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Les diagrammes suivants illustrent la mAthode. 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 Oi MEMORANDUM, On behalf of the Shareholders of the Grand Trunk Railway Company of Canada, set- ting forth the Basis of the Scheme of Fi- nancial Assistance, which it is proposed should be <>Tanted by the Government and Legislature for the relief of the Enterprise, for the re-establishment of its Commercial Credit and to secure the permanent pros- perity of the Provinces. BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM NAPIER. TottoNTo : IViiitod ni ilic L(ii>iii of the cireumslaMces of the case — not lueroly ii» view of its actual iieccss^ities, but looking to the coni])reIuMisive completion and perma- nent re establish uient of this the main artery, and also to the future subsidiary Rnilwav Enterprise of th<; Conntrv ; and with due regard to the experience ot similar LTndertak- ings in other countries, wlieii in the same condition, and to those means wliich iuivo heen successfully adopted for the restoration of their financial credit — has led tlie Shareholders to believe that the same principle of relief, if at once applied by the Government and Legislature, could not pos- sibly fail to ensure results mutually advantageous to the Shareholders and to the Counti-y. 13ASIS OF THE SCHEME. The requirements to be attained are two-fold, 1st. Capital sufficient for the completion of the Under- taking, estimated not to exceed the sum of £1,6GO,000. 3nd. The rescucltation of the market value of the Enter- prise ; or. in other words, the restoration of the Shares to their par value. The attainment of the former does not necessarily ensure the accomplishment of the latter ; for the reasons, that the prospects of the line in the Money Market have already been seriously damaged, and that if left alone to its own gradual, though sure development, and without any external 8upi)ort, looking to the magnitude of the Enterprise and to the period of time which must eliapse until the increase of traffic to result from the completion of the Victoria Bridge can be accomplished, it will probably be several years before the profits shall aiford a dividend on the Share Capital of 5 jjer cent. ; and, during which time therefore, the Company's Debenture and Share Capital must necessarily remain at a depreciation which is ruinous to the Shareholders and damaging to the Railway development and Comme*'cial Credit of the Provinces. Kxporiouce in Europtj aiul elsowheie, i)nrticularly in Franci-. ill Snrdiiiiu, in Austria, in India and in Australia, Ims more or lees proved, that one inea-surc alone is completely adequate, under such circumstances, to maintain the credit ot'Kailway undertakings in the vicissitudes of their infancy, during their consiniction and ])ending the gradual devel- opment of their traffic nj> to a certain point viz : — The support of tluj State itself or in otlier words the jjractical demonstration by the people cY the Country, of confidence in their own commercial future, which is best given by u Guarantee of a minimum dividend for a term of years, on the share Capital invested. The consideration lor this aid and for any possible risks of temporary loss ( a risk however which has not in any one previous instance resulted in any loss) has been and is, the reversion of the Undertaking in absolute property to the State at the expiration of a term of years — a sacrifice in re- turn for the Guarantee which is cheerfully made by the in- dividual Stockholders, and a boon of the greatest magnitude to the Country, the more especially to a young State as Canada, the magnitude of whose ultimate commercial future it would be presumptuous to attempt to estimate. Looking therefore to all the circumstancft: under wliich the capital of the Grand Trunk Company \:.:^ subscribed, and to the lamentable prospects of the UndertakiLg, if leftinits existing condition, — the Shareholders earnestly appeal to the Government and Legislature of Canada for a pledg of confidence in this great national Kailway Enterprise by a Guarantee of a dividend of 5 per cent, on the share capital of the Undertaking, after the payment of all its fixed charges, the consideration to be, the reversion of the Undertaking in absolute property and in the most eflicient working order, at the expiration of, say, 99 years. Under ordinary circumstances in such Guarantees, the risk i':\ of any possible loss is of course borne by the State, but in this particular instance, remembering the great liberality of the Province towards the Enterprise and tlie natural disappoint- ment of the people of Canada at its present condition, and looking to their own individual conviction of the ultimate realisation of all the prospects originally hoped for, the Shareholders arc anxious also to give a strong mark of their confidence ; and propose, that should any deficiency ensue during the first five ^ears after the completion of the line to Toronto, in respect of the Guarantee, and wishing to preserve intact the surplus revenues of the Provinces, they are ready to agree and to give proper security, that all such annual deficiency, during that time, shall be subscribed by the Company, and be converted into Share Capital, under a like Guarantee by the Provinces, and the amount of which shall bo estimated and allotted pro ratA, among the holders of the Stock, at tlie time of the granting of the Guarantee. The advantages