key: cord-0828747-ng0bs07y authors: Kuo, Yi-Jie; Chen, Yu-Pin; Wang, Hsiao-Wen; Liu, Chieh-hsiu; Strong, Carol; Saffari, Mohsen; Ko, Nai-Ying; Lin, Chung-Ying; Griffiths, Mark D. title: Community Outbreak Moderates the Association Between COVID-19-Related Behaviors and COVID-19 Fear Among Older People: A One-Year Longitudinal Study in Taiwan date: 2021-12-17 journal: Front Med (Lausanne) DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.756985 sha: 8745597387552db997b6cbd48d8d3159de11994c doc_id: 828747 cord_uid: ng0bs07y Although health behavior theories indicate that fear is effective in activating preventive behaviors, the question of whether COVID-19 severity moderates the association between fear of COVID-19 and preventive behaviors remains unclear. The present study investigated the association between the fear of COVID-19 and preventive behaviors during the COVID-19 community outbreak of two severity levels in Taiwan. Data were obtained regarding the fear of COVID-19 and practice of preventive behaviors from 139 older people (mean age = 71.73 years; 30.2% men) through in-person interviews during a mild COVID-19 outbreak period (baseline assessment). Data from 126 of the 139 participants were obtained again through a telephone interview during a severe COVID-19 outbreak period (follow-up assessment). A significant increase in the fear of COVID-19 (d = 0.39, p < 0.001) and a decrease in preventive behaviors (d = 0.63, p < 0.001) were found in the follow-up assessment. The association between fear of COVID-19 and preventive behaviors was not significant at baseline (r = −0.07, p > 0.05) but became significant at the follow-up assessment (r = 0.32, p < 0.001). The severity of a COVID-19 outbreak may alter older people's psychological status and related behaviors. Since late 2019 and early 2020, the increasing global spread of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has adversely affected various aspects of individuals' lives including public health, finances, and caregiving burden (1) (2) (3) (4) . Therefore, health behaviors, particularly behaviors to prevent COVID-19 infection, have become crucial for governments to efficiently control the spread of COVID-19 (5, 6) . In particular, prior to the development of effective vaccines to promote herd immunity in the community (7) (8) (9) , engaging in preventive behaviors is the most efficient way to reduce the transmission rate of infectious diseases including COVID-19 (10) (11) (12) . Through government policies, preventive COVID-19 behaviors can be implemented at community (i.e., authorized policies) and individual (i.e., citizens' practice) levels (11) . For example, many countries have applied spatial distancing measures (e.g., "lockdowns, " quarantining) to reduce COVID-19 transmission (13) (14) (15) . Such policies have demonstrated promising results in COVID-19 infection control because the infection rate was lower in countries that launched early preventive policies (e.g., Taiwan) such as border control and quarantine (11, 16, 17) . Moreover, the citizens of countries that have more effectively controlled the COVID-19 pandemic exhibited more satisfactory psychological health outcomes (16) . However, depending only on government measures to suppress COVID-19 infection is difficult given the longevity of the pandemic (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic has already lasted for more than 18 months at the time of writing). Therefore, healthcare providers should identify potential factors associated with individuals' preventive behaviors at different severity levels of COVID-19 outbreak to help fight against the long-lasting COVID-19 pandemic. The present study particularly focused on the preventive COVID-19 behaviors among older people for the following reasons. First, empirical evidence shows that compared with young adults, older people have a higher COVID-19 mortality rate (18) . For instance, people older than 70 years were reported to have a COVID-19 mortality rate of 12.8% in Italy and 8.0% in China (18) . The high mortality rate among older people with COVID-19 infection can be attributed to their chronic diseases such as diabetes mellitus, cancer, and cardiovascular disease (18, 19) . Moreover, being overweight and obese have also been associated with more severe consequences among individuals with COVID-19 infection (14, 20) . Second, because of the adverse outcomes of COVID-19 infection, older people may have poorer psychological health, including an increased incidence of stress and anxiety (21, 22) . Psychological health is a crucial issue among older people because studies have reported that older people commonly have depression, anxiety, and stress, even during non-pandemic periods (23) (24) (25) . Furthermore, poor psychological health among older people may cause various negative health outcomes (26, 27) . On the other hand, a considerable proportion of population in any community (especially in developed countries) are elderly. Neglecting their health may threaten health of whole community and increase healthcare expenditure including the costs of hospitalization and treatment that may impose an avoidable pressure on health system. Therefore, understanding