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V-U!!- Mr !,,, ( 'ii;ui'i,i;i!i I'f ;ii'' l.u;ii'i U, form (.;!ul>, M'litiv,'!, mI" U.ii!'"iii (.^.!ului^si-^^r<, aii'l uiiiiiiiin-ii:-! y ,,,lnn-t,u',l).a.r;>.n-M'..M..l:.,:,n.nn:U,>..fv,-|,ic!., 1-nK.rn:' t-i ill.' !i;i,n..ii:il ,t,,il-;,11y .•Ml:ip'i''i tul llic lil',,dncli..M of :,r lie.-'- 'iiu'wrl ••• ' *• . ., 'i , .,,1,;..,.! 1,, 1^' i.Ml.ii-li.'i Mi;. Aia:i!. >i |.«,nii]ililt 1. t'liriiK ;t!iii i .it'l'T till' iiuMi''ati.ai. •aiisi' ,„.r Mil liir Mihj.-el U> 1'^' pulai-h.M 11! i:i\ '■ ;i i!H'> iin J I .,i],,,l f.iv rnillii';' lU-iMiSsil'l I V (iDu Commercial Pinion toitl) tbc Hnitcb States (lllitlt It tuofb on Eirtpcnal llcciprocitn. The proposal to abolisli all duties on trade between the United States and Canada being now advocated by certain newspapers in the West, and the attention of the farmers of Canada having been specially directed to its consideration, I purpose to attempt a discus- sion of the merits of suclia policy on its purely economical or business side, leaving i)olitical considerations out of sight, and looking at it chiefly from the farmer's str.n(i,000 Manitoba I,o24,000, " 2,145,000 Britisli Columbia 2,152,000, " 3,458,000 111 these provinces tho costs of collection were : I'agt'H ci;sTOMs. 8 and Ontario amount 80,55(1,000, cost ?253,189 38''^ 353 354 Manitoba Briti.sli Columbia. . , 38,!)11 08% 30,733 32/, 12 and Ontario 350 Manitoba British Columbia. 145,495 40% 14,002 1.02% .5,058 0.13% " 571,000, " 01)9,000, INLAN'O UKVKNUK. 3,t)00,000, " 147,000, 02,000. Now, as I do not imagine that the people of this country think they should be exempt from taxation, they are perhaps as well uati.s- fied to pay these taxes by duties, even on imports from the United States, as by internal taxes. It may bo stated generally that customs dutie.s, so far as mere cost of collection is concerned, is a more econ- omical sy.stem than other systems of indirect taxation, though on grounds to be stated later on I do not defend it as superior to direct taxation, beyond saying that if ap[nn: of the beat mode of rai.sing revenue l)y the government. The boon i,lKit is to b(! gained from our entering a Commercial Unii)!! is the repoal of 13.15 i)cr cent, duties on trade between Canada and tilt! Unitoi) SU'te.s. What is the i)riee we are asked to pay for it '] It is an increased rate of duty upon our imports froii every other country in tlu; world, ineludinr.; the diUV'rent countries ol the liritish Empire. What would tlie increase Ix- if we a should consider which is the more valuable trade, and \vhich gives promise of the greater degree of development. AVe have seen that the volume of our trade with other countries, taking both imports and exports, was, in 1885, 8105,000,000 with other countries against !?8G,900,000 wiih the United States. Therefore, in mere vohune (lur trade with other countries seems the more valuaitle. This ditlerence would also bo accentuated if it were not that (jur iluties against the United States, being largely of raw products to be manufactunsd or for re-export, as already stated, are considerably lower tl: the duties on imports from other countries. So that whatever inciu ntal discrimination there is tells in favour of the United States. It must be pointed ont, however, that there is no discrimination in princiitle. The dillerenco in rate results solely from the accidental circumstance that the imports from the United States are largely of a class of raw products for manufacture or re-export, which are admitted free of duty. But still what difference there is tells on the volume of trade ; only for this the proportion would be still greater in favour of our own Empire and the rest of the world. What we have to consider is whether our trade with the United States is in itself of a nature to be more profitable than trade with other countries. This leads us to make a careful examination of the ( i ; f i I \ t 8 c'.rticles of which this trad(5 consists. jMy researches enable me to go fully into this question, only as to the trade with the United King- dom and the United States, though I can also give a few leading facts regarding trade with other parts of the Britisli Empire. As already stated, our aggregate trade from 1873 to 1885 with the United Kingdom was $1,171,000,000, with the. United States $1,006,000,000. Our exports to the United Kingdom were 8584,- 000,000, to tne United States $455,000,000. What is the reason that our trade with the Mother Country remains as great as or greater than trade with our neigh})ors 1 Tlie former has to come over 3,000 miles by sea and a long distance by rail, and has to overcome a slightly larger rate of duty than the latter, which has in most cases merely to cross the rjrder. There must be some substantial reason to compen- sate for c'/xitiguity of markets. The reason will, I think, be found to be I «J n 1 1 i * n li DISSIMILARITY OF PRODUCTS. Trade with the United States is largely in articles they produce in common with ourselves. Trade with the United Kingdom is more largely in articles that both do not produce, or do not produce to ad- vantage. It is this feature that makes countries commercially complementary to one another, not mere geographical position. I do not wish to underestimate the value of nearness of markets as tending to facilitate exchange ; but tliiit it is not an essential to a high degree of solid and rapid development is evidenced by the condition of the Australian colonies, which, thougli 10,000 mlies from their chief outsid ' market, }>resent the most marvellous instance of growth shown by any communities the world has ever seen. Pissimilarity of pro- ducts seems a more powerful olement in determining the channel of trade tlian proximity of markets. There is only one important class of articles to which this does not apply, namely, perishable goods, such as fresh eggs, vegetables, fish, ripe fruit, etc. These should, for the advantage of both coun- tries, be made duty free, and, as a matter of fact, they largely are so. One of the largest articles of export by Canada to the United States is eggs, of which, in 1885, we sent them 81,826,000 worth, and they are admitted free of duty. I'or perishable goodo we must look for a market near at hand, and therefore we must depend either upon our own country or oui