key: cord-0901187-cx9cq2zg authors: Varma, Prerna; Junge, Moira; Meaklim, Hailey; Jackson, Melinda L. title: Younger people are more vulnerable to stress, anxiety and depression during COVID-19 pandemic: A global cross-sectional survey date: 2021-07-13 journal: Prog Neuropsychopharmacol Biol Psychiatry DOI: 10.1016/j.pnpbp.2020.110236 sha: 2bc43ea7826482ef62451fcd5695567b9d6249d1 doc_id: 901187 cord_uid: cx9cq2zg The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-ranging consequences for general physical and mental health. Country-specific research reveals a general reduction in mental and physical well-being, due to measures undertaken to stop the spread of COVID-19 disease. However, research is yet to examine the impact of the pandemic on global psychological distress and its effects upon vulnerable groups. Exploration of the factors that potentially mediate the relationship between stress and mental health during this period is needed, to assist in undertaking concrete measures to mitigate psychological distress and support vulnerable groups. Therefore, this study examined the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on psychological distress globally, and identified factors that may exacerbate decline in mental health. N = 1653 participants (mean age 42.90 ± 13.63 years; 30.3% males) from 63 countries responded to the survey. Depression and anxiety were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire and State Trait Anxiety Inventory, respectively. Other measures included the Perceived Stress Scale, the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, 3-item UCLA Loneliness Scale and the Brief Resilient Coping Scale. Globally, consistently high levels of stress, anxiety, depression and poor sleep were observed regardless of number of COVID-19 cases. Over 70% of the respondents had greater than moderate levels of stress, with 59% meeting the criteria for clinically significant anxiety and 39% reporting moderate depressive symptoms. People with a prior mental health diagnosis experienced greater psychological distress. Poor sleep, lower levels of resilience, younger age and loneliness significantly mediated the links between stress and depression, and stress and anxiety. Age-based differences revealed that younger age-groups were more vulnerable to stress, depression and anxiety symptoms. Results show that these vulnerable individuals need more support. Age-specific interventions for modifiable factors that mediate the psychological distress need to urgently deployed to address the global mental health pandemic. The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in December 2019 has led to unprecedented changes to our lives, with profound consequences for physical and mental well-being. Apart from the physical toll of the disease itself, people across the globe are experiencing heightened anxiety and stress due to financial distress, social distancing, quarantining and stay-at-home orders. (Li et al., 2020; McGinty et al., 2020; Pierce et al., 2020; Hetkamp et al., 2020) These restrictions have dramatically impacted our personal, social and occupational functioning. The psychological effect of these changes and uncertainty is expected to be significant. (Holmes et al., 2020) It is anticipated that we will be faced with a mental health pandemic that will continue for years to come, even after effective treatments have been developed. Increases in rates of severe mental illnesses have often followed in the aftermath of other global crises, such as the Great Depression and the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1919. In fact, studies emerging from early 2020 have shown an increase in internet mental health symptom searches (Jacobson et al., 2020) and an increased demand for mental health services. (Titov et al., 2020) Country specific data has revealed high levels of stress, depression and anxiety symptoms, increased loneliness and suicidal ideation. (Killgore et al., 2020a; Reger et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2020; Rossell et al., 2020; Serafini et al., 2020) While it is clear that the pandemic has resulted in greater psychological distress, it is important to determine whether this experience is globally consistent. It is also crucial to examine factors that may mediate the relationship between stress and mental health. Several mediating factors are linked with stress and mental health. For instance, poor sleep has a well-known bidirectional relationship with depression and anxiety. (Bartlett and Jackson, 2016) Indeed, disrupted routines during the pandemic has resulted in significant changes in sleep. (Blume et al., 2020; Wright et al., 2020) Consequently, reduced sleep quantity and quality during the pandemic is related to poor mental health outcomes. (Ernstsen and Havnen, 2020; Janati Idrissi et al., 2020) Poor sleep can degrade neurocognitive functioning, impacting mood and emotion regulation. (Konjarski et al., 2018; Palmer and Alfano, 2017) Factors such as a previous psychiatric diagnosis, isolation, financial distress, hopelessness, loneliness and uncertainty due to COVID-19 outbreaks can also increase the risk of psychiatric conditions and suicide. (Killgore et al., 2020a; Serafini et al., 2020; Xin et al., 2020; Serafini et al., 2012) In