older people's preventive COVID-19 behaviors is of extreme importance because such behaviors may reduce their risk of COVID-19 infection and consequently protects them from physical and psychological health outcomes resulting after infection. Also, it prevents unnecessary stress on healthcare system as well as expensive treatment. In the literature, three key psychological factors associated with older people's preventive COVID-19 behaviors were identified: perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, and trust in COVID-19 information sources (28) (29) (30) (31) (32) . Literature concerning health behavior theories such as the health belief model (29) , fear drive model (30) , and protection motivation theory (32) help emphasize the roles of perceived infectability and fear of COVID-19 in individuals' compliance with preventive COVID-19 behaviors. These theories indicate that perceived infectability may induce individuals' fear, leading them to engage in behaviors to cope with the fear (e.g., preventive behaviors, information searching behavior, and paying attention to COVID-19 news to cope with the fear of COVID-19). These models have been widely studied during the COVID-19 pandemic and reported to be effective in explaining a number of preventive COVID-19 behaviors (28, 33, 34) . Moreover, trust in COVID-19 information may increase individuals' engagement in preventive behaviors because such information increases their awareness and instructs individuals in how to practice preventive behaviors and also contributes to understanding the severity of the problem as well as their susceptibility toward infection (35, 36) . Although perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, and trust in COVID-19 information have been determined to be factors contributing to preventive COVID-19 behaviors (33, 34) , no analytic study has examined their association during the pandemic period at different levels of COVID-19 severity. Therefore, such information can be beneficial for different stakeholders (including government policymakers and healthcare providers) to plan and implement the most effective measures for improving and maintaining preventive COVID-19 behaviors among older people. In the present study, a sample of older people residing in Taipei City, Taiwan, was recruited to examine associations among perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and preventive COVID-19 behaviors because this sample experienced different levels of COVID-19 severity over a one-year time span. The Taiwanese government applied universal policies early for controlling COVID-19 infection including providing instant information on COVID-19 through different platforms, implementing early border control, and encouraging the community to engage in preventive behaviors. This early reaction helped Taiwanese citizens have a near normal life for more than one year when other countries were experiencing considerable life changes such as lockdowns and prohibition of outdoor activities (37) . However, this situation substantially changed in Taiwan, especially in Taipei City, when a severe community outbreak occurred in early May 2021. According to the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control, 441 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 7 COVID-19 deaths occurred in the period between January 1, 2020, and May 28, 2020 (https://www.cdc. gov.tw/En; accessed 28 May 2020). The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases substantially increased after May 2021: the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases was 10,846 and that of COVID-19 deaths was 438 in the period between May 18, 2021, and June 14, 2021 (https://www.cdc.gov.tw/En; accessed 15 June 2021). Moreover, on May 1, 2021, the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases was 1,132 and that of COVID-19 deaths was 12 (https://www.cdc.gov.tw/En; accessed 1 May 2021). Figure 1 presents the different levels of COVID-19 severity in Taipei, Taiwan, during the two time periods. Moreover, Wenshan District, wherein all participants included in the present study resided, had the second most severe community outbreak among all districts in Taipei. By conducting a baseline survey during the period with a low level of COVID-19 severity and a follow-up survey during the period with a high level of COVID-19 severity, the present study examined changes in the following factors: perceived COVID-19 infectability, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, paying attention to COVID-19 news, COVID-19 information searching behavior, and preventive behaviors. Moreover, the associations among these factors were hypothesized as follows The following inclusion criteria were used at baseline to define eligible participants: (1) aged 60 years and above, (2) having the cognitive ability to understand questions used in the present study, (3) having the ability to communicate in Mandarin or Taiwanese, and (4) voluntary willingness to participate in the study. Older outpatients with a disability (e.g., severe mental illness and cognitive impairments) that prevented them from completing the present study's survey questions were excluded. Regarding the recruitment