key: cord-0981868-05y1mlu7 authors: Roossinck, Marilyn J; García-Arenal, Fernando title: Ecosystem simplification, biodiversity loss and plant virus emergence date: 2015-01-29 journal: Curr Opin Virol DOI: 10.1016/j.coviro.2015.01.005 sha: 2e70353706eff193b6384090ee34da747f3a07fa doc_id: 981868 cord_uid: 05y1mlu7 Plant viruses can emerge into crops from wild plant hosts, or conversely from domestic (crop) plants into wild hosts. Changes in ecosystems, including loss of biodiversity and increases in managed croplands, can impact the emergence of plant virus disease. Although data are limited, in general the loss of biodiversity is thought to contribute to disease emergence. More in-depth studies have been done for human viruses, but studies with plant viruses suggest similar patterns, and indicate that simplification of ecosystems through increased human management may increase the emergence of viral diseases in crops. Plant virus emergence is a complex, incompletely understood, process involving multiple ecological and genetic factors that may be considered as acting sequentially: first, the encounter between the virus and the new host must occur; then the virus must adapt to the new host so that infection is productive enough to ensure between-host transmission; and, last, epidemiological dynamics must change to optimize between-host transmission in the new host population [1 ] . Here we are concerned with the first and third steps of emergence. It is widely accepted, although empirical and experimental evidence is scarce, that ecosystem simplification including biodiversity loss will favor both new virus-host encounters, and new epidemiological dynamics resulting in emergence. Linked to this idea is the concept that emergent viruses generally are multi-host pathogens that spillover into a new host population from the original host population in which the pathogen is permanently maintained, that is, from a reservoir host [2] , usually a wild host. The focus has been on virus emergence in crops; however, understanding plant virus emergence in crops is limited by a lack of knowledge about the occurrence and dynamics of virus species and strains in wild plant communities [3] . As this gap is being filled it is becoming increasingly clear that crops may also be reservoirs for emergence into wild plants, with consequences potentially as socioeconomically relevant as emergence in crops. Although plant virus-like sequences have also been found in the feces of a number of animals, including humans [4 ] , these are almost certainly acquired in the diet, and there is no evidence that any of these can replicate, disseminate or cause disease in humans. In general viruses in crop plants have been discovered because they caused symptoms, and surveys for asymptomatic viruses are extremely limited. Viruses that cause disease in some crops can be asymptomatic in others. For example Peanut stunt virus causes severe disease in peanuts and beans, but establishes a completely asymptomatic infection in clover [5, 6] . Cucumber mosaic virus (CMV) can asymptomatically infect some cultivars of rice (Xu P, Roossinck MJ, unpublished data), and even though both the crop and the virus are extremely well-studied, this has not been reported. The result is that the literature on plant viruses in crops is inherently biased, and the real situation in crops is still unknown. Similar scenarios exist for human and other animal hosts and their viruses. Until recently very few studies looked at viruses in wild plants, with the exception of a few surveys conducted on weeds in areas surrounding crops, and these only tested for known viruses [3] . With the advent of next generation sequencing however, methods have been developed to look for virus-like sequence elements without the bias of only looking for known viruses, and plant viruses are being found in wild plants and a number of other environments [4 ,7] . These studies indicate that what is found in wild plants is vastly different from what is known in crop plants [4 ] . This does not mean that the viruses are truly vastly different however, because in depth surveys for all viruses in crop plants have not yet been done. Perhaps most interesting in the wild plants is the preponderance of persistent viruses [8] that make up more than half of the sequences that have relatives in GenBank. Another interesting observation is that although some known acute plant viruses are found in wild plants they are most often asymptomatic, and there is no correlation between the presence of a virus and the presence of symptoms in wild plants [8] (but see [9 ] ). In addition, many wild plants appear to have multiple infections, including both acute and persistent viruses [10 ] . At least 60% of the sequences obtained from virusenriched samples in plants have no relatives in GenBank, and are currently classified as unknowns. This is common in virus surveys, and in marine virus surveys these numbers are close to 90%. New methods are being developed to try to understand these entities [11] , but we are still along way from definitive answers to the question: what viruses are infecting crops and wild