key: cord-0762341-928gq7v1 authors: Paul, Alak; Nath, Tapan Kumar; Mahanta, Janardan; Sultana, Naznin Nahar; Kayes, A. S. M. Imrul; Noon, Sharifa Jahan; Jabed, Md. Akib; Podder, Sumana; Paul, Sujat title: Psychological and Livelihood Impacts of COVID-19 on Bangladeshi Lower Income People date: 2020-12-08 journal: Asia Pac J Public Health DOI: 10.1177/1010539520977304 sha: 6ee567b9d566f23fc7459cae8f01d925a88aea4c doc_id: 762341 cord_uid: 928gq7v1 The objective of this research is to understand the psychological and livelihood-related impacts of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on Bangladeshi lower income group people who depend on daily earnings for their living. Following the convenience sampling method, 576 respondents were interviewed for quantitative data and 30 in-depth interviews for qualitative information in several districts of Bangladesh. To 94.1% respondents, livelihood has been affected by the COVID-19 outbreak with an overall score of 3.20 ± 0.77 on a 4-point Likert-type scale. In comparison to unemployed respondents, daily workers have been hardly affected by the COVID-19 outbreak (odds ratio [OR] = 7.957; P < .01), and so they are going outside more frequently in search of jobs (OR = 9.984, P < .01). Due to fear of COVID-19 infection and lack of livelihood means, respondents (76.6%) have been stressed out (overall score 3.19 ± 0.81 on a 4-point Likert-type scale), and those working in industries (OR = 5.818, P < .01), farmers (OR = 3.029, P < .05), and day laborers (OR = 2.651, P < .05) have been highly stressed. livelihood was high to extreme, which indicates that the lower income people were getting more marginalized than before and becoming a member of the hardcore poor due to the pandemic. The global impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID- 19) pandemic is expanding daily on the poor due to job loss and other shocks to income and diminished livelihoods. 1 The most vulnerable portion of society includes poorer households and those dependent on informal employment. It includes casual day laborers, small-scale producers, and many more who have less access to social protection because of a smaller amount of savings or limited alternative sources of income both in urban and rural settings. 2 In rural areas, poor people are at risk of losing their prime income source as they cannot sell their agricultural products or are incapable of storing their produce or have difficulties in the process of producing new products. On the other hand, in the urban context, poor people are completely dependent on incomes from labor or self-employment. The shocks and stresses of the COVID-19 crisis worldwide are leading to devastating socioeconomic disruptions of people and both lives and livelihoods are at risk due to this pandemic. 3 Tens of thousands of people are losing their income and falling into the trap of impending poverty, as a direct consequence of the economic crisis. Recent statistics of the International Labour Organisation revealed that because of the coronavirus pandemic, 50% of the global workforce may lose their livelihoods, as 1.6 billion workers in the informal economy are at immediate risk of losing their income source. 4 Furthermore, the number of people living in poverty will increase by 2% for every percentage point of global economic slowdown. 5 Sumner et al estimated that COVID-19 could lead to an increase in global poverty for the first time since 1990. 6 Overall, socioeconomic conditions of the mass of people in developing nations, forced lockdown without ensuring the fundamental human needs, weak governance, communication, infrastructure, and health care facilities would create public anxiety and disturbance in life. 7 The mental health and well-being of all societies have severely been affected by this crisis and many people are distressed due to the immediate health impacts of the virus and the consequences of physical isolation, fear of losing loved ones, and fear of death from hunger. [8] [9] [10] [11] In Bangladesh, the first COVID-19 positive case was reported on March 8, 2020. 12 Just a month later, the number of affected people rose to 164, 13 and as of November 2, 2020, total number of positive cases reported was 409 252, and of them, 5941 people died in this pandemic in the country. 14 Just within 7 months, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 has infected a substantial number of citizens and the virus is still transmitting among people like a chain reaction. The ongoing pandemic will not only affect the national economy but also the financial status of millions of families in Bangladesh. 15 Due to the lockdown, marginal people such as rickshaw-pullers, day-laborers, domestic workers, transport workers, street vendors, and construction laborers have already been experiencing jobless condition and they are the worst sufferers of this outbreak. 11 Moreover, the lockdown hit hard low-and middle-income people who have lost their jobs and income sources that ultimately resulted in psychological anxiety, stress, and fear of death from hunger. 16, 17 The press reported that the average earnings of daily breadwinners in cities and rural areas of Bangladesh have declined by almost 80% since the coronavirus outbreak. 18 The aim of this research was to investigate the psychological and livelihood impacts of COVID-19 on Bangladeshi lower income group people. By "lower-income group people of Bangladesh" we mean those people who depend on daily earnings for their living. These people are generally daily wage laborers, unemployed, small vendors or having informal jobs, and daily income is generally not higher than the national poverty line (US$2 per day). These people comprise about 31% of the total population in Bangladesh. 