key: cord-0706249-l4727snt authors: Zhao, Hongyu; He, Xiaoyi; Fan, Guanhua; Li, Liping; Huang, Qingjun; Qiu, Qinming; Kang, Zhewei; Du, Taifeng; Han, Ling; Ding, Lei; Xu, Haiyun title: COVID-19 infection outbreak increases anxiety level of general public in China: involved mechanisms and influencing factors date: 2020-07-20 journal: J Affect Disord DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2020.07.085 sha: ad09cc058fde6bd506c98508881e46ec396b5c70 doc_id: 706249 cord_uid: l4727snt BACKGROUND: COVID-19 outbreak happened last December in China and is still continuing. Here, we reported effects of COVID-19 outbreak on the mood of general public and ascertained impacts of psychosocial factors on the plague-related emotional measures. METHODS: During Feb. 4-6, 2020, a self-reported questionnaire Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI) was disseminated to general public via Wechat, along with a sociodemographic information sheet. BAI score and incidences of moderate and severe anxiety in subgroups of respondents were compared. Multiple linear and logistic regressions were done for correlation analysis and to identify factors predictive of anxiety. RESULTS: Averaged BAI score of all respondents is higher than those of general public in two previous studies. The people quarantined for probable COVID-19 infection presented higher BAI score and incidences of moderate and severe anxiety relative to non-quarantined respondents. People in high epidemic area showed higher BAI score and incidences of moderate and severe anxiety compared to those in low epidemic area. Significant associations existed between anxiety level of the respondents and each of the investigated factors, except for gender. Quarantine was the predictor with a highest OR, followed by divorced/widow. The other factors showed smaller but significant effects on the anxiety level of respondents. LIMITATIONS: This cross-sectional study was unable to track the emotional changes in the respondents over time. It had a relatively small sample and involved some of emotional measures only. CONCLUSION: These data are of help in planning psychological interventions for the different subpopulations in general public during and after COVID-19 outbreak. In December 2019, clusters of patients with pneumonia of unknown pathogen were reported in Wuhan, China (Huang et al., 2020; Hui et al., 2020; Liu et al., 2020) . The patients presented acute respiratory infection symptoms in early stages, and some of them rapidly developed acute respiratory distress syndrome, even respiratory failure, and other serious complications (Huang et al., 2020) . The pathogen of the patients, however, was not identified until Jan 7, 2020, one week after an epidemiologic and etiologic investigation by an expert team from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC). The team experts obtained throat swab samples from the patients and subsequently identified the pathogen of a novel coronavirus Wu et al., 2020) , which is named COVID-19 now. Unfortunately, the COVID infection was spreading rapidly across the city and the other areas of Hubei province. Hundreds of people, including fifteen health workers in a tertiary hospital, had been infected and hospitalized for COVID-19 infection till the arrival of the second expert team from China CDC . And what's worse, there were many more people who had been infected but showed no clinical symptoms. These people may transmit the viruses to many others thus led to wide spread of the infection in population (Special Expert Group for Control of the Epidemic of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia of the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association, 2020). On Jan 23, therefore, the local bureaucracy of Wuhan sealed off the city from all outside contact to stop the spread of the plague, the highest response measure to curb outbreak and save lives. Sealing off Wuhan city is an unprecedented event in the 70-years history of P. R. China. It changed all things in the city. Except for those relevant to the prevention and treatment of COVID-19 infection and daily supplies of people, no other things were allowed to be done. The vast majority of people were asked to stay at home. The entire metropolitan area was silence in the absence of working people and moving vehicles. Furthermore, the same stringent constraints were applied to all the other areas of Hubei province and the whole country a few days later. And these constraints are remaining in effect till now when the manuscript is being prepared. While effectively blocking the spread of a plague, sealing off a whole metropolitan area may induce a lot of negative consequences. In addition to the catastrophic damage to local and national economy, sealing off a city would lead to panic in general public. In line with this notion, people showed feelings of extreme vulnerability, uncertainty and threat to life indicated by somatic and cognitive symptoms of anxiety in the initial phase of an outbreak, when the infection was spreading rapidly (Chong et al., 