key: cord-0970181-0rwl645v authors: Chishima, Yuta; Liu, I-Ting Huai-Ching title: Mental Health During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan: Applying Topic Modeling in Daily Life Descriptions date: 2021-11-29 journal: Int J Ment Health Addict DOI: 10.1007/s11469-021-00587-y sha: 12aa2c93f0ee2cfc09c66fba82d88818062dfa6c doc_id: 970181 cord_uid: 0rwl645v The novel coronavirus disease pandemic is threatening not only physical but also mental health. Although some recent quantitative studies have been conducted and revealed the influence of the pandemic on mental health and its relevant factors, it is impossible to obtain and explore all possible variables strongly related to mental health. Therefore, we attempted to adopt a bottom-up approach using text mining of participants’ narratives. We examined how participants’ descriptions of daily life during the pandemic were categorized into various topics, and which topics were related to their mental health in a sample of 776 Japanese citizens in the general population over 18 years old. Results of a topic modeling with 2,594 unique words provided nine topics (mask, physical symptoms, children, infection anxiety, disinfection items, economic influence, remote work, going out, and change of lifestyle). Those who wrote about economic influence, physical symptoms, and disinfection items experienced lower life satisfaction and higher depression and negative affect, whereas those who mentioned their children were likely to have higher life satisfaction. This study highlighted that monitoring the mental health of individuals with economic impacts and physical symptoms may reduce the damage of COVID-19. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11469-021-00587-y. that the prevalence of anxiety and depression among the general population was 32% and 27%, respectively. Also, the prevalence of those symptoms was very high among patients with pre-existing clinical conditions (56%) and COVID-19 infection (55%). Researchers need to monitor and report the rates of mental health and then determine the mechanisms that explain it (Holmes et al., 2020) . Indeed, many researchers conducted quantitative surveys to explore the mechanism of poor mental health within general populations. Luo et al. (2020) reviewed the existing literature and summarized that common risk factors included being a woman or a nurse, having low socioeconomic status or a high risk of COVID-19 infection, social isolation, and watching COVID-19-related news over long periods. Protective factors included sufficient medical resources, up-to-date and accurate information, and precautionary measures. Since the publication of the review (Luo et al., 2020) , other studies have replicated and extended the results. Poor mental health outcomes were associated with females (Smith et al., 2020; Varshney et al., 2020; Verma & Mishra, 2020) , younger ages (de Bruin, 2020; Smith et al., 2020; Varshney et al., 2020) , stay-at-home orders (Tull et al., 2020) , the perceived negative impact of the pandemic on livelihood , worry about infection (Choi et al., 2020; Satici et al., 2020) , not having enough surgical masks (Choi et al., 2020) , the inability to work from home (Choi et al., 2020) , low annual income (Smith et al., 2020) , unemployment (Verma & Mishra, 2020) , smoking (Smith et al., 2020) , binge drinking (Verma & Mishra, 2020) , chronic physical disease (Gorrochategi et al., 2020; Smith et al., 2020; Varshney et al., 2020) , and intense exposure through the media (Chao et al., 2020; Guo et al., 2020) . In Japan, a state of emergency was declared on April 7, 2020 due to the spread of COVID-19. People were requested to stay at home as much as possible and limit social contact. Shigemura and Kurosawa (2020) reported that Japanese citizens experienced increased anxiety; faced serious shortages of personal protective equipment, surgical masks, and other disinfection items; and were skeptical about the effectiveness of the response of the national government to the economy and health care. Indeed, some surveys in Japan have shown that the pandemic has caused depression and anxiety. A weekly online survey (Macromill, 2020) on April 15, 2020 showed that 48% of the respondents felt depressed, showing a 15% increase compared to 1 month ago, and a 29% increase compared to 1 year ago. A longitudinal survey from February 25-27, 2020, to April 1-6, 2020 (Kikuchi et al., 2020) also demonstrated a significant increase of distress within 1 month. Additionally, according to a survey (N = 11,333) , comparing people's distress in May 2020 with past surveys in 2010 , 2013 , 2016 , and 2019 (Yamamoto et al., 2020 , the proportion of highly distressed people in 2020 was much higher than before, with a more than 20% increase compared to previous years (e.g., 48.1% in 2020 vs. 26.9% in 2019) . In terms of factors influencing mental health, similar factors as in other countries were confirmed: younger ages (Ueda et al., 2020; Yamamoto et al., 2020) , decreased income (Kikuchi et al., 2020; Sugawara et al., 2021; Ueda et al., 2020; Yamamoto et al., 2020) , being unemployed (Ueda et al., 2020) , medical histories of mental illness (Yamamoto et al., 2020) , COVID-19-related anxiety (Sugawara et al., 2021; Yamamoto et al., 2020) , longer time spending outside (Sugawara et al., 2021) , and poor interpersonal relationships (Yamamoto et al., 2020) . Although some quantitative surveys have been conducted, it is impossible to design surveys with all possible variables related to mental health. Teti et