id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
work_xxrs2tfkcfeppemfaw6reuxpyi	Gordon Belot	Bayesian Orgulity	2013	13	.pdf	application/pdf	5938	508	57	Keywords: Finite additivity; modesty; orgulity; probability; topology Argument based on finitely additive probability theory are surprisingly robust. The Orgulity Argument is a critique of the epistemological significance often attributed to the Bayesian convergence-to-the-truth theorem. Topological Condition #1 Do not assign probability 1 to a meager set. particular reply to the Orgulity Argument based on finitely additive probability. According to the modest Orgulity Argument, a probability P is modest concerning some hypothesis H P B if P assigns the failure set for H positive probability. some comeager failure set, it follows that finitely additive Bayesianism is consistent Topological Condition #4 It is permissible (in some circumstances) to assign positive probability to every comeager failure set. Topological Condition #4 It is permissible (in some circumstances) to assign positive probability to every comeager failure set. Following Elga, we have also defended a reply to the modest Orgulity Argument that appeals to finitely additive probability.	./cache/work_xxrs2tfkcfeppemfaw6reuxpyi.pdf	./txt/work_xxrs2tfkcfeppemfaw6reuxpyi.txt