19 We expect that the findings of this research would help relevant authorities to undertake measures for the well-being of lower income group of people in this pandemic. This study was conducted across Bangladesh targeting a lower income group of people (mostly daily income earners) in suburban areas. Because these fractions of people usually have limited access to the Internet, we opted to conduct physical interviews maintaining at least 2 m distance. We followed convenience sampling to select respondents because this is the most common nonprobability sampling strategy where respondents are selected in an ad hoc fashion based on their accessibility. We employed a number of field assistants for data collection and briefed them about interview protocol (e.g. safe distancing, wearing masks, etc). This study used both quantitative and qualitative approaches for the primary data collection. For quantitative data collection, we used a pretested structured questionnaire having 13 questions divided into three parts-(1) sociodemographic information of the respondents (gender, age, education, and occupation), (2) psychological (stress, level of stress, and panic), and (3) livelihood impact (going outside for job, receiving relief and frequency, help from others, impacts on livelihood, and level of impact). Instead of income, we used occupation as a proxy to identify lower income people because people may not disclose their income data. For assessing the level of stress and level of livelihood impact, we have applied a 4-point Likert-type scale (1 = little, 2 = moderate, 3 = high, and 4 = extreme). The questionnaire was prepared in English and then translated into Bangla, the national language of Bangladesh. We approached respondents randomly and those who (18 years and over) agreed were interviewed. We briefly described the aims of the research to the selected respondents and their verbal consent was noted. The response rate was approximately 75%. On an average, each interview took about 15 minutes. Interviews were held at road sides, premises of small bazars, agri-farms, and tea stalls. A total of 576 respondents were interviewed in several districts of the country from March 30, 2020, to May 17, 2020. A sample size of 576 was found satisfactory at 95% confidence level and ±5% margin of error. 20 We conducted 30 in-depth interviews randomly chosen from aforementioned samples for qualitative data gathering. A check-list consisting of a few open-ended questions was prepared to facilitate the interviews. The questions were related to the mental stress and the livelihoods of the respondents. The ethical review committee of Chittagong Medical College, Bangladesh, approved this research (Memo No. CMC/ PG/2020/96). In analyzing data, descriptive statistics (frequency and percentage) of responses were estimated. Scores of the level of livelihood impact and level of stress were the means of a 4-point Likert-type scale used. The mean difference between/ among the categories of different sociodemographic characteristics with scores of the level livelihood and anxiety were compared with independent samples t test and one-way analysis of variance/F test. Besides, associations between different attributes of livelihood and anxiety with different sociodemographic characteristics were shown using the χ 2 test. Furthermore, logistic regressions were run taking significant predictors in the χ 2 test. Variables with more than 2 classes have been grouped into 2 categories for regressions (Supplementary Table 1 , available online). Contrarily, qualitative data were described using respondents' narratives. The majority of respondents were men (54.7%) and aged 18 to 50 years (82.8%; Table 1 ). Most of them (33.3%) had no formal education and 31.4% were within primary level of education, which is the general feature of the education level of the poor people in Bangladesh. Moreover, the characteristics of lower income people of Bangladesh are also evident from respondents' occupation status. A big portion of them (unemployed and homemakers) had no income. About 21% of them were daily workers and another 23.3% had small businesses, such as small grocery shops and tea stalls. The government of Bangladesh imposed statewide general holidays and lockdown from the middle of March 2020, which had a negative impact on the livelihoods of the general public, especially on lower income people who usually have a hand to mouth existence. This study found that 94.1% of the respondents' livelihood was affected by the COVID-19 outbreak ( Table 2 ). To 83% of respondents, the level of livelihood impact was high to extreme. This level of impact indicates that the lower income people were getting more marginalized than before and were becoming a member of hardcore poor due to COVID-19. A 29-year-old housemaid stated, The score (mean score of a 4-point Likert-type scale) for the level of livelihood impact was significantly different across sociodemographic variables (Table 3 ). An overall livelihood score of 3.20 ± 0.77 indicates that the livelihood impact of COVID-19 on respondents was high to extreme. This score was significantly different (P < .01) between/among gender, age, and occupation. However, the results of logistic regression reveal that level of livelihood impact was prominent in occupation groups ( Although the government declared general holidays and lockdown asking the public to stay at home in order to control the spread of COVID-19, needy people could not follow this restriction. As Bangladesh is a poverty-stricken country, the life of the poor was vulnerable due to the lockdown situation. Few days after general holidays/lockdown, the public started to move outside in search of means of livelihood. We found that 57% respondents were going outside everyday for jobs and another 26% went sometimes ( To lessen the financial burden, the government provided assistance in terms of both kind (eg rice, oil, sugar, etc) and cash to the needy public in the country. However, our findings show that 53% of the respondents did not receive any such assistance during the COVID-19 outbreak ( Table 2 ). Only 28.3% of the respondents said "yes" and another 