plants? Another question relevant to understanding emergence is if virus infection patterns are the same in crops and in wild plants. Again, data are limited, and consider only acute viruses infecting both crops and wild plants. In one study, the incidence of two begomoviruses with narrow host ranges, Pepper golden mosaic virus and Pepper huasteco yellow vein virus in wild pepper (Capsicum annuum var. glabriusculum) populations in Mexico increased with ecosystem simplification due to habitat anthropization [9 ] . The main predictor of begomovirus incidence was the species diversity of the habitat (Figure 1 ). However, diversity was unrelated to the incidence of the generalist virus CMV [9 ] . Patterns of begomovirus and CMV incidence may be related to the dilution effect and amplification effect hypotheses linking host diversity and emergence risk (see below). The yearly variation in begomovirus incidence was higher in cultivated than in wild populations of the host plant [9 ,12 ] , suggesting that ecosystem simplification favors epidemic (vs. endemic) dynamics of virus infection. Large yearly incidence variation in crops, but not in wild hosts, was also reported for CMV, with the Biodiversity loss and plant virus emergence Roossinck and García-Arenal 57 extent of temporal variation in wild hosts being positively correlated with ecosystem simplification [13] . Further work is required to determine if these patterns can be generalized to other acute viruses, or to persistent viruses. Loss of biodiversity can increase incidence of emerging diseases [14 ] , and change disease dynamics [15] although with very limited data on the incidence of infectious agents in wild hosts it is difficult to know if this assumption is general [16] . Diversity of available hosts could drive virus divergence by providing expanded niches for viruses when competition is strong [17] . Critically, we have a very limited inventory of the global pathome, the worldwide diversity and distribution of potentially pathogenic microbes in wild and domesticated plants and the environment. Some recent large-scale statistical studies have set the stage for identifying hot spots for potential emergence events for human pathogens [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] . These consider many potential drivers of pathogen biodiversity and emergence including climate factors, human demographics, population changes, land use changes, prior host species and pathogen control. While they disagree on some fundamental points (e.g. the proportion of emergence events due to viruses, the relationship between latitude and propensity for emergence), they highlight the importance of pathogen host range, local host species diversity, land use changes and agriculture. Although similar analyses have not been reported for plant viruses, plant pathologists have postulated for a long time that ecological simplification associated with agriculture favors the appearance of new diseases in crops, as well as their incidence and severity. Specifically, it is considered that reduced biodiversity in agroecosystems, in terms of both plant species richness and the genetic diversity of the focal host, will favor emergence [23, 24] . Support for these hypotheses derives mostly from circumstantial or historical evidence. For plant viruses, empirical evidence has been reported from the analysis of Cereal/Barley yellow dwarf luteoviruses which have been the object of detailed experimental studies on their effects in wild grassland ecosystems in western North America [25 ,26-28,29 ] , and for the begomovirus infecting wild pepper in Mexico, as described above [9 ] . Current declines in biodiversity are at the root of a renewed interest on the relationship between biodiversity and disease emergence [14 ] . For multi-host pathogens, heterogeneity in the ability of the pathogen to infect and multiply in different hosts has been shown to either reduce ('dilution effect' [30] ) or increase ('amplification effect' [31] ) the overall prevalence of infection in diverse host communities. The 'dilution effect' and 'amplification effect' represent extremes of a continuum based on the degree of host specialization by the pathogen. Again, available knowledge is scant here, as information on the host ranges and the degree of host preference of plant viruses derives mostly from assays on collections of experimental hosts, rather than from host range analyses in the field. Theoretical studies have speculated that host heterogeneity should drive selection for pathogen virulence [32] and may drive evolutionary branching in the parasite population [33] . These predictions have been tested for CMV though model analyses with biologically realistic, experimentally determined, model parameters [34] . The role of parasite biodiversity in disease emergence is equivocal, though many studies point to the critical role played by parasite intraspecific diversity in parasite adaptability [35] . Most studies of disease emergence do not directly address plant-virus systems but many of the questions and hypotheses they raise are relevant. For example, pathogens with broad host ranges (generalists) are