key: cord-0830512-fu6rb4l6
authors: Serdan, Tamires D.A.; Masi, Laureane N.; Gorjao, Renata; Pithon-Curi, Tania C.; Curi, Rui; Hirabara, Sandro M.
title: COVID-19 in Brazil: Historical cases, disease milestones, and estimated outbreak peak
date: 2020-05-12
journal: Travel Med Infect Dis
DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101733
sha: 46504f37659f0d67736cc234c209e05a40c7b4cb
doc_id: 830512
cord_uid: fu6rb4l6

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75% (E 25 , E 50 , and E 75 , respectively), we were able to calculate the peak of pandemic COVID-19 in Sao Paulo State (when 50% of the infected people will be reached, that is 1,237,545). For E 25 , E 50 , and E 75 , the outbreak peak will occur on May 18-19, June 3-4, and July 20-21, respectively. The next days will be crucial to evaluate the effectiveness of the emergency decisions and to held and to direct important and further emergency decisions to avoid the fast advance of the pandemic COVID-19 and the health system collapse. 

Scientific and ethical basis for social-distancing interventions against COVID-19

MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis

Authors acknowledge grants from FAPESP, CAPES, and CNPq.

All authors declare no conflict of interest.