key: cord-0927358-zwzymmq3
authors: Kostyál, László Árpád; Széman, Zsuzsa; Almási, Virág Erzsébet; Fabbietti, Paolo; Quattrini, Sabrina; Socci, Marco; Gagliardi, Cristina
title: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Health and Experience of the Carers of Older Family Members Living with Dementia: An Italian–Hungarian Comparative Study
date: 2022-04-27
journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19095329
sha: f7ed06e57d1465773388e7c56bacaec36e33b7b2
doc_id: 927358
cord_uid: zwzymmq3

This quantitative study (n = 370) compares the pandemic-related experiences of the family carers of older people living with dementia during the first wave of the pandemic, in two countries with different care regimes: Italy (Mediterranean) and Hungary (Eastern European). It aims at answering the following research questions: (1) How did the pandemic affect the subjective health of carers, and what were their experiences with care-related worries and workload? (2) What factors significantly predicted negative changes in these experiences? (3) What were carers’ main difficulties during the first pandemic wave? Results have shown that carers in both samples reported a worsening in mental health (Italy/Hungary: M = 2.25/2.55, SD = 0.93/0.99), and Italian carers also in general health (M = 2.54, SD = 0.98) (on a scale of 1 to 5, with values under “3” representing deterioration). Carers in both samples experienced high worry levels (Italy/Hungary: M = 4.2/3.7, SD = 0.93/0.89) and feeling overwhelmed with care tasks (M = 3.2/3.7, SD = 1.3/1.3) (on a scale of 1 to 5, higher values representing higher worry/work overload). In regression models, all of the above negative experiences were predicted by a combination of factors. Two of these factors stood out in importance due to being a predictor of more than one type of negative experience: a decline in the carer–care receiver relationship, predicting work overload, as well as general and mental health deterioration and being the child of the care receiver, predicting both high worry and subjective work overload. The top five encountered problems were the unavailability of medical and social care, difficulties with shopping (medicine included), restricted freedom, isolation, and anxiety.

The total number of people living with dementia is projected to reach 82 million in 2030 and 152 million in 2050. The estimated proportion of the population aged 60 and over with dementia at any given time is between five and eight per cent [1] . Dementia ranges from mild (early-stage) to severe (late-stage), and the probability of a more severe stage increases substantially with age. The more advanced the stage of dementia, the more care, support, and attention the ill person requires. The distribution of costs of the care of dementia underpins the important role of informal caregivers, including family carers. Direct medical care costs account for 20% of global dementia costs. The direct social sector costs are 40% and the informal care costs are 40% [2] . Carers may experience a heavy emotional, social, financial, and physical burden [3, 4] . The comparative study of Ory et al. [5] documented that dementia caregivers spend significantly more hours per week providing care compared to non-dementia caregivers.

The set of responsibilities that comes with care work can turn into a burden that puts a strain on the psychophysical well-being of the caregiver. The behavioural and psychological symptoms associated with dementia make the management of the person living with this illness a complex task, which can be especially trying for the caregiver [6] [7] [8] . The caregiver is often alone and has little support from other people to share these tasks with, resulting in feeling lonely [9] . Objective stressors include the care receiver's disability, cognitive impairment, and problem behaviours, as well as the high intensity of care, and some specific types of care tasks [10] . Moreover, caregivers' burden increases as the care recipient's stage of dementia progresses, especially when they become increasingly dependent, requiring full-time assistance with ADL (activities of daily living: personal hygiene, dressing, eating, maintaining continence, mobility) and IADL (instrumental activities of daily living: basic communication, transportation, meal preparation, shopping, housework, medication management, personal finance management). Requiring such complex assistance also results in the carer's missed hours at work and less time for socialisation with friends and family [11] . Many societies are still not prepared to support dementia care recipients at home, which results in a heavy objective burden on caregivers and, in many cases, in the need for a paid caregiver [12] . Therefore, the caregiver burden has implications for both the caregiver and the care recipient, as a compromised ability to provide care affects both the care and the quality of life of the persons cared for, increasing the risk of institutionalisation [13] . Our comparative study focuses on the family carers of older people living with dementia as (1) Italy and Hungary belong to different care regimes. Indeed, Italy represents a family-based (Mediterranean) care regime, where informal care, even supported by paid migrant care workers, is the main pillar of care, while Hungary is characterised by an Eastern European care regime, with very limited resources allocated to formal long-term care provision and a high reliance on family care; (2) In Italy and Hungary, the severity of dementia differed during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic (see below).

In terms of infections and deaths, Italy was one of the most affected, while Hungary was one of the least affected European countries during the first wave of the pandemic. According to WHO [14] data, the highest daily number of new cases and deaths per one million inhabitants in Italy was nine times greater than the corresponding Hungarian figures (smoothed new cases: IT: 93.16, HU: 10.44; smoothed new deaths: IT: 13.77, HU: 1.33).

European governments implemented a wide range of responses and measures to tackle the pandemic. The so-called Government Response Stringency Index (Hale et al., 2020) is aimed at indicating the strictness of the "lockdown-style" policies. The index, which has a value from 0 to 100 (100 = strictest response), is a composite measure of nine response indicators including school closures, workplace closures, and travel bans, recording the strictness of government policies. On the date the WHO declared COVID-19 a pandemic (11 March 2020) , only Italy had a high stringency index score (85.9) in Europe, while Hungary had much lower scores (between 40 and 50, together with other Eastern European countries).

