two Decrees are presented below: .8. 689 Decree No. 153 "For the purpose of this law, agrarian reform shall be understood to mean the transformation of the country's agrarian structure and the incorporation of the rural popu- lation into the economic, social and political development of the nation through the substitution of the latifundia system by a more just system including property or land and the exploitation of landholdings, based on an equitable distribution of land, an adequate credit system, and com- prehensive assistance to the producers in order that land become the basis of economic stability for the peasant, as the basis of his greater well-being and guarantee of his freedom and dignity. "The agrarian reform shall be applied throughout the entire national territory, without regard to crop, location, pro- ductivity, land tenure system, quality of soil, or any variable; therefore, all land used for agricultural, live- stock or forestry exploitation shall be affected by this law, with the exceptions and limitations established by the law itself. "Land affected by the present law is understood to be any property within the national territory belonging to one or more individuals, estates, or associations exceeding one hundred hectares for land within classifications I, II, III and IV; and one hundred and fifty hectares for land within classifications V, VI, and VII. These classifications constitute the right to land ownership reserved for land- holders." Decree No. 154 "In order to implement the execution of the first stage of the Agrarian Reform throughout the country, which will include expropriation of landholdings in excess of FIVE HUNDRED HECTARES, either as a whole or a combination of several units belonging to one or more individuals, estates or associations, the Salvadoran Institute for Agrarian Reform is hereby authorized to proceed to immediate inter- vention and taking of possession of landholdings involved, through delegates of that institution or of the Ministry of Agriculture. Decree No. 153 makes clear that the GOES' goal was to expropriate and distribute all landholdings used for agricultural purposes exceeding 100 or 150 hectares, depending on land classification. Decree No. 154 authorized the first phase of the reform expropriation and distribution of landholdings in excess of 500 hectares. - 9 - 690 By March 1980, when the decrees were issued, AID had had insufficient time to develop an overall implementation plan for the reform program. Concurrent with the GOES issuance of Decree Nos. 153 and 154 on March 5, 1980, the agrarian reform program became the focal point of AID assistance to El Salvador. The status of political, military, and economic reforms has changed so frequently and moved so quickly that AID has been left in the posi- tion of trying to keep up with the current state of this large and complex program. Nevertheless, AID has made a concerted effort from the beginning to identify constraints to implementing agrarian reform activities and assisting the GOES by developing specific projects to deal with identified problem areas. As a result, AID has numerous projects and funding sources flowing into insti- tutions associated with the agrarian reform. Each of these AID inputs has a specified purpose, objective and implementation plan. Moving quickly, USAID/El Salvador, in May 1980, issued a Strategy Paper for assistance to the agrarian reform sector. AID's basic strategy was to analyze the program, identify bottlenecks and constraints to implementation, and develop projects to assist the GOES in dealing with the problem areas. Data on Program Accomplishments are Limited Attempts to establish the accomplishments under Phase I were hampered by the lack of and the unreliability of available data. Data on ail phases of the program were limited and the accuracy of most data suspect. Accordingly, much of the data examined and reviewed in this report were estimates or approximations. Complete or reliable numbers were unavailable from ISTA on many Phase I reform activities. We could not establish why the information was unavailable but as of September 1983, about 3-1/2 years after initiation of the reform program, ISTA still had not completely: 1) surveyed the properties expropriated. 2) established the amount of land involved. 3) established the class of lands involved. 4) established the amounts owed to the previous owners. 5) established the amounts due from the cooperatives. 6) determined the number of properties expropriated. In response to our draft report, the AID Mission noted the tasks listed above were ongoing. The Mission provided us with data that they indicated showed progress on the part of the GOES in adjudicating properties and in obtaining knowledge about what was happening on Phase I farms. With respect to item (6) above, the Mission noted that the number of properties expropriated was 194, o figure which "has been a constant ...". This assertion of a "constant" 194 is illustrative of the degree of confusion which we found so pervasively present in the data and baseline information concerning the agra- rian reform program. For example: - 10 - 691 1 USAID/El Salvador in its Project Paper on agrarian reform organization dated September 29, 1980 gave this figure as 238. - The GOES Ministry of Agriculture reported in July 1982 that the number of properties expropriated under the reform program was 278. Checchi and Company, in an AID financed study on the agrarian reform program, reported in January 1983 that the number was 262. USAID/El Salvador in its Propect Paper on the Agrarian Reform Sector Support dated May 23, 1983, reported that the number of properties expropriated under Phase I was 360. On September 19, 1983, ISTA advised the auditors that the number of properties expropriated under Phase I was 207. Neither AID nor the related GOES offices had reliable information on other aspects of the program. For example, we were unable to obtain a reliable listing of cooperatives formed by ISTA under Phase I. After we determined that AID did not have a listing of the cooperatives, we worked with ISTA for three weeks trying to develop a complete listing of Phase I cooperatives as of March 31, 1983. We settled for the listing of 317 cooperatives that ISTA finally prepared for us. We found many errors in the information presented by ISTA. Nevertheless, the listing of 317 cooperatives and related information were the best data on cooperatives available at that time and we used it as the basis for our audit work on Phase I. Financial information from banks also was questionable. For example, iriformation on loans, expenditures and repayments were frequently reported from a branch bank to its home office by telephone or radio. Documents were not always provided the home office to support the details of the transactions. Also, production data for the period prior to the reform could not be obtained for reformed units except by word of mouth from current cooperative members who stated they had worked on the farm before the reform program. The civil disturbances have created many unusual problems for the GOES with respect to data collection on field activities. Nevertheless, there is no way to verify accomplishments nor determine necessary actions required to insure the success of the activities without the GOES's accumulating reason- ably accurate data on these undertakings. AID's efforts have not been fully successful in offsetting the lack of reliable program management data. Of the 17 cooperatives we visited, we found, for example, that no one from AID had ever visited those farms. USAID Mission files showed that AID officials had visited only one of the 41 cooperatives randomly selected for audit. There are about 317 cooperatives in the program. The Mission noted in their comments on the draft audit report that as of June 1983, AID staff have visited 4 of the cooperatives included in our audit. The Mission also reported that at the time of the audit, members of its staff had visited 59 of the 317 cooperatives since the initiation of the program in March 1980. : . 11 - 692 Unquestionably, the USAID/El Salvador staff works hard and consistently gives its best efforts. The programs however, are massive, complicated and many are located in very dangerous areas. Further, USAID/El Salvador has a very small staff in comparison to the program in El Salvador. AID's continued support of the agrarian reform program requires establishing some better means of monitoring and analyzing what is happening in the field. Cooperatives' Financial viability Is Questionable From 1932 through June 1979, ISTA and its predecessor agencies reportedly acquired about 82,165 hectares of land of which 61,650 hectares distributed to 14,563 beneficiaries. were The pre-1980 acquired properties had previously been reported as coopera- tives and ISTA referred to them as "traditional cooperatives," that is, a farm owned by the cooperatives' members and operated by them as a private enterprise activity to produce income and goods for their livelihood and pro- fit. ISTA's current records and a visit to one of the units showed that most of the units so classified are not cooperatives. The record showed that: 12 been broken into properties had individuals; small plots and assigned to 48 properties had been transferred to FINATA to be divided into small plots and assigned to individuals; 3 properties had been classified as unusable for agricultural purposes; 32 properties had been organized into 21 production units on which ISTA was attempting to develop working cooperatives; 8 properties had been organized into 4 working cooperatives; and 4 properties were unaccounted for. ISTA has attempted to implement the new reform cooperatives along the same lines they used for the pre-1980 units. That is, obtain the land, install the campesinos who live on or around the land as cooperative members, and assist them in developing the farms into self-sustaining operations. We made a random sample of the Phase I and traditional cooperatives to (1) see if they were in operation; (2) verify the use of AID funds, and (3) ident- ify any problem areas affecting their operation, productivity or profitability that had not previously been reported by AID. The sample was drawn from the ISTA listings of 317 Phase I cooperatives and 107 "traditional cooperatives." The sample selected totaled 41 cooperatives which were classed as shown below. Due to security restrictions we were allowed to visit only 17 of the cooperatives selected for audit. - 12 - 693 Selected Visited Phase I Cooperatives 35 16 (a) BFA provided financing (19) (7) (b) Mixed-Banks provided financing (16) (9) "Traditional Cooperatives" Totals 6 41 1 17 SYS.ES Distribution of Cooperatives in the Random Sample No. of Phase I Coops Estimated No. of Hectares No. of Phase I Coops in Sample No. of Coops Visited No. of Hectares in Coops Visited Western El Salvador Occidental Central 87 78 63,666 62,799 9 9 7 9 6,333 4,008 Eastern El Salvador Paracentral 71 Oriental 81 317 37,065 66,671 230, 201 9 35 0 0 16 10.341 The Phase I cooperatives appeared to have been structured without fully considering the basic ingredients necessary for profit making productive en- terprises. As a consequence, certain cooperatives have not been financially viable undertakings. The overall purpose of the agrarian reform program is to increase produc- tion, income and employment. Under Phase I, the purpose is to establish viable, self-sufficient, and participatory farm businesses. Article 19 of Decree No. 153 provides that the allocation of land is to be carried out taking into account a dynamic concept which will include property size and quality of the soil in relation to productivity and income. As Article 19 recognizes, the basis for any profit-making undertaking is the relationship of capital, labor and management and their costs to market prices. The Phase I cooperatives appear to have been formed without ISTA having properly considered these requisites. Many Phase I cooperatives had (1) massive capital debt, (2) no working capital, (3) large tracts of land that were non-productive, (4) substantially larger labor forces than needed to operate the units, and (5) weak management. This disequilibrium is faced with - 13 - 694 the weakest market prices experienced by the agroindustry in recent history. These problems alone, without considering the unstable civil and political situation in El Salvador, may prevent most phase I cooperatives from becoming financially viable enterprises. A financially viable enterprise produces sufficient income to liquidate its current liabilities, pay its long-term debts, satisfy its members' basic needs, , and generate revenues for emergencies, replacements, and savings. BFA and ISTA records on the cooperatives and our visits to 17 cooperatives showed that many phase I cooperatives: borrow production and investment funds at the beginning of the planting seasons. These funds are used in large part to pay themselves for their labor in cultivating their crops, etc. harvest and sell their produce for the best price they can obtain. receive insufficient income from their sales to repay the funds they borrowed for production and investment purposes. have no income to pay their other debts. These debts include annual amortization charges for the property; interest ac- crued on the debt for the property; production credits re- ceived in 1980 (known as the emergency credit), and previous production credits that have been refinanced. resources for emergencies, new investment, or have no savings. The GOES's objectives are for the cooperatives to be able to liquidate their debts, produce a reasonable living for their members and be self- sustaining in the long run. As the debt has mounted, cooperatives members have become more concerned about their situation. Original expectations of improved economic and social status are perceived by these members to be unachievable without some sort of debt relief and reduction of operating costs. Available financial data showed that many of the Phase I cooperatives had been unable to repay even the production and investment credits they had bor- rowed. Four classes of debt currently associated with the Phase I cooperatives are referred to in this report. 1. The Agrarian Debt - This is the capital debt for the value (usually an estimated value) of the land, real estate and other capital assets on the land at the time the property was expropriated. This debt is payable in equal annual installments over a 20-30 year period of time. - 14 - 695 2. Interest on the Agrarian Debt Interest on the agrarian debt is at the rate of 9-1/2 percent annually on the outstanding balance. 3. The 1980 Emergency Credit - During the March - September 1980 period, when the expropriation process was taking place, ISTA provided credits to the newly formed cooperatives on an emergency basis so they could begin operations. These credits were frequently provided in cash. Since 1980, the cooperatives' management and membership have changed substantially and many of the cooperatives' current members do not believe that they received the credits and therefore are not respon- sible for repaying them. 4. Production and Investment Credits These are credits provided to the cooperatives under normal business practices by BFA and mixed banks for annual production and investment activities. The above classes of debt are due in reverse order. Any income received from operations is used first to pay the currently due production and invest- ment credits. Any income remaining after paying those debts would be used to pay on the 1980 emergency credits, most of which had been refinanced), then the agrarian interest, and then the agrarian debt. Accordingly, when a coop- erative does not have funds to pay its current production and investment cre- cits, it also cannot make payments on any of its other debts. Although BFA and ISTA reported that most cooperatives were repaying their loans, many were merely paying off past debts with new borrowings. These cooperatives.were not technically in default on their production and investment credits but their debt was still outstanding. The San Isidro cooperative is an example of the debt refinancing problem. San Isidro had borrowed a total of $462,000 for production and investment purposes since inception of the program. Of the $462,000, the cooperative had repaid $72,000 of the principal. It is in arrears on a $125,000 repayment due under this credit. However, they had previously refinaced over $50,000 of the $125,000. Of the $265,000 outstanding but not due, $99,000 had been refinanced. Another example is the Santa Cruz Tazulath cooperative. This cooperative was shown by the banks as being $40,000 in arrears on its production and in- vestment credits. The cooperative's records showed that over $140,000 due on previous production and investment credits had been refinanced. In addition, this cooperative was over $62,000 in arrears on production credits obtained outside the normal financing system. The financial records of BFA, ISTA and the cooperatives also showed that most cooperatives had not paid the 1980 emergency credits provided for the 1980 planting season. Most of the cooperatives had merely refinanced the credits due. The El Refugio cooperative, for example, owed over $274,000 on its 1980 emergency credits as of June 30, 1983, but this amount was technic- ally not in arrears because it has been refinanced. In August 1983, the At apasco cooperative showed an emergency credit debt of over $27,000, all of which had been refinanced. The El Tatuano cooperative owed more than $36,000 that had been refinanced. - 15 696 As of March 31, 1983, most Phase I cooperatives owed all the interest accrued on their agrarian debt since the inception of the program in the Spring of 1980. Only a few cooperatives had made payments on the principal of their agrarian debt. Of the 17 cooperatives we visited, one cooperative had made a payment of interest to ISTA on their agrarian debt. That payment was less than the int- erest due. ISTA had completed the required processes and issued titles to 27 of the approximate 317 Phase I cooperatives. Of the 27 Phase I cooperatives that had received titles to their properties, only two had made some payments to ISTA on the principal of their agrarian debt. The debt of many Phase I cooperatives continues to increase annually. If something is not done to stop this process, the cooperatives will be in such a difficult financial situation that even the government banks may not be able to provide them with production credits... Without the credits, most coopera- tives would be unable to operate. Our field trips to the cooperatives, reviews of their records on site and discussions with cooperative members and officials of BFA and ISTA confirmed that most cooperatives in Phase I were overwhelmed with debt. Few if any will ever be able to repay the accumulated debts from their own resources. An example of the debt problem is demonstrated by the financial status of the La Labor cooperative. La Labor's financial statements for the year ended March 31, 1983 showed $3.9 million as gross income from operations and $400,000 as a net loss from operations. This loss did not consider the agrarian debt payments due plus interest and refinancing charges. The $400,000 loss from operations amounts to about $200 per cooperative member. This is a signifi- cant amount when compared with the per capita income in El Salvador of $540 annually. The agrarian debt for la Labor was estimated by ISTA at $5 million. Annual payments due on the capital debt were about $200,000 for a total of $600,000 due since inception of operations. . The accumulated interest due on the agra- rian debt totaled about $1.8 million. This unpaid interest should have been capitalized annually thereby increasing the amount due. In addition, La Labor owed about $375,000 for the 1980 emergency credits that had been refinanced and they had refinanced over $50,000 of production credits. (The La Labor cooperative's debts total over $10 million.) During our field work at La Labor, ISTA's Regional Director told us that they have 11 traditional cooperatives and 87 Phase I cooperatives in his region. Of those 98 cooperatives, he said that La Labor was the best in his region in regards to potential and profitability. Another example of the cooperatives' debt problems is the La Ceiba Phase I cooperative. About 98 percent of the cooperatives' 299 hectares was non-pro- ductive land. The estimated agrarian debt was about $114,000. Annual install- ments on the land which after three years totaled over $17,000 had not been . - 16 - 697 paid. An additional amount due of more than $33,000 for interest on the agra- rian debt had not been paid. Furthermore, this cooperative had to refinance the 1980 emergency credits of $12,000 and production credits of credits of more than $10,000. BFA credit agents required the members of La Ceiba to plant sugar cane on their productive land instead of the usual corn crop in order to receive their 1983 crop year production credit. BFA insisted on this requirement because, they said, La Ceiba would lose less money on sugar cane than they would on corn. The agrarian debt plus compounded interest at 9.5 percent has resulted in a dramatic increase in debt of the cooperatives. If this process continues, the debt could total about $2 billion by the year 2000. oor Prezi 4 11 As of September 1983, the total amounted to about $400,000,000. - 17 - w 34-045 0-84-45 698 For most of the Phase I cooperatives as now structured there is little hope for becoming financially viable. The GOES believes that they do have a few Phase I cooper- atives that may work as now structured. The office for Integrated Development of Agrarian Reform Enterprises (DIECRA), Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAG) recently completed in depth studies on 51 Phase I cooperatives. Based on its studies, DIECRA con- cluded that (a) 9 of the cooperatives were viable operations; (b) 9 of the cooperatives may become viable after 6 to 12 years of operation; and (c) 33 of the cooperatives could not be made financially viable as structured. DI ECRA pointed out, however, that their studies were based on the assumption that all conditions surrounding operations of the cooperatives would be ideal. Our review of Phase I cooperatives included four of those studied by DI ECRA. We visited three of those four cooperatives. DI ECRA's studies on the three cooperatives included in our review concluded that two could not be made financially viable as structured and one of them may become viable after the sixth year of operation. Our review confirmed that the two cooperatives could not be made viable. We also agreed that the other cooperative may be viable in the future. However, we are not sure that that cooperative can be made viable without some debt forgiveness by the GOES. There are several reasons for the poor performance of Phase I cooperatives. In addition to the overriding debt problems, the quality of land and excessive membership significantly affect the financial viability of these cooperatives. Quality of Land The poor quality of their land severely constrains the ability of most Phase I cooperatives to become financially viable entities. Of the 17 cooper- atives we visited, only three had mostly productive land that could be culti- vated. Three other cooperatives had land that was mostly acceptable for cof- fee trees. However, the remaining eleven cooperatives contained substantial amounts of land that could not be made productive without unrealistic invest- ments of capital. Overall, 43 percent of the land in the 17 cooperatives was non-productive and most of the remaining land was of poor quality. El Salvador has a total land area of 2,104,000 hectares 1!. The 1971 Census showed that a total of 1,451,894 hectares of land holdings were in farms 21. Much of the land in farms, however, not suitable for cultivation. was Approximately three-fourths of the country is mountainous with a wide range of serious problems with respect to the land base. The good agricultural land that does exist is mostly in the coastal plains of the southeast and the broad valleys of the west central part of the country. Smaller areas of good quality land are scattered throughout much of the country in the alluvial plains along the many rivers. Some of the soils on the hills and mountainsides are good quality but have special problems and limitations with respect to land use. 1/ National Geographic Institute: Atlas, 3rd edition, 1979 on El Salvador. 2/ According to AID's analysis of 1971 GOES Census. • 18 - 699 The land resource in El Salvador was classified in 1974 by the Organization of American States into the standard land capability classes. That classification showed the following land base by capability class: 383,645 hectares in Classes I, II, and III. Land suitable for inten- sive crops. Good to moderate quality soils that could be mechanized and many of which could be irrigated if water was available. 128,410 hectares in Class IV. Medium quality soils suitable for lim- ited cultivation but subject to erosion. Most require erosion control practices. Machine use limited by slope. Best for perennial crops. 385,000 hectares in Class VI 1/. Mostly very steep. Subject to severe erosion, already heavily eroded or rocky. Not suitable for intensive cropping. Adequate for perennial and tree crops, pasture and forest. Some might be used... for cultivated crops on a limited basis with the use of terracing, strip cropping, diversion ditches, etc. 1 1,189,975 hectares in Classes V, VI, and VII 1/. Some of these (in Class V) are in coastal plains and not subject to erosion but require drainage, are subject to flooding, have a high water table or are too shallow to bedrock. Others (in Classes VI and VII) are steep, eroded, rocky, or have other limitations to the extent that bringing them into cultivation is impractical and not economical. These lands are suited for some forestry, pasture, and natural vegetation. Lands in this class are not suitable 31,817 hectares in Class VII. for any agricultural use. 21 USAID/El Salvador in its Country Development Strategy Statement dated January 1979, presented data based on the GOES 1971 census showing that land under agricultural production in El Salvador totales 932,716 hectares. That amount was the sum of the agricultural production areas identified as (a) temporary crops (488,436 hectares); (b) permanent crops (163,499 hectares); (c) improved pastures (112,737 hectares); and (d) native pastures and wood- lands (168,044 hectares). The total land under agricultural production in El Salvador had remained basically constant for over 20 years as shown by the 1950, 1961 and 1971 censuses. The reason that the use of land for agricul- tural production in El Salvador had remained at less than one million hectares 1/ Some of Class VI land is usable for agricultural productive crops such as coffee trees due to its altitude, natural shade, etc. whereas Class VI land under other situations is usable only for timber, natural vegetation, etc. 2/ Total is 2,118,847. Difference of 14,847 hectares over accepted size of El Salvador (2,104,000) is attributable to lands disputed with Honduras. - 19 700 as over the long run is that the remaining land cannot economically be brought into production. Furthermore, the Organization of American States, discussed above, determined that only 897,055 hectares of land in El Salvador was appropriate for agricultural production under USDA'S standard land classification. Addition- ally, AID stated in their Janaury 1979 CDSS that problems with remaining lands are such that bringing them into cultivation is impractical and uneconomical. In May 1980, however, USAID/El Salvador in its Agrarian Reform Sector Strategy Paper reported that El Salvador had approximately 1,450,000 hectares of land in farms. Of that farmland, about 662,000 hectares were in crops, 553,000 in pastures, and the balance in timber and other uses. El Salvador may have about 1,450,000 hectares in farms but it has only about 932,000 hec- tares of economically productive farmland that has normally been used for agricultural production purposes. Accordingly, we assessed the land in the Phase I cooperatives visited to determine whether it was productive. We found that much of the land on most of the 17 cooperatives we visited was poor quality land. . In fact, much of the land in the Phase I cooperatives that we visited had never before been used for any agricultural purposes. Based on the quality of land in the selected Phase I cooperatives we visited, it is apparent that many of the Phase I cooperatives were created from landholdings that included land other than agriculturally productive land. It's also apparent that ISTA did not properly consider the size of the farms and quality of the soil in relation to productivity and income in estab- lishing cooperatives. The data in the table below on the quality of land in the Phase I coopera- tives are estimates. As previously discussed, accurate information on the agrarian reform activities was extremely scarce. None of the cooperatives visited had been surveyed by ISTA. Accordingly, neither ISTA nor the coopera- tives knew the correct acreage or class(es) of their land. However, many cooperatives had made plat maps of their farms showing pro- ductive and nonproductive land areas, and the uses they were making of the productive land. ISTA regional staff and co-managers on the farms had also developed data on land use and production. We reviewed the cooperatives' plat maps and land use data and compared them to ISTA'S field staff data on land use and production. We then compared the cooperatives' and ISTA's data with land classification maps prepared by the Organization of American States. Based on these reviews, our observations, statements by cooperative members, and opinions or estimates of BFA field representatives, we developed the data presented in the following table. The estimates were conservative on the quality of land in the cooperatives. Much of the land visited classed as productive land probably would be assigned actual ratings of Class VI or poorer. - 20 - 701 Landholdings of Selected Cooperatives KE C T A RES Non- Land Area Productive Land Productive Land Percentage of Non-Productive Land Cooperative 1. La Labor 2306 1014 1292 44 2. La Ceiba 299 294 5 98 3. El Refugio 628 112 516 18 4. Buena Vista 122 7 115 6 5. Tacachico 526 152 374 29 6. El Tatuano 127 56 71 44 7. Rancho San Marcos 362 196 166 54 8. Sta. Cruz Ta zulath 2482 1097 1385 44 9. Veracruz 478 450 28 94 10. Santa Magdalena 135 9 126 7 11. At apasco 274 56 218 20 12. El Zonte 851 1/- 13. La Concordia 126 22 104 17 14. Las Mercedes 164 5 159 3 15. San Isidro 1048 594 454 57 16. Los Mangos 561 98 463 17 17. San Francisco Suchitoto 703 277 426 39 TOTALS 10.341 4.439 5,902 43 1/ This hacienda was listed as an ISTA "Traditional Cooperative". However, the cooperative had been disbanded and the land distributed to individuals in lots of from 6 to 37 hectares. We could not obtain a reasonable estimate on the class of land involved. But, it appeared to be some of the poorest qual- ity land visited. This land is not included in the totals. - 21 702 The Mission commented that El Salvador is land poor in terms of both quan- tity and quality of land, but the phase I farms are located on much of the best land in El Salvador and many of these farms were profitable operations comparable in production to any in the world. At our request, the GOES prepared a map of El Salvador showing the loca- tions of the 317 Phase I cooperatives. We compared that map with land classi- fication maps prepared by the Organization of American States (OAS). Based on that comparison, we estimated that over 75 percent of the Phase I cooperatives are located in areas of predominantly Class VI, VII or VIII quality land. The OAS land classification maps show that the good quality cultivable land (Classes I, II, III and IV) in El Salvador is located in the west central and southeast coastal areas. When we compared the OAS land classification map with the GOES map showing the location of the 317 Phase I cooperatives, we found that only about 20 percent of the cooperatives were located in the areas containing the better lands. This estimate was corroborated by our visits to selected cooperatives. While our physical verification of land quality was limited to western El Salvador, our comparison of the maps showed that most of the Phase I coopera- tives in both western and eastern El Salvador are located in predominantly Classes VI and VII land areas. (See sketch map below.) Our random sample of 10 percent of the Phase I cooperatives in the west, which contains 52 percent of the cooperatives and 55 percent of the land in Phase I, provides a solid basis for projection purposes for cooperatives located in the western half of country. This data, coupled with the informa- tion developed from comparing the cooperatives' locations and land classifica- tion maps strongly indicate that the finding on poor land quality in the west applies equally to those cooperatives in the eastern part of El Salvador. North West SAN EasT *SALGADOR : 1. Gepresents appro:iaste locations of cost of El Salvador's bester quality lands classes I. II111 and ii). Abou: 20 percent of the Pirase I cooperatives are located to these areas. :. About 75 percent of the lard in El Salvador is classed as Yi, Yli. and Y!!! 0911ly. Abou! 8C percent of the Phase I cooperatives are located in areas gredominantly of these classes of land. - 22 - 703 Excessive Membership Most Phase I cooperatives' memberships exceed the numbers needed to operate the farms on an efficient and effective basis. Decree No. 153 provided that Phase I cooperative members would be exclu- sively campesinos who did not own land or who owned too little land to fulfill their basic needs. Preference was to be given to those campesinos who earned all or part of their income from the property prior to reform. Special legis- lation was to be issued to regulate selection criteria. But that legislation was not issued by the time the cooperatives were organized. All the Phase I cooperatives visited during this audit had memberships larger than the number of persons reportedly employed on the land prior to the reform 1/. The larger memberships may serve short-term social and political purposes, but they compound the cooperatives' financial difficulties. The Phase I cooperative La Labor demonstrates the membership difficulties. The pre-reform owner of La Labor had maintained for years about 2,000 full-time employees. These employees lived on and operated the farm. The owner also owned two other farms in the vicinity of La Labor. The La Labor "employees" also operated both of the other farms. La Labor contains about 2,300 hectares of land. The total land in the other two farms was about 2,800 hectares. The total land in the three farms that belonged to the previous owner was about 5,100 hectares. All 2,000 employees lived on the La Labor farm so they could have the advantages of centralized services, e.g., schools, medical, social, housing, and water. Under the agrarian reform program, the La Labor farm was organized into a Phase I cooperative. The La Labor cooperative now has about 2,100 members. These 2,100 members live on and operate the 2,300 hectare La Labor farm and there is not sufficient work for that number of people. Most of the members work only 2 or 3 days a week. Even though the membership has reduced their income, the farm is still not financially viable and cannot support that number of people. Another example of the membership problem is the Rancho San Marcos Cooper- ative. This cooperative contains about 360 hectares of land. The land had previously been rented by a meat packing plant and had been used only as a holding area for cattle prior to slaughter. The farm contained about 160 hec- tares of improved pasture and 200 hectares of non-productive land. The opera- tion previously had eleven employees. Now that the farm has been formed into a Phase I cooperative it has 56 members. They had converted 40 hectares of pasture land to cultivation and had 115 head of dairy cattle. BFA advised us 1/ Membership in the cooperatives refers to individuals living and working on the property. The "official cooperative membership of record" may be con- siderably smaller in some units. - 23 - 704 that this is the maximum number of cattle the land will support. However, the production was insufficient to pay for operating costs with a labor force of 56 members. ISTA recently completed a study of the membership of 12 selected Phase I cooperatives. That study showed that membership in the cooperatives was more than twice the pre-reform number. Other Areas of concern Several other areas were frequently mentioned by AID, GOES, and others as problems affecting the Phase I cooperatives' operations. Some of those prob- lem areas were: (1) lack of capable managers; (2) lack of technical assistance; (3) state of the worldwide economy; (4) low productivity; (5) the civil war; and (6) lack of institutional capability. The above problem areas probably adversely affect the operation and profit- ability of the Phase I cooperatives. For example, we noted that 40 of the 317 Phase I cooperatives reportedly had been abandoned due to the civil distur- bances. Nevertheless, the land will only produce so much and support so many people without regard to these additional reported problems. Until the land productivity, capital investment, debt structure and labor force are brought into some kind of equilibrium, efforts to deal with these additional problem areas will not be successful in making most cooperatives viable. USAID/El Salvador officials agree that the main problem with the Phase I cooperatives is their weak financial condition. They also agree that the agrarian debt is one of the major reasons for the cooperatives' lack of finan- cial viability. USAID/El Salvador officials, however, disagree with our posi- tion that the poor quality of land is one of the main reasons for the Phase I cooperatives' poor financial performance. The Mission believes that the coop- eratives have good quality land, and that their yields are high. The Mission is of the opinion that the lack of adequate management is the main reason for the cooperatives' poor financial performance. Phase II Phase II of of the agrarian reform program has not been implemented. - 24 - 705 Phase III Land to the Tiller Phase III, which authorized the expropriation and sale of land to renters, has begun to achieve results with over 25,000 applicants receiving and tilling land purchased under this program. By the summer of 1983, over 63,000 applications had been filed by about 50,000 individuals for land under Phase III authority. Most of the applica- tions were approved. Recipients who were working the land were in a position to substantially improve their economic and social positions. Thus, these recipients had a vested interest in the program continuing and in the govern- ment that provided the program. Yet, more needs to be done because the negative side of the program shows that less than one-half (about 50,000 out of an estimated 117,000) of the in- dividuals eligible for property under Phase III had filed applications to pur- chase the land. And about one-third of the applications filed did not result in the applicants working the land. They were not working the land because they had been threatened, evicted or had disappeared. Phase III of the agrarian reform program was initiated on April 28, 1980 by Decree No. 207. Sections of that Decree follow: "The purpose of this law is that the State acquire land holdings which are not being directly exploited by their owners, in order to assign them to the persons mentioned herein, who from now on shall have preferential rights to acquire said land holdings and become their rightful owners. Therefore, landholdings or portions of same appropriate for agricultural exploitation and regardless of their size -- which at the present time are being exploited by simple lessees or by persons holding lease contracts with an op- tion-to-purchase clause, sharecroppers, contract purchasers with ownership rights over the property, or other persons who work the land directly through payment either in cash or in goods are hereby expropriated. "Beneficiaries who, in accordance with this law, have been assigned land plots by ISTA 1/, shall be entitled to own a maximum of seven hectares. 17 Decree No. 525 of December 11, 1980, created FINATA and provided that FINATA replace ISTA as the implementing agency for Decree No. 207. - 25-4 706 "When expropriated landholdings or land plots exceeds seven hectares, the excess land shall continue to be ISTA's pro- perty, who should respect the rights of the lessee or other person working the land during the current agricultural year, and assign it to other beneficiaries after the end of the harvest season. This seven hectare limit shall not be applied to persons holding a lease contract with an option- to-purchase clause, or to contract purchaser with ownership rights who has acquired such property or land plot through legal instrument, before the present became effective". a law The GOES in 1980 estimated that 160,000 persons were eligible to receive land under Decree No. 207 authority. That estimate has been revised downwards several times and in July 1983 stood at 117,000 persons. The implementation period of the program under Phase III has been extended three times and now will expire on June 30, 1984. As of March 31, 1983, about 50,000 individuals had filed 63,496 applications requesting approval to purchase land in accord- ance with Phase III authority. 1) To evaluate the effectiveness of Phase III we decided to interview indi- viduals who participated in the program. The most reliable universe data on the program was the application for purchase of land under Phase III authority maintained by FINATA. Accordingly, to determine the results of the applica- tions filed and the status of the individuals who filed the applications, we selected and reviewed a random sample of 149 applications from a computer listing of the total of 63,496. We visited or attempted to visit and interview the individuals who filed the 149 applications. Individuals we could not locate in secure areas were officially summoned by the government so we could interview them. If the individuals did not answer the summons, FINATA offia cially searched for them and provided a status on the individuals. In most cases where the applicants did not answer the summons, FINATA found that they no longer lived in the area and their whereabouts and condition were unknown. Based on the results of this sample, we have estimated that of the 63,496 applications filed: About 15,000 or 23 percent of the applications were for lands that at the time of audit were inaccessible due to security reasons, About 25,000 or 39 percent of the applications resulted in the appli- cants receiving and using the land, About 20,000 or 31 percent of the applications had not resulted in the applicants acquiring and having use of the land. This number includes applications that were not approved, applicants who no longer lived in the area, applicants who had been evicted, etc. 1/ FINATA reported that as of December 25, 1983, they had received 75,967 applications from 60,733 individuals. FINATA also reported that by the same date they had issued 55,287 provisional and 5,456 definitive titles under Phase III. - 26 707 About 6,000 or 9 percent of the applications had resulted in the applicants being illegally evicted and not reinstated (this amount is included in the 31 percent above). The sample size ? in this review was small and therefore the sampling error for an estimate of 31 percent is plus or minus 7 percent at the 95 per- cent confidence level. That is, the estimate of 31 percent has a 95 confid- ence interval of about 24-38 percent. Accordingly, the sample gives a 95 percent confidence level that the maximum deviation downward from our actual finding of 31 percent (20,000) would be 24 percent (15,000), and the maxium deviation upward from the sample's 31 percent is 38 percent (25,000). Simi- larly, the estimate of 9 percent from the sample has a 95 percent confidence interval of 5-13. However, the actual number of the Phase III recipients not working the land and who had been evicted probably is greater than that shown by our esti- mate because there is a high probability that land owners and guerrillas alike in the insecure areas are not enforcing the El Salvadoran Government's Decree No. 207 (Phase III). . 1/ In their comments on the draft report, the Mission referred to a CPA firm's study made for the auditors. We had reviewed that CPA firm's study and dismissed it as being statistically invalid because the CPA firm deviated from the pre-established scientific sample. • 27 - 708 VI. REVIEW OF THE AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT BANK (BFA) BFA was founded in 1973 for the purpose of increasing the flow of credit to the agricultural sector, particularly to the small farmers who previously had no access to institutional sources of credit at competitive interest rates. Until the agrarian reform was initiated in 1980,' the BFA performed these func- tions well. The capital position of the bank was strong. With the initiation of agrarian reform, demands for credit expanded enor- mously. From December 1979 to September 1982, BFA's loan portfolio increased from $56 million to $176.4 million, over a threefold increase. This increase in lending activities strained the Bank's resources causing high operating costs, low rates of recuperation, and inadequate loan supervision. As a re- sult, BFA's financial condition was precarious. The delivery and supervision of agricultural credit to the Bank's agrarian reform clients was less than satisfactory. It appears that the Bank's financial position improved during 1983 due to the infusion of AID funds, improved rates of loan collections, and actions by the GOES. The Bank's financial position, however, still.is a matter of concern. Through March 31, 1983, $29 million of AID funds had been authorized for use by the BFA. BFA transactions and procedures disclosed several problems impeding the effective delivery and administration of credit to agrarian reform beneficiaries. In addition, $1.4 million of AID funds were used for unauthorized purposes. Background to Credit Component Before the agrarian reform program, few beneficiaries either had access to or had availed themselves of institutional credit. Phase I beneficiaries were primarily wage laborers on the large haciendas. The previous owners of these haciendas received production loans from the commercial banking system. Longer term funding was obtained most often from either the haciendas' own capital resources or from external loans. A Decree No. 207 (Phase III) beneficiary who rented his land had access to BFA credit through a note provided by the owner of the rental property cer- tifying the type of crop produced and the total acreage planted. As a result of agrarian reform, affected Phase I property owners lost access to tradi- tional credit channels and more Decree No. 207 beneficiaries were expected to use institutional credit sources. When Decree No. 153 was implemented, the GOES' primary concern was to maintain production from the affected properties. ISTA was assigned respon- sibility for organizing beneficiaries into functioning production units and for supplying the units with sufficient production credits to continue farm operations. During the start-up phase of the program (March September 1980), $47.2 million in emergency credits were disbursed by BFA through ISTA to the Phase I beneficiaries. In order to facilitate the continuous availability of credit, the GOES in August 1980 divided responsibility for providing credit between the various 28 - 709 banking institutions. BFA was assigned 92 of the Phase I cooperative farms (currently 111) and Phase III recipients. AID in September 1980 authorized BFA an initial $9.5 million in loan funds to be disbursed to the cooperatives through a special line of credit, and an initial $500,000 in grant funds to provide technical assistance relevant to BFA's new responsibilities. Later, an additional $3.3 million in loan funds for credit was authorized. In response to the increased demand for credit resulting from the reform, AID authorized an additional $17 million in loan funds during 1981: (a) $16.2 million for the creation of an integral line of credit to replace the estab- lished special line of credit; (b) $600,000 for institutional building support in the form of additional technical assistance and equipment; and (c) $200,000 for an Integrated Pest Management Program. Credit Component Results Much progress has been made in delivering and administering credit to Phase I and Phase III beneficiaries. The $29 million of AID loan funds authorized for credit had been disbursed by BFA to agrarian reform benefi- ciaries. Approximately 76 percent of the funds were used for production cre- dit and 24 percent for investment credit. About 50 percent of the credit was used to finance agricultural inputs for producing basic food grains, i.e., corn, rice, beans and sorghum. The longer term credit was used to purchase livestock or for improving farm infrastructures. The remainder financed the production of some of the major export crops. Although much progress had been attained, the administration and delivery of credit and related services to agrarian reform beneficiaries continues to be beset by technical and administrative problems that have limited the effec- tive use of AID funds. Most of the problems affecting the delivery of credit can be attributed to insufficient institutional capability. Insufficient Institutional Capability The Agricultural Development Bank of El Salvador (BFA) has not been able to cope with the added burden and responsibilities created by agrarian reform. BFA was to provide adequate and timely credit to Phase I cooperative farms and Phase III beneficiaries in order to facilitate achievement of program goals of improving the economic and social well-being of the agrarian reform benefi- ciaries. Although BFA has been reorganized, the restructuring process is not complete. As a result, BFA has not been able to effectively carry out its assigned role. Three major problems affect the Bank's operation: High operating costs; 1 Poor rate of loan recuperation; and 1 Weak fiscal, accounting and credit management controls. - 29 - 710 High Operating costs Since the start of the agrarian reform, BFA's administrative costs have increased by about 43 percent, from $6.2 million to $8.8 million. Financial costs have risen at an even faster rate, about 250 percent, from $3 million to $10.6 million for the same period. BFA finances its operations primarily from earnings generated by its two principal activities, banking and commercial sales of agricultural inputs. in order to meet the increased demand for credit, BFA was forced to increase its use of high cost Central Bank (BCR) discount lines. In 1978, BFA financed 42 percent of its loan portfolio by borrowing from BCR. By 1981, that percentage had increased to 67 percent. The cost of short-term borrowing increased from $1.1 million in 1978 to $10.6 million in 1981, a ninefold increase. During the same period, BFA's income from interest earnings grew by slightly more than twofold. As a consequence of higher operating costs, both financial and administrative, net losses from banking operations increased from $1.5 million in 1978 to $3.5 million in 1981. In spite of the progress attained to date, BFA's current financial condi- tion continues to be weak and vulnerable. A lot more needs to be done in order to enhance the Bank's financial viability. Foremost, BFA's banking operation must become cost efficient. Loan Recuperation BFA has not been able to establish and implement an effective management and reporting system for its outstanding loans. Thus, delinquent and uncci- lectible loans present BFA with serious financial management problems which substantially contribute to higher operating costs and overstatement of the Bank's financial condition. BFA's loan recuperation has been poor. Progress has been made toward improving the rate of loan recuperation, which in 1980 stood at 40 percent. But the projected rate of 76 percent for the crop year 1983/84, even if attained, will be too low to help assure future financial stability. BFA does not have a write-off policy and its uncollectible debt is listed on the books as simply overdue. For example, as of September 30, 1982, of an outstanding balance of $128.7 million, $22.9 million, or about 18 percent was more than 360 days overdue. This practice results in an overstatement of the Bank's equity capital because some of these loans are uncollectible and are really not assets of the Bank. An independent analysis of BFA concluded that if BFA's balance sheet was adjusted to reflect the overdue accounts, equity .capital would be reduced by $48.4 million. The rate of loan recuperation must be raised if BFA's operations are to be improved. - 30 - 711 Management Controls BFA's internal management policies and the system of accounting and inter- nal controls have not been adequate to meet the additional responsibilities of the agrarian reform program. As a result, BFA's financial condition has suffered and effective project implementation has been impaired. BFA lacked an effective and uniform system of accounting and internal con- trols. Posting to books was not current; accounts were not timely reconciled; and there were serious bottlenecks affecting the flow and analysis of account- ing data. As a result, BFA's financial position and the results of its opera- tions could not be clearly determined. For example, although all AID-provided funds had been disbursed, BFA's Accounting Division was unable to provide us in October 1983 with a financial statement of AID funds as of the cut-off date of our report, March 31, 1983. Instead, we were given a qualified statement for December 31, 1982. The reasons given to us for not having the data readily available was that BFA was behind in its posting and the accounting division was still trying to review and reconcile the data received from branch offices and its data processing division. BFA's system of internal controls does not ensure adequate use and account- ability of resources. Due to the dramatic increase in business, BFA's system of internal con- trols had become ineffective. As a result, the review of loan data from branch offices was inadequate and administrative bottlenecks had developed which affected the timely analysis and supervision of activities. We found little coordination for the review and analysis of data submitted by BFA branch offices. Revisions were made by the various BFA headquarters divisions without the proper adjustments and reconciliation. In some in- stances, each division had a separate set of figures. For example, during our review of AID funded subloans, we were unable to reconcile the data furnished to us by the AID coordinating office, the branch offices or the accounting division. This lack of adequate management control has prevented BFA from exercising more effective and timely control over the use of its resources. Data Processing BFA's data processing system was obsolete and produced such untimely and inaccurate results that it had no management utility. A recent study of BFA'S information processing requirements conducted by a computer expert found, among other things, that the BFA system had (1) limited accessible memory; (2) cumbersome input/output procedures; and (3) interactive programming capability. no - 37 - 712 was a a The consultant's report reviewed by AID which agreed with the consultant's recommendations to procure and install new System. As result, AID funds were set aside to conduct a thorough systems analysis, to procure and install the new computer system and to provide for the training of operators and programmers. Notwithstanding, the availability of funds to do the system analysis, little progress had been made to identify and contract with technical personnel. We were unable to clearly establish the status of the procurement of the data processing system. Unauthorized Use of AID Funds Approximately $1.4 million of AID funds were used by BFA for unauthorized purposes. Under the terms of the agreement between AID and the GOES, loan funds provided to BFA must be used for production related activities incurred after June 28, 1980. Proceeds from AID funded subloans, however, were used to liquidate a portion of the emergency credits granted to some cooperatives at the start of the agrarian reform program. Bank officials said that the decision to use AID funds to liquidate portions of the emergency credit was made in light of the severe liquidity crisis that BFA was experiencing at the time as a result of the start-up demands of the agrarian reform program. Records related to 44 cooperatives showed that $1.356 million of the proceeds from the first AID funded subloans were used to refinance portions of the emergency credit instead of being used for production related activities. Although we understand the reasons that prompted BFA in their decision on the initial use of AID funds, that use was specifically unallowable by terms of the loan agreement. The pertinent AID agreement specifically limited payments to activities initiated on or after June 28, 1980. Accordingly, we recommended that USAID/El Salvador recover the AID funds which were used to refinance ISTA emergency credits provided to Phase I cooperatives before June 28, 1980. Recommendation No. 1 USAID/El Salvador recover $1,356,056 used by BFA for unauthorized purposes. - 32 - 713 Financial Viability of BFA and its Cooperatives The financial condition of BFA is inextricably linked to the debt struc- ture of its agrarian reform beneficiaries, particularly the Phase I coopera- tives and the ability of these farm operations to generate sufficient revenue to repay their debts and to provide income for their members. Most coopera- tives are not financially viable operations and, therefore, don't generate sufficient revenues to pay their debts to BFA. BFA must depend on payments from these cooperatives to ensure its own financial viability. The majority of the Phase I cooperatives carry four kinds of debts: 1. Agrarian reform debt, which for all Phase I cooperatives is estimated to be $300 million in compensation to the former owners for the value of land, buildings, equipment and improvements. The payment schedule for these mortgages is 20 to 30 years, and the debt bears interest charges of 9.5 percent per annum. Only meager payments have been made on this debt by a few cooperatives. 2. The ISTA/BFA portfolio or emergency credit, totaling $10.4 million for BFA cooperatives. These credits have been controversial for many cooperatives. As a result, repayments have been limited even when cooperatives had the funds to pay. 3. Short-term production credit, Demand of BFA'S cooperatives for short-term production credit for the 1983/1984 crop year was expected to reach $23.2 million. Many cooperatives have experienced difficulties in repaying their production credit. The unpaid production credits oftentimes were refinanced thereby increasing the debt and leaving the cooperatives little or no capability for further borrowing. 4. Other credits from outside the financial system, such as savings de- posits by members or purchases financed directly by suppliers or agri- business firms. Because of the lack of records, the amount of this debt could not be estimated. The effect of the debt burden is demonstrated by the projected credit and revenue figures for the cooperatives assigned to BFA for the 1983/84 crop year. BFA estimates that these cooperatives will produce a harvest valued at approximately $25.7 million. This harvest, combined with residual previous year's export crops in storage and valued at $2.1 million, will provide gross income of $27.8 million. Production and investment credit debt for the year was estimated to be $23.2 million resulting in a projected gross profit of $4.6 million, which is to be used to reduce the outstanding production and investment debt of $16.4 million, carried over from the previous years. Thus, even if the projected excess revenues could be realized, BFA cooperatives would have at the end of the 1983/1984 crop year, outstanding production and investment credit debts of about $71.8 million. It should be pointed out that BFA projections did not take into consideration expenditures resulting from other operating costs; interest and principal payments due on the agrarian debt and other debts incurred outside the financial system. 34-045 OM-84-46 - 33 714 A major problem for the cooperatives is the lack of effective management and record keeping which prevents the farms from realizing better returns on their resources. Complicating the repayment problem are depressed prices for their commodities and the civil strife being experienced in the country. Finally, the technical assistance and training so important for increased production and income have not been forthcoming from the responsible GOES agencies. The results of accumulated overdue debt are threefold: (1) financial institutions (mixed banks) are reluctant to continue granting credit to levels required by the cooperatives; soon most of the cooperatives may be assigned to BFA, (2) it is becoming increasingly difficult for members to see the day in which they will be making profits and enjoying the benefits of land ownership, and (3) BFA's financial condition will continue to deteriorate due to the high rate of uncollectible loans and continued high operating costs. The emergency credits (ISTA/BFA portfolio), for example, appears to be a controversial matter for most of the cooperatives. Many cooperatives received emergency credits at the start of the program. Unfortunately, neither ISTA, BFA or the cooperatives had a system of adequate controls and loan supervi- sion. There have been accusations of inefficiency or wrongdoing and allega- tions that many cooperatives never received all of the emergency funds loaned to them. Thus, many cooperatives refused to repay the loans even when they had available funds. In some other instances, natural disasters such as the drought and floods of 1982, or civil disasters such as the cases where cooperatives' members had to leave their hands due to the civil strife had contributed to the cooperatives' precarious financial condition. Un able to pay for the production credits, cooperatives refinanced these outstanding debts in order to secure credit for the next crop season. The added debt not only increased the financial burden, but it limited the cooper- atives abilities to obtain medium and long-term credit. There is concern among GOES officials about BFA's financial viability. BFA is an agricultural development bank mandated to service credit needs of a clientele that consists of high risk; marginal, and small producers. Servicing a clientele of that nature requires considerably more supervision than the clientele of commercial banks. Commercial banks enjoy much more latitude in selecting clients and the type of activities they elect to finance. This servicing has resulted in expensive operating costs and a high rate of delin- quent and uncollectible loans which have presented BFA with serious financial management problems since the start of the agrarian reform program. For example, the administrative cost of managing each loan in 1981 was $195; this compares with a cost of $126 in 1979. The interest spread between what BFA receives from its lending operations and what the bank pays for de- posits, funds, etc., was a negative 1 percent for 1981. The spread between what the bank receives from its lending operations (average 6 percent) and BFA's total cost (average 11 percent) was a negative 5 percent. - 34 - 715 A consultant's review of BFA estimated that 33 percent of the loan port- folio was uncollectible. In addition, about 20 percent of the loans clas- sified as non-delinquent had hidden delinquencies, i.e., loans that were par- tially delinquent but classified by BFA as current. In sum, the increase in business resulting from the 'agrarian reform has put BFA in a weak and vulnerable financial position. The need to complete the Bank's restructuring process and the necessity to bring the Bank's operation to an acceptable level of efficiency and cost effectiveness cannot be overemphasized. It must be done. Although BFA has made some progress in improving its financial position and reducing its oper- ating costs, a lot more needs to be done if BFA is to survive as one of the GOES's main vehicles to support the agrarian reform program. In their comments on the draft audit report, USAID/E1 Salvador agreed that the agrarian reform undertakings have overtaxed BFA's resources, weakened its capital structure, and brokendown its internal control system. However, the Mission claimed that these problems improved significantly in 1983 based on some unidentified sources financial projections. They also expressed concern that the draft audit report did not adequately present the progress attained in overcoming the problems. We agree that the USAID has provided substantial assistance to BFA and that the Bank would have been in much worse condition without the assistance provided. AID assistance should further improve the Bank's operations and thereby, in time, its capital position. However, since BFA had not been able to close its books for calendar year 1982, and, as of October 1983, was still trying to establish and identify its delinquent accounts for the period from 1980 to date, we cannot place much credence in financial projections for calendar year 1983. In the Mission's opinion, the BFA's financial condition to date is stronger than it was prior to the inception of the agrarian reform program. To support its opinion, the Mission submitted three tables with condensed financial data for the period 1978 through October 1983. We were unable to ascertain the reliability of the data submitted because it was too condensed, and its source unknown. However, we noted considerable difference with audited and adjusted data available at BFA and with the results of the evaluation made by AID con- sultants. For example, according to the Mission's estimates, BFA losses from banking operations for 1982 were only $2.8 million. This drastically con- trasts with AID'S consultant's estimated loss of $10.2 million. - 35 - 716 VII. COMPLIANCE WITH FUNDING RESTRICTIONS AID has developed an unusual and complicated system to provide the GOES approval for their use of Economic Support Fund generated local currency. This process, however, does not appear to violate Section 730 of the Foreign Assis- tance Act. ISTA, on the other hand, contrary to agreements with AID, has used $2 million from P.L. 480 generated local currency for payment of compensation to previous owners of expropriated properties. The Foreign Assistance Act of 1967 as amended by the International Security and Development cooperation Act of 1981 restricted the use of AID assistance to El Salvador. Section 730 of the Act (P.L. 97-113) commonly referred to as the Helms Amendment; required that none of the funds authorized to be appro- priated by this Act may be made available for the provision of assistance to El Salvador for the purpose of planning for compensation, or for the purpose of compensation, for confiscation, nationalization, acquisition, or expropria- tion of any agricultural or banking enterprise, or of the properties or stock shares which may be pertaining thereto. AID and the GOES have entered into an Economic Support Fund Grant Agree- ment, Memoranda of Understanding and several amendments to each of the docu- ments. Simply expressed, these agreements say that the GOES will create a special permanent fund from GOES resources to be used exclusively for paying compensation to those affected by the agrarian reform program and AID will provide the GOES over $200 million in Economic Support Funds. The Economic Support Funds will be used to finance imports from the U.S. for the GOES and the local currency generated from those funds will be used to support the budget of the GOES. The local currency funds are commingled in the central bank accounts; are used to provide general support of the GOES budget; and, are not traceable to specific uses. The use of Economic Support Funds to support the GOES budget if they will in turn pay compensation to previous land owners from other funding sources appears technically proper and not in violation of the Helms Amendment. USAID/El Salvador employed a Salvadoran Certified Public Accounting firm to make financial reviews of selected AID funding. As a result of one of those reviews, the firm reported in February 1983 that ISTA has used $2 million to pay compensation for property acquired under the agrarian reform program. The funding source for the $2 million used for compensation was from P.L. 480 generated local currency. Thus, the use of these funds to pay compensa- tion did not violate the Helms Amendment which applies to funds appropriated for the Foreign Assistance Act. However, the use of the funds was in viola- tion of the Project Agreement between AID and the GOES. Accordingly, USAID/E1 Salvador had taken action to recover the funds used to pay compensation. The Mission reported that $1 million of the funds had been recovered and the re- mainder should be returned in the near future. - 36 - 717 APPENDIX A LIST OF REPORT RECIPIENTS No of Copies 1 Assistant Administrator Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean (AA/LAC) LAC/CAP LA/CAF/E Mission Director - USAID/E1 Salvador Director - Office of Legislative Affairs (LEG) Assistant to the Administrator for Management (AA/M) Office of Financial Management (M/FM/ASD) General Counsel (GC) GC/LAC Director Programs Operations Staff (LAC/DP/PO) Director - OPA PPC/E/DIU S&T/AGR FPC/E Oifice of the Inspector General (IG/W) IG/PPP IG/EMS AIG/II RIG/A/W RIG/A/Dakar RIG/A/Cairo RIG/A/Manila RIG/A/Karachi RIG/A/Nairobi RIG/A/NE, New Delhi Residency RIG/A/LA, Panama Residency GAO, Latin America Branch, Panama NNO) ل م در) - هد با N N - - - 1 2 12 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - 37 - 718 1 ! January 26, 1984 AID MANAGEMENT RESPONSE TO INSPECTOR GENERAL'S AUDIT OF EL SALVADOR AGRARIAN REFORM Executive Summary AID management is compelled to respond to the foregoing Audit Report of the AID Inspector General for several reasons: 1. The Audit, for reasons that are not clear, does not give adequate recognition to the importance of El Salvador's Agrarian Reform in the political, economic and social setting in which it was initiated and has since been carried out. The Report does not attempt to appraise the Reform, its progress and problems, in this all-important perspective. Little recognition is given to the fact that this Reform marks a major departure from past inequities in Salvadoran society and makes a fundamental change in the lives of campesinos. A vivid example of their support was when thousands of campesinos turned out to demonstrate for the third extension of Phase III. 2. Instead, the Audit approaches the Reform with a very narrow focus. For example, the Audit frequently alludes to and laments the lack of baseline data, quantifiable objectives or implementation planning underlying the initiation of the Reform. It is true that there was little planning done prior to this Reform but for reasons that are totally understandable and verifiable. In early 1980, immediate initiation of the Reform became a political imperative to help prevent political collapse, strike a blow to the Left and help prevent radicalization of the rural population. These were the immediate objectives of the Reform. They were accomplished and in these terms the Reform has been an undisputed success. This should have been apparent to the Auditors, and would have been had they chosen to look at it in its broader political, economic and social perspective, 3. an Apparently, the auditors became preoccupied with looking only at accomplishment data that was "auditable" and "verfiable. This resulted in a narrow, incomplete and in some cases inaccurate portrayal of the Agrarian Reform program. For example, missing from the audit is data on assessment of suc! implementation elements as forming the cooperatives, adjudicating claims, determining and making compensation, issuing titles, training cooperatives managers and assuring a flow of support services and production inputs, etc. The approach taken by the Auditors is useful in verifying proper use of funds but is not useful for assessing the Reform in its total dimensions. 719 -2- 4. We are also at a loss to explain why any audit or assessment would not have addressed the subject of production and productivity, which has been positive, and which over the long haul are the key indicators of the economic impact of the reform. 5. We are perplexed about the Auditors' refusal to incorporate any of USAID/El Salvador's extensive comments and information regarding the above and other areas covered and not covered by the Report. Our view is that the Mission's comments contained much solid information that would have made the Report a more comprehensive and accurate Report. We are including, therefore, the more relevant and important portions of USAID/El Salvador's comments. 6. Finally, we are distressed to find that, after the Auditors had in their earlier draft characterized one data sample as not representing "valid statistical results for projection purposes," the same data in the final report was characterized as having a "95% confidence level." Moreover, In using this data, the audit greatly underestimates the accomplishment of the Agrarian Reform program, For example, the Report indicates that only 39% of applicants had received and were using their land when, in fact, this data would show that 75% were farming their own land. For these reasons, AID Management believes it has a responsibility to correct these deficiences and give the interested reader a fuller and more accurate view of progress and problems of El Salvador's Agrarian Reform. We would also refer the reader to Report On The Situation In El Salvador, State Department, May 16, 1984; Certification on Agrarian Reform required in the 1984 FY second continuing resolution, State Department, January 26, 1984. End Summary IG Audit Overlooks The Political and Economic Context of Agrarian Reform A serious shortcoming of the Audit is that it virtually ignores the political and economic context in which the land reform program was developed. The immediate objective of the agrarian reform program was a political one, and it was hastily designed and initiated to respond to an increasing social upheaval and the very real possibility of general civil conflict. Farmland traditionally in El Salvador was concentrated in the hands of a small number of landowners. In 1979, for example, over 40% of all land was owned by less than 1% of the population. Also, over 70% of all farmers were sharecroppers or laborers on large Agrarian reform was, therefore, designed to help the farms. 720 -3- 2.3 million rural Salvadorans participate in El Salvador's agricultural economy. Campesino organizations and unions accepted agrarian reform and have worked peacefully within the system to make the reform work. The broad popular participation in the March, 1982 elections is a further indication that the reforms, particularly the Agrarian Reform Program, have been successful in stabilizing the political crisis. as Management also believes that the IG report fails to give adequate recognition to the major and more tangible accomplishments of the agrarian reform program. In four years over 92,000 Salvadorans have received over 23% of El Salvador's scarce agricultural land either individually or a member of a cooperative. Including families, more than 550,000 rural dwellers, the vast majority of whom were landless poor, have benefitted from agrarian reform. These beneficiaries represent more than 25 % of El Salvador's rural poor population. More specifically, as of late December, 1983 the following progress had been made on distributing land under the agrarian reform program: Phase I (properties over 500 hectares/1,235 acres): Under this phase, 426 properties have been affected, representing just over 15 percent of the country's arable land, and 317 cooperatives have been established with 31,359 members. Including family members, the number of Phase I beneficiaries is estimated at 188,000, or 8 percent of the rural poor. Phase II (properties of 245-500 hectares/605-1,235 acres): The implementation of this phase was initially deferred pending a final decision on the amount of land that could be retained by a landowner. This delay, however, caused many farmers to hesitate in using this normally productive land. In late December, 1983, the new Salvador an constitution established the size of the land to be retained by the owner. Owners have three years to sell excess land to campesinos and their associations or small farmers. They may not sell to relatives or business associates. This phase should provide between 20,000 and 70,000 acres to campesinos. Equally important, it will allow for this rich, productive land to move into production again. Phase III (rented or sharecropped land to a maximum of 7 hectares/17.3 acres): This phase has been extended three times, the latest on December 27, 1983, thus allowing more 721 -4- farmers to participate in this important element of the agrarian reform program. Although far from complete, this phase has benefitted 60,733 campesinos who had filed title petitions for 228,230 acres, slightly more than 6 percent of total farm land. Including family members, an estimated 364,000 people stand to benefit. Compensation to former landowners as of December, 1983 totals $9.68 million. These tangible accomplishments flow from an agrarian reform that was hastily planned to respond to the political crisis of 1979/80. It has also been carried out in the midst of violent civil strife, by institutions with all of the weaknesses and shortcomings characteristic of those in developing countries. Progress has been halting and painful, and not surprisingly, the reform has polarized major segments of the society. Those who lost land have often fought the reforms, sometimes in the political arena and often with violence. The first president of the Salvadoran Institute for Agrarian Reform (ISTA) and two U.S. advisors were among the first casualties. Many campesinos have since paid a high price in the inevitable conflict created by a society seeking fundamental change in its political, social and economic structure without provoking its total collapse. IG Audit Overlooks Production - Data, A Key Indicator of Progress in Agrarian Reform Key to an accurate appraisal of any agrarian reform program is farm production in the reformed area. Yet, the IG Audit virtually ignores this important question, and instead, concentrates on the availability of documents, reports, etc. Agricultural production is a function of the area planted and the average yield. There is no question that in El Salvador today there has been a overall decline in acreage planted. Given the civil strife in El Salvador, however, a decline in acreage planted should be expected. What is important, however, is that the decline in acreage in the reformed areas closely parallels that for the entire country. In terms of yields, however, the reformed sector has achieved results better than or equal to the national average. In fact, yields in Phase I cooperatives were better in all crops except sugar in 1982/83. 722 -5- Yields:. Phase I Versus Traditional Sector Tquintals per manzana?) Pre-1980 average 1980/81 Reform Trad 1981/82 Reform Trad 1982/83 Reform Trad Corn 28.4 45.0 26.5 35.0 27.0 30.0 26.2 Sorghum 17.5 26.2 17.4 21.2 17.8 15.6 13.5 51.9 47.4 56.7 51.1 56.9 36.1 46.4 Rice (unhulled) Beans 11.7 11.5 13.7 15.1 11.4 11.8 10.4 15.0 12.9 15.8 16.2 13.0 19.1 10.7 33.3 34.6 28.4 31.3 33.8 38.8 28.3 Coffee (oro) Cotton (rama) Sugar Cane (short tons) 52.1 56.1 46.5 55.8 52.8 51.0 63.4 HN 1 One quintal equals 100 lbs. 2 One manzana equals 1.7 acres Admittedly agricultural production in El Salvador is, a mixed picture. However, given the violence rampant in the country and its general economic decline, it is amazing that agriculture, particularly in the newly reformed sector, is doing as well as it is. Audit Claims Lack of Data to Support Phase I Accomplishment The IG report, on page 10 states: "[A]ttempts to establish the accomplishments under Phase I were hampered by the lack [and] unreliability of available data (and that] ISTA still had not completely: (1) surveyed the properties expropriated, (2) established the amount of land involved, (3) established the class of lands involved, (4) established the amounts owed to the previous owners, (5) established the amounts due, from the cooperatives, (6) determined the number17 of properties expropriated." Further, on page 20, the Audit states: "None of the cooperatives visited had been surveyed by ISTA. Accordingly, neither ISTA nor the cooperatives knew the correct acreage or class(es) of their land." 723 -6- a Actually, the surveying of affected properties and determining their size and soil classifications had to be done as prerequisite to establishing and paying compensation. Accordingly, all properties for which compensation has been approved or paid have been surveyed and their soil classification information is contained with ISTA's listing entitled, Composition by Class, Areas, Current Use and Potential, of Various Farms in the Reformed Sector. By law, moreover, the agrarian reform debt owed by the cooperative equals the amount of compensation to be paid the former owner. The number of properties compensated and amount paid (in cash and bonds) are contained in the AID Mission's monthly agrarian reform status reports. As of March 1983, Table 1 of an ISTA report21,shows that 128 properties had been paid for and payment for 11 more had been approved. At the very time of the audit team's visit, moreover, the August, 1983 agrarian reform status report indicated that compensation had been paid for 163 properties (38% of the properties) totalling $ 106,800,182 in cash and bonds. As of late December, 1983, moreover, these figures show that $117,859,580 has been paid for 184 properties (43% of the properties). Twenty-five cooperatives have been issued titles to their properties. About 190,000 formerly landless persons (8.5% of the rural poor population) now have access to 220,000 hectares of Phase I land (15.1% of the total land in farms). It is clear that the progress made to date reflects real accomplishments are well underway. In the meantime, the beneficiaries are enjoying complete usufruct rights to the affected properties. IT There has been confusion over the number of properties involved in the Phase I reform sector. This confusion was clarified, however, in March, 1983 when ISTA published its Diagnostico de la Division de Adquisicion y Asignacion de Tierras al Diciembre de 1982. This publication shows that 426 individual properties were affected under Decrees 153 and 154. Of these 426 properties, 194 properties exceeded the 500 hectares limitation and were, in the strictest sense of the tern, expropriated. An additional 232 properties, which did not exceed 500 hectares individually, belonged to landowners who held multiple properties exceeding the 500 hectares limitation. These, too, were expropriated. 724 -7- Given this clear progress, and the fact that 10 of the 17 cooperatives visited by the audit team had such surveys and appear on the ISTA listings, we are totally baffled by the Audit claim on page 20 that "none of the cooperatives visited had been surveyed by ISTA." The IG Audit states further on page 11, "we were unable to obtain a reliable listing of cooperatives formed by ISTA under Phase 1." In point of fact, a complete listing of the 317 Phase I cooperatives by property name, location, cooperative association name, area and number of members is available in Third Evaluation of the process of Agrarian Reform. Audit Questions AID Efforts to Develop Reliable Data The Audit also states on page ll, "AID's efforts have not been fully successful in offsetting the lack of reliable data... ! As management pointed out earlier, the data was and is there, but the IG team was apparently unable to get it or unwilling to use it, when so provided by the AID Mission. In terms of AID'S efforts, it should be noted that, AID, working with ISTA, the National Finance Office for Phase III Agrarian Reform Lands (FINATA) and the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAG), has conducted numerous studies to develop reliable land reform data, such as: 1. Working with ISTA, AID has developed a standardized management reporting and accounting system for Phase I cooperatives. 2. Working through National Federation of Agrarian Reform Cooperatives (FESCORA), AID is helping to conduct an extensive management practices census of Phase I cooperatives. 3. Working under AID supervision, the Agrarian Reform Reasearch and Evaluation Program (PERA) of the Government of El Salvador (GOES) has completed a profile of Phase III beneficiaries, and established much baseline data. PERA also made a study which resulted in an estimate of the Phase III beneficiary universe. IT Study of the Acquisition and Assignment of Land of 21 December, 1982 725 -8- 4. PERA, working with AID, has conducted a study of Phase III beneficiary evictions, and a reinstallation study is in progress. Audit Asserts AID Staff Seldom Visits Cooperatives Studied. Another questionable deficiency in the Audit is the assertion that "Of the 17 cooperatives we visited, we found, for example, that no one from AID had ever visited those farms (and) Mission files showed that AID officials had visited only 1 of the 41 cooperatives randomly selected for audit". Mission records show, however, that 4 of the 17 cooperatives had, in fact, been visited by AID staff as of June 1983. The Rural Development Office records indicate that AID staff had visited 59 different cooperatives at the time of the audit, many of them repeatedly. Under an AID contract, moreover, contractors from "Technical Services of the Caribbean (STC)" had visited each of the 100 cooperatives served by the Agricultural Development Bank (BFA) as a normal function of their tasks. Moreover, other STC personnel had visited a broad spectrum of Phase I cooperatives in conjunction with-their work of developing a standardized management and reporting system. Audit Gives Undue Emphasis to Land Quality and Coop Membership Size as Cause of Phase I Cooperatives Financial Problems In addition to its discussion of the financial problems of Phase I cooperatives, with which we do not take major exception, the Audit goes on to indicate that the major problems facing Phase I cooperatives are the quality of land and excessive coop membership. There are several reasons for the poor financial performance of many Phase I cooperatives, as the Audit correctly notes in a section called "Other Areas of Concern" on page 24.37 It is simply not true however, that the major reasons for the Phase I cooperatives' financial problems are poor land quality of excessive membership. El Salvador is land poor in terms of both quantity and quality of land, but the Phase I farms are located on much of the best land in El Salvador and many of these farms were profitable operations comparable in production to any in the world. This is evidenced by the percentage of national cash export crops produced on these farms in 1982 (coffee 11%, cotton 20% and sugar cane 29%). The biased sample from which the Audit drew these conclusions contained a disproportionately high percentage of class IV, V, and VII lands characteristic of the western region of the country. While these lands are technically not suitable for intensive cultivation, significant 726 -9- portions are, in fact, ideally suited to the production of coffee El Salvador's most important export crop. The western region, moreover, is the principal coffee producing area in the country. Another Audit contention is that excessive cooperative membership unduly burdens Phase I cooperatives making them financially unviable. Although some cooperatives may be utilizing more labor than in pre-reform days, this does not constitute evidence, ipso facto, that the cooperatives are featherbedding their payrolls by the unprofitable employment of members. Optimal economic efficiency is a function of the technology employed and the factors of production. Substituting labor for capital when membership labor is abundant and all forms of capital extremely scarce may well be both efficient and consistent with promoting the larger goals of the reform. Furthermore, the relationship of membership to income producing potential of the cooperatives is highly variable as evidenced by farm plans developed by Integrated Development of Agrarian Reform Enterprises (DIECRA) with AID technical assistance. There undoubtedly exist significant opportunities for increasing cooperative membership on some Phase I farms. ! Audit Reflects an Incomplete Understanding of Phase II Status The Audit's treatment of Phase II is simply the sentence on pages i and 24 that "Phase II of Agrarian Reform Program has not been implemented." This cursory comment fails to grasp what has, in fact, transpired with Phase II. Initially, action on this phase was deferred due to questions about the size of land to be left to landowners. As a result of this uncertainty, many farmers left their land fallow. In December, 1983, the newly enacted constitution determined that farmers could retain 245 hectares of 1,235 acres. With this clarification of Phase II properties it is likely that between 20,000 and 70,000 acres of land will be made available to "campesinos". 31 Noted were "(1) lack of capable managers, (2) lack of technical assistance, (3) state of world economy, (4) low productivity, (5) civil war, and (6) lack of institutional capability. 727 -10- Further, and equally important, by clarifying the size of land available for sale to campesinos and their organizations, those farmers who have been holding off their planting will quickly put their land into production again. It should be emphasized, also, that Phase II land is traditionally some of the most productive in El Salvador. Audit Conclusions on Phase III Accomplishments Based on Deficient Analysis. Regarding Phase III beneficiaries the IG Audit on pages 26 and 27, stated: ..that of the 63,496 applications filed, About 15,000 or 23 percent of the applications were for lands that at the time of audit were inaccessible due to security reasons, About 25,000 or 39 percent of the applications resulted in the applicants receiving and using the land, - About 20,000 or 31 percent of the applications had not resulted in the applicants acquiring and having use of the land. This number includes applications that were not approved, applicants who no longer lived in the area, applicants who had been evicted, etc. About 6,000 or 9 percent of the applications had resulted in the applicants being illegally evicted and not reinstated (this amount is included in the 31 percent above)." I Two of these conclusions differ radically with most studies on Phase III. Moreover, the information and the methods used to reach the above conclusions are of questionable statistical value. In fact, in an earlier Audit draft, the IG stated: "Due to security difficulties which prevented completion of our field work sample, this data does not represent valid statistical results for projection purposes. This important caveat, interestingly, was left out of the final Audit. In its study of Phase III accomplishments, the IG used a random sample of 149 applications, but only 78 were interviewed because: 37 could not be interviewed for security reasons; 24 were no longer living in the area; and 10 did not show up. 728 -11- To conclude that only 39% of applicants received and were working their land, the IG Audit apparantly had to include the 37 who could not be interviewed because of security, the 24 who had moved, and the 10 who had simply not shown up. Further, the IG had to make the assumption that of the 71 not interviewed none had received land. Of the 24 people who may have moved, many may still retain title to their land or have a friend or relative working the land. They could also have been harvesting crops in another area and would be returning later to farm their land. The ten "no-shows" can only be used to conclude their non-availability. Also, conclusions from the 37 applications for lands inaccessible to the audit team for security reasons are equally dubious. The second questionable conclusion of the Audit is that 31% of the applicants neither acquired nor were using their land. To reach this conclusion, the audit team apparantly again included the 24 not living in the area. Actually, only the 1 applicant denied title, the 10 threatened applicants and the 8 evictees, should be used, and the resulting percentage would be 12%, not 31%. Clearly, the IG report uses a statistically biased and ever-shifting interview sample (i.e., including all or some of the 71 people in the non-interviewed universe with the 78 actually interviewed) to reach its conclusions. In summary, if one must use such a questionable data base, the percentage of beneficiaries working on their land under Phase III would be closer to 76%, and not 39% as stated in the IG Report. The percentage of applicants not acquiring and using the land would be closer to 12%, not 31% as asserted in the Audit. In terms of evictions, a study in June-July 1983, by the MAG, AIFLD and the Salvadoran Campesino Unions interviewed about 1,900 beneficiaries on 928 farms. This sample was selected to ensure a 95% confidence level. This study, shows that since the beginning of Phase III, 5,634 beneficiaries had been evicted and of those, 1,271 had been reinstated on their land. Under this study the percentage of evictions is about 6%, not the 9% as asserted in the IG Audit. Audit Asserts Agricultural Development Bank (BFA) is in Precarious Condition. The Audit is critical of the Agricultural Development Bank's (BFA) performance in servicing the needs of the agrarian 729 -12- reform. Most serious is their conclusion that the B.F.A.'s financial condition is precarious due to the inability of its clients (primarily Phase I cooperatives) to repay credits they obtained from the Bank. The BFA was subjected to severe financial and administative pressure as a result of serving on an emergency basis as the only source of credit in the initial days of the reform. Subsequently the BFA has attended to about 100 Phase I cooperatives (large enterprises with heavy demands for capital and supervised credit services, but generally those representing the less profitable, more problem plagued cooperatives). in view of these strains it is remarkable that the Bank's financial condition has improved appreciably due in part to significant financial and technical assistance from AID. As of the end of October, 1983 the BFA showeto net profit for the first time since the reform commenced in 1980. This was achieved while setting aside $5.6 million (an expense) in reserve for bad debts, a highly prudent management practice in view of some reform sector clients' difficulty in repaying loans from the first two years of the reform. The Bank's financial integrity has been protected in part by making at least temporary provision for non-banking operations income, mainly handling PL-480 products and agricultural inputs. These operations generated $6.8 million in net income in 1983. These measures combined with efforts at improved Bank management have produced a steady improvement in the BFA's financial condition between 1978 and August, 1983 as reflectd by the BFA's financial statements. Loan recovery, especially from Phase I cooperatives, remains a problem but has improved dranatically from 40% in 1980 (the first year of the reform when the Bank was forced to respond on an emergency basis to hundreds of new, large clients with no opportunity to develop the necessary capacity in advance) to 81% as of November, 1983. This has been achieved in spite of depressed world market commodity prices for the principal products of many of their client's and under conditions of continuing rural violence. We believe that both the Phase I cooperatives repayment performance and the BFA's financial condition deserve recognition for the accomplishments that they represent. L Drafter:LAC/CEN:PAskin/Hilkinsori:01/26/84:00768 Part Clearances: AAA/LAC:NDBrown S? i 34-045 0484-47 730 LAND REFORMS PHASE I (MARCH 5, 1980): FARMS LARGER THAN 1,235 ACRES 15% OF FARM LAND o 317 COOPERATIVES FORMED PHASE III ("LAND TO THE TILLER" APRIL 28, 1980): 30 RENTERS AND SHARECROPPERS TO OWN THE LAND THEY WORKED * MAXIMUM OF 17.5 ACRES PER RENTER/SHARECROPPER PHASE II (DECEMBER 20, 1983): FARMS BETWEEN 605 AND 1,235 ACRES * OWNERS HAVE 3 YEARS TO SELL EXCESS OWNERS MAY ONLY SELL TO PEASANTS, PEASANT ASSOCIATIONS AND SMALL FARMERS SIATEDEP 023 Page 22 01 Disk J5 ! 731 EL SALVADOR DISTRIBUTION OF FARMLAND 1971 11% RENTED, SHARECROPPED 15% LARGE PLANTATION OVER 1,200 ACRES 1% OF TIIE POPULATION OWNED 40% OF THE LAND SOURCE: 1971 AGRICULTURAL CENSUS 732 Writing LAND REFORM: 1980-1983 15% PHASE 1 * 67% PHASE II) PRIVATELY OWNED & WORKED LAND UNDER 605 ACRES PER OWNER + 10% AVAILABLE FOR REFORM PEOPLE INVOLVED: 550,000 11% OF TOTAL POPULATION 24% OF RURAL POPULATION 733 "LAND TO THE TILLER" --% OF ESTIMATED ELIGIBLE WHO HAVE FILED 60% 52% 50% 43% 40% - 33% 30% 25% 22% 20% - 11% 10% DEC 80 JUN 80 JUN 81 DEC 81 JUN 82 DEC 82 DEC 83 JUN 83 734 "LAND TO THE TILLER" PETITIONS AND TITLES (CUMULATION) 75,967 PETITIONS FILED 70,000 60,000 55,287 PROVISIONAL TITLE GRANTED 50,000 - 40,000 30,000 20,000 - 10,000 - 5,456 FINAL TITLE GRANTED DEC 80 JUNE 01 DEC 81 JUNE 82 DEC 82 JUNE 83 DEC 83 735 BY DEPARTMENT "LAND TO THE TILLER" % OF ELIGIBLE WHO HAVE FILED AS OF NOV 9, 1983 100 90 PEACEFUL ZONES SOMEWHAT CONFLICTIVE ZONES F CONFLICTIVE ZONES 80- 70- 60 PERCENT 50 ! 40 30 20 - 10 SONSONATE AHUACHAPAN SANTA ANA LA LIBERTAD LA PAZ CABANAS LA UNION SAN SALVADOR CUSCATLAN USULUTAN SAN VICENTE SAN MIGUEL MORAZAN CHALATENANGO 736 PHASE II: EVICTIONS AND REINSTALLATIONS O NUMBER OF EVICTIONS REPORTED TO LAND REFORM AUTHORITIES: 5,027 O NUMBER OF REINSTALLATIONS OF EVICTED PERSONS TO THEIR LANDS: 3,906 O NUMBER NOT REINSTALLED AS A PERCENTAGE OF TITLE APPLICATIONS: 1.7% Ü NUMBER OF LAND REFORM BENEFICIARIES WHO HAVE ABANDONED THEIR LAND: ? (SOURCE: FINATAI STATE 023 pg 2. Disk J5 | 737 COMPARATIVE YIELDS OF REFORMED AND NON-REFORMED LAND – 1981/82 HARVEST 3.28 3.05 3000 - NON-REFORMED REFORMED 2.34 2.03 2000 1.87 1.64 LBS PER ACRE ! 0.97 1000- 0.69 CORN RICE COFFEE COTTON SOURCE: OSPERA-PERA 738 1 *** ANALYSIS OF MAJOR MANAGEMENT RESPONSES TO IG AUDIT REPORT NO. 1-519-84-2 "AGRARIAN REFORM IN EL SALVADOR A REPORT ON ITS STATUS" DATED JANUARY 18, 1984 á Office of the Inspector General Agency for International Developinent February 27, 1984 739 MANAGEMENT RESPONSE EXCERPTS FROM TUE AUDIT REPORT IG COMMENT Under extremely difficult conditions, the Government of El Salvador initiated a large-scale Agrarian Reform Pro- gram Much has been accomplished. The program has redis- tributed over 200,000 hectares of land to cooperatives and individuals. Yet, the three phases of the Agrarian Reform, which have received about $200 million in AID assistance; have had mixed results. (from cover page summary) "We found that large amounts of land have been made avail- able to peasants and numerous cooperatives have been es tablished for increased agricultural production under the agrarian reform program. These changes liave taken place during & time of civil disorders, without without a full public consensus about all aspects of land reform and with lim- ited institutional capability to implement the program. Considerable progress has been made under these difficult conditions. Over 200,000 hectares of land have been re- distributed to estimated 500,000 peasants (including family members). Continued progress progress under this program is, however, heavily dependent upon further financial and other support by the Government of El Salvador. an "The Audit for reasons that are not clear, does not give adequate recognition to the importance of El Salvador's Agrarian Reform in the political, economic and social setting in which it was initiated and has since been carried out. An audit report is not a political assess- dient nor Is it an advocacy, public rela- tions or program document. It мау, of course, be used as a reference or Source document for any of these. "It sliould be noted that during the course of this review, we found a broad broad consensus of opinion amongst both U.S. and El Salvadoran participants, planners and observers of the agrarian reform program that the existence of the program represents a remarkable break with the historical tradition of land holdings and use in El Salvador. Fur- ther, the consensus seemed to view the break with the past to be cssentially irreversible." (Executive Summary , page 1) 1 740 : EXCEP.PTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT MANAGEMENT RESPONSE C_COMMENT *From our review of the record, it is clear that AID had no advance notice of the October 1979 coup d'etat or the new government's intention to ini- tiate major agrarian reforms. "With no advance notice of the new government's new government's land reforo program, AID nevertheless moved quickly to plan a program to to support the effort and signed its initial project agreements to this end in July 1980." (page 7) * The agrarian reform program has succeeded in dividing over 200,000 hectares of land among an estimated 500,000 (including family neabers) of the peasant class. Many of whom previously were without land. Over 300 agricultural cooperatives have been created with the objective of establishing viable, , self-sufficient family businesses for many peasants. These changes have taken place in the midst of severe civil strife, less than complete public support for the refore movement and with the inherent institutional limit- ations of a developing country the Audit frequently alludes to and laments the lack of base- line data, quantifiable objec- tives or implementation planning underlying the initiation of the Reforn. It is true that there was little planning done prior to this Refora but for reasons that Are totally understandable and veriflable. * The GOES pre-implementation planning for Phase I was limited. Both the GOES and AID were in the difficult position of dealing concurrently and on a continuing basis with the development of a rational planning process and with inplementation problens resulting from lack of prior planning One of the audit's major objectives was to assess AID's Involvement In tlie reform, including its planning stages. Although the coup apparently was well planned and impleaented, it was evi- dent that little preplanning had taken place for iaplementing the agrarian reforu program. The precipitous manner in which the Junta announced its intentions to initiate the prograa left AID without left AID without a policy statement, strategy, or plan of assistance. at that time. (page 8) "By March 1980, when the decrees were issued, AID had had insufficient time to develop an overall plan for the reform program. * The status of political, military, and economic reforms has changed so frequently and moved so quickly that AID has been left in the position of trying to keep up with the current state of this large and complex program. Nevertheless, AID has made a concerted effort from the beginning to identify constraints to implementing agrarian reform agrarian reforma activities and assisting the GOES (Government of El Salvador) by developing specific projects to deal with identified problem areas. As a result, AID has numerous projects and funding sources flowing into institutions associated with the agrarian re- form. Each of these AID inputs hias a specified purpose, objective and im- plementation plan. "Moving quickly, USAID/El Salvador, in May 1989, in May 1989, issued a Strategy Paper for assistance to the agrarian reform sector. (page 10) 2 741 IG_COMMENT MARAGDUT RESPONSE 2XCERTIS FROM THE_AUDIT REPORT "We sought to answer these questions: "1) How much funding has AID provided for the program? *2) What was AID's involvement in initia- ting the program? "3) How well is the program working? The function of an audit is to establish and report that which 18 which 18 "auditable" and "verifiable. “4) Has BFA used AID funds properly? " * Apparently, the auditors become preoccupied with looking only at accomplishment data that WAR 'auditable' and 'verifiable. This resulled in a narrow, incomplete, and in some Calles inaccurate portrayal of the Agrarian Reform progran. *5) with funding Has AID complied restrictions ? we "Το answer these questions, reviewed pertinent files and interviewed interviewed officials in AID/Washington, USAID/El Salvador, the U.S. Embassy in Embassy in San Salvador and various GOES organizations. (Audit Purpose and Scope Statement, page 4) 3 742 -- MANAGEMENT RESPONSE EXCERPTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT IG COMMENT "The Phase I cooperatives appeared to have been structured without fully considering the basic ingredients necessary for profit making productive enterprises. As consequence, certain cooperatives have not been financially viable undertakings. a "The overall purpose of the agrarian reform program is to increase production, income and employment. Under Phase 1, the purpose is to establish viable, self-sufficient, and parti- cipatory farm businesses. (page 13) It was not the intent of the review to make an assessment of the Salvadoran agricultural economy In this connection, The Wall Street Journal of February 21, 1984, reported: a "We are also at loss to explain why any audit or assessment would not have addressed the subject of production and productivity, which has been positive, and which over the long haul are the key the key indicators of the eco- nomic impact of the reform. "Total crop tonnage production of the reform sector of the economy has fallen 19.8% despite the fact that that the govern“ ment-nationalized banks give the coopera- tives top priority. The "traditional" sector's output fell slightly léss, just over 18%. A financially viable enterprise produces sufficient Income to liquidate its current liabilities, pay its long-term debts, satisfy its members' basic needs, and generate revenues for emergencies, replacements, and savings. "As the debt has mounted, cooperative members have become more concerned about their situa- tion. Original expectations of improved eco- nomic and social status are perceived by these members to be unachievable without some sort of debt relief and reduction of operating costs. While assessments of last year's crop yields may vary, the audit report stresses the fact that productivity must be measured in terms of the cooperative's ultimate financial viability. 1 "Available financial data showed that many of the Phase I cooperatives had been unable to repay even the production and investment credits they had borrowed. (page 14) 743 MANAGEMENT RESPONSE EXCEIPTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT IG_COMMENT "Audit Claims Lack of Data to Sup- port Phase I Accomplishments" (and) "Attempts to establish the accomplishments under Phase I were hampered by the lack of and the unreliability of available data. Data on all phases of the program were limited and the accuracy of most data suspect. Ac- cordingly, much of the data examined and reviewed in this report were estimates or approximations. Efforts to "Audit Questions_AID Develop Reliable Data + the data was And is, there, hut the IG team was apparently unable to get it, or unwilling to line it, when 80 provided by the AID Mission (in El Salvador). the Mission noted that the number of properties expropriated was 194 a figure which 'has been a constant This asscrtion of a 'con- stant' 194 is illustrative of the degree of confusion which we found 80 pervasively present in the data and baseline information concerning the Agrarian reform program. For example: USAID/El Salvador in its Project Paper on agrarian reform organiza- tion dated September 29, 1980 gave this figure as 238. (Management's response on these matters alluded to four different GOES documents:) The GOES Ministry of Agriculture reported in July 1982 that the num“ ber of properties expropriated under the reform program was 278. (1) "A Diagnosis of the (Agrarian Reform's) Bureau of Land Acquisition and Distribution" Despite the auditor's repeated re quests (as documented in the audit workpapers) to AID and GOES offi- cials as late as September and even December 1983, they were advised the information they they sought (in- cluding the reports cited in man- agement's response) was not avail- able. The first two reports listed in the left hand column were received by the auditors on January 23, 1984 (five days after the audit report was issued), notwithstanding the fact they are dated December 1982 and August 1983, respectively. The remaining two documents listed have yet to he received by the auditors (In a July 1983 telegram, telegram, USAID/E1 Salvador reported to AID/Washington a synopsis of what the PERA study would contain when officially is- sued, which provided to the auditors.) Checchi and Company, in an AID financed study on the agrarian reform porgram, reported in January 1983 that the number was 262. "- (2) "A Study of Phase III Benefi- ciary Evictions (PERA Reportſ USAID/El Salvador in its Project Papet on the Agrarian Reform Sector Support dated May 23, 1983, reported that the number of properties expropriated under Phase I was 360. * 131 "[The "[The COES Agrarian Reform Agency's) listing entitled, 'Composition by Class, Areas, Current Use and Potential, of Various Farms in the Reformed Sector'" On September 19, 1983, ISTA (GOES Agrarian Reform Agency] advised I was 207. the auditors that the number of properties expropriated under Phase was "Neither AID nor the related GOES offices had reliable information on other aspects of the program. For example, we were unable to obtain a reliable listing of cooperatives formed by ISTA under Phase I. [4] "Third Evaluation of the Pro- cese of Agrarian Reform "After we determined that AID did not have a listing of the cooperatives, we worked with ISTA for three wecks trying to develop a complete listing of Phase I cooperatives as of March 31, 1983. We settled for the listing of 317 cooperatives that ISTA finally prepared for us. We found many errors in the information presented by ISTA. (pages 10, 11) 5 744 . ...!! MANAGEMENI RESPONSE EXCERPTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT IG COMMENT "Finally, we are distressed to find that, after the Auditors had in their earlier draft characterized one data sample A8. not representing "valid statistical re- sults for projection purposes, the 8ame data in the final' report was character- ized As having a "95% confidence level. ( The statistical sample of Phase III beneficiaries referred to 18 described and summarized on PP 26-27 of the report.) The IG sample of Phase III recipients described in the final report is statistically sound. The limited degradation of sample accuracy caused by the auditor's inability to interview some of the sample of 149 beneficiaries has been factored into the sample results and correctly reported. For purposes of of validating the methodology and results of the audit sample, the IG sought and obtained the services of a fully qualified, ex- perienced statistician. The sample validation he provided to the IG was also provided by him in full to the Agency prior to report publication. The IG's qualification of the sample's validity was thus fully resolved prior to to final report 18suance. Furthermore, the basis for this reso- lution was fully described to and verified by the Agency 1 6 745 34-045 0484-48 MANAGEMENT RESPONSE EXCERPTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT IG_COMMENT Our draft report submitted to senior AID management for comment in November 1983 included the following section: an "Audit Reflects Incomplcte Understanding of Phase II Status "Phase II of the agrarian reform program has not been implemented. (page 24) "The Audit's treatment of Phase II is simply the sentence on page 1 and 24 that "Phase II of Agrarian Reform Program has not been imple- mented. This cursory comment fails to grasp what has, in fact, transpired with Phase II. Ini- tially, action action on this phase was deferred due to questions about the size of land of land to be left to land owners. As a result of this uncertainty many farmers left their land fallow. "Phase II of the agrarian reform program is the term used hy AID to identify the unimplemented part(s) of the pro- gram, i.e., the GOES plan to expropriate all landholdings larger than 150 hectares (depending on land classification). Phase 11 affected landholdings from 100 or 150 hectares to 500 hectares. Whatever the actual size of landholdings that may be affected by the next phase of the program, the properties in the 100 or 150 hectares size have not been touched by the reform. And, the GOES does not have definite plans to implement a next phase of the program at this time. "It is apparent that owners of Phase II size properties are in a quandary. They do not know what will happen to their lands, 80 most seem reluctant to invest the necessary funds to maintain their production levels, Although Decree No. 43 prevents large landowners from disposing of their land, it is frequently reported that Phase II landowners are sel- ling their farms' assets and transferring their funds to overseas banks. "We could not substantiate the screports on Phasc II size landholders actions However, the actions would be logical and there may be substantive truth to the allegations. AID management responded to this section of the draft audit report by noting that since Phase II had not been implemented, it would not be appropriate for the audit report to include a comment on that phase beyond reporting that fact. We therefore deleted the above cited language from the final report. 746 .. MANAGEMENT RESPONSE EXCERPTS FROM THE AUDIT REPORT IG COMMENT "A consultant's review of BFA estimated that 33 percent of the loan portfolio was uncollectible. In addition, about 20 per- cent of the loans classified as non-delinquent had hidden de linquencies, i.e., loans that loans that were partially delinquent but classified by BFA as current. "In gum, the increase in business resulting from the agrarian reform has put BFA in a weak and vulnerable financial position. generated As of the end of October, 1983, the BFA showed a net profit for the first time since the reform commenced in 1980. The Bank's financial integrity has been protected in part by making at least temporary provision for nonbanking operations income, mainly handling P.L. 480 products and agri- cultural inputs. These operations $6.8 million in 'net income 1983. These measures, combined with efforts At Improved Bank manage- ment have produced a steady Improve- micht in the BFA's Financial condition between 1978 and August 1983 48 re Elected by the BFA's financial state- ments. Loan recovery, especially from Phase I cooperatives, remains a proh- lem but has improved dramatically from 40% in 1980 (the first year of the reform when the Bank forced to respond on an emergency basis to hun- dreds of new, large clients with opportunity to develop the necessary capacity in advance) to 81% as of November, 1983. "In their comments on the draft audit report, USAID/El 'Salvador agreed that the agrarian reform undertakings have overtaxed BFA's resources, weakened its capital structure, and brokendown its internal control system. However, the Mission claimed that these problems improved significantly in 1983 based unidentified sources financial projections. They also expressed concern that the draft report did not adequately present the progress attained in overcoming the problems. on some We have carefully reviewed all data on the Bank developed up to the end of our aud.lt field work in September 1983. We reaffirm the findings and opinions set forth in the report. We have no comment on the asser- tions made hy management regarding the BFA's financial condition after our audit field work ceased. was no "We agree that the USAID has provided substantial assistance to BPA and that the Bank would have been in much worse condition without the assistance provided. AID assistance should further improve the Bank's operations and thereby, in time, its capital position. Ilowever, since BFA had not been able to close its books for calendar year 1982, and, as of October 1983, was still trying to establish and identify its delinquent accounts for the period from 1980 to date, we cannot place much credence in financial projections for calendar year 1983. "In the Mission's opinion, the BFA's financial condition to date 18 stronger than it was prior to the inception of the agrarian reform program. To support its opinion, the Mission submitted three tables with condensed financial data for the period 1978 through October 1983. We were unable to ascertain the reliability of the data submitted because it was too con- densed, and its source unknown. However, we noted considerable difference with audited and adjusted data available at BFA and with the results of the evaluation made by AID consultants. For example, according to the Mission's estimates, BFA losses from banking operations for 1982 were only $2.8 million. This drastically contrasts with AID's consultant's estimated loss of $10.2 million. (page 35) . ': 9 1 747 Senator HELMS. Dr. Ikle, the Kissinger Commission generally re- flected the views held by Central Americans when they pointed out that if the Central American aid package is to succeed it presup- poses even greater amounts of private investment in Central Amer- ica. Now, such private investment, however, will not be forthcoming until the security situation has improved. Without exception, people with whom I have talked from Central America say this is the case. Now, the major threat to that security in Central Amer- ica is the terrorism mounted by the left in various countries, and notably in El Salvador. The major effects of the terrorists there have been to destroy the economy and to deny the average Salva- doran the means to make a livelihood. Now, is the United States committed to a policy which will seek ultimate victory over those terrorist forces, that is to say, to put them out of business for good? Dr. IKLE. Mr. Chairman, I agree with you that private invest- ment is totally discouraged by the protracted fighting and that the threat to the country of El Salvador, and less immediately to other countries right nearby, is the terroristic types of warfare that are directed against the democratic institutions. Now, to answer your last question, do we want to defeat the ter- rorists, not only do we want to, but we have to. It has been argued that negotiation can be a substitute for the levels of military assist- ance that is sufficient to break the military stalemate. That is a dangerous illusion. Negotiation can and must complement our military efforts, but it cannot be a substitute there for military strength. And in this part of the world, like in any other part of the world, there are people who are determined to use military force to destroy democracy, and their minds cannot be changed by negotiation. There are others who can be won over, who can be integrated into the democratic process, and to that end we are supporting ne- gotiation. But the hard core, those who are resolved to use violence until they have a monopoly of power, must be defeated. Ambassador MOTLEY. Senator, I would like just to agree with Dr. Ikle. The President's policy is not that there is a military soluton regionwide. However, among the four elements of this policy is the security aspect, and that applies in each one of the countries. For instance, in El Salvador. The reason for the $93 million is that it is necessary to create the climate in which you can have the other thngs which Dr. Ikle talked about. That is, the economic de- velopment and the democratic reforms. In order for those to sur- vive, it must be within a context of security. And I fully agree with him that the negotiating track is comple- mentary, one with the other, in order to achieve a lasting peace in Central America. Senator HELMS. In that context, is the administration asking for enough to do the job? Ambassador MOTLEY. The $93 million is our estimate of what is necessary to run-through to the end of June, when we think is the first time the congressional process would get to a point of address- ing the overall fiscal year 1984 supplemental and fiscal year 1985 program. 748 Am I right on that, Fred? Dr. IKLE. Right. And we have carefully, on the conservative side, put together the security assistance proposals for the supplemental in 1984 and 1985, and you will have noted that 1985 is less than 1984, because it is our hope and expectation that the security situa- tion will improve if we can provide enough assistance for a vigor- ous national security program for the Salvadoran Armed Forces, and after the economic efforts and the institution-building efforts would become increasingly important relative to the military effort. The $93 million will merely, as I put it, give you and your col- leagues a chance to vote up or down on the Bipartisan Commission recommendations before things are destroyed, so that they do not have a chance any more. Senator HELMS. So the administration is not asking for less than it needs, in order to gain approval by Congress of something? Ambassador MỘTLEY. No, sir, you are correct on that. Senator HELMS. Now, Ambassador Motley, recently a high offi- cial in our Embassy in El Salvador said that he avoided making recommendations to the Government of El Salvador about the un- desirability of socialist economic measures, such as the nationalized banks, the export boards, vast seizures of property, unless he re- ceived specific instructions to do so. He said to do otherwise would be to act as a proconsul. That leads me to ask this. Do you think the United States should recommend the proven principles of free enterprise for countries to which we are giving millions of dollars in economic aid? Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes. I think when we represent those things that we think are important to us, that is certainly in the forefront, that is, the private enterprise sectors and the other values that we hold close. I think, with regard to El Salvador and nationalized banks, the key there, Mr. Chairman, in my view—and there have been discus- sions within the Government of El Salvador with the private sector, with the Government, backward and forward, and I think that the private sector, as I understand their feelings on the matter, indicates that what they would like is the ability to create private banks, rather than buy those banks that have been nation- alized. I think that is the thrust which is going forward in El Salvador now. Rather than denationalize the nationalized banks, I think the private sector in El Salvador would like to have the opportunity, within a competitive framework, to create new private banks. Senator HELMS. How about the nationalized exports? Ambassador MOTLEY. The nationalized exports? That is an ele- ment that other countries do to a varying degree. And in some countries, especially less developed countries, it is felt that there is an economy of scale in organizing the exports. There is a pro and con argument. It obviously does not apply to a country of our standing and economic maturity. I guess one could make an argument both ways as to joining together in an effort to maximize export capabilities. And I am avoiding the use of the word “nationalize" in that sense. 749 But in some less developed countries, it may be to their interest, within the rights of the private growers, if it be growers, to come together in order to export. It is a tricky area. Senator HELMS. When I look back over the history of this coun- try, I wonder how great we would have grown if we had had that sort of restriction. Ambassador MOTLEY. It probably would not have worked for us, Senator. I agree with you. Senator HELMS. Well, we were once an undeveloped country. I take it that you are familiar with what I am talking about in terms of the statement by the Embassy spokesman? Ambassador MOTLEY. I had heard of that statement earlier, thirdhand, yes, sir. I am sure that all of our embassies, if they have not already, will be instructed to make sure that those values that are close to us are represented to the governments with which they deal. Senator HELMS. All right. I will reserve the balance of my time, because I want Senator Zorinsky to be able to present his opening statement. So please keep track of the time that I have left. Senator Zorinsky, you are recognized, and we welcome you, sir. Senator ZORINSKY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Much has already been written and said about the administra- tion's proposals for lavish economic and military assistance to Latin America and the Caribbean based on the report of the Kis- singer Commission on Central America. I am glad that now the members of the Foreign Relations Committee will have that oppor- tunity to hear directly from the administration and an impressive gathering of public witnesses. After this hearing, we should have a much better idea about the feasibility of the administration's pro- posals. My personal views on this are that we do not have the ability to control the internal events of every nation in this world, or even in the Western Hemisphere. God knows, we have enough problems controlling our own internal events. We do have the ability to let nations in Central America know what our strategic concerns are and to enforce them with the Navy and B-52's if necessary. That is one of the reasons I support a strong defense. I do not feel personally that we need to spend billions more, hoping that somebody else is going to the do the job for us. I have never been able to adopt a philosophy of rent an army, which in many instances I feel we have attempted to do throughout the world. The administration is requesting more than $8 billion over the next 5 years in economic assistance. Considering the state of our own economy, considering the plight of farmers who cannot get credit and can barely make ends meet, or who are over their heads in debt, that type of figure is mind-boggling. This morning I attended a hearing of the Farm Credit and Rural Electrification Subcommittee. Senator Hawkins was chairing the meeting. A recommendation was made that we cut out $2 billion to $3 billion of credit that would be assured in low-interest rate loans to the rural electrics of this country and rural telephones. 750 Then this afternoon, coming on the heels of cutting $3 billion do- mestically, we are asked to increase by $8 billion foreign aid to Central America. This is politically and logically a very difficult situation to explain to my constituents back in the State of Nebras- ka. As the ranking Democrat on the Western Hemisphere Subcom- mittee, I surely want to help our neighbors in Central America. But I seriously question if the answer lies in dishing out billions of dollars in economic assistance. Therefore, I would like to hear from the administration and the public witnesses regarding the ability of the U.S. Government to administer such funds and the capacity of the Central America countries to absorb those type sums. Furthermore, I am concerned about such problems as endemic corruption and capital flight. I understand that some of the food we provide for the starving and hungry is being sold by corrupt gov- ernment officials for profit, and that U.S. tax dollars are paying for the risk of doing business in El Salvador while some Salvadoran businessmen deposit their money in the banks of Miami. I am sure that the American taxpayer would want to know why the cost is so high, why the job cannot be done for less, and if we are making the best out of the economic assistance that we now provide to the area. The administration's request for substantial military assistance to the region is an outrage. The administration is talking about $400 million in the next 2 years for El Salvador, under the theory that military victory will lead to peace. The Commission's assessment of the military situation is far more positive than what I have been reading and from discussions I have had with recent visitors to the region. Millions more in mili- tary assistance to an army that does not have the heart to fight, that has suffered major defeats, and that refuses to implement the strategy and tactics taught by the U.S. military advisers, is a very poor proposition. It is no wonder to me why the Government of El Salvador is run- ning out of bullets and guns. Guerrilla forces take them or buy them from the government forces as quickly as we send them, and the U.S. taxpayer gets no commission for those sales, only requests for more booty It seems to me that more military assistance is just going to pro- long that bloody war, which is claiming far too many innocent vic- tims as it is. I would appreciate it if the administration and the public witnesses would address themselves to these very real con- cerns. In conclusion, I would like to have them also elaborate on their views on the Contadora peace process, especially as it relates to the situation with Nicaragua. My reading of the administration's policy is that it downplays the Contadora process, because the major role is played by the nations of the region. These nations can help the United States achieve peace in the region and the U.S. in- terests can be served best by working more closely with the Conta- dora group Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Senator. 751 1 I think I have 242 minutes left, so please blow the whistle on me. I have one more question, Mr. Ambassador. Recently there came to light some allegations that a guerrilla commander in El Salvador, by the code name of Lobo-are you fa- miliar with that? Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes, sir, I have seen some press reports to that effect. Senator HELMS. All right. The report indicated that he allegedly confessed that the left had arranged the murder of Archbishop Romero, while some figures, including the former Ambassador to El Salvador, Mr. White, says flatly that the coldblooded murder had been planned and executed by one of the politicians down there. What is the true story on that? Ambassador MOTLEY. Well, sir, as to the so-called Commandante Lobo, I have read press reports of his existence and his statements in neighboring countries, that is neighboring to El Salvador, and not the Salvadoran papers. We are trying to track them down, but I am sorry at this stage that I am not able to provide you any more information on that. Senator HELMS. So you do not know whether one report is accu- rate or the other? You do not know which one, if either, is accu- rate? Ambassador MOTLEY. That is correct, sir. Senator HELMS. All right. I guess there is no point in my trying to start another question with so little time. Senator Zorinsky, did you want to begin your line of questioning? I think you raised a number in your statement. Senator ZORINSKY. Yes, I believe I did, Mr. Chairman. And first, I have a followup question to one of the chairman's. What is the status currently of the judicial proceedings in the case of the murdered American churchwomen? Ambassador MOTLEY. The case has been elevated to what they call the plenario, which means it is ready to go to trial. As you un- derstand, Senator, in the Salvadoran judicial system the last thing to happen is a trial. Unlike our system where there is a trial and then appeals come after that, in their system most of the appeals come before the trial. And through this long period of time there have been a variety of appeals, and they have been exhausted to a large degree. It is hoped that within the next month a jury will be picked and it will go to trial. Under their system, the trial itself before the jury should not take as long a time as it does in our jury systems, because the evi- dence has been put forward, positions have been taken, and all the rest of that has already taken place. So once a jury is picked, I would say within a week or so there would be the deliberations of the jury. The other open question that is leading to the picking of the jury was the question of a change in venue, which has not yet been re- solved. Senator ZORINSKY. I agree with you that the last thing that takes place in their system is the trial, except they rarely get that far because the last thing that takes place is that the judge's house gets blown up after the judge is selected. 752 Ambassador MOTLEY. Whose house is blown up? Senator ZORINSKY. The judge's house. Ambassador MOTLEY. Well, sir, we hope that you are incorrect on that one. I am sure you do also. Senator ZORINSKY. Well, I go from past precedents. I understand that the families have requested that they be per- mitted to see the report of Judge Tyler. Is the report still classi- fied? Ambassador MOTLEY. That is correct. Senator ZORINSKY. When will the families be afforded the oppor- tunity to see the report? Ambassador MOTLEY. We have been in contact on this issue with the families for quite a while, and we have outlined to them a couple of ideas where a representative of the family, possibly their lawyer, could have the file made available to him under the proper circumstances. Senator ZORINSKY. What are the proper circumstances? Ambassador MOTLEY. Well, in other words, he could come up and look at it in an area in which we would normally maintain classi- fied material. We are trying to work something out with them. We have been at it with them for about a month and a half and so, dialoging back and forth, trying to figure out some formula which is satisfactory to both parties. Senator ZORINSKY. Regarding the upcoming election, will there be any difference in attitude with respect to our continuing support of El Salvador if Roberto d'Aubuisson manages to receive the ma- jority of the votes? Ambassador MOTLEY. Well, I cannot speak for the congressional branch. You have a much better feel for that than I do, Senator Zorinsky. But I think it is fair to state that when you look at certain seg- ments of our body politic, Mr. D'Aubuisson is viewed by some in less favor than he is in other parts. If Mr. D'Aubuisson is the elect- ed representative of the people of El Salvador, it is incumbent upon the executive branch, I think, to deal with him as they would with any other government. Now, at the same time, I think I would go into that hypothesis with my eyes wide open, and that is that there is in this country a segment of our body politic that might be more skeptical of Mr. D'Aubuisson than, say, Mr. Duarte, and to that effect maybe that segment of the body politic may have a higher standard for Mr. D'Aubuisson with regards to human rights and other elements of our foreign policy that are important. But I think that we in the executive branch will deal with the elected representative of the Salvadoran Government. We will ana- lyze not only what is important to us in our self-interest, all the elements of our national policy, but how they react and what their policies are. We will arrive at some kind of conclusion based on that. The Congress in its own deliberations will then arrive as to whether it will continue its support, diminish or increase its sup- port to El Salvador. 753 Senator ZORINSKY. If D'Aubuisson is elected will we continue our current policy of not issuing Mr. D'Aubuisson a visa to enter the country? Ambassador MOTLEY. Visa applications are taken individually and as they come up, sir. Senator ZORINSKY. Even from leaders of countries after they are elected? Ambassador MOTLEY. No, sir, I think that may be just a little dif- ferent set of facts. But generally speaking, I can tell you that for leaders of countries, I am not aware of a leader of a country, of a friendly country, in which a visa was a problem. It is usually a courtesy Senator ZORINSKY. Thank you. A growing number of Members of Congress believe that the U.S. military presence in Honduras is becoming a permanent one. The planned expansion of contingency facilities at two airbases rein- forces some Members belief that the administration is on a danger- ous path. What is your rationale for the military presence and pressure currently being exerted on Nicaragua through the exercises in ad- jacent Honduras? Dr. IKLE. Senator, the purpose of the exercises was to enable us to work together with the Honduran forces and to better prepare both our forces and the Honduran forces. It is valuable for our forces and they received valuable training in several areas. It is valuable for both of our forces to be able to work together in the event the contingency arises where we have to give assistance, maybe pursuant to the Rio Treaty or some other contingency, to Honduras. It is not our desire—I repeat, it is not our desire-to increase our military presence in Honduras beyond the limited presence that we have there now. We may have future exercises there because of the benefits of those exercises I have just mentioned. It is fair to say, however, that the Government of Honduras and the people of Honduras do feel threatened by the massive military buildup that is taking place next door in Nicaragua. As you know, Nicaragua has the largest military force in Central America. Senator ZORINSKY. Could we cope with Nicaragua's military force through our own intervention with military force? Dr. IKLE. Well, if we were asked there, say under the Rio Treaty or pursuant to the U.N. Charter, to fight off Nicaraguan aggres- sion, presumably our military forces would be sufficient. It is pre- cisely that kind of contingency that we want to avoid, that we have to put in military forces into Central America to help such democ- racies as Costa Rica or Honduras to defend themselves against military aggression. Senator ZORINSKY. In your estimation, now that we have put a billion dollars in aid into El Salvador, are we better off now than before we spent the billion dollars? Dr. IKLE. We are better off in the sense that democracy now has a good chance of taking root in El Salvador. We are now coming to the second important election, in the spring. We have very active political parties with different political philosophies that are will- ing to compete within a democratic process. 754 Senator ZORINSKY. Those were not present at the outset? Dr. IKLE. They were there before. But as we walked away, the military strength of the guerrillas, supported from the outside, would have been such that they could have destroyed democracy in El Salvador. Senator ZORINSKY. In other words, more than a billion dollars is the price for maintaining that. For how long? Dr. IKLE. In order to cut short the protracted stalemate in the country—and here I would differ with one point in your opening remarks, Senator Zorinsky—it is to that end that we want to in- crease the military assistance. Hence, the President followed the recommendations of the Kissinger report for increased military as- sistance in 1984 and 1985. Senator ZORINSKY. Do you believe you can rent or purchase any army? Dr. IKLE. We are not purchasing an army here. We are helping the people of El Salvador to defend themselves. You are asking whether they have the will to defend themselves. I think the high casualties that these brave Salvadoran soldiers have taken, the ef- fectiveness with which they fight, the skill with which they re- spond to our training, all indicates that they have the will to defend themselves. Senator ZORINSKY. I have one last question. They do have a low rate of reenlistment, do they not? Dr. IKLE. The rate of enlistment has been improving. They have been in a period of intense combat, with high casualty rates, for 2 years. That is their commitment. It is understandable, under the provision that legally they can return to civilian life, that many of them should want to do that. But the rate of reenlistment has been improved and could be im- proved further if the Government of El Salvador had the fiscal re- sources to put some incentives in. Ambassador MOTLEY. I would like to address directly your ques- tion. Prior to 1982, the retention rate of the armed services was less than 10 percent. By the end of 1983, the retention improved to 33 percent, with a 90 percent reenlistment of the eligible NCO's. So I think we are making steps in the right direction. Senator ZORINSKY. I have seen some figures that were quoted in the newspapers, as high as a third to 40 percent were not reenlist- ing. Do you know how valid those figures are? Ambassador MOTLEY. Well, the figures that I quoted you come from our Government services that deal with theirs. Senator ZORINSKY. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Senator. I am speaking just as one Senator, but it seems to me that the agenda for discussion with reference to Central America some- where along the line has to be focused on what I think is the reali- ty of it. The question is, do we want, “we” being the American people, do we want Central America to be taken over by Marxists? Now, people scoff about that but that is the issue. If we sit back and do nothing or if we do not do enough and let that happen, I am convinced that all of Central America will be lost and fairly quick- ly. 755 At a briefing this morning, Dr. Ikle, I asked a distinguished wit- ness if from the military standpoint he thought the Marxists were capable of taking over Central America if El Salvador falls. His answer was unequivocal, because this is sort of the last line. I have been pleading with the President of the United States to explain what is at stake to the American people. This is not just some long ago and far away matter. This is the front door to the United States. It is burning down. I do not think it is an exaggeration to say that if we allow that to happen in Central America what was allowed to happen in Viet- nam and Cambodia, the slaughter will begin just as it did there, and the mass exodus of people trying to save their lives and seek freedom will begin. We will end up with 10 or 15 million additional refugees. I think we ought to consider that. I have urged the President of the United States to explain that to the American people, and if they say, we do not care, OK, we know something. But I think once we are aware of the options, that the American people will say overwhelmingly, let us stop it, because I know how they reacted when the Communists took over Cuba. They are still resentful of that. And the vast majority, I think, of the American people would like that rectified. But that is neither here nor there. Mr. Morris, let me ask you a question. Your Inspector General's audit of the land reform in El Salvador indicates that when the vast programs of land seizures were inaugurated in March 1980, I believe it was AID had "no advance notice.” Is that so? Mr. MORRIS. That is so. Senator HELMS. After the reforms were announced in 1980, did anybody from AID suggest to the revolutionary junta that these programs were without exception monumental failures and that there might just be a better, more legal way to achieve justice than by the vast nationalization by degree? Did anybody from AID ever bring that subject up? Mr. MORRIS. Senator, since that occurred before my appointment I cannot speak personally to that. But it is my understanding that the Agency's participation in discussion regarding the implementa- tion of that land reform is still the subject of some litigation, which to a degree would circumscribe any reply the Agency might formal- ly give you. Senator HELMS. I will tell you what I would like for you to do, if you will: Provide the committee with any records you may be able to find of any AID officer at any time counseling the Salvadoran Government or individuals therein that the nationalization of the banks, the nationalization of the export industries, and the prime agricultural lands were in fact bad economic policy. I would like to have that information if it is available. Mr. MORRIS. All right, sir. Are you referring just to 1980? Senator HELMS. Well, you know, relative to that period, 1 year, 18 months, any time that they could have had some effect on the implementation. [The material referred to follows:] 756 EL SALVADOR'S REFORMS In looking into your question, I have been unable to find any information whatso- ever on this matter. Accordingly, I must reply as did former Assistant Administra- tor Otto Reich to this question; namely, that we have no information of any AID officer having counseled the Salvadoran Government on the reforms it enacted in 1980. Senator HELMS. Mr. Beckington, I do not want you to sit out there in left field without any questions at all. When you issued your audit of the United States aid to El Salvador's land reform program, AID management felt obliged to issue a lengthy rebuttal, as I recall. That is kind of an unusual practice insofar as I know. They said in effect that it was a lousy job. Do you think it was a lousy job? Mr. BECKINGTON. No, I do not, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Now that you had time to reflect on the contents of the report and the merits of AID's management response, in other words, you think that your report was essentially sound, is that so? Mr. BECKINGTON. Yes, I do, in the areas that it covers. Senator HELMS. In terms of policy which AID could adopt in its future dealings with this and similar programs, what lessons would this audit have for future policymakers? Mr. BECKINGTON. One caveat, Mr. Chairman. I am not a policy- making official of the Agency. As a matter of fact, I am precluded by law from being a policymaking officer of the Agency. But in a very general sense, I would say the lesson that I would draw from that particular report, as well as a number of others, is that these programs are very difficult in the lesser developed coun- try environment. They are management intensive, in my judgment, and they require an unusual amount of both audit and manage- ment oversight if the intended goals are to be achieved. Senator HELMS. Well, AID as I recall complained that one of the things that was wrong was the fact that the audit consisted of what they called auditable information. I do not quite understand that complaint. I do not know what else you could audit except audita- ble information. They said in effect, as I read what they said, that you should have gone off and made a sort of an imaginative ap- praisal of one aspect or another. Is there anything else you could have audited except auditable information? Mr. BECKINGTON. Not very easily, Mr. Chairman. I think we were probably wise to stick to the facts as closely as we could, to verify them. Senator HELMS. That is sort of a leading question. I see that Senator Pell has returned. I was just taking advantage of the time to ask a few other questions while no other Senator was here. Senator Pell, if you will permit me, I will leave to vote. Would you please proceed for me? I will appreciate it, and I will be right back. Senator PELL (presiding]. Thank you very much indeed, Mr. Chairman. I realize that one question that I wanted to ask was asked in my absence, but I am not sure the answer was as specific, at least as it 757 was reported to me, as it might have been. The question is, what do we do, what are the administration's plans, if ARENA and the D’Aubuisson party win the election? Will we continue to extend aid or will we cut it off? Try your hand possibly at being a little more specific than you were to my colleague. Ambassador MOTLEY. All right. We put our emphasis on the process, not on the results. The results we assume, and I think we have reason to assume it based on their 1982 election results, will be representative of the will of the Salvadoran people. It will be the elected representative of the people of El Salvador, whoever is elected. As an executive branch, I think it is incumbent upon us to estab- lish relations with the government. What we keep in mind are those things that are in our self-interest, that is, our national policy elements, all of them-national security, human rights, the other things that are important to us—and also keeping in mind what their government policies are vis-a-vis this. On that basis, then we would proceed with Mr. D'Aubuisson, Mr. Guerrero, or Mr. Duarte. Now, as I said earlier, I do not think there is any doubt in my mind that there is a body politic or a group, a segment within our society, that may want to establish a higher standard of proof for Mr. D’Aubuisson with regard to human rights or other things, and I think probably Mr. D'Aubuisson understands that. So I think what we will do is deal on that basis, and if it meets the criteria of the foreign policy elements of the administration we will make our recommendations based on that, and I leave the Con- gress to arrive at their own. It is a hypothetical question, Senator. I recognize that, and I know you do. And I know this is not the intent of your question, but what we are getting prior to Sunday's elections, which more than likely will result in a runoff in late April, is the suggestion that should those elections result in the victory of Mr. D'Aubuis- son, Congress is going to appropriate zero dollars for El Salvador. I do not think, quite candidly, that is the way we should go about it. Senator PELL. Naturally, as a democratic power we intend to accept the results of that election. Ambassador MOTLEY. That is correct. Senator PELL. Would that apply to Nicaragua, too? When I asked Secretary Shultz the same question, whether he would accept the results of an election in Nicaragua if the government went Com- munist as a result of it, he demurred about accepting the result. Ambassador MOTLEY. I do not know why he may have demurred or not. But let me tell you this. This is the second election in El Salvador. The last one was viewed by Members of your body and others. And there will be Members of this body going down to the next one. They will make up their own minds as to how close a free and real election it is. If the Nicaraguan elections ever get to the point in which they can meet those standards and from what we have heard to date, there are several gaps in that element, but those elections are still not coming up until November and we will have an opportunity to 758 . look at them. If they meet those kind of standards of a free elec- tion, then we will deal with them like we deal with other govern- ments. Senator PELL. I recognize, too, that violence and terrorism is not the sole monopoly of the right, that it exists on the left, too. I be- lieve I am correct in saying that five members of the El Salvador General Assembly, conservative members, have been murdered in the last year and a half, something of that sort, by the leftists. So I think we as Americans find the alternatives there pretty disagreeable, with the majority of deaths being the result of the right wing death squads or whatever they are called, with more than enough, a substantial number, being conducted by the left as well. Do you see any real improvement? I read the report of the State Department on human rights, but how would you measure the im- provement in human rights in El Salvador? Ambassador MOTLEY. I would characterize them in a sentence as a significant, marked improvement from a benchmark of October 1980, which was the first time when we and other groups in El Sal- vador have kept tabs on them. The argument comes from the different ways in which the body counts are done or which civilian deaths are attributable to politi- cal violence or the so-called death squads and the rest of them. To try to bring a little clarity to an otherwise confused situation, we took an average of the varied Salvadoran sources, of which there are four, and averaged them out, because each one of those sources is used by different groups, human rights groups in the United States, religious groups. And if you go back through the record of this committee and the House, you will find at times those testify- ing will one time use one source and the next time will use another source. So we averaged them all out. The U.S. Government has used one source continually. . 759 AVERAGE DEATIIS PER MONTH EL SALVADOR CIVILIAN DEATHS ATTRIBUTABLE TO POLITICAL VIOLENCE (SIX MONTH AVERAGES) 1.600 1,548 JUN 81 1.500 1,400 : 1,300 - 1,200 - AVERAGE OF VARIED SALVADORAN SOURCES" 1.100 1.000 900 DEC 81 ACCORDING TO REPORTS IN THE SALVADORAN PRESS 000 700 600 514 JUN 82 500 380 DEC 82 JUN 83 DEC 83 400 300 200 101 100 • SOCORAO JARDICO COMES UCA TUTELA LEGAL 760 Senator PELL. Excuse me. What is the one source you use contin- ually? Ambassador MOTLEY. It is the press reports in El Salvador. Senator PELL. But that obviously would be, I would think, the least correct of the various sources, because you only have those that the government permits to be reported there. Ambassador MOTLEY. Not necessarily, because I think the other ones are suffering from some of the same inhibitions as the press might be. Besides, some of the others counted civilian deaths in guerrilla warfare as part of the death squads. And so each one has different criteria. That is why we averaged out the four that were used by all human rights groups in the United States and religious groups and in El Salvador. Senator PELL. Excuse me. But you just finished saying you did not use the average. You use the one source. Ambassador MOTLEY. No; the U.S. Government uses a separate source. What I am getting to, Senator-and I will just pass this up to you; it might be more helpful to you. And I will be quoting from memory, sir, so you might have to help me on that. Senator PELL. Thank you for the document. Ambassador MOTLEY. You will see, on the top line is the average of the four sources, and the bottom line is the source used by the U.S. Government. The absolute numbers are not important, Sena- tor. What is important is that you have seen a dramatic decrease, no matter how you count it, by all of the sources through Decem- ber 1983. Now, what is not reflected on that chart is January and Febru- ary of this year, because that chart was done up through December 1983. But I think you will agree with me, regardless of which source you use, that there has been a dramatic drop. In January and February of this year, if you will take that top number there, which is the number for December 1983 for the top line, which reflects 380, in January that number, according to those same sources, dropped to 273. The bottom line, which has 104, in January that number dropped to 96, and in February it dropped to 68. Now, I am not here to defend absolute numbers. All I am trying to tell you is, no matter whose sources you use, somebody is doing something right in El Salvador, because the number of deaths are going down regardless of whose figures you use. Senator PELL. What were they, did you say, in January 1984? Ambassador MOTLEY. In January 1984, if you use the top line, that figure next to 380 would be 273. And the bottom line, which is 104, that figure becomes 96, and we have the figures for February which would make it 68. We have not averaged out the figures for February for the top line yet. Senator PELL. Thank you. have another general policy question that I am curious about. It concerns the fate of the people who are released by the guerril- las. My understanding is that when the guerrillas take prisoners of war, they release them. In the past I know the policy of the Salvadoran Government was to put these people back into uniform and into the army, which 761 would obviously discourage the guerrillas from releasing them in the future. I am curious as to what the policy is today, if that has changed. Ambassador MOTLEY. I do not know the answer to that question. If Dr. Ikle cannot help me, we will have to get you something for the record. But those released were those that were not killed by the guerrillas, and there has been a lot of evidence of their killing prisoners. Senator PELL. My question concerns the fate of those who get re- leased. Dr. IKLE. I would think whether they wind up in the army would depend on their age bracket. Senator PELL. Their age bracket would not have changed more than a few weeks. Dr. IKLE. No, but if they are in the category where they are about to be recruited in any event, that would not stop just because they were taken prisoner. Senator PELL. I guess what I am driving at is, should there not be a policy of not putting them back in the army, because then the incentive on the guerrillas I would think would be to kill all pris- oners of war? Dr. IKLE. I do not think that would make that much of a differ- ence. The number of prisoners that the guerrillas can release would not make a substantial difference on the size of the manpow- er pool from which the army can recruit. Senator PELL. It might not make a difference in rather grand terms, but it makes a great deal of difference to the unfortunate fellow who is either murdered or released. My point is, as a matter of policy would there not be more of an incentive to release him if they knew he was not going to be fighting again? Dr. IKLE. I think it would be worth looking into, and we will get you an answer as to what the experience has been with people who are released and to what extent their subsequent recruitment would have an effect on that. Senator PELL. Maybe you could, when you obtain the result of your inquiry, submit that for the record. Dr. IKLE. Sure. [The material referred to follows: GUERRILLA PRISONER RELEASE POLICY It would be speculative to discuss the effects or implications of retention in the Salvadoran Armed Forces of government soldiers who were captured and then re- leased by the guerrillas since there is no national level policy in El Salvador regard- ing procedures for handling government soldiers who have been captured and subse- quently released by guerrillas. Disposition of former prisoners is the prerogative of individual department commanders. In one department, the commander's policy is to allow the former POW the option of honorable discharge, return to active duty in the same unit, or transfer to another unit. Another commander has a policy of uni- formly discharging all former POWs. Some commanders reportedly regard former POWs with suspicion and prefer to discharge them rather than risk incorporating possible infiltrators into government units. However, POWs that are returned by the guerrillas are usually released from further service. Senator PELL. In the maneuvers that have just ended, the Big Pine maneuvers, and prior to the Grenadero I maneuvers which have not yet begun, my understanding from the New York Times 045 0-84-49 762 report is that there are 1,900 American troops in Honduras. Is that a correct statement? Dr. IKLE. The exact numbers that are there now I would have to check. I am not familiar with it. Senator PELL. Roughly? Dr. IKLE. Roughly, it encompasses our people involved in training people, the residual force from the previous exercise, and people preparing for the next exercise. Senator PELL. Does that not seem a pretty generous amount of American soldiers to have in that part of the world, in a country as small as Honduras? Dr. IKLE. We have intelligence functions there. We have training functions there. It is not designed to provide for the defense of Honduras, but regional operations which are best conducted from Honduras, like the regional training. Senator PELL. It would seem to me that you are getting into seri- ous consideration of the War Powers Resolution. In connection with the tonnage of weapons flowing into El Salva- dor, there have been various estimates made. The Department of Defense estimated that about 5,400 tons of military equipment have been sent to the Salvadoran Government between January 1981 and January 1982. Now, I think that compares with the esti- mate of 50 to 200 tons per month in that same period for the guer- rilla forces. Are those roughly correct? Dr. IKLE. I think there was a discussion this morning in the closed session of the intelligence estimates of what the guerrilla forces received, and of course what the Salvadoran forces are re- ceiving, we can measure that more accurately in dollars, because that is the assistance we are providing, rather than the rough figure of tonnage. Senator PELL. Because it was in a closed session, I wanted to draw out what you could say in open session. Dr. IKLE. Let me get you an answer on that one. I do not like to try to sanitize intelligence figures on the spur of the moment. [The information referred to follows: COMPARISON OF TONNAGES PROVIDED GUERRILLAS AND ESAF We do not know the total tonnage of equipment provided to the guerrillas by out- side sources and cannot, therefore, provide a meaningful comparison. We do know that, through infiltration and capturing, the guerrillas have acquired enough equip ment to arm 9,000 to 111,000 insurgents with a combination of small arms and crew- served weapons. Dr. IKLE. I do know and do recall the overall figure, which is very important for the region, in that the Soviet Union sends supplies to Cuba and Nicaragua and from Nicaragua into El Salvador. In terms of the estimated value of the Soviet supplies, Senator, com- pared with our supplies, they are seven times larger than our sup- plies. That is an important figure to recall, and to get a sensing of the intrusion of Soviet military power into the region compared to our efforts. Senator PELL. Also, we have to bear in mind that many of the guns that we send end up in guerrilla hands. Dr. IKLE. Unfortunately, some of the arms indeed do end up guerrilla hands. On munitions, we established, and the detained in 763 figures were given to you this morning in closed session, that the guerrillas depend very heavily there on the supplies from Nicara- gua. Senator PELL. If it is permissible for those figures to be desani- tized, maybe you could do so. Dr. IKLE. Let us get for purposes of this hearing on the record what we can release in public on these deliveries. [The information referred to follows: PERCENTAGE OF SALVADORAN GUERRILLA AMMUNITION INFILTRATED Although the total amount of ammunition the guerrillas have acquired is not pre- cisely known, we have been able to track a great deal of infiltrated material; it ap- pears that the insurgents are receiving 80 percent of their ammunition from outside sources. The 80 percent figure was made public in an open session on 20 March 1984. Senator PELL. I think those are all the questions that I have at this time. [Pause. Senator PELL. The chairman is voting. I do not feel authorized to dismiss you, so I will put the committee into recess for a few min- utes until he is back from voting. [Recess.] Senator HAWKINS (presiding]. I understand that Senator Helms asked a question which one of you gentlemen would like to answer for the record. Mr. Morris? Mr. MORRIS. Yes, Senator, not so much an answer as a comment. I did not want to delay the chairman when he announced that he was leaving to vote, but when he was talking with the Inspector General about the audit on land reform that was submitted, he quoted from a management rebuttal. Rather than leave hanging in the air the tone of management's views on that audit, I would like the opportunity to say just a few words. The Inspector General and I were continually in contact on a number of management prob- lems, program problems, including those raised in this report. We agree on many of the difficulties that were cited in that report, but on the other hand, we do have some serious disagreements as to some of the research methodologies, the statistics used, and sam- pling techniques, and most importantly, perhaps, an area where we feel the tone ignored the enormous accomplishment that has been achieved in the face of great difficulties. But as the Inspector General himself pointed out, he felt that was a sort of policy judgment that went beyond the scope of the audit, so I am not sure we even disagree about that. I would also like to say, Senator, I do not know how long this panel will be on, but by its very nature it will have to be fairly brief and general. I realize we are going to be followed by platoons of other panels, some of which no doubt are going to be replete with anecdotes. I would hope that I can respond for the record to what the subsequent panels may be saying about our Agency's pro- gram. Senator HAWKINS. You are taking a great responsibility on those young shoulders. Now, I have some questions for the panel. As you know, Florida has been the destination for thousands of Haitians fleeing serious 764 economic conditions in their country. It is my view that many of the conditions that the Kissinger Commission found as causes for the problems in Central America are also present in Haiti. In addi- tion, I understand that some of the Haitians fleeting Haiti in boats land in Cuba, where they are often indoctrinated with propaganda for a period of time and then put back into the water and pointed back to Haiti. Given these potentially explosive circumstances, why is our aid to Haiti roughly one-half of that to the Dominican Republic? Ambassador MOTLEY. Jay, would you take that? Mr. MORRIS. Thank you very much. [General laughter.] Senator, as you know, in Haiti, because of the difficulties with government institutions and their capacities to administer some- times technically arduous projects, we primarily work through pri- vate and voluntary organizations. They, too, by their very nature, impose a sort of natural constraint on our programing abilities, and so I would say that it is the management of the programs there that are forced upon us by circumstances that to a degree cir- cumscribe our ability to increase aid there dramatically beyond its present levels. Ambassador MOTLEY. The allocation, if I might, Senator, of aid between countries is always not only a difficult chore, but one in which there is spirited debate between different countries. I think that your question merits a more substantive answer, and we will provide it to you in writing with regards to the levels of aid and why they are as they are. Senator HAWKINS. As I am sure you are aware, these two coun- tries have roughly the same size population. They share the island of Hispaniola, yet Haiti has twice the population density and less arable land, and is in very serious economic straits, otherwise Flor- ida would not be receiving so many Haitian refugees. Bolivia has been governed by three separate administrations in the past 3 years. Each has promised to undertake major efforts against Bolivian narcotics traffickers. In August 1983, the current Bolivian Government signed four agreements with the United States which have the long-term objective of reducing coca cultiva- tion to levels needed for just legitimate use. At the same time, Bolivian coca production remains the source of about half the cocaine entering the United States. The fiscal year 1985 budget calls for a continuation of substantial narcotics control assistance to the Bolivian Government, $5.5 million. What justifies the continued high level of assistance, and do you believe that the President of Bolivia has a greater commitment to combat narcotics traffic here than his recent predecessors? Third, does he have the backing of the Bolivian military in his effort for eradication? Mr. Motley? Ambassador MOTLEY. To arrive at your question, Senator, I think first a lot of our aid goes to help in the eradication and the inter- diction of drugs, and I think removing the aid removes that ele- ment of it. I do not consider that to be an option that would be a preferred one. I think you have hit the nail on the head in your opening statement in which you mentioned a number of govern- ments in a short period of time. That would indicate to most people 1 765 that we are not talking about a government whose roots go down throughout the country, certainly not for a long period of time. I can tell you that in my discussions with our Ambassador to Bo- livia, Ambassador Corr, that he, on a continual basis is in contact with the President and other members of the Government, point- ing out these four agreements, pointing out how they are of impor- tance to us, and the questions such as you have raised do come up, if in fact, targets are not met with regard to the interdiction and eradication of drugs. Senator HAWKINS. As I understand it, about half the proposed funds for Bolivia are earmarked for drug eradication. Is that cor- rect? Ambassador MOTLEY. I do not know, but I will get those figures for you. I came here prepared for Central America, but I will get the figures for you. 1 Senator HAWKINS. And could you give me the status of the U.S. crop eradication agreement that we have with the Bolivian Govern- ment also? Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes, ma'am, I will give you all the informa- tion that we have. Senator HAWKINS. And what results have been achieved, and what do you project as the maximum achievable reductions during 1984, this calendar year. Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes, ma'am. Senator HAWKINS. Finally, what will these funds be used for if the crop eradication program is not fully implemented? And what has it been used for? Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes, ma'am.1 Senator HAWKINS. I have a series of questions on Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. Would you like those in writing? Ambassador MOTLEY. We can do it either way. I am happy to report to you that just 2 days ago in Colombia-it may have been more than 2 days, but it is not more than 5 days—there was a sig- nificant bust of cocaine, probably one of the largest. I cannot re- member the exact figures, but I believe it was something like 15,000 pounds, somewhere in the nature of 15,000 pounds in Colom- bia. It was a very significant bust. Senator HAWKINS. Was that marihuana or coke? Ambassador MOTLEY. It was cocaine, and some paste, too, I be- lieve. Senator HAWKINS. Did you say 15,000 pounds? Ambassador MOTLEY. Yes, ma'am, 15,000 pounds. Senator HAWKINS. Colombia exports more than half of the co- caine and marihuana consumed in the United States. During the past few years their coca cultivation has skyrocketed. We may be interdicting it and seizing it, as you have just stated, but do you know how much coca was cultivated in Colombia 4 years ago? Ambassador MOTLEY. No, ma'am, I do not. Senator HAWKINS. Would you provide that for the record? Ambassador MOTLEY. Certainly.1 1 See page 1020. 766 1 : 1 Senator HAWKINS. Does the Government of Colombia know the location of the major cultivations of marihuana and coke? Ambassador MOTLEY. I am sure that they have a good idea of some of it, because obviously if they were able to make a bust of that magnitude, that evidences an ability to be able to go to the sources, but whether they have total knowledge, I do not know. It is obviously a question of resources. Again, it is one on which we are working with the Colombian Government. Senator HAWKINS. The United States and Colombia have signed an extradition treaty. Has the Government of Colombia ever hon- ored an American request for the extradition of a Colombian citi- zen on drug trafficking charges to your knowledge? Ambassador MOTLEY. We have had some differences of opinion with the Colombian Government with regard to extradition. As to your specific question, whether they have ever honored that, I will have to get the answer to you. Senator HAWKINS. During the past 3 years, the United States has provided $24 million in direct assistance to Colombia, and multilat- eral banks to which the United States is a major contributor pro- vided $1.5 billion to Colombia in low interest or no interest loans- that is an awful lot of money-while Colombia is continuing to expand marihuana and coca cultivation, and rejects our extradition treaty. In your opinion, has Colombia been a good investment for U.S. taxpayers? Ambassador MOTLEY. I think if you add up all of the interdiction that has taken place and the busting of the source of it, that is a lot less drugs that potentially could have entered this country. I think it is difficult to put it on a balance sheet basis, but I think it is fair to state that it is the position of this administration that it is worthwhile to continue to work with the Government of Colombia, including the aid that is being provided to them, in this very, very necessary and tough fight against drugs that enter the country. Senator HAWKINS. We have twice the amount of coke on the streets of Miami than we had before we put the task force into place, and it is half the price, so I would say Colombians are ship- ping much more than they have ever shipped before, because we have interdicted $12 billion worth around our shores. Ambassador MOTLEY. I understand that the worldwide produc- tion of coke has gone way up, and that is one of the reasons that you are seeing so much of it, and probably the reason why the price has dropped so dramatically. I guess even in the drug trade there is a certain element of market forces at work. Senator HAWKINS. Mexico has the most ambitious crop eradica- tion program in the region, employing helicopters to locate and de- stroy poppy and marihuana fields. It is estimated that eradication has reduced the amount of Mexican heroin in the United States by more than 50 percent from its peak in 1975. Since 1973, the United States has contributed over $76 million to Mexican efforts to eradicate and interdict marihuana and poppies. What have been the dividends for the United States on this sizable investment? "717 1 See page 1020. 767 Ambassador MOTLEY. As you pointed out, the eradication pro- gram in Mexico probably has been the most successful one in this hemisphere, and as you pointed out a little earlier, there has been a considerable amount of eradication. I do not have the exact fig- ures on it, but it is certainly the most successful one that we have had in this hemisphere. Senator HAWKINS. Have we learned any lessons in Mexico that we could apply to Colombia? Ambassador MOTLEY. We learn lessons every time on those. Each country is different. The terrain is different. Obviously it is easier to get helicopters to Mexico than it is to Colombia. Maybe the level of training for the maintenance of helicopters may be easier in Mexico than it is in Colombia. There are many different factors, but I am sure that those things that we learned in Mexico are freely passed on. There is a tremendous crossflow of information within our Drug Enforcement Administration with regard to all of these eradication programs. Senator HAWKINS. Yes; I work with them on a daily basis, and the big thorn in their sides are Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia. Mexico has been an outstanding example along with Turkey. Those are the only two countries I can think of. We gave the Colombians five hel- icopters to observe and to eradicate, and I am told-I sent someone down to look-they use the helicopters to lift the bales of marihua- na in Colombia. They are stamped “Colombia.” They are so proud of it, they stamp their country's name on the side of it. And we have interdicted shiploads of it, and we find out they are using the helicopters we sent them to eradicate, to lift the bales and put them in the ships. It seems to me something must be done to get Colombia's atten- tion. Ambassador MOTLEY. I think so. You have a different problem in Colombia than you have in Mexico, and that is this. There is evi- dence that the guerrilla groups in Colombia are using the drug business as a way to fund their resources, so what you have is a cross between the insurgent guerrilla activities and the drug trade there. It complicates the issue. Senator HAWKINS. In Peru, which is the source of about half the world's supply of coca, the government approved and began eradi- cating in mid-1983, pursuant to an assistance agreement signed with the United States, and estimates that eradication will expand fivefold during 1984. A key coca producing area is in the High Sierra area of central Peru, and the Peruvian Government has started a coca control program with AID assistance, and a rural de- velopment program in the valley. Could you tell me what is the status of that effort? Ambassador MOTLEY. I certainly will. Senator HAWKINS. Excuse me. Would those who wish to talk aside from our witnesses please talk outside in the hall? Please continue, Mr. Motley. Ambassador MOTLEY. I can tell you that there is a geographical difference in the highlands there in which the ability of helicopters to get up to that altitude and operate is more limited than that which you find in the lowlands, and that may be a problem in 768 Peru. However, I will get you the specifics that you have asked for. 1 Senator HAWKINS. All right. I will submit some other questions to you on Peru also. Ambassador MOTLEY. There is one tangential thing that you might want to keep in mind, and that is that Peru has been the beneficiary of rather large amounts of Soviet military assistance, including the providing of the helicopters. The initial helicopters that were provided to them, Soviet helicopters, could not operate at a higher range. I am sure that through the Soviet military assist- ance, there is an enthusiasm to dedicate some of their wherewithal to fight drugs that will eventually end up in the United States, and I think that is something for us to keep in mind when we talk about military assistance to the different areas. Senator HAWKINS. The Caribbean continues to be a primary transit area for the movement of elicit narcotics into the United States, and as a result the Coast Guard has stepped up its interdic- tion efforts in south Florida and the Carolina coastal region. Ja- maican growers continue to export large amounts of marihuana to the United States. Why have you proposed no narcotics assistance to Jamaica? Ambassador MOTLEY. I do not know the answer to that question. I think it is a question of putting what resources we can eke out among the different countries. It may be that Jamaica from a pri- ority point of view may have missed the cut, but I will take a look at it for you. Jay, did you want to add to that? Mr. MORRIS. We are not providing the level of assistance that we do in Peru, but in my visit there I met with narcotics control offi- cers, and there are some modest efforts under way, but as the Sec- retary pointed out, the allocation problem, as was the case in an earlier question, in the Caribbean is always a difficult one, with many factors to weigh. We will give you the most detailed explana- tion we can for the record. Senator HAWKINS. The INM Bureau is supposed to oversee diplo- matic initiatives to combat international narcotics trafficking. What has the Bureau done in the past year to address the serious problem of offshore banking in the Caribbean which is used to launder and shelter narco dollars? Ambassador MOTLEY. We will ask the Assistant Secretary from INM to provide you a full report on that. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. I see that Senator Helms has returned. Senator HELMS (presiding]. Thank you. Senator Murkowski. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Dr. Ikle, I would like to inquire about the charge that U.S. arms shipments to Salvadoran forces are getting into rebel hands. Is that an extraordinary amount of arms that in fact is getting into the hands of the rebels, or is it sensationalized by our news media and not of an extraordinary and significant nature? . 1 See page 1020. 769 Dr. IKLE. It is, in my judgment, not extraordinary. The Salvador- an insurgents do not use large amounts of very advanced equip- ment. They do not use tanks or aircraft. The aircraft that they use come out of Nicaragua and fly in at night to drop off supplies and go back to Nicaragua In El Salvador itself, it is explosives and munitions and rifles, such things as those, and some of these pieces of equipment that they can, of course, capture when they overrun a government posi- tion. The important thing is that the munitions, the continuing flow of munitions to a large extent, is by far the largest percentage, and we have briefed this morning on a classified basis our exact estimate. The largest percentage of the munitions come in from Nicaragua, not through capturing U.S. supplies with government forces. Senator MURKOWSKI. So speaking for the Department of Defense, you are satisfied that the charge is actually built on probably the captured arms during the overruning of government positions, and the charge is without substantiation that our military assistance in the form of munitions and arms is not falling into unauthorized or rebel hands? Dr. IKLE. I think that is contradicted on munitions by our best estimate that by far the bulk of munitions has to come in through Nicaragua, and is coming in that way. That is not to say that it is very regrettable if any piece of our equipment winds up in insur- gent hands, and we in our training and working with the Salvador- an Government forces have to make sure that they do everything to prevent that. Senator MURKOWSKI. The charge has been made that the Salva- doran troops are not effectively using the arms that we are sending down, that they have not learned to use them. In your opinion, is that true; does it have any justification? Dr. IKLE. We had some reason, Senator, for dissatisfaction early last year and still last summer. Since then, there has been some new leadership and better use made of the training that we have given the forces. With perhaps one temporary exception, the people that we trained have performed exceedingly well. We also are satis- fied with the overall national plan that the military leadership of El Salvador developed, which, of course, combines the effort to es- tablish military security in areas with the followup effect of eco- nomic development and consolidation. Senator MURKOWSKI. I have one last question, Mr. Chairman, and I would appreciate a couple of the witnesses addressing this issue. Basically, we are in a situation when the perception in the minds of the American people of the whole Central American situ- ation is very clouded with information, misinformation, charges, countercharges, questions of not enough aid, too much aid, and not going to the right place. I think the mentality is along the lines of a mini Vietnam. How long is it going to be? It has been said before this committee in the past that Ameri- cans are looking for a quick fix, a response within a reasonable timeframe. Can you, for the benefit of this committee relate, based on your analysis of what we are doing in relationship to what you have recommended, give us a timeframe within which we might see our contribution and indeed our energies lessen, and within 770 which this whole situation might be resolved from the standpoint of stability within that country, allowing us to change our aid from military aid to economic aid? Can you give us any idea of how long we are going to have to live with this dilemma in Central America; that we cannot abandon it, that we have to continue our contribution because the stakes are too high? I agree with those statements, but by the same token, when will it end? Dr. IKLE. It is precisely because of that kind of concern that we want to end the phase of warfare and violence so as to begin the economic development which led most of the Kissinger Commission in their recommendations and the President to propose to Congress the profile of military assistance levels that is now before you, step- ping up through the supplemental in this year, already less in 1985. We have not provided definite figures beyond 1985, but the idea is that the requirement for military assistance would decrease as the national plans of the Salvadoran Army make progress and the guerrilla threat comes under increasing control, so that you will have then perhaps a more diminishing long-term guerrilla problem. Senator MURKOWSKI. What is long-term in your opinion? Dr. IKLE. Well, long-term as you now have in some other coun- tries in the region, it is serious but it does not require the level of military effort that we have in El Salvador. For example, there is a terrorist problem in Colombia that has been flaring up again. Senator MURKOWSKI. Are you suggesting that it is going to be something that we are going to have to prepare to live with for an extended period of time? Dr. IKLE. Well, in Colombia, we have had a terrorist problem for an extended period of time. In Venezuela, the terrorism has been brought pretty well under control. It was very serious at one period. Senator MURKOWSKI. But I think the perception of the American people was that that problem was removed from our immediate frontier Ambassador MOTLEY. And the source of terrorism there has not been the source of directed enormous amounts of U.S. aid or even a significant portion of that aid. I think, Senator, to go back to your original question, over the years from 1981 through 1984 it is a fair statement to say that that which the administration has requested in military assistance for every dollar of military assistance is $3 in economic assistance, so the balance is there in that sense. Second, of that money that has been requested since 1981 for military assistance, the Congress has voted in many cases much less than half, so what you get is a degradation in the system over a period of time. I would envision that the military assistance nec- essary to bring some kind of order as far as active guerrilla war- fare as opposed to just terrorism or isolated acts of terrorism, would be of a much shorter nature than the necessity for the eco- nomic assistance, because the problems in El Salvador with regard to the political, social, and economic problems, did not come up yes- terday, and they are not going to go away tomorrow. 771 So, from an economic point of view, and that is one of the rea- sons that we are inviting other donor countries to get involved, over a period of time you will have to get first back to the level of where they were. Today the GDP [gross domestic product), for in- stance, in El Salvador, the personal GDP is at a level where it was in 1963. Senator MURKOWSKI. So you have to bring it up. Ambassador MOTLEY. You have to bring it back up to this level in order to go on. To answer your question generally, I would say given the levels of military assistance that have been requested in the past and not fulfilled, and given the levels that we have asked for this time, if they are fulfilled, you will see the necessity for military assistance go down, but you will have to have a continuing need economic assistance in order to get out of these very deep problems that they face. Dr. IKLE. This is a very important question which is before Con- gress. If Congress cuts back again, Secretary Motley reminded us, by half or so, the request for military assistance, then without question the military battle will be prolonged, warfare will be pro- longed, and economic recovery cannot take off. Mr. MORRIS. If I could just add an item on the economic side, as Secretary Motley pointed out, the problems on the economic front did not begin with the insurgency financed from the outside. They have been neglected for a very long time, as the bipartisan commis- sion pointed out. All we are really doing is recognizing the level of need that has long been there, although it has been exacerbated by the conflict, but there are some encouraging signs on the economic front that despite the terrible conditions under which we are attempting to be of assistance, progress has been made. The decline in E Salvador GDP that was rather precipitous over the last 4 years has halted, and the data indicates that there is a slight upturn this year. The same thing is true after a shorter decline in Costa Rica. We believe that the indicators are that the level of assistance we are proposing is reasonable to the need, that the results already indi- cate progress is being made, and while it is not going to be a quick fix-unfortunately, the American impatience with quick fixes does not fit an untidy world, but I do think there is every reason to hope that with persistence and long-term commitment to provide psychological reassurance and stability, we will get there, and that we are already on the move. Senator MURKOWSKI. Mr. Chairman, I see my time is up, but in view of the fact that I have been unable to get a time frame out of the administrative representatives, which I would recognize is pretty impossible, I would reflect again on a point that was made in the testimony. Ambassador Motley's formal statement addressed the question are we seeking a military solution in El Salvador? And the answer was "No." As the President said a year ago, the real solution can only be a political one, and we have a long way to go. You support your statement by the recognition that if aid were cut substantially, we will go back even further. So I assume you are saying to the Ameri- can people that we are in Central America with programs of assist- ance and military aid for a long, long period of time, and unless we 772 are there in that capacity, we can expect a significant collapse of Central America as we know it today. I take it that you are not prepared to indicate whether we are talking about 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, or a decade. Is that correct? Ambassador MOTLEY. That is correct. Given the levels which the administration has asked for and receives, it is a problem, quite candidly, with military appropriations. Given the levels that are asked for, the tail of that assistance will be economic. However, as Dr. Ikle pointed out, if you are going to nickel and dime it, it will just keep moving along slowly. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Thank you. Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Mr. Chairman, I have one point of detail. Senators Dodd, Bingaman, and I sent a letter on February 3 to the adminis- tration asking for review of the problems of diversion and misuse of our economic assistance to El Salvador, and asking the Inspector General to conduct a study of it. Did you receive that letter, sir? Mr. BECKINGTON. I do not recall receiving it, sir. Senator PELL. Let me, if I may, give you another copy. It is still dated February 3, and I request that it be acted on as soon as possi- ble. Mr. BECKINGTON. Yes, sir. Senator PELL. Thank you. Senator HELMS. Gentlemen, you are 1 hour and 55 minutes older than you were when the hearing began. I am sorry you got caught up in the working mechanism of the Senate. Without objection, if the committee will indulge me, Mr. Martin Dagata was here a minute ago. Is he still here? Would you take a seat at the table, please? I want to ask you just a couple of quick questions, and then we will release this panel. Mr. Dagata, you have been AID mission director to El Salvador for almost 2 years. STATEMENT OF MARTIN DAGATA, MISSION DIRECTOR IN EL SALVADOR, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. DAGATA. About a year and a half, Senator. Senator HELMS. About a year and a half. Have you ever in your capacity during that time counseled the Salvadoran Government on any of the policies that I have been discussing here this after- noon, the advisability of land expropriation, the advisability of na- tionalizing the banks, the possible barriers to the markets invited by the nationalization of the export industry, the political hazards of one party controlling a major sector of the agriculture through the phase 1 collective farms, any of those things? Did you ever give them any advice on this? Mr. DAGATA. Senator, since I arrived in El Salvador, I think the major decisions have been made in terms of the direction that they were moving in in those areas. I have had some conversations in the area of coffee, the foreign trade expropriation in coffee, in fact, to determine whether it would be useful for us to become involved through technical assistance, some kind of advice. 773 In that area, I came to the conclusion that it would not. The leadership of the new organization INCAFE shortly after I arrived was put into the hands of a person that I think many consider and I consider to be extremely competent, a coffee grower himself, who is himself opposed to the action taken to create INCAFE, and who had some, I think, interesting ideas on the problems that INCAFE faced that I think were better handled by himself and his col- leagues than any kind of assistance that we could provide. In the area of agrarian reform, the question was very much a matter on phase 3 of trying to complete the objectives that had been set out for that reform. That, Senator, was a daily task that consumed a tremendous amount of energy on the part of my own staff and on the part of Salvadorans involved in that process. On phase 1, there were several problems. The problems that were cited by the Inspector General's report, many of which we agree with, had been cited earlier by the Chec- chi evaluation, which we commissioned. These problems again, I think, took a great deal of energy on a daily basis from all of us in El Salvador. I think there are a lot of questions that can be asked about the design of the reform. We have asked them, but in terms of trying to make a process work, in terms of credit, getting credit to people who need credit who do not get it on time at times, who do not get enough, in terms of getting technical assistance to them to help them diversify their production, these are the requirements. These were perceived by us to be the requirements of the day. We think that there has been under the circumstances quite a bit of success in many ways which I could elaborate on if you like in those reforms, both phase 1 and phase 3. Agriculture in El Sal- vador, in a lot of developing countries, Senator, as you know, has its difficulties today. When we compare the agricultural nonreform sector with the reform sector, as best we can-the data are some- what difficult-we think they are not doing that badly in the reform sector. We see some very serious problems on the horizon, some of them that are with us or with them right now that need resolution, but in terms of the possibility of a redesign of that program at that point, when there were so many suspicions about the motivations of people who were involved in the administration of the program, for example, it strikes me in retrospect as possibly having been counterproductive. Senator HELMS. I must confess that I am kind of surprised at your answer, and to be honest, I am disappointed, because what you are saying to me is that you never once talked to these folks about the advantages of what you and I proclaim to be the system in all of the history of mankind, the free enterprise system, Now, I could take it item by item, you know. You talk about the farming. What has happened to the exports since they were nation- alized? What has happened to farm production? The question about using U.S. taxpayers' money to pay off or remunerate the people whose land was seized, that sort of thing, did you never discuss that? Mr. DAGATA. I am sorry if I was not complete in my answer. We have discussed that at length, Senator. 774 Senator HELMS. With whom did you discuss it? Mr. DAGATA. We discussed it with the Government of El Salva- dor, and as a matter of fact, we encouraged them to use their own funds to meet their obligations. Senator HELMS. I know, but I am talking about—well, let me put it this way. If we tried to impose upon the people of the State of Florida or the State of Rhode Island or the State of North Carolina what we are insisting upon in El Savaldor, blood would run in the streets of all three States. Mr. DAGATA. I agree with you, Senator. Senator HELMS. That is what we are talking about. We are forc- ing them to do things which are totally incompatible with what we say we believe in. Do you agree with that? Mr. DAGATA. I agree that it would not be appropriate in the State of Florida to pursue what is being pursued in El Salvador. Senator HELMS. Or North Carolina. And I can guarantee you that those farmers down there would be after you with a machete. Mr. MORRIS. Senator, if I may add, the administrator in his testi- mony before you on February 29 pointed out that he had discussed these items with President Magana roughly 6 months ago, express- ing some concern about some of the difficulties faced as a result of the state marketing board and some of the problems in the way the land reform program was designed. I might also, if I might respectfully, take some issue with our forcing them to do the things they are doing, as you know, those reforms were enacted in March 1980, and they are a fact of life in another sovereign country, but if you are asking, are we discussing with them the flaws in this system as we find it, the answer is, yes, sir, we are, and for Senator Pell, who asked the Inspector General about the letter of, I think, February 3 or 4, sir, the mails must be going astray both ways, because there is a reply dated February 28 which my staff supplied me, and I will be happy to give that to you for the record. Senator HELMS. Mr. Morris, let me say to you that culpability is not just in the executive branch. I have heard it said here in the U.S. Senate that unless they adopt this land reform, which is sei- zure of land, we are not going to support them. The distinguished chairman of this committee in all good faith, and he is my friend and colleague, and all the rest of it, has said over and over again boastfully, that the land reform is a part and parcel and the na- tionalization of the banks and the nationalization of the exports. Here we are saying, and I am including the Congress in that, we are saying to the Salvadorans, you take this or else. No wonder they are confused. Mr. MORRIS. Well, Senator, I cannot speak for the chairman of the committee and any comments he might make obviously about bank nationalization or whatever, but I want to clarify one point. We are certainly committed to the principle of ownership by the mass of the people of the land in the country. I think one of the reasons for the instability that the left has so successfully exploited is the fact that 1 percent of the population owned 40 percent of the arable land. We are not, however, in the business of structuring that reform in a particular way, at least not 775 at the time it was originally enacted. We are now faced with a situ- ation that we think we have to make workable. We are discussing with them how to make it more effective and more equitable, but we are certainly not opposed to the general concept of having the land more widely held. I think we both prob- ably would agree with that. It is a question as to the mechanisms that are being used, and we share your views about some of the problems with the mechanisms in place now. Senator HELMs. You had better look at the statistics in this coun- try about what percentage owns what percentage of the land, and I think you will back up a little bit from that statement. Well, there is no more time for debate. I thank all of you for your patience, and I apologize for keeping you here for so long, but it is one of those things that we could not help. Thank you all very much. Ambassador MOTLEY. Senator, may I please make one comment on an earlier remark? In your initial questioning, we discussed the death of Bishop Romero and allegations as to who may or may not have been involved in the murder. I would just like to point out to you that in testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, the allegation was made or allegedly it was made-I am basing this on newspaper reports—the allegation was made that the State De- partment covered up and that there were cables that were kept from the Congress. The facts of the matter are these, Senator. The two cables in question were provided to the House Foreign Affairs Committee in May 1983 at their request, and new copies were sent to the com- mittee this past February. They are classified cables. They have been there since then. State Department officials also testified in May 1983 on the subject. And as to the allegation of coverup, obviously, we think they are totally baseless. I would just point out to you that that committee, having been in possession of the documents, having had a classified briefing, if they had felt there was any coverup, I would think they would have stepped forward in that period of time. I just wanted to clear the record on that. Senator HELMS. Fine. Thank you, gentleman, very much. We will move on now to the second panel. [Pause.] Senator HELMS. The Chair now will call: Dr. Rufus Waters, pro- fessor of management economics at Wake Forest University; Dr. Jacqueline Kasun, professor of economics, the University of Califor- nia at Humboldt; Mr. John T. Plunket, president of the Association of American Chambers of Commerce in Latin America; and Mr. William Goodfellow, Center for International Policy; and Wayne Smith of the Carnegie Endowment. If you gentlemen and lady would come forward, please. [Pause. Senator HELMS. May we ask our audience to maintain a modi- cum of order, please. The second panel consists of five public witnesses. As I have indi- cated, Prof. Jacqueline Kasun is a development economist from the University of California. Dr. Rufus Waters is professor of manage- ment economics at Wake Forest University in North Carolina. 776 Until last month he was chief economist at AID. Mr. Plunket is president of the American Chambers of Commerce in Latin Amer- ica. And Mr. William Goodfellow is an economist for the Center for International Policy. Mr. Wayne Smith, of course, is associated with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Dr. Kasun, since you are listed first we will call on you first. It is nice to have you. I believe it would be advisable for you to pull the microphone up very closely. STATEMENT OF JACQUELINE R. KASUN, PH. D., PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, HUMBOLDT STATE UNIVERSITY, ARCATA, CALIF. Ms. KASUN. Senator Helms, I would like to express some con- cerns about the inclusion of population assistance and increased levels of population assistance in the programs for Central Amer- ica. The Central American situation has been rightly described as a crisis. I do not believe I need to elaborate on that for the benefit of the committee. The five little countries of Costa Rica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, and El Salvador could all fit together into the State of California, but they have 4 million fewer people than California. Their problems with political unrest, now so skillfully exploited by Cuba and the Soviet Union, stem from the import substitution strategy of economic development which they have all used since the 1950's. This method, which was greatly favored by the multilateral aid agencies as well as the U.S. Agency for International Development, subsidized rapid industrialization by means of foreign aid and do- mestic taxes on agriculture and exports. It entailed comprehensive government planning of investment and thus, of course, endless ri- valries among the little countries, and government allocation of re- sources, together with extensive exchange controls and price con- trols. Thus, the little countries of Central America, each of them no bigger than Los Angeles County or the San Francisco Bay area, have been using separate price and exchange controls, restricting their imports from one another, and restricting the movement of labor from one country to another. In all of the many countries where this strategy of import substi- tution has been tried, it has induced the rapid growth of capital- intensive city industries, which offer few jobs, often in excess of demand or raw materials supply, and it has created poverty and unemployment in the rural countryside which pays the taxes to subsidize urban industrialization. It encourages corruption in the new Government planning offices and exacerbates inequality. Thus, it creates the seeds of social and political unrest. In addition, Central America has recently suffered from increasing oil prices and the effects of the world depression on exports. In response to these problems, U.S. AID has since the mid-1960's insisted that Central America, along with other countries receiving our foreign assistent, must control its supposedly excessive popula- 777 : tion growth. Posting, as Richard E. Benedick, State Department Co- ordinator for Population Affairs, has put it, that controlling popu- lation is a “matter of urgent global priority,” that “the ‘right to multiply indiscriminately represents a misplaced morality," AID has poured millions of dollars into the Pathfinder Fund, the Popu- lation Council, Planned Parenthood, the Association for Voluntary Sterilization, the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, and related agencies in Central America. In 1978, AID inserted sections 102 and 104(d) into the Foreign As- sistance Act to require that countries receiving our aid must dem- onstrate a commitment to population control. These strong statements and forceful actions do not represent the consensus among development economists. The assumptions of the population control lobby have been strongly criticized by many distinguished economists. The fact is that world resources are fully adequate to permit economic development and comfortable living standards for all peoples. Less than half of the Earth's arable land is in use and yields could be increased many times over. World agricultural resources are capable of feeding 10 to 25 times as many people as now live on Earth, using present methods. Supplies of industrial metals and energy are not running out, but are increasing: The world's entire population could be settled in the State of Texas with a large suburban home with front and back yards for each three-person family and all the rest of the world would be empty. Investment depends not on the birth rate, but on opportunities for the efficient and profitable use of economic resources. Countries which offer these opportunities will attract investment capital, and the data show that countries with rapidly growing populations have achieved just as high rates of investment and equal or better rates of output growth as compared with countries having low pop- ulation growth. In Central America, land and other resources are abundant, and my testimony includes a table showing population densities in Cen- tral America, showing that they are lower than in many of the Northeastern States of the United States. The area of Central America, however, is in desperate need of relief from arbitrary Government economic planning. It needs the kind of economic efficiency that develops spontaneously in free markets. It is not families who are out of control in Central Amer- ica, but Government planners. There is resistance to AID population control in Central Amer- ica, as there has been throughout the world. Chris Hedges in the Christian Science Monitor of January 13, 1984, described the bitter response of El Salvadorans to AID's sterilization drive, which uses a quota system to achieve more than 20,000 sterilizations a year in that country, reportedly without adequate provisions for voluntary consent. AID's Richard Benedick has reported extensively to Congress on the "sensitivity" of these programs and the opposition to them on the part of foreign peoples. One of the first acts of the Sandinista government in Nicaragua was to close the despised AID birth con- trol clinics. Similarly, soon after the United States ignominious 34-045 0484-50 778 ejection from Iran, the Khomeini government made the same sym- bolic gesture, closing the AID-financed birth control clinics. The response of AID and its client agencies in the population control network to what they admit to be widespread resistance is to try harder, to spend more money, and apply more leverage, to increase the populaton control effort now in Central America by 100 percent. Such fanaticism must not be allowed to dominate or use our for- eign policy. The United States needs secure peace in Central Amer- ica, not an AID sterilization drive, to be defended and promoted at the risk of our sons' lives. Thank you. [Ms. Kasun's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF JACQUELINE R. KASUN The Kissinger Commission correctly describes the situation in Central America as a crisis. In an area that is on the American mainland, within a few hundred miles of the United States, an area that lies athwart our vital Caribbean sea lanes and that surrounds the Panama Canal, a pro-Cuba Soviet Marxist government is en- trenched in Nicaragua. This government is directing and supporting insurgency throughout the area. Guerrilla war has raged in El Salvador for four years, killing thousands, displacing a tenth of the population, and destroying many public serv- ices. Cuba, massively armed with sophisticated Soviet equipment—three squadrons of Mig-23's, helicopter gunships, assault helicopters, transport aircraft, Foxtrot sub- marines, a Koni-class frigate, minesweepers, and landing craft, as well as a base for nuclear submarines at Cienfuegos-now delivers 15,000 tons of arms a year to Nica- ragua, for re-export to the insurgents in El Salvador, Guatemala, and other coun- tries of the region. The vital security interests of the United States require that Central America not serve as a military base for the Soviet Union. Moreover, we must assure this fact without pinning down a significant part of our military forces in the region. Noth- ing would serve Soviet interests better than to divert the United States from its alli- ances and commitments in Europe and the Middle East by a conflagration in Cen- tral America. At the same time, it is by no means certain that the United States can bring security to Central America, however much money and effort we are will- ing to give. The Kissinger Commission frankly stated that to do this we will need excellent policy, a great deal of cooperation from Central Americans, and much luck. We are no longer the only great power; we face serious constraints and the rivalry of a major hostile power in all areas of our foreign policy. The five little countries of Costa Rica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, and El Salvador could all fit together into the state of California, but they have four mil- lion fewer people than California. Their problems with political unrest, now so skil- fully exploited by Cuba and the Soviet Union, stem from the import substitution strategy of economic development which they have all used since the 1950's. This method, which was greatly favored by the multilateral aid agencies as well as the U.S. Agency for International Development, subsidized rapid industrialization by means of foreign aid and domestic taxes on agriculture and exports. It entailed com- prehensive government planning of investment (and thus, of course, endless rival- ries among the little countries) and government allocation of resources, together with extensive exchange controls and price controls. Thus the little countries of Central America, each of them no bigger than Los Angeles County or the San Fran- cisco Bay Area, have been using separate price and exchange controls, restricting their imports from one another, and restricting the movement of labor from one country to another. In all of the many countries where this strategy of “import substitution" has been tried, it has induced the rapid growth of capital-intensive city industries (which offer few jobs), often in excess of demand or raw materials supply, and it has cre- ated poverty and unemployment in the rural countryside which pays the taxes to subsidize urban industrialization. It encourages corruption in the new government planning offices and exacerbates inequality. Thus it creates the seeds of social and political unrest-what the Kissinger Commission in classic understatement, calls the situation of "flux” and “transformation.” In addition to these effects of a wrong- 779 headed development strategy, Central America has recently suffered from increas- ing oil prices and the effects of the world depression on exports. In response to these growing, multiple problems created by misguided central planning for development and unfavorable world economic conditions, the U.S. Agency for International Development has since the mid-1960's insisted that Central America, along with all other countries receiving our foreign assistance, must con- trol its supposedly "excessive” population growth. Positing, as Richard E. Benedick, State Department Coordinator for Population Affairs, has put it, that controlling population is a “matter of urgent global priority," 1 that “the 'right' to multiply in- discriminately represents a misplaced morality,”.? and that "strenuous efforts will be required to reach the two-child norm,” 3 AID has poured millions of dollars into the population control activities of the Pathfinder Fund, the Population Council, Planned Parenthood, the Association for Voluntary Sterilization, the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, and related agencies in Central America. In 1978 AID insert- ed Sections 102 and 104(d) into the Foreign Assistance Act to require that countries receiving our aid must demonstrate a commitment to population control. This, of course, is the basis of those so-called “requests” for “population assistance” which AID reports from countries receiving our aid. They are required to "request” popu- lation assistance. These strong statements and forceful actions by AID, however, represent the be- liefs of a rather small, but superbly organized and well-financed (with U.S. Govern- ment funds) special interest group. They do not represent the consensus among de- velopment economists. The assumptions of the population control lobby have been strongly criticized by many distinguished economists, including Julian Simon, Goran Ohlin,5 Mark Perlman, Peter Bauer,? Fred Glahe, 8 Colin Clark, Richard Easterlin, 10 and others. The fact is that world resources are fully adequate to permit economic development and comfortable living standards for all peoples. Less than half of the Earth's arable land is in use, and yields could be increased many times over. World agricultural resources are capable of feeding 10 to 25 times as many people as now live on Earth, using present agricultural methods. 11 Supplies of industrial metals and energy are not running out but are increasing. 12 Ridker and Cecelski of Resources for the Future have said that "in the long run, most of our metal needs can be supplied by iron, aluminum, and magnesium, all of which are extractable from essentially inexhaustible sources. Known world coal reserves are sufficient for a thousand years of use, possibly two thousand. 14 The world's entire population could be settled in the State of Texas with a large suburban home with front and backyards for each three-person family, and all the rest of the world would be empty. There is no economic evidence, though many economists have searched for it, that rapid population growth retards the growth of the gross national product or re- strains investment. 16 Investment depends not on the birth rate but on opportunities "113 1 Prepared Statement of Ambassador Richard Elliott Benedick before the Subcommittee on International Economic Policy and Trade Committee on Foreign Affairs, U.S. House of Repre- sentatives, February 29, 1980. 2 Ibid. 3 Testimony of Ambassador Richard Elliott Benedick before the Foreign Relations Committee, April 29, 1980. Julian L. Simon, "The Ultimate Resource," Princeton University Press, 1981. 5 Goran Ohlin, "Économic Factors in Population Growth," in Ansley Coale (ed.), “Economic Factors in Population Growth," John Wiley, 1976. 6 Mark Perlman, "Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries: A Review Arti- cle,” The Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XIX, No. 1, 1981. ? Peter Bauer and Basil Yamey, "The Third World and the West: An Economic Perspective,” in W. S. Thompson (ed.), "The Third World: Premises of U.S. Policy," San Francisco: Institute for Contemporary Studies, 1978. 8 Fred R. Glahe and Dwight R. Lee, "Microeconomics: Theory and Applications,” Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1981, pp. 188–193. 9 Colin Clark, "Population Growth: The Advantages," Santa Ana: R. L. Sassone, 1972. 10 Richard A. Easterlin, "Population," in Neil W. Chamberlain (ed.), Contemporary Economic Issues, Richard D. Irwin, 1973. 11 Roger Revelle, “The Resources Available for Agriculture," Scientific American, September 1976, pp. 165–178; Clark, op. cit. 12 Simon, op. cit. 13 Ronald G. Ridker and Elizabeth W. Cecelski, “Resources, Environment, and Population: The Nature of Future Limits," Population Bulletin, Vol. 34, No. 3, August 1979, p. 29. 14 Clark, op. cit., p. 10; Ridker and Cecelski, op. cit., p. 26. 15 Francis P. Felice, "Population Growth," the Compass, 1974. 16 Simon, op. cit., Ch. 13, and "Economics of Population Growth,” Princeton University Press, 1977, Chs. 4 and 10; Nick Eberstadt, "Population Control and the Wealth of Nations: Implica- Continued 780 for the efficient and profitable use of economic resources. Countries which offer these opportunities will attract investment capital, and the data show that countries with rapidly growing populations have achieved just as high rates of investment and equal or better rates of output growth, as compared with countries having low popu- lation growth.17 In Central America, land and other resources are abundant. The area, however, is in desperate need of relief from arbitrary government planning; it needs the kind of economic efficiency that develops spontaneously in free markets. It is not families who are out of control in Central America but government planners. There is resistance to AID population control in Central America, as there has been throughout the world. Chris Hedges in the Christian Science Monitor of Janu- ary 13, 1984 described the bitter response of El Salvadorans to AID's sterilization drive which uses a quota system to achieve more than 20,000 sterilizations a year in that country, reportedly without adequate provisions for voluntary consent. In a country where "death squads” operate widely, is it realistic to expect that a sterili- zation drive, promoted with all the diplomatic and financial leverage of AID, should observe the niceties of true voluntarism? The Agency for International Development is well aware of the resistance which its population control programs elicit in many countries; AID officials have spoken frankly about it. Richard Benedick has reported extensively to Congress on the “sensitivity” of these programs 18 and the “lack of commitment” 19. and “opposi- tion' ” 20 to them on the part of foreign peoples. One of the first acts of the Sandi- nista government in Nicaragua was to close the despised AID birth control clinics. The Sandinistas declared that from now on birth control was to be the private busi- ness of citizens and not the business of the government. 21 Similarly, soon after the United States' ignominious ejection from Iran, the Khoumeini government made this same symbolic gesture, closing the AID-financed birth control clinics which had spearheaded the movement for population control in Iran.22 One AID memorandum of 1982 frankly stated that all support for these programs would collapse if the United States stopped financing them and forcing them as a condition for receiving our aid. 23 It is reported in Mexico that the price which the Mexican Government had to pay for International Monetary Fund assistance in solving its recent balance-of-payments crises brought on by misguided economic “planning” was to agree to a vigorous drive for population control.24 The Mexican Government is now committed to reducing population growth to 1 percent per year by the year 2000; this implies a limit of two children or less per family, depending on how soon Mexican families comply with the program to reduce births.25 AID has stated that the “sensitivity of population programs” is so great that it is desirable to use the "multilateral agencies”-in Mexico's case, apparently, the IMF- gates for AID itself in many cases. 26 -as surro- HOW BAD IS THE SO-CALLED POPULATION PROBLEM IN CENTRAL AMERICA The countries of Central America are neither very crowded nor very poor in com- parison with other places, as the following table shows: tions for American Policy,” prepared for Under Secretary of State for Security Assistance, Sci- ence and Technology, Washington, D.C., Nov. 24, 1981. 1? Ibid.; Clark, op. cit.; Jacqueline R. Kasun, “A Consideration of the Cost-Effectiveness of Population Assistance in U.S. Foreign Aid Programs,” 1982, prepared for the Under Secretary of State for Security Assistance, Science and Technology, Washington, D.C. 18 Benedict, op. cit. 19 Ibid. 20 Ibid. Population Reference Bureau, Intercom, March 1980. 22 Population Reference Bureau, Intercom, March 1979, p. 13. 28 AID, “Rationale for AID Support of Population Programs,” January 1982. 24 Alfonso Bravo Mier, “Report on Mexico's Situation in Relation to the Defense of Life,” Comite Nacional Pro-Vida, A.C., September 15, 1983. 25 Ibid.; John S. Nagel, “Mexico's Population Policy Turnaround," Population Bulletin, Vol. 33, No. 5, December 1978. 26 AID Briefing Paper, June 20, 1981. p. 4. 781 Persons per Country or State GNP per capita, dollars 1981 square mile 1982 Central America........ Honduras....... El Salvador ........... Nicaragua......... Guatemala Costa Rica......... California........ India......... China............. Republic of Korea ....... West Germany. Japan ... New Jersey Rhode Island 121 84 574 47 163 112 151 570 285 1,080 643 825 986 898 NA 600 650 860 1,140 1,430 NA 260 300 1,700 13,450 10,080 NA NA Source: Population densities from "Statistical Abstract of the United States," 1982–83; GNP figures from World Bank, World Development Report 1983. The response of AID and its client agencies in the population control network to what they admit to be widespread resistance is to try harder--to spend more money and apply more leverage. Benedick insists that "the United States should seek to keep the population problem at the forefront of the world's agendas" and that we should "assign ... a population officer in the staffing of every Embassy where popu- lation factors are important" 27—that is, of course, in his view, everywhere. Moreover, the drive for population control in countries receiving our aid is only one of the goals of the population activists in the Department of State. State Depart- ment Document NSSM 200, classified in 1974 and not declassified until 1980, clearly states that population control is to prevail also in the United States: “Constructive action by the United States will further our objectives. To this end we should: Urge the adoption of specific population goals including replacement levels of fertility for DCs and LDCs by 2000. After suitable preparation in the United States, announce a U.S. goal to maintain our present national average fertil- ity no higher than replacement level and attain near stability by 2000.” 28 The document furthermore states that, to attain these goals, “mandatory pro grams may be needed.” 29 In the meantime the population activists seek now to in- crease their bitterly resisted programs in Central America by exploiting the need for emergency assistance in that troubled region. Bizarre as it may seem, the plain fact is that the foreign policy of this great nation has been, is being, used — taken hostage” may not be too strong a term-by a very special interest group with a monomaniac world view, the belief that what it calls “overpopulation" is at the root of all human problems and that the United States must lead a world crusade against population, regardless of cost. Such fanati- cism must not be allowed to dominate or to use our foreign policy. The United States needs secure peace in Central America, not an AID sterilization drive to be defended and promoted at the risk of our sons' lives. The United States is not the ruler of the world. We are operating under serious constraints in Central America and elsewhere. We cannot afford to antagonize large numbers of the population in such a sensitive area as Central America with its innate vulnerability to insurgency and civil war. There is, of course, no difficulty at any time in hiring people to carry out ADD sterilization campaigns or in bribing gov- ernments to request" such "assistance.” In so-called "model" programs conducted, according to AID's own statements, in China, Indonesia, and elsewhere throughout the world, population controllers have brought their techniques of individual and group pressure applied in the so-called "village system” to a high state of effective- 30 And the directors of such programs can put the money we give them into ness. 28 Testimony of Ambassador Richard Elliot Benedick before the Foreign Relations Committee, April 29, 1980. 28 NSSM 200, "Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security and Overseas Interests," December 10, 1974, declassified on December 31, 1980, p. 19. 29 Ibid., pp. 118–119. 30 AIDAČ Cable (State 017208), sent to all AID Missions, January 1977; Statement of Dr. Alex- ander Shakow, Assistant Administrator, AID, before the Select Committee on Population, 95th Cong. 2d Sess., May 2, 3, 4, 1978, No. 8, Vol. II, pp. 171-172; AID Memorandum for Assistant Continued 782 I Swiss banks and prepare to flee when our cause has been defeated. But such things do not serve our national interest. AID's population control programs create antagonism where we need trust and friendship. They magnify the costs of our legitimate efforts to achieve secure peace. They anger our friends and comfort our enemies. In the interests of our own securi- ty, we should eliminate the population control funds from the Central American aid bill, terminate all so-called population “assistance” from all of our foreign aid pro- grams, and repeal Sections 102 and 104(d) of the Foreign Assistance Act. Senator HELMS. Next is Dr. Rufus Waters, professor of economics at Wake Forest University, and I have already identified his previ- ous connection. How do you like Wake Forest? Mr. WATERS. I love it. It is an absolutely delightful place. Senator HELMS. Well, they had the misfortune of having me to go to school there. But back in those days Wake Forest was at Wake Forest and not at western Salem, and they started using electric lights the year after I left. [Laughter.] Dr. Waters, we are glad to have you. You may proceed. STATEMENT OF ALAN RUFUS WATERS, PROFESSOR OF ECONOM- ICS, WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY, FORMER CHIEF ECONOMIST, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, WINSTON SALEM, N.C. Mr. WATERS. Thank you, sir. Senator, I see this as being the very basic problem of a flawed system, run, unfortunately, by competent people, even ethical people. But if the structure is indeed faulty, then the outcome is inevitably bad. First of all, I would be so fundamental as to suggest that develop- ment is a pervasive, long-run process, where multitudes of people are involved in doing their own thing. It is untidy. If administered, it is badly handled. It is a messy business. It is a business of atmosphere and euphoria and success, but nobody gets up in the morning saying, today I will develop eco- nomically. They get up saying, today I will make a buck for my family or for myself, and I will pursue a new and exciting idea. None of this hangs well with the organizing mind, with what have been called the regnant clerisy, the people who have a pro- clivity for deriving their rewards from administration. Therefore, I would like to suggest that we have basic problems here and that trying to tidy up the operations of the system may be in fact self- defeating. Since people respond to incentives as they perceive them and as they desire them, it is very difficult indeed for an outsider to struc- ture a set of incentives which will induce people to pursue what they conceive to be their own good, and we have 70 years of demon- stration in this century alone that the idea of externally structured rewards do not produce the kind of results we anticipate; they produce stagnation and stolid boredom. There is absolutely no evidence that I am aware of that aid by government officials-and incidentally, I would always refer to gov- . Administrators, Mission Directors, AID Representatives and Principal AID Officers, June 11, 1980; National Security Council, “U.S. International Population Policy,” Fourth Annual Report of the NSC Ad Hoc Group on Population Policy, April 1980. 