procedure, baseline data were collected from April 20, 2020, to May 15, 2020. Follow-up data were collected from May 18, 2021, to June 14, 2021. In particular, participants were first approached at the outpatient clinic of one medical center in Wenshan District, Taipei, Taiwan, for baseline measurements. Older outpatients in the medical center were provided information regarding the present study when they visited and consulted a physician in the medical center. The aims of the present study were clearly explained to the patients before they agreed to participate in the study. All participants provided written informed consent before they began completing surveys through in-person interviews in a private room. One year later (i.e., May 2021), a sudden and aggressive community outbreak of COVID-19 occurred in Taipei 38) . Moreover, the control policy to minimize the spread of COVID-19 during the outbreak period included the following 11 points: (1) individuals engaging in outdoor activities should wear a mask and fines will be applied to those who do not wear a mask; (2) entertainment and leisure facilities should be closed and fines will be applied to those who open any entertainment and leisure facilities; (3) restaurants cannot provide dine-in services, and all meals should take-out only; (4) marriage ceremonies cannot have banquets; (5) closure of all religion facilities (e.g., temples); (6) closure of all education facilities (including kindergarten and primary schools); (7) prohibition of social gatherings of more than five people indoors and 10 people outdoors (with the exception of family members); (8) self-monitoring of health status; (9) application of spatial distancing in public agencies and business companies; (10) working from home where possible; and (11) increasing use of disinfection and sanitation in public areas and public transportation. The participants were contacted again to complete surveys via telephone interviews by the same research team for obtaining follow-up measurements. Before the participants participated in the telephone interview, they were informed of the study purpose and their participation-related rights again. All the participants in the follow-up survey provided informed consent to participate in the study. The study was approved by the Ethical Committee of Taipei Medical University (registered number: TMU-JIRB N202005044). Data were collected regarding the participants' demographic characteristics, namely age, sex, height, weight, and educational status. In addition, data were collected from participants regarding the following comorbidities: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart disease, renal disease, stroke, dementia, depression, and cancer. Three types of COVID-19-related behaviors were assessed: preventive COVID-19 behaviors, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and paying attention to COVID-19 news. Three COVID-19 preventive behaviors were assessed, namely handwashing, avoiding touching the face, and covering the mouth when sneezing, on a five-point Likert scale (1 = rarely; 5 = always). Moreover, the three items shared the same item stem (i.e., "Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, . . . ") to clearly link the three behaviors with preventive COVID-19 behaviors. More specifically, the item descriptions were "Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, how often do you use sanitizer or soap to carefully clean your hands, " "Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, how often do you pay attention not to touch your eyes, nose, and mouth, " and "Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, how often do you use elbow or handkerchief to cover your mouth and nose when you sneeze or cough." These three behaviors were recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) as key preventive behaviors to avoid COVID-19 infection when the WHO first announced the pandemic (38) . A higher score indicates a higher level of engagement in preventive COVID-19 behaviors. The preventive COVID-19 behavior score is computed by summing the three item scores and dividing the total by 3. To assess COVID-19 news searching behavior, a single item was used (i.e., "Have you eagerly search COVID-19 news") that was rated on a five-point Likert scale (1 = rarely; 5 = always). To assess paying attention to COVID-19 news, a single item was used (i.e., "Have you paid attention to the COVID-19 news") that was rated on a five-point Likert scale (1 = do not care at all; 5 = care a lot). The seven-item Fear of COVID-19 Scale (FCV-19S) was used to assess the fear of COVID-19. All items are rated on a 5point Likert scale (1 = strongly disagree; 5 = strongly agree). A higher score indicates a greater fear of COVID-19. The FCV-19S has been shown to have satisfactory psychometric properties across countries in different continents (16, 39) including Taiwan (28, 38) . The fear of COVID-19 score is computed by summing the scores obtained for the seven items in the FCV-19S and dividing the total by 7. The six-item Believing in COVID-19 Information Scale (BCIS) was used to assess individuals' trust in COVID-19 information. All items are rated on a five-point Likert scale (1 = do not