key: cord-0517501-60tax5eb authors: Sinha, Sourav title: US Salary History Bans -- Strategic Disclosure by Job Applicants and the Gender Pay Gap date: 2022-02-08 journal: nan DOI: nan sha: e81c1dc8ba441ccf28bf2b6b70b472658da59aed doc_id: 517501 cord_uid: 60tax5eb I study the effects of US salary history bans which restrict employers from inquiring about job applicants' pay history during the hiring process, but allow candidates to voluntarily share information. Using a difference-in-differences design, I show that these policies narrowed the gender pay gap significantly by 2 p.p., driven almost entirely by an increase in female earnings. The bans were also successful in weakening the auto-correlation between current and future earnings, especially among job-changers. I provide novel evidence showing that when employers could no longer nudge candidates for information, the likelihood of voluntarily disclosing salary history decreased among job applicants and by 2 p.p. more among women. I then develop a salary negotiation model with asymmetric information, where I allow job applicants to choose whether to reveal pay history, and use this framework to explain my empirical findings on disclosure behavior and gender pay gap. In a world where productivity is not directly observable, employers have every incentive to draw inferences about worker productivity from auxiliary signals like employment history, tenure, unemployment duration, test scores, and past wages (Altonji and Pierret (2001) ; Lange (2007) (2018)). Employers seek information on past wages to gauge not only productivity, but the applicant's outside option, and also to determine whether the worker can fit into the pay structures of the new firm. About 50% of workers in the US report that their current employer had learned about pay in their earlier jobs, before making an offer (Hall and Krueger (2012) ). In another nationally representative survey, Barach and Horton (2020) find that 29.4% of respondents were asked about their pay history during interviews and among them, 82.6% report that the firm had asked about compensation before extending a job offer. While information about past wages has screening value for employers, access to such information raises potential concerns about history dependence in wage growth. More specifically, if employers rely on past wages in deciding compensation, workers who earn low wages early in their career, either because of entry-level mismatches or career interruptions, would see their wage growth stymied. These concerns are more acute for women who face major career discontinuities over their lifetime, primarily because of child-birth (Bertrand et al. (2010) ), and several studies have shown that the gender pay gap widens in the first 15 to 20 years after entering the workforce (Goldin (2014) ; Blau and Kahn (2017) ; Goldin et al. (2017) ). How have policymakers responded to these growing concerns about workplace pay inequality? On one hand, a number of countries in the EU have enacted policies that increase pay transparency by giving workers access to their employers' private information about workplace earnings distributions. These policies have had varying levels of success across countries (Bennedsen et al. (2019) , Gulyas et al. (2020) , Blundell (2020) , Duchini et al. (2020) ) 2 . On the other hand, several states and local jurisdictions in the US, starting in early 2017, have passed salary history bans (SHBs) which prohibit employers from inquiring about job applicants' current or previous salary, before making an offer including compensation. By restricting prospective employers access to what is now workers' private information, these bans seek to prevent low wages from following women throughout their career and improve the pay gap in the 2 Countries like the UK, Germany, Austria, Finland and Denmark have enacted different variants of gender pay reporting laws, which require firms to publish gender differences in pay and employment at different aggregate levels. In 2016, the then US president announced executive action that would have required firms with government contracts to disclose the average wages of employees by gender, a move that was subsequently rolled back by President Trump (Obama-Executive Order-EEOC Action on Pay Data Collection). President Obama also signed Executive Order 13665 in 2014 which prohibits federal contractors from retaliating against employees who choose to discuss their compensation (Obama Executive Order-Non-Retaliation For Disclosure of Compensation Information). process 3 . However, one important caveat of these bans is that they do not restrict job applicants from voluntarily disclosing pay history and this has the potential to unravel any intended effects 4 . Therefore, ex-ante it is unclear whether SHBs would have any effects on the gender pay gap and in this paper I provide a systematic study of this policy's effects and explain how SHBs have helped in closing this gap. As of December, 2019, 18 states and many other local jurisdictions at city and county levels have some version of salary history bans. These laws restrict employers from asking applicants about their pay history or seeking such information from public records, background checks, and current and former employers. Ten of these 18 states have bans for all employers, while the rest apply only to state employers and agencies. In this paper I exploit the two sources of variation induced by the staggered roll-out of SHBs across states in the US, to study its effects using a difference-in-difference methodology. I use earnings data from the Current Population Survey's (CPS) Outgoing Rotation Group (also known as the earner study) for the period January, 2010 to December, 2019 along with the CPS Basic Monthly Files. Since different states apply these bans to different employers, in my main estimation sample (which I call AllStateBan), I compare states which have bans for all employers to those which have no bans. Using my most preferred specification I find that salary history bans significantly reduce gender gaps in hourly wages by 2 p.p. (s.e. 0.8) and in weekly earnings by 1.9 p.p. (s.e. 0.8). When I estimate the effects of the ban separately for men and women, I find that this reduction in gender pay gap is driven almost entirely by increase in female wages and weekly earnings, respectively and not because of any adverse effects on male earnings. I also investigate whether SHBs weaken the link between past and present earnings by estimating the effect of SHBs on the auto-correlation in earnings. Indeed, I find that SHBs reduce the auto-correlation between these two earnings measures, especially for the sample of workers who can be credibly identified as having changed jobs. Next, I investigate heterogeneous treatment effects by race, education, age, and sector of employment. I find that SHBs increased earnings only for white female workers, thus widening both the white-black racial gap among women, as well as improving the gender pay gap only among white workers. Positive effects of SHB on earnings also seem restricted to young workers, particularly those with lower education levels. When I decompose the effects of SHBs on the gender pay gap by public versus private sectors, I find that SHBs reduced the pay gap only in the private sector, while the gap in the public sector seems to 3 "Salary history based on unequal treatment then becomes the bases for the next salary", Mr. de Blasio, a Democrat, said at a news conference. "We have to break that cycle." -New York Times (Nov 4, 2016) ; " (c) The problematic practice of seeking salary history from job applicants and relying on their current or past salaries to set employees' pay rates contribute to the gender pay gap by perpetrating wage inequalities across the occupational spectrum" -Parity in Pay Ordinance 142-17, City and County of San Francisco. 4 For other explanations for why this policy might fail, check out this 2017 article from PayScale. have increased by around 2-3 p.p. Finally, there is little evidence that SHBs changed other labor market outcomes like labor force participation, unemployment rate, and job turnover. It is important to emphasize here that the success of SHBs hinge on prospective employers not getting access to information about job applicants' previous salary. However, voluntary disclosure on part of applicants have the potential to unravel these effects. Therefore, for SHBs to have had any impact, average disclosure rates would have to decrease with these bans and the size of this reduction would have to differ by gender. Indeed I find, using a novel dataset from PayScale, that the bans reduced disclosure rates by 22 p.p. (s.e. 3.5) among men and by 24 p.p. (s.e. 4.7) among women, conditional on other observables. In fact, there is little difference in the disclosure rates between men and women after the ban. Does this imply that it is the nudge from the employer that might have induced more job applicants to disclose before the ban, and more so for women? To check for this, I compare disclosure behavior among male and female job applicants who were asked and not asked for their salary history, even before the bans were put into place. I find that conditional on other observables, men were 59 p.p. (s.e. 1.4) and women were 66 p.p. (s.e. 0.8) more likely to disclose before the ban when asked versus when not asked. Moreover, conditional on being asked, women were 4.2 p.p. (s.e. 1.3) more likely than men to comply with information requests. This, coupled with the fact that women were 4 p.p. (s.e. 1.6) more likely than men to be asked about their salary history before the ban 5 , led to a higher disclosure rate among women in pre-SHB periods by 3 p.p. (s.e. 1.2) . This confirms my initial hypotheses that it is really the prompt from the prospective employer to reveal information, which induces more job applicants to comply. On further investigation, I also find that high-earners (i.e., those who earn above the occupation-specific median salary), among both men and women, were 6-8 p.p. more likely to disclose salary history in pre-SHB periods. Indeed, high-earners might find it beneficial to reveal information because their already-high salaries would help them negotiate better offers, while low-earners would withhold information because recruiters might offer them only a fixed percent raise on their already-low salaries. But financial incentives may not be the only drivers of disclosure decisions. For example, job applicants might feel more obligated to share information when prompted, because refusal might put off the prospective employer. To better understand these motivations, I conducted a nationally representative online survey of 5,700 US workers, where I asked respondents whether they would reveal their salary history and why they would make those choices. Evidence from this survey confirms my findings from the PayScale data, that applicants are more likely to reveal information only when asked 6 . While respondents are not necessarily put off by salary history questions during hiring, they 5 Men were 27.4% (s.e. 3.1) and women were 31.3% (s.e. 3.0) likely to be asked about their salary history before the ban, conditional on other observables. 