783 ernment officials, not governments. I never took a government to lunch, but I have met with many officials. So I would rather talk about the personalities of the officials. Aid by officials to other officials, there is no clear evidence that that produces economic development, permits the untidy, rambunc- tious behavior that we think of as development. Aid, in fact, may even retard the emergence of the untidy developing society. There is some evidence to that effect. I believe that we should ask, or rather we should demand, more convincing arguments from those who want to give U.S. taxpayers' savings to the officials of the poor and usually nondemocratic na- tions. The burden of proof must lie with the advocates of govern- ment official to government official aid, and U.S. officials who in turn derive their livelihood from that activity. The burden of proof must not lie with those who would in fact question such activity. And this leads, of course, to the next point, and that is that in the cult of what the British journal the Econo- mist-as an Irishman, I do not like quoting British journals, but oc- casionally I am forced to—what the Economist refers to as "ethic- speak. " This is the language used to disarm critics: How can you deny a decent life to the poor from your huge bounty? Heavens, I see starving children; we must to their aid go. I find that kind of argument insulting and repugnant, because of course the real issue is that we are not transferring aid from our bounty to the poor. We are transferring it from our bounty to the officials of these benighted nations, as I have suggested. In fact, we have been accused of throwing money at problems, but that is ludicrous. We have not thrown money at problems, but we have thrown money at officials in control, we have thrown money at our own consultants and our own universities. Had we thrown the money at the poor we might see a different outcome. I would love to hear this widely discussed, but for some reason those who have an interest in the system do not seem keen to do so. Another fundamental point worth making is—and again, as an Irishman I am well aware of this—that revolutions and coups are not the automatic result of absolute or even relative poverty. They are the work of professional revolutionaries, highly energetic, clearly visible groups, to whom we owe nothing and from whom we are due an answer to the question. Will your society be more open and flexible and prosperous and humane than the present one if it is allowed to evolve over the same time period? The people who in fact generate revolutions, people identified by such fine authors as Edward Luttwack in his handbook on "How to Overthrow Your Government. Coup D'Etat"—these folks hate the cooperative and self-directing nature of pluralistic open capitalist societies. I suggest that we get away from the idea that somehow nations in poverty and nations oppressed rebel. Tell that to the Irish of the 1840's. They did not rebel then. They rebelled in 1798, and again in 1860's and again in 1916, in periods of relative prosperity. Collectivism does not work. We do not have to talk about that. All the evidence is out there. We are debating arcane models if we think it does. 784 . Land reform is a word loaded with virtue and mired in failure. I suggest that, rather than trying to reform the land, which never did me any harm, we try to find out, would it not be better to reform the markets through which land is supposed to change hands and move into its more effective occupation? Again, I think it may be disingenuous, but I see the language as being cultivated and used to obscure. Market reform, perhaps. Legal reform, no. Remember always, I pray, Senator, that the cost of any activity such as the relaxation of a control or regulation will be borne by those presently within the system, whereas what we are seeking to do is induce more active, intelligent, energetic people to enter the system. Relaxation of regulation brings others in, hurts those who have lived the protected life. I am somewhat afraid that, given the flawed system as I see it, that a massive expansion of the number of dollars that we pour in through this very, very tight-necked funnel of officials, any in- crease in that is going to inevitably, no matter how good the will on any side, going to result in substantial dissatisfaction as we see our funds-and by that I mean the money which we are forced by the tax laws to save-going to activities which we ourselves would not countenance. Finally, what can we do? I think we have an absolute right to demand that those who accept our money be required at the same time to dismantle some of the state monopolies, dismantle some of the marketing boards and the other invidious organizations which we have advised them to set up. On a one to one basis: We will give you more money if you will do this; to eliminate above all else the manipulation, as the Jamaicans do so exquisitely well, of exchange rates so as to transfer wealth from the poor to those at the top. Thank you, sir. [Mr. Water's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF ALAN RUFUS WATERS U.S. AID TO CENTRAL AMERICA Our foreign aid program to Central America is basically flawed. Good and compe- tent people may operate the program, and we may introduce complex techniques to increase and extend control of what occurs, but the basic system is wrong. I would therefore like to make a series of fundamental points about the role and the likely effectiveness of foreign aid in general, and about Central America in particular. Economic development First, economic development means more of whatever people want. It is a perva- sive, sustained, and long-run process of change. It means increased productivity, new services and goods, and new ways of doing things. It means ordinary people perceiving and grasping opportunities to better themselves and their families. It is an untidy, seemingly disorganized, and usually rambunctious process. It is easily killed by the tidy hand of the planner and the administrator. Second, for economic development to occur there must exist the freedom for any individual to participate, and the incentives for individuals to accept and overcome the agony and the risk of change. Furthermore, the incentives must be what people themselves perceive as incentives, and not what some official or outsider believes that they should want for their own good. Finally, economic development will occur where people are allowed and encouraged to form voluntary coalitions and compa- nies for mutual gain. And, where the legal system makes it easy for people to go into business with the blessing of the law. 785 Foreign aid There is no clear evidence that a transfer of assets from our government officials to government officials of poor countries (GO-GO aid] causes, or even permits, the process of economic development to get under way. There is, on the other hand, strong evidence the GO-GO aid may be a continuing hindrance to the process of eco- nomic development. We should demand more convincing arguments from those who want to give the U.S. taxpayers' savings to the officials of the governments of poor and universally undemocratic nations. We have been in the GO-GO economic aid business long enough to be able to draw some general conclusions about its general effectiveness. Even casual observation should lead a disinterested observer to conclude that those nations which have prospered have done so largely without foreign aid. And those who have had the largest gifts of foreign aid have prospered the least. The burden of proof must lie with the advocates of GO-GO aid, the U.S. Govern- ment officials whose careers derive from a growing aid program, and the consult- ants and university faculty who are sustained by aid. The burden of proof should not lie with those who question the effectiveness and moral propriety of GO-GO aid. The "ethicspeak" of aid What a recent issue of the Economist referred to as the "Ethicspeak” of aid is allowed to disarm critics and produce unwarranted guilt. "How can we deny a small share of our obvious bounty to the starving children of the poor nations?” the rhe- torical question is insulting in its implication and ironic since it is usually posed by those whose actions may well have transfer such wealth to themselves in both pecu- niary as well as non-pecuniary form. The question is usually posed by those members of the international regnant clerisy most eager to see the tax savings of the people of the United States given to “Third World” government officials. It has only recently been admitted that those “Third World" government officials can be observed to use the aid for various ac- tivities which defer the necessity for reform. And, it is fundamental and totally domestic economic reform within the poor countries which alone could eliminate the evils which exist. It is purile to say that starving children have no ideology. Their parents do, and so do the government offi- cials who rule the poor nations and knowingly follow policies which cause and permit hunger and scarcity. We are in the process of transferring abroad the conviction of the left wing in this country that no one is to blame for their own circumstances or their own actions. This is not only at odds with the deeply held convictions of a vast majority of our own society, it is the path to economic failure and stagnation. It is too late to try and blame external forces for the failure of the currently poor countries to permit economic growth. We must not be bashful about calling the situ- ation the way we really see it. If we cause offense to those in authority who exploit their own people for personal gain, so be it. Our current sensitivity about offending the people in control of the aid receiving nations does us no credit and them little good. We must demand We have every right to demand that those who willingly take our taxpayers sav- ings be required to conduct certain immediate and visible reforms. They should be required to dismantle at once the marketing boards and other state monoplies which we in our ignorance helped them to construct with past AID programs. They should be required to dismantle the foreign exchange controls and the fixed ex- change rates which they so obvioulsy use to transfer wealth from their own poor to the import consuming administrative classes. The officials in control of the aid accepting countries should also be required to establish at once a simplified legal system for those who want to get into business either on their own or as corporate or cooperative groups. Recent research has shown that the establishment of a legal business, which may take no more than an afternoon in the United States, takes up to a year in certain Latin American countries if it is to be allowed at all. Few new businesses have the capital to sustain them through such a delaying system. One result of this system may be that people are driven into the underground economy and to illegal activi- ties. Such is not the way to initiate the process of economic development. 786 Coups and revolutions A major and regular justification for massive social manipulation of the AID client countries is that failure to do so will result in revolutionary change to our disadvantage in the global conflict between Soviet communism and the Free World. The argument is used to justify such wild goose chases as “population policy” where there is not even strong evidence, let alone proof, that high rates of popula- tion growth or high population densities are related to proverty per se. All we have is the abstract reasoning of the cloistered clerisy on the subject, coupled to the casual observation of travelers in poor nations. The attitude of our AID program officials in this respect reminds this author of his time in the British Colonial Serv- ice in Africa during the early 1950's. It is pure elitism. The seemingly plausible assertion that there is a relation between poverty and revolution is also used to justify United States taxpayers funding what amounts to socialism in aid receiving countries. Our money is given to those who control the state monopolies and to centrally controlled “cooperative” farms which are in fact nothing but soviet style collectives. We even accept the jargon of the far left in speaking of "The People," and their "Representitives," rather than working with people in the broad and individualistic sense which underlies our own ideological commitment to pluralistic capitalism. Revolutions and coups [the most usual method of changing governments in the aid receiving world) are not the automatic result of absolute or relative poverty. They are not the result of efficient political oppression. They are the work of profes- sional revolutionaries. This point is of particular significance in the light of current thinking on the subject and the more traditional conclusions of the Kissinger Com- mission report. In this, as in other aspects, the Kissinger Commission report para- lells the thinking and the recommendations which governed policy in Iran prior to that revolution. To the always highly energetic, and mostly middle class, revolutionaries we of the United States owe nothing. We are, however, due an explicit answer to the question: "will your society be more open, more free, more flexible, and more prosperous than the present one if we allow the present one to continue to evolve?” Yet our clerisy panders to these people who continue to promise utopias despite their production of stagnant and authoritarian regimes in every case where they have seized power. Socialism does not work Arcane explanations, complex theoretical justifications, special cases, and "give us more time” arguments are still used to excuse the visible failure of the collective society. Socialism does not work. A preoccupation with the redistribution of existing wealth results in bitterness, fragmentation of society, and failure to create new wealth. But we continue to use AID programs to fund abroad activities which would not be counternanced in the United States. We continue to pour the taxpayers savings into failed collective agricultural schemes, regional and river basin development plans, and other projects which have a track record of failure upon failure. Market reform, not "land" reform Particularly in El Salvador, we have tied our money and our reputation to the seizure and collectivization of farms under the unfortunate slogan of “Land Reform." I would point out that in El Salvador we back a scheme which forces those who farm middle-sized farms to sell their land to a government agency at knock down prices based on their tax returns from a previous era. Not only that, the officials who control the government pay not with spendable cash, but mainly with bonds worth only a fraction of their face value. Under these circumstances can we blame the farmer who fights to hold his land and get one more crop from it before he is driven out? And what do the officials we give our AID money do with the land when they get it? They put it into collective farms under their own control, and the rest they say that they distribute it to the peasants. They lie. Giving a man a title to a piece of land is normally considered a simple grant of that land. But, not when-as in El Salvador—the title is not legally transferred for 30 years. And, not when the land reverts to the officials if the man dies before the 30 years are up. And not when the man cannot use the title for collateral to obtain working capital for his farm. And not when the average life expectancy of the people being granted the 30-year title is only 15 years at the most! 787 We are knowingly participating in a charade. It is not enough to say that El Sal- vadoran officials are proceeding rapidly with the distribution of titles. They are only playing a game in which we knowingly participate. Worse, we are helping them to make the damnable process more efficient by our technical assistance. The fundamental reason for our espousing anything done in the name of "Land Reform" is that most of us do not realize that what is really needed is not reform of the land but reform of the markets in which land is traded. Only when markets are allowed to operate without manipulation by the officials can land go to those who are able to use it most efficiently for society as a whole. There is also that minority among us-unfortunately not a clear minority in AID- who sincerely believe that the market is a pernicious institution and that the pater- nalism of the socialist in authority is somehow more decent and humane. For such people mere evidence and history are not enough; it is a matter of faith. The administrative class We must recognize that we have created in the past half century a substantial domestic group which derives its income and its wealth, as well as its sense of self, from being government officials. Even under the present administration this is an expanding group. We have also seen the rise of an international administrative class which is al- ready a recognized sociological phenomenon. It is high time that we admitted that these people are normal human beings and not somehow endowed with a superior morality or with omniscience. They, like us, are capable of charity and caring and selfless behavior. They are also, like us, motivated in any but the emergency situa- tion by what is best for their families and their loved ones and themselves. We must no longer assume that the people who implement our policies are disin- terested or have the same goals as we do. The career goals of the people carrying out the distribution of our aid money may differ radically from our intentions. The giving away of valuable assets is a dangerously corrosive activity as any wealthy and charitable person will tell you. Aid is highly fungible. In other words it is a delusion to believe that you can donate money to the officials of a foreign government for a specific purpose. What will happen is that the officials will use the money you have provided to release funds from their budget. They will then go ahead and do what they want with their own money. It is now seen as a delusion to believe that we can target spending by officials in a foreign nation. We cannot become another country's welfare agency if the officials of that country have other uses in mind for our money. Reality and "political reality" It has been interesting to observe officials in AID speak of “Political Reality" and “a lack of Political Will” when the rulers of aid receiving nations refused to act as they were intended to. Never mind that the incentives were for them to act other- wise. And it has been an interesting demonstration of constancy of human nature to observe the same people refusing to recognize failure and repeating the same projects over and over again in different nations. It may all have something to do with the fact that to give precedence to the private sector, or even to admit that the private and the public sectors are not coequals, would lead ultimately to an accept- ance of the irrelevance of their own lives. To reiterate, economic development is not an administered activity. Given its head it has no role for the international civil servant or the Missionaries of the U.S. Agency for International Development. The ultimate distinction between a pluralistic capitalist society and one which is in the hands of the officials is to be found in the pattern and nature of ownership. Private ownership of the rewards of effort. Our society is based on the right to accu- mulate, donate, alter, develop, and transfer to one's children the results of your own thrift and labor. Within AD such a statement draws the suggestion that one intends a "Crusade” and the implication of fanaticism. But if our people do not understand the basic fact of ownership's role, then all else is pointless and they will continue to work with our tax dollars for the dawn of the collective society in each of the aid recipient nations. In conclusion, I recommend that you take a strong line and reject the Kissenger Commission Report for what it is: a relic of the Latin American School of structur- alist economics. A relic of the thinking which sought self justification by demonstrat- ing that the failures of Latin America in earlier decades were the fault of outside circumstances and malign foreign manipulation. Never was the fault with the offi- : 788 . cials in control. Always the solution could be found in the transfer of substantially increased aid and the creation of more administrative jobs in proliferating agencies. We must say no to all this. We must refuse to put vastly more money into the hands of Agency for International Development. AID already has difficulty in effec- tively managing the funds which it currently distributes in Central America. And why do we need new groups of civil servants to coordinate the existing groups of civil servants who oversee Central America? No more international or national agencies should be created. Those in existence have failed. Less, not more, is what we should try now. Instead demand of the leaders in the Central American nations that put aside the strangling statism which holds their people in bondage and denies the possibility of vibrant economic change. We deserve reality; not “Political Reality.” Senator HELMS. Thank you, sir. Mr. Plunket. 1 1 STATEMENT OF JOHN T. PLUNKET, PRESIDENT, ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE IN LATIN AMERICA, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. PLUNKET. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. If I may clarify one point, the organization which I represent here today is the Association of American Chambers of Commerce in Latin America. There is an American Chamber of Commerce in each of the Latin American countries, and these have voluntarily organized themselves into this association. Our association was one of the organizations which was invited by the Kissinger Commission to submit its views and recommenda- tions with regard to U.S. policy toward the Central America area. After we had conferred with the presidents of the American Cham- bers of Commerce in Central America and some of the members of those chambers, we did submit our views and recommendations, and we were pleased to see how closely our opinions coincided with the conclusions reached by the Commission. We were also impressed by the fact that a bipartisan group such as the Commission, representing a broad spectrum of disparate views, should be able to reach such near unanimity in the recom- mendations which it submitted to the President. We hope that that bipartisan spirit will continue in the Congress consideration of this legislation. The proposed legislation is concerned with both the economic and the political challenges in Central America. I shall discuss pri- marily the economic aspects. We do not belittle the importance of the political and military problems. Obviously, unless there is peace and unless there is an acceptable political ambience, econom- ic recovery cannot be expected. However, the 17,000 members of the 21 American Chambers of Commerce in Latin America are neither politicians nor military men. They are private sector businessmen, usually either Ameri- cans resident in Latin America or citizens of the countries in which they live. We claim no special expertise in the areas of politics or military matters. We do claim a great deal of expertise in business enter- prise and management, in trade and commerce, and in economics at the practical business level. And, with chambers in six Central American countries, we represent considerable expertise as to what life in that area is like. 789 During the 1960's and the early 1970's, Central America partici- pated in the economic growth and industrialization which was typi- cal of Latin America during that period. Factories were built, agri- culture was expanded, jobs were created, infrastructure came into being. The Central American Common Market was initiated to en- large markets and create more cooperation and business opportuni- ties and jobs in these little countries. But during the latter half of the seventies the picture changed. Energy prices and interest rates rose, while commodity prices fell. The developed countries went into recession and established export markets for Central America were lost or diminished. Local markets fell off sharply. Plants reduced production or closed. Jobs disappeared, reducing local markets still further. The common market organization has become almost dormant. And, by no means least important, war and terrorist violence have de- stroyed infrastraucture, plants and work centers. Today there are many industrial plants which are closed or which are operating at a fraction of their capacity, and there are many jobs which have disappeared. The principal reasons are simple: The companies lack working capital; The plants are unable to obtain financing or foreign currency to import, usually from the United States, needed replacement ma- chinery, spare parts, raw materials, or components required in their manufacturing process; Their local markets have been adversely affected by the deterio- ration of the economy of the region; and The plants and the infrastructure upon which the plants depend have been destroyed or so badly damaged by the terrorist violence or military activity that plant operation is impractical, if not im- possible. In attempting to help provide economic well-being, therefore, we are not starting from scratch. We are talking first about revivify- ing an economy, not about creating one where nothing has existed. That economy urgently needs growth, but first and more urgently it needs reactivation of what already exists. In discussing the necessity for economic rehabilitation, the report of the Kissinger Commission has the following comment: We recognize that large-scale economic aid alone does not guarantee progress. The most successful growth efforts in the postwar period, including Central America's own sustained expansion during the 1960's and 1970's, were led by the private sector. In these cases government provided appropriate incentives and eliminated roadblocks, rather than trying to make themselves the engines of growth. This must be done again in Central America. We are pleased that the Commission recognized the contribution of the private sector, and we hope that the Congress, in considering the proposed legislation, will take into account the capabilities and the willingness of the private sector to provide assistance in the re- building of the Central America economy. Anyone who has ever walked through an Indian market in Cen- tral America has realized that the Central American is inherently a private sector entrepreneur and has been one since long before the arrival of Columbus. His inherent impulse to trade has been } 790 primarily responsible for the creation in recent years of the new enterprises to which we have referred. As capital and markets become available on a sizable scale, the Central American entrepreneur took very naturally to the idea of using the capital to produce something to sell in the market and, incidentally, to make a profit by doing so. Many of these new enterprises were joint ventures with foreign partners who provided part of the capital and much of the technol- ogy and technical expertise. Often part of the financing was provid- ed by international banks. The participation of foreign industrial- ists and financiers gave the Central American entrepreneur a more sophisticated view of doing business. He learned a great deal about plant management, about person- nel management, about quality and cost control, and about market- ing. He also learned that his partners and his creditors expected to have full and constant access to his accounting records, and that those records must be complete and up to date at all times and that they must be examined periodically by independent public ac- countants. Both local and foreign businessmen are still interested in Central America, but obviously it would be difficult for them to justify put- ting more money into the area under existing conditions. However, if the objectives of this proposed legislation can begin to be achieved, if peace can be established, if government policies permit- ting and encouraging the private sector to operate can be provided, then the private sector can contribute a great deal to the rehabili- tation of the Central America economy. We believe that the best way to provide aid is to provide jobs. With peace and governmental encouragement, the private sector can and will participate in providing those jobs. We urge your prompt and favorable attention to this legislation, which will benefit both the United States and the friends of the United States in Central America. Thank you. Senator HELMS. Thank you. The Chair would like to mention that Senator Percy recommend- ed that we invite you, sir, and I am certainly glad that he did. Mr. PLUNKET. Thank you, sir. Senator HELMS. I think that Senator Percy is otherwise disposed today. There is a little election going on in Illinois. Mr. Goodfellow, we will hear from you. STATEMENT OF WILLIAM C. GOODFELLOW, DEPUTY DIRECTOR CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL POLICY, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. GOODFELLOW. I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this subcommittee. I spent 2 weeks in El Salvador in December researching the aid program. I want to share with you some of my own research and some modest suggestions, that I think will limit the corruption and waste that has plagued our aid program in El Salvador. In general, I think that the United States should be more gener- ous in providing foreign aid to Third World countries, especially concessional foreign aid. However, I think it makes no sense to 791 wait until decades of economic deprivation finally bring on a politi- cal crisis and only then increase our aid, as we have done in El Sal- vador. By then it may be too late. While I am a strong supporter of economic aid, I believe we should only provide it when we know that it will reach the people for whom it is intended. Close examination of our aid program in El Salvador reveals that too frequently this is not the case. Let me summarize my longer statement, which I hope you will insert into the record. Senator HELMS. Without objection, it will be so inserted. Mr. GOODFELLOW. I want to bring to your attention some of the instances of corruption and mismanagement and lack of monitor- ing that have been revealed in the press as a result of three audits. The first audit was done by the AID's Inspector General, which said that the price checking unit set up in the central bank in El Salvador to monitor overpricing of invoices, which is essentially theft of our aid, that that unit is not functioning in an effective manner. This report was done in April 1983. In June 1983, Arthur Young & Co., an auditing firm, did another report, which confirmed the earlier findings of the Inspector Gener- al and said that the three Salvadorans in the price checking unit who are supposed to monitor overpricing might be “susceptible to pressure and possible intimidation" if they did blow the whistle on some of the people involved in the theft of U.S. aid funds. A team from the General Accounting Office was in El Salvador in December, the same month I was there, and they also revealed that AID loses financial control essentially the moment U.S. moneys go into the central bank in El Salvador. I would submit that these problems have not been taken care of. For 21/2 years AID has been trying to get control of this problem, and I do not think it is possible to achieve an eradication, even a near-complete eradication, of the problem of waste and corruption. I would like to share with the Senators some suggestions that I have, modest suggestions, which I think might insure that some of the money reaches the people for whom it is intended and that the money achieves the desired results. I would say, first of all, that only after resolution of the hostil- ities can a large-scale reconstruction program begin. To launch an ambitious program to rebuild El Salvador's damaged infrastructure would be as futile as embarking on a large-scale hotel construction project in Beirut. I would like to suggest a number of specific legislative actions. The first would be to condition economic support fund moneys with the same conditions that apply to military assistance. I think that ESF money should be distinguished and separated from develop- ment assistance and from humanitarian assistance. I think economic support fund moneys should be viewed as part of the war effort, and I think they should be subjected to the same human rights conditions and other conditions that are applied to military aid. This would increase our leverage on the Salvadoran Government to move in the direction of establishing democratic in- stitutions, curbing human rights abuses by the security forces and the death squads, and pursuing some of the economic reforms that are so necessary. 792 . The second suggestion would be to phase out cash transfers. As it is now structured, the U.S. aid program provides U.S. dollars to the Government of El Salvador, in the hope that Salvadoran business people getting the cash from the central bank will spend it on U.S. goods. Clearly, that has not worked. I think that a better program would be a commodity import pro- gram, where we give the Salvadorans the commodities rather than the cash. This way, at least one opportunity for corruption is elimi- nated. It does not insure the end use of the commodities, but it is one step that I think would be useful. The third suggestion would be to earmark counterpart curren- cies. The General Accounting Office has made very clear that AID is not able to adequately monitor the use of counterpart currencies. I think these currencies should be earmarked for specific uses, es- pecially currencies coming from the commodity import program and the cash transfer ESF program, to make sure that they are being spent for humanitarian assistance, for reconstruction, social welfare programs, programs to help displaced persons and to help the victims of the war. Most of the steps I have suggested have been incorporated into the House legislation. The House Foreign Affairs Committee's bill, as I am sure you are aware, has been sidelined until at least after the election in El Salvador. Most of these suggestions, though modest, are something that the committee should include in its own bill. I think that it will move El Salvador in the direction of the peace and prosperity desired by the Salvadoran people and the American people, and I think it is the very minimum that the committee should do to insure that our money is spent for its intended purposes. Thank you. Mr. Goodfellow's prepared statement follows:] 793 PREPARED STATEMENT OF WILLIAM C. GOODFELLOW DEPUTY DIRECTOR CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL POLICY ON ECONOMIC AID TO EL SALVADOR BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS OF THE SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE 20 MARCH 1984 Center for International Policy Washington, D.C. 34-045 0-84-_-51 794 Introduction I am pleased to appear before this committee on behalf of the Center for International Policy, a nonprofit research institution based here in Washington. Don Fraser, former congressman and now mayor of Minneapolis is chairman of the Center board, and Donald Ranard, a retired senior foreign service officer, is our director. I spent two weeks in El Salvador in December, and I want to share with you some of my own research on the U.S. economic aid program and to suggest same legislative steps the conmittee might consider to limit the corruption and waste that has plagued the program. In general, the United States can and should be more generous in providing economic assistance to the Third World. In 1982 we gave only two-tenths of 1 percent of our gross national product in concessional economic aid. Most industrial countries were far more generous. It makes no sense to wait until decades of economic deprivation finally bring on a political crisis and only then sharply increase our aid, as we have done in El Salvador. By then, it may be too late. While I am a strong supporter of economic aid, I believe we should only provide it when we know it will reach the people for whom it is intended. A close examination of our aid program in El Salvador reveals that too frequently this is not the case. 795 2 Private Sector Support Program In fiscal year 1983 $223.3 million or 76 percent of the total U.S. economic-aid package was used for what the American embassy in San Salvador calls reconomic stabilization" (see Table 1). The largest component was the private sector support program, which provided $120 million to Salvadoran businessmen to import capital and intermediate goods from the United States. In order to get the U.S. dollars, Salvadoran businessmen must buy them from the central bank in San Salvador. The Salvadoran government is then able to use local currencies generated from the sale of AID-provided U.S. dollars to supplement its budget. In 1983, one-third of the Salvadoran government budget was underwritten by the proceeds of U.S. balance of payments support programs. For the Salvadoran business community, AID's private sector support program is a great boon for not only does it make otherwise scarce dollars available, it provides them at an advantageous exchange rate. If private .businessmen had to buy dollars on the open market, they would have to pay at least 4.25 colones for each dollar. The private sector support program, however, makes dollars available at the official" rate of 2.5 colones per dollar, thus providing a 59 percent subsidy. Investment Plummets Even with the advantageous exchange rate and tax breaks being provided El Salvador's business sector, new private investment continues to plumet. Rather than investing new money in El Salvador, most private sector businessmen are trying to get money out of the country. Between 1979 and 1981, an estimated $1.1 billion in capital was taken out of El Salvador. Moreover, some of the dollars being provided by AID's private sector support 796 3 program are illegally diverted to bank accounts in Miami and elsewhere. Before El Salvador's central bank provides dollars to a Salvadoran businessman wishing to import capital or intermediate goods from the United States, the importer must present the central bank with an invoice indicating the type of good to be imported, quantity and price. Only then will the dollars be released, usually in the form of a line of credit from a U.S. bank. Diversion of Aid Funds Many importers defraud the program by inflating the cost of items they # import. They do this by presenting a fake or inflated invoice, or in some cases by setting up a separate but wholly-owned company in the United States to buy and then resell at a higher price the item to be imported. For instance, if a Salvadoran businessman wants to buy $100,000 worth of fertilizer from a U.$. firm, he presents the central bank with an invoice for $130,000. Be pays $100,000 to the U.S. supplier and deposits the extra $30,000 in a Miami bank account. Because the private sector support program provides dollars at the advantageous "official" exchange rate, there is an added incentive to divert them to a bank account in the United States. The problem has plagued AID for years. On July 17, 1981 AID sent a memo to Rep. Clarence Long, chairman of the Foreign Operations Subcommittee of the House Appropriations Canmittee. In response to concerns raised by Representative Long, AID promised to establish in six months within El Salvador's central bank "a system for price checking of import transactions to identify and take appropriate action against violations of capital flight regulation." 797 4 Price Checking Unit In January 1982 the price checking unit in the central bank became operational. On April 20, 1983, AID's Inspector General issued a report on the private sector support program for El Salvador. The Inspector General's report concluded, "The price checking unit was not functioning in an effective manner." According to the report, of 72.268 import transactions involving U.S. funds in 1982, only 112, or 0.15 percent, were ever reviewed. Of those reviewed, 20 percent were overstated. In the cautious auditor's language of the report, "This would appear too high an error factor and would indicate a need for expansion of the sample." The Inspector General's report went on to criticize the price checking unit's insufficient staffing (only three people) and said its record-keeping and reporting needed "radical improvement." The report did note, however, that "after reviewing our draft audit report, USAID/El Salvador agreed with our observations, findings and recommendations." Arthur Young Report An even more critical review of the price checking unit's operations comes from an audit by Arthur Young and Company jointly canmissioned by AID and El Salvador's central bank. The report, completed in June, 1983, reiterates the criticisms of the earlier Inspector General's report: the price checking unit "is understaffed, inexperienced and has no work plan." It continues, "None of the analysts have experience in the price checking activity and they receive little, if any, managerial guidance or direction." Part of the problem, according to the Arthur Young report, is bureaucratic, but even if the system could be made to operate effectively, the atmosphere of terror pervading El Salvador makes implementation difficult. Referring to the three people in the price checking unit, the report says they 798 5 "might be susceptible to pressure and possible intimidation even if they do discover invoices that have been overstated." The report concludes, "A key question is whether there is sufficient political will, or desire, to enforce the administrative controls." In response to both the April Inspector General's report and the June Arthur Young report, AID recently has argued, "The problem has been taken care of." When I was in El Salvador in December, I interviewed some twelve AID officials at the U.S. embassy and was told that diversion of money from the private sector support program was a serious and continuing problem. One ADD official acknowledged, "Yes, it's happening. We all know it's happening." Enforcement has been a problem, I was told, because the businessmen involved are politically powerful. GAO Audit An audit team from the General Accounting Office also visited El Salvador in December, and they too found AID's monitoring and control of balance of payments cash transfers inadequate. The GAO team has given verbal briefings to cammittees of both the House and Senate, but they have not prepared a written report on their investigation. According to the GAO team, once aid funds are transferred into El Salvador's account at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York, "AID's financial control ceases. Because El Salvador conmingles funds from Al with other funds, it becomes impossible to keep track of aid monies. Moreover, the GAO found that in spite of AID's claim that U.S. funds are used for productive imports from the United States, "In fact, the money can be spent anywhere." The GAO team also found that overpricing was still a problem. 799 6 *Controls to prevent capital flight through over-invoicing of imports are weak, and allocations have been criticized." Counterpart Currencies Finally, the GAO pointed out another problem that the earlier audits overlooked. The counterpart currencies generated by AID's balance of payments programs are supposed to be spent on projects and programs specified by AID. Initially, AID specified how the local currency generated by each of its programs was to be spent. After that became impossible to track, AID had to settle for general targets for the use of local currencies generated from all of its programs. After its December visit, the GAO team concluded, "AID does not closely monitor local currency uses. The aid program in El Salvador is beset with problems: too much is spent in the cities, rather than in the countryside where the need is greatest; political rivalries and bureaucratic red tape severely limit the Salvadoran government's ability to implement aid programs; and too much aid is diverted to private bank accounts in Miami and Europe. The most insurmountable problem of all, however, is the war itself. The Kissinger Commission acknowledged that without a "considerable reduction in the levels of violence," the massive infusion of aid the commission is recomending would not bring about economic recovery. Capital flight and corruption will continue as the private sector tries to get money out of the country; infrastructural improvements will continue to be destroyed; and the economy will become increasingly dependent on U.S. aid, and more distorted and unproductive. 800 7 Recommended Canmittee Actions Only after a resolution of the hostilities is achieved can a large-scale program of reconstruction and development begin in earnest. To launch an ambitious program to rebuild El Salvador's damaged infrastructure would be as futile as embarking on a large-scale hotel construction project in Beirut. For the short term, I would like to suggest a number of legislative actions that I believe will limit, although not eliminate, the corruption in our Economic Support Fund (ESF) programs and will encourage the Salvadoran government to adopt policies conducive to econanic development, social and econanic justice, and democracy. 1. Condition ESF The conmittee should separate the Economic Support Fund monies from development assistance and humanitarian aid. ESF monies, whose primary purpose is economic stabilization and not development, should be viewed as part of the war effort and therefore subject to the same conditionality as military aid. By so doing, we can increase our leverage on the Salvadoran authorities to eliminate the death squads, curb the police and security forces' abuse of human rights, implement the economic reforms the U.S. Embassy has been promoting, and move toward a more open and democratic society. Unlike most of the Economic Support Fund monies, the much smaller amounts of development assistance funds and humanitarian assistance for the most part do benefit the needy and contribute to development. 2. Phase Out Cash Transfers 801 8 The AID Inspector General, the Arthur Young report and the General Accounting Office have all made it clear that the Economic Support Fund cash transfer programs, particularly the private sector support program, are open to abuse. While there is continuing debate over just how much money is being stolen from the private sector support program, I have yet to hear anyone claim that no money is being stolen or that the abuses revealed by the three audits can ever be completely eliminated. Let me suggest a relatively modest step that will ensure that our aid monies are spent on imports and not pocketed by corrupt businessmen. Rather than giving the Salvadoran central bank, and then private businessmen, dollars in the hope that they will use them to purchase U.S. goods for import, we should send them the goods directly using a commodity import program (CIP). Of course this is no guarantee against end-use diversion, but at least we can be sure that the full dollar amount of our aid is getting into El Salvador and not being diverted to private foreign bank accounts. Since it will take some time to get a camodity import program started in El Salvador, and since CIPs are by nature somewhat slower disbursing than cash transfer programs, the transition could not begin until fiscal year 1985, and not be completed until fiscal year 1986. We have seen effective commodity import programs in scores of countries around the world; certainly it is not a novel idea. When corruption is widespread and the central government's ability to monitor and eliminate abuses is uncertain, a conmodity import program is preferable to a program that merely transfers cash into the banking system in the hope that it will be spent for the intended purpose. 3. Earmark Counterpart Currencies 802 9 The General Accounting Office has raised questions about AID'S inability to closely monitor the use of local currencies generated by AID's stabilization programs in El Salvador. The committee should require that AID designate how local currency from each of its programs will be spent, and further that local currency expenditures be more clearly monitored. Moreover, all local currencies generated by commodity import programs should be deposited in accordance with section 609 of the Foreign Assistance Act in a special account and made available only for the agrarian reform program, restoration of public services, assistance for displaced persons, and other humanitarian assistance. Most of the legislative steps I have suggested have been incorporated in the House Foreign Affairs Canmittee's bill, which is now on hold until after the elections in El Salvador. I think these measures represent a sound first step in the direction of restoring our aid program's integrity and insuring that it moves Ei Salvador toward the peace and prosperity that its own people and the American people so fervently desire. 803 Table 1 U.S. ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO EL SALVADOR FY 1979 thru FY 1983 ($000) FY 1979 FY 1980 FY 1981 FY1982 FY 1983 Development Assistance 6.917 43,155 32,817 36.773 58.927 Economic Support Fund 9,100 44.900 115,000 140.000 PL-480, Title I 3,000 17,100 27,300 39.000 PL-480, Title II 2.673 3,269 9.077 7,687 21,480 Canmodity Credit Corp. Guaranty 4,000 27,100 21,310 25,500 Housing Investment Guaranty 9,500 5,500 5.000 5.000 Refugee Program Disaster Relief 25 2.355 6,256 2.460 TOTALS 9,590 72.049 138,849 219,326 292.367 Table 2 U.S. ECONOMIC AID TO EL SALVADOR (FY 1983) Percent of Total Category Dollar Amount 76 222,306,000 Economic Stabilization (balance of payments support) 21.1 61.781,000 Social Development agricultural reform 35,100,000 health 19.000.000 Salvadoran election program 3,400.000 misc. social development 3,991,000 2.5 Humanitarian Assistance 7,280.000 بين Other (policy improvement) 1.000.000 TOTAL U.S. ECONOMIC AID $292,367,000 Source: U.S. embassy, San Salvador 804 Senator PELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Goodfellow. Now, Mr. Smith. STATEMENT OF WAYNE S. SMITH, SENIOR ASSOCIATE, CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. Smith. Senator, I presented my remarks to be inserted into the record. Senator PELL. Perhaps you could give us some of your highlights. Mr. SMITH. Yes, I will. I simply wanted to note that I was only told as I arrived this afternoon that I would be on panel two, rather than panel three. But it was indicated that I would not have to change my testimony because, unlike my colleagues on the panel here, I am not an econ- omist, so my testimony remains the same, and I would give some highlights. I think it is no secret that I do not believe the administration's policies are working in Central America. Three years after they were implemented, we are further away from either a military vic- tory or a negotiated solution than ever. I frankly do not see anything in the Kissinger Commission report which offers any real answers to the dilemma. I think that it does at least move in the right direction in recognizing that the turmoil in Central America is the result of social injustice, economic under- development, political repression and so forth in the region. And I, at least in principle, would applaud its recommendation for increased assistance to the area. I think we would want to make sure that that assistance were used in the right way, that is not simply be siphoned off into someone's pocket, or, as is the case in El Salvador now, that it goes into budget underwriting, which in effect is ESF And it simply is not true that three-quarters of our assistance to El Salvador is economic assistance which helps the people. Much of the economic assistance is ESF, which goes to the war effort. But in principle, I would support the recommendation for in- creased economic assistance, noting however that the Kissinger Commission report itself states that: “Peace is an indispensable condition to economic and social development”-in other words, that without peace the economic assistance is not going to have the desired impact. Yet, there is not anything in the report or in the administra- tion's proposal which carries us any closer to peace. On the con- trary, the Commission recommends and the administration is now proposing to escalate the war. The administration is asking for drastically increased military assistance, which will be used to arm and train enough men so that the Salvadoran Army can go from under 40,000 men to 60,000 and eventually, we are told, perhaps even as high as 90,000 men. And we are told that the rationale for that is that that will give the Sal- vadoran Army the ratio of superiority as recommended, I think, by old Brigadier Thompson, to defeat the guerrillas. If I thought it would, if I thought that that would win the civil war and solve the problems in El Salvador, I would applaud. In fact, I do not think that it is likely to accomplish any such thing. 805 On the contrary, we may be simply digging the pool deeper but treading water in the same place. Because, as the administration itself has indicated, the guerrillas have increased in strength from some 3,000 to 5,000 in 1981 to now 10,000 to 12,000. So that the more arms we ship in to arm the rapidly escalated or augmented army, the more arms the guerrillas will capture, the more they will be able—the more men they will be able to put in the field. And by the time the Salvadoran Army is up to 100,000 men, the guerrillas will be up to 25,000 or 30,000, and the ratio will be essen- tially the same. We are not going to break the stalemate that way. And I would note that when I was in El Salvador recently with a group of other Americans, our senior diplomatic and military officers there ac- knowledged to us that they had no solid evidence, no concrete evi- dence, of an arms flow across the border for a very long time. They deduce that there must be some and there are "reports," but they have no evidence. Yet at a time in 1980 and early 1981 when there was a substan- tial flow across the border, we had no difficulty in coming up with proof of it, captured trucks and so forth. I would suggest that the fact that we have not been able to come with anything over the past 2 years or more would suggest that the flow in fact is not sig- nificant, that the guerrillas are acquiring most of their arms from the army itself and most of their ammunition. Since they acquired most of the arms from the army, they need the same kind of am- munition for the arms, for the rifles. The guerrillas, then, are not getting stronger because of outside support; they are getting stronger because of the consequences of the demoralization of the Salvadoran Army, and that is likely to increase as we try to herd some 30,000 to 40,000 conscripts in short order into its ranks. The morale problems we have now will be as nothing compared to those we will have in the future. I do not think the political strategy is working. I do not think conditions for elections even exist. The group I was traveling with in El Salvador had an opportunity to talk to a number of peasants, who confirmed that they had been called in by the landowners and threatened with reprisals if they did vote for D'Aubuisson and ARENA. I cannot in my wildest imagination imagine that Roberto D'Au- buisson could represent the will of the Salvadoran people. I think he can only win through intimidation. But the conditions for in- timidation are there. I do not think conditions for free choice now exist in El Salvador. The fact that the administration itself is concerned over the pos- sibility that D'Aubuisson may win the elections I think is seen in the fact that it is trying to push through this $93 million emergen- cy military aid package in such a short time, trying to get it through even before the results of the elections are known. We are told that is because if it is not approved the Salvadoran Army will run out of ammunition and not be able to protect the polling places. But Colonel Blandón, the chief of staff of the Salva- doran Army, has said that that is not the case, that the Salvadoran Army will be able to provide security for the elections, in effect, with or without the $93 million. 806 I would suggest that the administration's real motive in trying to push the $93 million package through so quickly is that if D'Au- buisson wins it is perfectly aware .that it will be very difficult to get the Congress to approve in short order more assistance for El Salvador. In short, I do not think either the military or the political strate- gies proposed by the administration will work. I think in the final analysis the best hope for a satisfactory solution is through negoti- ations, diplomacy, and particularly the Contadora process. The ad- ministration should stop simply paying lip service to the Contadora process and get behind it. Meanwhile, with respect to U.S. assistance, in my view nothing at all should be approved until we know the outcome of the elec- tions in El Salvador, and if Roberto D'Aubuisson becomes Presi- dent of the country I think the Congress will want to take a very careful look at the situation and ask a lot of pertinent questions, put a lot of pertinent questions to Roberto D’Aubuisson before it makes a decision as to whether any aid at all should be given to that government. But beyond that question is the matter of how effective our aid can be under present circumstances. And given the Kissinger Com- mission's conclusions that economic assistance is not likely to produce the desired results unless peace can be restored, and also the military assistance will not work unless the recipient govern- ments curb the appalling excesses of their security forces, I think it would be nothing but commonsense to attach appropriate condi- tions to any new U.S. aid. Otherwise, by the Commission's, the Kis- singer Commission's own logic, we might simply be throwing money away. Yes, I would say increase economic assistance, but provided the Salvadoran Government accompanies our efforts to cooperate with the Contadora process by itself making a good faith effort to get down to serious negotiations with the insurgents. It has not done SO. And military assistance should be conditioned with improvement in the human rights area, and I think both things should be moni- tored by the Congress. Thank you [Mr. Smith's prepared statement follows:] 807 PREPARED STATEMENT OF WAYNE S. SMITH Senior Associate Carnegie Endowment for International Peace before the enate Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs U.S. Senate Washington, D.C. March 20, 1984 I appreciate the opportunity to appear before the Subcommittee today. More than three years after their implementation, this adminis- tration's Central American policies have succeeded only in making a bad situation worse. In El Salvador, for example, we are further away from either military victory or peaceful solution than we were three years ago. President Reagan's policies have failed not because they haven't been given a fair chance, but because they are poorly conceived and based on mistaken analysis. Nor does the Kissinger Commission's report offer any real answers. In some ways it does at least move in the right direction. Its forthright recognition of the fact that the roots of present turmoil in Central America are to be found in the region's history of repressive governments, social injustice and economic underdevelop- ment, is certainly welcome, What a change from March 21, 1981, when Ambassador Jeane kirkpatrick was telling us that "revolutions in our times are not caused by social injustice," and that one could not 808 Page 2 Prepared statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 explain the conflict in Central America as the result of social injustice! At least in principle, one must heartily endorse the Commission's recommendation for increased economic assistance and emphasis on social reforms to get at the basic causes of the region's insta- bility--recommendations which are reflected in the proposed legisla- tion the administration has presented to the Congress. We would of course wish to be careful that our assistance be used in such a way as to really benefit the people of the region--that it not simply go into budget underwriting and thus be siphoned off into someone's pocket, or, as is the case now in El Salvador, used for military pur- poses rather than economic development. (The administration's asser- tion that three quarters of our aid to El Salvador is "economic assistance which benefits the people is, therefore, simply not true.) Further, as the report itself states clearly: *Peace is an essential condition of economic and social progress." Our economic assistance, in other words, cannot have the desired impact--indeed, may be wasted--unless peace can be restored to the region. Yet, there is very little in the Kissinger Commission report, and nothing in the administration's proposal, which leads us toward peace, or, indeed, toward solutions of any kind. Quite the contrary, the report recommends, and the administration is now proposing, an escalation of the war. The administration requests a dramatic increase in military assistance. This is to be used to arm and train 809 Prepared Statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 3 enough men so that the Salvadoran army can go from under 40,000 men to 60,000 and eventually perhaps to the neighborhood of 100,000 men. It will also be used to provide more helicopters to increase their mobility. When this is accomplished, we are told, the Salvadoran army will have the ratio of superiority it needs to confront the guerrillas and break the military stalemate. But is it likely to work out that way? Obviously not. This escalation is likely to have consequences exactly the opposite of what is intended. First of all, if the higher force levels are to produce the desired ratio of superiority, we must assume a static quantity on the other side. But how can we possibly assume any such thing? According to the administration's own statements, the guerrillas have increased in strength from some 3,000-5,000 men in 1981 to 10,000-12,000 now. clearly, the more arms we ship in, the more the guerrillas will capture, and, thus, the more men they also will be able to put in the field. That is the way it has worked in the past and that is the way it will work now. By the time the Salvadoran army numbers 100,000, it will face a guerrilla force of 25,000 to 30,000. We will have escalated the magnitude of the conflict, but will not have broken the stalemate. We will have dug the pool deeper, but we will be treading water in the same place. Even worse, rapid increases in force levels may be the prescrip- tion not for victory but for the disintegration of the Salvadoran army. There are already serious morale problems and high desertion and surrender rates. The Salvadoran army has not fought well--and 84-045 0-84-52 810 Prepared Statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 4 that is an understatement. Imagine the effect of herding another 30,000 or so conscripts into the ranks in short order. The morale problems we have now will be as nothing compared to those of the rapidly expanded army. Already there are reports of press gangs. And remember, the more soldiers who desert and surrender, the more arms will end up in the hands of the guerrillas. (And here, if I might digress, I would like to emphasize that the Salvadoran army is itself the major source of arms and ammunition for the guerrillas. When I was in El Salvador recently with a group of other Americans, the most senior diplomatic and military officers in our Embassy acknowledged to us that there has been no concrete evi- dence of arms coming in from the outside for a very long time. They "deduce" that some must be, and they have the usual sheaf of uncon- firmed "reports," but they have no tangible evidence. Yet, at a time in late 1980 and 1981 when there really was a substantial flow of arms across the border, we had no difficulty in coming up with all kinds of proof--captured trucks laden with arms, etc. The fact that in the last three years we have not been able again to produce that kind of evidence suggests that external support is in fact insignifi- cant. There is some, yes, but it is not a significant factor. After all, if there really were a flood of Soviet weapons coming in through Cuba and Nicaragua, as administration spokesmen are fond of suggesting, where are they? Lots of newsmen now have been with the guerrillas. To my knowledge, no one has seen any Soviet weapons. On the contrary, they seem to be armed almost exclusively with weapons 811 Prepared statement of Wayne s. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 5 captured from the army. In short, the guerrillas are growing stronger not because of out- side support, but because of the consequences of the demoralization of the army--a phenomenon our actions are now likely to stimulate further.) Our military strategy, then, leads only to a dead end. Indeed, the fact that some of our three and four-star generals think this strategy will work says more about their own competence, or lack of it, than anything else. And what of our political strategy? will, for example, elections solve anything at all? or even represent a step forward? Absolutely not. On the contrary, the elections will foreclose a number of options and result in a more complicated situation, no matter who wins. It is doubtful that appropriate conditions even exist for elections. How can there be a free choice when death squads and the private security forces of various landowners threaten violence against peasants unless they vote for the ultraconservative Republican Alliance of Roberto d'Aubuisson? By insisting that elections be held under such conditions, we may have opened the way not to democracy but to the reins of power being taken outright by the most murderous, anti-democratic elements in El Salvador, elements who do not represent the will of the majority of Salvadorans and could only win through intimidation. If Roberto d'Aubuisson wins the elections, he will almost certainly emasculate what remains of the agrarian reform, give free rein to the death victati ..... 812 Page 6 Prepared Statement of Wayne s. Smith March 20, 1984 squads and in general try to turn the clock back to 1932. What, in sum, can one say about a political strategy which banks so heavily on elections that may well be won by a man to whom the 7. U.S. Embassy will not even give a visa? That the administration itself fears d'Aubuisson may win is seen in the fact that it is trying so desperately to push a $93 million emergency military assistance request through the Congress even before the elections are held. Spokesmen have suggested that unless the money is forthcoming, the Salvadoran army will run out of ammuni- tion and not be able to protect the polling places on election day. But this obviously is not the reason for their haste. Indeed, col. Adolfo Blandon, the Salvadoran Chief of Staff, has dismissed such allegations, saying that although there were shortages of certain kinds of ammunition, this posed no immediate threat and that the army would certainly be able to provide adequate security, with or without the $93 million. No, the reason for the administration's unseemly haste is that it is perfectly aware that if d'Aubuisson wins, it will be that much more difficult to persuade Congress to provide more funds. Who would want to give d'Aubuisson $93 million in military assistance? That would be like turning it over to the death squads. Even if Jose Napoleon Duarte wins, he will be a weak reed. He is trusted neither by left nor right, would face a hostile National Assembly, would not have the cooperation of the army, and, indeed, would likely inspire deeper divisions in the army than those that 813 Prepared Statement of Wayne s. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 7 already exist. And, meanwhile, no matter who wins, the civil war goes on. Our military strategy holds out not the slightest hope of ending it. The idea that the FMLN/FDR should simply have laid down their arms and participated in these elections is only little short of absurd. То be sure, elections must be part of any settlement in El Salvador and the FMLN/FDR should take its chances at the polls along with the other parties. But that can only reasonably be expected to happen after conditions exist under which all sides have a modicum of security for their participation. Were I member of the FMLN/FDR, I would not for a moment consider participation in these elections. Not when they have been convoked and will be supervised by some of the same people who direct the death squads. The appalling excesses of the security forces and the right-wing death squads was one of the principal causes of the civil war. Peace cannot be restored unless those excesses are controlled. The Kissinger Commission report says as much. Yet, the administration has done very little over the past three years to improve the situation. Apparently the President followed the advice of Jeane Kirkpatrick, who in 1980 wrote that too much U.S. emphasis on human rights in El Salvador only inhibited the government there from "using the force at its disposal." The certification process-oby which u.s. aid is tied to a presi- dential "certifications that human rights abuses have been curbed-- had so few teeth that the president could virtually ignore it. He 814 Page 8 Prepared statement of Wayne s. Smith March 20, 1984 made no effort to use it as a lever to move the Salvadoran government to end its abuses; rather, he simply went to the Congress every six months and automatically certified that the situation had improved-- even as the carnage continued unabated. Finally, having flouted the intent of certification, he got rid of it altogether through the veto. At the same time, however, knowing full well that the increased economic and military assistance it expected the Kissinger Commission to recommend would have no chance of congressional approval unless there were some visible effort to control the death squads, the administration at long last began to move in that direction. The American ambassador in San Salvador and vice president Bush have warned the Salvadoran government that it must pay more attention to human rights. These pressures have produced some response from the Salvadoran government. Only time will tell, however, whether this is more than cosmetic. And one must certainly wonder why the administration waited three years to exert such pressures. Meanwhile, the fact remains that despite the thousands of political murders in El Salvador every year, not a single person has been con- victed of any of these crimes. That is deplorable and it is simply not credible that the U.S. has had insufficient leverage to move the Salvadoran government to improve its performance. Given that we are so closely associated with that government, its dismal performance in the human rights field not only undermines its own effectiveness, it also diminishes the standing of the United states in the eyes of the 815 Prepared Statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 9 rest of the world. No wonder an international human rights oversight group recently described this administration's human rights policies as "a litany of failures." When administration spokesmen encounter criticism of its central American policies, they frequently charge the critics with wishing to abandon the region. Rarely, however, is that true. Few critics wish to cut and run. The United States does to be sure have important interests in Central America. The point is, however, that present U.S. policy does not protect those interests; rather, it endangers them; and it carries us toward an ever more dangerous situation, one which may culminate in a regional explosion. Clearly, U.S. objectives in Central America should be: 1) to make certain the area is not used as a military a military platform by our adversaries; 2) to halt the fighting which threatens to destroy the area's economy; 3) to stop all cross-border support for guerrilla groups; 4) to limit the size of armies and the nature of armaments so that one nation cannot threaten another; 5) to reduce Soviet and Cuban influence and presence, especially in Nicaragua; 6) to encourage the emergence of participatory political systems which pro- vide for the well-being of their people and respect their rights. All these objectives could be better served by diplomacy than by the sort of military options which have been pursued for the past three years. The "secret war" against the Sandinista government in Nicaragua, for example, has not the slightest chance of overthrowing that government. Nor does it reduce Soviet and Cuban presence; on ! 816 Page 10 Prepared Statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 the contrary, it gives the Nicaraguans little choice but to increase their military relationship with those countries in self-defense. It certainly does not interdict any weapons. Quite the opposite. The Nicaraguans have presented draft treaties dealing with the termina- tion of all such support in the area. The u.s. would of course wish to assure that there were adequate means of verification and enforce- ment, but basically, the negotiation of such a series of treaties would be a sound way to proceed. Yet, the administration has not pursued it. Apparently, one reason it has not done so is that to accept such treaties would of course mean an end to U.S. support for the contras in Nicaragua. The U.S. is unwilling to consider such a step. This is ironic, for the American people had first been told by the administration that the purpose of the secret war" was to halt an alleged flow of arms from Nicaragua to El Salvador. Now, when the administration has an oppor- tunity through diplomatic options to close off any such residual flow, it passes up that opportunity rather than end the "secret war." The war obviously has become an end in itself. And in El Salvador, as I have already stated, we are simply esca- lating the war. Are we to keep escalating until American divisions are fighting in Morazan province? That apparently is the plan. Sensible alternatives are available: diplomacy and negotiations. The administration says it supports the Contadora process, but so far this has been only a matter of lip service. Representatives of all the Contadora countries have complained that U.S. policies undermine, 817 Page 11 Prepared Statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 not support, their efforts. By definition, the U.S. cannot be sup- porting the contadora initiative and at the same time stepping up its "secret" war against Nicaragua, escalating the war in El Salvador, and preparing to fight a regional war. If the administration wishes to extricate itself from the morass in which its obtuse policies threaten to sink it, it must reverse course quickly and begin pursuing negotiated solutions rather than military outcomes. Most importantly, it should really get behind the Contadora initiative. And as for U.S. assistance, nothing at all should be approved until we know the outcome of the elections in El Salvador. If Roberto d'Aubuisson becomes president of that country, Congress will want to take a careful look at whether any aid at all ought to be provided to that country. Beyond that question is the matter of how effective our aid could be under present circumstances. Given the Kissinger Commission's conclusions that economic assistance is not likely to produce results unless peace can be restored, and that military assistance won't work unless the recipient governments curb the appalling excesses of their security forces, it would be nothing but common sense to attach appropriate conditions to any new U.S. aid. Otherwise, by the commission's own logic, we would simply be throwing money away. Yes, let's increase economic assistance, but only if the Salvadoran government makes a good faith effort to get down to serious negotiations with the insurgents. By no reasonable criteria has it yet done so. 818 Prepared statement of Wayne S. Smith March 20, 1984 Page 12 And while military assistance in itself is not going to solve anything, the leverage it provides, if properly employed, could be useful, especially in bringing about improvements in the human rights situation. Congress should make certain military assistance is so used. Compliance in both cases--human rights and negotiations--must be monitored by the Congress, for experience has shown that the adminis- tration has too little interest in either. For three years the administration has paid lip service to diplomacy but has avoided every opportunity to engage in it seriously. If left up to the administration, there would never be negotiated settlements in either El Salvador or Nicaragua. And unless Congress itself retains some kind of a handle on the human rights question--preferably in the form of a revised and strengthened certification process--one can imagine what would happen once the present aid package were authorized. The administration would probably then go back to the see-nothing, do-nothing approach of the past three years. Congress must not let that happen. 819 Senator HELMS (presiding]. Thank you very much, Mr. Smith. I have a few questions. Dr. Kasun, I understand that you re- ceived a call from the Soviet consul general in San Francisco not long ago. Is that correct? Ms. Kasun. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. Would you turn the microphone around, please. What did he want. Ms. Kasun. I had appeared, sir, on Ted Koppel's "Nightline” tel- evision program, regarding an adolesecent pregnancy program being operated with U.S. funds through Johns Hopkins University in the city of Baltimore. And I commented on that program. In the course of the program, I stated that my acquaintance with the pro- gram stems from a book which I had written on population control. I mentioned the name of the publisher who wanted the manu- script? The next day, when I got back to campus I received a call from Mr. Genady, who said he was the chief person, I think the chief consul, in the San Francisco Soviet consulate. And he asked me very insistently for a copy of the manuscript. So I said, well, I had given it to some friends in Washington and he could get in touch with them if he wanted to get it, and I gave him the names of some people that I had sent it to in Washington. In the meantime, I telephoned them and told them what he wanted. And then within 2 days he called me again and again asked for a copy of my manuscript, which I again did not give him, and I have not heard from him since then. Senator HELMS. Why do you think he was so attracted or so in- terested in that manuscript? Ms. KASUN. He wanted, I am sure, material about U.S. popula- tion control activities in the countries to which we are giving as- sistance, because Marxists in those countries are using that infor- mation in a detrimental way against the United States. They are accusing us of human rights violations in our population control programs. Senator HELMS. So it is having an impact on our foreign policy, then? Ms. KASUN. Yes, sir, it is. Senator HELMS. I asked AID's views on the value of population control programs in general. Do you want to give me your views on it? Ms. KASUN. Yes, sir. I see no value in promoting population con- trol. There is no evidence to support the assumption that slower rates of population growth result in higher levels of investment or higher rates of economic growth. The data show nothing of the kind, and these are simply assump- tions made by AID to support their programs. The data do not sup- port them. In fact, some of the most rapidly growing populations have shown at the same time some of the most rapid rates of growth in per capita output. So there is no evidence to support that position. And in particular, in Central America there is not a land prob- lem or a population problem, unless you want to say that we should have stringent population control in California, because we 820 are considerably more populated in a similar area than in Central America. In fact, we are about 20 percent more crowded than Cen- tral America. So we should have a sterilization drive in California also if one is needed in Central America. Senator HELMS. I am fascinated with your observation about Texas being able to accommodate, did you say, all of the population of the world? Ms. KASUN. The whole population of the world. Senator HELMS. How did you arrive at that statistical judgment? Ms. KASUN. I did not do it. That comes from Prof. Frank Felice, biologist at the University of San Francisco. But I checked it out and it is correct. The world is still mostly empty. I was impressed with that when I flew from Humboldt County to Washington, D.C., just yesterday. I looked down on great empty spaces. In California, which as I said is more overpopulated than Central America, if a little light private plane goes down, it is not likely to be found until those bones are bleached white in the Sun. That is how empty the Earth still is. We all have the impression of being overpopulated because human beings live in cities. We always live crowded together. We have to do that for access. But all of the world outside our cities is empty and it is a hostile wilderness in which we would be lost and never found if we were to stray. Senator HELMS. I realize that I am asking you to reiterate the points that you have already made, but just in a sentence or two, how do you think the developing countries with rapidly growing populations can best achieve economic growth? Ms. KASUN. I think the best way for them to achieve it is in the same way that the United States achieved it and in the same way that Hong Kong has achieved it and Singapore and Taiwan and Korea and Japan: By primarily market-based economies, export- based economies, in which the government role is linked to, when it does anything, doing that which the market would do, but faster. That is the principle of government intervention that I think can possibly help. But as a matter of fact, I do not favor government intervention. Senator HELMS. Well, we did not have very much foreign aid, we being this country, when we were getting started. Ms. KASUN. No, sir, we did not. As a matter of fact, foreign aid only saves the country the interest cost, if there is any. If it is get- ting concessional money at concessional rates, it saves them the in- terest cost on what they would have to pay if they were to get it from private investors. And that is not a very significant part of their GNP. For India, the estimate is that all of the foreign aid which we have given them, at such great sacrifice to the American taxpayers, amounts to only about six-tenths of 1 percent of the Indian gross national product. It is just nothing. Senator HELMS. Thank you. Dr. Waters, my Wake Forest friend, why do you think the Agency for International Development continues to give money to the people who run the state monopolies and enterprises in recipi- ent countries? i 821 Mr. WATERS. I think Senator, there is a fairly obvious explana- tion for that, that if I have a valuable asset of which to dispose I am, being as I am a decent and ethical human being, most likely to give it to people who I know and understand and can find more believable. I find it very difficult to give a valuable asset to some rogue who comes by and says he is going to start a company and do something I have never heard of before. I would rather give it to somebody solid of my group, who I can trust. Senator HELMS. Now, you were chief economist with AID, were you not? that area. Mr. WATERS. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. How do you evaluate the Private Enterprise Bureau? Mr. WATERS. I would like to be general, if I may, because I took their money and served, and I do not wish to be petty. But I do feel that we have not achieved, myself as one of those, much success in It is difficult to persuade people whose social milieu, whose back- ground and upbringing, is alien to the concept of high risk taking at a low level, which is the essence of development, that they should somehow suddenly become like that. It is very difficult. I think we have chosen to operate the Bureau people of estab- lished industry and civil servants. I just wonder whether that is the kind of grouping most likely to produce what I have called the rambunctiousness of economic development. I do not think so. So I would assert that of course, it is a very minuscule program by the standards of our activities in general . But I would assert that, for the reasons I have suggested, it has not done as well as if we had put it in the hands of a bunch of low to middle-level busi- nessmen out to turn a dollar. Senator HELMs. My time is up on this round. Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Smith, what is your assessment of Cuba's military relation- ship with Nicaragua? Are they increasing it or decreasing it? What do you feel they are doing? Also, just for the record, when did you leave Cuba yourself? You were chargé d'affaires, was it? What was your title? Mr. SMITH. I left in the summer of 1982. I was chief of the U.S. Interests Section. I do not think there is any question but that there is a close mili- tary relationship between Cuba and Nicaragua. It is my under- standing that most of the equipment coming in now for the Nicara- guans, however, comes from the Soviet Union rather than from Cuba. I think there is greater Cuban and Soviet influence and presence in Nicaragua than the United States can be comfortable with. I dis- agree, however, with the administration's means of addressing that problem. I do not think the "secret" war reduces Soviet and Cuban influence at all. Senator PELL. But it is not a secret war any more. Mr. SMITH. Well, I will put "secret” in quotes. Senator PELL. But what would be your policy recommendation? 822 1 1 Mr. SMITH. I think that the objectives of the U.S. Government should be to reduce Soviet equipment and Cuban personnel in Nicaragua, stop any cross-border support for guerrilla groups, place limits on the size of armies and the nature of their armaments. I think all of that can be accomplished through diplomacy, hopefully through the Contadora process. I find it instructive that, while we were originally told that the secret war had been launched to interdict the flow of weapons from Nicaragua to El Salvador, when the Nicaraguans presented draft treaties which addressed this issue—and to be sure, the United States would want to make certain that there were means of verifi- cation and enforcement. But rather than exploring the possibilities, if anything, we simply escalated the secret war, one reason being that if we began to explore the possibilities of putting in place such a series of international conventions to halt all cross-border sup- port for guerrilla groups, we would have to stop our support for the Contras and we are not willing to do that. So the war, rather than designed to stop any flow of weapons from Nicaragua to El Salvador, has become an objective in itself. Senator PELL. In view of the fact that the Contadora countries which you just mentioned, all of them basically follow the same economic system that we do, why are they so much less nervous about the Cuban influence and the Communist influence in that part of the world than we are? They are closer. They are more at risk. And yet they seem far less worried. How do you analyze the reason for that? Mr. SMITH. I think the Mexicans, Senator, are aware of the prob- lem, but their means of addressing it are quite different from ours. They believe that it can be addressed through effective diplomacy and through co-option. I think it is built into the PRI system that you can co-opt various elements, and they believe that they can co- opt the left in Central America, so to speak. Senator PELL. Would the same apply to Venezuela, Colombia, and Panama? Mr. SMITH. To a lesser extent. I think they are all concerned, but again, their antedote, or their means of addressing the problem, is quite different from ours, and in my view more realistic, and would have a greater chance of success. I do not see that our strategies are leading to anything except greater escalation. Senator PELL. Going to the fundamental sore in that part of the world, it is the question in my mind of Cuba. So long as Cuba has the policy she does now, we are going to have problems there. Looking at it from the Cuban viewpoint, I would just be interested in your reaction on this, I have long believed that they have ample grounds for resentment, just as we do. They have seen us seek to economically strangle her 25 years now, mount one major invasion, the Bay of Pigs, and only the CIA knows of all the little invasions, and sought to assassinate her chief of government, and refused to have diplomatic relations. I can see why they would be annoyed at us. What would be your view? Would you agree with me, or do you think I am wrong in saying that if we could normalize our rela- tions—I do not say have friendly ones, but why should we have worse relations with Cuba than we do with Bulgaria, Hungary, or 823 other Communist nations? If we had more normal and correct rela- tions with her, would not the incentive for a good deal of this export of violence be removed? What would be your opinion on that? Mr. SMITH. I think at least the opportunity to approach it more pragmatically would be there. We both have reasons for resent- ment, and I do not think either country, either the United States or Cuba, has any reason to trust the other, certainly, but I think the Cubans have realistically understood that as the situation heats up in Centeral America, that the consequences for them could be disastrous. They are prepared to negotiate. They are pre- pared to see a political solution in Central America. It seems to me that we should press them on that, that we should try to put into place a series of international conventions sponsored by or under the aegis of the Contadora group under which the Cubans would commit themselves to stop military sup- port for Nicaragua, to withdraw most of their advisers, to agree to limits, to respect limits placed on the size of armies and arma- ments, and so forth, in other words, a series of steps which would respond to our security concerns and the security concerns of the area. It would have to have means of enforcement and verification, to be sure. I mean, in international politics no one should ever trust anyone else. Senator PELL. From the vantage point of all of your years in Cuba, and that is why I am focusing my questions to you, what is your thought with regard to Cuba's policy vis-a-vis Angola? Do you see them pulling back from there? Was this discussed at all when you were in Cuba, or is it too early? Mr. SMITH. Yes, I think it is possible. Certainly in connection with or accompanying a Namibian summit and a South African withdrawal from Namibia, I think the Cubans would indeed be willing to remove their troops from Angola, but only as part of a Namibian settlement, and only accompanying the withdrawal of South African troops from Namibia. Senator PELL. If we could achieve a peaceful settlement in Cen- tral America, not a Communist Government there, but a peaceful settlement, do you think Cuba would accept it, or would she insist on having a real say in what happens in Nicaragua? Mr. SMITH. I think Cuban priorities are to preserve a friendly Government in Managua and to see a political solution in El Salva- dor, whether or not that solution places the FLMN/FDR in power. Cuba would accept a political solution in El Salvador which did not see the guerrillas win, yes. Senator PELL. I apologize to other members of the panel, but we are very lucky to have Mr. Smith with us. There are very few of us who have had the experience that he has had of looking after American interests in Cuba quite peacefully. Mr. SMITH. Thank you, Senator. Senator HELMS. There are only two of us here now, why do you not take some more time? Senator PELL. Thank you. I am finished. Senator HELMS. Very well. Dr. Waters, let me follow up with one or two questions which you can answer briefly. You touched on 824 land reform in general, but I would like to hear your assessment of our problems with land reform specifically in El Salvador. Mr. WATERS. Senator, that is a subject that I studied at one point, and I wrote a major paper on it, but dropped it about 8 or 9 months ago. At that time my main problem was that which differ- entiates us from the socialist society is the nature of ownership, not much else. In other words, the right of people to transact, to exchange, to modify the nature of their education, their assets in any other form. And I worried about any system which, if I may give you an ex- ample, first of all established collective farms. To call them coop- eratives is ludicrous. Second, with respect to individuals receiving land tenure, and this is the true bulwark against a revolution, to suggest that the title which is distributed gives the owner right to the property after 30 years. Now, in that society, the average age of the peasant to the best of our knowledge runs—the person who is getting the title-runs around 35 to 40, and that is being charitable. Life expectancy at the present time, of course, we have no idea, but we think it is around 50 to 55, given all conditions in the country. Therefore, very few people are going to survive to actually claim on those titles. What happens in the interim? If they die, the land reverts to the state. They cannot deed it to their children. They cannot use it for a mortgage or any of the active things that farmers do to raise working capital. So, I found the system as a whole was so flawed that it was really not worth pursuing very hard. Second, the owners of the land, prior owners of the land, the middle-sized farmers in particular, were to be paid for their land at a price based on their tax returns of the late 1970's. I would hope that I would never have my home sequestered and have to pay for it at its taxable valuation at this time, but that is an aside. There- fore, they had every reason to hang on and get one more crop from the land if they possibly could, and there you have a reason for their strong feelings about being removed from the land. In other words, I believe that the system is so structured, I be- lieve that land reform in fact as it is so called, was the reason for much of the violence we observe. I do not think that dickering reform, and I hope this committee will consider in looking at this bill-when I hear, for instance, the elimination of corruption is achieved through hiring more and more people to watch it, and im- posing more and more controls, it makes me think of a civil service reform in Byzantium or something. I would suggest that corruption occurs because an official has something of value to give away, and you acquire something of value to give away by being able to rig the price. I would suggest that this committee make a major effort to write into this law a demand that they first eliminate many of the controls and market manipulations which are part of the societies of Central America, and that second, this small reform, that a system be established whereby an individual can legally establish a business within a period of 1 month. You can do it in the United States in an after- noon, but let us say it will take them 60 times as long. 825 Kontakt WANAYA : 2012 We had done some research on that, and it is worth looking at. It is almost impossible to start a legal company, and that is part of the reason why there are no middle-sized companies in Central America. There are large companies, and there are small peasant farmers, not much in the middle, and part of the reason is that it is legally extremely difficult to start a company in a formal fash- ion. Senator HELMS. Gentlemen and Professor Kasun, you have been most patient, not quite as patient as our third panel, who is yet to be heard, but we appreciate your coming. May I have an under- standing and agreement that Senators who are not able to be here and indeed some who are able to be here may choose to inquire in writing of your views on various things, and if questions are sub- mitted, we would appreciate your responding so that they may be made part of the permanent record. Thank you all very much for coming and for your excellent testi- mony. Our third panel will discuss military, political, and human rights issues of and in Central America. At this time we welcome to the committee, Father Bryan Hehir of the U.S. Catholic Conference, Mr. Howard Phillips, national director of the Conservation Caucus, Mr. Robert White, professor of international relations at Simmons College. I regret that our fourth panelist, the Reverend Enrique Rueda, is ill and will not be able to be with us today. However, the United States former Assistant Attorney General, Mr. Jerris Leonard, has requested to testify, and since we have a vacancy in the panel, we have requested him to come. If those four gentlemen would step forward and have a seat, we are prepared to listen to your comments that you might have. Father Hehir, we will lead off with you. We appreciate your coming. I am so sorry that the mechanism of the Senate malfunc- tioned today. STATEMENT OF THE REV. J. BRYAN HEHIR, U.S. CATHOLIC CONFERENCE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Father HEHIR. These are important issues, Mr. Chairman, and we appreciate the opportunity to be here. Delay is no problem. I have submitted my written testimony for the record, and I will summarize the key points in the 6 minutes available to me. I testify on behalf of the U.S. Catholic Conference, which is a public policy agency of the Catholic Bishops of the United States, Mr. Chairman. We have been testifying on the question of El Sal- vador and Central America regularly since 1980, and the scope of the Catholic Conference testimony during that period of time has always been with Central America as a region. While I will specify particularly today some of our concerns about the question of El Salvador and United States choices in El Salvador, I want to reaffirm that our view is that the problem facing U.S. foreign policy is a regional problem that requires a dip- lomatic solution in the region if any one piece of it is to be re- solved. 34-045 0-84-53 826 I think the place I would begin, Mr. Chairman, is a look at the present moment in Central America and El Salvador particularly. It seems to me the moment is marked by two different trends. One is the rising danger of a regional war. There are a number of spe- cific conflicts today inside El Salvador, on the Honduran-Nicara- guan border, but I would want to emphasize that overriding all of these specific conflicts is the danger that the war will spill over boundaries and which boundary may be indifferent in the begin- ning, but the possibility of a war encompassing the region it seems to me is one of the major characteristics of the present moment. Second, I think it is possible to argue that in spite of that enor- mous danger, that the rising danger of war coexists with also possi- bilities for peace, that there are fragile but real possibilities open to a creative diplomatic initiative, and I would contend that the U.S. role in the possibilities of a creative diplomatic initiative is unique. Not that we could do it alone, but that no creative diplo- matic initiative will be taken without full U.S. support. Now, the present moment in Central America, I think, has to be looked at in light of the present state of debate in the United States. Obviously, U.S. choices in Central America or El Salvador will be shaped greatly by the discussion that surrounds the Kissin- ger Commission. There is no opportunity in testimony this brief to do a full-scale analysis of the Kissinger Commission's report, but here I would like to make some brief comments. In evaluating the Kissinger Commission's report it is necessary to distinguish what I would call its inner logic from its separate, distinct elements. The report is an eloquent and valiant effort to deal with an enormously complex problem, but I think one has to evaluate it in several steps. There are some specific elements of the report that stand on their own merit and can be judged piece by piece. Let me indicate two different judgments about two different elements in the report. If one looks at the economic programs in the Kissinger report, the U.S. Catholic Conference would support many of these econom- ic programs, and would urge the Congress to support them. The emergency stabilization program, the strengthening of the Central American Common Market, a proposal for increased U.S. economic bilateral assistance, the need to address the debt question, and new trade guarantees for Central America are all things that while I do not pretend to technically comment on each one of them we would generally come here and say that the Congress ought to look favor- ably upon. There is another topic in the Kissinger Commission that is touched only in passing, but I particularly want to call it to your attention in the testimony of the bishops, and that is the reference to population policy. This is not treated at length, but it is a con- cern of the U.S. Catholic bishops. The Catholic Church recognizes that population is a major ques- tion in any developing country or most developing countries today. Pope Paul VI in his encyclical, The Development of Peoples, in 1967, said that population was a problem, and that governments needed to address it, but the question of how governments address it is crucial in the view of the Catholic Church. Programs must re- 827 *** : DSWAA - **** *** rttv . ************************** Wymiawiki.noi ** . * .. *** .** .*** . 1721 , VAASA II. SALAM spect the informed conscience of individuals, and they must rever- ence the cultural and religious values of a nation. At this point, we do not want to comment in detail upon differ- ent reports that circulate of our population policies. I did not come here prepared to do that. I simply wanted to state a principle, and that is that any attempt to impose an unwanted population pro- gram on a nation or to coerce the individuals will be opposed by the bishops of the United States. There are other distinct elements of the program of the Kissin- ger report that could be commented on, but I comment now in the inner logic of the report. The inner logic of the report is much more problematical. In the short term, the report reaffirms the basic direction of U.S. policy, a policy which the bishops have argued several times now is in need of fundamental redirection, fundamental redirection in terms of what I would call the primacy of the political in U.S. policy, an argument that while there are several elements of U.S. policy in the region there must be a hier- archy among the elements, and that the redirection required is that the United States be willing to pursue in detail, visibly and vocally, a political and diplomatic solution in the region as its pri- mary objective in concert with other key factors. This primacy of a political and diplomatic role is dependent greatly, we think, upon the U.S. fostering the concept and the idea and the reality of dialogue within countries and among countries. One of the things I wished to do in my testimony, Mr. Chairman, was to highlight four different statements over the past year and a half from the El Salvadoran bishops and from the bishops of cen- tral America and the bishops of Latin America reinforcing the need for primary effort in terms of dialogue among contending par- ties in El Salvador and in the region as the principal way to pursue the needed bringing of the peace to Central America. I now conclude, Mr. Chairman, by looking very specifically at the question of El Salvador for just a moment. The Congress faces very specific choices about El Salvador in light of the Kissinger report and the recommendations that come from it. In 1980, the U.S. Catholic Conference come before the U.S. Con- gress to oppose the sending of $5.4 million of nonlethal military as- sistance to the Government of El Salvador. Our position simply re- peated the call of the late Archbishop Romero. In March 1980, Archbishop Romero was assassinated for his vigorous defense of human rights. In December 1980, four American women mission- aries were brutally murdered because of their identification with Neither of these unspeakable crimes has been resolved, yet in 1984 the Congress is being asked to approve military assistance for Central America in the current and following fiscal years which is 100 times greater than the 1980 request. A year ago Archbishop Hickey of Washington, speaking for the U.S. Catholic Conference, come before one of the congressional committees and argued that U.S. policy in Central America must be a policy that supported three things, dialog, cease-fire, and nego- tiations to end the war. We wish to reaffirm Archbishop Hickey's position today. We are sure the political road is the only viable so- lution in El Salvador, because the basic problem is political with the poor. with*YRITTANY 1 MESECA ******************* TANTRA 828 i moral dimensions. It is the need for fundamental reforms in El Sal- vador to address the questions of justice long denied and human rights long abused for the vast majority of the population. Because we are convinced of the need for a decisive political option, we cannot commend, indeed, we must oppose the substan- tial increases in military assistance being proposed to the Congress for fiscal year 1984 and fiscal year 1985. Such increases, we believe, will not signal a policy in support of dialog and negotiation. They will too easily communicate a conviction that the fighting need simply grind on in El Salvador. But the U.S. role can be crucial, we believe, and therefore how we decide this issue of further increases in military assistance is particularly important. The U.S. Catholic Conference stands in sup- port of human rights conditions for any military aid to El Salvador. To provide aid without conditions, we believe, is to offer a blank check to the Salvadoran military precisely when civilian control is a key issue. The Catholic Conference urges the Congress to take specific measures to prevent further militarization of U.S. policy. The Con- gress should prudently support economic aid, should contain explic- itly the military dimension of U.S. policy. We realize there will be a military dimension, but it should be contained, we would argue, and it should place all its weight on the side of redirecting the thrust of U.S. influence toward what I have called the primacy of the political. I thank you for your time, Mr. Chairman. [Father Hehir's prepared statement follows: 829 PREPARED STATEMENT OF REVEREND J. BRYAN HEHIR I testify today on behalf of the U.S. Catholic Conference (USCC), the public policy agency of the Catholic Bishops of the United States. The USCC is appreciative of the opportunity to appear again before a committee of the U.S. Congress to pre- sent its position on U.S. policy in Central America with special reference to El Salvador. I. The U.S. Bishops and Central America Policy The USCC has been a visible participant in the policy debate about Central America since the late 1970s. There are two com- plementary reasons which sustain the involvements of the Catholic Bishops in this complex question. First, precisely because the impact of u.s. policy is so significant to the life of nations and the lives of individuals in Central America, the bishops feel a specific pastoral responsibility to examine U.S. policy in light of human rights and issues of social justice. Second, the strong and specific bonds of faith, trust, friendship and communication which bind the Church in the United States to the Churches of Central America impell us to use our moral influence in the United States to shape U.s. policy in directions conducive to peace in Central America. Our bonds with the Central American Church are greatly enhanced by the presence of U.S. missionaries there; no fewer than eight of these priests, brothers and sisters have sealed our relationship with Central America with their own blood. 830 -2- The scope of the USCC policy concern for the last seven years has encompassed the region of Central America. While this testimony focuses on El Salvador, our view is that the problem facing U.s. policy is regional in nature and must be addressed regionally. II. The United States and Central America: The Present Moment The present moment in Central America is both dangerous and delicate; it contains the potential of much greater suffer- ing and destruction but it also holds out a slim possibility of rescuing the peace. The content of the present moment for U.S. policy is shaped by the character of the situation there and the nature of the policy debate going on here in these days. The danger of the moment in Central America is the possi- bility of a regional war. Presently a series of specific con- flicts fills the region (in El Salvador, on the Nicaraguan- Honduran border) but the danger of any of these conflicts spilling over borders to engulf the region is the great peril of the moment. Regional war would bring suffering and death, destruction and chaos of an entirely new dimension. Paradoxically, intensifying danger has generated some possibility of a political breakthrough which could secure the peace. People recognize the peril of the moment and re- consider what they are willing to negotiate. Whether one examines the internal situation in El Salvador or the state 1 831 -3- of U.S. Nicaraguan relations, there are fragile but sig- nificant signs which a creative diplomatic initiative might use to transform the character of the conflict in Central America. No single actor in the Central America drama has a greater capacity to shape its future direction than the United States, At the present time the dynamic of U.S. policy is not sensitive to the diplomatic potential of the moment. Indeed it is not difficult to make the case that the content of U.S. policy has contributed to the danger of regional war. The persistent theme of USCC congressional testimony over the past five years has been to stress the diplomatic potential the U.s, has in the Central American region if we are willing to work with other key actors. But realizing our diplomatic potential means placing the political resolution of the Central American conflict ahead of military objectives it requires a diplomatic strategy in which the political perspective controls military measures. U.S. policy presently does not manifest this order of values; there is not a convincing daily demon- stration of a primacy of concern for diplomatic initiatives aimed at a political resolution in the region. Too often U.S. policy, in its daily measures, seems fixated on military pressures, coercive moves and the role of threat and intimi- dation, Such a policy has little potential to grasp the 832 -4- fragile possibilities for peace; it has great potential to reinforce the dangers of a regional war. The Bipartisan Commission The Congress is now evaluating the direction and content :.. of u.s. policy in light of the recommendations of The Report of the President's National Bipartisan Commission on Central America ("The Kissinger Commission"). The Commission has served an important public function by focusing attention on Central America and the choices facing U.S. policy there. The Report's style of stressing the complexity of the region's multiple crises political, economic, military - rather than reducing the problem immediately to its geopolitical element, is a welcome shift of official statement. From the beginning of our participation in the policy debate, the 'USCC has acknowledged a geopolitical dimension to Central America, while denying that a geopolitical definition of the question was adequate. A full discussion of the Bipartisan Commission's Report is beyond the scope of our testimony. To evaluate The Report's short-term impact on policy, however, it is necessary to dis- tinguish its inner logic from its separate elements. There are several distinct elements of The Report which can be judged on their own merits. The economic proposals are particularly interesting and, on the whole, deserve both 833 --5- public support and congressional approval. These include the recommendations for an emergency stabilization program, the strengthening of the Central American Common Market, the proposals for increased U.S. bilateral economic assistance and the need for specific steps to address the debt problem and to provide new trade guarantees. While the economic package will have to be designed so that Central Americans control their own economic destiny, its elements are sound and in USCC's view should be supported. One particular aspect of u.s. policy, not treated at length in The Report, which concerns the U.S. Bishops is the question of population policy. The Catholic Church recognizes that population issues are serious questions in many develop- ing countries, not least in Central America. In 1967, Paul VI in his encyclical The Development of Peoples explicitly stated his conviction that governments needed to address popu- lation issues. It is imperative, however, that both govern- mental programs be carried out with respect for the well formed (and well informed) conscience of the individual and with respect-indeed reverence for the religious and cultural values of a people and a nation. Any attempt - public or private to impose undesired measures of population policy on a country on any efforts to coerce individuals to partici- pate in programs which they either do not understand or do not Such fully accept will be firmly opposed by the U.S. Bishops. 834 -6- action is beyond the legitimate scope of governmental activity. A crucial element in evaluating The Bipartisan Commission's Report is to distinguish its elements from its inner logic. While there are several specific elements which in the middle to long-term we find helpful, the inner logic of The Report reaffirms and intensifies the basic direction of a policy which stands in need of fundamental redirection. Redirection means the way in which the elements of U.S. policy are related in Central America. While the Report gives more weight to local and regional dimensions of the policy problem and does not starkly stress the geopolitical element, it still fails to set U.S. policy clearly in the direction of a diplomatic- political solution for the Central America region. Such a direction requires a primacy of the political in U.s. policy: such a direction would severely restrict and clearly subor- dinate military elements (including military assistance) to well defined political purposes; such a direction would acknowledge that even the valuable economic proposals in The Report cannot be implemented while civil war rages in El Salvador and a state of war marks the Nicaraguan-Honduran border. Redirection requires a U.S. option to pursue rapidly and principally a political-diplomatic role in Central America. The Kissinger Commission Report fails to set that direction. Its immediate impact is to reinforce and expand the present logic of u.s. policy. The USCC has found that logic 835 misdirected for four years; to reinforce it is to compound our mistakes. The inescapable vehicle for redirecting our policy and bringing an end to the civil conflict in El Salvador is en- compassed in the term "dialogue". Without a serious, sus- tained effort by the contending parties to engage in unconditioned talks, monitored and if necessary guaranteed by third parties, no truly political solution is possible. I have indicated that the USCC takes with great serious- ness the perspectives of the Central American Church. NO other institutional voice in the region has a more authentic claim to reflect the true aspirations and views of those peoples. The USCC has taken with particular seriousness the una- nimity and clarity with which the Salvadoran and other Central American bishops have addressed the question of a non-military resolution of the present crisis. Since their views are inadequately understood and occasionally misrepre- sented in the U.s. public debate, it may be useful to highlight them here. Salvadoran Bishops and the Dialogue In July of 1982, after it had become evident that, as Archbishop Rivera put it, the March elections had changed nothing, the Salvadoran episcopal conference unanimously 836 -8- called for a dialogue. Within weeks, Pope John Paul wrote to the bishops encouraging their efforts for peace and reconciliation and in his visit to El Salvador last March stressed the need for a sincere dialogue from which noone should be excluded. In the CELAM meeting in Bogota last July bishops from episcopal conferences throughout all of Latin America issued "a call for mutual trust so that the way of dialogue and of the indispensable negotiations can be regained, and that they succeed in obtaining a solid and lasting peace, reconciliation among brothers, and the reconstruction of the social fabric of those countries" The bishops went on to endorse, as has the Pope, "all the initiatives and efforts of neighboring and friendly countries, as well as of diplomatic groups working to help facilitate a worthy solution". The following month, on August 17, the presidents of all the Central American episcopal conferences meeting in San Jose, ! Costa Rica deplored the frightening conditions in their countries, denounced the growing militarization and foreign interventions, and said: "We direct ourselves in the first place to those groups in contest in our countries to beg them in the name of God to end the violence and enter into an honorable and civilized dialogue". ! 837 -9- . The most recent expression of the bishops of El Salvador was their joint pastoral letter, "Called to Be Artisans of Peace", issued last month on February 2. It is a long and very rich document, important as a reflection not only of the hierarchy's thinking but that of a large sector of the Salvadorean people. On the matter of the dialogue, the bishops have this to say: "With the Pope we have repeated our conviction that the true dialogue is not only the only possible solution but above all the only human and Christian one. We cannot accept an illusory peace built on the corpses of more Salvadorans... Once again we exhort those in armed combat to open themselves to the dialogue and stop the senseless shedding of Salvadoran blood". These statements stand in ever sharper contrast with the present trend of U.S. policy. 27.9 .-> wrth AGVA:42********** *e.-------- ...-... Sn. 838 -10- III. U.S. Choices in Central America: The Future The present moment in Central America and the policy debate in the United States converge to create a series of specific choices for U.S. policymakers. The deliberations and decisions of the U.S. Congress are a decisive element in making those choices. I will propose now USCC recommendations about specific policy choices. EL SALVADOR: In 1980 the USCC came before the U.S. Congress to oppose the sending of $5.4 million of "non-lethal" military assistance to the Government of El Salvador. Our position simply repeated the call of the late Archbishop Romero. In March of 1980 Archbishop Romero was assassinated for his vigorous defense of human rights; then in December four American women missionaries were brutally murdered because of their identification with the poor. Neither of these unspeakable crimes has been resolved, yet in 1984 the Congress is being asked to approve military assistance for Central America in the current and following fiscal years one hundred times greater than the 1980 request. One year ago Archbishop James A. Hickey of Washington gave congressional testimony on Central America policy. He echoed the appeal of John Paul II and the Salvadoran Bishops in his recommendation for U.S. policy. Our policy, he said, should support three steps in El Salvador: dialogue, ceasefire and negotiations to end the war. The Uscc reaffirms Archbishop Hickey's proposal today. 839 -1l- We are sure the political road is the only viable solution in El Salvador, because the basic problem is political with moral dimensions. It is the need for fundamental reforms in El Salvador to address the questions of justice long-denied and human rights long-abused for the vast majority of the population. Because we are convinced of the need for a deiisive political option, we cannot commend, indeed we must oppose, the substantial increases in military assistance being proposed to the Congress for FY 1984 and FY 1985. Such increases will not signal a policy in support of dialogue and negotiations, they will too easily communicate a conviction that the fighting need simply grind on in El Salvador or worse, escalate into a greater conflagration. Obviously the fighting is the product of two sides and both must be willing to negotiate. But the U.S. role can be crucial in catalyzing negotiations. How we decide to move can influence the decisions of others. The USCC stands in support of human rights conditions for any military aid to El Salvador. To provide aid without conditions is to offer a blank check to the Salvadoran military precisely at the time when civilian control is a key issue in El Salvador. But human rights conditions are not a sufficient exercise of the congressional role at this critical moment. The USCC urges the Congress to take specific measures to prevent further militarization of u.s. policy. The Congress should prudently support economic aid, should contain explicitly the military dimension of u.s. policy 840 -12- and should place all its weight on the side of redirecting the thrust of U.S. influence toward a rapid and thorough political resolution in El Salvador. U.S. policy should be vocally, visibly and single-mindedly directed toward bringing the fighting to an end and starting the political dialogue. Obviously much has happened since 1980 in El Salvador: human rights have been violated by the violent left and the murderous right; the fighting has escalated, fueled by outside support for all parties. Still it is necessary simply to specify how far down the military road U.S. policy has moved since 1980. The USCC's purpose in 1980 was to argue against a U.S. military contribution to the conflict and to argue for a highly visible diplomatic engagement. We feared that even with the best of intentions, our military role would erode our political contri- bution. In 1984 we see our initials fears being fulfilled. The elements of u.s. policy are not being proportioned to enhance a diplomatic role. At this point in the conflict, some U.S. military assistance will undoubtedly be part of U.s. policy, but the question is how much, under what conditions and how the military and political dimensions of policy should be related. These are the choices before the Congress today. 1 NICARAGUA. The second most urgent policy issue to be addressed after a negotiated settlement of the Salvadoran conflict, and intimately linked to it, is the question of u.s. relations with Nicaragua. No regional diplomatic solution is possible without a change in the tenor and themes of U.S.-Nicaraguan relations. -13- 841 با للظر The USCC is well aware of the many limitations of the present government and has on more than one occasion expressed strong opposition to policies or actions of that government. while acknowledging undeniable social advances in Nicaragua, particularly benefitting the poorest, we remain deeply concerned about admitted violations of human rights and excessive limitations on media, political and trade union freedoms. The Nicaraguan government's relations with the country's ethnic minorities, while not to be compared with the Guatemalan situation, remains gravely troubling. Nicaragua's foreign policy goals in the region are a source of concern to many. And, as Catholics, we have been especially offended by a series of events that constitute a pattern of harrassment directed at bishops and other members of the clergy. That official policy is directly responsible in each of these cases can remain an open question; that the government has not taken sufficient steps to prevent or rectify certain actions cannot. WALAUREA Nevertheless, while the U.S. can properly address itself to the policies of Nicaragua in the region and legitimately engage in the process of evaluating internal human rights performance, the present approach to doing so is seriously misguided and funda- mentally flawed. Instead of ameliorating tensions and seeking to influence through effective diplomacy, present U.S. policy is moving in a contrary, and increasingly dangerous, direction. <--*....***...*L* MS. T. Marker KASTUEWU WA in his 84-045 0-84-54 842 -14- The usCC has made three specific policy recommendations regarding Nicaragua which we repeat today: We oppose all covert aid to forces seeking by violence to overthrow the present government. Such aid corrupts our own standards of policy formulation and conduct and it provides convenient justification for further restrictions of freedoms within Nicaragua. We favor resumption of significent bilateral economic assistance to Nicaragua conditioned, as in all such cases, to compliance with established human rights criteria. ...u And most importantly, we urge new efforts at political engagement, testing seriously the initiatives for negotiations offered by Nicaragua. GUATEMALA. Changes in leadership in Guatemala last August, less than a year and a half after the previous military coup, have not evidenced significant improvements. Reports of major human rights abuses continue, hundreds of thousands of Guatemalans remain displaced from their homes or in exile, the negative side of such government programs as the creation of model villages and civil patrols continues dominant, and official harrassment, at times outright persecution, of the Catholic Church remains a feature of Guatemalan life. Another Catholic priest was murdered last November. 843 -15- The USCC remains firmly opposed to any direct assistance to the military forces of that country, whether through military assistance programs (MAP), military education and training (IMET), foreign military sales credits (FMS) or encouragement of active Guatemalan participation in a revived Central American Defense Council (CONDECA). HONDURAS The constantly growing militarization of Honduras is one of the most tragic by-products of the regional crisis. We can only view with alarm the continued build-up of U.S. military assistance to and U.S. military presence in Honduras and the use of Honduran territory for armed incursions into Nicaragua. These provocative actions greatly threaten the precarious peace between these two nations. The USCC repeats its often-stated concern for the well-being of the many persons who have sought refuge in Honduras. While commending the Honduran authorities and people for receiving these unfortunate victims of war and oppression in their own countries, we express renewed opposition to the forced re-location of many of them. As the Honduran Bishops said on January 20, they have already been uprooted, some more than once, and should not be forced against their will to move once again. 844 -16- COSTA RICA. Still, fortunately, the democratic exception of Central America, Costa Rica is nevertheless saddled with an insupportable debt burden and experiences an economic crisis of major proportions. Combined international efforts to assist Costa Rica overcome this crisis are necessary. U.S. security assistance, however, does not seem appropriate at this time. REFUGEES. The question of refugees cuts across all the country issues and requires renewed attention by our government. Contrary to an assumption that a negotiated settlement in El Salvador would increase the numbers of persons seeking unauthorized entry into the United States, we believe that peace and economic recovery in the region are the indispensable conditions for the U.S. to regain control over immigration flows. Pastors and religious workers in this country have extensive contact with Salvadoran and Guatemalan refugees here and are convinced of their desire to return home, conditions permitting. The USCC remains opposed to the practice of forcibly repatri- ating undocumented persons from these countries seeking political refuge and strongly urges the provision of extended voluntary departure status for all such. IV. Conclusion The last few years have witnessed a new kind of bold assertiveness in the conduct of U.S. foreign policy, especially in this hemisphere. Some would describe it as agressive, truculent, .... 1 845 -17- even belligerent. It has obviously not been without its supporters among the American people, as we witnessed last Fall with the invasion of Grenada. But many aspects of the policy, especially with regard to Central America, continue to trouble, certainly to confuse large segments of our population. Our neighbors in the Americas, by all available accounts, appear to be even more concerned. The United States has an essential role of leadership to play in the Americas but not an independently dominating one. We should demonstrate strength through forbearance and maturity in our relations with small countries whose policies we may well seek : to influence. We should seek to influence through the politics of diplomacy rather than through intimidation, subversion or war. We should make real our essential partnership with the other American states, recognizing that they too have leadership roles 1 to play in the hemisphere. 7 We believe that among the guiding principles that should inform future decisions regarding our policy in Central America are the following: 1. The overriding need of the moment is to prevent expansion of the present conflicts and to achieve peace in the region through . the diplomatic process of dialogue and negotiations. 1 1 846 -18- 2. An active role for other American states, presently 0 represented by the Group of Contadora, show the meantimore strongly encouraged and facilitated. 3. The international dimensions of honefTsis should not be ignored but neither should they be exaggerated. 4. The human rights dimension of our policy should be brought constantly to the fore. Efforts to relate concern for human rights بدنه حسینیه with the conduct of foreign policy reflect the finest principles of our society and are constantly to be encouraged. : 5. Conversely, military aid to the countries of Central America should compose an exceptional, not routine and certainly not dominant element in our relationship with them. While some limited military aid may be a dimension of U.S. policy there, the amounts currently sought must be considered unacceptable. Senator HELMS. Thank you very much. Mr. Leonard, I am glad we were able to work you in. We had to decline your first request because we had a balanced panel, but since Reverend Rueda became ill we are happy to have you. You were Assistant Attorney General for how long? STATEMENT OF JERRIS LEONARD, ESQ., WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. LEONARD. Mr. Chairman, I was Assistant Attorney General from February 1969 until April 1971, a little over 2 years. Senator HELMs. It is nice to see you here. Mr. LEONARD. It is nice to see you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. You may proceed. Mr. LEONARD. Mr. Chairman, my name is Jerris Leonard. I was Assistant Attorney General, as I said, in charge of the Civil Rights Division of the U.S. Department of Justice for approximately 2 years. I appear here today as the attorney for Arturo Muyshondt, or in Spanish pronounced "Mason," one of six Salvadorans named by Robert E. White, former Ambassador to El Salvador, as a bitter, angry, vindictive exiled millionaire whose extensive land holdings have been expropriated for land reform. Incidentally, I would like to introduce Mr. Muyshondt. Would you stand up, please? [A gentleman in the audience stood.] Mr. LEONARD. Mr. White has charged that Mr. Muyshondt is re- sponsible for the death of Archbishop Oscar Romero, many thou- sands of Salvadorans, Americans, and others, plots the overthrow of his government, controls and finances Roberto D'Aubuisson and the rightist death squads, and finally, calls him a madman and scum. Let there be no doubt in anyone's mind that the statements are White's statements and not those of a third party. s! : 847 . 1 - *** ------ I submit as evidence of that fact his answers given on national television in an interview program when responding to questions as to whether or not he adopted the statements of his alleged inform- ant as his own. His answers were, and I quote, “I say that this in- formation is reliable and from a reliable source, and I believe it to be accurate, yes." Second quote: "Oh, I am glad to repeat that I believe the evi- dence is accurate that I presented to the committee.' The third quote: "I am telling you that the source for this infor- mation is a source that has been proven reliable to the U.S. Embas- sy over years, that his information has been analyzed as credible over the years. What we have, therefore, Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, is a former high official of the U.S. Government who holds a title of respect and honor and will be referred to as Mr. Ambassador for the rest of his life charging Arturo Muyshondt with the most heinous crimes known to man, fascist style mass murder of thousands of innocent victims, including the leader of the Catholic Church in El Salvador. If Mr. Ambassador were correct, he would have done a great service to his country and the world by exposing this criminal, but Mr. Ambassador is wrong, and he has perpetrated one of the most grievous violations of another person's civil and human rights that I can recall in almost 30 years of practicing law, a part of which was spent prosecuting civil and human rights violators. Mr. White's information came to him over 3 years ago, but he chose not to make the name of Arturo Muyshondt public until Feb- ruary 2 of this year. He cannot claim that he had insufficient time in which to investigate. In contrast to the 3 years that Mr. White had to investigate, we had only a matter of days from the day we were retained by Arturo Muyshondt to clear his name. My associate, Dan Maguan, Arturo Muyshondt, and I worked day and night to compile the overwhelming mass of evidence which es- tablishes without any question, any doubt that Mr. White has per- petrated a grievious and irreconcilable wrong. He has exaggerated that wrong, that violation of Mr. Muyshondt's civil and human rights, by arrogantly refusing to retract his allegations in spite of overwhelming evidence of his error. He has continued to rely on such flimsy evidence as a Miami telephone listing to arrogantly and adamantly adhere to his position that Mr. Muyshondt is guilty of these heinous crimes. In a moment I am going to summarize the evidence that is irre- futable in proving that Mr. White has done irreparable damage to Arturo Muyshondt, including making his family and himself a target for death, and I will give you some proof of that in a moment. But, Mr. Chairman and members of this subcommittee, the evidence I present to you calls for you to act. You can take only one action, and that is to recommend to the full committee and the full Senate that Robert E. White be stripped of the title that this Senate conferred upon him. I will offer to you in a few moments on behalf of Arturo Muy- shondt and ask you to adopt a resolution which I will present to you which would restore the good name of Arturo Muyshondt and ..............-nin.: ...ti.... -------- 1 . 848 .. his family by denying his false accuser from ever again using the title ambassador. We have provided and will provide you with documentary proof of what I am going to present. Therefore I will simply summarize briefly. Arturo Muyshondt is a 35-year-old Salvadoran who lives with his wife and three children, ages 10, 9, and 5, in their family home in El Salvador. I have just a few weeks ago been in that home. It is comfortable but it certainly is not ostentatious. He owns no real estate, nor does he hold or otherwise maintain a residence in Miami, Fla., nor has he ever held or maintained a residence in Miami, Fla. The only real estate he owns are his home, his office, an unimproved lot, a small dairy farm, cotton farms which are op- erated by he and his brother, which are on leased land, two acres of land on which his main business is located. All of this real estate, Mr. Chairman, Senator Pell, are in El Sal- vador. During a 1-month period in 1982 he rented an apartment in Miami and installed a telephone in his name. He and his family spent this time in Miami for security reasons following the comple- tion of a kidnapping investigation in which Mr. Muyshondt was principally responsible for the capture and jailing of the kidnapper. For whatever reason unknown to us the listing continues, and we are continuing to investigate it. Mr. Muyshondt is not a millionaire, not at least by U.S. stand- ards. His cotton business has resulted in a substantial financial loss. His dairy farm, only a few years in operation, has yet to make money. His economic mainstay has been his copra extracting busi- ness, and his representation of a number of U.S. companies in Cen- tral America. He is not a multimillionaire exile, does not live in Miami, and has not lost any land to agrarian reform. The best evidence of what and who a man is, is obtained by interviewing those persons who are closest to him. I did that in San Salvador recently. I personally interviewed Msgr. Ricardo Aroste, who served as secretary to Arch- bishop Romero. He confirmed that the archbishop had personally inscribed a pastoral letter relating to the church's mission in El Salvador as follows: "To Arturo, to continue looking for better ways to serve our lovely country.' I also interviewed two Jesuit priests, Father Francisco Estrada, who was the former provincial or head of the Jesuit order in Cen- tral America. He stated that the relationship between Arturo Muy- shondt and Archbishop Romero was one of profound respect and admiration. When asked if Arturo Muyshondt could have been re- sponsible for the archibishop's murder, he stated, and I quote, "That is impossible." In an interview with Father Vero-Fajardo, another Jesuit, he stated that he knew of his own personal knowledge-- Senator HELMS. Mr. Leonard, excuse me. Your time has expired. I allowed Father Hehir to go over for a minute or two. Would you please wind up in just a minute or two? Mr. LEONARD. I will wind up if you give me 2 minutes. Senator HELMS. It is an understanding that we will give Mr. White additional time to respond. ........ : 849 Mr. LEONARD. I am submitting today an affidavit of Arturo Muy- shondt together with documentation and another list of documents, a statement, an extensive statement. I would urge the committee, and this has nothing to do with the charges against him, it has more to do with what really needs to be done in El Salvador from the standpoint of really a man who is not deeply in politics, but is deeply concerned about his country as a small businessman and had some ideas. Mr. Chairman, I will finish with that. Senator HELMs. Thank you very much. Those documents will be included in the record. [Mr. Leonard's prepared statement and attachments follow:] ............... ***** I 850 March 20, 1984 Statement By Jerris Leonard, Former Assistant Attorney General, Civil Rights Division, U.S. Department of Justice, Before the Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs, U.S. Senate Mr. Chairman and members of the Subcommittee, I appear here today as the attorney for Arturo Muyshondt, one of six Salvadoreans named by Robert E. White, former Ambassador to El Salvador, as a bitter, angry, vindictive exiled millionaire, whose extensive land holdings have been expropriated for land reform. White has charged that Muyshondt is responsible for the death of Archbishop Oscar Romero, many thousands of Salva- doreans, Americans and others, plöts the overthrow of his government, controls and finances Roberto D'Aubuisson and the rightist death squads and finally, calls him a "madman" and "scum"--escoria in Spanish. Let there be no doubt in anyone's mind that the statements are White's statements and not those of a third party. I submit as evidence of that fact, his answers given on national television in an interview program when responding to questions as to whether or not he adopted the statements of his alleged informant as his own. His answers were "I say that this information is reliable, and from a reliable source, and I believe it to be accurate, yes." "Oh, I'm glad to repeat that I believe the evidence that is accurate that I presented to the Committee.' "I am telling you that the source for this informa- tion is a source that has been proven reliable to the United States Embassy over years. That his information has been analyzed as credible over the years. 851 -2- What we have therefore, is a former high official of the U.S. Government, who holds a title of respect and honor and who will be referred to as "Mr. Ambassador" for the rest of his life, charging Arturo Muyshondt with the most heinous crimes known to man--fascist style mass murder of thousands of innocent victims, including the leader of the Catholic Church in El Salvador. If "Mr. Ambassador" were correct, he would have done a great service to his country and the world by exposing this criminal Arturo Muyshondt. But "Mr. Ambassador" is wrong and he has perpetrated one of the most grevious violations of another person's civil and human rights that I can recall in almost 30 years of practicing law, a part of which was spent prosecuting civil and human rights violators. White's information came to him over three years ago, but he chose not to make the name of Arturo Muyshondt public until February 2, 1984. He cannot claim that he had insufficient time in which to investigate. In contrast to the three years that white had to investi- gate, we had only a matter of days from the day we were retained by Arturo Muyshondt to clear his name. My associate, Dan McGuan, Arturo Muyshondt and I worked day and night to compile the overwhelming mass of evidence, which establishes without any question, any doubt that white has perpetrated a grevious and 852 -3- irreconcilable wrong. He has exaggerated that wrong, that violation of Arturo Muyshondt's civil and human rights by arrogantly refusing to retract his allegations in spite of overwhelming evidence of his error. He has continued to rely on such flimsy evidence as a Miami telephone listing to arrogantly and adamantly adhere to his position that Arturo Muyshondt is guilty of these heinous crimes. In a moment, I'm going to summarize the evidence that is irrefutable in proving that white has done irreparable damage to Arturo Muyshondt, including making him and his family a target for death. Mr. Chairman and members of this Subcommittee, the evidence I present to you calls for you to act. You can take only one action, and that is to recommend to the full committee and the full Senate that Robert E. White be stripped of the title that this Senate conferred upon him. I ask you, on behalf of my client, Arturo Muyshondt, to adopt the Resolution which I present to you at this time, which would restore the good name of Arturo Muyshondt and his family by denying his false accuser from ever again using the title "Ambassador." We have provided you with documentary proof of what I am going to present, therefore I will summarize our response to White's "shotgun" charges. . 853 -4- Arturo Muyshondt is a 35 year old Salvadorean who lives with his wife and three children, ages 10, 9 and 5 in their family home in San Salvador. I have been in his home. It is comfortable, but not ostentatious. He owns no real estate, nor does he other- wise maintain a residence in Miami. The only real estate he owns or controls is: 1) His residence; 2) His office, which is the former Muyshondt family home owned by his mother, brothers and himself; 3) An unimproved acre of land on the Salvadorean Pacific Coast; 4) A 300 acre dairy farm, held by a corporation which he controls; 5) 2,500 acres of cotton farms operated by a corporation owned by he and his brother on land leased from others; and 6) acres of land on which his copra oil extracting business is operated by a corporation which he controls. All of this real estate is in El Salvador. During a one month period in 1982, he rented an apartment in Miami and installed a telephone in his name. He and his family spent this time in Miami for security reasons following the completion of a kidnapping investigation in which Sr. Muyshondt was principally responsible for the capture and jailing of the kidnapper. For whatever reason unknown to Sr. Muyshondt, the listing of his name continued in the Miami directory. We have 854 -5- preliminary information indicating this may have been an error on the part of the telephone company. . Arturo Muyshondt is not a millionaire; at least not by U.S. standards. His cotton business has resulted in a substantial financial loss. His dairy farm, only a few years in operation, has yet to make money. His.. economic mainstay has been his copra extracting business and his representation of a number of U.S. companies in Central America, X s. Arturo Muyshondt is not a multi-millionaire exile--does not live in Miami and has lost no land to Agrarian reform. The best evidence of who and what a man is, is obtained by interviewing those persons closest to him. I did that in San Salvador recently. I personally interviewed Monsenor Ricardo Urioste, who served as secretary to Archbishop Romero. He confirmed that the : Archbishop had personally inscribed a Pastoral Letter relating to the Church's mission in El Salvador as follows: "To Arturo to continue looking for better ways to serve our lovely country." I also interviewed two Jesuit priests. Father Francisco Estrada was the former Provincial or head of the Jesuit order in Central America. He stated that the relationship between Arturo : Muyshondt and Archbishop Romero was one of "profound respect and admiration." When asked if Arturo Muyshondt could have been responsible for the Archbishop's murder, he stated, "That's impossible!" 1 855 -6 In an interview with Father Vera-Fajardo, S.J., he stated that he knew of his own personal knowledge that Archbishop Romero had stated that the relationship between the two men, Romero and Muyshondt was "close" and one of mutual "great admiration." His knowledge came not only from his personal observations, but also from his personal knowledge that either a writing or tape record- ing of the Archbishop confirmed this fact. Both of these Jesuits vigorously denied that Muyshondt could possibly be the person named by White and that white must have been mistaken in including Muyshondt in his charges. Within a few hours of my interview with Father Vera- Fajardo, he received a telephone call from a person named Carmen Lavella, who represented herself to be associated with the Center for Development Policy in Washington, D.C. White is associated with this organization. The priest told me that Lavella asked many of the same questions I had asked him earlier and he told her what he had told me. Mr. Chairman, the point here is most significant. First, that series of interviews and telephone calls man ----------- occurred on February 24, 1984, three years after white received the information from his so-called informant, but it took him three years to conduct the kind of basic inquiry that any reason- able person would have conducted before charging an individual with the most serious crimes against mankind that he has charged Sr. Muyshondt with. 856 -7- Second, he has had almost three weeks to investigate and retract his allegations. We have given him every possible assistance to aid in such an investigation, but he has adamantly refused to retract. White has made his charges by using the Congress of the United States, both House and Senate, as the vehicle to catapult these charges across the headlines and airwaves of the world. without such a vehicle, his charges would have largely been ignored. In making these unfounded and preposterous allegations against another human being based on only the flimsiest of speculation, he has abused the Congress and its search for truth. In using aged rumors, aged rumors, an unnamed and unreliable informant who supplied him this information in his official capacity as a representative of the government of the United States, he has betrayed us all, every single citizen of this country. ... There is only one remedy. Strip him of his title by adopting the suggested Resolution. Such action will accomplish two purposes, both of which are compelling in this situation. First, it will sound a warning to all would-be sensationalist "investigators" that they had better be sure before they make the charges. The second and most important is to restore the good name of this honest man, Arturo Muyshondt, who has had to bare his soul in order to refute the reckless charges made by White. There is no public forum or body, other than the United States Senate that can right the grievous wrong that white has done to Muyshondt. You have an obligation to right this wrong and recommend that the Senate adopt this Resolution. c LS.... .... 857 SENATE RESOLUTION Whereas on the day of 19_ the United States Senate, upon the nomination of the President of the United States, confirmed Robert E. White as Ambassador to the Republic of El Salvador; and Whereas, the said Robert E. White on, before and after the 2nd day of February, 1984, engaged in a in a course of reckless, untruthful and dishonorable conduct toward a citizen of the Republic of El Salvador; and, Whereas, such reckless, untruthful and dishonorable conduct constituted accusing said citizen of El Salvador, namely Arturo Muyshondt of unfounded and unsubstantiated crimes against the human race of the most heinous nature; and, Whereas, the said Robert E. White came into possession of such allegations while he served the United States as Ambassador; and, Whereas, the said Robert E. White, without attempting to verify in even a most cursory manner, whether such allegations and charges were true; and, Whereas, the United States Senate finds that the utterance : of such charges, before public bodies and in the public media were reckless, resulting in serious and irreparable damage to the name, reputation and family, constituting conduct unbecoming of a representative of the United States and the United States; Now, Therefore, the United States Senate, having conferred upon Robert E. White the title of "Ambassador," hereby withdraws such title and honor and orders the said Robert E. White to forever cease and desist from using such a title of honor. 34-045 0-84-55 858 March 20, 1984 STATEMENT OF ARTURO MUYSHONDT I want to thank Senator Helms and his Subcommittee for allowing my attorney to appear and refute the reckless and malicious charges made against me by Mr. White. There is no doubt in my mind that when I am given the opportunity to present in the U.S. 1 Courts all of our evidence, that evidence will overwhelmingly and beyond any doubt prove Mr. White's allegations to be false. The proceedings held here today will be fully justified. I hope the United States Senate will give serious consideration to the resolution offered by my attorney to strip Mr. White of his title of Ambassador. Mr. White's allegations are irresponsible. I and other foreign citizens who do business in the United States and have been subjected to Mr. White's reckless charges, deserve no less. White and people like him dishonor the American people in the eyes of law abiding foreign citizens who view the United States as the defender of fairness and decency to all human beings. 859 AFFIDAVIT Arturo Muyshondt being first duly sworn upon oath deposes and states as follows: 1. I am Arturo Muyshondt, a citizen of the Republic of El Salvador, and I reside in the City of San Salvador in the Republic of El Salvador. 2. I am 35 years old, married and have three children, ages ten, nine and five. I am a practicing Catholic and was educated by the Jesuits in El Salvador through high school. I attended Menlo School of Business Administration in Menlo Park, --:-1, s.-,.,...- ........ California in 1974-75 and received a Bachelor of Science in . Business Administration from that institution. 3. I am not wealthy. My basic business is the extrac- tion of vegetable oil from copra, which I purchase from local cooperatives in El Salvador, processing the copra in my plant in San Salvador and selling it to various customers, mainly in the Central American area. With my brother, I also operate some cotton farms, totalling approximately 2,500 acres. All of the land is leased from others. The cotton farms have lost substantial monies in the last two years. 4. I also own and operate a dairy farm of approximately 300 acres. This is the only land anywhere in the world which I own, other than my home, (office) and approximately one acre of unimproved beach property in El Salvador. I entered the dairy farming business in El Salvador by purchasing brown Swiss 860 -2- dairy cows, approximately 87, after extensive travel through the mid-Western part of the United States. I am very proud of the fact that I bought this dairy herd from dairy farmers in Wisconsin and Ohio. 5. With a relative of my wife, I have I have an office in Coral Gables, Florida, which imports machinery parts into El Salvador, and we are trying to export some goods from El Salvador to the U.S. W. In addition, I hold in my own name, a representation contract with an oil extraction machinery manufacturing company, and currently do business with a few other American companies, representing them in the Central American area. 6. Beginning as early as November and December, 1983, and culminating with a prepared statement, a press conference and subsequent radio and television appearances, Robert E. White, former Ambassador from the United States to El Salvador made the most serious charges that one human being can make against another. (Oral Statement of White, Tab 1; Prepared Statement of white, Tab 2; Transcript of "From the Editor's Desk, Tab 3.) Ordinarily, a citizen of El Salvador would have little interest in what a man like White has to say, but in this case, the perjured testimony that Robert E. White gave before a Con- gressional Subcommittee has not only resulted in great damage 4 to my name, the name of my family and my children, but it has placed all of us in great danger of physical harm and death. 861 -3- In fact, on Thursday, February 23, 1984, just a few weeks after White made his false and inflamatory charges against me, an attempt was made on my life by a would-be assassin. (Statement of Ing. Posada, Tab 4.) No such attempts have ever been made on me or my family before. 7. On February 6, 1984, this man, Robert E. White, Robert E. appeared before a Congressional Subcommittee and uttered a vicious and damaging defamation. He alleged that I was a member of a group of Salvadorean exiles of great wealth, living in Miami, revengeful because their land and properties in El Salvador had been expropriated by the Salvadorean Government for land reform, : ; who had plotted and continued to plot the deaths of Salvadoreans. He charged that I was a member of the group that was directing the execution of such persons by manipulating Roberto D'Aubuisson and persons associated with him. Mr. White is a vicious liar. ; . He is also a thief, for he has stolen the most precious possession my family and I have our good name. 8. I have asked Mr. White to retract his false and dangerous accusations. (Letter of March 2, 1984, Tab 5). I have supplied Mr. White's lawyers with the information stated immediately above. The only response I have received from Mr. White was through his lawyers. Rather than retract his false and malicious accusations and allow me to try and salvage my good name, MI.. White chooses instead to ask questions of me, questions he should have asked before he made his false and 862 -4- malicious accusations which have slandered my good name and reputation and placed me and my family in danger. (Letter of March 7, 1984, Tab 6.) 9. Had Mr. White been concerned with the accuracy and truth of his accusations of me, he should have known the answers to the questions asked by his lawyers. I respond to Mr. White's questions no longer in the hope that Mr. White will attempt to undo the damage he has done--that appears to be futile--I respond only in order to set the record straight. (Affidavit of Arturo Muyshondt dated March 13, 1984 and Letter dated March 15, 1984, Tab 7.) 10. Mr. White has accused me of being a member of his "gang of six." According to Mr. White, I live in Miami and am an exile from my country. I have prepared a statement which is attached hereto that chronicles the amount of time I have spent in the United States since 1978. The dates and time spent are taken from my passport and my recollection. This information, Mr. White could have had for the asking, had he been concerned بلبل :۔ with the accuracy and truth of his statements. That I do not live in Miami is clear; further, Mr. White's statements that I am an exile from my country is preposterous. (U.S. Travel Summary of Arturo Muyshondt, Tab 8.) 11. To the extent that the above statements and document- ary support prove that I am not living in Miami, am not wealthy, am not a holder of "large estates" lost to land reform; and am . 863 -5- not an exile from my country no more shall be offered. Had Mr. : White truly been interested or concerned with the truth of his accusations, over and above his "7" questions (not to be confused with his aberrational "gang of six") Mr. White could have and ".. [ should have asked some or all of the following questions before ! publishing his malicious defamation, which question, among others, I would have gladly answered. ....... 12. Q. What is your full and complete name? A. Carlos Arturo Muyshondt Parker, Muyshondt was my . father's given name, and Parker is my mother's given name. 13. Q. How are you generally known? A. Arturo Muyshondt. ini.. 14. Q. Is your last name pronounced differently in Spanish than it would be in English? A. Yes, in Spanish my last name is pronounced as if it were spelled "Mason." 15. 3.11.17 1.*...* ... min.:. Q. Have you ever owned real estate of any kind in Miami? A. Never. 16. Q. Have you ever temporarily resided in Miami? A. In late 1981, a relative of my wife's was kidnapped in El Salvador. I was participating in the negotiations and the . 1 investigations in Guatemala and in El Salvador from December 10, 1981 to January 27, 1982. When the kidnapping was resolved, for security reasons, my family and I went to Miami and rented an 1 .. 1 . 1 . ! 864 -6- apartment for a month. We had a telephone in that apartment for less than a month and then we left that apartment and stayed for about twenty days in one of my wife's relative's apartment. when we cancelled the telephone, we gave the number of my wife's relative's telephone in order to get the bill and recover the deposit from the telephone company. 17. Q. You own an airplane. Have you ever flown that airplane to Miami? In 1979 I bought an airplane in Miami and went there to pick it up and fly it back to El Salvador. In 1982, I flew the airplane to Miami for repairs and flew it back to El Salvador after the repairs were finished. In December 1982, I flew my airplane with my son, Arturo, to Miami for a business and pleasure trip. Other than these three instances, I am quite certain that I have never flown my airplane to Miami from El Salvador or from any 4 other place since 1979. 18. Q. Do you do business in Miami? A. Yes, my wife's relative and I maintain a small business with an office in Coral Gables, Florida. That business is for the purpose of importing machinery parts into Central America. I also represent in Central America a company from Ohio whose Latin American Division Manager resides in West Palm Beach, Florida. When the occasion arises for me to be in the Miami area, I ordinarily visit with my business partner and will visit or call the gentleman in West Palm Beach. 3 865 -7- 19. Q. Do you travel extensively to the United States? A. Not extensively, but a review of my passport to assist in refreshing my recollection indicates that from December 4, 1978 when my current passport was issued, I made three visits to the United States from December 4, 1978 through December 31, 1979, one of which was to pick up the airplane to pick up the airplane referred to above. On these three trips I spent not more than 20 days in the United States. In 1980, I visited the United States approximately 5 times, most of those visits were with my family on vacation, and I would estimate that I spent not more than 44 days in the United States during that year. In 1981, I made only one visit to the United States in early January, met with a business friend and spent not more than five days. In 1982, I was in the United States on quite a few occa- sions because of the kidnapping of my wife's relative, to bring :: in my airplane for repairs, and then to pick it up, and towards the end of that year, I began travelling into the Midwest, looking for dairy heifers. I would estimate that I spent not more than 60 days in the United States in 1982. In 1983, again I spent approximately 60 days in the United States, early in the year looking for dairy heifers and choosing the herd that I eventually bought in Ohio and Wisconsin and returned to El Salvador. I also spent some time on my machinery -*-:den': isi 2 ..........:::::: ************* .carei... :-*. ** :* ! ... :: 866 -8- import business in Coral Gables and stayed on a number of occa- sions at the Holiday Inn at Brickel Point in Miami. Since Robert White's charges against me in early February 1984, I've spent considerable time in the United States. 20. Q. Has the Salvadorean Government ever confiscated or taken any of your property for land reform or any other purpose? A. Never. 21. Q. It has been charged that you did not support the Junta, which was established in El Salvador in 1979. Is that a true statement? A. It is false. Even more, a member of M.RiS., Mario Audino, was a member of the Junta representing the free enterprise sector. I show you a copy of a newspaper article and picture which shows me as part of a group, M.R.S., that supported that Junta, and the newspaper article clearly indicates that the group in the picture did support the Junta of 1979. (El Diario De Hoy, 19 October, 1979, Tab 9.) 22. Q. It has been charged that you were one of the founders and supporters of F.A.N. which became ARENA, which is the party of Roberto D'Aubuisson. Is that true or false? A. It is both true and false. It is true that a political movement which I helped to found, M.R.S., was one of the founding organizations of F.A.N. in December of 1979. When the articles and statements of principle of F.A.N. were published in January 1980, I took out an ad in the newspaper and int 867 -9- had a press interview. I show you photocopies of that ad and from the interview on behalf of M.R.S. withdrawing its support from F.A.N. Since that time, I have not supported in any way, F.A.N., ARENA, or Roberto D'Aubuisson. (El Diario de Hoy, 5 February 1980, Tab 10.) 23. Q. It has been charged that your last name appears in at least three places in the secret diaries that were seized from Roberto D'Aubuisson in 1980. What is your response to that charge? A. Of course, I have never seen such diaries, and do ។ 1 not know whether my name appears or not. I can state categorically 1 that I have never been involved with Roberto D'Aubuisson in any way, other than as indicated above in late 1979 in association ! through M.R.S., which was terminated in January 1980. 1 . 24. Q. Did you know Archbishop Romero. A. Yes. 1 25. Q. How long? A. For many years. 26. Q. Describe your relationship with Archbishop Romero. A. I consider my relationship with Archbishop Romero to be a very close one. We were good friends. I admired him and I believe he admired me. We had many discussions about our country, its problems and how to solve those problems. We did not always agree, but we respected one another's opinions. believe that these discussions helped him to have a better under- standing of the private business and economic sector and helped I 868 -10- me to better understand his deep concern and the concern of the Church for the people of El Salvador. I advised the Archbishop Romero that I believed that he and the Church were used by the Communists to the detriment of the Church and our country. 27. e You have been accused by Robert E. White of having been responsible for Archbishop Romero's death. Is that accusation true or false? A. Totally false, It is as preposterous and demeaning as if he were to accuse me of killing my own brother. 28. Q. Have the "death squads" ever personally affected you? A. I believe that there is substantial proof that my brother was assassinated by some kind of organized "death squad." There is substantial evidence to prove that on March 26, 1983, while flying in a remote area of El Salvador, my brother's airplane was shot out of the air by gun fire. The U.s. Federal Bureau of Investigation had parts of the airplane and has conducted studies which show that there is consistent evidence that two parts of the airplane that we sent to the F.B.I. were shot by bullets (F.B.I. Laboratory Report No. 31014008 S RU. Qy, November 14, 1983.) I also know that certain events occurred at the scene of the crash which are extremely suspicious and extraordinary. I do not know who killed my brother and therefore, I make no accu- sations now. Our investigation continues; we are close to the answers and as soon as I have solid evidence, I will place the responsibility squarely on the persons involved. 869 -11- 29. Q. Have you offered to cooperate with the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation with respect to the so-called Miami "gang of six?" A. Yes, my attorney contacted the F.B.I. and made 1 that offer. (Affidavit of February 16, 1984, Tab 11.) Dated at Washington, D.C. this 19 day of, March, 1984 of Arturo Muyshondt Washington ) SS District of Columbia ) PERSONALLY appeared before me this At day of March, 1984 the above named Arturo Muyshondt, to me known to be the person who executed the foregoing Affidavit and acknowledged the same. Cheryl Hudson . Notary Public My Commission expires March 1988 : . - . : 1.1., 1-41c" ::..-:... 1.7.1 .. 1 870 [TAB 1] 3407 ORAL STATEMENT BY AMBASSADOR ROBERT WHITE BEFORE THE HOUSE SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS FEBRUARY 2, 1984 MR, CHAIRMAN, MY NAME IS ROBERT E. WHITE. I AM WARBURG PROFESSOR OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AT SIMMONS COLLEGE, I CHAIR THE CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT POLICY'S COMMISSION ON UNITED STATES- CENTRAL AMERICAN RELATIONS, A PRIVATE GROUP WORKING FOR BETTER RELATIONS BETWEEN OUR COUNTRY AND THE COUNTRIES OF CENTRAL · AMERICA. DURING MY FOREIGN SERVICE CAREER I HAD ASSIGNMENTS IN HONDURAS, NICARAGUA, AND EL SALVADOR. FOR THREE YEARS NOW, I HAVE REFRAINED FROM REVEALING THE FULL EXTENT OF OUR GOVERNMENT'S KNOWLEDGE OF OFFICIAL TERROR IN EL SALVADOR. BUT IT IS NOW CLEAR THAT THE ADMINISTRATION COVERED UP VITAL DOCUMENTS FROM THE KISSINGER COMMISSION AND THE CONGRESS, AND I CAN NO LONGER REMAIN SILENT, FOR THREE YEARS THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION HAS PRETENDED IT DID NOT KNOW THAT DEATH SQUADS. AND MILITARY BUTCHERY ARE INTRINSIC FEATURES OF THE GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY OF EL SALVADOR. FOR THREE YEARS THE ADMINISTRATION HAS KNOWN THE NAMES AND INVOLVEMENT OF SEVERAL WEALTHY SALVADORAN EXILES LIVING IN MIAMI, FLORIDA, WHO ORGANIZE, FUND AND DIRECT RIGHT WING DEATH SQUADS. FOR THREE YEARS WE HAVE KNOWN THAT ROBERT D'AUBUISSON PLANNED AND ORDERED THE ASSASSINATION OF ARCHBISHOP ROMERO. :: THE CABLES GIVING THIS EVIDENCE AGAINST D'AUBUISSON, THE MIAMI EXILES, AND ARENA EXIST. I HAVE KNOWN, THE STATE DEPARTMENT HAS KNOWN, THE PENTAGON HAS KNOWN, AND THE WHITE HOUSE HAS. KNOWN. · IF THE KISSINGER COMMISSION WAS NOT SHOWN EXHIBIT A 871 . 2 THESE CABLES, THE MEMBERS WERE USED IN A SHAMELESS FASHION, AND THEIR REPORT CAN BE CONSIGNED TO THE WASTEBASKET. THE WHITE HOUSE IS ENTITLED TO PURSUE ITS OWN POLICIES. IT IS NOT ENTITLED TO ITS OWN SET OF FACTS. ! FOR FIFTY YEARS, EL SALVADOR WAS RULED BY A CORRUPT AND BRUTAL ALLIANCE OF THE RICH AND THE MILITARY. THE YOUNG OFFICERS REVOLT OF 1979 ATTEMPTED TO BREAK THAT ALLIANCE. IT WAS THE REAGAN RENEWED TOLERANCE AND ACCEPTANCE OF THE EXTREME RIGHT WHICH LED TO THE EMERGENCE OF THE NATIONAL REPUBLICAN ALLIANCE, ARENA, AND THE RISE OF EX-MAJOR ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON. ARENA IS A VIOLENT FASCIST PARTY MODELED AFTER THE NAZIS AND CERTAIN REVOLUTIONARY COMMUNIST GROUPS. ARENA HAS NOT ONLY A CIVILIAN PARTY STRUCTURE BUT ALSO A MILITARY ARM OBEDIENT TO THE PARTY. THE FOUNDERS AND CHIEF SUPPORTERS OF ARENA ARE RICH SALVADORAN EXILES HEADQUARTERED IN MIAMI AND CIVILIAN ACTIVISTS IN EL SALVADOR. ARENA'S MILITARY ARM COMPRISES OFFICERS AND MEN OF THE SALVADORAN ARMY AND SECURITY FORCES. MANY OF ITS MOST EFFECTIVE MILITANTS IN THE MILITARY ARE NOT FORMAL PARTY MEMBERS, MY EMBASSY DEVOTED CONSIDERABLE RESOURCES TO IDENTIFYING THE SOURCES OF RIGHT WING VIOLENCE AND THEIR CONTACTS IN MIAMI, FLORIDA. INFORMATION ON THE SALVADORAN EXILES RESIDING IN MIAMI PROVED PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT TO DEVELOP; HOWEVER, IN JANUARY 1981 WE LOCATED A SOURCE WHO WAS REGARDED BY THE MIAMI GROUP AS ONE OF THEM. THEY SPOKE TO THIS PERSON FREELY AND HE PARTICIPATED IN SOME OF THEIR STRATEGY SESSIONS. WHEN HE REFERRED TO THE MIAMI MILLIONAIRES THE MIAMI SIX THE SOURCE CALLED THESE MEN "SCUM" (ESCORIA). HE SAID HE HAD TALKED TO WEALTHY PEOPLE HERE WHO HAVE BEEN INTERROGATED AND THREATENED IN MIAMI SUCH YOUNGER BUSINESSMEN/LAWYERS AS (NAMES DELETED) AND OTHERS PEOPLE WHO HAVE DECIDED TO STAY ON AND WORK FOR THE COUNTRY, TO KEEP THEIR BUSINESSES AND FACTORIES OPEN, 872 3 TO COOPERATE WITH THE GOVERNMENT WHILE CRITICIZING ITS INEFFICIENCY AND HOSTILITY TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR. THESE MEN HAVE BEEN CALLED TO MIAMI AND SEATED AT THE END OF A LONG TABLE, FACING THE "SIX“, AND MADE TO ANSWER SUCH QUESTIONS AS "WHY ARE YOU CONTRIBUTING TO THE COMMUNIST VICTORY BY KEEPING YOUR BUSINESS OPEN?" OR "WHY DO YOU DO THE WORK OF THE, COMMUNIST AGENTS WHITE AND BOWDLER?", (THE REFERENCE IS TO FORMER ASSISTANT-SECRETARY WILLIAM BOWDLER.) THE MIAMI SIX EXPLAINED TO HIM THAT TO REBUILD THE COUNTRY IT MUST FIRST BE DESTROYED TOTALLY, THE ECONOMY MUST BE WRECKED, UNEMPLOYMENT MUST BE MASSIVE, THE JUNTA MUST BE OUSTED AND A "GOOD" MILITARY OFFICER BROUGHT TO POWER WHO WILL CARRY OUT A TOTAL CLEANSING (LIMPIEZA), KILLING THREE OR FOUR OR FIVE HUNDRED THOUSAND PEOPLE. LAST, THE "SIX" MADE THE FOLLOWING THREAT: "UNLESS YOU CLOSE DOWN YOUR FACTORY/BUSINESS, GET OUT OF THE COUNTRY, STOP WORKING FOR ALIANZA PRODUCTIVA, INCAFE, AMERICAN EMBASSY, ETC., YOU WILL BE SORRY." WHO ARE THESE MADMEN AND HOW DO THEY OPERATE? THE PRINCIPAL FIGURES ARE SIX ENORMOUSLY WEALTHY FORMER LAND OWNERS. HE CONTINUED THAT CENTRAL POWER WAS EXERCISED BY THE MIAMI "SIX", NOTING THAT OTHERS AMONG THE EMIGRES AND THEIR WEALTHY ALLIES HERE HAVE SOME ROLE FROM TIME TO TIME BUT THE TOP LEADERSHIP IS VIERA ALTIMIRANO, LUIS ESCALANTE, ARTURO MUYSHONDT, THE SALAVERRIA BROTHERS (PROBABLY JULIO AND JUAN RICARDO), AND ROBERTO EDGARDO DAGLIO. ALL ARE IN MIAMI. THEY HATCH PLOTS, HOLD CONSTANT MEETINGS AND COMMUNICATE INSTRUCTIONS TO D'AUBUISSON. THE EMBASSY HAS REPORTED TO WASHINGTON THAT RIGHTIST DEATH SQUADS ARE FINANCED AND DIRECTED BY THIS GROUP OF SELF-EXILED MILLIONAIRES IN MIAMI, AND KILL HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS SALVADORANS SUSPECTED OF LIBERAL OR LEFTIST SYMPATHIES. IT IS UNACCEPTABLE THAT SUCH AN OPERATION IS GUIDED FROM A MAJOR AMERICAN CITY AND THAT NOTHING IS BEING DONE TO STOP IT. 873 4 ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON, IT SHOULD BE REMEMBERED, IS THE MAN THE ADMINISTRATION OF PRESIDENT CARTER CLASSIFIED, ACCURATELY, AS A TERRORIST, A MURDERER, AND A LEADER OF DEATH SQUADS. · As AMBASSADOR, I DENIED HIM ACCESS TO THE UNITED STATES EMBASSY AND SUCCEEDED IN HAVING HIM BARRED FROM OUR COUNTRY. SHORTLY AFTER PRESIDENT REAGAN OOOK OFFICE, THIS ADMINISTRATION OVERTURNED THIS POLICY AND BEGAN THE PROCESS OF REHABILITATING EX-MAJOR D'AUBUISSON. NO LONGER WAS HE A PARIAH. TODAY HE IS ONE OF TWO LEADING PRESIDENTIAL CAND I DATES IN THE ELECTIONS SCHEDULED FOR MARCH 25. IN A VERY REAL SENSE, THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION CREATED ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON THE POLITICAL LEADER. YET FROM THE FIRST DAYS IN OFFICE THE REAGAN WHITE HOUSE KNEW BEYOND ANY REASONABLE DOUBT THAT ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON PLANNED AND ORDERED THE ASSASSINATION OF ARCHBISHOP OSCAR ARNULFO ROMERO. ACCORDING TO AN EYE WITNESS ACCOUNT, ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON SUMMONED A GROUP OF ABOUT TWELVE MEN TO A SAFE HOUSE, PRESIDED OVER THE MEETING, ANNOUNCED THE DECISION TO ASSASSINATE THE ARCHBISHOP AND SUPERVISED THE DRAWING OF LOTS FOR THE "HONOR" OF CARRYING OUT THE PLOT. THE OFFICER WHO "WON" THE LOTTERY WAS LT. FRANCISCO AMAYA ROSA, A D'AUBUISSON INTIMATE. AMAYA ROSA CHOSE A MILITARY HANGER-ON AND SHARPSHOOTER NAMED WALTER ANTONIO ALVAREZ TO FIRE THE SINGLE BULLET WHICH ENDED THE LIFE OF ARCHBISHOP ROMERO AS HE SAID MASS IN THE ORPHANAGE OF THE GOOD SHEPHARD, 34-045 0-84-56 874 5 SOME MONTHS LATER, AS ARENA'S POLITICAL CAMPAIGN WAS GETTING UNDERWAY, D'AUBUISSON DECIDED THAT ALVAREZ COULD NOT BE TRUSTED. HE PRONOUNCED ANOTHER DEATH SENTENCE, A FOUR MAN DEATH SQUAD WENT INTO ACTION AND EXECUTED WALTER ALVAREZ AS HE STOOD WATCHING A SOCCER GAME. ALL OF THE ABOVE INFORMATION WAS REPORTED TO WASHINGTON, THE REAGAN WHITE HOUSE TOOK ON A GREAT RESPONSIBILITY WHEN IT CHOSE TO CONCEAL THE IDENTITY OF THE ARCHBISHOP ROMERO'S MURDERER AND NOT TO USE THE EVIDENCE GATHERED BY THE EMBASSY TO WRITE A FINISH TO THE POLITICAL FORTUNES OF ARENA AND THE AMBITIONS OF ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON, DID THE KISSINGER COMMISSION HAVE ACCESS TO EMBASSY REPORTS DETAILING THE SYSTEMATIC MURDER OF SALVADORAN MODERATES BY ARENA AND THE INTIMATE COLLABORATION WHICH EXISTS BETWEEN HIGH MILITARY COMMANDERS AND DEATH SQUADS? PRESIDENT REAGAN HAS ADVOCATED FREE ELECTIONS AS THE SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEMS OF EL SALVADOR. YET IN EL SALVADOR THE PRESS IS CONTROLLED BY ARENA. WE CAN ALL BE CERTAIN THAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL PERMIT NO MENTION OF D'AUBUISSON'S GUILT TO REACH THE PEOPLE OF EL SALVADOR. HOW CAN PEOPLE CAST A FREE VOTE IF VITAL INFORMATION IS DENIED THEM? THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION GIVES LIP SERVICE TO THE STRENGTHENING OF THE JUDICAL SYSTEM OF EL SALVADOR. BUT THOSE WHO EXERCISE POWER IN EL SALVADOR KNOW THAT THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION KNOWS THAT ARENA IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DEATHS OF THE ARCHBISHOP AND MANY AMERICANS. DOES NOT THIS TOLERANCE FOR ARENA CONVICT US OF DISGRACEFUL CYNICISM AND A DOUBLE STANDARD BEFORE THE WORLD? THE NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC FRONT (FDR) HAS OFFERED TIME AND 875 6 AGAIN TO NEGOTIATE TERMS FOR REENTERING THE POLITICAL LIFE OF EL SALVADOR. THE REVOLUTIONARY MOVEMENT HAS IMPOSED NO PRECONDITIONS TO THE START OF NEGOTIATIONS. IN CONTRAST, SALVADORAN PRESIDENT ALVARO MAGANA RECENTLY STATED THAT "WHEN THE LEFT SUGGESTS SAN SALVADOR AS A MEETING PLACE, (TO DISCUSS NEGOTIATIONS) THE PROBLEM IS THAT THEY ARE COMMITTING CRIMES AGAINST THE COUNTRY. IF THEY CAME IF THEY CAME HERE, I WOULD HAVE TO ORDER THEM ARRESTED. THAT IS MY OBLIGATION." HE HAS FURTHER STATED THAT HIS GOVERNMENT WOULD NOT COMPLY WITH UNITED STATES CONGRESSIONAL STIPULATION THAT HIS GOVERNMENT BEGIN UNCONDITIONAL DISCUSSIONS WITH. THE INSURGENTS. HE SAID, "WE ARE NOT GOING TO SATISFY THAT CONDITION....IF NECESSARY WE ARE GOING TO LOSE MILITARY AND ECONOMIC AID." IN MY JUDGMENT, AS LONG AS WE CONTINUE MILITARY AID TO THE PRESENT MILITARY LEADERSHIP OF EL SALVADOR, THEY WILL NEVER PERMIT NEGOTIATIONS, IT DOES NOT MATTER WHO IS PRESIDENT. AS LONG AS THE SALVADORAN MILITARY IS CONTOLLED BY MEN WHO COLLABORATE WITH ARENA IN ITS IN ITS CAMPAIGN OF WHOLESALE TORTURE AND MURDER, NO NEGOTIATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. THE UNITED STATES MUST CHANGE: ITS POLICY AND BEGIN TO WORK FOR PEACE IN CENTRAL AMERICA, EL SALVADOR IS KEY. IN ORDER TO BRING US CLOSER TO THIS GOAL, TOUGH ACTION BY THE CONGRESS IS NECESSARY. SUCH ACTION SHOULD INCLUDE: 1) A A CONGRESSIONAL STIPULATION THAT NO FURTHER MILITARY AID SHALL GO TO EL SALVADOR UNLESS THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR CARRIES OUT, IN THE WORDS OF THE KISSINGER COMMISSION, VIGOROUS ACTION AGAINST THOSE GUILTY OF CRIMES AND THE PROSECUTION TO THE EXTENT POSSIBLE OF PAST OFFENDERS, ... AND SERIOUS SANCTIONS, INCLUDING DENIAL OF VISA (AND) DEPORTATION OF US-BASED SALVADORANS INVOLVED IN DEATH SQUAD ACTIVITIES. 876 7 2) THE CONGRESS SHOULD SUPPORT NEGOTIATIONS BY CONDITIONING FURTHER MILITARY AID TO EL SALVADOR TO EL SALVADOR UPON SERIOUS NEGOTIATIONS BY BOTH SIDES. 3).THE CONGRESS SHOULD DEMAND TO SEE INFORMATIVE CABLES FROM THE US EMBASSY IN SAN SALVADOR ON THAT GOVERNMENT'S INVOLVEMENT IN DEATH SQUAD KILLINGS. I WANT TO THANK YOU MR. CHAIRMAN FOR THIS OPPORTUNITY TO ADDRESS THE SUBCOMMITTEE TODAY, I WOULD BE HAPPY TO ANSWER ANY QUESTION. 1 877 [TAB 2] 3414 PREPARED STATEMENT BY AMBASSADOR ROBERT WHITE BEFORE THE HOUSE SUB COMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS February 2, 1984 My name is Robert E. White. I am Warburg Professor of International Relations at Simmons College. I chair the Center for Development policy's Commission on United States- Central American Relations, a private group working for better relations between our country and the countries of Central America. During my Foreign Service career I had assignments in Honduras, Nicaragua, and El Salvador. : The President and Congress have committed this nation to ending our support for El Salvador's brutal apparatus of terror. Yet the President is now preparing new military aid requests which--if granted--will only encourage further civilian murder. Despite my grave reservations about the overall direction of the Kissinger Commission report, its human rights recommendations mark a major contribution to the human rights debate. As you know, nine of the twelve Commission members recommended in part that military aid should be conditioned upon "termination of the activities of the so-called death squads, as well as vigorous action against those guilty of crimes and the prosecution to the extent possible of past offenders. These conditions should be seriously enforced." The Commission members also recommended "serious sanctions, including the denial of visas, deportation, and the investigation of financial dealings," against US-based Salvadorans connected with death squad activities. Congressional passage of this recommendation is urgently needed, with the added proviso that congress--not the President-- should make this determination prior to allocating funds. Only strong action can give hope that civilian murder in El Salvador will be reduced. To understand this, one must understand the inner-workings of violence in El Salvador. The political and moral bankruptcy of the Reagan Administration's policy in Central America comes clearer with eachi passing month. In El Salvador, the ragtag forces of revolution deal blow after staggering blow to an American trained and supplied military force. In Nicaragua, the CIA- sponsored counterrevolutionaries bear dramatic witness to their own impotence. After two years of subsidies, the contras have yet to take and hold a single village and each night must flee over the border to safe haven in Honduras. Given the miserable record of the forces we support, is it not EXHIBIT B 878 2 past time to stop throwing guns and money at the problem and ask why? Any formulation of a national policy toward Central America must begin with the recognition that conditions in most of Central America justify recourse to revolution. This is especially true of El Salvador. Even the excesses of the despotic, venal Somoza clan in Nicaragua pale in comparison with the brutal, starvation existence imposed on the Salvadoran campesinos and workers by the economic and military elites. For most of this century the rich of El Sa:lvador-- families such as the Quindnez, the da solas, the Regelados-- have dominated an economy which has systematically reduced the poor to a subhuman existence. In 1979, young officers leagued with democratic revolutionaries and launched a program dedicated to human rights and reform. Their efforts were regularly subverted by Colonel Nicholas Carranza and other high ranking members of the Salvadoran military. When leaders for human dignity and change--men such as Archbishop Oscar Romero and Land Reform Chief Roldolfo Viera--continued their efforts on behalf of the poor, military death squads gunned them down. The fundamental error of the Reagan foreign policy team has been to hide the fact that death squads and butchery are intrinsic to the regime their policies have helped create. As in Vietnam, this head-in-the-sand approach confuses our own citizens, angers our allies, and does a profound disservice to the peoples we purport to help. Over the past three years the Reagan Administration has suppressed facts which would have revealed the character of the disloyal and murderous system which our military and economic assistance supports. The Reagan Administration may believe that a first- hand, dispassionate account of the connection between Miami- based Salvadoran exiles and death squads are not of interest to the Congress. I believe Congress should make up its own mind about that. The Reagan Administration may believe that an eye witness account of ex-Major Roberto D'Aubuisson ordering the assassination of Archbishop Oscar Romero is not germane to the deliberations of Congress. I believe the Congress should decide that after hearing the facts. I have referred to these events before. The response of the Reagan Administration has been to ignore the charges against D'Aubuisson and to dismiss the evidence against the Miami exiles as vague and insubstantial. The Reagan White House is entitled to pursue its own policies. It 879 3 is not entitled to its own set of facts. For fifty years, El Salvador was ruled by a corrupt and brutal alliance of the rich and the military. The young officers revolt of 1979 attempted to break that alliance. The Carter Administration gave all-out support to the drive for profound change. It rejected the solutions of the extreme right. When the Reagan Administration took office, it reidentified the United States with the military and economic elites-- with disastrous results. It was the Reagan toleration and acceptance of the extreme right which led to the emergence of the National Republican Alliance, ARENA, and the rise of ex-Major Roberto D'Aubuisson. ARENA ARENA is a fascist party modeled after the NAZIS and certain revolutionary communist groups. ARENA has a politico- military organization which embraces not only a civilian party structure but also a military arm obedient to the party. The founders and chief supporters of ARENA are rich Salvadoran exiles headquartered in Miami and civilian activists in El Salvador. ARENA's military arm comprises officers and men of the Salvadoran army and Security forces. Many of its most effective militants in the military are not formal party members. In the Carter Administration, men such as Vice President Walter Mondale and the two top State Department officers, Cyrus Vance and Warren Christopher, understood that to be effective against the armed, violent, extremist left, the United States had to reject the fascist, murderous right. As a result, my embassy devoted considerable resources to identifying the sources of right wing violence which sought to destroy the working relationship between the Christian Democrats led by Jose Napoleon Duarte and the progressive officers led by Colonel Adolfo Majano. The Miami Connection Information on the Salvadoran exiles residing in Miami proved particularly difficult to develop. However, over the course of the year 1980, the embassy filed several important but fragmentary reports on the exiles' activities. It was not until early January 1981 that we located a source who was regarded by the Miami group as one of them. They spoke to this person freely and he participated in some of their strategy sessions. In its first report at the end of December 1980, the embassy reported the angry reaction of the source to articles in the Diario de Hoy, a right wing newspaper owned by Miami 880 4 exile Enrique Viera Altamirano. Editorials and articles placed in the newspaper by Viera Altamirano forecast purges in the Department of State, a retreat from human rights considerations in United States policy and an end to social reforms in Central America. When he referred to the Miami millionaires, the source said, these men are "scum" (escoria). For years, he continued, they have bribed politicians and military officers, and now they finance death squads and bribe the military to terrorize the campesinos. They are the force behind the psychopathic Major D'Aubuisson. Their return will put the country into civil war. Their presence will cause many people to believe the clock will be turned back. When the Alvarezes and the Altamiranos return, he indicated he would leave on the next plane. In a subsequent report, the source said that many mod- erate businessmen had resisted pressures from the ultra- right, but they were now leaving as they were certain that the Miami group would kill anyone who stood in the way of their plan. He said that the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, the bombings of US/Salvadoran firms, the telephoned death threats and the Sheraton murders were all the work of the Miami gang. He said he had talked to wealthy people here who have been interrogated and threatened in Miami such younger businessmenſ lawyers as (names deleted) and others people who have decided to stay on and work for the country, to keep their businesses and factories open, to cooperate with the government while criticizing its inefficiency and hostility to the private sector. These men have been called to Miami and seated at the end of a long table, facing the "six", and made to answer such questions as "why are you contributing to the communist victory by keeping your business open?" or "why do you do the work of the communist agents White and Bowdler?" (The reference is to former Assistant Secretary William Bowdler.) Then it is carefully explained to them that to rebuild the country new foundation it must first be destroyed totall у the economy must be wrecked, unemployment must be massive, the Junta must be ousted and a "good" military officer brought to power who will carry out a total cleansing (limpieza), killing three or four or five hundred thousand people, what- ever it takes to get rid of all the communists and their allie's. Then and only then can the wealthy elite return to preside over the reconstruction of the country on a new foundation where the rights of property will be secured forever. Last, the "six" made the following threat: "Unless you close down your factory/business, get out of the country, stop working for Alianza Productiva, INCAFE, American Embassy, etc., you will be sorry." on a 881 5 Now some fifteen businessmen and industrialists have been kidnapped, held since before Christmas with no request for ransom and the message is clear get out or the Miami gang will have you kidnapped or killed. The deaths of the AIFLD officials and Viera must be seen in this context, he insisted, and the madness of the Miami gang recognized. Who are these madmen and how do they operate? The principal figures are six énormously wealthy former land- owners who lost great estates in Phase 1 of the agrarian reform but still have important holdings parcelled out to nephews, cousins, grandsons, etc., that would be taken under Phase II of the land reform; they also have liquid assets and foreign investments which, combined, might be in the range of two to five hundred million dollars. They have always exercised decisive power in this country and cannot believe that their day is over. Their tactics here were simple: Co-opt bright people from the middle class, bribe the top military leadership, kill anyone who made trouble. They have continued to pursue these tactics in Miami but on a far greater scale; for instance they have bribed many military officers and politicians here and abroad to serve their interests. But of even more concern is the fact that they organize, fund and direct death squads through their agent, Major Roberto D'Aubuisson. He never meets directly with them anymore because he can no longer travel to the U.S., but he operates out of Guatemala and has been in El Salvador now for several weeks pursuing the strategy of the "six" to destabilize the country and overthrow the Junta, and using their tactics, bombing factories and offices, kidnapping businessmen and now, very likely, murdering th intellectual leadership of land reform. The object is to terrorize those who are still working for a moderate outcome, in or out of the government, and to impose a rightist dictator- ship. Three previous attempts to carry out a rightist coup have been foiled by the American Embassy, the PDC and the majority of the officer corps. The failure of their last effort was a bitter defeat for the "six" and they are in an angry, Vindictive mood. Thus it is very dangerous now for anyone they regard as a "communist collaborator", very broad category in their books which necessarily includes AIFLD. a He said that central power was exercised by the Miami "six", noting that others among the emigres and their wealthy allies here have some role from time to time but these are the top leadership: Viera Altamirano, Luis Escalante, Arturo Muyshondt, the Salaverria brothers (probably Julio and Juan Ricardo), and Roberto Edgardo Daglio. All are in Miami hatch plots, hold constant meetings and communicate instructions to D'Aubuisson, 882 6 The embassy commented that for the last ten months, many Salvadorans and some official Americans have been aware that rightist death squads are financed and directed by a group of self-exiled millionaires in Miami, that the pub- lisher of the DIARIO DE HOY, Viera Altamirano is a principal figure, and that many people have been bribed to cooperate in their efforts to overthrow the government, reimpose the status quo ante and kill hundreds of thousands of Salvadorans suspected of liberal or leftist sympathies. Now we have reason to believe that two officials of the American Institute for Free Labor Development were targetted and murdered by rightist death squads who may be acting under the direction of the "Miami six". This may mean that anyone accused by them of being "social reformers", whether Salvadoran or American, is a target for murder. It is unacceptable that such an operation is guided from a major American city and that nothing can be done to stop it before another American official or contract employee is murdered here. We are unaware of any steps to investigate the information on this operation that has been provided by the Embassy in the past. We believe that steps must be taken immediately to get to the bottom of these charges and that, if proven, the guilty should be prosecuted to the limit of U.S. law. 883 7 Roberto D'Aubuisson The administration of President Carter classified ex-Major Roberto D'Aubuisson, accurately, as a terrorist, a murderer, and a leader of death squads. As ambassador, I denied him access to the United States embassy and succeeded in having him barred from our country. Shortly after President Reagan took office, this administration overturned this policy and began the process of rehabilitating ex- Major D'Aubuisson. The Reagan administration granted D'Aubuisson a visa to enter the United States, made him an honored guest at our embassy and saw to it that he met regularly with high ranking administration officials and visiting Senators and Congressmen. The legislators were, of course, unaware of the strength of evidence against D'Aubuisson. Primarily as a result of the Reagan administration's acceptance of D'Aubuisson, his reputation and effectiveness increased. No longer was he a pariah but a legitimate political leader, well and favorably known to the United States embassy. The fortunes of ARENA soared. D'Aubuisson emerged from the March 1982 elections President of the new constituent Assembly and his country's strong man. Today he is one of two leading presidential candidates in the elections scheduled for March 25. In a very real sense, the Reagan administration created Roberto D'Aubuisson the political leader. Yet from the first days in office the Reagan White House knew beyond any reasonable doubt that Roberto D'Aubuisson planned and ordered the assassination of Archbishop Oscar Arnulfo Romero. In mid- November of 1980, a particularly brave and resourceful American diplomat made contact with a Salvadoran military officer who had participated in the plot to kill Archbishop Romero. This officer was present at the March 22nd meeting which resulted in the death of Archbishop Romero on March 24. According to this eyewitness account, Roberto D'Aubuisson summoned a group of about twelve men to a safe house, presided over the meeting, announced the decision to assassinate the Archbishop and supervised the drawing of lots for the "honor" of carrying out the plot. The Salvadoran officer informant was disappointed that the luck of the draw had not favored him. He gave bullets from his gun to the officer selected in order that he might participate vicariously in the murder of the Archbishop. The officer who "won" the lottery was Lt. Francisco Ama ya Rosa, a D'Aubuisson intimate. Ama ya Rosa chose a military hanger-on and sharpshooter named Walter Antonio Alvarez to fire the single bullet which ended the life of Archbishop Romero as he said Mass in the orphanage of the Good Shephard. 884 8 Some months later, as ARENA's political campaign was getting underway, D'Aubuisson decided that Alvarez could not be trusted. He pronounced another death sentence. A four-man death squad went into action and executed Walter Alvarez as he stood watching soccer game. a The reliability of this military officer as a trustworthy source has been established over the months and years. All of the above information was reported to Washington. Policy Discussion The Reagan administration made a major decision, for which it must answer, when it chose not to use embassy reports and other materials to move against the Salvadoran exiles who target victims and fund death squads. The Reagan White House took on a great responsibility when it chose to conceal the identity of Archbishop Romero's murderer and not to use the evidence gathered by the embassy to write finish to the political fortunes of ARENA and the ambitions of Roberto D'Aubuisson. Certain legitimate questions arise: · The Reagan White House set up a bipartisan commission to build public support for the administration's policies. Did the Kissinger Commission have access to embassy reports detailing the systematic murder of Salvadoran moderates by ARENA and the intimate collaboration which exists between high military commanders and death squads? If they did not have such access, then the Reagan administration has used the members of the Commission in a shameless fashion and the report can be consigned to the wastebasket. If however the report was written with the full knowledge of where the responsibility lies for the mass murder which afflicts El Salvador, then Dr. Henry Kissinger and the Commission members owe the public an explanation why officially-sponsored terrorism in El Salvador received such superficial and inadequate treatment in their report. President Reagan has advocated free elections as the solution to the problems of El Salvador. Presidential elections are scheduled for March 25. Yet in El Salvador the press is controlled by ARENA. We can all be certain that the government will permit no mention of D'Aubuisson's guilt to reach the people of El Salvador. How can the workers and campesinos make an informed choice for president when the Reagan administration has suppressed the despicable record of one of the leading candidates? How can people cast a free vote if vital information is denied them? The Reagan administration gives lip service to the strengthening of the judicial system of El Salvador as 885 9 one road to a more civilized society. Those who exercise power in El Salvador, the revolutionary leaders as well as the military and economic elites, know that the Reagan administration knows that ARENA is responsible for the deaths not only of the Archbishop but also of many Americans including iabor advisors Michael Hammer and Mark Pearlman. Does not this tolerance for ARENA give the lie to our stated goal of improvement of the judiciary, and convict us of cynicism and a double standard before the world? The Reagan administration requests military assistance for El Salvador to advance democracy, increase respect for human rights and move the country towards a political settlement of the conflict. The facts dictate precisely the opposite con- clusion. The continuation of military assistance will only signal support for ARENA and the disloyal and murderous economic and military elites which continue to impose a system which depends on organized terror for its existence. The Road to Peace Negotiations The National Democratic Front (FDR) has offered time and again to negotiate terms for reentering the political life of El Salvador. The revolutionary movement has imposed no pre- conditions precedent to the start of negotiations. They do have an agenda of terms they wish to discuss. The government of El Salvador has consistently refused to negotiate. While the government has occassionally stated that the revolutionaries might participate in elections, their actions and words contradict these sentiments. On October 9, 1983, President Alvaro Ma gana told the Miami Herald, "when the left suggests San Salvador as a meeting place, [to discuss negotiations] the problem is that they are committing crimes against the country. If they came here, I would have to order them arrested. That is my obligation.' According to the New York Times of June 19, President Ma gana stated that, his government would not comply with United States Congressional stipulations that his government begin unconditional discussions with the insurgents. He said, "We are not going to satisfy that condition... If necessary, we are going to lose military and economic aid..." In my judgment, as long as we continue military aid to the present military leadership of El Salvador, they will never permit negotiations. 886 10 . It does not matter who is president. As long as the Salvadoran military is controlled by men who collaborate with ARENA in its campaign of wholesale torture and murder, no negotiations are possible. The Reagan administration has also opposed negotiation. Administration spokesmen hide behind facile phrases such as "let the guerrillas compete at the ballot box" and "we reject power sharing". There are, of course, several roads to peace and justice which would not involve "power sharing" but these would involve far-reaching reform of the military and elimination from the ranks of the military, officers who work with ARENA. Any hopes for that were dashed when President Reagan in a recent report to the Congress affirmed progress oni democracy, human rights and a political solution in El Salvador. This document makes a mockery of the praiseworthy, tough and straightforward message of Vice President George Bush on his recent visit to San Salvador. It cuts the ground out from under Ambassador Thomas Pickering's valiant attempts to bring the extreme right under control. The only way to defeat the extreme left is to reject the extreme right. What we face in Central America is primarily a political challenge, and only marginally a military threat. The task is not, as the Kissinger Commission imagines, to defeat the revolutionaries on the battlefield. The challenge is to prevent the Soviet Union and Cuba from capturing the forces of change. The day the young leaders of Central America see Communist countries as their only arsenal for political and logistical support for throwing off bloody dictatorship is the day our security will truly be in jeopardy. The United States must change its policy and begin to work for peace in Central America. El Salvador is the key. Let us join with democratic partners in Latin America and apply the Costa Rican model to El Salvador. Working through the contadora countries, negotiators would seek an agreement in which the Salvadoran military and the revolutionaries would ratify a ceasefire and the presence of an Inter-American peacekeeping force. Both the military and the revolutionaries would then disband, and after two years of peace and order, democratic elections would take place. In the post-election period a small national police force could gradually take over and replace the peacekeeping mission. As in Costa Rica, the military would be permanently abolished and political liberties guaranteed by civilian rule. In order to bring us closer to this goal, tough action by Congress is necessary. Such action should include: 1. A stipulation that no further military aid shall go to El Salvador unless the Government of El Salvador carries out, in the words of the Kissinger Commission, "vigorous 887 11 action against those guilty of crimes and the prosecution to the extent possible, of past offenders"; and the United States government carries our "serious sanctions, including the denial of visas [and] deportation" of US-based Salvadorans involved in death squad activities; 2. A stipulation that Congress, not the President, will make this determination prior to allocating any further funds to El Salvador. - President Reagan has committed this nation to a policy of ever-increasing military escalation, a policy which cannot work and may well end in increasing pressure for intervention by the United States military. : To begin the peace process in Central America, the Congress should first require that the president commit to both negotiations and elections, instead of continuing to insist that he will only discuss FDR/FMLN participation in elections organized by the Government. Secondly, the President should instruct Ambassador Richard Stone to develop a common negotiating agenda, in which both sides' demands are included. Thirdly, the President should convene negotiations, together with the contadora nation, within three months of enactment of legislation. Fourthly, the Congress should support negotiations by conditioning further military aid to El Salvador upon serious negotiations by both sides. As we all remember, President Carter brought former implacable enemies together in the Middle East, and successfully negotiated an agreement that none thought possible. I believe this can be done in Central America, if the President of the United States commits to peace rather than war, and negotiations rather than escalation. 888 [TAB 31 3425 TED: DIDEPENDENT HETWORK PRESENTS FROM THE EDITOR'S DESK #125 "DEATH SQUADS" in New York RICHARD HEFFNER | Executive Editor/Producer Asst. Editorial Page Editor, The Wall Street Journal DANIEL HENNINGER WILLIAM RUSHER Publisher, National Review GUEST tin Boston) ROBERT E. WHITE fmr. Ambassador to El Salvador Executive Producer KATHLEEN S.M. SHEPHERD Associate Producer JANICE ELSESSER FROM THE EDITOR'S DESK is a presentation of WPIX, Inc. All rights reserved. Copyright (c) 1984 by WPIX, Inc. This transcript may not be reproduced in whole or in part, by any means, without permission. VTR 2/9/84 INDEPENDENT NETWORK · 220 EAST 42nd STREET · NEW YORK, NY 10017 EXHIBIT C 's 889 HEFFNER: I'm Richard Heffner. Each week I chair our editorial board. And joining me today is Daniel Henninger, assistant editorial page editor of the Wall Street Journal. Also with me here at The Editor's Desk is William Rusher, publisher of the National Review. And our guest, in Boston, is former u.s. ambassador to El Salvador, Robert E. White. Just before congressional hearings began on President Reagan's proposal for billions of dollars dollars in aid to Central America, Ambassador White said he could no longer remain silent, accusing the administration of suppressing the facts concerning right wing. death sqaud activities in El Salvador. Well, since coverup is is a a serious charge, and since Ambas- 8ador White really hasn't held his tongue since the President fired him three years ago, we ought to ask if his statements now 34-045 0-84-457 890 /1/ are designed to scuttle the administration's requests for more and more aid to El Salvador. Mr. Ambassador? ROBERT E. WHITE: Well, I think, yes. Yes, definitely, because it's absolutely wrong for the Reagan administration to pretend that progress has been made in curbing death squads and, on the basis of that, ask for increased military assistance. HEFFNER: Bill Rusher? WILLIAM RUSHER: Mr. White, before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on February 2nd, you named six specific people: Viera Altamirano, Luis Escalante, Arturo Muys hondt, Roberto Edgardo Daglio and the sallaverria brothers, Julio and Juan Ricardo, as behind the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, of bombings of U.S. and Salvadoran firms, the death threats, the recent death a quad murders. Are you prepared now, outside the protection of congressional immunity, to reiterate those charges? WHITE : Oh, I have reiterated them many times, Mr. Rusher. The point here is not the immunity. The point is though I want to clarify one thing. what i have repeated is the report that we sent from San Salvador in 1981, which listed these names from a source who was totally reliable. RUSHER: Has this source been identified? WHITE: The source is a confidential source. You can't name sources in El Salvador, or they die. 891 12/ RUSHER: Of course not. So you, then, are not making the charge against these six people, as I understand it, yourself. You are are quoting a report sent from El Salvador on the basis of a confidential source, is that right? WHITE: I'm paraphrasing the report. And the basic target here is the Reagan administration and their policies. And what I am doing is citing an example of the type of information they have, and which the administration has not acted on. RUSHER: Well, the Reagan administration may be your target, but these six businessmen undoubtedly feel that they are at least a collateral target. Do you make the charge against them, sir, that they are responsible for the death squads? WHITE: I say that this information is reliable, and from reliable source, and I believe it to be accurate, yes. I HEFFNER: Dan? DANIEL HENNINGER: Mr. White, precisely what ought to be done to prevent or stop the death squad activity? What ca can the administration or anyone do to stop these people from killing other people? WHITE: Well, the first step would be to recognize that death squads are an integral part of the an integral part of the government, that Irina is a party modeled on Nazi lines, with a political framework but also with a military arm. And that military arm, headed by 892 ./3/ Robert d'Aubuisson, carries out torture and death by assigning these reponsibilities to certain people. HENNINGER: But what should we do? WHITE: Well, I can't HENNINGER: You've suggested that some of these people ought to be brought to trial. The implication in the charges against the six people in Miami is they ought to be deported. But these things can't be done without either a rigorous deportation hearing or a serious trial. And I'm just wondering whether the information you cited is substantive enough to convict anyone of the charges you've been making. WHITE: The evidence against Roberto d'Aubuisson, his involvement in the murder of Archbishop Romero, is SO over- whelming that I don't believe that any person reading it could be under any doubt. HEFFNER: And suppose he's elected next month, Mr. Ambas- sador? Then what would you have us do? WHITE: Well, I think that the Reagan administration created Roberto d'Aubuisson as a political leader. Recall that under the a Carter administration we had classified Roberto d'Aubuisson as terrorist. We had denied him access to the embassy, we denied him access to our country. With all the information that we had, and that we passed on to the Reagan administration, they removed the restrictions on 893 14/ his entering the United States, They made him welcome in our embassy. They treated him as a responsible leader. The Reagan administration in effect created Roberto d'Aubuisson, the presidential candidate. Should he become pres- ident, it will be a true disaster. HENNINGER: But will he not have been elected by the people of El Salvador? You're saying, in effect, that a democratic election is a disaster? WHITE: I believe this not to be to be a democratic election. Elections do not have the same meaning in Central America, sir, as they have in the United States. You should recall that Guatemala military and the Salvadoran military and Somoza always held regular elections. And this is another flawed election. That is the last thing that El Salvador needs, is another flawed election. RUSHER: Mr. White, suppose though, whatever your reser- vations about the election that's scheduled to be held in El Salvador, suppose that instead of d'Aubuisson, Duarte, the oppo- sition, the rather more liberal candidate, wins the election. Would it still be your position that death squads are, death squads are, as you said, I believe, an integral part of the government of El Salvador? WHITE: Well, the death squads will still be an integral part of the government, and it will require the all out support 894 /5/ of the Reagan administration to help Duarte root them out. But if Duarte is elected, there's at least the possibility that with o support he could indeed root them out. RUSHER: And with respect to d'Aubuisson, the information that you find so persuasive about his connection with the shooting of the Archbishop, is that based upon the testimony of the d'Aubuisson intimate that was in the group of twelve men at the WHITE: No, no. This is based on testimony of a military ubuissl . officer who attended the session where that d'Aubuiss , called the meeting that d'Aubuisson called where d'Aubuisson announced the decision to kill the Archbishop and where they cast lots for what they called the honor of the killing the Archbishop. RUSHER: And do we know this officer's name. WHITE: Oh, yes. RUSHER: And who is that? WHITE: Well, the State Department knows his name, RUSHER: No, I mean, it has not been made public? WHITE: No, it has not been made public. RUSHER: Even though he must have been in a relatively small group of men. I can't understand the problem of identifying him. WHITE: Well, you may not understand it, but the fact is that as far as as I know that man is still alive and still in El Salvador. I know that he was alive in late 1983. And, look, this will all come out. 895 16/ The Reagan administration has corroborating evidence. For example, 8 man called Eduardo Avilar, a d'Aubuisson intimate, confessed in Panama to a United States officer, a United States military officer, that he had participated in the killing of the Archbishop. And the Reagan administration has suppressed this : also. : HEFFNER: Mr. Ambassador, when we come back from our break, I want to ask you just why. But at the moment, let's take a break, and then we'll come back to the Editor's Desk. HEFFNER: Mr. Ambassador, all of this is quite clear to you. How do you account, though, for what the Reagan administration has done and has not done? WHITE: I think the Reagan administration is so completely transfixed by their interpretation of Central America, that it's an east-west conflict, that they embrace anyone, no matter how reprehensible, as long as he or she will say that they are anticommunist. HEFFNER: Do you think there is anything of the east-west conflict to it? 896 177 WHITE: Oh, clearly. But to the extent that you concentrate on that, you miss the major point, namely that the revolution is authentic, it's homegrown. But it's important to beat to defeat the extreme left. The only way to defeat the extreme left is to reject the violent right. If you embrace the violent right, as the Reagan admin- istration has done, then you make moderates they make it impossible for moderates to work in an independent way, because the minute they are pushed into the arms of the extreme right, their credibility falls. HEFFNER: Dan Henninger? HENNINGER: Mr. Ambassador, I want to ask you one you one last question about the evidence reporting the death squad activity, which you say is in the hands of the State Department. Are you saying, then, that Secretary of State Schulz knows about this evidence and is suppressing it? WHITE: Well, it certainly I don't know what people tell Secretary of State Schulz. Certainly many of us have stated over and over again that Roberto d'Aubuisson is a death squad leader. It would seem to me that a responsible Secretary of State would ask to see the evidence. HENNINGER: Are you suggesting he hasn't? WHITE: No, you're suggesting that he hasn't. I'm sug- gesting that it's his obligation to so ask. 897 /8/ RUSHER: I think Mr. Henninger was not suggesting anything about Secretary Schulz, except that possibly other people, looking at the evidence, are not not as persuaded, Mr. White, as you are, from your special vantage point as a foreign service officer fired by the Reagan administration. The position that I hoid, sir, today, is the same WHITE: that I held when I was ambassador. As I explained to you earlier in the program, my embassy recommended to Washington that they classify Robert d'Aubuisson as a terrorist. An interagency com- mittee met, considered the evidence, and classified him as $ a terrorist. The Reagan administration overturned that. It's up to the Reagan administration to explain why. RUSHER: Well, I think that different people can understand evidence differently. You've given us nothing except an uniden- tified man who can't be named, apparently, in public, and told us that he is the witness to all of these things, which you believe, which is all right. But I can imagine, without having studied the question closely, that other people would take a different view. WHITE: Well, of course, it is an obligation to study the question closely, sir. For example, are you familiar with the American Institute for Free Labor Development report on the murders of their advisors in El Salvador? 898 19/ RUSHER: Yes, I am. I have been reports of it, and frankly that is precisely the kind of tendentious argumentation that worries me most about this. I would be much more content, sir and I'm not hard to please about this if you yourself, instead of circling around the question and commenting on the evidence, would simply make the charge, if you're so confident about it, that these six men in Miami are running death squads, and then put it to them whether or not they want on that basis to charge you in a libel suit. WHITE: Oh, I'm glad to repeat that I believe the evidence that is accurate that I presented to the committee. RUSHER: Yeah, but that's not quite the same thing. HEFFNER: And this isn't a court of law. WHITE: This is not the place to conduct a legal argument. I am telling you that the source for this information is a Source that has been proven reliable to the United States embassy over years. That his information has been analyzed as credible over the years. HEFFNER: Mr. Ambassador, I'd like to move on to the question of whether you feel the same attitudes that the Reagan administration has exhibited in this instance, as you interpret those attitudes, have impacted in a negative way on our policy in the rest of Central America? WHITE: Oh, I think definitely. We have violated our solemn treaty agreements by sponsoring CIA 899 /10/ mercernaries against Nicaragua. I'm no admirer of the Sandi. nista regime, but all the contras have accomplished is is to 80lidify the Sandinistas in their in power. I think mili. tarizing Honduras is just absolutely the wrong thing to do. HEFFNER: would that lead you, then to look for the defeat of the administration's the spectrum of the admininstration's efforts at aid in Central America? WHITE: Well, I think that if you're referring to the Kissinger Commission report and its recommendations, I think this was a typically sort of bipartisan document. The Republicans recommended guns, and the Democrats recommended social and economic legislation. And so they put them both together. The fact is, of course, that guns, contradict the need for economic and social assistance. HEFFNER: Gentlemen? HENNINGER: Mr. Ambassador, would you prefer that a govern- ment be set up in El Salvador through a negotiated settlement rather than the election that's going to be held soon? WHITE: Well, the point is that there's no contradiction here. You have to have negotiations before you have a truly valid election. The function of elections are not to fix the bases of a society. Once you fix those bases through nego- tiation, then you can have an election to pick which team is going to administer the country. 900 /11/ RUSHER: But how about power sharing, Mr. Ambassador? This is what the insurgents in El Salvador seem to want, a specific sharing of power. I take it you would oppose that before the elections. WHITE: Power sharing is a facile phrase which, if you. examine it, really means very little.' The revolutionaries have agreed to negotiations without preconditions. The government has not and the Reagan administration has not. The real point here is that power is already shared. The guerrillas control approx- imately a third of their country, and they are on the they have the initiative. RUSHER: I begin to think that you do favor, then, what the government, at any rate, calls power sharing. If they have power already, you see nothing wrong with sharing a little bit more of it with them before the election? WHITE: I think you misunderstand the nature of power. What we're talking about when you talk about an interim arrangement is not sharing power, but sharing 80m e kind of administrative authority. The power belongs to the military. When the Reagan administration says they don't want they reject power sharing, what they're really saying is that they reject any diminution in the power of the Salvadoran military. And until you get that power limited and placed under the law, you can never have peace in El Salvador. 901 /12/ RUSHER: Do you favor administrative participation and sharing of control by the insurgents before the election? WHITE: No. I don't think it's necessary. Frankly, I think at this point the Reagan administration has made such a complete mess of Central America, I think the only way that you are going to get a solution to El Salvador's problems is to get people to sit down together, and then through the Contradora group, bring in some kind of inter-American military-civilian presence that can take over the security of that country, and then disarm both the guerrillas and the military. HEFFNER: Ambassador White, thank you so very much for joining us today on From The Editor's Desk. In just a moment we'll come back to the Editor's Desk to see how my colleagues would set in their own perspective what we've just heard. HEFFNER: Gentlemen, you're the gatekeepers. What did you think? Dan? HENNINGER: I would make two points. First, on the death 8 quads. It is a terrible kind of activity, but neither Ambas- sador White nor anyone else has ever said precisely how it can be stopped. To me it's a little bit like asking the United States 902 /13/ to stop Mafia activity. We're a big country. Why can't we do that? on the matter of elections, I'm just hard put to see why Ambassador White isn't willing to confer legitimacy on South American elections that he would on a North American election. The last one they held down there was watched by any number of . North American observers, who all said it was an honest election. HEFFNER: Bill? RUSHER: Ambassador White has obviously discussed these matters a lot, and he's developed formula answers for questions that come up. And I thought that some of these forumla answers were a little be disingenuous, that they sounded somewhat more straightforward than when you inspected them. I would have liked a little less comment on the evidence that convinces him about some of these things, and a little more explicit assertion if he indeed wants to be tested in that way. At the end he had an interesting proposal which we didn't have a chance to get into about a military presence of an inter-American type to disarm both the rebels and the army. HEFFNER: How do you react to that? RUSHER: Well, I'll tell you this: No self-respecting country is going to stand around and have its army disarmed without, I should imagine, protesting. That seems a little unrealistic. 903 /14/ HEFFNER: Dan, what did you think about that? HENNINGER: Well, I agree with that. I want to pick up this one point HEFFNER: Sure. HENNINGER: that Bill Rusher pressed on the matter of the evidence. We initially discussed this at the level of, say, front page rhetoric. But if one is going to push an issue like death 8 quads, you are indeed going going to have to produce the evidence, to finally, conclusively, come come up with a conviction. And that's an important point. HEFFNER: Gentlemen, thank you for joining me today on From The Editor's Desk. We do have to leave our Editors at this point, but I hope you'll stay with us for a final Editorial Note. 1 1 HEFFNER: How much tongue there was in the Wall Street Journal's cheek this past week when it entitled a lead editorial, "Who Lost Beirut?", one doesn't quite know. But remember, that's what was asked about China, when it went communist, "Who lost I-------- China?" And about all those other defeats if that's what they were when the way the world turns proved not to be the way we -.---. .- 1 would turn it. -...... 904 /15/ who, indeed, lost this country or that, as if they had been ours for the losing, any more than ours for the keeping? Political scientist Dennis Brogan once described what he called Americans' illusion of omnipotence, the illusion that any Biutation which distresses or endangers the United States can only exist because some Americans have been fools or knave, when actually they may exist because of conditions about which the United States has little to say. For, like it or not, America, powerful though she is, is not omnipotent. A great many things happen in the world, regardless of whether the American people wish them to or not. It's sheer nonsense, of course, but dangerous paranoia-making nonsense, too, to hold quite so fast to this illusion of omnipotence, that when other people, other places, are lost to us, it must be because, mistakenly, mischievously, or even maliciously, some among us did the dastardly deed. The Wall Street Journal blames the Congress. Others blame the administration. The fact, of course, is that neither is composed of fools or knaves, and Beirut never was ours to have and to hold or to lose. I'm Richard Heffner. Join us again next week as we look at the world From the Editor's Desk. (END) 905 [TAB 4] 3442 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, sy 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard interviewed Ing. Juan Posoda, who is employed by Arturo Muyshondt Parker, in the offices of Mr. Muyshondt Parker in San Salvador. Posoda indicated that the previous evening, Thursday, February 23, 1984, he had been working late at the office. He indicated that earlier in the day, because of a mix-up in cars, he had been driving a Jeep Cherokee station wagon that is ordinarily and usually driven by Mr. Muyshondt Parker. The automobile was parked in one of the two stalls of the garage in the building where they have their offices. The metal garage door was closed at the time that Mr. Posoda entered the garage area. He decided to leave for home about 9:30 p.m., and notified the night watchman to open the garage door. The night watchman opened the door and Posoda reached to open the left front door of the Jeep Cherokee, at which time at least three shots were fired, one of the shots smashing through the window of the car door directly in front of him. I asked him to refer to the photographs which had been taken on the morning of January 24, 1984. I asked him if those photo- graphs depicted the exact location of the Jeep Cherokee the evening before, and he indicated that it did indeed, that the automobile had not been moved. He reviewed all of the photographs and indicated that they did indeed, reflect accurately the situation immediately after the firing the night before. 1 ! : 34-045 0-84-58 906 --2- Posoda said that he knew of no reason why an attempt would have been made on his life, and did not believe that the gunfire was meant for him, but rather for Mr. Muyshondt Parker. He freely admitted that there were many people in San Salvador, who knew of the accusations of Ambassador White against Muyshondt Parker. He indicated that no one had ever before attempted to assassinate him or shoot at him, and that there was absolutely no reason why he would be the subject of such an attempt at this time. He further allowed as how he felt certain that whoever fired the shots thought that he was Arturo Muyshondt Parker, because Mr. Muyshondt often worked late in the evening, always drove the Jeep Cherokee, and in addition, Posoda had on a jacket that belonged to Arturo Muyshondt Parker. He stated that he had heard the charges against Mr. Muyshondt Parker and could state categorically that the description of the Miami exiles simply did not correspond with the facts, the lifestyle, or any other aspect of Mr. Muyshondt Parker's life. He stated that in addition, he had known him for some six or seven years, knew him to be a man of very fine character, who had the respect of his employees and the people he worked with, and that under no circumstances could the charges by White be attri- butable to Mr. Muyshondt Parker. He stated that he believed that Ambassador White had simply made a mistake in identifying Mr. Muyshondt Parker. He was frank to admit that he believed that there was a strong possibility that Mr. Muyshondt Parker was in physical danger. 907 [TAB 5] 3444 LAW ORACES OF JERRIS LEONARD A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION BUNE 1020 JERAS LEONARD JAMES T. DEVINE KATHLEEN HEENAN MOGUAN THE FARAGUT BULONG 900 SEVENTEENTH STREET, N.W. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 072-1005 TREX: POLOS SWEH March 2, 1984 Mr. Robert White c/o Zuckerman, Spaeder, Moore, Taylor & Kalker 1201 Connecticut Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20036 Dear Mr. White: On February 6, 1984, you voluntarily appeared before a commit- tee of the United States House of Representatives, at which time you accused Mr. Arturo Muyshondt Parker of being a member of a "Miami Gang of Six," whose purpose among other things, was to organize, fund and direct "death squad" activity in the country of El Salvador, Further, you have accused Mr. Muyshondt of directing activity which includes bribery, kidnapping, and murder, both in El Salvador and the United States. Prior to your February 6, 1984 appearance before the Congres- sional Committee referred to above, you distributed and published to representatives of the news media, a document titled "Prepared Statement by Ambassador Robert White Before the House Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs. February 2, 1984." The statement identified above accuses Mr. Muyshondt of the same membership in the "Miami Gang of Six" and the same "activities” of bribery, kidnapping and murder which were re-stated by you on February 6, 1984. Your "Prepared Statement" was given broad and general publication by the media, a fact known by you and designed by you to occur. Subsequent to your February 6, 1984 appearance before the Congressional Subcommittee where, on February 6 you re-stated your false accusations against Mr. Muyshondt contained in your "prepared statement," you appeared on a television interview program titled, "From the Editor's Desk. The interview given by you was taped on February 9, 1984 by WPIX, Inc. and given broad and general distribution by the Independent Network on or about February 12, 1984. 908 LAW OFFICES OF JERAIS LEONARD Mr. Robert White March 2, 1984 Page Two During this interview you were asked by Mr. William Rusher, one of the members of the interview panel, the following question: "Mr. White, before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on February 2nd, you named six specific people: Viera Altamirano, Luis Escalante, Arturo Muyshondt, Roberto Edgardo Daglio and the sallaverria brothers, Julio and Juan Ricardo, as behind the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, of bombings of U.S. and Salvadoran firms, the death threats, the recent death squad murders. Are you prepared now, outside the protection of congressional immunity, to reiterate those charges?" Your response to this question was: "Oh, I have reiterated them many times, Mr. Rusher. The point here is not the immunity. The point is-- though I want to clarify one thing. what I have repeated is the report that we sent from San Salvador in 1981, which listed these names from a source who was totally reliable." You, through your counsel, have been requested by the under- signed on behalf of Arturo Muyshondt to retract the statements made by you accusing Arturo Muyshondt of being one of the members of your self-styled "Miami Gang of six" and the "activities" that you have assigned to such membership. Further, you have been given, through your counsel, sufficient information to prove that Arturo Muyshondt could not possibly be a member of your "Gang of Six" or in any way associated with or responsible for the "activities" (bribing, kidnapping, and murder, among others) which you assign to this group. I have been informed by your counsel that you are "checking" with your sources as to the validity of your accusations. That was two weeks ago. Your counsel has been advised of the unsuccessful attempt to murder Arturo Muyshondt, which attempt was made at his business offices in the City of San Salvador on February 23, 1984. In the face of the above occurrence and other information available to you, your apparent reluctance to take immediate steps to retract your inaccurate and false accusations of Arturo Muyshondt is unconscionable. : - 909 LAW OFFICES OF JERRIS LEONARD Mr. Robert White March 2, 1984 Page Three Based on the foregoing, and on behalf of Arturo Muyshondt, we demand that you immediately fully and completely retract your false and defamatory accusations of Arturo Muyshondt which are contained in your "prepared statement" in the substance of your congressional statements and in the substance of your statements given in the interview "From the Editor's Desk" all as pertain to Arturo Muyshondt. We further demand that your retraction be in a form and in a manner designed to receive the same broad and general distribution by the mass media as was given by it to your initial defamatory accusations of Arturo Muyshondt. Respectfully submitted 1 w Daniel J. McGuan Attorney for Arturo Muy shondt Law Offices of Jerris Leonard, P.C. : DJM/ch cc: Arturo Muyshondt * . i i 910 STATEMENT OF CHERYL HUDSON On Friday, March 2, 1984, I deposited a copy of the enclosed letter addressed to Mr. Robert White in an envelope addressed to Ed James of the law firm of Zuckerman, et al., telephoned Metro Messenger delivery service for pick-up, and a Metro Messenger picked up the envelope at approximately 2:20 p.m. on this date. At approximately 3:05 p.m., I called Mr. James' secretary to confirm that the envelope had, in fact, been delivered and she informed me that it had been received at 2:50 p.m. Cheryl Hudsose u Cheryl Hadson 911 [TAB 6] 3448 ZUCKERMAN, SPAEDER, MOORE, TAYLOR & KOLKER ATTORNEYS AT LAW 1201 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, N. W. WASHINGTON, D. C. 20036 VIRGINIA OFFICE Suite 300 (202) 775-1440 2000 NORTH IOTH STALCT AALINGTON, VIRGINIA 22201 (202) 775-1440 MARYLAND OFFICE SUITE 202 ROGER E. ZUCKERMAN BRUCE GOLOSTEIN+ ROGER C. SPAEDER MARK W. FOSTER WILLIAM W. TAYLOR II PETER R. KOLKER JOHN F. EVANS JAMES C. MOORE II JANET M. MEIBURGER STEPHEN H. GLICKMAN JUDITH K. MUNGER LAWRENCE A. KATZ MICHAEL R. SMITH RONALD R. MAS SUMI PEGGY CRESPI KAPLAN G. RICHARD STRAFER STEPHEN E. LEACH RONALD B. RAV EDGAR N. JAMES JUDITH STURTZ KARP 17 WEST JEFFERSON STRCET ROCKVILLE, MARYLAND 20060 (301) 140-9065 March 7, 1984 FLORIOA OFFICE ZUCKERMAN, SPAEDER, TAYLOR A EVANS GAOLCS INTERNATIONAL PLAZA 2655 LEJEUNE ROAD CORAL GAILIS, FLORIOA 33134 (105) 444-1011 ALSO ADMITTED IN MARYLANO • ALSO ADMITTED IN VIRGINIA *ALSO ADMITTED IN FLORIDA BY HAND Daniel J. McGuan, Esquire Law Offices of Jerris Leonard, P.C. Suite 1020 900 17th Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 : Re: Sr. Arturo Muyshondt Dear Mr. McGuan: We received your letter of March 2, 1984 addressed to former Ambassador Robert E. White and have forwarded it to him. He has not had an opportunity to review its text and, when he does, we may wish to make a fuller response than we are able to do at this point. Certain portions of it are entitled to some immediate response, however, and we take this opportunity to provide it. First, it must be obvious that Ambassador White's disclosures to Congress were made out of a sense of duty. That same duty has caused him to take seriously your client's prostestations that the Embassy's source erroneously identified him as one of the Salvadorans in Miami with direct links to the death squads. He has undertaken a serious and sincere effort to determine if the information which the Embassy received and forwarded to the State Department unfairly implicated Sr. Muyshondt. As I hope you can understand, that effort requires time. We assure you, however, that should investigation reveal information which ought to be disclosed to Congress in fairness to your client, those dis- closures will be made along with appropriate statements to the press. 912 Daniel J. McGuan, Esquire March 7, 1984 Page 2 Secondly, as you know, what the Ambassador told Congress and what he repeated in the interview to which your letter refers is that his Embassy received information which it believed to be reliable implicating D'Aubuisson and a number of other individ- uals, including your client, in death squad activity. His Embassy relayed that information to the State Department. His primary concern was that the Reagan administration had not only taken no action with regard to that information but has denied its existence. Those statements do not subject Ambassador White to liability for defamation. The Ambassador has requested that we relay to you, however, that, notwithstanding the futility of any defamation action which your client might threaten, his principal concern is the truth. Mr. Leonard advised us that Mr. Muyshondt was willing and eager to answer any questions which we might put to him. Several ques- tions have been raised both by Mr. Leonard's representations and by our client's own investigation which, frankly, cause con- I hope that you will relate them to your client and for- ward us his responses. cern. First, Mr. Muyshondt apparently told your office that he owns no property in Miami. Our information is that he apparently owns property at 1865 Brickell Avenue in Miami and that he has a registered telephone there. Second, Mr. Leonard advised us that Sr. Muyshondt insisted that he was not politically active as a supporter of Roberto D'Aubuisson. Yet we find that the name Muyshondt or Meyson (phonetic for Muyshondt) appears at least three places in the secret diaries that were seized from D'Aubuisson when he was arrested in 1981. In addition, your client appears to have been active in F.A.N., a group of D'Aubuission intimates that later grew into ARENA. Mr. Leonard advised that Sr. Muyshondt insisted that the Salaverrias were not brothers. On Tuesday, February 7, 1984, an AP wire story ran in the Chicago Tribune in which the reporter stated that: " [Julio] Salaverria Salaverria said his brother, Juan Ricardo, died in a car accident in Florida two years ago. It would materially assist Ambassador White's ability to make a reasoned response to Mr. Meyson's concerns if your client would clear up the foregoing matters. In addition, it would also be of benefit, I believe, for Sr. Muyshondt to provide answers to the following questions: 913 Daniel J. McGuan, Esquire March 7, 1984 Page 3 1. Was Sr. Muyshondt ever F.A.N.? a member of or a contributor to 2. Is he a member of or a contributor to ARENA? 