key: cord-0913676-w1ib8f7g authors: Dhar, Debjyoti; Dey, Treshita; Samim, M. M.; Padmanabha, Hansashree; Chatterjee, Aritra; Naznin, Parvin; Chandra, S. R.; Mallesh, K.; Shah, Rutul; Siddiqui, Shahyan; Pratik, K.; Ameya, P.; Abhishek, G. title: Systemic inflammatory syndrome in COVID-19–SISCoV study: systematic review and meta-analysis date: 2021-05-18 journal: Pediatr Res DOI: 10.1038/s41390-021-01545-z sha: c707d5254b1a8a262e31c9b1bdbb24cdeb72b0a7 doc_id: 913676 cord_uid: w1ib8f7g BACKGROUND: There has been a recent upsurge in the cases of Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) associated with Coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on the demographic profile, clinical characteristics, complications, management, and prognosis of this emerging novel entity. METHODS: Using a predefined search strategy incorporating MeSH terms and keywords, all known literature databases were searched up till 10th July 2020. The review was done in accordance with PRISMA guidelines and registered in PROSPERO (CRD4202019757). RESULTS: Of the 862 identified publications, 18 studies comprising 833 patients were included for meta-analysis. The socio-demographic profile showed male predilection (p = 0.0085) with no significant racial predisposition. A higher incidence of gastrointestinal symptoms (603/715, 84.3%), myocarditis (191/309, 61.8%), left ventricular dysfunction (190/422, 45.0%), pericardial (135/436, 31.0%) and neurological symptoms (138/602, 22.9%) was reported. Serological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 had higher sensitivity compared to rtPCR (291/800, 36.4% vs 495/752, 65.8%; p < 0.001). Coronary artery anomaly (CAA) was reported in 117/681 in 9 publications (17.2%). A total of 13 (1.6%) fatalities were reported. CONCLUSION: Clinicians need to be vigilant in identifying the constellation of these symptoms in children with clinical or epidemiologic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Early diagnosis and treatment lead to a favorable outcome. IMPACT: Key message: This review analyses the demographic profile, clinical spectrum, management strategies, prognosis, and pathophysiology of MIS-C among children with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The stark differences of MIS-C from Kawasaki disease with respect to demographics and clinical spectrum is addressed. Over-reliance on rtPCR for diagnosis can miss the diagnosis of MIS-C. New addition to existing literature: The first systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature on MIS-C associated with COVID-19. IMPACT: The article will serve to spread awareness among the clinicians regarding this emerging novel entity, so that diagnosis can be made early and management can be initiated promptly. Having acquired the status of the pandemic by the World Health Organisation, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has continued to wreak havoc throughout the globe, creating new records of casualties and death tolls almost daily. On the brighter side, children have reported a relatively lesser incidence of the disease. The first reported childhood infection with SARS-CoV-2 dates back to January 2020, in a family of six members with a history of travel to Wuhan, China. 1 Currently, as the numbers show, children <18 years constitute only 1.7% of the cases in the USA 2 and 2% of a large observational cohort in the UK. 3, 4 Kawasaki disease shot into the limelight yet again after a cluster of cases in the pediatric age group emerged across various parts of the world. Bergamo, a place in Italy, with a very high search terms "COVID 19", "SARSCOV2", "Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children", "MIS-C", "Pediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome temporally associated with SARS-CoV-2" and "PMIS-TS" for all the articles on 26th June 2020, which was subsequently updated with periodical searches till 10th July 2020. The search was performed by two independent reviewers using appropriately chosen relevant Medical subject headings (MeSH) terms and keywords. The complete list of search terms is provided in the Supplementary Appendix. Shadow search of the reference lists was done manually by independent reviewers at multiple points of time till 10th July 2020 to avoid missing key articles. The search was restricted to articles in the English language. Study selection based on inclusion and exclusion criteria The identified articles were reviewed critically based on title, date, place, sample size, authors, and the type of study by two independent reviewers (Dhar D and Samim M) . All the abstracts were screened and stratified based on their type and sample size. The following inclusion criteria were taken into account for quantitative analysis of data: (1) case series with 10 or more sample size, (2) cohort studies and (3) retrospective observational studies, and (4) research letter or correspondence articles having data on patient characteristics. The articles which were excluded from quantitative analysis comprised case reports, viewpoints, perspectives, letter to the editors, case series with <10 patients, correspondence articles lacking patient data, and articles focusing only on pathogenesis. The two reviewers independently analyzed the included publications by full-text reading and screening of Supplementary Appendices. In case of discrepancy, a unanimous decision was attained through web-based conference discussions. The inter-rater reliability assessment of the included articles was guided by kappa statistics. 