hypothesized to be more likely to emerge in new species than those with narrow host ranges (specialists), and only a small fraction of parasites capable of moving from animals into humans are likely to spread from person to person [22] . Underlying this hypothesis is the concept of across-host fitness trade-offs (see Elena and Bedhomme in this volume), which should drive evolution toward specialists. Little is known about the selective forces that drive viral evolution in natural ecosystems, which contrasts with the more detailed population genetics studies in crop plants that have revealed the importance of mutation rates [36, 37] , recombination [38] [39] [40] , genetic drift [1 ] , and, to a lesser extent, migration in virus evolution. In recent years, the methodology of phylogenetic inference, relying on maximum likelihood, Bayesian and other quantitative frameworks, has made great strides and started to unravel life histories of viruses with a sensitivity not attainable previously [36, [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] . Approaches based on the coalescent theory and other statistical models have been developed [47] [48] [49] , allowing investigators to quantify the effects of the individual evolutionary factors, including particularly revealing results on positive vs. purifying selection, interhost vs. intrahost evolution patterns, etc. (see Ref. [50] for a recent monographic treatment). Phylogenetics can be used to model patterns of evolution and migration [51] . Various mathematical and statistical approaches to model emergence events have been proposed, providing retrospective understanding of parasites that have previously moved into novel host species [52] [53] [54] and tools for rapidly identifying hotspots of molecular evolution [37, 55, 56] . These methods recently have been used to assess whether environmental heterogeneity determines the evolutionary dynamics of plants viruses, and to reconstruct the spatio-temporal pattern of the colonization of new host populations [12 ] . However, we still lack the data and data-driven models that would allow us to anticipate future movement of parasites among different host species/populations [57] . Emergence requires that a virus infects a new host from a reservoir, that is, a natural host that may be either wild or domestic. This first encounter between virus and host is termed spillover. Virus adaptation to the new host results in infection dynamics becoming independent from further spillover [1 ] , and eventually the virus may spillback from the new host to the natural host ( Figure 2 ). There have been very few studies on the role of wildlands in plant virus diseases in crops, although considerably more work has been done in human virology. Human pathogenic viruses can emerge from unapparent infections in wildlife via a range of routes, including air-born, vector-born and body fluid-born transmission, as documented for Human immunodeficiency virus that apparently emerged numerous times from the closely related Simian immunodeficiency virus, endemic in chimpanzees [58] , and only rarely pathogenic [59] , and more recently for Severe acute respiratory syndrome virus that apparently emerged from bats [60, 61] . West Nile virus has been a spillover human pathogen for some time, but only recently appeared in North America. It is carried by wild birds, and transmitted by mosquitoes [62] . Influenza virus has been a human pathogen for a long time, but new strains emerge periodically from wild waterfowl populations, usually via a secondary domesticated host like swine [63] [64] [65] [66] , and are a frequent source of concern. Disease dynamics between domestic and wild hosts have been studied in Dengue virus (mosquito-born), mostly in the context of movement from sylvatic hosts to humans. The movement of Dengue from humans to simian hosts may have occurred but has not been studied beyond phylogenetics of extant viruses [67] and even extensive treatments of the sylvatic cycle of Dengue and other zoonotic viruses do not consider spillback [68] , although understanding the sylvatic cycle is recognized as critical for understanding human Dengue dynamics [67] . Often assumptions are made that humans are dead-end hosts for zoonotic viruses [69] , but this has not been well tested, and the role of wild host diversity in disease dynamics has been studied for only a few cases [14 ,16] . Although the studies relating plant virus emergence to wild host reservoirs are fewer than for human or animal viruses, the classical work on the emergence of Cacao swollen shoot virus as an important pathogen of cacao (Malvaceae family, native to the Americas) in West Africa from lowland forest and native savanna trees belonging to the Malvaceae, and the more recent studies on the emergence of Maize streak virus on maize in Africa after recombination of strains infecting local grasses [70 ,71] demonstrate the role of spillover in plant virus disease emergence (Table 1) . In other instances, evidence strongly suggests emergence from a wild reservoir, as for Sweet potato feathery mottle virus [72] or Pepino mosaic virus [73] or a wild reservoir