2004) . In addition, general public were anxious due to implementation of a quarantine policy and the fear of infection. Some people were concerned with the demand for health care service which may overwhelm health resources (Bartholomew and Wessely, 2002) . Moreover, some people in severe epidemic areas presented psychological problems because of perceiving life threat and low emotional support (Wu et al., 2005) . During SARS outbreak in 2003, higher levels of anxiety was found to be related to the increased use of precautionary measures against SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome), but not associated with a greater use of health services, in much of the general population (Blendon et al., 2004; Leung et al., 2003; Quah and Hin-Peng, 2004) . More relevantly, Wang and colleagues reported that 53.8% of the general public rated the psychological impact of the outbreak as moderate or severe and that 28.8% reported moderate to severe anxiety symptoms during the initial COVID-19 outbreak in China. Here, we reported the effect of COVID-19 outbreak on the mood of general public in China. The data were collected during Feb. 2-6, 2000, when people were asked to follow the stringent constraints set up by central and local governments during the epidemic period. We explored the involved mechanisms and ascertained psychosocial factors that influenced the COVID-19 outbreak-induced emotional consequences in general public. Materials and methods During Feb. 4-6, 2020, we disseminated a self-reported questionnaire Beck Anxiety To evaluate anxiety level of the participants in this study, the Chinese version of BAI, a structured self-reported questionnaire, was used. This version was successfully applied in previous studies with Chinese population (Huang et al., 2016a (Huang et al., , 2016b . The BAI is comprised of 21 questions, each of which describes a common symptom of anxiety. The respondent was asked to rate how much he or she had been bothered by each symptom over the past week on a 4-point Likert-type (0-3). The total score has a range of 0-63 (Beck et al., 1988) . By referring to a previous study, the BAI scores of respondents were categorized into four levels of none or normal (0-9), mild to moderate (10-18), moderate to severe (19-29), and severe anxiety (30-63) (Cheng et al., 2004) . Data were analyzed with the SPSS Version 15.0 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, Il, 2006) . Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the sample's demographic profile and BAI scores of respondents. Normality was tested by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Chi-square analyses (for categorical data) and two-tailed t-tests (for continuous data) were carried out. Multiple linear regression analysis was done for correlation analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors predictive of moderate and severe anxiety. The level of statistical significance was set to 0.05. First of all, we wondered if COVID-19 outbreak increased public anxiety during the survey period. For this purpose, we compared the averaged BAI score of all respondents in this study to that of healthy Chinese living in a non-epidemic area. We found this comparer in two previous studies (Huang et al., 2016a (Huang et al., , 2016b ) of 6.06 ± 7.15 (n =146) and 5.67 ± 6.82 (n = 179), respectively. The averaged BAI score of all respondents in this study is 7.10 ± 9.38 (n = 2003), which seems to be higher than those of general public reported in the aforementioned previous studies. The BAI scores of all respondents are shown in table 2, in which the respondents were classified into various subsamples as mentioned above. We expected that quarantine for probable COVID-19 infection would be a major contributor to the higher BAI score in the respondents of this study relative to those reported in the previous studies. As such, we compared the averaged BAI score of respondents who were quarantined to that of the others not-quarantined. As expected, people who were being quarantined presented a significantly higher BAI score relative to those not quarantined at the survey time (32.71 ± 12.51 vs 6.84 ± 8.60, p<0.01; Figure 1A ). Furthermore, we compared the incidences of moderate (BAI = 19-29) and severe anxiety (BAI = 30-63) in people quarantined to the same indices in the respondents not quarantined. Obviously, people in the quarantine subsample presented significantly higher incidences of moderate and severe anxiety relative to the respondents who were not quarantined at the survey time ( Figure 1B ). Following the same rationale, we expected that people living in Hubei province and high epidemic area would have higher anxiety level relative to those living in low epidemic area. To test this assumption, we did comparisons among the three subsamples and found: 1) people in Hubei and the high epidemic area presented significantly higher BAI scores compared to that of people in low epidemic area ( Figure 1C ); 2) people in Hubei and the high epidemic area presented significantly higher incidences of moderate and