which would necessarily result, are as follows : — *^ That the Commercial Credit of the Undertaking would immediately be re-established. That the unissued Share and Debenture Capital would at once be realised at par. That the interest on the Provincial Debentures would be paid by the Company ; the completion of the Line to its west- ern terminus and the construction of the Victoria Bridge would be rapidly accomplished ; and any probable deficiency during the first five yeara, in respect of the Guarantee, would be provided for ; and all this without the Province being called on to subscribe an additional pownd of Capital. Tliat the doubts now existing in the Money Market, and naturally arising from the existing circumstances ; from in- dividual ignorance ot the commercial prospects of Canada ; and from the disappointment consequent on the published accounts of the traffic receipts on the only section of the lino hitherto open, will be completely removed ; and that the com mercial credit of the Province will be re-established, the more firmly that in the time of difficulty and of gloom, the Government, the Legislature, and people of the Country had shewn, not only their honor in respect of their national obligations, not merely their readiness to shnre with the Stockliolder the risks or profits of the great national Hail- way enterprise ; but that adopting the commercial princi- ples established by the railway experience of Europe, had given, when appealed to, the most complete proof of confi- dence in their resources and material progress. It should be added that proper security for the con- version of the probable deficit in respect of the Guarantee during the fii-st five years, might 1)e given to the Government by many arranoeinents, one of which would be : The Guarantee not to take effect until the probable amount of the total deficit during the firet five years had been agreed to between the representatives of the Govern- ment and of the Company, and until the share capital re- presenting that amount liad been subscribed, and a deposit equal to the fii*st year's estimated deficit placed in the hands of the Tnistees on behalf of the contracting parties, and for the benefit of the Provinces ; and the amount necessary to make good each subsequent year's estimated deficit to be deposited in the like manner. In case, after the first year, the Company should fail to make such deposit as above prescribed, the deficiency to be a first charge on the net profits of the Undertaking for the year. The Government to pay 5 per cent, interest on all such deposits. CALOULATlOMa Oft WUICU iJUt OROCNOBO YHI fiVrUlATBi OT LOSS OB OAIN IV RBBPEOT OF ▲ FJVK FER OKKT QUABAMTEE. It remains now to show wliat is the estimated risk to the Province aud to the Company in respect of any probable deficiency in the Guarantee during the first five years, esti- mated to be necessary for the development of the traffic, in- cluding the time necessary for the completion of the Line to its Western Terminus and for the construction of the Victo- tia Bridge. But In the first place, the Company would engage to com- plete the Line to the Western Terminus in one and the Vic- toria Bridge within three complete working seasons from the date of the granting of the Guarantee, thus afibrdiiig two years for the devoiopment of the through traffic, before the termination of the Company's liability in respect to the estimated deficit on the Guarantee. It 18 evident then that the estimated receipts of the Line must be the ba»is of the calculations as to any deficiency or excess on the Guarantee of 5 per cent, on the share capital during the first five years. The estimated receipts therefore must be as carefully ascer- taiuu I a!» circumstance will admit of. The experience of Hallways in America in districts similarly populated and of a like character, might be fairly adopted as a guide ; but it is fortunate that in this instance, actual experience in Upper and Lower Canada is sufiicient to afibrd data for calculations of the accurac}' of which no reasonable doubts can be en- tertained. It will be seen on reference to the annexed estimates of tr.ilfic (So. 1), during the first five years, that the average re- ceipts are calculatod, on the Eastcjrn Section at £15 per mile per week ; on the Western Sectiun, at £25 per mile per week ; and that assuming the working expenses at 50 per cent, on the'gross receipts, and deducting all the fixed charges of the Provinces and of the Company, there remains an animal balance available foi Dividend of 2.05 per cent, on the share capital. or f Tlio Ilubilify ot'tlio Pjovinco tliurctbiv, iu utspect of the 5 per con t. (iiiariintoo, wonld Im 'i.Oo per eont. por annum fluring tivo yeaix, which deficit would l»o annually converted into share capital under a like (^uuranfeoot'fivo per cent. The t'ollowin<; data are att'ordod by the actual exporioiu;e of the Provinces: The receipt« of the KiistuTii Section of the (Jrand Trunk of 428 miles, averaged, eticit of 2.95 per cent, on the share capital during the lirst five ., < ars, and which it is proposed for that time to convert into sliarc capital under a like Guarantee of 5 per cent, bv the Provinces, , By reference t.» the estimate of traffic i()r the second period of five y S 5:5 - o 01 lO ,- (M s^ 5 =^ fe I, .^ _ i- -^ ^ I' -I c-s«^ 03 ^^ o a c ■* 00 i^ o O I- 1- 00 QO'-^" o oo" 00 O ; "* i 00 00 o S3 o •5! 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