key: cord-1006300-fj9pn8ff authors: Abuzerr, Samer; Abu-Aita, Said; Al-Najjar, Ismail; Abuhabib, Azzam; Al-Jourany, Heba; Zinszer, Kate title: Preparedness and Readiness Strategies for Addressing the COVID-19 Pandemic in Fragile and Conflict Settings: Experiences of the Gaza Strip date: 2021-11-22 journal: Front Public Health DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.766103 sha: 0127ad0ec090587bd76364e138b4da26b90d736d doc_id: 1006300 cord_uid: fj9pn8ff The COVID-19 pandemic is a global public health threat of serious concern, especially in conflict settings that face fragility and lack adequate resources and capacities. Gaza suffers from a blockade imposed by the Israeli occupation, environmental deterioration, confiscation of lands, demolition of houses and hospitals, restrictions on movement, lack of control over natural resources, and financial constraints. Gaza's population is consequently living in a poor humanitarian situation with high unemployment rates, poverty, over-crowdedness, and a weak health system. This makes Gaza incredibly fragile and affects its ability to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic effectively. The pandemic is expected to deepen Gaza's systems' fragility, which is already overstretched beyond their limits. This will hinder its capacity to deal with the pandemic, and other pre-existing pressing humanitarian needs. Therefore, in this review, we comprehensively explored Gaza's policy failures and successes related to the COVID-19 preparedness and response by state and non-state actors and recommend potential solutions and alternatives. We have addressed critical issues including the health system, water, sanitation, hygiene, socio-economic, education, food security, and others. In Gaza, effectiveness in combating the COVID-19 pandemic can only come from committed political will, transparency from all regulators, strategic dialogue, comprehensive planning, and active international support. The current reactive response of local authorities in Gaza has been effective in combating COVID-19. The number of cases and fatalities in the first 6 months of the crisis was relatively low compared to numbers in neighboring regions, including in the West Bank and Egypt. This has been possible not only because all incoming travelers to Gaza via Israel and Egypt enter a 21-day mandatory quarantine in designated facilities but also because entry and exit into Gaza are extremely limited due to the blockade (1) . Until 24 August 2020, the total number of infections from inside quarantine centers for arrivals to Gaza stood at 109, including one death (2) . On that date, the situations have been turned upside down, as four persons residing in Al Maghazi camp were diagnosed with positive COVID-19. As a response to confronting the spread of COVID-19 in the community, the local authorities have imposed complete isolation on the Al Maghazi camp, besides imposing a complete curfew in all Gaza Strip (GS) governorates for 48-h extended several times. The number of cases increased significantly, and on the date of writing these lines, 6 October 2021, it reached 174364 COVID-19 cases, including 1,432 deaths (3) . The map in Figure 1 herein shows the total number of COVID-19 cases in the GS, including the cases' distribution on its five governorates. Therefore, the COVID-19 is expected to excavate Gaza's Health System's (HS) fragility, which is already overloaded beyond its limits. The Ministry of Health (MOH) declared a state of emergency by allocating all efforts and available medical supplies in coping with the pandemic (4) (5) (6) . Therefore, in this review, we comprehensively explored Gaza's policy failures and successes related to the COVID-19 preparedness and response by state and non-state actors and recommend potential solutions and alternatives. We have addressed critical issues, including the health system, water, sanitation, hygiene, socio-economic, education, food security, and others. To collect data to help in objectives fulfillment, we have done an extensive reviewing and referring to local institutional websites, reports, factsheets, and other national, regional, and international English and Arabic documents, statistics, and studies released by unions and representative groups, World Health Organization (WHO), United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), clusters, Palestinian Ministries. In addition to several academic databases and search engines with no limit to the time of publication. According to the COVID-19 adaptation strategy pointed out by WHO, six critical criteria are to be met. The following points state these six criteria as benchmarking drivers to compare local measures relevancy and comply as well as to identify gaps (7) Following the discovery of infected cases within the community on 24 August 2020, a full lockdown was imposed. In addition, a restricted curfew from 8:00 pm to 7:00 am daily is effectively announced as well as complete prevention of movement for people <16 years old and above 60 years toward minimizing outbreaks and reduce risks for vulnerable groups in addition to full prevention of movement between governorates except with permission in all times. All mosques, gathering/wedding halls, weekly markets, chalets and resorts, seaside and beach, shopping malls, and any other related activity involving gathering are entirely restricted and prohibited. -Establish preventive measures at the workplace to reduce associated risks including, social distancing, hand washing, respiratory etiquette, and potentially temperature monitoring. Following the discovery of infected cases within the community on 24 August, 2020, preventive measures were strictly imposed, including face mask-wearing, sanitizing materials provision