contrast, resilience and perception of social support can be protective against psychiatric disorders. (Serafini et al., 2020) Psychological resiliencea construct representing ability to withstand set-backs and adapt positively in the face of adversity (Luthar and Cicchetti, 2000) is linked to better mental health outcomes during the pandemic. (Killgore et al., 2020b) It appears that both sleep and resilience are modifiable factors, with the latter associated with more daily exercise and perceived social support. (Killgore et al., 2020b) Examining their influence can help design and implement public health strategies that directly addresses these modifiable, mediating factors. While recognising mediating factors is the key to developing a consistent public health approach, understanding whether some groups are more vulnerable will help with targeted treatments. For instance, the social, economic and psychological effects of the pandemic may disproportionately impact different age groups. Early evidence from the UK, US, Korea and Australia indicates that younger people have had the greatest increase in rates of psychological distress during the pandemic. (McGinty et al., 2020; Pierce et al., 2020; Rossell et al., 2020; Jung et al., 2020) On the other hand, older adults may also be at risk of poor mental health outcomes as a result of isolation and anxieties about infection risk, particularly those with comorbid health conditions or cognitive impairment.(World Health Organization, 2020) As we move through different phases of the pandemic, identifying vulnerable age-groups will help us modify and design better treatments. Such information is paramount to inform intervention strategies to assist in reducing the psychological burden of the pandemic in the months and years to come. While country-specific prevalence of mental health issues have been reported previously, this study aimed to 1) examine levels of perceived stress, anxiety and depression during the pandemic between differentcountries; 2) explore the factors that mediate the relationship between stress and poor mental health (i.e., anxiety and depression); and 3) determine whether certain age groups are differentially affected by the pandemic in terms of depression, anxiety, stress, resilience and sleep quality. Specifically, it is hypothesized that younger age groups will be more adversely affected during the pandemic. A global online survey was disseminated between April 9 and May 25, 2020 through social media channels, targeting adults over 18 years of age. The study was approved by the Monash University Human Research Ethics Committee and conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. The survey was conducted via Qualtrics and contained a series of demographic items (age, sex, education, employment/student status, country of residence, ethnicity, marital status, and number and age of dependents), questions on health behaviours (e.g., sunlight exposure, exercise), and questions regarding risk of COVID-19, or pandemic related changes in personal, social or occupational functioning. Depression was assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9 (Kroenke et al., 2001) ), where scores ≥10 recommended cut-off for moderate depression. State anxiety, which refers to transitory emotional state due to apprehension or fear, was assessed using the 6item State Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI (Marteau and Bekker, 1992) ), with scores >40 indicating probable levels of clinical anxiety. Perceived Stress Scale (PSS) was used to assess current stress state, with scores >14 indicating moderate levels of stress. Sleep was assessed using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI (Buysse et al., 1989) ). Scores >5 were considered indicative of poor sleep quality. Loneliness was examined using the 3-item UCLA Loneliness Scale. (Russell, 1996) The 4-item Brief Resilient Coping Scale (BRCS (Sinclair and Wallston, 2004) ) was used to measure resilience, which captures tendencies to cope with stress in a highly adaptive manner. Data was analyzed using IBM SPSS v.26. ANCOVA and Chi-square tests were used to assess differences in reported prevalence of poor mental health, based on number of regional COVID cases and between countries with most survey responses, with post-hoc testing using Bonferroni correction. Correlation analysis was used to explore potential mediating variables that may explain the relationship between stress, depression and anxiety. Following this, PROCESS v3.5 for SPSS by Hayes (2013), Model 6 (bootstrapped for 10,000) was used to examine the effects of these mediating factors. To explore age-based differences in mental health, participants were divided into three age groups -18-34 years (n = 492), 35-54 years (n = 665), and 55 years or above (n = 270). ANCOVA was used to examine differences age based differences in mental health. Multiple regression models were performed within each group to examine predictors of both depression in anxiety across different agegroups. A total of 2555 individuals from 63 countries opened the survey. Of these, 902 participants did not complete all of the mental health outcome measures. Therefore, 1653 participants were included in the final analysis. Participant characteristics are