6 In the survey over 70% of respondents said they would share information only when asked and withhold when not asked. also recognize these as strategies for low-balling offers. Men are more likely to say they would disclose because their salaries are already high, and women are more likely to state that they feel uncomfortable with disclosing as well as withholding information. While there could be many financial and behavioral incentives that make job applicants choose whether to disclose, it is still striking that 88% of applicants do not volunteer information and 23% refuse to comply with information requests. Does this imply that employers do not perceive non-disclosure as a sign of already-low salaries, and therefore do not statistically discriminate against those who withhold information? I argue that statistical discrimination is observationally consistent with an equilibrium in which a non-zero proportion of job applicants do not reveal salary history. However, statistical discrimination or its lack thereof, can still not explain why disclosure rates are higher among those who are asked about their salary, and why disclosure rates are not 100% even among high-earners. To bridge this gap, I propose a theoretical framework of salary negotiation between a job applicant and a prospective employer, and I use this framework to rationalize my empirical findings. In this simple framework, the employer has information about the worker's productivity but not their current wage, which can take from one of two values -high or low. Only the distribution of wages conditional on gender, is public information and the worker can choose whether to reveal their actual wage. I incorporate two types of utility costs for the worker: (a) a psychic cost of disclosing private information like salary, which is invariant to gender and (b) a psychic cost of withholding information when asked, which is higher among women. The first type of utility cost implies that when an applicant discloses salary history, the prospective employer has to compensate them for their utility cost of sharing private information, if the applicant were to accept the offer. This allows us to sustain a separating equilibrium where only low-wage applicants withhold information if the proportion of low-earners is too high, and a pooling equilibrium where all applicants withhold information when the proportion of low-earners falls below a certain threshold. In a separating equilibrium the prospective employer can extract full rent from both high and low-wage applicants, while in a pooling equilibrium they can extract full rent only from highwage applicants, while paying a premium to low-earners. Therefore, if the proportion of low-earners is too high, the employer is better off choosing a wage offer which incentivizes only high-wage applicants to share information. Moreover, applicants face a utility cost of withholding information when asked than when not asked. Therefore, if applicants are asked and a pooling equilibrium arises, employers have to pay non-disclosing low-earners for their cost of withholding information on top of a premium for pooling with high-earners. This implies that the threshold proportion of low-earners above which employers begin to offer separating wages, decreases when applicants are asked in comparison to when they are not. I use Around 18% said they would never disclose, and the rest said they would always disclose. this to prove analytically that there exists gender-specific initial wage distributions, such that only highearners disclose information when applicants are asked (pre-SHB) and all workers withhold information when they are not asked (post-SHB). Gender differences in the second type of utility cost then leads to different pre and post-SHB equilibria for men and women. In particular, I show that there exists initial wage distributions for men and women, with a more right-skewed distribution for women, such that women are offered separating wages in pre-SHB periods and pooling wages in post-SHB period, while men are offered pooling wages in both periods. This helps us capture four empirical findings on disclosure: (a) women are more likely to disclose when asked, (b) women are more likely to disclose in pre-SHB period, (c) high-earners are more likely to disclose than low-earners, and (d) SHB reduces average disclosure rates, more so for women. I then prove analytically how a ceiling on women's utility cost of withholding information when asked, helps us capture the effects of SHB on the gender pay gap. This upper bound ensures that average female wages are lower than the pooling wage men receive in pre-SHB periods, thus reflecting the baseline gender pay gap. In the simple framework, men and women receive the same pooling wages in post-SHB periods, thus capturing the improvement in gender pay gap with SHBs in place. This improvement in gender wage gap comes from low-earning women, who would have received a separating wage in the pre-SHB case and they are pooled with high-wage women in the post-SHB case. I then extend this stylized framework in two different ways: (a) gender-invariant heterogeneity in productivity and utility costs, while preserving the two-valued support of initial wage distributions, (b) gender-invariant heterogeneity along with continuous initial wage distributions for both men and women. Since analytical results for these two extensions are impossible without restrictive functional form assumptions, I numerically simulate these two frameworks. In particular I show, how for a given set of parameters, there exists initial wage distributions with a more right-skewed distribution for women, such that the model and its extensions capture my main empirical findings. The difference in skewness of initial wage distributions is a reasonable model outcome, in light of the actual earnings distribution in the CPS data. My paper contributes to the literature on the effects of restricting employers' access to different kinds of information about job applicants. Goldin and Rouse (2000) found that orchestras switching to blind auditions where the gender of the musician is not observable, increases the proportion of female musicians employed. Similarly, Wozniak (2015) found that when employers require drug tests for workers, employment of low-skilled black men increases. However, restricting information also has the potential to generate unintended effects. For example, Bartik and Nelson (2016) show that banning employers from checking job applicants' credit histories, reduces job-finding rates for young black job seekers. Using an audit study, Agan and Starr (2017) show that limiting employer access to criminal records increases the white-black gap in call-back rates for job applicants. In related work, Doleac and Hansen (2018) study real world implications of "ban-the-box movement" (BTB) policies in the US, which prohibit employers from accessing criminal records and incarceration history of job applicants. Consistent with statistical discrimination, they found that young, low-skilled black men were less likely to be employed after BTB than before. While statistical discrimination is a valid possibility in my context, salary history bans are quite different from some of the measures above, since salary history and expectations are often early and commonplace discussions during hiring, as opposed to more auxiliary information like criminal records and credit histories. Whilst ours is not the only paper to study the effects of SHB policies, it is fundamentally different from contemporary literature on this topic along multiple dimensions. Barach and Horton (2020) conduct a field experiment in an online labor market, where treated employers could not observe the compensation history of their applicants. However, in their setting, applicants themselves were unaware of this feature and therefore, had no control over disclosing information. Agan et al. (2020) conduct a small online survey of 500 respondents and ask participants whether they would choose to disclose their salary history in hypothetical scenarios. Sran et al. (2020) show SHBs increase the number of job postings and also the likelihood that postings carry salary information. Hansen and McNichols (2020) disclosure choice in a theoretical framework. This is in contrast to Agan et al. (2020) , who consider workers as immutable 'defiers' or 'compliers', and Meli and Spindler (2019) or Bessen et al. (2020) , who assume away the possibility of non-disclosure before the ban and that of disclosure after the ban. This is also in contrast to standard search theoretic models (Postel-Vinay and Robin (2002), Cahuc et al. (2006) , Bagger et al. (2014) ), where there is no asymmetric information between the worker and the prospective employer, and current wages are irrelevant to the bargaining outcome. And finally, I translate my empirical evidence on disclosure into notions of psychic costs and incorporate them in my model to bring together the two dimensions to this story -disclosure behavior and earnings. The rest of this paper is structured as follows. In Section 2 I provide an overview of salary history bans and their variations across the US. Section 3 discusses my data and in Section 4 I outline my main empirical strategy. I report my findings on earnings in Section 5 and in Section 6 I show evidence on pre-SHB disclosure behavior and how disclosure rates have changed with SHB. In Section 7 I discuss my theoretical framework and show how this model helps rationalize my empirical findings using both analytical derivations and simulations. Section 8 concludes. New York was the first to institute a state-wide salary history ban for state employers and agencies in January, 2017. Since then, other states have followed, including California, Massachusetts and Connecticut, along with many local governments at the city and county levels. Local bans also vary in their scope. While most local bans are applicable for city employers and agencies alone (eg, Chicago (IL), New Orleans (LA), Salt Lake City (UT), Kansas(MO)), others in New York city and counties like Westchester (NY) and Albany (NY) apply to all employers. The primary provision of these bans, which is common across jurisdictions, is to restrict employers from asking applicants their salary history at any stage in the hiring process, including application forms in most cases 9 . Employers cannot seek information on salary history from public records, background 7 For more details on the effective dates, scope and provisions for each ban, see Table 1 8 Both NY and NJ extended bans to all employers in early January, 2020. For more details, see Table 1 . 9 Example of an exception to the ban on application form disclosure is New York city. Since New York state has a ban on application form disclosure for all state employers, all city agencies and private employers in New York city are exempt checks or ask applicants' current or former employers. In some states employers are also prohibited from asking hiring agencies for information and these agencies are required to have written consent from job applicants before they can disclose such information to prospective employers 10 . However, an important caveat of all these bans is that applicants can voluntarily disclose information about pay history without being prompted. In some states, if applicants volunteer information on salary history or employers accidentally discover such information while conducting background checks, then they cannot use this information to either discriminate against applicants in hiring or decide compensation for a new position. Applicants cannot be discriminated against because of their refusal to disclose salary history on being prompted. Employers are allowed to ask about pay history only after they have already made an offer that includes compensation details. If applicants choose to disclose after they already know about their pay in the new position, employers can verify this information. These laws are not applicable for internal transfers, promotions, union bargaining and are subject to federal exemptions. In cases where there are conflicts between state-wide bans and local bans within that state, state restrictions override all local ambiguities. Any breach of these bans can be contested in a court of law; and if found guilty, the employer can incur monetary penalties. In some cases, the employer is not liable for any breach of laws by a hiring agency as long as the employer had explicitly directed the agency to not collect information on pay history. In this paper, I focus only on the scope of the ban (i.e., the type of employer subject to these bans) and the main provision which restricts employers from asking pay history during job interviews. Since there is considerable variation in scope as well, I conduct multiple robustness checks in my analyses by both restricting the sample I include as well as by redefining the treatment I assign. The variation in scope also helps us test for spillover effects from bans in the private sector on the public sector and vice-versa. This is discussed in more detail in Section 5.5. I believe that many of the other provisions, for example, where the employer cannot use voluntarily disclosed or accidentally discovered information, or hold an applicant's refusal to disclose against her, are difficult to prove in a court of law and would therefore have little effect in the labor market. The first dataset I use in this paper comes from the Current Population Survey (CPS) (Flood et al. (2021) ). I use two kinds of data from the CPS: Basic Monthly Files, and the Outgoing Rotation Group from this requirement. 