key: cord-0873540-8bu4ribp authors: Mao, Jian; Dai, Rong; Du, Rui-Chan; Zhu, Yan; Shui, Li-Ping; Luo, Xiao-Hua title: Hematologic changes predict clinical outcome in recovered patients with COVID-19 date: 2021-02-01 journal: Ann Hematol DOI: 10.1007/s00277-021-04426-x sha: 580d00f2e2bd5706f0ca7282970affa09663104a doc_id: 873540 cord_uid: 8bu4ribp 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) presents as a newly recognized pneumonia that has brought about a global pandemic and is increasingly considered as a systemic illness. We investigated the clinical and laboratory features of recovered COVID-19 patients without pre-existing hematologic diseases at Wuhan No. 1 Hospital. Fifty-nine male and 68 female Chinese patients were included with the median age at 64 years in the present study. Eosinopenia (37.80%), monocytosis (51.97%), lymphocytopenia (25.20%), and anemia (51.97%) were the most common hematologic findings in our cohort, particularly in severe or critically ill COVID-19. The levels of changes in leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, eosinophils, basophils, platelets, hemoglobin levels, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), and mean cell hemoglobin concentration (MCHC) are overall associated with lung involvement, oxygen demand, and disease activity. However, changes of eosinophils (end hospitalization-baseline) (coefficients = 10.32; 95% CI = 1.03–19.60, P = 0.03) and basophils (Max − Min) (coefficients = 71.43; 95% CI = 8.55–134.31, P = 0.03) were independent predictors of delayed recovery in the hospital by the multivariate analysis in this recovered population. A variety of hematologic changes are associated with the severity and clinical outcome of recovered COVID-19 patients, which warrants further exploration of their underlying mechanisms. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00277-021-04426-x. Since December 2019, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-infected pneumonia brings about global pandemic [1, 2] . As of July 15, 2020, 13,150,645 patients were globally infected with 574,464 deaths reported to the WHO [3] . The natural reservoir and intermediate host of have not been identified, but several wildlife species, including bats and pangolins [4] , have shown laboratory evidence of infection with a related coronavirus. Virus infection could cause a variety of hematologic changes. Recently, lymphocytopenia, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelets were identified as risk factors for survival in patients with COVID-19 [5] [6] [7] [8] . Little attention has been paid to the course of recovered patients since the majority of COVID-19 patients would survive in the end. The report explored the hematologic manifestations in recovered patients with COVID-19 who were treated at Wuhan No. 1 Hospital. COVID-19 and clinical outcomes were identified on April 13, 2020. Eighty-one patients without confirmed COVID-19 and 7 COVID-19 patients who died were excluded, and 127 patients finally enrolled in this analysis. Based on the criteria for COVID-19 defined by WHO interim guidance, the diagnosis was confirmed by a positive reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay for SARS-CoV-2 in a respiratory tract sample tested (the local Center for Disease Control or a designated diagnostic laboratory). All COVID-19 patients were classified as being mild, moderate, severe, or critically ill according to the Chinese management guideline for COVID-19 (7th edition) released by the National Health Commission of China [9] . The study was approved by the Research Ethics Commission of Wuhan No. 1 Hospital (W202004-5), and written informed consent was waived due to emerging infectious diseases. All the recovered patients with COVID-19 had entirely relieved symptoms, significantly improved function in lung and other organs, and no need for supportive treatment as well as viral clearance confirmed by consecutive negative tests for SARS-Cov-2 [10] . Initial hematologic findings composed a complete blood count (CBC) and serum biochemistry (including liver and kidney function, lactate dehydrogenase, and electrolytes), myocardial enzymes, interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT). Nasal