key: cord-0729603-elq0fkdq authors: Das, A.; Weaver, L.; Saffaran, S.; Yehya, N.; Scott, T. E.; Chikhani, M.; Laffey, J. G.; Hardman, J. G.; Camporota, L.; Bates, D. title: High risk of patient self-inflicted lung injury in COVID-19 with frequently encountered spontaneous breathing patterns: a computational modelling study date: 2021-03-17 journal: nan DOI: 10.1101/2021.03.17.21253788 sha: 230bbfd4ce74fb7e2b9f1485fc9c7b65e865a237 doc_id: 729603 cord_uid: elq0fkdq There is ongoing controversy regarding the potential for increased respiratory effort to generate patient self-inflicted lung injury (P-SILI) in spontaneously breathing patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory failure. However, direct clinical evidence linking increased inspiratory effort to lung injury is scarce. We adapted a recently developed computational simulator that replicates distinctive features of COVID-19 pathophysiology to quantify the mechanical forces that could lead to P-SILI at different levels of respiratory effort. In accordance with recent data, the simulator was calibrated to represent a spontaneously breathing COVID-19 patient with severe hypoxaemia (SaO2 80.6%) and relatively well-preserved lung mechanics (lung compliance of 47.5 ml/cmH2O), being treated with supplemental oxygen (FiO2 = 100%). Simulations were conducted at tidal volumes (VT) and respiratory rates (RR) of 7 ml/kg and 14 breaths/min (representing normal respiratory effort) and at VT/RR of 15/14, 7/20, 15/20, 10/30, 12/30, 10/35, 12/35, 10/40, 12/40 ml/kg / breaths/min. Lung compliance was unaffected by increased VT but decreased significantly at higher RR. While oxygenation improved, significant increases in multiple indicators of the potential for lung injury were observed at all higher VT/RR combinations tested. Pleural pressure swing increased from 10.1 cmH2O at baseline to 30 cmH2O at VT/RR of 15 ml/kg / 20 breaths/min and to 54.6 cmH2O at 12 ml/kg / 40 breaths/min. Dynamic strain increased from 0.3 to 0.49 at VT/RR of 12 ml/kg / 30 breaths/min, and to 0.6 at 15 ml/kg / 20 breaths/min. Mechanical power increased from 7.83 J/min to 17.7 J/min at VT/RR of 7 ml/kg / 20 breaths/min, and to 240.5 7 J/min at 12 ml/kg / 40 breaths/min. Our results suggest that the forces generated during increased inspiratory effort in severe COVID-19 are compatible with the development of P-SILI. If conventional oxygen therapy or non-invasive ventilation is ineffective in reducing respiratory effort, control of driving and transpulmonary pressures with invasive ventilation may reduce the risk of P-SILI and allow time for the resolution of the underlying condition. driving and transpulmonary pressures with invasive ventilation may reduce the risk of P-SILI and allow time for the resolution of the underlying condition. Keywords: COVID-19, acute respiratory failure, hypoxaemia, patient self-inflicted lung injury On admission, some patients with COVID-19 acute hypoxaemic respiratory failure (AHRF) exhibit profound hypoxaemia, combined with relatively preserved lung compliance and lung gas volume on CT chest imaging, and substantial increases in respiratory effort -tidal volumes (VT) up to 20 ml/kg (1) and respiratory rates (RR) exceeding 24 breaths/min (2) have been reported. There is currently significant debate regarding whether such increased respiratory effort could risk causing further damage to the lungs through patient self-inflicted lung injury (P-SILI) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) . Direct evidence for the existence of P-SILI in the context of purely spontaneous breathing is largely based on animal studies (12) , although two studies in asthmatic children suggested that increased breathing effort could promote negative pressure pulmonary oedema (13, 14) . A number of studies have also established the potential for injurious effects due to spontaneous breathing during mechanical ventilation in acute respiratory failure (15) . In the context of COVID-19, a recent study has asserted an association between increased respiratory effort and worsening of respiratory function during attempts to wean patients from mechanical ventilation, although without definitively establishing a delineation between cause and effect (9) (10) (11) 16) . Two recent case reports also noted the existence of spontaneous is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint The copyright holder for this this version posted March 17, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.17.21253788 doi: medRxiv preprint pneumothorax and pneumomediastinum in COVID-19 patients, suggesting the generation of injurious transpulmonary pressures (17, 18) . To obtain some additional evidence with which to inform debate on this issue, we hypothesised that a computational model of COVID-19 pathophysiology could be used to investigate the effects of increased respiratory effort on parameters that have been associated with lung injury, namely tidal swings in pleural and transpulmonary pressure, and maximum values of mechanical power (19) and dynamic strain. The core model used in this study is a multi-compartmental computational simulator that has been previously used to simulate mechanically ventilated patients with various pulmonary disease states (20-27), including COVID-19 ARDS (28) . The simulator offers several advantages, including the capability to define a large number of alveolar compartments (each with its own individual mechanical characteristics), with configurable alveolar collapse, alveolar stiffening, disruption of alveolar gas-exchange, pulmonary vasoconstriction and vasodilation, and airway obstruction. As a result, several defining, clinical features of acute lung injury can be represented in the model, including varying degrees of ventilation perfusion mismatch, physiological shunt and deadspace, alveolar gas trapping with intrinsic positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), collapse-reopening of alveoli etc. A detailed description of the physiological principles and mathematical equations underlying the computational model implemented in the simulator is provided in the supplementary file. For the current study, the model was configured to represent a patient of 70 kg ideal body weight with COVID-19 acute respiratory failure. Based on currently available data regarding potential pathophysiological mechanisms e.g. (29) (30) (31) (32) (33) (34) , the model provides a heterogeneous disease profile distributed across 100 gas-exchanging compartments implementing (a) . