key: cord-0732282-bf9ld49c authors: Wang, Dee Dee; O’Neill, William W.; Zervos, Marcus J.; McKinnon, John E.; Allard, David; Alangaden, George J.; Schultz, Lonni R.; Poisson, Laila M.; Chu, Betty S.; Kalkanis, Steven N.; Suleyman, Geehan title: Association Between Implementation of a Universal Face Mask Policy for Healthcare Workers in a Health Care System and SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Testing Rate in Healthcare Workers date: 2021-02-15 journal: J Occup Environ Med DOI: 10.1097/jom.0000000000002174 sha: 8c5aa45815c363d7dc7079826bd97de6cf864c86 doc_id: 732282 cord_uid: bf9ld49c OBJECTIVE: Examine the effect of a universal facemask policy for healthcare workers (HCW) and incidence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) positivity. METHODS: Daily number of symptomatic HCW tested, SARS-CoV-2 positivity rates, and HCW job-descriptions were collected pre and post Universal HCW facemask policy (March 26, 2020). Multiple change point regression was used to model positive-test-rate data. SARS-CoV-2 testing and positivity rates were compared for pre-intervention, transition, post-intervention, and follow-up periods. RESULTS: Between March 12 and August 10, 2020, 19.2% of HCW were symptomatic for COVID-19 and underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing. A single change point was identified ∼March 28–30 (95% probability). Before the change point, the odds of a tested HCW having a positive result doubled every 4.5 to 7.5 days. Post-change-point, the odds of a tested HCW having a positive result halved every 10.5 to 13.5 days. CONCLUSIONS: Universal facemasks were associated with reducing HCW's risk of acquiring COVID-19. D uring the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic, hospitals were paralyzed by lack of healthcare workers (HCW) due to hospital acquired infections. 1 One control measure found useful then was use of cloth facemasks. 2,3 A century later, similar to the 1918 flu pandemic, healthcare workers serving the frontline in the coronavirus pandemic remain most exposed and vulnerable to infection. HCW have a threefold increased risk of reporting testing positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) compared with the general population. 4 Early reports between January and March, 2020, in the pandemic from China and Italy found up to 30% of HCW developed COVID-19. 5, 6 As of December 21, 2020, the CDC reported 287,010 HCW have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 with 953 (0.33%) HCW COVID-19 related deaths. 7 However, the number of HCWs infected with SARS-CoV-2 and deaths from COVID-19 is under-reported and infection rates among HCWs based on occupation type are limited. 7, 8 Both mainstream and social media outlets have reported controversies surrounding universal facemask policies as there are limited data available reflective of potential associations between facemask policies, type of facemasks to be used, and SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst HCW in high-prevalence areas of infection. [9] [10] [11] Between March and April 2020, the State of Michigan ranked 3rd amongst all States in the United States for confirmed COVID-19 cases. 12 Within the span of this 1 month, more than 2000 HCW across multiple southeast Michigan health systems were confirmed or suspected to have COVID-19. 13 Metro-Detroit was identified as Michigan's COVID-19 epicenter. As a result of the rapid COVID-19 outbreak among HCW, Henry Ford Health System (HFHS), a large tertiary medical center serving the metro-Detroit and Southeast Michigan population, consisting of six hospitals and over 33,500 HCW, implemented a universal facemask policy for HCWon March 26, 2020 . The policy included providing surgical/procedural masks to team members while working in the hospital facilities or community on behalf of the health system and securing personal protection equipment (ie, N95masks, gowns, goggles/faceshields) for all staff who were directly caring for COVID-19 suspected or positive patients. 14 This project evaluated the association of a facemask policy with SARS-CoV-2 infection in HCW in a COVID-19 hotspot. The Henry Ford Health System Institutional Review Board reviewed and approved this quality improvement project and informed consent was waved. All HCW entering HFHS facilities underwent daily health screening questionnaire for symptoms of COVID-19 in accordance with HFHS infection control implemented Employee COVID Entrance Screening Policy. HCWs exhibiting symptoms consistent with COVID-19 infection were referred for SARS-CoV-2 testing via reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing of upper respiratory nasopharyngeal specimens. HCWs who tested positive between March 12 and August 10 were included in the study. The daily number of HCW tested across HFHS, the number of positive SARS-CoV-2 tests, and HCW job descriptions were collected via an internal hospital quality metric reporting analytics database (COVID-19 Analytics Database) that was not associated with the electronic medical records. All test results were verified by HFHS Employee Health and Infection Control prior to inclusion in the COVID-19 Analytics Database. No personal identifying information is accessible, nor linked to HCW test results in this database. No attempts were made to identify HCW. Data are presented as daily summarized de-identified numbers. The daily number of COVID-19 related hospitalizations within the health system were collected. The daily number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the state of Michigan were tabulated from publicly available reporting by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services. 