believe at all; 5 = totally believe). A higher score indicates a higher level of trust in COVID-19 information. The BCIS has been shown to have satisfactory psychometric properties in the Taiwanese population (28, 38) . The score for trust in COVID-19 information is computed by summing the scores for the six items in the BCIS and dividing the total by 6. To assess perceived risk of COVID-19 infectability, a single item was used (i.e., "How large the chance that you think you will get COVID-19 infection") that was rated on a five-point Likert scale (1 = very low; 5 = very high). The participants' demographic characteristics were first analyzed using descriptive statistics (i.e., means and frequencies). Paired ttests together with Cohen's d were used to examine differences in preventive COVID-19 behaviors, COVID-19 news searching behavior, paying attention to COVID-19 news, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and perceived infectability between the two assessments (i.e., baseline measures before the community outbreak and one-year follow-up, which occurred after the community outbreak). Cohen's d was used to examine the effect of the differences between baseline and follow-up assessments, where small, moderate, and large effects were assigned values of 0.2, 0.5, and 0.8, respectively (40) . Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated to examine the bivariate association between the studied variables for the baseline and follow-up assessments, respectively. Regarding the proposed model (Figure 2) , structural equation modeling (SEM) was used to examine the fit between the proposed model and data. In particular, two SEM models were constructed; one model used the baseline data, whereas another model used the follow-up data. All the studied variables (perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, paying attention to COVID-19 news, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and preventive COVID-19 behaviors) were treated as observed variables to satisfy the principle of parsimony. Moreover, both SEM models were adjusted for age, sex, educational status, body mass index, and comorbidities. Age, sex, educational status, body mass index, and comorbidities were all controlled for because prior evidence has indicated that these factors are likely to be associated with perceived infectability or fear of COVID-19 (23, 41, 42) . The SEM models were estimated using diagonally weighted least squares and evaluated using the following fit statistics: (i) non-significant χ 2 ; (ii) comparative fit index (CFI) > 0.9; (iii) Tucker-Lewis index (TLI) > 0.9, (iv) root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) < 0.08; and (v) standardized root mean square residual (SRMR) < 0.08 (43, 44) . R software with the Lavaan package (45) was used to conduct SEM. The remaining statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 24.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Table 1 lists the participants' characteristics. A total of 139 older people (mean age = 71.73 years; 30.2% men) participated in the baseline assessment and 126 of them (mean age = 71.30 years; 30.2% men) participated in the follow-up assessment. Thirteen older people were lost to follow-up due to different reasons including death, moving, and unwillingness to participate in the follow-up assessment. However, the characteristics of 126 participants in the follow-up assessment were similar to those of the 139 participants in the baseline assessment (Table 1) . Moreover, Little's missing completely at random test showed that the studied variables, namely COVID-19-related behaviors, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and perceived infectability, were missing completely at random (χ 2 = 53.65, df = 54, p = 0.49). Table 2 presents the participants' psychological and behavioral changes. The participants exhibited significantly increased fear of COVID-19 (d = 0.39, p < 0.001), trust in COVID-19 information (d = 0.76, p < 0.001), COVID-19 news searching behavior (d = 0.75, p < 0.001), and perceived infectability (d = 0.51, p < 0.001) in the follow-up assessment than they did in the baseline assessment. By contrast, the participants had significantly reduced their preventive COVID-19 behaviors (d = 0.63, p < 0.001) and paying attention to COVID-19 news (d = 0.25, p = 0.007). Table 3 lists the correlation coefficients between the studied variables at two time points (i.e., before and after the community outbreak in Taiwan). Among the variables assessed before the community outbreak, paying attention to COVID-19 news was significantly associated with trust in COVID-19 information (r = 0.28, p < 0.01) and COVID-19 news searching behavior (r = 0.23, p < 0.01); preventive COVID-19 behaviors were significantly associated with perceived infectability (r = 0.40, p < 0.001) and COVID-19 news searching behavior (r = −0.17, p < 0.05); and COVID-19 news searching behavior was significantly associated with perceived infectability (r = 0.28, p < 0.01). Among the variables assessed after the community outbreak, fear of COVID-19 was significantly associated with paying attention to COVID-19 news, preventive COVID-19 behaviors, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and