key: cord-0846499-f3ram0b7
authors: Kridin, Khalaf; Schonmann, Yochai; Tzur Bitan, Dana; Damiani, Giovanni; Peretz, Alon; Weinstein, Orly; Cohen, Arnon D.
title: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)-Associated Hospitalization and Mortality in Patients with Psoriasis: A Population-Based Study
date: 2021-05-31
journal: Am J Clin Dermatol
DOI: 10.1007/s40257-021-00605-8
sha: 54d8e51f6a910bfe43fdf024dfdff4381f49c107
doc_id: 846499
cord_uid: f3ram0b7

BACKGROUND: The impact of immune-related conditions on the outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is poorly understood. Determinants of COVID-19 outcomes among patients with psoriasis are yet to be established. OBJECTIVE: Th objective of this study was to characterize a large cohort of patients with psoriasis with COVID-19 and to identify predictors of COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality. METHODS: A population-based nested case-control study was performed using the computerized database of Clalit Health Services, Israel. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence (CIs) of predictors for COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality. RESULTS: The study population included 3151 patients with psoriasis who tested positive for COVID-19. Subclinical COVID-19 infection occurred in 2818 (89.4%) of the patients while 122 (3.9%), 71 (2.3%), 123 (3.9%), and 16 (0.5%) of the patients experienced a mild, moderate, severe, and critical disease, respectively. Overall, 332 (10.5%) patients were hospitalized and 50 (1.6%) patients died because of COVID-19 complications. Intake of methotrexate independently predicted COVID-19-associated hospitalization (adjusted OR 2.30; 95% CI 1.11–4.78; p = 0.025). Use of biologic agents was not associated with COVID-19-associated hospitalization (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.32–1.73; p = 0.491) or mortality (OR 0.85; 95% CI 0.12–6.21; p = 0.870). Older age, the presence of comorbid cardiovascular diseases, metabolic syndrome, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic renal failure independently predicted both COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The use of oral methotrexate was associated with an increased odds of COVID-associated hospitalization, whereas the use of biologic drugs was not associated with worse outcomes of COVID-19 among patients with psoriasis. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40257-021-00605-8.

Coronavirus disease 2019 , caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), embodies an unprecedented global health crisis with enormous social, mental, and financial ramifications [1] . Given that severe COVID-19 is associated with a hyperinflammatory state [2, 3] , it is of interest to explore whether the presence of preexisting immune-mediated diseases or the previous use of immunomodulatory agents influences the phenotype of COVID-19. While several studies displayed an increased risk and a more aggressive course of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with certain immune-mediated and autoimmune diseases [4] [5] [6] , others refuted these observations [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] .

Psoriasis is a chronic, immune-mediated, papulosquamous skin disease that affects 125 million people worldwide [12] . The disease is unequally distributed across geographical regions, and its prevalence rate ranges between 0.14% in East Asia and 1.99% in Australia [13] . The typical psoriatic lesion is a sharply demarcated, erythematous scaly plaque commonly affecting the extensor surfaces, but it can also involve the intertriginous areas, palms, soles, and nails. Present in 20-30% of patients with psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis usually either follows or occurs concurrently with the cutaneous manifestation [12, 14] .

The medical society struggles with major uncertainty regarding the optimal method to manage patients with immune-mediated diseases necessitating systemic drugs during the COVID-19 pandemic. As immunosuppressive therapy can interfere with antiviral immunity [15] , patients undergoing immunomodulatory treatment, particularly those with severe comorbidities, may be hypothetically more susceptible to worse outcomes of COVID-19. In contrast, it has been postulated that over-activation of the immune system accounts for the lung injury caused by SARS-CoV-2 and that a subgroup of patients might benefit from immunosuppressive drugs [16] . The burden of COVID-19 and predictors of its complications among patients with psoriasis are yet to be fully delineated [17] [18] [19] .

The aim of the current study is to characterize a large cohort of patients with psoriasis who tested positive for COVID-19. We additionally sought to identify determinants of COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality among these patients.