neighbours. For this class of produce, of course, the best market will lie the cit'es and towns of our own Dominion ; MIW" 9 me to go lited King- i\v leoding •e. 1885 with ted States ere 8564,- the reason 3 or greater )vev 3,000 i a slightly merely to io coinpen- ound to be pi'oduce in ni is more luce to ad- iimercially ion. I do as tending igh degree ion of the heir chief I'th shown ty of pro- channel of this does egatables, )oth coun- Ay are so. ted States and they ook for a upon our af course, >oniinion ; each of these is the centre of a thriving district of market gardening, which is a vaUiable industry to the country. The greater our popula- tion, of course, the larger will be the number of such centres, the greater the prosperity of a certain class in our farming community. But the cultivation of such perishable products cannot sustain more than a small fraction of our population, and for farmers staples, for wheat, flour, oats, oatmeal, butter, cheese, cattle, sheep, preserved meats, anything that can be transported without injury, the best market will be one in which t)iere is a scarcity of these things, the markst in which they are to be consumed, not that from which they are to be re-exported to the country of ultimate consumption. When a farmer has grain to sell he does not sell it to the farmer on the next land, even though he be a rich man with a largo farm, he takes it to the miller, the produce merchant or the baker. It is the same Avith nations. The United States and Canada may both be regarded as farmers whil*^ Liverpool is the baker's shop, where both have to sell. I imagine it is better for Canadians to sell to Liverpool direct than to sell in Xew York and let the American shipper get the profit out of the Liverpool trade. Before entering upom this comparison 1 must say a word regarding certain articles that now are, or that until recently have been, admitted to the United States free of duty, for the export of which, therefore, Commercial Union would give us no market that we have not already. Eggs I have already mentioned, but no article on commercial relations with the Unitfid States would be complete without a reference to our fisheries. Fish were still, in 1885, admitted free of duty to the United States. Not that that was our only market ; for wc exported that year 87,960,000 of fish, of Avhich 83,560,000 went to the United Stales and 84,400,000 to other places, chiefly to the United Kingdom and the British, French and Spanish West Indies. The United States also re-exported 8863,000 of cod and mackerel, etc., principally to the same markets. But this may h\ taken as a cardinal point in our policy on the fishery question : that admission of American fishermen to our fisheries is worth far more than access to the American markets for our fish. The Americans themselves know this very well. They would be only too glad to get us to consent to grantmg them the use of our fisheries without asking any other return than free trade in fish. But for us to consent to that would be to give up one of our most eff"ectivc levers ; 1 ■ tl 1 10 to induce them to grant reciprocity in other nrticles of common pro- duce. We know that the vahie set by the Halifax commission upon the use of our fisheries for twelve years, under the treaty of "Wash- ington, was $5,500,000, in addition to free admission to the American markets for our fisli. And therefore, although, in order to give time for a commission to examine the question, we might be willing to consent to a temporary arrangement, such as that suggested by Lord Siilisbury with the approval rf our government, under which Ameri- cans were to be allowed to enter our fisheries in return for free admis- sion of fish alone, we certainly would not consent to that otherwise than temporarily. Our fisheries are of immense value, and to have the use of these Americans must be prepared either to pay a good round sum annually for the privilege, or else to grant us reciprocal trade in other things besides fish ; and this under a treaty similar in principle to the last Keciprocity treaty, wi^'ch shall not require us to discriminate against the rest of our Empire, and which shall leave us free to regulate our tariff otherwise as we see fit. Otherwise we shall keep our fisheries for our own fishermen, and make the Americans buy their fish from these, and pay their own duties on inqjorting them. It may therefore be taken for granted that in any arrangement that is made, fish must be admitted free to the American market, the only question that will arise being how much more indemnity they will have to pay Canada for the use of tiie fisheries. In this respect, therefore the returns of 1885, in whicli fish are on the free list, are as useful as any others for arriving at conclusions which shall be of general application. TRADE WITH UNITED STATES. I shp.ll now give a series of tables, showing all the principal articles now exported by Canada to the United States, taking from the trade tables for 1885 all article'5 entered therein in which exports to tlie United States amounted to 6100,000 and over. The first list is of articles admitted to the United States free of duty. Table I. Principal Free Expoi-ts 1885, Canada to United States, {Canadian returns). Fish: Cod, etc., dry salted 641,000 Mackerel, pickled 62.">,000 Herring " ....2!)0,000 " smoked 13:^,000 Lobsters, canned 712,000 i; 11 ommon pro- lissiou upon ty of Wash- le American o give time 3 willing to ied by Lord liich Ameri- free admis- lerwise than lavo the use round sum \de in other principle to liscrimiuate us free to shall keep 3ricans buy ng them, rrangement market, the imnity they .his respect, I'ee list, are shall be of e principal aking from in which over. The " duty. Fish: Salmon, fresh 8 223,000 Freah, N.E.S 447,000 Eggs 1,82(5,000 Gold Quartz, (British Columbia,) 999,000 Hides, skins, furs. 459,000 Bark for tanning 304,000 Firewood 310,000 Furs (undressed) - 185,000 Logs 143,000 Railway Sleepers 142,000 §7,505,000 Total Free Imports from Canada, (U. S. returns), .?12,042,000. In this class of goods, bearing in mind the position assumed as above with regard to fish, it is evident that no increased market in the United States would be gained by Commercial Union with that country. It is true return cargoes would be free from duty ; but only at the expense of increased inland taxes and higher duties on imports from every other market. The second class consists of goods which are imported by the United States, eithei- to be re-exported, or else, being imported in one place, and an equivalent amount of tlie same articles exported in another, serve merely to replace goods which are the produce of the United States themselves. Table II. Principal Exports Canada to the United States 1885, of articles of which the United States Export exceeds their Import from Canada, ARTICLES. Canada's Export to U. S, Coal bituminous (from B. C.) 1,178,000 Copper ore 245,000 Iron " 132,000 Horned cattle 1,411,000 Hides, hoi US and skins 459,000 Peas and beans 484,000 Wheat 208,000 Rye 1 31 .000 Potatoes 108,000 Wood Staves and headings 312,000 Other lumbe.