15 Daily testing counts capture the HCWs who were sampled for a SARS-CoV-2 test on that day. Positive tests are attributed to the date in which the sample was collected. Positivity rate was defined as the first positive test result for all HCWs in the numerator and total number of HCWs who were tested that day in the denominator. In HCWs who were tested multiple times during the study period, only the initial positive test was included. Daily testing data were collected from March 12 through August 10, 2020. Four phases were identified for analysis: a pre-intervention phase; a transition period, allowing for passage of a 14-day incubation period from time of universal HCW facemask policy implementation; a postintervention period; and a follow-up period. Since the State of Michigan lifted its Stay-at-Home order on June 1, 2020, SARS-COV2 PCR test results from March 12 (day 0) through June 1 were used for modeling analysis and testing data from June 2 through August 10 were considered for follow-up. Multiple change point regression was used to model the positive test rate data (R v 4.0.4, mcp package v 0.3.0 18, 19 ). Unweighted linear, logistic, and probit regression models were considered with one or two change points, both with and without continuity at those change points. Default priors were used with a burn-in of 5000 iterations. The Gelman-Rubin convergence diagnostic (Rhat) was considered for each of the model parameters. 20 Comparison of the expected log pointwise predictive density (ELPD) between models, estimated by leave-one-out cross validation, 21 was used to assess parsimony. The presence of outlying Pareto k estimates (k > 0.7), was considered as evidence of potential model misspecification. The logistic regression model with one change point and no discontinuity was selected as the best fit to these data. This model was parsimonious with four parameters, had robust convergence (Rhat ¼ 1.0 for all parameters), and no evidence of misspecification (Pareto k < 0.5). Figure 1 depicts the modeled curve for the expected positivity rates, drawn from the median posterior predicted values of the multiple change point model (reddashed line), with observed positivity proportions overlaid. From the identified change point we created windows of potential intervention (up to 2 days prior; pre-intervention), transition/incubation period (14 days), post-intervention, and follow-up. A Chi-square test of independence was used to assess association between studied time intervals and job class. Comparisons of proportions of patterns and positive testing were conducted between each studied time interval and within job category using Chi-square tests. Differences in proportions are given along with their 95% confidence intervals. Of interest were changes between pre-and post-intervention, and between post-intervention and follow-up periods. Between March 12, 2020 (day 0) and June 1, 2020, the number of tests performed per day ranged from 2 to 176, with 0% to 53.8% of the tests returning as positive. In Fig. 1 , the proportion of HCW positive tests per day is indicated with varying sized circles, for which the diameter relates to the number of tests conducted that day. The red-dash line depicts the two modeled logistic curves for With identification of the change point period by changepoint analysis, four phases were then identified for in-depth evaluation: a pre-intervention phase from March 12 to March 26, 2020; a transition period from March 27 to April 8, 2020, allowing for passage of a 14-day incubation period for any pre-exposed HCW who had not yet developed symptoms; a post-intervention period from April 9 to June 1, 2020; and a follow-up period from June 2, 2020 to August 10, 2020. The incubation period (defined as period of exposure to manifestation of symptoms) ranges from 2 to 14 days. 22 We thereby propose that policies implemented by March 26 were influential for the March 28-30 change point. A total of 6429 (19.2%) of 33,538 HCW were tested during the study period. Overall SARS-CoV-2 testing by HCW job function Table 1 . The proportion of testing was greater among Physicians and Administrative Support personnel in the pre-intervention interval than the transition or post-intervention intervals. Conversely, the proportion of testing was greater among Nursing and Allied Health Professionals in the transition and postintervention intervals (Table 1) . A total 6429 (19.2%) of 33,538 employees were tested, of whom 1016 (15.8%) tested positive. The number of infected workers represents approximately 3.0% of the workforce. Positivity rates varied based on HCW job category. Cumulatively, Nursing positivity rate was 20.8% (474/2278), Allied Health Professional's positivity rate was 14.07% (120/853), and Administrative