key: cord-0697692-pcz0ej3a authors: Katayama, Osamu; Lee, Sangyoon; Bae, Seongryu; Makino, Keitaro; Chiba, Ippei; Harada, Kenji; Shinkai, Yohei; Shimada, Hiroyuki title: Participation in Social Activities and Relationship between Walking Habits and Disability Incidence date: 2021-04-27 journal: J Clin Med DOI: 10.3390/jcm10091895 sha: 9a383f182e11339c53303637c6975448d65c5f43 doc_id: 697692 cord_uid: pcz0ej3a Identifying the relationship between physical and social activity and disability among community-dwelling older adults may provide important information for implementing tailored interventions to prevent disability progression. The aim of this study was to determine the effect of the number of social activities on the relationship between walking habits and disability incidence in older adults. We included 2873 older adults (mean age, 73.1 years; SD, ±5.9 years) from the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology—Study of Geriatric Syndromes. Baseline measurements, including frequencies of physical and social activities, health conditions, physical function, cognitive function, metabolic parameters, and other potential disability risk factors (for example, the number of years of education); monthly assessment for disability was monitored through long-term care insurance certification for at least 2 years from baseline. During a mean follow-up of 35.1 months (SD, 6.4 months), 133 participants developed disability. The disability incidence was 19.0 and 27.9 per 1000 person-years for participants who walked more (≥3 times per week) and less (≤3 times per week) frequently, respectively. The potential confounding factor-adjusted disability hazard ratio was 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.46 to 0.96; p = 0.030). The relationship between habitual walking and the number of social activities was statistically significant (p = 0.004). The reduction of disability risk by walking was greater among participants with fewer social activities. Habitual walking was associated with disability incidence, with a more pronounced effect among older adults who were less likely to engage in social activities. Many developed countries have rapidly aging populations; Japan has the fastest aging population. As of 2020, 35.9 million people were aged over 65 years, which constituted 28.4% of the global population and the highest proportion globally [1] . Japan is expected to have the largest proportion of older adults worldwide by 2050 when 39.9% of the national population is projected to be aged over 65 years [1] . In developed nations facing an aging population, including Japan, many of these older adults require care [1, 2] . Since the introduction of Japan's long-term care insurance (LTCI) system in 2000, the number of older adults requiring LTCI service has increased. The Japanese LTCI system has operated for approximately 20 years and currently serves nearly 6.4 million people [3] . Dementia, cerebrovascular disease, and age-related weaknesses have been identified as the main causes of disability in older Japanese adults of both sexes. Currently, the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is spreading globally. A study conducted among older adults before (January 2020) and during (April 2020) the first wave of COVID-19 outbreaks in Japan showed that the duration of physical activity in older adults decreased by approximately 30% [4] . Similarly, the number of steps taken by older Japanese adults decreased by up to 30% after the initial spread of COVID-19 [5] , and there are concerns that the incidence of disability may increase after the convergence of COVID-19 due to a decrease in daily physical activity [4] . Recently, the World Health Organization (WHO) has developed new guidelines on physical activity and sedentary behavior [6] . The guidelines provide evidence-based public health recommendations concerning the amount (frequency, intensity, duration) and types of physical activity that offer significant health benefits and mitigate health risks [6] . Walking is one of the most preferred and recommended activities that can be easily incorporated into daily life and maintained into old age [7] . Older adults should perform varied multicomponent and moderate-to vigorous-intensity physical activities that emphasize functional balance and strength training, at least three times a week, to enhance functional capacity and prevent falls [8] . Interestingly, a previous study indicated that the physical activity time was recovered after the spread of COVID-19 (June 2020) up to pre-infection (January 2020), although it was more difficult to recover when living alone and being socially inactive [9] . More attention is being paid to social activity in later life. Social activities are characterized by interactions with the environment and ingroup members, getting together with like-minded people, and the engagement of mind and body [10] . The government of Japan has indicated that in an aging society with diverse values, it will promote and support the participation of older adults in opportunities that enrich the spirit and fulfill a sense of purpose in life through social activities [11] . Previous studies have shown that participation in social activities is associated with a reduced risk of developing disability, dementia, and depression in the future, thereby maintaining the health of older adults [12] [13] [14] [15] . Therefore, participation in social activities may reduce the risk of disability by modulating the relationship between physical activity and disability. Although it is well established that social and physical activities are each associated with the incidence of disability [14, 16] , it is unclear whether participation in social activity can influence the relationship between walking habits and the incidence of disability. This means that identifying the relationship between physical and social activity and disability among community-dwelling older adults may provide important information for implementing tailored interventions to prevent disability progression. This study aimed to determine how participation in social activities is associated with the relationship between walking habits and disability incidence. We hypothesized a greater reduction in the risk of disability by walking habits among persons with fewer social activities compared with those with a higher number of social activities. This was an observational prospective cohort study of adults enrolled in a populationbased cohort study, which is part of the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology-Study of Geriatric Syndromes (NCGG-SGS). The NCGG-SGS is a cohort study with a primary goal to establish a screening system for geriatric syndromes and to validate evidence-based interventions for preventing geriatric syndromes [17] . This study investigated the association between walking habits and social activity participation at baseline and the incidence of disability during a mean follow-up of 35.1 months (standard deviation (SD), 6.4 months) from baseline. Individuals who were aged ≥60 years or older, lived in Takahama City, were not hospitalized, were not in residential care, were not certified by the LTCI system as having a functional disability, or were not participating in another study (n = 9716) were sent an invitation letter to participate in the Takahama study. A total of 4167 community-dwelling older adults participated in the assessments, including face-to-face interviews and physical and cognitive function evaluation. We