and pharyngeal swabs, or sputum, were detected to exclude other viral infections, including influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, parainfluenza virus, and adenovirus. Computed tomogram (CT) scans or chest radiographs were also done for all patients. We monitored these parameters until the patients were discharged from the hospital or dead. The CT features were evaluated as follows: lung region distribution (unilateral or bilateral), degree of involvement (mild < 25%, moderate 25-50%, severe > 50%), and transverse distribution (peripheral or diffuse). We analyzed the reported clinical and laboratory features. The clinical composite endpoint was the deterioration of disease and duration of hospital stay. Univariate analysis was conducted to compare patients who reached the endpoint and those who did not by the non-parametric Mann-Whitney test. We then accessed independent predictors of the endpoint after adjusting sex, age, and comorbidities at presentation by multiple logistic regression or multiple linear regression analysis with stepwise selection. Baseline variables and peak/nadir variables were used to predict an outcome, and those with P values below 0.20 in univariate analyses were included as explanatory variables. All P values were two-tailed and statistical significance was defined as P less than 0.05. We used Stata software version 15 (StataCorp, College Station, TX) and GraphPad Prism 5.0 (GraphPad Software, Inc., San Diego, CA) for all analyses. Continuous data were reported as means (standard deviations) or medians (interquartile ranges, IQR), and categorical variables were presented as numbers (percentages). For the definition of leukopenia, neutropenia, lymphocytopenia, monocytopenia, eosinopenia, and basopenia, we used cutoff values of < 4 × 10 9 /L, < 1.5 × 10 9 /L, < 1 × 10 9 /L, < 0.1 × 10 9 /L, < 0.05 × 10 9 /L, and < 0.01 × 10 9 /L, respectively. Leukocytosis, neutrophilia, lymphocytosis, monocytosis, eosinophilia, and basophilia are defined by a cell count higher than the upper reference limit, which is commonly 10 × 10 9 /L, 7.5 × 10 9 / L, 4 × 10 9 /L, 0.6 × 10 9 /L, 0.5 × 10 9 /L, and 0.1 × 10 9 /L in adult patients, respectively. Between February 12 and March 18, 127 moderate, severe, or critically ill patients with COVID-19 were admitted or transferred to Wuhan No. 1 Hospital. At this point, all patients had been discharged, except four patients who were transferred to another hospital, and no patients had died. These patients had no history of hematologic diseases. This study included 59 male and 68 female patients with a median age at 64 years (range 26-87 years), all ethnic Chinese (Table 1) . Seventy-four of 127 patients (58.27%) had underlying diseases-hypertension (47, 37%) and diabetes (25, 20%) were most frequent. Fever (93, 73%), cough (87, 69%), and fatigue (51, 40%) were the most prevalent symptoms at disease onset in these recovered patients. Hydroxychloroquine was used since March 20 according to the guideline [11] . Intravenous methylprednisolone at 1-2 mg/kg was given to 35 patients with respiratory distress or rapid progression on their chest radiographs. One hundred twenty-three (97%) patients received antiviral treatment, 89 (70%) were given empirical antibiotics, and 6 (5%) were given intravenous gamma globulin therapy. Thymosin α1 was administered in 12 (9.4%) patients. Non-invasive mechanical ventilation and invasive mechanical ventilation were required in 3 and 3 patients, respectively. Tocilizumab was used to target cytokine storm in one patient with high levels of IL-6. Patients with severe/critically ill COVID-19 were significantly older than moderate patients (median 68 versus 62 years; P = 0.003), with frequent dyspnea (42% versus 7%; P < 0.001), more likely receiving glucocorticoid (53% versus 13%, P < 0.001), or less likely receiving traditional Chinese medicine treatment (60% versus 83%, P = 0.004). More patients with severe/critically ill COVID-19 received high-flow nasal cannula (24% versus 1%, P < 0.001) or mechanical ventilation (13% versus 0, P = 0.002) while more moderate patients were supplied with low-flow nasal cannula (80% versus 51%, P = 0.001). Levels of aspartate aminotransferase elevated in 21 of 