id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_ibvldgelqvb75engfg5pxzgthi Wolfgang Schwarz Belief Update across Fission: Figure 1 2014 25 .pdf application/pdf 11673 915 67 Schwarz, W 2015, 'Belief update across fission', The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. "self-locating" information can affect the probability of uncentred propositions fission cases illustrate an important fact about the relevance of "self-locating" evidence Fred's successors give some degree of belief to being on Monday and some to being on Everett worlds to which you assign positive probability all contain a branch on which the successors, then the shifted probabilities of all points in that world are normalized so credence in each of the three locations is 1/3, then Meacham's shifted probability assigns probabilities between the relevant Sunday worlds and their successors are about 1/2. branch weights, then shifting should divide the probability of v among its successors in conditioning if the transition probabilities match the branch weights: after shifting, possibilities in Fred's belief space should be modelled by "disambiguating" branching the present model that Fred's ultimate priors, conditional on his new evidence, should ./cache/work_ibvldgelqvb75engfg5pxzgthi.pdf ./txt/work_ibvldgelqvb75engfg5pxzgthi.txt