The current study was designed as a nested case-control study that followed all patients with psoriasis who tested positive for COVID-19. Predictors of COVID-associated hospitalization and mortality were systematically evaluated using a case-control design comparing patients with psoriasis with hospitalization and mortality relative to those lacking these outcomes. The study was approved by the institutional review board in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (approval code: 0212-17-COM).

The study was based on the computerized dataset of Clalit Health Services. Clalit Health Services is the largest health maintenance organization in Israel, which provides a wide array of private and public healthcare services for 4,603,861 enrollees as of February 2020. Clalit Health Services dataset enables comprehensive access to a wide range of clinical input as it retrieves data from several sources covering general community clinics, both primary care and referral centers, and both ambulatory and hospital care facilities. The inclusiveness, negligible loss to follow-up, and universal access to public healthcare services qualify the dataset to yield robust epidemiological studies [20] .

The computerized dataset of Clalit Health Services was systematically checked for prevalent cases with a diagnosis of psoriasis, as documented by a board-certified dermatologist. The medical records of these patients were checked for a diagnosis of COVID-19. The latter was based on confirmation of cases by a US Food and Drug Administrationapproved molecular test. COVID-19-associated hospitalization was defined in COVID-19-confirmed patients admitted to intensive care units, internal medicine, or pulmonology inpatient wards. All hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were assigned one of the following severity degrees; mild (mild symptoms such as cough, fever, fatigue, and loss of smell); moderate (clinical or radiologic diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia); severe (respiratory rate > 30, oxygen saturation < 93% on room air, and PaO 2 /FiO 2 < 300); and critical (severe systemic impairment including septicemia, cardiac, hepatic, or renal insufficiency). The severity degree of non-hospitalized COVID-19-confirmed patients, who were not managed in any healthcare facility, was defined as subclinical.

Participants' date of death was ascertained by crosslinking the study cohort with the National Registry of Deaths Database. All study participants were followed up from the onset of the pandemic in Israel (defined as the date of the first confirmed case on 27 February, 2020), until 30 September, 2020 or death.

The severity of psoriasis was defined as moderate to severe in patients who were managed by oral systemic drugs (methotrexate, cyclosporine, apremilast, and acitretin), biologic agents (tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors, interleukin [IL]-17 inhibitors, IL-23 inhibitors, and ustekinumab), or phototherapeutic modalities (ultraviolet B, psoralen and ultraviolet A, and climate therapy in the Dead Sea) at any time point throughout the course of the disease. Patients who were not managed by any of the aforementioned interventions were considered as having mild disease.

Owing to the accumulation of evidence about the vulnerability of pharmacologically immunosuppressed patients with COVID-19 [15] , we checked whether the intake of any biologic drug or the intake of oral-systemic drugs with immunosuppressive properties (methotrexate and cyclosporine) during or at the onset of the pandemic predicted worse COVID-19 outcomes. Exposure to a certain drug was defined in those purchasing a drug for at least 2 months during the pandemic. The diagnosis of psoriatic arthritis relied on its coding by a rheumatologist in a patient with an eligible diagnosis of psoriasis.

The chronic registry of Clalit Health Services was utilized to identify comorbidities of eligible patients prior to the development of COVID-19. Cardiovascular disease was defined as the presence of at least one of the following conditions: ischemic heart disease, a history of myocardial infection, congestive heart failure, or arrhythmia. Metabolic syndrome was defined as the presence of at least three of the following conditions: type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension, or obesity [21] [22] [23] . Study outcomes were additionally adjusted for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic renal failure (CRF), asthma, smoking, cirrhosis, malignancy, depression, and a history of tuberculosis.

Baseline characteristics were described by means and standard deviations (SDs) for continuous variables, whilst categorical values were indicated by percentages. The comparison between patients with and without COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality was performed utilizing the chi-square test and t-test for categorical and continuous variables, respectively.

Only comorbidities and medications preceding the onset of COVID-19 were included in the analyses based on the temporal relationship between exposure and outcome in case-control studies. The independent associations between demographic, disease-specific, and comorbidity variables with the odds of COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality were evaluated using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression and reported as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Enter and removal limits were set at p < 0.050 in the univariate analysis. The covariates included in the regression model encompassed, among others, age group and duration of psoriasis. The latter continuous variables were treated as dichotomous variables and split by their median value (44.0 and 7.6 years, respectively). Because of the significant co-linearity between them, the two following pairs of variables were collapsed as single variables in the regression model: (i) age at the onset of pandemic and the duration of psoriasis and (ii) disease severity and intake of oral systemic agents. Categories with cell sizes < 10 by hospitalization and death status were collapsed to ensure sufficient power in the adjusted model. SPSS software, Version 25 (SPSS; IBM Corp; Armonk, NY, USA) was utilized to conduct all statistical analyses.

