key: cord-0872987-xykbu2b0 authors: Driessen, Michael M. title: COVID-19 restrictions provide a brief respite from the wildlife roadkill toll date: 2021-02-17 journal: Biol Conserv DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109012 sha: 2c39027176a96fc6412897d0ab3472354658e2ff doc_id: 872987 cord_uid: xykbu2b0 The COVID-19 pandemic provides a rare opportunity to reveal the impact of reduced human activity on wildlife. I compared traffic volume and wildlife roadkill data along 18 km of highway before, during and after a 3-month period of COVID-19 restrictions with baseline data from the previous four years. Three marsupial herbivores comprised 89% of the 1820 roadkills recorded during the 4.5-year survey period: rufous-bellied pademelon Thylogale billardierii (31.5% of total), common brushtail possum Trichosurus vulpecula (29.8%) and red-necked wallaby Notamacropus rufogriseus (27.9%). During April 2020, when human activity was most restricted in the study area, traffic volume decreased by 36% (i.e. by an average 13,520 vehicle movements per day) and wildlife roadkill decreased by 48% (i.e. from 44 to 23 roadkills). However, when restrictions eased, traffic volume and wildlife roadkill returned to baseline levels indicating that the respite was brief in terms of animal welfare and of limited conservation value for these widespread and abundant species. Nevertheless, the results of this study suggest that even short periods of traffic reduction or road closures could be used as part of a management strategy for the conservation of endangered wildlife populations and re-wildling programs where roadkill is a risk factor. Restrictions on human activities to control the spread of COVID-19 have led to a spate of reports around the world about the possible benefits and impacts for wildlife (Gardner 2020; Manenti et al. 2020; Rutz et al. 2020) although not all reports of species appearing in urban areas were as unusual as claimed in the media (Dayly 2020; Manenti et al. 2020) . These restrictions provide an unprecedented opportunity to gain insights into how human activity affects wildlife, and have led to calls to maximise the scientific insight that arises from this pandemic by comparing baseline datasets collected before the pandemic with datasets collected during and after the pandemic (Corlett et al. In many countries around the world, wildlife deaths caused by collisions with vehicles on roads (roadkill) are a significant issue for wildlife welfare and conservation as well as for human welfare and property damage (Hobday and Minstrell 2008; Taylor and Goldingay 2010; Taylor-Brown et al. 2019; Pagany 2020) . Several authors have suggested that wildlife roadkill may have decreased during COVID-19 lockdowns due to less traffic (Gardner 2020; Watts 2020) . In support of this suggestion, Manenti et al. (2020) reported 386 fewer amphibian roadkills in 2020 than in 2019 across eight Italian sites where amphibian road crossings occur. In a review of factors influencing wildlife roadkill, Pagany (2020) found that, of 51 studies that investigated traffic volume, 75% found that roadkill increased with increasing traffic volume, 12% decreased and 17% did not find a link between traffic volume and wildlife roadkill (note, one study reported both a positive relationship and no relationship). Wildlife roadkill is unfortunately common in the island state of Tasmania, Australia, and one study has found that Tasmania has a higher density of roadkill than estimated in comparable surveys in other parts of Australia and North America (Hobday and Minstrell 2008) . This abundance of roadkill has been largely attributed to the abundance of wildlife, particularly marsupial herbivores (Magnus et al. 2004; Hobday and Minstrell 2008; Fox et al. 2018) . Here, I investigate the effect of reduced human activity due to COVID-19 restrictions on traffic volume and wildlife roadkill. Because traffic volume is often an important predictor of roadkills (Driessen et al. 1996; Taylor and Goldingay 2010; Visintin et al. 2017; Pagany 2020) , I expected that reduced traffic volume would lead to a reduction in wildlife roadkill. As part of my frequent commuting along a highway, known as the Southern Outlet, between the city of Hobart and the suburb of Kingston in southern Tasmania, Australia ( Fig. 1) , I recorded wildlife roadkills from January 2016 to July 2020. The Southern Outlet is a dual-carriageway highway separated by a median strip of variable width (1-75 m), with two traffic lanes on each carriageway. For about 4 km the median strip is wide and supports trees and associated undergrowth. Most of Traffic volume (number of vehicle movements per day) totalled across all four lanes was recorded by the Tasmanian Department of State Growth using a continuous counter (A0171110P) located approximately halfway along the survey route ( Fig. 1 ). Public holidays are excluded when calculating traffic volume for each month. Since 2016, the annual average traffic volume has exceeded 36,000, 50% on each carriageway, and has increased by c. 1,000 per year (2016-2019). Traffic volume is mostly consistent along the length of the Southern Outlet because there are only three entry/exit points for vehicles on each