key: cord-1046904-hwb5byja authors: Latz, Christopher A.; DeCarlo, Charles; Boitano, Laura; Png, C. Y. Maximilian; Patell, Rushad; Conrad, Mark F.; Eagleton, Matthew; Dua, Anahita title: Blood type and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 date: 2020-07-12 journal: Ann Hematol DOI: 10.1007/s00277-020-04169-1 sha: ab60605f6f92a26aa8887aea13a5e75b3589fa4b doc_id: 1046904 cord_uid: hwb5byja This study aimed to determine if there is an association between ABO blood type and severity of COVID-19 defined by intubation or death as well as ascertain if there is variability in testing positive for COVID-19 between blood types. In a multi-institutional study, all adult patients who tested positive for COVID-19 across five hospitals were identified and included from March 6th to April 16th, 2020. Hospitalization, intubation, and death were evaluated for association with blood type. Univariate analysis was conducted using standard techniques and logistic regression was used to determine the independent effect of blood type on intubation and/or death and positive testing. During the study period, there were 7648 patients who received COVID-19 testing throughout the institutions. Of these, 1289 tested positive with a known blood type. A total of 484 (37.5%) were admitted to hospital, 123 (9.5%) were admitted to the ICU, 108 (8.4%) were intubated, 3 (0.2%) required ECMO, and 89 (6.9%) died. Of the 1289 patients who tested positive, 440 (34.2%) were blood type A, 201 (15.6%) were blood type B, 61 (4.7%) were blood type AB, and 587 (45.5%) were blood type O. On univariate analysis, there was no association between blood type and any of the peak inflammatory markers (peak WBC, p = 0.25; peak LDH, p = 0.40; peak ESR, p = 0.16; peak CRP, p = 0.14) nor between blood type and any of the clinical outcomes of severity (admission p = 0.20, ICU admission p = 0.94, intubation p = 0.93, proning while intubated p = 0.58, ECMO p = 0.09, and death p = 0.49). After multivariable analysis, blood type was not independently associated with risk of intubation or death (referent blood type A; blood type B: AOR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.42–1.26, blood type AB: AOR: 0.78, CI: 0.33–1.87, blood type O: AOR: 0.77, CI: 0.51–1.16), rhesus factor positive (Rh+): AOR: 1.03, CI: 0.93–1.86. Blood type A had no correlation with positive testing (AOR: 1.00, CI: 0.88–1.13), blood type B was associated with higher odds of testing positive for disease (AOR: 1.28, CI: 1.08–1.52), AB was also associated with higher odds of testing positive (AOR: 1.37, CI: 1.02–1.83), and O was associated with a lower risk of testing positive (AOR: 0.84, CI: 0.75–0.95). Rh+ status was associated with higher odds of testing positive (AOR: 1.23, CI: 1.003–1.50). Blood type was not associated with risk of intubation or death in patients with COVID-19. Patients with blood types B and AB who received a test were more likely to test positive and blood type O was less likely to test positive. Rh+ patients were more likely to test positive. COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-COV2 virus, has led to a global pandemic [1, 2] . The SARS-COV2 virus has had varying effects on the global population; those who are older and with comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and pulmonary diseases have proven more vulnerable to severe disease [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] . Given the significant morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19, there has been scientific interest in eliciting data that details characteristics that may render individuals more susceptible to COVID-19 infection and determining what risk factors may be associated with progression and severity of disease from the virus [8] [9] [10] [11] . There have been numerous molecular level hypotheses raised for the variable susceptibility to disease and vulnerability to severe disease, such as the variable expression of ACE-2 expression in the airway epithelia [12] . Landsteiner's ABO Christopher A. Latz and Charles DeCarlo are Co-first authors carbohydrate moieties are genetically inherited and previous reports have suggested a correlation between ABO blood type, cardiovascular disease, and cancers, as well as typing and susceptibility to certain infections, including SARS coronavirus [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] . In currently pre-printed data, Zhao et al. reported a possible association between blood type A and a higher risk for COVID-19 infection and mortality while blood group O was associated with a lower risk of infection and mortality [13] . Zietz and Tatonetti found that blood type A was correlated with a higher odds of testing positive for disease [19] . There is a paucity of data regarding the relationship between ABO blood typing and severity of COVID-19 disease. Using a large multi-institutional cohort of patients, this study aimed to determine if there is an association between ABO blood type and severity of COVID-19 disease as well as ascertain if there is variability in testing positive for COVID-19 between blood types. Multi-institutional data were retrospectively reviewed on all patients with COVID-19 who presented to five major hospitals in the state of Massachusetts from March 6th to April 16th, 2020. The Partner's Healthcare System's Research Patient Data Registry (RPDR) was queried to document all patients who had a COVID-19 test performed in within the study period. Patients who tested positive for COVID-19 and had a blood type recorded in the health records were included in this study. Demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory markers of inflammation were reviewed. Patients less than 18 years of age were excluded. This study was reviewed and approved by the Massachusetts General Hospital institutional review board (IRB), and the requirement for individual informed consent was waived. All procedures followed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committee on human experimentation (both institutional and national) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2008. Patient baseline comorbidities were determined by the International Classification of Diseases Codes, Ninth and Tenth Revision (ICD-9/10) which were assigned prior to the study period; all patients within the cohort had codes available prior to the study period. Comorbidities of interest were analyzed as binary variables and included hypertension, smoking (former or current), hyperlipidemia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cardiovascular comorbidities (history of coronary artery disease and stroke history), diabetes mellitus, a history of cancer, chronic kidney disease (CKD), end stage renal disease on hemodialysis (ESRD), cirrhosis, cardiac dysrhythmia, deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism, and asthma. Patients were recorded