key: cord-0016868-rx3fgdz3
authors: Gao, Chang; Wang, Yeming; Gu, Xiaoying; Shen, Xinghua; Zhou, Daming; Zhou, Shujun; Huang, Jian-an; Cao, Bin; Guo, Qiang
title: Association Between Cardiac Injury and Mortality in Hospitalized Patients Infected With Avian Influenza A (H7N9) Virus
date: 2020-03-20
journal: Crit Care Med
DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000004207
sha: b82288f68f55f9c0de67924dad924a9f50f4d395
doc_id: 16868
cord_uid: rx3fgdz3

To evaluate the prevalence of cardiac injury and its association with mortality in hospitalized patients infected with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: A total of 133 hospitals in 17 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities of mainland China that admitted influenza A (H7N9) virus–infected patients between January 22, 2015, and June 16, 2017. PATIENTS: A total of 321 patients with influenza A (H7N9) virus infection were included in the final analysis. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Demographics and clinical characteristics were collected from medical records. Cardiac injury was defined according to cardiac biomarkers, electrocardiography, or echocardiography. Among the 321 patients, 203 (63.2%) showed evidence of cardiac injury. Compared with the uninjured group, the cardiac injury group had lower Pao(2)/Fio(2) (median, 102.0 vs 148.4 mm Hg; p < 0.001), higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (median, 17.0 vs 11.0; p < 0.001), longer stay in the ICU (10.0 vs 9.0 d; p = 0.029), and higher proportion of in-hospital death (64.0% vs 20.3%; p < 0.001). The proportion of virus clearance until discharge or death was lower in the cardiac injury group than in the uninjured group (58.6% vs 86.4%; p < 0.001). Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that cardiac injury was associated with higher mortality (hazards ratio, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.31–3.24) during hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac injury is a frequent condition among hospitalized patients infected with influenza A (H7N9) virus, and it is associated with higher risk of mortality.

had cardiac injury (12) . Cardiac injuries, such as an ejection fraction (EF) lower than 50% and elevated troponin I (TNI), were associated with higher mortality during the 2009 pandemic of influenza A (H1N1) (9) . Mortality caused by cardiac injury increases significantly during influenza epidemics (13, 14) , and cardiac injuries are more common in fatal cases of influenza (15) . However, the relationship between cardiac injury and risk of mortality among people infected with influenza A (H7N9) virus has not been clearly elucidated.

These findings highlight the need to understand more about the link between H7N9 viral infection and cardiac injury and whether cardiac injury in such patients is associated with mortality. The present multicenter study collected data from several clinical centers in mainland China to examine the potential association between cardiac injury and mortality among patients with laboratory-confirmed avian influenza A (H7N9) viral infection.

The Chinese Surveillance System for Pneumonia was used to retrospectively collect data of inpatients with laboratory-confirmed avian influenza from hospitals throughout China. Database for data collection of H7N9 virus-infected patients has been established and described previously (16) . In brief, based on the database, copies of original medical records of 338 patients from 17 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities of mainland China between January 22, 2015, and June 16, 2017, were available. For each hospital, the collaborators contributed all the patients with H7N9 viral infection from their hospital. H7N9 viral infection was confirmed by real-time reverse transcriptasepolymerase chain reaction, viral isolation, or serologic testing (17) . Cardiac testing was ordered by the treating physicians. If there was more than one test for a single patient, all the results were captured. Patients were followed up from admission to death during hospitalization or hospital discharge. Loss to follow-up was defined as the survival status that cannot be ascertained.

This study was approved by the National Health Commission of China and the institutional review boards at China-Japan Friendship Hospital (Beijing, China). As a national public health surveillance study, written informed consent was exempted.

Copies of original patient medical records were sent from the participating hospitals to the central data collection center in Beijing (16) . Clinical data were reviewed by trained physicians of pulmonary and critical care medicine to determine the accuracy of diagnoses. Demographic characteristics (age and gender), clinical characteristics (comorbidities, laboratory findings, severity of illness scores, treatments, complications, and outcomes), and results of cardiac examinations (cardiac biomarkers, electrocardiography, and echocardiography) for participants during hospitalization were collected and independently entered into the computer database by two analysts.