14 However, owing to the relative novelty of the disease entity, the excluded articles were considered in the qualitative assessment to provide valuable insights into the depths of our clinical problem. Data extraction and quality assessment Data extraction was performed by two reviewers, independently, from the studies included for quantitative analysis. The extracted data were segregated into demographic parameters which included sample size, sex distribution, median age, racial distribution as defined in each study; clinical parameters comprising gastrointestinal symptoms, neurological symptoms, pericardial disease, myocarditis and left ventricular dysfunction (defined by ejection fraction <50%); parameters on complications comprising requirement of vasopressor support, invasive ventilatory support, the incidence of coronary artery abnormalities and mortality; management strategies which included use of Intravenous immunoglobulin, corticosteroids and need for second-line immunomodulators; and finally, COVID-19 status defined based on rtPCR and serological evidence (IgG, IgM, and IgA). Two reviewers assessed the robustness of each of these studies by using the National Institute of Health quality assessment tool for case series and observational cohort studies. Each study was evaluated for underlying potential flaws in methodology including sources of bias like patient selection, attrition, detection, confounding factor, and causality association. Any discrepancy was sorted by group discussion between reviewers and further confirmed by a third independent reviewer. The studies were then assigned "good", "fair", and "poor" status based on the responses. In view of the relative scarcity of data, it was unanimously decided by the board of authors to maintain a low threshold of inclusion for a study. The extracted data were tabulated in Microsoft Office Excel spreadsheet based on defined variables. Categorical variables were represented with percentages. Median value with interquartile range was used to designate continuous variables. The included publications were subjected to heterogeneity assessment. Pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using random-effects (REML) model after obtaining the effect sizes for each parameter. Cochrane's Q and I 2 statistics were implemented to estimate the heterogeneity quantitatively, based on the method described by Higgins et al. 15 I 2 values of 25, 50, and 75% were tentatively assigned an as low, moderate, and high degree of heterogeneity that is not attributable to chance alone. Negative values of I 2 were considered equivalent to zero. p-values for each of the I 2 data were calculated by using χ 2 test with (n − 1) degrees of freedom (n = number of studies) and graphically depicted using Forest plot (Fig. 1 ). To look for Publication bias, funnel plot was constructed. Asymmetry of Funnel plot with meta-bias analysis was carried out by applying Egger's regression test. 16 The Begg and Mazumdar's nonparametric rank correlation test was applied to assess the correlation between the ranks of effect sizes and the ranks of their variances. 17 The heterogeneity and publication bias was computed using STATA -MP version 16.0. For descriptive analysis, the results were then plotted in the component bar diagram (refer to Fig. 2 ). All the variables could not be defined in every included study due to the unavailability of data. Finally, the individual independent groups were subjected to one-way ANOVA with the Bonferroni criterion. 18 The obtained p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Box and whisker plot was designed using the estimated median with their interquartile range (refer to Fig. 2 ). The statistical analysis was done using a custom code written in MATLAB. In-depth analysis of any association of the independent variables concerning the severity parameters like Kawasaki disease shock syndrome (KDSS), the requirement of vasopressor support, and left ventricular dysfunction with low ejection fraction cardiac failure could not be carried out due to dearth of patient-specific information in the included publications. Inter-rater reliability assessment: Cohen's Kappa ( ) = 0.772 Article excluded due to nonavailability of full text (n = 1) (case report) Case report (n = 3) Our search strategy yielded a total of 862 articles out of which 665 abstracts were screened after the exclusion of duplicated articles. 