key: cord-1053928-7i6rgqfi authors: Chiu, L.; Shen, M.; Chow, R.; Lo, C.-H.; Chiu, N.; Chen, A.; Shin, H. J.; Prsic, E. H.; Hur, C.; Lebwohl, B. title: The Effect of Famotidine on Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis date: 2021-03-24 journal: nan DOI: 10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 sha: 34af27f101548e164769aacc75028b8e533810ea doc_id: 1053928 cord_uid: 7i6rgqfi Introduction: Famotidine is a competitive histamine H2-receptor antagonist most commonly used for gastric acid suppression but thought to have potential efficacy in treating patients with COVID-19. The aims of this systematic review and meta-analysis are to summarize the current literature and report clinical outcomes on the use of famotidine for treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Methods: Five databases were searched through February 12, 2021 to identify observational studies that reported on associations of famotidine use with outcomes in COVID-19. Meta-analysis was conducted for composite primary clinical outcome (e.g. rate of death, intubation, or intensive care unit admissions) and death separately, where either aggregate odds ratio (OR) or hazard ratio (HR) was calculated. Results: Four studies, reporting on 46,435 total patients and 3,110 patients treated with famotidine, were included in this meta-analysis. There was no significant association between famotidine use and composite outcomes in patients with COVID-19: HR 0.63 (95% CI: 0.35, 1.16). Across the three studies that reported mortality separated from other endpoints, there was no association between famotidine use during hospitalization and risk of death - HR 0.67 (95% CI: 0.26, 1.73) and OR 0.79 (95% CI: 0.19, 3.34). Heterogeneity ranged from 83.69% to 88.07%. Conclusion: Based on the existing observational studies, famotidine use is not associated with a reduced risk of mortality or combined outcome of mortality, intubation, and/or intensive care services in hospitalized individuals with COVID-19, though heterogeneity was high, and point estimates suggested a possible protective effect for the composite outcome that may not have been observed due to lack of power. Further RCTs may help determine the efficacy and safety of famotidine as a treatment for COVID-19 patients in various care settings of the disease Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID- 19) is predominantly a respiratory illness caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) that first arose in December 2019 in Wuhan, China (1, 2) . After one year, COVID-19 remains an ongoing pandemic that is uncontrolled in many parts of the world. Continued optimization of medical therapy remains essential in combating COVID-19. For hospitalized patients with severe disease, current therapeutic options include dexamethasone, remdesivir, convalescent plasma, and monoclonal antibodies (Bamlanivimab, Casirivimab-Imdevimab) depending on the degree of oxygen supplementation, respiratory support, as well as the specific clinical situation (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) . Bamlanivimab and Casirivimab-Imdevimab have also received emergency use authorization from the United States Food and Drug Administration for outpatients with mild to moderate COVID-19. Pharmacologic treatment for patients prior to hospitalization remains sparse (10) . Famotidine is a competitive histamine H2-receptor antagonist. Its main pharmacodynamic effect is the inhibition of gastric acid secretion (11) . In February 2020, a study by Wu et al (12) , used computational methods to predict structures of proteins encoded by the SARS-CoV-2 genome in order to identify available drugs that may be repurposed to treat COVID-19. Famotidine was found to be a potential candidate that may inhibit 3chymotrypsin-like protease (3CLpro), a viral enzyme necessary for SARS-CoV-2 viral replication. Subsequently, several studies have reported on the use of famotidine in treating COVID-19 patients (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) . (14, 15) , found that in patients hospitalized with COVID-19, famotidine use was associated with a reduced risk of clinical deterioration leading to intubation or death; however, other observational studies did not find a reduced risk of mortality, All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint intensive care unit admission, and/or intubation with the use of famotidine in patients with COVID-19 (13, (16) (17) (18) . To our knowledge, two meta-analyses on the use of famotidine in patients with COVID-19 have been published (19, 20) . However, these meta-analyses may have introduced heterogeneity in patient population due to the inclusion of studies with non-hospitalized patients diagnosed with COVID-19 (13, 18) . Additionally, one study (19) did not include all existing evidence published in the literature to date (16) . We therefore conducted an updated systematic review and meta-analysis with the aims to summarize current literature on the use of famotidine for COVID-19 and report clinical outcomes in only hospitalized patients with COVID-19 treated with famotidine. Five databases, namely Ovid Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), medRxiv, and researchsquare, were searched through to February 12, 2021 (Appendix 1). All identified articles from the database search underwent screening, where two reviewers (LC, RC) independently assessed articles. During level 1 screening, articles were screened by their title and abstract, and were eligible for further screening if they reported on famotidine in patients with All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint COVID-19. Studies subsequently underwent level 2 screening where their full-texts were assessed to determine eligibility based on whether