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(iDu Commercial Pinion toitl) tbc Hnitcb States
(lllitlt It tuofb on Eirtpcnal llcciprocitn.
The proposal to abolisli all duties on trade between the United
States and Canada being now advocated by certain newspapers in the
West, and the attention of the farmers of Canada having been
specially directed to its consideration, I purpose to attempt a discus-
sion of the merits of suclia policy on its purely economical or business
side, leaving i)olitical considerations out of sight, and looking at it
chiefly from the farmer's str.n(i,000
Manitoba I,o24,000, " 2,145,000
Britisli Columbia 2,152,000, " 3,458,000
111 these provinces tho costs of collection were :
I'agt'H ci;sTOMs.
8 and Ontario amount 80,55(1,000, cost ?253,189
38''^
353
354
Manitoba
Briti.sli Columbia. . ,
38,!)11 08%
30,733 32/,
12 and Ontario
350 Manitoba
British Columbia.
145,495 40%
14,002 1.02%
.5,058 0.13%
" 571,000,
" 01)9,000,
INLAN'O UKVKNUK.
3,t)00,000,
" 147,000,
02,000.
Now, as I do not imagine that the people of this country think
they should be exempt from taxation, they are perhaps as well uati.s-
fied to pay these taxes by duties, even on imports from the United
States, as by internal taxes. It may bo stated generally that customs
dutie.s, so far as mere cost of collection is concerned, is a more econ-
omical sy.stem than other systems of indirect taxation, though on
grounds to be stated later on I do not defend it as superior to direct
taxation, beyond saying that if ap[nn: of the beat
mode of rai.sing revenue l)y the government.
The boon i,lKit is to b(! gained from our entering a Commercial
Unii)!! is the repoal of 13.15 i)cr cent, duties on trade between Canada
and tilt! Unitoi) SU'te.s. What is the i)riee we are asked to pay for
it '] It is an increased rate of duty upon our imports froii every other
country in tlu; world, ineludinr.; the diUV'rent countries ol the liritish
Empire. What would tlie increase Ix- if we a should consider which is
the more valuable trade, and \vhich gives promise of the greater degree
of development. AVe have seen that the volume of our trade with
other countries, taking both imports and exports, was, in 1885,
8105,000,000 with other countries against !?8G,900,000 wiih the
United States. Therefore, in mere vohune (lur trade with other
countries seems the more valuaitle. This ditlerence would also bo
accentuated if it were not that (jur iluties against the United States,
being largely of raw products to be manufactunsd or for re-export, as
already stated, are considerably lower tl: the duties on imports from
other countries. So that whatever inciu ntal discrimination there is
tells in favour of the United States. It must be pointed ont,
however, that there is no discrimination in princiitle. The dillerenco
in rate results solely from the accidental circumstance that the imports
from the United States are largely of a class of raw products for
manufacture or re-export, which are admitted free of duty. But
still what difference there is tells on the volume of trade ; only for
this the proportion would be still greater in favour of our own
Empire and the rest of the world.
What we have to consider is whether our trade with the United
States is in itself of a nature to be more profitable than trade with
other countries. This leads us to make a careful examination of the
( i
; f
i I
\ t
8
c'.rticles of which this trad(5 consists. jMy researches enable me to go
fully into this question, only as to the trade with the United King-
dom and the United States, though I can also give a few leading
facts regarding trade with other parts of the Britisli Empire.
As already stated, our aggregate trade from 1873 to 1885 with
the United Kingdom was $1,171,000,000, with the. United States
$1,006,000,000. Our exports to the United Kingdom were 8584,-
000,000, to tne United States $455,000,000. What is the reason
that our trade with the Mother Country remains as great as or greater
than trade with our neigh})ors 1 Tlie former has to come over 3,000
miles by sea and a long distance by rail, and has to overcome a slightly
larger rate of duty than the latter, which has in most cases merely to
cross the rjrder. There must be some substantial reason to compen-
sate for c'/xitiguity of markets. The reason will, I think, be found to be
I
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n
1 1
i *
n
li
DISSIMILARITY OF PRODUCTS.
Trade with the United States is largely in articles they produce in
common with ourselves. Trade with the United Kingdom is more
largely in articles that both do not produce, or do not produce to ad-
vantage. It is this feature that makes countries commercially
complementary to one another, not mere geographical position. I do
not wish to underestimate the value of nearness of markets as tending
to facilitate exchange ; but tliiit it is not an essential to a high degree
of solid and rapid development is evidenced by the condition of the
Australian colonies, which, thougli 10,000 mlies from their chief
outsid ' market, }>resent the most marvellous instance of growth shown
by any communities the world has ever seen. Pissimilarity of pro-
ducts seems a more powerful olement in determining the channel of
trade tlian proximity of markets.
There is only one important class of articles to which this does
not apply, namely, perishable goods, such as fresh eggs, vegetables,
fish, ripe fruit, etc. These should, for the advantage of both coun-
tries, be made duty free, and, as a matter of fact, they largely are so.
One of the largest articles of export by Canada to the United States
is eggs, of which, in 1885, we sent them 81,826,000 worth, and they
are admitted free of duty. I'or perishable goodo we must look for a
market near at hand, and therefore we must depend either upon our
own country or oui neighbours. For this class of produce, of course,
the best market will lie the cit'es and towns of our own Dominion ;
MIW"
9
me to go
lited King-
i\v leoding
•e.
1885 with
ted States
ere 8564,-
the reason
3 or greater
)vev 3,000
i a slightly
merely to
io coinpen-
ound to be
pi'oduce in
ni is more
luce to ad-
iimercially
ion. I do
as tending
igh degree
ion of the
heir chief
I'th shown
ty of pro-
channel of
this does
egatables,
)oth coun-
Ay are so.
ted States
and they
ook for a
upon our
af course,
>oniinion ;
each of these is the centre of a thriving district of market gardening,
which is a vaUiable industry to the country. The greater our popula-
tion, of course, the larger will be the number of such centres, the
greater the prosperity of a certain class in our farming community.
