key: cord-0059173-ncw94sc9 authors: Carlill, Bren title: Other Israeli Perceptions date: 2020-11-06 journal: The Challenges of Resolving the Israeli-Palestinian Dispute DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-63185-7_12 sha: faf46f39bc9a67fdb4a2741491bdd70cdfd4e35b doc_id: 59173 cord_uid: ncw94sc9 This chapter continues the discussion of Israeli perceptions of the Oslo process by exploring three more issues: the division between religious and secular in Israeli society; Israel’s search for international legitimacy and the outcome of the failed July 2000 Camp David summit. The chapter concludes with a discussion of the change in Israeli society wrought by the peace process—the division of territorialist Israelis into ‘land-for-peace’ and ‘peace-for-land’. All of these topics are examined through the prism of the territorial/existential dichotomy, allowing the reader to better understand Oslo’s decrease of legitimacy in Israeli society. didn't appear to understand that the Oslo peace agreements were only attempting to resolve the territorial conflict. The concept of voluntarily ceding part of the divinely inherited Eretz Yisrael (the Land of Israel) to non-Jews was (and remains) anathema to Jewish religious-existentialists. The secular-religious divide was not created by the Oslo process. For instance, a 1988 poll (held before the peace process) revealed that 58 per cent of Jerusalem Jews saw religious-secular tensions as the most serious problem in the city. 1 Indeed, the division between the nationalterritorialist and religious-existentialist camps had existed for decades before Oslo. However, loyalty to the state (most religious-existentialists were Zionist) and the lack of realistic prospects for territorial peace with the Palestinians had allowed these divisions to be papered over. As discussed in Chapters 8 and 9, the 1967 war gained for Israeli territorialists land that might be ceded for peace. However, for religiousexistentialists, this was the biblical heartland. The war had the potential to bring the religious-secular division into stark relief, but the resounding Arab League rejection of the concept of peace with Israel later that year deferred the issue. Despite protests, the 1979 peace with Egypt was not met with overwhelming concern by the religious-existentialist camp in Israel, due to the fact that the territory Israel ceded was not part of Eretz Yisrael; the agreement did not pose a direct threat to their ideology. Indeed, an existentialist prime minister, Menachem Begin, negotiated and signed the agreement (and a clear majority of Israelis supported the move 2 ). This is in contrast to the Oslo agreements, which involved ceding part of Eretz Yisrael to non-Jews. This sparked, within the Israeli religious-existentialist camp, (largely non-violent) efforts to undermine the peace process. Because a small but persistent percentage of religious Jewish Israelis felt it was legitimate to use violence to oppose the peace process, 3 it is not surprising that some religious-existentialist elements would take the next step into terrorism. Jewish religious-existentialist terrorism did not begin with Rabin's assassination. For instance, the Gush Emunim Underground, which attempted to kill Palestinian officials in the 1980s and plotted to destroy the Dome of the Rock, was established as a response to Israel's peace treaty with Egypt. Baruch Goldstein's murder of 29 Palestinians in the Cave of the Patriarchs Mosque in Hebron in February 1995 was religious-existentialist in nature. Isolated murderous attacks have occurred since. Similarly, the purpose of the frequent vandalism of Palestinian property by some settlers is to pressure Israel into not acting against Jewish religious-existentialist parties. 4 Prime Minister Rabin, the archetypal national-territorialist, was assassinated by the religious-existentialist Yigal Amir in the months after the Interim Agreement was signed with the Palestinians. 5 While only one man pulled the trigger, the assassination took place amid religiously loaded animus against the prime minister. For instance, religious opponents of the peace process labelled Rabin a traitor and compared him with Hitler. More fringe groups suggested he deserved religiously-mandated death, due to his supposed imperilling of Jewish life. Rabin's assassin avidly read Baruch Hagever, a book in which various rabbis praised the actions of Baruch Goldstein. 