id sid tid token lemma pos crl-14049 1 1 college college NOUN crl-14049 1 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 1 3 research research NOUN crl-14049 1 4 libraries librarie VERB crl-14049 1 5 research research NOUN crl-14049 1 6 notes note NOUN crl-14049 1 7 501 501 NUM crl-14049 1 8 16 16 NUM crl-14049 1 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 2 1 not not PART crl-14049 2 2 found find VERB crl-14049 2 3 . . PUNCT crl-14049 3 1 this this PRON crl-14049 3 2 is be AUX crl-14049 3 3 the the DET crl-14049 3 4 catch catch NOUN crl-14049 3 5 - - PUNCT crl-14049 3 6 all all PRON crl-14049 3 7 category category NOUN crl-14049 3 8 to to PART crl-14049 3 9 which which PRON crl-14049 3 10 an an DET crl-14049 3 11 item item NOUN crl-14049 3 12 is be AUX crl-14049 3 13 consigned consign VERB crl-14049 3 14 whenever whenever SCONJ crl-14049 3 15 it it PRON crl-14049 3 16 can can AUX crl-14049 3 17 not not PART crl-14049 3 18 be be AUX crl-14049 3 19 located locate VERB crl-14049 3 20 and and CCONJ crl-14049 3 21 no no DET crl-14049 3 22 reason reason NOUN crl-14049 3 23 is be AUX crl-14049 3 24 determined determine VERB crl-14049 3 25 . . PUNCT crl-14049 4 1 presumably presumably ADV crl-14049 4 2 some some DET crl-14049 4 3 items item NOUN crl-14049 4 4 have have AUX crl-14049 4 5 been be AUX crl-14049 4 6 lost lose VERB crl-14049 4 7 or or CCONJ crl-14049 4 8 stolen steal VERB crl-14049 4 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 4 10 others other NOUN crl-14049 4 11 are be AUX crl-14049 4 12 in in ADP crl-14049 4 13 transit transit NOUN crl-14049 4 14 or or CCONJ crl-14049 4 15 in in ADP crl-14049 4 16 use use NOUN crl-14049 4 17 . . PUNCT crl-14049 5 1 after after SCONJ crl-14049 5 2 time time NOUN crl-14049 5 3 has have AUX crl-14049 5 4 been be AUX crl-14049 5 5 allowed allow VERB crl-14049 5 6 for for SCONJ crl-14049 5 7 an an DET crl-14049 5 8 item item NOUN crl-14049 5 9 to to PART crl-14049 5 10 turn turn VERB crl-14049 5 11 up up ADP crl-14049 5 12 a a DET crl-14049 5 13 decision decision NOUN crl-14049 5 14 is be AUX crl-14049 5 15 made make VERB crl-14049 5 16 whether whether SCONJ crl-14049 5 17 to to PART crl-14049 5 18 attempt attempt VERB crl-14049 5 19 to to PART crl-14049 5 20 replace replace VERB crl-14049 5 21 il il PROPN crl-14049 5 22 the the DET crl-14049 5 23 gifts gift NOUN crl-14049 5 24 and and CCONJ crl-14049 5 25 exchanges exchange NOUN crl-14049 5 26 unit unit NOUN crl-14049 5 27 may may AUX crl-14049 5 28 be be AUX crl-14049 5 29 able able ADJ crl-14049 5 30 to to PART crl-14049 5 31 obtain obtain VERB crl-14049 5 32 a a DET crl-14049 5 33 free free ADJ crl-14049 5 34 copy copy NOUN crl-14049 5 35 , , PUNCT crl-14049 5 36 or or CCONJ crl-14049 5 37 it it PRON crl-14049 5 38 may may AUX crl-14049 5 39 have have VERB crl-14049 5 40 to to PART crl-14049 5 41 be be AUX crl-14049 5 42 purchased purchase VERB crl-14049 5 43 . . PUNCT crl-14049 6 1 using use VERB crl-14049 6 2 time time NOUN crl-14049 6 3 - - PUNCT crl-14049 6 4 series series NOUN crl-14049 6 5 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 6 6 to to PART crl-14049 6 7 predict predict VERB crl-14049 6 8 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 6 9 library library NOUN crl-14049 6 10 circulations circulations PROPN crl-14049 6 11 terrence terrence PROPN crl-14049 6 12 a. a. PROPN crl-14049 6 13 brooks brooks PROPN crl-14049 6 14 four four NUM crl-14049 6 15 methods method NOUN crl-14049 6 16 were be AUX crl-14049 6 17 used use VERB crl-14049 6 18 to to PART crl-14049 6 19 forecast forecast VERB crl-14049 6 20 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 6 21 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 6 22 totals total NOUN crl-14049 6 23 in in ADP crl-14049 6 24 15 15 NUM crl-14049 6 25 midwestern midwestern ADJ crl-14049 6 26 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 6 27 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 6 28 . . PUNCT crl-14049 7 1 in in ADP crl-14049 7 2 a a DET crl-14049 7 3 test test NOUN crl-14049 7 4 of of ADP crl-14049 7 5 one one NUM crl-14049 7 6 - - PUNCT crl-14049 7 7 month month NOUN crl-14049 7 8 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 7 9 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 7 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 7 11 the the DET crl-14049 7 12 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 7 13 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 7 14 method method NOUN crl-14049 7 15 , , PUNCT crl-14049 7 16 a a DET crl-14049 7 17 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 7 18 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 7 19 method method NOUN crl-14049 7 20 for for ADP crl-14049 7 21 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 7 22 data datum NOUN crl-14049 7 23 , , PUNCT crl-14049 7 24 exhibited exhibit VERB crl-14049 7 25 the the DET crl-14049 7 26 smallest small ADJ crl-14049 7 27 average average ADJ crl-14049 7 28 error error NOUN crl-14049 7 29 . . PUNCT crl-14049 8 1 in in ADP crl-14049 8 2 a a DET crl-14049 8 3 test test NOUN crl-14049 8 4 of of ADP crl-14049 8 5 six six NUM crl-14049 8 6 - - PUNCT crl-14049 8 7 month month NOUN crl-14049 8 8 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 8 9 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 8 10 the the DET crl-14049 8 11 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 8 12 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 8 13 method method NOUN crl-14049 8 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 8 15 a a DET crl-14049 8 16 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 8 17 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 8 18 method method NOUN crl-14049 8 19 for for ADP crl-14049 8 20 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 8 21 data datum NOUN crl-14049 8 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 8 23 exhibited exhibit VERB crl-14049 8 24 the the DET crl-14049 8 25 smallest small ADJ crl-14049 8 26 average average ADJ crl-14049 8 27 error error NOUN crl-14049 8 28 . . PUNCT crl-14049 9 1 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 9 2 - - PUNCT crl-14049 9 3 line line NOUN crl-14049 9 4 predictive predictive ADJ crl-14049 9 5 methods method NOUN crl-14049 9 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 9 7 both both CCONJ crl-14049 9 8 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 9 9 or or CCONJ crl-14049 9 10 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 9 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 9 12 had have VERB crl-14049 9 13 significantly significantly ADV crl-14049 9 14 greater great ADJ crl-14049 9 15 error error NOUN crl-14049 9 16 in in ADP crl-14049 9 17 both both DET crl-14049 9 18 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 9 19 tests test NOUN crl-14049 9 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 10 1 a a DET crl-14049 10 2 remaining remain VERB crl-14049 10 3 research research NOUN crl-14049 10 4 question question NOUN crl-14049 10 5 is be AUX crl-14049 10 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 10 7 why why SCONJ crl-14049 10 8 do do AUX crl-14049 10 9 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 10 10 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 10 11 methods method NOUN crl-14049 10 12 outperform outperform VERB crl-14049 10 13 more more ADV crl-14049 10 14 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 10 15 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 10 16 methods method NOUN crl-14049 10 17 with with ADP crl-14049 10 18 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 10 19 library library NOUN crl-14049 10 20 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 10 21 data datum NOUN crl-14049 10 22 in in ADP crl-14049 10 23 long long ADJ crl-14049 10 24 - - PUNCT crl-14049 10 25 range range NOUN crl-14049 10 26 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 10 27 ? ? PUNCT crl-14049 11 1 it it PRON crl-14049 11 2 is be AUX crl-14049 11 3 suggested suggest VERB crl-14049 11 4 that that SCONJ crl-14049 11 5 high high ADJ crl-14049 11 6 levels level NOUN crl-14049 11 7 of of ADP crl-14049 11 8 randomness randomness NOUN crl-14049 11 9 in in ADP crl-14049 11 10 library library NOUN crl-14049 11 11 - - PUNCT crl-14049 11 12 output output NOUN crl-14049 11 13 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 11 14 inhibit inhibit VERB crl-14049 11 15 the the DET crl-14049 11 16 performance performance NOUN crl-14049 11 17 of of ADP crl-14049 11 18 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 11 19 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 11 20 methods method NOUN crl-14049 11 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 12 1 introduction introduction NOUN crl-14049 12 2 a a DET crl-14049 12 3 time time NOUN crl-14049 12 4 series series NOUN crl-14049 12 5 is be AUX crl-14049 12 6 a a DET crl-14049 12 7 chronological chronological ADJ crl-14049 12 8 sequence sequence NOUN crl-14049 12 9 of of ADP crl-14049 12 10 observations observation NOUN crl-14049 12 11 on on ADP crl-14049 12 12 a a DET crl-14049 12 13 variable variable NOUN crl-14049 12 14 . . PUNCT crl-14049 13 1 1 1 NUM crl-14049 13 2 an an DET crl-14049 13 3 example example NOUN crl-14049 13 4 from from ADP crl-14049 13 5 the the DET crl-14049 13 6 field field NOUN crl-14049 13 7 of of ADP crl-14049 13 8 librarianship librarianship NOUN crl-14049 13 9 of of ADP crl-14049 13 10 such such DET crl-14049 13 11 a a DET crl-14049 13 12 variable variable NOUN crl-14049 13 13 is be AUX crl-14049 13 14 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 13 15 check check NOUN crl-14049 13 16 - - PUNCT crl-14049 13 17 outs out NOUN crl-14049 13 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 14 1 library library NOUN crl-14049 14 2 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 14 3 counts count NOUN crl-14049 14 4 are be AUX crl-14049 14 5 commonly commonly ADV crl-14049 14 6 compiled compile VERB crl-14049 14 7 on on ADP crl-14049 14 8 a a DET crl-14049 14 9 daily daily ADJ crl-14049 14 10 basis basis NOUN crl-14049 14 11 and and CCONJ crl-14049 14 12 aggregated aggregate VERB crl-14049 14 13 into into ADP crl-14049 14 14 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 14 15 or or CCONJ crl-14049 14 16 semester semester NOUN crl-14049 14 17 reports report NOUN crl-14049 14 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 15 1 a a DET crl-14049 15 2 series series NOUN crl-14049 15 3 of of ADP crl-14049 15 4 these these DET crl-14049 15 5 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 15 6 counts count NOUN crl-14049 15 7 is be AUX crl-14049 15 8 a a DET crl-14049 15 9 chronological chronological ADJ crl-14049 15 10 sequence sequence NOUN crl-14049 15 11 of of ADP crl-14049 15 12 observations observation NOUN crl-14049 15 13 on on ADP crl-14049 15 14 the the DET crl-14049 15 15 variable variable ADJ crl-14049 15 16 library library NOUN crl-14049 15 17 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 15 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 16 1 consequently consequently ADV crl-14049 16 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 16 3 it it PRON crl-14049 16 4 is be AUX crl-14049 16 5 fair fair ADJ crl-14049 16 6 to to PART crl-14049 16 7 conclude conclude VERB crl-14049 16 8 that that SCONJ crl-14049 16 9 the the DET crl-14049 16 10 most most ADV crl-14049 16 11 typical typical ADJ crl-14049 16 12 type type NOUN crl-14049 16 13 of of ADP crl-14049 16 14 statistical statistical ADJ crl-14049 16 15 data datum NOUN crl-14049 16 16 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 16 17 produce produce VERB crl-14049 16 18 is be AUX crl-14049 16 19 timeseries timeserie NOUN crl-14049 16 20 data data PROPN crl-14049 16 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 17 1 library library PROPN crl-14049 17 2 literature literature PROPN crl-14049 17 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 17 4 however however ADV crl-14049 17 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 17 6 reveals reveal VERB crl-14049 17 7 little little ADJ crl-14049 17 8 awareness awareness NOUN crl-14049 17 9 of of ADP crl-14049 17 10 the the DET crl-14049 17 11 ways way NOUN crl-14049 17 12 that that PRON crl-14049 17 13 time time NOUN crl-14049 17 14 - - PUNCT crl-14049 17 15 series series NOUN crl-14049 17 16 data datum NOUN crl-14049 17 17 can can AUX crl-14049 17 18 be be AUX crl-14049 17 19 used use VERB crl-14049 17 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 18 1 for for ADP crl-14049 18 2 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 18 3 and and CCONJ crl-14049 18 4 planning planning NOUN crl-14049 18 5 . . PUNCT crl-14049 19 1 time time NOUN crl-14049 19 2 - - PUNCT crl-14049 19 3 series series NOUN crl-14049 19 4 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 19 5 techniques technique NOUN crl-14049 19 6 are be AUX crl-14049 19 7 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 19 8 procedures procedure NOUN crl-14049 19 9 used use VERB crl-14049 19 10 to to PART crl-14049 19 11 predict predict VERB crl-14049 19 12 future future ADJ crl-14049 19 13 values value NOUN crl-14049 19 14 of of ADP crl-14049 19 15 a a DET crl-14049 19 16 time time NOUN crl-14049 19 17 series series NOUN crl-14049 19 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 20 1 they they PRON crl-14049 20 2 are be AUX crl-14049 20 3 unique unique ADJ crl-14049 20 4 only only ADV crl-14049 20 5 in in ADP crl-14049 20 6 that that SCONJ crl-14049 20 7 they they PRON crl-14049 20 8 use use VERB crl-14049 20 9 past past ADJ crl-14049 20 10 values value NOUN crl-14049 20 11 of of ADP crl-14049 20 12 a a DET crl-14049 20 13 time time NOUN crl-14049 20 14 series series NOUN crl-14049 20 15 to to PART crl-14049 20 16 predict predict VERB crl-14049 20 17 future future ADJ crl-14049 20 18 values value NOUN crl-14049 20 19 of of ADP crl-14049 20 20 the the DET crl-14049 20 21 same same ADJ crl-14049 20 22 time time NOUN crl-14049 20 23 series series NOUN crl-14049 20 