- 184,000 Household furniture 147,000 Other wood manufactures 221,000 U. S. Export. 1,989,000 4,739,000 12,891,000 12,900,000 4,153,000 .522,000 72,933,000 2,000,000 205,000 1,950,000 1,182,000 2,128,000 1,590,000 $5,300,000 8119,248,000 ! if ' It 'I ' I I I \ ! t J 12 For a groat deal of this Canada could open up a direct trade with the country of ultimate consumption and «lerive perhaps as great or greater trade profits than by sending the goods to the United States to be dealt with by AmericaK dealers. I may specially direct atten- tion to the magnitude of the export by the United States of copper ore and iron ore, as Mr. Wimun, in his perambulations, pictures the enormous market that country would be for these products under a Commercial Union. The third class of exports is of thoso for the greater part of which the United States is the ultimate consuming market ; the class, there- fore, to be compared with the list that will be given of our export to other countries. Table III. Principal Exports, Canada to the United States, 1885, of which the latter retain the whole or a great part* (Last three figures omitted.) U. S. Imports from _, , ^^ „ Articles. ^ Camida. ^^^rnnS^ Canadian American import. Returns. Returns. Wood: Planks S6,956 §6,805 $6,814 SC,570 S 386 U.S. U.S. net Export. Consump'n Laths, palings, etc 220 Shingles 133 Barley 5,477. .. Hay 1,181 Malt .... 280 Horses 1,524.... Sheep 773 Wool 186 157..., 6,.521..., 1,517.. 2(57 . . . . 1,251..., 857 ... 200 ... . 157 6,522. 1,518 207. 1,371. 860. .3,000. 48... 132 .. , 346.., 204 .. , 377. 512. 88. 88,277 810,730 817,575 820,509 Resnm^ of Dutiable Imports to United States : — Table II 8 5,300,000, Canadian Returns. Table III 17,575,000, American " Together 822,875,000 Total Dutiable Imports from Canada, 824,053,000, Americar Returnii, . 172 1 . 5,131 977 . 280 . 1,147 . 201 98 88,453 il . \ * * The figures in the first column of this. Table III, are taken, as those of our exports in the other two tables, from the Canadian returns, the other columns are from the American returns. The second column is given for comparison with the first, and because in a few cases the U. S. tot.al import would have appeared as less than the import from Canada . The two columns show, however, no greater discrep.ancy than miglit have been expected, as the exports from Canada are not immediately entered for consumption, and therefore may not appear in the Ameri- can returns for the same year. The closeness of their correspondence serves to show that the classification is practically the same, and the returns tolerably accurate. -.-«« 13 ect trade with ips as great or United States y direct atten- ites of copper , pictures the iucts under a part of which e class, tliere- our export to atter retain the S. U.S. net )rt. Consump'n 570 S 386 48 172 132 1 M6 5,131 20-1 977 280 577 1,147 512 201 88.. .. 98 !77 S8,453 IS. leturiiii, as those of our er columns are rison with the e appeared as ver, no greater ]!anada are not ■ in the Ameri- ence servers to urns tolerably ■f. Of tliese articles in Table III it appears that the United States are the ultimate consuming market for about half of what they import from us, the diflorence being either re-exported or serving to replace exports in the same way as the articles mentioned in Table II. For these, as was remarked of the latter, it would be at least possible for us to open up direct trade with the countries to which they are exported, although naturally a good deal of such trade might be less advantageously done, as the place of import might be at a consider- able distance both from the place of United States production and from the place of export. The third column shows to what extent we already have, not- withstanding the duties existing, control of this branch of the United States trade, and the extent to which such trade can be expanded without diminishing the market of United States producers themselves. This margin for expansion, it will be seen, is not large, since we already supply 817,575,000 out of their total import of 820,509,000, being 85.7 per cent. This is a point of considerable importance when we come to compare this trade with our trade with other countries, and illustrates the difference between trade with a country whose pro- ducts are similar to our own, and with countries whose products are essentially dissimilar. TRADE WITH UNITED KINGDOM. I will now give similar information with respect to our trade with the Uniteil Kingdom, taking in the same way, from the tallies of 1885, all articles of which our export exceeded 8100,000 apiece. To correspond vrith the third column in Table III above, I add in a separate column the total import by the United Kingdom of the articles in (piestion. Table IV. Principid Exports, Canada to the United Kingdom, 1883, icith total imports into the United Kingdom of the same articles. (Last three figures omitted. £, stg., multiplied by 5 to give amoiint in ?.) U. K. Import Total Animals and Produce : from Canada. U K. Import. Horned Cattle 85,752 §40, GOO .Sheep 4.56 12,590 Butter 1,212 58,800 Cheese 8,176 24,450 Furs 1,426 5,020 Hides and Skins 137 19,010 Meat: bacon 628 14,470 .S17,787 S181,0G0. I If it I Is f 3! 