summarized in Table 1 . The vast majority of respondents were currently in lockdown (89%), with 61% working from home. In this sample, 18% of individuals were diagnosed with a mental health condition prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Commonly reported diagnoses were anxiety and depression, followed by Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder, Bipolar disorder and Post-traumatic Stress Disorder. A majority of the participants shared their household with at least one other person, and 39% had at least one child. High rates of perceived stress were observed in the sample, with 77% of the respondents reporting at least moderate levels of stress (Table 1) . Moderate or higher levels of depression was noted for 35% of respondents. Clinically probable levels of anxiety were noted for state anxiety in 59% of the participants. Poor sleep quality was also common, reported by 73% of the participants. Higher levels of perceived stress were strongly associated with both depression (r = 0.72, p < .001) and anxiety (r = 0.72, p < .001) symptoms (See Supp Table 1 ). In addition, poor sleep quality, higher levels of loneliness shared positive relationships with anxiety and depression. Higher resilient coping was associated with lower symptoms of anxiety (r = − 0.11, p < .001) and depression (r = − 0.33, p < .001). Previous diagnosis of a mental health condition had a low, but significant, correlation with depression (r = 0.26, p < .001) and anxiety (r = 0.15, p < .001) symptoms. Participants were divided into three groups based on number of COVID-19 cases in their country (based on the data available on May 25th 2020). Following categories were used -0-50,000 cases (n = 795), 50,000-1,00,000 (n = 84) cases and > 1,00,000 cases (n = 752). No significant group differences were observed for anxiety and depression across the groups. However, small effect size was noted for stress, as respondents from countries with higher number of cases reported more stress (p > .01, Partial η 2 = 0.008). The severity of stress, depression, anxiety and sleep symptoms based on recommended cut-offs across respondents from top five countries (n = 1360) were also explored (Table 1; Supp Table 2 ). There was a significant difference between the groups for anxiety, depression and stress (all p < .001). Subsequent post-hoc testing revealed that participants from South Africa reported a significantly higher proportion of at least moderate levels of depression compared to the other countries. A mediation analysis was conducted to see which factors mediated the relationship between stress and depression. Three variables that shared the highest correlation with depression (apart from stress) were considered as potential mediators (Supp Table 1 ). Hence, sleep quality, loneliness and resilient coping were added as possible mediating variables to the mediation model. Significant mediation effects were observed ( Fig. 1) , where poor sleep quality accounted for 10% of the variance in the relationship between stress and depression, followed by loneliness (by 5%) and resilient coping (by 2%). After controlling for the mediators, the relationship between stress and depression still remained significant (β = 0.61, t (1493) = 39.86, p < .001), indicating partial mediation. A second mediation analysis was performed to examine if any factors mediated the relationship between stress and anxiety. Sleep quality, loneliness and age were three factors that shared the strongest correlation with anxiety (excluding stress) and were entered into the mediation model. Significant mediation effects were observed (Fig. 2) , where poor sleep quality, increased loneliness and younger age mediated the relationship between stress and anxiety, accounting for a combined 18% change in the relationship. Poor sleep quality was the largest mediator, predicting 11% change in the relationship between stress and anxiety, followed by isolation (by 4%) and age (by 3%). The relationship between stress and anxiety remained significant even after accounting for all mediators (β = 1.57, t (1493) = 43.16, p < .001), indicating partial Note: Percentages reflect valid proportion of respondents for each item. Responses to 'distress due to finances' and 'adjusting to lockdown' is displayed as combined categories for brevity. a Represents range. b Represents percentage of participants scoring above the cut-off for loneliness, poor sleep quality, moderate stress, anxiety and depression. With regards to difference in psychological distress across different age-groups, results revealed significant group differences for all measures (Table 2 ). In particular, moderate to large effect sizes were noted for both anxiety (p < .001) and stress (p < .001), with younger people reporting significantly higher scores on both measures compared to the other age groups (Fig. 3) . Older individuals reported higher resilient coping (p < .05) compared to the other age groups but slightly poorer sleep quality (p < .05) compared to the youngest age group. Multiple regression was conducted to analyze what factors predicted largest variance in scores for depression across different groups ( Table 3 ). The following variables were entered as independent variablesstress, sleep quality, distress due to