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 21 1 this this DET crl-14049 21 2 paper paper NOUN crl-14049 21 3 reports report VERB crl-14049 21 4 the the DET crl-14049 21 5 application application NOUN crl-14049 21 6 of of ADP crl-14049 21 7 two two NUM crl-14049 21 8 types type NOUN crl-14049 21 9 of of ADP crl-14049 21 10 time time NOUN crl-14049 21 11 - - PUNCT crl-14049 21 12 series series NOUN crl-14049 21 13 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 21 14 to to ADP crl-14049 21 15 the the DET crl-14049 21 16 problem problem NOUN crl-14049 21 17 of of ADP crl-14049 21 18 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 21 19 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 21 20 library library NOUN crl-14049 21 21 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 21 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 22 1 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 22 2 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 22 3 in in ADP crl-14049 22 4 library library NOUN crl-14049 22 5 planning planning NOUN crl-14049 22 6 and and CCONJ crl-14049 22 7 decisionmaking decisionmaking NOUN crl-14049 22 8 , , PUNCT crl-14049 22 9 predictions prediction NOUN crl-14049 22 10 are be AUX crl-14049 22 11 invariably invariably ADV crl-14049 22 12 required require VERB crl-14049 22 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 23 1 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 23 2 2 2 NUM crl-14049 23 3 despite despite SCONJ crl-14049 23 4 hamburg hamburg PROPN crl-14049 23 5 's 's PART crl-14049 23 6 statement statement NOUN crl-14049 23 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 23 8 there there PRON crl-14049 23 9 has have AUX crl-14049 23 10 not not PART crl-14049 23 11 been be AUX crl-14049 23 12 much much ADJ crl-14049 23 13 theoretical theoretical ADJ crl-14049 23 14 work work NOUN crl-14049 23 15 or or CCONJ crl-14049 23 16 practical practical ADJ crl-14049 23 17 application application NOUN crl-14049 23 18 of of ADP crl-14049 23 19 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 23 20 methodologies methodology NOUN crl-14049 23 21 to to ADP crl-14049 23 22 library library NOUN crl-14049 23 23 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 23 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 24 1 this this PRON crl-14049 24 2 is be AUX crl-14049 24 3 in in ADP crl-14049 24 4 sharp sharp ADJ crl-14049 24 5 contrast contrast NOUN crl-14049 24 6 to to ADP crl-14049 24 7 the the DET crl-14049 24 8 acceptance acceptance NOUN crl-14049 24 9 of of ADP crl-14049 24 10 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 24 11 in in ADP crl-14049 24 12 other other ADJ crl-14049 24 13 disciplines discipline NOUN crl-14049 24 14 . . PUNCT crl-14049 25 1 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 25 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 25 3 or or CCONJ crl-14049 25 4 trend trend VERB crl-14049 25 5 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 25 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 25 7 is be AUX crl-14049 25 8 considered consider VERB crl-14049 25 9 an an DET crl-14049 25 10 integral integral ADJ crl-14049 25 11 part part NOUN crl-14049 25 12 of of ADP crl-14049 25 13 scientific scientific ADJ crl-14049 25 14 management management NOUN crl-14049 25 15 and and CCONJ crl-14049 25 16 rational rational ADJ crl-14049 25 17 decision decision NOUN crl-14049 25 18 making making NOUN crl-14049 25 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 26 1 makridakis makridakis PROPN crl-14049 26 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 26 3 wheelwrighe wheelwrighe NOUN crl-14049 26 4 describe describe NOUN crl-14049 26 5 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 26 6 as as ADP crl-14049 26 7 a a DET crl-14049 26 8 tool tool NOUN crl-14049 26 9 that that PRON crl-14049 26 10 permits permit VERB crl-14049 26 11 management management NOUN crl-14049 26 12 to to PART crl-14049 26 13 shield shield VERB crl-14049 26 14 an an DET crl-14049 26 15 organization organization NOUN crl-14049 26 16 from from ADP crl-14049 26 17 the the DET crl-14049 26 18 vagaries vagary NOUN crl-14049 26 19 of of ADP crl-14049 26 20 chance chance NOUN crl-14049 26 21 events event NOUN crl-14049 26 22 and and CCONJ crl-14049 26 23 become become VERB crl-14049 26 24 more more ADV crl-14049 26 25 methodical methodical ADJ crl-14049 26 26 in in ADP crl-14049 26 27 dealing deal VERB crl-14049 26 28 with with ADP crl-14049 26 29 its its PRON crl-14049 26 30 environment environment NOUN crl-14049 26 31 . . PUNCT crl-14049 27 1 like like ADP crl-14049 27 2 bureaucracies bureaucracy NOUN crl-14049 27 3 everywhere everywhere ADV crl-14049 27 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 27 5 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 27 6 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 27 7 need need VERB crl-14049 27 8 tools tool NOUN crl-14049 27 9 that that PRON crl-14049 27 10 will will AUX crl-14049 27 11 enhance enhance VERB crl-14049 27 12 planning planning NOUN crl-14049 27 13 and and CCONJ crl-14049 27 14 rational rational ADJ crl-14049 27 15 decision decision NOUN crl-14049 27 16 making making NOUN crl-14049 27 17 . . PUNCT crl-14049 28 1 filley filley NOUN crl-14049 28 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 28 3 house4 house4 NOUN crl-14049 28 4 would would AUX crl-14049 28 5 characterize characterize VERB crl-14049 28 6 most most ADV crl-14049 28 7 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 28 8 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 28 9 today today NOUN crl-14049 28 10 as as SCONJ crl-14049 28 11 thirdterrence thirdterrence PROPN crl-14049 28 12 a. a. NOUN crl-14049 28 13 brooks brooks PROPN crl-14049 28 14 is be AUX crl-14049 28 15 assistant assistant NOUN crl-14049 28 16 professor professor NOUN crl-14049 28 17 at at ADP crl-14049 28 18 the the DET crl-14049 28 19 school school NOUN crl-14049 28 20 of of ADP crl-14049 28 21 library library NOUN crl-14049 28 22 and and CCONJ crl-14049 28 23 information information NOUN crl-14049 28 24 sci sci NOUN crl-14049 28 25 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 28 26 nce nce NOUN crl-14049 28 27 , , PUNCT crl-14049 28 28 university university PROPN crl-14049 28 29 of of ADP crl-14049 28 30 iowa iowa PROPN crl-14049 28 31 , , PUNCT crl-14049 28 32 iowa iowa PROPN crl-14049 28 33 city city PROPN crl-14049 28 34 , , PUNCT crl-14049 28 35 iowa iowa PROPN crl-14049 28 36 52242 52242 NUM crl-14049 28 37 . . PUNCT crl-14049 29 1 502 502 NUM crl-14049 29 2 college college PROPN crl-14049 29 3 & & CCONJ crl-14049 29 4 research research PROPN crl-14049 29 5 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 29 6 stage stage NOUN crl-14049 29 7 growth growth NOUN crl-14049 29 8 organizations organization NOUN crl-14049 29 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 30 1 large large ADJ crl-14049 30 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 30 3 complex complex ADJ crl-14049 30 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 30 5 these these DET crl-14049 30 6 organizations organization NOUN crl-14049 30 7 have have AUX crl-14049 30 8 developed develop VERB crl-14049 30 9 beyond beyond ADP crl-14049 30 10 the the DET crl-14049 30 11 early early ADJ crl-14049 30 12 rapid rapid ADJ crl-14049 30 13 growth growth NOUN crl-14049 30 14 stages stage NOUN crl-14049 30 15 identified identify VERB crl-14049 30 16 by by ADP crl-14049 30 17 filley filley NOUN crl-14049 30 18 and and CCONJ crl-14049 30 19 house house NOUN crl-14049 30 20 and and CCONJ crl-14049 30 21 now now ADV crl-14049 30 22 have have AUX crl-14049 30 23 become become AUX crl-14049 30 24 institutionalized institutionalize VERB crl-14049 30 25 with with ADP crl-14049 30 26 a a DET crl-14049 30 27 corps corps NOUN crl-14049 30 28 of of ADP crl-14049 30 29 bureaucrats bureaucrat NOUN crl-14049 30 30 who who PRON crl-14049 30 31 plan plan VERB crl-14049 30 32 , , PUNCT crl-14049 30 33 organize organize VERB crl-14049 30 34 , , PUNCT crl-14049 30 35 direct direct ADJ crl-14049 30 36 , , PUNCT crl-14049 30 37 and and CCONJ crl-14049 30 38 control control NOUN crl-14049 30 39 . . PUNCT crl-14049 31 1 many many ADJ crl-14049 31 2 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 31 3 librarians librarian NOUN crl-14049 31 4 are be AUX crl-14049 31 5 similarly similarly ADV crl-14049 31 6 charged charge VERB crl-14049 31 7 with with ADP crl-14049 31 8 the the DET crl-14049 31 9 tasks task NOUN crl-14049 31 10 of of ADP crl-14049 31 11 planning planning NOUN crl-14049 31 12 , , PUNCT crl-14049 31 13 organizing organizing NOUN crl-14049 31 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 31 15 directing directing NOUN crl-14049 31 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 31 17 and and CCONJ crl-14049 31 18 controlling control VERB crl-14049 31 19 library library NOUN crl-14049 31 20 operations operation NOUN crl-14049 31 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 32 1 one one NUM crl-14049 32 2 tool tool NOUN crl-14049 32 3 to to PART crl-14049 32 4 help help VERB crl-14049 32 5 accomplish accomplish VERB crl-14049 32 6 these these DET crl-14049 32 7 managerial managerial ADJ crl-14049 32 8 tasks task NOUN crl-14049 32 9 is be AUX crl-14049 32 10 forecasting forecast VERB crl-14049 32 11 . . PUNCT crl-14049 33 1 there there PRON crl-14049 33 2 are be VERB crl-14049 33 3 two two NUM crl-14049 33 4 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 33 5 studies study NOUN crl-14049 33 6 in in ADP crl-14049 33 7 library library PROPN crl-14049 33 8 literature literature PROPN crl-14049 33 9 worthy worthy ADJ crl-14049 33 10 of of ADP crl-14049 33 11 note note NOUN crl-14049 33 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 34 1 the the DET crl-14049 34 2 first first ADJ crl-14049 34 3 is be AUX crl-14049 34 4 by by ADP crl-14049 34 5 drake drake NOUN crl-14049 34 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 34 7 5 5 NUM crl-14049 34 8 who who PRON crl-14049 34 9 considered consider VERB crl-14049 34 10 linear linear ADJ crl-14049 34 11 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 34 12 as as ADP crl-14049 34 13 a a DET crl-14049 34 14 predictive predictive ADJ crl-14049 34 15 technique technique NOUN crl-14049 34 16 . . PUNCT crl-14049 35 1 she she PRON crl-14049 35 2 concluded conclude VERB crl-14049 35 3 that that SCONJ crl-14049 35 4 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 35 5 - - PUNCT crl-14049 35 6 line line NOUN crl-14049 35 7 trend trend NOUN crl-14049 35 8 projections projection NOUN crl-14049 35 9 are be AUX crl-14049 35 10 not not PART crl-14049 35 11 the the DET crl-14049 35 12 most most ADV crl-14049 35 13 efficient efficient ADJ crl-14049 35 14 predictors predictor NOUN crl-14049 35 15 in in ADP crl-14049 35 16 all all DET crl-14049 35 17 library library NOUN crl-14049 35 18 situations situation NOUN crl-14049 35 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 36 1 the the DET crl-14049 36 2 reason reason NOUN crl-14049 36 3 is be AUX crl-14049 36 4 that that PRON crl-14049 36 5 library library NOUN crl-14049 36 6 data datum NOUN crl-14049 36 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 36 8 especially especially ADV crl-14049 36 9 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 36 10 data datum NOUN crl-14049 36 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 36 12 show show VERB crl-14049 36 13 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 36 14 or or CCONJ crl-14049 36 15 seasonal seasonal ADJ crl-14049 36 16 fluctuations fluctuation NOUN crl-14049 36 17 . . PUNCT crl-14049 37 1 cyclicity cyclicity NOUN crl-14049 37 2 may may AUX crl-14049 37 3 be be AUX crl-14049 37 4 one one NUM crl-14049 37 5 of of ADP crl-14049 37 6 the the DET crl-14049 37 7 reasons reason NOUN crl-14049 37 8 that that PRON crl-14049 37 9 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 37 10 techniques technique NOUN crl-14049 37 11 have have AUX crl-14049 37 12 had have VERB crl-14049 37 13 a a DET crl-14049 37 14 retarded retarded ADJ crl-14049 37 15 application application NOUN crl-14049 37 16 to to ADP crl-14049 37 17 library library NOUN crl-14049 37 18 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 37 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 38 1 cyclicity cyclicity NOUN crl-14049 38 2 in in ADP crl-14049 38 3 library library NOUN crl-14049 38 4 - - PUNCT crl-14049 38 5 output output NOUN crl-14049 38 6 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 38 7 means mean VERB crl-14049 38 8 that that SCONJ crl-14049 38 9 a a DET crl-14049 38 10 variable variable NOUN crl-14049 38 11 such such ADJ crl-14049 38 12 as as ADP crl-14049 38 13 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 38 14 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 38 15 fluctuates fluctuate VERB crl-14049 38 16 up up ADP crl-14049 38 17 and and CCONJ crl-14049 38 18 down down ADV crl-14049 38 19 throughout throughout ADP crl-14049 38 20 the the DET crl-14049 38 21 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 38 22 year year NOUN crl-14049 38 23 . . PUNCT crl-14049 39 1 such such ADJ crl-14049 39 2 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 39 3 data datum NOUN crl-14049 39 4 demand demand NOUN crl-14049 39 5 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 39 6 techniques technique NOUN crl-14049 39 7 that that PRON crl-14049 39 8 can can AUX crl-14049 39 9 model model VERB crl-14049 39 10 their their PRON crl-14049 39 11 seasonality seasonality NOUN crl-14049 39 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 40 1 the the DET crl-14049 40 2 most most ADV crl-14049 40 3 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 40 4 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 40 5 study study NOUN crl-14049 40 6 in in ADP crl-14049 40 7 library library PROPN crl-14049 40 8 literature literature PROPN crl-14049 40 9 to to ADP crl-14049 40 10 date date NOUN crl-14049 40 11 is be AUX crl-14049 40 12 by by ADP crl-14049 40 13 kang