6 In Amir's confession, he was unapologetically clear that he killed Rabin to prevent further concessions being made to the Palestinians, in order to protect the sanctity of Eretz Yisrael. Five years after Rabin's assassination, the faltering Oslo process collapsed after the failure of the July 2000 Camp David summit and the subsequent outbreak of the second intifada in September that year. The near-universal Jewish Israeli view that the Palestinians were at fault for refusing to negotiate in good-faith at the Camp David summit, 7 in combination with the violence of the second intifada, bridged some of 4 See Anti-Defamation League 2015 "Price Tag and Extremist Attacks in Israel". the left-right, religious-secular division (mostly by shifting Israeli political sentiment to the right). 8 As will be discussed in Part IV, the belief that Israel has no negotiating partner has largely continued in the two decades since the collapse of Oslo, preserving the papering over of territorialist-existentialist differences. If an Israeli-Palestinian peace process resumes in earnest, tensions between Israeli territorialists and religiousexistentialists will once again increase. As discussed in Part I, a peace agreement is an inherently territorialist document. It has little chance of being accepted by the respective populations until the various existentialist arguments are refuted to such an extent that existentialist opposition to the agreement is reduced to an insignificant proportion of the population. This does not mean convincing religious people to become agnostic. Rather, it means presenting alternative messages to religious communities, potentially allowing them to maintain their faith while conceding a territorialist outcome. Ardent atheists like Rabin struggle do this-what is required is the engagement of people from the territorialist and existentialist communities who are mutually acceptable, and the beginnings of a national conversation. An Israeli expectation of peace with the Palestinians was that its international legitimacy would be enhanced-and, indeed, it was. As a direct result of the 1993 Declaration of Principles, a number of countries-not least Jordan-that had hitherto refused to establish diplomatic relations with Israel now did so. In the wake of the Oslo agreements, Israeli embassies around the world increased from 100 to 150. 9 Foreign direct investment in Israel increased, putting the Israeli economy on an upwards trajectory, which, aside from a hiccup caused by the 'dot com' crash of 2000 (combined with the immediate effects of the second intifada), continued until the COVID-19 pandemic. Even international performing artists such as Sting and U2 visited, 'giving Israel the post-Oslo seal of approval'. 10 All this helped increase Oslo's legitimacy within Israel. This increased international legitimacy was largely premised on the expectation a final status agreement with the Palestinians would soon be signed. As the pace of the peace process slowed, this legitimacy was used as leverage to pressure Israel into making further concessions to the Palestinians. 11 However, because so many Jewish Israelis saw the increase in Palestinian terrorism as being a result of the peace process, they came to believe the international community's pressure on Israel meant it did not have Israeli interests at heart. 12 As Ross points out, given security is Israel's priority, if Israel feels the international community does not take Israel's security concerns seriously, it will be unwilling to heed international calls to make concessions for peace. 13 This premise was tested by the first Netanyahu Government from 1996. Netanyahu was elected vowing to slow down the peace process, proceeding only when Palestinians had proven their peaceful intentions. 14 Much of the international blame for the stalled peace process subsequently came to rest on Netanyahu's shoulders. This criticism was answered with incredulity by Netanyahu, who complained of wilful international blindness to Palestinian violence and their alleged unwillingness to implement their Oslo obligations. 15 10 The reason for Western pressure on Israel in regards to the dispute becomes clear in light of the territorial/existential dichotomy. The international community largely perceives the Israeli-Palestinian dispute as a territorial conflict. Thus, the Palestinian leadership's official acceptance of a two-state solution in the late 1980s brought legitimacy to the Palestinian movement in the United States (Palestinians had gained legitimacy from the 1970s elsewhere in the international community, as discussed in Part II). With Palestinian acceptance of the two-state solution, the only impediment to Israeli-Palestinian peace, so went the Western territorialist perspective, was Israeli occupation of the land destined to form the Palestinian state. Signing the 1993 Declaration of Principles and making the initial withdrawals was seen as Israeli acceptance of this view. Israel thus earned some of the legitimacy it had sought for so long. However, as the peace process faltered, Israeli unwillingness to make further withdrawals was seen as an unwillingness to end the occupation. The increase of Israeli 'symbols of the occupation', such as checkpoints and settlers, added to this perception. Though rarely defended, Palestinian terrorism was perceived by some foreign territorialists as an outcome of frustration at the slow pace of peace agreement implementation, and humiliation associated with the increasing number of checkpoints and settlers. 