severe anxiety compared to those of people in low epidemic area ( Figure 1D ). The next purpose of this study was to ascertain psychosocial factors that may mediate the COVID-19 infection-induced anxiety in public. To achieve this aim, we first compared the averaged BAI scores of different subsamples of all respondents in terms of the variables on the basis of which the classification was done. Of the five variables, only age and marital status showed significant effects on BAI score of the respondents. Specifically, people over 50 years showed significantly lower BAI score compared to people between 31-50 years and those between 13-30 years ( Figure 2A ). As for marital status, divorced individuals or widows showed the highest BAI score compared to unmarried and married people. Married people presented higher BAI score relative to unmarried persons ( Figure 2B ). Furthermore, we checked if the demographic factors influence incidences of moderate and severe anxiety of the respondents. Except for gender, all the other demographic factors did influence the incidences. In details, people in the 31-50 subsample showed the highest incidence of severe anxiety (BAI score = 30-63) among the three age subsamples, whereas people elder than 50 presented the lowest incidence of severe anxiety over the other two groups. The three subsamples were comparable in terms of the incidence of moderate anxiety ( Figure 3A) . As for education level, people at college or higher levels had significantly lower incidence of severe anxiety compared to those at high school or lower levels. The two subsamples were comparable in terms of moderate anxiety ( Figure 3B ). Like described above, divorced individuals or widows showed the highest incidences of both moderate and severe anxiety compared to unmarried and married people. Married people presented higher incidence of severe anxiety relative to unmarried persons ( Figure 3C ). Interestingly, people worked at hospitals or studied in medical schools showed higher incidences of both moderate and severe anxiety compared to the other respondents ( Figure 3D ). The correlation and multiple linear regression analysis disclosed the predictive factors for the BAI score of all respondents. Except for gender, all the other variables were shown to be important factors influencing BAI score of respondents. Specifically, quarantine, living in Hubei and high epidemic area, divorced/widow, and medical background (health care professionals and medical students) seemed to upregulate anxiety level of respondents; whereas married, being senior and with higher education level showed protective effect (table 3) . Also, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that all the factors, except for gender, were significantly associated with anxiety level of the respondents. The highest OR was seen in people who were quarantined at the survey time (OR = 22.397, 95 % CI = 6.959 -72.077), followed by divorced/widow group (OR = 4.170, 95 % CI = 3.022 -5.755). The other factors showed smaller but significant effects on the anxiety level of respondents (table 4) . This study has demonstrated that COVID-19 outbreak increased public anxiety level in China. Supporting evidence for this conclusion includes: 1) the averaged BAI score of all respondents in this study is higher than those of same ethnic Chinese who were healthy and lived in a non-epidemic area a few years ago (Huang et al., 2016a (Huang et al., , 2016b ; 2) people living in Hubei province (the infection focus) and the high epidemic area showed significantly higher averaged BAI score and incidences of moderate and severe anxiety relative to people living in low epidemic area; 3) being quarantined at the survey time was the most significant contributor to the increased public anxiety level. These data add evidence for the claim that outbreak of an infectious disease can have profound impact on the human psyche (Tucci et al., 2017) . Indeed, over the course of the epidemic of the West African Ebola virus disease (EVD) from 2013 to 2016, health professionals reported that mental health services were overwhelmed due to extreme anxiety experienced by patients, family members, and health-care professionals, in addition to loss of life and grief (Reardon, 2015) . And more than half of health care workers (56.7%) reported moderately high degree of anxiety as they worried about the A/H1N1 influenza pandemic (Goulia et al., 2010) . Of the 2003 respondents, 21 (1.05%) persons were being quarantined at the survey time for probable infection with COVID-19. They showed the highest averaged BAI compared to the others in this study who were not quarantined. Also, they had a very high combined incidence of moderate and severe anxiety compared to the non-quarantined people. Finding the major causes leading to this high anxiety level at terribly high incidence and analyzing effects of psychosocial factors on the emotional measures would be very important and practically significant. The data at our hands are of great help to us. First of all, the major causes leading to a high