3. Did he ever appear in public with Sr. Mena Lagos, Sr. Richard Raubusch, or Sr. Jimenez Castillo? 4. Has he met with any of the other Salvadorans in Miami identified by Ambassador White? If the answer to either of the foregoing two questions is yes, identify the date, time and place of the meetings, the persons present, and the subjects discussed. 5. ARENA? Has he ever contributed money directly or indirectly to 6. Has he ever transported money, weapons or other things from the United States to Salvador which he believed to be intended for use in or support of assassinations? 7. Does he know any persons who have participated in or who financially support the death squads? In the meantime, Ambassador White will continue to pursue his investigation of your client's concerns as, we understand, will certain members of Congress. Sincerely yours, Will 11 William W. Taylor Edgar N. James Attorneys for Ambassador Robert E. White 914 3451 [TAB 7] LAW OFFCES OF JERRIS LEONARD A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION SUME 1020 THE FRUGUT BUILDING 900 SEVENTEENTH STREET. N.W. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 872-1005 THE: 9H JERAS LEONARO JAMES T. DEVINE KATHLEEN HEBNAN MCGUAN March 15, 1984 William W. Taylor, III, Esq. Edgar N. James, Esq. Zuckerman, Spaeder, Moore, Taylor & Kalker 1201 Connecticut Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20036 Re: Arturo Muyshondt P. V. Robert E. White, et al. Dear Messrs. Taylor and James: We have received your letter of March 7, 1984. Enclosed herein you will find our client's Affidavit with respect to the seven questions raised by you on behalf of your client. Our client does not care to comment further on the obvious self-serving statements and further erroneous allegations contained in the letter. What has become obvious is that your client is, was and continues to be badly misinformed relative to our client Arturo Muyghont. This misinformation could have been avoided and our client spared from the embarrassment, harassment, assassination attempt and the substantial damages he has sustained if Mr. white had taken the care to ask these questions of Sr. Muyshondt before he made these allegations originally and affirmed them on national public television on February 9, 1984. It is also obvious to Mr. Muyshondt that your client has no intention of issuing a retraction. On February 24, 1984, the undersigned was in San Salvador and was informed by an important witness, that an agent of your client had called this witness and been informed that your client was mistaken. Certainly your client must have received other information confirming his errors, but he insists on asking questions that should have been asked before making the false and defamatory accusations with respect to our client. very truly yours, a & wish Leonard Jerris Leonard JL/ch 915 AFFIDAVIT Arturo Muyshondt P. being first duly sworn on oath states: That he has read the letter of March 7, 1984 received from the attorneys for Robert E. White and responds to said questions as follows: 1. Q: Was Sr. Muyshondt ever a member of or a contributor to F.A.N.? A: I was personally never a member of F.A.N. In 1979 I founded M.R.S. (Movimiento Reformista Salvadoreño) which was one of the founding organizations of F.A.N. in December 1979. When M.R.S. received the Principles and Charter of F.A.N. on January 14, 1980, M.R.S. decided not to participate and withdrew from F.A.N. 2. Q: Is he a member of or a contributor to ARENA? A: NO. 3. Q: Did he ever appear in public with Sr. Mena Lagos, Sr., Richard Raubusch, or Sr. Jiminez Castillo? A: If by "appear in public" the question assumes at "political" events, the answer is no. It is entirely possible that I have been at social events with the persons named. 4. Q: Has he met with any of the other Salvadorans in Miami identified by Ambassador White? 916 -2- 4. A: a) I have known Luis Escalante since I was 13. He has been a friend of my family's. He was President of Banco Agricola Commercial. I have had some loans with that bank, and I have seen him many times at social events. b) I met Enrique Altamirano many years ago. I had my first conversation with him in July 1983 at a wedding in Miami, Florida. c) I have I have talked to Roberto Daglio just once in my life in September 1983, in his office in Miami, regarding one of my brothers, who worked for him as a pilot. d) I have known Mr. Juan Ricardo Salaveria for many years. He died a few years ago in Florida. I met him at various social functions. e) I met Julio Salaveria in 1970 when he was President of Financiera de Desorallo a Inversion. I had a loan with his financial institution. I did not see him again until a few days after Robert E. White's charges in February, 1984 in San Salvador. 5. Q: Has he ever contributed money directly or indirectly to ARENA? A: NO. 6. Q: Has he ever transported money, weapons or other things from the United States to Salvador which he believed to be intended for use in or support of assassinations? A: NO. 917 -3- 1. Q: Does he know any persons who have participated in or who financially support the death squads? A: NO. Mbunda ARTURO MUYSHONDT P. Washington SS District of Columbia ) 1 SWORN TO before me this 13th day of March, 1983. Cheryl Hudson Notary Public My Commission expires: March 1987 918 [TAB 8] 3455 Date # Days Reason December 5, 1978 April 25, 1979 July 15, 1979 5-10 10-15 Pick up a new airplane 10-15 (no more than 20 days) February 28, 1980 May 15, 1980 August 12, 1980 August 25, 1980 December 13, 1980 5-10 Touring with wife and parents 6 Touring/Visit with friend fm Guatemala 5-18 Disney World with Family 5-10 Visit with Family 5-10 (no more than 44 days) January 2, 1981 3-5 Meet friend Dane Bowen (no more than 5 days) 1 February 6, 1982 March 8, 1982 June 3, 1982 August 23, 1982 October 7, 1982 December 26, 1982 24 14 9 12 5-10 25 Kidnapping Kidnapping Visit with wife Airplane repairs Pick up airplane Midwest (looking for heifers) Operation in Mule Shoe, Texas Miami, Hyatt Convention Center (no more than 60 days) - Date uncertain, 1983 ? June 3, 1983 (Hotel) 16 Minnesota, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Ohio Georgia, looking for heifers July 7, 1983 6 Business/Holiday Inn, Brickel Point August 26, 1983 10-15 Ohio, Wisconsin, Choosing heifers September 23, 1983 7 Making arrangements to ship heifers (Sent October 3) Holiday Inn, BP December 26, 1983 4 Business/Holiday Inn, Brickel Point January 13, 1984 6 Business/Holiday Inn, Brickel Point February 8, 1984 This trip (no more than 60 days) 919 Nombre del titular Name Carlos Aletture Moyeliondt. DATOS PERSONALES PERSONAL DATA Nacionalidad Salvadoreña por Nationality Lug and Personas que lo acompañan: Persons acompanying Bearer: Facidi peata andere Getubre de 1998. Estado civil_ociado Sasterskizute: Su esposa Wife Civil Status Menores de 18 años que están bajo su patria potestad Minors under the age of 18 who are under paternal jurisdiction Profesión u oficio Podstion Dormidilio Permanent address o Sezon les particulares Seps for Birthmark- o tutela: to TMBRE SELGALVAD DIRECCION GENERAL DE MIGRACION Ficha (4845 E.S_de 23 iloissa JUO18313 Documentos de identidad que se tuvieron arjeta de Migración No. 123011 la vista:e Feeha 4-Dic-78 (Firma del titular). 2 3/ 920 VISASU.S. IMMIGRATION ໑iງຽ1•. 068 MIA 3264 PIINISTERIO DE RELACIONES EXTERIORES EL SALVADOR SAS VISA PARA SALIR DEL PAIS No. 28060 Cualquier l'ing 15 MAIO 1979 با ما - COLOMBIA FEB 08 1984 VICE díass CCISO PASAPOma no WO HUPUMLICA EL SALVADOR EL SALVADOR SERVICES ADIATREO :Destined to bez CONTATS Woche TF to forest Varian a MAYO 1979 725OL ?! MAYO 1979ACHO (CLASS) ADAPI Pune REPUOLIC! En LAS CHICA Eich deinczRTO SALID Rinn -D Launen Fashiod's Plan teche iS PO 1979 ראדווין ABORTS SALVARRO TE E 14 SET. 1983 031 SO GEUN DOLARES Kes MI2. AEZEA EL SULYASZ GLUN DOLARS KUS ADVERTENCIA La persona 50 inmigrante que acepte empleo sin autorización quedará sujeta a que se le deporte. IMPORTANTE U.S. IMMIGRATION • Retenga este permiso en su poder, 060 MIA C-16895 Ud. deberá entregarlo cuando salga de los EE. UU. De no hacerlo asi, su entrada a los EE. UU. en un futuro puede verse demorada. FEB 2 5 1984 NUMERO DE ENTRADA 2020 0202657 Vandrere ACLASS) 8. APELLIDOS (igual que los Apellidos en NCURY Triba) I MOYSHO NOT BRIMER NOMBRE (igual que el primer Nombre en No. 1 de arriba ARTURO 9. FECHA DE 10. PAIS DEL QUE ES CIUDADANO (igual que el No. 3 de arriba, NACIMIENTO ne or No. 2 EL SALVADOR 109110148 VEASE AL DORSO OTRA INFORMACION IMPORTANTE SERVICIO DE INMIGRACION Y REGISTRO DE PARTIDA 1-94 NATURALIZACION DE LOS EE. UU. (Rev. 1-1-83)N STAPLE HERE 24,84 921 [TAB 91 3458 19 October 1979 El Diario de Hoy HEADLINE M.R.S. Gives Support To the Army CAPTION BELOW PICTURE Supporting the revolutionary Junta. The M.R.S. yesterday gave its support to the Army. The M.R.S., at the same time gave a statement about the subject. Those attending were Jose Castro, Juan Miguel Bonilla, Lic, Horacio Castellanos, Lic. Dagoberto Marroquin, Dr. Roberto Amaya Diaz, Lic. Ernesto Gutierrez, Lic. Arturo Muyshondt, Lic. Leonel Mejia y Julio Cesar Saldana. Atras, Jose Ayala Pacheco, Luis Mendoza and Lic. Ricardo Escoto. RANAE . 922 Vato-de-Apoyo-a-Fuerza Armada da el Movimiento Reformisto - "VA voto de apoyo a las her: gen de nuestro país ante el mun- zas Armadas que se han denpust do. cado con sentir del pliehlo.sk Dicho movimiento, como se- lyadoreho, al tempo que han de nalamos en nuestra edición del mostrado ser fleles en el miércoles, nació hace ya seis cumplimlento de su sagrado de meses a raíz de la anarquía que ber de defender la soberanía e caracterizaba al régimen ante- integridad de todos los salvado- rior, derrocado el 15 de octubre reños, formula el Movimiento por la actual Junta Revoluciona- Reformista Salvadoreño, MRS. ria de Gobierno. Asimismo, pide el MRS a los Lo anterior está contenido en grupos extremistas acaten el lla- un pronunciamiento dado a co- mado de la Junta Revoluciona- nocer ayer a EL DIARIO DE ria de Gobierno y depongan sus HOY por sus principales, en el actitudes hostlles que únicamen- cual el MRS se dirige al pueblo te dañan los intereses de la pro- salvadoreño, a los gobiernos ducción nacional, contribuyendo centroamericanos y a los pue además a formar la mala Ima- --Favor pase a la página 32. Y EL DIARIO DE HOY. Viernes 19 de Octubre de 1979. 2 Voto de Apoyo Viene de la página 3.- IPOYAN A JUNTA REVOLUCIONARIA - Su apoyo a la Fuerza Armada dló ayer el MO- blos y goblernos del mundo. vimiento Reformistà salvadoreño, MRS, al tiempo que emitía un pronunciamiento al Tal pronunciamiento, asegu- efecto. De izquterda a derecha, José Castro, Juan Miguel Bonilla, Lic. Horacio Castella: ran, es el inicio de una cruzada Asimismo, manifiestan en el nos, L. Dagoberto Marroquin, Dr. Roberto Amaya Díaz, Llc. Ernesto Gutierrez, Lic. Ar por el blen de nuestra patria, con tercer punto que el MRS estará Puro ivayshondt, Lic. Leonel Mejía y Julio César Saldaña. Atrás, José Ayala Pacheca el propósito de ayudar y contri- atento al compromiso de la Jun- Luis Mendoza y Lic. Ricardo Escoto. buir con el gobierno. ta Revolucionaria de respetar En su primer apartado, el los derechos humanos y rescatar MRS manifiesta que estará vigi- la imagen del país Internacional- En su relación con la libre 'em- lante al decreto de libertad a los mente; pide se invite a las orga- presa, en el sexto punto de su presos políticos, a la vez que pi- nizaciones de Derechos Huma- pronunciamiento, el MRS afir- den a los grupos extremistas de nos, Amnistia Internacional y ma respetar a la empresa priva- poner su actitud hostil, en vista Cruz Roja Internacional, para da e individual a la vez que seña! Finalmente, en su septimo de la buena voluntad de la Junta que en menor tlempo posible lan que en la era moderna, la punto, el MRS reflere que "Jun- Revolucionaria de Gobierno. puedan inspeccidnar las cárce- empresa privada no sólovela por tos debemos buscar la dignifica- Añaden en el segundo, que la les del país y comprueben que no sus intereses, sino que toma clón del trabajador, del em- medida anterior llevará al pron-i existen presos políticos, como- queda de la paz entre todos los muy en cuenta los intereses de) pleado público, de los empresa- lo restablecimiento de la vida también piden se investiguen y habitantes y con los pueblos del los trabajadores que son el prin- rlos, líderes y gobernantes, normal del país, con lo cual se esclarezcan los casos de los de- mundo, y el respeto a los dere- clpal medio para poder alcanzar rechazando todo tipo de corrup- ayudará a la Junta a levantar saparecidos y presos políticos chos individuales de cada uno, el bienestar y desarrollo de El clón, pues con una actitud hones- pronto el estado de sitio y ley del pasado. consignados en la Carta Magna. Salvador. La empresa privada, ta encaminaremos a nuestro marcial, En el cuarto punto dan su voto Afirmaron, por último, que el re- aseveran, debe suspender todas pais hacia la total recupera- de apoyo a las fuerzas armadas conocimiento de la voluntad po- aquellas acciones obsoletas y clón". en los términos referidos al prin- pular como fórmula de progreso comprometedoras, y actualizar- Concluyeron sus afirmaclones clplo de esta nota, haciendo en el y Justicia social en el país, era se con el objeto de poder dinaml- para EL DIARIO DE HOY, quinto punto un llamamiento a poco más que Indispensable zar el progreso de nuestro país, relterando que el MRS se ha ca- la Iglesia salvadoreña para que para lograr la verdadera paz. proponlendo soluciones que be- racterizado desde su fundación continúe en su lucha y afán de neficien a los trabajadores, al por sostener el anhelo y bús- buscar para nuestro pueblo solu- país y a ellos mismos, en una clones que mejoren sensible- identidad con todos los sectores mente la vida de la familla sal- i. clydadanos. vadoreña. 1 q 923 [TAB 10] 3460 January 16, 1980 Response to Jaime Alfaro Castillo regarding the Articles of Constitution of F.A.N. After discussion with the different sectors from M.R.S., repre- sentatives from the private and military sector, the M.R.S. has decided not to support the F.A.N. in all the purposes and ideals that are in accord with ours. Supporting F.A.N. publicly when we decide to, but without being a member of F.A.N., 1., because we believe in the actual political situation of M.R.S. as a movement rather than as a well-known; however, the ideals we defend are aparently the same. January 16, 1980 924 El M.R.S. ante la posición planteada de integrar el F.A.N., comuni- ca al Comité Ejecutivo del F.A.N., lo siguiente : El M.R.S. desde que fue invitado a formar parte del F.A.N. dió su visto bueno y acordó tomar parte de la fundación e integración del F.A.N., siempre que se cumpliera con las condiciones que el M.R.S.92 expuso en aquel momento; no obstante haber tenido un representante en el comité ejecutivo provisional, éste no fué informado, ni aprobó la primera publicación del F.A.N. que salió en dos periódicos del país; aún así, el M.R.S. no creyó conveniente expresar públicamen te no pertenecer al F.A.N. dando muestras de buena voluntad, por no dañar en alguna forma la imágen del F.A.N.; mencionamos esto no como reproche o pretexto, sino como una muestra de que siempre estamos apoyando al F.A.N. en sus objetivos e ideales que se plantearon en aquella ocasión, ya que estos son los mismos que el M.R.S. se trazo hace un año, como son: - defender los principios de las libertades y derechos individuales. - defender los principios de la propiedad privada en función social. - defender el sistema republicano y democrático representativo del gobierno de El Salvador. evitar que la infiltración comunista llegue a tomar el poder eco- nómico, político y de la Fuerza Armada, -lo mismo que combatir la corrupción en todos los sectores, dar reformas que lleven a crear más justicia a todos los salvadore ños.- como SA en todos los aspect Después de efectuadas las consultas de los distintos sectores.qua Forman elem como también a representantes del sector pe yado y del sector M.B. S ha decidido, apoyar al F.A. eguen a los objetivos ideales del MERS apoynando le masodblica cuando así lo ameriter pero sin creemos que el omento políticos actual movimiento de imágen ya conocida que per marezca iem ante se defiendan aparentemente lost- mismos ideales. necesi Esperamos la comprensión de los integrantes del F.A.N., y tengan la seguridad de que defendemos los mismos principios e ideales que he- mos mencionado.- JUSTICIA, LIBERTAD Y PAZ, A TRAVES DE LA DEMOCRACIA Y LA UNIDAD. MOVIMIENTO REFORMISTA SALVADOREÑO, Enero 16 de 1980. 925 5 February 1980 El Diario de Hoy Paid Advertisement Salvadoreans. The Movement to Reform Salvador (M.R.S.) TO the Salvadorean People: The responsibility for violence, hunger, misery, and workers unemployment is and will be the major cause of International Communism group or organization which wants to destroy the Democratic System, the Economy and the Army, the Salvadorean people to submit. M.R.S. is an independent group; it does not compromise and is not a member of any other political party or group. more 926 9 MIMI MOFIMLENTO A SALVADORTHO a roba ( SALVADOREÑO El Movimiento Reformista Salvadoreño MRS EL DIARIO DE HOY, Martes 5 de Febrero de 1980. al pueblo salvadoreño hace saber: Que la responsabilidad de: la violencia, el hambre, la miseria, la desocupación es y va a ser consecuencia única de los grupos y organizaciones dirigidas por el comu. nismo internacional que quiere destruir: el sistema democrático, la economía y la Fuerza Armada para esclavizar al pueblo salvadoreño EI MRS. es un movimientos independientes que no tiene compromisos, ni 98 integrante de ingún grupo político ottvicoya que su único compromiso es con el pueblo salvadoreñia, hace un llamamiento a la reflexión para que cada uno de los que integran el pueblo salvadoreño sepa ver y reconocer sus derechos, pero al mismo tiempo esté consciente de cuáles son sus deberes, porque actualmente todos exigen sus derechos y pocos cumplen con sus deberes, creando un estado de peticiones en el cual se pide todo y no se da nado. : . A todas luces se ven síntomas de libertinaje, si así se le puede llamar al despliegue de propaganda de los grupos extremistas de izquierda, que llenan la radio, T.V. y prensa de desplegados y campos pagados; nosotros preguntamos, ¿de dónde viene todo ese dinero y qué le están dando al pobre? Sabemos que al pobre le están dando una esperanza ofreciendo lo que nunca le piensan dar, sin embargo, critican y atacan todo lo que está en contra de sus intere- ses, el cual es crear un sistema comunista TOTALITARIO EN EL SALVADOR. Sepa el pueblo salvadoreño que el Movimiento Reformista Salvadoreño MRS, ha apoyado los cambios pero cambios que no lleven a la esclavitud al pueblo, sino que cambios que generen más riqueza, más progreso cultural y económico a los más riecesitados, respetando siempre el don más preciado del ser humano, que es la LIBERTAD. JUSTICIA LIBERTAD Y PAZ, A TRAVES DE LA DEMOCRACIA Y LA UNIDAD OVIMIENTO REFORMISTA SALVADOREÑO MRS 927 1 La Prenas Grafica, 26 June 1980 "Suggest Cleaning of Corruption and Communists" We support the changes within a democratic system which increases productivity in all sectors because we believe the only sectors that we have to destroy are the communist, and corruption, affirmed Lic. Arturo Muyshondt, representing the Movemento Reformista Salvadoreno (M.R.S.) in an interview yesterday with a reporter. What do you say about rumors that are circulating about M.R.S. having a close relationship with F.A.N.? About those rumors, if M.R.S. is a member of F.A.N., we say that must be cleaned out as it is false. 928 2 LA PRENSA GRAFICA, Juev. 26 Junio, 1980 JO LAPRENSAGRARCHJarv:20 3 umo," 1800 trenere og end la di mana su primer Guide for ydonit dat leerbedre end destruir und mallas indicadas, dad, aunque el hecho de do si se erradican los tales extremistas. Por el e éstos para beneficiar a Limpia de... extremistas de nuestra i ¿Qué dico Ud. sobre que en este momento no momento, seguiremos otros, porque creemos que, mores que circulan sobre participemos en un frente atentos a las actuaciones - los únicos sectores que de patria, quienes, en su par- Vlene de la página 2 : el MRS. tiene relación común po' significa que en de la democracia cris ticular Jerigonza politica, bemos destruir son los co- "No debemos olvidar dicen que luchan por y con estrecha con el EANI'). el futuro no lo hagainos. tiana dentro del Gobierno. munistras y los corrup- "El Movimiento Relor- que cada dia que pasa nos siempre y cuando exista ¿Qué opina con relación tos." las mayorlas, pero eso es acerca más al colapso de falso, porque sólo buscan mista Salvadoreño hace un frente que sustenta los cambios socio- "Finalmente, el Lic. que hablo. Por ello, la uni- satisfacer Intereses aje- énfasis en su meta princi- nuestros mismos princi- económicos? Muyshondt expresó que, Ad dad nacional en pro de la nos a nuestra nacionali. pal, que es la de que cada pios. "En relación a los cam- en otra oportunidad ex- paz y el trabajo se vuelve dad. salvadoreño tenga garan- "En relación al P.D.G; bios, el M.R.S; como lo ex- pondrán la opinión del ahora una cuestión de so- ¿Cuáles cree Ud.; Lic. tizado, de la mejor mane- el M.R.S. siempre se man- puso en su oportunidad, no M.R.S. sobre los cambios pervivencia nacional. O Muyshondt, que son las ra, el derecho a la vida, la tiene atento a las ac. sólo los apoya sino que que se han realizado en el causas principales de la nos unimos ya o perecere- alimentación, la salud, la tuaciones de este partido hasta proposo alternati- pals, ya que en la actuali- inos. No hay alternativas. actual situación del pais? educación y el trabajo. dentro del Gobierno. Si vas, siempre que se realidad están efectuando un bien es cierto que coincidi- “Sobre los rumores de zaran dentro de la libertad “Lo anterior será logra. análisis de los resultados “Al respecto, creemos que es oportuno referirnos que el MRS es miembro mos en que este pals tiene y la democracia y que, a la sociales, políticos y a una anterior publicación del FAN, nos limitamos & problemas con los extre- vez conduzcan al incre- económicos de dichos nuestra, en la cual expusi- aclarar que se trata de mistas, no sabemos si mento de la productividad cambios". mos las causas de los problemas que agitan al país; causas que deben ser corregidas a la mayor brevedad posible, si queremos lograr una paz duradera y fructifera. Di. Jemos en aquella oportuni- dad: "EI M.R.S. considera como las causas más im. portantes de la actual al- tuación: 1.-La corrupción en to- dos los sectores. 2.- El no haber vivido nunca una auténtica de- mocracia. i 3-La falta de visión fu- Apoyamos los cambios ¿Cómo cres Ud. que se turista y de sensibilidad ien Übertad y dentro del puede lograr la pacifica- social, económica y politi- sistema democrático que ción del pals? Incrementen la producti.. ca de los dirigentes de to- "A través de la unidad dos los sectores, lo que ha vidad y la producción en de todos los salvadoreños. provocado un verdadero todos los campos, porque Por ello, Movimiento desbarajuste socio- creemos que los únicos Reformista' Salvadoreño económico en esta nación. sectores que debemos (MRS), 'ante la situación 4.-La conspiración co- destruir son: los comunis- de violencia que vivimos, mupista internacional, tas y los corruptos", afir, hace un nuevo llamamien- que ha fomentado la ma el Lic. Arturo to a la unidad para que corrupción, el dese- Muyshondt, representante logremos pacificar al país del Movimlepto Reformis. quilibrio económico, 80- y combatamos la corrup- cial y político, creando así ta Salvadorano (MRS), on ción. De esta manera, cre- entrevista que le hicieran el libertinaje como susti- emos que evitaremos el periodistas ayer. tuto de la libertad, a efecto colapso económico y Al respecto, el Lic. de tomar el poderi aumentaremos la produc- Muyshondt responde destruir el sistema de tividad en los diversos sec- mocrático, la Ubre expre sobre los siguientes pun- tores de la producción. tos: Pasa a la página 38 sión y la libertad de orga- nización, de empresa, reli- giosa y de asociación. 5.---Las flagrantes viola- ciones a los derechos hu- manos. 6.--La superpoblación. “Nosotros creeinos que cualquler cambio que se Limpia de corruptog y comunistas sugieren 1 labore 929 [TAB 11] 3466 AFFIDAVIT James T. Devine being first duly sworn on oath, deposes and states: 1. He is a member of the Law Offices of Jerris Leonard, P.C. 2. That the Law Offices of Jerris Leonard, P.C. represents Arturo Muyshondt Parker of San Salvador, El Salvador. 3. That on February 15, 1984 pursuant to the request of Jerris Leonard, he spoke via telephone to Paul Donohue, Assistant to John Mintz, Legal Counsel for the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation. 4. That he informed Paul Donohue that his client Arturo Muyshondt had been named in the February 3, 1984 issue of the New York Times. In the same article reference was made to the state- ment of a law enforcement agent that "the F.B.I. could not even find some of these people." He informed Donohue that Mr. Muyshondt was available to meet with the F.B.I. at any time for an interview. Mr. Donohue thanked Mr. Devine and stated that he would refer the matter to the investigative division covering the area involved. Shortly thereafter Ron Davenport of the F.B.I. called in reference to the above matter and stated that he would contact the Washington Field Office of the F.B.I. and check to see if the 11:30 a.m. joint meeting on February 16, 1984 with our client, was agreeable to the Washington Field Office. 5. That on February 15, 1984, Mr. Devine was informed that the Washington Field office called in the late afternoon to con- ' firm this appointment. 930 -2- 6. That on February 16, 1984 at 10:00 a.m. Gerry Fazita (ph) of the F.B.I. called to cancel the scheduled interview indefinitely. He stated that if they ever have a need to interview Mr. Muyshondt in the future, he would get in touch with us. Mr. Devine informed him that Mr. Muyshondt was in and out of the country on occasions and that if they wished to talk to him at any time, to contact -- the firm and Mr. Muyshondt would gladly make himself available during a subsequent visit to the U.S. 29 Nene Aurico James T. Devine Vernice Washington District of Columbia SWORN to before me this 16th day of February, 1984 Cheryl Hudson Notary Public My Commission expires March 1988 931 March 20, 1984 STATEMENT OF ARTURO MUYSHONDT Beginning as early as November and December, 1983, and culminating with a prepared statement, a press conference and subsequent radio and television appearances, Robert E. White, former Ambassador from the United States to El Salvador made the most serious charges that one human being can make against another. Ordinarily, a citizen of El Salvador would have little interest in what a man like White has to say, but in this case, the perjured testimony that Robert E. White gave before a con- gressional Subcommittee has not only resulted in great damage to my name, the name of my family and my children, but it has placed all of us in great danger of physical harm and death. In fact, on Thursday, February 23, 1984, just a few weeks after White made his false and inflamatory charges against me, an attempt was made on my life by a would-be assassin. No such attempts have ever been made on me or my family before. On February 6, 1984, this man, Robert E. White, appeared before a Congressional Subcommittee and uttered a vicious and damaging defamation. He alleged that I was a member of a group of Salvadórean exiles of great wealth, living in Miami, revengeful because their land and properties in El Salvador had been expro- priated by the Salvadorean Government for land reform, who had plotted and continued to plot the deaths of Salvadoreans. He charged that I was a member of the group that was directing the execution of such persons by manipulating Roberto D'Aubuisson 932 -2- and persons associated with him. Mr. White is a vicious liar. He is also a thief, for he has stolen the most precious possession my family and I have--our good name. The documents that are provided with this statement speak for themselves, but let me tell you in summary form, who I am and what I do. My name is Arturo Muyshondt Parker. I am 35 years old, married and have three children, ages ten, nine and five. I am a practicing Catholic and was educated by the Jesuits in El Salvador through high school. I attended Menlo School of Business Administration in Menlo Park, California in 1974-75 and received a Bachelor of Science in Business Administration from that institution. I am not wealthy, but I do have a good business, I also believe that I have a good business reputation. My basic business is the extraction of vegetable oil from copra, which I purchase from local cooperatives in El Salvador, processing the copra in my plant in San Salvador and selling it to various customers, mainly in the Central American area. With my brother, I also operate some cotton farms, cotton farms, totalling approximately 2,500 acres. All of the land is leased from others, The cotton farms have lost substantial monies in the last two years. I also own and operate a dairy farm of approximately 300 acres. This is the only land anywhere in the world which I own, other than my home, office and approximately one acre of 933 -3- unimproved beach property in El Salvador, I entered the dairy farming business in El Salvador by purchasing brown Swiss dairy Cows, approximately 87, after extensive travel through the mid- Western part of the United States. I am very proud of the fact that I bought, this dairy herd from dairy farmers in Wisconsin and Ohio. with a relative of mine, I have an office in Coral Gables, Florida, which imports machinery parts into El Salvador, and we are trying to import some El Salvador goods to the U.S. In addition, I hold in my own name, a representation contract with an oil extraction machinery manufacturing company, and currently do business with a few other American companies, representing them in the Central American area. I would like to clarify the misinformation presented by Mr. White, giving facts, not assumptions, as he did. I have never been an exile. My permanent residence has always been in San Salvador. I was never affected by the land reform. I do not belong to or support any political party at this moment, and I have never been in ARENA (D'Aubuisson Party) at all. I did form a civil forum in 1979 before the coup. This forum was mainly anti-communist and conservative, but by no means extremist. My forum "Movimiento Reformista Salvadoreno"-"M.R.S." (Salvadorean Reformist Movement) was at the beginning considered to be part of "Frente Amplio Nacional"-"F.A.N.," but I decided not to participate after it was founded. } A 934 -4- I have never met with the persons Mr. White refers to as the Miami Gang to discuss political matters. I have probably seen some of them only once or twice in my life at social or business events. I have been living and investing in my country since I graduated in the U.S.A. from Menlo School of Business Administra- tion in Menlo Park, California in 1975. As for the kidnappings and threats that are mentioned, I participated in the negotiation and investigation of the first kidnapping (the Bustamante case, December 9, 1981 January 27, 1982) that was resolved in my country. It was done to a businessman by a former military man who had his residence in Key Biscayne, Florida, and who was in custody for two years with several other persons who were being prosecuted. My participation was mainly for family ties, as the person kidnapped was an in-law of mine. After discovering the kidnapper, I left for Miami with my wife and children for about two months for security reasons (February-March, 1982). , I knew Monsenor Romero. There is no doubt in my mind that he was a great person, the same way there is no doubt in my mind that his image was used by irresponsible persons in favor of a cause that, if it is not communist, it surely helps the communists. I did meet with Monsenor Romero on many occasions to discuss social and political topics. Even though we did not agree on everything we talked about, there was a friendly manner and a great respect between us. 935 -5- Mr. White irresponsibly played with my human rights by making public declarations which have been seen and heard in many sectors of the media here in the U.S., in El Salvador and in the rest of the world. Such misinformation given to irresponsible people causes more harm to my country than the actual crisis in which El Salvadot is in, but what really shocks me is to think that the person who accused me had such a top post with the full responsibility as to report to the U.S. Government for it to gather conclusions and take action or make policies for my country. As damaging and dangerous as Robert E. White's lies are, they do provide an opportunity for me to express my views about my country, what its needs are, what it doesn't need and what must be done if Salvadoreans are to again be free to live in peace. In El Salvador since 1980 when the reforms were made, the life of the peasants instead of improving, has worsened. There was hunger and poverty then; now there is even more hunger and more poverty. There was hope for these peasants; now there is none. To criticize or to judge the changes would take too long and I do not believe it to be at all positive. These changes have been made and now the problem is not how to turn back, but how to make them work and keep up with them. I believe it is neces- sary to clarify what the mistakes were: 1) Having made the changes not with the purpose of improving the peasants' way of 936 -6- living, but to destroy the productivity of the country which as a consequence, brought more poverty; and 2) Having taken something from someone without any payment in any part of the world is called robbery and it is against human rights. Agrarian reform does not mean the transferring of land from one to the other, it means a reform which improves the conditions of life of the peasants who work in that land. This has not been accomplished. The problem in El Salvador, in my judgment, is a very com- plex one. First, there is a problem beyond El Salvador's control, and this is an international interest which is communism and its interest in taking power. We also have many internal problems and big ones, but these are the ones we Salvadoreans can correct. In January, 1980, my forum, which by no means was political party, expressed to the press a summary of its position towards the problems in our country. This forum was ridiculed by the communists and ignored by U.S. representatives in El Salvador because their aims and interests were different. The causes of El Salvador's problems were summed up as follows: 1. Corruption in all sectors; 2. Not having had an authentic democracy; 3. The lack of future vision and social, economic and political sensibility of the persons who run the system. It is what provoked an economic, social and political imbalance among all Salvadoreans; 937 -7- 4. The conspiracy of international communism which has promoted corruption, the economic, social and political imbalance creating the lack of moral restraint as a substitute of liberty to gain power and to destroy the democratic system of free expression, organization, enterprise, religion, association and others; 5. The clear violations of human rights; 6. The overpopulation. Any of the changes should have corrected these causes. But after four years from the reforms, we still ask what happened? The answer is clear, nothing has been done, nothing has been done, and what is worse, the causes are still there. The real problem came about when it was decided to change the system. What should have been done was to improve the system. The system is not a bad one; the ones to blame are the persons who run it. I believe we do have the basis to live in a free society under a democratic system. What we need is an orientation and to have the right persons running it. As an example: If one has a car and one tells someone who does not drive to drive the car, the car cannot be driven. Are we going to throw away that car and keep the same person to bring him another car, which would have to be thrown away again, because the problem here is logically the person, but not the car. This is what has happened in El Salvador. The car has been thrown away and the person (politician) has remained. The results are obviously in front of us. 84-045 0-84-60 938 --8- To find solutions in a given moment is impossible, but I do want it to be clear that most of us Salvadoreans want a free system. We do reproach violence and want peace, but not communism or guerrillas, as an alternative. Our problem now is how to obtain peace. After the reforms of 1980, it is "recommended" to us to have elections in 1982 and again in 1984; we go back again to see problems in these "recommendations." Elections should be what democracy expresses, but to obtain a really good expression, there is a need of good basis and funda- mental authentic democracy. What was done in El Salvador was to construct a building starting at the last floor and not at its foundation. The consequences are logical and clear. The problem of El Salvador has three fronts: 1. The Political, which has its grounds in the international environment. One sees that the leftists do not dare to participate in elections, no matter what the results may be, either P.D.C. or ARENA. They are just going to say that they did not take part in the elections. In order to have the solution to our political problem, we should have both systems competing together in a very serious way. They are asking for negotiation which the majority of Salvadoreans are rejecting. It could be by a referendum or a plebiscite in front of any organization or any country who wishes to supervise its authenticity by asking, "Salvadoreno, do you wish a dialogue with the left or F.D.R.?" The answer will be, "No!!" 939 -9- This will be a demonstration of our rejection. If by chance the answer is yes, we should go to a dialogue, a public dialogue in front of the whole country, so everybody can see the aspirations of the communists and have the opportunity to reject them; and not in the shadows of foreign groups like contadora, whom we do not recognize at all. We believe they are intruding in our problems, and we cannot accept that other countries with worse problems than ours, and who are not able to correct them, come and tell us how to solve ours. This is like telling a mute to teach us how to talk. The majority of the Salvadoreans at this moment, wish to have peace, destroying the communist menace. The only ones who want elections at this moment are the politicians, whose aim is to take power. 2. The Economic. It is clear this is another front to which we should have given more attention as the communists have by trying to destroy it and hence, having more unemployment and as a logical consequence, more hunger and more poverty. We ought to have the free enterprise system as part of the free system, not the free system as a part of the free enterprise. Once more, we see it would be too long to summarize the mistakes that have been committed along the economic system. There are many, but if we balance the positive with the negative, we end up with more of the positive things of the economic system of El Salvador. 940 : -10- Let me mention the changes made in the banking system and the export system in 1980: 1) Banking was regulated by a central bank (of the State) which had an absolute control over private banking operations. 2) Coffee exports, our main export product, were also regulated by an organization of the State called "Compania Salvadorena del Cafe." What was really needed was to control them, and not to put them all in the hands of the State. But this was done and as a result, we have a monopolized bank and exports with no benefits for the Salvadoreans whatsoever. In reference to our economic front, what El Salvador needs first of all, is to produce at least what it was producing before. If one has an enterprise working 30% of its capacity and its break-even point is 50%, one could get all the help from the world, but if one does not reach 50% and beyond, there is nothing one can do. He is lost. El Salvador needs the economic aid that the only country in the world can give: the U.S.A. But along with it, we also need the best part of the U.S. economic system, its free market. What we really need is not only to export our coffee, sugar, cotton and raw materials, but to be able to export our finished product creating by this more and better labor and wages for our people and better prices for our agricultural products. 3. The Military Front. All revolutions being leftists or communists have succeeded because by misleading, they have gained the support of the people in countries like Cuba, Nicaragua, etc. In El Salvador, they have been defeated because our people have 941 -11- been hard to convince. I do not have an idea of how many guerillas there are, but I believe that approximately 80% of the guerillas are there, not because of idealism, but to get paid. The army has made its mistakes, but I go back to say again that if we gather both positive and negative, we we can find that there is more positive. Unquestionably, there have been many mistakes, but it is also certain that many of them have been corrected. The Minister of Defense, a person so honest and capable that it would be hard to find someone like him, not only as a military man, but a human person. The day he leaves the army, there would be an enormous fear of a turn-back in bettering the military forces. The phenomenon occurring now in El Salvador is no news for us. It has happened around the world in the past, and it will happen in the future. If we, the people who want a free world to live in, who believe and fight for it, have now the chance to stop this phenomenon, we should do it--stop communism in El Salvador. As we saw Somoza leaving Nicaragua, who was far from being the best for them, we see now a new marxist regime to be even worse than Somoza. The same has happened in other countries of the world. The phenomenon in brief is as follows: The communists using the defects and mistakes of a free system portray it as if it represents all of the system and talk about liberation, revolu- tion, etc., when all they want is to impose their totalitarian 942 -12- system. Likewise do the corrupt politicians using the communist menace to be imposed in power. The right in my country does not mean corruption, murders, injustices. It means to be anticommunist. It means not to let us be driven by or be deceived by them. We want to fight the extreme right (murders, injustices, kidnappings, etc.), but at the same time, we do fight the left that if it is not communism, it surely serves the communists, . Here is where many are confused. I consider the majority of Salvadoreans to be of a conservative ideology; and I say the majority considering the peasants because in El Salvador, to be conservative is to be anticommunist; to desire a free world with occidental principles. The elections in El Salvador are in front of us, only a few days away. There are only two alternatives for the Salvadoreans: P.D.C. could lead us to one side and ARENA to another side. The guerrilla steals, murders, destroys. It is a fact, and there is also the possibility of an extreme right who murders. Both are wrong and have to be eliminated. But the problem here is not to destroy the extreme right in order to let communism win or destroy the communism to let the extreme right win. They should both be destroyed at the same time without confusing these extremes with any sector or associate extreme right with private enterprise as has been done. Who should succeed is the sector who believes in a free world for the people of El Salvador. I can guarantee you that ) 943 -13- the definition of "right" (anticommunists for a free world) is very far from the one of "extreme right" (murders and corruption). The vast majority of all Salvadoreans, being businessmen or workers, belong to this "right" (anticommunists for a free world). You have heard of an oligarchy that does not exist; of fourteen families who nobody knows. What we know is that there are 14 states in our country. You have also heard of 50 years of a military tyranny, but have you ever wondered what it was like in El Salvador before these 50 years? Have you noticed the economic improvement in all sectors in these 50 years. During these 50 years there was imposed on the private sector a central bank to control the banking system, a social security system to benefit the workers and labor unions were established. There was an agrarian reform in the 1950's and also an educational reform by founding one of the most modern educational T.V. programs in Latin America. I cannot say it did not have its defects, but I see El Salvador as having more positive views than negative in the last 50 years. In those years, there was economic and social progress for Salvadoreans even though the problems we have, like overpopulation and world problems like inflation which does not permit the economic development we desire to continue. The price of our sugar cane has not increased in 30 years. It is the same today as it was in 1950. But a tractor for agriculture in 1950 was worth 10% of 944 -14- its cost in 1980. This is also true with respect to other products that we export compared to the goods that we import. To blame those 50 years is pure demogoguery. Our country was improving even without resources. Let's give to any country in America the same population by square miles that we have and you will find even worse problems than we actually have. When we accomplish political and economic stability, the military aspect will improve as a consequence. But we should not forget that these three fronts (political, economic and military) are like battles we must fight. If we lose any of them, we risk losing the war against the communists, The only way to succeed is by winning on all three fronts. I want to add that one weapon to defeat the communists is to give to the people something to lose. If they have nothing to lose, they could care less about other systems. That something is a free world where the individual has hope and faith. We have to guarantee each individual, in the best way possible, their basic needs as human beings, which are 1) food; 2) health; 3) housing; 4) education, and 5) work, inside a free world. El Salvador has all the resources to provide them; what it needs is time to create it and the Salvadoreans' decision to do it. The time depends on your help. Elections have been imposed on us. I ask myself and ask you, having a population of over 40% illiterates, who are they 945 -15- going to vote for? Having a population with little or nothing to defend, who are they going to vote for? A population with hunger, who will they vote for? The result of the elections has been the birth of many political parties with many politicians who only want to gain power and only a few Salvadoreans who really want to solve the problems. At this moment, I'm not sure who is worse for El Salvador, P.D.C. or ARENA, but it is very sad to be waiting for the one which is less worse and not to have the opportunity to choose among the two best ones. Again, I want to clarify that I do not belong to any political party, but I do think that a P.D.C. Party has some kind of compromise with the leftists, and the ARENA party, with a very good ideology, but unfortunately not with capable people. The P.D.C. is promoting a "communitarismo." Do you know what that system is? Nobody in El Salvador knows!! Why would those alternatives be the only ones? Just because we have to have elections at this moment. Elections in any country brings along some kind of instability. To have elections in El Salvador at this moment is like injecting sick- ness to a sick patient. There have been many politicians and people from the U.S.A. who have come to my country to criticize. I now ask them if they really know our problems? If they have talked to the different sectors or just with the ones who say they represent the different sectors? 946 -16- How long did it take the U.S. to accomplish the democracy you now have? In El Salvador, the immigrants arrived and were mixed among the natives. What did the immigrants do when they arrived in North America? Just remember that Americans are those who were born in America, and do not forget it. Do not think that Americans are just the ones from North America. There are several Americans under communist power. Let's not permit them to have any more Americans under that regime. To conclude this statement, I want to leave the anxiety to you Democrats and Republicans, conservatives and liberals, because I believe that all of you want a free world, and as we Salvadoreans, reject communism. Why then, instead of the require- ments you impose on my country to make social and economic progress, you don't impose requirements to improve the basic needs of the human being, as 1) food, 2) health, 3) housing, 4) education, and 5) work for all Salvadoreans within a free system, and not to permit totalitarianism. It is said that within a free system there should be a respect for everybody's human rights, not just for the Guerrilla and its followers. There is one more requirement which you have not imposed, which is to fight corruption among the public officials. It is the principal cause for which our people do not receive the benefits that a free system is supposed to confer. 947 -17- I have attempted to outline my views on my country and what needs to be done if it and the 5 million of us are to survive as a free and independent people. Without strong support from our North American brothers and sisters, this is not possible. Help us to impose policies which will assist us to reject the extremes of the right and the left and find political stability, human freedom and an economic system which will allow each Salvadorean to work, achieve and benefit to the fullest extent of his or her capabilities. In this way will the people of the United States have a strong and stable outpost of freedom, democracy and prosperity in Central America. 948 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ARTURO MUYSHONDT, Plaintiff, ) ) ) ) Civil Action NO. ROBERT E. WHITE, ) Defendants. COMPLAINT Now comes plaintiff Arturo Muyshondt complaining of the defendant Robert E. White and by his verified complaint and in support thereof alleges and states as follows: Jurisdiction 1. Jurisdiction is predicated upon the provisions of Title 28, 28 United States Code Section 1332, Diversity of Citizenship. The matter in controversy exceeds, exclusive of interest and costs, the sum of $10,000.00 Parties 2. Plaintiff Arturo Muyshondt (Muyshonát) is an adult citizen of the Republic of El Salvador, who resides in the City of San Salvador located in the Republic of El Salvador, Central America. 949 -2- 3. Defendant Robert E. White (White) is an adult citizen of the United States, currently residing in the State of Massachusetts, and at all times relevant herein was a member and Chairman of the Center for Development Policy Commission on United States-Central American Relations, which organization is located and does business in the City of Washington, District of Columbia. COUNT I Libel 4. On or about February 2, 1984, at a "news" confer- ence initiated by White in the City of Washington, District of Columbia, White authored, published, circulated and caused to be disseminated to the news media a written "oral state- ment" (the statement), which among other things, included the following statements of and concerning Muyshondt. For three years the administration has known the names and involvement of several wealthy Salvadoran exiles living in Miami, Florida, who organize, fund and direct right wing death squads. For three years we have known that Robert D'Aubuisson planned and ordered the assassination of Archbishop Romero. The cables giving this evidence against D'Aubuisson, the Miami exiles, and ARENA exist. I have known, the State Department has known, the Pentagon has known, and the White House has known. If the Kissinger Commission was not shown these cables, the members were used in a shameless fashion, and their report can be consigned to the wastebasket. 950 -3- For fifty years, El Salvador was ruled by a corrupt and brutal alliance of the rich and the military. The young officers revolt of 1979 attempted to break the alliance. It was the Reagan renewed tolerance and acceptance of the extreme right which led to the emergence of the National Republican Alliance, ARENA, and the rise of ex-Major Roberto D'Aubuisson. ARENA is a violent fascist party modeled after the Nazis and certain revolutionary communist groups. ARENA has not only a civilian party structure but also a military arm obedient to the party. The founders and chief supporters of ARENA are rich Salvadoran exiles headquartered in Miami and civilian activists in El Salvador. ARENA's military arm comprises officers and men of the Salvadoran army and Security Forces. Many of its most effective militants in the military are not formal party members. My embassy devoted considerable resources to identifying the sources of right wing violence and their contacts in Miami, Florida. Information on the Salvadoran exiles residing in Miami proved particularly difficult to develop; however, in January 1981 we located a source who was regarded by the Miami group as one of them. They 'spoke to this person freely and he participated in some of their strategy sessions. When he referred to the Miami millionaires--- the Miami six--the source called these men "scum" (escoria). He said he had talked to wealthy people here who have been interrogated and threatened in Miami--such younger businessmen/lawyers as (names deleted) and others--people who have decided to stay on and work for the country, to keep their businesses and factories open, to cooperate with the government while criticizing its inefficiency and hostility to the private sector. These men have been called to Miami and seated at the end of a long table, facing the "six" and made to answer such questions as "Why are you contributing to the communist victory by keeping your business open?" or "Why do you do the work of the communist agents White and Bowdler?" ( The reference is to former Assistant-Secretary William Bowdler.) 951 -4- The Miami six explained to him that to rebuild the country it must first be destroyed totally, the economy must be wrecked, unemployment must be massive, the Junta must be ousted and a "good" military officer brought to power who will carry out a total cleansing (limpieza), killing three or four or five hundred thousand people. Last, the "six" made the following threat: "Unless you close down your factory/business, get out of the country, stop working for Alianza Produc- tiva, INCAFE, American Embassy, etc., you will be sorry. who are these madmen and how do they operate? The principal figures are six enormously wealthy former land owners. He continued that central power was exercised by the Miami "six," noting that others among the emigres and their wealthy allies here have some role from time to time but the top leadership is Viera Altimirano, Luis Escalante, Arturo Muyshondt, the Salaverria brothers (probably Julio and Juan Ricardo), and Roberto Edgardo Daglio. All are in Miami. They hatch plots, hold constant meetings and communi- cate instructions to D'Aubuisson. The embassy has reported to Washington that rightist death squads are financed and directed by this group of self-exiled millionaires in Miami, and kill hundreds of thousands of Salva- dorans suspected of liberal or leftist sympathies. Roberto D'Aubuisson, it should be remembered, is the man the administration of President Carter classified, accurately, as a terrorist, a murderer, and a leader of death squads. Yet from the first days in office the Reagan White House knew--beyond any reasonable doubt-- that Roberto D'Aubuisson planned and ordered the assassination of Archbishop Oscar Arnulfo Romero. According to an eye witness account, Roberto D'Aubuisson summoned a group of about twelve men to a safe house, presided over the meeting, announced the decision to assassinate the Arch- bishop and supervised the drawing of lots for the "honor" of carrying out the plot. 952 -5- The officer who "won" the lottery was Lt. Francisco Amaya Rosa, a D'Aubuisson intimate. Amaya Rosa chose a military hanger-on and sharp- shooter named Walter Antonio Alvarez to fire the single bullet which ended the life of Archbishop Romero as he said Mass in the orphanage of the Good Shephard. Some months later, as ARENA's political cam- paign was getting underway, D'Aubuisson decided that Alvarez could not be trusted. He pronounced another death sentence. A four-man death squad went into action and executed Walter Alvarez as he stood watching a soccer game. The Reagan White House took on a great responsibility when it chose to conceal the identity of the Archbishop Romero's murderer and not to use the evidence gathered by the Embassy to write a finish to the political fortunes of ARENA and the ambitions of Roberto D'Aubuisson. Did the Kissinger Commission have access to embassy reports detailing the systematic murder of Salvadoran moderates by ARENA and the intimate collaboration which exists between high military commanders and death squads? A copy of White's Statement is attached hereto and incorporated by reference herein as Plaintiff's Exhibit A. 5. That the Arturo Muyshondt identified in the written statement published, circulated and disseminated by White on or about February 2, 1984 and referred to in Paragraph 4 is one and the same person as plaintiff herein. 6. The statements of fact of and concerning Muyshondt published by White and referred to in Paragraph 4 are false and untrue and constitute libel per se. 953 -6- 7. In publishing, circulating and disseminating the statement to the news media at the time and place referred to in Paragraph 4, White did intend it to mean that Muyshondt was and is a member of a "gang of six" El Salvador exiles living in Miami and is responsible for the organizing, fund- ing, and directing of right wing death squads in El Salvador, which kill hundreds of thousands of Salvadoreans. Further, White intended his statement to mean that Muyshondt inter- rogated certain wealthy people and certain unnamed businessmen/ lawyers and threatening them that "unless you close down your factories/businesses, get out of the country stop working for Alianza Productiva, INCAFE, American Embassy, etc., you will be sorry." Further, White intended his statement to mean that Muyshondt was a founder and is a chief supporter of an entity called ARENA and that through ARENA, Muyshondt funds and directs the activity of a Roberto D'Aubuisson, who White has accused of murdering Archbishop Oscar Arnulfo Romero. The persons to whom the statement was communicated in the United States, in El Salvador and in Central America under- stood White's words to have such meaning. 8. The defamatory written statement published, circulated and disseminated by white was made with the knowledge and intent that it be given and would be given broad and general publication and circulation in the United States, El Salvador and Central America and was calculated - 954 -7- to cause great injury to Muyshondt's reputation in that at the time of the publication of his statement, White knew or upon reasonable inquiry should have known that his statement of facts of and concerning Muyshondt were untrue and further, in making his untrue statement of facts of and concerning Muyshondt, White acted with malice toward Muyshondt. 9. At all times relevant to the publication of the libel identified in Paragraph 4 above., Muyshondt was and con- tinues to be, an honest and law-abiding person of good repute and up to the date of the publications of said libel had borne a good reputation in the United States, El Salvador and Central America. 10. As a direct and proximate result of the publishing circulation and dissemination in the United States, El Salvador and Central America of the untrue and libelous statements published by White as cited above, Muyshondt has been exposed to public hatred, contempt, ridicule and great danger of loss of life and/or bodily injury. Said defamatory and untrue statements have been a source of great personal danger, embarrassment and humiliation to Muyshondt, thereby causing Muyshondt to suffer distress of mind and mental anguish. Muyshondt's health has been affected and he has suffered and continues to suffer from acute nervousness and mental anguish. Muyshondt's reputation for honesty, integrity and as a law abiding person has been and continues to be and will continue to be impaired and damaged. 955 -8- Count II Slander 11. Muyshondt reaffirms, realleges and incorporates by Reference paragraphs 1 through 10 as paragraphs 1 through 10 of this count II. 12. On or about February 6, 1984, White voluntarily appeared before the House of Representatives Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs in Washington, D.C., and at which place and time did publish, circulate and cause to be dis- seminated a written prepared statement. White's prepared statement included statements of and concerning Muyshondt which statements are false and untrue and known by White to be or upon reasonable inquiry should have been known by White to be false and untrue when made. A copy of White's written prepared statement is attached hereto and incorporated by reference herein as plaintiff's Exhibit B. 13. On February 9, 1984, White appeared as a guest on a television program styled "From the Editor's Desk," (the program). The program originated in New York, New York and was a presentation of WPIX Inc. Mr. Daniel Henninger, Assistant Editorial Page Editor, The Wall Street Journal and Mr. William Rusher, Publisher, National Review, were panelists on the program and were located in New York, New York during the interview of White. White was located in Boston, Massachusetts during the interview. The interview was conducted via a closed circuit hook-up between New York and Boston, through 956 -9- which medium the interview was taped for future publication, circulation and dissemination to the general public in the United States, El Salvador and Central America. 14. During the course of the above described inter- view, Mr. Rusher asked the following questions of White and in response thereto, White made and acknowledged as true the following statements of fact of and concerning Muyshondt: WILLIAM RUSHER: "Mr. White, before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on February 2nd, you named six specific people: Viera Altamirano, Luis Escalante, Arturo Muyshondt, Roberto Edgardo Daglio and the sallaverria brothers, Julio and Juan Ricardo, as behind the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, of bombings of U.S. and Salvadoran firms, the death threats, the recent death squad murders. Are you prepared now, outside the protection of congressional immunity, to reiterate those charges?" ROBERT E. WHITE: "Oh, I have reiterated them many times, Mr. Rusher. The point here is not the immunity. The point is--though I want to clarify one thing. What I have repeated is the report that we sent from San Salvador in 1981, which listed these names from a source who was totally reliable." RUSHER: "Has this source been identified?" WHITE: "The source is a confidential source. You can't name sources in El Salvador, or they die." 957 -10- RUSHER: "Of course not. So you, then, are not making the charge against these six people, as I understand it, yourself. You are quoting a report sent from El Salvador on the basis of a confidential source, is that right? WHITE: "I'm paraphrasing the report. And the basic target here is the Reagan administration and their policies. And what I am doing is citing an example of the type of information they have, and which the administra- tion has not acted on. RUSHER: "Well, the Reagan administration may be your target, but these six businessmen undoubtedly feel that they are at least a collateral target." "Do you make the charge against them, sir, that they are responsible for the death squads?" WHITE: "I say that this information is reliable, and from a reliable source, and I believe it to be accurate, yes." RUSHER: "Yes, I am, I have seen reports of it, and frankly, that is precisely the kind of tendentious argumen- tation that worries me most about this--if you yourself, instead of circling around the question and commenting on the evidence, would simply make the charge, if you're so confident about it, that these six men in Miami are running death squads, and then put it to them whether or not they want on that basis to charge you in a libel suit." WHITE: "Oh, I'm glad to repeat that I believe the evidence that is accurate that I presented to the committee." A copy of the transcript of "From the Editor's Desk" is attached hereto and incorporated by reference herein as Plaintiff's Exhibit C. 958 -11- 15. On or about February 12, 1984, the program identi- fied in Paragraph 13 was given broad and general publication throughout the United States on various television networks and specifically was published and seen in Washington, D.C. on Channel 20, February 12, 1984. Excerpts therefrom and other news reports relating thereto were published and dis- seminated in El Salvador and Central America. The questions asked by William Rusher and the responses given by White identified in Paragraph 14 herein were included in their entirety in said program. 16. The Arturo Muyshondt referred to by Mr. Rusher, whose name and identity was acknowledged by White is one and the same as plaintiff herein. 17. The statements of fact of and concerning Muyshondt published by White and acknowledged by White to be true are, in fact, false and untrue and constitute slander per se. 18. In publishing and acknowledging as true, his false and defamatory statements, identified in Paragraph 14, White did intend them to mean that Muyshondt was behind the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, of bombings of U.S. and Salvadorean firms, the death threats and recent death squad murderers in El Salvador, and the persons to whom White's words were communicated understood White's publication and acknowledgement of same to have such meaning. 19. The slander of Muyshondt. by White was made with the knowledge and intent of white that it be given and would 959 -12- be given broad and general publication, circulation and dissemination in the United States, El Salvador and Central America and was calculated to cause great injury to Muyshondt's reputation in that at the time of the publication of his slander, White knew or upon reasonable inquiry should have known that his statement of facts.of and concerning Muyshondt were untrue and further, in making and acknowledging as true his untrue statements of fact, of and concerning Muyshondt, White acted with malice toward Muyshondt. 20. At all times relevant to the publication of the slander complained of herein, Muyshondt was and continues to be an honest and law abiding person, and up to the date of the publication of said slander had borne a good reputation in the United States, El Salvador and Central America. 21. As a direct and proximate result of the publishing circulation and dissemination of the untrue and slanderous statements by White as cited above, Muyshondt has been exposed to public hatred, contempt, ridicule and great danger of loss of life and/or bodily injury. Said defamatory and untrue state- ments have been a source of great personal danger, embarrassment and humiliation to Muyshondt, thereby causing Muyshondt to suffer distress of mind and mental anguish. Muyshondt's health has been affected and he has suffered and continues to suffer from acute nervousness and mental anguish. Muyshondt's reputa- tion for honesty, integrity and as a law abiding person has been and continues to be and will continue to be impaired and damaged. 960 -13- Count III Invasion of Privacy 22. Muyshondt reaffirms, realleges and incorporates by reference Paragraphs 1 through 21 as paragraphs 1 through 21 of this Count III. 23. On or about February 2, February 6, and February 9, White caused to be published, circulated and disseminated by way of the news and television media as alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14 respectively, statements which falsely and maliciously accused Muyshondt of the commission and continued commission of crimes of the most horrible nature. 24. The crimes and unlawful activity of which white accuses Muyshondt and which are denied by Muyshondt in their entirety are highly offensive to Muyshondt and to any reasonable person in that they wrongfully accuse Muyshondt and as a result thereby hold Muyshondt up to pubic hatred, contempt, ridicule and tend to violence and breach of the peace. 25. The crimes and unlawful activities of which White accuses Muyshondt a alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14 were delib- erately intentionally, willfully, maliciously and wrongfully made by White and known by White to be such at the time they were made by him. 26. As a proximate result of White's deliberate, intentional, willful, malicious and wrongful accusations as alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14, Muyshondt has been exposed to public hatred, contempt, ridicule, and danger of loss of life which has caused him personal humiliation, mental anguish and suffering and to be degraded and les- sened in the public esteem and will continue to be so in the future. 961 -14- Count IV Intentional Infliction of Emotional Distress 27. Muyshondt reaffirms, realleges and incorporates by reference Paragraphs 1 through 26 as paragraphs 1 through 26 of this count IV. 28. Because of the deliberate, malicious, defamatory and false accusations made by White of and concerning Muyshondt as alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14 of the complaint, White knew that emotional distress would result to Muyshondt and White intended emotional distress to result to Muyshondt. 29. Such deliberate, willful and wrongful statements by White as alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14 are outrageous and intolerable as they offend generally accepted standards of decency and morality. 30. As a proximate result of the deliberate, willful and wrongful statements by White of and concerning Muyshondt as alleged in Paragraphs 4, 12 and 14 of this Complaint, Muyshondt has been exposed to public hatred, contempt and ridicule which has degraded and lessened him in the public esteem and has caused him to fear for his life and therby caused him severe and emotional distress which has resulted in a constant and continuous state of nervousness which has caused Muyshondt loss of sleep and impaired health, and will continue to do so in the future. WHEREFORE, Plaintiff Arturo Muyshondt prays this Court for judgment against Defendant Robert E. White jointly and severally on Counts I, II, III and IV individually and in the aggregate for 962 -15- compensatory damages in the amount of $5,000,000 and punitive damages in the amount of $5,000,000 and his costs and disburse- ments incurred in this proceeding. Respectyy sybmitted, ect , Poielli Dello Arturo Mushondt Jerris Leonard, Esquire Daniel J. McGuan, Esquire Attorneys for Plaintiff Law Offices of Jerris Leonard, P.C. 900 17th Street, N.W., Suite 10 20 Washington, D.C. 20006 (202) 872-1095 VERIFICATION I, Arturo Muyshondt, being first duly sworn on oath depose and state that I have read the above and foregoing complaint and acknowledge that the statements contained therein are true and correct to my knowledge and belief. Williams Arturo Murshondt Washington ) SS District of Columbia ) Subscribed and sworn to before me this Filaay of March, Cheryl budoon 1984. Notary Polic My Commission expires March 1988 963 DOCUMENT INDEX Tab No. 1 Summary of Charges By Robert E. White Against Arturo Muyshondt 2. Request to Congressman Michael Barnes to appear before House Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs (March 5, 1984) 3 Father Francisco Estrada, S.J., Interview Memorandum 4 Monsignor Ricardo Urioste, Interview Memorandum 5 Father Jaime Vera-Fajardo, S.J., Interview Memoranda (two) 6 Honorable Alfredo Martinez Moreno, Interview Memorandum 7 Statement of col. and Dr. Mauricio Daniel Vides Casanova 8 Senora M.E. Augspurg de Muyshondt, Interview Memorandum 964 [TAB 1] 3501 TAE CHARGES BY ROBERT E. WHITE AGAINST ARTURO MUYSHONDT On February 2, 1984, Robert E. White, former Ambassador from the United States to El Salvador, issued a written statement which was prepared for delivery to the House Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs. On that day, he held a press conference in Washington, D.C. and issued the statement to the press, and actually appeared before the Subcommittee on February 6, 1984. Both prior to and after February 6, 1984, White held press conferences, made press statements, had discussions with media representatives, and on February 9, 1984, appeared on the Independent Network program, "From the Editor's Desk" in which he reiterated and reaffirmed the charges that he had made in the written statement prepared for the House Subcommittee. In the written statement, he identified six Salvadorean nationals, including Arturo Muyshondt and accused the six, including Muyshondt, of the following: 1. Being a member of the "Miami Six" and its "top leadership;" 2. "All are in Miami, hatch plots, hold constant meetings and communicate instructions to D'Aubuisson;" 3. The Miami Six are a "group of self-exiled millionaires in Miami; 4. The Miami Six "financed and directed the "rightist death squads;" 965 -2- 5. The man that the Miami Six control and direct "Roberto D'Aubuisson planned and ordered the assassination of Archbishop Oscar Arnulfo Romero." 6. The Miami Six are "responsible for the deaths not only of the Archbishop, but also of many Americans, including Labor Advisors Michael Hammer, and Mark Pearlman." 7. "Many people have been bribed to cooperate in their (the Miami Six) efforts to overthrow the Government, reimpose the status quo ante and kill hundreds of thousands of Salvadoreans suspected of liberal or leftist sympathies; " 8. "Two officials of the American Institute of Free Labor Development were targeted and murdered by rightist death squads," directed by the Miami Six; 9. "Anyone accused by them (the Miami Six) of being social reformers, whether Salvadorean or American, is a target for murder;" 10. The Miami millionaires "are scum (escoria);" 11. The Miami Six "have bribed politicians and military officers; " 12. The Miami Six "finance death squads and bribe the military to terrorize the campesinos;" 13. The Miami Six are the "force behind the psychopathic Major D'Aubuisson;" 14. The return of the Miami Six to El Salvador will "put the country into civil war;" 966 -3- 15. The Miami Six *would kill anyone who stood in the way of their plan;" 16. The Miami Six were responsible for "the recent wave of kidnappings of businessmen, the bombings of U.S./Salvadorean firms, the telephoned death_.threats, and the Sheraton murders; " 17. The Miami Six have called "younger businessmen/lawyers and others to Miami and seated at the end of a long table, facing the 'Six' and made to answer such questions as Why are you contributing to the Communist victory by keeping your business open?' or, why do you do the work of the Communist agents White and Bowdler?' (the reference is to former Ambassador White and former Assistant Secretary of State, William Bowdler);" 18. The Miami Six then "carefully explained to them (the people seated at the long table) that to rebuild the country on a new foundation, it must first be destroyed totally, the economy must be wrecked, unemployment must be massive, the Junta must be ousted, and a good military officer brought to power who will carry out a total cleansing (limpieza), killing 3 or 4 or 500,000 people, whatever it takes to get rid of all the communists and their allies;* and then the Miami Six will "return to preside over the reconstruction of the country on a new foundation...;' 19. The Miami Six made the following threat, "unless you close down your factory/business, get out of the country, stop working for Alianza Productiva, INCAFE, American Embassy, etc., you will be sorry;" 967 -4- 20. The Miami Six are responsible for the kidnapping of "fifteen businessmen and industrialists. The deaths of the AIFLD Officials 21. The Miami Six are "madmen;" 22, *The principal figures are six enormously wealthly former landowners who lost great estates in phase one of the Agrarian Reform... They also have liquid assets and foreign investments which combined, might be in the range of $200 to $500 million;" 23. The Miami Six "have always exercised decisive power in this country, and cannot believe that their day is over;" 24. The Miami Six tactics were "co-opt bright people from the middle class, bribe the top military leadership, kill anyone who made trouble." 25. The Miami Six "have continued to pursue these tactics in Miami, but on a far greater scale; for instance, they have bribed many military officers and politicians here and abroad to serve their interests." 26. The Miami Six "organize, fund and direct death squads through their agent, Major Roberto D'Aubuisson. 27. D'Aubuisson pursues the strategy of the Miami Six "to destabilize the country and overthrow the Junta, and using their tactics, bombing factories and offices, kidnapping businessmen... , murdering the intellectual leadership of land reform." 968 -5- 28. The objective of the Miami Six is to "terrorize those who are still working for a moderate outcome in or out of the Government, and to impose a rightist dictatorship." 29. The Miami Six failed in their last attempt at a coup, which "was a bitter defeat for the Six and they are in an angry, vindictive mood. Thus, it is very dangerous now for anyone they regard as a Communist collaborator' ..." 30. The Miami Six "are in Miami, hatch plots, hold constant meetings, and communicate instructions to D'Aubuisson." 31. The Miami Six are responsible for "the systematic . murder of Salvadorean moderates by ARENA and the intimate col- laboration which exists between high military commanders and death squads." 32. The Miami Six have "the responsibility for the mass murder which afflicts El Salvador officially sponsored terrorism in El Salvador ... 969 [TAB 2] 3506 LAWORCES OF JERRIS LEONARD A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION GUME 1020 THE FRAT BONO 800 SEVENTEENTH STREET, N.W. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 JERS LEONARD JAMES T. DEVINE KATHLEEN HEENAN MCGUAN (202) 872.100 TREX: 04OSOWS March 5 1984 Congressman Michael D. Barnes Chairman, Sub-Committee Western Hemisphere Affairs House Foreign Affairs Committee 709 Annex I Washington, D.C. 20515 Dear Mr. Chairman: On February 6, 1984, former United States Ambassador to. El şalvador, Mr. Robert White appeared before your Sub- Committee and testified, under oath, that Mr. Arturo Muyshondt was, among other things, a murderer, directed the death of Archbishop Oscar A. Romero, lived in exile in Miami, was a millionaire whose property had been taken from him for land reform and numerous other reprehensible, venomous, criminal, illegal, unethical and immoral charges. This firm represents Arturo Muyshondt and our client wishes to advise you that with regard to the above charges by White against him, that he categorically denies these allega- tions by White and is prepared to cooperate fully with you, the members of your Sub-Committee, and staff in documenting such refutation. He is prepared to offer irrefutable evidence that the accusations made against him are false and have no basis in fact. Please also be advised that our client respectfully requests an opportunity to appear before your Sub-Committee in an attempt to gain equal access to the media which carried the White allegations. We believe that a period of less than one hour will be adequate to present the rebuttal with documentation and brief testimony. You should know. Mr. Chairman, that this matter is most serious, as our client is satisfied that an attempt to assassinate Mr. Muyshondt on Thursday, February 24, 1984, was a direct result of the media credibility given to White's allegations by virtue of your receiving his allegations. It would be most unfortunate Mr. Chairman, if Mr. Muyshondt's welfare should be further endangered by his inability to receive equal treatment to that which you afforded to Mr. White. 34-045 0-84-62 970 LAW OFFICES OF JERAIS LEONARD Congressman Michael D. Barnes March 5, 1984 Page Two Please be in touch with me or Mr. Daniel McGuan of this office at your earliest convenience. Sincerely, La Land Jerris Leonard JL/ch 971 AFFIDAVIT OF MAILING I, Cheryl Hudson, do hereby certify that I deposited in the U.S. mail, 1st class, postage prepaid, a copy of the attached letter to Congressman Michael D. Barnes at 4:30 p.m. on the 5th day of March, 1984. Cheryl dudson Cheryl Giudson 972 I ! [TAB 3] 3509 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard interviewed by telephone, Father Francisco Estrada, who identified himself as the former Provincial of the Jesuit Order in Central America. I asked him if he knew Arturo Muyshondt Parker, and he indicated that he knew him extremely well and had for many years. I then questioned him with respect to his knowledge of Archbishop Oscar Romero, and if he knew of the relationship between Romero and Muyshondt. Father Estrada indicated that Romero and Muyshondt knew one another extremely well, that they had been in one another's company on frequent occasions. He characterized their relationship as "more than normal" in that there existed between them a "profound respect and admiration." He further stated that Romero was well aware of Arturo Muyshondt's concerns in attempting to resolve the problems of El Salvador in a peaceful way. I questioned him with respect to his role in the relationship between Romero and Muyshondt and he indicated that in 1979, Arch- bishop Oscar Romero had called him, Father Francisco Estrada, and asked him to represent the Archbishop in meetings and dealings with Arturo Muyshondt- Parker. The Archbishop indicated that he was very interested in Arturo Muyshondt Parker's views with respect to the economic problems of El Salvador and their potential solu- tions, but that he would not always have time to meet personally with Arturo Muyshondt Parker and asked Father Estrada if he would 973 - 2- serve as a liaison for the Archbishop with Muyshondt Parker. He indicated that he met on frequent occasions with Muyshondt Parker, both at his home and at Father Estrada's home. I next asked him what his views were with respect to the accusations of former Ambassador Robert White with respect to Arturo Muyshondt Parker being a member of the group of six Salvadorean exiles in Miami that were directing the death squads in El Salvador and specifically were responsible for the death of Archbishop Oscar Romero. That is impossible," responded Father Estrada. He then went on to indicate that he had known Arturo Muyshondt Parker since he was in the primary school, that he knew Muyshondt Parker's feelings about the problems of El Salvador and the alternatives to solving those problems very well, indicating that his knowledge and respect for Muyshondt Parker's views were particularly strengthened after he began representing Archbishop Romero in meetings and dealing with Muyshondt Parker. He indicated that at all times Muyshondt Parker had urged peaceful and non- violent solutions; that he knew of Muyshondt Parker's personal activities in El Salvador well enough to be able to state with assurance that Muyshondt Parker did not meet the description that former Ambassador White had given of the Miami exiles. He insisted that former Ambassador White . must have confused Arturo Muyshondt Parker with some other person and further said that he was willing to be called by any person and to go any place to tell what he knows about Arturo Muyshondt Parker and to defend him from the charges that had been made against him. 974 [TAB 4] 3511 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard interviewed Monsignor Ricardo Urioste, Vicar of the Archdiocese of San Salvador at his office at the Archdiocesan office in San Salvador. Monsignor Urioste acknowledged that he knew Arturo Muyshondt Parker and knew that he had on at least one occasion, had a meeting with Archbishop Oscar Romero. I then showed Monsignor Urioste a photocopy of the inside page of the Pastoral Letter of Archbishop Romero purporting to have an inscription from the Archbishop to Arturo Muyshondt Parker. Monsignor Urioste said that he indeed did recognize the handwriting of the Archbishop, that he had seen it hundreds of times and could attest to the fact that it was indeed, although not a good copy, the writing and signature of the Archbishop. He specifically identified the signature "0.A. Romero" as being that of Oscar A. Romero. I asked him to identify the document by placing the No. 1 with a circle around it.on the document and he did that. 975 9933228 a Cortina wa ? 2 - بره. به ن مل رہا ہے۔ L-1327 Cnc > 2 + ) Misión de la Iglesia enmedio de la crisis del País now EDOA RIPARDO ROSE TERO DEL ARDO BISPADO CUARTA CARTA PASTORAL de Monseñor Oscar A. Romero Arzobispo de San Salvador 976 "To Arturo to continue looking for better ways to serve our lovely country. Oscar A. Romero" THE CHURCH MISSION IN THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY- CRISIS August 1979 The Fourth Pastoral Letter from Monsenor Oscar A. Romero Archbishop of San Salvador 977 [TAB 5] 3514 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard personally interviewed Father Jaime. Vera-Fajardo, S.J. of the Society of Jesus, who identified himself as a Jesuit Priest, who was the Senior Resident at the Jesuit Residence in Santa Tecla, El Salvador. He described his function as being the "head" of the household of the Jesuits living at that residence. I asked him to identify a photocopy of a letter dated February 7, 1984, which purported to contain his signature and seal. He indicated that he indeed had prepared the letter and that he had signed it and placed his seal on it, and thereupon I asked him to again sign the letter as he had previously and he did so. I asked him if all of the statements contained in the letter were true and correct; he indicated that they were. I asked him if he was under any kind of pressure, duress or threats to make the state- ments in the letter or to provide this written declaration and he indicated that not only was he not under any duress or threat, but that he would be willing to travel anyplace, anywhere and affirm these statements. This interview took place in the offices of Arturo Muyshondt in the presence of the brother-in-law of Arturo Muyshondt, who served as an interpreter. 978 - 2- I further questioned Father Vera as to his knowledge of any relationship between Arturo Muyshondt Parker and Archbishop Oscar A. Romero. - He indicated that he had no direct knowledge, but that he knew that Father Estrada had spoken many times of the cordial and friendly relationship that the two men had, and that he was personally familiar with a statement that had been made by Archbishop Romero which expressed a very high and deep regard for Arturo Muyshondt Parker. When I questioned him about the form of the statement, that is, was it in writing or a tape recording, he requested that I not press him on that subject, but he explained emphatically, that there was in existence, proof that Archbishop Romero in his own words, had described a close relationship with Arturo Muyshondt Parker and described that relationship in terms of great admiration for Muyshondt Parker. He further stated that there was no question in his mind that former Ambassador Robert White had misidentified Arturo Muyshondt Parker. I then asked the interpreter to leave the room, and with the use of my Spanish-English dictionary and my limited Spanish, satisfied myself that Father Vera was under no duress of any kind and that the statements made in the letter, and the statements made with respect to Archbishop Romero's personal opinion of Arturo Muyshondt Parker were indeed, freely given and his own statements.. 979 1 . [TAB 6] 3516 IGLESIA DEL CARMEN SANTA TECLA EL SALVADOR. C. A. 7 de Febrero de 1984 De: Jaime Vera-Fajardo, S.I. Superior de la Residencia de PP. Jesuitas Santa Tecla EL SALVADOR, C.A. A: Quien Interese Por informaciones de la prensa tengo noticia de que al Sr. Artu- ro Muyshondt P., ciudadano salvadoreño, se le vincula de alguna manera a los llamados "escuadrones de la muerte" que operan en El Salvador. Conozco al Sr. Arturo Muyshondt desde hace muchos años, lo mismo que a su familia: mamá, hermanos, esposa e hijos. En los últimos años mi trato con él ha sido frecuente; semanal, por motivos de amistad. Po- dría yo considerarme como asesor religioso y espiritual de su familia. Conozco su pensamiento sobre la situación del país, sus principios éti- cos y su trabajo. Considero cotalmente falsa la acusación que se le hace de estar en conexión con los "escuadrones de la muerte". Sé de su dedicación al tra- bajo honrado, he alentado sus esfuerzos en este sentido, y me indigna que se le haya podido lanzar tal acusación. Por iniciativa mía personal, entrego al Sr. Arturo Muyshonde esta carta para que haga de ella el uso que crea conveniente en orden a pre- servar su fama. A quien tenga conocimiento de ella le testimonio la honradez cris- tiana del Sr. Arturo Muyshondt, la falsedad de la acusación que se le ha hecho y la honorabilidad de su persona. En fe de lo cual firmo y sello la presente Santa Tecla, 7 de Febrero de 1984 Có. are Aline ler Jaime vera- tos Tasachll. era-jardo, F.I. wao kao boj shell. 980 February 7, 1984 FROM: Jaime Vera Fajardo Senior Resident of the Society of Jesuits Santa Tecla - El Salvador, C.A. TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN: According to information received from the international press, I have learned that Mr. Arturo Muyshondt P., a Salvadorean citizen, has been allegedly linked with the so-called "death squads" that operate in El Salvador. I have known Mr. Arturo Muyshondt many years, as well as his family: his mother, his brothers, wife and children. In the last years my relationship with him has been frequently on a weekly basis, due to our mutual friendship. I would like to consider myself as the personal religious and spiritual advisor of all his family. I know his way of thinking on the situation of the country, his ethical principles and his work.. I consider totally false the accusation that has been made against him, of his connection with the "death squads." I know of his dedication to honest work. I have encouraged his efforts in that direction and I am indignant that this kind of accusation has been brought against him. On my own personal volition, I have given Mr. Arturo Muyshondt this letter in order to be used in whatever ,manner he deems con- venient to preserve his honest name. To anyone who reads this letter, I wish to express the Christian honesty of Mr. Arturo Muyshondt, and the falsehood of the accusation that has been made against his honor. As stated, I seal and sign the present letter. Santa Tecla, February 7, 1984 (Signed) Jaime Vera-Fajardo, S.J. 981 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard interviewed Father Jaime Vera-Fajardo, S.J. again at the offices of Arturo Muyshondt. Father Vera-Fajardo indicated that he had received a call about 2:30 in the afternoon from a person identifying herself as Carmen Lauela and stated that she was with the Center for Policy Development in Washington, D.C. and working for its Commission on United States Central American Relations. He indicated that she had interrogated him carefully, much along the lines I had with respect to his knowledge of Arturo Muyshondt Parker and that he had provided her with the same information that he had provided to me. 982 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, I interviewed Alfred Martinez Moreno in the library at the home of Arturo Muyshondt Parker. Martinez Moreno identified himself as a former Chief Justice of the Salvadorean Supreme Court and went on to detail a long career in international law and diplomacy, having served in numerous positions for the Salvadorean Government around the world. Martinez Moreno spoke excellent English and he and I communicated freely and without difficulty. Martinez Moreno first stated emphatically that former Ambassador Robert White had simply mistakenly identified Arturo Muyshondt Parker as a part of the group of Salvadorean exiles in Miami, indicating that he was personally acquainted with Muyshondt Parker, his family, his business activities, his personal assets, and that there was simply no way that the description in white's prepared statement to the House of Representatives Subcommittee could possibly have been a description of Arturo Muyshondt Parker. Martinez Moreno and I then had a lengthy discussion about Robert White, the Justice concluding that White's problem was that he came to El Salvador not as an Ambassador, but as a "Pro- Counsul," that he was abrasive, insulting and demeaning and obviously favored a leftist government for El Salvador. Martinez Moreno concluded by stating "White was a Pro-Counsul just like Caligula, the last Pro-Counsul that I can recall. I never liked Caligula either." Justice Martinez Moreno' indicated that he 983 -2- would prepare a written statement and was also willing, and most anxious, to appear before the House or Senate Committees to discuss the problems of El Salvador and actions that should be taken by the U.S. if El Salvador was to remain a free Democratic society. 984 [TAB 7] 3521 Col. and Dr. Mauricio Daniel Vides Casanova San Salvador, March 1, 1984 Mr. Atty. Jerris Leonard, Present I, Mauricio Daniel Vides Casanova, of majority age, Military man and Attorney, with residence in San Salvador, El Salvador, Central America, with Personal Identification Permit Number 1-1-015220, issued in San Salvador, the 21st of September 1978, before you respectfully disclose: that I have known Mr. Arturo Muyshondt Parker since infancy and therefore can attest to his exemplary conduct as a citizen, husband and father of a family, respectful of the laws and very humane in the treatment of his fellow men. In view of the above, I can assure in a categoric manner, that error exists in that declared by Mr. Robert White, ex-Ambassador of the United States in El Salvador, when he accuses Mr. Muyshondt Parker of being involved in the death squads" which operate in my country. In addition, I have read some publications of Mr. White which have appeared in the international press, in which it is stated that Mr. Muyshondt Parker is a millionaire banker, that he has been affected by the Agrarian Reform of my country, and that he resides in the City of Miami, Florida, United States of America, things which are completely false and which can be investigated by the proper authorities. (signed) col. and Dr. Mauricio Daniel Vides Casanova 985 Pnel. y c. Nauricio Paniel Pides Casanova San Salvador, 1. de marzo de 1984, Señor Abogado Jerris Leonard, Presente. Yo, Mauricio Daniel Vides Casanova, mayor de edad, Militar y Abogado, con domicilio en San Salvador, El Salvador, Centro América, con Cédula de Identi- dad Personal número 1-1-015220, extendida en San Salvador, el día 21 de septiembre de 1978, ante - usted respetuosamente expongo; que conozco al se- ñor Arturo Muyshondt Parker desde su infancia, por lo que puedo dar fe de su conducta ejemplar como = ciudadano, esposo y padre de familia, respetuoso de las leyes y muy humano en el trato con sus se- mejantes. En vista de lo anterior, puedo asegurar en forma categorica, que existe un error en lo afirmado por el señor Roberto White, ex-Embajador de los Esta- dos Unidos en El Salvador, cuando acusa al señor - Muyshondt Parker de estar vinculado a los "escua- drones de la muerte" que operan en mi país. Por otra parte, he leído algunas publicaciones 34-045 0-84-63 986 del señor White aparecidas en la prensa internacio nal, en las que afirma que el señor Muyshondt Par- ker es un banquero millonario, que ha sido afectd- do por la Reforma Agraria de mi país y que reside en la ciudad de Miami, Florida, Estados Unidos de América, cosas que son completamente falsas, lo - cual puede ser investigado ante las autoridades competentes. De usted con toda consideración, ? Chel. y Dr. Maurtúto Daniel Vides Casanova. 987 [TAB 8] 3524 INTERVIEW MEMORANDUM March 2, 1984 On February 24, 1984, Jerris Leonard interviewed Maria Elena Augspurg De Muyshondt, wife of Arturo Muyshondt Parker. She indicated that she had known Arturo Muyshondt for the past 22 years, that they were married in 1971, that they had three children, Arturo Wolfgang Muyshondt Augspurg, age 10, Maria Elena Muyshondt Augspurg, age 9, and Juan Carlos Muyshondt Augspurg, age 5. She stated that she had read the statement of Robert White, given to the House Subcommittee and that the statement was totally false. She indicated that the description of her husband's activities as outlined in the White paper, simply could not be substantiated, and that of her own knowledge, she knew that he did not spend the kind of time in Miami and in the activities indicated that white charged him of. She further indicated that her husband was not a man of violence, that he had continued to speak out for and support non- violent solutions to the problems of El Salvador, that he was not "right wing," but was viewed as one who believed strongly in the private sector, but that his views were moderate when it came to such things as programs. to assist the very poor of El Salvador. She further stated that although her husband believed that land reform was a "political gimmick," and basically unsound, that she had often heard him state that it was a fact and now the problem was to find the ways to make it work. 988 She indicated that her family had never been associated with any violent activity, and that she was deeply upset about the attempted assassination of her husband the night before She indicated that her two older children were aware that on or about the 2nd of February, charges were made against their father as having been involved with death squads, killings and the killing of Archbishop Romero. She indicated that she has told the children as little as possible, but has been required to explain some of the circumstances to them. She has noticed a marked concern on their part for their father's welfare, and for the welfare of the family. She stated that she is frankly afraid for her own safety and the safety of her husband and children. Senator HELMS. Mr. White, do you wish to go next? Ambassador WHITE. That is up to you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Phil- lips can go next, or I can go. Whatever you wish me to do. Senator HELMS. Why do you not go now? STATEMENT OF HON. ROBERT WHITE, WARBURG PROFESSOR OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, SIMMONS COLLEGE, BOSTON, MASS. Ambassador WHITE. Mr. Chairman, as you know, I had no ad- vance notice that Mr. Jerris Leonard was going to be here today. I had no advance notice that Mr. Arturo Mason was going to be here today. Nevertheless, I had already prepared a statement on Mr. Arturo Mason, and I will now read that statement. My purpose in relaying information about the Miami connection with the ARENA party and death squads to the Congress last month was to point up the fact that the administration had impor- tant information regarding the connection of Salvadoran exiles with death squads which it had not investigated. It has come to my attention that there may have been some con- fusion regarding the proper identity of one person named in the Embassy report, a report, by the way, which I did not prepare. While this information came from a proven source and was report- ed by a highly competent Foreign Service officer, human error is always possible. The name Mason occurs three times in the diaries taken from Roberto D'Aubuisson in 1980, but as a result of inquiries I have undertaken at the request of Mr. Jerris Leonard and Mr. Arturo Mason, I take the first opportunity available to me to point out that it appears that this source may have been in error by identify- ing the Mr. Mason involved in death squad activity as Arturo Mason. I made my statement to the Congress out of a sense of duty about information I learned in my official capacity. I have no wish 989 to injure anyone's reputation unfairly, and I recognize that the report I quoted may have named Arturo Mason erroneously. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Is that your statement? Ambassador WHITE. That is my statement regarding Mr. Mason, but I do have a statement on the substance of the issue here. Would you like me to go on with that? Senator HELMS. Sure. Start his clock over, please. Ambassador WHITE. I will ask, Mr. Chairman, that the entire report or my entire statement be included in the record. Senator HELMS. Without objection, it is so ordered. Ambassador WHITE. I will try my best to digest this. My purpose here, Mr. Chairman, is to try to consider our policy in El Salvador in terms of signals sent and received. On February 6, I testified before the Western Hemisphere Sub- committee of the House Foreign Affairs Committee regarding the involvement of ex-Maj. Roberto D'Aubuisson and wealthy Salvador ans in the intimidation and murder of Salvadoran citizens. I point- ed out that the Carter administration had classified D’Aubuisson as a terrorist and that the Reagan administration had reversed that ruling, and had in a very real sense created Roberto D'Aubuis- son, the political leader. The reaction of the Reagan administration was found in the New York Times the next day, February 7. Administration officials said the U.S. Embassy had lost contact with two key sources of informa- tion about the death squads since Mr. White left as Ambassador. The officials said losing the sources explained the failure to act against Miami-based exiles linked to the killings or against Mr. D'Aubuisson. The officials disputed Mr. White's coverup charge, saying the in- formation was far from conclusive, and in some cases had been con- tradicted by other Embassy reports filed after Mr. White's depar- ture. They said Mr. White's information had come from two Em- bassy sources that the Embassy had lost contact with. The officials said that the Embassy lost contact with the source of information about the Miami exiles when the U.S. Foreign Service officer who had dealt with him was brought back to the United States in 1982. The informant, afraid for his life, refused to talk with anyone else, and has dropped out of sight, officials said. These statements by officials of the Reagan administration are contrary to fact. Our officials have not lost contact with this impor- tant and reliable source on death squad funding by wealthy Salva- doran exiles. He is alive and continues to meet regularly with U.S. officials. On February 14 I gave his name and whereabouts to an officer of the Federal Bureau of Investigation, who in turn passed it on to the Department of State, regarding the primary source who linked D’Aubuisson with death squads and specifically with the as- sassination of Archbishop Oscar Romero. Administration officials said again, according to the New York Times, that the military of- ficer who implicated Mr. D'Aubuisson in the assassination of the archbishop was himself murdered in San Salvador about 2 years ago, "probably because of what he knew." Department of State spokesman Alan Romberg stated that the information available to us is limited and incomplete and no con- 990 clusions can be drawn from it. On March 2, Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick stated before a Senate Appropriations Subcommittee that some people in our Government who have a commitment to democracy in El Salvador believe there is real but nondefinitive evidence linking Mr. D'Aubuisson to the central death squads. She added, "I think that is what is true. I think it is nondefinitive, and it involves anonymous informers and that sort of thing." I note that between February 7 and March 2, the Reagan admin- istration progressed from its position that no conclusions can be drawn from available information to the point where certain mem- bers of the Reagan administration have concluded that real evi- dence exists to link D'Aubuisson to central death squads. Contrary to the statements of this administration, the evidence against D'Aubuisson is extensive and convincing. Contrary to Am- bassador Kirkpatrick's assertion, the sources for Roberto D'Aubuis- son's connections with death squads are not anonymous informers. If this source is dead, this source, his death is a recent occurrence. Certainly the Embassy cannot be said to have lost contact with the source 2 years ago. In my lengthy conversation with Judge Harold Tyler, it became obvious that the source for much of his report, prepared in 1983, relied on the same military officer who gave us the facts regarding Roberto D'Aubuisson. I have also given to the Federal Bureau of Investigation the name of the military source who provided vital information on death squad activities not only to my Embassy but also to Ambas- sador Dean Hinton and to Judge Harold Tyler. I point out that on March 3, 1984, the New York Times published an article by Stephen Kinzer reporting the statements of a high ranking Salvadoran Army officer regarding the integral links be- tween the military high command and death squads. While this of ficer has chosen to conceal his identity, I can assure you, Mr. Chairman, that I know the officer and have spoken to him at length. Indeed, I played a role in persuading him to speak out. In my opinion, this officer is uniquely qualified to comment on these matters, and I believe his testimony to be substantially accu- rate. I ask that this article be made a part of the record of this hearing today.1 Senator HELMS. Without objection, it is so ordered. Ambassador WHITE. Thank you. I would now like to turn to the case of the American mission- aries, and I want to emphasize that there is a coverup by the Sal- vadoran military, and there has been from the very beginning, and there has been complicity by the Reagan administration in this coverup from the beginning, and I quote in here a memorandum of a conversation which I wrote after Mr. John Bushnell, Acting As- sistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs, asked me to assert that there was progress in the investigation even though he knew that there was no serious investigation. In effect, Mr. Bushnell stated both positions could be held, that the investigation was ongoing and that it was not a serious investi- gation. I responded to this by saying that this was playing with 1 See page 1003. 991 words, and that either there was an investigation or there was not, and if there was not, that we should say so. I point out that both Mr. Bushnell and a Mr. Mullen from the FBI testified before con- gressional committees, including this committee, to the effect that a serious investigation was under way, and yet from my reports and from the reports of the legal attaché in El Salvador, they knew that there was no such serious investigation, and as you are aware, gentlemen, subsequent events have certainly borne that out. I now turn quickly to my last point, which basically stated is that the logical result of everything that we are doing in Central America leads inexorably to U.S. military involvement and combat troops. In October 1983, this country invaded Grenada. According to the Reagan administration, one of the objectives of the Grenada invasion was to send a message to the Soviet Union and Cuba. I am sure that those governments received the message. I wonder, however, if the Reagan administration considered the signal that Grenada sent to the military of El Salvador. The signal of Grenada to the Salvadoran military was simple and direct: You do not have to win on the battlefield against the revolutionaries. If you are in danger of losing militarily, we the United States, will send in combat troops to insure your victory, The major obstacle to a negotiated settlement in El Savador is the firm conviction of the Salvadoran oligarchy and hard line mili- tary that the United States will bail them out through direct mili- tary intervention. As long as this conviction is sustained by the di- rection of present policy, serious negotiations will never take place. Therefore in order to make clear the opposition of the Congress to this policy of intervention, I suggest that Congress approve a new version of the Byrd-Hatfield amendment barring U.S. combat operations in or over Central America. As long as the Salvadoran military believes in the message of Grenada, it will never negotiate. Preclude the possibility of armed intervention by the United States and they will quickly see the Sal- vadoran military adopt a positive attitude toward negotiation. This signal would be heard and understood. It would give an opportuni- ty to the moderates in the Salvadoran Government and military and the moderates among the revolutionaries to sit down and to begin the vital work of healing and reconciling the divided Salva- doran family. I do want to point out one last thing, that these telegrams given to the families of the nuns came from my Embassy. They were given to the families of the nuns under the Freedom of Information Act. There is nothing, absolutely nothing in these telegrams that could possibly jeopardize the national security of the United States, yet whole portions have been excised. I think this is one of the most shocking chapters in the history of American diplomacy. The Foreign Service of the United States has a primary obligation to protect American citizens abroad, and I suggest to you, sir, that we are not fulfilling our obligation under the Reagan administration. Thank you. [Ambassador White's prepared statement follows:) 992 ORAL STATEMENT BY AMBASSADOR ROBERT WHITE BEFORE THE SENATE SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS MARCH 20, 1984 MR. CHAIRMAN, MY NAME IS ROBERT E. WHITE. I AM WARBURG PROFESSOR OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AT SIMMONS COLLEGE, I CHAIR THE CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT POLICY'S COMMISSION ON UNITED STATES- CENTRAL AMERICAN RELATIONS, A PRIVATE GROUP WORKING FOR BETTER RELATIONS BETWEEN OUR COUNTRY AND THE COUNTRIES OF CENTRAL AMERICA. DURING MY FOREIGN SERVICE CAREER I HAD ASSIGNMENTS IN HONDURAS, NICARAGUA, AND EL SALVADOR, WHEN RESPONSIBLE OFFICIALS TAKE DECISIONS IN THE FOREIGN POLICY FIELD, THEY MUST CONSIDER CAREFULLY WHAT SIGNALS ARE SENT BY TAKING OR WITHHOLDING ACTION ON A PARTICULAR PROBLEM. THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION UNDERSTANDS THIS PRINCIPLE AND OFTEN EXPLAINS ITS INITIATIVES IN TERMS OF SENDING MESSAGES TO OUR ALLIES OR TO OUR ADVERSARIES. FOR EXAMPLE, WHEN THE UNITED STATES INVADED GRENADA IN OCTOBER OF LAST YEAR THE MESSAGE TO THE SOVIET UNION AND CUBA COULD NOT HAVE BEEN MORE UNEQUIVOCAL. LET US CONSIDER OUR POLICY IN EL SALVADOR IN TERMS OF SIGNALS SENT AND RECEIVED. THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION AND DEATH SQUADS ON FEBRUARY 6, I TESTIFIED BEFORE THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE HOUSE FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE REGARDING THE INVOLVEMENT OF EX-MAJOR ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON AND WEALTHY SALVADORANS IN THE INTIMIDATION AND MURDER OF SALVADORAN CITIZENS. I POINTED OUT THAT THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION HAD CLASSIFIED 993 -2- D'AUBUISSON AS A TERRORIST AND THAT THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION HAD REVERSED THAT RULING AND IN A VERY REAL SENSE CREATED ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON, THE POLITICAL LEADER. THE REACTION OF THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION WAS FOUND IN THE NEW YORK TIMES THE NEXT DAY, FEBRUARY 7; "ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS SAID THE UNITED STATES EMBASSY HAD LOST CONTACT WITH TWO KEY SOURCES OF INFORMATION ABOUT THE DEATH SQUADS SINCE MR. WHITE LEFT AS AMBASSADOR. "THE OFFICIALS SAID LOSING THE SOURCES EXPLAINED THE FAILURE TO ACT AGAINST MIAMI-BASED EXILES LINKED TO THE KILLINGS OR AGAINST MR. D'AUBUISSON. "THE OFFICIALS DISPUTED MR. WHITE'S COVER-UP CHARGE, SAYING THE INFORMATION WAS FAR FROM CONCLUSIVE AND, IN SOME CASES, HAD BEEN CONTRADICTED BY OTHER EMBASSY REPORTS FILED AFTER MR. WHITE'S DEPARTURE. THEY SAID MR. WHITE'S INFORMATION HAD COME FROM TWO EMBASSY SOURCES THAT THE EMBASSY HAD LOST CONTACT WITH. "THE OFFICIALS SAID THE EMBASSY LOST CONTACT WITH THE SOURCE OF INFORMATION ABOUT THE MIAMI EXILES WHEN THE UNITED STATES FOREIGN SERVICE OFFICER WHO HAD DEALT WITH HIM WAS BROUGHT BACK TO THE UNITED STATES IN 1982. THE INFORMANT, AFRAID FOR HIS LIFE, REFUSED TO TALK WITH ANYONE ELSE AND HAS DROPPED OUT OF SIGHT, OFFICIALS SAID." THESE STATEMENTS BY OFFICIALS OF THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION ARE CONTRARY TO FACT, OUR OFFICIALS HAVE NOT LOST CONTACT WITH THIS IMPORTANT AND RELIABLE SOURCE ON DEATH SQUAD FUNDING BY WEALTHY SALVADORAN EXILES. HE IS ALIVE AND CONTINUES TO MEET REGULARLY WITH UNITED STATES OFFICIALS. ON FEBRUARY 14, I GAVE HIS NAME AND WHEREABOUTS TO AN OFFICER OF THE FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION. 994 -3- REGARDING THE PRIMARY SOURCE WHO LINKED D'AUBUISSON WITH DEATH SQUADS AND, SPECIFICALLY, WITH THE ASSASSINATION OF ARCHBISHOP OSCAR ROMERO, AN ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL SAID, AGAIN ACCORDING TO THE NEW YORK TIMES, THAT "THE MILITARY OFFICER WHO IMPLICATED MR. D'AUBUISSON IN THE ASSASSINATION OF THE ARCHBISHOP WAS HIMSELF MURDERED IN SAN SALVADOR ABOUT TWO YEARS AGO, 'PROBABLY BECAUSE OF WHAT HE KNEW'." DEPARTMENT OF STATE SPOKESMAN ALAN ROMBERG STATED THAT "THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO US IS LIMITED AND INCOMPLETE, AND NO CONCLUSIONS CAN BE DRAWN FROM IT." ON MARCH 2, AMBASSADOR JEANE KIRKPATRICK STATED BEFORE A SENATE APPROPRIATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE THAT "SOME PEOPLE IN OUR GOVERNMENT WHO HAVE A COMMITMENT TO DEMOCRACY IN EL SALVADOR BELIEVE THERE IS REAL BUT NON-DEFINITIVE EVIDENCE LINKING MR. D'AUBUISSON TO THE CENTRAL DEATH SQUADS, SHE ADDED, "I THINK THAT IS WHAT IS TRUE. I THINK IT IS NON-DEFINITIVE AND IT INVOLVES ANONYMOUS INFORMERS AND THAT SORT OF THING," I NOTE THAT BETWEEN FEBRUARY 7 AND MARCH 2, THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION PROGRESSED FROM ITS POSITION THAT NO CONCLUSIONS CAN BE DRAWN FROM AVAILABLE INFORMATION TO THE POINT WHERE CERTAIN MEMBERS OF THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION, THOSE COMMITTED TO DEMOCRACY IN EL SALVADOR, HAVE CONCLUDED THAT REAL EVIDENCE EXISTS TO LINK D'AUBUISSON TO CENTRAL DEATH SQUADS. CONTRARY TO THE STATEMENTS OF THIS ADMINISTRATION, THE EVIDENCE AGAINST D'AUBUISSON IS EXTENSIVE AND CONVINCING. CONTRARY TO AMBASSADOR KIRKPATRICK'S ASSERTION, THE SOURCES FOR ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON'S CONNECTIONS WITH DEATH SQUADS ARE NOT ANONYMOUS INFORMERS. THE SOURCE WHO GAVE MY EMBASSY THE REPORT ON THE MURDER OF ARCHBISHOP ROMERO WAS A PARTICIPANT IN THE MEETING IN WHICH 995 -4- ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON PLANNED AND ORDERED THE PRELATE'S DEATH. IF THE SOURCE IS DEAD, HIS DEATH IS A RECENT OCCURRENCE, CERTAINLY, THE EMBASSY CANNOT BE SAID TO HAVE LOST CONTACT WITH THE SOURCE TWO YEARS AGO, IN MY LENGTHY CONVERSATION WITH JUDGE HAROLD TYLER IT BECAME OBVIOUS THAT THE SOURCE FOR MUCH OF HIS REPORT PREPARED IN 1983 RELIED ON THE SAME MILITARY OFFICER WHO GAVE US THE FACTS REGARDING ROBERTO D'AUBUISSON. I HAVE ALSO GIVEN TO THE FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION THE NAME OF THIS MILITARY SOURCE WHO PROVIDED VITAL INFORMATION ON DEATH SQUAD ACTIVITIES NOT ONLY TO MY EMBASSY, BUT ALSO TO AMBASSADOR DEAN HINTON AND TO JUDGE HAROLD TYLER. I ASK YOU TO CONSIDER THE MESSAGE SENT BY THE ADMINISTRATION TO THE DEATH SQUAD LEADERS OF EL SALVADOR AND TO THOSE RICH SALVADORANS WHO FUND THEIR ACTIVITES. THESE MISSTATEMENTS ON THE PART OF ADMINISTRATION SPOKESMEN ARE INTERPRETED BY THOSE WHO FUND AND PRACTISE TERRORISM AS A SIGNAL THAT THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION HIDES THE TRUTH IN ORDER TO PROTECT THEM AS ALLIES IN THE FIGHT AGAINST SUBVERSION. I POINT OUT THAT ON MARCH 3, 1984 THE NEW YORK TIMES PUBLISHED AN ARTICLE BY STEPHEN KINZER REPORTING THE STATEMENTS OF A HIGH RANKING SALVADORAN ARMY OFFICER REGARDING THE INTEGRAL LINKS BETWEEN THE MILITARY HIGH COMMAND AND DEATH SQUADS. WHILE THIS OFFICER HAS CHOSEN TO CONCEAL HIS IDENTITY, I CAN ASSURE YOU, MR. CHAIRMAN, THAT I KNOW THE OFFICER AND HAVE SPOKEN TO HIM AT LENGTH. IN MY OPINION, THIS OFFICER IS UNIQUELY QUALIFIED TO COMMENT ON THESE MATTERS AND I BELIEVE HIS TESTIMONY TO BE SUBSTANTIALLY ACCURATE. I ASK THAT THIS ARTICLE BE MADE PART OF THE RECORD OF THIS HEARING TODAY, 996 -5- THE AMERICAN MISSIONARIES LET US CONSIDER THE CASE OF THE FOUR AMERICAN CHURCHWOMEN WHO WERE DEFILED, TORTURED AND MURDERED BY THE SALVADORAN MILITARY, SINCE 1981 THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION HAS ROUTINELY CERTIFIED PROGRESS IN BRINGING THOSE RESPONSIBLE TO JUSTICE. YET THIS ADMINSTRATION HAS NOW REQUESTED THE PASSAGE OF A SUPPLEMENTAL MILITARY ASSISTANCE OMITTING ANY CERTIFICATION REQUIREMENT ON HUMAN RIGHTS PROGRESS AS RECOMMENDED BY THE KISSINGER COMMISSION, AND WAS TO INCLUDE PROGRESS ON THE CHURCHWOMEN CASE. BUT THE COVER UP BY THE SALVADORAN MILITARY BEGAN IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE MURDERS OF THESE FOUR WOMEN, TELEGRAMS FROM MY EMBASSY AMPLY DOCUMENT THE COVER UP, ON MARCH 5, 1981, MR. JOHN BUSHNELL, ACTING ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR INTER-AMERICAN AFFAIRS TESTIFIED BEFORE A HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SUBCOMMITTEE AS FOLLOWS: "MR. GOODLING: MY THRUST WAS TOWARD WHAT REPRESENTATIONS WE ARE MAKING TO THE EL SALVADORAN GOVERNMENT TO GET ON WITH PERHAPS A STRONGER INVESTIGATION AS TO JUST EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED. "MR. BUSHNELL WELL AGAIN, I DON'T WANT TO BE IN THE POSITION OF CRITICIZING INABILITY TO CONCLUDE AN INVESTIGATION. WE HAVE A SITUATION GOING IN ATLANTA WHERE I SUPPOSE PEOPLE ARE DOING EVERYTHING THEY CAN, BUT THEY HAVEN'T REACHED A CONCLUSION YET, BUT CERTAINLY OUR PEOPLE HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING THIS VERY CLOSELY AND I THINK THAT THEY BELIEVE THAT THEY ARE DOING EVERYTHING THEY CAN. (EMPHASIS ADDED.) 997 -6- ON JANUARY 22, 1981, A MONTH AND A HALF EARLIER, I RECEIVED A TELEPHONE CALL FROM ACTING ASSISTANT SECRETARY JOHN BUSHNELL. HIS STATEMENTS SHOCKED ME TO THE POINT THAT I IMMEDIATELY DICTATED A MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION AND SENT A COPY TO THE OFFICE OF CENTRAL AMERICAN AFFAIRS, BUREAU OF INTER-AMERICAN AFFAIRS (ARA), DEPARTMENT OF STATE. THE MEMORANDUM READS: "PARTICIPANTS: JOHN BUSHNELL, ARA AMBASSADOR WHITE, SAN SALVADOR DATE: 1/22/81 JOHN BUSHNELL CALLED TO TELL ME THAT ARA HAD FINALLY SUCCEEDED IN GETTING SOMETHING WHICH WOULD PASS FOR A POLICY STATEMENT ON EL SALVADOR FROM THE PEOPLE WORKING WITH SECRETARY HAIG. ACCORDING TO BUSHNELL, HAIG STATED THAT EL SALVADOR WAS A GOVERNMENT UNDER STRESS AND THAT HE THEREFORE WAS NOT GOING TO BE A PARTY TO ANY CRITICISM OF THIS GOVERNMENT. THIS STATEMENT ATTRIBUTED TO THE SECRETARY WAS IN RESPONSE TO ARA'S CONCERN ABOUT HOW IT SHOULD HANDLE THE PROBLEM OF HOW TO CHARACTERIZE THE SALVADORAN GOVERNMENT'S INVESTIGATION INTO THE MURDERS OF THE AMERICAN CHURCHWOMEN. BUSHNELL SAID THAT THE SECRETARY'S STATEMENT OBVIOUSLY CREATED A PROBLEM FOR ALL OF US. I RESPONDED THAT I COULD CERTAINLY SEE HOW IT CREATED A PROBLEM FOR ARA BUT THAT I DID NOT BELIEVE THAT IT CREATED A PROBLEM FOR ME AT ALL. I STATED THAT THE NEW ADMINISTRATION COULD IF IT CARED TO TAKE THE POSITION THAT WHATEVER HAD HAPPENED PRIOR TO JANUARY 20 WAS THE PROBLEM OF THE PREVIOUS ADMINISTRATION WHICH WAS MORE OR LESS THE WAY I INTERPRETED THE ALLEGED HAIG. STATEMENT. I SAID THAT HOWEVER MY ASSERTION 998 -7- THAT NO SERIOUS INVESTIGATION WAS UNDER WAY WAS IN MY OPINION ACCURATE AND THAT I DID NOT INTEND TO CHANGE IT. BUSHNELL STATED THAT IT COULD BE A PROBLEM FOR ME TO THE EXTENT THAT I WAS SEPERATED FROM THE DEPARTMENT ON THIS ISSUE I WOULD CREATE THE IMAGE OF BEING ISOLATED FROM THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE, HE WENT ON TO SAY THAT ARA HAD ONLY SAID THAT THERE WAS 'PROGRESS IN THE INVESTIGATION' AND THAT THIS DID NOT NECESSARILY MEAN THAT THERE WAS A 'SERIOUS INVESTIGATION', IN EFFECT, HE STATED THAT BOTH POSITIONS COULD BE HELD, 1) THAT THE INVESTIGATION WAS ON-GOING AND 2) THAT IT WAS NOT A SERIOUS INVESTIGATION, I RESPONDED THAT TO ME THIS WAS PLAYING WITH WORDS AND THAT EITHER THERE WAS AN INVESTIGATION OR THERE WAS NOT AND IF THERE WAS NOT, WE SHOULD SAY So. AMB/ID" THREE DAYS LATER I RECEIVED A CALL FROM THE PERSONNEL OFFICER OF THE ARA BUREAU IN THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE WHO INFORMED ME THAT HE WAS CALLING AT THE INSTANCE OF ACTING ASSISTANT SECRETARY JOHN BUSHNELL TO POINT OUT TO ME THAT NOW WAS A PARTICULARLY ADVANTAGEOUS TIME TO RETIRE FROM THE FOREIGN SERVICE. THEN, ON MARCH 18, 1981, BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, MR. FRANCIS M. MULLER, EXECUTIVE ASSISTANT DIRECTOR OF INVESTIGATIONS, FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATIONS, VOLUNTEERED THE INFORMATION THAT THE LEGAL 999 -8- ATTACHE IN EL SALVADOR BELIEVES "A CONSCIENTIOUS EFFORT IS BEING MADE TO SOLVE THIS CRIME." YET ON JANUARY 20, 1981 THE LEGAL ATTACHE IN SAN SALVADOR SUBMITTED A REPORT TO WASHINGTON WHICH MADE CLEAR THAT THE ONGOING INVESTIGATION WAS A HOAX, I SPECIFICALLY RECALL THE EXCHANGE BETWEEN THE LEGAL ATTACHE AND COLONEL ROBERTO MONTEROSA, CHIEF OF THE SALVADORAN COMMISSION INVESTIGATING THE DEATH OF THE AMERICAN CHURCHWOMEN, THE FBI AGENT POINTED OUT THAT VITAL STEPS IN THE INVESTIGATION HAD BEEN OMITTED, MONTEROSA'S DEFENSE WAS THAT "ONE MUST UNDERSTAND THE POLITICAL SITUATION IN EL SALVADOR." I NOTE ALSO THAT ONE OF THE MAIN CONCLUSIONS OF JUDGE TYLER'S REPORT INDICATED THAT ONE OF THE GUILTY MEN CONFESSED HIS INVOLVEMENT IN THE MURDERS TO NATIONAL GUARD OFFICERS, JUST DAYS LATER. THIS WAS CONCEALED BY THE NATIONAL GUARD AND THE KILLERS WERE TRANSFERRED TO CONFUSE INVESTIGATORS. THE REAGAN ADMINSTRATION CONTINUES TO COVER UP THE TRUTH IN THIS TRAGIC AFFAIR. HERE ARE COPIES OF TELEGRAMS WHICH MY EMBASSY SENT TO WASHINGTON. SENT TO WASHINGTON. THERE IS NOTHING ABSOLUTELY NOTHING IN THESE TELEGRAMS WHICH COULD JEOPARDIZE THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES. YET WHOLE SECTIONS OF THESE MESSAGES WERE BLACKENED OUT BEFORE THEY WERE GIVEN TO THE FAMILIES OF THE MURDERED WOMEN, WHO REQUESTED THE MESSAGES UNDER THE FREEDOM ON INFORMATION ACT. I REGARD THE CONTINUING COVER UP ON THIS CASE AS ONE OF THE MOST SHAMEFUL CHAPTERS IN THE HISTORY OF UNITED STATES DIPLOMACY. ONE OF THE PRIMARY DUTIES OF THE FOREIGN SERVICE IS TO PROTECT AMERICAN CITIZENS LIVING OVERSEAS. 1000 -9- IN THE NEW YORK TIMES OF MARCH 19, ANTHONY LEWIS HAS WRITTEN A SCATHING AND ACCURATE ACCOUNT OF THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION'S PARTICIPATION IN THE SALVADORAN COVER-UP. I ASK THAT THIS ARTICLE BE INCLUDED IN THE RECORD OF THIS HEARING, CONSIDER THE MESSAGE THE SALVADORAN HARD LINE MILITARY RECEIVE FROM THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION'S HANDLING OF THIS CASE. THESE OFFICERS BELIEVE THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION IS PROTECTING THEM FROM THE INSISTENCE OF CONGRESS THAT JUSTICE BE DONE. THE SALVADORAN PEOPLE ALSO RECEIVE A MESSAGE. IF THE UNITED STATES DOES NOT EXACT JUSTICE WHEN ITS OWN CITIZENS ARE VIOLATED, TORTURED AND KILLED WHAT HOPE IS THERE FOR JUSTICE FOR THE FAMILIES OF THIRTY THOUSAND MURDERED SALVADORANS. REAGAN POLICY DIRECTIONS RECENT ACTIONS BY THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION SHOW A NEW LEVEL OF DIRECT UNITED STATES INVOLVEMENT IN CENTRAL AMERICA, THE UNITED STATES HAS PLACED TROOPS INTO COMBAT ZONES ALONG THE HONDURAN BORDERS WITH EL SALVADOR AND NICARAGUA. AMERICAN PILOTS ARE FLYING RECONAISSANCE MISSIONS OVER REBEL-HELD TERRITORY IN EL SALVADOR. THESE ACTIONS LEAD INEXORABLY TOWARDS A REGIONAL WAR AND THE DIRECT INTERVENTION BY UNITED STATES MILITARY FORCES IN CENTRAL AMERICA, RECENT STEPS BY THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION INCLUDE: • A PERMANENT U.S. MILITARY PRESENCE IN HONDURAS; • A 350-MAN U.S. ARMY INTELLIGENCE BATALLION STATIONED IN HONDURAS TO FLY OV-1 MOHAWK RECONNAISANCE PLANES OVER EL SALVADOR; 1001 -10- • DEPLOYMENT OF A U.S. NAVY AIRCRAFT CARRIER GROUP OFF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST; • PLANS FOR CONTINUED U.S. MILITARY "EXERCISES" IN HONDURAS THROUGH 1988; • MINING OF HARBORS ON THE PACIFIC AND CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH U.S.-SUPPLIED MINES BY CIA-BACKED TERRORISTS. YOU CANNOT ACHIEVE PEACE BY FUELING WAR, THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION CANNOT GIVE AN ANSWER TO THE BASIC QUESTION: HOW WILL YOUR POLICIES PRODUCE PEACE RATHER THAN SIMPLY ENLARGING THE ZONE OF COMBAT? IN OCTOBER OF 1983, THIS COUNTRY INVADED GRENADA. ACCORDING TO THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION, ONE OF THE OBJECTIVES OF THE GRENADA INVASION WAS TO SEND A MESSAGE TO THE SOVIET UNION AND CUBA. I AM SURE THAT THESE GOVERNMENTS RECEIVED THE MESSAGE, I WONDER, HOWEVER, IF THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERED THE SIGNAL THAT GRENADA SENT TO THE MILITARY OF EL SALVADOR, THE SIGNAL OF GRENADA TO THE SALVADORAN MILITARY WAS SIMPLE AND DIRECT: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WIN ON THE BATTLEFIELD AGAINST THE REVOLUTIONARIES. IF YOU ARE IN DANGER OF LOSING MILITARILY, WE, THE UNITED STATES, WILL SEND IN COMBAT TROOPS TO INSURE YOUR VICTORY, THE MAJOR OBSTACLE TO A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT IN EL SALVADOR IS THE FIRM CONVICTION OF THE SALVADORAN OLIGARCHY AND HARD-LINE MILITARY THAT THE UNITED STATES WILL BAIL THEM OUT THROUGH DIRECT MILITARY INTERVENTION. AS LONG AS THIS CONVICTION IS SUSTAINED BY THE DIRECTION OF PRESENT POLICY, SERIOUS NEGOTIATIONS WILL NEVER TAKE PLACE. THEREFORE IN ORDER TO MAKE CLEAR THE OPPOSITION OF THE CONGRESS TO THIS POLICY OF INTERVENTION, I SUGGEST THE CONGRESS APPROVE A 84-045 0-8464 1002 -11- NEW VERSION OF THE BYRD HATFIELD AMENDMENT BARRING UNITED STATES COMBAT OPERATIONS IN OR OVER EL SALVADOR AND NICARAGUA. THIS AMENDMENT, IF SUCCESSFUL, WOULD CONSTITUTE A DRAMATIC CHANGE IN OUR REAL POLICY AS OPPOSED TO OUR STATED POLICY, THE LOGICAL RESULT OF OUR ACTIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA IS UNITED STATES MILITARY INTERVENTION WITH COMBAT TROOPS AND BOMBING MISSIONS BY U.S. AIR FORCE PLANES AND PILOTS. IF THIS ADMINISTRATION IS WILLING TO COVER UP THE COMPLICITY OF HIGH RANKING SALVADORAN MILITARY OFFICERS IN THE DEATHS OF THE AMERICAN CHURCHWOMEN, IF IT IS WILLING TO CLIAM THAT WITNESSES TO THE FINANCING AND DIRECTION OF DEATH SQUADS DO NOT EXIST, THEN I MUST CONCLUDE THAT THIS SUPPORT WILL ULTIMATELY EXTEND TO THE USE OF AMERICAN SOLDIERS AND AIRMEN. AS LONG AS THE SALVADORAN MILITARY BELIEVE IN THE "MESSAGE TO GRENADA" THEY WILL NEVER NEGOTIATE. PRECLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF ARMED INTERVENTION BY THE UNITED STATES AND YOU WILL QUICKLY SEE THE SALVADORAN MILITARY ADOPT A POSITIVE ATTITUDE TOWARDS NEGOTIATION, I URGE THE CONGRESS TO CALL ON THE ADMINISTRATION TO END ITS SUPPRESSION OF EVIDENCE OF MILITARY RESPONSIBILITY FOR DEATH SQUADS, TO PROHIBIT THE USE OF UNITED STATES COMBAT FORCES IN OR OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND TO LINK ANY ASSISTANCE TO EL SALVADOR TO PEACE TALKS BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT AND THE INSURGENTS. THESE SIGNALS WOULD BE HEARD AND UNDERSTOOD. THESE SIGNALS WOULD GIVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO THE MODERATES IN THE SALVADORAN GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY AND THE MODERATES AMONG THE REVOLUTIONARIES TO SIT DOWN AND TO BEGIN THE VITAL WORK OF HEALING AND RECONCILING THE DIVIDED SALVADORAN FAMILY. 1003 [From the New York Times, Mar. 3, 1984) DEATH SQUADS IN EL SALVADOR: EXAIDE ACCUSES COLLEAGUES (By Stephen Kinzer) A former Salvadoran military official has implicated high-ranking Salvadoran of- ficials and civilians in acts of terrorism, including Roberto d'Aubuisson, a leading candidate for El Salvador's presidency. The former official, who has served at the highest level of the security police in El Salvador, has given members of Congress extensive information on what he says are the inner workings of Salvadoran death squads, how and why they were formed, who directs and pays them and who selects their victims. THE SALVADORAN'S CHARGES He is believed to be the first officer with experience in the highest councils of the Salvadoran Government to accuse fellow officers publicly of violent political crimes. It was not possible to obtain independent verification of the accusations by the officer, who asked to remain anonymous because of fear of reprisal. But a United States Senator who interviewed him says he will seek an investigation of the charges and a Congressman says he is confident of the former official's veracity. These were among his charges: The network of death squads in El Salvador was shaped by leading Salvadoran officials, including Col. Nicolás Carranza, chief of the Treasury police, and former Minister of Defense José Guillermo García, and is still directed by senior officials. The man who organized and continues to direct the squads is Mr. d'Aubuisson, a former army officer. Mr. d'Aubuisson continued to receive a military salary through the late 1970's de- spite official accounts that he had been dismissed from the army. Money for rightist terror in El Salvador comes from Salvadoran exiles living in the Miami area. Government officials routinely ordered the police and soldiers to stay out of areas where political murders were about to take place and that they helped assassins get to refuges in neighboring Guatemala. Veterans of Nicaragua's deposed national guard were used in some killings car- ried out by Mr. d'Aubuisson's squads. Minister of Defense Eugenio Vides Casanova is personally directing a cover-up in the slayings of four American churchwomen in 1980 and that his cousin, a colonel, ordered the murders. I WOULDN'T WANT TO BE HIS PRISONER The officer making these charges was interviewed by The New York Times at a small hotel in the southern United States. He was known by journalists working in El Salvador in the late 1970's. Congressional staff members and Central America specialists who have interviewed him at length recently said they were confident of his credibility. In his interviews with The Times, he portrayed himself as a supporter of the Sal- vadoran Government and a vigorous opponent of the guerrilla insurgency that has enveloped his country. One of the two members of Congress who has met with him, Senator Paul E. Tsongas, Democrat of Massachusetts, said he was taken aback by the man's strong promilitary-sentiments. “Given the things he was saying, I expected some kind of liberal humanitarian," Senator Tsongas said. “What I found was one tough military veteran. I wouldn't want to be his prisoner.” The former official said he feared that if Mr. d'Aubuisson won the election on March 25, his presidency might provoke a break between the United States and the Salvadoran Government, thereby possibly aiding the insurgent guerrillas. He ex- pressed no sympathy for even the moderate left, calling the Christian Democrats Communist-oriented and corrupt and declaring that they were as great a threat to the country as Mr. d'Aubuisson and Colonel Carranza. He said he considered Mario Zamora, the Christian Democratic leader who was assassinated in early 1980, to have been "a Marxist agent who guided Christian Democratic youth into the hands of the guerrillas." The former official said he had known Mr. d'Aubuisson for many years and con- sidered him an "anarchic psychopath.” He said he feared that "uncontrollable vio 1004 lence" would consume El Salvador if Mr. d'Aubuisson was elected President, and that this fear was one of the factors that led him to divulge closely held secrets. Senator Tsongas said he would press the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, of which he is a member, to investigate each of the man's many charges about the involvement of the Salvadoran Government in acts of terror. Representative James M. Shannon, Democrat of Massachusetts, who has also met with the Salvadoran, said he was confident of his veracity. “He knew things that only someone who had access to the high command would know," Representative Shannon said. "He has the names and facts to substantiate what a lot of people have been saying.” Both Senator Tsongas and Representative Shannon are critics of the Reagan Ad- ministration's policy in Central America. Other people familiar with the Salvadoran and his allegations said he had been known for his differences with Mr. d'Aubuisson. They said he might also be motivat- ed by indications that young people close to him, possibly including relatives, may be developing ties to terror groups. In interviews, the former official spoke several times of the number of Salvadoran youths who he said were being turned into members of death squads after joining Mr. d'Aubuisson's political coterie. Allegations that death squads in El Salvador are tied to high military officers have been made before and have been cited by some Congressional critics of the Reagan Administration's policy in El Salvador. In recent months the Administration has made new appeals to Salvadoran leaders to press for an end to death squad activity. Vice President Bush and Secretary of State George P. Shultz have both visited El Salvador to present the Administration case, and both said they were convinced the Salvadoran Government was making a serious effort to curb political violence. The Salvadoran military command has publicly denounced the death squads, and military leaders have denied allegations that they are connected to violent acts. “The Death squads must disappear forever to prove our determination to combat them and our faith in the democractic process," Defense Minister Vides Casanova said in November. “All Salvadorans must oppose and denounce them so they will not only be illegal but condemned by everyone. But according to the Salvadoran now sharing information with members of Con- gress, General Vides Casanova and other important Salvadoran officers have or- dered or covered up acts of political violence. He said he had personal knowledge of these crimes because his Government post had put him in direct contact with top military leaders. He said his office had regu- larly received sensitive information detailing the officers' participation in violence and that the agents sometimes monitored the development of assassination plots formulated by officers. The present structure of rightist terror in El Salvador, according to the former official, grew out of the power struggle that erupted between reformist and conserv- ative military factions in 1979. After the October 1979 military coup, leftists gained a foothold in the Government and formed a loose alliance with reformist officers led by Col. Arnoldo Majano, a member of the revolutionary junta. Rightists led by Defense Minister García and Colonel Carranza, then his deputy, were alarmed at this alliance. Their campaign to outmaneuver Colonel Majano and force him and his allies from the Government, according to the Salvadoran, secretly included a series of terrorist acts. Rightist officers, he said, hoped to destabilize the country and create conditions for a countercoup. “García and Carranza asked d'Aubuisson to establish the Broad Nationalist Front with the object of supporting the armed forces and destabilizing Colonel Majano, who was becoming a problem for them,” the Salvadoran said evenly. “He did a good job organizing street rallies and took on the task of eliminating people.” Mr. d'Aubuisson was supposedly out of the army at this time, but according to the former official he was secretly still receiving a salary. In fact, he said, Mr. d'Aubuis- son actually received a substantial raise in his military pay during the time he was organizing the death squads in late 1979. “García and Carranza gave him their most suitable men in each part of the coun- try for his squads,” The Salvadoran said. “The goal was to make it seem that the revolutionary junta was incapable of governing, to create chaos so they could push Majano out. Colonel Majano was the target of sustained attacks from the right during his 14 months on the junta because of his support for land redistribution, nationalization 1005 of the banks and civilian control of the military. He is now in exile and reportedly lives in Mexico. The former military official said he had direct knowledge of the participation of Mr. d'Aubuisson, General Garcia and Colonel Carranza in the process of selecting death squad victims, many of whom have been trade unionists, student leaders, peasant organizers and others considered potentially sympathetic to the left. He said many of the men who carried out killings or kidnappings understood that they were acting on Government orders and that such a conclusion was reasonable because the police were cleared from the scene before assaults and full opportunities for escape were provided. GUATEMALA IS CALLED SCHOOL AND REFUGE Mr. d'Aubuisson is known to have gone to Guatemala regularly during 1979 and 1980, and, according to the former military official, he was in contact there with Mario Sandoval Alarcón and Leonel Sisniega Otero, the two leaders of the ultra- right National Liberation Movement, a Guatemalan political party that has been linked to political violence. The National Liberation Movement was formed in the early 1950's with the help of the Central Intelligence Agency to overthrow the left- ist Government of Jacobo Arbenz Guzmán, who fell from power in a C.I.A.-backed coup in June 1954. According to the Salvadoran, Mr. d'Aubuisson and his men moved freely between El Salvador and Guatemala. In many cases, he said, assassins would drive directly from the scene of a murder in El Salvador to an airstrip where they would board a private plane for Guatemala. Guatemala is the only country in Central America with a long history of death squad activity, and the former official said Mr. d'Aubuisson went there to learn how rightist squads were run. Trips to Guatemala after killings were also thought to pro- tect the killers from possible private reprisals and from questioning by Salavadoran agencies not involved in the plots. He said the Guatemalan Government was not fully aware of the extent of these ties and was not a party to the activities of the d'Aubuisson group, although its in- telligence agencies were aware that Mr. d'Aubuisson was active there. In Guatemala, the former military official said, Mr. d'Aubuisson met regularly with a small group of wealthy salvadoran exiles determined to oust the Majano fac- tion from the Government and repeal the legal changes that had cost many of them much money and positions of political influence. Members of his group regularly provided names of people they wanted killed, he said, and paid Mr. d'Aubuisson to carry out their wishes. “These exiles now operate out of Miami and still have the same relationship with the squads,” he said. "With Carranza now head of the Treasury police, there is no problem. According to the Salvadoran, the two most stunning political murders of early 1980 in El Salvador, those of Mario Zamora and Archbishop Oscar Arnulfo Romero, were both planned and carried out by Mr. d'Aubuisson with money from exiles in Guatemala and under the protection of General García and Colonel Carranza. At this time, the former official said, Mr. d'Aubuisson did not have a reliable team of Salvadoran killers and used veterans of Nicaragua's deposed national guard as trig- germen for both assassinations. The killing of Mr. Zamora, an outspoken activist who was a spokesman for young leftists in the Christian Democratic Party and who held a Cabinet post under the revolutionary junta, happened when Mr. Zamora was engaged in a public feud with Mr. d'Aubuisson. Mr. Zamora was killed by a squad that broke into his home on the evening of Feb. 23, 1980. Mr. Zamora's brother Rubén has become a leading spoksman for the Salvadoran revolutionary movement. He has said he believes Mr. d'Aubuisson helped plan his brother's murder. A month after the Zamora killing, Archbishop Romero was slain while saying mass at a hospital chapel in San Salvador. "As for the case of the Archbishop, d'Aubuisson simply ordered it after meeting with exiles in Guatemala,” the former official said. “He formed the teams, his men followed the Archbishop to learn his habits and he picked the four men who carried out the operation and the eight others who made up the security group.” 40 STICKS OF DYNAMITE ARE PRELUDE TO EXILE Colonel Majano lost political ground continually through 1980, and most of the leftists in the Government, including two key junta members, were forced from 1006 office. At one point, Colonel Majano ordered the arrest of Mr. d'Aubuisson on charges of plotting a coup, but Mr. d’Aubuisson was quickly released through the efforts of Defense Minister Garcia. As Colonel Majano drove near the Salvadoran Institute for Agrarian Reform on Nov. 11, 1980, a bomb made from 40 sticks of dynamite exploded just after his car passed. This assassination attempt was carried out by squads working for Mr. d'Au- buisson, the former official said. Two weeks after the car-bomb attack, six members of the executive committee of the leftist Democratic Revolutionary Front were kidnapped and killed, an action the former military official said was also carried out by squads working for Mr. d'Au- buisson. In mid-December Colonel Majano was finally forced to leave the junta. He fled into exile soon afterward. The Salvadoran was in a sensitive Government post when the four American churchwomen were killed in El Salvador on Dec. 2, 1980. He said his post gave him the opportunity to watch a coverup develop. American officials familiar with cir- cumstances at that time confirmed that the Salvadoran was well situated to see the inner reaction of the Government to the killings. He said the murder of the churchwomen was "an unusual case" that did not in- volve Mr. d'Aubuisson or what he described as “the normal structure.” “National guardsmen at the airport spotted the women, and they radioed for in- structions,” he said, speaking matter-of-factly and chain-smoking American ciga- rettes. "Two of the women were coming from a conference of Maryknoll nuns in Managua, Nicaragua, and the other two were known as suspicious. "The word came down to eliminate them. It came from Col. Oscar Edgardo Casa- nova, who was in charge in that zone. Salvadoran and American officials have said there is no evidence to suggest the five national guardsmen accused of killing the churchwomen were acting on orders. But critics, including relatives of the women, have expressed doubt that a crime of this magnitude would have been carried out spontaneously. Colonel Casanova is a cousin of General Vides Casanova, then chief of the nation- al guard and now Minister of Defense. Oscar Edgardo Casanova is now commander of the Salvadoran Army's Second Brigade, stationed at the western city of Santa Ana. He was transferred from La Paz, where the murders took place, weeks after the women were killed. His transfer was part of a shake-up that the former official said was principally designed to provide a pretext for protecting the women's kill- ers. According to the Salvadoran, the transfers sent a message to soldiers that they would be protected if they were implicated in crimes of violence. He said Colonel Casanova's involvement in the killing of the churchwomen was known to several people at high levels of the Salvadoran Government. "The men who did the killing have been promised that they will be freed through the judicial system, which means that they can never be put on trial again,” the former official said. “If they don't name Casanova, they will get out of jail as soon as it is feasible." KILLINGS SAID TO FOSTER MURDER AS WAY OF LIFE The former official said that the January 1981 killing of José Rodolfo Viera, who headed the land redistribution program that many wealthy Salvadoran landowners bitterly opposed, was carried out by men working for Mr. d'Aubuisson. He described the two men who have been accused in the killing, Capt. Eduardo Alfonso Avila and Lieut. Isidro López Sibrián, as "integral members of the d’Aubuisson gang.” Mr. Viera was killed together with two American labor advisers as they were dining at the San Salvador Sheraton. Lieutenant López Sibrián remains on active duty, and Captain Avila is “under the jurisdiction of a judge” while charges that he left the country illegally are investigated. The political party Mr. d'Aubuisson now heads, the Nationalist Republican Alli- ance, emerged out of the Broad Nationalist Front as a vehicle for candidates in the 1982 election in El Salvador. Mr. d'Aubuisson became president of the Constituent Assembly after the 1982 election and is now the Nationalist Republican Alliance candidate for President. According to the former official, Alliance money is routinely used to pay both campaign expenses for Mr. d'Aubuisson's presidential bid and expenses of death squads under his control. "He formed them and he runs them," the Salvadoran said of Mr. d'Aubuisson and the death squads. "Campaign contributors in Miami know that their money is going for both purposes, campaigning and killing.” 1 1007 Because Mr. d'Aubuisson's squads have operated with such impunity, the former official said, many Salvadorans have followed his example and taken to murder as a way of resolving political grievances, personal quarrels or financial disagreements. Violence is consuming the country," he said. He said the example of Mr. d'Au- buisson had led “to a geometric increase in murders" over the last few years. People see that all they have to do is go out and shoot someone and nothing will happen to them, he said. “Young people who want to do something for the country and for some reason are attracted to d'Aubuisson,” he continued, "go to his office and ask what they can do to help. Someone gives them a gun and the name of someone to kill. “It reaches the point where his hitmen get bored and ask him what operation they are going to carry out today. So he sends them out to kill a professor or throw a bomb at some union leader." He asserted that José Napoleón Duarte, the Christian Democratic leader and the party's presidential candidate in the election this month, was told while he was serving as Provisional President in 1981 that Colonel Casanova was the man who ordered the killing of the American churchwomen. But he said Mr. Duarte chose not to act on the information for fear that doing so might produce a violent reac- tion. Mr. Duarte has said he tried vigorously to pursue the case but was stymied by the military and a timid judiciary. [From the New York Times, Mar. 19, 1984] ABROAD AT HOME—Is THERE NO DECENCY (By Anthony Lewis) BOSTON, March 18.-Sometimes the character of a Government-its values, its sense of decency—is exposed by a single small episode. That has just happened to the Reagan Administration. The episode concerns the four American churchwomen killed in El Salvador in December, 1980. Over the years since then their families have tried to get effective help from the Reagan Administration in pressing El Salvador to act in the case. They have met frustration in the past. Now they have met what would have to be called mockery. When Congress became impatient at the failure to bring anyone to justice for the murders, the Administration decided to have a distinguished outside investigation of what was going on in El Salvador. Harold R. Tyler, Jr., a former Federal judge in New_York who had also been a high Justice Department official in the Eisenhower and Ford Administrations, did the job. Judge Tyler submitted a report to the State Department last Dec. 2. He told many people that he had deliberately kept out of it anything that could properly be con- sidered secret-so that the report could be made public. Nevertheless, State Department officials immediately classified the report as secret. They specifically refused to give it to the families of the murdered women, explaining that to let it out might jeopardize the trial of five former Salvadoran Na- tional Guardsmen who have been charged with the murders. The thrust of the report became known despite the attempt to keep it secret. Judge Tyler found that Salvadoran authorities had conducted a cover-up of the crime. On Feb. 16 a story by Raymond Bonner in The New York Times detailed his findings. "The first reaction of the Salvadoran authorities to the murder," Judge Tyler wrote, "was, tragically, to conceal the perpetrators from justice.” He said the cover- up began within a day or two of the killings. Judge Tyler found that the present Salvadoran Minister of Defense, Gen. Eugenio Vides Casanova, may have been aware of the cover-up. Since the Tyler Report, a former Salvadoran military official has said that General Casanova directed and continues to direct the cover-up—and that his cousin, Col. Oscar Edgardo Casanova, gave the order to kill the three American nuns and one lay missionary. With the growing American awareness of a cover-up in the case, the families of the murdered women and their lawyers renewed their request to the State Depart- ment for copies of the Tyler Report. Last month their lawyers got a letter from the office of the Department's Legal Adviser. It made a modest proposal. The proposal was this: The family members and their lawyers could ask for secu- rity clearances. If they passed that test, they would have to sign a "non-disclosure 1008 agreement" -a copy of which was enclosed with the letter. Then they could come to Washington and read the Tyler Report. The "non-disclosure agreement” required the families to promise that they would “never divulge” what they read in the report, for the rest of their lives, without prior permission from the State Department. Each family member also had to agree to this clause: "I hereby assign to the United States Government all royalties, remunerations and emoluments that have resulted, will result or may result from any disclosure, publication or revelation not consistent with the terms of this agreement." Would they sign? I asked William P. Ford, brother of Sister Ita Ford, one of the murdered nuns. "No," Mr. Ford said. “I think the agreement is outrageous. It is also an interest- ing device to silence us. Once they get us into the dark room, we can't say anything without worrying about finding ourselves in some kind of litigation. “The agreement requires silence for the rest of our lives. That is inconsistent with the stated purpose of not affecting the judicial process in El Salvador, which anyway is an obscene joke. Based on my conversations with people in El Salvador, if this case is going anywhere it is going sideways over a cliff. The way the Reagan Administration is behaving today in the case of the four churchwomen is consistent with its performance from the start. Three years ago Al- exander Haig, the Secretary of State, suggested to Congress that the women had been killed in "an exchange of fire.” That was an ugly falsehood about four un- armed women who had been dragged from their car, raped and murdered. Congress cared enough about those murders to specify last year that 30 percent of U.S. military aid to El Salvador could not be supplied unless and until “Salvadoran authorities have brought the accused to trial and obtained a verdict.” The Reagan Administration's answer is to participate in the Salvadoran cover-up, to ask for much more military aid and to offer the women's families a small part of the truth. Senator HELMS. Thank you, sir. Mr. Phillips. STATEMENT OF HOWARD PHILLIPS, DIRECTOR, THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS, VIENNA, VA. Mr. PHILLIPS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Senator Pell. Even as we meet today, a decision is being formed concerning the future of El Salvador, Central America, the United States, and the West- ern Hemisphere as a whole. Regardless of our Government's policy, some determination shall be made. Even if we default and seek, however temporarily, to isolate ourselves from the decisionmaking process, there shall nonetheless be a resolution to the region's crisis. The question being decided is simple in its formulation, but com- prehensive and inescapable in its implications. By whose values, by whose interests, by whose personnel, by whose systems, and by whose authority shall the region in which we live be governed, those of the Soviet Union and Marxism-Leninism or those of the United States and our heritage of liberty and faith? The battle has been joined. Our historic role as defender of the hemisphere from European colonialism and imperialism pro- claimed by President James Monroe in 1823 has been under in- creasingly effective challenge from the international Communist conspiracy. That is the reality. We may prefer not to recognize the implications of that reality, but we cannot escape from its conse- quences. The choice to be made by U.S. policymakers, especially the mem- bers of this U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on West- ern Hemisphere Affairs, is, shall we resist the Soviet invasion and try for increasing influence and hegemony in the Western Hemi- 1009 sphere, or shall we acquiesce in the asserted inevitability of their dominion and our defeat. It is doubtless true that our Soviet enemy seeks to exploit the re- ality of economic hardship, limitations on liberty, and human cor- ruption, but it is no less true that without resort to terrorism and armed revolution, our enemy would be unable to fulfill its geostra- tegic objectives in America's front yard. "There is no substitute for victory," correctly observed Gen. Douglas MacArthur. If the Marx- ist-Leninists pursue military victory while we strive merely for ne- gotiated stalemate, they may not fully and immediately realize their complete objective, but we by our acceptance of what they have already taken by force of arms will have moved them closer to their goals all the while limiting our own claims of interest. We must recognize that military force, not consent of the gov- erned, is the sine qua non of their success and the irreplacable un- derpinning of their claim to legitimacy, whether in Nicaragua, Cuba, or the Soviet Union itself. The prospect of a better life and the defense of the benefits now enjoyed by men and women who live in nontotalitarian societies in the Americas and elsewhere cannot be fulfilled unless we clearly understand and address the military threat posed to us by the Soviet Union and its allies. As the Kissinger Commission has reported, last year some 15,000 tons of military equipment was shipped from Soviet bloc countries to the Sandinistas in Nicaragua, who have been a source of support for the antigovernment guerrillas in El Salvador and elsewhere. In December 1983 alone, 4,000 tons of military equipment were shipped by the U.S.S.R. to Nicaragua. News reports and official sources have cited in detail the ongoing buildup of weapons and ammunition in Nicaragua and Cuba of a kind and quantity such that only the naive or the disingenuous would discount their ag- gressive potential, and while the immediate threat is in El Salva- dor, its ultimate object is neither Costa Rica, Honduras, Panama, Guatemala, Belize, nor Mexico, but the United States of America Under the Constitution of the United States, in article XIII, Con- gress is granted the primary authority to establish the policies by which we shall deal with the threat which now confronts us. One, it is necessary to promptly and sufficiently provide military assist- ance for El Salvador, to prevent any quick defeat at the hands of Soviet-backed guerrillas. Two, unless we are prepared to recognize and declare that an expansionist, fascist, colonial proxy regime in Nicaragua is at war with us and with our vital interests, we will be restricted from legitimately and effectively undertaking the actions which are necessary to prevent the ongoing implementation of the Soviet Union's empirialist design in Central America. Three, our policy must be more than one of delayed defeat in El Salvador and other nations which are under attack. We must have the affirmative objective of replacing by whatever means necessary the Communist junta which reigns by terror in Managua, Nicara- gua, and which is in a state of war not just with its neighbors and its own citizens but with the West as a whole. Four, once having acknowledged the threat and resolved to remove it, a necessary next step for Congress, which is sworn by oath to defend our Nation, is to promulgate a policy of opposing any further introduction of weapons and hostile forces into the } 1010 Western hemisphere by our external foe. To overcome the military challenge to our region's health, we must both bandage ourselves against further infection and apply a tourniquet to the wound which immediately threatens the wellbeing of the Americas. Although through the Panama Canal Treaties we have surren- dered our authority to independently restrict the flow of weaponry through that waterway without the use of force, we have not sur- rendered the principle of national interest and self-defense which enables us to warn troublemakers wherever they reside that we will do our best to limit the damage they do. Let us make clear that we will not permit Soviet bloc vessels which bear the implements of warfare to unload their cargoes in Central America or the Caribbean, and that we reserve the right to sink the ships which circumvent our embargo, and in order to pre- vent the incumbent tyranny in Nicaragua from becoming a perma- nent and larger challenge, as occurred in Cuba, let us promptly recognize and extend our support to an alternative government group which once installed in power will be a friend of the United States and of the moral values which have inspired western liberty, rather than a regime which seeks an artificial transplant of Soviet style despotism. A policy without purpose is a strategy for surrender. Our pur- pose must be to free our neighborhood of nations from the threat of external disruption, and to truly help our friends in El Salvador, we must do more than treat their wounds. Every bit as important, we must deny their present and prospective assailants a privileged sanctuary for war planning and weapon accumulation in Nicara- gua. Only in the context of such a policy openly declared and pub- licly supported can we act successfully to prevent further Commu- nist victories within range of our shores and our sealanes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Thank you, Mr. Phillips. I was going to defer to Senator Pell for his line of questioning, but I will proceed. First of all, comments by witnesses appearing before any con- gressional committee are protected by immunity. Members of Con- gress are immune to prosecution for any statements they may make in the conduct of the business of Congress. Now, I am not sure that I agree with this. I have always felt that I should not have the advantage over someone whom I may choose to criticize. Mr. White, I notice that you have used the forums of both the House and the Senate for your attacks on various people, and while I did not know what Mr. Leonard was going to say, I can un- derstand his indignation. I confess that I am puzzled by the se- quence of events. I learned just now that on March 2, the lawyers for Mr. Mason asked you for a retraction, but that the retraction came only today. Is there any reason why? If you knew that what you were saying was in error or probably in error, why did you wait until today? Now, you obviously had your statement prepared when you came here to retract, and I am just wondering why the delay. Ambassador WHITE. The delay, Mr. Chairman, was because we had to investigate and find out to the best of our ability whether or not the names listed were accurate. 1011 Senator HELMS. If you were sitting here in the chair and about to go before this committee, would you not say, if I were there, you would say, Mr. Helms, you have had 3 years to check, and you have been making these statements throughout. As a matter of fact, you talked about the “Gang of Six,” was it? Ambassador WHITE. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. You are immune now. You do not have to face the consequences of court action to what you say here. You are immune. But are you saying that you know for a fact that the other five are guilty? Ambassador WHITE. Mr. Chairman, I know for a fact that the names that I gave to the House subcommittee were the names stated in the telegram. This was the purpose of my testimony, to reflect the telegram which was sent from my Embassy to the De- partment of State. I reflected that telegram accurately. When Mr. Muyshondt through his lawyer brought to my attention that an in- justice might have been done, I immediately looked into this matter to the best of my ability, and in a very short time—that is, just a day or two ago—I found out that indeed there is a substan- tial probability that the source was in error. Therefore, I took the first opportunity I had for a public statement to correct that injus- tice to Mr. Muyshondt. Senator HELMS. You have really, and I am not cross-examining you, but from what I perceive to be, you have attacked the charac- ter of many people in the Reagan administration. Did you mean to do that? Ambassador WHITE. I do not attack character, sir. I attack argu- ments. I attack policies. I do not attack people. Senator HELMS. Well, I do not think we should engage in a debate about what is a character assassination. Ambassador WHITE. Well, sir, you are the one who brought up character assassination, and I am saying I do not. Senator HELMS. Well, I say that you do. Ambassador WHITE. Well, sir, all you have to do is cite to me, Mr. Chairman, any examples that you have in front of you. Senator HELMS. All right, I will put into the record what I think is character assassination. Now, let me ask you, what is your relationship with the Wash- ington-based Commission on United States Central American Rela- tions? Ambassador WHITE. I am the chair of that Commission. Senator HELMS. Have they assisted you financially in your inves- tigations? Ambassador WHITE. No, sir. Senator HELMS. You have been quite interested in the particular case of Archbishop Romero, and I assume therefore that you have also investigated the recent claims-and I do not know whether they are so or not-the claims of the former Salvadoran guerrilla, Pedro Lobo, who said that he and other guerrillas were responsible for the death of the archbishop? Ambassador WHITE. Yes, sir, I am aware of those statements. Senator HELMS. Have you investigated that? 1012 Ambassador WHITE. I am certainly to the best of my ability look- ing into them. I believe that it is a most unlikely claim, and I con- tinue to regard Senator HELMS. Why on Earth would a man say that he killed somebody when he did not? Ambassador WHITE. Well, sir, we do not know that that man exists. That is a pseudonym. Senator HELMS. Do you know a Roberto Nusen? I hope I am pro- nouncing it right, N-u-s-e-n. Ambassador WHITE. I do not believe I do, sir. Senator HELMS. You do not know him? You never heard of him? Ambassador WHITE. Not to my knowledge. Senator HELMS. He does not work for you? Ambassador WHITE. Excuse me. This is my lawyer, Mr. Edgar James. No, sir, he does not. Senator HELMS. May I ask the gentleman to identify himself for the record? Mr. JAMES. Yes. I am Edgar James. Senator HELMS. And you are a lawyer? Mr. JAMES. Yes, I am. Senator HELMS. Are you representing Mr. White? Mr. JAMES. Yes, I am. Senator HELMS. Do you feel that he needs a lawyer here? Mr. JAMES. A number of people have attorneys in the room. Senator HELMS. Well, I am not sure. Senator PELL. I think it is rather fortunate that he is here. Mr. JAMES. Thank you, Senator. Senator HELMS. To get back to Mr. Nusen, he has not assisted you with any of your investigations? Ambassador WHITE. No, sir. I have no idea who he is. Senator HELMS. So therefore he could not be the source of your information about the Miami gang? Ambassador WHITE. No, sir, in no way. Senator HELMS. My time is up. I yield to the Senator from Rhode Island. Senator PELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I would like to ask Father Hehir a question. Many of those in the religious community in my own State of Rhode Island believe we ought to cut off all military assistance to El Salvador. While I have worked to hold levels down, I have some basic problems with the total cutoff. This feeling is felt very strongly. I get picketed every Friday by a group of religious persons and others, and in fact have people in my office on a vigil right now. What do you believe should be the policy with regard to military ? cut it off or not Father HEHIR. As I indicated, Senator Pell, in my written testi- mony, in 1980 when the conflict was in a sense just beginning, the U.S. Catholic Conference, the bishops, took the position of opposing all military assistance to El Salvador. We never opposed economic assistance, but we did oppose all military assistance. We did it in light of the letter that Archbishop Romero sent to President Carter at that time asking that all military assistance be 1013 opposed. We continued and continue to this date to believe that military assistance is not the answer to the problems in Central America. The conflict, as you know, has escalated substantially on both sides. Last year in his testimony before the Congress Archbishop Hickey said that we recognize that, in spite of our attempt to cut off all military assistance to all parties from all sides, we have not been successful, and we recognized that some dimension of military assistance would be part of U.S. policy from last year on, until some kind of settlement. That is the position that we take again today. That is not a posi- tion that really encourages a great deal of military assistance, but it does not call for the cutoff of all military assistance. In terms of what we think the policy ought to be, in the testimo- ny I presented today we have argued that the United States has a unique diplomatic opportunity in the region, that our contribution to the settlement of the region ought to be a political-diplomatic settlement at a regional level, which requires political-diplomatic settlements within countries, and that that ought to be the pri- mary stated goal and policy, and not just the stated goal, but it ought to be daily visible in U.S. policy. There will be some military dimension, but we think it should be contained and restrained. We do not think the increase being asked for this year should be granted by the Congress, but we are not saying no military assistance under any circumstances. Senator PELL (presiding]. The choice that is presented to us is a pretty tough one, whether we go along with the administration's request-which is really I think pretty extreme in the amount of weapons and arms involved, perhaps permitting this government or whatever government is elected to control the situation or whether to knock it off entirely and let the revolution that you feel is there, but stalemated, come forth. Another is whether we pro- long the agony by doing what we are doing now. Those are really the three choices that we face. I was just won- dering what your reaction was to one thought that I have, which is that most countries in their history at some point or another have a revolution of sorts, particularly when too much power rests with too few. Perhaps it is your understanding that we are in the way of that inevitable process. What would be your thought? Father HEHIR. I do not know if I would understand it as an inevi- table process, simply because I become a little nervous with the concept of inevitablity in history. But I would simply rehearse what I think you know. Our definition of the problem from the bishops conference year after year before this committee has been a definition that says first of all, how you define the problem is enormously important to your policy. We have stressed again and again that there were more than enough human rights violations, more than enough in- justice in El Salvador and in other Central America countries to justify a drastic shift of social and political priorities quite apart from outside intervention. That has never meant for us that we have felt there was no out- side intervention. It is simply to say that unless one begins with the proper definition of the problem, which requires fundamental 1014 political and social change, you will not have a U.S. policy designed to meet the problem. Senator PELL. I wonder, from a philosophic viewpoint, it is some- what like ghetto schools. Once they begin to change, they change dramatically. I wonder if you could give a formula as to when x percentage of a country's wealth is owned by x percentage of the people, that then that country will tip. It is an interesting thought. Father HEHIR. I would not try to quantify a social process that way. I think I rely on a more general definition of the problem, which simply says that one must begin with the internal situation and then look at the regional, international dimension. Senator PELL. Thank you. Ambassador White, I am wondering if you would just recap for me. Let me make sure I understand what you said about the churchwomen. Do you believe that we do know, the U.S. Govern- ment knows, who the killers are, but is not saying? Is that your view? Ambassador WHITE. What I am saying, Senator Pell, is that the Reagan administration has known from the very first days that there was never a serious investigation into the death of the Amer- ican churchwomen, and yet they have routinely certified progress in this case. There will never be a conviction of any Salvadoran military in this case, because the essential structure of El Salvador is based on the fact that the Salvadorn military are above the law. And if one Salvadoran military person is convicted, then huge numbers of Sal- vadoran military will feel threatened by that conviction. So what I am saying is that the Reagan administration knows from the reports that I sent in right from the beginning that there was never any intention. And I have had the opportunity to talk to Judge Harold Tyler at some length and I have gathered from him the essence of his findings, and I believe that the findings of Judge Harold Tyler will bear out my assertion that the Salvadoran Gov- ernment has done everything it could to hamper the investigation into the death of the American churchwomen. Senator PELL. From your own knowledge, your own familiarity with the situation, do you believe that we know within the Govern- ment who gave the orders for the assassination? Ambassador WHITE. I think that the statement by the high-rank- ing military officer, the article which appeared in the New York Times, fits in with everything we know. It is undoubted in my opin- ion that Minister of Defense Vides Casanova knew from the very first days that the military killed the American churchwomen and that he knew who did it, and that he participated in the coverup. And the relationship between Vides Casanova and Lt. Col. Oscar Casanova, the man charged by the high-ranking Salvadoran mili- tary officer as responsible for giving the order to kill the nuns, would explain to a great degree why the military institution went to such lengths to exercise a coverup. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. My time has expired. Senator HELMS (presiding]. Mr. White, let me see if I understand what you are saying. You are saying, are you not, that Secretary 1015 Shultz, for example, is engaged in a conspiracy to cover up this thing; is that correct? Ambassador WHITE. No, sir; I am not saying that Secretary Shultz personally is participating in a conspiracy. I am saying that the Reagan administration has participated overall in a coverup, yes, sir, participated in a coverup in the sense that they have not- they have apologized for the Salvadoran military, they have apolo- gized for the Salvadoran court system. They have reported progress where there is no progress. I consider that Secretary Shultz is an honorable man. Senator HELMS. And he is Secretary of State, too. Ambassador WHITE. Excuse me, Senator. May I just finish? And I believe that one of the reasons that you now have a bill before you that does not include a human-rights certification is be- cause officials like Secretary of State Shultz would find it wrong to put their name to a certification that clearly affirms as true what is known to be false. Senator HELMS. How would you feel about certification, about a certification relating to violence on both sides? Would you like that? Ambassador WHITE. Yes, sir. Senator HELMS. So would I. Ambassador WHITE. I would be delighted. Senator HELMS. We agree on that point. Now, you never did answer my question about whether you are maintaining your statement that the other five of the gang of six are guilty, including one guy who has been dead for 2 years or more. Are you still saying they are all guilty? Ambassador WHITE. Let me repeat for you, Senator, what I said. I said that my statement before the House subcommittee accurate- ly reflects the telegram that came from my Embassy to the Depart- ment of State. I have accurately reflected the report that came into the Department of State. The source who gave us that information is a totally reliable source. Senator HELMS. Well, it was not all that reliable, because you just retracted it. Ambassador WHITE. Excuse me. There is always the possibility of human error. Whether he made—whether the source was in error or whether the officer was in error in transcribing the report, that is something that the Department of State, the Reagan administra- tion, should look into. My obligation was to report to the Congress on the official knowledge that I had of the existence of a report that named people who funded death squads. Senator HELMS. You are backpedaling a little bit. Ambassador WHITE. No, sir. Senator HELMS. Sure you are. Ambassador WHITE. No, sir, I am not. Senator HELMS. I was listening carefully to your answers to Sen- ator Pell, and every sentence contained a qualifier: I think, I gather, you know. And yet, whether you intend it or not, the per- ception that you have is that you are saying flat out that the Reagan administration, everybody—and I have to tell you, you are accusing them, in my mind, of being corrupt. 5 1016 Now, what are you doing? Where are you coming from? Ambassador WHITE. Well, that is your word, Senator, not mine. I have never used that word, and I think it is an unfortunate choice of words, I have to tell you. Senator HELMS. No, it is not unfortunate. It is right on target. Ambassador WHITE. Well, that is your opinion. I point out to you, sir, that the American churchwomen were killed in December 1980. This is 1984. The evidence against the military people—there is a confession. One of the participants in the murder has confessed. The Salvadoran Government has delayed and has delayed, and will never try those men. And the Reagan administration has gone along with this charade, and I think that is a shameful act. Senator HELMS. Well, of course, there are two sides to it. Now, if it is any comfort to you, I wrote to the President some weeks back and I told him that I thought he ought to lay out all the facts, all of them, on this business of the killings going on down there. So you are not alone in objecting to that sort of conduct. I do not think any civilized person is. I guess my point, sir, is I have never heard you say a mumbling word about the multiplicity of deaths, many times anything charged against the so-called right, the deaths caused by the left. Now, if you protested that I have missed it. Ambassador WHITE. Well, I have, sir. But I want to point out that my tax dollars and your tax dollars are not going to support the Salvadoran left and they are going to support the Salvadoran right. And we have a legitimate requirement, it seems to me, to make sure that our tax dollars do not go to fund death squads. Senator HELMS. Well, as I understand it, our tax dollars are going to try to ward off a takeover of Central America by the Marxists, as described eloquently by Mr. Phillips. Let me ask Father Hehir this question. You are here, as I under- stand it, representing the U.S. Catholic Conference; is that correct? Father HEHIR. Yes, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. What is the difference between the U.S. Catholic Conference and the National Conference of Catholic Bishops? Father HEHIR. There really is no difference, Mr. Chairman. The memberships of both are the same. The U.S. Catholic Conference is a civilly incorporated agency through which the bishops offer public testimony and conduct public policies. The National Confer- ence of Catholic Bishops is exactly the same group of people. That is the juridical internal title in the church. It is the same member- ship for both organizations. Senator HELMS. How about the relationship of the two with the bishops' conference? You will have to forgive this Baptist. Father HEHIR. That is all right. The bishops conference is the National Conference of Catholic Bishops and the U.S. Catholic Con- ference. For example, the administrative board of the bishops con- ference is in Washington these 3 days. They will meet a day and a half as the National Conference of Catholic Bishops and they will meet for a day and a half as the U.S. Catholic Conference. The membership will not change whatsoever in the meeting. My boss is the general secretary of the National Conference of Catholic Bishops and the general secretary of the U.S. Catholic Conference. 1017 Senator HELMS. I see. Now, is it correct that, under the canon law of your church, the Catholic Conference has no official status to speak for any individual bishop or for the National Conference of Catholic Bishops? Is that correct? Father HEHIR. Not the way I understand the canon law, sir, no. The National Conference of Catholic Bishops is juridically estab- lished in canon law. It is a national episcopal conference. Our national episcopal conference has voted to establish the U.S. Catholic Conference and to be named by it, and when I come here to testify, for example, I come here after it is approved within the channels of the U.S. Catholic Conference for the bishops in the United States. So no, at least as I understand your question, I do not think that is so. Senator HELMS. Well, let me put it another way. Is the Catholic Conference a separate corporate entity from the bishops confer- ence? Father HEHIR. When you start talking about separate corporate entities I hear the sound of law, and I am not a lawyer. I think I would have to ask our general counsel to answer that. I can answer it in layman's terms. The membership of both orga- nizations is the same, the president of both organizations is the same, the general secretary, who is the chief executive officer here in Washington, is the same. When you ask me "a corporate entity,” I can get you an answer from our general counsel. Senator HELMS. That would be fine. I do not want to make a big point of it. [As of the date of publication, the information referred to had not been supplied.] Senator HELMS. You and I both have the advantage of not being attorneys. Father HEHIR. I guess that is a help. (Laughter.] Senator HELMS. So you are really here representing merely your own opinions. You are representing whom? Father HEHIR. I never come to the Congress to represent my own opinions. I have been for 11 years the director of the office of for- eign policy affairs, the office of international justice and peace of the U.S. Catholic Conference. I came here to speak in the name of the U.S. Catholic Conference. We use different witnesses. Last year Archbishop Hickey came to speak in the name of the U.S. Catholic Conference. The question of the witnesses, to be honest, has a lot to do with whether we are on a panel or not. We usually do not put bishops on a panel. Senator HELMS. I appreciate your patience with me. Claiborne, would it be all right if I go on for a couple more min- utes? Senator PELL. Absolutely. Senator HELMS. I notice in your prepared statement you wrote: I have indicated that the USCC takes with great seriousness the perspective of the Central America church. No other institutional voice in the region has a more authentic claim to reflect the true aspirations and views of those people. 34-045 0-84-65 1018 When I read that, I was wondering if you had consulted the Nic- araguan Bishops Conference. Father HEHIR. Yes, we have. Archbishop Hickey, for example, last year when he testified before the Congress had just returned from consultation with the Nicaraguan hierarchy as a whole, a pri- vate extensive session. When Bishop Schlaeffer was here this year from Nicaragua, we met with him. We have regular contacts with the Nicaraguan Bish- ops Conference. Senator HELMS. That is interesting, because Bishop-what is his name-Pable Antonio Vega, he is the president of the Nicaraguan Bishops Conference; is that correct? Father HEHIR. Yes, he is. Senator HELMS. He was quoted in an interview saying: "The San- dinista government through its ideology and method is a Marxist- Leninist government." That is a direct quote. Do you agree with that? Father HEHIR. My understanding is that, as I say, we take our advice from the Nicaraguan bishops, and as president of the bish- ops conference I think he rather speaks with more knowledge than anything I have. I would not contest the judgment of the president of the bishops conference. Senator HELMS. Now, the bishop also said in this interview-and I assume he was quoted correctly. You never can be too sure, with some of today's journalism. He said: "There is total domination of the people. There is submission to a totalitarian and materialistic state, which at the same time does not respect human rights.” Do you agree with that? Father HEHIR. Well, as I say, I really have to listen to the presi- dent of the bishops conference. Senator HELMS. You do not disagree with it? Father HEHIR. I am not in any position to offer any alternative view of the problem. Senator HELMS. Then he said in the same interview-and I will not belabor this-he said: "In order to speak of free elections, it is necessary that the citizens have full knowledge of what they are choosing. The climate in which to conduct free elections does not exist, because the Government"--and he is talking about Nicara- gua—“because the Government controls the means of communica- tions.' I guess your answer if I were to ask you if you agree with that would be the same? Father HEHIR. Generally speaking, what we do with all the bish- ops conferences is to rely upon their judgments of the internal problems. We try to address the question of U.S. foreign policy as it affects the area. Archbishop Hickey last year in his testimony before the Congress cited a whole range of human rights concerns that we had within Nicaragua. I refer to that testimony in my testimony, and one of the reasons we did that was precisely because we had had rather extensive communication with the Nicaraguan bishops. Senator HELMS. Well, I appreciate your patience with me. Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 1019 Ambassador White, I would like to go to the question of the deaths in El Salvador. I know how shocked I was when I remember on my way back to the airport I passed two corpses in the street, in different places. In your opinion, what is the percentage of deaths from the left terrorists as opposed to those from the right? Ambassador WHITE. The great majority of deaths by terrorism, that is terrorism in the sense of torture, marching people off, kill- ing them for the mere suspicion that they are sympathetic to an- other side, the great majority of those are ascribable to the govern- ment, to the military death squads, and to military sweeps through the countryside. I would guess that probably the ratio might be 80 or 85 percent to 15 to 20 percent on the left. The left commits atrocities. Of that there is no question, that the left is guilty of unacceptable behav- ior, and particularly in these recent assassinations within San Sal- vador. I think it is a truly regrettable development, because it had seemed for a while that the left was maturing. When I was in El Salvador the left regularly kidnapped, regular- ly executed people, for example-just because they were bus driv- ers violating a general strike. But then after the revolutionaries came out and requested negotiations and said they were willing to sit down with the government and negotiate, and as things devel- oped through 1981 and 1982 and 1983, it seems to me that, from all I could find out, that the left was acting much more responsibly. They were taking prisoners and then releasing them to the Red Cross. And I felt that there had been a maturing. I do not argue they had become more moral, just that they had become more pragmat- ic and realized the terrible effect that these executions have on their public image. Now I do see this resurgence of killings and I condemn it. Senator PELL. I was struck by the fact that, of the 60 deputies in the parliament there, 5 have now been assassinated, 5 conserv- atives have now been assassinated in a relatively short period. How do you account for the fact that none of the deputies on the left were assassinated? Ambassador WHITE. Well, there are no deputies on the left. Senator PELL. Well, then I should say in the center. Ambassador WHITE. It is an important point. The military death squads operated largely inside San Salvador. As a result, they drove into the countryside those revolutionaries who were resident in San Salvador. One of the reasons that a peasant movement has developed countrywide is because the death squads drove the revo- lutionary talent into the rural areas. The Salvadoran military is increasingly stretched thin around to counter rural revolution. As I understand it, an independent left faction not related to the FMLN/FDR has begun a series of assassi- nations particularly against right-wing deputies. But I wrote, however, that Radio Venceremos has welcomed those killings, and I regard that as a retrograde step on the part of the left, and I again feel that it is most unfortunate. Senator PELL. What do you think can be done to bring a decent human rights situation or level of behavior, to El Salvador? Why 1020 should it have this really extreme form of death, of assassination as a matter of practice? Ambassador WHITE. The only way that this Government can stay in power is by killing those who oppose it. Just because a man is a military officer does not make his some kind of crazed killer. On the other hand, just because a man or woman is a revolutionary does not mean that they are wild Marxists. There are moderates in the military and there are moderates among the revolutionaries. In my view, the United States should urge the Government of El Salvador to accept the offer of the revolutionaries to negotiate. The minute that negotiations become a reality, that peace talks become a reality, you will find that the more moderate military officers will come to the fore and a restructuring of the Salvadoran mili- tary, which is basic to ending death squads, will take place. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator HELMS. Mr. Phillips, do you have anything further to say? You have been sitting there in isolation for about an hour. Mr. PHILLIPS. No, sir. I said what I had to say. But I would be pleased to respond to any questions that you may have. Senator HELMS. The Chair thanks you. Mr. Leonard? Mr. LEONARD. Nothing further. Senator HELMS. Father? Father HEHIR. Nothing further. Senator HELMs. Mr. White, do you have any further comments? Ambassador WHITE. No, thank you very much. Senator HELMS. Well, we thank all four of you for coming, and we especially thank you for your patience. It has been a long after- noon, and we did the best we could. Since there is no further business to come before the subcommit- tee, the subcommittee stands adjourned. [Additional questions and answers follow:] STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR HAWKINS Question 1. Can you confirm that $300,000 in MAP requested for Haiti were to be used to repair and maintain the ships used by the Haitian Government to interdict Haitians who are attempting to enter the United States illegally? Answer. Our expectation is that Haiti would use the bulk of these funds primarily for transportation, maintenance and communication equipment to assist the Navy not only in its interdiction of both migrants and narcotics but also in its search and rescue operations. We know the Haitian Government also wishes to improve its military communications equipment across the board among the three services, and might wish to use a portion of the funds for that purpose. Question 2. Given these potentially explosive circumstances, why is our aid to Haiti roughly one-half of that to the Dominican Republic? The two countries are roughly the same size in population; they share the island of Hispanola (pron: his pan Yo la) between them; they are strategically located in relation to the United States--yet Haiti has twice the population density, less arable land, and is in more serious economic straits. Answer. We believe that the level of development and security assistance to Haiti proposed by the President for fiscal year 1985 is adequate and appropriate to Haiti's current economic and security needs and fully takes into account the fact that Haiti is the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere. In proposing an increase in the levels of Development Assistance (DA) and Public Law 480 for Haiti in fiscal year 1985 we have taken into account GOH efforts during the past year in the area of fiscal reform, including compliance with a stiff IMF program, Haiti's record in the 1021 area of human rights and Haiti's continued record of cooperation in the areas of migrant and narcotics interdiction programs. Since 1982 our level of Development Assistance has nearly doubled. We believe this overall trend of increased levels to be more significant than a comparison of Haiti's aid levels with other aid recipient countries where our programs are designed to address different problems. Further- more, given absorptive problems, gradual, incremental increases are more effective- ly utilized than large aid increases. Because of human rights concerns (con ns also expressed by the Congress in Section 101(b) of the Continuing Resolution) security assistance to Haiti has been limited to very modest levels of IMET and MAP. The higher levels of economic and security assistance provided to the Dominican Repub- lic take into account the fact that the Dominican Republic is the largest functioning democracy in the Caribbean, that our assistance programs to the Dominican Repub- lic have been designed to address the quite different economic situation in that country, and that country's very impressive record in effectively using foreign aid provided by the United States and the multilateral donors. Question 3. Jamaican growers continue to export large amounts of marijuana to the United States (about 15 percent of total illicit imports). Why have you proposed no narcotics assistance to Jamaica? Answer. Both the Embassy and the Bureau for International Narcotics Matters (INM) have had recent discussions with senior Jamaican officials on anti-narcotic matters and have repeated the United States willingness to give favorable consider- ation to a Government of Jamaica request for assistance on a cooperative cannabis control program. The Jamaican Government, however, for its own political reasons, has thus far chosen to take anti-narcotics action chiefly using its own resources. A modest amount of U.S. assistance has been requested and provided to support Ja- maica's interdiction efforts, such as training and support of drug-sniffer dogs, which have been funded out of the INM training and Latin American regional budgets. Future requests of this nature will be similarly funded. Question 4. What progress, if any, has there been in the past year in working with the Jamaican Government to reduce the amount of Jamaican grown marijuana en- tering the United States? Answer. The Jamaican Government has recently stepped up its campaign against the marijuana trade, and has intensified manual eradication efforts to destroy can- nabis cultivation and enforcement efforts against trafficking by dynamiting illegal airstrips. Jamaican authorities reported that in 1983, fields with the potential to produce 298.4 MT of marijuana were manually eradicated, 35.4 MT of stockpiled marijuana were confiscated, and 11.36 metric tons were seized. While we are encour- aged by these efforts against production and trafficking, it remains to be seen whether the Jamaican Government will develop a systematic, islandwide program for the eradication of cannabis cultivation. Question 5. Considering the importance of the Caribbean as a transit area for illic- it narcotics entering the United States, why does your budget provide less than $900,000 in assistance to these island countries? Answer. The U.S. strategy to interdict the flow of drugs through the Bahamas is based on a joint operation of U.S. law enforcement agencies working with the Baha- manian Government, rather than on the provision of a substantial commodity pro gram to the GOCB. The National Narcotics Border Interdiction System (NNBIS), DEA, Customs, and U.S. Coast Guard, assisted by U.S. Air Force helicopters work together under Operation BAT to interdict drugs being transshipped through the Bahamas to the United States. The DEA estimates that 10 to 35 percent of the marijuana and 10 percent of the cocaine entering the United States are transported through the Bahamas. This suggests that the joint drug interdiction effort has been somewhat successful and that the importance of the islands as a transit point has diminished. In addition, our Embassy in Nassau continues to work closely with and receive the cooperation of the Bahamian Government on anti-narcotics matters. INM is prepared to provide commodity support to enhance the Bahamian Govern- ment's capability to work with U.S. agencies in the anti-narcotic effort. Our support, consisting of communications equipment to establish an island wide Bahamian police radio system, plus other equipment and funds to assist Bahamian law en- forcement agency field operations was included as part of a larger U.S. support package conveyed in a January 20 letter from Admiral Murphy to Foreign Minister Adderley (the letter included the offer of a radar balloon). The GOCB has the letter under advisement at the present time; when it agrees to the proposed support, we will begin the process to provide the equipment. Question 6. The INM Bureau is supposed to oversee diplomatic initiatives to combat international narcotics trafficking. What has the Bureau done in the past 1022 year to address this serious problem of off-shore banking in the Caribbean which is used to launder and shelter narco-dollars? Answer. As stated in the Federal Strategy, Department testimony and other docu- ments, responsibility for the off-shore banking aspect of the international narcotics control program is assigned to the Office of the Legal Advisor and the Department of Justice. ÎNM consults with the responsible attorneys in both Departments, re- ceives regular reports on their activities, and advises them of developments in nar- cotics trafficking. A similar request has been made separately by the Committee on Foreign Relations and the Office of the Legal Advisor is preparing a more detailed response on its activities in cooperation with Justice. Question 7. How much coca was cultivated in Colombia 4 years ago? Does the Gov- ernment of Colombia know the location of the major cultivations of marijuana and coca? Answer. According to the 1980 Narcotics Intelligence Estimate, an estimated 3,000 hectares were under cultivation with coca plants. The Government of Colombia is aware of the areas where marijuana and coca are cultivated. Question 8. The United States and Colombia have signed an extradition treaty. Has the Government of Colombia ever honored an American request for the extradi- tion of a Colombian citizen on drug trafficking charges? Answer. To date, no. Question 9. During the past 3 years, the United States has provided $24 million in direct assistance to Colombia and multilateral banks, in which the United States is the major contributor, have provided over $1.5 billion in low interest or no interest loans. At the same time, Colombia has continued to expand marijuana and coca cul- tivation and now rejects the extradition treaty. In your opinion, has Colombia been a good investment for U.S. taxpayers? Answer. We believe the assistance we have provided the Colombian government has been a good investment and has been an important factor in contributing to a disruption in the flow of drugs from Colombia to the United States. Under the Be- tancur administration, Colombian anti-narcotics activities have increased as reflect- ed by the high level of drug seizures by the National Police. They have confiscated and destroyed over 3,000 metric tons of marijuana during each of the three preced- ing calendar years, while manually eradicating more than 1,905 hectares of canna- bis and 4,351 hectares of coca. Cocaine seizures totaled 2,475 kilograms and 113 co- caine processing laboratories were destroyed in 1983. On March 11 of this year, the police raided a large complex of cocaine laboratories and destroyed and seized 11 metric tons, a world record. While the results in terms of drugs seized and destroyed are impressive, they represent perhaps 20 percent of estimated total production and trafficking. Question 10. What is the status of the Colombian marijuana/coca eradication pro- gram? How effective do you expect this program to be when initiated? If the Colom- bian Government does not follow through on its commitment to the pilot program, what will be the consequences for U.S. narcotics control assistance? Answer. The Colombian Government has decided to embark upon a program to test herbicide effectiveness in eradicating coca and cannabis crops and to determine if herbicides could be applied which do not adversely affect the environment and health. Should the testing program prove that herbicides can be effectively and safely used, the Colombian Government would make a policy decision on whether to undertake a comprehensive aerial eradication program. While we are hopeful the testing program and Colombian decision will present us with the opportunity to co- operate in support of a full eradication program, it would be premature to consider the possible scope or effectiveness of such a program. Continuation of U.S. assist- ance to the Colombian anti-narcotic law enforcement effort would be necessary as coca will continue to be transported from Bolivia and Peru to Colombia for conver- sion into cocaine no matter the effectiveness of an eradication program. If imple- mented. Question. 11. Have the revised United States-Colombian Extradition Treaty and the new Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty helped to combat narcotics trafficking be- tween the two countries? Answer. The new United States-Colombia extradition treaty is one of the most modern extradition treaties to which the United States is a party. It contains provi- sions which expressly encompass both trafficking and conspiracy to traffic offenses. In recent months, the United States has requested the extradition of a number of Colombians for narcotics trafficking. So far, the Government of Colombia has denied two such requests and has not acted definitively upon the others. Since the denial of those two requests, the United States and Colombia have been involved in an ongo- ing dialogue with an effort to make the treaty more effective with regard to the 1023 extradition of Colombian nationals to the United States. There is currently pending before the Colombian Council of State the internal legal issue of which branch of that government is empowered to make definitive legal interpretations of the extra- dition treaty. The new United States-Colombia Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty is not in force because it has not yet been ratified by the Colombian Government. If ratified, the United States hopes that it too will prove to be a valuable enforcement instrument. Question. 12. Other than the pilot program for crop eradication, what other evi- dence do you have of the government's commitment to combat coca and marijuana production and trafficking to the United States? Answer. In addition to the law enforcement action described in paragraph 3 above, we note that on March 11, the Colombian police raided what was the largest cocaine processing center ever found in any country? Colombia's police report the seizure and/or destruction of 14 sophisticated cocaine laboratories, the seizure of 11 metric tons of cocaine and cocaine base, 10,800 drums of precursor chemicals and fuel, numerous weapons, six fixed-wing aircraft and one helicopter. Question. 13. Since 1973, the United States has contributed over $76 million to Mexican effort to eradicate and interdict marijuana and poppies for opium and heroin. What have been the dividends for the United States on this sizeable invest- ment? What lessons have we learned from the Mexican experience and how is this knowledge being applied elsewhere? Answer. The eradication of cannabis and opium poppy cultivations reported by Mexican authorities and subsequent reduction in marijuana and heroin production demonstrates the dividends to the United States. In 1975 Mexico produced an estimated 6.5 metric tons of heroin and supplied about 87 percent of the heroin imported into the United States. The U.S.-supported Mexican aerial eradication program reduced Mexican heroin production to an esti- mated 1.39 metric tons in 1982, reducing the Mexican share of United States illicit heroin imports to approximately 34 percent. At the high point of the eradication program, 1977, approximately 10,000 hectares (24,710 acres) of opium poppy (enough to produce about 10 metric tons of heroin) were destroyed. In the period December 1981 to December 1982, the Mexican Attorney General's office (MAGO) reported spraying 15,956 opium fields totalling 943 hectares and 11,046 cannabis fields total- ling 788 hectares. Total eradication during this period, including manual eradication by the Army, is somewhat higher: 1,211 hectares of opium poppy in 22,772 fields. The Mexican program has been undergoing a transitional phase, in which the MAGO has been shifting its strategy to counter tactics by the traffickers, the latter including the growing of crops in smaller, less accessible fields, often at higher alti- tudes. Mexican authorities improved their eradication efforts in 1983, reporting the destruction of 2,472 hectares of opium poppy, double the 1982 level, and eradicating 2,666 hectares of cannabis, three times the 1982 level. The MAGO is now testing a new U.S. crop spraying airplane and boom, which early tests indicate can increase the efficiency of these narcotics eradication programs. The Mexico example shows that if a strong central government decides as a matter of policy to allow the aerial application of herbicide and effective govern- ment control over the countryside exists, an effective eradication program can be conducted. In such a case, U.S. assistance in the form of resources, technical aid, and enforcement cooperation can be especially effective in reducing trafficking. Question 14. Is there a foreseeable end to U.S. assistance to the Mexican Govern- ment for crop eradication? Answer. The Mexican Government in the early 1980's indicated it wished to assume full financial responsibility for the program. However, declining world oil prices and a heavy debt burden have created serious long-term economic problems, producing federal budgetary constraints on Mexico. Under these circumstances, Mexico will continue to require U.S. assistance for the foreseeable future to carry on an effective anti-narcotics program. Question 15. A key coca producing area is the Upper Huallaga Valley (UHV) lo- cated east of the Andes in the "high sierra" area of central Peru. The Peruvian Government has started a coca control program and, with AID assistance, a rural development program in the Valley. (A) What is the status of this effort? (B) Has it shown any results to date? (C) It has been reported that the government experienced unforeseen problems in starting up the eradication program. What were these problems and how has this affected the program? Answer. During 1983 the coca control effort resulted in the eradication of 703 hec- tares of illicit coca in the UHV. At the same time AID's development project in the UHV progressed in implementation. The AID project is designed to provide exten- 1024 sion services and agricultural credit to farmers who eradicate coca, and to help pro mote crop substitution. Initial startup difficulties resulted from a number of factors, including logistics and coordination problems resulting from the division of effort among several differ- ent Peruvian government entities. Peru's economic problems, compounded by the El Nino disasters, also diverted government attention and resources away from other priorities, including narcotics. With recent personnel changes and new steps to co- ordinate activities in the areas where both projects are focusing their efforts, the increased availability of crop substitution assistance and extension services should provide more incentive to farmers to eliminate coca cultivations this year. Question 16. The FY 1985 budget calls for a continuation of substantial narcotics control assistance to the Bolivian Government ($5.5 million). What justifies the con- tinued high level of assistance? Do you believe that President Siles Zuazo has a greater commitment to combat narcotics trafficking than his recent predecessors? Does he have the backing of the Bolivian military in this effort? Answer. We believe that we must be prepared to assist the Government of Bolivia as narcotics control efforts there are expanded. To do anything less would belie the seriousness of our intent. Therefore we are proceeding on the assumption that our ongoing efforts will be successful and that we will have continuing control and eradication programs underway in FY 1985 requiring substantial U.S. support. U.S. funds will be allotted and disbursed only in fulfillment of the coca control project agreements and as progress justifies. President Siles Zuazo has shown a greater commitment to combat narcotics traf- ficking than his recent predecessors, primarily by entering into agreements that provide for reduction of coca production by 20,000 hectares within five years, aug- mented enforcement efforts, and controls on legal coca to prevent diversion to illicit markets. The Bolivian Air Force has agreed to provide air transport services for special in- vestigation units. Additionally, the Bolivian Army has made weapons available to the special police force charged with narcotics control efforts and restoration of order in the Chapare. Question 17. About half of the proposed funds for Bolivia are intended for crop eradication. What is the status of the U.S. crop eradication agreement with the Bo- livian Government. What results have been achieved and what do you project as the maximum achievable reductions during 1984? For what will these funds be used if the crop eradication program is not fully implemented? Answer. A coca eradication directorate has been formed which will oversee the eradication effort. Given the absence of a security presence in the Chapare, eradica- tion has not yet begun, although several farmers cooperatives willing to cooperate in an eradication program have been identified. Eradication will only become possi- ble when a security presence has been established in the Chapare. Under the project agreement, the eradication goal for 1984 is up to 2,000 hectares, but the ability to reach that goal will depend largely on whether the special police force soon to deploy in the Chapare is able to establish government presence without substantial resistance. Should crop eradication funds not be fully utilized, the funds would be available for reprogramming to other areas where narcotics control efforts dictate a need for additional funds or returned to the U.S. Treasury. AID's RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR HAWKINS Question 1. Can you tell me what programs you are funding this year to address these problems (child health) in the Western Hemisphere, what the funding levels are, and what the nature of these problems is in this region? Answer. The Latin American and Caribbean region has experienced a consider- able improvement in infant and child health in the past 10–15 years. Infant mortali- ty declined from 85 infant deaths per thousand live births in 1965–1970 to 67 per thousand in 1975–1980. Similarly, deaths among children aged 1-4 fell from 8.5 to 6.3 per thousand in this time period. These mortality rates, however, are only statis- tical averages that do not differentiate changes in mortality by economic or geo graphical subgroups. In other words, while infant and child health is significantly better in Latin America and the Caribbean than in most of the developing world, certain countries in this hemisphere (Haiti, Bolivia, Honduras) and certain areas within countries (Brazil, Guatemala, Peru, Mexico) have mortality and morbidity rates equivalent to the poorest countries in Africa and Asia. Diarrhea and acute res- piratory diseases continue to be the major killers of children. Malnutrition, parasit- 1025 ic, viral and other infectious diseases continue to be major health problems for chil- dren and adults. A number of constraints impede both the improvement of health status and the development of effective health services. Financial resources in Latin America and Caribbean countries for health services are limited and not likely to increase in the short term. In addition existing health resources are not allocated efficiently. The high capital and recurrent costs of hospital based, curative health systems, which are limited to urban populations, consume a major part of the public sector health budgets in these countries. Therefore, primary health care services, which include the technologies to reduce infant and child mortality, remain insufficiently devel- oped and coverage is low. For example, only 30-40 percent of the children under 5 years of age in Latin America and the Caribbean are fully immunized. In addition, continued high fertility rates, malnutrition, and lack of access to potable water pre- vent, to some extent, continued improvements in health status. Finally, violence and civil unrest in certain countries have created significant shifts in populations, and large numbers of refugees and displaced persons. The health problems of these individuals are acute, including significant increases in childhood diseases (measles, polio, etc.) diarrhea and respiratory diseases. Large influxes of new populations have also adversely affected the health status of the communities into which these indi- viduals have moved, by overburdening water and sewerage systems, overcrowding health facilities, etc. Acute respiratory diseases and diarrhea diseases exacerbated by malnutrition con- tinue to be the major killers of children. Recent information indicates, however, that with increased access to potable water and expanded use of oral rehydration therapy diarrhea is decreasing as a percentage of causes of all infant and child deaths. Mortality from respiratory diseases is not decreasing at the same rate. Thirty percent of infant and child deaths in Latin America and the Caribbean are still attributable to respiratory diseases. AID HEALTH PROGRAMS IN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN AID's health strategy focuses on reducing infant and child mortality by extending and improving primary health care services. All of AID's projects in Latin America and the Caribbean include the development and extension of such services includ- ing: oral rehydration therapy for the treatment of diarrhea, immunizations against childhood diseases, nutrition education, family planning, promotion of breastfeeding, etc. In addition, AID provides assistance to improve the planning and management capabilities of Ministries of Health in order that the quality and distribution of health services may be improved. Support for such health services accounts for ap- proximately 9 percent of the development assistance provided to Latin America in 1984 ($27 million). In fiscal year 1984, of the 13 countries with active health projects, 9 projects include AID financed oral rehydration (ORT) activities (Costa Rica, Do- minican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Bolivia, Haiti, Honduras and Peru). In addition, funds from the Office of Health of AID's Bureau of Science and Technology have been used to fund ORT research and promotion in Brazil, Mexico, and Panama, countries which do not have bilateral health projects. The types of ac- tivities funded include: the purchase of oral rehydration salts, training of health workers, technical assistance for the design, implementation and evaluation of oral rehydration promotion in primary health care programs, technical assistance to design mass media promotion programs, technical assistance to design mass media promotion programs, technical assistance to stimulate local private sector produc- tion of the oral rehydration salts. Immunization programs to protect children against childhood diseases (measles, polio, diptheria, tetanus, pertussis, tuberculosis, etc.) are supported as components of AID financed health projects, or by local currency generations from the Public Law 480 Title I programs in 8 Latin American and Caribbean countries (Costa Rica, El Salvador, Honduras, Ecuador, Haiti, Peru, Dominican Republic and Bolivia). Train- ing in cold chain maintenance is supported in two AID financed regional projects, one implemented by the Pan American Development Foundation in Central Amer- ica, and one implemented by the National Institutes for Health, Department of Health and Human Services in the English speaking Caribbean. The types of activi- ties funded include: the purchase of vaccines and cold chain equipment, training and technical assistance in the design, implementation and evaluation of immuniza- tion programs, and training and technical assistance in the maintenance of cold chain equipment. Five million dollars were requested for the expansion of both oral rehydration and immunization activities in Central America in the fiscal year 1984 1026 supplemental request, including $2.8 million for a Central American oral rehydra- tion promotion program. The following tables show funding levels for this year, and the types of programs we are supporting. FUNDING LEVELS FOR HEALTH PROJECTS IN FISCAL YEAR 1984 [In thousands of dollars] Fiscal year 1984 CR Fiscal year 1984 supplemental Fiscal year 1984 total Bolivia ............ Dominican Republic.......... Ecuador ........ Haiti... Jamaica ....... Peru ..... Caribbean Regional..... LAC Regional ......... Belize ..... Costa Rica......... El Salvador Guatemala....... Honduras......... ROCAP.......... 624 4,924 239 5,850 ..... 407 125 1,150 275 240 4,450 6,085 550 2,150 627 4,924 239 5,850 407 125 1,150 275 240 5,850 10,085 5,350 7,150 2,800 1,400 4,000 4,800 5,000 2,800 Total 27,072 18,000 45,072 ....... ORAL REHYDRATION PROGRAMS Purchase of ORS Technical assistance Training Mass media Research X X Х X X Guatemala..... X х X X X X Countries with active health projects: Belize ......... Bolivia........ X Costa Rica........ х Dominican Republic....... Х Ecuador .......... Х El Salvador ....... .... X Grenada........ X.? Guayana Haiti........ X Honduras........ Jamaica ........ Peru ........ х Regional programs: Regional Development Office Carib- bean. Regional Development Office Central America. Countries with S&T/HEA financed activi- ties: Mexico .... Panama... Brazil. C. X X X X X X Х X X 1027 IMMUNIZATION PROGRAMS Vaccine Cold chain Training (Immunization) Technical assistance (Immunization) Management improvement Nutrition X X X X X X X X X X X X X X х X Х X X X X Counties with active health projects: Belize Bolivia .... Costa Rica ....... Dominican Republic ........ Ecuador El Salvador ......... Grenada ......... Guatemala ......... Guyana ..... Haiti ..... Honduras Jamaica ........ Peru....... Regional programs: Regional Development Office - Caribbean. Regional Development Office- Central America. Countries with S&T/HEA financed activities: Mexico.......... Panama Brazil........ Х X X X Х X ....... X X X .... Question 2. It appears to me that a great deal of your aid for Central America will be in the form of cash grants with the expectation that the country itself will then distribute the funds according to their needs. This type of system, however, appears to me to favor established businesses and organizations with existing links to the government. I am very concerned that a substantial portion of any of the funds that we authorize for Central America go directly to helping the poor improve the qual- ity of their lives. I believe that we must act to address the underlying social and economic conditions in the region that have provided fertile ground for insurgencies. What programs are planned for Central America that will go directly to addressing the plight of the poor in that region, and what percentage do they as an aggregate represent of the overall economic aid package for the region? Answer. We estimate that $142 million, or 15%, of the FY 1985 request for Cen- tral America will be for projects which will directly benefit the poor. These projects are in such areas as improved health and sanitation in rural areas, agrarain reform, family planning, and education development. Also included are projects carried out by U.S. and local private voluntary organizations. It must be emphasized that we cannot solve the problems in Central America by treating the symptoms-nor do we have enough resources to do so. What is most important is to strengthen the produc- tive sectors of the countries to produce more, to employ more people productively in the private sector, and to generate increased revenues that can finance extended social services to an ever increasing proportion of those who lack basic health serv- ices, education, and access to resources. I would note that we consider the cash transfers, along with associated policy re- forms, to be an important means of benefitting the poor by helping to stabilize the economies and by encouraging economic growth, thereby increasing the number of jobs for all sectors of the population. Question 3. I believe that land reform is a critical feature of the overall resolu- tion of the problems in El Salvador. I have visited the Republic of China (i.e. Taiwan) and seen the tremendous success they have had with their land reform pro- gram. Their program worked in such a way that it gave everyone, the old landown- er and the new one, a stake in the future and prosperity of the country. One of the keys to the Taiwanese program was, however, a sense of fairness. The old landown- ers felt that they would receive a fair compensation for their land. I understand this is not now the case in El Salvador and that many of the old landowners are skepti- cal of ever receiving compensation for their land. 1028 Answer. There may be some former landowners who remain skeptical about ever receiving compensation. It should be noted, however, that the Government of El Sal- vador (GOES) continues to honor its obligation, as stipulated in the agrarian reform legislation, to compensate former landowners. In Phase I, compensation is paid in the form of long-term (30 years) interest-bear- ing bonds for land and mix of cash and short-term bonds for livestock, machinery and equipment. As of February 21, 1984, compensation paid on 212 of the 426 prop- erties totaled $136 million, including $10.6 million in cash and $125.4 million in bonds. In Phase III, former owners are compensated half in cash and half in bonds for farms under 247 acres; for larger farms the former owners are paid 25% in cash and 75% in bonds. As of January 26, 1984, over 500 owners has been paid the U.S. dollar equivalent of $10.3 million. The GOES is current in interest payments on all bonds and this fact should lessen the skepticism of many of the former landowners. Moreover, the GOES continues its efforts to make the bonds more attractive instruments of payment. Interest coupons can be used to pay certain taxes and are traded on a secondary market. In coopera- tion with the private sector, the GOES is investigating ways in which the agrarian reform bonds could be directly exchanged for shares in businesses which are now state-owned. This idea was one of the results of the Checchi study of last year and we are encouraging the GOES in this regard. Question 4. I know that current legislation prohibits U.S. funding from being used to compensate Salvadoran landowners. What impact do you believe that this has on land reform efforts there? Answer. The Government of El Salvador has severe budget problems because of the economic warfare being waged by insurgents. Among other problems, the lack of funds for compensation to former landowners has slowed the pace of the country's agrarian reform. Ms. Kasun's RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR HELMS Question 1. You have said that Nobel prize winner Dr. Theodore Schultz has disas- sociated himself with support of the Chinese population control program. You said in testimony before my subcommittee on Tuesday that the consensus of develop- ment economists is that population control has no effect on economic growth. Can you provide the Committee with some examples of criticisms of population control? Answer. Many economists have concluded that population growth does not inhibit economic development and have criticized the assumptions of population control programs. Examples appear in Appendix A, attached. Question 2. The Administrator of AID has recently sent to the Foreign Operations Subcommittee of the Appropriations Committee three reprograming requests. One is for an $11,750,000 10-year forward funding (through 1993) for "Population Technical Assistance.” A second reprograming is a $39,654,000 5-year forward funding for "Family Planning Operations Research, and a third for $34,000,000 for 10 years forward funding for a "Population Information Program.” I understand you have read these reprograming requests. Do you think they are a good use of $85 million of the taxpayers' money? Answer. I believe it would be a great mistake for Congress to approve these re- quests for $85 million for foreign control. Such reprograming would remove these programs from Congressional consideration at a time when the urgent need is for serious reconsideration of the entire philosophy of foreign population control. In my capacity as a special consultant to the Department of State in 1982 I wrote a paper entitled “A Consideration of the - Cost Effectiveness of Population Assistance in United States Foreign Aid Programs," in which I showed that the population con- trol programs supported by United States foreign assistance are creating no demon- strable improvement in economic or social conditions in the countries in which they operate and are having an adverse impact on our foreign relations. I attach the summary of this paper in Appendix B. My conclusions were corroborated by another economist, Mr. Nick Eberstadt of Harvard University, who also submitted a paper to the Department of State on the same topic at the same time. Also at the request 1029 of the Department of State in 1982, I prepared a critique of two Agency for Interna- tional Development policy papers on population assistance in which I showed that AID has provided no evidence whatever of any benefits of the population control programs which it is financing in countries receiving our aid. In this critique, which appears in Appendix C, I showed that AID bases all of its presumptions in favor of population control, including its computer models, on unverified assumptions only, and that the available evidence in fact contradicts AID's assumptions. The fact is, there is no evidence that population control efforts have any beneficial effects what- ever; on the contrary, there are significant indications that the effects are harmful. Question 3. You say U.N Fund for Population Activities gives the Chinese popula- tion program $50 million per year. How much of that is U.Š. AID funds? Answer. According to the Population Reference Bureau (Intercom, May/June 1983) the United Nations gives $50 million a year to the Chinese program of popula- tion control. The United States is the largest supporting donor to the United Na- tions, directly contributing 40 percent of the total income of the U.N. Fund for Pop- ulation Activities and also giving tens of millions of dollars to other U.N. agencies. In addition, many countries which receive U.S. foreign assistance-such as the Phil- ippines, Thailand, Guatemala, Honduras, Kenya, Mexico, and many others-donate to the U.N. Fund for Population Activities. Statements by the Agency for Interna- tional Development indicate that such donations may be regarded as evidence of the "commitment” to “control of population growth” which the Agency requires as a condition for giving U.S. economic assistance to countries under Sections 102 and 104(d) of the Foreign Assistance Act. The Agency has stated that “because of the perceived sensitivity of population programs, it has been more acceptable to many countries to receive support through multilateral agencies such as the U.N Fund for Population Activities" i and that “AID played an important role in establishing UNFPA.” 2 Thus the direct contributions of the United States together with the contributions made by recipients of U.S. aid mean that the U.N. Fund for Popula- tion Activities receives most of its support from the United States. Question 4. In other words, what percent of the forced abortions in China are being paid for with U.S. taxpayers' dollars washed through this United Nations or- ganization? Answer. At a minimum the estimate would be 40 percent, but, as indicated in my remarks above, when account is taken of U.S. tax funds channeled to UNFPA through countries receiving our foreign assistance, it would be much higher. Question 5. International Planned Parenthood Federation, according to its 1983 Report to Donors, plans to give China's population control program an additional half million dollars. How much of that money comes from the U.S. taxpayers? Answer. IPPF receives 25 percent of its income, about $12 million annually, from the United States. In addition, it receives donations from the U.N. Fund for Popula- tion Activities, which is supported by the United States, and from the Population Crisis Committee, which receives support from UNFPA which in turn is supported by the United States. Therefore a minimum of 25 percent of the IPPF donations to China come from the U.S. taxpayers, and, when account is taken of the labyrinthine financial connections of the world population control network, the proportion is higher. In a word, U.S. taxpayers are footing a major part of the cost of forced abor- tion in China. Question 6. You said that a New York Times reporter using Chinese statistics says that the Chinese population control program in one province costs 15 times the annual cost of supporting a child. Why is U.S. AID through third party organiza- tions supporting such a clear waste of money? Answer. This obvious waste illustrates the fact that the drive for population con- trol is not rooted in a rational assessment of the economic circumstances in any country. The insistence that "over-population" is the cause of all human problems provides a simplistic refuge from serious thought about real problems of economic policy. It also provides a convenient rationalization for totalitarianism. The Chinese economy is suffering from desperate and long-standing problems of misallocation and underuse of valuable productive resources. Labor is used at only a fraction of its potential; the same is true of land (yields in China are only a fraction of those achieved in Korea and Japan) and industrial resources. These problems stem from the extremely politicized nature of governmental economic planning and they cannot be corrected within the constraints of the present Chinese political system. 1. Am Briefing Paper on Population for the Administrator's Retreat, June 20, 1981, p. 4. 2. NSSM 200, "Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security and Overseas Interests,” December 10, 1974, declassified on December 31, 1980, pp. 121-122. 1030 The alleged "population problem” therefore serves as a handy scapegoat on which to blame the economic and social failures and frustrations of the Chinese system. Question 1. Richard Benedick, a Deputy Assistant Secretary of State and an ardent proponent of population control, has been put in charge of planning for the U.S. delegation, not yet selected for the International Conference on Population in Mexico City in August. What sort of message does that send to our friends in the rest of the world, particularly Latin America? if he were named chairman of the U.S. delegation, would that be helpful to our national interests? Answer. Richard Elliot Benedick is known throughout the world as a committed proponent of world population control. He has stated to Congress, "I believe an in- sistence on the 'right' to multiply indiscriminately represents a misplaced morali- ty, "3 and he supports the use of what he calls “incentives in population control pro- grams. 4 He has predicted that such incentives "will become an increasingly promi- nent and necessary feature of human society in future years."5 He believes in the necessity of “a major push to elevate population policies into a matter of urgent global priority" (emphasis in original). He has stated that "strenuous efforts will be required to reach the two-child norm. The fervor of Mr. Benedick's commitment to strenuous population control efforts renders him unfit to be the head, or even a member, of the United States delegation to the World Population Conference. His presence on our delegation would send a message to our friends and allies throughout the world that the United States is determined to limit their fertility by all means at our disposal. Such a message would create hostility even in countries whose governments may wish to limit popu- lation growth. Other countries will react just as we would if West Germany or Saudi Arabia were to demand that we limit births in the United States. Question 8. In January 1984 the State Department issued a PIO bulletin based on a statement by Vincent Barabba, the U.S. Representative to the U.N. Population Commission. I understand you have read the State Department Bulletin on his statement. Briefly what are your comments? Answer. Mr. Barabba has issued a most immoderate statement which reflects badly on our government and our country. He has made a number of statements which have no basis in fact and has issued what might be regarded as an ultimatum to the Preparatory Committee for the International Conference on Population to prepare a draft statement which conforms to the most extreme prejudices of the population control lobby. Mr. Barabba also shows a lack of courtesy in challenging statements and forecasts made by the U.N. Population Commission. Mr. Barabba's claim that high fertility is a cause of unemployment, underinvest- ment, lack of development, deforestation, soil erosion, “lack of food and water, health services, education, shelter," and other calamities is without any basis in fact. There is no economic evidence or theory to lend any credibility whatever to these wild charges. Distinguished economists, some of whom are quoted in my Ap- pendix A,_have thoroughly discredited such myths. Peter Bauer of the London School of Economics has refuted them in detail in his recent book on development, "Equality, the Third World, and Economic Delusion” (Harvard University Press, 1981). It is profoundly embarrassing that such a statement as Barabba's should issue officially from the United States. APPENDIX A.