10 San Francisco requires hiring agencies to seek consent from applicants before they disclose any salary information to prospective employers, while the state of California has no such restriction. supplement from January, 2010 to December, 2019 11 . The CPS is a nationally representative monthly survey of around 60,000 households who are interviewed for four consecutive months, go out of the sample for eight consecutive months, and then re-enter the survey for another four consecutive months before leaving the survey altogether. Besides the demographic characteristics for each individual in the household like gender, age, education, location, etc., the basic monthly files also record the individual's labor market outcomes, including labor force participation, employment status, industry and occupation. For six of those eight months in the sample, excluding the 1st and the 5th months, each employed individual is also asked whether they changed their employer from the previous month 12 . This variable can be used to construct monthly transitions between jobs, sectors, between employment and unemployment for each of the two 3-month windows in the survey. The basic monthly files do not have any information on individual earnings. The earnings data comes from the Outgoing Rotation Group supplement, which is essentially the basic monthly file for the individual in the 4th and the 8th months in the sample. Two types of earnings are recorded for each of these 2 months: (a) hourly wages for those who are paid hourly, and (b) weekly earnings for all workers. While the earnings information is topcoded, only about 3% of the sample is topcoded in their weekly earnings, and almost 0% of the sample is topcoded in their hourly wages. In this paper I restrict my sample to civilian non-institutionalized population between the ages 22 and 64. I focus on this subset of population because most individuals would have enough time to complete college and enter the workforce by the age of 22, and remain in the labor force before retiring. Since earnings is observed only for those who are employed at the time of the survey, the sample used for analyzing earnings is smaller with around 53.84% of men and 59.12% of women being hourly paid. My second data comes from PayScale (2019) 13 , which is a compensation software and data company that helps employers manage compensation schedules, and employees to evaluate their skills, jobs and offers. PayScale conducted a survey of its users who wanted to evaluate their job offers. Between April 2017 to July 2017, and then from February 2018 till August 2019, around 140,000 respondents were asked whether the employer had asked them about their previous salary at any point in the interview process and whether they had revealed information in response to a prompt or volunteered information 14 . The 11 I have decided to limit this analyses through 2019 in order to avoid any potential bias from how the 2020 coronavirus pandemic affected the labor market 12 There are two questions related to any change in employment: (1) Still working for the same employer, and (2) Still have the same work activities. I use the answer to the first question to detect any change in employer. 13 Data provided by , Last Updated: August, 2019. 14 Users were asked the following question: At any point during the interview process, did you disclose your pay at previous jobs? Users could select from the following five options: (a) No, and they did not ask, (b) No, but they asked, (c) Yes, they asked about my salary history, (d) Yes, I volunteered information about my salary history, and (e) I do not recall. The data that I received from PayScale has responses recorded only for the first four options. The details of PayScale's own methodology and an overview of their findings can be found here and here respectively. data also has information on worker characteristics like gender, education, race, occupation (SOC codes), industry, total annual earnings, age, geographical location like state, and a time stamp at the week level. Figure A2 shows a breakdown of responses into four categories by gender. About 70% of respondents (including those who report having volunteered information) are not asked about their salary history. This also includes post salary history ban periods when employers can no longer ask about pay history. When prompted, 75% of men disclose pay history as opposed to 78% of women. When not asked, 12.8% of men and 10.3% of women choose to volunteer. Over the entire sample period men are slightly more likely to be asked about pay history than women (34.6% versus 33.1%). I show a final piece of summary statistic before discussing my empirical strategy in the next section. Fig A3 shows the pre-ban gender differences for a host of labor market outcomes, conditional on other observables, separately for states that have no salary history ban and others that have some version of a ban as of March, 2019 15 . Two of these outcomes are worth pointing out. States which have salary history bans already have a smaller gender gap in log(hourly wages) and log(weekly earnings) than states that have no bans. It is evident from these differences that adoption of salary history bans by states is not a random event. In fact, it could be the case that states that are more proactive towards reducing workplace gender disparities are more likely to adopt salary history bans. My empirical strategy does not require adoption to be random, only that there are no pre-ban differences in the outcome trends between the treated and control groups. However, these pre-ban differences suggest that by reducing gender pay gaps in treated states, salary history bans have the potential to increase spatial inequality in gender disparities across the country. I exploit the staggered roll-out of salary history bans by different states over time, to estimate the causal effects of SHB on gender pay gap using a staggered difference-in-differences design 16 . My baseline 15 To generate these differences, I regress the earnings and other labor market outcomes on a bunch of individual characteristics, labor market characteristics like sector, industry and occupation, state and year fixed effects, and a treatment dummy. The treatment dummy takes the value 1 for all states that have bans later in my sample, and 0 for all others. Standard errors are clustered at the state level. 16 I assume here that there are no heterogeneous treatment effects both across units for the same time and across time for the same unit. Under these assumptions, the two-way fixed effects model identifies the ATT, without any bias. specification is as follows: where y ismt is the log-earnings measured for the individual i in state s, in calendar month m and calendar year t. I f i is a female dummy, EverT reat s is a dummy variable if state s ever implements salary history ban, X ismt is a set of individual characteristics like race, education, a polynomial (cubic) in age, part/full time work status, sector, industry , occupation (2-digit SOC 2010) , and calendar month. λ s and λ t are state and year fixed-effects, λ s t, λ I t and λ f t are state, industry and female-specific linear time trends. The outcome variables y are log(hourly wage) or log(weekly earnings) (or a set of labor market outcomes like labor force participation, unemployment status, private sector employment, public sector employment, U2E, J2J or E2U transitions in later sections) 17 . When the outcome variable is log(weekly earnings) I also control for whether the worker is hourly paid, and the 19 In Appendix Section B I exploit the scope of the SHBs to construct other samples and use them to study spillover effects I also estimate heterogeneous effects of the salary history by sector of employment, education levels and age using the following specification: where X ismt ≡ X 1 ismt X 2 ismt . X 1 ismt is the set of education, polynomial in age and their interactions, whereas X 2 ismt is the set of other individual characteristics like race, occupation, industry, part-time/fulltime status and sector. I use a cubic in age for most specifications, five levels of education: Finally, to test for parallel pre-trends in my outcomes of interest, I use the following specification: where k denotes month-since-treatment, I k=l is an indicator function, and all other variables have the same interpretation as in (1) and (2) 20 . Before I discuss the estimation results from my specifications in the previous section, I first show evidence for parallel pre-trends in my outcome variables. Fig 3 shows the time-varying effects on gender pay gap (β l 1 in specification (3) above), separately for hourly wages and weekly earnings. Time is re-centered as 'month-since-treatment' such that for each treated state, the first month after the effective date is denoted as 0. All states which have no salary history bans are assumed to have a hypothetical effective date of September, 2018, which is the average effective date for all treated states. Visual inspection suggests that the gender pay gap (in both hourly wages and weekly earnings) followed reasonably parallel trends of SHB across sectors. 20 For control states which do not have salary history bans I randomly assign a hypothetical treatment start month drawn from the range of start months of all EverTreat states. between treated and control states before SHB went into effect. More specifically, I can say with 95% confidence that the gender pay gap was no different from the period just before SHB. In Appendix Figure D1 I show similar parallel pre-trends for nine different labor market outcomes including turnover rates. Again, these graphs reasonably satisfy parallel trends. I first show the effects of the salary history ban on the two earnings measures using a variant of the specification in (1), where I drop the interaction term I f i * T smt . The coefficient on T smt then denotes the average effects of SHB on pay. The results for hourly wages and weekly earnings are shown in Tables 3 and 4 respectively. Our coefficient of interest is T reat and I find no evidence of any impact of SHB on weekly earnings (row 1 in Table 4 ), and only marginally significant (at 10% significance) increase in hourly wages by 1 p.p. (row 1 of Table 3 ). These estimates are robust to inclusion of controls and different time trends. The lack of any effects on overall earnings could be explained by either no change in both male and female pay, or changes for both genders in the opposite direction. This therefore, has implications for individual earnings as well as the gender pay gap. I investigate this in the next section. Table 5 and Table 6 show my main estimates of the effects of SHB on gender gap in hourly wages and weekly earnings respectively using my baseline specification in (1) . Our main coefficient of interest is T reatXF emale (row 1), which is the female premium. A positive value of this estimate implies a reduction or improvement in the gender pay gap. The coefficient on T reat (row 2) is the effect of the ban on male pay, while the F emale indicator (row 3) denotes the baseline gender pay gap. Both tables show that the effects on gender gap for both earnings measures are positive and significant at the 95% level. The most comprehensive specifications in Column (7) of either table shows a reduction in gender pay gap by 2 p.p. in hourly wages, and 1.9 p.p. in weekly earnings. In contrast, the effects on both male hourly wages and weekly earnings are small, precisely estimated, and statistically insignificant. Using my most preferred specification in Column (7), male wages increased by a mere 0.1% (s.e. 0.006) and male weekly earnings decreased marginally by only 0.4% (s.e. 0.004). Therefore, it is evident that the SHBs were effective in their first intended objective of decreasing the gender pay gap by increasing female earnings, and there is no evidence for adverse effects on male earnings. Next, I investigate whether the bans were effective in their second intended objective of reducing the path-dependence in earnings, in particular the link between current and past earnings. The CPS basic monthly files provide earnings information for the 4 th and the 8 th months that the household (individual) is in the sample. I regress the demeaned earnings in the 8 th month on the demeaned earnings in the 4 th month interacted with the treatment indicator to estimate the effect of SHB on the auto-correlation between the two measures. In particular I use the following two specifications: ismt is the demeaned 21 earnings measured in the j th month of the survey, and all other variables have the same interpretation as in (1) . In specification (5a), I estimate gender-specific effects while in (5b) I estimate overall effects. Our coefficients of interest in (5a) are β 2 which measures the effect of SHB on the auto-correlation between the two earnings measures for men and (β 2 + β 1 ) which is the effect of SHB on the auto-correlation for women. β 4 denotes the baseline auto-correlation for men while (β 4 + β 3 ) measures the baseline for women. Similarly, in (5b) δ 1 measures the effect of SHB on overall auto-correlation in earnings and δ 2 measures the baseline value. These results are shown in Table 8 . Before I discuss these results, a caveat. SHBs can affect path-dependence in earnings only when a worker moves to a new job and their previous/current earnings is not observable to the new employer at the time of hiring. SHBs are legally not applicable to promotions and lateral movements with the same employer and it is reasonable to assume that earnings information is not hidden from the employer during these salary re-negotiations. Therefore, by including all workers in my analyses above, I might underestimate the effects of SHB on the auto-correlation in earnings, since path dependence will still apply to lateral moves and promotions. To address this problem, I run the above analyses separately for the group of workers who I can credibly identify as having changed jobs between the 4th and the 8th months in the sample 22 . I call this restricted 21 I residualize earnings by regressing hourly wages and weekly earnings on cubic polynomial of age, education, race, industry, occupation, sector, calendar month, calendar year, part/full-time status, hours worked, and gender interacted with EverTreat variable. 