kang PROPN crl-14049 40 14 . . PUNCT crl-14049 41 1 6 6 NUM crl-14049 41 2 he he PRON crl-14049 41 3 forecasted forecast VERB crl-14049 41 4 the the DET crl-14049 41 5 requests request NOUN crl-14049 41 6 for for ADP crl-14049 41 7 interlibrary interlibrary ADJ crl-14049 41 8 loan loan NOUN crl-14049 41 9 services service NOUN crl-14049 41 10 received receive VERB crl-14049 41 11 by by ADP crl-14049 41 12 the the DET crl-14049 41 13 illinois illinois PROPN crl-14049 41 14 research research NOUN crl-14049 41 15 and and CCONJ crl-14049 41 16 reference reference NOUN crl-14049 41 17 centers center NOUN crl-14049 41 18 from from ADP crl-14049 41 19 1971 1971 NUM crl-14049 41 20 through through ADP crl-14049 41 21 1978 1978 NUM crl-14049 41 22 using use VERB crl-14049 41 23 several several ADJ crl-14049 41 24 methods method NOUN crl-14049 41 25 , , PUNCT crl-14049 41 26 including include VERB crl-14049 41 27 methods method NOUN crl-14049 41 28 that that PRON crl-14049 41 29 can can AUX crl-14049 41 30 model model VERB crl-14049 41 31 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 41 32 data datum NOUN crl-14049 41 33 , , PUNCT crl-14049 41 34 and and CCONJ crl-14049 41 35 found find VERB crl-14049 41 36 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 41 37 to to PART crl-14049 41 38 be be AUX crl-14049 41 39 the the DET crl-14049 41 40 best good ADJ crl-14049 41 41 predictive predictive ADJ crl-14049 41 42 technique technique NOUN crl-14049 41 43 . . PUNCT crl-14049 42 1 he he PRON crl-14049 42 2 used use VERB crl-14049 42 3 a a DET crl-14049 42 4 weighted weighted ADJ crl-14049 42 5 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 42 6 formula formula NOUN crl-14049 42 7 that that PRON crl-14049 42 8 gave give VERB crl-14049 42 9 less less ADJ crl-14049 42 10 predictive predictive ADJ crl-14049 42 11 value value NOUN crl-14049 42 12 to to ADP crl-14049 42 13 older old ADJ crl-14049 42 14 observations observation NOUN crl-14049 42 15 , , PUNCT crl-14049 42 16 and and CCONJ crl-14049 42 17 greater great ADJ crl-14049 42 18 weight weight NOUN crl-14049 42 19 to to ADP crl-14049 42 20 the the DET crl-14049 42 21 most most ADV crl-14049 42 22 recent recent ADJ crl-14049 42 23 ones one NOUN crl-14049 42 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 43 1 the the DET crl-14049 43 2 generalizability generalizability NOUN crl-14049 43 3 of of ADP crl-14049 43 4 kang kang PROPN crl-14049 43 5 ' ' PART crl-14049 43 6 s s PART crl-14049 43 7 study study NOUN crl-14049 43 8 is be AUX crl-14049 43 9 severely severely ADV crl-14049 43 10 limited limited ADJ crl-14049 43 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 43 12 however however ADV crl-14049 43 13 , , PUNCT crl-14049 43 14 due due ADP crl-14049 43 15 to to ADP crl-14049 43 16 the the DET crl-14049 43 17 fact fact NOUN crl-14049 43 18 that that SCONJ crl-14049 43 19 data datum NOUN crl-14049 43 20 from from ADP crl-14049 43 21 only only ADV crl-14049 43 22 one one NUM crl-14049 43 23 library library NOUN crl-14049 43 24 was be AUX crl-14049 43 25 used use VERB crl-14049 43 26 . . PUNCT crl-14049 44 1 methodology methodology NOUN crl-14049 44 2 the the DET crl-14049 44 3 purpose purpose NOUN crl-14049 44 4 of of ADP crl-14049 44 5 this this DET crl-14049 44 6 paper paper NOUN crl-14049 44 7 is be AUX crl-14049 44 8 to to PART crl-14049 44 9 evaluate evaluate VERB crl-14049 44 10 time time NOUN crl-14049 44 11 - - PUNCT crl-14049 44 12 series series NOUN crl-14049 44 13 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 44 14 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 44 15 methods method NOUN crl-14049 44 16 with with ADP crl-14049 44 17 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 44 18 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 44 19 library library NOUN crl-14049 44 20 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 44 21 totals total NOUN crl-14049 44 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 45 1 time time NOUN crl-14049 45 2 - - PUNCT crl-14049 45 3 series series NOUN crl-14049 45 4 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 45 5 is be AUX crl-14049 45 6 a a DET crl-14049 45 7 methodology methodology NOUN crl-14049 45 8 that that PRON crl-14049 45 9 is be AUX crl-14049 45 10 new new ADJ crl-14049 45 11 to to ADP crl-14049 45 12 library library NOUN crl-14049 45 13 and and CCONJ crl-14049 45 14 information information NOUN crl-14049 45 15 science science NOUN crl-14049 45 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 45 17 but but CCONJ crl-14049 45 18 has have AUX crl-14049 45 19 been be AUX crl-14049 45 20 used use VERB crl-14049 45 21 extensively extensively ADV crl-14049 45 22 in in ADP crl-14049 45 23 the the DET crl-14049 45 24 social social ADJ crl-14049 45 25 sciences science NOUN crl-14049 45 26 , , PUNCT crl-14049 45 27 business business NOUN crl-14049 45 28 , , PUNCT crl-14049 45 29 november november PROPN crl-14049 45 30 1984 1984 NUM crl-14049 45 31 and and CCONJ crl-14049 45 32 economic economic ADJ crl-14049 45 33 literatures literature NOUN crl-14049 45 34 . . PUNCT crl-14049 46 1 makridakis makridakis PROPN crl-14049 46 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 46 3 wheelwrighe wheelwrighe NOUN crl-14049 46 4 give give VERB crl-14049 46 5 two two NUM crl-14049 46 6 versions version NOUN crl-14049 46 7 of of ADP crl-14049 46 8 time time NOUN crl-14049 46 9 - - PUNCT crl-14049 46 10 series series NOUN crl-14049 46 11 regree?sion regree?sion NOUN crl-14049 46 12 approaches approach NOUN crl-14049 46 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 47 1 the the DET crl-14049 47 2 first first ADJ crl-14049 47 3 time time NOUN crl-14049 47 4 - - PUNCT crl-14049 47 5 series series NOUN crl-14049 47 6 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 47 7 approach approach NOUN crl-14049 47 8 uses use VERB crl-14049 47 9 independent independent ADJ crl-14049 47 10 variables variable NOUN crl-14049 47 11 that that PRON crl-14049 47 12 are be AUX crl-14049 47 13 past past ADP crl-14049 47 14 values value NOUN crl-14049 47 15 of of ADP crl-14049 47 16 the the DET crl-14049 47 17 time time NOUN crl-14049 47 18 series series NOUN crl-14049 47 19 itself itself PRON crl-14049 47 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 48 1 8 8 NUM crl-14049 48 2 an an DET crl-14049 48 3 example example NOUN crl-14049 48 4 of of ADP crl-14049 48 5 such such DET crl-14049 48 6 an an DET crl-14049 48 7 approach approach NOUN crl-14049 48 8 would would AUX crl-14049 48 9 be be AUX crl-14049 48 10 using use VERB crl-14049 48 11 the the DET crl-14049 48 12 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 48 13 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 48 14 totals total NOUN crl-14049 48 15 of of ADP crl-14049 48 16 several several ADJ crl-14049 48 17 months month NOUN crl-14049 48 18 past past ADV crl-14049 48 19 as as ADP crl-14049 48 20 the the DET crl-14049 48 21 predictor predictor NOUN crl-14049 48 22 of of ADP crl-14049 48 23 next next ADJ crl-14049 48 24 month month NOUN crl-14049 48 25 's 's PART crl-14049 48 26 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 48 27 total total NOUN crl-14049 48 28 . . PUNCT crl-14049 49 1 this this PRON crl-14049 49 2 simply simply ADV crl-14049 49 3 means mean VERB crl-14049 49 4 that that SCONJ crl-14049 49 5 a a DET crl-14049 49 6 library library NOUN crl-14049 49 7 's 's PART crl-14049 49 8 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 49 9 time time NOUN crl-14049 49 10 series series NOUN crl-14049 49 11 is be AUX crl-14049 49 12 regressed regress VERB crl-14049 49 13 on on ADP crl-14049 49 14 itself itself PRON crl-14049 49 15 at at ADP crl-14049 49 16 a a DET crl-14049 49 17 certain certain ADJ crl-14049 49 18 time time NOUN crl-14049 49 19 lag lag NOUN crl-14049 49 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 50 1 there there PRON crl-14049 50 2 are be VERB crl-14049 50 3 two two NUM crl-14049 50 4 caveats caveat NOUN crl-14049 50 5 with with ADP crl-14049 50 6 this this DET crl-14049 50 7 technique technique NOUN crl-14049 50 8 . . PUNCT crl-14049 51 1 first first ADV crl-14049 51 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 51 3 it it PRON crl-14049 51 4 produces produce VERB crl-14049 51 5 a a DET crl-14049 51 6 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 51 7 prediction prediction NOUN crl-14049 51 8 line line NOUN crl-14049 51 9 and and CCONJ crl-14049 51 10 thus thus ADV crl-14049 51 11 should should AUX crl-14049 51 12 suffer suffer VERB crl-14049 51 13 the the DET crl-14049 51 14 same same ADJ crl-14049 51 15 problem problem NOUN crl-14049 51 16 of of ADP crl-14049 51 17 poor poor ADJ crl-14049 51 18 fit fit NOUN crl-14049 51 19 that that PRON crl-14049 51 20 was be AUX crl-14049 51 21 noted note VERB crl-14049 51 22 by by ADP crl-14049 51 23 drake drake NOUN crl-14049 51 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 52 1 second second ADV crl-14049 52 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 52 3 it it PRON crl-14049 52 4 is be AUX crl-14049 52 5 a a DET crl-14049 52 6 new new ADJ crl-14049 52 7 application application NOUN crl-14049 52 8 , , PUNCT crl-14049 52 9 meaning mean VERB crl-14049 52 10 that that SCONJ crl-14049 52 11 the the DET crl-14049 52 12 choice choice NOUN crl-14049 52 13 of of ADP crl-14049 52 14 time time NOUN crl-14049 52 15 lag lag PROPN crl-14049 52 16 has have AUX crl-14049 52 17 not not PART crl-14049 52 18 been be AUX crl-14049 52 19 studied study VERB crl-14049 52 20 sufficiently sufficiently ADV crl-14049 52 21 with with ADP crl-14049 52 22 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 52 23 library library NOUN crl-14049 52 24 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 52 25 data datum NOUN crl-14049 52 26 . . PUNCT crl-14049 53 1 hence hence ADV crl-14049 53 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 53 3 the the DET crl-14049 53 4 choice choice NOUN crl-14049 53 5 of of ADP crl-14049 53 6 any any DET crl-14049 53 7 particular particular ADJ crl-14049 53 8 time time NOUN crl-14049 53 9 lag lag NOUN crl-14049 53 10 is be AUX crl-14049 53 11 completely completely ADV crl-14049 53 12 arbitrary arbitrary ADJ crl-14049 53 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 54 1 the the DET crl-14049 54 2 second second ADJ crl-14049 54 3 time time NOUN crl-14049 54 4 - - PUNCT crl-14049 54 5 series series NOUN crl-14049 54 6 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 54 7 method method NOUN crl-14049 54 8 uses use VERB crl-14049 54 9 qualitative qualitative ADJ crl-14049 54 10 or or CCONJ crl-14049 54 11 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 54 12 variables variable NOUN crl-14049 54 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 55 1 9 9 NUM crl-14049 55 2 in in ADP crl-14049 55 3 the the DET crl-14049 55 4 context context NOUN crl-14049 55 5 of of ADP crl-14049 55 6 multiple multiple ADJ crl-14049 55 7 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 55 8 , , PUNCT crl-14049 55 9 a a DET crl-14049 55 10 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 55 11 variable variable NOUN crl-14049 55 12 is be AUX crl-14049 55 13 a a DET crl-14049 55 14 special special ADJ crl-14049 55 15 independent independent ADJ crl-14049 55 16 variable variable NOUN crl-14049 55 17 that that PRON crl-14049 55 18 can can AUX crl-14049 55 19 take take VERB crl-14049 55 20 only only ADV crl-14049 55 21 a a DET crl-14049 55 22 limited limited ADJ crl-14049 55 23 number number NOUN crl-14049 55 24 of of ADP crl-14049 55 25 values value NOUN crl-14049 55 26 such such ADJ crl-14049 55 27 as as ADP crl-14049 55 28 1 1 NUM crl-14049 55 29 or or CCONJ crl-14049 55 30 0 0 NUM crl-14049 55 31 . . PUNCT crl-14049 56 1 to to PART crl-14049 56 2 use use VERB crl-14049 56 3 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 56 4 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 56 5 for for ADP crl-14049 56 6 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 56 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 56 8 some some DET crl-14049 56 9 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 56 10 totals total NOUN crl-14049 56 11 of of ADP crl-14049 56 12 the the DET crl-14049 56 13 time time NOUN crl-14049 56 14 series series NOUN crl-14049 56 15 are be AUX crl-14049 56 16 tagged tag VERB crl-14049 56 17 by by ADP crl-14049 56 18 a a DET crl-14049 56 19 1 1 NUM crl-14049 56 20 , , PUNCT crl-14049 56 21 while while SCONJ crl-14049 56 22 other other ADJ crl-14049 56 23 months month NOUN crl-14049 56 24 of of ADP crl-14049 56 25 the the DET crl-14049 56 26 year year NOUN crl-14049 56 27 are be AUX crl-14049 56 28 given give VERB crl-14049 56 29 os os NOUN crl-14049 56 30 . . PUNCT crl-14049 57 1 the the DET crl-14049 57 2 result result NOUN crl-14049 57 3 is be AUX crl-14049 57 4 a a DET crl-14049 57 5 multiple multiple ADJ crl-14049 57 6 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 57 7 equation equation NOUN crl-14049 57 8 that that PRON crl-14049 57 9 can can AUX crl-14049 57 10 model model VERB crl-14049 57 11 the the DET crl-14049 57 12 seasonal seasonal ADJ crl-14049 57 13 patterns pattern NOUN crl-14049 57 14 of of ADP crl-14049 57 15 library library NOUN crl-14049 57 16 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 57 17 totals total NOUN crl-14049 57 18 and and CCONJ crl-14049 57 19 should should AUX crl-14049 57 20 perform perform VERB crl-14049 57 21 as as ADP crl-14049 57 22 a a DET crl-14049 57 23 more more ADV crl-14049 57 24 efficient efficient ADJ crl-14049 57 25 predictor predictor NOUN crl-14049 57 26 than than ADP crl-14049 57 27 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 57 28 - - PUNCT crl-14049 57 29 line line NOUN crl-14049 57 30 methods method NOUN crl-14049 57 31 . . PUNCT crl-14049 58 1 to to PART crl-14049 58 2 provide provide VERB crl-14049 58 3 benchmarks benchmark NOUN crl-14049 58 4 for for ADP crl-14049 58 5 performance performance NOUN crl-14049 58 6 comparisons comparison NOUN crl-14049 58 7 two two NUM crl-14049 58 8 averaging averaging NOUN