al. (2020) suggest that qualitative inquiries are the best method for capturing social responses to the pandemic, since participants' natural responses from open-ended questions are well suited to identifying or focusing on vulnerable populations. Analyzing qualitative data could also be useful to reveal unexpected factors of mental health. Indeed, the text mining method has been adopted in some research to explore social responses to the COVID-19 pandemic (Abd-Alrazaq et al., 2020; Han et al., 2020; Kleinberg et al., 2020; Stokes et al., 2020) . For example, Abd-Alrazaq et al. (2020) analyzed 167,073 tweets in English about COVID-19 between February and March 2020 and identified 12 topics. The topic with the highest likes for the tweets was economic loss. Furthermore, Kleinberg et al. (2020) extracted 20 topics about participants' worry about COVID-19 using 2,500 texts and showed that "following the rules related to the lockdown" and "worries about employment and the economy" were prevalent. Although these texts were used to approximate the corresponding emotional responses (e.g., participants' emotional responses to "worry" were partially predicted by their texts about "worry"), how general texts about COVID-19 are related to mental health has not yet been explored. Therefore, this research explored the relation between general descriptions from an open-ended question and mental health status during the COVID-19 pandemic, with the hope of detecting potential factors leading to mental illness. To overcome the limitation of qualitative and quantitative methodology and extend the existing results, we adopted a mixed approach (Creswell & Clark, 2017) using qualitative (description texts) and quantitative data (Likert-type scales of mental health) in the current study. This study aimed to examine how individuals' descriptions of daily life during the pandemic were categorized and to clarify which topics they wrote were related to mental health. The mental health variables included life satisfaction, depression, and some aspects of negative affect. Although some quantitative surveys about the relationship between COVID-19 and mental health have been conducted (see Luo et al., 2020) , it is still difficult to generate any specific hypotheses based on text data because the topics that are extracted rely completely on what participants write about their daily life. Therefore, instead of making specific hypotheses, we consider the current study as an exploratory bottom-up research to comprehend phenomena and generate hypotheses for future studies. Participants were recruited using two Japanese crowdsourcing platforms. All participants live in Japan. We excluded five participants who did not follow the instructions. The final sample consisted of 776 participants. This study was approved by the research ethics committee of Kyoto University (Ref: 30-P-24). Parts of the data came from previous research samples (Chishima et al., in press ). The participants consented to participation in the study before responding to the questionnaires. Participants were recruited by Japanese cloud sourcing platforms "Lancers (https:// www. lance rs. jp)" and "CloudWorks (https:// crowd works. jp)." The workers in the platforms can find our survey when we post the recruitment on the websites. When the workers finished responding to the survey, we checked their responses and paid 300 JPY. The online anonymous data collection was conducted from April 13 to 15, 2020, approximately 1 week after the emergency declaration in Japan. Participants were first asked to answer demographic and COVID-19-related questions. Then, they were asked to write about their current daily life during the pandemic. The instruction was, "how does the spreading of the novel coronavirus disease influence your daily life? Please write about your current daily life in detail." To make it easier for them to start writing, we provided some example topics as follows: "For example, your health condition, your daily work/commuting, your anxiety/concern for COVID-19, your preventive behaviors for COVID-19, your family/partner/friends, your neighborhood/residential area, and the daily necessities (e.g., food, toilet paper, or mask)." The average length of the answers was 184.53 Japanese characters (SD = 126.54, range = 9-1019). Lastly, participants completed questions about life satisfaction, depression, and negative affect. Life satisfaction was assessed using a scale developed by Prenda and Lachman (2001) . The Japanese version was used in the national survey called Midlife in Japan. Participants were asked, "How would you rate your daily life overall during the past week?" They responded to the question using using an 11-point Likert scale ranging from 0 ("worst") to 10 ("best"). Depression was assessed using the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6; Kessler et al., 2003) . The scale asks participants how frequently they have experienced each of the six symptoms of major depression and generalized anxiety disorder during the past month. We changed this time interval to the past "week" to focus on the situation after the emergency declaration in Japan. Items include "How often did you feel hopeless?" and "How often did you feel worthless?" Items were answered on a 5-point Likert scale ranging from 1 ("none of the time") to 5 ("all of the time"). Evidence in support of the reliability and validity of the K6 was found in an American sample (Kessler et al., 2003 ) and a Japanese sample (Furukawa et al., 2008) . The alpha coefficient in