1. A I l! 14 Agricultural Produce Fruit : Grain ; Green Apples S 537 Oats 703 Peas 1,713 Wheat 1,681 " Flour 381 Oatmeal 241 The Forest : Deals : Pine 2,079 " Spruce and other 2,084 Deal ends 249 Planks, Boards, etc 251 Timber: Elm 257 Oak 552 " Pine, red... 101 White 1,984 The Fisheries : Lobsters, canned 903 Salmon 423 Tlie Mine : Phosphates 328 Manufactures : E.xtract Hemlock Bark 137 Leather, Sole and Upper 403 Musical Instruments : Organs 116 Wood, other manufactures 199 Other wood work S 2,760 Other Grains: 116,645 157,270 61,720 2.470 5,256 340,865 Wood : Hewn, 28,070 Sawn, 52,050 8,757 1,326 328 Fish, 11,505 855 1,230 Mus.Ins. 4,395 House Frames, 1,270 2,905 80,120 11,505 834,309 9,800 §023,350 Total Export to United Kingdom in 1885 § 41,871,000 Above enumerated 34,309,000 Total Import by U. K. of articles above enumerated 623,350,000 It is not quite possible to compare all the items, as the headings in the English returns are, in some cases, more general than our own, and I have not been able to obtain the more minute classifications for 1885. In order to check the above, to guard against any misappre- hension on such items, and to give a more certain ar>'ircue of our possible trade with the United Kingdom, I give three additional tables, in which the distinctions are more minutely drav'n, of the articles we are in a position to supply the home market with. The first is a statement of the import of articles of food, in 1880, and I give in separate colums (1) the import from foreign countries, (2) the import from British countries, (3) the total import, (4) the total iS S 2,760 r s: 116,045 157,270 61,720 2,470 J: m 28,070 'n, 52,050 340,865 ih, 11,505 80,120 11,505 1,230 Ins. 4,395 ise les, 1,270 2,905 9,800 8023,350 .S 41,871,000 , . 34,309,000 .. 623,350,000 the headings in than our own, assifications for i any misappre- ap^A'cue of our hree additional drawn, of the ket with. The in 1880, and I untries, (2) the (4) the total 15 export by the principal colonies and dependencies, of the same articles, in order to sliow the pro[)ortion which, without increased production, the colonies were in a position o supply in 1880, (5) the same for 1884. Table V. l7)iport of certain Arlichs of Food into the United Kingdom, 1880. (In £' sterling. Last three figures omitted ) From From Totul Total e\\ irta from Articles. Foreign British U. K. Principal colonies.* Countries Countries Import. 1880. 1884. Animals — living : O.Ken, bulls, cows and calves 0,717 1,077 7,794 1,030 1,458 Sheep and lambs 2,094 172 2,200 037 1,079 Meats : Bacon and Hams 10,853 133 10,980 185 109 Dairy Produce : Butter 11,501 580 12,141) , .„„ , „„ Cheese 4,325 707 5,092 [ ^''^^^^ ^'-^^l Eggs 2,183 52 2,235 154 402 Meat.''— Salted, fresh or preserved... 5,078 306 5,444 fl9 843 Corn, Grain and Flour : Wheat 24,409 0,213 30,022 0,844 13,190 Barley 4,958 53 5,011 1,100 1,196 Oats 4,527 408 4,935 555 407 Maize. .... 10,193 970 11,103 540 502 Flour 8,085 021 8,700 1,800 1,605 Potatoes 2,419 428 2,847 192 278 £97,402 £1],840 £109,242 £15,154 £23,140 10.84% 13.87% 21.19% Total United Kingdom import, £109,242,000 = 8540,210,000. The next is a table of articles used as raw materials of manufac- tures, in which is given only the total impovt, the import from British countries, and the import from foreign countries. Table VI. Import into the United Kingdom, 1883, of certain Raw Materials, which are 2Woduced in Canada. (In £ sterling. Last three figures omitted.) From From Total Articles. Foreign British U.K. Countries. Countries. Import. CopperOre £ 018 £ 477- £1,095 Oil train and blubber 230 200 430 Skins and Furs : Sheep and Lambs 370 633 1,003 Seal 331 112 443 Wood: Hewn 3,958 1,057 5,015 Sawn 7,397 3,014 10,411 Staves 579 62 041 £13,483 £6,155 £19,038 Total U. K. hijport, £19,300,000 = 896,800,000 * The colonies included in these figures are : India, Cape of Good Hope, Canada, Barbadoes, New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Queensland, Tasmania and New Zealand. irf li 'it H ?! ;i f 16 Lastly there are articles, chiefly manufactures, of the following kinds : — Table VII. Import into the United Kimjdom, 1883, of manufactured and other articles which can be produced in Canada. (In i; sterling. Last three figures omitted.) Articles. Total Import. Alkali , £ 81 Hats and Bonnets : Straw 75 Horses 133 Leather o,4t!r» " Boots and Shoes 421 ' ' unemimerated 247 Musical Instruments 879 Paper and Pasteboard 1,245 Paper-hangings 40 Skins and Furs C>38 Wood : Furniture, etc 581 House Frames and Joiner Work .... 254 £10,3(30 Total U. K. import, £10,300,000 = $51,800,000. The United Kingdom, therefore, at the present time furnishes a market for Articles of Food £109,242,000 = .?546,2in,000 Raw Materials 19,038,000 = 98,190,000 Manufactures, etc 10, 360, 000 = 51, 800, 000 £139,240,000 = §696,200,000 As compared with the market for $20,750,000 offered by the United States for goods now dutiable, cf which her exports do not already exceed her imports. In preparing the above tables I have carefully selected, so far as it was possible to do so, only articles w'hich are already produced, and are capable of being produced to a much larger extent, by the people, and chiefly by the farmers, of Canada. a 11 ■ { ■s i i \\ TRADE WITH AUSTRALASIA. Let US look now at some of the other markets of the Empire, and first Australasia. The several colonies of Australia and New Zealand at the present time import from foreign countries the following quan- tities (values) of articles that we can well supply them with : — ! I >r ! >f tlie following r articles which can Total Import. .... £ 81 .. .. 75 . . l;« 5,4G() 421 247 879 1,245 40 .... 938 . . . . 581 . . . . 254 £10,300 ime furnishes 46,210,000 98,100,000 51,800,000 96,200,000 ffercd by the :ports do not tables I have irtieles which id to a much of Canada. Empire, and S^'ew Zealand owing quan- ith :— 17 Table VIII. Foreii/u Imi>orts by the Colonies of Austrahma of Articles that can be produced hi/ Canada,— 1SS5. Articles. Value. Agricultural Ini piemen ts : Mowers gjyi qoo I'l""Pl'« (i.'ooo ^ , ,,, Others io7,oG0 xJooks and Maps Carriages and Parts JJ^'fV, ; • ••••"■'•"•■•••■•••... 114,000 -I' isn : balmon, canned 3*^3 qqq Iron : Sewing Machines 129 000 Locomotive Engines 140000 Leather: Finished, upper '.'..' 14'^'ooO 1'^*^"* 41»,000 Musical Instruments : Organs 138*000 ;;"\^^^^--' ■ •'.'.'.'.'.z.:::. 51:0m Provisions : Beef, canned Soap Wood : lumber 124,0)0 388,000 Household Furniture Woodenware Other Wood Manufactures . 