123 (17%) cases (Table 2) . Sixty-eight of 69 (99%) patients had normal levels of serum PCT (< 0.05 ng/mL). Of patients with available data, concentrations of CRP and IL-6 were significantly higher in 50 of 114 (44%) and 18 of 63 (29%) patients. Abnormalities on chest CT were observed in all patients with bilateral lesions in 121 (95%) patients (Table 2) . Subjects with severe/critically ill COVID-19 tended to have lower levels of albumin (median 33.4 g/L versus 35.7 g/L; P = 0.002), and higher levels of lactate dehydrogenase (median 252 U/L versus 190 U/L; P = 0.007), blood urea nitrogen (median 4.7 mmol/L versus 3.9 mmol/L; P = 0.036), interleukin-6 (median 6.43 pg/mL versus 1.7 pg/mL; P = 0.001), hypersensitive cardiac troponin I (median 0.009 μg/L versus 0.005 μg/L; P = 0.017), and C-reactive protein (> 5 mg/L: 59% versus 36%, P = 0.018). Patients who developed severe/critically ill COVID-19 had more lung involvements and diffuse pneumonia (69% versus 29%, P < 0.001) compared to moderate cases. Twenty-two patients (17.32%) developed leukocytosis during the first month of illness, with nine patients (7.09%) on admission ( Fig. 1 ). Transient leukopenia was observed in 28 patients during their first month with 18 (14.17%) of patients on admission. Twenty-two patients developed neutrophilia mostly during the first month of illness with seven patients (5.51%) at admission. Transient neutropenia was observed in 9 patients during their clinical course at the hospital. Monocytosis occurred in 66 patients (51.97%) during the first month, with 47 on admission. Monocytopenia was found in 2 patients during their disease course, with 1 of them had at admission. The majority of patients had a normal monocyte count at the disease onset. Progressive monocytosis happened early in the disease course and peaked on 11 (0-32) days after admission in 89 patients who had blood sampled at more than three time points, but 30 of 89 patients remained monocytosis at the fourth week of COVID-19. Lymphocytopenia was found in 32 (25.20%) cases during their course of illness, with 26 of them had at admission (Fig. 1 ). Lymphocytopenia progressively happened early and dropped to its nadir on 8 (0-33) days after admission. The lymphocyte counts commonly restored on day 20 (4-34) after onset, but seven patients remained lymphopenic in the fourth week of COVID-19. Transient lymphocytosis was observed only in 3 patients during their first month. Seven patients developed eosinophilia on day 24 (0-31) with one on admission. Eosinopenia was observed in 48 (37.80%), with 41 of them had on admission, and blood eosinophils were not detected at least once in 16.54% (21 of 127) of patients. Eosinopenia emerged early in the course of illness on 3 (0-18) after admission and then recovered to normal levels gradually, but 11 remained eosinopenia in the fourth week of COVID-19. Similarly, the percentage of eosinophils increased steadily during the course ( Figure S1 ). Basopenia was found in 17 (13.39%), with 10 of them had on admission, and blood basophils were not detected at least once in 13.39% (17 of 127) of patients. Basopenia happened on 3 (0-33) days after admission and then returned to normal levels shortly. Seven of 127 (5.51%) patients had both undetectable eosinophils and basophils in their peripheral blood. No patients experienced basophilia. Six patients experienced thrombocytopenia (platelet count < 100 × 10 9 /L) during their hospital stay, and only one of them had a platelet count less than 50 × 10 9 /L (Fig. 2) . Thrombocytopenia in this group was self-limited and recovered by the end of 1 month. No patient had a massive hemorrhage or transfused platelet. Reactive thrombocytosis (platelet count > 400 × 10 9 /L) was noticed in 16 patients. The platelet count and thrombocytocrit ( Figure S2 ) reach a peak on a median of day 7 of disease (range 1-32). No evidence of thromboembolism was found in all patients. Sixty-five (51.97%) patients had anemia in this hospital, with 44 cases on admission. The hemoglobin level dropped from baseline 126 (60-160) g/L to 117 (66-159) g/L at the end of the course (Fig. 2) . It is confirmed by decreased red blood cell counts and hematocrit (HCT). Elevated mean corpuscular volume (MCV) from 