The Italian government adopted a more restrictive set of measures between January and July 2020, being the first European country to put a comprehensive lockdown in place.

The declared state of emergency was much longer in Italy, initially spanning six months from 31 January until 31 July. A state of emergency was declared in Hungary on 11 March 2020 and lasted until 18 June of the same year.

Several measures were similar in both countries in the first wave, and they correspond to different components of the stringency index. One substantial difference between the two countries was that in Hungary, shopping from 9 a.m. until 12 a.m. was allowed only for those over 65 years of age, while in Italy there was no similar restriction. There was no limitation on the use of transportation between municipalities in Hungary, while there was a strict lockdown between municipalities in Italy. Individuals and persons living in the same household were allowed to exercise outside in Hungary, while in Italy, sports activities were not allowed.

In short, stringency measures during the first wave of the pandemic covered a shorter period in Hungary, and in general citizens enjoyed more freedom compared to Italy.

The COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected the health, well-being, and wellness of people worldwide, and studies have highlighted that informal caregivers, representing a key component of care provision to older people with long-term care needs in contemporary societies, are a population group experiencing a significant increase in care burden, as well as social isolation and emotional stress [15] . The pandemic seems to expose the informal caregivers of people living with dementia to an especially high risk of negative health effects and worsening well-being, since physical problems and depression were already more prevalent among them before the COVID-19 outbreak compared to the informal caregivers of people without dementia [16] [17] [18] . This is confirmed by the results of a rapid systematic review [19] , which highlighted that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a negative impact on both the health and well-being of the informal caregivers of older people with dementia during the health crisis.

Other studies showed that the informal carers of people with dementia reported a significant increase in anxiety, depression, distress, and irritability related to the policy restrictions put in place for tackling the COVID-19 outbreak [20] , the pandemic quarantine [21] , and the length of time in isolation [22] . Panerai et al. [23] pointed out that home confinement due to the COVID-19 outbreak increased the risk of burnout by 10% for the informal caregivers of older people with dementia. Cohen et al. [24] found that social isolation due to the pandemic confinement increased the stress of informal carers regardless of the dementia stage of care recipients, though carers providing assistance to severe cases experienced more stress. Due to the pandemic, mental health and psychological problems (e.g., anxiety and depression) have been particularly prevalent among the informal carers of people with dementia, who had to endure the additional burden of social isolation during the outbreak, an increasing problem for both family carers and the people they care for. Quarantines, lockdowns, "stay-at-home" policies, and the interruption or the cancellation of social, health, and community support services for older people with long-term chronic conditions have deepened the isolation of all parties concerned, and have intensified the related psychological effects. Thus, a new risk factor for the health of the informal carers of people with dementia (and the persons they care for) related to the COVID-19 outbreak is home confinement, resulting in social isolation [19] .

The pandemic also had a negative impact on other aspects of the informal carers' lives, such as the types and levels of worries experienced by the family carers of people with dementia and with other health problems. For example, a European survey carried out among about 2500 informal carers of older, frail, or disabled people (including care recipients with dementia) showed that 90.6% of respondents were worried about what would happen to the cared-for person should the carer have to self-isolate or become ill due to a COVID-19 infection. About four out of five carers (78.2%) were worried about a possible decline in the physical and mental health of their loved ones due to the COVID-19 outbreak. Moreover, about four out of ten carers (41.8%) worried about their ability to carry out care tasks safely due to a lack of COVID-19-related knowledge, information, or equipment [25] . Other studies found that informal carers were worried about the fact that services that supported them prior to COVID-19 may not become available again [26] , about the financial impact of the lockdown [27] , about the long-term impact of COVID-19-related restrictions on their relatives [28] , and about what would happen to the care recipients should they become unable to care for them [27] [28] [29] [30] . Moreover, other studies highlighted that government communication strategies (i.e., the unavailability of good and comprehensible information on how to deal with the pandemic might negatively affect carers' ability to respond to the outbreak) and increased mass media and social media exposure during the pandemic could have worsened the worries, fears, and mental health vulnerabilities of informal caregivers (including those providing care to older people with dementia). This might have led to increasing mental health problems (e.g., anxiety, depression) among them [31, 32] .

According to Tur-Sinai et al. [12] , who identified different clusters of European countries based on their reactions to the COVID-19 crisis, both Italy and Hungary belonged to clusters of countries showing challenges concerning the degree of resilience, with Italy being part of a cluster having weak resilience in informal care and moderate resilience in formal care provision, and Hungary belonging to a cluster with weak resilience in both formal and informal care. Around 1.3 million people were estimated to have dementia in Italy in 2018, representing 2.1 per cent of the population, and 9% of those aged 65 or over [33] ; about 80% are assisted directly by a family member. Overall, it is estimated that there are about 3 million people directly or indirectly involved in caregiving for people with dementia [34] .

Between 146,000 [33] and 250,000 [35] people were estimated to have dementia in Hungary in 2018, representing 1.5 per cent of the population, and 7.4 per cent of those aged 65 or over [33] . The total number of family carers is estimated to be between 400,000 and 500,000 [35] .