12,000 59,000 840,000 43,000 301,000 08,000 192,000 S3, 482,000 Canada could import in return from Australasia copper, tin, lead, Kauri wood and gum, pearls, certain kinds of leather, hides, cordage^ tallow, fruit (green), sugar, jams and preserves, preserved mea°ts,' coffee, wines, wool, and certain woollen goods. BRITISH WEST INDIES. Among the articles we conld send to the West Indian Colonies, I may mention several of their most important imports, such as cattle,' indian corn, bread and biscuit, oats, wheat flour, meal, fish, certair! cotton manufactures, fish and salted beef, salted pork, butter, cheese, soap, refined sugar, wood, lumber, shocks, staves, headings and house- hold furniture. We could receive from them in return, asphalt, drugs, cocoa, cocoanut, coffee, bananas, india rubber, hardwoods, oranges, preserved fruits, wool, spirits, sponges, molasses, sugar. BRITISH HONDURAS. Balize imports large quantities of fish and wheat-flour; and exports mahogany and hardwoods, drugs, sugar, bananas, cocoanuts, india rubber. /s to siH'ing into 3ugh v'ith regard ' and many other ke of cultivating restrictions and jrow out of our iffects that would 3 United States, e countries, the long as we keep so long have we If we increase 12 per cent, our fer. We may put it thus : We export every year to countries other tiian the United .States about $50,000,000 of goods. On the imports wliicli Ave receive in exchange we pay 18.61 per cent, duties, say $9,300,000. This leaves, neglecting other cliargcs, $40,700,000 to bo divided among the producers in Canada. If we advance our rate of duty, and adopt the United States tarilF of 30.59 per cent., this takes oft" 815,300,000 from the price we receive, leaving only $34,700,000 to l)e divided among our people, Ijeing a minimum loss every year of $6,000,000 on our trade with our own Empire and foreign countries Otlit;r than the United States. 15ut what if the United States would consent to lower their tariff six per cent, on condition of our increasing ours six per cent"? Or even suppose, though it is an unlikely supposition, the United States would lower their tariff to the rate of the Canadian, and that a uni- lorm system of excise and internal taxation were agreed upon 1 Even ;in such case, Canada would not be justified in entering upon a Com- mercial Union. Many of the reasons in that case would certainly be more or less political, since it would be renouncing control of the sources of our national revenue ; and it is difficult to conceive of the management in common of these, without, at least, periodical repre- sentation of Canada in the United States Congress. Moreover, it would be a violation of thi' principle of international law in commer- cial 'reaties that the duties on the same articles imported from all for.-^ign nations must be the same ; and it would be incompatible with our position as a part of the British Empire to discriminate against the other countries composing it, by levying duties, however small, against them, while we admitted goods from a foreign nation free. But even in that case there is an economical objection also : namely, that Canada would lose the advantage she now has, by reason of her relatively lower tariff, in her trade relations with all other countries ; and would be prevented from entering upon commercial treaties with every other country, unless it was agreeable to the people of the United States. If the United States did lower their tariff, Canada's true policy would be to preserve her advantage by lowering hers still further, and to make it approach as near as possible to free trade with all countries. Of course all this demonstrates not only the evil of burdening trade with other countries for the benefit of the United States, but the '■*« w H u Hi Ml 1' • L ; . :; ii ,1 .li 'Hi 1 1 . . i 1 1 ^ 20 tlisndvnntnges of lii<,'li or protcctivL' duties generally. I believi' it is clearly the interest of the farmers, except perhaps these in the immediate neighbourhood of manufacturing towns or cities, to jn-otest against the high and increasing duties that have recently ])een imposed in Canada, every increase of one per cent, being a direct injury to the trade and ship[)ing of the country and to the farmers who are the backl)onc of its prosperity. It is i)ossible there may be certain partial compensation if industries are established which, once established, shall be self-supporting ; but for such of them as are really well adapted to the country, a low rate of duty should sufHce to give them all the protection they need. Industries that will require perpetual protection would be much better closed up. I therefore approve of the stand taken by one of the leading members of our House of Commons who declared that although he had su])ported the National Policy from its incc^ption and so long as the degree of protection granted was moderate, lie protested against the late increase of duties as an injustice to the farming community. Indeed, I am a believer in free trade and direct taxation, and hope some day to see absolute free trade between the British Empire and the United States and all other nations, and the honest, straightforward system of payment by the people to the government of the taxes necessary to carry on its work. But if the United States will n(jt enter into that arrangement, then I believe the best policy for Canada to adopt will be the nearest appioach to free trade wiih the rest of the British Empire ; in Avhich case this country would become the emporixuu of a vast trade even with the people of the United States, who would buy from us a great deal of what they could get here as cheap as they could import it direct from the country of its production. In order to build U[) such a trade we should have the lowest possible duties. But if the country is not ready to pay their taxes by direct taxation and prefer to do so by customs duties, then it is clearly the best policy for the farmers to support a purely revenue tariif. Only it must be a tarilf against all countries alike, for it would be wiser to support the nic o advanced protectionist, as things are at present, than to sacrifice the advantage we have over the United States in a lower rate of import duty, to sacri- fice also our present and prospective trade with the several countries of our Empire and Avith other foreign countries in order to build up industries of the United States alone. It vould be a distinctly retrograde step, if the Liberal party of Canada were to abandon their 21 [ ht'litivi' it is ).s these in the cities, to jn'otest tly l)ii{'n iiiipoaed eot injury to the lers wlio ai'o the )o ('(irtnin ]iartial niw established, i are rt.'