618 articles were excluded based on exclusion criteria, yielding a total of 47 publications after add-ons from reference lists. Finally, 18 articles, comprising 8 case series, 19-26 8 observational studies (prospective and retrospective) [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] , and 2 surveillance study 35, 36 with a total of 833 patient records were considered for quantitative analysis (refer to Fig. 3 ). Inter-reader reliability, assessed using Cohen's κ, was found to be 0.772, which is equivalent to a moderate level of agreement. 14 Dual reviewer quality assessment for assessment of the risk of bias on the NIH scale showed all the studies to be in the "fair" category (as depicted in Table 1 ). Heterogeneity assessment from Cochrane's Q, I 2 statistics, p-values for respective I 2 , and Forest plot is described in Table 2 , Section A and Fig. 1 [20] [21] [22] 24, 25, 27, 28, 30, 33 , respectively. Oneway ANOVA revealed a male predilection (p = 0.0085) for developing MIS-C in children with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The racial distribution pattern showed no definite predisposition. However, when compared between groups, children of the black population had a significantly greater risk when compared to Asians (p = 0.020). Co-morbidity profile projected overweight/ obesity and chronic lung disease as the dominant pre-existing morbidity with a prevalence of 106/405 (28.6%) in 7 publications [22] [23] [24] [25] 29, 32, 35 of children, with a moderate degree of heterogeneity (I 2 = 37.14, p = 0.12). There were 2 dedicated retrospective studies on acute myocarditis (n = 20) and acute heart failure (n = 35) by Grimaud et al. 31 and Belhajder et al. 29 . Was the research question or objective in this paper clearly stated? Q2. Was the study population clearly specified and defined? Q3. Was the participation rate of eligible persons at least 50%? Q4. Were all the subjects selected or recruited from the same or similar populations (including the same time period)? Were inclusion and exclusion criteria for being in the study prespecified and applied uniformly to all participants? Q5. Was a sample size justification, power description, or variance and effect estimates provided? Q6. For the analyses in this paper, where the exposure(s) of interest measured prior to the outcome(s) being measured? Q7. Was the timeframe sufficient so that one could reasonably expect to see an association between exposure and outcome if it existed? Q8. For exposures that can vary in amount or level, did the study examine different levels of the exposure as related to the outcome (e.g., categories of exposure, or exposure measured as a continuous variable)? Q9. Were the exposure measures (independent variables) clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? Q 10. Was the exposure(s) assessed more than once over time? Q 11. Were the outcome measures (dependent variables) clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? Q 12. Were the outcome assessors blinded to the exposure status of participants? Q 13. Was loss to follow-up after baseline 20% or less? Q 14. Were key potential confounding variables measured and adjusted statistically for their impact on the relationship between exposure(s) and outcome(s)? Systemic inflammatory syndrome in COVID-19-SISCoV study:. . . D Dhar et al. Systemic inflammatory syndrome in COVID-19-SISCoV study:. . . D Dhar et al. A total of 13 fatalities were reported among 833 study subjects (1.6%) across 8 published literature. 21, 22, 25, 26, 32, 33, 35, 36 Sub-group analysis of all the deaths revealed massive ischemic infarctions of the brain with or without hemorrhage was the cause of death in 4/13 deaths in 4 of the articles. Out of the 4 deaths in the study by Feldstein et al., 2 were due to underlying clinical conditions (asthma and neurological comorbidities) while one of the patients was negative with respect to both rtPCR and serology. Detailed mortality data was lacking in the rest of the studies. The study by Ramcharan et al. 30 had follow-up data on 12 of the MIS-C patients, in which all the subjects had normal CT angiographic imaging. Review of the studies excluded from meta-analysis Data from the case reports, letters to the editors, correspondence articles, brief communication articles, and case series with less than 10 sample sizes, which were excluded from meta-analysis, are summarized in Table 2 , Section B. 42, 43 This paves the way for the formation and deposition of antigen-antibody complexes in the perivascular spaces which leads up to a massive increase in vascular permeability, activation of the complement system, chemotaxis of neutrophils, activation of CD16+ monocytes, decrease in NK cells, pCDc, mDC1, and non-classical monocytes. The resultant inflammatory milieu as a result of this type III hypersensitivity reaction draws forth secretion of CD54 (ICAM-1), CD64, and protease-mediated endothelial, mesothelial, and epithelial inflammation along with tissue damage that manifests as systemic symptoms. 