16 The legitimacy Israel had gained in the mid-1990s was subsequently used as leverage to pressure it into making more concessions, with accompanying explanations that further Israeli withdrawals would decrease Palestinian terrorism. Ehud Barak was elected in July 1999 on an electoral platform pledging a fulfilment of Rabin's legacy of peace. The result, at Barak's urging, was the invitation by US President Bill Clinton for both sides to attend Camp David in July 2000. Amidst international media fanfare, the teams committed themselves to achieving a Palestinian state and an end to the Israeli-Palestinian dispute. However, on 25 July, failure was admitted. Claims and counterclaims were made about what each side offered or refused. 17 Most Western media blamed Arafat for refusing, without a counter-offer, an Israeli offer of a Palestinian state in 92 per cent of the West Bank and all of the Gaza Strip. 18 This was certainly the perception among Jewish Israelis. 19 Of interest is that polls in Israel revealed that even if the Palestinians had have committed to an 'end of conflict', only 39 per cent of Israelis would have supported the peace deal reported to have been offered to Palestinians. 20 That Barak's offer to Arafat was beyond what most Israelis would have agreed to offer made Arafat's rejection of it all the more evident to many Israelis that he was not interested in resolving the dispute. There are many reasons and theories as to why Barak's offer was rejected, ranging from the fact Barak had lost the confidence of the Israeli Parliament, 21 the lack of tact in his negotiating tactics, 22 the possibility Arafat did not want to take on the responsibility of statehood or concede on refugees or Jerusalem, 23 to the idea that Barak simply did not offer enough. 24 International opinion broadly sided with Israel when the Camp David talks broke down, not least because senior officials in the US administration laid the blame at Arafat's feet. 25 However, this feeling of renewed Israeli legitimacy ended as a result of the international criticism of Israeli tactics adopted after the outbreak of the second intifada just two months after the Camp David talks ended. 26 Palestinian protests erupted the following day. 27 Palestinian police joined some of the protests. Israel initially used non-lethal means, but, in the face of deadly force, moved to live ammunition, which increased both Palestinian deaths and rage. Within months, the protests had morphed into a sustained campaign of suicide bombings against Israeli civilian targets. Palestinian gunmen began shooting into Israeli civilian homes in Jerusalem from an adjacent West Bank town. The message from the Israeli right adequately explained the violence to an increasing number of Israelis-when the time came for Palestinians to make the painful though necessary compromises for peace, they balked, and instead turned to violence, knowing that the image of armed Israelis confronting Palestinian civilians was bound to see international pressure on Israel mount. 28 As David Makovsky puts it, 'Israeli public opinion began to change dramatically: either the Palestinians were using violence as a tool in negotiations or Arafat did not want peace at all'. 29 The peace camp was unable to offer a convincing argument as to why Arafat said no. 30 Barak was ousted in a landslide in the February 2001 elections. The Israeli reaction to Arafat's rejection of the Camp David proposaland the subsequent violence-is easily understood when examined in light of the territorial/existential dichotomy. To a large number of Israelis, it was proof that the Palestinian leadership and people remained existentialists. 31 To Israelis, Barak's proposal at Camp David was an either/or proposition-either Arafat was territorialist and would accept the offer (or propose a counter-offer) or he was existentialist and would be forced 27 to show his hand by rejecting it. Indeed, Barak, who was not convinced of Arafat's territorialist credentials, saw his Camp David proposals as a way to test this proposition. 