included participants who resided in Takahama city and were aged ≥60 years or older at the time of the study (September 2015-February 2017). We excluded participants who met the following criteria: (1) age < 65 years (n = 777); (2) with health problems (dementia, Parkinson disease, and stroke) (n = 240), such as dementia, Parkinson's disease, and stroke, which have a direct impact on physical activity and disability incidence, based on information obtained by a qualified nurse who interviewed the participants face-to-face; (3) who needed support or care-as certified by the Japanese public LTCI system-due to disability (n = 75); (4) with disabilities affecting basic activities of daily living (ADLs) (n = 5); and (5) responses with missing variables of exclusion criteria (n = 197). Of the initial 4167 participants, 1294 were excluded based on these criteria. The study participants were followed up from September 2015 to February 2019, with a mean follow-up of 35.1 months (SD, 6.4 months). All participants provided written informed consent prior to participating in this study. The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology (No. 1440). Participants were tracked monthly for a new incidence of LTCI certification, as recorded by the Japanese LTCI system and measured by each municipal government. The LTCI system classifies a person in "Support Level 1 or 2" to indicate a need for assistance to support ADLs, or in "Care Levels 1 through 5" to indicate a need for continuous care [18] . In this study, disability was defined as any LTCI certification level, and we defined disability onset as the point at which a participant received LTCI certification. The physical and social activities were assessed from the activities listed in a selfreported questionnaire. Physical activity was assessed at baseline by asking participants about their participation in the following activities during the past year: walking, cycling, jogging, swimming, muscle training, yoga, gymnastics, dancing, hiking, playing golf, playing grand golf, or ball exercise. Exercise frequency was assessed by participants as never, once a month or less, several times a month, 1-2 times per week, 3-6 times per week, and every day [19] . In this study, persons who exercised at least 3 times a week were classified as exercising regularly, based on the WHO guidelines [6] . At baseline, walking had the highest percentage of participants who were "exercising regularly" among the 12 aforementioned physical activities (Supplementary Table S1 ). Therefore, only walking was included in the statistical analysis. Social activity was assessed at baseline by asking participants about their participation in the following group activities involving two or more people during the past year: officer of a senior club or neighborhood association, attending a regional event, engaging in environmental beautification activities, teaching, supporting activity, working, singing karaoke, dining out, partying with friends, shopping with friends, talking to friends (including phone calls), attending an event or concerts, or traveling. The frequency of participation in social activities was also assessed by participants as: never, once a month or less, several times a month, 1-2 times per week, 3-6 times per week, and every day [19] . In this study, individuals except those who did not participate at least once a year were classified as regular participants. Additionally, we calculated the average number of the 12 social activities wherein all participants took part. We then divided the participants into two groups: those with fewer social activities and those with more numbers of social activities, based on the average number of activities. Potential confounders included demographic variables, chronic disease, psychological factors, and metabolic parameters associated with disability in older adults. Therefore, our model included the following covariates: age at enrollment, sex, medication use, the presence of chronic diseases, cohabitation status, the number of years of education, grip strength, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) [20] score, body mass index (BMI), total serum protein, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and walk score. The presence of the following self-reported chronic diseases was also included among the covariates: heart disease, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and spinal diseases. Grip strength was measured using a Smedley-type handheld dynamometer (GRIP-D; Takei Scientific Instruments Co., Ltd., Niigata, Japan) under strictly standardized conditions, using the same device, to avoid inter-observer and inter-device variability. We recorded one measurement of grip strength of each participant's dominant hand, with participants in a standing position and having their elbows extended. We utilized Walk Score™ (Front Seat Management, Limited Liability Company (LLC), Seattle, WA, USA) [21] , a publicly available website found to be valid and reliable for estimating accessibility to amenities within a comfortable walking distance [22] . The Walk Score uses data provided by the Google™ AJAX Search application program interface [23] , along with a geography-based algorithm to identify nearby amenities and calculate a "walkability" score [21] based on the distance to amenities. Neighborhood walkability is associated with participation in physical and social activities by older adults [24] [25] [26] . The Walk Scores are associated with the number of steps per day, minutes of leisure walking, and daily moderate-to vigorous-intensity physical activities [27] [28] [29] . The Walk Score was calculated for all participants using their home addresses. Blood samples were taken at least 4 h after meals and were analyzed using standard laboratory techniques. One-way analysis of variance and Pearson's chi-square tests were used to compare variables among groups of participants who were disability-free, with a disability, and who died or relocated. Similarly, the aforementioned tests were used to compare variables among participants who walked ≥3 times per week and participants who walked <3 times per week groups. Adjusted standardized residuals >1.96 indicated p < 0.05. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate whether a potential bias could be introduced by the censoring mechanism for persons who died or relocated. We calculated cumulative incident disability during follow-ups for each of the two above-mentioned walking groups using the Kaplan-Meier curves. Intergroup differences were estimated using log-rank tests. Crude and adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident disability risk. Model 1 is a crude model. Model 2 is adjusted for age and sex. The factors associated with the incidence of disability among older Japanese have been shown to differ by age and sex [11, 30] . In previous studies examining factors associated with disability incidence in older Japanese, models that adjust for age and sex have been used in many cases [14, 16, 31, 32] . Model 3 is adjusted for the covariates in Model 2 and years of education, heart disease, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, spinal diseases, cohabitation status, BMI, total serum protein, HbA1c, medication, MMSE score, grip strength, and walk score. Given the significant effect of social activity participation on disability, we performed sub-analyses by applying Cox proportional hazard models to participants both in fewer and more social activities (number of participations