key: cord-0596520-ro1qo4k6 authors: Gonzalez, T.; Rubia, M. A. de la; Hincz, K. P.; Comas-Lopez, M.; Subirats, L.; Fort, S.; Sacha, G. M. title: Influence of COVID-19 confinement in students performance in higher education date: 2020-04-20 journal: nan DOI: nan sha: 95a01431d2948b87a8080151ede1b5c25966a134 doc_id: 596520 cord_uid: ro1qo4k6 This study explores the effects of COVID-19 confinement in the students performance in higher education. Using a field experiment of 458 students from three different subjects in Universidad Autonoma de Madrid (Spain), we study the differences in assessments by dividing students into two groups. The first group (control) corresponds to academic years 2017/2018 and 2018/2019. The second group (experimental) corresponds to students from 2019/2020, which is the group of students that interrupted their face-to-face activities because of the confinement. The results show that there is a significant positive effect of the COVID-19 confinement on students performance. This effect is also significative in activities that did not change their format when performed after the confinement. We find that this effect is significative both in subjects that increased the number of assessment activities and subjects that did not change the workload of students. Additionally, an analysis of students learning strategies before confinement shows that students did not study in a continuous basis. Based on these results, we conclude that COVID-19 confinement changed students learning strategies to a more continuous habit, improving their efficiency. For these reasons, better scores in students assessment are expected due to COVID-19 confinement that can be explained by an improvement in their learning performance. 3 changes in the common format of the evaluation tools. On the contrary, students can obtain lower grades what, again, could be related to the evaluation format or to a less effective autonomous learning due to the change in teaching method. The objective of this article is to reduce the uncertainty in the assessment process in higher education during the COVID-19 pandemic. To achieve this goal, we analyze students' learning strategies before and after confinement. Altogether, our data indicates that autonomous learning in this scenario has increased students' performance and higher scores should be expected. We also discuss the reasons underneath this effect. We present a study that involves more than 450 students enrolled in 3 subjects from different degrees from the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain) during three academic years, including data obtained in the 2019/2020 academic year, where the restrictions due to the COVID-19 pandemic has been applied. E-learning has experienced significant change due to the exponential growth of the internet and information technology [3] . New e-learning platforms are being developed for tutors to facilitate assessments and for learners to participate in lectures [4 -5] . Both assessment processes and self-evaluation have been proven to benefit from technological advancement. Even courses that include all the contents online such as Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) [6 -7] have been also become popular. The inclusion of e-Learning tools in higher education implies that a greater amount of information can be analyzed, improving teaching quality [8 -9 -10] . In recent years, many studies have been performed analyzing the advantages and challenges of massive data analysis in higher education [11] . For example, a study of Gasevic et al [12] indicates that time management tactics had significative correlations with academic performance. Jovanovic et al also demonstrated that assisting students in their management of learning resources is critical for a correct management of their learning strategies in terms of regularity [13] . Related to autonomous learning, many studies have been performed regarding the concept of self-regulated learning (SRL), in which students are active and responsible for their own learning process [14 -15] as well as being knowledgeable, self-aware and able to select their own approach to learning [16 -17] . Some studies indicated that SRL significantly affected students' academic achievement and learning performance [18 -19 -20] . Researchers indicated that students with strongly developed SRL skills were more likely to be successful both in classrooms [21] and online learning [22] . These studies and the development of adequate tools for evaluation and self-evaluation of learners have become especially necessary in the COVID-19 pandemic in order to guarantee good performance in e-learning environments [23] . Linear tests, which require all students to take the same assessment in terms of the number and order of items during a test session, are among the most common tools used in computer-based testing. Computer adaptive test (CAT), based on item response theory, was formally proposed by Lord in 1980 [24 -25 -26 ] to overcome the shortfalls of the 4 linear test. CAT allows dynamic changes for each test item based on previous answers of the student [27] . More advanced CAT platforms use personalization to individual learner´s characteristics by adapting questions and providing tailored feedback [28] . Research contains numerous examples of assessment tools that can guide students [29 -30 -31 ] and many advances have been also developed in the theoretical background of CAT [32] . In this aspect, advantages offered by CAT go beyond simply providing a snapshot score [33] , as is the case with linear testing. Some platforms couple the advantages of CAT-specific feedback with multistage adaptive testing [34] . The use of CAT is also increasingly being promoted in clinical practice to improve patient