(diy well ice to give them ;quire perpetual :'efore approve of 'f our House of ted the National ft! of protection icrease of duties am a believer in see absolute free tes and all other payment by the irry on its work, ngement, then I nearest appi (jach ; in M-iiicl) case trade even with n us a great deal import it direct )uild up such a it if the country I prefer to do so )r the fanners to tariil against all i mc c advanced !e the advantage rt duty, to sacri- ieveral countries der to build up be a distinctly -0 abandon their high priucipl. d policy of tarill' f(jr revenue oidy, and the nem-est approach to free tro'la possible, but treating all countries alike, and to adopt instead a policy of special favours towards a country that maintains a high [jrotective tariff even against our own Empire, a policy that would force us to abandon one of the most important of our national attri])Utes. SIIII'PIN'O AND HAILWAYH. To return, however, to the subject immediately before us, another ellect ot' ailopting Commercial Union with the United States would be to injure our shipping. To buy from oiu- Southern neighbours instead of importing for ourselves would be to build up inland tratlic, especially of lines of railway running north and south at the expense of our shipping with other countries, and of our own great lines of railway running east and west. To speak of shipping first, if we choose to buy from the United States what we now import direct from Kngland, the Wi-st Indies and South Africa, and what we hope soon to liring from Australia and Hong Kong, our shipping interests with all these places must decline. It is true we may continue to sentl oiir surplus produce, wheat and other grain, cattle, sheep and lumljer, to England and elsewhere ; but if we refuse to spend the money due us there, and l)ring it back to spend in the United States, we shall not only get less value for it there, but our ships will come back with smaller cargoes, and will either Ije ruined or will liave to charge higher freights on the cargo one way, to pay the expense of the voyage both ways. Accidental circumstances may sometimes prevent this from becoming apparent at once ; but it is selfevident that shipping cannot be permanently carried on at a loss, and the owners of our steamships, their masters and sailors, will inevitaljly sulfer if we persist in a policy of liampering importation from beyond seas. !More will then be chargeii for what freight we send away and the ililFerence will come out of the pockets of the farmers ami the producers. The United States protective policy has had the effect of largely destroying their mercantile marine. Commercial Union would tend to destroy ours also. We have now a high rank among the shipowning countries of the world, and we should be careful not to lower it. But not shipping only, our Canadian sea-ports also would suffer. Trade would bo driven from them to New York which tends more and i !• ' iA ,' ' t . ' >A ii 1 more to become the sole sea-port of importance in the T''nited States. Montreal, St. John and Halifax, would suffer the fate of Portland (Maine), Salem (Massachusetts), and other towns on the coast, which were at one time the centres of important shipping interests, but are now deserted except fci small fishing and coasting craft ; and that not because of natural disadvantages, for there are no finer ports in the United States, but solely tiirough the excessive duties on imports and the spirit of monopoly and concentration of railway, forwarding and shipping interests in one direction ending in Xew York. In the same way Vancouver would be checked in her effort to become a grand Pacific terminus, and her general traffic would be diverted to San Francisco. If, therefore, Canada takes any interest in maintaining a national highway of her own, she will reject a policy that would divert all her traffic into United States channels. The same fate might befall the border towns. Some of the leading merchants who took part in the discussion of this question before the Toronto Board of Trade expressed the conviction that Toronto would cease to be an important distributing centre, and that her trade would be diverted to Buffalo, Detroit and Chicago. The injury would also be severely felt by our two great lines of railway. This country has spent a vast amount of money in estab- lishing two great national highways, the Grand Trunk and the Cana- dian Pacific. The one stretches from Sarnia to Quebec in summer, and, at present, to Portland in winter, traversing one of the finest districts in the continent. Its trade and power depends largely upon the prosperity and solidity of our Canadian towns, especially Montreal and Toronto, and upon these retaining the control of the distributing trade for Canada. The back-bone of the Grand Trunk is Canadian, and it is its position of solidity here that enables it to tap the western trade at Chicago, and bring some share of it by the St. Lawrence route, where return cargoes entered at lower duties than those levied in New York can be obtained. Assimilate the tariffs at the Canadian and American seaboard, and you remove the centre of the whole North Amc ' 3an continent to New York, Our other great railway extends from Vancouver to Quebec in summer, and to Halifax, St. John or, perhaps, a port in Cape Breton, in winter, or, as has been poetically remarked, from Hong Kong or Yokohama to Liverpool. The realization of the latter conception would be destroyed by Commercial Union with the United States. ■MyuitL.'iiiiaiii le Fnitecl States, fate of Portland the coast, Avhich interests, but are ift ; and that not iner ports in the s on imports and , forwarding and I'k. In the same ae a grand Pacific San Francisco, ining a national lid divert all her might befall the 'Ook part in the 5oard of Trade be an important srted to Bulfalo, great lines of noney in estab- ; and the Cana- n summer, and, nest districts in the prosperity .1 and Toronto, iting trade for lian, and it is estern trade at ■e route, where in Xew York and American 3rth Ame'"2an to Quel)ec in Cape Breton, fong Ivong or er conception f^nited States. By placing greater