id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_grchzi6yzvgkvlmpolcs53mohy Michael A. Bishop 50 Years of Successful Predictive Modeling Should Be Enough: Lessons for Philosophy of Science 2002 12 .pdf application/pdf 5333 370 56 understanding, explanation, good reasoning, and about how we ought to do philosophy based on the same evidence, the predictions of SPRs are at least as reliable, SPRs have been proven more reliable than humans at predicting the success of electroshock therapy, criminal recidivism, psychosis and neurosis When these conditions obtain, then the reliability of a linear model's predictions are not particularly sensitive to the weights assigned to the cues. of SPRs, many experts still base judgments on subjective impressions and reason is that in studies in which experts are given SPRs and are permitted choice to use an improper unit weight model or to reason the way human Faust, David and Paul Meehl (1992), "Using Scientific Methods to Resolve Enduring Questions within the History and Philosophy of Science: Some Illustrations", Behavior Therapy 23: 195–211. (2002), "Scientific Explanation and the Sense of Understanding", Philosophy of Science 69: 212–234. ./cache/work_grchzi6yzvgkvlmpolcs53mohy.pdf ./txt/work_grchzi6yzvgkvlmpolcs53mohy.txt