finances, previous mental health diagnosis, loneliness, resilient coping, weekly exercise minutes, adjustment to lockdown and number of dependents. In all age-groups, perceived stress emerged as the largest predictor of changes in depression symptoms. In the 18-34 age group, more exercise minutes (per week) were related to lower depression symptoms. Poor sleep quality and increased distress due to financial circumstances also predicted changes in depression symptoms. Similar to the younger agegroup, in individuals aged 35-54 years, greater exercise minutes and good sleep quality was associated with lower scores on depression measure. Poor sleep quality contributed to changes in depression symptoms in individuals aged 55 years and above. In particular, having dependents was related to higher depression symptoms. In contrast, better adjustment to lockdown regulations was related to lower depression symptoms. A second multiple regression was performed to examine factors that predicted anxiety scores across different age groups using the same independent variables (Table 3 ). Similar to depression outcomes, perceived stress was the strongest predictor of anxiety symptoms in each age group. However, in younger adults, both poor sleep quality and loneliness were related to anxiety symptoms. Higher resilience was inversely related to anxiety in individuals aged 35-54 years. Poor sleep quality was a significant predictor of anxiety in individuals aged 55 years or above. Notably, factors like weekly exercise minutes, adjusting to lockdown and distress due to financial changes were not significant predictors of anxiety in any age group. The findings from this global survey indicate that there was significant psychological distress during the early stages of the pandemic. High rates of stress, state anxiety, depression and poor sleep were endorsed by the respondents in this study, highlighting the psychological impact of the current pandemic across the globe. Prior mental health diagnosis was related to poorer mental health. Further, 20% of respondents reported significant distress related to their financial situation, which was associated with both psychological distress and poorer sleep. Factors such as poor sleep quality, loneliness, resilience and age emerged as mediators of the relationship between stress and mental health, highlighting these as potential areas for targeted interventions. Younger agegroups were more vulnerable, reporting greater stress, anxiety and depression compared to middle and older age groups. There was a considerable degree of psychological distress in our sample, with 77% of respondents reporting moderate to severe levels of stress. State anxiety was reported by 60% of the participants, which may reflect the state of apprehension that is prevalent globally during the pandemic. About 35% of the respondents reported significant depressive symptoms, however the severity of depressive symptoms overall was mostly in the mild to moderate range. This is comparable to only 18% of All three mediators had significant, direct effects on the associations between stress and depression (Part B). **p < .001, *p < .01. a Indicates significant direct association. b Indicates significant mediation effect. the sample who reported having a mental health diagnosis. It is possible that selection bias may have had an effect on these figures, since participants were responding to a survey regarding mental health and sleep. However, these figures are comparable to other national surveys during this period, (Fisher et al., 2020; Gao et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2020) and are well above pre-pandemic prevalence figures. (McGinty et al., 2020) All three mediators had significant, direct effects on the associations between stress and anxiety (Part B). **p < .001, *p < .01. a Indicates significant direct association. b Indicates significant mediation effect. Note: p-values between groups based on Bonferroni post-hoc testing. Fig. 3 . Group differences in anxiety symptoms, resilient coping, depression symptoms, perceived stress, sleep quality and loneliness. People in the youngest age group reported higher levels of anxiety, depression and stress, whereas older individuals reported higher resilient coping but poorer sleep quality. Some differences were observed for mental health outcomes across the top five countries, based on recommended clinical cut-offs for each measure. However, post-hoc testing did not reveal any significant differences across the countries. Regardless, the differences in results may be attributed to proportion of participants from each country, or may also reflect differences in how the pandemic was being dealt with at the time of the survey, which differ across countries. For instance, during the time of data collection (www.thinkglobalhealth.org/article/update d-timeline-coronavirus), South Africa was in Phase I of reopening its economy (then scheduled for May 1), which may have led to increased apprehension. It must be noted that soon after the opening, South Africa witnessed rapid increased in COVID-19 cases. The death rate in the United States' surpassed that of Italy during the time of data collection, which could have contributed to increased stress among US respondents. In comparison, Australia