crl-14049 58 9 methods method NOUN crl-14049 58 10 were be AUX crl-14049 58 11 also also ADV crl-14049 58 12 used use VERB crl-14049 58 13 as as ADP crl-14049 58 14 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 58 15 methods method NOUN crl-14049 58 16 . . PUNCT crl-14049 59 1 these these DET crl-14049 59 2 averaging average VERB crl-14049 59 3 methods method NOUN crl-14049 59 4 were be AUX crl-14049 59 5 used use VERB crl-14049 59 6 because because SCONJ crl-14049 59 7 they they PRON crl-14049 59 8 represent represent VERB crl-14049 59 9 the the DET crl-14049 59 10 most most ADV crl-14049 59 11 direct direct ADJ crl-14049 59 12 and and CCONJ crl-14049 59 13 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 59 14 approach approach NOUN crl-14049 59 15 that that SCONJ crl-14049 59 16 any any DET crl-14049 59 17 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 59 18 librarian librarian NOUN crl-14049 59 19 could could AUX crl-14049 59 20 use use VERB crl-14049 59 21 for for ADP crl-14049 59 22 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 59 23 . . PUNCT crl-14049 60 1 for for ADP crl-14049 60 2 instance instance NOUN crl-14049 60 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 60 4 a a DET crl-14049 60 5 future future ADJ crl-14049 60 6 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 60 7 total total NOUN crl-14049 60 8 could could AUX crl-14049 60 9 simply simply ADV crl-14049 60 10 be be AUX crl-14049 60 11 forecast forecast VERB crl-14049 60 12 from from ADP crl-14049 60 13 the the DET crl-14049 60 14 average average NOUN crl-14049 60 15 of of ADP crl-14049 60 16 all all DET crl-14049 60 17 past past ADJ crl-14049 60 18 values value NOUN crl-14049 60 19 of of ADP crl-14049 60 20 the the DET crl-14049 60 21 time time NOUN crl-14049 60 22 series series NOUN crl-14049 60 23 . . PUNCT crl-14049 61 1 alternatively alternatively ADV crl-14049 61 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 61 3 a a DET crl-14049 61 4 particular particular ADJ crl-14049 61 5 future future ADJ crl-14049 61 6 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 61 7 total total NOUN crl-14049 61 8 could could AUX crl-14049 61 9 be be AUX crl-14049 61 10 forecast forecast VERB crl-14049 61 11 from from ADP crl-14049 61 12 an an DET crl-14049 61 13 average average NOUN crl-14049 61 14 of of ADP crl-14049 61 15 past past ADJ crl-14049 61 16 values value NOUN crl-14049 61 17 of of ADP crl-14049 61 18 that that DET crl-14049 61 19 particular particular ADJ crl-14049 61 20 month month NOUN crl-14049 61 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 62 1 in in ADP crl-14049 62 2 all all PRON crl-14049 62 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 62 4 four four NUM crl-14049 62 5 forecastin~ forecastin~ NOUN crl-14049 62 6 methodologies methodology NOUN crl-14049 62 7 were be AUX crl-14049 62 8 used use VERB crl-14049 62 9 with with ADP crl-14049 62 10 minitab minitab NOUN crl-14049 62 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 62 12 a a DET crl-14049 62 13 statistical statistical ADJ crl-14049 62 14 software software NOUN crl-14049 62 15 program program NOUN crl-14049 62 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 62 17 and and CCONJ crl-14049 62 18 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 62 19 data datum NOUN crl-14049 62 20 from from ADP crl-14049 62 21 several several ADJ crl-14049 62 22 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 62 23 : : PUNCT crl-14049 62 24 1 1 X crl-14049 62 25 . . X crl-14049 62 26 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 62 27 time time NOUN crl-14049 62 28 - - PUNCT crl-14049 62 29 series series NOUN crl-14049 62 30 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 62 31 was be AUX crl-14049 62 32 used use VERB crl-14049 62 33 to to PART crl-14049 62 34 find find VERB crl-14049 62 35 an an DET crl-14049 62 36 equation equation NOUN crl-14049 62 37 to to PART crl-14049 62 38 predict predict VERB crl-14049 62 39 one one NUM crl-14049 62 40 month month NOUN crl-14049 62 41 and and CCONJ crl-14049 62 42 six six NUM crl-14049 62 43 months month NOUN crl-14049 62 44 in in ADP crl-14049 62 45 advance advance NOUN crl-14049 62 46 for for ADP crl-14049 62 47 each each DET crl-14049 62 48 library library NOUN crl-14049 62 49 . . PUNCT crl-14049 63 1 this this PRON crl-14049 63 2 is be AUX crl-14049 63 3 a a DET crl-14049 63 4 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 63 5 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 63 6 method method NOUN crl-14049 63 7 that that PRON crl-14049 63 8 can can AUX crl-14049 63 9 model model VERB crl-14049 63 10 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 63 11 data datum NOUN crl-14049 63 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 64 1 2 2 X crl-14049 64 2 . . X crl-14049 64 3 lagged lag VERB crl-14049 64 4 time time NOUN crl-14049 64 5 - - PUNCT crl-14049 64 6 series series NOUN crl-14049 64 7 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 64 8 was be AUX crl-14049 64 9 used use VERB crl-14049 64 10 with with ADP crl-14049 64 11 each each DET crl-14049 64 12 library library NOUN crl-14049 64 13 's 's PART crl-14049 64 14 data datum NOUN crl-14049 64 15 lagged lag VERB crl-14049 64 16 one one NUM crl-14049 64 17 month month NOUN crl-14049 64 18 and and CCONJ crl-14049 64 19 lagged lag VERB crl-14049 64 20 six six NUM crl-14049 64 21 months month NOUN crl-14049 64 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 65 1 the the DET crl-14049 65 2 decision decision NOUN crl-14049 65 3 to to PART crl-14049 65 4 use use VERB crl-14049 65 5 a a DET crl-14049 65 6 one one NUM crl-14049 65 7 - - PUNCT crl-14049 65 8 month month NOUN crl-14049 65 9 time time NOUN crl-14049 65 10 lag lag NOUN crl-14049 65 11 and and CCONJ crl-14049 65 12 a a DET crl-14049 65 13 sixmonth sixmonth ADJ crl-14049 65 14 time time NOUN crl-14049 65 15 lag lag PROPN crl-14049 65 16 was be AUX crl-14049 65 17 arbitrary arbitrary ADJ crl-14049 65 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 66 1 this this PRON crl-14049 66 2 is be AUX crl-14049 66 3 a a DET crl-14049 66 4 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 66 5 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 66 6 method method NOUN crl-14049 66 7 that that PRON crl-14049 66 8 makes make VERB crl-14049 66 9 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 66 10 - - PUNCT crl-14049 66 11 line line NOUN crl-14049 66 12 predictions prediction NOUN crl-14049 66 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 67 1 it it PRON crl-14049 67 2 can can AUX crl-14049 67 3 not not PART crl-14049 67 4 model model VERB crl-14049 67 5 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 67 6 data datum NOUN crl-14049 67 7 . . PUNCT crl-14049 68 1 3 3 X crl-14049 68 2 . . X crl-14049 68 3 a a DET crl-14049 68 4 simple simple ADJ crl-14049 68 5 average average NOUN crl-14049 68 6 was be AUX crl-14049 68 7 made make VERB crl-14049 68 8 of of ADP crl-14049 68 9 each each DET crl-14049 68 10 library library NOUN crl-14049 68 11 's 's PART crl-14049 68 12 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 68 13 totals total NOUN crl-14049 68 14 to to PART crl-14049 68 15 provide provide VERB crl-14049 68 16 a a DET crl-14049 68 17 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 68 18 - - PUNCT crl-14049 68 19 line line NOUN crl-14049 68 20 benchmark benchmark NOUN crl-14049 68 21 for for ADP crl-14049 68 22 comparison comparison NOUN crl-14049 68 23 purposes purpose NOUN crl-14049 68 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 69 1 this this PRON crl-14049 69 2 is be AUX crl-14049 69 3 a a DET crl-14049 69 4 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 69 5 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 69 6 - - PUNCT crl-14049 69 7 line line NOUN crl-14049 69 8 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 69 9 technique technique NOUN crl-14049 69 10 . . PUNCT crl-14049 70 1 4 4 X crl-14049 70 2 . . X crl-14049 70 3 a a DET crl-14049 70 4 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 70 5 average average NOUN crl-14049 70 6 was be AUX crl-14049 70 7 computed compute VERB crl-14049 70 8 for for ADP crl-14049 70 9 each each DET crl-14049 70 10 library library NOUN crl-14049 70 11 for for ADP crl-14049 70 12 one one NUM crl-14049 70 13 month month NOUN crl-14049 70 14 and and CCONJ crl-14049 70 15 six six NUM crl-14049 70 16 months month NOUN crl-14049 70 17 in in ADP crl-14049 70 18 advance advance NOUN crl-14049 70 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 71 1 this this PRON crl-14049 71 2 provided provide VERB crl-14049 71 3 a a DET crl-14049 71 4 seasonal seasonal ADJ crl-14049 71 5 benchmark benchmark NOUN crl-14049 71 6 for for ADP crl-14049 71 7 comparison comparison NOUN crl-14049 71 8 purposes purpose NOUN crl-14049 71 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 72 1 for for ADP crl-14049 72 2 instance instance NOUN crl-14049 72 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 72 4 if if SCONJ crl-14049 72 5 january january PROPN crl-14049 72 6 and and CCONJ crl-14049 72 7 june june PROPN crl-14049 72 8 represent represent VERB crl-14049 72 9 the the DET crl-14049 72 10 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 72 11 for for ADP crl-14049 72 12 one one NUM crl-14049 72 13 and and CCONJ crl-14049 72 14 six six NUM crl-14049 72 15 months month NOUN crl-14049 72 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 72 17 then then ADV crl-14049 72 18 data datum NOUN crl-14049 72 19 from from ADP crl-14049 72 20 previous previous ADJ crl-14049 72 21 januarys january NOUN crl-14049 72 22 would would AUX crl-14049 72 23 be be AUX crl-14049 72 24 averaged average VERB crl-14049 72 25 to to PART crl-14049 72 26 give give VERB crl-14049 72 27 a a DET crl-14049 72 28 forecast forecast NOUN crl-14049 72 29 for for ADP crl-14049 72 30 the the DET crl-14049 72 31 month month NOUN crl-14049 72 32 ofjanuary ofjanuary ADJ crl-14049 72 33 . . PUNCT crl-14049 73 1 similarly similarly ADV crl-14049 73 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 73 3 previous previous ADJ crl-14049 73 4 junes june NOUN crl-14049 73 5 would would AUX crl-14049 73 6 be be AUX crl-14049 73 7 averaged average VERB crl-14049 73 8 to to PART crl-14049 73 9 give give VERB crl-14049 73 10 the the DET crl-14049 73 11 june june PROPN crl-14049 73 12 forecast forecast NOUN crl-14049 73 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 74 1 this this PRON crl-14049 74 2 is be AUX crl-14049 74 3 a a DET crl-14049 74 4 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 74 5 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 74 6 method method NOUN crl-14049 74 7 that that PRON crl-14049 74 8 can can AUX crl-14049 74 9 model model VERB crl-14049 74 10 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 74 11 data datum NOUN crl-14049 74 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 75 1 data datum NOUN crl-14049 75 2 research research NOUN crl-14049 75 3 notes note VERB crl-14049 75 4 503 503 NUM crl-14049 75 5 four four NUM crl-14049 75 6 million million NUM crl-14049 75 7 book book NOUN crl-14049 75 8 titles title NOUN crl-14049 75 9 down down ADV crl-14049 75 10 to to ADP crl-14049 75 11 a a DET crl-14049 75 12 minimum minimum NOUN crl-14049 75 13 of of ADP crl-14049 75 14 two two NUM crl-14049 75 15 hundred hundred NUM crl-14049 75 16 thousand thousand NUM crl-14049 75 17 book book NOUN crl-14049 75 18 titles title NOUN crl-14049 75 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 76 1 ten ten NUM crl-14049 76 2 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 76 3 contributed contribute VERB crl-14049 76 4 time time NOUN crl-14049 76 5 series series NOUN crl-14049 76 6 of of ADP crl-14049 76 7 60 60 NUM crl-14049 76 8 months month NOUN crl-14049 76 9 ' ' PART crl-14049 76 10 duration duration NOUN crl-14049 76 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 76 12 three three NUM crl-14049 76 13 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 76 14 contributed contribute VERB crl-14049 76 15 time time NOUN crl-14049 76 16 series series NOUN crl-14049 76 17 of of ADP crl-14049 76 18 72 72 NUM crl-14049 76 19 months month NOUN crl-14049 76 20 ' ' PART crl-14049 76 21 duration duration NOUN crl-14049 76 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 76 23 one one NUM crl-14049 76 24 contributed contribute VERB crl-14049 76 25 66 66 NUM crl-14049 76 26 months month NOUN crl-14049 76 27 , , PUNCT crl-14049 76 28 and and CCONJ crl-14049 76 29 one one NUM crl-14049 76 30 contributed contribute VERB crl-14049 76 31 a a DET crl-14049 76 32 time time NOUN crl-14049 76 33 series series NOUN crl-14049 76 34 of of ADP crl-14049 76 35 53 53 NUM crl-14049 76 36 months month NOUN crl-14049 76 37 . . PUNCT crl-14049 77 1 the the DET crl-14049 77 2 most most ADV crl-14049 77 3 recent recent ADJ crl-14049 77 4 six six NUM crl-14049 77 5 months month NOUN crl-14049 77 6 ' ' PART crl-14049 77 7 data datum NOUN crl-14049 77 8 for for ADP crl-14049 77 9 each each DET crl-14049 77 10 library library NOUN crl-14049 77 11 were be AUX crl-14049 77 12 set set VERB crl-14049 77 13 aside aside ADV crl-14049 77 14 to to PART crl-14049 77 15 provide provide VERB crl-14049 77 16 a a DET crl-14049 77 17 basis basis NOUN crl-14049 77 18 for for ADP crl-14049 77 19 evaluating evaluate VERB crl-14049 77 20 the the DET crl-14049 77 21 performance performance NOUN crl-14049 77 22 of of ADP crl-14049 77 23 each each PRON crl-14049 77 24 of of ADP crl-14049 77 25 the the DET crl-14049 77 26 four four NUM crl-14049 77 27 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 77 28 methods method NOUN crl-14049 77 29 . . PUNCT crl-14049 78 1 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 78 2 were be AUX crl-14049 78 3 made make VERB crl-14049 78 4 with with ADP crl-14049 78 5 each each DET crl-14049 78 6 method method NOUN crl-14049 78 7 for for ADP crl-14049 78 8 each each PRON crl-14049 78 9 of of ADP crl-14049 78 10 the the DET crl-14049 78 11 fifteen fifteen NUM crl-14049 78 