Results of cardiac biomarkers included values of TNI and creatinine kinase-myocardial band (CK-MB). Results of electrocardiography included heart rate, heart rhythm, and waveform change of P, QRS, and ST-T. Results of echocardiography included value of EF, ventricular wall motion assessment, pericardial effusion, and mean pulmonary artery pressure (PAPm).

The number of patients for each type of cardiac examinations was counted and the time of first test for each examination was recorded. As the different normal range of testing equipment in different hospitals, the ratio of the detected value to the upper limit of the normal range was used as a unified evaluation index. For any discrepancies between the two datasets, the original medical records were checked to make sure the data accuracy.

All the clinical data were collected till discharge or death. Data of cardiac test collected within 28 days after influenza illness onset were used to evaluate cardiac injury (11, 18) , which was assessed on the basis of cardiac biomarkers (TNI and CK-MB), electrocardiography, and echocardiography.

Cardiac injury was defined as one or more of the following (1): blood levels of cardiac biomarkers (TNI or CK-MB) above the 99th percentile upper reference limit (2, 19) , new abnormalities in electrocardiography, including supraventricular tachycardia, ventricular tachycardia, atrial fibrillation, ventricular fibrillation, bundle branch block, ST-segment elevation/depression, T-wave flattening/inversion, and QT interval prolongation (3, 10, 12, 15, 20) , new abnormalities in echocardiography, including decreased EF value (EF < 50%) or a worsening of the underlying state (patients with basal state of EF <50%), regional/global ventricular wall motion abnormalities, the presence of pericardial effusion, and pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) (9, 10, 12, 15, 20) . PAPm was calculated by adding estimated right atrial pressure to mean tricuspid regurgitation pressure, echocardiographic estimation of PAPm with a cutoff value of greater than or equal to 25 mm Hg at rest with regard to the diagnosis of PAH (21) (22) (23) . Clinical manifestations, cardiac evaluation, hemodynamic variables, documents of physician diagnoses, and related guidelines or standards were used to identify heart failure, myocarditis, sudden cardiac arrest, cardiogenic shock, and acute myocardial infarction.

Moderate-to-severe ARDS was diagnosed according to the Berlin definition (24): Pao 2 /Fio 2 ratio of less than or equal to 200 mm Hg and a positive end-expiratory pressure of greater than or equal to 5 cm H 2 O. AKI was defined according to Kidney Disease Improving Global Guidelines (KDIGO) clinical practice guidelines: an increase in serum creatinine values greater than or equal to 0.3 mg/dL (26.5 μmol/L) within 48 hours, serum creatinine values greater than or equal to 1.5 times the baseline within the previous 7 days, or urine volume less than or equal to 0.5 mL/ kg/hr for 6 hours (25) . Preexisting cardiac conditions were defined as congestive heart failure, known conduction system abnormality, or ischemic heart disease. Corticosteroid treatment was defined as at least a dose (≥ 0.5 mg/kg) of methylprednisolone during hospitalization (26, 27) .

Continuous data were presented as mean ± sd if they were normally distributed, or as median (interquartile range [IQR]) if they showed a skewed distribution. Frequency data were expressed as proportions. Comparisons of continuous variables were made with Student t test or the Mann-Whitney U test when appropriate, whereas differences in categorical variables were assessed using the Chi-square test or Fisher exact test, as appropriate.

Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between patients with or without cardiac injury using the log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to determine the independent risk factors for death during hospitalization. Variables with p values less than 0.2 in univariate Cox proportional hazard regression (Table S2 , Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links.lww.com/CCM/ F283) were included in the multivariate model. Probabilities of entering and removing variables in a stepwise manner in the multivariate model were 0.05 and 0.10, respectively. To determine the association between cardiac injury and mortality, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were estimated with adjustment of age (< 65 yr, ≥ 65 yr), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (< 21, ≥ 21), Pao 2 /Fio 2 (≤ 200 mm Hg, > 200 mm Hg), AKI, and preexisting cardiac conditions (Table S3 , Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links. lww.com/CCM/F283). Subgroup analysis according to ARDS, age, and APACHE II score was also performed with the multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression model.

Data were analyzed using SPSS 25.0 (IBM, Chicago, IL). Statistical charts were performed using Excel 2016, GraphPad Prism 7 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA), and R x64 3.5.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria; https://www.r-project.org/). A two-tailed p value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Of the 338 patients, 14 lost to follow-up and three with missing laboratory examination results were excluded. A total of 321 patients from 133 hospitals in 17 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China were included in the final analysis (Fig. S1 , Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links. lww.com/CCM/F283). The mean age was 54.9 ± 15.8 years, 27.1% were women, and 48.0% of all patients died of infection or comorbidities.