22 While the CPS tracks, for each month, whether the individual has changed their employer after the previous month, this information is not collected in the 5th month when the household or individual re-enters the sample after the 8 month absence window. Since earnings information is available only for the 4th and the 8th months in the sample, it is therefore not possible for me to pin down whether there's been a change in employer between the 4th and the 8th months for each sample of workers as 'Job Changers' and run the same analyses as with the full set of workers. The results for hourly wages and weekly earnings for this restricted sample are shown in the even-numbered columns of Table 8 while the results for the full sample are shown in the odd-numbered columns. Our coefficients of interest are Treat*PastEarn, Treat*Male*PastEarn, and Treat*Female*PastEarn which denote the effects of SHB on the auto-correlation in earnings for all workers, male, and female workers respectively. All these estimates are negative (although the effects on women are imprecisely estimated), implying that the auto-correlation in earnings decreases because of SHB. This is true for both Job Changers and the full sample. Finally, the effects for Job Changers are stronger than those for the full sample and this is true for both men and women. Overall, these results suggest that the SHBs were somewhat successful in their second intended objective of reducing path-dependence in wage setting 23 . In all my previous results, I have used the main sample (AllStateBan) where I compare states that have SHBs for all employers (both private and public) with states that have no bans for any employer. These sector-specific results are a composition of two effects: (a) effect of the sector-specific ban, and (b) spillover effect from SHB in the other sector. In this section I first decompose the effects of SHBs by sector. I then exploit the differences in SHB's scope across states to separate out sector-specific effects from spillover effects. To do this, I construct two additional samples by restricting the data in two other ways. The first sample, called PublicStateBan, includes states which have state-wide bans for only state agencies (treatment group) and also states with no bans for any employer (control group). 24 . Then I estimate sector specific effects for this sample. Here, the treatment effect on the public sector is the direct sector-specific SHB effect on public sector workers, and the treatment effect on the private sector individual in the sample. Instead, I denote as 'Job Changers' those, who report to have changed their employers in the 6th, 7th, or 8th months in the sample. This way, I lose some job changers who would have changed their jobs during the 8 month outside the sample. Since entry into the sample is random, it is reasonable to assume that individuals who would change their jobs during the 8 month gap are no different from those I denote as 'Job Changers'. 23 How do we reconcile the decrease in auto-correlation in earnings for both men and women as a result of SHB while the policy increases women's earnings without much effect on men's earnings? I re-estimate the effects of SHB on earnings for quintiles ofỹ (4) ism t , where I compute quintiles separately for men and women. These results are shown in Figure 4 . For both men and women in the lowest income quintile, SHB increases earnings and marginally more for women. For men in higher income quintiles, earnings decreases after SHB. This is why there is little evidence for overall effects on men's earnings (as shown in Tables 5 and 6 ) while the auto-correlation in earnings decreases. In contrast, for women in higher income quintiles the effects of SHB are still mostly positive, although smaller than that in the lowest quintile. Overall this results in an increase in women's earnings while still decreasing the auto-correlation. 24 To construct this sample I drop all states that have statewide bans for all employers, and local jurisdictions at city and county levels that have local bans (e.g., New York). I also identify and drop the MSAs which correspond to these local areas. Since only 75% of my sample is identifiable at the MSA level, I also summarily drop all non-identified MSAs. is the spillover effect from public sector SHB. Next, I construct another sample called AllStateBan-PP where I include only states which have statewide bans for either all employers (treatment group) or statewide bans only for state agencies 25 (control group). Again I estimate sector-specific effects. The treatment effect on public sector workers would be the spillover effects from bans in the private sector, because the public-sector specific effects would cancel out from the treatment and control group. And the treatment effect on private sector workers would be the direct sector-specific effect of SHB because the spillovers from the public sector SHBs would cancel out from treatment and control groups 26 . To ensure that my results are not confounded by sample selection, I calculate propensity score-based weights 27 for each observation in each of the three samples, such that the weighted covariate distributions across the three samples are the same 28 . I bootstrap this analyses to compute standard errors. Appendix Table B1 shows the effects of SHBs on public and private sector workers in the first sample AllStateBan. For both hourly wages and weekly earnings as outcomes, the gender pay gap actually increases in the public sector (not statistically significant for weekly earnings), driven almost entirely by an increase in male earnings by about 3%. In contrast, the gender pay gap decreases by 2.7 p.p. in the private sector, again driven mostly by an increase in female wages and earnings. Therefore, SHBs seem to have achieved their intended goals only in the private sector, but have actually widened the gap in the public sector. Table B2 I show the effects from samples PublicStateBan and AllStateBan-PP in the first and the last two columns respectively. I find that public sector-specific SHB worsens gender pay gaps in the public sector and has moderate positive effects on the gender pay gap in the private sector. In contrast, private sector-specific SHB has little effects on the public sector, while it improves the gender pay gap in the private sector. In Appendix Table C1 I show the effects of SHB on earnings separately by race (rows 1 and 2) and the gender pay gap by race (rows 3 and 4), and in rows (5) and (6) I show the baseline gender pay gap by race. As with my main results, I find little evidence for any substantial effects on average wages 25 I drop New York because although it has a statewide ban for public employers, New York city has bans for all employers 26 Both of these statements are true under the assumption that there is no complementarity between sector-specific and spillover effects. 27 This method is described in more detail in Appendix Section B. In short, I split data across the three samples by gender and employment sector. Then for each subsample and each observation I predict the probabilities of belonging to each of the 3 samples, using a multinomial probit model. For this, I control for all worker covariates excluding time and state of residence and also include in other covariates which I do not use in my final analyses. Then I use the inverse of these predicted probabilities as weights after normalizing the weights within each group. 28 The covariate balance is shown in Appendix Tables B3 and B4 for all workers, and for hourly paid workers separately. and weekly earnings for both white and black workers. SHBs decrease the gender pay gap, but only for white workers, and this is driven again by an increase in women's earnings (row 2 in columns 5 and 6 of Appendix Table C2 ). However, I do not find much evidence for SHBs decreasing the gender pay gap among black workers. In Appendix Table C2 I further show the effects of SHBs on the gap between white and black workers (denoted as RaceGap) in row 1. These results suggest that the white premium among women increases by around 3 p.p. (significant at 95%), two-thirds of which is driven by an increase in white women's earnings. In contrast, the race gap between white and black men decreases by about 1.5 p.p. (not significant), half of which is driven by a marginal increase in black men's earnings. In Appendix Fig C1 I plot the effects of SHB on hourly wages for men and women and gender wage gap, separately for each of five education levels (less than high school, high school, some college, associate degrees, and four year college degrees) and age. Similarly, in Appendix Figure C2 , I do the same for weekly earnings instead. Together, these two sets of results suggest that SHB decreases the gender pay gap mostly for young workers with higher levels of education. My results in Section 5.3 could be driven by changes in labor market turnover rates in response to the bans, as opposed to wage growth conditional on turnover. For example, if salary history bans result in higher (lower) job-to-job (J2J) transitions for women (men), then the gender pay gap will decrease in repeated cross-sections, even if there is no change in wage growth conditional on job change. Again, if more women select into the labor force, especially in high-income jobs, the gender pay gap will decrease even if wage growth does not change conditional on J2J transitions. To check whether my results are driven by these channels, I use linear probability models similar to the baseline specification in (1) to estimate the effects of salary history bans on nine outcomes: labor force participation (LFP), unemployment rate (UR), employment in the private sector, employment in the public sector, monthly unemployment-toemployment (U2E), monthly job-to-job (J2J), monthly employment-to-unemployment (E2U) transitions, monthly transitions from the Private sector to the Public sector (Pr2Pu), and monthly transitions from public sector to private sector (Pu2Pr). These results are shown in Appendix Table D1 . I fail to find any large or significant effects on these outcomes, with the exception of small and positive (0.4%) effects on male unemployment rate (Row 2 of Column 2). These results show that my estimates on pay and gender pay gap are not subject to any large effects from either selection into work or selection into specific types of jobs. SHBs do not restrict job applicants from voluntarily disclosing their earnings information. Therefore, for SHBs to have any effect on earnings, average disclosure rates would have to change after the bans. More specifically, for SHBs to have different effects by gender, disclosure rates would have to change differently for men and women. This line of reasoning suggests that it is the prospective employers' nudge for information that might have induced job applicants to disclose salary history more frequently before the