But the cultivation of such perishable products cannot sustain more
than a small fraction of our population, and for farmers staples, for
wheat, flour, oats, oatmeal, butter, cheese, cattle, sheep, preserved
meats, anything that can be transported without injury, the best
market will be one in which t)iere is a scarcity of these things, the
markst in which they are to be consumed, not that from which they
are to be re-exported to the country of ultimate consumption. When
a farmer has grain to sell he does not sell it to the farmer on the next
land, even though he be a rich man with a largo farm, he takes it to
the miller, the produce merchant or the baker. It is the same Avith
nations. The United States and Canada may both be regarded as
farmers whil*^ Liverpool is the baker's shop, where both have to sell. I
imagine it is better for Canadians to sell to Liverpool direct than to
sell in Xew York and let the American shipper get the profit out of
the Liverpool trade.
Before entering upom this comparison 1 must say a word regarding
certain articles that now are, or that until recently have been, admitted
to the United States free of duty, for the export of which, therefore,
Commercial Union would give us no market that we have not already.
Eggs I have already mentioned, but no article on commercial relations
with the Unitfid States would be complete without a reference to our
fisheries. Fish were still, in 1885, admitted free of duty to the
United States. Not that that was our only market ; for wc exported
that year 87,960,000 of fish, of Avhich 83,560,000 went to the United
Stales and 84,400,000 to other places, chiefly to the United Kingdom
and the British, French and Spanish West Indies. The United
States also re-exported 8863,000 of cod and mackerel, etc., principally
to the same markets.
But this may h\ taken as a cardinal point in our policy on the
fishery question : that admission of American fishermen to our fisheries
is worth far more than access to the American markets for our fish.
The Americans themselves know this very well. They would be only
too glad to get us to consent to grantmg them the use of our fisheries
without asking any other return than free trade in fish. But for us
to consent to that would be to give up one of our most eff"ectivc levers
; 1
■
tl
1
10
to induce them to grant reciprocity in other nrticles of common pro-
duce. We know that the vahie set by the Halifax commission upon
the use of our fisheries for twelve years, under the treaty of "Wash-
ington, was $5,500,000, in addition to free admission to the American
markets for our fisli. And therefore, although, in order to give time
for a commission to examine the question, we might be willing to
consent to a temporary arrangement, such as that suggested by Lord
Siilisbury with the approval rf our government, under which Ameri-
cans were to be allowed to enter our fisheries in return for free admis-
sion of fish alone, we certainly would not consent to that otherwise than
temporarily. Our fisheries are of immense value, and to have the use
of these Americans must be prepared either to pay a good round sum
annually for the privilege, or else to grant us reciprocal trade in other
things besides fish ; and this under a treaty similar in principle to
the last Keciprocity treaty, wi^'ch shall not require us to discriminate
against the rest of our Empire, and which shall leave us free to
regulate our tariff otherwise as we see fit. Otherwise we shall keep
our fisheries for our own fishermen, and make the Americans buy
their fish from these, and pay their own duties on inqjorting them.
It may therefore be taken for granted that in any arrangement
that is made, fish must be admitted free to the American market, the
only question that will arise being how much more indemnity they
will have to pay Canada for the use of tiie fisheries. In this respect,
therefore the returns of 1885, in whicli fish are on the free list, are
as useful as any others for arriving at conclusions which shall be of
general application.
TRADE WITH UNITED STATES.
I shp.ll now give a series of tables, showing all the principal
articles now exported by Canada to the United States, taking from
the trade tables for 1885 all article'5 entered therein in which
exports to tlie United States amounted to 6100,000 and over. The
first list is of articles admitted to the United States free of duty.
Table I.
Principal Free Expoi-ts 1885, Canada to United States, {Canadian returns).
Fish: Cod, etc., dry salted 641,000
Mackerel, pickled 62.">,000
Herring " ....2!)0,000
" smoked 13:^,000
Lobsters, canned 712,000
i;
11
ommon pro-
lissiou upon
ty of Wash-
le American
o give time
3 willing to
ied by Lord
liich Ameri-
free admis-
lerwise than
lavo the use
round sum
\de in other
principle to
liscrimiuate
us free to
shall keep
3ricans buy
ng them,
rrangement
market, the
imnity they
.his respect,
I'ee list, are
shall be of
e principal
aking from
in which
over. The
" duty.
Fish: Salmon, fresh 8 223,000
Freah, N.E.S 447,000
Eggs 1,82(5,000
Gold Quartz, (British Columbia,) 999,000
Hides, skins, furs. 459,000
Bark for tanning 304,000
Firewood 310,000
Furs (undressed) - 185,000
Logs 143,000
Railway Sleepers 142,000
§7,505,000
Total Free Imports from Canada,
(U. S. returns), .?12,042,000.
In this class of goods, bearing in mind the position assumed as
above with regard to fish, it is evident that no increased market in
the United States would be gained by Commercial Union with that
country. It is true return cargoes would be free from duty ; but
only at the expense of increased inland taxes and higher duties
on imports from every other market.
The second class consists of goods which are imported by the
United States, eithei- to be re-exported, or else, being imported in one
place, and an equivalent amount of tlie same articles exported in
another, serve merely to replace goods which are the produce of the
United States themselves.
Table II.