quality of life. Over decades, different systems and approaches based on CAT have been used in the educational space to enhance the learning process [35 -36] . Considering the usage of CAT as a learning tool, establishing the knowledge of the learner is crucial for personalizing subsequent question difficulty. CAT does have some negative aspects such as continued test item exposure, which allows learners to memorize the test answers and share them with their peers [37 -38] . As a solution to limit test item exposure, a large question bank has been suggested. This solution is unfeasible in most cases, since majority of the CAT models already require more items than comparable linear testing [39] . The aim of this study is to identify the effect of COVID-19 confinement on students' performance. This main objective leads to the first hypothesis of this study which can be formulated as H1: COVID-19 confinement has a significative effect in students' performance. The confirmation of this hypothesis should be done discarding any potential side effect such as students cheating in their assessment process related to the distant learning. Moreover, a further analysis should be done to investigate what factors of COVID-19 confinement are responsible of the change. A second hypothesis is H2: COVID-19 confinement has a significative effect in the assessment process. The aim of the project was therefore to investigate the following questions: 1. Is there any effect (positive or negative) of COVID-19 confinement in students' performance? 2. Is it possible to be sure that COVID-19 confinement is the origin of the different performance (if any)? 3. What are the reasons of the differences (if any) in students' performance? What are the expected effects of the differences in students' performance (if any) in the assessment process? We have used two online platforms. The first one is e-valUAM [40] , an online platform that aims to increase the quality of tests by improving the objectivity, robustness, security and relevance of content. e-valUAM implements all the CAT tests described in the following sections. The second online platform used in this study is the Moodle platform provided by the Biochemistry Department from Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, where all the tests that do not use adaptive questions are implemented. Adaptive tests have been used in the subjects "Applied Computing" and "Design of Water Treatment Facilities". Traditional tests have been used in the subject "Metabolism". Let us consider a test composed by NQ items. In the most general form, the normalized grade Sj obtained by a student in the j-attempt will be a function of the weights of all the questions α and the normalized scores ψ (Sj=Sj(α,ψ)), and can be defined as: where the ψi is defined as where δ is the Kronecker delta, Ai the correct answer and Ri the student's answer to the i-question. By using this definition, we limit ψi to only two possible values: 1 and 0; ψi =1 when the student's answer is correct and ψi=0 when the student gives a wrong value. This definition is valid for both open answer and multiple-choice tests. In the case of multiplechoice test with NR possible answers, ψi can be reduced to consider the random effect. In this case: Independently of using equation 2 or 3, to be sure that Sj(α, ψ) is normalized (i.e. 00.05) (Fig 8b) . Therefore, students' performance in the previous 2 years (control group) were not significantly different, allowing us to compare with them the results from 2019/2020. Scores obtained by the students in 2019/2020 academic year before confinement were similar to those obtained by students from the control group, although some differences were found at the beginning of the course (activities number 2, 3 and 4, p<0.05). We think that this could be due to the adaptation of the students to the course and the new assessment methodology, being afterwards similar again. However, after the end of face-to-face teaching and beginning of confinement, students' scores were significantly higher than in the previous academic years (Fig 8a) . Moreover, we also found higher scores and an increase in students that pass the activity number 9, which is a test (Figs 8a and 8b ). In the present academic course (2019/2020), this test has been performed by the students confined at their homes, in contrast to previous years where it was performed in the classroom under the supervision of the tutor. In addition, we have analysed the proportion of students that perform the activities in the different courses (Fig 8c) , finding that this proportion is very similar, with only a difference in one activity. The aim of this study was to identify the effect of COVID-19 confinement on students' performance. Therefore, we conducted an experiment among 450 students from three subjects in different degrees of higher education at Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Spain. The results of this study answer our 4 research questions: 1. Is there any effect (positive or negative) of COVID-19 confinement in students' performance? 21 2. Is it possible to be sure that COVID-19 confinement is the origin of the different performance (if any)? 3. What are the reasons of the differences (if any) in students' performance? 