—WHAT SOME ECONOMISTS HAVE SAID ABOUT "OVERPOPULATION" Peter T. Bauer, London School of Economics: “It relies on misleading statistics; it misunderstands the determinants of economic progress; it misinterprets the causal- ities in changes in fertility and changes in income. Mark Perlman, University of Pittsburgh: "... if we use antinatalist programs, we do so for reasons other than those simply offered by what we as economists now know." 9 8 ܙܙ 8 Prepared Statement of Ambassador Richard Elliot Benedick before the Subcommittee on International Economic Policy and Trade Committee on Foreign Affairs, U.S. House of Repre- sentatives, February 29, 1980. 4 Ibid. 3 Ibid. 6 Ibid. ? Testimony of Ambassador Richard Elliot Benedick before the Foreign Relations Committee, April 29, 1980. 8 With Basil S. Yamey, "The Third World and the West: An Economic Perspective,” in W. Scott Thompson (ed.), The Third World: Premises of U.S. Policy, San Francisco: Institute for Con- temporary Studies, 1978. 9 Some Economic Growth Problems and the Part Population Policy Plays," Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 89, No. 2, May 1975, pp. 247-56. 1031 11 Goran Ohlin, University of Uppsala: ". the more rigorous the analysis and the more scrupulous the examination of the evidence, the smaller is the role attributed to population as an independent source of economics problems." 10 Nick Eberstadt, Harvard Center for Population Studies: “Over the past decade and a half the American government has led a far-reaching and well financed effort to reduce fertility and curb population growth in the world's poorer regions. The spirit animating the American approach . . . was Malthusian. Malthusian theory is a poor foundation for economic development policy. Richard A. Easterlin, University of Pennsylvania: ".. there is little evidence of any significant association, positive or negative, between the income and population growth rates.” 12 “. . . of the increase in population] that the present world growth rate would produce in 71/2 centuries, most would take place in the last 150 years of the period projected.” 13 “it is difficult to build a strong case for such programs [of population control].” 14 Colin Clark, Oxford University: “This hysterical clamer about population growth leading to poverty, famine and uncontrollable environmental deterioration is not only false; it has a still graver fault. It effectively distracts attention from the politi- cal questions, which will constitute the world's real problems.” 15 Julian L. Simon, University of Illinois: "Tens of millions of U.S. taxpayers' money is being used to tell the governments and people of other countries that they ought to take strong measures to control their fertility . . . But no solid economic data or analysis underlie this assertion. Furthermore, might not such acts be an unwarrant- ed interference in the internal affairs of other countries?”' 16 Fred R. Glahe, University of Colorado: nations with the highest population growth rates have also experienced the highest growth in real output per capita on the average . . . it should be pointed out that there is no law of diminishing returns with respect to technology ...' " 17 APPENDIX B.-A CONSIDERATION OF THE Cost EFFECTIVENESS OF POPULATION ASSISTANCE IN U.S. FOREIGN AID PROGRAMS (By Jacqueline R. Kasun, Professor of Economics, Humboldt State University) SUMMARY The paper addresses the question whether the population control programs fi- nanced by the United States as part of its foreign assistance effort are helping to improve social and economic conditions in the countries in which they operate and whether they are making a positive, cost-effective contribution to the conduct of United States foreign policy. Statistical studies reported in the economic literature have failed to support the hypothesis that slower rates of population growth encourage higher rates of growth in per capita output. The regression analysis conducted for this paper similarly finds no such relationship. On the contrary, there is statistical evidence that higher levels of per capita income tend to be associated with higher population densities and also some evidence that, for less-developed countries, higher rates of per capita output growth tend to be associated with higher rates of population growth. A com- parison of the data for 74 less developed countries during the period 1960-1978 yields the latter result, confirming the results of at least one previous study. Theoretical studies, including computer models, of the relationship between popu- lation growth and economic growth have yielded contradictory results. Though the Coale-Hoover model finds population growth to have a depressing influence on output growth, the more recent work of Julian Simon finds just the opposite to be 10 “Economic Theory Confronts Population Growth," in Ansley J. Coale (ed.), Economic Factors in Population Growth, New York: John Wiley, 1976, p. 1. 11“Population Control and the Wealth of Nations: The Implications for American Policy," a Report prepared for the Undersecretary for Security Assistance, Science and Technology, Novem- ber 24, 1981. 12 “Population," in Neil W. Chamberlain (ed.), Contemporary Economic Issues, Homewood: Richard D. Irwin, 1973, p. 347. 13 Ibid., p. 339. 14 Ibid., p. 337. Population Growth: The Advantages, Santa Ana: Life Quality, 1975, p. 105. 16 The Ultimate Resource, Princeton University Press, 1981, p. 7. 17 With Dwight R. Lee, Microeconomics: Theory and Applications, New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1981, p. 189. 1032 the case in the long-run. Other theoretical investigators have similarly disagreed with one another. The case for restricting population growth on environmental grounds is weak. World food production has increased substantially faster than population since 1950, with some of the most dramatic increases occurring in the less-developed regions. World food-raising capability greatly exceeds present levels of output. Estimates of the number of people that could be supported with presently-known food-raising technology range from ten times to twenty-five times the size of the present world population. These estimates assume that at least one-half of the earth's surface would remain in permanent conservation areas and no more than one-fourth of the ice-free land area would be used for agriculture. Nor are industrial resources approaching exhaustion. They are, in fact, when measured by the usual economic indices of scarcity, becoming less scarce. In the future, resource specialists forecast that most of our metal needs can be supplied from "essentially inexhaustible sources." Though the world distribution of proved oil reserves is uneven, coal supplies are widely distributed and exist in quantities sufficient for a thousand years or more, at present rates of increasing use. Other energy sources are also promising. There is no evidence that slower rates of population growth make it easier to deal with the pollution resulting from modern technology. Successful environmental clean-up efforts have occurred in some of the most densely-settled industrial areas, apparently depending primarily on efficient government backed by popular will. Efforts to control population growth in the interests of restricting the numbers of the “politically volatile age groups" receive no support the literature on the causes of political unrest. The main issue in population control is the question of plan versus market. Evi- dence from countries in all stages of economic development throughout the world shows that families do adjust their child-bearing in accordance with their income constraints. There is no evidence or logical reason to believe that families have more children than they “should” have because of an ability to shift the costs of their children to society. The so-called "free" goods, such as schools, for children in all societies are not free but are paid for by increased tax burdens which reduce family income and the ability and desire to have children. There is no indication that social planners have better foresight or judgment than families in the matter of determining the optimal size of population or its optimal rate of growth. Indeed, since public planners do not risk their own resources in their projects, their incentives to avoid mistakes are less keen than those of families. Economists do not generally believe that "excessive population growth” is the cause of urban poverty or unemployment in the less-developed countries. Also, there is little evidence of “underinvestment." The evidence, on the contrary, is that it is not families but development planners who have failed to behave rationally with respect to economic constraints. There is little evidence that the poor in the less-developed countries lack access to means of family planning. Traditional methods of limiting births are known throughout the world, and locally-produced modern contraceptives are now avail- able in many countries. In most of the less-developed countries, however, large num- bers of children (by Western standards) are still the ideal. The population control programs supported by United States foreign assistance appear to be having an adverse impact on our foreign relations. The official effort to "motivate" foreign peoples and foreign governments to restrict births is arousing hostility and resentment, as official accounts abundantly testify. Finally, the need to eliminate the adverse impact of federal deficits on the domes- tic economy makes it desirable to reduce federal expenditures wherever possible. The questionable value of these budget items makes them ideal targets for elimina- tion. APPENDIX C.-CRITIQUE OF Two PAPERS (1) Memorandum to Mr. James L. Buckley from James L. Malone on U.S. Popula- tion Assistance; and (2) AID policy paper on “Human Resources Development: The World Situation: Population (By Jacqueline R. Kasun) The primary defect common to both of these papers is that they fail to provide any evidence that United States expenditures on foreign population assistance con- tribute in any way either to the improvement of economic and/or social conditions 1033 "5 in the recipient countries or to the achievement of United States foreign policy ob- jectives. The reason for this failure is no doubt the fact that no such evidence exists, since in fact those less-developed countries with the higher rates of population growth have shown higher rates of per capita output growth on the average.1 In lieu of evidence that United States population assistance improves economic and social conditions in the recipient countries, the papers under review provide other material which is alleged to be supportive of the case for population programs. This material is of several types. The type which perhaps gives the most convincing appearance of being “hard” data consists of conclusions drawn from a selected group of computer models. Unfortunately the papers do not acknowledge the fact that computer results depend on the assumptions built into the programs and that the choice of assumptions is necessarily arbitrary. Nor do they mention that at least one highly sophisticated computer model has demonstrated the long-run benefits of population growth.2 The papers abound in unsupported, impressionistic assertions regarding the sup- posed harmful effects of population growth and the supposed benefits of government programs to reduce population growth. Thus the Malone memorandum states that ‘an extensive body of analysis” shows that high fertility limits investment and thus acts as a "drag on per capita income growth.” 3 The reference for this statement is a single article written by Nancy Birdsall.4 Birdsall, however, states in her article that “The idea that rapid population growth slows per capita income growth and exacerbates inequality rests chiefly on two assumptions. First, it is assumed that with rapid increases in the number of workers, each worker produces less in rela- tion to the land and capital each has to work with * In other words, Birdsall has not at all presented "an extensive body of analysis” to substantiate her conclusion. She has simply assumed her conclusion that rapid population growth reduces output per worker. Having already assumed her conclu- sion, she doesn't need another assumption to guarantee it but states one anyway: Second, as the number of dependent children per worker increases, it is assumed that a country's total savings will go down, restricting the money available for investments in education and in physical capital like housing, roads, and facto- ries." 6 This assumption, while not, like the first, guaranteeing that rapid population growth must reduce per capita output and income, virtually does so, since it implies that each worker must have less physical capital to work with when population grows. The rest of the Birdsall paper is an elaboration of these assumptions and their supposed consequences, “supported” by references to other writings in a simi- lar vein, none of which provide any evidence to verify these fundamental assump- tions but which merely refer to each other as sources of "support.' In a word, the case for United States population assistance expenditures rests on assumptions which in fact are unproved, unquestioned foregone conclusions for which no evidence has been provided, despite massively financed opportunities to do so by a host of publicly-subsidized investigators and agencies over recent decades. This is what Mr. Malone calls "an extensive body of analysis.” At the same time, the awkward fact, as pointed out above, is that the statistical record for the less- developed countries since the 1950's does not bear out these assumptions or their presumed effects. Per capita output has outstripped population growth and has done so most conspicuously on the average in countries where population has grown most rapidly. The two papers under discussion, failing to show that higher fertility reduces per capita output growth or that United States population assistance improves economic or social conditions, quickly slides into lengthy discussions of the magnitude of pop- ulation growth and the question whether government programs can reduce fertility. On the first point, however, the significant issue is not the magnitude of population 66* 1 !. Jacqueline R. Kasun, "A Consideration of the Cost Effectiveness of Population Assistance in United States Foreign Aid Programs," submitted to the Undersecretary of State for Security Assistance, Science and Technology, December 1981, p. 11; Colin Clark, Population Growth: The Advantages, (Santa Ana: R.L. Sassone, 1972), p. 84. 2 Julian Simon, The Economics of Population Growth, (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1977. * James L. Malone, Department of Statė Information Memorandum to Mr. James L. Buckley on U.S. Population Assistance, dated November 25, 1981, p. 9. 4 Nancy Birdsall, "Population Growth and Poverty in the Developing World,” Population Bul- letin, Vol. 35, No. 5, December 1980. 5 Ibid., p. 14. 6 Ibid. 34-045 0-84_66 1034 growth but its effects, and, as shown above, the papers fail to show what these are. On the second point, there is little doubt that governments which have sufficient "commitment" to the goal of reducing population growth can accomplish this objec- tive. Evidence for this fact dates at least from the Pentateuch. Contrary to the as- sertions of the papers, however, this is not the proper test of the cost-effectiveness of U.S.-financed population programs. It is incorrect to conclude, as the papers do, that population programs are cost-effective because they reduce the size of the popula- tion on behalf of whom private expenditures for consumption and public expendi- tures for education and health might otherwise be made. Carrying this thought to its logical conclusion would indicate that society would be better off if no children were born, or, even better, if there were no people at all! Absurd as this is, it is the thought underlying numerous AID policy papers on the cost-effectiveness of popula- tion programs.? The fact is, of course, that people are not only consumers but producers and tax- payers. Society not only “saves" educational and health expenses when a life is not lived but loses the productivity of that life. And, as other economists as well as myself have shown, the typical human being makes a net contribution to society which is not only economically substantial but rising in this latter part of the twen- tieth century. 8 The papers aver that there is a large and rising unsatisfied demand for United States population assistance. This contrasts with other State Department state- ments regarding foreign “resistance” to U.S.-financed population programs. 9 It also contrasts with numerous accounts of such resistance appearing in articles by private research specialists. 10 It is, nevertheless, not unlikely that there is some supportive agitation by certain groups for the population programs. In the course of spending many hundreds of millions of dollars on foreign "family planning” over the past fifteen years, the United States must have helped to establish dedicated, vocal pressure groups in many countries to campaign for increased spending, just as has happened here in the United States. Pohlman has written about the local "bread and butter" advocates of population programs. 11 There is no evidence, how- ever, that the special concerns of these groups coincide with the interests of their countrymen or with the foreign policy interests of the United States in a stable, peaceful world. ? In addition to the papers under review, see Edward W. Abel, et al, “The Impact of Thai- land's National Family Planning Program on Fertility Decline and the Implications for Short- Run and Long-Run Government Expenditures”, Contract No. AID/DSPE-C-0062, (Research Tri- angle Park, North Carolina: Research Triangle Institute, 22 July 1981); also “Notes on the Cost- Effectiveness and the Benefit-Cost of Family Planning Programs”, prepared by AID, undated, with references. 8 See Richard A. Easterlin, "Population", in Neil W. Chamberlain (ed.), Contemporary Eco- nomic Issues, (Homewood, Illinois: Richard D. Irwin, 1969); also Simon, op. cit.; Jacqueline Kasun, "National Economic Policy and the Family”, address before the American Family Forum, Washington, D.C., July 3, 1980. 9 Select Committee on Population, Report, "Population and Development Assistance,” U.S. House of Representatives, 95th Congress, 2nd Session, Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1978), pp. 55, 59; Department of State Bulletin, Vol. 80, No. 2036, March 1980, p. 13; AID "Briefing Paper on Population for the Administrator's Retreat, June 20, 1981,” states on page 4 that there is a need for “a more progressive policy on the part of many host country govern- ments, particularly those in Africa, the Near East, and some countries in Latin America." "In too many countries,” the paper states, “understanding of the impact of population growth on development is still lacking and the political will to intervene with population and family plan- ning programs is also low.” On the same page the paper comments on the "sensitivity of popula- tion programs”. in many countries and the consequent advantage of providing aid through multi- lateral and private agencies rather than through AID itself. Surely such strategies would not be necessary if there existed the large and unsatisfied demand for U.S. population intervention claimed by the papers under review. Similarly, the language of U.S. foreign aid law which calls for U.S. strategies to "motivate" countries and people to limit births suggests a more active role for the United States than is acknowledged in the papers under review. 10 Edward Pohlman, How to Kill Population, (Philadelphia: The Westminster Press, 1971), pp. 116, 135, 161; Goran Djurfeldt and Staffan Lindberg, “Family Planning in a Tamil Village," in Lars Bondestam and Staffan Bergstrom (eds.), Poverty and Population Control, (London: Aca- demic Press, 1980); David Lucas and Helen Ware, “Fertility and Family Planning in the South Pacific,” Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 11, No. 8/9, August/September 1981, pp. 303-315; Mi- chele Goldzieher Shedlin and Paula E. Hollerbach, "Modern and Traditional Fertility Regula- tion in a Mexican Community: The Process of Decision Making,” Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 12, No. 6/7, June/July 1981, pp. 278-296; Mary Taylor Hassouna, “Assessment of Family Planning Service Delivery in Egypt," Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 11, No. 5, May 1980, pp. 159-166. 11 Pohlman, op. cit., p. 137. 1035 104.12 The papers present a picture of the nature and intent of the United States-fi- nanced population programs which is quite different from that appearing in other official sources. The AID policy paper, for example, asserts on page 8 that “the basic objective is to help developing countries that wish to slow down population growth to develop and manage cost-effective voluntary family planning programs of information and services.” This statement implies that the United States is merely responding to foreign countries' requests for population assistance. Other official United States statements, however, give quite a different view. Section 104(d) of the International Development and Food Assistance Act of 1978 states that “all . . . ac- tivities proposed for financing . . . shall be designed to build motivation for smaller families in programs such as education ... nutrition, disease control, maternal and child health services, improvements in the status and employment of women, agri- cultural production, rural development, and assistance to the urban poor.” Section 102 of the Act states that U.S. assistance will be "concentrated" in countries which demonstrate their “commitment and progress" by their "control of population growth”, along with other indications of serious intent. An explanatory footnote in the Report on Population and Development Assistance by the House Select Commit- tee on Population states that “the whole of AID's development assistance effort" was intended to be included within the population control provisions of Section These official statements clearly show that the United States is not merely re- sponding to other countries' requests for population assistance but is acting on its own strong initiatives; according to law, all United States aid programs must be "designed to build motivation for smaller families”; the entire foreign aid program is intended to operate as a program of direct and indirect population control. Coun- tries receiving United States aid are urgently impelled to implement programs to achieve "control of population growth”, are monitored in their efforts to do so, and are rewarded for these efforts by appropriately "concentrated” aid. So many official pronouncements have stated these purposes and strategies frankly and at length 13 that the two papers under review must be regarded as curiosities for their represen- tation of the United States as passively responding to outside initiatives in these matters. Both papers claim that the United States is providing assistance only for "volun- tary” programs of “family planning.” This statement, too, is rather significantly at variance with information from other sources. The so-called "village system" of pop- ulation control adopted with United States assistance in Indonesia 14 and promoted in public statements by United States officials 15 certainly strains the limits of the word “voluntary.” Should a system which requires men to publicly report their birth control practices, which sets birth control “targets” for villages, and which provides rewards and penalties for meeting or failing to meet the “targets" be called voluntary”? The fact is, then, that the United States is using its foreign aid program as a means for pressing other countries into adopting government programs to achieve "control of population growth.” The control of population growth throughout the world has become one of the primary, stated objectives—if not the single, overriding objective--of the United States foreign assistance program. How does this fact affect the conduct of United States foreign policy? Does such a policy make it easier or more difficult to attain our primary objectives of world peace and prosperity? Does it make it easier or more difficult to obtain other countries' cooperation in working toward these objectives? In answering this question, it may be helpful to consider what our response would be if other countries were imposing similar conditions on economic relations with us-if, for example, Saudi Arabia were to require that we reduce our rate of popula- tion growth in order to obtain oil. 12 Select Committee on Population, Report, op. cit., p. 111. 13 See, for example, AID "Memorandum for Assistant Administrators, Mission Directors, Aid Representatives and Principal Aid Officers,” dated June 11, 1980; also AIDAC cable (State 017208) to mission directors regarding population growth impact of ÁID assistance, dated Janu- ary 1977. 14 The Population Council, Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 9, No. 9, September 1978, pp. 235,237, and Vol. 5, No. 5, May 1974, pp. 148–151, and Vol. 7, No. 1, July 1976, pp. 188–196; The World Bank, World Development Report, 1980, (Washington, 1980), p. 80. 15 Ambassador Marshall Green, Coordinator of Population Affairs, U.S. Department of State, Speech, “United States Perspectives on World Population Issues," 'to The Conference Board's Conference on Population Trends and Implications, Dallas, Texas, March 30, 1977; AIDAC cable (State 017208), op. cit. 1036 No doubt some Americans could be found who would endorse such a policy in en- thusiastic statements for Saudi Arabian publication, but I find it hard to believe that such a policy would genuinely improve relations between our countries. No doubt, also, the Saudi Arabian government would be able to create convincing “evi- dence” of an international “consensus” on the need for such a program, as has been done by officials of AID. On May 21, 1980 Ambassador Richard E. Benedick de- scribed in fascinating detail for Congress the methods used by his Office of Popula- tion Affairs to create the appearance of an international “consensus” on the sup- posed need for world population control. (See Attachment A.) More importantly, what would happen if the United States were to abandon its efforts to impel the less-developed countries to control their rates of population growth? The papers under review say that the alternative to present policy is disas- ter-increasing poverty, inequality, dependency, urbanization, crime, disease, politi- cal unrest, revolution, and war-the entire litany of the population bomb school of thought. Other economists as well as myself have dealt with this list in great detail.16 Suffice it to say here that there is no evidence of any connection between population growth and these problems or any evidence that reductions in population growth cure any of these problems. The point, however, lies deeper. The fact is that there is no evidence that, in the absence of government programs, human beings will automatically breed them- selves into misery, which must be assumed if such programs are to be regarded as necessary. As I have shown in detail in my other paper on this subject, 17 a great deal of evidence shows that human beings everywhere know how to control their family size and do so in rational response to their economic circumstances. They do so for the very good reason that they will bear the costs of any mistakes that they make and they know this. It is not families who are out of control, but government planners, whose programs of economic and social control have imposed enormous costs on families throughout the world in recent decades, as shown in my other paper. 18 Unlike families, planners do not bear the costs of their mistakes. They therefore do not view risk in the same way as families do and they are able to in- dulge their economic and ideological preferences at the expense of others. As shown in my other paper, current world problems of rapid urbanization and unemploy- ment are the result of such errors on the part of planners and not, as claimed in the two papers under review, “overpopulation." 19 What then would happen if the United States were to abandon its attempts to make other governments implement programs of population control? Any govern- ment wishing to implement such a program would still be free to do so. The prod- ucts and services necessary for such programs are available from private suppliers throughout the world. In addition, families throughout the world are familiar with traditional methods of controlling births.20 Families in all countries would be free to use whatever means they chose, subject to whatever conditions their own govern- ment might impose, to control their size. They would do this, as families have throughout time, in fully human ways, not like laboratory animals or fruit flies in bottles. Above all, no one would then be justified in accusing the United States of at- tempting to interfere in the personal reproductive affairs of citizens of other coun- tries. Such a stance alone should contribute significantly to a more relaxed atmos- phere in which to arrive at mutual agreement on those elements of international policy which are truly essential to the interests of the United States. [Whereupon, at 7 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] 16 Julian Simon, The Ultimate Resource, (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1981), pp. 249–256; Simon, The Economics of Population Growth, op. cit., Appendix, pp. 493–506; Easterlin, op. cit.; Kasun, “A Consideration of the Cost Effectiveness of Population Assistance in United States Foreign Aid Programs," op. cit. 17 Kasun, “A Consideration of the Cost Effectiveness,” op. cit. 18 Ibid. 19 Ibid. 20 Ibid. APPENDIX STATEMENT OF HENRY L. WALTHER, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT, U.S. DEFENSE COMMITTEE, FAIRFAX, VA. My name is Henry L. Walther and I am the Executive Vice President of the United States Defense Committee. The United States Defense Committee is a public interest organization dedicated to a strong national defense and foreign policy. We are an organization of over 100,000 Americans who come from all walks of life; machinists, farmers, small businessmen, doctors, lawyers and retired service personnel. What binds all these people together is a concern that due to inaction by the Con- gress our Nation's defenses and America's posture in the international community have diminished over the past 20 years to such a point that our very future as a free and independent nation may be in jeopardy. Meanwhile the Soviets have moved relentlessly, both in their military build-up and their aggressive foreign policy, toward their stated goal of world domination. Nowhere is this more evident than in Central America and the Caribbean Basin. It is for this reason that I submit this testimony in support of the Administra- tion's full funding requests for military aid to our allies in Central America. On behalf of the more than 100,000 members of the United States Defense Com- mittee I would like to express to you today our concerns about the situation in Cen- tral America in the following four areas: The future that the people of Central America face if the United States allows the Soviets and their Cuban proxies to take over the region, The security threat the United States will face if both Central America and Mexico fall and we are forced to station troops to protect our southern border, The threat to out economic lifelines the United States will face if the Communists take control of the Panama Canal and the other vital shipping lanes of the Caribbe- an Basin, The impact of a tidal wave of refugees America will inevitably face if Central America falls to the Communists. On the first point, I think it's clear from a humanitarian point of view that it is important that the United States does not let these poor people fall to communism. A look at history shows the Communists have a clear record of violations of human rights throughout the world. And now in both Nicaragua and El Salvador this record continues. In Nicaragua, the Marxist/Sandinista government has stolen the revolution from the Nicaraguan people who fought for Democracy. It has imposed a new dictatorship, has yet to hold free elections it promised-in writing—to the Organization of America States, and has initiated heavy censorship of the media and churches. The Sandinistas have slaughtered thousands of Miskito Indians and forced the rest off their land and into refugee camps. Through the use of violence and threats the Sandinistas forced the Nicaraguan people to demonstrate against the Pope and they also regularly disrupt church serv- ices. In Managua the Sandinistas burned the synagogue and persecuted the Jewish population until almost the entire Jewish population of Nicaragua has fled. In El Salvador, where over 80 percent of the people voted in the 1982 elections, Cuban backed guerrillas have been systematically blowing up bridges, roads, culverts, power stations and destroying the crops, forcing the farmers off their land. As a result the Salvadoran economy has shown a 30 percent decline each of the Since the guerrillas began their attacks, over 500,000 Salvadorans have fled to the United States. . last 4 years. (1037) 1038 And in the most recent elections, the Communist guerrillas blew up airplanes car- rying ballot boxes and through acts of violence prevented many who tried to vote from doing so. Clearly, the cost in human suffering to the people of Central America has been enormous and will only get worse if we allow the Communists to strengthen their foothold in the region. The second point I would like to make involves the security threat the United States will face if both Central America and Mexico fall to the Communists. The fact of the matter is that if we allow Central America and Mexico to fall we will be faced for the first time with having to deploy troops to secure our southern border. Indeed the Soviets have made clear their intentions in Central America. In Nicaragua the Soviets have built a military establishment larger than all the other Central American nations combined. The Marxist/Leninist government of Nicaragua has declared that they are build- ing a 250,000 man militia. Compare this with neighboring Honduras' total military force of 15,000 and El Salvador's force of 32,000. There are now over 10,000 “advisors” from Cuba, the Soviet Union, East Germa- ny, Bulgaria, North Korea and the PLO advising the Sandinistas in Nicaragua. This mammoth military build-up cannot be justified in terms of self-defense. Rather they have established a Communist stronghold from which they can launch their "revolution without frontiers," not only in Central America but Mexico as well. If Mexico should fall to Marxist subversion the United States will be faced with a security threat unlike anything we have ever seen in the Western Hemisphere. For the first time in our history we could have a hostile Communist nation on our southern border with 1,000,000 hostile troops just across the Rio Grande. We would be forced to grapple with ways to find funds to fortify our border-an estimated cost of at least $50 billion a year—and increase the size of our army by as many as 1 million men. Clearly we face a grave security threat if we don't do what's necessary now for Central America. The third point I would like to make is the threat to our economic lifelines we face if we allow our vital shipping lanes and our vital resources to fall into the hands of the Communists. Geographically, the islands of the Caribbean form relatively narrow passages through which ships must navigate, making it very easy for the Soviets to threaten thesc choke points.” Nearly two-thirds of America's foreign trade and one-half of America's petroleum pass through the Caribbean Basin. Additionally, the United States imports 97 percent of its manganese, 93 percent of its bauxite and 76 percent of its nickel. Most of the required amounts of these strategic minerals-essential to America's aerospace and communications industries are supplied by Caribbean nations through the Caribbean "choke points." And in a European crisis, at least half of our supplies for NATO would go through these areas by sea. If these sea lanes were to be shut down by Marxist forces, we would not be able to meet our commitments at home or to our NATO allies abroad. The fourth point I will discuss is the potential refugee crisis we face if we allow Central America to fall to the Communists. The fact of the matter is that we face the possibility of 10 to 20 million refugees pouring into the United States. One only has to look at past refugee patterns from other Communist takeovers to realize the actual number of refugees that will come into the United States from Central America. For example, when Cuba fell, fully 10 percent of the population fled that country. And those people had to go by boat. Similarly, when Vietnam fell, again more than 10 percent of the people fled. And right now from Afghanistan; over 16 percent of their people have already fled. And if the Soviets ever succeed in stopping the rebellion there, the figure could reach 40 percent. But using the low 10 percent estimate, 2.5 million refugees would stream out of Central America alone. With an average cost to the American taxpayers of some $4,500 per refugee, the yearly bill to the American taxpayer would be $10 billion. 1039 That doesn't include the cost of protecting our southern border which for the first time ever last year saw over 1 million illegal aliens cross into the United States despite the fact we spent $225 million trying to stop them. Nor does it include what would happen if Mexico, a country ripe for Communist picking, should fall. According to the Co-ordinator of Refugee Affairs, at least 7,500,000 refugees would flee into the United States from Mexico alone, at an additional cost of $30 billion a year. That's just the tax bill. The social problems will be dramatic. They will be forced to leave their homes and the land they love to come north in search of freedom. Once here they will have to learn a new language and find jobs. And, unemployment rates would go through the roof, creating depression-era con- ditions, complete with bread lines and soup kitchens. Clearly, if we allow Central America and Mexico to fall to the Communists the impact of the tidal wave of refugees will be devastating. Finally, I would like to say that the Reagan Administration-with the recommen- dations of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America-has developed a comprehensive plan for preventing further Communist takeovers in Central America. Vital to this overall plan is the Administration's military aid requests for El Sal- vador, Honduras, Costa Rica and Guatemala. Frankly, any private investment or economic aid sent to Central America would be like pouring money down a drain unless a security shield is provided and the military situation is resolved. Tragically, America has been doing just enough in Central America not to lose but not enough to win. And this is unfortunate since history shows that a stalemate in guerrilla war works to the advantage of the guerrillas in the long run. In fact, General John Vessey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has stated that in El Salvador in past years, Congress has appropriated only one-fourth of what the United States should be spending to defend against Communist aggression. In recent years the United States has stood by and watched while the Commu- nists established control over Suriname, Nicaragua and Guyana. Decisive action is needed now in the Central American theatre. Congress must be committed to the re-establishment of the Monroe Doctrine and to full military funding as the cornerstone of America's Latin American policy to stop the Soviet/Cuban attempts to undermine the pro-American governments of Central America. On behalf of the 100,000 members of the United States Defense Committee, we ask that at minimum you support the Administration's full military aid requests for Central America. And we ask that you look at the desirability of increasing the aid now in order to avoid having to spend substantially higher amounts later. First and foremost, the future of America depends on it. But also because to deny the freedom loving people of Central America the help they now so desperately need would be nothing short of a tragedy. 1041 ARRII QR STITUTE DEVELOPMENT American Institute for Free Labor Development 1015 Twentieth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 (202) 659-6300 Cable Address: FREELAB OFFICERS Lane Kirkland. President Martin J. Ward. Vice President Glenn E. Watts. Secretary-Treasurer William C. Doherty. Jr.. Executive Director BOARD OF TRUSTEES Luis Anderson Victor Artiles • Sol C. Chaikin Julio Cruzado Zavala .Tulio E. Cuevas Thomas Donahue. David J. Fitzmaurice. Thomas W. Gleason • Robert F. Goss. James E. Hatfield Richard I. Kilroy • Helcio Maghenzani Lloyd McBride . Frederick O'Neal. Charles H. Pillard Albert Shanker • Jose Vargas Frank L. Walcott • William W. Winpisinger • William H. Wynn STATEMENT OF WILLIAM C. DONERTY, Jr. EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF THE AMERICAN INSTITUTE FOR FREE LABOR DEVELOPMENT TO THE SUBCOMMITTEE OF WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, U.S. SENATE MARCH 20, 1984 WASHINGTON, D.C. The AFL-CIO would first like to express its appreciation to this Subcommittee for the opportunity to comment on the situation in Central America and, in particular, on the work of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America and the legislation proposed by the Administration for its implementation. For many years, but especially since the events of 1979, a debate has been raging among those who have lived, worked, studied or have had other interests in Central America. The debate has centered on U.S. foreign policy, with the implicit and totally justifiable assumption that U.S. policy must serve U.S. interests. (There are those, of course, who would not accept this assumption, and the AFL-CIO's position is that they contribute nothing of substance to the debate.) Simple solutions to complex problems are almost invariably wrong, and so it is with the suggestions that the U.S. abandon the area or, at the other extreme, depend on the use of military force. Attributions of guilt to the United States for the situation in Central America may embody a grain of truth, but suffer from gross over simplification. The description of the cause of the region's revolutionary problems have ranged from a historic local pattern of injustice and violation of human rights to Twenty Years of Partnership for Progress 1042 - 2 2. the identification of the influence and support of revolutionary movements by an international communist conspiracy. Against this backdrop of increasingly polarized debate two of your colleagues in the Senate, realizing that a successful U.S. policy toward the area must be based on the support of the American public, stepped forward on June 15, 1983 on the Senate floor to propose the creation of a Central American Commission which later came to be known as the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America. It was no accident that one, Senator Mathias of Maryland, is a Republican and the other, Senator Jackson of Washington, was a Democrat. Senator Henry M. Jackson, of course, is no longer with us, and we have attempted to honor his memory by the designation of the work of the Commission, which he and Senator Mathias suggested, as the "Jackson Plan." The work of the Commission is now well known, and reflects the unanimously agreed upon suggestions of twelve distinguished citizens representing various sectors of the society. Lane Kirkland, President of the AFL-CIO, of course represented American labor. Both Republicans and Democrats were represented, as were the business and academic communities. Their studies required listening to months of testimonies from persons and organizations representing every conceivable point of view. Members of the Commission took several trips to Central America and visited the Contadora nations where, again, they listened to the opinions of distinguished Latin Americans. The end result of their work, the Report of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, is, in the opinion of the AFL-CIO, the basis for a successful long term U.S. foreign policy toward the area. In this regard, two concepts are particularly noteworthy. First is the concept of "conditionality", which states that necessary changes must occur in the social and political spheres if our aid is to be given. This means that progress on those fronts must take place first, and be demonstrated not just promised before aid, particularly military aid, be granted. 1043 - 3 - The second important concept of the Report, the creation of an effective new organization to promote social and political change (the Central American Development Organization, or CADO), is absolutely essential to the development of the region and U.S. security. The primary functions of CADO will be to encourage the development of democratic private institutions, to assure that Central American nations respect human rights, and to foster pluralistic societies in which free and honest elections determine who will govern. The AFL-CIO is an enthusiastic supporter of the Commission's Report. The Executive Council issued a statement, unanimously approved, on February 21, 1984 (included as Attachment No. 1 to this Statement) which endorsed the work of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America and strongly called upon the Administration to put it into practice. The AFL-CIO has not supported a continuation of military aid to El Salvador as long as there has not been demonstrated progress in reforming the judicial system and in obtaining justice in the cases of American citizens killed by 'death squads.' For that reason we object to the wording of the section on military assistance, which states that such aid "be employed actively to foster human rights' objectives, the establishment of the rule of law and an effective judicial system." (Underscoring added.) "To foster" is quite different than demanding the "demonstrated progress" called for in the Bipartisan Commission's report. We, in turn, call upon the Administration to return to the language and the intent of the Commission to enforce "conditionality" in the aid process. The AFL-CIO finds the section in the legislative proposal on CADO to be less than fully descriptive of the new organization and its functions. We have engaged in detailed conversations on this point with Administration officials and have been assured that the intent of the Commission's suggestions with regard to CADO can be implemented without extensive wording changes in the proposal. (Please see A 1044 - 4- Attachment No. 2 to this statement, which contains a summary of these discussions.) A more detailed statement on the AFL-CIO position on CADO can also be found in our February 23, 1984 presentation to the House Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere Affairs. The AFL-CIO has for several years been on record as favoring U.S. government support for land reform, particularly in El Salvador and, even more particularly, for the provision of funds to compensate former landowners. We were pleased to see support for this concept in both the Commission's Report and the proposed legislation. The reasons for this are manifold: to expedite the issuance of definitive titles to the new owners, which is denied by Salvadoran law until compensation is paid; to reduce ex-landlord resistance, including illegal evictions and other more violent actions; to eliminate, at least in part, the issue of inequity; and, by accomplishing these ends, to perfect and institutionalize the land reform program. Under the past two administrations, the program has been a central feature of U.S. foreign policy and, therefore, the United States should provide the monetary assistance to remove this obstacle to its successful implementation, demonstrating that compensation is better than confiscation. We would like to close this statement with a call for patience and understanding of the problems of countries which, for a variety of reasons, are far different than our Own. Even without the current violence and the world economic crisis, the countries of Central America would be faced with economic hardships more severe than those which existed for us during the heights of the Great Depression. Under these circumstances, economic development theories which have served us well are perceived in Central America as simply maintaining an undesirable status quo. Thus, there has been a call for revolution, indeed heeded by many who are in reality good democrats. The test of "good and necessary" change - some would say "revolution" has less to do with economic structures than with the guarantees of rapid improvement 1045 - 5- (including change toward mixed economic systems) within the context of individual freedoms, observance of human rights, freedom of association, and freedom of political expression. Changes of this kind represent the types of democratic evolutions in Central America worthy of the support of U.S. foreign policy and epitomized in the Report of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America. 1046 ATTACHMENT #1 Statement by the AFL-CIO Executive Council on The Report of the "Kissinger Commission" February 21, 1984 Bal Harbour, FL The report of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America closely parallels the views expressed by the AFL-CIO in Executive Council statements and convention resolutions. Its recommendations represent a comprehensive and long overdue approach to Central America's urgent need for massive social, economic and political reform, and lay the basis for constructive bipartisan action to meet that need. The Reagan administration is undermining the possibility of such action by seeking to evade the Commission's recommendation that military aid to the government of El Salvador be conditioned upon "demonstrated progress" by that government in ending human rights abuses. The Commission clearly states: With respect to El Salvador, military aid should, through legislation requiring periodic reports, be made contingent upon demonstrated progress toward free elections; freedom of association; the establishment of the rule of law and an effective judicial system, and the termination of the activities of the so- called death squads, as well as a vigorous action against those guilty of crimes and the prosecution to the extent possible of past offenders. These conditions should be seriously enforced." This was also the position adopted by our 1983 Convention, which said: "The AFL-CIO reiterates its insistence that aid to the government of El Salvador be contingent upon its progress in implementing the land reform program, protecting trade union rights, establishing a just judicial system, and bringing the right- wing 'death squads' under control. Until we are satisfied that progress is being made in these areas, the AFL-CIO will not support military aid to the government of El Salvador." 1047 - 2. But the Administration has opposed legislation requiring the President to certify progress in these areas as a condition for providing military aid to El Salvador. Its request for a fourfold increase in such aid this year skirts this condition and thus violates a central principle of the Commission report. The AFL-CIO is not convinced that the government of El Salvador has met the conditions set forth in the Commission report, and we therefore do not support military aid to that government at this time. The AFL-CIO commends the Commission for its recognition that the crisis of Central America is rooted in indigenous and long-festering social, economic and political injustices which must be addressed by U.S. policy. Though recognizing that these injustices are perpetuated by violent right-wing extremists and exploited by forces backed by the Soviet Union and Cuba, our 1983 Convention resolution noted, "the deep-seated social and economic problems in the region cannot be solved by military means alone." Similarly, the Commission report states that "until rapid progress can be made on the political, economic and social fronts, peace on the military front will be elusive and fragile." The Executive Council welcomes the Commission report's emphasis on the need for U.S. Policies to "encourage the Central American nations to develop and nurture democratic cultures, institutions and practices, including . . . free and democratic trade unions. The importance of unions, which represent millions of rural and urban workers, has been firmly established in the region. They have been not only an economic force, but a political one as well, opposing arbitrary rule and promoting democratic values. The AFL-CIO also welcomes the Commission's proposal that a Central American Development Organization (CADO) be created to "provide a continuous and coherent approach to the development of the region" in all its dimensions -- "economic prosperity, social change, political modernization and peace." Membership would be open to the seven countries of Central America and to the United States, with each country's 1048 - 3 - delegation including representatives of "a democratic trade union movement, of business and/or the government." Such a tripartite structure similar to that of the International Labor Organization would strengthen the role of the democratic trade union movement throughout the region. In addition, Central American participation in CADO would "turn on acceptance and continued progress toward the protection of personal and economic liberties, freedom of expression, respect for human rights, and an independent system of equal justice and criminal law enforcement." The National Bipartisan Commission on Central America was conceived not by the Administration but by Congressional leaders, such as Congressman Michael Barnes, Senator Charles Mathias and notably the late Senator Henry M. Jackson, who understood the importance of free trade unionism in the development of political democracy and social justice in Central America. In participating in the work of the Commission, the AFL-CIO sought to ensure that the views and interests of the trade unions of Central America, with which we have warm fraternal relations, were effectively represented. The Executive Council believes that the Commission's report reflects their, and our, hopes for the region's progress. 1049 ATTACHMENT #2 March 1, 1984 Mr. M. Peter McPherson Administrator Agency for International Development U.S. Department of State, Room 5942 Washington, D.C. 20523 Dear Peter: By way of further clarification of an agreement by the Administration on the essential recommendation of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America the establishment of the Central American Development Organization -- the AFL- CIO and the Council of the Americas attach the following memorandum. Sincerely, Alfred Cumming Director Government Affairs Council of the Americas William C. Doherty, Jr.. Executive Director American Institute for Free Labor Development Encl. 34-045 0-84-67 1050 CENTRAL AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION OBJECTIVES The objectives of CADO are to: encourage regional development in its broadest sense not only through sound economic growth, development and reform, but also through demonstrated progress in the areas of human rights, democratic institution building, more equitable wealth distribution, and other measures designed to lead to constructive political change; provide a more effective decision-making role for the private sector, including labor, small and medium sized businesses, and all types of democratic cooperatives in the development process; promote a regional approach to development that will place a premium on intra-regional cooperation. STRUCTURE Membership would be open to representatives of the seven Central American countries and the United States and other donors. Membership would be contingent on acceptance of the above objectives. Decisions on expenditures would also be guided by those same objectives. Other donor countries would be encouraged to coordinate any development activities through CADO. The Organization would be chaired by the Administrator of U.S. AID or his designee. A Central American executive director would be elected by the members. The 32-person assembly would be modeled on an ILO tripartite structure that includes from each country: two government representatives; one business representative selected by the country's business community; 1051 - 2 - one labor representative selected by the country's democratic labor group. To avoid creating a new, expensive, and unnecessary bureaucracy, a small, but highly qualified and experienced staff of about twelve professionals would provide necessary support. The staff would evaluate the proposals, make any additional recommendations, and submit a proposal list to the delegates for debate and final selection. Delegates also would have an opportunity to recommend specific programs. The above would, of course, be subject to further discussions and negotiations among the countries participating in the creation of CADO. OPERATING GUIDELINES The Organization would have effective veto power over the disbursement of 25 percent of the appropriated funds for each country program. The program funds would be channeled through established AID programs. The Organization would not administer programs, but would be expected to consult with AID on a variety of possible programs for purposes of meeting the goals of CADO. All decisions of CADO in connection with the disbursement of funds would be based on the approval of a simple majority. The "dual key" mechanism will allow disbursement of the above mentioned 25 percent of appropriated funds only if both the U.S. Chairman and a simple majority of CADO are in agreement. In other words, a simple majority of the CADO would have effective veto power over expenditures. Countries not meeting the human rights provisions mentioned under "OBJECTIVES", as determined by a simple majority of CADO, would be declared ineligible for participation in CADO programs. SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL) WEDNESDAY, MARCH 21, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. 1.C. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:07 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Paula Hawkins pre- siding. Present: Senators Hawkins, Pell, and Biden. Senator HAWKINS. This hearing will come to order Senator Biden is going to join us. He has requested that we start without him. He will be here shortly. This is the first time in a series of full committee hearings on international narcotics control. Today we will receive testimony on the fiscal year 1985 international narcotics control authorization request and the so-called Hawkins amendment, which links foreign aid to drug eradication. No threat strikes America more frequently and savagely than il- legal narcotics. Its deadly impact is felt in failed education, violent crime, impaired national defense, reduced productivity, addiction, and death. And the menace continues to grow. The 1984 National Narcotics Intelligence Report found sharply higher world production of heroin, cocaine, marijuana, and hash- ish. Because over 90 percent of the illegal drugs consumed in the United States are produced abroad, these huge foreign supplies have resulted in lower U.S. street prices and subsequently higher abuse, addiction, and death. The most recent report by the National Institute on Drug Abuse revealed that heroin addiction and death is now at a 5-year high. There are an estimated 500,000 men, women, and, yes, children who abuse heroin in the United States. Emergency room mentions of cocaine have increased by 20 percent during the past year. There was a 13-percent increase in marijuana-related hospital emergen- cies during 1982. Today, the Federal Government has committed an unprecedent- ed amount of resources to combat the flow of illegal narcotics. ith the repeal of the Posse Comitatus Act, the U.S. Armed Forces can now assist State and local law enforcement officers in their efforts to stop drug traffickers. The South Florida Task Force, under the leadership of the Vice President, has provided Florida with additional Federal judges, more prosecuting attorneys, and hundreds of additional law en- (1053) 1054 forcement personnel. As a result, drug arrests are up 27 percent. Marijuana seizures are up 23 percent. Cocaine seizures are up 54 percent. These results are impressive, but the threat of these for- eign narcotics continues to skyrocket. On Miami's streets, we now have twice the supply of cocaine at one-half the price, $20,000 per kilo. Nationally, emergency room mentions of heroin, cocaine, and marijuana, as I have stated, are at a 5-year high, in spite of the task force that is in place in south Florida. Time and time again we have seen that the most effective means of stopping narcotics is to attack them at their foreign source. Last year, by a vote of 96 to 0, the Senate passed the Hawkins amendment, which links foreign aid with drug eradication. The amendment was signed into law by the President on November 22, 1983, and it requires that all major drug producing countries de- stroy their illegal crops as a condition for U.S. foreign aid and international loans. Drug eradication is in the best interests of all nations, not only the United States. When a country's leadership cares about inter- national narcotics control, production can be controlled, and abuse lowered. In 1972, Turkey was the source of nearly 80 percent of the heroin consumed in the United States. Today, illegal opium poppy is no longer cultivated in Turkey, and that country has become a model for drug eradication. This success was achieved only through coura- geous government leadership and Turkey's dedication of extensive personnel and resources. Recently I visited Turkey and met with Prime Minister Ozal, who expressed Turkey's continued support for aggressive drug eradication. I was very encourąged by his government's efforts to stockpile and safeguard illegal opiates and to dedicate a significant proportion of their law enforcement agencies in every province to specialized narcotics enforcement. To date the government has stockpiled nearly 70,000 tons of poppy capsules with 49,000 tons buried in the ground. Among the 78,000 officers in the Turkish police, more than 1,000 are dedicated to drug enforcement. Legal opiates produced in Turkey are strictly regulated and controlled by the Turkish Government. Because of this careful oversight, diversion from processing in Turkey is non- existent. Excess planting by licensed farmers is very rare. Sadly, one country, Colombia, continues to permit expanded nar- cotics production and processing. The 1984 NIC report revealed that Colombia was the world's leading producer of marijuana, with an estimated 12,500 tons to 15,000 metric tons in 1983. That is an increase of almost 30 percent over 1982. During the past 3 years, Colombia has increased its coca cultiva- tion by 1,000 percent, and it is now at 12,800 metric tons. It also continued to be the world's leading processor of cocaine. Although Colombia has signed an extradition treaty with the United States, it still refuses to extradite any Colombian charged with drug traf- ficking by U.S. law enforcement. Time and time again it has been shown. Drug producing coun- tries always seem to develop their own severe drug abuse problems. Today Colombia is experiencing rapidly growing problems with 1055 children smoking basucos, a deadly mixture of cocaine and mari- juana. As in many other nations, profits from the sale of illegal drugs in Colombia often end up in the pockets of antigovernment forces who use this vast ill-gotten wealth to finance terror and destruction. By its failure to eradicate vast cultivations of marijuana and coca, Co- lombia has allowed terrorists to reap huge profits, while the gov- ernment loses control. Only last week, a heavily armed guerrilla movement, the M-19, attacked a Colombian jail and freed 125 dan- gerous inmates. During consideration of the proposed 1985 foreign aid bill, I intend to oppose all direct and indirect aid to Colombia until they eradicate a minimum of 10 percent of their illegal crops. Too many young American lives have been destroyed to continue business as usual. Our first witness this morning will be Francis Mullen, Adminis- trator of the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA). Due to meeting with the Attorney General of Panama, Mr. Mullen will only be able to appear before this committee for a limited period. Welcome, Mr. Mullen. Do you have a statement? STATEMENT OF HON. FRANCIS M. MULLEN, JR., ADMINISTRATOR, DRUG ENFORCEMENT ADMINISTRATION Mr. MULLEN. Yes, I do, Senator Hawkins, a very brief statement. I am pleased to be here today before the Foreign Relations Com- mittee to discuss the role of the Drug Enforcement Administration in the international drug control effort. Unlike many other inter- national problems, drug trafficking and abuse have a direct impact upon millions of American lives every day. The Drug Enforcement Administration, along with the other agencies represented here today, is totally committed to curtailing illicit drug production and trafficking. We believe that this is an achievable goal, although a difficult one. Senator Hawkins, you and other members of the committee are cutel aware of the international dimensions of the U.S. drug problem. These concerns have been expressed in your legislative ef- forts and accomplishments. The effects of drug trafficking have taken its toll heavily in your home State. You have had private dis- cussions, I know, with many of us here today regarding how we can more effectively address this problem. You have had private meet- ings here in Washington with many senior officials of source and transit countries. You have inspected many of the actual source areas and personally relayed the U.S. Congress deep concerns to the heads of states. These activities have complimented those of the Attorney Gener- al, the Secretary of State, and others. We see the results in the agreement of the Government of the People's Republic of China to curtail production of methaqualone, and most recently in President Zia's decision to enact stronger penalties for drug trafficking in Pakistan. Anyone who has given serious thought to our Nation's drug prob- lem knows that we cannot fully succeed here in the United States unless illicit drugs are controlled at their source. All of the good 1056 will, commitment, and resources devoted to domestic drug law en- forcement serves to contain the problem and limit its impact. If we are to have any significant reduction in the availability of illicit drugs in the United States, then we and the governments of other nations must work to eliminate the cultivation and production of illicit drugs in the source and transit countries where the drug sup- plies are most heavily concentrated. I will not dwell on the scope of the drug problem today: You have recently received the international narcotics control strategy report from the Bureau of International Narcotic Matters. This most comprehensive report clearly delineates the problem we face. The Drug Enforcement Administration worked in close consulta- tion with the State Department on this report. Suffice to say that we still suffer from the widespread availability of heroin, cocaine, and marijuana from foreign sources. Specifically, in the area of assistance to other countries, DEA has assigned 276 positions to 67 offices in 42 countries throughout the world. The principal thrust of DEA's foreign effort focuses on pro- viding assistance to foreign source, transit, and victim nations in developing effective drug law enforcement programs. Our activities center on the ability of DEA to provide expert advice and authorized investigative intelligence and training assist- ance to those countries most critical to the reduction of drugs des- tined to the United States. Our commitment to solve our own drug problem in the United States must be matched by a parallel commitment to work with foreign nations in solving their drug problems. Long-term success requires that we work just as hard overseas as we do here at home. We must work on all fronts, at the local, national, and internation- al level. I am very optimistic that with your continued support, the part- nership of the agencies represented before you today will make sig- nificant progress in our efforts. That concludes my statement, Senator Hawkins, and I would be pleased to answer any questions you may have. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you, Mr. Mullen. Under your leader- ship, the Drug Enforcement Administration has made more ar- rests, more seizures and convictions than ever before, and you are to be complimented for your great dedication to this war on drugs. Mr. MULLEN. Thank you. Senator HAWKINS. Recently, as you know, I led a Senate investi- gative mission to the major opium-producing countries. Without ex- ception, foreign law enforcement officials had praise for the DEA, for the training that you have given their personnel. I think it is a very valuable role that you are playing. Would you describe the role of the DEA agents in the training abroad? Mr. MULLEN. Yes, we have a total of about 180 agents overseas, and not only are they there to conduct investigations and to ex- change and develop intelligence, but we do afford training to for- eign officers in the areas of drug investigations, drug identification, and most recently we have made a substantial effort in the area of seizure and forfeiture of assets. This is an area of particular inter- 1057 est in Thailand, Hong Kong, Peru, and other Latin American coun- tries. I believe that in the past 10 years, and I know that is going back a long way, we have trained over 17,000 foreign police officials in narcotics investigations. Senator HAWKINS. In Section 481 of the Foreign Assistance Act, as adopted by Congress in 1971, which established the Internation- al Narcotics Control function under the direction of the President and the Department of State, if you read all they are supposed to do with the money they get for foreign aid, it says. Training for foreign personnel in narcotics enforcement and related procedures and coordination of international efforts with domestic drug abuse strategies. Does the training you provide and the funds that it costs come from the DEA budget, or does it come from the State Department. Mr. MULLEN. It comes from both areas, Senator Hawkins, but when we are training overseas, we receive funding from INM. Senator HAWKINS. I am concerned, as are many other Senators, that the narcotics profits are financing terrorism, as we read in the paper daily. The Government of Cuba is facilitating in the flow of narcotics into Miami by providing safe harbor, refueling, repair of vessels for the traffickers, and as you know recently four senior members of the Cuban Government were indicted in Miami for their role in drug trafficking. Could you describe for me and the committee the link between narcotics profits and terrorism? Specifically I am interested in M- 19 of Colombia, who have made headlines this morning, the Shin- ing Way in Peru, and the Bulgarian connection that we read a lot about. Mr. MULLEN. Yes. You have identified two governments, I be- lieve, which are institutionally involved in facilitating drug traf- ficking activity. The Bulgarian Government, which I will deal with first, does, we believe, facilitate drug trafficking activity through their nation. We believe that drugs that are seized often show up back in the traffic after having been seized, and we believe that these funds obtained in this manner are used to obtain hard cur- rency and to support terrorist activities in other parts of the world. There is a much clearer picture in my mind in Latin America. We have clear evidence of Cuban involvement in facilitating drug trafficking activity, and even though there has been extensive pub- licity of late regarding this matter, this activity continues. We con- tinue, for example, to seize vessels and aircraft and the ship's log or aircraft log shows that the aircraft had a stop in Cuba. Recently there was a case whereby an aircraft was seized, and by virtue of the time it took to get to the United States from Latin America, it was clear it had to have had a stop in Cuba, and an examination of the gasoline in the aircraft showed that it could not have been obtained at the origin of the flight, nor could it have been obtained in the United States. You mentioned the recent activity relating to M-19. We have had substantial activity this past week in Colombia on the part of the Colombian authorities, and they did obtain information regard- ing the location of what was believed to have been a single labora- tory site, and 40 Colombian national policemen were sent to the lo- 1058 cation, but upon arriving found that they were opposed by at least 100 guerrillas believed to be members of the FARC, and this is a militant armed wing of the Communist Party in Colombia. And at this time I understand that there are now 1,000 Colombi- an army troops in the area, and nine laboratories have been locat- ed, and it is estimated that somewhere in the area of 12,500 kilo- grams of finished cocaine hydrochloride or cocaine base, which is a 1-to-1 relationship to the finished product, have been seized, and much of it destroyed. There are observers from the embassy on the scene confirming the finds and that the seized contraband is being destroyed. In ad- dition, they discovered 10,000 barrels of fuel and ether, and as you know, one barrel of ether would result in the preparation of about ten kilograms of finished product. So it is a very substantial discov- ery in Colombia, and in my opinion the Colombian national police and the military there are doing an outstanding job once they re- ceive information and have intelligence and are able to proceed against a target. But if I may add, Senator Hawkins, in this case we do believe that the guerrillas were actually involved in the preparation and protecting of the site. Senator HAWKINS. Did the Colombian Government attack the co- caine processing center because of its terrorism links or because it opposes drugs? Mr. MULLEN. I could not speak for the Colombian Government as to their motives. They were not aware going in that this would be a terrorist operation. They did not discover this until arriving on the scene. So I would have to believe that it would be their opposition to drugs. And you pointed out something which is very critical, and that is that a very serious domestic addict problem is developing in Colom- bia, and although I recognize they have many problems in dealing with terrorism and drug trafficking there, this is of great concern to the Colombian Government, and no doubt an impetus for them to take strong action. Senator HAWKINS. How about the Shining Way in Peru? Mr. MULLEN. I am not familiar with that particular group, Sena- tor Hawkins. I would have to respond in writing to that. Senator HAWKINS. The Bulgarian connection? Mr. MULLEN. There is a company in Bulgaria, the Kintet Co., I believe it is, that although it is supposed to be an international export-import company, we believe it covers some drug trafficking activity. Senator HAWKINS. What do you think the goal of the Bulgarian Government is, money or harm to the West? Mr. MULLEN. I think the main goal, and this is a personal opin- ion, and based on the reports that I have seen, would be to obtain hard currency, but again, personal opinion, I do not believe that several of the Communist bloc countries and Cuba are doing a whole lot to assist us with our drug problem and to curtail the transit of drugs through their territory. Senator HAWKINS. I am personally aware of the DEA's initiatives at your direction to control supply of chemicals such as acetic an- hydrite and acetone used in the processing of heroin and cocaine. 1059 How effective have these efforts been, and are other countries coop- erating in this effort? Mr. MULLEN. The efforts have been successful. In 1983, for exam- ple, Colombia agreed to control the import of ether, a necessary in- gredient to the production of cocaine. And we have received assist- ance from Mexico, from West Germany, and it is really a program that is just beginning to take hold, and I have great hopes for this particular area, that of controlling the precursors or the elements necessary to prepare and make heroin and cocaine. Senator HAWKINS. Does Colombia allow you to take aerial photo- graphs of their country? Mr. MULLEN. Yes, they have, in some areas. In the northwest part of the country, I believe, we have done some photographic work with regard to some air strips there, clandestine air strips, and they have cooperated in this regard. Senator HAWKINS. How about Peru? Mr. MULLEN. I am not certain as to whether or not we have even asked for aerial photography, the capability, in Peru. I would answer that for the record, if I may. [The information referred to follows: The Drug Enforcement Administration has performed aerial photography in Peru with the approval and cooperation of the Peruvian Government. Senator HAWKINS. I spoke with the Ambassador yesterday, and he said he would be willing to have you photograph Peru in an effort to comply with the Hawkins amendment. Mr. MULLEN. I will look into that if I may and get back to you. That would be great. Senator HAWKINS. How about Bolivia? Have we ever photo- graphed-have they ever asked, or have you ever asked to photo- graph, aerial? Mr. MULLEN. I am not certain as to whether we have even asked or whether they have offered. Senator HAWKINS. How does that work? Do you volunteer the service? Mr. MULLEN. We volunteer the service when we think it can be of help. There is a sensitivity here, as you can imagine. Senator HAWKINS. Surely. [The following information was subsequently received for the record:] For the record, the Drug Enforcement Administration has performed aerial pho- tography in Bolivia with the approval and cooperation of the Bolivian Government. Mr. MULLEN. There are some countries that just do not want the United States or any other country, for that matter, photographing their territory. But should we run into an obstacle, you can be sure I would be very quick to call upon you for assistance. Senator HAWKINS. Well, as you know, President Zia said he would be delighted to have his country photographed if, you know, we give the photographs back to him, and if we mark where these areas are, they would eradicate. Mr. MULLEN. It is not an area I really like to go into in an open session, but if you would like to discuss it further in closed session, I would be happy to do so. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. 1058 cation, but upon arriving found that they were opposed by at least 100 guerrillas believed to be members of the FARC, and this is a militant armed wing of the Communist Party in Colombia. And at this time I understand that there are now 1,000 Colombi- an army troops in the area, and nine laboratories have been locat- ed, and it is estimated that somewhere in the area of 12,500 kilo- grams of finished cocaine hydrochloride or cocaine base, which is a 1-to-1 relationship to the finished product, have been seized, and much of it destroyed. There are observers from the embassy on the scene confirming the finds and that the seized contraband is being destroyed. In ad- dition, they discovered 10,000 barrels of fuel and ether, and as you know, one barrel of ether would result in the preparation of about ten kilograms of finished product. So it is a very substantial discov- ery in Colombia, and in my opinion the Colombian national police and the military there are doing an outstanding job once they re- ceive information and have intelligence and are able to proceed against a target. But if I may add, Senator Hawkins, in this case we do believe that the guerrillas were actually involved in the preparation and protecting of the site. Senator HAWKINS. Did the Colombian Government attack the co- caine processing center because of its terrorism links or because it opposes drugs? Mr. MULLEN. I could not speak for the Colombian Government as to their motives. They were not aware going in that this would be a terrorist operation. They did not discover this until arriving on the scene. So I would have to believe that it would be their opposition to drugs. And you pointed out something which is very critical, and that is that a very serious domestic addict problem is developing in Colom- bia, and although I recognize they have many problems in dealing with terrorism and drug trafficking there, this is of great concern to the Colombian Government, and no doubt an impetus for them to take strong action. Senator HAWKINS. How about the Shining Way in Peru? Mr. MULLEN. I am not familiar with that particular group, Sena- tor Hawkins. I would have to respond in writing to that. Senator HAWKINS. The Bulgarian connection? Mr. MULLEN. There is a company in Bulgaria, the Kintet Co., I believe it is, that although it is supposed to be an international export-import company, we believe it covers some drug trafficking activity. Senator HAWKINS. What do you think the goal of the Bulgarian Government is, money or harm to the West? Mr. MULLEN. I think the main goal, and this is a personal opin- ion, and based on the reports that I have seen, would be to obtain hard currency, but again, personal opinion, I do not believe that several of the Communist bloc countries and Cuba are doing a whole lot to assist us with our drug problem and to curtail the transit of drugs through their territory. Senator HAWKINS. I am personally aware of the DEA's initiatives at your direction to control supply of chemicals such as acetic an- hydrite and acetone used in the processing of heroin and cocaine. 1059 How effective have these efforts been, and are other countries coop- erating in this effort? Mr. MULLEN. The efforts have been successful. In 1983, for exam- ple, Colombia agreed to control the import of ether, a necessary in- gredient to the production of cocaine. And we have received assist- ance from Mexico, from West Germany, and it is really a program that is just beginning to take hold, and I have great hopes for this particular area, that of controlling the precursors or the elements necessary to prepare and make heroin and cocaine. Senator HAWKINS. Does Colombia allow you to take aerial photo- graphs of their country? Mr. MULLEN. Yes, they have, in some areas. In the northwest part of the country, I believe, we have done some photographic work with regard to some air strips there, clandestine air strips, and they have cooperated in this regard. Senator HAWKINS. How about Peru? Mr. MULLEN. I am not certain as to whether or not we have even asked for aerial photography, the capability, in Peru. I would answer that for the record, if I may. [The information referred to follows: The Drug Enforcement Administration has performed aerial photography in Peru with the approval and cooperation of the Peruvian Government. Senator HAWKINS. I spoke with the Ambassador yesterday, and he said he would be willing to have you photograph Peru in an effort to comply with the Hawkins amendment. Mr. MULLEN. I will look into that if I may and get back to you. That would be great. Senator HAWKINS. How about Bolivia? Have we ever photo- graphed-have they ever asked, or have you ever asked to photo- graph, aerial? Mr. MULLEN. I am not certain as to whether we have even asked or whether they have offered. Senator HAWKINS. How does that work? Do you volunteer the service? Mr. MULLEN. We volunteer the service when we think it can be of help. There is a sensitivity here, as you can imagine. Senator HAWKINS. Surely, [The following information was subsequently received for the record:) For the record, the Drug Enforcement Administration has performed aerial pho- tography in Bolivia with the approval and cooperation of the Bolivian Government. Mr. MULLEN. There are some countries that just do not want the United States or any other country, for that matter, photographing their territory. But should we run into an obstacle, you can be sure I would be very quick to call upon you for assistance. Senator HAWKINS. Well, as you know, President Zia said he would be delighted to have his country photographed if, you know, we give the photographs back to him, and if we mark where these areas are, they would eradicate. Mr. MULLEN. It is not an area I really like to go into in an open session, but if you would like to discuss it further in closed session, I would be happy to do so. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. 1060 In 1972, as I stated, Turkey was the leading producer of opium poppy, and 80 percent of the heroin consumed in the United States was produced in Turkey, and today they have eliminated elicit opium poppy cultivation. How important was Turkey's eradication of the opium poppy to your drug control efforts? Mr. MULLEN. It was the key, really, to the substantial reduction of heroin abuse in this country. Turkey virtually eliminated the growth of the opium poppy, and up to that time Turkey had been the main supplier of licit opium to the United States from which we obtain our morphine. As a result, for a couple of years Turkey did not produce a licit crop, and later developed a controlled system to produce the opium poppy. We are again purchasing a substantial amount of our licit needs from Turkey, a substantial amount also from India, but the control effort on the part of the Turks was a very vital part of the reduction in heroin abuse in the mid-1970's. Senator HAWKINS. I know the Turkish success was not easily achieved. None of these efforts are in the countries that we have talked to. What do you believe the cost of eradication to the Turk- ish Government was in terms of personnel and resources, do you have any idea, in that 10-year battle? Mr. MULLEN. I do not. I would perhaps defer to Mr. DiCarlo or submit that answer for the record also. [The information referred to follows.] There is no doubt that the cost of the opium ban and the subsequent strict en- forcement of controlled production was substantial both in terms of personnel and resources to the Turkish Government. We do not however have the basis on which to estimate those costs. We do know that the Turkish National Police have approxi- mately 1,100 officers specializing in narcotic enforcement located in offices through- out the country. Many other resources are dedicated to policing the controlled pro- duction and processing of the poppy straw. The Drug Enforcement Administration receives excellent cooperation from its Turkish counterparts and has great respect for their abilities and dedication. Senator HAWKINS. All right. Senator Biden, I have finished with Mr. Mullen. He has an ap- pointment with the attorney general of Panama, not our Attorney General. Mr. MULLEN. Actually, with both of them, Senator. Senator HAWKINS. Oh, things are looking up. [General laughter.] Senator BIDEN. I do have a few questions. Senator HAWKINS. Go right ahead. Senator BIDEN. I apologize for being late. It is good to see you again. As you are well aware, you and I have had an ongoing interest in this subject, and the whole question of international drug traffick- ing. The General Accounting Office--it seems like every time you and I talk, I am talking about a General Accounting Office study, but the General Accounting Office has just completed a report for me entitled “Investigation of Major Drug Traffic Organizations." I asked the GAO to conduct this study 3 years ago in order to focus on three specific issues: How DEA has established who the largest traffickers are and is focusing on them; how does the orga- nization's violation classification system encourage DEA to focus on the highest level of violations; and what are the investigative 1061 methods used in high level investigations and how successful are they. The GAO report concluded that your geographic drug enforce- ment program used for classifying drug violators is, and this is ac- cording to GAO now-I am doing this because I would like to get some comment from you, and if you need more time to study it, I would be happy to wait for it, but they suggest that your geograph- ic drug enforcement program [GDEP] used for classifying drug vio- lators is too broad to determine how much your investigative effort is directed toward the heads of these organizations. The report also indicates that DEA may be overstating the number of arrests, and this is based on their review of case files and interviews with agents and U.S. attorneys which show that only 12 percent of the cases were ones where the head of an organi- zation was actually arrested. Also, in only 52 percent of the cases were the trafficking organi- zations considered to be significant by the attorneys who handled the prosecution. In the report, GAO recommends, and the Department of Justice agrees, that the DEA violators classification system should be re- vised to provide for a separate category for persons managing con- tinuing criminal enterprises. Such a category would provide the ad- ministration and the Congress with a better measure of the DEA's efforts against major organizations, it is argued. What is the Department's plan of action, what is the timetable to achieve it, relating to the intent of this recommendation of reclassi- fication? Mr. MULLEN. I have reviewed the draft, though I have not seen the final report. As you have pointed out, we agreed that the GDEP system needs modification, that it was broad, and we want to be more specific, so we are going to break down the categories. We do not want to discard the GDEP system, the one, two, three, four classifications, because we then would have nothing with which to measure our past successes or failures, and so we want to retain this, but to break down the categories so we can better iden- tify, say, a financier, a trafficker, an organized crime figure, a public corruption type case, and we are working on that now. I do not know what our timeframe is, but I will get that answer back to you. [The information referred to follows: Our current plans are to implement a revised GDEP system on October 1, 1984. Senator BIDEN. Good. That will be important. I think it is impor- tant that we have an idea of the level and scope of the people you are going after, and it is one thing to say that your class 1 violator arrests have increased from 3,456 in 1982 to 3,660 in 1983, as re- ported by the Justice authorization budget request for 1985. How- ever, when I see in the GAO report that your class 1 violations list may be overstated, and that up to 50 percent of the top cases hand- picked by DEA for use by the GAO study, only 12 percent of those, alleged in the report, only 12 percent of those involved were the head of trafficking organizations, and I get concerned about where our targeting of resources and the figures we are seeing. It seems a 1062 little bit misleading, not necessarily intentionally, but the effect is, I think, somewhat misleading. Mr. MULLEN. I thought this was a good GAO report, and as you are aware, I am sure, it is very difficult to arrest and eventually convict the head of an organization, but I believe the report also shows that a majority of our field agents now believe we re target- ed at the top of the drug trafficking elements. Senator BIDEN. Well, I think that is right about the field agents, but we get into a problem which I guess we will not go into now because you have other places to go, and I have a few other ques- tions. The part of the report that concerned me was the part relat- ing to the U.S. attorneys out in the field who were not so sure that the conclusion and assessment reached by your field people was correct about whether or not the target was Mr. MULLEN. I would like to review the specific area you are re- ferring to and get back to you with an answer. Senator BIDEN. I thank you for being cooperative in that regard. I am not pressing the point, and I do not mean to be overly critical, but this targeting aspect is one of the areas you and I have been discussing for about 4 years now. Mr. MULLEN. That is right. Senator BIDEN. And I would like to pursue it with you later. With your permission, Madame Chairperson, I would like to go forward with a couple of more questions. Senator HAWKINS. Go ahead. Senator BIDEN. How do you define an organized drug trafficking network? Mr. MULLEN. This would have to be a group, and it could be two individuals, but most likely more, organized with the means of ac- quiring the drug from a source country and a means of distributing those drugs in the United States. They would have to have both a source and a means of distributing the drugs. And that to me would be an organized network. Senator BIDEN, OK. Mr. MULLEN. And the financing, of course, would be yet another factor. Senator BIDEN. Now, this is, I guess, the definition you all used when you stated that drug trafficking networks were supplying over 90 percent of the illegal drugs imported into the United States last year Mr. MULLEN. Yes. Senator BIDEN. So that one of the things that we tend to think about up here in my companion committee, the Judiciary Commit- tee, and in the other committees, it seems like, you have to spend more time with me than anybody, probably, between here, the Budget, Intelligence, and Judiciary Committees. Everything over- laps. But one of the impressions that most people have is when we talk about drug trafficking networks, we are talking about the Cosa Nostra type organizations, including the Hispanic version, and the Greek version, the Jewish version, and all the various or- ganized crime networks that are out there. But really what you are saying here is that-a network can con- sist of merely two or more people who in fact have a means of access to and distribution of drugs in the United States. 1063 Mr. MULLEN. That is correct, but we generally find that the net- works do break down along ethnic lines. For example, you will find with regard to cocaine that Colombian organized crime elements are usually involved. We saw for the first time in the Rosenthal case, our Southern Comfort long-term undercover investigation aimed at the highest levels of drug trafficking, a link between Co- lombian organized crime and the Italian organized crime, the Mafia and La Cosa Nostra. So depending on the nature of the drug, you will find it broken down along ethnic lines. This is usually not true with regard to marijuana, where you find many ad hoc trafficking groups, and with regard to dangerous drugs, where you find motorcycle gangs involved. Senator BIDEN. Just one more follow-up on that point. At some point in our future discussions in this or another committee or just in the office, what I am most interested in knowing, without at- tempting to dictate the course of action you should be taking, that of the 90 percent of illegal drugs imported into the United States, what percent of them are what most people including myself, call major trafficking organizations? Now, "major" can be defined two ways. It is true, you could have two people who have a multibillion dollar business. It is unlikely that two would be able to do it, but possible. So it seems to me for our purposes, and I suspect maybe the Senator from Florida would agree with me that major tends to in my view break down in terms of-the volume of dollars that they are generating from the trade, and/or the size and scope of the network. That is very broad. And once that is determined for us, I would like to know, to what extent are you targeting those people. Do you understand what I am saying? Mr. MULLEN. Yes. You are very clear, and that is exactly what we are doing. For example, we estimated at one time that La Cosa Nostra, traditional organized crime, was responsible for about 90 percent of the heroin coming into the Northeastern United States. We targeted that element as an organization, although there were several organizations involved, and we have been relatively suc- cessful in reducing that group's share of the heroin coming in, and the heroin traffic by this group was from Southwest Asia. As a result, we are starting to see some Mexican heroin showing up in New York. As we have been successful with one group, another or- ganized element has moved in. I can identify those groups for you, and perhaps even give you a percentage of the major groups. Senator BIDEN. Well, for the record, I think that would be a useful thing for us. Senator HAWKINS. Surely. [The information referred to follows:] The Drug Enforcement Administration estimates that there are thousands of major drug trafficking organizations in the United States. At the present time, there are in excess of 500 such organizations targetted and under active investiga- tion by the Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Forces alone. An even larger number of others are targetted by DEA and the FBI outside of that program. Drug trafficking is a continuing criminal enterprise in which various criminal laws are violated for financial gain. It requires the collaboration of a large number of people. The complex structure, pattern of racketeering and financial objectives are the predominant characteristics of drug organizations. They do not necessarily 1064 consist of individuals with the same ethnic background. Those drug organizations which are structured along ethnic lines often must depend on or actually ally with other groups in order to accomplish a particular aspect of the operation. The inter- relationships of many organizations, the fluid and ever-changing nature of associa- tions makes it most impractical, except in rare instances, to assert with any degree of preciseness the percentage of the total traffic controlled by any one organization. We do, however, in conjunction with other agencies, make estimates of the supply of illicit drugs to the United States. We also estimate the shares supplied by the various source countries. Senator Biden, I would be most pleased to have personnel of our Operations Divi- sion brief you on the nature of the traffic in each drug area. The briefing would provide in more specific terms the results of our efforts to identify major trafficking organizations. Senator BIDEN. Last question. I will shift subjects. I know you have another appointment. By the way, I want to thank you. If you look down the list of the people that we asked here, the heads of the different agencies, thanks for coming. Apparently we still have not gotten through to this or the last administration that when we deal with the drug issue, it is just as important as dealing with strategic arms control, or just as important as dealing with any other foreign policy issue, Lebanon or anything else, in my view and, I know, in the view of the chairman. They are equally as im- portant, and yet we tend to be sent up the second team-but prob- ably more competent, quite frankly, on the issue. Mr. MULLEN. I would not go that far, Senator. [General laugh- ter.] Senator BIDEN. At any rate, my last question relates to the point you just raised, and just so you do not wonder, Bud, behind me, nei- ther of the people sitting here are on the Foreign Relations Com- mittee. This fellow here is Foreign Relations, and he helps out on this. This fellow here with the Judiciary Committee, who you deal with all the time. And this fellow here is my staff member on the Intelligence Committee, so I get three different lines of questioning. From the intelligence side of this thing, let me ask you one ques- tion that can be asked in the open. I do not think your answer would require any breaches of security. Over the last year, and you have told us it was going to happen, the Italian Government has launched an offensive against what is known in this country and there as the Mafia in Sicily, and the Camorra in Naples, both orga- nized crime groups who play a major role in drug trafficking. Can you give us any estimate of what their success has been, the Italian Government, to the best of our knowledge, and what involv- ment-or assistance that we have had in their efforts, and what impact there has been on the United States, if you are able to speak of that in open session? Mr. MULLEN. I can speak to it partially. We, DEA and the FBI, have put additional personnel into Italy. We have had agents trav- eling to Italy, working over there. There is a new Italian anti- Mafia law which can result in imprisonment even if you associate with Mafia figures. When we have furnished information to the Italian authorities which we obtain from informants or perhaps from wiretaps in this country, the Italians have taken decisive action, with hundreds of arrests. I cannot recall the exact number off the top of my head, but hundreds of arrests. And we will be in the not too distant future concluding some very successful investigations as a result of this effort. Now, there 1065 is another area that should be discussed off the record which I think this committee and the Judiciary Committee would find very interesting and be very pleased with. Senator BIDEN. I think it may be useful for the Senator from Florida and the Senator from Delaware to maybe make arrange- ments in the near term to get you up into a closed meeting session with us to bring us up to date on that. Mr. MULLEN. I would like to do that. Senator BIDEN. Good, I am sorry I trespassed on your time so long, Madam Chairman. I am finished. Thank you. Senator HAWKINS. I have one last question. Maurice Turner, who is Chief of Police of the District of Columbia, recently said that up to 80 percent of the crime in the District of Columbia, is drug relat- ed. What do you believe is the national impact of narcotics on crime? Mr. MULLEN. I do not think I would go as high as 90 percent. Senator HAWKINS. He said 80. Mr. MULLEN. I am sorry, 80? Senator HAWKINS. Eighty percent. Mr. MULLEN. Depending on the nature of the crime, certainly burglaries, something of that nature, I would say over half would be drug related, something of that nature. Robberies would be an- other area wherein you have a high drug involvement. We find in almost every case that there is some drug connection to robberies, bank robberies and others. I would not be able to estimate with regard to, say murders that are committed, and other violent crimes of this nature. But there is no question that a substantial amount of the crime is related to drug activity, With regard to the District of Columbia, I have the highest re- spect for Chief Turner, but I must say I have found that we should be doing much more with enforcing the paraphernalia laws. I am now seeing that paraphernalia. Although there is an antiparapher- nalia law, it is just now being enforced, and even our 7-eleven's I am told, are now selling the paper with which you make marijuana cigarettes. So I think more could be done in the District to reduce that percentage, in my opinion, and again, I have the highest re- spect for Chief Turner, and will discuss that with him. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you very much. Your contribution has been very helpful. Our next witness will be Assistant Secretary Dominick DiCarlo, Bureau of International Narcotics Matters, Department of State. Senator BIDEN. Before Mr. DiCarlo starts, I want to make some- thing clear. I am not in any way suggesting that he is not an ex- tremely competent person to speak to this subject. We have spoken many times. I just think the fact that he is here and the Secretary is not here is a reflection that the State Department still does not consider this in the same category as other things. For example, on minor things in Latin America, minor things in Central America, minor things in the Middle East, minor things in Europe, we get the Secretary of State here, because that is brief- case foreign policy stuff. Here, the Secretary of State does not come, and I think it is wrong. I think it is a mistake, and it is not a reflection on Mr. DiCarlo. He cannot make them come. 34-045 0-844-68 1066 I am sure you will defend to the hilt that that is not the case, but we have yet to have a Secretary of State come up here and evi- dence that he has any knowledge of, any consideration of, or any notion of the drug problem. Senator HAWKINS. I hate to ruin your day, but I asked the Secre- tary of State when he was at the witness table a week or so ago how he felt we could stop the flow of drugs from Latin America when he was pleading the case for the Caribbean. I was very sad- dened to hear him say very soberly that the only way we are going to stop the flow would be to stop the market in the United States, which is exactly what the head of every foreign nation tells you when they come to see me or come to see you. It is your fault. If you guys quit using it, we will quit sending it. Senator BIDEN. At least he did not say they will not stop until we stop the Russians. That is kind of encouraging. Mr. DICARLO. Senator, before I go on with my limited remarks, I would like to say that perhaps the reason the Secretary is not here is because he has read the statute passed by Congress. Under the Foreign Assistance Act, the President of the United States is au- thorized to enter into agreements with foreign nations. Under the act, that authority was transferred to the Secretary of State, and under that act assigned to me by the Congress. So, I think the Sec- retary takes the position that this is the function of our office, and therefore I am testifying here today. Senator BIDEN. Well, as you know, we have done the same thing in arms control. We have a thing called the Arms Control and Dis- armament Agency, yet when we talk about arms control, he comes up. He does not send up the head of ACDA, who we bring up inde- pendently. So what we should do now is get you both to the table next time. Please send a message to the Secretary that we are still dissatisfied with the way in which-well, let me say I; I speak for me-with the way the State Department treats the issue of drugs, as if it is something that should not be on a foreign policy agenda, and it is the single most important matter that could be on the for- eign policy agenda. Senator HAWKINS. I echo that sentiment. Do you have a statement, Mr. DiCarlo? And would you identify the people with you, please? STATEMENT OF HON. DOMINICK L. DiCARLO, ASSISTANT SECRE- TARY OF STATE, BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS MATTERS, ACCOMPANIED BY CLYDE D. TAYLOR, DEPUTY AS- SISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE, BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS MATTERS; AND JAMES VAN WERT, EXECUTIVE DI- RECTOR, BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS MATTERS Mr. DICARLO. To my right, Mr. Chairman, is Mr. Clyde Taylor, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in our Bureau. To my left is Mr. James Van Wert. He is executive director of the Bureau. They will be the people I will be able to rely on for accurate information. Senator HAWKINS. Designated by the President. Mr. DICARLO. The committee has copies of our budget presenta- tion, and my formal testimony provides highlights of the budget re- quest, and also includes the budget tables. The President is request- 1067 ing $50.2 million for the international narcotics control program, which is managed by our Bureau. If enacted by the Congress, it would be $9,017,000 over the amount actually appropriated for fiscal year 1984 under the continuing resolution. The Department proposes to allocate $40.5 million or 81 percent of the request to country programs, including $29.4 million for Latin America, $8.1 million for East Asia, and $3 million for South- west Asia. The largest increase would be an additional $6.8 million to support a crop control program in Colombia, which we hope to negotiate this year. Other country programs would remain at the 1984 level or increase slightly. Manual eradication and interdiction efforts have increased in Co- lombia, which is increasingly concerned about its rapidly expand- ing domestic drug abuse problem. The program request of $10,300,000 for Colombia is based on assisting Colombia in a com- prehensive marijuana eradication program and an expanded coca control program. The National Council on Dangerous Drugs has ap- proved an experimental coca and marijuana herbicidal eradication program. It must be noted that last week, after a gunfight with heavily armed insurgents, the national police claimed to have seized 10 tons of cocaine and paste while destroying 12 cocaine laboratories. Training of the Bolivian special police forces has been completed. In anticipation of these forces establishing law and order in the Chapare region, we have requested $5.5 million for fiscal year 1985 to continue the coca control efforts which will begin this year, which is budgeted at $5.7 million. We have budgeted $3.5 million, a slight increase, to continue the coca eradication program in Peru in fiscal year 1985, where our agreement calls for the eradication of 4,000 hectares, compared to the eradication of 703 hectares in 1983, and 4,000 hectares which are scheduled for eradication this year. The Mexican Attorney General's Office reports increased levels of opium poppy and cannibis eradication in 1983. We expect a con- tinued high level effort this year, and are requesting $8.9 million, an increase of $400,000, to support the program in fiscal year 1985. The Department is requesting $1 million to support a Latin American and Caribbean regional program, including funds to pro- vide an enhanced communication package for the Bahamas' inter- diction effort. The $2 million requested for Pakistan in fiscal year 1985 pro- vides continued support for the reduction of poppy cultivation and for enforcement efforts against heroin processing and trafficking. Reflecting previous efforts in the Malakand, our budget is reduced by $900,000. Pakistani opium production declined further in 1983 to a level of 45 to 60 metric tons. The expectation is that the Mala- kand agency will be opium free in 1985, and that the Gadoon- Amazai area will be opium free in the 1986-87 crop year. We have requested $900,000 to assist Turkey in upgrading its en- forcement capabilities. The Department has requested $2.8 million for Thailand, where the government has sustained its military campaign to suppress opium trafficking and heroin production along the Thai-Burma border, and has recently begun controlling opium production in ci- vilian police-military command villages where transitional assist- 1068 ance is being provided. The $5 million budgeted for Burma will in- crease support for the Burmese air force's capability to airlift ground forces engaged in poppy eradication and interdiction operations. The budget also includes $2.7 million for the United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control, which is now undertaking coca con- trol programs in South America and planning an expanded role in Pakistan. Finally, it should be noted in the context of the report we have submitted that funds will be expanded in 1984 and 1985 to support narcotics surveys in key source countries. The committee has re- ceived copies of the Department's international narcotic control strategy report in accordance with Public Law 98–164, which was adopted last November. My remarks are organized in terms of the law's information requirements. First, we were asked to provide an assessment of the status of narcotics production and trafficking. The preliminary estimates of the production subcommittee of the National Narcotics Intelligence Consumers Committee [NNICC] indicate that gross cultivation of opium, marijuana, and coca increased in 1983 in the principal growing regions which supply the United States market. These reports also show that eradication levels increased in sev- eral key countries, and that seizures also increased, as did the amount of hectarage taken out of cultivation through government bans, crop substitution programs, and enforcement activities. Moreover, the available data show that local demand is increas- ing rapidly in many source countries. Thus in some countries the amount available for export did not change or did not change as much as the increase in cultivation. Moreover, there were declines in gross cultivation of opium poppy in Pakistan, Thailand, and Laos. The report provides production estimates for the years 1981 through 1985, and provides NNICC estimates on imports through 1982. Analysts are continuing to study these preliminary 1983 esti- mates on production levels and the implications for trafficking and consumption. The NNICC subcommittee anticipates having its report on 1983 production and import estimates completed by June. Second, we were asked to provide details on the various kinds of U.S. assistance provided to narcotics source countries. In addition to our programs, the report references relevant activities of the U.S. Agency for International Development, the Drug Enforcement Administration, other U.S. agencies, and international organiza- tions. Also reported are data on allocations under general U.S. assist- ance categories, and data on loans by international development banks. Third, we were asked to provide an assessment of the impact of the U.S. assistance on narcotics control. Assessments of the overall impact on nonnarcotics assistance falls into three categories, which are not necessarily exclusive. First, that other U.S. assistance does not impact negatively or positively on the country's narcotic con- trol decisions or performance. Second, that such assistance positive- ly affects the overall disposition and capability of the country to co- operate with the U.S. drug control objectives. And third, that in . 1069 some cases a termination of U.S. assistance for narcotic policy rea- sons would impact negatively on the country's disposition to con- trol elicit drugs notwithstanding the first or second factors. In general, the economic and other nonnarcotic assistance does and should continue to affect positively each recipient country's disposition to cooperate with the United States in achieving progress in elicit drug control, but there are specific implications associated with the various kinds of aid and impacts differ. Because much of this information is sensitive, the Department has submit- ted a classified report, and will respond to further questions on this matter in a closed hearing. Fourth, we were asked to comment on the development of plans, programs, and timetables for narcotic control. Some countries have adequate countryside narcotics control strategies. Others have strategies for specific target areas. Others have little more than goals and objectives. On balance, planning has improved. Fifth, we were asked to assess the adequacy of the legal and law enforcement measures taken by various countries relative to nar- cotics control. This is an area in which we think there has been considerable improvement in recent years. Sixth, we were asked to report accomplishments in narcotics con- trol. There was substantial progress in 1983. For example, the Pakistanis suppressed opium production in the Malakand agency. A U.S. aid development assistance program which is linked to nar- cotics control was initiated in the Gadoon-Amazai area, and the Pakistanis expanded their actions against heroin laboratories. An agreement on a crop control program was signed with Bolivia in August. Peru began coca eradication in the upper Huallaga Valley. Colombia intensified its manual eradication efforts, and dis- closed plans for testing herbicide eradication on both coca and marijuana. The Government of Italy pledged $40 million to the U.S. Fund for Drug Abuse Control for coca related development projects in South America. The Mexicans, who reported a significant expansion in opium eradication, collaborated effectively on a herbicidal program in Belize. Seventh, we were asked to provide estimates of the maximum re- ductions achievable in narcotics production by the producing coun- tries as defined in the statute. The statute defines this as planned reductions. Thus, estimates shown are based upon the proposed government actions, taking into account other information on the nature of the elicit drug production problem, such as climatic, geo- graphic, political, economic, and social factors that affect both elicit drug production and crop control. Generally speaking, our report shows that these countries are projecting varied levels of reductions in one or more categories, cul- tivation, refining, or trafficking. Eighth, we were asked to provide an assessment of the nature of narcotics production. While coca prices at the farm gate declined, farmers continued production both in an attempt to keep their gross incomes at previous levels and also out of a need to harvest maturing coca bushes which they had planted during the peak price years. 1070 Mexican growers were planting crops in more inaccessible, higher altitudes, and fields larger than previously seen have been spotted recently. Opium production continued to decline in Pakistan, but in- creased significantly in Afghanistan, which continued to supply Pakistani heroin laboratories. While Colombian traffickers are now cultivating more coca leave to enhance their dominant position as refiners, Bolivian traffickers are sending less of their paste to Co- lombia and are now refining it into cocaine base or cocaine and routing their contraband through Argentina, which is also becom- ing an important final stage refiner of cocaine. Colombian traffickers are believed to be responsible, at least in part, for opening new marijuana fields in Venezuela and new pro- duction activity in Brazil. Ninth, we were asked to provide an assessment of the various factors affecting production. Overall, farmers' needs for a cash crop, government fears of disrupting local economies, and concerns about political stability continue to work against narcotic control efforts, while domestic drug abuse, economic disruption, interna- tional pressures, the involvement of political insurgencies in the narcotics trade and the penetration of organized political systems by traffickers work to promote such control efforts. Tenth, we were asked to report on the methodologies used to project productions and production. The report provides details by country of the various methodologies used, including negotiated agreements on levels of eradication to be achieved. We are working with other agencies and governments to improve both forecasting and monitoring capabilities in the field. Eleventh, we are asked to provide an estimate of additional re- sources needed to achieve planned reductions. The response is largely written in terms of projected 1985 levels of INM assistance which are reflected in our proposed budget. This document has been made part of the Department's report. In sum, this report shows that adverse social, political, and eco- nomic impacts are creating an improved environment for negotiat- ing control agreements. No nation is really invulnerable to the problems of drug abuse, and those nations which engage or indulge in narcotics production and trafficking ultimately pay a price that is greater than temporary economic benefits they are thought to realize. Moreover, we can assess and see the benefits of those control pro- grams which we have assisted. These improved program efforts and the growing recognition in source countries that the liabilities of narcotics trafficking and drug abuse are outweighing the benefits are the basis for our belief that more can and will be accomplished. [Mr. DiCarlo's prepared statement follows:] 1071 TEST IMONY ASSISTANT SECRETARY DOMINICK L. DICARLO BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS MATTERS DEPARTMENT OF STATE TO THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE March 21, 1984 MR. CHAIRMAN: As requested by the Committee, this testimony provides a summary statement and budget tables in behalf of the President's request for an authorization of $50.2 million for the Bureau for International Narcotics Matters for Fiscal Year 1985, and, a summary of the major findings of the International Narcotics Control Strategy Report, which was submitted to the Committee in accordance with the requirements of Section 481 of the Foreign Assistance Act, as amended by P.L. 98-164. I. AUTHORIZATION REQUEST an The President is requesting appropriation of $50.2 million for the Department's international narcotics control program which is managed by our Bureau (INM). If enacted by the Congress, the appropriation would be $9,017,000 over the amount actually appropriated for Fiscal Year 1984 under continuing resolution. or The Department proposes to allocate $40.5 million, 81 percent of the request, to country programs, including $29.4 million for Latin America, $8.1 million for East Asia, and $3 million for Southwest Asia. The largest increase would be an additional a $6.8 million to support a crop control program in Colombia which we hope to negotiate this year. Other country programs would remain at the 1984 level or increase slightly. Manual eradication and interdiction efforts have increased in Colombia, which is increasingly concerned about its rapidly expanding domestic drug abuse problem. The program request of $10,300,000 for Colombia is based on assisting Colombia in comprehensive marijuana eradication program and expanded coca control program. а an Training of the Bolivian special police forces has been completed, and, in anticipation of these forces establishing law and order in the Chapare region, have requested $5.5 million for FY 1985 to continue the coca control efforts which will begin this year. we We have budgeted eradication program in $3.5 Peru million to in FY 1985, continue when our the соса agreement 1072 calls for eradication of 4,000 hectares compared to eradication of 703 hectares in 1983, and 4,000 hectares which are scheduled for eradication this year. we The Mexican Mexican Attorney Attorney General's Office reports increased levels of opium poppy and cannabis eradication in 1983; expect continued high level effort this year, and requesting $8.9 million to support the program in FY 1985. a are The Department is requesting $1 million to support a Latin American and Caribbean regional program, program, including including funds to provide an enhanced communications package for the Bahamas interdiction effort. The $2 million requested for Pakistan in FY 1985 provide continued support for the reduction of poppy cultivation and for enforcement efforts against heroin processing and trafficking. Pakistani opium production declined further in 1983 to a level of 45-60 metric tons; the expectation is that the Malakand agency will be opium free in 1985, and that the Ga doon-Amazai area will be opium free in the 1986-87 crop year. We have requested $900,000 to assist Turkey in upgrading its enforcement capabilities. The Department has requested $2.8 million for Thailand, where the Government has sustained its military campaign to suppress opium trafficking and heroin production along the Thai-Burma border and has recently begun controlling opium production in civilian-police-military command villages, where transitional assistance is being provided. The $5 million budgeted for Burma will increase support for the Burmese Air Force's capability to airlift ground forces engaged in poppy eradication and interdiction operations. The budget also includes $2.7 million for the United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control, which is now undertaking coca control programs in South America and planning an expanded role in Pakistan. we Finally, it should be noted, in the context of the report have submitted, that funds will be expended in 1984 and 1985 to support narcotics surveys in key source countries. II. INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL STRATEGY REPORT A. Overview of Findings were Status: First, we asked to provide an assessment of the status of narcotics production and trafficking. The first 1073 chapter of the report includes preliminary worldwide production estimates for calendar year 1983, and reports on key program developments in countries. Each country report also includes a status assessment on production and trafficking. source The preliminary estimates of the Production Subcommittee of the National Narcotics Intelligence Consumers Committee indicate that gross cultivation of opium, marijuana and coca increased in 1983 in the principal regions which supply the U.S. market. But, these reports also show increases in seizures, eradication levels in several key countries, and the amount of hectarage taken out of cultivation through government bans, Crop substitution programs and enforcement activities. Moreover, the available data show that local demand is increasing rapidly in many source countries. Thus, in some countries, the amount available for export did not change, or did not change much as the increase in cultivation. Moreover, there were declines in gross cultivation of opium poppy in Pakistan, Thailand and Laos in 1983. as The INCSR report provides production estimates for the years 1981 through 1985 (for most countries), and provides NNICC estimates on imports through 1982. Analysts are continuing to study these preliminary 1983 estimates production levels and the implications for trafficking and consumption. The NNICC Committee anticipates having its report on 1983 production and import estimates completed by June. on It should be noted that the data suggest important changes within markets. For example, the four-year downward trend in Pakistani opium poppy cultivation continued, but indications are that opium cultivation increased by perhaps one-third in Afghanistan, while heroin refining also increased. The Production. Subcommittee's assumption is that gross coca cultivation increased in 1983 in Peru and Bolivia, as well as in Colombia (for which we have better data), but the available information does not currently permit a reliable projection on 1983 cultivation in Bolivia and Peru, the two larger producers. Our information indicates that this increased production results, at least in part, from the maturing in 1983 of bushes which were planted during peak price years, three to five years ago. Today, prices are down at every link in the cocaine trafficking chain; the indication is that there has been over-production of leaf and coca derivatives; there is increased consumption of соса paste through abuse; and, traffickers in South America are aggressively establishing new or larger markets in Europe and elsewhere. 1074 The preliminary NNICC data continue to show an upward trend in cannabis cultivation in Mexico and Jamaica, while Colombian cannabis cultivation in 1983 has apparently returned to to about the 1981 level. on U.S. Assistance: Second, we were asked to provide details the various kinds of u.s. assistance provided to narcotics source countries. This report illustrates how the Department proposes to allocate $41.2 million in foreign assistance funds in FY 1984 for drug control programs, and the proposed alloca- tion of $50.2 million in FY 1985. The report cross-references relevant activities of the U.S. Agency for International Development, the Drug Enforcement Administration, other U.S. agencies, and international organizations. Also reported data allocations under general U.S. assistance categories and data on loans by international development banks. are on an on Impact of U.S. Assistance: Third, we were asked to provide assessment of the impact of U.S. assistance narcotics control. The public report we have submitted focuses only upon narcotics-related assistance. Departmental assessments of the overall impact of non-narcotics assistance fall into three cate- gories, which are not necessarily exclusive: first, that other U.S. assistance does not impact, negatively or positively, on the country's narcotics control decisions performance; second, that such assistance positively affects the overall disposition and capability of the country to cooperate with U.S. drug control objectives; and third, that, in some in some cases, termination of U.S. assistance for narcotics policy reasons would impact negatively on the country's disposition to control illicit drugs, notwithstanding the first or second factors. or a are of a in In general, the economic and other non-narcotic assistance does and should continue to affect positively each recipient country's disposition to cooperate with the United States in achieving progress in illicit drug control. But, there specific implications associated with various kinds assistance, and impacts differ. Given the time constraints of producing report in early February response to complex legislation adopted in mid-November, the sensitivity of the subject, the need for more information from some countries, and the difficulty of analyzing this information, much of which is classified, the public report provides an analysis only of the impacts of narcotics related U.S. assistance. The Department has submitted separately a classified annex (Volume II) which discusses the impact of other U.S. assistance, and officials are prepared to discuss this matter in a closed hearing. we Plans, Programs and Timetables: Fourth, were asked to Comment on the development of plans, programs and timetables 1075 for narcotics control. Some governments have adequate, country: wide narcotics control strategies; others have strategies for specific target areas (including the strategies required under program agreements with INM and AID); others have little more than goals and objectives. On balance, planning has improved. we were Legal and Law Enforcement Measures: Fifth, asked to assess the adequacy of legal and law enforcement measures taken by various countries relative to narcotics control. Some countries like Burma and Malaysia have very strict penalties for narcotics violations; some like Pakistan have just adopted new laws designed to enhance enhance enforcement; others still considering changes; and a few have an inadequate legal base for law enforcement. In sum, this is an this is an area in which we think there has been considerable improvement in recent years. are on was соса Accomplishments: Sixth, we were asked to provide informa- tion accomplishments in narcotics control for the various source countries. There was substantial progress in 1983. The Pakistanis suppressed opium production in the Malakand agency; a development assistance program which is linked to narcotics control initiated in the Gadoon-Amazai area; and the Pakistanis expanded their actions against heroin laboratories. Agreements on a crop control program were signed with Bolivia in August, 1983. Peru began eradication in the Upper Huallaga Valley. Colombia intensified its manual eradication efforts and disclosed plans for testing herbicide eradication for both coca and marijuana. The Government of Italy pledged $40 million to the United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control, for coca control-related development projects in South America. The Mexicans reported a significant expansion in opium eradica- tion and collaborated effectively on a herbicidal eradication program in Belize. The specific gains (or reverses) associated with each country's effort to cope with narcotics production and/or trafficking are noted in the country reports. were as Thus, Planned Reductions: Seventh, asked to provide estimates of the maximum reductions achievable in narcotics production by the producing countries, as defined in the statute; the statute defines this "planned reductions." estimates shown are based upon proposed government actions, taking into account "other information" on the nature of the illicit drug production problem, and the climatic, geographic, political, economic and social factors that affect both illicit drug production and crop control. These "other information" factors are the variables identified in subsection (f). 1076 one or more Generally speaking, our report report shows that these these countries are projecting reductions in categories: cultivation, refining, or trafficking. These reductions vary from country to country, and category to category. Nature of the Problem: Eighth, we were asked to provide an assessment of the nature of narcotics production. While coca prices at che farmgate declined in South America, farmers con- tinued high levels of production, both to attempt to keep their gross incomes at previous levels and also out of need to harvest maturing coca bushes which had been planted during peak price years. Mexican growers were planting crops in less accessible, higher altitudes, and fields larger than previously seen have been spotted recently. in Opium production continued to decline Pakistan, but increased significantly in Afghanistan, which continued to supply Pakistani heroin laboratories. While Colombian traffickers are now cultivating more соса leaf, to enhance their dominant position as refiners, Bolivian traffickers are sending less of their paste to Colombia and are now refining it into cocaine base cocaine and routing their contraband through Argentina, which is also becoming important final stage refiner of cocaine. Colombian traffickers believed to be responsible, at least in part, for opening new marijuana fields in Venezuela, and new production activity in Brazil. or an are Factors Affecting Production: Ninth, we were asked to pro- vide an assessment of the various factors affecting production. The principal factors are price, climate, demand, and government action. Parallel with our intensified diplomatic initiatives, perhaps the most significant local factor driving narcotics control actions in 1983 domestic drug abuse in the producing countries, followed by broadening recognition of of the adverse effects of an uncontrolled drug trade a country's economic and political stability. was on Increasing demands for narcotics to satisfy expanding domestic drug abusing populations are also keeping production levels up. As explained in more detail in the country reports, the stimulus for farmers and traffickers to continue cultiva- tion, production and trafficking is economic. Despite depressed prices at the farmgate, growers usually earn more more from growing narcotics crops than from traditional agriculture. Inter- nationally depressed agricultural prices and price controls on domestic crops in many countries also impede the development of alternative income to narcotics crops. Overall, fears of disrupting local economies and political stability continue to work against narcotics control efforts, while domestic drug 1077 abuse, economic disruption, international pressures, the involvement of political insurgencies in the narcotics trade, and the penetration of organized political systems by traffickers worked to promote such control efforts. Methodology: Tenth, we were asked to report on the method- ologies used to project reductions in production. The report provides details, by country, of the various methodologies used, including negotiated agreements on levels of eradication to be achieved. We are working with other agencies and govern- ments to improve estimating, forecasting and monitoring capabilities in the field. There caveats and footnotes reporting on the multiple assumptions underlying the various country estimates. are we Resource Requirements. Eleventh, were asked to provide an estimate of additional resources needed needed to achieve planned reductions. The response is largely written in terms of projected 1985 levels of INM assistance, which are reflected in our proposed budget and program plan. This document has been made part of the Department's report. Summary In sum, this report shows again that there are no simple or easily obtained answers to all of the questions about the impacts of drug abuse, drug trafficking and control programs. a While we have a broad knowledge of the social, political and economic environments of these countries, and base of detailed information on narcotics production and trafficking, we have understandable difficulties in measuring the extent of current cultivation and projecting the effectiveness of control programs, just as we have difficulty in predicting the precise impacts of either drug trafficking drug abuse local economies or populations, or measuring economic dislocations, or analyzing domestic drug abuse and demand. or on Yet, while some observations may lack statistical precision, known from Our discussions with officials in these countries, and from Our own assessments, that adverse social, political and economic impacts are creating an improved environment for negotiating control agreements. No nation is really invulnerable to the problem of drug abuse, and, those nations which engage in or indulge narcotics production and trafficking ultimately pay a price that is greater than the temporary benefits they are thought to realize. Moreover, we can assess and see the benefits of those control programs which we have assisted. source These improved program efforts and the growing recognition in countries that the liabilities of narcotics trafficking and drug abuse are outweighing the benefits are the basis for our belief that more can and will be accomplished. 1078 Senator HAWKINS. Thank you, Mr. DiCarlo. It is no secret that the State Department did not like the Haw- kins amendment that was added to the foreign aid bill. But it was signed into law by the President, and the law states very clearly in subsection (4). In addition, each report pursuant to this subsection shall include for each major illicit drug producing country for which the President is proposing this U.S. assist- ance for the next fiscal year a determination by the President of the maximum re- ductions in illicit drug production which are achievable during the next fiscal year. That report that you sent to my office February 1 does not say anything about maximum reduction possible. You talk about planned, you talk about projected. You can plan any amount. I mean, you and I can sit down and say, let us take 80 percent, let us take 2 percent. The law states “the maximum reductions possible.” Now, I do not see that you have kept the law on this at all. Mr. DıCARLO. I believe it is "achievable.” Senator HAWKINS. Achievable, maximum reduction achievable. It is not planned reduction. Any country can send me a letter, and they do every day, that we plan to do this, we plan to use the heli- copters you gave us in Colombia to eradicate. C01 However, we send Congressmen down there and they see our hel- icopters lifting up bails of marijuana, wrapped in sackcloth and stamped “Colombia.” They are so proud of the product, they put their name on it. And our helicopters are lifting it up and putting it on the airplanes and the ships to send to Miami. Now, I can talk to the head of Colombia, and we have. I have talked to the Ambassador and he says, we plan to do better next year. Does that mean he plans to send twice as much next year with the five helicopters? Mr. DICARLO. That is the problem with the bill, Madam Chair- man. The problem we have with this bill is that you have a defined term and the definition of "maximum achievable" is defined in the legislation. The term is defined as that which is planned. Senator HAWKINS. I disagree. Mr. DICARLO. I can perhaps point out the section of the bill where that does it. It is a defined term. The reason we did not use the term in the bill is because we did not believe that the Congress would want us to say that the maximum achievable in the country might be zero or 10 tons or a minimum. So we used the definition that is included in the statute, that which is planned, because I am sure we would not want a foreign government to pick up that report and say, the maximum achieva- ble is that which they planned. So what we did was use the defini- tion to define the term as defined in the statute. The problem that we saw in doing what we did was, we did not feel that we should go and say that the maximum that a country could achieve is that which they plan. But yet, the bill defines the term that way. Senator HAWKINS. They have some input. I am going to put in an amendment that they do not do anything if we interdict any of their drugs. That might get their attention. But this was asking for their cooperation. I met with every Am- bassador. I met with most of the heads of states. The minute we 1079 filed that amendment, everybody came. President Zia came from Pakistan. Everybody from Latin America came and asked me to withdraw it, because they did not know exactly how they could plan any reduction, because they said, we are not in charge. I want them to be in charge of their countries. Mr. DICARLO. What I have done here is this. We had a defined term in the statute. These bills served an impact in the sense that the bill was introduced, governments heard about the bill. It was an expression of concern by the Congress. I think the bill served a valid purpose. The reason we did not use the term "maximum reduction achiev- able" in the report is because had we used it in the report and then had a U.S. document say that the maximum achievable in country X was very little or nothing, that perhaps would have presented the contrary of what the Congress wants to express. What we did was to take the definition and use the definition, rather than use the term itself, because they could not draw any such conclusion. I do not think that the authors of the legislation would have wanted us to say that the maximum achievable in country X that was not cooperating to the fullest extent was the maximum achievable that they could achieve. That is the term in the bill. That is the definition of maximum achievable. It is not a question of a country overseas not wanting to cooperate. It is not a question of the State Department not want- ing to put it in the legislation. But it was an attempt by the State Department to use the defini- tion rather than the term, so that we do not lead people in foreign countries who might want to cooperate to think that we were satis- fied. That is the reason why we did that. Senator HAWKINS. It is a judgment call. Mr. DICARLO. I do not think it was a judgment call. I think we used the definition. Instead of using the term itself, we used the term as defined in the statute, so that we would not mislead anyone. What we have done here is that we are telling the Congress that that is the maximum amount achievable under the definition in the bill, because you define it in the bill. Senator HAWKINS. The bill is very clear. We made it very simple and very clear. Yet you made a judgment call that I think distorts what a country can do. The countries, when they realize the linkage with foreign aid, are so concerned and so cooperative. They come all the time. I do not mind the visits, but I want some action. I want eradication and I want to stop interdicting in Miami. We are spending so much money interdicting around Florida, it is just crazy, and twice the amount of cocaine is on our streets. So we can spend another $10 billion, I guess, and fortify the Flor- ida, New Orleans, New York areas, but it is still getting through. They are sending more than ever before. The way to get control of the illicit drug problem is like they did in Turkey, and I mean, they were tough. If you go back and read 1972, 1973, and 1974, it took a while, but they got the message. 1080 That is exactly what I intend to do by this. If I have to amend it this year to make it clearer to the State Department what I intend, I will do so. In some countries, your planned or projected reductions are de- scribed in terms of hectarage destroyed. In other parts you use metric tonnage. International heroin, cocaine and marijuana culti- vation is now estimated to exceed $100 billion. I really am bewil- dered why this would happen. Mr. DICARLO. Perhaps we can go into that. Senator HAWKINS. In some countries you do not have any projec- tions. Why is that? Can you tell me why some countries have no projections? Mr. DICARLO. Because there are no plans. Senator HAWKINS. By anybody? Mr. DICARLO. Which ones are those? If you point to a specific country, it might be different. There might be different problems involved in each one of them. Senator HAWKINS. The Southeast Asian countries. Mr. DICARLO. In the case of Thailand, the Government of Thai- land has taken the position that it will not enter into an eradica- tion program at this time. Therefore, since they have no planned specific reductions as defined in the statute, it was not included. The statute states that the maximum amount achievable has to be included. It then says the maximum amount achievable is based on a planned reduction. Since there is no planned reduction, there is no maximum amount achievable under the statute. That is the reason why it was not included under that section. Senator HAWKINS. How many countries are not cooperating? Mr. DICARLO. Thailand is cooperating in many areas. Thailand is carrying on an extensive military campaign with great loss of life along the border regions of Thailand. You were there and I believe you went into that question. They also have started a new program, as we have stated in our statement, in certain villages, the civilian military police districts where Thailand has assumed jurisdiction over those areas, and there is some eradication going on in those areas recently. This has occurred over the recent past. We have a program going on, in its second year now. But in the areas where the United Nations has provided assist- ance over the past 10 years, the Thais have not gone into a manda- tory eradication program. We have been pushing the Thais in that area. We have been asking them to do things in that area. We are concerned about that, but the Thais have been cooperat- ing extensively in many areas. In this area they take the position that they cannot go into the areas because of political sensitivities. They cannot go into the area and eradicate because the hill tribes- men have not been incorporated as yet into the Thai society, for a host of reasons, which I do not like, and I have been letting them know we do not like it. But I do not want to leave the impression that there is no coop- eration. Senator HAWKINS. The Burmese lose 100 men a month, they say, 100 men a month in their war on drugs and the warlords up in the hills. The Thais do not lose that many people. 1081 Mr. DICARLO. Well, I would put it this way. The Burmese are also engaged in an insurgent campaign with the BCP, the Burmese Communist Party-- Senator HAWKINS. Sure. Mr. DICARLO (continuing]. Who happen to be involved also in narcotics. The Thais take the position, they do not want to make their opium growers insurgents, and therefore they have not been moving against them. They are living there, they are not fighting with the Thai Government. The Burmese are attacking the problem to the best of their abili- ty, and they are engaged in great loss of life, because what is going on there is a fight with the BCP, the Burmese Communist Party. They are fighting with others, with the Karen and many others in that country. And they have been involved in an actual war in that country for several years, not only on narcotics but an attempt to incorporate a portion of their territory and control it completely and eliminate the insurgent groups in that country. The difference between Thailand and Burma is considerable. Senator HAWKINS. Well, you go to Burma, they say the warlords are in Thailand. You go to Thailand and they say they are in Burma. I think the Burmese officials had the best answer of all when you ask, where is Kung-Fa, and they say: One foot Burma, one foot Thailand. Mr. DICARLO. This is because of the-- Senator HAWKINS. Why, you can smash them like that if you get both countries to work at it. It is against their religious princi- ples to use drugs. This is for export purposes. They are having a terrible problem there. And I saw much more evidence of coopera- tion or even the existance of a problem, on the Burmese, who are isolated, withdrawn from the world—they are like pulling the shade down that I did with the Thais. They do not even have a customs official in the embassy. Mr. DICARLO. My problem is I do not want to be put in the posi- tion of defending every Thai action as being good, because I have taken different positions with the Thai. I say on balance they have been doing a considerable amount in Thailand. On the question of cooperation, there is a problem in Burma and Thailand and it comes to a certain extent from both sides, histori- cal problems that exist between the two countries. But more than that, you have the position of the Burmese that they want to stay independent of any involvement with other nations, as much as they can. They even isolate themselves from the ASEAN bloc. They do not join the groups because they say they are independent. The Burmese have a problem of cooperation. The problem is this: Not that they do not want to cooperate with people on narcotics, but they have a problem sometimes on how much, how far they can go. They take the position that their insurgency-and you can translate that into narcotics problems, because the BCP, other in- surgents and narcotics traffickers are almost one and the same group—they take the position that to cooperate extensively with other governments on that question means third country involve- ment or second country involvement in their internal affairs. And 34-045 0-84-69 1082 they are reluctant to get involved, on a question of philosophy, with other governments to any great extent because it may consti- tute having another government get involved in their internal af- fairs, and they are very concerned about the perception, that that perception not be gained. Senator HAWKINS. How about Colombia? Let us talk about Co- lombia. During the past 3 years the United States has given them $24 million in direct assistance. Multilateral banks, in which the United States of course if the major contributor, have provided $1.5 billion in low interest or no interest loans to Colombia. And at the same time, Colombia has continued to expand their marijuana and their cocaine cultivation, and rejects our extradition treaty. In your opinion as the President's representative, has Colombia been a good investment for the citizens of the United States? Mr. DICARLO. Well, on the $1.6 billion, I do not know what the United States has invested in Colombia. I know that Colombia has very little assistance from the U.S. Government. They may have received loans from international banks. But let me just go over the 3-year period that you mentioned, be- cause I think it is extremely important that we do that. We have not had 3 years where the Colombian Government has been able to do all we might have wanted it to do. In the first 2 years of the problem of that 3, it was because of U.S. law. Until the repeal in December 1981 of the amendments to the Foreign Assistance Act, which you all joined in and which were very beneficial to us, we could not under U.S. law cooperate with any government in eradicating crops using paraquat. After the law was passed in 1981, we had another U.S. law which prevented us from even discussing the issue with Colombia. Senator HAWKINS. Did not the same restrictions apply to Turkey? Mr. DICARLO. No. Senator HAWKINS. Mexico? Mr. DICARLO. No-yes, and that is what happened. Let me give you an example of what happened. In the case of Turkey, Turkey did not eradicate its crop. The Turkish Government by law, having control over its territory, imposed its will and said, we will take action against you, and were able to do that. In the case of Mexico, Mexico sprayed. Mexico was spraying with U.S. support. We were precluded from assisting Mexico in spraying paraquat on marijuana by an act of the U.S. Congress. Until the U.S. Congress repealed the law, Mexico has to use its own re- sources if it wanted to spray. Now, from that point what occurred is this. After the Congress repealed the amendments to the Foreign Assistance Act, we could not proceed even to the point of discussing the issue with the Co- lombians, because another act, an act of law, stated that we had to comply with the National Environmental Protection Act. After the Percy amendment was repealed or amended, we had to then go and comply with the National Environmental Protection Act [NEPA), which took another year. So that we could not even discuss the issue with Colombia until December 1983. At that time- 1083 Senator BIDEN. Mr. Secretary, those laws existed, but that does not mean we could not discuss 75 other ways of dealing with the problem Mr. DICARLO. We have, sir. Senator BIDEN. I mean at the time, at the time you were unable to speak to Colombia. Mr. DICARLO. I am sorry if I implied that. Let me clarify that. We have been speaking to Colombia all along. We have been coop- erating with Colombia all along, within the bounds that were per- mitted to us by U.S. law. You mentioned $24 million. Senator HAWKINS. That is half your budget, by the way. Mr. DICARLO. $16 million of that $24 million was mandated by the Congress, taken out of our budget-it was a very meager budget before I was here, so it was not a question of being done to me personally—and directed to Colombia. And under the provisions of that law, the Congress told us how to spend the money. They mandated the spending of the money. It was no longer a question of our negotiating with Colombia. It was an act of Congress taking the money out of our budget and not in- creasing our budget. That was done in some ways which I never would have done except for the mandate, but it was done. We have been negotiating with Colombia. The action that occurred last week, the action where the resolution is pending in the House of Representatives now congratulating the Government of Colombia on its action, was taken with assistance that was granted by the Congress in the budget to the Government of Colombia, giving support for interdic- tion efforts by the Colombian Government, and also manual eradi- cation. Colombia has been going into an eradication campaign. We have been talking, we have been discussing. We have a group of people down there working within the restraints of U.S. law to do some- thing about the problem. The difference is this. Since we have had our environmental impact statement-and that occurred in December 1982-our am- bassador left at that time. We started talking with, as permitted by law, with the Colombians in February 1983. Then for the first time the Colombians were able to use, if they desire to use it, herbicidal aerial eradication, which we say is the only effective way of accom- plishing that job, given the enormity of the problem in Colombia. Colombia interdicts and destroys more than the 10 percent of its crop that you mentioned last year and interdicts substantially more. If you total the two, I believe the figure comes to something like 25 percent is either interdicted or destroyed annually. This is our problem now- Senator HAWKINS. The cultivation has increased 1,000 percent. Mr. DICARLO. No. What happened is this. I will take marijuana first. You mentioned the fact of marijuana increasing in produc- tion. And this is one of the problems with legislation that man- dates or indicates progress because of reductions or increase. The reason why the production was much lower last year than this year in the case of cannabis was because there was a drought 1084 1 last year and the production was less. This year we had an in- crease Senator HAWKINS. Sometimes the Lord is on our side. Mr. DICARLO. That is right. That has been our best, so far, that has been our best asset, the weather. And we admit that. We admit that up front. But the problem is, how do we now get together with the Colom- bians and have them go into a campaign which we think is very effective, as the only real way of solving the problem, and that is to eliminate it aerially? What has happened is this. We have been discussing since February 1983 only, when we had the ability to do it, that kind of campaign. The Government of Co- lombia announced that it was willing to go into a testing program to determine whether or not herbicides are safe. Our Government is doing the same thing. We are under a temporary injunction right now where we cannot do the job. The Colombians have taken the position that they want their scientists to go through these tests and they want to see whether or not the herbicide we know is safe is safe by their stand- ards and by their examination. That is what is happening right now. The testing by the Colombians is going on right now. These nego- tiations have only started in February 1983 because by law we were precluded from negotiating at an earlier time. So I just want to say that we are not satisfied with everything. It is my job to be more or less adversarial within the Department. I have to be the one that pushes it, and I do. But when I come to a committee I think I at least owe the fact that there are problems that were caused not only by foreign governments, but by our own laws. We have succeeded, with your help, in accomplishing a great deal. Senator HAWKINS. What is the status of the extradition treaty? Are they going to cooperate with us? Do they have this great new spirit of cooperation? Have you talked to them about the status of the extradition treaty which they signed? Mr. DICARLO. I do not defend the Colombians on the extradition treaty. What has occurred in Colombia, as is my understanding- and the Justice Department would normally negotiate this-is that an extradition treaty, long sought by all of us, long desired by all of us, was accomplished under the prior regime. The supreme court of Colombia has declared that that was a valid extradition treaty. The present President of Colombia, who is cooperating with us in other areas, has taken the position that he does not accept the fact that Colombian nationals should be extra- dited under a treaty. He does not like the treaty, which he says is the first treaty ever executed by a Latin American country which provides for the extradition of one of its nationals outside of the country. I think Colombia should live up to its obligations in that treaty. That is the position taken by the Colombian Government. It is under discussion now between governments. Senator BIDEN. Can I interrupt right there on that point? Senator HAWKINS. Go ahead. 1085 Senator BIDEN. You know, like that James Bond movie with the southern Florida sheriff, he says, what we got here is we got our- selves a communications problem. And that is what we got here, a communications problem. The communications problem is that the Senator from Florida and I have a slightly different definition of maximum achievable reductions. It seems we have a semantic argument here. You are suggesting, as I read your responses about Burma, Thailand, and Colombia, that maximum achievable reductions are ones that are essentially defined by the country. Mr. DiCarlo. No, sir. Senator BIDEN. Because you talk about what Burma says it can and cannot do. You talk about what Colombia says it can and cannot do. What we are talking about is that the United States should set what we believe are maximum achievable results. It seems to me that that is the fundamental difference here. To suggest that the Colombian President says he has a problem, it seems to me that, notwithstanding the fact that he has a problem, you should be set- ting the standard for us in responsive legislation which says what we should expect. Mr. DICARLO. I believe while you were out of the room I went into that question. This is the way the bill defines maximum achievable. We were not looking to the way the Colombians would define it. We are not looking to the way the Burmese would define it. We are looking to the way the U.S. Congress defined the term. Subsection (4) says: In addition, each report pursuant to this subsection shall include for each major illicit drug producing country which the President is proposing to furnish U.S. as- sistance to in the next fiscal year a determination by the President of the maximum reductions in illicit drug production which are achievable during the next fiscal year. Such determinations shall be based upon: (a) the measures which the country is currently taking and the measures which the country has planned for the next fiscal year in order to prevent narcotic and psychotropic drugs and other drugs from being cultivated and coming into the United States; and (b) the other information pursuant to this subsection. Which is subsection (e), which is basically a reporting mecha- nism. Senator BIDEN. Well, it does not seem to me that you have done that. Mr. DICARLO. Again, sir, we have not placed the words “maxi- mum achievable reduction" in the report. We used the definition, and the reason we used it was because we did not want a foreign government taking maximum achievable, if we used that term, rather than planned reductions in the report, and report that that country had achieved their maximum achievable. I think that would have sent the wrong message, if we had used that. Then what we would be saying in effect was the maximum achievable might be the lowest common denominator. The lowest amount that was planned would then become the maximum achievable. Senator BIDEN. Well, it says here if you can achieve it. We want to know what you can do in any 1 year. 1086 Mr. DICARLO. Sir, I have a problem there, too. And to determine that question I think what I am being asked to do—and by the way, we were never given the ability, when this legislation was passed, to testify in Congress. We testified 14 times before commit- tees. We never testified on this bill. And these are problems which we are concerned about. I think the greatest asset that we have is when Senators and Representa- tives go around the world expressing concern. This is the greatest asset that we have, and we wanted this. But we were not given the opportunity Now, here is the problem we face. We have terms in this bill that existed in the Rodino amendment. This is the first time we were given an opportunity to talk about the problems we have with this kind of legislation. If you go back to the Rodino amendment and the Rangel amendment and you talk in terms of criteria, I think then the term used was "adequate measures to prevent drugs from coming to the United States." Now, that is a concept that is mind boggling to me in and of itself, because that would require us, if the intent of Congress was this, that we should set forth all the adequate steps they could take, pass judgment on whether those steps are adequate or inad- equate. We would be passing on the budgets of other countries. This bill even states that. It states in effect that we have to de- termine whether or not they are spending enough money, whether their laws should be changed. Senator BIDEN. Wait a minute. I do not understand the problem. We do that and everything else. We pass judgments on other coun- tries, whether or not we are going to lend them money, and wheth- er their internal mechanisms are such that it warrants us lending the money. We pass judgments on the military budget. We say, in the for- eign military sales, that in order for you to be able to get this sale you have to demonstrate to us your budget is A, B, C, and D, and you have to say to us within that range that this legislation which you have in your country prevents you from being able to do what we want you to do. We do that in military sales. We do that in econonmic aid. We do that in everything else. Why do you have a problem in doing it in drugs? Mr. DICARLO. We are doing it, sir. Senator BIDEN. Then what are you complaining about, sir? Mr. DICARLO. I am not complaining. I am stating that the defini- tion- Senator BIDEN. That you agree with it? Mr. DICARLO. I am saying that we are agreeing that the defini- tion as provided to us in the bill-- Senator BIDEN. Requires you to go into their budgets, requires you go into their laws, requires you to make those judgments. Do you have objection to doing that? Mr. DICARLO. We have done that, and it presents us with many problems. Senator BIDEN. Sure it does. As Jimmy Carter said, life is not fair. 1087 Mr. DiCarlo. I am not saying it is not fair. I think it is good. But what I am saying is, we have complied with the definition in the statute. Senator BIDEN. I have interrupted the Senator from Florida long enough. I am sorry. Senator HAWKINS. That is fine. Be my guest. I thought I was fighting this battle by myself. Have you ever seen the human rights book that floats around the Department of State? It is about 2 inches thick. We have to cer- tify that. You know, somebody over there has to certify that. The Hawkins amendment certification is a very slim document, I want to tell you. Senator BIDEN. As a matter of fact, some could argue that we give you too much leeway. You see, I think part of the problem, Senator, is that this poor fellow is the only guy in the operation who is dealing with this issue. I mean, the idea that you did not have a chance to testify on this for 3 months and tried to negotiate this. There was another bill similar to the Hawkins one which was the Moynihan bill. I mean, this is not like it was sprung on any. body. This has been rolling around the Congress for the past 4 years. I do not wish to denigrate the Hawkins amendment, which I have cosponsored. I certainly do not want to imply that. Mr. DICARLO. Senator, what I am saying is, the most effective allies that we have are Senators and Representatives that are con- cerned. Senator HAWKINS. And unified, 96 to 0. This means that Teddy Kennedy and Jesse Helms voted the same way. Senator BIDEN. Which means you may have a point. (General laughter.] Mr. DiCARLO. What I am saying is, I think we have complied with the definition. The only point I want to make, Senator, is that we were not complying with the request by the Bolivians, Burmese, or anyone else. We thought we were reading the statute, looking at the definition, and the only thing I think that perhaps the Senator did mention was the fact that we did not use the term in the report. The only reason we did not use the term in the report, as I was stating, is, we felt that it would weaken the intention that we are all intending to accomplish, but I did use it. I used the defined term rather than the other term. Senator BIDEN. The kind of thing I think we are talking about is this. We understand the Secretary of State having to make tough judgments, and the President. We understand if he says, look, Hawkins and Biden, if we press the Burmese Government on this, what is going to happen is, it is going to cause the government to topple. The Communists will take over. The Russians will be coming, and they will have a new base there. I mean, I am making an extreme point. Even we can understand that. Senator HAWKINS. But that, of course, is not true. I have visited with the Burmese, and it is not true. Senator BIDEN. It is not true, but we could understand if that were the rationale, or to say in Colombia, look, if you really force 1088 Colombia to the wall on the extradition treaty, what will happen is, they will in fact begin to supply the rebels in El Salvador, and such and such will happen, and Latin America will go to hell in a hand- basket. We could understand it. What we want is a much clearer explanation from the President of the United States of America, from the Secretary of State as to why you cannot do what we, naively maybe, think can be done, and what happens is, with all due respect, Mr. Secretary, we get a fair amount of pablum. When we talk about Pakistan, we are told about, well, you know, the problems up there in the north, and it is true, there are problems, but what we want to know is, if you press them to the wall, if you say to Zia, we are cutting your water off, what does that mean? What is your estimate, you meaning the President, what is your estimate, Mr. President, of what result that will cause? Mr. DiCARLO. At least, Senator, we do deal with that. We deal with that in a classified report which was submitted. Senator HAWKINS. At 3 o'clock yesterday afternoon. Mr. DICARLO. There is no closed hearing. I could not discuss it with you. We are willing to go into each and every one of those questions. Senator HAWKINS. Well, you had a year. You said before that you could not talk to these countries about anything. Now let us just talk about the last year. Can you tell me one crop that has gone down? Everything has gone up dramatically. There have been dramatic increases. Mr. DICARLO. Senator, I think I should say this. Senator HAWKINS. So our strategy was not working. Whatever strategy you had did not work. Everything is up. Mr. DiCarlo. No, ma'am. As a matter of fact, I can go into that question. I cannot, and I state this before every committee I go before, the United States cannot, control the production of opium in Afghanistan, control the production in Burma, in the insurgent areas. We cannot control production in any area. It is the govern- ments in those countries that exist, and that is why we have legis- lation such as this. If we take it country by country on how our programs are work- ing or not working, I think we can go into it. You mentioned Paki- stan. I think in Pakistan you were there. I think you saw the tre- mendous increase in the work going on. We have had the Attorney General in Pakistan on occasions. We had Steve Solarz, who went for the committee there, expressing interest. We have had many people and yourself expressing a great deal of interest of the U.S. Government in Pakistan. What has happened in Pakistan? We know it has substantially decreased. We know that in the Malakand agency it is out of pro- duction. We know that in the Buner it is out of production. We know that in the Gadoon-Amazai it is agreed to go out of produc- tion. We know the Paks came to us and said, look, what we · thought was a problem before, we want to accelerate, and we want to do more. We are now meeting in groups with the Pakistanis. Senator HAWKINS. I was there. President Zia signed that law. It had been on his desk for 2 solid years. Stiff penalties for drugs. I wish we could pass it in the United States. Do you know why he 1089 signed it? The mothers—and I never saw a woman in Pakistan, but in Lahore and Karachi the women were rioting against the govern- ment because they wanted stricter drug controls, because their children are on heroin. Mr. DICARLO. Exactly. Senator HAWKINS. That is why he signed the law, and he cooper- ates. If you go across the street to Thailand, they do not like it. They do not want to talk about it. They are shipping it. You go to Hong Kong. Hong Kong says "it comes in ships from Thailand. You have to go back to Thailand and tell them to stop it, and we do not want to talk about it to Thailand." They do not like to talk about it, right? They do not like to discuss it? Mr. DICARLO. No. We continuously are in discussion. We are con- tinuously negotiating, and we have made substantial progress, not to the extent I would like to make it, though. I say that up front, and you know that I have been pushing this issue in Thailand, and some people say that in pushing one into the issue too hard we can be hurt in enforcement or hurt in other areas. But let us go to the other problem. Let us speak about Peru and Bolivia. Senator HAWKINS. And Colombia. I do not think it is coincidence that 7 days ago they seized 10 tons of cocaine. It was just reported yesterday or today. Seven days ago. Now, I do not believe that is a coincidence, but what I want to know is what they are going to do with it. If they are just going to store it and ship it to Miami, we are in bad trouble. I want it destroyed. Mr. DICARLO. I do not want to say here that I think the Colombi- an Government is involved in any kind of activities like that. They are not, in my opinion. I do not want to say that. Senator HAWKINS. They have seized it. I would just like to see you call them up and say to them, destroy, we do not want to see this on the market. I will give them a gold medal. I will send them a Senate seal. I will send them whatever we can if they will de- stroy it. Mr. DICARLO. I think it can be sent. My information is, it has been destroyed, so perhaps the medals can now be sent. That is the information I have just received. Senator HAWKINS. From the man next to you? Mr. DICARLO. Yes, who received his information from there. Senator BIDEN. Can I spin off on one of these areas? Because I think it relates to this a little bit. Again, I may be wrong, but it seems to me that one of the reasons why we have the difficulty we have in dealing with source countries, and I do not underestimate the problem that it is for your agency and for the United States of America to impact upon very serious internal problems in other countries, but I have believed for a long time, that one of the rea- sons why we have the difficulty we have is, most all of it is bilater- al in nature, and at the highest levels in our Government, the Sec- retary of State, Secretary of Defense, the President of the United States. We have not raised the issue sufficiently with our other partners. For example, the Japanese have impacts in parts of Asia that we do not. The Europeans have impacts in parts of South Asia and 1090 Southwest Asia that we do not. The Europeans even in some parts of Latin America have an ability to impact that we do not. And yet when you look at what is happening, notwithstanding all of the hollering that we are doing, the International Narcotics Control Strategy refers to the small contributions made by West Germany, Sweden, Norway, to the U.N. drug control program, to Italy's pledge of $40 million to the U.N. Fund for Drug Abuse over the next 5 years, and apart from these efforts, the developing coun- tries, or I should say the developed countries with whom we have extensive relations are doing nothing to further the objectives. I would argue that the reason why they are doing nothing is be- cause we have not said, look, Jack, this is as important to us as trade negotiations on agriculture. This is as important to us as INF in Europe. This is as important to us, and so on. Because it is not your fault, again. I think you are doing, and I mean this-you know me. I have never been reluctant to tell you when I disagree with you. I think you are doing a commendable job, and you have upped the profile. Between you and Mathea Falco, your predeces- sor-you are the only two hopes that have ever existed there, period. In my view, one of the problems—there is no single problem, but one of the aspects of the problem is, it just has not been given the profile on the international agenda of the developed countries that it warrants in order to bring this thing to the level that has to have a multinational effort applied to it. And so I guess I have a very specific question. To the best of your knowledge in your capacity, can you tell us when, specify any examples when the Secretary of State or any other Cabinet member has raised international drug control con- cerns that we share with developed countries in forums such as the one that I am about to mention, international financial organiza- tions like the World Bank, the Organization of Economic Coopera- tion and Development, NATO ministerial meetings? To the best of your knowledge, have they been specifically raised not by other people but by the Secretaries at those meetings, and if so, to what extent have they been raised? If you would rather submit it for the record, we would be happy to wait. Mr. DICARLO. By the Secretary, I have no independent knowl- edge of that, so we will have to wait, and I will submit it for the record, but I can say this. In our Federal strategy we make exactly the same point you make about the necessity of raising this and making it an international issue, because we can never, with all of our resources, with all our legislation, with everything we do, solve this problem. We have made that one of our principal priorities. What I will say is this, though. Senator BIDEN. You have made it. You are right. You have made it. Mr. DICARLO. I am speaking of the administration. Senator BIDEN. How have they done it? Mr. DICARLO. I know that when the President of the United States-and we have visits from other heads of state coming to our country, and they are drug producing countries. It is on the Presi- dent's agenda, and has been. The only reason I do not give you the 1091 names—I can give you the names later-is, I do not like to repeat conversations between chiefs of state in public. Senator BIDEN. Well, those same chiefs of state, by the way, usu- ally come up on the Hill after they see the President, and usually either the pain in the neck Biden or Hawkins ask them after their meeting with the President, did you talk about drugs, and I may be mistaken, Paula, but I cannot think of any but one person, Zia, who suggested in response to our questions in the Foreign Rela- tions Committee, yes, that is right, Senators, the President asked me about that, and he did press that. And that is a question from the confirmation hearings of the former Secretary of State Haig to Shultz. I have asked them to make that kind of commitment, and yet when you ask them, and even when you ask the foreign ministers who come up to us, and there is not a foreign minister or head of state who comes and speaks to the President that I can think of that does not come up to the Foreign Relations Committee, and always their answer is, well, not really, but what we talked about is the economic require- ments of my country. What we talked about is the military needs. What we talked about is what you in the United States are not doing. Mr. DICARLO. Well, when President Craxi visited here, that sub- ject was discussed. Senator HAWKINS. President Craxi? Mr. DICARLO. President Craxi of Italy. You asked about other na- tions. Senator BIDEN. By the President of the United States? Mr. DICARLO. By the President of the United States. Where they agreed to get together and form a permanent group and committee. The vice president or vice premier of Italy-- Senator BIDEN. Has that been done yet? Mr. DICARLO. Yes, they are scheduled to come here in April or May of this year to discuss with the-the vice president of Italy with the interior minister will be discussing this issue in the for- mulation of a permanent committee with the Attorney General of the United States. I can tell you that when the Secretary of State was in Pakistan on his last visit, this subject was probably the subject of more ex- tensive discussion- Senator BIDEN. I acknowledge that for Pakistan. Mr. DICARLO. I can say from public knowledge of a head of state since it was done publicly and in public, partially, the President of the United States in visiting Colombia raised this issue not only in camera but in open discussion with the President of Colombia, Be- tancur, soon after his inauguration. Senator HAWKINS. What about the Netherlands a couple of weeks ago? How about Morocco? I will get you the list of who we have met with in the last 3 weeks. Mr. DICARLO. I cannot give you everything, but I can go further than that. Senator BIDEN. We just want to keep helping you, Dom. We are going to keep helping you every way we can. Senator HAWKINS. We are on your side. 1092 Mr. DICARLO. In order to really inform on some of the things that are occurring, I think the greatest interest we have—and we are getting interest in Western Europe right now on this problem. They are more interested in this now, not necessarily because we are interested in it. That perhaps has been part of the problem for too long. But they are vitally interested in the problem now be- cause they are being devastated by this problem. Senator BIDEN. They have been devastated ahead of us in Germa- ny for the last 5 years, by the way. The percentage increase of heroin overdose deaths has exceeded the United States in Germany for 5 years. The impact on drugs in Europe has been as devastating for the past 5 years. I happen to chair NATO's Committee on Nuclear Planning, and also a committee for NATO, or I used to in the old days when my team was in the majority. At every meeting I would go to I would raise it. Honest to goodness. Senator HAWKINS. Now I am doing a good job, too. Senator BIDEŃ. You are doing a great job, too, but unfortunately, Lugar is the head of the committee. (General laughter.] Having said that, though, the point I want to make, and then I will ask for permission for some questions to be submitted in writ- ing, is this. It just seems to me that we are in a position where we have yet to put this on the scope in the way in which it warrants being put on the scope, and notwithstanding your Herculean ef- forts, and until we raise the international profile of this, we are not going to make a great deal more progress in my opinion. And I do not doubt the sincerity of the administration. I do not doubt the desire of the administration if they could wave a wand and end all this, but I do doubt that it has been made a priority equal to the other two or three major international priorities on the list with our trading partners. I would be very surprised if, in fact, that were the case. With your permission, Madame Chairwoman, I would like very much to submit a series of questions to Mr. DiCarlo and to the fol- lowing witnesses. Dom, thanks. I am sorry we are beating on you. It is not you. We are glad you are there. If you were not there, I think the whole thing would drop off the chart completely. Thank you. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you, Senator. How often do you meet with the Secretary of State? Mr. DICARLO. I have met with him on several occasions. Senator HAWKINS. Once a month? Mr. DICARLO. No. I met with him in December. Senator HAWKINS. Of this year-of last year, 1983? Mr. DICARLO. Yes, on two or three occasions. Senator HAWKINS. You have not seen him this year? Mr. DICARLO. Yes. I met with the Secretary in January, in con- nection with a meeting with Foreign Minister Adderley of the Bahamas. Senator HAWKINS. You ought to come to our meetings. He is up here a lot. Mr. DICARLO. I am out going around the world telling about the Hawkins bill. Senator HAWKINS. I know. I have followed you. 1093 Mr. DICARLO. There is one question, Senator, that I think you have asked that I have left unanswered, and that was the question of Peru and Bolivia and what we can anticipate in the future. I have made this statement when asked before the House, and I think it is important that the Senate recognize what your problem is. When we are asked questions like, how come there is more co- caine or coke produced now than last year, I believe I can answer it in this way. We have no programs that were in effect eradicating the coca crop in Bolivia. We have relatively no assistance going into Bolivia. The agreement was achieved in August 1983. That agreement of 1983 will not significantly impact upon the amount of coca coming into the country for several years, and if I can explain it, I would do it in this way. First, there is no government presence in the region producing coca, the Chapare, in Bolivia at the present time. After our agree- ments were signed we did not start eradicating coca. The Bolivian Government did not start eradicating coca. And no coca will be eradicated there until they have sufficient manpower and troops to go in there and secure the area. We have trained a group of 30 people who will be working with forces, a strike force to go in there. We have completed the train- ing of another 150 or 160 that are now prepared to go into that area. Before anything can be done, they have to have the ability to secure the area. So nothing has been done in Bolivia that would impact upon the amount of coca being produced in that country until this time. Even if our program works, I can come back here next year and you can tell me properly, it would be correct, that just as much or more coca is available than was last year. That is going to be true, because the amount of coca produced is so great that it exceeds-it is produced in quantities that far exceed the amount that is re- quired by the U.S. market. As our programs begin to work, and we say up front, our pro- grams are not short-term programs, programs that will have a short-term impact on the United States, because as our programs work, we start cutting back the production, there is still adequate coca grown in those countries to more than supply the United States market, even when we start cutting back, even if we start cutting back in the percentages that you would like to see them cut back and I would like to see them cut back. We do not want to mislead anyone. Our program is long range. I give you the example of heroin. You visited the Far East, and you know the problem. We are having successes. But the question is asked, if you are having a success, how come more is available or is just as available? I think we have to point out, and we would be derelect in not pointing it out, that there are probably over 1,700 tons of illicit opium produced in the world. We in the United States use about 45 tons out of the 1,700 tons. It takes about 45 tons of opium to produce 442 tons of heroin. As we go around the world and we are successful in Pakistan, and let us assume we are successful in other areas of the world, Í cannot tell you at which point we are going to impact upon the 1094 availability in the United States. Again, it is long range, and it is long term. We are making progress, but I do not think that progress can be measured by what is available in the United States. If we do that, I think we would be acting on an improper assumption. Senator HAWKINS. In quaaludes there was a dramatic drop at once, was there not? Mr. DICARLO. On the question of quaaludes, we dealt with-and the DEA was very involved in this. It was produced in many coun- tries. It was produced in Hungary. It was produced in Austria. It was produced in the Federal Republic of Germany. It was produced in China. And step by step, country by country, these went out of production. We met with the Chinese Ambassador in Washington, D.C. The Chinese did not want to deal with the United States on this issue. The International Narcotics Control Board got involved. You were involved in the effort and went to China about that time. It was this kind of activity, dealing not with a natural crop grown in areas like the hill tribe areas, or areas like where insurgencies abound, or in Afghanistan, that we managed to bring under con- trol, and yes, that was a great success, I think, in which many people were involved, and was the kind of thing we are aiming for. Senator HAWKINS. I want to reinforce what Senator Biden said. We are on your side. We just came to help you. I have about 40 more questions for you on different areas of the world, the Caribbean, Mexico, Jamaica, Colombia, Bolivia, Peru. We are going to submit them to you in writing, so that you can answer them in writing. This hearing in going to become required reading for the Secretary of State, and we will also recommend that you get an appointment on a regular basis with the Secretary to brief him. I know he has a lot of problems. We understand that. But this Senator feels that this is the No. 1 problem in the United States. Mr. DICARLO. Senator, I think you should blame me for that. Whenever I have asked for an appointment with the Secretary or any principal in the agency, it has been granted to me. I have been able to do within the Department, and if we ever have a conflict, then it can be raised. We had none of those conflicts, except in one instance of a difference of opinion between bureaus. So that if the Secretary is not seeing me, it is not because of a lack of interest, but because I was derelict and I did not request an appointment to see him. Senator HAWKINS. Well, before we excuse you, I would like you to have an appointment with him, and suggest a better answer than the one he gave to this committee a week ago when he said the only way to stop the increase of illicit drugs was to stop the market in the United States. That was his canned answer. It comes from the Presidents of most countries when you first start talking to them. Now we get a much better response. Since the passage of the Hawkins amendment, they all want to know what they can do to cooperate, as you know. I appreciate the amount of time you spend on this. You travel. You go to all these countries. You are well known and well respect- ed in this field, and I want to thank you on behalf of the citizens of 1095 the United States for being vigilant and diligent, and let you know that we are watching you. Mr. DICARLO. Thank you. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. Next we will hear from a panel composed of Lawrence Korb, As- sistant Secretary of Defense for Manpower; Rear Adm. Paul Yost, Chief of Staff, U.S. Coast Guard; Frank Kimball, Counselor for the Agency for International Development, and William Logan, Direc- tor of the Office of Investigations for the Customs Service. Our first witness will be Dr. Korb. We have taken an inordinate amount of time. I promised everybody they would be out of here by 12:30, so we will ask that you move quickly. [Pause.) Senator HAWKINS. Dr. Korb, we will start with you. STATEMENT OF HON. LAWRENCE J. KORB, ASSISTANT SECRE- TARY OF DEFENSE FOR MANPOWER INSTALLATIONS AND LOGISTICS Dr. KORB. Thank you, Senator. It is a pleasure to be here. I would like to personally commend you for your leadership in this very important area. I have a statement for the record, and I will summarize it very briefly. I will cover three topics, changes in the law and the posse comitatus doctrine, the types of assistance that the Department of Defense furnishes, and I will say a few words about our operations in the Bahamas and Turks, the so-called OP BAT. As you know, our ability to participate in international narcotics controls was clarified by the changes to posse comitatus law in De- cember 1981. According to this law, we can provide assistance any- where provided that two things happen, it is passive and indirect, and it is based upon a request from a civilian law enforcement agency or the Coast Guard. We cannot, nor do we, take any initia- tives in this area. Defense assistance includes a couple of things, information, facili- ties and equipment and related technical advice, and military per- sonnel, provided that they do not participate directly in arrest and seizure activities. There are, as you know, a couple of constraints on our involvement. First of all, there can be no adverse impact on readiness, and second, that we must get reimbursement where there is no military benefit. Now, let me talk about some specific types of assistance that we provided in the last fiscal year. In fiscal 1983, the Department pro- vided about $4 million of direct support and approved over 90 per- cent of all the requests that were made of us. Attached to my formal statement are tables of assistance provided by each of our armed services. Our major systems support included the use of the Navy E-2C Hawkeye and the P-3 antisubmarine warfare aircraft. We had 72 AWACS missions, 55 B-52 sorties, 22 missions of our C-130's. In Operation BAT, we had over 650 missions resulting in about $250 million of drug seizures. For the Air Force alone, there were nearly 800 missions, thou- sands of flight hours at a non-reimbursible cost of over $4.5 million. 1096 As you know, the army has loaned four Blackhawks, four Cobra helicopters, and two Mohawk aircraft. I have just been authorized to mention that the battle group around the U.S.S. America, operating in the Caribbean, with Coast Guard law enforcement teams, and using naval aircraft and ship radars has cooperated in monitoring air and sea traffic in and out of Colombia during the period from 12 to 20 March of this year. We are very pleased to learn of the massive seizure in Colombia, where you know-it has been mentioned this morning-the govern- ment raided a large cocaine plantation. I do not know if our pres- ence contributed to it. I hope that it did. In addition to equipment, we have people who are involved in as- Histance to law enforcement. The National Narcotics Border Inter- diction System, with six regional centers, has over 40 military per- Nonnel. There are Coast Guard law enforcement teams on Navy whipu located throughout Key West, the Caribbean, and the gulf . Wo have worked in setting up balloon borne radars at Cape Canav- oral and Key West, and we also provide technical advise to law en- forcement committees in the U.S. attorney districts nationwide. In terms of Operation BAT, I think it typifies quite well the type of international role that the Department can perform. Operation BAT, if you will, represents outer zone assistance. We were asked to provide helicopter support in January 1983. The Defense Depart- ment responded by providing a special warfare unit with two heli- copters and over 20 people, and a complete plan for communica- tions and a sensor system. We were asked in January. The unit was deployed in May, and we intend to maintain our commitment to this particular oper- ation. In conclusion, let me mention a subject that is of interest to the committee, and that is our own internal program to protect our own service people overseas. In all the countries with U.S. troops, arrangements to curb trafficking exist with the host nation law en- forcement authorities, international police groups, such as Interpol, and American Embassy staffs. Each service also has decades of ex- perience in criminal investigation and other drug activities. Last year, the Department spent $76 million on drug abuse pre- vention in the services. We handed down over 50,000 nonjudicial punishments and 6,000 courts-martial for drug offenses. In conclusion, we have set up in the Department a task force on drug enforcement as evidence of our serious commitment. We want to make sure that there is full compliance with law, policy, and the intent of Congress without jeopardizing our primary mission, which is national security. We also try to effect economies and efficiencies in providing this assistance, for example, assuring that the best available piece of equipment is provided for the right mission. To be more effective, we need a couple of things, recognition that our principal national security mission imposes certain limitations, for example, in readiness or morale. We need to give E-2C air crews a rest when they are in port with the fleet. And we also need congressional assistance in insuring that the Department has suffi- cient support and authority and resources to do what is necessary when called upon. Thank you. 1097 [Dr. Korb's prepared statement follows: PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. LAWRENCE J. KORB INTRODUCTORY COMMENTS Madam Chairman, other members of the Committee, I am pleased to present the role of the Defense Department in curbing drug trafficking. We in Defense are very appreciative of the long-standing interest and support the Chairman has given the Department of Defense as it has moved into a relatively new area of operations. Her guidance, and I add her prudence, has been very valuable in the avoidance of the many pitfalls that accompany this new type of mission for Defense. In my statement, Madam Chairman, I would like to cover three topics: First, the changes in the law that have clarified the opportunities for DON par- ticipation. Second, the types of assistance that DOD can provide subject to concorn for rondl- ness and, in some cases, reimbursement. Third, I will cover our involvement in Operation BAT, recognizing that the full Committee conducted a study of the Bahamian situation in (October 1943. CLARIFYING THE POSSE COMITATUH DVOCTRINK Military assistance, whether related to Public Law 98-164 (State Department Au. thorization Act) and, more specifically, Section 1003, or other authoritiok, waam betur defined in December 1981 when the President signed Public Law 97-86, clarifying the impact of the Posse Comitatus Act (18 U.S.C. 1385) on military simmistanco w luw enforcement. Posse Comitatus law and policy specify constraints on military assistance to drug enforcement. Our assistance must be "passive" and "indirect,” except where direct assistance is clearly authorized. Our support is based upon requests from the civilian law enforcement agencies we do not take major initiatives in civilian enforcement activities. These limitations will become clearer as I outline the allowable types of assist- ance. Section 371 of Title 18 authorizes DOD to share information which is collected during routine military operations with qualified Federal, state, and local law en- forcement officials. The Secretary of Defense, under Section 372, may make facilities and equipment available to such officials. Section 373 authorizes technical advice relevant to the use of Section 372 equipment and facilities. While Section 375 bans direct participation of military personnel in drug enforce- ment arrest and seizure activities, Section 374 allows for personnel assistance under certain conditions. Military personnel may be used to operate and maintain loaned equipment used for controlling air and sea traffic. Under emergency conditions, military personnel may transport or provide bases of operations for Federal law enforcement officials outside the land area of the United States (I will discuss the Defense Department activities in the Bahamas later on). Finally, all assistance provided by DOD is subject to reimbursement consider- ations. TYPES OF MILITARY ASSISTANCE I would like to illustrate how law and policy operate in fulfillment of our respon- sibilities. DOD provides assistance to drug interdiction efforts in addition to its in-house drug abuse prevention programs. Interdiction has three components, each of which has a special meaning for De- fense. Detection and surveillance constitute the principal interdictive assistance func- tions of DOD. Interception Having located a suspect, effective interdiction requires the means to intercept it. Here DOD's role is largely limited to the provision of certain types of equipment, 34-045 0-84-70 1098 largely aircraft. Under Coast Guard tactical control, and consistent with its mari- time law enforcement authority, the Navy may stop certain suspect vessels. Arrest and seizure DOD plays virtually no role in this area of interdiction-except where the Navy operates under Coast Guard authority as mentioned above. At this juncture, Madame Chairman, I would like to cover specific types of assist- ance. To aid this effort, I have appended tables of assistance from each of the mili- tary departments to this statement, and will summarize them for you. Over the past fiscal year, the Army, Navy, Marine Corps and Air Force have pro- vided substantial amounts of assistance to all levels of the drug enforcement com- munity, with most going to Federal agencies. For all services, more than 90 percent of requests for assistance were approved, with disapprovals very closely monitored by my staff. Generally such disapprovals involve requests which would violate the law-such as a request for military police to patrol a civilian park. The major Defense systems engaged in drug enforcement activities include: Navy E-2C “Hawkeye" surveillance aircraft with active and reserve crews which patrol the East and West Coasts, the Gulf Coast and the Southwest border. Navy P-3 anti-submarine warfare aircraft from reserve and active forces fly well off shore covering Caribbean approaches, and the Atlantic and Pacific trafficking lanes. Marine Corps OV-10D aircraft, using very sophisticated sensors, are identifying suspect aircraft, then assisting Customs in tracking them to a landing site. The Air Force, too, rigorously committed itself in fiscal year 1983 to the drug effort: 72 AWACS missions were flown at a nonreimbursable cost of nearly $3.9 million, while 55 B-52 sorties were also made. 22 C-130 missions were also launched, largely in the Gulf area. Third, in the Bahamas, 650 helicopter missions, leading to seizures of more than $250 million of drugs, were flown in 7 months. In all, the Air Force provided 799 missions, or thousands of flight hours, at a total nonreimbursable cost of nearly $4.5 million. The Army has been more active in lending equipment: Four state-of-the-art Blackhawk helicopters, four Cobra helicopters, and two Mohawk fixed-wing aircraft have been loaned to the Customs Service. The Drug Enforcement Agency was using UH-1 helicopters on loan from the Army, which have since been returned. AREAS OF DEPLOYMENT Security requires that I discuss the geographical deployment of miltiary assist- ance in generalities, Madame Chairman, but I am always prepared to provide you with detailed information in a protected forum. In brief, the deployments can be summarily presented as follows: DOD provides military personnel to the six regional centers of the National Nar- cotics Border Interdiction System. Coast Guard law enforcement teams are deployed with individual ships or flotillas operating along U.S. coastlines and in the Caribbean. Together, shipboard as well as Navy installation radars guard the Yucatan and Windward passages. Mobile Marine Corps radars are provided when available on request along our borders. And, in Key West and the Gulf , Navy hydrofoils are engaging traffickers. Balloon-borne radars, called “aerostats,” guard the Florida coast and approaches from Cuba and the Bahamas. Backing up this already impressive array of equipment and surveillance aircraft is DOD's commitment to future strategy developments Along land-locked borders, we have deployed Army, Navy, and Marine Corps air- craft, to monitor potential incursions from Mexico. Also of great importance is our effort to bolster cooperation with state and local law enforcement officials as well. To date, my staff has met with many Law En- forcement Coordinating Committees and U.S. Attorneys to explain DOD assistance policies. Such meetings have been held in Maine, New York, Virginia, North Caroli- na, Florida, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Louisiana and California. My intention, Madam Chairman, is to demonstrate the Defense Department's commitment to the effectiveness of the drug interdiction program. Although sei- zures have risen sharply since we joined the drug battle, there is reportedly more trafficking, growing geometrically against our efforts. The American market 1099 demand for illicit drugs provides a powerful incentive for domestic and foreign criminal elements. OPERATION BAT (BAHAMAS AND TURKS): PART OF DOD'S ZONE DEFENSE Although Section 1003 of the State Department Authorization Act Public Law 98- 164) does not direct DOD involvement in international operations, our support to the drug enforcement agencies acting under this law may be characterized as an "outer zone” or secondary defense. Our assistance becomes important when other in-country methods to prevent crop cultivation and distribution overseas fail. But the "outer zone" defense also applies where a country becomes so overrun that it is unable to cope-this is the case in the Bahamas where DOD is assisting DEA. By May 1983, an Air Force special operations warfare unit was operating on site with Navy assistance. A communication plan was completed by the end of the summer, with the State Department agreeing to procure ground communications equipment by December. The Defense Department, and especially the Air Force, Madam Chairman, has responded to the Bahamian situation in a manner consistent with the finest, wartime traditions: The Air Force made far-reaching adjustments in training scheduling to avoid an adverse impact on readiness. Dedicated Air Force crews worked around the clock to keep the unit available de- spite significant hardships, including the operational inefficiencies of operating far from the home station, and under austere support conditions. And, on January 9, 1984, three Air Force members made the supreme sacrifice when they, along with a DEA agent and Bahamian police officer, were killed in a helicopter crash at sea. The group was returning from a successful interdiction mis- sion. Despite that tragedy, Madam Chairman, the Defense Department remains unwav- ering in its commitment, and has already replaced the lost helicopter. I know that the Committee is also interested in DOD activities to protect Ameri- can military personnel overseas. would like to add that the Status of Forces Agree- ment (SOFA) in NATO, bilateral accords elsewhere, and the imperative of sover- eignty govern our conduct in this regard. The host nations, often operating with DEA, develop strategies which reach to the protection of American service people. However, we have been asked to assist DEA in South Korea and Greece and, under the law, are able to do so. Within DOD, of course, our drug abuse prevention pro- gram is extensive, costing $76 million in fiscal year 1983, during which time there were also 51,000 nonjudicial punishments and 6,000 courts- martial for drug abuse offenses. SUMMARY In closing, Madam Chairman, I wish to reiterate DOD's support of the drug en- forcement community. In this regard, I have organized at Department level our own Task Force on Drug Enforcement, headed by a highly respected Army Lieutenant General. His mandate is to assure me, the Secretary of Defense, and the President, that we are doing all that is feasible in this area. He and his staff are always avail- able for consultation with Members, committees and staffs of Congress. Thank you for the privilege of appearing before the Committee, Madam Chair- man. I would be pleased to take questions from any of the distinguished Senators. 1100 TABLES OF MILITARY ASSISTANCE FOR (FY 83 US, ARMY 1. Major Areas of Deployment Southwest us ~ Aircraft and radar units B. Southeast (US Aircraft for on-shore and off-shore surveillance II. Dypes of Support (approved requests) Total costs Reimbursable $ 1,200 $21,200 Paid 5° 1,200 A. Facilities use 26 B. Information 6(84 C. Equipment (2 denied) 37 80 NA D. 27 156,000 9,000 9,000 Mission Support (aircraft, NNBIS personnel) (6 denied) E. Training (2 denied) 40 NA 87 @ F. Personnel (1 denied) NA 329,000 329,000 329,000 G. Maintenance of loaned aircraft 1. Border Patrol 2. Us. Customs Service TOTALS III. Summary Requests 60,000 546,320 60,000 399,200 44,000 303, 200 Total 252 Approved 232 Denied 11 Pending 9 1101 (PROJECTIONS FOR FY 84) US, NAVY I. Major Areas of Deployment Nortbeut Aerial surveillance Southeast Aerial and maritime surveillance Bahamas and Caribbean Facilities; serial, maritime surveillance; Coast Guard boarding party support; installation radars Southwest Border Patrol Far West Aerial and maritime surveillance II. Types of Support Aviation FY 198 Forces ATLANTIC E-2C OV-10D P-3/S-3 Subtotal PACIFIC B-2C/B OV-10D P-3/8-3 Subtotal RESERVE P-3 3 p TOTAL AVLATION SUMMARY FY 1983: 3,000 flight hours were flown; $4 sillon Lacremental costs were incurred. 1102 OTHER o Loan and training in the use of spare equipment. Temporary custody of prisoners at Naval Air Station (NAS) Guantanamo Bay, Cuba while awaiting transportation. o Escortlag/towing vessels seized by the Coast Guard. Maintaining lookout for suspect vessels identified by the Coast Guard. o Use of shore-based air-search radars to detect and track suspicious aircraft. This amounted to over 1,000 hours la Fyl83, Dostly at NAS, Guantanamo Bay. 0 Providing personnel to help pan the National Narcotice Border Interdiction System (NNBIS) regional centers. o Making available rifle and pistol ranges for agent proficiency training and "burn" pits to destroy illicit contraband. o Providing logistic support and replenishment at sea for Goast Guard ships. US AIR FORCE I. Major Areas of Deployment Southwest (US (TX-OR-Western Gulf) B. Southeast (off-shore coast, FL, Gulfcoast) C. Bahamas and Caribbean II. Bypes of Support AVLATION Missions Costs Reimbursement Paid E-3 (AWACS) 72 3,900,000 NA B. B-52 (Busy observer) 55 unavailable NA C. UH-IN (OPSBAT) 650 594,000 NA D. C-130 -22 22 unavailable NA NA TOTAL 799 4,494,400 OT:IER Facilities 20 74,200 74,000 74,000 B. Equipment 124 C. Mission Support... 23 NNBIS only 97,000 NA NA D. Miscellaneous 54 TOTAL 221 171,200 74,000 74,000 1103 Senator HAWKINS. Thank you, Dr. Korb. In your opinion, is the drug trafficking threat increasing? Dr. KORB. Well, Senator, all we do is provide information to other agencies who are more properly concerned with this ques- tion, and so, we do not make those particular judgments. I have a personal opinion based upon my involvement here as well as listen- ing to what has gone on here, and it seems to be. But that is not a departmental position, because we do not make those judgments. Senator HAWKINS. How have Coast Guard tactical law enforce- ment teams been employed aboard Navy vessels? Dr. KORB. Essentially what happens is that when our naval forces are in an area which we think will involve us in doing some- thing about interdicting the drug traffic, we deploy a Coast Guard team on board for a specific period of time. For example, they might ride a ship from Norfolk down to the Caribbean, or in this particular exercise that I just mentioned, we put the Coast Guard team on board the Navy vessels. Senator HAWKINS. The Department of Treasury recently request- ed the Department of Defense divert $11 million to the U.S. Cus- toms Service for their operation and maintenance of aircraft. Does the Department of Defense have the authority to honor this re- quest, or would it violate the Economy Act? Dr. KORB. We think it would violate the Economy Act, and we have so informed the Department of the Treasury. Senator HAWKINS. What impact has the revised Posse Comitatus had on the morale in DOD? Dr. KORB. Well, I think that in terms of the morale of the young men and women of our forces that get involved in this, it has had a positive impact, because rather than doing their training, if you will, against make believe targets or simulated targets, they actual- ly get to do the training in a real lifetime operation, and then they can see the results of their efforts. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you very much. We appreciate your co- operation. It has been delightful working with you. Dr. KORB. Thank you very much, Senator. Senator HAWKINS. Admiral Yost, do you have a statement? STATEMENT OF REAR ADM. PAUL A. YOST, JR., CHIEF OF STAFF, U.S. COAST GUARD Admiral Yost. I have a statement which I will provide for the record. I would also like to summarize it. Madam Chairwoman and members of the committee, I am Rear Adm. Paul A. Yost, Chief of Staff of the Coast Guard. I would like to thank you for your leadership in the drug eradi- cation and interdiction program in this Nation. We appreciate it very much, I do personally, and speaking for the U.S. Coast Guard. First, I would like to go over some background on the nature of drug trafficking, and at the same time update trends that are being noted. The Coast Guard's role in our Nation's five-pronged Federal strategy for prevention of drug abuse and law trafficking is focused on the interdiction of drugs bound for the United States from for- eign source or transit nations. 1104 Estimates for 1982, the latest figures available, from the Nation- al Narcotics Intelligence Consumers Committee, show that about 85 percent of the annual supply of marijuana in the United States was grown in foreign soil. Most of this amount was shipped by sea. A small but increasing percentage is imported by air. The committee also states, that is, the Consumers Committee, that all cocaine consumed in the United States is foreign produced. Most is smuggled into the United States by air, but we note a grow- ing trend of cocaine shipments intermingled with bulk shipments of marijuana. During 1983, our overall efforts have provided an increased de- terrent value by denying easy access to the United States via tradi- tional maritime routes, and by increasing the cost of doing business for the drug traffickers. Our number of pounds seized in fiscal 1983 were 37 percent lower than in 1982. That is primarily a result of our deterrent effect and the much smaller 1982 crop in Colombia. Let me also say that we are seeing an increase in fiscal year 1984 due to the much better 1983 crop in Colombia. Most maritime drug traffic destined for Florida and the South and the Atlantic and the gulf coast regions of the United States departs from South America or Caribbean staging areas. Marijuana from the Guajira peninsula on the north coast of Co- lombia is the prime example of this. As seaborne smugglers pro- ceed north, they normally pass through one of the four interisland channels we call choke points. It is in these areas that Coast Guard resources are most effectively employed. The smugglers that successfully transit these choke points head for the Bahamas, Florida, or the gulf coast. Some vessels attempt to avoid the increased law enforcement pressure off Florida by transiting the Eastern Caribbean and offloading further north along the mid-Atlantic or the New England seacoasts. There has also been some increase in drug smuggling on the west coast, which could be a further reaction to the increased enforce- ment pressure in the Caribbean. We have noted that as law en- forcement pressure in the maritime region has increased, there has been a shift to other modes and methods of transportation. There has been a significant increase in air smuggling. Also, the use of hidden shipboard compartments and attempts to navigate around our placement of interdiction resources has been noted. We believe that these tactics confirm the fact that we are having a noticeable effect on maritime smuggling, since these elusive efforts make smuggling more difficult and expensive for the trafficker. The operational effort to stem the overall flow of drugs has become more effective through the coordination of all law enforce- ment agencies' interdiction and intelligence gathering activities. A review of our records indicates that we have seized 12 Pana- manian, 5 Honduran, 2 Haitian, and 6 U.K. flag vessels since Janu- ary 1, 1983. In addition, we have seized one vessel each from the following countries during the same time frame: Canada, Cayman Islands, Colombia, West Germany, Mexico, and Sweden. We have also seized 17 vessels claiming foreign registry which were eventu- ally declared stateless. These seizures netted a total of over 1.4 mil- lion pounds of marijuana. 1105 smaller 1982 crop in Colombia. Since the beginning of 1983, we have contacted foreign govern- ments 66 times to confirm claims of registry. Internal procedures vary widely from country to country, as do their registry systems, so that time required for response also varies widely from country to country. We, the State Department, and the involved Embassies strive to minimize the time required to complete this process so that valuable cutter time is not unnecessarily wasted while the reg- ister check or negotiations for special arrangements are completed. In closing, I would like to state that we continue to receive coop- eration from those governments in the Central and South Ameri- can and Caribbean nations that we routinely deal with and depend on for the daily conduct of our at-sea interdiction operations. I have no reason to doubt that the open relations we have estab- lished with these countries will continue. I certainly hope this re- mains the case. They are vital to our interest in this important mission. This concludes my statement, Madame Chairwoman. I will, of course, be happy to answer any questions. [Admiral Yost's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF REAR ADM. PAUL A. Yost, JR. Madam Chairman and members of the Committee, I am Rear Admiral Paul A. Yost, Jr., Chief of Staff of the Coast Guard. It is a pleasure to appear before you today to report on the Coast Guard's involvement in international drug control. First, I would like to go over some background on the nature of maritime drug trafficking, and at the same time update trends that are being noted. The Coast Guard's role in our nation's five-pronged Federal Strategy for preven- tion of drug abuse and drug trafficking is focused on the interdiction of drugs bound for the United States from foreign source or transit nations. Estimates for 1982, the latest figures available from the National Narcotics Intelligence Consumer's Com- mittee (NNICC), show that about 85 percent of the annual supply of marijuana in the United States was grown in foreign soil. Most of this amount was shipped by sea. A small, but increasing percentage is imported by air. NNICC also states that all cocaine consumed in the United States is foreign-produced. Most is smuggled into the United States by air, but we note a growing trend of cocaine shipments intermingled with bulk shipments of marijuana. During 1983 our overall efforts have provided an increased deterrent value by de- nying easy access to the United States via traditional maritime routes, and by in- creasing the cost of doing business for drug traffickers. Our seizures in fiscal 1983 were 37 percent lower than in 1982, which is a function of our deterrent effect and Most maritime drug traffic destined for Florida and the Atlantic and Gulf Coast regions of the United States departs from South American or Caribbean staging areas. Marijuana from the Guajira Peninsula on the north coast of Colombia is the prime example of this. As seaborne smugglers proceed north, they normally pass through one of the four inter-island channels we call "choke points.” It is in these areas that Coast Guard resources are most effectively employed. Smugglers that successfully transit these choke points head for the Bahamas, Florida or the Gulf Coast. Some vessels attempt to avoid the increased law enforcement pressure off Florida by transiting the Eastern Caribbean and offloading further north along the Mid-Atlantic or the New England seacoasts. There has also been some increase in drug smuggling on the West Coast, which could be a further reaction to the in- creased enforcement pressure in the Caribbean. We have noted that as law enforce- ment pressure in the maritime region has increased, there has been a shift to other modes and methods of transportation. There has been a significant increase in air smuggling. Also, the use of hidden shipboard compartments, and attempts to navi- gate around our placement of interdiction resources have been noted. We believe these tactics confirm the fact that we are having a noticeable effect on maritime smuggling, since these elusive efforts make smuggling more difficult and expensive for the trafficker. The operational effort to stem the overall flow of drugs has become more effective through the coordination of all law enforcement agencies' interdiction and intelligence gathering activities. 1106 Coast Guard drug interdiction operations concentrate on large motherships which deliver contraband to smaller, faster contact boats well offshore. In addition to car- rying marijuana, our intelligence sources indicate that many also carry quantities of hard drugs (primarily cocaine). We are seldom able to seize these higher value low volume hard drugs however, because they are usually disposed of prior to the at-sea boarding of the vessel. We have observed actions that confirm this. Analysis shows that while we must keep pressure on all facets of the maritime drug scenario, inter- diction of motherships has the greatest potential for disrupting the maritime flow of drugs. In addition to removing other contraband (including hard drugs), one mother- ship seizure may remove as much marijuana from the market as would many con- tact boat seizures closer to shore. Since the mid 1970's the Coast Guard, in cooperation with local, State and other Federal agencies, has increasingly employed our resources in an attempt to stem the flow of drugs into the United States. Special operations were conducted specifi- cally for narcotics interdiction, and as our experience grew, so did the Coast Guard's success rate. In the early 1980's, the Administration embarked on an aggressive campaign to reduce the availability and use of illicit drugs, and in January 1982, the President created the South Florida Task Force on crime as a result of the con- cerns expressed by the citizens of Florida. The Coast Guard responded to this effort by reprograming resources and adding to the inventory of Coast Guard cutters, planes, equipment and personnel based in Florida. During the past several years we have significantly increased the number of cutter patrol days expended for drug interdiction off the coast of Florida, in the Car- ibbean, and in the choke points. Our air operations have also been stepped up. In 1982 two large Coast Guard cutters were relocated to Florida from other regions of the United States to increase their ability to respond quickly to sightings and other intelligence. The Coast Guard now averages about six of our larger cutters on patrol at all times in waters off the Southeastern United States and in the Caribbean. We have also reprogrammed some of our helicopter assets to make our flight-deck equipped cutters more effective. Additionally, we formed a Surface Effect Ship squadron of three vessels in Key West, which became fully operational in 1983. In 1982 Congress passed legislation clarifying statutory restrictions on the use of Department of Defense resources for law enforcement purposes. As a result, the De- partment of Defense now has greater freedom to support federal law enforcement agencies. DOD resources have been playing an important role in the federal drug interdiction program by providing surveillance and support services, such as using aircraft to search for smugglers and Navy ships to tow or escort vessels seized by the Coast Guard to the nearest U.S. port. Additionally, Navy ships now also deploy with Coast Guard Tactical Law Enforcement Teams (TACLETS) or Law Enforce- ment Detachments (LEDETS) aboard. These teams or detachments conduct board- ings of suspect vessels from their Navy hosts in the same manner as boarding par- ties operate from Coast Guard vessels. To increase further the number of surface assets available for interdiction, the Coast Guard has been routinely deploying LEDET personnel on Navy Pegasus-class PHMs operating out of Key West. These hydrofoils are being used as "pouncer” ves- sels to interdict fast drug smuggling contact boats. We will conduct a joint evalua- tion with the Navy later this year to verify the effectiveness of pouncer operations, and to see if this concept is also useful in the Gulf of Mexico. Since 1982, the Navy has assisted us in the seizure of 18 vessels, the arrest of 166 suspected smugglers, and the interdiction of 500 thousand pounds of marijuana and 46 pounds of cocaine. The cooperation we receive from foreign governments is good. We routinely deal with the governments of Colombia, Venezuela, Panama, Costa Rica, Mexico, Hondu- ras, the Bahamas, Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, as well as British, French, and Dutch island dependencies in the Caribbean. Our contact with them is coordinated through the Department of State, and usually starts with a request for a registry confirmation of a vessel intercepted by one of our cutters at sea. Prior to taking any action against a vessel on the high seas, we must verify its claimed na- tional affiliation to insure it is legitimate. If the vessel's claim is confirmed by its flag state, the U.S. Embassy then negotiates with that government to permit the U.Š. Government to board and search the vessel. If contraband is found, we then seize it either on behalf of the nation we are dealing with, or for violation of U.S. law. If the purported flag state refutes the vessel's claim of registry, we then follow established procedures to declare the vessel stateless. The High Seas Convention permits any nation to exert its jurisdiction over a stateless vessel, thus, we can exert U.S. jurisdiction to board and search. Close cooperation of other governments is absolutely crucial during this process. Their ability to rapidly verify claims of reg- 1107 istry at any time of day or night, and their willingness to enter into cooperative arrangements with us to facilitate searches and seizures on the high seas are key elements of our maritime interdiction program. A review of our records indicates that we have seized 12 Panamanian, five Hondu- ran, two Haitian, and six U.K. Flag vessels since January 1, 1983 using this process. In addition, we have seized one vessel each from the following countries during the same time frame: Canada, the Cayman Islands, Colombia, West Germany, Mexico and Sweden. We have also seized 17 vessels claiming foreign registry which were eventually declared stateless. These seizures netted a total of over 1.4 million pounds of marijuana. Since the beginning of 1983, we have contacted foreign govern- ments 66 times to confirm claims of registry. Internal procedures vary widely from country to country, as do registry systems so the time required for responses also varies widely from country to country. We, the State Department, and the involved Embassies, strive to minimize the time required to complete this process so that val- uable cutter time is not unnecessarily wasted while the registry check, or the nego- tiations for the special arrangement are completed. The Coast Guard is also operationally involved with foreign governments. We have engaged in joint operations with Jamaica, the Bahamas, Haiti, Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica. We plan to continue operations with friendly governments in the future. In closing, I would like to state that we continue to receive excellent cooperation from those governments of the Central, South American, and Caribbean nations we routinely deal with, and depend on, for the daily conduct of our at-sea interdiction operations. I have no reason to doubt that the open and cordial relations we have established with these countries will continue. I certainly hope this remains the case. They are vital to our interests in this important mission. This concludes my prepared testimony, Mr. Chairman. I will be happy to answer any questions you or the members of the committee may have. Senator HAWKINS. Senator Pell has joined us, and has a brief statement and some questions that he would like to ask. Welcome, Senator Pell. Senator PELL. Thank you very much, Senator Hawkins. I do not want to interfere with your regular order. Do you want to hear from all of the witnesses first before questions? Senator HAWKINS. We are letting each witness be dismissed as they finish. This is the Coast Guard witness. As you know, Senator Pell held a very successful hearing in Rhode Island. Senator PELL. Thank you very much. As a captain in the Coast Guard Reserve, alas, retired, it is a double pleasure for me to be with Admiral Yost and his colleagues from the Coast Guard here. Admiral Yost. I think we negotiated some of the Law of the Sea problems together, Senator, some years ago. Senator PELL. Exactly. I remember it well. And even when you did not have quite as glorious a rank. Admiral Yost. That is right. Senator PELL. I am very glad to see you again. Being a New Englander, we are particularly concerned with this drug traffic, because it has moved North in part because of the good job that you have done in the Caribbean. We have about 6,000 miles of jagged coastline being utilized by the smugglers to a great extent. In fact, it reminds me a little of when I was a boy. My State would never have ratified the Volstead Act, and the smugglers used to come ashore, and I remember most respectable citizens would go down to greet them as they came to the beach. The boot- leggers were next to the police station. But this is not the case with the drug traffic, where I think there is universal or general abhorrence of the drug traffic. There is no 1108 condoning of it at all. I think the reaction of our people is very dif- ferent. They want to help you, and not hinder you, as was the case when we had responsibility to enforce the Volstead Act. So, I congratulate you for the job you have done in the Caribbe- an, and hope that you could do as successful a job off of New Eng- land. I remember last year the hearing brought out the fact that officials have seized 10 times the volume of drugs confiscated in the previous year. That was because of your good work and also be- cause the traffic has risen. We cannot continue to ask agencies such as yours to do more and more with the same level of re- sources. But I am particularly glad to learn your views of the ade- quacy of the funding being devoted to combating the drug traffick- ing problem. We have just has published the hearing that we held on October 31, 1983. I do think you will find it of some interest, because Admi- ral Gracey was one of our most, really, our most distinguished and leading witness there. Now, specifically, Admiral Yost, how much of the Coast Guard budget for 1985 will be devoted to law enforcement, what percent- age? Admiral Yost. It is in the vicinity of 28 to 29 percent. That is sometimes hard to identify in a multimission agency. Senator PELL. How would that compare with the 1984 budget? Admiral Yost. Well, it would be slightly higher. Senator PELL. Of the 1984 budget, what percentage is devoted to law enforcement? Admiral Yost. We are also around 28 to 29 percent in 1984. There is not an order of magnitude change. Senator PELL. Now, your 1985 proposed Coast Guard budget for operations, which I have looked at, has basically the same funding level as 1984 if my recollection is correct. Given the fact that some of this funding is going to be eaten up by inflation and a mandato- ry pay raise for personnel, it would seem to me that the 1985 budget will actually be a decrease in real terms over 1984. Would that not be correct? Admiral Yost. I do not think that we could say it was a decrease in real terms. We feel that in 1985 we have, as Admiral Gracey has testified, sufficient money to do those things that we are currently assigned. We are not rich. We never have been. We obviously could use more money. But that is a national decision. We are not hurt- ing for money. We have more concern with personnel resources than we do money at the moment. For money we are not in bad shape. Senator PELL. What are the $2 figures? I do not recall them at the moment. Admiral Yost. I would have to prepare that for the record. The dollar figures for 1984 and 1985 in OE, I believe, are $1.692 billion in 1984 and $1.759 billion in 1985. The delta there was $67 million in OE. I think there was some increase in other appropriations, so the overall delta is about $80 million between 1984 and 1985. Senator PELL. Do you mean there was an $80 million increase? Admiral YoSt. An $80 million increase. Sixty-seven million of that was in the operating expenses appropriation. 1109 Senator PELL. Was that not more than used up by the mandatory pay raise and by the 3-percent or 4-percent inflationary figure? It would seem to me from simple arithmetic that that would be the case. Admiral Yost. Yes, it will be. Senator PELL. So in real terms there will be less. In real dollars, in purchasing power, there will be less in 1985 than in 1984. Admiral Yost. I would have to respond for the record. Your logic seems compelling. I am just reluctant at the table here without the ability to go over the budget to answer that question in detail. [The information referred to follows:] Overall dollar increases between 1984 and 1985 are slightly less than anticipated cost of living increases. However, new vessels, aircraft and equipment purchased with prior year funds are now coming on line to replace older high maintenance cost facilities. This will allow us to continue programs at current levels with some program enhancements in law enforcement and military readiness. Senator PELL. The reason I am so interested in it is, I will have an opportunity to testify on the Coast Guard budget before the ap- propriate committee, and some of us on the Hill have always felt the Coast Guard has been almost too good a soldier in not waving the flag of alarm, which you do not find with your fellow 'armed services. Admiral Yost. I think I can say safely, sir, from the administra- tion's point of view as well as ours, that we do not see a great addi- tion to the Coast Guard budget between 1984 and 1985 as far as dollars go. Senator PELL. What is your best assessment of the percentage of illegal drugs smuggled into the Nation that are being presently seized by the Coast Guard? Admiral Yost. We think that we are somewhere in the 15- to 20- percent area of drugs seized. It is very difficult to tell, because you do not know how many are being shipped. Unfortunately, they do not come with a bill of lading, and so you do not know the tonnage that is being shipped. It is hard to estimate what percentage you are seizing. The estimates I have seen run anywhere between 15 to 30 percent, depending on whose estimates they are. Senator PELL. What level of funding would you need to achieve an interdiction rate of 70 to 80 percent? Admiral Yost. I guess I would have to say a massive increase in funding to achieve that kind of a percentage. I would want to put as background that that is not the administration's program. I have talked about a five-pronged program that the administra- tion is using, and that includes education, drug treatment, re- search, supply reduction, and then law enforcement being the final prong of the five-pronged effort. The administration is not depend- ing on law enforcement alone to shut down the drug operation, or even to get 70 percent of it. I would just have to say it would be a massive influx of funds in order for us to put enough ships, men, and airplanes in the coastal regions and choke points to have that kind of an interdiction rate. Senator PELL. Could you submit for the record a rough estimate of what it would take? Admiral Yost. I would. Senator PELL. Thank you very much indeed. 