Principal Exports Canada to the United States 1885, of articles of which the United
States Export exceeds their Import from Canada,
ARTICLES. Canada's
Export to U. S,
Coal bituminous (from B. C.) 1,178,000
Copper ore 245,000
Iron " 132,000
Horned cattle 1,411,000
Hides, hoi US and skins 459,000
Peas and beans 484,000
Wheat 208,000
Rye 1 31 .000
Potatoes 108,000
Wood Staves and headings 312,000
Other lumbe.- 184,000
Household furniture 147,000
Other wood manufactures 221,000
U. S. Export.
1,989,000
4,739,000
12,891,000
12,900,000
4,153,000
.522,000
72,933,000
2,000,000
205,000
1,950,000
1,182,000
2,128,000
1,590,000
$5,300,000
8119,248,000
!
if ' It
'I ' I
I
I
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12
For a groat deal of this Canada could open up a direct trade with
the country of ultimate consumption and «lerive perhaps as great or
greater trade profits than by sending the goods to the United States
to be dealt with by AmericaK dealers. I may specially direct atten-
tion to the magnitude of the export by the United States of copper
ore and iron ore, as Mr. Wimun, in his perambulations, pictures the
enormous market that country would be for these products under a
Commercial Union.
The third class of exports is of thoso for the greater part of which
the United States is the ultimate consuming market ; the class, there-
fore, to be compared with the list that will be given of our export to
other countries.
Table III.
Principal Exports, Canada to the United States, 1885, of which the latter retain the
whole or a great part*
(Last three figures omitted.)
U. S. Imports from _, , ^^ „
Articles. ^ Camida. ^^^rnnS^
Canadian American import.
Returns. Returns.
Wood: Planks S6,956 §6,805 $6,814 SC,570 S 386
U.S. U.S. net
Export. Consump'n
Laths, palings, etc 220
Shingles 133
Barley 5,477. ..
Hay 1,181
Malt .... 280
Horses 1,524....
Sheep 773
Wool 186
157...,
6,.521...,
1,517..
2(57 . . . .
1,251...,
857 ...
200 ... .
157
6,522.
1,518
207.
1,371.
860.
.3,000.
48...
132 .. ,
346..,
204 .. ,
377.
512.
88.
88,277
810,730 817,575 820,509
Resnm^ of Dutiable Imports to United States : —
Table II 8 5,300,000, Canadian Returns.
Table III 17,575,000, American "
Together 822,875,000
Total Dutiable Imports from Canada, 824,053,000, Americar Returnii,
. 172
1
. 5,131
977
. 280
. 1,147
. 201
98
88,453
il . \
*
* The figures in the first column of this. Table III, are taken, as those of our
exports in the other two tables, from the Canadian returns, the other columns are
from the American returns. The second column is given for comparison with the
first, and because in a few cases the U. S. tot.al import would have appeared as
less than the import from Canada . The two columns show, however, no greater
discrep.ancy than miglit have been expected, as the exports from Canada are not
immediately entered for consumption, and therefore may not appear in the Ameri-
can returns for the same year. The closeness of their correspondence serves to
show that the classification is practically the same, and the returns tolerably
accurate.
-.-««
13
ect trade with
ips as great or
United States
y direct atten-
ites of copper
, pictures the
iucts under a
part of which
e class, tliere-
our export to
atter retain the
S. U.S. net
)rt. Consump'n
570 S 386
48 172
132 1
M6 5,131
20-1 977
280
577 1,147
512 201
88.. .. 98
!77 S8,453
IS.
leturiiii,
as those of our
er columns are
rison with the
e appeared as
ver, no greater
]!anada are not
■ in the Ameri-
ence servers to
urns tolerably
■f.
Of tliese articles in Table III it appears that the United States are
the ultimate consuming market for about half of what they import
from us, the diflorence being either re-exported or serving to replace
exports in the same way as the articles mentioned in Table II. For
these, as was remarked of the latter, it would be at least possible for
us to open up direct trade with the countries to which they are
exported, although naturally a good deal of such trade might be less
advantageously done, as the place of import might be at a consider-
able distance both from the place of United States production and
from the place of export.
The third column shows to what extent we already have, not-
withstanding the duties existing, control of this branch of the United
States trade, and the extent to which such trade can be expanded
without diminishing the market of United States producers themselves.
This margin for expansion, it will be seen, is not large, since we
already supply 817,575,000 out of their total import of 820,509,000,
being 85.7 per cent. This is a point of considerable importance when
we come to compare this trade with our trade with other countries,
and illustrates the difference between trade with a country whose pro-
ducts are similar to our own, and with countries whose products are
essentially dissimilar.
TRADE WITH UNITED KINGDOM.
I will now give similar information with respect to our trade with
the Uniteil Kingdom, taking in the same way, from the tallies of
1885, all articles of which our export exceeded 8100,000 apiece. To
correspond vrith the third column in Table III above, I add in a
separate column the total import by the United Kingdom of the
articles in (piestion.
Table IV.
Principid Exports, Canada to the United Kingdom, 1883, icith total imports into the
United Kingdom of the same articles.
(Last three figures omitted. £, stg., multiplied by 5 to give amoiint in ?.)
U. K. Import Total
Animals and Produce : from Canada. U K. Import.
Horned Cattle 85,752 §40, GOO
.Sheep 4.56 12,590
Butter 1,212 58,800
Cheese 8,176 24,450
Furs 1,426 5,020
Hides and Skins 137 19,010
Meat: bacon 628 14,470
.S17,787 S181,0G0.
I
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f
3!
1.