at all shops, pharmacies, and others. Those not complying with such measures may face fines and penalties imposed by local authorities and security forces. To date, all public services staff except those involved in emergency activities related to COVID-19 response (e.g., medical, security, and municipal staff) as well as educational institutes, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and other businesses are under lockdown under full suspension and/or working from home mode. It was clearly announced by local authorities to commit to using preventive measures at all workplaces at all times. -Full engagement of communities and promoting the understanding of the need to shift from detecting and treating severe cases to detecting and isolating all COVID-19 cases. Behavioral prevention measures have to be maintained with crucial roles for all individuals to be played. Various awareness campaigns and activities were organized by local authorities, NGOs, and others to involve the public in committing to the lockdown measures as well as the use of preventive measures (facemasks, sanitizers, social distancing, and others). These activities and campaigns are actively running through social media, press, local radios, and other means trying to reach as many people as possible to reduce outbreaks risks. This is one side of community engagement that sounds more like engaging by providing good practice to deal with the pandemic. However, at the planning and response level, local authorities tend to be taking the lead with no room whatsoever for the community to involve or participate except for public compliance angle despite the great efforts made by the WHO and The United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) in this regard (8) . It is worth mentioning that public compliance with the abovementioned measures is observably low and tends to be deteriorating with time. This may have two sides: (1) level of ignorance related to the community attributed to the harsh situation associated with the long-lasting blockade and declined public services provided, leading to lack of trust between the community and local authorities (2) exhaustion and indolence by local authorities following up public compliance over time (9, 10) . According to a recently published study by Abuhabib and hiscolleagues, three potential risk scenarios associated with COVID-19 in Gaza were predicted and outlined. The three scenarios are: (1) Widespread of the virus with tens or hundreds of cases and fatalities daily with full control loss. (2) Cases continued to be deducted on the borders and quarantined without being spread within the community (3) Number of undiscovered cases is removed within the community leading to limited/unlimited infection inside the community (11) . The GS pandemic situation has experienced the shifting from the second scenario of having cases only at the borders to the third scenario of having infected cases within the community since 24 August 2020. The population density in GS of 5,453 persons/km 2 is one of the highest worldwide. A population of 2 million inhabitants living in overcrowded camps. The socio-economic situation in Gaza has deteriorated throughout the 13 years of Israeli besiege. The intra-Palestinian division between the West Bank (WB) and the GS has adversely affected all life aspects, including national response, HS governance, financial and human resources, capacity and technologies, research, and coordination (12, 13) . The pandemic's repercussions are likely to profoundly impact socio-economic conditions in light of limited resources, possibly causing a collapse of the Strip. The Palestinian stagnated economy has been affected by the lockdown measures as people lost their jobs, and more are expected to become unemployed 2 . The Ministry of Labor (MoL) estimates that out of 130,000 registered workers, around 38,000 need urgent humanitarian assistance, which is exacerbating food insecurity and will, as a result, deteriorate their livelihood and health (14, 15) . The unemployment and poverty levels are too high, reaching 51 and 53%, respectively (16) . According to the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, a 6-month lockdown has declined the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 7.1% compared to 2019 and is expected to reach 14% by the end of 2020 (17) . It is anticipated that the poverty level will get 64% with heavy losses that will incur by the owners of economic enterprises by the end of 2020 2 . Following the onset of the pandemic, the production capacity of various industrial, commercial, tourist sectors witnessed a remarkable decline that could be attributable to the lack of purchasing power and citizens turning out to purchase essential foodstuffs, detergents, disinfectants, and personal protective equipment (PPEs) (18) 3 . Despite the Geneva Convention requiring the occupying power to take "prophylactic and preventive measures necessary to combat the spread of contagious diseases and epidemics" (19) . Israel's violations of human rights and international law have been increasing during the past few months of the COVID-19 crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic sheds light on the devastating impacts of the ongoing Israeli blockade since 2007 on the HS in Gaza, which impeded Palestinian efforts to combat COVID-19, including restricting the entry of essential materials needed for the health sectors such as equipment and medications, categorized as "dual-use" items, via the Israeli-controlled Karm Abu Salem crossing, the main commercial crossing. Accordingly, the COVID-19 pandemic sheds light on the devastating impacts of the ongoing blockade since 2007 on the HS in Gaza (20) . Healthcare services in GS are provided publicly by four primary providers at different levels: MOH through its governmental hospitals and primary healthcare clinics, United Nations for Relief and Working Agency (UNRWA), A UN agency providing primary healthcare to Palestine refugees in Gaza who are representing more than 70% of the population. 