is suspected, but has not been identified, as for African cassava mosaic virus and East African cassava mosaic virus [70 ] . As with humans, crops may be epidemiological dead ends. With Mal de Rio Cuarto virus that causes the major maize viral disease in Argentina, maize infection is strictly dependent on the migration of viruliferous delphacid vectors from wild grasses or winter grain crops to the young maize plants [74] . In western Australia Hardenbergia mosaic virus that naturally infects a native legume can spillover into introduced legumes and cause severe crop losses [75] . The role of domestic hosts as reservoirs for virus emergence in wild hosts has been documented for viruses affecting wildlife, due to the high impact of emerging viruses in conservation programs, particularly for endangered species. Thus, the introduction of Rinderpest virus into Africa with infected cattle from India had a catastrophic impact on native wild African ruminants in the late 19th century [76] . More recent examples from the late 20th century include the outbreaks of rabies that decimated the populations of African wild dogs and Ethiopian wolves, probably from domestic dogs [77] or [79] . In Costa Rica, surveys have found acute viruses from local crops in wild plants, but without any associated negative effects. There is also evidence that some of these viruses spillback into domestic crops with attenuation of their pathology (Roossinck, unpublished data) . Other data on spillback and its potential affects on disease dynamics are lacking. As human populations increase, the need for food continuously increases, with concomitant increases in conversion of wild lands for agricultural use. Increased use of wild lands for crops has resulted in significant losses in biodiversity, or ecosystem simplification. Virus disease emergence in crops is a complex process that involves interactions among wild and domestic hosts, insect and other virus vectors, and changes in ecosystems. Although the data is quite limited, evidence to date indicates that loss of biodiversity will lead to increased incidence of virus disease. The need for more studies on the presence of viruses in wild and domestic plants, particularly without regard to symptoms, is apparent, and a thorough understanding of these dynamic processes will not be possible until more data are available. In addition, the role of crop viruses in diseases of wild plants is largely unknown. Spillover from domestic plants to wild plants could contribute to increased simplification of wild ecosystems, further increasing the potential for newly emerging diseases in crops. Papers of particular interest, published within the period of review, have been highlighted as: of special interest of outstanding interest García-Arenal F: Evolution and emergence of plant viruses Identifying reservoirs of infection: a conceptual and practical challenge Wild plants and viruses: underinvestigated ecosystems Plant virus metagenomics: biodiversity and ecology A recent review on what is known about plant virus biodiversity Viruses of white clover in pastures of Pennsylvania Natural incidence of peanut stunt virus infection in hybrid populations of Trifolium ambiguum X T. repens The big unknown: plant virus biodiversity Persistent plant viruses: molecular hitchhikers or epigenetic elements? In Viruses: Essential Agents of Life Analysis of infection risk along a continuum of ecosystem simplification in a plant undergoing incipient domestication Ecogenomics: using massively parallel pyrosequencing to understand virus ecology A pioneering work on virus infection patterns in wild plants in wild ecosystems Plant virus metagenomics: what we know and why we need to know more Landscape heterogeneity shapes host-parasite interactions and results in apparent plant-virus co-divergence A detailed study of the role of environment variation in virus-host interactions Population dynamics of Cucumber mosaic virus in melon crops and in weeds in central Spain Impacts of biodiversity on the emergence and transmission of infectious diseases Biodiversity loss affects global disease ecology Biodiversity loss and emerging infectious disease: an example from the rodent-borne hemorrhagic fevers Competition and the origins of novelty: experimental evolution of niche-width expansion in a virus Ecology drives the worldwide distribution of human diseases Global trends in emerging infectious diseases Studying the global distribution of infectious diseases using GIS and RS Origins of major human infectious diseases Host range and emerging and reemerging pathogens. Emerg Inf Dis The origins of plant pathogens in agro-ecosystems Host density as a factor in plant disease ecology The community ecology of barley/cereal yellow dwarf viruses in Western US grasslands A good synthesis of long-term work on the ecology one of the best analysed systems Local context drives infection of grasses by vector-borne generalist viruses Virus infection in remnant native bunchgrasses from invaded California grasslands Pathogen spillover in disease epidemics Non-random biodiversity loss underlies predictable increases in viral disease prevalence A