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14
Agricultural Produce
Fruit :
Grain ;
Green Apples S 537
Oats 703
Peas 1,713
Wheat 1,681
" Flour 381
Oatmeal 241
The Forest :
Deals : Pine 2,079
" Spruce and other 2,084
Deal ends 249
Planks, Boards, etc 251
Timber: Elm 257
Oak 552
" Pine, red... 101
White 1,984
The Fisheries :
Lobsters, canned 903
Salmon 423
Tlie Mine :
Phosphates 328
Manufactures :
E.xtract Hemlock Bark 137
Leather, Sole and Upper 403
Musical Instruments : Organs 116
Wood, other manufactures 199
Other wood work
S 2,760
Other
Grains: 116,645
157,270
61,720
2.470
5,256
340,865
Wood :
Hewn, 28,070
Sawn, 52,050
8,757
1,326
328
Fish, 11,505
855
1,230
Mus.Ins. 4,395
House
Frames, 1,270
2,905
80,120
11,505
834,309
9,800
§023,350
Total Export to United Kingdom in 1885 § 41,871,000
Above enumerated 34,309,000
Total Import by U. K. of articles above enumerated 623,350,000
It is not quite possible to compare all the items, as the headings in
the English returns are, in some cases, more general than our own,
and I have not been able to obtain the more minute classifications for
1885. In order to check the above, to guard against any misappre-
hension on such items, and to give a more certain ar>'ircue of our
possible trade with the United Kingdom, I give three additional
tables, in which the distinctions are more minutely drav'n, of the
articles we are in a position to supply the home market with. The
first is a statement of the import of articles of food, in 1880, and I
give in separate colums (1) the import from foreign countries, (2) the
import from British countries, (3) the total import, (4) the total
iS
S 2,760
r
s:
116,045
157,270
61,720
2,470
J:
m
28,070
'n,
52,050
340,865
ih, 11,505
80,120
11,505
1,230
Ins. 4,395
ise
les, 1,270
2,905
9,800
8023,350
.S 41,871,000
, . 34,309,000
.. 623,350,000
the headings in
than our own,
assifications for
i any misappre-
ap^A'cue of our
hree additional
drawn, of the
ket with. The
in 1880, and I
untries, (2) the
(4) the total
15
export by the principal colonies and dependencies, of the same articles,
in order to sliow the pro[)ortion which, without increased production,
the colonies were in a position o supply in 1880, (5) the same for
1884.
Table V.
l7)iport of certain Arlichs of Food into the United Kingdom, 1880.
(In £' sterling. Last three figures omitted )
From From Totul Total e\\ irta from
Articles. Foreign British U. K. Principal colonies.*
Countries Countries Import. 1880. 1884.
Animals — living :
O.Ken, bulls, cows and calves 0,717 1,077 7,794 1,030 1,458
Sheep and lambs 2,094 172 2,200 037 1,079
Meats : Bacon and Hams 10,853 133 10,980 185 109
Dairy Produce : Butter 11,501 580 12,141) , .„„ , „„
Cheese 4,325 707 5,092 [ ^''^^^^ ^'-^^l
Eggs 2,183 52 2,235 154 402
Meat.''— Salted, fresh or preserved... 5,078 306 5,444 fl9 843
Corn, Grain and Flour : Wheat 24,409 0,213 30,022 0,844 13,190
Barley 4,958 53 5,011 1,100 1,196
Oats 4,527 408 4,935 555 407
Maize. .... 10,193 970 11,103 540 502
Flour 8,085 021 8,700 1,800 1,605
Potatoes 2,419 428 2,847 192 278
£97,402 £1],840 £109,242 £15,154 £23,140
10.84% 13.87% 21.19%
Total United Kingdom import, £109,242,000 = 8540,210,000.
The next is a table of articles used as raw materials of manufac-
tures, in which is given only the total impovt, the import from British
countries, and the import from foreign countries.
Table VI.
Import into the United Kingdom, 1883, of certain Raw Materials, which are
2Woduced in Canada.
(In £ sterling. Last three figures omitted.)
From From Total
Articles. Foreign British U.K.
Countries. Countries. Import.
CopperOre £ 018 £ 477- £1,095
Oil train and blubber 230 200 430
Skins and Furs : Sheep and Lambs 370 633 1,003
Seal 331 112 443
Wood: Hewn 3,958 1,057 5,015
Sawn 7,397 3,014 10,411
Staves 579 62 041
£13,483 £6,155 £19,038
Total U. K. hijport, £19,300,000 = 896,800,000
* The colonies included in these figures are : India, Cape of Good Hope,
Canada, Barbadoes, New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Queensland,
Tasmania and New Zealand.
irf
li
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f
16
Lastly there are articles, chiefly manufactures, of the following
kinds : —
Table VII.
Import into the United Kimjdom, 1883, of manufactured and other articles which can
be produced in Canada.
(In i; sterling. Last three figures omitted.)
Articles. Total Import.
Alkali , £ 81
Hats and Bonnets : Straw 75
Horses 133
Leather o,4t!r»
" Boots and Shoes 421
' ' unemimerated 247
Musical Instruments 879
Paper and Pasteboard 1,245
Paper-hangings 40
Skins and Furs C>38
Wood : Furniture, etc 581
House Frames and Joiner Work .... 254
£10,3(30
Total U. K. import, £10,300,000 = $51,800,000.
The United Kingdom, therefore, at the present time furnishes
a market for
Articles of Food £109,242,000 = .?546,2in,000
Raw Materials 19,038,000 = 98,190,000
Manufactures, etc 10, 360, 000 = 51, 800, 000
£139,240,000 = §696,200,000
As compared with the market for $20,750,000 offered by the
United States for goods now dutiable, cf which her exports do not
already exceed her imports. In preparing the above tables I have
carefully selected, so far as it was possible to do so, only articles w'hich
are already produced, and are capable of being produced to a much
larger extent, by the people, and chiefly by the farmers, of Canada.
a 11
■ {
■s i i
\\
TRADE WITH AUSTRALASIA.
Let US look now at some of the other markets of the Empire, and
first Australasia. The several colonies of Australia and New Zealand
at the present time import from foreign countries the following quan-
tities (values) of articles that we can well supply them with : —
!
I >r
!
>f tlie following
r articles which can
Total Import.