Support's (nonclinical) positivity rate was 17.93% (97/541). Physicians had a positivity rate of 9.11% (52/571); of these, 22 of 52 (42.3%) were identified as Trainees (Table 2) . SARS-CoV-2 testing results amongst non-Physician and non-Nursing HCW were additionally evaluated (Table 3) . Cumulatively, these patient-centered HCW job functions also had elevated positivity rates. Notably, the top three job categories were Patient Advocate HCW with the highest positivity rate at 26.58%, followed by Dietary HCW at 21.28%, and Environmental Services HCW at 19.47% (Table 3) . A comparison of positivity rates between the pre-universal facemask policy for HCW intervention interval and the post-intervention interval showed a decrease of 7.8% in positivity for Nursing (95% CI: 1.9 to 13.7; Chi-square P ¼ 0.0059), a decrease of 12.0% for Allied Health Professionals (95% CI: 3.09 to 20.9; Chi-square P ¼ 0.0022), and a decrease of 34.1% for Administrative Support (95% CI: 21.4 to 46.6; Chi-square P < 0.0001). Among Physicians, a comparison of positivity rates between the pre-intervention and the post-intervention interval showed an increase of 6.0% among Senior Staff Physicians (95% CI: -3.1 to 15.1; Chi-square P ¼ 0.1938) and an increase of 9.4% for Resident Physicians (95% CI: -2.5 to 21.3; Chi-square P ¼ 0.0844). Among all HCW tested, we observed an 11.1% decrease in SARS-CoV-2 positivity between the pre-and post-intervention intervals (95% CI: 7.8 to 14.4; Chi-square P < 0.0001) ( Table 4 ). Pre-and post-intervention HCW positivity rates were additionally analyzed for a follow-up period of 2 months (June 2 to August 10) after the State of Michigan's stay at home order was lifted to see if any observed effects were sustained (Table 4 ). Four HCW job categories were identified as having high risk of directpatient exposure; Nursing, Allied Health Professional, Administrative-Support, and Physicians. Subgroup analysis was performed to evaluate rate of HCW positivity from post-intervention to follow-up according to these job categories (Table 4 ). There was an additional statistically significant decline in HCW SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate between the post-intervention, and follow-up period among Nursing, Allied Health Professionals, and Administrative Support HCW. There was no statistically significant change among Senior and Resident Physician HCW between the pre-and postuniversal facemask policy intervention period (Chi-square P ¼ 0.1938 and P ¼ 0.0844, respectively), but demonstration of statistically significant change between the post-intervention and follow-up period (senior physician P ¼ 0.0064, Resident Physician P ¼ 0.0175). This study describes the rate of SARS-CoV-2 infections among HCWs based on job category and impact of universal face masking in a multicenter academic institution during the COVID-19 epidemic in Southeast Michigan. During the COVID epidemic, nearly one-fourth of the HFHS workforce was symptomatic and tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection. The number of HCW tested largely correlated with the disease burden in the health system. The positivity rate among our HCWs is similar to rates reported by the CDC in their morbidity and mortality publication. 23 Per the CDC, positivity rates were higher among nursing HCW, accounting for $30% of infections among 5913 HCWs with available occupation data. 23 The higher rate of infection among Nurses and Support Staff, including Medical or Nursing Assistants, is attributed to the frequent, close contact with patients increasing their exposure risk to SARS-CoV-2. Of note, within the HFHS, there were high rates of positivity among non-clinical staff who were tested. Non-clinical staff may have had exposure to coworkers, household members, or other persons in the community. 24, 25 Additionally, the surge in volume of COVID-19 patients required significant measures to ramp up HFHS's hospital bed capacity. This involved reassigning and deploying HCW employees into new roles to respond to the surge crisis. The associated HCW job function and location reassignment may have increased the frequency and duration of non-clinical staff's face-to-face contact with patients (Table 3) . Overall, Physicians had lower volume of testing and rate of infection compared with Nursing and Allied Health. 26 The model indicates that positivity rate for SARS-CoV-2 in HCW was increasing rapidly in March, with a doubling time of 4.5 to 7.5 days. This increasing trend peaked at about March 29, approximately 3 days after HFHS communicated a universal facemask policy among HCW. After allowing a 14-day transition period, we observed a steady decline of positivity rate among HCW. It is notable that while the HFHS daily COVID-19 inpatient census follows the pattern of new case detection in the state, the HCW positivity rate reached a maximum approximately 9 days ahead of the hospital's peak census (April 7, 2020). This would suggest that other factors were at play beyond those affecting the general population. The greatest declines on HCW positivity rates were noted to be amongst Nursing, Allied Health Professionals, and Administrative (non-clinical support) HCW. Amongst Physicians, there was an absence of statistical significance in change in SARS-CoV-2 positivity between the pre-and post-intervention period. Multiple factors may account for this aberrancy among Physicians. First year Interns and Medical Students were not allowed to care for patients with COVID-19 during the COVID surge. Additionally, the number of HCWs managing COVID-19 patients, including nonessential staff and Physicians, was restricted to minimize exposure and conserve personal protection equipment (PPE) due to a nationwide shortage, which remains a challenge for many health systems. 