key: cord-0918929-mimv4q6i
authors: Liuzzo, Giovanna; Patrono, Carlo
title: The widely promoted antimalarial drug hydroxychloroquine confers no mortality benefit in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: comment on the ‘Effect of Hydroxychloroquine in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19’
date: 2020-11-21
journal: Eur Heart J
DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa935
sha: 1e22d8812900503fa2ae2ffa25a8172219d31aed
doc_id: 918929
cord_uid: mimv4q6i

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• The HCQ arm of the RECOVERY trial was terminated early because of the lack of efficacy. Within 28 days, death occurred in 27% of patients in the HCQ group as compared to 25% in the usual-care group [rate ratio (RR), 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.97-1.23; P ¼ 0.15). Patients in the HCQ group had a longer hospitalization than those in the usual-care group (median, 16 vs. 13 days) and a lower probability of being discharged alive within 28 days (60% vs. 63%; RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.98). Patients who were not receiving mechanical ventilation at baseline had a higher likelihood of progressing to invasive mechanical ventilation or dying if treated with HCQ vs. usual care (31% vs. 27%; risk ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.03-1.27). A slightly higher number of patients died of cardiac causes in the HCQ group, although the incidence of new cardiac arrhythmias was similar to the usual-care group.

The results of the "Effect of Hydroxychloroquine in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19" have been pubblished in the New England Journal of Medicine. https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2022926.

Chloroquine (CQ) and HCQ, 4-aminoquinoline drugs used to treat malaria and rheumatologic conditions, have several pharmacological effects that might potentially prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection and interfere with its progression, including antiviral and anti-inflammatory effects with poorly characterized mechanism(s). 1 However, these promising in vitro and experimental data did not translate into a beneficial clinical response in patients with COVID-19. Early on, a number of small, uncontrolled studies and anecdotal reports showed promising results with the administration of CQ and HCQ alone or in combination with azithromycin. 2 Then, a randomized, controlled trial of HCQ with or without azithromycin in 500 patients with mild-tomoderate COVID-19 failed to demonstrate any improvement in clinical status at 15 days as compared with standard care. 3 Despite this apparent lack of evidence, HCQ has been used extensively during the past months (up to 60% of hospitalized patients in New York in April received HCQ) as a desperate attempt for the prophylaxis and treatment of COVID-19.

RECOVERY is a platform trial, in which 11 197 patients with COVID-19 in 176 hospitals across the UK were randomized to standard care or to one of the four experimental treatments: HCQ, dexamethasone, lopinavir-ritonavir, or azithromycin. Although the platform design of the trial has some limitations, 4 the death rate in the usual-care group was consistent with the hospitalized case fatality rate in the UK. The HCQ arm of the RECOVERY trial reported a conclusive policy-changing result: in patients hospitalized with COVID-19, HCQ was not associated with lower 28-day mortality, but with a longer hospital stay and higher probability of progressing to invasive mechanical ventilation or death. 5 It should be emphasized that the lower limit of the 95% CI allows ruling out any meaningful mortality benefit, while the upper limit is compatible with some increased risk. 5 These findings have just received an important confirmation by the interim results of the SOLIDARITY trial, sponsored by the World Health Organization (WHO). 6 In March 2020, WHO began a large, open-label randomized trial among hospitalized patients of the effects of four repurposed drugs, including HCQ, on in-hospital mortality. The joint mortality RR (combining log-rank analyses from RECOVERY and SOLIDARITY) was 1.11 (95% CI, 0.99-1.24), with no apparent benefit whether patients were ventilated or not. 6 This CI allows excluding any material benefit from HCQ in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. It is compatible with some hazard but does not demonstrate hazard. Since there were too few cardiac deaths, it was not possible to deduce reliable information on the potential cardiotoxicity of HCQ. However, in neither trial was there an excess of mortality during the first few days, when drug levels were the highest. 6 Since the preliminary results of the RECOVERY trial were made public on 5 June, the US Food and Drug Administration has revoked the Emergency Use Authorization for CQ and HCQ, and WHO and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) have ceased trials of its use in hospitalized patients on the grounds of a lack of efficacy. Finally, the NIH COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines 7 recommend against the use of CQ or HCQ for the treatment of COVID-19 in both hospitalized and non-hospitalized patients.

In retrospect, rarely has any other treatment received so much media coverage in the face of so little scientific evidence as in the case of HCQ. This taught us an important lesson about the danger of replacing scientific evidence with the hope and the hype at the time of a pandemic.

Supplementary material is available at European Heart Journal online.

Conflict of interest: G.L. reports grants from the Italian National Health Service and from the Italian Minister of Education University and Research, outside the submitted work. C.P. reports personal fees from Acticor Biotech, Amgen, Bayer, GlaxoSmithKline, Tremeau, and Zambon, grants from AIFA (Italian Drug Agency), and grants from AIFA (Italian Drug Agency), Bayer, Cancer Research UK, and European Commission; he chairs the Scientific Advisory Board of the International Aspirin Foundation, outside the submitted work.

Pharmacologic treatments for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a review

Synergistic antiviral effect of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin in combination against SARS-CoV-2: what molecular dynamics studies of virus-host interactions reveal

Hydroxychloroquine with or without azithromycin in mild-to-moderate COVID-19

The RECOVERY platform

Effect of hydroxychloroquine in hospitalized patients with Covid-19

The results of the SOLIDARITY trial have been uploaded as preprint at medRxiv available at this link: medRxiv preprint

COVID-19) Treatment Guidelines. National Institutes of Health