12 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 78 13 for for ADP crl-14049 78 14 one one NUM crl-14049 78 15 month month NOUN crl-14049 78 16 and and CCONJ crl-14049 78 17 six six NUM crl-14049 78 18 months month NOUN crl-14049 78 19 in in ADP crl-14049 78 20 advance advance NOUN crl-14049 78 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 79 1 each each PRON crl-14049 79 2 forecasted forecast VERB crl-14049 79 3 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 79 4 total total NOUN crl-14049 79 5 was be AUX crl-14049 79 6 then then ADV crl-14049 79 7 compared compare VERB crl-14049 79 8 to to ADP crl-14049 79 9 the the DET crl-14049 79 10 actual actual ADJ crl-14049 79 11 total total NOUN crl-14049 79 12 reported report VERB crl-14049 79 13 by by ADP crl-14049 79 14 the the DET crl-14049 79 15 library library NOUN crl-14049 79 16 and and CCONJ crl-14049 79 17 an an DET crl-14049 79 18 absolute absolute ADJ crl-14049 79 19 percentage percentage NOUN crl-14049 79 20 error error NOUN crl-14049 79 21 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 79 22 ape ape NOUN crl-14049 79 23 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 79 24 was be AUX crl-14049 79 25 calculated calculate VERB crl-14049 79 26 . . PUNCT crl-14049 80 1 the the DET crl-14049 80 2 average average NOUN crl-14049 80 3 of of ADP crl-14049 80 4 the the DET crl-14049 80 5 ape ape NOUN crl-14049 80 6 values value NOUN crl-14049 80 7 for for ADP crl-14049 80 8 each each DET crl-14049 80 9 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 80 10 method method NOUN crl-14049 80 11 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 80 12 the the DET crl-14049 80 13 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 80 14 absolute absolute ADJ crl-14049 80 15 percentage percentage NOUN crl-14049 80 16 error error NOUN crl-14049 80 17 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 80 18 was be AUX crl-14049 80 19 then then ADV crl-14049 80 20 found find VERB crl-14049 80 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 81 1 an an DET crl-14049 81 2 accurate accurate ADJ crl-14049 81 3 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 81 4 method method NOUN crl-14049 81 5 would would AUX crl-14049 81 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 81 7 relative relative ADJ crl-14049 81 8 to to ADP crl-14049 81 9 other other ADJ crl-14049 81 10 methods method NOUN crl-14049 81 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 81 12 have have VERB crl-14049 81 13 a a DET crl-14049 81 14 small small ADJ crl-14049 81 15 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 81 16 absolute absolute ADJ crl-14049 81 17 percentage percentage NOUN crl-14049 81 18 error error NOUN crl-14049 81 19 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 81 20 mape mape NOUN crl-14049 81 21 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 81 22 across across ADP crl-14049 81 23 the the DET crl-14049 81 24 sample sample NOUN crl-14049 81 25 of of ADP crl-14049 81 26 the the DET crl-14049 81 27 fifteen fifteen NUM crl-14049 81 28 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 81 29 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 81 30 . . PUNCT crl-14049 82 1 an an DET crl-14049 82 2 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 82 3 of of ADP crl-14049 82 4 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 82 5 was be AUX crl-14049 82 6 performed perform VERB crl-14049 82 7 comparing compare VERB crl-14049 82 8 the the DET crl-14049 82 9 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 82 10 to to PART crl-14049 82 11 see see VERB crl-14049 82 12 if if SCONJ crl-14049 82 13 there there PRON crl-14049 82 14 was be VERB crl-14049 82 15 a a DET crl-14049 82 16 statistically statistically ADV crl-14049 82 17 significant significant ADJ crl-14049 82 18 difference difference NOUN crl-14049 82 19 among among ADP crl-14049 82 20 the the DET crl-14049 82 21 four four NUM crl-14049 82 22 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 82 23 methods method NOUN crl-14049 82 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 83 1 results result VERB crl-14049 83 2 a a DET crl-14049 83 3 random random ADJ crl-14049 83 4 sample sample NOUN crl-14049 83 5 of of ADP crl-14049 83 6 fifteen fifteen NUM crl-14049 83 7 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 83 8 litable litable ADJ crl-14049 83 9 1 1 NUM crl-14049 83 10 shows show VERB crl-14049 83 11 the the DET crl-14049 83 12 results result NOUN crl-14049 83 13 of of ADP crl-14049 83 14 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 83 15 braries brarie NOUN crl-14049 83 16 in in ADP crl-14049 83 17 the the DET crl-14049 83 18 midwest midwest NOUN crl-14049 83 19 submitted submit VERB crl-14049 83 20 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 83 21 one one NUM crl-14049 83 22 month month NOUN crl-14049 83 23 in in ADP crl-14049 83 24 advance advance NOUN crl-14049 83 25 . . PUNCT crl-14049 84 1 the the DET crl-14049 84 2 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 84 3 recirculation recirculation NOUN crl-14049 84 4 data datum NOUN crl-14049 84 5 for for ADP crl-14049 84 6 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 84 7 . . PUNCT crl-14049 85 1 the the DET crl-14049 85 2 states state NOUN crl-14049 85 3 of of ADP crl-14049 85 4 gression gression NOUN crl-14049 85 5 method method NOUN crl-14049 85 6 had have VERB crl-14049 85 7 the the DET crl-14049 85 8 smallest small ADJ crl-14049 85 9 mape mape NOUN crl-14049 85 10 illinois illinois PROPN crl-14049 85 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 85 12 ohio ohio PROPN crl-14049 85 13 , , PUNCT crl-14049 85 14 michigan michigan PROPN crl-14049 85 15 and and CCONJ crl-14049 85 16 missouri missouri PROPN crl-14049 85 17 followed follow VERB crl-14049 85 18 by by ADP crl-14049 85 19 the the DET crl-14049 85 20 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 85 21 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 85 22 method method NOUN crl-14049 85 23 . . PUNCT crl-14049 86 1 were be AUX crl-14049 86 2 each each PRON crl-14049 86 3 represented represent VERB crl-14049 86 4 by by ADP crl-14049 86 5 three three NUM crl-14049 86 6 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 86 7 these these DET crl-14049 86 8 methods method NOUN crl-14049 86 9 are be AUX crl-14049 86 10 capable capable ADJ crl-14049 86 11 of of ADP crl-14049 86 12 modeling model VERB crl-14049 86 13 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 86 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 86 15 iowa iowa PROPN crl-14049 86 16 was be AUX crl-14049 86 17 represented represent VERB crl-14049 86 18 by by ADP crl-14049 86 19 two two NUM crl-14049 86 20 acthe acthe ADJ crl-14049 86 21 seasonal seasonal ADJ crl-14049 86 22 patterns pattern NOUN crl-14049 86 23 of of ADP crl-14049 86 24 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 86 25 library library NOUN crl-14049 86 26 ademic ademic PROPN crl-14049 86 27 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 86 28 , , PUNCT crl-14049 86 29 and and CCONJ crl-14049 86 30 minnesota minnesota NOUN crl-14049 86 31 by by ADP crl-14049 86 32 one one NUM crl-14049 86 33 circulations circulation NOUN crl-14049 86 34 . . PUNCT crl-14049 87 1 the the DET crl-14049 87 2 two two NUM crl-14049 87 3 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 87 4 - - PUNCT crl-14049 87 5 line line NOUN crl-14049 87 6 predicacademic predicacademic ADJ crl-14049 87 7 library library NOUN crl-14049 87 8 . . PUNCT crl-14049 88 1 the the DET crl-14049 88 2 holdings holding NOUN crl-14049 88 3 of of ADP crl-14049 88 4 these these DET crl-14049 88 5 fiftion fiftion NOUN crl-14049 88 6 methods method NOUN crl-14049 88 7 followed follow VERB crl-14049 88 8 with with ADP crl-14049 88 9 the the DET crl-14049 88 10 largest large ADJ crl-14049 88 11 teen teen NOUN crl-14049 88 12 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 88 13 ranged range VERB crl-14049 88 14 from from ADP crl-14049 88 15 a a DET crl-14049 88 16 maximum maximum NOUN crl-14049 88 17 of of ADP crl-14049 88 18 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 88 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 89 1 table table NOUN crl-14049 89 2 1 1 NUM crl-14049 89 3 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 89 4 of of ADP crl-14049 89 5 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 89 6 of of ADP crl-14049 89 7 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 89 8 absolute absolute ADJ crl-14049 89 9 percentage percentage NOUN crl-14049 89 10 error error NOUN crl-14049 89 11 for for ADP crl-14049 89 12 one one NUM crl-14049 89 13 - - PUNCT crl-14049 89 14 month month NOUN crl-14049 89 15 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 89 16 methods method NOUN crl-14049 89 17 dummy dummy VERB crl-14049 89 18 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 89 19 monthly monthly ADV crl-14049 89 20 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 89 21 lag lag PROPN crl-14049 89 22 1 1 NUM crl-14049 89 23 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 89 24 simple simple ADJ crl-14049 89 25 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 89 26 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 89 27 of of ADP crl-14049 89 28 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 89 29 source source NOUN crl-14049 89 30 df df PROPN crl-14049 89 31 ss ss PROPN crl-14049 89 32 ms ms PROPN crl-14049 89 33 f f PROPN crl-14049 89 34 factor factor NOUN crl-14049 89 35 3 3 NUM crl-14049 89 36 3288 3288 NUM crl-14049 89 37 1096 1096 NUM crl-14049 89 38 3.74 3.74 NUM crl-14049 89 39 error error NOUN crl-14049 89 40 56 56 NUM crl-14049 89 41 16391 16391 NUM crl-14049 89 42 293 293 NUM crl-14049 90 1 total total ADJ crl-14049 90 2 59 59 NUM crl-14049 90 3 19679 19679 NUM crl-14049 90 4 15 15 NUM crl-14049 90 5 15 15 NUM crl-14049 90 6 15 15 NUM crl-14049 90 7 15 15 NUM crl-14049 90 8 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 90 9 p= p= NUM crl-14049 90 10 .0160 .0160 PRON crl-14049 90 11 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 90 12 mape mape NOUN crl-14049 90 13 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 90 14 % % NOUN crl-14049 90 15 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 90 16 12.22 12.22 NUM crl-14049 90 17 15.52 15.52 NUM crl-14049 90 18 26.26 26.26 NUM crl-14049 90 19 30.19 30.19 NUM crl-14049 90 20 so so ADV crl-14049 90 21 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 90 22 % % INTJ crl-14049 90 23 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 90 24 11.08 11.08 NUM crl-14049 90 25 12.65 12.65 NUM crl-14049 90 26 15.45 15.45 NUM crl-14049 90 27 25.48 25.48 NUM crl-14049 90 28 504 504 NUM crl-14049 90 29 college college PROPN crl-14049 90 30 & & CCONJ crl-14049 90 31 research research PROPN crl-14049 90 32 libraries librarie VERB crl-14049 90 33 an an DET crl-14049 90 34 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 90 35 of of ADP crl-14049 90 36 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 90 37 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 90 38 anov anov VERB crl-14049 90 39 a a DET crl-14049 90 40 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 90 41 test test NOUN crl-14049 90 42 on on ADP crl-14049 90 43 the the DET crl-14049 90 44 difference difference NOUN crl-14049 90 45 among among ADP crl-14049 90 46 the the DET crl-14049 90 47 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 90 48 of of ADP crl-14049 90 49 the the DET crl-14049 90 50 four four NUM crl-14049 90 51 methods method NOUN crl-14049 90 52 proved prove VERB crl-14049 90 53 to to PART crl-14049 90 54 be be AUX crl-14049 90 55 statistically statistically ADV crl-14049 90 56 significant significant ADJ crl-14049 90 57 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 90 58 p=0.0160 p=0.0160 PROPN crl-14049 90 59 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 90 60 . . PUNCT crl-14049 91 1 since since SCONJ crl-14049 91 2 the the DET crl-14049 91 3 null null ADJ crl-14049 91 4 hypothesis hypothesis NOUN crl-14049 91 5 of of ADP crl-14049 91 6 no no DET crl-14049 91 7 difference difference NOUN crl-14049 91 8 among among ADP crl-14049 91 9 the the DET crl-14049 91 10 population population NOUN crl-14049 91 11 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 91 12 was be AUX crl-14049 91 13 rejected reject VERB crl-14049 91 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 91 15 a a DET crl-14049 91 16 multiple multiple ADJ crl-14049 91 17 comparison comparison NOUN crl-14049 91 18 of of ADP crl-14049 91 19 the the DET crl-14049 91 20 _ _ PROPN crl-14049 91 21 sample sample NOUN crl-14049 91 22 means mean NOUN crl-14049 91 23 was be AUX crl-14049 91 24 indicated indicate VERB crl-14049 91 25 . . PUNCT crl-14049 92 1 the the DET crl-14049 92 2 neuman neuman NOUN crl-14049 92 3 - - PUNCT crl-14049 92 4 keuls keul NOUN crl-14049 92 5 procedure procedure NOUN crl-14049 92 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 92 7 as as SCONJ crl-14049 92 8 outlined outline VERB crl-14049 92 9 by by ADP crl-14049 92 10 meyer11 meyer11 PROPN crl-14049 92 11 was be AUX crl-14049 92 12 used use VERB crl-14049 92 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 93 1 a a DET crl-14049 93 2 significant significant ADJ crl-14049 93 3 difference difference NOUN crl-14049 93 4 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 93 5 p p NOUN crl-14049 93 6 < < X crl-14049 93 7 0.05 0.05 NUM crl-14049 93 8 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 93 9 was be AUX crl-14049 93 10 found find VERB crl-14049 93 11 between between ADP crl-14049 93 12 the the DET crl-14049 93 13 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 93 14 of of ADP crl-14049 93 15 the the DET crl-14049 93 16 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 93 17 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 93 18 and and CCONJ crl-14049 93 19 simple simple ADJ crl-14049 93 20 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 93 21 methods method