As shown in a previous paper [36] written by the authors of the present study on changes in the support system of Italian and Hungarian family carers of dementia patients during the first wave, the pandemic resulted in a substantial increase in the psychological and physical burden on carers in both countries, likely related to a drop in the utilisation (and availability) of care-related support services and aids. Despite the differences in the dementia care systems, the severity of the first wave of the pandemic, and the stringency measures adopted by the Italian and the Hungarian governments putting the two countries on different trajectories, the number of family carers left with no external help rose in both samples. The pandemic affected the two countries differently in terms of the deterioration of the state of the cared-for person, which was reported more frequently in the Italian sample (especially emotional regulation problems, such as aggression and apathy), and cognitive impairment (not recognising family members, confusion, and a worsening general mental state) and physical deterioration, which were more prevalent in the Hungarian sample. Italian carers also experienced more severe financial difficulties and a larger drop in the utilisation of external care-related help (in particular, paid carers and other family members).

These findings highlighted the systemic weaknesses of support structures for the family carers of people living with dementia, some of which are country-specific. Before the COVID-19 lockdown, Italian family carers relied heavily on help from paid (mostly migrant) care workers (and to a lesser extent either on daycare centres or on services provided by municipalities) in order to support their older loved ones living with dementia. As a result, the interruption of healthcare and social support services, as well as the border closures affecting the free movement of migrant care workers, made Italian carers extremely overwhelmed. Although the Hungarian system was much less supportive of the family carers of dementia patients from the outset, it was less vulnerable to border closures, due to mainly relying on local actors and the families themselves.

The COVID-19 outbreak made it more difficult (and sometimes impossible) for people living with dementia and their caregivers to access the support systems and financial aid implemented by most of the countries to support them, partly due to the mandatory stringency measures adopted by governments during the first wave of the pandemic. Drawing upon the yet-unpublished results of the authors' previous online survey research [36] , the present paper compares two countries with different care regimes (Italy: family-based, Hungary: Eastern European), with the aim to answer the following research questions:

How did the pandemic change the subjective health of carers, and what were their experiences with care-related worries and workload? 2.

What factors significantly predicted negative changes in these experiences? 3.

What were carers' main difficulties during the first pandemic wave?

The online questionnaire was designed for this research using Google Forms. It was distributed in both countries via social media channels (self-help Facebook groups and pages of family carers of people with dementia). Keywords used for finding the appropriate Facebook groups included Alzheimer's, dementia, Parkinson's, carers' self-help groups, and daycare centres. The link to the questionnaire was shared in 33 Italian Facebook groups and pages totalling 43,566 members, and in 6 Hungarian Facebook groups totalling 11,344 members. Data were collected between May and July 2020. The objective was set at a minimum sample size of 150 respondents per country, in order to be able to carry out at least basic statistical calculations.

The survey consisted of questions related to the socio-demographic background of both the family caregiver and the cared-for person; aspects of the carer-care receiver relationship (and pandemic-related changes in this relationship); carers' responsibilities; carers' self-reported physical, general, and mental health status, including the level of stress experienced due to the pandemic; the type and source of help the carer received with care-related activities, both before and after the declared state of emergency; types of physical and mental resources carers were able to utilise in order to cope with the difficulties posed by the pandemic; and helping factors and problems in carrying out care tasks. The questionnaire was presented in its original form (in Hungarian) to Hungarian respondents. For the Italian field study, it was translated into English, and after cross-checking, from English into Italian. The questionnaire was created by the authors for this research project specifically. No questionnaires of other authors were used.

Selection criteria in both countries included being the primary family carer of a noninstitutionalised older person with dementia. Carers of dementia patients who were living in nursing homes, as well as carers who were not family members, were excluded from the sample.

The sample consisted of 188 Italian and 182 Hungarian respondents (88% female and 12% male) with an average age of 54 years. A total of 88% of respondents were female and 12% male, which is in line with the literature in terms of the long-term home care of older persons [37] [38] [39] , and results concerning the informal carers of people living with dementia [40, 41] . Nearly all respondents (90% of the Italian and 99% of the Hungarian respondents, respectively) were educated at least up to the secondary level, and most of them (64%) lived in cities-although this number was notably smaller in the Italian sample, where 49% reported living in rural areas or villages. Two-thirds of respondents (69%) reported being married or in a relationship, whereas 31% reported being single, widowed, or divorced. Most respondents were either the child (73%) or the partner (17%) of the cared-for person, and more than half of them (58%) lived together with the older person living with dementia before the pandemic (although this number was significantly higher among Hungarian respondents than among Italian ones, 65% per cent and 52% per cent, respectively). A total of 66% per cent of the family carers participating in the study reported being currently employed. Over half (54%) of the respondents reported that the person they cared for was 80 years of age or more, with another one third (32%) reporting an age of between 70 and 79 years. Around 15% per cent of family carers were caring for someone younger than 70 years of age. Most respondents reported caring for someone with either a medium (44%) or high (42%) severity of dementia, however, high severity was significantly more common in the Italian (52%) than in the Hungarian (32%) sample (χ 2 (1) = 14.785; p < 0.001; Phi = 0.200).

Participant demographic characteristics and background variables were analysed using frequency analysis. Five-point Likert scales were used to measure general and mental health changes and subjective workload. A scale constructed from three statements measured on a 5-point Likert scale was used to indicate pandemic-related worry. Due to the non-normal distribution of these wellbeing variables, nonparametric tests were used to assess deviation from the middle of the scale (one-sample Wilcoxon's signed-rank test), and cross-country comparison (Mann-Whitney's U test). Open-ended questions coded into non-exclusive categories were used to survey the problems encountered by family carers during the pandemic. Chi-square tests and Spearman's rho were used to calculate associations between the wellbeing variables and background factors measured in the questionnaire. The variables with significant associations were then included as predictors in binary logistic regression models (one for each of the four wellbeing scales). Binary logistic models were chosen because we were interested in only one end of these scales (the worsening in the case of general and mental health, and the high end in the case of subjective overload and worry), therefore the scales were recoded to dichotomous variables before being put into the regression models.