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a perpetuity. is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint disruption of alveolar gas-exchange due to the effects of pneumonitis, and (d) heightened vascular resistance due to the presence of microthrombi, while maintaining relatively well preserved lung compliance and gas volumes. It replicates closely the levels of ventilationperfusion mismatch and hypoxemia (34, 35) , as well as the lack of responsiveness to PEEP (36) (37) (38) , that has been documented in some patients with COVID-19; see (28) and the supplementary file for full details. For the investigation of P-SILI, the model was adapted to represent spontaneously breathing patients. Spontaneous breathing is simulated by incorporating the variable "#$ , which represents the pressure generated by the respiratory muscles acting on the lung. "#$ is modelled as a piecewise function as described in (39) and adapted from (40) . The function consists of a parabolic profile during the inspiration phase of the respiratory cycle, representing the progressive increase in pressure exerted by the respiratory muscles, followed by an exponential profile during the expiration phase of the respiratory cycle, characterizing the passive relaxation of the muscles. Accordingly, The resultant alveolar pressure IJK depends on "#$ , as well as on the pressures of the gases within the compartment, the stiffness of the compartment ( 0 ), and parameter 3M>,0 which represents extrinsic pressures acting on the compartment. Pleural pressure is calculated as where J is the total lung volume, RS is the compliance of the chest wall, which is set to 0.2 L/cmH2O (40) , and Q,J is the unstressed volume of the lung (set to 1L). To observe the pulmonary effects of interest, the following values were computed and recorded: arterial oxygen partial pressure (PaO2), arterial carbon dioxide partial pressure A range of indices associated with the risk of P-SILI were recorded, including the transpulmonary and pleural pressure swings, dynamic strain (calculated as VT / end expiratory lung volume), and the mechanical power applied to the lungs, calculated as: where iW is the lung elastance (calculated as variation in total lung pressure during a breath (∆ J ) divided by the tidal volume), : is the inspiratory-to-expiratory time ratio, and no is . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a perpetuity. is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint The copyright holder for this this version posted March 17, 2021. ; the airway resistance (calculated as the driving pressure generated by "#$ divided by the average flow rate during inspiration). All model simulations were run for 30 minutes, with the reported data averaged over the final 1 minute, and conducted using Matlab version R2019b.v9 (MathWorks Inc., Natick, MA, USA). The simulated patient replicates levels of hypoxaemia that have frequently been reported in spontaneously breathing COVID-19 patients. SaO2, PaO2 and PaCO2 on 100% oxygen at baseline were 80.6%, 48.06 mmHg, and 58.43 mmHg, respectively (Table 1) ). Lung compliance was unaffected by increased VT but reduced significantly at higher respiratory rates (to 32.9 ml/cmH2O at VT / RR of 7 ml/kg / 20 breath/min, and 15.6 ml/cmH2O at 10 ml/kg / 40 breaths/min). Physiological shunt / deadspace were decreased / increased at higher respiratory effort (minimum shunt of 25.8% at VT / RR of 12 ml/kg / 40 breath/min, maximum deadspace of 369.7 ml at VT / RR of 15 ml/kg / 20 breath/min). Muscle pressures required to generate the different increased breathing patterns (maximum "#$ of 64.9 cmH2O at VT / RR of 12 ml/kg / 40 breath/min) were well within the limits specified for a 70kg adult male (maximum "#$ of 78.5 cmH2O at age 60, and 108.9 cmH2O at age 40, (42)). is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint As shown in Fig. 1 and Table 1 During mechanical ventilation, the power required to inflate the lungs is provided by an external source of energy, whereas during spontaneous unassisted breathing it is provided by the respiratory muscles. However, as pointed out in (19), lung injury (in the sense of mechanical lesions in the interstitial space due to microfractures of the extracellular matrix or the capillary walls) arises from the mechanical energy applied to the lungs, which generates the relevant pressures. There is therefore no reason to believe that the extent of injury will be significantly different whether excessive pressures are generated by respiratory muscles in spontaneous breathing or by a mechanical ventilator. Similarly to the case of VILI, there is is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint also no reason to expect that, in the case of injured lungs, forces generated by respiratory muscles could not lead to injurious effects on a regional level due to lung heterogeneity. While the levels of transpulmonary pressure at higher respiratory effort in our