.... £ 81
.. .. 75
. . l;«
5,4G()
421
247
879
1,245
40
.... 938
. . . . 581
. . . . 254
£10,300
ime furnishes
46,210,000
98,100,000
51,800,000
96,200,000
ffercd by the
:ports do not
tables I have
irtieles which
id to a much
of Canada.
Empire, and
S^'ew Zealand
owing quan-
ith :—
17
Table VIII.
Foreii/u Imi>orts by the Colonies of Austrahma of Articles that can be produced
hi/ Canada,— 1SS5.
Articles. Value.
Agricultural Ini piemen ts : Mowers gjyi qoo
I'l""Pl'« (i.'ooo
^ , ,,, Others io7,oG0
xJooks and Maps
Carriages and Parts
JJ^'fV, ; • ••••"■'•"•■•••■•••... 114,000
-I' isn : balmon, canned 3*^3 qqq
Iron : Sewing Machines 129 000
Locomotive Engines 140000
Leather: Finished, upper '.'..' 14'^'ooO
1'^*^"* 41»,000
Musical Instruments : Organs 138*000
;;"\^^^^--' ■ •'.'.'.'.'.z.:::. 51:0m
Provisions : Beef, canned
Soap
Wood : lumber
124,0)0
388,000
Household Furniture
Woodenware
Other Wood Manufactures .
12,000
59,000
840,000
43,000
301,000
08,000
192,000
S3, 482,000
Canada could import in return from Australasia copper, tin, lead,
Kauri wood and gum, pearls, certain kinds of leather, hides, cordage^
tallow, fruit (green), sugar, jams and preserves, preserved mea°ts,'
coffee, wines, wool, and certain woollen goods.
BRITISH WEST INDIES.
Among the articles we conld send to the West Indian Colonies,
I may mention several of their most important imports, such as cattle,'
indian corn, bread and biscuit, oats, wheat flour, meal, fish, certair!
cotton manufactures, fish and salted beef, salted pork, butter, cheese,
soap, refined sugar, wood, lumber, shocks, staves, headings and house-
hold furniture.
We could receive from them in return, asphalt, drugs, cocoa,
cocoanut, coffee, bananas, india rubber, hardwoods, oranges, preserved
fruits, wool, spirits, sponges, molasses, sugar.
BRITISH HONDURAS.
Balize imports large quantities of fish and wheat-flour; and
exports mahogany and hardwoods, drugs, sugar, bananas, cocoanuts,
india rubber.
/s to siH'ing into
3ugh v'ith regard
' and many other
ke of cultivating
restrictions and
jrow out of our
iffects that would
3 United States,
e countries, the
long as we keep
so long have we
If we increase
12 per cent, our
fer.
We may put it thus : We export every year to countries other
tiian the United .States about $50,000,000 of goods. On the imports
wliicli Ave receive in exchange we pay 18.61 per cent, duties, say
$9,300,000. This leaves, neglecting other cliargcs, $40,700,000 to bo
divided among the producers in Canada. If we advance our rate of
duty, and adopt the United States tarilF of 30.59 per cent., this takes
oft" 815,300,000 from the price we receive, leaving only $34,700,000
to l)e divided among our people, Ijeing a minimum loss every year of
$6,000,000 on our trade with our own Empire and foreign countries
Otlit;r than the United States.
15ut what if the United States would consent to lower their tariff
six per cent, on condition of our increasing ours six per cent"? Or
even suppose, though it is an unlikely supposition, the United States
would lower their tariff to the rate of the Canadian, and that a uni-
lorm system of excise and internal taxation were agreed upon 1 Even
;in such case, Canada would not be justified in entering upon a Com-
mercial Union. Many of the reasons in that case would certainly be
more or less political, since it would be renouncing control of the
sources of our national revenue ; and it is difficult to conceive of the
management in common of these, without, at least, periodical repre-
sentation of Canada in the United States Congress. Moreover, it
would be a violation of thi' principle of international law in commer-
cial 'reaties that the duties on the same articles imported from all
for.-^ign nations must be the same ; and it would be incompatible
with our position as a part of the British Empire to discriminate
against the other countries composing it, by levying duties, however
small, against them, while we admitted goods from a foreign nation
free.
But even in that case there is an economical objection also :
namely, that Canada would lose the advantage she now has, by reason
of her relatively lower tariff, in her trade relations with all other
countries ; and would be prevented from entering upon commercial
treaties with every other country, unless it was agreeable to the
people of the United States. If the United States did lower their
tariff, Canada's true policy would be to preserve her advantage by
lowering hers still further, and to make it approach as near as possible
to free trade with all countries.
Of course all this demonstrates not only the evil of burdening trade
with other countries for the benefit of the United States, but the
'■*«
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1' •
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. :; ii
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'Hi
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1
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20
tlisndvnntnges of lii<,'li or protcctivL' duties generally. I believi' it is
clearly the interest of the farmers, except perhaps these in the
immediate neighbourhood of manufacturing towns or cities, to jn-otest
against the high and increasing duties that have recently ])een imposed
in Canada, every increase of one per cent, being a direct injury to the
trade and ship[)ing of the country and to the farmers who are the
backl)onc of its prosperity. It is i)ossible there may be certain partial
compensation if industries are established which, once established,
shall be self-supporting ; but for such of them as are really well
adapted to the country, a low rate of duty should sufHce to give them
all the protection they need. Industries that will require perpetual
protection would be much better closed up. I therefore approve of
the stand taken by one of the leading members of our House of
Commons who declared that although he had su])ported the National
Policy from its incc^ption and so long as the degree of protection
granted was moderate, lie protested against the late increase of duties
as an injustice to the farming community. Indeed, I am a believer in
free trade and direct taxation, and hope some day to see absolute free
trade between the British Empire and the United States and all other
nations, and the honest, straightforward system of payment by the
people to the government of the taxes necessary to carry on its work.