18.6% received assistance sometimes. Among those who received the government's relief, only 11.8% of them received once in a week and 46.2% received just once. Another 42% of them received once in every 2 weeks. This means that respondents did not receive the government's assistance regularly. However, 29.5% of the respondents reported that they got help from other agencies (nongovernmental organizations) and individuals. A 39-year-old farmer reported: I received government relief once in the last 2 months through our area representative. We need more support as we depend on our everyday earning. I don't have any savings, so I expect more aid from different people including the government. Three attributes (eg stress, level of stress, and panic) were evaluated to understand the psychological impact of COVID-19 on lower income people ( Table 2 ). The majority of the respondents (76.6%) said that they were feeling stressed due to the outbreak of COVID-19 and another 9.7% were not sure of COVID-19's stress. Of those who reported they were stressed, 89.9% of them were high to extremely stressful and only 1.1% of them reported having little stress. From qualitative interviews, we understood that many of them lost their jobs and income due to lockdown, and the borrowed loan from relatives, friends, or others ultimately made them stressed. A garment worker (39 years old) expressed her feelings in the following way: We are suffering from different mental stresses as we have no cash in hand; don't know how we will face the future; cannot even sleep properly at night. It is better to die of coronavirus than hunger. Most people cannot take a proper meal, they eat only once daily. We are scared of our future; if the situation continues, we would not survive. Most poor (people) have been passing a horrible time as most of them borrowed money to manage their everyday meals. Debt is increasing. Only God knows what will happen. The overall score of the level of stress which was 3.19 ± 0.81 indicates that the respondents were high to extremely stressful ( Table 3 ). The score of the level of stress was significantly different among respondents of different age and occupation groups. Respondents working in industries and daily laborers were found to be more stressed. Similarly, higher scores were noticed for respondents within 31 to 50 years old who are the earning members of families. A day laborer (55 years old) mentioned: The poor people are the worst sufferers as they have become jobless. I am worried too much. There is no end to our sorrows. I used to earn daily before the coronavirus outbreak, but now I do not have a regular income. As the disease has been spreading widely, will I be able to do my work in the coming days? Fear of COVID-19 infection, lack of jobs and income, all these had made respondents' life panic stricken. More than 70% of the respondents reported to be in panic. A slum dweller woman (33 years old) expressed her feelings: Corona is the name of a fear. People are dying in different countries from this virus. This is a curse from God. In the slum, poor people live in a small house; have no way to maintain social distancing, washing hands again and again, and using gloves. We will be the most infected person as we are poor. We have very limited access to a doctor or hospital because of our financial constraints. The results of logistic regressions also support the above psychological impact of COVID- 19 This research looked at the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the livelihood and the psychological stress of lower income people of suburban Bangladesh. An overwhelming percentage of the respondents reported that due to COVID-19's lockdown, it was hard for them to find a job to maintain the daily family expenses. The effects of COVID-19 pandemic are not only limited to health but also have a major impact on the social and economic aspects. 21 Reports expressed that the COVID-19 would badly affect the livelihood of almost half of the global workforce both in cities and rural areas. 22, 23 It was reported that more than 10 million people will be further marginalized due to the loss of wages and jobs in Bangladesh. 24 Bodrud-Doza et al reported that many low-and middle-income people of Bangladesh will lose their jobs and income sources due to COVID-19 outbreaks. 16 In the past outbreaks also, it was noticed that the poor and underprivileged people were seen to suffer the most from the prevalence of any infectious disease. 25, 26 In order to support the socioeconomic situation of the country during the COVID-19 outbreak, the government had declared stimulus packages and social safety net programs. However, the economic stimulus programs were designed for large industries and service sectors. 27 Nonetheless, on a priority basis, the financial incentives should be given to the poverty-stricken disadvantaged communities first. 16 Our study found that only a small fraction of the respondents received government support occasionally. Shammi et al reported that the ultra-poor are often being left out of the relief program during the disasters. 11 A sense of governance from public service providers is indispensable to ensure that benefits from the government's social safety net programs reach needy people. This is also important, during this unusual period, to think of alternative small-scale enterprises where people can take part from home and earn a minimum income for their subsistence. Relevant authorities, both government and private, can come forward to initiate/support such endeavors. If these happen, public movement would be reduced and community transmission of COVID-19 could be controlled. Due to the opening of economic activities and uncontrolled movement of people, positive cases of COVID-19 in Bangladesh have still remained more than a thousand every day (1320 confirmed cases on November 2, 2020), though the daily reported cases were more than 3000 during June-July of the same year. 14 Limited economic opportunities, restricted movement, less scope of meeting relatives, friends, and neighbors from whom they used to seek help in emergencies, fear of being infected by COVID-19, and lack of confirmed support from the government-all had made lower income peoples' life vulnerable and stressful. A large percentage of the respondents of this study were worried about their survival due to the absence of regular income. They were struggling to maintain their personal hygiene because of financial constraints and so became alarmed with the fear of being infected by COVID-19. In any epidemic and emergencies, it is common for individuals to feel stressed, panicked, and weakened social networks. 