32 The international community and media (who provide explanations of the dispute to most people) continued to perceive the dispute as a territorialist conflict. They blamed the Palestinians for the failure of the Camp David talks, because they saw the talks as necessary to bring peace. However, they heavily criticised Israel during the violence of the second intifada because they see Israel's occupation as the key reason for the dispute's continuation-and Palestinian violence a regrettable but understandable outcome of that occupation. 33 For those Israelis who had become convinced that Palestinians were existentialist after all, the occupation was not the reason for the violence-Israel's continued existence was. Itamar Marcus, whose organisation monitors Palestinian media, wrote two weeks before the outbreak of the second intifada, Palestinian Authority [PA] television broadcasting of violence and hate has reached unprecedented levels this summer and has created an atmosphere of the eve of outbreak of war. Palestinian television is currently broadcasting a systematic campaign that negates the peace process and reconciliation. Included are abundant violence clips, the depiction of Israeli soldiers as rapists and murderers, call for eternal war against the Jews, military marches, libellous accusations, denial of Israel's right to exist, and education of Palestinian children to see all of Israel as stolen 'Palestine.' These inciting broadcasts appear frequently each day, beginning with afternoon children's programming and ending with the closing of the programs at night. 34 Marcus claimed that the change in Palestinian messaging-from delegitimising Israel to active encouragement to kill Jews-began immediately 32 See Rynhold 2008 "The Failure of the Oslo Process" p. 9. after the failure of the Camp David talks. 35 This idea is supported by Palestinian journalist Khaled Abu Toameh's provision of numerous examples of Palestinian leaders stating, before the violence began, that a new round of confrontations was being planned. 36 (Interestingly, Moshe Ya'alon, the former Israeli military intelligence head (and later senior government minister) thought the second intifada was planned, whereas Ami Ayalon, former head of Shin Bet, Israel's internal security agency, did not. 37 ) Marcus appears to believe the Palestinian Authority retained existentialist motivations and primed its population-particularly its children-to begin a round of violent confrontation in order to shift international opinion. Arafat had learned from the 1989 to 1993 intifada that Israel suffers losses of international public opinion because of the way it responds to Palestinian violence. Moreover, Arafat believed, Israel becomes ready to concede to Palestinians in the face of popular violence. 38 Whereas Marcus is convinced the Palestinian Authority remained existentialist at the end of the Oslo period, Ross had no doubt that Mahmoud Abbas and Ahmed Qurei-deputies to Arafat-were territorialists: 'No two Palestinians were more committed to the Oslo process and peace with Israel'. 39 As for Arafat, in the final analysis, Ross determined that he could not turn himself from revolutionary into statesman. 40 This might well be true, but does not necessarily mean that Ross believes Arafat was existentialist. If the Palestinian Authority was, indeed, territorialist, its decision to use incitement to turn to violence still makes sense, for one (or both) of two reasons. First, confronted with a definitive choice at Camp David, Arafat did not want to accept the responsibility that statehood would bring-not 35 only being responsible for security, but also being the Palestinian leader to tell the Palestinian diaspora it would not return, and being the Muslim leader to tell the world's Muslims that Jews would retain overall control of the Noble Sanctuary (indeed, Arafat expressed these concerns to American negotiators during the Camp David summit). 41 Thus, he turned to violence, knowing Israeli overreactions would take the pressure off him. The second possible reason is similar-that the Israeli offer simply was not good enough, but in saying no, much of the international (and particularly American) blame fell on Arafat. Thus, he turned to violence to shift attention. Regardless of the reason, the Palestinian Authority explicitly endorsed religious violence in its television media from summer 2000. 42 The message to most Israelis (in combination with the rejection of Barak's offer and the actual violence) was clear-that the Palestinian Authority was existentialist and not interested in a peaceful, territorialist resolution; in October 2000, 73 per cent of Jewish Israelis felt that the Palestinian Authority had no interest in making peace with Israel. 