NOUN crl-14049 93 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 94 1 there there PRON crl-14049 94 2 was be VERB crl-14049 94 3 insufficient insufficient ADJ crl-14049 94 4 evidence evidence NOUN crl-14049 94 5 that that SCONJ crl-14049 94 6 any any DET crl-14049 94 7 other other ADJ crl-14049 94 8 pair pair NOUN crl-14049 94 9 of of ADP crl-14049 94 10 means mean NOUN crl-14049 94 11 differed differ VERB crl-14049 94 12 significantly significantly ADV crl-14049 94 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 95 1 table table NOUN crl-14049 95 2 2 2 NUM crl-14049 95 3 shows show VERB crl-14049 95 4 the the DET crl-14049 95 5 results result NOUN crl-14049 95 6 of of ADP crl-14049 95 7 forecasting forecast VERB crl-14049 95 8 six six NUM crl-14049 95 9 months month NOUN crl-14049 95 10 in in ADP crl-14049 95 11 advance advance NOUN crl-14049 95 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 96 1 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 96 2 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 96 3 and and CCONJ crl-14049 96 4 the the DET crl-14049 96 5 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 96 6 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 96 7 methods method NOUN crl-14049 96 8 , , PUNCT crl-14049 96 9 the the DET crl-14049 96 10 two two NUM crl-14049 96 11 techniques technique NOUN crl-14049 96 12 that that PRON crl-14049 96 13 can can AUX crl-14049 96 14 model model VERB crl-14049 96 15 the the DET crl-14049 96 16 seasonal seasonal ADJ crl-14049 96 17 patterns pattern NOUN crl-14049 96 18 of of ADP crl-14049 96 19 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 96 20 library library NOUN crl-14049 96 21 circulations circulation NOUN crl-14049 96 22 performed perform VERB crl-14049 96 23 better well ADV crl-14049 96 24 than than ADP crl-14049 96 25 the the DET crl-14049 96 26 straightline straightline NOUN crl-14049 96 27 methods method NOUN crl-14049 96 28 . . PUNCT crl-14049 97 1 but but CCONJ crl-14049 97 2 the the DET crl-14049 97 3 relative relative ADJ crl-14049 97 4 positions position NOUN crl-14049 97 5 of of ADP crl-14049 97 6 each each DET crl-14049 97 7 technique technique NOUN crl-14049 97 8 have have AUX crl-14049 97 9 changed change VERB crl-14049 97 10 : : PUNCT crl-14049 97 11 the the DET crl-14049 97 12 averaging averaging NOUN crl-14049 97 13 methods method NOUN crl-14049 97 14 now now ADV crl-14049 97 15 outperformed outperform VERB crl-14049 97 16 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 97 17 methods method NOUN crl-14049 97 18 in in ADP crl-14049 97 19 both both CCONJ crl-14049 97 20 the the DET crl-14049 97 21 cyclical cyclical ADJ crl-14049 97 22 and and CCONJ crl-14049 97 23 straight straight ADJ crl-14049 97 24 - - PUNCT crl-14049 97 25 line line NOUN crl-14049 97 26 cases case NOUN crl-14049 97 27 . . PUNCT crl-14049 98 1 an an DET crl-14049 98 2 anov anov NOUN crl-14049 98 3 a a DET crl-14049 98 4 test test NOUN crl-14049 98 5 on on ADP crl-14049 98 6 the the DET crl-14049 98 7 difference difference NOUN crl-14049 98 8 among among ADP crl-14049 98 9 these these DET crl-14049 98 10 mapes mape NOUN crl-14049 98 11 proved prove VERB crl-14049 98 12 to to PART crl-14049 98 13 be be AUX crl-14049 98 14 statistically statistically ADV crl-14049 98 15 significant significant ADJ crl-14049 98 16 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 98 17 p=0.0166 p=0.0166 PROPN crl-14049 98 18 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 98 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 99 1 the the DET crl-14049 99 2 neuman neuman NOUN crl-14049 99 3 - - PUNCT crl-14049 99 4 keuls keul NOUN crl-14049 99 5 procedure procedure NOUN crl-14049 99 6 showed show VERB crl-14049 99 7 that that SCONJ crl-14049 99 8 the the DET crl-14049 99 9 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 99 10 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 99 11 method method NOUN crl-14049 99 12 had have VERB crl-14049 99 13 a a DET crl-14049 99 14 significantly significantly ADJ crl-14049 99 15 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 99 16 p p NOUN crl-14049 99 17 < < X crl-14049 99 18 o.os o.os NOUN crl-14049 99 19 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 99 20 lower low ADJ crl-14049 99 21 mape mape NOUN crl-14049 99 22 than than ADP crl-14049 99 23 the the DET crl-14049 99 24 other other ADJ crl-14049 99 25 three three NUM crl-14049 99 26 methods method NOUN crl-14049 99 27 . . PUNCT crl-14049 100 1 discussion discussion NOUN crl-14049 100 2 the the DET crl-14049 100 3 results result NOUN crl-14049 100 4 of of ADP crl-14049 100 5 this this DET crl-14049 100 6 study study NOUN crl-14049 100 7 show show VERB crl-14049 100 8 the the DET crl-14049 100 9 superiority superiority NOUN crl-14049 100 10 of of ADP crl-14049 100 11 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 100 12 methods method NOUN crl-14049 100 13 that that PRON crl-14049 100 14 can can AUX crl-14049 100 15 model model VERB crl-14049 100 16 the the DET crl-14049 100 17 cyclicity cyclicity NOUN crl-14049 100 18 of of ADP crl-14049 100 19 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 100 20 library library NOUN crl-14049 100 21 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 100 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 101 1 in in ADP crl-14049 101 2 a a DET crl-14049 101 3 test test NOUN crl-14049 101 4 of of ADP crl-14049 101 5 one one NUM crl-14049 101 6 - - PUNCT crl-14049 101 7 month month NOUN crl-14049 101 8 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 101 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 101 10 the the DET crl-14049 101 11 november november PROPN crl-14049 101 12 1984 1984 NUM crl-14049 101 13 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 101 14 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 101 15 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 101 16 method method NOUN crl-14049 101 17 was be AUX crl-14049 101 18 superior superior ADJ crl-14049 101 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 102 1 in in ADP crl-14049 102 2 a a DET crl-14049 102 3 test test NOUN crl-14049 102 4 of of ADP crl-14049 102 5 six six NUM crl-14049 102 6 - - PUNCT crl-14049 102 7 month month NOUN crl-14049 102 8 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 102 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 102 10 the the DET crl-14049 102 11 naive naive ADJ crl-14049 102 12 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 102 13 averaging averaging NOUN crl-14049 102 14 method method NOUN crl-14049 102 15 was be AUX crl-14049 102 16 superior superior ADJ crl-14049 102 17 . . PUNCT crl-14049 103 1 the the DET crl-14049 103 2 outstanding outstanding ADJ crl-14049 103 3 unanswered unanswered ADJ crl-14049 103 4 question question NOUN crl-14049 103 5 at at ADP crl-14049 103 6 this this DET crl-14049 103 7 point point NOUN crl-14049 103 8 is be AUX crl-14049 103 9 why why SCONJ crl-14049 103 10 the the DET crl-14049 103 11 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 103 12 averaging averaging NOUN crl-14049 103 13 method method NOUN crl-14049 103 14 does do AUX crl-14049 103 15 so so ADV crl-14049 103 16 well well ADV crl-14049 103 17 in in ADP crl-14049 103 18 long long ADV crl-14049 103 19 - - PUNCT crl-14049 103 20 run run VERB crl-14049 103 21 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 103 22 relative relative ADJ crl-14049 103 23 to to ADP crl-14049 103 24 the the DET crl-14049 103 25 performance performance NOUN crl-14049 103 26 of of ADP crl-14049 103 27 more more ADV crl-14049 103 28 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 103 29 methods method NOUN crl-14049 103 30 . . PUNCT crl-14049 104 1 it it PRON crl-14049 104 2 may may AUX crl-14049 104 3 be be AUX crl-14049 104 4 due due ADJ crl-14049 104 5 to to ADP crl-14049 104 6 the the DET crl-14049 104 7 fact fact NOUN crl-14049 104 8 that that SCONJ crl-14049 104 9 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 104 10 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 104 11 methods method NOUN crl-14049 104 12 are be AUX crl-14049 104 13 sensitive sensitive ADJ crl-14049 104 14 to to ADP crl-14049 104 15 random random ADJ crl-14049 104 16 fluctuations fluctuation NOUN crl-14049 104 17 in in ADP crl-14049 104 18 library library NOUN crl-14049 104 19 time time NOUN crl-14049 104 20 - - PUNCT crl-14049 104 21 series series NOUN crl-14049 104 22 data datum NOUN crl-14049 104 23 . . PUNCT crl-14049 105 1 random random ADJ crl-14049 105 2 errors error NOUN crl-14049 105 3 in in ADP crl-14049 105 4 library library PROPN crl-14049 105 5 time time NOUN crl-14049 105 6 series series NOUN crl-14049 105 7 such such ADJ crl-14049 105 8 as as ADP crl-14049 105 9 monthly monthly ADJ crl-14049 105 10 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 105 11 totals total NOUN crl-14049 105 12 spring spring NOUN crl-14049 105 13 from from ADP crl-14049 105 14 all all DET crl-14049 105 15 manner manner NOUN crl-14049 105 16 of of ADP crl-14049 105 17 human human ADJ crl-14049 105 18 and and CCONJ crl-14049 105 19 mechanical mechanical ADJ crl-14049 105 20 sources source NOUN crl-14049 105 21 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 105 22 they they PRON crl-14049 105 23 are be AUX crl-14049 105 24 akin akin ADJ crl-14049 105 25 to to ADP crl-14049 105 26 static static ADJ crl-14049 105 27 interferring interferring NOUN crl-14049 105 28 with with ADP crl-14049 105 29 a a DET crl-14049 105 30 radio radio NOUN crl-14049 105 31 transmission transmission NOUN crl-14049 105 32 . . PUNCT crl-14049 106 1 it it PRON crl-14049 106 2 is be AUX crl-14049 106 3 a a DET crl-14049 106 4 popular popular ADJ crl-14049 106 5 theme theme NOUN crl-14049 106 6 in in ADP crl-14049 106 7 library library PROPN crl-14049 106 8 literature literature PROPN crl-14049 106 9 to to PART crl-14049 106 10 castigate castigate VERB crl-14049 106 11 library library NOUN crl-14049 106 12 - - PUNCT crl-14049 106 13 output output NOUN crl-14049 106 14 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 106 15 for for ADP crl-14049 106 16 their their PRON crl-14049 106 17 lack lack NOUN crl-14049 106 18 of of ADP crl-14049 106 19 reliability reliability NOUN crl-14049 106 20 and and CCONJ crl-14049 106 21 validity validity NOUN crl-14049 106 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 107 1 childersu childersu PROPN crl-14049 107 2 even even ADV crl-14049 107 3 portrays portray VERB crl-14049 107 4 different different ADJ crl-14049 107 5 types type NOUN crl-14049 107 6 of of ADP crl-14049 107 7 library library NOUN crl-14049 107 8 - - PUNCT crl-14049 107 9 output output NOUN crl-14049 107 10 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 107 11 as as ADP crl-14049 107 12 having have VERB crl-14049 107 13 different different ADJ crl-14049 107 14 levels level NOUN crl-14049 107 15 of of ADP crl-14049 107 16 random random ADJ crl-14049 107 17 error error NOUN crl-14049 107 18 based base VERB crl-14049 107 19 on on ADP crl-14049 107 20 the the DET crl-14049 107 21 method method NOUN crl-14049 107 22 of of ADP crl-14049 107 23 collection collection NOUN crl-14049 107 24 of of ADP crl-14049 107 25 the the DET crl-14049 107 26 statistic statistic NOUN crl-14049 107 27 . . PUNCT crl-14049 108 1 it it PRON crl-14049 108 2 would would AUX crl-14049 108 3 appear appear VERB crl-14049 108 4 that that SCONJ crl-14049 108 5 high high ADJ crl-14049 108 6 levels level NOUN crl-14049 108 7 of of ADP crl-14049 108 8 randomness randomness NOUN crl-14049 108 9 are be AUX crl-14049 108 10 preventing prevent VERB crl-14049 108 11 sophisticated sophisticated ADJ crl-14049 108 12 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 108 13 techniques technique NOUN crl-14049 108 14 from from ADP crl-14049 108 15 modeling model VERB crl-14049 108 16 library library NOUN crl-14049 108 17 circulation circulation NOUN crl-14049 108 18 data datum NOUN crl-14049 108 19 closely closely ADV crl-14049 108 20 and and CCONJ crl-14049 108 21 accurately accurately ADV crl-14049 108 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 109 1 when when SCONJ crl-14049 109 2 sensitive sensitive ADJ crl-14049 109 3 methods method NOUN crl-14049 109 4 are be AUX crl-14049 109 5 used use VERB crl-14049 109 6 to to PART crl-14049 109 7 predict predict VERB crl-14049 109 8 the the DET crl-14049 109 9 future future NOUN crl-14049 109 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 109 11 their their PRON crl-14049 109 12 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 109 13 are be AUX crl-14049 109 14 wider wide ADJ crl-14049 109 15 off off ADP crl-14049 109 16 the the DET crl-14049 109 17 mark mark NOUN crl-14049 109 18 than than ADP crl-14049 109 19 less less ADV crl-14049 109 20 sensitive sensitive ADJ crl-14049 109 21 methods method NOUN crl-14049 109 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 110 1 the the DET crl-14049 110 2 phenomenon phenomenon NOUN crl-14049 110 3 of of ADP crl-14049 110 4 the the DET crl-14049 110 5 success success NOUN crl-14049 110 6 of of ADP crl-14049 110 7 simpler simple ADJ crl-14049 110 8 methods method NOUN crl-14049 110 9 has have AUX crl-14049 110 10 been be AUX crl-14049 110 11 observed observe VERB crl-14049 110 12 in in ADP crl-14049 110 13 other other ADJ crl-14049 110 14 studies13 studies13 NOUN crl-14049 110 15 comparing compare VERB crl-14049 110 16 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 110 17 methods method NOUN crl-14049 110 18 . . PUNCT crl-14049 111 1 the the DET crl-14049 111 2 next next ADJ crl-14049 111 3 step step NOUN crl-14049 111 4 in in ADP crl-14049 111 5 researching research VERB crl-14049 111 6 library library NOUN crl-14049 111 7 - - PUNCT crl-14049 111 8 output output NOUN crl-14049 111 9 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 111 10 would would AUX crl-14049 111 11 seem seem VERB crl-14049 111 12 to to PART crl-14049 111 13 be be AUX crl-14049 111 14 measuring measure VERB crl-14049 111 15 the the DET crl-14049 111 16 amount amount NOUN crl-14049 