The software used for running statistical analyses was IBM SPSS Statistics (IBM Corp. Released 2019. IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 26.0.0.0, IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), and the significance level was set at p < 0.05.

We used the following question to measure family carers' change in general health during the first wave of the pandemic: "Did you experience a change in your health since the declaration of the emergency? (1-yes, my health worsened a lot, 5-yes, my health improved a lot)". We asked carers to rate the change on a one-to-five-point Likert scale, where lower numbers meant a negative change and higher numbers a positive change. When interpreting the results, we considered values above 3 to be a change in the positive direction, values below 3 in the negative direction, and the value "3" itself as no change.

The mean change in general health was 2.54 (SD = 0.98) in the Italian sample and 2.97 (SD = 0.89) in the Hungarian sample. A one-sample Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicated that the median was only significantly lower than the middle of the scale in the Italian sample (Italy: Z = −5.9; p < 0.001, Hungary: Z = −0.574; p = 0.566), meaning that in the Italian sample, more carers experienced a deterioration instead of an improvement, and in the Hungarian sample, general health remained the same on average. Hungarian carers had significantly better general health outcomes than Italians (Mann-Whitney's U = 13,095.0; Z = −4.163; p < 0.001; η 2 = 0.05), and significantly more Italian (41%) than Hungarian (26%) carers reported a worsening in their general health (χ 2 = 9.505; p = 0.002; Phi = 0.160).

We used the following question to measure family carers' change in mental health during the first wave of the pandemic: "How did the difficulties posed by the pandemic affect your mental health? (1-it is worse than before the pandemic, 5-it is better than before the pandemic)". We asked carers to rate the change on a one-to-five-point Likert scale, where lower numbers meant a negative change and higher numbers a positive change.

When interpreting the results, we considered values above 3 to be a change in the positive direction, values below 3 in the negative direction, and the value "3" itself as no change.

The mean change in mental health was 2.25 (SD = 0.93) in the Italian sample and 2.55 (SD = 0.99) in the Hungarian sample. A one-sample Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicated that the median was significantly lower than the middle of the scale (Italy: Z = −8.203; p < 0.001, Hungary: Z = −5.570; p < 0.001), meaning that in both samples, more carers experienced deterioration than improvement. Hungarian carers had significantly better general health outcomes than Italians (Mann-Whitney's U = 14,041.0; Z = −3.168; p = 0.002; η 2 = 0.03), and significantly more Italian (55%) than Hungarian (39%) carers experienced a decline in their mental health (χ 2 = 9.867; p = 0.002; Phi = 0.163).

In order to create a simple yet illustrative scale describing the worries experienced by family carers during the pandemic, we used three statements covering the two most problematic areas for carers: worry for the health of the cared-for person, and the unavailability of services utilised before the pandemic. The statements were as follows: "During the past week..."

"I worried about the health of the person I care for"; 2.

"I worried about infecting the person I care for"; 3.

"The narrowing of the access to services gave me anxiety".

We asked respondents to rate the frequency of the above three experiences on a scale ranging from 1 to 5, where the value "1" corresponded to "almost never" and "5" to "always".

The worry scale was created by taking the mean of the three numbers belonging to the three questions, keeping the value structure of the original statements. The scale's inner consistency was acceptable with a Cronbach's alpha of 0.638.

The mean worry-value was 4.2 (SD = 0.93) in the Italian sample and 3.7 (SD = 0.89) in the Hungarian sample. A one-sample Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicated that the median was significantly higher than the middle of the scale (Italy: Z = 10.473; p < 0.001, Hungary: Z = 8.185; p < 0.001), meaning that in both samples, carers experienced high worry levels. Significantly more Italian (74%) than Hungarian (43%) carers reported a high worry-level (a value of 4.0 or above) (χ 2 (1) = 36.831, p < 0.001, Phi = −0.316).

In order to measure how overwhelmed carers felt during the pandemic, we asked them to rate how often they felt time-constrained between their tasks during the past week. The statement was worded as follows: "During the past week I felt time-constrained among my many tasks." Possible responses ranged from 1 to 5, where the value "1" corresponded to "almost never" and "5" to "always".

The mean subjective workload value was 3.2 (SD = 1.3) in the Italian sample and 3.7 (SD = 1.3) in the Hungarian sample. A one-sample Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicated that the median was significantly different from 3.0 (the middle of the scale) (Italy: Z = 2.098; p = 0.036, Hungary: Z = 6.156; p < 0.001), meaning that in both samples, more carers felt overwhelmed than not. The subjective workload was significantly higher in the Hungarian sample (Mann-Whitney's U = 13,587.0; Z = −3.531; p < 0.001; η 2 = 0.034). Significantly more Hungarian (56%) than Italian (40%) carers reported feeling highly overwhelmed (a value of 4.0 or above) (χ 2 (1) = 9.666, p = 0.002, Phi = 0.162).