But if the United States will n(jt enter into that arrangement, then I
believe the best policy for Canada to adopt will be the nearest appioach
to free trade wiih the rest of the British Empire ; in Avhich case
this country would become the emporixuu of a vast trade even with
the people of the United States, who would buy from us a great deal
of what they could get here as cheap as they could import it direct
from the country of its production. In order to build U[) such a
trade we should have the lowest possible duties. But if the country
is not ready to pay their taxes by direct taxation and prefer to do so
by customs duties, then it is clearly the best policy for the farmers to
support a purely revenue tariif. Only it must be a tarilf against all
countries alike, for it would be wiser to support the nic o advanced
protectionist, as things are at present, than to sacrifice the advantage
we have over the United States in a lower rate of import duty, to sacri-
fice also our present and prospective trade with the several countries
of our Empire and Avith other foreign countries in order to build up
industries of the United States alone. It vould be a distinctly
retrograde step, if the Liberal party of Canada were to abandon their
21
[ ht'litivi' it is
).s these in the
cities, to jn'otest
tly l)ii{'n iiiipoaed
eot injury to the
lers wlio ai'o the
)o ('(irtnin ]iartial
niw established,
i are rt.'(diy well
ice to give them
;quire perpetual
:'efore approve of
'f our House of
ted the National
ft! of protection
icrease of duties
am a believer in
see absolute free
tes and all other
payment by the
irry on its work,
ngement, then I
nearest appi (jach
; in M-iiicl) case
trade even with
n us a great deal
import it direct
)uild up such a
it if the country
I prefer to do so
)r the fanners to
tariil against all
i mc c advanced
!e the advantage
rt duty, to sacri-
ieveral countries
der to build up
be a distinctly
-0 abandon their
high priucipl. d policy of tarill' f(jr revenue oidy, and the nem-est
approach to free tro'la possible, but treating all countries alike, and to
adopt instead a policy of special favours towards a country that
maintains a high [jrotective tariff even against our own Empire, a
policy that would force us to abandon one of the most important of
our national attri])Utes.
SIIII'PIN'O AND HAILWAYH.
To return, however, to the subject immediately before us, another
ellect ot' ailopting Commercial Union with the United States would be
to injure our shipping. To buy from oiu- Southern neighbours instead
of importing for ourselves would be to build up inland tratlic,
especially of lines of railway running north and south at the expense
of our shipping with other countries, and of our own great lines of
railway running east and west. To speak of shipping first, if we
choose to buy from the United States what we now import direct
from Kngland, the Wi-st Indies and South Africa, and what we hope
soon to liring from Australia and Hong Kong, our shipping interests
with all these places must decline. It is true we may continue to
sentl oiir surplus produce, wheat and other grain, cattle, sheep and
lumljer, to England and elsewhere ; but if we refuse to spend the
money due us there, and l)ring it back to spend in the United States,
we shall not only get less value for it there, but our ships will come
back with smaller cargoes, and will either Ije ruined or will liave to
charge higher freights on the cargo one way, to pay the expense of
the voyage both ways. Accidental circumstances may sometimes
prevent this from becoming apparent at once ; but it is selfevident
that shipping cannot be permanently carried on at a loss, and the
owners of our steamships, their masters and sailors, will inevitaljly
sulfer if we persist in a policy of liampering importation from beyond
seas. !More will then be chargeii for what freight we send away and
the ililFerence will come out of the pockets of the farmers ami the
producers. The United States protective policy has had the effect of
largely destroying their mercantile marine. Commercial Union would
tend to destroy ours also. We have now a high rank among the
shipowning countries of the world, and we should be careful not to
lower it.
But not shipping only, our Canadian sea-ports also would suffer.
Trade would bo driven from them to New York which tends more and
i !• '
iA
,' ' t
. ' >A
ii 1
more to become the sole sea-port of importance in the T''nited States.
Montreal, St. John and Halifax, would suffer the fate of Portland
(Maine), Salem (Massachusetts), and other towns on the coast, which
were at one time the centres of important shipping interests, but are
now deserted except fci small fishing and coasting craft ; and that not
because of natural disadvantages, for there are no finer ports in the
United States, but solely tiirough the excessive duties on imports and
the spirit of monopoly and concentration of railway, forwarding and
shipping interests in one direction ending in Xew York. In the same
way Vancouver would be checked in her effort to become a grand Pacific
terminus, and her general traffic would be diverted to San Francisco.
If, therefore, Canada takes any interest in maintaining a national
highway of her own, she will reject a policy that would divert all her
traffic into United States channels. The same fate might befall the
border towns. Some of the leading merchants who took part in the
discussion of this question before the Toronto Board of Trade
expressed the conviction that Toronto would cease to be an important
distributing centre, and that her trade would be diverted to Buffalo,
Detroit and Chicago.
The injury would also be severely felt by our two great lines of
railway. This country has spent a vast amount of money in estab-
lishing two great national highways, the Grand Trunk and the Cana-
dian Pacific. The one stretches from Sarnia to Quebec in summer, and,
at present, to Portland in winter, traversing one of the finest districts in
the continent. Its trade and power depends largely upon the prosperity
and solidity of our Canadian towns, especially Montreal and Toronto,
and upon these retaining the control of the distributing trade for
Canada. The back-bone of the Grand Trunk is Canadian, and it is
its position of solidity here that enables it to tap the western trade at
Chicago, and bring some share of it by the St. Lawrence route, where
return cargoes entered at lower duties than those levied in New York
can be obtained. Assimilate the tariffs at the Canadian and American
seaboard, and you remove the centre of the whole North Amc ' 3an
continent to New York,
Our other great railway extends from Vancouver to Quebec in
summer, and to Halifax, St. John or, perhaps, a port in Cape Breton,
in winter, or, as has been poetically remarked, from Hong Kong or
Yokohama to Liverpool. The realization of the latter conception
would be destroyed by Commercial Union with the United States.