perceived infectability (r = 0.25 to 0.49, p < 0.01), and trust in COVID-19 information was significantly associated with preventive COVID-19 behaviors (r = 0.30, p < 0.01). The proposed model in the present study was not supported using baseline data (p of χ 2 test = 0.011, CFI = 0.74, TLI = 0.18, RMSEA = 0.091, SRMR = 0.056). The path coefficients were not significant except for the path between perceived infectability and fear of COVID-19 in the proposed model when it was fitted with baseline data (Figure 3A) . However, the proposed model showed a satisfactory fit with follow-up data (p of χ 2 test = 0.53, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 1.03, RMSEA = 0.000, SRMR = 0.038). Moreover, all path coefficients (i.e., perceived infectability to fear of COVID-19; fear of COVID-19 to paying attention to COVID-19 news, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and preventive COVID-19 behaviors; and trust in COVID-19 information to preventive COVID-19 behaviors) were significant in the proposed model when it was fitted with follow-up data ( Figure 3B ). To the best of our knowledge, the present study is the first to examine associations among perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and COVID-19related behaviors (i.e., paying attention to COVID-19 news, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and preventive COVID-19 behaviors) in two extremely different levels of COVID-19 severity among older people. The results of the present study showed that perceived infectability was significantly and positively associated with the fear of COVID-19. Moreover, fear of COVID-19 was positively associated with COVID-19-related behaviors during the period of severe COVID-19 community outbreak but not during the period of mild COVID-19 community outbreak. Similarly, trust in COVID-19 information was positively associated with preventive COVID-19 behaviors during the period of severe COVID-19 community outbreak but not during the period of mild COVID-19 community outbreak. The findings supported all the hypotheses for the period with severe COVID-19 community outbreak but only Hypothesis 1 for the period with mild COVID-19 community outbreak. Moreover, increased levels of fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, COVID-19 news searching behavior, and perceived infectability were observed during the period of severe COVID-19 community outbreak. By contrast, the levels of paying attention to COVID-19 news and preventive COVID-19 behaviors decreased during the period of severe COVID-19 community outbreak. The increased levels of perceived infectability, fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and COVID-19 news searching behavior can be explained by the increased severity of the COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan. The substantial increase in confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths during May and June 2021 (confirmed cases increased from 1,132 on May 1, 2021 to 10,846 on June 14, 2021; deaths increased from 12 to 438 during this period) likely scared residents, especially older people who can develop severe health problems due to COVID-19 infection (18, 19) . By contrast, decreased levels of preventive behaviors and paying attention to COVID-19 news were observed among older people. This finding may be explained by behavioral fatigue (46, 47) . The present sample showed relatively high scores in paying attention to COVID-19 news (4.18 of 5) and preventive COVID-19 behaviors (4.79 of 5) during the baseline survey. Therefore, they might have not been able to maintain such high levels of behavior over a year. Future studies should explore the effects of and mechanisms underlying behavioral fatigue to assist older people in maintaining their preventive behaviors. The proposed model with five hypotheses was supported by data collected at follow-up but not by data collected at baseline. This finding indicates that prior theories (e.g., the health belief model, protection motivation model, and fear drive model) (28) (29) (30) (31) (32) could be used to explain COVID-19 prevention among older people. Preventive behaviors may not be induced or triggered when older people's fear is low. Prior evidence regarding the effectiveness of fear on individuals' preventive COVID-19 behaviors depends on relatively high levels of fear (5, 6, 9, 34) . Moreover, the follow-up data showed a higher level of fear than the baseline data. Therefore, the findings suggest that older people should have some level of fear to engage in preventive behaviors. However, additional empirical evidence is required to corroborate such a postulation. The findings of the present study has some implications. First, healthcare providers and policymakers should develop potential strategies to prevent older people from feeling fatigue in practicing preventive behaviors. It will be a long time before the COVID-19 pandemic is fully under control. Given the COVID-19 pandemic may last for a long period, maintaining preventive COVID-19 behaviors will be crucial before the pandemic is under control. Therefore, strategies are needed to prevent behavioral fatigue among older people. Second, healthcare