4. What are the expected effects of the differences in students' performance (if any) in the assessment process? With respect to research question 1, the results show that there is a significant positive effect of COVID-19 confinement on students' performance. The results indicate that students obtain better scores in all kind of tests that are performed after the beginning of confinement. Different sources of error have been removed from our study by including only subjects that fit the following requirements for the last three academic years: -Same teaching methodology and teachers all the years. -Same assessment process all the years, including both distant and on-site activities. year, we have two periods with different conditions. The first period is taught in the same conditions as in previous years (before confinement). In the second period, those conditions dramatically changed, and all the teaching and learning activities are limited to distant learning. The results of our studies clearly indicate that there are significant differences in students' performance after the confinement that cannot be found before in the same year or when comparing to the previous academic years. At this point, it is clear that the variable that correlates with the change in students' performance is the beginning of confinement. However, we cannot stablish yet if the difference is due to the: -New learning methodology. -New assessment process. The problem with confinement is that not only learning and teaching strategies should be modified, but also the assessment process as it cannot be done face-to-face. There are some concerns related to these new assessment methods such as the opportunity of cheating by the students. This is the reason why we have chosen only subjects that include several tests that have not been modified because of the confinement. The results of our study show that students have a significant improvement in their scores also in tests that were performed in distant format also in previous years. Moreover, this improvement is only significant when comparing data after the confinement (i.e. there are not significant differences in tests in distant format that were performed before the confinement). These findings reveal that the new assessment process cannot be the reason of the improvement in students' performance because they also get better scores when the format of the assessment does not change. For these reasons, we establish that the new learning methodology 22 is the main reason for the changes detected in students' performance after the confinement. Now, we shall discuss research question 3 (What are the reasons of the differences (if any) in students' performance?). We have proven that something has changed in students learning methodology. The question is which is the common element in those methodologies that impulse the improvement in the learning process. We have analysed data from two different subjects that used two very different learning strategies after the confinement. In one of them, additional e-Learning tasks were imposed to the students. Theoretical lessons were replaced by writing documents. In the other one, no additional e-Learning tasks were imposed, and theoretical lessons were replaced by multimedia classes. In both cases, we have found a significant increment in students' performance in the evaluation tests after the confinement. It seems that students' performance is increased independently of the learning strategies followed by teachers. Since we have established that the assessment process cannot be responsible of the differences, and we cannot find any common element in the learning methodologies, we must think on a general change in the autonomous learning process. We have also analyzed data from previous years in two subjects that demonstrate that students do not work in a continuous basis. In both subjects, students work hard only the last days before the final exams. In one subject, we have found that more than 33% of the autonomous work were done the previous 5 days to the final exam. In the other subject, students only used the e-Learning material the last 2 days before the final exam, even when they were provided three weeks in advance. In this study, we have also found that students easily change their learning behavior and study continuously when a reward is offered. This extra motivation dramatically changed their learning strategy and students worked in a much wider time window, increasing their performance. An increasing in the students' performance due to an adequate time management in the learning is well-stablished in the literature [12 -13] . In the present COVID-19 confinement, students can find by themselves many different motivations (rewards) to work in a continuous basis. First, the confinement is a new scenario that has never been faced by the students. For these reasons, students do not have any previous experience to use as a reference in their learning process. Without any previous reference, students should be confident that they are following the course correctly and therefore, work continuously to be sure that they do not miss any important content. Another interpretation is that they are afraid of missing the academic year because of the COVID-19 confinement and they work harder to overcome any difficulty. Finally, students may be motivated by their intrinsic responsibility in a very confused situation and work hard to contribute as much as they can to solve the problems that higher education is facing. Most probably, different students will find different motivations in this new scenario (probably a combination of many). We conclude that there is a real and measurable improvement in the students' learning performance that we believe can guarantee the good progress of this academic year despite the COVID-19 confinement. Answering question 4, we have demonstrated that students get better grades in activities that did not change 23 their format after the COVID-19 confinement. Moreover, we have demonstrated that there is an improvement in their learning performance. In conclusion, higher scores are expected due to the COVID-19 confinement that can be directly related to a real improvement in students learning. 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