111 17 of of ADP crl-14049 111 18 randomness randomness NOUN crl-14049 111 19 in in ADP crl-14049 111 20 library library NOUN crl-14049 111 21 - - PUNCT crl-14049 111 22 output output NOUN crl-14049 111 23 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 111 24 . . PUNCT crl-14049 112 1 table2 table2 NOUN crl-14049 112 2 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 112 3 of of ADP crl-14049 112 4 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 112 5 of of ADP crl-14049 112 6 mean mean ADJ crl-14049 112 7 absolute absolute ADJ crl-14049 112 8 percentage percentage NOUN crl-14049 112 9 error error NOUN crl-14049 112 10 for for ADP crl-14049 112 11 six six NUM crl-14049 112 12 - - PUNCT crl-14049 112 13 month month NOUN crl-14049 112 14 forecasts forecast NOUN crl-14049 112 15 mape mape NOUN crl-14049 112 16 methods method NOUN crl-14049 112 17 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 112 18 % % INTJ crl-14049 112 19 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 112 20 monthly monthly ADV crl-14049 112 21 mean mean NOUN crl-14049 112 22 15 15 NUM crl-14049 112 23 12.38 12.38 NUM crl-14049 112 24 dummy dummy ADJ crl-14049 112 25 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 112 26 15 15 NUM crl-14049 112 27 15.30 15.30 NUM crl-14049 112 28 simple simple ADJ crl-14049 112 29 mean mean NOUN crl-14049 112 30 15 15 NUM crl-14049 112 31 39.16 39.16 NUM crl-14049 112 32 lag lag NOUN crl-14049 112 33 6 6 NUM crl-14049 112 34 regression regression NOUN crl-14049 112 35 15 15 NUM crl-14049 112 36 39.63 39.63 NUM crl-14049 112 37 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 112 38 of of ADP crl-14049 112 39 variance variance NOUN crl-14049 112 40 source source NOUN crl-14049 112 41 df df PROPN crl-14049 112 42 ss ss PROPN crl-14049 112 43 ms ms PROPN crl-14049 112 44 f f PROPN crl-14049 112 45 factor factor NOUN crl-14049 112 46 3 3 NUM crl-14049 112 47 9864 9864 NUM crl-14049 112 48 3288 3288 NUM crl-14049 112 49 3.71 3.71 NUM crl-14049 112 50 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 112 51 p= p= X crl-14049 112 52 .0166 .0166 PUNCT crl-14049 112 53 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 112 54 error error NOUN crl-14049 112 55 56 56 NUM crl-14049 112 56 49652 49652 NUM crl-14049 112 57 887 887 NUM crl-14049 112 58 total total ADJ crl-14049 112 59 59 59 NUM crl-14049 112 60 59516 59516 NUM crl-14049 112 61 sd sd NOUN crl-14049 112 62 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 112 63 % % INTJ crl-14049 112 64 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 112 65 10.71 10.71 NUM crl-14049 112 66 13.51 13.51 NUM crl-14049 112 67 38.45 38.45 NUM crl-14049 112 68 42.08 42.08 NUM crl-14049 112 69 research research NOUN crl-14049 112 70 notes note VERB crl-14049 112 71 505 505 NUM crl-14049 112 72 references reference NOUN crl-14049 112 73 1 1 NUM crl-14049 112 74 . . PUNCT crl-14049 112 75 bruce bruce PROPN crl-14049 112 76 l. l. PROPN crl-14049 112 77 bowerman bowerman PROPN crl-14049 112 78 and and CCONJ crl-14049 112 79 richardt richardt PROPN crl-14049 112 80 . . PUNCT crl-14049 113 1 o'connell o'connell PROPN crl-14049 113 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 113 3 time time NOUN crl-14049 113 4 series series NOUN crl-14049 113 5 and and CCONJ crl-14049 113 6 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 113 7 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 113 8 north north NOUN crl-14049 113 9 scituate scituate NOUN crl-14049 113 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 113 11 mass mass PROPN crl-14049 113 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 113 13 : : PUNCT crl-14049 113 14 duxbury duxbury PROPN crl-14049 113 15 press press NOUN crl-14049 113 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 113 17 · · NUM crl-14049 113 18 1979 1979 NUM crl-14049 113 19 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 113 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 114 1 2 2 X crl-14049 114 2 . . X crl-14049 114 3 morris morris PROPN crl-14049 114 4 hamburg hamburg PROPN crl-14049 114 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 6 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 114 7 statistical statistical ADJ crl-14049 114 8 methods method NOUN crl-14049 114 9 for for ADP crl-14049 114 10 library library NOUN crl-14049 114 11 management management NOUN crl-14049 114 12 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 13 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 114 14 in in ADP crl-14049 114 15 ching ching PROPN crl-14049 114 16 - - PUNCT crl-14049 114 17 chih chih PROPN crl-14049 114 18 chen chen PROPN crl-14049 114 19 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 20 ed ed PROPN crl-14049 114 21 . . PROPN crl-14049 114 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 23 quantitative quantitative ADJ crl-14049 114 24 measurement measurement NOUN crl-14049 114 25 and and CCONJ crl-14049 114 26 dynamic dynamic ADJ crl-14049 114 27 library library NOUN crl-14049 114 28 service service NOUN crl-14049 114 29 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 114 30 phoenix phoenix PROPN crl-14049 114 31 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 32 ariz ariz PROPN crl-14049 114 33 . . PUNCT crl-14049 114 34 : : PUNCT crl-14049 114 35 oryx oryx PROPN crl-14049 114 36 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 37 1978 1978 NUM crl-14049 114 38 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 114 39 , , PUNCT crl-14049 114 40 p.38 p.38 PROPN crl-14049 114 41 . . PUNCT crl-14049 115 1 3 3 X crl-14049 115 2 . . X crl-14049 115 3 spyros spyros PROPN crl-14049 115 4 makridakis makridakis NOUN crl-14049 115 5 and and CCONJ crl-14049 115 6 steven steven PROPN crl-14049 115 7 c. c. PROPN crl-14049 115 8 wheelwright wheelwright PROPN crl-14049 115 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 115 10 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 115 11 methods method NOUN crl-14049 115 12 and and CCONJ crl-14049 115 13 applications application NOUN crl-14049 115 14 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 115 15 new new PROPN crl-14049 115 16 york york PROPN crl-14049 115 17 , , PUNCT crl-14049 115 18 n.y n.y PROPN crl-14049 115 19 . . PROPN crl-14049 115 20 : : PUNCT crl-14049 115 21 wiley wiley PROPN crl-14049 115 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 115 23 1978 1978 NUM crl-14049 115 24 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 115 25 . . PUNCT crl-14049 116 1 4 4 X crl-14049 116 2 . . PROPN crl-14049 116 3 alan alan PROPN crl-14049 116 4 c. c. PROPN crl-14049 116 5 filley filley PROPN crl-14049 116 6 and and CCONJ crl-14049 116 7 robert robert PROPN crl-14049 116 8 j. j. PROPN crl-14049 116 9 house house PROPN crl-14049 116 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 116 11 managerial managerial ADJ crl-14049 116 12 process process NOUN crl-14049 116 13 and and CCONJ crl-14049 116 14 organizational organizational ADJ crl-14049 116 15 behavior behavior NOUN crl-14049 116 16 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 116 17 glenview glenview NOUN crl-14049 116 18 , , PUNCT crl-14049 116 19 lll lll PROPN crl-14049 116 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 116 21 : : PUNCT crl-14049 117 1 scott scott PROPN crl-14049 117 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 117 3 foresman foresman PROPN crl-14049 117 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 117 5 1969 1969 NUM crl-14049 117 6 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 117 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 117 8 p.441 p.441 NUM crl-14049 117 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 117 10 / / SYM crl-14049 117 11 5 5 X crl-14049 117 12 . . X crl-14049 117 13 miriam miriam PROPN crl-14049 117 14 a. a. PROPN crl-14049 117 15 drake drake PROPN crl-14049 117 16 , , PUNCT crl-14049 117 17 " " PUNCT crl-14049 117 18 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 117 19 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 117 20 library library NOUN crl-14049 117 21 growth growth NOUN crl-14049 117 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 117 23 " " PUNCT crl-14049 117 24 college college NOUN crl-14049 117 25 & & CCONJ crl-14049 117 26 research research PROPN crl-14049 117 27 libraries librarie VERB crl-14049 117 28 37:53 37:53 NUM crl-14049 117 29 - - SYM crl-14049 117 30 59 59 NUM crl-14049 117 31 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 117 32 jan jan PROPN crl-14049 117 33 . . PROPN crl-14049 117 34 1976 1976 NUM crl-14049 117 35 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 117 36 . . PUNCT crl-14049 118 1 6 6 X crl-14049 118 2 . . X crl-14049 118 3 j j DET crl-14049 118 4 ong ong ADJ crl-14049 118 5 hoa hoa PROPN crl-14049 118 6 kang kang PROPN crl-14049 118 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 118 8 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 118 9 approaches approach VERB crl-14049 118 10 to to ADP crl-14049 118 11 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 118 12 demands demand NOUN crl-14049 118 13 for for ADP crl-14049 118 14 library library NOUN crl-14049 118 15 network network NOUN crl-14049 118 16 services service NOUN crl-14049 118 17 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 118 18 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 118 19 master master NOUN crl-14049 118 20 's 's PART crl-14049 118 21 thesis thesis NOUN crl-14049 118 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 118 23 univ univ PROPN crl-14049 118 24 . . PROPN crl-14049 118 25 of of ADP crl-14049 118 26 illinois illinois PROPN crl-14049 118 27 at at ADP crl-14049 118 28 urbana urbana PROPN crl-14049 118 29 - - PUNCT crl-14049 118 30 champaign champaign PROPN crl-14049 118 31 , , PUNCT crl-14049 118 32 1979 1979 NUM crl-14049 118 33 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 118 34 . . PUNCT crl-14049 119 1 7 7 X crl-14049 119 2 . . X crl-14049 119 3 makridakis makridakis PROPN crl-14049 119 4 and and CCONJ crl-14049 119 5 wheelwright wheelwright NOUN crl-14049 119 6 , , PUNCT crl-14049 119 7 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 119 8 methods method NOUN crl-14049 119 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 120 1 8 8 X crl-14049 120 2 . . X crl-14049 120 3 ibid ibid PROPN crl-14049 120 4 . . PUNCT crl-14049 120 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 120 6 p.81 p.81 PROPN crl-14049 120 7 - - NOUN crl-14049 120 8 84 84 NUM crl-14049 120 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 121 1 9 9 NUM crl-14049 121 2 . . X crl-14049 121 3 ibid ibid PROPN crl-14049 121 4 . . PUNCT crl-14049 121 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 121 6 p.217 p.217 PROPN crl-14049 121 7 - - SYM crl-14049 121 8 20 20 NUM crl-14049 121 9 . . NUM crl-14049 121 10 10 10 NUM crl-14049 121 11 . . PUNCT crl-14049 122 1 thomas thomas PROPN crl-14049 122 2 a. a. PROPN crl-14049 122 3 ryan ryan PROPN crl-14049 122 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 122 5 brian brian PROPN crl-14049 122 6 l. l. PROPN crl-14049 122 7 joiner joiner PROPN crl-14049 122 8 and and CCONJ crl-14049 122 9 barbara barbara PROPN crl-14049 122 10 f. f. PROPN crl-14049 122 11 ryan ryan PROPN crl-14049 122 12 , , PUNCT crl-14049 122 13 minitab minitab PROPN crl-14049 122 14 reference reference NOUN crl-14049 122 15 manual manual PROPN crl-14049 122 16 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 122 17 university university NOUN crl-14049 122 18 park park NOUN crl-14049 122 19 , , PUNCT crl-14049 122 20 pa pa PROPN crl-14049 122 21 . . PUNCT crl-14049 122 22 : : PUNCT crl-14049 122 23 statistics statistics PROPN crl-14049 122 24 department department PROPN crl-14049 122 25 , , PUNCT crl-14049 122 26 the the DET crl-14049 122 27 pennsylvania pennsylvania PROPN crl-14049 122 28 state state PROPN crl-14049 122 29 univ univ PROPN crl-14049 122 30 . . PROPN crl-14049 122 31 , , PUNCT crl-14049 122 32 1982 1982 NUM crl-14049 122 33 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 122 34 . . PUNCT crl-14049 123 1 11 11 X crl-14049 123 2 . . PUNCT crl-14049 124 1 merle merle PROPN crl-14049 124 2 e. e. PROPN crl-14049 124 3 meyer meyer PROPN crl-14049 124 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 124 5 a a DET crl-14049 124 6 statistical statistical ADJ crl-14049 124 7 analysis analysis NOUN crl-14049 124 8 of of ADP crl-14049 124 9 behavior behavior NOUN crl-14049 124 10 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 124 11 belmont belmont PROPN crl-14049 124 12 , , PUNCT crl-14049 124 13 calif calif PROPN crl-14049 124 14 . . PUNCT crl-14049 124 15 : : PUNCT crl-14049 125 1 wadsworth wadsworth NOUN crl-14049 125 2 , , PUNCT crl-14049 125 3 1976 1976 NUM crl-14049 125 4 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 125 5 . . PUNCT crl-14049 126 1 12 12 NUM crl-14049 126 2 . . PUNCT crl-14049 127 1 thomas thomas PROPN crl-14049 127 2 a. a. PROPN crl-14049 127 3 childers childer NOUN crl-14049 127 4 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 5 " " PUNCT crl-14049 127 6 statistics statistic NOUN crl-14049 127 7 that that PRON crl-14049 127 8 describe describe VERB crl-14049 127 9 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 127 10 and and CCONJ crl-14049 127 11 library library NOUN crl-14049 127 12 service service NOUN crl-14049 127 13 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 14 " " PUNCT crl-14049 127 15 in in ADP crl-14049 127 16 melvin melvin PROPN crl-14049 127 17 j. j. PROPN crl-14049 127 18 voigt voigt PROPN crl-14049 127 19 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 20 ed ed PROPN crl-14049 127 21 . . PROPN crl-14049 127 22 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 23 advances advance VERB crl-14049 127 24 in in ADP crl-14049 127 25 librarianship librarianship NOUN crl-14049 127 26 5 5 NUM crl-14049 127 27 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 127 28 new new PROPN crl-14049 127 29 york york PROPN crl-14049 127 30 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 