44 The fact that the majority of children with MIS-C were tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 rtPCR and instead were positive on serology serves as a crude marker of this hypothesis. However, no reported worsening of illness following convalescent plasma therapy so far somewhat contradicts this view on pathogenesis. High dose Immunoglobulin prior to serological testing could well be an important confounding factor that might have led to false-negative serological test among some of the patients. 5 Computational models have also demonstrated the possibility of superantigenic property derived from the unique structural motif of SARS-CoV-2, which acts as a trigger for inflammatory cascade, climaxing to an event akin to Toxic Shock Syndrome. 45 46 Gastrointestinal inflammation can be attributed to mucosal chemotaxis mediated by CCL20, CCL28, and is evident by elevation of the inflammatory markers in blood like MUC4, MUC15, and FOLH1. Similarly, myocarditis has been attributed to the affinity of SARS-CoV-2 to the ACE-2 receptors in the cardiomyocytes. 47 Pericardial involvement has been linked with either direct invasion of the SARS-CoV2 or due to proinflammatory milieu induced by the virus. 47, 48 Inflammatory markers of endothelial dysfunction like P2RX4, ECE2, CLEC14A, VEGFA have been linked to cardiac involvement. 42 Refer to Fig. 4 for further details. Fig. 4 Depicting the proposed pathogenesis of MIS-C with COVID-19 (the proposed pathogenesis is a constellation of various hypotheses referred accordingly). a The early phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection is devoid of any immune response. As the disease progresses to the late phase, owing to its superantigenic property, the virus evades destruction by phagocytes. The mass proliferation of the virus subsequently triggers dysregulated activation of macrophages and initiates a hyperimmune response mediated by helper T cells. This subsequently leads to a tremendous efflux of IL-6, IL-1ß, IL-12, LAMP-1, IFNGR2, and CD244. The humoral response, mediated by the proliferation of B1 or B2 cells leads to the overproduction of antibodies (IgG, IgA, Anti-La, aminoacyl t-RNA synthetase). The antigen-antibody complexes, thus formed mediates a Type III hypersensitivity reaction resulting in further activation of mast cells, neutrophils, macrophages, secretion of CD54 (ICAM-1), CD64 (FcγR1), CD16 + monocytes, and activation of complement pathways. At the same time, there is a decrease in levels of CD56 bright and CD56 dim NK cells, pCDc, mDC1 and non-classical monocytes. The resultant inflammatory milieu causes protease-mediated endothelial, mesothelial, and epithelial inflammation with subsequent tissue damage leading to systemic symptoms. b Depicting the pathogenesis of the most commonly encountered organ systems involved in MIS-C. Gastrointestinal symptoms, attributed mostly to mucosal chemotaxis, are mediated by CCL20 and CCL28. This leads to elevation of the several inflammatory markers in blood like MUC4, MUC15, and FOLH1. Cardiac symptoms are attributed to inflammatory mediators of endothelial dysfunction such as P2RX4, ECE2, CLEC14A, and VEGFA. c Delineates the role of STING (stimulator of interferon gene) pathway. Transmembrane protein 173 (TMEM173), located in chromosome 5q31.2, a~7-kb-long gene encodes the STING protein. STING can be activated by cytosolic DNA (damaged self-DNA) and RNA viruses leading to activation of NFκß, IRF-3, and subsequently overproduction of interferon ß and cytokines. This results in STING-associated vasculopathy with onset in infancy (SAVI) like manifestations characterized by fever, rash, pulmonitis, myositis, lymphopenia, inflammatory vasculopathy, and rarely acral necrosis. d Role of STING pathway in SARS-CoV pathogenesis in the early phase "During its early phase of SARS-CoV was shown to cause downregulation of the STING pathway through nsp3, nsp 16". e While the role of the STING pathway in the early phase of SARS-CoV-2 infections remains unknown, COVID-19, in its late phase, leads to excessive upregulation of STING protein which results in massive stimulation of NF-κß and IRF-3, thereby causing a huge surge in the levels of interferon ß and cytokines. f The human tissues expressing STING protein include alveoli of the lung, endothelial cells, and spleen. g Depicts the various polymorphisms of TMEM173 gene. Role of the STING pathway While the early phase in the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV2mediated MIS-C largely remains unexplored, extrapolation of knowledge from SARS-CoV pathomechanisms hints at a possible role of the STING pathway (stimulator of interferon-gamma). STING protein, encoded by TMEM173 (transmembrane protein) and expressed in alveoli, endothelial cells, and spleen