89.05 (60.1-99) fL to 91.3 (61.6-105.7) fL and reduced mean cell hemoglobin concentration (MCHC) from 344 (311-401) g/L to 333 (267-357) g/ L in normal range were observed. We found no signs of significant bleeding, and only one patient required red blood cell transfusion. No evidence of hemolysis was observed in all patients. Leukocytosis, neutrophilia, monocytosis, and lymphocytopenia, eosinopenia, and anemia in severe or critically ill patients were significant compared to moderate patients with COVID-19 ( Fig. 3a, b) . This difference was further pronounced in the percentage of all cell subtypes ( Figure S3A ). Interestingly, we found higher MCV or lower MCHC in severe or critically ill patients than in moderate patients (Fig. 3b) . It seems that severe or critically ill patients had higher mean platelet volume (MPV), red cell distribution width-standard deviation (RDW-SD), and platelet-large cell ratio (P-LCR) than moderate patients by the end of hospital stay ( Figure S3B ). No difference was observed in terms of platelet counts or thrombocytocrit, platelet distribution width (PDW), and red cell distribution width-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV). Univariate linear regression analysis implied that the presence of comorbidities at admission, high demand for oxygen, and the levels of changes in leukocytes, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), absolute monocyte count (AMC), absolute eosinophil count (AEC), absolute basophil count (ABC), platelet (PLT), hemoglobin (HGB), MCV, and MCHC were associated with disease progression. The presence of comorbidities at admission (coefficients = 2.27; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.31-4.22, P = 0.02), delta of AEC (end hospitalization − baseline) (coefficients = 10.32; 95% CI = 1.03-19.60, P = 0.03), and delta of ABC (Max − Min) (coefficients = 71.43; 95% CI = 8.55-134.31, P = 0.03) were independent predictors of delayed recovery in the hospital by the multivariate analysis (Table 3) . Blood cell counts in COVID-19 patients are correlated with lung involvement, oxygen demand, CRP, and IL-6 In patients with COVID-19, changes in delta leukocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, eosinophil counts, HGB, MCV, and PLT showed a positive correlation with oxygen demand and high levels of CRP (Table 4 ). In contrast, only changes in delta leukocyte, neutrophil, and monocyte counts are positively correlated with lung involvement while changes in delta eosinophils are positively related to levels of IL-6. COVID-19 patients with high levels of CRP or IL-6 more frequently had increased peak leukocyte, peak neutrophil, peak monocyte, peak MCV, and peak platelet with low nadir lymphocyte, nadir eosinophil, nadir basophil, nadir HGB, and nadir MCHC. Patients with high CRP and IL-6 had significantly severe lung involvement and a higher demand for oxygen (Supplementary Table 1 ). Table 5 shows the correlation coefficients of various blood cells with one another. Most of the cell subtypes showed statistically positive linear relationships with one another while red blood cell count, HGB, HCT, and MCHC are negatively related to leukocyte and ANC. Notably, the native relationships were strong between AEC and ANC, and ALC and ANC. To monitor the kinetics of hematologic responses and disease regression, we look into three individual patients who had blood samples of more than five time points during the course available for this analysis (patients 1, 2, and 3). Patient 1 was classified into a moderate disease with 2 into a severe disease and 3 into a critically ill disease. Patient 1 was an 81-year-old male who had a fever, chest pain, and cough on February 6. A chest CT scan on February 14 revealed ground-glass lesions in the right lower lung. Positive SARS-CoV-2 was tested by RT-PCR assay of a throat swab specimen on February 17. Laboratory tests indicated lymphocytopenia (0.83 × 10 9 /L), eosinopenia (0 × 10 9 / L), and monocytosis (0.66 × 10 9 /L) with increased CRP (Fig. 4a-2) . The patient was discharged with lymphocytes at 1.56 × 10 9 /L on March 12 after repeated negative RT-PCR detections. Patient 2 was a 72-year-old woman who had a fever and dizziness. A chest CT scan revealed