4 . Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), and finally, private hospitals and clinics. Practically, GS has 27 hospitals in total, 13 of which are governmentally managed by the Palestinian MOH with 1,500 beds capacity (21) . Meanwhile, Gaza's cancer patients (12,600 patients, 53% of them are females and 47% males) were trapped by politics and COVID-19 (22) . Gaza's hospitals' ability to provide adequate diagnosis and treatment to cancer patients is severely limited due to chronic shortages of medicines and lack of medical equipment. Many patients need health care elsewhere in the occupied Palestinian territory or abroad. But to leave the GS for treatment, they must obtain a permit from Israeli authorities. The WHO estimates that around 1,200 patients need to leave Gaza for treatment (23) . Moreover, the spike in COVID-19 cases in the occupied WB and Israel, as well as the 21-day quarantine imposed by the local authorities on patients returning to Gaza, has further put some people off applying for a permit in the first place (24) . There are 695 kindergartens in the GS; 720 schools differ according to the supervisory authorities: 421 governmental schools, 274 UNRWA schools, and 25 private schools. Of them, 293 schools are working on a double shift system, morning and evening shifts. This reduces instructional hours on core subjects and foundation learning. In addition to overcrowded classrooms, there is limited time available to reinforce learning, support slow learners, and provide remedial education programs or extracurricular activities. Also, the number of university colleges is 17. These educational institutions are attended by more than half a million students (16, 25) . The Ministry of Education (MoE) in Gaza immediately launched its National Response Plan for COVID-19, including three scenarios to complete the educational process as follows (26): Scenario 1: The ordinary full-time course and complete study plan with the usual school structure (average of 40 students per class). Scenario 2: The educational process proceeds with an average of 20 students per class. The class students are divided into two groups, each attended by 3 days per week on a rotating basis. Scenario 3: Complete lockdown of educational institutions. In August 2020, after 5 months of closure, students had been smoothly returned and resumed classes they missed from the past year, with class sessions curtailed to four per day, recess canceled, and school canteens closed. Authorities were studying a full-fledged back-to-school start in September. This rare scene of normalcy came due to the non-detection of any COVID-19 cases outside quarantine centers. Again, the COVID-19 pandemic overshadowed the education sector before the first month of school opening passed; on 24 August 2020, the Ministry of Education was pushed to apply the third scenario when the early four infections were detected among the population. Efforts to implement distance education have started immediately after schools' closure as an appropriate method for overcoming the current crisis and sustaining educational activities (27) . On 16 August 2021, the educational process resumed in a normal face-to-face mode for the first time since the pandemic took place for all education institutions across Gaza subjected to COVID-19 protocol announced by MoH (28) . The containment measures of the COVID-19 pandemic have put an additional burden on WASH services providers. Since the pandemic onset, more water quantities are demanded to ensure hygiene practices at the household level and infection prevention control at healthcare facilities compared to the prior COVID-19 era (29, 30) . The per capita daily water consumption is 88.3 liters per capita per day (lcd) in 2019, below the acceptable standard of 100 liters per capita per day recommended by the WHO (31, 32) . The chronic electricity deficit affecting the GS, alongside the longstanding shortage of adequate sanitation infrastructure, continues to result in the discharge of 100-108 million liters of untreated wastewater into the sea every day. These precarious nature facilities also generate a constant threat of sewage flooding in areas adjacent to reservoirs and pumping stations (33, 34) . It is estimated that WASH-related diseases accounted for over one-quarter of illnesses. The exposure to sewage collected around Gaza's neighborhoods is associated with an increased risk of acute diarrhea among children (35) (36) (37) (38) . Gaza people's unaffordability to pay for improved WASH services and products, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, could also increase the likelihood of further spreading WASH-borne diseases in Gaza (16, 39, 40) . At the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis in Gaza, the solid waste collection has been suspended for 30% of households in Gaza since late April 2020 (41) . That was due to municipalities' inability to pay the solid waste workforce's wages, which were already reduced previously. Municipalities were also forced to reduce funding allocated to purchase the fuel needed to run SWM vehicles and machinery in order to overcome funding shortage and keep services delivery even at minimum level despite the fact that some vehicles are old and require frequent maintenance (42) . However, services had been restored to normal by August 2020. Consequently, this pandemic is expected to amplify the already overstretched Palestinian environment and