the current study was 0.90. We assessed negative affect using the Emotion and Arousal Checklist (EACL) developed by Oda et al. (2015) . We used four subscales to assess negative affect (fear, anger, sadness, and disgust), with four items each. They were rated on a 5-point Likert scale, ranging from 0 ("strongly disagree") to 3 ("strongly agree"). Participants were asked to what extent they currently felt each feeling. Items for fear were "fearful," "frightened," "scared," and "anxious." Items for anger were "angry," "irritated," "grumpy," and "edgy." Items for sadness were "sad," "gloomy," "depressed," and "overwhelmed." Items for disgust were "disgusting," "uncomfortable," "unpleasant," and "bored." Evidence in support of the reliability and validity of the EACL was found in Japanese samples (Oda et al., 2015) . The internal consistency reliabilities of the negative affect in the current study were α = 0.92 for fear, α = 0.93 for anger, α = 0.92 for sadness, and α = 0.92 for disgust. Evidence in support of the reliability and validity of the EACL was found in Japanese samples (Oda et al., 2015) . We used an open-source text segmentation library for the Japanese language called "MeCab" (Kudo, 2006) , which has been commonly used for the tokenization of the Japanese language. We selected only nouns so we could get understandable topics when running topic modeling. In addition, some stop words including special symbols and numbers were removed. Also, words about COVID-19 such as "COVID," "novel," and "coronavirus" were removed because most participants reported them, which could cause interference with the results in categorizing the words into some topics. As a final step, we reviewed all words and deleted or modified some problematic or uncertain words. The final number of words was 2,594, which appeared 15,920 times in total. Out of the 2594 words, we used only words that have appeared at least 10 times to explore the overall relationships between the obtained words and dependent variables. This left us with 287 words. We calculated the mean score of the dependent variables of participants who used those 287 words, regardless of the frequency they used each word. To explore how many topics the descriptions can be classified into, and how those topics relate to mental health, we first adopted structural topic modeling (Roberts et al., 2016) using the R package "stm" (Roberts et al., 2019) , which is a method for topic modeling with documentlevel covariate information (mental health in the current study). To determine the optimal number of topics, we estimated the model fittings using the searchK-function in the "stm" package. The function provided some statistical values (e.g., held-out likelihood and semantic coherence) for choosing among the different number of topics (Taddy, 2013; Wallach et al., 2009) . The held-out likelihood is the probability of words appearing within a document when these words have been excluded in the estimation step. Some proportion of the data is held out for estimation, and it is used for validation later. Semantic coherence is a criterion that is maximized when the most probable words in a given topic frequently co-occur together (Mimno et al., 2011) . Thus, the higher both values are, the better the model is. Next, we ran correlation analyses with demographic and COVID-19 related questions to provide evidence proving that the classification and naming of topics were reasonable. Each of the 9 topics has a different probability to appear in each participant's description (776 in total). This is called "topic probability." The topic probability indicates how likely each topic is included in a participant's description. Because all nouns in participants' descriptions fall under the 9 topics, the total of the 9 topic probabilities in each participant's description is equal to 1 (= 100%). The mean of topic probability indicates the mean score of each topic probability among 776 participants. We conducted a series of multiple regression analyses using a stepwise method. The topic probabilities were included as independent variables, while life satisfaction, depression, and negative affect (fear, anger, sadness, and disgust) were included as dependent variables. The mean age of participants was 38.92 years (SD = 10.42, range = 18-76), and 54.3% were women. Participants' socioeconomic status was assessed by asking what they think their standard of living is compared to other people in Japan, rating from 1 ("poorest") to 10 ("richest"). The mean was 4.43 (SD = 1.52). Participants' employment status was as follows: "student" = 4.6%, "full-time employee" = 38.7%, "part-time employee" = 14.4%, "housewife/househusband" = 17.0%, "unemployed" = 12.4%, and "other" = 12.9%. Participants whose working style has partially/completely changed into remote working from home were 22.6%. Those who have one or more children were 29.9%. Only three participants had been tested for COVID-19, and the reported results were negative for all. Those who had any physical symptoms were 17.8%. The descriptive statistics and correlations among the variables are presented in Supplemental Table 1 . The words with the highest scores for each dependent variable are displayed in Table 1 . The frequency refers to how many times the word is mentioned in participants' descriptions. The mean indicates the average score of each dependent variable (e.g., life satisfaction) among those who included the word in their description. For example, the word "married couple" was included in the description 11 