27, 28 Consulting Physicians managed patients virtually, thus limiting frequent, close contact with patients. Lastly, Physicians are not commonly the first point of contact for patients seeking medical care. This clinical workflow algorithm of patients first registering at hospitals, proceeding through nursing triage, likely identified and placed patients with suspected COVID-19 in isolation prior to the first Physician contact. With this retrospective data we can see association, or correlation, but cannot imply causation. Limitations to this study include the inability to separate the impact of masks from the many hospital implemented infection control measures such as creation of single patient rooms, reduction in elective procedures, conversion to virtual clinic visits, and overall HCW accumulated experience with COVID-19 management and use of personal protection equipment. Changes in testing procedures and availability of testing over time are also unable to be accounted for in this retrospective analysis (however there was a decline in number of cases despite increased testing). The impact of utilization of drive-through testing for SARS-CoV-2 and triaging suspected COVID-19 patients in makeshift tent facilities outside the emergency room are additionally unable to be assessed, as both may have led to a significant decrease in exposure in our facilities. Lastly, breakdown of HCW occupational data is limited to human resources labeled job description and may not account for HCW reassignment during the COVID-19 surge to other healthcare responsibilities/locations. However, we saw a significant decline between the odds of a HCW having a positive SARS-CoV-2 positive result before and after the change point period which is unlikely to be completely biased, and has been noted in other health systems with similar universal facemask policies for HCW. 26 In an already stressed healthcare system, it is unlikely a randomized clinical trial will be performed evaluating efficacy of universal facemask policies for healthcare workers in this pandemic. Given the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic, healthcare workers remain at risk of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection. This study supports the use of universal facemasks as part of a multi-tiered health system approach to reduce healthcare workers risk of acquiring COVID-19. This data adds support to the CDC's policy of wearing facemasks to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2. 29 Hospital's full-up'': the 1918 influenza pandemic Nonpharmaceutical interventions implemented by US cities during the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic The Mask Slackers of 1918 Risk of COVID-19 among frontline health-care workers and the general community: a prospective cohort study COVID-19: protecting health-care workers Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan Data and Surveillance Exclusive: deaths of NHS staff from covid-19 analysed Association between universal masking in a health care system and SARS-CoV-2 positivity among health care workers Universal masking in hospitals in the Covid-19 era Universal masking is an effective strategy to flatten the SARS-2-CoV healthcare worker epidemiologic curve Michigan drops out of top 10 states for confirmed COVID-19 cases. The Detroit News More than 2,000 workers at Henry Ford Health, Beaumont affected by COVID-19 Henry Ford Health System Here's what to know Coronavirus. Michigan.gov/coronavirus: Michigan Department of Health and Human Services; 2020. Available at: Michigan.gov/coronavirus Effective COVID-19 Executive Orders Mcp: An R Package for Regression with Multiple Change Points R: A language and environment for statistical computing General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC Clinical Questions about COVID-19: Questions and Answers Update: characteristics of health care personnel with COVID-19 -United States Incidence of nosocomial COVID-19 in patients hospitalized at a large US academic medical center Hospital-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection: lessons for public health Effects of universal masking on Massachusetts healthcare workers' COVID-19 incidence In pursuit of PPE Critical supply shortages -the need for ventilators and personal protective equipment during the Covid-19 pandemic COVID-19): Centers for Disease Control and Prevention The authors would like to thank Mr. Martin Levesque, who helped steward many of the policies during COVID in partnership with HFHS Infection Control leadership. The authors would like to thank Ms. Alexandra (Kiki) Martin for her assistance with Appendix 1 and Appendix 1.2.