restrictions on our trade with Australia, with Hong Kong and Yokohama, we should destroy or greatly impair the chance of the successful establishment of the lines of steamships we hope soon to ,ee from the Canadian port on the Pacific to Australia, !N"ew Zealand, the Sandwich Islands, China and Japan, which give promise of opening up a trade of great value to our farmers. Instead of increasing our duties twelve per cent, against Australia and those other countries, we should rather try to make arrangements by which our duties on imports from them should be repealed or diminished, as we might then open up a market, still dissimilar to our own, capable of unlimited development and of incalculable value. A word must be added upon the graphic picture drawn by !Mr. Erastus AViman of the prosperity promised to our farmers as the certain result of Commercial Union. It is always an easy matter to descant upon the benefits that would flow from abolishing taxes. The advocacy of such a cause always ensures a certain amount of popu- larity. And if we could get the markets of the United States to sell in, without altering in any way either our more valuable trade with other countries, or the am'untof internal taxes we .should have to pay, and without discriminating in tariff in favour of one foreign nation and against our own Empire and other foreign nations, we should be great fools not to take it. And Mr. Wiman, as a wily speculator, takes care not to dwell on that feature of the case. This point, however, I think has been sufficiently discussed. But I think it is worth while to tear the mask off the picture he has drawn of the results that would accompany his policy. Sam Slick's Airthly Paradise, or ^fartin Chuzzleworth's Eden are almost tame by the side of Erastus' fancy picture, I do not believe that the well-being and prosperity of the farmers of the United States generally are greater than of our own. In sonie specially rich and fertile districts or in the immediate neigli- bourhood of large and populous cities what he says may be to some ex- tent true ; but there are many parts of the United States, in Maine and other States and ir many southern districts, where the condition of the farming population is far from enviable. The Americans flock from these places in thousands to the "Western States or the great North-west of Canada. The following I cut from an editorial in the Montreal Star : — F.\RMER3 AND FREE TRADE. "The advocates of Commercial Union maintain that free trade with the United States would be of immense benefit to the farmers of Canada. This natur- .7 n !t 24 ally leads to the enquiry, are the farmers of the United States, as a class, much better off than the farmf^rs of the Dominion, and are their prospects brighter ? It is said that a /ery large jjroportion of the farmers of Canada are in debt, and that farm lands have, in many places, greatly depreciated in value. There may be too much truth in this, but is the condition of United States farmers in this respect any better? Have they no mortgages on their farms and are they able to pay one hundred cents on the dollar of their indebtedness ? This is what is stated in the report of the Washington Department of Agriculture respecting the farmers of New York State : ' On the whole, farmers are more in debt tlian they were ten years ago. There are a large number of farms which were purchased a few years ago and mortgaged, which now would not sell for more than the face of the mortgages, owing to the depreciation of the farming lands which, on an average, is fully thirty-three per cent, in ten years. Probably one-third of the farms in the state would not sell for more than the cost of the buildings and other improve- ments owing to this shrinkage.' Now, it must be admitted that the farmers of New York state are in as good a position to benefit by free trade with the fifty millions of citizens of the United States as those of any part of the Dominion can Iiossibly be, and they l.ave enjoyed that advantage for a very hmg while ; yet we see that they have not ft und it possible to keep out of debt, and in spite of their nearness to the sea and to tlie greatest home markets of the United States, they have not been able to keep up the value of their land. There is food for reflection in these facts." — ^ta;-, Friday, June 3, 1887. And tliere is one circumstance to be taken into account in cosidering this question, and that is the natural differences of climate and situation. No Commercial Union is going to abolish the Canadian winter. Our country is northerly and our people are a northern people. In the same way as the north of Scotland is less rich and fertile than the south of England, in the same way as the conditions of life in Xorway, Sweden, Denmark and the north of Germany are different from what they are in the south of Germany, Belgium, France and Italy, so the people of the north of North America must submit to the disadvantages as well as enjoy the advantages of their northern position. No trade arrangements that can be made will prevent the suspension of vegetation during the winter season, nor do away with the necessity of some considerable part of our labour, wealth and energy, being devoted to the production or purchase of warm clothing and fuel, from which southern people are exempt. The further south you go, at all events until you reach places where the climate becomes so hot as to be enervating, the greater, no doubt, will be the surplus production in proportion to the amount of labour devoted to it. But nearly every part of the United States that is even in a slight degree superior to our more northerly districts in this respect, has already been settled, and now settlers must choose between the bracing and healthy climate of our Canada and of the Northern I ^ Wi ;ii 1 '. -. l! hi irl •t Pi 26 is nearer Japan than is San Francisco, Quebec is nearer Liverpool than is New York, Liverpool is more than a thousand miles nearer Yoko- hama by the Canadian than by the American route ; our shipping, our canal and railway system is complete in itself and capable of preserv- ing our commercial as well as our political independence. Again, during the period of Scotland's, as well as England's, greatest advance- ment, she has not had free trade with England alone, but open ports to all the