times in total, and the average score of life satisfaction among those who used the word "married couple" was 6.44. For life satisfaction, family-related (e.g., married couple, children, and housewife) and school-related words (e.g., school and school closure) were highly ranked. As for depression and negative affect, words about mental aspects (e.g., depression, nerve, and mentality), economy (e.g., economy, industry, and salary), and symptoms (e.g., disease, cough, and sneeze) were in the top 20. First, we roughly set the number of topics between 5 and 50, which is recommended as a suitable starting place for a few hundred to a few thousand words (Roberts et al., 2019) . Since the results reported that more than 20 topics did not increase the model fittings, we ran the same analysis after changing the range to 5-20 topics (Fig. 1) . According to the diagnostic values and interpretability of the topics, we selected 9 topics. Each of the 2594 words has a different probability to appear in each of the 9 topics. This is called "word probability." Word probability indicates how likely each word is included in a topic. The words with the highest-ranked word probability for each topic are shown in Fig. 2 . According to each topic's highest-ranked words, we named the 9 topics as follows: Mask, Physical symptoms, Children, Infection anxiety, Disinfection items, Economic influence, Remote work, Going out, and Change of lifestyle. Examples of descriptions and topic probabilities for each topic are shown in Table 2 . As shown in Table 3 , the high topic probability of topic 2 (Physical symptoms) was positively correlated with having actual symptoms (r = 0.12). The high topic probability of topic 3 (Children) was positively correlated with being female (r = 0.21), having children (r = 0.33), and high socioeconomic status (r = 0.22). The high topic probability of topic 6 (Economic influence) was negatively correlated to socioeconomic status (r = − 0.10), and the high topic probability of topic 7 (Remote work) was positively correlated to working remotely (r = 0.15). Lastly, the probability of topic 9 (Change of lifestyle) was positively correlated to working remotely (r = 0.12). As shown in Table 4 , writing about economic influence (topic 6) predicted lower life satisfaction and higher depression and negative affect. Also, writing about physical symptoms (topic 2) and disinfection items (topic 5) had a similar effect, although the coefficients were relatively small. Conversely, those who wrote about children (topic 3) and remote work (topic 7) experienced higher life satisfaction and lower depression and negative affect. TP1 TP2 TP3 TP4 TP5 TP6 TP7 TP8 TP9 Topic 1: Mask I think it can't be helped that life is no longer the same as usual. However, many daily items such as toilet paper, masks, mouthwash, and food, are in short supply, so I have to spend a lot of time and costs to go to shops far away, or buy them at higher prices than usual. Sometimes I'm scared when I am sick and having a slight fever. I reuse masks while washing disposable ones. It's also hard to find good ways to spend each day with them. Food costs are also higher than usual. TP1 TP2 TP3 TP4 TP5 TP6 TP7 TP8 TP9 Topic 7: Remote work I have been working remotely for two weeks. My workload is less than before the coronavirus outbreak. I work for an advertising design company, and most of the events have been postponed or cancelled. I try to stay at home as much as possible, including weekends. However, I feel that my physical strength is weakening due to staying at home all the time, so I take a walk or go jogging at least once a day. My wife continues to commute to work because her job does not allow her to work remotely. Fortunately, her workplace is within walking distance, so she can avoid the crowd. Table 3 Correlations between topic probabilities and demographic variables *p < .05. **p < .01. ***p < .001. TP .01 .12** This study aimed to examine how individuals' descriptions of daily life during the pandemic were categorized and to clarify which topics were related to mental health. Topic modeling extracted 9 topics, which commonly appeared in previous studies (Abd-Alrazaq et al., 2020; Han et al., 2020; Kleinberg et al., 2020; Stokes et al., 2020) . The most expressed topic in this study was "infection anxiety," which was consistent with previous reports that Japanese people experienced increased anxiety (Macromill, 2020; Shigemura & Kurosawa, 2020; Ueda et al., 2020) . Regression analyses demonstrated that those who wrote about economic influence, physical symptoms, and disinfection items experienced lower life satisfaction and higher depression and negative affect. In terms of economic influence, previous studies suggested that the economic situation is one of the most significant factors of poor mental health (Kikuchi et al., 2020; Luo et al., 2020; Sugawara et al., 2021; Ueda et al., 2020) . For example, Li et al. (2020) revealed that anxieties about income and ability to pay loans were significantly associated with anxiety and depression. Given that this topic had a relatively strong negative relationship with mental health, it may be crucial to monitor and support those who have suffered economically due to the pandemic. Kawohl and Nordt (2020) also articulated that mental health services need to pay attention to those who are unemployed, because rising unemployment predicts an increased number of suicides (Nordt et al., 2015) . In addition, it has been reported that having physical symptoms can be a risk factor of not