We used the following open-ended question to get a grasp of what family carers themselves considered to be their biggest problems related to the pandemic: "Please list a maximum of five things that constitute a problem for you during the pandemic". We then coded the raw responses and grouped these codes into meaningful categories. Table 1 displays the codes and the categories (asterisks indicate a significant difference between the two samples). Codes are not exclusive. Carers listed an average of 3.05 problems (SD = 1.86) in the Italian sample and an average of 2.25 problems (SD = 1.8) in the Hungarian sample. Italian carers mentioned significantly more problems (Mann-Whitney's U = 12,642.00, Z = −4.409, p < 0.001).

The general health deterioration of carers was linked to the following factors in both samples:

• Detailed statistical calculations for the factors listed above can be found in Table A1 of Appendix A.

We used the factors significantly linked to a deterioration in the carer's general health in a binary logistic regression model (conditional forward stepwise method) to find out which of these factors had partial predictive power. The final models are presented in Table 2 .

The following variables entered the model in the Italian sample (χ 2 (6) = 84.316, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.443, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.593):

• Carer's mental health deterioration (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); • Carer's pre-pandemic health (bad health linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); • Shopping is among the carer's tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); •

Gaining new care-related help from family (if the carer did not have this type of help before the pandemic) (linked to a lower likelihood of deterioration); • Managing official affairs on behalf of the care receiver is among the carer's tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); • Decline in the carer-care receiver relationship (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration). The model correctly predicted 80% of cases where a deterioration in general health was present and 85% of cases where no deterioration in general health was present, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 83%.

The following variables entered the model in the Hungarian sample (χ 2 (3) = 71.612, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.390, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.578):

• Carer's mental health deterioration (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); • Carer's pre-pandemic health (bad health linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration); • Cooking is among the carer's tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of deterioration).

The model correctly predicted 58% of cases where a deterioration in general health was present and 97% of cases where no deterioration in general health was present, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 88%.

The mental health deterioration of carers was linked to the following factors in both samples: Detailed statistical calculations for the factors listed above can be found in Table A2 of Appendix A.

Like with general health, we used the factors significantly linked to the deterioration in the carer's mental health in a binary logistic regression model (conditional forward stepwise method) to find out which of these variables have partial predictive power. The final model is presented in Table 3 . The following variables entered the model in the Italian sample (χ 2 (6) = 71.234, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.388, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.524):

Carer's general health deterioration (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); • Pandemic-related worry levels of carer (higher worry linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); • A deterioration in the emotional regulation capabilities of the care receiver (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); • Abandonment is mentioned among the problems (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration).

The model correctly predicted 83% of cases where there was a deterioration in mental health and 73% of cases where there was not, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 79%.

The following variables entered the model in the Hungarian sample (χ 2 (4) = 69.273, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.390, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.529):

Carer's general health deterioration (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); • Pandemic-related worry levels of carer (higher worry linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); • A decline in the carer-care receiver relationship (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration); •

Receiving care-related help from the family doctor during the first wave of the pandemic (linked to a higher likelihood of mental health deterioration).

The model correctly predicted 69% of cases where there was a deterioration in mental health, and 91% of cases where there was not, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 82%.

The high pandemic-related worry levels of carers were linked to the following factors in both samples:

Being the child of the care receiver; • Feeling highly time-constrained between tasks (high subjective overwhelmedness).

Only in the Italian sample:

• Detailed statistical calculations for the factors listed above can be found in Table A3 of Appendix A.

We used the factors significantly linked to a high level of pandemic-related worry in a binary logistic regression model (conditional forward stepwise method) to find out which of these variables have partial predictive power. The results are presented in Table 4 . The following variables entered the model in the Italian sample (χ 2 (4) = 37.903, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.213, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.317):

•

Being the child of care receiver (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels); • Carer's general health deterioration (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels); • Having lost the help the carer had for daytime surveillance before the pandemic (linked to a lower likelihood of high worry levels); • Anxiety is mentioned among the problems (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels).

The model correctly predicted 88% of cases of high worry and 49% of cases of medium or low worry, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 78%.

The following variables entered the model in the Hungarian sample (χ 2 (4) = 45.693, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.275, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.373):

The physical deterioration of the care receiver (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels); • Feeling highly time-constrained between tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels); • Increase in the carer's care time (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels); • Having conversation, communication among the carer's tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of high worry levels).

The model correctly predicted 61% of cases of high worry and 84% of cases of medium or low worry, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 75%.

The high subjective overwhelmedness of carers was linked to the following factors in both samples:

• High worry levels.

Only in the Italian sample:

• Detailed statistical calculations for the factors listed above can be found in Table A4 of Appendix A.

We used the factors significantly linked to feeling highly overwhelmed in a binary logistic regression model (conditional forward stepwise method) to find out which of these variables have partial predictive power. The results are presented in Table 5 . The following variables entered the model in the Italian sample (χ 2 (4) = 31.221, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.194, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.261):

• Pandemic-related worry levels (higher worry linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks); • Decline in the carer-care receiver relationship (linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks); • Having had some kind of care-related help at all during the first wave of the pandemic (linked to a lower likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks);

• Having moved in together with the care receiver during the first wave of the pandemic (linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks).

The model correctly predicted 53% of cases of high levels of time constraint and 77% of cases of medium or low levels of time constraint, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 67%.

The following variables entered the model in the Hungarian sample (χ 2 (4) = 37.651, p < 0.001, Cox and Snell R Square = 0.192, Nagelkerke R Square = 0.2571):

• Pandemic-related worry levels (higher worry linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks); •

The carer had care-related help from social service providers during the first wave of the pandemic (linked to a lower likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks); • Being the child of the care receiver (linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks); • Jobs around the house are among care tasks (linked to a higher likelihood of feeling very time-constrained between tasks).