bilateral scattered patchy lesions. Positive novel coronavirus nucleic acid by RT-PCR and positive IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 supported the diagnosis of the virus infection. Two days after admission, she complained of dyspnea with an oxygen saturation of 92% while breathing ambient air. Laboratory tests showed leukocytosis (17.73 × 10 9 /L), neutrophilia (12.98 × 10 9 /L), monocytosis (1.16 × 10 9 /L), and eosinopenia (0.01 × 10 9 /L) but the normal concentration of CRP, PCT, and IL-6 ( Fig. 4b-1 ). She was treated with Arbidol, Moxifloxacin, methylprednisolone for 5 days, oxygen supply, and supportive care. Hydroxychloroquine replaced Arbidol since February 25. A chest CT scan on March 12 indicated a significant reduction of lesions ( Fig. 4b-2 ), and the oxygen saturation remained above 95% in ambient air. She was discharged on March 15 with normal blood cell counts after two consecutive negative RT-PCR tests. Patient 3 was a 57-year-old male who had a fever and chest tightness on February 4. Chest CT revealed bilateral scattered patchy opacities. Although RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 was negative for four times, positive IgM and positive IgG antibodies against this virus on March 13 confirmed the diagnosis of COVID-19. The C B C w a s w i t h i n n o r m a l r a n g e s , e x c e p t f o r lymphocytopenia (0.44 × 10 9 /L) and an increased CRP concentration (84.3 mg/L) on admission (Fig. 4c-1) . Oral Arbidol and Lianhua Qingwen capsules were administered, together with oxygen for delivery by nasal cannula (3-5 L/min). The patient complained of cough, expectoration, and shortness of breath since February 20. The second chest CT scan showed diffuse groundglass opacities with scattered consolidation (Fig. 4c-2) . Ribavirin, short-term methylprednisolone, and intravenous immunoglobulin therapy were initiated. Oxygen saturation remained at 95% with oxygen for delivery by nasal cannula (8 L/min). Significant abnormalities in the CBC were found on February 28, including leukocytosis (10.04 × 10 9 /L), neutrophilia (7.96 × 10 9 /L), monocytosis (0.71 × 10 9 /L), and eosinopenia (0.04 × 10 9 /L). Lymphocyte count dropped sharply from 1.21 × 10 9 /L on February 28 to 0.51 × 10 9 /L on March 3. In addition, levels of CRP (67.5 mg/L) and IL-6 (76.6 pg/mL) concentration increased significantly. On February 30, the patient developed respiratory failure and was subjected to high-flow nasal cannula and then non-invasive mechanical ventilation. Fortunately, his symptoms were relieved after tocilizumab therapy to target cytokine storm. He successfully detached from non-invasive mechanical ventilation and received oxygen by nasal cannula (5 L/min) on March 13. Serial CBC analysis and CRP concentration returned to normal. Interestingly, the concentration of IL-6 peaked (928.8 pg/mL) on March 4 and then decreased slowly to 81.42 pg/mL on March 16. He was transferred to another hospital for further rehabilitation therapy on March 17. COVID-19 presents as a newly recognized pneumonia that has brought about a global pandemic and drastically impacts the world. Although respiratory symptoms dominated the clinical manifestations of COVID-19, abnormal hematologic profiles were frequently observed. Eosinopenia (37.80%), monocytosis (51.97%), lymphocytopenia (25.20%), and anemia (51.97%) were the most common hematologic findings in our cohort of 127 patients with COVID-19. The levels of changes in leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, eosinophils, basophils, platelets, HGB, MCV, and MCHC are overall associated with lung involvement, oxygen demand, and disease activity. Nonetheless, delta of AEC (end hospitalization − baseline) and delta of ABC (Max − Min) may be used as an indicator for delayed recovery of COVID-19 patients in multivariate analysis. Continuously increasing eosinophils in the late phase of COVID-19 kept pace with radiographic and virology improvements in these recovered patients. Importantly, eosinophils of moderate patients restored earlier than those of severe or more patients, suggesting that dynamical eosinophils may be the clue of COVID-19 recovery. Eosinophils were formerly believed to defend against helminths and are increasingly