43 Differing Israeli perceptions of Palestinian willingness and capacity to forge peace led to what is dubbed here as the 'land-for-peace' and 'peacefor-land' concepts in Israeli society. The land-for-peace formula, born of UN Security Council Resolution 242 (and the idea on which Oslo was premised) was that Israel would give up some or all of the territories occupied in 1967 in exchange for peace. However, what some Israelis came to believe in the 1990s is that land ceded to Palestinians could be and was being used to organise anti-Israel activity-whether it be incitement or terrorism. Whereas a promise of peace is just that, land is tangible, and hard to get back once handed over. Thus, from the early days of the peace process, the Israeli right began to urge for proof that Palestinians were willing and able to produce peace before Israel ceded more land-that is, they demanded peace-for-land. 44 Many of the proponents of this peace-for-land grouping were still territorialists-they were not against an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement. 45 Indeed, that the Oslo process provided the Palestinians with autonomy for a limited period before statehood was because Israel insisted (over Palestinian objections) on testing the Palestinian commitment to peace before ceding them full statehood. That is, 'peace-for-land' was built into the Oslo process from the beginning. It is of interest that official Israeli-Palestinian negotiations (held in Washington before the secret and originally unofficial Oslo negotiations became known) initially involved only Palestinians from the West Bank and Gaza. The details discussed were mainly about Israeli withdrawal and the status of the future Palestinian entity-issues of prime relevance to West Bank and Gazan Palestinians. However, the 'external' PLO became involved and widened the scope of negotiations, including regarding the 'right of return' and the refusal of Palestinians to view a permanent agreement as an 'end of conflict'. This, in the words of Shmuel Even, 'led to fears in Israel that the PLO had not abandoned the dream of "Greater Palestine" and was thus no different from Hamas'. 46 The Israeli fear that Palestinians remained existentialist led to both the interim-style agreement eventually forged and to the land-for-peace/peace-for-land split among Israeli territorialists. (Beyond Israeli perceptions, this anecdote might also indicate that West Bank and Gazan PLO members were largely territorialists, whereas diaspora PLO members remained largely existentialists.) Notwithstanding the peace-for-land notion built into Oslo, territorialist critics of Oslo wanted to renegotiate (or unilaterally reshape) the way the agreements were implemented due to the increase in Palestinian terrorism. 47 Thus, Netanyahu, whose Likud party was of the right, demanded, during his first premiership, Palestinian reciprocity in 44 See Schulze op. cit. p. 228; and Ross 2004 op. cit. p. 27. 45 Despite concerns about Palestinian terrorism, Israeli public support for a Palestinian state as an outcome of the peace process increased over time. See Ya'ar and Hermann 1999 "Peace Index-March 1999". 46 Even 2013 "Twenty Years since the Oslo Accords" p. 75. 145 exchange for his observing the Oslo agreement. 48 Palestinians balked at this unilateral change to the terms and spirit of the peace agreements. Ross makes clear that US President Clinton, his Secretary of State, European leaders, the Israeli Labour Party and the Palestinians all thought that Netanyahu was deliberately attempting to undermine the peace process. 49 However, this represents the ignorance of the distinction between land-for-peace and peace-for-land. Before becoming prime minister, Netanyahu had written of the need for security and the danger of giving too much to the Palestinians unless they first proved they were genuine about peace. 50 He was not convinced the Palestinians had become territorialists, and so slowed down implementation of the agreements. Further, he was beholden to a cabinet that was strongly peace-for-land (and included existentialists). 51 Statements by Netanyahu since his first premiership shows that he remained a peace-for-land territorialist, not an existentialist, during the Oslo period. 