Most patients (63.2%, 203/321) had cardiac injury. Information detailing cardiac injury diagnosis is shown in Table 1 . Among the 203 patients with cardiac injury, 128 patients had at least two kinds of evidence of cardiac injury. The proportions of heart failure were 34.6% (111/321), followed by myocarditis 1.9%, sudden cardiac arrest 2.8%, and cardiogenic shock 1.2%.

All the 321 patients had at least one type of cardiac examinations (cardiac biomarkers, electrocardiography, and echocardiography), with 305 patients (95.0%) having at least one result of TNI or CK-MB and 293 patients (91.3%) having at least one electrocardiography examination. The first examination of TNI, CK-MB, and electrocardiography was performed at a same median of day 0 (IQR, day 0-1) after admission. Of 321 patients, 132 (41.1%) had at least once echocardiography examination, with the first test of echocardiography performed at a median of day 2 (IQR, day 1-6) after admission. The last test of TNI, CK-MB, electrocardiography, and echocardiography was performed at a median of day 10 (IQR, day 4-20), 10 (IQR, day 5-19), 6 (IQR, day 2-13), and 14 (IQR, day 9-20), respectively.

The levels of TNI and CK-MB were shown as the ratio of the detected value to the upper limit of the normal range (Table S1, Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links.lww. com/CCM/F283). The median levels of TNI and CK-MB on the first day of admission were 0.5 (IQR, 0.2-2.1) and 0.9 (IQR, 0.5-1.5), respectively. The maximum level of TNI and CK-MB during hospitalization was 1.1 (IQR, 0.3-5.1) and 1.3 (IQR, 0.8-2.4), respectively. Among patients with decreased EF, the median level of EF was 0.5 (IQR, 0.4-0.5).

Patients with cardiac injury had a higher mean age than those without cardiac injury (57.4 ± 15.9 vs 50.5 ± 14.8 yr; p < 0.001), and a higher proportion of preexisting cardiac conditions (11.3% vs 2.5%; p = 0.005) than those without cardiac injury ( Table 2) . Clinical characteristics of study participants are presented in Table 3 . Patients with cardiac injury presented with higher median values of WBC counts at the time of admission (4.7 vs 3.6 × 10 9 /L; p = 0.023), but a lower median value of Pao 2 /Fio 2 (102.0 vs 148.4 mm Hg; p < 0.001). Furthermore, 

Patients with cardiac injury had significantly higher in-hospital mortality than those without cardiac injury (log-rank p < 0.001) (Fig. 1) . In the multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression model, a significantly higher risk of death was shown in patients with cardiac injury than those without (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.31-3.24) (Fig. 2) . Subgroup analysis showed that in patients with moderate-to-severe ARDS, cardiac injury was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (adjusted HR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.27-3.15) (Fig. 2) . The analysis was not conducted among patients without ARDS, because only seven deaths were recorded. An association between cardiac injury and in-hospital mortality was observed in patients under 65 years old (HR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.12-3.24) as well as in those greater than or equal to 65 years old (HR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.04-6.24). Among patients with an APACHE II score less than 21, cardiac injury was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (HR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.20-3.80). No significant association between cardiac injury and mortality was observed among those with APACHE II scores greater than or equal to 21 

To the best of our knowledge, this is the largest study investigating cardiac injury in hospitalized patients with influenza A (H7N9) viral infection. In this retrospective multicenter study, a high proportion (63.2%) of cardiac injury was found in hospitalized patients with influenza A (H7N9) viral infection. We found that cardiac injury was independently associated with increased risk of mortality during hospitalization among patients infected with H7N9 virus.

Cardiac injury was also common in the infection caused by other subtypes of influenza virus (6-10, 14, 15, 20, 28) . A retrospective studies found that about 54% individuals infected during the severe H1N1 pandemic in 2009 had cardiac injury (9) . A study of 600 U.S. patients who underwent cardiac biomarker testing within 30 days after a laboratory-confirmed influenza infection specimen collection showed that 143 (24%) had elevated TNI and/or CK-MB (29) . Severe infections, ARDS, and related mechanical ventilation settings were associated with cardiac injury (12, 30) . These common conditions in patients with H7N9 viral infection may partly explain the high proportion of cardiac injury (3) .