the paper reported on a clinical dataset. Articles categorized as case reports, case series, reviews, or non-clinical studies were excluded. The remaining eligible studies went through a final round of assessment for quantitative synthesis, and were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis if they reported an adjusted relative risk measure of mortality and/or a composite clinical outcome for famotidine relative to nonfamotidine users in hospitalized patients only. If disagreements occurred between the two reviewers at any stage, a discussion occurred, and consensus achieved for a final decision. If discrepancies could not be resolved, a third reviewer (MS) was consulted to help achieve consensus. As mentioned, adjusted relative risk ratios for mortality and/or another primary composite clinical outcome were extracted from each eligible article in our review. Furthermore, we noted sample size, study design, patient population, mean/median age, percentage male, percentage famotidine users, and adjusted confounding variables. Quantitative synthesis was also done independently by two reviewers (LC, RC), and a third reviewer was consulted to resolve discrepancies when they arose (MS). All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint The Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studiesof Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool, developed by the Cochrane Bias Methods Group, was used to assess risk of bias for all observational studies included in this meta-analysis (21) . Primary assessment was conducted by one reviewer (C-HL), and subsequently re-assessed by two reviewers (LC, MS). A meta-analysis was conducted by subgroups of whether patients took famotidine prior to or during hospitalization. Within subgroups, meta-analysis was conducted based on the type of relative risk ratio reported. Odds ratios (ORs) were aggregated to generate a summary OR, and hazard ratios (HRs) were aggregated to generate a summary HR. The primary outcome that was meta-analyzed was a composite outcome of mortality, intubation, or intensive care unit admission. The secondary outcome aggregated was the mortality rate separated from other composite outcomes. A random-effects DerSimonian-Laird analysis model was used, as there was high heterogeneity. A p-value of less than 0.05 was deemed as the threshold for statistical significance. Due to the limited number of studies that reported results for each outcome measure, we did not assess for publication bias with a funnel plot and Egger's test. All analyses were conducted using Stata 16.1. 106 articles were located through database search and three additional articles were located through backward reference search. After duplication removal, 76 unique articles remained and underwent level 1 screening, yielding 28 articles that underwent level 2 screening. Eight articles All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint reported on clinical dataset and therefore were eligible for possible quantitative synthesis. However, only six articles reported adjusted relative risk ratios (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) , and two of them were excluded as they consisted of both inpatients and outpatients diagnosed with COVID-19 (13, 18) . Therefore, four studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. The PRISMA flow diagram is presented in Appendix 2. Key characteristics for included studies are presented in Table 1 All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. Overall, this systematic review and meta-analysis included 46,435 total patients, of whom 3,110 were treated with famotidine during their hospitalizations. Three out of four studies reported a composite endpoint, defined differently in each study but typically consisting of a combination of mortality, intubation, or intensive services ( Table 1) (Figure 2b) . Overall, there was considerable heterogeneity across studies as All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint evidenced by the high I 2 that ranged from 83.69% to 88.07% depending on analysis. (19, 20) ; 2) moreover, since both studies drew from the same centralized Hong Kong database, some patients would be counted twice within the same time period if both were included in a meta-analysis as in Kamal et el (19) ; 3) additionally, we chose not to meta-analyze the results of studies that presented a composite endpoint with the results of studies that presented only an endpoint of mortality since they represent different degrees of severity (19, 20) ; 4) finally, we did not meta-analyze OR along with HR reported by different -10 -All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint studies since the rare event assumption is not met (20) . In fact, across four studies, the incidence of the composite outcome ranged from 21% to 37% (14) (15) (16) (17) . Among reports included in this meta-analysis, two earlier retrospective cohort studies reported that famotidine is associated with a decreased rate of mortality and/or composite outcome for patients with COVID-19 (14) (15) . For instance, Freedberg et al showed a HR of 0.43 (95% CI: 0.21 -0.88) for the composite outcome of 30-day mortality or intubation when patients were given famotidine on day 1 of hospitalization (14) . However, these two studies were single-center studies, had a relatively small sample size of treatment group, and there is a lack of adjustment for concurrent medication use such as corticosteroids, hydroxychloroquine, and azithromycin. On the other hand, two recent studies with larger sample size reported a lack of reduction in mortality and/or composite outcome for famotidine users with COVID-19 (16) (17) . Although we did not include Zhou et al in this meta-analysis as the study included patients