ban, and when SHBs restrict enquiry, average disclosure rates go down. Therefore, it must follow that a significant proportion of job applicants were being asked about their salary history before the ban and they would have been less likely to disclose, if only they were not asked. Following the same reasoning, it must also be the case that before the ban, disclosure rates were higher among job applicants who were asked about their salary history than those who were not. Is this line of argument valid and do the associated hypotheses about disclosure behavior hold true empirically? This is precisely what I investigate in this section using the PayScale data on job interviewees' disclosure behavior. To do this, I construct a sample using the same restrictions as used for my main earnings sample AllStateBan. To check whether SHBs reduce disclosure rates when employers can no longer nudge for information, I use the following specification: (4) These results are shown in Table 9 . Rows 1 and 2 show that SHBs reduce disclosure rates for both women and men by 24 p.p. and 22 p.p. respectively. These results are statistically significant at 99% level and robust across models and sample weighting. Moreover, women reduce their disclosure rates by 2 p.p. more than men in response to SHBs. Therefore, my initial hypothesis about SHBs reducing disclosure rates holds true. These results suggest that it is really the nudge from the employer that induces most applicants to disclose information; and when SHBs restrict that nudge, candidates are much less likely to volunteer salary information. Row 3 in Table 9 shows that pre-SHB women were about 2 p.p. more likely than men to disclose salary information and row 4 shows that there is little evidence for gender gaps in disclosure rates after SHB. What drives this higher pre-SHB disclosure rates among women? Is it the case that women were asked about their salary history more frequently than men, before the ban? Or is the case that conditional on being asked, women were more likely to disclose than their male counterparts? I examine these questions in the next two sections. To check whether women were more likely to get asked about their salary history before the ban, I use the following specification: where the outcome I Asked ismt is an indicator of whether the individual i residing in state s on calendar month m and year t was asked about salary history, I f i is a female dummy, X it are time varying and time-invariant individual covariates, λ are fixed effects, and f (t) is a linear time trend. The coefficient β measures the conditional gender gap in enquiry rates and is shown in Table 10 . Besides this linear probability model, I also use logit and probit models and find the marginal effects of the female dummy. These results show, that conditional on other observables, women were significantly (at the 95% confidence level) more likely by 2.8-3.9 p.p. than men to be asked about their salary history before the ban. One possible explanation is that these candidates work in positions where there is higher variation in earnings and recruiters ask for salary history as a way to set their offer ranges. To test this hypotheses, in Figure 5 I plot the occupation fixed effects from (5) against within-occupation earnings variance relative to the base occupation (Administrative Support) which is used to normalize the occupation fixed effects 29 . In Panel A I show this for men and women together and in panel B I estimate gender-specific effects and relative variance. Both these panels show that the occupation-specific likelihood of being asked about salary history is positively correlated with occupation-specific earnings variance. Therefore, it appears that employers are more likely to ask for information when it is more difficult for them to narrow down the applicants' current salary range, conditional on all other observables. In the previous section I showed that women were indeed about 3-4 p.p. more likely than men to be asked, conditional on all other observables. Is it also the case that they were more likely than men to disclose, conditional on being asked? In order to investigate how disclosure rates differ by enquiry and gender I run the following three regressions: where I Disclosed ismt is a dummy for whether an individual i residing in state s at calendar month m and calendar year t had disclosed salary information, I Asked ismt is a dummy for whether they were asked, I f i is a female dummy, and all other variables have the same interpretation as in equations before. The results are shown in the three panels of Table 11 . Panel A shows that controlling for gender and other covariates, candidates are roughly 62-64 p.p. (significant at 99% confidence level) more likely to disclose if they are asked in comparison to when they are not asked (row 1). If I look at the unadjusted proportions, 77.07% of those who are asked disclose information in contrast to only 12.28% who volunteer. Does this imply that both men and women are both more likely to disclose when asked versus when not asked? Moreover, are men and women equally likely to disclose regardless of whether they are asked? That is what I analyze using the specification in (7) and show these results in Panel B of Table 11 . In rows 1 and 2 of Panel B, I show that women are roughly 66 p.p. more likely and men are about 60 p.p. more likely to disclose when asked versus when not asked. These effects are precisely estimated, statistically significant at 99% confidence level, and robust across models and sample weighting. Row 3 shows that among candidates who were asked about salary history, women were 4-5 p.p. (significant at 99% confidence level) more likely than men to disclose information. In contrast, row 4 shows that among candidates who were not asked, women were about 2 p.p. less likely than men to disclose information, although this result is not statistically significant. Overall, these results show that both men and women are more likely to disclose salary history when nudged and especially among those who are asked, women are more likely to share information. Together with the fact that women are about 3-4 p.p. more likely to be asked than men, average disclosure rates among women were 2-3 p.p. (significant at 95% confidence levels) higher than men before the ban (Panel C of Table 11 ). Why don't most job applicants volunteer information and a prompt from the employer incentivize more candidates to share salary history? These are precisely the questions that I explore in more detail in Section 6.4 However, before that, I investigate whether I can identify in more detail the type of job applicants who disclose and those who don't. Why do some job applicants choose to disclose when asked or volunteer information even when not asked? Is it the case that high-earners are more likely to disclose, because they can use their already high salaries to bargain for even higher offers? To test for this, I estimate the correlation between earnings and disclosure rates, conditional on observables. More specifically, I show whether there are income gaps in disclosure rates for the same gender and gender differences in disclosure rates for the same income level. These results are shown in Table 12 . Rows 1 and 2 of show that among both women and men, high earners were 6-8 p.p. (significant at 99% level) more likely to disclose than low earners 30 . The income gap in disclosure rates for men vanish after the ban. In contrast, high-earning women are still more likely (by around 2 p.p.) to disclose than low-earning women. Rows 3 and 4 show that before SHB, among candidates who earned less than their occupation-specific median salary, women were roughly 3 p.p. (significant at 99% level) more likely than men to disclose salary information. In contrast, there is little evidence for gender differences in disclosure rates among those who earned more than their occupation-specific median salary. After SHB, there is still little evidence for gender differences in disclosure rates among high earners. However, among low earners, men appear to disclose slightly more than women (although this effect is not significant in some specifications). Applicants could have different motivations for disclosing or withholding salary information from prospective employers. These incentives could be both financial and behavioral, and correlated with applicant demographics. For example, high-earners could be more likely to disclose information than low-earners because revealing already high salaries offers them a bargaining advantage. Applicants could also be apprehensive that if they do not disclose salary history, recruiters might think they earn less and offer them lower salaries. Beyond these financial incentives, behavioral factors could drive disclosure decisions as well. Applicants could withhold information either because they actively dislike sharing confidential information like salary, or because they feel that salary offers should not depend on what they earn, but on the skills and experience that they bring to the job. On the flip side, applicants might feel uncomfortable about refusing information especially when asked, because they don't want to come off as disagreeable to recruiters. To better understand motivations that drive disclosure decisions, I conducted a representative survey 31 30 In Appendix Table F1 I show these results separately for those who were asked (Panel B) and those who were not asked (Panel C). These additional results suggest that when asked, low earning women were more likely to disclose than low earning men. But when not asked, high earning men were more likely to disclose than high earning women. 31 I designed the survey in Qualtrics and administered the survey online through the sample survey platform Lucid. I targeted my survey to those who were employed and within the age range of 25-50 years. An equal number of men of ∼5,700 US respondents, where I asked survey participants whether they would disclose salary history. Conditional on their response, I then asked them why they would or would not disclose information 32 . Figure 6 shows that among both men and women, over 70% of survey participants stated that they would disclose information only when asked and withhold information when not asked. Around 18% of respondents said that they would refuse to disclose, and only around 11% of respondents said they would volunteer information. This evidence lines up with my previous findings from the PayScale disclosure data, where I had discovered that most job applicants do not volunteer information and are more likely to disclose information only when asked. Figure 7 shows how respondents perceive questions about salary history during job interviews and decompose these responses by gender. Although around 50% of survey participants (among both men and women) state that they are likely to think the recruiter is trying to drive down the offer, 50% of participants also state that they wouldn't think too much of these questions since it's only a bargaining strategy. Furthermore, only around of 30% of respondents believe that questions about salary history imply the prospective employer does not care about the candidates' skills or experience. Overall, I do not find much evidence for gender differences in these responses and it appears that candidates are not necessarily put off by enquiries. In Figure 8 I show what proportion of respondents agree with several stated reasons for choosing to disclose salary history. Men are about 8 p.p. more likely than women to state that their current salary is already high and therefore they can bargain better if they reveal information. In contrast, women are about 10 p.p. more likely to state that they would disclose because they are uncomfortable negotiating salary. Men and women are almost equally likely to state that they would reveal salary information because otherwise the recruiter might think their current salary is low or even dislike them. In Figure 9 I show what proportion of respondents agree with several stated reasons for not disclosing salary history. Over 70% of both men and women state that they believe new offers should depend on their skills and experience; over 50% of respondents state their previous salary should not matter and because withholding information helps them negotiate better. About 30% of respondents state they feel uncomfortable talking about salary, and women are about 10% more likely than men to say so. Overall, these findings suggest that while job applicants are not necessarily put off by salary history questions from recruiters, they feel obligated to reveal information, especially when asked. and women were surveyed from 4 census regions across the US. Conditional on these variables, survey participants were representative of the US population. 