BAI score must be something directly related to COVID-19 infection that made people to be quarantined for probable infection, like fever, cough, malaise, or other nonspecific symptoms. In support of this notion, a recent study reported that chills, myalgia, cough, dizziness, coryza, and sore throat were significantly associated with higher DASS (Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale) anxiety and depression subscale scores . Certainly, the clinical symptoms must be of biological origin, such as a pathogenic microorganism, including virus, infection. In other words, a pathogenic microorganism infection was the major factor leading to high anxiety level in at least some of quarantined individuals, i.e. those who were to be identified as patients with COVID-19 infection. In line with this interpretation, sporadic infectious diseases have been associated with various neuropsychiatric disorders, exemplified by Borna virus, which had some human associations with neuropsychiatric disease (Tucci et al., 2017) . More relevantly, patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) experienced anxiety and reported fear, loneliness, boredom and anger (Maunder et al., 2003) . In another study, patients with SARS were deemed to have psychiatric problems such as anger, anxiety, suicidal ideas and depressive reaction during the period of the outbreak (Cheng et al., 2004) . Similar to SARS, EVD was reported to cause vulnerabilities, social stigma, distress, and isolation at an individual level (World Health Organization, 2014). In addition, having family member(s) infected with the virus or closely contacting identified patient(s) can also make a person to be quarantined. These non-biological factors would be likely to aggravate the anxiety symptoms resulted from pathogenic infection or result in anxiety symptoms independent of the biological factors. A perfect illustration pertinent to this interpretation is the emotional and behavioral responses of healthcare professionals in response to the SARS epidemic in Hong Kong and Toronto. They showed higher levels of emotional distress than that of the general public (Maunder et al., 2003; Wong et al., 2004) . Another study reported that the infected healthcare workers in the hospital felt extreme vulnerability, uncertainty and threat to life, with significantly high psychiatric morbidity of acute stress syndrome (Chong et al., 2004) . Another hospital survey carried out during the SARS outbreak reported that 29% of respondents (healthcare professionals) experienced emotional distress, much higher than that seen in a general population survey (Nickell et al., 2004) . In a more recent study, 14.5% healthcare workers suffered from moderate to severe anxiety in Singapore, which was higher compared to their peers in the other countries that were not attacked by COVID-19 during the survey time . In line with these previous studies, health professionals in the present study showed significantly higher incidences of moderate (6.23% vs 3.12%) and severe (8.67% vs 4.41%) anxiety relative to the non-healthcare workers. Certainly, the higher anxiety levels in this subsample were related to what they were doing, what they were witnessing and/or knew relevant to COVID-19 infection. Relevant to the same interpretation, people living in high epidemic area presented significantly higher incidence of severe anxiety compared to those in low epidemic area (9.49% vs 3.21%). Interestingly, the marital status, age, and educational level of respondents also significantly impacted the emotional measures of them, in response to COVID-19 outbreak. Specifically, divorced people and widows presented higher anxiety level then unmarried and married people. This effect may be due to the loneliness of the divorced people and widows and lack of emotional support to them. As for effect of age, youngers (people in 13-30 and 30-50 years old) presented significantly higher anxiety levels than seniors (>50 years old). This difference may be relevant to multiple socio-economic issues. Of possible ones, youngers may have heavier burden of life than seniors examined in this study. For example, people in 13-30 years old subsample are generally occupied with heavy academic burden which may be intensified by Chinese culture. They were likely to worry about for how long the plague would continue. In addition, this subpopulation, especially the adolescents of them, are less tolerable to constraints and were being enforced to stay at home day after day. Overall, those in 31-50 years old subsample have much heavier burden in life and work than the other subsamples. He/she is the backbone of a family and concerned with much more issues than the other subsamples. As such, they are more sensitive but less tolerable to increased use of precautionary measures against COVID-19 and thus being more anxious. Last but not least, people at college or above levels showed significantly lower anxiety level than those at high school or below, indicating a protective effect of education on the COVID-19 related anxiety. This is not