theoretical treatment of the reasons for increased disease prevalence in cereal virus diseases in California grasslands Biodiversity and the dilution effect in disease ecology Effects of host diversity on infectious disease Evolution of virulence in heterogeneous host communitites under multiple trade-offs Evolution of virulence in a heterogeneous host population García-Arenal F: Virulence evolution of a generalist plant virus in a heterogeneous host system How does biodiversity influence the ecology of infectious disease Phylogenetic evidence for rapid rates of molecular evolution in the single-stranded DNA begomovirus Tomato yellow leaf curl virus Rates of evolutionary change in viruses: patterns and determinants Frequent homologous recombination events between molecules of one RNA component in a multipartite RNA virus Recombination every day: abundant recombination in a virus during a single multi-cellular host infection Molecular population genetics of Cucumber mosaic virus in California: evidence for founder effects and reassortment Relaxed phylogenetics and dating with confidence Evolution of the human immunodeficiency virus envelope gene is dominated by purifying selection Phylogenetic mapping of recombination hotspots in human immunodeficiency virus via spatially smoothed change-point processes Methods for analyzing virus evolution Smooth skyride through a rough skyline: Bayesian coalescent-based inference of populaiton dynamics Bayesian phylogenetics with BEAUti and the BEAST 1.7 In The Evolution and Emergence of RNA Viruses Unifying the epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of pathogens The role of evolution in the emergence of infectious diseases Social exclusion modifies climate and deforestation impacts on a vector-borne disease Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence Detecting selection using a single genome sequence of M. tuberculosis and P. falciparum The genomic and epidemiological dynamics of human influenza A virus Cross-species virus transmission and the emergence of new epidemic diseases Origin of HIV-1 in the chimpanzee Pan troglodytes troglodytes Increased mortality and AIDS-like immunopathology in wild chimpanzees infected with SIVcpz Severe acute respiratory virus syndrome coronavirus-like virus in Chinese horseshoe bats Bats are natural reservoirs of SARS-like coronaviruses West Nile Virus in the United States: an update on an emerging infectious disease Evolutionary processes in influenza viruses: divergence, rapid evolution, and stasis Evolution of influenza viruses As swine flu circles globe, scientists grapple with basic questions H7N9 incident, immune status, the elderly and a warning of an influenza pandemic Fever from the forest: prospects for the continued emergence of sylvatic dengue virus and its impact on public health Fever versus fever: the role of host and vector susceptibility and interspecific competition in shaping the current and future distributions of the sylvatic cycles of dengue virus and yellow fever virus Emergence of zoonotic arbovirus by animal trade and migration Molecular ecology and emergence of tropical plant viruses Detailed information on the mergence of three important viruses in African crops Sequence diversity and virulence in Zea mays of Maize streak virus isolates Molecular genetic analysis of virus isolates form wild and cultivated plants demonstrates that East Africa is a hotspot for the evolution and diversification of Sweet potato feathery mottle virus García-Arenal F: Ecological and genetic determinants of Pepino mosaic virus emergence Wheat: a new natural host for the Mal de Río Cuarto virus in the endemic disease area A virus of an isolated indigenous flora spreads naturally in an introduced crop species Emerging pathogens: the epidemiology and evolution of species jumps Diseases of humans and their domestic mammals: pathogen characteristics, host range and the risk of emergence Anthropogenic environmental change and the emergence of infectious diseases in wildlife Plant virus emergence and evolution: origins, new encounter scenarios, factors driving emergence, effects of changing world conditions, and prospects for control Cropping practices and virus spread Eight decades of maize streak virus research Tomato yellow leaf curl virus, an emerging virus complex causing epidemics worldwide Sugarcane yellow leaf virus: an emerging virus that has evolved by recombination between luteoviral and poleroviral ancestors Identification and characterisation of tomato torrado virus, a new plant picorna-like virus from tomato Iris yellow spot virus: an emergning threat to onion bulb and seed production First report of Plum pox virus (Sharka disease) in Prunus persica in the United States A new disease of maize and wheat in the high plains This work was supported in part by the Pennsylvania State University College of Agricultural Science, by the National Science Foundation grant numbers EF-0627108, EPS-0447262, IOS-0950579, and IOS-1157148, the United States Department of Agriculture grant number OKLR-2007-01012; and Universidad Polité cnica de Madrid and by Spain's Plan Nacional de I+D+I grant AGL2008-02458.