only mental illness (Gorrochategi et al., 2020; Özdin & Bayrak Özdin, 2020; Smith et al., 2020; Varshney et al., 2020) but also mortality, especially when organ dysfunctions occur (Zhou, et al., 2020a) . Thus, the obtained results about topic 2 were consistent with these studies. Also, writing about disinfection items was mainly related to sadness. We assume that many people felt sad when the disinfection items were not in stock and had difficulties obtaining them, as Shigemura and Kurosawa (2020) reported. Furthermore, mentioning remote work was negatively associated with depression, fear, and sadness, which was also congruent with the previous findings (Choi et al., 2020 ) that individuals who were not able to work from home were more likely to have depression and anxiety. Conversely, those who mentioned their children were likely to have high life satisfaction, which was contrary to previous findings that reported adults with children had higher levels of general stress than those without (American Psychological Association, 2020). This may be due to cultural differences, given that our sample comprises entirely of Japanese people. The words frequently mentioned in topic 3 included school closure, implying that participants' children spend more time at home. Perhaps parents feel relieved that their children's risk of being infected was largely reduced, even if school closure had a negative impact on their children's mental health due to the reduction of outdoor activities and social interactions (Xie et al., 2020; Zhou et al., 2020b) . Future studies need to explain the underlying mechanisms of this difference observed between Japanese and American samples. There are few surveys about COVID-19 in Japan; therefore, this study can contribute to accumulating worldwide data to promote comprehension about the unprecedented pandemic. This study showed that those at higher risk of depression were those who have concerns over their economic situation, their physical symptoms, and obtaining items for disinfection. Therefore, the government's support in these domains (e.g., providing disinfectant and monetary subsidy to the general population) may help reduce the risk of mental illness. Additionally, this is the first study to examine mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic using participant's text data from open-ended questions about their daily life. Although previous studies using text data have extracted some topics of the text, this study demonstrated the associations between the topics and participant-level variables by adopting topic modeling. This study highlighted that this exploratory bottom-up approach was useful to confirm previous findings and to offer some insights. For example, the results replicated and highlighted that monitoring the mental health of individuals with economic impacts and physical symptoms during the pandemic is necessary (Gorrochategi et al., 2020; Kawohl & Nordt, 2020; Li et al., 2020; Luo et al., 2020; Özdin & Bayrak Özdin, 2020; Smith et al., 2020; Varshney et al., 2020) . Also, the finding that mentioning children or school closure was related to higher life satisfaction is worth reexamining in future studies. The current study had several limitations that deserve mentioning. First, it is possible that the examples given to participants in the instruction may have been priming them to write about certain topics. It is vital to examine the influence of showing the example topics in the instruction, either by giving examples or no examples. Second, in some cases, the classification of topics was not clear, although the inclusion of different words is a common limitation of topic modeling. For example, topic 7 "change of lifestyle" included some different aspects of words such as "staying home," "daily necessities," or "working," which is difficult to summarize into only one topic. Future research needs to replicate these topics and demonstrate the topic validity. Lastly, the data sampling is conducted in online crowdsourcing platforms. It has been reported that samples from crowdsourcing services tend to have lower income than samples from face-to-face surveys (e.g., Berinsky et al., 2012) , which might also be the case for Japanese crowdsourcing services. Also, full-time employees in this study were only 38.7%. Although we cannot rule out the possibilities that the pandemic caused this low employment rate, readers need to be mindful of the features of the sample in this study. Results of this study revealed that, in Japan, those who wrote about economic influence, physical symptoms, and disinfection items during the pandemic experienced lower life satisfaction, higher depression, and more negative affect, whereas those who mentioned their children were likely to have higher life satisfaction. This study is the first to examine the association between daily life narratives via text mining and mental health during the pandemic. It highlighted the importance of monitoring the mental health of individuals with economic disadvantage and physical symptoms. While most efforts are put into treating COVID-19 infection symptoms, it is important to remember that the general population's mental health may be as much at risk as their physical health. Future research can thus aim at having interventions to improve people's psychological well-being. The online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ s11469-021-00587-y. 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I-Ting Huai-Ching Liu: Conceptualization, Writing -review and editing.