key: cord-0825197-s8rfja63 authors: Vukojević, Jakša; Sušac, Jelena; Brečić, Petrana title: Psychosis and pandemics: is there a secret protector? date: 2020-06-09 journal: Psychiatry Res DOI: 10.1016/j.psychres.2020.113199 sha: ccd77370b27790f060a8aa87fdfce6ee2a678bcb doc_id: 825197 cord_uid: s8rfja63 nan During the past few months, it seems that COVID-19 is the focus of everything we read and discuss. There has been an evident surge in research papers concerning the COVID-19 outbreak. Although authors have covered a wide range of topics concerning COVID-19 and mental health, no research has been done examining the incidence of psychiatric disorders in general or psychotic spectrum disorders during the pandemic. The available literature states that social distancing measures will inevitably increase loneliness, isolation, and anxiety and that the response to such situations is complex (de Medeiros Carvalho et al., 2020) . Home isolation also increases financial pressure as the economic fallout of the outbreak worsens, and individuals face unemployment and housing instability (de Medeiros Carvalho et al., 2020) . Individuals with preexisting mental disorders have a higher chance of symptom exacerbation or impaired functioning due to increased stress and fear caused by the outbreak. All of these factors are known risk factors for both the onset of and the exacerbation of psychotic symptoms. Another possible risk factor for the development of psychosis can be derived from the known correlation between virus pandemics and the prevalence of schizophrenia; there is an ongoing debate as to whether or not viruses have neurotropic properties and can cause psychotic symptoms. Adding to all of this, Zagreb was confronted with another challenge, an earthquake. The earthquake happened in the midst of isolation measures, early on Sunday, March 22nd of 2020. The earthquake had a Richter magnitude of 5.5; the maximum intensity felt according to the Modified Mercalli intensity scale was VII (very strong). Numerous aftershocks followed the earthquake, the strongest of which had a magnitude of 5.0 on the Richter scale, making this the strongest earthquake in Zagreb since the year 1880, causing substantial damage in the historical city center. One would assume that two such high-stress events happening at the same time would trigger an increase in psychiatric patient admissions, both those with preexisting conditions and those seeking help for the first time. Our hospital, the largest psychiatric hospital in Croatia, however, had a decline in admissions rates during the pandemic. The situation did not change after the earthquake; there was no statistically significant increase in overall admission rates, nor was there an increase seen in the admission rates of patients with psychotic spectrum disorders. A similar phenomenon was observed not long ago, during the Croatian War of Independence in the 1990s. During the war years, Croatian psychiatrists documented that the admission rates of patients with psychotic spectrum disorders did not change during the first four months of the war (in the year 1991) in comparison to the same four months preceding the war (in the year 1989) when our capital was in imminent danger (Jukić et al., 1992) . One has to wonder why this is so. It would seem logical that psychiatric disorders, in general, especially psychotic spectrum disorders, would be a more common occurrence during difficult times full of uncertainty, accompanied by high levels of stress. Interestingly enough, highstress events don't lead to higher admission rates of psychotic patients; this was documented after World Wars (Linden et al., 2012) and following the Great recession (Dagher et al., 2015) . We know, however, that war and similar catastrophic events have psychological effects, the onset of which is often delayed by a few months, if not more. This has been reported after the occurrence of different types of catastrophic events, including epidemics. One could hardly argue that prolonged exposure to stress could in any way be a protective factor, as it is known that the rates of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) are increased in people with psychosis in comparison to the general population. A possible explanation can be found in contagion psychology theories, by various authors from Gustave to Ogunlade (Duan et al., 2019) . These authors hypothesized that people, on an unconscious level, tend to mirror the expression of emotions and behavior of the crowd; they come to feel and behave similarly to the overall crowd (Duan et al., 2019) . The more uncertain and stressful the events are, the more prominent this phenomenon is; an example is the H1N1 pandemic (Duan et al., 2019) , thus enforcing the notion that there is something collective keeping us sane. Examined from an evolutionary perspective, psychosis can be considered a natural defense mechanism, a crucial one for an individual leaving a familiar setting and venturing out on his/her own (Scheepers et al., 2018) . This theory complements the contagion psychology theory; staying at home, surrounded by close family, instead of being exposed to a new and changing environment, silences the need for the manifestation of psychoses as the proposed evolutionary defense mechanism (Scheepers et al., 2018) . The catchphrase "we are in this together" now has a deeper meaning as this kind of behavior seems to have a profound impact on our psyche and is potentially a protective factor. Once again, it seems that the herd offers more protection than just immunity. Jakša Vukojević 1 , MD, Jelena Sušac 1 , MD, Petrana Brečić 1 , MD, PhD, assistant professor 1 University psychiatric hospital Vrapče, Bolnička cesta 32, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia Table 1 . Number of F20-F29 diagnosis admissions in the University Psychiatric Hospital Vrapce during the tri-month period (February, March, April) in the last eight years. The psychiatric impact of the novel coronavirus outbreak Gender differences in mental health outcomes before, during, and after the Great Recession Societal, Public, and [Emotional] Epidemiological Aspects of a Pandemic The influence of war on the structure of hospitalized patients at the psychiatric department of Zagreb medical faculty. Socijalna psihijatrija The neurological manifestations of trauma: lessons from World War I Psychosis as an evolutionary adaptive mechanism to changing environments Writing-Original draft preparation. Jelena Sušac: Conceptualization, Literature research, Writing-Original draft preparation. Petrana Brečić: Supervision, Writing-Reviewing and Editing