key: cord-0878571-ojh5zns5
authors: Hao, Peter; Yu, Shicheng; Chen, Yu; Tan, Feng
title: Professor Jian Lu’s Interdisciplinary Approach to Modeling the COVID-19 Pandemic
date: 2020-07-03
journal: China CDC Wkly
DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2020.134
sha: 80e419b6ce5a143d30796b6ec7f39125481edd7d
doc_id: 878571
cord_uid: ojh5zns5

nan

different R c 's and tracked the real propagation within individual countries and several states of the USA. As shown in Figure 2 , a higher R c value indicated stronger control and the projected curves reached a lower cumulative number of cases. The red curve indicated the real progression of the pandemic using publicly available data and showed shifts in which R c threshold the USA's curve was in, which intuitively suggested that the propagation of COVID-19 can alter based on the tightening or loosening of response measures. Prof. Lu's approach, therefore, means that R 0 can be considered as dynamic and as taking into account the response to virus propagation.

Prof. Lu and his team will diligently continue updating their modeling of these countries and regions until the end of the pandemic. For more detailed information, please visit their website: http://personal.cityu.edu.hk/ jianlu/. 

A new, simple projection model for COVID-19 pandemic