32 The full set of survey questions is available in Appendix Section G 6.5 How do I explain refusal to disclose or withholding of information? The results in previous sections show that before the ban 88% of workers do not volunteer information when not asked and 23% of workers refuse to disclose when asked. This, coupled with the fact that only 36% of workers were asked, implies that around 65% of workers did not share salary history with their prospective employers before the ban. A natural question at this point is why such a large proportion of workers do not share information. More specifically, how do I reconcile these disclosure decisions with concerns about statistical discrimination where information withholding might send negative signals about the worker's pay and productivity to the prospective employer? Does this imply that statistical discrimination is not a concern in this setting? I first argue that statistical discrimination is not observationally inconsistent with a positive nondisclosure rate, if the underlying wage distribution has two supports. To see this, think of a framework where workers' current salary can take from only two discrete values and these workers are all observationally similar otherwise. If everybody withholds information, then the prospective employer would offer a wage that matches the outside option of the 'average' worker and this would incentivize high-earners to disclose salary 33 . Remaining workers are then credibly identified as low-earners and they are indifferent between disclosing and withholding information. However, this framework still does not capture the following two empirical observations: (1) not all high wage earners disclose information, (2) candidates are much more likely to disclose information when asked versus when not asked. Nor does it help explain how the SHB improves the gender pay gap. Therefore, statistical discrimination alone cannot explain reduction in disclosure rates after the ban and the accompanying reduction in the gender pay gap. How do I then explain the disclosure results in the previous sections? A possible starting point is the empirical observation that candidates are more likely to disclose when asked in comparison to when not asked. In fact, when not asked an overwhelming majority (88%) of candidates do not volunteer information. This alludes to two facts: (a) job applicants might face a higher 'penalty' (financial or otherwise) when they refuse information in comparison to when they simply do not volunteer information, (b) job applicants might actively 'dislike' sharing confidential information like salary, in general. I incorporate these two ideas in a comprehensive framework in the next section, and show how this helps me predict pre-SHB disclosure behavior and SHB's effects on the gender pay gap. In this section I discuss a theoretical framework that helps reconcile my empirical findings on pre-SHB disclosure behavior, pre-SHB gender pay gap, and the effects of SHB on disclosure rates and gender pay gap. To ensure analytical tractability, I first introduce a stylized model of salary negotiation and use this simple framework to prove my main results. Then in Sections 7.5 and 7.6, I generalize the stylized model, and using numerical simulations I show that my main results still go through. Time is discrete and there are 2 time periods: t ∈ {1, 2}. For simplicity, let's assume that there is one female worker (F) and one male worker (M) in the economy. In time period t = 1 each worker i is employed with a match-specific output z (invariant across gender) and they are paid a wage For the female (male) worker, the probability that they are a low-earner (i.e., earns w L ) . Given a wage w i and output z, the worker's flow utility from the match is given by u(w i , z). At the end of time period t = 1, both workers receive the same additive shock c which decreases their flow utility of t = 1. At the beginning of time period t = 2, both workers get matched to new risk-neutral firms which observe their initial output z, their utility shock c, type-specific wage distribution f k L , k ∈ {F, M }, but not their actual wage w i . At the beginning of t = 2, both worker and new firm also observe a new match-specific output z (gender-invariant), an enquiry shock e i ∈ {0, 1} and an array of gender-specific psychic costs: c i ed |d i ∈ {0, 1} , where d i is the worker's disclosure decision. Then the worker decides whether to disclose (d i ) initial wage (w i ), and the new firm simultaneously commits to a new wage offer In this setting, I capture the pre-SHB interaction between the worker and the prospective employer through the enquiry shock e i . In particular, I assume that in the pre-SHB case, all workers receive a positive enquiry shock (e i = 1, ∀ i ∈ {F, M }) and in the post-SHB case all workers receive a zero enquiry shock (e i = 0) 34 . The timing of the decision game between the worker and the new firm is as follows: 1. Worker i gets matched with new firm j . 3. i and j both observe z and an enquiry shock e i ∈ {0, 1}. 34 In the simulations of Sections 7.5 and 7.6 I relax this assumption to 0 < Pr(e 4. i and j both observe an array of additive psychic costs: c i ed |d i ∈ {0, 1} . 5. j commits to a non-disclosure wage (w i (X, d i = 0)) and a disclosure wage schedule (w i (X, Simultaneously, worker i chooses whether to disclose (d i ∈ {0, 1}) and whether to accept the new offer (a i ∈ {0, 1}) 35 . 6. The true wage w i of the worker is either revealed or not revealed to j depending on the worker's decision d i36 . New output, new wages, and turnover are realized. I impose the following assumptions on my model: Before I write down the worker and the firm's optimization problems in Section 7.3, I make a small detour in the next section to explain my assumptions and in particular, the idea of psychic costs in disclosure behavior. Assumption 1 captures the fact that a worker's flow utility increases with wages and there is diminishing marginal utility from wage increases. However, if output increases without any increase in the worker's wage, then the worker might fell undervalued and their flow utility decreases. This is motivated by a body of literature which shows how workers' job satisfaction decreases when they find out that they are underpaid relative to their co-workers (Clark and Oswald (1996) , Luttmer (2005) (2021)). If higher salaries among co-workers, especially those who do similar work, is indicative of the output that a job generates, then these findings would parallel the essence of this Assumption 1. Assumption 2 captures the fact that workers value privacy of confidential information like salary and therefore, they face psychic costs of having to disclose private information. This is motivated by existing 35 I do not allow the incumbent firm to make counter offers to the worker. This is because it is difficult to reconcile counteroffers with the notion of one-shot disclosure or withholding of information. More specifically, it is unclear how to interpret the worker not disclosing their own previous salary but credibly conveying a counter offer to the prospective employer. 36 I do not allow the worker to lie about their initial wage when they decide to disclose (d i = 1). This is because prospective employers are not prohibited from verifying salary information once the job applicant has disclosed this information. An equivalent way to ensure that in equilibrium the worker does not lie would be to include costless salary verification once disclosed and an infinite penalty on the worker if they are found to have lied. survey evidence (Cranor et al. (1999) (2012)). In a related sense, the final assumption captures the fact that men and women are equally private about sharing confidential information about salary. Assumption 3 captures the notion that both men and women face a utility cost of refusing to disclose salary history when asked. In particular, women face higher utility costs than men if they refuse to disclose when asked. This relates to the fact that women are more likely to face higher non-conformity costs than men. It is motivated by existing literature on the 'psychic cost/stress' faced by economic agents when they do not conform to accepted standards (Bernheim (1994) , Erard and Feinstein (1994) , Dulleck et al. Given a match, i.e., X := (k, z, c, f k L , z , e i , c k e1 , c k e0 ) the worker decides on the optimal disclosure strategy d i ∈ {0, 1} and acceptance a i ∈ {0, 1}, and the prospective employer simultaneously commits to a nondisclosure wage (w i (X, d i = 0)) and a disclosure wage schedule (w i (X, d i = 1, w i )) w i ∈{w L ,w H } . I abbreviate the new wage offers as w i0 , w i1 (w L ), w i1 (w H ). I can therefore write down the worker and the new firm's optimization problems as follows: Worker's Optimization Problem: Firm's Optimization Problem: In this section I show that there exists an equilibrium set of parameter values, such that the solutions capture the following set of empirical observations: 1. A non-zero proportion of workers do not disclose their salary history before the ban. 2. Disclosure rates are higher among workers who are asked about salary history than among those who are not asked. 3. When asked, disclosure rates are higher among women than men. 4. Disclosure rates are higher among high-earners than among low-earners. 5 . SHB reduces disclosure rates on an average. 6 . SHB reduces the gender wage gap. To do this, I proceed in three steps. First, I prove that for given a type of worker and other parameter values, there exists an initial wage distribution such that some workers do not disclose salary history in equilibrium. Then, I contrast the cases when the same type of worker is asked and not asked for salary history. Here, I show that there exists an initial distribution of wages, for which there are differences in both offered wages and disclosure rates when asked versus when not asked. Finally, in the third step I show that there exists different initial wage distributions for men and women such that disclosure rates are higher among women than men when asked, and SHB reduces the gender wage gap. Step 1: There exists an initial wage distribution for a given type of worker, such that a non-zero proportion of workers of that type do not disclose salary history, regardless of enquiry. Proposition 1 . Given (z, c, z , e, c e1 , c e0 , w L , w H ) ∃f e ∈ (0, 1) such that: 1. ∀ f L >f e there is a Separating Equilibrium where the firm commits to offeringŵ e1 if the worker discloses and is found to be a high-earner, andw e0 in all other cases. Low-earners (i.e., w = w L ) optimally choose to not disclose (d = 0) and high-earners (i.e., w = w H ) choose to disclose (d = 1). 