had lower number of cases and were in lockdown throughout the data collection period. Despite the differences in case numbers and government-imposed stay-at-home orders, no major differences were reported for mental health outcomes between countries. Taken together, these results suggest that high levels of stress and poorer mental health may be consistent across the globe, possibly stemming from overall apprehension and rapidly changing nature of the pandemic, rather than direct threat of the virus. While cause-effect cannot be determined, the mediation models indicated that several mediators effect the associations between stress and anxiety, and stress and depression. For depression, poor sleep quality, loneliness and resilient coping mediated the relationship between stress and depression. In particular, sleep quality was the strongest predictor for both models, accounting for over 10% of the variance. This is not surprising, given the well-established association between sleep and psychopathology during the pandemic previously reported. (Hetkamp et al., 2020; Huang et al., 2020; Stanton et al., 2020) Previous studies have shown that sleep and affective brain functioning are linked. (Palmer and Alfano, 2017) Sleep disturbances also increase the risk of depression and anxiety. (Harvey, 2011) In particular, reports from China suggest that depression and anxiety are associated with higher levels of insomnia in adolescents and young adult during the pandemic. (Zhou et al., 2020) Loneliness, particularly social isolation, is associated with a larger cortisol awakening response, (Grant et al., 2009 ) potentially explaining the mediating role of loneliness in the links between stress and depression. This suggests that targeted interventions for improving sleep and enhancing social connectedness may help to reduce the burden of stress, depression and anxiety post-pandemic. For the stress-anxiety mediation model, younger age was a significant mediator, suggesting that younger adults may be vulnerable to stress and anxiety during this pandemic. This was also supported by the age-specific analysis. Younger adults fared the worst with regards to depression, stress and anxiety symptoms. In comparison, older adults had the lowest ratings on these measures. This finding is similar to an Australian survey conducted in April 2020, in which respondents under 45 years of age were most vulnerable to psychological distress. (Rossell et al., 2020) While poor sleep and perceived stress were common contributing factors for both depression and anxiety across all age groups, there were some factors that were specifically related to these outcomes within each age category. Within younger adults, loneliness and financial distress were associated with poorer depression and anxiety outcomes, respectively. A number of protective factors were also identified. For example, in individuals under 55 years, increased levels of weekly exercise were associated with lower endorsement of depressive symptoms. Older adults demonstrated more resilience than other age-groups, which may be a key factor in protection against psychological distress. Additionally, resilience was an inverse contributor to the relationship between stress and depression. However, in line with previous studies, these findings highlight the importance of carefully tailoring mental health intervention strategies for each age group. It must also be noted that while factors like financial distress or loneliness may not be immediately modifiable, other factors associated with poor mental health outcomes should be a target for intervention. For instance, improving sleep can result in positive outcomes for both depression and anxiety even when the conditions are not directly treated. (Cunningham and Shapiro, 2018) Similarly, employing stress reduction strategies, such as mindfulness, can have positive outcomes for mental health. (Gu et al., 2015) Furthermore, there is a need to start public health programs aimed at promoting better sleep at a broader level. Governments and industries should consider adopting strategies that can reduce stress and improve sleep and well-being among citizens and employees during the time of the pandemic. Apart from sleep, developing and implementing programs aimed at enhancing resilience deserve the same urgent priority that is assigned to the development and testing of vaccines and antivirals. Large scale proactive measures are a key part of successfully preparing millions of people as they resume their day-to-day lives and livelihoods and is an essential step in re-starting stalled economies on a global scale. In the absence of such proactive measures, COVID-19's long-term global impact on mental health could easily be as devastating and costly as the financial impact of the virus. Multifaceted approaches may need to be employed for this purpose. Firstly, broader public health initiatives should be employed, targeting factors that mediate the links between stress and mental health. Such initiatives should be aimed at enhancing psychological resilience and treating mental health problems, and may include evidence-based complementary and alternative medicine interventions. As suggested by Moreno and colleagues, mental health systems need to be adapted