HSs' fragility and make from Gaza the worst-case scenario concerning WASHrelated diseases. It will hinder its capacity to deal with the other pre-existing needs of Gaza's population (43) . With the pandemic spread, several measures were taken by local authorities as an attempt to reduce spreading, especially among staff and workers dealing with daily activities including waste collection and transport to landfills. Protective and prevention equipment PPEs (e.g., gloves, face masks, sanitizers) were distributed and used. New measures and standard operation procedures (SOPs) for handling quarantine centers garbage and wastes were also applied. For medical wastes at hospitals, special measures were also taken for departments dealing with COVID-19 patients in terms of waste collection and disposal only through incineration and not to send to landfills (42) . Food Insecurity Around 1.3 million people in Gaza suffer from severe or moderate food insecurity, according to the initial results of the latest socio-economic survey and food security in 2018 (44) . The UNICEF and the World Food Program (WFP) reported that 23% of Gaza families have sub-optimal food consumption. Eighty percentage of these households receive some form of humanitarian aid (45, 46) . The livestock sector losses are likely to be catastrophic because of the inability to import, store or access fodder, with GS's agricultural inputs in need of $21 million (7 botanical products, 14 animal products). The COVID-19 pandemic crisis has also caused Gaza's fishing sector damage, as this year's season is considered the worst in years. This is due to the closure of crossings and the cessation of various products abroad, including fish. The crisis has caused the price of fish in the GS to decline to about 50 and 70%, amid low demand, especially in light of the citizens' low purchasing power. About 4 thousand fishermen who support 24 thousand families work in the fishing profession in Gaza. The number of anglers has decreased significantly in recent years, while the fishing sector's total contribution has reduced to <1%. The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to make matters worse. Unprecedented initial indicators, trends, and trends have arisen due to the epidemic, and the measures are taken to combat it and reduce its spread. As the world continues to bruise under the severe impact of COVID-19 with massive efforts and attempts toward developing the needed vaccine, already-vulnerable areas like GS continue to struggle and barely survive. The Israeli blockade and deepening internal dividing are severely hindering the efforts of COVID-19 spreading prevention. This fragile situation fed by a sequence of conflicts and escalations and worsened by COVID-19 is precarious and unstable. As comprehensively illustrated in this review, all sectors (Health, WASH, socio-economic, education, food security, and others) are in shaky shape with the possibility to collapse at any time, especially with the mandatory measures taken by the local authorities represented mainly by the lockdown and full closure. As such, sustaining preventive measures commitment by population and economy reviving with essential support to the HS is the foremost priority to avoid overall collapse. Therefore, in this review, we have summarized and addressed critical issues affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, including the health system, water, sanitation, hygiene, socio-economic, education, food security, and others. In general, several control measures are recommended to gradually adapt and live with COVID-19 in the long run with the overall situation under control and with a low level of infection and low mortality percentage as follows: 1. Support and empower the overall healthcare system and further engage UNRWA and international NGOs to provide PCR kits and medical supplies and increase the medical staff workforce using some temporary employment means. 2. Advocate and encourage population toward taking available vaccines and tremendously increase number of vaccinated people, as vaccinated individuals are far below required to face COVID-19 widespread. 3. Maintain both regular and essential healthcare services using the newly established protective protocols. 4. Strategically increase the number of random PCR tests within the community to make numbers and figures more indicative and improve their accuracy and readiness. As recommended by the WHO, having a PCR positivity rate of 5% indicates that the number of cases is reduced significantly and might be considered guidance about testing screening level. 5. Gradually decrease the level of lockdown toward full lifting with the possibility of exceptionally lockdown certain areas with the high number of infected cases (specific indicators should be established to so with a clear link between the numbers of COVID-19 patients per 1,000 person). 6. Sustain the controlling measures that limit the people gathering and the number of persons presented per close and open areas (e.g., markets, barbershops, malls, bakeries, and others). 7. Imposing the public to wearing PPEs becomes a sort of daily practice for the overall population in the streets, markets, workplaces, and others. 8. Sustain the closure of mosques, wedding halls, weekly markets, and gathering places until further notice. 9. Adopt a new strategy for public transportation represented by committing to the use of PPEs by drivers and passengers and reducing passengers' number in public transportation modes. IA-N, SA-A, HA-J, and KZ contributed on investigation, data curation, and writing. SA contributed on supervision and review & editing. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version. 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