■MyuitL.'iiiiaiii
le Fnitecl States,
fate of Portland
the coast, Avhich
interests, but are
ift ; and that not
iner ports in the
s on imports and
, forwarding and
I'k. In the same
ae a grand Pacific
San Francisco,
ining a national
lid divert all her
might befall the
'Ook part in the
5oard of Trade
be an important
srted to Bulfalo,
great lines of
noney in estab-
; and the Cana-
n summer, and,
nest districts in
the prosperity
.1 and Toronto,
iting trade for
lian, and it is
estern trade at
■e route, where
in Xew York
and American
3rth Ame'"2an
to Quel)ec in
Cape Breton,
fong Ivong or
er conception
f^nited States.
By placing greater restrictions on our trade with Australia, with
Hong Kong and Yokohama, we should destroy or greatly impair the
chance of the successful establishment of the lines of steamships we
hope soon to ,ee from the Canadian port on the Pacific to Australia,
!N"ew Zealand, the Sandwich Islands, China and Japan, which give
promise of opening up a trade of great value to our farmers. Instead
of increasing our duties twelve per cent, against Australia and those
other countries, we should rather try to make arrangements by which
our duties on imports from them should be repealed or diminished, as
we might then open up a market, still dissimilar to our own, capable
of unlimited development and of incalculable value.
A word must be added upon the graphic picture drawn by !Mr.
Erastus AViman of the prosperity promised to our farmers as the
certain result of Commercial Union. It is always an easy matter to
descant upon the benefits that would flow from abolishing taxes. The
advocacy of such a cause always ensures a certain amount of popu-
larity. And if we could get the markets of the United States to sell
in, without altering in any way either our more valuable trade with
other countries, or the am'untof internal taxes we .should have to pay,
and without discriminating in tariff in favour of one foreign nation and
against our own Empire and other foreign nations, we should be great
fools not to take it. And Mr. Wiman, as a wily speculator, takes care
not to dwell on that feature of the case. This point, however, I think
has been sufficiently discussed. But I think it is worth while to tear
the mask off the picture he has drawn of the results that would
accompany his policy. Sam Slick's Airthly Paradise, or ^fartin
Chuzzleworth's Eden are almost tame by the side of Erastus' fancy
picture, I do not believe that the well-being and prosperity of the
farmers of the United States generally are greater than of our own.
In sonie specially rich and fertile districts or in the immediate neigli-
bourhood of large and populous cities what he says may be to some ex-
tent true ; but there are many parts of the United States, in Maine
and other States and ir many southern districts, where the condition
of the farming population is far from enviable. The Americans flock
from these places in thousands to the "Western States or the great
North-west of Canada.
The following I cut from an editorial in the Montreal Star : —
F.\RMER3 AND FREE TRADE.
"The advocates of Commercial Union maintain that free trade with the
United States would be of immense benefit to the farmers of Canada. This natur-
.7
n
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24
ally leads to the enquiry, are the farmers of the United States, as a class, much
better off than the farmf^rs of the Dominion, and are their prospects brighter ? It
is said that a /ery large jjroportion of the farmers of Canada are in debt, and
that farm lands have, in many places, greatly depreciated in value. There may
be too much truth in this, but is the condition of United States farmers in this
respect any better? Have they no mortgages on their farms and are they able to
pay one hundred cents on the dollar of their indebtedness ? This is what is stated
in the report of the Washington Department of Agriculture respecting the farmers
of New York State : ' On the whole, farmers are more in debt tlian they were ten
years ago. There are a large number of farms which were purchased a few years
ago and mortgaged, which now would not sell for more than the face of the
mortgages, owing to the depreciation of the farming lands which, on an average,
is fully thirty-three per cent, in ten years. Probably one-third of the farms in
the state would not sell for more than the cost of the buildings and other improve-
ments owing to this shrinkage.' Now, it must be admitted that the farmers of
New York state are in as good a position to benefit by free trade with the fifty
millions of citizens of the United States as those of any part of the Dominion can
Iiossibly be, and they l.ave enjoyed that advantage for a very hmg while ; yet we
see that they have not ft und it possible to keep out of debt, and in spite of their
nearness to the sea and to tlie greatest home markets of the United States, they
have not been able to keep up the value of their land. There is food for reflection
in these facts." — ^ta;-, Friday, June 3, 1887.
And tliere is one circumstance to be taken into account in
cosidering this question, and that is the natural differences of climate
and situation. No Commercial Union is going to abolish the Canadian
winter. Our country is northerly and our people are a northern
people. In the same way as the north of Scotland is less rich and
fertile than the south of England, in the same way as the conditions
of life in Xorway, Sweden, Denmark and the north of Germany are
different from what they are in the south of Germany, Belgium,
France and Italy, so the people of the north of North America must
submit to the disadvantages as well as enjoy the advantages of their
northern position. No trade arrangements that can be made will
prevent the suspension of vegetation during the winter season, nor do
away with the necessity of some considerable part of our labour, wealth
and energy, being devoted to the production or purchase of warm
clothing and fuel, from which southern people are exempt. The
further south you go, at all events until you reach places where the
climate becomes so hot as to be enervating, the greater, no doubt, will
be the surplus production in proportion to the amount of labour devoted
to it. But nearly every part of the United States that is even in a
slight degree superior to our more northerly districts in this respect,
has already been settled, and now settlers must choose between the
bracing and healthy climate of our Canada and of the Northern
I
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Wi
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1 '. -.
l!