diagnosed with COVID-19 in the ambulatory and emergency settings, it is important to note that the study showed an increased composite outcome of ICU admission, intubation, and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.16 -2.92) for COVID-19 patients treated with famotidine (18) . The study by Zhou et al also investigated the effect of another class of acid suppressor agents in proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), which block the hydrogen/potassium adenosine triphosphatase enzyme system as opposed to the H2 receptors in famotidine. They found that current or regular PPI users were more likely to have severe outcomes of COVID-19 compared to non-users (18)findings that confirm the results of a meta-analysis in the use of PPIs in patients with COVID-19 (23) . The mechanism for this increased risk remains unclear; preliminary hypotheses include PPIs may All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (24) . Similarly, among the four studies included in this meta-analysis, none showed an increased risk of severe outcomes among COVID-19 patients treated with famotidine. Nevertheless, there remains an urgent need for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to elucidate the treatment effect and safety profile of famotidine in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Fortunately, recruitment for a multicentered RCT has been completed and we await its results (25) . Currently, there is very limited data on the efficacy of oral famotidine in treatment of COVID-19 patients with mild to moderate disease solely in the outpatient setting. A case series of 10 nonhospitalized COVID patients reported improved symptoms score after initiation of high dose famotidine (26) . However, a survey study conducted in otolaryngology patients found that chronic famotidine use was not associated with incidence of COVID-19 (27) . Regardless, higher quality studies such as RCTs are needed to further elucidate the role of famotidine in treating mild to moderate, non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients, and one such study is currently underway at Northwell Health (28). There are several limitations to this study. First, the strength of our findings is limited by the quality of included studies as is the case for all systematic reviews and meta-analyses. To account for confounding, this meta-analysis contains only observational data that reported adjusted relative risks. Although all the included observational studies had some concern for risk of bias, they All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint employed propensity score matching to minimize selection bias. Additionally, only one study explicitly included patients with COVID-19 treated with famotidine before and during hospitalization (15) . Other studies may have included patients who also used famotidine before hospitalization as they may have used as continuation of home use-an assumption made by Freedberg et al. Furthermore, while we employed a random effects model for our analysis, the heterogeneity is high. Lastly, there are subtle yet meaningful differences in the definition of composite outcome across the four studies, thereby allowing for potential bias when calculating aggregate ORs/HRs. Given the paucity of data reported in the literature, the directionality of these results should only be used for hypothesis-generation rather than clinical decision making. In conclusion, this meta-analysis suggests that famotidine does not reduce the risk of mortality in individuals hospitalized with COVID-19. Similarly, there was a point estimate suggesting a decreased risk of the composite outcome of death, intubation, and/or use of intensive services among famotidine users, but this did not meet statistical significance. Further RCTs may help determine the efficacy and safety of famotidine in treating COVID-19 patients in various care settings. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted March 24, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.14.21253537 doi: medRxiv preprint Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China Association Between Administration of Systemic Corticosteroids and Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19 A Meta-analysis Drug treatments for covid-19: living systematic review and network meta-analysis Dexamethasone in Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19 -Preliminary Report Effect of Remdesivir vs Standard Care on Clinical Status at 11 Days in Patients With Moderate COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial Remdesivir for the Treatment of Covid-19 -Final Report No reuse allowed without permission. 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The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted Impact of Famotidine Use on Clinical Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19 Comparative Effectiveness of Famotidine in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Famotidine Use Is Not Associated With 30-day Mortality: A Coarsened Exact Match Study Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 From a Large Healthcare System Proton pump inhibitor or famotidine use and severe COVID-19 disease: A propensity scorematched territory-wide study Lack of consistent associations between pharmacological gastric acid suppression and adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19: meta-analysis of observational studies Does famotidine reduce the risk of progression to severe disease, death and intubation for COVID-10 patients? A systematic review and meta-analysis ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomized studies of interventions Metaanalysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. 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