The model correctly predicted 77% of cases of high levels of time constraint and 56% of cases of medium or low levels of time constraint, giving an overall correct prediction rate of 68%.

In this study, we examined the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related restrictions on the subjective physical and mental health, worries, and problems of the family carers of people with dementia in Italy and Hungary.

As the results showed in both samples, both the health status prior to the pandemic and the change in the state of care receivers were significantly associated with carers' health deterioration during the pandemic. The deterioration in the state of the persons living with dementia was likely related to the course of the pandemic and the severity of the restrictions introduced in response. It also seems probable that the lockdowns, the closure of daycare centres for persons with dementia, and the absence of paid carers had a negative impact on the state of persons living with dementia in both countries. According to the literature, the lack of social interactions, the disruption of daily routines, and the restriction of opportunities for physical activity (e.g., not being able to leave home or take a walk on the street or in nature) contribute to the more rapid deterioration of the state of dementia patients [42] [43] [44] . Makra and Balogh [45] pointed out that the findings of international research have shown an unequivocal connection between physical activity and cognitive functions. Moreover, reduced physical activity and social contact experienced during confinement hastened (with long-term impact) cognitive deterioration and the worsening of neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia patients [46] . In the Italian sample, the percentage of persons reporting a deterioration in the state of care receivers was almost twice as high as in the Hungarian sample (62% compared to 37%, respectively), which could have been due in part to the fact that stricter conditions were imposed in Italy with a complete ban on leaving the home, while in Hungary the restrictions were less severe (people could go out to the street, go for long walks, exercise alone or with family members outdoors). Indeed, as noted in a previous study [36] , and according to the Government Response Stringency Index [47] , after the COVID-19 outbreak, the containment measures put in place in Italy by the government as mentioned were stricter, wider and longer than those in Hungary and across Europe (data collection was carried out during the first wave). This has disrupted the provision of care services. Italian older people with dementia and their carers were left without adequate support, which negatively affected their health and well-being.

The deterioration in the state of persons living with dementia likely increased the volume of nursing tasks, imposing additional physical and mental strain on carers, in times when outside help was less available (43% of the Italian and 29% of the Hungarian carers reported not having any care-related assistance during the first pandemic wave, an increase compared to pre-pandemic values of and 18% and 20%, respectively). Based on the results of a regression analysis, the general health deterioration of the carer can partly be predicted by the carer having certain tasks (shopping and managing the care receiver's official affairs in Italy and cooking in Hungary), and the lack of deterioration can be predicted by having extra help from family-these findings also point to the role of workload in the carer's health deterioration. The growing burden of care was probably the most impacting factor deriving from the lockdown. Studies have highlighted that intensive care and the unmet demands of psychological help and support in daily living activities are factors often correlated with higher perceived burden [48] . This is confirmed in our study: an increase in care hours correlates with worsening mental health. Compared to Italian carers, a smaller proportion of Hungarian carers reported a deterioration in their own health, which could be explained in part by the fact that the milder restrictions did not obstruct access to external help as much as in Italy. In the Italian sample, the increase in the proportion of carers who received no help was three times greater than in the Hungarian sample. One of the reasons for this could be that the family, as the most important support structure, was still able to help in Hungary (54% of Hungarian carers still received help from family during the first wave, whereas only 37% of Italian respondents reported the same) [48] .

As the findings show, far more Italian (55%) than Hungarian (38%) carers experienced a negative change in their subjective mental state. One of the explanations for this could be the reduction or absence of social support during the pandemic. This is confirmed by the fact that, in a previous study based on the same sample [36] , the Italian sample of carers experienced a significant and higher decrease in the utilisation of social services (i.e., social service providers, council, day care centres), compared to the Hungarian carers. The interruption of health and social services that made care work increasingly difficult may have been associated with mental distress [49, 50] . Moreover, the inability to receive other forms of support, due to mobility restrictions, may have further increased the burden [51] . The findings indicate that in Italy, the stronger restrictions (a complete ban on leaving the home) significantly influenced/reduced the possibility of care support provided by others. Other researchers also confirmed the connection between the low level of social support and the increase in care burden, and the resulting deterioration in mental health [20] .

Our study also found that the state of the care receivers living with dementia also determined the change in the mental health of their carers. As we have shown, the Italian respondents in our sample reported having care receivers with more severe cases of dementia, and significantly more Italian family carers indicated that they noticed a deterioration in the state of their family member since the outbreak of the pandemic. This is in line with the results of a study [24] conducted in Argentina, where it was found that the burden of carers was higher after four weeks of lockdown, especially in cases where care receivers were in an advanced stage of dementia. Another study showed that Italian informal carers of people with dementia reported a significant increase in anxiety, depression, distress, irritability and caregiver burden from the pandemic quarantine, the latter being also associated with an acute worsening of clinical symptoms in patients with dementia [21] . This is in line with our results that the mental health deterioration of the carer could partly be predicted by various aspects of the family ties between carer and care receiver, such as problems with the care receiver's emotion regulation capabilities, resulting in aggression or apathy (Italian sample), or a decline in the carer-care receiver relationship (Hungarian sample).