model were well within generally accepted safe limits, we observed large increases in pleural pressure swings, up to a maximum of 30 cmH2O. Interestingly, in a recent study of inspiratory effort in non-invasive ventilation, reductions in pleural pressure (recorded as oesophageal pressure using a multifunctional nasogastric tube with a dedicated pressure transducer) of 10 cm H2O or more after 2 hours of treatment was strongly associated with avoidance of intubation and represented the most accurate predictor of treatment success (43) . Also, as discussed in (44), negative alveolar pressures created by large changes in pleural pressure, and therefore positive changes in transvascular pressure, favour lung edema, a mechanism that is amplified with increased vascular permeability, (45, 46) . Given that negative pressures from diaphragm contraction are not distributed uniformly, there is also the potential to cause pendelluft gas movement due to localised changes in pleural pressures in dependent regions, (47) . Finally, it is important to recognise that when dynamic systems (from aircraft engines to human lungs) are subjected to repeated cycles of excessive stresses and strains, their deterioration over time is often not linear; rather, damage can accumulate "silently" before eventually manifesting and spreading rapidly (48) . In light of the above considerations, it is difficult to see how, for a respiratory effort that a patient (and their treating clinician) might consider tolerable, the levels of pleural pressure swing, mechanical power, and dynamic strain produced in our model (Table 1) , as well as the corresponding skewing of compartmental volumes towards higher values (Fig. 2) , could be regarded as safe. Certainly, it is unlikely that any mechanical ventilation strategy that produced similar values would be considered "protective" according to current standard guidelines. Our results also highlight that improvements in PaO2/FiO2 ratio associated with is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint The copyright holder for this this version posted March 17, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.17.21253788 doi: medRxiv preprint larger tidal volume and respiratory rate should be interpreted in the context of the associated increased respiratory effort and are not necessarily expressions of improved lung condition. Indeed, the improvement in PaO2/FiO2 ratio we observed at higher respiratory effort was coupled with reduced lung compliance and the development of levels of mechanical power associated with worse short (49, 50) and long term (51) survival. The debate around the potential role of P-SILI in contributing to the rapid deterioration observed in some COVID-19 patients is a vigorous one, but we would suggest that it is unnecessary to adopt extreme positions regarding the resulting implications for timing of intubation. While more evidence is gathered, it is surely prudent is to adopt a "protective ventilation" strategy, i.e. carefully monitor, and seek to reduce, high respiratory effort in such patients, via either standard supplemental oxygen treatment or non-invasive ventilation. If these options fail to promptly reduce high respiratory effort even after resolution of hypoxaemia, then controlling driving and transpulmonary pressure through mechanical ventilation and the institution of strategies such as prone positioning should be initiated in a timely fashion to avoid the potential additional risks associated with P-SILI. On this point, a recent case-study described in (8) may illustrate those risks. The author reports a patient who presented to the emergency department with moderate respiratory distress and increased respiratory effort. After initial treatment with supplemental oxygen via a non-rebreather facemask followed by a failed trial of bilevel positive airway pressure, she required tracheal intubation 5 hours later. The chest X-ray (CXR) at the time of intubation "showed a remarkable progression of infiltrates since the admission CXR". The author notes that "while worsening pneumonia could have contributed to her CXR findings, it is hard to overlook the contribution of P-SILI to her worsening pulmonary infiltrates". Our study has some limitations, principally that the results are based on computational modeling of COVID-19 pathophysiology, rather than data from patients with COVID-19. is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint The copyright holder for this this version posted March 17, 2021. Investigating the issues raised here in clinical trials is likely to prove challenging both from an ethical and practical point of view, however, and suitable animal models of COVID-19 pathophysiology to study these questions are yet to emerge (52) . In these circumstances, we hope that insights from detailed computational models that recapitulate patient breathing patterns and lung mechanics can provide useful evidence with which to inform current debate. Our results indicate that pressures compatible with the occurrence of P-SILI can develop in patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory failure who experience only moderately increased respiratory effort, i.e. without overt dyspnoea, through significant increases in pleural pressure swings, mechanical power and dynamic strain. If conventional oxygen therapy or non-invasive ventilation is ineffective in reducing respiratory effort, control of driving and transpulmonary pressures with invasive ventilation may reduce the effects of P-SILI and allow time for the resolution of the underlying condition. Tobin MJ, Jubran A, Laghi F. P-SILI as justification for intubation in COVID-19: readers as arbiters. 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