as taking medications of interest if that medication was recorded on the medication list at an encounter within the year prior to a positive COVID-19 test. Medications of interest included aspirin, p2y12 inhibitor, anticoagulants, antihypertensives, and beta-blockers. Initial and peak lab values were recorded for creatinine, C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and white blood cell count (WBC). Age and BMI were treated as continuous variables. The primary outcome of interest was the composite of intubation or death. These occurrences, along with hospital admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, prone positioning while intubated, and initiation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), were determined by manual chart review. Patient peak inflammatory marker values (WBC, LDH, CRP, and ESR) were also evaluated for correlation with blood type. Patients were followed until April 29th, 2020. Proning referred only to proning while ventilated and not proning when not ventilated. Admission referred to admission in which the primary purpose for admission was for COVID-19 infection or any admission where treatment specifically related to COVID-19 took place. Death was defined as any mortality in which COVID-19 infection complications played a role in patient death. Continuous variables were evaluated for normality as determined by skewness and kurtosis. The Chi-square test was utilized for categorical variables, and the ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis was used, where appropriate, in comparing demographics, comorbidities, and medications across blood types. A univariate screen between blood type, demographics, comorbidities, and the outcomes of interest were performed using the Chi-square test for categorical variables and the Student's t test or the Wilcoxon ranks u m f o r c o n t i n u o u s v a r i a b l e s , a s a p p r o p r i a t e . Multivariable analysis was performed for the intubation and death composite variable using logistic regression; the model was built using a purposeful selection method with blood type and rhesus factor (Rh+) to be forced into the model at its completion, should they not already be selected for model inclusion. Purposeful selection inclusion criteria were P value < .20 on univariate analysis as the threshold for model inclusion; exit criteria was P > . 10 . Primary language, sex, age, and Rh+ were determined for adjustment as these covariates were thought to be potential confounders based on the primary model and these data were available for all patients who tested positive or negative. The model was run for each blood type against all others and with blood type as categorical to evaluate the independent effect of Rh+ status. Model diagnostics were performed using the Hosmer and Lemeshow Goodness of Fit test. An alpha level of ≤ .05 was utilized as the threshold for statistical significance. There were no missing data for any demographics, comorbidities, or medications. Statistical analysis for inflammatory marker outcomes included only patients who had such tests. All analyses were performed using Stata version 15.1 (StataCorp, College station, Texas, USA). Table 4 ). In this large, multi-institutional, retrospective review, there was no association noted between ABO blood type and COVID-19 disease severity defined as intubation or death. These data are different from that of Zhao et al. in the Wuhan experience who evaluated the association between blood type and mortality [13] . While there is data that ABO blood typing plays a role in disease acquisition and severity in other diseases, this was not the case in these data for COVID-19 [17] [18] [19] . The primary outcome of interest, composite intubation, or death yielded no association with blood type; furthermore, there were no significant associations with blood type and need for hospitalization, proning requirement while intubated or for any of the inflammatory markers reviewed in this study on univariate analysis. Given the lack of association between ABO subtype and severe disease found in these data as well as the preliminary data from Zietz and Tatonetti, ABO blood typing should not currently be considered prognostic in those who acquire the disease. Blood type O had the lowest frequency of disease positivity, similar to Zhao et al., but blood type A had a lower frequency than blood types B and AB [13] . Both Zhao et al. and Zietz and Tatonetti, in their preliminary data, show correlation between blood type A and likelihood of positive testing and blood type O and likelihood of negative testing [13, 14] . The finding related to blood type O appears to correlate across our study and that of both Zhao et al. and Zietz and Tatonetti, but the blood type A correlation was not found in our study [13, 14] . This association of blood type O being less common in infection is the same as that found for SARS-CoV-1 [17] . The Rh+ association with disease positivity appears to be a novel finding and warrants further investigation. Given the relative rarity of rhesus negative blood types, these could not be stratified out by blood type given our patient numbers in this study. A final element worthy of discussion is that there is certainly a racial element to ABO blood typing [20] . We were able to account for confounding factors of race and primary language through our multivariable models, likely isolating the effect of ABO blood typing, independent of ethnicity. However, the full effects of ethnicity on COVID-19 susceptibility and severity warrant further investigation. Our sample sizes are relatively small, with 483 hospitalized patients available for review and 1289 total positive patients that had blood type documented. It is possible that there may be a lead-time bias as some of the positive patients were early in their course and will go on to require hospitalization, require intubation, or die secondary to their disease. Additionally, this is an observational study, and while attempts were made to control for confounding, where such controls were possible, there is always the possibility that unmeasured confounding is driving the results. Blood type is not associated with risk of progression to severe disease requiring intubation or causing death, nor is it associated with higher peak levels of inflammatory markers. Patients with blood types B and AB who received a test were more likely to test positive as were those who are Rh+ positive, and blood type O was less likely to test positive. 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C.L. and C.D. performed the statistical analysis and analyzed the data. C.L., C.D., L.B., C.P. performed raw data collection. C.L., C.D., L.B., C.P., R.P., M.C., M.E., and A.D assisted with interpretation of the data and critical revision of the manuscript. Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.