In a study carried out by Alexopoulos et al. [52] , the distress felt by family carers during lockdown significantly influenced the memory problems and neuropsychiatric symptoms of care receivers living with dementia, which was similar to our findings with regard to Italian family carers. In contrast, in the Hungarian sample, the main factors were deterioration in the physical state of care receivers living with dementia and the high number of care tasks. This might be connected to the low level of physical activity on the part of care receivers that could be deduced from Hungarian responses to open-ended questions.

Altieri and Santangelo [20] found more symptoms of depression among the family carers of persons living with dementia, probably attributable to the decline in social support. According to our findings, the psychological well-being of family carers was undermined by the deteriorating state of care receivers, the absence of outside help, and the limited access to or absence of health and social services. These results imply a need to quickly reduce the burden that weighs on families, both acting to improve the health status of carers and providing relief for distress linked to the cognitive deterioration of the care that studies showed to be particularly burdensome [53, 54] .

According to the literature [55] , worry is linked to the assumed future occurrence of something bad; that is, we worry that something that we would not like will happen (e.g., the care receiver falling ill). In general, the pandemic has had a negative effect on the level of worry of the family carers of older people. The results of a Finnish study of the family carers of older people [56] and a Slovenian online survey of informal carers [57] confirmed this. In both countries, one-third of family carers worried about the situation caused by the pandemic (FI: 34%, SL: 35%). Our results show a similar proportion of carers with high worry levels in the Hungarian sample (43%) and an even higher number in the Italian sample (74%), however, the differences might be contributed to the differences in the scale used for measuring worry levels. Our findings showed that in both countries, the mental state of the family carers of persons living with dementia was influenced by worries directly related to the COVID-19 crisis. A Greek research group examining the carers of patients with mild or severe neurocognitive disorders reached the same finding [52] .

One explanation for the significantly higher worry levels in the Italian sample could be that the pandemic situation, as mentioned, was far more serious in Italy during the first wave. The epidemic data could explain why the Italian carers were more worried that they themselves or the persons they cared for would become infected. Another aspect is the greater media exposure to the pandemic crisis. Indeed, it has been highlighted that since the start of the COVID-19 outbreak, there has been a considerable increase in the use of mass media (e.g., TV, newspapers, radio, internet, etc.) and social media (e.g., Facebook, Twitter etc.) amongst the population in Italy (as well as at the international level). An association was found between frequent media and social media exposure during the pandemic and a high prevalence of mental health problems (e.g., anxiety, depression) or sleep disorders among the informal carers of people with dementia [58] . In line with this, a study carried out in Italy showed an association between the COVID-19 media exposure and anxiety (and subjective loneliness), suggesting that continuing to stay informed may amplify anxiety among people, carers included. We found a significant association in the Italian sample between the level of distress and the carer's age and their relationship to the care receiver, meaning younger people caring for their parents worried more. This might be related to the fact that younger carers are still active in the labour market: over a quarter (26%) of carers physically went to work at least part-time during the first wave, and probably came into contact with more people, which might have been a reason for worrying more about infecting their care receivers (compared to carers who are older or retired). During the first wave, the absolute numbers and the proportion of registered COVID cases were much lower in Hungary than in Italy, therefore caregivers active in the labour market were likely not as worried about getting infected themselves.

The more stringent measures adopted in Italy, which were also of a longer duration than those in Hungary, are another factor that could have contributed to the greater distress felt by Italian carers. Because of the lockdown during the first wave of the pandemic, the Italian carers lost their external help (e.g., the support of family, paid carers and other health and social services), giving rise to further distress. This is confirmed by the significant association between a high level of distress and the fact that the carer received no help from anyone even though it would have been needed. The connection between a lack of support for the home care of persons living with dementia and the distress of carers was also found in a qualitative study [59] conducted in the UK among people living with dementia (n = 8) and the unpaid carers (including family carers) of persons living with dementia (n = 42). The study found that carers were worried about whether social support service provisions would re-open in the future, and whether the person they care for would still be able to access previously enjoyed services after they re-open.

In the Hungarian sample, we found that carers' higher level of worry was related to a deterioration in the state (especially the physical state and health status) of the care receiver during the first wave. The reason for this could be that in April 2020, 60% of hospital beds were provisioned by the Hungarian Minister of Human Resources to be emptied in anticipation of the rise in the number of serious cases of COVID-19 [60] , a measure criticised for not being justified by the pandemic figures, and for having serious adverse effects in terms of the unmet healthcare needs of non-COVID patients [61] [62] [63] . As a result, many-mainly older-patients in need of expert rehabilitation or supervision, some even requiring 24-hour nursing, had to leave the hospital. In addition, the number of doctorpatient encounters was restricted [64] , non-life-saving operations were postponed [65] , and it became impossible to access outpatient and other psychiatric, rehabilitation, and physiotherapy services (e.g., remedial exercises to improve the general condition) [66] . A number of carers expressed, in response to the open questions, that this placed their family members living with dementia and themselves in a difficult position. The higher worry levels of Hungarian family carers were significantly related to being responsible for specific tasks (e.g., shopping) and the increased care time. This could be contributed to shopping restrictions imposed by the government [67] , restricting shopping to times between 9 and 12:00 a.m. for persons over 65, and imposing shorter opening hours in the evenings. As a result, younger carers faced waiting in queues to shop for food or collect prescribed medicines, and those who were working might have had to leave work earlier than usual to be able to get to the stores before they closed. Constant long waits and the crowding in the stores and pharmacies during after-work hours made social distancing more difficult, which could have contributed to the high worry levels of carers in the Hungarian sample.