52 This ignorance of the distinction between land-for-peace and peacefor-land continues. Under considerable US pressure, in 2009 (when Netanyahu was once again prime minister), Israel announced a 10-month partial freeze in settlement building, inviting the Palestinians to participate in negotiations. Palestinians did not join negotiations until the last month of the freeze, and demanded that Israel extend it. When Israel did not do so, the talks collapsed. In the lead up to the abortive talks, Netanyahu offered to withdraw from parts of the West Bank. US President Obama, who had a difficult relationship with Netanyahu, apparently thought the latter was serious in this offer. However, according to Ross, who was present, 48 Netanyahu was an adherent to the peace-for-land concept from the beginning; it was this sentiment that helped him get elected in 1996. What this exchange shows is that Netanyahu presented himself as a peacefor-land territorialist. According to Ross, Netanyahu's reluctance to go into details about the scope of the withdrawal made Obama sceptical about his intentions. Clearly, Obama did not appreciate the difference between land-for-peace and peace-for-land. As the Oslo years progressed, existentialist Israelis, opposed to the concept of a Palestinian state anywhere in what they consider Jewish land, found themselves aligned to the territorialist peace-for-land camp. Arguably, the Palestinian rejection of proposals at Camp David and Taba (Taba is discussed in Part IV) and the violence from September 2000 papered over any remaining differences between the Jewish religiousexistentialists and peace-for-land grouping; from that point, both groups did not see the value in peace negotiations with the Palestinians. However, fundamental differences remain-the territorialist Israeli peace sceptics (the peace-for-land grouping) were still willing to accept a Palestinian state to end the conflict, even if they believed that the Palestinian Authority was not interested in peace. Once the Palestinian leadership becomes willing, in the eyes of these Israelis, to end the territorial conflict (i.e. a leadership that appears both willing and able to sell the necessary compromises to its people), the peace-for-land Israelis will be supportive, but the existentialist Israelis will still be opposed to any Palestinian state. Division in Israel similar to that seen in the 1990s will likely re-emerge. Among territorialist Israelis (i.e. those willing to accept a peaceful Palestinian state), opinion remains divided between the land-for-peace formula and the peace-for-land concept. This division is broadly reflected in the left-right political division that, since 1996, has seen the right (i.e. the peace-for-land plus religious-existentialists) dominate. The only 'land-for-peace' Israeli government elected since 2000-the 2006-2009 Olmert Government-vigorously pursued a peace agreement with the Palestinians, to no avail. 54 53 Ross 2016 Doomed to Succeed p. 376. 54 As an aside, foreign observers frequently describe Israel's recent governments as 'right-wing' or 'conservative', which is arguably true. But these observations tend to hide the very progressive nature of much of Israeli society. Because security and the state of International opinion is broadly in favour of the land-for-peace concept, as opposed to peace-for-land (with the notable exceptions of the Bush and 2017 -2021 Trump Administrations in America), 55 which has led to sharp disagreements between peace-for-land Israeli governments and foreign leaders in how to move the peace process forward. In this chapter, we continued the discussion of Israeli perceptions of the Oslo peace process in light of the territorial/existential dichotomy, by examining: the widening gap between the secular and religious in Israeli society; the impact of international opinion on Israeli willingness to compromise; and the failure of the July 2000 Camp David summit. The discussion then moved to the division, exacerbated by the Oslo process, between the land-for-peace and peace-for-land groupings within territorialist Israeli society. The failing peace process saw the peace-forland Israelis increasingly side with existentialist Israelis, to establish a solid 'peace-sceptic' majority, which has influenced Israeli voting habits and resultant governments ever since. However, the chapter also found that this perceived alignment between peace-for-land territorialists and existentialists is based on a shared view that the Palestinian leadership is existentialist. If and when this perceived view changes among peacefor-land territorialists, this 'peace-sceptic' majority will likely fracture, and Israeli society will likely experience the same sort of religious-secular divisions in regards to a future peace process that it experienced in the 1990s. 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