1110 [The information referred to follows:] The 70 percent interdiction rate was a figure drawn up in a study a few years ago as the amount of drugs it would be necessary to seize to make trafficking unprofit- able. It was never viewed by the Coast Guard as a realistic goal. The resources needed would be huge, both for the Coast Guard and for other law enforcement agencies. For these reasons it is not feasible to draw up a list of resources needed to achieve this interdiction rate. Senator PELL. Is there much coordination between the Coast Guard and other agencies when it comes to law enforcement? Admiral Yost. The question, Senator, was what-- Senator PELL. Is there adequate coordination, particularly in regard to intelligence gathering, between the Coast Guard and the other agencies involved? Admiral Yost. I think that the amount of cooperation has in- creased orders of magnitude in the last 4 or 5 years. In the last year or so, a good piece of that coordination and cooperation has come through the NNBIS organization. It has also come through the Posse Comitatus change that you have made. Secretary Korb testified eloquently to the help that DOD Services has given us. For example, from the Navy we are getting daily aerial surveil- lance. We are getting Coast Guard boarding teams on their ships, as he mentioned. We are getting high interest vessel profile sitings from their vessels throughout the high seas. They are providing towing and escort services. When we seize a vessel, they will often tow or escort it to the port so that we do not have to pull our vessel off station or out of the choke points. Air Force also is giving us excellent cooperation, and we are talk- ing now with the Army about some help from the Georgia Air Na- tional Guard and some of the other Army fixed wing assets. So, the coordination is good. NNBIS activities have been a big help, particularly in the intelligence arena. We are getting far more intelligence now than we got a few years ago. That is not be- cause the intelligence was not available. The intelligence has been available. But the coordination was not there to get that intelli- gence, either raw intelligence or massaged intelligence, to the com- mander on the scene who needed it. That mechanism is being provided by NNBIS. It is getting better every day, and what you would need, going back to your last ques- tion, what you would need to shut down 70 percent of the traffick- ing is very much dependent on the amount of intelligence you get. With good intelligence, that massive effort that I am talking about is substantially reduced to get 70 percent or any other number that you want. Intelligence is the key. Senator PELL. Do your helicopters work in collaboration with the National Guard helicopters? For example, in my part of the coun- try, your Otis Airfield is used by you. We have a massive, a large number of National Guard helicopters in my State. Do they work together, or do you operate separately? Admiral Yost. Historically, we have had excellent cooperation with the air arms of all of the services, including Air National Guard. Most of that has been in the search and rescue area. When we do not have a helicopter available for whatever reason, they have been just absolutely wonderful in providing that backfill. I do not think we have done as much of this in the drug interdiction 1111 business, because it is not usually an emergency scramble situa- tion. It is a planned patrol type of situation, I would be very glad to look further into the use of Air National Guard assets other than the Georgia Air National Guard in these kinds of things. We are working with Georgia Air National Guard now. I would expect we would expand that, if it works, to other areas. Senator PELL. I would hope it would, and maybe in Rhode Island and New England it would, too. Admiral Yost. That seems like a good place to try. Senator PELL. The fact that you also have the responsibility for the 200-mile fisheries limit would, it seems to me, mean that you could not use all your assets on drug interdiction. How is it divided up between the two? Admiral Yost. I would have to provide for the record the exact division between the two. We are multimission. We do use the same unit for more than one mission, sometimes during the same flight. They are involved in a multimission type of effort. So that has been a problem. We want to be careful that we do not divert so many assets to a single mission, drug interdiction, that we leave great gaps and holes and bring great suffering on people who are dependent on us for our other missions, including search and rescue, of course, fisheries law enforcement, and other areas. Senator PELL. In connection with the new equipment that you have-I am thinking of the 270-foot cutters that are being built in Rhode Island-how is that building program going? It is on target? Admiral Yost. The 270-foot cutter program is lagging somewhat. There have been some strikes, as you know. We have two ships de- livered from Takoma. The other two are in process, and will be de- livered in 1985 from Derecktor Shipyard. I would guess they might be behind. A year behind, I am told, in Derecktor Shipyard. Or so it looks to us. Mr. Derecktor might have a different answer. It is sometimes a little hard in the middle of a shipbuilding program to see where you are. Senator PELL. The important thing is that the cutters be quality made. Admiral Yost. And I am sure, being built in Rhode Island, they will be, sir. We are looking for a very, very fine vessel. It is a good design. We feel we have gotten quality workmanship in both of the shipyards. Senator PELL. Let us just hope they have the same longevity as the Duane Campbell class, which is still being used almost 50 years after they were built. Well, I know it is more than 40 years. I would like to bring out the point that the Coast Guard mission, as you pointed out, is in all areas, fisheries, law enforcement, search and rescue, marine pollution, and these missions are in- creasing every year. The resources are essentially remaining static, however, so you are in a difficult position, as I see it, of having in- creasingly large numbers of responsibilities and more or less the same resources to carry them out. It is a tough job, which you are doing to the best of your ability, but if this continues, I do not see how you are going to be able to continue handling this unless you have your people work so hard as to give them no leave and work 16-hour days. Do you have any comments on that? 1112 Admiral Yost. I would like to address that. We are working very hard. I think that we are stretched quite thin. At the same time, I would be remiss if I did not mention to this committee that we have in the last few budget years gotten a considerable amount of money in our capital improvement program, some of that through DOD money, as you know. From that we have been able to buy three new SES's that are operating in Senator Hawkins' area, in the Key West area. We are remodeling, or shall I say “FRAM'ing,” the acronym for fleet renovation and modernization all of our big 378-foot cutters. We are giving our 210-foot cutters a midlife renovation which will provide significant improvement in their capabilities. We are bring- ing the new 270's on the line, as you know from your interface with Derecktor in your own State. We have extended the life of three Navy tugs that are quite old vessels, but we are modernizing those. We have, and I think this is one of the most exciting things, we have just received a final amount of money in the 1984 budget from DOD to allow us to buy up 17 new 110-foot patrol boats. This will be a very powerful vessel, a very fast vessel, a very capable vessel, and I frankly cannot wait to see a fleet of 17 110-foot, 29- knot patrol vessels thrown at this drug and law enforcement prob- lem throughout the United States. I think it will make a signifi- cant impact. We also have received all of our new Falcon jet aircraft. We are having a few growth problems with them as we are trying to get them into the air and flying the program hours they are scheduled to fly. We are having a few engine problems. We are on the verge of starting to receive our new Dolphin helicopters, which again will have a significant impact in the business that we do in law enforce- ment: Senator PELL. But is it not a correct statement that because of the decommissioning and the removing for renovations of some of the cutters, that the number of cutters is remaining pretty much the same? Admiral Yost. It is remaining pretty much the same. Even the number of hulls, particularly major cutter hulls, will drop over the next few years as we renovate these major vessels. We are working our people harder. We are going to try to augment the crews of these vessels. We are going to try to get more ship hours and ship days out of them for that period of several years, while we do that. We are going to work harder, but at the same time, you are absolutely right, Senator. We expect there will be less hulls, large hulls par- ticularly, during this renovation process. Senator PELL. Thank you very much, Admiral Yost. Thank you, Senator Hawkins. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you for your participation and your in- terest, Senator. What is the average age of the Coast Guard cutter? Admiral Yost. For our newer class of vessel, the 378's, they are about 16 or 18 years in age. The 210-foot vessels are around 16 to 18 years. If you add in our 50-year-old vessels that the Senator 1113 talked about, we have raised the level of those vessels to an aver- age of about 24 years old. Senator HAWKINS. Is the average age going up or down? Admiral Yost. Well, as we decommission the older vessels, the average age will move from 24 to about 15 years, but right now it is at 24 years. That is because we still have the 327-foot vessels that are between 40 and 50 years old. We are operating the three older Navy tugs that are in their forties. They are capable vessels. We are glad we have them. But they do raise the average age of your fleet. Senator HAWKINS. You are doing a magnificant job with what you have. When we talk about the helicopters, do not helicopters require a tremendous amount of maintenance? Do you not have to go over them every-is it 14 hours, 20 hours of flying time you have to take them all apart? How much down time do they have? Admiral Yost. Let me talk about up time. It would be easier for me to talk about up time. We are hoping to get out of these heli- copters—the number that sticks in my mind is 800 hours a year. Eight hundred hours a year we are planning to get out of these new Dolphins. Let me say that we have not taken delivery of the Dolphin helicopter yet because it has some engine problems, and we want to be sure that we have the supply support and the engine problems whipped before we begin to replace the H-52's. We are spending a lot of maintenance time keeping the H-52's flying and our older H-3's flying. We are getting about 650 hours a year, which is what we are programing. That is not cheap, to take an old helicopter and fly it that much. Senator HAWKINS. But how many hours can it fly before you have to go over it? Admiral Yost. I am not absolutely sure, but I think about 10 hours between routine maintenance. That is, fly it ten hours, do some routine maintenance, fly it 10 hours, do some more routine. And then less frequently you do a major overhaul of specific com- ponents that puts that bird down for a good number of days. Senator HAWKINS. Do you have a spare parts problem? Admiral Yost. In the older helicopters, we have some spare parts problems. We are putting a significant amount of money in our 1984 and 1985 budget into buying some of the critical parts, rotors, gear boxes, and some engines, in order to cut down on the amount of time that they just sit there waiting for a spare part. Senator HAWKINS. What is the country of origin of the majority of the drug trafficking ships that are stopped by the Coast Guard? Do you know? Admiral Yost. Yes. There is a difference between the origin of the drugs, which is obviously Colombia, and the origin of the vessel, the flag of the vessel. Frankly, the major number of vessels we seize are flying the U.S. flag. I would say, though, that those vessels are the contact boats for the most part. Those are the smaller vessels. The mother ships are coming out of Panama, Hon- duras. Senator HAWKINS. Caribbean countries? Admiral Yost. Yes; and the United Kingdom and its possessions around the Caribbean. 34-045 04-84-71 1114 Let me turn to my notes here, because I do not want to miss any country. They would be disappointed if they did not make the news. Senator HAWKINS. That is right. Admiral Yost. Seventy percent of the vessels that we seize, about 70 percent are U.S. vessels. They are usually the smaller vessels, contact vessels, that sort of thing. Ten percent of the vessels we seize are stateless. That leaves about 20 percent of the vessels we seize are foreign vessels. Of the vessels that we have seized recent- ly, 40 vessels were Panamanian, 18 were from Honduras, 17 from the United Kingdom or its dependencies, 8 from Colombia, 7 from Venezuela, and then it drops on off to Grand Cayman, Bahamas, et cetera, with 4 or 5. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. Are you getting much cooperation from Mexico? Can you chase a ship into the Mexican waters past the Yucatan passage? Admiral Yost. We are not getting that kind of cooperation from Mexico. Mexico feels that they will take care of their own. They do not want a lot of U.S. assistance in doing this. We have discussions with them. We have had an exchange of officers now and then. We have had visits, et cetera. But they are not in the forefront of coop- eration among the Caribbean nations. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. I want to thank you for the tre- mendous impact the Coast Guard has had on the drug interdiction program in south Florida. We really appreciate your service. The seizures are phenomenal, but again, I must repeat, we have twice the amount of drugs on the street at half the price. That means a lot is coming through. Admiral Yost. Could I say one thing before I leave that? Senator HAWKINS. Surely. Admiral Yost. Drug interdiction and law enforcement is abso- lutely critical to the entire problem of reducing drugs in this Nation and in Florida. It is not the only thing. It is one of five of the prongs. I do think that without effective law enforcement, that without the kind of law enforcement that we now have, that the drug usage in this Nation would be up considerably from what it is now, and I can only agree with you, and thank you for your sup- port, not only in the interdiction that the Coast Guard is involved in, but in the entire scheme of eradication, education, and all the other things you are concerned with and involved in. Senator Haw- kins, thank you. Senator HAWKINS. Thank you so much, Admiral. We now will hear from William Logan, who is Director of the Office of Investigations for the Customs Service. You may summa- rize your statement. We are 10 minutes over when I promised all of you you could leave. STATEMENT OF WILLIAM R. LOGAN, DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF INVESTIGATIONS, U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE Mr. LOGAN. Thank you, Senator Hawkins. I do have a prepared statement for the record which with your permission I will submit. I will try to summarize that as briefly as I can, if I may. 1115 A major and significant part of U.S. Customs resources are dedi- cated to combating the illegal traffic in dangerous drugs both at the borders of the United States and in numerous foreign coun- tries. A major thrust of our efforts has been in the area of interdic- tion of dangerous drugs from throughout the world, and in provid- ing training and instruction in narcotics enforcement to Customs and other law enforcement officers from other countries. We have come to realize that in enforcement of our laws, we cannot afford to be isolationist, and that in order to successfully combat the major criminal organizations involved in the narcotics trade, we must work in cooperation with Customs and other law enforcement agencies throughout the world. In November and December 1983, Commissioner von Raab had the opportunity to accompany Senator Hawkins on a factfinding mission to several of the world's heroin source countries. Commis- sioner von Raab advised me that he was impressed with the amount of assistance which has been provided to some of the coun- tries by U.S. agencies, but it was apparent to him that in order for our programs to have any hope of overall success, it would be nec- essary for U.S. Customs to provide additional drug enforcement training to foreign customs personnel, and to increase the U.S. Cus- toms presence in these countries by establishing additional Cus- toms attaché or senior Customs representative positions in selected embassies and consulates. Over the past 30 years, Customs has become increasingly active in its international activities. This increase has resulted from Cus- toms efforts to become more effective in both its commercial and its law enforcement responsibilities. It has also been based on international obligations incurred under several multilateral and bilateral agreements. I can also attest to the fact that there has been increased recog- nition within our Government of the essentially apolitical, techni- cally oriented nature of Customs work, which enables us to operate with other customs services throughout the world with great ease, sometimes with a greater ease and with better results than would be achievable at other levels of government. Customs has established attaché or senior Customs representa- tive offices in 10 foreign locations. Subsequent to Commissioner von Raab's trip with Senator Hawkins, he directed me to advise the concerned headquarters staff to increase their efforts to establish a permanent Customs presence in other suitable locations, especially in drug source and transit countries. As a result, we have requested to open offices in Bangkok, Thai- land; Karachi, Pakistan; New Delhi, India; Bogota, Colombia; Manila, Philippines; and Rotterdam in the Netherlands. Our re- quests have met with mixed reviews from the various posts, but I am happy to announce that favorable responses have been received both from Rotterdam and Karachi. In fact, the new office in Rotter- dam is scheduled to open in approximately 4 months, and the con- sulate in Karachi is currently holding office space in anticipation of establishing a permanent Customs office in the near future. Although our request to establish offices in Bangkok, Bogota, and New Delhi have met with initial post reluctance, I have directed 1116 that our proposals be resubmitted to those embassies in those loca- tions for further consideration. Another U.S. Customs major activity involving continuous con- tact with the law enforcement officials in source countries is in the area of training, and is conducted under the auspices of the Depart- ment of State's Bureau of International Narcotics Matters. This program is designed to train foreign enforcement officials in border control activities, emphasizing interdiction techniques, border sur- veillance, antisumggling programs, cargo control, and various search and seizure methods. This program is aimed at foreign customs and other border con- trol officials who are responsible for the indertiction of narcotics and other contraband. To date, Customs has trained over 7,800 for- eign customs officers form 72 different countries. Customs also anticipates developing additional advisory projects in the very near future for Pakistan and Thailand. These will per- tain primarily to narcotics interdiction. The U.S. Customs presence in these countreis was apparently a significant discussion topic during Senator Hawkins' recent visit. Even though these countries already have viable antinarcotics programs, we feel that the additional expertise which can be of- fered by a U.S. Customs adviser and/or attaché would be a positive asset to these programs. Other effective tools used by Customs to obtain intelligence and assistance in international drug control include bilateral Customs cooperation agreements. We currently have these mutual assist- ance agreements on a customs to customs bais with France, Aus- tria, Germany, and Mexico, and have pending or prospective agree- ments with Italy, Canada, Spain, Japan, Korea, and Sweden. The U.S. Customs Service is committed to encouraging these types of agreements. Notwithstanding the customs to customs agreements, the princi- pal responsiblity for gathering drug related information in foreign countries and for conducting domestic narcotics investigations lies with the Drug Enforcement Administration. On January 5, 1984, the Attorney General forwarded to the Secretary of the Treasury a request for the assistance of designated Customs special agents to conduct domestic drug investigations with specified guidelines. On March 2, 1984, Commissioner von Raab and Administrator Mullen signed the joint memorandum for future management of narcotics investigations. This may lead to closer cooperation be- tween DEA and Customs, and to an increased effectiveness of Fed- eral narcotics investigations. In addition, although the agreement is directed toward domestic narcotics investigations, it is anticipated that it will also result in an increased sharing of foreign narcotics intelligence, thereby im- proving our effectiveness in narcotics interdiction and followup in- vestigations. I would like to take just a moment, if I may, to explain some of the major domestic programs which impact on international drug- related activity. Special enforcement operations conducted by the Office of Inspection and Control within Customs focuses on the interdiction of drugs and other contraband at various ports of entry nationwide. Selection of these specific locations for these operations 1117 is determined through threat assessments based on intelligence, smuggling trends, and recent interdiction results. In order to concentrate necessary resources in this targeting op- eration, we have recently established specialized contraband en- forcement teams nationwide. These teams are composed of inspec- tion personnel who have demonstrated an extremely high degree of expertise in the interdiction of narcotics and other contraband. At present, there are approximately 50 teams located throughout the United States at selected airports, seaports, and land border stations. To improve our ability to determine which shipments, vessels, and flights offer the most potential for significant seizures, teams of Customs personnel have conducted onsite visits to two major drug threat countries, Italy and Thailand. There they have scruti- nized commercial cargo and passenger methods of operation. This data was then developed and refined into intelligence reports high- lighting essential elements of information which could be utilized by field personnel to enhance or improve their narcotics interdic- tion efforts. Domestic programs conducted by Customs generally fall under one of two descriptive headings, interdiction or investigation. Inter- diction programs are directed primarily at the seizure and followup investigation of the contraband itself, whereas Customs investiga- tive programs concentrate on the financial aspects of both the nar- cotics groups and their money laundering operations. Two major interdiction operations are the Florida Joint Task Group and the National Narcotics Border Interdiction System. The primary objectives of these task groups are fourfold: to increase the number of arrests and prosecutions of drug smugglers; to increase the number of drug and currency seizures and forfeitures of assets belonging to drug smugglers; to increase the number of seizures of narcotic contraband; and to deter narcotics related smuggling and associated financial transactions. Operation Florida has reduced the flow of drugs into south Flori- da. It has galvanized community spirit in south Florida, and has brought a new feeling of confidence and optimism about the Gov- ernment's ability to deal with drugs and crime. The success of Op- eration Florida was instrumental in the administration's decision to commit the combined interdictory resources of the U.S. Govern- ment into the National Narcotics Border Interdiction System. The Customs Service is very pleased to be a major contributor to this system, which has proven so successful in productivity and ex- ceptional in the improvement of interagency coordination. This success is measured not only in the overall enforcement results that has been achieved, but in the close cooperation being demon- strated between agencies with such diverse missions. The expertise and functions of these agencies have added more weapons to the growing interdiction arsenal, and have contributed immeasurably to our efforts to disrupt the drug smuggling threat to the United States. This threat is evidenced in the sophistication of techniques utilized by smuggling organizations to effect entry of their drug shipments into the United States. For example, one method of smuggling with which we are becom- ing increasingly involved is in internal cargo conspiracy. Highly so- 1118 phisticated international organized crime groups have recruited transportation industry employees for the purpose of smuggling contraband into the United States contained within foreign cargo shipments. These employees manipulate shipments and remove contraband prior to Customs examination. These groups have been documented in operation at most of the major airports and seaports throughout the United States. We are constantly gaining more and more information on these groups' activities, and are currently extremely active in investigat- ing and development methods to combat this threat. I am confident that our efforts will be successful, and that we shall once more force the narcotics smuggler to devise other means to attempt to avoid seizure of their contraband by investigational organizations. In addition to the interdiction operations, Customs has numerous multiagency investigative programs which concentrate on identifi- cation, seizure, and forfeiture of assets purchased from drug profits, and on arrest or prosecution of those members of the criminal or- ganizations who keep their distance from the illegal product but who are involved in either the processing or the concealing of the funds obtained from the criminal enterprise. These activities have provided U.S. authorities with opportuni- ties to infiltrate the organizations, to gather invaluable intelligence on their activities, and to make significant numbers of arrests of large-scale money launderers. Recent Customs seizures have in- cluded amounts of. $6.5 million, $9.4 million, $15.9 million, in addi- tion to numerous seizures in the half million to $3 million range. The total amount of currency seized by U.S. Customs from 1979 to the present is in excess of $259 million. The experience gained from both our domestic and international programs proves that the only recipes for success in improving our efforts to stem the flow of drugs into the United States are a con- certed domestic multiagency cooperative determination to commit all available resources to combat the problem, and a commitment from all involved countries, including source, transit, and recipient locations, to dedicate their maximum efforts to stamping out the drug trade at all levels. Some governments do not see the problem in the same terms we do. Some of them feel that drug trafficking is primarily the prob- lem of the United States and other recipient countries, and they are unwilling to commit themselves to a concerted or an effective effort to curtail the traffic at the source or other in-country inter- mediary level. Other countries which do have antidrug programs and who are often receiving massive amounts of American aid in order to con- duct these programs at times do not appear to be providing ade- quate support to our international efforts, and often appear, frank- ly, to pay the programs and our concerns with only lip service. As a result, in those cases where we obviously cannot rely fully on another country's efforts to adequately address the production and trafficking of illicit drugs in and through that country, we have no alternative but to intensify our own control efforts with respect to shipments from that country, regardless of the adverse effects that such efforts may have on legitimate trade. 1119 For example, it is apparent that the Government of Colombia does not have available resources to adequately police the cocaine and marijuana traffic from Colombia to the United States. Even though enforcement and interdiction are important elements in our narcotics control strategy, a comprehensive crop eradication program is of fundamental importance. An effective program has not been implemented in Colombia, regardless of U.S. insistence and U.S. entreaties. U.S. Customs is therefore left with no choice but to concentrate our resources on intensifying our efforts to interdict drugs being transported from Colombia, despite the fact that our activities will have a disruptive effect on legitimate shipments and passengers from that area. We have no other choice. It seems that almost any- thing we look at coming from Colombia has the potential to conceal cocaine. Last summer we were doing 100 percent examinations of cut flowers from Colombia, because we regularly found cocaine hidden in them. In addition, Colombian ships have a history of carrying drugs into the United States. In January of this year we seized one of their vessels, Ciudad de Popeon, in Los Angeles. De Popeon belongs to the Grand Colombiana Line, and vessels of this line have an extensive cocaine smuggling history. During cal- endar year 1983, for instance, we seized 624 pounds of cocaine from Grand Colombiana ships in several ports throughout the country. The ship itself has since been released to its owners on a $5.3 mil- lion letter of credit, but we will be watching her and all her sister ships for any future violations. I would like to emphasize that these actions we at Customs can take within our present authority to effect changes in a situation. We would rather treat Colombian ships and airplanes and the people and goods they bring here just the way we treat all others, but our experience has shown us that we cannot afford to do that. So for the foreseeable future we will be giving special emphasis to the program, to attempt to gain some control over the situation, and to try to convince the Colombian authorities that they must increase their own efforts to assist in curtailing the massive amount of drugs, primarily cocaine and marijuana, being smuggled from their country to ours. In conclusion, I would like again to emphasize that without a sig- nificant commitment from all domestic and foreign law enforce- ment and government authorities to cooperate fully in this effort, we cannot hope to be successful. We must convince all involved countries that drug trafficking and abuse is not simply an Ameri- can problem, but one that corrupts and destroys the political and social fabric of all countries which participate in the production, manufacture, processing, or trafficking of illegal drugs. Madam Chairman, thank you again for permitting me to present this testimony, this general overview. [Mr. Logan's prepared statement follows: 1120 STATEMENT OF WILLIAM R. LOGAN DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF INVESTIGATIONS U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE BEFORE THE UNITED STATES SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS MARCH 21, 1984 MR. CHAIRMAN AND DISTINGUISHED MEMBERS OF THIS COMMITTEE, IT IS INDEED A PLEASURE TO APPEAR BEFORE YOU TODAY TO DISCUSS THE SUBJECT OF INTERNATIONAL DRUG CONTROL. IN MAY 1980, MR. JUSTICE POWELL MADE THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT : "THE PUBLIC HAS A COMPELLING INTEREST IN DETECTING THOSE WHO WOULD TRAFFIC IN DEADLY DRUGS FOR PERSONAL PROFIT, FEW PROBLEMS AFFECTING THE HEALTH AND WELFARE OF OUR POPULATION, PARTICULARLY OUR YOUNG, CAUSE GREATER CONCERN THAN THE ESCALATING USE OF CONTROLLED SUBSTANCES, MUCH OF THE DRUG TRAFFIC IS HIGHLY ORGANIZED AND CONDUCTED BY SOPHISTICATED CRIMINAL SYNDICATES. THE PROFITS ARE ENORMOUS. AND MANY DRUGS, INCLUDING HEROIN, MAY BE EASILY CONCEALED. AS A RESULT, THE OBSTACLES TO DETECTION OF ILLEGAL CONDUCT MAY BE UNMATCHED IN ANY OTHER AREA OF LAW ENFORCEMENT," MR. JUSTICE POWELL'S STATEMENTS ARE AS APPROPRIATE TODAY AS THEY WERE FOUR YEARS AGO, IN VIEW OF THIS FACT, A MAJOR AND SIGNIFICANT PART OF U.S. CUSTOMS RESOURCES ARE DEDICATED TO COMBATTING THE ILLEGAL TRAFFIC IN DANGEROUS DRUGS BOTH AT THE BORDERS OF THE UNITED STATES AND IN NUMEROUS FOREIGN COUNTRIES, 1121 U.S. CUSTOMS IS THE OLDEST FEDERAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY IN THE UNITED STATES, HAVING BEEN CREATED IN 1789 WITH THE MISSION OF PROTECTING OUR NATIONS BORDERS AND COLLECTING REVENUES FROM TARIFFS, , FOR ALMOST 195 YEARS CUSTOMS HAS SERVED THE NATION AS THE FIRST LINE OF DEFENSE AGAINST FOREIGN INTRUSION, SMUGGLING, INTERNATIONAL THREATS, AND COMMERCIAL FRAUD, AND HAS FOSTERED THE NATION'S GENERAL WELL BEING, (AS A RESULT, U.S. CUSTOMS HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TRULY INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION). A MAJOR THRUST OF OUR EFFORTS HAS BEEN IN THE AREA OF INTERDICTION OF DANGEROUS DRUGS FROM THROUGHOUT THE WORLD, AND IN PROVIDING TRAINING AND INSTRUCTION IN NARCOTICS ENFORCEMENT TO CUSTOMS AND OTHER LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES. WE HAVE COME TO REALIZE THAT IN ENFORCEMENT OF OUR LAWS WE CANNOT AFFORD TO BE ISOLATIONIST, AND THAT IN ORDER TO SUCCESSFULLY COMBAT THE MAJOR CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN THE NARCOTICS TRADE, WE MUST WORK IN COOPERATION WITH CUSTOMS AND OTHER LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. LARGE NARCOTICS TRAFFICKING GROUPS CAN OFTEN SURVIVE THE INCARCERATION OF THEIR MEMBERS, INCLUDING THEIR LEADERS, AND CAN ALSO OVERCOME INTERMITTENT SEIZURES OF THEIR MERCHANDISE. MANY OF THEM CONSIDER SUCH LOSSES AS A NORMAL RISK OF DOING BUSINESS. HOWEVER, FEW GROUPS ARE ABLE TO SURVIVE CONCERTED SUCCESSFUL EFFORTS TO ATTACK THEIR ACTIVITIES AT ALL LEVELS. IT IS CLEAR THAT NARCOTICS TRAFFICKERS ARE DEALT THEIR MOST SEVERE BLOW WHEN WE CONCENTRATE OUR RESOURCES NOT ONLY IN DISRUPTING THEIR DRUG 1122 TRAFFICKING PATTERNS, BUT ALSO IN SEIZING AND FORFEITING THEIR ASSETS AND/OR CASH WHICH THEY THOUGHT HAD BEEN EFFECTIVELY HIDDEN OR LAUNDERED. IT IS MY CONTENTION THAT THE ONLY WAY WE IN ENFORCEMENT CAN SUCCESSFULLY COMBAT THE CURRENT DRUG PROBLEM IS TO COORDINATE OUR EFFORTS AND RESOURCES WITH THOSE OF OTHER LAW ENFORCEMENT ENTITIES, BOTH DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN, IN ORDER TO PROVIDE EDUCATION AND EXPERTISE TO AUTHORITIES IN OTHER COUNTRIES, AND TO ATTACK THE NARCOTICS TRAFFICKERS AT EVERY OPPORTUNITY . THIS ASSAULT INCLUDES DESTRUCTION OF THE DRUGS AT THEIR SOURCE, INTERDICTION AND SEIZURE OF THE DRUGS WHENEVER AND WHEREVER THEY ARE ENCOUNTERED, PROSECUTION AND INCARCERATION OF MAJOR FIGURES INVOLVED IN ALL ASPECTS OF THE TRADE, AND DESTRUCTION OF THE FINANCIAL BASES OF THE PRIMARY TRAFFICKING ORGANIZATIONS BY SEIZURE OF THEIR ASSETS. THE PROFITS INVOLVED IN THE NARCOTICS BUSINESS ARE STAGGERING, AS AN ILLUSTRATION OF THIS FACT, I HAVE PROVIDED YOU WITH A COPY OF A DRUG ENFORCEMENT ADMINISTRATION (DEA) CHART SHOWING THE PRICES OF HEROIN AT VARIOUS STAGES IN ITS DEVELOPMENT FROM THE POPPY FIELDS IN THE THREE MAJOR PRODUCTION AREAS, TO THE STREET LEVEL IN THE UNITED STATES. AS YOU CAN SEE, FOR EXAMPLE, A PRICE OF 300 TO 400 V.S. DOLLARS PAID TO A FARMER IN PAKISTAN OR AFGHANISTAN FOR 10 KILOGRAMS OF OPIUM CAN ESCALATE THROUGH THE VARIOUS STAGES OF SALE AND PRODUCTION INTO A PRICE OF 1.5 MILLION DOLLARS FOR THE RESULTANT 1 KILOGRAM OF CUT HEROIN AT THE STREET DEALER LEVEL IN THE UNITED STATES. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE DRUG TRADE IN THE UNITED STATES IS A 40 TO 60 BILLION DOLLARS A YEAR 1123 INDUSTRY, AND THE ENORMOUS AMOUNTS OF CASH ASSOCIATED WITH ALL ASPECTS OF NARCOTICS AND OTHER RELATED ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES HAVE SPAWNED A VIOLENT CRIME EPIDEMIC OF IMMENSE PROPORTIONS, NARCOTICS INTERDICTION, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, AND RELATED FINANCIAL INVESTIGATIONS ARE OF COURSE A U.S. CUSTOMS NATIONAL PRIORITY. IN ORDER TO FULLY IMPLEMENT OUR ANTI-NARCOTICS PROGRAMS, CUSTOMS PERSONNEL ARE ACTIVE BOTH DOMESTICALLY AND INTERNATIONALLY, AND I WOULD LIKE TO PROVIDE YOU WITH A BRIEF EXPLANATION OF SOME OF OUR PROGRAMS AND INITIATIVES IN BOTH THE UNITED STATES AND VARIOUS FOREIGN COUNTRIES. IN NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER 1983, MR. WILLIAM VON RAAB, COMMISSIONER OF CUSTOMS, HAD THE OPPORTUNITY TO ACCOMPANY A MEMBER OF THIS COMMITTEE, SENATOR PAULA HAWKINS, ON A FACT-FINDING MISSION TO SEVERAL OF THE WORLD'S HEROIN SOURCE COUNTRIES, COMMISSIONER VON RAAB ADVISED ME THAT HE WAS IMPRESSED WITH THE AMOUNT OF ASSISTANCE WHICH HAS BEEN PROVIDED TO SOME OF THESE COUNTRIES BY U.S. AGENCIES, INCLUDING THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE, THE DRUG ENFORCEMENT ADMINISTRATION AND CUSTOMS, BUT IT WAS APPARENT TO HIM THAT IN ORDER FOR OUR PROGRAMS TO HAVE ANY HOPE OF OVERALL SUCCESS IT WOULD BE NECESSARY FOR U.S. CUSTOMS TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL DRUG ENFORCEMENT TRAINING TO FOREIGN CUSTOMS PERSONNEL, AND TO INCREASE THE U.S. CUSTOMS PRESENCE IN THESE COUNTRIES BY ESTABLISHING ADDITIONAL CUSTOMS ATTACHE AND SENIOR CUSTOMS REPRESENTATIVE POSITIONS IN SELECTED EMBASSIES AND CONSULATES. 1124 OVER THE PAST 30 YEARS, U.S. CUSTOMS HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ACTIVE IN ITS INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITIES. THIS INCREASE HAS RESULTED FROM CUSTOMS EFFORTS TO BECOME MORE EFFECTIVE IN BOTH ITS COMMERCIAL AND LAW ENFORCEMENT RESPONSIBILITIES. IT HAS ALSO BEEN BASED ON INTERNATIONAL OBLIGATIONS INCURRED UNDER SEVERAL MULTILATERAL AND BILATERAL AGREEMENTS. I CAN ALSO ATTEST TO THE FACT THAT THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASED RECOGNITION WITHIN OUR GOVERNMENT OF THE ESSENTIALLY APOLITICAL, TECHNICALLY ORIENTED NATURE OF CUSTOMS WORK WHICH ENABLES US TO OPERATE WITH OTHER CUSTOMS SERVICES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD WITH GREAT EASE: SOMETIMES GREATER EASE AND WITH BETTER RESULTS THAN WOULD BE ACHIEVABLE AT OTHER LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT, AS A RESULT, CUSTOMS KAS ESTABLISHED ATTACHE OR SENIOR CUSTOMS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES IN 10 FOREIGN LOCATIONS. THESE LOCATIONS ARE LONDON, BONN, PARIS, ROME, HONG KONG, TOKYO, MEXICO CITY, OTTAWA, PANAMA CITY AND SEOUL. SUBSEQUENT TO COMMISSIONER VON RAAB'S TRIP WITH SENATOR HAWKINS, HE DIRECTED ME TO ADVISE THE CONCERNED CUSTOMS HEADQUARTERS STAFF TO INCREASE THEIR EFFORTS TO ESTABLISH A PERMANENT CUSTOMS PRESENCE IN OTHER SUITABLE LOCATIONS, ESPECIALLY IN DRUG SOURCE AND TRANSIT COUNTRIES, AS A RESULT, WE HAVE REQUESTED TO OPEN OFFICES IN BANGKOK, THAILAND; KARACHI, PAKISTAN: New DELHI, INDIA, BOGOTA, COLOMBIA; MANILA, PHILIPPINES; AND ROTTERDAM, NETHERLANDS. ; OUR REQUESTS HAVE MET WITH MIXED REVIEWS FROM THE VARIOUS - POSTS, BUT I AM HAPPY TO ANNOUNCE THAT FAVORABLE RESPONSES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM ROTTERDAM AND KARACHI: IN FACT, THE NEW OFFICE IN ROTTERDAM IS SCHEDULED TO OPEN IN APPROXIMATELY 4 1125 MONTHS, AND THE CONSULATE IN KARACHI IS CURRENTLY HOLDING OFFICE SPACE IN ANTICIPATION OF ESTABLISHING A PERMANENT U.S. CUSTOMS OFFICE IN THE NEAR FUTURE. ALTHOUGH OUR REQUESTS TO ESTABLISH OFFICES IN BANGKOK, BOGOTA, AND NEW DELHI HAVE MET WITH INITIAL POST RELUCTANCE, I HAVE DIRECTED THAT OUR PROPOSALS BE RESUBMITTED TO THE EMBASSIES IN THOSE LOCATIONS FOR RECONSIDERATION, ANOTHER U.S. CUSTOMS MAJOR ACTIVITY INVOLVING A CONTINUOUS CONTACT WITH LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SOURCE COUNTRIES IS IN THE AREA OF TRAINING, AND IS CONDUCTED UNDER THE ; AUSPICES OF THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE'S BUREAU FOR INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS MATTERS. THIS PROGRAM IS DESIGNED TO TRAIN FOREIGN ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN BORDER CONTROL ACTIVITIES, EMPHASIZING INTERDICTION TECHNIQUES, BORDER SURVEILLANCE, ANTI-SMUGGLING PROGRAMS AND METHODS, CARGO CONTROL, AND SEARCH AND SEIZURE METHODS. THE PROGRAM IS AIMED AT FOREIGN CUSTOMS OR OTHER BORDER CONTROL OFFICIALS WHO ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE INTERDICTION OF NARCOTICS AND OTHER CONTRABAND, TO DATE U.S. CUSTOMS HAS TRAINED OVER 7,850 FOREIGN CUSTOMS OFFICERS FROM 72 COUNTRIES. THE EXECUTIVE OBSERVATION PROGRAM, DESIGNED FOR HEADS OF FOREIGN CUSTOMS ORGANIZATIONS AND OTHER HIGH-RANKING OFFICIALS, PROVIDES AN OPPORTUNITY TO MEET WITH U.S. CUSTOMS EXECUTIVE MANAGEMENT IN WASHINGTON, FOLLOWED BY OBSERVATIONAL VISITS TO SELECTED U.S. PORTS OF ENTRY. THE MID-MANAGEMENT SEMINAR, CONDUCTED IN WASHINGTON, D.C., BUT ALSO INCLUDING VISITS TO SELECTED FIELD SITES, ALLOWS MID-CAREER MANAGERS THE OPPORTUNITY 1126 TO MEET WITH COLLEAGUES FROM SEVERAL FOREIGN COUNTRIES TO DISCUSS NARCOTICS INTERDICTION TECHNIQUES. THE NARCOTICS DETECTOR DOG PROGRAM IS CONDUCTED AT THE U.S. CUSTOMS CANINE ENFORCEMENT TRAINING CENTER IN FRONT ROYAL, VIRGINIA, THE CLASSES PROVIDE INSTRUCTION IN THE BASICS OF MANAGING DETECTOR DOG PROGRAMS, AS WELL AS ACTUAL DOG HANDLER SKILLS, THE TRAIN-THE-TRAINER WORKSHOP IS A NEW PROGRAM, DESIGNED FOR OFFICERS WHO ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CUSTOMS BORDER ENFORCEMENT TRAINING ACTIVITIES IN THEIR OWN COUNTRIES, THE PROGRAM PREPARES INSTRUCTORS TO TEACH THE BASIC SKILLS IN NARCOTICS INTERDICTION, INCLUDING PRACTICAL EXERCISES, AND PROVIDES EACH PARTICIPANT WITH A TRAINING COURSE THAT IS READY TO BE IMPLEMENTED UPON RETURN TO THE HOME DUTY STATION, Two INM COURSES ARE CONDUCTED OVERSEAS, THE FIRST, THE BASIC ENFORCEMENT COURSE, IS DESIGNED TO TEACH BASIC NARCOTICS INTERDICTION TECHNIQUES TO LINE OFFICERS AND FIRST-LINE SUPERVISORS. A MORE RECENT ADDITION HAS BEEN SCAN-IT TRAINING, A COURSE ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND USE OF SPECIAL ENFORCEMENT TEAMS IN NARCOTICS INTERDICTION OPERATIONS. TO DATE, U.S. CUSTOMS HAS TRAINED OVER 7,850 FOREIGN CUSTOMS OFFICERS AND EXECUTIVES, REPRESENTING 72 COUNTRIES, SINCE FY 82, U.S. CUSTOMS HAS CONDUCTED 11 EXECUTIVE OBSERVATION PROGRAMS, TWO MID-MANAGEMENT PROGRAMS, TWO TRAIN-THE-TRAINER PROGRAMS, FIVE IN-COUNTRY ENFORCEMENT PROGRAMS, TWO DOG HANDLING SEMINARS, TWO CANINE ASSESSMENT PROGRAMS, AND ONE V.S. SPECIAL PROJECT TRAINING SEMINAR INVOLVING CARIBBEAN, CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA CUSTOMS OFFICIALS. 1127 IN THE REMAINDER OF FISCAL YEAR 1984, U.S. CUSTOMS PLANS TO OFFER FIVE ADDITIONAL IN-COUNTRY COURSES; TWO MID-MANAGEMENT SEMINARS INCLUDING PARTICIPANTS FROM PAKISTAN, TURKEY, LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN; AND EXECUTIVE OBSERVATION PROGRAMS INVOLVING PARTICIPANTS FROM TURKEY, JAMAICA, MEXICO AND PERU. ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF COOPERATION IN THE CUSTOMS FIELD HAS BEEN IN CONNECTION WITH LONG AND SHORT TERM ADVISORY ASSISTANCE. A NUMBER OF AID FUNDED CUSTOMS ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS WERE CONDUCTED BY U.S. CUSTOMS UP UNTIL THE LATE 1960's. THERE WAS LITTLE AID FUNDED ACTIVITY IN THE 1970's. HOWEVER, WITHIN THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS, AID HAD REQUESTED CUSTOMS ASSISTANCE IN PROVIDING BOTH LONG AND SHORT TERM TECHNICAL EXPERTISE IN THE FORM OF ADVISORY PROGRAMS FOR SEVERAL COUNTRIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. UNDER THE INN PROGRAM WE HAVE HAD ADVISORS PERMANENTLY STATIONED IN FOUR COUNTRIES: BOLIVIA, ECUADOR, COLOMBIA AND THAILAND. THE ADVISOR POSITIONS IN ECUADOR AND BOLIVIA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED BUT WE BELIEVE THAT THESE WOULD BE USEFUL POSITIONS TO RE-ESTABLISH IN ORDER TO TRAIN, ENCOURAGE, EXHORT AND ASSIST THE CUSTOMS OFFICIALS OF THESE COUNTRIES. FOR EXAMPLE, THE CUSTOMS ADVISOR IN COLOMBIA IS AN INTEGRAL PART OF THE U.S. NARCOTICS ASSISTANCE UNIT IN THAT COUNTRY, AND WORKS DIRECTLY WITH THE NARCOTICS CONTROL OFFICE IN THE U.S. EMBASSY IN BOGOTA. THE FOCUS OF THIS PROJECT IS CLEARLY NARCOTICS BOTH ERADICATION AND INTERDICTION, AND THE ROLE OF THE U.S, CUSTOMS ADVISOR HAS RECENTLY BEEN EXPANDED TO ASSIST ALL COLOMBIAN NARCOTICS CONTROL AGENCIES, NOT JUST CUSTOMS, HE WORKS WITH THE 1128 NATIONAL POLICE, THE MINISTRY OF DEFENSE, AND COLOMBIAN CUSTOMS AND IS THE PROJECT MANAGER FOR THE NATIONAL POLICE PROJECT WHICH INCLUDES A SPECIAL ANTI-NARCOTICS UNIT. THE U.S. CUSTOMS PRESENCE IN COLOMBIA IS OF GREAT IMPORTANCE FROM THE STANDPOINT OF NOT ONLY OUR OWN ENFORCEMENT OBJECTIVES IN SOUTH AMERICA, BUT ALSO AS AN INTEGRAL PART OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S NARCOTICS STRATEGY FOR THE REGION. CUSTOMS ALSO ANTICIPATES DEVELOPING ADDITIONAL ADVISORY PROJECTS IN THE VERY NEAR FUTURE FOR PAKISTAN AND THAILAND. THESE WILL PERTAIN PRIMARILY TO NARCOTICS INTERDICTION. U.S. CUSTOMS PRESENCE IN THESE TWO COUNTRIES WAS APPARENTLY A SIGNIFICANT DISCUSSION TOPIC DURING SENATORS HAWKINS' RECENT VISIT. EVEN THOUGH THESE COUNTRIES (WITH THE ASSISTANCE OF THE STATE DEPARTMENT AND DEA) ALREADY HAVE VIABLE ANTI-NARCOTICS PROGRAMS (AS CAN BE SEEN FROM THE ATTACHED PHOTOGRAPHS OF HEROIN AND MARI JUANA DESTRUCTION IN THAILAND) WE FEEL THAT THE ADDITIONAL EXPERTISE WHICH CAN BE OFFERED BY A U.S. CUSTOMS ADVISOR AND/OR ATTACHE WOULD BE A POSITIVE ASSET TO THEIR PROGRAMS, OTHER EFFECTIVE TOOLS USED BY U.S. CUSTOMS TO OBTAIN INTELLIGENCE AND ASSISTANCE IN INTERNATIONAL DRUG CONTROL INCLUDE BILATERAL CUSTOMS COOPERATION AGREEMENTS. WE CURRENTLY HAVE THESE MUTUAL ASSISTANCE AGREEMENTS ON A CUSTOMS-TO-CUSTOMS BASIS WITH FRANCE, AUSTRIA, GERMANY AND MEXICO, AND HAVE PENDING OR PROSPECTIVE AGREEMENTS WITH ITALY, CANADA, SPAIN, JAPAN, KOREA AND SWEDEN, THE U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE IS COMMITTED TO ENCOURAGING THESE TYPES OF AGREEMENTS WITH ANY COUNTRIES WHICH SHOW AN INTEREST. 1129 THESE AGREEMENTS HAVE PROVED TIME AND TIME AGAIN TO BE MUTUALLY ADVANTAGEOUS. THE TERMS OF THE AGREEMENTS VARY, BUT GENERALLY INVOLVE PROVIDING RECIPROCAL ASSISTANCE TO PREVENT, INVESTIGATE AND REPRESS.ANY OFFENSES OF LAWS AND REGULATIONS ENFORCED BY THE RESPECTIVE CUSTOMS SERVICES. GENERALLY THE INFORMATION AND EVIDENCE PROVIDED UNDER THE AGREEMENTS CANNOT BE RELEASED BY CUSTOMS TO ANY OTHER AGENCIES, NOR CAN THEY BE USED FOR INVESTIGATION OR PROSECUTION OF VIOLATIONS OF LAWS OR REGULATIONS WHICH HAVE NOT BEEN DELEGATED TO CUSTOMS FOR ENFORCEMENT. THESE AGREEMENTS ARE THE RESULTS OF THE EXCELLENT WORKING RELATIONSHIPS WHICH WE HAVE ESTABLISHED WITH OUR FOREIGN COUNTERPARTS THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. ONE RECENT RESULT OF THE COOPERATIVE U.S. AND MEXICAN CUSTOMS ENFORCEMENT INITIATIVES RESULTING FROM THE BILATERAL AGREEMENT IS OPERATION EAGLES, WHICH IS NOW OPERATIONAL ALONG THE U.S./MEXICAN BORDERS WITH CUSTOMS TEAMS LOCATED AT BROWNSVILLE, LAREDO, EL PASO, NOGALES, CALEXICO AND SAN DIEGO. THESE TEAMS ARE DESIGNED TO PROVIDE A RAPID, MOBILE RESPONSE CAPABILITY FOR USE IN INTENSIVE, SHORT DURATION SPECIAL OPERATIONS AT AND BETWEEN PORTS OF ENTRY. THE PURPOSE OF OPERATION EAGLES IS TO INCREASE THE INTERDICTION OF CONTRABAND BEING SMUGGLED INTO THE UNITED STATES FROM Mexico. WE ARE WORKING IN VERY CLOSE HARMONY WITH MEXICAN OFFICIALS AND HAVE BEEN EXTREMELY PLEASED WITH THE LEVEL OF COORDINATION AND EXCHANGE OF TACTICAL INTELLIGENCE BETWEEN U.S. AND MEXICAN CUSTOMS. 34-045 0-84-72 1130 NOTWITHSTANDING CUSTOMS TO CUSTOMS AGREEMENTS, AND COOPERATIVE EFFORTS SUCH AS OPERATION EAGLES, THE PRINCIPAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR GATHERING DRUG RELATED INFORMATION IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES, AND FOR CONDUCTING DOMESTIC NARCOTICS INVESTIGATIONS, LIES WITH DEA. However, ON JANUARY 5, 1984, THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FORWARDED TO THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY A REQUEST FOR THE ASSISTANCE OF DESIGNATED CUSTOMS SPECIAL AGENTS TO CONDUCT DOMESTIC DRUG INVESTIGATIONS WITHIN SPECIFIED GUIDELINES, ON MARCH 2. 1984, COMMISSIONER VON RAAB AND ADMINISTRATOR MULLEN OF DEA SIGNED A JOINT MEMORANDUM FOR FUTURE MANAGEMENT OF NARCOTICS INVESTIGATIONS, WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO CLOSER COOPERATION BETWEEN DEA AND CUSTOMS, AND TO INCREASED EFFECTIVENESS OF FEDERAL NARCOTICS INVESTIGATIONS. ALTHOUGH THE AGREEMENT IS DIRECTED TOWARDS DOMESTIC NARCOTICS INVESTIGATIONS, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT IT WILL ALSO RESULT IN AN INCREASED SHARING OF FOREIGN NARCOTICS INTELLIGENCE, THEREBY IMPROVING OUR EFFECTIVENESS IN NARCOTICS INTERDICTION AND FOLLOWUP INVESTIGATION, THIS AGREEMENT IS IN KEEPING WITH CUSTOMS COMMITMENT TO COORDINATED AND COOPERATIVE LAW ENFORCEMENT, ESPECIALLY CONCERNING NARCOTICS TRAFFICKING, WHICH HAS BEEN DEMONSTRATED IN RECENT YEARS BY OUR ACTIVITIES IN NUMEROUS DOMESTIC MULTI-AGENCY TASK FORCE OPERATIONS, ALL OF WHICH CONTRIBUTE TO OUR EFFORTS TO DISRUPT AND DESTROY LARGE ORGANIZED DRUG TRAFFICKING GROUPS. CUSTOMS DOMESTIC ACTIVITIES, BY THEIR VERY NATURE, ARE ALSO INTERNATIONAL IN CHARACTER, AND EITHER INFLUENCE OR ARE INFLUENCED BY OCCURRENCES IN OTHER COUNTRIES. AS A RESULT, 1131 CUSTOMS OPERATIONS INVOLVING INTERDICTION, INFORMATION GATHERING, AND INVESTIGATION OF NARCOTICS RELATED ACTIVITY ARE AN INTEGRAL PART OF, AND A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO INTERNATIONAL DRUG CONTROL. IN VIEW OF THIS FACT, I WOULD LIKE TO TAKE A FEW MINUTES TO EXPLAIN SOME OF OUR MAJOR DOMESTIC PROGRAMS WHICH IMPACT ON DRUG RELATED ACTIVITY. SPECIAL ENFORCEMENT OPERATIONS CONDUCTED BY THE OFFICE OF INSPECTION AND CONTROL FOCUS ON THE INTERDICTION OF DRUGS AND OTHER CONTRABAND AT THE VARIOUS PORTS OF ENTRY NATIONWIDE. SELECTION OF SPECIFIC LOCATIONS FOR THESE OPERATIONS IS DETERMINED THROUGH THREAT ASSESSMENTS BASED ON INTELLIGENCE INDICATORS, SMUGGLING TRENDS, AND RECENT INTERDICTION RESULTS. IN ORDER TO CONCENTRATE NECESSARY RESOURCES IN THIS TARGETTING OPERATION, WE HAVE RECENTLY ESTABLISHED SPECIALIZED CONTRABAND ENFORCEMENT TEAMS (CET) NATIONWIDE, THESE TEAMS ARE COMPOSED OF INSPECTIONAL PERSONNEL WHO HAVE DEMONSTRATED A HIGH DEGREE OF EXPERTISE IN THE INTERDICTION OF NARCOTICS AND OTHER CONTRABAND. AT PRESENT THERE ARE APPROXIMATELY 50 TEAMS LOCATED THROUGHOUT THE UNITED STATES AT SELECTED AIRPORTS, SEAPORTS AND LAND BORDER STATIONS THE TEAMS PERFORM BOTH CARGO AND PASSENGER EXAMINATIONS. IN THE EXAMINATION OF CARGO, THE TEAMS ANALYZE DOCUMENTATION AND REVIEW INTELLIGENCE DATA IN AN ATTEMPT TO IDENTIFY BOTH HIGH-RISK AND LOW-RISK CARGO. As A RESULT, CUSTOMS IS ABLE TO MOVE LOW-RISK SHIPMENTS, WHICH REPRESENT THE MAJORITY OF IMPORTS, IN AN EXPEDITIOUS MANNER WHILE INTENSIFYING OUR ENFORCEMENT 1132 ACTIVITIES ON HIGH-RISK SHIPMENTS, THIS SELECTIVE APPROACH BENEFITS THE IMPORTING COMMUNITY BY FACILITATING THE MOVEMENT OF THE MAJORITY OF IMPORTS, IT HAS ALSO RESULTED IN AN INCREASE OF SEIZURES AND PENALTIES, WHICH INDICATES THAT THIS APPROACH WHEN EFFECTIVELY EMPLOYED CAN BE OF MUTUAL BENEFIT TO CUSTOMS AND THE IMPORTING COMMUNITY, WITH REGARD TO PASSENGER PROCESSING AND EXAMINATION, THE TEAMS HAVE BEEN EQUALLY SUCCESSFUL BY EMPLOYING THE LATEST PROFILING MODELS AND OBSERVATIONAL BEHAVIOR TECHNIQUES. TO IMPROVE OUR ABILITIES TO DETERMINE WHICH SHIPMENTS AND FLIGHTS OFFER THE MOST POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEIZURES, TEAMS OF CUSTOMS INSPECTIONAL PERSONNEL HAVE CONDUCTED ON-SITE VISITS TO TWO MAJOR DRUG THREAT COUNTRIES ITALY AND THAILAND. THERE THEY HAVE SCRUTINIZED ALL COMMERCIAL CARGO AND PASSENGER METHODS OF OPERATION, THIS DATA WAS THEN DEVELOPED AND REFINED INTO ANALYTICAL INTELLIGENCE REPORTS HIGHLIGHTING ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF INFORMATION WHICH CAN BE UTILIZED BY FIELD PERSONNEL TO ENHANCE THEIR NARCOTICS PROFILE AND IMPROVE OUR INTERDICTION EFFORT, IN ADDITION, A TĖAM IS CURRENTLY EN-ROUTE TO PAKISTAN FOR A 4 WEEK VISIT, AND AN ON-SITE VISIT IS PLANNED FOR COLOMBIA PRIOR TO THE END OF THE FISCAL YEAR. OTHER DOMESTIC PROGRAMS CONDUCTED BY CUSTOMS GENERALLY FALL UNDER ONE OF TWO DESCRIPTIVE HEADINGS INTERDICTION OR INVESTIGATION, INTERDICTION PROGRAMS ARE DIRECTED PRIMARILY AT SEIZURE AND FOLLOWUP INVESTIGATION OF THE CONTRABAND ITSELF, 1133 WHEREAS CUSTOMS INVESTIGATIVE PROGRAMS CONCENTRATE ON THE FINANCIAL ASPECTS OF BOTH THE NARCOTICS GROUPS AND THEIR MONEY LAUNDERING OPERATIONS, TWO MAJOR INTERDICTION OPERATIONS ARE THE FLORIDA JOINT TASK GROUP (OPERATION FLORIDA), AND THE NATIONAL NARCOTICS BORDER INTERDICTION SYSTEM (NNBIS), IN JANUARY 1982 PRESIDENT REAGAN ESTABLISHED A CABINET-LEVEL TASK FORCE ON CRIME IN SOUTH FLORIDA WITH SPECIAL EMPHASIS ON DRUG RELATED CRIME. THREE WEEKS LATER, THE VICE PRESIDENT ANNOUNCED THE FORMATION OF A SOUTH FLORIDA TASK FORCE TO CONTROL THE "RAMPANT CRIME, AND EPIDEMIC DRUG SMUGGLING" PLAGUING THE STATE OF FLORIDA. THE CENTRAL ELEMENT OF THE VICE PRESIDENT'S TASK FORCE WAS THE CUSTOMS/DEA FLORIDA JOINT TASK GROUP, WHICH BECAME OPERATIONAL ON MARCH 15, 1982. TASK FORCE GROUPS (WHICH RECEIVE EXTENSIVE ASSISTANCE FROM THE U.S. COAST GUARD) ARE CURRENTLY ACTIVE IN MIAMI, KEY WEST, FORT MEYERS, TAMPA AND JACKSONVILLE, THE PRIMARY OBJECTIVES OF THESE TASK GROUPS ARE FOURFOLD: (1) INCREASE THE NUMBER OF ARRESTS AND PROSECUTIONS OF DRUG SMUGGLERS; (2) INCREASE THE NUMBER OF DRUG AND CURRENCY SEIZURES AND FORFEITURES OF ASSETS BELONGING TO DRUG SMUGGLERS; (3) INCREASE THE NUMBER OF SEIZURES OF NARCOTIC CONTRABAND, AND (4) DETER NARCOTICS RELATED SMUGGLING AND ASSOCIATED FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS, THE SUCCESS OF THIS JOINT VENTURE MEASURED AGAINST THE STATED OBJECTIVES IS EVIDENT. OPERATION FLORIDA HAS JUSTIFIABLY BEEN DESCRIBED AS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT AND SUCCESSFUL U.S. 1134 INTERDICTION EFFORT IN RECENT HISTORY, IN THE PAST YEAR, TASK GROUP EFFORTS HAVE RESULTED IN OVER 1800 ARRESTS, AND SEIZURE OF OVER 1 MILLION KILOGRAMS OF MARIJUANA, OVER 3,650 KILOGRAMS OF COCAINE, AND OVER 160,400 DOSAGE OF UNITS OF METHAQUALONE. OTHER SEIZURES INCLUDE VEHICLES, VESSELS, AIRCRAFT, CURRENCY AND FIREARMS WITH A TOTAL VALUE IN EXCESS OF $23 MILLION, OPERATION FLORIDA HAS REDUCED THE FLOW OF DRUGS INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. IT HAS GALVANIZED COMMUNITY SPIRIT IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND HAS BROUGHT A NEW FEELING OF CONFIDENCE AND OPTIMISM ABOUT THE GOVERNMENT'S ABILITY TO DEAL WITH DRUGS AND CRIME. THE SUCCESS OF OPERATION FLORIDA WAS INSTRUMENTAL IN THE ADMINISTRATION'S DECISION TO COMMIT THE COMBINED INTERDICTORY RESOURCES OF THE U.S. GOVERNMENT INTO THE NATIONAL NARCOTICS BORDER INTERDICTION SYSTEM (NNBIS), THE CUSTOMS SERVICE IS VERY PLEASED TO BE A MAJOR CONTRIBUTOR TO THIS SYSTEM WHICH HAS PROVEN SO SUCCESSFUL IN PRODUCTIVITY, AND EXCEPTIONAL IN THE IMPROVEMENT OF INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION, . THE SUCCESS IS MEASURED NOT ONLY IN THE OVERALL ENFORCEMENT RESULTS, BUT IN THE CLOSE COOPERATION BEING DEMONSTRATED BETWEEN AGENCIES WITH SUCH DIVERSE MISSIONS, FOR EXAMPLE, THE RESOURCES OF SUCH AGENCIES AS THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE, FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION, FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION AND OTHERS WHICH NORMALLY DO NOT HAVE NARCOTIC INTERDICTION MISSIONS, HAVE BEEN ENLISTED IN THE NATIONAL INTERDICTION EFFORT. THE EXPERTISE AND FUNCTIONS OF THESE AGENCIES HAVE ADDED MORE WEAPONS TO THE GROWING INTERDICTION ARSENAL, AND HAVE CONTRIBUTED IMMEASURABLY TO OUR EFFORTS TO DISRUPT THE DRUG SMUGGLING THREAT TO THE U.S. 1135 CURRENTLY, CUSTOMS PERSONNEL FROM THE OFFICES OF PATROL, INVESTIGATIONS, ENFORCEMENT SUPPORT, AND INSPECTION AND CONTROL HAVE BEEN ASSIGNED TO STAFF THE NNBIS CENTERS. THEY PERFORM A VARIETY OF ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS IN SUPPORT OF THE NNBIS MISSION, WHICH IS TO INTEGRATE THE INTERDICTION ACTIVITIES OF THE PARTICIPATING AGENCIES. CUSTOMS TAKES PART IN THE PLANNING OF SPECIAL ENFORCEMENT OPERATIONS DESIGNED TO EFFECTIVELY INTEGRATE CUSTOMS RESOURCES WITH DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE EQUIPMENT ACQUIRED THROUGH THE AUSPICES OF NNBIS. THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE HAS PROVIDED SUCH EQUIPMENT AS THE AIR FORCE E-3A (AWACS) AND THE Navy E-2B AND E-2C (HAWKEYE) AIRCRAFT WHICH HAVE PROVIDED AN AIRBORNE RADAR SURVEILLANCE CAPABILITY PREVIOUSLY UNAVAILABLE. NNBIS HAS ALSO OBTAINED AND COORDINATED THE USE OF OTHER DOD ASSETS SUCH AS THE U.S. MARINE CORPS OV-10 (BRONCO) AIRCRAFT WHICH ARE USED FOR TARGET TRACKING, AND U.S. MARINE GROUND RADARS USED FOR TARGET ACQUISITION. THIS DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE EQUIPMENT IS USED IN SPECIAL INTERDICTION OPERATIONS WHICH COMPLEMENT U.S. CUSTOMS RESOURCES. THE OPERATIONS WHICH UTILIZE DOD ASSETS HAVE BEEN VERY SUCCESSFUL, THE AIR FORCE AND NAVY AIRBORNE RADAR PLATFORMS ALONE HAVE BEEN INSTRUMENTAL IN THE SUCCESSFUL CONCLUSION OF 20 AIR INTERDICTION CASES AND MANY MARINE INTERDICTION CASES THROUGH FEBRUARY OF THIS YEAR. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOAN OF THE BLACK HAWK HELICOPTERS HAS ELIMINATED THE REQUIREMENT FOR CUSTOMS OFFICERS TO TAKE THE SAME RISK AS THE SMUGGLERS THEY CHASE, CUSTOMS 1136 PILOTS NO LONGER NEED TO ATTEMPT TO LAND CONVENTIONAL FIXED-WING AIRCRAFT BEHIND THE SMUGGLER ON DIRT ROADS OR GRASS STRIPS DURING THE HOURS OF DARKNESS. THE JOINT USE OF DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE AND CUSTOMS RESOURCES ARE IMPORTANT STEPS IN CARRYING OUT OUR NATIONAL STRATEGY TO SIGNIFICANTLY CURTAIL THE SMUGGLING THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES. THIS THREAT IS ALSO EVIDENCED IN THE SOPHISTICATION OF TECHNIQUES UTILIZED BY SMUGGLING ORGANIZATIONS TO EFFECT ENTRY OF THEIR DRUG SHIPMENTS INTO THE UNITED STATES, FOR EXAMPLE, ONE METHOD OF SMUGGLING WITH WHICH WE ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY INVOLVED IS INTERNAL CARGO CONSPIRACY. HIGHLY SOPHISTICATED INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZED CRIME GROUPS HAVE RECRUITED TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY EMPLOYEES FOR THE PURPOSE OF SMUGGLING CONTRABAND INTO THE UNITED STATES CONTAINED WITHIN FOREIGN CARGO SHIPMENTS. THESE EMPLOYEES MANIPULATE SHIPMENTS AND REMOVE CONTRABAND PRIOR TO CUSTOMS EXAMINATION. THE GROUPS HAVE BEEN DOCUMENTED IN OPERATION AT MOST MAJOR AIRPORTS AND SEAPORTS THROUGHOUT THE UNITED STATES. THE SELECTED EMPLOYEES HAVE DIRECT ACCESS TO THE CARGO AT THE FIRST PORT OF UNLADING (AIRLINE CARGO HANDLERS, SHIPPING COMPANY CLERKS OR DOCK WORKERS), OR BEFORE THE POINT OF CUSTOMS CLEARANCE (BONDED TRUCK DRIVERS, CUSTOMHOUSE BROKERS, OR FREIGHT FORWARDERS). THIS SMUGGLING METHOD HAS APPARENTLY BEEN DESIGNED AROUND THE CUSTOMS PHILOSOPHY OF MOVING CARGO RAPIDLY TO ACCOMMODATE THE IMPORT INDUSTRY. 1137 THESE GROUPS LITERALLY CONTROL CARGO TERMINALS WITH THEIR ABILITY TO SMUGGLE ON A NATIONAL SCALE AND SELL THE SERVICE TO INTERESTED PARTIES. THEY CHARGE A HIGH PRICE AND THEY ARE NOT OPPOSED TO PAYING THE RECRUITED EMPLOYEES AS MUCH AS TEN TIMES THEIR ANNUAL SALARY FOR A MERE FEW MINUTES WORK, THEY HAVE ALSO OFFERED THESE EMPLOYEES THE SERVICES OF ATTORNEYS, MEANS OF CONCEALING ILLEGALLY ACQUIRED MONEY IN FOREIGN BANK ACCOUNTS, ACCOUNTANTS TO ASSIST IN LAUNDERING MONEY, AND HAVE ALLOWED THEM TO REINVEST IN OTHER SMUGGLING VENTURES, WE ARE CONSTANTLY GAINING MORE AND MORE INFORMATION ON THESE GROUPS' ACTIVITIES, AND WE ARE CURRENTLY, EXTREMELY ACTIVE IN INVESTIGATING AND DEVELOPING METHODS TO COMBAT THIS THREAT, I AM CONFIDENT THAT OUR EFFORTS WILL BE SUCCESSFUL AND THAT WE SHALL ONCE MORE FORCE THE NARCOTICS SMUGGLERS TO DEVISE OTHER MODUS OPERANDI TO ATTEMPT TO AVOID SEIZURE OF THEIR CONTRABAND AND INVESTIGATION OF THEIR ORGANIZATIONS. IN ADDITION TO OUR INTERDICTION OPERATIONS, CUSTOMS HAS NUMEROUS MULTI-AGENCY INVESTIGATIVE PROGRAMS WHICH CONCENTRATE ON IDENTIFICATION, SEIZURE AND FORFEITURE OF ASSETS PURCHASED FROM DRUG PROFITS, AND ON ARREST AND PROSECUTION OF THOSE MEMBERS OF CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS WHO MAY KEEP THEIR DISTANCE FROM THEIR ILLEGAL PRODUCT, BUT WHO ARE INVOLVED IN PROCESSING AND CONCEALING THE FUNDS OBTAINED FROM THE CRIMINAL ENTERPRISE. REALIZING THAT THE PRINCIPAL MOTIVATION FOR MOST CRIMINAL ACTIVITY IS PROFIT, IT FOLLOWS THAT WHEN NARCOTICS OR ANY OTHER 1138 CONTRABAND IS SMUGGLED INTO THE UNITED STATES OR ANY OTHER COUNTRY, MONEY OR SOMETHING ELSE OF VALUE WILL GENERALLY BE TAKEN OUT OF THAT COUNTRY TO BE USED AS PAYMENT FOR THE CONTRABAND. ALSO, SINCE THE DRUG TRADE AT THE STREET DISTRIBUTOR LEVEL IS PRIMARILY A CASH-AND-CARRY BUSINESS, AND SINCE HIGH VOLUMES OF CURRENCY ARE GENERATED. THIS CURRENCY MUST BE RECYCLED IN SOME WAY THROUGH THE INTERNATIONAL BANKING SYSTEM. THE SHEER BULK OF THE CURRENCY INVOLVED, USUALLY IN SMALL BILLS, MAKES IT IMPRACTICAL TO ATTEMPT TO PROCESS IT THROUGH ANY SYSTEM OTHER THAN THE ORGANIZED BANKING SYSTEM. AS A RESULT, CUSTOMS IN CLOSE COOPERATION AND COORDINATION WITH THE INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, IS CURRENTLY UTILIZING THE PROVISIONS OF THE BANK SECRECY ACT TO ATTACK THESE CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS IN THEIR WALLET, WHERE IT HURTS MOST. THE NEED FOR CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS TO LAUNDER NARCOTICS GENERATED FUNDS OFTEN RESULTS IN THEIR PROFITS BECOMING THE SOFT UNDERBELLY OF THE ORGANIZATION, SUSCEPTIBLE TO OUR ENFORCEMENT EFFORTS, TO AVOID THE REPORTING REQUIREMENTS OF THE BANK SECRECY ACT, THE NARCOTICS TRAFFICKERS IN MANY INSTANCES ARE FORCED TO TAKE ADDITIONAL RISKS BY MOVING THEIR FUNDS INTO AND OUT OF THE COUNTRY IN VIOLATION OF THE PROVISIONS OF THE ACT, OR BY ATTEMPTING TO EXPAND THEIR OPERATIONS BY BRIBING OR COERCING EMPLOYEES OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, OR BY PURCHASING OR ESTABLISHING FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS OF THEIR OWN. THESE ACTIVITIES HAVE PROVIDED U.S. AUTHORITIES WITH OPPORTUNITIES TO INFILTRATE THE ORGANIZATIONS, TO GATHER INVALUABLE INTELLIGENCE ON THEIR ACTIVITIES, AND TO MAKE 1139 SIGNIFICANT NUMBERS OF ARRESTS OF LARGE SCALE MONEY LAUNDERERS, AND SEIZURES AND FORFEITURE OF MAJOR AMOUNTS OF CURRENCY WHICH WERE IN THE PROCESS OF BEING TRANSPORTED OR LAUNDERED. RECENT CUSTOMS SEIZURES HAVE INCLUDED AMOUNTS OF $6,5 MILLION, $9.4 MILLION, AND $15.9 MILLION, IN ADDITION TO NUMEROUS SEIZURES IN THE } MILLION TO 3 MILLION DOLLAR RANGE. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF CURRENCY SEIZED BY U.S. CUSTOMS IN FISCAL YEARS 1979 TO 1983 is IN EXCESS OF 259 MILLION DOLLARS. IN KEEPING WITH THE INTENT OF CONGRESS IN ENACTING THE BANK SECRECY ACT, THE U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE, OFFICE OF INVESTIGATIONS, HAS DESIGNATED INVESTIGATION OF FELONY CURRENCY VIOLATIONS AS A NATIONAL PRIORITY, AND THE U.S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT, IN JANUARY 1982, ESTABLISHED THE TREASURY FINANCIAL LAW ENFORCEMENT CENTER, COMMONLY KNOWN AS TFLEC. TFLEC IS LOCATED IN THE FINANCIAL INVESTIGATIONS DIVISION AT CUSTOMS HEADQUARTERS IN WASHINGTON, D.C. TFLEC UTILIZES THE SPECIALIZED TALENTS OF CRIMINAL INVESTIGATORS, INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH SPECIALISTS, AND AUTOMATED DATA PROCESSING SPECIALISTS, COMBINED WITH SOPHISTICATED ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT TO COLLECT, COLLATE, EVALUATE, ANALYZE, AND DISSEMINATE FINANCIAL DATA GENERATED BY BANK SECRECY ACT REPORTS, TO TARGET SUSPECTED CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN LARGE-SCALE CURRENCY TRANSACTIONS, Access TO TFLEC GENERATED INFORMATION IS NOT LIMITED SOLELY TO U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. UPON THE WRITTEN REQUEST OF A RECOGNIZED DOMESTIC OR FOREIGN LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY, THE 1140 SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY CAN AUTHORIZE TFLEC TO PROVIDE THAT INFORMATION CONCERNING A NAMED SUBJECT OR ORGANIZATION. ACCESS TO THIS INFORMATION IS, HOWEVER, PREDICATED ON THE REQUIREMENT THAT THE SUBJECT OR SUBJECTS ARE BONAFI DE TARGETS OF AN ONGOING CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION, TFLEC INFORMATION WILL NOT BE PROVIDED OUTSIDE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES FOR PURPOSES OF INITIATING INVESTIGATIONS, OR TO PROVIDE LEADS IN RESPONSE TO NON-SPECIFIC REQUESTS. TO DATE, THE SECRETARY HAS APPROVED THE RELEASE OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION TO NUMEROUS DOMESTIC LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES AND TO SEVERAL FOREIGN COUNTRIES. TFLEC WAS DESIGNED PRIMARILY TO SUPPORT FIELD OPERATIONS BY SUPPLYING DATA OBTAINED UNDER THE PROVISIONS OF THE BANK SECRECY ACT, AND TO FURNISH INVESTIGATIVE TARGETS TO MULTIAGENCY TASK FORCES SUCH AS THOSE CURRENTLY OPERATING UNDER THE CODE NAME EL DORADO. THESE TASK FORCES ARE CURRENTLY OPERATIONAL IN SEVERAL MAJOR U.S. CITIES WHERE LARGE-SCALE CURRENCY MOVEMENTS RE INDICATIVE OF MAJOR NARCOTIC TRAFFICKING AND MONEY LAUNDERING ORGANIZATIONS. UTILIZATION OF TFLEC INFORMATION, COMBINED WITH THE DIVERSE TALENTS OF INVESTIGATIONS FROM DIFFERENT LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES, IS PROVIDING TO BE ONE OF THE MOST INNOVATIVE AND SUCCESSFUL CONCEPTS IN LAW ENFORCEMENT IN RECENT YEARS, THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TFLEC-GENERATED INTELLIGENCE CAN BEST BE DEMONSTRATED BY THE SUCCESS OF ONE OF OUR EL DORADO OPERATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA AREA. THIS OPERATION IS KNOWN AS 1141 OPERATION GREENBACK, AND IS A JOINT OPERATION INVOLVING THE INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, THE U.S. ATTORNEY'S OFFICE, AND U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE PERSONNEL. IN 1979 AND EARLY 1980, THE U.S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT DETERMINED THROUGH ADMINISTRATION AND ANALYSIS OF THE DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS PROVISIONS OF THE BANK SECRECY ACT, THAT DISPROPORTIONATELY LARGE VOLUMES OF CURRENCY WERE FLOWING INTO THE STATE OF FLORIDA. THESE MONIES WERE SUSPECTED OF BEING DIRECTLY RELATED TO NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL ENTERPRISES, PRIMARILY INVOLVED IN THE NARCOTICS TRADE. ONE OF OUR EFFORTS TO INVESTIGATE THE LAUNDERING OF CRIMINALLY OBTAINED FUNDS IS OPERATION GREENBACK, WHICH WAS INITIATED IN MIAMI IN JUNE 1980. DURING ITS FIRST 3 YEARS, THE PROGRAM HAS RESULTED IN INDICTMENTS AGAINST 210 INDIVIDUALS. ONE HUNDRED AND SIXTY-THREE PERSONS HAVE BEEN ARRESTED, AND OVER $36.8 MILLION IN U.S. CURRENCY HAS BEEN SEIZED. IN ADDITION, PROPERTY IN EXCESS OF $11.2 MILLION HAS ALSO BEEN SEIZED, AND CIVIL PENALTIES EXECUTED UNDER TITLE 31 ARE IN EXCESS OF $33 MILLION. BOND FORFEITURES HAVE BEEN IN EXCESS OF $1.6 MILLION AND JEOPARDY TAX ASSESSMENTS TOTAL OVER $117 MILLION. THE MOST RECENT OCCURRENCE IN THE BATTLE AGAINST ORGANIZED CRIME IN THE UNITED STATES WAS THE DECISION BY PRESIDENT REAGAN TO ESTABLISH DRUG ENFORCEMENT TASK FORCES IN KEY AREAS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY. THESE TASK FORCES HAVE BEEN OPERATIONAL SINCE FEBRUARY 1983, AND ARE INTENDED TO BE INVESTIGATIVE RATHER THAN INTERDICTIVE IN NATURE, The U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE HAS PROVIDED A TOTAL OF TWO HUNDRED CRIMINAL INVESTIGATORS, INTELLIGENCE 1142 ANALYSTS AND SUPPORT PERSONNEL TO THE TASK FORCES TO CONDUCT FINANCIAL INVESTIGATIONS. THE COMPLETE RESOURCES OF U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE, OFFICE OF INVESTIGATIONS, INCLUDING THE TFLEC, HAS BEEN MADE AVAILABLE TO THE AGENTS INVOLVED IN THESE TASK FORCES. AGAIN, THESE TASK FORCES ARE MEETING WITH PHENOMENAL SUCCESS, THE STATISTICS INVOLVED IN ONLY THOSE CASES INVOLVING U.S. CUSTOMS PARTICIPATION ARE IN THEMSELVES IMPRESSIVE. FIRST YEAR ACCOMPLISHMENTS INCLUDE APPROXIMATELY 250 INDICTMENTS AND 180 ARRESTS, SEIZURES OF OVER $4 MILLION IN CURRENCY AND $2.7 MILLION IN PROPERTY, AND NARCOTICS/DANGEROUS DRUG SEIZURES AS FOLLOWS: COCAINE 1.086 KILOS; MARIJUANA 39,234 KILOS; AND HEROIN 27.4 KILOS. THESE STATISTICS FROM THE FINANCIAL INVESTIGATIVE TASK FORCES ARE ONLY A PART OF THE OVERALL CUSTOMS SEIZURE ACCOMPLISHMENTS, ATTACHED ARE CHARTS DEPICTING THE AMOUNTS OF NARCOTICS AND DANGEROUS DRUGS SEIZED BY U.S. CUSTOMS FROM FY 1978 THROUGH FY 1983. THE AMOUNTS INVOLVED ARE STAGGERING, AND REGARDLESS OF OUR SUCCESSES, THEY ARE ONLY THE TIP OF THE ICEBERG, EXPERIENCE GAINED FROM BOTH OUR DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL PROGRAMS PROVES THAT THE ONLY RECIPES FOR SUCCESS IN IMPROVING OUR EFFORTS TO STEM THE FLOW OF DRUGS INTO THE UNITED STATES ARE 1. A CONCERTED DOMESTIC MULTI-AGENCY COOPERATIVE DETERMINATION TO COMMIT ALL AVAILABLE RESOURCES TO COMBAT THE PROBLEM, AND 2. A COMMITMENT FROM ALL INVOLVED COUNTRIES, INCLUDING SOURCE, TRANSIT AND RECIPIENT LOCATIONS, TO DEDICATE THEIR MAXIMUM EFFORTS TO STAMPING OUT THE DRUG TRADE AT ALL LEVELS. 1143 THIS WILL NOT BE EASY TO ACCOMPLISH, IN SOME INVOLVED COUNTRIES THERE ARE LEVELS OF OFFICIAL CORRUPTION WHICH ARE BEYOND THE CONCEPTION OF MANY OF OUR CITIZENS, AND BRIBERY IS OFTEN A WAY OF LIFE, AS A RESULT, THE DRUG TRAFFICKER WITH HIS IMMENSE PROFITS CAN OFTEN OPERATE WITH IMPUNITY. THIS EXACERBATES THE PROBLEMS, AND EXASPERATES THOSE HONEST OFFICIALS WHO ARE GENUINELY ATTEMPTING TO PROVIDE US WITH ASSISTANCE, IN ADDITION, SOME GOVERNMENTS DO NOT SEE THE PROBLEM IN THE SAME TERMS AS WE DO. SOME OF THEM FEEL THAT DRUG TRAFFICKING IS PRIMARILY THE PROBLEM OF THE UNITED STATES AND OTHER RECIPIENT COUNTRIES, AND THEY ARE UNWILLING TO COMMIT THEMSELVES TO A CONCERTED OR EFFECTIVE EFFORT TO CURTAIL THE TRAFFIC AT THE SOURCE OR OTHER IN-COUNTRY INTERMEDIARY LEVEL. OTHER COUNTRIES, WHICH DO HAVE ANTI-DRUG PROGRAMS, AND WHO ARE OFTEN RECEIVING MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF AMERICAN AID IN ORDER TO CONDUCT THESE PROGRAMS, AT TIMES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE PROVIDING ADEQUATE SUPPORT TO OUR INTERNATIONAL EFFORTS, AND OFTEN APPEAR TO PAY THE PROGRAMS AND OUR CONCERNS WITH ONLY LIP SERVICE, AS A RESULT, IN THOSE CASES WHERE WE OBVIOUSLY CANNOT RELY FULLY ON ANOTHER COUNTRY'S EFFORTS TO ADEQUATELY ADDRESS THE PRODUCTION AND TRAFFICKING OF ILLICIT DRUGS IN AND THROUGH THAT COUNTRY, WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO INTENSIFY OUR OWN CONTROL EFFORTS WITH RESPECT TO SHIPMENTS FROM THAT COUNTRY, REGARDLESS OF THE ADVERSE EFFECTS THAT SUCH EFFORTS MAY HAVE ON LEGITIMATE TRADE. 1144 FOR EXAMPLE: IT IS APPARENT THAT THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA DOES NOT HAVE THE AVAILABLE RESOURCES TO ADEQUATELY POLICE THE COCAINE AND MARIJUANA TRAFFIC FROM COLOMBIA TO THE UNITED STATES. EVEN THOUGH ENFORCEMENT AND INTERDICTION ARE IMPORTANT ELEMENTS IN OUR NARCOTICS CONTROL STRATEGY, A COMPREHENSIVE CROP ERADICATION PROGRAM IS OF FUNDAMENTAL IMPORTANCE, HOWEVER, AN EFFECTIVE PROGRAM HAS NOT BEEN IMPLEMENTED IN COLOMBIA, REGARDLESS OF U.S. ASSISTANCE AND ENTREATIES. U.S. CUSTOMS IS, THEREFORE, LEFT WITH NO CHOICE BUT TO CONCENTRATE OUR RESOURCES ON INTENSIFYING OUR EFFORTS TO INTERDICT DRUGS BEING TRANSPORTED FROM COLOMBIA, DESPITE THE FACT THAT OUR ACTIVITIES WILL HAVE A DISRUPTIVE EFFECT ON LEGITIMATE SHIPMENTS AND PASSENGERS FROM THE AREA. FRANKLY, WE HAVE NO OTHER CHOICE. IT SEEMS THAT ALMOST ANYTHING WE LOOK AT COMING FROM COLOMBIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CONCEAL COCAINE, LAST SUMMER WE WERE DOING 100 PERCENT EXAMINATIONS OF CUT FLOWERS FROM COLOMBIA BECAUSE WE REGULARLY FOUND COCAINE HIDDEN IN THEM. IN ADDITION, COLOMBIAN SHIPS HAVE A HISTORY OF CARRYING DRUGS INTO THE UNITED STATES. IN JANUARY WE SEIZED ONE OF THESE VESSELS, CUIDAD DE POPAYAN, IN LOS ANGELES. THE POPAYAN BELONGS TO THE GRAN COLOMBIANA LINE, AND VESSELS OF THIS LINE HAVE AN EXTENSIVE COCAINE SMUGGLING RECORD. DURING CALENDAR YEAR 1983, FOR INSTANCE, WE SEIZED 624 POUNDS OF COCAINE FROM GRAN COLOMBIANA SHIPS IN SEVERAL PORTS AROUND THE COUNTRY. 1145 THE POPAYAN HAS SINCE BEEN RELEASED TO ITS OWNERS ON A 5.3 MILLION DOLLAR LETTER OF CREDIT. BUT WE WILL BE WATCHING HER AND ALL HER SISTER SHIPS FOR ANY FUTURE VIOLATIONS. I WOULD LIKE TO EMPHASIZE THAT THESE ARE ACTIONS WE AT CUSTOMS CAN TAKE WITHIN OUR PRESENT AUTHORITY TO EFFECT CHANGES IN A TERRIBLE SITUATION, WE WOULD RATHER TREAT COLOMBIAN SHIPS AND AIRPLANES, AND THE PEOPLE AND GOODS THEY BRING HERE, JUST THE WAY WE TREAT ALL OTHERS. BUT OUR EXPERIENCE HAS SHOWN US THAT WE CANNOT AFFORD TO DO THAT. SO FOR THE FORSEEABLE FUTURE WE WILL BE GIVING SPECIAL EMPHASIS TO THE PROGRAM, TO ATTEMPT TO GAIN SOME CONTROL OVER THE SITUATION, AND TO TRY TO CONVINCE TH COLOMBIAN AUTHORITIES THAT THEY MUST INCREASE THEIR EFFORTS TO ASSIST IN CURTAILING THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF DRUGS, PRIMARILY COCAINE AND MARIJUANA, BEING SMUGGLED FROM THEIR COUNTRY TO OURS. IN CONCLUSION, I WOULD AGAIN LIKE TO EMPHASIZE THAT WITHOUT A SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED COMMITMENT FROM ALL DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN LAW ENFORCEMENT AND GOVERNMENT AUTHORITIES TO COOPERATE FULLY IN THE EFFORT TO CURTAIL AND DESTROY THE DRUG TRADE, WE CANNOT HOPE TO BE SUCCESSFUL. WE MUST CONVINCE ALL INVOLVED COUNTRIES THAT DRUG TRAFFICKING AND ABUSE IS NOT ONLY AN AMERICAN PROBLEM, BUT ONE THAT CORRUPTS AND DESTROYS THE POLITICAL AND SOCIAL FABRIC OF ALL COUNTRIES WHICH PARTICIPATE IN THE PRODUCTION, MANUFACTURE, PROCESSING AND TRAFFICKING OF ILLEGAL DRUGS. MR. CHAIRMAN, THANK YOU AGAIN FOR PERMITTING ME TO PRESENT THIS TESTIMONY, IN WHICH I HAVE PROVIDED THE COMMITTEE WITH A GENERAL OVERVIEW OF U.S. CUSTOMS CONCERNS AND ACTIVITIES IN THE AREA OF INTERNATIONAL DRUG ENFORCEMENT AND CONTROL. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS I WOULD BE PLEASED TO ANSWER THEM. 34-045 0-84-_-73 1146 Fleure Price Structure of the International Heroin Market Southwr Adan Herala Southeast Aslan Herola Mexican Heroin I armer Pakistan/Alghanistan) $1.9) 4110 10 le spum Farmer (Golden Triangle) $400-700 10 kg opium Farmer $20,000-30,000 10 kg opium Opium merchant Opium buyer (romero") $30,000-40,000 10 kg opium $150 1.100 10 kg opium Heroin lab operator $100,000 Purity: 70-90% (Sinaloa) Heroin lab operator $100,000 Purity: 30% (Durango) Morphone have distributor (Turkey) SA.(**) 9.00 I te nuwphine base Major Mexican dhatributor $400,000 Purity: 70-90% lupart Polera/Import Press .c.b. Iordulah ial Haren labywialin (lupe (Turkey, lehenon, Syria) 10W) 10,000 AMMI 15.6MM) Post Wro l'uilty, MA IR Ileron labuerator (Pakistan) Par aubing $7,500 4,040 Purity: 10-6016h For injecting: $6,000-7.500 Purity Guine Tab yirates (jolden Triangle) Murphina luna $40X-1.000 Wernin haer: 1 (NKININKO Majow distributor (Bangkok) ilovein No 4 $7,000-11.000 Purity: 0017 Mexican distributor $600,000 fully, 40-002 Mexican dlstributor $400,00 furity 10 011% 1 1 Manu distributor .(limitnl Sontre) Major distributor Middle-level Middle-level Major distributor (terop 411,(NMD 100,12X) Purity: 70-90% Major distributo/lab operator (long Kong In base $8.0XX)-10.000 (1 kx heroin have 3 kg heroin No.3) l'unity 10.94 Ilcron No. 4 $165,00-250,000 Purity: 90'6. Major distributor (l'utor) Ileron No. $40,000-45,000 Purity: 90% Heroin No. 3 SR5.000-115,000 Purity: 30% SMOX),(XX) Purity: 60% $XOX0,0XX) Purity: 40% Middle level alatiilor S800,000 Purity 15% Local distributor $1,800,000 Purity: 14.167 Local distributor $1,500,000 Purity: 10-15% Local distributor $2,200,000 Purity 5.7% Middle-level distributor Ilimited Sintes) $420,0XX). 41X1,000 Parts 41) AT Middle-level distributor (liurope) $170.000-250,000 Purity (1 70 Midelle level distribuint (llong Kong) Hernin No. 3 $ 10,0XX) 11.000 Purity: 30% Midelle level distributor (United States) $350,000-450,000 l'urity. 45 Retett ke . Store dealno thrasiren 'S) $1.SIN),(MM) Part A "7 Steret traler Southern S) $1.5X0.000 Stocet drales Mulwestern US) $1.500, Pursty SOT Steret denier If uripel $1 1-2.0 million I'moly 4 11 Street dealer (I fong Kong) Ieroin No.3 3.16.(MM) 4M Purity: 307 Susret dealer Ihastern US) $1 7 Million l'urity: 2-3% Street dealer (Central US) $2 Million Purity 9-10% Street dealer (Western US) $4 Million Purity 6-7% Stroet denler (Europe) $1..3-2.0 Million Streel dealer (Southwestern US) 52.1111.000 Purity: 7.8% Street dealer (South-Central US) $1.430,000 Purity: 6-77 Street dealer (Midwestern US) $2,400,000) Parity.1.41 L'urlonited 1147 rcotics Smuggling: Major Routes and Cultivation Areas U Sla ENROL la Sore Other very Acea Greenland (Den) Norway Iceland Finland Sweden Soviet Union Canada Urted Woh Astor OOR Pola Goemsey FRO CREC Jersey UK France Mongolia man Size Marseille Monaco Joly Yugo. To the US & Detroit Oleage ve Yurt From Southeast Asie Spain KE Ste Francisco United States NOT Sici Greece Leo Syne China Loe Ingalas Tunisia The Golden Crescent Morocco Irsa Bermuda Niche To Europe lere Jordan ve Te Europo Egypt SA Oase Saudi Arabia UAE Algeria Pakistan Libya ti! Larica wesien Jarista Fron Southeast Asia and Co Bangiece India una The Golden Triangul Omer 201 Mexico Mauritania ee. TAR han to SED Mali CE verse Niger 7o Europe Chad Senegas Tom DBY Sudan Loops Philippine Kampuchea Guate EID Nico Upper Yoite Duros Dr. . Venezuela sier Ethiopia Coast Sorte Los non ha ME Nigena Cameroon C.AR Somalia Colombie Toge Kuala Lupa Marysia Uganda BNS Ecuador Kenya Gabon Ewa Congo Zaire Indonesia Burun Tanzania Brazil Petu Te Asie Angola Mai Zambia Bolita 03 Mozambique Zimbabwe Namibia Bolswara Madagascar SO Pacar SO To the US and Europe O. Ana South Africa Major Routes Cocaine OC Marijuana Uruguay Chile Argentina Hashier Opiate Cultivation Areas Coca Licit Opium Hashish ilicit odium Manjuana C.A.R. -Central Amrican Republic FRG - Federal Republic of Germany GOR-German Democratic Republic PORY -People's Democratic Republic of Yemen YAR-Yemen Arab Republic UAE - United Arab Emirates 1148 o ool 1149 1150 1151 1152 1153 . 1154 11 1155 1156 U.S. Customs Service Number of Heroin Seizures 300 HEROIN 250 1 1 1 1 200 Number 150 100 50 78 79 80 81 82 83 FUTIWTE Suuret OLEMA Fiscal Year 15 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Heroin Seized 700 HEROIN G00 រ 1 T 500 400 Pounds ខ្ញុំ → ជា -- } = ។ 2008 100 7 79 0 8 2 3 FWIWIŁ Shot CLEAR Fiscal Year 1158 U.S. Customs Service Number of Cocaine Seizures 2000 VIA COCAINE 1600 1 1200 Number 800 1 1 400 0 78 79 80 81 82 83 FWIWDTE Sauror QLENA Fiscal Year 1159 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Cocaine Seized 24000 COCAINE 20000 16000 12000 1 1 - Pounds 1 8000 1 con 1 1 1 1 1 1 4000 78 79 80 81 82 83 FWIRD12 Souret DER Fiscal Year 1160 U.S. Customs Service Number of Marijuana Seizures 15000 WI MARIJUANA 12000 9000 Number 6000 3000 0 78 79 80 81 82 83 RwOil Suret CLEAR Fiscal Year - 1161 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Marijuana Seized 34-045 0-84-74 6000000 MARIJUANA 5000000 1 4000000 3000000 ! 1 Pounds - 2000000 1000000 78 79 80 81 82 83 FWINIZ Oct TENS Fiscal Year 1162 U.S. Customs Service Number of Hashish Seizures 6000 HASHISH 5000 4000 1 mo - { Number 1 3000 ang 2000 1000 78 79 80 81 82 83 FOUTI DTE Sant CLEM Fiscal Year 1163 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Hashish Seized 70000 BU HASHISH 60000 50000 40000 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Pounds 30000 20000 10000 1 78 79 80 81 82 83 Fonote Speranta OLEMA Fiscal Year 1164 U.S. Customs Service Number of Morphine Seizures 250 W MORPHINE 200 150 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Number 100 1 1 1 - 50 1 1 78 79 80 81 82 83 FWIWIE Souret: CLEA Fiscal Year | 1165 165 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Morphine Seized 70 MORPHINE 60 50 I 1 i 1 1 - Pounds 30 ...l 20 10 0 FOOTNOTE ner QLENA Fiscal Year 1166 U.S. Customs Service Number of Opium Seizures 300 QPIUM 250 1 1 200 150 1 1 0 Number 1 1 1 1 $ I 1 100 . 1 i 1 1 50 78 79 80 81 82 83 WiDi2 Set CUENA Fiscal Year 1167 U.S. Customs Service Pounds of Opium Seized 240 CIUN 200 160 120 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 Pounds 1 1 1 80 40 1 78 79 80 81 82 83 FUTIOTE Sant CUENA Fiscal Year 1168 U.S. Customs Service # Seizures - Other Drugs, Barbiturates, & LSD Z OTHER DRUGS 4500 4000 3500 1 3000 2500 Number 2000 1500 1000 500 0 78 79 80 81 82 83 FOTOTC Sourct MEAR Fiscal Year 1169 U.S. Customs Service # Tabs - Other Drugs, Barbiturates, & LSD 50000000 OTHER DAUGS 40000000 30000000 1 1 1 Number of Tabs/Units 20000000 1 1 ill. 10000000 FY78 FY79 FY80 FY81 FY82 FY83 FWIVIL Suuret CUER Fiscal Year 1170 U.S. Customs Service Total Number of Seizures by Fiscal Year 25000 ALL TYPES NARCOTICS 20000 200002 15000 Number 1000 10000 5000 0 FY78 FY79 FY80 FY81 FY82 FY83 FOOTIOTE Souret MENA 1171 U.S. Customs Service Total Pounds Seized by Fiscal Year 6000000 W ALL TYPES (Except Other) 5000000 4000000 4000000 Pounds 3000000 N 2000000 1000000 FYBE FY78 FY79 FY80 FY81 FY82 FY83 FOTIDIE ner CLEAR 1172 Senator HAWKINS. Thank you. I have several questions. Mr. LOGAN. Yes, ma'am. Senator HAWKINS. Does the Colombian customs secure their air- fields at night? Mr. LOGAN. I would like to submit a detailed answer for the record on that, but I can answer that briefly. There are landing strips, both clandestine as well as official, that are secured during the dark hours. Others are not. Senator HAWKINS. Would you supply the same information on harbors also? Mr. LOGAN. Yes, ma'am. [The information referred to follows: We have no information which indicates that the Colombian Customs Service par- ticipates in the securing of airfields, landing strips or harbors at night or any other time for the purpose of allowing drug trafficking to take place. Over the years, we have received, and we continue to receive information from various sources that uniformed, armed Colombian military personnel have secured airports and airstrips while airplanes were loaded with drugs. In fact, there are indications that some of these military personnel are actually loading the airplanes in some instances. Senator HAWKINS. I believe you answered the other question. Would you give me the answer in writing about your intensified in- spection of the Colombian planes, ships, cargo, and passengers, the Colombian initiative? Mr. LOGAN. Yes, ma'am. [The information referred to follows: From March 1-March 31, 1984, the United States Customs Service conducted in- tense enforcement against cocaine originating in Colombia and destined for this country. Current estimates: 50-70 percent of cocaine entering the United States is arriving from Colombia. Our initiative intended to meet four objectives: (1) Interdict cocaine; (2) Disrupt the flow of cocaine into the United States; (3) Increase intelligence for later use; and (4) Emphasize the high level of U.S. dissatisfaction with the Colombian govern- ment's lack of enforcement activities against cocaine. All four objectives were met. Our scope was national. The full range of enforcement personnel from Customs regions participated. The intensified effort reached persons, merchandise, and carri- ers arriving directly or indirectly from Colombia by sea or air, and all Customs ports which experienced any Colombian activity. An action plan outlined all practicable activity and defined all actions that U.S. Customs could pursue unilaterally within existing statutes and regulations. The result would maximize impact on smuggling operations yet minimize adverse effects on Customs personnel and operations. A four phase strategy increased pressure week by week. Individual regions and districts retained flexibility to adjust schedules and intensity, considering local fac- tors within the plan's context. Miami district had long term intensive efforts under- way and thus chose to implement the entire plan immediately and to continue throughout the month. Before the operation, Regional Commissioner Battard and a Customs survey team conducted a Source Country Profile study in Colombia, working in concert with DEA officials in the United States and Colombia. Much of their information and in- sight was used and/or verified during this operation. DEA contributed from this efforts' earliest stages and offered full cooperation and support. Their trolling for additional tactical intelligence met with limited success though one Miami seizure resulted directly from DEA supplied information. DEA expects more information to surface in Colombia over time in the wake of this Customs initiative. A valid mitigating circumstances stems from the fact that virtually all DEA in country resources in Colombia were actively preoccupied with a Colombian Government seizure of 1342 tons of cocaine in that country. During that first week of March, crew members arriving and departing the United States underwent intensive secondary examinations. In addition, Landed 1173 Quantity Verifications (LQV) were performed on all in-bond shipments prior to their movements to the port of destination. In the second week, all Colombian vessels were boarded and searched prior to dis- charge of crew, passengers and cargo. All discharged cargo was LQV'ed and received 100 percent examination. At this stage, more Customs professionals became in- volved. Canine teams searched vessels, cargo and baggage; Patrol officers performed vessel searches and conducted surveillances; and Inspectors supervised stripping cargo containers and tightened all examinations, especially bulk cargo shipments of bananas and coffee. Also at this stage, Inspectors and Special Agents stepped up outbound currency examinations (COČET). During the third week of the operation, it expanded to full devanning and con- tainer stripping of cargo. By the fourth stage of the program, all passengers, crew, cargo and vessels sub- mitted to intensive examination. Poor yield from bulk cargo shipments (bananas and coffee) examination sapped resources; we discontinued this pursuit. Bulk cargo is very labor intensive. When these time-consumers generated no seizures, we refo- cused more energy on general merchandise and loose breakbulk shipments. After the four major stages, our successes warranted continuing intense passenger and crew examination for two more weeks. Cargo and COCET phases would contin- ue based on informed targeting and selectivity. Many seizures occurring during the operation sharpened our perceptions to target suspect shipments more readily. Two cocaine seizures made at New York and Miami involved the narcotic mixed with alcoholic beverages accompanying arriving passengers. We now know that any liq- uids arriving from Colombia could contain cocaine, so all regions have been field testing these liquids. Examining bulk cargo proved to be a fruitless effort. However, it delayed ship- ments and forced the commercial community as well as the Colombian Government to heed the serious concerns of Customs. Several meetings took place during the op- eration at Customs Headquarters with representatives from the Colombian Embas- sy. U.S. Ambassador Lewis Tambs was constantly briefed on the operation's progress. He was most supportive. Seeing this, many carriers expressed their desire to help stem the flow of narcot- ics into the United States. They realize that their vessels and aircraft are often ex- ploited by narcotics traffickers; their cooperation with Customs could avoid costly delays and conveyance seizures. The following is a list of seizures and their locations from March 1-April 2, 1984: Total Seizures: 90. Currency: $1,717,588. Cocaine: 1,721.2 lbs. Heroin: 1.6 lbs. Marijuana: 213,106 lbs. Stowaways: 20. Handguns: 1. False Passport: 1. Ether: 88,000 lbs. Location: Miami....... 53 New Orleans.... New York ...... 6 Logan 1 San Juan 5 Los Angeles.... 4 Gramercy, LA 1 Houston 3 Tampa...... 1 Fort Myers 1 Sylvania, GA ... 1 Labelle, FL....... 1 Lafayette, LA 1 Calexico 1 San Ysidro 3 Nogales ...... 1 Champlain..... 1 PDN Bridge 1 Rio Grande City 1 Atlanta. 1 : Seizures 1174 Senator HAWKINS. Also, has the drug threat from Colombia in- creased or decreased in the last year? I would like those answers for the record? Mr. LOGAN. Yes, ma'am. [The information referred to follows:] From the viewpoint of the Customs Service, the threat has increased in the last year, as it has done for the past several years. Colombia is the largest supplier of two major drugs, cocaine and marijuana, smuggled into the United States. Current estimates indicate that Colombia supplies between 50 and 70 percent of the cocaine and approximately 80 percent of the marijuana smuggled into the United States. These percentages equate to between 62,500 and 87,500 pounds of cocaine, and ap- proximately 24 million pounds of marijuana. The final retail (street) value of these drugs is believed to exceed $28 billion. Seizure statistics over the last 6 months indi- cate that of those cocaine seizures reporting country of origin, over 40 percent came from Colombia, representing over 60 percent of the cocaine seized in this same cate- gory The increase in the threat of cocaine from Colombia is graphically illustrated by the seizure of 13.8 tons on March 10, 1984 at a processing plant in Colombia. DEA estimated the street value of this seizure in the United States would be $1.2 billion. Only 5 or 6 years ago most knowledgeable law enforcement officers would have scoffed at the idea of 1,000 pounds of cocaine stockpiled at any single location in the world. Senator HAWKINS. Our next witness is Frank Kimball, Counselor to the Agency for International Development. I would ask that you submit your statement for the record, Mr. Kimball, and I have just three questions. Much of AID's assistance is directed to major drug producing na- tions. How do you coordinate your activities with the Bureau of International Narcotic Matters? STATEMENT OF FRANK B. KIMBALL, COUNSELOR, AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Mr. KIMBALL. Madam Chairman, we coordinate at two levels, one in Washington and the other at the mission level. Where we have programs in the field, we work under the umbrella of the country team, under the guidance of the ambassador. In Pakistan, Bolivia, and Peru which are our most active programs, AID and INM coop- erate on a day-to-day basis. [Mr. Kimball's prepared statement follows: 1175 PREPARED STATEMENT OF FRANK B. KIMBALL Mr. Chairman, I am Frank B. Kimball, Counselor to the Agency for International Development. It is a pleasure to appear before you today to update you on our efforts to reduce production of illicit narcotics overseas. A.I.D. is acutely aware of its responsibilities to help reduce the cultivation of illicit narcotics that affects 15 million Americans who use cocaine and 500,000 American users of heroin. A.I.D. continues to play an important role in support of the President's Federal Drug Abuse Strategy. We work closely with State/INM as part of the overall U.S. strategy in coordinating our activities to ensure a proper response to the problem of narcotics cultivation in countries where we have programs. Eliminating the production of narcotics is, in part, а development problem. Large scale cultivation of illicit drugs takes place in developing countries usually by farmers who are extremely poor . In general, there is no one crop that can provide a viable economical alternative to those farmers who have traditionally produced narcotics. Efforts at reducing the production of narcotics are further complicated by the remoteness of the growing areas and the strength of local social and cultural traditions. 1176 The Gilman Amendment, Section 126 of the Foreign Assistance Act, instructs A.I.D. to "give priority consideration to programs which would help reduce illicit narcotics cultivation by stimulating broader development opportunities." We continue to evaluate our approaches to the problem of narcotics production in the developing world. We have an A.I.D. Narcotics Policy Coordinator who works with the regional bureaus to insure our program addresses the narcotics issue. We also have a new Director of Strategic Studies, Martin Howell, whose first project is to review A.I.D, activity in the narcotics reduction area. He will review our current course of action and make recommendations on possible enhancements to our existing efforts and identify new avenues by which to attack the problem. I would like to come to you today with stories of A.I.D.'s instant success in increasing the income of the rural poor and reducing the production of narcotics. However, development is a long term effort and quick results are seldom achieved. In many instances, long-term success in reducing the production of narcotics requires basic changes in the economic behavior of the regions where narcotics are produced. In these instances, long-term success not only requires a commitment to that change, but a realization that it cannot be accomplished over night. 1177 The successful implementation of enforcement and eradication efforts is a sine qua non for the success of an income substitu- tion effort. Prerequisits for a successful program include the firm commitment of the host government to suppress narcotics cultivation coupled with its ability to project its influence into narcotics cultivation areas; without these, there is very little likelihood that U.S. assistance will result in any significant reduction of illicit drug production in any given country. Where eradication efforts are underway, A.I.D.'s development expertise can provide alternate crops, fertilizer, irrigation systems, and other resources to encourage enforcement of existing bans by host government authorities and acceptance of eradication by residents of the affected areas. The following countries are major producers of opium or coca in which A.I.D. has a presence: Pakistan In late FY 1983 the $20 million Gadoon-Amazai Area Development project was initiated, covering approximately half the current poppy cultivation area of the country. Poppy cultivation is well integrated in the local society, which is resource poor, and not self-sufficient in basic food grains. Poppies are grown in marginal land and there are a few obvious crop alternatives. Providing alternative sources of income will be a major under- 84-045 0-84-75 1178 taking, requiring significant investment in infrastructure, institutional development and human resources. With this project, A.I.D. enters a new phase in its support of the poppy eradication policies of the U.S. and the Government of Pakistan, in which specific development programs may be directly linked to specific enforcement activities. Phase I of the Gadoon-Amazai project will produce immediate and highly visible benefits such as roads, potable water systems, school repairs and construction. It will also involve programs to increase production of wheat and provide seed and fertilizer to farmers. Phase II will involve long-range projects such as development of off-farm employment opportunities. A.I.D. also assisted the Government of Pakistan in preparing a Special Development and Enforcement Plan for the opium producing areas for presentation at the December 1983 meeting of the Pakistan Consortium in Paris. The presentation was designed to enlist other donors in the narcotics control effort, and a number of multilateral and bilateral donors indicated they may become involved. The plan is designed to eradicate existing poppy cultivation throughout the Northwest Frontier Province and to prevent its resurgence or introduction into non-producing areas. 1179 A.I.D. is a member of the U.S. Embassy Narcotics coordinating Committee in Islamabad which acts to ensure a responsive and coordinative U.S. efforts. We currently have "poppy" clauses in agricultural, irrigation, rural electrification and energy projects. The A.I.D. mission has a full time narcotics project management officer who ensures that all projects in our port- folio contribute to narcotics reduction efforts to the maximum extent possible. Finally, we have worked with and will continue to offer assistance to INM in its Malakand-area project. Thailand A.I.D. administers one project in Thailand that is indirectly related to achieving narcotics reduction objectives. The Mae Chaem Watershed Development project contains a "poppy" clause to prevent narcotics producers from obtaining development benefits, but it is primarily designed to increase income and access to social services for the residents of the watershed in Northern Thailand. The project is also intended to reverse environmental damage to the area caused by improper use of the areas resources. The total funding level of the project is $10 million and $3.1 million renains to be obligated. It is too early to evaluate impact of the project on narcotics production from Thailand. 1180 Burma Currently, A.I.D. does not have any narcotics-related projects in Burma. Moreover, preparation of a narcotics-related development project still seems premature in light of the Burmese interests in interdiction of narcotics traffic and suppression of opium production--activities that are the proper domain of State/INM. In addition, the poppy growing region is inaccessible and the safety of American personnel would not be certain. Should an appropriate narcotics-related development project be found, A.I.D. would give it serious consideration. We will continue to discuss the situation in Burma with State/INM. Bolivia In Bolivia, A.I.D. is embarking on a new crop substitution effort in conjunction with an INM eradication program. The U.S. Government and Government of Bolivia entered into a Five- Year Coca Crop control project in August 1983. Internal Bolivian political difficulties prevented the issuance of a decree creating the Bolivian agency responsible for narcotics- related development projects until mid-January. The Secretariat for the Development of the Bolivian Tropics is now in place and 1181 the way is clear for implementation of the five-year, $14.4 million Chapare Regional Development Project. The development project is supplemented by $20 million in infrastructure loans targeted for the Chapare region. These loans will contain "coca" clauses to prevent benefits from flowing to coca growers. The Chapare Regional Development Project will provide credit for both local agribusiness and to Chapare farmers cooperating with the INM-assisted coca eradication program. The availa- bility of credit should help expand production and promote markets for commercial livestock, agricultural and forestry products from the Chapa re Region. Peru A.I.D. and INM are engaged in an effort to reduce production of coca in the Upper Huallaga region of the Peruvian high jungle. The A.I.D. Upper Huallaga Area Development Project began in 1981. The project is providing a wide range of services to farmers in the region including alternative crops in the region such as rice, cocao, citrus fruits and coffee. Extension agents travel the valley providing farmers with improved methods. Agricultural credit is provided at self-sustaining rates to farmers who participate in INM's eradication efforts. The project is also providing roads and potable water systems to residents of the valley. 1182 The GOP's budget constraints have resulted in a lack of counter- part funds, which in turn has slowed procurement of needed goods and services. Recently, the security situation in the valley has deteriorated. The estimate from sources in the field is that our project goals have been set back a year. We remain dedicated to reducing production of coca and in pro- viding alternative sources of income to farmers in the region. We look forward to continued discussions with INM on the most appropriate responses to the needs of the coordinated effort and to continued cooperation in achieving our shared goals. I would be happy to answer any questions you may have at this time, Senator HAWKINS. So you work with the ambassador in the coun- try? Mr. KIMBALL. Under his guidance. Senator HAWKINS. The Pakistan Ambassador is fantastic in his sense of mission, and I must commend him. We wish we could get the same cooperation from the other ambassadors in that region of the world. We think we are gaining on them, though. I am greatly concerned that in some countries, such as Bolivia, roads and bridges built by AID are assisting drug traffickers. Have you done anything to avoid that problem? Mr. KIMBALL. Madam Chairman, I think in looking at the drug trafficking business, there is no end to the possibilities for people who want to engage in illegal activities to use normally lawful channels, not only roads and bridges but commercial aircraft, banks and telecommunications. In the case of, the Chapare Valley, where an AID road and bridge project was done many years ago, and by happenstance I was the project officer on that road, we did it in order to open up a valley which at that time did not grow any coca. The purpose was to provide agricultural land for farmers to settle and also provide a link of the road which would eventually connect Santa Cruz with Cochabamba. It was tied in with the highway network master plan. It was clearly justified on economic development grounds. And the sad fact of the matter is that it also happened to grow into a coca pro- ducing area. However, I think the programs we have designed there now will bring back the original purpose and objective, and hopefully in carrying them out we will be back on a legal develop- ment basis in that valley. 1183 Senator HAWKINS. I wish you would submit for the record for other Senators to read the crop substitution program that you are involved in in Southeast Asia. I am very impressed with it. I viewed it firsthand, but I would like that for the record, please, Mr. Kimball. Mr. KIMBALL. Yes; we will do that. [The information referred to follows:] DESCRIPTION OF CROP SUBSTITUTION PROJECT IN PAKISTAN AID obligated a major crop substitution project in Pakistan's North West Frontier Province in August 1983. An agreement, incorporating enforcement linkages, was signed with the Government of Pakistan in October 1983. This five-year, $20 million project is known as the Gadoon-Amazai Area Development Project. The project covers an area which was responsible for about one-half of opium poppy cultivated in Pakistan in 1982. About 116,000 people live in the 215 square mile project area. As many as 62,000 people or 53 percent are engaged in poppy cul- tivation if seasonal laborers are counted. Owner/tenant cultivators would comprise a lower figure, roughly 30,000 people or 26 percent of the area's population. The project is divided into two phases. The first phase, which will last about 1 year, will provide immediate benefits and lay the groundwork for the remainder of the project. It will include building of roads, completion of engineering designs, and gathering of weather data. It also will include farm trials and demonstrations, seed multiplication, and other exploratory agricultural work. The second phase, which will last 4 years, will focus on agricultural development, infrastructure construction, and off-farm employment. The agricultural develop- ment component will include methods to promote the increased production of exist- ing non-poppy crops, new crops, improved livestock, and productive trees. Limited enforcement began immediately. During the 1983-84 crop season, enforce- ment will take place on government (Water and Power Development Authority) land and on designated lands which did not have opium poppy cultivation in the 1982–83 growing season. An enforcement schedule has been set for the following three growing seasons, and production of all opium poppy will be eliminated by the beginning of the 1986-87 crop year. Senator HAWKINS. This is the conclusion of our hearing. I think that the seriousness of the problem cannot be overstated. My great concern is that this problem is given very low priority by the De- partment of State, and we are still outspent, outmanned, and out- gunned by the international drug traffickers. I do not believe the American people are going to continue to stand for business as usual, and foreign aid is never popular in Congress. It is very diffi- cult to get enough votes to help these countries. I personally be- lieve that that is where we can get the foreign countries' attention, and that is an important first step for this committee. This hearing is adjourned. We thank you for your participation. [Additional questions and answers follow:] DRUG ENFORCEMENT ADMINISTRATION'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR BIDEN DRUG INTERDICTION INTELLIGENCE Mr. Mullen, one of the major criticisms of the Justice Department's role in our drug interdiction effort is that DEA fails to provide timely, tactical intelligence on narcotics trafficking to the interdiction agencies that must rely on prior information to drug busts. The Reorganization Plan of 1973 gave DEA exclusive responsibility for intelligence gathering for drug enforcement purposes. In a June 13, 1983 GAO report, the GAO concluded that, except for certain special operations, DEA's intelli- gence on drug smugglers has been extremely limited and virtually nonexistent in the Caribbean--the world's major drug transhipment point. Question 1. What specific steps have you taken to improve your department's abil- ity to provide time-sensitive, tactical drug trafficking intelligence to Customs, Coast Guard, and other drug interdiction agencies? Be specific and include in your answer 1184 what resources—both personnel and dollars--you will be committing to this effort in the coming year. Answer. The DEA has implemented a number of programs to enhance ongoing information dissemination to U.S. Customs and Coast Guard, including the assign- ment of a Customs Analyst to DEA's Office of Intelligence. During fiscal year 1983, for example, over 1,800 DEA documents related to drug trafficking activities were provided to U.S. Customs Service at the headquarters level. Thus far in fiscal year 1984 over 1,100 DEA documents have been forwarded to Customs. These figures do not include information provided through EPIC or direct field referrals. Approxi- mately 222,000 separate pieces of information flowed through the El Paso Intelli- gence Center (EPIC) in fiscal year 1983, all of which was made available to interdic- tory agencies. Recent examples of the effectiveness of these programs include the U.S. Customs Service seizure of approximately 13 pounds of white heroin and $20,000 U.S. currency on December 22, 1983 in Long Beach, California. More recent- ly, on March 2, Customs seized approximately 8 pounds of heroin at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport as a result of DEA reporting from Karachi, Pakistan. The effective use of information for drug interdictions is dependent to a large extent upon the ability of Customs and Coast Guard to develop appropriate tasking requirements in cooperation with DEA and other intelligence collection agencies and to evaluate and disseminate the resulting information. Both the US. Customs Service and U.S. Coast Guard are in the process of expanding and enhancing their intelligence capabilities at the headquarters and field levels. The improved intelli- gence programs by these agencies represent an important complement to DEA's in- telligence program and will significantly strengthen the overall drug intelligence system. A problem exists with regard to the narrow definition of "tactical" or "interdic- tion oriented” intelligence assigned by some critics. This definition limits tactical intelligence to only that information which provides actionable information before actual commission of a crime to the interdiction agency'. In actuality, most of the tactical intelligence available will lack some of the components necessary to plan a specific seizure at a particular location and specified time. This problem is inherent in the fact drug smuggling operations are clandestine, sophisticated and well insu- lated from enforcement penetration. DEA collects tactical intelligence whenever possible as a result of ongoing investigative operations and liaison with state, local and foreign government officials. This information is always passed to the appropri- ate authorities. Moreover, much of the available information is strategic in nature, and the value of this information depends largely upon the ability of interdictory agencies to evaluate and translate the information into the planning of operations. DEA's sup- port to interdiction operations in the form of operational and strategic intelligence is both active and significant, but not always readily visible. Strategic intelligence, which represents our collective knowledge and experience concerning the drug traf- fic, identified those areas and activities upon which enforcement resources can have the greatest impact. This is the framework within which individual agencies may effectively deploy resources and plan interdiction operations. Strategic intelligence includes trafficker, vessel and aircraft profiles and information concerning conceal- ment methods, trafficking routes and drug supply trends. Operational intelligence identified specific individuals, organizations and conveyances involved in the impor- tation and distribution of illicit drugs and, as a by-product, provides valuable details as to the logistics of actual drug smuggling operations. DEA cannot separate out those resources which are involved in developing inter- diction related information. Our entire Special Agent and Intelligence Analyst force, both domestic and foreign based, is involved throughout the investigative and analytical process in developing information which may relate to the interdiction function. BAHAMAS: NEED TO BEEF UP THE DEA PRESENCE Gentlemen, the recent tragic crash of the Air Force helicopter during a drug interdiction mission in the Bahamas is a grim reminder to you and everyone in- volved in the anti-drug effort of the seriousness of the drug trafficking problem in the Bahamas. There is no question that the Bahamas is the preferred haven for the drug trafficker as a transshipment point for drug cargo. It is my belief that DEA representation in the Bahamas are ill-equipped and unable to really make a differ- ence in stopping the smuggler before he hits the shores of Florida, Georgia, or other southeastern coast lines. Air Force helicopter support cannot go on indefinitely. A permanent, well-equipped, well-staffed DEA presence is required if we are really 1185 going to make a difference in that drug hotspot. A recent House Government Oper- ations Subcommittee site visit to Puerto Rico revealed that Puerto Rico is also rap- idly becoming a major transshipment haven for drug smugglers smuggling drugs into the United States from South America. Question 2. Your fiscal year 85 budget request includes an additional 35 positions and $2.4 million from the creation of an additional task force in South Florida, Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands. Is that an effort to correct the manpower and equip- ment shortage I just noted? Answer. The requested increase of 35 positions and $2.4 million is intended to bring additional resources to focus on the highest levels of the drug traffic in Flori- da, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. It will target financing activities, sources of supply and distribution organizations. The 13th Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Force will include dedicated AUSAs and Special Agents of the DEA, FBI and IRS. The focus on interdiction activities will continue under the aegis of the Coast Guard, U.S. Customs Service, and the South Florida Task Force and NNBIS. Question 3. Why was there no task force initially created in south Florida when the President announced the 12 task forces last year? Answer. The first objective in south Florida was to bring significantly increased resources to confront the blatant smuggling situation and attack the street-level vio- lence related to the drug traffic. The primary focus was on interdiction and develop- ment of information which could be utilized later in attacking the organizations, the financiers, sources of supply and distribution organizations. The present request for resources to establish the 13th OCDE Task Force recognizes that the information base is sufficient to now bring in increased investigative and prosecutorial resources to capitalize on the results of the South Florida Task Force. The South Florida Task Force will continue in its drug interdiction efforts. The new resources have not his- torically been part of the South Florida Task Force (e.g., dedicated AUSA's, the par- ticipation of the FBI, expanded Title III use and the increased involvement of the IRS). STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD FY 1985 BUDGET REQUEST Question 1. The proposed FY 1985 budget for international narcotics control calls for an increase of slightly more than 20 percent over the amounts appropriated for this program in 1984. (A) Did the Congress provide the INM program with adequate funding last year to carry out its mission effectively? (B) Almost half of the increase is for crop control eradication. Will the INM program continue to place greatest em- phasis on this function? If so, why? Answer. (A) The major impact of the $12 million reduction in the appropriations sought for 1984, a reduction occasioned by the continuing resolution, was in the fol- lowing areas: In Colombia, the approximately $5.5 million reduction put the United States in a position wherein we could not respond fully to a Colombian request to support a program for aerial eradication of marijuana and coca cultivation. In Burma, the re- duction has reduced flexibility to enter into programs other than the status quo, i.e., our assistance was limited to maintenance of aviation craft used for interdiction and manual eradication programs. In Pakistan, we have lengthened the timeframe for completing the Malakand agency project (especially the road project). We had to adopt a no-growth posture in enforcement training and demand reduction projects. Overall, the reductions in the amount requested for 1984, like previous budget cuts, reduced the Department's flexibility to respond to the dynamics of the narcot- ics situation. Historically, the Bureau, with Congressional agreement, has repro grammed funds from one country where a program may not be moving on schedule to another country where an unpredicted drug control opportunity has emerged. That capability will be much less in 1984, although the Bureau is doing its best to minimize lost opportunities until FY 1985 funding is available. (B) Much of the requested budget increase for FY 1985 is the $6.8 million increase requested for eradication programs in Colombia, presuming an agreement with Co lombia to support a comprehensive coca and marijuana control program. Most other country programs remain approximately at the FY 1984 level. The FY 1985 request continues the emphasis on crop control supported by inter- diction activities, including eradication where needed, in source countries where we have programs. The reason for continuing this emphasis on crop control is that, 1186 while worldwide levels of illicit narcotics production remain high, experience has shown, one, that interdiction alone cannot curb the large amounts of illicit narcotics transhipped to the United States, and two, that crop control will, over time, reduce availability. Interdiction, then, is a short-term defense, and, control of cultivation is a long-term solution. Question 2. The total international narcotics control program budget for FY 1985 is about $50 million. The illicit narcotics industry is a multi-billion dollar industry. Some South American drug traffickers probably make more money in one year than is being requested by the Administration for the entire worldwide program. Given the severity of the problem and the enormous financial resources of drug-producing and trafficking organizations, do you really believe that the United States can suc- cessfully combat this problem with such a meager budget and resources? Answer. There is no linear relationship between narcotics profits and control pro- gram budgets. At a yield of 10 kilograms per hectare, the 2,472 hectares of opium poppy which the Mexican Government eradicated could have yielded heroin which could have sold for $5.4 billion (U.S. street value), but this eradication was only part of the total program assisted by the United States in 1983 at a cost of $7.8 million. Similarly, it costs $200 or less to eradicate a hectare of coca bushes, which could yield two kilograms of cocaine that would have a U.S. street value of $1.6 million. U.S. expenditures must be viewed as complementary to those of cooperating gov- ernments and other donor nations or agencies. They correspond only to present and anticipated opportunities to achieve drug control progress, not to the entire prob- lem. Put another way, the Department's annual requests for international narcotics control authorizations and appropriations are based upon estimates of activity under existing agreements and assessments of new agreements anticipated during the coming fiscal year. To the extent that the Congress reduces these requests, as it has every year since 1979, the Congress has limited the flexibility needed by the Department to respond to unanticipated opportunities or demands upon the system. PROSPECTS FOR FUTURE Question 3. Why does INM think that there is any greater chance for U.S. over- seas drug control program to effect a reduction in the drug supply over the next 10 years? Answer. The worldwide production of illicit narcotics far exceeds the amounts currently consumed by drug abusers within the United States and other consuming countries. For example, annual production of illicit opium is estimated to range from about 1,500 to 1,900 metric tons; only 30-34 tons are needed to produce all the heroin entering the United States. There is enough illicit coca produced to supply about 170 tons of cocaine; currently the United States imports about 45 tons. As a result, it will be necessary to make sizeable reductions in the world supply of illicit drugs before this impacts on availability in the United States. Despite the dimen- sions of the problem we believe that during the next 10 years U.S. narcotics control programs in consonance with the efforts of other governments and international or- ganizations will begin to reduce the availability of illicit drugs on the world market. There are a number of reasons for this optimism. First, the number of countries in which we have already seen progress or antici- pate such progress is increasing. Senator Biden has referred to the successes we have had in Turkey and Mexico and we can expect governments in both those coun- tries to build on the progress already made with our assistance. But progress is not limited to these countries. In Pakistan we have seen the production of opium decline from a high of 800 metric tons in 1979 down to an estimated 1983 of 45-60 tons, in part because of U.S. supported efforts of the Pakistani efforts to expand its ban on opium production into new areas. The Pakistani Government is moving to extend its ban into other areas and is seeking additional international support for such efforts. In Colombia, where we have been supporting National Police manual eradication efforts, the govern- ment has completed preparations for field testing of aerial herbicide eradication of both coca and marijuana. Peru.is now moving into its second year of a coca eradica- tion program that is scheduled to eradicate over 4,000 hectares of coca in 1984. The United States suspended assistance to Bolivia in 1980, but is now working with the government in the initiation of a coca program. Some efforts are in the beginning stages, others like Pakistan are progressing to advanced stages of control; the con- clusion remains that crop control is a long-term initiative. The belief that our programs will show increased future dividends is also based on the fact that an increasing number of producing and trafficking countries are begin- ning to realize the adverse effects of narcotics activities on their societies. Virtually 1187 every source country has experienced the problems of economic dislocations, black market profiteering and crime related to narcotics trafficking; several have also ex- perienced political problems, including armed insurgencies supported by profits from the drug trade. Countries like Pakistan, Thailand, Colombia, Bolivia, and Peru are suffering escalating problems of drug abuse, especially among youth. The aware- ness of government officials and other elements of society in producer countries about the adverse domestic effects on them on the drug trade have improved the prospects for cooperation with the United States and improved anti-narcotics efforts. Question 4. How, in terms of magnitude of effort, budgetary resources, overall pro- gram design, strategy or support from other U.S. departments in U.S. missions over- seas does INM's proposal for $50 million next year differ from U.S. drug control pro- grams 5 years ago? Should we expect any change in the availability of drugs in the United States in 5 years? Why? Answer. During the past 5 years, INM's Budgetary resources have not significant- ly changed over the last 5 years and in fact in real dollar terms have actually de- clined. Actual expenditures for fiscal year 1980 through fiscal year 1983 were: Fiscal year: 1980 .... 38,474 1981 .... 34,740 1982... 35,053 1983 .... 36,534 The approved INM budget for fiscal year 1984 is $41,200, some $12 million less than requested by the Administration. When this fiscal year 1984 figure is adjusted for inflation, its actual purchasing power to affect programs is actually less than in 1980. See the attached chart "Funding History Fiscal Year 1978–1985" which com- pares the INM Budget Authority with an Adjusted Budgetary Authority which in- cludes the inflationary factor. During the past 5 years there has been no major shift in INM's program priority. INM continues to place its highest priority on narcotic crop control in source coun- tries and its second priority on interdiction of drugs as they move from producing areas through transit countries to the United States. There has, however, been a significant change in the allocation of INM funds to these two priorities over the past 5 years, as indicated in the attached Functional Activity Summaries drawn from the fiscal year 1982 and fiscal year 1985 Congressional Budget Submissions. In fiscal year 1980, 70 percent of INM funds were committed to enforcement programs while only 20 percent were used in crop eradication and related income replacement activities. Since then opportunities for bilateral crop eradication programs have in- creased substantially and in its fiscal year 1985 budget, INM has earmarked 41 per- cent for crop control activities while decreasing the portion devoted to enforcement activities to 46 percent. As new opportunities for crop eradication develop, INM is prepared to commit an increasing percentage of its budget to this priority activity. USE OF INTERNATIONAL FORA Committee comment.--Although drug source countries are increasingly confront- ing serious domestic drug abuse problems and developed countries such as Italy and West Germany have had such problems for several years, the United States is the only country that makes a systematic effort to apply its diplomatic resources toward drug control objectives. The International Narcotics Control Strategy Report refers to the small contributions made by West Germany, Sweden and Norway to the U.N.'s drug control programs and to Italy's pledge of $40 million to the U.N.'s Fund for Drug Abuse Control over the next 5 years. Apart from these efforts, the devel- oped countries seem to be doing nothing to further the objective of heroin, cocaine or marijuana control in source countries. In a report 5 years ago on Southwest Asian heroin, I (Senator Biden) proposed that the United States should raise drug control issues in forums such as NATO, international financial organizations like the World Bank, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Question 5. Could you please cite specific examples of when the Secretary of State or other Cabinet members have raised the international drug control concerns, that we share with other developed countries, in forums such as the one I mentioned? What were those countries' responses? Do they plan to do more or do they think that overseas attempts to control drug production in source countries such as Paki- stan, Burma or Colombia do not offer any promise of success? Answer. The Administration has raised the narcotics issue as a priority matter in both bilateral relationships and through multilateral fora such as those mentioned. 1188 Those raising the issue include the President, the Vice President, the Secretary of State and the Attorney General, as well as Department representatives below Cabi- net rank. In particular, the United States has sought to raise the foreign policy priority other countries assign to narcotics control, and to increase the level of funding and other resources contributed to the international control effort. Both issues—foreign policy priorities and increased support-have been raised by INM in special discus- sions with government officials throughout Europe, and in Japan, Saudi Arabia, Australia, New Zealand and Canada. The United States continues to pursue in- creased contributions, most recently at the Commission on Narcotic Drugs meeting in Vienna in February, while supporting the policy directions of the Fund. We note that 45 other countries contributed to the United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control in 1983, and that several countries increased their contributions over 1982. The 1983 contribution of the Federal Republic of Germany, mentioned in the question above, was in fact larger than that of the United States ($2,193,575 versus $2,000,000), and those of Norway and Sweden were the third and fourth largest for the Fund. In relation to their gross national products, these countries do not consid- er these contributions particularly "small." Largely as a result of U.S. prodding, many European countries are increasing their interest in drug control, both through contributions to UNFDAC and through their own bilateral programs. In addition to interdiction projects which it supports in several countries, UNFDAC supports programs in such source countries as Burma, Laos, Pakistan and Thailand, and is preparing project plans for the coca producing Andean countries (Peru, Bolivia and Colombia). UNFDAC is also collaborating with the United States and other prospective donors who have expressed support for the special develop- ment project in Pakistan, which could end all illicit poppy cultivation in that coun- try. In addition to discussions initiated by U.S. representatives to the multilateral fora named, Secretaries of State have raised the narcotics issue at NATO and OECD. These discussions were frank, and we think productive. It should be noted that U.S. executive directors at the multilateral development banks provide the Department with annual reports on the projects being funded in source countries, just one indication of their awareness. For example, the World Bank is funding projects in such narcotics source countries as Afghanistan, Bolivia, Burma, Colombia, Jamaica, Mexico, Morocco, Pakistan, Peru and Thailand. INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Question 6. The United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control was established in 1971 to expand multilateral narcotics assistance to less developed countries. UNFDAC has many programs in many of the countries which also receive U.S. nar- cotics funds (e.g., Burma, Pakistan, Thailand and Turkey). Italy has pledged $40 mil- lion to UNFDAC primarily for coca control in South America. Why is Italy making such a large contribution at this time? Do you expect other European governments to follow Italy's lead? Answer. In response to the recommendations of UNFDAC's Executive Director, Giuseppe di Gennaro, a respected former Italian judge, the Italian Government has been considering a financial pledge to UNFDAC since early 1982. Combatting orga- nized crime and its ally, narcotics trafficking, is an important plank in Prime Minis- ter Craxi's political platform. His government wants to reduce Italy's role in narcot- ics trafficking and processing. Understanding the importance of reducing coca supply at its source, the Craxi government recognized the value of UNFDAC's plans for coca control in the Andean region and in late 1983 pledged some $40 million over 5 years in support of this UNFDAC program. The Italian pledge is an impor- tant precedent. Other European governments, for example Norway, Sweden and France, are interested in UNFDAC's Andean project and may follow the Italian lead. Question 7. What is the value to the United States of contributing to UNFDAC? What are its strengths and weaknesses as an organization? How do you distinguish UNFDAC's mission from that of the U.S. international narcotics control program? Answer. The primary missions of UNFDAC and the U.S. international narcotics control program are the same: strengthening control and enforcement measures, de signing and implementing projects to reduce illicit supply as well as demand. UNFDAC has important organizational strengths. As a U.N. agency, UNFDAC can sometimes work where the United States cannot, e.g., Afghanistan and Laos. Also, its programs will often be accepted by governments that prefer the presence and 1189 involvement of the United Nations over that of the United States Government, or other providers of bilateral aid. Through UNFDAC, many donor nations, both large and small, can be made aware of international narcotics problems and participate in control projects. UNFDAC's “master plan” concept and multi-sectoral approach to projects is an- other strength and attraction. UNFDAC has adopted the principle that development assistance in narcotics producing areas must be accompanied by host government enforcement activities. UNFDAC therefore more than complements U.S. bilateral efforts; its role can be critical to our international strategy which seeks the involvement of other countries and organizations. For example, the presence of UNFDAC in South America offers the first non-U.S. role in drug control, a prospect which we and those governments welcome as diffusing the political character of narcotics control programs based solely on U.S. assistance. UNFDAC also has characteristics that can sometimes result in organizational weaknesses. It does not implement programs directly but acts through other U.N. agencies; some of the latter perform better than others. With its small staff, UNFDAC acts as an umbrella agency. As a U.N. agency, its decision-making process is often slow and can be influenced by non-program considerations. Nevertheless, it is the major vehicle for the internationalization of narcotics control projects in pro- ducer and transit countries, an important goal of the U.S. international narcotics strategy TREATIES ON MUTUAL ASSISTANCE IN CRIMINAL MATTERS Committee comment. The United States is party to Treaty on Mutual Assistance in Criminal Matters with Switzerland which was signed in 1973 and became effec- tive in 1977. It has served as a model for treaties with other countries. If the United States can show probable cause to the Swiss that a crime has been committed, the Swiss Government can turn over to U.S. investigators information that would nor- mally be protected by Swiss bank secrecy laws. More broadly, the treaty permits U.S. investigators to request Swiss authorities to provide a range of investigative assistance within Switzerland (and vice versa). Such treaties of mutual assistance can be an effective tool in the conduct of drug-related investigations-particularly in the investigation of money laundering of financial transfers associated with drug trafficking. Question 8. The United States and Italy signed a mutual assistance treaty in No vember 1982. What is the current status of the treaty? Has it been sent to the Senate for advice on ratification? Answer. The Italian Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty was signed November 9, 1982. Before the treaty is transmitted to the U.S. Senate, however, the Departments of State and Justice are attempting to answer certain questions of interpretation concerning one of the treaty provisions. The treaty is still pending before the Italian Senate. Question 9. Is the Administration currently conducting negotiations on such trea- ties on mutual assistance in criminal matters with any of the governments responsi- ble for the major bank secrecy and money laundering areas such as the Cayman Islands, Panama or the Bahamas? Why not? Answer. This Administration has actively sought, through diplomatic and law en- forcement channels, to interest key money-laundering, bank secrecy jurisdictions such as the Cayman Islands, Panama and the Bahamas, in negotiating mutual as- sistance treaties concerning drug and other criminal matters. We believe that nota- ble progress is being made in this area. Within recent months, we have held an on-going series of consultations with the United Kingdom on a variety of extraterritorial conflicts/matters. Within that con- text, we have held discussions which we believe will prove helpful in combatting narcotics trafficking activities relating to the Cayman Islands, a U.K. dependency. The United States and Panama are currently engaged in exploratory discussions with a view toward possible conclusion of a mutual assistance treaty in criminal matters. An interagency working group has approved a draft treaty text for review within Panama, which was presented to the Panamanian Attorney General when he visited Washington in March. The United States and the Bahamas have agreed to begin negotiating a mutual assistance treaty on criminal matters during 1984. The United States has proposed that the negotiations begin imminently, and we are awaiting a response from the Bahamian Government concerning a mutually agreeable date. 1190 CONSPIRACY LAWS IN PRODUCING COUNTRIES Question 10. One of the major problems in hampering the successful prosecution and punishment of drug traffickers in many drug producing countries such as Thailand and Pakistan-is the absence of conspiracy statutes. Consequently drug traffickers have to be caught virtually red-handed with the possession of illicit drugs if they are to be convicted. What steps did the Department of State or Justice take in 1983 to encourage these countries to draft and enact conspiracy and other statutes that would be useful in the conduct of illicit drug trafficking prosecutions? Answer. We have given the Thai Government information on U.S. conspiracy laws and have urged them to enact similar statutes. The Thai judicial system gener- ally functions effectively and narcotics offenders usually receive stiff sentences. Thailand is considering the enactment of an assets seizure law. We have been urging the Pakistani Government to enact conspiracy laws and to increase penalties for convicted narcotics traffickers. An ASEAN Seminar on Drug Problems held in late 1983, which was funded by the Department of State (INM), recognized the importance of anti-conspiracy laws, but decided that ASEAN recommendations would be improper because the matter has implications beyond narcotics control operations. Malaysia is considering the en- actment of a comprehensive assets seizure law. Other governments in the region may decide to follow this example. LATIN AMERICA Bolivia Question 11. The FY 1985 budget calls for a continuation of substantial narcotics assistance to the Bolivian Government ($5.5 million). What justifies the continued high level of assistance? Do you believe that President Siles Zuazo has a greater commitment to combat narcotics trafficking than his recent predecessors? Does he have the backing of the Bolivian military in this effort? Answer. We believe that we must be prepared to assist the Government of Bolivia as narcotics control efforts there are expanded. To do anything less would belie the seriousness of our intent. Therefore we are proceeding on the assumption that our ongoing efforts will be successful and that we will have continuing control and eradication programs underway in FY 1985 requiring substantial U.S. support. U.S. funds will be allotted and disbursed only in fulfillment of the coca control project agreements and as progress justifies. President Siles Zuazo has shown a greater commitment to combat narcotics traf- ficking than his recent predecessors, primarily by entering into agreements that provide for reduction of coca production by 20,000 hectares within 5 years, augment- ed enforcement efforts, and controls on legal coca to prevent diversion to illicit mar- kets. The Bolivian Air Force has agreed to provide air transport services for special in- vestigation units. Additionally, the Bolivian Army has made weapons available to the special police force charged with narcotics control efforts and restoration of order in the Chapare. Question 12. About half of the proposed funds for Bolivia are intended for crop eradication. What is the status of the U.S. crop eradication agreement with the Bo livian Government. What results have been achieved and what do you project as the maximum achievable reductions during 1984? For what will these funds be used if the crop eradication program is not fully implemented? Answer. A coca eradication directorate has been formed which will oversee the eradication effort. Given the absence of a security presence in the Chapare, eradica- tion has not yet begun, although several farmers cooperatives willing to cooperate in an eradication program have been identified. Eradication will only become possi- ble when a security presence has been established in the Chapare. Under the project agreement, the eradication goal for 1984 is up to 2,000 hectares, but the ability to reach that goal will depend largely on whether the special police force soon to deploy in the Chapare is able to establish government presence without substantial resistance. Should crop eradication funds not be fully utilized, the funds would be available for reprogramming to other areas where narcotics control efforts dictate a need for additional funds or returned to the U.S. Treasury. 1191 Columbia Question 13. How much coca was cultivated in Colombia 4 years ago? Does the Government of Colombia know the location of the major cultivations of marijuana and coca? Answer. According to the 1980 Narcotics Intelligence Estimate, an estimated 3,000 hectares were under cultivation with coca plants. The Government of Colombia is aware of the areas where marijuana and coca are cultivated. Question 14. The United States and Colombia have signed an extradition treaty. Has the Government of Colombia ever honored an American request for the extradi- tion of a Colombian citizen on drug trafficking charges? Answer. To date, no. Question 15. During the past 3 years, the United States has provided $24 million in direct assistance to Colombia and multilateral banks, in which the United States is the major contributor, have provided over $1.5 billion in low interest or no inter- est loans. At the same time, Colombia has continued to expand marijuana and coca cultivation and now rejects the extradition treaty. In your opinion, has Colombia been a good investment for U.S. taxpayers? Answer. We believe the assistance we have provided the Colombian Government has been a good investment and has been an important factor in contributing to a disruption of the flow of drugs from Colombia to the United States. Under the Be- tancur administration, Colombian anti-narcotics activities have increased as reflect- ed by the high level of drug seizures by the National Police. They have confiscated and destroyed over 3,000 metric tons of marijuana during each of the three preced- ing calendar years, while manually eradicating more than 1,905 hectares of canna- bis and 4,351 hectares of coca. Cocaine seizures totaled 2,475 kilograms and 113 co- caine processing laboratories were destroyed in 1983. On March 11 of this year, the police raided a large complex of cocaine laboratories and seized and destroyed 11 metric tons of cocaine and cocaine base, a world record. The results in terms of drugs seized and destroyed are impressive; they represent perhaps 20 percent of esti- mated total production and trafficking. Question 16. What is the status of the Colombian marijuana/coca eradication pro gram? How effective do you expect this program to be when initiated? If the Colom- bian Government does not follow through on its commitment to the pilot program, what will be the consequences for U.S. narcotics control assistance? Answer. The Colombian Government has decided to embark upon a program to test herbicide effectiveness in eradicating coca and cannabis crops and to determine if herbicides could be applied which do not adversely effect the environment and health. Should the testing program prove that herbicides can be effectively and safely used, the Colombian Government would make a policy decision on whether to undertake a comprehensive aerial eradication program. While we are hopeful the testing program and Colombian decision will present us with the opportunity to co- operate in support of a full eradication program, it would be premature to consider the possible scope or effectiveness of such a program. INM has requested $10.3 million for Colombia for FY 1985, predicated on a favor- able decision on a full-scale eradication program by the Government of Colombia. If the Colombian Government does not initiate full-scale eradication, the narcotics control program would require a much smaller budget. We would explore with the Government of Colombia à different basis for future collaboration. It is presumed that Colombia would continue its manual coca and cannabis eradication programs. Continuation of U.S. assistance to the Colombian anti-narcotic law enforcement effort would be necessary as coca will continue to be transported from Bolivia and Peru to Colombia for conversion into cocaine no matter the effectiveness of an eradi- cation program, if implemented. Question 17. Have the revised United States-Colombian extradition treaty and the new Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty helped to combat Narcotics trafficking be- tween the two countries? Answer. The new United States-Colombia extradition treaty is one of the most modern extradition treaties to which the United States is a party. It contains provi- sions which expressly encompass both trafficking and conspiracy to traffic offenses. In recent months, the United States has requested the extradition of a number of Colombians for narcotics trafficking. So far, the Government of Colombia has denied two such requests and has not acted definitively upon the others. Since the denial of those two requests, the United States and Colombia have been involved in an ongo- ing dialogue with an effort to make the treaty more effective with regard to the extradition of Colombian nationals to the United States. There is currently pending before the Colombian Council of State the internal legal issue of which branch of 1192 that government is empowered to make definitive legal interpretations of the extra- The new United States-Colombian Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty is not in force because it has not yet been ratified by the Colombian Government. If ratified by both governments, the United States hopes that it too will prove to be a valuable law enforcement instrument. Question 18. Other than the pilot program for crop eradication, what other evi- dence do you have of the government's commitment to combat coca and marijuana production and trafficking to the United States? Answer. The increasing seizures and manual eradication activities of the Special Anti-Narcotics Police (SANU) have been described in Answer 15. This unit contains 1,200 officers and men whose salaries and arms are provided from the National Police budget. In addition to the other seizures and manual eradication of coca and marijuana reported above, we again note that, between March 10 and March 16, the National Police raided what was the largest cocaine processing center ever found in any country, at sites near the Yari River in southeastern Colombia, and achieved the largest seizure of cocaine and precursors. As noted above, Colombia's police report the seizure and/or destruction of 14 sophisticated cocaine laboratories, the seizure of 11 metric tons of cocaine and cocaine base, 10,800 drums of precursor chemicals and fuel, numerous weapons, six fixed-wing aircraft and one helicopter. Question 19. Why should we believe Colombian efforts to date to disrupt drug traf- ficking are anything other than token ones? Answer. We believe the Colombian Government is committed to controlling the production and trafficking of drugs and Colombian anti-narcotic law enforcement action is an important factor in contributing to a disruption in the flow of drugs from Colombia to the United States. Under the Betancur Administration, Colombi- an anti-narcotics activities have increased as reflected by the high level of drug sei- zures—especially marijuana-by the National Police. They have confiscated and de- stroyed over 3,000 metric tons of marijuana during each of the three preceding cal- endar years, while manually eradicating more that 1,905 hectares of cannabis and 4,351 hectares of coca. Cocaine seizures totaled 2,475 kilograms and 113 cocaine processing laboratories were destroyed in 1983. While the results in terms of drugs seized and destroyed are impressive, they represent perhaps 20 percent of estimated total production and trafficking. Again, we note that on March 11, the Colombian police raided what was the larg- est cocaine processing center ever found in any country. Question 20. Does the Colombian Government intend to undertake aerial eradica- tion in 1984 of both marijuana and coca corps? When? Are there any topographic or technical reasons why, by 1985 or 1986, aerial eradication of drug crops in Colombia should not be as effective as they were in Mexico starting in 1976? Is there any con- ceivable reason why in 1985 this Committee should not hear that the Colombian Government is undertaking full-scale aerial eradication of marijuana and coca corps? Answer. The Colombian Government has decided recently to embark upon a pro- gram to test the effectiveness of herbicides in eradicating coca and cannibis crops without adverse environmental and health effects. Subsequent to the testing pro- gram, the Colombian Government will decide whether to undertake a comprehen- sive aerial eradication program. While we are hopeful the testing program and Co- lombian decision will be positive and a full eradication program will ensue, we be- lieve it premature to speculate on when an aerial eradication program may be initi- ated or on the possible effectiveness of that program. Mexico Question 21. Since 1973, the United States has contributed over $76 million to Mexican efforts to eradicate and interdict marijuana and poppies for opium and heroin. What have been the dividends for the United States on this sizable invest- ment? What lessons have we learned from the Mexican experience and how is this knowledge being applied elsewhere? Answer. The eradication of cannibis and opium poppy cultivations reported by Mexican authorities and subsequent reduction in marijuana and heroin production demonstrates the dividends to the United States. In 1975 Mexico produced an estimated 6.5 metric tons of heroin and supplied about 87 percent of the heroin imported into the United States. The U.S.-supported Mexican aerial eradication program reduced Mexican heroin production to an esti- mated 1.39 metric tons in 1982, reducing the Mexican share of U.S. illicit heroin imports to approximately 34 percent. At the high point of the eradication program, 1977, approximately 10,000 hectares (24,710 acres) of opium poppy (enough to 1193 produce about 10 metric tons heroin) were destroyed. In the period December 1981 to December 1982, the Mexican Attorney General's office (MAGO) reported spraying 15,956 opium fields totalling 943 hectares and 11,046 cannabis fields totalling 788 hectares. Total eradication during this period, including manual eradication by the Army, is somewhat higher: 1,211 hectares of opium poppy in 22,772 fields. The Mexican program has been undergoing a transitional phase, in which the MAGO has been shifting its strategy to counter tactics by the traffickers, the latter including the growing of crops in smaller, less accessible fields, often at higher alti- tudes. Mexican authorities improved eradication efforts in 1983, reporting the de- struction of 2,472 hectares of opium poppy, double the 1982 level, and eradicating 2,666 hectares of cannibis, three times the 1982 level. The MAGO is now testing a new U.S. crop spraying airplane and boom, which early tests indicate can increase the efficiency of these narcotics eradication programs. The Mexico example shows that if a strong central government decides as a matter of policy to allow the aerial application of herbicide and effective govern- ment control over the countryside exists, an effective eradication program can be conducted. In such case, U.S. assistance in the form of resources, technical aid, and enforcement cooperation can be especially effective in reducing trafficking. Question 22. Is there a foreseeable end to U.S. assistance to the Mexican Govern- ment for crop eradication? Answer. The Mexican Government indicated in the early 1980's wished to assume full finanical responsibility for the program. However, declining world oil prices and a heavy debt burden have created serious long-term economic problems, producing federal budgetary constraints on Mexico. Under these circumstances, Mexico will continue to require U.S. assistance for the foreseeable future to carry on an effective antinarcotics program. Peru Question 23. A key coca producing area is the Upper Huallaga Valley (UHV) lo- cated east of the Andes in the “high sierra" area of central Peru. The Peruvian Government has started a coca control program and, with AID assistance, a rural development program in the Valley. (A) What is the status of this effort? (B) Has it shown any results to date? (C) it has been reported that the Government experienced unforeseen problems in start- ing up the eradication program. What were these problems and how has this affect- ed the program? Answer. During 1983 the coca control effort resulted in the eradication of 703 hec- tares of illicit coca in the UHV. At the same time AID's development project is pro- viding technical assistance and agricultural credit to farmers who participate in the eradication effort. The AID project is designed to provide extension services and ag- ricultural credit to farmers who eradicate coca, and to help promote crop substitu- tion. Initial startup difficulties resulted from a number of factors, including logistics and coordination problems resulting from the division of effort among several differ- ent Peruvian Government entities. Peru's economic problems, compounded by the El Nino disasters, also diverted government attention and resources away from other priorities, including narcotics. With recent personnel changes and new steps to coordinate activities in the areas where both projects are focusing their efforts, the increased availability of crop sub- stitution assistance and extension services should provide more incentive to farmers to eliminate coca cultivations this year. The Caribbean Question 24. Jamaican growers continue to export large amounts of marijuana to the United States (about 15 percent of total illicit imports). Why have you proposed no narcotics assistance to Jamaica? Answer. Both the Embassy and the Bureau for International Narcotics Matters (INM) have had recent discussions with senior Jamaican officials on anti-narcotic matters and have repeated the U.S. willingness to give favorable consideration to a Government of Jamaica request for assistance on a cooperative cannabis control program. The Jamaican Government, however, for its own political reasons, has thus far chosen to take anti-narcotics action chiefly using its own resources. A modest amount of U.S. assistance has been requested and provided to support Jamaica's interdiction efforts, such as training and support of drug-sniffer dogs, which were funded out of the INM training and Latin American regional budgets. Future requests of this nature will be similarly funded. 34-045 0-84-76 1194 Question 25. What progress, if any, has there been in the past year in working with the Jamaican Government to reduce the amount of Jamaican grown marijua- na entering the United States? Answer. The Jamaican Government has recently stepped up its campaign against the marijuana trade, and has intensified manual eradication efforts to destroy can- nabis cultivation and enforcement efforts against trafficking by dynamiting illegal airstrips. Jamaican authorities reported that in 1983, fields with the potential to produce 298.4 MT of marijuana were manually eradicated, 35.4 MT of stockpiled marijuana were confiscated, and 11.36 metric tons were seized. While we are encour- aged by these efforts against production and trafficking, it remains to be seen whether the Jamaican Government will develop a systematic, islandwide program for the eradication of cannabis cultivation. Question 26. Considering the importance of the Caribbean as a transit area for illicit narcotics entering the United States, why does your budget provide less than $900,000 in assistance to these island countries? Answer. Our Latin American strategy should be considered within the context of the role played by the Department of State in the Federal Strategy for Prevention of Drug Abuse and Drug Trafficking. The Federal Strategy for controlling the flow of illicit substances into our country gives emphasis to crop control and interdiction in source countries, interdiction in transit countries and at our borders, and related enforcement activities, including financial and tax investigations, seizures of assets, extradition and mutual legal assistance. The Departments of State, Justice, Transportation and Treasury are part of a net- work of agencies tasked by that strategy to reduce the availability of drugs flowing into our country. These agencies agree that preventing cultivation, suppressing lab- oratories, and destroying illicit narcotics at their sources will ultimately prove to be the most effective means of reducing availability. While interdiction is an important component in the U.S. strategies for the Caribbean, it is an expensive and resource intensive effort which, even with modern technology, has stopped only a small per- centage of the drug flow. We have developed a total Caribbean strategy, not an island by island strategy, that takes into account such variables as the multiplicity of trafficking routes and the flexibility of trafficking operations, which we must match. Rather than building up the forces of a single island nation, a more effective strategy is for U.S. forces to cooperate with as many governments along the major trade routes as possible, giving appropriate assistance where warranted. Thus, our strategy for the Caribbe- an takes into account and complements the interdiction activities of the Drug En- forcement Administration, the U.S. Customs, Coast Guard, and military, which have primary responsibility for narcotics enforcement in that area. The U.S. strategy to interdict the flow of drugs through the Bahamas is based on a joint operation of U.S. law enforcement agencies working with the Bahamian Gov- ernment, rather than on the provision of a substantial commodity program to the GOCB. The National Narcotics Border Interdiction System (NNBIS), DEA, Customs, and U.S. Coast Guard, assisted by U.S. Air Force helicopters work together under Operation BAT to interdict drugs being transshipped through the Bahamas to the United States. The DEA estimates that 10 to 35 percent of the marijuana and 10 percent of the cocaine entering the United States are transported through the Baha- mas. This suggests that the joint drug interdiction effort has been somewhat suc- cessful and that the importance of the islands as a transit point has diminished. In addition, our Embassy in Nassau continues to work closely with and receive the co- operation of the Bahamian government on anti-narcotics matters. INM is prepared to provide commodity support to enhance the Bahamian Govern- ment's capability to work with U.S. agencies in the anti-narcotic effort. Our support, consisting of communications equipment to establish an island-wide Bahamian police radio system, plus other equipment and funds to assist Bahamian law en- forcement agency field operations was included as part of a larger U.S. support package conveyed in a January 20 letter from Admiral Murphy to Foreign Minister Adderley (the letter included the offer of a radar balloon). The GOCB has the letter under advisement; when it agrees to the proposed support, we will begin the process to provide the equipment. Question. 27. The INM Bureau is supposed to oversee diplomatic initiatives to combat international narcotics trafficking? What has the Bureau done in the past year to address this serious problem of off-shore banking in the Caribbean which is used to launder and shelter narco-dollars? Answer. As stated in the Federal Strategy, Department testimony and other docu- ments, responsibility for the off-shore banking aspect of the international narcotics control program is assigned to the Office of the Legal Advisor and the Department 1195 of Justice. INM consults with the responsible attorneys in both Departments, re- ceives regular reports on their activities, and advises them of developments in nar- cotics trafficking. SOUTHEAST ASIA Burma Question 28. Most of the U.S. assistance to Burma is for the purchase, mainte- nance, and replacement of fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters used in eradicating and interdicting poppy crops and refined products. Is this the most effective way for the Burmese government to combat the situation? If so, do you consider the present level of assistance adequate? It has been estimated by some observers that it would take $25 million-$30 million worth of aircraft to have a major impact on opium production. Do you agree? Answer. Most of the opium growing and refining activities in Burma take place in regions which are not under the control of the Burmese Government. Various insur- gent groups control or influence these regions, including ideological revolutionaries like the Burma Communist Party, ethnic separatists such as the Shan, Kachin, and Lahu, and profit-oriented warlord smugglers such as the Shan United Army. These groups have sizable, well-armed forces, and most are involved in opium sales, traf- ficking, or refining of heroin to finance their movements. Military and police action is the most effective way for the Burmese Government to combat the narcotics pro- duction and trafficking activities of these insurgent groups. The central strategy of the International Narcotics Control program in Burma is to help the Burmese increase the mobility and ability of their police and military enforcement agencies to act in narcotic suppression operations. The present level of anti-narcotics assistance provides the Burmese Government with aircraft and com- munications equipment for use in these efforts. We believe that the current level of support is adequate in relation to the overall narcotics control budget. While addi- tional equipment, such as large transport aircraft, might increase the Burmese abil- ity to combat the narcotics activities of the insurgents, such equipment would be justified for reasons beyond purely narcotics objectives. Question 29. How much of a threat is the Burmese Communist Party to the stabil- ity of the central government? Would you characterize the BCP as first and fore- most a political force and secondarily a narcotics organization or vice versa? Answer. Although it constitutes a serious drain on Burma's resources and retards economic development, the BCP does not threaten the Burmese Government's sur- vival or control in the Burmese heartland. The BCP started as a political force, but it has increasingly turned to narcotics to finance its activities. It has become the largest drug trafficking organization in the Golden Triangle, and is continuing its efforts to expand its share of the narcotics trade. Thailand Question 30. What is the status of the Shan United Army? Is it still a viable nar- cotics producing and trafficking organization? Is the Thai Government continuing to pressure the SUA? In what ways? Answer. The Shan United Army (SUA) operational commands have been pushed out of Thailand by the Royal Thai Army, and are now operating inside Burma. The SUA's influence and source of trade and supplies have been affected by repeated Thai Army attacks, but it remains a viable narcotics producing and trafficking orga- nization with refineries and networks in the producing areas within Burma. The SUA's command and operational bases are essentially a Burmese problem now, al- though the Thai Army continues to conduct operations against the SUA when SUA forces venture into Thailand. We understand that a 300-man Burmese Government team was compelled to halt its eradication activities in Tangyan Township, northern Shan State when the SUA trafficking organization threatened retaliation. Question 31. Thailand has a relatively large addict population. What is the scope of the problem? What is the Thai Government doing to address this problem? Answer. The RTG estimates the number of drug addicts in Thailand at from 300,000 to 500,000, but it is the first to say that this estimate is not based on surveys or statistical samplings. There are over 65 approved treatment and/or rehabilitation programs in Thailand, operated by the Ministry of Public Health, Ministry of De- fense, Ministry of Interior, Bangkok Metropolitan Health Department (BMHD), sev- eral Buddhist monasteries, and at least one private therapeutic community operated by a Catholic group in Rajburi. In 1982 the BMHD opened the last three of 17 nar- cotics outpatient detoxification clinics established under the USG's treatment and 1196 rehabilitation project. It is estimated that during 1982 there were more than 45,000 treatment admissions. The Corrections Department has six prisons dealing with drug offenders, most of whom are addicts. The facilities hold some 5,000 drug offenders, and an estimated 8,000 to 10,000 are incarcerated at some time during the year. Thailand is moving toward a more active drug abuse prevention effort. Various programs under the Public Health Ministry, Education Ministry, BMHD, and the Office of the Narcotics Control Board are being expanded. BMHD is developing a more aggressive outreach and early intervention program. We have provided some assistance in these efforts, and the RTG has also asked UNFDAC to provide some funding. Question 32. Marijuana appears to have become an increasingly important com- mercial crop in Thailand. Why? What is the Thai government doing about it? Answer. High marijuana prices offer a get-rich-quick opportunity to a farmer will- ing to take the risks. Farmers are encouraged by an increasingly sophisticated and professional illicit market structure which provides seeds, fertilizers, guaranteed prices, credit and protection to growers. Most Thai cannabis is cultivated in the Northeastern provinces, by far the poorest region of Thailand, where one-third of the population lives, and an area of insurgency for several decades. Marijuana has become a major farm income factor in 12 of the Northeast provinces and production continues to expand to meet market demands. Massive amounts of government aid have been poured into the region, an exten- sive road system has been constructed, and important new crops have been intro duced. The results have been positive, and the central government now seems to be decisively winning the insurgents over to the government's side. Some Thai officials are beginning to recognize the dimension of the marijuana problem and to seek pos- sible solutions. Between 125 and 200 hectares of cannabis were eradicated in 1983 (which would have yielded 300-400 metric tons of cannabis) but the enforcement agencies are hampered by inadequate allocation of resources and manpower. Question 33. The hilltribe populations in Thailand have produced opium for their own cultural and religious use for many years. The Thai Government had indicated that if necessary it would eradicate hilltribe opium crops by force. Has this taken place? If not, why? How much of this opium production moves to the commercial market? Answer. There was some eradication earlier this year in civilian/police/military command areas which have received development assistance. The Royal Thai Army eradicated over 300 acres of opium poppy in Nan Province in January and February 1984. But, the international community continues to press the RTG to enforce its anti-opium poppy cultivation law in areas which have received development assist- Commercial opium production appears to be at a minimum in Thailand, although accurate data are unavailable. Information confirms that some Thai opium reaches the heroin refineries. The number of hilltribe addicts in north Thailand is currently estimated at 35,000 about seven percent of the hilltribe population. The average daily consumption per addict is estimated to be 3.2 grams, placing the annual opium consumption of hilltribe addicts alone at 32 to 40 tons. Recent annual production has been in the range of 35-55 metric tons. ance. SOUTHWEST ASIA Pakistan Committee comment.-Pakistan has evolved from being a primary source of opium for the heroin entering the U.S. market to its current status of being a producer of opium and refiner of heroin for United States and European markets. Due in large part to unfavorable weather conditions, opium production has declined from a high of 800 metric tons in 1979 to a 1983 estimate of 45-60 metric tons. However, the amount of opium flowing into Pakistan from Afghanistan continues to increase. The estimated production for 1983 is 400-575 metric tons of opium. The Pakistani Gov- ernment has extended its ban on opium production into previously uncontrolled or marginally controlled areas, especially in the Northwest Frontier Province-a so- called “merged” area. The government has pledged to enforce its ban on opium cul- tivation in merged areas where developmental assistance is provided. Pakistan has also accepted restrictive poppy clauses which commit the government to keep Question 34. What progress has the Government of Pakistan made this past year in reducing opium production and refining in the Northwest Frontier Province? What are the impediments facing the government? Should U.S. assistance to Paki- 1197 stan be reduced or eliminated if it becomes clear that sufficient efforts are not being made to combat the problem? What do you consider an unacceptable effort? Answer. The decline in Pakistan opium production from an estimated 800 MT in 1979 to an estimated 45-60 MT in 1983 is well documented and generally accepted. While unfavorable weather may have contributed in some degree to this decline, low prices for opium and enforcement measures by the Government of Pakistan were more important factors. Climatic conditions in the opium growing regions of Pakistan differ little from the contiguous growing regions of Afghanistan, where sharp increases in production are believed to be taking place. Weather can affect opium production from year to year, but it cannot be wholly responsible for the long term decline that has occurred in Pakistan over the past 5 years. Farmers' decisions to plant opium or other crops are heavily influenced by opium prices. In 1979, when prices were over $200 per kilo, the incentive to plant was much greater than in 1981, when prices had dropped to about $30 per kilo. In late 1983, prices began showing signs of rebounding, and are now reported to be over $100 per kilo. To the extent that production remains low, and continues to decline, Pakistani enforce- ment and the cooperative efforts of the USAID and INM development projects must be considered key factors in this decline. Late in 1983, 438 acres of newly planted opium poppy were plowed up on Mala- kand Agency of the NWFP-site of INM's crop substitution/development project. Some of the destruction activity was witnessed by U.S. Government personnel. Recent reports indicate that destruction of poppies that were missed in the fall is continuing this spring. The acreage destroyed is significant in terms of the total poppy acreage remaining in Pakistan. The situation with respect to heroin laboratories is more difficult to quantify, because of the clandestine nature of this type of activity. During 1983, 14 heroin labs were reported "surrendered” to officials of the Khyber Agency of the NWFP. However, the paraphernalia delivered consisted of pots, pans and other equipment easily obtained on the open market and thus easily replaced. A simple laboratory to produce low-grade heroin can be set up in any location in hours, and be just as quickly dismantled and moved. There are indications that many lab oper- ators have shifted to locations across the Afghan border, where operations can con- tinue unmolested by NWFP enforcement personnel. Tribesmen along the Frontier are well armed and cantankerous, and in the past have forcefully resisted govern- ment efforts to shut down heroin laboratories. Under these circumstances, the atti- tudes and actions of tribal and religious leaders become as important as enforce- ment. Numerous reports during 1983 indicate that NWFP officials had some success in enlisting the support of these leaders. If heroin production in Pakistan is to be stopped, the forces must come from within the society itself, whether they be based on Islamic injunctions or the simple self interest of keeping Pakistan's youth from the deadly addiction of heroin. The shift in Pakistani attitudes that we have witnessed over the past 18 months to 2 years owes much to the high level representations that have been carried out with Pakistani officials by Congressional delegations, ranking State and Justice Depart- ment officials, other official U.S. visitors. The continuous encouragement of the Ambassador, DEA, INM, and other U.S. Mission personnel in Pakistan has also had its effect. That said, we are still not sat- isfied with enforcement against heroin processors and traffickers in the NWFP. We expect to see arrests and successful prosecutions of major violators in 1984, and sen- tences commensurate with the severity of the violations. We have not been in- formed of any prosecutions under the amended Dangerous Drug Act, which provides sentences of 2 years to life for narcotics trafficking, and will be greatly disappointed if no such prosecutions occur in 1984. Whether or not this would call for a reduction or elimination of U.S. assistance to Pakistan is an open question. Pakistani weakness in enforcement against major heroin producers and traffickers would have to be weighed against their relatively good performance in reducing opium production. Since part of the Pakistani resolve to eliminate narcotics production and trafficking springs from U.S. urging, the ef- fects of which depend substantially on the overall climate of our bilateral relations, any reductions in U.S. assistance could in fact have a negative effect on U.S. narcot- ics reduction goals in Pakistan. Question 35. More than 2 million Afghan refugees are now in Pakistan. How has this contributed to the government's difficulties in combatting opium production and trafficking? Answer. The latest figures (December 1983) indicate there are now 3 million Afghan refugees in Pakistan, heavily concentrated in the Northwest Frontier Prov- ince. Most of the Afghans have no land to work in Pakistan, and thus cannot be 1198 opium producers, but many have become active in smuggling opium into Pakistan from Afghanistan, and in the heroin trade between the NWFP and India. Most are unemployed, in a land where unemployment and underemployment were high before the refugees arrived, and depend on support from the Government of Paki- stan and international donations. They turn to smuggling and narcotics trafficking as an easy way to make large amounts of quick cash, and are willing to undertake considerable risks. While many of the refugees are tribally related to the Pakistanis of the NWFP, some are not. Their movements across the rugged border areas and within the refu- gee camps are nearly impossible for the Pakistani authorities to control or even ob- serve. The religious and tribal controls that function within Pakistani society in the NWFP do not always work with the Afghans. The refugees and their transborder activities are probably an important factor in the continued high level of heroin pro- duction and trafficking from the NWFP. However, the policy of refugee organiza- tions, and of the freedom fighter groups, is to prohibit trade in drugs. Question 36. An integrated rural development project funded by the United States is nearing completion in the Malakand agency. Has the project succeeded in getting farmers to adopt alternative crops and income sources? What kinds of crops are con- sidered viable alternatives to cultivating poppies? Answer. The rural development project in the Malakand agency has had some success in persuading farmers to adopt alternative crops. In addition to the infra- structure development underway, the rural "outreach” component of the project has distributed thousands of bags of improved seeds and fertilizers, and taught farmers to use them properly. Improved wheat and rice varieties are increasing yields; the introduction of peanuts as an oil and food source has been moderately successful. The project has recently distributed 2,000 top grade, U.S.-origin fruit trees and 1,500 rootstocks to farmers in the Malakand for future propagation and grafting. Fruit groves, once established, provide a readily marketable product and income source, and their permanent nature discourages diversions of land for popply cultivation. Farmers think twice before uprooting valuable trees that have taken several years to nurture to full production. No crop substitution programs, however, can fully replace income derived from opium cultivation, and neither the United States nor the Government of Pakistan expects them to do so. With opium prices at their lowest levels, some high value fruit and vegetable crops such as tomatoes or onions, intensely cultivated, can be roughly competitive with poppy. But none of the major field crops, such as wheat, rice, or sugar cane can compete with opium even at its lowest price levels. When opium prices rise, the disparity becomes even greater. No traveler to the NWFP can come away without a lasting impression of the pov- erty of the land, and the pressures that population has placed on it. Tiny terraces are built on mountainsides so steep that the terraces are as high as they are wide. Barren, exhausted soil is visible on all sides, and overgrazing has stripped many mountainsides of their vegetation, leading to near total erosion. The temptation to plant high value opium on the scarce productive land that remains will always be present. The only answer can be continuous and unrelenting enforcement of the opium ban by Pakistan's authorities, a sustained effort to create employment oppor- tunities off the land, and even out-migration of part of the NWFP population, which is already too large to be supported by the available agricultural base. The influx of Afghan refugees has exacerbated existing population pressures, making the NWFP even more dependent on outside assistance from the rest of Pakistan and interna- tional sources. Question 37. The sprouting of heroin laboratories in Pakistan-some experts esti- mate that there are 30 or 40 or 50 heroin laboratories in Pakistan-has been a major problem in recent years. It is one reason why over 50 percent of the heroin on American streets originates in Southwest Asia. The INM request for enforcement assistance to Pakistan in FY 1985 drops to $750,000 from $800,000 in 1984. How is this request supposed to address the problem of heroin laboratories in Pakistan? Answer. INM's budget request for enforcement assistance to Pakistan is deter- mined by balancing the stated needs of Pakistan's enforcement agencies against the perceptions of our own in-country U.S. personnel of how those needs can best be addressed. Expenditures in such categories as training, U.S. personnel support, and provision of vehicles, communications equipment and other commodities therefore vary from year to year. Expenditures in each category are based on an analysis of the capability of Pakistan's enforcement agencies to absorb and usefully employ the U.S. assistance. 1199 While the total enforcement assistance request for FY 1985 drops by $50,000 as compared with FY 1984, it is more instructive to look at where this money is being employed than at the total. For example, more money is being devoted to POL, spare parts and maintenance to keep vehicles already provided in an operational status. The FY 1984 budget included $135,000 for the U.S. advisor who is supervis- ing the communications installation and training program. For FY 1985, costs for this advisor are programmed under the Southwest Asia Regional project. The amount earmarked for local Pakistani technicians to keep the communications pro- gram going has been doubled. The law enforcement program supports Pakistani narcotics interdiction efforts, not only in the Northwest Frontier Province, but countrywide. Joint narcotics task force units and Customs drug cells are funded in trafficking centers such as Karachi and Lahore. The heroin laboratories in the NWFP, the source of most of the heroin, are an important part of this total effort. However, the problems to be faced in eliminating them cannot all be solved by increasing funding from year to year. The most fundamental obstacle to elimination of heroin labs is the continued absence of full government control in the Frontier regions. Encouraging Pakistani officials at both the national and provincial levels to assert effective control over these areas is a continuing U.S. objective, shared by high level executive branch visitors to Pakistan, Congressional delegations, and U.S. Mission personnel in Pakistan. We believe that some progress has been made over the past year in achieving this objective. Statements of officials such as the Governor of the NWFP have become strong and specific regarding the Government's goals of elimi- nating narcotics production and trafficking. The National Government has recently extended narcotics and customs laws pre- viously not applied to the tribal areas of the NWFP, and increased penalties for con- victed narcotics traffickers up to a maximum of life in prison. We are keenly aware that statements and extension of laws in themselves are not an effective answer, and will be closely watching the situation in the NWFP during 1984 to see if these changes in attitudes and legislation are translated into action. We will also be alert for opportunities to fund the demonstrated needs of Pakistani law enforcement agencies engaged in locating heroin laboratories and arresting their owners and op- erators. Question 38. What evidence is there that the Government of Pakistan took serious and lasting steps to close (and not just temporarily disrupt) heroin laboratories in 1983? Answer. During 1983, it was reported that 14 heroin laboratories were "surren- dered” to the government. The equipment thus surrendered consisted of pots, pans and other common utensils adapted for “lab” use, demonstrating again the simplici- ty of establishing and outfitting a functioning heroin lab. Such simple operations can quickly and easily be moved, and we have received numerous reports that lab operators have set up across the Afghanistan border in response to pressures from enforcement authorities, and tribal and religious leaders in the NWFP. We view the "destruction” or “surrender" of heroin labs to be less significant than the arrest and prosecution of their operators, owners or financiers. During 1983, we were not encouraged by the number of prosecutions. Pakistani authorities at all levels have been repeatedly advised of this U.S. concern, and our expectation is that this situa- tion will change during 1984. Arrests, prosecutions and sentences will be a key measure of Pakistani performance during 1984. Question 39. Although dollar figures do not necessarily present the whole story, they do provide a rough guide to general levels of U.S. drug control effort in drug countries. Recent estimates indicate that Southwest Asia provides just over 50 per- cent of the heroin in the United States, Mexico about 35 percent, and Southeast Asia the rest. Yet Pakistan is scheduled to receive only $2 million in 1985 compared to about $9 million for Mexico, $5 million for Burma, and $3 million for Thailand. At first glance, it appears that Pakistan is due to receive a disproportionately small share of American aid sent to heroin source countries. Why? Answer. The narcotics control programs currently underway in Pakistan differ significantly from programs in such countries as Burma and Mexico, where expen- sive aircraft support, and airborne crop spraying programs, respectively, are funded. Thailand's program resembles Pakistan's in the nature and extent of law enforce- ment and crop control assistance. The amount of money programmed for Thailand includes funds to support para-military and military anti-narcotics units deployed to prevent narcotics trafficking in Thailand and across Thailand's land borders. Funds for this purpose are not required for Pakistan, since the type of warlord trafficking groups which operate along the Thai-Burma border do not exist in Paki- 1200 stan. Also, the conditions existing in each of the countries which receive INC assist- ance differ, dictating differing programs and resource levels for each country. The Administration attempts, through the program development and implementa- tion process, to address these problems as the opportunities in the individual coun- tries allow and as country needs dictate, resulting in changing programs and fund- ing levels from year to year. The FY 1985 budget request does not include funds for the Malakand Agency De- velopment Project, the bulk of which was funded in FY 1982-84 (but some FY 1985 funds may be needed to complete this project). A major USAID undertaking, the Gadoon-Amazai Area Development Project, for which $20 million have been allocat- ed over a 5-year period starting in FY 1983, is not reflected in the INM budget. As stated elsewhere, assistance from other countries has been increasing. Turkey Question 40. The FY 1985 request for Turkey provides primarily for enforcement assistance. How do you rate the effectiveness of Turkish law enforcement in combat- ting narcotics tarfficking? Specifically, how will the FY 1985 request improve Tur- key's performance? Answer. The United States has provided $2.2 million to the Turkish National Police (TNP), and $1.3 million to the Jandarma (rural police) since 1980, primarily for vehicles, communications and laboratory equipment purchases. While it is too early to fully evaluate the results of this assistance program, the TNP has an excel- lent enforcement record. The Jandarma is becoming more fully engaged in narcotics enforcement in the border and coastal areas, and the remote eastern parts of the country. Seizures of heroin are of course not the only measure of enforcement effective- ness, but they did rise from 69 kilos in 1982 to 295.6 kilos in 1983. While much of this increase can no doubt be attributed to the efforts of the Turkish police forces themselves, the transportation and communications capability provided by the United States must also have a significant role. Paradoxically, as Turkish enforce- ment against traffickers across Turkey becomes more effective, we may see a de- crease in seizures, as traffickers shift to other, less risky routes. We are conscious of the fact that a point will be reached at which the provision of additional equipment may not produce much marginal benefit. We regularly evaluate the Turkish program and monitor the use of U.S. provided equipment, and there are still significant needs within the Turkish enforcement sector that can be addressed by continued U.S. assistance. The TNP, which has re- cently expanded its narcotics units to all 67 provinces, has a 5-year plan to increase the total number of its narcotics personnel to 1,330 police by the end of 1986, which would nearly double their present strength. With additional personnel come addi- tional equipment demands, and we believe the U.S. assistance program is helping to meet these. Question 41. For many years, Turkey has been an opium smuggling route from Asia to Europe. That being the case, what is the level of cooperation between Turkey and Pakistan in attempting to combat the mutual problem? What has the U.S. Government done in the past year to facilitate such cooperation? Answer. Turkey cooperates fully with Interpol to provide the international narcot- ics enforcement community with intelligence and acts on intelligence from a variety of sources, including DEA. The opium, morphine base and heroin that moves across Turkey comes from a variety of sources, but nearly all of it enters across land bor- ders with Syria, Iraq and Iran, in Eastern Turkey. Some of this opium and its de- rivatives originate in Pakistan, but it is also as likely to have come from Afghani- stan or Iran. Whatever its source, the problem is the same for Turkish enforcement authorities. In addition to cooperation in intelligence, Turkish officials regularly exchange views with their Pakistani counterparts in such fora as the Commission on Narcot- ics Drugs. Both were represented at the recent CND meeting in Vienna. Officials from both countries attended an October 1983 meeting in Athens of the Sub-Com- mission on Illicit Drug Traffic in the Near and Middle East. The United States en- courages cooperation between Turkey and Pakistan just as it does among all friend- ly governments affected by the production and trafficking of narcotics. INTERNATIONAL NARCOTICS CONTROL STRATEGY REPORT Question 42. Would you please explain to the Committee the process by which the International Narcotics Control Strategy Report was prepared? Did you experience any problems of special concern in preparing the report? 1201 Answer. An agreement was reached at interdepartmental meetings involving the Department's regional bureaus and relevant offices, USAID, DEA, and others that INM would take the lead in developing the INCSR. The first step was to elicit infor- mation from the various affected Embassies, a number grown considerably larger than those which normally report narcotics matters as a function of the reporting requirements of Public Law 98-164. Posts were given (a) the text of the amendment, (b) an explanation of the amendment, as understood by the Department, and (c) guidance on preparing reports. This set of three cables was reviewed/approved by the major participating bureaus and agencies. Reporting cables from posts were reviewed by INM, regional bureaus, DEA, AID, and others for guidance in preparing the various chapters. For example, all data were reviewed by the National Narcotics Intelligence Consumers Committee's sub- committee on production, which includes DEA, INM, and CIA. As noted in the INCSR, the data are a mixture of host government, embassy and subcommittee esti- mates. Where needed, gaps in reporting and problems of competing estimates were resolved by direct communication among subcommittee members, who met in both formal and informal review sessions. Similarly, various staffs communicated in formal and informal review concerning the content and sufficiency of narrative re- ports. The majority of reports were reviewed in final draft with Embassies. Copies of the final draft report were sent for review and approval to DEA, USAID, the regional bureaus (AF, ARA, EAP, EUR, NEA) and to other offices and bureaus (H, L, M and T), as well as to Treasury, Defense, and Health and Human Services. Several problems emerged in preparing the report: (1) The time frame was too narrow to permit the kind of planning and assessment which should precede the various kinds of analysis and reporting required. A bill adopted November 10 required a major new report to be developed by February 1, including information on countries not normally in the narcotics reporting loop. Moreover, the reporting period fell over the Christmas holidays, a particular obsta- cle to inter-governmental communication in Latin America. (2) The definitions in Public Law 98-164 required the Department to scan initially information from 46 countries which might meet the reporting requirement; when the reports were analyzed, it was found that 27 countries met the definitions. Still, there was need to develop information on countries which are not major sources of narcotics for the United States, a data build-up that further compounded the report- ing task. (3) Much of the information sought on the impact of economic and military assist- ance is sensitive, in that the information relates to how the bilateral relationship is pursued, pressure applied, etc., necessitating the preparation of a further, classified report (subsequently submitted). (4) Much of the activity related to narcotics control cannot be quantified in terms of hectares or metric tons, e.g., the need to establish a police presence in the Cha- pare region of Bolivia as a prerequisite to any efforts to eradicate coca bushes. (5) The definition of "maximum achievable reduction” is problematic (see below). (6) Much of the data concerning narcotics production, refining, trafficking and consumption is neither as plentiful nor as accurate as the assessments required by the law. Question 43. The requirements for this report make it very clear that it is to in- clude for each country that is defined as a major illicit drug producing country a description of the activities of the United States in international financial institu- tions to combat the entry of illicit drugs into the United States. The report only contains a table on assistance from multilateral banks to major illicit drug produc- ing countries but nothing more. Why was this required information on U.S. efforts in the IFI's not included? Answer. This response was developed in two parts. First, information on the rela- tionship, if any, between funding by Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) and other financial institutions and narcotics control projects was initially included in the economic impact sections of each country report; this information subsequently was transferred to the classified report along with other economic impact informa- tion, for the reasons cited above. Second, an overview statement was not developed in sufficient time to be included it the INCSR, but was provided by Treasury for a hearing before House Foreign Affairs Committee and is part of that hearing record on INCSR. A copy of the statement is attached to this response. Question 44. The report is also required to include a determination of the maxi- mum reductions in illicit drug production which are achievable during the next fiscal year. However, the term “planned or projected reductions” has been used in 1202 the report to describe how well a given country might perform in achieving future reductions. Why was the Congressional required language not used in the report? Answer. Although the statute does not instruct as to the format of the report, nor require that the INCSR use the precise language of the statute, the INCSR closely adheres to the statute. The various sections of the INCSR follow the 11 information requests of the statute, in sequence, and the actual language of the statute is used throughout the INCSR, except that the term "maximum reduction achievable” does not appear. Subsection (eX4) asks the Department to provide estimates of the maximum reduc- tions in narcotics production achievable for each country meeting the definition of a major producing country. The statute defines this maximum" as being determined by “planned reductions" and other information. The estimates used in the INCSR are based upon proposed government actions, also taking into account “other infor- mation” in subsection (e)2) and (3), and the information required of such countries by subsection (f)(1-4), including the nature of the illicit drug production problem, and the climatic, geographic, political, economic and social factors that affect both illicit drug production and crop control. The reporting instructions sent to posts in fact used the term “maximum achieva- ble reduction" and the information provided in the INCSR does, in our opinion, meet the two specific criteria in (e)(4) which define that term. When the final draft was prepared, reconsideration of all possible interpretations of the term led to a con- clusion that it could be misinterpreted to mean that the United States Government concurred that the given estimate was all that a country could do. This would be a false signal, and counter to the continuing U.S. expression to other governments that all source countries can and must do more until this problem is brought under control. Moreover, there is a compelling aspect for reporting "planned reductions.” If there were rival estimates, e.g., the source country government and the Depart- ment, which estimate would be controlling in determining whether a government was taking adequate steps to cooperate with the United States? While the temptation would always be to use the higher estimate, this could pose a problem if the Congress sought to suspend aid to a country based upon its failure to meet a numerical standard which its government believed it could not meet in the first place. The Department has assumed that some consideration was given to this possibility when the Congress chose to include "planned reductions” as its oper- ative criterion. It should be noted that in some instances, e.g., Costa Rica, the De- partment believes the estimate is too low, or, in others like Jamaica, that the re- sponse is inadequate, and these caveats are stated in the INCSR. In sum, the Department chose to use the defining terms rather than the caption term, in a good faith effort to comply with all of the provisions of the amendment. Question 45. For some countries covered in the report, planned or projected reduc- tions are described in terms of hectarage destroyed. In other parts of the report, metric tonnage seized is used as the measure of success. For some countries, no pro- jections of reductions are made. How do you account for these inconsistencies in re- porting Answer. As noted in the INCSR, every effort was made to provide the Congress with the "best available” estimate. The instruction to posts and the request of the NNICC subcommittee was to express production and reduction in terms of both hec- tarage under cultivation, and the equivalent of this production expressed in metric tons. Where possible, both figures were supplied. This was done to give Members the fullest possible reading on production, which requires that the reader know and have an appreciation of different yield factors. For example, the common yardstick worldwide is that one hectare of cannabis produces 1 metric ton of marihuana, but, in Colombia, the estimate is 1.25 MT on average. Similarly, Bolivian and Peruvian coca bushes have higher yields than Colombian, and Bolivian yields per hectare are higher than in Peru. The problem of estimating comparable yields also entered into estimates for Pakistan: while some analysts assume that 1 hectare of opium poppy yields 8 kilograms of opium gum, yield factors range widely throughout the North- west Frontier Province, with some data indicating a yield as high as 24 kilograms. Another reason for reporting both hectarage and yields is to enable readers to compare amounts seized, reported in metric tons, to amounts produced. Seizures are an important measure of success, but, throughout the report, are subordinate to the production and reduction figures. It should also be noted that some countries, like Pakistan, rely heavily on the gov- ernment's cultivation ban, and it is therefore necessary to provide estimates for hec- tarage taken out of cultivation, and to attempt, where possible, to express this 1203 factor in terms of both hectarage and metric tons. Again, the yield factor was a problem, especially in Pakistan, but also in countries where data bases are minimal or non-existent. As noted in the INCSR, uniform data are not available from all source countries, and, in some instances, only one of the two key measures could be supplied. In some countries, however, no estimates could be provided for varying reasons. Mexico's strategy has been to attempt to eliminate all opium poppy and cannabis cultivation spotted. This strategy makes it somewhat difficult to make year-to-year projections. It could be inferred from the report that the Mexican objective in 1984, assuming production equal to 1983, would be to eradicate 4,108 hectares of opium poppy; while it might again eradicate 2,472 hectares, which doubled the 1982 effort, the goal nevertheless would remain eradication of all cultivation. Jamaica presented a different problem: the Government declined to estimate production or reduction for 1984, and there are not sufficient data at present or cultivation, seizures, stock- piles, etc., to permit an independent estimate of how effective the GOJ eradication and anti-trafficking efforts announced for 1984 will be. Question 46. If reductions cannot be achieved, does this necessarily mean that the U.S. program in that country is failing? If not, why not? Answer. The failure to provide estimates on reduction, or, the failure to achieve reductions which have been estimated does not mean that the U.S. assisted program is failing. Each country presents a different case, to be independently evaluated. Not all progress in a country can be measured in statistical terms of hectares or metric tons. For example, the prerequisite task in the Upper Huallaga Valley of Peru, where eradication has begun, and the Chapare region of Bolivia, is to establish law and order. In Bolivia, this has meant recruiting, training and equipping a special police strike force; the current task is for that force to establish a police presence in the Chapare and a sufficiently secure situation which will permit'crop eradication and rural development efforts to proceed. The INCSR and other reports to Congress have amply documented the problems encountered, including the savage killing of policemen in both countries by persons associated with political insurgencies and/or narcotics trafficking organizations. Moreover, as recognized by the statute, numerous factors can affect production, and, implicitly, efforts at reduction, including political, social, economic and even climatic factors. The history of narcotics control shows that weather and price have caused wide fluctuations in production levels. Our objectives include helping these governments obtain sufficient control of production, as in Turkey, so that these upward pressures no longer have effect. But, this requires inter alia effective control of the growing areas-which has not been achieved in Peru, Bolivia, Colombia, Paki- stan or Burma. Question 47. How reliable is the data base used in the report assumptions to es- tablish levels of production and trafficking, domestic consumption, and planned or projected reductions? Answer. As explained in the INCSR (page 19), an extensive effort was made, within a compressed time frame, to provide the Congress with the "best available' data. To do so, the NNICC production subcommittee sharply advanced the time- frame for producing its estimates. There are several problems with the data base; as noted in the report, there are particular problems in estimating coca leaf cultivation and cocaine production, so much so that the subcommittee concluded it could only affirm that coca leaf production levels in Peru and Bolivia for 1983 were at least equal to 1982. Efforts are being made, primarily through surveys, to improve the production data base, which will then permit more accurate assessments of yield and consequently of eradication/reduction. Production data are invariably better from INM program countries, like Mexico, Pakistan, etc., than from countries like Morocco or Argentina. Obviously, data from Afghanistan, Syria and Lebanon, or even Laos, are suspect because the estimates cannot be independently verified. In all cases, production data are more reliable than data on domestic consump- tion; few countries have the requisite epidemiological data for making the latter es- timates. We note that INM is participating through several fora in an international effort to assist other governments, especially in narcotics source countries, in im- proving their consumption estimates. This is especially important from the latter countries, because their domestic consumption drives production to sharply higher levels, thus compounding the control effort. Question 48. In many instances, the report vaguely addresses the amounts of addi- tional U.S. assistance that might be required to effectively achieve maximum reduc- tions in major illicit drug-producing countries receiving U.S. assistance. These esti- 1204 mates are important legislative requirements created to help Congress assess how much assistance may really be required to begin to combat effectively the worldwide narcotics problem. Why was this required information not included in more precise terms in the report? Answer. U.S. assistance for programs to control production is provided directly by INM, or through control-related development projects, by USAID. The report pro- vides very specific data on how much funding is provided from these sources, con- sistent with estimates on production and reduction. In the latter instance, the allo- cations are keyed to. planned reductions. Where discussions are occurring that would lead to a significant expansion of reduction activity, as in Colombia, modified estimates are provided. Question 49. On February 1, the Bureau of International Narcotics Matters sub- mitted to Congress its International Narcotics Control Strategy Report as required by Public Law 98–164. That requirement stipulates that the report contain informa- tion on all types of current and planned U.S. assistance to major drug source and transit countries. Were officials of the Department of Defense--such as the Assist- ant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs or the Assistant Secre- tary for International Security Policy–who oversee U.S. security relationships with foreign countries consulted in the preparation of this Narcotics Control Strategy Report? Answer. The INCSR was developed by the Department of State, in primary con- sultation with the U.S. Agency for International Development, the Drug Enforce- ment Administration, and the members of the National Narcotics Intelligence Con- sumers Committee. The Bureau for International Narcotics Matters (INM) had lead responsibilities for the Department, and acted in collaboration with regional bu- reaus. The other agencies cited in Public Law 98-164 as being required to consult with the Congress on this report were provided copies of the draft report prior to its sub- mission, and afforded opportunities for review and comment. Defense, Treasury, Commerce, Justice and USAID, as well as State, participated in the required consul- tation sessions with the two Committees. Defense was represented in this process by the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manpower, Installations and Logistics. In addition, the INCSR was reviewed and cleared by the Bureau for Politico-Military Affairs in the Department. Question 50. How were Treasury Department or other officials who oversee U.S. representation to international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF consulted in the preparation of the Narcotics Control Strategy Report? What were their views about the use of the U.S. voice in World Bank and IMF deci- sions regarding economic assistance to drug source and transit countries? Did they, for example, support the notion that the United States should approve multilateral financial aid to a country—such as Colombia or Bolivia-that does not take suffi- ciently vigorous steps to control drug trafficking? Answer. Treasury and other agencies engaged in the submission of the report through the process outlined in the preceding answer. Treasury testified on Febru- ary 23 before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and said in part: “For five years, the Treasury Department has worked closely with the Depart- ment of State in identifying development assistance programs, including those of the multilateral development banks, which have an impact on illicit narcotics pro- ducing regions of the world. The MDBs are developmental institutions. Their basic purpose is to help promote economic growth and development in borrowing member countries. For this reason, although their activities are not specifically di- rected at narcotics control, they can have a very helpful corollary effect. These loans have all had a positive economic impact on drug-producing regions of the bor- rowing countries. It is fair to conclude as well . that they have helped efforts directed at reducing or controlling the rate of increase of illicit narcotics production. The MDBs have every reason to support strongly increased efforts to control illicit narcotics production. As important agents for development, they seek to draw people into the licit economies of their borrowing member countries. They cooperate with each other and with other international agencies such as the United Nations Fund for Drug Abuse Control, and our own domestic agencies.' Treasury has declared support for bilateral and miltilateral aid to narcotics source countries. Like State and all U.S. agencies, Treasury is bound by Presidential determinations on bilateral assistance under the provisions of Section 481, as amended by Public Law 98-164, concerning adequate steps by source countries to cooperate on nacrotics control, as well as the provisions of Public Law 86–147 and its successors concerning votes in MDBs on loans to narcotics source countries. 0 . 1205 Question 51. The Cabinet Council on Legal Policy and its Working Group on Drug Supply Reduction have been repeatedly described by the Administration as the focal point for United States' drug control activities. For example, I (Senator Biden) have been told that there is no need to create a single office to coordinate all U.S. drug control programs because the Cabinet Council on Legal Policy already fulfilled this function. In what manner did the Cabinet Council on Legal Policy consider, contrib- ute to, or evaluate the International Narcotics Control Strategy Řeport? What were the views of this Strategy Report of some of the other members of the Cabinet Coun- cil on Legal Policy such as representatives from the Defense, Treasury and Justice Department? Answer. The statute specifies the agencies which must consult with the Congress on the INCSR: State, Treasury, Health and Human Services, Justice, Defense and the Agency for International Development. These were the agencies which reviewed the draft INCSR and (with the exception of HHS) have been invited to testify on the report topics. While these agencies are members of the Cabinet Councils created by this Administration, the statute did not specify formal Cabinet Council involvement and the Councils were not asked as a group to participate in the report. AID's RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Question 1. AID has approved a rural development project in the Gadoon-Amazai areas of the Northwest Frontier Province. What is the status of the project? What are the project objectives? Are they being achieved? How will you coordinate your efforts with those of INM? Answer. The project, obligated in August 1983, has entered its first phase which will provide highly visible benefits such as road repair and construction, potable water systems and schools. Efforts will be made to increase the return to wheat pro- duction (the alternative income source to poppy cultivation) and increase off-farm employment opportunities. The project's objective is to contribute to eradication of opium poppy cultivation in project areas by stimulating broader development opportunities. The Gadoon- Amazai will be shifted from an isolated, poppy-based economy to a diversified agri- cultural and non-agricultural economy linked to Pakistan's national economy. The GOP has committed itself to phased enforcement of its anti-poppy ban in the project area, with elimination of poppies by the 1986–87 crop period. The project is still in the initial phases of implementation. Preparation of demonstration plots of substi- tute crops was completed on schedule. It is proceeding without any major delays. The Gadoon-Amazai project is closely coordinated with the GOP eradication effort carried on with INM support. AID and INM field personnel meet regularly to assure that eradication and development objectives are met. Question 2. In 1984 the Agency for International Development is administering about two programs specifically designed for drug producing regions: one program in the Upper Huallaga Valley in Peru, and one program in the Gadoon area of Pakistan. As a rough estimate, how much money and how many programs is AID adminis- tering in the major drug source countries of Latin America and Southwest and Southeast Asia? Answer. In 1984 AID will be administering three projects which will have a direct impact on the production of illicit narcotics. These projects are the Upper Huallaga Valley Development Project in Peru ($18 million in U.Š. funding, and $8.6 million in GOP counterpart funding); the Chapare Regional Development Project in Bolivia ($14.4 million in U.S. funding, $21.8 million in GOP counterpart funding; an addi- tional $28 million in AID funds are dedicated to projects in the Chapare that are tied to the development effort); and the Gadoon-Amazai Area Development Project in Pakistan ($20 million in U.S. funding, $1 million in GOP counterpart funding). These projects are further described in responses to other questions. In addition, the Mae Chaem Watershed Development Project in Thailand, author- ized in FY 1980, is a 5-year project with total AID funding of $10 million, of which $6.9 million has been obligated. The project's objectives are to protect the water- shed, increase productivity of existing crop land, develop additional lands and cash crops, and provide irrigation works, agricultural credit, extension and research sery- ices to the 40,000 residents of the Mae Chaem Watershed. The Royal Thai Govern- ment has committed to eliminate opium production in the area by the time of the project's completion. The FY 1983 assistance levels in drug source countries in Latin America, South- west and Southeast Asia are as follows: 1206 (Dollars in millions] Amount Projects Narcotics produced Latin America: Belize ........... Bolivia ........ Costa Rica........ Colombia Jamaica $17.0 55.0 184.0 0 82.0 6.0 35.0 5 Marijuana. 19 Coca. 21 Marijuana. 0 26 Marijuana. 18 Marijuana. 34 Coca. Panama ...... Peru ........ Asia: Burma ...... India......... Indonesia ........ Pakistan ........ Philippines....... Thailand 13.8 89.0 71.8 200.0 86.8 21.8 3 Opium. 17 Marijuana. 45 Marijuana. 14 Opium/Marijuana. 30 Marijuana. 19 Opium/marijuana. Question 3. Why is it that only two of these AID programs are directly designed to reduce the production of illicit drugs? Answer. The primary goals for three projects in three countries, the Gadoon- Amazai project in Pakistan, the Upper Huallaga project in Peru, and the Chapare project in Bolivia, include the reduction of illicit narcotics production. In Pakistan, 11 of 14 other AID projects have poppy clauses which prohibit conferring develop- ment benefits on producers of illegal drugs. It would, however, be improper to guage AID's dedication to reducing the production of illicit narcotics by the apparently low number or dollar amount of direct anti-narcotics programs. In Burma, the government does not permit poppy cultivation in those areas it controls. Cultivation continues only in areas held by the Burmese Communist Party, the Shan United Army, or some other insurgent group. AID has no programs of any kind in the opium production region, in part because its personnel would be in jeop- ardy. The Burmese view poppy cultivation primarily as an insurgency problem, and treat it as such. The SRUB regards narcotics-related development as futuristic, given the need first for a military solution and second because of the problems which would be encountered now in development approaches. Other U.S. Govern- ment agencies are properly involved in directly combating opium production in Burma. In general, drug producing regions are sparsely populated and isolated. By con- trast, the bulk of AID programs are located where the bulk of the population of less developed countries is located, so that development assistance can best help meet the basic needs of the majority of the poor. In some areas, the production of illicit narcotics is a development issue. That is, no other crop is feasible for farmers in the area due to soil, climate or water condi- tions. The drug may be used as a medicine or food. In some cases, the use of the drug is a tradition in the culture, e.g., the chewing of coca leaves in the Andes. It is in these instances that AID's development assistance can have an effect on the pro- duction of illicit narcotics by stimulating broader development opportunities, In other cases, narcotics are not a traditional crop. Producers have simply opted for the more profitable illicit drug production over traditional, legitimate crops. In, these instances, provision of development assistance is not a relevant response. Question 4. AID's 1982 Policy Determination on Narcotics says that "it is AID's policy to seek out opportunities to design projects that provide economic alterna- tives to farmers in narcotics growing areas." Leaving aside the AID coca related program in Peru, which had already begun by late 1982, in how many instances has AID met this declared policy to seek out opportunities to design projects that pro- vide economic alternatives to farmers in narcotics growing areas? Answer. In addition to the Upper Huallaga Valley project in Peru, AID has, since 1982, implemented two other bilateral projects to reduce illicit narcotics production: the Gadoon-Amazai Area Development Project in Pakistan and the Chapare Region- al Development Project in Bolivia. Again, as previously noted, there is a condition on the Mae Chaem Watershed Project requiring the Thai to end poppy production in that area, and AID does impose “poppy clauses” on other projects in growing areas, such as in Pakistan. 1207 AID assisted Pakistan in the preparation of the Special Development and Enforce- ment Plan and in its presentation to the Pakistan Consortium in December 1983. This SDEP targets the remaining opium poppy growing areas in Pakistan. An im- mediate goal is to involve other bilateral donors and multilateral donors in anti-nar- cotics efforts. Several donors made expressions of interest at that Consortium meet- ing, and a multilateral development and enforcement action may soon begin. In addition, AID has examined other possibilities to implement narcotics-related development projects. Concerns for the safety of AID personnel in the proposed project areas, or the inappropriateness of providing development assistance have led to the decision not to implement the projects, for example, where narcotics produc- tion is not traditional but is simply a commercial criminal enterprise. As AID identifies opportunities for narcotics-related development assistance to reduce the production of illicit narcotics, we shall make the most of those opportuni- ties. Question 5. In the last year, on what occasions have senior level AID officials, such as the Administrator, discussed U.S. narcotics control objectives with the Sec- retary of State or the Assistant Secretary for International Narcotics Matters? Answer. On appropriate occasions, the Secretary and the Administrator have dis- cussed coordinated efforts against narcotics, but a precise log showing at which of their regular meetings the issue arose is not available. Regular consultations occur at the senior level between AID and INM, both in Washington and in the field where AID and INM personnel are members of the Embassy's narcotics country team. The Counselor to AID, the Acting Assistant Administrator for Program and Policy Coordination, and numerous other officials have had meetings with the As- sistant Secretary INM and Deputy Assistant Secretaries, INM, with whom the AID Director of Strategic Studies also meets frequently. AID's Narcotics Policy Coordina- tor is in regular contact with senior INM personnel. Regional coordinators and country desk officers also take part in regular AID/INM meetings. U.S. CUSTOMS SERVICE'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY SENATOR HAWKINS Question 1. Does the Colombian Customs secure their airfields (and harbors) at night? Answer. We have no information which indicates that the Colombian Customs Service participates in the securing of airfields, landing strips or harbors at night or any other time for the purpose of allowing drug trafficking to take place. Over the years, we have received, and we continue to receive information from various sources that uniformed, armed Colombian military personnel have secured airports and airstrips while airplanes were loaded with drugs. In fact, there are indications that some of these military personnel are actually loading the airplanes in some in- stances. Question 2. Would you give me the answer in writing about your intensified in- spection of the Colombian planes, ships, cargo and passengers, the Colombian initia- tive? Answer. From March 1-March 31, 1984, the United States Customs Service con- ducted intense enforcement against cocaine originating in Colombia and destined for this country. Current estimates: 50-70 percent of cocaine entering the United States is arriving from Colombia. Our initiative intended to meet four objectives: 1. Interdict cocaine. 2. Disrupt the flow of cocaine into the United States. 3. Increase intelligence for later use. 4. Emphasize the high level of U.S. dissatisfaction with the Colombian Govern- ment's lack of enforcement activities against cocaine. All four objectives were met. Our scope was national. The full range of enforcement personnel from Customs regions participated. The intensified effort reached persons, merchandise, and carri- ers arriving directly or indirectly from Colombia by sea or air, and all Customs ports which experienced any Colombian activity. An action plan outlined all practicable activity and defined all actions that U.S. Customs could pursue unilaterally within existing statutes and regulations. The result would maximize impact on smuggling operations yet minimize adverse effects on Customs personnel and operations. A four phase strategy increased pressure week by week. Individual regions and districts retained flexibility to adjust schedules and intensity, considering local fac- 1208 tors within the plan's context. Miami district had long term intensive efforts under- way and thus chose to implement the entire plan immediately and to continue throughout the month. Before the operation, Regional Commissioner Battard and a Customs survey team conducted a Source Country Profile study in Colombia, working in concert with DEA officials in the United States and Colombia. Much of their information and in- sight was used and/or verified during this operation. DEA contributed from this efforts' earliest stages and offered full cooperation and support. Their trolling for additional tactical intelligence met with limited success though one Miami seizure resulted directly from DEA supplied information. DEA expects more information to surface in Colombia over time in the wake of this Customs initiative. A valid mitigating circumstance stems from the fact that virtually all DEA in country resources in Colombia were actively preoccupied with a Colombian Government seizure of 131/2 tons of cocaine in that country. During that first week of March, crew members arriving and departing the United States underwent intensive secondary examinations. In addition, Landed Quantity Verifications (LQV) were performed on all in-bond shipments prior to their movements to the port of destination. In the second week, all Colombian vessels were boarded and searched prior to dis- charge of crew, passengers and cargo. All discharged cargo was LQV'ed and received 100 percent examination. At this stage, more Customs professionals became in- volved. Canine teams searched vessels, cargo and baggage; Patrol officers performed vessel searches and conducted surveillances; and Inspectors supervised stripping cargo containers and tightened all examinations, especially bulk cargo shipments of bananas and coffee. Also at this stage, Inspectors and Special Agents stepped up outbound currency examinations (COČET). During the third week of the operation, it expanded to full devanning and con- tainer stripping of cargo. By the fourth stage of the program, all passengers, crew, cargo and vessels sub- mitted to intensive examination. Poor yield from bulk cargo shipments (bananas and coffee) examination sapped resources; we discontinued this pursuit. Bulk cargo is very labor intensive. When these time-consumers generated no seizures, we refo- cused more energy on general merchandise and loose breakbulk shipments. After the four major stages, our successes warranted continuing intense passenger and crew examination for two more weeks. Cargo and COCET phases would contin- ụe based on informed targeting and selectivity. Many seizures occurring during the operation sharpened our perceptions to target suspect shipments more readily. Two cocaine seizures made at New York and Miami involved the narcotic mixed with alcoholic beverages accompanying arriving passengers. We now know that any liq- uids arriving from Colombia could contain cocaine, so all regions have been field testing these liquids. Examining bulk cargo proved to be a fruitless effort. However, it delayed ship- ments and forced the commercial community as well as the Colombian Government to heed the serious concerns of Customs. Several meetings took place during the op- eration at Customs Headquarters with representatives from the Colombian Embas- sy. U.S. Ambassador Lewis Tambs was constantly briefed on the operation's progress. He was most supportive. Seeing this, many carriers expressed their desire to help stem the flow of narcot- ics into the United States. They realize that their vessels and aircraft are often ex- ploited by narcotics traffickers; their cooperation with Customs could avoid costly delays and conveyance seizures. The following is a list of seizures and their locations from March 1-April 2, 1984: Total seizures: 90. Currency: $1,717,588. Cocaine: 1,721.2 lbs. Heroin: 1.6 lbs. Marijuana: 213,106 lbs. Stowaways: 20. Handguns: 1. False passport: 1. Ether: 88,000 lbs. Location: Miami-53_seizures; New Orleans—4 seizures; New York—6 seizures; Logan-1 seizure; San Juan-5 seizures; Los Angeles—4 seizures; Gramercy, La.-1 seizure; Houston-3 seizures; Tampa-1 seizure; Fort Myers-1 seizure; Sylvania, Ga.—1 seizure; Labelle, Fla.—1 seizure; Lafayette, La.-i seizure; Calexico-1 sei- zure; San Ysidro—3 seizures; Nogales—1 seizure; Champlain—1 seizure; PDN Bridge—1 seizure; Rio Grande City-1 seizure; and Atlanta-1 seizure. 1209 Question 3. Also, has the drug threat from Colombia increased or decreased in the last year? Answer. From the viewpoint of the Customs Service, the threat has increased in the last year, as it has done for the past several years. Colombia is the largest sup- plier of two major drugs, cocaine and marijuana, smuggled into the United States. Current estimates indicate that Colombia supplies between 50 and 70 percent of the cocaine and approximately 90 percent of the marijuana smuggled into the United States. These percentages equate to between 62,500 and 87,500 pounds of cocaine, and approximately 24 million pounds of marijuana. The final retail (street) value of these drugs is believed to exceed $28 billion. Seizure statistics over the last 6 months indicate that of those cocaine seizures reporting country of origin, over 40 percent came from Colombia, representing over 60 percent of the cocaine seized in this same category. The increase in the threat of cocaine from Colombia is graphically illustrated by the seizure of 13.8 tons on March 10, 1984 at a processing plant in Colombia. DEA estimated the street value of this seizure in the United States would be $1.2 billion. Only 5 or 6 years ago most knowledgeable law enforcement officers would have scoffed at the idea of 1,000 pounds of cocaine stockpiled at any single location in the world. [Whereupon, at 1:03 p.m., the committee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (EAST ASIAN AND PACIFIC AFFAIRS) THURSDAY, MARCH 22, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON EAST ASIAN AND PACIFIC AFFAIRS OF THE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:15 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Frank Murkowski (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senator Murkowski. Senator MURKOWSKI. I call this hearing to order. The Subcom- mittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs is meeting today to dis- cuss the foreign assistance budget for Asia and the Pacific basin. The Honorable John Melcher, my colleague from Montana, is with us as a witness today. He will be followed by the Honorable Paul Wolfowitz, Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs of the State Depart- ment, Mr. James Kelly, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Depart- ment of Defense, and Mr. Charles W. Greenleaf, Assistant Adminis- trator for Asia, Agency for International Development. I have a short statement that I intend to make at this time. Then I will call on my colleague, Senator Melcher. This morning we are going to have the opportunity to explore in detail the administration's request for economic and security assist- ance to East Asia and the Pacific. The administration's current re- quest for the region is approximately $793 million, an increase of 13.1 percent over this year's allocations. That amount represents about 5 percent of the administration's worldwide budget. In com- parison, the area represents 36 percent of the world's population. We, of course, cannot overestimate the importance of Asia to our Nation. The region contains two of the most important overseas trading partners of the United States, Japan and the six countries which make up ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations). U.S. security is tightly linked to Asian affairs. American soldiers have fought and died in the Pacific region in three wars in the last four decades. We must, as a Pacific power, assign a high priority to our rela- tionships with the countries of Asia and the Pacific. We must pursue economic progress and commercial interests. We must iden- tify and contribute constructively in appropriate ways to political (1211) 1212 , evolution and change in the region. We have no choice. Asia's future is our future. Today we will hear, as I have indicated, from Senator Melcher, who visited the Philippines last December. He asked to make a report to this subcommittee on his findings, and we look forward to the At approximately 10:30, we will invite a panel of administration witnesses to testify. Among those, as I have indicated, is Paul Wolfowitz, Assistant Secretary of State, Jim Kelly, Deputy Assist- ant Secretary of Defense, and Charles Greenleaf, Assistant Admin- istrator, Bureau for Asia, Agency for International Development. We are looking forward to hearing about the U.S role in Asia from our witnesses and how our assistance programs contribute to U.S. policy in the region. Let us begin. Senator Melcher, would you please proceed with your testimony on your trip last December to the Philippines. It is a pleasure to welcome you this morning before the Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs. Please proceed. STATEMENT OF HON. JOHN MELCHER, A U.S. SENATOR FROM MONTANA Senator MELCHER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. My thanks and gratitude go to this subcommittee for allowing me to testify. The United States has intertwined itself with Filipinos and their Philippine Islands for more than four score of years. Of the more than 7,000 islands, 426 are inhabited. They were ruled by Spain for three and a half centuries. The Filipinos fought a war of revolution against Spain. When at the turn of the century Admiral Dewey entered Manila Harbor to vanquish the Spaniards there, the Filipinos mopped up the remnants of Spanish domina- tion from Luzon to Mindanao. So we began with a delightful and intelligent people, an alliance with an Asian land that has been mutually beneficial in trade and cultural exchange. Filipinos have served in our armed forces during all of this cen- tury. The Philippine Armed Forces have been involved on our side in every war we have engaged in during this century. We have with them a military-strategic partnership vital to the non-Commu- nist countries of Southeast Asia. It is that mutual defense agree- ment that I wish to discuss with the committee today. After our withdrawal from Vietnam, our only outpost in South- east Asia is the Philippines. Cam Ranh Bay ship servicing and repair facilities became available for the Russian fleet, as well as the airfield facilities we had built in Vietnam. Clark Air Force Base near Manila and Subic Bay provide our only strategic air force and naval bases in this vast area. These bases are strategic and vital to our military posture in this vast area of the South Pacific Asian region and therefore vital to our allies of the area. Without them, there can be no significant bal- ance to the Japanese, South Korean, Philippine, Hawaiian forma- tion of our Asian Pacific defense posture. Guam, with the Anderson 1213 Strategic Air Command Base, is 1,600 miles toward Hawaii. Our link to Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean is the Philippines. The 5-year rental agreement with the Government of the Philip- pines has been finalized at a time when their government was be- sieged with political unrest caused by the Aquino assassination and the illness of President Marcos. The facts of the assassination of last August are under investigation by the Agrava Fact Finding Commission. President Marcos' incapacity because of ill health seemed to be overcome when I visited the Philippines and consult- ed with him last December. The Marcos regime for most Filipinos has been considered to be a successful 20 years of economic progress that of late has become uncertain from questions of infringements on political freedoms. The test of the soundness of their political system will occur in their May 16 parliamentary elections. I have had an exchange of letters with President Marcos earlier this year where I expressed common apprehensions here in Con- gress of erosions in Filipino freedoms, and I attach both my letter of January 19 and President Marcos' response of February 11 to this testimony Senator MURKOWSKI. They will be entered into the record at this point. [The material referred to follows: U.S. SENATE, Washington, D.C., January 19, 1984. Hon. FERDINAND E. MARCOS, President, Republic of the Philippines, Manila. DEAR MR. PRESIDENT: My wife and I, as well as my staff members and Major Mat- tingly, our Air Force escort, appreciated the opportunity to meet you and Mrs. Marcos and thoroughly enjoyed our visit and the luncheon with you at Baguio City. The hospitality of yourself and the Cabinet ministers that we met with and all of the people of the Philippines with whom we came into contact was warm, friendly and encouraging, much beyond our expectations. The historic U.S.