other countries of the world. This, then, is the aim Canada should keep in view, if once she can be persuaded to abandon her protective policy. While, if we really Vielieve in protection for our manufacturers, it is required more against manufacturers in the United States than elsewhere, as they are our chief competitors in the articles we manufacture most readily. The conclusion Ave come to then seems to be that the advantages that have been pointed out as likely to flow from Commercial Union, are only such as would flow in greater degree from free trade with the rest of our Empire, and in still greater from free trade with the world. If we are to make any exceptions and try to foster trade with any one country in particular, it should rather be with one whose products are dissimilar from our own, which wants to buy what we have to sell, not with one which wants to sell the same things as we ourselves. It is suggested above that it is not the countries that are geographically near, that are commercially complementary to one another, but those that possess advantages for the production of different commodities. Dissimilarity of products is identity of commercial interests ; and it cannot be the will of the Almighty that the people of this continent should shut themselves up together and isolate themselves from the people in the rest of the world. If the United States want to show their goodwill to Canada or to England let them off'er free trade with the whole Empire, and then we shall be able to treat with them. IMPERIAL RECIPROCITY. filft The argument contained in the above pages is destined to show that it would be detrimental to our agricultural, shipping, railway, importing and other trade interests to purchase Commercial Union with the United States at the expense of trammelling our trade with other countries, even under the present condition of afflxirs. And Canada can at the present time look for a slight preference over "^^^M ^ 27 Liverpool than s nearer Yoko- ir .shipping, our ible of preserv- :Ience. Again, eatest advance- but open ports )he aim Canada abandon her tection for our i in tlie United 1 in the articles he advantages nercial Union, trade with the 'ade with the iter trade with th one whose > buy Avhat we 3 things as we ntries that are iutary to one production of identity of Almighty that ) together and le world. If ranada or to lire, and then ined to show ping, railway, lercial Union ar trade with iffairs. And ference over 1% m s foreign countries in the other markets of our Empire, from the more fact that trade follows the flag. That is to say, Avhere the things offered by Canada and by a foreign country in a British market, are and are known to be, of equal value, and at the same price, wo may look for, and in many cases Avill receive, a preference. I have lieard an influential Australian journalist say that if xVustralians could get the same things from Canada that they can get from the United States, they would take them at the same price, or would even pay a trifle more to get them from a country under the same flag. I>ut I have now to point out to you the possibility of arrangement being made by which we shall have a distinct advantage in the markets of every country in the British Empire. A new economic scliool has arisen in England, advocating that trade within the Emi)ire should be placed upon more favourable terms than trade with foreign nations, with a possible exception in favour of those nations that are willirg to grant reciprocal trade advantages to the whole Empire. In atldition to the Fair Trade League which has been interesting public opinion in England for some years, there has been started recently an organization called the ]>ritish Union, with its head(piarters at Manchester, with the avowed object of bringing about a readjustment of the tarifl" in the muther country so as to impose duties upon imports from foreign countries, leaving the markets open to the colonies ; expecting that in return the colonies will, while retaining the right to control their own tariffs, make a concession in favour of the other countries in the Empire as compared with foreign nations. Tlie London, Sheftleld and Glasgow Chambers of Commerce have pronounced in favour of the policy, and possibly some others that I have not heard of. 'Jhe organ of the milling interests, 2Vie Millur, lias declared in its favour, the whole agricultural interest, landowner, tenant and agricultural labourer, is directly interested in its adoption, in order that, to some extent at least, the competition of foreign nations in breadstufts and all other farm produce may be diminished. Lord Salisbury considers that such a policy would give England a lever to negotiate better with foreign nations upon commercial matters, and has written that he would not consider such a policy "Protection." Lord Carnarvon, the framer of our Confederation Act, has expressed himself as convinced that England will be forced to adopt such a measure if she is to retain her commercial supremacy. i>e signs of the times are every day becoming more and more marked that such a i % :!Hl! n ■ .1. I '' iihi l.tiii W I, l.ii.i' Al rwinrya i'lMi,!; \'iri < 'VIA. Tin: Lv.- nv ywv l',Mri,:r. l'.y:-;ir .li^Lii I'., iliip-t, ',>,('., .M,!'., l.itr S-.li.'i- (,- ii. i.i! 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To lie- luul trci.i H. H. LYMAN, Hon. Treasui^or, aS-'i- St. Paul Si., Mcuiti--,' '/ : '^ / 43 ST. VARGARET'S OFFICER. VICTORIA bT'^Eg.!, I50,\1M)N, S.V/. ye i,>.).i TnK llKJHT Hux. Till-; Ilsui. ok 1;m!.iii;ih.. Vif{"Cl!)aii'm.iii : Thk lln.irr Hon-. Ivuw.m'.w rir.vsih'M.'. ^^l' Jllcu. (JTirr'-.iirfrs : A. li, 1.CKIS';. initrrn... cy' nn^iir in 6nn:ib]! Viu- 4J liocut : \i.Kx. M.-Xi:u,, M.l'., \^:- '. ^>iJt Au:N,.!K., i.i ^^L .1 ^>i ',• ;^' >-:.., M<.nu-o:>l. ,1. 11. Ul.^Sh:> iCity S"1i.;i.l' r' Oiii':^ ), T.'n'Uto. ItoKY HbrbKHT Lxman, :;S4 si. I'nul Suv. t, M.mtmU. Piibli^ined on the iBt > ' avcry -vioiah, ai Four ShilHriK^ Ijor aDuuin, post iTo.', evorywboro. IMP^' ^ I AL FEDERATTO N JOUr HE LEA THE M^ CUNTAISI.Nli — fVi/.: luf^>f.-afuni iqnm(illn:nn-rs<'nnnrdvl with fhr LniH-rial F'^'n-a tion Movorimit Lhroiighout the Bnlish Einpvrr. Ot5mm*b.'- Mt th« Ofi-loe-of UxeT-oaguo.or ITom the Hon. TrcnsMP-. , or the t eotiue in Canada, «l the rato of On« Dollar per armuiTi. .f1 .) i9