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irl
•t
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26
is nearer Japan than is San Francisco, Quebec is nearer Liverpool than
is New York, Liverpool is more than a thousand miles nearer Yoko-
hama by the Canadian than by the American route ; our shipping, our
canal and railway system is complete in itself and capable of preserv-
ing our commercial as well as our political independence. Again,
during the period of Scotland's, as well as England's, greatest advance-
ment, she has not had free trade with England alone, but open ports
to all the other countries of the world. This, then, is the aim Canada
should keep in view, if once she can be persuaded to abandon her
protective policy. While, if we really Vielieve in protection for our
manufacturers, it is required more against manufacturers in the United
States than elsewhere, as they are our chief competitors in the articles
we manufacture most readily.
The conclusion Ave come to then seems to be that the advantages
that have been pointed out as likely to flow from Commercial Union,
are only such as would flow in greater degree from free trade with the
rest of our Empire, and in still greater from free trade with the
world. If we are to make any exceptions and try to foster trade with
any one country in particular, it should rather be with one whose
products are dissimilar from our own, which wants to buy what we
have to sell, not with one which wants to sell the same things as we
ourselves. It is suggested above that it is not the countries that are
geographically near, that are commercially complementary to one
another, but those that possess advantages for the production of
different commodities. Dissimilarity of products is identity of
commercial interests ; and it cannot be the will of the Almighty that
the people of this continent should shut themselves up together and
isolate themselves from the people in the rest of the world. If
the United States want to show their goodwill to Canada or to
England let them off'er free trade with the whole Empire, and then
we shall be able to treat with them.
IMPERIAL RECIPROCITY.
filft
The argument contained in the above pages is destined to show
that it would be detrimental to our agricultural, shipping, railway,
importing and other trade interests to purchase Commercial Union
with the United States at the expense of trammelling our trade with
other countries, even under the present condition of afflxirs. And
Canada can at the present time look for a slight preference over
"^^^M
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27
Liverpool than
s nearer Yoko-
ir .shipping, our
ible of preserv-
:Ience. Again,
eatest advance-
but open ports
)he aim Canada
abandon her
tection for our
i in tlie United
1 in the articles
he advantages
nercial Union,
trade with the
'ade with the
iter trade with
th one whose
> buy Avhat we
3 things as we
ntries that are
iutary to one
production of
identity of
Almighty that
) together and
le world. If
ranada or to
lire, and then
ined to show
ping, railway,
lercial Union
ar trade with
iffairs. And
ference over
1%
m
s
foreign countries in the other markets of our Empire, from the more
fact that trade follows the flag. That is to say, Avhere the things
offered by Canada and by a foreign country in a British market, are
and are known to be, of equal value, and at the same price, wo may
look for, and in many cases Avill receive, a preference. I have lieard
an influential Australian journalist say that if xVustralians could get
the same things from Canada that they can get from the United
States, they would take them at the same price, or would even pay a
trifle more to get them from a country under the same flag. I>ut I
have now to point out to you the possibility of arrangement being
made by which we shall have a distinct advantage in the markets of
every country in the British Empire. A new economic scliool has
arisen in England, advocating that trade within the Emi)ire should be
placed upon more favourable terms than trade with foreign nations,
with a possible exception in favour of those nations that are willirg to
grant reciprocal trade advantages to the whole Empire. In atldition
to the Fair Trade League which has been interesting public opinion
in England for some years, there has been started recently an
organization called the ]>ritish Union, with its head(piarters at
Manchester, with the avowed object of bringing about a readjustment
of the tarifl" in the muther country so as to impose duties upon imports
from foreign countries, leaving the markets open to the colonies ;
expecting that in return the colonies will, while retaining the right to
control their own tariffs, make a concession in favour of the other
countries in the Empire as compared with foreign nations. Tlie
London, Sheftleld and Glasgow Chambers of Commerce have
pronounced in favour of the policy, and possibly some others that I
have not heard of. 'Jhe organ of the milling interests, 2Vie Millur, lias
declared in its favour, the whole agricultural interest, landowner, tenant
and agricultural labourer, is directly interested in its adoption, in order
that, to some extent at least, the competition of foreign nations in
breadstufts and all other farm produce may be diminished. Lord
Salisbury considers that such a policy would give England a lever to
negotiate better with foreign nations upon commercial matters, and
has written that he would not consider such a policy "Protection."
Lord Carnarvon, the framer of our Confederation Act, has expressed
himself as convinced that England will be forced to adopt such a
measure if she is to retain her commercial supremacy. i>e signs of
the times are every day becoming more and more marked that such a
i
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To lie- luul trci.i H. H. LYMAN, Hon. Treasui^or, aS-'i- St. Paul Si., Mcuiti--,'
'/
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43 ST. VARGARET'S OFFICER. VICTORIA bT'^Eg.!,
I50,\1M)N, S.V/.
ye
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TnK llKJHT Hux. Till-; Ilsui. ok 1;m!.iii;ih..
Vif{"Cl!)aii'm.iii :
Thk lln.irr Hon-. Ivuw.m'.w rir.vsih'M.'. ^^l'
Jllcu. (JTirr'-.iirfrs :
A. li, 1.CKIS';.
initrrn...
cy'
nn^iir in 6nn:ib]!
Viu- 4J liocut :
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ItoKY HbrbKHT Lxman, :;S4 si. I'nul Suv. t, M.mtmU.
Piibli^ined on the iBt > ' avcry -vioiah, ai Four ShilHriK^
Ijor aDuuin, post iTo.', evorywboro.
IMP^' ^ I AL FEDERATTO N
JOUr HE LEA
THE M^
CUNTAISI.Nli —
fVi/.: luf^>f.-afuni iqnm(illn:nn-rs<'nnnrdvl with fhr LniH-rial F'^'n-a
tion Movorimit Lhroiighout the Bnlish Einpvrr.
Ot5mm*b.'- Mt th« Ofi-loe-of UxeT-oaguo.or ITom the Hon. TrcnsMP-.
, or the t eotiue in Canada, «l the rato of On« Dollar
per armuiTi.
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