The study population included 3151 patients with psoriasis who tested positive for COVID-19. The mean age (SD) of patients at the diagnosis of COVID-19 was 46.0 (19.3) years, 1656 (52.6%) were male, 1935 (61.4%) were of Jewish ethnicity, and 1416 (44.9%) had low socioeconomic status ( Table 1) .

The mean (SD) age of patients at the onset of psoriasis was 38.2 (18.9) years, with an average (SD) latency of 7.8 years separating the onset of psoriasis and the development of COVID-19. In all, 2712 (86.1%) patients had mild psoriasis, whereas 439 (13.9%) manifested with moderateto-severe disease. Psoriatic arthritis was present in 708 (22.5%) patients and flexural psoriasis in 804 (25.5%) patients. While biologics were administered for 74 (2.3%) patients at the onset of the pandemic, 86 (2.7%) were taking oral systemic anti-psoriatic medications. Table 1 

Factors associated with COVID-19-associated mortality in univariate analysis are presented in Table 3 . After adjusting for putative confounders, COVID-19-associated mortality was independently predicted by older age (≥ 44.0 years; Table 3 ).

The current population-based study revealed that the vast majority of patients with psoriasis who were COVID-19-positive present with subclinical infection, whereas 10.5% and 1.6% of patients experience COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality, respectively. Older age, oral immunosuppressive agents, and comorbid cardiovascular diseases, metabolic syndrome, COPD, and CRF were found to independently predict COVID-19-associated hospitalization. COVID-19-associated mortality was independently predicted by older age and the aforementioned comorbidities.

Compelling evidence had accumulated to suggest that patients with psoriasis are at an increased risk of developing severe infections. Following 69,315 patients with psoriasis, Yiu et al. [24] found a 36% increased risk of being hospitalized and a 33% increased risk of death because of serious infections among patients with psoriasis relative to matched controls. An earlier controlled retrospective cohort study tracked 25,742 patients with psoriasis and correspondingly found an increased risk of developing severe infections (adjusted hazard ratio 2.08; 95% CI 1.96-2.22) [25] . Congruently, serious infections were found to develop more frequently in a cohort of 199,700 patients with psoriasis (adjusted hazard ratio 1.21; 95% CI 1.18-2.23) [26] . The pathomechanism underlying increased infection rates is yet to be determined. However, it is established that the damage made by an infectious agent is determined both by the agent's ability to interfere with the homeostatic mechanisms of the host and by the host's response to the infectious agent [27] . The skew towards an excessive inflammatory cytokine milieu in psoriasis, particularly tumor necrosis factor-α and IL-17, may be implicated in the profound inflammation and tissue damage seen in bacterial and viral infections [28, 29] . Excessive levels of proinflammatory cytokines were found to result in dysregulation of the immune response and induce pathological inflammatory changes associated with septic shock [30] .

The current study signifies that older age is associated with an increased risk of both hospitalization and mortality resulting from COVID-19 in patients with psoriasis. The latter finding aligns with a large body of data from patients with COVID-19, regardless of their inflammatory comorbidities [31] . While male individuals were predisposed to Only variables demonstrating p < 0.050 in the univariate analysis were subject to inclusion in the multivariate logistic regression model