-Filipino alliance through 80 years and four wars must be sus- tained and strengthened. I believe we can. As we discussed at Baguio, I saw our goals for our visit to be twofold: First, the use of food aid from the United States to the Philippines to meet urgent and imme- diate needs, to be followed by long-term concessionary and barter trade arrange- ments. Secondly, a need to enhance joint defense efforts between the U.S. and the Philippines, recognizing the strategic importance of the Philippines for our mutual interests and the defense of Southeast Asia. I am more convinced since our visit to your beautiful land that these two goals were not only correct but that they also need the urgent attention of the U.S. Congress and government. Following our meeting with you, Mr. President, on December 16 at Baguio, I met with Cardinal Sin on Saturday, December 17, and on the following day, which was Sunday, December 18, I met with UNITO and other opposition leaders including Doy Laurel, Speaker Jose Laurel, Fernando Lopez, Ambroca Padilla, Soc Rodrigo and Eva Kalaw. On December 20, I met with Minister Tanco, U.S. Aid officials, rep- resentatives of the U.S. Embassy, Catholic Relief Services, CARE, and some Philip pine business interests to discuss an Aide Memoire regarding short term and long term food aid from the United States. I delivered that Aide Memoire to U.S. officials on my return here to Washington, and I believe it will receive a favorable response. A letter from Cardinal Sin dated December 27 to Ambassador Mike Armacost has been considered here in Washing- ton by government officials and I have urged that it be approved very quickly. This December 27 proposal by Cardinal Sin is somewhat distinct from the Memoire, call- ing for immediate authorization by the U.S. for food assistance, but is very essential since it could provide food assistance to a great number of unemployed families within a matter of days. I met with Assistant to the President for National Security affairs Robert C. McFarlane on January 17. I specifically asked that the U.S. agree to the Cardinal's 1214 letter requesting 30 metric tons of rice to replace a like amount purchased by the Philippine government for immediate food aid to unemployed families be confirmed by cable to the U.S. Embassy in Manila within the next 48 hours. I stressed to Mr. McFarlane the importance of food aid and mutual defense efforts between the Phil- ippines and the United States which you and I have previously discussed. Because it is of mutual advantage both in the short term and the long term for the Philippines and the United States to follow through on the food aid, trade and defense agreements it might appear, Mr. President, that in a timely manner these goals will be accomplished. However, as I made clear in a public news conference in Manila on December 21, there are questions about the credibility of the current Philippine government policies that must be answered. Inquiries have been made by Members of the U.S. Congress and by the American public. I am asked, Mr. Presi- dent: (1) If I can assure the integrity of the Philippine Parliamentary elections in May; (2) If I can assure the democratic individual freedoms common to both the people of the Philippines and the people of the United States; (3) If I can assure that Amendment Number 6, giving special extraordinary powers to you as President as well as special provisions for presidential arrests, will be revoked. The morning before we left the Philippines, I had the pleasure of a lengthy break- fast and visit with General Ramos, your nephew, whom you will recall we had the pleasure of first meeting in your presence at Baguio. General Ramos' reputation here with our military leaders, some of whom graduated as classmates with him from West Point in 1950, is of the highest caliber. I have been disappointed and con- fused to learn that his direct control of the Constabulary now and during the May Parliamentary elections is no longer clear-cut. I am well aware of the demands made by Unito and other opposition leaders to assure their active participation in the May elections. While I do not seek to intrude myself in the affairs of your government, Mr. President, I must be very candid and forthright and tell you that most or all of these points were raised with me in the meeting I had with opposition leaders on December 18 and that many of these same points have been urged on me by busi- ness, professional, and church leaders. I wish to do everything possible to persuade our Congress and our government to move immediately on the matters of our mutual interest, but my credibility in being persuasive hinges directly on the Philip- pine government's credibility on these very points that the opposition raises. The common bond that has closely allied our two countries has been the assured ad- vancement of democracy for individual freedoms. I encourage you, Mr. President, to give this letter your thorough consideration and prompt response. Best regards. Sincerely, JOHN MELCHER, U.S. Senate. MALACANAN PALACE, Manila, February 11, 1984. Hon. JOHN MELCHER, Senator, U.S. Congress, Washington, D.C. DEAR SENATOR MELCHER: Your visit with us last month gave Mrs. Marcos and me some of our most pleasant moments in the New Year and a welcome opportunity for some key officials in our government to take a close look at certain important as- pects of current Philippine US relations. I appreciate the emphasis you placed during our conversations on U.S. Food Aid to the Philippines, long-term concessionary and barter trade arrangements, and the value of joint defense efforts by the Philippines and U.S. governments in the context of strategy for the defense of Southeast Asia. With respect to food, you are of course aware of the Phillippine government's resolve to pursue the successes in its pro- gram of self-reliance, and I am confident that the question of food aid in any area where it may have some relevance will be accorded the proper perspective. It is good to learn of your meetings with leaders of the political opposition because this assures me that you went away with a fuller insight into the Philippine govern- ment's programs and policies in response to the country's peculiar conditions and requirements. I am grateful for the pains you have taken to convey to me the concern that seems apparent in inquiries you say have been addressed to you by some members of the U.S. Congress and "the American public.” I wish to assure you and through 1215 you the interlocutors you have cited, that the parliamentary elections on May 14 will have the fullest measure of integrity-comparable, I must say, to the high re- spectability which American citizens are accustomed to see in their own elections- and that the individual freedoms, which had been ours to enjoy even before Admiral Dewey's troops came to the Philippines, will receive continuing protection by our government. If there is any doubt about this as a result of mythical events recounted with strange relish and outstanding inventiveness by some sectors of the American media, I shall be deeply indebted to you if you could find an occasion to bring our devotion to democratic principles to the awareness and appreciation of those who have preferred thus far to regard us with skepticism. The uneasiness conveyed in your letter over Amendment No. 6 to our Constitu- tion and over provisions in our laws for "Presidential arrests” can only be a mani- festation of an unbelievably durable lack of knowledge of Philippine conditions de- spite all the information communicated by us to the world through all forms of media. Amendment No. 6 reads: “Whenever in the judgment of the President (Prime Minister), there exists a grave emergency or a threat or imminence thereof, or whenever the Interim Bata- sang Pambansa or the Regular National Assembly fails or is unable to act adequate- ly on any matter for any reason that in his judgment requires immediate action, he may, in order to meet the exigency, issue the necessary decrees, orders, or letters of instructions, which shall form part of the law of the land.” It is an attempt on the part of liberal-thinking constitutionalists to avoid resort- ing to what is referred to in Constitutional Law as the Commander-in-Chief provi- sion, found in Section 9 of Article VII of the Philippine Constitution, which is as follows: "Sec. 9. The President shall be Commander-in-Chief of all Armed Forces of the Philippines, and whenever it becomes necessary, he may call out such Armed Forces to prevent or suppress lawless violence, invasion, insurrection, or rebellion. In case of invasion, insurrection, or rebellion, or imminent danger thereof, when the public safety requires it, he may suspend the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus, or place the Philippines or any part thereof under martial law." It is noted that the power embodied in the Commander-in-Chief provision involve the: (1) Calling out of the Armed Forces; (2) Suspension of the privilege of the Writ of Habeas Corpus; (3) The proclamation of martial law throughout the Philippines or any part there- of. Amendment No. 6 on the other hand is a provision meant more for an emergency condition caused by inaction on the part of the Batasang Pambansa (The Parlia- ment) whether for lack of time or any other reason. An example would be the case of Presidential Decree No. 1896, which was issued under the authority Amend- ment No. 6, providing for the registration of all voters in the Philippines. The mem- bers of Parliament agreed in caucus that they had no time to work out the details but agreed on the basic essentials and requested the President to issue a decree after the adjournment of the Batasang Pambansa for the Christmas season. Inciden- tally, it was the opposition that insisted on the new registration of all voters in the Philippines, whether already registered or not. There are, by the way, provisions in existing law concerning crimes which are the object of so-called “Presidential Arrests." I refer to the Anti-Subversion Law, the original Republic Act 1700, as amended, and the Revised Penal Code which contains provisions on the penalty to be imposed for the crimes of sedition, rebellion, insur- rection and conspiracy or attempt to commit these crimes. I point this out because the elimination or amendment of Amendment No. 6 will not change the substance of the existing Anti-Subversion Law or the provisions of the Revised Penal Code. Incidentally, the power to issue a preventive detention action has been suspended by me in an order to the Minister of National Defense, the Minister of Justice, the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, and the Chief of Constabulary dated January 23, 1984 which provides that no request for such preventive detention action shall be entertained from December 1, 1983 to June 1, 1984. To.conclude, there are instances where the President may exercise his emergency powers but, acting with prudence, he may be unwilling to call out the armed forces, or suspend the writ of the privilege of habeas corpus, or proclaim martial law. Amendment No. 6 grants him the alternative of merely submitting this matter to the courts immediately or of issuing an order which would stop a suspected individ- 1216 ual from engaging in what the evidence has shown to be any of the crimes of sedi- tion, rebellion, insurrection, or conspiracy or attempt to commit these crimes. Such alternative would be parallel to the action taken by President Lincoln, after the attack on Fort Sumpter at the start of the American civil war, when he ordered the arrest of some persons indentified by the military as participants in prepara- tions for the civil war against the union. He refused to release these persons not- withstanding the order of the Supreme Court, believing that his duty as President required such actions as may be necessary to preserve the Union of the United States. He also appropriated funds for additional Federal troops and for the railroad without the approval of Congress. The Federal Constitution does not have a Commander-in-Chief provision nor does it authorize the proclamation of martial law, the suspension of the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus by the President alone, or the calling out of the federal troops in cases of civil disorders (notwithstanding which the national guard marched in full battle gear during a riot at Kent University and killed four students). I reiter- ate this precisely to show that it was to avoid having to use this extreme power of the Commander-in-Chief that Amendment No. 6 was adopted because it is a more benign and more just measure and at the same time it ensures swift and efficacious suspension of acts prejudicial to the stability of the State. In view of the prudence implicit in Amendment No. 6, one cannot possibly fail to notice that the decree-making power granted under its authority is less than that of the President of France, whose power as such gains even more force and scope on account of the fact that he is at the same time the presiding officer of his country's highest tribunal. I am puzzled by your statement that Lt. General Fidel V. Ramos has lost direct control of the Constabulary. As it happens, Gen. Ramos is the Chief of Constabulary (Full title: Director-General of the PC-Integrated National Police), a position from which he had not for one moment been estranged since he came to it. I fully agree with you about the excellence of his reputation; I need not declare, therefore, that precisely because of that I have no intention to take away his control of the Con- stabulary I am delighted by your reiterations of solicitude and note with understanding your desire to satisfy some friends in the U.S. Congress and in the Philippine oppo- sition that there is no reason for their doubts and fears to linger. I assure you that events in the future will fully demonstrate the validity and the democratic quality of the policies and measures with which we are striving to promote the welfare of the Filipino people. You will recall that I fought in a war for freedom and nearly lost my life in numerous battles of that war, battles, I must say, to which Filipino soldiers were drawn to defend the American cause. Having made that recollection, you will, I hope, be encouraged to consider that democracy is safe in this country among our people, withstanding the alarums from some quarters. Please visit with us again. Sincerely, FERDINAND E. MARCOS, President of the Philippines. Senator MELCHER. Filipinos speak English because it is the lan- guage taught and spoken in all of their schools, colleges, and uni- versities. Tagalog is the native dialect of Manila and the language common to all their islands, although different provinces have a variety of dialects. They are a people of diverse cultures, reflecting centuries of mixing nationalities of the islands of the Pacific and mainland Asia. Their struggle of independence from Spain and from the 3-year occupation of Japan during World War II is reflected in their strength of tested character and their pride. The Filipinos are a proud people, Americanized by choice, loyal to their friends and particularly loyal to the United States. The economic world recession has found them with their money devalued and a $25 to $30 billion foreign debt, which is not an over- whelming debt for a nation of 50 million people, with a trade defi- cit averaging $3 to $5 billion per year. 1217 The base agreement of $180 million rental payments per year is a modest amount compared to the payments of $502 million to Greece, $934 million to Turkey, and $415 million to Spain, each of which are assumed to be paid annually as long as we have bases in those countries. I found strong dissatisfaction with this current 5-year Philippine agreement within the Philippine Government and a strong feeling of our military that the Philippine Government dissatisfaction would hamper cooperative mutual defense arrangements with them. Any suggestions to further restrict or infringe on the payments of the rentals as due would be intolerable to the Philippine Govern- ment and their business community. While their decision will prob- ably be to use as much of the money as possible immediately for relief of their pressing dollar shortage, Filipinos rightly view that to be their decision, not ours. They are allies, trading partners, and friends. They need not be subservient to hasty, patronizing, uninformed, and misguided views of others outside their country. I urge this committee to quickly propose that our Government immediately schedule payments due on the base rental agreements and reopen the discussions to augment the agreement to realistical- ly arrange for a sounder mutual agreement. That agreement should recognize the value we receive for use of these bases is understated. Better base perimeter security is essen- tial. A closer and more compatible interworking of our Armed Forces has been restrained because of on-again, off-again negotia- tions that have been strained and become antagonistic. That is not necessary and should be corrected by the reopening of the terms of the agreement. I urge this committee to investigate these matters and make corrections. In addition, I am submitting a summary of a recent China-Philip- pine agreement to enhance their joint commitments. I believe we should note and contrast our benign neglect of U.S.-Philippine policy with a more vigorous effort by the Chinese toward the Phil- ippines. [The material referred to follows: CHINA-PHILIPPINE AGREEMENT January 1984, China and the Philippines agreed to an eleven-point package of aid and trade that now gives China an important leg-up in the Philippines that they have never had before. The PRC-Philippine agreement contains the following provisions: (1) an agreement to increase trade by $500 million over current levels. (2) an agreement for the Bank of China to place $40 million in the Central Bank of the Philippines, and to extend a line of credit for the purchase of $20 million of products other than oil. (3) increase a current deferred payment program to the Philippines for the pur- chase of oil in the amount of $140 million. (4) Chinese offer to intercede on behalf of the Philippines with the International Monetary Fund to get the best deal possible. (5) an offer to have the Chinese Premier speak to President Reagan during his U.S. trip on behalf of more assistance for the Philippines. (6) an offer by the Chinese government to speak to Japanese Prime Minister Na- kasone on behalf of more aid for the Philippines. (7) a scientific and technological agreement to cooperate on seven projects. (8) the establishment of a cultural exchange program. 1218 (9) a contract for the construction and management of a $50 million hotel in China. Philippines to put up $2.2 million. (10) a proposal to have Philippine Air Lines fly into China. (11) an offer to have the PRC take part in unnamed future joint ventures with the Philippines. Senator MELCHER. Mr. Chairman, I would like to enlarge on my statement of benign neglect. It is true that the basing agreements were finalized last summer. It is also true that there has been no sense of urgency on the part of either Congress or the administra- tion to make certain that, at the time of extreme economic distress in the Philippines, that we begin those payments on the terms that were obtained in the agreement. It is also true that the agreements were not satisfactory when fi- nalized and that dissatisfaction arises from the Government of the Philippines and, frankly, with our military commanders, because the cooperation of the nature that we seek in this vast area of the Pacific with the Philippines is simply hampered and hindered by that dissatisfaction. I mentioned just briefly the fact that a better perimeter of security is needed, and that is evidence of that dissat- isfaction. I have enclosed for everybody's review a map of the area, just to put into the right context where the Philippines are in relationship to Russian forces and where they are in relationship to our overall view of how we defend the Pacific. I might state that how we defend the Pacific is extremely impor- tant to all of our allies. Senator MURKOWSKI. Excuse me, Senator. The papers have just been passed out and there has been a little bit of turmoil in the back of the room. I would ask that the audience refrain from dis- cussion. Senator, please proceed. Senator MELCHER. The map places into the proper perspective how important it is to our allies, and particularly Japan, in the Pa- cific that we have secure arrangements for the vital shipping straits in Southeast Asia. Japan, with its heavy dependence on oil coming out of the Per- sian Gulf, needs placidity and peace in those shipping straits or their industry would be brought to a halt almost immediately. That is only one example, but there are many more. I think the opportunity for this subcommittee to perform a vital service to our relations with the Philippines is with us right now. I would like to mention that I am not throwing out as an idle thought the enhancement and augmentation of those base agree- ments. I think it is absolutely essential that we consider that, and the proper form for that consideration here in the Senate lies with this subcommittee and the full Foreign Relations Committee. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I would be glad to answer any questions that I could. Senator MURKOWSKI. You have suggested, Senator, that this sub- committee reflect on the appropriateness of reopening the terms of agreement that have been reached with regard to the utilization by our Government of the bases in the Philippines. You also have ac- knowledged that agreement has been reached. 1219 You are aware of a letter to the President, sent to President Marcos, indicating payment of some $900 million over 5 years on a best efforts basis, which is basically under discussion and consider- ation today. Do you have any specific recommendations, Senator, that you would like to see consideration given to? Senator MELCHER. I think it is apparent, first of all, that the Philippine Government and the business community in the Philip- pines desperately need dollars. I think the arrangements to follow immediately are the exact arrangements that have been provided for in the agreement. I am very apprehensive that discussion in the House committee seems to indicate that we should put conditions on those payments in terms of what is our best thinking on the political events in the Philippines. I find that, frankly, however well intentioned those ex- pressions of concern may be, that would be antagonistic and insult- ing, not just to the Philippine Government under President Marcos, but it would be insulting to the entire Filipino people. There is political turmoil of some extent, perhaps exaggerated in news accounts, occurring in the Phillipines. That political turmoil is of an internal nature, rising out of the dissatisfaction with the government's explanation of the Aquino assassination. To the credit of the Philippine Government, the Agrava Fact Finding Commission is recognized as being independent of the gov- ernment, and the criticism that now exists in the Philippines of the efforts of that Commission relates itself to whether or not the gov- ernment, and particularly the Armed Forces of the Philippines, are fully cooperating with that Commission. That is an internal dispute and one which I have some concern for also. But I do not recommend that we as a government and as a Congress intrude, as a bull in a china closet, to dictate under the terms of the base agreement what is supposed to be the result of the Agrava Fact Finding Commission on that very regretful Aquino assassination. Mr. Chairman, I point out that I am not entirely satisfied with all of the commissions we have had and the studies we have had by Congress over the Kennedy assassination that occurred in 1963, and I suspect there are Filipinos who have the same feeling, share that same feeling, that there must be something else that has not been turned up in terms of President Kennedy's assassination. But they are not intruding into our affairs, other than to the extent of worrying about it, as some of us still do, whether we know all the facts. For us, within a few months after the rather dastardly killing of Senator Aquino in Manila, I think it is rather farfetched for us to be advised by a group in the House that we should set some sort of new terms on the payment due on the rental of those bases. So that is the first point. Second, since the base agreement was arrived at, unfortunately a continuation of this 5-year negotiation process—it has been unsatis- factory in the past to some of the Filipino people and it certainly is unsatisfactory right now as it stands not just with the government, but with the business community of the Phillipine Islands. And we should try to rearrange some of those aspects into more agreeable conditions. 1220 The question of having to deal with this every 5 years means that, in effect, our military is told: Well, when we get the basing agreements finalized, maybe we can do something about moderniz- ing the facilities at Clark Air Base or at Subic. And that is an on- again, off-again approach that is not very constructive to some planning of military operations. Finally, I think it has to be noted that we do not have any other outpost in Southeast Asia to base our overall plan for Pacific de- fense other than the Clark Air Base and at Subic for the Navy. So those are the words of wisdom that I have to offer. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you, Senator. I would like to draw to your attention my understanding of the administration's proposal for Philippine assistance, and that of the House. The totals are the same, but the mix is different. The House has chosen to eliminate foreign military sales entirely and add that sum to the economic support fund. I would like briefly your view of the emphasis being placed on economic assistance as opposed to military sales. Senator MELCHER. My view is exactly this: If the Government of the Philippines makes that recommendation in order to strengthen their economic position, we should consider it. But since it is not a part of the agreement at this point, we should not impose our will on the Philippine Government. It is a question of, is it their coun- try or are we supposed to dictate changing it in terms of an agree- ment? I think perhaps if the matter had been discussed with them pri- vately, that might have been their recommendation. I think we perhaps have gone beyond that stage now, where Members of the House have expressed a strong feeling regarding the arrangement and therefore the control of the money that would flow during the first year, perhaps the second year, of payments. In other words, the initiative here was wrongly put. If the Philip- pine Government had asked for a change, that would be another thing. It might be they would want to, if such a change had been discussed with them. But I think their clear problem has been, when are the first pay- ments going to be made and when can they expect it. They have an acute dollar shortage, and the quicker the better as far as they are concerned. Senator MURKOWSKI. I thank you very much, Senator, for your testimony and your recommendations. They will be given consider- ation by the subcommittee and the full committee. We wish you a good day. Senator MELCHER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator MURKOWSKI. Our next witnesses will appear in panel presentation, and they are: Paul Wolfowitz, Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Department of State; James A. Kelly, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Department of Defense; Mr. Charles W. Greenleaf, Assistant Administrator of Asia, Agency for International Development. Gentleman, we invite you to come up to the witness table, and ask that you proceed as you appropriately have decided to present your testimony. 1221 STATEMENT OF HON. PAUL D. WOLFOWITZ, ASSISTANT SECRE- TARY FOR EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Good morning, Mr. Chairman. I am delighted to have this opportunity to present our fiscal year 1985 request for bi- lateral assistance for East Asia and the Pacific region. I have a rather lengthy presentation which I will submit for the record and will confine myself to some oral remarks. Senator MURKOWSKI. I did notice the length of your prepared statement and I agree with you entirely, it will be entered into the record. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I would like to say something about our interest and objectives in this terribly important region. The United States has a long history of involvement with the peoples and nations of East Asia and the Pacific. Our own population includes many who came from the region. Our culture increasingly reflects their influence. For our part, we encourage and support in this region, as in every other, the quest for a better life, for an open and democratic political process, for economic freedom and prosperity, and for a just and stable peace. Economic developments in this region have been particularly dramatic. As a result, East Asian countries now account for one- sixth of all world trade, and their share is growing. American in- vestments in the region now exceed $26 billion and continue to in- crease. Our annual trade with East Asia and the Pacific exceeds that with any other part of the world and is roughtly 30 percent of U.S. foreign trade. Although their past economic performance is extremely encour- aging, East Asian and Pacific countries face today a number of pressing problems. The world recession brought sharp declines in income for producers of primary commodities, and we are only now beginning to see an upswing in these markets. Growth has been uneven in several countries and pressing politi- cal and economic problems remain. The Philippine economy in par- ticular is going through a difficult period, while the country is facing an internal Communist insurgency. While the countries of this region have looked primarily on trade rather than aid for foreign exchange for development, official as- sistance is still needed. We can expect, as in the past, that this as- sistance will strengthen not only individual economies, but through them the overall market system. That benefits us all. In addition to our economic ties, we have essential strategic and security interests in the region. These interests are threatened by continued Soviet, North Korean, and Vietnamese military build- ups, all of which far exceed any legitimate requirements for self- defense. The Soviets have greatly increased their ability to project mili- tary power in the Pacific by a combination of huge numerical in- creases, qualitative improvements, and forward deployment of their forces to Vietnam. In 1983 they deployed strike aircraft in Cam Ranh Bay for the first time and increased the number of sur- veillance aircraft with which they monitor U.S. naval deployments. 1222 North Korea continues to spend at least 20 percent of its GNP on its military forces, forces that are structured and deployed in an aggressive posture toward the South. Vietnam has doubled the size of its standing army since 1979 and now, with more than a million men under arms, possesses one of the largest standing armies in the world. In this context, the economic and military assistance levels that we are requesting help to provide the support and security within which we and nations of the region can pursue, among others, the following important goals. First, the reduction of poverty and the economic and social in- equities that foster violence and invite external interference; Second, the strengthening of human rights and the commitment to democracy and free markets by the countries of the region; Third, the maintenance of close cooperative relationships with countries that are in strategic proximity with key sea lanes of communication; Fourth, the assurance of access to the markets and raw materials of the region; And fifth, the protection of the front line states, Korea and Thai- land, the enhancement of our treaty relationships with those two countries and the Philippines and the maintenance and the use of the critical military facilities in the Philippines. There are, of course, other important objectives that our assist- ance helps to support, such as efforts to cope effectively with the large flows of refugees that still burden the region and efforts to reduce narcotics trafficking. Our fiscal year 1985 bilateral foreign assistance request for East Asia and the Pacific totals approximately $793 million. That repre- sents an increase of some 13.1 percent over the fiscal year 1984 al- location of $701 million. If we include economic support funds along with development assistance and Public Law 480 requests, the largest share of this year's increase in both percentage terms and actual dollars is in economic assistance. The $314.8 million that we are requesting in economic assistance represents an increase of 22 percent over the fiscal year 1984 allo- cation of $258.1 million. Our combined request for military assist- ance totaling $478.6 million is an increase of only 8 percent over the 1984 fiscal year allocation. Notwithstanding our great stake in the region, its vast size and the security threats that it faces, our fiscal year 1985 request levels for most program recipients are essentially straight lined from last year, with little or no compensation for inflation. Most of the in- creases we are seeking are in economic assistance. The Philippines is the only country for which we are seeking substantial increases, and those increases are tied to President Reagan's best efforts pledge that was made as part of the 5-year review of our military bases agreement last spring. Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia are the three largest re- cipients of economic assistance. All three have demonstrated the capability to use such assistance effectively. As for security assistance, some 92 percent of our request for the region goes to the Philippines, Korea, and Thailand. This assist- ance helps to maintain the unhampered use of military facilities in 1223 the Philippines, to deter direct military threats to Korea and Thai- land, and to help the Philippines confront indigenous insurgencies. In closing my oral remarks, I would like to add a general word about our foreign policy toward this vital region. To a remarkable extent, and especially given the divisions in this country in the early 1970's, our policy toward the East Asia and Pacific region has benefited from a bipartisan approach. That consensus is both reas- suring to our friends and gives pause to our adversaries. Congress has played a very important role in furthering this con- sensus and helping to share an intelligent foreign policy for the region. While serious problems and uncertainties continue to con- front us, there has been a good deal of progress in the region as well, for which our country and both the executive branch and the Congress I believe can take some due credit. Mr. Chairman, in view of the interest that this committee and you personally have shown in increasing our efforts to improve eco- nomic conditions in the region, particularly in the Philippines, I am pleased to be able to note here that we have been able to put together, in response to a joint request from the Government of the Philippines and from Cardinal Jaime Sin, Archbishop of Manila- and I may note, with some assistance from my predecessor here at the witness stand, Senator Melcher, when he was in Manila-a package of emergency food assistance for the urban poor in the Philippines. This assistance, which is in addition to $10 million already in our fiscal year 1984 program, will consist of $4 million worth of title II rice, a total of 10,000 metric tons, $1.5 million worth of rice that will be provided through the world food program for an urban feed- ing program, and approximately $700,000 of nonfat dry milk prod- ucts. In view of your own interest in our economic assistance pro- grams for this region, I am sure you share my pleasure that we have been able to make this additional contribution. This is a good occasion to express my appreciation for the sub- committee's support for our foreign assistance programs through- out the region, and I might note also, to express my appreciation for your personal role in highlighting a different subject, the for- eign policy benefits that would derive from an expansion of our energy trade with Japan and other nations of the region. We look forward to working with the Congress, with this commit- tee in particular, on foreign assistance and other matters in the months to come as we continue our joint efforts to further the well- being of the region and enhance our relations. I would be happy to take your questions. [Mr. Wolfowitz' prepared statement follows:) 1224 UurnXIMENT UN · STATE FY 1985 FOREIGN ASSISTANCE REQUEST STATEMENT OF PAUL D. WOLFOWITZ ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE BUREAU OF EAST ASIA AND PACFIC AFFAIRS Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am delighted to have this opportunity to present our FY 85 foreign assistance proposal for East Asia and the Pacific. U.S. INTERESTS AND OBJECTIVES IN EAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC Our past investments in the economies and security of our East Asian and Pacific friends have paid enormous dividends. For 20 some years, East Asian countries have sustained higher economic growth rates than any other part of the world. They now account for one sixth of world trade, and their share is growing. Our annual trade with East Asia and the Pacific exceeds that with any other region. U.S. investments in the region now exceed $26 billion, and continue to increase. And despite formidable challenges to their security which persist to this day, most of our friends have achieved a degree of internal stability and national resolve rare in other parts of the world. However, just as important as the volume of trade is the extent to which East Asian economies have come to symbolize the dynamism of the free market system. Records for the largest and longest sustained growth rates are held by nations from this region. Such countries span the spectrum from lesser developed and industrializing to industrial economies. It is worth noting the extent to which they have accomplished economic development while maintaining political stability as well as cultural identity. These countries have accepted the common features positive and negative which accompany modernization. This is in sharp contrast to the dreary, rigid mold the neighboring command economies have imposed on their people. There are also pressing economic problems to confront despite the generally bright picture of the past several years. The world recession brought sharp declines in income for the many Asian and Pacific exporters of primary commodities, and we have only begun to see an upswing in these markets. The Philippines economy is going through a particularly difficult period. Growth has been uneven in several countries, and pressing politico-economic problems remain. We have a great stake in the prosperity and security of East Asian and Pacific nations. Our FY 1985 assistance programs are designed to protect this stake and to expand it to those areas which are less prosperous and less secure. Our foreign assistance proposals have also been developed in the context of a disturbing buildup of Soviet military 1225 strength over the past few years. Unable to match the vitality and progress of our friends in East Asia and the Pacific, the Soviet Union, North Korea and Vietnam are threatening the region with military build-ups that far exceed their defensive needs. Huge numerical increases in land, sea and air forces have been buttressed with qualitative improvements which are becoming significant during this decade. Soviet ground forces east of the Urals increased from 20 to over 50 divisions since 1965, including deployments on the Sino-Soviet border. Soviet air forces in the four eastern-most military districts now have more than 3000 combat aircraft. The Soviet Pacific Fleet is now the largest fleet in the Soviet navy and contains approximately one-third of all Soviet submarines, one-fourth of all principal surface combatants, and one-third of all naval aircraft. Soviet ability to project power is further enhanced by forward deployment in Vietnam. Soviet surface combatants and attack submarines normally found at Cam Ranh, combined with aircraft deployments, present a clear and current danger to free world sea lanes. Recent evidence demonstrates that the Soviet build-up continued during this past year. The Soviet Union has for the first time deployed its Badger bombers to Cam Ranh Bay. And following its downing of the KAL airliner, it stationed MIG-23 fighters in the Japan Northern Territories occupied by the Soviets since world war II. Its SS-20 intermediate nuclear missile force in Asia has grown rapidly from 99 launchers February last year to 135 today. Apart from the Soviet threat, the regional military threats have continued to increase at a disturbing rate. Vietnam has doubled the size of its standing army since 1979, and now with more than a million men under arms, possesses the third largest standing army in the world. Improvements in firepower, command and control and weaponry have continued apace with the numerical increases. In addition the Vietnamese have assembled forces along the Thai-Kampuchean border which suggest they may again this year attack Kampuchean refugee settlements on the border. North Korea continues to spend at least 20 percent of its GNP on its military forces in an apparent effort to further increase its numerical superiority over the South in land and air forces. They have furthermore in Rangoon descended to barbaric behavior against their southern countrymen, which casts grave doubts over their protestations of peaceful long-term intentions, and which violated the sovereignty of a neutral country. 1226 In view of these economic and security challenges, we believe our resources should be allocated to accomplish the following objectives: To strengthen human rights and the commitment to democracy and free markets in the region. To reduce poverty, economic and social inequalities which foster violence and invite external interference. To assure access to the markets and raw material of the region. To maintain close, cooperative relationships with countries in strategic proximity to key sea lanes of communication. To protect the front-line states (Korea and Thailand), enhance our treaty relationships (with Korea, the Philippines and Thailand), and maintain use of military facilities in the Philippines. Accompanying these major goals are a number of other important objectives such as effectively coping with refugee flows and reducing narcotics cultivation and trafficking. REGIONAL PROGRAM OVERVIEW As has been the case since FY 1983, the development and security assistance programs are integrated components of a single program. All components are directly related to U.S. interests in East Asia and the Pacific and Indian oceans. The FY 85 bilateral foreign assistance request for East Asia and the Pacific totals approximatly $793 million, and would be an increase of some 13.1 percent over the FY 84 allocations of just over $701 million. Our total request for economic assistance (DA, P.L. 480, ESF) is for $314.8 million and would represent an increase of about 22 percent over the FY 84 allocations of $258.1. Our request for military assistance (FMS, MAP, IMET) on the other hand would total $478.6 million for FY 85 and represents an increase of only 8 percent over the FY 84 allocations of $443.1. Because of the strength of the East Asian countries themselves, the level of effort required of us in the region is proportionately a very small share of the U.S. world-wide effort, even though the region itself is as important to U.S. interests as any other region of the world. The East Asian share of the FY 85 worldwide bilateral foreign assistance request is some 5.1 percent. 1227 East Asia's share of the worldwide economic and military assistance allocations for FY 85 would be approximately 5 and 8 percent respectively. Korea, facing the most formidable regional military threat, requires the largest allocation of military assistance. Perhaps more important than the arithmetic balance between economic and military assistance is the manner in which we target our scarce resources to meet those problems which are most closely linked to our national interests. The largest recipients of Development Assistance are Thailand, a treaty ally and front line state, the Philippines, also a treaty ally and the host country for important joint defense facilities, and Indonesia, which in area and population constitutes roughly half of Southeast Asia. All of these states have shown the capability of putting development assistance to good use. They also sit astride or near key sea lanes of communication. Notwithstanding our great stake in the region, its vast size, and the formidable threats to its prosperity and security, our FY 85 request levels for most program recipients are essentially straight-lined from the FY 84 allocation with little or no compensation for inflation. We are requesting a 6.2 percent increase in Indonesia's total request level, chiefly to augment its PL 480 program, a proposal to increase Burma's Development assistance by $2.5 million, and modest IMET increases in several countries. The Philippines is the only country in the region for which we are seeking substantial increases. In the Philippines we have requested a total increase in bilateral assistance programs of nearly $80 million to bring the total program Level from $151 million in FY 84 to nearly $231 million for FY 85. This level is, as you know, in accordance with President Reagan's "best effort" pledge to seek $900 million of assistance over a five year period following the review of our Military Bases Agreement last spring. These bases have immense strategic value for the U.S. Moreover, the U.S. presence and assistance can help the Philippines to cope more effectively with its difficult economic and security problems. Some 92 percent of our security assistance (FMS, MAP, IMET, ESF) request for the region is allocated to Korea, the Philippines and Thailand. This assistance helps to deter direct military threats to Korea and Thailand and to enhance the U.S. strategic posture in Asia, the Pacific and Indian Oceans by maintaining the use of military bases in the Philippines. 1228 Our FY 85 military assistance request recognizes that countries with low per-capita incomes and severe debt servicing problems may require some form of concessional financing. The Philippines fits this category and we have therefore, requested that half of the FMS credits proposed for the Philippines be offered at a concessional interest rate of 5%. Concessionality for the Philippines takes into account the serious and mounting economic difficulties it is experiencing. In Indonesia a loss of export earnings and a current account deficit of about $6.5 billion last year also indicates the need for concessional financing. In addition, in an effort to hold down our overall levels while providing necessary assistance to a non-aligned state with which we have a very important relationship, we have proposed reducing Indonesia's total FMS levels by $5 million from FY 84,. Considering the extremely heavy military purchasing requirements forced on South Korea by the continuing North Korean military buildup, we are requesting 10/20 loan terms for South Korea. This form of concessionality extends the loan terms for a country to provide a 10-year grace period in which only interest is paid followed by a 20-year repayment period. In this way we can demonstrate our interest in helping South Korea deter another attack by North Korea while still holding our FY 85 FMS request level down to last year's. I would now like to discuss each of these country programs in greater detail. SOUTHEAST ASIA PHILIPPINES The Philippines has recently experienced the shock of the Aquino assassination, followed by demonstrations, some political changes and growing economic problems. We have spoken out clearly on these issues. The U.S. Government has expressed its outrage over Aquino's murder and we have urged that it be investigated quickly and vigorously with a view to bringing the perpetrators to justice. An independent board, which has gained wide respect in the Philippines, is now investigating this crime. We have expressed our strong desire for rapid political normalization; in particular, we have stressed the importance we attach to the Philippines' holding free and impartial elections in order to have a clear expression of the public will and to encourage the growth of a new generation of political leaders. 1229 There has been progress in this area. A new Presidential succession mechanism is in place. In response to opposition demands, provinces rather than regions will be the new geographic units for elections, and a new voter registration will take place. A new election code, which is acceptable to key elements of the opposition, has been approved. Many key opposition groups are presenting candidates. Additionally, President Marcos has agreed to appoint some new independent members on the election Commission. For FY 85 we are placing our emphasis in the Philippines on ESF. We are requesting $180 million in economic and security assistance, of which $95 million is in ESF. We have substantially increased economic assistance. Our ESF request for the FY 85-89 year period is $475 million, up from $200 million in the previous five year priod. We more than doubled ESF, an increase of 137%. have significantly increased our ESF partly in recognition of the fact that providing government services to address the economic and social conditions in rural areas is vitally important. This is a reality which the Philippine Government also recognizes. ESF takes on added importance because of the deteriorating economy during the past year. Discussions with the Philippine Government concerning the use of ESF have not yet been concluded, but we expect that half of the funds will be devoted to a continuation of such development projects as school construction, feeder roads and municipal development in areas adjacent to clark Air Base, infrastructure development in provinces near our bases, and rural energy development, and construction of market facilities, roads and schools throughout the Philippines. The other half of the FY 85 ESF program will be devoted to a new activity: local currency supporting the Philippine Government's contribution to ongoing AID, World Bank and Asian Development Bank activities. We are requesting $39 million in Development Assistance and $9.75 million in PL 480 Title II (excluding World Food Program donations of $209,000). The global recession, with low commodity prices and high interest rates for external borrowing, have slowed export and economic growth. Depressed domestic demand and investment activity have further aggravated fiscal and balance of payments problems. Rural areas and poverty groups have been particularly hard hit by the economic slowdown. 1230 Some four million households in the Philippines are considered below the poverty line. The Development Assistance Program focuses on the poorer regions of the country with emphasis on agricultural production, rural employment generation, and family planning. PL 480 assistance also has been centered in rural areas. These programs contribute to development and stability in the Philippines. The value of our military facilities in the Philippines remains unchanged. Fortunately, throughout the recent difficulties, the attitude of the Philippine people toward the United States has remained constant, and support for our military presence continues without any significant change. The requested security assistance levels for the Philippines are closely linked to the five year review of the Military Bases Agreement conducted in April-May 1983. On the day the review was successfully completed, President Reagan in a letter to President Marcos made a "best efforts" pledge to seek $900 million in security assistance for FY 1985-89. Military cooperation is an integral part of the US-Philippine relationship and has been so since the independence of that nation. We use facilities which are located on Philippine bases, work closely with our military hosts, and enjoy unhampered use of these facilities. . The Philippines has always procured the bulk of its military equipment from the US. For a number of years, the military's share of the national budget in the Philippines has been smaller than that of any other ASEAN country. Although the size of the military establishment has grown in the past decade, its arsenal remains very obsolete. Yet, it is the Philippines, alone among ASEAN countries, that faces serious, active insurgencies. The communist sponsored insurgency, if unchecked, would inflict suffering on the Philippine. people and ultimately threaten US interests. In addition, while the Philippines does not face any imminent foreign threat, the Soviet military presence in the region has increased and the Philippines does require a modest deterrent capability. We have significantly increased our request for IMET, to $2 million. GOP financial constraints have resulted in a lessening of the Philippines' contribution to the program, whose value to both countries has, if anything, grown. In this period of change and upheaval in the Philippines it is more important than ever that we strengthen the existing close personal ties with its younger military leaders, whose 1231 professionalism has been one of the country's strengths. We have included MAP in the Philippine program for the first time in four years, in recognition of the serious economic situation there. We expect the Philippine Government to request use of MAP and FMS financing for helicopters, trucks anā armored vehicles, communications and engineering equipment, new patrol vessels, retrofitting of ships, and spare parts for major items of equipment. We are requesting $25 million in MAP and $60 million in FMS. The combined FMS/MAP total of $85 million compares with $50 million last year. Our FY 85-89 request is for FMS/MAP of $425 million compared with $300 million the previous five years, an increase of 42%. These increases are less than they appear because inflation has eroded the Philippine package which had maintained constant levels since 1979. Moreover, Philippine needs increased significantly in intervening years, and the Philippine government suffered severe budgetary difficulties. THAILAND Our Thailand has been a close treaty ally for decades. support for Thailand's continued development and security is seen as a gauge of the American commitment to Thailand and to ASEAN generally. On its eastern border, Thailand faces a strong, well proven Vietnamese military threat, in position there since late 1978. This has prompted an overdue modernization of Thailand's military forces designed to provide a deterrent to further Vietnamese aggression. The Thai must be accorded a high priority in the allocation of assistance to enable them to enhance their self-reliance. Our MAP request is $5 million, the same is $5 million, the same as for last year. This is the only form of concessionality in our Thai assistance package which can go for equipment purchases. We are requesting $98 million in FMS funding, an increase of $4 million over last year's amount. These funds will go for a long overdue upgrading of Thai Air Force equipment, for the Army's acquisition of additional armor, radar, armored personnel carriers and howitzers and Navy missiles for new patrol craft it has ordered. For IMET funds, we are asking are asking $2.4 million , an increase of $200,000 over FY 1984. These funds will cover necessary training for newly acquired equipment. The Thai invariably make good use of IMET, and are eager to acquire the technical 1232 skills needed to use and maintain modern equipment. The Thai economy, even while saddled with heavy. defense requirements, has performed reasonably well. Social and economic development needs are not being ignored because of defense spending. Thailand's free market economy and open society have thus far been able to balance these interests skillfully. Security assistance from the United States has been pivotal. Our development assistance request of $27 million represents a modest decrease from last year's figure of $29.3 million. It contributes, however, to Thailand's continued emphasis on balancing necessary defense expenditures with domestic development expenditures. Part of this assistance will go to projects designed to deal with rural poverty in the Northeast, where the communist insurgency once flourished. new AID strategy emphasizing science and technology is being developed for Thailand as well. A Thailand, with our help, is determined not to abandon these villagers. ESF funds also directly contribute to the upholding of Thailand's policy of first asylum for refugees, by assisting refugee impacted Thai border villages. Despite some pushoff problems, the Thai have continued to support the refugee program. They have granted first asylum to over 600,000 refugees since 1975, including 80,000 boat people, and have 132,000 in refugee camps now awaiting resettlement, thereby contributing significantly to international efforts to cope with aggressive Vietnamese policies. The UNHCR) Thai anti-piracy program, to which we contribute, has not produced the results we had hoped for. Although there is active patrolling, air and sea, by the Royal Thai Navy, no pirates have been apprehended since the inception of the program. Piracy attacks also still occur on many refugee boats but the incidence has decreased from about 70-80% in 1982 to 50-60% in late 1983. A UNHCR assessment team has reviewed the program and suggested a number of improvements that we support. The RTG is considering these proposals. On its eastern border, Thailand faces a strong, well proven Vietnamese military threat, in position there since late 1978. This has prompted an overdue modernization of Thailand's military forces. This modernization, which has had our support, will not make Thailand a match for the Vietnamese. It will, however, in conjunction with other efforts, provide a deterrent to further Vietnamese aggression. In order to provide a credible deterrent, which will enable Thailand to become more self-sufficient in an emergency, the Thai must be 1233 accorded a high priority in the allocation of assistance. The Thai economy, even while saddled with heavy defense requirements, has performed reasonably well. Social and economic development needs are not being ignored because of defense spending. Thailand's free market economy and open society have thus far been able to balance these interests skillfully. Security assistance from the United States has been pivotal. Our MAP request is $5 million, the same the same as for last year. This is the only form of concessionality in our Thai assistance package which can go for equipment purchases. In 1985, we are requesting $2.4 million in IMET funds, an increase of $200,000 over FY 1984. These funds will cover necessary training for newly acquired equipment. The Thai invariably make good use of IMET, and are eager to acquire, in particular, the technical skills needed to use and maintain modern equipment. For FY-85, we are requesting $98 million in FMS funding, an increase of $4 million over last year's amount. These funds will go for a long overdue upgrading of Thai Air Force equipment and for the Army's acquisition of additional equipment such as armor, radar and armored personnel carriers. The Navy also requires missiles for new patrol craft it has ordered. INDONESIA The geo-strategic significance of Indonesia's location and size, and its standing as a moderate among non-aligned nations and in the Islamic world add to the importance of our relationship. Development and security assistance to Indonesia is also consistent with our strong support for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), which represents the best hope for peace and stability in Southeast Asia. A strong and moderately-growing development assistance program in Indonesia is necessary to increase manpower and management skills, to advance agricultural research, to continue to upgrade Indonesia's educational system, and to promote the private sector's role in economic development. Development assistance of $65 million is being requested for Indonesia for FY 85, an increase of $1 million over the FY 84 allocation. An increase in pl 480/Title I assistance to $40 million is requested in recognition that rice and grain supplies, have been diminished by late rains and droughts in some areas. Food stocks need to be maintained at acceptable 1234 levels in order to forestall hardship and social unrest, as well as to provide adequate emergency shipments to impoverished areas. A PL 480/Title II request of a little over $7.7 million supports voluntary agency programs and the world food program. The requested FY 85 security assistance program for Indonesia consists of $2.7 million in IMET funding, plus $40 million in FMS direct loans, half of this amount at concessional interest rates and half at treasury rates. This mix of concessional and treasury rates is considered necessary to assist Indonesia in recovering from the effects of the worldwide recession and serious budgetary shortfalls due to declining oil and non-oil export revenue in 1981-82. In addition to the FMS credit program, Indonesia is expected to purchase some equipment through FMS cash procedures. Indonesia's military forces remain critically short of qualified technicians, program managers and officers. Most U.S. training will be in technical fields related to these shortages. The level of funding requested should permit between 250 and 300 military students to attend our armed forces schools in FY 85. IMET deserves the highest priority support because of the important role played by the professional military in Indonesian society, the utility of the program in furthering our foreign relations objectives and the desirability of mutual service-to-service contacts. Although Indonesia's recent economic problems have caused a slowdown in military force modernization, U.S. security assistance has helped to sustain a number of important programs, including aircraft maintenance and spare parts, ship overhaul and spare parts, improvements in air and sea defense systems, the purchase of war reserve munitions, and, most importantly, advanced professional training for the Indonesian army, navy and air force. MALAYSIA U.S.-Malaysian relations are good and were enhanced by the January visit to Washington of Prime Minister Mahathir bin Mohamad. Malaysia's continued political stability and economic development are important to peace and stability in Southeast Asia. The Malaysians have also expressed interest in continued defense cooperation with the United States within the context of their non-aligned status. Strategically located on the Strait of Malacca and faced with Soviet-backed Vietnamese forces occupying nearby Kampuchea, Malaysia is a responsible member of the Islamic 1235 Conference and Non-Aligned Movement. Malaysia has played a constructive role in international affairs and has forcefully advanced ASEAN's strategy to bring about a withdrawal of Vietnamese forces from Kampuchea. IMET plays a significant role in the U.S.-Malaysian military relationship by providing a framework in which mutually beneficial professional relationships are established. The IMET request of $1 million is a slight increase from the $900,000 level of FY 84. The IMET program also provides an important means for the Malaysian Armed Forces to meet their training needs as they attempt to adjust to a more conventional force structure and sophisticated weaponry. The $10 million FMS request level for Malaysia in FY 85 is an increase from the FY 83 level of $4 million and would restore the program to its FY 82 level. Although Malaysia has not in the past made extensive use of FMS credits, additional purchases are now likely as its economy improves and the restrictions of the government austerity program are eased. Possible purchases include transport aircraft, naval vessels capable of patroling its exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and weapon systems designed to enhance the modernization of Malaysia's armed forces. SINGAPORE The U.S. enjoys extensive commercial relations with Singapore, which is the site for many U.S. business regional head quarters. Although formally non-aligned, Singapore shares U.S. strategic perceptions and goals and its positions in international fora support interests common to both our countries. Physically a tiny city-state, Singapore has come to play a role in Southeast Asia completely out of proportion to its size. Strategically located at the juncture of the Pacific and Indian Oceans, Singapore permits valuable access for our military forces to its modern ship and aircraft support facilities It opposes an increased Soviet presence in Southeast Asia and supports a continuing regional security role for the U.S. as a barrier to Soviet expansion. For FY 85, we are again requesting an IMET program of $50,000. This modest amount of assistance serves to demonstrate our continuing interest in Singapore's security and helps ensure that its armed forces continue to look to the u.s. for training and equipment purchases. 1236 BRUNEI Brunei became fully independent January 1, 1984 and has subsequently become a member of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. As ASEAN is the focus of U.S. policy in Southeast Asia, close ties with all its individual members are important. Oil-rich Brunei offers significant commercial opportunities for U.S. business and investment. In addition the Brunei defense force which consists of the Royal Brunei Malay Regiment numbering approximately 3000 men has expressed interest in close ties with the U.S. Armed Forces. Our security assistance request for FY 85 consists solely of $30,000 in IMET. This is designed to furnish required training as the Bruneian armed forces prepare to assume greater responsibility. Further assistance will not be required, but it is possible that Brunei may in time consider FMS cash purchases. ASEAN The cornerstone of our policy in Southeast Asia is support for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which has been a highly effective force for stability and prosperity in the region. In addition to the bilateral assistance programs to its six members, we have developed a linited but high quality cooperative regional assistance program as a further indication of our commitment to the organization. Focussing on areas of special concern to ASEAN we have funded technical assistance activities in watershed management, energy and plant quarantine as well as visits to the U.S. by media leaders. We are just initiating a new program for small business requested by ASEAN and we will also support a U.S. private sector effort to enhance technology cooperation with the ASEAN business sector. We are requesting $4.8 millon for this program, a slight increase over our FY 1984 request of $4.5 million. BURMA Our principal objectives in Burma are to help prevent the cultivation and trafficking of illicit Burmese narcotics to international markets and to encourage Burma's evolution toward a stable, prosperous and more open society which will contribute to stability in Southeast Asia. Burma's leadership remains committed to non-alignment, socialism and self-reliance. However, within that context it has moved toward closer cooperation with the West, including the U.S., particularly in such areas as development, advanced 1237 technical training and educational exchanges. Burma recently broke diplomatic relations with North Korea over the October 9, 1983 terrorist bombing in Rangoon which was carried out by North Korean commandos. As part of its opening to the West, the Burmese Government has welcomed expanded bilateral cooperation with the U.S. in areas such as narcotics control, where we are assisting Burmese efforts to suppress opium cultivation and trafficking. Both our narcotics and our development assistance programs have responded to specific Burmese requests, and have led to a gradual strengthening of our bilateral relations. The $15 million in Development Assistance proposed for FY 1985 will enable AID to continue its support of Burmese efforts to improve rural primary health care, to increase the production of food and oilseed crops, and to modernize oilseeds processing and distribution. It will also provide funds for a new agricultural research and development project. The modest budget increase proposed ($2.5 million over the FY 1984 level) will maintain the momentum of our recently established AID program, assist Burmese development efforts in a promising new area, and demonstrate to the Burmese that we are serious about helping them to meet their development needs. The proposed increase in IMET funding to $300,000 for FY 1985 will provide additional training opportunities in the U.S. for Burmese military officers. The Burmese Ministry of Defense attaches considerable importance to this program, and has taken pains to select its most promising officers for training in the U.S. Since 1981, approximately fifty such officers have gained exposure to U.S. concepts and methods by attending courses in helicopter maintenance, field artillery and other subjects. Since the military plays a central role in contemporary Burma, IMET training should have a favorable long-term impact on Burmese attitudes toward the U.S. LAOS Bilateral developmental assistance to Laos is at present prohibited by the Foreign Assistance Act. The Administration has told officials of the Lao People's Democratic Republic that action to lift the Congressional ban on assistance would be possible only once a pattern of sustained cooperation had been established towards resolving the fate of Americans missing in Laos from the war in Indochina. Such a pattern of sustained cooperation has not yet been established, although we are encouraged by recent progress on this issue, including the December 1983 crash site survey by 1238 the Joint Casualty Resolution Center. If future progress develops into a pattern of sustained cooperation, the Administration would consult with members of Congress on the question of lifting the ban on assistance to Laos. NORTHEAST ASIA KOREA Continued peace and stability in Northeast Asia is essential to our own security. The prevention of North Korean aggression against South Korea is indispensable for peace and stability in the region and the world. For the past 30 years the US-ROK alliance has been successful in its central aim deterring aggression and preventing a recurrence of hostilities on the Korean peninsula. This absence of hostilities marked though it has been from time to time by examples of North Korean aggression such as the Pueblo Incident, the raid on the Blue House, or, more recently, the North Korean attack in Rangoon has allowed great economic and social progress in South Korea. In spite of South Korea's impressive development, the need for continued US security assistance is as strong as ever. In the past decade, North Korea which we estimate spends over 20 percent of its GNP on armaments, has carried out a major force Duitdup which has seriously affected the military balance on the peninsula. North Korea has about 25 percent more armed forces than the South, and 2 1/2 times as many armored personnel carriers, artillery pieces, and tanks. North Korean tanks are larger and more modern than those of the ROK. The North also maintains a 100,000 man commando force, probably the largest such force in the world. With major elements of its forces only 35 miles from Seoul, the North could launch an attack with very little notice. To counter this threat, the ROK, which spends six percent of its GNP on defense, is engaged in a major force improvement program designed to increase warning time, augment its effective firepower, and enhance its air defense capability. The program, which includes co-production of the F-5, and acquisition of the F-16, TOW missiles, and HAWK modifications, will cost several billion dollars during the FY 82-86 period, with almost half slated for procurement from the U.S. To assist the vital efforts of this front-line ally, we provided a total of $185 million in FMS credits in FY-83 and plan to provide $230 million in FY-84. It is worth noting in this regard that during FY 82, the ROK paid some $254 million 1239 to the USG in principal and interest charges for previous loans, exceeding by about $88 million the amount of new credits provided in that year. To ease the burden Korea faces in maintaining a credible deterrent, we are proposing $230 million FMS credits for the ROK, the same amount it should receive in FY 84. We also are seeking legislation to provide 10 years grace and 20 years repayment terms for Korea. This will enable Korea to devote a larger proportion of each year's allocation to actual weapons purchases, thereby permitting the Force Improvement Program (FIP) to proceed on schedule. Our Korean ally is doing its utmost for its own security. It is clearly in the American interest to help Korea meet its force improvement goals and mutual security objectives. We should bear in mind that Korean combat forces, whose capabilities are enhanced by FMS credits, are stationed with our own forces along the DMZ and would operate with us under a joint command in time of war. Thus, we have a very direct stake in the force improvement efforts of this frontline ally. PACIFIC ISLANDS Since World War II the Pacific Islands have undergone great changes, and in the past twenty years most have become independent states. Our relations with them are friendly; we share to a remarkable degree a belief in democratic government and devotion to individual liberties. It is in the U.S. interest to assist island governments in their efforts to promote economic growth. For FY 1985, we have requested $6 million in Development Assistance to support a region-wide program with emphasis on improving agricultural rural development and fishing techniques, and to promote regional cooperation in this area of small populations and small markets. World War II also demonstrated the importance of the Pacific Islands to our security. These islands lie across the lines of communication between the u.s. West Coast and Australia, New Zealand and Southeast Asia. Our military assistance would consist of small IMET programs with a total dollar value of $190,000. FIJI Fiji is a functioning democracy and a leader in regional organizations. Our bilateral relations are excellent. "Fiji also makes important contributions to international peacekeeping efforts. The RFMF maintains more troops with the 1240 Sinai Multilateral Force and Observers (MFO) and with the UN Interim Forces in Lebanon (UNIFIL) than are on duty in Fiji itself. Our $80,000 IMET program requested for FY 85 represents no increase over FY 84'6 funding level. The money would assist the Royal Fiji Military Forces (RFMF) in acquiring needed professional and technical skills to better operate a small, but modern defense force. PAPUA NEW GUINEA The United States has enjoyed friendly relations with Papua New Guinea before and since its independence from Australia in 1975. The country's size, strategic location and resouces make it a major actor in the South Pacific. Papua New Guinea, which maintains the largest defense force in the Pacific Island region, is expected to use its IMET grant to provide training in improving logistics, management and administrative capabilities, and search and rescue techniques. The proposed FY 85 IMET program of $50,000 represents an increase of $20,000 over last year's allocation. TONGA Tonga continues to be a reliable friend for the U.S. in the South Pacific. The Tongan Government has welcomed port calls by the U.S. Navy and has stated its willingness to host nuclear powered vessels even when other island governments, concerned an upsurge in public sensitivity to nuclear matters, have been reluctant to do so. The proposed FY 85 IMET funds are expected to be used for training in management, and maintenance and repair skills. The IMET program of $30,000 represents no increase over FY 84. over SOLOMON ISLANDS The Solomon Islands, independent since 1978, is the second largest of the Pacific island states in area and the third largest in population. Its foreign policy has been markedly pro-Western. The Government is attempting to upgrade its rudimentary defense force with the objectives of assisting in creating skills necessary for effective control and maintenance of security and management of forces.. The requested FY 85 IMET level is $30,000 and as a new program, represents a positive U.S. response to the expressed interest of the Solomon Islands in obtaining assistance in upgrading their military skills. 1241 TRUST TERRITORY OF THE PACIFIC ISLANDS The United States has administered the Trust Territory of The Pacific Islands (TTPI) since World War II and, since 1947, under a Trusteeship Agreement with the United Nations. since 1969 we have been negotiating with the leadership of the TTPI for new political relationships. Last year two of the island governments, the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) and the Republic of the Marshall Islands completed all the necessary procedures to enter into a new and unique relationship with the United States, that of Freely Associated States. The Administration is submitting the Compact of Free Association to this Congress in order to complete the process on our side and initiate the new relationship with the FSM and the Marshalls. For FY 1985 we will request $295,490,000 for the Compact upon the enactment of the necessary authorizing legislation. The Compact will regulate the relationships between the United States and the Marshall Islands and the FSM. Under the Compact, the United States is granted full powers and authority for defense and security matters, including the right to establish military bases and support activities, throughout the freely associated states. The Compact specifies the amounts and attendant objectives and purposes of United States grant and service assistance to each of the freely associated states. The overall policy goals of the United States with regard to the Compact are based on a review of United States policy by the Senior Interagency Group on Foreign Policy and were approved by the President on September 21, 1981. An important policy goal of the United States is to see political stability in the freely associated states. The Compact also implements long-term United States national security requirements and provides the basis for the accomplishment of shorter ter contingency basing and logistic needs. The Compact accomplishes the equally important goal of political stability through provision of annual grant assistance. The first year estimate exceeds by $152.8 million the second year estimate and exceeds by $146.2 million the average annual budget estimate. This is due to the inclusion of several one time payments, the most significant of which is a one-time $150 million payment for the settlement of all claims resulting from the United States Nuclear Weapons Testing Program in the Marshall Islands. 1242 CHINA I now want to emphasize the importance the Administration places on completing action on proposed legislative changes for China. Our expanding economic, scientific, and cultural ties have been mutually beneficial and have become a very important element of our overall relationship. Our commercial relations are particularly healthy and hold great promise for both countries. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations in January 1979, trade with China has grown dramatically, resulting in a U.s. trade surplus of approximately $6 billion in 5 years. While two-way trade declined in both 1982 and 1983 from the record high of $5.5 billion in 1981, we expect bilateral trade to bounce back to between $5.5 and $7 billion in 1984 with an anticipated increase of high technology exports to China. We share a broad range of official exchanges over 100 Chinese delegations visit the U.S. each month and over 10,000 Chinese students now study in the U.S. The 21 Protocols under the U.S.-China S&T Agreement have promoted valuable exchanges in such widely varying fields as earthquake studies, hydropower, and health. Our rapprochement with China over the past decade has also made important contributions to global and regional peace and stability China shares our deep concern about Soviet aggression in Afghanistan and the Soviet-backed occupation of Kampuchea. U.S.-China relations have meshed well with our existing alliances and security relationships in Asia and Europe. The recent visit of Chinese Premier Zhao Ziyang helped to underscore the importance of a stable and enduring U.S.-China relationship. Consistent with our growing relationship, the President in June, 1981 decided to seek legislative change to laws that link China with the Soviet Bloc. I am pleased to note that, with your assistance, important progress was made in this effort during the past two years in clarifying the provisions of the Agricultural Trade Development and Assistance Act and by lifting the prohibition on importation of Chinese furskins. The proposal to eliminate the prohibition of foreign assistance to China, which was submitted to the Congress in FY 1983 and, again, in our 1984 authorization bill, received favorable consideration in both the Senate Foreign Relations and House Foreign Affairs Committees. However, in both years, the overall bill was not passed for reasons unrelated to China. We have resubmitted the proposal concerning China in this year's foreign assistance bill. 1243 Amendment of the Foreign Assistance Act would allow China to participate in ongoing AID technical assistance programs, under current funding levels, in the same manner as do most other countries. We previously provided the committee staff a paper outlining the type of ongoing projects for which we would consider China's participation. I would stress that Chinese participation in these programs will not threaten AID programs with other countries but will contribute to China's development through existing AID research and training projects while familiarizing the PRC with commercially available U.S. technology. Our motive in seeking this change is the same as two years ago; the President wants to remove an anachronism in our laws that links China with the Soviet-bloccountries. We have no plans for bilateral assistance programs, although some Chinese have expressed interest in low interest loans. Any such programs would have to be authorized and appropriated by the Congress. CONCLUSION In conclusion, our FY 85 foreign assistance request is designed to protect and reinforce the great strides our friends have made in bringing prosperity and security to East Asia and the Pacific. Although the threats to this progress have grown, we have limited our request to levels essential to our interests. Economic and military assistance programs are, believe, well balanced and both are targeted against economic problem areas and critical military threats. We would most welcome this Committee's support. we 1244 Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you. Mr. Kelly, do you have a statement? Mr. Kelly is Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Department of Defense. STATEMENT OF HON. JAMES A. KELLY, DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY, DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Mr. KELLY. Mr. Chairman, thank you for this opportunity to offer comments from the Defense perspective on the administra- tion's fiscal year 1985 foreign assistance request for East Asia. I have submitted a statement for the record, and with your permis- sion I will summarize it. Senator MURKOWSKI. It will be entered into the record. Mr. KELLY. Thank you. We in the Department of Defense are convinced that a strong, coherent, and reliable security assistance program, adquately funded by Congress, is an absolutely essential complement to our efforts to strengthen America's defenses. The administration's for- eign assistance requests for East Asia and the Pacific have our strongest support. They are fully justified. If anything, they are less than we really need because of our efforts to keep the requests to minimum prudent levels in view of economic constraints. I would like to emphasize the following points, which I discuss more fully in my prepared statement: We continue to urge all of our allies to do more in the common defense. Japan, Australia, and New Zealand are capable of doing so without U.S. security assistance. However, our other three East Asian allies look to us for financial support and they—the Republic of Korea, Thailand, and the Philippines-would receive more than 90 percent of the major portion of the East Asian fiscal year 1985 request for security assistance. Korean modernization requirements in the face of a North Korean buildup easily could justify FMS credit levels higher than we can request in the face of competing worldwide security assist- ance needs. Korea pays us back currently more than the borrowing authority which is requested. Thus, it is all the more important that we provide the relief sought in the form of extended repay- ment terms, 10 years grace and 20 years repayment, for Korea. The Philippines' fiscal year 1985 levels are the first increment of President Reagan's best efforts pledge, given at the time of the 1983 review of the military bases agreement. The United States and the Philippines each contribute to our mutual security, the Philippines by providing secure and unhampered use of facilities at Clark and Subic, which are very important to our forward deploy- ments, the United States in part by providing significant levels of economic and security assistance. Failure of either country to pro- vide its pledged contribution could cause the other to question its pledge. Our security assistance is most important to the Philippines for maintenance and spare parts of their armed forces, as well as to improve its forces' mobility and communications. For Thailand, the main symbol of our commitment is our willing- ness to provide security assistance support. The other ASEAN 1245 states, and undoubtedly Vietnam and the Soviet Union as well, also look to our security assistance for Thailand, the ASEAN front line state, as a major indicator of U.S. security interest in the region. The remaining major recipients of security assistance in East Asia are Indonesia and Malaysia. U.S. support for efforts to mod- ernize the defense forces of these nonaligned countries helps to maintain their confidence in their ability to resist intimidation from the growing Soviet power projection capability in Southeast Asia. It thereby helps assure friendly flanks for the strategic straits through which shipping critical to the security and well- being of the United States and its allies must pass. Mr. Chairman, there is strong and compelling strategic rationale for our security assistance to all of our major East Asia aid recipi- ents. We believe that the levels requested are the minimum sup- port we can prudently provide to the defense improvements and modernization of recipient countries' armed forces, in view of U.S. commitments in the region and the nature of the threats posed by Vietnam, North Korea, and the Soviet Union to regional stability and peace. Thank you, sir. [Mr. Kelly's prepared statement follows:] 1246 PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. JAMES A. KELLY MR. CHAIRMAN, THANK YOU FOR THIS OPPORTUNITY TO OFFER COMMENTS FROM A DEFENSE PERSPECTIVE ON THE ADMINISTRATION'S FY 1985 FOREIGN ASSISTANCE REQUEST FOR EAST ASIA. WE IN THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE ARE CONVINCED THAT A STRONG, COHERENT, AND RELIABLE SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM, ADEQUATELY FUNDED BY CONGRESS, IS AN ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIAL COMPLEMENT TO OUR EFFORTS TO STRENGTHEN AMERICA'S DEFENSES. THE ADMINISTRATION'S. FOREIGN ASSISTANCE REQUESTS WHICH ARE UNDER CONSIDERATION BY THIS COMMITTEE, PARTI- CULARLY THOSE PORTIONS PERTAINING TO EAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC, HAVE MY STRONGEST SUPPORT, I HAVE BEEN HEAVILY INVOLVED IN THEIR PREPARATION. I AM CERTAIN THAT THEY ARE FULLY JUSTIFIED. IF ANYTHING THEY ARE LESS THAN WE REALLY NEED BECAUSE OF OUR EFFORTS TO KEEP THE REQUESTS TO MINIMUM PRUDENT LEVELS IN VIEW OF ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS. MR. CHAIRMAN, RATHER THAN TO BE REDUNDANT WITH COMMENTS ON ISSUES MORE APPROPRIATELY ADDRESSED BY THE STATE DEPARTMENT LET ME SIMPLY SAY FOR THE RECORD THAT I HAVE READ ASSISTANT SECRETARY WOLFOWITZ'S STATEMENT AND CONCUR FULLY WITH HIS REMARKS. IN MY STATEMENT, I WILL FOCUS ON A FEW ISSUES WHICH ARE OF PARTICULAR CONCERN TO DEFENSE. THERE IS STRONG AND COMPELLING STRATEGIC RATIONALE FOR OUR SECURITY ASSISTANCE TO ALL OF THE MAJOR EAST ASIA AID RECIPIENTS, THAT RATIONALE DERIVES FROM THE POLITICAL AND SECURITY INTERESTS OF THE UNITED STATES IN EAST ASIA AND THE SECURITY NEEDS OF THE EAST ASIAN COUNTRIES IN LIGHT OF THE SOVIET MILITARY BUILDUP IN THE REGION AND THE THREATS POSED BY NORTH KOREA AND VIETNAM. 1247 THE SECURITY OF EAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC IS VITAL TO THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES. FIVE OF THE EIGHT DEFENSE AGREE- MENTS TO WHICH THE U.S. IS A PARTY ARE LOCATED THERE, INCLUDING BILATERAL TREATIES WITH JAPAN, KOREA, AND THE PHILIPPINES; THE MANILA PACT WHICH ADDS THAILAND TO OUR TREATY PARTNERS; AND THE ANZUS TREATY. THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES IS TRULY INTER- DEPENDENT WITH THAT OF EACH OF ITS PACIFIC ALLIES. DURING THE PAST DECADE AND A HALF, THE SOVIETS HAVE STEADILY IMPROVED THEIR MILITARY CAPABILITIES AND EXPANDED THEIR INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE REGION. THEIR EFFORTS CONTINUE UNABATED. THE WAR BETWEEN VIETNAMESE OCCUPATION FORCES AND THE KHMER RESISTANCE FORCES CONTINUES IN KAMPUCHEA WITH CROSS-BORDER INCURSIONS INTO THAILAND AND ATTENDANT DANGERS TO THE SECURITY OF OUR SOUTHEAST ASIA ALLY. NORTH KOREA CONTINUES TO EXPAND AND MODERNIZE ITS ARMED FORCES WHICH ARE OFFENSIVELY CONFIGURED AND WHICH ALREADY EXCEED ANY RATIONAL MEASURE OF PURELY DEFENSIVE REQUIREMENTS. THE RANGOON BOMBING MURDERS OF REPUBLIC OF KOREA GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS WERE GRUESOME REMINDERS OF THE IMPLACABLE HOSTILITY AND AGGRESSIVE INTENT OF THE NORTH KOREAN REGIME WHICH DIRECTS THOSE ARMED FORCES. TO MAINTAIN THE SECURITY OF THE U.S., OUR ALLIES, AND OUR SEA LANES AND TO MAINTAIN REGIONAL SECURITY, WE RELY PRINCIPALLY ON OUR ALLIES TO MEET LOCAL THREATS WHILE MAINTAINING FORWARD DEPLOYED FORCES IN KOREA, JAPAN, AND ELSEWHERE IN THE PACIFIC TO FULFILL OUR COMMITMENTS AND TO MEET THE SOVIET THREAT. WE CON- TINUE TO URGE ALL OF OUR ALLIES TO DO MORE IN THE COMMON DEFENSE. JAPAN, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND ARE CAPABLE OF DOING SO WITHOUT 1248 U.S. SECURITY ASSISTANCE. HOWEVER, OUR OTHER THREE EAST ASIAN ALLIES LOOK TO US FOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT AND THEY THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA, THAILAND, AND THE PHILIPPINES WOULD RECEIVE THE MAJOR PORTION OF THE EAST ASIA FY 1985 REQUEST FOR SECURITY ASSISTANCE , KOREA STABILITY ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA IS ESSENTIAL TO THE SECURITY OF NORTHEAST ASIA. THE FIRM U.S. COMMITMENT TO THE DEFENSE OF THE ROK WAS REAFFIRMED BY PRESIDENT REAGAN DURING HIS VISIT TO KOREA LAST YEAR, THAT COMMITMENT IS MANIFEST IN OUR FORCES STATIONED THERE WHO, IF DETERRENCE FAILED, WOULD BE ENGAGED IMMEDIATELY ALONGSIDE ROK FORCES UNDER THE ONLY COMBINED US/ALLIED COMMAND OUTSIDE NATO, THE LEAST EXPENSIVE AND MOST EFFECTIVE WAY TO IMPROVE THE CAPABILITIES OF THE US/ROK COMBINED FORCES COMMAND TO DEFEAT, AND THEREBY DETER, A NORTH KOREAN ATTACK IS BY ASSISTING THE ROK TO IMPROVE THE CAPABILITIES OF ITS FORCES. FMS CREDITS FOR KOREA THEREFORE ARE THE MOST COST EFFECTIVE WAY TO ACCOMPLISH THE IMPROVEMENTS NEEDED TO DEFEND OUR INTERESTS IN NORTHEAST ASIA. FMS CREDITS UNDERWRITE A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE ROK'S DEFENSE PROCUREMENT FROM THE U.S. WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TOTAL OVER $8 BILLION DURING THE PERIOD FY 85-89. OVER $200M OF ROK ANNUAL PROCUREMENT FROM THE U.S. IS FOR SPARES AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT FOR ITS EXISTING INVENTORY OF AL MOST EXCLUSIVELY U.S. EQUIPMENT, THE REMAINDER IS FOR NEW EQUIPMENT PURCHASES. KOREA SPENDS 6% OF GNP ON DEFENSE APPROXIMATELY 35% OF ITS BUDGET AND OVER 25% OF ITS DEFENSE BUDGET IS SPENT IN THE U.S. OUR SECURITY ASSIS- TANCE EQUATES TO APPROXIMATELY 5% OF THE ROK DEFENSE BUDGET. 1249 NORTH KOREA SPENDS MORE THAN 20% OF THE GNP OF ITS GARRISON STATE ECONOMY ON THE MILITARY AND ITS OFFENSIVELY CONFIGURED FORCES ENJOY A SUBSTANTIAL QUANTITATIVE ADVANTAGE OVER THE SOUTH. THE ROK MUST MODERNIZE ITS DEFENSES WITH SOME URGENCY IF IT IS TO KEEP THIS GAP FROM WIDENING AND IF IT IS TO BUILD THE FOUNDATION FOR EVENTUALLY CLOSING IT. KOREAN MODERNIZATION REQUIREMENTS COULD EASILY JUSTIFY FMS CREDIT LEVELS MUCH HIGHER THAN THOSE REQUESTED. BUT HIGHER LEVELS ARE NOT POSSIBLE IN THE FACE OF COMPETING WORLDWIDE SECURITY ASSISTANCE NEEDS. IF WE ARE TO KEEP THE TOTAL BUDGET WITHIN FEASI - BLE LIMITS. OUR INABILITY TO ACHIEVE THE HIGHER LEVELS NEEDED MAKES IT ALL THE MORE IMPORTANT THAT WE PROVIDE THE RELIEF SOUGHT IN THE FORM OF EXTENDED REPAYMENT TERMS. CONGRESSIONAL AUTHORIZA- TION OF 10 YEARS GRACE/20 YEARS REPAYMENT TERMS FOR KOREA WILL ENABLE MORE OF THE KOREAN BUDGET TO BE SPENT ON NEEDED EQUIPMENT INSTEAD OF DEBT SERVICE DURING THE CRITICAL NEAR TERM. IT WILL ALSO BE FURTHER EVIDENCE THAT THE UNITED STATES' CONTINUED COMMIT- MENT TO STABILITY AND PEACE ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA IS TRULY A NATIONAL COMMITMENT, SUPPORTED BY BOTH OUR EXECUTIVE AND LEGISLA- TIVE BRANCHES OF GOVERNMENT. SINCE 1976, CONGRESS ANNUALLY HAS AUTHORIZED A DOLLAR CEILING ON THE AMOUNT OF U.S. DEFENSE ARTICLES WHICH CAN BE EARMARKED FOR USE AS WAR RESERVE STOCKS FOR ALLIES (WRSA), A STOCKPILE INTENDED FOR ROK WARTIME USE. APPARENTLY THROUGH OVERSIGHT, THE WRSA AUTHOR IZATION WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE CONTINUING RESOLUTION FOR FY 1984. WITHOUT AUTHOR IZATION, WE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO TRANSFER ANY ASSETS TO WRSA STOCKPILES IN FY 1984, EVEN THOUGH THE SERVICES 1250 HAVE IDENTIFIED ASSETS WHICH THEY WISH TO TRANSFER THIS YEAR. WE ARE REQUESTING AUTHORITY TO TRANSFER $125M IN FY 1984, AND $248M IN FY 1985 IN US-TITLED ASSETS TO WRSA STOCKPILES, I URGE YOUR SUPPORT FOR THIS REQUEST FOR A PROGRAM WHICH CONTRIBUTES SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE COMBAT READINESS OF THE US/ROK COMBINED FORCES COMMAND. THAILAND UNLIKE KOREA, FOR WHOM AMERICAN TROOP PRESENCE IS 1 THE MAIN SYMBOL OF OUR COMMITMENT, FOR OUR OTHER EAST ASIAN FRONT LINE ALLY, THAILAND, THE MAIN SYMBOL IS OUR WILLINGNESS TO PROVIDE SECURITY ASSISTANCE SUPPORT, THE OTHER ASEAN STATES AND, HINDOUBT- EDLY, VIETNAM AND THE SOVIET UNION AS WELL, ALSO LOOK TO OUR SECURITY ASSISTANCE FOR THAILAND -- THE ASEAN FRONT LINE STATE AS A MAJOR INDICATOR OF U.S. SECURITY INTERESTS IN THE REGION. THE INCREASED THREAT CAUSED BY THE VIETNAMESE OCCUPATION OF KAMPUCHEA PROMPTED THAILAND TO MORE THAN DOUBLE ITS ANNUAL FMS PURCHASES FROM THE U.S. TO ACCOMPLISH MUCH NEEDED MODERNIZATION, THAILAND SPENDS 4% OF ITS GNP ON DEFENSE ALMOST 20% OF ITS BUDGET. U.S. MILITARY ASSISTANCE AMOUNTS TO APPROXIMATELY 7% OF WHAT THE THAI SPEND ON DEFENSE. THAILAND SPENDS 8% OF GNP ON DEVELOPMENT, THIS PROPORTION IS APPROPRIATE FOR A DEVELOPING COUNTRY WHICH STILL FACES AN INSURGENCY. HOWEVER, IT LIMITS THE EXTENT TO WHICH THAILAND CAN FINANCE WITHOUT CREDIT THE HARDWARE IT NEEDS FOR MODERNIZATION. THE THAIS ESTIMATE THAT THEY NEED TO SPEND APPROXIMATELY $350M PER YEAR FOR CAPITAL PURCHASES TO REPLACE ATTRITION AND CARRY OUT THEIR MOST IMPORTANT MODEST MODERNIZATION PROGRAMS. THE THAI BUDGET CAN ONLY SUPPORT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES OF APPROXI- 1251 MATELY $200M, LEAVING A $150M ANNUAL SHORTFALL. PROPOSED MAP AND FMS CREDIT LEVELS ARE CRITICAL TO THAI EFFORTS TO COVER THIS SHORTFALL. PHILIPPINES OVER THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS THE U.S. PRESENCE IN THE PHILIPPINES HAS ASSUMED HEIGHTENED IMPORTANCE BECAUSE OF SUPPORT REQUIREMENTS FOR OUR INCREASED INDIAN OCEAN DEPLOYMENTS AND THE SOVIET NAVAL BUIL DUP WHICH INCLIDES THE USE OF MILITARY FACILITIES AT DANANG AND CAM RANH BAY IN VIETNAM. IN LATE NOVEM- BER/EARLY DECEMBER 1983, THE SOVIETS BEGAN DEPLOYING BADGER STRIKE AIRCRAFT TO CAM RANH. THEY NOW HAVE ABOUT NINE OF THOSE AIRCRAFT THERE IN ADDITION TO THE BEAR LONG-RANGE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT, UP TO 20 SURFACE SHIPS, AND FOUR OR MORE SUBMARINES WHICH HAVE BECOME THEIR NORMAL PRESENCE ON ANY GIVEN DAY IN THAT STRATEGICALLY LOCATED PORT. THE SOVIET ROLE IN THE CONTINUING VIETNAMESE OCCUPATION OF KAMPUCHEA HAS ALSO MAGNIFIED ASEAN-WIDE INTEREST IN TANGIBLE INDICATIONS THAT THE UNITED STATES WILL RETAIN ITS PRESENCE IN THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN AREA, THE U.S. FACILITIES AND FORCES AT CLARK AIR BASE, SUBIC NAVAL BASE AND ELSEWHERE IN THE PHILIPPINES ARE AN INTEGRAL PART OF A SYSTEM OF DETERRENCE THAT SIGNALS TO POTENTIAL ENEMIES AMERICAN RESOLVE TO MEET OUR COMMITMENTS. THE FACILITIES PROVIDE THE CAPABILITY TO PROJECT U.S. POWER TO PROTECT VITAL AIR AND SEA LANES EXTENDING FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN AND THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NORTHWARD TO JAPAN. THEY ALSO PROVIDE THE PRACTICAL MEANS BY WHICH THE UNITED STATES CAN FULFILL ITS COMMITMENT TO THE PHILIP- PINES UNDER OUR 1952 MUTUAL DEFENSE TREATY, THESE CAPABILITIES 1252 IMPOSE CERTAIN DEFENSE CONSIDERATIONS ON POTENTIAL ADVERSARIES AND CONTRIBUTE TO THE CONFIDENCE OF OUR ALLIES AND FRIENDS. US MILITARY FACILITIES AT CLARK AND SIIBIC PROVIDE CONTINUOUS AIR AND NAVAL PRESENCE IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC (WITHIN FOUR HOURS FLYING OR FIVE SEA DAYS FROM JAPAN, GUAM, SINGAPORE, AND KOREA). FURTHER, THE FACILITIES PROVIDE US THE CAPABILITY TO PROJECT AND SUPPORT A US PRESENCE IN THE INDIAN OCEAN (WITHIN EIGHT FLYING HOURS OR NINE SEA DAYS). THE UNITED STATES WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO MEET CONTINGENCIES IN THE INDIAN OCEAN, PERSIAN GULF, AND THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC WITHOUT US MILITARY FACILITIES IN THE PHILIPPINES. THE FACILITIES GAIN ADDED VALUE BECAUSE OF THEIR PROXIMITY TO THE MAJOR INTERNATIONAL STRAITS CONNECTING THE OIL RICH MIDDLE EAST TO OUR ALLIES IN NORTHEAST ASIA. FINALLY, THE LOGISTIC, COMMUNI - CATION AND REPAIR FACILITIES OF CLARK AND SUBIC SAVE BOTH REPAIR COSTS AND VALUABLE TRANSIT TIME SHOULD WE EVER HAVE TO REPLACE THE FACILITIES, THE CIRCUM- STANCES OF THE RELOCATION COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE COSTS OF A MOVE. SEVERAL YEARS FROM THE TIME A DECISION WAS MADE WOULD BE NEEDED TO CONSTRUCT FACILITIES AT ALTERNATE LOCATIONS. THE CONSTRUCTION OF REPLACEMENT FACILITIES, PROCUREMENT OF ADDI - TIONAL SHIPS AND AIRCRAFT TO MAINTAIN THE SAME LEVEL OF MILITARY OPERATIONS OVER LONGER DISTANCES, AND ADDED COSTS OF SHIP REPAIR AT ALTERNATIVE FACILITIES WOULD INVOLVE EXPENDITURES OF SEVERAL BILLION DOLLARS AND STILL RESULT IN DECREASED CAPABILITIES AND FLEXIBILITY OF US FORCES IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND INDIAN OCEANS, THIS IS THE STRATEGIC RATIONALE FOR MAKING GOOD ON PRESIDENT REAGAN'S PLEDGE AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE 1983 REVIEW OF THE 1253 MILITARY BASES AGREEMENT TO EXERT HIS BEST EFFORTS TO PROVIDE $900 MILLION IN SECURITY ASSISTANCE OVER THE NEXT FIVE BUDGET YEARS. THE FY 1985 LEVELS ARE THE FIRST INCREMENT OF THIS PACKAGE. FAILURE TO PROVIDE THESE LEVELS COULD CAUSE THE PHILIPPINES TO INSIST THAT THE REVIEW BE REOPENED WITH UNFORESEEABLE CONSEQUENCES. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE VALUE OF THE BASES WILL BE ENHANCED BY IMPROVEMENTS IN THE CAPABILITY OF THE PHILIPPINES TO CONTRIBUTE WITH THE U.S. TO THE MUTUAL DEFENSE OF THEIR COUNTRY. THE PHILIPPINES SPEND APPROXIMATELY TWO PERCENT OF GNP ON DEFENSE, LESS THAN $1 BILLION PER YEAR. OUR MILITARY ASSISTANCE (FMS FINANCING, MAP, AND IMET) EQUATES TO 10.5% OF THE TOTAL DEFENSE BUDGET, A HIGHER PERCENTAGE THAN FOR ANY OTHER ASEAN COUNTRY. THIS PROPORTION IS INDICATIVE OF THE SPECIAL RELATION- SHIP BETWEEN OUR TWO COUNTRIES AND OF THE COMPARATIVELY GREATER DIFFICULTY FACED BY THE PHILIPPINES IN MEETING ITS DEFENSE NEEDS AND ADVANCING TOWARD ITS STATED GOAL OF MILITARY MODERNIZATION AT A TIME WHEN THE COUNTRY HAS BEEN ESPECIALLY HARD HIT BY THE WORLD RECESSION. BUDGETARY CONSTRAINTS HAVE CAUSED SERIOUS PROBLEMS FOR THE ARMED FORCES OF THE PHILIPPINES (AFP) IN SUSTAINING FORCE AND EQUIPMENT LEVELS AND CARRYING OUT MODERNIZATION PROGRAMS. OUR FMS FINANCING IS CRITICAL NOT ONLY TO PROCUREMENT OF NEW EQUIPMENT BUT TO MAINTENANCE AND SPARE PARTS COSTS OF DAY-TO-DAY OPERATIONS AS WELL. ONLY SIX PERCENT OF THE AFP BUDGET GOES FOR PROCUREMENT ; THE REST GOES FOR EXPENDABLES SUCH AS POL, CLOTHING, PERSONNEL PAY AND ALLOWANCES, MEDICAL SUPPORT, AMMUNITION AND OTHER NORMAL OPERATING EXPENSES. MOST MAINTENANCE AND SPARE PARTS COSTS ARE 1254 SUPPORTED BY FMS, FOR CY 1984, APPROXIMATELY $18M OF FMS CREDITS WOULD BE USED FOR SPARES, TECHNICAL SERVICES AND TECHNICAL ASSIS- TANCE. MOREOVER, UNDER CURRENT ECONOMIC CONDITIONS THE AFP WILL PROBABLY SEEK TO APPLY MAP GRANTS OR FMS CREDITS TO THE APPROXI - MATELY $18M IN FMS CASH PAYMENTS WHICH WILL COME DUE IN FY 1984. REMAINING FMS CREDITS AND MAP GRANTS ARE NEEDED TO SUPPORT 0 EQUIPMENT PROCUREMENT IMPORTANT TO THE CAPABILITY OF THE AFP TO CONDUCT OPERATIONS AGAINST THE COMMUNIST INSURGENTS OF THE NEW PEOPLE'S ARMY, WE BELIEVE THAT THE AFP SHARE OUR PERCEPTION THAT. JHEIR MOST URGENT MILITARY REQUIREMENTS ARE FOR EQUIPMENT AND SPARE PARTS TO IMPROVE THEIR MOBILITY, COMMUNICATIONS AND MATERIEL MAINTENANCE CAPABILITIES. WE UNDERSTAND THAT THEY PLAN TO PURCHASE ADDITIONAL HELICOPTERS, TRUCKS AND ARMORED VEHICLES, COMPLETE THEIR SHIP RETROFIT PROGRAM, CONTINUE ACQUISITION OF SPARE PARTS TO KEED MAJOR ITEMS OF EQUIPMENT OPERATIONAL, BEGIN A PROGRAM TO ACQUIRE A NEW PATROL VESSEL, AND BUY COMMUNICATIONS AND ENGINEERING EQUIPMENT. THESE PURCHASES, MADE WITH FMS CREDITS AND MAP FUNDS, WILL HELP THE AFP IMPROVE THEIR CAPABILITIES AGAINST THE COMMUNIST INSUR GENCY WITH EQUIPMENT WHICH WILL ALSO IMPROVE THEIR CAPABILITIES TO DEFEND, WITH THE UNITED STATES, AGAINST EXTERNAL THREATS, OUR SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM ALSO ALLOWS THE GOVERNMENT OF THE PHILIPPINES TO DEVOTE MORE OF ITS SCARCE RESOURCES TO ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT , MORE THAN HALF OF THE PROPOSED $900 MILLION FIVE-YEAR PACKAGE ITSELF IS IN THE FORM OF ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUNDS TO BE APPLIED DIRECTLY TO THESE PURPOSES. 1255 THE UNITED STATES AND THE PHILIPPINES EACH CONTRIBUTE TO OUR MUTUAL SECURITY THE PHILIPPINES BY PROVIDING SECURE AND UNHAM- PERED 110F OF FACILITIES WHICH ARE VERY IMPORTANT TO OUR FORWARD DEPLOYMENTS: THE UNITED STATES BY PROVIDING SIGNIFICANT LEVELS OF ECONOMIC AND SECURITY ASSISTANCE. FAILURE OF EITHER COUNTRY TO PROVIDE ITS PLEDGED CONTRIBUTION COULD CAUSE THE OTHER TO QUESTION ITS PLEDGE. THESE EXTREMELY IMPORTANT NATIONAL SECURITY CONSIDER- ATIONS SHOULD REMAIN PARAMOUNT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR ASSISTANCE PROGRAM FOR THE PHILIPPINES. INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA. THE REMAINING MAJOR RECIPIENTS OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE IN EAST ASIA ARE INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA, INDONESIA SPENDS THREE PERCENT OF GNP ON DEFENSE. 11.4% OF THE TOTAL BIIDGET. OUR SECURITY ASSISTANCE IS EQUIVALENT TO 1.5% OF THE INDONESIAN DEFENSE BUDGET. MALAYSIA SPENDS 8.2% OF GNP ON DEFENSE, 18. 1% OF THE TOTAL BUDGET, OUR SMALL AID PROGRAM EQUATES TO ONLY 0.5% OF THAT EFFORT, ALTHOUGH NON-ALIGNED, INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA ARE FRIENDLY NATIONS WHO MAINTAIN POSITIONS ON NUMEROUS ISSUES WHICH ARE COMPATIBLE WITH U.S. POLICY. AMONG THESE ARE THEIR POSITIONS ON RIGHTS OF PASSAGE THROUGH CRITICAL STRAITS ALONG MAJOR SEA LANES. U.S. SUPPORT FOR EFFORTS TO MODERNIZE THE DEFENSE FORCES OF THESE COUNTRIES HELPS TO MAINTAIN THEIR CONFIDENCE IN THEIR ABILITY TO RESIST INTIMIDATION FROM THE GROWING SOVIET POWER PROJECTION CAPABILITY IN SOUTHEAST ASIA. IT THERE BY HELPS ASSURE FRIENDLY FLANKS FOR THE STRATEGIC STRAITS THROUGH WHICH SHIPPING CRITICAL TO THE SECURITY AND WELL-BEING OF THE U.S. AND ITS ALLIES MUST PASS, 1256 IMET. I WOULD LIKE TO CONCLUDE WITH SOME GENERAL OBSERVA- TIONS ON WHAT IS PROBABLY THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE PROGRAM WE HAVE FOR ENHANCING COOPERATION WITH OUR FRIENDS AND ALLIES, THE INTER- NATIONAL MILITARY EDUCATION AND TRAINING (IMET) PROGRAM. IMET TRAINING IMPROVES THE ABILITY OF OUR FRIENDS AND ALLIES TO MAKE BEST USE OF U.S.-ORIGIN EQUIPMENT BY HELPING THEM AFFORD TECHNICAL TRAINING OF MORE PERSONNEL IN U.S. MILITARY SCHOOLS. THE USE OF COMMON EQUIPMENT AND COMMON PROCEDURES ENHANCES COOPERATION. PROFESSIONAL TRAINING IS EVEN MORE IMPORTANT, ALTHOUGH THE PAYOFFS ARE INTANGIBLE AND HARD TO DOCUMENT OR MEASURE, PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION PROVIDES WHAT MAY BE THE MOST ENDURING BENEFIT OF IMET TO THE UNITED STATES. PROFESSIONAL MILITARY EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES WILL NOT GUARANTEE THAT A FOREIGN OFFICER WILL ALWAYS AGREE WITH AMERICAN IDEAS BUT IT DOES INCREASE THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY DISAGE EMENTS WILL BE SUBSTANTIVE DATHER THAN THE RESULT OF MISUNDERSTANDING OR FAULTY ASSUMPTIONS. MOREOVER, THE ASSOCIATIONS FORMED WITH AMERICAN OFFICERS CAN GENERATE A RESERVOIR OF GOOD WILL TOWARD THE U.S. ARMED FORCES WHICH WILL ENHANCE FUTURE COOPERATION THROUGHOUT THE FOREIGN STUDENT'S CAREER. IT MAKES A TREMENDOUS DIFFERENCE IN OUR ABILITY TO COMMUNICATE AND COORDINATE WHEN THERE IS PREEXISTING MUTUAL UNDERSTANDING AND WHEN WE CAN BEGIN WITHOUT MANY OF THE CULTURAL AND PERCEPTUAL OBSTACLES THAT MIGHT OTHERWISE EXIST. 1257 IT IS UNFORTUNATE THAT OUR BUDGET PROCESS ITSELF OFTEN GENERATES PROBLEMS WHICH DETRACT FROM THESE IMPORTANT BENEFITS. MOST TRAINING, PARTICULARLY THE LONGER COURSES, INVOLVES MAJOR PERSONNEL ACTIONS WHICH REQUIRE DISLOCATION OF THE AFFECTED OFFICER AND HIS FAMILY, REQUIRE ASSIGNMENT OF A REPLACEMENT, ETC. THE BETTER MILITARY ESTABLISHMENTS PLAN THESE ACTIONS WELL IN ADVANCE. FOR IMET RECIPIENTS, THIS MEANS PROGRAMMING PERSONNEL FOR THE TRAINING ON THE BASIS OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S REQUEST; IT WOULD BE TOO LATE IF THEY WAITED UNTIL THE BUDGET IS APPROVED. IF THE SUBSEQUENT ALLOCATION IS LESS THAN REQUESTED, SOME COUNTRY PROGRAMS MUST BE REDUCED, INCONVENIENCING MANY FOREIGN SOLDIERS, SOME OF THEM SEVERELY, IN THOSE CASES, WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN A GOOD EXPERIENCE WHICH PROMOTES A POSITIVE U.S. IMAGE, BECOMES ITS OPPOSITE. WE PUT THE RECIPIENT COUNTRIES IN A DILEMMA. IF THEY UNDERPROGRAM, THEY RISK BEING UNABLE TO FILL THE TRAINING QUOTAS WHEN THEY ARE AVAILABLE; IF THEY PROGRAM FULLY, THEY RISK THE HUMAN COSTS I HAVE DESCRIBED. MOST ADOPT THE LATTER COURSE RATHER THAN RISK LOSING TRAINING. THE IMET PROGRAM IS A SMALL ITEM IN THE TOTAL BUDGET. We SHOULD BE ABLE TO FULLY FUND IT. MR. CHAIRMAN, OUR SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS COMPLEMENT AND SUPPORT U.S. FORWARD DEPLOYMENTS IN EAST AS'A AND THE PACIFIC, PARTICULARLY IN THE CASES OF KOREA AND THE PHILIPPINES. MOREOVER, THROUGH THEIR CONTRIBUTIONS TO STANDARDIZATION AND INTEROPERABILITY OF EQUIPMENT AND TO MUTUAL UNDERSTANDING OF TACTICS AND OPERATING PROCEDURES, THEY ENHANCE OUR COLLECTIVE ABILITY TO DEAL WITH THE INCREASED THREATS TO PEACE AND SECURITY IN THE REGION. 34-045 0-84-480 1258 SECURITY ASSISTANCE IS AN INDISPENSIBLE COMPONENT OF OUR EFFORTS TO STRENGTHEN FREE WORLD DEFENSES AGAINST THE GROWING THREATS TO WORLD PEACE AND SECURITY, IN EAST ASIA, IT IS A PARTICULARLY VITAL PART OF OUR BILATERAL SECURITY RELATIONSHIPS WITH THE COUNTRIES OF THE REGION. WE BELIEVE THAT THE LEVELS REQUESTED ARE THE MINIMUM SUPPORT WE CAN PRUDENTLY PROVIDE TO THE DEFENSE IMPROVEMENTS AND MODERNIZATION OF RECIPIENT COUNTRIES' ARMED FORCES IN VIEW OF U.S. COMMITMENTS IN THE REGION AND THE NATURE OF THE THREATS POSED BY VIETNAM, NORTH KOREA AND THE SOVIET UNION TO REGIONAL STABILITY AND PEACE. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you, Mr. Kelly. Mr. Greenleaf. STATEMENT OF CHARLES W. GREENLEAF, JR., ASSISTANT AD- MINISTRATOR, BUREAU FOR ASIA, AGENCY FOR INTERNATION- AL DEVELOPMENT Mr. GREENLEAF. Mr. Chairman, I have a very brief oral state- ment in addition to the written statement submitted for the record. Thank you for this opportunity to testify on behalf of the AID request for fiscal year 1985, with emphasis on Southeast Asia. Our total request of $315 million for assistance to Southeast Asia includes $157 million in development assistance for Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Burma, as well as regional programs in the South Pacific and with the Association of Southeast Asian Na- tions (ASEAN). It also includes $100 million in economic support funds for the Philippines and Thailand, and $58 million in Public Law 480, titles I and II food aid. Poverty alleviation remains the underlying purpose of AID pro- grams in Southeast Asia. Economic growth in the context of equita- ble social and economic policies is essential to this goal. Our ap- proach encourages sound economic policies, supports indigenous scientific capability, and the development of technology, as well as stimulates private institutions critical to the economic development process. My written testimony discusses the AID program in Southeast Asia and our projects for fiscal year 1985, Mr. Chairman. I look forward to answering any questions that you may have about our request. [Mr. Greenleaf's prepared statement follows:] 1259 PREPARED. STATEMENT OF CHARLES W. GREENLEAF, JR. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: Thank you for this opportunity to testify on behalf of the Asia Bureau's request for Fiscal Year 1985, with emphasis on Southeast Asia. Our request for assistance to Southeast Asia includes $157 million in Development Assistance for Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand and Burma, as well as regional programs in the South Pacific and with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN); $100 million in Economic Support Funds for the Philippines and Thailand; and $58 million in P.L. 480 Titles I and II food aid. These amounts constitute about one-third of the economic assistance and one-eighth of the food aid in the total Asia Bureau request. Provision of these funds recognizes the considerable importance of these countries to the U.S. and the continuing serious development problems. It also recognizes the dynamic progress that is being made, in part with our assistance, in overcoming the regional burden of poverty. 1260 In the Southeast Asian countries, growth performance was uniformly strong throughout the 1970s. GNP in Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia all grew in the 6-7 percent range a stunning development achievement due in no small part to the adoption of wise development policies. The remainder of this decade should see continued growth through most of Southeast Asia, depending on economic policies, .levels of concessional and non-concessional capital flows, growth "pull" from developed country imports, and continuation of remittances. The World Bank suggests growth in the 6 percent range for Thailand and Indonesia. In the Philippines long-term prospects should again become excellent, if it successfully manages its current economic problems. A.I.D. PRIORITIES Poverty alleviation remains the underlying purpose of A.I.D. programs in Southeast Asia. Economic growth in the context of equitable social and economic policies is essential to this goal. Our approach encourages sound economic policies, supports indigenous scientific capability and the development of technology, and stimulates private institutions critical to the economic development process. 1261 Policy dialogue is essential. In all of our cooperating countries we work with host governments to improve economic and development programs and priorities, and remove obstacles to development that may be posed by inefficient policies. Good examples would be the Indonesia government's enthusiastic support for increasing rice production and increasing the scope of the family planning program. We support the application of effective technologies and institutional frameworks, in which the U.S. is relatively strong; thus technical assistance is a large part of the program, although the availability of grant funds may be a limiting factor. But capital assistance, carefully linked to technical assistance and training, will also be needed to demonstrate institutional and technical solutions to complex problems, and to increase effectiveness of policy dialogue. Private enterprise programming requires intense and creative efforts in policy dialogue, institutional strengthening, development finance, training and information exchange. The private sector is an important dimension of development, and we can be helpful in this . area. The character of our programs in the rapidly developing countries of Southeast Asia should begin to be modified in the next five years 1262 and beyond to reflect their changing economic status. A shift to more flexible programs stressing science and technology is occurring. INDONESIA With a $65 million Development Assistance program, $40 million of PL 480 Title I, and $8 million of Title II, our total Indonesian request is about the same level as we allocated last year. It is a substantial program consistent with the size and importance of Indonesia, and with the quality of the Indonesian Government's own developmental efforts. Indonesia achieved formidable economic progress through 1982. Thereafter, a sizable decline in oil exports, together with a continuing fall in non-oil exports, led to the emergence of a large balance of payments deficit and severe strain on budgetary resources. Economic growth slowed substantially to no more than 3 percent in 1982 from the 8 percent growth rate of the previous three years. Oil production fell 16 percent and oil revenues fell 12 percent. A severe drought reversed the steady rise in agricultural production. The balance of payments changed from a $2.5 billion surplus in 1981 to nearly a $7 billion deficit in 1983. In response to this deteriorating economic climate, the government undertook a host of reforms: 1263 1) devaluing the currency by 28%; 2) reducing fuel subsidies by 50%; 3) raising power costs by 20%; 4) closing the central bank's rediscount window; 5) decontrolling interest rates; 6) financing development activities with bonds; 7) rephasing more than $21 billion worth of industrial infrastructure projects; 8) reforming the tax structure. Early indications of the effects of these adjustment measures have been favorable. As a result of both internal measures and of the upturn in the world economy, the Indonesian economy is expected to improve in 1984. Prudent management during the good times and forceful responses to the bad have enabled 'Indonesia to weather the recessionary storm better than most oil exporters. The A.I.D. program in Indonesia has made substantial progress in each of its main elements: -Food production and resource management: The FY 1985 portfolio contains the latest in a series of agricultural research projects that began in the early 1970s. These projects have been essential to boosting rice production from 16 to 22 million tons per year. Project focus has broadened to encompass crops other than rice and 1264 greater geographical diversity. A.I.D. is also shifting the focus of other agricultural activities from the Irrigated lowlands to the rainfed uplands where environmental degradation and poverty provide new challenges. A.I.D. is cooperating closely with the World Bank in this area; in a collaborative innovation, we will monitor the Bank-funded activities along with our own in a joint project, Upland Agriculture and Conservation. -Improving primary health care and institutionalization of family planning: The Diarrhea Mortality/Morbidity Reduction Project in the 1985 portfolio points the way toward achieving our goals in the health field. Diarrheal diseases are among the chief killers of children in the developing world. This project will make extensive use of Oral Rehydration Therapy, an inexpensive, simple and effective example of an appropriate technology. The Faculties of Public Health Project is an example of the increased sophistication demanded by the very successful Indonesian family planning program, which has moved beyond simple user motivation or family planning commodity assistance. The need now is for more advanced training and technical assistance to consolidate and institutionalize the gains to date and to extend those gains to harder-to-reach areas. The Government has repeatedly expressed strong support for the family planning program at the very highest level. . 1265 -Off-farm employment: A.I.D.'s Indonesia program attempts to harness the dynamism of the private sector to further development efforts. The Private Sector Development Exploratory Project has contracted with three U.S. consulting firms to provide American expertise to Indonesian small and medium businessmen, and is encouraging consultancy by Indonesian firms as well. The project is expected to prime the pump to introduce modern management techniques into the Indonesian private sector. We have two additional private-sector projects scheduled for funding this year to carry out such varied activities as management training and development of credit institutions. -Accelerating human resource development: We are also helping the Indonesians further develop their human resource base through training of personnel in a variety of sectors, as well as by cooperation in educational planning and policy efforts. They have a mammoth task before them at all levels due to the complexities of thousands of far-flung islands and concomitant cultural differences. We are also training research specialists and teachers of extension agent trainers through agricultural university departments and rural communications training programs. 1266 PHILIPPINES For FY 1985, we are requesting $39 million in Development Assistance, $95 million in Economic Support Funds, and $10 million in PL 480 Title II food assistance. DA levels have been approximately constant since 1979 when, during negotiations on the Amended Military Bases Agreement, it was understood that the DA would not be supplanted by ESF. ESF levels reflect the Reagan Administration's pledge of its best efforts to obtain from Congress $900 million of economic and military assistance during FY 1985 - FY 1989 as the result of the satisfactory conclusion of the review of the Military Bases Agreement during 1983. U.S. interests in the Philippines are security, economic development, and trade and investment. t. Our economic and humanitarian interests emphasize breaking the cycle of poverty and establishing a more equitable pattern of economic growth. The Philippines is a U.S. treaty ally and U.S. security assistance is a major factor in assuring continuing unhampered use of Clark Air Base and Subic Bay Naval Base. Compared to an average annual economic growth of six percent during the 1970s, the Philippine economy experienced a slower growth of 2.6 percent in 1982 and 1.4 percent for 1983. Some forecasters expect no economic growth at all during 1984. The global recession 1267 and an increasingly unfavorable trading climate have hindered economic growth and further aggravated fiscal and balance of . payments problems. As have other developing countries, the Philippine Government tried to maintain living standards and government services by borrowing heavily to offset growing trade deficits. The Philippines has recently been shaken by a series of traumatic political and economic events. Senator Aquino's assassination sparked demonstrations in which certain political changes were demanded. The unsettled political situation arising from the assassination aggravated a difficult foreign exchange situation, forcing the Philippines to seek a rescheduling of its foreign debt. Putting the Philippine economy back on a path of self-sustaining growth will require hammering out a financial package with the IMF and the commercial banks as well as successfully implementing the longer-term economic policy reforms advocated by the World Bank. The Philippines has abundant natural and human resources which we believe will permit it to resume stable and equitable economic growth, provided it takes the necessary steps to weather its current economic difficulties. 1268 Even the relatively rapid economic growth of the 1970s did not significantly improve the well being of the majority of poor Filipinos who live in rural areas. The Philippine Government initiated an impressive array of rural development activities and social service programs targeted toward the rural areas. The benefits of these programs were often offset, however, by economic policies which taxed the rural sector while protecting the modern urban sector. The World Bank's program of structural reforms, which is strongly supported by A.I.D., addresses such policy issues. A.I.D.'s current development assistance program strategy is based on a comprehensive analysis of the dimensions and causes of poverty in the Philippines. This analysis identified an estimated four million poor households, most of which are rural. To address the problems of these poor people, our development assistance program strategy aims to increase rural productive employment. The strategy emphasizes four areas:(1) fertility and infant mortality reduction; (2) rainfed resource development; (3) rural private enterprise development; and (4) better management of local resources. We are continuing to fund family planning programs as well as beginning to test rural-based financing schemes for health services. Rainfed resources development addresses a range of ecológical and farm production problems affecting rainfed farmers, 1269 traditional fishermen, and landless laborers. Rural enterprise development, which will increase employment for the rural poor, is supported through technical assistance and training carried out in cooperation with a variety of public and private sector institutions. Through our local resource management effort, we are supporting rural financial services which will develop ways for local government units to mobilize private sector resources for development activities. The current FY 1980-1984 ESF program is evenly divided between activities which will improve socio-economic conditions for Filipinos living near the U.S. military facilities and nationwide economic development activities, comprising such projects as rural energy development and construction of markets, elementary schools, and rural roads. For the period FY 1985 through FY 1989, ESF requested will total $475 million. Activities will concentrate more on rural development nationwide focusing on agriculture, rural industry, and energy while a few programs will continue to be devoted to areas adjacent to the U.S. military facilities. We are planning to place about one-half of the ESF resources into a series of non-project assistance activities which directly alleviate the severe Philippine balance-of-payments problems while simultaneously programming local currency to support selected economic development efforts. 1270 In FY 1985, we are requesting $95 million in Economic Support Funds. One-half of the FY 1985 ESF will support additional components of FY 1980-1984 ESF projects already under way. The other half of the FY 1985 ESF program will finance a new non-project activity, the Rural Productivity Support Program (RPSP), which is designed to address Philippine balance of payments problems. The RPSP will also accelerate on-going rural development projects of A.I.D., the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank by ensuring that local currency is provided to activities which would otherwise be delayed because of GOP budget reductions resulting from the current economic conditions in the Philippines. We are also requesting $10 million for Title II in FY 1985. Maternal and child health care programs will be favored during the phase-down between now and FY 1987, when Title II is scheduled to be phased out. The programs we have proposed are in the U.S. strategic and economic interest, but at the same time, they have been designed to benefit the rural poor who make up the majority of the 50 million people living in the Philippines. 1271 THAILAND We are requesting $27 million in Development Assistance and $5 million in Economic Support Funds in FY 1985. Last year's DA request was slightly higher, but the ESF level is unchanged from a year ago. As the "front line" state in Southeast Asia, Thailand, in concert with its ASEAN partners, is central to the preservation of peace, security and cooperation in the region. The United States has a fundamental interest in helping Thailand maintain its independence and its influence among its neighbors. In support of this interest, U.S. economic policy in Thailand is directed toward the use of trade and investment to help sustain broad-based economic development, with continued reliance on the private sector and openness to the world trading system. We also share Thailand's goals of supporting refugee programs, antipiracy activities in the Gulf of Thailand and the control of illicit narcotics trafficking from Southeast Asia. Thailand has experienced a consistently high rate of economic growth since the early 1960s. Gross Domestic Product in real terms grew at an average of about 7 percent annually over the last decade, bringing Thailand to the threshold of middle income status. The 1272 Thai economy is expected to continue to grow at a real rate of 5-7 percent per annum during the next five years despite sluggishness in the global economic system. While these accomplishments have been impressive, Thailand's growth pattern has been uneven in terms of its sectoral composition and discribution of benefits. Rural areas, largely dependent on rainfed agriculture, have benefitted little from the country's overall growth, while urban localities have experienced rapid and sustained growth. Moreover, certain structural problems have emerged during the past several years. These include the limited amount of additional land that can be brought into cultivation, the estimated 12 million people subsisting under conditions of absolute poverty, and the markedly deteriorated trade balance with a deficit in the trade account of $2.5 billion in 1983, The Royal Thai Government's current five-year plan addresses these structural imblances in the economy and attempts to distribute benefits more equitably. This plan is the first to explicitly recognize the need to alleviate poverty in backward rural areas. A.I.D. program strategy in Thailand supports the Government's objectives to improve conditions in rural areas. In addition, the A.I.D. strategy is encouraging the private sector to play a vigorous role in Thai economic development. A.I.D. is also 1273 . supporting the transfer of scientific and technological knowledge and skills appropriate to an emerging middle-income country. We believe Thailand's future economic growth will depend increasingly on applications of science and technology to expand its agriculture and growing industrial base. Support in this area is consistent with A.I.D. endeavors to provide assistance that is supportive of Thailand's changing economy and managerial capacities. The FY 1985 program emphasizes: Expansion of the public and private sector scientific and technological resource base, in support of rural development. Improvement in national development policy formulation, planning and management. Increased participation of private voluntary organizations in the development process. Continued support of the Thailand National Family Planning program which seeks to reduce the rate of population growth to 1.5 percent by 1986, including greater coverage of underserved areas. . 1274 Provision of Economic Support Funds to assist some 200,000 Thai villagers in Laotian and Kampuchean border areas adversely affected by the influx of refugees and military incursions. BURMA For FY 1985, we are requesting $15 are requesting $15 million in development assistance for Burma. This level will continue to support Burma in health and agriculture, two areas essential to its development. U.S. Interests and foreign policy objectives in Burma, the largest country in mainland Southeast Asia, are political, developmental, humanitarian and commercial. The U.S. is interested in the long term stability and progress of Burma as an independent nation in Southeast Asia. The U.S. also has a strong development and humanitarian interest in Burna, which stems from a recognition of Burma's favorable long term potential for growth, particularly in the agricultural sector. Although it is one of the world's ten poorest countries in terms of per capita income, Burma is capable of satisfying most food and other basic human needs of its own people and even of contributing to world food supplies. U.S. commercial interests are also assuming increased importance. The U.S. development assistance program, which was resumed in 1980 after an absence of 15 years, is designed to support both U.S. 1275 objectives and interests and Burma's own priority development needs. It is often identified by the Burmese Government as a key contributing factor in the continuing improvement in bilateral relations. A.I.D.'s strategy is to select a few sound Burmese development efforts in key sectors that show significant potential of contributing to Burma's economic growth, and to concentrate A.I.D. support on these programs for a sufficient period of time to show measurable results. A.I.D.'s program concentrates on supporting two high priority programs of national scope: maize and oilseeds production in the agricultural sector and primary health care in the health sector. The objective of A.I.D.'s agriculture sector support is to increase Burma's production of selected food crops, increase rural incomes and improve nutrition. The objective of A.I.D.'s health sector support is the reduction of morbidity and mortality, especially among infants and children. In addition to the above efforts, A.I.D. also supports the development of Burma's human resources through training programs, mostly in the United States. Accordingly, the program requested for FY 1985 will: 1276 Continue support to a long term effort to increase the production of selected food crops such as maize and oilseeds through Improved technology; Continue assistance in edible oil processing and distribution to benefit Burna's consumers, its producers' cooperatives, and its private sector; Start strengthening Burna's neglected capacity to undertake applied agricultural research; 1 Continue supporting expansion of primary health care services to rural areas; and Continue training Burmese in key development skills. SOUTH PACIFIC REGIONAL For FY 1985, we request $6 million in Development Assistance, a 13 percent increase over last year, for the ten island nations included in A.I.D.'s program for the South Pacific: Cook Islands, Niue, Tonga, Tuvalu, Western Samoa, Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu and Kiribati. 1277 The A.I.D. program began in the mid-1970s, primarily in response to requests from our ANZUS partners (Australia and New Zealand) to increase U.S. presence in the region. The U.S. role is one of a minor donor, with A.I.D. supplying about one percent of the total. Our objective is to maintain a useful and meaningful presence in the region, in concert with and supplemental to the major donors. The A.I.D. strategy is to provide modest, non-bilateral and indirect assistance from a regional development office located in Fiji. For the most part, this assistance is provided through intermediaries to the ten independent island countries. Intermediaries used are U. S. and indigenous private and voluntary organizations (PVOs) which implement about 70 percent of the current program, some local regional institutions, and the Peace Corps. The latter has primary responsibility for implementing a small grants program that supports self-help rural development projects with income-generation objectives, A.I.D. assistance consists of both "grass roots" community projects The and regional programs which benefit all the island countries. strategy emphasizes agricultural, fishing and small business income generating opportunities for rural and urban islanders, and helps them satisfy their basic needs, primarily through appropriate training and education activities. Included are out-of-school, non-formal education and vocational training in needed skills, 1278 principally for small farmers and fishermen, village women, and unemployed youth, and assistance to regional institutions in agricultural development, satellite communications, water and sanitation, tuna research, and training. Experience to date indicates that the A.I.D. program strategy is increasing developmental skills at lower levels of society. Further, several island governments now make better use of other donors' bilateral and multilateral programs. Private enterprise assistance has focused on the individual entrepreneur--the farmer, the fisherman, the craftsman. ASEAN A program level of $4.8 million in grant Development Assistance is planned for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). A.I.D. assistance to ASEAN is funded from the Asia Regional account and will continue support to ongoing ASEAN regional projects. ASEAN regional projects concentrate on improving the capability of existing regional institutions, mainly by provision of technical assistance and training, frequently in regional institutions founded or supported in the past by A.I.D. Since FY 1979, A.I.D. ASEAN assistance has benefitted Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Recently, 1279 Brunei joined the group. ASEAN's purpose is to establish regional identity and to promote regional cooperation. We have strongly encouraged this regional integration and stabilization, and ASEAN continues to be the keystone of U.S, regional policies in Southeast Asia. The ASEAN region has a population of more than 250 million, about two-thirds of whom reside in rural areas. Several social and economic indicators for the ASEAN region are relatively high compared to other developing areas. However, pervasive rural poverty, inadequate employment opportunities, large trade deficits and growing demands for a more equitable distribution of social and economic benefits could weaken the political and economic structures and the regional unity of the member countries. External assistance will continue to be sought by ASEAN. The A.I.D. program for ASEAN consists of agriculture, health, energy, and related training activities. From FY 1979 through FY 1983, we have committed $17.3 million for U.S.-ASEAN development cooperation. There are currently nine ongoing A.I.D.-ASEAN regional projects. A.I.D. assistance to ASEAN regional projects is additional to A.I.D. bilateral assistance to Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines. 1280 CONCLUSION This summarizes the U.S. assistance request for Southeast Asia for FY 1985. We are working on some new approaches while holding to our basic purpose of helping countries meet the basic human needs of their citizens. I appreciate this opportunity to appear before you today, and am ready to answer your questions. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you very much, Mr. Greenleaf. Gentlemen, as we begin to consider the entire East Asia regional community, I would like to generalize with a few specific questions. I note in examining some of the FMS financing that there appears to be a substantial amount of FMS financing that has been unex- pended, and on which I have no current information. My informa- tion is through September 30, 1983. My first question is, can the unexpended balance be carried over to the next appropriation or authorization period? Mr. KELLEY. I will take that one, Mr. Chairman. I have with me, in case we get into further detail, the comptroller of the Defense Security Assistance Agency, Mr. Morris. But I would answer your question: yes, the unexpended balances can be carried over. But if I may, I would like very briefly to try to explain what the unexpended balances that are reported in our congressional presen- tation document represent. They represent-if I can draw an analo- gy in which a business would have a $1 million loan for the pur- pose of building a new facility. During the course of the contract and the construction of this facility, they might draw from the lending bank gradual amounts. That is in fact what we have here. We have something called commitments not shown in the document, that in fact cover the vast majority of the unexpended balances. For example, for the Philippines we have $138 million, I think, shown as unexpended balances. There is presently only $11 million of that, all from within the current year or last year, that are uncommitted. Senator MURKOWSKI. That answers my question. So in the case of the Philippines in particular, you would be proposing under the ad- ministration's proposal to add $60 million to that? Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. How many of the 11 or 12 countries in con- sideration in the regional group under discussion today carry a de- linquency in their account due the United States? Mr. KELLY. Mr. Chairman, the numbers, as I have checked them this morning, reflect that all of our countries are current on their payments except for the Philippines, which in two particulars, both of which have arisen within the last 3 months, are in arrears on some of their FMS credit payments. 1281 I have the amounts here with me. It is about $14 million total of principal and interest. There is also an arrears of about $15 million that has arisen on FMS cash cases, in which the Philippines had undertaken to pay through the U.S. Government for the provision of defense articles and services themselves. Senator MURKOWSKI. How does the government go about assess- ing an effort to maintain a current status on the repayment? Do they contact a country and ask for an explanation? Mr. KELLY. We certainly do. Senator MURKOWSKI. Do they extend the credit or do they just carry it in delinquent status as a consequence of the payments having been missed? Mr. KELLY. We work very closely with a country whenever a pay- ment situation becomes in arrears. As I am sure the committee is aware, sir, if FMS payments are unpaid for a year, the Brooke amendment requirements come into effect, which would severely impact the program. We have had nu- merous representations back and forth with the Philippines, sever- al of which are as recent as this morning, and in fact the Defense Security Assistance Agency has two of its key people in Manila right now discussing this issue with the Government of the Philip- pines and with our own military assistance group that is in Manila. Senator MURKOWSKI. Do you think it would be appropriate, since we only have one delinquency in the region, to consider condition- ing the FMS credits on the account being current before the au- thorization and funding of additional FMS credits is made? Mr. KELLY. I believe, sir, that there may be other delinquencies around the world. I would not want to recommend that course, sir, because security assistance, like security itself, is based on our security require- ments, rather than being exactly analogous to a commercial trans- action. However, it is clearly a matter that under the law must be kept in consideration. Senator MURKOWSKI. I appreciate your concern for what may be the case in other areas. Unfortunately, the prerogative of this com- mittee this morning is limited to East Asia, and we have a pretty good record, with the exception, evidently, of the current status of the Philippines. If we allow a situation to occur where we continue to advance funds in this category of accounts when they are delinquent, then one has to question what kind of precedent we are setting for other countries who are making a genuine effort and not being treated any differently. It is my offhand opinion that there should be some- thing other than equality applied to those countries who cannot maintain the current status of their accounts. It would be reasonable, at least subject to your individual or col- lective ability to convince me otherwise, to recommend that as we consider these, since the Philippines is the only one that is delin- quent, that they be granted the incentive of bringing the account current before recommending to the full committee that the recom- mendation of $60 million by the administration be transferred into the account. So I leave it to you to convince me otherwise. Mr. KELLY. Well, sir, in part, Mr. Chairman, I would say we would only recommend this for very short, temporary periods. In 1282 the period that we have at issue here, for example, the vast majori- ty of the FMS credit arrears are less than 2 weeks old. There are a smaller proportion that I think go back to January 21. So we would recommend that this would only be something that would be very temporary. The requirements of law in the Brooke amendment would not permit any further developments on an ac- count that was more than a year in arrears, and with the process involved, the fiscal year not beginning until October, I believe we have adequate precautions to prevent that. Further, sir, I have information even as late as this morning of the serious intent of the Government of the Philippines to fully pay its debt. I would note they have paid $105 million on past FMŠ credits in recent years, and we expect that they will be able to con- tinue to do so. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Senator, we will keep you closely informed on this situation. The Embassy reported just this morning that they are aware of no official debt payment that has not been made before penalty clauses come into effect. Senator MURKOWSKI. The debt, the past due debt, is about $28 million to $30 million, then? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. No, sir. It is around $14 million. Senator MURKOWSKI. I thought you said there were two catego- ries. One was cash and one was FMS. Mr. KELLY. The cash debt, sir, really is just a delay in the progress payments that must be made. Senator MURKOWSKI. It is still a delinquency, is it not? Mr. KELLY. It is a delinquency, but it is not the same sort as fail- ure to pay the credit requirements, because the progress payments are only a share of the work that is proceeding and there is also a termination reserve which has been accrued and this provides us some protection. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, it either is or is not delinquent on the cash account. Mr. KELLY. It is an overdue payment, sir, and it is delinquent. You are correct that the total money owed us beyond its date is about $30 million, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you. There is a reference in all of the ASEAN countries regarding the manner with which we handle our FMS financing. The terminolo- gy is with regard to rates being set, and it refers to concessional and market interest rates. I know what a market rate is. A conces- sional rate I find a bit bewildering, and I would like to have an ex- planation of the application of concessional rates. Who makes the determination to set a concessional rate, which is a rate below market rates? Is it standard and uniform with the ASEAN countries? That would be my first question. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. With respect to security assistance, there are only two ASEAN countries for which we are requesting conces- sional rates. They are the Philippines and Indonesia, and the rate is the same. I believe worldwide that all FMS concessional requests this year are at the same rate. Senator MURKOWSKI. What is that rate? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I believe it is 5 percent. 8 1283 Senator MURKOWSKI. Why do we use the terminology, then, "market rate” as well, if we are only loaning it at concessional rates? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Sir, we are not loaning it only at concessional rates. For example, in the case of Korea the entire request would be at commercial rates or nonconcessional rates. Senator MURKOWSKI. OK. So the only two countries are Indone- sia and the Philippines that we are lending at concessional rates? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. And in those cases we are only requesting half at concessional rates and half at nonconcessional or market rates. Senator MURKOWSKI. So in the case of the Philippines, with your recommendation of $60 million, you are saying $30 million is your recommendation for eligibility for concessional rates? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. That is right, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. And in the case of Indonesia, where there is $40 million requested by the administration under FMS, half would be at concessional rates? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I believe that is correct, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. How do you make that value judgment? Do you make it in the State Department? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Well, it is initially made in the State Depart- ment. I guess it is subject to review, among other places, at the Office of Management and Budget. The principal person responsi- ble for this determination for the overall security assistance pro- gram would be the Under Secretary for Security Assistance. The basic criteria that he looks at in making that determination are essentially the same as are used in considering concessional rates for recipients of economic assistance. The most important thing there is basically per capita income, although debt service ratio and long-term ability to repay and other factors are taken in. It is a judgment, but it comes down in effect to, for the poorest countries—where we have already noted and taken account in our economic assistance program of the fact that we do not want, in helping them out, to burden them down with the kind of debt prob- lems that will ruin them in the long run--that we should follow the same philosophy when we are lending them security assistance. Senator MURKOWSKI. We perhaps should follow the same philoso- phy in this country and consider the significance of our deficit. It would be a terrible state of affairs if we could not support the for- eign security assistance loan program throughout the world be- cause our increasing deficits would not support it. But that is an- other matter for another time. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Sir, I agree with that. But I think the Asian area is a useful one to make a point. In the case of Korea, which no longer receives any concessional assistance from us but did receive quite a lot in the past, it is now the case that the total of all concessional assistance that Korea received over many years is less than 1 year's U.S. exports to that country. It is the case now that Korea is purchasing in the United States from American workers roughly $800 million a year of military. equipment, which as you will note is more than double what we are proposing in the way of new FMS credits. So these countries have a record on the whole of becoming paying customers over 1284 time, and the investment of helping them develop in the early stage really pays off and it pays off for our economy. Senator MURKOWSKI. I do not think I disagree with you there. I am just questioning how you can set a concessional rate realistical- ly when the price of money in the world at any given time equates worldwide. What we are doing basically with the other categories of econom- ic support and military assistance are grants. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think there is no other way to look at it than that. Those are grants. Senator MURKOWSKI. And it is significant. Those grants are meaningful. Thailand does not receive any consideration in this category of concessional rate. It is just given to the Philippines and Indonesia, which means somebody has to make a rather difficult value judg- ment. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. It is true that Thailand has a much more favor- able debt service ratio, for example, and that would have been a factor in that judgment. I think you are a banker, sir, and I mean, you could arrive at essentially the same result with an outright grant and a nonconces- sional loan. The fact is, when we have a loan at concessional rates, it is a mixture of grant component and the loan. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, that is true. But by the same token, the way the foreign military sales financing loan program is set up, they have the option of not taking what they cannot pay for. They do not have to take it all. It is available. It is negotiated. It is indi- cated, but their own financial priorities are going to dictate inter- nally what they can legitimately handle. And if you give them more than they can handle, the question has to come up, are you doing a disservice because they cannot pay you back? Then you run into the justification of trying to equate one country's borrowing in this category with a preferential rate. You know, if you are going to assist a country in its recovery, are you going to do it in the area of economic support? I am inclined to think so. That is where it will occur, as opposed to foreign military sales financing. Theoretically, that benefits us because they are buying those items from us. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Senator, these countries also, in differing amounts, have military requirements that they have to pay for. Since it all comes out of essentially one pot of economic resources, it is the feeling and it was the strong recommendation of the Car- lucci Commission that, in the case of countries that need grant as- sistance, that grant assistance really should apply across the board. Now, I suppose you could really give them an element of grant and then a nonconcessional loan. I believe the benefit of mixing in this way is it does involve a discipline. While there is a grant ele- ment, it does include the discipline that they are spending their own money and they are going to look at the purchases that much more closely than if they just had a slug of U.S. grant assistance, which they might spend more readily than if they had to go straight to the market. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, I think you will agree that the mixed category of grant and military assistance and repayment of foreign 1285 military sales, when you look at examples of some countries that have a mix within those categories, it is pretty hard to separate why one is in one category and not in the other. I am concerned here with concessionality when what we are trying to assist is the recovery, which can only come primarily from assistance in the economic support area in the form of a grant. I am not going to pursue this other than to say I have a con- cern about the propriety of giving a country that has the right of accepting or rejecting more than they can repay by making the al- lowance of a preferential rate for some countries and not for others. I think that our effort to equate assistance to those countries can best be expressed in the economic support area, which is a grant, which I totally support, as opposed to trying to restructure and jus- tify within the area of foreign military sales this assistance, be- cause I think if you are going to help a country recover you are probably going to do it in the area of economic support, which is a grant. Do you see the point I am trying to make? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think I see the point and I think I do disagree. I certainly agree that grant economic assistance will help countries develop and help them recover. I do not argue that principle. But I think also helping ease the burden of necessary military expenditures has some of that same effect. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is true, but they have to pay it back and they are buying it from us. That is the theory behind the credit program in the loan category that has been applied. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. They have to pay it back if it is at concessional rates, of course. Senator MURKOWSKI. They are not going to pay it back from any- thing that is generated from military sales, because these things do not add anything to the economic structure of the country. They do not produce anything. If you give them economic support funds they can buy tractors and produce a gross national product that will repay the foreign military sales purchases. But the ability of foreign military sales purchases to contribute anything functional for its own repayment is not- Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I understand that point and that is correct. But take the very vivid example of Korea. Had we not provided the grant military assistance we provided Korea in the past, they would have had to take it out of their own resources, because they needed that military support. And the end result is it would have come out of economic projects and tractors and other things. There is a certain fungibility of things. But in these countries, the ones for which we are requesting military assistance, and par- ticularly Thailand and Korea, which get the lion's share, have real military requirements and they are going to have to meet them out of their resources if they do not have assistance from us. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, I do not think you can necessarily put all three of them together. I think that the contribution that the United States makes in both the Philippines and Korea is most sig. nificant—that is an understatement-from the standpoint of their own national security. 1286 Now, we could discuss all day the merits of that. I would agree that Thailand is in a different set of circumstances. But I think we have shared our views and I respect your opinion. With regard to your support of the concessional rate structure, I still have a problem with the ability of the State Department to fairly administer an arbitrary application of rates favoring one country against another. With that, I think the record will express my concern. We will move now to the merits of some of the specific recom- mendations made by the administration and the ones that I see a little more enlightenment on. First of all, briefly, what is the policy of the State Department in categorizing the classifications of for- eign military sales as opposed to military assistance programs? One is a grant and one is a loan. At what point do you allow a classification into the grant MAP status and at what point do you examine the request and say, no, that is not a grant status, that belongs over in FMS? I have attempted to look in some detail into the requests that have come in from these countries on the categories, and there is not an awful lot of information. I have seen in the case of one country a memorandum indicating, based on our projections- meaning the Defense Department—and discussions with the coun- try, the principal projects for which requested military assistance funds are expected to be applied. This experience leads me to be- lieve that the formulation of these projections is kind of It is an effort, perhaps in cooperation with the Defense Depart- ment and the individual government, to put together an FMS list, as opposed to what I assume, the foreign government would come in with a specific list of what they felt they needed for their own military capability, and the State Department would pass on an opinion. But from what I have seen, it appears the State Department is part of the formulation of the wish list. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think there are two separate questions there. Senator MURKOWSKI. There are. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. One is the FMS versus MAP question. We have someone here from the Politico-Military Bureau, if you would like to address it on a worldwide basis. But let me just speak to the one element of grant in the case of this request, and that is the MAP for the Philippines. Frankly, sir, that is a product of the base review and negotiations. In the agree- ment we agreed, as part of this best effort, on what we would go for. Senator MURKOWSKI. Does the Philippine Government-and I do not mean to pick out the Philippines as an example among all of the Asian countries, but it seems to be the case today strictly by happenstance-did they submit a list totaling $60 million which is your recommendation? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Well, first, let me say, on the second part of the question Senator MURKOWSKI. I might forget the first part when it is my turn, but go ahead. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. On the question of our involvement in the for- mulation of these lists, it is fairly extensive. And when I say 1287 "ours," I mean the U.S. Government, not the Department of State. I mean, it is principally the Defense Department. We have in Korea a far more extensive example of what I am going to cite in the Philippines. We have in the Philippines a so- called JUSMAG [Joint U.S. Military Assistance Group), that con- sists of 27 U.S. military personnel and 5 U.S. civilians that work very closely with the Philippines Armed Forces in providing infor- mation on the kinds of equipment that are available and helping to assess needs and so forth. I mean, in the end it is their decision, though we may agree with it. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, is it our offer? Do we put a list to them that says, for example, you should have 100 trucks? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. In the end they have to make the decision on what they need and what they can afford. But there is a great deal of advice and involvement from us as to what various things can do and what we think is most appropriate. I think in every case we are talking, when you now come down to a $60 million FMS request or much larger requests in the case of Thailand or Korea, we are talking about an FMS program that is a fraction of the total defense needs of those countries. As I mentioned in the case of Korea, just in terms of purchases from the United States alone, their total purchases far exceed the amount that we have provided in FMS. Mr. KELLY. If I may, Mr. Chairman, I would just like to add something. First of all, I do not think that the process—and that is what this is, a process of dialog between the representatives of the United States, both State and Defense Department, and the coun- try at hand—that there is not much of an analogy here to the U.S. domestic and military budget program. We have a discussion with our counterparts within the country in which their security needs are identified and we try to reach a form of an agreement on these. These will often, but not always, involve the tabling of very lengthy lists of equipment that would be needed in the view of a particular country to meet its security needs over some period of the next few years. This assessment is then reviewed and comment- ed on by the mission in country, and is then reviewed and dis- cussed within the Washington panels as well. The actual amount of security assistance requested will frequent- ly not be related to that. It will always be smaller than the amounts that the country has indicated that it needs. But it may be so much smaller as to bear very little relationship to the overall assessment by the country of what it needs. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, let us talk about the Philippines spe- cifically. I asked a question, if you have a list from the Philippines indicating what they want to purchase with the $60 million that you recommend in that category? Mr. KELLY. We have had several lists, sir, which exceeded by many times the $60 million. I provided to the committee a consoli- dated list of the most recent items which we believe the Philip- pines would obtain over the fiscal year 1985 program if it is ap- proved. Senator MURKOWSKI. I did refer to that list. Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir. 1288 Senator MURKOWSKI. But it was very apparent that it appeared to be the State Department's list Mr. KELLY. No, sir. This is the Defense Department's view of what is appropriate. Senator MURKOWSKI. Oh, Defense Department. I stand corrected. Mr. KELLY. Or requested, or expected to be purchased by the Philippines. But there are many items not on that list that the Philippines may require or may believe they require or may have expressed an interest in. But these seem to be the items that are most likely to be provided with the $85 million of security assistance that the committee has been requested to provide. Senator MURKOWSKI. In the case of the Philippines, is their list classified? Mr. KELLY. The only part of it, sir, that is classified are the exact quantities of particular equipments and some of the dollars associ- ated with them. The list of items there, as I state in the letter, can be unclassified and I am ready to talk to it if you wish, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. For example, trucks. I assume trucks are unclassified? Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir; they are not classified. Senator MURKOWSKI. OK. Who makes the determination who the Philippines buys the trucks from, other than the United States? Does the Defense Department direct them to Chrysler, General Motors, or Ford? Mr. KELLY. We could do it two ways, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. How do you do it? Mr. KELLY. The two ways it can be done are, at the country's option, they may come to the United States military services, in this case the Army, and in a way join up with the U.S. Army's own buys of trucks. This would be an FMS cash case and they would receive exactly the same truck and they would pay the U.S. Gov- ernment, who in turn would use its own contracting procedures to obtain the trucks, just as we would for our own forces. Senator MURKOWSKI. So the actual routing of the transfer of that, then, the transfer would advance the money to them? Mr. KELLY. No, sir. The Philippines, in the case of Senator MURKOWSKI. Let us say they want to buy 50 trucks. How does that work? This is under the cash loan program. Mr. KELLY. For 50 trucks, the Philippines would announce that they wish to use FMS credits for those. They would identify these funds and the funds would be transferred from the Federal Financ- ing Bank to the Philippines' bank and in turn paid into the De- fense Security Assistance Agency's accounting center, so that the Army can then pay whichever U.S. manufacturer they are bought from. But I would say, sir, there is another procedure. The Philippines could make their own deal with a U.S. truck manufacturer and re- quest that that arrangement, a commercial transaction, be funded under the FMS credit provisions. That is also a possible way that it can be done. Senator MURKOWSKI. That brings me back to another subject that we talked about earlier. The payback on the FMS funding is scheduled to retire the debt within what period of time? 1289 Mr. KELLY. It varies, sir, from country to country. Senator MURKOWSKI. Let us talk about the Philippines. Mr. KELLY. In the case of the Philippines, sir, there is-- Senator MURKOWSKI. If you give them $60 million this year, how long do they have to pay that $60 million back? Mr. KELLY. It would vary, sir. For the concessional rate, which is 2 years grace and 7 years for repayment, the other $30 million-- Senator MURKOWSKI. When you say 2 years grace you mean no payment for the first 2 years? Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir; no payment for the first 2 years. Senator MURKOWSKI. No interest payment for the first 2 years? Mr. KELLY. Interest would be accrued, but not paid. Senator MURKOWSKI. And then they start paying, how? Mr. KELLY. Over a 7-year period they would amortize both princi- pal and interest over that time until it was concluded. Senator MURKOWSKI. How much is the Philippines' total debt on FMS? Mr. KELLY. Do you mean the entire debt of the Government of the Philippines? Senator MURKOWSKI. On FMS, yes. Mr. KELLY. It would be about $189 million. Senator MURKOWSKI. $189 million. And they have only been car- rying it, then, for a couple of years? Mr. KELLY. Oh, no, sir. Some of this would go back 5, 6, or 7 years. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, if they are paying it back over a 7- year period, it would seem to me that the outstanding balance of the total FMS unpaid credits would be far in excess of that. What did we give them last year? Mr. KELLY. $50 million, sir, in credits, of which $11 million are still not drawn down. Senator MURKOWSKI. And the year before? Mr. KELLY. $50 million, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is $100 million. The year before? Mr. KELLY. The year before was also $50 million. Senator MURKOWSKI. So you have $150 million. Mr. KELLY. They have not yet fully borrowed against those cred- its, would be my answer. Senator MURKOWSKI. Yet they owe less than $200 million? If they have been doing it for several years, it would seem to me their balance would be more than $200 million. Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir; except they only have to pay what they have actually borrowed against. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is right. So are you implying that they have not during those previous years borrowed the total amount that was available to them? Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir. They have not borrowed the total amount available over those past years. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Also, sir; the repayment starts rather quickly, so some of it is repaid. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, if you have a 2-year grace period you are not starting the repayment very quickly. Mr. KELLY. I think, sir, it might be helpful if I provided for the record of this committee a very detailed breakdown of those past 34-045 0-84-82 1290 payments from the Philippines, so that you can clearly see which year is reflected and which debts. I have a payment schedule here, but it does not relate very directly to the past grants. Senator MURKOWSKI. What do we have, say, for Korea, where we have been lending significantly larger amounts? Maybe I can find it. [Pause.] Senator MURKOWSKI. It was $1.7 billion, I gather, which was the principal amount through September? Mr. KELLY. Yes, sir. Of that, $767 million has been paid back, so it would be the difference or a little bit less than $1 billion. Senator MURKOWSKI. So the country is really mortgaging its future income for debt retirement from this category. Mr. KELLY. It is mortgaging its future income against its own se- curity, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, that depends on your total point of view, of whether the security of Korea and the Philippines are to- tally independent of the United States. This is one Senator that might argue a little on that point. Mr. KELLY. I would agree with you, sir. We have 39,000 U.S. troops in Korea and they are not inconsequential to the defense of that country. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. But also, Senator, the South Koreans are taking an increasingly large burden of that defense, and at our urging. I think they also know that if they want to keep our commitment there they have to increase their share, as they have been doing. Senator MURKOWSKI. We were pursuing the classification, and somehow we got off the subject a little bit, of how you keep it cate- gorized separately, the grant military assistance vis-a-vis the for- eign military sales. In other words, I have from you a list of poten- tial FMS purchases. However, there is a recommendation for $25 million in MAP, and I do not have anything other than a random narrative of parts and odds and ends and so forth and so on. Mr. KELLY. Senator, the MAP and the FMS credits are both ways of providing defense articles and services and training. The only difference in these, sir, is that the U.S. taxpayer pays the full amount of the MAP funding. With regard to the FMS credits, these must certainly in principal, if not in full interest as well, conces- sionary or otherwise-recipient countries must pay back the amount of the FMS credits. So they buy the same things, sir, but the source of the money to pay for them is different. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. The breakdown, sir, is a negotiated one as a result of the review of the bases. Senator MURKOWSKI. Who negotiates that? The Defense Depart- ment? The State Department? There is an awful lot of flexibility here, gentlemen. You say that in the MAP “these funds will be used as appropriate for equipment listed in the paragraph on FMS financing. We on the committee are expected to make a determination of whether we approve or disapprove of your budget. We really are trying to ascertain whether we approve or disapprove of your dis- cretion. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. There are two things, sir-- 1291 Senator MURKOWSKI. Now, please do not misunderstand me. I am not talking about you. I am criticizing the system here. I am talk- ing about our whole foreign aid program under this set of applica- tions. So my criticism or frustration is not directed toward you. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I understand that, sir. But there is a further step in this process, and there has to be. As Mr. Kelly described earlier, we, working with countries, develop an idea of what their military needs are, and these military needs in every case far exceed what our FMS or MAP or combined request comes up with. Only after they actually know how much money they are getting and also look at their own budgetary picture will they make a deci- sion on what they are actually going to buy. Those requests will invariably or almost invariably come in being some part of that list that you have in front of you. When it comes in, in fact there has to be a U.S. Government de- cision made, and by law Congress has to be notified if those amounts-if a total sale exceeds a certain amount or if an individ- ual item exceeds a certain amount, and then of course Congress has the opportunity to disapprove it. So once the money is appropriated, authorized and appropriated, the individual expenditures then have to be approved as well. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, in fairness, the MAP is limited this year to two countries, the Philippines and Thailand. Previous to this it had only been extended to Thailand? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. That is right. Senator MURKOWSKI. So you seem to use different justifications to achieve specific recognition of a country. For example, if we use Thailand, the acknowledgment was made earlier in your presenta- tion that you did not give Thailand concessionary interest rates, for reasons we really did not go into. But that is the only country that has received MAP until your 1985 proposed budget. So it would appear to a novice that you are giving them due consideration for reasons on one hand and on the other you are treating them a little differently. Why are you giving them MAP and none of the other countries? Yet you are not ex- tending to them the concessionary loan interest rate that you are extending to at least two other countries? It seems like an arbitrary application of principle, which may or may not have a foundation. I am sure it has a foundation, but again, it seems like there should be some specific guidelines. They either meet a criteria or they do not meet a criteria. If they do not, then they fall into another category. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think there has to be some discretion. I think, with respect to the basic question of what countries are considered eligible for concessionary military loans and which are not, the single dominating criterion is per capita income, and the same standard that the World Bank uses in deciding what countries are eligible for concessional development loans. It is not the only criterion and, of course, in the case of countries with whom we have base agreements, we invariably end up negoti- ating these best efforts packages. The Philippines is not the only one. And in the course of those negotiations, one of the bits of ne- gotiating capital our people can put on the table is to increase the 1292 grant component of the assistance. That is where the $25 million figure in the Philippine case comes from. Senator MURKOWSKI. I am going to excuse myself. I have to leave to vote. We will just take a short recess. [Brief recess.) Senator MURKOWSKI. I apologize for the brief inconvenience. Ob- viously, I had no control over the timing, though. We were discussing a couple of points. One was the application of the military assistance category. I would like to conclude that, and then I have a different area of questioning to pursue. I believe we have one other witness and we will conclude this hearing by 12:30, so that gives you some idea of the timetable that we are on. What assurance do we have within the categories that there is a specific criteria for placing various things in the military assist- ance program category as opposed to the foreign military sales fi- nancing? I am back to that question. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Do you mean how would a decision be made that a particular item be funded with one rather than the other? Senator MURKOWSKI. Yes. Mr. WOLFowitz. That basically is the decision of the government involved, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. The government involved has that choice, then? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. They have that choice. Moreover, they also pur- chase things with their own cash. Senator MURKOWSKI. I know, but let us keep the conversation pretty basic Are you applying that in the case of the Philippines, if they wanted to increase their grant they would simply ask for more in that category? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Oh, no, no. I am sorry. Senator MURKOWSKI. I am asking for the criteria which you accept for a recommendation that it be placed in MAP. We have a recommendation from you of $25 million in the case of the Philip- pines. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. If we get the appropriation that we are asking for, they will have $60 million of FMS credits and $25 million of grant money. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is correct. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. And when they come in with a request to pur- chase specific items, they can use whatever mix of that $25 million grant or $60 million of credit and their own cash to pay for a par- ticular item. Senator MURKOWSKI. My logical question, then, would follow: Why then do they not ask for $50 million in military assistance and a lesser amount under FMS, because they will not have to pay it back? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. The answer is, I am sure if we had offered that in the negotiations they would have been very pleased and would have taken it right away. The outcome of the base review was to agree that we would do- Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, it is noticeable that in the previous years there has not been anything in MAP. It has been my under- standing that generally from a policy point of view we were trying 1293 to eliminate that category, because we have it today only in Thai- land and the Philippines and we previously had it only in Thai- land. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. There was a period when President Carter spe- cifically was trying to eliminate grant military assistance, and that is the reason in fact I believe why for a period over the last 3 or 4 years under the previous base agreement there was no grant- Senator MURKOWSKI. But you have not recommended it for any other country other than those two? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Not in East Asia, but elsewhere, yes, we have. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well then, let us stay in East Asia. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. The general recommendation of the Carlucci Commission, sir, was that there needs to be a grant component in military assistance for those same countries that we recognize the need for a grant component in economic assistance. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, I find that as less than within the reasonable realm of discretion, in the sense that you are just free to go out and negotiate, in the case of the Philippines, that we are going to go $25 million in military assistance where we have not done anything before, and we are not going to give any consider- ation to the other countries. That seems to be awfully broad discre- tionary action. That is my interpretation. The other thing that we have not talked about, that we should very briefly, if we can get to it briefly, is the manner in which con- sideration for the 5-year use by the United States of Subic and Clark were negotiated. It is my understanding that they were nego- tiated and those negotiations have been concluded. I do not know whether you were here when Senator Melcher rec- ommended in effect that those negotiations be reopened and, as a consequence of our close relationship with the Philippines, that ad- ditional consideration be given. Perhaps for the record you could enlighten the committee on the specific consideration given in the negotiations for the use of the bases, as opposed to any other con- sideration of the Philippines? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. As part of the base review, we agreed on a pack- age of economic support funds and military assistance over a 5-year period. It is our strong view that that should not be regarded as rent, but should be regarded as part of an overall security relation- ship from which we benefit through use of the facilities, the Philip- pines benefits both from our presence in the facilities and from this assistance. Senator MURKOWSKI. I think the record will reflect that I did not use the terminology "rent," and I understand that that is not your intention. I was referring to consideration and you are referring to the fact that it is a military assistance package that is before you. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. That is right, it is part of a total security rela- tionship. I feel strongly, sir, that we should not reopen agreements like that once they have been negotiated. I think one of the problems with the change in the allocation that has been proposed on the House side is that at least it could invite the other side, as I think Senator Melcher pointed out, to say: Well, if you want to change things, we will change things also. 1294 I think there is certainly a valid argument for additional eco- nomic assistance for the Philippines, having nothing to do with the facilities there or their value to us or to the Philippines, but having to do with the crisis the country faces. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, the fact that we have just recently, and with Senator Melcher's help, put together a package of emergency food aid, for example. I am not against addi- tional assistance, but I am strongly against reopening a very care- fully negotiated agreement. Senator MURKOWSKI. What do you think his particular point was? Not having had the benefit of being here through his entire testimony, it would appear to me, in view of the letter the Presi- dent sent to President Marcos indicating what the executive branch position was on a best efforts basis-and it does appear that since negotiations were concluded, that there was some semblance of agreement or the negotiations would not have been concluded, but there is a concern for additional consideration. You said you did not recommend it. But I am wondering if you could enlighten me on why he feels that additional consideration is necessary. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I should not try to speak for him, but I think I heard him say something with which I strongly agree. Maybe that is part of his thinking, namely that those bases are of great value and great benefit to the United States. I think that fact should per- haps be a bit more widely appreciated. That is why I feel strongly that we have to carry through on the best efforts pledge the President has made. However, I do not be- lieve that we should reopen it. I do not believe that we should pro- pose a larger package. And if the argument is that the Philippines has additional economic needs at this time, which I believe is a valid argument, we should consider that on its merits and not as something related to the facilities. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, in view of the substantial increase over last year's and the previous year's payments to the Philip- pines across the board-I think it is nearly a $100 million increase if you consider all the items that are included—that that repre- sents additional consideration and a best efforts basis, I guess, by the administration in following the President's recommendations to conclude successful negotiations with the Philippines. Is that your interpretation? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. It certainly is, although a lot of that increase also reflects the fact that there has been considerable inflation during the 5 years since we negotiated the last package. As a matter of fact, if you break down the new request into its economic component and military component, I think you will find that the military component has increased less than inflation during that period, although the economic portion shows a real increase. Senator MURKOWSKI. The countries in East Asia that have simi- lar consideration in their foreign assistance program to our coun- try include Korea, Philippines, and what other nations? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I am sorry? Do you mean that have alliance re- lationships with us? Those would be Korea and the Philippines. Senator MURKOWSKI. I mean, where we negotiate as we have done with the Philippines. 1295 Mr. WOLFOWItz. Only the Philippines. Senator MURKOWSKI. There is no consideration given for Korea in that regard for our military presence there? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. No. So far as I am aware, the countries for which we have these best efforts pledges are Greece, Portugal, Spain, Turkey, and the Philippines. Senator MURKOWSKI. Would it not be a little clearer to take the consideration out of the foreign assistance budget and just have it an actual negotiation, so you would not cloud the comparison of aid and assistance to the other countries, which theoretically are on the merits specifically of aid and assistance and not as additional consideration for a U.S. base? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Well, you make a fair point, Senator, that it is a pretty gray area. But the grayness, I think, is an inevitable result of the fact that the countries involved feel that what we are giving them is rental. We feel strongly as a matter of principle that it is not rental and that that is assistance related to an overall security relationship. That puts us in this gray area. Senator MURKOWSKI. It makes it very difficult to compare what our aid and assistance should be to the 11 or 12 countries that we have before us when one is singled out because of its uniqueness and because of our facilities there. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I grant you that there is an apple and several oranges there at the same time. Senator MURKOWSKI. The last area that I want to get into, and I will be specific with the Philippines again, is the question of the position of the House Foreign Affairs Committee with regard to striking all of the $60 million in FMS credits. The rationale of the House is simply to change the mix and not the dollar amount? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. That is correct, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. They have stricken the military sales and added to the economic support. I do not have their report, but I assume the justification for that was a concern and a perception with regard to the Government of the Philippines currently and whether it would be construed that an increase in military support of $10 million, which was the increase proposed by the administra- tion, would be seen as having some political overtones associated with the Marcos government? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. No, sir. I believe that in the report-and I know Congressman Solarz, who is the author of the original change, in testimony and in conversation has indicated that the rationale is not to drop military assistance, but to convert loans to grants, so that what they have come up with is an entirely grant package. And from that point of view, from an economic rationale, it makes sense and probably would have some attraction at this point in time to the Government of the Philippines. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is true, but that would prohibit the purchase of these items that Mr. Kelly has indicated have been re- quested. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. It would not limit the purchase. It would just mean that they would have to take it out of their own funds, sir. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is correct. : 1296 Do you think, Mr. Kelly, that they would go ahead and pursue these purchases? Mr. KELLY. They will pursue some of them, sir, but they might not pursue all of them. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I would say, as a point of agreement, that I am pleased to note that the House Committee in its report noted the importance of carrying out the President's best efforts pledge. Senator MURKOWSKI. Right, keeping the entire dollar amount. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. That is right. Senator MURKOWSKI. I agree with that. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. And keeping the agreement. I think one of the problems is in changing the mix in this wayand by “in this way” I mean what would be a unilateral action by the U.S. Government or the U.S. Congress-it at least arguably invites the reopening of the whole package and the whole agreement. I think we have a base agreement that very much serves U.S. in- terests. I think we have succeeded, particularly in the recent very difficult months in the Philippines, in separating our presence in the Philippines from the political issues the country faces and making it clear that those facilities would not keep us silent on issues, but at the same time we were not going to have them drawn into the political debate. I think something that could appear to revise the terms of that agreement invites reopening the agreement and invites reintroduc- ing the whole issue of those facilities into Philippine politics, which would not serve American interests or Philippine interests, I be- lieve. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well, the elections are scheduled for May 16, is that correct? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I believe it is the 14th. Senator MURKOWSKI. Well then, what role in an observer capac- ity might the United States be asked to contribute? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. The Philippine Parliament has actually issued an invitation to both Houses of Congress to send observers to the elections. That would be I think, apparently, a very welcome form of observation. Except by invitation, I think it is not our practice to supervise other people's elections. Senator MURKOWSKI. No, but when asked that puts a little differ- ent light on it. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think it definitely does, and I think it would be welcome and I think it would serve our interests as well as the in- terests of the Philippines. Senator MURKOWSKI. So would you recommend that the Congress send observers at the invitation of the Philippine Government for this election? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think it would perform a very useful function, sir, yes. You are talking about elections that would be conducted over an enormous area, and I believe there are 50,000 islands in the coun- try, so one could only observe a portion of it. But I think even that is useful. There is within the Philippines a very impressive grassroots movement, a national movement for free elections, which is orga- 1297 nizing a very impressive effort, an indigenous effort to monitor the elections. Senator MURKOWSKI. As far as observing it, how meaningful is this election in the sense of expanding a democratic base in the Philippines? Is the National Assembly which will be elected in May to have any meaningful power, or does the constitution dictate oth- erwise? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think it does have meaningful power. The Philippine Constitution, as I think everyone knows, gives extraordi- nary powers to the President. But Parliament itself has powers, and I believe the process of selecting leaders in a democratic way- and a number of important steps have been taken that would seem to suggest the possibility of a truly open political competition, in- cluding a reregistration of all voters in the Philippines, to try to get rid of dead voters and phantom voters and so forth, and a number of other requests that were specifically demanded by the opposition and that the government has granted. I think this says that it will be an election that will, in fact, help to choose a new future leadership. Senator MURKOWSKI. You have indicated the extraordinary powers that the Constitution provides to the President, and to ask if you support or if the administration supports that really is a question that is not of our affair. It is strictly a matter for the Phil- ippine people to decide through the appropriate democratic process. But indeed, there is a perception in this country that that is the case, and there is a perception that the Aquino investigation has been handled in less than an appropriate manner. Again, that is subject to a great deal of interpretation, and I do not think that we can evaluate the merits. That again is something that is the re- sponsibility of the people of the Philippines. I am concerned about trying to resolve this mix between your proposal in the area of military sales and the House's proposal and the fact that it is going to be resolved in conference. My recommen- dation would very possibly be in the area of a compromise to reduce the military sales from $60 million to $30 million and in- crease the economic support from $95 million to $125 million. So for the benefit of the balance of this discussion, that is my tentative recommendation. My rationale again is based on a couple of reasons. One is the question of where we can best assist the Philippine people in their recovery, and is it indeed by increasing by $10 mil- lion in the area of military sales or can it be done in the area of economic support? I am inclined to agree that it should be in the area of economic support. Now, the thing that concerns me is what kind of signal that is going to send to the Philippine Government and how they are going to accept that, if indeed the conferees come up with some kind of compromise where the amount is insured but the FMS credits are reduced. Since I have had an opportunity to examine just what the FMS credits are for, I personally am satisfied that they are not of a type that will be used by the current government in the Philippines to bascially enhance its political objectives. This list of hardware does not basically do that. 1298 On the other hand, I am not so sure the media is going to com- municate that fact, because there are an awful lot of assumptions around the United States that an increase in the FMS area will somehow benefit the continued political authority and power of the government In view of the attitude of the House, which I have attempted, and I think quite well, to address, in recognition that there is a de- linquency, although it has been very well explained by Mr. Kelly, on the FMS credits, I am inclined to think that my recommenda- tion will be to keep the total dollar amount, but reduce the FMS by about $30 million and increase the economic support to $125 mil- lion. I am open-minded, however, on the outcome of the elections and how those elections are handled. Not that it is directly an affair of the United States, but obviously it is of great interest to the United States for stability in that part of the world. As a consequence, I would be willing to make a recommendation to keep a good deal of flexibility within the area of the conferees that will ultimately resolve this. That is a rather extended position, but I think it tries to accommodate your interests and the impor- tance that you have placed on military sales. I think it is responsi- ble because it attempts to direct a perception. I think it is accepta- ble to the Philippine Government because the overall dollar amount is still there. And I think it offers ultimately an incentive to carry their credits in the current category. I am going to have to vote again, unfortunately. If you have any rebuttal to my recommendation, you have a couple of minutes. Mr. Wolfowitz. I can do it now or give it to you for the record, sir Obviously, I prefer what you just said to what the House action has been. I would still like to see the original mix or, if we were to depart from the original mix, I think it should be something that is done by a mutual agreement of our two governments and not as a unilateral action by us. Senator MURKOWSKI. I would hope that by keeping the total dollar amount, at least from the standpoint of our intent here in the committee, it would reflect that we want to keep the entire dollar amount intact. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I think that is a very important point, which the House also made and which I certainly appreciate. I think it should be emphasized that we are not arguing about the total; we are arguing about the composition of the total in the light of the economic circumstances in the Philippines, and not attempting, as I do not think we should be trying to do, to send political signals. I think our use of facilities in the Philippines is not a political signal of approval for a particular government or a particular party, nor should they become signs of disapproval. I think we have an arrangement that works very well. Senator MURKOWSKI. I have one other question that I am going to ask you upon my return. I hate to keep you over, but I will have to. Brief recess. Senator MURKOWSKI. We will try to conclude this hearing within the next few minutes. I apologize for these delays. 1299 You were concluding your remarks about convincing me that I should change my mind as regarding my recommendations. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. I am glad to hear that, Senator. Did I succeed? Senator MURKOWSKI. No, but I remembered at least what you were speaking of when we recessed. Mr. WOLFOWITZ. If I could recapitulate quickly, I would like to see the original request approved, of course. I think it is critically important-and I am glad to see we have a consensus with you and with the House-that the full request be approved. I also believe, however, that the mix that we have requested be- tween FMS and ESF should be the one appropriated, unless by some mutual agreement, not just of our own government but with the Philippine Government, we come to a different mix. Senator MURKOWSKI. That is fair enough. I appreciate your point of view. I might advise you and formally advise the committee that when we get into the foreign assistance markup I am going to question at great length the appropriateness of a couple of things that we have discussed at length here. One is the manner in which concessional rates are made avail- able to some countries and the categorical requirements for dedica- tion of specific items into the appropriate classifications, specifical- ly the military assistance program. I think we should have, from the standpoint of congressional intent, some specific definition of what we mean, and not just leave it up to an incidental or a parts category. And last, I think that somehow we should have the ability to compare our nations fairly, recognizing that in the case of the Phil- ippines we have a unique relationship based on the fact that we have two strategic bases there, and when you throw that in as a consideration, as opposed to a rental, which it is not, I think it dis- torts the concept and application of assistance. Furthermore, I intend to pursue the significance of what econom- ic aid I think can do ultimately to speed the assistance, and I think that the trend that has been established to reduce military assist- ance is a good one, one that I would continue to support. I would anticipate spending a good deal of time within the full committee on examining in more detail the foreign military sales financing application. With those general comments, I will move away from the specif- ics of the budget to a couple of housekeeping matters. Senator Helms has requested as a member of the Subcommittee on East Asian Affairs that the subcommittee hear an additional witness today, and I will call on that witness at the conclusion of the panel, Dr. Jacqueline Kasun. I want to advise Dr. Kasun that Senator Helms is on the floor managing an agricultural bill, so he will be unable to join us. I will introduce her later. Without objection, I am going to introduce a prepared statement by the Lawyers Committee on International Human Rights, as re- quested by Senator Pell, and it is entitled "Human Rights in the Philippines. [The statement referred to follows:] -- 1300 PREPARED STATEMENT OF THE LAWYERS COMMITTEE FOR INTERNATIONAL HUMAN RIGHTS, NEW YORK, N.Y.1 In September 1983, the Lawyers Committee for International Human Rights sent a delegation to the Philippines to examine the human rights situation in that coun- try. Based on that visit, as well as additional information gathered both before and since the trip, the Lawyers Committee issued a 142-page report on human rights in the Philippines in December. We concluded that a deplorable and deteriorating human rights situation today infects both the quality of life and the long-range se- curity of the Philippine Republic. MILITARY ABUSES Despite the technical lifting of martial law in January 1981, in recent years seri- ous abuses by Philippine security forces have continued unabated throughout the country. In the past year, they have grown worse. Political killings of civilians, par- ticularly in areas with an active communist insurgency, have increased dramatical- ly since 1982. As noted in the State Department's Country Reports on Human Rights Practices for 1983, more cases of summary execution by government security forces were documented for the first half of 1983 than for the entire year of 1982. Nineteen eighty-three also brought a dramatic rise in cases of disappearances, the unlawful abduction of civilians by government forces. During the first half of 1983, 79 disappearances were documented-a startling rise over the 29 cases documented for the entire year of 1982. Those who survive arrest or unlawful abduction by security forces are frequently tortured in barbaric fashion. Persons seized as alleged subversives are beaten, suffo- cated, choked with water devices, subjected to electric shocks, burned, raped and mutilated. Like political killings and disappearances, documented instances of tor- ture increased sharply in 1983. Today, torture is a standard operating procedure of Philippine security forces engaged in counterinsurgency efforts. While these abuses violate Philippine law as well as international norms, the most pervasive form of abuse in the Philippines-arbitrary arrest and preventive detention without charge-has the sanction of law. Pursuant to a series of presiden- tial decrees, President Marcos has claimed for himself the power to order people ar- rested without warrant and held without bail until he personally orders their re- lease. Last year the Supreme Court of the Philippines upheld these broad powers, and declared the judiciary powerless to review the validity of the detention of anyone arrested in this fashion. Accordingly, merely by calling someone a threat to national security, President Marcos can detain him or her indefinitely, at his sole and unfettered discretion. A system of one-man rule supported by military force provides the context in which these violations occur. Vital safeguards inhering in a system of checks and balances no longer operate. A subservient judiciary has acquiesced in President Marcos's assumption of broad legislative powers and important judicial functions, and has largely adbicated its vital role in protecting basic rights. HUMAN RIGHTS AND THE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS These patterns of abuse have had a profound and debilitating effect on the stabili- ty of democratic institutions and processes in the Philippines. In the countryside, years of human rights violations by security force personnel have produced a popu- lar wave of disaffection. Growing numbers of Filipinos have thrown their support to communist insurgents, whom they perceive as the most effective opponents of a brutal government. While estimates vary, the New People's Army (NPA), the armed wing of the Communist Party of the Philippines, appears to include from 7,000 to 10,000 members. Its mass base of support is substantially greater and continues to grow. The radicalization of rural Filipinos poses a serious challenge to democratic institutions in the Philippines. The assassination of Benigno Aquino last August triggered a parallel wave of pop- ular disaffection in Manila. Waves of protest unleashed by his murder, widely as- sumed to have been ordered at the highest levels of government, express growing discontent with over a decade of authoritarian rule. In the wake of the assassina- tion, the moderate opposition in the Philippines has insisted on a restoration of gen- uine democracy. 1 This statement was prepared by Diane F. Orentlicher, Deputy Director of the Lawyers Com- mittee for International Human rights. Since 1978, the Lawyers Committee has worked to pro- mote international human rights through law and legal procedures. 1301 Significantly, human rights concerns have figured prominently in the current debate over participation in parliamentary elections scheduled for May of this year. In January, the Philippines' highly splintered opposition agreed to participate in those elections only if six conditions were met by February 14. Chief among those conditions was the repeal of various laws and decrees that accord President Marcos marital law-type powers, such as the power of executive arrest and the power to enact emergency laws. In response, President Marcos agreed to suspend his power of warrantless arrest and detention only until June 1, 1984, but made clear his refusal to relinquish law-making powers. One opposition group has announced its tentative plan to field candidates despite only partial satisfaction of the six demands, while others have decided to boycott. Although the moderate opposition is thus divided on the question of participation, it is striking that the entire range of moderate opposi- tion forces agreed that this decision should turn, at least in part, on matters that go to the heart of human rights abuses in the Philippines. Democratic opposition forces have sent a message that the United States cannot safely ignore. The future of democracy in the Philippines is inextricably bound with progress on the human rights front. U.S. POLICY The turbulence that now racks the Philippines poses a critical challenge to U.S. policy. Expressions of anti-American sentiment have, to varying degrees, formed part of the protests that have taken place since the assassination of Senator Aquino. To a disturbing extent, recent calls for President Marcos's resignation have been coupled with protests against the continued presence of the two U.S. bases in the Philippines, Clark Air Force Base and Subic Bay Naval Base. In part, this senti- ment is the product of the U.S. Administration's verbal defense of President Mar- cos's human rights record during the recent period of serious abuses. Public state- ments such as Vice President Bush's unfortunate praise of President Marcos's “ad- herence of the democratic process” in 1981 have led many Filipinos to identify the United States with the worst excesses of the Philippine Government. More generally, the growing strength of communist opposition forces poses a long- term threat to the stability of an important strategic ally of the United States. This challenge cannot be met unless the Philippines' serious human rights problems are addressed adequately. As noted earlier, the increasing lawlessness of Philippine se- curity forces has greatly enhanced the popular appeal of non-democratic opposition forces.in the Philippines. On the positive side, several factors render the potential for a constructive and effective U.S. policy toward the Philippines far greater than in other troubled re- gions where strong security interests of the United States are at stake. First, long- standing ties between Americans and Filipinos make our capacity for constructive influence unusually strong in the Philippines. Indeed, in view of those ties, which are based on a shared commitment to democratic values and freedoms, Filipinos expect the United States to defend their fundamental rights when they are threat- ened. The U.S. Administration's perceived silence in that regard in recent years has been widely interpreted as tacit support for the authoritarian rule of President Marcos, and has done inestimable damage to U.S. relations with the Filipino public. Second, the very fluidity of current political developments in the Philippines ren- ders the potential impact of constructive influence by the United States far from negligible. And finally, while the steady growth of the communist insurgency poses a long-term threat to democracy in the Philippines, NPA influence today is suffi- ciently contained that effective solutions remain possible. Faced with the opportunity to promote a constructive resolution of the crisis that now confronts Philippine democracy, Congress should not fail to act. As Congress considers the administration's request for military and economic aid to the Philip- pines for fiscal year 1985, it should take affirmative steps to ensure that future aid is used (and is seen by Filipinos) to promote respect for fundamental rights and thereby secure a return to stable democracy in the Philippines. RECOMMENDATIONS A valuable first step would be for Congress to enact legislation requiring the Ad- ministration to submit semi-annual reports describing in detail the state of human rights observance in the Philippines and to supplement those reports if Congress should deem them inadequate. This requirement would ensure that Congress re- ceives up-to-date and comprehensive information on one of the principle causes un- derlying the present crisis in the Philippines, and would thereby enable Congress to tailor U.S. policy to the specific demands of a critical and rapidly evolving situation. 1302 At the same time, the reporting process itself would serve to promote human rights observance in the Philippines in a manner that is consistent both with our recognition of that nation's sovereignty and with our current obligations to the Phil- ippine Government. By requiring semi-annual reports on human rights observance in the Philippines, Congress would send an unmistakable signal that it considers im- provement in that area vital to its consideration of future aid requests or other as- pects of U.S. policy toward the Philippines. Yet, because the reporting requirement would not compel Congress to cut aid if the administration report reached certain conclusions, it would not give rise to the charge that it is an attempt to dictate in- ternal policies or that it compels action inconsistent with our obligations under the Military Bases Agreement (MBA) or other treaty obligations between the Philip- pines and the United States. In this respect, a reporting requirement would not impose any rigid restraints on Congress's ability to protect our security interests- embodied in the future of the U.S. bases in the Philippines. At the same time, by making human rights an integral component of U.S. policy toward the Philippines, the reporting requirement properly recognizes that progress on the human rights front is, in fact, necessary to the security of the bases. Today, the greatest threat to the future of the bases is posed by a growing perception among Filipinos that the United States is no longer a champion of their basic rights. Just as adoption of the reporting requirement would send an important mes- sage to the Philippine Government, it would send an equally vital message to the Filipino public, challenging their perception that the United States tacitly supports human rights violations in their country. In short, a reporting requirement would afford Congress the flexibility necessary to strike the proper accommodation be- tween our security interests and human rights concerns in the Philippines. The reporting requirement outlined above would enhance other efforts Congress may undertake to promote respect for democratic values in the Philippines. It would, for example, strengthen the value of the authorization bill recently reported out of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. Pursuant to a proposal introduced by Rep. Stephen Solarz (D-N.Y.), that Committee approved the Administration's re- quest for $180 million for FY 1985 as the first installment of a five-year package committed under the recently concluded MBA review. But instead of approving $85 million in military aid and $95 million in Economic Support Funds (ESF) as request- ed by the Administration, the Committee recommended that Congress grant $25 million in Military Assistance Program funds and $155 million in ESF. The Commit- tee thus recommended that Congress "front-load” the economic portion of aid com- mitted to the Philippines over the next 5 years, explicitly leaving open the possibili- ty of “back-loading" military aid in the later years of the agreement's term. This measure creates a valuable opportunity for Congress to signal the type of progress it considers relevant to its review of requests for future aid tranches under the MBA. The report of the House Subcommittee on Asian and Pacific Affairs states that "significant progress * in curtailing human rights abuses" is one of several factors that will be relevant to such deliberations, but a stronger message is both possible and necessary. Enactment of a reporting requirement together with the Solarz proposal would make clear Congress's concern that progress in human rights occur before military aid levels are raised. Additionally, the reporting requirement would allow Congress to signal its con- cern about specific problems of particular concern, thereby strengthening the con- structive potential of the Solarz approach. For example, legislation establishing a reporting requirement could specify particular areas—such as the President's power of preventive, indefinite detention that must be addressed in the Administration's report. In this way, the Philippine Government would understand that Congress is concerned about this particularly serious problem, while Congress would avoid the inter-governmental sensitivities that might be posed by an explicit requirement that such powers be abolished as a condition to future aid. In addition to the reporting requirement, Congress should specifically prohibit any aid to the Philippines Constabulary, a police force that operates under the com- mand structure of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). As a unit of the AFP, the Constabulary now benefits from military aid to the Philippines. But as a police force, it is barred by Section 660 of the Foreign Assistance Act from receiving such aid. The Constabulary is consistently identified as a gross violator of human rights. Accordingly, Congress should take affirmative steps to ensure future compliance with Section 660. By taking such measures, Congress can seize the initiative, help reverse destabiliz- ing trends in Philippine politics, and ensure a viable basis for United States-Philip- pine relations for years to come. Decisive action is as necessary as it is possible. Failing such action, the prospect of a further deterioration is disturbingly real. 1303 Senator MURKOWSKI. There is one other question, and this is a pre-prepared question concerning Thailand and the impact on other Southeast Asian countries if we were to sell the F-16. Do you have a position or a recommendation on sales of the F-16 to counter any threat that may be facing Thailand? And are they looking at any other aircraft that would be better suited, or do you have a position on it? Mr. WOLFOWITZ. Senator, Thailand and a number of other coun- tries in Southeast Asia and elsewhere have requested F-16's or ex- pressed an interest in them. It is something that is being studied right now, not just exclusively for Thailand or even exclusively for Southeast Asia, but on a worldwide basis. And before we make any decisions we will be consulting with the Congress on it. Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you. I think in view of the fact that this hearing has covered a good portion of the Asian countries, with the exception of China, and we have not had an opportunity to explore in any detail the arms sales to Taiwan and that matter, that I will schedule another hear- ing on China. It will include the matter of arms sales to Taiwan, so I do not intend to get into that at this time. We will attempt to schedule it very soon to accommodate your schedule, and hopefully it will not be as extensive in length as this. I trust that you will understand that my concern again was not to direct as much of this to the Philippines in particular so much as I was interested in getting into the overall procedure as to how the foreign military assistance financing is applied. You have been very helpful in providing that information from a working point of view with regard to how you have to work with what you have. Are there any other items of a pressing nature? (No response.] Senator MURKOWSKI. Very well, I will excuse this panel and thank you all for being here today. I am going to ask the last witness, who has been patient, to come to the witness table. I understand that there is a prepared state- ment. And I do want to advise the witness, Dr. Kasun, that she may come forward at this time. I want to introduce you to the committee. This is Dr. Jacquelin Kasun. I have indicated to you that Senator Helms cannot be present at this time. I want to also advise you that, should you wish to make a more extensive statement at the time that this committee will take up the matter of China and Taiwan under two separate areas of inter- est, you may feel free to do so. I am going to allow you a very short period of time today, with the option that you may, if you wish, care to have a reasonable amount of time, as opposed to what I am going to give you, which is an unreasonable amount of time, at the next hearing, which will be scheduled after the President returns from China, approximate- ly 1 week thereafter. If you do not understand that, I would be happy to repeat it. Ms. KASUN. I think I understand, sir, but you did not say what the unreasonable amount of time was. Senator MURKOWSKI. I am only going to be able to give you about 3 or 4 minutes. So you may summarize your statement and I will 1304 accept your entire statement for the record, or you may consider the alternative of making your entire statement verbally when the President returns from China. But I feel compelled to schedule it after that time because I think it would be more appropriate. STATEMENT OF JACQUELINE R. KASUN, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, HUMBOLDT STATE UNIVERSITY, ARCATA, CALIF. Ms. KASUN. I have submitted a complete statement and will give you a summary. Senator MURKOWSKI. It will be printed in the record. You may proceed. Ms. KASUN. My concern is with our population assistance to the People's Republic of China, Mr. Chairman. It is now widely known that the People's Republic of China is operating the world's most coercive program of population control, including forced abortion, sterilization, and infanticide. What may not be so widely known is that U.S. foreign aid dollars are supporting the Chinese program. According to the Population Reference Bureau, the Chinese population control program receives about $50 million a year from the United Nations, whose largest supporting donor is the United States. The Chinese program also receives support from International Planned Parenthood, which in turn gets a large part of its money from the U.S. Government. The Chinese were using a birth quota system as early as the early 1970's. By 1979 they had established the one-child family norm. By 1982, Christopher Wren was reporting in the New York Times on thousands of Chinese women being rounded up and forced to have abortions. Michele Vink reported in the Wall Street Journal on women who were “handcuffed, tied with ropes or placed in pig's baskets” for their forced trips to the abortion clinics. The People's Republic press itself now openly speaks of the "butchering, drowning, and leaving to die of female infants." As the horror of the system has mounted, so have the accolades in the population lobby press. Topping it all, Rafael Salas, director of the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, has presented the Chi- nese Government with an award for excellence. The Chinese system of population control is not the result of overpopulation in China, but rather the result of a catastrophic misdirection of policy and abuse of power by the Chinese Govern- ment. After more than three decades of economic mismanagement by their central planners, the Chinese people have realized one of the slowest rates of development and lowest standards of living on Earth. Most of their economic resources are unused. For example, less than a third of their agricultural land is in crops. Far more densely populated nations around them in Asia have forged ahead of them in economic development. Taiwan, with a population density more than five times as great as China, produces eight times as much per capita and has a larger volume of trade. The Chinese estimate that it now costs approximately three times their per capita GNP to prevent one birth in Guangdong. What this means is that with a tiny fraction of the effort now 1305 being lavished on stamping out births the Chinese could support the children in question and still have enough left over to mount a sizable investment program for the improvement of their economy. The United States cannot change the Government of China. We cannot stop their mad experiments upon their own people. We can and we should, however, separate ourselves from this savagery. For the sake of our national honor and our name in history, we should, we must, immediately terminate all support for the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, for the International Planned Parenthood Federation, and all organizations which support population control in the People's Republic of China. Thank you. [Ms. Kasun's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF JACQUELINE R. KASUN It is now widely known that the People's Republic of China is operating the world's most coercive program of population control, including forced abortion, steri- lization, and infanticide. What may not be so widely known is that the United States foreign aid dollars are supporting the Chinese program. According to the Population Reference Bureau, a population activist group supported by the United States Government, the Chi- nese population control program receives about $50 million a year from the United Nations, whose largest supporting donor is the United States. The Chinese pro- gram also receives support from the International Planned Parenthood Federation which in turn gets a large part of its money from the United States Government. 2 The Chinese program of population control has been operating with varying de- grees of intensity since the 1950's. It has been intensely studied and widely reported in the house publications of American population organizations—the Population Council , the Population Reference Bureau, Worldwatch, and related groups. Cultur- al exchanges between China and the United States have taken Americans to China and brought Chinese to this country to study and explain the system. American tel- evision and Steven Mosher's recent book Broken Earth: The Rural Chinese (Free Press, 1983) have brought it to public attention. By the early 1970's the system of birth quotas was in effect in China. The quota system meant that couples who had pregnancies out of turn were denying that privilege to others and were therefore subjected to intense peer group pressure for abortion and/or sterilization. Punishments—such as loss of pay and employment and dismissal from school--and rewards-such as payments for sterilization and va- cations for abortion-were in effect. The program was greatly admired by enthusi- asts such as the U.S. State Department's Ambassador Marshall Green for its use of the so-called "village system” of population control, because this system uses group rewards and peer pressure as means of enforcement. When the group reward (such as additional seed or fertilizer for crops) depends on meeting the village birth reduc- tion quota, group pressure on recalcitrant couples is very effective. The U.S. Agency for International Development admired the village system so much that, under the direction of Dr. R. T. Ravenholt, the agency introduced it into AID's program for Indonesia.5 From the two-child family of the 1970's it was only a step for China to the one- child family norm proclaimed in 1979. Increasing reports of repression and resist- ance began to reach the outside world at the same time as the evaluations by the United States-based population organizations became ever more admiring and fund- ing from the United States increased. 6 By 1982 Christopher Wren was reporting in Population Reference Bureau, Intercom, May/June 1983. 2 International Planned Parenthood Federation, Report to Donors, 1980, p. 40. 3 Pi-chao Chen, "Lessons from the Chinese Experience: China's Planned Birth Program and Its Transferability,” The Population Council, Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 6, No. 10, October 1975, pp. 354-366. 4 Ambassador Marshall Green, “U.S. Perspective on World Population Issues,” The Confer- ence Board, Dallas, Texas, March 30, 1977. AID, Memorandum for Assistant Administrators, Mission Directors, AID Representatives and Principal AID Officers, 11 June 1980; Hearings of Select Committee on Population, 95th Congress, 2nd Session, Vol. II, Apirl 25, 26, 27, 1978. & U.N. Fund for Population Activities, 1980 Report and 1981 Report. 34-045 O-RA. 1306 the New York Times on thousands of Chinese women being “rounded up and forced to have abortions." He described women "locked in detention cells or hauled before mass rallies and harangued into consenting to abortions.” He told of “vigilantes (who] abducted women on the streets and hauled them off, sometimes handcuffed or trussed, to abortion clinics” and of "aborted babies which were crying when they were born." ? Michele Vink reported in the Wall Street Journal on women who were "handcuffed, tied with ropes or placed in pig's baskets” for their forced trips to the abortion clinics.8 As Steven Mosher points out, the People's Republic press itself now openly speaks of the “butchering, drownings, and leaving to die of female in- fants and the maltreating of women who gave birth to girls” 9 in this society where only the son can care for his parents in their old age. As the horror of the system has mounted, so have the accolades in the population lobby press. The Population Reference Bureau lists is among "well-designed family planning programs.To Worldwatch, which is supported by the United Nations and therefore indirectly by the United States, cites it among its “Population Policies for a New Era.” 11 Planned Parenthood of Korea, which receives support from Interna- tional Planned Parenthood, which in turn receives support from the United States, has launched its own one-child family drive, 12 Topping it all, Rafael Salas, director of the U.N. Fund for Population Activities which was created at the urging of the U.S. Agency for International Development and which receives financial support from the United States, 13 has presented the Chinese Government with an award for excellence. I am proud to say that a distinguished member of my profession, Dr. Theodore Schultz, a Nobel Laureate enlisted as an adviser to the U.N. Fund for Pop- ulation Activities, told the agency to remove his name from the award. 14 The honey-voiced narrator of a Nova film being shown on public television in the United States assures us that this brutal program is necessary in order for China to “modernize" and to avert what she calls the "catastrophe” of excess population. The fact is, the Chinese system is catastrophe. It robs human beings of their dignity, treating them as if they were livestock being bred for the convenience of the state. The Chinese system of population control is not the result of overpopulation in China but rather the result of the catastrophic misdirection of policy and abuse of power by the Chinese Government. After more than three decades of economic mismanagement by their central plan- ners, the Chinese people have realized one of the slowest rates of development and lowest standards of living on earth. Though they have vast industrial and agricul- tural resources and are an industrious and intelligent people, their output in 1981 amounted to only $300 per person, barely enough for survival. Most of their econom- ic resources are unused. For example, less than a third of their agricultural land is 15 Far more densely populated nations around them in Asia have forged ahead of them in economic development. Taiwan, with a population density more than five times as great as China's, produces eight times as much per capita and has a larger volume of trade. 16 The Republic of Korea, with a population density four times as great as China's has a per capita output of almost six times as great as China's. 17 From the Great Leap Forward through the Proletarian Cultural Revolution and up to the current one-family drive, recent Chinese history has consisted of one mad experiment after another, with devastating consequences for the Chinese economy and the Chinese people. What China needs is not population control but political rationality and economic efficiency. According to Christopher Wren, the Chinese es- timate that it now costs more than $865 to prevent one birth in Guangdong. 18 This in crops. Christopher Wren, "Chinese Region Showing Resistance to National Goals for Birth Con- trol," New York Times, May 16, 1982. 8 Michele Vink, "Abortion and Birth Control in Canton, China," Wall Street Journal, Novem- ber 30, 1981. 9 Steven W. Mosher, “Why Are Baby Girls Being Killed In China?" Wall Street Journal, July 25, 1983. 10 Population Reference Bureau, Intercom, March/April 1983, p. 7. 11 Worldwatch Paper #53. 12 International Planned Parenthood Federation, People, Vol. 10, No. 2, 1983, p. 28. 13 NSSM 200, "Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security and Overseas Interests," December 10, 1974, declassified on December 31, 1980, pp. 121–122. 14 New York Times, June 24, 1983. 15 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAO Production Yearbook 1980. 16 World Bank, World Development Report, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982. 17 Ibid., 1983. 18 Wren, op. cit. 1307 is almost three times the per capita gross national product and fifteen times the annual cost of supporting a child in China. What this means is that with a tiny frac- tion of the effort now being lavished on stamping out births, the Chinese could sup- port the children in question and still have enough left over to mount a sizable in- vestment program for the improvement of their economy. A sustained and efficient development program of this magnitude would bring China to comfortable prosperi- ty rather than the ruin which it is now producing. The United States cannot change the Government of China. We cannot stop their mad experiments upon their own people. We can and we should, however, separate ourselves from this savagery. We should, like Professor Schultz, let the world know that we do not countenance or support such things. For the sake of our national honor and our name in history, we should--we must-immediately terminate all support for the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, for the International Planned Parenthood Federation, and all organizations which support population control in the People's Republic of China. HOW BAD IS THE SO-CALLED "POPULATION PROBLEM" IN CHINA? Many countries are more crowded than China, but few produce as little per person, as the following table shows: Persons per GNP per Country or State square mile, 1982 capita dollars, 1981 ............. Taiwan Rep. of Korea ......... Japan West Germany United Kingdom........ India......... Switzerland ..... China......... France ...... United States ........ Pennsylvania Maryland ....... New York......... 1,482 1,080 825 643 595 570 398 285 256 64 264 429 371 1 2,280 1,700 10,080 13,450 9,110 260 17,430 300 12,190 12,820 n.a. n.a. n.a. i Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Source: Population densities from Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1982-83; GNP figures from World Bank, World Development Report 1983. "1 WHAT SOME ECONOMISTS HAVE SAID ABOUT "OVERPOPULATION" Peter T. Bauer, London School of Economics: "It relies on misleading statistics; it misunderstands the determinants of economic progress; it misinterprets the causal- ties in changes in fertility and changes in income Mark Perlman, University of Pittsburgh: if we use antinatalist programs, we do so for reasons other than those simply offered by what we as economists now know." Goran Ohlin, University of Uppsala: the more rigorous the analysis and the more scrupulous the examination of the evidence, the smaller is the role attrib- uted to population as an independent source of ecomomics problems." 3 Nick Eberstadt, Harvard Center for Population Studies: “Over the past decade and a half the American government has leds a far-reaching and well financed effort to reduce fertility and curb population growth in the world's poorer re- 1 2 i With Basil S. Yamey, "The Third World and the West: An Economic Perspective," in W. Scott Thompson (ed.), The Third World: Premises of the U.S. Policy, San Francisco: Institute for Contemporary Studies, 1978. 2 "Some Econmomic Growth Problems and the Part Population Policy Plays," Quarterly Jour- nal of Economics, Vol. 89, No. 2, May 1975, pp. 247-56. 