id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_zs5ausgjcvc4dlpgnnzp7g3fsy Brian Skyrms Diachronic Coherence and Radical Probabilism 2006 10 .pdf application/pdf 3148 247 63 number of possibilities for tomorrow's price vector. the market if and only if the price vector today falls outside the convex cone spanned by the possible price vectors tomorrow.2 the convex cone spanned by tomorrow's possible price vectors, then (by One possible price vector tomorrow is $1 for an apple, $1 fall within the convex cone spanned by the degrees of belief tomorrow. price vectors tomorrow, so that the convex cone becomes the two-dimensional object (x, y nonnegative), as shown in Figure 2.z p x � y could not trade in tickets that pay off $1 if tomorrow's price vector is p The prices of these tickets represent subjective probabilities today about subjective probabilities tomorrow. coherence requires belief change by conditioning, that is to say, conditioning on propositions about what probabilities will be tomorrow (see vectors tomorrow may have the same probabilities conditional on p and ——— (1987), "Dynamic Coherence and Probability Kinematics," Philosophy of Science ./cache/work_zs5ausgjcvc4dlpgnnzp7g3fsy.pdf ./txt/work_zs5ausgjcvc4dlpgnnzp7g3fsy.txt