8, 9 Rajkumar highlighted the need for mental health services, particularly for vulnerable populations, and the strengthening of social networks to reduce the adverse psychological impact of any outbreak. 10 The mental health and well-being of whole societies have been severely affected by the COVID-19 crisis and are a priority to be addressed urgently. 8 Adoption of a "Wholeof-Society" approach in COVID-19 national response to promote, protect, and care for mental well-being is essential because it improves the quality of programming, enhances coping skills of the public during the crisis, reduces suffering, and is likely to speed up the recovery and rebuilding of communities. 8,9 The COVID-19 pandemic has brought huge socioeconomic and psychological sufferings in human life all over the world. Even though all groups of people in society have been affected, the lower income people have become more vulnerable. In developing countries, where the majority of the people depend on their daily income, the COVID-19 outbreak has threatened their subsistence. The absence of livelihood means, fear of getting infected by coronavirus, and insufficient government's assistance has made their livelihood vulnerable and life stressful. In order to contain the coronavirus transmission, the public movement needs to be controlled, which requires measures such as lockdown, isolation, and social distancing. For effective implementation of these measures in a densely populated country like Bangladesh, underprivileged people should be provided with essential government assistance during a particular period. Otherwise, disease transmission would prolong and this might have a long-term impact on the country. This research was an initiative to quickly discern the impact of COVID-19 on the psychological condition and livelihood of lower income people in Bangladesh. This research had some limitations. First, it interviewed only 576 people in several districts of Bangladesh. So, it may not be reasonable to generalize the results in the whole country. Further studies can be conducted with more participants distributed throughout the country. Second, we considered only a limited number of variables to understand the impact. However, future studies can accommodate more variables of psychological and livelihood impact so that a general scenario of the impact can be produced extensively. How pandemics leave the poor even farther behind Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations COVID-19 and livelihoods Hunger or coronavirus-who will get us first? Accessed As COVID-19 spreads, no major concern for global food security yet Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty Exploring COVID-19 stress and its factors in Bangladesh: a perception-based study Policy brief: COVID-19 and the need for action on mental health Interim briefing note: addressing mental health and psychosocial aspects of COVID-19 outbreak COVID-19 and mental health: a review of the existing literature COVID-19 pandemic, socioeconomic crisis and human stress in resource-limited settings: a case from Bangladesh The Daily Star. First coronavirus cases confirmed World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situation report-79 DGHS. Coronavirus COVID-19 dashboard COVID-19 threatens to cause a humanitarian crisis Psychosocial and socio-economic crisis in Bangladesh due to COVID-19 pandemic: a perception-based assessment Student suicide risk and gender: a retrospective study from Bangladeshi press reports Coronavirus: poor income drops 80% in Bangladesh Socio-economic status of patients with acute coronary syndrome: data from a district-level general hospital of Bangladesh Determining sample size for research activities COVID-19-related suicides in Bangladesh due to lockdown and economic factors: case study evidence from media reports Economic and welfare effects of COVID-19 and responses in Ethiopia: initial insights Half of world's workers "at immediate risk of losing livelihood due to coronavirus To open or not to open: lockdown exit strategies can help COVID-19 impact on Indian economy and health: the emergence of corona-economics The benefits and costs of social distancing in rich and poor countries How will the COVID-19 stimulus package be implemented? We thank Monjurul Alam of Institute of Modern Language, Chittagong University, for English edits. Conceptualization: Alak Paul, Tapan Kumar Nath. Methodology: Tapan Kumar Nath, Janardan Mahanta, and Alak Paul. Formal analysis and investigation: Janardan Mahanta, A. S. M. Imrul Kayes, Sharifa Jahan Noon, Sumana Podder, and Sujat Paul. Writing-original draft preparation: Alak Paul, Naznin Nahar Sultana, and Akib Jabed. Writing-review and editing: Tapan Kumar Nath, Janardan Mahanta, Akib Jabed, and Alak Paul. Supervision: Alak Paul, Tapan Kumar Nath. The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. The Ethical Review Committee of Chittagong Medical College, Bangladesh, approved this research (Memo No. CMC/PG/2020/96). Respondents' verbal consent was taken. Alak Paul https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8934-8182Md. Akib Jabed https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7109-5137 Supplemental material for this article is available online.