2. ∀ f L ≤f e there is a Pooling Equilibrium where the firm offers a flat wageŵ e0 regardless of disclosure d and initial wage w (if disclosed). Both high and low-earners optimally choose to not disclose (d = 0) . The proof of this proposition can be found in Appendix H. The intuition behind this result is as follows. First, when workers disclose their salary history, they face a psychic cost of disclosing information. Therefore the new firm has to compensate them for this additional utility cost to make them indifferent between accepting and rejecting the new offer. Second, when the new firm can distinguish between high and low-earners it can extract full surplus from both, while in the pooling equilibrium it can extract full surplus only from high-earners while paying some rent to low-earners. Therefore, when the number of low-earners is high (f L >f ), instead of having to pay rent to a large number of low-earners, the firm finds it optimal to extract full surplus from both types of workers (i.e., separating equilibrium) and then use this surplus to compensate the small number of high earners for their utility cost of disclosing information. In contrast, when the number of high-earners is high (f L ≤f ), the firm cannot compensate for the utility costs of disclosing for such a large number of high-earners even by extracting full surplus from everyone. Instead, the firm decides to offer a flat wage. It's important to note here that the first two results in the proposition hold both when workers are asked e = 1 and when they are not asked e = 0, which mimic pre and post-SHB cases respectively. The final result in the proposition says that the threshold proportion of low-earners (f e ), below which the firm offers pooling wages, decreases when workers are asked (i.e., pre-SHB) in comparison to when workers are not asked. This is because workers face an additional cost of withholding information when asked. Therefore, in both pooling and separating equilibrium when asked, the firm has to compensate nondisclosing low-earners for their cost of non-compliance with information requests. However, in a pooling equilibrium the firm also has to pay some rent to low-earners. This is why the firm has a lower tolerance threshold for low-earners when workers are asked. In particular, the threshold of low-earners (f L ) above which the firm begins to offer separating wages, decreases when workers are asked in comparison to when they are not asked. In the next step I show how the outcomes for a given type of worker vary when they are asked and when not asked. Step 2: There exists an initial wage distribution for a given type of worker, such that when workers are asked, the firm offers separating wages and when workers are not asked the firm offers a pooling wage. The proof of this proposition and other cases (c 10 >c, f L f 0 ) are shown in Appendix H. These results naturally follow from Proposition 1 . If the fraction of low-earners (f L ) is too low (i.e., f L f 0 >f 1 ), the firm offers separating wages in both cases and again there are no differences in disclosure rates. However, when f L lies between these two thresholds (f 1 ,f 0 ), the firm offers pooling wages when workers are not asked and separating wages when workers are asked. Only high-earners disclose in a separating equilibrium while no worker discloses in a pooling equilibrium. This implies a reduction in expected disclosure rates from pre to post-SHB periods 37 . In the separating equilibrium high-earners are being compensated for their utility cost of disclosing information (c 11 ), which is higher than their utility cost of withholding information (c 10 ) when asked, which in turn is higher than the cost of not volunteering information when not asked (c 00 ). Therefore, when e = 0 and high-earners pool in a non-disclosing equilibrium, they would see their wage offers decrease. This is captured in point (3) in the proposition above. Furthermore, the upper bound (c) on c 10 implies that when e = 1 and low-earners do not disclose in a separating equilibrium, the additional compensation that the firm has to pay them for non-compliance, is not too high. This ensures that when e = 0 and low-earners pool with high-earners, the pooling wage is higher than the separating wage they would have received when e = 1. In other words, low-earners make a better wage when they are not asked in comparison to when they are asked. This proposition therefore captures the following empirical observations: (1) high-earners disclose more than low-earners when asked and (2) disclosure rates are higher among those who are asked. Since asking workers mimics the pre-SHB case and not asking mimics the post-SHB case, the results in Proposition 2 would suggest that (3) SHB decreases disclosure rates. In the final step I distinguish between initial wage distributions by gender and show how I capture the pre-SHB disclosure differences between men and women, and SHB's effects on the gender wage gap. Step 3: Different initial wage distributions for men and women result in different equilibria, and therefore different disclosure rates and wages, when asked versus when not asked. 1. Firm offers separating wages to female workers and pooling wages to male workers when asked, and pooling wages to all workers when not asked. The proof of this proposition is shown in Appendix H. Again, these results follow naturally from Propositions 1 and 2 . Here, the fraction of low-earners among men is low enough such the firm offers pooling wages to men both when male workers are asked and when they are not asked. In contrast, the proportion of lowearners among women is high enough (but not too high) such that the firm offers separating wages when female workers are asked and pooling wages when they're not. This captures two empirical observations: (1) disclosure rates among women are higher than men when asked and (2) disclosure rates are higher on average when workers are asked. Both types of men are being compensated for their cost of not disclosing information when e = 1. Hence, when e = 0 their wage offers decrease even when they do not volunteer information (∵ c 00 < c M 10 ). High-earning women are being compensated for their cost of disclosing information when e = 1, and when they do not disclose for e = 0, their wage offers decrease (∵ c F 10 < c 11 ). In contrast, low-earning women were being compensated for withholding information when e = 1, but this additional compensation was not too high because of the upper bound (c F ) on c F 10 . So, when they pool with high-earners for e = 0, their pooling wages are higher than their separating wages for e = 1. Finally, when e = 0, pooling wages are same for men and women since neither face any cost of refusing information and there is no other heterogeneity between the genders. So there is zero female premium in wages in the post-SHB case. When e = 1, the low cost of withholding information among women (c F 10 < c F ) ensures that average female wages are lower than average male wages. In other words there is a positive male premium in the pre-SHB case. Therefore, SHB narrows the gender wage gap. In this section I have shown how a stylized model can rationalize my empirical findings using a single female and a single male worker. In the immediate next section, I introduce a mass of workers and within-gender heterogeneity along some dimensions in both time periods. However, I stick to the gender-invariant, two-valued initial wage distribution. I relax this assumption further in Section 7.6. I now extend the stylized model in the previous section by considering a unit mass of workers, instead of a single worker, for each type/gender k. I assume that they are all employed in t = 1. Both female and male workers have the same initial wage support {w L , w H }, but the fraction of low earners (f k L ) can differ by type. Match-specific productivity for worker i is drawn from the same distribution for both men and women, i.e., z i ∼ F (.). At the end of t = 1, both men and women receive additive utility shocks drawn from the same distribution, i.e., c i ∼ C(.). This shock reduces the utility of remaining in the current job. At the beginning of t = 2, worker i gets matched to a new firm j and a new match-specific productivity z i ∼ F (.) is drawn. j observes z i , c i , z i but not the worker's actual wage w i ; only the type-specific fraction of low-earners f k L , i ∈ k. Also, at the beginning of t = 2, worker i receives a publicly observable enquiry shock e i ∼ Binomial(p k ), where p k is the probability with which workers of type k are asked about salary history. Depending on e i both observe an array of utility costs c i e1 , c i e0 where c i ed ∼ C (.|e, d, k). In particular, I assume C (.|e = 1, d = 1, k) Where F OSD implies first-order stochastic dominance. However, for an individual worker i, I ensure To simulate outcomes for a given set of distributions, I consider two different cases: (a) pre-SHB case In Figure 10 I show the pre-SHB gender gap (female-male) in disclosure rates (left panel) and the pre-SHB difference in disclosure rates between those who are asked and those who are not (right panel). The plot on the left shows that disclosure rates among women are higher than men when the fraction of female low-earners is higher than the fraction of male low-earners, but not too high. This is equivalent to the condition f M L f e there is a Separating Equilibrium where the firm commits to offeringŵ e1 to highearners if they disclose, andw e0 to everyone else regardless of their disclosure. Low-earners (i.e., w = w L ) optimally choose to not disclose (d = 0) and high-earners (i.e., w = w H ) choose to disclose (d = 1) . 2. ∀ f L ≤f e there is a Pooling Equilibrium where the firm offers a flat wageŵ e0 regardless of disclosure d and initial wage w (if disclosed). Both high and low-earners optimally choose to not disclose (d = 0). 3.f 1 c e0 , (H1) and (H2) ⇒ŵ e1 >ŵ e0 . Similarly, we can show thatw e1 >w e0 using (H3) and (H4). Again, ∵ w H > w L , using (H1), (H3), and Assumption 1 we can argue thatŵ e1 >w e1 . Following similar logic, we can showŵ e0 >w e0 . Therefore, in a separating equilibrium, for any worker with w = w H : u(ŵ e1 , z ) − c e1 > u(w L , z) − c (using H1 and Assumption 1) Again, in a separating equilibrium for a worker with w = w L : In a pooling equilibrium for any worker: Therefore, in both separating and pooling equilibria, given the new firm's optimal wage offers, both types of workers have no incentive to deviate from the equilibria strategies above. Next, we verify that the the wage offers that the new firm commits to result in the maximum expected profit for the firm. First, we show why there can be only the two types of equilibria above: a separating equilibria where high-earners disclose but low-earners do not disclose, and a pooling equilibria where no types of workers disclose. To see this, let's consider the case where both types of workers disclose. In order to incentivize them to disclose while still accepting the new job, the firm has to offerŵ e1 to the high-earner andw e1 to the low-earner. However, once high-earners disclose the firm can identify low-earners and therefore instead of offering themw e1 they can be offered a lower wagew e0 while incentivizing them to not disclose. Therefore, incentivizing both types of workers to disclose is not optimal for the new firm. Similarly, let's consider the case where the high-earners do not disclose and the low-earners disclose. In order to incentivize them to follow these disclosure decisions in equilibrium and still accept the new job, the new firm has to offer the high-earnerŵ e0 and the low-earnerw e1 . Both high and low-earners would be receiving just their outside option surplus at these offered wages. Then the low-earner has an incentive to not disclose and earnŵ e0 which will give them a utility value of (u(w H , z) − c) which is greater than their outside option. Again, there cannot be an equilibrium where the high-earner does not disclose and the low-earner discloses. Second, we show why it's optimal for the firm to offer the separating and pooling wages as above. Consider the separating equilibria where high-earners disclose and low-earners do not disclose. In order to incentivize high-earners to disclose while still accepting the new offer, they have to be paid at least w e1 which gives them just enough utility to match their outside option. Similarly, in order to incentivize low-earners to accept the offer while not disclosing, they need to be paid a wage slightly higher thanw e0 . Any wages higher than these offers would imply less expected profits for the firm, while any wages lower than these values would incentivize workers to not accept the offer and leave the firm with 0 output. Now consider the pooling equilibria where the firm offers both workersŵ e0 , by which the firm extracts full surplus from the high-earner and provides some rent to the low-earner. For any wages higher than this offer, the firm would lose out on profits. For any wage betweenw e0 andŵ e0 , the high-earners would not accept the offer, the low-earners would still accept the offer and the firm would lose out on expected profits. For any wage less thanw e0 , even low-earners would no longer accept the offer and the firm would generate 0 output. Finally, we show when it's optimal for the firm to offer separating versus pooling wages as f L varies. Define the threshold valuef e as follows: ∈ (0, 1), (using H2, H4 and Assumption 1) Therefore, ∀ f L >f e : Similarly, it can be proved that ∀ f L ≤f e it is optimal for the new firm to offer pooling wages. The third part of this proposition can be proved as follows. ∂x ∂w >0 (using Assumption 1) ⇒ ∂ 2 x ∂c ∂w > 0 ⇒ŵ 10 −w 10 >ŵ 00 −w 00 ⇒ŵ 10 −w 10 w 11 −w 10 >ŵ 00 −w 00 w 11 −w 00 , (using Assumptions 4 and 3, and H4) ⇒ŵ 10 −w 10 w 11 −w 10 >ŵ 00 −w 00 w 01 −w 00 ⇒ŵ 11 −w 10 w 11 −w 10 <ŵ 01 −w 00 w 01 −w 00 ⇒f 1 c 00 , w L , w H ) ∃c,f 1 ,f 0 such that Case A: ∀ c 10 ∈ (c 00 ,c), ∀ f L ∈ (f 1 ,f 0 ): Finally, we want to impose an upper bound on the value