3 "Economic Theory Confronts Population Growth,” in Ansley J. Coale (ed.), Economic Factors in Population Growth, New York: John Wiley, 1976, p. 1. 1308 4 1 10 gions . . . The Spirit animating the American approach . . . was Malthusian. Mal- thusian theory is a poor foundation for economic development policy.” Richard A. Easterlin, University of Pennsylvania: “... there is little evidence of any significant association, positive or negative, between the income and population growth rates." 5 " of the increase in population] that the present world growth rate would produce in 71/2 centuries, most would take place in the last 150 years of the period projected.” 6 “it is difficult to build a strong case for such programs (of population control.” 7 Colin Clark, Oxford University: "This hysterical clamour about population growth leading to poverty, famine and uncontrollable environment deterioration is not only false; it has a still graver fault. It effectively distracts attention from the political questions, which will constitute the world's real problems.” 8 Julian L. Simon, University of Illinois: “Tens of millions of U.S. taxpayers' money is being used to tell the governments and people of other countries that they ought to take strong measures to control their fertility . . . But no solid economic data or analyses underlies this assertion. Furthermore, might not such acts be an unwar- ranted interference in the internal affairs of other countries?”' 9 Fred R. Glahe, University of Colorado: “ nations with the highest population growth rates have also experienced the highest growth in real output per capita on the average . . it should be pointed out that there is no law of diminishing returns with respect to technology . Senator MURKOWSKI. Thank you. I appreciate your statement. You made reference in your opening remarks to foreign assist- ance to China. I assume you were speaking specifically of U.N. aid, as opposed to aid from the United States, is that right? Ms. KASUN. That is right. The Chinese program receives some $50 million a year from the United Nations, whose largest support- ing donor, as you know, Mr. Chairman, is the United States. The Chinese program also receives support from International Planned Parenthood, whose largest supporting donor is the United States. Senator MURKOWSKI. I very much appreciate your testimony, and your entire statement will be entered in the record. You may feel at ease if you wish to make a presentation at the hearing which will be held on China, and it will include arms sales to Taiwan and it will be after the President returns from China, probably the 6th, 7th, or 8th of May. Thank you for your testimony. Ms. KASUN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [The following information was subsequenty received for the record:] U.N. FUND FOR POPULATION ACTIVITIES, New York, N.Y., April 2, 1984. Her Excellency MRS. JEANE J. KIRKPATRICK, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, Permanent Representative of the United States of America to the United Nations, U.S. Mission to the United Na- tions, New York, N.Y. DEAR MADAM AMBASSADOR: My attention has been drawn to testimony given by Professor Jacqueline R. Kasun at the Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asia and Pacific Affairs on 22 March 1984, in which she states "According to the Population Reference Bureau, a population activist group supporte by the 4 “'Population Control and the Wealth of Nations: The Implications for American Policy,” a Report prepared for the Under Secretary for Security Assistance, Science and Technology, No vember 24, 1981. 5 “Population," in Neil W. Chamberlain (ed.), Contemporary Economics Issues, Homewood: Richard D. Irwin, 1973, p. 347. 6 Ibid., p. 339. 7 Ibid., p. 337 8 Population Growth: The Advantages, San Ana: Life Quality, 1975, p. 105. 9 The Ultimate Resource, Princeton University Press, 1981, p. 7. 10 With Dwight R. Lee, Microeconomics: Theory and Applications, New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1981, p. 198. 1309 United States government, the Chinese population control program receives about $50 million a year from the United Nations, whose largest supporting donor is the United States”. The statement that Chinese populations programme receives about $50 million a year from the United Nations is incorrect. May I point out that UNFPA has provid- ed $50 million to China in support of its comprehensive population programme over a period of four years (1980–1984), and not one year. This support was approved at the 27th Session of the UNDP Governing Council, of which the United States is a member. UNFPA funds have been allocated in support of the first census to be un- dertaken in China since 1964 (approximately $12 million) and for such other items as demographic training and research, training of maternal and child health/family planning personnel, family planning services, delivery and programme evaluation and population information, education and communication programme. A further proposal for allocation of $50 million to China for the period 1985-1989 is being presented to the 31st Session of the Governing Council in June 1984. This will include projects on data collection and analysis, MCH/FP services and training, demographics research and training and population information, education and communication programmes. In providing support to population programmes, the UNFPA has been consistent- ly guided by the over-all considerations that these programmes should be voluntary and should respect the principle laid down in the World Population Plan of Action that “All couples and individuals have the basic right to decide freely and responsi- bly the number and spacing of their children and to have the information, educa- tion and means to do so." UNFPA does not support programmes relating to abortion and it may be pertinent to state here that no government has requested support for such programmes. At another point in her testimony Professor Kasun stated that “Topping it all, Rafael Salas, director of the U.N. Fund for Population Activities which was created at the urging of the Agency for International Development and which receives fi- nancial support from the United States, has presented the Chinese government with an award for excellence. I am proud to say that a distinguished member of my pro- fession, Dr. Theodore Schultz, a Nobel Laureate enlisted as an adviser to the U.N. Fund for Population Activities, told the agency to remove his name from the award”. The facts on this matter are that no award was ever presented by me or by UNFRA. The laureates for the United Nations Population Award are selected by secret ballot and by a committee of ten member states of the United Nations who are Australia, Bangladesh, Burundi, China, Colombia, Egypt, Japan, Mexico, Tuni- sia and Yugoslavia. As regards Dr. Theodore Schultz's resignation, I enclose a copy of a letter dated 30 August 1983 which I addressed to Dr. Schultz as the Secretary of the U.N. Popula- tion Award Committee, which is self-explanatory. It would be very much appreciated if the Chairman and Members of the Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asia and Pacific Affairs are apprised of the above facts so that any misunderstanding regarding UNFPA support to national population programmes in general and to the programmes in China, in particular, may be corrected. I remain, dear Madam Ambassador, Yours sincerely, RAFAEL M. SALAS, Executive Director. U.N. FUND FOR POPULATION ACTIVITIES, New York, N.Y., August 30, 1983. Prof. THEODORE W. SCHULTZ, The University of Chicago, Department of Economics, Chicago, Ill. DEAR PROFESSOR SCHULTZ: I have just returned to New York. Your letter of 18 July 1983 was received in my office on the twenty-second of the month, long after you released it to the Press. I have been in Japan and the Philippines since early July and had to reply to the inquiries of the New York Times over the telephone from Tokyo, without having seen the letter. I was surprised and distressed at the tone and content of your letter, which im- pugns without justification the integrity both of the United Nations Population Award Committee and the recipients of the Award. 1310 Although the texts of the Rules and Regulations were sent to you before you came to New York and I explained them to you in the Committee session, you seem to have neither read them nor understood the explanation, so let me repeat: The Committee for the United Nations Population Award, was established under General Assembly Resolution 36/201, and consists of ten member countries elected by the Economic and Social Council for a period of three years. Current members are Australia, Bangladesh, Burundi, China, Colombia, Egypt, Japan, Mexico, Tuni- sia and Yugoslavia. The Secretary-General and the Executive Director of UNFPA serve as ex-officio members of the Committee. Under Article 4 of the Regulations governing the Award, five eminent individuals who have made significant contributions to population-related activities are to be selected by the Committee to serve as honorary members in an advisory capacity for a renewable term of three years. Though the members of the Committee receive advice from the Honorary Members, their right remains to accept or reject any advice given, and to decide by secret ballot on their choice of awardees. The Com- mittee invited you to serve on these terms as an Honorary Member and you accept- ed. The Rules of Procedure of the Committee clearly states that decisions of the Com- mittee will be made by a majority of the elected and ex-officio members (Rule 6.1) and that such decisions must be made by secret ballot (Rule 6.2). Under Rule 8, all proceedings of the Committee are in closed session. It is understood that no partici- pant will divulge any information regarding the proceedings to any outsider. For you to release your letter to the public was thus a total violation of the confi- dentiality of the discussions of the Committee and of the good faith in which I sup- posed you had accepted our invitation. You stated in your letter“ on March 18 at the outset of the meeting of the U.N. Committee, it was announced that ‘only Heads of State' would be considered in making the award despite the fact that none of the qualified nominees for this award is Head of State or a high public official. The decision of the Committee was totally self-serving. As state appointed members, they decided to court favor of those to whom they are beholden regardless of the excellent qualifications of other nomi- nees”. This statement is totally inconsistent with the facts. The Committee held three meetings (20 January, 18 February, and 18 March 1983) to review nominations for the 1983 Award. At its meetings on 20 January and 18 February, it reviewed all the valid nominations and established the procedure and the modality for dealing with them. The third meeting of the Committee was called on 18 March for a final review of the nominations and the choice of laureates for 1983. All the honorary members were invited to attend this particular meeting. Three who were unable to attend sent written statements which were presented to the Committee. The Com- mittee received your advice at the morning session, and the advice of Dr. Raul Pre- bisch at the afternoon session. It was at the afternoon session, which you chose not to attend, that the final decisions of the Committee were arrived at through secret ballot. The Committee thus went through an extensive process of review before reaching its decisions on the 18th. At the end of the Committee session, a formal announce- ment regarding the decisions of the Committee was made by the Chairman of the Committe to the press and a copy of this announcement was sent to you. I find if somewhat strange, therefore, to receive a letter from you almost five months after the meeting, in which you accuse the Committee of being "self-serv- ing”, and call its integrity into question. How this award can "serve” the interests of the Committee members you never explained. Membership of the Committee was decided upon without bias towards any individuals or individuals and with full rep- resentation by various regions and groupings in the United Nations system. Its votes represent the judgment of the countries represented as to who merits the award. Your comment exposes your lack of understanding of diplomatic practice and the workings of the United Nations. I would also take issue with you on your statement that “the harm was done by awarding the prize to a public official in China where public policy is responsible for the appallingly high rate of female infanticide and a prize to the Head of State of India despite her cruel mandated sterilization". These statements are at variance with the facts. In the case of China, you ought to have known that female infanticide is a crime punishable by law. It is a centur- ies-old practice that the Chinese Government hopes to eradicate through its family planning programmes. It is as ludicrous to accuse Dr. Qian Xinzhong of being in any way responsible for female infanticide in China, as it would be to accuse the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services of social crimes in the U.S.A. 1311 In the case of Inida, the policy of her government has always been one of persua- sion and it has consistently opposed coercion in any form. During the 1975-1977 family planning campaign, there were a few cases of excesses committed by over- zealous officials; and these officials were suitably punished. Mrs. Indira Gandhi her- self has, on several occasions, quite clearly stated the voluntary nature of the Indian family planning programme, and has issued clear and specific instructions against use of any coercion in implementing the programme. You have maligned without justification two well-known and respected public offi- cials of India and China who are directly concerned with the implementation of pop- ulation programmes and policies in countries which comprise more than 40% of the world's population. Their performance in implementing these policies has been con- sidered impressive, not only by the members of the Committee but a large number of interested and concerned institutions and individuals around the world. The United Nations believes in the sovereign right of countries to determine their own population policies, with due regard for the rights of individuals and couples. While there is no denying your right to express your personal views in these mat- ters, I feel you have gone beyond the bounds of propriety by making self-righteous pronouncements in a field of which, as your letter reveals, you have very little un- derstanding. The Committee, with whom I have consulted in preparing this reply, has accepted your resignation as an Honorary Member of the Committee. And I want to assure you that we have removed your name from the list of Honorary Members and from all UN documentation to be issued henceforth on the subject of the Population Award. Yours sincerely, RAFAEL M. SALAS, Secretary, Committee for the United Nations Population Award. Senator MURKOWSKI. With that, we will conclude the hearing before the Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs on the foreign assistance program. I thank those of you who are left here. We wish you all a good day. [Additional questions and answers follow: STATE DEPARTMENT'S RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Question 1. In a recent released report titled Torture in the Eighties, Amnesty International outlines a 12-point program that governments can implement to end the use of torture as a tool of state policy. Most of these points focus on three main topics: (a) Government accountability for its occurrence, specifically investigating allega- tions of abuse by government officials and prosecuting torturers (b) Abolition of secret detention centers (c) Rehabilitation of torture victims. To what extent are these three actions acted on by the Philippines Government? Has the United States Government in the past urged the implementation of similar actions? Will it do so in the future? Answer. Torture is prohibited under the Philippine Constitution; however, some individuals arrested for violating national security laws have said they were tor- tured. The most reliable source of human rights statistics in the Philippines, Task Force Detainees in Manila, had no figures on the number of cases of torture in late 1983, when the State Department's annual human rights report was completed. The Philippine Ministry of National Defense admits that abuses occur and investigates complaints, but asserts that some charges of torture are false and are being used as a legal tactic by arrested subversives to gain their release. Most complaints of tor- ture or mistreatment center on the period immediately following arrest. In areas of military activity against insurgents, there have been allegations of military abuse ranging from harassment and extortion to rape and murder. Reports of alleged abuse have appeared in the press and have come from Philippine human rights organizations, which believe that the government is not doing enough to curb abuses and punish abusive military personnel. The Ministry of National Defense has investigated some reported abuses, but frequently has failed to find evidence. A combination of criminal prosecution and disciplinary administrative action has been used to deal with abusive personnel, although few receive severe punishment. In an official 1983 study for the Philippine National Police Commission, the un- necessary use of physical force was singled out as the most common police offense, 1312 accounting for more than one-quarter of all such offenses. Most of these violations were found to occur at the place of arrest or at police stations. The Commission stated that it was seeking fuller information on this undesirable phenomenon, with a view toward curbing it. Arrested persons are generally promptly charged, although this is not always the case, particularly with regard to alleged "national security offenders. Such individ- uals are sometimes held incommunicado by military intelligence units for days or even weeks before the government presents charges or acknowledges that it is hold- ing them. We are unaware of any programs aimed at the rehabilitation of alleged torture victims in the Philippines either by the Philippine Government or by Philippine human rights on civil liberties organization. We have asked our Embassy in Manila to look into this question. Amnesty International, when it asserted in its 1983 report that torture during in- communicado detention of persons arrested on national security grounds is "so prev- alent as to amount to standard operating procedure for security and intelligence units," noted that there were allegations of torture in 32 of 49 individual cases it had examined in 1981. It did not, however, estimate the total number of cases na- tionwide. As indicated previously, the Manila-based Task Force Detainees, the most reliable source of human rights statistics in the Philippines, had no figures on the number of cases of torture in late 1983. We are not aware what, if anything, the Philippine Government is doing about any secret detention centers it may be operating. U.S. Government officials have on numerous occasions expressed our human rights concerns to the Government of the Philippines. These concerns specifically cover the types of incidents cited in the Am- nesty International Report. We shall continue to engage in active diplomacy on human rights. We understand how difficult it is for the Philippine military forces to deal with the active Commu- nist insurgency, but we believe that all abuses of the civilian population must be halted. We know that the Philippine Government is aware of the need for an effective counterinsurgency program which combines social and economic programs with military measures. Question 2. The Philippines has an impressive constitution and laws that guaran- tee protection of key fundamental rights of its citizens. Yet there are a number of practices and legislation enacted which in effect undermine this protection and vio- late international law. Has the United States Government conveyed concern that such laws can encourage abuse and disregard for constitutional guarantees, and should therefore be reviewed with the possible aim of amending them or repealing them? Answer. The background notes submitted with the question list two Philippine legal procedures as subject to question: (1) waiver of detention, by which detainees waive their right to be presented to the proper judicial authority; and (2) the Preventive Detention Action (PDA), under which persons arrested and detained can have suspended the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus and can continue to be detained after acquittal or having served their sentence. I had not previously heard of the practice of waiver of detention. Upon checking, I find that the Department of State likewise knows of no instance where detainees in the Philippines have been forced to sign waivers of detention. We are asking our Embassy in Manila to look into the matter. As for the PDA, Section 15 of the Philippine Constitution does authorize the sus- pension of the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus “in cases of invasion, insurrec- tion, rebellion, or inninent danger thereof, when the public safety requires it.” As you suggest, however, the institution of the PDA was enacted by Presidential Decree and is an outgrowth of emergency legislation also enacted by decree during the period of martial law between 1972 and 1981. These arbitrary arrest and deten- tion powers have become an increasingly vocal political issue in recent months, and the political opposition and others in January 1984, called for the suspension of the President's authority to issue PDA's as a condition for participation in the May par- liamentary elections. Although President Marcos did agree to suspend PDA's for election-related offenses for the duration of the campaign, he has taken the position that abolishment of the pertinent presidential decrees might be a proper subject for discussion, once the new parliament has been constituted after the election. The United States has made representations to the Philippine Government on numerous cases, involving detentions under PDA authority, and has pressed for scrupulous regard for constitutional guarantees and for the completion of the political normal- 1313 ization process which was only partially realized when marital law was lifted in 1981. Question 3. What does the United States Government know of the paramilitary groups operating in the Philippines and reportedly responsible for abusing and ter- rorizing the residents in the area where the groups are located? Has the United States Government expressed its concern that such groups should be disbanded again in the light of the human rights problems that are created by their action? Answer. There have been reports about various paramilitary groups, including several “lost commands” for years. These appear to consist of private security forces, such as were especially prevalent in the pre-martial law era, serving particu- lar commercial or political interests, usually at the local level and often in remote rural areas, such as northwest Samar, the province of Agusan del Sur in Mindanao, and in the case of the “Rock Christ" group, in the Lanao provinces of Mindanao. These forces are reputed to include former soldiers, either those who have been dis- charged or deserters. At times some of these groups have been accused of abusive actions. Some stories have alleged connections between these “paramilitary groups” and elements of the Philippines Government or military. Some groups have boasted of such connections, but it is difficult to confirm such reports. Little has been heard about these paramilitary groups in the last year or so. In the past U.S. Government officials have expressed concern to Philippine authorities about these groups. MILITARY ABUSE Question 4. Why in your opinion does the Philippine Government not investigate and take action against the numerious acts of barbaric violence and abuse, extraju- dicial executions and "disappearances” allegedly committed by members of its mili- tary? Does the United States have an established procedure for communicating with the Filipino Government about individual cases of abuse that come to its attention? Answer. The Philippine Government has carried out investigations and has stated that substantial numbers of military personnel have been disciplined for abusive be- havior. In fact, however, they are seldom severely punished, and the punishments usually take the form of demotions or dismissal from the service. The State Depart- ment's annual report to the Congress for 1983 on human rights practices in the Philippines did cite several recent instances where members of the Philippine mili- tary were convicted and sentenced to long prison terms for crimes against civilians. The government has said that it is often difficult to gather evidence, and many cases remain unsolved. However, government investigations do not always appear to be pursued with vigor. Several years ago, President Marcos took cognizance of the strong U.S. Govern- ment interest in human rights and designated the Minister of Defense and the Office of Detainee Affairs within the Defense Ministry as principal points of contact through which our Embassy could communicate on individual abuse cases. We use those channels regularly, but do not hesitate to bring cases to the attention of others in the top levels of the Philippine Government, as warranted. [Whereupon, at 12:57 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.) APPENDIX STATEMENT OF WERNER FORNOS, PRESIDENT OF THE POPULATION INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, D.C. My name is Werner Fornos and I am the President of the Population Institute, a non-political public interest organization that promotes, through communication, education and information, public awareness to stimulate action toward reaching a more equitable balance between global population and global resources. I appreciate this opportunity to present this statement to the Senate Foreign Relations Subcom- mittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs. My reason for testifying is that when the Subcommittee held hearings on March 22, it heard from only one witness on the People's Republic of China's efforts to reduce its population growth. Unfortunately, that one witness, Jacqueline Kasun, a member of the Humboldt State University faculty, made no effort to be objective about the program. She is an acknowledged opponent of population assistance, who believes there is no population problem in a world that grew by an unprecedented 82 million people last year. She is certainly entitled to her opinions, but, in her zeal to advocate her position, she has presented testimony to this Subcommittee filled with innuendoes, half-truths and errors. If the testimony had been presented to Pro- fessor Kasun for a grade in one of the courses she teaches, I fear the student would be destined to repeat the course. Let us begin with Professor Kasun's opening sentence: “It is now widely known that the People's Republic of China is operating the world's most coercive program of population control, including forced abortion, sterilization, and infanticide.' Legal abortion is part of the People's Republic population program. There have been accounts of “forced abortions” in the U.S. press, as documented by Professor Kasun. It is not clear how extensive abortions or "forced abortions" are in China. At this point, and for the record, I would like to point out that the Population Institute does not advocate abortion as a means of birth control; on the contrary, abortion is the result of failure to adopt modern family planning methods. Voluntary sterilization is a legitimate method of family planning and one that is utilized in most industrialized countries. It is, in fact, the leading method of birth control in the United States. Market Facts, a New York based research firm, recent- ly announced that 11.6 million men and women in the United States have chosen sterilization as their method of fertility regulation, compared to 10 million who use oral contraceptives—the second most popular U.S. method. As for Professor Kasun's charge that infanticide is a method of reducing popula- tion growth in China, I can only conclude that she has been either misinformed or that she is terribly confused. I have visited the People's Republic twice in the last 4 years and I do know that infanticide is a problem that has the Chinese quite con- cerned. The constitution of the People's Republic of China provides explicitly for the protection of the rights and interests of women and children, including the prohibi- tion of infanticide. However, as reported in the Chinese press and described by the Chinese Govern- ment, cases of female infanticide have occurred, perhaps as a consequence of the feudal mentality that still exists among some people who view sons as more prefera- ble than daughters. The Government of China considers these cases as intolerable crimes and they have been dealt with sternly according to the law. Exposure in the press is part of the effort to mobilize public opinion to condemn such crimes. It is only with the support of its people that China has achieved remarkable progress with its family planning program. It is unreasonable to reproach China's family planning policy just because such cases are exposed and denounced in the Chinese press. The occurrence of social phenomena does not mean that it represents govern- ment policy. Professor Kasun has also asserted that the Chinese population program receives $50 million a year from the United Nations Fund for Population Activities (1315) 1316 percent of UNFPA funds while 72 percent came from 19 other donors in the indus- (UNFPA). The fact is that the UNFPA has assisted the Chinese population program for 6 years, with funding expected to total $51 million through 1984. Thus, China with 33 percent of the population of the developing world has received only 4 per- cent of the $1.2 billion the UNFPA has provided to voluntary population programs in more than 130 developing countries. In the 6 years that the UNFPA has been assisting the People's Republic of China with its efforts to reduce population growth, the United States has contributed 26.5 trialized world. The remainder was provided by developing countries, including the People's Republic of China. The UNFPA provided China with $18 million for technical advice, equipment, training, research, and analysis for census and related data collection. Equipment included 21 American IBM computers, which were provided following careful review by a U.S. interagency committee. Another $27.5 million was available for family planning program management and evaluation, education information, research, training and service delivery, as well as for contraceptive production and research. The remaining funds are being used for communication and education and for over- all program development and oversight. UNFPA assistance to the Chinese family planning program was reviewed in detail and approved by the UNFPA governing council, of which the United States and the governments of 49 other industrialized and developing countries are mem- bers. The program has been executed by highly qualified organizations, including elements of the United Nations secretariat, the World Health Organization, the Rockefeller Foundation and the Program for the Introduction and Adaptation of Contraceptive Technology. All have had extensive experience and deal only with voluntary programs. In addition to assistance from UNFPA, the population program of the People's Republic has received support from the Japan International Coopera- tion Agency, the Danish International Development Agency and from the Govern- ment of Norway. I think it is important to place into the record a summary of China's population growth problem and what that country is doing to remedy what its government views as a national crisis. In the 1970's, the People's Republic of China began its family planning program following 20 years of experiencing high birth rates, low mortality rates, and a high natural growth rate which resulted in a population increase of 280 million. Family planning is a basic policy and explicit in the Chinese constitution; China has a na- tional goal of keeping the nation's population within 1.2 billion by the year 2000. The program has succeeded in reducing the natural growth rate considerably (from 26 per 1,000 in 1970 to 14 per 1,000 people in 1982), but the rate is still far short of China's low growth target. The task ahead is arduous. China's population is now about 1.032 billion, which is 23 percent of the world total, or one-third of the population of the developing world. China's population is increasing by about 13 million annually. One-third of the pop- ulation (350 million) is under 14 years of age. In the 18 years from 1982 to 2000, it is anticipated that 11 million couples will marry each year. Should each of these cou- ples give birth to two children (22 million annually), a total of 400 million will be born by the turn of the century. In view of these facts and in line with its policy, China continues to advocate among its young people the principles of its family planning program: late mar- riages, late births, fewer births, and healthier births. With the aim of encouraging the one-child family, no marriage is contracted before the man has reached 22 and the woman 20 years of age, man and wife are dutybound to practice family planning, birth quotas have been established, contra- ceptive services are free and easily accessible. And incentives and disincentive play a large role in the implementation of this program. Acceptance of the one-child family is promoted through free child health care; child care contributions; work point awards; increased retirement income for par- ents; preference in employment, in housing, and in land distribution; and through cash awards. Neighborhoods are allowed to work out their own plan, including in- centive schemes. The Chinese Government follows through on the principle of education and per- suasion in implementing the family planning policy and tries to assure that the people understand the necessity of birth control and its benefits to the country and the individual. Government departments, with the help of national women's and youth organizations, have made concerted efforts to give advice and technical assist- ance. Dramatists, opera singers, musicians and painters have been drawn into the campaign to publicize the importance of family planning. 1317 Professor Kasun's testimony does not demonstrate evidence that she really knows much about China's family planning program nor, from the frequent footnoted ref- erences to secondary sources, does it indicate she has ever been to China. As I said earlier in this testimony, I have been there; I have seen the family planning pro- gram in action; I have talked with officials in the family planning program and, perhaps more significant, I have talked with many rank and file Chinese citizens about family planning. I do not profess to be an expert on China's family planning program, but I am more than casually acquainted with it. Professor Kasun indicates that the population lobby holds up China's program as one to be emulated by other developing countries. In the years that I have been associated with the effort to reduce global population growth, I have never heard or read about anyone in the population field suggesting that the Chinese program is worthy of emulation-cer- tain facets of the program, such as the ready accessibility of contraceptives to the most remote villages, perhaps-but not the program as a whole. There is, in fact, an ongoing controversy about the use of incentives and disincen- tives to ensure widespread use of fertility regulation methods. Incentives and disin- centives are devices used when a country is on the very brink of demographic disas- ter. It is relatively easy for a college professor in California to make value judg- ments on programs which may offend her sensibilities, but when you're living in a country with more than a billion people and you're looking ahead to an increase, by the end of this century, that is 50 million people in excess of the current population of the United States, you have hard decisions to make. I do not know that China is making all the right decisions. I know that its population growth is declining and that it still has a long way to go. I reject Professor Kasun's sophomoric argument that China does not have a population problem, but rather than it has an economic problem. The two problems are often inexorably intertwined. Finally, I would like to quote Dr. Qian Xinzhong, the Minister-in-Charge of China's State Family Planning Commission: "The socio-economic conditions and the development requirements of different countries are varied, therefore it is only natural that their population policies and measures will differ. At present, policies for population control have been adopted by developing countries with populations totaling 80 percent of the developing world and positive results have been attained, contributing immensely to the slowdown of the world's population expansion. "Developing countries must first and foremost rely upon their own efforts to solve their population problems by developing their national economies and taking effec- tive measures for population control. However, it also calls for friendly internation- al cooperation. In this light, it is beneficial that the United Nations and its popula- tion organs, particularly the United Nations Fund for Population Activities, have been of assistance to developing countries by providing cooperation.” I have met Dr. Xinzhong on several occassions and we have talked at length. I have found him to be a dedicated, decent individual, who has led a program in a country that has an unique demographic dilemma. He certainly does not deserve the abuse he received from a California college professor, who relies almost exclu- sively on secondary sources in her effort to attack a U.S. foreign assistance program that a vast majority of the developing world's people deem vital to its efforts for achieving economic progress and an improved quality of life. STATEMENT OF KEVIN F. OWENS, POLITICAL AFFAIRS REPRESENTATIVE, MOVEMENT FOR A FREE PHILIPPINES Mr. Chairman, at least three Senators with this subcommittee have at one time attempted to campaign as candidates for the office of President of the United States. They ran because they were convinced that the American public would be better served under this style of leadership than with the incumbent President they hoped to replace. Although the Presidential selection process is exhausting for all parties involved, no one denies any of you the right to compete for the office, or threatens your liber- ty when you challenge the leadership of those who do get elected. If you are unsuc- cessful with your campaign, you can try again in four years. President Reagan at- tempted three national campaigns before he finally won the White House. The American political process, while not perfect, is a good system. It works well in creating and moderating leadership. It gives an open forum for critics against government policies, and an opportunity for those critics to try to win a chance to affect national direction. It gives the people a chance to either support their nation- al leaders, or to replace that leadership if they are unhappy. It works well, by pro- 1318 tecting the rights of all to compete and complain and to advocate their own ideas of government. Imagine for a moment that things are different. Picture in your mind a President you remember, or maybe someone in the future yet to hold that office. This Presi- dent has served his 8 years in the White House, and is approaching the end of his term convinced that no likely candidate offers leadership of good caliber. This Presi- dent is ending his tenure under a cloud of controversy over widespread government corruption, ballot fraud charges, and abuse of his authority. A large element of the society is so unhappy with his Administration that they are protesting in the streets, and the public is so disturbed with his misuse of the Presidency that they are ready to call a Constitutional Convention to revise the rules of government. But, this President is powerful, and getting rich in office. If he leaves office, he may face legal challenge to the wealth gained through corruption. He will no longer have the power, the wealth, and the control of a nation at his disposal if he accepts the constitutional limits on his tenure, and steps down. To preserve his position, this President creates a subversive threat. Some public facilities at the Capitol are blown up. A few government cars are shot at. The President declares these actions the work of a “Communist insurrection” that threatens the security of the country. This insurrection naturally requires prompt and drastic action. So the President obliges, and declares martial law. All newspapers and media facilities are closed. Banks are closed. Critical business is nationalized. Congress is closed, and the opposition lead- ers are arrested and jailed. The President then reconvenes Congress, with only members of his own Party able to attend. Under the intimidation of martial law, this Congress agrees to a new Constitution allowing the President tenure for life, barring elective challenge. The President is given the right to legislate by decree. the public vote on this new consti- tution is supervised and counted by the Army, and the Armed Forces are led by President appointees. When the press is allowed to publish again, they are forced to submit to government censorship, or be closed. Criticism of the President, the Armed Forces, or the government is prohibited. Criticism of any kind may be inter- preted as a communist threat, and result in arrest without the right to trial. The President's friends and family then begin to “nationalize" any business or property they deem critical to national security, and assume personal control of these properties. Any challenge to these actions is a security threat, and dealt with harshly. Assume, in this changed America, you are a Senator from the opposition party. You have been jailed on the first day without charge or trial. If you continue to demand a trial, the government will create evidence that proves you were part of a conspiracy, and try you before a military tribunal, unless you accept publicly the President's action to "save the country”. This could not happen in America. Are we so sure? Could any of the recent Presi- dents have attempted it if they were sure of the Armed Forces support? It hasn't happened yet in America, and I pray to God it never does. But it did happen in the Philippines. Everything I've just described took place in this former American terri- tory. Twelve years ago, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, nearing the end of his 8-year reign as President, created an “insurrection” threat, and declared martial law. The Army arrested and jailed opposition members after the press and Congress were closed. President Marcos, who was facing public demonstrations against his corruption, ballot fraud, and abuse of power, created a new Constitution that gave him the Presidency for life, and gave him the right to decree any rules he chose. He has been ruling the Philippines since 1972 with an iron fist to protect himself from political challenge. On the day martial law was declared, Senator Benigno Aquino was jailed for con- spiracy. He was tried 5 years later by a military tribunal, and sentenced to death. That sentence was never carried out. Marcos stayed that execution. Two years later he was sent to America for heart surgery. In August last year, the unrepentent Aquino attempted to return home to speak for his people. As soon as he got to Manila Airport, he was arrested by Philippine security forces and shot to death. The President's wife, Imelda, and Army Chief of Staff, Fabian Ver, remain prime sus- pects in that murder. In the past 7 months, little evidence has been made public to discredit that suspicion. This is the Marcos. I speak here today on behalf of the Movement for a Free Philippines, or the MFP. The MFP is an opposition group here in America, organized by former Senator Raul Manglapus, presently in exile here in the United States. On the first day of martial law, back in 1972, an arrest warrant was issued against him. He was out of the country on a speaking tour at the time, otherwise he would have been in jail with 1319 his friend, Senator Aquino. Instead, for the past 12 years he has been unable to go home. Many of you are probably aware of Senator Manglapus, because for most of that 12 years he has been asking your help in restoring the democracy that Marcos de- stroyed. He has been asking the Congress, and the various Administrations, to with- draw support from the Marcos regime, and try to find ways to support freedom and democracy for the Filipino people instead. He hopes to remind you that the Filipino people were at one time American citizens who chose to use our constitutional ideals as a direction for a nation of their own. Marcos destroyed that dream. There have been many eloquent speakers before these bodies of Congress in recent years to discuss the Philippine situation. I've been told by spokesmen that "we know Marcos is a bastard, but he's our bastard, and to force a collapse of the Marcos government may be counter productive to the interests of both the United States and the Republic of the Philippines.” A withdrawal of support to Marcos may create a revolution similar to what took place in Nicaragua, Iran, and Cambodia. I disagree with those projections, and I would like to explain why. I would also like to express a view that a change in the American view of the military situation in the Philippines would be of advantage to both countries, because this change is neces- sary if the United States ever hopes to distance its security interests from the for- tunes of that gangster presently ruling the Philippines. The Defense Department has given two fundamental reasons for not initiating ac- tions that could antagonize the Marcos government: 1. The American military installations at Clark Air Force Base and Subic Bay Naval Base are strategically located to protect western sealanes and allied nations in the region. Loss of the bases would be a severe blow to America's forward de- fenses. 2. Despite his domestic short comings, President Marcos is a moderate dictator, compared to Idi Amin or Pol Pot. President Marcos has been a solid ally to the United States, and very cooperative in regional defense needs. All parties involved with the Philippine situation are aware of these arguments. They are valid concerns in light of the massive Soviet build-up at Cam Ranh Bay in Vietnam. The Soviets are rapidly enlarging their naval presence, and the Vietnam- ese maintain occupation armies in Laos and Cambodia, and have conducted military skirmishes into Thailand and Burma. If the United States military were to with- draw from the Philippines, many observers are convinced both the Soviets and the Vietnamese would take this as a signal of reduced American commitment in the region, and an invitation to launch new adventures against Thailand, Malaysia, In- donesia, Burma, and the Philippines. Additionally, Communist China is ready to reincorporate Hong Kong when the British lease expires at the end of the century. They make no secret of their inten- tion to reclaim Taiwan when the opportunity presents itself. An American pull-back from the Philippines may initiate an armed attack on Taiwan. Since the United States has already withdrawn recognition of Taiwan, the American commitment to Taiwan has to be considered limited. These and other strategic concerns about an American withdrawal from the Phil- ippines are legitimate worries, and Marcos has made it clear that the American military is welcome as long as the United States cooperates with his government. His government. The Marcos Administration. Twelve years ago Marcos declared martial law, and has ruled the nation since then at gunpoint, not by popular sup- port. Occasionally, he permits minor elections with the press controlled by his gov- ernment, the ballots counted by his army, and opposition leaders subject to arrest at any time he chooses. At no time in this period has he permitted the Filipino people to choose between himself and an opponent. At no time has he permitted an elec- tion on his rule to be independently supervised. Marcos does not represent the Phil- ippines, he represents himself. Marcos rules the Philippines the way Al Capone ruled Chicago in the 1920's: by buying friends, silencing enemies, and frightening all others. As far as the Opposition is concerned, any deals with Marcos do not present the Filipino people, but are deals to help Marcos. The American base agreements are clear examples of this in a multiple number of ways: 1. The military agreement is supposed to be a "mutual defense pact”, protecting the Philippines from hostile foreign threats. An invasion can reach the Philippines only by coming across the sea. To control an attack, the Philippines needs a naval and air force capable of confronting an enemy task force at sea. The Philippines has not yet built, bought, or negotiated for even one destroyer or cruiser, the backbone ships of naval warfare. Naval defense of the Philippines at present is almost entire- ly dependent on the American Seventh Fleet. Yet the size of the Philippine military 1320 has grown dramatically. This growth is not to meet any possible enemy invasion, or the Navy would be much stronger than it is; instead the military is used to control the domestic population, and prevent internal challenge to the rule of Marcos. The American role is to protect the Philippines from any 1941 style invasion, while the Philippine armed forces have a different task. This is not a mutual defense, it is relieving Marcos of the expense of defending the Philippines, and charging the cost to the American taxpayers. 2. The most recently negotiated Bases agreement calls for the United States to contribute $900 million in foreign aid over 5 years. This $900 million is so the Amer- icans can have the privilege to defend the Philippines from a foreign enemy. The American taxpayer thus, in effect, pays to protect Marcos, and provides Marcos much more money to enrich his family, and enforce his rule to an oppressed people. The United States has agreed to spend extra for a service they offer. They should be paid if the defense pact was mutual. 3. American foreign aid to protect the options on those bases does not go to the Filipino people, but to the Marcos regime, where the Marcos family skims it's share right off the top, and then gets to distribute the rest to friends and relatives for whatever projects they deem necessary. Charles Bowsher, the U.S. Comptroller Gen- eral last month complained to the GAO that Imelda Marcos has acquired unaudited control of at least $200 million in U.S. aid money since 1979, and the American Gov- ernment can find no accounting for it. At the same time, we have been informed that Imelda Marcos has at least $800 million in a private Swiss bank account. American money diverted to the private accounts of the Marcos family does not help the Filipino people. The Bases Agreement has a certain detrimental effect on the Philippines, because as long as the United States is so committed to the bases, the Philippines has no need to prepare to defend itself from any foreign attack; the Americans will protect them. The Philippine armed forces can be politicized as a private Marcos army dedi- cated to protecting Marcos from the will of the Filipino people. Because of the American obsession with maintaining the bases, Marcos can demand and get nearly a billion dollars from the U.S. Government to remain and protect him. Because America is so cautious not to offend the Marcos regime, the foreign aid to the Phil- ippines can be pocketed by the Marcos family with impunity, while the Filipino people go hungry, suffering with a chaotic economy created by Marcos. Many American Government spokesmen have justified this situation by pointing out that the United States should not be expected to interfere in the internal affairs of an allied government, and at least the bases are available to counter the Soviet build-up in Vietnam, and to prevent further losses to the communists in the region; losses that would be more likely if the bases were closed. This debate does not take into account that the American contribution is an interference in the internal af- fairs of the Philippines, weighted in favor of the Marcos government. The Filipino people see this as an American interference and an obstacle to democracy. Twelve years ago Marcos destroyed the democracy the Filipino people had, and has ruled the land by personal fiat since then. This personal rule is backed up with guns from America, money from America, and international support from America. The United States is bankrolling a local tyrant who denies the Filipino people their liberty, and their right to change the leadership by the vote. What are the Filipino people supposed to think about American friendship? Claims of U.S. warmth for the Filipino people ring hollow when that claim is made through a government gangster who robs and terrorizes the land for personal profit. The Movement for a Free Philippines feels the United States Senate could better serve the United States Government and American-Philippine friendship by advo- cating less support for the Marcos regime, and greater attention to the Filipino peo ples. I offer a few constructive suggestions to maintain that friendship with the Fili- pino people: 1. The American contribution to the defenses of Southeast Asian Allies should not be so entirely dependent on the bases in one country, like the Philippines. Corrupt governments, like Marcos represents, are able to blackmail the United States into uncritical support of his regime, and for agreements to make excessive financial contributions to his pockets. This also relieves Marcos of providing an adequate de fense for his own country. Most American allies in the region are concerned with the growing Vietnamese-Soviet threat to the area. Therefore, let these allies offer to share the responsibility for hosting the Seventh Fleet. This way, one small country wouldn't have to be the lightning rod of concern by being the only American base, and one corrupt government wouldn't be able to blackmail the United States so easily on the defense issue. 1321 2. Foreign aid to the Philippines should be either reduced or strictly controlled, because that aid is being used to prop up an unpopular, repressive regime. Presently that aid is going to the Marcos family private accounts, to Marcos friends for frivo- lous projects, or to the Marcos army to intimidate the Filipino people. If the United States targeted specific uses for the aid, required independent audits of its use, and stipulated improvements in the rights of the people before any money was given, this would direct the money to the peoples of the Philippines, signal the world that the Americans have limited confidence in the integrity of the Marcos government, and let the Filipinos know that the United States is concerned with their well being. 3. Military aid to the Philippines is presently used to help Marcos suppress his own people, and politicize his army, while defense needs are left to the Americans. American military aid should be directed to making sure the Philippines can defend itself from a foreign invasion, not protect Marcos from domestic critics. Military aid should be specified for specific use, and contributions closely audited. The Philip- pines needs anti-sub attack ships, not more anti-personnel small arms. 4. Representative democracy, and popularly elected leaders is the form of govern- ment the United States should advocate in the Philippines. It was there before Marcos dismantled it to make himself “king," and it could be restored with some help. The Embassy and the White House should be asked to demonstrate a concern for Philippine democracy by pressing Marcos on citizen liberties, and by showing an interest in opposition leaders. I've been cautioned in the past that if Marcos falls, and the Filipino people are given the right to choose their own government, that the opposition leaders will turn the Philippines into an anti-American leftist dictatorship. I agree that this will probably happen if the change comes by armed rebellion, and that is what may happen if changes are not made now. I disagree if the change is peaceful, and the democracy and constitution of 1970 are restored intact. The growing Communist re- bellion, and leftist opposition are frightening to American policy makers, convincing many that a change will be comparable to Cuba, Nicaragua, Iran, or Cambodia. However, the vast majority of Filipinos unhappy with Marcos remain silent because they are intimidated by government threats, and the leftists do not offer them a choice they find acceptable. The surge of protests in Makati business district is prob- ably more in line with the thinking of the people. These protesters, complaining of the murder of Benigno Aquino, are pro-democracy, pro-enterprise, anti-Marcos, anti- leftists, and neutral on American relations. The Philippines has had a tradition of democracy and constitutional law for most of the twentieth century, and this is what they lost in martial law. This is what they want restored. With a restoration of a peaceful democracy, it is more likely that the country would move in directions similar to Spain, Portugal, Greece, or Argentina. These are examples of countries ending dictatorships in favor of democracies. The leadership would probably remain friendly with America, because, with or without Marcos, America has been the closest friend of the Philippines throughout the twentieth century, and all Filipinos are aware of this. In a restored democracy, the Filipinos may not always elect the best leadership. This is true for American elections too. But, as long as they have the right to vote, and to compete for that leadership, the mistakes can be corrected at the next election. The Filipino people are an intelligent, honest, and industrious people. It may not seem that way looking at the Philippines today under Marcos' corrupt government. Look at the millions of Filipinos living in America. They are contributors to the American society that we can all be proud of. Please encourage the United States Senate to convince the rest of the American Government to take a stand in favor of the Filipino people, and not be so supportive of the Marcos regime. SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (PEACE CORPS AUTHORIZATION) THURSDAY, MARCH 22, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 4:46 p.m., in room SD 419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Richard Lugar presiding Présent: Senators Lugar and Tsongas. Senator LUGAR. This hearing of the Foreign Relations Committee is called to order for the purpose of hearing testimony on the Peace Corps authorization. It is a great pleasure for the Chair to recognize our witness today, the Director of the Peace Corps, the Honorable Loret Ruppe I am joined by my colleague, Senator Paul Tsongas, who has had experience in the Peace Corps, who has offered good testimony in the past from that experience, and who wishes to question the wit- ness on one occasion today. May I ask my colleague, do you wish to hear the testimony, or would you prefer to ask your questions and then have us proceed? Senator Î'SONGAS. I would appreciate it if I could ask my ques- tion. Senator LUGAR. The Chair recognizes Senator Tsongas. Senator TSONGAS. Let me say that I am very indebted to the Peace Corps personally for what it did for me. I went into the Peace Corps as a conservative Republican, and emerged as a liberal Democrat. [General laughter.] So there is clear value in those kinds of programs for all of us. Let me say that obviously I am a great supporter of the Peace Corps. I would also like to say that as we now struggle with the Meese appointment, which I guess you struggle with and I do not at this point, when the history of the Reagan administration is written, the appointment of Ms. Ruppe will be among the best ap- pointments they made. I would just like to say that for the record. For someone like me, it is difficult to admit those things, but I am very pleased to do that. I only have one concern, Mr. Chairman, and that is that we have received letters from a significant number of Peace Corps volun- teers in the field who are concerned about the people who have been appointed as directors in the various countries. The concern is that some of the country directors would appear to be political ap- pointees without the proper experience in the field, and their per- formance has been less than optimal. (1323) 1324 I do not know whether that is true or not. What I would request is a report on how in country directors are chosen, what the crite- ria are, and what the backgrounds of some of these people are. I see no need to specify particular countries, because, all we have is an unproven allegation, if you will, but if we had a sense of the criteria and who some of the appointees would be and have been, we could just look at that ourselves. I am very supportive of the program. I would hope that we could not only pass what has been proposed to us, but that we might also look at the kind of approach that has been taken by the House side, which I believe has increased the amount to $134 million. I am sorry that I have to leave, but I will leave my group of in- terns with you, and if they have any outrageous questions, feel free to intervene. [General laughter.] Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator LUGAR. Thank you very much, Senator Tsongas. Ms. Ruppe, do you have a statement that you would like to deliv- er at the outset of the hearing? Ms. RUPPE. Yes, Mr. Chairman. I have a statement that I would like to submit for the record. I know that you are very busy. Senator LUGAR. Without objection, your full statement will be made a part of the record, and I ask unanimous consent that a statement by Thomas J. McGrew on behalf of the Committee of Re- turned Peace Corps Volunteers be made a part of the record at this point. He has asked that that statement might be made through this submission as opposed to his personal appearance. The Chair would recognize that request and will make it a part of the record at this point. [Mr. McGrew's prepared statement follows: 1325 STATEMENT OF THE COMMITTEE OF RETURNED PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS ON THE PEACE CORPS BUDGET BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS OF THE UNITED STATES SENATE March 22, 1984 1326 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Peace Corps Budget Committee proposes that the Peace Corps Budget for programs outside Central America should be increased for Fiscal Year 1985 to at least $120.8 million rather than the $105.8 million budget authority requested by the Peace Corps Agency. The Committee strongly opposes the cut of 203 volunteers built into the Peace Corps' budget request and suggests instead, a 10 percent increase in the number of volunteers as a first small step back to a 10,000 volunteer Peace Corps. The Committee supports the Administration's proposal to increase the Peace Corps' activities in Central America by $9 million and 141 new volunteers. The Peace Corps Budget Committee, an organization of former Peace Corps Volunteers, has looked at the sharp decline over recent years in the Peace Corps budget and number of Volunteers and would like to propose renewed support for the entire Peace Corps Program, as it was in the mid-1960's with almost 16,000 Volunteers and a budget of $149 million. Peace Corps Staff in Washington and in the field are turning down, in some countries, more than half of the requests for Volunteers made by the host countries, because there is no budget to support these requests. The Peace Corps Budget Committee asserts that the Peace Corps is an extremely successful and worthwhile program both to the Volunteers and to the communities in which the Volunteers serve. Peace Corps is extremely cost-effective and leaves a long-remembered and valuable contribution to the host countries. It is a uniquely American gesture of personal commitment, the effect of which cannot be underestimated. It is also a direct and tangible way of conducting foreign policy at the village or local level. The Peace Corps Budget Committee proposes that any increase in budget should be used primarily for increasing the number of Volunteers in the field. Beyond this priority, the Peace Corps Budget Committee requests that the Volunteer readjustment allowance be increased to reflect a more realistic cost of living for returning Volunteers. 1327 MR. CHAIRMAN, MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE: We appreciate the opportunity to appear before this Committee to discuss the Peace Corps Budget for Fiscal Year 1985. Our committee was formed by two organizations of returned Peace Corps Volunteers, the Returned Peace Corps Volunteers of the Washington, D.C. area and the National Council of Returned Volunteers, to express the concern we former Volunteers feel over the continuing decline of the Peace Corps reflected both in the program's inadequate funding and in the declining number of Volunteers who are able to serve in the Peace Corps. Over the years, we have seen Peace Corps shrink from a peak of 15,556 volunteers in 1966, to less than 4,700 in 1983. We have watched with dismay as year after year the budget ax has fallen heaviest on this Agency. (Table A) Apparently, 1985 is to be no exception. The Administration has proposed two Peace Corps Budgets for FY1985, and both Budgets would cut the number of Volunteers in service. The first budget, submitted by the Peace Corps Director on February 1, 1984 would keep the Peace Corps' appropriation at the FY 1984 level of 1328 $115 million. Because of inflation, that Budget would cut the Peace Corps by 203 volunteers. The second Budget divides the Peace Corps into two parts: Central America which is to get $18.2 million and 141 more volunteers, and the rest of the world, which is to get $105.8 million and 203 fewer volunteers. The net effect of that Budget is an increase of $9 million in the Peace Corps' Appropriation and a cut of 62 volunteers in the Peace Corps itself. This statement will focus on the second, more recent, Budget program and more specifically on the non-Central America part of that proposal. Any loss in the number of volunteers is a step in the wrong direction. We support an expanded Peace Corps presence in Central America and in the rest of the developing world. If tiny Cental America needs at least 2,125 volunteers in the next four years, think how great the need is elsewhere in Africa, Asia, South America and the Caribbean. This is not the time to cut the number of Peace Corps volunteers. At the very least, Congress should maintain a stable Peace Corps outside Central America by appropriating $109,860,000 for FY1985 to restore the 203 volunteers the Administration proposes to cut. We 1329 recommend, however, that Congress go a step further and endorse the goal of 10,000 volunteers by the 1990's. To meet this goal, Congress should begin to increase the number of volunteers by 10% annually. This would require an FY'85 appropriation of $120.8 million. (Table B) THE THIRD WORLD NEEDS MORE ASSISTANCE John Kennedy in 1963 said that Peace Corps volunteers "will lay a seed which will bring a rich harvest for all in later days." Given the significant reduction in the size of the Peace Corps, one would think that the job is nearly finished, Reality is otherwise. As Peace Corps funding has been slashed, many countries in the Third World have gone into a downward spiral, a negative developmental spiral, from which they have yet to recover. If you wonder whether the world needs more Peace Corps volunteers, consider these grim facts of Third World life: * Most of the sickness and disease in the Third World is attributed to unsafe water and poor sanitary conditions. Volunteers have helped to dig wells and worked to improve urban and rural sanitary conditions. *As of 1980, less than 10% of children in the Third World were being immunized against the six major childhood diseases. Five million were killed by these diseases. Medical volunteers have played an important role in several nations' immunization programs. ) 1 1330 *Worldwide, 120 million children of school age have no school they can go to. Thousands of education volunteers have taught millions of Third World students over the past two decades. *In Africa, per capita food production has fallen 20% in the last twenty years. Nations that once fed themselves must now use scarce foreign exchange earnings to import food. Agriculture volunteers have helped thousands of farmers increase their food production. *Twenty-Four African countries are suffering from a terrible drought which is causing hunger and famine. According to the FAO, in Mali alone, 100,000 children will starve to death this year. PCVS of all backgrounds have played an important role in dozens of disaster-relief efforts. In every area where help is needed, Volunteers have been able to improve things in their local areas. Un- fortunately, the problems have grown while the number of volunteers has shrunk. It is a disgrace that there continue to be more requests for volunteers than there are volunteers to fill them. (Table C) Indeed, more than half the re- quests for volunteers are never even passed on to the U.S. by the Peace Corps country directors because the directors know there is no budget to support so many requests. With additional funding, these requests could be met, and Peace Corps could also expand into other countries that have expressed an interest in beginning a Peace Corps program. 1331 THE U.S. HAS AN IMPORTANT STAKE IN THIRD WORLD DEVELOPMENT The economic and political ties that bind us to the Third World were neatly summed up by Secretary Shultz when he told the Southern Center for International Studies that "there will be no enduring economic prosperity for our country without economic growth in the Third World, and there will not be security and peace for our citizens without stability and peace in developing countries." There are compelling humanitarian reasons for the U.S. to play a much greater role in bringing prosperity to the Third World. There are also some very practical foreign policy considerations. By the year 2,000, over five billion people will be living in the developing countries. These people need food, housing, clothing, and jobs. If their needs are not met, we will all feel the shock waves of the Third World's economic and political instability. This instability is a threat to peace and to economic growth in the United States. Keep in mind that one in five American jobs depends in some way on trade, and non-OPEC developing nations account for nearly 40% of the U.S. exports. 1332 Peace Corps service is sometimes diffcult, some- times exhilarating, and almost always worthwhile. As volunteers, we were privileged to become part of a culture radically different from our own. We came to understand how most of the people on this planet live, and we believe we made a difference in the lives of the people with whom we lived and worked. We know there are many other Americans out there who also want an opportunity to serve in the Peace Corps. Last year, 16,723 people applied (a remarkable number, in view of the Peace Corps' extremely low visibility), 10,195 were considered, but only 2,977 were actually accepted. (Table D) Although some were not suited for the life of a volunteer, many others had to be turned away for budgetary reasons. With a little more funding, Peace Corps can find a place for these good candidates who may have a real contribution to make to the Third World. Additional funding will also allow Peace Corps to expand the applicant pool and place the many good candi- dates. More times than any of us care to count, we have heard friends say "I didn't know Peace Corps still existed.' Obviously, Peace Corps isn't getting its message out. 1333 U.S. FOREIGN POLICY BENEFITS FROM PEACE PROGRAMS In deciding how 1985 foreign aid funds will be allocated, Members of Congress should weigh the unique contribution Peace Corps makes to U.S. foreign policy objectives. Several government agencies provide humanitarian and technical assistance to the Third World, but only Peace Corps sends its volunteers to live among the people, to work, eat and socialize as they do. Volunteers create a reservoir of good will toward the United States that cannot be duplicated by any other government agency. Peace Corps also provides this country with a pool of former volunteers knowledgeable about countries which play a major role on the international stage. If the U.S. is to fashion an intelligent and effective foreign policy for Third World countries, we continue to need Americans who understand the cultures and speak the languages. Finally, several members of your Committee recently sat on the Commission on Security and Economic Assistance, headed by Frank Carlucci. In its final report, the Commission expressed serious concern about the declining public support for foreign aid. 1334 While many Americans are suspicious of, or outright opposed to certain foreign aid programs, we do not think this negative attitude extends to the Peace Corps. On the contrary, we have found that Americans admire Peace Corps volunteers, and are proud of the humanitarian work Peace Corps does in the name of the United States. A 1973 study of American attitudes toward global poverty and development revealed that 88% of those surveyed saw the Peace Corps as the single most effective effective organiza- tion helping Third World people (Paul A. Laudicinia, World Poverty and Development: A Survey of American Opinion, Washington, D.C.: Overseas Development Council, October 1973). President Reagan expressed this same attitude when he stated, in March of 1981, "Volunteers have fought, and often conquered, illiteracy, hunger, poverty and illness in nearly ninety countries. Their efforts, dedicated to world peace through international good will, have done much to replace fear and mistrust with mutual understanding. If Congress increases Peace Corps' funding and visibility, Americans may become more aware of the needs of the Third world, and feel better about foreign aid in general. 1335 PEACE CORPS FUNDING IN PERSPECTIVE Congress should appropriate $120.8 million for the Peace Corps in FY85 exclusive of any commitments in Central America. This would be the first small step back to a 10,000 volunteer Peace Corps. One Hundred and Twenty million dollars is a small sum in a foreign aid budget that totals $15 billion. It is a modest amount when compared to the $7 billion requested for security assistance programs, and the $313 billion for defense programs. It is a drop in the bucket in a world that spends $660 billion a year on arms. If the burden of poverty is not eased in the develop- ing countries, the world is likely to pay a heavy price in lives and resources down the road. We can watch conditions deteriorate, or, or, through a revitalized Peace Corps, we can redouble our efforts to help Third World nations find solutions to the problems they face. An expanded Peace Corps is an investment in stability and international good will, and it speaks to the very best in the American people. Thank you. 1336 : TABLE A PEACE CORPS BUDGET SINCE 1962 Adjusted by CIP-U 1967+100 FISCAL YEAR CURRENT DOLLARS (000) CONSTANT DOLLARS (000) 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1881 1982 1983 1984 30,000 59,000 95,964 104,100 114,000 110,000 107,500 102,000 98,450 90,000 72,500 81,000 77,000 77,687 81,266 80,000 86,243 99,179 99,924 105,531 105,000 109,000 115,000 33,482 65,121 104,650 112,056 120,635 113,169 107,500 97,889 89,889 77,386 59,769 64,645 57,851 52,598 50,413 46,893 47,512 50,575 45,963 42,760 38,546 37, 703 38,539 1337 TABLE B RECOMMENDED BUDGET AND VOLUNTEER FORCE THROUGH 1991 (Excluding Central America) FISCAL YEAR STABLE FORCE (000) 2/ 10% INCREASE (000) 2/ NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS 1/ 1985 109,860 120,846 4,233 1986 126,284 138,912 4,656 1987 145,580 160,138 5,121 1988 167,345 184,079 5,633 1989 191,810 210,991 6,196 1990 219,220 241,142 6,816 1991 249,823 274,805 7,498 1/ Dollar figures for a stable force for 1985 are based upon a restoration of the 203 volunteers scheduled to be dropped at an average cost of $20,000 per volunteer 2/ The annual 10% increase in the budget is a proxy for a 10% increase in the number of volunteers. The dollar figures for 1986-1991 assume that the previous year's number of volunteers will be maintained. The increased costs reflect OMS's estimates for inflation for each of those years, using the GNP deflator for the previous calendar year. Those inflation estimates are as follows: for FY1986 budget 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 1 1338 Table C REQUESTS/INPUT ) Requests for Volunteers Input of % of Requests Filled Volunteers 1972 4,786 3,608 75 1973 6,185 4,112 38 1974 6,320 4,320 68 1975 4,311 2,942 68 1976 4,347 2,948 74 1977 5,652 3,751 66 1978 4,793 3,717 78 1979 4,259 3,331 78 1980 4,354 3,118 72 1981 4,259 2,659 63 1982 3,794 2,863 75 1983 3,685 2,977 81 */ Does not include requests estimated at over 3,500 in FY83 that were withdrawn or not transmitted to Peace Corps Washington because they could not be filled within the Peace Corps' known budget constraints. 1339 Table D APPLICANTS / TRAINEES Total Applicants Applicants Considered Trainees/New Volunteers 1977 13,908 8,306 5,752 1978 13,661 7,987 7,072 1979 17,771 8,564 6,328 1980 16,495 8,445 5,994 1981 15,627 8,334 4,863 1982 14,577 9,866 4,542 1983 16,723 10,195 2,977 1340 THE COMMITTEE The Committee of Returned Peace Corps Volunteers on the Peace Corps Budget was formed by the National Council of Returned Volunteers and the Washington, D.C. area Returned Volunteers organization in an attempt to reverse the steady decline in the size and activities of the U.S. Peace Corps. The Budget Committee includes members of both political parties and represents a wide variety of Volunteer experiences. The members are: Thomas J. McGrew, Nigeria 64-67, a partner at Arnold & Porter, Washington, D.C. (Chair); Donald T. Bliss, Micronesia 66-68, a partner of the Washington, D.C. office of O'Melveny & Myers; Susan I. Greeley, Ghana 75-77, Computer Systems Analyst at the Veterans Administra- tion; Neil G. Kotler, Ethiopia 64-66, Legislative Aide to Rep. John Conyers, Jr.,; Holland G. McKenna, Upper Volta 71-73, Economic Analyst at the Airline Pilots Association; Charles D. Smith, Ethiopia 64-66, associate editor, interpretive releases, American Council for Nationalities Service and senior associate, Conflict Analysis Center; James Stepanek, Colombia 67-69, Editor, The China Business Review, at the National Council for U.S.-China Trade; Joan Timoney, Senegal 78-80, Legislative Assistant to Sen. Quentin N. Burdick. The Budget Committee's sponsoring organizations are: The National Council of Returned Peace Corps Vonunteers is the only existing "alumni" organization at the national level for returned Peace Corps Volunteers. It publishes a newsletter, undertakes special projects such as the 20th Anniversary Conference of the Peace Corps held in Washington in 1981, and coordinates and supports local returned Volunteer groups throughout the country. D.Cist Returned Peace Corps Volunteers of Washington, D.C. is the Washington-area Peace Corps alumni organization. It is affiliated with the National Council of Returned Peace Corps Volunteers. This local group, with nearly 300 dues-paying members, sponsors a variety of activities for area returned Volunteers and publishes its own newsletter. Among the group's activities are foreign policy issues forums on topics relating to Third World countries where Volunteers have served. 1341 Ms. RUPPE. Mr. Chairman, could the Peace Corps also insert a tribute to Senator Tsongas into the record in recognition of his tre- mendous support? Senator TSONGAS. You are not going to object to that, are you? Senator LUGAR. Not at all. That will be done. Ms. RUPPE. Thank you. We are very proud of him also. [The tribute to Senator Tsongas follows:] NOTE WITH SORROW Paul Tsongas has long been an ardent supporter of the Peace Corps. This, of course, is a welcomebut not surprising-boost from Capitol Hill since the good Senator from Massachusetts spent nearly three years in Ethiopia as a Peace Corps Volunteer. But the Senator's continued commitment over the years to the operation of the Peace Corps as well as to the goals of the institution itself is very telling for two important reasons. First, it underscores the proud record which the Peace Corps has of strong bipartisan support. And, of equal note, Senator Tsongas' strong, positive backing for Peace Corps activity throughout the third world, belies a staunch belief that hard work and caring are beyond the bounds of politics. We wish to thank Senator Paul E. Tsongas for his unfailing belief in what our volunteers are trying to do in the global village. We wish also to make it known that we are proud of his achievements in the Congress. He is afterall one of us. Senator LUGAR. Would you please proceed with any summary of your statement or any additional comments that you wish to make? STATEMENT OF HON. LORET M. RUPPE, DIRECTOR, THE PEACE CORPS, ACCOMPANIED BY BY THOMAS WILSON, DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Ms. RUPPE. I will give you a very brief summary of the full state- ment. Mr. Chairman, I am very pleased to be here, and very appre- ciative of your being here. I have come in support of the Reagan administration's budget request of $124 million for the Peace Corps for fiscal year 1985, which does represent an increase of $9 million over the agency's 1984 budget of $115 million. I feel very strongly that this increased level of the 1985 budget request affirms the importance of the Peace Corps not only as a vital component of our overall United States approach to interna- tional development, but it also recognizes the Peace Corps as the important vehicle of public diplomacy which it is, teaching the peo- ples of the developing world and our own country about each other. This 1985 figure does include $9 million for new activities for the Peace Corps in Central America as requested by President Reagan in the Central American Democracy Peace and Development Initia- tive Act of 1984, which is currently under congressional consider- ation. The $9 million for new activities in the region was recom- mended by the National Bipartisan Commission on Central Amer- ica, chaired by former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. This budget request will allow us to recruit 2,955 new volunteers to maintain a level of more than 5,200 volunteers in 59 countries. I find that the past year has been a very encouraging one for me as Director, because I have witnessed a reemergence of public awareness of the valued place Peace Corps holds in the foreign af- fairs community and the world at large. The Carlucci Commission, the Kissinger Commission, and a special report to the President 1342 have all outlined Peace Corps' accomplishments and given it tre- mendously high grades and a high level of appreciation. This past year Peace Corps established programs in Haiti and Burundi for the first time. We also reestablished programs in Sri Lanka and Grenada. I personally was in Sri Lanka just a month ago swearing in a new group of Peace Corps volunteers who will train English teachers in that country, and we have two volunteers presently in Grenada working in the area of education. We have continued our strong outreach to other organizations to maximize our limited resources, and I am announcing the planning of two interagency projects: The teacher-text-technology project, in which we work with USAID, the Department of State, and USIA to assist selected countries in secondary and higher education devel- opment; and an interagency agreement combatting communicable childhood diseases between Peace Corps/Africa and USAID to offer technical and training assistance to selected countries in address- ing health issues of immunization, malaria, oral rehydration, and diarrheal disease. Another interagency agreement which has proven highly success- ful is a small projects assistance fund, in which we are working with USAID to support selected projects at the village level in agri- cultural, energy, and small enterprise development. I am proud to say that our Peace Corps partnership program celebrated its twentieth year, and that this particular year under the leadership of the Office of Private Sector Development we have already surpassed the amount that we raised all of last year. We hope to have at least 300 projects going around the world. We have intensified our efforts to recruit Hispanics, blacks, and older Americans, and I am pleased to say that in the audience today is a former volunteer, Florence Brooks, who is one of our re- cruiters and who was on the "Today" show this morning emphasiz- ing that Peace Corps has no upper age limit and that we are seri- ously looking for early retirees and people my age and older to serve in the Peace Corps. The agency goals for fiscal year 1985 include increasing our Gre- nada program to a fully operational level, maintaining support for our administration's Caribbean Basin Initiative, expanding our small enterprise development sector worldwide, and upgrading the administrative capability of our Peace Corps posts by completing the installation of computers in up to 10 more overseas posts. Thirty-seven such computers have been installed in Peace Corps overseas offices already. Over 100,000 Peace Corps volunteers have served abroad, provid- ing direct assistance to millions of people on an individual basis, and we are very pleased that the administration recognizes this and has given us a budget figure that will allow us to continue and to expand our programing Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I welcome questions from the committee. [Ms. Ruppe's prepared statement follows:) 1343 PEACE CORPS curry Place STATEMENT OF LORET MILLER RUPPE DIRECTOR THE PEACE CORPS BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS MARCH 22, 1984 806 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington, D.C. 20526 1344 MR. CHAIRMAN, MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE: INTRODUCTION IT IS A PLEASURE TO APPEAR BEFORE YOU TODAY IN SUPPORT OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S REQUEST THAT YOU AUTHORIZE APPROPRIATIONS WHICH WILL ENABLE THE PEACE CORPS TO CONTINUE ITS EFFORTS ON BEHALF OF WORLD PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP FOR FISCAL YEARS 1985 AND 1986. I HAVE JUST RETURNED FROM A FIVE-NATION PROGRAM INSPECTION TOUR, WHERE I SAW VERY VIVIDLY PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS PROMOTING WORLD PEACE AND UNDERSTANDING ON A PERSON-TO-PERSON LEVEL. I MET A VOLUNTEER COUPLE FROM IOWA WORKING WITH VILLAGERS IN THE INTERIOR OF PAPUA NEW GUINEA TO INCREASE THE VEGETABLE YIELD FOR SALE TO A GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED MINING PROJECT. THE PROJECT PROVIDES FOOD TO THE MINERS AND INCOME TO THE VILLAGERS, HELPING TO IMPROVE THEIR VERY PRIMITIVE LIFESTYLES. IN SRI LANKA I SWORE -IN THE FIRST GROUP OF ENGLISH LANGUAGE TRAINERS. THESE FINE VOLUNTEERS AMERICANS OF ALL BACKGROUNDS EMBODY THE PEACE CORPS COMMITMENT TO HELPING OTHERS HELP THEMSELVES. PRESIDENT JAY PRAISED THE VOLUNTEERS FOR ASSISTING IN ESTABLISHING ENGLISH AS THE LINK-LANGUAGE UNITING THE PEOPLES WITHIN THIS BEAUTIFUL COUNTRY. LAST NOVEMBER I VISITED THE DROUGHT-STRICKEN SAHEL AREA OF WEST AFRICA. I SAW THE RAVAGED COUNTRIES OF DRY WELLS AND NO RAINFALL I ALSO OBSERVED THE HOPE FOR A BETTER WAY OF LIFE THERE. AS PRESIDENT SANKARA SAID DURING MY MEETING WITH HIM: "I ONLY WISH THAT THE SEVEN MILLION UPPER VOLTANS WOULD WORK WITH THE SAME ENERGY AND COMMITMENT THAT PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS WORK." INCIDENTALLY, HE IS A FORMER PEACE CORPS LANGUAGE TEACHER. I COULD GO ON, BUT YOU, TOO, HAVE SEEN THE RESULTS OF THIS MOST COST-EFFECTIVE FOREIGN ASSISTANCE PROGRAM, SO LET ME REVIEW FOR YOU SOME OF THE HIGHLIGHTS OF THE PAST YEAR AND OUTLINE OUR REQUEST FOR FISCAL YEAR 1985. 1345 THIS PAST YEAR HAS BEEN A VERY ENCOURAGING ONE FOR ME AS DIRECTOR OF THE PEACE CORPS, BECAUSE I HAVE WITNESSED A REEMERGENCE OF PUBLIC AWARENESS OF THE VALUED PLACE PEACE CORPS HOLDS IN THE FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMUNITY, AND THE WORLD AT LARGE. FOR EXAMPLE, THE COMMISSION ON SECURITY AND ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE, A PRESIDENTIAL COMMISSION CHAIRED BY AMBASSADOR FRANK CARLUCCI, ENDORSED THE PEACE CORPS, NOT ONLY FOR ITS IMMEDIATE POSITIVE EFFECTS ON THE FAMILIES AND VILLAGES IN LESSER-DEVELOPED NATIONS, BUT ALSO FOR THE ENDURING HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT AND INSTITUTION BUILDING REPRESENTED BY 23 YEARS OF CONTINUOUS, "PEOPLE-TO-PEOPLE" PROGRAMMING. THE CARLUCCI COMMISSION SINGLED OUT THE OVER 100,000 RETURNED PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS AS AN EFFECTIVE CONSTITUENCY, KNOWLEDGEABLE AND CONCERNED ABOUT FOREIGN AFFAIRS. IT CALLED UPON RETURNED PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS TO JOIN A PUBLIC CITIZENS' NETWORK TO EDUCATE AMERICANS OF THE NEED FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE. THE NATIONAL BIPARTISAN COMMISSION ON CENTRAL AMERICA, CHAIRED BY FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE HENRY KISSINGER, HAS STRESSED THE POSITIVE EFFECTS THAT WILL RESULT FROM AN ENHANCED PEACE CORPS PRESENCE IN CENTRAL AMERICA. PRESIDENT REAGAN HAS ENDORSED THIS RECOMMENDATION. IF THE NECESSARY LEGISLATION PASSES CONGRESS, PEACE CORPS WILL BE AT THE FOREFRONT OF GOOD WILL AND SKILL-SHARING IN CENTRAL AMERICA, DOUBLING OUR EFFORTS IN LITERACY TRAINING, TEACHER TRAINING, HEALTH, NUTRITION, SMALL BUSINESS, AND AGRICULTURE. ANOTHER POSITIVE EVALUATION OF PEACE CORPS CAME IN AN INTERNAL REVIEW OF COUNTRY PROGRAMS SUBMITTED BY SECRETARY OF STATE SHULTZ AND MYSELF TO PRESIDENT REAGAN. THIS REPORT CONCLUDED THAT THE PEACE CORPS MAKES SIGNIFICANT LONG-TERM CONTRIBUTIONS TO OUR FOREIGN POLICY IN THREE AREAS: 1) BY PROMOTING DEVELOPMENT; 2) BY CONTRIBUTING TO U.S. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY; AND 3) BY EDUCATING AMERICANS ABOUT CONDITIONS IN THE THIRD WORLD. IN THE PREPARATION OF THIS REVIEW, TWENTY U.S. AMBASSADORS, REPRESENTING A GEOGRAPHIC CROSS-SECTION OF THE 1346 DEVELOPING WORLD, EXPRESSED A UNANIMOUS PERCEPTION OF THE PEACE CORPS AS EFFECTIVE IN PROMOTING BOTH DEVELOPMENTAL AND PUBLIC DIPLOMACY GOALS IN THEIR COUNTRIES. WITH THIS BUDGET REQUEST, THIS ADMINISTRATION IS AFFIRMING ITS CONTINUED SUPPORT FOR THE PEACE CORPS, A SUPPORT THAT FULLY RECOGNIZES THE IMPORTANCE OF THE PEACE CORPS IN THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA. I WOULD LIKE TO ILLUSTRATE FOR YOU SOME OF THE HIGHLIGHTS OF THIS LAST YEAR AT PEACE CORPS: A. VOLUNTEER DISTRIBUTION OVER 5,000 VOLUNTEERS SERVED IN 59 COUNTRIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. AMONG THESE: 400 VOLUNTEERS SERVED AS BUSINESS ADVISORS TO COOPERATIVES, CREDIT UNIONS, AND CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE. THEY TRANSFERRED ACCOUNTING, MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT SKILLS TO THEIR LOCAL -COUNTERPARTS. -- 1,800 VOLUNTEERS PROVIDED TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE IN A VARIETY OF AGRICULTURAL AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS. MOST OF THESE VOLUNTEERS HELPED SMALL FARMERS IMPROVE THEIR CROP MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES. AGRICULTURAL EXTENSIONISTS, TRAINERS AND TEACHERS ALSO TRANSFERRED SKILLS IN LIVESTOCK AND FISHERIES DEVELOPMENT SYSTEMS. -- 800 RENEWABLE ENERGY/APPROPRIATE TECHNOLOGY VOLUNTEERS WORKED FULL-TIME ON ENERGY-CONSERVING STOVES, CHARCOAL PRODUCTION, SOLAR FOOD DRYING, BIOGAS PRODUCTION AND BLACKSMITHING. ANOTHER 475 WORKED IN THESE AREAS IN SECONDARY PROJECTS TO COMPLEMENT THEIR EXISTING JOB ASSIGNMENTS. 450 VOLUNTEERS SERVED AS PLANNERS, DESIGNERS AND SUPERVISORS OF THE CONSTRUCTION OF SMALL DAMS, SPILLWAYS AND IRRIGATION CANALS IN RURAL 1347 AREAS. VOLUNTEERS ALSO ASSISTED IN DEVELOPING VILLAGE SANITATION SYSTEMS. THEY PROVIDED TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TO MINISTRIES AND RURAL GROUPS IN THE OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE OF POTABLE WATER SYSTEMS. THEIR WORK HAS ENABLED POOR RURAL COMMUNITIES TO INCREASE AND GAIN CONTROL OVER THEIR WATER RESOURCES. 900 VOLUNTEERS WORKED ON HEALTH EDUCATION AND COMMUNITY HEALTH ORGANIZATION, THE SE EFFORTS INCREASED THE ABILITY OF COMMUNITIES AND INDIVIDUALS (PARTICULARLY WOMEN) TO MEET THEIR OWN HEALTH AND NUTRITIONAL NEEDS IN A SELF-RELIANT WAY. B. NEW COUNTRY ENTRIES WE WERE VERY PLEASED TO ACCOMPLISH THE FOLLOWING NEW COUNTRY ENTRIES THIS PAST YEAR: THE ARRIVAL IN MARCH 1983 OF SIX VOLUNTEERS IN HAITI, WHERE A PROGRAM WAS ESTABLISHED FOR THE FIRST TIME IN PEACE CORPS HISTORY. THERE ARE NOW TEN PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS WORKING THERE IN FORESTRY, VOCATIONAL EDUCATION, PUBLIC HEALTH, AND APPROPRIATE TECHNOLOGY PROJECTS. WE THANK THE MEMBERS OF THIS COMMITTEE FOR THEIR SUPPORT AND ENCOURAGEMENT IN THIS ENDEAVOR. . THE SPRING 1983 INAUGURATION OF A PEACE CORPS PROGRAM IN BURUNDI, PLACING THIRTEEN VOLUNTEERS IN EDUCATION AND AGRICULTURE. THE SIGNING, THREE MONTHS AGO, OF A COUNTRY AGREEMENT WITH SRI LANKA, AND THE DECEMBER ARRIVAL OF THE FIRST GROUP OF TRAINEES WHO WILL BE TEACHING IN A NEW ENGLISH EDUCATION PROGRAM CRITICAL TO SRI LANKA'S GOAL OF INCREASING THE NUMBER OF ENGLISH TEACHERS BY 9000 IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS. 1348 -- THE RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF A PEACE CORPS PROGRAM IN GRENADA, BEGINNING WITH TWO VOLUNTEERS IN EDUCATION. WE EXPECT TO INCREASE THESE NUMBERS, HOPEFULLY TO FOURTEEN BY NEXT JUNE, WITH VOLUNTEERS WORKING IN THE AREAS OF EDUCATION, HEALTH, AND AGRICULTURE. WE PLAN TO FURTHER INCREASE THE NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS BY SEPTEMBER IF FEASIBLE. WE ALSO COMPLETED TWO COUNTRY WITHDRAWALS. THE TWO YEAR PHASED-OUT DEPARTURE OF THE PEACE CORPS/MALAYSIA PROGRAM WAS COMPLETED, IN NOVEMBER 1983. THIS EXIT WAS BASED ON THE INCREASED LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT OF THAT COUNTRY. WE CONCLUDED OUR PROGRAM IN OMAN IN LATE MAY, 1983. C. NEW PILOT PROJECTS; INTERAGENCY AGREEMENTS IN ADDITION TO THE NEW COUNTRY ENTRIES JUST MENTIONED, WE SAW THE PLANNING, AND IN SOME CASES THE IMPLEMENTATION, OF NEW PILOT PROGRAMS IN COUNTRIES WHERE PEACE CORPS ALREADY HAS A PRESENCE, SUCH AS: -- THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A PILOT SELF-HELP HOUSING PROGRAM IN COSTA RICA WHICH RECEIVED A $300,000 ONE-YEAR GRANT FROM AID. FOURTEEN PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS ARE WORKING ON THIS PROJECT WHICH IS DESIGNED TO NOT ONLY HELP LOW-INCOME FAMILIES UPGRADE THEIR HOUSING, BUT ALSO TO SERVE AS A WIDER-BASED COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS. THIS PROJECT WILL SERVE AS A PROTOTYPE FOR FUTURE ONES IN OTHER LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES. THE PLANNING OF TWO NEW INTERAGENCY PROJECTS OF WHICH PEACE CORPS IS AN INTEGRAL PART: 1) THE TEACHER-TEXT-TECHNOLOGY (TTT) PROJECT, IN WHICH PEACE CORPS WORKS WITH AID, DEPARTMENT OF STATE, AND USIA TO ASSIST SELECTED COUNTRIES DEVELOP AND UPGRADE THE QUALITY OF EDUCATION AT THE SECONDARY AS WELL AS THE HIGHER EDUCATION LEVELS; 2) THE 1349 COMBATING COMMUNICABLE CHILDHOOD DISEASES PROJECT (CCCD)--A JOINT PROJECT GRANT AGREEMENT BETWEEN PC/AFRICA AND AID, TO OFFER TECHNICAL AND TRAINING ASSISTANCE TO SELECT PILOT COUNTRIES ADDRESSING THE HEALTH ISSUES SURROUNDING IMMUNIZATION, MALARIA, ORAL REHYDRATION, AND DIARRHEAL DISEASE. 0. PRIVATE SECTOR SUPPORT INCREASING--PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP BENEFITS. THE OFFICE OF PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT (OPSD) WAS CREATED AT THE PEACE CORPS IN DIRECT RESPONSE TO THIS ADMINISTRATION'S STRONG EMPHASIS ON PRIVATE SECTOR INITIATIVES. A PRIMARY GOAL OF THE OFFICE IS TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY THE LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND PARTICIPATION OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR IN PEACE CORPS PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES. IT SERVES AS THE FOCAL POINT FOR IDENTIFYING AND . COORDINATING GIFTS AND CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE PEACE CORPS TO FURTHER ITS OVERALL PURPOSE AND MISSION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES. IN FY 1984, THE OFFICE OF PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT FOCUSED ITS EFFORTS ON FACILITATING THE DONATION OF IN-KIND GIFTS AND CONTRIBUTIONS, AND DIRECT FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE TO PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP PROJECTS. THE OFFICE OF PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVED SEVERAL SUCCESSES THIS PAST YEAR. IT REACHED AGREEMENTS WITH A VARIETY OF COMPANIES TO TRANSPORT FREE-OF-CHARGE SEED, BOOKS, DENTAL EQUIPMENT, AND OTHER VITAL ITEMS CONTRIBUTED TO THE PEACE CORPS BY A VARIETY OF PRIVATE SECTOR SOURCES. THESE DONATIONS WILL REACH OUR PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS IN COSTA RICA, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC, BARBADOS, ECUADOR, GUATEMALA, PARAGUAY, AND HONDURAS. WE HOPE SOON TO HAVE OTHER DONORS TRANSPORTING SEED TO VOLUNTEERS SERVING IN THE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA REGION, NORTH E AFRICA, THE NEAR EAST, AND THE PACIFIC. THE OFFICE OF PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE ITS EFFORTS IN FY 85 TO PURSUE STRATEGIES THAT WILL RESULT IN GREATER PARTICIPATION FROM THE PRIVATE 1350 SECTOR. ONE WAY TO ACHIEVE THIS GOAL IS THROUGH THE PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM, WHICH CELEBRATES ITS TWENTIETH ANNIVERSARY THIS YEAR. THIS PROGRAM OFFERS A UNIQUE COMBINATION OF FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE AND CROSS-CULTURAL EXCHANGE, AND OVER THE PAST TWO DECADES IT HAS PROVIDED THOUSANDS OF AMERICANS WITH THE OPPORTUNITY TO PARTICIPATE IN VITAL PROJECTS UNDERTAKEN BY VOLUNTEERS AND THEIR HOST COUNTRY COMMUNITIES. SINCE 1964 THE PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM HAS RAISED OVER $3 MILLION IN SUPPORT OF OVER 2,000 PROJECTS IN HOST COUNTRIES. IN FY 1983, $94,848 WAS RAISED IN SUPPORT OF PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP PROJECTS. THUS FAR THIS YEAR OVER $100,000 IN CASH AND PLEDGES HAS BEEN RAISED, APPROXIMATELY 34% OF OUR GOAL, WHICH IS TO SUPPORT 200 PROJECTS IN FY 1984. THE PEACE CORPS PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM HELPS TO CARRY OUT PEACE CORPS' THIRD GOAL--"TO PROMOTE A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF OTHER PEOPLES ON THE PART OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE." E. RECRUITMENT STREAMLINED THE PEACE CORPS CONTINUES ITS PROGRAM OF STREAMLINING THE COMPLEX PROCESS FOR MATCHING THE THOUSANDS OF REQUESTS FOR VOLUNTEERS OVERSEAS WITH THE QUALIFICATIONS OF THE MANY AMERICANS WHO WISH TO SERVE. SINCE THE BEGINNING OF FY 1983, THE FOLLOWING IMPROVEMENTS WERE MADE IN OUR RECRUITMENT FUNCTION: 1. OUR AUTOMATED PROJECT COST ACCOUNTING SYSTEM NOW HELPS US TO DEVELOP THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE METHODS FOR RECRUITING VOLUNTEERS WHO ARE IN HIGH DEMAND OVERSEAS SUCH AS MATH AND SCIENCE TEACHERS AND SKILLED AGRICULTURALISTS. SUCH INDIVIDUALS REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIND AND EXPENSIVE TO RECRUIT. 2. NEW WORD PROCESSING EQUIPMENT, WHICH ALSO HAS DATA PROCESSING CAPABILITY, HAS BEEN PLACED IN SEVEN AREA OFFICES. THE OTHER 1351 OFFICES WILL RECEIVE SUCH EQUIPMENT DURING FY 1984. THE EQUIPMENT WILL HELP SPEED APPLICANT PROCESSING AND ENABLE LOCAL OFFICES TO MAINTAIN BETTER CONTACT WITH COLLEGE PROFESSORS, COMMUNITY LEADERS, MEMBERS OF THE PRESS AND OTHERS WHO CAN HELP US ATTRACT QUALIFIED AMERICANS FOR SERVICE. F. MINORITY AND SENIOR CITIZEN RECRUITMENT EFFORTS WE HAVE RECENTLY DELINEATED CERTAIN SPECIFIED AREAS OF THE COUNTRY FOR INCREASED CONCENTRATION IN OUR RECRUITMENT DRIVE SEEKING LARGER NUMBERS OF HISPANIC AMERICANS IN THE PEACE CORPS. WE HAVE SENT RECRUITERS TO COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES IN PUERTO RICO, AND WILL BE EXPANDING HISPANIC RECRUITMENT EFFORTS THROUGH THE ESTABLISHMENT OF AN AREA OFFICE IN MIAMI. THE SOUTHWEST (DALLAS, SAN ANTONIO) OFFICES AS WELL AS OUR OFFICES IN LOS ANGELES AND NEW YORK ARE CONTINUING TO DIRECT THEIR EFFORTS TO THE LARGE HISPANIC COMMUNITIES WITHIN THEIR AREAS. AS YOU KNOW, THE KISSINGER COMMISSION ON CENTRAL AMERICA HAS RECOMMENDED THAT THE PEACE CORPS INCREASE ITS PROGRAMS TO COMBAT ILLITERACY IN CENTRAL AMERICA, AND IF THESE PROPOSALS ARE ADOPTED BY CONGRESS, THE PEACE CORPS WILL BE GIVEN ADDITIONAL FUNDING TO MULTIPLY SUCH RECRUITMENT EFFORTS. WE HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED A RECRUITMENT BROCHURE IN SPANISH, AND WE PLAN TO HAVE MORE RADIO SPOTS AND POSTERS AIMED AT ATTRACTING MINORITIES. I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT IN 1983 WE RECEIVED 30% MORE APPLICATIONS FROM BLACK AMERICANS THAN IN 1982. I PLAN TO MEET WITH THE CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS AND THE HISPANIC CAUCUS IN THE NEAR FUTURE TO ELICIT IDEAS FOR FURTHERING OUR RECRUITMENT STRATEGIES GEARED TOWARDS THESE GROUPS. WE ARE ALSO INVOLVED IN ONGOING EFFORTS TO INCREASE THE NUMBER OF OLDER 1 AMERICANS IN PEACE CORPS. SPECIAL EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE THIS PAST YEAR TO HAVE PEACE CORPS PARTICIPATE IN PRE-RETIREMENT SEMINARS CONDUCTED BY BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY. TOWARD THIS GOAL, WE APPRECIATE THE EXCELLENT COOPERATION WE HAVE 1352 RECEIVED FROM MANY ORGANIZATIONS IN AND OUT OF GOVERNMENT, INCLUDING RCA, THE FORD MOTOR COMPANY, AND THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. IN FY 1985, WE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND OUR OUTREACH TO THE SENIOR CITIZEN COMMUNITY THROUGH WORK WITH TRADE ASSOCIATIONS, THE CORPORATE SECTOR, AND COMMITTEES ON CAPITOL HILL. G. HIGHER PLACEMENT FIGURES THE PLACEMENT UNIT OF THE PEACE CORPS WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR PLACING 2975 NEW VOLUNTEERS INTO OVERSEAS ASSIGNMENTS IN FY 1983. THIS FIGURE WAS UP FROM 2893 VOLUNTEERS IN FY 1982. FOR FY 1984, ABOUT 2700 VOLUNTEERS WILL BE PLACED. PEACE CORPS HAS BEEN INCREASINGLY MORE SUCCESSFUL IN RECENT YEARS IN FILLING REQUESTS FROM OVERSEAS, WHICH ARE OFTEN FOR PERSONS WITH SUBSTANTIAL TECHNICAL BACKGROUND. IN FY 1983, 77% OF ALL REQUESTS WERE FILLED AS COMPARED WITH 72% IN FY 1982. ALSO, AS IS TRADITIONAL, PEACE CORPS CANDIDATES WILL BE SCREENED AND RECEIVE INITIAL INTRODUCTION TO THE PEACE CORPS TRAINING CURRICULUM PRIOR TO OVERSEAS DEPARTURE. ABOUT 515 CANDIDATES WILL GO THROUGH THE CENTER FOR ASSESSMENT AND TRAINING (CAST) IN FY 1985. THIS EIGHT DAY PROGRAM PROVIDES SCREENING FOR THE MOST SENSITIVE AND DIFFICULT PEACE CORPS ASSIGNMENTS. THE CREST PROGRAM IS BRIEFER AND LESS EXPENSIVE THAN CAST. A FIVE DAY PROGRAM, CREST WILL BE USED WHEN TRAINING RATHER THAN SELECTION IS THE MAJOR PRIORITY. OVER THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS, THIS PARTICULAR FORM OF STAGING HAS PROVEN HIGHLY POPULAR AMONG NEW VOLUNTEERS, HOST COUNTRY OFFICIALS, AND PEACE CORPS STAFF. ABOUT 1135 CANDIDATES WILL RECEIVE THIS PROGRAM IN FY 1985. THE TRADITIONAL COMPREHENSIVE STAGING, WHICH RUNS FOR 3112 DAYS, PROVIDES INITIAL TRAINING AND ORIENTATION BUT DOES NOT PROVIDE EXTENSIVE SELECTION OR TRAINING ACTIVITIES. IT WILL BE USED FOR ABOUT 930 CANDIDATES IN FY 1985. 1353 A MAJOR PROJECT FOR FY 1984 WILL BE TESTING OF THE "OVERSEAS ASSESSMENT INVENTORY." THIS WRITTEN QUESTIONNAIRE MAY PROVIDE INDICATIONS WHETHER A GIVEN APPLICANT CAN ADAPT WELL IN ANOTHER CULTURE, A VERY IMPORTANT INGREDIENT IN SUCCESS OF PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS. H. NEW OFFICE OF MARKETING RESEARCH A NEW OFFICE OF MARKETING RESEARCH WAS FORMED LATE IN FY 1983. DURING FY 1984 AND FY 1985 THE UNIT WILL UNDERTAKE PROJECTS DESIGNED TO: RESEARCH DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND EXPLORE REASONS WHY INDIVIDUALS JOIN THE PEACE CORPS. DEVELOP MARKETING STRATEGIES AIMED AT OLDER AMERICANS AND MEMBERS OF MINORITY GROUPS. O PRODUCE NEW RECRUITMENT POSTERS, BROCHURES, SLIDE SHOWS AND OTHER MATERIALS. PLAN NATIONAL ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS ON RADIO AND TELEVISION. 1. IMPROVED MANAGEMENT DURING THE PAST YEAR, WE HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE THE MANAGEMENT OF VARIOUS SUPPORT SERVICES PROVIDED TO OUR PROGRAM, BOTH AT HOME AND OVERSEAS. WE HAVE STRENGTHENED BOTH OUR ADMINISTRATIVE AND PROGRAM MANAGEMENT BY: -- UPDATING OUR PEACE CORPS MANUAL WHICH INCLUDES AGENCY-WIDE POLICY AND PROCEDURES GUIDELINES; REVIEWING AND TESTING OUR INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEMS; INTRODUCING AND TESTING A NEW PROGRAM REVIEW SYSTEM FOR OVERSEAS POSTS, AND AN AUDIT FOLLOW-UP SYSTEM; 34-045 0-84-86 1354 -- ESTABLISHING AN ADMINISTRATIVE INTERN PROGRAM TO PROVIDE A CADRE OF HIGHLY QUALIFIED ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICERS FOR OVERSEAS; AND -- EXPANDING THE USE OF AUTOMATED DATA PROCESSING IN FIELD OFFICES AND HEADQUARTERS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OUR MANAGEMENT SUPPORT ACTIVITIES IN BOTH FY 1984 AND FY 1985. MANAGEMENT PLANS FOR THIS COMING YEAR INCLUDE: DEVELOPING DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS FOR OVERSEAS POSTS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF COUNTRY PLANS AND BUDGETS; DEVELOPING STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES HANDBOOKS FOR OVERSEAS POSTS, AND TOOLS FOR SELF-EVALUATING MANAGEMENT AND PROGRAM EFFECTIVENESS; CONTINUING TO EXPAND DATA PROCESSING IN FIELD OFFICES, AND THE USE OF MICRO-COMPUTERS IN OVERSEAS POSTS; -- IMPLEMENTING AND REINFORCING SKILLS DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AT WORKSHOPS FOR OVERSEAS COUNTRY DIRECTORS AND ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICERS; INCLUDING ALL PEACE CORPS OVERSEAS POSTS IN OUR MICRO-COMPUTER NETWORK; AND CONTINUING TO REALLOCÁTE POSITIONS WHERE FEASIBLE FROM PEACE CORPS HEADQUARTERS TO OVERSEAS POSTS TO ASSURE PRIORITY IS GIVEN TO OVERSEAS STAFFING NEEDS. J. BETTER TRAINING AT HEADQUARTERS HERE IN WASHINGTON, THE OFFICE OF TRAINING AND PROGRAM SUPPORT, A MERGER OF THE OFFICES OF PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING MANAGEMENT 1355 COORDINATION, WAS CREATED IN ORDER TO PROVIDE CLOSER COORDINATION BETWEEN TRAINING AND PROGRAM ASSISTANCE TO THE FIELD. UNDER AN INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT WITH USAID, PEACE CORPS ESTABLISHED A SMALL PROJECTS ASSISTANCE FUND OF $40,000 IN EACH OF 31 COUNTRIES TO PROVIDE PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS WITH FUNDS TO SUPPORT SELECTED PROJECTS IN AGRICULTURE, ENERGY AND SMALL ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT. A SMALL ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT SECTOR SPECIALIST WAS SUBSEQUENTLY HIRED TO PROVIDE THE AGENCY WITH TECHNICAL EXPERTISE IN ALL AREAS OF INCOME GENERATION. APPROXIMATELY 150 PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS IN THE CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN SUB-REGIONS PARTICIPATED IN TRAINING SESSIONS DESIGNED TO PREPARE VOLUNTEERS TO HELP SMALL-SCALE FARMERS ASSOCIATIONS AND COOPERATIVES IN CONDUCTING FEASIBILITY STUDIES AND CONSTRUCTING BUSINESS AND MARKETING PLANS. THE ENERGY SECTOR DEVELOPED AND CONDUCTED A MODEL FOOD PRESERVATION IN-SERVICE TRAINING PROGRAM IN FIVE COUNTRIES FOR OVER 100 PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS AND 50 HOST COUNTRY NATIONALS. THIS SECTOR ALSO EXPLORED THE POSSIBILITY OF INTRODUCING MICROHYDRO AND PHOTOVOLTAIC TECHNOLOGIES INTO PEACE CORPS ENERGY PROGRAMMING. THE AGRICULTURE SECTOR DESIGNED AND TESTED A TWO-WEEK AGRICULTURE MARKETING IN-SERVICE TRAINING PROGRAM IN COSTA RICA AND THE PHILIPPINES AND THEN CONDUCTED PROGRAMS IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA AND CAMEROON. THE FORESTRY SECTOR DESIGNED AND CONDUCTED THREE ONE-WEEK MULTI-COUNTRY IN-SERVICE TRAINING WORKSHOPS IN AGROFORESTRY FOR EIGHTY-FIVE PARTICIPANTS FROM FIFTEEN COUNTRIES IN WHICH 50 PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS AND 35 HOST COUNTRY COUNTERPARTS PARTICIPATED. THESE ARE ONLY A FEW OF THE ONGOING EFFORTS TO PROVIDE THE HIGHEST QUALITY TRAINING TO OUR PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS, WHO IN TURN IMPART THIS VITAL KNOWLEDGE TO THE PEOPLE IN THE LESSER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 1356 K. PEACE CORPS CALLED TO ASSIST IN DISASTER SITUATIONS MORE AND MORE, PEACE CORPS IS BEING RECOGNIZED AS AN EFFECTIVE, HUMANITARIAN FORM OF ASSISTANCE IN DISASTER SITUATIONS. FOR EXAMPLE, IN RESPONSE TO THE SEVERE DROUGHT IN BOTSWANA AND AT THE REQUEST OF THAT GOVERNMENT, PEACE CORPS/BOTSWANA QUICKLY ARRANGED A DROUGHT RELIEF PROGRAM. A CALL WENT OUT FOR THIRD-YEAR EXTENSION VOLUNTEERS WITH SKILLS IN GENERAL CONSTRUCTION, MASONRY, CARPENTRY, AND PLUMBING. PEACE CORPS/LESOTHO, GHANA, AND HONDURAS RESPONDED, PROVIDING A TOTAL OF EIGHT VOLUNTEERS WHO ASSISTED IN ROAD CONSTRUCTION AND PUBLIC WORKS. IN GHANA, TWO VOLUNTEERS WORKED WITH EMERGENCY FOOD AID DURING THE REPATRIATION OF AN ESTIMATED ONE MILLION GHANAIANS FROM NIGERIA. PEACE CORPS WAS ABLE TO PROVIDE VOLUNTEERS TO HELP IN INITIAL RECONSTRUCTION EFFORTS FOLLOWING THE DISASTROUS EARTHQUAKE IN YEMEN. PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEER MICHAEL BOLSTER, OF PRINCETON, NEW JERSEY, WAS HONORED FOR THIS EFFORT BY PRESIDENT REAGAN. IN ADDITION, SISTER MADELINE CHORMAN, ALSO NAMED AN OUTSTANDING PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEER IN 1983 (FOR HER MANAGEMENT OF THE KORLE BU HOSPITAL CANTEEN IN ACCRA, GHANA), RECEIVED A DONATION OF OVER FOUR TONS OF FLOUR AS A RESULT OF HER PERSONAL REQUEST TO PRESIDENT REAGAN DURING THE AWARD CEREMONY AT THE WHITE HOUSE. II. THE BUDGET REQUEST WE SUPPORT THE ADMINISTRATION'S REQUEST TO AUTHORIZE THE APPROPRIATION OF $124,000,000 FOR ACTIVITIES UNDER THE PEACE CORPS ACT FOR FISCAL YEAR 1985, AND SUCH SUMS AS MAY BE NECESSARY TO SUPPORT ACTIVITIES UNDER THE PEACE CORPS ACT IN FISCAL YEAR 1986. WITHIN THE $124,000,000 IS INCLUDED A SUM OF $9 MILLION 1357 DOLLARS, TRANSMITTED AS PART OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S RESPONSE TO THE REPORT OF THE NATIONAL BIPARTISAN COMMISSION ON CENTRAL AMERICA FOR NEW ACTIVITIES THAT SUPPORT THE COMMISSION'S RECOMMENDATIONS. THIS REQUEST, INCLUDING THE $9,000,000 INCREMENT FOR NEW CENTRAL AMERICA ACTIVITIES, WILL SUPPORT A MODEST OVERALL PROGRAM INCREASE FOR THE PEACE CORPS IN 1985. OUR 1985 REQUEST HAS BEEN DEVELOPED IN FULL COORDINATION WITH THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE AND THE AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT. OTHER HIGHLIGHTS OF THIS BUDGET REQUEST FOR 1985 INCLUDE: INCREASING OUR GRENADA PROGRAM, WHICH WILL BEGIN THIS CALENDAR YEAR, TO A FULLY OPERATIONAL LEVEL; MAINTAINING SUPPORT FOR THE ADMINISTRATION'S CARIBBEAN BASIN INITIATIVE BY TRAINING LOCAL CARIBBEAN AGRICULTURAL ENTREPRENEURS TO CARRY OUT SUCH BASIC BUSINESS FUNCTIONS AS FEASIBILITY STUDIES, INVENTORY CONTROL, PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND MARKETING; EXPANDING THE SMALL ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT SECTOR WORLDWIDE BY ENHANCING THE BUSINESS SKILLS NOT ONLY OF VOLUNTEERS WITH BUSINESS BACKGROUNDS, BUT ALSO OF VOLUNTEERS WITH LIMITED BUSINESS EXPERIENCE; AND UPGRADING THE ADMINISTRATIVE CAPABILITY OF OUR POSTS BY PURCHASING AND INSTALLING DESKTOP COMPUTERS IN NINE OVERSEAS POSTS, BRINGING THE TOTAL NUMBER OF POSTS WITH DESKTOP COMPUTERS TO FORTY-SEVEN. THE 1985 BUDGET REQUEST AFFIRMS THE IMPORTANCE OF THE PEACE CORPS NOT ONLY AS A VITAL COMPONENT OF THE OVERALL V.S. APPROACH TO INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, BUT ALSO AS AN IMPORTANT VEHICLE OF PUBLIC DIPLOMACY, TEACHING THE PEOPLES OF THE DEVELOPING WORLD AND THE UNITED STATES ABOUT EACH OTHER. ONE OF THE NOTEWORTHY RESULTS OF A RECENT SURVEY OF OUR AMBASSADORS WAS THE LARGE NUMBER OF 1358 TESTIMONIALS TO THE EXTRAORDINARY ABILITY OF OUR VOLUNTEERS TO BUILDING LASTING CROSS-CULTURAL RELATIONSHIPS. THESE LASTING RELATIONSHIPS ARE AMONG THE MOST IMPORTANT OUTCOMES OF PEACE CORPS PROGRAMMING. III. OTHER LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS S. 2321 WOULD CORRECT AN UNINTENDED CHANGE IN THE PEACE CORPS AUTHORITY TO EMPLOY FOREIGN NATIONALS ABROAD MADE BY THE FOREIGN SERVICE ACT OF 1980. PRIOR TO THE PASSAGE OF THAT ACT, THE PEACE CORPS COULD EMPLOY FOREIGN NATIONALS FOR INDEFINITE PERIODS. UNDER THE NEW PROVISIONS ENACTED BY THE FOREIGN SERVICE ACT, THEY HAVE BEEN SUBJECTED TO THE FIVE YEAR LIMIT ON PEACE CORPS EMPLOYMENT WHICH IS APPLICABLE TO U.S. CITIZENS, AND THE CONCOMITANT "OUT AS LONG AS IN" RULE. FOREIGN NATIONAL EMPLOYEES PROVIDE NECESSARY ADMINISTRATIVE SUPPORT ABROAD. THE PEACE CORPS POSTS WILL LOSE MANY OF THESE VALUABLE EMPLOYEES IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS UNLESS THEY ARE EXEMPTED FROM THESE TWO RULES. PEACE CORPS TECHNICAL PUBLICATIONS CONTAIN MUCH INFORMATION WHICH IS VALUABLE TO PRIVATE VOLUNTARY ORGANIZATIONS AND HOST-COUNTRY MINISTRIES. THE BILL PROPOSES AN AMENDMENT TO THE PEACE CORPS ACT WHICH WOULD FACILITATE DISSEMINATION OF THIS VALUABLE INFORMATION BY AUTHORIZING THE PEACE CORPS TO SELL ITS TECHNICAL PUBLICATIONS AT COST, AND TO CREDIT THE PROCEEDS OF SUCH SALES TO ITS CURRENT APPROPRIATIONS. THE PEACE CORPS CANNOT AFFORD TO PROVIDE LARGE NUMBERS OF ITS PUBLICATION GRATIS, OR WITHOUT BEING ABLE TO RECOUP, FOR ITS OWN USE, THE PROCEEDS OF SALES. UNDER PRESENT LAW, THE PROCEEDS OF SUCH SALES MUST BE REMITTED TO THE TREASURY. 1 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE POLITICAL AS WELL AS ECONOMIC IS ONE OF THE HALLMARKS OF THE 1980'S. IN THAT CONTEXT, OVER 100,000 PEACE CORPS VOLUNTEERS 1359 HAVE SERVED ABROAD, PROVIDING DIRECT ASSISTANCE TO LITERALLY MILLIONS OF PEOPLE ON AN INDIVIDUAL BASIS. BEYOND THE ECONOMIC BENEFITS TO THE UNITED STATES THAT RESULT FROM STABILIZING AND DEVELOPING THE ECONOMIES OF POORER NATIONS, AN INCALCULABLE RESERVOIR OF INTERNATIONAL GOODWILL HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THESE VOLUNTEERS THAT IS INVALUABLE FOR US TODAY. THANK YOU FOR THIS OPPORTUNITY TO TESTIFY BEFORE YOU TODAY. Senator LUGAR. Thank you, Mrs. Ruppe. Will you describe in greater detail how the work of the Peace Corps has been integrated into the Caribbean Basin Initiative? You mentioned that, and I would like, just for the sake of the record, to have some examples of how that initiative has been furthered through the Peace Corps. Ms. RUPPE. From the very beginning, we have had volunteers throughout the Caribbean, so we considered how we could most ef- fectively help in the whole Caribbean Basin Initiative, and what special training our volunteers have that would be particularly val- uable in upgrading skills and talents throughout those countries. Our volunteers are a human resource out at the village level working with the small farmer, the small business person, and women in development. We felt very strongly that we could make an impact by giving our volunteers special training in doing prefea- sibility studies and marketing studies to allow them to be the link between microeconomic factors, the small businessman, the small farmer, and the available markets. We know that there are funds available for very small business people, but rarely do these people know how to make out a loan proposal. So we have given our volunteers special training in such matters. We have connected with private voluntary organizations interested in the Caribbean to discover new markets. What crops should a small business person grow? We have coordinated with the Smithsonian Institute, with some of their aquaculture experts. We are now doing some Caribbean crab ranching. We have introduced snow peas, which have a high market rate, and we also have worked to upgrade the quality con- trol and design of handicrafts throughout the Caribbean. Those are some specific projects, and I would be happy to submit more for the record. Senator LUGAR. I think it would be interesting if you could make an additional submission. That clearly has been one of the major objectives of this administration, and I think it is interesting to see how agencies and programs that are already in progress dovetail in order to strengthen that situation. By the same token, you have indicated that additional funds have been requested by the administration for the Peace Corps, particularly after the recommendations of the Kissinger Commis- sion. They suggested the value of that. Can you offer some explana- tion of how Peace Corps will work to fulfill those objectives? Grant- ed that they are a part of our general markup and consideration of 1360 several parts of this authorization, or the budgetmaking that we are in the process of doing, and we do not know what parts will survive. But even given those footnotes, how do you see the Peace Corps proceeding with the Kissinger report? Ms. RUPPE. Well, before the Kissinger report was really fleshed out, our original budget request was $115 million. The $9 million additional raises the total to $124 million, which would give us the capability to start implementing the Kissinger Commission recom- mendations for Peace Corps activities in Central America. The Commission had actually recommended that we quadruple or quintuple our numbers in Central America. Senator LUGAR. What are those numbers now, roughly? Ms. RUPPE. We have approximately 600 volunteers working in Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, and Costa Rica. We decided to start out by doubling those numbers. The appropriation and the authori- zation we are requesting would enable us to begin placing an addi- tional 1,500 volunteers between 1985 and 1989, starting with ap- proximately 150 volunteers in fiscal year 1985. Part of this increase would be for going back into Panama. We very much would like to reenter Panama. The Commission was pri- marily interested in the problem of under-education throughout Central America, and concluded that our volunteers would be very valuable in creating a "literacy corps” to teach Spanish to Indian- dialect speakers and a “teacher corps” at primary, secondary, and technical levels to teach math, science, and vocational education to rural schoolchildren. Our agricultural volunteers will give farmers special literacy training. These proposals open up a new dimension to Peace Corps, so that we can recruit far more Hispanics. We need that type of fluency in literacy training. For many years Peace Corps, because of tight re- sources, has been unable to expand its recruiting efforts in areas of our country where we have tremendous population swings. For example, we have tended to recruit primarily on the west coast, the Midwest and the Northeast, and we have had very little recruitment outreach into the Sun Belt. If this funding is approved, it will give us the capability to open more offices throughout the Sun Belt States. We already have a potential office selected in Miami. We have increased our recruiting in Puerto Rico. With this funding we could move ahead, not only in literacy but also in the fields that we have already established ourselves in, including agri- culture, small business programs, low income housing, and health. Senator LUGAR. Currently you do not have Peace Corps volun- teers in El Salvador, do you? Ms. RUPPE. We had a program there until the level of violence was so high that it was felt the volunteers could no longer serve there free from danger to their health and safety, but once stability returns, we would certainly want to have volunteers back there. The same holds true with Nicaragua. Senator LUGAR. Is there current Peace Corps activity in Mexico? Ms. RUPPE. The Peace Corps has never been invited into Mexico. Senator LUGAR. You have enumerated the other Central Ameri- can countries, and possible reentry into Panama. Ms. RUPPE. We were also in Nicaragua at one time, and again, when violence came, we withdrew. 1361 Senator LUGAR. In the days that the Peace Corps was founded and subsequently, there was much discussion of the idealism of the youth who entered the Peace Corps. How would you characterize the type of person who comes in now? You have described the vol- unteers as people of all ages and even suggested that people of your age and older would be not only welcome but would be very valua- ble. I would just like some idea of a profile, if you have one, of who the volunteers are, why they come, and how you would describe the morale of the people who are serving. Ms. RUPPE. Well, our median age is now approximately 28 years old. About 6 percent of our volunteers are minorities. About 400 are over 50 years of age. We have no upper age limit. We have a gentleman serving in Haiti who is now 82, who is doing wonderful work there, Mr. Odilon Long. Of course, now we have Florence Brooks competing with him among the ranks of our most famous volunteers. But still our largest segments of volunteers has an education background of some sort. They teach English, math, or science. One of the greatest needs today is for people with agricultural back- grounds. Of course, in the sixties, when Peace Corps started, as you well know, being from Indiana, there were far more families en- gaged in agriculture. There were about 15 million Americans in- volved in agriculture that Peace Corps could have approached for volunteer service. Today there are under 5 million as American farmers. Also there were far many more math and science teachers in the sixties, and the needs are even greater in the eighties. I just returned from a five-nation tour, and it was confirmed to me again and again that our volunteers are great, motivated Amer- icans. One young fisheries volunteer said to me after a very long day in the field="I just want you to know I am working my butt off here, and I just hope you will go back to Washington and get the support for this program, because this is one of the greatest things I think my country is doing. They love America. They love the countries they are serving in and the people they are working with. I tell them, and I feel it very firmly—this was the 36th Peace Corps country, Nepal, that I vis- ited—that they are doing more to promote world peace and friend- ship for our country than almost anything else. The relationships that are established and the knowledge that comes back to Amer- ica to help us to grow and develop in our partnerships with the de- veloping world is so valuable. So they are just a great group, whatever age they are. Most of them are very highly skilled. Most of them have a college degree or several years of hands-on experience. Senator LUGAR. How do you go about attempting to recruit vol- unteers from the field of agriculture? Through your regular re- cruitment offices? How would you describe it? Ms. RUPPE. We have recruitment centers all around the country, Mr. Chairman. We have about 62 recruiters out, but I am proud to say that on a per capita basis they do very, very well. In agricultur- al recruitment we send letters to all the agricultural schools asking their placement people to recommend Peace Corps service. We point out the advantages of Peace Corps experience. We show the career development possibilities. We explain the needs for agricul- 1362 tural graduates in the developing world. We send out letters to graduating seniors on any mailing list we have. We are also going to agricultural schools and asking them to think about the possibility of a master's course being incorporated into Peace Corps service, and some schools are doing that. The Graduate School of Arizona State, for instance, has supplied us with students who do a master's program as part of their Peace Corps service. We would like to do more of that, because we are having difficulty getting enough people with agricultural skills in the 59 countries that we are in. We think if we set up more plans like that, it would help to give us a steady supply of people with those skills to help in the developing world. Also, this past year I signed an agreement with Secretary Block whereby he sends a letter to every retiree of the U.S. Department of Agriculture encouraging them to apply for Peace Corps service. We try to advertise in agricultural journals, organic gardening periodicals, and similar publications whose readers might see us and think about Peace Corps service. Senator LUGAR. How long would a typical volunteer serve who came from an agricultural background? Ms. RUPPE. Well, he or she would receive at least 8 to 12 weeks of intensive training. Thirty million dollars a year is spent by Peace Corps on training, because we feel that is the key to the ef- fectiveness of our volunteers. Our language training in the eighties is far improved from the sixties. We are doing most of our training overseas, in the country in which the volunteers serve. Let us say you were going to be in agriculture. You would prob- ably be placed in a village, live with a family, have your language training 6 hours a day, go out to the fields with the farmer of the village, and perhaps receive additional stateside training in all dif- ferent agricultural techniques. Senator LUGAR. I would like to mention that our distinguished colleague, Senator Cranston from California, would like to submit questions from the committee that have not been asked by Senator Tsongas or by me today for the record, and I would ask that you respond to them, if you would. The chairman will keep the record open for other questions from other Senators for the remainder of this day, in the event that others are not able because of schedules in the Senate to attend the hearing. They will have an opportunity during this business day to submit other questions. We would ask that you respond as rapidly as possible for the record, so that it will be complete before we have the markup on the authorization. I have no further questions. I simply would join my colleague, Paul Tsongas, in commending the extraordinary record that you have compiled. It has been a remarkable achievement, and one that I am very excited about. It is a pleasure to have the chance to preside over this hearing today about an agency for which I have great enthusiam and affection. I have no doubt that other members of the committee will feel the same way. We will proceed into the markup with a good hearing. We appreciate your full testimony, your additional comments, and responses to the questions today. 1363 Ms. RUPPE. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. We are very proud of your State for the large number of volunteers it has given us over the years. Thank you. Senator LUGAR. Thank you. The hearing is adjourned. [Additional questions and answers follow:] PEACE CORPS' RESPONSES TO ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Question 1. Regionally, where do you find the greatest demand for Peace Corps services? Is this demand reflected proportionately in the FY 1985 budget request? Answer. The greatest demand continues to be in Africa where we have our largest presence. In responding to demand for Volunteers we take into account our ability to recruit, place, train and support the types of Volunteers requested and our over- all world-wide balance. Question 2. If the Peace Corps is, as you say, one of the most cost-effective and visible U.S. foreign assistance programs, why is its budget authority remaining es- sentially static taking into account inflation? How do you determine the cost-effec- tiveness of the Peace Corps programs? Answer. We strongly believe that Peace Corps is one of the most cost-effective for- eign assistance programs and the 100,000 returned Volunteers and 5,000 current Volunteers certainly contribute much to our visibility. However, in formulating his budget and determining the proper mix of programs, the President must take into account many factors and considerations beyond the scope of Peace Corps. It costs us about $20,000 to $23,000 to recruit, place, train and maintain a Volun- teer in the field for 1 year. This represents less than one-fifth the amount other for- eign assistance agencies spend to maintain a technician in the field. Numerous am- bassadors, government leaders and ministry officials have expressed their belief in the effectiveness of Volunteers. Question 3. What do you foresee happening to the Peace Corps budget in the next few years? Will it continue to shrink in real dollar terms? Answer. It is difficult to say, given the budgetary problems the government faces. However, the planning levels for the Peace Corps included in the budget for 1986 and beyond show growth in the Peace Corps' budget at approximately the anticipat- ed rate of inflation. Question 4. Technically, the Peace Corps budget request is $105.8 million. In addi- tion, $18.2 million is being proposed for Peace Crops Central America programs as a part of the Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Act of 1984. That Act embodies the Kissinger Commission recommendations for greater Peace Corps services in Central America. Why wasn't the $18 million proposed for Central America submitted as part of the Peace Corps budget request? Answer. The Peace Corps' initial budget submission was developed prior to the release of the Kissinger Commission report. Subsequently the administration decid- ed to identify the total level of support to Central America in the budget request incorporating the Kissinger Commission recommendations for foreign assistance to that region. The original $115 million request level included $9.2 million for Central America. The Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Act package in- cludes $18.2 million for the Peace Corps Central American programs: the basic $9.2 million for ongoing programs in Central and Latin America and the Caribbean, and an additional $9 million to implement the Kissinger Commission recommendations. Question 5. Last year, the Peace Corps Congressional Presentation Document noted that “since 1982 the Peace Corps has been able to reverse, for the first time in several years, a downward trend in the annual number of replacement Volunteers entering service overseas. (A) This year, the Peace Corps budget proposal calls for both a reduction in re cruitment of Volunteers and a reduction in Volunteer years of service. These reduc- tions seem to fly in the face of last year's statements to this Committee. Likewise, the FY 1985 budget request projects a reduction of about 242 percent in recruit- ments, communication and development education. How do you explain these appar- ent contradictions? (B) At the same time that recruitment is declining, the administrative support portion of the budget is increasing. Wouldn't it be more productive to increase the number of Volunteers in the field rather than the number of program officers in Washington and overseas? Answer. (A) In 1983 we placed 2,988 new trainees overseas, an increase of 125 from the previous year which itself was an increase of 134 from the year before. 1364 These two solid years of increases after a long period of decline represent a signifi- cant turnaround. Unfortunately, cost increases, particularly overseas, during 1984 and 1985, have led us to project a reduction in the number of new trainees we will be able to afford in 1985. Because of these reductions, we are projecting a requirement for a smaller recruitment effort in 1985. (B) While our program support budget is increasing slightly in 1985, this is not due to staff increases. In fact, staff levels are declining. Further, since 1981 the pro- gram support portion of our budget has declined from 33.3 percent to a projected 31.3 percent in 1985 while the Volunteer operations portion has increased from 58.6 percent to 60.7 percent. This has been accomplished in the face of extremely diffi- cult programmatic and operational conditions. Question 6. The GAO issued a May 1981 report entitled "The Preparation of Vol- unteers for Peace Corps Service: Some Areas Need Management Attention.” That Report noted that in some countries key elements of Volunteer training were being handled creatively and effectively but that in other countries the training programs varied in quality and effectiveness. The GAO recommended, among other things, ac- celerating the development of a core curriculum for pre-service training, and estab- lishing a system to collect and evaluate attrition data so that management can make changes to minimize the adverse effects of attrition. Have these recommenda- tions been implemented? If so, when and to what degree? If not, why? Answer. Due to a decentralized training system, the quality of Peace Corps train- ing has varied from country to country. To address this problem, the Agency has developed the Integrated Training System--a management system which standard- izes Peace Corps training philosophy, goals, and minimum standards of quality training. This system clearly articulates what is acceptable and not acceptable in terms of (1) hiring qualifications for trainers, (2) country staff advance preparation, (3) training methodologies, (4) content, and (5) evaluation. In addition, this system establishes a monitoring review process which allows us to systematically evaluate training programs, identify problems and provide needed assistance. We are intro- ducing the Integrated Training System to the field at all directors and regional pro- gramming and training conferences held during 1984. Integrated Training System requires the provision of training materials and train- ing assistance. The following training manuals were developed or revised during 1983-1984: (1) The Trainer Resource Guide- A resource book for Peace Corps training. It provides detailed definitions of terms methodologies, and reports used in Peace Corps training. (2). Bureaucratic Effectiveness and Working with Counterparts-Focuses on characteristics of bureacracies and strategies for working effectively within them. (3) Personal Safety-Addresses general Volunteer safety, with specific focus on rape and sexual harassment. (4) Role of the Volunteer in Development—This manual integrates women in development (originally a separate manual) concepts showing how they are a vital part of any development project. Plans are underway to develop the following additional manuals: (1) In-Service Training-This new manual will focus on working with commu- nity leadership structures, improving planning and management skills, and in- creasing Volunteers awareness of available resources and assistance for devel- opment projects, i.e., Peace Corps Partnership. (2)-Cross-Culture-Helps Volunteers develop new skills for entering and work- ing in a new culture. It also examines how to balance cultural sensitivity with personal safety and needs. Complementing these materials will be a training managers conference which will be held in Africa. This conference is geared towards improving management skills as they relate to training. The recommendation in the GAO report to establish a system to collect and evalu- ate attrition data for management has been implemented. The Office of Special Services has in place an automated data management system that supplies attrition information to the central data base. A semi-annual attribution reporting system presents attrition rates by fiscal year of entrance on duty dates together with rea- sons for terminations and characteristics of early terminées. Through management exercises specifically prepared for this purpose, these countries are to identify the strengths and weaknesses of the programs in areas relevant to attrition and to de velop a plan to make changes to enable as many Volunteers as possible to complete their Peace Corps service. Country assessments and action plans are being reviewed 1365 etc. front page article in the local newspaper which promoted Peace Corps service. in Peace Corps/Washington to determine trends and to make recommendations for agency-wide changes to increase Volunteer retention. Question 7. There appears to be an ever increasing demand for Volunteers with special skills. What skills are most in demand by host countries and how is the Peace Corps responding to the demand? Answer. Countries overseas most often request Volunteers with agricultural back- grounds. Many of these requests require individuals with education backgrounds in plant pathology, large animal husbandry, soil science, and other agricultural sub- specialities. Teachers are next in order of frequent requests, most often teachers of English, mathematics and science. Foresters, engineers (especially civil engineers), and individuals with construction and special education backgrounds are also fre- quently requested. Special steps taken to recruit individuals with these highly technical skills in- clude: Funding of graduate assistantships for returned Volunteers to intensively recruit in academic departments such as agriculture, forestry, engineering, mathematics, Specialized direct mail appeals to graduating seniors in these disciplines where mailing lists are available. Other targeted mailings in cooperation with the Office of Personnel Management, the Department of Agriculture, The Society of American Foresters and many others. Creation of public service announcements and campus newspaper advertisements specifically targeted to scarce skill audiences. Question 8. What specific efforts have been made during the past year to utilize more effectively returned Peace Corps Volunteers? Please cite examples. Will this effort carry over into the FY 1985 budget? Answer. This Agency has made specific efforts to use the expertise of Returned Peace Corps Volunteers in many of our training and other programmatic activities in the past year. Many of the assistant trainers in our state-side technical training are RPCV's with expertise in a wide range of skill areas including fisheries, forest- ry, health/nutrition, rural development and agriculture. Other RPCV's are utilized for in-country pre-service and in-service training. Returned Volunteers are used as in In addition to the above, the past year has shown that RPCV's have moved into management and programming positions within Peace Corps both in headquarters and overseas. Many Country Directors and Associate Country Directors are former Volunteers. In headquarters, many desk assistants, desk officers, chiefs of operation and even one regional director, are RPCV's. In a recent survey of new Peace Corps Volunteers, 31 percent attributed their in- terest in service to discussions and contacts with returned Volunteers. In January 1984 we wrote to over 4,000 recently returned Volunteers and asked them to assist us in recruitment efforts. We made the same request of the 38 active returned Vol- unteer groups. Many former Volunteers are responding by speaking to community groups about their own experiences and by meeting one-on-one with prospective new Volunteers to give them first hand knowledge about service overseas. Examples of day-to-day assistance provided by returned Volunteers are legion: The Cleveland area returned Volunteer group provided assistance to our staff in recent mid-western recruiting campaigns. Returned Volunteers addressed interested students at the University of North Carolina. A University professor who is a returned Volunteer was the subject of a At Indiana University recently, 10 returned Volunteers showed their personal slides to 65 prospective applicants. Similar activities are planned for FY 1985. Question 9. How many applications did the Peace Corps receive from Black and Hispanic Americans during 1983? How many of these applicants were selected for Peace Corps service? Answer. In FY 1983, 1,548 applications were from minority candidtes, 189 of whom have been selected for Peace Corps service. Minority breakdown is as follows: Black Americans 93 Hispanic Americans.. 50 American Indians......... 22 Asian Americans 24 Total...... 189 1366 Question 10. Please describe the Peace Corps involvement in the Caribbean Basin Initiative and how this is reflected in the proposed FY 1985 budget. Do you believe that it is appropriate and in keeping with the Peace Corps mandate of addressing basic human needs in developing countries for Volunteers to conduct fesibility stud- ies and develop business plans for agricultural enterprises as the Peace Corps plan now proposes? What results do you hope for from these projects? Answer. The Peace Corps began a program in FY 1983 to support the economic self-reliance focus of the Carribean Basin Initiative. Peace Corps' CBI activity has been directed toward small and medium scale agribusiness development. The PC/ CBI program has trained select groups of Volunteers with agricultural and business backgrounds to assist host country small farmers associations, cooperative and host government agencies in developing agribusiness feasibility assessments and business plans. Completed assessments and business plans can help small and medium scale farmers and groups to qualify for agribusiness financing under the various agricul- tural credit programs which are or will be available in the Caribbean countries. There are several potential projects with identified export markets, as well as projects with local regional markets. To continue the Peace Corps commitment to the Caribbean Basin Initiative, we have carried over the slot for our Caribbean Basin coordinator to implement phase III of the project, e.g., to review each of the projects identified by the Volunteers and to provide technical assistance in the field. In addition, the Caribbean Basin coordinator will be developing a pre-service training module to be incorporated with all of Inter-America's operating training contracts. This will enhance the trainees' skills to provide both technical advice and to assist host country small farmers associations and cooperatives in developing agribusiness feasibility assessments and business plans to qualify for financing under various ag- ricultural credit programs. This type of program is not a new focus for Peace Corps. Since the early 1960's Volunteers have been providing management and marketing assistance to farmers cooperatives and groups throughout the developing world. The “CBI” activities ar designed to place more emphasis on this program area and to provide Volunteers with the skills required to provide effective technical assistance. The “CBI” program does not reduce the emphasis on other traditional programs such as health, sanita- tion, nutrition, skill training, and other basic human needs. For the past 23 years Peace Corps Volunteers have been addressing basic human needs through programs designed to impart knowledge, skills and know-how, and income generation. All of these areas are critical for long term solutions. For exam- ple, teaching people about food production, diet and food preparation addresses the need for better nutrition and health. However, if the people cannot generate income to buy food or the seeds and fertilizer to grow it, little improvement will be possible over the long run. Because of low productive capacity the developing countries have limited job op- portunities. The majority of the populations are either unemployed or underem- ployed. Job opportunities and income generation must be created by the people themselves. Food production businesses offer an excellent opportunity for economic self-help. Land is generally an abundant natural resource. Due to low productive ca- pacity in agriculture, most countries are now importers of food staples. This drives up prices causing balance of payment problems and nutritional problems for the poor majority who can not afford to purchase food for a balanced diet. This situation assures a market for locally grown food that can be sold at lower prices than im- ported products. Although small scale farmers have some basic agricultural skills and some land resources, their lack of business management and marketing skills has generally made it difficult to obtain credit and kept productivity low. The Peace Corps' CBI program is designed to assist small scale farmer groups to improve their business and marketing sales, and income. The expected benefits will be improved agricultur- al productivity, more income for small scale farmers, employment generation, in- crease in food supply, lower prices; and, in the long run, greater economic self suffi- ciency and ability to fulfill basic human needs. Question 11. A new Peace Corps program began last year in Haiti. What is the status of that program? Are you confident that the Government of Haiti has cooper- ated fully with your agency's efforts? How much money is the Haitian Government contributing to the program? Answer. Currently there are eight Volunteers working on projects related to natu- ral resources/forestry, fisheries, vocational education, public health and appropriate technology 1367 Peace Corps/Haiti is staffed full-time by an Associate Peace Corps Director who serves as the Peace Corps Representative, and a Haitian Administrative Office/ APCD. They are assisted part-time by a secretary and medical officers. Over the past year staff and Volunteers have developed good working relation- ships with Haitian counterparts. Programs have been developed in close collabora- tion with Haitian ministeries and their subsidiary agencies in local areas. In coop- eration with the Ministry of Planning, Peace Corps has begun also to collaborate with private voluntary organizations such as CARE and the Medical-Social Complex of Cite Simone. Further slow but steady and well planned expansion in all of the above programs is anticipated during FY 1985. Assuming the current level of requests continues, ap- proximately 50 Volunteers may be in service by the end of FY 1985. We had anticipated that the Government of Haiti would not provide funds toward the Peace Corps program. However, in the past year the Government of Haiti has given Peace Corps an estimated $800 per Volunteer in the form of in-kind contribu- tions. The in-kind contributions are free housing, motorcycles, refrigerators, and a project vehicle. We welcome the Government of Haiti's efforts and look forward to increased amounts of contributions. Question 12. When will the Peace Corps begin its new program in Grenada? How many Volunteers will be involved? What will be the program's objectives? Answer. In January 1984, two Volunteers were placed in Grenada, a Spanish teacher and a Business Education Instructor. reports from PC/Eastern Caribbean staff and from the Volunteers, indicate that they have received a warm welcome and their teaching duties are going well. By the summer of 1984 we plan to have recruited, placed and trained 14 Volun- teers, as follows: 4 Science Instructors, 4 Spanish Teachers, 2 French Teachers, 3 Mathematics Teachers, 1 Physical Therapist. In the coming months, PC/Eastern Caribbean staff will be working closely with the Government of Grenada officials to assist in alleviating their critical short-term needs and identify areas of sustained programming for the long term. Question 13. Is Peace Corps considering entry during FY 1985 into any other coun- tries? If so, where and why? Answer. Equatorial Guinea has requested Peace corps Volunteers because of its extreme need for assistance. When the present government assumed power in 1979, they found that the country's economic and administrative structure had been almost completely destroyed under the previous regime. They require assistance in basic areas, such as agriculture, health and nutrition and education, which could be provided by Peace Corps Volunteers and projects. The State Department supports the Peace Corps entry into Equatorial Guinea. A survey visit has just been conducted in Equatorial Guinea to determine host country interests and the suitability of the country for placement of Volunteers with regard to health and communication facilities, food availability and general living conditions. The study team recommendations will be evaluated in the context of budget constraints. Question 14. For FY 1984, what are the expected host country contributions to Peace Corps? How does this break down regionally? How does this compare to previ- ous years? Answer. Expected host country contributions to Peace Corps For FY 1985 are $5,435,000. Region 1983 actual 1984 estimate 1985 estimate Inter-America ............. North Africa, Near East Asia, and Pacific Africa ......... $403,000 1,276,000 3,853,000 $325,000 1,393,000 3,619,000 $314,000 1,452,000 3,669,000 Total .......... 5,532,000 5,337,000 5,435,000 Question 15. From past experience, what kinds of country programs and Volun- teer skills provide the greatest return on investment? What is the Peace Corps doing to ensure that this knowledge is being applied systematically? Answer. Peace Corps' return on investment in development can be evaluated in several ways: Success of individual projects and long term impact on host country counterparts and institutions. 1368 The most immediate is the direct effectiveness of its Volunteers on their project sites. In this regard, Peace Corps focuses on a limited number of tried and tested program areas such as health, fisheries, forestry, and education. In each of these program areas, Peace Corps has developed effective technical training (both pre- service and in-service) and technical support to the Volunteers in the field. Many of the fisheries programs which have utilized generalist Volunteers with a biology/chemistry foundation have been particularly successful over the years. Par- ticipating farmers and fishermen often greatly increase their income while increas- ing the supply of animal protein available to nearby communities. Peace Corps has responded by increasing programming efforts in fisheries and expanding and im- proving stateside training for Volunteers. In each of these program areas the Peace Corps' has developed useable "How-to” technical manuals and has made them available to Volunteers and development or- ganizations world-wide. For example, the “Agricultural Extension Manual” has been requested by over 100 development organizations in Third World countries, many of which do not have Peace Corps Volunteers. Country programs that provide the greatest return on investment are those that are village based and incorporate a counterpart relationship between a Volunteer and a host country national. These programs, regardless of technical area, usually involve extension and continue long after the Volunteer leaves. Furthermore, in- creased self-reliance is achieved because the skills the Volunteer originally brings are then transferred to a host country national. It should also be noted that Peace Corps measures its effectiveness by the impact these programs have on host country institutions. In many cases host country minis- tries have adopted methods and approaches first developed by Peace Corps. In the Cameroon for example, Peace Corp's approach to fisheries extension has been adopt- ed by the government. In Togo, the education ministry has adopted Peace Corps ap- proach to school gardens and it is now required by all primary schools in the coun- try. Question 16. Are any special efforts being made to address the severe drought con- ditions now affecting much of Africa? Answer. The enormity of the problem related to drought conditions and conse quences of the current trend has caused a marked decline in agricultural productivi- ty and in the supply of fuel wood. This situation has led a number of governments to request the assistance of the international donor community to collectively ad- dress the problem. As part of this program, Peace Corps has assigned Volunteers to government parastatal projects in the affected countries to assist in the implemen- tation of community forestry initiatives and nation-wide improved cookstove pro- grams. In those countries in which Peace Corps is operating, Volunteers will be working to address these needs. Programming will continue in the areas of forestry, im- proved cookstoves, nutritional education and rehabilitation, rehydration therapies, irrigation and agricultural production projects, water supply and well construction, and special emergency assistance programs (including collaborative efforts with AID in the Public Law 480 program in Ghana and elsewhere and short-term water pump and wells repair interventions in Mali). Question 17. How do the FY 1985 Peace Corps programs give particular attention to the integration of women into the national economics of developing countries as required by Section 3(h) of the Peace Corps Act? Please cite specific examples. Answer. Peace Corps provides pre-service training to all Volunteers on the inte grated role of women in development, including economic development. The goals of the training are to identify roles that both men and women play in the development process and how those roles may affect the Volunteer's activities in development. Specific examples of Peace Corps work with women in economic development projects are as follows: In Morocco, women are trained in carpentry and welding to manufacture aids for the disabled such as wheelchairs, crutches and therapeutic toys for disabled chil- dren. Funds came from the Women-to-Women Peace Corps Partnership Program. In Costa Rica, Volunteers work in a 4-H/Women's Business Development Pro- gram to train women's groups in basic administration and production of household items made from local materials and appropriate technology. In Sierra Leone, marine fisheries Volunteers are working with women in coastal fishing villages in improving methods of fish drying and smoking (processing) as well as marketing. In Nepal, Volunteers work in a program to develop income-generating projects for women on the village level. UNICEF and the Nepal Rastra Bank are working in conjunction with Peace Corps/Nepal on this program. 1369 Question 18. Section 8(c) of the Peace Corps Act requires Peace Corps to provide as part of the training of Volunteers, “instruction in the philosophy, strategy, tactics, and menace of communism.” What has Peace Corps done to implement this provi- sion? How do you interpret the objectives of Section 8(c)? How have Volunteers re- sponded to this training program? What practical application does it have once the Volunteer is in-country? Answer. The Peace Corps has designed a special training module which is present- ed to new Volunteers at the time of staging, just before they depart for their coun- try of assignment. This consists of a trainer-led discussion of Marxist-Leninism and comparisons with other philosophical approaches in the context of the developing world. A com- panion piece to the discussion is a handout which provides specific information of the “philosophy, strategy, tactics, and menace of communism.' This handout also implicitly gives recognition to the Volunteers role as a repre- sentative of the American people. Because Volunteers are required to remain scrupulously non-political in their ac- tivities overseas we emphasize ways for them to avoid being drawn into politically- based confrontations which could undermine their effectiveness. Volunteers have responded to this training with moderate enthusiasm. In some cases animated discussions occur. We are continuing to evaluate the effectiveness of the training module. The ability to understand the appeal of communism to developing nations and the capability for dealing with potentially destructive confrontations are the principal practical applications of this training once the Volunteers are in-country. Question 19. Of the 58 countries where there is a Peace Corps presence, in how many instances does Peace Corps collaborate with AID or other development assist- ance agencies on projects? What is the economic benefit to the Peace Corps? Are there any drawbacks to this kind of relationship? Answer. Peace Corps collaborates with AID and other development agencies on projects in at least 56 countries where Peace Corps has a presence. The benefits to Peace Corps are both economic and programmatic. They include the use of resources (particularly those of AID) for technical assistance and training, including: The development of many recent programming thrusts such as forestry, oral rehy- dration therapy, and small projects assistance which has accelerated the implemen- tation of Peace Corps' Forward Plan priorities. The training of host country nationals alongside their Volunteer counterparts and relevant ministry officials facilitating the process of skill transfer and institutional building The development of technical training manuals in new program areas resulting from field-tested, in-service trainings which once developed, are available for long term Peace Corps use. One area of potential disadvantage is in safeguarding the role of the Volunteer in development. To counter this, "the role of the Volunteer" is given additional em- phasis during staff training; in pre-service and in-service training, Peace Corps Vol- unteers participate in continuous discussion of appropriate development philosophy; and PCVs receive additional support from field staff. Question 20. What is the Peace Corps FY 1985 contribution to the United Nations Volunteer Program? Is this an increase or decrease? What are the advantages to the United States of maintaining a strong presence in this program? Answer. United States support for the United Nations Volunteer program is made up of two separate components. The first is an annual contribution to the UNV special voluntary fund, which is in the form of a grant from Peace Corps. For FY 1985 this contribution will be $150,000 which is equivalent to the FY 1984 contri- bution. The second type of financial support to UNV is in the form of direct payments of certain Volunteer support costs for UNVs who are U.S. citizens. The budget line item covering these payments is based on the number of Americans serving as U.N. Volunteers. In FY 1985 Peace Corps anticipates placing 35 new American Volun- teers which is 10 less than FY 1984 but we will maintain a higher level of Volunteer years (60) due to higher number of new Volunteers in FY 1984. The primary advantage to the United States for maintaining a strong presence in the United Nations Volunteer program is that it allows the United States, through Peace Corps, to demonstrate its strong support for the voluntary movement world- wide. Question 21. What were the 1983 calendar year expenditures of the Office of Pri- vate Sector Development? What was the FY 1984 budget request for this office? 1370 (a) How much did this office raise in direct financial assistance and in in-kind gifts and contributions? (b) How many businesses participated in the office's programs last year? Answer. The Office of Private Sector Development was created at the Peace Corps in direct response to this administration's strong emphasis on private sector initia- tives. A primary goal of the Office is to increase substantially the levels of support and participation of the private sector in Peace Corps programs and activities. It serves as the focal point for identifying and coordinating gifts and contributions to the Peace Corps to further its overall purpose and mission in developing countries. The FY 1983 expenditures for this office were $235,000, much of which presented the fixed cost of establishing this office. (Records are kept on a fiscal, not calendar year basis.) During this same year $84,000 was received in direct financial assistance to the Peace Corps plus approximately $75,000 in in-kind contribution from the Asgrow Seed Company. Two businesses made direct financial contributions to the Partnership Program of $5,000 each. Activities in this area continue to grow. Against an FY 1984 budget of $265,000 the Peace Corps has received over $103,000 of direct financial assistance through the first 6 months of FY 1984. Prospects for the remainder of FY 1984 look equally bright. (Whereupon, at 5:11 p.m., the committee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (IDA VII REPLENISHMENT) TUESDAY, MARCH 27, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:10 a.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Charles McC. Ma- thias (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Senators Mathias and Biden. Senator MATHIAS. The subcommittee will come to order. We are meeting for the second hearing of the subcommittee on the administration's request for funding the U.S. contribution to the seventh replenishment of the International Development Asso- ciation (IDA). We are fortunate this morning to have witnesses who will speak from particularly powerful positions and who will have the oppor- tunity to give the subcommittee some guidance, very timely guid- ance, before we begin marking up the fiscal year 1985 foreign as- sistance legislation. The markup will actually begin this afternoon. So, Secretary McNamara, you will have the last word. In this hearing, I hope we can focus both on the International Development Association's seventh replenishment and on the ques- tion of the mix, the appropriate mix, between bilateral and multi- lateral assistance. There have been some trends that I personally have found dis- turbing in recent years. One of them is the fact that the military component in our overall assistance programs is climbing. It is now more than 40 percent of the total assistance that we give to other peoples of the world. At the same time, our contributions to the multilateral lending institutions have declined as a percentage of our total assistance efforts. Less than 10 percent of the administration's fiscal year 1985 for- eign assistance budget request is for multilateral institutions. I raised this subject with Secretary Shultz when he appeared before the committee. We have here what I consider to be an anomaly of our military assistance rising and our cooperative efforts with the other nations of the world declining in the overall aid programs. In part, the decline in the multilateral component is a result of the 25-percent cut which has been negotiated for IDA VII, as com- pared with IDA VI. (1371) 1372 We have not had the constituency or the vocal support for multi- lateral lending that was apparent and audible at one time in this country. The multilateral institutions have been the subject of criticism and have been the subject of some diminution by those who believe that bilateral programs are in the greater interest of the United States, and by those who are not as concerned about what happens in the lesser developed countries. I would hope that these hearings would remind us of the kind of leverage that can be gained through multilateral lending. For every dollar that we give to the International Development Asso- ciation, other nations give three. I think there is also importance in recalling that aiding the lesser developed countries strengthens the ties that bind us to the developing world. This is in our own selfish interest as well as in their interest. In 1970, 29 percent of American exports of goods and services went to the lesser developed world; 10 years later, by 1980, 40 per- cent of our exports went to the developing world. This means that the jobs now held by American working men and women are de- pendent on our ability to do business with the developing world. Thus, the funds that go to IDA are not wasted. Since IDA was founded, 27 nations, which formerly received IDA funding have graduated-that is, their economies are sufficiently improved that they no longer require IDA funding. Without further comment from me, let me ask Secretary McNa- mara, who was formerly President of the World Bank and of IDA, to let us have his views on these important issues. Mr. Secretary, welcome to the committee. STATEMENT OF HON. ROBERT S. McNAMARA, FORMER PRESI- DENT, WORLD BANK AND INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS- SOCIATION, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. McNAMARA. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I am most grateful for the opportunity to appear before you this morning. I have a statement. It is approximately 16 pages long. I am quite prepared to read it to you, if you wish. Senator MATHIAS. Your are a veteran of appearances before con- gressional committees, so I will let you do anything you like. But if you would prefer, we would include your full statement in the record and let you comment as you wish. Mr. McNAMARA. I think that might save you some time. But I do wish, before taking your questions, to refer to one part of the state- ment, and to read just one particular section. It addresses some of the points that you yourself made in your introduction, and it also puts into context the entire foreign aid program that lies before the Congress. I will read from page 10 of my statement which I believe you have a copy of. What I say is this. Put bluntly, the United States does not have a development assistance program today, and I want to stress that. 1373 1 We do not in this country have a development assistance program, despite what is alleged to be a $15.5 billion program of foreign aid. Our people believe that that is a development assistance pro- gram, but it is not. It is not a "development assistance program" if, by that term, one means a program of economic aid to low income countries with the funds distributed on the basis of need and the ability to use them productively. This is what I mean by development assistance program. That is what the public understands by development assistance program. That is not what we have. I want to refer you to the table attached to my statement on page 16 to demonstrate what I have just said. Senator MATHIAS. Page 16? Mr. McNAMARA. Yes, page 16. It is the table at the end of the statement. It is headed, "U.S. Foreign Aid Appropriations by Fiscal Year." It is the last column, fiscal 1985, and the last figure in the last column, $15.5 billion, which the administration points to, which the Congress points to, which the press points to, and which the public believes is our development assistance program. It is not. The $15.5 billion, as you can see from the figures above, include $9.8 billion in security assistance. Now this is not development as- sistance. It has no place in a foreign assistance program, a develop- ment assistance program. That ought to be part of the Defense budget. I believed so when I was Secretary of Defense and I believe so today. If one took that out, we would then have remaining some $6 bil- lion in foreign assistance, nonsecurity assistance. Well, what is that? Of that, $6 billion, a very substantial portion, some $3.4 billion, goes to middle-income countries. By my definition, that is not de- velopment assistance, at least not the way the average American normally interprets development assistance, that is, assistance to low-income countries to be used for poor people. I am not arguing that we should not give that $3.4 billion. I am just arguing that it is not development assistance. That goes to other low-income countries. By low-income countries, I mean those countries with incomes per capita in 1980 or 1981 dollars of about $410 per capita, or less. This compares with our income per capita of something on the order of $10,000. These are very, very poor countries. In those countries live 2.2 billion people. These are the countries of South Asia, such as India, Bangladesh, and they are the countries of sub-Saharan Africa. Those are the poor countries and those are the poor people that our public believes are receiving development assistance. As I suggest to you, of the total of $15.6 billion, which has been requested for fiscal 1985 for foreign aid appropriations, only $2.8 billion is development assistance going to low-income countries, and, of that, $700 million really is not development assistance. It is a subsidy to our farmers. Now, I am not arguing whether the subsidy should be granted to the farmers; but I don't think we should kid ourselves that that 1374 $700 million is in the foreign aid appropriation because we are trying to help poor people in low-income countries. It is not there for that reason. It is there because we want to sub- sidize the farmers. Now, if you take that out, we are left with $2.1 billion and of that a certain amount is emergency relief to certain special situa- tions. Then you finally get down to something on the order of less than $2 billion out of the $15.5 billion that is development assistance. I think it is misleading and a gross distortion of what we are doing to lead the American people to believe that we have a pro- gram of development assistance. We do not. I would be very happy to take your questions, sir. [Mr. McNamara's prepared statement follows:] 1375 U. S. Foreign Assistance Policy A Statement by Robert S. McNamara To The Senate Sub-Committee On International Economic Policy · Mr. Chairman, Senators, Ladies and Gentlemen I come before you as a concerned American.' My concern stems from my belief that the United States has an important role to play in the development of the Third World and that our preoccupation with short-term problems affecting limited areas of that world is taking undue precedence over our Nation's long-term economic, political, and security interests. One sees this trend most clearly in the foreign aid appropriations budget, where there has been a clear shift in the balance towards security assistance and away from economic development assistance, an action which I con- ·sider to be short-sighted and regrettable. The most serious abrogation of U.S. leadership is occurring with respect to the low-income developing countries. This group of the world's poorest nations, those with incomes per head below $410, includes more than half of the world's population and 80 per cent of the world's approximately one billion people living in "absolute poverty" --literally on the margin of life. Most 1376 of these countries are in Sub-Saharan Africa, where annual real per capita growth fell by an average of almost one percent in the 1970s and by more than two percent so far in the 1980s. At present, these countries rely on "official development assistance" 1/ for 80 percent of their external capital. Yet it wasn't that long ago that countries like Korea, Indonesia, and Turkey were highly dependent on concessional flows, much of it provided by the International Development Association (IDA), but since then they have become significant borrowers from U.S. banks and important trading partners of the United States. Many of the low-income LDCs are still exporters of primary.products, but gradually, through their own efforts and with outside help, they will be drawn more fully into the world's trade and financial system. As the economic leaders of the free world, this process is very much in our national self-interest. This process of eventual integration is nowhere more clearly seen than in the case of the People's Republic of China, a country of vast resources and potential. China's membership in the IMF and The World Bank was reestablished recently amid expectations that China could be given assistance in developing its resources, reforming its policies, and establishing the basis for a more vigorous economic relationship with the West. The 1/ Official Development Assistance (ODA) is defined as grants and those loans whose degree of concessionality exceeds 25 percent of the face value of the loan. 1377 efforts of The World Bank Group in China are now just beginning to take shape, and the IDA lending was to provide the leading edge of this new relationship. The position of the U.S. Administration on funding IDA's Seventh Replenishment places those planned efforts very much in doubt. And I needn't point out the obvious strategic costs of not following through on our new and constructuve relation- ship with the People's Republic. I am focussing on IDA for the simple reason that more than 90 percent of its lending is to the low-income countries and because it has a proven track record of delivering high quality projects. Objective assessments of this critical arm of The World Bank, such as that undertaken by the U.S. Treasury in 1981, have concluded that IDA does its job exceptionally well. The average rate of return on its projects is 18 percent, despite the fact that it operates in the least hospitable environments. Its project rigor is no different than that applied on IBRD projects. It is actively engaged in building viable institutions and providing sound policy advice in countries where few donors have a voice. It is in this context that I am dismayed at the results of the recently concluded negotiations on IDA's replenishment in which the actions of the United States resulted in the forced acceptance by other donors of a replenishment volume for FY85-87 lending which is 25 percent lower in nominal terms, 40 percent lower in real terms, 4 1378 1 and 70 percent lower in real per capita terms than the IDA6 agree- ment reached in 1979. Despite the urgent pleas of all 32 other donors, the U.S. position was inflexible. Because of the burden- sharing arrangements among donors by which the U.S. took up a 25 percent share of the total replenishment (despite our much larger share in donor GNP), the volume was set at $9 billion. This is a setback for IDA's borrowers, but much more it is in my view damaging to U.S. interests as well. U.S. Interests and the Developing Challenge Let me share my views with you concerning the development challenges that are being faced, especially by the poorest nations, and the interests of the United States in the outcome of that battle. Developing countries are at the moment caught in the same rapidly changing economic environment that is producing serious strains in the industrialized world. While LDCs are trying to deal with basic economic bottlenecks in infrastructure, agriculture and human resources, they are simultaneously being pressed hard to adjust quickly to changes in energy balances and trade structures, and to deal with the uncer-. tainties surrounding world growth and the price of borrowed capital. For middle-income LDCs, those with incomes per capita above $410 and accounting for more than three-quarters of the Third World's output, progress will in my view depend on the following critical factors: (6) resumption of world growth; (b) resistance to protectionism in 1379 industrialized nations; (c) continued access to commercial capital; and (d) greater efficiency of domestic policies. On the trade side, it is estimated that each one percent in world growth has been associated with a five percent rise in the volume of manufactured exports in middle-income oil-importing LDCş. For this reason, the prolonged recession and the resurgence of protectionism have been very harmful to countries which have pursued the outward- looking policies which they were universally advised to follow. LDCS export volumes fell in the 1980-82 period. Export prices also plummeted--in fact, commodity prices were lower in real terms than at any time since World War II--so that developing country purchasing power shrank. Recession plus protectionism has proven to be a double- weighted burden on LDCs in their attempts to undertake adjustment policies and repay their mounting debts. Middle-income LDCs which rely heavily on commercial capital are facing greater obstacles in borrowing funds because of the liquidity problems of a few key borrowers and the changing regulatory and banking environment in the U.S. Many newly industrializing countries. are caught in a perverse grip--one half of debt service payments are for interest, yet they cannot export enough to reduce their indebt- edness. As a result, on a net transfer basis (disbursements minus debt service), major borrowers are now net exporters of capital to the tune of $20 billion in 1982, yet their indebtedness still rises. 1380 A number of key borrowers need sustained adjustment programs combining net positive flows of resources and enforceable conditions. These reforms cannot be advanced by private lenders, nor can they be limited to the short-run, especially as long as world trade volumes are stagnant. There is a unique role to be played by the IMF and The World Bank in this process, but of course they too must be adequately capitalized to be effective. In addition, other middle-income countries are being denied commercial capital because commercial banks want to restructure their balance sheets and reduce the proportion of their international lending. Being creditworthy is no longer a guarantee of gaining access to capital. The problem is even more severe in many respects in the low- income LDCs; these countries depend primarily on official concessional flows (ODA) and, despite the deteriorating economic environment they face, this sources of finance has not grown since 1980. Moreover, two-thirds of scarce ODA resources provided bilaterally are destined for middle-income countries. Put differently, if the ODA provided by OECD and OPEC countries were allocated only to those in greatest need, ODA flows to the poorest countries could be tripled without any budgetary impact on donors. The lack of resources is particularly acute in the poorest LDCS because of the very serious obstacles they confront in their battles against poverty, illiteracy, and premature mortality. What is very clearly 1381 needed, and this is now widely recognized, are more efficient economic policies at the sectoral and national level and a clearer system of incentives for production and saving at the household and firm level. The fruits of individual labor will be lost if the system of economic incentives fails and those energies are not harnessed. Governments are moving to do so. While there can be no substitute for self-help, additional external resources are particularly needed to allow time for the reform measures to take hold. The keys to assisting these poorest countries are: (a) sustaining a flow of external concessional resources in real terms, in the context of specific development priorities and (b) integrating these flows with technical assistance and policy advice. Without a critical mass of resources and a commitment to see policy reforms through to the end, these countries will not be able to break the gridlock of poverty which envelops them. Low-income LDCs recorded very little progress in the 1970s, and growth in the 1980s has been considerably bleaker. Even if trade prospects rebound, it will take years to reverse the damage of recent years. Exports must be diversified, public enter- prices reformed, and savings rates increased. At the moment, however, even if governments are willing to under- take the difficult reforms which are required, it is increasingly hard to secure adequate external financing on appropriate terms. Advice is of 1382 course always easy to give, but imagine an industrialized country such as our own being advised to reduce protectionist barriers, bring the public deficit to balance, reduce the real wage of workers, shelve subsidies on agricultural production ranging from water use to price supports, and to accomplish these adjustments in 18 months, while at the same time remaining in office. Consider of course that political structures are far more fragile in developing countries, so that the price of bread. or of public transport is not merely a line-item in the budget, but on the margin can determine whether a family's food budget is met or employment becomes feasible, and ultimately whether a government remains in power. Indeed, it is a clear lesson of the post-war period that political stability does not ensue from military strength, in the absence of broadly shared economic development. I believe you will agree that building up military hardware in LDCs is not a substitute for building viable economic institutions. A preoccupation with security concerns to the detriment of economic concerns will not prevent the unraveling that is sure to occur if economic conditions deteriorate too far. This process, which I fear is well underway, judging by the frequency of international debt reschedulings and changes of governments, will be very costly to U.S. economic and political interests if it continues. Much has been invested in and gained from the international trade and financial system and in its strength lies the best hope for future peace and stability. 1383 I would submit that America's long-term interests are being served admirably by the multilateral financial institutions. Multi- lateral sources of assistance are effective precisely because they are not spigots which are turned on and off depending on current foreign policy considerations. Strategic interests, after all, are essentially long-term. Regional security interests, political stability, and the development of democratic political values are not overnight phenomena; they emerge out of long-standing and con- structive relationships and broad-based economic development. In this area, IDA serves the interests of the United States in many parts of the world, most particularly in Africa. It is one of the great ironies of development that critics of IDA should view the institu- tion as insufficiently responsive to U.S. concerns when the Association is viewed in the field as promoters of market-based development and Western economic interests. The United States was the leader in the establishment of IDA and has traditionally relied heavily on IDA to deliver resources, technical assistance, and development advice to the poorest nations. Yet, despite its strong economic position in the industrialized world, and the remarkable strength of the dollar, the U.S. has seen fit to reduce its share in IDA's funding dramatically. America now contributes 25 percent of IDA resources despite the fact that the U.S. produces close to 40 percent of the OECD's output and income. This retreat from international responsibility is seen in the 1384 aggregate by America's relatively weak performance in measures of official assistance to GNP, where we rank close to last among our peers.2) It is all the more vivid, however, with respect to the poorest nations, which currently receive less than one-tenth of a penny of each dollar of U.S. output in aid commitments. Put bluntly, the U.S. does not have a development assistance program today if by that term one means a program of economic aid to low-income countries with the funds distributed on the basis of need and the ability to use them productively. While I would be the first to argue that our foreign assistance budget is inadequate overall-- with respect to total appropriations it absorbed 1.2 percent in FY84--or compared with our stake in the global economy, what concerns me even more is the heavy concentration on security assistance per se and on a few troublespots in particular. The geographic and functional balances in the proposed FY85 foreign aid budget have left the United States without a credible assistance policy towards the low-income developing countries, which, afterall include 2.2 billion of the world's people. Let me be specific. 2/ In 1981, the latest year for which data is available, U.S. ODA flows amounted to 0.27% of GNP compared to 0.38% for the OECD as a whole, 0.42% for Canada, 0.75% for France, 0.48% for Germany, 1.08% for the Netherlands, and 0.37% for the United Kingdom. In 1949, at the beginning of the Marshall Plan, when U.S. per capita income in real terms was less than half of what it is today, U.S. ODA amounted to 2.79% of GNP. 1385 U.S. Foreign Aid Appropriations in FY85 Proposed U.S. foreign aid appropriations in FY85 are roughly $15.5 billion, of which $9.75 billion would be allocated to security assistance. As the table attached to this statement indicates, 91 percent of security assistance is for middle-income countries, and much of it is concentrated in the Middle East. This is money spent in support of today's political interes ts. Unfortunately, however, no parallel efforts are being made to address America's problems of tomorrow. Military assistance now claims about 40 percent of the inter- national affairs budget--Category 150 appropriations. This is significantly higher than in the past because Foreign Military Sales (FMS) guarantees have now been shifted from an off-budget item (which still encumbered U.S. resources) to direct credits and loans. Taking this fact into account, it is still clear that the military component of the budget (including FMS) has increased very rapidly in recent years--by 60 percent, for example, when comparing FY80/82 data with FY84/85 figures. The economic support fund (ESF) as part of the security assis- tance portion of the budget has also increased--by 75 percent between FY80 and FY85. The main beneficiaries of ESF flows are Egypt, Israel, Turkey, and Central America. This category of assistance alone now absorbs 22 percent of appropriations. 84-045 0-84-88 1386 At a glance, it should be seen that the portion of the foreign aid budget which is allocated in support of immediately perceived security interests is approximately two-thirds of the total. Only one-third of appropriations is for "Development Assistance" relevant for long-term development and, I would argue long-term U.S. interests, including food aid, bilateral development aid, and, the smallest component, multilateral assistance. Less than half of "Development Assistance" appropriations proposed for FY85 will be for low-income LDCS, Indeed if we exclude food aid, which is frankly a program of greater interest in U.S. agricúlatural producing states than overseas, and some other emergency relief programs, the core of the U.S. foreign assistance policy to the poorest nations is USAID and IDA. Through hese programs, the United States will provide only $1.7 billion in actual development aid to this poorest group of LDCs--11 percent of total foreign aid appropriations. In fact, appropriations for IDA, the key institution in channel- ling assistance to low-income LDCs, would receive an FY85 appropriation equal to no more than 4.8 percent of total U.S. foreign aid. I find this to be totally disproportionate with our vital interests in the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa, Bangladesh, Burma, Sri Lanka, India, Pakistan, and China. Moreover, as I have pointed out, it serves to reduce by 1387 $2.25 billion the amounts that other donors are willing to provide to the Association for its FY85-87 lending program. It may be worth mentioning that the funds which donors commit to IDA are only called upon as needed to finance disbursements, so that the cash outlays associated with the FY85-87 appropriations will not occur until the late 1980s and early 1990s. Some would have us believe that it is the U.S. Congress that has lost faith in international financial institutions and development aid to low-income countries. I frankly hope that it will be the Congress that will see fit to shift the balance of our assistance program so that bilateral aid--primarily security assistance and financial support of middle-income countries--doesn't claim 92 percent of monies and multilateral aid--almost totally development assistance to low-income countries--only 8 percent. While in a budgetary sense bilateral and multilateral aid may compete for funds, in an economic sense they can be complementary. Bilateral aid often aims to shore up economies with infusions of immediate assistance. Multilateral aid attempts to develop a country's long-term productive capacity. Although it may take a while to emerge, proposed cutbacks in multilateral aid will weaken institutions in LDCs and ultimately make bilateral programs more costly and less effective. Seen from a different perspective, bilateral aid programs 1388 1 may be initiated or terminated, as they have been in Africa for example, depending on political exigencies, but development progress is unlikely to ensue from on-off funding. It would therefore be a mistake to underestimate the benefits of multilateral assistance and to undercapitalize these programs. What should be done? My suggestion would be to start with IDA and to move swiftly to support the IDA7 supplementary arrangements which are being proposed to prevent a serious drop in IDA's lending program. The supplementary arrangements aim to raise $3 billion--the difference between the $12 billion consensus level reached by 32 donors and the $9 billion firmly espoused by the Administration and ultimately accepted by others. A U.S. contribution of $250 million a year for FY85, FY86, and FY87 would trigger sufficient additional con- tributions from others to reach this $3 billion target. Such action would in the long-run do much more for world security than a like amount for military sales or security assistance--or even development assistance to middle-income countries. It would add three dollars of assistance for each dollar the U.S. contributed and it would mean the difference between a stagnant lending program, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, and one which was growing in real terms. 1389 Indeed a U.S. supplemental contribution of $750 million over three years, such as that proposed by Senator Danforth, would bring total U.S. contributions up to the levels of past appropriations for IDA, which were above the $1 billion mark in FY79, FY80, and FY83. Frankly, I do not believe that it is the Congress which is the major obstacle to adequate IDA funding levels. Development is a tenuous and complicated process for which there are no easy solutions. For each two steps forward, there is at least one step backwards. The most effective approach is to support those efforts which are successful. And backing a winner means backing IDA. America's vital interests are widely believed to be critically at stake in the Middle East and in Central America. I would submit that they are equally critically at stake in the plains of Kenya and Sudan and in rice paddies of Bangladesh. A world power must be faithful to its allies, but a world economic power must also support the system which spawns new allies. I urge you to consider seriously whether the breadth of America's current and future interests are being served by the U.S. failure to properly support IDA and the over fifty independent nations and 2.2 billion people it serves. Thank you. Washington, D. C. March 27, 1984 1390 U.S. Foreign Ald Avpropriations by Fiscal Year al (in adllions of dollars) Low Income Countries FY84 b/ Middle Income Cantries Total Low Income Cauntries FY85 Middle Income Cantres Total FY80 FY82 Security Assistance Military Assistance / 755 979 90 1,993 2,083 466 5,619 6,085 Econaudc Support Fund 1,972 2,919 401 2,793 3,194 392 3,046 3,438 Other (net) -72 22 102 102 272 272 Total d/ 2,655 3,920 491 4,888 5,379 858 8,937 9,795 Development Assistance Bilateral Assistance Developeent Ald Food Aide 1,856 886 1,991 1,847 1,000. 851 627 1,140 1,010 996 699 1276 972 2,272 1,671 1,637 Multilateral Barks IDA Others 1,072 406f/ 700 562 869 155 76 224 945 379 690 194 60 292 750 486 Other (net) 287 443 317 513 830 275 814 593 8/ Total 4,507 4,552 2,819 2,963 5,782 2,854 3,414 5,772 TOTAL FOREIGN ATT 7,162 8,472 3,310 7,851 11,161 3,712 12,351 15,567 Memmo Items: Development Assistance to low income LDCs in FY85 * $2,854 as % of US Federal Budget 0.29 as % of US GNP 0.07 per capita in US $11.96 1391 Footnotes a/ The lo income cantries, defined as those with per capita QNP below $410 in 1981, have a combined population of 2.2 billion and average GNP is $270 per person. The middle Income cantries, defined as those with per capita GNP above $410 but below $5,200, have a combined population of 1.1 billion and average GNP is $1,500 per person. b/ Includes supplemental requests. Excludes foreign and litary sales guaranteed by the U.S. Government of $2,380 million in FY80, $2,923 udllion in FY&2, and $4,400 add llon in FY84. d/ of this total, $2,977 million is for Egypt and Israel in FY84, and $4,177 mllion in FY85. el of this total, $261 odllion is for Egypt in FY84, and $243 million in FY85. f/ Excludes $830 million in callable capital appropriation. 8/ Includes receipts of $496 million. Senator MATHIAS. It certainly is not an adequate one, given the resources of the United States and given the effort that other na- tions are making. Mr. McNAMARA. Absolutely. It is a disgrace. I would like again to allude to one or two comments that I made in my statement to give them particular emphasis. I do not believe that the average American understands that in relation to our national income, we give less in foreign assistance, including what I would suggest is not really development assist- ance, we give less than any other major country in the world. Senator MATHIAS. We have slipped below the Italian contribu- tions. Mr. McNAMARA. I think we have. The Italians had stated that they were embarrassed at how low their contribution was, and they had determined to increase it. I believe they have done so, and I believe we now have slipped below them. We are way below the average of the OECD nations, and even further below the levels of such countries as Germany and France. I was also going to compare what we are doing today with what we have done in the past. At the time of the Marshall plan, we provided about 2.49 percent of our GNP in foreign assistance. Today, we provide about 0.27 per- cent. In the intervening 30 years, our GNP, per capita, in real terms, measured any way you wish-television sets per family, children in college, meat consumption per family, real income measured any way you wish-our real income per capita has more than doubled since the time of the Marshall plan. But our foreign assistance, in relation to our income, has dropped 90 percent. It is not correct that we cannot afford additional foreign assist- ance. It is correct, and I accept the decision of the American 1392 people, that we do not wish to. But I think it is a total distortion to suggest that we cannot afford it. We can afford it. But we do not choose to. I disagree with that decision, but if that is the decision of the Congress, obviously I accept it. Senator MATHIAS. Let me ask a question that may not be fair to you because you will be attacked for having been the head of one of the great, multilateral, financial institutions for whatever you say. What about the mix of bilateral and multilateral aid? Take this not from your perspective as former President of the World Bank, but from your perspective as a former member of the President's Cabinet. Mr. McNAMARA. Mr. Chairman, I have been on both sides of that battle, and I am not so naive as to believe that foreign offices in any major country of the world, whether it is the United States or any other major country, will give up the leverage in support of foreign policy that is linked to bilateral aid. That is a major reason for bilateral aid. The reason is not primarily to help poor people in poor coutnries. The reason for much bilateral aid is to support for- eign policy. The foreign offices of the major powers are not going to give up that leverage. I understand that. But I think you alluded to the fact that in fiscal 1985, the multi- lateral aid proposed for the Untied States in relation to the total foreign aid is less than 10 percent. It has never been that low in the last 30 years, that I can recall. I do not know of any other major nation in which it is that low today. I think it is a total distortion and a total imbalance. It is contrary to our interest. Multilateral aid can do things that bilateral aid cannot. Bilateral aid can also do some things that multilateral aid cannot. Bilateral aid can buy, in the short run-or at least it is thought it can be- support of foreign policy objectives. This is why foreign ministries all over the world support it. Senator MATHIAS. It is really hiring people to do things that we want done. Mr. McNAMARA. It is hiring people to do such things as support your foreign policy. And countries all over the world do it. But no country does it to the extent we do, that is, 90 or 91 percent of the foreign aid appropriation going through bilateral channels. It is contrary to our interest. Why is it contrary to our interest? It is because the multilateral institutions, in this instance particularly the World Bank and the IMF as well, can accomplish things that bilateral aid cannot. For one thing, it can provide continuity. Bilateral aid is turned on and off like a spigot. While that may be rationalized in relation to changes in foreign policy or changes in behavior of nations with respect to the United States, it cannot be rationalized in relation to development policy. You cannot advance development efficiently by turning the aid spigot on and off. That is what we do in bilateral aid. But we do not do that in multilateral aid. There is a con- tinuity. Second, multilateral aid can provide what I will call conditional- ity, which bilateral aid cannot. Now, conditionality, I know, is a very controversial subject. But I would submit to you that condi- 1393 tionality is absolutely essential in certain cases. Money should not be provided from external sources in certain circumstances unless the recipient behaves in certain ways. It is absurd to pour money down a drain. Bilateral aid is frequently poured down a drain be- cause its objective is not development. Rather, its object is support of foreign policy. And, if it supports the foreign policy, whether it is wasted or not wasted in terms of development is not an issue. That is always an issue for multilateral assistance. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, again there is a myth which I think is widely prevalent, that development assistance is a form of char- ity. You and I are old enough to remember Bert Lahr and the song he used to sing about doing well by doing good. In large measure, the United States has done just that, we have done well by doing good. This is because in helping the lesser developed countries to develop their economies, we have developed them as markets for American goods and services. What has been your experience regarding this? Mr. McNAMARA. That is exactly my experience, Mr. Chairman. A moment ago, in your opening statement, you pointed to the in- crease in our exports to developing countries over the last 10 or 15 years. That has been a major source of employment in this coun- try, and not just employment, either. Because of the comparative advantage of certain of these developing countries in producing cer- tain goods, they can produce them more cheaply than we can, and we can produce goods that we export to them more cheaply than they can. The net of this is not only do we increase our employ- ment in the sense that we are providing for exports that we other- wise would not have, but, as a nation, we are realizing a real, eco- nomic advantage from the trade. So, by helping these developing countries advance, we advance our own economic welfare, just as we advanced our economic wel- fare by the Marshall plan and the stimulus it gave to economic growth in Europe, which was a major source of advance in this country over the last 30 years. Senator MATHIAS. And, of course, you build in business for the future. If you help them to buy an American-made tractor, you are almost guaranteeing a market for American-made parts, American- made replacements. Mr. McNAMARA. Korea was a recipient of development assist- ance 15 or 20 years ago. That was used to help develop a founda- tion for economic growth in Korea, which is a major market for ex- ports of goods from the United States today. We are benefiting by that action. There is no question about it. This is just one of 50 examples that could be given. Senator MATHIAS. Of course, we have some very difficult prob- lems which we will confront this afternoon and in the next several days, one of which centers around the Central American issues. The Kissinger Commission estimated that, from the present time through the end of the decade, there would be a shortfall in foreign exchange of about $24 billion in the five Central American repub- lics, and that capital on this scale would have to move into Central America from some source, some external source, merely to bring back their economic activity to the 1978 level. This is not to ad- 1394 vance them into any Elysian Fields of prosperity, but just to hold them to the 1978 level of economic activity. Now, that faces us with very difficult tasks of apportionment be- cause resources are limited. What we contribute to IDA has to be weighed against what part of that $24 billion shortfall we are going to contribute. We have special responsibilities in Central America. How would you address the apportioning of United States contri- butions, say, specifically, as we look at the decisions we will have to make with respect to Central America? Mr. McNAMARA. Well, only a fool would leap into discussing Cen- tral America today, Mr. Chairman, and I do not wish to get into any great detail on it because I am not an expert on it. However, I was asked by Dr. Kissinger to appear before his Com- mission with reference to the question you have just raised. I did not do so because as I stated, I am not an authority on Central America. He pressed me, however, on my opinion relating to the general question. If you wish, I will read the answer that I gave him, and I will then add a comment to it. The answer I gave him is in a letter dated September 13, 1983, of course prepared long before the Commission report came out. I see that my file copy has September 1984 on it, but it is September 12, 1983. I will read it to you. It is relatively short: Dear Henry: Upon returning to my office two days ago, I found your letter of August 18 awaiting me. In it, you asked for my insights on any aspects of your Com- mission's mandate. Because my knowledge of the problem you are studying is limit- ed, this reply will be brief. Perhaps I should explain why it is limited. During my 13 years at the World Bank, I visited almost all of the 100 developing coun- tries and most of them several times. In that entire period, I visited Central America only once. I went to Costa Rica on a visit. The reason I did not visit the other countries and the reason my knowledge of the area is limited is, as you will see, I believe those other countries were mismanaging their economies, their elite were seeking to maintain their privileged positions, politically and eco- nomically, and they were not utilizing their resources to advance the social and economic welfare of the mass of their people. I believed that, were I to visit those countries, they would em- brace me literally and figuratively. I'd appear on the front page of the newspapers in a posture that appeared to be endorsing their policies, and I was not willing to be used in that way. Hence, I did not go. Now, may I continue with the letter as I wrote it to Dr. Kissin- ger: In sum, I believe: (1) You were quite correct both in restricting your study to long- term issues and in broadening its focus beyond Central America. That was his stated initial objective, I think; for reasons unrelat- ed to this hearing, it was necessary for him to change that focus. (2) We greatly overestimate the effect of political instability in Central America on our security, and we seem unaware of the danger to us of such instability in Mexico. (3) For the next decade or two, Mexico's labor force will grow at the highest rate of any large country in the world. Unless the government- 1395 That is to say, the Mexican Government- Unless the Mexican Government creates jobs to absorb that labor force, a signifi- cant part of it will flow across the 2,000 mile border into the United States. Neither the United States nor Mexico has begun to lay out the political and economic pro- grams which are necessary to effectively address this problem. Failure to do so car- ries with it enormous political, economic, and security risks for our country. If I may interject a comment I read the other day in the New York Times, the President, even in this restrictive expenditure pro- gram which he has laid before the Congress, is proposing to in- crease the border patrol on the Mexican border by a third. I think that is absurd. It is a total waste. You cannot keep Mexicans in Mexico if they do not have jobs. They don't want to live up here. They want to live in Mexico. But the word to underline is "live." If they can't live there, they will live up here. And no amount of an increase in border patrol is going to stop it. Senator MATHIAS. In addition to that, of course, it arouses a great deal of antagonism within Mexico. I happened to be in Mexico City at the time the announcement was made that the Carter administration was going to increase the length and height of the fence along the Rio Grande. This aroused a week of very in- flammatory news reporting in Mexico, understandably inflamma- tory. This is just the kind of thing which exacerbates the relationship, rather than improve it. Mr. McNAMARA. It is just as absurd to try to increase the height of the fence or keep people out as it is to increase the border patrol. If it could not be done in Berlin, it surely cannot be done over a 2,000-mile border between the United States and Mexico. Let me resume my letter: (4) The problem in Central America is essentially economic, social, and political in origin. It has been exacerbated by, but not caused by, Soviet and Cuban interven- tion. The solution to the problem requires action by the Central American Govern- ments in each of these fields. We can assist those governments in implementing such programs, but we cannot impose them upon their societies. Moreover, the ab- sorptive capacity of their leaders and their institutions to receive foreign technical and financial assistance is limited. It should not be overloaded. A Marshall Plan for Central America is likely to do so. (5) Because of such capacity limitations, the majority of the countries in Central America are likely to be unstable for years to come. What we can do is contain the effects of such instability by: (a) maintaining a unified approach to the problem with the major countries of the region, particularly Mexico, Venezuela, Colombia, and Panama-we have not done so; (b) Making clear to the Soviets that we will not accept their offensive forces in the hemisphere, now or later; (c) Joining with the Latin American countries in their efforts to normalize relations with Cuba and to obtain agreements that Cuba will not use one country in the hemisphere as a base from which to subvert the established government of another country. (6) We should not use military force in Central America unless we are asked to do 80 by the OAS, and then only if our forces are accompanied by troops of major Latin American nations. Now, that was my response to him and it bears on the question that you asked me, which is, is the financial assistance program proposed for Central America reasonable in relation to other ele- ments of the proposed foreign aid program? I again wish to stress that I am not an expert on either Central America or, for that matter, on the total foreign aid program. But I would point out to you that I understand, of the $24 billion that 1396 the Kissinger Commission indicated was required for external fi- nancial assistance to Central America between now and the end of the decade, our Government plans in a 5-year period to supply-as I understand it-about $8 billion. This is roughly $1.8 billion per year. There are 20 million people in Central America, I believe. Now, $1.8 billion divided by 20 million is $90 per capita. The appropriation request that lies before you includes $750 mil- lion a year for IDA. That will go to 2.2 billion people. If my multi- plication is correct, that is on the order of 35 or 40 cents per capita. I do not believe that is an appropriate relationship-35 to 40 cents per capita-for 2.2 billion of the poorest people in the world, versus $90 per capita per year to people in a middle income status, that is to say, in a country of middle income status, and, as I suggest, with what I call capacity limitations, to receive and utilize those funds for solid development purposes. Senator MATHIAS. That, of course, does raise the question of how do we deal with the poorest of the poor countries. Some of your arguments is directed to the fact that foreign aid dollars are not going to countries that are in the poorest condition. Now, on the old theory of doing well by doing good, if you assist the poorest of the poor countries, and I leave aside the moral argu- ments for doing so for the moment, that will be the longest time before we see any sort of material return, because their economies are furthest down the line and they will be a major market for American goods and services the longest into the future. What argument can we offer to the American taxpayer who may be willing to support security assistance, who may be willing to hire help somewhere in the world, but is not enthusiastic about providing charity while we have people here who are not adequate- ly housed, fed, educated, or cared for in other ways? Mr. McNAMARA. Well, I would give an answer in two parts. First, I believe, as you have indicated, that there will be growth in the economies of the poor countries. It occurs, or can occur, at fairly significant rates. That growth will stimulate exports from this country and will provide a net benefit to this country. So, in our own narrow economic interest, I believe I can demon- strate to one of our citizens who questioned this, that he will be better off spending these funds for that purpose than if we spent them either in our private economy or somewhere else in the public economy in the United States. Beyond that, I would suggest that if he does not accept that argu- ment, if he is unwilling to add to the $15.5 billion that is proposed for foreign aid in order to provide additional assistance to the poor- est countries, then I would suggest that one should reallocate within that total. I will say to you what I said for 7 years as Secretary of Defense: at the margin-and I am just talking about at the margin now-we buy more in defense, we buy more in security by transferring a dollar from security assistance to development assistance. I be- lieved it then, I said it then, and I believe it now. If you had to, therefore, I would urge that you reallocate within the $15.5 billion from security assistance to development assist- 1397 soon. ance. We will be better off 5 and 10 years from now. We will be more secure 5 and 10 years from now if one does that. Senator MATHIAS. I think that may very well be proven all too One of the interesting features of being in Washington is having the chance to meet and talk with a constant stream of visitors from around the world who come here. I recently have picked up a note of concern about instability in the Third World, instability in the poorest of the poor countries where, because of the economic condi- tions that eixst there. This is the kind of unhappy development that could involve us in very much greater security problems than would be the case if we were helping more on the economic side. Mr. McNAMARA. If you think we have instability in Central America today, you have not seen anything compared to what there is going to be in some other parts of the world 5 and 10 years from now if the world continues as it is. You cannot take people on the margin of existence, as are tens of millions of people I was going to say hundreds of millions, and I think that would be a correct statement-such as people in sub-Sa- haran Africa, and actually reduce their average incomes per capita for every year without ultimately developing substantial instabil- ity. And this is virtually what has been going on now for 5 or 10 years. That is predictable. Senator MATHIAS. You have said 5 to 10 years. One of the knowl- edgeable visitors that we had recently was saying only months. I questioned him on that. I asked him if he meant months or years. He repeated: “I mean months." Mr. McNAMARA. Well, I could point to coups or attempted coups in parts of the world that have occurred in the last 12 to 18 months which, in my opinion, in part, in major part, have been a function of a lack of economic and social advance, to support your conten- tion. I could probably predict one or two in the next 12 or 18 months. But I do not want to exaggerate the situation in the near term. What I do want to suggest, though, is that there are some very, very serious problems developing in the Third World that are going to affect our security in years to come if we continue as we have. Senator MATHIAS. Before I yield to the Senator from Delaware, let me ask you two technical questions that draw on your expertise as President of the World Bank. First, we occasionally hear or see situations that seem to fall be- tween the functions of the IMF with its particular short-term reme- dies and the long-term development programs of the World Bank. you see the need for any new financial institutions which could, in some cases, provide a bridge function providing for the short term emergency type of assistance combined with long-term aid? Or, is there some way to coordinate the IMF-World Bank function that would cover that work? Mr. McNAMARA. I do not see the need for a new institution. I do believe that the existing two institutions, the IMF and the World Bank, can, between them, meet the requirements you point to. They can do it within their structures. They can do it within their authorities. They cannot do it, at least not for long, unless they are provided additional financial resources. I was going to say Do 1398 funds, but "funds" is the wrong term because, in the case of each of those institutions, they operate substantially without a drain on the U.S. taxpayer. They do it by utilizing, in a sense, in the case of the Bank, the borrowing power that they get by having certain of their securities in effect guaranteed by the U.S. Government. So, there is no net drain on the taxpayer for that purpose. Nor is there a drain for many of the IMF purposes. However, I believe that both of those institutions are going to be constrained by limited resources in carrying out the functions that they have the authority to carry out, which would include the func- tion to which you alluded. Senator MATHIAS. Well, that leads me to my second question. You referred to the necessity for having the resources. During your administration of the World Bank, there was a re- markable increase in total lending. The growth was really dramatic. Is there any end to this? What can the world community the world financial community, and the world political community look to as to the requirements of these institutions in the foreseeable future? Mr. McNAMARA. The answer is that there is an end. One very good illustration of what I mean is Japan. When I went to the Bank on April 1, 1968, Japan was still receiv- ing financial assistance from the Bank. As I recall, we were still disbursing on loans previously authorized for projects that had been approved but not yet fully completed. Shortly thereafter, as I remember it, sometime in 1970, it ap- peared to me that, instead of in the future providing financial as- sistance to Japan, we could expect Japan to loan to the World Bank funds that the Bank in turn could lend to developing coun- tries. I discussed the matter with Finance Minister Fukuda, who later became Prime Minister. He agreed to my diagnosis. In the inter- vening 10 or 12 years, Japan has been a major source of funds to the World Bank. Now, a number of countries have what I will call “graduated” from the status of client to donor at the World Bank. I would expect more and more countries in the world to do that. However, the financial needs of many of the other countries, those still in various stages of development-and I would point to Turkey as an illustration-are likely to increase. So, to answer your .question specifically, I think in the next 5 years, the IBRD, the hard-loan window of the World Bank, will need additional financial resources, which, in general, it can borrow on the capital markets of the world. That is where it ob- tains the bulk of its funds. To borrow it will need some additional guarantees from govern- ments which would not be a drain on the taxpayers of those gov- ernments. Now, the International Development Association is in a different category, that being the soft-loan window of the World Bank lend- ing to the low-income countries. There is graduation from that group, too. Many of the countries that are now borrowing from IBRD and some that will graduate in 1399 from the IBRD have, in the past 10 or 15 years, been recipients of IDA funds. They will move out of that category as their incomes rise, as their ability to borrow on the commercial markets in- creases. So, there is a movement out of the IDA recipient category. How- ever, the countries that remain in that category are going to con- tinue to need funds and on a large and I think increasing scale for years and years to come. This will be a drain on the taxpayer, as it is this year. The appropriation that lies before you calls for an ap- propriation of $750 million per year for 3 years for IDA. I hope that will be raised to $1 billion. If it is, that will trigger an addi- tional $2.25 billion over that 3 years from other countries. It is very much in our interest that our additional amount and the additional $2.25 billion be loaned to those nations so that they may increase their rate of economic advance with all of the bene- fits that you have alluded to and I have alluded to, to our country. But I see that continuing for an extended period. Senator MATHIAS. Let me yield to the distinguished Senator from Delaware, Mr. Biden. Senator BIDEN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Secretary, it is good to see you again. I apologize for being late and not hearing all of your testimony. I would like to pursue a couple of questions along the lines of the issues you were discussing with Senator Mathias. Senator Mathias and I, and I think many others in the Senate, agree with you about the importance of the ecomomic assistance and, that, in fact, it could be translated in many instances into se- curity assistance. Let me walk you through what I get asked by constituents. It would be helpful to have this on the record. First of all, a constant refrain that I hear, even from our col- leagues, is that the United States is doing much more than other developed countries and it is about time for them to ante up. Where are the Japenese who are beating us up and about the head economically? Where are the Germans? Where are the British? Where are the Saudis? Where are the Arab sheikdoms? Where do they all come into the picture? Why don't they do more? We could do more if they would do more. I would like you to respond to that assertion for the record. Mr. McNAMARA. Let me just refresh my memory on the exact figures and then I will give them to you. Pause. Senator MATHIAS. It is reassuring to me to know that you have to refresh your memory from time to time. Mr. MCNAMARA. Well, I am not as acquainted with this matter these days as I was 2 or 3 years ago. Senator BIDEN. I am not so much looking for the specific num- bers as I am for the principles. Mr. McNAMARA. But the specifics are of some interest and I will just take a moment. One way of looking at it is that we provide about 25 percent of IDA's resources, although our gross national product is 40 percent of the OECD's output and incomethe Europeans, North Ameri- cans, and Japanese. 1400 So, we are providing far less than you would have thought we would provide in relation to our income. That is one way of looking at it. In addition, using 1981, which is the latest year for which data are available-and I think our situation would appear even worse in 1984–in 1981, the U.S. official development assistance, as it is known, which is the category of concessionary aid, amounted to 0.27 percent of gross national product. That was one-third less in relation to gross national product than the average for the OECD nations, the European, North American, and Japanese nations. In comparison to Canada, we had 0.27 percent and they had 0.42 percent. That is fifteen twenty-sevenths more, or 50 percent more than ours in relation to income. Now France had 0.75 percent-approximately 300 percent of ours in relation to income. Germany had 0.48 percent-what is that, 80 percent more than we did in relation to income. And so it goes, down the line. With the single exception of Italy, I think, in 1981, we are the lowest in relation to income of any nation in Western Europe, North America, or Japan, in terms of foreign assistance. And, since 1981, Italy has said that they are embarrassed by their position against their peers and they have increased their program accord- ingly. Senator BIDEN. How do you respond to the next point made, which is that we, in fact, are spending so much money on our mili- tary to protect the Western World and also on military assistance that we are doing much more than our part, even when you com- bine the two, military and economic, than are the remainder of the OECD nations in terms of total security requirements and needs? In other words, sure we do less per capita and less as a percentage of GNP than the Germans, but we do a great deal more for the Western World so that it would make sense for them to pick up the slack on the economic front because they do not move forward suf- ficiently on the military front. Mr. McNAMARA. Well, the figures are not quite as disparate as some would indicate, Germany versus the United States in defense expenditures as a percent of GNP. If I may disgress for just a moment, I would argue that I think we could maintain our security with a lesser rate of increase in our defense budget. I believe that security is the first priority of any President. I believe we can afford whatever we need for security. I really mean that. I understand that it is controversial to say it, but I believe it. But I do not believe that we need the defense budget that has been proposed to the Congress Senator BIDEN. But all of you "former Secretaries of HEW think that way.” [General laughter.] Mr. MCNAMARA. And, we “former Secretaries of HEW” along with some former Chiefs of Naval Operations, who have endorsed the statement I just made, feel very strongly on this. Senator BIDEN. And, by the way, there are a number of people within the present military establishment who, if they could, would endorse that statement. 1401 Mr. McNAMARA. I know that, and I hope the Congress will recog- nize that and act accordingly. But, to go back to your point, I think that we must recognize that we have security interests that are much broader than those of the Federal Republic of Germany. We are a Pacific power as well as an Atlantic power. It is entirely appropriate, then, I think, that we should be spending more on defense than Germany. Now, having said that, let me go back and say that as far as the foreign aid appropriations request that lies before you is concerned, as I mentioned a moment ago, it totals some $15.5 billion, of which $9.8 billion is for security assistance. I said when I was Secretary with respect to a somewhat similar question and similar figures-and I would repeat to you today that I believe at the margin we buy more for security by transferring $1 out of security assistance, assuming, for the minute that you can't increase the total, by transferring $1 out of security assistance and moving it to development assistance. Senator BIDEN. Well, that being the case, do you think we should have this assistance a part of the Defense budget? Mr. McNAMARA. I do not. Oh, I'm sorry, I thought you were going to say a part of foreign aid. I believe the security assistance should be part of the Defense budget. I argued that point in the mid-1960's. There was a meeting at the White House one night attended by leading Members of both parties of the House and Senate at which this subject was brought up. It was the Congress that said no, no, for goodness sake, do not transfer security assistance out of foreign aid. We won't be able to pass the rest of foreign aid. So, let's confuse the public-of course, they did not use that term and I should not attribute that to the Congress-but they said let's continue to include security assist- ance in foreign aid appropriations and thereby gain support for the nonsecurity element. Senator MATHIAS. Would you call that pusillanimous pussyfoot- ing? Mr. McNAMARA. I sure as heck would. Senator BIDEN. Well, I won't touch that one. I will let it go. [Gen- eral laughter.] With regard to the security assistance aspect of the aid budget, if you are correct, and I believe you are, don't we get, to quote a former Secretary of another department, more bang for the buck if it is bilateral rather than multilateral? Mr. McNAMARA. No; I alluded to that a moment ago. I men- tioned that I am not so naive as not to understand why most na- tions have a higher percentage of their foreign assistance flowing through bilateral channels than multilateral channels. It is a means of what I will call buying support for their foreign policy. This is well recognized around the world. I do not believe that the real world is going to change tomorrow, and therefore I would not think of suggesting that most of the de- velopment assistance of the United States should flow through multilateral channels. It is not going to and so I am not suggesting that. But I do suggest that the present split between bilateral and multilateral assistance is contrary to U.S. interests. It is on the 34-045 0-84-89 1402 order of 91-percent proposed to flow through the bilateral channels, and 9 percent through the multilateral channel. I think that is less than optimum. I think our national interests would be served by shifting a por- tion from bilateral to multilateral. My recollection isand you can check this, but I think I am cor- rect-that most OECD nations have at least 20 percent going through multilateral channels. The administration is proposing something on the order of 9 percent. Senator BIDEN. Well, I understand your statement, but why do you make that statement? I mean, so what? Mr. McNAMARA. Because the mutilateral agencies can provide development assistance with a greater benefit than the bilateral agencies can. I mentioned two specific indications of that. One is continuity. The bilateral assistance is turned on and off as it serves our for- eign policy purposes, which change each year, or which change fre- quently. The multilateral assistance is provided on a continuous basis, subject to the second point, which is that the mutilateral as- sistance carries a conditionality that the bilateral assistance nor- mally does not. Because you are trying to achieve a foreign policy objective, bi- lateral assistance does not place emphasis on insisting that the managers of the macroeconomic policies of the developing countries adjust those policies to what I will call the optimum. But the multi- lateral assistance does carry such conditions and therefore is a much more efficient way of applying external financial resources for development purposes. Senator BIDEN. In the poorest of the poor countries, on which you have spent some time and about which you have been speaking to us and the world about for a long time, in those poorest countries- and this is going to sound like a simplistic question, but I think it is an important one-how much is necessary? Let me put it in another way. You will hear the argument that the fact of the matter is things are so bad, are so far gone in some of the poorest of the poor coun- tries, that what we are doing, although it is morally justifiable and is from a humanitarian standpoint very useful, in the scope of pro- viding that security assistance aspect of it, that is, somehow you are going to bring that nation along, that poorest of the poor, so that there is not the ferment of revolution, so that there is not the anti-Western bias, so that there is not the opportunity for the god- less Communists to come in and take over, and so on, that, in fact, it is so small, relative to the need, that it really does not make any difference on that score, so it is better to send guns. Mr. McNAMARA. Well, let me refer to two facts in refutation of that. The U.S. Treasury study made in 1981 or 1982 by the present ad- ministration of the International Development Association and its activities showed that, on average, the rate of return per year in the poorer countries of International Development Association loans was on the order of 18 percent. Senator BIDEN. What do we mean by the "rate of return?” 