to the pandemic as well. (Moreno et al., 2020) Results from this study support the need for telehealth for reducing stress, and improving mental health and sleep disorders. To Table 3 Multiple regression predicting change in depression scores across following agegroups -18-34 years (n = 492), 35-54 years (n = 665), and 55 years or above (n = 270). improve accessibility and affordability, digital therapeutics, including evidence-based self-help tools need adoption. These tools are showing promising effectiveness at improving sleep and mental health outcomes. (Low et al., 2020) Secondly, specific measures should be employed to address age-based concerns regarding mental health. The current study supports previous reports that young adults are at an increased risk of poor mental health as a result of the pandemic, and that factors such as loneliness and financial distress are impacting younger individuals more than others. Financial inequalities and associated distress can increase the risk of psychological distress and also prevent people from seeking adequate care. To tackle this, government action may be required to address financial or occupational uncertainty of the pandemic, and provide adequate mental health resources to address the emerging youth mental health crisis. Lastly, vulnerable groups may need greater support to mitigate the risks of poor mental health. For instance, people with pre-existing psychiatric conditions require better access to economical treatments. (Moreno et al., 2020) Individuals who have experienced childhood trauma, who are at increased risk of depression and suicide, (Pompili et al., 2014) and those impacted by domestic violence or at risk of abuse during the pandemic,(Bradbury-Jones and Isham, 2020) may need additional support. Ultimately, affordable, high-quality, and readilydisseminatable mental health services are required at a global level to prevent worsening of mental health. The strength of this study is that it included respondents from more than 60 countries. It has been noted that several countries and communities have been underrepresented in recent research, (Holmes et al., 2020) and the current study was able to overcome this issue by surveying participants from a range of different countries. The current findings highlight and support previous reports that the number of COVID-19 cases in a particular country do not necessarily predict major differences in mental health outcomes. Some limitations of this study need to be noted. The levels of depression detected in this study were at most mild-moderate across all groups, therefore the findings need to be interpreted cautiously and not overstated. It is also possible that there was a selection bias in that individuals suffering and feeling frustrated with mild anxiety and stress may be more likely to notice an online survey mentioning salient symptoms and opt-in to participate. (Keusch, 2015) It is also important to note that half of people aged 75 and over, and many with mental illness (who represent a key COVID-19 risk group), are not regular internet users, (Hargittai et al., 2019) so this study might not be a representative sample in terms of tapping into a wider group of non-social media users. The sample was also highly educated, and the majority of respondents were employed, thus it may not be representative of a broader demographic. It is important to note that while selection bias may have occurred, this study did not specifically try to recruit people with mental health issues. The advertisements were simply framed as questions on 'sleep, mental health and changes in routine' during the pandemic. Due to the cross-sectional nature of this study, we cannot determine the direction of the relationship between stress and mental health. Future longitudinal studies will help to determine whether mental health issues improve over time, or if additional stressors emerge as countries face ongoing challenges due to the virus. The findings from the current study add to the emerging evidence demonstrating a decline in mental health during the pandemic which is consistent across the globe, regardless of the number of regional COVID-19 cases. Younger age groups may be more vulnerable to the mental health impact of the pandemic. Certain modifiable factors may mediate the associations between stress and mental health, including sleep, loneliness and resilience. Hence, nuanced mental health strategies, rather than a 'one size fits all' approach, are required to reduce pandemic uncertainties and address specific vulnerabilities. Findings from this study highlight the need for low-cost public health interventions that can be widely disseminated to improve sleep and increase resilience. As all countries battle different waves of the pandemic, and try to establish a "new normal" with approval of vaccines and changes to restrictions, it is yet to be seen whether the levels of psychological distress reported in this study are maintained. Ongoing longitudinal studies are urgently required to examine the trajectory of the mental health burden over time. The study was approved by the Monash University Human Research Ethics Committee and conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. 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