The mechanism of cardiac injury among patients with H7N9 viral infection is still uncertain. In one study, autopsy of two patients who died after H7N9 viral infection failed to detect the virus in heart tissue (31) . On the other hand, several studies have demonstrated the association between influenza infection and cardiac complications as well as higher risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and myocardial necrosis (4, 5, 32, 33) . Influenza viral antigen was demonstrated in the cardiocytes of mice by immunofluorescence (34) . Case reports indicated the presence of influenza A (H1N1) in pericardial and myocardial tissues of influenza patients (35) (36) (37) . These studies suggest the potential of direct viral invasion as the cause of infection-associated cardiac injury (38) . Alternatively, severe influenza infection may trigger an exaggerated immune response, with many individuals with severe influenza infection showing increased serum cytokines (38) (39) (40) (41) (42) . The activation or enhanced release of various inflammatory cytokines, or transient hypoxia-induced mitochondrial dysfunction, may aggravate the impairment of intracellular calcium function, which may result in abnormal electrocardiography and echocardiography (6, 20, 43) . In the present study, the proportion of patients with detectable viral RNA until discharge or death was significantly higher among patients with cardiac injury than among uninjured patients. Because influenza A (H7N9) virus can cause severe infection, we hypothesize that it promotes cardiac injury by up-regulating pro-inflammatory cytokines (44, 45) , but this needs to be further explored.

Studies have shown that during influenza epidemics, cardiac injury was associated with increased mortality (13, 14) and was more prevalent among infected individuals who died (15) . Study of a cohort from the severe H1N1 pandemic in 2009 showed that elevated TNI and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (EF < 50%) were associated with high mortality (9) . Autopsies of influenza-infected patients who experienced sudden death show typical inflammatory infiltration and myocardial necrosis that occurred before death (4, 5) . Consistent with this result, 69% of patients who died of influenza B viral infection in one study showed pathologic evidence of cardiac injury (46) . Our study is the first to identify cardiac injury as an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality. Cardiac injury in influenza-infected patients may contribute to mortality in part by causing hemodynamic deterioration. Indeed, many of our patients with cardiac injury were on vasopressor therapy. This deterioration may be due to cytokines released after severe infection. Cytokines can suppress cardiac output, and cytokine storms inhibit oxygen use by mitochondria, and contribute to the occurrence of acute heart failure in patients with severe infection (45, 47) .

Our study is limited by its retrospective nature, and by the fact that we could not include all patients in mainland China with laboratory-confirmed influenza A (H7N9) viral infection. Nevertheless, we included patients from 17 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities, and the characteristics of our patients were similar to those for the general population of patients with H7N9 viral infection, based on data from the China Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Second, because patients varied between when they had their first cardiac examination and when infection manifested, we were not able to find the risk interval between H7N9 viral infection and cardiac injury.

Cardiac injury is a frequent condition among hospitalized patients infected with influenza A (H7N9) virus, and it is associated with higher risk of in-hospital mortality. The association between H7N9 virus and cardiac injury needs further exploration, and clinicians should be aware of the potential of cardiac injury in H7N9 virus-infected patients. Such patients should require more extensive and frequent monitoring.

We appreciate the substantial efforts of the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China in coordinating data collection. We thank Fei Zhou and Lingxiao Sun at the China-Japan Friendship Hospital and Fengyuan Li at Soochow University for their help in data management, as well as Professor Mingzhi Zhang of Soochow University for her advice with data analysis. virus-infected hospitalized patients. a Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score was assessed within 24 hr of admission to hospital. The potential confounding variables including age (< 65 yr, ≥ 65 yr), APACHE II score at admission (< 21, ≥ 21), Pao 2 /Fio 2 (≤ 200 mm Hg, > 200 mm Hg), acute kidney injury, and preexisting cardiac conditions were used to adjust for the association between cardiac injury and mortality. ARDS = acute respiratory distress syndrome, HR = hazard ratio.

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CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences

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The authors have disclosed that they do not have any potential conflicts of interest.For information regarding this article, E-mail: guojiang@suda.edu.cn; cao-bin_ben@163.com.