carriageway that service a small number of residents (<2000 people). Roadkills were surveyed separately on each of the 9 km-long carriageways (total = 18 km). I detected and identified roadkills during daylight hours while driving at speeds of up to c. 80 km/h and the roadkills were recorded by a passenger. Although a study has found that roadkill detection rates can decrease significantly above 50 km/h, especially for small (rat-sized) animals (Collinson et al. 2014) , this was partly compensated for by undertaking regular repeated surveys as roadkills may remain on the road from days to weeks (Hobday and Minstrell 2008; author, unpublished data) . To ensure each roadkill was not double counted, the species was identified, and its carriageway, distance from defined starting points and position on the carriageway (left, middle, right) were recorded. Not all roadkills that occur can be counted because some animals die away from the road out of sight and some animals may be removed by other animals or people before they can be counted. The average number of surveys per month was 13.3 (95%CI = 1.1, range = 9-19, n = 28) for January-July 2016-2019 and 12.6 (95%CI = 1.1, range = 11-15, n = 7) for January-July 2020. I specifically targeted days at the start and end of each month to be confident of assigning roadkills to a month. There were 17 occasions during the five-year survey when there were 7-11-day gaps between surveys due to field work and leave, with only one 7-day gap during 2020. Thus, there is potential that roadkill counts in 2016-19 were underestimated relative to 2020. Although I have recorded roadkills on this highway since 1995, only data from 2016 onwards are presented because daily traffic volume data are available only since January 2016. I compared monthly traffic volume, monthly roadkill counts (combining roadkill counts from both carriageways) and monthly roadkill species richness (number of species) before (1/1/20-29/2/2020), during (1/3/2020-31/5/2020) and after (1/6/2020-31/7/2020) a 3-month period of COVID-19 restrictions in 2020 with mean monthly traffic volume, roadkill counts, and roadkill species richness for the same period of months in 2016-2019 (baseline data). One-way analysis of variance was used to test if traffic volume, number of roadkills and roadkill species richness during the 3-month period of COVID-19 restrictions differed from those during the two months prior to and after this period by subtracting the monthly values for 2020 from the monthly means for 2016-2019 and using time A total of 1,820 wildlife roadkills were recorded in January-July 2016-2020 comprising 14 mammal species and eight bird species, with an average 6.3 ± 0.6 (95%CL) roadkill species recorded each month. Three marsupial herbivores comprised 90% (1,344) of the 1,497 roadkills recorded in January-July 2016-2019 and 86% (278) (Fig. 2) . Most of this decrease occurred during the last two weeks of March soon after restrictions were imposed (Fig. 3) . The 43 wildlife roadkills in March 2020 were 39% fewer than the mean of 71 for March 2016-2019 (Fig. 2) . On 31 st March 2020, in response to increasing cases of COVID-19, greater restrictions were imposed on the Tasmanian community who were required to stay at home except for prescribed activities (e.g. work, shopping, exercise). During April 2020 there was a large J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f Journal Pre-proof reduction in both traffic volume and wildlife roadkill compared with baseline data; traffic volume decreased by 36% (from 37,290 to 23,767 vehicles movements per day) and wildlife roadkill decreased by 48% (44 to 23 roadkills) (Fig. 2) . Easing of restrictions began to occur on the 11 th May 2020; this included allowing visits to national parks and other reserves within 30 km of homes. On 18 th May 2020 gatherings were allowed to increase from two to ten people, and restaurants, cafes and playgrounds were re-opened. There was a corresponding increase in traffic volume and roadkill in May, but both remained lower than the baseline averages (Fig. 2) . Between the 25 th May and 9 th June 2020, students returned to schools, and on 15 th June 2020 gatherings could increase from ten to twenty people. Tasmanians could undertake indoor and outdoor sport and visit their holiday homes. By June, traffic volume and number of roadkills had largely returned to baseline levels (Fig. 2 ). On 13 th July 2020 restrictions were eased further, with gatherings of 50-100 people allowed, and markets and food courts opening. July traffic volumes and number of roadkills had returned to baseline levels (Fig. 2) . Consistent with most previous studies (see reviews by: Taylor and Goldingay 2010; Pagany 2020), changes in traffic volume on the Southern Outlet due to COVID-19 restrictions on human activity resulted in changes, in the same direction, in the number of wildlife roadkills. However, unlike these previous studies which used a spatial distribution approach, the COVID-19 restrictions on human activity provided a rare opportunity to assess the impact of changes in traffic volume on the rate of wildlife roadkill on a major highway with large traffic volumes using a before-after-control-impact design (Stewart-Oaten