can be activated by DNA debris of host cells, degraded mitochondrial DNA as well as RNA viruses. ACE-2 activation mediated by SARS-CoV-2 has also been found to upregulate this pathway. Subsequently, there is a massive release of interferon ß and cytokines resulting from activation of NF-κß and IRF-3. This leads to STING-associated vasculopathy with onset in infancy (SAVI) like manifestations 49,50 typified by fever, lung injury, vascular inflammation, myositis, dermatologic manifestations, acral necrosis, and arterial aneurysms. Polymorphisms of TMEM173 among various racial subgroups perhaps account for the variations in clinical presentation and severity of the disease manifestations. Kawasaki-MIS-C: the mismatch While the connection between the two disease entities is still hypothetical, the differences albeit, are glaring. The median age of children in this review, 8.9 ± 1.9 years, is quite different from the typical age group in which Kawasaki disease usually manifests. The 5-year National surveillance study of the Netherlands by Take et al. has shown median age of 2.4 years. 9 The data from all over the globe have suggested an overwhelming predominance of the disease among the under-fives. [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] In contrary to the widespread prevalence of Kawasaki disease in the Asian continent, the prevalence of MIS-C has not been that striking even though the number of cases of COVID-19 has also been quite significant in this part of the globe. In fact, in this review, the blacks had a significantly greater incidence compared to the Asians. A majority of the reported cases meeting the criteria of MIS-C didn't meet the American Heart Association (AHA) criteria for complete Kawasaki disease, another pointer of mismatch between these two clinical conditions. The frequent occurrences of gastrointestinal symptoms, neurological features, myocarditis, left ventricular dysfunction with a relative sparing effect on renal functions as evidenced from this review throw striking daylight on the genuine differences in clinical presentations of these two clinical entities. Key aspects of the review From the evidence gathered from this systematic review and metaanalysis, we suggest this unique combination of Kawasaki-like illness with a definite consortium with gastrointestinal symptoms, neurologic manifestations including meningeal signs, myocarditis with or without left ventricular dysfunction, and symptomatic or echocardiographic pericardial involvement, be assigned a different nosology called Systemic inflammatory syndrome in COVID-19 or SISCoV. This will enable faster characterization of this clinical entity, the inclusion of relevant investigations, and appropriate evidence-based management thereby preventing fatalities. The wide geographic distribution of the studies, observational design, and lack of follow-up are some of the key factors reducing the robustness of this review. As the objectives differed among various studies, the data representation was less adequate in some of the variables. A dearth of detailed patient-wise distribution in many of the published articles including their Supplementary Appendices was a significant hindrance to the use of advanced statistical analysis. The natural course of the coronary artery abnormalities remains an unexplored frontier which will only be revealed in due course of time through follow-up studies. With the emergence and subsequent uprise of MIS-C, there needs to be strict vigilance among children presenting to the emergency department or Pediatric Intensive Care Unit. A high index of suspicion should be maintained in patients reporting gastrointestinal symptoms, evidence of circulatory failure, central nervous system symptoms, left ventricular dysfunction, and symptomatic or echocardiographic pericardial effusion even if rtPCR for SARS-CoV-2 is negative. It is important to abide by the guidelines for diagnosis and management laid by WHO, UKRCPCH, and CDC. Early management with intravenous immunoglobulins and aspirin has been found to have a favorable outcome. Certain groups of patients require retreatment with IVIg, while others require initiation of second-line immunomodulation. A baseline evaluation for coronary artery abnormalities forms an essential component for future surveillance. Fatalities due to MIS-C are usually rare especially when suspected early, diagnosed promptly, investigated rationally, and treated methodically. 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We sincerely acknowledge the efforts of all the clinicians and healthcare workers doing their utmost in these challenging times. All authors made substantial contributions to the formulation of this study. Authors Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests.Informed consent: Consent from the patients was not required in the conduct of this study.Publisher's note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.