31 n.y n.y PROPN crl-14049 127 32 . . PROPN crl-14049 127 33 : : PUNCT crl-14049 127 34 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 127 35 press press NOUN crl-14049 127 36 , , PUNCT crl-14049 127 37 1975 1975 NUM crl-14049 127 38 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 127 39 . . PUNCT crl-14049 128 1 13 13 NUM crl-14049 128 2 . . PUNCT crl-14049 128 3 s. s. PROPN crl-14049 128 4 makridakis makridakis PROPN crl-14049 128 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 6 a. a. PROPN crl-14049 128 7 andersen andersen PROPN crl-14049 128 8 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 9 r. r. PROPN crl-14049 128 10 carbone carbone PROPN crl-14049 128 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 12 r. r. PROPN crl-14049 128 13 fildes fildes PROPN crl-14049 128 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 15 m. m. PROPN crl-14049 128 16 hibon hibon PROPN crl-14049 128 17 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 18 r. r. PROPN crl-14049 128 19 lewandowski lewandowski PROPN crl-14049 128 20 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 21 j. j. PROPN crl-14049 128 22 newton newton PROPN crl-14049 128 23 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 24 e. e. PROPN crl-14049 128 25 parzen parzen NOUN crl-14049 128 26 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 27 and and CCONJ crl-14049 128 28 r. r. PROPN crl-14049 128 29 winkler winkler PROPN crl-14049 128 30 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 31 '' '' PUNCT crl-14049 128 32 the the DET crl-14049 128 33 accuracy accuracy NOUN crl-14049 128 34 of of ADP crl-14049 128 35 extrapolation extrapolation NOUN crl-14049 128 36 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 128 37 time time NOUN crl-14049 128 38 series series PROPN crl-14049 128 39 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 128 40 methods method NOUN crl-14049 128 41 : : PUNCT crl-14049 128 42 results result NOUN crl-14049 128 43 of of ADP crl-14049 128 44 a a DET crl-14049 128 45 forecasting forecasting NOUN crl-14049 128 46 competition competition NOUN crl-14049 128 47 , , PUNCT crl-14049 128 48 " " PUNCT crl-14049 128 49 journal journal NOUN crl-14049 128 50 of of ADP crl-14049 128 51 forecasting forecast VERB crl-14049 128 52 1:111 1:111 PROPN crl-14049 128 53 - - SYM crl-14049 128 54 53 53 NUM crl-14049 128 55 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 128 56 apr.-june apr.-june PROPN crl-14049 128 57 1982 1982 NUM crl-14049 128 58 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 128 59 . . PUNCT crl-14049 129 1 caught catch VERB crl-14049 129 2 in in ADP crl-14049 129 3 a a DET crl-14049 129 4 draft draft NOUN crl-14049 129 5 ? ? PUNCT crl-14049 130 1 these these DET crl-14049 130 2 policy policy NOUN crl-14049 130 3 statements statement NOUN crl-14049 130 4 from from ADP crl-14049 130 5 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 130 6 might might AUX crl-14049 130 7 help~ help~ PROPN crl-14049 130 8 are are VERB crl-14049 130 9 · · PUNCT crl-14049 130 10 you you PRON crl-14049 130 11 faced face VERB crl-14049 130 12 with with ADP crl-14049 130 13 the the DET crl-14049 130 14 task task NOUN crl-14049 130 15 of of ADP crl-14049 130 16 drafting draft VERB crl-14049 130 17 or or CCONJ crl-14049 130 18 revising revise VERB crl-14049 130 19 a a DET crl-14049 130 20 policy policy NOUN crl-14049 130 21 statement statement NOUN crl-14049 130 22 for for ADP crl-14049 130 23 your your PRON crl-14049 130 24 library library NOUN crl-14049 130 25 ? ? PUNCT crl-14049 131 1 the the DET crl-14049 131 2 following follow VERB crl-14049 131 3 collections collection NOUN crl-14049 131 4 of of ADP crl-14049 131 5 policy policy NOUN crl-14049 131 6 statements statement NOUN crl-14049 131 7 from from ADP crl-14049 131 8 colleges college NOUN crl-14049 131 9 and and CCONJ crl-14049 131 10 small small ADJ crl-14049 131 11 universities university NOUN crl-14049 131 12 may may AUX crl-14049 131 13 help help VERB crl-14049 131 14 you you PRON crl-14049 131 15 design design VERB crl-14049 131 16 a a DET crl-14049 131 17 document document NOUN crl-14049 131 18 that that PRON crl-14049 131 19 fits fit VERB crl-14049 131 20 your your PRON crl-14049 131 21 need need NOUN crl-14049 131 22 . . PUNCT crl-14049 132 1 travel travel NOUN crl-14049 132 2 policies policy NOUN crl-14049 132 3 of of ADP crl-14049 132 4 21 21 NUM crl-14049 132 5 college college NOUN crl-14049 132 6 and and CCONJ crl-14049 132 7 university university NOUN crl-14049 132 8 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 132 9 1980 1980 NUM crl-14049 132 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 132 11 77p 77p NOUN crl-14049 132 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 133 1 polici~ polici~ NOUN crl-14049 133 2 for for ADP crl-14049 133 3 travel travel NOUN crl-14049 133 4 and and CCONJ crl-14049 133 5 research research NOUN crl-14049 133 6 leaves leave NOUN crl-14049 133 7 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 133 8 forms form NOUN crl-14049 133 9 . . PUNCT crl-14049 134 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 134 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 134 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 134 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 134 5 3 3 NUM crl-14049 134 6 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 134 7 non non ADJ crl-14049 134 8 - - NOUN crl-14049 134 9 members member NOUN crl-14049 134 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 134 11 $ $ SYM crl-14049 134 12 3 3 NUM crl-14049 134 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 135 1 academic academic ADJ crl-14049 135 2 status status NOUN crl-14049 135 3 survey survey NOUN crl-14049 135 4 1981 1981 NUM crl-14049 135 5 , , PUNCT crl-14049 135 6 346p 346p NUM crl-14049 135 7 . . PUNCT crl-14049 136 1 policies policy NOUN crl-14049 136 2 from from ADP crl-14049 136 3 31 31 NUM crl-14049 136 4 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 136 5 ! ! PUNCT crl-14049 136 6 · · PUNCT crl-14049 136 7 community community NOUN crl-14049 136 8 colleges college NOUN crl-14049 136 9 to to ADP crl-14049 136 10 universities university NOUN crl-14049 136 11 . . PUNCT crl-14049 137 1 personnel personnel NOUN crl-14049 137 2 plans plan NOUN crl-14049 137 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 137 4 documents document NOUN crl-14049 137 5 from from ADP crl-14049 137 6 faculty faculty NOUN crl-14049 137 7 handbooks handbook NOUN crl-14049 137 8 dealing deal VERB crl-14049 137 9 with with ADP crl-14049 137 10 compensation compensation NOUN crl-14049 137 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 137 12 evaluation evaluation NOUN crl-14049 137 13 of of ADP crl-14049 137 14 librarians librarian NOUN crl-14049 137 15 , , PUNCT crl-14049 137 16 promotion promotion NOUN crl-14049 137 17 and and CCONJ crl-14049 137 18 tenure tenure NOUN crl-14049 137 19 . . PUNCT crl-14049 137 20 includes include VERB crl-14049 137 21 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 137 22 both both CCONJ crl-14049 137 23 with with ADP crl-14049 137 24 and and CCONJ crl-14049 137 25 without without ADP crl-14049 137 26 faculty faculty NOUN crl-14049 137 27 status status NOUN crl-14049 137 28 . . PUNCT crl-14049 138 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 138 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 138 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 138 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 138 5 12 12 NUM crl-14049 138 6 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 138 7 non non NOUN crl-14049 138 8 - - NOUN crl-14049 138 9 members member NOUN crl-14049 138 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 138 11 $ $ SYM crl-14049 138 12 17 17 NUM crl-14049 138 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 139 1 clip clip NOUN crl-14049 139 2 note note VERB crl-14049 139 3 # # SYM crl-14049 139 4 1 1 NUM crl-14049 139 5 : : PUNCT crl-14049 139 6 performance performance NOUN crl-14049 139 7 appraisal appraisal NOUN crl-14049 139 8 1980 1980 NUM crl-14049 139 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 139 10 135p 135p NOUN crl-14049 139 11 . . PUNCT crl-14049 140 1 policies policy NOUN crl-14049 140 2 and and CCONJ crl-14049 140 3 forms form NOUN crl-14049 140 4 from from ADP crl-14049 140 5 10 10 NUM crl-14049 140 6 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 140 7 for for ADP crl-14049 140 8 professional professional ADJ crl-14049 140 9 and and CCONJ crl-14049 140 10 support support NOUN crl-14049 140 11 staff staff NOUN crl-14049 140 12 and and CCONJ crl-14049 140 13 student student NOUN crl-14049 140 14 assistants assistant NOUN crl-14049 140 15 . . PUNCT crl-14049 141 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 141 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 141 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 141 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 141 5 7 7 NUM crl-14049 141 6 .50 .50 NUM crl-14049 141 7 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 141 8 non non NOUN crl-14049 141 9 - - NOUN crl-14049 141 10 members member NOUN crl-14049 141 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 141 12 $ $ SYM crl-14049 141 13 10 10 NUM crl-14049 141 14 . . PUNCT crl-14049 142 1 clip clip NOUN crl-14049 142 2 note note VERB crl-14049 142 3 # # SYM crl-14049 142 4 2 2 NUM crl-14049 142 5 : : PUNCT crl-14049 142 6 collection collection NOUN crl-14049 142 7 development development NOUN crl-14049 142 8 policies policy NOUN crl-14049 142 9 1981 1981 NUM crl-14049 142 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 142 11 131p 131p NUM crl-14049 142 12 . . PUNCT crl-14049 143 1 full full ADJ crl-14049 143 2 or or CCONJ crl-14049 143 3 partial partial ADJ crl-14049 143 4 policies policy NOUN crl-14049 143 5 from from ADP crl-14049 143 6 10 10 NUM crl-14049 143 7 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 143 8 . . PUNCT crl-14049 144 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 144 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 144 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 144 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 144 5 8 8 NUM crl-14049 144 6 . . PUNCT crl-14049 144 7 75 75 NUM crl-14049 144 8 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 144 9 non non NOUN crl-14049 144 10 - - NOUN crl-14049 144 11 members member NOUN crl-14049 144 12 , , PUNCT crl-14049 144 13 $ $ SYM crl-14049 144 14 11.50 11.50 NUM crl-14049 144 15 . . PUNCT crl-14049 145 1 clip clip NOUN crl-14049 145 2 note note VERB crl-14049 145 3 # # SYM crl-14049 145 4 3 3 NUM crl-14049 145 5 : : PUNCT crl-14049 145 6 job job NOUN crl-14049 145 7 descriptions description NOUN crl-14049 145 8 1981 1981 NUM crl-14049 145 9 , , PUNCT crl-14049 145 10 255p 255p NOUN crl-14049 145 11 . . PUNCT crl-14049 146 1 descriptions description NOUN crl-14049 146 2 from from ADP crl-14049 146 3 8 8 NUM crl-14049 146 4 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 146 5 for for ADP crl-14049 146 6 professional professional ADJ crl-14049 146 7 and and CCONJ crl-14049 146 8 support support NOUN crl-14049 146 9 staff staff NOUN crl-14049 146 10 . . PUNCT crl-14049 147 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 147 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 147 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 147 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 147 5 17.50 17.50 NUM crl-14049 147 6 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 147 7 non non NOUN crl-14049 147 8 - - NOUN crl-14049 147 9 members member NOUN crl-14049 147 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 147 11 $ $ SYM crl-14049 147 12 25 25 NUM crl-14049 147 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 148 1 clip clip NOUN crl-14049 148 2 note note NOUN crl-14049 148 3 # # SYM crl-14049 148 4 ' ' NOUN crl-14049 148 5 4 4 NUM crl-14049 148 6 : : PUNCT crl-14049 148 7 online online ADJ crl-14049 148 8 bibliographic bibliographic ADJ crl-14049 148 9 database database NOUN crl-14049 148 10 searching search VERB crl-14049 148 11 in in ADP crl-14049 148 12 college college NOUN crl-14049 148 13 libraries library NOUN crl-14049 148 14 1983 1983 NUM crl-14049 148 15 , , PUNCT crl-14049 148 16 132p 132p PROPN crl-14049 148 17 . . PUNCT crl-14049 149 1 over over ADP crl-14049 149 2 50 50 NUM crl-14049 149 3 institutions institution NOUN crl-14049 149 4 contributed contribute VERB crl-14049 149 5 policy policy NOUN crl-14049 149 6 statements statement NOUN crl-14049 149 7 , , PUNCT crl-14049 149 8 search search NOUN crl-14049 149 9 request request NOUN crl-14049 149 10 forms form NOUN crl-14049 149 11 , , PUNCT crl-14049 149 12 billing billing NOUN crl-14049 149 13 forms form NOUN crl-14049 149 14 , , PUNCT crl-14049 149 15 evaluation evaluation NOUN crl-14049 149 16 forms form NOUN crl-14049 149 17 , , PUNCT crl-14049 149 18 many many ADJ crl-14049 149 19 others other NOUN crl-14049 149 20 . . PUNCT crl-14049 150 1 acrl acrl ADJ crl-14049 150 2 members member NOUN crl-14049 150 3 , , PUNCT crl-14049 150 4 $ $ SYM crl-14049 150 5 15 15 NUM crl-14049 150 6 ; ; PUNCT crl-14049 150 7 non non NOUN crl-14049 150 8 - - NOUN crl-14049 150 9 members member NOUN crl-14049 150 10 , , PUNCT crl-14049 150 11 $ $ SYM crl-14049 150 12 19 19 NUM crl-14049 150 13 . . PUNCT crl-14049 150 14 association association PROPN crl-14049 150 15 of of ADP crl-14049 150 16 college college PROPN crl-14049 150 17 & & CCONJ crl-14049 150 18 research research PROPN crl-14049 150 19 libraries librarie VERB crl-14049 150 20 50 50 NUM crl-14049 150 21 east east PROPN crl-14049 150 22 huron huron PROPN crl-14049 150 23 street street PROPN crl-14049 150 24 chicago chicago PROPN crl-14049 150 25 , , PUNCT crl-14049 150 26 il il PROPN crl-14049 150 27 60611 60611 NUM crl-14049 150 28 ( ( PUNCT crl-14049 150 29 312 312 NUM crl-14049 150 30 ) ) PUNCT crl-14049 150 31 944 944 NUM crl-14049 150 32 - - SYM crl-14049 150 33 6780 6780 NUM