Shopping, a relatively simple task carried out by most carers in the Hungarian sample, also became very time consuming due to restrictions, disturbing carers' daily routines, and likely affecting other care tasks and care time in general. This might have contributed to the fact that subjective overwhelmedness (feeling time-constrained among tasks) was significantly higher in the Hungarian sample. The results of a Hungarian online survey study on the family carers of older people (n = 231) during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic confirmed these findings, as one-third of respondents indicated that the increase in care burden was related to government restrictions [68] .

Our results show that carers' subjective overwhelmedness is significantly predicted by carers' worry levels in both samples. The "shrinking world" theory of Talbot and Briggs [69] , describing the experience of dementia patients of their world shrinking after receiving the diagnosis, comes to mind. Talbot and Briggs theorised that the COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated this "shrinking world" effect on dementia patients-and our results indicate that this might be the case for carers as well. Closures and restrictions made carers feel that their usual places, activities and methods to recuperate became unavailable and that they were isolated and abandoned with no outside help. The shrinking-world theory seems to apply in both samples, manifesting in different ways. In the Italian sample, the deterioration of the carer-care receiver relationship, the complete lack of external help, and the carer moving in together with the care receiver were the factors predicting feeling time-constrained, all three fitting in well with the feeling of a shrinking world. In the Hungarian sample, the factors contributing to feeling time-constrained were the lack of help from social service providers (the main type of support apart from family), being the child of the care receiver, and having to do jobs around the house, all of them implying having to spend more time in the home of the care receiver, significantly narrowing the carer's opportunities for doing other things.

The study examined the general and mental health, worry levels, and subjective overwhelmedness of the family carers of older people living with dementia during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, in two countries with different-family-based (Italy) and Eastern European (Hungary)-care regimes.

In the present study, four different measures were applied to assess the circumstances of the family carers of people with dementia: general health, mental health, worry, and carers' subjective overwhelmedness. Our data have shown that the deterioration of family carers' physical or mental health potentially leads to the erosion of their personal resources utilised in care work. We underline also that the legislation might have played an important role. As mentioned above, a deterioration in the state of the care receiver leads to high levels of worry in both Italian and Hungarian carers, which are probably related to the legislation/norms put in place in both countries. For example, in Hungary, the legislation ordered hospitals to leave 60% of hospital beds at the disposal of pandemic patients. In Italy, the strict measures adopted for tackling the spread of the pandemic caused the interruption, postponement, and cancellation of social, health, and community services (e.g., daycare services) for older people with dementia and other LTC needs, making carers worried about where their loved ones might be placed should they require hospitalisation, or which service to rely on should they need health, social, or community care. Our results show that carers' subjective overwhelmedness and worry levels go hand in hand in both samples.

Our conclusion is that the reduction in these resources may be compensated via alternative care solutions in the healthcare system and social services, e.g., by the restructuring of formal care, the incorporation of new elements and technical solutions, and their coordination in order to ease family carers' burden. For example, for reducing subjective carers' burden and supporting their resilience, it is necessary to develop comprehensive psychological interventions, while for tackling the objective burden, the supply of a more capillary respite service network should be implemented.

Moreover, more accessible information on available support services, such as counselling and ICT-based help solutions (whose role has increased during the pandemic), by means of a wide range of channels, e.g., general practitioners, should be guaranteed.

Our data was collected during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, and no followup research has yet been conducted. Substantive practical and policy recommendations should be formulated based on further research with more recent data. However, it is clear from our study that decision-makers need to make it a priority to help vulnerable groups such as family carers, by reflecting on their needs and developing an action plan in case of emergencies.

We believe our study contributes to the scientific evidence base emerging on the subject worldwide. However, further comparative research is needed to understand how a country's care regime alters the mechanism of action of the factors affecting the lives of family carers during the pandemic.

One of the limitations of this study is related to the data collection. An online questionnaire was distributed in self-help Facebook groups and pages, as family carers of older people with dementia are a hard-to-reach group, especially in the midst of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Online questionnaires have drawbacks as they prevent internet non-users from even seeing the call to participate in the study. Recruiting participants via Facebook groups and pages has its own pitfalls as well: it makes the success rate of reaching group members subject to an externally controlled website's algorithm. Therefore, the sample of our study cannot-and does not intend to-be representative of the Hungarian or Italian family carers of people with dementia. The results cannot be considered representative in terms of socio-demographic characteristics, either. Another limitation is the relatively small sample size for a quantitative study, which makes viewing the conclusions in the context of other well-established findings necessary. A third limitation is using ad-hoc questions instead of well-reviewed scales for measuring physical and mental health and worry in order to limit the length of the questionnaire and consequently increase the number of completers. Finally, a fourth limitation is the retrospective analysis of change in carers' health and mental health based on cross-sectional data, instead of comparing data points measured at different times in a longitudinal design. Despite these limitations, this study offers new insights for further understanding the challenges faced by the family carers of people with dementia. Data Availability Statement: Data is not yet publicly available, but is planned to be made available at the end of 2022.

Acknowledgments: Authors would like to thank all family carers who kindly accepted to contribute to this survey. Moreover, they are grateful to all the Facebook groups and pages who accepted to share and host the link to the online questionnaire.

The authors declare no conflict of interest. * A positive Spearman's rho indicates a positive relationship (an increase in the value of the variable in the first column correlates to a lower subjective overwhelmedness outcome); a negative Spearman's rho indicates the opposite.

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