unexpected as people at lower education level or with less knowledge are more likely to trust in what they hear and/or read on we-media, which is the main platform creating and propagating unscientific information, even rumors. As such, the emotion of this group people is more likely to be influenced by unjustified information, which ran rampant during the outbreak of COVID-19 infection. Overall, this study provided evidence that COVID-19 outbreak did extensively and intensively impact the mood of general public in China and ascertained some of psychosocial factors that influenced the plague-induced emotional measures. These data along with those from the other studies Wang et al., 2020 ) warrant propagation of scientific information about COVID-19 to general population and offering relevant psychological consultation service to specific subpopulation. Acknowledging the importance of psychological services, as early as the late of January 2020, the National Health Commission of China issued the first comprehensive guideline on emergency psychological crisis intervention in individuals who were affected by COVID-19 (National Health Committee, People's Republic of China, 2020). Although this survey was performed after the issuance of the guideline, the data of this study is unlikely affected by the implementation of the guideline as the emphasis of it was on delivery of mental health support services to patients and healthcare workers. More services should be provided to general population to relieve their anxiety and improve their psychological health. In this regard, a very recent article deserves to be highlighted. It suggested 6 strategies that local and overseas authorities could consider for improving their current psychological intervention plan, in addition to summarizing the impacts of COVID-19 on mental health of general population, healthcare professionals, and infected patients. As expected by the authors of this article, countries will be equipped to succeed in their battle against COVID-19 and secure their future after their psychological defense is bolstered . The limitations of this study should not be ignored. First, it is a cross-sectional study unable to track the emotional changes over time in the respondents. Second, sample size is relatively small thus did not allow further analyses on the data from some subsamples such as divorced/widow (n = 42) and quarantined people (n = 21). Third, the survey should include more self-reported measures like the Impact of Event Scale (Horowitz et al., 1979) , which has been used to assess the frequency of intrusive and avoidant phenomena in response to a specific stressful life event (Hsu et al., 2002) , severe pollution (Ho et al., 2014) , and COVID-19 outbreak . Last but not least, this study, like many other internet surveys, was not based on probability sampling. The survey questionnaire was simply released via WeChat. Respondents were those people who had a cell phone with access to WeChat and decided to participate in the survey. Therefore, this survey may suffer from the problems of under-coverage and self-selection (Bethlehem, 2010; Greenacre, 2016) . Under-coverage is because of the exclusion of some elements of the general population from sample selection. For instance, some elders have no cell phone or do not play WeChat at all thus were unlikely selected. Indeed, there were only 77 participants over 50years-old among a total of 2003 respondents in this study. Self-selection means that it is completely left to individuals to select themselves for the survey (Bethlehem, 2010) . Therefore, this survey may have a potential of high non-response rates. Both of under-coverage and self-selection may lead to biased estimates. As such, caution should be exercised when generalizing the conclusions of this study. In On the basis of all these information, distinct psychological consultation services should be provided to different subpopulations in general public during and after the outbreak of COVID-19 infection. None. The authors declare no conflict of interest. Comparisons of moderate and severe anxiety incidences between the two occupation subsamples of respondents. Data were analyzed by Chi-square. *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001. Demographic characteristics of the respondents (N = 2003) Demographic factors n % Gender: where more than 800 COVID-19 infected cases had been reported till midnight Feb. 6, 2020 when the data of this study were collected.***low epidemic area refers to the other regions of mainland, China, where relatively fewer patients were reported. Note: The predictors were assigned specific values as follows: Gender: male = 1, female = 2. Age: 13-30 = 1, 31-50 = 2, >50 = 3. Education level: high school or below = 1, college or above = 2. Marital status: unmarried = 1, married = 2, divorced/widow = 3. Location of residence: Hubei = 1, high epidemic area = 2, low epidemic area = 3. Occupation: health professional =1, the others = 2. If quarantined: not =1, yes = 2. 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