understood to play an essential role in virus infections, including respiratory syncytial virus, influenza viruses, and even HIV infection [12] [13] [14] [15] . Moreover, EDN produced by eosinophils is a ribonuclease with significant antiviral activity [16] . It was reported that the number of eosinophils in peripheral blood is decreasing rapidly and persistently in acute infection or inflammation [17, 18] , and eosinopenia actually appeared in the majority of COVID-19 patients [6, 19, 20] . Severe COVID-19 cases were reported to have lower percentages of monocytes compared to non-severe cases [6, 19] , but we found that more than half of our recovered patients had monocytes higher than 0.6 × 10 9 /L. Excessive non-effective host immune responses partially by inflammatory monocytes may associate with severe lung pathology in COVID-19 patients [19] , which accounts for IL-6 blockade therapy [21] . Most COVID-19 patients also had marked lymphocytopenia, and nonsurvivors developed more severe lymphocytopenia over time [5, 6, 22] . Lymphocytopenia seems to be associated with disease activity and mortality, particularly among the elderly [20] . However, lymphocytopenia is less frequent in the present study compared to those deceased patients or patients in intensive care unit [5, 10, 23] . Progressive anemia with elevating MCV and decreasing MCHC took place in our cohort. Peak MCV and nadir MCHC are independent predictors of disease deterioration in this recovered population. Hypoplastic bone marrow induced by COVID-19 and side effects by Ribavirin or chloroquine treatment may cause anemia [24] . Iron deficiency or vitamin B 12 and folate deficiency resulting from poor appetite and anxieties of those patients with COVID-19 could be another important reason, although evidence is lack in this critical condition. Hematologic findings could not result from glucocorticoid exposure as nearly all patients had not received steroids at admission, but the activation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis in critically ill disease cannot be ruled out. In the case of COVID-19, this virus may directly damage the hematopoietic and immune system, as hypoplastic bone marrow and decreased numbers of lymphocyte, cell degeneration, and necrosis in the spleen were found pathologically in three cases [24] . This study has several limitations. First, only four critically ill patients are enrolled. However, these patients recovered, and we have described 1 of them in detail. The cohort in the present study unfolds the realworld situation where most COVID-19 patients, including moderate, severe, or critically ill patients, in hospitals finally recovered. Second, some specific detections Table 5 Correlation coefficients for cell types within peripheral blood about these patients were missing, such as bone marrow smear, the level of iron, vitamin B 12 , or folate, reticulocyte count, and Coomb's test. Nonetheless, the data on CBC, serum biochemistry, supportive care, and the duration of hospital stay is admittedly supportive. Third, this is a retrospective study. A small number of patients a-1 a-2 Fig. 4 Individual plots of subsets and profiles of peripheral blood cells against the day of disease in 3 patients (a-1~c-1). Serial chest CT images of 3 patients during hospital stay (a-2~c-2) had laboratory tests only on admission without dynamic changes. 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Zhonghua bing li xue za zhi= Publisher's note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations Acknowledgments We thank all the patients, their families, and healthcare workers involved in this study.Contributors Xiao-Hua Luo conceptualized the study, had full access to all data in this study, and is responsible for the integrity and accuracy of the data analysis. Jian Mao and Rong Dai contributed equally to this work and share the first authorship. Jian Mao, Rong Dai, Rui-Chan Du, and Li-Ping Shui contributed to data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, and literature search. Rong Dai and Yan Zhu contributed to the critical revision of this report. All authors approved the final draft of the manuscript. Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s00277-021-04426-x.