1403 Mr. McNAMARA. We mean the contribution to the economy above repayment of capital. We mean just exactly what an interest rate in this country is. Today the prime interest rate is 11.5 per- cent; that is the rate of return on your deposit in a bank, essential- ly. The comparable rate on an investment, the average investment by IDA in agriculture or what have you-- Senator BIDEN. To the economy of that country. Mr. McNAMARA [continuing]. To the economy of that country is 18 percent. This is a very high rate of return. It simply shows that there are many, many opportunities for effi- cient utilization of capital. Senator BIDEN. Again, I am not suggesting that there are not and that the rate of return is not high. Mr. McNAMARA. Oh, I realize that. But that is one point. It is not correct to say that this is a bottomless pit, you are throwing good money after bad, there is no way to invest capital with advan- tage in the poor countries-all of this is not correct, evidence the U.S. Treasury study. The second point, that it is a drop in the ocean and does not ac- complish much, that those countries are beyond the ability to ad- vance and we should not be wasting our money trying to even though on a particular project you get a high rate of return, that in general it does not contribute anything and they can't move for- ward, here, too, there is evidence to the contrary. Over 10 years between 1967 and 1968 on the one hand and 1977 and 1978 on the other, over a decade, the cereal-grain production in India, which is the foundation of their economy and the foundation of economic and social advance in that country, the cereal-grain production, adjusted for weather differences so that it is on a com- parable basis, increased 50 percent. Now, that is a tremendous accomplishment. It was not by any means all the result of external aid. I do not want to imply that. But external aid contributed to that, helped make that possible. I do not know anything more important that one could have done in India at that time than to have increased the food produc- tion, and that is a tremendous advance and it is representative of what can be accomplished in other countries with external assist- ance. Senator BIDEN. Let me be much more specific. Let us assume that the grain needs for India, for the sake of simplicity, are 100 million metric tons, and in fact they were producing only 5 million metric tons. We move in and through the aid components, it in- creases 50 percent, so you now have 7.5 million metric tons, but their needs are 100 million metric tons. So although you show a 50-percent increase, the 50-percent in- crease does not have any fundamental impact upon that society. It does in fact have humanitarian aspects to it. There are 2.5 percent more people, theoretically, who will be able to have advantages and so forth. But it is not going to alter the societal difficulties as a consequence of bringing more into balance the economic needs of that community. Therefore, why not, Senator, send the outfit in power more guns for the same amount of money to make sure that they can keep those godless Communists from coming up over the hill? 1404 Mr. McNAMARA. Well sending them the guns is one sure way, in my opinion, to cause disorder, which will have a ripple effect and ultimately be disadvantageous to us and weaken our security, rather than strengthen it. Second, the increase of 50 percent in cereal-grain production, even though it may not bring their food consumption up to our level, which I would say is excessive, nonetheless, is likely over time and in association with other actions, is likely to lead to a higher probability of political stability in the area; and in addition, it carries with it tremendous humanitarian advances. Let me just mention one brief illustration of that. The last time I was in West Bengal, which is a major area of India, I visited a World Bank project to see whether we were or were not accom- plishing our purpose. In that particular case we were providing technical assistance, financing, I will call it agricultural extension services, to very, very small farmers, farming about 214 acres, to help them increase their output. In this particular case the farmer, driving a bullock, had two as- sociates with him who were landless people. They neither owned nor leased land. He was a tenant farmer, but they normally were totally unemployed. They were then working for him. I said: “Why are they working for you? You have got such a small piece of land." He said: "I have been shown how to produce two crops a year instead of one. In order to do so, I have got to accelerate my harvesting, accelerate my sowing. I need these two landless people to help me during this time." I turned to one of them and said: "What has this meant to you?” All of this is through interpreters, of course. And they said to me, and this is the point: "It means more days during the year when we can eat two meals instead of one." About 200 days when they could eat two meals, instead of 100 days previously. Now, I do not think we should be ashamed of having advanced human beings the ability to eat two meals for 100 additional days. Senator BIDEN. Neither do I. And I would like to conclude with a statement and my last question. The statement is that I disagree with the view that is held by many of my colleagues, that the American people are unwilling to increase the amount of money spent on economic assistance. Quite frankly, I would argue that their greatest repulsion is over the military assistance that they do not seem to understand. If you in fact were able to convince the American people-and I do not mean you personally; I mean we—were able to convince the Ameri- can people that the billion dollars, the $10 billion or $20 billion in total aid, was going to go into the bellies of those children or of that family or of those individuals, to get them from one meal a day to two meals a day, in fact I believe there would be broad sup- port for it in this country. I am one of those people, and maybe it is part of a generational problem that I have--but I am one of those people who believe that the folks have not-and I emphasize, have not-lost their hearts or their compassion. They have lost faith in the delivery system. That is our Govern- ment. And that is not a political comment, Democratic or Republi- can. And I believe they have grave doubts about the absorptive ca- 1405 pacity, in the sense that they are not at all sure it gets from the military or political apparatus in control down to the belly of the children. So I think if I could wave a magic wand and make clear to the folks of this country one concept, one notion, it would be that the economic aid, the IDA aid, and aid of the nature we are talking about actually got-if I could make it clear to them, make sure they believe that it really got to the point you have just illustrated with that one case, then I believe we would have little or no prob- lem, even in tough economic times in this country, doing that. I really believe that. Mr. McNAMARA. I totally agree with you, and I have talked to a lot of Americans. Senator BIDEN. I have one more question. I think I know the answer, but I think it is important to get it on the record. The traditional criteria for determining IDA eligibility has been per capita GNP. Secretary Regan has suggested that "the general credit standing of the nation” needs to be taken into account as well. Would you comment on whether or not you agree or disagree with that statement, and if so in either case why? Mr. McNAMARA. I totally agree with it. But I totally disagree with the way in which he applied it. I think he said that in connec- tion with suggesting it was not necessary for the United States to support the level of IDA that every one of the other donors, some 30 other nations, were willing to support, that is, a total of $12 bil- lion for 3 years. Regan was suggesting that that was not necessary, that it should be cut by the U.S. unilateral action alone, which it finally was, from $12 billion to $9 billion, the reason being that one should rec- ognize that China and India did not need such concessional assist- ance, that they should borrow all of their external financing re- quirements on the open market. He should have talked to Walter Wriston of the Citicorp and talked to San Armacost of Bank of America, and they would have told him that, sure, China and India can borrow some on the open market, we hope they will. The World Bank is assisting them to do But a commercial banker would be out of his mind to finance all of the external financing requirements of India and China through commercial banking sources. He ought to be removed if he did. Senator BIDEN. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. And thank you, Mr. Chairman, for allowing me so much time. Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Senator Biden. I have just one, perhaps two, very brief final questions. You men- tioned with Senator Biden the question of the impact of this pro- gram on India. India will be the principal sufferer by the result of the reduction in IDA replenishment. Can India go to the commercial market if it has need for further borrowing? Mr. McNAMARA. May I, before I answer the question directly, say that I believe you are correct in implying that India will be a principal sufferer. I think there are other very important suffer- ers-China, sub-Saharan Africa, and Bangladesh. SO. 1 1406 Senator MATHIAS. I was going to get to China in a minute. Mr. McNAMARA. I am sorry, Mr. Chairman. Well, I would simply point out that this reduction of $3 billion in the level that other nations would have supported is going to have very, very serious effects on many countries, including India. Now, could India borrow its financial requirements on the com- mercial markets? (a) It could not; and (b) it should not. I think were India to try to finance its requirements for external funds solely through the commercial markets and were it to continue to do that for any considerable time, it would not be able to service that debt when it came due 10 to 20 years from now. Senator MATHIAS. You are just borrowing trouble as well as money? Mr. McNAMARA. Yes, exactly. My God, we want our banks to be prudently managed. At least I do and I am sure you do. And I do not think we should be encouraging the commercial markets to un- dertake obligations that are not likely to be serviced. And India and China, if we are looking ahead 10 and 20 years- and that is the period we should be looking at for debt service- India and China are going to need such large quantities of finan- cial assistance in the next decade or two-as we did in the 19th century—to advance their economies that they should not be ob- taining them all on market terms. Senator MATHIAS. You have almost answered my final question, because I was going to say, since we were introducing China as a new borrowing customer, what would be the impact. But as you just pointed out, it is to further constrict the available resources. Mr. McNAMARA. Yes; I think that some who have testified before you, if I understand their testimony correctly, have pointed out, and I think it is true, that China's reserves today, China's trade balance today, is such that the Chinese are not in the same dire financial straits as many other developing countries. But that is because China has not yet begun to utilize external financing in a way that it is in our interest and theirs to encourage them to do in the next decade or two. When they begin to do that, if they obtain that all through the commercial markets, they would build up a debt that could not possibly be serviced from the likely foreign exchange receipts of that country 10 or 20 years from now. Senator MATHIAS. Well, we have drawn upon your knowledge and experience to the great benefit of this committee, Mr. Secre- tary. We are very grateful to you for being here. Mr. McNAMARA. Mr. Chairman, it was an honor and a pleasure to appear before you again. Senator MATHIAS. You read into the record a large part of a copy of your letter to Secretary Kissinger, but I would suggest, with your permission, that we put the original text in as part of the record. Mr. McNAMARA. Yes, by all means do so. Let me correct a typo- graphical error in the copy that I have with me today, which shows the date as September 1984. Obviously, it was September 1983. Senator MATHIAS. We will see that the correct date appears. The letter referred to follows:] 1407 WASHINGTON, D.C., September 12, 1983. Dr. HENRY A. KISSINGER, National Bipartisan Commission on Central America, Washington, D.C. DEAR HENRY: Upon returning to my office two days ago I found your letter of August 18th awaiting me. In it you asked for my "insights” on any aspects of your Commission's Mandate. Because my knowledge of the problem you are studying is limited, this reply will be brief: In sum, I believe: 1. You are quite correct both in restricting your study to long-term issues and in broadening its focus beyond Cental America. 2. We greatly over-estimate the effect of political instability in Central America on our security, and we seem unaware of the danger to us of such instability in Mexico. 3. For the next decade or two, Mexico's labor force will grow at the highest rate of any large country in the world. Unless the government creates jobs to absorb that labor force, a significant part of it will flow across the 2,000 mile border into the United States. Neither the United States nor Mexico has begun to lay out the politi- cal and economic programs which are necessary to effectively address this problem. Failure to do so carries with it enormous political, economic, and security risks for our country. 4. The problem in Central America is essentially economic, social, and political in origin. It has been exacerbated by, but not caused by, Soviet and Cuban interven- tion. The solution to the problem requires action by the Central American govern- ments in each of these fields. We can assist the governments in implementing such programs, but we can not impose them upon their societies. Moreover, the "absorptive” capacity of their lead- ers and their institutions to receive foreign technical and financial assistance is lim- ited. It should not be over-loaded. A “Marshall Plan" for Central America is likely to do so. 5. Because of such "capacity limitations”, the majority of the countries in Central America are likely to be unstable for years to come. What we can do is contain the effects of such instability by: (a) Maintaining a unified approach to the problem with the major countries of the Region-particularly Mexico, Venezuela, Columbia and Panama (we have not done so). (b) Making clear to the Soviets we will not accept their “offensive” forces in the hemisphere, now or later. (c) Joining with the Latin American countries in their efforts to normalize rela- tions with Cuba, and to obtain agreement that Cuba will not use one country in the hemisphere as a base from which to subvert the established government of another country. 6. We should not use military force in Central America unless we are asked to do so by the OAS, and then only if our forces are accompanied by troops of major Latin American nations. I will be happy to try to answer any questions which your staff wishes to put to me. With best wishes. Sincerely, ROBERT S. McNAMARA. Senator MATHIAS. Let me say in that connection that if you have any further thought or ideas that you would like to contribute to the record, we will keep it open for a reasonable time. Mr. McNAMARA. Thank you, but I think I will not have, sir. It was a great pleasure to be here with you. Thank you. Senator MATHIAS. Our next witness is Mr. C. Fred Bergsten, di- rector of the Institute for International Economics, and a veteran in appearing before this committee, which he has always illuminated. 1408 STATEMENT OF HON. C. FRED BERGSTEN, DIRECTOR, INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. BERGSTEN. Mr. Chairman, as always, it is a pleasure to be here. I have prepared a succinct statement, and will briefly sum- marize it and then see what you would like to pursue. In my statement I make four basic points, which add up to sug- gesting that the proposed IDA VII replenishment is inadequate. Therefore, it is an absolutely minimum requirement that the Con- gress support the proposed U.S. contribution, but that the Congress in addition take any steps that you might find appropriate and fea- sible to raise the amount, or at least leave the door open for in- creases in the future if ideas regarding that subject would change in various quarters. In addressing these issues, I will try to draw on the experience I had in a previous incarnation as Assistant Secretary of the Treas- ury for International Affairs from 1977 to early 1981, when I was responsible for concluding the IDA V negotiation and carrying out the totality of the IDA VI negotiation. The first point, Mr. Chairman, is simply to stress that the pro- posed replenishment is a very substantial reduction in the most im- portant program of concessional assistance in the world. It is a cut of about 50 percent in real terms from the negotiated level of IDA VI, which was no profligate expansion of lending but did envisage modest positive growth of about 4 to 5 percent annually in IDA lending. By contrast, what we are talking about here would be a 50-per- cent cut in real terms from the negotiated level. As it turned out, the actual level of lending by IDA during the IDA VI period was substantially less than negotiated, for two reasons, both attributa- ble to the United States. The first, of course, was the stretchout from 3 to at least 4 years in the fulfillment of the U.S. pledge. The second was the overvalu- ation of the dollar in the exchange market, which you and I have talked about in other contexts, but here had the effect of sharply reducing the value of the contribution of other countries. The deutschmark, yen, et cetera, contributions of other countries went much less far in dollar terms than had been envisaged at the time the replenishment was negotiated. The result was that the actual IDA VI package turned out to be about 20 percent less than had been thought to be negotiated, at- tributable mainly to the United States. The proposed IDA VI pack- age would represent a further cut of 20 percent, extending, as a result of U.S. action, the steady reduction in IDA lending program. Just to cut it one other way, in terms of availability of IDA funds in terms of the per capita position of the recipient countries, now that China has been added to the rolls, the reduction actually amounts to about 60 percent from the actual IDA VI level. Now, that is a little misleading. I do not want to overstate it, because China of course adds another billion people to the rolls. But if one views IDA as trying to meet in some sense the per capita needs of its recipient countries, this is further dramatization of how sharp this proposed cutback really is. And so on whatever 1 1409 basis you want to use, it is very clear that this replenishment will force the institution to cut its program level very sharply. Now, the second point is to ask, is that justified? If the world economy were booming and in exceptionally favorable shape, one might say—indeed, you implied it in a question to Secretary McNa- mara-is it not time to turn the tide, perhaps begin cutting back on concessional assistance? And so my second question would be: Is the state of the world economy one which would justify, or even call for, a cutback in concessional assistance? Unfortunately, of course, the facts are to the contrary. The devel- oping countries, particularly the poorest of them, who are served by IDA, are still reeling from the deepest world recession since the 1930's and associated events. Their per capita growth rates have plummeted, indeed have remained negative in Africa for almost a decade and a half, and they have become negative throughout our own hemisphere in Latin America. The terms of trade of the developing countries, depending on the region, have declined by anywhere from 20 to 40 percent over the past 3 to 5 years. Alternative sources of funding have dried up just when they are needed most because of the impact of the debt crisis on bank lending, and the impact of global recession on budgets and hence concessional assistance in many industrial countries. Rising protectionism, even here in the United States, where un- employment has declined sharply and the economy is growing rap- idly, limits the scope for export expansion as an alternative means of the developing countries' earning critically required foreign ex- change. Again, the overvaluation of the dollar continues to depress com- modity markets for many LDC exports, impair their competitive position, increase the real cost of their debt burdens, and reduce the real value of much of their foreign assistance. So I would argue that the world situation, if anything, calls for more concessional assistance rather than these dramatic cuts. Now, in response to such reasoning it is sometimes argued that IDA really does not have anything to do with the global economic crisis because, after all, it provides long-term development help rather than short-run balance of payments assistance, and because the big debtor countries—Brazil, Mexico, Yugoslavia, and the like-do not receive IDA funds anyway. I think both points miss the basic nature of the crisis and the role of IDA in contributing to its solution. It is, of course, true that IDA funds long-term projects. However, it is now clear that the global economic problem is a long-term problem. We have come through, perhaps, the most critical crisis stage of the debt problem, but it is very clear that we have now entered into a second stage of that crisis which focuses primarily on finding longer run sources of finance for the developing countries to re- place at least some of the substantial cutback in the growth of lending by commercial banks. So normal IDA funding is quite relevant in this context I do be- lieve, parenthetically, it would be desirable to speed up IDA's dis- bursements, both by increasing its total level of activity and by a greater use of nonproject lending, so that it could contribute more 1410 rapidly and more extensively to dealing with the immediate foreign exchange shortages of developing countries. Even more importantly, however, one has to look at IDA in the broader context of world financial flows. You or Senator Biden asked Secretary McNamara about who were the big losers from this cutback in IDA program level, and focused on the direct losers, the big IDA borrowers: India, China, the sub-Saharan African countries. However, one has to look at the picture in what economists call a general equilibrium context, and the losers go well beyond the direct IDA recipients themselves, for the following reason. Most ob- servers agree that the current or recent level of IDA credits to the African countries should be maintained or even increased. Hence, the cutback in IDA lending would fall on India, China, and perhaps a few other borrowers. Now, one of the notions for easing the burden on those countries, in addition to pushing them into the private market, which I think Secretary McNamara referred to quite effectively, is to give them more money from the World Bank itself. You graduate them from IDA up to World Bank. However, nobody has increased-and nobody has proposed an increase in-World Bank funding. So when you cut back IDA and try to move some of the previous IDA borrowers up to the World Bank without increasing World Bank lending, you are obviously saying somebody who has been getting World Bank lending will get less. Now, who does that turn out to be? It turns out to be the biggest World Bank borrowers, who are the biggest debtor countries now plaguing the health of the world economy as a whole-Brazil, Mexico, Yugoslavia, Argen- tina, and a few others. So the net effect of cutting IDA is that the very debtor countries who are part of today's most pressing global economic and finan- cial problem either have to look for yet more bank credit, which is unlikely to be available to them since that's the nub of the prob- lem, or depress their economies further to reduce even more their need for external funds, thereby enhancing the risks of political in- stability that you were discussing earlier. The net effect of cutting IDA is thus not just directly felt by IDA countries, but will deepen the global debt crisis modestly but seri- ously. The amounts involved approximate $1 billion a year, adding something on that order to an international financial problem which is already likely to remain difficult for years to come. So one must see it in the broader context and realize that there are effects going beyond the debtor countries, the IDA recipient countries themselves. In short, the IDA VII package has been constructed in a manner that can only intensify the problems of the world economy. It is ex- tremely shortsighted for the United States, I think, in its own eco- nomic and financial, let alone foreign policy and humanitarian, in- terests to foster such an outcome. I am a strong supporter of the concept of graduation, as you know, Mr. Chairman. Indeed, I initiated much of the current U.S. policy based on that concept during my tenure at Treasury. But the timing of implementing that concept has to be calibrated to the 1411 realities of the world economy, and that has patently not been done in the case before us. The final question: If there has been a cutback that is not called for under an objective reading of the circumstances, who is to blame? Unfortunately, I am afraid the responsibility must be placed almost entirely on the U.S. administration. Every other country, every other country, wanted to at least maintain the nominal IDA VI level of $12 billion. Many others would have gone to $15 billion or $16 billion. And to stay even with IDA VI in terms of the per capita incomes of recipients, if China were included, the replenishment would have had to exceed $20 bil- lion. In preparing for these hearings, I went back and looked at my notes from the IDA VI negotiation. That reminded me that many donors wanted to go to $15 billion even then, which was 3 or 4 years ago. Now, a number of other donor countries have indeed indicated an intention to supplement the negotiated IDA VII package with voluntary contributions pro-rated against the national $12 billion total. If they do so, of course, they are likely to do it via some spe- cial fund that would prohibit procurement from nonparticipants, notably the United States, and thus cost us business, like the esti- mated half-billion dollars of exports we have already lost from the delay in fulfilling the U.S. pledge to IDA VI. To all of this some may raise the question that Senator Biden did. Is it not right for the United States to reduce its share to IDA? Is not the United States doing too much? Well, again, when I was at Treasury I negotiated a cut in the U.S. share from about 31 percent in IDA V to 27 percent in IDA VI. But I would suggest that the process has now gone much too far. During the IDA VI period, the United States contributed in re- ality only 15 percent because of the 1-year stretchout, while other countries went ahead. And the real U.S. share during the IDA VII period would clearly be less than the negotiated 25 percent to the extent that other countries come in with supplementary nonnego- tiated contributions. These numbers simply do not fit very well with our share of the combined GNP's of the donor countries, which, depending on how you calculate it, ranges between 30 and 40 percent. Particularly at a time when the United States is the only industrial country expe- riencing rapid economic growth and falling unemployment, and is a net importer of huge amounts of money from the rest of the world to finance our massive current account and budget deficits, it really is not very seemly for us to be cutting back. I would stress that last point, Mr. Chairman. As you know, again from the broader world economic and financial context, the United States is not providing finance to the rest of the world right now. Whatever the numbers, the United States is draining finance from the rest of the world. Senator MATHIAS. We are borrowers. Mr. BERGSTEN. Yes, we are the biggest borrower the world has ever seen. I am sometimes amused when some of your fellow Mem- bers of the Congress or spokesmen for the administration chastise other countries for their profligate policies and excessive reliance 1412 on external finance. The United States today is the most extreme case of that in human history. We are importing this year somewhere between $75 billion and $100 billion from the rest of the world, including some of these poorer developing countries, in the guise of what is normally called capital flight. We are not transferring resources to the rest of the world. We are draining resources from the rest of the world. And in that environment, to be so niggardly as to cut back the modest amounts that all other countries wish to do for the poorest countries through IDA I think is particularly unseemly of a great country, and indeed not something that we can afford either in eco- nomic or in foreign policy terms. The argument is also made that Congress is to blame. Some in the administration have said Congress would never approve more than the proposed $750 million a year that has been sent up to you. I have to say that, as one who spent countless hours working with you and others in the Congress to get budgetary support for these institutions for 4 years, I can only have enormous sympathy for those who raise the issue of congressional support. But the point as made is simply wrong If you look at the record, in 4 of the last 6 years, Congress has in fact appropriated much more than the $750 million that is being cited as an absolute ceiling. Indeed, in 2 years Congress voted over $1 billion in a given year for IDA. And so I think the record simply suggests that Congress, working with a supportive administration, is willing to provide amounts of money well greater than have been proposed in this current replenishment exercise, and it is really both intellectually erroneous and politically somewhat cowardly to hide behind the Congress in saying that $750 million is the abso- lute maximum that can be appropriated. Finally, it should be noted that the Congress has ultimately voted every penny ever pledged by the United States to the multi- lateral development banks. There have been arrears and those are bad, but the United States has never reneged. I believe the delays, with eventual fulfillment of the pledges, troublesome as that may be, are less undesirable than limiting the level of the entire refunding from the outset, as is now being done in IDA VII. So if that were my choice, a fear of some delays in the future versus cutting it from the outset, I would take the former. A final point: In talking about the budget deficits the country faces and which you here in the Congress are facing and trying to deal with every day, I would make one final comment. It seems to me that the multilateral approach is particularly desirable, indeed almost necessary, in just these circumstances. This is, of course, because of the tremendous leverage afforded by our contributions to the multilateral development banks. The ques- tion came up earlier, where do you get more bang for the buck? Well, in these institutions you get immediate multiplicative bang for the buck, because for every $1 we put into IDA $4 of lending ensues. It seems to me that in terms of burden sharing this in fact the optimum way to go and therefore commends itself particularly in a time of budget stringency. In this context I would note one final irony which bears on some of the questions you raised earlier, Mr. Chairman, about Central 1413 America. Back when the Treasury published its so-called assess- ment of the development banks in 1982, which by the way gave them very high marks and rejected virtually all the criticisms against them, I suggested to the House Banking Committee that it would be shortsighted and cost ineffective to cut funding for the Fund for Special Operations of the Inter-American Development Bank, the Western Hemisphere equivalent of IDA, at a time of in- creased concern for precisely those countries in Central America and the Caribbean that were served by its program. Funds were nevertheless cut savagely, which resulted in a cut, of course, in contributions from other countries. Now, along come the Kissinger Commission and the administration, feeling compelled to propose a massive new program of bilateral aid to the region, after just having cut multilateral aid 1 year earlier and thrown away, thrown away, the multiplier effects that would have brought in three times the money from other countries that we would have put in ourselves. Let us not make the same mistake with IDA today. Thank you very much. [Mr. Bergsten's prepared statement follows:) 1414 THE UNITED STATES AND IDA VII Statement by C. Fred Bergsten Director Institute for International Economics Before the Committee on Foreign Relations United States Senate March 27, 1984 Summary and Conclusion The proposed $9 billion replenishment of IDA ("IDA VII") represents an enormous cut in the level of international concessional assistance at a time when the sharp deterioration of world economic conditions in recent years counsels an increase in such funding instead. This cut results almost wholly from the recalcitrance of the United States to go along with the desire of other donor countries to maintain financing at the level of the past few years, if not raise it substantially. Authorization of the US contribution proposed by the Administration is thus an absolute minimum. Indeed, I would urge the Committee to take whatever steps might be appropriate to raise that amount or at least leave the door open for doing so later. In addressing these issues, I will draw on my experience as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs during 1977-January 1981, when I was directly responsible for both concluding the IDA V negotiation and conducting the entire IDA VI negotiation. 1415 : reeling from the deepest world recession since the 1930s and associated events: their per capita growth rates have plummeted, remaining negative in Africa and becoming negative throughout Latin America their terms of trade, depending on the region, have declined by 20-40 percent over the past three to five years alternative sources of funds have dried up, just when needed most, because of the impact of the debt crisis on bank lending (where record levels of real interest rates make them most unattractive in any event) and the impact of global recession on budgets and hence concessional assistance in many industrial countries rising protectionism, even in the United States where unemployment has declined sharply, limits the scope for export expansion as an alternative means of their earning foreign exchange dollar overvaluation continues to depress commodity markets for many LDC exports, impair their competitive positions (because many of their currencies are tied to the dollar), increase the real cost of their (largely dollar-denominated) debt burdens, and reduce the real value of much of their foreign assistance (as in the case of IDA VI, as noted) In response to such reasoning, it is sometimes argued that IDA has little to do with the global economic crisis because (1) 1416 The Magnitude of IDA VII The $9 billion replenishment proposed for IDA VII represents a substantial reduction in the most important program of concessional assistance in the world: it is a cut of about 50 percent in real terms from the negotiated level of IDA VI, which envisaged modest but positive growth of 4-5 percent annually in the real level of IDA lending - it is a cut of about 20 percent from the actual level of annual lending under IDA VI, which worked out to be about 20 percent less than the negotiated amount because of two earlier US blows to the institution: its stretchout of IDA VI payments and the overvaluation of the dollar in the exchange markets (which reduced the dollar value of other countries' contributions) in terms of per capita availability of funds to eligible recipient countries, now that China has been added to the rolls, the reduction is almost 60 percent from the actual IDA VI level (after a cut of 15 percent terms from the negotiated magnitude in per capita terms) Hence it is clear, on whatever basis one wishes to use, that the IDA VII replenishment will force the institution to cut its program level sharply. Is this justified by the state of the world economy? The World Economic Outlook Unfortunately, the facts are to the contrary. The developing countries, particularly the poorest of them, are still 1417 it provides long-term development rather than short-run balance of payments assistance and (2) the major debtor countries do not receive IDA funds anyway. Both points miss the basic nature of the crisis and the role of IDA in contributing to its solution. It is true, of course, that IDA funds long-term projects. However, the global economic problem is at least equally long- term in nature. Indeed, the "second stage" of the debt crisis into which we have now entered focusses primarily on finding longer run sources of finance for the developing countries to replace some of the substantial cutback in the growth of lending by commercial banks. Normal IDA funding is quite relevant in this context, although I would support some speedup in IDA'S disbursement profile through greater use of non-project lending (as well as a higher level of total activity) to enable it to contribute even more. Even more importantly, one must note that it is the major debtor countries who will indirectly bear much of the cost of the proposed large cutback in IDA lending. Most observers agree that the recent level of IDA credits to the African countries should be maintained or even increased. Hence the cutback in aggregate IDA lending would be accommodated by shifting India, China and other IDA borrowers to the IBRD. But there is no proposal for an increase in IBRD resources. Hence the IDA "graduates" can be accommodated only by like "graduation" of current IBRD borrowers. This must mean primarily the largest, most advanced of those borrowers: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Romania, Yugoslavia and the like. The no 1418 result is that the very debtor countries who are at the heart of today's most pressing global economic problem must either look for yet more bank credit, which is unlikely to be available, or depress their economies further to reduce even more their need for external funds. The net effect of cutting IDA is thus to deepen the global debt crisis, modestly but seriously. The amounts involved approximate $1 billion yearly (in the aggregate) --adding that much further to an international financial problem which is already likely to remain difficult for many years to come. In short, the IDA VII package has been constructed in a manner that can only intensify the problems of the world economy--which are already quite severe. It is extremely shortsighted for the United States, in its own economic and financial (let alone foreign policy and humanitarian) interest to foster such an outcome. I am a strong supporter of the concept of "graduation," and indeed initiated much of the current Us policy based on that concept during my tenure at Treasury. But the timing of the implemention of that concept must be calibrated to the realities of the world economy, and that has patently not been done in the case before us. Who Is to Blame? Unfortunately, the responsibility for this outcome must be placed almost entirely on the US Administration, Every other country wanted to at least maintain the nomimal IDA VI level of $12 billion. Many other donor countries would have gone to $15- 16 billion. To stay even with IDA VI in terms of the real per 1419 capita incomes of recipient countries, now including China, the replenishment would have had to reach $21 billion. A review of my notes from the IDA VI negotiation reminds that many donors wanted to go to $15 billion even then (1979-80). Indeed, a number of donor countries have already indicated an intention to supplement the negotiated IDA VII package with voluntary contributions pro-rated against a notional $12 billion total. They will likely do so via a "special fund" that would prohibit procurement from non-participants, notably the United States, and thus cost us business, (The United States has already lost an estimated $500 million of exports from the similar procedures adopted by other countries in the wake of the US delay in fulfilling its pledge to IDA VI.) To all of this, some may argue that it is proper for the United States to reduce its share in IDA--a trend toward which I accomplished much during my period at Treasury (e.g., cutting the US share from 31.4 percent in IDA V to 27 percent in IDA VI). However, it appears that the process may now have gone too far. In reality, the United States contributed only 15 percent of IDA funding during 1981-84 (because of the stretchout, even assuming its completion this year). As noted, the real US share during the IDA VII period will clearly be less than the negotiated 25 percent because of supplementary (non-negotiated) contributions by other donors. These numbers do not comport well with our roughly one-third share of the combined GNPS of the donor countries, or our 40 percent share of the total when allowance is made for per capita 1420 income (as per our own graduated income tax principles). They seem particularly inadequate at a time when the United States is the only industrial country experiencing rapid economic growth 1 and falling unemployment, and is a net importer of huge amounts of capital from the rest of the world to finance our massive current account and budget deficits. Again, both economic self- interest and statesmanship would suggest a more generous position. It is also argued that the Congress is to blame, because it would never approve more than the proposed $750 million per year. As one who spent countless hours seeking Congressional support for these bills for four years, I can only have enormous respect for the thrust of that concern. But it is simply incorrect: in FY 1984, $945 million has already been provided under Continuing Resolution and $150 million more may be voted in FY 1983, Congress voted $945 million for IDA -- in FY 1980, $1.072 billion was provided under Continuing Resolution -- in FY 1979, Congress voted $1.258 billion for IDA So amounts far greater than the proposed $750 million have actually been approved by the Congress on four separate occasions during the past six years. Indeed, amounts greater than the $1 billion annually which would be needed to permit a total replenishment of $12 billion (with the United States at 25 percent) have been voted twice, and may be again this year. Again, particularly in light of today's overall budget situation, 1421 1 I would not minimize the difficulty--but it demonstrably can be done, and has been done in the past. Finally, it should be noted that the Congress has ultimately voted every penny ever pledged by the United States to the multilateral development banks. The United States has frequently been in arrears on its pledges, but has never reneged. Such delays are highly undesirable, and undermine both the programs of the institutions and the position of the United States in them. But I believe the delays, with eventual fulfillment of the pledges, are less undesirable than limiting the level of the entire refunding from the outset as is being done in IDA VII. The Multilateral Approach These reminders of the massive budget problem facing the Congress, and our country as a whole, bring me to a final point: that the multilateral approach is particularly desirable in just such circumstances. This is because of the tremendous leverage afforded by our contributions to the multilateral development banks. At the IBRD itself, every dollar we pay in directly levers sixty dollars of total lending because of the combination of burden-sharing among countries and heavy reliance on callable (rather than paid-in) capital, even before counting the additional leverage from co- financing with private lenders. The ratio is much less for IDA, of course, but each dollar of US money still directly generates four dollars of total assistance. Of course, one would not support a program solely to benefit from such burden-sharing if the program itself were flawed. But 1422 the Treasury's own assessment" of the institu ions, published in 1982, gave them very high marks and rejected virtually all of the criticisms which have been made. It is thus hard to understand the proposed cutbacks in IDA, and even harder to understand how the Administration can hope to successfully pursue i's stated policy objectives there while being the sole source of sharp cutbacks in program level and scope. In this context, one final irony should be noted. In commenting on the Treasury "assessment," I suggested to the House Banking Committee at the time that it would be short-sighted and cost-ineffective to cut funding for the Fund for Special Operation (FSO) of the Inter-American Development Bank--the Westerm Hemisphere equivalent of IDA--at a time of increased concern for precisely those countries, in Central America and the Caribbean, that were served by its programs. Funds were nonetheless cut, resulting in a cutback of the contributions of other donors, Now the Kissinger Commission and the Administration have felt compelled to propose a massive new program of bilateral aid for the region. Let us not make the same mistake with IDA. 1423 .*.*..."---- Senator MATHIAS. Thank you, Mr. Bergsten. Secretary McNamara made a statement, I believe perhaps before you came into the room, that it is one of the great ironies of devel- opment that critics of IDA should view the institution as insuffi- ciently responsive to U.S. concerns, when the association is viewed in the field as promoters of market-based development and West- ern economic interests. Do you find that equally ironic? Mr. BERGSTEN. I find that equally ironic. And again, I would cite some conclusions reached by the assessment of the institution by the current Treasury, which they published. They concluded, as I would conclude, that whenever the United States has gotten its own act together, been clear in what it has wanted in terms of pro- grams through the multilateral institutions, those institutions have responded. That has been true in both economic terms and in terms of over- all U.S. policy objectives. There is an irony, but the bottom line to me is that the United States has been able to pursue its objectives effectively through this institution, and any claim that somehow we give up effective use of our money is simply erroneous. Senator MATHIAS. There has been some references today to the graduation of IDA recipients who move on to nonconcessional bor- rowing. What is the critieria for graduation? How do you get your diploma in this case? Mr. BERGSTEN. Well, that is a little bit more of an art than a sci- ence. There are a number of criteria that one has to assess in the case of a given country. You mentioned some of them earlier. Per capita income is one key test. Market creditworthiness as tested in the market is another. Broader criteria of economic development are important: success in expanding exports, diversification of exports. That is terribly im- portant, because increased export earnings do provide an alterna- tive, of course, to capital inflow and provide the best single indica- tor of creditworthiness. The private banks, if they look at any single factor in determin- ing whether to extend additional credits to developing countries, like to see whether their exports are expanding rapidly and on a diversified basis, because if they are that provides an indicator of earnings potential, which then suggests that the credits can be repaid. So export earnings are terribly important. There are broader in- dications of economic development as well, but I think these are In addition, though, one really has to emphasize the point I made in my statement: Graduation cannot be pursued on a linear basis, irrespective of the course of the world economy. When the world economy is booming, you can more rapidly graduate countries, be- cause the environment for export earnings, private financial flows, and alternatives to concessional help are much more available. When the world economic condition is tough, as it is now, then you have to go slowly. Though I, as I mentioned, was in the fore- front of beginning to push the graduation process for Brazil , Mexico, and others in the late 1970'S, I would equally be the first to say that one has to slow down the process right now. **********.... the key ones. RT .-4müiriwa mtu ambaye pia anal e internetbasith more. WOOTT! 1424 There is one other point, Mr. Chairman. There are not only grad- uates; there are dropouts. Just as some countries proceed rapidly, other countries fall back, both industrial countries and developing countries. It may come to pass from time to time that a country that we thought had graduated and had passed the threshold and no longer needed concessional help may have to fall back and become eligible for that kind of help again. A country that seemed to be progress- ing dramatically away from the need for concessional help or direct World Bank lending may, because of changes in circumstances, may have to be helped for a longer time than we thought. So again, it is not a linear process. It is not a one-way street. And one has to be sensitive to all of that in reaching mature judgments about how to set lending levels and program in this area. Senator MATHIAS. As you know, the IMF is sometimes criticized for having too much influence on economic decisions in various parts of the world in which it does business. In contrast, we hear less complaints about the World Bank imposing austerity and im- posing harsh economic programs on its recipient countries. What influence have you observed does the World Bank have in questions of this sort? Is there as much a difference in the two op- erations? Mr. BERGSTEN. I think there are two important differences that explain that difference in reactions which you quite rightly men- tion. One is that World Bank conditionality, which certainly is there and is important, is aimed more at long-term than short-term factors. The World Bank's focus, of course, is on development projects of a long-term nature, rather than immediate budgetary positions or expansion of credit, external borrowing requirements, of the countries themselves. So by virtue of being long term rather than short term it is not quite as much in the public eye and there- fore not as subject to criticism. Second, the World Bank is basically working on the supply side, whereas the IMF is frequently working on the demand side. The World Bank is trying to increase output. Even when it is rather tough in its requirements, those are aimed at increasing savings, increasing the level of investment, increasing export orientation, things which are essentially growth expanding over time. The IMF, by contrast, must by virtue of its responsibilities often clamp down on economic growth in order to cut inflation, external deficits, and the like. So both the difference in timing and the dif- ference in focus between the supply and demand sides explain much of the difference in perception and criticism that the two in- stitutions get Senator MATHIAS. Are there any suggestions that you have for improvement in the World Bank operation? Mr. BERGSTEN. Well, I would pick up on the question you just raised. I think increasingly the World Bank and IMF should be working much more closely together in given countries. They some- times do it, but they sometimes do not. I make that recommendation because increasingly, as I said in my statement, these adjustment problems are of a long-term nature. The old 1-year IMF programs simply are no longer ade- 1425 quate to deal with the more lasting adjustment problems that countries face. Likewise, the traditional IMF focus on limiting demand expan- sion is not enough. The supply side must be brought in. So I would counsel, in fact in all cases where possible, linkage between an ex- tended IMF program and World Bank participation, particularly through its structural adjustment loans, which get away from the traditional project finance, provide a more rapid infusion of funds to help deal with the immediate external constraint, but also pro- vide them more leverage for the Fund and Bank together to work on the supply side, the growth orientation of a country over time, to try to take advantage of the current situation, in a sense, to get more solid policies adopted. I think the IMF supports policies of that type, but they are not really its forte, and that is where the World Bank's comparative advantage lies. So I support whatever steps can be taken from out- side to push the Bank and Fund to work increasingly together. In the case of countries with long-term adjustment problems, and that is now most of the developing countries—I think we should push it, and I think the outcome would be highly desirable. There is one other point. I would like to reiterate something I said briefly in my commentary that the World Bank should be looking to expand the nonproject total of its lending. I am not against its project loans by any means, but I think in terms of helping meet the current world financial problem and in terms of providing broader leverage for it on supply-side policy fac- tors, like savings policies, investment incentives, export orienta- tion, that the Bank should and could be doing more through the nonproject window. Indeed, Mr. Chairman, I think the world is missing a big oppor- tunity right now by not sharply expanding the role of the World Bank. Here I am going beyond ÍDA and talking about the Bank as a whole. But we have to ask ourselves the following question: Over the next 5 to 10 years, all of the major developing countries are going to continue to run sizable, albeit smaller than in the past, external deficits. However, the cutback in financing from the sources of the last decade, primarily the private banks, is going to be even greater. So as we look ahead, we have an ex ante gap in meeting the le- gitimate external deficits of the developing countries. I say legiti- mate because countries at this early stage of development still should normally be running current account deficits and importing capital from the rest of the world. But a major question that they face, and which the world econo- my as a whole faces, is how to plug that gap. At my institute, in fact, we are doing a big study of that, trying to see what possibili- ties exist for unleashing new sources of private capital. But I think one conclusion is going to be that the World Bank, as a financial intermediary between the private capital markets and the major developing countries, could and should be doing much more, both in quantitative terms and, as I mentioned, in terms of nonproject lending, so as to both accelerate the pace of its interme- diation function and to get broader leverage to promote long-run, 1426 sound, growth-oriented policies in the developing countries them- selves. Incidentially, I think ways can be found to do that which would not tax the budgets of the United States or other donor countries. Some financial innovation is quite possible, I think, within the very solid, businesslike framework of the World Bank family, and I would recommend that both the administration and the Congress start doing some creative thinking along those lines. Senator MATHIAS. I have one final question, which relates to the sort of Solomonic role of this committee, in which we have to divide the baby. The administration's current request for the whole aid program provides roughly 9 percent for multilateral aid, it pro- vides over 40 percent for military assistance. What would be your comment on that kind of division of the pie? Mr. BERGSTEN. Well, I would share the views that Secretary McNamara was expressing earlier, that it is a mistake to think one can buy very much in terms of long-run stability and therefore for- eign policy and security benefit to the United States by emphasiz- ing ing so heavily the military and direct security assistance side. I think there is a need for aid of that type in particular circum- stances. I would not denigrate it completely. But in terms of alloca- tion, I do think the skewing that you referred to is badly distorted. The record of development assistance in terms of avoiding politi- cal instability is not perfect. The correlation between economic growth and political stability is itself by no means a clear one or a firm predictor of events. But my judgment would be that channeling a somewhat larger share into the development side would make sense in terms of our security, as well as economic and humanitarian interests. I would add that, when one comes to dividing up the pie in another way, as between multilateral and bilateral, we do get bigger bang for the buck multilaterally, both in terms of other countries multiplying our contribution and in terms of the efficacy of getting effective policies. Again, I am sometimes bemused. The current administration often talks about trying to promote more effective policy use of funds by recipient countries. Yet, by cutting back the funding for the development institutions they obviously reduce the ability of those institutions to lever such policies. I think the record, particularly as debated by this institution a decade ago, is quite clear that because of their nonpolitical nature, because of their international nature, the multilateral institutions get more effective policy leverage from their funding than do bilat- eral donors, including the United States. So I think the multilateral side gets more bang for the buck, both in dollars terms and in cost-effectiveness terms, and I would therefore counsel some reordering of the balance in that sense as well. Senator MATHIAS. We are very grateful to you for returning once again to this committee. You know how much we rely upon you and how much we value your opinions. So we are grateful to you for being here today. Mr. BERGSTEN. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. 1427 Senator MATHIAS. Our final witness of the day is Mr. Bruce N. Rich, representing the international project, Natural Resources De- fense Council, Inc. Mr. Rich, welcome. STATEMENT OF BRUCE M. RICH, ON BEHALF OF THE INTERNA- TIONAL PROJECT, NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL, INC., WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. Rich. Mr. Chairman, I appreciate very much the opportunity to appear before the subcommittee today concerning authorization of the seventh U.S. replenishment of the International Develop- ment Association. I am testifying on behalf of the Natural Re- sources Defense Council and seven other national environmental organizations with over 5 million members and supporters in the United States. These environmental organizations wish to express today for the first time before the Congress their endorsement of and support for U.S. replenishment of IDA. Our support is based on the conviction that widespread poverty and environmental deterioration in large parts of the developing world are inextricably related Senator MATHIAS. Mr. Rich, let me interrupt just to ask you one question. I have here not only a copy of your statement, but one from the National Wildlife Federation. Would you like that to be a part of the record? Mr. Rich. Yes; the National Wildlife Federation has submitted that for the record, with your permission. Senator MATHIAS. Well, we will include that to follow your state- ment as a part of the record today. Mr. Rich. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And our support is also based upon the conviction that sustain- able economic development is not possible without sound manage- ment of natural resources. My testimony will discuss briefly the interconnection between the alleviation of poverty in IDA countries and natural resources management and sustainable economic de- velopment. The testimony will underscore the central and critical role of IDA in addressing these development problems. Before concluding, however, I shall emphasize the concern of the national environmental organizations that IDA and the World Bank need to take strong concrete actions to implement their al- ready existing official policy commitment to natural resources management. In the poorest countries, where IDA is often the first and most important source of foreign assistance, people on the margin of ex- istence are compelled to destroy the resource base on which future productivity depends. The four principal biological foundations of the global economy-forests, croplands, grasslands, and fisheries- are under severe and increasing pressure. In many parts of the world, especially the poorest countries, poor land use is destroying the regenerative and sustaining capacity of the environment. Sub-Saharan Africa, one of the two main regions for IDA assistance, already presents a profoundly frightening ex- ample of how far the vicious cycle of poverty and ecological degra- dation has gone. 1428 1 According to estimates of the United Nations, 55 percent of the land area of the African continent and 25 percent of its population is now threatened by desertification. Not only in Africa, but all over the globe, from Nepal to Haiti, there are 1.5 billion people whose only fuel is wood, dung, or crop wastes, and whose immedi- ate physical existence is threatened by deforestation, erosion, and desertification. Thus, extreme poverty and ecological deterioration are part of the same syndrome of underdevelopment in many of the poorest of those countries. The resultant endemic social and political instability will present in many cases sooner or later a threat to U.S. economic and politi- cal security. When we read of the great cost of U.S. assistance to El Salvador or the expense of dealing with illegal refugees from Haiti, we should also remember that these are the two most eroded and deforested countries in the Western Hemisphere. Haiti in particu- lar, is the very poorest and most deforested country in our hemi- sphere, and it is a current recipient of IDA assistance. The answer to the problems of the hundreds of millions of mostly rural poor in the world's neediest countries is, of course, economic development. But development can only be sustainable if it is based on sound management and conservation of the natural resource base. The national environmental organizations wish to underscore, then, the great interest that the United States has in insuring that IDA effectively carry out its mandate. One condition of IDA's effec- tiveness is that it have adequate financial resources to do its job. Another condition, and of as crucial importance to IDA's effec- tiveness as an adequate seventh replenishment, is that IDA-fi- nanced development activities do not undermine the longer term sustainability and stability of the natural resource systems on which these development activities depend. In a number of statements and documents over the past decade, the World Bank has stated numerous times its official policy com- mitment to sound management of natural resources and the envi- ronment. This is described in some detail in my prepared state ment. The most important of these policy commitments is the 1980 U.N. Declaration of Environmental Policies and Procedures Relat- ing to Economic Development, a copy of which is attached to my testimony. This was signed by the President of the World Bank at that time and the heads of nine other leading multilateral develop- ment agencies. The national environmental organizations wish to express their concern, however, over evidence of the World Bank's and IDA's in- adequate attention to management of natural resources and the en- vironment. Last June, the House Banking Subcommittee on Inter- national Development Institutions and Finance held special over- sight hearings on the environmental aspects of multilateral bank- funded projects. Testimony presented over 2 days raised serious questions about what the World Bank and other multilateral institutions were doing in the area of natural resources management. The World Bank, at the request of that House subcommittee and of the Treas- ury Department, prepared an extensive response to the testimony. 1429 Regrettably, this response did not address or join, in our judgment, many of the most important issues and questions raised at the hearings. For example, questions were raised about whether the Bank had enough professionally trained people, either within its Office of En- vironmental and Scientific Affairs or in other divisions, to ade- quately and competently address problems of natural resources and ecological management. Currently the World Bank has only one professionally trained ecologist among over 5,550 employees. The Bank's response to this staffing question was in effect a non- response, and I will just quote the main sentence from that re- sponse: "The World Bank, with its Office of Environmental Affairs, is the oldest, largest and most experienced institution dealing with these issues." Testimony also pointed out that the Bank had prepared a series of environmental checklists and guidelines, but that there were no procedures or regulations to insure the use and early integration into project design of these guidelines. It was also pointed out that checklists and guidelines were virtually absent for the single larg- est lending sector, agriculture and rural development. Projects in agriculture and rural development accounted for nearly 40 percent of IDA credits in the Bank's fiscal year 1983. The Bank's response to these concerns was the following: "The World Bank has prepared the largest and most comprehen- sive series of guidelines of any of the development assistance agen- cies. Many of them are available in French, Spanish and English. They are widely used by other development organizations through- out the world. Their systematic use and rigorous enforcement and I emphasize the next word, "would”- "would be adequate to ensure that most development projects would not incur serious en- vironmental, health or socio-cultural consequences Although this response acknowledges in a round-about fashion that the guidelines are not systematically used and enforced, there is no indication that the Bank has any plans to do anything about the situation or even views it as a matter for concern. Moreover, there is a growing body of evidence that the sustain- ability of individual projects and whole sector policies is seriously hampered by the Bank's inadequate consideration of natural re- source and ecological concerns. În my prepared statement I have just cited three illustrative examples. Two are projects which were considered to be failures by the Bank's Operations Evaluation Department, and a good part of that failure was due to inadequate consideration of natural resource concerns and environmental management. The other example is a whole sector policy paper on fisheries, which in 79 pages does not even mention some of the most basic and widely accepted princi- ples of sustainable management of fisheries resources. In conclusion, the national environmental organizations believe that IDA's role and effectiveness is so important to the world and to U.S. interests that the Congress should strongly express in report language accompanying the authorization of the seventh U.S. IDA replenishment its concern that IDA's effectiveness is con- strained by inadequate consideration of management of natural re- sources and the environment. 1 1430 In our judgment, such language should state the expectation of the Congress that IDA and the Bank will undertake in the near future specific, concrete actions, such as ones enumerated in an at- tached outline to my statement, to remedy serious deficiencies in management of natural resources and the environment which have been reliably identified as a matter of record. To summarize, it is difficult to understate the U.S. interest in supporting and promoting the continued and increased effective- ness of IDA. The effectiveness of IDA, however, is seriously dimin- ished in our judgment by two threats: An inadequate seventh U.S. replenishment and inadequate attention in IDA projects to man- agement of the natural resource base on which sustainable econom- ic development indeed depends. Thank you. [Mr. Rich's prepared statement follows:] 1431 TESTIMONY OF BRUCE M. RICH ON BEHALF OF NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL, COUNCIL, INC. NATIONAL WILDLIFE FEDERATION SIERRA CLUB FRIENDS OF THE EARTH I ZAAK WALTON LEAGUE OF AMERICA NATIONAL AUDU BON SOCIETY ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE FUND ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY INSTITUTE CONCERNING THE 7th U.S. REPLENISHMENT OF THE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE WASHINGTON, D.C. ! March 27, 1984 1432 CONTENTS I. Introduction.... 1 II. Poverty, Natural Resources Management and Sustainable Development..... 4 III. Guiding Principles of U.S. Foreign Assistance Policy Include Basic Human Needs, Targeting the Needy, Environment and Natural Resources 6 IV. Importance of I.D.A. and the U.S. Stake in its Effectiveness 9 A. Importance of I.D.A. 9 B. The U.S. Stake in I.D.A. 's Effectiveness. il V. Urgency of the Need for I.D.A. to Adequately Implement Its Policy Commitment to Management of Natural Resources and the Environment. 14 A. The Official Policy Commitment of I.D.A. to Sound Management of Natural Resources and the Environment 14 B. Serious and Growing concern of National Environmental organizations with Evidence of I.D.A. 'a Inadequate Management of Natural Resources and the Environment. 17 C. Need for a congressional Expression of concern to Accompany the I.D.A. Replenishment. 25 VI. Conclusion.. 27 APPENDIX: Outline of Actions to Bring About Improved Natural Resources Management and Conservation in World Bank Programs and Projects 1433 I. Introduction Mr. Chairman, I appreciate very much the opportunity to appear before this Subcommittee concerning authorization of the 7th U.S. replenishment of the International Development Association (I.D.A.). I am Bruce M. Rich, an attorney with the International Project at the Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc. (NRDC). I am testifying on behalf of eight national environmental organizations: the Natural Resources De fen se Council, Inc., the National Wildlife Federation, the Environmental Defense Fund, Friends of the Earth U.S., the Sierra Club, the Izaak Walton League of America, and the National Audubon Society and the Environmental Policy Institute. Together, these organizations have over five million members and supporters in the United States. The Natural Resources Defense Council has over 40,000 members and the National Wildlife Federation 4.1 million members and supporters nationwide. The ..... Environmental Defense Fund has 47,000 members, and Friends of the Earth - U.S., 35,000. The Sierra Club has 380,000 members, the Izaak Walton League of America 45, 000, and the National Audubon Society one half million members. The Environmental Policy Institute is a non-membership research and advocacy organization. These national environmental organizations wish to express their endorsement of U.S. replenishment of the International Development Assocation. The environmental organizations strongly urge a 7th u.s. I.D.A. replenishment which at the very least 34105 1434 would not reduce 1.D.A's resources in real terms. This would mean an annual U.S. contribution of one billion dollars a year for the next three years. our support is based on the conviction that widespread poverty and environmental deterioration in large parts of the developing world are inextricably related and that sustainable economic development is not possible without sound management of natural resources and biological systems. I.D.A. has a pivotal and crucial indeed, perhaps the crucial role within the international system in dealing with these momentous problems. In past hearings before the Congress, the environmental organizations have vigorously criticized the environmental performance of the World Bank and the other multilateral development banks, but always as constructive supporters of what the banks are trying to accomplish. Our criticism and our support is based on the finding that much more multilateral assistance with increased attention to environmental management is necessary to begin to address the overwhelming economic and natural resources problems that plague a large part of our planet. My statement will discuss the interconnection between the alleviation of widespread poverty, natural resources management and sustainable economic development, and then review relevant U.S. foreign assistance policy as set out in multilateral and bilateral aid legislation. The testimony will underscore the central and critical role of I.D.A. in addressing development 1435 problems to which our foreign assistance legislation gives high priority and articulate the important interests the U.S. has at stake in ensuring I.D.A. 's effectiveness. Before concluding, I shall emphasize the concern of the environmental organizations that I.D.A. and the World Bank need to take strong, concrete actions to implement their official policy commitment to natural resources management. This is a matter of the gravest concern for the groups I represent since its continued neglect will risk, in our judgment, the long term effectiveness of I.D.A. 's activities; call into question its ability and will to implement its own policies; and undermine the basis of the support the environmental groups are expressing for I.D.A. today. We wish to make clear, however, our conviction that an inadequate U.S. I.D.A. replenishment will pose the gravest and most immediate risks of all by increasing the probability that hundreds of millions of human beings will continue to destroy for short-term survival the natural resource base on which their long-term sustenance and our long-term security depend. Thus, it is urgent that the Congress authorize a U.S. replenishment that will enable I.D.A. to do its job; and that the Congress, in accompanying report language, strongly express its concern that the World Bank undertake actions to remedy demonstrated deficiencies that undermine the Bank's policy commitments concerning management of natural resources and the environment. 1436 II. Poverty, Natural Resources Management and sustainable Development The gravest and most widespread forms of global environmental deterioration are at the same time underlying causes and consequences of the poverty of hundreds of millions of human beings. In the poorest countries where I.D.A. is often the first and most important source of foreign assistance people on the margin of existence are compelled to destroy the resource base on which future productivity depends. Poverty, in conjunction with, and as as a result of, population growth and skewed economic and social structures has led to massive deforestation, erosion and desertification in large areas of the planet. This ongoing destruction of the carrying capacity of the earth's life-supporting biological systems creates conditions that result in still greater poverty. The four principal biological foundations of the global economy forests, croplands, grasslands, and fisheries are under severe and increasing pressure. In many parts of the world especially the poorest poor land use is destroying the regenerative and sustainable capacity of the environment. Sub-Saharan Africa one of the two main regions for I.D.A. assistance already presents a profoundly frightening example of how far the vicious cycle of poverty and ecological degradation has gone. According to estimates of the United Nations, 55% of 1437 the land area of the African continent and 25% of its population are now threatened by de sertification. Africa's population is growing at a rate which cannot be sustained by its resource base: its population of 430 million will reach 800 million by the turn of the century. As a result, more and more marginal land is cleared and overgrazed; the desert is advancing both north and south at a rate of 100,000 hectares a year. In almost all of sub-Saharan Africa 19 countries the average daily calorie intake is below the level to meet average daily minimum physiological requirements. Not only in Africa, but all over the globe from Nepal to Haiti there are 1.5 billion people whose only fuel is wood, dung or crop wastes and whose immediate physical existence is threatened by deforestation, erosion and de sertification. In the words of the World Conservation Strategy,1/ "For all these people conservation is the only thing between them and at best abject misery, at worst death." The answer to the problems of the hundreds of millions of mostly rural poor in the world's neediest countries is, of course, economic development targeted to remedy their precarious situation. 1/ World Conservation Strategy prepared by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN) with the assistance of the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) and the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), in collaboration with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). 1438 But development can only be sustainable if it is based on sound management and conservation of its natural resource base. The President of the International Development Association reaffirmed this himself in a speech at the beginning of his tenure: in order to be sustainable, development must include vigorous and studied attention to resource management." "For sustainable development and wise conservation are, in the end, mutually reinforcing and absolutely inseparable goals." 27 III. Guiding Principles of U.S. Foreign Assistance Policy Include Basic Human Needs, Targeting the Needy, Environment and Natural Resources Over the past decade the U.S. Congress has enacted legislation which repeatedly and very explicitly has targeted bilateral and multilateral u.s. foreign assistance for programs that add ress the basic human needs of the needy and poor rural majority in developing countries. In addition, U.S. foreign assistance policy has increasingly focused on one of the most critical factors underlying the plight of the poor in the developing world: deterioration of the environment and mismanagement of natural resources. In Section 102 of the Foreign Assistance Act, the Congress 2/ Clausen A.W., "Sustainable Development: The Global Imperative," Fairfield Osborn Memorial Lecture, 1981. 1439 set forth the principles which govern U.S. foreign assistance, stating that "United States development assistance should focus on critical problems in those functional sectors which affect the lives of the major ity of the people in the developing countries; food production and nutrition; rural development and generation of gainful employment; population planning and health; environment and natural resources (Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, Section 102(b)(5)) The same Section states that "participation of the United States in multilateral institutions shall also place appropriate emphasis on these principles. (Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, Section 102(a), emphasis added.) Section 128 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, directed the President in fiscal year 1983 to attempt to use "not less than 40%" of bilateral economic assistance funds "to finance productive facilities goods, and services which will expeditiously and directly benefit those living in absolute poverty (as determined under the standards for absolute poverty adopted by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the International Development Association)." Section 1102 of the International Financial Institutions Act of 1977, as amended, directed the Secretary of the Treasury to consult with the representatives of other member countries of the multilateral development banks "for the purpose of establishing guidelines within each of these institutions which specify that, in a manner consistent with the purposes and charters of these institutions, a specified proportion or annual lending by each institution shall be 1440 designed to benefit needy people, primarily by financing sound, efficient, productive, self- sustaining projects designed to benefit needy people in developing countries, thus helping poor people improve their conditions of life. According to Section 1102(b), 'needy people' means those people living in "absolute" or "relative" poverty as determined by the I.D.A. and the I.B.R.D. In addition, several amendments to the Foreign Assistance Act over the past seven years have authorized and given increasing priority to bilateral assistance for programs to deal with environmental and natural resources problems, especially with respect to deforestation, loss of genetic diversity, watershed management and fuel wood shortages (Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, Sections 118, 119, and 103(b)(3)). 3 In Section 118 of the Foreign Assistance Act, Congress declared that "It is in the economic and security interest of the United States to provide leadership both in thoroughly reassessing policies relating to natural resources and the environment, and in cooperating extensively with developing countries in order to achieve environmentally sound development." Section 118 also set forth requirements for environmental assessment of AID-funded projects. As a result of this policy, AID has become the undisputed leader among bilateral agencies in incorporating environmental concerns into project design, and in funding environmental and conservation-related projects. Clearly, then, one of the most important principles 1441 governing both U.S. bilateral and multilateral assistance in recent years is alleviating the plight of the poorest of the world's poor. The Congress has also determined and acted on the finding that natural resources management is not an adjunct to promoting economic development, but a critical problem on whose resolution sustainable, successful development depends. There is no institution bilateral or multilateral which through its mandate and because of its potential role is better placed to address these challenges than the International Development Association. IV. Importance of I.D.A. and the U.s. Stake in its Effectivess A. Importance of I.D.A I.D.A. is in many respects the most important of all development institutions because it is by far the largest single source of development assistance for the poorest countries on earth. These countries, located mainly in South Asia (including India and China) and sub-Saharan Africa, contain more than half of humanity. At the time of the sixth I.D.A. replenishment in 1980 the U.S. National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies submitted a special Report to the Congress in which it noted that: 1442 "I.D.A. lend ing is designed to reach the poorest countries in which live most of the 800 million persons who exist in absolute poverty. This existence is characterized by na Inutrition, illiteracy, disease, low life expectancy and squalor. While 90 percent of I.D.A. 's resources go to countries with average per capita incomes below $300, the median per capita income of I.D.A. borrowers is only $ 200. This results because wealth is generally concentrated in the urban areas while the major ity of the people in recipient countries are rural. Poverty in I.D.A. countries is also characterized by the past neglect of measures to improve the quality of the human resources of these countries. when the degree of rural poverty and the poor human resource base are added to the generally poor physical resource base of I.D.A. borrowers, the enormous magnitude and urgency of the poverty problem becomes clear. Measures to alleviate poverty in I.D.A. countries will require major efforts in the rural areas. External assistance on appropriate terms can play a vital and ca talytic role in this effort." Since then, the number living in absolute poverty has increased. At the same time, I.D.A. 's real resources have decreased, principally due to U.S. dilatoriness in appropriating in a timely fashion the amounts it had pledged for the 6th replenishment. The poorest countries that are I.D.A. recipients are also the nations suffering from the greatest environmental stress and deterioration. Haiti and Nepal, for example, besides having per capita incomes among the lowest on earth, are also often cited as ca se studies of extreme deforestation and soil erosion. Large parts of sub-Saharan Africa are threatened by desertification to a large degree caused by deforestation and overgrazing. Population and resource use pressures in India and China have 1443 kept these countries perilously close to the brink of ecological and economic disaster. The money I.D.A. disburses has an effect that is much greater than mere dollar amounts would indicate, since in many instances it is the first and principal source of outside economic assistance and technical advice in the need iest countries in the world. Moreover, I.D.A. finances on the average only 44% of the cost of projects, the remainder coming through co-financing arrangements with local or international agencies. I.D.A. serves as a magnet or catalyst to promote additional foreign assistance and investment in the very countries that are most in need of such assistance and investment, I.D.A. 's longer- term effectiveness is especially enhanced through project components with a large multiplier effect such as planning, training, research, technology transfer, and other forms of institution building. Finally, I.D.A. policy dialogue with borrowers can have considerable effect on their development priorities and policies. B. The U.S. Stake in I.D.A. 'S Effectiveness In a world that is more and more interdependent economically, ecologically, and politically - it is difficult to understate the u.s. stake in I.D.A. 's continued and improved effectiveness. 1444 I.D.A. is potentially an optimal vehicle for implementing two of the major, and interconnected guiding principles of bilateral and multilateral (c.f. Section 102, Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended) foreign assistance policy: targeting the basic human needs of the poorest people in the poorest countries, and management and conservation of their environment and natural resources. I.D.A. was established, in fact, in the words of the 1980 Special Report to the President and the Congress of the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies, "largely as the result of international initiatives by the United States undertaken against a background of strong expressions of support within the Congress, in particular Senate Resolution 264, 85th Congress, Second Session." Ensuring the economic and ecological stability of I.D.A. countries is a prime U.S. strategic interest. Seven of the 10 top I.D.A. recipients border on or near the Indian Ocean and have been subject to the efforts of other nations to expand their influence in ways directly opposed to U.S. and Western interests. our trade and economic future is becoming increasingly linked to the fate of I.D.A. recipients, either as sources of raw materials or as potential markets. Extreme poverty and ecological deterioration are part of the same syndrome of underdevelopment in the poorest countries. The resultant endemic social and political instability will present in many cases, sooner or later, a threat to U.S. economic and 1445 political security. When we read of the cost of U.S. assistance to El Salvador or of the expense of dealing with illegal refugees from Haiti, we should also remember that these are the two most eroded and deforested countries in the Western Hemisphere. Haiti, in particular, is the poorest and most deforested country in the Hemisphere and a recipient of I.D.A. assistance. It would be ironic, and almost absurd for the Congress to authorize large foreign aid programs of an emergency nature for Central America and the Caribbean while simultaneously contributing to the risk of future instability in other regions by crippling I.D.A. 's effectiveness. Moreover, U.S. replenishment of I.D.A. is extremely cost- effective in comparison to bilateral aid, since every dollar the U.S. puts in will result in approximately four dollars of I.D.A. assistance and nearly ten dollars of total financing being made available for projects. The u.s. Treasury came to the conclusion in a 1982 study 3 that "continued u.s. participation in the MDBs is justified by a fundamental interest in a more secure and stable world." This statement is all the more true for I.D.A., which focuses its assistance on many of the countries where the risks of future insecurity and instability are greatest. 31 "United States Participation in the Multilateral Development Banks in the 1980's," Department of the Treasury, 1982. 1446 v . Urgency of the Need for I.D.A. to Adequately Implement Its Policy Commitment to Natural Resources and Environmental Management The environmental organizations have underscored in this testimony the critical position that I.D.A. occupies in the international system and the great interest the U.S. has in assuring that I.D.A. effectively carry out its mandate. One condition of I.D.A.'s effectiveness is that it have adequate financial resources to do its job. Another condition and of as crucial importance to I.D.A.'s effectiveness as an adequate 7th replenishment is that I.D.A.-financed development activities do not undermine the longer-term sustainability and stability of the natural and social systems on which they depend. A. The Official Policy Commitment of I.D.A. to Sound Management of Natural Resources and the Environment Over the years, the World Bank has been a leader among multilateral agencies in making policy statements and commitments at the highest level to the principle that economic development cannot be sustainable without, in words uttered by I.D.A. 's president in 1981, "vigorous and studied attention to resource management." This is because, again in the words of the Bank's president, "sustainable development and wise conservation are, in the end, mutually reinforcing - and absolutely inseparable goals." (emphasis added). Similar words were spoken by I.D.A. 's previous president, who took the pathbreaking initiative of 1447 hiring an environmental adviser for the Bank two years before the 1972 Stockholm Conference on the Human Environment. Only one year after the Stockholm Conference, the Bank officially established an office of Environmental Affairs (now known as the Office of Environmental and Scientific Affairs). In 1980 the former president of the Bank publicly endor sed the World Conservation Strategy, a major international development policy statement prepared with the assistance and collaboration of three United Nations agencies and two international non-governmental conservation organizations. The strategy emphasizes that conservation is a prerequisite and sina qua non of sustainable, rational economic development rather than one objective among, or equivalent to, others. It is "that aspect of management which ensures that utilization is sustainable." (emphasis added). In February 1980, the President of the World Bank along with nine other heads of multilateral development agencies signed a joint United Nations "Declaration of Environmental Policies and Procedures Relating to Economic Development." Each institution pledged to endeavor, to the best of its ability, to, among other things: "1. Institute procedures for systematic examination of all development activities, including policies, programs and projects, under consideration for financing to ensure that appropriate measures are proposed . concerning natural re sources and environmental management [i.e., "the principles and recommendations of the (1972 Stockholm) United Nations Conference"]; "2. Enter into cooperative negotiations with governments and relevant international organizations and agencies, to ensure integration of appropriate environmental 1448 measures in the design and implementation of economic development activities; "3. Provide technical assistance, including training, on environmental matters to developing countries, at their request, thus developing their indigeneous capacity, and facilitating technical cooperation between developing countries; "4. Give active consideration and, if appropriate, support project proposals that are specifically designed to protect, rehabilitate, manage or otherwise enhance the human environment, the quality of life, and resources thereto related; "5. Initiate and/or otherwise cooperate in research and studies leading to improvement of project appraisal, implementation and evaluation methodologies, including cost- benefit analysis, of environmental protection measures The full text of the Declaration is reproduced in an annex to this statement. Most recently, on February 24th of this year, representatives of three of the organizations on behalf of whom I appear today met with the President of the Bank and other high level Bank officials. We discussed our support for the Seventh 1.D.A. Replenishment before the Congress and expressed our concern over the Bank's inadequate implementation of its official commitment to environmental and natural resources management. We were pleased to be able to report back to our members that the Bank acknowledged at this meeting that its staff needs to focus more on natural resource management issues. The Bank strongly expressed the need for a direct, broadened and in-depth dialogue with our organizations, starting with a series of meetings with the Bank's vice-presidents. We were also encouraged by the Bank's acknowledgment that more attention needs 1449 to be given to natural resources and environmental management in its policy documents. B. Serious and Growing concern of National Environmental Organizations with Evidence of I.D.A. 's Inadequate Management of Natural Resources and the Environment Last June, the House Banking Subcommittee on International Development Institutions and Finance held special oversight hearings on the environmental aspects of MDB-financed projects. Testimony presented over two days raised serious questions about what the World Bank and other MDBs were doing in the area of natural resources management and consideration of the ecological and sociological conditions necessary for the survival of tribal peoples. The World Bank prepared an extensive response to the testimony. Regrettably, this response did not directly add ress or join, in our judgment, many of the issues and questions raised at the hearings. For example, questions were raised about whether the Bank had enough professionally trained people, either within the Office of Environmental and Scientific Affairs or in other divisions, to adequately and competently address problems of natural resources and ecological management: It was pointed out that the staff of the Office of Environmental and Scientific Affairs appeared to be impossibly small especially with respect to critical pre-project review to carry out the enormous responsibilities that the Bank ascribes to it. Even now, the Director of the Office of 84-045 0-84-92 1450 Environmental and Scientific Affairs of the World Bank has only one ecologically trained person actually involved in identifying environmental problems early in the project cycle. The other persons employed by the office work with the Bank's Economic Development Institute, or focus on developing guidelines for projects of Bank-funded Development Finance Corporations. Testimony also pointed out that there is no evidence that staff in the Bank's regional offices and in the Operations Evaluation Department have sufficient professional training or experience to systematically deal with ecological concerns. The Bank's response to the staffing question was, in effect, a non-respon se: the World Bank, with its Office of Environmental Affairs, is the oldest, largest and most experienced institution dealing with these issues The testimony pointed out that "The World Bank has prepared a series of environmental checklists and guidelines, but there are no procedures and regulations to ensure their systematic use and early integration into project design. Even if the existing optional guidelines were systematically applied, they would be inadequate." One of the reasons why the guidelines, even if used, would be inadequate, is that almost none exist for the Bank's and I.D.A.'s single biggest lending sector : Agriculture and Rural Development. The single checklist that has been prepared in this sector concerns pesticide use, and it does not even mention basic and widely accepted technologies such as integrated pest management. Projects in agriculture and rural development 1451 accounted for nearly 40% of I.D.A. credits in the Bank's Fiscal Year 1 983. The Bank's response to these concerns was the following: "The World Bank has prepared the largest and most comprehensive series of guidelines of any of the development assistance agencies. These guidelines are regularly reviewed, and are updated and expanded as warranted. Many of them are available in French, Spanish, and English. They are widely used by other development organizations throughout the world. Their systematic use and rigorous enforcement would be adequate to ensure that most development projects would not incur serious environmental, health, or sociocultural consequences. (emphasis added). Although this response acknowledges in a roundabout fashion that the guidelines are not systematically used and enforced, there is no indication that the Bank has any plans to do anything about the situation or is even concerned about it. The virtual lack of ecological guidelines for the single most important lending sector is simply ignored in the response . Staffing and procedures, of course, are only means to ensure sound projects and policies. An institution such as the Bank can rightfully point out that in the end its internal administrative priorities and connitments should not be put into question without evidence of inadequacies in the project and policy area. But there is a growing body of evidence that the sustainability of individual projects and whole sector policies is seriously hampered by the Bank's inadequate consideration of natural resources and ecological concerns. 1452 I shall cite just three illustrative examples from some of the research the environmental organizations have been gathering: two projects, and a Bank Policy Paper for an entire sector. In a book pubished by the World Bank in 1982, "I.D.A. in Retrospect: The First TWO Decades of the International Development Association," the Bank describes in some detail the conclusions of a 1980 post-project evaluation conducted by the Operations Evaluations Department. The project an agriculture and irrigation scheme designed to increase rice production around Lake Alaotra in Madagascar was a failure with a probable negative rate of return. Let me state first of all that it is to the Bank's credit and one very important sign of the Bank's institutional commitment to improving its performance that it conducts independent evaluations and occasionally makes negative results public, as in this case. Unfortunately, as this project and project evaluation show, lack of expertise in natural resource management can undermine not only projects, but the Bank's ability to learn from, or even recognize the nature of its mistakes. The evaluation cites "severe technical difficulties in managing difficult peat soils" along with sociological difficulties as the major factors responsible for failure. The "difficulties in managing the peat soils" were compounded by inadequate functioning of the project's irrigation system. A close reading of the nature of the soil management and irrigation 1453 problems reveals that they are linked to what the evaluation report calls "Factors Beyond Human control." "Long standing erosion in the hills near the lake," the evaluation states, "resulted in flooding during the monsoon, but the soils retained very little moisture in the dry season. Rivers and canals silted up, making irrigation ineffective." Mr. Chairman, it has been common knowlege of large parts of humanity for at least 2,500 years that upland erosion, flooding and siltation of downstream rivers and irrigation systems are not only not "beyond human control" but are largely man made and can be at least partly controlled by watershed management and reforestation. It is extremely disturbing that a Bank post-project evaluation conducted in 1980 and publicized in 1982 should so completely ignore the key role that widely known and tested resource mangement techniques could have in preventing similar project failures. I am submitting for the record the full text of the excerpts the Bank has published from the Lake Alaotra project evaluation. The second project in question is the Nepal Settlement Project, involving an IDA credit of $6 million which was disbursed from 1975 through 1982, He re the Operations Evaluation Department (OED) correctly and candidly identified the environmental management problems in the project, which were SO direct and obvious that they would be evident to many non- experts. 1454 The project had the goal of resettling migrants from hill areas of Nepal, in many instances deforested and eroded, into pristine tropical forest areas in the country's lowlands, over 18,000 hectares of which were to be cleared. The timber was to be sold abroad. The Operations Evaluation Department called the project a failure the economic rate of return was one sixth that originally estima ted and the Bank finally cancelled half of the original credit, still unspent, only in late 1982. One of the main reasons for the project's failure was a change in Nepalese government policy concerning conservation and exports of scarce timber resources. In fact, in 1976, only months after the initiation of the project, the Nepalese government, alarmed by indications of accelerating nation-wide deforestation, shifted to an official policy of conservation of all remaining forested areas. The Nepalese restricted and then banned all exports of unfinished and semi-finished hardwood, and withdrew active support for this forest clearing, timber export and resettlement scheme. But the project continued without even minimal attention being paid to the serious environmental risks of uncontrolled deforestation, erosion and flooding which were identified as early as 1974. Let me cite the analysis of the Bank's Project Performance Audit Report on the seriousness of these concerns: " The river system in large portions of the Terai is extremely unstable, changing course with every flood and threatening human settlements within a considerable distance 1455 from existing river beds. where the surrounding areas are still covered with forest, the floods are much less destructive. De forestation thus tends to greatly increase the erosive impact of floods and, indeed, the probability of floods occurring. It was expected under the project that these concerns would be taken into account in the siting of villages and of fields and tracks and that protective forest would be preserved where required However, "during project implementation all trees were felled. Suitable conservation methods have not been introduced to compensate for the removal of tree crops. "Areas were completely clearfelled regardless of the slope of the land, posing erosion hazards after removal of the stumps and creating a future shortage of firewood after the stumps are used up. The conflict between agricultural interests and wildlife preservation remains un resolved." Recent Nepalese Forestry Department estimates express great concern about the deforestation and ecological mismanagement that has been unleashed in the area of the Bank project, predicting that the entire Terai region will be deforested within 20 years. The areas that are currently settled have gone in a few years from pristine forest to the prospect of fuelwood shortages, and a relatively recent Bank mission suggested that a Terai Reforestation project be identified to address the problems caused by the deforestation in which the Bank had a role in promoting. The last example I wish to cite is the world Bank Fishery Sector Policy Paper, issued in December 1982. Bank sector policy papers have great importance for the sustainable management of the natural resources, on which successful long-term economic development depends. This is not only because of the large 1456 amounts disbursed in Bank and I.D.A. lending, but, more importantly, because of the policy influence the Bank exercises in borrower countries. Thus, the organizations I represent find it extremely disturbing that the paper either fails to mention key and widely accepted principles of fisheries management or refers to them only in an indirect or overly general way. The crisis in world fisheries caused by widespread overexploitation is not addressed, and widely used fishery management concepts such as maximum sustainable yield and an ecosystem conservation standard are not mentioned. More importantly, the Fishery Policy Paper expresses no clearly stated commitment on the Bank's part to taking specific actions in its project, country, and sector planning, and policy dialogue with member governments to ensure that ecologically sound management measures needed to assure sustained fishery production are effectively carried out. The paper was prepared by the Bank's Agriculture and Rural Development Department and reflects an apparent lack of any substantial input or review by marine biologists and fisheries management experts. Accompanying my statement is a letter from eight national and international environmental organizations to the President of the Bank requesting a revision of the Fishery Policy Paper so that it will incorporate the most basic principles of sustainable management. A detailed critique of the Fishery Paper, with specific references, is also attached. During our meeting with the President and other high level 1457 officials of the Bank last February 24th, we were pleased to hear a forthright acknowledgment on the Bank's part that the Fishery Sector Policy Paper was seriously inadequate, and that our comments were welcomed as constructive suggestions which the Bank will actively consider implementing. One high level Bank official stated outright that the Fishery Paper was "clearly" a failure in its treatment of resources management and that he "subscribe(a) to the suggestions [we] made to the Bank." Thus, we look forward to some indication of specific actions the Bank plans to take to remedy the serious deficiencies it acknowledges to exist in the Fishery Paper. Up to now, however, we have not received a response from the Bank which reflects the substance of the comments which were made to us on this matter. . C. Need for a congressional Expression of concern to Accompany the I.D.A. Replenishment In this testimony. I have only been able to give isolated examples of what the environmental organizations perceive to be widespread neglect by the Bank of crucial natural resource and ecological concerns. The Bank in its responses so far has done nothing either to directly answer many of the questions we have raised, or to give substantive, factual indications and evidence of concrete actions to remedy de ficiencies. We have prepared a brief "Outline of Actions to Bring About Improved Natural Resources Management and conservation in World 1458 Bank Programs and Projects," which also accompanies this statement. Many of these suggested actions directly reflect the specific pledges made in the 1980 "Declaration on Environmental Policies and Procedures Relating to Development" signed by the President of I.D.A. We believe that I.D.A's role and effectiveness is so important to the world and to U.S. interests that the Congress should strongly express, in the report language accompanying authorization of the 7th U.S. I.D.A. replenishment, its concern that I.D.A. 's effectiveness in carrying out its tasks is constrained by inadequate consideration of natural resources and environmental management. In our judgment, such language should state the expectation of the Congress that I.D.A. and the Bank will undertake forthwith, specific, concrete actions, such as the ones enumerated in the attached "Outline, " to remedy serious deficiencies in natural resources and environmental management which have been reliably identified as a matter of record. Our recent meeting with the President of the Bank and other high level officials was encouraging in that the Bank expressed its strong desire for a continuing dialogue on these concerns, starting with a series of meetings to be arranged with the Bank's vice-presidents. We were disturbed, however, by indications at the meeting that the main issue at stake for the Bank was more one of our "perception" of what the Bank was doing rather than a real question of substance. Our statements last June before the House Banking Subcommittee on International Development 1459 Institutions and Finance and parts of the Bank's response to that testimony indicate, however, that there are glaring, irrefutable, inconsistencies between the Bank's official environmental policy statements and its actual performance in both project and sector work. It is not unusual for large institutions such as the Bank to encounter delays and bureaucratic obstacles to fully implementing sincere policy commitments made over several years at the highest level. The environmental organizations I represent today think that the Bank's pledges on environmental policies and procedures relating to development represent a real commitment to concrete actions, since otherwise the Bank's central mission of sustainable development will be tragically undermined. We believe in the proposition that "sustainable development and wise conservation are not only mutually reinforcing, but absolutely inseparable goals.' Thus, continued evidence of systematic absence of effective measures to implement this principle in the Bank in the future will lead us to have serious doubts about that institution's long-term effectiveness and create pressures within our constituencies to seriously question the value of U.S. financial support for I.D.A. and the I.B.R.D. VI. CONCLUSION The poverty of nearly half of humanity in the poorest nations may be, after nuclear war, the single greatest threat to 1460 the economic, ecological and political future of the globe. The destruction of life-sustaining ecological systems for short-term survival is one of the most important effects and causes in the vicious circle of increasing impoverishment in which many of the neediest nations are trapped. The mandate and role of the International Development Association make it the unique and indispensable linchpin of all international efforts to address these problems, on which the fate of the world literally depends. No U.S. bilateral program can begin to match its potential cost-effectiveness, since every dollar the U.S. invests in I.D.A. will eventually result in nine extra dollars invested in in-country projects. Increased contributions to I.D.A. today may save the U.S. a great deal by reducing the need for expensive and less efficient emergency bilateral aid programs in other parts of the world tomorrow. Thus, it is difficult to understate the U.s, interest in promoting the continued and increased effectiveness of I.D.A. The effectiveness of I.D.A. is seriously menaced by two threats: an inadequate 7th u.s. replenishment, and inadequate attention in I.D.A. projects to management of the natural resource base, on which sustainable development depends. The environmental organizations strongly endorse a 7th U.S. replenishment, which, as which, as a bare minimum, will not gravely reduce I.D.A.'s resources in real terms. This would mean an annual U.S. contribution of at least one billion dollars a year for the next 1461 three years. The Administration's request of $ 750 million a year not to speak of a lesser authorization indicates a tragic shortsightedness concerning the underlying causes of important long-term threats to global and U.S. security. The environmental organizations wish to recall that a U.S. replenishment of one billion dollars a year would represent an investment for this county of approxima tely 50 cents a year in each person living in the neediest countries, or an annual investment by each U.S. citizen of roughly 5 3/4 cents in the human welfare and ecological future of half the planet. Our decendants may not forgive us if we decide, with all the information and evidence we have available in the late 20th century, that this is too much to pay. We think it is equally essential that the Congress express its concern that inadequate measures by the World Bank to deal with the ecological deterioration which forms a link in the vicious cycle of poverty will tragically undermine I.D.A. 's mission and raise serious doubts about the Bank's will and ability to implement its own policy commitments. Continued neglect by the Bank of effective natural resource and environmental management is contrary to U.S. bilateral Foreign assistnace policy and to long term u.s. security interests. It is contrary to the interests of the poor in developing countries and contradicts the high level policy commitments made by the Bank itself for more than a decade. 1462 Outline of Actions to Bring About Improved Natural Resources Management and conservation in World Bank Programs and Projects I. INCREASE STAFF ING A. Add qualified staff to the Office of Environmental and Scientific Affairs (DESA) which does not have adequate personnel to handle its current responsibilities. B. Increase qualified personnel trained in natural resources management in the regional offices and in both country projects and programs departments. C. Streamline procedures to ensure that qualified experts are hired out of project budgets when OESA or regional office staff identify the need for natural resources specialists. II. GIVE GREATER PRIORITY TO FINANCING SOUND NATURAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT PROJECTS AND PROJECT COMPONENTS SUCH AS: A. Watershed management for all projects that depend on it, including hydroelectric and agricultural schemes. B. Small-scale forestry, including fuelwood lots, village forestry and agroforestry. C. Restoration of productivity of lands degraded by deforestation, waterlogging and salinization. D. Population and family planning. E. Sanitation and public health. F. Inclusion of forestry and integrated pest management in agriculture and rural development projects when feasible, with particular attention to safeguards to prevent pesticide misuse. G. Conservation of wetlands, estuaries, mangrove swamps, coral reefs and other important fish breeding habitats in all projects affecting coastal zones. H. Conservation of pristine natural areas in national parks and other protected areas to prevent the loss of genetic diversity and preserve the future biological capital of borrower countries. I. Investment in alternative energy such as solar and geothermal projects. 1463 III. ENSURE GREATER ATTENTION TO LONG-TERM NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND MANAGEMENT IN ECONOMIC AND SECTOR POLICY AND RESEARCH ' A. Include natural resources expertise in preparation of sector policy papers, country economic memoranda, CPPS and other policy documents, B. Incorporate natural resources concerns and expertise in each stage in the Bank's policy dialogues with borrowing countries. c. Conduct operational research to revise the analytical framework used to calculate benefits and costs of use and management of natural resources. IV. IMPROVE INSTITUTIONAL INCENTIVES FOR GREATER ATTENTION TO SOUND NATURAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT A. Add, as a significant factor in evaluation of job performance of Bank staff and in their career advancement, the demonstration of full consideration of natural resources conservation and management. B. Require Vice Presidents of the Regions and of the Operations Policy Staff (OPS) to prepare regular reports (e.g., bi-monthly) on their progress in implementing all of the above. 1464 DECLARATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES AND PROCDURE & SLATING TO ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 1 WHEREAS, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT IS ESSENTIAL TO THE ALLEVATION OF MAJOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS BY PROVIDING FOR AN INTEGRAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SOCIETIES AND THE ENVIRONMENT, REALIZING ALSO THAT ECONOMC DEVELOPMENT AND SOCIAL GOALS SHOULD BE PURSUED IN SUCH A MANNER AS TO AVOID QR MINIMIZE ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS PECULIAR TO IT, RECOGNIZING THAT, THE MAJOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS OF THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ARE NOT NECESSARILY OF THE SAME XATURE AS THOSE OF DEVELOPED COUNTRIES IN THAT THEY ARE PROBLEMS WHICH OFTEN RELECT THE IMPACTS OF POVERTY WHICH NOT ONLY AFTECTS THE QUALITY OF LIFE BOT LIFE ITSEL. CONVINCED, THAT IN THE LONG RUN ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT ARE NOT ONLY COMPATIBLE BUT INTERDEPENDENT AND MOTUALLY RONSORCONG. ACKNOWLEDGING, THAT THE NEED FOR ENVIRONMENTALLY SENSITIVE AND RESPONSIBLE DEVELOPMENT HAS BECOME MORE IMPORTANT AND URGENT IN UGHT OF INCREASING POPULATION AND CONCOMITANT PRESSURES ON THE EARTH'S RESOURCES AND LTE-SUPPORTING ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS IN SOME AREAS. ACKNOWLEDGING, THE SOVEREIGN RIGHT OF GOVERNMENTS TO DETERMINE THEIR OWN PRIORITIES AND DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS. RECALLING, THAT THE STATES WHICH ADOPTED THE DECLARATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON THE HUMAN ENVIRONMENT (STOCKHOLM, 1972) STATED THEIR COMMON CONVICTION (PRINCIPLE 25) THAT THEY WILL ENSURE THAT THE INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS PLY A CO-ORDINATED, FFICIENT AND DYNAMIC ROLE IN THE PROTECTION AND IMPROVEMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENT, 1465 CONSIDERING, FURTHERMORE, THAT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANT INSTITUTIONS HAYE, ALONG WITS THE MEMBER GOVERNMENTS. A RESPONSIBILITY TO 2NSURE THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE ECONOMC DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES FINANCED BY THEM, THE BORE, THE UND DESIGN DECLARED THAT THE LE RLATTORM THEIR SUPPORT FOR THE PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR ACTION OF THE UNITED NATONS CONFLYCS WILL, TO THE IST OF THE ABILITIES, ANDEAVOUR 70: ie INUOTE PROCEDURES FOR SYSTEMATIC EXAMINATION OP AL DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES CLUDING POLICI, PROGRAMM AND PROJECTS UNDER CONSULATION FOR FINANCING TO ENSURE T&AT APPROPRIATE MEASURES ARE PROPOSED FOR COMPLIANCE WIT: SEGMON I ABOVE 2 ME TO CO-OPERATIVE NEGOTIATIONS WITH GOVERNMENTS AND LELYANT NATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND AG@YCISS, 20 DYSCAS!EGRATION OF APPROPRIATI OMVIRONMENTAL MEASURES IN THE DESIGN AND IMPLEMEYTATION OF ECONOMIC DEYSLOPMYT ACT.SS: 2 OVDE TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE, NCLUDING TRAINING, ON ENVIRONMENT.LL HATTERS TO DEVELOPING COUNTRIE. AT TH2R LEQUEST, THUS DEVELOPING THEIR INDI GEYZO OS CAPACT, AND FACULTATING TECHNICAL COOPERATION BETWEEN DEVELOPING COUNT: GYE ACTIVE CONJO BRATION AND, I APPROPRIATE SUPPORT PROJECT PROPOSALS THAT ARE SPECIALLY DESIGNED TO PROTEC., REHABIL TATE MANAGE OR OTHERYE FLANCE THE HUMAN ETVIRONMENT, THE QUALIT? OF LIFE AND 2SSOURCES :: STO SLATV DITATE AND/OR OTHERWISZ CO-OPERATION RESEARCH AND STUDIES LEADING TO MPROVEET OF PROJECT. APPRAKSAL IMPLEMENTATION AND VALUATION LETHODOLOGIES, INCLUDING COST-JENEFIT ANALYSIK. OF YVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION HEASURE 34-045 0-84-93 1466 6. SUPPORT THE TRAINING AND INFORMING OF OPERATIONAL STAFF IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL DIMENSION OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; .7. PREPARE, PUBLISE AND DISSEMINATE DOCUMENTATION AND AUDIO-VISUAL MATERIAL PROVIDING GOWANCE ON THE ENVIRONMENTAL DIMENSION OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES ADOPTED AT NEW YORK ON I FEROARY 1980. TEE AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK Xwme Danker Pardwar Pudd cat THE ARAB BANK FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN AFRICA Chadu Ayari President THE ASIAN DEVELOPMEYT BANK Turoichi Yoshida President THE CARBBEAN DEVELOPMENT BANK William Dom Pradidaat THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK Antonio Ortiz Mona President 1467 THE WORLD BANK Bobas S. MeNam Proton THE COMMISSION OF THE LOROPEAN COMMUNITIES Roy Jokes President THE ORGANIZATION OF AMERICAN STATUS Alaedro OrrILA ary-Generai SE ONIT XATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGLIMME Bradford Marne Administrator THE ONITID NATIONS STVORONME PROGRAMME Harga K. Talba Buty Director 1468 Lake Alaotra: A Failure in the Paddy Fields In 1970, Madagascar signed an agreement for a $5 million IDA credit for the irrigation of 12,000 hectares around Lake Alaotra. An IDA team calculated that rice production on this area could possibly triple in 10 vears. Production, it was felt. could also be increased by double cropping rice or encour- aging farmers to plant fodder and other crops after the rice harvest. In 1980, five years after the project was completed, an independent evaluation team from the Bank concluded that few of the original objectives were accomplished. Rice pro- duction was up only 14 percent; farm incomes had barely increased, while inequities in wealth had grown, adding to social tensions. The project's rate of retum, calculated initialk at 11 percent, and estimated at completion at 22 percent as the price of rice boomed worldwide, actually may prove to be negative. The project, in short, made "no significant contribution" to the economy of Madagascar and its 9 million people. Too much focus was placed on irrigation development, and broader responsibilities for the development of the Lake Alaotra re- gion were neglected. The project suffered from severe tech- nical problems in managing difficult peat soils. Most seri- ously, the project increased tension and disrupted traditional ties and disciplines, at a time of couninwide political and social turmoil. The area's traditional inhabitants resented the distribuuon of land to outsiders. Traditional values of sharing and village cooperation have been eroded, and dependence on the government increased. The evaluation report listed other detailed factors contributing to the failure of the proj. ect, among them: system did not produce the water required to plant secondary crops. Double cropping of rice turned out to be technically impossible, as no suitable short-cycle va- rieties could be developed. Farmers preferred to graze cattle on rice stubble, rather than raising fodder crops, so that the pilot cattle-fattening component of the project did not work either. Faulți Design and Execution. Canals were dug lower than the fields they were meant to irrigate: in peat soils they sank even deeper. In rainted areas, some marshy land was reclaimed but excessive drainage destroyed the peat soils and accelerated weed growth. When peas- ants attempted to eradicate weeds by burning, the peat soils often caught fire, further reducing productivity. Farmers complained of receiving less water than before, and yields in many areas have actually dropped. . Institutional Weakness. The project's executing agency did not possess the technical and managerial resources required to implement a major project. Furthermore, because of low vields, farmers were unwilling to repay land recovery charges. Their arrears rose from 41 per- cent of their annual charges to 91 percent in five years. Without these revenues, the project agency was unable to maintain the irrigation works and provide the needed extension services. Inadequate Superi'ision. With more frequent and inten. sive supervision as an input to the management process, the project might have avoided some of the pitfalls. More supervision expertise by IDA, for instance, might have led to a resolution of the peat soil issues. Factors beyond Human Control. Longstanding erosion in the hills near the lake resulted in flouding during the monsoon, but the soils retained very little moisture in i the dry season. Rivers and canals silted up, making ir- rigation ineffective. Wrong Assumptions. The appraisal report overestimated the supply of labor available in the area. Migrant labor had to be used during critical peak periods of rice cul- tivation, namely at transplanting and harvest time. But this labor supply proved unreliable. Some of these prob- lems have been eased by permanent immigration into the project area, but this had added to social tensions and other problems. • Unrealistic Goals. Cultivation of an off-season crop never succeeded because poor management of the irrigation While the project may achieve some increase in rice pro- duction, it will not be because of good project design. Rather, other unintended consequences-immigration, population growth, and intensive cultivation for subsistence rather than cash will be responsible. However, there are plans to re- habilitate the scheme and strengthen the project agency as a part of a general effort to increase production in the region. 1469 NATIONAL WILDLIFE FEDERATION 1412 Sixteenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. NATIONAL 20036 2024-797-6800 March 27, 1984 TM WILOLIFE FEDERATION Statement of the National Wildlife Federation Concerning the Seventh U.S. Replenishment of the International Development Association Before the Subcommittee on International Economic policy of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations The National Wildlife Federation submits this statement to express support for the 7th Replenishment of the International Development Association, on the condition that the World Bank undertake in the near future measures to adequately implement its official policy commitment to sound natural resources management. The National Wildlife Federation (NWF) is the nation's largest conservation organization, with over 4 million members and supporters. The Federation is dedicated to the wise use of natural resources and believes that appropriate use and management of natural resources underlies sustainable economic development. We are providing assistance to conservation organizations, forming all over the developing world, which we hope will lead to a growing constituency for natural resource management and conservation in each country. One of our goals is to build an awareness that conservation is basic to development and not a luxury. This month at the annual meeting of the Federation our 51 state and territorial affiliates unanimously passed a. 1470 resolution calling upon the World Bank and other multilateral banks to carry out their responsibility to build conservation into all their programs and projects. A copy of this resolution is attached to this statement. Our concerns include extinction of wildlife, loss of soil productivity, salinization of agricultural soils, erosion, and pesticide abuse, which are just a few of the environmental. problems the Third World faces today. These problems stem from the rapid development which has taken place in these countries, often without consideration of environmental ramifications. Such unsound development not only affects local environmental quality and human welfare, but global natural resources and worldwide economic, social, and political stability as well. The ecological stability of the Third World is heavily influenced by multilateral development banks (MDBS) especially the World Bank. These institutions provide funding for projects in such environmentally sensitive areas as agriculture, electric power generation, industry, and transportation. World Bank projects are frequently implemented without adequate consideration of their environmental effects. But perhaps even worse, some projects fail to produce expected economic benefits because their planning failed to include sound resource management. Lack of environmental planning has been a significant factor in the failure of IDA projects in Madagascar and Nepal. Large-scale agriculture projects involving intensive pesticide use have created serious human health and environmental hazards. In the Sudan, resistant 1471 strains of insects are appearing in IDA project areas, threatening the economic value of the projects. The World Bank does not have adequate procedures or staff to address these environmental factors in the project planning process. The local impacts of unsound development projects are readily apparent. The long-term global effects are perhaps less immediately obvious but may ultimately be more costly. Razed tropical moist forests, and habitat loss throughout the world, reduce global biological diversity and therefore eliminate untapped natural resources. Pesticides used in developing countries contaminate food exported to the developed world and poison migratory wildlife. Erosion of the natural resource base in the Third World may have serious long-term consequences for global stability. In February of 1980, the chief executives of the major multilateral development banks, including the World Bank, signed a joint "Declaration of Environmental Policies and Procedures Relating to Economic Development." In this document, the executives pledged that their institutions would include environmental assessment and evaluation in their project planning procedures. They also pledged to support projects designed to protect and enhance environmental quality and natural resources. It is apparent, however, that in over four years there has been little improvement in policy or practices. NWF strongly believes that long-term, sustainable economic development is not possible without sound environmental manage- ment and conservation. Therefore, though we support the 1472 7th U.S. replenishment of IDA, our support is conditioned on the expectation that the World Bank will undertake in the near future actions to implement its policy commitment to sound natural resources management. Some of the needed measures are described in the outline which accompanies Mr. Rich's statement on behalf of a number of national environmental organizations. We request that the Congress express its concern about the World Bank's implementation of its environmental policy in language accompanying the 7th U.S. IDA replenishment. 1473 NATIONAL WILDLIFE FEDERATION 1412 Sixteenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 202_-797-6800 اندازه TM Resolution No. 17 MULTI-LATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS AND NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION WHEREAS, the Vaited States is the single most important donor to such international institutions as the World Bank, the Inter-American Develop- nent Bank and the Asian Development Bank (known as multi-lateral develop- ment banks (MDBs ]); and WHEREAS, one of the main purposes of these banks is to assist the economic betterment of less developed countries and help to raise the standard of liviag of their peoples by such projects as road and dam building, clearing of tropical rain forest for mono-cultures and farn developments; and WHEREAS, conservation and sound management of natural resources are vital to long-term sustainable economic development, in such areas as soil, watershed and fisheries management and prevention of deforestation and desertification, public health and conservation of genetic resources; aad WHEREAS, the chief executives of each of the multi-lateral development banks declared that "in the long run environmental protection and economic and social development are not only compatible but interdepeаdent and mutually reinforcing" and that "international development assistance institutions have a responsibility to ensure the sustainability of the economic development activities financed by them;" and WHEREAS, each of these banks pledged in the United Nations "New York Declaration" of Febrary, 1980, to: "easure integration of appropriate environmental measures in the design and implementation of economic development activities;" support natural resources conservation and man- agement projects; support training of both bank and borrowing-country personnel in environmental areas; and to systematically examine all development activities to ensure compliance with the conservation princi- ples and recommendations of the United Nation's Conference on the Human Environment (Stockholm, 1972); and WHEREAS, although the World Bank has been a leader in beginning to implement this pledge, aevertheless, none of the MDBs has made the ade- quate staffing, policy and procedural commitment necessary to fulfill its obligations under the New York Declaration; and WHEREAS, the actual progress of the MDBs in meeting the goals of the New York Declaration has been the subject of special Congressional over- sight hearings and of an investigation by the U.S. Treasury Department; and 1474 WHEREAS, improvement in living standards of many developing countries, through ecologically sustainable programs, for example in Central America, has implications for the national security of the United States; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the National Wildlife Federation, in annual meeting assembled March 15-18, 1984, in Atlanta, Georgia, calls upon the multi-lateral development banks to fulfill the pledge they made in the New York Declaration; and BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the National Wildlife Federation calls upon the United States Government, through the Treasury Department, to use its voice and vote, on the Board of Directors of each bank, to vigor- ously promote: 1) sound natural resources management policies and proj- ects to complement long-term economic goals; and 2) internal changes within the banks concerning leading procedures, shaping of economic development strategy, and appropriate staffing levels, to enable the banks to carry out the pledge of the New York Declaration. 1475 NATIONAL WILDLIFE FEDERATION 1412 Sixteenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 202-797-6800 TM EDERAT June 28, 1983 Statement of Barbara J. Bramble On Behalf of the National Wildlife Federation before the Subcommittee on International Development Institutions & Finance of the House Banking Committee Environmental Impacts of Projects and Policies of the Multilateral Development Banks On behalf of the National Wildlife Federation, I am pleased to have the opportunity to appear today, to discuss the environ- mental aspects of the activities of the multilateral lending institutions. These are major international institutions charged with development assistance to poor nations. Their roie is to lend money at preferential rates for projects and programs which should provide the basis for the gradual improvement of the standard of living of developing nations. But frequently, the unintended consequences of many of these projects actually make the situation worse for the very people they are trying to help. The reasons for this are many, and would require a long discussion of development theory to uncover. But one of the reasons for the difficulties and failures of many development projects, as well as entire programs, is the lack of under- standing among planners of how natural resource systems function. In many instances the planners apparently fail to recognize the 4inth HIVUAL MEETING HAPCH 15-18, 198+ Omni !acernational Hotel Atlanta, Georgia no/ 1476 real opportunities and constraints in which the projects must operate. It is this subject which we have come to discuss today. : The National Wildlife Federation (NWF) is the nation's largest conservation organization, with over 4.2 million members and supporters. The Federation is dedicated to the wise use of natural resources. The NWF International Program was formed because we believe that appropriate use and management of natural resources underlies sustainable economic development. We are providing assistance to conservation organizations, forming all over the developing world, which we hope will lead to a growing constituency for natural resource management and con- servation in each country. One of our goals is to build an awareness that conservation is basic to development and not a luxury. Currently, we are learning from our colleagues in other countries that this process of awareness building is complicated by the entrenched, traditional development thinking of influential international organizations, including the multilateral development banks (MDBS). For example, a bank's country programme paper may be used by the local government as its development strategy and major planning tool. Yet this document may contain little information or analysis of the status of the natural resource base of the country or the proper role of resource management in the overall development plan. In addition, the decisions of the MDBs pave the way for other, perhaps even larger, investments by commercial banks, in the same or related projects. The 1477 presence of the MDBs provides investment confidence. Therefore, the influence of the MDBs on development thinking, and directly on natural resources, goes way beyond the dollar amounts actually invested by them. We are concerned because we are seeing important decisions being made without necessary information about their consequences. These decisions are adversely affecting millions of people as well as the natural environment. NWF wants to make very clear that we believe in the necessity of economic development in the less developed countries. Improvement in the standard of living for these nations is just as crucial for the long-term conservation of natural resources, as sound resource management is to sustainable development. So we are seeking to improve the chances of success for long-term development, not to stop it. We believe that if the development programs of the MDBs can be directed toward sound resource manage- ment and appropriate technology, they will influence other lenders in that direction as well. Let us discuss a few specific examples to illustrate some of the current problems, and then we would like to recommend improvements. Water Projects One category of projects which cause serious problems is large scale water projects for irrigation and hydroelectric power production. These projects have been, and probably still are, conceived and carried out without full appreciation of the constraints of the predominantly tropical ecosystems in which 34-045 0-84-94 1478 they are located. The litany of unintended consequences of many of these projects is familiar and will be elaborated in more detail by others today. But I will outline a few of the more serious impacts that have been experienced. Irrigation schemes cause severe environmental impacts and social disruption. By their nature they interrupt the seasonal pattern of river flooding in which rich silts are deposited to renew the lands' fertility. Often thousands of people are forcibly moved to less productive land to continue subsistence farming, while the better land is converted to mechanized mono- cultures. Even if the people are allowed to stay, the scheme 1/ may support fewer families than already farmed the region. If the irrigation scheme is designed for the production of export crops instead of food, the net nutritional status of the region may actually decrease. Converting subsistence farms to monocultures increases their vulnerability to pests, and 2/ initiates the treadmill of mass applications of pesticides. Hundreds of thousands of irrigated acres are losing productivity due to waterlogging and salinization because of inadequate drainage, for example in India and Pakistan. IT See description of the Rahad project, in The World Bank by Cheryl Payer, pp. 281-2. 2/ Instead of investigating the utility of integrated pest management and the intercropping system used for years by local farmers, the World Bank has shackled all participants in the irrigation schemes to rigid regimes of specific seeds, fertilizers and pesticides. These rules are enforced by the power to withhold credit and insurance. The Diama Dam project in Senegal allows only commercial rice, the Rahad project, cotton and groundnuts. The latest develop- ments at a similar cotton project in the Sudan, called Gezira, should be an expensive warning. (See p. 7 below). 1479 Downstream water quality is reduced due to lack of dissolved oxygen, pesticide contamination and lower flows. This adversely affects river and coastal fisheries which are often principal sources of protein. Hydroelectric power reservoirs usually occupy large areas of bottomlands. In some cases the project inundates the only fertile farmland for miles around. The two dams planned for the Artibonite Valley in Haiti will flood land that could feed up to 60,000 people. Several projects have flooded major parts of the homeland of entire tribes of indigenous peoples, as did the Bayano Dam in Panama. The Volta River project in Ghana flooded 80,000 people from their homes. Since most land suitable for crop production is already under cultivation, the residents must be moved to more marginal areas. In other cases, the reservoirs flood important tracts of tropical forests, which may contain potentially valuable species, found nowhere else; Panama's Bayano Dan is an example. . And ironically, the resulting power production is not available to rural people, but is carried out of the region for urban and industrial uses. Reservoirs covering tropical moist forests are prone to severe water quality degradation due to decay of the forest 3/ vegetation over a period of perhaps decades. Thus, reservoir fisheries may not develop as a source of protein to compensate for that which was inundated. 37 Lake Brokopondo in Surinam is the classic case, in which hydrogen sulphide was produced by the decaying vegetation, causing workers at the dam to wear gas masks for two years. The lake water was acidified in this process, corroding the dam's machinery. 1480 One of the most dismaying consequences of many of these projects has been the major increase in debilitating diseases, such as shistosomiasis and onchocerciasis, among the people living along the banks of the reservoirs or canals. Disease rates have reached 70 and 80 percent of these populations in Africa, and the problem is growing in Latin America. Another effect is common, but not as direct: shifting cultivators, forced out of the bottomlands (if the area was populated). or else entering the area for the first time via access roads to the project, move up onto the surrounding hill- sides to cut forests and grow crops as best they can. Bare hillside plots, subjected to tropical rain and sun, erode quickly and lose their fertility. The farmers must move on, to continue the deforestation process. Meanwhile silt accumulates in the reservoirs, and damages power generation machinery or irrigation works. The project life may be shortened, the forest, fisheries and soil resource base of the region is degraded, and the food production potential for the 4/ people of that area does not improve, and perhaps declines. Unless the end use of the electricity, or the irrigation water is labor-intensive industry or agriculture, it is hard to see the benefits to justify the natural resource destruction. 47 The World Bank has begun to consider this factor in its project planning and has recently required setting aside watershed protection areas as national parks and forest reserves to reduce deforestation. This has been done in Colombia at the Guavio nydro project, and in the Phillipines in the Pantabangan and Magat watersheds. 1481 But often the result is mechanized monocultures, mostly of export crops such as cotton in Senegal and the Sudan, or industries which can employ only trained, and often foreign, labor such as the aluminum smelter subsidized by Ghana's Volta River project. And the monocultures may not be sustainable, as illustrated by the Gezira irrigation scheme in the Sudan. There, pesticide use to protect the cotton crop has so unbalanced the natural system of insect predators (requiring more and more pesticides) that the cost of imported chemicals now exceeds the foreign exchange earned by the cotton. This cotton program has been the cornerstone of the economy of the Sudan. The World Bank has put almost $6 billion into hydro dams between 1980 and 1982, and almost $1 billion into irrigation and drainage in 1982 alone. The IDB spent half a billion dollars on hydroelectric power in each of 1981 and 1982. Current plans, apparently, are to continue this process. Cattle Ranching For this category of loans, the benefits are even more difficult to discern. Both the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) have put considerable sums of money into cattle production, particularly in Central America and Brazil. They have made loans to finance cattle ranches, construct beef packing plants and protect livestock against diseases. Lending for livestock operations has been the single most important type of credit activity in the agriculture sector, 1482 according to the World Bank's policy paper on agricultural credit in 1975. Between 1971 and 1977 the World Bank and the IDB provided more than $1 billion to Latin America for these purposes. Most of the livestock loans go toward the develop- ment of large ranches. This beef is being produced for export, much of it to the United States. The environmental and social consequences of these projects are almost all adverse. Much of the expansion is taking place on land that is not suitable for cattle grazing. Instead, tropical forests are being cut down, on a huge scale, and converted to grasslands 47 for a short period of years. Many of these projects must be abandoned within 10 years .Grassland productivity of these soils is extremely low, permitting yields as low as 22 pounds of beef per hectare per year. By contrast, intensive agro-forestry techniques could produce thousands of pounds of corn and other 5/ vegetables per hectare per year, on a sustainable basis. In other cases, where tropical forests are not being cut down, preferential credit for cattle operations is encouraging the conversion of the limited supplies of fertile cropland to cattle production. Yet the region's per capita beef consumption 47 Tropical forest soils are, by and large, infertile. The nutrients reside principally in the tree cover itself, and are quickly recycled from fallen leaves and branches back into living trees. So when the forest is cut and burned, the nutrients in the ashes, and the top inch or so of soil, can be used for only a few years until they leach out or wash away in heavy rains. 5/ Nations, James D. and Daniel J. Komer, "Immigrants and Beef Exports: Deforestation in Central America", Cultural Survival Quarterly, Spring 1982, p. 10. 1483 is actually declining, so there is no benefit to the majority of the population. Farmworkers, displaced as cropland is turned into pasture, must seek out marginal lands, often tropical forests and hillsides, to grow food. This adds to the destructive impact of direct forest conversion, especially degradation of watersheds and remaining tropical forest habitat. In addition, cattle ranching requires very little labor, so it contributes to already massive unemployment or underemployment. Many factors combine to indirectly encourage the expansion of cattle ranching in Central America, including U.S. demand for lean, inexpensive beef for processed products and fast food hamburgers. But the banks are contributing directly, by financing these projects. The cattle ranches are not very productive at their best, and compare badly with even traditional peasant agriculture, much less intensive agro-forestry. It is not in the best interest of anyone, except the individual landowners, for these lending programs to be continued. Transmigration Schemes Another category of bank lending is financial assistance to governments who wish to move millions of landless people into undeveloped tropical forest regions. The projects are advocated to relieve the population pressure in crowded areas, and to open up vast undeveloped 1484 resources. Brazil and. Indonesia are implementing two of the most grandiose of these schemes, both with the assistance of the World Bank. The problems and impacts of these projects are strikingly similar. In both, hundreds of thousands of people are being moved into tropical forest regions each year. Tools, seeds, roads, and in some cases housing, village centers, schools and clinics are provided. Instead of planning a forest- based economy, project proponents intend that the land be cleared for farming. So to perfect their homestead title, each immigrant family must clear a certain proportion of their land immediately. But very little of this land is suitable for farming. In Indonesia, the crowded island of Java has a rich volcanic soil, and a successful system of intensive agro- forestry, which supports 65% of Indonesia's population on 7% of its land. But the transmigration project is designed to move up to 15 million people to tropical forest regions on the thinly populated outer islands. Estimates vary, but even fair- quality soil probably accounts for less than 5% of the total land area of the outer islands. Good-quality soil, defined as that which would still be fertile in 20 years, accounts for less than 1% of the area. The plan is for the immigrants to grow upland rice, which requires regular applications of fertilizer and water. Thus, to have any chance for success, these farmers must have access to reliable credit to buy fertilizer and irrigation to bring water throughout the growing season. 1485 Neither are likely. Meanwhile, invaluable tropical forest is being cut for these settlements, The farmers' yields so far have been low, because of their inability to buy sufficient fertilizer; and in some areas the rodent population, having lost its forest habitat, is happily destroying the rest of the 61 crop. In Brazil, too, many of the settlements are failing, for lack of expensive inputs, and lack of training in the special and difficult task of farming soils of former tropical forests. The Polonoreste project is designed to settle Brazil's vast Northwest, by clearing nearly 2 million hectares (mostly tropical moist forest) near the Bolivian border. In Brazil's earlier attempts to colonize the Amazon basin along the Transamazonica Highway, only 7% of the settlements appear to be successful after several years. This project is endangering several indigenous tribes, some of whom have only recently been contacted by outsiders. The tribal people are vulnerable to decimation by diseases, such as influenza and measles, and loss of the land which sustains them. To its credit, the World Bank has acted to ameliorate some of the worst aspects of the Polonoreste project by insisting on the demarcation of substantial areas as national parks and tribal reserves. But we cannot ignore the fact that valuable ecosystems are being destroyed, for unsustainable uses, in an attempt to 5 New Scientist, 22/29 December 1977, p. 804. } ! ! 1486 relieve political pressures caused by overpopulation and unemployment. A resource with great potential for sustained management is being destroyed or permanently degraded for a short-term use. Ecologists and land managers are just beginning to learn how to use tropical forests over the long-term without degrading their productivity. The forests should not be destroyed before we learn to extract their value on a sustainable basis. Ironically, in Indonesia, the most ambitious transmigration plans would relocate less than Java's annual population increase of 2.6 million. Thus, each year the government faces the same pressures with less resource base to rely on. Clearly forestry-based alternative sources of income, and labor-intensive industry on Java would be projects more in the long-term interests of Indonesia. Lessons to be Learned I have gone through this list, not to accuse the sponsors of these projects of malevolent intent; nor in hope of stopping all such projects. I think planners can learn to avoid some of the worst errors of the past and build in environmental safeguards. Indeed, the World Bank has learned much from these past experi- ences, and its environmental staff is publicizing improved 7/ analytical techniques. But I want to point out what this past 7/ See e.gi! See e.g., "Environmental Optimization in Hydrodevelopment of Tropical Rainforest Regions", Robert J. A. Goodland, Man Made Lakes and Human Health, 1979, Panday, R.S. (ed.) 1 1487 history demonstrates : (a) environmental planning and sustainable natural resource management must be part of overall analysis and strategic economic planning; (b) there is a need for full assessments of the environmental impacts of development projects before decisions are made; (c) there must be evaluations of impacts found after project completion; and (a) these studies must be made public and information widely distributed. We still find government and development agencies pushing for large-scale water projects, cattle expansion, and trans- migration schemes, without appropriate environmental safeguards. They are either uninformed about the potential impacts, which may limit the project's economic future and degrade their natural resources, or else they are advocating the projects for other reasons, such as to strengthen their claims in a. 8/ territorial dispute. In either event, public disclosure of the environmental assessment would permit the true costs and benefits of the projects to be evaluated. At the very least, such information would encourage the U.S. directors on the banks' boards to take positions consistent with the stated goals of our policy to target development assistance to the poor. 87 The upper Mazaruni hydroelectric project in Guyana is proposed at least in part to defend western Guyana against territorial claims by Venezuela. Brazil's Polonoreste project apparently is hoped to avoid border disputes with Bolivia. 1488 One of the basic problems is still that the function of the renewable resource base is not understood. This seems to be the case in Indonesia, where the difference between the capability of the soils to sustain agricultural crops between Java and the other islands is profound. Yet the assumption still is common that the Java home garden system can be simply transplanted. In other cases, engineers and economists may still be thinking of damage to the renewable resource base as an "externality". But we are not talking about expensive but reversible mistakes, such as permitting industrial plants to be built without pollution control equipment. (By and large, such plants can be retrofitted, although often at a much greater cost, than that, of proper original design.) Here we are instead addressing long-term degradation or loss of resources such as agricultural soil, fisheries, water- shed protection, future reservoirs of biological diversity, and irreversible harm to indigenous peoples. These people and environmental factors are not external to these projects: they are crucial to how, or whether, the projects can achieve their central purpose. Progress at the World Bank Some analysts have concluded that the banks really do not consider long-term environmental issues as part of their concern, and that they are more interested in maximizing financial 9/ returns to governments and "well placed individuals". 97 Payer, Cheryl, The World Bank, p. 295. 1 1489 Certainly these serious adverse effects are rarely acknowledged even as unfortunate side effects of the banks' "real" work. Public relations reports and brochures may indicate that appro- priate environmental analysis is undertaken when necessary, but (with significant exceptions) this is not carried out in practice. The significant exception is the Office of Environmental and Health Affairs of the World Bank. This office is attempting to implement four vital functions, and it is making remarkable inroads, considering its size. But a staff of four or five professionals cannot possibly accomplish what is needed. They are responsible for: (1) writing, and "lobbying" through the bureaucracy, analyses and recommendations of the World Bank's policies regarding environment and natural resources, seeking higher level recognition and support for serious environmental planning; (2) producing guidelines, handbooks and criteria to help bank personnel take natural resource factors into account in project preparation; (3) producing training materials and seminars for bank economists and engineers, many of whom do not yet understand the relevance of these factors to their work; and (4) evaluation of the environmental aspects of most bank projects as they come through for approval. Any one of these tasks would swamp an office this size. The staff is also trying to cajole other development banks to follow their lead. But they are up against thousands of development economists and engineers. Their project evaluation responsibility is 1490 especially difficult, since they have little time to perform the review, and they do not have the benefit of environmental staff in the field to help them spot problems. They have held up several projects in order to force inclusion of environmental safeguards. But politically that is difficult, and they cannot do it very often. We know from experience that appropriate environmental planning starts at project conception, and continues through evaluation of alternatives, and project design. Catching a project at the end, just before approval, always means that the environmental factors are seen as expensive add-ons and delays; and they will be resisted for that reason, more than any objection to their value. Thus, the World Bank environmental office can improve a few disastrous projects, but as currently structured, and with its tiny staff, it cannot effectively promote ecologically sustainable development. Recommendations The ultimate objective of our recommendations is sound natural resource management over the long term. We are not interested in the production of documents or the institution of procedures for their own sake. But we recognize that large bureaucracies can only act on the basis of established rules and procedures. Therefore the intermediate objectives are process-oriented. 1491 We also recognize that the activities of the MDBS are responsible for only part of the global degradation of natural resources, and that other actors are involved, if not as easily identified. But the Federation believes that we can only make progress if we work methodically on each part of the over- all problem, as it is isolated and understood. We are therefore not singling out the MDBs as villains or assigning blame. But we do see some serious problems that they are causing, or perpetuating, through lack of environmental planning. If that can be remedied, it will contribute toward sustainable economic development. 1. Internal Review We hope that as a result of this hearing the Subcommittee will enumerate needed changes and additions to the instructions from the Treasury Secretary to the United States executive directors of the banks, in order to promote improved environ- mental planning and analysis. Therefore, we invite the Subcommittee to consider the following recommendations to be adopted as goals of the United States representatives to the banks: a) All the banks should create policy and evaluation offices similar to the World Bank's Office of Environmental and Health Affairs, and staff them adequately for their workload. b) These offices should supervise the implementation of procedures to incorporate environment and natural 1492 resource planning in all sector and country development strategy analyses. For example, the World Conservation Strategy (produced by UNEP, the World Wildlife Fund, the International Union for the conservation of Nature and Natural Resources) should be addressed and adapted as part of each country's strategic planning. c) Environmental planners should be added to all project evaluation teams so that environmental factors and appropriate analysis of alternatives are taken into account along with economic factors from the beginning of project analysis. The World Bank is on the right track in several of these areas, but the others do not appear even to have started. 2. Strategy Regarding Tropical Forests It seems `appropriate for this Subcommittee to consider the effects of certain types of development activities, and to develop guidelines for the U.S. directors of the banks in the exercise of their "voice and vote" on bank decisions. Several such guidelines are needed, and we offer here one example, regarding tropical forests (TMF) : a) It should be the policy of the United States to promote only sustainable use and management of tropical forests. 1) Prudent management would dictate that, while we still know so little about how TMF work and how to manage them, development within TMF should be minimized. 1493 2) There is enough unavoidable invasion of TMF currently underway, by landless poor and illegal timber cutters, that all purposeful, controllable invasion should be eliminated. But in any event, all such developments must be limited to tree crop projects or agro-forestry, to resemble as closely as possible the natural system. Therefore, the United States should vote against all cattle ranch- ing, migration or annual crop assistance projects that affect tropical forests. b) Appropriate alternatives that the United States should support include: 1) organic farming research, extension and credit programs in non-forest areas; 2) extension and research to support existing small family farms (up to 3 hectares); 3) transmigration to non-forest areas; 4) tree farms and other rural energy projects; 5) small watershed projects to supply power and irriga- tion needs; 6) projects to rehabilitate watersheds, irrigation systems and degraded lands; 7) rural and urban sanitary water supply and rehabilitation of leaking water systems; 8) labor-intensive industry; 9) family planning. 1494 Additional similar policies, such as to support fisheries enhancement projects only within the context of riverine and coastal land management plans and the sustainable yield of the fisheries, should be developed. 3. Legislation Along with Bruce Rich and Brent Blackwelder, who are also testifying today., I have evaluated the elements that would constitute appropriate legislation by which the United States could guide the banks along the road to better evaluation and use of natural resources for sustainable development. The National Wildlife Federation believes the following concepts should be included as goals for United States policy: a) Establishment of procedures to incorporate natural resources as basic factors to be taken into account in planning development strategy for a sector, a country, or a region. b) Inclusion of environmental planners as part of project evaluation teams. c) Availability to the public of environmental analyses of projects before project approval. d) Post-construction analysis of environmental costs and benefits of projects and programs, which also must be made public. e) Inclusion of environmental stipulations in the list of loan conditions, for appropriate oversight and enforce- ment, along with engineering and economic conditions. 1495 To reinforce the importance of these goals, the United States must be prepared to a) vote against any project that does not have an adequate environmental assessment available for scrutiny by the U.S. Government prior to the project vote; and b) vote against any project which fails to meet criteria for ecological sustainability, protection of indigenous people, and conservation of critical natural resources. The Federation stands ready to work with the Subcommittee to turn these concepts into workable legislation. . We must remember that the whole concept of development assistance is relatively new, It grew out of the destruction of Europe in World War II. Thus, in little over 30 years, the industrialized world has been trying to learn how to make a process of change happen for other people when we really do not understand that process ourselves. So far, development agencies have been only partially successful in some places, at great cost in damage to the natural resource base, and with little benefit to the people they are trying to help. We are on a learning curve, I hope, and this hearing is part of a continuing process of our collective comprehension of how to encourage sustainable development. 1496 The development assistance organizations have to learn to do it right soon, or we will all suffer, even in the industrialized world. True national security for us in the United States depends upon improving the standard of living within the countries that are our neighbors, all around the globe that is our common home. Thank you for the opportunity to address the Subcommittee on this important subject. 1497 Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc. 1725 I STREET, N.W. SUITE 600 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 202 223-8210 New York Office 122 EAST 42ND STREET YEW YORK, N.Y. 10168 212 949-0049 IVestern Office 25 KEARNY STREET SAN FRANCISCO, CALIF. 94108 415 421-6561 January 24, 1984 Mr. A.W. Clausen, President The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433 Dear Mr. Clausen: We are writing on behalf of eight national and international environmental organizations with over five million members in North America and the Developing World. Our concern is the World Bank Fishery Sector Policy Paper issued in December, 1982. Bank sector policy papers have great importance for the sustainable management of natural resources, on which successful long term economic development depends. This is not only because of the very large scale of Bank lending, but also because of the policy influence the Bank exercises in borrower countries. The Bank is rightly viewed to be, in most instances, a leader among international development agencies in formulating and implementing ecologically sound policies and procedures. Thus, we are disappointed that the Fishery Sector Policy Paper fails to mention a number of key and widely accepted principles of fisheries management or refers to them only in an indirect or overly general way. The crisis in world fisheries caused by widespread overexploitation is not addressed, and concepts such as maximum sustainable yield and an ecosystem conservation standard are not mentioned. The paper lacks the rigor which we have come to expect from official Bank statements on technical matters. We find particularly disturbing the lack of any reference to most of the fisheries management principles set out in the World Conservation Strategy, endorsed by the President of the Bank in 1980, and in the Law of the Sea Treaty, which embodies the arduously developed consensus of almost all Bank member countries on a number of issues critical to sustainable fisheries management. Most importantly, the paper expresses no clearly stated commitment on the Bank's part to taking specific actions in its project, country, and sector planning, and policy dialogue with Vew England Office: 16 PRESCOTT STREET • WELLESLEY HILLS, MA. 02181.617 237-0.172 Public Lands Institute: 1720 RACE STREET . DENVER, CO. 80206 • 308 377-9740 100% Recycled Paper 1498 member governments to ensure that ecologically sound management measures needed to assure sustained fishery production are effectively carried out. The Fishery Sector Policy Paper lacks the vigorous and systematic commitment to conservation set forth in policy speeches by the Bank's two most recent presidents and in the Bank signed 1980 Declaration on Environmental Policies and Procedures Relating to Development. We respect fully request that the Bank revise the Fishery Sector Paper to incorporate these concerns. We are offering the attached comments, with specific chapter and page references, in the hope that they will be considered in such a revision. In addition, organizations with in-house fisheries expertise, such as the National Wildlife Federation, would be willing to offer more detailed comments once a revision is begun. We suggest that in the future, draft policy papers concerning important natural resource issues be circulated more widely among environmental specialists and organizations to provide a forum for timely communication on critical ecological concerns. Thank you very much for your attention to this matter. Sincerely, -------- Thomas B. Stoel, Jr. Director, International Project Natural Resources De fense Council Michael Bean Director, Wildlife Project Environmental De fense Fund : Bruce M. Rich, Attorney International Project Natural Resources De fense Council Fran Lipscomb Director, International Activities National Audubon Society Barbara Bramble Director, International Program National Wildlife Federation Roque Sevilla Larrea President, Fundacion Natura Quito, Ecuador Jack Lorenz Executive Director Izaak Walton League of America Liz Raisbeck Legislative Director Friends of the Earth, U.S. Brent Blackwelder Director, Water Resources Policy Center Environmental Policy Center CC: Katherine Fuller, World Wildlife Fund U.S. Tom Lovejoy, World Wildlife Fund U.S. Michael Wright, World Wildlife Fund U.S. 1601 Connecticut Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20009 : 1499 1 Mr. Ernest Stern, Senior Vice President, Operations Mr. S. Shahid Husain, Vice President, Operational Policy Staff Mr. Montague Yudelman, Director, Agriculture and Rural Development Mr. Visvanathan Rajagopalan, Director, Projects Policy Deaprtment Dr. James A. Lee, Environmental Advisor The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433 Mr. James Conrow Office of Multilateral Development Banks Robert T. Banque Office of Multilateral Development Banks U. S. Treasury Department 15th & Pennsylvania Avenues, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20002 The Honorable Jerry Patterson, Chairman Subcommittee on International Development Institutions and Finance Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs U.S. House of Representatives Washington, D.C. 20515 Lynne Corn The Honorable Mike Lowry Member of Congress 1206 Longworth Building Washington, D.C. 20515 1500 ::: COMMENTS: WORLD BANK FISHERY SECTOR POLICY PAPER Chapter 1: Status and prospects of World Fisheries. This chapter fails to mention what we believe to be the two most important factors and policy issues concerning the status and prospects of world fisheries during the past decade: overexploitation and habitat destruction. According to the World Conservation Strategy (prepared by IUCN in collaboration with FAO and UNESCO with assistance and advice from UNEP and WWF),1) "Overfishing is the main threat to marine living resources and a significant threat to fresh-water ones" (WCS 4.4). The Strategy also notes that coastal wetlands and shallows, which provide essential habitats for two thirds of the world's fisheries, "are being destroyed the world over, with severe effets on the economies that depend on then most closely." (WCS 2.10) Overfishing is mentioned only twice, in other chapters in the Paper, as a cause a cause of either full exploitation of stocks or of declines in the total catch of some species (pp. 25, 40), but the real magnitude and policy implications of the problem are never addressed. Again, according to the World Conservation Strategy, because much utilization of fisheries is not sustainable, their - .-- -- -- 1/ IUCN: International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, Gland, Switzerland; FAO: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, Italy; UNESCO: United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, Paris, France; UNEP: United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya; WWF: World Wildlife Fund, International, Gland, Switzerland. 1501 contribution to national diets and incomes is likely to diminish. The result of past and present over fishing is that the annual world marine catch is 15-20 million tons (or about 20%- 24%) lower than it might otherwise have been, and at least 25 of the world's most valuable fisheries are seriously depleted." (WCS 4.3) Chapter I of the Paper attributes the decline in growth of . world fisheries supply in the 1970's to "the dramatic drop in the catch of anchoveta in the Pacific Ocean, off Peru and Chile." (p. 13) It does not mention the consensus expressed in the reputable scientific literature on the reasons for this fisheries debacle : over fishing and insufficient attention to ecological data (such as effects of the El Nino current) in determining and enforcing allowable yields. (see Idyll, 1973; Payne, 1977 p. 452) The chapter makes a passing reference to the possibility that "rebuilding and better management of currently depleted or heavily fished stocks (especially anchoveta and herring)" could increase world fisheries production up to 25 million metric tons (p. 12), again without either mentioning the over fishing and lack of sustained yield management which has decimated fisheries worldwide (especially anchoveta and herring). (See Payne, 1977; Idyll, 1973; May et al., 1979). More importantly, this statement and the rest of the Paper ignore growing scientific evidence that many depleted fisheries may never be rehabilitated because seriously over fished marine ecosystems often become permanently altered so that species of commercial importance are replaced in their ecological niches by other species of limited use to humans 84-045 0-84-95 1502 (May et al, 1979; Payne, 1977; Idyll, 1973). Moreover, harvesting of multi-species ecosystems such as fisheries may lead to discontinuous, "catastrophic" collapses which are counter-intuitive and irreversible. (May et al, 1979; May, 1977) "Since these catastrophic changes are seldom, if ever, predictable in a quantitative sense, and since they can be expected to occur in almost any severely exploited ecosystem, the need for conservation and contingency planning is emphasized." (May et al., 1979). Chapter II: Changing Conditions for World Fisheries. The second chapter mainly focuses on issues and implications associated with establishment of 200 mile Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZS) in international law. Thus, it is all the more surprising that the Fisheries Sector Policy Paper a major policy document of a United Nations family institution should so completely ignore the relevant provisions of the Law of the Sea Treaty concerning management of fisheries in the EEZ. The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) represents the codification of more than a decade of high-level policy discussions concerning the management and exploitation of marine fisheries by nearly all of the participating members of the World Bank. In all probability, this treaty will have entered into force by the time many new Bank fisheries projects are ready for implementation, making the Policy Paper's disregard 1503 of its provisions all the more distressing. UNCLOS contains 320 articles and annexes. Two articles (56 and 57) define the EEZ and set forth the sovereign rights that pertain to it, codifying what has already become a fact under customary international law: control by coastal states of most of the fish resources of the world. More than forty additional articles, however, set forth agreed policies directly and indirectly relating to management of fisheries resources in the EEZ. Significantly, most of these provisions address environmental and ecological concerns. In particular, Article 61 addresses the major management issues associated with exploitation of EEZ fisheries. Article 61.2 provides that each coastal state is to ensure, through proper conservation and management measures, the prevention of overexploitation of living resources in its EEZ; and Article 61.3 specifically states that coastal states shall take measures to maintain or restore populations of harvested species at levels which can produce the maximum sustainable yield (MSY). Article 61.3 includes a list of qualifying factors which coastal states can take into account in addition to MSY in setting allowable catch limits; some of these factors are economic (e.g., particular needs of coastal fishing communities) and others are environmental, such as the interdependence of stocks. Article 61.4 requires that the coastal state take into account effects on species associated with or dependent on the harvested species with the view that populations of dependent or associated species be maintained or restored at a level where their reproduction 1504 is not seriously threatened. The principle set forth in Article 61.4'-- sometimes referred to as an "ecosystem conservation standard" was incorporated into the most recent major regional fisheries convention, the Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR), which regulates fishing in the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica. This convention has as signatories many of the world's leading fishing nations, including Japan, Chile, the USSR and Norway. with respect to Article 61, one international legal commentator noted that "What is of particular importance in these provisions is that they apply to all species, whether they are the subject of a commercial fishery or of no economic importance, and that they contain the obligation to regulate direct or indirect effects of fishing on these species so that their populations be maintained at sufficiently high a level to make their extinction impossible....(states are) bound to preserve species not for their immediate economic value but because of the role they play in the ecosystem" (de Klemm, 1981). In as much as Article 61 sets forth management principles to prevent overexploitation, Article 62 sets forth the principle of "optimum utilization" of living resources in the EEZ so as to avoid underexploitation of resources in a hungry world. Under 62.1, states are to determine what part of the allowable catch of target species they wish to harvest in their respective EEZs, and then allow other states to harvest the remainder, provided, of course, that all states follow the strict conservation principles 1505 set forth in Article 61. In UNCLOS, as in the World Conservation Strategy, conservation (including conservation of non-commercial species) and optimum utilization are inextricably dependent on one another and linked: conservation is the prerequisite for rational utilization. Incredibly, this critical policy principle is never articulated in the Bank's Fishery Sector Policy Paper; conservation is mentioned only once, in Chapter 4, as a "benefit" of fisheries development rather than its sina qua non. Moreover, an entire part of UNCLOS part XII deals with "Protection of the Marine Environment." Article 192 establishes a general obligation of states to protect the marine environment, and Article 197 obliges states to cooperate in formulating international standards, rules and practices to bring about that end. Article 194.5 provides that states take measures to protect and preserve fragile or rare marine ecosystems and the habitats of depleted or endangered marine species. Nowhere in the 79 pages of the Sector Policy Paper are these universally recognized marine ecological concerns mentioned. In addition, both UNCLOS (Article 206) and the World Conservation Strategy emphasize the importance of environmental assessment by coastal states of all activities, land-based or marine, which may have harmful effects on the marine environment. Article 205 of UNCLOS obliges states to communicate reports of these assessments "to the competent international organizations which should make them available to all States." The Policy Paper does include (p. 45, Chapter 4) a full paragraph 1506 on the need for a cross-sectoral approach in planning so as to take into account impacts of industrial, energy or agricultural activities on fisheries resources. However, exactly how the Bank plans to ensure this mandatory early environmental assessment is one of the more commonly accepted means worldwide is neither made clear here, nor later in the Policy Paper in Chapter 5, "The Role of the World Bank.' Finally, the Fishery Sector Policy Paper makes no mention of the growing number of Regional Seas treaties and Action Plans associated with the Regional Seas Programme of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). This program has promoted a number of international agreements and protocols to address problems of environmental management and assessment in the world's major regional seas including problems associated with management and conservation of fisheries stocks and their habitats. Seas for which the littoral countries have adopted Action Plans and signed regional marine environmental management treaties include the Mediterranean, the Caribbean, the Arabian-Persian Gulf, the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, West Africa, and the East Asian Seas. To summarize: Chapter Two and the entire Fishery Sector Policy Paper ignores many of the major resource management issues associated with extension of the EEZ, issues which have been identified and agreed upon by the vast majority of Bank member states in UNCLOS, in regional agreements, and by the President of the Bank in 1980. These issues include adoption of a modified standard of Maximum Sustainable Yield, and/or of an "ecosystem conservation standard" to maintain or restore 1507 harvested populations, conservation of non-target, non-harvested species dependent on marine ecosystems, optimum utilization (on a conservation base) of EEZs; and protection of habitats of depleted, rare or endangered marine species. The issues discussed in Chapter Two are limited mainly to questions of micro-economics ("the type of industry to employ; the amount to invest in supporting infrastructure," etc.) (p. 24) Reference is made to devising and enforcing regulations (p. 25) without ever mentioning the principles on which such regulations must be based. Overfishing is mentioned (pp. 24-25) as a constraint to potential development of stocks, rather than as the catastrophic consequence of past development and management based on short term micro-economic considerations instead of on scientific, biologically sustainable principles. These principles have been incorporated into the more recent international fisheries agreements such as UNCLOS and CCAMLR. Chapter 3: Structure and Dynamics of the Industry. Nowhere in this chapter or in the rest of the paper is there mention of the critical importance of intact coastal wetlands and shallows--especially mangroves and estuaries--for the economic sustainability of world fisheries, both off-shore and coastal. According to the World Conservation Strategy, the life cycles of species utilized by two-thirds of the world's fisheries are dependent on the ecological integrity of these endangered coastal 1508 ecosystems which serve as spawning, nursery and foraging grounds (2.10). In some tropical and semi-tropical areas, such as the Gulf of Mexico, up to 97% of commercially exploited species are dependent on these habitats. The Paper's vague reference to the need for cross-sectoral planning on p. 45 is neither explicit enough nor sufficiently focused to indicate any serious and meaningful consideration of this crucial policy issue. Surely, a major objective of World Bank fisheries policy should be to ensure that non-fisheries sector projects do not destroy or harm the biological underpinnings of future fishery development. Chapter 4: Development Objective, constraints and options. Conservation of marine resources is described as a development objective (pp. 39-40) or benefit (p. 6) among others, along with such economic and social goals as increasing incomes and foreign exchange, and improving nutrition. But conservation is not, especially in the case of management of living resources, a post hoc benefit, nor is it only one objective among, or equivalent to, others. It is, in the words of the World Conservation Strategy, "that aspect of management which ensures that utilization is sustainable and which safeguards the ecological processes and genetic divesity essential for the maintenance of the resources concerned." (WCS 1.6, emphasis added) Conservation has been recognized worldwide as the 1509 prerequisite and first principle of natural resource development, which makes possible the sustainable realization of other objectives such as increased foreign exchange, improved nutrition, or increased incomes. According to the World Conservation Strategy, conservation of living resources is to be achieved through the realization of three principal objectives : 1. The maintenance of essential ecological processes and life support systems (it has already been noted that, for fisheries, coastal wetlands and shallows are particularly critical habitats); 2. The preservation of genetic diversity (addressed by Articles 194.5, and 61.4 of UNCLOS); 3. Sustainable utilization of species and ecosystems (for which .....MSY and an "ecosystem conservation standard" are particularly important). It is surprising and disappointing to find no mention of these three principles in the Chapter dealing with development objectives or anywhere else in the paper. Moreover, the problem of incidental capture of non-target species is never raised nor addressed. Incidental take is responsible for the destruction and waste of over 7 million metric tons of fish a year (more than 10% of total world annual 1510 fish harvests in recent years) (WCS 4.5). Several species of sea turtles are threatened with extinction through incidental catch, and incidental catch of cetaceans, expecially dolphins and porpoises, is greater than intentional harvesting. Surely, the Bank should make a connitrent to ensure that measures to deal with this problem be considered in its fisheries projects. These measures include modifications of fishing gear and methods, and establishment of closed seasons or protected areas for some fisheries. International agreements such as the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Convention already require the adoption of such methods. The discussion in Chapter 4 on constraints to fisheries development also gives little consideration to the enormous importance of conservation. Mention is made only that "aggressive fishing practices can...alter the reproductive cycles of species" and that overfishing can cause problems in fisheries dealing with migratory or mobile species. This discussion fails to point out the following fundamental constraints to fisheries development, constraints which are threats to the resource itself: overexploitation, habitat destruction, and pollution. The options and strategy that should follow from these conservation objectives and constraints (which the paper omits) should therefore include: assurance "that the principal management goal for estuaries, mangrove swamps and other coastal wetlands and shallows critical for fisheries is the maintenance of the processes on which the fisheries depend (wcs, 5.7); 1511 "adoption of conservative management objectives for the utilization of species and ecosystems (WCS, 7.41);" and reduction of "incidental take" as much as possible (wcs, 7.5)." Chapter 5: The Role of the World Bank. This chapter notes that the Bank will rely heavily on outside agencies especially FAO to provide technical assistance in the fisheries sector. In light of this statement, it is especially surprising that no mention is made of the World Conservation Strategy and its principles, since the WCS was prepared in collaboration with FAO, as well as endorsed by the President of the World Bank. On the very last page there is a single paragraph which refers in very general terms to the possibility that the Bank "can" or "may" play a role in disseminating information on the environmental consequences of development projects and in promoting natural resource conservation programs or institutions. This is not the systematic and substantive commitment to the essential role of conservation in the development of natural resources that has been set forth in the speeches of the two most recent Bank presidents, the World Conservation Strategy, UNCLOS, and the 1980 New York Declaration on Environmental Policies and Procedures Relating to Development. In the recent words of the Bank's president, in order to be sustainable, development must include vigorous and 1512 studied attention to resource management" (Clausen, p.10). "For sustainable development and wise conservation are, in the end, mutually reinforcing--and absolutely inseparable--goals." (Clausen, p. 19) 1513 References Beddington, R. and May, R.M., "Harvesting Natural Populations in a Randomly Fluctuating Environment, Science, Vol 197, pp. 463–65 (1977). Clausen, A.W., "Sustainable Development: Fairfield Osborn Memorial Lecture, 1981. The Global Imperative,' " in The De Klemm, C., "Living Resources of the Ocean, Environmental Law of the Sea, Johnston, D.J., ed., pp. 71-180, IUCN, 1981. Holt. $.J. and Talbot, L.M., "New Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources, Wildlife monograph No. 59, The Wildlife Society Inc., 1978. Idyl, C.P., "The Anchovy Crisis," Scientific American, vol, 228, NO. 6, pp. 22-30 (1973). International Union for the conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN), World Conservation Strategy: Living Resource Conservation for Sustainable Development, 1980. Johnston, D.M. and Enomoto, LM.G., "Regional Approaches to the Protection and Conservation of the Marine Environment, " in The Environmental Law of the Sea, Johnston, D.J. ed., pp. 285-362, IUCN, 1981. Johnston, D.J., "The Environmental Law of the Sea: Historical Development, in The Environmental Law of the Sea, Johnston, D.J. ed., pp.17-71, IUCN, 1981. Loftas, T., "Where have all the anchoveta gone?," New Scientist, vol, 55, NO. 813, pp. 583-586 (1972). May, R.M., Beddington, J.R., Clark, C.W., Holt, S.J., Laws, RM., "Management of Multispecies Fisheries," Science, vol. 205, pp. 267-77 (1979). May, R.M., "Threshold and breakpoints in ecosystems with a multiplicity of stable states," Nature, Vol. 269, pp. 471-77 (1977). Payne, I., "Crisis in World Fisheries," New Scientist, voi, 74, No. 1053, pp. 450-452 (1977). United Nations, The Law of the Sea, United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, 1983. United States Council on Environmental Quality and United States Department of State, The Global 2000 Report to the President, volumes, 1980. 1514 THE STATE OF INDIA'S ENVIRONMENT 1982 ******************...--***" A CITIZENS' REPORT ---".y CENTRE FOR SCIENCE AND ENVIRONMENT NEW DELHI A 1515 A Statement of Shared Concern With efforts to conserve the country's ecological bank still minimal, India is rapidly becoming a vast wasteland. Indians cannot now close their eyes to this continuing degradation of their natural environment. As this report shows, the list of environmental problems is too long and the human costs of environmental degradation just too high to allow for any complacency. It is false to argue that environmental conservation acts as a brake on economic development. On the contrary, the experience gained in the last three decades has convincingly shown that there can be no rational and equitable economic development without environmental conservation. Environmental degradation invariably results in increased economic inequalities in which the poor suffer the most. Environmental degradation and social injustice are two sides of the same coin. The human condition and the state of the environment are closely related to each other. The kind of economic and social development we want will ultimately determine whether the environment will be conserved or further destroyed. For human beings the environment is not just a pristine collection of natural entities that must be admired, but it is one vast, complex entity that offers a range of natural resources for their use, for their economic and social growth and to meet their material and spiritual aspirations. In a country like India, with a high population density and high level of poverty, virtually every ecological niche is occupied by some occupational or cultural hu- man group for its sustenance. Each time an ecological niche is degraded or its resources appropriated by the more powerful in society, the deprived, weaker sections become further impoverished. For instance, the steady destruction of our natural forests, pasture lands and inland and coastal water bodies has not only meant increased economic poverty for millions of tribals, nomads and traditional fisherfolk, but also a slow cultural and social death: a dismal change from rugged self-sufficient human beings to abjectly dependent landless labourers and squalor-stricken urban migrants. Current development can, in fact, be described as the process by which the rich and more powerful reallocate the nation's natural resources in their favour and modern technology is the tool that subserves this process. The resource-use pattern initiated by the current development process is, thus, not just attacking and destroying the environment the wildlife, forests and fisheries, for instance but also the vast majority of human being, especially the poor, and their cultures. A development process that does not care for human life cannot care for the human environment or vice-versa. The world's cultural diversity is no historical accident. It springs from the world's biological diversity. And today both stand equally threatened. With each passing day, both the physical shape and the cultural milieu of Bombay nudges closer to New York. The product-use pattern encouraged by the current development process is such that it is separating people from their immediate environment: the artificial has become the more desirable, the imported environmental misfit has become the more appropriate. This has gone to the ridiculous extent that even such an intimate biological behaviour as breastfeeding is being disrupted by commercial propaganda and mothers, in increasing numbers, are becoming dependent on a supply of multinational milk power, which is lethal when mixed with polluted water. ! 1516 min. As an aggressively high-consumption oriented culture intensifies amongst a well-to-do minority across the world, it is creating a rat race amongst the rest, both between and within nations, to become a part of it. The desire to join this growing, multinational culture is so strong that for most people it has left no freedom to choose. The individual has no alternative. Our growing capabilities in science and technology have helped us to acquire a technological literacy that allows us to converse with the rest of the world as equals and has rightly earned us international prestige amongst the community of nations. But science and technology cannot be allowed to impose their own value system on society. On the contrary, the use of science and technology in society has to the governed by a human, socially appropriate value system. Otherwise we will get a rampant materialism, the extreme symbol of which is the young man amongst us who does not even mind burning his bride if he does not get the promised scooter and refrigerator in dowry. The culture exported from the so-called developed countries, which we are adopting unthinkingly is at the heart of the crisis. We never ask the question: developing towards what? This growing multinational culture must be destroyed because it leads to economic chaos, increased social disparities, mass poverty and filthy affluence in coexistence, environmental degradation, and ultimately civil strife and war. To get a balanced, rational development and to preserve the environment, a new development process is needed. The biggest intellectual and political challenge of our times is to articulate and demonstrate this new kind of development. It is a reflection of our prevalent culture that development has come to mean a mere increase in consumption and production of material goods and services. Development is not a product that can be obtained with economic growth. On the contrary, it is a process which enables all levels of society - individual, community and nation to become more self-reliant and more independent in choosing and deciding their own future. Building up self-reliance at the level of the community, without which self- reliance at the level of the nation is, illusory, is not possible without the restoration of human beings, relationships with their immediate environment, and this will require an enormous change in current education, production and product-use patterns, and management and governance of environmental systems and public services. Participatory management, for instance, will be essential. Health, forestry and energy experts all over the world now realise that neither the delivery of basic health services to control the daily epidemic of diarrhoea nor the establishment of community woodlots to increase the supply of cooking energy is possible without community participation. Multinational chemicals are less important for the health problems of developing countries than immediate environmental sanitation, the immediate local herbal wealth and care and development of the immediate agricultural resources to provide adequate nutrition, Women invariably suffer more from unbalanced development and environmental degradation. As our understanding of both feminist and environmental concerns grows, we find that women are more interested in the restoration of the environment, which provides the family with its basic needs, than their cash-hungry men. Especially within families where basic needs are gathered, it is women who are left to fend for the family. The new development process will demand that women and men share equal power in society. · * * . 1517 Thus, an environmentally enlightened development process necessarily demands a new culture, which will be: egalitarian, with reduced disparities between rich and poor and power equally shared by men and women; resource-sharing; participatory; * frugal, when compared to the current consumption patterns of the rich; * humble, with a respect for the multiplicity of the world's cultures and lifestyles; and, * it will aim at greater self-reliance at all levels of society. The environmental crisis, born out of a global maldevelopment, affects all countries of the world, North or South, East or West. But no country can wait for the rest of the world to find a solution. In India, particularly, the problems are too pressing. We strongly believe that a sustainable egalitarian development is possible if we keep in mind what Mahatma Gandhi once said: There is enough in the world for everyone's need but not enough for everyone's greed. Anil Agarwal Claude Alvares Shalinaz Anklesaria Ramesh Awasthi Bhubanesh Bhatt Chandi Prasad Bhatt ujjayant Chakravorty So B. Chaphekar Ravi Chopra Darryl D. Monte Usha Deka Bharat Dagra Madhar gadgil Rajiv Gupta Ashish Kothari smitu kothari Sharad kulkarni John kurien Kailash Malhotra Thomas Mathew Anupam Mishra sunita Narain Sevanti Ninan Naren Panjwani Urmila Pingle Moko Prasad Mahesh Rangarajan Purnima Rao A. Ko'Dunn' Roy Kalpana Sharma Ravi Sharma Shyam jha Navin Jugal K.Po Kannan 84-045 0-84-96 1518 ! Senator MATHIAS. Thank you very much. What have you seen as the contributions that the multinational institutions have made toward helping to protect the environment of the developing world? What sort of positive record is there to point to? Mr. Rich. I think in the World Bank especially that there is a positive element. In my statement I emphasize the negative be- cause we think that much more needs to be done. But I think it is important to point out that the World Bank hired an environmen- tal adviser as early as 1970. That was 2 years before the Stockholm Conference on the Human Environment. And in 1973 it set up an Office of Environmental Affairs, and this was before the U.S. Agency for International Development devoted more attention to environment and natural resources concerns. The Bank has also in other sectors done very innovative work. For example, there is a 1978 forestry-sector policy paper which takes into account in great detail the ecological and natural re- source management concerns associated with forestry projects. So there has been progress. What we are saying is that much more progress needs to be accomplished. Senator MATHIAS. But the fact that they have been able to do some things demonstrates that they might be able to do more, does it not? Mr. Rich. Well, it certainly does. I think that the Office of Envi- ronmental Affairs within the Bank is a tiny office. There are only five staff positions. Indeed, there is only one person who is involved in a systematic way in reviewing the more than 315 new projects a year, totaling over $15 billion and credits, and the hundreds of on- going projects. Even so, this office has been, given its staffing levels and its in- stitutional constraints, it has been effective. Senator MATHIAS. Where would you like to see the greater efforts placed in the future? What do you see as the major environmental challenges that face the developing world, let's say, over the next decade, and how would you like to see the World Bank help ad- dress those challenges? Mr. Rich. Well, the world currently, the developing world, par- ticularly IDA countries, face great environmental threats, mainly from desertification, which is a tremendous problem in Africa, as I mentioned, and through the effects of deforestation in the tropics, which is proceeding at an alarming rate. The multilateral development institutions, and particularly the World Bank, could do a great deal to address these problems by concentrating more in the forestry area and, above all, insuring that their large-scale infrastructure projects, such as hydroelectric projects, roadbuilding activities, and large-scale rural development projects, are as environmentally sound as possible. In the past that has not always been true, as a couple of the ex- amples I cite in my prepared statement illustrate. To accomplish this, there would be a need for better procedures within the World Bank to insure environmental review of all the projects, prepara- tion of guidelines and checklists for sectors where these do not exist, and above all adequate staffing to insure that the environ- WAS D 1519 : mental and natural resources factors can readily be reviewed on a systematic basis, which is not occurring now. Senator MATHIAS. I referred a minute ago in talking with Mr. Bergsten to the Solomonic decision that we have to make in this committee. But I know that there are other decisions in which people have to choose very painfully between different objectives. At a time when there is financial limitations in almost every part of the world, what advice would you give to a government which must choose between feeding people and planting trees, one that simply does not have the capacity to do both at the same time? Mr. Rich. Mr. Chairman, I am glad you raised that question, be- cause that is often a question which comes up in the discussion of development priorities. I think it is a somewhat incorrect or not completely accurate statement of the problem. The question is not a choice between feeding people and natural resources management. I think that the choice is really that eco- nomic development is absolutely necessary for these countries and that inadequate attention to natural resources management will tragically undermine the sustainability of that economic develop- ment. So if you want to insure that you have the capacity to feed people 30 or 40 years from now, you had better pay attention in designing these projects to management of soil erosion, deforest- ation of watersheds above hydroelectric projects, deforestation, and 1 1 . 1 SO on. :: : I think it is interesting to note that the singlemost important IDA recipient, India, has shown much more attention to its envi- ronmental problems than in the past. I have here a document enti- tled “The State of India's Environment, 1982" [indicating), which was prepared by a nongovernmental organization of Indian scien- tists, and academics, and environmentalists, using only Indian ex- pertise and finance. It points out the serious environmental and natural resource problems in India and of some development projects as an absolutely essential part of the development and eco- nomic challenges facing that country. So I think the two are inextricably related. Senator MATHIAS. We are very grateful to you for being with us here today and for expressing a point of view that is often, if not overlooked, at least not adequately represented in these consider- ations. So I think you supply a very important element to the dis- cussion. Thank you very much. Mr. Rich. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Senator MATHIAS. Very well. There being no further business, the subcommittee will stand in recess until the call of the Chair. [Whereupon, at 12:07 p.m., the subcommittee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE TUESDAY, MARCH 27, 1984 UNITED STATES SENATE, COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, Washington, D.C. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:10 p.m., in room SD- 419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Charles H. Percy (chair- man of the committee) presiding. Present: Senator Percy. The CHAIRMAN. I want to apologize to my distinguished col- league, Senator Tower, for my tardiness. We were in a luncheon that just couldn't seem to accelerate. We very much appreciate Senator Tower being here to testify on assistance programs for Turkey, Jordan, and Pakistan. These are programs that have not been without controversy in the past, and we very much value the chairman of the Armed Services Commit- tee taking the time to be here to advise us as to his views on these particular programs. We welcome your appearance, Senator Tower, and you can start right in. STATEMENT OF HON. JOHN TOWER, A U.S. SENATOR FROM TEXAS Senator TOWER. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. This is the second time that you have been courteous enough to permit me to appear before your committee this year. I only wish that you would give me an opportunity to reciprocate on the hospitality, and perhaps you will come to testify before the Armed Services Com- mittee. I have not had an opportunity to say so until now, but congratu- lations on your substantial win, and I am confident that it will be translated into an election victory this fall. The CHAIRMAN. We had, as we call, a little friendly discussion among the Republican family. Now that is behind us, and we go on to the next stage. Senator TOWER. Mr. Chairman, as you are aware, I visited the Middle East and Southwest Asia in January of this year, and again during February. The reasons for these trips were to assess the po- litical and military situation in the region, and to obtain on-the- scene information on the military capabilities and requirements of key U.S. friends. During these two trips, I visited eight countries in the region: Israel, Egypt, Lebanon, Jordan, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. I would like to share with you my observations. (1521) 1522 Before presenting these observations, I 'would like to comment from my perspective, as chairman of the Committee on Armed Services, on the interrelationship of security assistance and nation- al defense. As a lead-in to these comments, I would like to briefly describe trends in the international security environment because they highlight the increasing importance of U.S. programs to provide military assistance to our friends and allies. The most dominant and ominous development on the security scene, one which is well known to the committee, is the relentless and unprecedented growth in the power of Soviet military forces. There may be differ- ences of opinion on the severity of this adverse trend, but few will disagree that the United States-Soviet military balance has been shifting in favor of the Kremlin. While the unfavorable trend in the overall balance of United States and Soviet military capabilities is alarming, the United States is also troubled by a new development, the increased Soviet ability to project military power to world areas far from the Eura- sian landmass. As a result of the growing reach of Soviet forces, the struggle for power and influence between the United States and the Soviet Union has become global in nature. While the potential for conflict between Washington and Moscow in distant world regions has been heightened by the improved abili- ty of Soviet forces to operate in noncontiguous areas, more direct threats to U.S. interests have arisen from the bold Soviet Union use of aggressive proxy states, such as Cuba, Vietnam, and Libya. In Latin America, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Northern Africa, Soviet clients are seeking to destabilize neighboring coun- tries with potentially serious consequences for the interests of the United States and other Western nations. Moreover, these new Soviet and Soviet-sponsored threats are emerging in world regions which are outside the traditional system of Western alliance. Despite the fact that these new threats have the potential to seriously undermine the economic well-being of member states, the response of Western alliances has been weak and often fractured. America has been forced to unilaterally assume, least in the near term, major defense burdens in distant world areas. Against this backdrop, it is important to recognize the growing interdependence of national economies. The economies of the West- ern World are particularly dependent on the free flow of oil and other raw materials as well as continued access to the world's mar- ketplaces for their exports. The emergence of threats in resource- rich regions has heightened this strategic vulnerability of the West. The security environment in which we now operate has also been made more complex and difficult by the significant diffusion of military, economic, and political power and influence in the world which has occurred in the past two decades. In summary, the United States is confronted by the following un- favorable trends in the international security environment: The widening geographic extent of the United States-Soviet mili- tary competition. 1523 New threats in distant world areas which have increased inter- national instability and which are outside the long standing system of Western alliances. Less certainty of continued and uninterrupted access to natural resources and marketplaces which serves to increase the exposure of the West's economic vulnerabilities. Increasing diffusion of power and influence resulting in more powerful forces-political, military, and economic-potentially op- posing U.S. interests. These trends clearly show that the task of protecting U.S. world- wide interests, which in themselves have grown considerability, has become exceedingly more complex and demanding over the last two decades. As a consequence, the security relationships between the United States and key nations in troubled regions have become in- creasingly important. It is in the context that U.S. security assist- ance is playing a critical role. Last month, Secretary of Defense Weinberger described U.S. se- curity assistance and arms sales programs as: “The overseas con- terpart of our defense effort and represent no less an investment in U.S. national security than the programs for the Department of Defense." I completely agree. The Senate Armed Services Committee views security assistance as a direct extension of the U.S. defense program. By enhancing the defense capabilities of our friends and allies, security assistance and arms sales help to strengthen our forward defense strategy and, thereby, to improve our overall defense posture. When U.Š. friends and allies are strong and capable of defending themselves, the burden of common defense is shared. The United States is able to direct her own resources and capabilities to areas where burden sharing is not possible. Moreover, security assistance is extremely cost-effective. It is far less expensive for the United States to train and equip foreign mili- tary personnel for their national defense than it is to train and equip equivalent U.S. personnel. And, in many cases, it may be those foreign soldiers and that equipment which provide a deter- rent to aggression or the critical first line of defense should a con- flict break out. If aggression does take place, U.S. military assistance may enable friendly nations to handle the threat on their own, without placing U.S. lives at risk. Failure to help meet the legitimate de- fense requirement of U.S. friends and allies increases the prospects that United States forces would have to be employed in times of crisis. Should aggression take place in areas vital to U.S. interests and deployment of U.S. forces be necessary, friendly forces trained and armed by the United States add a force multiplier to our own combat capabilities because the forces would be interoperable. In short, security assistance and arms transfers increase our coalition warfighting capability In addition to these standardization benefits, security assistance also provides a key vehicle for improving the power projection ca- pabilities for the United States. We are able to retain foreign mili- tary bases, have access arrangements, and acquire overflight privi- leges in large part because we have security assistance programs. 1524 Acknowledging this linkage between security assistance and power projection requirements, the Congress has consistently given higher priority to those countries permitting U.S. bases or access to their facilities. Mr. Chairman, I can't overemphasize the benefits that we derive from security assistance. In recent years, we have made an effort to enhance the capability of U.S. rapidly deployable forces. Be- tween fiscal years 1982 and 1984, the Senate Committee on Armed Services increased funding for U.S. force projection programs by 130 percent. These investments make sense only if we have the re- quired enroute access, transit privileges, base rights, and use of fa- cilities overseas. In short, we can't and won't be able to accomplish critical power projection capabilities on our own. We need the cooperation and as- sistance of friendly and allied nations, and they want and need our assistance to develop their own armed forces. This is the essence of mutual security, one of the cornerstones for preserving stability and coping with aggression throughout the post-World War II period. Security assistance has been and is the single most impor- tant instrument for promoting mutual security relationships. I should note that these strategic benefits come at very little cost to the U.S. Treasury. In recent years, funding for security assist- ance has amounted to less than 1 percent of the Federal budget and less than 2 percent when compared to the defense budget. In this regard, if the congressional budget process could accommodate it, I would be prepared to trade off hundreds of millions of dollars in the defense budget for equivalent increases in military assist- ance funding A key reason for my journeys abroad was to assess the military need and requirements of a number of key friends and allies. In this regard, I am concerned about congressional pressure to reduce assistance to three key United States friends: Turkey, Pakistan, and Jordan. Members of Congress, reacting to domestic political pressure, have begun calls to reduce the level of security assistance to Turkey. The House Foreign Affairs Committee has already reduced the administration's request for military assistance by $39 million, from $755 to $716 million. There will no doubt be pressure on this committee to make more substantial funding reductions. I have no doubt that such action will not serve the United States interests and will make a solution to the delicate problem of Cyprus harder, not easier, to achieve. The United States derives substantial benefits from a strong bi- lateral relationship with Turkey. Turkey occupies a strategically critical location and is key to defense of NATO's southern flank, including Greece. In addition, she has the second largest military force in NATO. She controls Soviet access to the Mediterranean and abuts potential lines of Soviet advance into Iran and into the Persian Gulf. Turkey is nearly completely surrounded by hostile or potentially hostile neighbors: The Soviet Union, Bulgaria, Syria, İran, and Iraq. Turkey has just undergone an important transition from military rule to democracy with nationwide parliamentary elections on No- vember 6 of last year. In addition, municipal elections were held on 1525 March 25; six political parties participated, providing evidence of Turkey's commitment to the democratic process. This is an ex- tremely critical time for Prime Minister Ozal's new government. Reductions in U.S. assistance levels would send counterproductive signals regarding the U.S. commitment to this fledgling democracy. The administration has requested $755 million in military assist- ance in fiscal year 1985 that would be used to help modernize Tur- key's armed forces. These funds would be used for a variety of criti- cally needed equipment including the F-16 aircraft, the ongoing M-X8A1 tank upgrade program, air defense improvements, and communications and electronic equipment. In my view, these items meet legitimate defense requirements of Turkey and will help Turkey to fulfill alliance commitments, which in turn contribute directly to United States national defense. Pakistan is on the frontline with Soviet-occupied Afghanistan. The brutal Soviet invasion of Afghanistan has highlighted Paki- stan's geostatic value in stemming Soviet expansion southward toward the Indian Ocean. Islamabad has taken a courageous stand by leading diplomatic activity against the Soviet invasion of Af- ghanistan. As a result, Pakistan has been subjected to new and strong politi- cal and military pressures. Violations of her airspace by Soviet air- craft, border incursions, and related pressures stemming from the influx of between 2 and 3 million Afghan refugees make Pakistan extremely vulnerable. I might add, Mr. Chairman, that Pakistan is bearing half of the cost of maintaining these 2 to 3 million refugees. In addition, India has recently increased its anti-Pakistan rhet- oric. The administration has requested $325 million in FMS credits for fiscal year 1985, primarily to assist Pakistan in paying for equip- ment already on order from the United States, including F-16 fighter aircraft, air defense radars, and helicopters. I think addi- tional requests may include air-to-air missiles and surveillance air- craft. Pakistan will also use her own national funds to purchase equip- ment and training for her navy and army. As it now stands, the majority of Pakistan's military equipment is obsolete and in need of replacement. Finally, let me talk about Jordan, a key United States friend in the moderate Arab world. Our close relationship with Jordan and with King Hussein stems from the historically close cooperation with the United States on security issues, her moderating role in the Arab world, her potentially central role in the Middle East peace process, and her proximity to critical areas of the Middle East and Southwest Asia. Attention has been focused on the remarks that King Hussein made recently in which he expressed his frustration over U.S. policy in the Middle East. He essentially indicated that uder cur- rent circumstances, he does not envision Jordanian participation in the peace process at this time. However, during my two visits to Jordan, I found that King Hus- sein shares many of the objectives of the United States, including support for President Reagan's peace initiative of September 1, 1526 1982. A number of recent Jordanian initiatives are worthy of men- tion: Calling for decisions within Arab councils to be made by majority rule instead of consensus which effectively grants a veto to radical views. The appeal of this approach was demonstrated in the recent Islamic Conference which helped to reintroduce Egypt into the Arab family of nations. Urging cooperation among Egypt, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan to strengthen the voice and further the development of moderation in the region. Publicly suggesting that, should the current disarray result in Syrian domination of the PLO, the PLO would cease to be the sole legitimate representative of the Palestinians, and Jordan would act accordingly. And by restoring the Jordanian Parliament. This created a forum for Palestinians to express themselves, and it provides the inhabitants of the West Bank with a forum. Many West Bank lead- ers strongly support Hussein's entry into the peace process and they have urged Hussein and PLO leader Arafat to reach agree- ment which would permit that entry. I am deeply concerned that U.S. policy, particularly congression- ally mandated policy, in the region not become too narrowly fo- cused or too insensitive to our broader interests in the region, nor too susceptible to domestic political pressure. Despite the recent withdrawal of the proposed sale of Stinger's to Jordan, the United States needs to work with King Hussein on issues pertaining to Jordanian security and relations with other regional countries, par- ticularly on the Arabian peninsula. King Hussein is deeply worried about Syrian intentions in the wake of the massive Soviet supported military build-up by Damas- cus and about the effects of the withdrawal of U.S. peacekeeping forces from Lebanon. Syria has openly threatened King Hussein if he attempts to join the peace process, and terrorist groups have carried out assassination attempts on Jordanian diplomats in pro- test against Jordan's efforts to join the peace process. At this juncture, it is important that the United States provide some tangible evidence of U.S. reliability. Under these circum- stances, approval of the administration's full request for security assistance is critical, In this regard, I am very concerned about an amendment adopt- ed by the House Foreign Affairs Committee which would prohibit the use of foreign military sales funds for the purchase of advanced aircraft, new air defense systems, or new advanced military weapon systems unless the President certifies to the Congress that Jordan is publicly committed to the recognition of Israel and to prompt entry into peace negotiations. In my view, this language only calls into question U.S. reliability and as a result will not encourage King Hussein to enter the peace process. The President's withdrawal of the notification of the sale of Stingers to Jordan and Saudi Arabia obviates the need for this language, and I would urge the committee not to adopt similar lan- guage. The $95 million in foreign military sales credits requested by President Reagan would be used to improve Jordan's air defense 1527 4 capabilities and to develop a mobile force capable of defending against vastly superior armored and air forces. This would include antitank missiles, armored vehicles, communications equipment, training, and follow-on support. Let me conclude, Mr. Chairman, by saying that the United States derives substantial benefits from her security assistance and arm sales programs. From my perspective as chairman of the Com- mittee on Armed Services, security assistance enables our friends and allies to work with the United States to develop collective secu- rity arrangements, to share part of the collective defense burden, and to better defend themselves against internal conflict or exter- nal aggression. Security assistance programs are effective. They cost very little when measured against their return, and they represent the most explicit assurance of U.S. willingness to stand by our friends and allies, short of stationing U.S. forces abroad. Therefore, I urge the committee to authorize the security assist- ance program at the funding level requested by the President. In particular, I strongly recommend the programs for Turkey, Paki- stan, and Jordan be authorized at the requested levels. I would fur- ther urge the committee to avoid the congressional tendency to add funds to certain country programs at the expense of other critical friends who are facing serious external threats. In this regard, the Congress in recent years has added funds above the President's request for Israel. While I am a strong sup- porter of our assistance programs to IsraelI believe, Mr. Chair- man, we have a moral obligation to try to help preserve the territo- rial and political integrity of Israel, and I believe that it is in our national interest-I am troubled when these increases come at the expense of other critical nations. If a determination is made that military aid to Israel should be expanded, then this should be done by increasing the overall funding for the security assistance pro- gram, and not by shortchanging other valued friends. Mr. Chairman, this concludes my statement. I will be delighted to respond to any questions that you or the members of your com- mittee might have. The CHAIRMAN. Senator Tower, we thank you very much. I think your statement constitutes one of the most helpful and powerful statements on the value to the United States of America of our se- curity assistance programs abroad. When you go to the extent of saying that you would be prepared to trade off hundreds of million of dollars in the defense budget for equivalent increases in military assistance funding, I don't know how you could put it in a more meaningful and significant way than to say that. I am not accepting that offer as of the present time. Others may, but certainly you couldn't put it any more clear- ly as to how strongly you feel about these programs. Let us first take Turkey. There has been, obviously, a concern about Cyprus. This has been a nagging problem. If Turkey really wants significant long-term help in military modernization from the United States, why has Turkey endangered that relationship by recognizing an independent Turkish Cyrpus? 1528 Was that necessary? Did you get the feeling that there was pres- sure existing inside Turkey to do that? Was it essential that they do it at the time? Senator TOWER. I think you will have to concede that there is enormous domestic political pressure on the government in Turkey to do that. I don't think that the recognition really makes much difference. That is more form than substance. It doesn't really change anything. The fact is, I think that we should go back in time and remem- ber that the situation in Cyprus was not created by the Turks. It was created by the government of colonels in Greece, a government that we very strongly disapproved of. If you will remember, an au- thoritarian military government that prompted a bloody coup d'etat in Cyprus in which Makarios was overthrown and replaced by a government that favored Enosis, a union with Greece. The Turkish reaction was to that. I am not endorsing all of the Turkish actions, but I think that we have to act in terms of our own national interests and not try to pressure Turkey through reducing foreign assistance. The effect that that might have would be to prolong settlement, because the Greeks would realize then that they could continue to exact per- haps more concessional terms than they should. In other words, we are weighing in on one side of the argument there. In fact at the time that we enacted the Turkish embargo, our Secretary of State, Mr. Kissinger, was on verge of getting an ac- commodation on the basis of very concessionary terms by a politi- cally tenucus government in Turkey. When we enacted the embar- go, this failed. Kissinger briefed several Members of Congress at the time and pled with them not to do this, but they went ahead anyway. The result was the fall of a friendly government in Turkey, and a less conciliatory government took place. We run great risks, Mr. Chairman, when we make snap judg- ments here in the Congress and try to intervene in a very delicate negotiating process which we are not capable of following or par- ticipating in on a day-to-day basis. The CHAIRMAN. In your judgment, is Turkey in fact recognizing that there has to be and there is a linkage? Senator TOWER. I think the Turks do recognize that, and I think that there are actually problems that are even knottier that have to do with the Aegean Sea, access to the Aegean and the Aegean seabed, and all of these things. I think that the Turkish attitude is one of desire to negotiate these things. Let's not ignore the fact that from time to time the Greeks are capable of being intransigent themselves. The fact is that Turkey has been a strong ally of the United States. They are a stronger NATO ally than Greece. Are we to punish a strong ally that has continued, even in the face of rather hostile action by the Congress of the United States, to fulfill their NATO mission. Remember that we have no problem with base permanence in Turkey as we do in Greece. Prime Minis- ter Papandreou of Greece has said that at the conclusion of the 5- year agreement, that he will run us out of our bases over there. He has also opposed the INF deployment, and he has also urged a nu- clear freeze on the Balkans, all contrary to American policy. 1529 I see no reason why we should, at this particular point in time, express displeasure to Turkey. We are punishing an ally who is performing a function that is vital to us and our national interests. Why should we sacrifice our own national interest in this particu- lar issue. The CHAIRMAN. Did you get the feeling that with the return of Turkey to a democracy and a democratic form of government, that they be more responsive to human rights issues than the previous government, particularly with respect to items that are of impor- tance to us on Cyprus, such as the issue of missing persons, the sit- uation where families cannot be reunited. Would they just reach out and try to find a way to somehow turn that situation around a little bit. When I was in Cyprus, I found a great deal of interest in the fact that even the Cypriot students have to go abroad for a college edu- cation, and they lose a lot of these. In their own self-interest, if they could create a University of Cyprus, they would get a lot of help from this country and many other countries. You would make an excellent head of that government, and you wouldn't find it a bad place to live, I think, Mr. Chairman. Did you see any interest in the new government in saying that maybe some of these issues that we haven't made progress on, per- haps now we can make some progress? Senator TOWER. I think that we can move in that direction, Mr. Chairman. As far as the suspension of what we would refer to as the civil rights in Turkey, they took a step that they considered to be neces- sary to counter terrorism and total political chaos in that country. They reduced incidents of terrorism substantially to the point where Turkey is virtually free of terrorism today. What I am saying is that we have to make our assessment on security assistance on the basis of what is in the national interest of the United States, and what is in the interest of the NATO alli- ance. Only Turkey and Norway, of the NATO allied nations, have borders with the Soviet Union. Norway has a very short border, and Turkey has a long and exposed border with the Soviet Union, and it is in an area surrounded virtually by unfriendly states, states that are in an adversarial relationship to the United States. Therefore, that should be the primary consideration dictating our policy toward Turkey. The CHAIRMAN. How helpful could Turkey afford to be to NATO interests in the Persian Gulf region? Senator TOWER. Turkey has really no force projection capability of its own. As a matter of fact, as I noted, their military is a virtual museum of antiquated American equipment. They are still using old Fletcher class destroyers that you and I might have thought were the last whisper in World War II, Mr. Chairman, but they are no longer so. They are using old aircraft. The fact is that they have some very important bases. You will have to remember, too, that Turkey is a very important listening post for the United States. Turkey is essential to us in any verifica- tion process for a strategic arms limitation and reduction agree- ment. From the standpoint of force projection, overflight rights, and bases are enormously important. 1 :| 1 1530 Incidentally, I might note that Turkey maintains a fairly equita- ble relationship with both Iran and Iraq that could be of great help to us in trying to resolve that situation. The CHAIRMAN. There is a press report that I saw this morning that there is a possibility that Pakistan has actually detonated a nuclear device. Is there any information that you have? Did you discuss with Pakistan whatever efforts they might be making to detonate a nuclear device? Do you believe that there should be any relationship between assistance offered to Pakistan, if the reports are actually substantiated? Senator TOWER. I don't think that there should be, Mr. Chair- man. Let's look at the position that Pakistan is in. It borders on Afghanistan, with the Soviet pressures there. India has made very bellicose statements about Pakistan. President Zia, whatever your personal opinion or our collective opinion might be of him, I be- lieve is a very sincere man, dedicated to peace. He is trying to wage a peace offensive as far as India is concerned. Remember, India is also in the business of trying to develop a nuclear weapon. I don't know whether Pakistan has detonated such a device or not. I would suggest that the best information on that would be an intelligence briefing. The CHAIRMAN. On Jordan, you did, in your testimony, make ref- erence to comments that have been made by King Hussein. Could you expand a little and evaluate the recent statements that he did make which were critical of the United States. Did they come from utter frustration? How seriously do you take those comments? Senator TOWER. I think they stem from enormous frustrations. These are frustrations that he has expressed privately, but has not expressed publicly. Here is a man who is trying to be a moderate voice in the Arab world. He is trying to get the Arabs to back away from the requirement in the Arab League that they act on consen- sus basis, which means that they have to have a unanimous vote before they can act. He is advocating a majority rule in that orga- nization, which would be of enormous benefit to us because the moderate states far outnumber the radical states. The only three radical states, really, at this point in time are Syria, Libya, and South Yemen. I think that King Hussein has been particularly bold and very courageous against the less moder- ate, or what we might call the radical Arab States. He has been subjected to assassination threats, the threat of ter- rorism from these countries. He has been friendly. He has indicat- ed that he desires to participate in the peace process, and I think he holds out the best hope of being a key player in that peace proc- So we seem to be playing into the hands of Damascus, from time to time, because Khaddam told me that Syria would have no part of any Palestinian settlement in which Hussein was a key player. So we should be reinforcing Hussein in my view, because he does represent a voice of moderation. All things are relative in that Byz- antine world over there. The CHAIRMAN. Finally, did you have discussions in Jordan about the use of a rapid deployment force, and get a feeling as to whether they could move if there was an emergency in the Persian Gulf area? ess. 1531 Senator TOWER. I think, given the proper equipment and logisti- cal support, they could. I think the fear that this force might be used for aggressive purposes is groundless, because I think it would require additional support from the United States for that force to be used. Again, I think we should view that as force in the hands of a friendly power that would help protect our interest in the region, reducing the likelihood that we have to spend American treasure and shed American blood to guard and protect our vital interests in the region. The CHAIRMAN. I want to thank you very much, Senator Tower, for your taking the time to appear and give us such a strong and a helpful statement. Senator TOWER. Let me say finally, Mr. Chairman, that I think that our ability to maintain a friendly, normal, and a reinforcing relationship with the moderate Arab States really enhances the prospects for future Israeli security. I don't think that the people of Israel want to remain in an armed camp forever. If through the moderate Arab States, we can achieve ultimately a reconciliation, then that, in my view, goes to the long-term bene- fit of the State of Israel that we all support very strongly. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. The hearing is adjourned. [Whereupon, at 2:45 p.m., the committee adjourned, subject to call of the Chair.] O . 3 9015 00928 7247 MX NV111)id ja miSHIAN