The onset of the pandemic was defined as the date of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 in Israel 27 February 2020 a Dichotomy of this continuous variable was based on its median value. Age at the onset of pandemic and the duration of psoriasis were collapsed as a single variable in the regression model because of significant collinearity between the two variables b Categories with cell sizes < 10 by hospitalization and death status were collapsed to ensure sufficient power in the adjusted model a more severe SARS-CoV-2 infection and worse COVID-19 outcomes [31] [32] [33] , we found that male sex predicted COVID-19-associated hospitalization in a univariate analysis but lost its statistical significance after adjusting for other covariates. In congruence with previous studies, comorbid cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, CRF, and COPD projected an increased risk of COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] . Mortality rate among COVID-19-positive patients in the general Israeli population was estimated at 0.7% (6220/833,707; as of 3 April, 2021). Mortality rate among patients with psoriasis tested positive for COVID-19 in the current study was 1.6%. Taken together, mortality rate among patients with psoriasis in this study is higher than that among the general Israeli population (p < 0.001). Further controlled observational studies are warranted to establish this finding. The role exerted by immunosuppressive and immunomodulatory drugs in COVID-19-infected patients is a focus of extensive debate [15] . Our findings denote that the intake of biologic agents did not predict COVID-19-associated hospitalization or mortality. Previous studies revealed favorable outcomes for patients with COVID-19 with underlying immune-related diseases managed by biologic agents. Tumor necrosis factor-α antagonists, in contrast to systemic corticosteroids, were found to decrease the risk of severe COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality among patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (OR, 0.60; 95% CI 0.38-0.96) [11, 39] . Similarly, in a global registry of patients with rheumatic diseases and COVID-19, biologic agents were associated with a decreased risk of hospitalization (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.22-0.93) [5] .

We found that patients taking oral methotrexate at the onset of COVID-19 were more frequently hospitalized and demonstrated worse clinical outcomes. The influence of methotrexate on the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 is less established. In a registry-based study, COVID-19-positive patients with rheumatic diseases did not demonstrate an increased risk of hospitalization under conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs, including, among others, methotrexate [5] . Some experts even advocated utilizing the anti-inflammatory properties of methotrexate and cyclosporine to manage the cytokine storm in severe advanced SARS-CoV-2 infection [40, 41] . While caution should be practiced against causal inference about the effect of these drugs in COVID-19, a biological plausibility exists for our findings. Immunosuppressive drugs can be detrimental in the initial phase of the disease when the host immune response is essential to inhibit viral replication [15] . Methotrexate is typified by a broad and unspecific immunosuppressive effect that may render patients with psoriasis susceptible to infections [42] .

The study throws light on a hot and unanswered question regarding predictors of COVID-19 complications in psoriasis. The strengths of the current study stem from the recruitment of a large-scale cohort of patients with psoriasis with inclusive access to their medical files. This enables a thorough identification of COVID-19 determinants in psoriasis. The diagnoses of psoriasis and COVID-19 are highly reliable as they relied on board-certified dermatologists and Food and Drug Administration-approved molecular tests, respectively. The inclusion of a wide array of comorbid diseases, medications, and disease-specific characteristics substantiates our model and facilitates a better overview of COVID-19 in psoriasis. The utilization of a comprehensive healthcare dataset encompassing patients belonging to all levels of healthcare facilities argues against the existence of selection bias. The current study has several limitations to acknowledge. Owing to the small number of hospitalized/dead patients with COVID-19 with certain variables, we merged some variables (such as metabolic syndrome, cardiovascular diseases, biologic, and oral systemic drugs) to obtain meaningful findings. The probability of misclassification of disease severity and potential unmeasured confounding factors could not be thoroughly refuted. More specifically, the definition of moderate-to-severe disease based upon treatments may overlook patients in whom these drugs are contraindicated. While the large sample size and sufficient follow-up time render the current study generalizable, further studies assessing patients originating from different countries and ethnicities are warranted. The low number of patients with psoriasis under systemic and biologic drugs interferes with drawing firm conclusions and warrants the performance of studies with even larger sample sizes.

The current population-based study shows that COVID-19 necessitates hospitalizations in 10.5% and leads to death in 1.6% of COVID-19-positive patients with psoriasis. The intake of oral systemic immunosuppressive agents, but not biologics, at the onset of the pandemic predisposes patients with psoriasis to COVID-19-associated hospitalization. Older age, comorbid cardiovascular diseases, metabolic syndrome, COPD, and CRF independently predict COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality. The administration of immunosuppressive agents should be weighed with caution during the pandemic. Patients with psoriasis with comorbid cardiovascular diseases, metabolic syndrome, COPD, and CRF should be monitored closely.

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