providers and policymakers should monitor the fear levels among older citizens and apply fear appeals when necessary to increase their engagement in preventive behaviors (48) (49) (50) . More specifically, fear appeals emphasize the potential danger and harm for health and may facilitate the adherence of preventive COVID-19 behaviors among older people (50, 51) although it should be noted that fear may increase due to the information provided (52, 53) . Therefore, when fear is low, the government should disseminate accurate information regarding the negative consequences of becoming infected with COVID-19 to increase older people's awareness and attention to aid compliance and facilitate preventive behaviors. However, such information should be accompanied by information stating that preventive COVID-19 behaviors can significantly decrease their chances of getting COVID-19 infection which would minimize panic and/or high levels of psychological distress. Moreover, the government may need to implement a mental health campaign to help older people cope with their psychological distress concerning the potentially fatal consequences of COVID-19. Another implication of the study relates to planning health education interventions using fear-based theories/model to increase observance of preventive strategies among older adults. Indeed, since the level of fear and the sense of infectability may be significantly be associated with adherence to preventive measures, based on the present study's findings, using such interventions may include positive impacts on behavioral compliance in this population. This study has some limitations that should be addressed. First, the modest number of recruited participants were all older outpatients from a medical center, indicating that they had health-seeking behaviors. Therefore, the participants might have had a higher level of engagement in preventive behaviors during the pandemic. Consequently, the present findings cannot be generalized to all older people, especially those who do not have health-seeking behavior. Second, the measures were assessed using different methods in the two surveys. The baseline survey was conducted utilizing in-person interviews whereas the follow-up survey was conducted utilizing telephonic interviews. However, given that the period of the follow-up survey was during a severe community outbreak and unnecessary in-person contact was prohibited, a telephone interview was one of the few methods that could be adopted to obtain survey data. Nevertheless, the present study used the same interviewers to administer both surveys to reduce potential rater bias during the two periods of data collection. Third, some psychological constructs in the present study were assessed using a single-item measure. These constructs may have poorer psychometric properties (e.g., low internal validity and reliability with inconsistent outcomes between the baseline and followup measures in the present study) than those assessed using multiple items (54). However, given that the target population in the present study was older people seeking medical services, a practical and strategic decision was taken by the research team to reduce the length of the survey to minimize the burden for this specific population. Finally, the preventive COVID-19 behaviors assessed in the present study may no longer be the best preventive indicators (e.g., many governments have suggested wearing a mask to be a good preventive COVID-19 behavior; also, the development of effective vaccines means that vaccination uptake is an important preventive COVID-19 behavior (55); however, these were not assessed in the present study). Therefore, in order to align the follow-up measures with the baseline measures, the present study did not include these latest preventive behaviors for data analyses. The findings of the present study demonstrated that the severity of a COVID-19 outbreak may alter older people's psychological status and related behaviors. Fear of COVID-19, trust in COVID-19 information, and COVID-19 news searching behavior were particularly increased. However, because of behavioral fatigue, older people's preventive COVID-19 behaviors and their paying attention to COVID-19 news were decreased in the severe COVID-19 outbreak period. Moreover, the association between preventive COVID-19 behaviors and fear of COVID-19 was observed only when the older people had some level of fear. Based on the findings, governments and healthcare providers may need to develop efficient methods specifically for older people to prevent behavioral fatigue until the pandemic is fully controlled. Replication of this study in a situation that older adults are vaccinated against COVID-19 throughout the community may indicate how such controlling strategies may affect the process of interaction between fear and behavioral aspects of prevention in this population. The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation. This study was approved by the Ethical Committee of Taipei Medical University (registered number: TMU-JIRB N202005044). The patients/participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study. 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