et al. 1986 ). In contrast to what might be expected, I found no change in roadkill species richness following changes in traffic volume. One other study in Lithuania has investigated the relationship between traffic volume and roadkill species richness (Balciauskas et al. 2020 ) and found that there were more roadkill mammal species on main roads with greater traffic volume (AADT = 5035-9413) than on regional roads with lower traffic volumes (AADT = 296-390). There are several factors that may account for the different findings between the two studies such as experimental design, traffic volume and number of species, and more studies are required to understand the relationship between traffic volume and roadkill species richness. (Magnus et al. 2004; Hobday and Minstrell 2008; Van Dyck and Strahan 2008; Bennie et al. 2014 ). Another possible contributing factor is that the form of the relationship between traffic volume and roadkill rate for the Southern Outlet may be non-linear, as was found by Sadleir and Linklater (2016) in their New Zealand study. Thus, it may be possible that a small decrease in traffic volume may result in a proportionally larger decrease in wildlife roadkill. Red-necked wallabies, rufous-bellied pademelons and common brushtail possums are the most commonly recorded roadkill in Tasmania (Hobday and Minstrell 2008; Fox et al. 2018; Englefield et al. 2019; Nguyen et al. 2019) . They are also widespread and abundant (Jarman and Calaby 2008; Johnson and Rose 2008; Kerle and How 2008) and long-term (>15 years), broadscale population monitoring indicates their populations are either stable or increasing at regional and statewide scales (DPIPWE 2020). Consequently, there is limited incentive to reduce roadkill for these species from a conservation perspective. However, this may not be the case for species that have small populations and particularly for threatened species (Hobday and Minstrell 2008) . For example, a Tasmanian study found that collisions with vehicles following a road upgrade caused the local extinction of an eastern quoll population and the halving of a Tasmanian devil population (Jones 2000) . Programs aimed at re-wilding Tasmanian devils within Tasmania (Anon. 2015) and eastern quolls from Tasmania to the Australian mainland (Rewilding Australia 2020) have also been adversely affected by collisions with vehicles. Several endangered species were recorded as roadkill along the Southern Outlet but in numbers too low for any effect of a decrease in traffic volume to be detectable. Even if roadkill is not causing population declines, roadkill should be reduced where possible from an animal welfare standpoint because collisions with cars often don't result in instantaneous death and dependent young of marsupials cannot sustain themselves if their mothers are road-killed. Road trauma was the predominant cause for reporting either injured or orphaned animals to a wildlife rescue service within Tasmania, with brushtail possums, red-necked wallabies and rufous-bellied pademelons the most frequently reported species (Heathcote et al. 2019) . Another important reason to reduce roadkill is damage to vehicles and injury to people. In Tasmania, between 1993 and 2003, three human fatalities and an annual average of 7.2 injurycausing accidents and 46.2 car damage incidents arising from collisions with wildlife were reported to police (Magnus et al. 2004 ). Roadkill will continue to be an issue for both wildlife and people post COVID-19. Whilst there are many roadkill mitigation measures, some of which have been employed in Tasmania, their efficacy has been shown to be variable or questioned (Fox et al. 2018; Englefield et al. 2019) . Large-scale overpasses and other expensive mitigation measures have not been J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f employed in Tasmania. Hobday and Minstrell (2008) found that a reduction in speed from 100 km/h to 80 km/h could potentially reduce overall roadkill by 50%. It is reasonable to assume that the roadkill toll decreased on roads more broadly across Tasmania during the COVID-19 restrictions on human activity. This is because the state has many roads like the Southern Outlet with large traffic volumes, running through comparable habitats and supporting similar wildlife species. In addition, weekly traffic volumes at 41 permanent monitoring sites on This study provides a clear demonstration of how a reduction in road traffic caused by the COVID-19 restrictions on human activity resulted in a substantial reduction of wildlife mortality due to collisions with cars. Unfortunately for wildlife conservation and welfare, this reduction in mortality was brief (3 months), with traffic volumes and roadkill counts returning to baseline levels soon after restrictions were eased. However, the results of this study suggest that even short periods of traffic reduction can decrease the roadkill toll and that traffic reduction or road closures could be used as part of a management strategy for the conservation of endangered populations and re-wilding programs where losses due to collisions with cars is a major risk. The author declares no competing interests. 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