of c 10 which will ensurew 10 <ŵ 00 . This can be done as follows: u(w 00 , z ) − c 00 = u(w L , z) − c < u(w H , z) − c = u(ŵ 00 , z ) − c 00 ⇒w 00 <ŵ 00 (H6) Furthermore, The inequalities in (H6) and (H7) imply that ∃c such that ∀ c 10 ∈ (c 00 ,c) we havew 00 E(w |e = 0, w = w L ) . For Cases C and F, low-earners are offeredw 10 when asked andw 00 when not asked. Therefore, E(w |e = 1, w = w L ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w L ) . For Case D, low-earners are offeredw 10 when asked andŵ 00 when not asked. Therefore, E(w |e = 1, w = w L ) ≥ E(w |e = 0, w = w L ) . Proposition 3 . Given (z, c, z , c 11 = c 01 > c M 10 , c 00 , w L , w H ) ∃ c F (> c M 10 ) such that ∀ c F 10 ∈ c M 10 , c F , ∃f 1M ,f ,f 0F such that ∀ f M L c M 10 > c 00 , w L , w H ) definef 1M following (H5) as: If f M L 0. We also know thatf 1M 0. Therefore ∃ĉ F > c M 10 such thatf (w F 10 ) ∈ (f 1M ,f 0F ). Following Proposition 2 definec F > c M 10 as the upper-bound on c F 10 such thatw F 10 <ŵ 00 . Finally, define c F := min(c F ,ĉ F ) > c M 10 . Then, by Case D of Proposition 2 , wage offers of low-earning women are higher when workers are not asked than when they're asked. Finally, The existence of the threshold valuesf ek ,c k , c k in the propositions above depend on the existence of the threshold values of wagesw k ed ,ŵ k ed . In this section we show what happens when these threshold wage values do not exist. To recap, the four threshold wages for each enquiry status are as follows: Since the firm is risk neutral it has no incentive to offer wages higher than z . The following can be proved: Intuitively, the cost of disclosing information c e1 is higher than the cost of not disclosing information c e0 and high-earners have to be compensated more than low-earners. Therefore, if the firm can offer a wage to incentivize high-earners to accept the offer while disclosing their wages, they can also incentivize both high and low-earners when they do not disclose information. This is true both when workers are asked and when they are not asked. Therefore, if w e0 implies the new firm would not be able to offer wages that would incentivize even low-earners to accept the offer and therefore there will be no turnover. If ŵ 10 implies that the new firm would not be able to compensate high earners and only low-earners would accept the offer. Since it costs the firm to incentivize workers to disclose the firm would offer low-earnersw e0 . Finally, if ŵ 11 then again the firm would offer the pooling wageŵ 10 to all workers since it cannot compensate high-earners for disclosing information. The figure below shows (in dark green) the combinations of (f F L , f M L ), i.e., fraction of low-earning women and men, for which the following simulation results go through: (a) female wages were lower than male wages in pre-SHB period, (b) gender wage gap improved with SHB, (c) workers disclosed more when asked than when not asked, (d) women disclosed more in pre-SHB period than men, (e) high-earners disclosed more than low-earners, (f ) SHB reduced disclosure rates on average. The figure shows that these valid regions include combinations where f M L < f F L . In the main simulation results shown in Figures (10) - (14), we do not account for any correlation between the distributions of the underlying variables (w, z, c, w , z , c e1 ). In this section, we consider a setting where the initial wage distribution (w) can be correlated with initial match-output distribution (z). This does not fundamentally affect the results of Propositions (1 )- (3 ). The only difference is that now agents evaluate the proportion of low-earners (f L ) and all thresholds conditional on the observed z. With this adjustment, all other results go through. In the figures below we show the same graphs as in Figures (10) - (14), but now vary the correlation between initial w and z distributions. In particular, we choose parameter values in a way to ensure that at zero-correlation between these two distributions, pre-SHB gender gap in disclosure rates is positive, pre-SHB gender pay gap is negative, and SHB reduces both disclosure rates and gender pay gap. Then we allow this correlation to vary between negative and positive ranges. The figure below shows the pre-SHB gender difference (female -male) in disclosure rates in the left panel and the difference in disclosure rates between those who are asked and not asked before SHB in the right panel. Both figures show how these results change as we vary the correlation between initial w and initial z. In particular, the figure on the left has the correlation between initial w and z on the x-axis, and we show how the gender gap in disclosure rate varies as we vary the correlation for men from negative to zero and positive. The figure below shows how the effects of SHB on disclosure rates vary as we change the correlation between initial wage (w) and initial match-output (z) from negative, to zero, to positive. The figures below show the pre-SHB gender pay gap (or female premium) in wages in the left panel and the effects of SHB on gender pay gap in the right panel. We show how these results vary as we change both the correlation of initial w and initial z for women (on the x-axis) and the correlation for men alongside. The figure below shows how the standard deviation in wages change as we vary the correlation between initial wage (w) and initial match-output (z) distributions for men and women independently. The figure below shows how the pre-ban gender gap (female -male) in disclosure rate changes, as we vary the skewness of the initial male (µ M ) and female (µ F ) wage distributions. The first three panels (A,B,C) show simulation results for all workers, the next three panels (D,E,F) show results for workers who were asked, and the last three panels (G,H,I) show results for workers who were not asked. For each set of panels, the first (A,D,G) shows results for all workers, the second (B,E,H) shows results for workers who earn below the median wage, and the third (C,F,I) shows results for workers who earn above the median wage. All 9 panels are plotted on the same scale. The vertical dotted blue lines marks the µ F values equal to the three µ M values for the three lines in each panel. The figure below shows how the difference between disclosure rates among those who are asked and those who are not asked, changes as we change the skewness (µ) of the initial wage distribution. Panel (A) shows the simulation results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show results for workers who earn below and above the median wage respectively. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the difference between disclosure rates among those who earn above and below the median wage, changes as we change the skewness (µ) of the initial wage distribution. Panel (A) shows the simulation results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show results for workers who were asked and not asked respectively. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the effects of SHB on disclosure rates changes as we vary the skewness (µ) of initial wage distribution. Panel (A) shows the simulation results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show the simulation results for workers who earn below and above the median wage respectively. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the post-SHB difference in disclosure rates between those who earn above and below the median wage, changes as we vary the skewness (µ) of the initial wage distribution. The figure below shows how the post-SHB gender gap (female-male) in disclosure rates changes as we vary the skewness of the initial wage distributions for men (µ M ) and women (µ F ). Panel (A) shows the results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show the effects for those who earn below and above the median wage respectively. For each panel, the three vertical lines mark three values where µ F equals the three values of µ M at which the three lines are drawn. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the pre-SHB gender wage gap (left panel) and SHB Effects on gender wage gap (right panel), change as we vary the skewness of initial wage distributions of men (µ M ) and women (µ F ). The three vertical lines mark three values at which µ F equal to the three values of µ M for which we plot the lines. The figure below shows how the simulation effects of SHB on mean wages change as we vary the skewness (µ) of initial wage distributions. Panel (A) shows results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show results for those who earn below and above the median wage respectively. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the simulation effects of SHB on how the auto-correlation in wages changes as we vary the skewness (µ) of initial wage distributions. Panel (A) shows results for all female workers while panels (B) shows results for male workers. In each panel, I show the pre-SHB and post-SHB auto-correlation coefficient, along with the post/pre ratio. Both panels are plotted on the same scale. The figure below shows how the simulation effects of SHB on standard deviation in wages change as we vary the skewness (µ) of initial wage distributions. Panel (A) shows results for all workers, while panels (B) and (C) show results for those who earn below and above the median wage respectively. All three panels are plotted on the same scale. Do Workers Comply with Salary History Bans? 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If I refuse, the recruiter might think my current salary is low To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following reasons for not disclosing your salary? I think new offers should depend on my skills and experience If a recruiter asks for your previous salary, how likely would you think of the following? Wouldn't think too much of it -it's a hiring strategy How do you think your salary compares with the market average for your position? ∀ f L ≤f 1 : 1. The new firm offers pooling wages both when e = 1 and e = 0 Pr(d = 1|e = 1) = Pr(d = 1|e = 0) = 0 E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Case C: ∀ c 10 ∈ (c 00 ,c), ∀ f L ≥f 0 : 1. The new firm offers separating wages both when e = 1 and e = 0 Pr(d = 1|e = 1) = Pr(d = 1|e = 0) = (1 − f L ) E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Case D: ∀ c 10 ≥c, ∀ f L ∈ (f 1 ,f 0 ): 1. The new firm offers separating wages when e = 1 and pooling wages when e = 0 Pr(d = 1|e = 1) > Pr(d = 1|e = 0) E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Case E: ∀ c 10 ≥c, ∀ f L ≤f 1 : 1. The new firm offers pooling wages both when e = 1 and e = 0 Pr(d = 1|e = 1) = Pr(d = 1|e = 0) = 0 E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Case F: ∀ c 10 ≥c, ∀ f L ≥f 0 : 1. The new firm offers separating wages both when e = 1 and e = 0 Pr(d = 1|e = 1) = Pr(d = 1|e = 0) = (1 − f L ) E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Following Proposition 1 we can see that ∀ f L >f 1 the new firm offers separating wages (ŵ 11 ,w 10 ) when workers are asked (e = 1) and the firm offers pooling wages Since high-earners disclose when separating wages are offered we have Pr(d = 1|e = 1) = (1 − f L ) > 0 = Pr(d = 0|e = 0) Since both types of workers do not disclose in pooling equilibria, disclosure rates are zero, regardless of enquiry. Finally, when f L ≥f 0 >f 1 , the firm offers separating wages both when workers are asked and when not asked. Since only high-earners disclose and the proportion of high-earners is fixed at (1 − f L ) For Cases A and D, high-earners are offered w 11 when asked andŵ 00 when not asked. For Cases B and E, high-earners are offeredŵ 10 when asked andŵ 00 when not asked. Finally, for Cases C and F, high-earners are offeredŵ 11 when asked andŵ 01 when not asked. Using (H1) Therefore, E(w |e = 1, w = w H ) ≥ E(w |e = 0, w = w H ) Firm offers separating wages to female workers and pooling wages to male workers when asked, and pooling wages to all workers when not asked Pr(d = 1|e = 1, k = F ) > Pr(d = 1|e = 1, k = M E(w |e = 1, w = w H , k) > E(w |e = 0, w = w H , k) E(w |e = 0, k = F ) − E(w |e = 0, k = M ) > E(w |e = 1, k = F ) − E(w |e = 1, k = M The figure below shows how the effects of SHB on wages change as we vary the correlation between initial wage (w) and initial match-output (z) distributions for men and women independently. The topmost panel shows the overall effects for all workers, the middle panel shows the effects for low-earners, and the third panel shows the effects for high-earners.